WebPage "Weather Models" PageDir "models" FileName "weathermodels.html" PageType "models" ActiveHeader "models" LeftColumn1 Button "Hydrodynamic models" ButtonURL "models/hydromodels.html" EndButton Button "Wave models" ButtonURL "models/wavemodels.html" EndButton Button "Weather Models" ButtonURL "models/weathermodels.html" EndButton Button "Modelling techniques" ButtonURL "notavailable.html" EndButton EndLeftColumn1 Main Entry Title "Global Forecasting System" Image "models/300px-GFS_850_MB.png" Paragraph "The Global Forecast System (GFS) is a global numerical weather prediction computer model run by NOAA. This mathematical model is run four times a day and produces forecasts up 16 days in advance, but with decreasing spatial and temporal resolution over time (it is widely accepted that beyond 7 days the forecast is little better than guesswork)." Paragraph "The model is run in two parts: the first part has a higher resolution and goes out to 180 hours (7 days) in the future, the second part runs from 180 to 384 hours (16 days) at a lower resolution. The resolution of the model varies in each part of the model: horizontally, it divides the surface of the earth into 35 or 70 kilometre grid squares; vertically, it divides the atmosphere into 64 layers and temporally, it produces a forecast for every 3rd hour for the first 180 hours, after that they are produced for every 12th hour.Read more." EndEntry EndMain EndPage