% Starting Algorithm: 
%	className: org.openda.algorithms.kalmanFilter.EnKF
%	dir.: /home/verlaanm/tudelft/svn_costa/trunk_new/openda/tests/lorenz/./algorithm
%	config.: EnkfAlgorithm.xml
% configstring = EnkfAlgorithm.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/tudelft/svn_costa/trunk_new/openda/tests/lorenz/./algorithm/EnkfAlgorithm.xml
% Xml is not well-formed: EnkfAlgorithm.xml
% Premature end of file.
% this.ensembleSize=100
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% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.0 to 0.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{1}=[1.4512678794581044,-1.4629733758325345,25.543367801799423];
std_x_f{1}=[0.49584966065728214,0.6297387702375475,0.5418329993164699];
pred_f{1}=[1.4512678794581044];
obs{1}=[1.50887];
sqrt_r{1}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{1}=[1.2461064897092866];
xi{1}=[0.1540154855822493,0.05382827577057525,-0.9265338878523388,-0.09338570717647854,0.11286899865112043,0.06530119183204053,0.18173260846944772,-0.103439697688674,0.3076321244834086,-0.013187495235096103,0.5565913166123047,1.2151431126128187,-0.6167884541170385,0.27876847835400853,0.08638202774102144,0.05933963965087119,-1.3601283919122313,0.18001840977796313,-0.12117337468929179,-0.13127689874793713,-0.3080316749949168,0.08065177903804588,-0.4014610319524985,0.03998403361583347,-0.17637909486332415,0.11277272702090069,-0.4187882422622611,0.13976003038684515,0.040835000592924775,0.06430936348418581,0.7924401000079235,0.14290297605575875,0.059459432616652874,-0.25149092219471614,-0.744020386311952,-1.4832976312244137,-0.04177615438874427,-0.2995199446655765,0.36284004708994955,-0.0071725972121396975,-0.6193279767201967,-0.21742150888202505,0.341678813777315,0.8578337531450295,0.944840138486337,-0.02215668542152449,0.0660381660114393,0.3373844265733883,0.2341810752744542,-0.025938208025911846,0.22704533492739354,0.07659229107568155,-0.8895006711831429,-0.3770852416196382,0.5987429581671828,-0.055124281870646774,-0.24989695147833646,0.29257833103135833,-0.032687164283244474,0.659131668390742,-1.703238558577685,-0.01246320818252955,-0.48298445890529196,-0.7311011304845879,0.13510655225538803,0.19607178239603207,0.15765456119198462,-0.09935505583421844,-0.48143831792203085,-0.034661080516523946,-0.9540356693744207,-0.07519610062692261,0.42563729899483316,-0.02801163216945013,0.28338650602982574,0.03673833566164908,0.09829212161511314,0.2593241455427351,0.46004255469585487,-0.6764235936913461,0.06060709859080493,0.12101198889158793,-0.00836175717694787,0.41170486639112025,0.652801827957439,0.15250060167980228,-0.19531738177127544,-0.002439717800607255,0.017189213665179448,-0.05594855898515405,1.046567200367423,0.9864243614717234,0.07096066647620036,0.9458279715244584,0.4530811259148597,0.007266188158292053,-0.009702227203278513,-0.324385706909212,0.04344582001419339,-0.8832124726879421;0.341076974195027,-0.4769742098683587,-0.44951110731032773,2.4101828271503885,-0.18328768592625577,0.5741247902110103,-0.0688922178037723,0.4630243861848439,0.29696757073297975,0.04936131331526883,-0.1477664087239956,1.5369839552763762,1.463040998572159,0.303796704859689,-0.08575524754120756,0.24154199756696815,-0.028757408076170332,0.11590107638836589,-0.04706005750802267,3.372874040683367,-1.0720802988939873,-0.06666090969487004,-0.5499724743766434,-0.06606707362315256,-0.0794144605577427,0.06624841829411166,-0.1699256124424553,0.10572012356209926,-0.9833609339725446,-0.2561182695681643,-0.23872963519376267,-0.19182421129832172,-0.1943466272794825,-0.2538280606711314,-0.1741927576143405,0.23548305089661614,-0.19052510951800983,-0.08766766374382251,0.43976998390708255,0.5850265349723857,-0.06827341813439003,-0.0949376062355558,-0.35678974705253075,-0.12137500280750646,-0.016981545113822216,0.4601214039872932,0.8358789123855124,-1.2068591366727184,0.3972520084349329,-0.38309056368833816,-0.07234220936499214,-0.03020327623663288,0.29823400016172275,0.5517701492825389,0.370082862768057,-0.06225200076633075,-0.012352589712835815,0.05027855932913039,-0.15849875322093565,-0.07106458469933319,-0.30614955232157515,-0.1490866500533874,0.12279755713503704,-0.026971579038708615,-0.5956378684167547,-0.6048284211146286,-0.3888505461255771,-0.0896768898064928,0.20305938340931307,0.3973480023534237,-0.2761426583927631,0.051305858405074733,0.09912730821645876,0.53688351150877,-0.2901450441040865,-0.006922388421548575,0.30525125426179,0.05808754302159791,0.026825228692272995,0.3708562779060862,0.3298889450907285,-0.07110660234041033,-0.7176847848044752,0.20888652239896643,0.006255763884531751,-0.512999817897003,-1.965482647473409,-0.025681626677930947,-0.46979812922959097,0.057818483575823976,-0.09869506708111775,-0.0380640419931777,-0.179406611626014,0.128570567112825,-0.09453276189463478,-0.1257220540020787,-0.7514370290113364,-0.3134575001306594,-0.36428400298464525,-1.2872017002361618;0.443022163951877,0.005826167240051916,-0.1366067694091484,-0.5306613885893512,0.42243877482822256,-0.17176005504126124,-0.08246300553145502,0.15657731153959276,-0.23915947609816612,-0.04291569513494764,-0.09787713529884101,-1.2820246615492827,-0.07760997666300895,1.082514110161668,0.6153256442420982,0.47109824287772284,0.09629583495996741,0.4408783282936426,-0.004569873925731827,-0.2192691475179842,-0.008437814454385517,-0.4425444169956023,0.40361424248742495,0.14889246296266379,0.3245477577449769,0.3807844778224201,0.3425538962196235,0.9158358999073286,0.2625629485224401,-1.7330615025224354,-0.44832238965734916,-0.20871108711730457,0.0060753591505608995,0.4568714320139726,0.14754568315558814,0.014355118727252147,-0.7252710089190373,-0.057180184774246356,0.30914467412647895,-0.13003773474770952,-0.09725080078774795,-0.5594317455214224,-0.2134608978206991,0.7770728822012565,0.9702627993923443,0.004077990602311843,1.824132262492732,0.14929437988356753,0.5959528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k{1}=[0.197500367538173;0.01800146700731105;-0.0036095388417810843];
x_a{1}=[1.4847832195436046,-1.4599185699285842,25.542755271689515];
std_x_a{1}=[0.4455575611022071,0.628395833879292,0.5420076162938653];
pred_a{1}=[1.4847832195436046];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.0 to 0.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{2}=[-0.23160140535427937,-1.1585416381033553,19.52948352285636];
std_x_f{2}=[0.47348608272408904,0.7398050078321906,0.4136977994443265];
pred_f{2}=[-0.23160140535427937];
obs{2}=[-0.26470935152747094];
sqrt_r{2}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{2}=[1.2254215560954909];
xi{2}=[0.3493079882377621,-0.3068992137962771,-0.3780368666240688,1.558800631741128,0.0478034565217019,0.3983991507648432,0.004991995913408959,0.4999646801170124,0.17867765250114095,-0.017083662029980073,0.10304059148184178,1.349036174612432,0.7755675962988924,0.11032385515269275,-0.4767928976734129,0.20198175418887382,-0.4937437956668232,-0.026815128463823612,0.2722190679323085,2.236215381836878,-0.8526179469165036,-0.005150357459612037,-0.48336112077366683,-0.016937800945295345,-0.1316227033726045,0.1833747419138186,-0.030963719760267072,-0.1173553336394173,-0.6407617078446775,0.0993516474608794,0.06832693834588821,-0.07689623536772933,-0.08763561462015029,-0.1780746644505088,-0.5186208929024716,-0.5434906695332886,-0.1646537370567704,-0.12307716635114213,0.13260748591009183,0.40012167225120965,-0.5069766543246692,-0.07516005944106835,-0.2219760387829124,0.3372494786971192,0.1412786527141296,0.2765863056686564,0.5117813033565171,-0.5429255426945672,0.28789145938257704,-0.2920194455806809,0.014450276326681194,-0.04209069327639825,-0.13564957583536963,0.21347313250049355,0.4421958335025102,-0.06178844219373114,-0.10274485357757768,0.10492607541622934,-0.07971391168601988,0.27337668392167674,-0.9605301824008199,-0.18440197961569205,-0.18257666963457564,-0.35446710438715884,-0.3167384805293891,-0.3204535933902157,-0.20621177474017782,-0.11334513678076508,-0.04539523427557851,0.306200847192579,-0.5273689651573414,-0.008654066242712477,0.2168026627027502,0.3351919597652366,0.07758004138564861,0.09810874239713144,0.22116893767884263,0.1294537138390564,0.21432173083847125,-0.02077373382393638,0.33881464472774536,-0.02013858956148762,-0.4698296538572621,0.35539266857836793,0.18922406815360607,-0.23261443608081306,-1.2867629947962809,0.33435091841641285,-0.42816373446424755,-0.013923693155501793,0.21176646495717816,0.4896762075991511,-0.11680538449877215,0.6943266147705092,0.03967540165729794,-0.12398663690951284,-0.4502837086117561,-0.4231730200836354,-0.09087995088896506,-1.196262112801293;0.46044240653006674,-0.5412698115105621,-0.5306400169669072,2.7641964455812267,-0.0936740949782513,0.6667303501722639,-0.0473501203982436,0.6793263029326975,0.313429432109925,0.018185560859283356,-0.02677146034972977,2.068315794077153,1.5545013049336365,0.22037924762368288,-0.43192087526697653,0.2911152912310173,-0.3382799615502865,0.03585193338568082,0.1987523684389323,3.8629805779578206,-1.329809128632612,-0.03525872186532686,-0.7052668141865437,-0.06285437502880153,-0.15362118628217303,0.16760631092075373,-0.12130185076280253,-0.054488849012179985,-1.1177945674286882,-0.01045554850118835,-0.11654582409696723,-0.17632960838314982,-0.19478436246249387,-0.2926094496525822,-0.48094334178899434,-0.2071102524452617,-0.23122164537136225,-0.1375612447803245,0.34240939547017313,0.6852397767670664,-0.41867962142926984,-0.09319588619610664,-0.40622683666248083,0.10441261018734127,0.008446817325797662,0.505096067773469,0.8293574967034758,-1.195382383488386,0.434337803913738,-0.4688522343342003,-0.05510018663391447,-0.05153676736216495,0.1215733333253739,0.524736036532441,0.5329195544936525,-0.07609366411577878,-0.08563692786504018,0.09656718253654506,-0.15315669795684062,0.13361458101241475,-0.8675009379498968,-0.22423603274591808,-0.04241487703738778,-0.259900716736563,-0.6256422563207347,-0.6362154357062304,-0.4122656050622413,-0.14056690011058626,0.10728206559945885,0.5215851469547621,-0.5401573038601617,0.028470844190553457,0.19496535693194583,0.5765138729306113,-0.07346830951053018,0.07910043182377491,0.3652872274488945,0.1284151938966971,0.20975199360774066,0.24622389760419694,0.46507160476988074,-0.0848089745644609,-0.8164032197086932,0.36065007928973614,0.12078551222295086,-0.5021181503163097,-2.2438534292118444,0.2555168330733141,-0.6338944320007212,0.010982652473128907,0.0915705101768205,0.3101166405768967,-0.2022496126963158,0.6523960651899104,-0.0440686520175928,-0.17739984131917108,-0.8218464840045705,-0.5127714858364194,-0.3508760431866229,-1.6908268939073083;0.3070875821642929,-0.007118715138943799,-0.10002269410948728,-0.23178537299718727,0.2818282660208773,-0.13865032123882415,-0.08593519912026792,0.08580742490500981,-0.19555232911237752,-0.03890055397474157,-0.1127031766563178,-0.8897593016784846,-0.017221797128911476,0.8242319636031397,0.5296283083040692,0.33552203040758144,0.1355315446061489,0.34067120026080033,-0.05645760567949054,0.20811763016243034,0.06753974680936281,-0.3572829837385392,0.33854767600120894,0.09155038267828175,0.24629522919228464,0.25767798877823367,0.23359193434371406,0.7143471373468699,0.22020776092909955,-1.379956314247579,-0.3901554544674859,-0.1791713752859927,-0.017333364875021573,0.3385717441679148,0.17412085734846627,0.09354334267414899,-0.5661894455850636,-0.04920364423812629,0.239392250957291,-0.10630902213668136,-0.006139056542743049,-0.44063010157724136,-0.17401147791077065,0.5116348761329164,0.7016817178416872,-0.0035498351851224186,1.3962375721366307,0.07359013892957833,0.43851762732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k{2}=[0.1839542930954651;0.27678811755289806;-0.006499760471277005];
x_a{2}=[-0.23228960772680662,-1.159577146630945,19.529507839497757];
std_x_a{2}=[0.4286783566449527,0.6789561866531318,0.4138354124172163];
pred_a{2}=[-0.23228960772680662];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.1 to 0.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{3}=[-0.9708771138873808,-1.7131584040292667,15.08347762067566];
std_x_f{3}=[0.7492327952376096,1.2055928943768994,0.3472451270586085];
pred_f{3}=[-0.9708771138873808];
obs{3}=[-1.0452504233062487];
sqrt_r{3}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{3}=[1.5613775885710988];
xi{3}=[0.05246812405809764,-0.45244842269063,-0.23391664212059382,2.0591149336012182,-0.036005658981256516,1.2043689576667178,0.05179020456595884,0.719521763846315,0.23010762343724211,-0.056760692691407044,6.82573155323829E-4,1.9096582227638603,1.3945001999771272,-0.056122434688492984,-0.06505903951690484,0.2952266104201864,-0.46736105161338015,-0.5078098050475119,0.20495363794461352,3.8702905463463644,-1.3053922329609626,0.15545944821704039,-1.489445598442417,-0.057297368020618133,-0.01216423902410757,-0.009137807680282717,0.23851907524739013,-0.042511007132749024,-1.0327186491664657,0.0997934929241352,-0.08772455438127791,-0.08375859067506553,-0.136123005655981,-0.43077025550653314,-0.20401213096462123,0.4794918964922066,-0.2705258579041421,-0.20601393761249254,0.9539194177578365,0.5825794615573988,-0.5692195488246772,-0.11467214243152268,0.0021509927473785106,0.05919620030110595,0.03969239971213778,-0.43731272214746664,0.5127699944015838,-0.5001379419411858,0.6450152348718561,-0.4138026980358931,0.18281347412543858,0.013412156556598887,0.3132774816231214,0.4386812393938616,0.4960445866556763,0.4763764222514221,-0.27263000670829585,0.15743990408084096,-0.1535603075293932,0.07862919455574413,-1.1852668788605978,-0.11062608709591149,0.12734448854383196,-1.9390060348884506,-0.5766605935234128,0.15806513985766735,-0.16733247594360967,0.30219930020748376,0.11168582786213321,0.918809333252839,-0.8876145717236856,-0.1470389870711173,-0.17125564358059808,-0.01291646765849086,-0.20169898086697557,0.22122517885547932,0.3056628807437003,0.09526917583779215,0.27938783537970946,0.18039443543500078,0.47383377572685265,0.29675084172323674,-0.586846134626156,-0.1733284988193271,-0.05155956126348915,0.08403239977706234,-2.4041787367054894,0.25154240451945187,-0.81834513412539,-0.09416211922105822,0.2505910053122049,-0.09773592949056775,0.13098232808800037,0.6535195875516994,-0.03617073363832901,-0.3441652497151271,-1.02596076790993,-0.5410384608820433,-0.29640123227468673,-1.1855177799491512;0.07572087788612003,-0.7383123259599886,-0.3733457257489661,3.399534063697905,-0.09045279183306465,1.942798172727106,0.07611283750811637,1.1343073726528392,0.37482114350662465,-0.08885238089236047,-0.0355065952068081,3.101662974243246,2.3149311948666664,-0.05967410607690615,-0.03486369725789973,0.4710706473757391,-0.6657760629249563,-0.7825575660405752,0.28049223505841847,6.242362850590834,-2.083005156375566,0.23114383132162564,-2.337782609459132,-0.09794579493502642,-0.009466011806701369,-0.030361492981893168,0.37423006587719865,-0.019968678989121136,-1.663133058549101,0.09841276440791669,-0.19549304254385214,-0.15773460738110745,-0.2370451213203435,-0.679138789832004,-0.26414315230197927,0.885016845437572,-0.45213571799415386,-0.32466620546336133,1.5599512849045443,0.9481764824958987,-0.8440634512099716,-0.1994259161409151,-0.01579703563459489,0.022624471220191733,0.032968405560659386,-0.6871251159144249,0.8489990223655868,-0.8690147800851886,1.031031490104599,-0.6645575041066298,0.2825399508613067,0.008337645486416356,0.5601438761779953,0.7356052026980064,0.7741054896958567,0.7621690447955015,-0.41523045612919085,0.23234198661556982,-0.2564996097654637,0.06711526201881068,-1.777263250703389,-0.19159003979206335,0.24355922986247136,-3.088459918312773,-0.9600631365519889,0.21504865862327938,-0.29107344767367116,0.4860167245307718,0.21512499844960864,1.487156924664541,-1.370937748618627,-0.22747866468570455,-0.2888754102715547,0.005486306792757967,-0.3984962228681892,0.33350892713935876,0.4922971130710292,0.1354728695874392,0.41173326171071145,0.3395608519812887,0.7429697243742024,0.47093051462313995,-0.9667513813387607,-0.2982810041392374,-0.11383747703136349,0.08942186179511435,-3.8950384766474855,0.3481532591994574,-1.3211658473436463,-0.12749823325180976,0.345849223177608,-0.23907538703650766,0.19728467271319516,0.9687322942962839,-0.08732909094135488,-0.5468852077195538,-1.6717386895785886,-0.8443102563755922,-0.47244377884909317,-1.8453676781588604;0.19366628110697626,0.038402789450243446,-0.0875169878283053,-0.18941402228409743,0.17724576288101979,-0.23519106626090291,-0.1188826718998861,-0.05750498092433887,-0.22698951366981923,-0.06880776420901036,-0.13116248977990352,-0.7300672073049732,-0.12331302798288313,0.5966221377022851,0.36306078516333784,0.17089627044365763,0.1485411765059741,0.32761341852922143,-0.12119351838260606,0.7436159082825533,0.3619518873281411,-0.3470162571333013,0.657539812514246,0.031580131161106806,0.1374766010714925,0.1543986694466355,0.09259287050790377,0.5069724495872734,0.3779461015981411,-1.1223475754620775,-0.32750055903896147,-0.17463030664984558,-0.0341479431379188,0.29947572568967296,0.10584988808355966,-0.04828410697593277,-0.42887238092906266,-0.04659951274421026,0.05044503001908751,-0.19112118037917014,0.07227779771198328,-0.3664538057026867,-0.1865477038462462,0.33760329293855307,0.4854761016955571,0.05362831084575248,0.967297170965983,0.10407585527342178,0.2170748088762977,0.087599446488313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k{3}=[0.3595399297903628;0.5782059317410833;-0.037965971215465695];
x_a{3}=[-1.0455523900497385,-1.833249898892311,15.091363029639654];
std_x_a{3}=[0.6023602819053019,0.9690788146808353,0.3474880721121742];
pred_a{3}=[-1.0455523900497385];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.2 to 0.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{4}=[-2.175723870001842,-3.817223012516193,12.062611331572876];
std_x_f{4}=[1.1771265329800022,2.027761201508136,0.5541916778344126];
pred_f{4}=[-2.175723870001842];
obs{4}=[-2.199598000809167];
sqrt_r{4}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{4}=[2.4089693291878094];
xi{4}=[-1.5201654514185616,-0.7225368959916563,-0.2686505631649294,2.612847139059358,-0.485183265716687,1.4436883842748713,-1.1598782212389227,1.3575203823108968,0.1521024125385293,0.17576290776341863,-0.07870608399095103,3.164019553039585,1.9229251962109362,-0.27637321977352514,-0.29715173436446607,0.7578980921213336,0.4779452510438582,-0.4221931577364706,0.7381949562105932,4.743400317371669,-0.879132110000445,0.4344173675151446,-1.8690497728422009,0.4916182854377631,0.29639449555484965,0.9847316040723177,1.2774259854619507,-0.334459010103235,-0.8364207469970655,0.1879303143060227,-0.9953241205531853,-0.45441876938062675,-1.353244706044669,-0.49689160338879157,0.17843627514289317,0.9280321004975973,-0.9261542085325978,1.2606908626476145,1.4684007910239152,0.8425134593340833,-0.7178347727752472,-0.18872936379434346,0.42895982028674573,0.1847037390819739,-0.5979171998131716,-0.5102571407426177,-0.29838213228059907,-1.420767848305279,1.8420805289057376,-0.5635080729412358,-0.07794355978588019,0.05112019690896652,0.28529424156229855,0.7518565643595374,-0.13186118447682604,-0.19863400619363336,-0.2710173061307617,-0.4576522457932084,-1.4123253139089451,0.5950512322293036,-1.3901222281290235,-0.38019371991301343,0.23748865542493136,-3.3946558958393136,-0.5979213963360124,-0.047658520398501825,-0.19483140529303355,0.47688220831978034,-0.189632187041739,1.8601953030828455,-1.5650679939934888,-0.7234111951312654,-0.127776449759331,0.8827309780022086,-0.8111585944894166,0.14538320459874354,0.13864101903149617,0.4616815962397869,4.838433183369517E-4,0.33221724279231357,0.6823752894018917,0.20343372379776548,-1.1882866278973356,-1.139906826942545,0.581181234304045,1.033913752325726,-3.2946701367620403,0.3403602306719442,-1.2400886052620272,-0.4774168513184711,-0.13843448934994207,-0.09672624693291132,0.6834263728481342,3.517550495420294,0.02020569029216812,-1.3650311544508473,-1.143198315555214,-0.33200724393912706,-0.19168044841141008,-1.3814729748194647;-2.5855210884462565,-1.2621514600326789,-0.48900475520870046,4.57829547409073,-0.8507047322067711,2.501665396191,-2.019750774521375,2.3447634397970942,0.24111233358872441,0.2836743779248123,-0.17218698049773584,5.550024701962433,3.3587193528882264,-0.4453253155529353,-0.4916819787798321,1.3166897236149326,0.83103780993773,-0.7099427601212982,1.250775366573079,8.212725722122155,-1.5022235777815611,0.7192550300395397,-3.1219197975846713,0.8367026421471881,0.5060683176384204,1.7032969003996397,2.2127185189155667,-0.5495523688073121,-1.4262644536399298,0.23357689973948803,-1.7643936299450393,-0.8155487489621818,-2.340355088274965,-0.8513351565741072,0.30794613593255216,1.6128555469956107,-1.6465871825934366,2.1788338051431353,2.5552682002503175,1.4430220644740843,-1.2363950608893246,-0.3759479378369681,0.7138580786070854,0.294106061573316,-1.0129236084130682,-0.9029685637844427,-0.4457148401215312,-2.448337573114773,3.2008923698832947,-0.9858052482382487,-0.14670298046843477,0.05557569257994244,0.48270101994007275,1.29798284703697,-0.24133693999626704,-0.3800519808831231,-0.46840405530135953,-0.8057523095227959,-2.451132308987323,1.0137035196510435,-2.350307954208482,-0.7109457071337335,0.3828121349545941,-5.691359399754187,-1.0484205783451266,-0.11202872837013267,-0.3635068548416971,0.8082025644234934,-0.3415656199535606,3.23390920770115,-2.658007997533674,-1.265567390886524,-0.22670006987353286,1.5317420825880554,-1.5053531325624805,0.21254777444819606,0.21813539813010463,0.7744748238533328,-0.06986976678059387,0.5752777581249027,1.1612988720344242,0.3521925855681056,-2.0639388325847934,-1.9406267737174048,0.9783430437074729,1.7656720528355443,-5.459922610760939,0.5622073071019198,-2.14898065439911,-0.7978601948645831,-0.30919441505448564,-0.19132053342115896,1.1593401864239805,6.1666638720309646,0.005172725870037365,-2.3440708857595993,-1.9799401042553004,-0.5922010253741057,-0.284053196113363,-2.3241740557974016;0.8340546052397642,0.20803277710747636,-0.08854281333258385,-0.576979375968854,0.23232198563254514,-0.6038800360686114,0.3703695962287554,-0.488879501296239,-0.3350870023253858,-0.23889073723620413,-0.1842049111958275,-0.9625155996757613,-0.5602303080828754,0.4568802314845115,0.2850330177244089,-0.2197471619060689,-0.20608418116765215,0.280131009051269,-0.44298937264093574,0.7226563666674952,0.4738737645784479,-0.5280773493608404,1.3075374118477203,-0.27149109399896254,-0.12441990430997762,-0.31682846009538856,-0.40300482423843675,0.41786542726262255,0.4829850943532854,-1.0451983796644981,0.1008888858617869,-0.058538294304216976,0.5416849868203393,0.29956100685364895,-0.11684953559250921,-0.4114542694517649,-0.03489490847248966,-0.5411013312677593,-0.4073580021333765,-0.4900726490256542,0.22709926596116148,-0.32839010319088224,-0.4107294858657493,0.07468109524331723,0.5327094988808732,0.11957763194009452,0.795250775899083,0.6561716840989149,-0.35156505980872943,0.17268013476344635,0.005193143378297904,-0.31097116283260107,-0.3140336909679995,-0.38514169550898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k{4}=[0.5848847107002592;1.007094382053036;-0.19809712807698537];
x_a{4}=[-2.294196930590687,-4.021218007702174,12.10273748400563];
std_x_a{4}=[0.705740363635345,1.2166306029006606,0.4687539269683877];
pred_a{4}=[-2.294196930590687];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.3 to 0.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{5}=[-5.0348001163492055,-9.073885244744504,11.50945527966535];
std_x_f{5}=[1.4646220515366886,2.487293898110742,1.434007427653006];
pred_f{5}=[-5.0348001163492055];
obs{5}=[-4.894227202491621];
sqrt_r{5}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{5}=[3.1569498766830364];
xi{5}=[-1.082303174121864,-1.0924649112895937,-0.18884297190745514,1.994946101519504,-0.6382576167471843,2.3329080129220343,-2.1422548308753537,0.26423971890461484,0.15275765824573018,-0.69588536678385,0.3798304346729413,3.326293353519068,2.2943089244044397,-0.6533396338620499,-0.7848996884851243,0.9917873516155451,2.5526738493074554,0.2589758464257752,1.302618183654081,1.9050661377771,2.042148560656961,0.546424342539984,0.19702045466760065,0.8785323349458114,0.7580205921105092,0.9416974904425945,0.8005894431054577,-0.7323602453074072,-0.5297466765784504,-2.6187165629694285,0.5320829508734493,-0.43023863669576734,-2.8079848981558264,-1.2125977059776645,-0.2733310041089245,1.1273998404638417,-1.0571035590391071,2.4216764069938903,0.8288120992333559,0.9249485083908136,0.8527882915918221,-0.6273500765289679,0.8842254591212662,-1.2472849631340255,-0.259825222336711,-0.25584515259429796,-0.011554575901551623,-0.8287057895278975,3.926692824587756,-0.2475859182989959,0.378961255410208,0.2467834787371821,0.14672589399673708,0.6510359387600513,4.373631816388276,-0.10577583626269327,-1.7632766960540982,0.9634210601079651,-1.620624665515951,0.36448786118646925,-0.5866014458439475,-2.0018673057040397,0.34619949092374824,-2.1400866524426645,-0.34172636947217594,-0.6656126467088423,-0.9402999591404759,0.5586273363208782,1.1921583026718974,1.7226106084190018,-3.730864233858955,-0.4097019300869258,1.5166082331191943,1.1384374097539336,-0.39883561522869737,0.4166494506931189,-0.11148127351125492,-0.26002349143275083,0.708772012302588,-2.314524642385819,1.1599056636621268,0.09566735672922988,-2.122442513715284,-1.9085295183022017,0.5013002660987373,0.3048438905966391,-3.176327200376485,0.03662348175285679,-1.138364898427069,-0.1890500579164751,-1.3125018653925293,0.06912536997720586,-1.4571486750718536,2.913768017706623,0.5950900521803968,-0.9670479041261411,-1.2837769032383983,-0.9006805474474344,-0.8265107125649616,-2.7287366787327576;-1.8101231986383262,-1.899181403356316,-0.421898858176446,3.4827110058940978,-1.1278442269271185,4.05689936514241,-3.5571443125216593,0.38103498636525934,0.1456225029014071,-1.269491797471824,0.5451607929279962,5.901660275138115,3.996086860540392,-1.0984033814506695,-1.3564133330297423,1.6555971436667454,4.454963925733294,0.3995724468980839,2.1773509478603,3.500447177864891,3.545129722975462,0.8236426630986973,0.38439174109687,1.4382634776701781,1.2404140179701475,1.5651243334435927,1.3232358992968347,-1.2333384663705687,-0.9328530103753501,-4.533114263709971,0.8088708322297986,-0.8335665836285351,-4.540777223800843,-2.057021284602939,-0.5378533994762211,1.8873443675656842,-1.901598114415707,4.212545146480063,1.3871723906201998,1.5078427337351776,1.4040755457087943,-1.2053568916777415,1.4202824155835865,-2.1177124727220313,-0.4525370953235157,-0.5103664230614928,0.029680085328228856,-1.4271340761180937,7.000860152452297,-0.49212809953550263,0.5758717822314985,0.3140289898786808,0.15451612367952272,1.0438748104857147,7.82579121751777,-0.2990767264808536,-2.953464477711668,1.5951290096695496,-2.742210301216522,0.5467926186264442,-0.9970423997689792,-3.453620524670553,0.47220586949888954,-3.319182384033848,-0.6710462394465768,-1.2191767766967665,-1.673752418692322,0.8721301453052543,2.002532504373339,2.917698723006926,-5.7842934782265,-0.7790702127714457,2.5891951813611174,1.934693132958743,-0.8720544103788086,0.6109048983057903,-0.30193111024704145,-0.544910623111349,1.0558082895879846,-3.862862607230319,1.934872901064713,0.11509704355684036,-3.5174243644871392,-3.1204938065682377,0.7632735335842664,0.4129561809971012,-4.72063632246139,-0.04905376693823271,-1.9722138992880947,-0.34081331465639586,-2.3619742085761395,0.030979451693415427,-2.5381881306769767,5.15121993827611,0.9218868442509756,-1.663042221509798,-2.183122684421477,-1.5940190352958314,-1.3474105914426033,-4.319497192702736;1.2034220240878017,0.9274634350308837,-0.14192683599990552,-1.492935373398808,0.5131686776188982,-2.0256195153528758,2.2261969760938403,-0.4517147110567503,-0.5487155207669279,0.37576797950087126,-0.6974298452225955,-2.315345677858881,-1.8371890366000496,0.7631176564459263,0.7706583471510768,-1.006565436746822,-2.086855366191852,-0.31638102571482385,-1.4234845874389457,0.13696711988760946,-1.6247161343051264,-0.9772018447292599,0.17447155928608815,-1.0357101489979765,-0.8764070970030424,-0.9788777470011034,-0.8653490820750154,0.8011630922451012,0.5053838253462573,2.0960898129997165,-0.8555106374488979,0.06565700801142071,3.238971454720465,1.1994460186481,0.03962311067061641,-1.2213914184680164,0.6305384170423896,-2.077558896950329,-0.8425647333751574,-1.1539264758819208,-0.9422895242227192,0.13135653868733144,-1.1590291163862627,1.2408529261199135,0.3314086941278198,0.017304459985759024,0.38493053958043966,0.8019959869264888,-2.40387429410071,0.04094197975383729,-0.5496419725105302,-0.6454190408790019,-0.49846894096599037,-0.869710891392204,-2.738987417405683,-0.30990000143842344,1.7950028145525945,-1.0937406970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k{5}=[0.6832385564985003;1.1583404237492547;-0.6320682248623058];
x_a{5}=[-4.750575554416849,-8.59202016793162,11.246517375160174];
std_x_a{5}=[0.7689029878992735,1.3174463521733217,0.8112910482718021];
pred_a{5}=[-4.750575554416849];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.4 to 0.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{6}=[-10.333223808314925,-17.454335265205085,17.580694738190427];
std_x_f{6}=[1.2977029549790824,1.5660659383222213,2.732154014987565];
pred_f{6}=[-10.333223808314925];
obs{6}=[-10.767528621155154];
sqrt_r{6}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{6}=[2.6844957521099233];
xi{6}=[0.21404785002327031,-0.9192935593224139,-0.4104499253213376,1.0318688432009306,-0.8455727966799849,0.4302979066332977,-1.4027529261528642,0.014930801456499054,-0.4983826743380728,-0.07906840850140817,0.19964179458483855,3.2481153242976823,1.0272433991162835,-0.395297360591476,-0.5905898051325043,-0.04570190969616128,3.652724763785703,2.120275785285905,0.045013695258449005,3.5096305828270724,0.8891710068636147,-2.568449071121684,-0.4158915283543507,0.5821170430918929,-0.04338020121324426,0.9439793402195757,0.278678494418072,0.2753894374678083,-0.4096582303308818,-1.7705361787778866,-0.04069737514613081,-0.7361076725271882,-0.3162593499118014,-0.7576200455735282,-0.8955856366847001,1.2570499713959826,-1.051990615777214,0.7525937565214065,-0.4396562710784373,1.0782805400290023,0.8731166886783885,0.10039691165214393,0.7515897278929202,0.49073923108378814,0.30615555753069223,-1.1515052942842097,2.7195797928328336,-0.7438796611408058,2.958832791965027,-0.49204735107865716,-1.9651218775291852,-1.1727491890311352,-0.45936310941959846,0.08646893701401304,2.6884847950315285,-1.4734365482997873,-0.6277647260620078,0.13307398840825435,-0.6615014365049046,0.18167117508314945,0.42389526868847227,1.3069738061526603,-0.34540995785859785,0.19054843240154895,-0.6457661270829913,-0.2688179360498655,-3.3897200480978906,-0.1436084467057821,-0.258189076231476,-0.35031632829956116,-2.8490101763348576,-0.907933910223715,0.3257750550376617,0.621802413606682,-1.3110732249030583,2.2865377463266956,0.28370347747621416,0.9107678811400017,1.1702135812143233,-1.3580332870152585,-0.23885867862715315,-0.7935361054197472,2.130764442179329,-1.684392107941834,0.1937832294196351,-0.8633209301585367,-0.7062461985081026,0.03469247429510247,-1.273425064266812,-0.3378174068744091,-0.7760402285552388,-0.5490664128146232,-2.081971412157708,1.4068090255676466,2.5611581661435885,-0.4752812257941752,-0.9564938558665119,-0.27443648591154535,1.1302060689072349,-1.599715634923836;0.16747014097788337,-1.1370565485872248,-0.7541110243133922,1.2271952257220846,-1.0713648422390314,0.418291150918666,-1.3606077863566597,-0.22974115045816745,-0.8801237015591283,-0.3686545008978719,-0.0776328527265413,4.536679778275719,1.2042748612369216,-0.5111073444175247,-0.7678752003080938,-0.2478796103948291,5.042749234860569,2.562103577364864,-0.1963630878485958,5.195276352693789,1.013404133402517,-2.529729908804782,-0.4345821644607959,0.441224606003356,-0.28082994311093046,0.9331710072933532,0.10783080433217762,0.20514793842355772,-0.6029801107633546,-1.9668832801973117,-0.35980415379988884,-1.0829316977853232,-0.1724060440734192,-0.9035176262758462,-1.1777881847728544,1.3331012658353991,-1.397183200790252,0.8228512572450128,-0.660598114656306,1.0487508763758377,0.8251876446435666,-0.2524517082438962,0.6001981526304121,0.4447498007948276,0.22704732980964337,-1.4170972854873547,3.5872695311540106,-0.9176759715141998,4.222907010750815,-0.7787604396567147,-2.0300540420965447,-1.5337957108107183,-0.8187805989662635,-0.17014199977516498,3.8549558931947825,-1.7908010313986793,-0.7322828039285767,-0.087616037561979,-0.8111260598658134,-0.07227853309142063,0.36553479455688986,1.3784726903693318,-0.7436215398444475,0.5314231792905986,-0.95125417825545,-0.5767603532359189,-2.626506724779283,-0.45550899670764267,-0.4762375566423067,-0.620743352664217,-1.2244160084551723,-1.1983205151544212,0.2214359367342844,0.574792544229279,-1.8425929065041196,2.7130821812076817,5.558942312973159E-4,0.792366071240675,1.0275479495105309,-1.3506159231204258,-0.49910168183754067,-1.0392837353978415,2.6986631790477116,-1.4623928080000042,-0.0780080317615024,-1.2547051847249833,0.11554940290965376,-0.28958622540194057,-1.4357427092174007,-0.4988108422002533,-1.189211556037666,-0.8736330753462198,-2.103550658953541,1.8441902251465887,3.1301538100924677,-0.6442829431132111,-1.1007436947191636,-0.5425636663535656,1.3374834904243222,-1.0902797525072252;-0.46924062053824755,1.8312398750641599,0.42199788188576903,-1.997306316981053,1.6653102792828385,-0.9686518403850002,3.3924864445322953,-0.4342367367882183,0.5224960346031118,-0.28936602788030186,-0.9902469109154133,-5.484095884588516,-2.0623253435226445,0.8428883108684815,1.1792760430660287,-0.18420267177684124,-6.527990785390713,-4.43464807317334,-0.49257591068693785,-4.924351529945911,-1.7918944409447288,5.808450394976511,1.0773127567297216,-1.6540053703028175,-0.2595332622906845,-2.2723854665195606,-0.9217306864923493,-0.6797935068119081,0.7346164530295738,3.741205193031984,-0.46792298439538627,1.1470911887016584,1.166583182753591,1.6225967749828953,1.64480804617153,-2.937492374974548,1.896878246228109,-1.6116106039542206,0.7236313783981991,-2.7146704864333184,-2.1763862715718627,-0.8579972413521801,-2.106524337019591,-1.1627248399894405,-0.7767103979714101,2.277631915006044,-5.03633263227321,1.5407781113197672,-4.614160401895113,0.7168773517305311,4.3995292745205745,2.127216999358744,0.4727745366339704,-0.6468525669431671,-4.090373399377922,2.890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k{6}=[0.627490563464653;0.732692630678416;-1.2836898606125176];
x_a{6}=[-10.605320191759345,-17.772050027134245,18.137336365768633];
std_x_a{6}=[0.7844100716448504,1.0030642250741222,1.7222330362294003];
pred_a{6}=[-10.605320191759345];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.5 to 0.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{7}=[-15.767778057060724,-15.77718914520953,36.926050788185755];
std_x_f{7}=[0.3759055324127277,1.7566694053681942,1.7891481096316038];
pred_f{7}=[-15.767778057060724];
obs{7}=[-16.041026178725748];
sqrt_r{7}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{7}=[1.1413067998354336];
xi{7}=[0.01346191504940819,-0.05853568426023337,-0.26587805829833755,0.0050637203931831465,-0.07016277865573528,-0.003258269963508198,0.26285116502981154,-0.2670383755099657,0.09849335435764317,-0.29181903806692944,-0.34792120237049673,1.0162369502727255,0.1715513696407598,0.01682434088580287,-0.05595230996199163,-0.20050691545317711,0.6889151073059807,-0.04846252019673081,-0.27222714658927316,1.2825162314381586,-0.020127015274887583,0.40136266016925326,0.05460011618862204,-0.27832386460629266,-0.24297497160726778,-0.07379377857450109,-0.23913934716568264,-0.12944594845948565,-0.08142744502922206,0.07483196315071439,-0.29248387316501123,-0.0564488099800311,0.19392484595531556,-0.03298556143860587,-0.09990993099632561,-0.15291040436999026,-0.10073474910708136,-0.09008637489602123,-0.1359366855840456,-0.29686685695411796,-0.2428971077468418,-0.38197196539455547,-0.3029057008553835,-0.1419728663236608,-0.14280287648412404,-0.0914303735557791,0.32970850743757296,0.0037393751091450156,0.7033604105895588,-0.19347451262270532,0.18950017693012455,-0.15473818193013855,-0.29975437640051084,-0.29687509697237147,0.811969048780055,-0.04774669588431024,0.03515128150310076,-0.26854300672582454,-0.022525505061953055,-0.058498900468130444,-0.11401083162954251,-0.22747733341094722,-0.3650105165611599,0.3288427224468773,-0.2102894317498496,-0.2599332874878968,1.058557687924555,-0.3098543999815213,-0.1927666205991354,-0.21826109696424467,1.728816596944128,-0.15884005539478707,-0.13050582484593498,-0.17521076093707677,-0.2372081661305394,-0.13683906482486385,-0.3648399700636702,-0.3359483026827945,-0.45909076881374133,0.2218965464263558,-0.17257600860567557,-0.1266857734514204,0.12334901309723278,0.4534933266516603,-0.3376473806455067,-0.16115035000178146,0.916573850252103,-0.24862621209393154,0.060144533063724026,-0.06623782486638063,-0.3016443292107631,-0.21763462576895165,0.26549092247207184,0.31532821098619834,0.06392750893622967,-0.07077468908258311,0.05544446989789087,-0.23493217989713244,-0.006398651640564523,0.7459616110181173;2.064369043480159,0.8099925710703868,0.1326109506608688,-1.4257610251836503,0.6619941155874098,2.083326767363358,1.3953460970187592,-0.656809182744265,5.022750815341007,-0.5797228488322936,-0.7209072329567796,-3.910932050914205,3.4869500863629668,1.6538107041269203,0.8458999565024854,-0.06527718842273167,-2.481791961082429,-0.8132448392714586,-1.48488312540956,-1.8335273474785794,-2.1532593389181187,2.6816524533754205,0.39462635027622284,-0.16237706279925668,-0.40039999744262644,-3.9507171915736166,-0.3818402475360081,-0.5116175791953488,1.0697403837586403,1.4172490107528386,0.7223210944208347,2.9657042167743306,-0.6756173474430724,-0.5835588665371638,1.1604818862167772,1.2944770922678988,1.7653298056068731,-0.431093774537306,0.43751739002067147,-0.8363335727370966,-0.4919112199666458,-0.2215914663595555,-2.7566375770935885,-1.6968450199706453,-1.5997711785999407,0.05969874372609674,-2.0190211621189036,1.5037507969576893,0.6119202978542546,0.4114096761193977,0.7688041386826878,0.8721643460156674,-1.793378394486723,-0.6668960531231534,-2.1656287581218194,1.4521580854254985,1.1695870879981012,-1.4945065211284643,0.7189841792867728,-4.88757395306202,0.5574167192808819,-1.5523717008682816,-0.38321119194862163,-0.13371893215863118,-1.2565239452941448,0.1499211998179355,3.4948745005404174,-0.41661916096980534,-1.0730651240042697,0.08547970385196635,3.7101720853398135,-0.7981424668005772,1.0057309234521252,-0.29520433301217963,-3.8017708237066508,-1.0871591061540222,-1.3267351869155704,-0.9884812426790468,-1.5253481603944863,1.407155586948278,1.3655630678541346,-1.765179484208364,0.726257523611288,1.3067041186152935,-0.978231955094909,1.8856637873814552,1.3613049326547895,1.8321271988519445,1.2274844504231286,-2.6508765901080977,-0.8437644567440543,0.5300599166889253,1.5383389313596503,3.016742338113458,-3.475413121429046,0.6747174473021769,1.5037725852741666,-0.3459023004508843,-1.1442296819217148,2.6812668894982448;1.9241050753953246,0.9641326866588145,0.8647535690919952,-1.3552557677182833,0.867651399260474,1.9730364358569048,0.7206153543578395,0.11777627507372301,4.189147680610297,0.2568709987346054,0.2536786004482394,-7.038610256304754,2.764895032463194,1.5550593262681929,0.9893817507875013,0.5124324292147406,-4.411090041011107,-0.630294849901297,-0.6778011321406296,-5.283665267174882,-2.034188353192981,1.4856527233858188,0.307937781550919,0.5989522404380878,0.29975048574497265,-3.8203105948329252,0.30249977604266576,-0.09879913073245916,1.2730020394160917,1.1731331255632895,1.4700224005578661,2.859013538957896,-1.0876239120223232,-0.4085243994343557,1.3971339508209937,1.6139240456836887,1.9348580886527955,-0.11631282231265061,0.823324638867895,-0.008007396343025164,0.19845548036965965,0.8167162400453307,-1.9039244060795184,-1.2402052188688728,-1.138838706468377,0.3509261796888481,-2.8827474729050806,1.4482024544505663,-1.125501157106548,0.9323854875282578,0.29251774042834455,1.2496804497764629,-0.9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k{7}=[0.1238114062369635;0.13514803139640727;-0.1989354323105297];
x_a{7}=[-15.778450867884997,-15.788839197625583,36.94319945243105];
std_x_a{7}=[0.3855428212858567,1.7453012713179865,1.8123316725845464];
pred_a{7}=[-15.778450867884997];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.6 to 0.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{8}=[-9.439841296837477,0.08674407717731325,37.05116184886666];
std_x_f{8}=[1.0482745520525507,1.158018732572395,1.1581086920966126];
pred_f{8}=[-9.439841296837477];
obs{8}=[-9.180079165106001];
sqrt_r{8}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{8}=[2.114076464893832];
xi{8}=[1.2265789468569803,0.5359734174850637,0.33288650743032555,-0.8492673808717761,0.46686522733725866,1.255517967524911,0.573776082865761,-0.07663183946880636,2.9297784273301524,-0.09612345212016571,-0.14055112631116629,-3.381720192354255,1.966941866340921,1.0172712414318834,0.5615871204776504,0.12765251562962376,-2.172117234168626,-0.4622952415560384,-0.6258274049308525,-2.2422808476018137,-1.3174369193749076,1.2945332552165674,0.1876072798922621,0.13821729312188857,-0.04794748158365181,-2.3162300180179187,-0.024005717854608477,-0.21594147579627432,0.7437672303762497,0.7954669096340297,0.6843234568518604,1.789874073794011,-0.5521504471441823,-0.31455794642680956,0.7669840799027003,0.8880987683162953,1.1414656840838067,-0.17080068979791818,0.38489249891938293,-0.32279348598828506,-0.09839008638481772,0.14963189875110494,-1.2863714669208637,-0.9001586752496546,-0.8458131074568129,0.11729815530774168,-1.5599769928053213,0.8921519892717633,-0.19808165202879024,0.3847450792786553,0.2869113748422816,0.6583363326965745,-0.8278964996556617,-0.1416201022790844,-2.118874146405018,0.9011212118134235,0.6614663503427352,-0.6718746764515569,0.4605986872209513,-2.9124479393035756,0.41393622909992445,-0.7583337360114104,0.09682989925542707,-0.33251868251238825,-0.41368405838625755,0.3083234715807066,1.3148726262635417,0.041103424705726255,-0.6350288866698328,0.1939481947742845,1.0087158217441115,-0.33674042643115065,0.713244784978567,-0.004097303344490655,-2.094369054558646,-0.5855424748858518,-0.4961251413167247,-0.31427796076577685,-0.5647055565304484,0.6627252774328376,0.9563593452422978,-0.9537523836651278,0.32783761476862594,0.43386153727112564,-0.2975597658918314,1.2297453392181215,0.11063327098336728,1.3553488874867163,0.693212418377799,-1.6045860346774568,-0.221636453794277,0.49317021766701075,0.7150066668529558,1.5845898077391158,-2.183438379738451,0.47367209122445253,0.892338929239779,-0.00868720101807341,-0.685295725739147,1.0387666859952045;1.0925719244258238,0.5443264824325825,0.8592703382817848,-0.6632331836423156,0.5562295538659023,1.2257194722240317,-0.47139378199111237,0.8241486808505265,2.969959050210551,0.33571964636422713,0.3285977333388037,-4.311490417434042,1.7533587406104307,1.1839629836780592,0.5960516460764805,0.3530170338088945,-3.062658937340601,-0.42987572450951717,0.012184348793756433,-3.8323198500744446,-1.3444837574110573,0.6726750285497568,-0.014977070833776696,0.5155425857056939,0.1997444872105134,-1.6078221315355226,0.3194442739886149,-0.20101576873510424,0.9624226383737501,0.6146576285481175,1.0881197223169354,1.566912773863831,-0.7112867366727131,-0.2031869247342308,0.7059706107894029,1.003253876250573,1.1878787733993565,0.0540196506513789,0.556693506421901,-0.33747553511493084,0.21106460372636443,0.4065184144485012,-0.02446408694055674,-0.5888809400163337,-0.5872859659412287,0.23977494471521899,-2.10646314252881,0.6992023766139093,-1.2968435353825134,0.4610446717981661,-0.24220030336678194,0.8369498473570984,-0.37263793671518797,0.30334052598656697,-3.70373695087157,0.7951176303963717,0.34578986846031623,-0.24252721045266165,0.48516152868647333,-2.1335696676685822,0.3636010539529748,-0.46635450310305093,0.7301183075057566,-0.7359343489178048,0.8703795027887451,0.663537832859932,-0.22828507388072825,0.6467184400654739,-1.4543490422483094,0.21367749917602225,-1.222674310896931,-0.0625834977898987,0.8220156476349404,0.39990910768744625,-1.3762802535973377,-0.5550457381842153,-0.043866280889940976,0.14449986384521016,-0.08135079456412275,0.22829061808581047,1.074056655019755,-0.6574040389793039,0.0423908593279394,-0.20792588995687247,0.213497536824936,1.1524270705339705,-1.3389792038198598,2.09824238534968,0.5089304875239807,-1.6626062566006454,0.37617241032113585,0.6975139494362522,0.2609517053138256,1.1834661274300826,-1.8466801918216347,0.5712640923118701,0.980323911635406,0.30714787561985296,-0.6550355689674107,-0.3303659893400086;-1.2583426992485442,-0.5338917297593113,0.019893007436984078,0.944807472501644,-0.4116887961506137,-1.2171990510683486,-1.360804980101726,0.6908734586000236,-2.4815776941366607,0.3637297203351082,0.4327043188868487,2.996738011608926,-1.940592374254635,-0.8501701940364867,-0.534864529238483,-0.0034030930840316387,1.5972665040983003,0.44004115984173353,1.0395510370943413,1.1819234776313579,1.2897936749767283,-1.6935673320035463,-0.3604843403745406,0.0996751335254018,0.18852400889173282,2.8665633173109626,0.23224334487048992,0.19167515871411922,-0.5659163702298642,-0.9052060638716952,-0.38941179555872907,-1.8116704517372852,0.4027383023388751,0.34833689663714296,-0.7940823875259397,-0.7902941499543985,-1.0495121611457066,0.2830757687209342,-0.2709919071796705,0.2644340568532044,0.274670910280733,0.005426011000068343,2.1244580227300034,1.0860503031301008,0.9952414944755859,-0.0629487706435583,1.1714913139184233,-1.0072110987258824,-0.640759354449159,-0.3565012718822018,-0.6923936675132509,-0.518437204559433,1.1048833918640284,0.42010492048930814,1.058319968895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k{8}=[0.526980212586483;0.4986459877524887;-0.5420068001831347];
x_a{8}=[-9.28473755818614,0.23350832964193174,36.891635401620675];
std_x_a{8}=[0.7202756966908177,0.877218289621784,0.8770465172001622];
pred_a{8}=[-9.28473755818614];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.7 to 0.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{9}=[-1.9499283190464318,2.681642449891539,27.426000319070745];
std_x_f{9}=[0.5208465527138285,0.6118227902508251,0.6058455353466039];
pred_f{9}=[-1.9499283190464318];
obs{9}=[-1.6830813834165683];
sqrt_r{9}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{9}=[1.2722935061114922];
xi{9}=[0.3165834631241906,0.09968114592795829,0.44597910919466677,0.3239383647349019,0.10755847987543055,0.33331101021742326,-0.6339472468549072,0.4581171070728085,1.0469346705190663,0.23785463592066214,0.13431080417000163,-1.0827209588801106,0.44283095480232304,0.38724367868882736,-0.04791628756418409,0.06927092520724032,-0.9385504601799837,-0.3669110063651635,-0.11463829189674968,-1.6774393111727535,-0.7696057984700739,0.10788613758675636,-0.3064861698654795,0.31275322463812505,0.9422706420768867,-0.09584449211365964,0.6563669350072594,-0.30874300524836373,0.5336394291243725,0.07543255659201287,0.5250055922128789,0.4129599724558435,-0.24226652294894402,-0.04876666916311523,-0.06494477904561169,0.33819513003861923,0.3981921297330302,-0.025575757898644413,0.519084783507973,0.04013368949129781,0.7232588850517945,0.15954951596692069,0.39391090016975916,-0.08989975796004623,-0.1670784213821288,0.06147755644923003,-0.6573465907268128,0.17652405404217286,-1.2184516909274103,-0.3660791749405359,-0.05859398699893692,-0.12255396444686761,-0.05476742145269675,0.3066530868400652,-1.453250224665518,-0.0942464861393586,-0.11596794244384334,0.025204940620986216,-0.04313355599793178,-1.05763908198989,0.26425167697571283,-0.23646031399848866,0.7521439260378164,-0.4616406207398156,0.7208031989137464,0.4770605750489174,-0.465437254233946,0.2822503320612959,-0.815280826299646,-0.3424482784872418,-1.3539348894485173,0.10357452966112612,0.41120887055296196,0.21522994845163512,0.03193776785411062,0.3497559388556626,0.2659624952113664,0.2552586273604174,-0.241101274452713,0.0619250718511144,0.4866134854446331,-0.05743192042088907,-0.1395105040892628,-0.2597090603575629,0.12806627569702034,1.0118579685252804,-0.8428580194261506,0.22230124498613968,0.4402204784087411,-0.503429404674359,0.39062783297588477,-0.13898587647941163,-0.022873754798318213,0.11269948265029983,-0.38498747642909725,0.294326470983862,0.2395950094867989,0.8424516168633907,-0.21430991890320028,-0.7684718849410834;-0.031220800115301373,0.003111819071724753,0.5141556609461779,0.12630196658529025,0.07601084533405,0.06143625114672391,-1.0851731669048315,0.8416423746793988,0.513580951876837,0.37582473808002703,0.40506481121437643,-0.9747022861477193,-0.005411973793697733,0.2315808816402951,0.024462213279491163,0.18080125257194357,-0.9956730345643263,-0.03185054869780801,0.586671541811354,-1.5924798704790721,-0.007436356185008819,-0.5124216803163444,-0.2482546383732398,0.3441914410197806,0.4051711795792068,0.6052461099588107,0.36974840363085004,-0.03797210408697449,0.29112734498740345,-0.16046399697390434,0.4388091491528696,-0.03871752466351497,-0.24209631235469375,0.03531142946828858,-0.055576734074229694,0.16584287714785484,0.13100330591435494,0.15754841139354125,0.21936360051221993,-0.0818225731127864,0.3583498479745377,0.21625045295312972,1.1309423192034984,0.2161182644331352,0.16682670038938863,0.07792538639385072,-0.658558555039936,-0.14788139322252203,-1.1139175554852048,0.07325185458793504,-0.5318198747374647,0.183538925482591,0.36575935986523644,0.3899263018424679,-1.6636538229246622,-0.09004948056503004,-0.3153681629590479,0.3399129813064623,-4.165810869305453E-4,1.476310552775196,-0.02858355473645613,0.2151429421771045,0.6505119957629675,-0.4818556936539471,1.2006693566541067,0.36028909201564696,-1.4866870688943652,0.5557018466259915,-0.9082720694835758,-0.014401683463941772,-2.3011097287885294,0.2047477834384659,0.16208903175499412,0.35231057106326347,0.5954434724225752,-0.0018016711170840694,0.3711777720462863,0.388098870274562,0.4314894046584312,-0.40425141506184126,0.20307338098162875,0.1931990150884717,-0.31594369388586907,-0.6693811814484976,0.43655258405684316,0.25980862887048595,-1.53045025893187,0.8134779308898401,-0.08156661384024355,-0.14421727672885343,0.5381890546115415,0.19275205650387894,-0.43268831673767494,-0.2819172644544379,0.267685741225276,0.10664207329159137,0.12623307055635768,0.4196347121553239,-0.057554876678541866,-1.3804205005660417;-0.5409521383828384,-0.1623972343739588,-0.08519234323560454,-0.38527213988120934,-0.08106404311515192,-0.45189935756913613,-0.2862411721514313,0.3040437106912677,-0.8810856162652385,0.0686325221495494,0.2673372343874121,0.7639666224945962,-0.6659022485607906,-0.3122997811752377,0.10362841382285382,0.08992301350420107,0.39227137281642754,0.5279927771819217,0.8487658067172887,0.956832524418278,1.1881133539091948,-0.8185298254943518,0.1837818245525611,-0.0850194131329971,-1.084530612074282,0.8948503049664929,-0.6244672947942078,0.4241740538448511,-0.5070846491248879,-0.31459884281253636,-0.295436242301804,-0.6788376015527646,0.08806172880537488,0.10125730041922765,0.04583150062917696,-0.34722907322683483,-0.45628092388743724,0.20064464693478,-0.5861248768921854,-0.1813816266846544,-0.758420266691445,-0.0026214188162860808,0.7270764988668752,0.3941240835416089,0.46159902354477467,-0.017415461617680705,0.2994907652226786,-0.4604769136184359,0.664556513974329,0.6575607773142949,-0.5926032274245365,0.431188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k{9}=[0.21401783849679637;0.17367671348214592;-0.13851818355147766];
x_a{9}=[-1.8560204830620504,2.7578492018078355,27.365220605785286];
std_x_a{9}=[0.45375688878289705,0.5619612498048905,0.5956171510009698];
pred_a{9}=[-1.8560204830620504];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.8 to 0.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{10}=[0.9410869121652137,2.564176629188899,20.942424013332943];
std_x_f{10}=[0.5107585794793655,0.6833412063171008,0.4383290337706162];
pred_f{10}=[0.9410869121652137];
obs{10}=[1.1683968916863126];
sqrt_r{10}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{10}=[1.2608971217423874];
xi{10}=[0.04750502952531177,-0.3467944518106352,0.48643863385299735,0.11011623181167018,0.0038708967589556886,0.01931135686450569,-0.91650854082785,0.5802284377864655,0.4857027368353857,0.254793035278146,0.4849835735086736,-0.8772280014213837,0.32289151955782147,0.20969702498454112,-0.0043721743986187,0.09437316156573172,-0.48464325320016327,-0.0045056900490276774,0.2924507723767691,-1.0700565773448873,-0.20165081187352274,-0.2651282496228946,-0.2034235578346244,0.379740094796051,0.4388669899223292,0.022685413340857052,0.3315646728285768,-0.14248603462194742,0.24851901891762895,-0.018815710861945556,0.22970972047847726,0.4040437939880177,0.03285625294173322,-0.02312442495381839,-6.707201670881346E-4,0.24597661264467896,0.31331028245571746,0.09406073160678763,0.21656033085179494,0.17113786553677435,1.1522665614394707,0.11064389605134739,0.878734372081881,-0.02011893558650779,0.015188193211299494,-0.20788420419530151,-0.5099600736877462,-0.2422476631395616,-0.988297353689114,-0.19018569671464858,-0.3577645949041528,0.16232668725477328,0.2628774333137216,0.5535064355903179,-1.4865647250483436,-0.18435915415827142,-0.6610600257094412,1.2982987669110393,-0.044224943758505164,0.8548948804139045,-0.07077230140362334,0.05488747943743033,0.558088874162086,-0.376859413337987,0.8295734294675381,0.20852462294256213,-0.9035994970445622,-0.2543889338659643,-0.8155149862653681,-0.15453201044625742,-1.8777356663401896,0.1184443410569409,0.2410969729202701,0.08373248670453615,0.4041177117124066,0.10025578634364529,0.19088444787969427,0.32285882642603636,0.2322425910427448,-0.17558298843196307,0.25970477527818847,-0.3155706069926586,-0.276985664796095,-0.518055013064828,0.16175220071331564,0.185519769277662,-1.207283497878606,0.5549229622554925,0.22030696651645365,-0.2803724971716475,0.32880526821450373,0.14467042206193526,-0.3932769217392108,-0.24521297282251342,0.05290252955502128,0.18377605746557757,0.0916028168494285,0.7335049295801441,0.19210036802006836,-0.9465895119863711;-0.04554833859300622,-0.42391294660811685,0.6098901300170523,0.07640920886927693,0.0021618828705571858,-0.05238348855570152,-1.269759610640091,0.813683212115579,0.4520892901500342,0.35600371034560885,0.6550228372188411,-1.0118001202072786,0.2616290162530288,0.21033198866018266,0.01833948797906748,0.15480797282212988,-0.6408462245716162,0.08795305325041447,0.566512361583277,-1.2874733365022144,0.005348287537541907,-0.5290248209245649,-0.2290365495029003,0.47325344158862936,0.398585731237715,0.27557002697663835,0.3304146196442215,-0.0816446287068806,0.2355484193146955,-0.0992138323956282,0.2638004833594829,0.35286999564446964,0.02667072179352159,2.0422953306731273E-4,-0.004685302665391244,0.24364115565791122,0.29501272503365694,0.17253590944528652,0.18299615193004115,0.15906476710835848,1.2966023348215798,0.15337991030577403,1.2551127377739375,0.08046551139628422,0.12760022756599776,-0.22805767654389397,-0.6226617262819416,-0.3832060589153494,-1.1559334248371669,-0.08030097841503903,-0.5856698256447068,0.2776377528347931,0.4417965448849812,0.6834105511293997,-1.8547126690870197,-0.21896011311060892,-0.8354934825782803,1.606679564782473,-0.03945529634366496,1.7459686874004428,-0.16907208229387116,0.21294075132439083,0.6552345055917117,-0.46991674755378243,1.146347646353477,0.23231315426298238,-1.4783285049855823,-0.16635831778312404,-1.0211009934299224,-0.08437886252749438,-2.623006559467698,0.17563617449854707,0.2225922005078016,0.15456574189186245,0.6573015033188985,0.021131812666432825,0.26933129563445934,0.422954720796902,0.4770778659662751,-0.3609102292976658,0.23514928021171055,-0.2668217604696088,-0.39208787347717644,-0.7616413860630848,0.29570971763307385,0.03284471368899755,-1.7121424878230616,0.8439579791234357,0.11080260630496008,-0.2181477273567145,0.45474341209365665,0.27090001013440856,-0.6027177089240807,-0.41813910242470254,0.2657108090081044,0.1706124563733078,0.07990753795558403,0.7812569736608728,0.266066085558061,-1.379542799887205;-0.3700764649453241,-1.1925046025140773E-4,0.04712978997192607,-0.2239325497988247,-0.036733345992665534,-0.2683807777142917,-0.36061054966727824,0.4148117872261139,-0.4051598539550234,0.1284459909626534,0.2034030770354356,0.34229655416174865,-0.5029250517398687,-0.1525804363839356,0.04904329513235339,0.08501955302941511,-0.08780864095058405,0.2739703946144445,0.674818728707482,0.2523779324193036,0.7439453679716408,-0.6734799120704338,0.03165192976224418,-0.01052806755801683,-0.6011101709716016,0.7998027987879297,-0.3108704083071814,0.25493022970495005,-0.25612093532383184,-0.28381156897791016,-0.04628316404761179,-0.5499653618471747,-0.10084122338471602,0.058778708658955736,-0.024678118153563133,-0.21815024512633485,-0.31920701181048017,0.14178373177538361,-0.33679384129026957,-0.21921461911261986,-0.53339163394498,0.04531746954187099,0.7512528770369933,0.318948993808263,0.32878276433490683,0.07022898787392151,0.024671289757211667,-0.2913350484697048,0.2379787139687295,0.4682985115711453,-0.5176125272189509,0.27760897430734843,0.3731467977353873,0.006268166706355771,0.16109166502648975,0.03322474366722972,-0.05797054145349989,0.1048432931910881,0.032096452688342936,2.205682786048822,-0.3087163804158557,0.4254235646086393,-0.09689304014966638,-0.021585885515055026,0.5606203558524108,-0.12288479485178172,-1.0521510871575046,0.4596175507887814,-0.015412804240423128,0.32078349870119993,-0.5394922168958125,0.08863434502408296,-0.2942326546586216,0.17039158884665895,0.5766716274243535,-0.4329248191163977,0.1147707175248911,0.1075039482572464,0.6227557109292015,-0.5429765388094268,-0.30465693255347404,0.3635140876559362,-0.17922000910296276,-0.4119020712438797,0.3253560113659937,-0.7932646514217829,-0.5442124694457142,0.6366188571840468,-0.6308449111291736,0.3852383075459649,0.14367164836343704,0.29537269360200824,-0.4031994893053543,-0.3637511758476748,0.6574128849779477,-0.23838545425646274,-0.1079099463083466,-0.5340136009081604,0.05090178410008406,-0.5485892859283226];
k{10}=[0.20691388475997413;0.271894557091818;0.038815151669543836];
x_a{10}=[0.9967466021595126,2.6373160745017312,20.952865261930228];
std_x_a{10}=[0.4382904728834809,0.5897411516417714,0.43525978144609684];
pred_a{10}=[0.9967466021595126];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.9 to 1.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{11}=[2.4263047299081366,3.9747952864699108,16.585716241119325];
std_x_f{11}=[0.6577246936139363,0.9783438192686006,0.4819128222174944];
pred_f{11}=[2.4263047299081366];
obs{11}=[2.6868598676929043];
sqrt_r{11}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{11}=[1.432609592296981];
xi{11}=[-0.027823569793185676,-0.6971647917009411,0.2826455832396215,0.14440207670997784,-0.03226185013573879,0.010226277892543933,-1.063368670532404,0.10386287002054928,-0.29957843243203763,0.033361768124554825,0.21481658547205962,-0.7447986444064802,0.8435473866308487,0.2613208273936505,0.17028937686884404,0.11700295426502105,-0.6098581893753905,0.683743992735196,0.4301828048080214,-0.7350975872287,-0.6117828106352328,-0.3761394221577805,-0.37080259421364214,0.7319456278442158,0.47810139722949696,-0.04796904530010826,0.9464379634207383,-0.6839548976903542,0.1679426704041922,-0.14770724161415005,0.20413036803716622,0.35887458357944935,-0.10895359145753591,0.0165314683077038,-0.0379897355246106,0.24488775140381946,0.2408696380076467,0.16776720782997234,-0.5845712879336546,-0.09119594516210627,1.1822714037006836,0.1955397830702439,1.034222602931778,-0.016453008805757285,1.181224606786051,-0.5389592260537435,-0.9236314922000841,-0.06844613951458012,-1.021946568790978,-1.3353412841127723,-0.05001727654054822,0.3059222383353508,1.350697044927537,0.9367628347791905,-1.6501013752019178,-0.21197549945621752,-0.7279897715261883,1.377266465299929,-0.1556658424483559,1.2682718148744092,-0.6252300572150706,0.4922449158821087,0.6233463617875152,-0.4095722613184143,1.0107512364285691,-0.13689542940421617,-0.948700055261694,-0.17342552710628256,-0.9346890542519697,0.07640988883128363,-2.308839606084812,0.40160468200856014,0.2674041817817763,0.12390253459853984,0.5172030750994105,-0.1029197207597714,0.1501302502225279,0.4925196635356808,0.10369362924258274,-0.4226492384522733,0.484191724665366,0.5944135162344097,-0.11133672734439282,-0.4312741127168429,0.5599462288569734,-0.0075944264817064955,-1.634468279801093,0.6949856851277465,0.5693393812472145,-0.12185696785173805,0.3269337822429845,0.12772920407088906,-0.34294029095054634,-0.5207604601966123,-0.13189975395029396,0.09121526075442477,0.2184056620341761,0.5339080622986487,0.25186473980668156,-1.060615880595583;-0.021702385872067076,-1.0391196910802356,0.43093706016538436,0.2316823128619041,-0.0343829379778442,0.032274484471668696,-1.5992574712965184,0.14983047991428533,-0.4418739478434608,0.054427682688726886,0.31996553655314797,-1.0991867238024655,1.2757069671838823,0.3969930659479597,0.2630015269089898,0.182710847243563,-0.9126780147607985,1.0074842204486907,0.6268024797339966,-1.0897617673102218,-0.891922731611106,-0.5514471662519069,-0.5443548139645071,1.0882969918529661,0.7436488423004817,-0.06930278555700342,1.4111488715964353,-1.009229414558181,0.26556566677180404,-0.20903083800193878,0.31037672857738974,0.5519630167578211,-0.14847767939544587,0.03434373833919002,-0.041714731239862246,0.373801307486636,0.37175441074696236,0.2516641889947713,-0.866921019423319,-0.10788892208155909,1.78723904064358,0.3001855550798296,1.4814222649020237,-0.02108104311365855,1.7152149375826,-0.7921998259080869,-1.376134634554473,-0.08637096555679635,-1.5231793350580372,-1.9861281170460627,-0.05254758840743179,0.45645694067180864,1.9503214209421773,1.3878905517689533,-2.4769006566199576,-0.31063765998938697,-1.0758636854121413,2.010406965087824,-0.21987109100654312,1.7428846439777428,-0.9271086434640248,0.7328017362410937,0.9287242830446103,-0.5910570701124005,1.4568598298104143,-0.19159621849272446,-1.4431620276473378,-0.2524155313436349,-1.3880516180761484,0.11795085880663203,-3.53488290463656,0.6020213012693252,0.41399867126138057,0.19219945960495766,0.7510312175390621,-0.13497901678141888,0.22864390058475736,0.72909729551021,0.1520170078898846,-0.6252468317285405,0.7337010494769474,0.8790731114816022,-0.15224518675289866,-0.6353089086104657,0.8223576719193386,0.025321186809393215,-2.482054945809363,1.004361365383764,0.8679034014493721,-0.17399041951463268,0.4884041690525911,0.1923380446911751,-0.5026715027146937,-0.7760796451110838,-0.1938235818257077,0.14788161002439582,0.33443804073606165,0.822866543983515,0.3784527754664082,-1.605005582917311;-0.3341929355976134,-0.29889068902350857,0.07752442788718028,-0.14760319549637657,-0.08435690363152659,-0.24501642615363295,-0.6218171510720598,0.2444580150828486,-0.5535329619557068,0.04748786630803181,0.1590451678631979,0.010617366580952137,0.02688723473834642,-0.041292481706076245,0.08949358766424353,0.07572991435666054,-0.3137360803375593,0.5587304177666361,0.6749805581276966,-0.025749010241497672,0.2652680132243823,-0.6845776095745926,-0.16457050967504472,0.323242861029847,-0.29107896210901885,0.5369155420563878,0.23954383541610724,-0.13519343523209315,-0.1763116951751016,-0.32578930666350203,0.0024933080893418946,-0.31465006620476643,-0.18170593963818504,0.018661836115409614,-0.07425845943126674,-0.10748671619915129,-0.19459407842979815,0.1459127273756664,-0.58919032420898,-0.26786647908797434,0.11371935051829851,0.08550298199639883,1.0378286974484823,0.20381583872322295,0.933336962171861,-0.20944236002585015,-0.34701378767201163,-0.2590111161047375,-0.15560085940278867,-0.19489234014356072,-0.40286423425420637,0.3171561057109962,1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k{11}=[0.30197312277056204;0.449024665401105;0.15874418907366444];
x_a{11}=[2.4948866490705055,4.076774472636906,16.621769056160144];
std_x_a{11}=[0.5839529778208759,0.868286220718912,0.4711665575399494];
pred_a{11}=[2.4948866490705055];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.0 to 1.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{12}=[4.740617193244363,7.893320644115028,14.681783447601147];
std_x_f{12}=[0.9882500855266478,1.5176522151828644,1.032093467862975];
pred_f{12}=[4.740617193244363];
obs{12}=[5.092411684619948];
sqrt_r{12}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{12}=[1.979148917492884];
xi{12}=[-0.4985558233500669,-1.03057952110836,1.34254024090321,0.24323150530937276,1.059569911527758,0.0755622121674362,-1.1318121917182875,0.27294987983712105,-0.42645527302447395,-1.8026969999786355,1.4456736318137269,-0.7600352272636623,0.938376481781729,0.664141359414038,0.6329829537682103,-1.052325294704191,-0.2811944788742107,0.9434818361372646,0.47243950497002185,-0.8782162933373443,-0.6346871904760141,-1.204204781111796,-0.40705394229929404,0.7895379752217355,0.5121169791889448,0.39171273910091386,0.30302398112313345,-1.3010713786835324,0.29334794698589217,0.028544762309898886,0.33562095668028213,0.877848325952419,-0.8765944029216612,0.046651651957808404,-0.05860499737246183,0.667166218238533,0.7777008721648606,-0.11274139881544443,-0.6463659981797623,-0.03985094276767143,1.4760777285009548,0.24533305393271565,0.6538266035056726,0.24491088688099438,1.3812384001893854,-0.6000253906970094,-1.2084512790629676,0.27742588314680017,-0.9651818417593074,-1.60943380374388,0.1641299557839231,-0.10060673701738221,1.4598063765663793,1.2238184958159435,-2.918681896581092,-0.8105023278346555,-1.756599248519755,-0.2015724010738218,-0.18289381388276826,1.5122533710905763,-2.027491173549924,0.6152011438526959,1.0815081868049532,-1.1030677369723967,1.6531006158731847,0.5833498196971432,-0.8896289319258961,-0.22078281866606275,-1.4569274711958515,-0.22782236318077942,-2.913141854999904,2.0406269297024853,0.1316911026935763,0.009190277682653125,0.6504372416236981,-0.09181587239149014,-1.3165297036275594,1.060025569163681,1.031612088252019,-0.260718869374327,0.6375220712715564,0.8932278126533912,-0.07049874934736344,0.059976859952560524,0.6335001681710821,-0.7545689944138121,-1.9078777359065557,0.7931890855366701,0.6121261539401539,-0.01910416711791818,1.2233283214262345,0.13919195145456875,-0.5650939433948832,-0.5614368770002462,1.4376255438181325,0.33231201400347743,0.06195292722337964,0.5957483838138593,1.0224981301065403,-1.1684829414610514;-0.6831141311829825,-1.5849926383391155,2.0253653144794628,0.4486080201257918,1.624744215372174,0.19695144957872746,-1.731759377091529,0.41533294139229593,-0.561536113477203,-2.8268513614992097,2.143691672104322,-1.1916125678858602,1.5246421491870494,1.0700314714034613,0.9893716697430053,-1.6104449997215617,-0.39515944057563157,1.3943601196669713,0.6632940097197517,-1.3724961022898832,-1.0245617800696518,-1.796008799062423,-0.5869793560155667,1.2263573651572512,0.9081100031796128,0.5305939875576771,0.5430019848709255,-2.0425107313150077,0.5295142419678411,0.12109091565443553,0.570395752870831,1.4478039790654256,-1.314756919055836,0.11061082476006856,-0.040329821351321016,1.0864521477470772,1.260770756039192,-0.1454287330707631,-0.916932396243066,0.018302906593906876,2.3165743582888227,0.41771010883149184,0.9036424473666314,0.3697360884693355,1.985354020151271,-0.900895452540559,-1.8765149592119004,0.5041024530544549,-1.5192715922694866,-2.5628818441618915,0.359099686285437,-0.13857972193438517,2.085335159571307,1.848499317700754,-4.721590334799295,-1.2177249335168048,-2.7532774478119872,-0.2816047879336052,-0.24269413351816027,1.829876580381426,-3.177472476016182,0.8987299709772509,1.6674567163581964,-1.6904415646954343,2.3452104613989677,0.9445594982884975,-1.2790428481436624,-0.3582254331622172,-2.261838895380442,-0.34466749305710653,-4.715505817808183,2.9569622068743255,0.2895866052880445,0.043481855885059595,0.9373158054483541,-0.04007036796914232,-2.0359567012905524,1.6102085023823447,1.4861432172927982,-0.30238521540546426,1.0488372006662479,1.3064683110666353,-0.052407096677966614,0.17239054007026322,0.9452055386556575,-1.04054374720997,-3.0071940760940112,1.1402373805054973,1.059596352066051,-0.03799154982393116,1.8382660250593394,0.22199042221045762,-0.8039278728314914,-0.7962972766728571,2.042132704287014,0.5863731029375314,0.1597373132811244,1.032609205055933,1.5622180118689846,-1.7805661580798127;-0.8439750699453494,-1.004250536500189,1.40544771009416,-0.012765361511450024,1.0513335870341116,-0.20999826764357543,-1.1832456394203152,0.3494557825261335,-0.8277835564449045,-1.6370666574394441,1.639324993537743,-0.4948313964580464,0.6256133969221924,0.49038530400464886,0.6009715215019327,-1.065707299952706,-0.3625390145862255,1.1313949583354965,0.7822914912475145,-0.638420692533586,-0.24462727864382927,-1.5884279597350552,-0.4706185687112736,0.7281617133404623,0.020174943127424072,0.786901757699626,0.02442822784584564,-1.1025112099009835,0.006560382062543724,-0.2602426156595712,0.18649579989295972,0.47489852877817285,-1.025734637564213,-0.02961975389447602,-0.1968574272942636,0.4501478493540976,0.504820468271145,-0.15600090490420904,-0.9484252130426398,-0.30698740997406837,1.2132841865616335,0.1559215189882277,1.0342049258307142,0.3409511472079281,1.77706847942442,-0.6162680318836475,-1.0904955736507702,0.024590620342925362,-0.7028615862643033,-1.1231329279925788,-0.2170094057951637,-0.06284201590131033,1.912702268286564,1.2820045881951323,-1.9035094013558922,-0.846340009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k{12}=[0.4947323108628103;0.7581574721879688;0.49039099246980306];
x_a{12}=[4.88981500994031,8.121960328806104,14.829672040679396];
std_x_a{12}=[0.6625499259806287,1.0193018222837258,0.7244856119868361];
pred_a{12}=[4.88981500994031];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.1 to 1.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{13}=[9.380726573590954,14.996289841221547,18.81142897123189];
std_x_f{13}=[0.9512355183509638,1.0247310170787698,2.023057242992166];
pred_f{13}=[9.380726573590954];
obs{13}=[9.746670210583972];
sqrt_r{13}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{13}=[1.90517995355137];
xi{13}=[0.18100628639744087,-0.06412332674068111,0.7248861379163358,-0.61556442473589,1.5428844309421326,-0.7016003743522177,-1.719867660651241,-0.2937032959229722,-0.6494254268180466,-2.5701347684167795,1.1131996920336373,-0.7300074141621646,1.8776962885257635,0.28655997818894896,-0.11032138007873193,3.185796279858611,-0.4016349951277327,0.40040183221293724,0.2970720373057816,-0.596438845109045,-0.2858213526609976,-0.40530374850908224,-0.47739514423051865,0.48519605615771866,-0.1933835355570146,0.21219485942006777,0.4312601506558238,-0.9734285403650631,0.958456672544445,0.39231493808621387,-1.071519944965857,-0.10752370492223662,-0.7669868809733273,0.20536362865062685,0.053171203322500915,0.8520297876883891,0.7227809411445882,-0.0804829519062853,-0.31014276187878487,0.9534447364586711,1.1544180798126664,-0.4970489048354434,0.4137231130312351,0.2075578374442042,0.8542956358803124,-0.45429897293797517,-1.010292883338927,-1.1268617979560407,-0.1977876703431054,-2.605127673774752,0.32045057774882046,-0.21424203815633192,0.38365444932711235,1.051337140318708,-2.79508679732706,-0.2839473971095181,-1.3066555331762935,0.008637646060480009,0.020877130294786994,0.31947360320626395,-0.4813907322359601,-0.07427882387238682,0.4432806805794609,-0.7477254623543796,0.5054350348639396,-1.1144077662138763,0.6601030925176783,0.20465989939661533,-0.7166952395208881,-0.5881133023557243,-2.600697007492558,1.266594012537615,0.05310398266681915,-0.7829026052122039,0.4874600604978703,-2.0117688999032213,0.5229195200393537,0.6644965228254041,0.6720117744007208,0.8597697725962856,0.8774877505301575,0.5698057929295572,0.4202845928430783,0.179649211799509,-0.30210303160465735,-0.10133751866937502,-0.6265295470972738,0.7496265318591977,0.6909570343265194,0.09912064586662694,0.8251200080278807,-1.1880951621459594,-0.09925206715335833,1.0494858004783492,0.522923801775546,0.3231924139279041,0.048829873557419745,0.9747300074919263,1.7422203537983698,0.028047990103054588;0.4340826531704671,0.01974617477616647,0.7293594339051062,-0.4628827018908943,1.3632061248363208,-0.5571732935359357,-1.916880840329707,-0.24279832840034032,-0.44237048375311794,-3.1601437939109704,0.9527576258120085,-0.7923391220529403,1.7527975927473527,0.45836365472333185,-1.9501971108226712E-5,1.8529173486396466,-0.2918889614220568,0.3863924381655508,0.24263834605053525,-0.6339951940242745,-0.359688218066724,-0.1812665619756313,-0.381958231723619,0.5925047314654481,0.1114912844841438,0.12528297986536785,0.6468348514023212,-1.0661105597925484,1.1138530434543732,0.6126994991975039,-1.0515959645735258,0.15925598741600844,-0.6787192165085791,0.3408649271309798,0.21710985278868833,0.9935757184302041,0.9066500463377434,0.02967878599503848,-0.09994388890471839,1.1008627488224683,1.2436495328588002,-0.3963035536990791,0.30095539282442907,0.2595277360319663,0.6515410203953707,-0.378746989209958,-1.070501901928461,-1.0763190821090607,-0.2130032037041385,-3.2977642843349795,0.5931117876239878,-0.1286843373907729,0.22589832552259637,0.9887928843052833,-3.722305360222176,-0.17837436234536952,-1.4692492012596077,0.1433263494513568,0.16317255055264468,-0.4053171750722182,-0.4563442649104701,-0.07253756652930399,0.5537257703398009,-0.7200710786508271,0.2912038260717438,-1.094810001874972,0.971187188419762,0.22248259051436214,-0.7532076333511242,-0.5685010602843636,-3.411867902402168,0.9310500759540083,0.29499104893329076,-0.7475568791412908,0.43168809103775985,-2.200177051375416,0.5760807577561184,0.6807312393408189,0.5323874213678792,1.0956238642157672,1.035508295988432,0.502548681171211,0.6046010117438527,0.4011873738585017,-0.27793237286848793,0.24533765984899425,-0.6577517399614283,0.6177073642645645,0.9740538882580072,0.1262858521764425,0.7849538808887555,-1.26414286673851,0.1145843025409814,1.1883461959810546,0.31851470982170405,0.5456171658711462,0.24410720630030447,1.2262940195825607,1.4676954530613386,0.18984836770877855;-0.07003260876665607,-0.2319704502741402,1.6092632811754726,-1.6561448756985406,3.545120950159756,-1.8599451194717531,-3.5398772688364257,-0.6669170856269169,-1.8569637023159373,-4.753516379748119,2.692009913157303,-1.393639949472064,4.096484846044742,0.33245547095841843,-0.37418257890928786,8.302625779670041,-1.0571932176314505,0.9843123967221992,0.8640513554795284,-1.1423875881015668,-0.3486674315530287,-1.3487927893237242,-1.1910608301280519,0.9187876207665688,-1.0245918935090543,0.750801985839427,0.546766226086973,-1.9219154795284972,1.770880788321712,0.4566538311342221,-2.452087865791661,-0.7455448578243598,-1.8448718992257866,0.25928469829851153,-0.14235827001040136,1.6116872478456514,1.2362394700514159,-0.34957424301388684,-1.0849103730619731,1.7880730507063696,2.3059055204311782,-1.2531501279810229,1.2147438387542842,0.43772531065650355,2.2714312491610045,-1.106361110764432,-2.070932932681835,-2.6436084780175797,-0.2916281137100327,-4.527206750948812,0.19729041558155913,-0.5367974533039721,1.2334723537175982,2.4055124029596584,-4.3364973279268035,-0.77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k{13}=[0.47511519941413416;0.4951795543316084;0.9866879193480368];
x_a{13}=[9.611729904900258,15.23704855992369,19.291161458454148];
std_x_a{13}=[0.6639814801126983,0.737489984003297,1.4455242194947964];
pred_a{13}=[9.611729904900258];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.2 to 1.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{14}=[14.176866568318506,15.66643994202892,33.01572906842075];
std_x_f{14}=[0.26563040916162356,1.3092535956294042,1.432116648321793];
pred_f{14}=[14.176866568318506];
obs{14}=[14.316741847886645];
sqrt_r{14}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{14}=[1.0713652411066261];
xi{14}=[0.28243044575648035,0.10490569627304325,0.0010023731030859295,0.21457153033160914,-0.15588685915160916,0.15715604273307449,-0.08077842162715854,0.058041812887710265,0.2533304537724739,-0.49712199828566384,-0.1562725863687522,-0.1081983156295454,-0.10498751228691461,0.17556057484117993,0.13958141498098264,-1.1187932515210832,0.15725100958102445,-0.018904546230013253,-0.07884162368180903,-0.10692018926818214,-0.08573300548815688,0.1367628478942482,-0.14766729171259207,0.10863383721048336,0.31889247510266827,-0.096833011162067,0.23387599844061313,-0.1510070678727189,0.10488200918714519,0.24509929128691255,0.04034095225400591,0.30278881886680864,0.16174061579805787,0.08341055610598147,0.17864390532720087,0.11598933409138468,0.19109985178798183,0.119544167737061,0.2561014226592082,0.15245711902126224,0.09111703564081353,0.08309694583179095,-0.12818577072621373,0.048428725962294195,-0.20628453864267016,0.10230894854816697,0.027099267809209238,0.09679221735754773,-0.04456999743322676,-0.7032934403494888,0.2916299389105266,0.05794974463117164,-0.15850520727622808,-0.06179283662707924,-1.0833360596824786,0.12036530891559316,-0.15960621877294123,0.14436351279268855,0.16719360646866654,-0.7815097133671234,-0.011120844407885855,-0.0018903098929481388,0.1162179044386118,0.05614248624681828,-0.24191827915924335,0.022883249319729515,0.3282821893028256,0.004653077085576385,-0.010923478886157412,0.028129504074112077,-0.8977226553845838,-0.3251405837693895,0.20772592736067175,0.1168910988586962,-0.05912605955691319,-0.14805141506820796,0.05570333866097421,0.02365217152107668,-0.18484420289554215,0.24452007980889512,0.16637065688598263,-0.06606603147326062,0.18580300026252594,0.14270515319154953,0.05474502206502585,0.37501728185066696,-0.0023976423796110424,-0.14114073438494756,0.2770461122476817,0.030924698276292517,-0.035435991082065854,-0.13077029894337322,0.2294831185109949,0.1391939747140416,-0.214754598133986,-0.03554179710977756,0.21468938021777362,0.2549958571215427,-0.24885352069511768,0.19051281446425428;0.09369308829596612,-0.05164047821284967,-0.383104308357364,0.5665957541027957,-1.7810913459685302,1.4674076040856754,0.7938292844994805,0.4458733831805688,1.1224448319209088,1.1126760383514522,-0.8545048726715478,1.1943408422560111,-1.9131318610810002,0.23517911601756403,-0.45572685156491843,-4.680101017147193,0.16064114871990043,-0.5108000028545074,-0.10444029191850923,1.387906546745068,0.1539114752563968,2.26395507869076,-5.671373771262996,-0.319196310002825,1.247677456029912,-0.4635700760702388,0.07217128157990871,1.577118404838643,1.005451331251063,-0.2347096416043275,1.445431213589746,0.6347764916263898,0.19627894787596567,1.0603971788667579,0.09473994571083821,0.28124467515331375,-0.39677218886861,0.5606688408779696,0.5478791361948119,-0.6720707343041337,-1.3467062179208629,1.2170214938018873,-0.5107832770002112,-0.05435086889936258,-0.7905969239693196,0.59306101741468,-0.3514308473567169,1.3585713595126307,0.599276699648172,1.2624728406703838,-0.06571484243736947,0.8839999926337399,-1.2832091118965732,-0.9701372340317373,1.2543852193486913,0.6124017154676231,1.187396796984519,0.22484331000787883,-0.21707551465018327,-0.967036087559519,1.3230907034051427,0.10861569121219183,-0.3064676153445731,0.8012509449413052,-0.47889508579334006,1.6522580672016254,-0.7018636088923529,-0.0743482385742773,0.543021154917831,0.7900909302186179,1.2120931019604093,-1.2085095751563983,1.28509497106662,-0.476073612774476,-0.5060085875633664,2.1095239450873606,-1.0747432697473283,-0.9868199858757833,0.0542988968918543,-0.4154375098896992,-0.43894765841521277,-0.8049080358785776,0.07847969734780413,1.7682088284579294,-0.8267118864554757,1.1031717074330842,0.24989496790245447,-2.184404021125573,0.3733367784486319,0.04049554749103024,-0.8549302370285528,1.7700293985738647,0.8183700499596185,-0.5299649111316143,-0.6053380692956836,-5.289609891185657,-0.1442100829888755,-0.06457358432296445,-1.9248700628642368,-0.05013471580993212;0.6830454907994152,0.3770378819982767,0.4563695649999957,-0.017055480401872103,1.4990087322384866,-1.1815591214412926,-1.0894033339855191,-0.2924339925452273,-0.5298904165510336,-2.65429548204218,0.5487842229075213,-1.5879717590549518,1.7596565846544294,0.2622762067154767,0.8989798094087931,1.9789669532027787,0.28066940620975345,0.5555440383767376,-0.036175851855617225,-1.8176844356625104,-0.3439812955471453,-2.162982817523094,5.161787107522386,0.6704687569573693,-0.4821420415766724,0.3016785799920285,0.565179056328688,-2.1754955198284947,-0.7946507600383583,0.9248750799325975,-1.4797717083167825,0.1397820543300483,0.2569447486335861,-0.8988995112693274,0.4223002833431053,0.04545669942488928,0.9615521690051665,-0.25912046421078117,0.11603940833862936,1.1526093283448802,1.688448620560841,-1.0846375238118888,0.26670582442768875,0.24126518226441362,0.3554673030074369,-0.33898287653307335,0.49452749384047934,-1.2347362756900466,-0.7306166096314755,-3.3853440358853746,0.8876646449945582,-0.782849626236974,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k{14}=[0.06661149565848537;0.06763216588542927;0.1130239548669358];
x_a{14}=[14.186000676821779,15.675714010046791,33.03122749038257];
std_x_a{14}=[0.249497377831416,1.3159810545982127,1.407454777489173];
pred_a{14}=[14.186000676821779];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.3 to 1.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{15}=[10.66246929539947,3.5847979377410004,36.48528588762101];
std_x_f{15}=[0.8574212610200173,0.977015602428936,0.9182019654732292];
pred_f{15}=[10.66246929539947];
obs{15}=[10.497836427411645];
sqrt_r{15}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{15}=[1.7354620071397142];
xi{15}=[-0.16967038859272776,-0.12713738763722127,-0.2705319296261308,0.1995721289556034,-1.0626039110755254,0.8529219922704492,0.6013860572598233,0.24219630217012167,0.5398613774269538,1.192068670403751,-0.45069105531396403,0.8868468701451881,-1.168361314060773,-0.015797719889926398,-0.4240855473445375,-2.349367853388493,-0.03057359472858323,-0.31738818492132026,-0.026236509772115113,1.0249176279886427,0.16178351432498062,1.404574001841711,-3.59237007224813,-0.2991028227437855,0.5631370615441913,-0.23293634648386252,-0.13742655489626365,1.1996456058681932,0.5728358330069856,-0.3487070894340274,0.9621687993314776,0.15956147212004623,-0.016435777773741833,0.6307681821809137,-0.08242748609779937,0.08552491658713102,-0.41106412672528947,0.27636427263142593,0.16017379768779172,-0.5775582649270259,-0.9447204316380251,0.7462297050016957,-0.24436955888743483,-0.07731205301849364,-0.3661639773152512,0.30802456625226604,-0.24130952474025413,0.8475541776932971,0.4329866261393427,1.4630855851969908,-0.29384624022283745,0.5302775781884215,-0.7393819503429189,-0.6002730362121564,1.7995413838251437,0.3060666400567289,0.9197296190608704,-0.030242194248918608,-0.28268511521519457,-0.06398754632841808,0.8523961694633648,0.07641174018462316,-0.3155183788529463,0.47597347015352653,-0.1525624444188054,1.0668787644058018,-0.7122538541573729,-0.0787701115156132,0.353171023090324,0.5046126265753994,1.5790952701156282,-0.5641175363580189,0.687406003500092,-0.4077968645956087,-0.29145992115883423,1.5780646465957133,-0.7643975740573907,-0.6676087606969219,0.17674025731017018,-0.4742255155648838,-0.41881301860282605,-0.48572800128701843,-0.09107873687116275,1.0618188232539882,-0.5930956242181065,0.4281627999887423,0.16626938620383136,-1.3382170803028988,0.025302561606480367,1.1803638628293811E-4,-0.5450409861951719,1.335797990011022,0.36575453747169107,-0.45917334297063306,-0.25598846913490547,-3.4148436738114594,-0.2720000193813057,-0.23316000442475726,-1.0902625497282887,-0.1829004373206029;-0.5647916265347375,-0.314499092115053,-0.31494476359169843,-0.09571593188737015,-0.8846538811932398,0.6081629312116155,0.7205609623215912,0.13461063583491129,0.14656586591649035,1.9404684198638886,-0.20535091596041877,1.0039621492701398,-0.7912249759361085,-0.3985180975021283,-0.5934178146599587,-1.1080175321462797,-0.2879017144360798,-0.11185648095914091,0.10244291485906842,1.1812847740867847,0.2913654838469868,1.1176892563958143,-3.700464233643637,-0.42698875810467296,0.045764471629434755,-0.022086792282291157,-0.4261302336202477,1.4247742509062071,0.3616995355476562,-0.6714746750474836,1.0607203152932776,-0.360160520297403,-0.3190604945903259,0.4579916788677467,-0.284521829328356,-0.08961531065893302,-0.5856536490381523,0.1265611671127198,-0.21640676835341655,-0.8649949382581301,-0.8935440303871212,0.6332143934445789,0.013967324716130936,-0.10462660966652537,-0.061187522762941704,0.14080913691127916,-0.07698795706615869,0.7833858119196426,0.5387521924075314,2.5636587074652573,-0.7626123895078001,0.40964617816013105,-0.4729101987082238,-0.49764570515506534,3.552337725678786,0.14213474939110649,1.0530371215372192,-0.66058411490999,-0.5136647995058667,1.0870821900127172,0.513559594440685,0.15354863817454145,-0.5195470147848713,0.337871503362448,0.13857060331962145,0.7943117928473278,-1.1674836909602813,-0.18666903050655614,0.2945620490251035,0.4477921611193789,2.772896120650249,-0.1161054466977105,0.4451968493301832,-0.554203565170615,-0.1756168373064324,1.7936029390926906,-0.842070667693561,-0.5920172950374063,0.4949437243119146,-0.8361356840069769,-0.5591319043197713,-0.33244611283012215,-0.24661618490246306,0.8427941734338704,-0.585507865600635,-0.07933055969503977,0.19779203094178577,-1.1125487555263853,-0.2996933319394026,0.04992749350263148,-0.47308203067114274,1.7160300266398387,0.15145864143968923,-0.5854864983044719,-0.0774802877579126,-3.668789019624722,-0.551353159329584,-0.4686095286047727,-0.6760487531042654,-0.3993211040507725;0.09416268717522769,-0.020042717336970384,-0.26932675558160213,0.42339666329630177,-1.2901690440280476,1.1133221341150588,0.5493446773754442,0.32601244404035157,0.8711911836318507,0.7244979840168995,-0.7061757305353424,0.8749700331082266,-1.5609568647652665,0.26785939966795524,-0.33329425513643685,-3.4387730928316316,0.14890767511604253,-0.5275902348244799,-0.1338772614653294,1.0079934131597525,0.053872355030669894,1.7912680980520719,-3.358440875144275,-0.250935745215763,0.9876751465487956,-0.4441755129560505,0.04962551472035415,1.1474857314782057,0.7766704724047031,-0.15008499024437327,0.9685423325884628,0.5555314280924861,0.19402677498064236,0.8091497647752348,0.04896597283514126,0.2127192915911138,-0.32811033387926614,0.39516459545984617,0.42684317778664393,-0.4181077111134286,-1.0688362306796648,0.8891309628243746,-0.4849710307250916,-0.08734630731506599,-0.6723837883279558,0.4433447335936549,-0.41802030670728385,0.9622282410591225,0.37305290733298335,0.7850251058655999,0.02586069328195606,0.667943999791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k{15}=[0.42378456233211304;0.44388999163331994;0.42954772545946146];
x_a{15}=[10.506521981702088,3.4214520824992984,36.32721780340014];
std_x_a{15}=[0.6438086108484804,0.8046248288707888,0.6941800487140234];
pred_a{15}=[10.506521981702088];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.4 to 1.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{16}=[4.194683190159181,-0.3150040451438324,28.446135732949642];
std_x_f{16}=[0.4199558614204627,0.376430470518703,0.6895165364718329];
pred_f{16}=[4.194683190159181];
obs{16}=[4.09196694520837];
sqrt_r{16}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{16}=[1.1767880182478756];
xi{16}=[-0.20514428566451004,-0.055275680424569096,0.03656727571997287,-0.05589771554759171,-0.3121654789793311,-0.07696285229651956,0.3100634532972233,0.16008824914555309,0.04563837987933894,0.8649521310326227,0.17799595391892176,0.29845175009902913,0.048781953030561986,-0.806799343667679,-0.37439146982129756,0.4244241773707298,-0.7400798814857747,0.05555407728331385,0.20038913967713334,0.7367485095017798,0.03467742480316449,0.14009385410561848,-1.1049570261774186,-0.2336794706664116,-0.05377336146762257,0.19809658114755546,-0.46941732514400725,0.475900194866397,0.1746778066950112,-0.746983794449045,0.40403425816738636,-0.32410136809417756,-0.11161395584330513,0.052062346668900084,-0.10858365868442732,0.025809061532292787,-0.149303652734468,-0.17816874467615662,0.01415336311208737,-0.25618528509785143,-0.29759285667202917,0.048109379668850316,0.09188645084269531,0.1795358228946693,0.270134720002118,-0.3444691448616175,0.16687659573539637,0.2492746554442462,0.16017562273990738,1.1151334180229124,-0.19975161345481807,-0.5373305752368873,0.07301293917313423,0.002599583489808488,1.7487414968398856,-0.49737438614898855,0.3233483190535926,-0.34304724713890566,-0.13648932355122945,0.5469818421233894,0.01895035587558347,0.06716112541493668,-0.12304195908219295,0.10540193061120373,0.22230321494930294,0.1279152864864388,-0.5572203362240038,-0.012115559869764425,0.24174101752452426,0.1641090681597701,1.210544118853817,0.25149413204802773,-0.28214437493769706,-0.1613373685141788,0.07796938580710044,0.2996436810751044,0.001432430783058436,-0.03618320330201641,0.37325939981359024,-0.3764850729312399,-0.15150623642400873,-0.5229639707183642,0.05905792011018285,0.019196759142909414,0.19873409398881048,0.056984340579306014,0.1274207574372639,-0.12099827319279832,-0.20022595121582043,-0.2721653791034937,-0.15110675193787415,0.41800308003263975,0.27735108413983767,-0.3913946824306196,0.0017726209615860355,-1.3647035529277707,-0.15040855686321208,-0.16944378151591089,0.09166011368650828,-0.5040921953890924;-0.33983084236193983,-0.14562592558772797,0.00120230199271959,-0.3162364795762297,0.4035562930988558,-0.30201457533842624,2.3038666636449046E-4,-0.18961527252198562,-0.543292566837744,0.4103893622514235,0.34213247318552853,-0.03662112419695618,0.581551927043165,-0.24222222792840054,-0.022220987792473612,1.56196428015082,-0.10639726061491583,0.3217487809082593,0.12764088334661766,-0.4152601636249085,0.1924756189753133,-0.5795028525706607,-0.00947332140857976,-0.005651709570658969,-0.6429370633875877,0.27237636807805465,-0.14613705312010816,-0.05478897956798373,-0.3770497074537549,-0.15205141451988896,-0.1432904689157498,-0.4865062530932225,-0.27752618577047095,-0.24971042908384966,-0.14889803003590651,-0.19464373696729886,-0.07376478235823702,-0.0860593999007288,-0.4444246876615522,-0.15450060918410424,0.2528683105171574,-0.18555303644661114,0.36269068821371914,-0.054437376640172785,0.3773232019721602,-0.06692490821215397,0.22365081614210724,-0.24320289742033951,0.07773238242172723,0.663123798267744,-0.43223926270889856,-0.023155128396534774,0.40539707457136076,0.23155934373965692,0.9104775581362645,-0.043129539241511416,-0.035449190751657755,-0.6094020485037103,-0.15972084557277755,1.3192487146795688,-0.4871627342775553,0.1215294028396483,-0.13757662586701735,-0.22105559717481515,0.3465024631529893,-0.4977034638512212,-0.29033619893198803,-0.06858245745856895,-0.18205669319738144,-0.1438571825747208,0.6954296178640784,0.5812259626757235,-0.21432105866254458,-0.033974398046036525,0.20719978893258106,-0.004417480467675761,0.014674724920322457,0.21380208822557853,0.26491794668100094,-0.22944415032600063,-0.026277805127106924,0.3448540719877398,-0.1603470474768831,-0.35997115146416914,0.015701454838264073,-0.6970262400140493,0.026352240879512434,0.4367375646248812,-0.2798287910665659,0.18225179283282575,0.22555936937228244,0.18876013043254694,-0.44761649063984676,0.04301867414294408,0.29715161401439816,-0.21432032034754422,-0.21105972610539991,-0.15021032714540944,0.6127285443151158,-0.061123732022093535;0.014631110869352426,0.0549195872256405,0.06237942114828954,0.2606924561704709,-1.0241687477748123,0.23072858722902723,0.539589450241472,0.4761281398359145,0.6690311640854283,1.0848780404980616,-0.07751230296530665,0.5796702333257997,-0.5750553788734827,-1.1470755629917662,-0.6280392394365464,-0.98884291318317,-1.1955819615549643,-0.265882599869137,0.21477318113463184,1.6606732516973821,-0.14544022400291112,0.8990988061599161,-1.866216097313373,-0.4108929402898269,0.5991403227600891,0.047183737407827664,-0.6660037494976585,0.8989758052918013,0.7048411531109515,-1.1587938566337925,0.8609573905295136,-0.019312190054652234,0.10831784822578783,0.3692599109827768,-0.021243167706519017,0.2588957057957373,-0.1838934390963196,-0.2092707362596613,0.49898358359076056,-0.2642883839978829,-0.8220003365757407,0.3006745701675264,-0.2389900091027215,0.36116622126904474,0.055335759888578195,-0.5191152073335878,0.04674718019995794,0.70663657305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k{16}=[0.15022928132043356;0.05365558261733688;0.20532826615183003];
x_a{16}=[4.177157526986724,-0.3212634751298403,28.422182253303486];
std_x_a{16}=[0.3835395300108292,0.37034610335659085,0.6514173184850944];
pred_a{16}=[4.177157526986724];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.5 to 1.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{17}=[1.5242681181561393,0.3231328017241434,21.749825392320762];
std_x_f{17}=[0.3124300787644913,0.44256500571046,0.470956055297496];
pred_f{17}=[1.5242681181561393];
obs{17}=[1.4239772661503232];
sqrt_r{17}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{17}=[1.0983694676125746];
xi{17}=[-0.2737415497929412,-0.1535476785727956,0.1907653057206422,-0.19654135403288575,0.38025018186051107,-0.16181776631992761,-0.0059966797444033215,-0.09914329798357646,-0.37026773936819124,0.42771812674981113,0.1461533755063833,-0.016098354967679418,0.4527801016599957,-0.33194642839041455,-0.11521342421997294,1.2073709183576407,-0.19928533383693559,0.18975869409127388,0.1415565351083068,-0.20550148555049996,0.14112810138082255,-0.39577456064747185,-0.2411579613081507,-0.016165595191128146,-0.43990240966386085,0.3306290237479499,-0.2739598336338811,0.04342712280478844,-0.3095370436532847,-0.42611535651199994,-0.04391478862156206,-0.25845929538349943,-0.2357579353205863,-0.1989024062270841,-0.13366250444622274,-0.18628388766342074,-0.15504327386682726,-0.06410229468216389,-0.37543100131428897,-0.15469029330149553,0.13820002415629973,-0.11115044092391413,0.3112903342034856,0.0020631250678193602,0.34880944668904146,-0.15367388970955576,0.14510681195849862,-0.13769591953402105,0.14240009755191085,0.6553741878530013,-0.3668057904637083,-0.10817482596221617,0.29759415773778564,0.23931046290165092,0.9036734428800823,-0.12881082866554538,-0.006118198656361873,-0.5142413593238242,-0.11806646848199742,1.0364087150355092,-0.32310534565689575,0.14572034938768508,-0.09873276593688285,-0.13092875750625854,0.34531835660462407,-0.3449323935453035,-0.2876308018654543,-0.1840242089187818,-0.08495516101616718,-0.09662449959762087,0.6681930626245234,0.43233124374197085,-0.2821163182464783,-0.043582337287772166,0.399819034114117,0.10008849398725683,0.054319442160501996,0.15082025266521226,0.25146847258610294,-0.2248540235441443,-0.04240682468617574,0.1906453579345162,0.022703496219280694,-0.2725048367480776,0.10753880297646301,-0.4165683110783105,-0.07475977859124794,0.21335839687864744,-0.21538152143054523,0.09179229920590504,0.1835561484110948,0.19867741981087428,-0.27443587820393667,-0.027438396827226486,0.17612875612662227,-0.43271953665899265,-0.1732740618182338,-0.13987873549644148,0.4207747763662686,-0.171468704225624;-0.36577045293986,-0.1717471001341882,0.057649309964210305,-0.3589493361957621,0.6830910645353224,-0.3268804110883996,-0.10610379592532712,-0.27302280852358074,-0.683660294004819,0.24075682618794436,0.34474411239206315,-0.14102872710878356,0.753037797498152,-0.12441879193548669,0.05555271177237325,1.9173555672367817,0.056969087707194555,0.38416275112856035,0.12158139588238964,-0.7291595469553778,0.24451439005740383,-0.7634558797928972,0.20245820704776962,0.0740281778554579,-0.7668542959719885,0.33122258995360665,-0.10796368390845057,-0.20679511943443774,-0.5366978459232146,-0.1322364214426597,-0.29431474587010575,-0.45288777863948804,-0.31632408533633966,-0.3309556638658979,-0.16139974499770457,-0.2643608290709428,-0.08255853717862283,-0.043151692298516675,-0.5771379083490336,-0.12358391460680473,0.41652429861113716,-0.23646995754689787,0.45891220691247925,-0.10531692079656788,0.42386343342410704,-0.015570688389085818,0.2299522834525416,-0.3718363505562238,0.08613328622824179,0.4546982689077095,-0.49762544495746225,0.11068278082971006,0.5056773220487795,0.3370072905008449,0.46578134278336314,0.07278444348871776,-0.1474501332555235,-0.6844217782753588,-0.14694119001722342,1.5452980781258407,-0.6042280803074003,0.1587781476602098,-0.12283626838734876,-0.2885634670951591,0.4019848295666487,-0.653853599989085,-0.212433064522,-0.1334340495281861,-0.289516467595482,-0.22755217310515158,0.4476456435575161,0.671872130350883,-0.2401515169184414,0.012760287627010924,0.32695450717017305,-0.0756956632593559,0.05230060353896715,0.28723191705894857,0.23787461116125397,-0.18445801833893619,0.014960919788048477,0.6127594429077354,-0.17177188199251428,-0.45792077188358987,-8.323629159412982E-4,-0.8499346021334773,-0.04424386464685215,0.5634978157566517,-0.28794376293829443,0.31766577033879084,0.36018520832982404,0.11401345902010723,-0.6289512105320454,0.16772084557065392,0.3762686262995386,-0.018343760471439374,-0.21297961536287824,-0.1378373402393894,0.7540551657429834,0.03756446147735981;-0.016835359819314277,-0.08292098548295357,0.44382021430337204,0.20152412999617297,-0.3358662710267737,0.260615959175837,0.22247497178379305,0.2965081075512437,0.3992214831211136,0.7635747408785925,-0.3244850537641568,0.2882014003252351,-0.268006701762566,-0.7926651142886634,-0.48862766608665,-0.37798236468022495,-0.7584622437220965,-0.2731215061482608,0.169744551546831,0.9431407524147453,-0.10391808825750459,0.5137492023343668,-1.2506409155406466,-0.22658016544425408,0.38299130443994756,0.2729916738327347,-0.6442974221594717,0.5677685619313486,0.25927850259068563,-1.1217447172450825,0.510417006775004,0.25807114171221457,-0.012646722794521281,0.13840933406764933,-0.06256883566137361,0.025372584724468794,-0.3061982465595534,-0.09039552115411809,0.13244071312480443,-0.19644333688793836,-0.49944309845837864,0.19543708865758092,-0.04926202346437236,0.23045178623899076,0.14940605734276602,-0.4365329450454283,-0.05970361897811571,0.41803246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k{17}=[0.0895595430437367;0.11217979204272385;0.02818137200055028];
x_a{17}=[1.5119775914085503,0.3077380298463243,21.74595797747489];
std_x_a{17}=[0.29761620672817457,0.4322406246547982,0.4667572320055443];
pred_a{17}=[1.5119775914085503];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.6 to 1.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{18}=[1.0946979273750368,1.2689121188936259,16.753431285964105];
std_x_f{18}=[0.4582534359795212,0.7048654202164439,0.3542555562514199];
pred_f{18}=[1.0946979273750368];
obs{18}=[0.9730013616395261];
sqrt_r{18}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{18}=[1.2113949252946452];
xi{18}=[-0.3721191436263477,-0.062019224172664256,0.1133558112547568,-0.6361938094897237,0.6695972351246897,-0.31037240129979016,-0.1535924151587782,-0.2211340310998572,-0.5997204642834304,0.27336350819329547,0.3221540974327233,-0.6594578867209548,0.8571640207808857,-0.3142358596471255,0.08398470458028218,2.016626926956986,0.02231552130709402,0.6305892104501998,0.1688872574191389,-0.5262591923336181,0.23786777088957045,-0.6911596676402729,0.1126577540313427,0.03792925269301817,-0.7441047256929325,0.27524022111859714,-0.19382453672168742,-0.13829009213431487,-0.5281063986738553,-0.24395932352204375,-0.08205298741063283,-0.6668294426333687,-0.34139497504844607,-0.2708840740367806,-0.16227543930735677,-0.16799494602238763,-0.09987873699466354,-0.05061426821581527,-0.556556070339929,-0.19040926816928627,0.26926388714474125,-0.20462408990319836,0.4662912343515242,-0.04594963187860901,0.37352806881716605,-0.1662652654797241,0.30591222185215616,-0.33078232706572575,-0.06719662541446403,0.44883099761179945,-0.49185120225688106,-0.007610760224957103,0.4709093245410323,0.5780261179548161,0.6625530631354359,0.037966271228546455,-0.292603889849,-0.7068417866344437,-0.16326197597297254,1.5315133531101957,-0.6680824153840861,0.24908709831694198,-0.2698528264422906,-0.26458026899212717,0.43067807871899877,-0.6177099939927844,-0.2237060090823958,-0.19689910609881323,-0.1522257977915069,-0.21925828957457838,0.5969820169374174,0.710748843303119,-0.015486764939155684,0.10159890817510431,0.3309662911439821,-0.04634585847133055,0.13131119254482781,0.2687995750959158,0.24815046152267706,-0.25548052758997164,-0.20116667679670575,0.515585563044493,-0.09228146833673279,-0.39173988940714843,0.03005289659471111,-0.8196177364630017,-0.04976943156277702,0.4675519441496996,-0.2701398455297488,0.33201449286031304,0.009753303008784853,0.15469384540230635,-0.5457843874224384,0.1614190054516953,0.4971057640955021,0.1287005063978941,-0.12211879427215355,-0.14464429248227129,0.8064858793720875,-0.11089618240841037;-0.557562733390743,-0.08339262089589239,0.09943223521353683,-0.9755857454296648,1.0622881986330284,-0.5002299803302435,-0.2659501910803881,-0.37101733813437643,-0.9540967360706519,0.29332042251176094,0.540220035603872,-1.0125979931913074,1.3372543113940099,-0.3712346476678191,0.19499569039573839,3.0985050029268795,0.14514077390762492,0.9874873443028545,0.2261749522787715,-0.9230650149379305,0.3793835114024444,-1.1071936923908028,0.34421979883605514,0.0903289380940866,-1.1623523618495692,0.37578257246152647,-0.203899965917554,-0.29402631999679096,-0.8309418114549894,-0.23088364476419931,-0.19864224694397148,-1.0255126663447094,-0.5138300706979122,-0.42837643191088015,-0.2362360095652689,-0.2553649704730079,-0.11085076301444641,-0.059723663029675356,-0.8594032280642989,-0.2616149928435434,0.4916609652623072,-0.3327268172566168,0.7115497031204301,-0.10555133930340932,0.5400729490699383,-0.1905978188855728,0.4673656668339061,-0.559027365641575,-0.1246300855592597,0.5218405142870908,-0.7385723216208867,0.07368169316655049,0.7434218796008136,0.8683354815472226,0.7022540095894136,0.13579946997981862,-0.48241585880802484,-1.0624149475143798,-0.24041891369248525,2.3288616810003755,-1.055982294127977,0.35873260259289474,-0.39952577977788506,-0.4365214377053639,0.6249347759788586,-0.9762882134037517,-0.2843217576857905,-0.25849832432551545,-0.29027234337725605,-0.35806797370223264,0.7218549502931988,1.093215346454889,0.023201719045598868,0.17241286014480872,0.420057884422101,-0.13995786680095423,0.18501290755145594,0.4366431641320472,0.33544761675906787,-0.3488132243662103,-0.27457655168516415,0.9075816784748691,-0.20196621309820162,-0.6207924789417191,0.004017486283748761,-1.3086954155925814,-0.056233038638488386,0.8015504697513474,-0.40539404397161705,0.5614644176884145,0.055716927065802446,0.17607546005854235,-0.8987890457411328,0.3167766071590403,0.792516059507494,0.37394358892213186,-0.1786371804784983,-0.2035286157106746,1.2768642644970494,-0.07059548039955277;-0.07944917947005692,-0.0681362142362616,0.33755843692672727,0.009640383784415008,-0.12146545406533704,0.13588188851361238,0.11342136636483957,0.17732658214152153,0.2227752610268965,0.6018325719854332,-0.1979106797757133,0.026795420182004648,0.0052043535650838635,-0.6781168312196648,-0.35437046832281993,0.3990459919086895,-0.5733452297063764,-0.03907302916767463,0.143991077169197,0.6430143576060345,-0.05995451735822854,0.3038959686252767,-0.9351500582916685,-0.18488096199081738,0.1930192259730319,0.21882961343380458,-0.5321102513972953,0.38907539257227697,0.11265770650446072,-0.8980689861058231,0.3798640924669492,0.06626325137909461,-0.07652358258571823,0.05723823835522168,-0.09590980465995003,-0.005982544668533762,-0.26033360266681527,-0.09438640587282165,0.021757322283765035,-0.20072758354322318,-0.3627299893961151,0.10142476014641844,0.04206556877107914,0.15497689801188486,0.1554967646149379,-0.39049458667184567,0.008568189638435086,0.2565543579519698,0.12742959443406576,0.77970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k{18}=[0.1745053746557739;0.2670799617631096;0.013132970596377497];
x_a{18}=[1.0678878442395612,1.2278793656456926,16.75141360579696];
std_x_a{18}=[0.42653081700219,0.6564861221155746,0.35390209345815765];
pred_a{18}=[1.0678878442395612];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.7 to 1.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{19}=[1.6729986387648532,2.756045568357379,13.10995201270367];
std_x_f{19}=[0.7810691368742,1.3051701373792253,0.39642158753574297];
pred_f{19}=[1.6729986387648532];
obs{19}=[1.5143958438819851];
sqrt_r{19}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{19}=[1.6218624456715387];
xi{19}=[-1.0805329519820104,-0.31053620723124986,-0.3454620060523139,-0.8722395046181141,0.6694681604559962,-0.6306249404791184,-0.21307653841593122,0.032931337072359845,-1.249061909163964,0.835343157366137,0.67601684846468,-0.9720392929548043,1.3614905661562275,0.11227499349634829,0.19809331330506152,3.078654740269581,-0.03140598161548769,1.0144944703253462,0.012485351495848063,-0.9761851796803265,0.3491604590376407,-1.2069822805788033,0.3332585399889689,-0.36100036304525096,-1.1131148724288398,-0.2990727627205778,-0.3349465928667026,-0.5882038848790312,-1.3899627497000644,0.03733019935325199,-0.17839039654585553,-1.5695332602089134,-0.2355564675464379,-1.02524151901771,-0.2660640213057388,-0.27748863972104476,0.5401100585673251,0.4489858570398595,-2.002885360430777,-0.09298194003050253,0.4452097435492335,-0.10527856474952024,0.6663099935353007,0.6565464004552557,0.5938261642790055,-0.8260518368594588,0.33592137308147096,-0.3679228923613296,0.2995822685975038,0.48652083421006687,-0.7511549645899919,0.32500116195420325,0.8074663743736554,0.28872549640635414,0.7545307451913525,-0.17061112696976033,-0.4423070891678931,-1.0955149322432272,-0.2931367771721374,2.5949880402017875,-1.0567781300458918,0.37101412180026694,-0.3280253300573839,-0.42439611143463973,0.9880537355428354,-1.0216474187591178,-0.16343184593617144,0.2917792187008552,-0.31236071960956147,-0.501880573679965,0.7073940608798552,1.0763146652475397,-0.02533369015879927,0.043472449251755974,0.4265702808141829,-0.035921809129412674,0.804278246571728,0.4854796737469629,0.3842275073723056,-0.0356242144125265,-0.2952715076419892,0.7916798954453683,-0.18959044613898035,-0.5361412082866217,0.07513934327757332,-1.3580318931049462,-0.0456324063793756,0.7639799285455653,-0.45781882175394983,0.5704963523223041,0.08330303307341658,0.6487772539198144,-0.5017138876357397,0.2769595153990052,0.9994783240083911,0.2536747708095197,-0.3266500262679717,-0.20645510604261963,1.3756867242146171,0.12478720463496185;-1.8194371347360383,-0.5082132529274284,-0.6058850243903651,-1.4700696438718448,1.143889009554727,-1.070007101158595,-0.363964210761043,0.047541861438214816,-2.118388443320586,1.3321907028015416,1.166153997563638,-1.639803433046183,2.2900189085987095,0.2535687708850385,0.37405962320099784,4.992239097350865,0.0012545212877048684,1.7059726438574763,0.011798626453117578,-1.6805528497107969,0.5925307054366025,-2.050237415384421,0.6571109561617821,-0.5837822891635054,-1.8819732923599979,-0.5127503669005056,-0.5201039950912465,-1.0151750128346517,-2.3540071998704226,0.14262570660365848,-0.32518911239092185,-2.663037427076715,-0.3885081987112149,-1.727585909498693,-0.4359297850040269,-0.4593491860994581,0.9465986170564853,0.7668527321429548,-3.3925793497921464,-0.13060048877138364,0.7828250906426439,-0.17222631352362594,1.110843144364352,1.087449480297832,0.9871155413889605,-1.3698309313008785,0.5684569773309169,-0.6295658143026825,0.5067616789911393,0.732638953619146,-1.254593322278553,0.5992868655097641,1.361160719812045,0.4822353744672352,1.1087148491341066,-0.24869218549627048,-0.7484402142017235,-1.8435162501464526,-0.4857322213743518,4.234262877211226,-1.791110742076163,0.6169265419223886,-0.539303479232967,-0.7195236508674423,1.6347415379322912,-1.7256488893765558,-0.23873215802241,0.5236400672161263,-0.5421706397578827,-0.8517539535338321,1.0895772046282755,1.8033917470996212,-0.015375596895152999,0.08101937971239437,0.6851775443187047,-0.08577020541628855,1.3410488991489227,0.8323028492775735,0.6269558188712794,-0.02654020270763624,-0.4773863686139781,1.4102677256890668,-0.3400424984711723,-0.9069629717762218,0.10866007881841444,-2.312028635615332,-0.057678881796357384,1.3375460743196332,-0.7635928486914603,0.9906532619651496,0.16516812331672082,1.0627934985585314,-0.8716754350247535,0.5054865540205697,1.7011852480354572,0.5297836528531028,-0.5444989654399262,-0.3323332856927985,2.314629192810671,0.26474375082732227;-0.3207169404995387,-0.18809462741683447,0.1091570621060054,-0.20523125349545346,0.05204368656263192,-0.09282817157165724,-0.022196604091908156,0.10820247209495548,-0.09524318081820482,0.7152311979940258,0.02565157606894175,-0.2155574177880233,0.48069785737207127,-0.5184910635129132,-0.2644410196495901,1.8822099365906073,-0.5067813343416567,0.27607065390699503,0.05500645111339075,0.25280079070195605,0.0030822767782616722,-0.02619668078130033,-0.6673721131180894,-0.29154883286713584,-0.0976282288585324,0.015318249066053724,-0.5467480726128606,0.10936352451392573,-0.1997361832251272,-0.714843167835614,0.19475372734471108,-0.2367085178567816,-0.15828733675930806,-0.21871611367802224,-0.1919222111894392,-0.12357309889544865,-0.05419723679135302,0.034589549510151585,-0.2860425120504715,-0.21977982930193285,-0.19975484793598852,0.011037878588822991,0.1924452026511787,0.3076303823276554,0.25956170974950155,-0.5400617582894878,0.05037254392810553,0.06459909188590984,0.14490508691122272,0.6883516667285807,-0.266864523455407,-0.30871726626855,0.166616253198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k{19}=[0.38342489976950794;0.6404743643584435;0.12115069454255697];
x_a{19}=[1.6789821788753616,2.7660404957895697,13.111842630763809];
std_x_a{19}=[0.5379407652711111,0.895421208804434,0.36672765706924104];
pred_a{19}=[1.6789821788753616];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.8 to 1.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{20}=[3.5001978790080552,6.271723338427457,11.13772336808576];
std_x_f{20}=[1.090858447274855,1.8819560570246703,0.8547082909073662];
pred_f{20}=[3.5001978790080552];
obs{20}=[3.1823135468051786];
sqrt_r{20}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{20}=[2.197776692740354];
xi{20}=[-0.8790048544776266,0.2711132696375036,-0.8871478301268425,0.31238309581373347,-0.12996662648798685,-0.8987720751050916,-0.5571346772508003,-0.4801830861025338,-1.0127369502536117,1.6284626466699952,1.0384463206488612,0.0931361844800751,1.604990027832598,0.6940064687603829,0.2025902221207989,3.268580391149564,0.017121217527873434,0.7768170311898985,-0.05505526835739838,-1.3118261916322478,0.1542707366755769,-1.5035588312910488,0.41010257220998625,1.1603142556699981,0.06308774180337151,-0.3828724496063085,-0.3059155356140604,0.7130279677318359,-2.155561045069863,0.5559113802506972,-2.2073824875272807,-2.2479990537450885,-0.3999843998668444,-1.90737648498415,-1.132263396881723,-1.1421420178963144,0.2139133252185057,0.3173520792735376,-1.493854338981575,0.2355131815263123,0.5697897407698354,-0.1848427253192888,1.106797761721357,1.663838144713035,0.4477266105212996,-1.3908295272365634,0.6382757027520696,-1.3228753050467645,0.40845633774564805,0.3931041992768294,-1.3406425168520877,0.5678500505798847,2.0435055713577612,-0.711725946275438,1.1789182150247899,-0.5966500618119785,-0.8113787579321565,-1.7693991530134414,0.21012724764363178,2.878453358474705,-0.14437310857867702,1.0324720227005426,-1.111728659633581,0.33828993288758147,0.8923320248995803,-1.5572906007716003,-0.5032691466909465,0.18120771172666705,-1.6673720525261126,-1.2442080044343613,1.6741098120379365,1.442554560395577,-0.2815231139577534,0.06707509328794048,-0.2459089376616035,-0.13918144886932726,0.9193773902993958,0.5062699882273436,0.8587715955521813,-0.7666182373154049,-0.40010685457130446,-0.44653220535534155,-0.39107013229209864,-1.2474720706451787,0.774202832667402,-1.8897765306247045,0.36661123991552547,1.814417914492084,-0.8662611730221461,0.6281864176430241,-0.018874618470307247,0.8114932899848637,0.5436272553781785,0.9928988775095058,1.76143429577083,-0.1799672825503391,-0.41634582510430507,-0.4273319194906513,1.652722557301812,0.06825564786204374;-1.5264028240896579,0.5180509774506534,-1.5528800985352849,0.5629401161060459,-0.17638484186216274,-1.5663571539722998,-0.9578185310490595,-0.8240836318560119,-1.7896712153716576,2.718665145114513,1.8443225052397105,0.17795627649610424,2.758694799352827,1.3100455494882484,0.42744644370012885,5.188078824922337,0.11860587837478498,1.3781276026307978,-0.06854730675169307,-2.342927824416921,0.30980345831074985,-2.6660722706872364,0.8457915812797943,2.035563888524835,0.11171518604013642,-0.655759797238268,-0.4600166390251026,1.2168366563491713,-3.833025293950886,1.0980845713042209,-3.929017668657029,-4.00270417824732,-0.670943823874687,-3.3713747310165023,-1.9706806906072707,-1.991075368699665,0.4321522880290205,0.5938225700110946,-2.648372201087263,0.4600667720413023,1.066684826401918,-0.29919722947593463,1.9290050040947255,2.840140095611626,0.7971102795854659,-2.4117755613048595,1.1402242949863988,-2.3314391636122886,0.7328069746909689,0.6366440375287246,-2.3504558307249015,1.0731009633656674,3.4968064445304057,-1.2250970167062993,1.8800641532335698,-0.9826807475562314,-1.416105332601619,-3.122034073012413,0.4056892799223535,4.658417447186925,-0.24757011972609888,1.7988635613204709,-1.9307126512518407,0.6010317079808489,1.5460766737097762,-2.755835377483841,-0.8234315191094179,0.37463137457140583,-2.946212433706096,-2.193552131420782,2.7559215198951152,2.4896978681119544,-0.4362882457683144,0.16377754380469867,-0.43127359656761044,-0.23880356786735835,1.6033030724009807,0.9309663227150153,1.4838308628785724,-1.291695822184372,-0.6530032579471978,-0.7014701351221708,-0.6790030402066929,-2.1842442939015196,1.3443151545919703,-3.367495508693809,0.6826328367018295,3.1715192393407827,-1.4936857586968886,1.150723252708107,0.02485473715069908,1.3912339542198673,0.9343365725352006,1.7883411514955876,3.0394919726730025,-0.18516113875278428,-0.6893985083812897,-0.7020565093092657,2.8522840905395563,0.20249630083700954;-0.6226989813444757,0.02277400117461781,-0.47235144660544215,0.1765327533540173,-0.31353853932420783,-0.5640887425571997,-0.42113836497119905,-0.3329794048399535,-0.4851918680559759,1.6094326942366575,0.555163084505967,0.03316619903129059,1.2631558260487044,-0.021822447643970122,-0.218930581632506,3.815161780718922,-0.4804276329923063,0.4495563394250226,-0.09482692659786274,-0.4207486166259091,-0.07701921549811352,-0.6727615416013535,-0.41151908893203704,0.6692057722067251,0.1495041023978878,-0.26494727991117273,-0.6507168194064477,0.6673630269039688,-1.0147355050712648,-0.2693828318511624,-1.020017670383023,-1.0270058372812159,-0.4333180637365093,-1.0229407125668448,-0.8600014718420539,-0.8108973393461802,-0.12918059922695235,0.03871055440084703,-0.6715203563256065,-0.08637590827534147,0.052095650912072244,-0.18822470581733164,0.7495237872590987,1.3616529805598176,0.28217641480453715,-1.1178334060835677,0.33055028164350553,-0.722830875522801,0.23350570878009513,0.6100952112759934,-0.8975450641914424,-0.004638204047875405,1.5903635991633003,-0.5328787107833239,1.6160120309964547,-0.78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k{20}=[0.5449947197532956;0.9394222228959287;0.39127602226410335];
x_a{20}=[3.3764517156695373,6.0584187106487954,11.048880476940951];
std_x_a{20}=[0.697479571553164,1.2001309485651628,0.6269797182120522];
pred_a{20}=[3.3764517156695373];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.9 to 2.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{21}=[7.560534969195648,13.4780511020121,13.274354516315775];
std_x_f{21}=[1.33040237657267,1.9687879759342375,2.1403499756486513];
pred_f{21}=[7.560534969195648];
obs{21}=[7.266281612218627];
sqrt_r{21}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{21}=[2.793641908087328];
xi{21}=[-1.5308399737447322,0.5820557886158122,-1.249648323345987,0.9129526777674846,0.7683315386420988,-0.6888004937304943,-0.5444577473249961,-1.4223672422237232,-3.6151472158805666,1.2015295223167017,0.8361291768237722,0.4494944471650024,-0.1511227082329345,2.392889476066631,-0.06368692774436902,2.204775367325337,-0.29695449843920674,0.8678632314997108,-0.24518154060753083,-0.42341882966414257,-1.0019543516340255,-1.360948042394309,0.13790924933086135,0.3779759733078647,0.11805154148290775,0.08416070843784595,-1.4391789933225017,0.9673877625992864,-2.076213093993137,1.3473585952873277,-1.1389708556643834,-2.0367753546115734,-2.0777879976777296,0.10146181509476726,-1.2379337996634874,-1.0627713552954576,4.139421158100316,0.6427338073228244,-1.5441112495788216,0.10769118208650141,0.5796586708518214,-0.06836434613902398,2.7639669051591023,0.8143302087934243,0.27228118093301656,-1.3614349193342639,3.3079127307812923,-0.3583464735302657,0.32704808097748295,1.0288946325507302,-0.6097837800375379,-0.21458933160438942,2.2252701112131463,1.843206198163327,0.9545806713231171,-1.0749977960268655,-0.27434613606070624,-1.079170209642415,0.142802145234457,2.029693411620431,-1.5519590020066003,0.7422494419666554,-1.1401471863748167,1.026440050516551,0.5753056631609175,-0.5304753138989149,-0.3070332946253451,-0.14765031998590938,-1.4439885401319277,-1.241383877215787,2.570496367852148,0.9923371847201112,-2.0667308365686496,-0.1255937035400505,0.46685479998437796,-0.06694404046723967,2.1069241312555045,0.4279322307246938,1.1108640227120086,-1.7392781316216874,0.08954769599074464,-0.28912245463750175,-0.8313407918099669,-3.2868249705617973,0.33423103512124364,-1.3979373518796878,0.4006758035524438,0.9818353233345016,-0.8505026372142908,0.6452559627416639,-0.003471315096873262,-0.49359104610458804,1.8807284604494638,0.4747008971365565,-1.9165909215741852,0.4404022261605993,-0.6105539839996341,-0.8350411892664624,1.6730454404811796,-0.3441802090047936;-2.3381117858844807,1.0267676760677293,-1.9070867335669899,1.4513689394936105,1.3054718030801933,-0.9846185039268534,-0.7268609004965558,-2.170921949415135,-6.001803603341789,1.6899309696466407,1.3933476918846015,0.7813646476731346,-0.15839456262161988,3.5687342803242093,0.10676513678428456,2.504162579230563,-0.22221266810106854,1.4152276627851599,-0.25647789959195677,-0.6833577136148961,-1.4223272402722351,-2.138460990123649,0.5113907545208072,0.7233353355567491,0.2555837962417691,0.22733331364386977,-2.08932771953282,1.4654483981480055,-3.3578208217656442,2.2677554215022226,-1.827699979625372,-3.3062802364394805,-3.2307954176553526,0.15162286938417857,-1.8432483361790446,-1.5699330898374129,5.27449311753397,1.115214931199878,-2.443616972787799,0.3405384771188853,1.0778055332959067,0.02014921801996472,3.8042407096946835,1.2382156355491887,0.5287123239342737,-2.036405190055252,4.424712264807988,-0.5115053536032299,0.6141227418377895,1.49580815775019,-0.8667651784883308,-0.11763374294702089,3.1050157922856005,2.6934249381471087,1.243961863664227,-1.5009706001828356,-0.3350734377831621,-1.6556801356107016,0.3684778805867346,2.4786148344857377,-2.3849184389556104,1.2026270817757752,-1.6861833672771454,1.6067122432391656,0.9368262478920713,-0.8002398674845708,-0.2891105441517503,-0.04149080438696373,-2.26398975317964,-1.8893240001423521,3.3190178595046564,1.530999173242309,-3.189101829713234,-0.028192049198535685,0.7631461038144565,-0.01915694195499107,3.028933664905031,0.795461812199493,1.709884947825575,-2.639489975212369,0.30533885449560216,-0.23014578170791822,-1.2080208554157146,-5.395311795866181,0.5963592476513462,-2.2469790685431015,0.7621550384451456,1.5874688825717023,-1.2074612967072316,1.1339234768326172,0.17981812863279778,-0.6755416598155417,2.6853718068724657,0.9137464321920525,-2.9899570323989,0.9732291670457567,-0.8063996665545421,-1.153731757142813,2.453460084371658,-0.30546270012936283;-2.2918789035186844,0.5973335178032553,-1.8011313881327826,1.2628971282332824,0.8677655183796933,-1.1118697332789313,-0.9833368135105172,-2.166785367058271,-4.324057767239868,2.2134002108763884,1.0071206399094663,0.5039525686743378,-0.30966416346477565,3.587264188079125,-0.5991761973158756,5.092699140632497,-1.0469435467700254,1.139750500790953,-0.587798894216002,-0.3640097632751971,-1.7798012394598217,-1.7416621374465127,-0.5792166563005487,0.28371049021419736,0.09638660137929733,-0.03615642943345421,-2.5514521808854216,1.5404795455789166,-2.5008799956828778,1.4752338871076827,-1.3174588807925005,-2.4193067672215935,-3.0769888124492546,0.30743940400334324,-1.9553240172617556,-1.6874704768614261,7.68088140475103,0.692853547245214,-1.9806341520706674,-0.22948620128629926,0.4365557940117828,-0.3257678349216828,4.790080720433693,1.2931384139161715,0.21366372968499725,-2.179983315303126,5.893298202146653,-0.5141389821588955,0.27874949766496826,1.7937451129769606,-1.0111753248295035,-0.8631509937304322,3.83443600021981,2.9801131168026416,2.072805951973036,-2.0074266348977794,-0.5389702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k{21}=[0.6420443160216436;0.944992388101437;1.0095769507645849];
x_a{21}=[7.459055864076021,13.328689166244796,13.114784587953482];
std_x_a{21}=[0.9633057786961127,1.4261593876172378,1.5851675871495718];
pred_a{21}=[7.459055864076021];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.0 to 2.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{22}=[14.272193785005118,20.145992919010677,27.663807207661137];
std_x_f{22}=[0.7754906000305966,0.9949279930431475,3.2863645721381363];
pred_f{22}=[14.272193785005118];
obs{22}=[14.361860838277785];
sqrt_r{22}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{22}=[1.6045141841038553];
xi{22}=[-0.5565274687165154,-0.9457584271653641,-0.5950082810793962,0.45747851686115304,0.6741004266784909,0.1594702877591292,0.0017121929744678965,-1.3531206965115263,-1.984062093053252,0.17421378024629597,1.0066398663721348,0.5838343634879699,0.6681819740064352,0.7024572356183203,0.2459807286122544,-0.16410089523872706,-0.5463023181745204,0.23283467175988548,1.6559251077448547,0.6052121306517613,1.217497247296654,-1.030538094536027,0.3364953434737714,0.11444159384465102,0.022576938707787875,-0.08629914406303207,-0.5190842622693115,0.3380426027211758,-1.3092306255549175,1.081966048322366,-0.9700346554063142,-0.2348783132339758,0.39435066152551634,0.22335948122407245,-0.3954381039760211,-0.816741301609941,0.8129110414450107,0.46276228473814207,-0.6736623743169741,0.04938500587849859,-1.5884476470516198,0.10755790805647969,0.44004961283708965,0.45785658682835084,0.7228684209786334,-0.4057284578406861,1.01310644949589,-0.4632816375468103,0.40048011726143784,0.19624194863657074,-0.06080999646517604,0.45036625697601806,0.2977165347648931,0.8660485601828878,-1.0226763542772446,-0.3748709330134705,0.002803468152887234,0.21698582895498753,0.08440291290527213,-0.1336143208167737,-0.4459415558108777,1.6126748075679203,-2.2581190370999096,0.3422208813905421,1.5915899045422748,-0.751935419591927,0.2404448985225116,-0.09081503063581131,-0.7937500978295127,-0.4850207297224536,0.007328775410677224,0.6692635224393886,-0.9395235220469651,0.6965497946614949,0.2332191783601445,1.0186665982297125,0.5394920315929408,0.5093410589576646,0.20818339571547995,-0.3682420660515824,0.37833625229706236,0.3092935852879073,-0.1670228587035929,-1.6756443671216115,-0.07790946264951515,-0.4598795402971767,-1.1660559703639102,0.23388511610980345,0.0029142643653425893,0.48313443499976927,0.333772868018297,-0.48013552145962635,-2.533253896049702,0.6743952508007123,-0.20523665092596488,1.0814274065166565,-0.15221510490131962,0.0783256848957361,0.4426237125100112,0.1155196720050835;0.4661442526215005,0.9996584032612859,0.4554272735135676,0.13211875670296536,0.08277295867340939,0.24424969116717676,0.5197865392101342,0.5337341487394731,-0.7797133533918412,-0.22978596212736946,-0.6113551044291796,3.924417620844167E-4,-0.3382428400828843,-0.29405740726640417,0.7689089967113496,-1.8716715416919811,1.210617730501511,0.4583990693451767,-3.5088053866845996,-0.8594095586275117,-1.4888744603538413,0.3073698559325422,1.0893682657556703,0.6719965549383176,0.4669212400762994,0.6260170366990607,0.8571062037857473,0.022324723929244783,-0.06268902678748844,-0.14257756778717479,0.23220225075836254,-0.48280665121398414,-0.4821549817035873,-0.035168817095755145,0.5589024729763281,0.6725680082510017,-4.081496293365458,0.33879670280063934,0.17643712499035757,0.8106503119826876,0.9633264012413001,0.5449758821761748,-0.9374945153315899,-0.1475357828908983,-0.2043792264929749,0.5765136366581274,-3.253752029527327,0.5587060258427385,0.2948037252405271,-0.05057760739996553,0.45061546432144084,0.6056222798643844,-0.49002434567408315,-1.056366124421242,0.16041223918680103,0.8741465185937116,0.4917679890078084,-0.09495541011159858,0.7034580801401873,-1.1544234301348197,0.3626795787611812,-3.2994817637431204,0.25345270785856755,0.21973192649972617,-3.378706785597405,0.5217923205732156,0.6798905043377239,0.913127297540548,0.313849065099415,0.4468228349412904,-1.0774029574101611,-0.3651788636255695,0.5181064968275599,0.039173504092531175,0.25746826288250446,-1.0273141826745018,-0.554824478001084,0.3263952251264399,0.2865049890224576,0.49944749822352463,0.5123359280283317,0.7367094162769234,0.47712818422190395,-0.44932985952678806,0.6159453849050998,-0.03143834396437839,1.0028120568509848,0.4897015872625339,0.4739005591907386,0.44890077412275176,0.5901264483184931,0.6915335414193429,-0.09821537522157087,0.22292541122390475,0.07118658662962574,0.13080499460595973,0.7137429752202067,0.5390636027177216,-0.2597347622920161,0.9174658765094783;-2.3749225149059896,-4.585424976759043,-2.486605535225543,1.4524469236180302,2.1960874845455116,0.3463202786622759,-0.5399454187715591,-5.379299193301112,-5.5959085453035975,1.0444490210956054,4.039799703494388,2.0126203548850157,2.6863934011811494,2.7329574663753817,-0.09687535875998066,2.095836999121424,-3.449284734643328,0.3060822710231541,8.927284609995048,3.171209600303019,5.625117717302963,-3.796880079546618,-0.2051598318487109,-0.3707775169833205,-0.3866791653831747,-0.9845159289554637,-2.833753568898171,1.2284175568064057,-4.229360924197497,3.6864395275779707,-3.4496236728026055,0.07953590772933694,2.005516291798923,0.9444974363656975,-1.9404381230907823,-3.5912728213481913,7.260783352975714,1.201740724154746,-2.3373355696284968,-0.7860620995276371,-7.005588402446293,-0.2203316637022148,2.7228831393977693,1.8160760178663047,2.69064033459815,-2.0187957027672248,6.963310721140914,-2.1585786379464196,1.061798337305877,0.8673406172093543,-0.657532944116781,0.7892688236094756,1.743198840402858,4.148056546338886,-3.52344942259106,-2.329455697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k{22}=[0.3767583920995284;-0.22017454511412943;1.5227102071029837];
x_a{22}=[14.332552203123454,20.11071994956478,27.907752349377017];
std_x_a{22}=[0.6507946871670861,1.0152712056752233,2.9439748134581856];
pred_a{22}=[14.332552203123454];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.1 to 2.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{23}=[13.632070618640002,5.978955938270754,40.41770765062227];
std_x_f{23}=[1.200907863289344,2.172958154682677,0.9274537829376279];
pred_f{23}=[13.632070618640002];
obs{23}=[14.029361377709176];
sqrt_r{23}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{23}=[2.4446234762911327];
xi{23}=[0.49186811028422817,1.2802456151450983,0.7537603385469982,0.15273676027304006,-0.322891201919445,0.8662354642767252,0.6066723100489142,1.6464182022532938,0.48739037624482506,-0.41619362459687004,0.5768539517034608,-0.7201002440086217,-0.6550882294956981,0.08807820034056668,0.6435426089072003,-1.116841913084528,1.5798170035593095,0.5210467205142155,-4.38928523315222,-0.5640837843383935,-1.4767317674926002,0.8074591684117483,0.6516168389961088,0.42514442567907373,-0.7099961188400865,0.7826823485690486,1.2971973379890631,-3.894769477555892,0.9270984501696944,-0.7669727648312694,0.8856221253867016,-1.6765258441316675,-0.8878321906787559,0.27277764614017563,1.0482439235346117,1.5150871496475862,-3.7559132028431286,0.5077204312982957,0.20645290494179847,0.5043925370304709,1.9511030380064547,1.009496986793872,-0.26590232260799596,-0.40186173421779436,-0.3407051384433224,-0.20151972694604225,-4.235962937298655,0.9687317354049281,0.5437814619687042,-0.14687145598777285,-0.6091817969552853,0.15751651220310237,-0.2814437928774822,-1.1235649165530415,0.800011668390022,0.6260452485239743,0.36930708878777985,-0.2756753973258501,0.39296338196665914,-0.8072007073717469,0.7856085675597893,-2.9458177868338584,1.5261274422835474,0.5070808570081162,-2.8223938424489727,0.14999693959245874,0.0902345074461568,0.4981939739474459,1.2228216673347223,0.6551237640943128,-0.7008791069442104,-0.542408413844937,1.063418635552054,-0.3234768185176673,-0.999760066105452,-1.2556727054772185,-0.8298418630409685,-0.15518257080370113,0.7917020795225582,1.1272929345183282,0.11592589306840217,0.4192253011810081,0.4433974576412574,0.36142879854561016,0.4566136404596257,-0.07594842078428243,1.9430381644273655,-0.13657761759263032,0.5665386575829725,0.09469842578576504,0.2025093409871257,0.7662680997291744,0.9583939513669648,-0.5885200641849728,-0.17272916326215082,-0.2910878564392654,0.7538476598618455,0.018221565066237844,-0.5559152322687329,0.5765006556020431;0.9115700050149478,2.229217462095858,1.4973481461639855,-0.05749925987989535,-1.1034672202736404,1.5126619428915538,0.782503622487134,3.738355445419784,2.9900092980380295,-0.7173968031131288,1.2343277478629169,-1.8057978632410414,-1.40563682491429,0.09066815308805687,0.47323613158029065,-0.5019030978217494,2.4096908271499258,0.5423010601484863,-7.145428441204198,-0.6919415929120101,-2.4065061736083937,2.009074756503555,0.12397525387805874,0.19240687703353299,-1.8945358837152186,1.094506305029543,2.1716145464029237,-8.1349140532781,2.815728076646203,-2.045481683579811,2.2176016737797193,-2.9114157466415795,-1.61779197766956,0.5054900734574188,1.9040938823350908,3.0131118945492323,-4.930485250724333,0.4981590354209908,0.6775833452303281,0.24890555640617684,4.045163084257987,1.5427508219537325,0.11198278652120841,-0.933848489393827,-0.9065039958763963,-0.7308890416022047,-6.682824168651678,1.7827754502745758,0.6521663656066394,-0.34655571060592383,-1.6272824886763066,-0.4727508101417168,-0.2703258636391297,-1.8549560176592141,2.14152547226995,0.6907689292304156,0.32766956908627964,-0.5809317955337665,0.10863697174593945,-0.5203383405550612,1.5742607272221072,-4.238169018070776,4.275709130805921,0.6686978126229661,-3.8935577816644993,0.25223277995229143,-0.581761504827198,0.22797979923116873,2.759006351330531,1.2318804553953324,-0.439586042936674,-1.1454919034941424,2.2803212147636964,-1.0721098795562893,-2.4124494189382744,-2.232549769828383,-1.4911623992747307,-0.902287239556637,1.278957910569523,2.114030499724854,-0.44275109910145094,0.004148766067693543,0.5936536263102825,2.184455649899438,0.4305672272197043,0.15916716152239374,3.751438407614393,-0.8556762882688851,0.7381463605663621,-0.47086100806233855,-0.3123400100964231,1.2008605699822699,3.5522647193381554,-1.7792078470168118,-0.28269958987487076,-1.3161507265245636,0.9839431643617171,-0.5013446149649514,-1.1412586159445448,0.25952044885314507;0.2807655541269085,0.9217185522214351,0.3922109366350881,0.29642093879651554,0.11277524441452158,0.632434127792088,0.6211803361193944,0.5755482508318721,-1.3531772903800885,-0.32867182730921485,0.18949103581258697,-0.16080625809006932,-0.3279684491148558,0.061793861861353605,0.9207513540757972,-1.8693353327469637,1.4500966366208417,0.6296926655427839,-2.8692557913867702,-0.6639400289776205,-1.2209063858132012,0.10900807427092474,1.1854940794794757,0.6752890768473918,-0.059096220168136426,0.7563334815749911,1.0264008749619649,-1.2069193899478279,-0.25477439260707513,-0.09620047113875074,0.12246970404928703,-1.125099075265517,-0.6203389203592238,0.1410943209366735,0.7200185755944091,0.8695100215352483,-3.4360299846365123,0.6272203607331406,-0.11715874607913435,0.7849436675799097,0.9760558517423803,0.9125315325564358,-0.6667372773665079,-0.1610000975642123,-0.07830735879901596,0.07226223075961968,-2.8652083651477582,0.6470891653117548,0.5924907446217347,-0.08341510123773332,-0.056742212175365125,0.6187194064669868,-0.40706217039176096,-0.9237116535573904,0.0019358854216378063,0.71307028732008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k{23}=[0.5909390506561147;1.019714074392169;0.38959183765681515];
x_a{23}=[13.914730093539829,6.466708176840258,40.604058212723494];
std_x_a{23}=[0.7289941196229212,1.4101358587883632,0.6855052918877984];
pred_a{23}=[13.914730093539829];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.2 to 2.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{24}=[4.944527636468651,-2.6678747567060555,31.921513616557693];
std_x_f{24}=[0.5947001307187754,0.5578338982308132,0.8104777836888877];
pred_f{24}=[4.944527636468651];
obs{24}=[4.73766857729685];
sqrt_r{24}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{24}=[1.3623684290210476];
xi{24}=[0.9280722875227978,0.18389537942297984,0.025756332140739246,0.08430177635655145,-0.18197623842878485,0.19883540720514414,-0.24902324924416597,0.41285273771409603,1.627289297258371,0.23910648054684014,0.3659654083630306,-0.5054198380078674,0.052014510824651694,-0.039668614192136076,-0.4483145444370322,0.6434519786261115,0.26843201041238096,-0.14995698677360636,-1.052710347133214,0.5801846004025375,0.2880951389322828,1.1185678311351,-0.44632036284665055,-0.20198222247130815,-0.5320541018515446,0.7941030760770049,0.2132130429032788,-2.0629773253437276,0.7759226473602068,-0.4178113438446047,0.6172629821746964,-0.4383866657131117,-0.0801697592336188,0.07444776381465523,0.7898461251681184,0.5169194144635174,-0.11262213513730313,-1.096551679143416,-0.1506807090673945,-0.20481091718389077,0.8304512319422841,0.12766651103255633,-0.2224982092185659,-0.23201380411926387,-0.15478428205145445,-0.5941505665360163,-0.9350899635504373,0.029133255024481386,-0.06025924522370474,0.052704510155256123,-0.6012489648238288,-0.6875739854807774,0.20305247106672653,-0.15090624776424733,1.02355310535284,-0.12493426910266692,-0.014796044381491846,-0.5068636689119437,0.16067875346435123,0.26919277988748114,0.3454258764699425,-0.2659025258107537,1.3675780827920985,0.02950191990111506,-0.47050530191089557,-0.08377333075525151,-0.3966224769797968,-0.24129074006829576,0.6795809128494996,0.37817720363975305,0.3637384805236552,0.2799393640487784,0.289251262593476,-0.44401729987623106,-0.7077213097564385,-1.0003674727773975,-0.3552421776286252,-0.4726678093633634,0.5476668446068942,0.37632832951536166,-1.1960754792984103,-0.7198525593083955,-0.01155363715952884,1.2410941957315185,-0.12746357172474365,0.07587517455199055,0.6386859997622851,-0.5336910325821389,0.09601770973828039,-0.46830099074566345,0.22053204866813214,-0.17956016416515297,1.4541130277357768,-0.7568461566247278,-0.6214627236351404,-0.5826685810797159,-0.043616547107710346,-0.08444616928495208,-0.333361176728765,0.8750902457100942;-0.6285115187734078,-0.059767543239616305,0.24827386888305725,-0.28752776762483423,-0.36386320422344465,-0.056101210683309866,-0.11598753004671902,0.7336628354873582,1.526296767959244,0.002627238020912692,0.15967861148308682,-0.24546879045290382,-0.16842512500924833,0.06030453060112828,-0.42969867183097055,1.3737890851490724,-0.5838065377176918,-0.24959718365780637,0.3723812848241286,0.11669497647002558,0.20302708854246587,-0.1108273274629199,-0.8018541458803838,-0.4010354267827525,-0.36429465320251664,-0.9745982558350148,-0.20173298438898035,-1.2456896593178102,0.9839697612128513,-0.42342884418400306,0.46131662449233124,0.20695815483200963,0.09491511127616858,0.09501708064712755,-0.4957319589414264,0.09306138758475102,1.476363017061836,-0.11987371143532588,0.46439952232341053,-0.49043172327184337,0.14387453382643178,-0.2815475937041585,0.7497744755291924,-0.030341688332452765,-0.12652262844867446,-0.08157652670285964,0.5295613518265729,0.11576337341996501,-0.21739810179364394,-0.0040985229650338795,-0.2616905828432756,-0.43906235856092035,0.2633076065051241,0.3013273754764598,0.20057695778937878,-0.29150683869510097,-0.24660278476940167,0.15260754101496854,-0.6480131473689701,0.9339162654370143,0.10012602665661552,1.0025638192917457,1.0213138781561741,-0.15992127642796206,1.1275976206259475,0.12933940470612848,-0.48974531464814897,-0.48418683031510135,0.3190475679275093,-0.036252384036030705,0.7891577866913664,-0.23664482939918674,0.3649930712080769,-0.23960866469231412,-0.34367159648860257,0.2204399218267339,0.18178555560591114,-0.3532785400997125,-0.44384925168588074,-0.031760009213911644,-0.31703492470281125,-0.42314724168252305,-0.10770678017861579,1.133714465300328,-0.2552416024054267,0.3782210822512395,-0.07319450883895007,-0.3366707003369034,-0.23949792200549558,-0.3782882491561206,-0.793438972401098,0.0045381193600326775,1.4221313539477511,-0.40564465863412913,0.26681814220465805,-0.4840391363894101,-0.27272612089996473,-0.41843333578607833,0.05354118402211672,-1.8081780288865357;1.778273182191139,0.3444309260333718,-0.1594054220893213,0.34287983206565187,0.012174213277880597,0.358875919831096,-0.24295135572909743,0.049669438046432646,1.1923741604948894,0.32264374409066576,0.3925137478714724,-0.5445422920397895,0.17594448199340107,-0.11795248164276373,-0.2653854967571263,-0.2243410819127405,0.9048919496949672,0.002349727712836369,-1.7469735636346648,0.7123495492324814,0.19731682455634214,1.6931183193256807,0.05403642688589372,0.051304454413674705,-0.46948592147789014,1.8515592846315947,0.5130913865429285,-1.6065402741680046,0.35105201603375846,-0.28404004106279857,0.5390937437153163,-0.829956571293426,-0.23295755981758504,0.02719281053942879,1.5233882250349104,0.7289300231236204,-1.4077336646092675,-1.4590377346748014,-0.6180472257278495,0.11066710041174943,1.1600619269288863,0.4530259094725828,-1.0077973204260147,-0.333399999169373,-0.1516005452969651,-0.8094842145172656,-1.694966232229973,-0.02641845551084998,0.11188242073432875,0.0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k{24}=[0.2659841650040536;0.08232490781770026;0.3127511533460763];
x_a{24}=[4.953158700513749,-2.6652033512414817,31.931662247904466];
std_x_a{24}=[0.5178779697114109,0.5526662476143595,0.7243446602644038];
pred_a{24}=[4.953158700513749];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.3 to 2.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{25}=[0.06253512877321396,-2.6491143410528584,23.97806184907076];
std_x_f{25}=[0.41798225090001945,0.5672530809311309,0.47556812448297975];
pred_f{25}=[0.06253512877321396];
obs{25}=[-0.21407798942079528];
sqrt_r{25}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{25}=[1.1761801198793087];
xi{25}=[-0.3816082066391264,-0.013629622690142701,0.1371342035292243,-0.122285036584932,-0.038040740422124866,-0.04079303181317735,-0.16234983914704004,0.5302777179348956,1.0928942229721366,-0.00931206490563024,0.09027759894795423,-0.20054841578924604,-0.12418978584611727,-0.002616909438549954,-0.39289165831454775,1.0609513773841457,-0.37020289786073046,-0.1550033462193151,-0.24955153476129838,0.15463066100965397,0.2528267421868515,-0.17023972411794774,-0.4792177349621276,-0.21095164315959417,-0.34308548821885054,-0.6687318328148752,-0.18280835546220287,-1.2019610922588155,0.7065536445585325,-0.4258519709736953,0.4244965546099778,-0.09006001188538494,-0.06127857292274285,0.07355425996775569,-0.271474654664123,0.007673731103627193,1.0677012705096416,-0.20233685919097186,0.22156181935727923,-0.48369806503278456,0.04227027012191879,-0.12393592548348312,0.35314982529663375,-0.024940702662220766,0.10332404777349419,-0.08007151531414002,0.12315617880396815,0.030207560623497415,0.38494244392341703,-0.04274392795769123,-0.2163222200759847,-0.29819055877629874,0.0835956927200848,0.17147095354421238,0.23536695229236357,-0.20760971814957455,-0.17891687905997716,0.4604710556984166,-0.5108524749302117,0.7538502408672503,0.0581393555803468,0.680048405636543,0.7119022004918838,-0.19601564436614438,0.8052815480498916,-0.006362541865270348,-0.25218517408891017,-0.3557723819503845,0.2810251579503177,-0.025141533256249023,0.5434559650356424,-0.07908775136054534,0.29752183242022934,-0.18650976734633723,-0.27830001763181705,0.026905459905950044,0.10819566429328922,-0.3258788077027355,-0.31125787811300815,-0.010862735249420115,-0.11826964017278843,-0.3781435664026863,0.05124743470683821,1.0518749972902102,-0.25085294421702586,0.4579840285414788,-0.050570224637169904,-0.4784364268708111,-0.2108315952313008,-0.29835098437718505,-0.5084224551739474,0.03404141238012594,1.2131426424991243,-0.36450306623120576,0.25906257917042685,-0.4032239703515029,-0.24479626075347172,-0.11270586999246841,0.0186822882952596,-0.9760657421364308;-0.9432636507117409,-0.11349198975952923,0.26764110493537707,-0.31669451523610004,-0.29908471822590554,-0.11637217992527216,-0.06051855566378084,0.6811584273599633,1.1169303218134738,-0.05744688967003864,0.0744385661406275,-0.1173835026618657,-0.18391468250123033,0.08071067894770279,-0.3535244934382322,1.3409799901799901,-0.7006669350222237,-0.21447957084468472,0.5106155329230031,-0.03346305521957316,0.16263880998578406,-0.4632377649562751,-0.7207956407777831,-0.3556548719740462,-0.2520467320906885,-1.2630938920579156,-0.28871836933657535,-0.9613520048264643,0.8420361824110041,-0.3626676508285449,0.3198222976948015,0.3041708350824033,0.11926498091974702,0.09400241398674103,-0.7681177946274822,-0.07840306585048396,1.723455398334926,0.15498913120757907,0.5524368933063042,-0.49346269489663186,-0.11332156638321189,-0.33780698843562673,0.8838520008698758,0.051578385287747164,-0.05110793358649435,0.10074003944474974,0.7780391997888048,0.11311222123052689,-0.23542947721280338,-0.012040047369273665,-0.1067285461101597,-0.2669153808014082,0.23016952838594795,0.3925592191738976,-0.10850480339261859,-0.27665636650050685,-0.2551435886302795,0.3768563660099624,-0.7477480056612782,0.9785068433377806,0.011725627023967622,1.226607827379168,0.6530836265501649,-0.18524102649194285,1.4560544450553474,0.1607509456187688,-0.38985203884977837,-0.44946997258085597,0.13543444227021517,-0.15019859916563272,0.7779289843028157,-0.314621827223895,0.3207983455090173,-0.1255274138291118,-0.1678022624536255,0.5208087601749307,0.32418244313442646,-0.25421117625972567,-0.6385438544849729,-0.14926138902887987,0.035091063779030485,-0.2652740308982646,-0.08664736778125626,0.7926500635900582,-0.24219092499486417,0.4257829568453948,-0.2859929171308053,-0.27643551496360796,-0.2849090977290527,-0.27267232059411883,-0.8986293688756222,0.07660614479406647,1.0252389063338418,-0.22846610159434633,0.5139159255430301,-0.36007568534332535,-0.2909243673280084,-0.4029163142376406,0.17271925984658587,-2.1309636394835336;0.8456226186423166,0.17674561997409555,-0.18757958846589773,0.2947987964452352,0.4330947678335342,0.13407535212538235,-0.22582451808344572,-0.04644011384495883,0.4171773022100176,0.07483207579807782,0.05970417886944901,-0.2528301504295847,0.04709064208828906,-0.166423120682623,-0.1735386296760062,-0.07354514512132937,0.5189253952751436,0.06380345584749847,-1.544993162112327,0.35764739120671507,0.20622052351659192,0.47542120179320335,0.3115860085717834,0.20615722648386736,-0.27553591267441746,0.853728228968734,0.16074244087515766,-0.6206048191734332,0.052898793128704824,-0.28089610507865004,0.32650274072965857,-0.7938452471583197,-0.3840754322418647,-0.013445786021605954,0.7836478272009799,0.17639045330554737,-0.7023832709088964,-0.7384603384753312,-0.5323247530612072,-0.12801860686746025,0.3442220888865002,0.35117673931428683,-0.8891497236010721,-0.16798635297783093,0.27778912771658426,-0.3716201972931259,-1.1276383933488638,-0.119957923315276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k{25}=[0.1497900847851323;0.18142718824823825;-0.00627145953815158];
x_a{25}=[0.029308294264106038,-2.6893590018928895,23.97945300088502];
std_x_a{25}=[0.3836919895658523,0.532608581663115,0.4756577688795563];
pred_a{25}=[0.029308294264106038];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.4 to 2.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{26}=[-1.774440031460974,-3.153452438400466,18.6466528596205];
std_x_f{26}=[0.5298223368988393,0.7406263775634851,0.4540449373903438];
pred_f{26}=[-1.774440031460974];
obs{26}=[-2.091651034347971];
sqrt_r{26}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{26}=[1.286507642276737];
xi{26}=[-0.7574941758054647,-0.3124868486325205,0.44618901455548166,-0.04780403724958404,-0.16407738194594668,0.10847725526223839,0.015527152109812592,0.7263201769232717,0.8464926671174302,0.019597782038333067,0.02663161377969625,-0.31910512508557476,-0.26435861744834055,-0.2147066655208787,-0.34510495071072445,1.214566586715454,-0.6904904889935914,-0.3688383026131361,0.07404144855368489,0.09365269127561215,0.29574713674692066,-0.3828198058650667,-0.9323733976317241,-0.3544392019442735,-0.4312916052638758,-0.9909367348556315,-0.1501049891703361,-1.0795511024774846,0.7255675487139792,-0.48065801063659164,0.3940844285058105,0.24335953518948572,-0.035429710773851264,0.47779196512494915,-0.5730247406434263,0.049024348636820037,1.487842297789971,-0.03602995797906838,0.428489847684127,-0.23119197828301008,0.013544180582162557,-0.2361663993979941,0.7651945429939235,0.2677438759047639,0.7487197027851502,0.03514240111268219,0.5181230524784328,0.30500188555502517,-0.022252258319971574,0.022349543210992806,-0.14612501216794382,-0.29652768358528325,0.21072571484441038,0.10475852307829125,-0.27083302927808095,-0.20483072960158522,-0.1585502030927255,0.33741096017950567,-0.6805039533344859,0.9273444267286135,-0.23419192096410235,0.8937316415819844,1.189973131662335,-0.2093008909560794,1.278832247773157,0.09160514457793512,-0.5719443039097847,-0.3999457519590166,0.15030794836072503,-0.0215190799464009,0.46254210636972726,-0.23565909708839605,0.20659372250455732,-0.17544615922348106,-0.22058702014267162,0.3279402498202513,0.2388700810897817,-0.22976905954779392,-0.2737120158430515,0.004970394118072097,0.055197459360487366,-0.10178164869413497,-0.6879746427738023,0.9543649075642334,-0.1930528411143715,0.2953559173029361,-0.21227852550448167,-0.2991200238865934,-0.25309095911960044,-0.38308563338291624,-0.6981380633935976,0.054346981982561715,1.0289959318379167,-0.5841289511444798,0.3829579411596573,-0.3324315217032523,0.012414204593736988,-0.28589697124386193,0.10933245512829859,-1.8866325931153836;-1.1034056162841113,-0.45091605255587686,0.6301090736337636,-0.10296141179426499,-0.2756677447230169,0.1278207508310425,0.0376987115379972,1.0185612583754993,1.124079952587464,0.006471707702893514,0.022632660824317696,-0.4301199266443234,-0.37564265258846374,-0.288408359538892,-0.46205019538367953,1.703748952333441,-0.974102030301319,-0.515558519475722,0.2137434451062501,0.08631946922581779,0.3805211879226378,-0.5633128162436596,-1.2940555384991148,-0.5077392249282147,-0.5813990559522657,-1.4020019468960152,-0.21615100858071035,-1.4191456265330666,0.9944200595551291,-0.637817211233298,0.5061903044933307,0.41067629488608137,-0.02691466574833523,0.6570771391789698,-0.8504101222636757,0.0523287436551092,2.1807904653411816,0.002278662102093154,0.6403671064715786,-0.3130227411083104,-0.015109248038568612,-0.3593057890586322,1.1510793737948424,0.3723612283706572,1.004676926486678,0.07589758994893936,0.8371662118134777,0.4287676149499249,-0.15776493108868106,0.026387410838800918,-0.1855392186280609,-0.39957731864218715,0.30707178217440934,0.162880724427386,-0.4323367084931382,-0.2982439103035581,-0.22709252602462904,0.4238895664247133,-0.9560274355702507,1.2993840192353538,-0.3216834523593013,1.3205525651731547,1.6018678828724084,-0.28946597681303476,1.8940656861180185,0.14735918120640124,-0.7991879144785496,-0.555292344501495,0.16670383566609592,-0.052208593907396406,0.6579819803005886,-0.3664358905508278,0.2760663869823077,-0.24594731053444763,-0.2873261370699258,0.5305269226046962,0.35369759910724774,-0.3046606727628669,-0.4228673587972662,-0.018338427982493855,0.0983292976083936,-0.11702541041552861,-0.9631857081872068,1.209712729145204,-0.2566700675701359,0.38017687308518866,-0.33077526854191897,-0.3732950707420182,-0.3500960341957433,-0.5299355588977335,-0.9954743438289562,0.07365539495491147,1.314180758272425,-0.7815196822214512,0.5598999876158652,-0.4496657656588847,0.012900130861513759,-0.43660962842745743,0.16808455773135522,-2.5816939919669846;0.9071009401913805,0.2299076856565634,-0.29556325525893,0.2078805614312671,0.3563774933674999,0.03852999296212545,-0.1997208764275875,-0.24232958054979647,0.0938334190394059,0.024171952863820678,0.014242205714612766,-0.10800925560532804,0.10644448790997885,-0.07361292729436641,-0.03638713564682661,-0.33328876260327434,0.627784706949992,0.16004779742938524,-1.2167814284786296,0.21838075934683232,0.04571017420587964,0.4670349249518644,0.5932734724900115,0.25467886937920525,-0.08030270950246532,1.0209329973197576,0.14091980817055827,-0.059336389003945555,-0.16491434675725358,-0.060561737722210296,0.11046069828556071,-0.6980741026797119,-0.30778371621727274,-0.1775037613672268,0.7799789315763377,0.09134524719847548,-0.8304275762600852,-0.5735888087621994,-0.5478230439322616,-0.04881973792626937,0.2317420519469131,0.3232231157921781,-0.8877613425130839,-0.2348588523384194,-0.03384507947571436,-0.32419798836983915,-1.0165254996174689,-0.20700448141702665,0.8381799923396152,-0.0998449559433005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k{26}=[0.2227018580081681;0.31105633590985887;-0.12201904040516143];
x_a{26}=[-1.8247160865537806,-3.223674957516569,18.67419926651916];
std_x_a{26}=[0.47229236668824864,0.660639359838026,0.4246864400074187];
pred_a{26}=[-1.8247160865537806];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.5 to 2.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{27}=[-3.4981502925465504,-5.712751186294387,15.37961539633256];
std_x_f{27}=[0.7548927789490423,1.152893117203974,0.6565679057506285];
pred_f{27}=[-3.4981502925465504];
obs{27}=[-3.934512913192146];
sqrt_r{27}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{27}=[1.5842459287066675];
xi{27}=[-1.193272508159274,-0.7396256480668422,0.5519382965916986,0.10214931414082162,-0.5010691377647509,1.3074308009734232,0.05029984810333721,0.13807624504450144,0.9977706741161612,0.4018240672903173,0.0626861453036498,-0.6025825141513987,-0.47683838781501997,-0.3620509835794974,-0.3920323815876867,1.9175897830103221,-0.3750045283690655,-0.3880037575799977,-0.034366755571658913,0.13730005848805638,-0.07854080005488484,-0.6880346101772679,-0.9216165985638458,-0.14193371675473943,-0.9827045906384528,-1.1262978212068866,-1.5547545724265293,-1.3800343200307372,0.6866580578156678,-0.6486030334304091,0.429181612409141,0.22060194625154317,0.9940523809917443,0.5608492951512494,-0.7552374872076149,0.12107520331548383,1.8943366948650053,-0.23545236740588216,0.46016573273434425,-0.30526135420279754,-0.01444814578764575,-0.4076830677019867,0.9264364392040507,0.11124324549038667,2.0526364674613067,-0.6014497056564343,0.2425240718647408,-0.06937592032326378,-0.6510724477616296,-0.206620966477443,-0.2400662806840641,0.1409925133563168,-0.29129281300923227,0.14699587885662346,-0.3618905414176319,0.8411330244360355,-0.306769891589981,0.6407590203747908,-0.657025957273091,1.384617116585353,-0.27442363771488365,1.173575447852984,1.6037249201640273,-0.3367092021762188,1.9266288480782845,0.2657413326910456,-1.2380918096722384,-0.3113468758845692,0.12193435561514354,-0.06944077747831967,0.4077436439099751,-0.6701447442452251,0.09860943492337393,-0.3168721028839152,-0.33316399470209523,1.3221586277236166,0.5585681401688127,-0.4060184905129791,-0.33150728971716203,-0.22674030085266672,0.001160914735063745,-0.09310091402294463,-0.8552884720043981,1.3133587073950332,-0.28248624911952813,0.2312718876808444,0.015740077700088673,-0.4684738622953146,-0.3513001739686934,-0.6188004226137123,-0.862240390212258,-0.3326704431075509,1.6605033532706757,-0.7679382229799039,0.24780635569542664,0.2903668966640507,-0.6625935641550171,-0.3042928112104719,0.3002207372787029,-1.2557792518156132;-1.6985173886791616,-1.1081713629475436,0.8263505856907649,0.14804988634253924,-0.7417151708480496,2.0104529927988173,0.038051139531288136,0.21314526389444666,1.55772505239052,0.5890678178762219,0.07682710248525293,-0.9521327350658852,-0.7354112376497097,-0.5817462554135213,-0.631183808467723,3.007879779950222,-0.5500452516767353,-0.6117140113913271,-0.1864343696415487,0.21406749839242867,-0.11538093494756207,-1.0074792073919117,-1.369454084082002,-0.22338357434300882,-1.5125124818303792,-1.600416112289592,-2.2623471689696197,-2.125580471713575,1.0430027498668393,-1.0184187614802616,0.6648328322674768,0.27176037854608825,1.4961110762245493,0.8453800292243026,-1.090340050752733,0.17545415526891617,2.967983408204298,-0.4307027290150307,0.6640088205859911,-0.49252013874463785,-0.017492780376517025,-0.6054570366305851,1.3847999568765443,0.14077011491168534,3.2142981045415584,-0.9509193186899569,0.2920003944544023,-0.1275057598530447,-0.9018953057794468,-0.34417872744173383,-0.4110797585693149,0.16949344203127392,-0.47606605597108675,0.18131822513571105,-0.5137187007342447,1.2718750440229725,-0.4823984477902785,0.9746778352123187,-0.9854758903899983,2.138346023590154,-0.42527035141898395,1.7909593816959735,2.5083774436459176,-0.5394421626606478,3.0097635509795237,0.36011561749059506,-1.8313728674191765,-0.4861535593539701,0.19543635151289074,-0.11420424141338703,0.6043589773622218,-0.9894426454196719,0.13517613056631994,-0.5223937657995776,-0.5625239885164275,1.9995829096384226,0.8137845800669714,-0.6556935136621131,-0.4916307504735835,-0.35091942494393,-0.03957670165326821,-0.1889129925415265,-1.2672787412756934,2.0537005130234363,-0.4521966959751662,0.3480269369386919,0.02314572254458369,-0.7780932497338355,-0.5463737383108977,-0.9726165925033632,-1.259196468056218,-0.5284919429688948,2.5979688005948827,-1.208688021734286,0.3383669911672582,0.3994873554399243,-1.0072062849850232,-0.4492812280982532,0.41439343503911363,-1.6416193895389952;1.4875178727185343,0.673006462764203,-0.5350517084906983,-0.0015569240943538176,0.6039992931123681,-0.9380160129237467,-0.24605092911013493,-0.04462548650727882,-0.393548892382249,-0.35919269231688133,-0.08517897334228408,0.27301466540151154,0.3434781810921841,0.12246323611199372,0.12279911658113996,-1.1019889952284423,0.47084155798565597,0.2591860056389059,-0.9342666575793999,0.03676508182520877,0.17748883121509884,0.7764593380352842,0.8845700857304948,0.1126049438497585,0.6258474311840772,1.4042829592664,1.5500682088028768,0.7989531074109415,-0.4122582261711898,0.28777540677887714,-0.15390122031369735,-0.6667449418213724,-1.0665929908500296,-0.43979024391871135,1.0153143882949216,-0.06431043423298455,-1.3466981476417335,-0.3048827684669142,-0.664639290451305,0.07161835696917329,0.14334989837844958,0.4573044897092853,-1.119375783322985,-0.21763621240386222,-1.145420966080918,0.25501123845885587,-0.8209570937579418,-0.016349470880937744,1.19187188567048,0.06632419404829193,-0.052623014399770796,-0.32274757340640114,0.080302546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k{27}=[0.36878486989935266;0.5617545880865294;-0.2897242968011809];
x_a{27}=[-3.6176520952653575,-5.894783290757414,15.473498249413346];
std_x_a{27}=[0.6155436373354607,0.940577051962938,0.5711017574667567];
pred_a{27}=[-3.6176520952653575];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.6 to 2.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{28}=[-6.934684128219547,-11.458935243340871,15.938596054417676];
std_x_f{28}=[1.0047640087668812,1.3933658267074018,1.523527681649337];
pred_f{28}=[-6.934684128219547];
obs{28}=[-7.4929326113818515];
sqrt_r{28}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{28}=[2.028149664632055];
xi{28}=[-1.3569436910046884,-1.3958239702246056,0.33990552118811657,0.3061561491989391,-0.43786532711619763,1.146491671364677,2.190934954177071,-2.1744275086551097,1.5010603849263857,1.2071282131882315,0.849117111832669,-0.21417740429536014,-1.1068134859489591,-0.5134817560432463,-0.09741148016132861,2.1284793961289887,-0.47087602329136313,-0.4127511076886625,0.0736857852136259,0.37414495430928874,-0.3277311195917223,0.8639240647087183,-0.8819044237016671,0.8649802114802565,-0.9372099266347798,-1.0084479702400202,-1.2401720710846922,-0.5320413256169125,1.0198595102534096,-0.569278902402603,0.5711128685426434,-0.07549019701699056,2.2946709344106244,0.6201393840713472,-0.744475661611296,0.012546702505717988,1.6231940097455704,-0.5667932816885104,0.09962325439725461,-0.003906311773438809,-0.09428306493659733,-0.36395251783515636,1.155407244217379,-0.2881944489171433,2.0166971921024377,-0.632573721214639,0.5977170825827951,-0.843810407082783,-0.5400222193355084,-0.340275364675624,0.807496537129631,-0.3368282825612887,-1.1873500271967972,-2.0688233664290356,-0.09399357830658239,1.3300161720349344,-0.36147669658765924,-0.056508761610030156,-0.5792950884151065,1.383011779767334,-0.3951856871367143,2.148305602651062,1.0302753064540928,-0.7690459303378194,2.0390868442003702,0.3718905376630577,-0.9379285079933517,-0.5469785549452242,0.5328088329462073,-0.7185374882501705,0.2831347555071071,-0.7830452944769188,-0.018864546703946772,-0.8924609338319129,-0.5668365391836678,1.2494628886372041,0.5252191886614961,1.8232189107763954,-0.07057166277788873,-0.23654554655915838,0.7717933094078422,-0.1842520464887185,-1.8132206718428838,1.3572619738065397,-0.6101142774567982,0.8177912936979492,0.03834091066089407,-1.07224000253244,-0.8988439359258162,-1.6646365241972125,-0.7625157800411353,-1.0292008926208371,2.066679020477241,-0.9615300041222516,-0.3193564780774274,-0.2552297130824517,-1.3182579705984994,-0.7224300675878341,0.2104875330221585,-0.24001845038037573;-1.5619910095040392,-1.7873671415767642,0.3772409089943469,0.3747837808907786,-0.5822415990712031,1.5946093729781854,3.1384845394030556,-2.631544151117888,2.188078755097095,1.646571493591539,1.1208340254501827,-0.40956156146350153,-1.4963740947743283,-0.7979250882581628,-0.24565603005348713,3.1594791618872797,-0.6334260814371451,-0.6255831921784463,-0.22645248291039266,0.484576565722886,-0.46682318597265926,1.2183226416756163,-1.1547109367133004,1.153126444016019,-1.32373558755277,-1.174187261728168,-1.5043343853579625,-0.834916370248667,1.4045256208054742,-0.8795797348194903,0.7744681507770128,-0.3095887129090791,3.298089409380461,0.7922708266029996,-0.897228975803035,-0.04375299521631959,2.3358932994089354,-0.9681553968228709,-0.014620241939448775,-0.12738117917044356,-0.15714215066288162,-0.506843817496506,1.503224165598505,-0.49608419869527154,2.999671367284588,-0.9618369301426171,0.612715183129005,-1.19493319976152,-0.5675962154880612,-0.5530887009325554,1.014167492903331,-0.5813755206613198,-1.6389178929571635,-2.663775023680463,-0.10450379478514904,1.8307176139816228,-0.5599099580056333,-0.10514918384210326,-0.8011594927974794,1.9669398965074212,-0.5930396345998865,3.072479717501169,1.523066305785111,-1.1095158187894505,2.950226952974921,0.38170933725092127,-1.2045793840483263,-0.8081569967169244,0.7204000963873742,-0.9882994146024657,0.2965846594372721,-1.0246136682476354,-0.09369211516601261,-1.2909774910936704,-0.8971597109011533,1.6273735571577106,0.6007862329110711,2.5522085095832328,-0.10096057354382815,-0.3619831879417301,0.9580111763817385,-0.3922094299266359,-2.23033413868243,2.026340941989403,-0.9094296380143536,1.1043348476502555,0.02582183684443251,-1.5747236409374352,-1.2407227720520666,-2.171880973537869,-0.9645909298470094,-1.4122178412037218,3.1141019357812,-1.3945385450256378,-0.5653614289620439,-0.4838077161470533,-1.7240768334080663,-0.95602314065607,0.15811879828329545,-0.01800712144564187;2.710682421049853,2.3457508314688624,-0.7106084096147995,-0.5090331167858029,0.7800784570304415,-1.6715065228514003,-3.1973361225218646,3.836391414650201,-1.8723741953666941,-1.8675019683970415,-1.3826638683585877,0.048353738099915944,1.7107862356689267,0.5778255456855881,-0.11873758361393705,-2.6027233657972637,0.8033411264811363,0.5073421590427216,-1.0575153441216294,-0.537469270809737,0.5169506827816797,-1.1622195187391036,1.490235591017516,-1.3666307680257805,1.3082865735218974,2.044420898302512,2.2986046583971778,0.48669056220491314,-1.4719190187342246,0.6172814663255402,-0.8011703020261063,-0.4228415392220235,-3.3725854085587095,-1.0261778021545496,1.4874105125244057,-0.10338876044245104,-2.2154802577754804,0.37172329484178945,-0.5233752976978341,-0.23954710136591295,0.1584642777980676,0.6003628589470615,-2.0890704382498644,0.23297639471758202,-2.416636402589665,0.7232545801907619,-1.5378315080997051,1.2151703787008046,1.3729769359423116,0.3512165375372227,-1.5053014018079693,0.2363623187937378,1.7396702710479879,3.298448817530055,0.32075880801789225,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k{28}=[0.5069397404745181;0.6982615677725011;-0.7579421941834756];
x_a{28}=[-7.262816517778438,-11.91090658919721,16.429197527271494];
std_x_a{28}=[0.7277704471136857,1.015451068687953,1.1118118831673744];
pred_a{28}=[-7.262816517778438];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.7 to 2.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{29}=[-12.540104068203368,-17.303867436660372,26.246595130480966];
std_x_f{29}=[0.6086891201139135,0.45153130400278535,2.265078612132673];
pred_f{29}=[-12.540104068203368];
obs{29}=[-12.826352379231338];
sqrt_r{29}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{29}=[1.371416439031837];
xi{29}=[-0.3008079363845173,-0.2780504259759091,-0.22792777904147066,0.06759887840998502,-0.0280240417130333,0.724008508656727,1.056438599674843,-0.8119120089376963,0.7977438188258965,0.4694161317839338,0.32234616144064,-0.37875365431127683,-0.03741915905023241,-0.1431511105893506,-0.8714062181327531,1.1201287068090835,-0.23667679584791124,-1.2595998248672977,-0.2610542349064495,0.4506500574209973,0.057598807757258896,0.3506504994996611,-0.09092573101604629,0.2709745527384726,-0.4200352873295561,-0.378042547074239,-0.14466037633029316,-0.6001741795777651,0.5319029165609006,-0.19363928123147467,1.00209011248476,-0.2957695551751627,1.6423704684517375,0.11085494785459993,-0.10165176311697444,0.019922483070990538,0.638568536065728,-0.4370439049615271,-0.25530550428106125,0.13686598872995326,-0.2751200407776615,-0.17573194276681292,0.658488741519113,-0.8599146505782151,0.9082825873015388,-0.3757380145975784,-0.5166973675054773,-0.33041918661751346,0.17352236304585844,-0.9513049245380891,0.9748882465906252,-0.3076755757956011,-0.4541691812210118,-0.5797923959716975,0.0156966867478463,0.6219799497129177,-0.2118805692860235,0.3411440376502366,0.2136736815592144,0.7135437293258082,-0.9690219556729431,0.805391958740822,0.789541655772819,-0.3055109510140568,1.8410205576522731,-0.5888217712982158,0.12971756222015607,-0.3218078387093435,0.20044299819587685,-0.259290843023555,-0.11115556448139863,-0.5059631692092008,-0.5199800417544935,0.46503943386132107,-0.6995501305458198,0.31276909446523504,-0.15962599494923424,0.818950085306442,-0.0053973482472162715,0.9780044571676481,-0.554027490257317,-0.4677938182419883,-1.0013227392434825,0.782849500101614,-0.41376579678672165,0.08371728737095907,-0.09269253863060811,-0.6180280180511133,-0.9563100987130966,-0.6454128127647749,0.49241515252035484,-0.40896510438695444,1.0309803097752752,-0.4864798863243962,-0.7219816213901744,0.9953298881784356,-0.5244553041519477,-0.2528569462189232,-0.2692606621373308,0.5324334746935584;0.9652594705066981,0.3625045204195594,-0.28493181914035404,-0.26241739102367134,-0.024453282992535463,-0.24784785608545334,-0.10624258331214875,1.7384737122143115,0.04389928920658903,-0.3371216460301092,-0.37896685123960694,-0.25388144772602317,-0.0712494192516111,-0.31832916711974946,0.2709361667126764,0.2813013737534611,0.0865457638473579,1.2861787437546077,-1.0622137156108273,-0.28635083464217814,-0.17011691748610502,-0.15315768507015903,0.08191950638671486,-0.3322304838432224,0.007060012867121657,0.8195170413377966,0.4850238819732411,-0.09022445989812056,-0.25627414214039845,-0.33109931587599917,-0.2121468610628554,-0.615382208323549,0.1105601308137949,-0.328854202019528,0.3342022546940626,-0.28020668323715014,-0.07456269943316585,-0.4560832662774388,-0.4591760737433468,-0.48720120621938534,0.0017517691039365957,-0.02407195575852228,-0.580037654616735,0.3467637161364685,0.26387597193225787,-0.20052597679057627,-0.5751527019361085,-0.02229345713134734,0.3563704065853912,0.5505170157962276,-0.48565333145069545,-0.3041654715621398,0.1166748782864957,0.6888311396694213,0.004650659171325344,-0.3255191665661492,-0.1550356697450681,-0.2708065664326078,-0.20936915101470888,-0.15453475263439387,0.711553253077259,-0.17739567157094527,0.06607987027911122,-0.12169914145875538,0.28722933576303333,-0.16248866511309146,0.011899799891992302,-0.11094629214303708,-0.22031701422037742,0.025268994842278403,-0.35743183561003633,0.4432738458466936,0.07125878320611534,-0.42743068754183255,0.033980820588965344,-0.6345451316313131,-0.44724819431935003,-0.2771922047323834,-0.0967277729895315,-0.27124491298653197,-0.13178025449602515,-0.2832018466795674,1.9076462199864466,0.19953311916748007,-0.08558530015956478,-0.2124673148412235,-0.11883974780857898,-0.0450005172605934,0.8409028508622072,0.6552190863238501,-0.04006975196275775,0.13602735182230674,0.4547810365157794,-0.053448237019015465,0.0338713896358378,-0.5090793147085719,0.49150157310663545,0.15810867272638163,-0.38452126826157595,0.625595723146219;2.3441295011128,1.4651649515654697,0.40882851525526576,-0.5105797142765418,0.15190293954327672,-2.7320796995752374,-3.717597147598788,4.733598093787201,-2.519383036016656,-1.9931536240869647,-1.5416847795415833,0.9251398755972993,0.10492083262136376,0.09935156778869114,3.124042660963191,-3.2738285701124425,0.9736446862357724,5.453694653212711,-0.6443805942299612,-1.8129663073819486,-0.3416805927449076,-1.2866886205773227,0.48613278451772857,-1.292288010302169,1.4213742066410475,2.3840524733162276,1.2155149626311008,1.8319592952397272,-2.0598038166825248,0.22663024742492865,-3.6595313891964523,0.14147136780297132,-5.5603821559839055,-0.7516585599334142,0.8874480564212135,-0.38890261264943504,-2.157089062738546,0.8282491263971039,0.24471702267972262,-1.0626330557732722,0.9751495476099628,0.6013940773472619,-3.078160653117841,3.1866066585811623,-2.5337838429012614,0.9985778766487208,0.9041008189360866,1.1112580374485965,0.06845587678215992,3.7087895727953075,-4.0564811675535175,0.637209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k{29}=[0.2708268826747051;-0.06997236858011317;-0.9814573494448983];
x_a{29}=[-12.622735049714036,-17.282518427886576,26.546043927049997];
std_x_a{29}=[0.5036520042416134,0.44525589627726414,1.91029611382985];
pred_a{29}=[-12.622735049714036];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.8 to 2.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{30}=[-13.185931130583548,-8.846592049383114,37.25367857746703];
std_x_f{30}=[0.6690782305938862,1.588959982024141,0.41374692426436];
pred_f{30}=[-13.185931130583548];
obs{30}=[-13.09414042203179];
sqrt_r{30}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{30}=[1.456606742485712];
xi{30}=[0.9408322482119669,0.42874749139740764,-0.011216379740361049,-0.351377304758806,-0.04449354595117683,-0.41591879415283195,-0.18780255641835808,2.0044634809432083,-0.11670930882784702,-0.5636119304670562,-0.49916638366174304,-0.1846089708287142,-0.015400086958607062,-0.19505754550629106,0.5895260526033681,-0.36242953368088493,0.22446123927781514,1.6609522053473444,-0.5988554408451296,-1.462789745572822,0.13271825020061812,-0.4381712145321206,0.10269057141781524,-0.5995751109796874,0.5287896921439135,1.1449858447938457,0.8093521056458179,-0.5628794367136809,-0.2780721161016224,-0.09074949396513432,-0.6875544751928846,0.22016443007061248,-0.9569543481920224,-0.5353591998108485,0.381797582607847,-0.2218457370837399,-0.4670713644404536,-0.14020843400060556,-0.20574748914937224,-0.3130237807432543,0.3581919541933729,0.20279445277484953,-1.1187387055739038,0.7903168375248377,-0.06921593324696218,0.24589180401136446,0.028870837159365337,0.11449575807580636,0.33023501569938674,1.0469733703520525,-1.0566637618199675,-0.09185512033630339,0.46174792522735153,0.7167858349102989,-0.022996052576246484,-1.4909054355919622,0.33676634294873153,-0.4770819710464398,0.011972250616972602,-0.17130106348033003,1.3577652728865637,-1.2250339381013546,-0.27762735176026077,0.19373747158996224,-1.1336479317969896,0.808456069329921,0.3133145279819569,0.2105166916013843,0.06365530927303276,0.33273620879572974,0.4173270754241294,-0.4720860216605569,0.38228196340585896,-1.450166569407454,0.49044075283232935,-0.24346805647301828,-0.3190652847546094,-1.1389198524760697,-0.3136180116785514,-0.8873090570064672,-0.06182071965464786,-0.21801497297806982,1.6707734801852432,-0.6537328066358885,0.07787110045375556,-0.20337118819215583,0.04543379330081443,0.6208774196288775,1.2612178792508502,0.67773659363408,-0.15497122505076533,0.4480217307380361,0.010622478938158153,-0.11887500607987356,0.7055696063092292,-1.3241078220486813,0.7968225388098897,0.45172649831775047,-0.1661927155555123,0.21600826241554572;1.390423279743949,0.7526811358850232,0.39843469821951594,-0.620766426964261,-0.08537271390404655,-1.0019399928616686,-0.6734206923425248,3.4765473508010993,-0.6250224900180257,-1.198992951896681,-0.9332463208333728,-0.03477309044999721,0.05864236406018186,-0.07111024785636921,1.5151840144479891,-1.6793626194594111,0.5467934560248704,3.2572369429241625,-0.1237031353946314,-3.7239981177216244,0.5319968573565816,-1.0855465698674696,0.20002651427914664,-1.2413207430434774,1.4897110033978995,2.1199971864270353,1.5559946774997693,-1.1598982136366285,-0.5748103717012647,0.23416822053085085,-1.8513529184770015,1.4129324441753264,-3.191770891958509,-1.0245541916684253,0.6179490409089041,-0.23909907212847692,-1.3370101111001436,0.3640005547615477,0.1169531242213182,-0.2517935635326989,1.0152808000143958,0.622183155302757,-2.376107020088085,1.9242655843586656,-0.8230250114771067,1.0002753129485704,0.9558646872706538,0.43104460052386173,0.35219082900042586,2.3927557067559295,-2.441144105741545,0.24065368160218625,1.1970578085199781,1.234955412636971,-0.07411127855066901,-3.7840713744199377,1.114632685997031,-1.0297908260930075,0.22475383888996348,-0.4788481542043801,2.987997887544509,-3.2991833090759037,-1.082018630636986,0.753003360060271,-3.9816188867789304,2.460094304919288,0.7559433212996556,0.7874745860352217,0.3769758744619498,0.9187671476455019,1.5292248514099196,-1.632002200572785,1.065370652291599,-3.4771833452524685,1.470520238419696,0.07572148549662927,-0.21531911532466452,-2.9308960678307976,-0.7076741842732961,-2.3031270012142055,0.1993231301747791,-0.0547790448337917,2.5017677557969593,-2.2725655855971603,0.4481559132907762,-0.29754103013218725,0.29897370578963667,1.856716692221811,2.605068014685086,1.2040929207179563,-0.5043955218887675,1.1316018874422795,-0.8939716085784486,-0.08138980921315664,2.0262700723192175,-3.154481430296613,1.64551348001923,1.0524556275379489,0.1335684440502103,-0.4060783342253824;-0.8073199506660416,-0.27195017379883524,0.3538108595736773,0.2299561940155712,0.021299084643992217,0.029511361428532723,-0.201285361419707,-1.2128474833445893,-0.2925638889047306,0.19063977874214544,0.28504711843027764,0.3522914544031366,0.07868524667832588,0.3578659405856115,-0.0016000765671435602,-0.6973216501951853,-0.017127017509601217,-0.7607413098865976,1.1647296012242165,0.061476373600562795,0.16863448385836932,0.021644416090452978,-0.06214084811589515,0.24027216241670857,0.1358033874008271,-0.6040373344258327,-0.3853875374910274,0.22341877868186089,0.0994800181922244,0.3874156639367712,-0.1123305319057124,0.7073620489070223,-0.7337477396817462,0.27898136470334833,-0.29057305497654085,0.2727558633849583,-0.1453821902853747,0.585822954742028,0.5292115314728889,0.46177998594708924,0.09161606164205693,0.08197187914247195,0.3965440941756313,-0.06689554935672248,-0.5669194114150926,0.31526156167442565,0.7231245071044228,0.11377173869163926,-0.4031332297983852,-0.2113762133019037,0.19319498736902574,0.38768225013630797,0.032404762973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k{30}=[0.31347290189424;0.707345227784181;-0.06910871785680042];
x_a{30}=[-13.124413180498175,-8.707778046153477,37.24011623561901];
std_x_a{30}=[0.5530436302292964,1.349880237275881,0.4034747435642301];
pred_a{30}=[-13.124413180498175];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.9 to 3.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{31}=[-6.741396525471325,-0.5142783503550146,32.0080434387983];
std_x_f{31}=[0.6168464279263511,0.3684061012252611,0.9078773985569693];
pred_f{31}=[-6.741396525471325];
obs{31}=[-6.547404998678991];
sqrt_r{31}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{31}=[1.3805742950782829];
xi{31}=[-0.08604164018422278,-0.2855839638397839,0.30464057328855265,0.1681806397941168,0.008712411073251047,-0.3138818347700969,-0.2763067156886372,0.8119287546736453,-0.25387864109654146,-0.5257900329675422,-0.2809954758166642,0.025916986827956734,0.012110191756525168,0.2873701946255922,0.5710009492571801,-0.7835835661574402,-0.08560272111235889,0.8203623258160428,0.5174442232185079,-1.25012272901827,0.5740569617373206,-0.2021594152473023,-0.43236762751866475,-0.30541268051375514,0.8490269241159911,0.796461627575991,0.7836758306966409,0.12165627485339581,-0.2606582761017622,-0.05552442089939458,-0.7367629157851203,0.7594022046046289,-1.4247459006105743,-0.2566239393300007,-0.16908308881913214,-0.3284442806366572,-0.5655858896379131,0.33355075243815513,-0.023707468157495803,-0.14366356010439496,0.31331304428150997,0.19126101993066325,-1.186336167681235,0.5374385807744106,-0.40595765824529284,0.3030840707090334,1.3620476020083991,0.0571607473473712,0.035964447039861014,0.85657993255015,0.025672453361270442,-0.2029866272968217,-0.5453285767898599,0.5119580479933221,-0.0813790612465457,-1.145555369477881,0.4282036150269892,-0.04806504764849073,0.13608285815841814,-0.11740826667622706,0.8924960567474587,-1.1269327627588206,-0.5308661595821915,0.37606513841748246,-1.448935889764229,0.9528169523134302,-0.036887854621124205,0.28950064369464545,0.09642088410908833,0.5618202851797021,0.7806691002907495,-0.8375569254756874,0.30777558937246763,-1.0158379410538396,1.3628008208520388,0.08729584115184608,0.6568502471248943,-1.1309765142212385,0.023890395679733167,-0.7987702466267601,0.0827685513209202,-0.018951660915052848,0.24195828200131064,-1.384741143097333,-0.4724223764405808,-0.11739263175559689,-0.3837099909891757,1.0447015008578742,0.45005498713370784,0.5530564193645748,-0.09390656701787758,0.4735242064271601,-0.5563080801625695,0.7033280761560201,0.6469801301969742,-0.8662703164134298,0.295993936361052,0.5092881674649377,0.18950283151531444,-0.48381266929663713;-0.6223422665633882,-0.23530566273435427,0.29318853103868636,0.0952188246938479,-0.04857804249405506,-0.1253152611809697,-0.289514437351292,-0.5262673368393678,-0.36865757165255486,0.02810008765852673,0.10380505838297122,0.23935468781618718,0.012305629773443405,0.26122626169579044,0.16352471626534876,-0.7838733981100183,-0.029497272967364596,-0.20299958985283173,0.9407314455485429,-0.13390674865550511,0.21414769163685543,-0.13599918830425728,-0.09353017783989792,0.03303300209354276,0.33060489593435016,-0.1824801804476266,-0.06427739559356704,0.03861245981127559,-0.0301559752378614,0.2903969646330784,-0.2739059249572482,0.7381300615287703,-0.7896104439565848,0.09341824932903475,-0.25913124299393453,0.16545721094536958,-0.28736440498949023,0.49180919596684786,0.4047904949003237,0.31064710815007224,0.13541713899658275,0.07807519633396431,0.34114525701637133,0.12926583683688425,-0.6201097537975644,0.3176738292117164,0.9099555538144182,0.07619718613991039,-0.35747855539897055,0.1466659183270308,-0.09329093194149052,0.30191173186092823,0.09612328508328677,-0.24439486069375604,-0.08799920322966459,-0.18299606459341766,0.2715441031526112,-0.02000791014750447,0.10618471411982061,-0.14707621056760822,0.10927088927678541,-0.3473327718708633,-0.4366483466544919,0.2197496677989761,-1.1686095640471097,0.5987998930195155,-0.021954553781706188,0.21227181669268724,0.13039298091816132,0.16135062318640203,0.5164821172958047,-0.5052597265363006,0.1328561305712584,-0.022790917109963393,0.5663591703473693,0.43307962998446015,0.4242203017782125,-0.18175592956692865,-0.048206207505630094,-0.25236972002152547,0.19632562484703203,0.2828237050886879,-0.9398536488639784,-0.5262314442432183,0.18088366642115028,0.06502594102107784,0.10015707251924677,0.5126802468396805,-0.15420665300169845,-0.1966131117767329,-0.19416952551931166,0.10018774061554553,-0.827540734973712,0.20688044541730521,0.3632224535605595,-0.08609807920836243,-0.12942672832867275,0.04840773504661944,0.356337429205524,-0.8012939340461103;-0.41539317941622755,0.27884374735375417,-0.24779590951879982,-0.1982439037051158,-0.05313214972395741,0.4171919698057849,0.20370717850645548,-1.8954634454524033,0.10370379604074031,0.9182395217095305,0.5731761879923454,0.15936615804772458,-0.0226903089558661,-0.2522323497305088,-0.8386788411785382,0.6490179698059393,0.11978315195314337,-1.6116730091470188,-0.026349472388311312,2.0345586495005463,-0.788295776476982,0.2033642175350039,0.6555454936300507,0.5582531419079331,-1.1406217463677137,-1.5492617493771128,-1.4076478691550456,-0.1616462488324082,0.41377410029880934,0.3460489685615329,1.017414094166277,-0.6054594382292997,1.7635629817825489,0.514388459463504,0.0532247668665633,0.6872403500624742,0.706647999932855,-0.12807344094654383,0.39036991741286187,0.5163833060739975,-0.41550128900999894,-0.25664140802365054,2.263394891658457,-0.8044791258883315,0.14789336604388836,-0.2368560431351625,-1.4509040882906348,-0.026906613607341257,-0.3877939478150694,-1.3359110524424622,-0.1288700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k{31}=[0.27566375560882295;0.09484618975109563;-0.38660890038140094];
x_a{31}=[-6.6562842733885885,-0.48499422196695946,31.888676443619627];
std_x_a{31}=[0.5259928894876957,0.3496810519774806,0.7904518090052955];
pred_a{31}=[-6.6562842733885885];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.0 to 3.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{32}=[-2.480220025079399,-0.1913202924712046,24.45422685390796];
std_x_f{32}=[0.2650350973682933,0.38450785210307686,0.5700433349807518];
pred_f{32}=[-2.480220025079399];
obs{32}=[-2.379890151687933];
sqrt_r{32}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{32}=[1.0723139457100699];
xi{32}=[-0.4527294384418439,-0.1874536559310882,0.19815300628887922,0.058741734120023814,-0.04263721483488325,-0.26985312813059803,-0.21962564924866967,-0.4053642421571362,-0.27329074138761733,0.04177291531457783,0.12824563822648205,0.2709214500353765,0.04661926763841873,0.19454859103040656,0.07480359461044372,-0.7006873036739547,0.14713923267852724,-0.16831474519590994,0.7310011698156631,0.047597747197290374,0.22053145779021843,-0.1453191484925478,-0.07136194359304948,-0.1178493412207473,0.33656169629108046,-0.19116389606167017,-0.0921039353467843,0.03170745004344555,0.10982544923403914,0.027957076201026165,0.04445815617562765,0.5331888244881149,-0.5327848405886622,0.05141046093397339,-0.23175103562403043,0.0801145906934857,0.1421551169987909,-0.008489471038812813,0.28769990860586336,0.20925119727415664,0.1185260701308084,-0.024147415759831148,0.27013816271786606,0.07176290463952828,-0.44447825632519455,0.21837853363357773,0.6416276429994061,0.12349977836568948,-0.3094644008285172,0.056463891533758304,-0.051815933747045406,0.16974564968127837,-0.02147344167415932,-0.07313536082674199,-0.17972167004858441,0.0021481348513359144,0.19555298945406996,0.18250263661850896,0.003582788101962553,-0.03933464325647451,0.08630967836706205,-0.22195692037052872,-0.39643119134574123,0.12324314126578084,-0.7797477730869851,0.4283144854863421,0.004804147099398914,0.15201331325478096,0.0953374941920293,-0.0062089994835266005,0.2773134802860331,-0.23386539744653456,0.07429742716067311,0.0022908162226853435,0.4714482638755162,0.2723586724465492,0.24962702232005407,-0.07312320535058969,-0.4258764282695777,-0.14938497881909196,0.08995345066020421,0.17720031526948077,-0.6906124880113325,-0.10761367655077025,0.33141917183911884,0.02943314540452935,0.05794586221311615,0.295687700388799,-0.14264703009500934,-0.09898151990680404,-0.1479809426321408,0.20028679210892886,-0.48686435064759515,0.12005190515297093,0.1856220514026381,-0.09695001178406715,-0.16358053262915906,0.07422571276685419,0.17097266776105613,-0.5623153314942901;-0.7191762991905389,-0.11420914664398171,0.15851864724023348,-0.0036145031625240964,-0.079811118308902,0.23452392555609725,-0.1909162213919102,-1.116410254507029,-0.30517847033913936,0.30776219284808115,0.2170718553114135,0.16674064746266187,-0.05138373028180837,0.11375056334342358,-0.1338914526283652,-0.1997392102901536,-0.11618038204272482,-0.718143522639568,0.7763043900919636,0.4825223650533097,-0.11793183722177661,-0.028003484775003806,0.1305697031307007,0.36248934836630287,-0.12141621268660771,-0.6769692864324156,-0.5200687917285133,-0.04785847558297429,-0.003732962550357266,0.5189502840960699,-0.09434888461648541,0.4487913035090515,0.033820317332681565,0.2479400677724684,-0.19210433596945134,0.38923782131461643,-0.2540123126829871,0.7177576978700129,0.4565566826386074,0.42838137225831097,-0.0473337868097817,0.01862257101078324,1.0617000898345916,-0.16984506276326314,-0.5011218650282687,0.17276385837099714,0.3779292240498858,-0.01984633270514924,-0.4317799415695419,-0.30398909786521366,-0.16414851602643463,0.4835877928426692,0.5248520312890109,-0.674024233563313,0.03183459366261837,0.36217094090740276,0.05482654834796272,-0.14243637233635428,0.07644893875250179,-0.18369663772001546,-0.3793092467595134,0.304346020839272,-0.0933463090095625,0.04788267327477255,-0.4045311748159781,0.1849085582921177,-0.04806444789363523,0.060677013155881476,0.06820505379342147,-0.08421675585941682,0.21419888366511133,-0.21020616955100638,-0.030020484933232727,0.598749274109164,-0.06515225147139894,0.4556001397428955,0.1481671373216141,0.43532001854474833,0.4295203854129769,0.15613628629271403,0.192253501278083,0.32802526242844476,-1.3136300415399311,-0.004238130785352567,0.3140703691849913,0.1323693927165318,0.33698050605318064,0.05058996233173957,-0.45431311650033523,-0.6051778778365948,-0.19674862959414122,-0.23717752344239226,-0.7588720292398717,-0.15453395332269462,0.09007496027746588,0.47789583853075446,-0.30529735077387543,-0.27239009443386497,0.35128334975503867,-0.673132031442;-0.09513604549783494,0.2468111204267771,-0.17636455762783854,-0.12221939925219516,-0.013480881588311178,0.94162202904484,0.19789627461739556,-0.8595058136244447,0.14835714692261348,0.3972883253165307,0.07717728478472807,-0.33655967977930246,-0.17919755729844056,-0.238058770549344,-0.3975851679983755,1.1944397741025625,-0.5207547587660635,-0.7766355413270389,-0.38254548290444745,0.65623129160738,-0.6984309949038874,0.26726707376694847,0.3605140026767657,0.8166505278057237,-0.9814361784155317,-0.6473931232698504,-0.615168724813838,-0.13310978817292707,-0.25075091594814225,0.7433940747561074,-0.23128832306178992,-0.45916995677922046,1.1926372446892763,0.28787687293275255,0.2231866482864504,0.4306917087109454,-0.7496587008381717,1.1100496777972033,0.08788626795386278,0.22661414911177502,-0.34359541099840385,0.08933629969514101,1.041773973765725,-0.4278923049473988,0.24149278111550743,-0.1933320570836763,-0.8344411574547053,-0.3012530573587888,0.0159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k{32}=[0.06743728923732749;0.054272095971001806;-0.06427960229803659];
x_a{32}=[-2.4655418981450956,-0.17950764812173262,24.440236016309235];
std_x_a{32}=[0.25912786701207247,0.3808132672005519,0.5690599374452878];
pred_a{32}=[-2.4655418981450956];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.1 to 3.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{33}=[-1.383399960610073,-1.1998984109090993,18.827195977395768];
std_x_f{33}=[0.349526468832495,0.5417443953049511,0.4052463229729402];
pred_f{33}=[-1.383399960610073];
obs{33}=[-1.292125698465082];
sqrt_r{33}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{33}=[1.1268087688327255];
xi{33}=[-0.6777622189256536,-0.18071218631996988,0.19510463048737425,0.0682101353732576,-0.3051864719784778,0.09142997215807824,-0.21044659141297162,-1.0076992824160094,-0.30917097919059167,0.23614252282062997,0.21841884200339967,0.18392699938942125,-0.034194643132099634,0.15667739668768532,-0.11327629811658091,-0.4038925111890155,-0.024923162432710866,-0.5789362529695261,0.6702580897014011,0.37236304595596814,-0.033039197879138005,0.17405027185541777,0.06805936834250415,0.2524130546828951,0.10695591554520933,-0.6225474213328877,-0.5195415092874063,-0.01856308143666663,0.028829421422637003,0.40603900555994654,-0.07367608590524921,0.4951309487440474,-0.1290238573241369,0.18373057445921348,-0.2236789174489593,0.42763084002079266,-0.154359524206513,0.5778563850537541,0.4600410597182192,0.39131332597664537,0.02364148930538601,0.025973749900037424,0.8610044073012654,-0.10010813423717413,-0.5104146575956887,0.08205330912487607,0.576284510021764,0.08561079436263919,-0.3959290129767039,-0.22403970193174128,-0.1299211570927008,0.5347539637644335,0.3571185063347524,-0.5582769643441363,-0.059224352403050684,0.2712182933544818,0.23847353690114637,-0.3071557902638369,0.07126986266732138,-0.15892146793994866,-0.15992380183445043,0.10427552053459155,-0.19419180027812155,0.11271587339913358,-0.5648711445455517,0.227681763266403,-0.16790560205523986,0.17366258141023394,0.09364470134423075,-0.05311061046374843,0.24339800724725658,-0.252009733789057,0.023896686514718324,0.44938061799816464,0.08038515729795126,0.4206459671599244,0.16260174150796924,0.3135312720058139,0.1741431766323045,0.066834573560415,0.16550844177241908,0.3986295816457678,-1.227339188884494,0.0065741809314714406,0.42634217774553174,0.14507709985982187,0.16338945394103432,0.11503771094012905,-0.24232551622726906,-0.5071167518671191,-0.19532294060604172,-0.13463727634394873,-0.7397017894479205,-0.10171666722331962,0.0791794823753531,0.2930426538791133,-0.25134995652290515,-0.0567836863598854,0.25685129992839273,-0.6754860537560798;-0.9834859939991278,-0.19683794410428646,0.23805214800501262,0.05490329980606412,-0.38528903828175953,0.33209437535410113,-0.2589648098482453,-1.6202683664356603,-0.40619100666148733,0.41713265651755793,0.32286610539155947,0.19053857756348136,-0.08754727613235458,0.16978397623641017,-0.23901922541792398,-0.2679162073829786,-0.14312272437338702,-0.996184052399474,0.9007778067613506,0.6647632733683897,-0.1871815216349575,0.24845181599721333,0.1759224909731223,0.5275322509945626,-0.06512116995021455,-1.0111737390728197,-0.8521032559392685,-0.05289618097185822,-0.014872805014072954,0.7261173693742172,-0.1537099571667757,0.6163326996073992,0.08649465618104268,0.3236169239451807,-0.2670182351597512,0.6628883304035024,-0.3746935792480117,1.0372083297297872,0.6592628751274151,0.5937071890550866,-0.03759603728119476,0.0504078002435826,1.4197962039662115,-0.2353593112816641,-0.6650965903619122,0.09491450005046231,0.6454988202195958,0.04568145272354185,-0.5653722400762504,-0.43990932733453536,-0.2219415697057041,0.8098761533914287,0.6970428537056202,-0.9947442049945208,0.02255674089122084,0.49964132639696845,0.23818616730128406,-0.5132522056409916,0.12445237208531967,-0.26655534555007865,-0.42214505887486187,0.3682368988600968,-0.10635999566226295,0.11218679245950236,-0.5178856626991424,0.2039093400759846,-0.2272097405040383,0.17894725374703713,0.11066273678878114,-0.10795809041539584,0.2914699832717973,-0.30766301820802155,-0.015868968945085715,0.8195418079194596,-0.12750837292857575,0.6220307446064421,0.17648966566856172,0.6183078620047207,0.5940049967625067,0.2136284941616038,0.2540894846353807,0.5629531604313456,-1.85149984816348,0.051151216594810256,0.5351444284233033,0.22671053896607418,0.34146029732697203,0.04731894322100638,-0.46908672283881025,-0.8833958034902958,-0.2712188612023083,-0.3665998064913083,-1.0597036979035623,-0.25142733420359376,0.06605711087704735,0.6220790200289559,-0.39044789885710096,-0.2467296639036336,0.4168648232028118,-0.9036146746891665;0.08557634445224238,0.23731051463117225,-0.19024288850209103,-0.15229117925617075,0.22488057693743713,0.6599755677147918,0.17727115766555102,-0.3391625322523453,0.15924060483844116,0.23613966658447438,-9.98414904881173E-4,-0.2635970242470478,-0.12668438024058304,-0.22112630059699612,-0.24646167323853874,0.9883589407560578,-0.3848568212373813,-0.4611549498153593,-0.26002728472238346,0.41403021096848036,-0.5045675794107645,-0.02767569990830765,0.24306868558402783,0.5248186813274565,-0.8137630333839887,-0.30126910392614903,-0.270713853091582,-0.10864937042309109,-0.1942670358654901,0.45822728067980023,-0.15217184555725183,-0.40619381158358436,0.882566793378718,0.1828581269890286,0.20575785153912918,0.15479504798558352,-0.5225776036033736,0.6723892630812607,-0.03158557350078084,0.09589919658683144,-0.29281022196418505,0.03855024348335334,0.6476824413294828,-0.3062146877008338,0.28368373621709964,-0.07740657278946728,-0.7463582905356638,-0.2892843161342,0.07216191736012689,-0.41580404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k{33}=[0.1125379677015543;0.16988419260596616;0.013088704066461898];
x_a{33}=[-1.3734997188681444,-1.1849532807518552,18.828347422876725];
std_x_a{33}=[0.3326014968465567,0.5217577330997527,0.40657191452211877];
pred_a{33}=[-1.3734997188681444];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.2 to 3.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{34}=[-1.7590447685520965,-2.6871015440788337,14.70192311565353];
std_x_f{34}=[0.5915734664652202,0.9640919959091304,0.32041558681603155];
pred_f{34}=[-1.7590447685520965];
obs{34}=[-1.6386804905936863];
sqrt_r{34}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{34}=[1.358268902237835];
xi{34}=[-0.9070081946728079,-0.30501615617589994,0.24866330615976429,0.07268176235040169,-0.034660578379418494,0.09686968923550787,-0.4941549505701919,-1.9435977855853892,-0.5747814650520562,0.6570629193446713,0.3919171796955243,0.29808091015153004,0.12225964543670198,0.1596513736754659,-0.19822103847544525,-0.22189095382515478,0.12053439443000347,-1.0051368799015274,0.8257736546616963,0.9309339553019566,-0.22994641432585583,0.2880925409388977,0.06548304755757917,0.6538022900821543,-0.08195412160659377,-1.0156690809090265,-1.0785599891855053,-0.026059955853272587,2.286791395953447E-4,0.7247041779345811,-0.16586914332101355,0.48143240751500604,0.04911563448772127,0.414396698866089,-0.2995886593771586,0.6399292344296659,-0.36615808703422426,1.0490412570805914,0.6788794998577334,0.6149819854798226,0.058121705679307745,0.05549284843690372,1.4283626987835305,-0.3338328873566172,-0.6716625884247169,0.0955673674250539,0.26402857178953854,-0.022678171978124828,-0.5251155331121979,-0.44600749131761797,-0.5319448531435613,0.7905818569263026,0.6888040424100568,-1.0088499771671677,0.00705370580731457,0.5440755113135227,0.25231988819741,-0.9475895637567167,0.6624126765760245,-0.2776071710003212,-0.4049033217351292,0.0029359416324301613,0.18362349489186758,0.15981282763853333,-0.5418547502955016,0.229655630667714,-0.18889879413858512,-0.11492793163309512,0.8695470954858417,-0.03152582964187012,0.29740266178615604,-0.3237623170900239,0.22298806615736888,0.816462670956752,0.03011889167860704,0.6356310932216733,0.20423500646803494,0.45351646589756034,0.8067079153618563,-0.37236392877195934,0.24866456689377858,0.6207315951064942,-1.8671398812349986,0.1418577668683445,0.4797612220711511,0.23329192416730127,0.41236278605861587,0.2863351419526545,-0.46014108320305214,-1.0586562146227814,-0.19994789527507906,-0.6470194703466299,-1.0804856307752755,-0.24171745606353756,-0.31899051807513823,0.5366255252654837,-0.4180420994320806,-0.2031456110011609,0.7359729004832434,-0.8524938830256268;-1.4349138570886293,-0.45832554298448613,0.376686632440145,0.09613654039858366,-0.02483540017289876,0.2271445404550949,-0.7716075767339592,-3.1428210153567067,-0.9005931363199129,1.08499593818296,0.6244916976151988,0.44718971646758465,0.18833218248803751,0.23264611402480861,-0.35643884567821393,-0.21939921882031355,0.15372635489046305,-1.6839248719858881,1.3022414928621715,1.5447818451345576,-0.4303759101479292,0.4569195888844697,0.13197861183097315,1.1065044497969576,-0.2262479224036147,-1.6776541759380414,-1.77004081677718,-0.06761386235022337,-0.021592739242931813,1.2028393415563086,-0.2858473813248552,0.7361947670386306,0.1879322796125913,0.6846040742386288,-0.4542888840745225,1.044357007028111,-0.6523916008232007,1.7541855974053047,1.0784443677338147,1.001768487298271,0.05809882811792688,0.08901003498912718,2.352960105340936,-0.5751432974568162,-1.033399973664093,0.13746894432766554,0.35098810493959,-0.07337283920019333,-0.8333714857467398,-0.7722780581912625,-0.8725139608837305,1.2883643687262971,1.1675003481039914,-1.6975488806151917,0.05241607238284551,0.9153718662977903,0.36434840226466125,-1.5469927204629688,1.0827702580522498,-0.4635197416709067,-0.7300758976732,0.08017915539431231,0.3702673731641166,0.23673768112258742,-0.7265507380264804,0.31382682619186886,-0.2956830708477636,-0.227539072358522,1.4015763340006977,-0.056817950463778466,0.4495781873764213,-0.48932410145259064,0.3366434843143731,1.3723306365136274,-0.05184433690698853,1.0333988979365287,0.30087376387696674,0.7833076973825532,1.3992017446374125,-0.5500895425456171,0.40220143999644486,0.9922561183867031,-2.9565020636768544,0.24756090909277928,0.7379737622165639,0.37801487442340864,0.6968768403932961,0.4163097593124263,-0.789813239281695,-1.7638033255152514,-0.32352797148689305,-1.1203619920738181,-1.704875058787743,-0.43081470715965864,-0.5428779967135466,0.9217455088488933,-0.6799829392979002,-0.39501323884265815,1.2035843103871648,-1.3152933066694548;0.3785634842796135,0.24835952626293967,-0.24502467628028235,-0.16900002770889166,0.1736490009161038,0.4406404631824312,0.2584580557657077,0.590511718346475,0.28153385492317184,0.004299310033816894,-0.1309612744069426,-0.30664908936551605,-0.1513509921928886,-0.246612785123153,-0.15001734787686338,0.803504429414339,-0.3446395527879318,-4.634922689028542E-4,-0.42666490883060426,0.09780887542631334,-0.34732414861774785,-0.12882186297919063,0.13217027942408244,0.22263301819718606,-0.6265450774141712,0.13627365053546825,0.16990140855857128,-0.107850865832253,-0.1810584234238224,0.14458082845731113,-0.09503374945135334,-0.474324704356178,0.6325175321955054,0.008607373959112152,0.21956305809461796,-0.06992820868420146,-0.31085851297450695,0.2628733630438571,-0.21527546184583102,-0.10767746162358449,-0.26847167486387136,-0.012597072685570865,0.20896151532302198,-0.16568040437196174,0.42671590254143865,-0.10943159148457582,-0.6966502834682142,-0.249844959509554,0.20885139880461523,-0.1988743826622379,0.06377367285981705,-0.1350421488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k{34}=[0.2637687586364997;0.42907331661588083;-0.04281776630730055];
x_a{34}=[-1.7391737554794253,-2.654777316116117,14.698697440261078];
std_x_a{34}=[0.5165650853662561,0.8428387575881737,0.31708730805589064];
pred_a{34}=[-1.7391737554794253];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.3 to 3.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{35}=[-3.3433214979387746,-5.80713656597173,12.263556664015148];
std_x_f{35}=[1.0068113156414291,1.6974423944531174,0.7185426729904454];
pred_f{35}=[-3.3433214979387746];
obs{35}=[-3.170254856161123];
sqrt_r{35}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{35}=[2.086784639036309];
xi{35}=[-2.6904359794530905,-1.013558201529729,0.34169482486928615,0.11379058285435706,0.06781411856699382,0.0181218502240017,-0.4477365513348248,-2.8922813704488877,-0.5216447218213558,-1.112953256678899,0.02876458177432273,0.33021412969845443,0.4575526713131839,0.16847048296668987,-0.07401836520920657,0.45414977458875727,-0.17627317959899402,-1.4787183234185401,1.3231750838098382,1.1894058081509704,-0.3506329959124832,0.454274758006044,0.11141615582500153,0.7864875024764988,-0.34129831751792494,-1.0206108626304577,-2.8435347062143834,-1.0602676355771723,-0.29675101948487725,0.9334996856242728,-0.4505928295465136,0.7612218416433594,0.3961425717859335,0.3653441642484143,0.08534320434540499,0.6811403338110305,-0.5646672503911958,1.6808807373200898,1.4139805531843284,1.0385682670188379,-0.24500217258369883,-0.38505279023122974,2.361533708998709,1.195982393638071,-0.5814793963191249,0.06471838603555558,0.24664156477455235,0.20082269275833697,-0.8005855652974954,-0.7834383847442488,-0.7605923260858476,1.2977341350770732,1.058020329726062,-1.5627784901147828,0.3517205677223392,0.3435854653992432,0.4866011829557104,0.22000720851520583,1.3887684507862341,-0.7622219047124017,-0.49016076292459854,0.8479624527965548,0.7304619168784097,0.5999323618140582,-0.013927302268574415,1.6180810911359826,-0.7287050762405234,-0.15989855073455717,-0.5875731908861845,0.6783088813284954,0.614222853295928,-0.5660580600126006,-0.1873230015876497,0.9981043857484502,-0.5927589643894713,0.9633728131588106,-0.1677822402036493,-2.308530292565066,1.8272463565182002,0.9626007981990115,1.1647121533841491,1.1006829133257185,-2.76308834301156,0.1084844809031833,0.7445345953121669,0.3516311615822456,0.7150753042472449,0.38083833061922423,-0.19584957280337356,-1.218568746654571,0.7306819582852704,-1.1668043009647913,-1.756421950955493,0.9353292809909166,-0.44558272006970734,0.8991129808049023,-0.7552397686571166,-1.4109413007771336,1.1153335497269685,-1.7719596479849433;-4.372828482796267,-1.6896602442966913,0.5348754652386472,0.14844899002894518,0.11347601928266382,0.06946477785390304,-0.7637602660921541,-4.6864376706389965,-0.8740387304134307,-1.8751638446834162,0.016617890555692405,0.5209758506340672,0.7520420625811539,0.2439119897102051,-0.1798444367834886,0.8462643322919101,-0.369256967447428,-2.5246018079325054,2.241789432185213,2.0474508660202293,-0.671209472444688,0.74326251004514,0.19479142736672195,1.3613424160977354,-0.6917641712324603,-1.7498792181669494,-4.655866227535057,-1.8172246935725118,-0.544270673308989,1.6067417274655424,-0.7957595847980565,1.2460464462075809,0.7289792129111756,0.6069786028072217,0.13913930258240637,1.1493822820698902,-1.0359172884472532,2.9273233840634676,2.4123278222473794,1.7637388141444905,-0.4775743829626631,-0.6796924289718262,4.109470776496914,2.0244952392238647,-0.9551957788323282,0.07309691174578425,0.32578409248884466,0.2920099006343264,-1.3480762493361471,-1.3891586375770038,-1.3130493468605904,2.224138439669592,1.8323720180248526,-2.679268124873186,0.6086130435104335,0.5883865375589243,0.7729763708326542,0.3387789244235524,2.380522740396955,-1.3254428766980526,-0.927034580083876,1.4906420493869943,1.2762467670760893,0.9888614872049093,0.06148314960318135,2.748370097737854,-1.2480646137495963,-0.3241191842190734,-1.0343951579862454,1.138506938366791,1.0022983461681347,-0.9518754797951798,-0.36036073465804996,1.7351496468592158,-1.1230821749532423,1.6280384897241866,-0.3440549526897696,-3.753310158698591,3.2064072271366677,1.6678408146001287,1.9824880229149984,1.8648002741337986,-4.416607878493336,0.16813258482569715,1.2209362909959616,0.5758402410725809,1.2249869205756463,0.5785711792997503,-0.3855263712618635,-2.1006845541857544,1.2406699121055151,-2.0503925577382605,-2.8863652363601418,1.5620756783521825,-0.7987437680998246,1.56263691717231,-1.2995375674333944,-2.4551289456713477,1.9068284221579326,-2.893602554088707;2.3568673372242195,0.7764796597422841,-0.4482735152014321,-0.28042294966528125,0.0014415680668573572,0.25676833074160577,0.34304121343739524,2.6205964820548164,0.3977437957904435,0.7825291782749186,-0.1615159909191597,-0.4894801658506793,-0.451812300843212,-0.36091895101213467,-0.1870927660110393,0.2482580043695144,-0.233169119115475,0.8712497384913895,-0.9830908826310498,-0.5076601521922619,-0.16793630065698117,-0.4158320027563356,-0.048341110456679104,-0.26572355642585777,-0.3727551322062137,0.5990466434982071,2.3245919501844163,0.568520884005018,-0.049050617280625985,-0.3826076300949435,0.10376728031740612,-0.8167648558207503,0.18076085063743008,-0.24376952276733022,-0.008376055904619761,-0.4415376167694838,-0.009096074817504629,-0.5495730819628548,-0.872048905958037,-0.6427018508931823,-0.1387194316665461,0.1556361122283363,-0.7341451880662984,-0.8739557968241538,0.5416724369693373,-0.2060987287956948,-0.7486264545597994,-0.41011541426597375,0.5506595835523989,0.22593076700481873,0.40399229162150085,-0.7492417540259293,-0.37676016175246296,0.8883899574952157,-0.1055717586172662,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k{35}=[0.5207938656948297;0.8753684726828497;-0.3445522374472232];
x_a{35}=[-3.338418031762594,-5.798894649197676,12.26031257772009];
std_x_a{35}=[0.7474908533738922,1.2568710897671116,0.5872246068616414];
pred_a{35}=[-3.338418031762594];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.4 to 3.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{36}=[-7.148132312048883,-12.516905920755022,13.746110310860995];
std_x_f{36}=[1.4002358532532524,2.0987269478626565,2.071640353219076];
pred_f{36}=[-7.148132312048883];
obs{36}=[-6.924469414111114];
sqrt_r{36}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{36}=[3.0185084630809165];
xi{36}=[-2.3931054753520975,-0.0021705872614870003,0.1714270927058985,-1.4463663665131499,0.342254777514686,0.48111761445678614,0.1720367179785658,-2.1035680190346735,-1.392080175408429,-0.2900290574758868,0.5559934559317146,2.331308337372957,0.4916454052920054,0.5562457678778037,0.0526378153642062,0.6074272726110976,0.6487759642251598,-1.3880101376975365,-0.436550954258923,1.6733142394120195,-0.22359827316789804,-3.1311548542612133,0.04420627643734054,2.554302548576196,0.8861028856360793,-1.4169416111237911,-3.2172268777366195,0.05256157690634744,-0.8131739412875678,0.5606661595354643,-0.03112734919543847,1.1620302849929178,0.3895673725287123,0.49592030428265854,0.6789113399574305,0.5290260866492886,0.5140619170550904,1.7860910614568004,-0.8056390097482309,1.3592846683494333,-2.5550415290743054,-0.5760192695927939,2.4991830655257186,1.1821122965023152,-0.6327982719933063,0.10082459553707324,0.48073013052296787,-1.9799022964250383,-0.8217756765778947,-0.6742417624858721,-1.6987435196811589,5.1235328423250515,1.3972251531491562,-1.9788807751236543,0.5570078944438368,0.7426243195204396,0.7626470316418228,0.7695806276329433,1.6591322979474148,-1.9861497222143072,0.07003133357924884,-1.481129831871991,0.5526097352989634,2.082476534047146,-0.7299709423111844,1.8242538563669495,0.7950512148988782,-0.14142083614670575,-2.1203109500604924,0.9023453128236394,0.34023037633622977,-0.09874933175167566,0.01148917451418896,0.9799654865109533,-0.6288990259990488,1.5821202389056097,-0.7700549838169541,-1.7560257620315127,1.8222783291443365,1.5893148695069508,-1.1495123966249299,1.6198052070466797,-3.089122732394218,0.09359850812989379,1.2957415087275574,-0.0721961306006147,0.8442435690130168,0.0040584940145054205,-0.19228699717980113,-2.0190747135173126,-2.8108867698766336,-1.2581687322272064,-1.2320855371448403,1.7010085739249892,-0.5646826630268054,1.2876513589138927,-0.7084563447126531,-1.0132152666558518,1.191538022456787,-1.1307834413741489;-3.122601177231461,-0.08899105430808696,0.09453371973205726,-2.2411255247221824,0.42210650530019045,0.6922012354081932,0.16120353793487396,-2.736791368805479,-2.080457796258324,-0.5268292401145338,0.7120865286767462,3.6064671212650143,0.6141745669518617,0.6878401659975051,-0.09188289237564184,0.9539144826851818,0.805455481090176,-2.1339915979426447,-0.7840118743487015,2.607340985391721,-0.5464538726306074,-4.240430693504951,-0.027221134064593144,4.08600186583644,1.1253670112838652,-2.163648057699227,-4.07524827752081,-0.064175060572083,-1.3753319766386234,0.8185661224932179,-0.21392719103957347,1.6427523534473174,0.5962593327202299,0.6526993939186081,0.9457887577884634,0.7079897038505987,0.5742949805809214,2.8560598401950923,-1.2602086372366514,2.0432421298461367,-3.6658582259463337,-0.9957802712862698,4.092638609005357,1.7353247138133092,-1.0026750956403472,-4.6495907118249136E-4,0.4856672134552191,-2.961021755730787,-1.3030292358170392,-1.19272367488756,-2.531815898092324,8.690918218852644,2.1660661036692517,-2.9153315353338716,0.7735975107509372,1.0563989126906321,0.9914503146320524,1.0573836448460323,2.5581444233010853,-2.9225719418222145,-0.12667300750941202,-2.0858392327114714,0.8132902990100455,3.20483653491792,-1.0199513959251494,2.7872229712953054,1.1187915351910824,-0.3958738224792988,-3.102710671188424,1.2756949268379607,0.3525642695086244,-0.24733522967865795,-0.1561695661276623,1.4961580346399916,-1.2272437378110297,2.4016796928669866,-1.3236774954114274,-2.3888347083897514,2.9662772039050704,2.459272950836503,-1.7467386189959768,2.458490136096831,-3.7583918771884868,0.028894229768640756,1.8767342796655733,-0.2381839038978537,1.2311909128517815,-0.19812432023119797,-0.46890338783687113,-2.9600943985573007,-3.8435678707484335,-2.0314768712125097,-1.7698638108019082,2.5716529777080304,-1.0041441922706884,1.9867507802968678,-1.180763080462759,-1.6856759440757152,1.7834861569067808,-1.6020862155609557;4.399233348212746,-0.09461952228826576,-0.6254466295374534,1.9442128029736168,-0.6393886312245947,-0.6479089117460699,-0.40335077734698643,3.9619234726238624,2.0657852397199807,0.2791954132033325,-1.0979769660937215,-3.3029764519128335,-1.0159042746270899,-1.1758328582297874,-0.47688678859026723,-0.58099259101445,-1.4006564672732988,1.9163559408789812,0.3726593928119524,-2.130641206364297,-0.2151093472985952,5.240916686945948,-0.24149917871291215,-3.104218488924497,-1.9212024770306169,2.0031952492984892,5.957023420951529,-0.3804628287215426,0.8344811171649802,-0.7763515207043987,-0.3216625831806894,-2.018447676478379,-0.3677072033162947,-0.8868511912658086,-1.0962082384331815,-0.9340283388357609,-1.2383557561024734,-2.0268813689813925,1.1060229034974327,-1.957164064098663,3.883614098983518,0.5969616625138965,-2.565422377961358,-1.8382070045525456,0.9057577032554107,-0.47831331430221447,-1.3655801074595022,2.8300882659357356,1.0862166245535132,0.5748484101679541,2.4678430961160736,-5.206848707226733,-1.7813834477346724,2.9342082171510135,-0.8554423479453916,-1.1404920476257647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k{36}=[0.6687105528339897;0.9936485312367067;-0.9725291697425034];
x_a{36}=[-6.899930245037923,-12.148098193270894,13.385141354807338];
std_x_a{36}=[0.8407924374098339,1.3005087976482046,1.2246852518865006];
pred_a{36}=[-6.899930245037923];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.5 to 3.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{37}=[-13.301469077164816,-19.47327227301087,25.469205559075146];
std_x_f{37}=[1.005448479828496,0.7623877181633609,3.0410207205615496];
pred_f{37}=[-13.301469077164816];
obs{37}=[-13.566049527717565];
sqrt_r{37}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{37}=[2.0111644565013433];
xi{37}=[0.15343819693639915,1.4039705742866015,-0.11953046212950369,-1.3933317223287354,0.22456204772194255,0.0899272810385785,-0.5415956599147336,-0.31013735216874494,-0.34528505392815845,-0.6760056615997776,-0.3619421935328244,0.7139939969667317,-0.1863983595058034,-0.1630630665585251,-1.0799383618038263,0.13158037191386285,0.2434436385327139,-0.88974031174107,-1.0144121784540214,-0.092486948691473,-0.7073881568616507,-0.7135579956915006,0.5004003664870531,0.8505736715398964,-0.6088379503381223,-0.656481501917149,0.22825901471063403,-0.7170798102431135,-0.4739060645114641,0.03530103776487614,0.16420732948305172,-0.27942677121576587,5.280239895505748,-0.817414562888068,0.17282700341748303,1.2076913274880248,0.5434461329893114,1.0250604153959895,-0.46587834311441867,0.5122034650739078,-0.2145597266157857,-1.0059542889121378,1.1413488214521657,0.18439110182243823,-0.49676625691417975,-0.18683275410533717,-0.3659489559202598,-0.8968190758694341,-0.5904598205978804,-0.43933177227954623,-0.5090767575606261,3.5785314430762067,1.1927785921356993,-0.753374482665139,0.4464445488213453,0.013976700093961014,-0.29484985321734136,-0.3322468152890359,0.4369555398444902,-0.9451261648615663,-0.3133004783577835,-0.4092836987782995,0.4501832955138987,0.4174850333323583,-0.37098967881933653,0.607146646972156,0.3361535992859004,-0.43096511337126664,-0.7404679699798997,-0.06832392700785306,0.07529612193455115,-0.510910642158036,-0.8331493576131859,0.01515266798187298,-1.0395024966746291,0.29049341833816555,-0.6205649449588506,-0.2089249056792628,3.9913565736069714,-0.3681567774105545,-0.4667297131065169,2.1423931269392664,0.01462244277070468,-0.3438811237443087,1.9253711781185174,-0.22647499294712858,-0.002214280578705541,-0.45129002786132055,-0.44099096083466094,-0.9100380070185441,-0.019790937284383858,-0.8361370641288506,-0.6579101474083071,0.3844595924454275,-0.7159874479618882,0.27192653368470765,0.1461737330106665,-1.397886413173591,0.8021682572112905,-0.31687841484177603;0.7169571809753066,-0.04254647180435711,-0.6125724884564505,0.6730023624331558,-0.4267667067159202,-0.23548089977526843,-0.23594326437328306,0.9329363392888652,-0.10729485377124348,-0.1367575235119709,-0.44758574689248576,-0.08512116718897644,-0.5079916965056483,-0.5786276083341235,-0.09177942383934834,-0.005955828743164915,-0.685381181032394,0.10056734454134997,0.008263681392410405,0.09531317006521789,-0.5639974546981534,1.1362781213232154,-0.424541202240885,0.3617456228576863,-0.6773041123540082,-0.04359315224307991,1.1840565516904498,-0.2878874784660823,-0.4896656926825713,-0.23317506721838654,-0.6274253914567822,-0.4806566503563836,4.300985152924122,-0.0421461711836848,-0.38711679254561204,-0.17458454921343858,-0.6748833258851015,0.32982184715475427,-0.17439142791933904,-0.23030185638413414,0.043889926743801766,0.014499002495334423,0.7559399440790635,-0.36797938961358057,-0.11933929188419512,-0.5551790031082717,-0.8248568191736894,0.20563155613059791,-0.15430101464110635,-0.5621596374810807,-0.052034846090979414,3.232856276844551,0.1336497919595523,0.20811972991728567,-0.325650255934395,-0.3224976809622184,-0.5998134462865856,-0.38259317110369295,-0.08442395663488256,0.4230661470632846,-0.7811071330184838,0.3105917294372986,-0.19927348643378195,-0.1614786717893466,0.21279290200326884,-0.1788150951363825,-0.4158037937789558,-0.5940400281490597,0.2334429650906813,-0.4103505847301818,-0.6181857430380653,-0.24608870939832883,-0.3144401140543067,-0.09302786965425369,-0.5455732301566947,-0.22838155136497207,-0.44675342790908346,0.46194741619703095,2.849428945714056,0.17809504190424974,-0.09282533016130756,0.5938116399876279,1.652931138890768,-0.3917140148111926,0.24397857842940596,-0.46821820612466425,-0.2589521993327004,-0.6397705330255832,-0.5705444224005767,0.40996703835363846,0.4833880383751392,-0.25170451441766417,0.3529177037251081,-0.2886383141604618,-0.34443394513147396,-0.04456987171843707,-0.501631908042615,0.33421684986985056,-0.1697731582427373,0.14330981703017542;0.6440457660954451,-5.110359593516126,-0.3726099283132669,5.410129601667425,-1.291925126453176,-0.5155071093958021,1.5995588661391835,2.4610015356805697,1.1322025374443498,2.174985830376965,0.6952016179189755,-2.5579345123659145,0.007118038868629384,-0.15966441193265624,3.5039252645570507,-0.3136159202633344,-1.7736327003110368,3.1640440573102673,3.433454377385914,0.5757373566941375,1.6772489176101217,3.937441818575799,-2.283969695564707,-2.324830062411227,1.1713385846817879,2.2248281104266034,1.0527901029178182,2.0985393346715853,1.0214097163600577,-0.3134980267376086,-1.3944634787017698,0.37023896064973627,-14.216244799593598,2.7441546929112697,-1.0466799356813823,-4.575591814950009,-2.8602581312956517,-2.993407109281211,1.4378665945501545,-2.0256114610141935,0.8995307249171347,3.4130998360161797,-2.7036928496905546,-1.077461080981351,1.6279941707166508,-0.041360657599561534,0.156706830513059,3.3176014545589503,1.868433402464607,0.7979238263455954,1.7427473799835127,-8.007739169167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k{37}=[0.5027756199810645;0.24497382905876297;-1.4737621250571604];
x_a{37}=[-13.44429554138945,-19.542863447366834,25.887865941688798];
std_x_a{37}=[0.6374769397840339,0.6533537876988404,2.0174519289890234];
pred_a{37}=[-13.44429554138945];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.6 to 3.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{38}=[-14.13115126127039,-8.166503978698675,39.76490663614323];
std_x_f{38}=[0.6535828845530327,1.7947290201836317,0.7888871201838723];
pred_f{38}=[-14.13115126127039];
obs{38}=[-14.334935202261772];
sqrt_r{38}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{38}=[1.4292284774876718];
xi{38}=[0.45136588284214696,-0.9552278810787893,-1.2498925437593122,1.3161491317369975,-0.6989788440107656,-0.25928677574502146,0.3108759994526018,0.8659301906659209,0.24828695422108282,0.9638253962290673,-0.4858674374066485,-0.38213264570654104,-0.36143458004475626,-0.46774353300135196,0.9853437096892481,5.501756813508507E-5,0.2250406834435541,1.537289551736583,0.8030289688441687,0.14916802022879416,0.1821563952996108,1.2882228878172999,-0.6377979924916861,-0.3035461057645765,0.13874469996096295,0.557518335380907,0.7959615861860563,0.30301383469238097,-0.03601701635262167,-0.2751582057885553,-0.793561381012827,-0.5682189441879828,-0.917627183874572,0.16256905076549621,-1.0757618619507507,-1.0543316576417237,-0.9136127475947919,-0.32680010953283123,-0.13665368537651545,-0.4771217043886615,0.201248763262587,0.7150844404249348,-0.2859711728451799,-0.3928453408766881,0.38127388457705,-0.16953773755027512,-0.3588360162302333,1.392671038387581,0.3511956165069776,-0.10302451944650137,0.2889597423803423,-0.036867500099029726,-0.7613783475861222,0.2802289177600752,-0.4979286620186052,-0.7420478279457114,-0.3540366931779726,-0.4697503590894243,-0.3820184722671627,1.5866053004254201,-0.11666110437146848,-0.23031681111291746,-0.4311376884971061,-0.5566054728298457,0.47933043181984303,-0.5322150633809795,-0.4392155238095121,0.22129892441996013,0.6878127247002528,-0.30799580906295176,-0.800641983852092,-0.09701992755175226,0.2833287700223188,0.4505492909980493,0.23541165315258894,-0.3674406591342603,0.2668980870718656,0.20950806247718567,-0.8795022515604742,0.36588655753726407,0.21024584781533484,-1.22873329624848,0.9825539241685313,0.0910786797664862,-1.2532641435565939,-0.1478714016752516,-0.562950923183088,0.19409096429898476,-0.12892498078163328,1.1718534409878636,0.2720140802073612,0.45662551411263586,0.6673805073734727,-0.4762298977061672,0.4897167050989264,0.031955991869647704,-0.633379575209176,1.7329481121969277,-0.1350166626310827,0.2738363914171895;0.22962994401483083,-1.8518753553856673,-3.3643045809557446,2.2773349483887912,-1.416116071938621,-0.3934886718027304,1.0667572011982642,0.9032930594209931,0.7652845314936441,2.937219238292953,-1.1281435947112115,-0.5008621681502685,-0.4099120129078049,-0.622877378822869,2.700160212526445,0.07280794976655969,2.255180986549914,4.24471517358647,1.9528613662889613,0.224486247107615,1.1503610173923846,1.748233441405179,-0.9182306326676457,-1.078585807542341,1.2993202538710786,1.4545021169879178,0.5740437526066948,1.0152691288211457,0.41063343898217397,-0.5097030408817709,-1.3468020538353578,-1.2804922637512917,-7.0778806107294265,-0.0018970614510323003,-2.9227711356727877,-2.163371797623645,-1.2699756854041855,-0.8920143345538563,-0.5501536884403642,-0.7444645300272921,0.4213784573657744,1.6565294534512267,-1.6114871777490851,-0.47282745682383975,1.1204924615628302,0.3353368945776962,0.0798459455434557,3.6019324629742018,1.0323581311088494,0.3654535126743257,0.6576559544475717,-3.675322437855211,-1.8417453970480118,-0.08971527421002179,-0.6849775091979264,-1.9979417906308292,-0.297425789573186,-1.187945446637567,-0.7933664719839264,3.838217838132379,0.8741017231585015,-1.8790927354190856,-0.7304400297940656,-1.2696621432529689,0.9152419251163835,-0.9494200539636743,-0.4166231177419739,1.540465662154789,1.3288466074813954,-0.3173032217105991,-1.49041079072361,-0.29633092302632313,0.9211803235359382,1.691622955954072,1.0477498782921755,-0.5798723354601432,1.2729137166538935,-0.41575127238385434,-5.16827186568308,0.5667793438243933,0.5012774909693061,-3.4088412237449575,0.14873429902593216,0.7845767173872273,-2.9251866425414015,0.20489653540204422,-1.5017154210894734,1.5064220878940553,0.3065028496477913,2.537236026382355,-0.08009808637905458,1.3946322488470395,1.0857560801449768,-0.7405831300141994,1.7452423669168837,0.3909639437507648,-1.0801284487528253,4.210137417059423,0.6033872263494837,0.3764461241576944;-0.7506923173760569,0.5995393002941967,0.046499080304762686,-1.0008664730929056,0.40330786371396243,0.2658776127162952,0.18021754401390666,-1.085756981787675,0.07771711887910726,0.28842729006077406,0.1457958966924977,0.4361151714969438,0.4506693150541494,0.5175550702570035,0.022435916826054836,0.08599223324227268,1.2749457612668351,0.1370451598862914,-0.1767489706656633,-0.13033369486549162,0.49007149444750553,-1.3107643839394356,0.6613843223686402,-0.17173866335654253,0.6912532119472559,-0.036713050045683815,-1.1671454728597652,0.14331068561957494,0.4079461989070623,0.20764383441738943,0.6516259325104414,0.20790915408500865,-4.315659157170359,-0.3813034261019439,0.014200261538270809,0.5820903724041528,0.9660181948306672,0.011981242815188864,-0.14647371788639418,0.4499026350502575,-0.08673341594749218,-0.22832040757217698,-0.6299107468957672,0.4784608014639531,0.07446613105744859,0.6291802356301659,0.818222157772702,-0.060308705368676385,0.061804257317895406,0.5020051827428489,-0.08857965439017335,-3.0178427062668547,0.18986771729450425,-0.6672212448607695,0.543370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k{38}=[0.30032180595937935;0.7076904831826968;-0.07385448620321568];
x_a{38}=[-14.185779739207291,-8.295232739579667,39.77834075278092];
std_x_a{38}=[0.517831819237274,1.5012223248556182,0.7868976602259499];
pred_a{38}=[-14.185779739207291];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.7 to 3.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{39}=[-5.940922721091855,1.713981362423887,32.637285668714526];
std_x_f{39}=[0.7329491583892175,0.6788267814861486,0.8241064033307925];
pred_f{39}=[-5.940922721091855];
obs{39}=[-5.7244932624309];
sqrt_r{39}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{39}=[1.5372146716225341];
xi{39}=[0.004481190480281505,-0.31020845006805686,-0.8468605215362688,0.3096601348556467,-0.29612072257624433,-0.42117126544073535,0.22888594375720572,-0.35993058873119743,0.38802679900400516,0.9097936169226566,-0.5680015661359841,-0.16795473097852653,0.023888043004262727,0.06343519452813506,0.7914408335481387,-0.16405089322039856,1.1226659414963107,1.4827397874953334,0.5390649651104669,0.14059058595742258,0.503299712345056,-0.012307433801250767,1.1535441008073883,-0.3951741374858875,0.7022073069329249,0.5302560551609714,-0.35140045971603673,0.6314817620809805,0.19749866661811932,-0.01970983863486797,0.03561301984184695,-0.4253590188981251,-3.754749861603157,-0.21397839239936634,-0.8775682343173106,-0.5177265485464702,-0.598721353442575,-0.3275502540369688,-0.267313797925695,0.24260511833530352,0.05965906433204715,0.41666733872713113,-0.5253288351099759,-0.05315506692979799,0.8642508037975505,-0.473315003802675,0.26371900834806183,1.2416170785500942,0.586950288752095,0.257330543222861,0.44504583015831223,-2.2837358481733094,-0.19430593216029912,-0.3409593625393317,-0.10486234330382072,-0.6891801436478922,0.2777778714733694,-0.41048912515191116,-0.12527854304896202,1.1673559752851386,0.608004871926342,-1.015812009559336,0.6921714119700617,0.015486511883409548,0.1307286256180893,-0.15180947111760545,-0.6885575571082168,0.9731252040432015,0.2066500239358655,0.6777331494746699,0.010704586880738276,-0.1707331514142858,0.339042906963237,0.6170726266693212,0.32097093217271677,-0.1272472580645161,0.4854071464235208,-0.7269256514491751,-2.3017889257970836,3.997258004311277E-4,-0.17649695266411847,-1.0659563556438743,-0.6503906598400073,0.6608167288081637,-0.6889964946390226,0.33151931916064115,-0.606273387883574,0.27008885618810474,0.23843322179311155,0.5870896622121284,0.012148040933048776,0.49292534298670176,0.19176294783402792,-0.12583007384139488,0.08496447204136626,0.1191367954759599,-0.17333552613097947,1.224348623309739,0.10925605755266954,-0.2149186244704424;-0.6719726534454902,0.33426064353067697,-0.2124069857930051,-0.6417129625847253,0.18430047199809607,0.18790859372500446,0.2013791460805856,-0.924094132988217,0.10022905683901495,0.5381138236755214,0.04168703916208316,0.286912399297907,0.29625322963095146,0.32991634876317577,0.29437061969350453,0.02026183189332542,1.2997180614792396,0.7017454733793513,0.024891968393487174,-0.1503870219269381,0.48740499456636965,-0.9996408205792302,0.5715110631394344,-0.29510690269454565,0.6863920021017751,0.08974807614711389,-1.028994466597441,0.21494399360022087,0.3236890093511613,0.06547156468828663,0.3771820889807034,0.05085906461245071,-3.3284071071183687,-0.3794681786960279,-0.18630386721906733,0.331443458215823,0.8710085660004154,-0.11507944230031453,-0.22317534047235954,0.25410847099904643,-0.09618690147708331,-0.061281801525461255,-0.7458575845578714,0.3177140605723132,0.22061423099782407,0.6448578793886377,0.6587167809651471,0.42266819885342044,0.1397676372284855,0.4129953325011042,-0.03755965394887495,-2.7277392401250493,-0.06370195683936197,-0.6397511398466089,0.35909542394018046,-0.1389648596117723,0.36386972576931664,-0.07911889978213527,0.05023494921273364,0.2577798646054832,0.8202067029455173,-1.058118718426429,0.2515063485393245,-0.003724532346909948,-0.21925749684391715,0.21887229876771497,0.6415414610734536,0.7799503503086,-0.26842050596755285,0.32223175037790175,0.28206490687899777,-0.10793972382725592,0.13645429494905126,0.4569266915732364,0.3029635747724255,0.19572510055382564,0.4389872479602801,-0.7282180360270647,-2.2947704597834893,-0.27228793624138703,-0.04966968786724202,-0.23803535333043468,-1.7378663633587383,0.41560114019551775,0.11865906739337051,0.36998434082685683,-0.09810220315127705,0.741611813417647,0.4044361699814829,-0.15327624759527003,-0.5933150307174495,0.1959235311630585,-0.40918361068979614,0.27201307668697905,0.38292251084895423,0.20355374338608057,0.30998754737655543,0.2854499381074791,0.6730200997540325,-0.2555210255135554;-0.594281493580624,0.7390959736060978,1.146396466277018,-1.073641811324304,0.6046000131261877,0.7963905072517505,-0.21294597997347608,-0.21083872998665498,-0.5331491332150762,-0.9276458051680265,0.8999387822953224,0.4814058403508241,0.20339662370456324,0.16607058558910381,-0.9925831747660077,0.2668365480747923,-0.59517965260833,-1.632058331419092,-0.8358534487379643,-0.3518150485103817,-0.3803561293991251,-0.858850684052868,-1.2555159504155142,0.36249189414157,-0.505228648571638,-0.7625471310988807,-0.32150437500975926,-0.8052492770386124,-0.038539807344136534,0.0795570214807313,0.2557326349912472,0.6819202224893743,3.510027624853045,-0.018612900252982456,1.202982267019415,1.0509110462685172,1.5692781691010325,0.3976650170037246,0.20143735544448305,-0.16006459165247122,-0.1822226092059438,-0.7273088009123896,0.20125079056262507,0.33311884279916626,-1.156342923915144,1.207083013794886,0.12643457833582517,-1.5244461460287901,-0.7998713940278499,-0.0642995914289628,-0.7245835247794652,1.4637845394682998,0.243561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k{39}=[0.3494727714610626;0.241407024469042;-0.35368307832151274];
x_a{39}=[-5.866353671138947,1.7654917916666473,32.56181824095304];
std_x_a{39}=[0.5809218543932302,0.6397554328014077,0.6495794470867026];
pred_a{39}=[-5.866353671138947];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.8 to 3.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{40}=[-0.8284724454119511,1.9856449488239687,24.44078018908428];
std_x_f{40}=[0.4869515730180338,0.5408741832041868,0.4604231385544243];
pred_f{40}=[-0.8284724454119511];
obs{40}=[-0.5754077166662125];
sqrt_r{40}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{40}=[1.239067318256353];
xi{40}=[-0.43886546386098557,0.4109151642919326,-0.05995828268329362,-0.490145876989588,0.712253375909337,0.14223741303325432,0.16848523880758903,-0.556401840758524,-0.013694621623629555,0.37994705391062766,-0.041511554035030485,0.22655731201729534,0.10593576654214765,0.06460685972600932,0.25895220091237336,0.2857429287203881,0.9183934132203746,0.3399628206728695,-0.0037343803368589112,-0.10491622458465344,0.5303882210709667,-1.2678108473712921,0.29441809658534124,-0.07632689199731235,0.406498161982857,-0.4161956150028715,-0.5051947224969758,-0.015437815134700772,0.11493235490475606,0.008661868631186453,1.5346522776491176,-0.007873510857018928,-1.7345729189475625,-0.3261959515528027,-0.330450158356253,0.27303236066570324,0.9307034624281807,-0.07565305842129644,-0.08394009625136445,0.23151440864051775,-0.05031070023310169,-0.0973735193612234,-0.4391547688966754,0.2363906098116757,-0.6379511538941346,0.5415278464227304,0.43279396130727704,0.24378644376765246,0.03662896602288401,-0.34766642131083525,-0.03002649056502449,-1.653633261025889,-0.2234924502054959,-0.4225808870491018,0.3736023286183966,-0.02653237835954647,0.35434625283131366,-0.007650325386623802,0.6489942923270703,0.11832119412843534,0.2818491572000241,-0.744797004441396,0.07085993028656346,-0.06146337934589852,-0.14046429351663103,-0.08173071502668827,0.4573944774703974,0.426544733304414,-0.20122720199265676,0.18368061975311067,0.1315933811662776,-0.36970892651033316,0.07513881059618555,0.4971643787633946,0.22084739338594195,0.2028170681525382,0.32470519338908743,-0.44476649947632885,-1.3298715189357635,-0.10934070766658088,0.07072609777284466,-0.4778899974140961,-1.1851784499895266,0.20698136525091937,0.38658907355896066,0.10161877146195686,-0.07783906490458148,0.5070644219531838,0.2780055270575389,-0.18396524418659654,-0.49618158375462074,-0.03356483549519651,-0.368091276099931,0.1771586321351647,0.2024706066384705,0.0766976317970135,0.22998497965535658,0.09448725409178238,0.4531806695050851,-0.19140994360000174;-0.7688418917094482,0.6079210031956077,0.23799904227137092,-0.9386182887153676,0.683190477871954,0.41506561019978316,0.108313855169069,-0.8308923735462528,-0.14615667213785888,0.16243502609376104,0.29299360085813064,0.3987273511036229,0.25038475912992,0.23148039163332546,-0.033189776453181,0.2427614975163921,0.9256399016283214,-0.010723565585624817,-0.27728632556950705,-0.26072174974150264,0.4088550647596707,-1.408873757175655,0.019330418885928013,-0.08157313029277802,0.369862727979007,-0.4408788923900717,-0.8876813018454077,-0.18447795937693678,0.18351100716020974,0.04585250150795228,1.2856157442089156,0.24207509704491215,-1.0753169896989674,-0.3706703700764693,0.16987432489209575,0.6368518225823465,1.408602791683229,0.0197533844180382,-0.09596032292099088,0.18223214077586314,-0.14541909481281823,-0.33195643963417876,-0.5404740457784816,0.3749796234669944,-0.6124626662278552,0.9767564450510273,0.5723459517346325,-0.15631865338663142,-0.1869563470789517,0.010903557578418877,-0.28464275507135395,-1.603820124715271,-0.07517323099731166,-0.5528624146183474,0.5011046061103748,0.2203116225863606,0.3153583251615426,0.13219795174649707,0.473459987799455,-0.3161896573330918,0.43763314383582075,-0.6547957289374917,-0.13302198902497486,-0.06068225912522007,-0.3279189269253666,0.1915617967821579,1.038834944237595,0.3244754423772609,-0.4358222187275509,-0.014356534830607615,0.26208751891950155,-0.1951243261680955,-0.04844464984001795,0.30909115781565055,0.1640680364524838,0.30064848929224053,0.25030189485763654,-0.421003443376613,-1.1075637877080524,-0.29307476907837504,0.06938857053165282,0.19007699371526,-1.6408014370151542,0.07940369621345611,0.6264118245682766,0.13905803296386154,0.18809617306046467,0.6689280337418231,0.31412618890179833,-0.5299913310355517,-0.7442715409674334,-0.1420107783905853,-0.626838430578466,0.3419592835051273,0.3300825184375007,0.12007520118109949,0.4257450946198367,-0.346109712584481,0.6661523823952942,-0.20498337100617103;-0.36468550441455605,0.16044217565921315,0.5054986941549799,-0.5529216774511525,-0.3557757721965906,0.3846898945032038,-0.18447289871705408,-0.20292031158800938,-0.227621722577517,-0.5180749662780002,0.5512603522774064,0.18952180969018073,0.19113027767365764,0.24950589020937386,-0.6322307886381608,-0.20734214902745762,-0.28612693457884575,-0.7089855487386174,-0.4636612296029554,-0.2185421729094763,-0.4475476341599318,0.37124405997210985,-0.5762110344370512,0.022109063703073417,-0.20958185376819571,0.15109129400374144,-0.4212246864431357,-0.27286093385914256,0.0698200618997582,0.057716088661909026,-1.134209775840226,0.3997479844417704,1.8911604984624866,0.043859636738186936,0.9153873196962721,0.47976068319220744,0.4534315435845748,0.18713449039936947,-0.00422173474451526,-0.1827850215804574,-0.14457619015041345,-0.37270622953121446,0.03219765195520452,0.13708725809394195,0.34479532511604916,0.4973131314561279,0.06092278342116586,-0.7793525494323532,-0.39409445198874593,0.706325874127721,-0.42177251430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k{40}=[0.19294134768462337;0.19273284704149599;-0.08615390428288598];
x_a{40}=[-0.7744787998877815,2.03958024651367,24.416670461313657];
std_x_a{40}=[0.4341873045060944,0.5051009963924238,0.4397189462414106];
pred_a{40}=[-0.7744787998877815];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.9 to 4.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{41}=[0.9552783904721794,2.0754474594721013,18.771722187208614];
std_x_f{41}=[0.5398608245975933,0.745019041450325,0.3378746350469531];
pred_f{41}=[0.9552783904721794];
obs{41}=[1.2231157301270434];
sqrt_r{41}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{41}=[1.293201898579936];
xi{41}=[-0.41649330826497377,0.646011029022702,0.15951841457254778,-0.9587653213769621,0.3908168734210292,0.3428670359536735,0.04362996264889618,-0.5598714188538945,-0.07842897758032974,0.1783588228696934,-0.05958558700107364,0.051620177847019444,0.2845043578876484,0.22212548092357365,0.05444691986335537,0.4707915875658574,0.8485068331130307,0.13080912877838624,-0.8285596847216153,-0.33990875913464014,0.47869062090434034,-1.2590538184992637,0.07011332222467936,-0.6493024027166798,0.7992097783535758,-0.4172308919665567,-1.1047083797143886,-0.054193124754989275,0.24496035608342803,-0.010290912009838227,1.3267277602036063,0.5484552787531513,-0.8500772929766265,-0.20067921750665763,-0.24837086005630638,0.48916482393153415,1.0098787919211132,0.5634369844587878,-0.033265334994586615,0.2851527600342091,-0.684793944688003,-0.5986163709183727,-0.34677988721462605,0.3476820883940662,-0.11327201643799756,1.7490980397681652,0.5302650790790951,-0.051167294740602554,-0.20340957951798622,0.0023131713103102802,-0.3265066181854337,-1.4816741720863593,-0.100704517066454,-0.4967876920538341,0.5933045721141924,-0.10607681383491618,0.136642967751898,0.17737254094882327,0.2484429725551206,-0.315363023972841,0.3942909434723597,-0.6577663850657258,0.08994171805577789,-0.03643971295075721,-0.09997156874591018,-0.03526480377325458,0.608182174932557,0.3724932249577201,-0.36639203553982214,-0.08325140008172549,0.13175534290995172,-0.291019683562591,0.06012981649410143,0.40405200185476875,-0.0023411110880153796,0.26685748743108084,1.0365143771111116,-0.4675513019274822,-1.126770139243047,0.026360288220400818,-0.14301079095516678,-0.031173698282479623,-1.4462292582692542,0.09364266950842925,0.30488806400086743,0.13959583384084506,-0.05130966235058931,0.5517341133022023,0.3238556948087318,-0.39658924173173693,-0.6691947842902756,-0.09726128884590313,-0.5087167463016986,-0.226725880923071,0.23922166077370888,0.09711072461383286,0.39929898874208314,-0.19342318504227907,0.6756039530295065,0.18389229050003075;-0.6473857796016655,0.9160684504785621,0.28662646336174014,-1.4212226807748756,0.5181645637383716,0.5232049750820651,0.0538015310330322,-0.8309026875500796,-0.14146858867149414,0.19543590359492002,0.009471047684673106,0.11698511785319399,0.4173655035665145,0.33610498335676375,0.0036746100776716695,0.6235970147146186,1.1458312851340575,0.08911626416602525,-1.184925095920213,-0.49611403829812994,0.6173388021588351,-1.7175153917440928,0.03059247672929999,-0.8714670202256141,1.0671208444397258,-0.5695365416845546,-1.601421540371623,-0.1146486307112009,0.3458536719593015,-0.004682356853374259,1.7604562029058055,0.7905564937358993,-0.9113682219583714,-0.2839222567979913,-0.18913546882188825,0.7367529662511791,1.4482094476356115,0.7778726185165352,-0.04915821140488896,0.37039850624629,-0.9443676877676033,-0.8702297237906502,-0.4913295198078864,0.4987884005458425,-0.1531777994098633,2.409432352295443,0.7437478859743516,-0.16870379185490436,-0.331666656843973,0.09307467448621187,-0.5106795945908567,-1.937005755500468,-0.0966313271495518,-0.6937593617926492,0.820438477502456,-0.07093526607096212,0.17429477458609988,0.27685176137492595,0.2971508529788962,-0.5363413325459108,0.5638121838904264,-0.8567719798540099,0.07270587066093537,-0.049565687473815956,-0.18004715712828157,0.022875161327467364,0.9403065943528968,0.4757628227255335,-0.5558705305423775,-0.16591511085172383,0.20722073518159956,-0.34611594011538327,0.05528242342152234,0.4998416206012619,-0.016728227183993027,0.3751851249266718,1.3790693900344988,-0.62074445887415,-1.4198671076501028,-0.01210940289223128,-0.19118134980334944,0.13429722103449393,-2.075543822724242,0.1007811232777347,0.4737848078273954,0.1912911458425528,0.005240217356946353,0.7720935344575612,0.44448719479000776,-0.6338338898092035,-0.9667261470857338,-0.16691938010285723,-0.749271117336233,-0.2602315219234379,0.3471080048939186,0.14762493505514662,0.5857498251681181,-0.3749285309959314,0.9540158811855117,0.23915894868527454;-0.44840288097764613,0.23711498849149137,0.3780925475805077,-0.5167890393551602,-0.08438028555425703,0.3366037612192656,-0.11765565159980085,-0.3339774306720855,-0.21498538053202765,-0.34636743790133195,0.4482729428347021,0.22019771669302202,0.15717866458226837,0.19847805430305243,-0.47171760897595405,-0.12101469838862045,0.045193902600146885,-0.5256792428039567,-0.27838032969143,-0.20807026404225937,-0.2399903208396097,0.07335800469128273,-0.4183295152073718,0.06960127107401703,-0.07824618404906403,0.004879260219013304,-0.3650912265446067,-0.2570163477496976,0.054930376179246565,0.025052190735141977,-0.3976318615490584,0.2848585702552491,1.0904139245633324,-0.0874743093875665,0.6788728130242419,0.4572977518426491,0.6995831038596876,0.07478953584283232,-0.05161494546902645,-0.11241114906442107,-0.0502237005704238,-0.28843259646811603,-0.1209120677460227,0.15162645766882932,0.03494303368648133,0.6843043595732858,0.1626631489526318,-0.5984186453489606,-0.329686223517772,0.45496731332118046,-0.3570638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k{41}=[0.2267255398417685;0.3120664557878364;0.02592857389695942];
x_a{41}=[1.0106485884168364,2.151659347382564,18.778054381941054];
std_x_a{41}=[0.5005474607599399,0.6923549644815797,0.3381062327101036];
pred_a{41}=[1.0106485884168364];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.0 to 4.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{42}=[2.204401918859914,3.688597088479527,14.84653899188538];
std_x_f{42}=[0.8159310218355547,1.290362785547494,0.43763230974090606];
pred_f{42}=[2.204401918859914];
obs{42}=[2.5544657613318997];
sqrt_r{42}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{42}=[1.6687251202579318];
xi{42}=[-0.5433112354512963,0.7563208474309389,0.26996179319057445,-1.2456585051880595,0.9325728260290673,-0.03450969388491165,0.29901414410321836,-0.7335934256640197,0.16172705917349672,0.3623831300372369,0.0015008204970561323,0.5122534146559286,0.400534543172935,0.24959670774052434,0.058035992772490275,0.10740627595194674,1.004834852717126,0.053221285159558374,-1.0814520105501373,-0.2790317990257012,0.5949885993901054,-2.0899040718842197,0.13517795330641613,-0.9066548525944536,1.0086154518810453,-0.4754685503882998,-1.5002112644479433,-0.18633443210725664,0.07341246141459656,-0.7476070068546263,1.8010749873145437,0.941335726468493,-0.9506624189896955,-0.21801798562067587,-0.010639246815458137,0.9392078684762666,1.42566751830722,0.6872005633212956,0.01057870822576401,0.6878230549933515,-1.0510875623607878,-0.7426745341908287,-0.24142980599202168,0.45724380125308084,0.014192546460396027,2.1306080498766375,0.7514546075434887,-0.07544774718015645,0.1721870792841993,0.10053099878547167,-0.4405760304753472,-2.3888449460275707,0.41437146091320587,-0.4449568719534247,1.4143175101949033,-0.1984280431991956,0.07787369672825761,0.20879488583785877,0.34702053387881904,-0.7085368190568442,0.5110074647370189,-0.7772910509590183,0.07388394473898874,0.13417367497325206,-0.570497838522112,0.6092484555736672,0.7768362621460123,0.4514392804089873,-0.8004755794812486,-0.2804640419113431,0.12047088251485194,-0.46926829524348124,0.10291480043306045,-0.06894119049521574,-0.2027990429674431,1.374031259812602,1.305819874692208,-0.505453891830278,-1.5176495115966069,-1.8914212896516243,-0.07915822957968155,-0.026536249217443242,-2.3250114074405226,0.1189882805028839,-0.14009603097738754,-1.1083738133262377,0.09879638192818341,0.7064496571476133,0.531550983940102,0.024202519174236325,-0.839167500233206,0.714527459203806,-0.36450254528818515,-0.30599543156957987,0.5158585666393853,-0.08019149475353426,1.1322850240308835,-0.29547908108280363,0.9749570830985008,0.10332876384611955;-0.8485772667959774,1.1980976371662275,0.4227073773686514,-1.9896351242097987,1.4848365055921176,-0.05045477142786714,0.4936631118376291,-1.161662168066881,0.2729292344047205,0.6008391069767378,-0.0018969276945028923,0.8058291261370374,0.6310659095004056,0.39645389888608085,0.1258504833721772,0.1877933312455129,1.5862255535974685,0.11572444310566032,-1.7267844965755572,-0.4307425834797822,0.9632951022022129,-3.3476571599062686,0.24202543401240906,-1.4444866935298846,1.5961118377317267,-0.7484822097719661,-2.4080787958186978,-0.27355016605526483,0.1320786525138935,-1.1800577498096523,2.8600005462108578,1.47427852989934,-1.4983082996794885,-0.3294168359818852,-0.025094036341844372,1.4549896785363816,2.172662375780304,1.0972210816852797,0.03326559063235379,1.103310296118106,-1.6767535612323186,-1.1768662509650736,-0.3788571313222606,0.720384210267667,0.03132177105258904,3.2217562052332167,1.1877268375128254,-0.09097171857519148,0.2924949622448554,0.15871472518557184,-0.6826965305179855,-3.808903580856264,0.6437206395458559,-0.688462305614113,2.2037088277104275,-0.3132885300093906,0.13733623493488478,0.3352917213074371,0.5847001504169591,-1.1116100752256344,0.8054037058726844,-1.23513779018346,0.14429839323870608,0.23064776299410905,-0.8965531180246855,0.9508313051790878,1.1856184178587337,0.7344570101709738,-1.2638814588959368,-0.4234724325264936,0.1910156566602863,-0.7363153676507617,0.18563516134503866,-0.08497922327107599,-0.3038320428644603,2.1478331083258646,2.0629658209428743,-0.8002584087417306,-2.4066652335721996,-3.04774754489614,-0.11306138869348237,-0.05859843700852352,-3.746152428757385,0.20861275135887647,-0.21976298604317535,-1.7565888105914909,0.15643429216663973,1.1065176938613992,0.8497525891152535,0.06478805104313023,-1.3295233978798753,1.1428897955473638,-0.5619534013804568,-0.4834717824752519,0.818273260925372,-0.10917742145827791,1.762731322833972,-0.45007674587525104,1.5207597513488333,0.18262740953895218;-0.5708760480896338,0.44495031896632575,0.3410897068887877,-0.7644238977591264,0.31395323123481944,0.16215677551989316,-0.01617362008999379,-0.5276688113731698,-0.14687075728690147,-0.17182808175618014,0.29204725789725217,0.34820401878027063,0.2214837847876172,0.18956884317241673,-0.39526351131291015,-0.1413201970657525,0.41619730240526387,-0.4463266609656582,-0.5528967763540056,-0.29882594385965255,0.003870618474582699,-0.40544873483246313,-0.325530828623819,-0.2616827976705558,0.32827953524810916,-0.19920024455684526,-0.6794202383603132,-0.3210462702931469,-0.0029118959111826825,-0.31517720647580916,0.5614168604944041,0.587979280072215,0.5157285659871036,-0.19198133646463056,0.48430234869895905,0.7262995639970615,1.1721691045060485,0.2858869677463076,-0.08814254487465867,0.1626445405071788,-0.39033780334559687,-0.48781962584001803,-0.2180341140870521,0.242558779820353,-0.020226360394783427,1.6112569293950205,0.38861950500633036,-0.5402618298024677,-0.21637476064454653,0.3364791049194338,-0.47194485380875584,-0.10731375479456595,0.291946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k{42}=[0.40074012917991436;0.6335951722247728;0.164478729506041];
x_a{42}=[2.345935432906878,3.912370413580949,14.904629636864229];
std_x_a{42}=[0.6369441105042258,1.0079719760132455,0.3660349952394526];
pred_a{42}=[2.345935432906878];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.1 to 4.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{43}=[4.700315417917736,8.090655466888382,13.352970889579893];
std_x_f{43}=[1.1865150516145029,1.9274380696297564,1.0823101383076017];
pred_f{43}=[4.700315417917736];
obs{43}=[5.115511263464981];
sqrt_r{43}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{43}=[2.4105837821282923];
xi{43}=[0.5232739508441737,0.8996656358094084,0.004526109300666548,-0.6539868008214009,0.941371718794799,0.2429951557352794,0.12907180311055289,1.1272386738172466,0.10018242444865066,1.1835881735099436,-0.06035907718603184,0.6696631662928301,0.5785075672766578,0.18461089709835043,0.1776307759047917,-0.026361336985873507,0.9752142892859901,0.08946797560735131,-1.0066819261284112,0.5090346908523928,0.7684558829491595,-2.3201065164060553,0.2034242080278439,-0.5873731755734344,1.225428571569414,0.2375600546931098,-1.8708502911912661,0.10802113858333051,0.6021648156067583,-0.47553669131914855,3.223713202957323,-0.12373802645126908,-2.064911931873256,-1.2174611406954305,-1.5999570417575826,0.8358967431723787,1.4237090987148333,0.7855101398950408,0.3038616127259717,0.7142757148040726,-0.517754085769079,-0.024554187215279022,1.8242562357530234,0.29298975241084246,0.5552969799403149,1.6248310457051964,1.000820543829005,-1.5617621040922645,0.4572579498850464,-0.22595337320448294,-2.155028689524492,-2.7872524427538723,0.296890974891312,-0.7767575567043021,1.4172262200058485,-0.05478649019759185,-0.5340566317775668,0.7452591423145964,0.5371632728727764,-0.08211167317793677,1.701722308180436,-0.8182153253023974,0.235511001550762,1.0219002674607065,-1.0513570859035761,0.6406461407944972,1.3940202615360366,0.11984137739050293,-1.0298892000220974,-2.5482478388267173,0.08256013638483672,-1.916179518639833,0.5104392621036684,0.3689025042117251,-0.473346882755882,1.2997334752760938,1.5374532272096983,-0.5576785028855271,-2.0381120229662373,-2.7820403413763914,0.2058159476929715,-0.21161643395307284,-3.3670458229173876,1.7154600836939142,0.2050102249441288,-1.7921958444791515,-1.7814740269843097,0.4262384256693599,0.5704867585075934,-1.6012855386027702,-0.8576846604687525,-0.0190554982865061,-0.5246332798022051,-0.6243749639758063,0.5950852881789608,-0.07367574268412547,2.167075588877262,1.7008980029581169,0.8247080541899505,-0.04811492416866603;0.9389951210067942,1.4442457240636486,0.01735088861116907,-0.9962030752377391,1.547395783894192,0.4149405128576191,0.27484998680004935,1.8631984775761516,0.2403341425649277,1.9692413365086594,-0.09998573594356053,1.0829182946957374,0.9548715600416902,0.32825311818895386,0.3935403155705153,0.029045373852277123,1.5835634719772234,0.26650498675409473,-1.6040915456548346,0.8860246524016571,1.3099851542070535,-3.899491430811799,0.4351207138521005,-0.9303040216372507,1.9761425658851106,0.42526444076810144,-3.0750059422860474,0.26316129688825995,1.0101148336698795,-0.7391726843494233,4.855445731489686,-0.18891521069520856,-3.4801965421858085,-1.9509826266618866,-2.6566132274546908,1.2997871246963495,2.128703710689665,1.2894312224835236,0.5487368531010652,1.197989848286312,-0.8081596066019143,0.030854296946854376,2.8833608277287155,0.49827659761785803,0.923237240273103,2.3736913285776104,1.612573427865117,-2.4989278447815018,0.826421391074863,-0.3600248624296327,-3.5401274692270217,-4.72051817248609,0.49740467579069225,-1.200331105719921,2.2029514600669646,-0.06909372788997281,-0.8024585019071679,1.2239780120954755,0.957950039870477,-0.02058147886157613,2.6485581812624375,-1.317234918455096,0.47387767371052725,1.6774064634672676,-1.6497913831735476,1.018062596496753,2.0974488925497283,0.2748860259382351,-1.6275473636397368,-4.222410631864088,0.1673707165378424,-3.1658282676294593,0.8935439145803041,0.6955571860171883,-0.6969130518131088,2.036705715506164,2.4498088793591357,-0.8729275781008816,-3.4160265550834765,-4.6659202959617545,0.3844851849720019,-0.3893129622087059,-5.701565505305391,2.744134874446752,0.35335495611971623,-2.9462476099914934,-2.9398523087085477,0.7052451006272538,0.96155855669884,-2.5603686076877326,-1.3466300286418296,0.03419941010246319,-0.7770740846115354,-0.9952839595530865,0.9925669877534702,-0.07142308923770813,3.2972159354986914,2.790828519550347,1.3147701699373062,-0.013899467932390053;0.12033608062038859,0.9104097016956327,0.06933513573164696,-0.9070661810193865,0.7952294308629124,0.2558435721265102,-0.1122042220097832,0.8785107814532562,-0.1981385130096367,0.865519758759179,0.05141922342438754,0.6573831340073379,0.5045477483164191,0.1286142312649492,-0.2891734274453164,-0.2953919380374401,0.8932301545931498,-0.4152781331260922,-1.0737330683831203,0.23445134426425085,0.4615958916122995,-1.5020776243515819,-0.2278283178429117,-0.557330288356356,1.1017773495044185,0.10341914511073647,-1.6413521460837703,-0.2135098781777156,0.454955285523047,-0.5561059191029987,3.7311880131297137,-0.07250141326065673,-1.0123522821478055,-1.2285287201271267,-1.03322123123918,1.0074293576091993,1.894792385971936,0.6796269496060887,0.09969519578848463,0.5013508105978275,-0.557086317848686,-0.28737315128849694,1.8095676998823667,0.2016340616422525,0.40447413418146105,2.2674765573966607,0.9827065010068665,-1.7912957383761832,0.10169978386469225,-0.09821869506004077,-1.993781107795666,-1.4130945095767409,0.26913450898576485,-0.8986879244247952,1.5502582183854852,-0.02119922924704376,-0.705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k{43}=[0.5851627280437832;0.9497982282971247;0.5098266387386982];
x_a{43}=[4.992106955488522,8.564272585913244,13.607196067778496];
std_x_a{43}=[0.7385698240685828,1.2073322711944523,0.682923561399344];
pred_a{43}=[4.992106955488522];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.2 to 4.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{44}=[9.981158773181658,16.163308444801682,18.85937589163953];
std_x_f{44}=[1.143281232308126,1.2573680841640016,2.4052159475548445];
pred_f{44}=[9.981158773181658];
obs{44}=[10.266847668201605];
sqrt_r{44}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{44}=[2.3085844929996453];
xi{44}=[0.38439454771647164,1.5021878795979617,0.1275479509976769,1.6994635239812101,1.5881264453509853,0.10060532577036696,0.547635412585791,1.3836360127207907,0.2977860552889169,0.9160481801077882,-0.10193192850036503,1.2780322804186426,-0.23794564666501827,0.19095672357267723,0.2823598672779415,0.23433345264213656,0.6471376505600048,0.3946588997456608,-0.6974828088613734,0.5176298255672815,0.9756117815387189,-1.9803815470365045,1.6496359370286307,-2.0498876996504887,-1.0641178884143692,0.1751788794556255,-1.1211164250921062,-1.3244634674448843,0.5057715368705651,-0.13575741183138668,1.4183732304238816,0.4571846363980825,-1.8141967544178996,-0.7789010791238784,-0.8664942616522477,-0.34284393813498326,1.40862384246587,0.7914196969602703,1.4759255877493551,0.20702307890292992,0.25928266403022526,0.006130818766292734,0.9913021647864895,0.3648440082666795,0.3596309504952675,0.8236705027642071,0.5204500310330413,3.4181106157881125,0.45061767837129807,-0.3491379240054968,-0.731832713500113,-2.9133005707157773,-0.05840244492173419,-1.3459874151985343,-1.0464037499486132,-0.012589667924197911,-0.2463748224717044,-0.09653960821828456,0.29442755885270344,0.8340735945150026,1.8044849237557354,-0.7933009936490141,0.7325070286084419,0.42043385755392215,-0.27083276339793017,0.7538274323181948,1.068924896739686,0.09911226746317503,-0.23728326899523822,-1.9304616104840164,0.31957635816306507,-3.5074114975740702,1.5190190929692875,0.5143388760482086,-2.0221648554266487,0.7953841456557065,1.0343465565707248,0.998136524915882,-1.4023761614902526,-1.9767589274282837,1.1742096379181568,-0.2322573322127699,-2.4856217569349806,-0.8145873303793731,0.10888897933621067,-1.8542997857660453,-1.4130029660054877,0.6614020703383741,0.38194537120004846,-0.6648996674452725,-0.8225391241798867,-0.5906019301650431,-1.3947006762321035,0.2596895665563874,0.4257450216250227,-1.2765800259473519,0.7678656127383494,1.072568105017286,-0.9532466326040527,-0.43321807480970875;0.6745718183454983,1.3538993617606359,0.23378887130916937,1.7436918358048992,1.497095947381574,0.22455068566651093,0.7770887446146766,1.4012966047962792,0.5639333200972274,1.069589778104067,-0.023844094264735105,1.2293966954822935,-0.12000051616016805,0.34866298433476217,0.6216741580294851,0.49260386725868344,0.7359908278910119,0.7597309415724816,-0.566267156060535,0.7332411673991182,1.149388221024978,-2.4590915066450485,1.7516527151531136,-2.3556005558392847,-1.0931737842534517,0.3578122001677677,-1.1615318447003453,-1.2825216295555304,0.6723018027215133,0.04194493983213832,0.7663014053667538,0.5661837638635276,-2.3072524863034776,-0.6716517950752614,-0.9791311546659891,-0.3566841277851971,0.9660032575839814,0.8801716617544884,1.500500325090588,0.3996154575881512,0.44067979733949514,0.25377786403157643,0.9199123228249171,0.5127295319890983,0.5265411647102383,0.43368899892816515,0.5847691962711998,2.356937063524409,0.728612644557515,-0.2793038903389764,-0.6527778221870655,-3.891129462617968,0.07055864110682109,-1.349288353631911,-1.1900967654721928,0.11137474513255796,-0.0265224488842577,0.023481235715799187,0.5631626355366492,1.1687499045797018,1.389948150867884,-0.7568279873642805,1.0115461010264255,0.5564716878234996,-0.02896340451762569,0.7650446257057162,0.766931658695249,0.3600307925161168,-0.009647146932660888,-2.23955387732712,0.48696655325187166,-4.567096725998342,1.5800680479561713,0.8100578833939949,-2.256649030186308,0.7363161525177446,1.005307869900168,1.1074617588107252,-1.7033497676647062,-2.400259523574121,1.2762996533870137,-0.2618911055942075,-3.250557543493887,-0.8213945555615219,0.24217638347864323,-2.1329038709117754,-1.585096631712542,0.7692999673573766,0.555399641993521,-0.4811501796364688,-0.6934274830015585,-0.42079971563483554,-1.3743243066645014,0.40108711030295296,0.5603577336807817,-1.2822462766017253,0.502318414170059,1.1862196185837242,-1.0058114771742819,-0.23914890767014008;0.36140603943511707,3.5265654114365113,0.1808836312633666,3.5582040946105273,3.5853039680174668,0.10592465948903751,0.8449369738800065,2.980623280867455,0.21654627568575435,1.772580233041971,-0.2911053487398121,2.9139726708371327,-0.6726690972060112,0.23404853305613926,0.019416641850057204,0.08696830029951386,1.3350483632807126,0.22576035217870682,-1.8031235716536287,0.7820031714459965,1.8681286441062674,-3.522534312448977,3.3494669402177486,-4.171204411898755,-2.294939738191946,0.12259645146411202,-2.441728897698752,-3.1073794352889728,0.8982970197806601,-0.5892083745149463,4.2033933723261825,0.8914245735969644,-2.9881048947659092,-1.93047499944117,-1.611894897739095,-0.6132332411255454,3.852601661191418,1.613775680489649,3.1591612539714014,0.17503679640542913,0.3098948894930089,-0.4110336905696599,2.3625180338397733,0.5803461090733961,0.5618453298707529,2.6028131199707545,1.1204502686708508,8.448912093236,0.5743942858912057,-0.8147989401731195,-1.7672222520543386,-4.613888564830846,-0.27396337935000403,-3.082631767597494,-1.995624810249506,-0.1639218559637854,-0.9202525791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k{44}=[0.5668341344956985;0.6090404254149908;1.1727622897793695];
x_a{44}=[10.062321435354805,16.250514453207867,19.027298928983527];
std_x_a{44}=[0.8429603839846762,0.9450792954243797,1.7983974474769397];
pred_a{44}=[10.062321435354805];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.3 to 4.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{45}=[14.776169010531133,15.627929013777548,34.571861929804236];
std_x_f{45}=[0.28015471538696535,1.7372455548389558,1.793267963723821];
pred_f{45}=[14.776169010531133];
obs{45}=[14.957414510161763];
sqrt_r{45}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{45}=[1.0792633231387359];
xi{45}=[0.2772890187750576,-0.29877650547956414,0.11328229529274125,-0.0025918135917688545,-0.12349856594020636,0.12414256818182068,0.21226408214430315,-0.44165752962304516,0.2687530573363208,0.11793191577655904,0.1043895851342409,-0.11680372168994069,-0.2421839796205365,0.12033781286925205,0.3530889242141271,0.2687263318770423,0.05971647744667585,0.35216251599709025,0.21856390089251576,0.1757707538682851,0.12952211795472124,-0.3660655460960367,0.03954216858542736,-0.09480613330170584,0.05601655916799686,0.1687005438101039,0.08064544724953926,0.18596920532346672,0.14354021168300513,0.21159227411445514,-0.7003338580353535,0.09286170171889019,-0.4110025517779228,0.2077912554311645,-0.09700236309244126,0.01186728581665264,-0.48625000000076213,-0.1710325950804208,-0.02041735972336589,0.198964211283565,0.1758617578012167,0.2813054973705533,-0.11340983472648247,0.14435305467458903,0.13431466035539152,-0.5413149477546924,-0.0524557925577156,-0.9694493343250574,0.25090962239339554,0.005260151166661231,0.17832284092637352,-0.9361091605739187,-0.009083033003919994,0.15692595640071794,-0.036795367040705074,0.13222889248650382,0.25203715108565916,-0.014446373060266637,0.2728739818030732,0.3049436117362667,-0.4541684127036909,0.12160351912233835,0.25362625408224204,0.11730238638128121,0.291548576935007,-0.05821292411624057,-0.3419862870603847,0.2804567378402183,0.28930863500375814,-0.07992172605656478,0.1488369517130792,-0.9034369419086232,-0.035262111753938896,0.281861837296697,-0.0787451772256027,-0.09190028130863226,-0.4843308853034092,0.039439530336803585,-0.19342940728873792,-0.26941606539089946,0.03582667027502673,-0.04910643360937783,-0.6054535968611265,0.091314086079894,0.1365586799347085,-0.1919750506486011,-0.018553529411148517,0.08178993189940797,0.1631360534577979,0.2644001764185884,0.2409746998633029,0.2229775337652402,0.1926686432083322,0.1428845548889104,0.05621309534706853,0.1457881350657626,-0.30057422214416896,-0.05908008378296792,0.02180577824104546,0.2579476353672536;-0.7938529538728485,-3.402841498946218,-0.24221738747885624,-0.7369544118012072,-0.3824982318478547,-0.07456529289729197,-0.08317191955532621,-6.179686504641396,-0.04694223188351998,0.6700242053720071,-0.3958047860917926,0.7161440355331496,4.17097552199329,-1.506832720766381,0.44162150767931685,-0.033515883540562896,-0.8278638008931427,-0.6701604981776406,1.1399608889924142,-1.4708089927076706,0.7968010084353754,1.60775644131561,-1.6132747408515744,1.5133120109266454,1.465444200736579,1.20975277713295,1.1026011130535007,1.6245029637578359,-0.5344796653634187,1.0137222669215955,0.2583167675781084,-0.5636725918951715,1.096940810970663,0.810513440459049,1.6369099506218436,0.5192120748586735,-2.020765494188412,-4.4363239455223855,-0.12354109004375857,0.017217264634066254,-0.5890410825809518,0.3048858358487134,-0.9825395298095465,-0.5810706092366758,-1.3534352276149928,-3.906408883140278,2.0870705689457925,-3.8661622821800297,-0.4996779604280821,2.3744320199019935,0.7557026626283143,1.7364350043843135,2.811705514740771,1.2680238845514449,0.24922995621384736,-0.703068093492492,-0.9454191412465178,2.798184007695566,-0.07517341681759504,-0.48466210545098676,-2.3436070344779267,0.7416133647619763,0.043285062844784505,-0.4323869867870034,0.7881307095897885,-1.8985982845869103,-1.2955907087638447,0.7466124008643593,0.5814702023976128,0.884570798536382,-0.9434237927057953,2.4098035166964618,-2.064736397162571,0.04580272377881833,2.4946021994746577,-0.24029513005265457,-6.193942370829877,-1.6357453743407149,0.45031384036895794,1.474097037227347,-1.5002719573969454,1.2988705865918444,1.0615453686819887,0.2057129900317154,0.5261950608474475,2.454703475581221,-0.8507806128874975,-0.05937597883355927,-8.588480361382267E-4,1.4271548180292601,0.9509513808710199,1.6366873581718249,1.4707211929479254,-0.18124675211868535,-2.1075863248258315,1.1170177520800717,-1.4274156374734481,2.508403180333909,1.1400277338632616,0.6466037057873972;1.5542601000167124,2.620207633998753,0.6075710180635667,0.7852500808401217,0.11736685499582933,0.4799487451290929,0.7001694788860036,4.688896763012643,0.8085503929915276,-0.3302451327609788,0.7391645791500068,-0.992356351354708,-5.384954535480478,1.869272322658155,0.5321856027273455,0.7921348446288334,1.047871417393445,1.6239586360783065,-0.5568112559424208,1.9585217612788668,-0.42441106669122775,-2.67147405748722,1.7177385683055704,-1.8190072982136627,-1.3457297164546418,-0.7486689782212821,-0.8854454259635602,-1.1789502583793734,0.972619271226904,-0.43056199631526226,-2.07887227776628,0.8798574141596447,-2.186437274786833,-0.2500614603718674,-1.9378630226948488,-0.429516923793841,0.8867608236973155,3.833547667112043,0.1300304121214424,0.5708994379650179,1.1185216261697803,0.4832935143320327,0.7739042001908203,1.0195789214272537,1.7454352159184765,2.545734710848528,-2.3245587166754973,1.3720572954233745,1.2169126261834506,-2.480379268577522,-0.26553237930856,-4.439614178939408,-3.012013035717949,-0.8635937670059448,-0.277282709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k{45}=[0.07344206130179662;0.09164257316047118;0.11370073507271315];
x_a{45}=[14.779805519754893,15.632466727679926,34.57749186127009];
std_x_a{45}=[0.252721323496127,1.734288083054463,1.7791181049439053];
pred_a{45}=[14.779805519754893];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.4 to 4.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{46}=[10.16156966070575,2.1425840030245293,36.68576073542567];
std_x_f{46}=[1.0997705946260263,1.1520410365618408,1.1605871912502015];
pred_f{46}=[10.16156966070575];
obs{46}=[9.880904579855688];
sqrt_r{46}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{46}=[2.21478425569562];
xi{46}=[-0.7236025112326043,-1.949715465209577,-0.2583519157766254,-0.4603095401159454,-0.14758876207527116,-0.16750659431724557,-0.2305795681003584,-3.5877868471084184,-0.2533009811135205,0.32067917686377,-0.3379062693569903,0.5499282443143407,2.954190247435024,-1.0601014807936426,-0.0186045412577851,-0.25413424138345775,-0.582811767845703,-0.7074155717607855,0.5446157725366234,-1.073851674957755,0.3911313132864205,1.3528855543422882,-1.0506264019838074,1.0611579607844437,0.8880351929236916,0.6105873204737389,0.6365580210065129,0.8835207666883722,-0.4667256232067789,0.47735062627738856,0.7310260873490009,-0.4447622286733228,1.0699384194781363,0.3202564689503671,1.106284960867848,0.3190757131614035,-0.94408285102101,-2.6848908248260432,-0.06827898702636404,-0.1643478579497888,-0.5296447789806678,-0.04210435095470899,-0.5454449635553011,-0.4875555775003644,-0.9589759188011655,-2.116197834442783,1.392989038413031,-1.7566318929447764,-0.5291289569782638,1.5259351459035386,0.3607322016664387,1.9542184834609113,1.8214792245062341,0.6690201804605849,0.17985850658750024,-0.5678607660715596,-0.804896252788291,1.8134485257119586,-0.2779279747433332,-0.5478514755499724,-1.1590994867104367,0.37105970193193905,-0.18237884889975042,-0.37309340139393044,0.2643479740343775,-1.1626709145119527,-0.5773315888580601,0.25551481579131874,0.1282954170399826,0.6558904847673759,-0.7131488664087478,2.424124487811321,-1.2835222755519915,-0.19411937526439615,1.700942752310464,-0.08955349882619679,-3.5884902373540495,-1.074423869417238,0.4438070828545122,1.1750975116903088,-0.9852647827857961,0.8595243455231252,1.1917116770473548,0.03846061702267356,0.21957234929702452,1.765963375297547,-0.5407606535430478,-0.11003187504493006,-0.1412445487862577,0.6853558868105836,0.4123925464293414,0.8530263120071488,0.7836919384875571,-0.24159630545483068,-1.3878175101633818,0.5862721597964651,-0.6935296561892699,1.6726178571984711,0.6859238496290718,0.1910846493406524;-1.1312725082096853,-1.630710235777734,-0.4260134039196042,-0.23229170167369273,-6.739734870349068E-4,-0.31700171654934106,-0.5250177642671809,-3.347391950244582,-0.5146987198279036,0.14421616765391043,-0.2710568691186348,0.6945368422271638,2.8562901759185246,-1.1868856528735963,-0.5027763961151577,-0.7461864998604921,-0.6564744195245742,-1.0414652551078643,0.19625688944217945,-1.2623103089577454,0.1575748100509391,1.7856970531876173,-1.1504089637846673,1.1930954632768693,0.7860400837367862,0.10872623060244413,0.43908384148015456,0.5519125311752764,-0.6515050208414732,0.3685690019685728,1.581020114100283,-0.5584261668488777,2.04840452674679,-0.27162541914660876,0.8859439799232889,0.4640896193100179,-0.38505944902772216,-2.5629445893206224,0.02198877946182609,-0.4000830209939781,-0.7844436702004891,-0.3772448912120734,-0.33178220275676873,-0.6643872404185489,-0.9041078626997061,-1.460719127547577,1.4612060205971686,-0.7116382526508289,-0.87242473907773,1.4302904861594343,0.528555592983087,3.320923226079586,1.6733487983698079,0.30945741636280566,0.2520649717823895,-0.7383040212621585,-1.1168757467076629,1.617903728928611,-0.6544889074335534,-0.7966575176924555,-0.4782914804784695,0.2914493707764638,-0.4263611328989294,-0.33473131842670467,-0.06536894702502938,-1.0326049053729063,-0.029067896924727776,0.07408012561996102,-0.2656784871573701,1.024309698234505,-0.5937024981627335,3.6990225799449084,-1.1242096669762818,-0.3431488355745236,1.6972913729421801,0.0909003525530383,-3.2129547095458992,-1.082990784685897,0.8110256560164255,1.3880130884350574,-1.0180554228099272,0.8127022025993882,1.956375925183817,-0.17527953702758503,0.15473434209872794,1.8931116592414732,-0.46325167995527483,-0.17971594838472926,-0.31152576149827427,0.27685228922544836,0.18106343179538698,0.45519396104089216,0.4621812947107342,-0.37733078848098445,-1.4527232736127802,0.30972412604001587,-0.23033596800229894,1.6404938130679554,0.40181029382923983,-0.11484870674136038;-0.4802807616719491,-2.170797161665689,-0.17475152644818337,-0.6996525079524005,-0.30820156366510787,-0.08660352004518046,-0.05898816138250851,-3.4635582597718226,-0.10977807524731276,0.4344853316253676,-0.43497255358033016,0.439405941423864,3.4020131378994165,-0.9976754466920568,0.30245785933042413,0.07184124940386738,-0.5750707726334809,-0.4981237239172245,0.7816353404417526,-0.9698410580932517,0.5489819335637733,1.1093521964688051,-1.026828420990178,0.9963286629550581,0.9914729872333581,0.9723077946475058,0.7755736344719679,1.147277151630469,-0.379994805488316,0.5398949181398365,0.1021138133403312,-0.4064383624261865,0.36115950962020804,0.7356597598323518,1.3198894514797246,0.18769887662195828,-1.4108523628100045,-2.6458340929683573,-0.17684432512460546,-0.01987685557090657,-0.38366466891366,0.1633475175750121,-0.7614864946885831,-0.41261432949181653,-1.0578873754567937,-2.5848912325390216,1.427809074963072,-2.60022204967089,-0.31801997588407716,1.6995339390367405,0.19376089480987702,1.0996522804286855,2.0839396383519073,0.9355073790433082,0.0974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k{46}=[0.5484887535079938;0.5448923769706981;0.5625060936014471];
x_a{46}=[10.086636517084308,2.0681421872523202,36.60891257832094];
std_x_a{46}=[0.7041903370251479,0.7966394148454758,0.7655733899613303];
pred_a{46}=[10.086636517084308];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.5 to 4.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{47}=[3.3682691448062503,-1.1833887582082259,27.999432858971456];
std_x_f{47}=[0.41192647282456063,0.35726685073952313,0.6923221863354108];
pred_f{47}=[3.3682691448062503];
obs{47}=[3.135566284236821];
sqrt_r{47}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{47}=[1.1718216696466695];
xi{47}=[-0.4600943519166534,-0.13051738314178385,-0.1306242410516747,-0.15266064957068837,0.1069719068612085,-0.3432516722627077,-0.26407536635714113,-0.8017547353111953,-0.23887176815169786,0.12357342954659378,-0.2927049798229384,0.04125318946161194,0.052043348695482106,-0.3392526417310471,-0.9109137984396334,0.10006097295071159,-0.20941272930900423,-0.43262204508249313,-0.23829445739897448,-0.4058376113878097,0.015843792342114416,0.5561817897270318,-0.19908854689257005,0.1290966178492554,0.3506517451250404,-0.04936548596387125,0.5327439827486544,0.3229027996475349,0.05675751915473226,0.015054025750017352,0.7067459726490242,-0.2734713563970641,0.8032348683669506,-0.009113038233407256,-0.06431351345086833,0.08650533344844114,0.0966454059756261,-0.4208631537710894,0.1319160956673513,-0.3284370954412643,-0.34152151654644713,-0.26875806023733917,-0.005376018150631268,-0.27850304382565705,0.7213957114105805,-0.32194293943640284,0.3662198778809165,0.22111118489080273,-0.14050079863372922,0.2169940720057899,0.5474913955192982,1.210402525269588,-0.20219525318987097,-0.252385726960183,0.4136197674068671,0.00608771261779717,-0.41568771312973807,0.18144918168761714,9.889750911984407E-4,-0.2971789319740594,0.15485157798210514,0.14537311468265912,-0.143771000031522,0.26950220204850206,-0.1582652877185895,-0.7163083834794635,-0.38714191921382124,-0.18896949174073718,-0.8137391031461605,0.43287070224739255,-0.15299539977766097,1.8788125305921382,-0.3093073850114765,-0.03396922259881885,0.2381977959478161,-0.06867834834852937,-0.6215627422934751,-0.5040376297715703,0.4521676434316886,0.7176878965430129,-0.3715950684493805,0.31266039986604444,0.7735779151358813,-0.27322146949328197,-0.0258330124535191,0.42589992181920877,-0.05244041737903826,0.07634148346655101,0.18795755068034525,0.02805383169922937,-0.08959091804531738,-0.22514819401262676,-0.1924381225593832,0.4516240321565803,-0.1499902770621393,-0.06500612149530793,0.18647743583179244,0.23822234169081513,-0.017560736667575405,-0.30306070165066235;-0.3193490718945513,0.36406241333564393,-0.10708116621195485,0.34266981723812573,0.2209129593616298,-0.058606168805796166,-0.2134298486894861,0.08691863760435048,-0.17679332797769387,-0.1865793586763378,0.16031820770654615,0.21725463368327136,-0.24077040171984243,-0.0494152434546713,-0.42144488525248414,-0.5916126289270403,0.015119504715118692,-0.25482667415641447,-0.28134890534615997,-0.11193175366834751,-0.21916118816058017,0.3500523525875192,-0.020305438471128756,0.1666959574446878,-0.22408357800282364,-0.5285032486345613,-0.4635851750787221,-0.519773316082889,-0.1717604643113566,-0.06307193019238455,0.8679051044839359,-0.025240999145097476,0.9822564102840934,-0.6545571280446585,-0.20115885924223442,0.21269830548313162,0.6693624491491496,0.10674191111180797,0.13709033899430434,-0.14831865923703735,-0.16724979656080707,-0.2581921399170761,0.30695519544390415,-0.08368920089406351,-0.2642133188473357,0.6859867172458615,-0.0335747651465379,1.1727920431138317,-0.3082471431007481,-0.1738497770952967,0.05792517116822049,1.2000172505333822,-0.12747948836096445,-0.2997091367635858,-0.008515727681888574,-0.14314954315449313,-0.2286632562337254,-0.3041862000455666,-0.3874495813764427,-0.15966874285222654,0.8003670522485917,-0.07411761255142779,-0.17814361613809604,0.025517691523182284,-0.27240988027718394,0.16804252594390956,0.6338787085524753,-0.09975339740800138,-0.31806520751657863,0.3815402773504204,0.2265136406217947,0.07446672995569092,0.25080678839874104,-0.09388383298617242,-0.07072288071315103,0.28601470086872705,0.24243128392617874,0.07057431522435276,0.3686957894694378,-0.05355140798169189,0.057614428058659906,-0.13503069882490681,0.6939894223588086,-0.13434575668158377,-0.006898153053879641,-0.011047261045688206,0.1559510641743318,-0.04107948166076536,-0.20423099531260602,-0.4502627288104839,-0.18289111910747757,-0.34404238209294813,-0.26154734292263004,-0.3184303367366035,-0.01672346650356893,-0.24684050913520217,0.5572760102971915,-0.10986472232603495,-0.2694139240903983,-0.2235718583688706;-0.4138847422703016,-0.6219541207487609,-0.10483310902993637,-0.6802959419156167,-0.07829530563109088,-0.5138565161958262,-0.20335822864704411,-1.3452644436067942,-0.20668137520018703,0.4076306492510575,-0.723448017325925,-0.1684183294342425,0.5035541021384589,-0.5139659138536885,-1.0735531176902775,0.8026131807879402,-0.370972520940942,-0.43271331981103955,-0.07718248069039291,-0.5564056426914199,0.27952387738758944,0.5890011277093485,-0.31381583575697647,0.04550609172954978,0.8313039826774009,0.5059641045994034,1.3533603873716231,1.085469223354341,0.27982926185512014,0.09439820627713402,0.2575480230006839,-0.4473758547395619,0.2939076985825757,0.7017419767645308,0.14726317807712164,-0.08146482922588305,-0.5981475577711279,-0.7700235847428445,0.06100778160767817,-0.38389340531095684,-0.375860393959492,-0.16165581356071002,-0.3657153988545332,-0.37687712255249295,1.4299271412946304,-1.3751259499784716,0.6737457409085508,-0.9869126870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k{47}=[0.14662783092113116;0.037626638839794495;0.20438862407959107];
x_a{47}=[3.335244100660978,-1.1918634209029952,27.95339832861922];
std_x_a{47}=[0.3633312244444634,0.3576084663038877,0.623769852276377];
pred_a{47}=[3.335244100660978];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.6 to 4.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{48}=[0.6671526065917379,-0.6344856637744117,21.269819566630005];
std_x_f{48}=[0.3030638834484605,0.4339770297238748,0.44328613737409517];
pred_f{48}=[0.6671526065917379];
obs{48}=[0.5109705493048241];
sqrt_r{48}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{48}=[1.093294806079024];
xi{48}=[-0.3784993714499642,0.19528646168171182,-0.09597872069221114,0.26897171487240024,0.17291936421270127,-0.11945279601013248,-0.19671764300582334,0.02097976892058262,-0.20462391181924888,-0.0635185307514603,0.03160369379931849,0.1664771009344984,-0.23500714768981912,-0.14579927170183438,-0.5303082403124362,-0.37685599061804237,-0.04870552002110218,-0.28133972854796113,-0.3494759705072161,-0.17861465258430875,-0.1088474598051834,0.3489694725468311,-0.14137111575638617,0.20413428388998345,-0.055906728967883734,-0.40333653723713886,-0.23068804253389913,-0.31722938073367724,-0.14065529171427837,-0.08237305641636883,0.7305468076992663,-0.14837183134178233,0.9009809664068393,-0.5711747261732315,-0.20100227782527486,0.029023566397677558,0.5142032882364107,0.018650650977793948,0.08796422399296122,-0.0988675344879083,-0.19156096502232606,-0.19662687596843476,0.26397807889905833,-0.13077345052850475,-0.03754318731091599,0.40046430286457,0.10000788867062183,0.8939607572359349,-0.241787118044394,-0.07137676300064699,0.3135146509067923,1.10265449849704,-0.14052535959699508,-0.22252246356670036,0.11113773642606617,-0.13044450274734432,-0.257240364093051,-0.2805298062234451,-0.26818867409330666,-0.14039651776065132,0.6229492990019816,-0.02551966988904053,-0.18215653531306536,0.06429414009538359,-0.2838969404046604,-0.055630754012839345,0.3905123184872197,-0.12525445923997924,-0.40485391148989214,0.3915373861449716,0.13361234415463308,0.4121363870457826,0.09640355406722334,-0.07603390509163799,0.014139709350240781,0.2725401613608247,-0.01527658925263875,0.051756973001777395,0.4345028969053757,0.2137401536327137,-0.009125226506612738,-0.0069013997755359435,0.6411621309787356,-0.1685599512007202,-0.008747345134493156,0.1735058766838482,0.13413883721426823,-0.00698054573552187,-0.191646983153412,-0.2776452010467147,-0.12275335429317313,-0.3724477040531559,-0.2684850814816474,-0.11779847626859519,-0.055344251672895695,-0.1999224946644601,0.4498432569773694,0.012393813926493302,-0.19306234422627433,-0.20331786652965517;-0.3669214965912252,0.4550498893755003,-0.10614881902104589,0.4841039744788145,0.26573212353580145,-0.03020137307184534,-0.22456425005988523,0.25900394388954473,-0.19636724254241178,-0.2190670508011605,0.22503086492884017,0.2746927043863699,-0.34951807614863994,-0.03984774883765585,-0.4605123663341103,-0.7136915237216611,0.03753393116514736,-0.2681312715592049,-0.3685928914765487,-0.09644530992229938,-0.2438341355809317,0.3436924106738839,-0.04441950593474353,0.21834851115447718,-0.3063569084832811,-0.642142611446861,-0.6353940994293285,-0.6703723640935612,-0.22070924247282153,-0.09436839692606436,0.9657222569548511,-0.03432888901203357,1.1158189058072585,-0.8411775495772215,-0.2604153804954519,0.18623847484284922,0.8426872531776547,0.19523009561525373,0.14157077217282227,-0.0999337306444652,-0.1668008447426247,-0.2570981529818517,0.4133392907269415,-0.07002457478582458,-0.41832692268504645,0.899260231109931,-0.07356639023884615,1.4733563583408684,-0.35445742821084525,-0.2379731524976053,0.05031224263183065,1.2583698059888162,-0.14274575526110456,-0.3107062079536034,-0.04725577906815859,-0.1866649229634768,-0.23541905093414317,-0.44647764482468844,-0.4663011068479096,-0.13438729175768205,1.0078797151161858,-0.10619249603146985,-0.2110210970178411,-0.0015118863879198807,-0.34646881036780086,0.27623302430379953,0.8687185730528567,-0.10230357087214714,-0.31877755794611007,0.4284483639794012,0.31146339869431505,-0.3040728353904796,0.3450696359959008,-0.1063406221700206,-0.11448091533076343,0.4112333080949877,0.3234199457181827,0.21236877087294925,0.42469879823252554,-0.1408143772911148,0.13441631129743215,-0.19687638102262672,0.7362089089255439,-0.13905774107746427,0.00400696291019409,-0.04028499810867425,0.21663021822597572,-0.048390332305673356,-0.31146186448068913,-0.5313014285593395,-0.19244430732732465,-0.43988842123716576,-0.31486690103251036,-0.4385132540149891,-0.008932639909428386,-0.29580888539291195,0.6843944879131559,-0.15107939811935245,-0.3206778187840337,-0.227048464175155;-0.33589076753233016,-0.48184363790104356,-0.04707039826806181,-0.32429110740185507,-0.0879179756678461,-0.3357022982443034,-0.10772812091591177,-0.5308133495650615,-0.18840025907131874,0.32968131322940053,-0.5139658434843639,-0.12348353148755464,0.18855448511441608,-0.3908360042626917,-0.6724460144632722,0.5530988905185978,-0.2684133204440968,-0.2721768139414813,-0.23996043240441622,-0.3553172492461556,0.26388568664697587,0.3251730577355616,-0.37531599057309606,0.14096942265372547,0.572281655871663,0.2840121623025418,0.7807877458965109,0.6294886705528633,0.10361147699758533,-0.03707632580271181,0.08975173145599769,-0.4290426742535587,0.2853158062912655,0.23963739088194203,-9.45169500212728E-5,-0.353654738187025,-0.3589692226538759,-0.4027196114199434,-0.06835855913921307,-0.06857827743018774,-0.23185284275443507,-0.013834366078423699,-0.14448799845367688,-0.25589631786246514,0.854505435271232,-0.9173225072238651,0.5136574792349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k{48}=[0.08533362233157857;0.11052003702019295;0.00982169728672235];
x_a{48}=[0.6701145030171997,-0.6306495568138983,21.270160473874903];
std_x_a{48}=[0.29318169499137114,0.4189942525741959,0.44394620707370613];
pred_a{48}=[0.6701145030171997];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.7 to 4.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{49}=[-0.03540570739808737,-0.3868923973501218,16.29824511961255];
std_x_f{49}=[0.45574511615369717,0.705871755500071,0.3374564739724613];
pred_f{49}=[-0.03540570739808737];
obs{49}=[-0.24040524418767129];
sqrt_r{49}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{49}=[1.2097630420609826];
xi{49}=[-0.45153481055233746,0.44327706569592934,-0.11335397043963827,0.4439663845146831,0.20229965631766333,-0.08062198592513106,-0.3230851836925107,0.06654032864432832,-0.16003181637012134,-0.09795479269419685,0.08608796739473815,0.3184906911517852,-0.2960191315508331,-0.09701953351678855,-0.6915382784958995,-0.7500287063953661,-0.03451795897357473,-0.4670243293818295,-0.3224044029310421,-0.22448969500422375,-0.10091033310941824,0.40422738201094205,-0.14341837131322088,0.1984638937651578,-0.11757104740383895,-0.6980425531995068,-0.5939948412782164,-0.5627061642679855,0.1306454355071695,-0.020785402581592227,1.1397909963752946,0.17756628908302546,1.1627671075260775,-0.5847459244326917,-0.2010702638885369,0.07039919843724032,0.8354048899095817,0.16551527271013108,0.2283060652407352,-0.13507604301386136,-0.20151966719219433,-0.5527308667519104,0.502614286621878,-0.12901546699647984,-0.2366855641609881,0.813890097659072,0.17972933578289024,1.140358687346117,-0.408962271880796,-0.28484875201034004,0.10473661041833898,1.3351810091756071,-0.16135389290127514,-0.598608694803354,-0.0077457094142422064,-0.08248899681335162,-0.3141368732106966,-0.5142745006709308,-0.6031239075230379,-0.21301818977766912,1.371636553669462,-0.14368234250226494,-0.24202882079377522,0.4099435921892096,-0.38074743995538735,0.26648859221982474,0.9224338724492422,-0.16961272329659308,-0.5847480433065351,0.7623205441832621,0.04075882659862811,-0.07374791359947733,0.19388302413299813,-0.24063147585409492,-0.09673640445929865,0.16294462900781162,0.18635192933946945,0.4687275647932281,0.42146611062604555,-0.0932281601926769,0.07766772523119259,-0.21118242058225833,0.7732269702216275,-0.19142101228643782,-0.030748133997561412,0.08601842872924613,0.42573106984306125,-0.1649115264002369,-0.21882959418076772,-0.5195461982221962,-0.10118122083659892,-0.6054658145113002,-0.31857413818130137,-0.3284611391526809,-0.01600154338323053,-0.371259931437928,0.6085034982053253,-0.18925726499485485,-0.19422131032306372,-0.26567811575787076;-0.6639031022777392,0.7314986383392689,-0.1752948278934534,0.7138305968571488,0.30882291938712453,-0.09600244914546718,-0.4880976504703308,0.16021053693267223,-0.2301668776741318,-0.18220488582225225,0.17687113117418246,0.495708102951757,-0.4633545958066123,-0.12193911209461572,-1.019609251083288,-1.1814707038264936,-0.026182889042643265,-0.6916276967466563,-0.4725705375722459,-0.3142986642786434,-0.17735657134535698,0.5832770772507816,-0.1798626391115875,0.2930890653676088,-0.23490967032775112,-1.0762075073916693,-0.9649914966173107,-0.908886304007119,0.18624929017130906,-0.03128211319969354,1.7301024790787514,0.3104848817644046,1.7397896700116768,-0.9107969851764103,-0.30665416184234306,0.1487131136762779,1.3180372039939534,0.2838541966311767,0.34873369675775184,-0.2017047564703004,-0.28931607811927584,-0.8431707702543568,0.7804799196782373,-0.17641036261274956,-0.44273295677133906,1.3484678152037697,0.21931888426285293,1.8233317203805557,-0.6198962227013306,-0.46158481280687114,0.06711096422706475,1.9594705539404371,-0.2421778377847189,-0.9149526303369032,-0.05576815205110763,-0.12773842391871604,-0.45699056290335816,-0.7957895114918819,-0.9384536212673692,-0.31316108581142676,2.1447610731835534,-0.2350674734866196,-0.3653914410676271,0.6012353639325564,-0.5749480532623458,0.4979644586249245,1.508112953694662,-0.2504249055972374,-0.8533785186595476,1.1311819839933044,0.10185007440535676,-0.32760398419746206,0.3590252142071034,-0.3706005461528048,-0.17906606737214414,0.26302438840438885,0.3688089119013226,0.7526380927163294,0.6003870687219414,-0.23950623754118672,0.1562883819499442,-0.3664365817529245,1.141095195762512,-0.2685789499221636,-0.04306539730591885,0.06327009650386572,0.6600097531600918,-0.2596811383998884,-0.34204201414643876,-0.8241949799009262,-0.16006606991859096,-0.912556038109552,-0.48166867549753256,-0.5650307140115373,-0.010304553277989181,-0.5694015016395741,0.9513337118022963,-0.3280803388890331,-0.3053947232000993,-0.39843179963823794;-0.2470017278689305,-0.37641771574224947,-0.05208264921054706,-0.25349825156406425,-0.09319574082773485,-0.27079506527194397,-0.08561025530124411,-0.42857674718040784,-0.14956757775194163,0.24205307662796827,-0.41201556959126506,-0.11016271386921517,0.14208596015686226,-0.3117178567294747,-0.4913166740051427,0.46010596940431725,-0.21660474119219586,-0.2063574068498184,-0.17990621975518195,-0.2802030214604585,0.19210070012781344,0.23800500115345002,-0.2982200655412335,0.08555945874186577,0.42774041673567353,0.2435937029471411,0.6139505897467501,0.49782002739164,0.08501841914752006,-0.0435184093792067,0.14830929757726707,-0.32502950359971905,0.29243979846080137,0.21928522270309614,-0.006807516309766726,-0.29114905250339973,-0.24491852261761338,-0.3261557983035992,-0.06517485206759943,-0.06551135642147088,-0.18638407102861265,-0.014839979601813269,-0.10969456746225248,-0.20709943093412164,0.6425565520648107,-0.6691189213268469,0.3847142621190329,-0.4014034600311316,0.07050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k{49}=[0.17339184184666862;0.26790073048453167;-0.0201604340856218];
x_a{49}=[-0.07982215416241699,-0.45551845499482774,16.303409462050883];
std_x_a{49}=[0.4454287835277824,0.6912368662099787,0.3385393040773745];
pred_a{49}=[-0.07982215416241699];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.8 to 4.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{50}=[-0.39490812303582473,-0.7337590943501298,12.557739326935176];
std_x_f{50}=[0.8389413815224916,1.4364767649962749,0.2793675239850779];
pred_f{50}=[-0.39490812303582473];
obs{50}=[-0.684277161354851];
sqrt_r{50}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{50}=[1.7077288982973564];
xi{50}=[-0.6218676788372999,0.9303765776540995,-0.1595692380429416,0.47860857059311535,0.21899930176199778,-0.2975078683863958,-0.5409698271234573,0.16328724812693599,-0.7821025304616214,0.09327170282204594,0.2684479778650847,0.8551563458091351,-0.43537886349735516,-0.21467878195018225,-1.2967001045535615,-1.14272224537884,-0.08208638304247651,-0.44712285033761173,-0.6949510011407838,-0.37166451394287264,-0.34376892033571177,0.5770308906494399,0.29186159149805724,0.4798968140834764,-0.32223772831233727,-0.8701874328557044,-1.024963096357327,-0.8852940162166478,0.07029376130885295,-0.15015081714006057,1.7359375282715388,-0.16252634333505328,1.7297791889867877,-0.8903382540259195,0.16791401217798277,0.29417191422121736,1.4591299272596676,0.2734117547992887,0.5831906316669874,-0.5920910294063189,-0.22073042938901427,-0.7617822252366098,0.814582068910235,3.0422092174342765,-0.553517773263561,1.267983219441898,0.12381755057224092,2.0792040487997263,-0.8569751772546765,-0.13827330516624475,0.18749384165548857,2.3000248693996324,-0.17758882424944383,-0.8275741116669326,-0.035235795387099145,-0.3760444094633733,-1.1025301653754354,-0.751523886060131,-0.8496944861206479,-0.23290164694872512,1.8394814108356468,-0.10466141736875323,-0.3544333868256346,-0.2833626250803088,-1.1401124187293712,0.16145395149922329,1.6431890263506643,0.22995604419161322,-0.9010528973368814,1.0838407218124975,0.6675102407665952,-0.7825792755155261,-0.26313478498334913,-1.7074083365577115,-0.09580025588109409,0.20428026895058288,0.36439172114096624,0.48369871564498,1.065421428785911,-0.19360283335538914,0.4629633173874995,-0.40536114199111045,1.2258080746871127,-0.6157726591723662,0.3552989772991611,0.31746266450632876,0.5799484518328866,-0.5163115489147674,-0.31572420552727815,-0.6927008221563944,-0.384385198054957,-0.9222581338593692,-0.3801307918853833,-0.6464436962023743,0.0045245135257031555,-0.040782581788087024,0.9520800641806904,-0.7087216467019761,-0.7814370090941829,-0.6779607219226285;-1.0676972207059183,1.6055391323733312,-0.27607736789483805,0.8198384454600531,0.3698699307190001,-0.5118140676902339,-0.9282070232614237,0.2918200722526896,-1.3412821591645108,0.1528226197600665,0.458770189359691,1.4678269449325105,-0.7447492113873335,-0.37856697967809994,-2.2334949032520592,-1.9400641291466048,-0.14049135641841848,-0.760895042165151,-1.198815586277844,-0.6501356665928877,-0.5920343860879009,0.9861247871737417,0.5005283902510966,0.8106385229303095,-0.5573044008110013,-1.4876837558991112,-1.7382919746252494,-1.5055652818564897,0.11285730990069287,-0.26152877271980723,2.9593898740999496,-0.2753305381243518,2.935229090176696,-1.5157662123012219,0.29265995454717,0.5147750720967362,2.5139308332075645,0.46912271141777456,0.9961202211993203,-1.014367393803817,-0.38154822879689454,-1.3064880932172935,1.3972990909835554,5.220070880411046,-0.9422539327149855,2.203101691911005,0.20162601170568273,3.5914871071005763,-1.4620269353759976,-0.23420952142705453,0.3029928213860493,3.8726724745469356,-0.3104492135820678,-1.4164344980785424,-0.0626770050242651,-0.6476660266865122,-1.8921444456473318,-1.2826090985578895,-1.4495078438682085,-0.4015626058910766,3.16117490441279,-0.18372833521551313,-0.6132390926255196,-0.4912017848359145,-1.9590538860266664,0.28826797619753053,2.8549626577029414,0.39291836609233544,-1.554908584932101,1.8455624466258282,1.1548712054423118,-1.3319663282971386,-0.45094430352825854,-2.9072993102798357,-0.16593129652228356,0.3467033735004841,0.644754772909869,0.8370357200501023,1.8234636942874505,-0.34321718565198545,0.8005674537759491,-0.6924604307014683,2.079136064855581,-1.059779597060997,0.6062509598889729,0.53315411929272,0.9948723828364975,-0.8852144775943946,-0.5405599384899926,-1.1818561682486042,-0.6592769951700987,-1.5756062246524836,-0.6564969115711394,-1.1086233675251287,0.006591856376695238,-0.07248199515070708,1.6350011892989007,-1.2112048598840406,-1.336139873351777,-1.1614714974017801;-0.18763086945186025,-0.33772990905695366,-0.08221314620346121,-0.24671293974349062,-0.13671787113277034,-0.22824966694894577,-0.07134393453428345,-0.3991764611046005,-0.047070386113407636,0.11012964791836843,-0.38955408327666596,-0.15075393606299947,0.08981377852519934,-0.2751004468660643,-0.21238584853029963,0.4686738687928891,-0.21439101758862655,-0.18579243333551076,-0.10216211958056398,-0.23750210783994774,0.12776714718297555,0.12531117005575965,-0.32450010155546316,-0.016070878554039325,0.30243003688801195,0.23008171769825125,0.5600170597749532,0.4386739629086822,0.006979148370799493,-0.07611604574492858,0.20770538477189326,-0.26887635762642326,0.3189661880132686,0.22588233749375952,-0.09310287466525757,-0.30058462160443966,-0.15739214167248683,-0.3181020477042047,-0.13284104976647626,-0.024999075543560068,-0.19020998418610446,0.021264063655955567,-0.13526376335847878,0.1886789292343085,0.5003851743014742,-0.5078443834278659,0.2395577283789283,-0.14329972313812434,0.11931947633226336,0.146461659131635,0.4109491661603162,0.67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k{50}=[0.4144269614474393;0.7095877713829806;-0.02553492674789108];
x_a{50}=[-0.49176601459839403,-0.8996005617457177,12.563707228148385];
std_x_a{50}=[0.5194594339449183,0.8886793476382298,0.27439741586407246];
pred_a{50}=[-0.49176601459839403];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.9 to 5.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{51}=[-1.1152500069603193,-2.053245736718224,9.825976708811572];
std_x_f{51}=[1.1266110758677634,2.0616552620944044,0.31686937357708395];
pred_f{51}=[-1.1152500069603193];
obs{51}=[-1.546062435896202];
sqrt_r{51}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{51}=[2.2692556270684747];
xi{51}=[0.017549052821510314,-0.6662793552508972,0.6162566730794994,1.3332960677529229,0.4472871157196112,-0.6297190665800665,-0.7298443652312723,-0.056702256665625006,0.10268664939852212,1.962429610539064,-0.811813235286986,1.1830071167102985,-0.48609896389349516,0.7894071624352537,-0.9051485335399143,-0.5503295924135081,0.1812411764002213,-1.0138468771977165,0.6263601771932485,-0.630841573293355,-0.2787753323329649,1.1423389125477805,0.4729391000813309,0.8057307778673669,-0.5200848414384494,-0.877855515354004,-0.724647925529808,-1.3828327884044638,-1.1732714624958003,-0.9574333550316994,2.134974849732319,-0.33304798900062615,2.452773023874773,-0.5775122482164863,-1.1850465990232466,-1.069635873429308,-0.642772034701693,0.6729352804853983,0.5361369174546694,-0.35427083544670923,-0.27955667999760125,-1.3791734103358049,0.7732445160146859,3.359584365881176,-0.8103290832322771,1.6346873256222072,0.20126962001476956,2.6582878628220703,0.3266187748624031,-0.16574749426273727,0.3270345686150278,1.8181947906111073,1.2708670892828917,0.2662084368201516,-0.20476678954169603,-0.35074155984147093,-0.7850149427099342,-0.35357842148519003,-1.0801671916603788,-0.09189948720167807,2.2893136213642906,-0.27854414370126634,-1.1269033731598685,-0.5910014777004442,-1.218330057749433,0.04344266392297591,2.0925597906627895,0.27928050962313156,-1.2351784039550238,1.6918437389414671,0.8766096438615729,-0.9954764628460764,-0.38224413605198837,-1.754451964920887,-0.06368420915001893,-0.03708576639322603,-0.2749484826806896,-0.9254107749957485,1.6988648172626253,-0.0616355815069316,0.7107192545098108,-1.011530564006409,1.967255907466332,-0.8421433485198715,0.3396102106159469,0.12075335294618039,0.4258524749040221,-0.7810256683293011,0.11714469026965768,-1.345884132753336,-1.0311359964991589,-2.984679629264222,-0.48682334782726144,-0.1639562497083722,-0.09714656073491312,-0.004675791292976017,2.5817073751041,-0.605984780612564,-2.2022002735891375,-0.7874382081192082;0.01746375745420048,-1.2360642934805406,1.1271663382307082,2.4477608964969244,0.8111313674899134,-1.173808159131568,-1.3473535955481961,-0.12274381547357116,0.17944177836466269,3.5962330019662363,-1.5115990093861895,2.176684060362458,-0.8994177196389286,1.4447524337581206,-1.6747873813618845,-0.9989380464698225,0.31936236211478675,-1.8656708207747275,1.141422045935141,-1.1762736281254158,-0.5120053787882077,2.0908186515064147,0.8613038146167189,1.4738595151123652,-0.947233803794763,-1.6027332417942457,-1.304558432483323,-2.4974686157793893,-2.137896759050847,-1.7595012406201098,3.9150057938145437,-0.6291753295462312,4.482239771150551,-1.0481435234154945,-2.1652483073376545,-1.9768381112972082,-1.1879836828784587,1.2256550833515771,0.9793444163537408,-0.6461656255495876,-0.5269971663746129,-2.525107351217286,1.4166605706877844,6.145441189649885,-1.460571371438851,3.009024378665406,0.3667494362815684,4.892553934916558,0.5937304505806815,-0.3049307117778972,0.6014566748620358,3.3129228341534427,2.3282847721587885,0.4802015417168035,-0.3797643624872413,-0.6487669747671663,-1.4456989295966949,-0.6505839753457887,-1.9688471823939309,-0.18794229039048815,4.208191834820761,-0.5116014767230537,-2.072555945782096,-1.0841003619155396,-2.228520921357029,0.05071726672096055,3.860096025180432,0.49880158577479095,-2.273178618646741,3.1000248075321215,1.6109814299497387,-1.758470454151293,-0.7246571044389198,-3.1810182617505833,-0.11597679256569293,-0.07346961838996124,-0.5306453539566327,-1.7102812319498963,3.1180129130022856,-0.11035287579789177,1.297406830411131,-1.839543303910204,3.604547474937108,-1.5597169967990414,0.620194550971702,0.23840681297191768,0.7867754498784756,-1.4322140335473543,0.21052811374111058,-2.4454295570757814,-1.8838660901581843,-5.393503729573444,-0.9115655566628837,-0.2901879627002,-0.176726363742449,-0.019186290793609118,4.749565744953635,-1.0997107720077324,-3.9914722505627034,-1.4521509501228347;-0.2802805851068513,-0.14543915985470512,-0.26370521249232226,-0.3941746727806894,-0.26805080552334104,-0.13222918217315716,0.002412059367550512,-0.38652967460030396,-0.19586362395244095,-0.09867836501621063,-0.16563669712624396,-0.3023644112802746,0.06684632815570879,-0.42849795665047985,-0.0796852412414033,0.3407643766960451,-0.3019862501922397,0.024273588109060995,-0.31308401756535353,-0.14651079084450735,0.03380446737362419,-0.10153105322666356,-0.41321876257191903,-0.2038661342336372,0.24170205253211918,0.2730056347182668,0.47022487667394053,0.628786842949026,0.2523990847296709,0.10406300309501937,0.08004481525808416,-0.23936029847860674,0.2145994046076254,0.1729446013997844,0.19026956339015477,-0.013087492696881142,0.01339689915661424,-0.43382456161526406,-0.2606768089321765,-0.07016206054529306,-0.19399464060317406,0.3141430294397036,-0.2783523932890066,0.4203677924992224,0.4755144094448678,-0.5452410707132529,0.04715371645920108,-0.07742964503351502,-0.1117007581620797,0.0328658223866416,0.16467656297929167,0.41018790648115555,-0.31988496855898063,-0.135519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k{51}=[0.5593268611646698;1.0235124505406554;-0.07470640662467196];
x_a{51}=[-1.3803040398522854,-2.538268219218079,9.86137861015689];
std_x_a{51}=[0.7596680972352358,1.3908999481461906,0.2885587664877046];
pred_a{51}=[-1.3803040398522854];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.0 to 5.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{52}=[-3.3016577434659142,-6.2512338626443835,8.685359693793536];
std_x_f{52}=[1.7933746917582123,3.3484761385270545,0.9591017825101628];
pred_f{52}=[-3.3016577434659142];
obs{52}=[-3.7308592706469486];
sqrt_r{52}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{52}=[4.2164089986927324];
xi{52}=[0.14630499558492582,0.35645543049675643,0.5822673809622656,2.0478805052010456,0.2284934924082731,-2.8257963436372284,-0.6635235251630962,-0.05211215388602097,0.9869752347123084,2.210016179212392,1.8945374600783922,-1.1822138251589775,-0.37980489110893023,-1.5732926427692586,-0.4672872945375772,-0.6039364845602315,2.878446827684349,-1.5259169807726272,0.03977334218106776,-1.1132979977855841,-1.4086476206697558,1.6694166016413214,0.9384519764040942,-2.5428553042855917,0.324488225631248,1.0694715364920873,-0.7666610359769512,-0.2862688901436683,-1.8987109144383671,-0.9402284129008773,0.24916250998833744,-2.678404546380528,7.21511908464229,0.8000911409814697,-3.260637812058171,-1.0855554623139332,2.7537076650087435,0.0030101243247111498,0.05138562942375291,0.28451872360136043,-0.7439207320031205,-1.0055155912240235,0.5245345664432906,3.5390227480316008,0.5827480648019496,1.73234047805128,0.12547261041199098,5.018013716881178,-1.7037330405972568,-0.4633117904376971,0.4442662317211976,1.63983774180203,1.024822641826293,0.5604914714939966,-0.33879460061263655,-1.0237406497126296,-2.5376900157913234,1.0850737712029996,-1.2000670973308276,0.15586994492185413,1.8909386126342873,0.527343989125487,-2.788121434440132,-2.579644141945276,-0.4565497497850619,-0.033704675206760015,4.186279311597535,0.4318699237483066,-1.2376192014682426,2.2182180318655287,2.140300859154233,-1.0889297270653246,-2.1560880412096743,-1.703918913649768,1.2141374068804636,2.295844636888721,-1.301851032237697,-0.9535481213581951,2.4173219805421704,0.08739522483686057,-0.325899258952993,-0.3863943671041157,1.984031003863651,-1.5875598602763485,1.041508234811758,0.07250827621710965,-0.7987925456381983,-0.5551395300226294,0.3256511428637876,-2.1662530180834514,-1.0895222894019945,-2.837811376362886,-0.07495432302613203,-0.11878098424581074,-0.14602638235072884,-2.203169392221316,2.7205384292884536,-1.0839546052408808,-3.4096743501144022,-1.3605221409043295;0.20239378733024616,0.5992655153430242,1.0354443335695658,3.8324984802190123,0.362794490145415,-5.193162481703453,-1.2859713431068958,-0.17633190936765164,1.797750560787982,4.147459222728679,3.529451962540906,-2.2400744209438574,-0.7529285545752682,-2.9770890139916055,-0.9329477041785044,-1.1337112685127941,5.425778036924825,-2.8623283918138096,0.005610132249404209,-2.134951009925274,-2.637105714046191,3.116927499097851,1.6944805659038744,-4.669645076687729,0.5791380465343208,1.9787753055886617,-1.41751044476921,-0.5269655943809495,-3.5067211904381974,-1.7896896311239434,0.4518923859982307,-4.946699505505508,13.666261448452314,1.4607433873684004,-5.892332200343828,-2.0715141553294867,5.190521526337383,-0.07791206975417264,0.029250764838833376,0.477534204546572,-1.4520297960875332,-1.8842161732470615,0.9290787238151417,6.699342013280555,1.0798775736676554,3.2213640109435535,0.19436159778855533,9.547796640493928,-3.1836066949055954,-0.9153730524939165,0.8052735225229384,3.0831903887383443,1.876134819597679,0.9949343026961355,-0.6608290517220983,-1.9504766377727218,-4.662951493821772,2.000155186972753,-2.238369774028831,0.22266131159012925,3.5518161179193224,0.9432487168762993,-5.088921109925419,-4.704551508299181,-0.8820698629859915,-0.1592444662243917,7.967151697740641,0.740874446092624,-2.348828289154312,4.16710851988086,4.010227218151902,-1.9405659176718864,-4.029769349929614,-3.107928681498082,2.2441106247198386,4.305988997539705,-2.5113121105731278,-1.8293115808280795,4.554261883025669,0.14334278269608625,-0.6893705144269298,-0.7401234788155548,3.723801926899326,-2.9803949744686093,1.901185136450155,0.10562862458590505,-1.5496017145497243,-1.0745431731815636,0.5575589404920116,-3.939559998715355,-2.050004045622096,-5.014286113966531,-0.20136497793363795,-0.24243692751838264,-0.33101135633153955,-4.090875030062216,5.138684737179567,-2.0283231429997226,-6.028102975863863,-2.55718646273907;-0.5549208658370901,-0.6345384145389783,-0.7104413693125959,-1.2638416068730995,-0.5462736627908651,1.850549300667673,0.08259261681421926,-0.5410409253043404,-0.884203738270549,-1.0047547903854097,-1.267494031065488,0.4231896868719325,-0.028882594645597948,0.5965580750114992,-0.12726057429120985,0.3257200800126885,-1.4603259198580298,0.7169323956055358,-0.4577752189047395,0.3022196293510415,0.7071553320021344,-0.9509246007699543,-0.9977873925100962,1.657020688369185,-0.30380859401831906,-0.6588943969135599,0.5185112386750799,0.25329653225946736,1.2011435413021587,0.33495042322037527,-0.1162057621325836,1.6468296256545631,0.20217723729579262,-0.5910518114673824,2.5195455756762097,0.3372269206823546,-1.283228634386309,-0.522399871266904,-0.43161441874149986,-0.5023909624142249,0.031524081415730265,0.495764996958199,-0.6716569577983371,-0.6147421473196744,-0.2801798611825408,-1.2624238419204312,-0.27365466084309986,-0.8944352823609671,0.9072849865859638,0.03582494457473473,-0.3377401280815864,-0.48047383149084943,-0.8796480660797945,-0.6322120117258017,-0.011889293876533813,0.3484801615699027,1.6761925115555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k{52}=[0.762831357131141;1.4239265780018218;-0.3330173430810501];
x_a{52}=[-3.6840045876525576,-6.9649352966022,8.852274869731401];
std_x_a{52}=[0.8361493775727872,1.5619600300801215,0.675248638033613];
pred_a{52}=[-3.6840045876525576];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.1 to 5.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{53}=[-8.83217208477344,-16.0117132232938,13.375355752845367];
std_x_f{53}=[1.8022788786149397,2.820512879772274,2.792569871835762];
pred_f{53}=[-8.83217208477344];
obs{53}=[-9.095601583297917];
sqrt_r{53}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{53}=[4.248269533734137];
xi{53}=[-0.0773134259277235,2.4038166662252243,1.4221788253685101,-0.036386465665868784,0.22678984119317924,-1.0614936519625857,-2.379356209375663,3.049563784452201,-1.5671075991154382,1.7864348150423588,-1.888975349031222,0.5063771651260947,-0.8917996075794061,-0.8546409255744383,-1.622620481410598,-0.8693071038740356,1.6881795781991356,-1.2334705455128248,-3.0082595878520877,-0.49944011041607794,0.026249686193050792,0.47417890075665703,-1.8282799298096926,-1.044942160303826,-0.08684910763745535,1.0221054640718323,-0.8719155790697712,-1.0241548308974195,-0.8285091821219588,2.5846314880948587,9.823976319403016E-4,-0.09645283150918083,3.5842780679196595,-1.976316683865857,-1.0807145984918272,-3.3421826268288477,1.647568115092807,-0.22687233374237437,-1.0876643909949433,-0.4024940693876182,-0.8349068232184074,-2.8143490550416654,4.019451683055986,2.4195866486510127,-0.4416942050439072,2.150277833840083,0.18392892404154892,-0.5478424354177722,-0.7765226681951152,-0.9388578953524895,0.35046886712643044,0.7063464945104005,0.3819014935071312,3.4352697293722896,0.6904851028679477,-0.2550997449636281,1.4269822315135539,0.5452751617034739,4.3205873980307405,-3.9281240179771046,-0.5472725645103136,0.4938690281260989,-1.8119786487164884,-1.0024349239730803,-0.4701640752451315,-1.036898026161591,2.536723306517903,-0.012825721814314406,-3.236911777805245,3.8763295190712466,2.2809401651280368,-0.717666453342007,-1.1704130021343868,-0.8558943433573578,0.2308044066718331,6.321637056023153,-0.9942794032306228,0.3823823736613683,1.608538695178356,1.37268354524773,-0.06528066299762258,-0.1396854113589434,1.3525089469107376,2.994535238605695,-0.4583016468299572,-0.20154941749612654,-2.226514852467959,-0.32980831835553204,1.0852013544266699,-0.9342980084056833,-0.8502956751303223,-0.7589285161868382,-0.06862774911846081,-1.030061608846637,-0.46404836371427294,-3.614435371787586,-2.6400236312760317,0.1683919187857974,-0.9156783569540874,1.2207508464427228;-0.43281677108892325,3.679960212934226,1.9904978900764903,-0.3232484561885798,0.05074612455084093,-1.5066310276083783,-3.5119466110004183,4.806716954601365,-2.566742327085713,2.699471117588068,-2.9800011976265957,0.5824831938258175,-1.5445116098964462,-1.463508287972175,-2.5954344707949737,-1.4352156728086705,2.515678463409616,-1.940985310351465,-4.340114672199697,-0.9842263703263292,-0.10614292789229296,0.5093604641884841,-2.965956910385035,-1.5103272317148466,-0.3500999381481975,1.3930615313626706,-1.391772659305012,-1.6236076674515338,-1.2740156587717735,4.068225506814626,-0.17576535794896486,-0.17343154609807598,6.404506804691252,-3.0265477023936427,-1.3643040363327295,-4.567681325317633,2.4657210595750385,-0.6731693619983403,-1.8991645946433842,-0.8863210479230581,-1.5000665846868984,-3.916445853863422,6.605387839913991,3.9828957790734947,-0.8418388306066404,3.22773000040808,0.04185276751523048,-0.5728611898745939,-1.2695485491688814,-1.6066409278169118,0.33207760946675613,0.9868129560154646,0.2977704292945802,5.536838632056284,0.8637600612658982,-0.5826714477279964,2.241118457003493,0.5998702809587115,7.25386134439791,-5.281046093236451,-0.9890556185385648,0.49927250294610026,-2.441229660286595,-1.402398653468282,-0.9068467447271296,-1.9195574263402584,4.114617971595829,-0.33538476774146275,-4.440416046879182,6.41011553895861,3.4810699528875553,-1.0107881939726369,-1.829829887044749,-1.2471874319609348,0.10176914228163625,11.028682205708673,-1.740651417267344,0.36292968834883865,2.419875914111282,2.0014527384209817,-0.4013146750197265,-0.3904439430934943,1.9955956496648355,4.824648163593105,-0.9945322683127102,-0.5278422018027698,-3.346432951120189,-0.711307224354794,1.4531492768952603,-1.3176753747724312,-1.415708097949242,-0.8080309473602902,-0.37893163984826117,-1.7067385069469907,-0.9942148614964808,-4.6207275208456835,-3.691717731309815,0.11271945561373009,-0.9566308999749928,1.7681012386745376;-0.5857983117159584,-4.048821976992459,-2.7823562409043294,-0.5390121502692349,-1.0328038912421444,2.0465603269038546,3.9022290824291854,-4.8416836599776545,2.0826146542634554,-2.9154172419882567,2.716377194548743,-1.1649214663088792,1.0548758799765547,1.0688874581073424,2.2787802698864663,1.2155621097975597,-2.9268913535502907,1.8746250254774814,5.040547852337491,0.3739735392668795,-0.26116725839914245,-1.2183679331634885,2.46994734495342,1.9636859861409484,-0.2925764432074498,-2.0089670144842913,1.3372285524317018,1.5643815387623725,1.423851601060635,-3.9309287500331394,-0.30595996890492927,0.2553600778705096,-2.2567620369002697,3.0586675400852723,2.505627082846651,6.065677423819865,-2.767976515047346,-0.364623855667908,1.2249245746012,0.050169835137678476,0.8623684974705554,5.067906220515928,-5.701366094008725,-2.916971110777462,0.41414594032844043,-3.760636699357775,-0.7712979660793451,1.7230983467724315,1.1469479650046832,1.1579286003691749,-0.9759985048040711,-1.1902059995170653,-1.2522025072551948,-5.095675146435919,-1.497357122415579,0.034219858613434795,-1.94484324178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k{53}=[0.7646100389677908;1.1898546287570488;-1.1510944169679334];
x_a{53}=[-9.130091483220793,-16.475323112221812,13.823863277965147];
std_x_a{53}=[0.9087754962061406,1.4449218969851771,1.5250004425762846];
pred_a{53}=[-9.130091483220793];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.2 to 5.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{54}=[-16.228486617151386,-19.691094745644666,34.082065235737254];
std_x_f{54}=[0.6063509670219808,1.5567138789364423,2.9173045957587598];
pred_f{54}=[-16.228486617151386];
obs{54}=[-16.565286678454687];
sqrt_r{54}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{54}=[1.3677479116628093];
xi{54}=[-0.09249448079479095,0.10324115523992106,-0.7517912412005963,-0.25958493018395146,-0.667202965324222,0.063569539430965,-0.1304555367273892,0.034499687510905375,0.9609140918659289,0.35163840425628834,0.24131084996951024,-0.13556890613178396,-0.3570880968478143,-0.8129673085694833,-0.4392995834754352,-0.4095922271492327,1.5215335118149884,-0.5358788598306781,-0.1729556581198537,-0.2822832683306977,-0.0437191970256805,-0.06466917763600932,-0.6786746759888764,-0.06878020736621338,-0.20533566180777996,0.3370867861274274,-0.43883628291888144,-0.1988791002957413,0.7761598189162822,1.9269725620796034,-0.10794312752837243,0.20292582922305513,1.6091368410632523,-0.34006251921160313,-0.34371064254677464,0.062080916177400525,0.4489999570649825,-0.46114354121466405,-0.3444356830432973,0.3226986153097311,-0.27277733859248343,0.6037051372512643,0.886998209515026,0.4951354769079277,-0.2246093509978806,-0.930576017139483,-4.494194359132564E-4,0.36625113285498756,-0.1636117495002587,-0.19312674220356385,-0.27405248179873354,-0.3650530164335777,-0.6301890669145891,0.4727090002457963,-0.09186985755724564,-0.625568480734664,-0.19099342910436334,-0.9425852321144674,1.2862573442216245,0.27165048608395104,-0.4307477031795557,-0.38080359060139557,-0.041482272497610495,0.16640150550241373,-0.5155238176348753,-0.2617679816796006,0.7150382245649887,-0.518975108448334,-0.31368625303829134,0.8614574854298773,0.12139722484941728,0.01860262419179648,-0.4337681106120712,-0.1343102387207047,-0.06732311071104391,2.9660610544945047,-0.15980150720502806,-0.12263142130654003,-0.10105688587267991,0.24574028948611826,-0.7618026481164648,0.4444545498683361,-0.08069505667796051,0.619597423803091,-0.39748106995595833,-0.2512016343344676,-0.07133942109836511,0.16995069199413138,-0.47171613729990725,-0.15315152117634767,-0.17271931151346465,0.3772694640636445,-0.6610393617149235,-0.11498581134496177,-0.43720507707456235,0.6024976508831177,0.16416308465300844,-0.842329257520273,0.3344240406999308,-0.006171296482332167;-1.6346526887107338,-1.4053034715684412,1.0722691325067792,-0.9803434005089464,0.3210534870925237,0.3422827012041125,0.8823584330817873,-0.8369450643056027,-2.5088214054542277,-1.638161219548632,-1.2702165250386983,-0.9447617528021262,0.027884011336809067,3.3251507231621247,0.786039447305054,0.8244617590542731,-2.899221004620955,1.946631638839122,1.7910376104650325,-0.4624706875224476,-0.8493072132798716,-1.30224118542138,1.8202318569884994,0.662370167739109,-0.7972296952583022,-2.0292264971575484,1.3493555796350414,0.2253688069918951,-1.7145974944584417,-2.6130851799183468,-0.8170240932717867,-0.822703897165237,1.3002111767795803,1.0778254354253392,4.3632876095035975,2.3533607534876317,-1.8887575758643713,-0.5900896895592851,-0.29984182400308157,-2.1599128227743876,-0.5022611190346105,-0.1523452462196957,-1.353919362007879,-0.32943452218533764,-0.34065908652327437,3.3933713265263847,-1.461122253484703,0.340597370957056,-0.03356488197598395,-0.46177460896283407,-0.6253311808966586,0.4812593090492143,0.18241650027759704,-1.195177242804867,-1.1459838861318268,1.1323112225144172,0.6350369994042353,2.774411051576159,-0.9753442339998237,2.152460220807555,0.5178717260175318,-0.6588374694721857,2.0933567535633273,0.12684398480115888,0.7378995198400808,-1.1649433034104995,-1.2295217677441883,-0.39651924307043984,6.678646201010318,-1.0146224472057028,-1.404737975973969,0.32193376020852327,1.5111731362306955,0.8147805359049158,-1.4318144488473301,-0.3055937854191022,-0.8154170025179042,-1.129769925956797,-0.5996463318542489,-1.6098916390769737,0.8310750323519969,-1.972101068722683,-0.7662707382097196,-1.2485018860243464,-0.6162818144774285,-0.6284979546614089,0.3395373629724787,-1.6114721607954614,-0.26025086372369444,1.2302995665482577,-0.18912854396886303,0.6909594497905331,0.5793729599134636,-0.47692856321986454,-0.35928119941653236,1.921110086091037,0.9558290335065323,3.6428340313387473,1.344834227584684,-0.9695395531757036;-1.438275353119657,-1.7805727121275439,3.2752260002068496,-0.21494802835010773,2.303553023189629,0.32191733778083176,1.4069702145032537,-0.9341389670918829,-5.81783493139265,-2.7957453331665327,-2.025474477778971,-0.5263213176505914,1.1391919061058289,5.554971550200939,2.152390272809356,2.131907503744017,-8.266735153617866,3.5607443044922604,2.4367314469576726,0.41957098341856636,-0.6886001625827589,-1.1423951914738737,3.811328775189324,1.0332648851158552,-0.15291255292571293,-3.2179083690698285,2.736158502285221,0.9243658521395517,-4.176569775187762,-9.298100356128533,-0.4458416491370585,-1.3635981084296205,-2.8589572342012417,2.1721564698810525,5.309134816353385,2.360020652711434,-3.3917931505348697,0.7918882763346886,0.7698435174194387,-3.30178329092249,0.34942724750766985,-1.8032803561858657,-4.1302339835736,-1.6454770302471502,0.39837635055637577,5.868589315341168,-1.5073205799500116,-0.5123497799717853,0.5477873699958948,0.16573726712761783,0.2131451788597829,1.6641899553299382,2.059326739134555,-2.650050612296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k{54}=[0.2688711191053679;-0.2985806188196557;-1.123200276811236];
x_a{54}=[-16.350616796594977,-19.555469526111377,34.59226005254946];
std_x_a{54}=[0.5569746382350843,1.5338507059649371,2.736805319545798];
pred_a{54}=[-16.350616796594977];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.3 to 5.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{55}=[-11.197002551374625,-0.3414744734822705,39.76928652110451];
std_x_f{55}=[1.2641815832200196,1.8229010719657248,1.1208650286290212];
pred_f{55}=[-11.197002551374625];
obs{55}=[-11.396793965718265];
sqrt_r{55}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{55}=[2.6061692475344485];
xi{55}=[-0.8907317474950229,0.6350812312028449,1.1051898933050683,0.15299393526973049,0.7803914342662157,-0.18796411452829176,0.4187067901957313,-0.7207540150209191,-2.4431881785052347,-1.3951362546397412,-0.8790897745431376,-0.7802390935870367,-0.10525753320038334,1.8329724887090304,0.23844363903248222,0.2984871179349575,-3.010291001991174,1.3097253264368156,1.1233532729326043,-0.3760255203735987,-0.10230295365629694,0.023743522810125484,1.5357508056721514,-0.12628836390993037,1.899281635911878,-1.4908686228817167,0.8816313690063016,0.09234243973523526,-1.6776831736352733,-2.843355166090202,-1.0789833784440148,-0.5749044356994375,-0.4104543102020486,0.4340736273207515,3.6016024889590508,1.3308466575349502,-1.757372691806987,0.12848946336745115,0.24753601479502585,-1.3325598694428535,0.8517255651612512,0.737574082092582,-1.7999615676857985,-0.46625833543828143,-0.4963949869679549,2.651077925048753,-0.9121309580201,1.9377007598300544,-0.30146623747949697,-0.29955603171472234,-0.07250627522306452,1.1810586574413353,0.35451944425882154,-0.998577964981358,-0.650848707270109,0.41909491911710717,0.4584226684457864,2.190392919272524,-1.3952343736913182,1.2950172648665088,1.664263215474957,-0.9375347798094449,1.1772244551669289,1.0332557693899922,0.31418767815271487,-0.6411583866423314,-1.3568526602701017,0.016499081252046466,4.604091721851345,-2.152569438016217,-1.342106745321125,0.22405557016857358,1.4399556864912206,0.5859681688959597,-1.324822739874108,-2.2466147574295583,-0.45806352882251744,-0.22928607722062289,-1.2990799994745608,-1.03416897926523,0.15166994109870835,-0.7536028765673848,-0.34505929441630023,-1.0685596974454654,0.49454843424759964,-0.23272915604218447,-0.2449032049639186,-0.884855488837438,0.3982127359936527,0.8901628541357951,0.004947990583735518,0.12174521408245376,0.1879872933021396,0.2631694680683463,-0.415921618971419,0.8461238579474131,-0.28273053574518947,2.5825862279391725,0.1110829076633113,-0.4319600285787253;-0.4169297429246201,1.9283557646026672,1.7832448044932876,1.0609335922645355,1.6318510462984368,-0.6544019665870189,0.22080709573819607,-0.7698789405197326,-3.2742845861301944,-1.6235940832386855,-0.9025947616440402,-0.6736459055587098,0.02287648455882163,1.767070814587497,0.18865403210473866,0.2537236759610209,-4.407350066164425,1.4520475770412284,0.9563535377984849,-0.17853471010420813,0.3781720321535155,0.9079964644696592,2.04745554304697,-0.6633420820642117,3.960791756883639,-1.5068369563217439,0.9782832154300181,0.12319268368689781,-2.390643945609137,-4.695727932994377,-1.3013342874898093,-0.659702930249261,-2.9145968217591296,0.27445969610271864,4.173780690356427,0.813414393374903,-2.142373152352094,0.9212456819663135,0.8581494336699544,-1.1284969492283863,1.9969370189133502,0.940845873851925,-2.9628422906763734,-1.0173917241605945,-0.5230783108233237,3.3343528025618174,-0.6475284094579796,2.966996516751468,-0.43220639230511365,-0.12210305132452881,0.45598057168378797,2.0237472819671494,0.9267439021790618,-1.3456902223245775,-0.34402613005333754,0.4099075095792013,0.5019622657840166,2.8504031351954526,-2.8389126103922555,0.727244158145266,2.9116111938320204,-0.9505407178934813,0.7702925215817857,1.6036294618199065,0.4179114663127419,-0.18483069898889265,-2.1489481600084366,0.6409892898458023,4.828650772049868,-3.813869747916083,-1.5208822223322225,0.13675804024944524,1.8835750637172874,0.5718405041111294,-1.322356552035236,-6.296381271573517,-0.17536632164592542,0.3988761240931154,-1.831423259801226,-0.9498208930405847,0.24194050602750122,-0.3584431074547107,-0.08290651513230907,-1.5467941990523246,1.5271948016076582,0.14872672475236143,-0.6531853297237598,-0.6300787582924781,1.1755125034086764,0.8688495828679104,0.23210310013520125,-0.5585160865420353,0.3989249910360969,0.8342430494299196,-0.20458800002744165,-0.19317259676457404,-1.330312402920543,2.9963068256305494,-0.9879148771194275,-0.14753689498830436;1.2425244697398057,0.12920113596753424,-0.7674361897802982,0.3834001742298483,-0.3256319766086122,-0.16656602649462826,-0.6347498616392784,0.7071831801816302,2.2266676597479247,1.363682596558668,0.9056311732632949,0.8801920814644149,0.13255712529425523,-2.02118259222879,-0.36336017335686677,-0.41880485834604997,2.533246275181966,-1.3220407592090524,-1.3338287437915497,0.47803291934526726,0.3715087281481857,0.5014880000461517,-1.2905551923187062,-0.2772363377155642,-0.5296689803001016,1.6144550811221947,-0.915590470895502,-0.13431604800880592,1.3681702749187465,1.9739672961832042,1.0124615077838328,0.5329016428278877,-1.2876214119985363,-0.6419263256253345,-2.9407009537429474,-1.7643487068402948,1.6934896469430356,0.32348100710972005,0.07690191010336633,1.5694122938901174,-0.17596661315067053,-0.6620204577404962,1.2210350621748987,0.0988269694071846,0.4732234719533821,-2.213822710201974,1.1351899981214615,-1.2032351342664427,0.18570584908136567,0.3920006713739781,0.3605245451444503,-0.6878831992528873,-0.06980995949957958,0.8211030988133317,0.8636734415600813,-0.529950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k{55}=[0.6162950656615859;0.8210298405738792;-0.5034446993354964];
x_a{55}=[-11.321279061749108,-0.5070359539888588,39.87080664334137];
std_x_a{55}=[0.5883332895395815,1.0041114923732275,0.6886034892180232];
pred_a{55}=[-11.321279061749108];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.4 to 5.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{56}=[-2.12553344665406,4.071028029882818,29.245132938560122];
std_x_f{56}=[0.5413244664615884,0.6119927933878028,0.47122879059070427];
pred_f{56}=[-2.12553344665406];
obs{56}=[-1.865754352127158];
sqrt_r{56}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{56}=[1.2938659342486873];
xi{56}=[0.2873010087306216,0.8773483998706413,0.15217359493606608,0.5379072040817423,0.44653232281640465,-0.19681283001686323,-0.3928167823274933,0.2631415305303182,-0.9349559481446654,0.040442443752123136,2.524316620693412E-4,0.0385121472112262,-0.21045022614435505,0.06175871158507951,0.0543791173265582,0.16012353833954696,0.33260251595508206,0.19450671237562878,-0.9338827220188066,0.13618174947858996,0.25270573038478816,0.07095073747701752,0.45752763079670333,-0.7329293592806936,0.7489212959601002,-0.14676871453727403,0.21792933060985953,0.10070037974272505,-0.4802786455239296,-1.178514798202566,-0.07533173907558188,-1.0276621726152593,-1.277337381622881,-0.06524869142103373,0.6563476543459685,-0.31487839794292816,-0.22975365871197218,0.45947299652405316,0.3297525558319607,0.26552622239732293,0.8276585088050403,0.39233225324134224,-0.8715256005458265,0.03046627631804455,-0.029529748338314565,0.5724113603403553,0.34964298088591983,0.6872830347596666,-0.2179019200396879,0.3442235399839899,0.620609127364214,0.5490141114231581,0.3090211202798401,-0.20946148179806157,0.3222787983942128,0.02382568068869695,-0.057466313537137825,0.40548658815492167,-0.3571693828700897,-0.40440571664368763,0.9540829343884287,0.8743299146625729,0.1440898075823165,0.636342679792107,-0.7623581016384708,0.22341309514093233,-0.5793602440230381,-0.3933451172141753,-0.970954308255481,-1.052395767770299,-0.15218304038693775,0.002479694279858613,0.3802767595263512,-0.2824741273991296,0.09378718456838397,-2.221646470170336,0.16941983289505846,0.44160203927620123,-0.5110476084147124,0.005311144103302912,0.7850305166245446,0.22767717361670248,0.09167539175296868,-0.33987023803312066,0.4947501196344084,0.17176634180087813,-0.30075655912746857,0.045624215998709694,0.3175909362400453,0.11248017484548711,-0.07132165757302511,-0.4777436108463977,0.08972419998825698,0.33949797234512125,0.41272916548773453,-0.591605333350552,-0.5485816339684098,-0.08886043794934118,-0.7372712914046708,0.8359251409727249;0.646872827345895,0.983675668346832,0.22258864246983645,0.7332438251477873,0.49305267753651005,-0.4133909024704834,-0.38784962842216997,0.16875590507758087,0.1749391679259782,0.2041360139628976,0.20159220449734505,0.2850710513430199,0.0606154022569827,-0.5789739636861286,-0.1584548880742651,-0.1443947151511673,-0.12428855873388,-0.24375939972806115,-0.5428572207846649,0.24293092240428216,0.4085503883161774,0.7001460129865,0.06590308593691052,-0.5162546539314805,1.2858227145358878,0.40872978536084137,-0.1657897137770461,-0.038177721335645565,-0.14138907305988058,-0.6736486083098918,0.095186725418543,0.18624303839753775,-2.2112483907598683,-0.32579704468489545,-0.15646493715822185,-0.8790320112725789,0.19301499565168623,0.628486112130231,0.42128506979861413,0.566852823809687,0.8124843990592252,0.02798873849204586,-0.47712520918389156,-0.34972238559576274,0.07242628571899701,6.837437283317982E-4,0.49813379938190305,0.48189665793552283,-0.0973248688018793,0.244918823083907,0.5172387893027581,0.4354258666639206,0.35452163809300874,-0.05411058703000915,0.4447853887659692,-0.18236656326070788,-0.1516874158482051,0.01705211401125961,-0.86941024289963,-0.9233407727366729,0.7548363973958017,0.44198430010042156,-0.6298637675739345,0.2989750869415939,-0.05739763189760527,0.5441596882214288,-0.3221666640758656,0.487854357951651,-0.8914928962501034,-0.7722308090475143,0.22250946270206118,-0.17635578665753826,0.02778926324626152,-0.2577099669935401,0.3841583975262637,-3.030723531490299,0.34170714444335815,0.5997047818031138,-0.11406305795535587,0.3466736009114655,0.1873952539720367,0.5194102035197643,0.2855277899836537,-0.15114147481627782,0.7331795546502065,0.35656602516683744,-0.3592949334296409,0.43945380482960594,0.5214667066200418,-0.2788907192816663,0.12625641251616226,-0.7092470607023378,0.0708850228421749,0.39598042859406046,0.3134143324214147,-1.2411037545321122,-0.9205421478284754,-0.37789895753228775,-1.0966026831301159,0.5084459986379128;0.2685176819802422,-0.16367595477321828,-0.0234063353760412,0.01229607505828767,-0.12495283476943797,-0.18342132173442494,0.09950985739533635,-0.18860641508085862,1.454840148888163,0.17806358602085837,0.19821780057628402,0.2191448822235884,0.30361314283367236,-0.7325075181580267,-0.28154824545851653,-0.40650861309136843,-0.4287874357715289,-0.555079990634475,0.6874196821345073,0.032654754260864394,0.04556437827177362,0.5449170318660386,-0.5740874799434756,0.44015243288245287,0.3780372532266405,0.6204909798491016,-0.5076173345881259,-0.2116037299571225,0.5315370333181519,1.0380194216126775,0.1988174622749348,1.4535331098112039,-0.41664891003578575,-0.29155852789685355,-0.8690574954014672,-0.5028464361433258,0.529700517176007,0.005753906092142103,-0.04681830075928062,0.23613216523943237,-0.27228618711626495,-0.5401356617753734,0.755376315628169,-0.4177009889356249,0.09349297591482753,-0.7452717291939805,0.0475186345437848,-0.35283152783339844,0.17393998113730547,-0.2354840521543693,-0.3227801262114589,-0.292627638665131,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k{56}=[0.22712239844178855;0.1986225949902983;-0.11335448733084766];
x_a{56}=[-2.0733441831297035,4.11666847319866,29.219085806037906];
std_x_a{56}=[0.4749153570799084,0.5614541459775831,0.4572659074385164];
pred_a{56}=[-2.0733441831297035];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.5 to 5.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{57}=[1.7368444279191386,3.970526554838728,22.479019700000997];
std_x_f{57}=[0.5007407973278281,0.6141903850034418,0.34184067804182794];
pred_f{57}=[1.7368444279191386];
obs{57}=[2.0492228537915964];
sqrt_r{57}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{57}=[1.2528016364710295];
xi{57}=[0.45162899141834223,0.8253006641263323,-0.02132749176364812,0.9113021201385851,0.40733676348927594,-0.2490137732159763,-0.30670520337072227,0.39676549561026975,0.18332274269774151,0.4447781393406134,0.20970743262359726,0.18418293169511157,-0.15370803310182568,-0.39370593457044656,-0.08129276416870601,-0.05987177338556493,-0.15780318103730373,-0.5308809960098293,-0.4585859444426459,0.25203937257156084,0.4830676975508841,0.471380384459805,0.6311019321544677,-0.4837428441962417,0.8618378197029248,0.19803556875789785,-0.10170699391537852,-0.011872958407697753,-0.8925880414685127,-0.6405187769635206,0.4720968107750123,-0.02469454042254493,-1.4857926642971861,-0.26489737637521027,0.04926740489983006,-0.518272602266963,0.1144660911545512,0.518031405646336,0.46715368679042757,0.061191952191587795,0.6517482727821651,-0.22032214691246854,-0.5292364030641095,-0.06574227657126963,-0.3915687346635146,0.019454200878835648,0.4259244023341735,0.22998503696235262,-0.09371868705290543,0.43700276135933813,0.8493947552002574,0.2875151275844521,0.022489466106925704,-0.11253031676406411,0.10511557890556489,-0.11766924554879998,-0.09069425437915135,0.11713631590977247,-0.5896574561260257,-0.40199221557728326,0.6266488013100349,0.5101182222672132,-0.32748394005655257,0.38861814460815025,-0.4257026737694045,0.37243729391951486,-0.2676125139999286,0.2075987048430039,-0.5733119083413281,-0.759021590240455,-0.07179008995266245,-0.1733374683755089,0.1981495826913091,-0.1970137137193726,0.452473284089528,-2.233794432342927,0.4841145622504792,0.3530683552925107,-0.16473959884323608,0.2132873145808476,0.2128269150594293,0.38769353513881444,0.3857767257594349,-0.38627509446564234,0.022418796080855508,0.28837547275125286,-0.03208188418343649,0.3057727876221168,0.3477762845249812,-0.14411405367117447,0.05561616219675436,-0.3512818686495185,0.16700617819083563,0.3228274330488692,0.3271170638271015,-1.5321012646261007,-0.8400839111807691,-0.06220221713817109,-0.6210442173607633,0.2436231250843619;0.6080761020606889,0.9533050297927335,0.007484357477538062,1.0583552099929014,0.4761218969177139,-0.34756141360803605,-0.3510412524802451,0.408953484568912,0.5231119242135827,0.5376228743758404,0.2956280868372292,0.2789797322117349,-0.0797030732106152,-0.6384146197481138,-0.15153114089896524,-0.15774899852808533,-0.3108214286601103,-0.7142789835030339,-0.3898189763137374,0.31342174449389804,0.5813492195823886,0.7088064018355733,0.5926094611919894,-0.4671431132553008,1.0996505357010382,0.38845126407596053,-0.22097884966256354,-0.05219662454366558,-0.8332412531293456,-0.5472788436927649,0.5599995089088128,0.35690510816125043,-2.0108498135005375,-0.3756497453475931,-0.18346102164904998,-0.7679044499422778,0.25041646591071975,0.6298794985042524,0.5460315601167252,0.17179585095905514,0.7305065797554637,-0.338482015254149,-0.4524413367862219,-0.1973860825458189,-0.38806362758645063,-0.1411868836378516,0.5174177674680194,0.20341721204751329,-0.07511047560585427,0.45795155368990637,0.9164328798696499,0.2953288555934992,0.05231044657908024,-0.07579595320225474,0.1677607734019131,-0.19423212443707305,-0.1300683543593668,0.020164792809520105,-0.8304502523302917,-0.6287953750255331,0.6517758567861951,0.4569526203402723,-0.6108113585988182,0.34123445068211344,-0.2292664941773057,0.5115918217250806,-0.22191290068140512,0.49892426759883124,-0.6226480641359387,-0.750881119947167,0.04285226966192779,-0.2532567559333674,0.12105860850837002,-0.2129429922636863,0.5781289982339222,-2.8005585323942226,0.5855644676783318,0.44614578087241297,-0.059383398732453685,0.3404982803120489,0.08399724994412106,0.5201425068052159,0.48048939184900297,-0.36192386879468375,0.11846515763081511,0.37882508107132784,-0.07437570126837967,0.4652480507568746,0.45420102078187563,-0.2806113417285401,0.12636254598878116,-0.47928809856601173,0.17857501172775025,0.38075032239990536,0.33796522233543724,-1.926811109804338,-1.0653191799465982,-0.1730382125869272,-0.8263309232874847,0.19300097249656245;0.3646029701321183,0.2579172563191463,0.03401186973631454,0.2833771411577608,0.07315676532743254,-0.2716943340403404,-0.08949301159868739,-0.0747947068991941,0.9029319880165474,0.16244801032588896,0.16625687308019366,0.19912343283074563,0.17720208479116906,-0.6451692029119762,-0.2455746530670666,-0.31852529869313884,-0.29071918146456,-0.4017823024924603,0.22574934938984015,0.07704760531814969,0.15025970989351833,0.5345669598568215,-0.32622198500502364,0.09465027669513759,0.704679349315569,0.48416579390378445,-0.3862598161889643,-0.16761154104198894,0.35320665648890426,0.44086421519531527,0.13565619633605408,0.8839990275515603,-0.7814073123354248,-0.30257257856186826,-0.5678013618509539,-0.5906253225644882,0.3626347275738304,0.2030667789898466,0.09518543802838408,0.31802367978713875,0.12379985073016186,-0.32687276404069365,0.3167823261627767,-0.392117993089677,0.08607146811263178,-0.4608468416348295,0.18600596129580182,-0.054064909335320266,0.04773549665939214,-0.07836106284349498,7.787710933691017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k{57}=[0.2017890375551689;0.24315623007716633;0.051137508816620665];
x_a{57}=[1.7647608697747807,4.004165928121981,22.486094302808052];
std_x_a{57}=[0.45081992425972545,0.5520543044924756,0.3341957698483566];
pred_a{57}=[1.7647608697747807];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.6 to 5.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{58}=[3.6856903876428637,5.712174053795624,18.424443479219686];
std_x_f{58}=[0.6036261045771281,0.8256886663111909,0.5019342529099691];
pred_f{58}=[3.6856903876428637];
obs{58}=[4.07043706204984];
sqrt_r{58}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{58}=[1.3678032896806034];
xi{58}=[0.583474712229159,0.9091746893261208,0.028680552721324748,0.9571252481325532,0.4646683182488722,-0.23276266284761427,-0.2849272691702436,0.3964182886944352,0.3990986172608322,0.4553776839352297,0.12553981103383594,0.24915212628627215,-0.04499333927844873,0.03849040186722652,-0.5245168151236359,-0.2561647255988353,-0.1641597074322405,-0.6251394417485536,-0.2930739355382932,0.26372453474661883,0.6547060293792066,0.5890361455134085,0.6991297838612045,-0.3820678296933,0.9845438464383198,0.7680900494081859,0.5806878034837428,-0.5202749970918337,-0.7523657637551695,-0.6078286952175449,0.46758480897487775,-0.04743385745114859,-1.7444209489684757,-0.24896564555246137,0.10768906976566939,-0.5235545526088505,0.2347141634046297,0.70883439016146,0.7712556718727592,0.461704124822071,0.6778135021951499,-0.44237172339902164,-0.816946356085102,-5.572805090352517E-4,-0.09607164028501503,-0.040145987638910974,0.06580197025300594,0.049551418238698464,0.03843219305179346,0.4490623626909942,0.8171530346447256,0.32561028363586697,-0.03558897821935059,-0.14380415912655176,0.5213094445823065,-0.0670958394145722,-0.10520481993639397,0.2229432780832008,-0.42324001879633544,-0.43891720306180115,0.24361662957333818,0.46343248676550175,-0.5929381970581558,0.4313320972147352,-0.4771840413621611,0.24013670282879263,-0.5493903826756004,0.40228724588613396,-0.2926988458165045,-0.6260255160813473,0.07865436062153375,0.3773610476927898,0.1830746970602517,-0.13662978995106156,0.3311781733279133,-2.4584789001201397,0.24861521033691814,1.1336519364594393,-0.0748887298649783,-0.46056067977743886,0.21588689939816597,0.4350599518976086,-0.12782437415607983,-0.5926944441082478,0.1799971808096914,0.24855523110464617,0.2560509209790891,0.15473619801504723,0.011388350313154216,-0.13169990137407916,-0.25514686273786324,-0.2957793449744135,-0.22404891425620566,0.3786566473737327,0.48819032747378266,-2.6864491140584135,-0.7729356946309665,0.2147569404598606,-0.7130330353740599,-0.4521966326091942;0.7645055494441904,1.1869576851242831,0.05549117244521451,1.2405402441566,0.6205475083912599,-0.29072693999285537,-0.36755151889850346,0.5468496597310324,0.4919151301187954,0.6118551822195837,0.17515958791168273,0.3381888354603859,-0.05102679543456734,0.09025934050056161,-0.6842082004714278,-0.3207455510837347,-0.20647049283703467,-0.8317256062431477,-0.3796503068844954,0.3651449348155422,0.8722261828133577,0.7590539874089064,0.9738925273497347,-0.5024273932450676,1.229229754557866,0.9947127862948104,0.8154053990924934,-0.6856215973379474,-1.0167429136417887,-0.8255164138044107,0.6252369805625824,-0.06376318814220294,-2.448789059393374,-0.30133097802375985,0.17477814948984083,-0.6890024936267327,0.30677366435255315,0.9371124868320901,1.0336054502268013,0.5966664556498404,0.892070132851571,-0.579906462602791,-1.104298386557799,0.03316780433833433,-0.12069328855761441,-0.025255700416514593,0.09088177545450637,0.07349390746169249,0.059012528304769774,0.6178705214950275,1.0936541565862514,0.4443318493353221,-0.034800497910597805,-0.1808364653514838,0.698223576715904,-0.06454359672015286,-0.11741072460845459,0.32577510836258483,-0.5518412746783863,-0.5688954764571141,0.3331620607215777,0.6440628844988563,-0.7747048089003226,0.6051455890179245,-0.6288668564007507,0.3195642372818268,-0.737475728075144,0.5220800752461212,-0.4102490575942648,-0.8499468218206498,0.10488949063403652,0.524122843190642,0.2766334766247356,-0.16643422454117385,0.4367470558155899,-3.488069884389875,0.3404925352528956,1.4711119127178103,-0.1002063813413816,-0.6231558807957169,0.3350011934282877,0.5745579665496159,-0.16156459017175795,-0.7902884469840492,0.23940805511779217,0.34104030693209975,0.36382324688742074,0.20780754520984956,0.018759596140109025,-0.15134445360660376,-0.3339490650934547,-0.37102415319480997,-0.28645538568006135,0.5195512470311945,0.6680372527341714,-3.806815759759719,-1.0430005174520458,0.3088109747695942,-0.9533965776764965,-0.598669645257913;0.6503777034932412,0.7969822212918132,0.019787490754765713,0.8444989288638283,0.32468502395609633,-0.3618410136589958,-0.26015709592399006,0.1610476906904843,0.9362767868965456,0.388289295877712,0.15352030925772553,0.28726358791949025,0.09356106082794113,-0.41526960329110096,-0.5906552154484501,-0.45737100682476495,-0.3429941956560647,-0.6898183182457807,-0.0031431089156370717,0.17879475689554525,0.5425227405665609,0.773148660940393,0.19377862347632302,-0.15825024873200277,1.2101273815189941,0.9585776950067597,0.18406680676502774,-0.5424279101665448,-0.14302640571850134,-0.030179163546925736,0.3727545995762931,0.5926349753147164,-1.424505472604725,-0.39545488056835865,-0.3847496514350546,-0.7631606630320498,0.40313302599125933,0.6266648960330201,0.6119567889378317,0.5779327833386745,0.5065181633890106,-0.5655206647204416,-0.282347881571976,-0.31715217931682815,0.02718422836584722,-0.4097767855153478,0.08415198107349653,-0.07365075360474194,0.046203833866083954,0.19838548214306684,0.5127325183265334,0.132926613899226,-0.037689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k{58}=[0.2689007201952916;0.3673833652780903;0.19410536370901715];
x_a{58}=[3.7886842609835116,5.852888573873635,18.498789368773533];
std_x_a{58}=[0.512114158765614,0.7000430275534728,0.4541748727235277];
pred_a{58}=[3.7886842609835116];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.7 to 5.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{59}=[6.55364979841089,10.192414266178941,17.839077361844247];
std_x_f{59}=[0.7317277804363814,0.9540817760255602,1.0623738945502081];
pred_f{59}=[6.55364979841089];
obs{59}=[6.945322491347177];
sqrt_r{59}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{59}=[1.5387624685069539];
xi{59}=[0.5747655701374867,0.8266670800488969,0.07663740758362714,0.9031878401732634,0.6273177359185773,-0.22103816387764574,-0.15267306060627295,-0.021622603276538754,0.5817901838471169,0.12971093879850848,-0.41067218876780665,0.17775065264344914,-0.05324621105972138,-0.6189179766958013,-0.24763995050949728,-0.18999263053902737,-0.200834890213061,-0.26087066148601323,-0.3808816516146152,1.1853994042166214,0.5238361439813923,0.597348727080873,0.3915025505672123,-0.3807158750158255,1.1558736166960415,0.8285383518303169,1.464007975646159,-0.5919969055935237,-0.7236405778631614,-0.7309774809315686,0.9761833502421666,-0.08649571600885242,-1.212318220603537,-0.1254496385397097,0.37613147201073804,-0.6927776128077454,0.5069516639353111,-0.11766845184097985,-0.07161901375122426,0.4199925988341455,0.698749956547414,-0.04799357085775835,-1.2267682167806395,0.06836850708514053,0.06395134352218612,0.10109042162032633,0.07635198116305197,0.3662521742808176,-0.013266418939609004,0.4950914196583147,1.0273213207982623,0.401138806134437,-0.04541556340971553,-0.13122235146178252,0.2958095745390139,-0.9137285003456714,-0.4399171863533322,-0.045784350259689965,-0.4465335452793857,-0.3822738345903396,0.19183430740577023,0.2492133011112907,-0.06041131212375639,0.1423442025360968,-0.5940790465344623,-0.5654080617646953,-0.8019551015530269,0.5931007539320179,0.2954997919028264,-0.8279175572415562,0.19617529790437427,0.699564466990827,0.47275833433081704,0.7343622091081512,-0.5902431719245316,-3.1455622734516426,0.5881006214404172,1.0254328227821423,-0.11464297670748014,-0.4896966642962841,0.4964039263192266,0.4845502989272443,0.2838049066014694,-0.3467423626652577,0.7657516668962359,0.1655130800631026,0.3203830523898157,0.674588581974982,-0.5215419926087588,-0.1461615600431596,0.34216409617787313,-0.26889293787738033,-0.9004687070413544,1.0980889228465012,0.49246687139696554,-3.2192540989985865,-0.6817742540200546,0.1552543662399275,-1.2522767264188914,-0.6730928236679796;0.6455592580085838,0.9441218466644354,0.13698225803654118,1.022919812871903,0.779394764863623,-0.18414762228692538,-0.13618066631063463,0.04265254041800581,0.5265781746167395,0.1759430256144352,-0.49258329945072177,0.2244274845107821,-0.06143489721472939,-0.6523180466476397,-0.2134400200377904,-0.12615939261907272,-0.15780751118299108,-0.23058433206253426,-0.48831112708960767,1.4014017320943992,0.6374274048235797,0.6308599474261207,0.6054865870772321,-0.46616722714919057,1.1657024766201989,0.8615690771975615,1.7736925102354544,-0.6756963714316839,-0.9797495291375977,-0.9876511064436002,1.1585281754868006,-0.2317923958068313,-1.5578995295985596,-0.055729420825176845,0.6208608589306852,-0.7630082968513143,0.5755161552769348,-0.1475934795192675,-0.07746406297615671,0.46163533312979155,0.8515305183416597,0.046604888079404105,-1.6446762691108,0.21314513204023022,0.09137968754313341,0.2626089483179843,0.12094823937418653,0.5180587316524861,0.011237633413141879,0.6674833364850699,1.2385321980075403,0.5549009587367895,-0.014964788345780633,-0.13642805849084283,0.3723928496776736,-1.10490256910502,-0.4870503205343546,0.06078792349225104,-0.453374753878828,-0.34940791956301,0.30377716403182475,0.4182372436537882,0.11028804182529583,0.2852689853657999,-0.8050288510857513,-0.7245164193032245,-1.0243954497125536,0.5981434639184471,0.32643447001963644,-1.0965231334633074,0.21466257707533742,0.9063419282308303,0.6945927591624024,0.9240063723584679,-0.7563614844604061,-4.517308722096095,0.7352087616911351,1.1267552598984327,-0.1618986769419717,-0.620369312300129,0.7730889505177352,0.5742909357033099,0.38297542266582596,-0.4315794914196367,0.8892233598595851,0.22108211041622106,0.4518395076188728,0.7827506112483498,-0.6392139347332062,-0.056150418588712725,0.44520953850663325,-0.2475244632982445,-1.0987583159532264,1.3167957206997478,0.6530372304685148,-4.611792883141588,-0.8030150052648253,0.2779979368111878,-1.570305808238805,-0.7716134371406707;1.0582029578768015,1.4134400443622965,0.06467924699724037,1.561185143238074,0.9264077369846433,-0.5671763051335752,-0.3413975992792402,-0.19073261048660584,1.444571104027414,0.19523711601382132,-0.6080890654403355,0.3095360346753182,-0.024863976644088126,-1.3409872742810336,-0.6103050517399247,-0.5722871064980666,-0.5507213045759691,-0.6562892688170052,-0.44783116947620627,1.8960208076913503,0.8309296825788124,1.2008020793630365,0.2865107742030588,-0.5305901149215835,2.323347991171591,1.644309254064673,2.1908266286442704,-1.0670307606212681,-0.7734821666934231,-0.7757807953804523,1.5695671485123839,0.3403816244277742,-1.864428483298905,-0.4370085624841167,0.12118173551203526,-1.3868489625661624,0.9482675846847393,-0.13321166571795473,-0.11502236592518145,0.8213656763081794,1.0836949185643796,-0.34257853023201434,-1.5197216162937899,-0.22807536985526156,0.12769179669240316,-0.23295257360228305,0.08939768670296289,0.42204689272721296,-0.06887502598532436,0.6120094089068253,1.5677251436382846,0.49313650727452085,-0.14125094797586613,-0.21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k{59}=[0.3501271180793159;0.45290074365359584;0.4910184024929128];
x_a{59}=[6.6449887120047855,10.31056410306708,17.967171088729334];
std_x_a{59}=[0.5787253614377198,0.7714010811397688,0.8190460447832724];
pred_a{59}=[6.6449887120047855];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.8 to 5.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{60}=[10.980843056843609,15.375536541615743,24.197038714303332];
std_x_f{60}=[0.5737280511603332,0.3882455396691839,1.6664039253595109];
pred_f{60}=[10.980843056843609];
obs{60}=[11.234727285256144];
sqrt_r{60}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{60}=[1.329474099433649];
xi{60}=[0.17524854292142678,0.2200353546857574,0.0302687787361009,0.3694700768379686,0.462809140205934,-0.21380961306351765,0.6342538809968126,0.12247849523120635,-2.144162980610684,-0.027641957474065393,-0.12983684354009029,0.15294518928862644,-0.3611777265020333,-0.2061348377520389,0.4340351293800371,-0.5295982388081804,0.19024156194539543,0.1911231544789036,-0.05135713608479442,0.7434498835127403,0.20159975407097264,0.05961976542954872,0.41536680045399876,-0.018233765316141515,0.014233173060684834,0.4614924813952097,0.6488755060389568,-0.12413233432489967,-0.421540927076002,-0.5487183430159455,0.0983174951840109,-0.1321575912751829,-0.4492606650176114,-0.12440581657745753,0.4774421338897241,-0.23762689967950656,0.2066741979092921,-0.19762397952179533,0.08663586341742757,0.14279014954285074,0.4303457165863378,0.15822921056124528,-0.8839693449628161,0.2598564747306362,0.2219982350706875,0.29864234882884233,0.5491659513086535,0.525760098266181,0.06034979809171226,0.4029097526376706,0.674610852816901,0.25732567426558717,0.3165858867284843,0.09623645479259046,0.09058709324803438,-0.14854041951233832,-0.5667859505494537,0.1687444869119581,0.22313416951939757,0.030193864314890462,0.27428964714994386,0.31801070879271265,1.1232327463240708,0.21083518402438273,-0.14395945336592497,0.23256452554423568,-0.6429171599638224,0.15648736405486652,0.4754711906525877,-1.5747371134203192,-0.05524551931250521,0.5686777488895967,0.41400513469765343,0.3669354316288178,-0.10189329423878668,-2.568948804124842,0.3738082079168752,0.24279789296272725,-0.7333769015556761,-0.5328228128247829,0.37339626688662264,-0.3337218461699347,0.4579435745619076,0.04851185923925527,-0.021867866136236813,0.5346158719229965,0.09241398745943918,0.2487540162607509,-0.19115039870660233,-0.43818287093787234,0.14036478010942943,0.005530782134462342,-0.43599939217570416,0.40671280628812845,0.3934825312172414,-2.3388214313496682,-0.19299586992680773,0.25433356321241085,-0.6291938212740007,-0.5647084730765357;-0.1654354102487794,-0.1955303659910932,0.13979135459046077,-0.28291076270052606,-0.0369361194958131,0.27955272447465696,0.08746407095200226,0.23292522619846956,-1.39429512090401,0.07556974508636394,0.11893926979161229,0.0328146049253526,0.013289543209607402,0.43702777490777756,0.2967898848402779,0.22374119727471253,0.317973196383738,0.34674662220071184,0.030086759834112797,-0.41305874834029055,-0.021828030158642875,-0.261339101850135,0.29185576859330986,0.09726825003117057,-0.6150501268006483,-0.5156500749969553,-0.2602660270908981,0.2786861386111372,-0.14769677012651883,-0.18144491223884351,-0.12963347403505843,-0.3029780090058267,0.11581449431635349,0.30381230370098855,0.4123063937792679,0.3856260852826825,-0.14923203564645426,0.046875738474920325,0.09886067425035883,-0.14188625289301626,-0.08972806319565407,0.34149569600777774,-0.2866320271251208,0.3717954379616213,0.04880231328810147,0.41060750486044206,0.0179358943746859,0.09379128977347051,0.13037098440636008,0.11369101455312958,-0.24240402795538785,0.14403062568224279,0.13945921642581283,0.12383676376931518,0.018262231135361517,0.2697369900873632,0.13604578199443473,0.36620973694305725,0.397999583015741,0.4521259133625968,0.2033070151363141,0.3125932791309669,0.2599733564870075,0.30228927310309217,-0.10108815635877555,0.04896949684366625,-0.06395465618563989,-0.3759842762546981,-0.17878852072070828,-0.6671730587875953,-0.05367455592210035,-0.004973885275285639,0.25107004853624737,-0.007091225076310437,0.0705246701415625,-2.0136559060409454,-0.025096457927174853,-0.37234995468332066,-0.15509878769325702,-0.0219210002136645,0.40263198314718984,-0.0922078879218109,0.042289725678056556,0.0786405462612052,-0.14798869508818235,-0.014561987826278155,0.18100069161075005,-0.16437882224440514,0.12164319777479982,0.2868271706254113,0.06763888520027805,0.3152125383730926,0.1686726152342679,-0.18126345430001045,0.08614592779552055,-1.7801642219681462,0.2468643676602973,0.26908604375900147,0.11121032955455945,0.18874500988313336;0.8922002934731132,1.071485265618474,-0.05919141487410329,1.683017644698861,1.6090648254021787,-1.1326077921505764,1.951413363784976,0.09092059846479827,-5.390818573882239,-0.16245547471371324,-0.5936761715601229,0.5138385489434079,-1.1896765219116539,-1.3978584507425396,1.0068196306750288,-2.1975868565304033,0.16300061420189138,0.13855623091154,-0.15873024556755055,3.0027551699333763,0.7445983361737909,0.6658768330202172,0.956187503534423,-0.15612971054405733,1.0635682106408524,2.3142746776047005,2.501198033827439,-0.8384278852243767,-1.1318629095199348,-1.5153479681218798,0.6000403770586189,0.12552892268404037,-1.700375844307981,-0.8722738622973125,0.9719370223043704,-1.4195638341731573,0.9713426331000576,-0.6968573877043305,0.19611073237359378,0.7543095155147661,1.5952424848330722,0.03034933024746067,-2.560090106095217,0.3065364396734225,0.7082341564086718,0.3841799719836736,1.800235668567332,1.6170678105266418,0.03317112427175317,1.187802237124238,2.546293241641095,0.68278537379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k{60}=[0.24782287941826292;0.10368952047357788;0.6941199457400301];
x_a{60}=[11.069018798561926,15.412429424135853,24.444007602731972];
std_x_a{60}=[0.499832144450761,0.3564452450316767,1.498263081417792];
pred_a{60}=[11.069018798561926];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.9 to 6.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{61}=[12.984169051417593,11.361131392424886,34.54095981300358];
std_x_f{61}=[0.38466825798652865,1.2839621080079555,0.6822004303954753];
pred_f{61}=[12.984169051417593];
obs{61}=[12.81210321208387];
sqrt_r{61}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{61}=[1.148321008962823];
xi{61}=[-0.18650116831485697,-0.3717602778114113,0.17852163999660675,-0.502162684755799,-0.34835493370922244,0.5114483067820501,-0.4217785504456373,0.2230449653238047,0.3468036080933725,0.06025291709365632,0.19069998466290095,-0.08578984664568345,0.39243753251556335,0.5571632673363798,-0.16133950334149105,0.6475702116543438,0.15607728085126205,0.11404124013989758,0.040890970163630413,-0.8224635393371234,-0.09014522484034515,-0.2752782777829612,-0.16962293188308664,0.31836589598232656,-0.5935995661688303,-0.7766024668634035,-1.043296153705123,0.3586399672018068,0.20489262792392893,0.17529973515488706,-0.19519092133099036,-0.07212269629309098,0.4624537976752059,0.3473282297711737,0.06801224967017205,0.5482556215520411,-0.3981285344193939,0.13220061757925627,-0.2737431259018255,-0.24610776619118369,-0.3852755425253438,0.1409116027120909,0.355744242628667,0.19785048208562728,-0.24909586644904635,0.3695913139140341,0.02354205520315311,-0.5681218527921725,0.06402192886646674,-0.20955194813181421,-0.6424379024475346,7.821846104505426E-4,-0.22753475035028004,0.04666135761179646,0.07005533301191313,0.36224737156287645,0.5746974536511402,0.32383185164274053,-0.08091618297302183,0.42247954989931813,-0.2741421560597832,-0.02174158558159256,-0.6826530171857694,0.349986975821313,0.10456206964645531,-0.11004083848560242,0.47189014372560045,-0.5680441669052918,-0.6076132943812151,0.7221658570593696,-0.572224521716123,-0.4840027036951433,-0.04691565252567642,-0.25829575349863454,0.3709645720685053,0.11154476933702995,-0.2664215657019504,-0.3709889891217184,0.5182067803306758,0.33457628278387475,-0.08537790085997266,0.17748974800060502,-0.24606123541710012,0.0061722515339805994,-0.08660521765956197,-0.5432271435045308,0.43517691428320404,-0.36484484428511266,0.27546075925110536,0.639762990006286,-0.17620971447939304,0.27148723399210084,0.5085137492850293,-0.45614461046880983,-0.14790589366260498,-0.03836237457471192,0.39801294952905764,-0.1204380718837168,0.6072022748072499,0.6351897510790234;-0.1487170631269965,-0.8964930104673012,0.4526266836279955,-1.0882469732906213,-0.993658111560439,1.2723126831913163,-1.4865463509555248,0.4818783366960364,3.2829561447867768,0.029562389481071705,0.3760781200267225,-0.30421990794346243,1.3825452069065278,0.9999410629733188,-1.0934143727034336,1.6414324142540764,-0.03150194011645446,-0.2705097290429084,0.05024986152440469,-1.8344853798098342,-0.13586438227964948,-0.4279018864794164,-1.127647887659748,1.1766829998720123,-0.9273708749220368,-1.5923242736508918,-3.213070106961723,0.6375009753404193,0.9195969332839589,0.6820671886403833,-0.3930152102459399,0.4499494666156796,1.2370658369432892,0.5279641175173886,-0.3559548908685404,1.066352206177017,-1.1349588490138824,0.24145203825543504,-1.3668246483565785,-0.5458440543425933,-1.032269373117023,-0.16973873534694306,1.4298616842879852,0.0950651034286647,-0.9937897191595191,0.841668240412913,0.6390243422136646,-2.194129029126321,-0.015195435608026386,-0.8715677843225702,-1.5591413120642255,-0.12205230005500489,-1.073187744835085,-0.031638962293868644,0.3950169791612925,0.6817090448079259,1.5547608294665043,0.6052484082181788,-1.2179538131725707,0.6262546889416338,-1.4832193923060633,-0.6565560921025302,-2.6092037442739446,0.9665029548842927,0.6206118117174988,-0.3844643755741828,1.5735568957909898,-1.3041362465204447,-1.736720799503864,3.5379203109032957,-2.366078831698813,-1.5685932379893899,-0.47781462582478795,-0.7526213725467699,1.4239881235530323,3.794276661921355,-0.7523303558861976,-0.34484304900252205,2.0315392197245696,0.9581081838500314,-1.1023782299393794,0.7226788764117948,-0.7555973004075582,-0.16148174837494622,0.01403620078625245,-1.8180341865094007,1.6141132407851995,-0.8938539262656828,0.6694248040031692,1.5444406493057041,-0.8324905324897305,0.3202255621485115,1.2774379772201456,-1.1285750062424569,-0.4950349321519223,2.265815328408303,0.8520505092467463,-0.9968058097649095,1.675557059455759,1.6309595511056578;-0.26844693631574756,0.022060488086211194,-0.012210026251118222,-0.08752049418720986,0.1544334832400338,-0.029056034878315984,0.4625384006771185,0.06109546550647593,-2.598910735234064,0.12901217391559072,0.09719360309066616,0.11152661346569204,-0.41529855600634136,0.34150753624553687,0.6795548961922577,-0.06964538848314561,0.3953218870550046,0.5327570744228183,0.06539381784433118,-0.11440478494422024,-0.06944844715922471,-0.2050505908930802,0.6990465377501778,-0.4030405812240332,-0.4447609331983884,-0.22561097679950137,0.7214254503035349,0.21463249528957817,-0.4018266662387049,-0.25586984348109354,-0.053498517084555886,-0.5995375597064978,-0.10458328631012392,0.3025446102908731,0.5058584316361561,0.2574137462650512,0.20427999946819853,0.09333114061045222,0.7046977713520945,-0.022276905843632733,0.11289592228998657,0.5024210340284867,-0.5657686958051045,0.36932311255692696,0.40676799984510836,0.055032526361898704,-0.5884980963037734,0.8143827906750403,0.18083730181834312,0.3470405411854429,0.028319183397698566,0.116058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k{61}=[0.12916336791293945;0.37460602168023255;-0.06552263205516143];
x_a{61}=[12.96164300595261,11.295800235362517,34.55238693675013];
std_x_a{61}=[0.34287990526037754,1.202277376903758,0.683487299681121];
pred_a{61}=[12.96164300595261];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.0 to 6.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{62}=[8.550226520044184,2.9903829707022074,33.04375061662095];
std_x_f{62}=[0.657881819209551,0.5380600169647766,0.8635526555687324];
pred_f{62}=[8.550226520044184];
obs{62}=[8.33783974741735];
sqrt_r{62}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{62}=[1.4328307823393491];
xi{62}=[0.0469801553339142,-0.3261632809261048,0.2368251011242748,-0.14680009745974054,-0.38402488797473566,0.5677310760565888,-0.6008135543098652,0.25517800702390403,2.20330647457261,-0.4551330197277732,0.15623733379464966,-0.10540802573638786,0.49705342565542665,0.29357914113477435,-0.6025811474615415,0.5806326333291487,-0.12340504839126254,-0.2081063929194471,-0.010294396870964562,-1.0234673884529677,-0.08924191258271108,-0.07338149245525116,-0.7042462949029638,0.5443393868363238,-0.1441220105955754,-0.18624327274210906,-1.4401418283678389,0.1515762380130674,0.5129795386462384,0.3376596159457339,-0.08559278013604121,0.8471188798829115,0.4320946856984591,0.11332453192050629,-0.23326423628214954,0.2625452663778809,-0.4739621404314338,-0.17958634149872132,-0.634110947215806,-0.19003422198196063,-0.26535496337832853,-0.32051879781770687,0.8835871615507447,-0.07050917975192661,-0.49228608069880053,0.2690125441285893,0.42951671599877805,-1.0480877549544694,-0.01813414630317034,-0.3639462035547485,-0.609385455025004,-0.07949804448871944,-0.7146289344319827,-0.027614775050414764,0.2934307792207438,0.3210768502326964,0.5234417639666162,0.18110357811208821,-0.6467072782725403,0.10963342515817232,-0.8954133808951017,-0.22903878823745494,-1.3301418756542276,-0.11878504490786668,0.34728486965802574,0.009226774021398043,0.7347384298852724,-0.5298802313917559,-0.5668288482421806,1.882928205156313,-0.9739590145524932,-1.0080788045757396,-0.39799823967260295,-0.31154986972799037,0.6728918505337127,2.5515978673673274,-0.5849355269197778,-0.07084036526565107,1.0865006200286995,0.44166355651514166,-0.6714204166115625,0.3496204792952202,-0.3199496856713715,-0.0998957104482674,0.01185708024347143,-0.8143107271786265,0.8229471744224117,-0.31415662349168194,0.2119761461733436,0.45126120581955576,-0.3808522038748201,-0.019402242916937595,0.1315796055014875,-0.2986750630834365,-0.20715139993989418,1.7242757855825257,0.27587691912247614,-0.5789086163128703,0.5082917625259089,0.5344863711558574;0.2987795629615424,0.03849906035880091,0.05040810410994112,0.22382134414878552,-0.07565176886157321,-0.00880849714707832,-0.3366169455719752,-0.010528688512390083,1.90484440549687,-0.21176095813578666,-0.04959021933299157,-0.03229159730631892,0.30054643845257223,-0.3223077544799242,-0.5492150401339244,-0.025806931878077144,-0.3084735916222128,-0.4096581632960823,-0.021292447757909727,-0.07958892260388106,0.08339486243653393,0.2484375373428711,-0.5976238604474613,0.32259729947776483,0.47387462728710616,0.3733489167717119,-0.7314880611894963,-0.19275566230813101,0.3608124123802541,0.23615373440938114,0.11486192869917389,0.6378311992345043,0.04560604610852348,-0.2533730666438889,-0.38402340618015796,-0.2593201258296136,-0.11896221203153434,-0.11498141949866714,-0.5404867321012263,0.07869250964964492,0.008141653347184086,-0.42992397097688784,0.462665989305596,-0.28436382235670354,-0.30398450838912705,-0.05668402928621408,0.5322453164328671,-0.7068371293047879,-0.11149558271126381,-0.23446365717393025,0.0020283194038959174,-0.059951702986206445,-0.4675195989387273,-0.08061121075678868,0.23049669686117724,-0.1428950946982357,0.058175096652902436,-0.15015838063641418,-0.7831989024877726,-0.3375821539455415,-0.7095114487416532,-0.40240345132684796,-0.8820781660445847,-0.030922823444266445,0.33411453787655754,-1.5857803324603736E-4,0.3125062058464523,0.039127165751399406,-0.14687800571933618,1.2317609030959296,-0.7665060441141942,-0.46149564676897326,-0.30744158047639925,-0.06764306492057726,0.40610393398862676,2.9080067135673855,-0.16118514061155853,0.4619999316611718,0.5545689863752541,0.12037140800960078,-0.7160663068512716,0.25428882177699075,-0.09300316240195583,-0.10410229433135054,0.20753647656299812,-0.4209159658904067,0.423648080303634,0.03410808526389619,-4.730766556546584E-4,-0.0911174010664837,-0.2857530552041223,-0.2805037641083157,-0.06729362419805884,0.05715300224709763,-0.06711761187704068,2.024900142466651,-0.10308309625652257,-0.5601272371695805,0.06995749252648897,-0.016358584918382935;-0.18150196271985664,-0.6600483182105847,0.38431409317405496,-0.47454479368522584,-0.6609919859008357,1.0509075713328002,-0.8234944973435105,0.47582451627989286,2.5363121680971545,-0.6549000099554831,0.3217032585544004,-0.16748269524989468,0.656529039166557,0.8130224899779179,-0.6280030725537245,1.0939125362280535,0.03796094552787821,-0.0328272817656341,-0.009567015381037436,-1.857456409800168,-0.2498821235648805,-0.36658910088358,-0.7625100096578095,0.7197858631375098,-0.6997339772027189,-0.6972266393952893,-1.9992290801994699,0.4394233307239901,0.636879897321549,0.4072315335846213,-0.2745055963248504,1.0136487038007402,0.7471275587176436,0.41562927904925573,-0.1015072321447974,0.7046197408888588,-0.767576506542234,-0.2446706762908235,-0.6955079523771417,-0.43331177090210105,-0.5159156037603196,-0.21412115157671963,1.236724843013036,0.12176739284548432,-0.6438261489896604,0.5379663003939328,0.3153058467637351,-1.2985261413275992,0.05172971907798285,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k{62}=[0.3020808791060983;0.21074753884827363;0.381182421753581];
x_a{62}=[8.509407167544074,2.9619052394991168,32.992242491755704];
std_x_a{62}=[0.5319876031208797,0.4556117193244197,0.723258257373867];
pred_a{62}=[8.509407167544074];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.1 to 6.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{63}=[4.214640756887836,1.52104028826601,26.26094227762896];
std_x_f{63}=[0.2725814176090392,0.34322398335128307,0.6225198832713644];
pred_f{63}=[4.214640756887836];
obs{63}=[4.228627979036906];
sqrt_r{63}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{63}=[1.0748142323210252];
xi{63}=[0.22549214272766083,-0.22663962530092263,0.022484847106557737,-0.005398090664392008,-0.19730195800226724,-0.1416934232794267,-0.02779471378299192,-0.05868667474614142,0.7290375719151054,0.05691816045160092,-0.23195760712821523,0.04415799361240591,0.2598663554817149,-0.2903696093375423,-0.2121703119399685,-0.12144916297110253,-0.1655691090858058,-0.03591025692981198,-0.00695159860776684,0.14638149954195878,0.035450954601118134,0.27513932976281286,-0.19270218300380737,0.1102540911094092,0.4419521392449761,0.2806213441340262,-0.10952040929791362,-0.19690153850466263,0.014792443499494823,0.14191168634542617,0.16393987561490153,0.1467739378235633,-0.04246514103707266,-0.26128162803452915,0.10586819898489619,-0.45120608826454456,-0.04829665297828445,-0.16732820598093934,-0.104997490894152,0.10271418185198655,0.12323776217750382,-0.07636445061299568,0.17512166839464705,-0.15473517135187898,-0.07174016625605084,-0.11782523215833329,0.2867386422442584,-0.29035957002822155,0.0974101480702112,-0.06980004356057812,0.09160912343490679,0.3344701296560899,-0.05237612497507804,0.04036956539155234,0.14251671850781555,-0.15870078839979396,-0.09764417423684879,-0.11689187633737053,-0.12277188987868914,-0.25432164558975145,-0.3111399804891377,-0.40949027745929545,-0.5793938067934779,-0.04295704044922122,0.15754403132360917,-0.045636954711429034,-0.03787349825669306,0.20365087059652076,0.12498009427501611,0.5068175944047155,-0.27520174373386563,0.3239772852790823,-0.22318769769456903,-0.08560320577741987,0.1252991226728355,1.3292261650608577,-0.06580400951475074,0.3295113096842508,0.024995121604053594,0.018963273865757024,-0.5677245874840748,0.08788031810534491,0.011924064636825271,-0.09908870454232499,0.18548147327752318,-0.12475608803229932,0.11507824524197918,0.03129457499617683,-0.04960408925290949,-0.23219343011529547,-0.4131525584392115,-0.14066970011004987,-0.03534542611507696,0.18914865921092083,0.0659874081913987,0.8831734640719819,-0.14889531626850339,-0.6095611407081858,0.16794028793967453,-0.10070200701930965;0.3135312240704111,0.5099320000587952,-0.16291872191196122,0.5184801796629634,0.4033379304361151,-0.5245083814559686,0.1725158724964,-0.22724512723104917,-0.14903518795376747,0.1585301864140385,-0.08230037141178004,0.06898270434073583,-0.26492550921297875,-0.6121523736559538,-0.06024828039664265,-0.5822194521449374,-0.21834873126117205,-0.37777105642406017,0.023086755026296535,0.9161068544334201,0.24655781037133084,0.3344341584617725,-0.05078903869184859,-0.13203929342328835,0.6755534830777594,0.6633983928109468,0.4596266241758056,-0.30421117013970167,0.029832082495960144,-0.06724167584223917,0.21111177450048912,0.011317470688855025,-0.3441300502082971,-0.3306534794305991,-0.4317769314782489,-0.39650006740779875,0.3678783945443289,0.1366525560502001,-0.06807116300145233,0.3192286420139885,0.2692532622838908,-0.2533386637730104,-0.3779458418377375,-0.24470594090929287,0.12023085187257787,-0.27141758926840076,0.22304482371095058,0.16243923153720452,-0.19770595642620492,0.10646074912186698,0.6400331766898453,-0.27698694928116385,0.09968719705121276,-0.08722638149550543,-0.01890366324370385,-0.450835913128405,-0.3903966773053631,-0.3313394274223971,-0.43866136713483406,-0.46450469226458235,0.029904070888650436,-0.13797508972687078,0.23222851080917994,0.13234472421357024,0.07303886321944719,0.051828884917311635,-0.25317134348356096,0.5491747906506155,0.34519139213204064,-0.7662338062163198,0.00523519309231224,0.16681207444539203,0.09593765582932123,0.31092038110061426,-0.15861925823964373,0.4277166918958468,0.4376642609407979,0.6596004506658768,-0.31140032039602117,-0.2834965455829499,-0.12504065296318534,-0.007052553767499692,0.2326004254130103,0.0401862403959341,0.23315607727531495,0.307703573087565,-0.3029263893935905,0.39815178741468404,-0.1702123953919341,-0.46094315098677496,0.15957066634669625,-0.3073678983098038,-0.19546287612665392,0.34026472578624567,0.11113218187565344,0.6448726765920489,-0.33853734251998313,0.0061881816156335034,-0.6206282745532476,-0.5225458451695043;0.06889849543929216,-1.2176535159835247,0.27280127918160346,-0.7055279281240026,-0.9798756036283223,0.3953696219970766,-0.28123943293824993,0.19122567682063618,1.6723055695801534,-0.07010763478912097,-0.38136572682903136,0.013774354420736046,0.878247727500888,0.22103457025648865,-0.34423214750075815,0.5153405427399314,-0.03870946542955167,0.4377867985555852,-0.040919759819271206,-0.933509857935011,-0.2403607480470562,0.1490045900423489,-0.30335961179081394,0.4121167587698942,0.053205313257482345,-0.28124092096246045,-0.8256423250473546,0.004591011768901865,0.0012451152615255978,0.3840673000032737,0.07061236543007965,0.29706655244641667,0.3702520446169899,-0.10021924396116333,0.7908377222885967,-0.39850904212691063,-0.586824170461437,-0.5323702780939605,-0.10360144715733455,-0.19128396715697704,-0.1160585927166835,0.1907232202418676,0.8468092987967637,0.023302553181583363,-0.2908754075641049,0.12496861837541573,0.30662671183558743,-0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k{63}=[0.06960666324585824;0.024646681825897965;0.1127833324203486];
x_a{63}=[4.21344951306872,1.5206184865875825,26.259012111156675];
std_x_a{63}=[0.2606769442198409,0.34284564254624456,0.6060624242626375];
pred_a{63}=[4.21344951306872];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.2 to 6.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{64}=[2.92476680059955,2.8111240913187494,20.718618537218795];
std_x_f{64}=[0.2861299147239525,0.47419083545785745,0.41580448623378047];
pred_f{64}=[2.92476680059955];
obs{64}=[3.0741562266535323];
sqrt_r{64}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{64}=[1.0827736298910489];
xi{64}=[0.2990432699796952,0.3630414680808949,-0.12341975369450564,0.3987683504852577,0.2696466847002461,-0.4337770857501515,0.13853858396186647,-0.23862554737988173,-0.06450979438217175,0.1319064872361948,-0.09771166588447056,0.0761648152674601,-0.10654905416882343,-0.529377301229585,-0.0854174768060143,-0.468677767059384,-0.18549870551410175,-0.30326734352954565,0.016763181313188102,0.8141355261434859,0.2125064779955954,0.27955056800253875,-0.0857625614932509,-0.09311384658056765,0.5694591358237764,0.5747785739172775,0.349241892725213,-0.2223607229691953,0.029051605605571407,-0.017072095185688863,0.17787467666921408,0.07067593497836988,-0.27087161190904485,-0.3879081568778915,-0.3097231153106277,-0.3534359037058241,0.27435042386944986,0.09332687001110429,-0.04443792587442719,0.27033876109295196,0.24977808537677548,-0.20668979058577142,-0.14116678503402724,-0.21761115911957774,0.06610361326109615,-0.2313468705495767,0.24459157444127966,0.07513881216695983,-0.18799660633973003,0.09397095769132502,0.5169241889729519,-0.1603731856043802,0.07081301784094496,-0.06104809836082259,0.014767583156790387,-0.4160384089389044,-0.38356570026290404,-0.2791734393127956,-0.36424146405189983,-0.4269021101477821,-0.031709894896370105,-0.1895039555013085,0.09049200788129452,0.028166065995602896,0.07617612652940897,0.029136689289953388,-0.20208890973750382,0.47019582698977613,0.2650754477716397,-0.5118806694095817,-0.046031089339379605,0.17790458569468015,0.041406402956967625,0.19598825969760725,-0.09240354329706335,0.5576103093677305,0.34361344848637865,0.5706876804377843,-0.23435506043746068,-0.22821022094495547,-0.2134121866740113,0.0074473902929708125,0.18921920244308588,0.029771956139398092,0.17099881672425976,0.23344597021782132,-0.20828826916585452,0.2993030352307704,-0.15296115608559369,-0.3315212285541409,0.04700002742793519,-0.2674154282110255,-0.1471341555935295,0.30888102884419544,0.10299503670169097,0.6372764089047758,-0.30015030604877424,-0.03163874946680467,-0.504660826738716,-0.42300614107778056;0.36280862230555444,0.8505235461603502,-0.23550460105252613,0.7604928473387709,0.6682610963451632,-0.6918479859083271,0.26333992781693993,-0.31077980824203255,-0.5233128223146073,0.2055027494149635,-0.026258355652573062,0.08387909962800855,-0.4660740043234153,-0.7641238665211745,-0.006257224344090595,-0.7742319047114177,-0.2450701100484256,-0.5267423162753175,0.03672774959559666,1.3028408981490234,0.3444279215710302,0.3647505283407253,-0.00806022065731149,-0.23411466773261091,0.7779550132377699,0.8395977540388899,0.7128708243069224,-0.34865186784183644,0.03977835673671626,-0.14455928851746025,0.2293610103041721,-0.03543285690881737,-0.4697643441538979,-0.40725327042340087,-0.648022480867608,-0.39728156074011833,0.5531938577576128,0.2668349734066595,-0.05343460432558711,0.4211237493237827,0.35250428149298507,-0.33837891863687863,-0.5808684427662807,-0.2967545065519541,0.19744122734121472,-0.3389871102000317,0.212514964502319,0.346544460597217,-0.33269413936770675,0.18824388776405465,0.9036821051705752,-0.5214261128157465,0.15797666118511033,-0.1356568532222706,-0.08123598945565069,-0.5971539940432371,-0.5408360712792164,-0.4260690280817605,-0.5815777137791049,-0.5848672200032587,0.15806764961518516,-0.04859567579834012,0.56770973594343,0.19184867073349077,0.03627907830497534,0.09386023096310359,-0.3439571718189267,0.7163082466969581,0.4410814646725192,-1.2552993598825155,0.10867867557532396,0.10050121263633116,0.22821945151238499,0.4764994085679608,-0.26887877401824145,-0.08228252560961868,0.6681867816853986,0.8209397690464417,-0.44570225731723223,-0.41159609202609326,0.016808282339993763,-0.04360945450664966,0.33803233086504747,0.1060911269263416,0.25515850387207184,0.4995751575990486,-0.46583180435779337,0.5634291137811349,-0.22557954965512073,-0.5466397611218001,0.3901549369408701,-0.38455666422782375,-0.2600044504520387,0.41475215252858755,0.13219843205069504,0.49861823618820633,-0.43360631044544107,0.2631699007502095,-0.9365727151029488,-0.7033498355215033;0.22159838967839818,-0.7037854299738484,0.13083721007306792,-0.35191361896994167,-0.5994944872248205,0.09394779769490214,-0.13428977848559498,-0.1101932276748947,0.94297796464787,-0.004380280947724913,-0.29643354594903926,0.0748226841696038,0.6945991326850454,-0.061508057960519835,-0.2726073009702894,0.16776021668398045,-0.07227571884628148,0.16451590552717832,-0.021286087197736947,-0.0913066263858795,-0.04382381713111627,0.1545450431731048,-0.2729347238256423,0.21253335553056374,0.22609417763545636,0.09433309366234255,-0.4041313249494891,0.044989190542672475,0.02598558592423572,0.2753100162380733,0.08818426276591751,0.3334707250259399,0.14954132400600173,-0.42280312164466594,0.43421030520333304,-0.3321083598723398,-0.3072595145424053,-0.2961251220667087,-0.02317800836290118,-0.012057098430496183,0.05273147853236537,0.041450015664828754,0.8486842019203493,-0.06928625402871802,-0.20377037548027843,-0.012843544633550863,0.38551245699497017,-0.547595349483359,0.1148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k{64}=[0.07644592332690797;0.11664943784394101;-0.002081510705905963];
x_a{64}=[2.932584415250485,2.823053051224333,20.718405675003496];
std_x_a{64}=[0.30369812163148746,0.5094404916714237,0.416315431562351];
pred_a{64}=[2.932584415250485];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.3 to 6.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{65}=[3.7266766005965675,5.407237377859391,17.040808180490863];
std_x_f{65}=[0.5306451137710612,0.8222602709865285,0.3723114225552087];
pred_f{65}=[3.7266766005965675];
obs{65}=[3.988441233830533];
sqrt_r{65}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{65}=[1.282932045425755];
xi{65}=[0.3652848984130026,0.8283300992126961,-0.19513695813607157,0.7437475128015514,0.6129771021257682,-0.6695297590251759,0.3018336260147789,-0.471759241238737,-0.550209499251554,0.3276679732807688,0.08351554172180942,-0.19091705683064308,-0.9808328167937321,-0.7710240631723972,-0.12337598195616062,-0.7413051652660321,-0.23723142503557382,-0.5000747402755161,-0.04331125187914253,1.4495284217723432,0.44381328964245537,0.2822659276299948,-0.057783468561511064,-0.29205820869973254,0.7866145485293226,1.5602685897961663,0.6919163483338631,-0.20381124753019186,-0.3434906518331191,0.002138777874268971,0.2509613453816604,-0.02060057596985665,-0.43975299177121263,-0.4021470109144283,-0.6451250244763664,0.3735800955863491,0.5083432662136698,0.3167181635417178,-0.07575096982427576,0.45396320898246234,0.338063817151502,-0.6160353255439692,-0.5410905865158053,-0.2949863014896059,0.1597729322978192,-0.3264979795158842,0.2380474108600783,0.48495343266593416,-0.32253423254555225,0.11459400138389819,1.4850016692469925,-0.882225164033335,0.09678898029047733,-0.1519761151590835,-5.941547809111825E-4,-0.40865607890597344,-0.437786480925495,-0.42903090183999115,-0.5564032202683649,-0.6748636444638088,0.10199894497580653,-0.32951264159877924,0.5271157982456964,-0.014516474724796335,0.10654961077456715,-0.08545079769860653,-0.2778459020426265,0.6658052949630582,0.4331553079038635,-1.1106202779134322,0.13131024426442917,-0.22343586878549582,0.11361058870164653,0.47253086646123155,-0.27115935551678794,-0.017265071941985344,0.6148031756751537,0.8085786086410742,-0.5692274633921528,-0.39899199480492653,-0.004443132800678651,-0.18553422101860617,0.34653507808262773,0.45251816064623007,0.2754201172464814,0.728155246037848,-0.4018913909485602,0.5982334041257822,-0.14648756571502197,-0.5502414051299134,0.4144475904917302,-0.37582754557840126,-0.7112615926285883,0.29717479881287634,0.4515884751101167,0.36125244279218904,-0.5151867925066544,0.29901012394284,-0.9414297180344624,-0.7722473514369086;0.4887904831270582,1.3945422833953112,-0.30768020512560046,1.1782940986509614,1.0505443131197172,-1.0113395903664282,0.4821998600378459,-0.6726323183455758,-1.0208000549018834,0.4871927911148237,0.20013327258296787,-0.2998079309374386,-1.60068872428364,-1.131681058217465,-0.12414821155514577,-1.1364653389708845,-0.33205146832296517,-0.7812070628436985,-0.05700597937390661,2.1251804241937293,0.6646853579783256,0.3851059842130651,-0.02186143332334911,-0.4778835322577262,1.0957632607078658,2.2242304132956905,1.1180019245031003,-0.3049486856621968,-0.5163201641710824,-0.054666177983644815,0.3542720772984085,-0.09837941040667797,-0.6825939979423632,-0.5033595997627449,-1.045188566465292,0.6344710138896348,0.8286182452420237,0.5388886505817281,-0.10014634032707015,0.6736964935677232,0.48411222626365724,-0.9220087484927717,-0.9832151839637424,-0.424913982093468,0.29298138543023367,-0.47680086939204713,0.2616979656159968,0.85215788051012,-0.4925966500708867,0.1966976261626847,2.2146001068739114,-1.4457968024299563,0.18238091147189017,-0.2481130786314214,-0.05133737570923902,-0.5893154110220982,-0.631375233936124,-0.6363492458751301,-0.8417447383693748,-0.9712474917092919,0.2625649076485894,-0.36214994265162836,1.0264697112861425,0.05917234296102336,0.11720390009702353,-0.10022424632535909,-0.4335953386745057,0.9808875382179174,0.6546166244903375,-1.8677852596728854,0.2899528396495299,-0.4118164387210461,0.2604283669634082,0.7976503764778649,-0.4580199768794957,-0.4867182545988378,0.9834172732196338,1.1550608591233233,-0.8843591518105471,-0.6221356223404513,0.18241602288826453,-0.2995797896413004,0.539545305447156,0.702851818302646,0.40612035231877996,1.1452385030901988,-0.6696829465094378,0.9428742356722957,-0.21497663423540736,-0.8289748053664256,0.7934073544089619,-0.5445860999203704,-1.0772122993629383,0.422436527453125,0.6504285199810944,0.2770395548177804,-0.7540578266097864,0.6225277832921741,-1.4881464463377303,-1.1818580247352442;0.39054380163207014,0.020319536354968193,-0.04051555163847809,0.22263717334042,-0.06329857579108022,-0.3327193700272275,0.07193331506916323,-0.38483203387974996,0.3704129184189,0.18434918628586772,-0.19886148718062557,-0.08086166932152139,-0.027930733073223024,-0.49914368688748567,-0.30903944058696453,-0.31540057062633053,-0.2214412401959116,-0.1929213816585822,-0.06669832966985467,1.0009656126611652,0.2346324189685376,0.2840030144882242,-0.26634787282540984,-0.03702161116632752,0.7014629881013938,1.2326346093684606,0.1442932305384197,-0.11112080449218809,-0.20492937802402267,0.18292603812536257,0.21051577991178405,0.21634891443639148,-0.17176078403654316,-0.5908154020745364,-0.06476166887311408,-0.04186761595216382,0.08243802584259896,-0.041691854765932845,-0.09381362036985763,0.2643665928863044,0.23704091419231688,-0.34467474683589217,0.3034592974452437,-0.25161461142995023,-0.07172126347195373,-0.2341642501046266,0.4267520601326211,-0.11577959885005384,-0.12704557136665073,-0.033740579505540325,0.9125358102056111,-0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k{65}=[0.22053548855883542;0.33946928242136026;0.09161898004703026];
x_a{65}=[3.768201779921838,5.471156899021661,17.058059347642757];
std_x_a{65}=[0.4458945703329031,0.6892281977753648,0.35880605530361803];
pred_a{65}=[3.768201779921838];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.4 to 6.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{66}=[6.513135426039209,10.40135512505825,16.653049536598363];
std_x_f{66}=[0.7249789899233481,1.0087503977377938,0.9655602759628096];
pred_f{66}=[6.513135426039209];
obs{66}=[6.883912686666385];
sqrt_r{66}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{66}=[1.5402243529268893];
xi{66}=[1.2034749239450298,0.39400331696154023,-0.38169812658289537,0.8212603137233039,1.0512184288198378,-0.7291739643632402,0.11645647739955489,-0.7167985078018004,-0.6237708797228239,0.5556801891901415,0.21776782020978125,-0.17914733660854676,-1.3598001984915742,-0.9418509105395847,0.5791106958585939,-0.8746391419098316,0.16460641680165633,-0.5953461837756917,-0.11131064082761455,2.1010745663163632,0.9434447073464032,0.23688263220505767,0.40108231244100523,-0.33563575621080677,0.9987071739195192,1.8057650019476092,0.9691223998108445,-0.2175294150434821,-0.3323680751320319,-0.1881887548987935,0.16328110403573337,-0.07120335281460388,-1.2601381158400322,-0.16877744460909483,-0.7781448956033419,0.9255841117563017,0.7391526019502983,0.6009766675188812,-0.056867461975583566,0.788547959550959,0.23729133991659346,-0.7055918937617092,-0.9299082971574704,-0.09267612494443433,-0.37045996494688005,-0.3897706396516485,0.40295683583479835,0.9953816929905805,-0.23252290755865346,0.2271972556623627,1.6060665296275332,-1.044922915407529,0.09324375336888391,-0.7406471561176886,-1.4192820693814667E-5,-0.5848577925420146,0.6255435539277947,-0.8456565185045442,-0.7773610095072918,-1.7133414919291603,-0.3796852867470548,-0.6130980065319775,0.9199309448720738,0.036770341997883094,-0.05543894928372506,-0.7057419992795371,-0.4058689161160727,0.3588369574949466,0.28862404427011246,-1.5689913797041495,0.4574168506964993,-0.3810919546652354,0.5856577751486931,0.7301399218746214,-0.35886600905262966,-0.6506062395655015,0.5314932607450578,0.9630697970871127,-0.5555739714964432,-0.42683423518740327,0.2353360483642568,-0.20571533655817653,0.15216105652934875,0.4278460718642485,0.3539475006834554,0.9394229661160303,-0.5814181877708826,0.6269326268451598,-0.44811340097705354,-0.6953679549629399,0.7316702997036604,-0.04131382637463954,-0.9526480704214331,0.40750956970620766,0.6569133375030916,0.25157529260606726,-0.8841212257026836,0.5480982734398481,-1.1789124707838923,-0.7287062318025992;1.534577771839114,0.6704767158021703,-0.5174068135224168,1.1561713477255537,1.5312660515428043,-0.9935102652192214,0.20631381911262636,-0.9439510096809265,-1.020337629045052,0.7623915852838703,0.4005571862045407,-0.22445304041934477,-2.0206794499185303,-1.2754736863012095,0.8965004497135407,-1.2210533794587217,0.2936745523570252,-0.8189724007214281,-0.11485912200748594,2.507579481571801,1.2671717687163913,0.2999701506260575,0.6526387155437092,-0.4674736923937921,1.2219619009522127,2.0960995116376093,1.3775147049492755,-0.2719280859723341,-0.41988604226690107,-0.28668347960902985,0.21526036465485276,-0.13718147413204917,-1.796998097472347,-0.08545273813489018,-1.1336075699340196,1.3327575404519187,1.0655012740850616,0.9006293904043545,-0.03068486651947744,1.0618820144379448,0.32548452862374333,-0.9482109179620775,-1.4418507775338831,-0.06247227538406008,-0.4507177979923256,-0.496345423371098,0.4686768072473626,1.4640869404267445,-0.295908880873613,0.36307761160498053,1.9947680629126872,-1.5578187471787555,0.1877944395504727,-1.033012870558398,-0.022009937407064584,-0.7579733830756705,0.9230572591296262,-1.1550058170246214,-1.0649525665271593,-2.4283748905393683,-0.39941751680755466,-0.6978645278630591,1.4862151564670452,0.16357129353325028,-0.09035792736079529,-0.9494882028943152,-0.5476568319081832,0.46358552524640295,0.42181996416149126,-2.40864294014599,0.7468338428625483,-0.5625463714604333,0.9178135003463215,1.085113895792361,-0.5175247208715259,-1.2998021032894975,0.7792408295767999,1.2103982857850557,-0.7690292004968082,-0.5777454377605533,0.5574694854320228,-0.26756314134267,0.24399152166285099,0.6130019779292706,0.4993861278788856,1.309936197253494,-0.8437498623706592,0.9002270328309994,-0.5903224919827874,-0.9509242362290315,1.179382359443741,0.0028937529914525584,-1.320617096557168,0.5425053767828878,0.8716075727779149,0.09859178803722557,-1.2060778050505654,0.948160077109307,-1.7168769308696117,-1.0081330375913513;1.8592988823347234,0.18820196694191438,-0.5014339927906271,1.0077256552511642,1.1421111687790706,-0.9923448489958631,0.0553476029156883,-1.0928712869591504,-0.320260323881552,0.7422922615883181,0.03770740198388722,-0.27967501495495384,-1.3306286925260444,-1.3462523268731825,0.519316547912986,-1.1238559993533972,0.06190077680529882,-0.7792263121817751,-0.22763316910917553,3.4674106759715286,1.3066764261024595,0.4059959819410146,0.272919971895746,-0.40339855196408436,1.6657653372026289,3.137676570472486,1.1803841234845116,-0.3488599836347568,-0.5234406322965697,-0.13370656897700783,0.2524713797521514,0.048496022963025354,-1.5302162174024652,-0.6265381896804278,-0.834522317091416,1.0587981650996312,0.8566051779540231,0.6121385256206793,-0.17474164798757386,1.0997599421411266,0.3482931604007007,-0.9964586154956567,-0.7363672705468538,-0.27900079364418673,-0.6427179149949787,-0.6261304644190133,0.7834262678380917,1.0581403173880304,-0.34755098590388656,0.17058220661667534,2.5425248817146517,-1.009415966252293,-0.020143504429068315,-0.93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k{66}=[0.35074393668708104;0.4840983264404302;0.44927110514192825];
x_a{66}=[6.6477693060505,10.587177399311258,16.82550330054235];
std_x_a{66}=[0.5615621468151732,0.7858242183143556,0.7674706791366597];
pred_a{66}=[6.6477693060505];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.5 to 6.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{67}=[11.428319921657296,16.31131592713855,24.141093864067194];
std_x_f{67}=[0.5554593684817102,0.30916901667284263,1.7037117748690704];
pred_f{67}=[11.428319921657296];
obs{67}=[11.703969332021167];
sqrt_r{67}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{67}=[1.311644497536503];
xi{67}=[0.5548237222198171,0.25272358250198224,-0.07578947305333728,0.5420071528830572,0.7746069589790174,-0.2341905387794032,0.19955777806702102,-0.26696170906446426,-0.5800708391999603,0.9063559062523492,0.544018754926844,-0.36854838561711034,-0.7063289315999643,-0.5470901012836897,0.026701762780419358,-0.8592314994272261,0.12602804800271983,-0.4162407449870251,0.13304915457377042,0.9398740985567144,0.39431815695032135,-0.2332101687432857,-0.5162779024979418,0.4289153859283328,-0.20371926263558926,0.3469236263795583,1.0516643436926536,-0.43186664155070176,-0.3092786157080365,0.13649373679818844,-0.5053512085627716,-0.3618317354385656,-0.8353090286013582,0.169079524555249,-0.6899767553822613,0.6575768730736016,0.9039058686436316,0.4589338118032469,1.0686771686474685,0.258680089256087,0.18651815736740396,-0.40369188991125604,-1.1096100099870583,0.17287039306159713,-1.032840876147942,-0.1298480751643254,0.7523367320226377,0.30032879868018725,-0.1962877288690077,0.42580506797660433,0.1759386238838001,-0.8045355973314088,0.28639816215474667,0.6341869609313928,-0.02212581532845803,-0.5157862395207076,0.4346447271629472,-0.4717043071789888,-0.4959325073274332,-1.6023498628844273,0.6863949102663653,-0.03983280384640686,0.7180709006911936,0.1814559870405983,-0.28174920105405477,-0.5474037199438762,-0.18961196049020046,0.3585539255806367,0.2920241696850532,-1.0073602709610494,0.4892570713811093,-0.605299254631289,0.7515312016658626,0.18520741004902597,0.24431233542952846,-1.1508387687620658,0.9195538084426467,0.3269756529134398,-0.5189934438537875,-0.7287420641692997,0.46533252736698216,-0.14663835383748136,0.06495752643580133,0.11331692613955369,0.19465714056473615,0.592814615682105,-0.45449072670339064,0.5247537663832844,-0.22532867860202543,-0.48467059256321043,0.9114435797955185,0.15680665233121616,-0.054518373653095864,0.23048965815094213,0.5406356051284433,0.05378074230196539,-0.513467449298636,-0.21450464162127147,-0.44593215342507087,-0.7109003329391932;-0.2557434326289645,0.3854291937563765,0.07945594256209532,0.11430509562394775,0.21856472885853506,0.07230980692340694,0.18717452607754836,0.14612914720897408,-0.42748083853124363,-0.07720090995036344,0.30474937151252135,0.02964579038557602,-0.43923759826844844,0.014458016072921964,0.2767951455117412,-0.22989434417632282,0.2225266443632421,-0.01348927651221743,0.16995720381859414,-1.0484542327957644,-0.0011188379203410648,-0.04718242128575767,0.1245553115302549,0.06759776022005681,-0.28330229842878296,-0.7597946595437577,-0.042522417775213484,0.024696817868250065,0.08000314451303225,0.007887911102390177,-0.08562062789729552,-0.1092192781629393,-0.2809484771590114,0.44535125835959377,-0.2543943556286976,0.17324075533900896,0.06119542682703383,0.24103115998571667,-0.014259044469572046,0.019351770468194474,0.0636702408646137,0.04625405865609267,-0.6604506097975307,0.23623152316341134,-0.21054513356179072,0.15203515089692488,-0.25859958049483467,0.29377677445651784,0.08307019711266506,0.20246164601500993,-0.37319291812693933,-0.4293178827112083,0.22321101486142325,0.039163245756164144,0.013227894715587496,0.05095690811308984,0.22923211756384987,-0.0015937420672393898,-0.0311767060927437,-0.7332988803920362,0.3918002946771715,0.4512825431427885,0.5808289938092521,0.3557360956974094,-0.027073388319049485,9.754403515920274E-4,0.07683915098917282,0.0018838360424560108,0.12293913727824801,-0.7769693485929174,0.3471397154432161,-0.20805396571224577,0.2996146109689981,0.26519967172469805,0.03080868433543671,-1.1847774088485323,0.06393521045373518,-0.2066831576270296,-0.060301634992910635,-0.13436435793475354,0.6536120110895105,0.07632489488342742,0.1449008835294734,0.13064598234196012,0.09688816065933636,0.07363146582813584,-0.1264392746132721,0.1350280167382394,0.10441373627787343,-0.013676654580866199,0.41000999425813944,0.22709325362117738,0.08806548210153409,0.019631588738441508,-0.03108478963893546,-0.5325018030907405,0.012567386216975507,0.42963566105911966,-0.18535014215240508,-0.13582017283956205;2.246139643929382,0.29277609144209293,-0.3361705304427538,1.65500435814549,2.245440548029535,-0.8832020520529191,0.434723804984376,-1.1273166441736784,-1.2346831895233734,3.0837125374875285,1.378405677657998,-1.2743221733767491,-1.6859591284267132,-1.9066187951703988,-0.29851962211554905,-2.62980815052099,0.1377339789673222,-1.3694290025459637,0.24618432239943644,4.472280415159922,1.3684808117831118,-0.6646037484366083,-1.9707866781572996,1.3630273479677761,-0.1874612557835995,2.323901105408602,3.4718644310718574,-1.4892486253445938,-1.1806363868751362,0.5145406154255774,-1.5521817094904478,-1.0152086602191126,-2.447710648015928,-0.08502574021615317,-1.9342596380056776,1.9326131623267457,2.877523774910145,1.2031737589841143,3.4855222482387305,0.8842100497915801,0.5795019368070484,-1.4333984808732971,-2.776561471027641,0.2653983714570778,-3.3244645411056375,-0.6459040287161564,2.8677401763000603,0.6070763495194917,-0.7597357847901769,1.1515404102600293,1.198255884423908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k{67}=[0.23759829597259438;0.05932479327724358;0.7104626195449942];
x_a{67}=[11.462309604738454,16.319802650135,24.242729270080915];
std_x_a{67}=[0.5218208906577256,0.309348556224624,1.6024825709077237];
pred_a{67}=[11.462309604738454];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.6 to 6.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{68}=[13.452879328531072,11.25765391832787,35.706065428133414];
std_x_f{68}=[0.4227766032039111,1.4097470278423168,0.571039478502657];
pred_f{68}=[13.452879328531072];
obs{68}=[13.336940149499307];
sqrt_r{68}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{68}=[1.1827296184312912];
xi{68}=[-0.6284637294631494,-0.10831020604705266,0.238853503146796,-0.1920261750591532,-0.22572458486819436,0.052666125819586185,0.16568576420630698,0.27717857011589864,0.020933389702472383,-0.8204475769398094,-0.10233401129632824,0.4247095058279875,0.19718508598840323,0.5015451224346457,0.20125060916546111,0.5361096039939461,-0.24355997566850895,0.24621751405469716,-0.06829509886406981,-1.5855364661454079,-0.3564465597214497,0.13450317422430658,0.5095644019480137,0.12458362716560245,-8.678976037845842E-4,-0.7236043428010834,-0.8810136644754039,0.3868055947048461,0.4943201956770551,-0.1279806155857912,0.42038364220178437,0.17658518946195656,0.19422686411058798,0.29744331826762505,0.35100154339906986,-0.5080779751110338,-0.01870463472211803,-0.26505983272539346,-0.6281644597909821,-0.6982907508567902,-0.1253600465548388,0.5782489969800242,0.35937958799230607,0.035626017871379645,0.5537745608179474,0.24685941355045493,-0.850400892033564,0.04599534079719092,0.12125258117992033,-0.24626184896467862,-0.5324652829797021,0.22143630976963102,-0.03952840288487636,-0.30737769355060607,-0.054009140985522563,0.3903237513514348,-0.1857472084867311,0.34767912125492906,0.3367410674565754,1.254065441050658,-0.25802265462519536,0.3857627257437066,0.21192790133973283,0.14558140546833087,0.18662810641162508,0.6990441169675758,0.3094728204677004,-0.7194735613939383,-0.13303734597147,0.040423596679346474,-0.08863806719181078,0.14995584331617628,-0.323709851207278,-0.21952568659644278,-0.233000164099062,-0.12779288136391465,-0.6644712687239682,-0.4056492674055434,0.054617475315900776,0.5398863740186304,0.2303564693338167,0.155310854198337,0.04753929029485526,-0.05355130096804572,-0.21924708243575175,-0.17848699760878262,0.15693955221865608,-0.5084406716171888,0.28256017998948835,0.5500793265971016,-0.35519463876560486,-0.32325260695337654,0.17639696499361612,-0.1211827420382594,-0.4098183842647831,-0.80389836122826,0.48396177314962685,0.5532221067273895,0.3626366305004911,0.5050145592226514;-1.526871224132071,-1.1134499998468481,0.6804836841357975,-0.7041804584925497,-0.9396499700959531,-0.08950292806415838,0.30224520536059885,0.5340867005727148,0.7402629745950087,-2.430098136324464,-0.771312196747532,1.3295674443537404,1.3594568243965899,1.536790919503554,0.15670595991599612,2.050506941208619,-1.2943505916865696,0.6978808824653466,-0.5406578975588339,-3.3133220439952877,-1.1110597580108497,0.46914104982207583,1.3273595435844143,0.5256169946446541,0.5122841082256464,-0.910749925758477,-2.6571978254828146,1.1559220620187727,1.5116622474155896,-0.39044771730635297,1.5061364528958272,0.7003014297393015,0.8455615797006946,0.20889779483715465,1.5143974824890787,-1.9069442770815836,0.2182506349476423,-1.2516071657697996,-1.8223288330351686,-2.434542061959384,-0.523690866557537,1.85977793419349,2.277583958214551,-0.2961287956720593,1.9151789120242597,0.5049975660957458,-2.2255772498278166,-0.3130340380675687,0.13496593354566677,-1.1390128125889216,-1.118357637219562,1.3354082559898401,-0.48770798933135673,-0.9121744876371043,-0.23939127565825125,1.0250650716256153,-0.9635010741295584,1.0015127200212923,1.0291937664936217,5.996829437093853,-1.452909180467529,0.3879095679524962,-0.11753169590600798,-0.15430747474626472,0.6044928464150754,2.3685084518528168,0.8811302176042322,-2.431288206520694,-0.6057826043443857,1.3650472898811703,-0.838551457475722,0.6634850808339241,-1.4730652332609697,-1.279235179168145,-0.8036886742271747,1.6411702500916938,-2.166026208077934,-0.8984887118830489,0.04066559158288108,1.92247386028607,-0.33900137953415665,0.323664537615608,-0.12031406348226881,-0.42056226126980434,-0.9273206454361844,-0.5372860981834329,0.6068014898740053,-1.9026581578015627,0.687051833616513,1.8662544019008376,-1.736377728515123,-1.5789497419889589,0.43074158936373586,-0.3705734359168318,-1.195631888084396,-1.7837261782183464,1.485937283123734,0.974804258472382,1.5553922743569526,1.790562145596235;-0.013108865473448361,0.7670254986931653,-0.06875972262469077,0.21193404956303397,0.34737923937623094,0.22573570673658594,0.10891622919417898,0.14693517444252535,-0.632041073535099,0.3623497887290412,0.4785877195808226,-0.2544427917215728,-0.820691703258646,-0.268029896297179,0.3289495248967427,-0.6815807473791438,0.6428662969183279,-0.08300909133584611,0.3625843651932641,-0.4958364704711329,0.22260473184306306,-0.11863085692190367,-0.04854923796233379,-0.20343170256816023,-0.4787723545861553,-0.7930929436612573,0.4405679969701026,-0.17148581824088183,-0.25577554545658643,0.0968097687038707,-0.4313556588538958,-0.24086781745774744,-0.34605197534959586,0.4996750957873175,-0.6035878337195157,0.595709800524304,-0.2592989089509743,0.557965651172502,0.23555943288587144,0.6606869317532684,0.20324882215044227,-0.3890221645144294,-1.3415204778398007,0.3631349488858078,-0.5231316935276524,0.10553003915745052,0.13874828315019272,0.3991413311388641,0.15027247371238417,0.4846261790874493,-0.17763480169090684,-0.7473070449666039,0.3667403065238659,0.1475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k{68}=[0.15449821800662594;0.473295158839826;-0.08819677746407086];
x_a{68}=[13.439974119020631,11.21811965531879,35.713432489747504];
std_x_a{68}=[0.36578073014932205,1.235426523501232,0.5518972328395162];
pred_a{68}=[13.439974119020631];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.7 to 6.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{69}=[8.215582044944801,1.9611691478038598,33.3244909050391];
std_x_f{69}=[0.6247945244141746,0.42236549767966997,0.859115027327919];
pred_f{69}=[8.215582044944801];
obs{69}=[7.918321440188732];
sqrt_r{69}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{69}=[1.3943058309484526];
xi{69}=[-0.6243602228211591,-0.6221691387732449,0.27769887585362163,-0.363063832251294,-0.3834009768193303,-0.10798211717488115,-0.5055647314947453,0.1295456491362632,0.4440839082537522,-1.193944666755713,-0.2049113100966622,0.5503937534962091,0.7618847517609879,0.41803077883282214,-0.12955942643100649,0.7357782134265509,-0.7592148956798077,0.30656631317519967,-0.31312782716927323,-1.202601876237459,-0.14929522686647267,0.10833119422087556,0.46101715422607015,0.20905402862334732,0.5158810446155986,-0.006389473414616376,-1.0690890918468048,0.4050689493717101,0.6881142211911513,-0.15477875372053163,0.7684523813183102,0.12774473238241768,0.42661202020212485,-0.20638429500835542,0.8448037955501064,-0.4830634652192636,0.24561495148985202,-0.6145703352240925,-0.6674146836128392,-1.2821058364460862,-0.3687426535540572,0.663866077065153,1.192900315983012,-0.24621462853761855,0.7999748002855078,0.13765879700535955,-0.809978126768037,0.09192221479715279,0.014558380322105435,-0.3839955097965335,-0.40020820890882813,0.7789869785438182,0.2369832484216765,-0.3910340546802962,-0.19601645182372707,0.376617714850104,-0.3074521611970873,0.6383000721723082,0.28309248969679324,2.6370784671143355,-0.7552678598441744,-0.0627403576324781,-0.21684655097875538,-0.4891879284111269,0.011432686346385168,1.0875660214799048,0.684204442903317,-1.054473248493621,-0.8120941177562226,0.9804767370738912,-0.4609963592139765,0.22106494620826922,-0.7554941556608412,-0.11572121431523463,0.1014218277521639,1.264196589163614,-0.9074810015171408,-0.3711708558871969,0.1854377304479602,0.36202067685588624,-0.4564788373990494,0.43622300549484905,-0.170087383693156,-0.07507751116146721,-0.3520681195855957,-0.2269648141098335,0.26745978773868906,-0.7963775261249602,0.026104410630081176,0.670700728511445,-0.8411053888316058,-0.7779681161713672,0.16006385485982655,-0.11657158589973093,-0.24857380890796144,-0.30538444994076386,0.31094978319124245,0.036087717802097075,0.6406411478374832,0.7920968021844441;0.027701500771721843,-0.6151701058093992,0.07059275772952267,-0.14500348866414536,-0.22009857211479722,-0.15592805943959975,-0.2548037547634112,-0.12342039450211284,0.5610233930505557,-0.42089713830743025,-0.2874235162660017,0.16487369338545532,0.6756736822202436,0.130830911273617,-0.28228463783157753,0.4456188210863621,-0.5492434101562722,0.07789091835004758,-0.2604687980644218,0.2850183780538251,-0.009862366353641683,0.10366514467532273,-0.018930223685925007,0.18754687922606905,0.48255669711125027,0.7937145875194709,-0.3758766908629658,0.10558676616267304,0.15503450096025517,-0.017794805848456496,0.3173248651573757,0.170776766071441,0.3078333117075496,-0.44660216925643503,0.47472191484454385,-0.31645942277992134,0.28493737860167867,-0.4341925208341342,-0.13778396050438824,-0.6734399695295532,-0.16102197952872976,0.21269232361115664,1.0151663702247617,-0.28218289129492735,0.33009538056157384,-0.08525369740306221,-0.06989211151864638,-0.2129343948671778,-0.09659393299589203,-0.306642651744353,0.2008484153526502,0.6191214861383472,-0.12636993907707827,-0.07403946855326193,-0.07163282842540597,0.008324762868809232,-0.2886662118421881,0.1253338460593194,0.10865571537899177,1.5392160654550309,-0.6024324411074904,-0.4584206579580672,-0.4824718263736918,-0.47650594934354107,0.060462043502342855,0.3244883394022273,0.11513233459631378,-0.5187751992177252,-0.3817578297427451,1.0312934476046944,-0.4379292673141426,0.22747530778344105,-0.5034385345643391,-0.3530917540507885,0.011007011927017363,1.6146503154221308,-0.3777563268121036,0.11044468514022565,0.0019823258102678043,0.2972857625701164,-0.7164437418784853,0.04132756926443193,-0.17205800423476103,-0.1323781465723921,-0.2203438007856271,-0.021664673195668005,0.1821452483179269,-0.44525494352004213,-0.06549736722838806,0.2708581075431935,-0.6200484107244522,-0.5782414829802529,0.011046153300523054,0.005331358651227136,0.0024143943799643797,0.30969243684598036,0.11417465121574732,-0.41025124121644674,0.4448383006718992,0.3372486840871858;-1.169828346628016,-0.5785411792475017,0.4296065717690922,-0.5366984852222032,-0.4996889111610159,-0.07155586945656012,-0.6695573134675996,0.341067853265109,0.30305050938923017,-1.769566522427418,-0.12638956952418567,0.8347914961154217,0.7862192340812797,0.6403592250353896,0.006354334811653928,0.9448337186142979,-0.8724365504480573,0.4744678984566235,-0.33023162060221267,-2.4624864352933535,-0.25352733755112666,0.10298840176633206,0.8323727083819321,0.20757773434892357,0.5085847671630646,-0.7277973876602744,-1.5909811844010093,0.6339974100210455,1.0924131888239543,-0.2593758121251426,1.1084196293028228,0.07568566679911015,0.4972949166056111,0.014764121165150357,1.1205539150702748,-0.5938754754231184,0.18914903893482915,-0.7265421584996901,-1.0857315402943328,-1.671010037019684,-0.5321929735653086,1.0052421293553877,1.2957446020158372,-0.19989805270869,1.1487374443758824,0.29390215620943394,-1.395300466943322,0.3346916969009044,0.09430579760745417,-0.4344768628891913,-0.90687208718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k{69}=[0.28279723300033316;0.1532512015084936;0.3782424001350517];
x_a{69}=[8.173374182093978,1.938296202314372,33.268037724150844];
std_x_a{69}=[0.5463121938758752,0.3673317848711651,0.7797945844944904];
pred_a{69}=[8.173374182093978];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.8 to 6.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{70}=[3.515735153057043,0.6853973838812621,25.935071543548244];
std_x_f{70}=[0.23174408580788397,0.34323248926787403,0.6015738024900051];
pred_f{70}=[3.515735153057043];
obs{70}=[3.4183096822055012];
sqrt_r{70}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{70}=[1.0538258174495587];
xi{70}=[0.10922050228810276,-0.1851698047454362,0.11581630776824792,0.02480890727933538,-0.09809780498472964,-0.10209138892227498,-0.042711028039673415,-0.03111215161951808,0.3247068708483605,-0.14228460604776805,0.012095132588539226,0.030368987635883915,0.2740736562631527,0.0399153377930932,-0.3905639162979688,0.3309676578167915,-0.29513957101412647,0.029576508764990628,-0.14489229145858307,0.2524120150298259,0.1748714999206138,0.08462085056262136,-0.10701879971353945,-0.040752692799836066,0.3532958143793383,0.5362346550999417,-0.15624357343001982,0.017746087714655356,-0.0074313394764908836,0.06201095096365972,0.20504719923295678,0.1045420843636915,-0.06316606225259314,-0.23105752939554813,0.1657340167510193,-0.08333645456877026,0.07730433816595728,-0.22539806394240802,-0.0141688478522628,-0.41663593900207774,0.09780859838033829,-0.02677660285198913,0.49917846989710046,-0.20747184619350056,0.1575753309106025,-0.07178903626442512,0.05406884307327475,0.09634541276067976,-0.05351685070739265,-0.26273454239783733,0.15232001463004607,0.3950464047800133,0.00933971986744897,0.017524456080775686,-0.03452070161498222,0.08857081194723238,-0.15993973687749463,-0.00982919396996218,0.05820769699323325,0.5247565569174197,-0.31775956642848113,-0.3836119665107538,-0.23692993054112854,-0.19195010032009518,0.023220789450494106,0.1329653192491671,-0.002129940798391683,-0.2257555939475986,-0.1805995660163764,0.6144892787745491,-0.3531349095920624,0.06822867163802293,-0.17232494934834452,-0.2330086096512467,-0.05465544370750264,0.9107582747147971,-0.3959664021257847,0.18068816304206337,-0.0034763817460836677,0.15347729407624433,-0.30536020173858214,-0.10267918836771406,0.018544047618068493,-0.16654553813212836,-0.171804829656649,-0.020572318056173433,0.17824442982269595,-0.23176446821741248,0.23831436098677905,0.07335175984256281,-0.4623565824871201,-0.25197699179526234,-0.08512207853030773,0.07739567446287898,0.09170129883275235,0.18794107409625038,-0.1350949822669687,-0.27655633961725723,0.030773934818506543,0.10878118714592278;0.5935060839014537,-0.3149181195898109,-0.2531939030462169,0.10687502606034904,0.10125923821766292,-0.03649055428148973,0.09496430867258043,-0.3096159443427972,0.2993390003342955,0.4871261559055229,-0.3196149850112027,-0.2436942718041626,0.24362550241611747,-0.18755664913004733,-0.04267039150000229,-0.3227230457947088,0.014113302219676105,-0.1507850404888651,-0.0038569681009562595,1.4177529356301493,-0.0323525806952355,0.024535348389945977,-0.34700967325997834,0.20583941292112906,0.006462404865444915,0.9949245162779694,0.4673620354947212,-0.19634797627046136,-0.36536486152591435,0.08962128193260965,-0.4371157462579488,0.1255745528164438,0.22432699298087577,-0.359444774574776,-0.1317121047962707,0.005166964207421465,0.2382012991327641,0.04433449720168958,0.4266295370124902,0.27898633196330347,0.001088527853476684,-0.21118781395552383,0.12336957310818897,-0.05494258763387261,-0.3682976941961766,-0.1690999645327047,0.6149561229493445,-0.6173640139521658,-0.09176287363039826,0.06639317264885647,0.6407506795612441,-0.08465089319264962,-0.4702578823329069,0.2701736528157992,0.12970317809710663,-0.45844122619254457,-0.04511104882532613,-0.3718145317928936,-0.09827906199136593,-0.7425464755269262,-0.06354989690643953,-0.3763567594513135,-0.4062060648815552,-0.1813870578769713,0.11745933208328174,-0.6899048039325014,-0.4323132247635302,0.26594946146142695,0.2585048986361269,0.2325911326708855,-0.01738663376234406,0.16750666088396937,0.004496896292428443,-0.26192516997814147,0.015285797907263143,0.6938666604886305,0.4268788413357194,0.4282375121153221,-0.1360218150475795,0.0662473569404719,-0.5244699524138074,-0.21653905242093685,-0.13735148255157648,0.01939435296802483,0.11946751647468579,0.2239928792480932,-0.08283272114948548,0.17089902781234256,-0.4275241644858136,-0.22491599888853692,0.04481623626391795,-0.04202584457489833,-0.01724281056315713,0.08912424645952399,0.19175606405750834,0.7115612336452612,0.05660875283493494,-0.4701369475354349,0.17304351263024553,-0.26833594938838773;-0.5824849239517604,0.06067761757413237,0.5796648519867418,-0.07958002536442521,-0.33737393748895883,-0.16053635262870003,-0.1948763581978774,0.3663388809712771,0.2728195643871558,-0.983128848225487,0.46148005884344556,0.4032428891258917,0.2440701037513584,0.3476079961279446,-0.7492720697169801,1.0864104378532886,-0.6232569283375149,0.26822879896402085,-0.27402162450788836,-1.5116931850202349,0.416439235507287,0.15133540231743225,0.2668309315286628,-0.358720147977877,0.7148978700402076,-0.22478844414289512,-0.9848461049976578,0.3163373036659465,0.47224371812616184,0.024974959792508855,0.9854805670974791,0.061959418799382604,-0.4443425042266256,0.04420020667339486,0.5290951577102341,-0.16018753642022077,-0.15221449442449142,-0.5422000802070102,-0.6073942480616346,-1.2790938797869131,0.19598362018449933,0.24445384048269148,0.8566176651687414,-0.3473620891504332,0.8094045455662595,0.07900668792711585,-0.7312531881932749,0.999596012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k{70}=[0.051076578840919484;0.014452520746771952;0.08463590692453309];
x_a{70}=[3.5068396852508013,0.6828803411203838,25.920331402325314];
std_x_a{70}=[0.22692315434704208,0.34274565624566844,0.5967767722079278];
pred_a{70}=[3.5068396852508013];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.9 to 7.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{71}=[2.1035594952070324,1.8243266639156737,20.12165188540362];
std_x_f{71}=[0.2815786563381745,0.47790742223279264,0.39991275535201215];
pred_f{71}=[2.1035594952070324];
obs{71}=[2.121891331446414];
sqrt_r{71}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{71}=[1.0816983532295024];
xi{71}=[0.4886405006799719,-0.3037703260272284,-0.1623469450673325,0.02281266125191639,0.06103873179412922,-0.056324162659639576,0.053093227427027934,-0.23751292920225708,0.3131914532151563,0.34047198057412453,-0.23602207257429897,-0.17453225828952323,0.2878083093890247,-0.134509989622702,-0.12339486882260764,-0.13820355456895173,-0.04202077229270218,-0.12216677682464971,-0.04106015047856326,1.1962764915103379,0.0128571860040112,0.0384309404635248,-0.4532046332959483,0.151670263179577,0.0625660837062223,0.8996185388088045,0.3295855487236916,-0.17563309731586285,-0.2753539799293474,0.11163176362694704,-0.27222346338217207,0.1377370180170785,0.15913295928231141,-0.34503108086810097,-0.061653990855892626,-0.007107286838188287,0.19052688287674213,-0.007482216415083176,0.32244736084711034,0.12637121003856944,0.02374238454948152,-0.18880427818355394,0.219375458158809,-0.09351971453666064,-0.22903877449033794,-0.07738883318376688,0.4703485080852605,-0.4464194929339842,-0.12979285824830722,-0.01588214269842192,0.5402539998715836,0.04057846373018492,-0.29541509243892605,0.18672045020402228,0.08826980499925208,-0.31103946863259857,-0.08683421271415304,-0.2563801648553945,-0.06139472746458585,-0.408289715562683,-0.14556378821632454,-0.3870148214815108,-0.3604633139722355,-0.19124457921491644,0.10231075245050159,-0.5250335024267196,-0.2570592213585412,0.18873273146197223,0.15681212974691983,0.3643259199403359,-0.14153310036986322,0.13912279446056175,-0.041727130812047264,-0.2644635555327619,-0.002624586550969088,0.6884364929152027,0.24637389690842815,0.42035359782649273,-0.09337012309230719,0.08887449533679037,-0.493216759436917,-0.17398205354022656,-0.08124199436390667,-0.03515459768812912,0.06244797739561214,0.11472411886018419,-0.02662529654967205,0.06866590685430785,-0.2593975714792749,-0.1735107017413675,-0.06316438246880418,-0.09145891887610835,-0.02603469650400747,0.09669634174775688,0.13863199766974388,0.6013725634320064,-0.012407015120452947,-0.42946514445161244,0.08932262725409856,-0.19689163875268623;0.8188468826578346,-0.41731789161163824,-0.37685694918570056,0.11332031478287496,0.17058266606300165,-0.0329374759927763,0.13519326014251076,-0.41899601316950674,0.3449276260245724,0.7306390589338321,-0.44888524346128666,-0.3452955660055721,0.28744331285949043,-0.27042337011656237,0.013142452391823545,-0.5135207183601398,0.08723079832336245,-0.22282772933028983,0.02136606616634995,2.0327047409705252,-0.08064900726594293,0.012874934154794238,-0.547696041903641,0.30174418324855656,-0.08331676751670858,1.2822143603871168,0.7068768743026261,-0.29410494320751934,-0.5044041989566983,0.12057732584573366,-0.6427353233265976,0.16061394621618152,0.342065068169243,-0.4660053198333107,-0.22283775688951613,0.026141659868127665,0.30868634263530215,0.11774967542637982,0.6138898239850761,0.48638568837949325,-0.01599142955362831,-0.29973704728424044,0.048627140719892825,-0.039597433755047096,-0.5384065122125241,-0.1924305797262551,0.8599902599826255,-0.8661020600949969,-0.14090373580087956,0.14665956521360224,0.8851917698316463,-0.20700773349452173,-0.629687616924542,0.3648138268660044,0.19007578063604624,-0.6486637579971541,-0.038101132089026324,-0.5003803173812105,-0.1515157116951955,-1.118940934245611,-0.047909341258041804,-0.46356849352458696,-0.5166368567299471,-0.22480618773955108,0.16381228788193436,-0.9831896365922951,-0.5681965150934072,0.4417593984926067,0.4084123994574482,0.17283364270928758,0.014829279813182383,0.21203157707158748,0.03797479821323435,-0.3240180942613142,0.03248788329626007,0.7041262628211546,0.7051178003593801,0.5781777424583665,-0.18141199219822113,0.05345444275426292,-0.6896494081722828,-0.2780939499980484,-0.1857353396239847,0.06191447834731001,0.20092911203101904,0.2967427317480733,-0.1577753660837915,0.28396465612909605,-0.6350130132724858,-0.3405584968905271,0.1522223997957015,-0.00949500274808246,0.0024770258799053924,0.11217559336923233,0.2368336366261934,0.9766050832875472,0.09596942645817652,-0.6068134405019496,0.215328833267312,-0.40160844437618026;-0.24250091322062062,-0.07867560637874504,0.3583007054889009,-0.21135238479991258,-0.22073903149529883,-0.1417493028182122,-0.13546930952080416,0.2097731353751371,0.3028915855086609,-0.6082404632819092,0.26459275555045636,0.23964636742961076,0.3336670536222215,0.19158498781115796,-0.5316566632725426,0.7808064927541913,-0.39954897033887704,0.1166516918394187,-0.20825275851875347,-0.5539836507621061,0.2855861665891304,0.10562334211328306,-0.3211980416288789,-0.20834729743247848,0.4400053487023392,0.19565936896742286,-0.5843246119472028,0.08459489963694011,0.24149631912212755,0.12652430356152777,0.6277852243600073,0.1314001635555968,-0.2653280892842069,-0.1038974818389633,0.35766815950375985,-0.09398895970207022,-0.07374421037252077,-0.3632238620453414,-0.3287516963473074,-0.8400235342743478,0.11476257348779484,0.06999798763957443,0.689998719925871,-0.2689365822265195,0.522232631946391,0.20075164663716905,-0.39890170384810375,0.5726934862893636,-0.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k{71}=[0.07552785209072851;0.12203563563926392;-0.025946540202360258];
x_a{71}=[2.095579879807047,1.811433440945103,20.12439317098295];
std_x_a{71}=[0.2634732796210918,0.45774552197292256,0.40291396181393];
pred_a{71}=[2.095579879807047];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.0 to 7.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{72}=[2.5806510415181054,3.795234669297179,15.978184347527204];
std_x_f{72}=[0.48818186519090073,0.7870265431993335,0.2851354316984045];
pred_f{72}=[2.5806510415181054];
obs{72}=[2.6886611476313353];
sqrt_r{72}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{72}=[1.245388366593743];
xi{72}=[0.8364307957955317,-0.33748384238859774,-0.5289067520453674,0.14006037303974672,0.264691566600626,-0.23641600472235869,0.13847858364975885,-0.18477498493521427,0.10383327813460319,0.749727475729439,-0.4069157346659269,-0.3253675846352073,0.06777464694447488,-0.45267668658915294,-0.037223256865174914,-0.3141268011135834,0.021236505633432934,-0.1722919700207135,-0.28002692561616493,2.071981833292829,0.05199030048019626,-0.051887298485445044,-0.4774742099450675,0.27830340159809364,-0.5768980964674806,1.3165855540816453,0.773123889334741,-0.3061445119061368,-0.5147311399261452,0.16237252959014015,-0.9381833241258024,0.18058671194752307,0.3455290365895727,-0.3097311815400339,-0.20694673138958875,0.055124607351181965,0.1186840912934719,0.08910826045220555,0.6599188178796545,0.4076630051701753,-0.011622526384992948,-0.38912229065006665,7.099036305695527E-4,-0.0397080840339874,-0.48912268661188607,-0.18653243496436778,0.9019768032800575,-0.789105705872718,-0.22149979308138024,0.11160953400105633,0.9965002073782143,-0.34221332946633476,-0.6206681306333806,0.3643607122021715,0.19811050160432586,-0.5881521044105023,0.26482935676524333,-0.33698624873895877,-0.12872628228383887,-1.0220804851795031,-0.23424607666718744,-0.4822543356560698,-0.45285788892389567,-0.08158887460494713,0.41514449783144736,-1.0380078007435714,-0.46662964864587986,0.4383560302964149,0.5640907698969779,0.2567742783024731,0.0366650307793468,0.180325449455077,0.041786268093185086,-0.2057262285448589,0.06702375390459192,0.7722678760920072,0.7169970982302174,0.43091599458438834,-0.14408520685327675,0.14634910408989033,-0.7001181900254503,-0.25502676823269077,-0.3978418936534678,0.18715436696200616,0.23290716402037326,0.3308592518521474,-0.11991531291723367,0.2085020446937036,-0.6503406597012065,-0.4211711289951152,0.14155628553882504,-0.007838164044844387,-0.1493815534501608,-0.16876310599848,0.06733081309288824,0.9981432017117293,0.28077544272646016,-0.5159693354931845,0.335032581013734,-0.20475027377186406;1.322133236973317,-0.5087171637706391,-0.8727784408331059,0.25628116152742164,0.44791000653512425,-0.34644751916512817,0.23775738271893454,-0.31050466272176447,0.09630515714886645,1.266970711031496,-0.6715154228593452,-0.537801823572559,0.03512238984479055,-0.7353717087207059,0.03350495306766099,-0.6114350209144375,0.09331433970100278,-0.2822470050090491,-0.4058895975180361,3.2491538131060707,0.03536322743960163,-0.10450542885954217,-0.6840174654233815,0.4634686446910048,-0.978470296351643,1.9625409874973552,1.296866517504958,-0.4856121398562565,-0.8336125739303157,0.2315285224736381,-1.5548983120413902,0.2555217892098667,0.5707361330142908,-0.45233807605866794,-0.38024468034907466,0.10185420916193744,0.18795540396094035,0.19918045454997824,1.0742139130627337,0.7766255519859793,-0.037592298645153566,-0.6076238792902529,-0.12159061389905634,-0.015524958912579212,-0.8318984507973686,-0.319885152897192,1.4651126580092408,-1.3056193624580175,-0.32175088575084754,0.25359481031934683,1.5673648334196435,-0.6449666203330922,-1.045020965534564,0.6033548822566348,0.33639892877368505,-0.9854130891947817,0.4646148911252168,-0.5693969558126457,-0.20985630381979403,-1.7706339006571334,-0.29789693127912376,-0.7027547530466851,-0.6916254681408534,-0.09370547364865622,0.6548070463086844,-1.6911021984376906,-0.799527317027275,0.7521587005128656,0.9593500910532975,0.22345947802691812,0.1653297174166708,0.2832371801096607,0.11715349543339482,-0.2875296687090376,0.12483625681515909,1.0153838695782942,1.2741253308107585,0.6324665624234131,-0.23592122704327956,0.19436985758721015,-1.0736876749220876,-0.3998604189833306,-0.6468208400838864,0.3452794565455144,0.4174127542721213,0.5623536571143295,-0.23555283725454546,0.40654052358238113,-1.1065577334500714,-0.6921722780479227,0.3408074534163137,0.04205605540664603,-0.2174711563535956,-0.28311997711250303,0.11110209192168163,1.5667632589483023,0.4999976900645202,-0.7837089356763287,0.5591836369101579,-0.35072800919482505;0.22166076338432816,-0.23227303404202537,0.07405203168688601,-0.1289090474454362,-0.0859891814414091,-0.1963344332295609,-0.061205457363252336,0.02525651651054517,0.30134865608067685,-0.11204667590996209,0.004689681647001009,0.022110763760608165,0.3071902066850285,-0.027686235547379923,-0.4390019845624309,0.4191883778201344,-0.30736591762253695,-0.015247290999901963,-0.2505704631964836,0.836097484470347,0.20205176514950196,0.04795612133823823,-0.47542123763412114,-0.047027402513782235,0.17781407590200615,0.8577208143629385,-0.08748752026816398,-0.08713212979619023,-0.03970916204047015,0.1428700218267558,0.17080120244371955,0.15678625298683357,-0.06410878887307803,-0.2540287408934745,0.17099287298179888,-0.0701752122159558,0.005971258972152782,-0.2549132877003579,0.04672700648510997,-0.4600105111551631,0.06192279350793228,-0.11365123873702387,0.5227389932958602,-0.24434882680916914,0.17769006162915346,0.054815064123214796,0.14094033485783086,0.11071685635894823,-0.21974067308311085,-0.3355214737945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k{72}=[0.19703762551187448;0.3165522977486541;0.028734607546101354];
x_a{72}=[2.6152076653303715,3.850751876438659,15.983223847068396];
std_x_a{72}=[0.42698648681187346,0.6909175294865311,0.2813903769377599];
pred_a{72}=[2.6152076653303715];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.1 to 7.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{73}=[4.744806195662299,7.941668113459449,14.15393933620981];
std_x_f{73}=[0.7863967664858679,1.2465234602333457,0.7147174855730193];
pred_f{73}=[4.744806195662299];
obs{73}=[4.925056272278777];
sqrt_r{73}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{73}=[1.631194666267677];
xi{73}=[1.1245907704123228,-0.5046603496546282,-0.9493833817426314,-0.08500700673406314,0.4098375072141298,-0.6179106760127349,0.2473848785164776,-0.3732985204490227,-0.1734784337201436,0.7406387692021896,-0.16244418416012696,-0.33100616092628155,-0.11091607817475158,-0.6825712867522098,0.3355867667540249,-0.614204014465427,0.34117548575612666,-0.32385146744189,-0.6788047864353981,2.9545981649458497,-0.13930564962743208,-1.6935188762269378,-0.2659515929481264,-0.03066463625298077,-0.6454660874647091,1.6100068283120068,0.8791606765103364,-0.7254540129461242,-0.1408642747957174,0.20642817999946939,-1.818678959529295,0.293839507173109,0.5096649406430558,0.37943952488976596,-0.35375098854616205,0.09535069112617212,0.47058189700722597,0.13680063142430932,1.0748079944980757,0.5958662845657701,-0.13358890422524805,-0.7599494603402221,-0.3812915367745262,-0.43959559552671035,-0.9695639645894167,-0.34552741454594926,1.1783361856615322,-1.3079056951316845,-0.5439125075072084,0.3236028744333357,1.1711024240661523,-0.4231863015059405,-0.7705658323805036,1.5612443014295545,0.23641080075840382,-1.372456605900445,0.5942494752866052,-0.44191819502934404,-0.11802579461407348,-1.7363916532400192,-0.14451201487691367,-1.0829471532880186,-0.276371504051669,-0.2908641155893772,0.7173654008775232,-1.581251790750382,-0.5878750198165852,1.4776051692717518,0.9174866158373858,0.16293985778927667,0.11706176070823204,-0.2964001778550456,0.19776576276836533,-0.3278564496265002,0.12583120064126874,0.6340986177570187,1.181954833764383,0.6699808039465784,-0.09562390190419467,0.2286950149483884,-0.9915488187166233,-0.3918093145725523,-0.7216255242403573,0.19457656847979354,0.8591994996718819,0.6007172944520605,-0.06099386860637068,0.6282866487909757,-0.5772126824431103,-0.5889060040685425,0.22139388407951355,0.7382193410785192,-0.22067557908717284,0.032317682709872564,0.3378480467285083,1.6901787609211532,0.9059721416710307,-0.8016027714672691,0.44435582517215444,-0.35140871537251694;1.746929480324364,-0.7621505040074705,-1.544664361688124,-0.0939874888247818,0.6876781570499544,-0.9511667960163237,0.42864847510111215,-0.5847763680903517,-0.3137945364365544,1.23096505522376,-0.24725766431138574,-0.523370080543252,-0.21407454144574434,-1.0855597382239264,0.6407113456374569,-1.0516710812379646,0.6194826048071507,-0.5032010088035452,-1.045840282039057,4.2456998047401955,-0.24069786609929888,-2.771766071684711,-0.3356935053042456,-0.01790190771886735,-1.0736696977883717,2.327595309081677,1.4472363256440604,-1.1522417482138971,-0.20972555556354955,0.3227928291084572,-3.005483028768567,0.4471537052636885,0.8485993483506062,0.6663399205715281,-0.5855143043502249,0.18585194920896786,0.768032976235685,0.28740227988391087,1.7102105563272412,1.0738382681772984,-0.20696984046976485,-1.1952231419853545,-0.6968505056602128,-0.6453968804502193,-1.5931796616789375,-0.5506073180119015,1.8394644015063113,-2.1345974536144148,-0.8246668644534587,0.6068338741503725,1.7971169985912452,-0.736892661738703,-1.271727412181546,2.445616039194161,0.4122117331953854,-2.2527343207504575,0.9940546035410192,-0.7162159668122552,-0.1810344054926789,-2.923206120444224,-0.1367703871638124,-1.6868139712464636,-0.39295657439036624,-0.417501445035076,1.136500106955526,-2.5977352112114334,-0.9655276096101524,2.3611491195238896,1.5070034290027587,0.13090777936352627,0.3032404111116547,-0.4646596150347895,0.3775672955449876,-0.45824935243523335,0.22623555231288517,0.8195294434506168,1.9789397576112515,1.0148818965845967,-0.14040166120763597,0.34503361667110344,-1.5545904489144844,-0.600130140555204,-1.1529389668891312,0.3645002345408015,1.408540452444405,1.0087888193919676,-0.10807428714345502,1.0759166788053127,-0.9660925480295157,-0.941907376377654,0.4744965926037965,1.2368925623523337,-0.3124282951034667,0.05164601713944261,0.5643256247810919,2.563179965114924,1.4824482447749228,-1.2433469206830816,0.7402886850334722,-0.5688428240956744;1.089390971645317,-0.6031778908463075,-0.6736252704704473,-0.24892462602496224,0.20969240078670914,-0.6743084879963437,0.09726509087132307,-0.3174463821167226,0.03064848038622614,0.45035876806398,-0.13704729815554018,-0.26618696758113103,0.09417365414918955,-0.5656103366923109,-0.09845412311451796,-0.18004353311288668,-0.0036549686834970174,-0.3102380268062195,-0.7550024736989407,3.6565820183472546,-0.016620004230629704,-1.2054106672624396,-0.5925485206766616,-0.14753970226876412,-0.3553945955574367,2.0749634196476237,0.6028439973443316,-0.6555104211016012,-0.14739325316994645,0.22241401997960786,-1.0758481771221948,0.3022569895928733,0.3090126854565014,0.1186353357210237,-0.1891553279370548,-0.028833329054251067,0.3576068585811889,-0.14416990221199555,0.9189730616209921,0.06992063236177692,-0.11190355878814451,-0.6989228635587867,0.04596244333762378,-0.5929548193566401,-0.6045091087125325,-0.2820242605665424,1.0667451140090822,-0.8397319118420956,-0.6310944762179282,-0.04875338474372448,1.2097718383859757,-0.06325081779039188,-0.4874036708795568,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k{73}=[0.38695238485049016;0.6119404101941129;0.3274174886767498];
x_a{73}=[4.846855948461727,8.103053260658934,14.240288135415629];
std_x_a{73}=[0.6653867401797553,1.0559556546448254,0.6212978164156433];
pred_a{73}=[4.846855948461727];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.2 to 7.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{74}=[9.462927632857063,15.294382195318033,18.4787493858491];
std_x_f{74}=[1.0165895285025135,1.1554351851453164,2.0538285426548777];
pred_f{74}=[9.462927632857063];
obs{74}=[9.683967518076829];
sqrt_r{74}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{74}=[2.04324619582548];
xi{74}=[0.9845814898154703,-0.35428045010384324,-2.815423527358864,-0.12897271945385747,0.5294723490858058,-0.5106771434491328,0.22554791096508886,-0.436152548014336,-0.24394958422231028,0.9366350859194128,-0.15299711315905995,0.26650407998257286,-0.055657987239671414,-1.5844254217930205,1.7540933014359297,-0.9176476545913008,0.05174429853834184,0.3242461564788588,-0.7310836817745834,1.7860814317893468,-0.092774440398383,-1.528115991341502,-0.2597317329519164,0.5692893396571623,-0.6093022581568714,1.1604932291620464,1.37127705740461,-1.806934611525791,0.22226800322613194,0.18191271556106692,-1.104808965434854,0.4828042838849633,1.344873281623812,0.5794157792940098,-0.1491640137839667,0.0749246637103802,0.4442688554053582,0.1458195932549078,0.8590309088153489,0.7393941089486304,0.09947238551325732,-0.8764540009896429,-0.8077707237780594,-2.7832201269011625,-0.9645321917975878,-0.9927371320978295,1.2303548355199663,-1.3805915805996776,0.3720513631117104,0.567265062398782,1.2858171227514141,0.07147538210489124,1.4134926146514157,1.3136793400571136,0.30933855980692826,-1.5669119639731068,-1.0158211289181995,-0.35966692924761645,-0.08619965251823558,-3.197178406863669,-0.509874257513923,-1.2940018568913558,-0.14963711210149455,-0.07527758274397556,0.742396481382535,-2.062802764314281,-0.4169526998886841,1.0139363915919901,0.9171719532961085,-0.6315809535569112,0.07599557946032931,-0.17435901519073838,0.010565762964255043,-0.43781628614356727,-0.04701559408767508,0.7707205322544546,1.2825405110957586,2.1183530118936567,-0.5439252789825932,0.3736995100946032,-0.899355397856473,-0.81507502618153,-0.7425518942658549,0.37244232842434677,0.5124111012202182,1.3842790693221332,-0.1473012447249129,0.7242419276938925,-0.5557543769702722,-0.8372331166632048,0.9914178500057069,0.6637377806012985,0.15751238974965887,0.27290396159668084,1.8763986859220338,1.9077877651496777,0.9309537604806231,-0.5575465971433164,0.36469875401629537,-0.7505449604321761;1.0039174990109423,-0.22717720350670412,-3.6298151441537136,0.031106878602990662,0.7074695667698983,-0.4159048693590375,0.3916359612696336,-0.3927048621783449,-0.24743360118980817,1.1117316604743124,-0.06945400699056847,0.37554440771446806,-0.04319974513389013,-1.8376806683942792,1.8777947796585046,-1.104856783501658,0.2813494180096736,0.454431128263602,-0.6792151109127023,0.9230580389879393,-0.0392356548261894,-1.8466285327216792,-0.0337577538932603,0.7367199098633321,-0.6713294676758021,0.8153484131732576,1.4640003521974805,-2.1277711695307566,0.34523024427766735,0.2722972118910967,-1.3830483946644652,0.5708144392821719,1.4253051774901735,0.790947196494951,-0.110896498652993,0.22644773049337452,0.5776050190874749,0.3695893736421034,0.956061009480301,1.0606362501023199,0.20570275596312193,-0.9014501512429298,-0.9834579541759663,-3.481296137061193,-1.1143422065323119,-1.0651382348473497,1.2292380496949598,-1.6599535869728221,0.5598159486853262,0.8376351548188374,1.1915196973674078,0.0446226101920697,1.3194711486359907,1.2807778909249095,0.4752318821768373,-1.906078838902264,-1.027529977433769,-0.3333922646393024,-0.004567268275282643,-4.3779776285517915,-0.32471677327058046,-1.3809517985937987,0.009100723322763571,0.09722438165755776,0.8338020560577846,-2.5937429360543973,-0.4301686333936825,1.1132660617155956,1.0810394363898155,-0.8390855643439501,0.375313386314863,-0.08378545086071831,0.20961645931472006,-0.3049078664846743,0.0949389615534475,0.5278482479258404,1.4918035871094304,1.7636363519821536,-0.5115296926667696,0.45822351739208145,-0.8970177032626339,-0.8135538893039627,-0.7594136503956719,0.588069130661566,0.6965393435838596,1.4845898248537814,-0.10444339639760258,0.963978772544742,-0.6184750926863227,-0.8768090399956385,1.298678004620296,0.881051550964628,0.32613185077389595,0.39633375431738216,1.7760694987635475,1.5224791876220465,1.0849000701921554,-0.4759457484627969,0.5289031712637318,-0.7867531835004691;2.1751152003295218,-1.0051179075859586,-4.948921996166202,-0.5566056692376122,0.8672929173894808,-1.2837125552745512,0.23977703291515695,-0.9989156577429981,-0.4547478817243942,1.7418382128329775,-0.4409085650017559,0.4485543564925898,-0.054112853444081566,-3.1078461314527868,3.488000378318173,-1.6027360794982286,-0.29969106221071584,0.5290053851342051,-1.7371845007657782,5.245866079663113,-0.19800831541861896,-2.793672297632419,-0.99462716066121,0.9713504355652276,-1.154173862962061,3.176058405201921,2.7969340247255445,-3.523950487080983,0.3158976102348383,0.30104822664773323,-1.823216358445947,0.9553417798334429,2.7568183632215266,0.9191406320708531,-0.32527885397568923,-0.07763586154899826,0.7788096119446983,-0.07619213244483802,1.7674586260942746,1.0332657803307441,0.08386344382643074,-1.9002892575865005,-1.368020138495286,-5.220765478180773,-1.8077861825986083,-2.035316642130052,2.685332664323319,-2.516119255812436,0.4922458467248312,0.7590567700815498,2.976699829160758,0.31505286175369207,3.23163610320227,2.9204134117486937,0.41584126179378345,-2.83648693625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k{74}=[0.5105827178129184;0.5689421449393718;1.0159202424402825];
x_a{74}=[9.536522644622867,15.376389091341139,18.625183371150786];
std_x_a{74}=[0.7145010215974965,0.8353862625700356,1.4478824322453248];
pred_a{74}=[9.536522644622867];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.3 to 7.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{75}=[14.415232105391595,16.16492869906878,33.07931540726845];
std_x_f{75}=[0.27096242173321405,1.2755762069956698,1.7152662678522383];
pred_f{75}=[14.415232105391595];
obs{75}=[14.621910855390237];
sqrt_r{75}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{75}=[1.0734225804846267];
xi{75}=[-0.013881744010163288,0.20139120992811677,-0.6829618107818973,0.19235620078108617,0.023535893224966742,0.1982447166193193,0.15888542454211674,0.08876479994781938,0.022237195947683475,-0.01993242148588159,0.13876445344091515,0.15670220539254665,-0.08499967402714148,0.033065957899957255,0.07395705335521718,-0.04432594145492885,0.23775844159481352,0.1534126864376546,0.17756347371268433,-0.8460872064485709,0.06285791590818057,-0.24652202746843344,0.29162090404158114,0.144407156644613,-0.40434216354037034,-0.36162210739573375,0.050913821545860216,-0.22000409949924027,0.0946154918238129,-0.12068319940520666,-0.22653068199957715,0.08790739218245669,0.04709965031709196,0.19164949477075588,0.0646888842562543,0.1501544848021652,0.11537071078294936,0.2739864147526667,0.06193990601649979,0.3266472163029146,0.11207000898529351,-0.03229679493955473,-0.03998161043581305,-0.5650918835923324,-0.10348293100178729,0.10519011472520923,-0.03292153733100456,-0.146698861548618,0.1948619833305969,0.2404806988672341,-0.15805850965959145,-0.2745662970842879,-0.42963885363646526,-0.07191913406812667,0.20301720739676732,-0.09563632882340656,0.08080493164778169,0.09636942845636476,0.11166249158249641,-1.5400824937739035,0.3004066259873017,0.045282211849267284,0.12013776587598457,0.23804245670374868,0.07948476727928977,-0.5187123325491605,0.040514638642742185,0.05038628807892387,0.12356990100652965,-0.15557115677261635,0.33142453456716403,0.09065848272883414,0.245635971324063,0.17338694579013314,0.22660814276341767,-0.29549294816799687,0.13154092402556827,-0.3895321653907544,-0.10570600315195477,0.07364862278169326,0.11067899213528065,-0.015399475984752442,0.047416001312900136,0.2314901347305991,0.1870753204389093,0.04615671113801412,-0.15252545697488173,0.22963805879344434,-0.23515608663873344,0.04861791338081112,0.2804068640628259,0.23393002392747597,0.232703430888904,0.14499395636498846,-0.13499766828331694,-0.4127807974078497,0.13451423401482465,0.10390329834013023,-0.06785904545788668,-0.02120779070693324;-1.1061531357800387,0.29743331733612877,1.4641727945252931,0.4739872097145863,1.3242618477555474,0.09482626247470449,0.26658524963456287,0.5575189757086534,0.2535516528957622,1.3599283465133993,-0.020999820344254516,-1.7210163119868458,1.096789698321743,-3.3067916097327448,-1.7176650469862746,-0.4639463221140989,0.6353034590104016,-0.5473050607264636,0.3376488545548213,-3.09030475539217,0.15698354622734456,1.1229847251305998,0.46754746377164125,0.04287196048352371,2.570807591684318,-3.2217114305153185,-1.1617861209653775,1.4891604302271375,0.4713473686055387,1.7793956430355422,0.5715937177405159,-0.4622985850761161,-1.4135263730968397,-0.07277431741212936,0.13595264320570877,0.5610335212782864,-3.6412588688123133,-0.37175417923826615,-0.7306064854215979,-0.7502422920244616,0.09929982969283913,1.4535646472338009,-0.48825025197822747,1.8900738559275219,0.864955892350423,-0.2881957547728522,-1.3434751906451439,0.511780081997891,-0.0824407232616764,0.3330920042274279,-0.8163181447140424,1.7774359792553618,1.4085333841257253,-1.6849463664383038,-0.773926887063821,-0.48455804608445163,1.0251879676719504,0.0931823040030828,0.157196916429708,1.964390262379787,0.2838730042649189,1.1872700266506904,1.1696477850864078,-3.09594007324109,-0.8775201145176723,1.565715539806746,0.1433684269250044,-0.3827399492939243,-0.3570300971502842,-0.08687159467950067,0.3970922061370885,0.6690041533848508,0.02948921925346326,0.9295946733321827,-0.8322325068317369,-0.7085373051775026,-0.10783213108206269,-1.9425650119025306,1.9885548856825324,-0.25052948097475003,0.7935045225904602,1.535162680830279,0.730215258838502,-0.23072621487190936,-0.3350820364841738,-0.8586764590657001,1.9174512000753303,-0.46605749687797093,1.7958609148599471,0.6539265806523282,-0.3647943744711757,-1.93972460318974,-0.9102696714249934,-0.4456593691045878,-1.9784312525180532,-2.366804542453597,-0.7921628777939063,1.143754853924218,1.9205375376448828,1.128036368619771;1.19411800659703,0.2733808557190329,-3.6001503106160655,0.061560595345838465,-1.3525887229594424,0.47976441615995213,0.19265531906836486,-0.3282124039964671,-0.16104253476941466,-1.553256278807421,0.45215356111273763,2.265990680094717,-1.389128091393605,3.473865972373325,2.0295999378273493,0.45540769338623477,-3.07819997154013E-4,1.0509515012228832,0.1597795168168048,1.1240257676978658,0.06830932928708933,-1.8908127379125474,0.33195322337790145,0.39885112890952,-4.135513250441612,2.457624226019739,1.4004418265343261,-2.2776129641683163,-0.20679517198905017,-2.3110699604331693,-1.183164211361479,0.7845006701602344,1.6601561767744428,0.6466207162776598,0.09102256840090917,-0.17106220333337774,3.998097954389735,1.1846242869283046,1.007642267890354,1.6977499730645746,0.2597170605993071,-1.6625655407022002,0.4633079665328239,-3.8249615369834373,-1.1880115325909166,0.6425015325049586,1.383775679126714,-0.9121073829844093,0.6651245819869231,0.32954402834982943,0.5168759818497435,-2.7553002289239608,-2.7732813862046726,1.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k{75}=[0.06840044342227093;-0.058200685300069645;0.2632579077061548];
x_a{75}=[14.441434552928534,16.142633516071584,33.18016272886799];
std_x_a{75}=[0.2615695305132367,1.2722044906054815,1.6853675435480564];
pred_a{75}=[14.441434552928534];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.4 to 7.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{76}=[10.770780920379968,3.2863099034359964,36.91933661386937];
std_x_f{76}=[0.9155148488983311,1.1386571711309923,0.9157147534885025];
pred_f{76}=[10.770780920379968];
obs{76}=[10.6242471202655];
sqrt_r{76}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{76}=[1.8435176113476097];
xi{76}=[-0.7277823209128425,0.06909776158897785,1.5081857531305563,0.1411675374002499,0.7188979601275527,4.983137232326129E-4,0.038136893525715365,0.30784253261390226,-0.22032653627592502,0.9321869507059866,-0.18005343056393563,-1.3268320617047902,0.7860578141424082,-2.1024935077935094,-1.138410174015,-0.3950348948634339,0.28353469369210593,-0.3980674017063457,0.09630279484163218,-1.487958474409817,0.039935680102599846,1.1360654342051806,-0.2754090456049614,-0.0804718879147277,2.0544245718502996,-1.8641054434433908,-0.8757488026555098,1.226117371589515,0.24864023241937971,1.051438183598485,0.5719701167614204,-0.3900940420116914,-0.9317733742886585,-0.17783611536049726,0.04944399716997161,0.4844361766386811,-2.4617861003751713,-0.7258639177475796,-0.5262717966464532,-0.8141151377597104,0.16225397252118867,0.9865439958259277,-0.11190227470316394,1.6079927617225014,0.6632665338453769,-0.17800562974647072,-0.6986701684259451,0.4475359575369584,-0.20148643967003466,0.032949856429420166,-0.4908539531231604,1.4224307226011135,1.2611501337369742,-1.0014367188061737,-0.701696887549728,-0.3332759482241219,0.6629545482680061,0.07859417698140625,0.04962403547352423,2.6285657718822932,0.12588001467077525,0.7042558828220908,0.6437433912332917,-2.17241694926601,-0.7310264352949147,1.547903263506436,0.07812322625748358,-0.22292556457127333,-0.2847070724221563,0.13732012748270783,0.015171815972101044,0.34868414554451554,-0.2706527001019321,0.4855112199842626,-0.6704269350791421,-0.25404453365149493,-0.24409860407318718,-0.9956129169742827,1.4274388237635005,-0.08667891985783349,0.5107992805592936,1.0105623480723676,0.36099495782296565,-0.36959075578010925,-0.3611663228085238,-0.6143693394439715,1.3988937209511612,-0.5818277177984577,1.4740958492952672,0.5253058141457743,-0.414757461740761,-1.4147446938147237,-0.8286338637291131,-0.4294273659744672,-1.2462501587418728,-1.4088639445741062,-0.715813079638254,0.6889681857058498,1.2505362318419238,0.6533662853554603;-0.6887454408371032,-0.18756894948191016,2.503863849331495,-0.16256844417429228,0.4882339962906954,-0.1749976829529758,-0.201017437447796,0.19725600871025817,-0.6415275173367507,0.9282033410264843,-0.4218959772117201,-1.620613083591506,0.8864401968170226,-2.1105137527764004,-1.1678205024286354,-0.41507881666625224,-0.016228943813378027,-0.49579643194071776,-0.14055532142032634,-0.3203011505465332,-0.04482607626156865,1.6995389507478063,-1.0926443976834959,-0.256645750700927,2.5159975257573004,-1.3858367529952036,-0.9870018083052203,1.5676189892927335,0.12912538933417306,0.9077096130454247,0.9445008870898448,-0.5054040250713832,-0.9249613178441893,-0.4081186583934966,-0.008937925916364886,0.5154475861869621,-2.696850255831473,-1.3914912571678812,-0.5660288715746757,-1.331853649677196,0.2268405802856317,0.9825750625859992,0.20347674432484375,2.257422885337612,0.8201728986483152,-0.1987037860098022,-0.425876515431451,0.6786827106515276,-0.45600998308075047,-0.3053872087514016,-0.291500680490965,1.781237522587002,1.8505082552739083,-0.7993874948378443,-1.0012928850698626,-0.24266698797945807,0.5685988929328287,0.057899559159788616,-0.060933051041053954,5.063080001361489,-0.12391348994820728,0.5484904948139824,0.385639015997179,-2.5290116825530156,-0.9141731368701054,2.380760591060218,0.060067370157960376,-0.19240912071012195,-0.3855094456152939,0.5038643365063544,-0.4572118010254438,0.18323817074476212,-0.715772103544027,0.2131541889191686,-0.9154700920892593,0.22761370845422535,-0.49581311054466903,-0.3878502860644719,1.5029969693882306,-0.018394606745204545,0.40530801789823245,0.9502782542434787,0.18969726602276937,-0.7204796896492929,-0.5908018403088713,-0.6538757035612126,1.5348730618312842,-0.9965844868434544,1.8444190669916525,0.5997097445426594,-0.7515263856579133,-1.6987657117348254,-1.1881303837576862,-0.6309593310568178,-1.072293369950856,-0.964704093070957,-0.9776647537778702,0.51320561894455,1.171434766304623,0.539721328221157;-0.8436460367467262,0.23520939948475217,0.9221279122886372,0.3544610478622232,0.949079952741144,0.09682236160472257,0.1947964381459073,0.40116039395242353,0.06632799734589412,1.0105850859520586,-0.033097094585741615,-1.1662647020538799,0.7711952206672379,-2.168404113635731,-1.2141210454441946,-0.4217031925061505,0.5066621094049424,-0.37831720796996393,0.25779717497648136,-2.504057078379951,0.08008205708664917,0.8242466690908401,0.29684263157022883,0.03437477837155711,2.0100239166786054,-2.3151518675970664,-0.8633850168282322,1.0953657859998742,0.3347119415731825,1.254050738620819,0.3270250684659999,-0.3582319582368214,-1.0187039154243536,-0.035893602639035294,0.07635523886847295,0.4708946861909524,-2.285254126498643,-0.2626172217870675,-0.5539159116204502,-0.48420564804436594,0.10020802863409273,1.0893726423834877,-0.39361245012823787,1.2894174639649734,0.591375794749915,-0.210250726133431,-1.002201086471871,0.29517247944188085,-0.04702661148737519,0.2688040784818071,-0.7073581247557001,1.3206575375523002,0.9441137075604971,-1.240680776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k{76}=[0.45755874864195034;0.5354264371057341;0.43727556825124636];
x_a{76}=[10.746050351803236,3.2573706682887185,36.89570232983552];
std_x_a{76}=[0.6398638027899509,0.8390268157338568,0.6711204361518724];
pred_a{76}=[10.746050351803236];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.5 to 7.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{77}=[4.0292222554367205,-0.7805009654015579,28.671916109818376];
std_x_f{77}=[0.41851276732900894,0.35690624017279654,0.6799595911516451];
pred_f{77}=[4.0292222554367205];
obs{77}=[3.8297022333621404];
sqrt_r{77}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{77}=[1.176922077610706];
xi{77}=[0.4185032594123639,-0.1137538759775567,0.8041900034856964,-0.42659034178743216,-0.03412319089173588,-0.2652600506957006,-0.06455557230807685,0.7216054583905231,-0.27911601590707136,0.14086861282332563,-0.20715865107033293,-0.4061370143257266,0.2711824900160762,-0.48899823095771255,-0.20821890478648397,-0.2405709811373793,-0.17563545144041903,-0.24902335255716324,-0.8566159697024807,0.5129490821327893,-0.16474831778463628,0.3621711631029161,-0.32159882930937256,-0.021545718101855904,0.5682605968984378,-0.2421041210288637,-0.16727942997560818,0.427584408828249,-0.0726083268663471,0.2944065017658941,0.43970376375268927,-0.1715759525186482,0.15330785808799696,-0.019205970671580808,-0.11015696595786961,0.15230238339304947,-0.5896329004087386,-0.4134307743624639,-0.2737501384900103,-0.9703258011010263,0.07220720327059826,0.4844454914829326,0.22351178035617547,0.6568287319136177,0.22353502735232578,-0.0748399423442998,-0.0031456696936738027,0.23884967323749873,-0.11429381351569656,-0.14414670732788082,-8.651865977995499E-4,0.2790524784942683,0.627651459191326,-0.21141552305409927,-0.28230989350577573,-0.09167734053906784,-0.19086396438183817,0.5071656197863019,-0.04233186542777778,2.021002465349466,0.08868664650687386,0.012043537674427007,-0.06680848869806777,-0.9090351537361352,-0.3241743238215866,0.8295138685698022,0.13386628628320896,0.2570678147933094,-0.036520577423353906,0.25870743284810693,-0.3689107078763647,-0.14730462736984817,-0.34242981118622584,-0.2933271821828143,0.20450193634461922,0.4625582088339133,-0.5163799859095666,0.2036450704340398,0.12331637100259929,-0.39655380199610146,0.3885025349825959,0.12766662093266135,-0.019006667237866814,-0.33231448513272444,-0.555121180662236,-0.08658339238158996,0.41230167901956527,-0.8108218489697108,0.573756065180901,-0.088805591264975,-0.07649629059820073,-0.5343612224227074,-0.36645130005783333,-0.23624797347996473,-0.0904880928574876,0.11354387230796892,-0.2939886785236734,0.29847978298744593,0.37403714225702167,0.13826175681588104;0.1109586434759845,-0.20996658799915902,0.6086929653840729,-0.24300288100267997,-0.3475206967896517,-0.08759520263459175,-0.2022382982868639,-0.5625853683281744,-0.3200274789797667,-0.18552611915316142,-0.14090580213472004,-0.022266979045315716,-0.07762365651674663,0.34922233979812256,0.2447053631399816,0.12981314689839807,-0.29364586485284294,0.053802602821797274,-0.21054282089947218,1.519975284389873,-0.012232605717979572,0.3597367680498001,-0.7472946096965088,-0.12649415924806262,-0.14924105565590162,0.8238743744853393,0.10547210907398652,0.03831616603091903,-0.10893288950053104,-0.46400536473676934,0.2338232324214251,0.030446614646886583,0.19740459159749502,-0.17093986579978404,-0.0019733158599603007,-0.03587438742159532,0.1388289415959223,-0.4919307844521633,0.1309019917437777,-0.36078556389715366,0.08725150896817035,-0.39757167387685677,0.3921093307709148,0.21792538928585758,0.03614285828129793,0.08592757467797663,0.4872513778733744,0.16218546087222196,-0.1693011914350634,-0.2989134002633277,0.37136045739190177,0.06722200025577751,0.2448077893228413,0.4479507936052828,-0.10805962990774276,0.2254657470888085,-0.1417489557046866,-0.18687359506639634,-0.06863740080150371,1.2332464992356171,-0.2729041098497097,-0.27023422688091625,-0.34790218556339536,-0.05721536487980727,0.018668012567053416,0.3582159659312851,-0.014236958431667723,0.0734941443992928,0.010505329927333884,0.3821312824572689,-0.40128400137589126,-0.15589536107933766,-0.323471874301808,-0.2816854490182171,-0.1652023307050835,0.5405497044521581,-0.12252360113256178,0.8731095352083211,-0.21571258671609095,0.17325521292154378,-0.32470689407939235,-0.27033682484085475,-0.20175329603265302,-0.21092455726571935,-0.09386904999946666,0.13986881885264257,-0.27701276719343715,-0.2603705694604467,-0.08563896305675578,0.04563142805978382,-0.22324406939217678,0.0028720312332038977,-0.14862063794850988,-0.05341602873439333,0.4570136876484842,0.7425848836735374,-0.06665134817262519,-0.4173908938808438,-0.4967926117530871,-0.24946719310573962;0.5865012097555997,0.03443274988687861,0.7514256390497742,-0.46799536080279935,0.3322913790118349,-0.3596368438783841,0.10850427349433645,1.7141833168385538,-0.11422690390795864,0.438709016862564,-0.19138931367630008,-0.6371955992568132,0.5337248456621708,-1.2140972011110627,-0.6175164243899083,-0.5574804024284461,0.016385644543639444,-0.49167231027179525,-1.267659274128519,-0.7660665388084311,-0.27417178493688965,0.24813240264194647,0.26452614836069444,0.10435336270970907,1.1538592955943408,-1.3408690565157464,-0.3948124230354537,0.692601808017276,1.4774113265048072E-4,0.971121994451984,0.4911888410148819,-0.3148749824045112,0.0745737150837833,0.15175930302999419,-0.18774835753490038,0.2900655582780196,-1.0851363725044045,-0.13556698284587299,-0.6265935179215028,-1.2793991173845534,0.027146290811895568,1.2151959233379088,-0.04130416960990857,0.8936342484943296,0.34857532813725456,-0.22586241697790044,-0.551028425590399,0.23640436320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k{77}=[0.15032607593688724;0.045424802168287835;0.20848244957358805];
x_a{77}=[4.006054356823059,-0.7875017282740122,28.63978528870604];
std_x_a{77}=[0.39524733008773577,0.3593330034944817,0.6386678993504418];
pred_a{77}=[4.006054356823059];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.6 to 7.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{78}=[1.144837306709376,-0.22658150548862488,21.82056446714409];
std_x_f{78}=[0.3065607909989948,0.42000991775243823,0.4599880450301687];
pred_f{78}=[1.144837306709376];
obs{78}=[0.9975157728908689];
sqrt_r{78}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{78}=[1.0944419155115872];
xi{78}=[0.21395629561227825,-0.19588994062685516,0.5249680522796727,-0.30220688609006663,-0.35907983136399246,-0.1319014123558766,-0.25229748994848233,-0.2936577000584998,-0.2984295731233225,-0.08860751401571298,-0.11600628221304343,-0.06322432046926596,0.024344500592383467,0.14568789931341808,0.11428470745898367,-0.01590051241617152,-0.22545910967352067,0.014805104184574702,-0.31086671079750017,1.2195506526240965,-0.08703096613968375,0.3172312580014991,-0.6049322339979973,-0.08099374724189601,-0.044102343105464126,0.5495903978340722,0.0878839128197928,0.15044802492378806,-0.06863033854277023,-0.31349880054618273,0.4240238318551879,0.06900321512245289,0.1974743177079199,-0.12293424264390551,0.07833993683769802,0.15836668270124377,-0.005374127664786954,-0.6353807000601854,0.04974658618546135,-0.4541039811161175,0.07786004380514555,-0.12345086918790438,0.306910117785284,0.16307541014023053,0.07151073433311339,0.22901557796990835,0.3476425245552124,0.22299080468211718,-0.09607766496934222,-0.1740549412902742,0.28026780562780695,0.09609500193640952,0.15224401371380236,0.3286479218403753,-0.11319424581628357,0.23000859577886068,-0.16991088906220164,-0.04875020244437844,-0.06398523894839747,1.1980425112002182,-0.18151859533258718,-0.18135638457017167,-0.3969259423013032,-0.24228205740186748,-0.04370552340666167,0.38842154715338184,0.012526376144775586,0.08671003887324535,-0.05049017631823727,0.22110913050595205,-0.3223549960947204,-0.20244865269835943,-0.3724852128405123,-0.22239194414464436,-0.03733232172760803,0.5015716910162411,-0.21618989249782972,0.6649938563625417,-0.014293706140530826,0.042462876812958905,-0.15008349224143136,-0.2074739372426978,-0.143239056177336,-0.20823076422703746,-0.08979055934750524,0.04999534731761002,-0.1121950145683559,-0.37358313951316013,0.08508176440303705,0.013044325077233188,-0.4975700168164786,-0.11101428013185122,-0.1997297735992769,-0.09268704998514177,0.2874261203985895,0.7062747186968341,-0.10281542719999193,-0.1773401768243018,-0.20542969601765593,-0.08874362688806725;0.06008463125512192,-0.23802152458787218,0.530050544522185,-0.22497881078073761,-0.4591721418728777,-0.05238224385144663,-0.27026572354217504,-0.8495475805297505,-0.33929941538764763,-0.24774483162614203,-0.11533880263704982,0.07356988567100564,-0.14222017229781891,0.5423850580770662,0.3498299666531219,0.19051207401186662,-0.3127034214400658,0.13298548690401255,-0.09323629640805259,1.8259303185293727,0.010877495600555703,0.36500601669761745,-0.8484402330044538,-0.13873652083444338,-0.3356338832264065,1.1124781222567792,0.1967318589944806,-0.03801997158780501,-0.10232592180776973,-0.6407617237385738,0.22295622654077166,0.10786353057926186,0.2316682525321112,-0.1943404290409494,0.0676487502621782,-0.030207828995737374,0.2897126533258697,-0.627442440954557,0.23298428878168642,-0.2729587895956408,0.10422348389740202,-0.5794261244947625,0.44685866730419777,0.08086154751124064,-5.024105041753768E-4,0.19156900634982488,0.626704229002734,0.17101292087977027,-0.16078541132246882,-0.3071307775524823,0.48452595012852867,0.01927497977517778,0.11311927406213106,0.6404932976945523,-0.057336826015886244,0.3391562517385047,-0.1418394300864249,-0.3449521586861587,-0.06476337206834187,0.7835060677974612,-0.33969264577366354,-0.32229113083041205,-0.4730130642931363,0.08200745802980891,0.10552315559774206,0.2156220115052194,-0.03940585668481328,0.03597577917157274,0.009773813715226731,0.39335688623514625,-0.39170245671669024,-0.177992744777279,-0.3612173404729616,-0.2663729269157303,-0.22299898438843746,0.5694911029731518,-0.05029570443460757,1.0665541612461733,-0.25502881292345947,0.3068699559648853,-0.4769020401981786,-0.3706696292497136,-0.23743751110003375,-0.18494803704817564,0.03694878157729173,0.1917526582780361,-0.43205551363258565,-0.17887078986381466,-0.23256276896569283,0.0852500509513715,-0.4092497005723279,0.11442353529476641,-0.11640429191572893,-0.010723272768235759,0.5954385918981957,0.967287828819413,-0.012392129414558084,-0.5512600908795163,-0.6664014105208781,-0.31045253577528775;0.4913409016009638,-0.05523009084818753,0.4168933614570882,-0.42493154459716465,-0.027574190359644035,-0.290945686835812,-0.15759992078658414,0.953485858370577,-0.12468385241604096,0.2944277558584574,-0.08588966362314565,-0.34000076988672845,0.386436848142214,-0.7743246221812896,-0.43920714453291865,-0.5070828403412619,0.02249356080247722,-0.2737763885355342,-0.8014356541951848,-0.24104671317407522,-0.2899631461041565,0.16022391832717986,0.12028717230042574,0.07491415769899845,0.6291379081181958,-0.8105739201690909,-0.15608338412015144,0.5531968974685633,0.02742901840116474,0.49186939320946266,0.7533366892296982,-0.03149014512122861,0.11478681206788721,0.08461206565961987,0.09229396119488342,0.5170952836693843,-0.6588162746525228,-0.5054762714048664,-0.4063713770910695,-0.8320940771925329,0.007175294672322252,0.8985918285034629,-0.04690224159800138,0.31957293638301465,0.2144334707781752,0.26070616853740347,-0.3371006215859005,0.296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k{78}=[0.08629230493921752;0.10327645579567313;0.03176796633001378];
x_a{78}=[1.1449195473996139,-0.22648307809100293,21.820594743534098];
std_x_a{78}=[0.3035758444063786,0.41502538735476946,0.4607296193784716];
pred_a{78}=[1.1449195473996139];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.7 to 7.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{79}=[0.5114953870256005,0.3801541748519568,16.73399198099769];
std_x_f{79}=[0.44826739785577624,0.6830209770031468,0.35052469257025265];
pred_f{79}=[0.5114953870256005];
obs{79}=[0.32898684671732453];
sqrt_r{79}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{79}=[1.2009587932096286];
xi{79}=[0.038706455466028244,0.0375132588167576,0.7526835788438262,-0.3203187834533259,-0.48435434838488023,0.01052266673048563,-0.18439867399286064,-0.8340529545376983,-0.34061012150262704,-0.2642871937538454,-0.17219800244345046,0.018881918946986875,-0.025182663242275527,0.46988969738490527,0.4039087391093267,0.12470764174598759,-0.38586551585635864,-0.03471956479666116,-0.16253807401660675,1.7510104417881207,0.03173820138647232,0.37141485431720744,-1.103054878978298,-0.12415777881311091,-0.23104802926291224,0.9908960693638891,0.09611799201553395,-0.029528789146512857,-0.04803535451392049,-0.6888599739486838,0.32015185304213645,0.10037065286415503,0.3927760682518989,-0.05162364398615643,0.05704711541137908,-0.21975258779921664,0.08234531809870649,-0.9033107477922622,0.17965348981889828,-0.5424951506806307,0.24814241683368166,-0.3741746179332446,0.5096124005930422,0.10120296066203038,-0.08097593149092003,0.17235130830996737,0.7256770868972713,0.2009371666372204,-0.1530132298493247,-0.29411659702665194,0.49659293397051396,-0.16042186044634194,0.010838847709403243,0.8284503115180455,-0.0692100159459133,0.5507598871924428,-0.05093556923783299,-0.22463158225293678,-0.3455215817778957,1.0285819125121058,-0.42865979630282236,-0.29846263322543,-0.4741618308236818,-0.15446677595092745,0.14908373136492625,0.23653086160734937,0.4752458772102707,0.03692888190773724,-0.025194264246592102,0.3230025682953158,-0.24969927789715252,-0.37838688980572677,-0.4315118279449673,-0.23218812831870206,-0.19860627044891027,0.7372563157887295,-0.060961104455508286,1.0542618811065712,-0.3329866491103459,0.5696598939332971,-0.409295229123096,-0.37596792282323577,-0.16490729408780758,-0.23566165563555758,-0.04091289467025988,0.12215065219366439,-0.44720552441131367,-0.2766793606609589,0.0072565709315323135,0.025104619402438355,-0.5499227082129712,-0.033304957317629946,-0.21500574561522495,-0.2304516176566338,0.5537628566700632,1.000364533883295,-0.1677835258498892,-0.49653254084652,-0.3331446332850402,-0.24863761494336045;-0.0055160538532751935,0.05673452533718193,1.0618258137546814,-0.43837911079270686,-0.7258507780478638,0.05330434117041272,-0.264472358056252,-1.3562364111477025,-0.5002172454187376,-0.4339223306363496,-0.2470852516716767,0.07043011250237297,-0.08952380418429168,0.8140681136232268,0.667310128742792,0.25897043613557513,-0.5833847659903066,-0.018990170686852326,-0.1471697345001171,2.6865458862280427,0.08913044855443442,0.5403585243794968,-1.6655815166996784,-0.19653289954884828,-0.42224583963139034,1.6180571224001665,0.1672908089823153,-0.10940065537469174,-0.07120694264703653,-1.0907095829057547,0.3754833442417572,0.1509308105381154,0.5763704659372069,-0.0885582643242302,0.07387379297699992,-0.38839599660616964,0.2145938080951535,-1.314056622472061,0.31923255904738634,-0.732812363207294,0.3727112318672744,-0.6689785435688616,0.7841326890514593,0.10863871867110775,-0.14453788391212014,0.22453054299697317,1.1369087899055845,0.26715461187622436,-0.2413436137979855,-0.4614063478191352,0.7797020414882467,-0.267111569301274,-0.005953329807789232,1.3054082546923709,-0.07457251579785729,0.8298373327534372,-0.05309985128644251,-0.4055462198162732,-0.5009308169577202,1.2345153334386407,-0.6666393103461646,-0.47198888822988383,-0.7061329975519816,-0.11889515295705733,0.27539249327310433,0.26749643677304946,0.6773980079057682,0.034249980378019296,-0.013409342282760361,0.5157291554710547,-0.372330175519651,-0.5469755032923176,-0.6260524944678286,-0.3455099610726477,-0.33845299658567635,1.0660791229321824,-0.02428428713469205,1.653719324994442,-0.5624251372968795,0.9290943043944297,-0.6849761068610877,-0.591874150707841,-0.2651315961073814,-0.3309219861036613,-0.012596452636495836,0.2201405451838957,-0.7421679973132065,-0.33355793894961133,-0.0891946361345694,0.06353784855841227,-0.7605022084152882,0.029314383610094752,-0.2756563940993271,-0.30953944822454726,0.9021264315018818,1.5058867580893514,-0.21388213381574842,-0.8198122178500101,-0.6140721834618028,-0.4275042945674493;0.32951305263144803,0.008005809775202266,0.4287709865929017,-0.35524090426023136,-0.048554424625699255,-0.21475772037780771,-0.1256659340690618,0.6909237296741892,-0.11877795457438367,0.18343342041777078,-0.09665822477461816,-0.27730259981312244,0.28850900013813785,-0.5513519955388091,-0.28716648866772587,-0.39473768100442896,-0.025501956140100646,-0.2580398324103932,-0.6226165818819993,0.16964300896869844,-0.2238792627424786,0.1360137322569841,0.05486222791571649,0.03538676028299648,0.4496713921479163,-0.5010148626693791,-0.1490319921301868,0.3822145390185021,0.012955666458672965,0.3286421260900134,0.5806707404006488,-0.03635783387128555,0.14618275626632027,0.07382486671257737,0.05071859141142809,0.30484318017668954,-0.5307122484002811,-0.4235799057055729,-0.3124371143221474,-0.685487006841278,0.037759713242287773,0.6701465046275956,0.019063118143993307,0.22657221384831416,0.1163379253053094,0.18888863306510828,-0.157939280801088,0.2207031823098511,0.0369256698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k{79}=[0.16733196371588668;0.25390587351820304;0.006264881524582778];
x_a{79}=[0.4848509433092066,0.3397244768672721,16.732994417355545];
std_x_a{79}=[0.40819555014632014,0.6245045510191132,0.34987060925143043];
pred_a{79}=[0.4848509433092066];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.8 to 7.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{80}=[0.6013510039766095,0.9481473630211423,12.890952855310266];
std_x_f{80}=[0.7524532735384852,1.2742546582271068,0.2977871052234783];
pred_f{80}=[0.6013510039766095];
obs{80}=[0.32979482504718943];
sqrt_r{80}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{80}=[1.566187846184016];
xi{80}=[-0.013777343652338181,0.011062817368089672,0.9998457803168259,-0.515226808481462,-0.23193114590338243,0.13931703434508103,-0.26790692265611143,-1.5836178701303267,-0.6148587111889922,-0.0755736811194272,-0.6206032386893141,0.6427242663518766,-0.04042661951226678,0.6047864938189476,0.37717514753878634,0.4457008292696558,-0.7764302870599786,-0.19008453621688387,-0.3648893552929656,2.6142333537645968,0.34705595809139644,0.3955188542655542,-1.9534057229012352,-0.270906311337172,-0.11185424156845586,1.604233994153268,0.7542798956222909,-0.290258022595938,0.563559656997177,-1.0579972223261522,-0.032230100660153416,0.13063800053051078,0.5855470710319604,-0.21020364575085831,-0.21441619860052963,-0.49521546739173344,0.21086869893102345,-1.3386490878244537,-0.27529266310175393,-0.7495546748369006,0.49894985650312607,-1.200372277938035,1.2455788670071324,0.14835958005690764,-0.19793640421710984,0.1710176969036471,1.1411243256462227,0.2199099582151932,-0.25134792344898726,-0.489604010787984,0.6041168643935253,-0.26624084619051747,-0.041320437816776856,1.3169516622105113,-0.0637499616419801,1.0658009830332174,0.3403132277416241,-0.28338413301636434,-0.4226368524349482,1.2458531316874997,-0.4105457873385111,0.2829687765828812,-0.9747491968578628,-0.1525421927163761,0.9046852592448955,0.19963093856375602,0.7080684985475307,-0.22299024753694607,0.11476505727445874,0.5862770705667137,-0.2863702332800494,-0.8458086478390892,-0.6047100932748579,-0.3399010429255934,-0.3082157802115918,1.1549420677390827,-0.04140948842332126,1.3630597667073632,-0.5539238719306667,0.9106127228878607,-0.8770671248001461,-0.5922480679791463,-0.1994060898277673,-0.3596796451194689,-0.07686632136251503,0.21073437039185483,-1.6493705209317193,-0.09679069143117658,0.14823615274942203,-0.06579223199023365,-1.5129757243366506,-0.22070971253057314,-0.29605548595645725,0.1868321800946009,1.0692155758776896,1.5187830076679112,0.31381066989165174,-1.1290194827941846,-0.5172675169386052,-0.2508281959583405;-0.04109311986909048,0.018954464169319785,1.6534268396632064,-0.8715875482344735,-0.3864908881796688,0.24985216809710775,-0.4579242447259029,-2.68428625420236,-1.0387274691328472,-0.13402904599062193,-1.033214480796501,1.109475514238442,-0.08280050935352556,1.0687990843638053,0.6572587967740497,0.7828769432453833,-1.3172994067341417,-0.3154029121880694,-0.5934907720485788,4.3798492622731064,0.6037247774019445,0.6636385121766162,-3.315795648702214,-0.4617209869094848,-0.207317011806609,2.760265140471434,1.2846827142890673,-0.5035260195660316,0.9618718072790766,-1.8096886459094175,-0.08453548851408887,0.2222335163545306,0.9878530664932983,-0.35447908671069794,-0.3678638153127902,-0.8469899271121031,0.39164359865865706,-2.2728130321457902,-0.4560231759399159,-1.2584683918191715,0.8441919736700481,-2.049715731919003,2.1111071215235437,0.24258121868452398,-0.3295249635066507,0.2794080130518055,1.9531599782198448,0.36627320861901214,-0.4207139175159923,-0.832529921087108,1.0373937130018651,-0.45381767143572316,-0.07350555663220237,2.247380701846775,-0.10196918022050205,1.8016134779429198,0.5819343483941324,-0.49883842440341225,-0.7116275616988228,1.9568871680970996,-0.7003330613254457,0.47357507459179393,-1.6534141339723347,-0.2213932513082626,1.5541167960264153,0.3147698196052455,1.1815259343530025,-0.37881972624597815,0.20474034541634634,1.013724551295502,-0.4811565829094455,-1.4346351877250072,-1.0213332185977337,-0.5709622333383366,-0.5335882599667402,1.9293440495293541,-0.04744355063102279,2.3233240159828616,-0.9429952975761965,1.5722428102988164,-1.4960550174592502,-1.0092521457197372,-0.3455293689183828,-0.603728453529895,-0.11711293781404575,0.3671571010889363,-2.7996177947878182,-0.13982770019749124,0.21993092598441022,-0.10321926555018379,-2.566389916788479,-0.3550812692329284,-0.48901103884117536,0.33167323748641797,1.8425341619690998,2.5503349038266077,0.5464285576028085,-1.9225560779147202,-0.9000458823344475,-0.442447231049651;0.20144430088405763,-0.03977815265593421,0.4567623557212137,-0.34484651371164965,-0.09076448328020525,-0.1942527925410662,-0.1590913098476392,0.534129235466839,-0.1681488143462584,0.09722905081769007,-0.1535426507456723,-0.15504648797522513,0.16758257511341412,-0.3807219468871992,-0.22304729810845103,-0.2883060792511767,-0.09388649725760345,-0.2652619964405538,-0.5494168625441933,0.8961580467220589,-0.1726338643813765,0.10674869339347381,0.12007552196491034,-0.03778773766308596,0.29505313053771154,-0.06301855449605753,-0.03138110852731302,0.22261490842009302,0.052595077416627944,0.1928773762912659,0.3873359796260676,-0.06360831437621073,0.14923657438655447,-0.009700481226513347,-0.03816395271533857,0.15811389906589568,-0.42706124356467434,-0.3513775152631631,-0.3122894688383422,-0.5889576287526967,0.05871716852230868,0.4612757951766753,0.22267368370527585,0.14368748207355608,0.027916348231169508,0.11717359979062181,0.05033548162044532,0.1511239428076543,-0.03289663499758788,0.00667122233370776,-0.06264928310039686,0.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k{80}=[0.3615069849785393;0.6121038902600183;0.034576517517557935];
x_a{80}=[0.47937162062483596,0.7416117822893591,12.879286075799778];
std_x_a{80}=[0.6716232383212156,1.1356861652016486,0.297589842203786];
pred_a{80}=[0.47937162062483596];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.9 to 8.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{81}=[0.9718771196335285,1.7551278604279101,10.105955688824631];
std_x_f{81}=[1.4322345479652272,2.59320689064311,0.4524521654971815];
pred_f{81}=[0.9718771196335285];
obs{81}=[0.6483496574389727];
sqrt_r{81}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{81}=[3.0526804176044813];
xi{81}=[0.370239253338851,0.0031653314057121795,3.002162765252315,-1.94630739962086,0.5086735923907657,-0.8839557647404892,0.6588500580542875,-1.974137255760536,-0.7499379013152719,-0.02007740257971702,0.7602638047765302,0.9934879410981106,-0.07663529903523714,0.8900510026935422,0.6531841261896234,1.503540588377792,-0.6088942677301856,-0.14078642112616357,2.7217542003116955,3.2780974575907975,0.5417261873983954,2.91001762315314,-4.689427476032725,-0.482117954126756,-0.21391689755405063,0.38851465723143286,0.03348050371773792,-0.7222953447123603,0.10326958073884596,-1.362220852605631,0.08215624998586768,1.2437334342811854,0.634995734334586,-2.95595238229986,-0.21040532163235914,-1.7562977211516069,0.4787840008550619,-2.1532446131811547,-0.15488204114793913,-1.2884836508422257,-0.5845706251348765,-1.3306212364247876,1.7623283178806193,1.1802058727632834,-3.2244629489395944,0.08017469193953408,1.544717407159708,2.129195209522098,-0.668496846655665,-0.982418422002756,1.7310969364728637,0.25097309778348365,1.6750348837466378,1.3929033714462853,-0.9374222246889696,1.4179759368182654,0.5907127103085927,-0.30021635213959263,-0.2697154118560806,2.751430114490719,-0.7230574326894085,0.2535382951768901,-2.2387840051597556,-0.8469199371400377,1.58380833766086,0.27044083710682343,0.6871504633471344,0.7682056443372371,0.9319274959453285,0.8712704501898803,-0.19595444917797922,-1.1225612614817906,-0.7787483963465494,-0.5494388667715295,-0.13828783433610647,1.3918669073728283,-0.20340847629368008,1.5982306780387598,-0.3603201639661061,1.4373969198346321,-0.10284892842588589,-2.143719560229446,-1.65098741574184,-1.268947168041609,0.01681116168553487,0.2708630795574858,-2.8905324795201475,0.17990883502739807,0.28737779219224824,-0.023137380554844933,-2.2949717308732365,-1.8109368416147502,0.324039513379325,0.05068926366262616,1.8945802722381595,2.2668813590765526,0.8335141288399328,-2.124711998398775,-1.0396854857447697,-0.989538230632296;0.6695596354409035,0.017509518886036135,5.336813761953809,-3.5528334807213096,0.9415183736054202,-1.6011061500190191,1.2185699684175701,-3.5814455218497363,-1.3573889759513498,-0.027209854737010764,1.402440897917499,1.8334976339850124,-0.13262969873832287,1.6627669021681042,1.2118469508106289,2.7591009816068857,-1.10186226961429,-0.24908155911605356,4.957729819891485,5.7831455953581,1.01162640273012,5.215303684938518,-8.477390857319229,-0.8674542446422584,-0.3857765153772956,0.7358184707674638,0.07230993910590189,-1.3102629797310563,0.20154307272539018,-2.476778191335536,0.14606787109892694,2.2768123425158215,1.1638663370400537,-5.391344183505986,-0.36970255918077255,-3.197301222558483,0.9101617669746904,-3.9385557852001973,-0.2574775178612023,-2.357518200195552,-1.049145530830037,-2.421720991683914,3.187981288430662,2.1444730482143894,-5.876107956869009,0.15333692581020797,2.811647540957531,3.8388833561557236,-1.2061056267853594,-1.7888677647722322,3.1407325760522404,0.4659504380777264,3.043360967110768,2.5412698463817414,-1.70258488116711,2.577078569247589,1.0879582515281299,-0.5401666103808263,-0.4749093218183549,4.789353232164869,-1.3194511434266873,0.4714671572844291,-4.089725045410143,-1.5288600420682295,2.886512536545279,0.4859346669525988,1.2528259830887616,1.405584774899737,1.7055790219241422,1.6098051125777753,-0.32682889262453707,-2.0359748604188526,-1.4132044943579585,-0.9884837644950432,-0.24176299525413314,2.5067963288230066,-0.3476684063832123,2.9069414917281575,-0.6520089353730671,2.638858044987452,-0.19643833064101224,-3.9133178522021517,-3.0092656725001548,-2.307564238022799,0.04287375773040347,0.5131246293369309,-5.238220558976343,0.3615124393910105,0.510299657279667,-0.02501026483823976,-4.197466675473528,-3.310756729065271,0.6113575682274615,0.11419887798423356,3.4542907802129417,4.0693304920597635,1.540521687997558,-3.864868255304337,-1.896103236874174,-1.8021421314298116;0.07110664019981705,-0.19404623413466915,1.4250449269579004,-0.45749619269613184,-0.09889635738919189,-0.4302022961524443,-0.10814567303937572,0.2965278482183482,-0.3449920471750296,-0.08769360935230708,-0.04554540163944587,-0.05906829122779911,-0.048147733125583514,-0.26847037500298043,-0.20505388014584547,0.04795776425116216,-0.2637936503146108,-0.38115414601719166,0.5632282084109139,1.8474510083590712,-0.19680314693942158,1.1360238705434362,0.9570433807572503,-0.25211552269564663,0.033802118696113936,-0.24214203438627813,-0.23619254119065403,-0.06825853069469545,-0.1458317632428745,-0.05082588310530767,0.15467362802747786,0.14231074768308716,0.06190425198301952,-0.01278669259196441,-0.20959385467141622,-0.09337387961132748,-0.4003858410391974,-0.37420524927971677,-0.41818649503659167,-0.6724399959875935,-0.24161712224709397,0.16359569077913427,0.5057458752413471,0.2754730266835921,0.09603382559792983,-0.06918731131641387,0.2793994759618901,0.7169593243554218,-0.2624651180516775,-0.23462702835733928,0.3159931310309485,-0.07215792826244183,0.4180030850284684,0.2235406653849079,-0.4145910192516453,0.3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k{81}=[0.6724190340288794;1.217377829481688;0.10863829051839902];
x_a{81}=[0.8207166450069376,1.481460100903368,10.08153369193529];
std_x_a{81}=[0.7209654518349493,1.3088784686209445,0.4073189644807481];
pred_a{81}=[0.8207166450069376];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.0 to 8.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{82}=[1.93403277280884,3.658640405459573,8.249065845415828];
std_x_f{82}=[1.679578352237727,3.1208772721271223,0.9479361962857145];
pred_f{82}=[1.93403277280884];
obs{82}=[1.5603123778122714];
sqrt_r{82}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{82}=[3.840088386337611];
xi{82}=[-1.3752779930506014,0.2249430855468193,1.1527426022190765,-0.1429981776876108,-0.48072964953193953,-1.4888600183317613,0.24186788548368,-1.234829629298311,-2.2431647368906633,0.798255490684179,4.116888104954226,-0.47182229255990715,-0.08732967413940917,-0.7424586284195338,0.8409626378767443,-0.9226314488104732,1.3879885024587872,0.3178548545782036,6.973154394801768,2.1265149646579475,2.9577135520392046,2.186557378391913,-1.9281670530092143,-0.9567113016517785,-2.0401390352259456,0.23483587433157616,-0.3645114245204364,-0.21203033057744225,0.2333190840327537,-0.886263525560059,-0.49795305506637755,0.869964364559668,-0.09145611313535329,-2.6527284058162666,0.5633157230730654,-2.181245920787111,1.8436519459743825,-1.8075534577522423,0.07681734462076162,0.02060176987339446,0.22865778608908927,1.213891763608763,1.1140087308129092,0.35289074792955044,-4.4666149667031405,-0.0898074417182555,-1.0977414087747894,1.1514414141112306,-0.500008329813596,-1.3698817180255216,0.7371409911405695,2.924357509141579,0.5317482972470746,0.8408138459565995,-0.575409507191138,2.0170280169498946,0.13438934500745803,-1.8477538232895605,2.0520414024562195,1.7153426336057083,-0.6937962207083186,-0.041706818683795444,-2.9126621960614845,-0.8164937266177001,2.2659951861066316,-0.6930856199448345,0.3102585144065404,1.5704671008057642,-0.9971928623926103,3.0411295192399583,-0.4333593055034277,-0.1841920190776951,-1.5343256818382478,-0.8560112378062641,1.2078395347301327,2.3045399243928513,0.12026801451046709,1.303663152758218,-0.41291239110227185,1.786111846386442,-1.1707373866178155,-2.3884902603660607,-1.551831530755406,-2.114330975211479,-0.6843448521938231,1.1522772759601387,-3.475977914079179,0.20385918357528454,1.4706476723561102,-1.310695719125544,-2.04649212697587,-3.1589747912360195,0.17127713129435596,-1.954210343710361,1.3692130588474216,0.9695741573158012,1.0107480385302734,0.02790918943014642,0.5976852396262229,-0.8772627371409407;-2.5820686632040672,0.4721595832026053,2.10712955484428,-0.22698082894278482,-0.8658194493706306,-2.8055042329566104,0.5129793760222481,-2.328479317198356,-4.257241294367999,1.5509258246426456,7.573903235933345,-0.8469541508268419,-0.13283006879376025,-1.3572270961191761,1.6461302042487023,-1.7235252108939156,2.6539781684213275,0.6546638688848749,12.10290425862649,3.8300551045765645,5.549744256034307,4.026017692128413,-3.645599854163208,-1.7814269159775638,-3.859317112196479,0.5046370690506579,-0.6462560383487217,-0.3708089178125644,0.49470180528528074,-1.651510415724553,-0.9204170672428775,1.6774251851740156,-0.13333013443718755,-5.0312506800899435,1.1114171595540792,-4.136169084023559,3.537077385012275,-3.4241760484171233,0.2084433386385438,0.10091501354974053,0.4760038169329408,2.284405167626614,2.1125852250742283,0.6978186443327199,-8.477779361290812,-0.12508918688312853,-2.0548558314473198,2.176381921015633,-0.9051147353701325,-2.5796307279089272,1.419328600909346,5.458580229066104,1.0344021569387247,1.6269920391673467,-1.0565037309169671,3.7860136225114185,0.30626487038842143,-3.4994628352308474,3.9021345328560924,3.073776811126336,-1.2852456381397621,-0.038619771464830865,-5.532945352700349,-1.4982466329410085,4.266319403861301,-1.2859680821766077,0.6254175699202809,2.9838715492970613,-1.8552401655644424,5.679787369372185,-0.7780778048496098,-0.2947369546486045,-2.893052750757691,-1.5873505249783966,2.3037101934273356,4.293003570429319,0.2926223681846061,2.4754294167258624,-0.7519893325330371,3.4035540220939358,-2.194246407609998,-4.537054937990841,-2.928756418485997,-4.005790165602338,-1.2515766876665886,2.2302427593108596,-6.582625431348937,0.45823110271469103,2.775088985354865,-2.456629703223497,-3.878131857119062,-6.0273531796195545,0.3816735292687494,-3.6943112108112093,2.6044239422290603,1.8123981752448741,1.9628492277564349,0.06170696468797754,1.1436915709139943,-1.6406394421813388;-0.5669914060167596,-0.2912655175645975,1.0246676292990315,-0.39009536226657904,-0.52443888892644,-0.8100881342279598,-0.3026531530618959,-0.0801797934747821,-0.8076420391660468,0.05351202134047561,2.513224825891113,-0.549224646610905,-0.28982065344145536,-0.7746174743495642,-0.10333549747829451,-0.6494661229985281,0.30450101253665096,-0.3718844533365937,6.434726485926602,1.9391456896097452,1.3364779576453358,1.474139524064313,0.6850157330570337,-0.6363502240407408,-0.582327067698956,-0.3804260627157401,-0.5360384942277525,-0.26239276284482393,-0.2657850798905024,-0.35591903764722854,-0.28067516455913477,0.10176530555294505,-0.29456754842024324,-0.2639460112407246,-0.13370752935433927,-0.48683491895771347,0.34787137579468386,-0.634782746813138,-0.5087762885552447,-0.5761069703460411,-0.2569837832011821,0.6255243098441454,0.4572117401250093,-0.02831683380052219,0.23038140109901661,-0.3273022215344472,-0.5104408526299373,0.5825527334333032,-0.509417845868608,-0.6364575463277351,0.10813966922640006,1.4411994580776213,0.10326445678914098,0.1282025858969238,-0.6162844830743115,0.9094959808627916,-0.353180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k{82}=[0.7395893272775095;1.3735689861565588;0.3272487988605319];
x_a{82}=[1.7828240141925835,3.3778147450419636,8.182159952091881];
std_x_a{82}=[0.7814461615669265,1.4540960296188987,0.6806256552864779];
pred_a{82}=[1.7828240141925835];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.1 to 8.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{83}=[4.4634092547053745,8.572957660699743,8.127834561996039];
std_x_f{83}=[1.815540122343276,3.2364530255381063,1.9508042021771277];
pred_f{83}=[4.4634092547053745];
obs{83}=[4.022659924602373];
sqrt_r{83}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{83}=[4.322518945913004];
xi{83}=[-1.6146107882093026,-0.313224632483581,-0.6184383508860742,0.4350301608152174,4.2651755820245265,-1.3903546471755925,1.549656004237825,1.9829393438322231,1.8795417632164346,-0.44645597093514766,1.2773817265646459,-0.3719109715180089,-1.8421777523766951,-0.9168454090973448,2.347909383297405,2.174955884768761,-0.48124188475700747,-1.8197542344905813,3.197772052630749,0.5858972536400744,1.0342124337377427,4.562487918486114,-1.5203835821451288,-1.2261536459663147,-1.632421733299553,-0.23602506582092797,-0.2417754205487581,2.1266437462191456,0.3124272608558014,-0.6537651587482611,0.3406202827564888,-0.005468973953087541,0.7772357884345364,-3.9813315453595175,1.4618529882974372,-2.034345240823693,2.9625774663570104,-3.7933910104527415,-1.4227589425166434,-0.683769957114055,-1.9644926314262054,7.704449727402808,2.689347499557015,-0.0490652228236339,-1.6217010995805379,-0.5221370312627749,-0.5239309898383633,1.448197803693411,0.08650838158030005,-0.9679525681668024,-0.5597899365443655,-0.9576846353226363,0.15277370167466664,2.7755005902579066,-1.5112073921798022,-0.17428617798750334,-0.21795077823770193,-1.6150659498646474,1.6045238881197497,0.5538033136699001,-0.38848519569630025,-0.7615983389865479,-2.2119246161108213,2.879052752853558,1.1884299014263453,-1.947141068727142,0.027278035109932652,0.3037873382884335,-0.9984866098947682,1.6890999525791868,-0.002609689732311793,-1.8229623783451574,-0.06364426017590308,0.04034121805015456,-2.9331176163980066,1.013959515674645,-0.4371127564864281,2.874547457704515,0.010697316415598124,0.5819028362094016,-0.21999318092732967,-2.158524212687324,-1.8581105886040858,-1.9187020725461976,-0.7441968848914411,0.8650046506361857,-4.020542293382131,0.9222837649132813,0.870547029570746,-0.6465087046080127,-2.1809394159569204,-2.461381734900464,0.0035344042295264444,-0.5495158468394346,0.6153106598539173,0.4705040947651078,0.10798903485928424,-0.28838954636420944,0.7831476531618913,1.0089167817444702;-2.973480656559399,-0.43164628742512967,-1.1202115726168396,0.9531539918394305,7.479246443822873,-2.5339101462372975,2.9771966610303586,3.57486103717641,3.432723860693468,-0.7005848021649106,2.2997543715777304,-0.561373124871519,-3.3784155389872987,-1.5860484958712924,4.3949757531932026,4.038235924363281,-0.7648981004096038,-3.316508092173625,4.774070668676085,1.0169491399467017,1.9894751341583383,7.704373975664055,-2.9156780728497242,-2.2105689907167356,-3.0354825871569604,-0.2756208067113626,-0.3084697893404815,3.9481979911668432,0.7293927108668026,-1.1368573598245222,0.7287915071285003,0.1313146867767081,1.5638737774097073,-7.6305215056938005,2.8371174948593207,-3.822181194572802,5.443106099349869,-7.247205646595039,-2.543907277855377,-1.132693309615652,-3.6085620389137327,11.815341674969606,4.882885182511963,0.0332746471630152,-3.1835594929648847,-0.8408607696352544,-0.8850742190229814,2.7154497539584046,0.29549428481372786,-1.727737523922853,-0.9203832703308237,-1.7163951233111856,0.40538552138442263,5.074332229893585,-2.733166721003875,-0.22029487154940242,-0.26045039046816676,-2.994539573962933,3.0593441332916154,0.9590371013005274,-0.6064428660800303,-1.2986245846510869,-4.175890714705641,5.3208071869423055,2.281329106794656,-3.597240539996278,0.18497993522287537,0.6940027794506989,-1.7633485929178132,3.1242846349470064,0.14127216418635236,-3.3337154727298666,-0.0174787577842217,0.20138808726928303,-5.5091756456181,1.9217632971603749,-0.6545853672577566,5.218145139726628,0.13762552087952074,1.2138651258074677,-0.3267524519316112,-4.077750309637762,-3.4508654256447056,-3.5747854593290542,-1.2581346231506405,1.763534688403853,-7.719381892155927,1.9045037792433472,1.7090413398187376,-1.095913240140992,-4.082313443827909,-4.656151157635909,0.17298058821252837,-0.94481386781937,1.2568462545958266,0.9471231299463589,0.36221624760439575,-0.4508670988672794,1.5506332654722819,1.947820834546377;-1.4074656103840129,-0.8444358816339577,-0.3643524807441114,-0.1477010410605768,4.66648732121784,-1.420241013711089,0.9082572644010174,2.1270161513868917,1.7836959435036253,-0.883419499478884,1.5125780737381866,-0.8595294485344445,-1.772072808072772,-1.3426211046090977,1.8068495076933342,1.7873155561280463,-0.9174283702856965,-1.9705138764429204,6.16345454255462,1.059328441688658,0.713447303991618,5.847224158968071,-0.1899752727420001,-1.3662430438099404,-1.2080561063237818,-0.8620814159150152,-0.7716169695124622,1.7867326992648191,-0.298419292742067,-0.7709770342984656,-0.028940345335284334,-0.5110740974005958,0.2293264588103714,-1.68605523630342,0.8492859397833961,-1.3012100926558485,2.614032871702511,-2.2186670901263392,-1.760490727352991,-1.2911923633159468,-1.9223687892725145,11.66745109773412,2.6023926154798946,-0.46846120958731685,0.28522841737668614,-0.931994053875437,-0.7221311716769225,1.1940143230259501,-0.429653581133536,-1.053014320435671,-0.905143512935271,-0.9068061632542932,-0.2569938543962307,2.548236912164226,-1.6661515958036093,-0.41428267188702605,-0.7940568503536847,-1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k{83}=[0.768653414244601;1.365770599703868;0.7491385603976821];
x_a{83}=[3.8394789832386227,7.464336264836959,7.519744860326673];
std_x_a{83}=[0.9804116803409206,1.7946532528195898,1.2146413671309615];
pred_a{83}=[3.8394789832386227];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.2 to 8.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{84}=[9.536823341626647,17.41566792235403,13.47549830270132];
std_x_f{84}=[2.0823014855480184,3.3181644394483425,3.506179050705414];
pred_f{84}=[9.536823341626647];
obs{84}=[10.176283559337534];
sqrt_r{84}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{84}=[5.339700083353397];
xi{84}=[0.6069102546120124,1.1612435828443743,-0.6958284921849653,-0.7514398733119396,2.0875320818305525,-1.10171609410631,0.30248939354561877,0.8761640782158189,-2.8129727623182,0.3695585909455019,1.1372303087362425,1.762836797495467,0.4777982065240547,-1.0656273863184733,1.0900956563701776,2.972831463952799,0.5960910931812347,0.902661273342833,1.0556043036777556,-0.679705728544219,-3.0958207116256986,0.9993371878279991,-1.932277447606694,-1.5402662860654992,0.5935084901490963,0.9368872855768924,0.8630294748769085,2.4554467093121968,0.7539455714425483,0.4361810304008742,0.7204428134980887,1.415917560614707,-4.747034420571427,-2.574530873740006,0.4601214163185059,0.0874338485974544,0.5560820122738228,-2.0563438075873686,-11.267182161860038,-0.9129618453134807,0.036423790880190765,-2.7483958889642217,0.9875417065178951,0.7321086938195691,-0.23279675997338245,0.9604588068359359,0.5207805384779753,5.509003742997013,2.1201674917184157,-2.96970776420871,-0.49501988593932467,0.28973537787262416,0.5250774233932791,2.008113293336118,-0.13892498746949222,1.2788891391266315,0.36185660696602717,-0.4421107827938435,0.8148882129638864,-0.7848228168951934,0.4478706740247915,0.7447678520451184,-3.5863527985580834,2.072895899950206,5.267078635413405,-0.4861876342811069,-2.3528171999609473,1.0957143399460705,-0.4702732102378082,2.041534383904864,0.9497522590169147,-0.5996247048134702,0.7449833479392947,0.2403821859034263,1.959502883678713,1.6249680779690312,0.3965761639813099,2.4397085329880106,-3.999401167930663,0.6398144892457136,-0.4692447652562297,-1.2354547603780421,-1.862533758025882,-0.7233727391261091,0.5219599644232886,-5.138919241998691,-2.77942572953041,1.2726798515796247,0.7434612680263282,-0.3802006457703815,-2.226253898547319,-0.9712188176467684,0.9337545933162996,0.1604266695918053,0.1146974203436617,-0.05682245896133509,1.0187604252115214,1.430781142521628,0.30053111236109764,1.3985628239704226;1.015350508622582,2.0254044211557556,-0.8221705894276781,-0.6443063451277098,2.610302412986343,-1.3764659958754528,0.9283699714667506,1.3888855018204502,-4.178786146037389,0.9402752745413245,1.6806905277325832,2.7268781955924446,0.8892675743493683,-1.1931032107346766,1.9437548492856322,3.8994470371430374,1.2553178563506258,1.5234959265727568,0.2702679995583992,-0.8676840586932251,-4.624878469515302,0.9873753627430695,-3.046300328510739,-2.038819427474092,0.9137610441617348,1.777628118423415,1.6423317280353764,3.4031203426307144,1.5367584715828926,0.915661220295366,1.3965044360216723,2.329778484241807,-7.6289823768458795,-4.356623232936633,1.1458465997922964,0.13372249847873618,1.1708378078739337,-3.350921739320393,-20.979489888671882,-0.903908295346529,0.2889705612483269,-5.343223948562397,1.6201024546121658,1.4282948460330687,-0.7055735040559341,1.7213137522287703,1.0641800233301737,4.9512709317846735,3.140124686384844,-4.472893298999653,-0.33493972198479227,0.6555870958033623,1.1545977999810937,2.8789014908263795,0.11339329844608415,2.0542468603641453,0.9856470763390597,-0.4935462705670943,1.5745864819220685,-1.026958707160805,1.02189923757512,1.4178984689867669,-5.78673837560822,3.0672923338516824,5.045494874661127,-0.5262225504389271,-3.292159085819332,1.93001525006704,-0.3496804238357676,2.8949917289589564,1.771715926415336,-0.6050688374736524,1.4303491030669413,0.7886349048456509,2.3920331858513926,2.4308695277470775,1.065279133633208,3.242558034837547,-6.253288228945827,1.3531795126952737,-0.33788459701910156,-1.8485861349461565,-2.7013576335879197,-0.9288495169418951,1.1590238625177598,-8.36669116513027,-4.817793489253468,2.3156296354887864,1.4307516910377096,-0.1812873797567498,-3.369128938940701,-1.4998876182452747,1.7975436972545573,0.554985365289486,0.6026155354357101,0.26924587671998523,1.8885870412422996,2.197102362060395,0.832150426925331,2.272101283863101;0.9687772722990111,1.4654751360203182,-1.5336343533049241,-2.3840998869126206,4.635003651901615,-2.4957529170751567,-0.4246679836625198,1.5310602401076476,-5.21058743192086,-0.11941743637239632,2.166909536256286,2.877756330450884,0.5847209530735977,-2.786383365515526,1.3355276626748402,6.002072536543237,0.34946943432228217,1.2733308175059648,4.805748823297309,-1.2808615821447944,-5.822183759575333,3.0248626436162116,-2.6891977378421554,-3.337570625382458,1.156128696144771,0.8939802910201742,0.8210279275465044,4.722134246249828,0.5262945480721832,0.31861259377739515,0.6785158207436073,2.055932361576785,-8.010882492510353,-2.8302882155269593,-0.0802488647879791,0.4073865495166906,0.41078130597663964,-2.6457424281266686,-11.258348773300856,-2.6839966544496203,-0.3267087016226764,-1.0882118142230297,1.558592931548672,0.6545969231703239,0.8392465996130536,1.1456906133952849,0.42339509343292114,13.823085506243308,3.6927428773237185,-5.454395560291875,-1.7024889457457206,0.17120108767375797,0.21709758574726834,3.754152642718944,-0.853623622748545,1.9899801672514812,-0.2567614196815029,-0.9623825156799342,0.7566894332565237,-1.472074198362714,0.11427604361409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k{84}=[0.8127235641721683;1.2666399609670067;1.2782356682162244];
x_a{84}=[10.190116728451322,18.433833934103024,14.502985317550783];
std_x_a{84}=[0.8518095003234966,1.3728216439866268,2.057746255787901];
pred_a{84}=[10.190116728451322];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.3 to 8.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{85}=[17.087186692514123,18.362031781368344,37.7950035257229];
std_x_f{85}=[0.6445545600428868,2.1890634087597727,2.3079418545691346];
pred_f{85}=[17.087186692514123];
obs{85}=[17.480545586808585];
sqrt_r{85}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{85}=[1.4163604080154373];
xi{85}=[0.30012145406890767,0.23907003655990522,0.4674393286115972,0.2013421348204396,-0.4911365712956659,-0.3282593785397907,0.477715375997402,0.1532225199980033,0.22125293782193367,0.4580162754010466,-0.06970591846112484,0.11530885047570649,0.2785773123267212,0.14737848813044963,-0.002253640831476389,-0.40444379565705546,0.360643056818418,0.11845264161991054,-1.4409998224782683,0.24156670599183983,0.21592359620297685,-0.5162818621783849,-0.1859422642064743,0.26329464511742984,-0.05886118542959906,0.5631543902325546,0.3782420993731783,-0.29312650370313165,0.6119008908067549,0.4522770624963073,0.3246488511277299,0.2691805232009301,0.1910132176500241,-0.6732352500088261,0.5159378791299183,0.003030780233153507,0.42502356460391866,-0.2728189747152001,-3.283365352779674,0.1715083413379901,0.06948055937075637,-1.220187544598275,0.1763573992178884,0.28422153875085243,-0.5200815676657342,0.27084048016114437,0.4389977853915319,-2.6506478718981317,-0.6797705691614127,0.003665495935159413,0.40996248047742156,0.23110917949255239,0.2934744678727519,-0.14664626778786527,0.32235660575099345,0.10558141012052502,0.5401580407722086,0.1666272011733234,0.3778818169597358,0.12095582030879015,0.3652974339086654,0.21235663053012388,0.0911096956628441,-0.1696582264598554,-2.413961622182484,0.4501810938892312,0.32214723540639056,0.34576987876464926,0.4130171108237697,-0.20649507659916821,0.263455064310012,0.3452705106848626,0.5245872324523262,0.08884860071239231,-0.6104912571778058,-0.4667664427862306,0.557889216923094,-0.39809094929337974,-0.1268374710444249,0.2338580343832959,0.4645113270339003,-0.0048465818683745,0.08153327961409929,-0.008561195646887398,0.383653670515713,-1.7553396611891596,-0.6443070987396027,0.4201787942661177,0.3832728904810274,0.45599074703598674,0.021382963328360205,0.006031787804101185,-0.011620505811279713,0.3013476978228411,0.1744738698894608,0.45021850144200926,0.3087269588928443,-0.020911181335875995,0.44234429146126075,-0.008716148419299685;-5.257279809156449,0.4515320271968797,-1.5824288212810487,3.280049726686908,-1.6246785448937757,3.893136114068806,1.0045950228473188,-1.2532437899834115,1.7596950930038062,0.25652601074922643,-0.3085296617250819,-0.7711067845187856,-7.367003619911268,3.222888619530913,1.9866758350806073,-2.944524938058688,0.5623802133830402,0.48700813692929046,-2.053898812679492,-0.1332249835140722,2.1803181301091463,-1.5684219623018265,0.7108366374884483,2.1387133361346002,0.3058357632129969,-2.3076849856703348,0.1555759818950797,-0.9830930877200466,-2.594144925209788,-2.01884766513653,0.2725178436076767,-0.7725454255361797,0.32284630055094254,0.5818235021917495,0.26562660015036954,-0.2863583387197046,-0.6235050158654687,0.3796828407801698,-4.3592378534982625,3.443583845434741,1.6315789571282764,-3.2049522056597333,-0.687011950192904,0.7477558216678837,-0.19795083888638842,0.2762439861995638,-1.4208268245711864,-5.054809116923057,2.4676107843480715,2.6791934343052617,1.4864796456014737,0.27594056529968114,1.1561011241691759,-0.8348301530016826,1.0239662453755543,0.08758094119531279,0.11362294413049057,0.7061887855941364,0.10845104346006096,0.8873403512123161,0.5335657055287228,0.9832958687821609,-2.585173952428189,-9.893203764131842,-3.830506413072607,-2.115845805675015,2.516245334601983,-0.48836671014262123,0.9929344408476588,-0.6345280074628867,0.912263890978199,0.9336811256251174,-4.506945152586296,2.747142493201501,-0.8833241325971919,1.9278587974913854,0.26781800522503474,-1.3819672707853705,2.8476866404642642,1.5683199533357772,0.5231001052582265,0.7016005560354053,1.8191261972608963,1.753013331008205,0.5984315007147458,4.884468381357745,-1.2105676997831623,0.1011080764603598,-0.3146749689019259,0.914790331818633,1.3052631332348348,-0.17845248659626378,2.745550041545364,0.898851144669262,2.4245900248917422,0.026532468366987416,0.7612417884451901,0.07730519433567551,0.15911697828274285,0.9988927582906371;5.345929854133914,0.2887034967618405,2.7263249934144014,-2.6902879929762378,0.33830246352214033,-4.9114045636579675,0.39660123066161646,1.6570706533431832,-1.0888718320728685,1.0406541321127207,0.20879850882836593,1.1050682460372983,6.872345010787811,-2.781776524287757,-1.8935008232283437,1.7393662903913238,0.5008868764738281,-0.07769770831001921,-1.6260136575124449,0.8595914006570169,-1.5470559954749632,0.2559056900542629,-1.0913987317866045,-1.3469116549751732,-0.3520085585711996,3.5913707251707123,0.9417629926800544,0.24191960492520792,3.9555532318050766,3.078874084467053,0.6801117900804812,1.5012329120651913,0.16985843005101486,-2.2788454505789133,1.1947153691786596,0.3842483339603575,1.781139927117131,-0.9940466637198497,-4.059767966180566,-2.952447457711962,-1.3296365215517625,0.10606225438947803,1.1966483552655163,0.12723534998743702,-1.0528138559452955,0.5339752243872269,2.523102498989516,-1.9845305230387567,-4.366284868297072,-2.6583487130657346,-0.2664489653942752,0.43627175800097007,-0.24715500351423714,0.4860051363882647,-0.06348668731351381,0.26479731685230234,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k{85}=[0.29396501459598784;0.2525566779978375;0.5357511912342579];
x_a{85}=[17.20667867537488,18.464691950913224,38.012777645029495];
std_x_a{85}=[0.4988429782588961,2.1212002322424968,2.257711497081048];
pred_a{85}=[17.20667867537488];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.4 to 8.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{86}=[9.724726348903195,-2.2297944343649294,38.96763722723039];
std_x_f{86}=[1.2310642498313955,1.3736883561218942,1.3215547633798221];
pred_f{86}=[9.724726348903195];
obs{86}=[9.686346626427358];
sqrt_r{86}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{86}=[2.6142181352055855];
xi{86}=[-3.1258912091229663,0.0684093685538194,-1.251273640724957,1.6682876676099507,-0.5727707591398232,2.6226867858681704,0.2212056082196039,-0.800725601598975,1.0219525866042272,-0.20238517523733002,-0.10548568881244869,-0.581824587688704,-4.2438720878932985,1.7711098778140784,1.1240004760721103,-1.3615200810340156,-0.006357552977712899,0.07982941941524047,-0.26091268111999355,-0.29969622084711744,1.064021016899341,-0.7186192017346258,0.6329011835634013,1.009103291513524,0.21527505552224646,-1.7361177813188728,-0.46933931917221194,-0.281385492702368,-2.134628669765174,-1.5834369587938895,-0.04358803539090417,-0.6568905114503352,0.09011521981109816,0.9366363423483612,-0.22281952968699237,-0.2678773986304428,-0.47959616704917707,0.40781571336387223,-0.15395919316467221,1.53419561717946,0.917719159797759,-1.0526095382392437,-0.5406385195997174,0.5568450121167228,0.16266876824013288,-0.03930146797333656,-1.047095626684559,-1.0403151024111192,2.029737510323601,1.5167114841222258,0.6260720287066377,-0.07573699902891562,0.32939228117023234,-0.3537340525938095,0.38845595141797595,-0.1495074355568775,-0.41338707615913783,0.2648700334687799,-0.36134928704723457,0.397171539188399,-0.03522835309426142,0.3566956772122811,-1.4138062827126223,-5.350630346481129,-0.37217610237770415,-1.3078573335217634,1.1408213089634032,-0.5023296827172548,0.26846909207482206,-0.1756314886790964,0.216728180292451,0.27676926153740666,-3.204663889830785,1.4980020073432367,0.005997991219572896,1.4978202911644107,-0.07754421347215157,-0.859427869655331,1.7738362983398126,0.6820577767685307,0.0029332960790355855,0.7725323830327397,0.7171685133910426,0.9132425353485942,-0.05579763262169024,4.510822084143607,0.14532030215767477,-0.4989198178260903,-0.3766287993789419,0.06802345228805073,0.48974066791438453,0.09077954430173385,1.6690442827375467,0.4683947900011223,1.258524805075437,-0.2865173625036963,0.33736005301097194,-0.03652848946781262,-0.25609362348071407,0.626156344863384;-2.8379603319734863,-0.12205297766962486,-1.4569929028792807,0.8166666701130019,0.04988017370903908,2.4717914987622724,-0.16887354376900898,-0.6246921436335011,1.2142595169498245,-0.556594361121665,0.143490500834627,-0.7180997766569908,-3.884470570234297,1.2615209760182613,0.8033665092069977,-0.6211337160228738,-0.4769750926097056,-0.3651367205146867,0.7784391099686967,-0.552243383933722,0.5160724317923928,-0.73432423243823,1.043458652748059,0.46366992834377574,0.27640697980096784,-2.017449429745658,-1.5781909200060635,0.3394364057302943,-3.09519803454833,-2.067856731825336,-0.11621658616533326,-0.7845430243326939,0.029959398906353574,1.7709433687966776,-0.5385176290557614,-0.48581577542575927,-0.008718269427716585,0.5926096714416353,3.529897082083397,-0.10722960403735637,0.804269701173308,0.13402755082104845,-0.5752281238601995,1.5064114034250657,0.2994001657536045,-0.19956924582801783,-0.8987612409681458,1.7048479349788046,2.3254725782346517,1.0047407668765584,0.449608284638219,-0.4142433252364759,-0.33021428321961155,-0.030129583865676768,0.21453300535378528,-0.5761021885815882,-1.0267478038356188,0.05171607919117971,-1.0334001831568633,0.19826326978923436,-0.527341593573214,-0.007386596429147296,-0.7750665279085758,-4.68795608817231,2.46949843030407,-0.6325115698616344,0.33794744805874966,-0.5300627648888123,-0.08347744261265566,0.26438719950543765,-0.3736499946437992,-0.03947203862048232,-4.319045123774854,0.9946547673168087,0.8543861755618036,1.6551951907183398,0.1603942464961703,-1.54201846395187,1.4328628534225367,0.21343487628650948,-0.18370646975073113,2.0471652599623535,-0.40421694538628783,0.40802986539685815,-0.6930896159288857,4.769776052548281,2.3471799439889516,-1.550863772123884,-0.2663554153513332,-0.6902798519211149,-0.4296089929518021,0.877748616042358,1.5182475472410562,0.8004917638502858,0.8261266559279625,-0.4196742093256898,0.5297582211149636,-0.27866920007945506,-0.577526051303554,0.713215735954092;-2.8636285106491783,0.142526866651437,-1.074574581809003,2.1843569099272244,-0.9925798392142084,2.828511061174531,0.41139057596042505,-0.9088607476224624,0.8470240662083341,-0.0267361169555258,-0.3108972889932886,-0.518289599349508,-3.665293054582726,2.0943927036900405,1.2726763548480449,-1.7804151226118137,0.2403528851364527,0.3052616102296355,-0.9450593734576458,-0.18275854208485498,1.3473389531822164,-0.695036575643222,0.3181612199713726,1.2910449415496785,0.11426377446811387,-1.4365507258481571,0.19532890582439677,-0.7265991174483375,-1.3078728651832847,-1.1704470380342826,-0.04579889100734391,-0.5866681324221474,0.044595070509259926,0.3594992186382626,-0.055902742783239034,-0.1604308098013334,-0.8087344107270056,0.23317664851816033,-2.7025401791805095,2.4918552754268575,0.9370289817247439,-1.7450701431410565,-0.537134011453297,-0.11184647298236428,0.026804427044950785,0.008954405558263545,-1.1218483601496487,-2.894883223621953,1.8577409184523788,1.7987166597130582,0.6756415035103274,0.09635041279852885,0.6852792909244556,-0.5967191115394144,0.4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k{86}=[0.6174764505941434;0.5617948023820355;0.6011407406052461];
x_a{86}=[9.753036215586185,-2.204037442428917,38.99519813940423];
std_x_a{86}=[0.7484924356501932,1.0497010602425545,0.9010024081901403];
pred_a{86}=[9.753036215586185];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.5 to 8.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{87}=[0.6398435169159359,-5.018546096021902,28.299793027227285];
std_x_f{87}=[0.6380383227361939,0.7706864008466775,0.4866711398990265];
pred_f{87}=[0.6398435169159359];
obs{87}=[0.39221159412663414];
sqrt_r{87}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{87}=[1.4143067908967795];
xi{87}=[-0.8450887953698342,-0.2023058366084392,-0.2831110636806083,-0.2154926296981834,0.5135552670055629,0.3402606565941281,-0.07316584276030136,-0.05997436217884777,0.9011571426768862,-0.2404978619412581,0.12004341478941283,-0.28369613427600326,-1.1908907468614762,0.2653475227784,0.003263709871776488,-0.2689761897763288,-0.4107378409766387,-0.15801161104969363,0.61680897163155,-0.23237452921345397,0.018180446844090925,-0.28546124551195007,0.5429579448385463,-0.10508554149559746,0.07802324564262486,-0.47789196154097013,-0.910489617408129,-0.383119902768752,-1.1182029071059465,-0.8944544601121412,-0.13175674668391468,0.023568731798559117,-0.9207379710370558,0.3966088836037197,-1.1365492819288876,0.03477274165007216,0.03746691535002267,0.2168445930939189,2.3328152902031647,-0.5520695465313699,0.8538936510201695,0.5160235900958824,0.08505939907646032,0.7192120890388852,0.07722188944505537,0.32423906206013176,-0.07245261475778564,1.7828105274763377,0.5693247434146834,0.08575834444654162,-0.08213649059878425,-0.15448016589998897,-0.3412680692546766,0.3782595878623548,-0.001957850296906094,-0.5327840660622285,-0.349882754619269,0.01184206996192505,-0.6502210264122272,-0.019078601732412936,-0.5351565804042968,-0.20471944790891994,0.2549863707438238,-1.5660730592313696,2.0326949555038447,-0.07424963302068077,-0.23050385383693056,-0.38965401474850603,-0.050518309849533094,0.28730845481304945,-0.06636755045898368,0.8567809037768589,-1.571549295136137,0.3408567447520108,0.40350770446996453,0.464327319752741,-0.19578672601901742,-0.46451542082382724,0.24345722115226165,-0.032616384134861565,-0.12701540410475332,0.7110712830357181,-0.5369082273100889,-0.3358279608898764,-0.35438035084408753,1.0069893641896068,1.8670020958869036,-0.7014162253632,0.18852396687896578,-0.42095141683242854,-0.04844001277550114,0.3374577706033056,0.17209484879001524,0.5826428930974737,-0.2508671297553397,-0.16887800455980623,0.21893668428716118,-0.1511437495252505,-0.29143236521615146,0.5394163748950406;-0.1785901970709851,-0.13397050310422198,-0.2527737309377276,-0.6712868529033695,0.5957776643153272,-0.04278733819240532,-0.3016428315344779,0.14223803665880208,0.1387841234701206,-0.2955178264873215,0.27564897793749044,-0.13331067661530582,-0.38579251075883736,-0.4143332601597107,-0.1917260444815021,0.5319430926133917,-0.4042188853456343,-0.3655423133835587,1.0125019582448216,-0.20948023702843876,-0.4061317956084185,-0.04795179571402386,0.4631359173538785,-0.40408505263776906,0.12685203261307798,-0.3962127669450153,-1.0410150546949435,0.4816935519550096,-1.106983073863839,-0.6314289205077648,-0.026169571887347587,-0.1173905978264802,-0.1847925264740562,0.8898024271829605,-0.48223494407409984,-0.17041995695823342,0.44560510221133054,0.2480026091691272,3.656886418323965,-1.3960856636023466,-0.22682111607160138,1.07371952129323,-0.02312352277011609,0.9853838408291811,0.18586946361791767,-0.1330571963165763,0.1025717097732688,2.64522241249711,0.38499717359154406,-0.3696866208923364,-0.0761001794661178,-0.27202949357693473,-0.5416656160140967,0.3260859714872426,-0.0867858707388498,-0.39359904004338553,-0.5533854604136081,-0.12442154166971697,-0.6302933087427967,-0.10874158005452461,-0.4387057800936329,-0.26911174235742497,0.5372418517360007,-0.4958139648942117,2.7806264010591355,0.5351718130851726,-0.6301086789412667,-0.057365898435515206,-0.25645362662316273,0.45575333712081356,-0.4933409305656582,-0.5348108822347859,-1.4691075187799987,-0.434730643585052,0.8564562253520744,0.24790487909191405,0.22980823209854506,-0.6587065441742563,-0.2102646124602181,-0.35314869039886165,-0.12453773999366913,1.3088694220134416,-0.9407419443744729,-0.37555886543677186,-0.5492965054886225,0.10368618737850532,2.096657434093679,-0.964561414957207,0.1251739165636243,-0.651610435923021,-0.8075005589861108,0.7973395012645872,-0.028949981286800153,0.36695502086503407,-0.2913571727951805,-0.10938736705052232,0.25621564555792986,-0.17938202204469,-0.2733559670110184,0.11891309204144118;-0.7835303519220176,-0.13921277585459535,-0.1194850160351848,0.5169249524580266,-0.053665891997464854,0.6140480003306266,0.20411963598768068,-0.28683179316992025,0.9296123408773944,-0.020527628016420607,-0.1948171881292069,-0.2562986654075665,-0.8311483955236518,0.7967547517027249,0.2141204390190019,-1.0354872008161493,-0.08924628512395572,0.15603331318945735,-0.3579991363675603,-0.10277927418578159,0.45168769068163783,-0.34069027995784396,0.16718662850325572,0.2940027234247573,-0.08006631371516804,-0.16911169909424117,0.03429512753779207,-1.1364504094447518,-0.05753624119770606,-0.4088136726077849,-0.17647350941833295,0.10793166262216758,-1.0329210775691067,-0.47372190556743377,-0.9256186563107995,0.1876145522280943,-0.5062141411878258,-0.025111181138907313,-0.7639679038902898,0.8701962787621049,1.203606455304886,-0.5558154583676433,0.08518525378366704,-0.17334704848666505,-0.14392300940357572,0.48419389737565055,-0.2527974308150256,-0.5295587211841273,0.36934857737817595,0.528337885510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k{87}=[0.29293983000256757;0.28441486772048113;0.05694116345468];
x_a{87}=[0.5460300410872347,-5.1096294673681095,28.28155771773941];
std_x_a{87}=[0.548028400100188,0.7308208760021508,0.4720899937389937];
pred_a{87}=[0.5460300410872347];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.6 to 8.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{88}=[-2.971776027368489,-5.2060814452714865,22.389816101229112];
std_x_f{88}=[0.6495638679828188,0.7967424736446842,0.5270904478197835];
pred_f{88}=[-2.971776027368489];
obs{88}=[-3.1757323033869986];
sqrt_r{88}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{88}=[1.4219461039210837];
xi{88}=[-0.03571621334911068,-0.1702896159134517,-0.17641383499715912,-0.5681097384652292,0.5812889060472783,0.12149091651865351,-0.23361446542739328,0.06171428203686613,0.3924192491480074,-0.08238962812931705,0.26317257469,-0.10951586004489089,-1.0359604417492365,-0.19009146207084715,0.07338031696782732,0.6910011986269322,-0.2653009420691381,-0.21093036288186529,1.4819691092280343,-0.1818323906476178,-0.21753745538664981,-0.1459829303763791,0.3681080741351441,-0.17280750364918473,0.13829817763120822,-0.5447535685489036,-0.7288691000793985,0.49430226268875543,-0.8246524085364189,-0.4244367785307981,0.3427664764396039,0.181612775308031,-0.25344052553221585,0.5210239168311905,0.12778668380412705,-0.12916425507500007,0.07951128933652019,0.27807675209725957,2.8844059271577502,-1.016369884209332,0.012889910012078065,0.675417427364259,-0.44727991532565436,0.7374624388899562,0.12802407654600056,-0.5287972495317677,0.12024843281229769,1.9370373505770861,0.2923677135551155,-0.19650478753150313,0.07112372131719136,-0.12933214526957704,-0.3486261101926553,0.08519656368000739,-0.015606147361075351,-0.18681580260446573,-0.3546421708221752,-0.13297561860932516,-0.5634762769344537,-0.3469582581650754,-0.6761955544463412,-0.6206762130237427,0.5100293494871773,-0.7484536082676181,2.097211805798044,0.270966875100064,-0.41640323628231757,0.4345668368840965,-0.7730433564818235,0.37438446486034405,-0.46790211380792,-0.33079052520845,-1.08783064105502,0.3567317713674254,0.8551343315539088,0.03226103736031982,0.07632894083594444,-0.9815587128932806,-0.25779904858656444,-0.7327970081177577,0.21976173471657523,0.8894992278894627,-0.45366865130899825,-0.29499322902513647,-0.4033196262535297,0.08894543281271039,1.5038304395793043,-1.1135073498079748,-0.17193029088119172,-0.30733304772506154,-1.0099459692971418,0.48828273793209354,-0.033111670008681315,0.68779953978127,-0.18711931407004956,0.02707733266940382,0.43549666642262386,-0.5113409818700112,-0.26714919678262294,0.32565814472040255;0.09510058243296449,-0.18454686390950314,-0.20731296615199835,-0.7230145110927113,0.66103323449979,0.04583590207536492,-0.32476202951680655,0.09697142831693562,0.23973680387546104,-0.11989742815667892,0.3173655377818516,-0.1010328839957566,-0.987831162804766,-0.37482145005195733,0.01626246351312588,0.954756870509323,-0.3059283494246392,-0.2916338097487632,1.7881497362098893,-0.2093871593991512,-0.3486925547448312,-0.12608043420638282,0.38107388094720207,-0.2675739894977429,0.15311141730350997,-0.5921025257886114,-0.8348046143270533,0.7393022629308046,-0.9012857244087886,-0.4337344053290426,0.3958609049524142,0.15246534452245264,-0.1514275082986858,0.6961415301682026,0.27129602171765566,-0.20887898965639629,0.1642717188374494,0.3059391064632857,3.7630159404153423,-1.271218126348658,-0.2587645463303696,0.8941446931081432,-0.5273196915650535,0.8921896108340679,0.1560723372269388,-0.6981927924895359,0.14610696619734576,2.478631146217911,0.28365176144715143,-0.3266253617448509,0.06560485826939022,-0.18353737762362599,-0.4320635859868611,0.06500419592262574,-0.05366212553992611,-0.19055881368120264,-0.4493617550878488,-0.1968744203557966,-0.6287135937632975,-0.4171304282196475,-0.7398074306972537,-0.7121416379342351,0.631117987214262,-0.5919028127252419,2.6300950921503863,0.4253695154019459,-0.5528262901581789,0.5503112659581753,-0.9050931363974515,0.4472250437217413,-0.6199146507982931,-0.7082040699596224,-1.1372274924768568,0.1929128498171968,1.0734393397793855,-0.01936196566231807,0.15760233504614174,-1.121005509530745,-0.3911680816330234,-0.8798759484350338,0.23186801881212205,1.1535856258458566,-0.599012912345664,-0.3456149922075049,-0.49404927895819295,-0.1000174129837248,1.7760511955380927,-1.2692197494216702,-0.2277169012802851,-0.4025661130876701,-1.263130685755578,0.6466792229471832,-0.09386803285741596,0.7075104142428454,-0.22261251186468733,0.03251968985314857,0.48483116397035975,-0.5797170530512208,-0.30599288239133937,0.25060451486472335;-0.5223581417712388,-0.039273361658370476,-0.009027419722102081,0.679573607836101,-0.3767952749964323,0.3489001810639216,0.24620742648984972,-0.2779008686239415,0.4102776013226084,0.02225928745080452,-0.3158185729573866,-0.15036788343944352,-7.234784112419845E-4,0.6409268314635241,0.10735629713595429,-1.0687919235832801,0.06889875139884083,0.20550969819375098,-0.853909208741463,0.0020080479112358773,0.41879053580266756,-0.20136309949097253,-0.12981432084563593,0.2916422368529581,-0.17070061991501362,0.15890876146316657,0.487958384083953,-1.0669851530050423,0.4808874779776282,-0.02855797950807215,-0.298217405510357,-0.026884890423854557,-0.6114595171274004,-0.6726304058669363,-0.6512823709594713,0.16670276851689536,-0.4763821032048341,-0.2026355124375847,-1.5069394270031715,1.2739573140585598,0.7865391974187546,-0.8032091908538916,0.22910785826984892,-0.5528435096418143,-0.21137446371024637,0.5570054335653722,-0.26610297729007826,-1.2314406852848592,0.0495587639017252,0.45765160420502227,-0.0882244050266543,0.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k{88}=[0.2967384648106896;0.3611926831653217;-0.1885036389719938];
x_a{88}=[-3.018005779958114,-5.262352708892693,22.419183634007435];
std_x_a{88}=[0.5683453390204738,0.7013234672836632,0.4941869551335154];
pred_a{88}=[-3.018005779958114];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.7 to 8.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{89}=[-5.178692583244526,-7.622135854757907,19.531296735912687];
std_x_f{89}=[0.7158498102619066,0.8802660133064028,0.9142743214740007];
pred_f{89}=[-5.178692583244526];
obs{89}=[-5.394748775846426];
sqrt_r{89}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{89}=[1.5124440505730865];
xi{89}=[-0.017517773454494012,-0.19804022540691602,0.9555700331495967,-0.4543213720185344,0.404213610034998,0.4826320226618419,0.4352136295591489,-0.5086832594626909,0.40448126634183357,0.18675262035185636,0.05715429139482886,-0.11127392959333715,-1.3916546064154716,-0.06881485118854158,0.06362145228996585,0.4447521004335666,0.5858080458781192,-0.23387640887310912,1.2051095706514987,-0.4250413759453622,0.16393243883066422,-0.3315560204083683,-0.13144285698760694,-0.04885070942680425,0.5810344767970053,-0.3804703084812733,-0.39026425405244414,0.40564277267953486,-0.256233773991724,-0.3423249872530736,0.45424615188355144,0.1561500594728864,-0.6405711369467815,2.106695607901642,-0.5176300617897018,-0.18155349529523068,0.0329888955109654,0.8460849185544301,2.8806363987897665,-1.0752520594809365,-0.2598712392073539,0.366259320562059,-0.7819927490722147,0.9740151214024202,-0.534477498601027,-0.5373152208176277,0.12452246363587349,1.8909556341818394,-0.6475317829947649,-0.10450423129027442,0.21599890395562316,-0.4565350545142408,-1.2070265992980769,0.0020339673031930516,0.05488653446270675,1.71884685985725,-0.2118814089996306,-0.38587064773860646,-0.5261354610187627,-0.2680243027399083,-0.2855916921398096,-0.5157213987334828,-0.44792452245114855,-0.5498418078625873,2.212339438053598,0.30288762058307483,-0.6636686473598745,0.3097860422089669,-0.570776863907831,0.39134846638983856,-0.29661777972623327,-0.40618393213727977,-1.0868880045189213,0.0769836240492836,0.3618191319504369,0.09864067393491105,0.2931935194488906,-0.6756220439034086,-0.5556570040970055,-0.6206162943199471,0.13151209153115673,0.7493412225854348,-0.9208484053598376,-1.0086431742247735,-0.4373068286996551,-0.4264224970895265,1.2901154360097702,0.10266690679445656,-0.32683719397798505,-0.013449180974269836,-1.0619383604616521,0.4210942673781233,-0.07226530858214897,0.18064734290497597,-0.19351957359245464,-0.27003230925848687,0.18451590865385636,-0.18164584680734652,-0.42561351885395204,0.3330409907992573;-0.12304095494354517,-0.2823437702691436,1.1351232850195014,-0.4871700877598233,0.43508502133465576,0.5984752313257093,0.49582947032013625,-0.6625838227250043,0.5076232353935133,0.17998454808034303,0.003400904657223869,-0.1985095009258231,-1.6239648533772737,-0.045207370851445994,0.05546874967846449,0.4252846469649647,0.6677349979143967,-0.2946665299339921,1.4910268740868347,-0.5452392880101122,0.19611520095144197,-0.4664015140040405,-0.17841966377802,-0.07305347625911374,0.6504674026817145,-0.4894363240788451,-0.4627016929287233,0.3523819561508734,-0.30539510295765915,-0.46576018964881527,0.4935509440141894,0.14873322814903656,-0.8974352870271485,2.6765367256960992,-0.7262982676087972,-0.24244849867595253,-0.05898282427456536,0.995833995382565,3.886735990456102,-1.0529227245175132,-0.24149273710071473,0.36056947966050323,-0.9150730283930724,1.158147849378837,-0.6730710754591414,-0.6067729273780529,0.08026431544738077,2.431461684625557,-0.7282160088140639,-0.11079465062223903,0.20928105315283485,-0.5564350156365645,-1.3331863382370965,-0.044028917215420016,0.019154324458484417,2.1462127190134863,-0.27001556910196367,-0.4899939640444746,-0.648107748271487,-0.3474446596138412,-0.3853850222677533,-0.6293525906567456,-0.5910283238635774,-0.7229109842382204,2.8973741728943274,0.2502682955930693,-0.7397478229701804,0.29923315081818913,-0.6666808961917976,0.4083541066889049,-0.33736022513715547,-0.37846026142002387,-1.1462011267816017,0.12345886192385702,0.36803610417159494,0.10736020226889398,0.2517870583158217,-0.7679388748580376,-0.6121851352524263,-0.7046381261068628,0.11305806702464949,0.8533673819059544,-0.9961055006964568,-1.1526118849080262,-0.5178747663005545,-0.36091326950878866,1.6081069484980857,0.1352697361902342,-0.422242301769316,-0.028038837854522214,-1.0968376155669581,0.42516189488774536,-0.09178304561807504,0.20211002363937425,-0.25866550122251386,-0.3665101853344037,0.1776126791084396,-0.25655547164864423,-0.5330293196611233,0.3886289563534353;-0.4477448942368305,0.0936588477372915,-1.2984338140779812,0.8214519898141504,-0.5757364081201715,-0.3276695944943775,-0.5272380787640571,0.44127500525291197,-0.07179490428395496,-0.32012572075050727,-0.24764230326334413,-0.08418065668450936,1.4647568097307797,0.4364771758429633,-0.03284693120790294,-1.1040550971973033,-0.8610393367841773,0.3024513642083093,-1.3960343123748657,0.4265270272393167,-0.053090689009323455,0.16187710597638016,0.18861737971095138,0.15585323140407326,-0.8432873578859699,0.3161824333851584,0.5075280587938096,-1.149332263259609,0.2795714848459525,0.1681059222726553,-0.6912664794188927,-0.19537038704033094,0.2142288075942531,-2.6099554137725924,0.20751497606581992,0.24892052826514188,-0.43186569955578236,-1.1044529570584807,-2.6632274742102098,2.0024561157687337,0.8866016171517401,-0.8017622715073287,0.9846139102460043,-1.2909554953709765,0.5644721661411367,0.8517467402161891,-0.37110660358652936,-2.1236883652042238,1.0107483332306941,0.3447000347010096,-0.36696643075399393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k{89}=[0.3388185172065798;0.41482841767279083;-0.411758018257632];
x_a{89}=[-5.256483738765178,-7.7173785298620405,19.625834461593215];
std_x_a{89}=[0.5273482642147376,0.644730528127357,0.7155111381109276];
pred_a{89}=[-5.256483738765178];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.8 to 8.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{90}=[-8.371201299092606,-12.096437955385797,21.058882353510224];
std_x_f{90}=[0.559718113278602,0.48294683255992965,1.3030065750973254];
pred_f{90}=[-8.371201299092606];
obs{90}=[-8.562587434780918];
sqrt_r{90}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{90}=[1.3166247466145877];
xi{90}=[-0.5750631686697965,-0.2818129635222544,0.4333714591612958,-0.33456167114326973,0.09390986597056639,0.6849850568860116,0.48784889802038833,-1.4195853761246138,0.3598577376035248,-0.005124410177929306,-0.15571563007441114,0.05391165059041292,-0.8971864674651098,0.1676564896224786,-0.030545307243755815,-0.07153060209253148,0.4636101713194698,-0.20590620806634163,1.128558864897677,-0.3062122189782688,-0.07361172913463321,-0.36615650599631167,0.39107575372969716,-0.03470621062258594,0.35061983869883484,-0.2624018986465373,-0.5192910751949338,0.692059606870175,-0.1584207383375862,-0.24738829506435778,0.21744309295339903,1.1339889357437318,-0.6137311553834337,1.3622357000913627,-0.6022667523346161,-0.5218547131464817,-0.08832000378521165,0.10119460812796,2.2262626250448854,-0.37279525974850536,-0.11276069150974344,-0.33961734320474335,-0.49977736720387966,0.6770008661022082,-0.0985846292760666,-0.40790566639208947,0.19508868947671054,1.5489301815856305,-0.06656566133071351,0.22456393263110108,-0.12766935630256526,-0.03486088504414653,-0.868872386729505,-0.6295434040625345,0.027362977180823478,1.2750975798248634,-0.01680201277115856,-0.3438754088275715,-0.2499635861833447,-0.23583905854157017,-0.43217834127813504,0.06522132427000038,0.4241624088586562,-0.41634231665354804,1.59338537967795,0.09227667512770132,0.2955107814548459,0.20443473709478077,-0.289981396465107,0.2661628880366216,-0.4163333073520299,-0.15274199992328796,-0.5829045368003793,0.008555845122318217,0.20489721844603892,0.03715842600084862,0.29911766142527085,-0.03703882054095686,-0.35164959841668697,-0.5905873965909034,0.08833588376262824,-0.1861671324984311,-0.5108670492419147,-1.0090888959381612,-0.21781146056197898,-0.42598763753602675,1.0607481525559397,0.10511370035731282,-0.13146851987590047,0.2395050257119422,-0.7076748196644154,-0.27821308494346475,-0.02987006985780738,-0.25770167139502576,-0.13838417358605426,-0.14595807162795715,0.3658915162059806,-0.09415127767723597,-1.0643258746512174E-4,-0.06707837689633855;-0.66354370495959,-0.314559526818325,0.21831237327242015,-0.10460992239001854,-0.04275785339029703,0.5942013011653646,0.30990137933546613,-0.7660313569104176,0.38643580325672033,-0.10794905190788384,-0.2576054416015694,-0.1276794246329942,-0.5955973609695508,0.23077279546140694,-0.05966489375430051,-0.38957288577536175,0.23220383455272398,-0.18286314860010577,0.9446840206681255,-0.29478505380089004,-0.04147934068003423,-0.4230746793070903,0.24582655776139184,-0.041875479065685894,0.14315218092146687,-0.2955806214386101,-0.3393333208609146,0.2236176892898527,-0.16100122211799395,-0.34122431084715465,0.024990357438637645,0.9032139669301014,-0.7283868171679089,1.188413585831329,-0.6546287396273343,-0.3609767689633472,-0.3220081131425516,-0.029123418344802587,2.4869069075293044,0.17573588722085276,0.15759770870996448,-0.4636510320901426,-0.3129950631255358,0.44169267350575403,-0.1634155335873757,-0.1844024226798382,-0.028825420711539707,1.4603295460720513,0.038405089749458554,0.20699855003578094,-0.20590788791754733,-0.061329653206550816,-0.28874587289907616,-0.47049443250438294,-0.07071509869905235,1.06471027837984,-0.059473804833592325,-0.2670372356620039,-0.24478504709919413,-0.2343361159332531,-0.42194418644665355,-0.01701805035398074,0.19777345425291415,-0.5534429865791282,1.6112540687164891,-0.24215881613883816,0.30137733254397325,-0.03946599779777671,-0.19814835886293558,0.046937513039036816,-0.21542571801302834,0.21320436461598113,-0.17610630225386714,0.16143130840207576,-0.02786469066937336,-0.002382955556173627,-0.03272180528413138,-0.007624265014126053,-0.10476635886582741,-0.29627226459926703,-0.04160615305817572,-0.33193313870094343,-0.12606828140772208,-0.4552053152701063,-0.15533763393047373,0.14119444606041043,0.9619379399037573,0.051665699198695236,-0.16899675779638024,0.13385643739889908,-0.06522353887824295,-0.4301413397805458,-0.040071010535426055,-0.1568050021704881,-0.16049648390628235,-0.21183823644227218,0.1764157300867062,-0.17993932623808817,-0.09531405564069395,-0.018804673092086333;0.8523217213157608,0.464267073169605,-1.2075383131360908,1.0932820307975852,-0.3961054853133099,-1.365201305272901,-1.2007328987202222,3.534996246074499,-0.4847277230213898,-0.15867980173484852,0.11553102470890764,-0.4315261779139412,2.064290931050593,-0.08981876531706234,0.05603756712936203,-0.4966737824499283,-1.3002662946142394,0.4637093124393701,-2.487469814782944,0.5944419761948119,0.2725205570745537,0.5735887245855551,-0.9510303716990371,0.1146552301088164,-1.0548326201351372,0.4192401832019357,1.2868792430658864,-2.333312967104053,0.29951779958054203,0.2788375705160391,-0.7226932042231695,-2.602678057410415,0.841538932908577,-3.0366572892375814,0.9666211851625235,1.2710454609511252,-0.28220743936954307,-0.3894595242343257,-3.729195055544892,1.7394949147345358,0.8491868754392158,0.37359680766433456,1.2541994040947344,-1.716375670702842,0.0905754319140577,1.1861994873894233,-0.7715216756930836,-3.188230340084612,0.3635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k{90}=[0.24048214757372507;0.19159036820641925;-0.5368883214094164];
x_a{90}=[-8.424045235347288,-12.138538332925908,21.176859062046333];
std_x_a{90}=[0.4610548615565497,0.3976323200488742,1.1164361484196825];
pred_a{90}=[-8.424045235347288];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.9 to 9.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{91}=[-11.840137317661993,-14.055370423369448,28.707587679055578];
std_x_f{91}=[0.2113838240999532,0.7571858041749169,1.0195494643242418];
pred_f{91}=[-11.840137317661993];
obs{91}=[-11.919745899895384];
sqrt_r{91}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{91}=[1.0454462745595368];
xi{91}=[-0.274867592439076,-0.12585933226062096,-0.09775655466496325,0.1437065827729036,-0.1349182807844045,0.18115020619766753,-0.01930847974362848,0.21445804445248484,0.2775995300070129,-0.11141587980191758,-0.15792467051651293,-0.18789979674433077,0.013393151903084544,0.12533560358489382,-0.03697870495250655,-0.35314609145095055,-0.11707822504311594,-0.0556603316825619,0.15073315725089032,-0.08110251144812075,0.03109792863391192,-0.1755993144705279,-0.04825846171559256,-0.0038343314163924447,-0.10503328821341817,-0.11264852594321262,0.015110989587604706,-0.3148993810388916,-0.057625734800083706,-0.19320721152987197,-0.0862471619819658,-7.708352577022737E-4,-0.2711870607767768,0.18525746610302285,-0.25200212345820816,-9.739156797561321E-4,-0.26883050859117574,-0.1124350309885056,1.0165304914760434,0.4477831889785229,0.2910603257464963,-0.23696045314401104,0.03940031732398808,-0.09375110742510806,-0.06948441859521992,0.13489044684055607,-0.17542216681339973,0.41431654876303803,0.109108642418148,0.05390757266458479,-0.08377361505951697,-0.01486991792306469,0.3089671970067762,-0.030362543606548442,-0.10429345698829806,0.18303352603129852,-0.03060711967547114,-0.03016786124880788,-0.07887124038763815,-0.08069828820118907,-0.12420549458866148,-0.08326445246177983,-0.12752692361597973,-0.26560608182913903,0.5761758269309869,-0.3597720725080453,0.10691647401992022,-0.211780836049833,-0.008086585452105055,-0.15494820285571187,0.07181301309187482,0.35344185706124165,0.2319341606011598,0.17476582862228263,-0.20374836974171195,-0.027365537071272428,-0.2747798308363443,0.008323224040005073,0.12531644689754273,0.10332098443460502,-0.10652662335717977,-0.21016135229669963,0.2354193441210235,0.24034897193735105,0.001568830817220146,0.43786376620003153,0.25669970201496106,-0.0365085243038763,-0.09134866804601671,-0.04708367716677664,0.42321569792881064,-0.12735843348650278,-0.017205697806286224,0.033735640527631006,-0.06404142399196466,-0.09969265788187265,-0.08943372735127042,-0.12403805082860941,-0.10138228579255326,0.02489634879390934;0.5130384064744611,0.13499855027124852,-0.7674267061741027,0.6245376663406201,0.004840530994336234,-0.9334486404152145,-0.7966015605131211,2.012896001354294,-0.9452560008245445,-0.21751512406781437,-0.05076119451995531,-0.27899850346152455,1.1340244887112512,0.07149353576594208,0.011675174778295272,-0.6657535511381827,-0.6934551908092068,0.5856812223398631,-1.0749359019037907,0.12735231875158703,0.012469017647243064,0.26227680950157684,-0.3658787011445348,-0.10536732225891221,-0.8219630478520603,-0.06109431057341652,0.995680030570389,-1.5088206155805501,0.05621838485578756,0.28920674175248884,-0.9260521596903697,-0.5189442821376264,-0.6148606575908246,-1.122555441661932,1.0162283878741043,0.9316498359260343,-0.4250491758470645,-0.19337023144595022,-0.6154760818061007,1.1375479332563518,0.2636065680480115,-0.08592613363639146,0.5057793868504614,-0.5126979241213068,-0.35876379290291105,0.16194476818559345,-0.6275974622939913,-1.28145754763983,-0.07346724406888683,-0.10811568192600696,-0.4924680146343263,-0.31276026756922626,1.6235489548086193,0.7267762096511703,-0.08334233378961642,-1.34998405417765,-0.27839660854735726,0.5098343914509247,0.22484621712037267,0.19503665658464087,0.3988112413187501,-0.11412504034937676,-0.603653771514221,-0.23749144694346747,-1.0521427778516443,-0.4317642161954609,-0.1710469187208048,-0.5870620486043308,0.41837412493126,-0.595615208219904,0.9424518151137278,0.8018092135993982,0.7653603905785946,0.31189464343675155,-0.4810781014755854,-0.07119037558133634,-0.8232260718928792,0.21036207797853557,1.6355279156543876,1.6941596044672025,-0.35890172506568163,-0.24198448723399046,0.8998923239835168,1.806127838775934,0.16617541833949367,2.0900354405946207,-0.9837265807205249,-0.018529195171991475,0.10495303835482162,-0.2770984194127504,1.5418719345083467,-1.3274898717532704,-0.0015208943977285116,0.4428718570664376,0.011214340759932995,-0.25053903763001806,-0.5629964229086255,-0.017102746540581748,-0.21890817014723218,0.3206735857277767;1.3953398675191693,0.5412786803627654,-0.709313591274821,0.42796198240596794,0.41275851185485735,-1.7327952994526044,-0.9684851645164656,1.8774405114618808,-2.0452478811095673,0.0512689693258821,0.39372121775353364,0.18813975030940355,1.37883894128586,-0.21361622968287008,0.15980698234426427,0.16651246591487023,-0.5506809406223994,0.9204450015918049,-1.8738417110173273,0.4025785380716691,-0.03725076483967271,0.8258641329613532,-0.29936890953090867,-0.10114765984596374,-0.765298848461466,0.254294003429937,1.2204385960343416,-1.0861014991800744,0.2459374908737182,0.915754831141701,-0.9439162936369279,-0.674403107499856,-0.017117331630242205,-2.0530693080443996,1.942318711688209,1.1836592963057875,0.24253893422883976,0.0960345702184,-3.902872422373946,0.25275969537489473,-0.437396842174234,0.55596184988784,0.5455738824873819,-0.3733096138422205,-0.23466629716550358,-0.14599884480810132,-0.2873856122198646,-2.9915966588473317,-0.383111436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k{91}=[0.04347069348798809;0.03907689734031079;-0.07700972351628435];
x_a{91}=[-11.844133680965376,-14.058962854637763,28.714667364433705];
std_x_a{91}=[0.21384148145536816,0.7606684677270914,1.0152433844900608];
pred_a{91}=[-11.844133680965376];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.0 to 9.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{92}=[-11.263139540761427,-7.918087506679459,33.99704387267441];
std_x_f{92}=[0.5760267492422575,0.7942163540004662,0.6341033047254466];
pred_f{92}=[-11.263139540761427];
obs{92}=[-11.12819878875989];
sqrt_r{92}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{92}=[1.335277608662933];
xi{92}=[0.5861812767503736,0.19679125509847673,-0.5226892232800893,0.39064377887692636,0.10401225642121936,-0.8706820555848882,-0.6105917444391462,1.3940666737552139,-0.956446545510758,-0.0842020246604438,0.07509289026648247,-0.07548395473024172,0.8664151981865533,-0.0246927532990302,0.039328436414344026,-0.24773078326481546,-0.44942952823659965,0.4936829887362819,-0.9714371448015928,0.156577003318624,-0.004649074528895625,0.3322347184330763,-0.24343848435490756,-0.0735484499973218,-0.5677524716936677,0.040078030096026396,0.7557195064395685,-0.9458351409040588,0.07989730938857775,0.3627143247683424,-0.6559460738953629,-0.41250270937775824,-0.27830991646070125,-1.0393936509578978,0.9538626631366878,0.718715561185375,-0.12169311516087689,-0.06109957792340737,-1.2871508313778328,0.5898029338139601,0.007395871866554771,0.10523168467517685,0.36309682547133804,-0.3314050869172789,-0.22001556597295213,0.0345591438122721,-0.35429988822213154,-1.3628765401085143,-0.13622482731996577,-0.11807821982739064,-0.31846745915682106,-0.22971730742617602,1.0461916517939773,0.5854454189276694,0.022794984732676937,-1.224865863818673,-0.19392165057791644,0.4157040093947355,0.22399917085685495,0.21719951264866566,0.40613458605322883,-0.024498018684624867,-0.37387638785492605,0.015759750017744878,-1.2963106582417314,-0.06662603622505436,-0.1998930779831003,-0.30018605058420533,0.3282710068551058,-0.34323363373095006,0.6874487180356716,0.39620374383181556,0.43518481709535983,0.12720601450588376,-0.21964198043733774,-0.031259208094558844,-0.4313528074943722,0.16194341486972164,1.183120330146048,1.2384780105016127,-0.1839948311959887,-0.03551075956954719,0.5401656165475277,1.227506846094398,0.1344084940990964,1.3415112215252911,-0.9730085367920971,0.012745108615657585,0.1525698458564566,-0.18141805319097948,0.9165753490831445,-0.9479518428339908,0.01823491298921809,0.327732174544213,0.04823518258869086,-0.12103192757813197,-0.36900502508548705,0.08305098354186669,-0.09706014271064944,0.2505154354120158;1.1362168825094932,0.35909765685082107,-0.4252580342945578,0.2786032580474087,0.26962662583921393,-1.3483770374051733,-0.7756069268556001,1.4627364419158218,-1.6072576627105875,0.10557768428567016,0.32886164855866085,0.17375503470880904,1.0366450071881772,-0.18128727763271257,-0.04623050902677672,0.22102395455203006,-0.4153090867056939,0.6793710576090124,-1.4083786743098585,0.30756550826763984,-0.07770827089216681,0.7227500917500409,-0.23308622141057,-0.11434611526504135,-0.5397580840860385,0.22268042748741834,0.9254193448271808,-0.6446977742230313,-0.03503028564041344,0.7239038294383153,-0.6338786452092684,-0.6008174436405476,0.07308622661673603,-1.5127832081605934,1.5945890477412084,0.9251630268264446,0.28188066896536323,0.13072288114842134,-3.1601007053811205,0.09352174071831776,-0.42049282570856406,0.4921867256876995,0.35218347533322625,-0.28241643130374605,-0.21935890276829184,-0.16378621462384046,-0.15429628893996572,-2.353738737372801,-0.3746614938183175,-0.22186169112008436,-0.30106396923414636,-0.2837168283761802,0.9146687371219562,0.7740578825766713,0.4180271983544177,-1.9044040720085231,-0.1894900025965871,0.5495908897463586,0.2152768110124086,0.5271753364185336,0.7153405328119984,0.12698232828734834,-0.27596455457568325,0.4139157945595118,-2.57355652735054,0.533575216891979,-0.3609101783029587,0.005174947208861802,0.314596115894755,-0.16100400713626684,0.7554419156263359,-0.017205964577197363,0.2003038300138975,-0.128817521963855,0.08778497634090687,0.023389597180078603,-0.10211427282358976,-0.006450422905583508,1.3031958020443506,1.3574835836451333,0.20226085440096675,0.29928189103254965,0.3005916494679459,1.1908538912279774,0.20957134229480534,0.97821179269343,-1.4886091155319967,0.034197367011865154,0.30899903205842083,-0.2892777473737649,0.529742109033486,-0.93090480322895,0.035891800724028755,0.41096550887878713,-0.15710944655702264,-0.06113948103718414,-0.3440082612340536,0.33835229615462836,0.024678319212987354,0.529524128519002;-0.1942545602924497,-0.08831548130654454,0.7144515517060483,-0.5803556002997041,0.0243489464698996,0.6202298538622415,0.5840558588295224,-1.570842523073182,0.5787971072171274,0.26518282938076965,0.13265262533482058,0.3129335481501059,-0.855277491490348,-0.1283576853900783,-0.13469564767743947,0.7230946547898185,0.5755395923806148,-0.42591647967688573,0.784429694080444,-0.058405417584729946,-0.06519432590744856,-0.03765004848493447,0.2983407565633769,0.04740145744057145,0.7040263478988535,0.11704490465596962,-0.7451778830149536,1.4144399468074056,-0.21010959581215616,-0.10931335629133798,0.8120911652725411,0.3157261773536675,0.6432521633259753,0.8233673381553999,-0.5294369061473105,-0.6655973942839921,0.513354344372388,0.2408595276878316,-0.19308538897566763,-1.178746131555613,-0.41995798765932335,0.22246544320967843,-0.455712646774046,0.4310351214397201,0.2711409342470432,-0.2316377728281367,0.6082768413317723,0.7669602918809844,-0.07222343108558249,0.03658298098467583,0.3936502213270927,0.21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k{92}=[0.251092062420383;0.31607328495767045;-0.24122322950389893];
x_a{92}=[-11.233295101235612,-7.880519492988729,33.968372428361285];
std_x_a{92}=[0.5267624323280748,0.7326073642112113,0.5994089600299738];
pred_a{92}=[-11.233295101235612];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.1 to 9.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{93}=[-7.035167755042955,-3.0909701077143543,30.061266415213336];
std_x_f{93}=[0.32442581476411936,0.4133032881934592,0.7417454391924903];
pred_f{93}=[-7.035167755042955];
obs{93}=[-6.922570679574558];
sqrt_r{93}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{93}=[1.111500323146783];
xi{93}=[0.7864942290192696,0.11723857473301802,-0.03351229981604842,-0.03424320192000785,0.12308250703654622,-0.4528138591909281,-0.37875676722269525,0.39479335662008097,-0.6410213878244395,0.05834187657638257,0.16107920197470005,0.056158525972571205,0.43189055856328373,-0.04465454886356035,0.0023698116182080398,0.26029396790093795,-0.058680537977357616,0.0946560885193728,-0.43898730509866724,0.093232664706008,-0.06427305633641556,0.2844322199561935,-0.05850291713336109,-0.0064672695566496685,-0.314932467554625,0.14052135718731673,0.24229909891662604,-0.3837852774878199,-0.15820321302988383,0.3355114183592587,-0.1182983432358995,-0.23707423907755576,0.21204632504941046,-0.4945925895432115,0.6373204812292439,0.26868915227201384,0.4160746660815695,0.0943444114245322,-1.3009616872157812,-0.15253331024012606,-0.2833055753406235,0.31452149052294676,0.06235838742158428,0.16299995292466818,-0.09001615636133042,-0.15489994704487575,0.09687068492828743,-0.8475984878020446,0.01079795441466569,-0.14658191579805369,-0.02675634475984001,-0.014342831348740148,0.11400717503983859,0.1130410226722729,0.30253256379675086,-0.48971754540377166,-0.027836607979312866,0.005077449675755297,0.01796156061699339,0.7198625601137465,0.3150720764585042,0.19831699266517067,0.027785829011766516,0.26824251749111383,-1.4785463150314397,0.47290516208693667,-0.08874069194283951,0.10953392677493401,0.033902550005342924,0.05885166762551908,0.21928530602927054,-0.2425890012297769,0.16214547029830229,-0.008156599071617698,0.1534797221513422,0.05226207005381234,0.08200391339910862,-0.08784728851059231,0.3091346278806917,0.2469108968440752,0.2313636405950792,-0.16568329071470522,-0.0796526643976847,0.28133423407631497,0.0029803098521661298,-0.27810076807794903,-0.552496078754098,-0.0013715183485842886,0.0270025333861037,-0.004667249158107012,-0.16903177820953186,-0.20832865870114947,0.007467363655957016,0.10042879550920958,-0.14798906476741713,0.012467103824845616,-0.12690970482068842,0.16356692273046125,0.052314221270250094,0.3738012123796679;0.07669248996304168,0.028513891834472727,0.376419209640793,-0.35624333565334965,0.05759586418531848,0.03237131936211446,0.38551336664224145,-0.6551525234224722,0.038419363686773345,0.23517401054400588,0.17237965647738074,0.3286481054065291,-0.3681653904705007,-0.26042833536893983,-0.20943626972044482,0.5720041927822384,0.27195516400580333,-0.036042114287172744,0.14034540119275096,0.044454056774381634,-0.10388142823439228,0.2023165241585927,0.12805734632577215,-0.07274770293773525,0.6358665807032966,0.10596314935162399,-0.2584145909946214,1.568809302126135,-0.11706089251343021,0.10606987818026514,0.40679665875796767,0.048084832787246956,0.43349452165882196,0.168661991203519,0.14071891520486046,-0.20266047967755085,0.3023041393826391,0.20327540778763664,-1.2351664168989203,-0.9362000622033682,-0.49705055435223633,0.25898373164758226,-0.2666986975704848,0.02240237056108363,0.1466115946268105,-0.248336969994432,0.33152465453253654,-0.09809260468832282,-0.37974111520050435,-0.03912185364961429,0.14752681480218888,-0.025559550224629746,-0.7191661936329199,-0.07723206276231975,0.3084962424187254,-0.08769102791964434,0.05819529997951545,-0.012659880823209235,-0.17163655402295674,-0.08741826524991492,0.03323147737204257,0.025614526937075333,0.24381852217836553,0.3502176301493751,0.722523467167385,0.5309177379372572,-0.1455225891016272,0.4840051538187762,-0.238723112168159,0.3366707649084364,-0.35893853803479425,-0.6639351769801722,-0.6911092858229111,-0.49479794298263124,0.39794863530223656,-0.0028706715085791146,0.594436186067755,-0.310227442480981,-0.4914646045729274,-0.47970127563972254,0.4443814655926204,0.7428467343315552,-0.5824287677031217,-0.716327128037471,0.015506934224394975,-0.9122823004514524,0.17703710796093786,-0.019166625215216282,0.12123349680285145,-0.13832674403119327,-0.8814230266939083,0.665484607079545,-0.027725438168828997,-0.13370804165474004,-0.2822172892113999,0.0960071853597686,0.2888376069521388,0.18109563393038286,0.14131516167646696,0.015124788489984109;-1.4492109324714377,-0.1913843580038339,0.4569889176494968,-0.29764010008978303,-0.17417622923343856,0.9184190268821908,1.1201125339577302,-1.4930738556475518,1.2798855052488491,0.13132648384650736,-0.12648036401067486,0.24104659624309122,-1.242254880096091,-0.16988737229396733,-0.21303331440912388,0.0995906010079537,0.4092271886320802,-0.21599318167882942,1.0009289555585816,-0.12979482423839173,0.03270774242641039,-0.33354569881961993,0.2541485437362887,-0.047287466652726096,1.2332084426611125,-0.15020192972339785,-0.7338880046501259,2.189718355663185,0.19503391406376025,-0.5305214642371894,0.6524482282584323,0.5170609768412398,0.04717058372355254,1.1293588856762469,-1.0838860278869085,-0.7372604861294256,-0.4763638820857885,0.02565282861817053,1.3296182384982274,-0.6803068906962046,0.03443604053180138,-0.3318864109596049,-0.3884539651528591,-0.2928016788947936,0.3310647750302316,0.04781144425022177,0.16855988922671727,1.5448216509064743,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k{93}=[0.10031515135426414;0.002945511721694266;-0.1893912966225244];
x_a{93}=[-7.039213945780594,-3.0910889143161975,30.06890547371885];
std_x_a{93}=[0.30389245174054225,0.4132767723450136,0.7102788664599514];
pred_a{93}=[-7.039213945780594];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.2 to 9.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{94}=[-4.406650168828957,-3.130414693319695,24.40264475055929];
std_x_f{94}=[0.3094818739424542,0.586935933082775,0.4072168593934885];
pred_f{94}=[-4.406650168828957];
obs{94}=[-4.386309738039093];
sqrt_r{94}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{94}=[1.0958320577611131];
xi{94}=[0.07245494293574062,0.016242893397244274,0.2795313707641949,-0.26820997841440253,0.042273727598056254,0.035897454460684486,0.29218958604875667,-0.5113359161951072,0.04673358655801163,0.17749583831975446,0.13150909844313485,0.2506083907876677,-0.2925466116677713,-0.19692285882375593,-0.15700466629771714,0.4277765980779167,0.20531076007533233,-0.02988559868878049,0.11729501734628478,0.029420015274544298,-0.07564596466216589,0.14650540521169386,0.09184114234049279,-0.056290458039701896,0.4762979567824459,0.08311060054291985,-0.1990723742837952,1.1488181750383246,-0.0874489497258546,0.07555134727989632,0.30498820509794555,0.04033557857219883,0.3192232833744706,0.14165033820176198,0.10751223281510125,-0.1644940321507189,0.22509236884731454,0.14850175103253438,-0.8467803109492964,-0.7152355889925666,-0.3756409613940406,0.2059718612586332,-0.20193591656980736,0.014997845102797669,0.10935577601687729,-0.18576598349786977,0.24820222439571626,-0.03802407426435739,-0.2884438620192826,-0.02671745807041148,0.11163858106980218,-0.017100961554244343,-0.5557243733070338,-0.06193271815591572,0.2257454382566877,-0.04474586230307054,0.04241675638708653,-0.01452955173271775,-0.13330755742123834,-0.06879806661183352,0.028336184816791565,0.009758122225155041,0.18143038857904248,0.26115904946272916,0.5819443690746229,0.40492940208408434,-0.11035486046586662,0.3564292890459386,-0.18068907171991366,0.2565506907603341,-0.2765066918851353,-0.49672804422688,-0.5327735085694316,-0.37499605726060725,0.2911525216772084,-0.004804672551689926,0.44460453004608036,-0.2331746790747511,-0.37713762658319183,-0.36958040860142205,0.33113318301693173,0.5522108357101914,-0.4431332876879237,-0.554771752522127,0.012243718482810806,-0.6746384042069176,0.14826159261594096,-0.012673523934633835,0.08931987988236045,-0.11137493971626089,-0.6671813834034763,0.5007665086317581,-0.019372641710190486,-0.09984218627065378,-0.2130578601377371,0.06075585068147227,0.21902052794586258,0.1395619833185897,0.10345805004622477,8.094305061101537E-4;-0.5850632225883725,-0.0553946589488028,0.5967958845002928,-0.42678816700397615,-0.10798123387755165,0.3760091230055371,0.7467249764273207,-1.2130258092082133,0.5765610144100481,0.35215110059716137,0.10491217584258061,0.3612431354279533,-0.6639394745798963,-0.3051119391149846,-0.2659390069805556,0.5171850358315817,0.47819300170533596,-0.1433813649496658,0.6160982146869833,0.034223650282151574,-0.18251331269927284,0.09695033066635661,0.11351860708058492,-0.09789955009221263,0.875894984299733,-0.10837179083626669,-0.5900013683430734,2.3188225179686666,-0.027958953284676458,-0.08639433795694096,0.4073578335722181,0.24927588417392466,0.3879130142553704,0.6067308671414295,-0.3467394101529342,-0.49308025531869193,0.06618434147881835,0.1950683993421478,-0.4183462921951362,-1.1974505725219622,-0.44756741679276324,-0.14557889349664244,-0.4141479362851208,-0.169537025891493,0.21687130940915367,-0.20907736415062583,0.325758130190287,0.6199256647066345,-0.6012429216336037,0.06627079010271686,0.2775569909322724,-0.007263908058284141,-0.947401285784637,0.009782469995095244,0.1136219940923957,0.3474520906007754,0.12583048073886705,0.08198728177214676,-0.26007295305019795,-0.7149057890390771,-0.33662956913888076,0.004783083313630421,0.32088053528800353,0.2603007760271199,2.0583208423812556,0.2987121214339443,-0.12521677969182265,0.7333041470955943,-0.35889867324037583,0.32652766719143056,-0.6601357502985361,-0.6961584576227291,-1.0819700470757443,-0.7393578069954958,0.5729401383203396,-0.060132239025199485,0.6855572832702648,-0.3542144423606768,-0.9113534238345453,-0.819540020642676,0.3944949362221051,1.014121994001357,-0.6996306002933896,-1.204510866287789,-0.001248807223548365,-0.5410054678170213,0.6849301010718594,-0.009996714458595513,0.19077927879424594,-0.09930523660986479,-1.0085955919126368,1.0107581050848369,-0.07235005294429842,-0.2697371640286592,-0.1947531557739297,0.09570144453144058,0.5022020874253061,0.0837111348014794,0.13291128068235158,-0.15689117006099407;-1.1246106147093933,-0.13069366639293278,0.2394266385990811,0.005895483529030798,-0.2759115896870057,0.48408234593687993,0.4340707209966581,-0.6072791056497877,0.7537984926757169,0.11428116310779757,-0.16804521503624414,-0.04614422725060763,-0.3067191141711305,0.018601210798387058,-0.01972270097337514,-0.2451758990880819,0.24107444616888785,-0.14867787528356047,0.64532363964598,-0.01417936927819241,-0.09577647199564154,-0.20777033261435562,-0.0674966164925408,-0.02151007954813622,0.1922554048115721,-0.3748206823754785,-0.4136972680340918,0.8104840982649542,0.1771682932110501,-0.3230514133139728,-0.13070566166758013,0.2820529361679647,-0.18925700890364894,0.5853154092770616,-0.819420806521034,-0.3656891247626106,-0.4577480988205771,-0.07252147680470244,1.417662297942293,-0.06058081099012114,0.23456976695820586,-0.7638123146736824,-0.13229637777991243,-0.301396014921135,0.0740802989279139,0.1385624425173475,-0.10752428215923615,1.01320421861681,-0.21016079633363915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k{94}=[0.08745140925782637;0.14753768982843776;0.012029870829688224];
x_a{94}=[-4.417575472813135,-3.1488465759408957,24.401141858875548];
std_x_a{94}=[0.2952753272216536,0.5731059104007805,0.40831270053920427];
pred_a{94}=[-4.417575472813135];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.3 to 9.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{95}=[-4.286015030735583,-5.182728471697332,20.207810871919502];
std_x_f{95}=[0.5206964067750968,0.7621538701042266,0.3349711854085546];
pred_f{95}=[-4.286015030735583];
obs{95}=[-4.3223274850356805];
sqrt_r{95}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{95}=[1.2734234178145134];
xi{95}=[-0.47704120242975545,-0.28228067497000087,0.411034591860048,-0.33014937833521607,-0.36004604527013306,0.33090219822495825,0.6142624416394846,-1.0248324071012185,0.5328878941002402,0.3650081841080528,0.21469038983564825,0.3136864381868727,-0.546524877159773,-0.28737198149243515,0.21430060474124346,0.46869378298611863,0.4996283747656878,0.19718027040423003,0.9469254168632686,0.06624338526031082,-0.14942874208511903,0.14208950968161993,0.05135482630157284,-0.19951997310601577,0.7888860491633438,-0.07221816864992103,-0.7830368081064165,1.9427029031981746,1.4157727558128386E-4,-0.055250273408027795,0.40223844195364533,0.2247236934598975,0.4288586921005466,0.5354725808944396,-0.2058701049481204,-0.4153664147738052,0.06134492930520441,0.29724698026014584,-0.3139353750487812,-0.9981030833947342,-0.3597970376269064,-0.15581356277528702,-0.46759844131578365,-0.1252222793004263,0.30625841492395,-0.2871593836651032,0.3237902252029583,0.5166731623780922,-0.2725499483930651,-0.041004450783135304,0.09896131343034842,0.14119850146402957,-0.7413380349105338,-0.32969695313111647,0.053417368079695215,0.24037910574940913,0.10997021883561953,-0.11734149663127091,-0.2361388085120577,-0.8811752601021254,-0.38368921338409034,0.03547556787178774,0.2611113163515446,0.5672112756222565,1.7065282706649403,0.3279680184709526,-0.1083674423402492,0.5686321262009386,-0.3196429632593727,0.3842799093874403,-0.5672076457101394,-0.506653792519236,-1.0166012044428516,-0.7149916662496194,0.19567128011161738,0.07195898730045958,0.21197045948895532,-0.3830090784759017,-0.8815139344973222,-0.8273315387592488,0.3418648024917985,0.8962707767458946,-0.6474975749105818,-1.0181951449037854,-0.08688024753200807,-0.342013891062801,0.5347209751956457,-0.05037219178824781,0.18088325774947922,-0.03520943749699512,-0.6416500617156684,0.9017559162894679,-0.5447177343709804,-0.22538659529487592,-0.015035023160895555,0.09702638224440197,0.47205464140567654,0.06884930502561204,0.12245346086658948,0.04393835318137551;-0.993692225869891,-0.41940096535287985,0.61094064045417,-0.4278721454298866,-0.5730576173076924,0.5858641916756957,0.9419678259788133,-1.5277563506532719,0.9360718863540676,0.5171697508605977,0.22846746263623086,0.39024076409206465,-0.8119745919206682,-0.38080636968555037,0.2823351503824689,0.5471298005741074,0.7319430130452718,0.21505993055024408,1.4594892567422808,0.06475428526105009,-0.23010281768196883,0.11735419101604805,0.04594261173187597,-0.26621091052390167,1.1006024479898437,-0.22532585089733814,-1.1632640426815684,2.839573252115223,0.0532015855659953,-0.18343164226606223,0.48705832416918415,0.38016147798306577,0.5002487465460543,0.8875938020277676,-0.5298654372785547,-0.6643298446911858,-0.06437773884123388,0.3716995860545733,0.08754904542774433,-1.304357240454773,-0.3916971005892016,-0.4542792787389027,-0.6574033423912367,-0.2645845044848292,0.4304083513077108,-0.33517700797334893,0.39793578411249175,0.9940623059454845,-0.41379486234175467,-0.005179988316627693,0.16734274183806352,0.1908453323006638,-0.9805097906041391,-0.38579399224428546,-0.05884546476474117,0.5113012572486619,0.16816642729800169,-0.10967386830413428,-0.33963030316115717,-1.4781440301222695,-0.6985907288654083,0.03811450359010227,0.35980512231893247,0.6852202591807188,2.7509715048184407,0.2649477585255706,-0.11682003975994348,0.829514145345378,-0.4509076536702663,0.4697829601696686,-0.855948457463481,-0.5975102798829983,-1.4258816444783653,-1.0033130359171478,0.29801250024726844,0.06340944935996085,0.2538838268505934,-0.4952399414979203,-1.3076601690094956,-1.1855096232109172,0.3835718697483115,1.251822288304088,-0.8309651938792335,-1.4777913716579327,-0.12408180250825751,-0.1644993679192952,0.9102600765751836,-0.062276212028873346,0.2574415413233382,-0.011974819363139488,-0.785681192839979,1.3028788810159146,-0.7499254644139279,-0.34815643887245784,0.04443476534923363,0.11679180371523135,0.6812492943273227,0.013353237814499153,0.14167792562974935,-0.02635218068269296;-0.49485154034537615,0.07820622251042408,-0.14051924638955882,0.2401935583114252,0.027093872598506152,0.102604988856136,-0.12645943108443802,0.38003240580801645,0.1704744868785255,-0.19431178708877894,-0.30264452237721784,-0.28431791672347373,0.1749022577086521,0.21767310237024162,-0.16409872703218653,-0.5337459200388217,-0.18698391475534848,-0.2514529164411421,-0.13628649546358673,-0.075243181653871,0.020359027918626538,-0.2823733389912171,-0.11084044362166523,0.10490496551805606,-0.41051809283889895,-0.2479193898809413,0.2834838135505109,-0.5291867058606599,0.11252156384943746,-0.22444225014475094,-0.4004151750097549,0.025620466412970444,-0.4633891861202244,0.043572116558618035,-0.4792792701204043,0.02648797276089354,-0.4111293911599283,-0.2835658739505291,1.2803313041958226,0.7695802807928089,0.43496124858216234,-0.4816005836353092,0.2483539785984341,-0.15876368256502005,-0.1824979024269453,0.2978974821755145,-0.3350428508776204,0.3719870031020065,0.039001414444864935,0.12340352335759874,0.01269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k{95}=[0.21471524238479203;0.31203867245472316;-0.08165263229754671];
x_a{95}=[-4.2998489381342875,-5.202832839005443,20.213071676609097];
std_x_a{95}=[0.47043511379461694,0.6930710278557488,0.3202713811131337];
pred_a{95}=[-4.2998489381342875];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.4 to 9.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{96}=[-6.159384192415111,-8.986347092888492,18.72329008816677];
std_x_f{96}=[0.6933063574490858,0.9088057984224327,0.8470940397510938];
pred_f{96}=[-6.159384192415111];
obs{96}=[-6.248645744760441];
sqrt_r{96}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{96}=[1.4878523739688863];
xi{96}=[-0.8430232501343697,-0.8154493465589754,0.7239648963576633,0.35513330932422615,-0.5299551777045286,0.46157283923129366,1.1911835478909953,-1.2359300726006284,0.8331243584932766,1.4588429671218766,0.16314847192067994,0.2873322028367724,-0.5926826060667301,-1.0668239065912504,0.3263222467253062,-0.10396746990830863,0.6564488035285887,-0.015529091828381247,1.3788026607032418,0.06011961597944637,-0.4173501121517882,0.006979924913953717,0.02338297530440414,-0.40341657786233753,0.9636401086515534,0.3110783315207515,-1.0091238413655432,2.464111181402223,-0.036705165556564445,-0.1507095421249005,0.34007332688018277,0.916358477206864,0.46572652869252096,0.8975668611963359,-0.6547908094523844,-0.7513805386434784,-0.14959496405444916,0.029326732655779786,0.15270590135033846,-0.9082292643809557,-0.2437045787444987,-0.6767917473605873,-0.658690233001261,-0.173147818099042,0.31265296254017905,-0.037503685851464574,0.4532414660961184,0.7392515146762753,-0.30710539911823,-0.010864281305313028,0.116245211125511,0.008250844807591307,-0.7004293007943057,-0.335966631876115,0.037867833276810536,0.23210359965973737,0.09500747914440222,-0.11204368858785241,-0.3653748980269347,-1.338707607531922,-0.17329461760106835,0.17281749041146188,0.09019130003107456,0.622252443919221,2.3126378601439237,0.16481251593680302,0.05609055992432488,0.772402333906018,-0.29851332400669683,-0.07651178756554256,-0.8248671095068199,0.1999058222586685,-1.0923386139314948,-1.241638742417038,0.245356752213846,0.0985701057841668,0.17677701494284026,-0.4709336826248274,-1.0857564762775471,-1.2745513522633658,0.2050454835657849,0.6728609041075648,-0.47230677795538956,-1.2863505333075285,-0.0731241650042076,0.09612189904315471,0.3565430786445445,0.09102293945594386,-0.2443614544371071,-0.004669658541381239,-0.48067056311658884,0.7398154661281353,-0.5916005461051554,-0.27723977718730364,-0.4875246133447293,-0.4124905898402744,1.1602822207494068,0.638100731658235,0.1875744051122128,-0.007012516834993043;-1.3204959071007742,-1.026091156892896,0.9223488216282458,0.4695417243800595,-0.7187509798716576,0.6471076949221288,1.5829284940522381,-1.507485310193875,1.1845412023052866,1.9185321873087462,0.10994991052503345,0.2932506221549964,-0.7644801374427956,-1.2686100159077878,0.36721661439981723,-0.27953526896242664,0.8374476843914085,-0.11358610385099155,1.8808020838708162,0.03207709020597527,-0.5642269959908841,-0.09484684932911058,-0.025335403652723798,-0.5155517140716608,1.2188749950302498,0.2841309363583484,-1.2524554811732127,3.4147923929022843,-0.03690345825618557,-0.3027720556587834,0.32751764565063723,1.2171101088261516,0.4802265713214311,1.2333125243256866,-1.0423304971868586,-0.987402175613159,-0.34746792526452275,-0.041061736700136464,0.5886202766888644,-0.9794998027951305,-0.2227476133863302,-1.0651079266368928,-0.8123804804862864,-0.31809827604017826,0.35791628324755287,-1.234378829035876E-4,0.4939553055340351,1.1258533675776903,-0.4333806700898961,4.884846786232799E-4,0.1409552422430309,-0.01879647018601993,-0.7874572647469105,-0.3644091743687081,-0.0904929332678428,0.4013334728199567,0.10073677301320316,-0.11526558328468361,-0.476750505013527,-1.7819001495216664,-0.3614089757777297,0.1780172099363213,0.06986464561575367,0.6746097747206736,3.344400537062829,0.00850959971734433,0.0765143692031085,0.9849428170333976,-0.3843771868845067,-0.20130426847381955,-1.0483008151257422,0.3418958019170173,-1.2762672242618827,-1.4558725477998884,0.29491295653912,0.06646295682802084,0.15402389715802656,-0.5586239562653343,-1.3329253177638165,-1.5148693633457047,0.14491542466708296,0.8139657604666386,-0.5107998549514825,-1.5360748976007077,-0.11410056537940072,0.35580224396435334,0.5380005114888906,0.09416518019225606,-0.3416502202872831,-0.0014270749970695107,-0.49490028608644465,0.9357561104672492,-0.711782649332628,-0.3926805512364382,-0.5631642553194371,-0.5651643933625898,1.5263896764383587,0.7394331654088173,0.1822824948626618,-0.11493977897129781;0.49662359093537134,1.021813129000435,-0.8917335918437317,-0.3826291446183525,0.5523921794366942,-0.4058045294459589,-1.3182621236266847,1.6506769371609593,-0.7164996764539104,-1.737852936324984,-0.4386297132023351,-0.5418369456871837,0.7054938771809169,1.5044202097428752,-0.5149882152356007,-0.21319199774384145,-0.8348376415087202,-0.17145610861030747,-1.413552441904347,-0.1659214126399995,0.4757349553508128,-0.24840531570148272,-0.15008163558345444,0.5045674403263618,-1.2727728900326518,-0.6746990197725644,1.3050232677842075,-2.412691218968785,0.10197707759519758,-0.06351386439493112,-0.6738688251733045,-1.0280742452039995,-0.8708578001302207,-0.8914701936489138,0.3387929992096268,0.8330595420034115,-0.19638292867731266,-0.22831522502953305,0.7626537447928428,1.5220484437403954,0.5265485140123936,0.3826673542881238,0.891208201502458,-0.0017902025147726874,-0.48690204663349945,0.16205389354480104,-0.780321657595568,-0.4423931516785231,0.30040390927955585,0.059187985928144116,-0.14893235001646232,-0.0915330228566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k{96}=[0.3278903085442052;0.42820141441042775;-0.37930019097331136];
x_a{96}=[-6.171973641383434,-9.002788017534357,18.737853435339584];
std_x_a{96}=[0.5629685576578423,0.7483434079507507,0.6854117892773053];
pred_a{96}=[-6.171973641383434];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.5 to 9.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{97}=[-9.80889278061379,-13.894588151638114,22.644993784729692];
std_x_f{97}=[0.60456947095633,0.45818124114927766,1.5008828029175294];
pred_f{97}=[-9.80889278061379];
obs{97}=[-9.98254501937671];
sqrt_r{97}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{97}=[1.3677343292650048];
xi{97}=[-0.46987053664410894,-0.8570428567942017,0.6376114412188372,-0.3541121481425833,-0.3680218479993478,0.20820407095142812,1.005079241497791,-0.68397676642339,0.6004312820856335,1.1924743827702962,-0.18676944388652572,-0.1141222641652142,-0.4390879823449847,-0.24496571059357208,0.2301805712502052,-0.26990441359316186,-0.07350663935530122,-0.6075320035512135,0.6193911771969969,-0.055662253717732924,-0.8761484019170798,-0.2657652954890857,-0.15229379200430948,0.1400167515875772,0.5853168023165143,-0.5821414532562272,0.07580614638687955,2.0412266797091876,0.04507203628398848,-0.024866204392486324,0.12155367398824168,0.5620853537855783,0.19194161715740066,0.6916553879736274,-0.6926528239587473,-0.15307236248098555,-0.28732786729405113,-0.25137945571263387,0.3941929586300894,-0.5827367897226914,0.5763088378664669,-1.0005780288057142,0.7017171134957465,-0.9367067252753447,-0.054299466163756804,-0.35240227310899463,0.2138689783696801,0.6562489038853556,-0.3058154828202895,-0.018405295716021897,-0.2431106825581555,-0.028566643274473336,-0.5256168493443116,-0.22597349485834606,-0.15898300418364286,-0.21463258381088934,-0.03658628246840756,0.12935821489180022,-0.5031536936018028,-1.1108653717522348,-0.263893181811353,0.19769777041923398,-0.14775304078839824,0.20109839675162,2.64215312885893,-0.298209259910724,-0.04134773639924916,0.27708631576435927,0.5119400960496421,-0.19240973721506371,0.20094557854347705,0.06874068476180994,-0.7608721391968611,-0.7151457772232774,-0.3176009366673931,0.31944310827876343,0.09278864940670495,-0.08500795214229662,-0.9280901566934734,-0.6460957869407569,0.25179619589029834,0.5973250270127082,-0.842383041124517,-0.36024325842805993,-0.12318077556723317,0.34102143984929434,0.45433487450324783,-1.7065797300830354E-4,-0.35527173846235627,-0.149606084677254,-0.08150094687363563,0.5660445044478966,1.9749789844312406,-0.3023874783975522,-0.2041934368295344,-0.2828609983558721,0.6840863597996663,0.5248802767893981,-0.1327214968908983,0.013497794892970205;-0.6222928877848002,-0.23254065626430354,0.2775139131852331,-0.186867324034381,-0.25862581822489794,0.12272744719140505,0.6286226085427966,-0.08911860731425136,0.4427105672920746,0.7340425518734381,-0.32842015990937234,-0.26680941207522935,-0.21103937023625896,0.04749594699279136,-0.036677262437583735,-0.43061995668368347,-0.14973071675633598,-0.43750719243564795,0.4202072588550596,-0.1622252589675579,-0.32716456413575834,-0.3578396805133224,-0.22014438105998835,0.025757145755179067,0.19385891606177097,-0.5170773791502015,0.0740218976619591,1.7821739650445458,-0.002045608231380669,-0.24465822433809592,-0.19245460895609057,0.2871400099282031,-0.18328135707334603,0.435116511974476,-0.6391599326286777,-0.15218277154677473,-0.45791024002492264,-0.31835499708367365,0.7909515828414211,0.13516061508300403,0.4253244374403611,-0.6820972679977615,0.4438268156201364,-0.49506331209141585,-0.1814288039044385,-0.1091346285341821,-0.12459784587872491,0.5829469330424164,-0.23355780157925388,-0.0395202465984994,-0.17927883498171227,-0.1344158846598944,-0.013724027926151905,-0.02489173143572465,-0.38188543373760453,0.033220424192998976,-0.11691798026656564,0.05537253768428485,-0.2467252801584987,-0.37577401784860776,-0.4134807815645871,-0.03230336896793595,-0.2121161458073324,-0.20313723098890435,2.608654499808866,-0.5676387675558505,-0.06656052149222447,0.0338176219317603,0.22690386546266694,-0.3144250914559432,0.08610761405935641,0.12184615427310952,0.015292924496442595,0.01882066485642042,-0.2332695095211701,0.01383968466116059,-0.15199229281277304,0.0039182416099876605,-0.1392876715958984,0.0016574723273024006,-0.13277765390694718,0.18016546783078624,-0.08363217364297881,0.052969963606948056,-0.15521341313145065,0.5057671033400091,0.3135481877780233,-0.09998637224938278,-0.2421488407525132,-0.1140909554255618,0.14195478190431388,0.21238347139534497,1.57140771096247,-0.23706991916485798,-0.02429434761877225,-0.21663506611830918,0.3363650412487278,0.08325326341806516,-0.2398490160407558,-0.22319521595559877;0.6001917993265202,2.5021839396070575,-1.765651280576087,0.946111874337376,0.8724383695376687,-0.4694978845761284,-2.5077443554066967,2.170965409294908,-1.3141254015257893,-3.0555596390801156,0.12463316270761027,-0.0201351783483652,1.177363493484151,0.9611958566326848,-0.8449427299856822,0.23948644293047394,0.03604368416188919,1.386261495064936,-1.4391228959608,-0.03675939067309386,2.4218040025829843,0.35084121942914237,0.19023451769956523,-0.4008642120651018,-1.7509983641428697,1.1594201722163682,-0.10361769229366402,-4.341551120861169,-0.12136877362513232,-0.2947387994395392,-0.7433356543188125,-1.471597450221715,-0.9711292943538794,-1.650493708514155,1.326769477415791,0.3055282833332562,0.24923877019060825,0.3726258917637111,0.0632827566784826,2.205621761418083,-1.2548922647613843,2.263439056145984,-1.690280470653022,2.346840964086617,-0.07385534558909512,1.0588410781251802,-0.94008708366432,-1.243600365191,0.7015921528954969,0.04146180157964707,0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k{97}=[0.2688638585701205;0.1765906938609863;-0.6459399607413033];
x_a{97}=[-9.885232154997569,-13.944728111553284,22.82839758156099];
std_x_a{97}=[0.4828382993776553,0.39139961894872405,1.22414160183136];
pred_a{97}=[-9.885232154997569];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.6 to 9.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{98}=[-12.62815983737908,-12.922105078718872,32.07202856243271];
std_x_f{98}=[0.23925089215110854,0.9902719519438897,0.8829313189861075];
pred_f{98}=[-12.62815983737908];
obs{98}=[-12.738402904515915];
sqrt_r{98}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{98}=[1.057246501057085];
xi{98}=[-0.023359249482590272,0.30281602921735384,-0.22836219519975742,0.06385365640730889,-0.03457629449394872,-0.05286970014230441,-0.18502716116435458,0.28911458462035533,-0.05223405631352662,-0.23635021298619563,-0.21641660393605555,-0.16571612417530623,0.11266751653973905,0.5316115511654917,-0.21247239686312192,-0.2221744079814698,-0.05028058277771308,0.005685860052755842,-0.05661952638914336,-0.14661713900476592,0.31460436306422324,-0.10032238887800737,-0.15308286643254299,-0.08219173139259972,-0.19724584941562107,-0.04937317506520422,0.082247981971177,0.22358411753802798,-0.09313078351593163,-0.30018566558971926,-0.26427952185290415,-0.17196663236454413,-0.3195774708463901,-0.10560737728718905,-0.22287587046091595,-0.03608026546798193,-0.2538416704559321,-0.10318406412547532,0.4863718044707426,0.5393673063431184,0.02579657999853069,0.03125940565477592,-0.10645216267293023,0.27941009622178825,-0.20004292641506716,0.22703005317430147,-0.29405562832316434,0.07503396131394702,-0.0034599799771761752,-0.08136570952291144,-0.1262929341928576,-0.08968053085572691,0.29051571257560305,0.1581010064896251,-0.0348998146412427,0.23365895476238485,0.02583320086655938,-0.04030403588657805,0.12952855624294557,0.4670443934962112,-0.1938665309817882,-0.1908744476732771,-0.06104175546976798,-0.39516596596022957,0.655031579490835,-0.23487123453697656,-0.06408162483314861,-0.160417654391809,-0.08503073546165218,-0.1591312825191178,-0.018106207387004858,0.07457322417522683,0.5711759183536902,0.47929242587556864,0.00676406547187014,-0.23687944099929759,-0.21515156833065063,0.047447153624835536,0.46414499504733264,0.4684871803481734,-0.318362370693265,-0.270163505623616,0.5152514614057768,0.24411972793658698,-0.11604409640641933,0.4179750892504863,-0.035646163772470985,-0.13117979629354437,-0.05106553480898235,-0.007074205665970723,0.28403003595673937,-0.2348035338556933,0.02788358672283664,0.03454087977444509,0.11354168855882563,0.01468541472421414,-0.20351385810768186,-0.3362354933621283,-0.11881620095241985,-0.1639832042687761;1.8865893282463926,0.7470067958258237,-1.1271846166184112,0.3159563611446856,-0.1231247667329054,-0.4627161925389398,-1.9113522489521007,0.291494923606086,-1.134584774499217,-2.2687161869681667,-0.46953192499490726,-0.1341820866708776,0.6317197012449185,3.023763694842076,-0.5393023898352887,-0.11104947806867216,0.34360065388671224,0.485509696891695,-0.6930158206228292,-0.4448793692467259,1.4375487113097662,0.5099854331022353,-0.5511755478874321,-0.30359595578255316,-0.29567005466471485,0.6883211915662475,0.5794260834297962,-1.4276163636029846,-0.6954606166623769,-1.1895622283212415,-0.25525922226614917,-1.143674291175353,-0.6181939522903459,-1.0624533864999144,-0.5857410868583024,0.11363503843071854,-0.27275026274239345,0.24928828923480495,0.421316241723229,1.486194795958781,-0.1180839234638782,0.8157590008544702,-0.981575715939158,1.8965637066204444,-0.9372809243074034,1.3129708608309407,-0.7553369290665657,-0.6479069594930884,0.3178280420111612,-0.677615444836853,-1.320047651325238,0.045119015969705245,0.43081708151110654,0.6306521607345079,1.5949006750286916,0.9349829034462118,0.9677460834345837,-0.22208422730467525,0.7190835667813644,2.110738701275837,0.004133620016119721,-0.5751633053105536,0.3193247059654407,-1.1848629372991564,-2.4330416563177,0.6309692059976246,-0.3311995290540093,-0.3762649360245547,0.06135181553493396,-0.030338487407011172,0.1876409729754016,0.07044792277117118,1.8637252272460998,1.2303542327749177,0.40489221930861063,-0.7909063646372765,-0.45990498072152697,-0.026337997803894453,1.352751986427542,1.5175258508586236,-0.691660721966489,-0.8653311879992565,1.7010094380417105,0.23890189958506802,-0.5251049269900054,1.659234112611113,-0.5695285360200248,-0.5353776013565987,-0.36532177290659007,0.12854652195863814,1.2242566303172016,-1.0998254795540934,-2.5323852052082447,0.659510368725396,0.30337544826598517,0.4171259258512947,-1.1260125840164967,-1.2417847740548265,0.06627040720934829,0.2112103335027946;2.0351604228788887,0.06311365136547664,-0.6652151939836202,0.20725488810332138,-0.027771278217315398,-0.35701288660729347,-1.6804793296281098,-0.4024268370020643,-1.1212689770212734,-1.9835393940151675,0.05333744716557476,0.3010920597845512,0.41955585072318513,1.9040577308558682,-0.03990468098010069,0.4564884268961009,0.5195578009815591,0.5274296991139806,-0.6132359096887434,-0.0959703442974913,0.7617606626211924,0.8139450758170028,-0.18653978901343748,-0.10352242009908608,0.18791667296062542,0.8760392396350696,0.4553312348114389,-2.245153545411384,-0.522137887677534,-0.5365744509036929,0.3820435455114364,-0.8113759573707142,0.1471561909461485,-0.8998851181049581,-0.06908183279621483,0.2288032781500391,0.35927725119600495,0.5456186723630339,-0.7309600941682,0.2890221840092053,-0.17042962034618725,0.8055955325260484,-0.8093402036189161,1.330000044323718,-0.5003621022879727,0.8656598410225129,-0.06599596865339663,-0.895045463430975,0.3601911615437814,-0.5174601313314575,-1.13762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k{98}=[0.054146786960134044;0.14002686299192105;0.013401877490841114];
x_a{98}=[-12.630219035665498,-12.92743028991816,32.07151889002715];
std_x_a{98}=[0.23323467747774235,0.983015865722421,0.8831630425053765];
pred_a{98}=[-12.630219035665498];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.7 to 9.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{99}=[-9.896868001579685,-5.0905791982323505,33.756427674491285];
std_x_f{99}=[0.6277926499842399,0.6811054686533039,0.7429018063152113];
pred_f{99}=[-9.896868001579685];
obs{99}=[-9.807889128809814];
sqrt_r{99}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{99}=[1.4112698301151607];
xi{99}=[1.302872079427491,0.3011788828613149,-0.6162696673967805,0.15807909941137055,-0.10329801797127303,-0.2958331096209861,-1.2759676316452513,-0.025416130827315087,-0.8353371427214231,-1.5773799522861136,-0.13450586188367986,0.05049866892672483,0.2139127297308896,1.8642002360729055,-0.29899925000178484,0.07718930721974004,0.29436786783208113,0.3591617979012405,-0.45293419086957165,-0.23359952575437504,0.8068619092557849,0.44600942253687137,-0.22039863308617313,-0.005956061900738163,-0.18064481957422984,0.5455828210242739,0.3320726378660943,-1.2660796795323552,-0.4257469245986556,-0.6000297787930577,0.011359490043384213,-0.5953853693599651,-0.21355439492196027,-0.68964024252036,-0.24062630649492966,0.1890900230195065,-0.16106230439140568,0.2500976884727173,-0.05533488865648373,0.6943053005884092,-0.1749037957635622,0.5242211742351426,-0.6432872218173813,1.2252479826705027,-0.5221274881539362,0.7724032351525469,-0.3400354930070506,-0.48328789263640637,0.15689261511899666,-0.41248132219724276,-0.8731493894827,0.09055813584684458,0.05252524748862797,0.4379120993817267,1.1187620745659181,0.4340706200297717,0.6496341354058508,-0.13480081974451963,0.5370183175863197,1.1676416493345272,0.06813123153050071,-0.1708210723595922,0.281889603752159,-0.5701934512232096,-2.360220296187597,0.6079945310833601,-0.24492433668474511,-0.1603342441915867,0.13199506421280383,0.08578806489655832,0.3514064032682924,0.01733618701542916,0.9502325380433767,0.5380102879796631,0.18361416070701608,-0.2804168443556989,-0.180873567174066,0.06228955372332301,0.7327676414774658,0.7571803840397422,-0.24432531728139395,-0.3993024784557022,0.8406369416025026,0.027359891786376878,-0.22721172539693235,0.8211650906951942,-0.27291205196079815,-0.19429207298139062,-0.22328678791527423,0.07488042423789132,0.619248272209326,-0.6075613792949124,-1.8541456442692397,0.4432410528091282,0.16631411672689111,0.29339990971416263,-0.680839042091792,-0.6638689936766227,0.10715060039614244,0.19784341219730628;1.6532150584156629,-0.03874070079953906,-0.460893709472348,0.11628735174333649,-0.04640240855861677,-0.29783842099762214,-1.178728829629744,-0.4111781199236031,-0.8499762648159583,-1.3206054098545046,0.07351829861246362,0.2479151892422653,0.27931760737311073,1.6175611661637737,0.009893696435359978,0.3803819580792709,0.39366707494489983,0.3846487817334454,-0.485475451763528,-0.06164470502939423,0.5571578902995133,0.6403512974223133,-0.1333119470377202,-0.09827495290998378,0.1797036480493741,0.6841651047613739,0.3134414357102484,-1.784743050307541,-0.40610089513184544,-0.33959809615635184,0.3387130212149847,-0.6068528422370987,0.17957229584515666,-0.6775953660089709,-0.014628831626144922,0.1596542544972248,0.3349910726819978,0.4257442468768824,-0.7148134245981668,0.13715592465654858,-0.1699008367260646,0.6133913964885886,-0.6093699303106321,1.0683887167455879,-0.3495835412780721,0.6436633878702933,0.014392026802223512,-0.7446528791150362,0.2579329890848845,-0.41040919660952024,-0.8361005280937936,0.21651346598255827,-0.2920934092643881,0.19336137150801935,1.4374657392798218,0.28569268475244947,0.7692879988824979,-0.10936877258650402,0.34445047738869583,0.859051400909749,0.4218505274548807,-0.09234841900879864,0.400404809511957,-0.1003608439135606,-3.7704120104139287,1.0285555893146263,-0.1592448998308944,0.019641330191825013,0.2253990010292748,0.30883588471131507,0.1891746740209994,-0.11499146663413651,0.42873929999466487,0.030491278772304398,0.3135627911814689,-0.16353257532866916,0.09250270067903443,-0.13726662259911038,0.18100613154880563,0.3138169862155866,0.11267137484240486,-0.14087490110468792,0.3903950465376873,-0.35565680439567515,-0.20813344826126912,0.5490321855017033,-0.4356568419809159,-0.18263705981100564,-0.22702502014044512,0.10876391458715595,0.44087961238742324,-0.4113964050054033,-2.2635579846037226,0.4763596143016011,-0.002399046827515683,0.3119322406488534,-0.49559874783654134,-0.2833993536587345,0.3050075239957186,0.5337044243139841;-1.0380331246021512,-0.640280425185658,0.807388739412275,-0.22569118399424326,0.16096760005306265,0.31332322149304304,1.501163253444325,-0.33548672175755456,0.9123117528310374,1.9959140637586827,0.3105848695936331,0.11180576443653933,-0.1796418401068678,-2.1347339682726307,0.5892524843759332,0.17146255136572108,-0.23701963975587148,-0.3697722268763073,0.4549385601907616,0.40181395646711593,-1.0965953392570569,-0.31158337181847884,0.3038000390459601,-0.0877144615965264,0.5001370626801105,-0.4637617866018289,-0.38014476095077043,0.938173590316346,0.4765642781910273,0.8704435830285391,0.25966154770151917,0.6371934471933258,0.5672301080239635,0.7623037035101206,0.4444996482843777,-0.24274661824035348,0.5998804938894295,-0.124629329127103,-0.5347203926994908,-1.261301715502988,0.17906580480129008,-0.49255650697939757,0.7250466752956939,-1.4303382399885365,0.717623162936853,-0.9563311989662537,0.6746448168009493,0.2906619089676781,-0.08445184410047801,0.45286472347387274,0.9948751841152514,0.005891964954315654,-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k{99}=[0.291418282555931;0.28888611319611457;-0.3209784151067564];
x_a{99}=[-9.840711972988066,-5.034911116291579,33.694575436196786];
std_x_a{99}=[0.4635669658683754,0.5424497343722864,0.5721508897179903];
pred_a{99}=[-9.840711972988066];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.8 to 9.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{100}=[-5.469963618588391,-2.252973407807013,27.906416464144755];
std_x_f{100}=[0.2862060451980402,0.32628966585676566,0.5901153186621405];
pred_f{100}=[-5.469963618588391];
obs{100}=[-5.358080844845279];
sqrt_r{100}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{100}=[1.0899351514693345];
xi{100}=[0.8911250557479331,-0.11402997602524412,-0.08371939151479868,-0.01140253413594472,-0.01088414023154094,-0.11927416334759222,-0.2958830382996158,-0.28689184025971315,-0.2732390393967421,-0.2842928080489733,0.05849844186047548,0.15088284341429326,0.0752033999298991,0.4020568866630674,0.11650070240323629,0.0945244583577507,0.23306521922266743,0.10229618619559044,-0.10247515130228813,0.02178332881908407,0.06695566775356543,0.20933176186501523,-0.02579985178018962,-0.21075456608013088,0.19485969337103448,0.5096993449286602,0.23034103060607602,-0.7791861025597688,-0.15159969566101594,-0.04553006680017191,0.18860251830817987,-0.19178220584061645,0.3995928462161409,-0.24523604153044776,0.05183142401933871,0.1339047070460717,-0.13220373002064267,0.1628026515683878,-0.5263348768270317,-0.24262974316439756,-0.05871868111523426,0.286159833410772,-0.04419032429239955,0.37415478182927675,0.18328919273639155,-0.09813735949342828,0.10091302019335835,-0.33082672120756307,0.12149371969248968,-0.011321396388742855,-0.01596927116355218,0.04561169864293557,-0.22796187493874775,-0.04204589510283441,0.5917788399048227,-0.18303347404968484,0.31631647812406793,-0.06302694812650866,0.042508796935949,0.22070073750806696,0.25935488450501065,-0.025084932750775835,0.14466209192070956,0.10770398890678479,-1.6007172838400505,0.6880084113527873,-0.15055191534082546,0.05322550465679399,-0.11894425728128066,0.3589440305345084,-0.09472932461677619,-0.3333100145242254,0.03747368110754046,-0.13077030768797737,0.39665548596304756,-0.053549811368428735,0.08610725108930328,-0.16906609896263003,-0.07408189281054067,-0.05913265986048444,0.15826393576173015,0.017644242343069827,-0.04807814483751205,-0.28373461769529396,0.21988001250062972,0.02817044268063107,-0.3021059407518516,-0.06821583118782915,-0.03809783947576495,-0.06325105552439858,-0.054858237494394224,-0.08362173632188075,-0.7539114972763246,0.0600886649739909,-0.11335779095984044,0.113741127250095,-0.10666243247827634,0.19272162152935568,0.09156352139419344,0.34322036600828465;0.2519137403518972,-0.4668455201311601,0.25238456276325927,-0.09301173328524692,0.062492455374370426,0.035119595342127496,0.3613175965394331,-0.4570542053650146,0.14907609799575017,0.6545129008948662,0.22244864576095003,0.16777957472265292,0.028109796154985656,-0.3941954846503575,0.3558824752368255,0.3665700026200114,-7.478536364926569E-4,-0.04210859716879645,-0.026096371506783456,0.21606381214092973,-0.40146719964415967,0.14375538161828283,0.10483836130229207,-0.04100374805645357,0.3795661164488482,-0.014765665581523812,-0.15667783327434215,-0.20482097124672194,0.09162149901334393,0.3876481871363193,0.344151060982951,0.07607928915647211,0.33164033257060277,0.16584661669135414,0.26554314877568785,-0.14289359402265323,0.8930661874435457,0.13051024670647404,-0.7063232726342892,-0.7133002230015091,-0.0032998786157292237,-0.02408089668234492,0.03529807550779118,-0.33006734532319104,0.11399296954307969,-0.14974717127324455,0.43459124919959,-0.22237189621362496,0.05403003825421182,-0.02878307224232346,0.03385142182041534,0.13650252936552532,-0.4170166727300879,-0.3578096395538095,0.2258521355795331,-0.13031452036367996,0.014560509328820359,0.04362991094777291,-0.31991990116726354,-0.5103596828970423,0.3449380641745916,0.09835265406253457,0.07287957985628601,0.6053960125946805,-0.6059448119336746,0.31130211430930643,0.1979448442002849,0.19664789815806305,0.19448885884882827,0.11878787925878243,-0.22557244321384307,-0.004277107659419688,-0.7488844128900798,-0.6925283649588128,-0.018372631431375908,0.1742296754698982,0.32053556627894486,-0.22685708007110916,-0.7693715376519195,-0.6304066619354947,0.38682737340982154,0.3375518499858676,-0.6335478483096937,-0.4457779912548623,-0.11952524136597154,-0.41169906875951456,-0.08429655746324904,0.0073531353209976835,-0.02021617614453941,0.04617008515424681,-0.25206011439253473,0.32125134741873596,0.033326895029965886,-0.00522650637842581,-0.2189669757073882,-0.05146509303411939,0.324517582371338,0.40514845939939437,0.20979124765733825,0.28239192857300877;-1.5020626909477848,-0.3158570148950339,0.45475743508740507,-0.07801632704276429,0.10854732754225438,0.28415714924330615,1.0046034432657471,0.04251855243114022,0.7195361657961605,1.3012412468332393,0.15126823278597357,-0.10574760892470536,-0.11089720027355199,-1.2681820461059807,0.17664462192388797,0.23816430064097815,-0.46427809737512504,-0.2448402601561348,0.17635312882590526,0.20870194076225346,-0.6035786752070429,-0.22979439372487676,0.1832832085934335,0.36593147100666457,0.06279285535785561,-1.0573051494631365,-0.6431094112020013,1.3106742399076516,0.4061164693973751,0.5349137743898389,0.02700892622781126,0.47607117427429557,-0.40693341987311626,0.6733677466670862,0.21275747372496667,-0.4361277920600166,1.2443772082423017,-0.16603154575149048,0.23842002032541743,-0.33938664286707265,0.10925519910221482,-0.6046666876445848,0.13665857921786184,-1.1595379363439342,-0.22196237141595887,0.03604853153620269,0.3120072846570885,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k{100}=[0.08251422238111467;0.026557669016242652;-0.1341688186650708];
x_a{100}=[-5.46112063345467,-2.2501272430426873,27.89203769604118];
std_x_a{100}=[0.28366214369092063,0.32798583118439123,0.5807944324365986];
pred_a{100}=[-5.46112063345467];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.9 to 10.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{101}=[-3.6902719635726062,-3.2117089727397357,22.338396738356966];
std_x_f{101}=[0.2628433817555811,0.4342581818738787,0.4063770907953697];
pred_f{101}=[-3.6902719635726062];
obs{101}=[-3.578310326961003];
sqrt_r{101}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{101}=[1.0700298007800448];
xi{101}=[0.3055692839376003,-0.3846406033092582,0.17467850049377232,-0.08138588270906189,0.04824487870156746,-0.00552881480733447,0.25331224671742003,-0.5520595254711078,0.10647721117687992,0.4880918089911197,0.16330721458371977,0.15649806814703782,0.02559656058285631,-0.23700682320948552,0.32189402672618694,0.28363906973961717,0.010055962147240916,-0.00960110339062048,-0.04417364230012444,0.17417785906401617,-0.43713065683228924,0.13013302781322222,0.07418399297425715,-0.07567911308079855,0.24720497027410282,0.04169092941918873,-0.0634158413181658,-0.12554228627545605,0.0506003496448173,0.31044995342681414,0.28043329848862797,0.04873720739800769,0.29139148276804105,0.08465357286385622,0.20509113637850396,-0.11427848895635062,0.6713292329114675,0.10124630428897596,-0.5709421625951019,-0.5564227410035838,-0.007061177342981395,-0.016848068668411376,0.0275365183428522,-0.2303450355526775,0.10653981866069584,-0.07518295755129678,0.3244625006564972,-0.19613693531264653,0.05836438867639915,-0.0233573842120518,0.0698040852702646,0.06036997536973976,-0.3523187611938474,-0.31718979738011344,0.22749720300857534,-0.1080318231106916,0.02978048919924703,0.02309175493048432,-0.29158514178022044,-0.3916156066694456,0.3034250728975416,-0.02084274131611963,0.08129886651104457,0.48374507352810125,-0.5110685453217481,0.3164266532760478,0.14012133330745025,0.14428929333089213,0.13305279873378106,0.12065795261589951,-0.19025785814581653,-0.024505481220046033,-0.5506007509309101,-0.5459445387448523,0.05434786015060267,0.13480342373593723,0.2797274876208964,-0.18581490005814327,-0.6163086664027602,-0.5044864627285963,0.30769181670435364,0.2579540635960069,-0.48212051304471926,-0.35666593502540467,0.0066241605487205035,-0.32359097379459145,-0.10135780104090664,-0.020658588610568795,0.03011662330318421,0.025118140479394313,-0.19174505866878455,0.2311338312417215,9.120576161074645E-4,0.006407979216625392,-0.1833937855382235,-0.0024648313373538677,0.2434646359757715,0.32614699110230827,0.15338813802147389,0.3223186686751687;-0.13516501962823257,-0.5765480785327144,0.3880425678506998,-0.12742007451196535,0.09071156399679792,0.14294156662757507,0.6645847545683159,-0.2924732253561011,0.36390508977890956,1.0345273452486228,0.27066110454787706,0.13286798097085173,-0.010243095143823933,-0.8120223915842271,0.39434233501037097,0.44173890404457294,-0.14418514396279347,-0.13049512755215043,0.030608846699678338,0.26556792001758467,-0.5227473465610792,0.07367216507247143,0.15532003664846128,0.08705754430711687,0.43005982707400525,-0.32685715443901797,-0.37590992775005283,0.1592521684113377,0.21910615139284628,0.5398202209584477,0.3581528305995958,0.21612153630570408,0.22580993370783942,0.39145123750391786,0.3287533278442507,-0.2770586358632343,1.2601807809495946,0.08457856854499246,-0.6441380850958174,-0.8522026835211829,0.026815969366699832,-0.20327045868813975,0.072271660067174,-0.7042911592131453,0.045149072641331056,-0.16889254619467353,0.5379368584362569,-0.10118035246326818,-3.0592803742424124E-4,-0.038330074934566305,0.034458213144604066,0.19269882045539077,-0.4383262022406065,-0.44964452522640386,-0.02289315695075178,-0.07100552755817757,-0.16908659837393492,0.09441555710206595,-0.44667967580936807,-0.8620745802126057,0.31218266971676645,0.20416910987485215,0.008035549778410367,0.7569464081006911,0.3534593493297131,0.042243191970462224,0.35834382770295736,0.24031811971143524,0.33787541441957814,-0.05693333433113734,-0.26651065713861577,0.1943425008645634,-1.1123677479996097,-0.8886735147160252,-0.27915770490762215,0.2588287137817953,0.36754649482862733,-0.20676685486881619,-1.0486153635985715,-0.858200901300533,0.43538836285775684,0.4405288830246876,-0.8760441396645655,-0.4424363293300919,-0.33341098497012656,-0.5956609592254751,0.0811399930733474,0.057019934282200424,-0.035010981381225825,0.09354515783099959,-0.3217778565754985,0.48506125035322256,0.5262564753662362,-0.044964352214531544,-0.23726667672722757,-0.1512612159214739,0.4991676635025284,0.4461669040092273,0.23258128403701628,0.1737766319635594;-1.2405003340517702,0.0516115523141103,0.22151229420523322,0.005596572898287633,0.035574988210964165,0.28411574781069504,0.5060305265987814,1.032703673857064,0.39583595528477034,0.5459196276755591,0.011984914972906324,-0.19561897944933548,-0.0893387508170207,-0.8485423785306061,-0.19965309607215076,0.009525080369559902,-0.29718772898424817,-0.2040592827788501,0.18969116410464082,0.003579969887137935,0.28280813406032124,-0.23848322298052338,0.07320647758262666,0.40433699870171225,0.09882437303700087,-0.7788635533512931,-0.5331638202059814,0.6481643778680741,0.2523635319983235,0.11420938408636871,-0.13636322664829592,0.2699308191089358,-0.4342677805635695,0.47431689088217155,0.02690563105282351,-0.17892105586641804,0.4442066824163575,-0.13927250919133982,0.45985603047434154,0.05891022817004199,0.06742709838498584,-0.34527648600693794,0.06791004156959701,-0.6591716371994671,-0.22320171404064126,-0.0989390808037065,0.07413768175680602,0.3908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k{101}=[0.06544658917816457;0.09209508527359556;-0.01799713482347213];
x_a{101}=[-3.674904382326896,-3.1900840305839298,22.33417081252856];
std_x_a{101}=[0.25419764544691287,0.43009084669891295,0.4037039204232407];
pred_a{101}=[-3.674904382326896];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.0 to 10.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{102}=[-4.204880333022767,-5.691022992856234,18.583012122673257];
std_x_f{102}=[0.4207763114740548,0.6344307293447572,0.3482256396798414];
pred_f{102}=[-4.204880333022767];
obs{102}=[-4.108641114284468];
sqrt_r{102}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{102}=[1.1773563656890575];
xi{102}=[-0.1733853446613427,-0.5298103930580327,0.3307071106953403,-0.18048173184141447,0.06750346087855252,0.16322296345360598,0.6217476286792905,-0.40692658992897,0.3217929789550946,0.6895320838156045,0.23345383694417787,0.12235400500436189,0.12521483064455996,-0.8027887409219918,0.4034627233981469,0.40754932772334174,-0.11080187639147976,-0.12809750322626634,0.0415896581926658,0.1685203742712975,-0.49686272691897315,0.08122988416983468,0.13769429434186087,0.0020822572873084866,0.6031351453182539,-0.2876953021590296,-0.5056037640318047,0.1265739644637076,0.1816173952828084,0.4904084479198114,0.11175105277707242,0.15760360903302484,0.13135549830405324,0.35298576149536487,0.3396389367768471,-0.16393890920123155,1.189990016836442,0.045514675906281,-0.5885080137194425,-0.7876273795142987,0.010208434596200355,-0.24244343747879338,0.13895599857464092,-0.6655276315654719,-0.21240846078466902,-0.12308155557310219,0.5035247904179796,-0.026876748695684682,-0.008169465646866492,0.023912394777476642,0.00552022534214025,0.05002447774849195,-0.40456813157496807,-0.41905557197573895,0.05266690502769311,-0.06512543036893703,-0.32055870127719643,0.028640564134909674,-0.4246474606017614,-0.8353091123659961,0.19584091308706952,0.16571477701340154,0.207580419257678,0.6938549602333839,0.39799552581706044,0.025937208926251287,0.5820533598343096,0.48060469869501343,0.2855372298331056,-0.18213440521322788,-0.2910838229233432,0.14930640509869786,-1.0595073504182597,-0.8447994915283221,-0.2878239740322046,0.2317089821848919,0.4015589076534316,-0.22736743446957242,-1.0579667175697773,-0.7660474044416796,0.3864312228434623,0.4051578584510529,-0.8796250555016885,-0.2809858492899595,-0.34982941471344375,-0.4511158254380634,0.043701737314261635,0.03439822712584295,-0.01515599017188407,0.14764068629881333,-0.24729708632726588,0.4601526016683475,0.42783062504521485,2.3143280523640897E-4,-0.2189433546398094,-0.13425335410019024,0.8788854704045672,0.46207067463427354,0.3605080130863958,0.31784886376219923;-0.5699541406704718,-0.7204450153021149,0.5176918035289928,-0.25501045664470734,0.09958068485095595,0.302659299457388,1.0054786361223371,-0.24752549707996874,0.5507098600105813,1.118414113342892,0.3308116867855011,0.11728159844912156,0.1415785274081136,-1.3585236166403858,0.5142915844998113,0.5721315464210512,-0.23391885899253317,-0.23993784878287538,0.09808468615462029,0.23774543384328073,-0.6082221092824378,0.044893889726505876,0.20336644084933742,0.11072646398632635,0.8658017651770287,-0.622497883580218,-0.8490058457614937,0.34993808768969714,0.3209459723624217,0.718276330561995,0.12640495057994894,0.2918089794535925,0.07363021193354058,0.6217515079966063,0.47592364620604055,-0.2887430519451124,1.8039881685042278,0.028855270796833032,-0.6849822300438744,-1.0732602521541983,0.03469838593507646,-0.43665529574770456,0.20808920111847318,-1.1164271346833106,-0.33841925195191447,-0.20376621753627155,0.7295371723267445,0.06208961358027043,-0.055704109822838355,0.02880063784239706,-0.03355556504045243,0.1290695191674196,-0.5020280049284942,-0.5593844254096361,-0.12762649408761906,-0.05028219602045514,-0.555687180917646,0.06001005969528084,-0.5832205653977418,-1.2893863997294677,0.1967042356088342,0.3503613353480466,0.21950684456448322,0.9916234730258244,1.1073388483368802,-0.1993582721764282,0.8677282546742564,0.6685804388109569,0.4684989069181711,-0.37982735275610224,-0.39218959124861286,0.32579534785313147,-1.596753838145811,-1.1770622397024804,-0.5978733547683435,0.3496288018421012,0.5275511894693672,-0.2719788750982852,-1.4876274545061081,-1.099804296071615,0.5185579170627408,0.5859693739711016,-1.2812194110583786,-0.34473349010200494,-0.6748131683627028,-0.6810121237048152,0.18246459109111068,0.09211327508257039,-0.07106649575413115,0.2310640279397358,-0.3658632646417104,0.7083234049271097,0.852100016404048,-0.02509110435630557,-0.28410974879056194,-0.26670630267386386,1.2788444020872403,0.6130235887989368,0.494463351581917,0.27595267030912485;-0.8234734908643269,0.42123796006661607,-0.06531782443389034,0.13218640457233377,-0.031538796071611586,0.08447488090221,-0.04680997789841612,1.0804418673033034,0.06337088912800226,-0.011458355626125183,-0.15989468994420264,-0.2503769717557667,-0.19108311886797225,-0.018379580072934942,-0.44334118418555235,-0.2816807986045191,-0.16001616221566906,-0.07100715426931004,0.09351400101303042,-0.11827372048167462,0.5696336989926181,-0.2517151254310619,-0.04946719294509094,0.3040560305736584,-0.3694124716860223,-0.38849592662514354,-0.009480554538335184,0.3840003636126319,0.05145938421194529,-0.2501356938347499,-0.16068526226924362,0.07999286035503417,-0.4245362037235303,0.10200593093877686,-0.2275344345072341,-0.04670240968039252,-0.4053183106928131,-0.14687491659878305,0.7794274820137765,0.6441917993799606,0.03467448391495154,-0.09012016731325545,-0.07493814936415788,-9.333423086452797E-4,0.0049507032991833455,-0.008188057754075828,-0.29539166499428404,0.2881940041904585,-0.13274092610869204,-0.039318496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k{102}=[0.1506394927293388;0.22444682407634017;-0.06921723428197876];
x_a{102}=[-4.177168878255116,-5.649734032700816,18.570279005864418];
std_x_a{102}=[0.39917704621448974,0.5960382886261144,0.3522302466214461];
pred_a{102}=[-4.177168878255116];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.1 to 10.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{103}=[-6.648999447963099,-10.164616158538868,17.971347361616715];
std_x_f{103}=[0.6036045911952832,0.7919836108245007,0.8411167960075716];
pred_f{103}=[-6.648999447963099];
obs{103}=[-6.606807858708482];
sqrt_r{103}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{103}=[1.367298510186325];
xi{103}=[-0.5413323930411931,-0.7748822159562927,0.4540167462249345,-0.2574786437283443,-0.08218063579838031,0.5353330784268948,0.8676665506205143,-0.2387331775607242,0.45459844975268027,0.9506631040778712,0.38253094192164916,0.1184282141009616,0.1974311129241979,-1.0264264458703503,0.8742918172391105,0.7403839863365018,-0.19387693306811737,-0.09298449315108925,-0.027117263578347206,0.12294565463926155,-0.7444648491946859,0.5345402346688273,0.1726654045979883,0.045454683141483265,0.7915452302849122,-0.9141584437193861,-0.7239995065296192,0.20835746819533707,0.09535503841697324,0.6457878267283128,-0.23371046319026245,0.23499329498354715,0.2693545278372369,0.8018358454280952,0.39234272866789777,0.7371200238095232,1.5787418611459767,-0.16420584160680374,-0.7873629180258215,-0.8230267899399104,0.04484893681510993,-0.4792583430387358,0.09867178140587196,-1.3067991789806692,-0.6249736314186878,-0.12658701692698937,0.5425985205518424,-0.08881558232418563,-0.008314382177680102,-0.05887451019267065,0.3947880213844126,0.14365177040248955,-0.4828811904680732,-0.47933675867551173,-0.06493391702877549,-0.16226657834681912,-0.10482246385555438,0.015298159917198184,-0.580638301896065,-1.148288622779547,0.44497966016465096,-0.110644027834784,0.08458392391673275,0.7946433780264099,0.9644143728897472,-0.4642680018394092,0.7434639129025804,0.5661120616519373,0.507386844613321,-0.4576247040310202,-0.3967355498252614,0.24770343759235747,-1.308669629649696,-0.9501524920867013,-0.604497129711504,0.3080674894434612,0.683067455228004,-0.4081757956640475,-1.3536477061727652,-0.9257574417774004,0.35314826880298966,0.3466114388638548,-0.7214640929380085,-0.39482134981125583,-0.5013883270956931,-0.6620617718667212,0.141266480966741,-0.2515754060917361,-0.10492802056038819,-0.1228569807461195,-0.612769143238248,1.4029592964040356,0.8573225572933572,-0.0994632765968193,-0.26356571142669694,-0.16048602169790183,1.121833480535508,0.5448090010801181,0.5046562909164454,0.15501370679147541;-1.0204686872921815,-0.9120575203546721,0.5972664560072491,-0.33155808627119043,-0.12641267052521954,0.7346460633495653,1.2077861179602554,0.004665587615946265,0.6454072305068141,1.341453535184442,0.4629912018118354,0.07357688013252783,0.192910416684974,-1.4319191802615094,1.0783938092060197,0.9327704108926103,-0.3452587165230838,-0.18521923056611378,-0.01811291587599051,0.12720299902519194,-0.8114115620711839,0.6179444707727129,0.2049022140939556,0.14396494232689605,1.005789044048976,-1.345917429961517,-1.0165037389569846,0.3998110796159633,0.14711900367200847,0.8272180023874949,-0.3671875031531666,0.3443397630665732,0.21268586698504421,1.1286116042440035,0.47489588479124656,0.9240841574302792,2.1749940509621233,-0.27329429374985637,-0.7994605182353993,-0.9307261942175771,0.051745200348303655,-0.6939487029792719,0.10349674383729379,-1.724064881739837,-0.8331471199783849,-0.21004523802347386,0.672447469472635,-0.03557327827851964,-0.08044944177886215,-0.10470396557174766,0.4596760669206663,0.20966540996352734,-0.5303068771746489,-0.5578564070259162,-0.3066345425017989,-0.17942023236479265,-0.23315177701471868,0.020147667206718012,-0.6962670127534007,-1.4568179630139468,0.4776362918655792,-0.057959301753339076,0.0013067023316928328,1.007920856400247,1.6895672775714292,-0.852045288122735,0.975205484721128,0.687266484944919,0.6794811048253351,-0.7001842742047941,-0.48081110250576486,0.39397039393351996,-1.5987355602428792,-1.0995270831783373,-0.9477877444251721,0.39155783059504046,0.8292791396921348,-0.46745394574197796,-1.5360738976632486,-1.1048246074694639,0.38829124061477316,0.41504763985472515,-0.8779562876347775,-0.44889173956169337,-0.8090692615109347,-0.8566533862417653,0.2710595900881234,-0.3062393708529214,-0.20685820213173933,-0.17167877945779964,-0.783282137280473,1.909195890898383,1.3113799358731981,-0.1842955800092323,-0.31587189811224725,-0.29097891197364234,1.4747096574200356,0.6373718510690392,0.6028888421026313,-0.010671517036350053;-0.06046931013931456,1.2441499277084347,-0.562732022900235,0.36690814837067265,0.07597229307312858,-0.6008763898095175,-0.9497693482871128,1.0889649298991344,-0.4606394732492127,-0.9967072023739654,-0.5934036873493156,-0.37022656257755315,-0.42331471231809914,1.1328808858296213,-1.3813733729339397,-1.0835070956360902,0.04859437805839306,-0.026605059257345687,0.10079820456292055,-0.23710120736576812,1.3480449385163737,-0.9268607683554997,-0.25582405518984785,0.15592720104452695,-1.1404478968829146,0.8418042498596918,0.7922597670026299,0.07147289135905055,-0.04495535379755822,-0.9076352961981478,0.2038782350830317,-0.2234959902924203,-0.7153813125575965,-0.8483962496277933,-0.6207719515045156,-1.102121798798489,-1.8409647217870955,0.08401885058594516,1.5616582803542443,1.4078046130737647,-0.057116080786521195,0.46807985170728017,-0.17833431106620523,1.6518008250210947,0.7803325457708254,0.09015506083082414,-0.8071538122037758,0.33218441251081643,-0.1403081659447345,0.03147041068486445,-0.6640685736396179,-0.10384627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k{103}=[0.2686308128400377;0.35068585403463887;-0.35314674442663746];
x_a{103}=[-6.642604378377702,-10.156267673063748,17.96294029177766];
std_x_a{103}=[0.49795196092833355,0.659547607790954,0.7010491133675938];
pred_a{103}=[-6.642604378377702];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.2 to 10.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{104}=[-10.901382397040011,-15.297331192801291,24.020274569629397];
std_x_f{104}=[0.47425047161597167,0.284332183476672,1.422557687182123];
pred_f{104}=[-10.901382397040011];
obs{104}=[-10.961648724598485];
sqrt_r{104}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{104}=[1.2284739796319935];
xi{104}=[-0.5937057441175408,-0.25289783320479664,0.3603097887123017,-0.22348367126033963,-0.07569352134547813,0.5562110794662036,0.7620628676520642,0.26807273013295685,1.042792387798075,0.7427515567772787,0.43589578967124254,0.045206696369485044,0.12067726119228972,-0.8073534879811,0.6956459732760365,0.18007916831029114,-0.2648594334715728,-0.21505318527391992,-0.1163816392019168,-0.12734788006650533,-0.38009706904386853,0.41585889220631067,0.28419988608112945,0.12293702285850472,0.42141750332361205,-0.7853093327209439,-0.5378486456617644,0.31424250078101856,0.07298227210122477,0.4132397938456691,-0.41072967116036985,0.17237417943124633,-0.0021423145418584255,0.36526521979944526,-0.01788431149809888,1.0592112595242202,1.8322723232625258,-0.16684720772615869,0.02491820812847223,-0.31093637613690106,-0.383830364519568,-0.4762904090610576,-0.11338725955403994,-0.7358936879497922,-0.3434223039335009,0.11201330805163678,0.14746529639023365,0.12307590836958049,-0.014581792143333772,-0.03224058480672376,0.21851763987752193,0.2549216018895155,-0.17690008955367809,-0.25931163952985514,-0.5477425113472396,0.0239298091493243,-0.24936830525711962,0.035090722296850174,-0.5500082677546647,-0.7309419070092531,0.4686482239293941,-0.08367200233065297,-0.3454036988386804,0.28809936730809227,1.2639823813009787,-0.5237602338940874,0.4579570133132691,0.46172934305750424,0.31353678796802953,-0.4461233321499858,-0.20675517072931804,-0.18014259258131915,-0.6336574827913513,-0.3618399577015943,-0.5477006866917851,0.18352770972803256,0.09891963718657948,-0.29035573128350833,-0.9572174781396239,-0.33884743781454496,0.1141981324082213,0.20102720942795216,-0.510735929766966,-0.12128456489466188,-0.5260022992468141,-0.5113168525816256,0.16345611428854845,-0.10838135387728975,-0.506484186848903,0.12500057724491498,0.0016180117680200112,0.9007669393310795,0.3842729295252294,-0.48350301826543607,0.14388098713805775,-0.26166030793140216,0.7941353835413327,0.20494552814178846,0.27288034794120364,-0.6188865060818145;-0.7820139582106478,0.15418942390840762,0.0413089775974651,-0.04825979799472968,-0.09719881016329346,0.1669554805118061,0.3187703187923958,0.6449600520452332,0.42633909948579074,0.3531415676851761,-0.027357648199778595,-0.2333764310148414,-0.1801616943731119,-0.17541866862084454,-0.0012067951345233752,-0.10419887851795195,-0.2598522489810726,-0.210985396975941,-0.013134059906988682,-0.13635544596290927,0.31449973755499094,-0.12487086248674117,-0.028836293697738213,0.1454672684930074,-0.02989179488453253,-0.34092252644255083,-0.19707986709652658,0.2753095875974374,0.02025199469646921,-0.0032061913987408985,-0.16719700969740003,0.04396998921046169,-0.3655525580198056,0.1854784349698928,-0.14752657459427532,0.2624202091124044,1.05651288305976,-0.1971366338067977,0.4220870565275412,0.2575872843279363,-0.05980864167031896,-0.2034864960227285,-0.11489376346349012,-0.038691434930768764,-0.10215486465511603,-0.11419906622139386,-0.10899309270860158,0.14413232784945507,-0.1955378613308838,-0.10572585173945015,-0.13093828003787067,0.048079291627582066,0.16121977400312737,0.09087246669797899,-0.5643575406732246,0.021201887195696045,-0.2681695814389702,-0.03994745190692406,0.11727317451070185,0.12097287255962108,-0.15060159512399096,0.13506358581885003,-0.31078645343512257,-0.08275938408867667,1.2459179837883774,-0.606564316626363,0.05775699945886714,-0.05873293365949728,0.05276100880617207,-0.29607055762033596,0.0170242525905433,0.10664940574189608,0.22729439133288487,0.2459773150677762,-0.4242434612399357,-0.04904800542248289,-0.20207876773840994,0.09004786464704928,0.7294555823720277,0.16561238257379962,-0.18829410319693984,-0.08235342834358406,0.1290795818604007,0.10133590886945854,-0.3824388202962279,-0.018502142661036558,0.16350911101504018,0.007480599847172087,-0.1878450941851746,-0.05539969629418451,-0.017760049986687676,0.3558416057043985,0.44538182774591917,-0.15726141413989048,0.035302809588230843,-0.24104489873407609,0.19131849818309377,-0.19004209687207663,-0.12533878069466375,-0.550001801692062;0.7725900447362157,1.1062395476958606,-1.1230776157988807,0.6990455658101276,0.14870274887421076,-1.6176258905873873,-2.0746584536011774,0.1905041930416509,-2.9296961891519437,-1.9501443611091283,-1.5127279018076116,-0.4901777020405653,-0.6677828972668891,2.3654037049775667,-2.4254487227130603,-0.7644942866792732,0.5000542309062546,0.4232338773797828,0.4217665052503534,0.2430794134364902,1.7652186525025293,-1.6220272338246815,-0.9795384259427706,-0.1492622753150208,-1.4675886674919205,2.0576944927401293,1.494044296652124,-0.5709106930507915,-0.1712825176929158,-1.4285166432896084,1.1374591898482826,-0.46836427207673736,-0.5337606585653631,-0.905240455457907,-0.15228694168709822,-3.3164212415232655,-4.845254709235885,0.287999734467526,0.6283961553067066,1.4544182781631356,1.191786240715814,1.2795520256037207,0.23855032015958244,2.3397139704557155,1.0185974478037956,-0.5208225614828237,-0.6413083287518582,-0.15282294752921288,-0.2346430585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k{104}=[0.1859819446077612;0.060133030084764144;-0.5340765251838503];
x_a{104}=[-10.910185665339213,-15.300177529302387,24.045554544808812];
std_x_a{104}=[0.460119576753292,0.28906874150731693,1.3675863205857186];
pred_a{104}=[-10.910185665339213];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.3 to 10.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{105}=[-13.038689072255345,-11.722509478157281,34.309258734061295];
std_x_f{105}=[0.33348656067880594,1.1772913329664032,0.5989707596922029];
pred_f{105}=[-13.038689072255345];
obs{105}=[-13.158367021877737];
sqrt_r{105}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{105}=[1.1128765604473738];
xi{105}=[-0.4057883131701878,0.3414842276733552,-0.2323902432167806,0.1107469975175146,-0.11155715008174916,-0.3772125799426007,-0.32590513768850293,0.20803646424282363,-0.6439881299347618,-0.23850428723967454,-0.31985063531687885,-0.1667522962872514,-0.1030287825289875,0.41067170686880416,-0.5629272839799473,-0.31286755719268555,-0.07087504862396798,-0.06843392454884167,0.08047590586847697,0.14603476463139486,0.5637088504461865,-0.4558224467001377,-0.17703240943800402,0.01429624150124198,-0.4006521066015356,0.22221152444351233,0.4452275477831318,0.0909809054763997,-0.02784641189158954,-0.2567530210649842,0.42015983992065564,-0.046237996941473014,-0.2975564620098776,-0.2360301762849062,-0.11185144147664339,-0.5749786882625116,-0.6137632532096156,-0.05970423811846004,0.32690059388965587,0.48145265414832394,0.1840538366237876,0.08800264883636544,-0.0517957266001563,0.3786717082136466,0.30791596964267853,-0.17574061320759427,-0.18170155749949934,0.03688660273165212,-0.16142728437751508,-0.003935958106380255,-0.2955172664575372,-0.3196236897122944,0.27717280755219775,0.1993402395490076,-0.13764257280397452,0.1864194476989791,-0.053685790617940654,-0.09674857248378999,0.6111797365410414,0.6207217289582374,-0.5943933348545762,0.18182537949054378,-0.13852193760701148,-0.020612972768960347,0.21891323739237656,0.012555319286287059,-0.3258431387558822,-0.4123844373905712,-0.20259721306266165,-0.010092159868763773,0.19036597310005554,0.24944925327253387,0.578036290413511,0.6895056831261872,0.11966889752682341,-0.16794031835321377,-0.26654311536672637,0.6467781440519822,1.2312883435243087,0.46873998131813366,-0.14502126340575217,-0.21479426426159343,0.4866104887289655,0.18458821957723437,0.04056655862966352,0.32084805409644446,0.03870440169569633,0.04261503530169897,0.11771244890896959,-0.20911619013575056,0.013096136928933078,-0.6786660061430734,0.11314882368006351,0.18464356110894364,-0.025884033423691832,0.21615176001694714,-0.40399759219751985,-0.35993791138754894,-0.2478949195204585,0.001804920187270298;-0.12039255282086181,0.8509014645829005,-0.8024371111596,0.42050393523548557,-0.29005273383265084,-1.625473612365905,-1.6419442267548057,-0.6796184023522542,-3.1897307887443116,-1.3539189450949483,-0.9130967672501527,-0.04711211277719585,0.13752257013020674,1.582226540389886,-1.7838150042580931,-0.8935764016500976,0.1667610469111871,0.08638729602785311,0.2778710966810465,0.8655041215990664,1.2807066596129637,-1.2347480092910335,-0.43073782405387995,-0.21228480245948056,-1.2759870698301459,1.2061115631817412,1.91690629103309,-0.06591482705832696,-0.1045664784035516,-0.6978904707541087,1.8356625214886435,-0.1632817468721015,-0.29667676551240163,-1.2335031607258085,-0.07459800636554625,-2.229293516622251,-4.201135033071182,0.1528003688791788,0.2839583096683107,1.1343144863389476,0.6440152721492769,0.5405025772594527,-0.008578017826897266,1.1633756772569157,1.2891796945889187,-0.34745130612677144,-0.3474572289113258,-0.11694620148164425,-0.18393075449581886,0.2365929966103888,-0.6792816435180633,-1.3016099642243724,0.6165837222083095,0.38787598207616014,0.46358829220607234,0.7420331300920022,0.28002139164395246,-0.2757544256725222,1.849807602274396,1.7849705932074897,-1.7847845857457632,0.37215908255208596,-0.0401000309167312,0.3823487185897392,-1.4677964602761424,1.193395003518111,-1.1439128035076251,-1.1896433652233274,-0.752211809343228,0.3866447953506569,0.5939015195520518,0.6233152889792883,1.4090051656349125,1.99183124999678,1.1579506442812981,-0.42560472482752054,-0.4939549085848842,2.223354966831991,2.781982715725153,1.2945483939773919,-0.029903447434810104,-0.5298668037051968,1.3454686658370019,0.4307875650537927,0.7606232459157773,1.0339315812453407,-0.14169035516046158,0.07541417031632314,0.6155360543768467,-0.6189703922016125,0.09123089640317161,-3.303070699836926,-0.38990641605661125,0.8160798847054043,-0.07559296717966113,1.3116515620560154,-1.5126747890918395,-0.8404919704159202,-0.4799636522765507,0.9550897198899122;0.8287057276247225,0.044457984003877016,-0.22990164604807717,0.1573068333539993,-0.009799786817730194,-0.7168997461491458,-0.8613605202923367,-1.1636652377556587,-1.6957246002914914,-0.7883852219285927,-0.13757832292328942,0.35662826296955075,0.3958596618014312,0.5744507298467312,-0.42500863943006095,-0.13523971621408037,0.3415972570202186,0.25810408395158646,0.09604308734603251,0.5147566033963429,-0.0475830796880814,-0.1347151285638617,0.009257372417714294,-0.24117829366149834,-0.29994317119636094,0.6490822482432463,0.8304325428168795,-0.2726419687704791,-0.027066658689889778,-0.0800636550022844,0.8123377179138416,-0.048427553374395416,0.42135310901446843,-0.6551044197616065,0.19352969711519563,-0.8662740579295019,-2.932989511701919,0.294497051040544,-0.46783962414632896,0.0029375942053704307,0.20409739141337013,0.32418268682047824,0.12274710019356405,0.2494960207504704,0.5420386399344395,0.0822500243658979,0.09591638946445613,-0.19111540589064901,0.2177263280837849,0.250177307600957,0.0219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k{105}=[0.10142774541140286;0.3148524068392088;0.07351366278099504];
x_a{105}=[-13.050109942711398,-11.757962189214771,34.30098101857067];
std_x_a{105}=[0.33282243241407944,1.1784303987482267,0.5999653131778693];
pred_a{105}=[-13.050109942711398];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.4 to 10.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{106}=[-8.812481767526227,-3.194930230058903,33.3466314668534];
std_x_f{106}=[0.6282610866722993,0.45330301015201213,0.8674826056120831];
pred_f{106}=[-8.812481767526227];
obs{106}=[-8.763660817995035];
sqrt_r{106}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{106}=[1.3949984385414957];
xi{106}=[0.1683986519212528,0.3161194033188899,-0.23201983803666337,0.18213589128174412,-0.02290007369044389,-0.7985425519914795,-0.8098427618457578,-1.0152401586267903,-1.6204403518645236,-0.7025186640712313,-0.4568333716040538,0.17268832160728742,0.1508613276023354,0.6124355291306767,-0.7074581746661135,-0.39986643263169164,-0.05932157889517775,0.15159938736319312,0.27175469022463083,0.4650925580576608,0.11645236076100574,-0.462130512395893,-0.043624299739608574,0.09545077725837814,-0.571717823074751,0.5984475737235933,1.4000636873930805,-0.1752454991858432,-0.06547275783623796,-0.5822617633315126,1.5804338893379883,-0.06853860877202145,0.027154139032464997,-0.6590525852163545,0.041134308719371404,-1.0206112095313387,-2.402243980662174,0.09223029313171871,-0.09813258933815128,0.6817355173038067,0.21532459786242164,0.5266368308414098,0.011134748587933174,0.2669122424462156,0.6632755682797011,-0.07491771795816149,-0.14195793575412985,0.04973626169000411,-0.002983376440958807,0.1489506101589555,-0.24465606903770087,-0.6258462069248072,0.20402086584227064,-0.006347684230274098,0.3927788713177893,0.3966179924853659,0.2688356135002472,-0.29156858551374754,0.8561101174070336,0.7860474029390812,-0.9801474857366639,0.12221081971440206,-0.11141034501492086,0.2628941874272961,-1.210016453423437,0.7661803235418532,-0.5693849524056542,-0.36796198487721377,-0.4298405248575321,0.19366298715501884,0.3367291139655233,0.3361374722737853,0.6670152731509571,1.0906534645825703,0.4380106332061704,0.0016457785857539875,-0.17336155907263517,1.274580542791547,1.1599740389752649,0.6008921409442269,0.07228119913271769,-0.2499564870082942,0.5544224330350414,0.2668030140056761,0.49834002607802397,0.3942512978657895,-0.5343419252225168,0.23473845413186645,0.06362119785026366,-0.45062079468480576,-0.07661598873131759,-1.6989872701031299,-0.23564219046509827,0.14362516607935305,0.06987254032730839,0.6541882063911455,-0.724182542492942,-0.4577507418230855,-0.10765059269166777,0.6268646597393701;0.7083749058576099,-0.046834139266303865,-0.14881216329614588,0.06965603083875349,-9.241962315034158E-4,-0.505930089639365,-0.6298228348724324,-1.118408866425317,-1.079283291818819,-0.6061229803895634,-0.09926124616205945,0.30839808333013785,0.2940575475379661,0.36485934334736925,-0.21235755729916095,-0.09131122470388053,0.18574647989064275,0.19831106726733339,0.0803156699716645,0.37383007393816436,-0.26982745374748607,-0.03167104152071065,0.02749699870527733,-0.15881522267821868,-0.18575438835977653,0.47867543504112886,0.912456298752292,-0.30598090180150406,-0.06366147892018059,-0.11478891698335536,1.023057748591175,-0.07512426013144902,0.3595771377099868,-0.5134108917930087,0.1428903597283715,-0.5302958342309076,-1.885602771502481,0.19243263186064974,-0.5037533707910775,0.0435963757497988,0.07907044060649548,0.31958769756587957,0.058217853530596386,0.04439730658896046,0.4072342294877802,0.06536307534492991,0.05955321964645366,-0.15667967221869805,0.16038730601016082,0.16235690233092637,0.03875726793859968,-0.38371508798921017,-0.10023534666593426,-0.17217431342343792,0.6207339454259353,0.20551435196431989,0.32116386639152816,-0.09566174506071823,0.3018304962137712,0.2064607585014704,-0.14520189852749654,-0.10991608842964062,0.16797810264193558,0.3208197100042396,-1.7297143042390895,0.9098231646805859,-0.25955507024499225,-0.07639023253778587,-0.22048905757883608,0.2748470080967089,0.09459764627449418,0.008866577054657654,0.013981757608479306,0.3804210038658309,0.5684700543981087,0.02296204275058411,0.12276631865993126,0.6715609491186147,-0.04658111568224266,0.11285529461234267,0.24770822639915302,-0.015679232249735442,0.08669178927287602,-0.024680003565916042,0.5125934863298562,0.1251849607316009,-0.33392593116414115,0.01268989228719386,0.12665093585957043,-0.13322417736397485,-0.02302137526320358,-1.0686107113191987,-0.5606322604257525,0.15163511573579003,-0.004310645828284887,0.5778322827213533,-0.3768961645149185,0.03295272692689055,0.11644936747695578,0.7403502376837854;0.28676828885962635,-0.6335554452132186,0.296985397872092,-0.28808566878726083,0.036551483697465414,1.0466160261205175,0.973766575887062,0.9573868145376281,2.1308129856560782,0.7815106768227267,0.7650787422211067,-0.06268994915885884,-0.020395404975559472,-0.825519567856297,1.1328658508661178,0.6567394171282999,0.2629941690856725,-0.11266654493996953,-0.44145162634428914,-0.5379426984642279,-0.46078677086772046,0.8311433339745165,0.11151191500049862,-0.3314661037966147,0.8950433188758211,-0.6892645856048816,-1.7620787725087226,0.053184000798566444,0.07418594131348755,0.9826175185500006,-1.989293715096288,0.062055151544413434,0.2538274042979509,0.7852164062143316,0.035799336318724784,1.4444947307556006,2.9821998853236593,-0.006184787103123313,-0.2646327934386079,-1.2441591353320618,-0.3360591451570727,-0.7104644373557676,0.02765863297569382,-0.4710431129528274,-0.8718061760645384,0.19156669850909935,0.3086969576879568,-0.23491067360549067,0.14096760442958356,-0.144855517356674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k{106}=[0.2831533194793222;0.1747395360922663;-0.37917553647152324];
x_a{106}=[-8.811628154339811,-3.1944034484111716,33.34548837858413];
std_x_a{106}=[0.5516831418400167,0.41215235338195527,0.7705576454377526];
pred_a{106}=[-8.811628154339811];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.5 to 10.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{107}=[-4.346081432577696,-1.4648400286052237,26.601850967302777];
std_x_f{107}=[0.22770348524469364,0.35883182787898465,0.6330260813507693];
pred_f{107}=[-4.346081432577696];
obs{107}=[-4.233558834721718];
sqrt_r{107}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{107}=[1.0539821599694414];
xi{107}=[0.45955956622537153,-0.10850953617532255,-0.07992154636527804,0.014996757982921771,0.023699692836781416,-0.09529128782750895,0.06375036588933725,-0.5458770653876117,-0.381449463437848,-0.32718593046486344,0.031202463685560566,0.1721944009839076,0.1696405380671404,0.16775017363969802,-0.014454445491393741,0.03109300171521756,0.14847207543360508,0.06804486204908944,-0.07389294551314673,0.07167297692436225,-0.22962384870370833,0.047110096427466,0.02711669161189434,-0.06520824727999575,-0.12643445121846675,0.28249539376275834,0.3450541553083051,-0.12692041156494582,-0.049507366340326264,0.049735626197731087,0.5258576485477002,-0.28207902936762164,0.34334991193795084,-0.22917870249957417,0.07036311329858336,-0.36728447273270337,-0.7261636189410874,0.16467040988915116,-0.3504821597908556,-0.07276659295110566,-0.07711823300901166,0.1055788638310613,0.09111921385968191,-0.05947815411237567,0.14971693501639916,0.11251966945371183,0.08081077499017564,-0.13791349731251223,0.06940058340509125,0.06916988564265303,-0.004878190976800312,-0.19506782995703187,0.049444604580251905,0.06952151488716396,0.1461835835527534,0.018051847509843455,0.1669407316532201,0.06581284963036182,-0.15964322935507447,-0.10345787462523681,0.10500095237954543,0.01202313783981701,0.09349498848841975,0.23990977731841134,-1.0162730758236656,0.48546619763848353,-0.13083277080500277,-0.008329225246002103,-0.0989378469653932,0.16083717843913004,0.002084274291886956,-0.0075697091452315846,-0.09909578887540782,0.0887865041781799,0.34140432835665546,0.20990193204372964,-0.027747521552027976,0.23984107922335074,-0.2882971146316704,-0.07143967684238817,0.24708962274955937,0.06654769196696186,-0.05443603226710714,-0.1538561506187932,0.3109980510032839,0.017709271321744602,-0.160467682932234,-0.05850755128765783,0.038232872379603045,-0.0627514448076445,0.006283990968792175,-0.3588174507101334,-0.39263592094569955,0.09013765832486964,-0.03574578545674978,0.2838788954398659,-0.19741945652319792,0.1232776212095743,0.24687225178248706,0.331069079066201;0.6000771276626138,-0.3911607187335424,0.05909117665576091,-0.15240150976805866,-0.05483952368670697,0.059501396118721184,-0.35300279278529034,-0.24432683225660434,0.508148153809294,0.08973899292173071,0.2984766974316606,0.1470415545345698,0.15866624716564237,-0.24187720412362324,0.4651096958152181,0.23000974419041187,0.21623367608297261,0.09971357232519051,-0.11930477730364242,0.05798138583949197,-0.45260308619893985,0.42276874484256144,0.039969209464385314,-0.39652614760918814,0.5312704391165894,-0.11451769019133251,-0.22392769718772354,-0.28431464809230533,-0.015005969954608567,0.39484271487778466,-0.31057044827190605,0.36855472970693914,0.22970178826820864,0.07321828354077464,0.10518889866055603,0.9845842030859756,0.7110411730185975,0.0313084228880951,-0.4915233950517208,-0.6753591050299774,-0.04508193235807623,-0.1629913636351632,-0.04682361058826867,-0.2188385375457782,-0.191507330959112,0.03684870873810886,0.14406568700095246,-0.24102028502032447,0.20560826578358604,0.016437499604370798,0.3634289524307155,0.2683274069536181,-0.5246379555861698,-0.42899413537603404,0.5555846973920389,-0.13990622501733663,0.06658753138348361,0.04588285857996577,-0.28003193613522726,-0.4677277472639325,0.7931306178330559,-0.4244550357361274,0.3205107868156354,0.0019880553500639664,-0.45963945410285545,0.2961599046502583,0.344774206140289,0.27272426453307763,0.19722253419119107,0.06700735100557931,-0.26397337786634156,-0.4210025403054938,-0.6869256026858941,-0.6506928187183507,0.16221239361984718,-0.22312870047156363,0.5132660016044982,-0.4444099705369171,-1.2048474556068713,-0.45735804164375327,0.06950430465918989,0.15119293281213042,-0.4725523339489597,-0.22820416731052529,0.020771913162932698,-0.29251868138907433,0.18239279959243904,-0.25231049005545003,0.08589282833134027,0.36198695806137593,0.004940042420908508,0.6391159389013583,-0.37420689218978875,-0.025703528149447985,-0.10397312193802888,-0.0064287733478982645,0.4461989944071263,0.4341893930959153,0.030989644297283236,0.2799720903578746;-0.14499331664045556,-0.2623233371322584,0.25555486734341315,-0.2128219978224557,-0.1024181503700774,0.2756590666771288,-0.5839099928838465,0.8220912382930017,1.3762686350846423,0.7781267819301867,0.3303808169123066,-0.1460531137747445,-0.12191179217048287,-0.6512873961677172,0.6295354789004683,0.24056508114387398,-0.015260393995671251,0.011989703806669638,0.024339702578409117,-0.05585157152351883,-0.09961337143082005,0.4479027265956681,0.009128217647123904,-0.3741574190176351,0.9114333800164509,-0.7153692774440614,-1.0041294693420966,-0.094810264584968,0.09953170344236995,0.4096775192626829,-1.5280565540175317,1.0222857000901264,-0.4035162177844427,0.5708383277325417,0.008496789414245143,1.873142379978173,2.2570360437368358,-0.2825338294067983,0.10767042876434019,-0.7292838762986982,0.11939072767379955,-0.4128863644758205,-0.238364769036032,-0.14734050433487056,-0.547573625552026,-0.16061338113331303,0.02880862496755654,-0.01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k{107}=[0.051217337465186946;0.005134583444333338;-0.09602135224318044];
x_a{107}=[-4.334212295640708,-1.463650137114738,26.57959892072923];
std_x_a{107}=[0.22062871415765928,0.3587700215614193,0.6245320564205233];
pred_a{107}=[-4.334212295640708];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.6 to 10.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{108}=[-2.906261623697595,-2.6874155712850194,20.94275210050944];
std_x_f{108}=[0.28322547656739533,0.5113273329187906,0.38894677747424017];
pred_f{108}=[-2.906261623697595];
obs{108}=[-2.7917514843996805];
sqrt_r{108}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{108}=[1.0833645584715696];
xi{108}=[0.5582480645550016,-0.3242457894935318,0.05628274030452429,-0.11679374476761772,-0.03803432857974043,0.02533143526759174,-0.2725208836678896,-0.2955310917169047,0.32272771404022826,0.008392812853172948,0.26599310071058024,0.1503931788893751,0.16902284339826412,-0.1575230280826032,0.3478794036305568,0.18434195902992467,0.18182183704130006,0.09058220561794839,-0.09607144821575275,0.053731683650572126,-0.39382621010518903,0.3697445588128523,0.03386195923821367,-0.2985482348268653,0.4175931190781652,-0.028177576401938076,-0.10375781750950752,-0.24561000611525907,0.03510773119872246,0.29565995226555586,-0.11932573988957884,0.22990888808269938,0.26155147601912754,0.01363710406547236,0.09637571637537157,0.6854477588778249,0.41212460856668853,0.05855205138469888,-0.4575220029095721,-0.5416036094253704,-0.04663432725676753,-0.10570084550079528,-0.005942538135192965,-0.18256053686288487,-0.1340244841230791,0.053659937592957174,0.18785990349306259,-0.22320395379127644,0.18093719486487103,0.03078606581435439,0.2773644876250816,0.1742911010785404,-0.4043873744807933,-0.32540029816925964,0.5180300398306663,-0.11095329566512602,0.07703453366813617,0.038373495848028405,-0.24701828645485646,-0.38411837369826207,0.6224892499542398,-0.33702295570683116,0.2582801842669471,0.03390831158232421,-0.4794018961977473,0.3227901850418018,0.2440738412389325,0.21777580025282717,0.13601908997428147,0.08101852014064859,-0.2138571384835144,-0.33361201265466,-0.5615241416728836,-0.5000831426233097,0.18290843720821792,-0.1325387618799616,0.3394886705539206,-0.2884193647994784,-0.9867216561221235,-0.37544501025490495,0.09912257610179598,0.10808697034218362,-0.39034434574403276,-0.21040059291035895,0.0684556756590613,-0.22529569690803353,0.10278590981589053,-0.21828147792116903,0.07219836451863326,0.26249911227393197,-8.86807437128212E-5,0.4143049657245923,-0.3741573080501617,-0.020741498644593737,-0.12415697691317717,0.036562197094124116,0.30157031434073067,0.31752676456873896,0.07103327165935047,0.27557940899290134;0.7004761535431201,-0.5143334789307876,0.09773633821124195,-0.21570460299771277,-0.08261362787964499,0.12467774358360595,-0.5360576825072911,-0.06750209502369175,0.8439721497817236,0.2638123661779894,0.38808722759073655,0.15024280278595947,0.16283071184945497,-0.4054948922355224,0.6566593262222229,0.31353701720419336,0.26071128873123595,0.12068948775500443,-0.13850912460088693,0.06224763011936174,-0.5538041518964696,0.5516933112710873,0.0504067428051127,-0.570966547456095,0.7528842808600238,-0.2594136348397069,-0.44550636549201084,-0.3564906225355222,-0.04212440983176702,0.5564408175749715,-0.6451665185385513,0.6234156615794921,0.19831396809477342,0.19289770402882045,0.12333195809286668,1.4624741942908304,1.2624717569413642,-0.014561130975536685,-0.5310946584980174,-0.9434600367089852,-0.03558356516850525,-0.26528278083666024,-0.1095407975854541,-0.2804734386427059,-0.31506568057125506,0.018862549095005843,0.13411276347116985,-0.2755807946531248,0.2698585410090959,0.005057558646297977,0.5202178518204548,0.4500977042756258,-0.7792419819141307,-0.6412511588738274,0.69406237580416,-0.20365669847310564,0.027338609987005658,0.042533625274723263,-0.3317172288918875,-0.6291544825545556,1.0618541606479144,-0.6127359092822937,0.4153654975306411,-0.08628936661042363,-0.2275911267127726,0.26630343320602723,0.5284701462524906,0.38549487818539196,0.3238634094287898,0.04360960320643814,-0.3602133087122059,-0.6086580071136716,-0.9500555684163063,-0.9781514946083885,0.12245591472691197,-0.39841338485030686,0.7757954015613595,-0.7401857144394972,-1.6639547363788103,-0.6209089333591087,0.011704354639042513,0.19780802288751742,-0.6484798887843257,-0.2603415533452358,-0.06975753050938627,-0.4115843192627846,0.31657357219952376,-0.3276059632275823,0.11353356120754032,0.5465158844364288,0.008244666669293021,1.0259952587870573,-0.3442686232115828,-0.05468205512959967,-0.09805163542697048,-0.1019758144254248,0.6862387215748647,0.5956007389790643,-0.042980134706712914,0.2886578130217097;-0.3290586442967829,-0.05039094026788504,0.04355997772940867,-0.09065896711449639,-0.04728097917921659,0.19303388803001553,-0.28159370231276526,0.8265854334172715,0.7922901928020991,0.5477296275195265,-0.03263815634002043,-0.1634935051927897,-0.21313562288961307,-0.3826037607803343,0.2885568123559459,0.08103554904315757,-0.04070828971455853,-0.029256471781945237,0.013178696219647179,-0.04989723358198361,0.10323867415781862,0.003366840372869717,-0.0015060345533157715,-0.25632658228304095,0.28327720799241973,-0.49962457393755244,-0.6607729978010681,0.03165355029768335,-0.19295707051379907,0.26436651789862253,-1.1137755927860873,0.6137703820349891,-0.4608086288872677,0.3834543754399533,-0.04789186624089581,0.9846826615718385,1.3761923210244262,-0.22958289109910268,0.37373941614630013,-0.23817969378540482,0.08611900284578766,-0.2322905046767474,-0.24613959830853105,-0.01427335597344026,-0.25736469144104746,-0.13374050852494435,-0.35490416834346306,0.14325725535526246,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k{108}=[0.07694968219117479;0.13028108206062683;0.030159431645438037];
x_a{108}=[-2.907827406287032,-2.690066548445868,20.942138412296146];
std_x_a{108}=[0.27193353747845345,0.48885275152986796,0.3842666788991611];
pred_a{108}=[-2.907827406287032];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.7 to 10.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{109}=[-3.5990704819535586,-5.170184670501463,17.130760196249707];
std_x_f{109}=[0.5022104555585788,0.7884181674544146,0.29859503634784046];
pred_f{109}=[-3.5990704819535586];
obs{109}=[-3.4419239348187967];
sqrt_r{109}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{109}=[1.2573030162711663];
xi{109}=[0.7097040124462386,-0.43043188888763195,-0.04110933426778951,-0.5315835013195431,-0.06915587103570697,0.1283682834998534,-0.5799438567007988,0.1270185806336448,0.7554680131793399,0.21999181780286037,0.093301571445489,0.07581596572640281,0.023165860999897703,-0.6911039700544488,0.6124507620811883,0.3561520593424343,0.2865279522758537,0.10385203925115594,-0.08809318884130901,0.11140118378696018,-0.625113959896741,0.4558572416262039,0.07350689515039566,-0.5099147062073812,0.8416204559715821,0.2900265294592259,-0.32502536923423975,-0.47426022325366857,-0.1804183752807873,0.6439901217275148,-0.048975437780520714,0.4915503722826755,0.22595192665204733,0.1996052629295626,0.11665854105429041,1.364792024959141,1.1693535062758733,0.009248241788280431,-0.4536119154936551,-0.8296533704596061,0.09134063056841013,-0.29946984158971546,-0.10619701467451348,-0.3982028534886535,-0.08131284853225162,-9.920817646640323E-4,0.14014750223197403,-0.409863407547125,0.26194228417218524,-0.13501026170791253,0.1520808117866661,0.33625564140237874,-0.7204239624703637,-0.6643827851619801,0.7033287742333187,-0.2217887745966456,0.08867682222135986,0.059988278424459196,-0.27214988361826586,-0.5607395705881868,1.1141607605559316,-0.8245930378967219,0.46576737043718053,-0.09472352809346951,-0.22701165556475855,0.29720123840622525,0.5178916018238691,0.37593791237799223,0.45884676961038195,0.17646180044865822,-0.2116445422659594,-0.4593647839498449,-0.960113825890081,-1.03835969742877,0.16391947563080755,0.038741476494239535,0.729938692173075,-0.9449313223356683,-1.725399955588386,-0.5889054055932967,0.005445672558884951,0.23204002709466431,-0.5703639051109843,-0.27411788476772836,-0.047138020079271925,-0.27517341425103803,0.2862947968534706,-0.3265518751393146,0.13316190117369775,0.40934295440913493,0.1802700918032656,0.9170319953041504,-0.35442513300118295,0.01237098048814289,-0.14577394559068413,0.025613046017307628,0.6559820294318399,0.5730117190068031,-0.45819164415750047,0.18713955167023766;0.9956676387194525,-0.6383876878105825,-0.06493267967233507,-0.8148858405630515,-0.1135979663056208,0.23631614901605769,-0.9201498281265881,0.38328980886413966,1.2843791890168341,0.44151720019617535,0.11685520924222548,0.06890563091832913,-0.028494528928045604,-1.1274279500766795,0.9648094513184287,0.551355964855345,0.4126283473909842,0.12979144233309636,-0.12349997361674259,0.15475067498385453,-0.8995013030143921,0.6678353888236002,0.10556663472220151,-0.8113492836182807,1.3133722489862314,0.34756566074817563,-0.629737647240594,-0.6895994148377982,-0.31815852113863485,1.0157524795171469,-0.28525202964748697,0.8418834054547268,0.23636850622585914,0.3775991686548803,0.15721139840398202,2.2199079256705088,2.008459366006501,-0.03857886244547437,-0.5709228731340055,-1.2680035758992831,0.1581830766979957,-0.4993982478456793,-0.21176077890093303,-0.5978163906533203,-0.16487397009605598,-0.028666122684041007,0.12415662584811837,-0.5776636283721759,0.37869167134295445,-0.22489685393624637,0.2570760047002114,0.5840524836006482,-1.1430473963887318,-1.0544131220935276,1.0153588958572781,-0.35042849082921723,0.08184485781871764,0.07206616462457927,-0.3741438273813813,-0.8394455103164162,1.7226065138963498,-1.274178937166404,0.7026586535921933,-0.22423374752060798,-0.06764644406833042,0.3277361860347545,0.8466262901423045,0.5800237638598942,0.7382544385175462,0.2210588283899355,-0.32668781192746543,-0.7283605877335146,-1.4519246205217913,-1.6423338654272017,0.16690223917792313,-0.020570760927768994,1.198475863035024,-1.565855669026222,-2.553955893940147,-0.8840582272687838,-0.07123493361353894,0.3503265959775197,-0.8646366389993005,-0.37312785191580744,-0.16296320389932095,-0.43832581443398144,0.5043269755849709,-0.47805472210970734,0.19985276283365216,0.6731422148777959,0.27601916859713693,1.5405998514709505,-0.40402519294176376,0.01091720224268311,-0.17818663404043988,-0.04008321915621149,1.0697741326682069,0.9045357483285921,-0.7851478915627359,0.20757087398789764;-0.672322439948303,0.2364657696573751,0.012026847346234604,0.20396739028815603,-0.009731996208419247,0.044057379214038406,0.13790128008895053,0.5758429014848865,0.15568223777820123,0.26918560372395106,-0.15750863338826804,-0.20925019358944397,-0.22042182779953734,0.09566417387121007,-0.15140676430444344,-0.16010645804214363,-0.21936309914280017,-0.10691780711842114,0.052827541288351654,-0.11650843589307058,0.4648254880020879,-0.29936710029670976,-0.06420981385106828,0.13111052076208907,-0.2498432475299417,-0.4858333506481358,-0.3007234577593856,0.29475287441811204,-0.07955962294722951,-0.16481815777958175,-0.7456194932078297,0.1424529352062116,-0.5050384625251638,0.15219028181594396,-0.1259195538385569,0.03944956624888363,0.42215984020505104,-0.20384765916229952,0.5753769787154752,0.3820635589286745,0.015472441204657628,-0.014289260365956125,-0.144451515017181,0.20791048517533994,-0.13145486467423595,-0.1280537970497697,-0.3785208384817622,0.3333216411292419,-0.17959571936554397,-0.0342590956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k{109}=[0.20464678199393818;0.3192591225541612;-0.06357523947931132];
x_a{109}=[-3.5890200737383937,-5.15450553557043,17.12763795263112];
std_x_a{109}=[0.4436577967822208,0.6979837563246741,0.28851768523411464];
pred_a{109}=[-3.5890200737383937];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.8 to 10.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{110}=[-6.171802195452048,-9.885346431448239,16.343396960421696];
std_x_f{110}=[0.7481180706568297,1.080699740770526,0.8808436869553816];
pred_f{110}=[-6.171802195452048];
obs{110}=[-5.978564402382423];
sqrt_r{110}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{110}=[1.563637769687305];
xi{110}=[0.6259034129614465,-0.6462343907999006,-0.11111912029052107,-0.7153289016567026,0.30474365633370315,0.08039046813027362,-1.9099112258375515,0.5114158465628007,1.0135608922742936,0.4270744194474583,0.11194453794006698,-0.092827422719024,-0.08625165861928696,-1.0538719688768552,0.9091595860599178,0.5689812206421765,0.37806561734831146,0.1367181898031582,0.2779138046664027,0.3977357052896817,-0.8082042486361427,0.6180416525200769,0.10469389045163702,-0.6571083744250856,0.8215662947145468,0.6572120726788437,-0.4260496442341264,-0.5518418367634395,-0.40502153608408253,0.9499075066999607,-0.29313111905279143,0.7675542508019237,0.31761788922773526,0.4225133522507205,-0.7821527157882784,2.443550710532093,1.8515548183456296,-0.4515005014192601,-0.7116595802623813,-1.1314995406036434,0.21233249290443634,-0.9563859158780685,0.42136204190032256,-0.4869935937192995,-0.07627630994600576,-0.32980610148572875,-0.17187535931364817,0.019765125170166264,0.27118019194278276,-0.6367357705110814,0.15471611944394859,0.5296667353470452,-0.6247747480908288,-0.8015025114948804,1.197497060939325,-0.2591805435768162,-0.33978162350944885,-0.3640206535225081,-0.6645767108621161,-0.5002671202802729,1.6729999797725679,-0.8392537696568203,0.5212326739577016,-0.5379842316027013,-0.12928349258387328,0.2014329490585176,0.582591658255625,0.19780756127480892,1.0030022586958536,-0.2775006595817242,-0.682546900630574,0.050551416327357046,-0.8286063762433926,-1.511450635065005,-0.3438212161296468,0.20308245843468953,1.12662220264209,-1.3429282161975085,-2.0120909872691106,-0.5901973645079286,-0.03888217233735336,0.6323553321408628,-0.8456689582468728,-0.33620367870978374,0.010829430430232101,-0.402091043209289,0.4766531883730858,-0.33492945575317723,0.29477621564970935,0.5967573598600513,0.1687089042411163,1.6505291924876788,-0.2719415842442974,0.17547417873419757,-0.15538425496384978,-0.001298137499627039,0.732721007060456,0.8704377668929988,-0.6556117530045364,0.5106603380764003;0.7779025792306449,-0.8948151525949992,-0.1819509739183971,-1.0136228619369767,0.4106028208218593,0.11450983780647128,-2.583943281923993,0.8771998480359677,1.559875522221672,0.6808924873490536,0.10311974775087407,-0.20719537112487707,-0.20664789679423912,-1.5208081382053003,1.3133750397130175,0.7928388546703342,0.4864436817924478,0.14993606801903603,0.3806177654710794,0.5336772703062476,-1.069150381471987,0.847465052370536,0.11200667216571603,-0.955813017022269,1.1805383410751897,0.8422844103774221,-0.7446914598870649,-0.7567638890150263,-0.6357451427025644,1.3732522918950636,-0.6523852398465664,1.1671313415201965,0.3208643632938486,0.6460767637952909,-1.1429792141397659,3.7770942548792776,2.9095959112280774,-0.7186910717771315,-0.8793266461634541,-1.5370014621140822,0.2928970937715665,-1.3806667716397527,0.5382133714334696,-0.6817704242368485,-0.17919402040860177,-0.5234321447949384,-0.36095204814206205,0.06423900428431573,0.3436650308221374,-0.9356987569228075,0.21094717079675718,0.7948279935390197,-0.9087404687210281,-1.1471383533061186,1.6678900415824724,-0.39745405145677815,-0.5578782629306627,-0.5589354160218054,-0.9056492880365727,-0.6902800443231634,2.478566061500076,-1.1626816099150812,0.7109382150133055,-0.8634209730698341,0.04796146485866082,0.12883559665654154,0.8598309654426632,0.25406570796194927,1.4709054560066264,-0.47162370594204006,-0.975043751261973,0.043184348347132584,-1.1181783337634617,-2.0744810418823594,-0.6067767889385429,0.18621203742720738,1.708345250501866,-1.9354229215861078,-2.491564027711041,-0.8127758319509457,-0.15026963650334757,0.89035608624833,-1.173027053284482,-0.4474534520573865,-0.10105426076917468,-0.6004856962078424,0.7108634312453237,-0.4715912080940967,0.3845511691228829,0.8707075796448454,0.2087520489077459,2.53127651936524,-0.26196070072934496,0.22001141070266783,-0.19772188531564971,-0.11295466029442025,1.0927458397053247,1.2602002029896209,-1.0089103212837696,0.6384290884737496;-1.1290947080519569,0.8345483652894536,0.0875786723564076,0.8728211518060149,-0.4246353819725144,-0.07321227828861154,2.51963933188388,-0.12410107146489935,-0.8408000131255431,-0.2653830958444239,-0.2883724382379782,-0.09829217788336919,-0.12580857125296774,1.1985393605800425,-1.020910212472435,-0.7368554262685549,-0.5917117223999782,-0.27425623645077124,-0.35089345311399356,-0.5754989398458363,1.1976997067367563,-0.8798385603339582,-0.2058205408570899,0.7421387316525951,-0.9549035694506269,-1.1205759680596508,0.14110825213526468,0.7534810604119073,0.3307801913339219,-1.0608005576450026,-0.33009198932052897,-0.6676125760650784,-0.7756382788667953,-0.3602880030489519,0.8573174988558279,-2.0434740743223365,-1.2968780700634053,0.3413232801258985,1.210603856429664,1.5092365730000346,-0.2574635099443796,1.0752817024292227,-0.6784306077188536,0.622015270092426,-0.0871000481799662,0.24421249160953806,-0.12547154308108688,0.09341665393976228,-0.45190162353888574,0.6787983602348255,-0.18662629988311608,-0.493702322644225,0.6991553602808978,0.9235111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k{110}=[0.36046569136023165;0.5183368059581077;-0.40802601935543703];
x_a{110}=[-6.095451226079876,-9.775556461016274,16.25697214149012];
std_x_a{110}=[0.5251152416426267,0.7594528255044249,0.6531115084264876];
pred_a{110}=[-6.095451226079876];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.9 to 11.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{111}=[-10.813250951863534,-16.037454060316538,22.44844397502905];
std_x_f{111}=[0.6137487164072875,0.45895913110313125,1.608542629302475];
pred_f{111}=[-10.813250951863534];
obs{111}=[-10.779339098450125];
sqrt_r{111}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{111}=[1.3882973307173234];
xi{111}=[1.0720888670009217,-0.7895060009051971,-0.1402510584564407,-0.43050538230588664,0.49984617065266335,0.004700821300177793,-1.0893183142897378,0.5707759317967618,0.8223517602374972,-0.001728644947812441,0.16272227455101174,-0.11023747788795824,-0.09175058141872405,-0.691627354753761,0.9408556363201832,0.3719981166546127,0.42846158045810157,-0.39514936649850085,0.440095432361721,0.058477958151499365,-0.45702063738821863,0.2504155576798759,-0.02891416013786241,-0.4705586529524375,0.6272403273715703,0.8814120575325664,-0.48548643929768076,-0.014039411840533589,-0.4063768066642002,1.134528319931393,-0.4021110311414926,0.45828425480052637,0.42736497763324977,-0.20265014026091244,-0.7359976315270824,2.8966666794907017,0.6959182786787039,-0.6251978318544698,-0.5504813336168048,-0.17399094477881683,0.019521401702672136,-0.7432494703874433,-0.11789622939954114,-0.15517833624677202,-0.01014021156560041,-0.09801417198873885,-0.008389255779913896,0.06679508687389912,-0.5507537023182216,-0.5032404772175845,0.09137884650377437,-0.4644174480824823,-0.4260750254662433,-0.4420093232581106,0.1630656767240808,0.1252756455649937,-1.3109231198242544,-0.5319558980855028,-0.5142607951947618,-0.632229374695763,1.6974273392670636,-0.75391872473452,0.5528384201956946,0.012000313244344696,0.11032422323769175,-0.5346686379771679,0.23413373273138305,0.1567295023203492,0.6142895837768698,-0.35975225345774753,-0.8280498593523635,-0.024675861026652868,-0.26798649754002923,-0.9392003101168935,-0.013498974693714416,-0.10815096541448987,0.8747529459954038,-0.2874113291909701,-0.37851167217652737,0.05263362592194909,-0.3840580866910166,0.6136108210989715,-0.9735764322355323,-0.10058748571258747,0.003726601880273961,1.0214161925796468,0.13218252455965107,-0.5674730154607683,0.396365208692508,0.3467493826295307,0.16268476741332272,1.2684842605438291,-0.09116021319578671,0.02356404337035123,-0.5189854251045158,-0.14162545539219984,0.07147360501692113,0.783318480578405,-0.5593633924560866,0.29533939933817877;0.45740763170072896,-0.26271886101203634,-0.16589147679406224,-0.21396788332892314,0.18795752710222935,-0.0559014999212053,-0.03772923560127239,0.5604286591472132,0.650162591819397,0.07586148993064157,-0.08361324594876862,-0.2606451823906788,-0.2692198905185137,-0.32602792443552886,0.5698589602477817,0.09873001000967108,0.08799386409016563,-0.32934193828418046,0.16354966645506508,-0.11865986804015094,-0.051546624102794425,-0.03520885550125641,-0.14435806334760315,-0.26844857628159957,0.3135710183640903,0.3142438414049309,-0.5273814435705546,0.008376705854530542,-0.34364618177118444,0.7356167337991621,-0.7176201344539876,0.32732641218333214,-0.06985615628677166,-0.079562451755681,-0.36193060668800214,2.912945561928261,0.8460371897862249,-0.4428575061602267,0.027238622396563272,0.017224970304546616,-0.0748007354932021,-0.34416309746341156,-0.2658385377241217,-0.09397525206011537,-0.19272677053926301,-0.2075205414963186,-0.28955831936592347,0.038407860875491195,-0.3957635844825944,-0.31110587168318915,-0.028581049469753594,-0.1851358692050944,-0.2586438552338777,-0.244067260237248,-0.13155603443359354,-0.03909883562239713,-0.5250864281618526,-0.3584608723834606,-0.15710194801853206,-0.2387574505582215,1.3205083085803846,-0.2475823850592782,0.19993704524023848,-0.20846443427198125,0.4554141322025327,-0.6544674714528398,0.10507276144178768,-0.03151948998068832,0.35412994270946463,-0.36318821030303283,-0.3302895733808491,-0.12565373288381565,-0.03447089213989685,-0.14862182288252512,-0.28463404682686644,-0.3350138119873378,0.636345200237395,-0.20170453392148602,0.49944916993098865,0.041409770931350565,-0.4294684893726952,0.27262766438743746,-0.25075017746367934,-0.03338425303078196,-0.2856489180490662,0.6164063917293117,0.05817511380363172,-0.2528735596049074,0.10138984667972828,0.16021970880198388,-0.036583610070156425,1.0970546892021833,0.14296073492402606,-0.1226235888638918,-0.20498201762148582,-0.34448246149343476,0.05285684602300833,0.4393255798830715,-0.4202437134318444,-0.09149511018866718;-3.270314545632747,2.3501662029541954,0.2666435133926761,1.2174758682743345,-1.4943679838184494,-0.058733534841543644,3.656563168972742,-1.068777534745113,-1.866404589133591,0.1987498743473779,-0.7117912473536485,-0.010490819960988773,-0.0900354738685678,1.9290949749232276,-2.4895388867432295,-1.1761112217232075,-1.3974053547226184,0.896490225854965,-1.2922827785539042,-0.3659173240135445,1.5746058566119565,-0.9460052568859858,-0.09787514124586494,1.272966984488896,-1.745846984328434,-2.763295600793292,0.8790670122375452,0.12588360523304587,0.9115635985956096,-2.944790996869287,0.25836072894973583,-1.0538235147913468,-1.6842116030149796,0.6387823155891859,2.014608083672986,-5.978811345294542,-0.9936579200896283,1.5116016180694096,2.012196608011447,0.6998549579279647,-0.1394218234419462,2.072277719553611,0.01765089761353522,0.44648269491514725,-0.25432178851212583,0.04923654350375983,-0.4300992078638046,-0.12089403432442225,1.3298987779111542,1.3094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k{111}=[0.27969320557340055;0.17840780105556342;-0.7189321762914004];
x_a{111}=[-10.834158436236342,-16.050790309600494,22.502185227735232];
std_x_a{111}=[0.5452359437705534,0.4344861792964588,1.4128926940545614];
pred_a{111}=[-10.834158436236342];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.0 to 11.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{112}=[-13.794898250927945,-12.833068287260783,35.00004875215206];
std_x_f{112}=[0.28337349378260007,1.2838616446279252,0.8408251373326415];
pred_f{112}=[-13.794898250927945];
obs{112}=[-13.986830824688122];
sqrt_r{112}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{112}=[1.0825722628636287];
xi{112}=[-0.4742371375399337,0.3115077964735402,0.275816869344105,0.1834915120341325,-0.0776303721974898,0.029399240025671958,0.8262919317435884,0.028314475264476613,0.09506035578015393,0.11379481987003359,-0.12745006882808063,-0.26059950987822056,-0.1932437844559658,0.5862101043462786,-0.3156896534224565,-0.18771519610632303,-0.3916024581983262,0.012750923516872348,-0.23381930360760883,-0.3191958987492267,0.3181032616618893,-0.26381409880976747,-0.1244922442788372,0.1469809950064711,-0.3126268651668571,-0.5907503357078685,-0.06190401510841248,0.01793117009914269,-0.04368038803133345,-0.28273071615957335,-0.3931001941773786,-0.08668995637889942,-0.39267657186528027,0.08702034198860176,0.26541119698368476,0.39777657687895385,0.11898547556089056,0.24143607564746716,0.05392265776981553,0.2041742936045381,-0.02025280991376377,0.31085450456330754,-0.16798874907147088,0.07105601875588086,-0.18413893569956663,0.5971483579611423,-0.29965182080738373,-0.03299932634821623,-0.0750165640271181,0.05019174680760585,-0.10945425231973438,0.04441532256153913,0.1138184579904884,0.12238533494058323,-0.37714203751629327,-0.14006164010600486,0.7675959911586538,-0.14477061716661588,0.26429654221327503,0.060611597059855526,-0.26897405248891637,0.3415862426913687,-0.2454912175311197,-0.2921147600009153,0.3384049458267313,0.2850895363789263,-0.20601688438209464,0.3000362267657657,-0.27117792248597183,-0.23908883915230028,0.38249501827508503,-0.08941019533008188,0.2127646188634813,0.5951077831300413,-0.12651194731528825,-0.08133101406734333,-0.17842565451457482,0.04310211481626958,0.6350253974181754,-0.20096536255737618,-0.06617118690424917,-0.28797152252798774,0.6046616735010097,0.33048809353710595,-0.3066196995488859,-0.30536574253020277,-0.10661756133638534,0.23497274382755862,-0.2417899834343622,-0.155930866863228,-0.18465231458613118,-0.10832325190536096,0.30860603543465537,-0.14902873422813556,0.22801953257905794,-0.18913866674001945,0.024811206163846578,-0.28835472871792334,0.03995396450291189,-0.3472814505313977;-1.762798266407767,0.9787126815023814,1.9086679126686406,0.9199484957382023,0.16868343084136228,0.4277947581788215,2.434476887354977,-0.776315488937918,0.0709700574342449,0.36439334968790504,0.09257866194768738,-0.7415390729194904,-0.1942074370271989,2.915191323507381,-1.8869058516746993,-0.4780460293066735,-1.605306370427817,0.4716877142481941,-0.9283194841454989,-1.3043161881415468,0.9461982608673054,-0.7151620164217842,-0.1716411597756462,0.8119312709477455,-1.5948844961356379,-2.6146738120902473,0.6354430125613604,0.02313273374882563,0.1640197991868373,-1.8640811867268763,-0.26828175632156714,-0.7497532450104689,-0.7650982472891243,0.35674529865970683,1.2441794514155227,-2.822528047903278,-1.330549936172412,1.6897401945903248,-1.4496430422407354,0.7072743832826287,0.2823995052981889,1.4041660002036664,-0.154118558483205,0.4401778366536995,-0.259505669486801,3.7238239875262575,-0.5284316756914826,-0.1695588204063263,-0.1770316802256886,0.35656091076042706,-0.26633109874040173,-0.1627485210614985,0.675979927786555,0.6583290469543854,-1.2649477224430346,-0.32191449048114507,3.343502436270656,-0.7507443040022057,0.9160284017413449,-0.277709404642998,-2.9796702302549587,1.1909567108469403,-0.7778423364530092,-0.8113331956061796,0.32799189411550955,2.8239387614454596,-1.1681599691049467,2.2182533028691136,-1.5863232661442588,-0.8345256129281537,1.5724774344198398,-0.039490092984488356,0.7109568040739394,1.8583579656274303,0.48204740128048407,0.6785734736764439,-1.5092395256914717,0.38832776765353394,0.7482269504540557,-1.3818150526611763,0.46339028914779234,-1.2527947890228646,2.226082633966275,1.7659040503399304,-0.5551585139874984,-1.7323818626615832,-0.5531304341254621,1.0292409063866632,-0.7625922519913679,-0.7057563852626849,-0.47596767095866,-2.2385169187660896,0.9815694953417999,-0.27677515162231003,0.9327980448915429,0.03111824682583375,0.16042913893552146,-1.4722190959064818,0.5698691837595664,-0.8224627507479223;-0.5890212874429253,0.22198885435264515,1.1887444584358988,0.463234832004332,0.37051248093305844,0.36983501421111953,0.39826349880348744,-0.8213410033114741,-0.14604969465389672,0.10095647200117952,0.419124340316408,-0.06625135838811502,0.29336836972063196,1.396429714250928,-1.1053946559008807,0.007157932680172507,-0.6271387498370018,0.44497346702867446,-0.32566546952534736,-0.4985353200094309,0.17965906597925851,-0.04461066709465911,0.1487565851297603,0.4489550881047961,-0.8035793831253173,-1.1553613713956778,0.7764656662357439,9.373672574497505E-4,0.28000836994544187,-1.1614306923989375,0.6910643402397696,-0.5010456231677622,0.20795435222106562,0.15808006824682508,0.5883824592353761,-4.064466919322136,-1.6123666435079826,1.0522330987579451,-1.5932179979643735,0.22122558247791346,0.34396500158025134,0.6303621381923676,0.27899048407009275,0.27339866219761433,0.2043291700761145,2.1063087334531616,0.2329108102139017,-0.07442490472698893,0.01493849274363157,0.23202477977152114,0.027790208432755037,-0.251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k{112}=[0.0762741349433874;0.27559391248118476;0.08343891757914552];
x_a{112}=[-13.822520750789472,-12.932873979124732,34.96983154298952];
std_x_a{112}=[0.2782039530297656,1.2858477360858132,0.846147435216144];
pred_a{112}=[-13.822520750789472];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.1 to 11.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{113}=[-9.104254564671967,-2.4752063390868084,34.498756015314115];
std_x_f{113}=[0.7114590973245184,0.6067073480072112,0.8756314981569635];
pred_f{113}=[-9.104254564671967];
obs{113}=[-9.151033045036908];
sqrt_r{113}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{113}=[1.51421190713299];
xi{113}=[-0.8920471606086569,0.4149238895626386,1.1147411979242836,0.27674085400181525,0.2010164149586533,0.25043102110802806,0.9626989902917291,-0.6143862948162866,-0.01220116523725423,0.11021622494826033,0.23038971077286519,-0.4416702307528322,0.01735018832329871,1.5237186349036662,-0.9765876488531262,-0.33564875587357257,-0.8345760246523657,0.23739846895853667,-0.718694233236576,-0.6777063557810994,0.46271316840047305,-0.14676910139899846,0.06895853878701885,0.46110470419417027,-0.8379439390043668,-1.2552650256509121,0.4678580681035793,-0.013401090804240567,-0.06531852783406933,-1.0598825543933597,0.1981627118692959,-0.38449767132679646,-0.19368109869169636,0.18202586090294304,0.5160895100469141,-2.198797831525196,-0.9884498827174557,0.8891271677255279,-1.118773976200977,0.3186877116183293,0.26272088292262374,0.680388017399089,-0.11657658924850267,0.2556567574407662,-0.15499756605824544,1.9324159805503935,-0.28640033053768654,-0.06790608020202171,-0.09111881988815007,0.27267619674690025,0.1435732361556017,-0.14912743674923234,0.35531087280876683,0.3101863436070289,-0.26022276038341374,-0.04336416293566714,1.6592710949512028,-0.33337086588077725,0.4739281098843531,-0.2229805987875899,-1.825451881961616,0.5367057026860298,-0.27850432375319834,-0.3337893435518229,-0.03629640075180163,1.7882746970367318,-0.4855581640867701,1.1962205212908419,-1.1759315415834752,-0.2639024319730243,0.68431691188424,-0.29327883065698757,0.31767833145397084,0.7767986586909306,0.3529000414104164,0.7864922492609931,-0.8234283202495902,-0.11991770469555973,-0.09377789779612122,-0.783674737460224,0.09343474837435473,-0.4819187344495717,1.041444945347921,0.9556637567873434,1.0505099808239375,-0.8815736529649225,-0.21564274704406117,0.49845649991406127,-0.3242098028031677,-0.3976921277019727,-0.08615396338809411,-1.4324451861442569,0.4280982585657913,-0.018320988241500302,0.42000577287868524,0.2152506172099038,0.013524936684149225,-0.618577810535335,0.41084559555851996,-0.35469238390338553;-0.23102489895007539,0.03718862378136212,0.869897361864215,0.1862321446509112,0.27065333310739037,0.22009294534255908,0.08851801189861686,-0.6754713272698414,-0.18543322304405052,-0.027298675113215598,0.33787438955025495,-0.007993668565648981,0.24677533707260135,1.025445715144144,-0.6678276181213239,0.006902349144616959,-0.3045581444480483,0.2694503009446301,-0.221522893565123,-0.26616888288021334,0.024737770894018407,0.05393181621180876,0.1397837134546056,0.26861001013406627,-0.469081823668267,-0.4989806346770411,0.5710387203775069,-0.05954135303087282,0.1305006398660571,-0.7281560071666129,0.6488580491276397,-0.3720700872594547,0.28252193627220024,0.05303004879978079,0.29930589120312723,-3.0704614979708182,-1.2710681367987937,0.7113157729969979,-1.2304109110736992,0.06313179140652592,0.24786509437111715,0.36243258111567256,0.19443124408180834,0.14244252935664203,0.14781042755689988,1.6063985522007458,0.21831411414256374,-0.08497742432602884,-0.014012024025828573,0.13919661884228995,0.086075190166778,-0.2599005338979534,0.2217287606298095,0.17129954203522102,-0.04497982130953382,0.05909628030229497,1.0005978889709766,-0.25101609591056295,0.11749373730196311,-0.37417889956762496,-1.5057853310026608,0.13676049178515193,-0.04914597763883766,0.022676238241404523,-0.5223807819108228,1.6165052655583674,-0.3897333214361707,1.0111244201825105,-0.5684837867440447,-0.08905436099046637,0.31276062558973283,0.05531064698824073,0.043323170888297735,0.11322078399254121,0.5754693433001887,0.7564773220447891,-0.7226491661369501,0.06518140115262971,-0.8969583936849408,-0.5818245730486789,0.36857285649383,-0.2755301172658564,0.40801983458957425,0.6298514634442951,0.6642995643320535,-0.5828112047288303,-0.17781988331475285,0.2342038144568992,-0.06020500559957753,-0.21581264436274372,0.04411776866338002,-1.390581615904686,0.05531718931287344,0.09994534869434313,0.16371746565278267,0.4156502204160475,0.0015432719266761374,-0.4337264768465463,0.33071050481368136,0.1328989764164641;1.4248968727191524,-0.7409686831685391,-1.2705267927337474,-0.3572463101337888,-0.15467348563662853,-0.28162881180539756,-1.6885612268321069,0.5603994619200421,-0.14188473834731496,-0.23614187664281872,-0.15528090078677792,0.7858421774257991,0.16073709135719838,-1.861857610575548,1.236937407302996,0.5965018533706186,1.2516542794508183,-0.21872108387656652,1.1166409272650526,1.008585167062698,-0.8291764836598716,0.2947986783429215,-0.02380637765411109,-0.6181658883185932,1.1345910021172116,1.8719483970149184,-0.3877479857082875,-0.03964329875505257,0.21133657126097916,1.3450279482170089,0.16413679280628202,0.384051849281299,0.5576119365378673,-0.3052324445078298,-0.6968373671801729,1.6108886412878434,0.773325549571716,-1.0138025544142124,1.0552042187090507,-0.5425486107665449,-0.29049067092635283,-0.940573453687847,0.34559200402642887,-0.3583450502503496,0.38442205961483467,-2.058354065203801,0.684451818419582,0.04022269242673815,0.13646871647220138,-0.40001427279479884,-0.2066266351939774,0.04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k{113}=[0.33959045276998195;0.25430810565755213;-0.40635183063309116];
x_a{113}=[-9.11210680582959,-2.481086623875952,34.50815195840658];
std_x_a{113}=[0.5463072277383413,0.5130335986020904,0.674296191300866];
pred_a{113}=[-9.11210680582959];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.2 to 11.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{114}=[-3.807738520144178,-0.3483075437324479,26.955861123004144];
std_x_f{114}=[0.2954348794043082,0.3137311550905031,0.5861390790664814];
pred_f{114}=[-3.807738520144178];
obs{114}=[-3.708358399756085];
sqrt_r{114}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{114}=[1.0872840381570896];
xi{114}=[-0.014991619548915924,-0.07126295452005449,0.24169038557881395,-0.06181460787300841,0.0963247082465406,0.06531119771869198,-0.1845221967530608,-0.15542182460354237,-0.14497473867305066,-0.40345899142730435,0.10579837061884989,0.06085588895702143,0.17332906107902302,0.5467972251228734,-0.21044715508647993,0.15325725234360021,-0.10452720053438247,0.11808559538742225,-0.07464620243355746,-0.07857686339207914,-0.07403385593873946,0.06093894890811802,0.2329688307108002,0.05057262322299749,0.1779385721805209,-0.025647304479123,0.25921046130383774,-0.11141386109014295,0.09333983340847851,-0.22412747371212838,0.42230877025053637,-0.3425899126385161,0.5353375542161176,-0.02993026087228534,0.08473954142923912,-1.3966490849509254,-0.6293758479537681,0.28221269472615385,-0.5872172195132048,0.24282019137092892,0.008401754231184277,0.11828893024929643,0.09858473586074101,0.15959276949974477,0.45066010754446406,0.6825410425878164,0.38527581567365354,-0.08471525436099547,-0.07583202282594348,0.035779028239187216,0.052481559210034945,-0.16111855186355362,0.028063762097607636,0.01353832875994554,0.07183808484728527,0.05666048400415091,0.22141295779693015,-0.1731450590335104,-0.09555599981342544,-0.22555749641048717,-0.5136560500622176,-0.2960052195302474,0.1252318325024464,0.114167514190886,-0.42232031243340096,0.6616506980676378,-0.09101007272062445,0.4153905281469483,-0.16039385541552242,-0.02250011540579422,-0.005777710688161797,0.16757505245004367,-0.02775547718080995,-0.004606764877595371,0.4491289327915422,0.3800063656967372,-0.22831552651873643,0.0420069396443119,-0.6711513163449538,-0.1834999314966379,0.34545173441380284,-0.23585604577171715,0.021966338175382738,0.14540557834067114,0.17653072944663561,-0.201476440729909,-0.23385764684828825,0.03944626727445533,-0.09220050454103612,0.0791059775553018,0.014561924303472473,-0.6061290747579955,-0.11037482283029743,0.33533418892262823,-0.12157175786734786,0.23141194380072028,-0.1219722035481019,-0.2962089427064276,0.09368385190791306,0.1631798875638779;0.7008193177219582,-0.40689643977109646,-0.08406179524490087,-0.029183627973397852,0.08294422368350596,-0.030331482408994748,-0.8673533199117118,-0.2598818120506613,-0.2122652276659388,0.13551478899614453,0.14060774212610241,0.4299873235507551,0.20310972823752949,-0.31841656262630225,0.25542292944655726,0.2556719970979083,0.5857093992181841,0.028889650118505805,0.5418051102433619,0.4231918081349893,-0.47541071412030755,0.17255215578296346,-0.030365856395739355,-0.17454578074250326,0.10421230191339573,0.7260231258014749,0.13854048083169646,-0.04051275158702544,0.17390095149342064,0.28045028000331407,0.4643685657621757,0.11583192353303304,0.3161848240448733,-0.15454920809110884,-0.21000304968254146,-0.9342610147337591,-0.3513007030397354,-0.09349015132939409,-0.12492673842048846,-0.38568602325764956,0.027141605886182252,-0.30443194299233545,0.3141922689702822,-0.1907055941531446,0.12348790491669864,0.0301415425729199,0.3809195042214285,-0.03420423152396579,0.09726398517338708,-0.16128187296374463,-0.10148331241672565,-0.16535254765543417,-0.11112460665647117,-0.13610026482730958,0.13398892767907483,0.06549148347211908,-0.4359073640687199,0.08251768594165082,-0.33751889040551375,-0.20461160074970441,0.307726200209508,-0.2456725738673945,0.12254300346141628,0.30063820629342275,-0.5197882183262003,0.16427443806360276,-0.020210826816672023,-0.02753189665715622,0.6574932150514845,0.14060709196679352,-0.3253628825205409,0.2794798047005326,-0.3147865596115619,-0.7035338832132934,0.19754213275700605,0.032634433646743954,-0.02268665184573776,0.16743635721934116,-0.8686308937369915,0.12539120631601539,0.21521977611376017,0.3033216045964896,-0.5775432931809943,-0.21643434622877777,-0.2801501221683582,0.2548542498005758,0.12121206043987642,-0.2678235040035767,0.3153449518901428,0.03101934432864989,0.1202024384059209,0.05463910252789067,-0.36535900607783545,-0.03253451625502923,-0.19468787123289022,0.2062441512386791,0.026116624636574715,0.2647942295831907,-0.05088244090960481,0.460165814295743;0.872954051434025,-0.3642414986148097,-0.5543399654345826,0.08877366882847681,-0.07738210462099104,-0.1594197176658092,-0.7434988626549917,-0.01466661149894577,0.02171197209100484,0.9206671494188363,-0.024413276839606368,0.43011351881293436,-0.06531251021155882,-1.5236519717839414,0.7196178550692345,0.026128167323868468,0.9025482200816342,-0.18361093708391607,0.7944001920479806,0.6716830116857615,-0.4511797209890176,0.1061202454653376,-0.48706916783014265,-0.3140814831426262,-0.20733866659822553,0.9374323383368832,-0.3070367988393272,0.17389983321108815,0.050042534593668364,0.7709262217817319,-0.2139941498605431,0.7844179068316883,-0.6359563082305186,-0.13430385367565734,-0.419833499070716,1.5900306496838716,0.7815832070604998,-0.6575348057334836,0.9745874130144152,-0.9776829603744197,0.019766149734770977,-0.6132230485190888,0.20800384238034653,-0.5457670757695396,-0.7147478787870085,-1.2694299882597484,-0.2450428799960065,0.11166405225904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k{114}=[0.08027712639379234;0.024966813962641526;-0.12341812962064076];
x_a{114}=[-3.7930772067872374,-0.34374776064759827,26.933320806059825];
std_x_a{114}=[0.2706961353999972,0.3086675682833353,0.567103620750947];
pred_a{114}=[-3.7930772067872374];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.3 to 11.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{115}=[-1.9217064909257544,-1.292912691030541,20.79657384462493];
std_x_f{115}=[0.25527324928075185,0.403175385950715,0.4043214080649322];
pred_f{115}=[-1.9217064909257544];
obs{115}=[-1.7716252662454839];
sqrt_r{115}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{115}=[1.0684507213749257];
xi{115}=[0.5703881731599145,-0.3041145704536603,-0.02208071934074174,-0.05353046193950495,0.09631491005897042,-0.10667750869284265,-0.6513682497222735,-0.17910430591067406,-0.2174723088583097,0.0029640832969282105,0.07945547194259395,0.3341141858664014,0.18621298611258585,-0.11674641697893562,0.14220542004031378,0.1442437935809413,0.41874156338679147,0.07928393420343949,0.391057151220896,0.2857618516653526,-0.35457693172793614,0.1569187484339123,0.022060027724859044,-0.11605162341491071,0.1299347017017609,0.5417617311238114,0.2123446372498805,-3.539440654971582E-4,0.24214767259513859,0.12518598634825118,0.4439732792929014,0.020143505494707448,0.33644875590673906,-0.16517412596103997,-0.13688136851368404,-0.9390060917091618,-0.3501160075540939,-0.014053636793161406,-0.22437530572316589,-0.2491905087504589,0.005426991477748722,-0.2559516280115075,0.22295576365264091,-0.08426884360278053,0.14568480077381007,0.26396307286189646,0.32257799507203244,-0.027253035836787287,0.07732615842926238,-0.14493559466863348,-0.06961190861249222,-0.14398246388747737,-0.013958353804537804,-0.08607553574754001,0.11838773322196583,0.040146440150875984,-0.2892508138628933,0.06339060179916656,-0.19500318251047077,-0.1934418386160488,0.13730265454405655,-0.21435645124898817,0.08590187746561195,0.2078087011514782,-0.5174852255999951,0.25288428672658525,-0.06913915295502782,0.05650610421590696,0.448846066322659,0.07740703393572512,-0.28953349551528995,0.24022962110040225,-0.25524888795638234,-0.5365838672924534,0.2610917819500973,0.13036760369803346,-0.05880040495354577,0.132610243975269,-0.7986601100312904,0.04058257761316497,0.22343520095196245,0.17135114704926657,-0.41529326568689284,-0.1485037368771922,-0.17731009325264924,0.12674475884672964,0.02846469987538991,-0.2305224739253171,0.21799641349014376,0.03350107414494352,0.09538471430262918,-0.09300379828638339,-0.20877072086303028,0.032368491665541566,-0.16277784629475112,0.2049419009878397,0.01612989360132322,0.128922657607639,-0.02024825785795037,0.328543440799538;0.9465813929278548,-0.5309280622403125,-0.17513896171120802,-0.034639460418387946,0.09891919326057375,-0.10154432817621717,-1.1419341548164272,-0.299780595343512,-0.2620723647223191,0.27721978766522803,0.1452609891371237,0.5571327630049279,0.23346634714070413,-0.5658107520683,0.3947523401384514,0.2721352776835082,0.7982314667706547,0.024308516329524243,0.7290372166106981,0.5761648179143972,-0.6302967737815601,0.2231543479312943,-0.09931802326096117,-0.2530275343517936,0.10393681985592829,0.9713041122378356,0.15717728855299384,-0.00752647326360556,0.25326658642804767,0.4110332361960528,0.532107805419094,0.23748670835546126,0.3044749008595975,-0.218976635828257,-0.3078760318391056,-0.7518718441256773,-0.2904075868624538,-0.19208306919640106,-0.0027766523980721214,-0.5934008301811005,0.0236232708783759,-0.467289084240637,0.38366141570624235,-0.28761673583723435,0.04654601268936576,-0.0371443394497426,0.41259869444697894,-0.021698781637427222,0.1536442710659578,-0.24928753720331231,-0.15705548582381135,-0.18528081394066898,-0.13176626007953507,-0.18395600661865563,0.1631517709215604,0.06470941465079183,-0.6600315751407866,0.16339681108808102,-0.41123010194212406,-0.2162371931761442,0.5485967012217338,-0.24264977005470056,0.12135268119567821,0.35696413799972215,-0.6052500214336438,0.08923258463610684,-0.014280939806191162,-0.12893216618285575,0.9002512638142464,0.1811080616880607,-0.4586964800098057,0.33783992143827957,-0.42929338371464265,-0.9757089643000727,0.1784634516637349,-0.02597044585561603,0.03000807476802847,0.21196943834938864,-0.9886550012583517,0.20306845595710654,0.20597608133963363,0.4578584143240425,-0.7982200889131228,-0.3389698374902512,-0.4281993083023625,0.37683774409066706,0.21810081698984907,-0.39346975597209877,0.43348151197022466,0.0194901206067013,0.1587682257835743,0.2388335064086604,-0.4397119083313352,-0.1287246777608475,-0.23244185370837966,0.22678631327027943,0.06653382579684042,0.41831733011311023,-0.09499979008308057,0.5538562035601694;0.3378066168973852,-0.22313545410165503,-0.342649572970096,0.1043338770793305,-0.10265757915564322,0.1283520889834513,-0.43208479836830804,-0.08328456883655022,0.13232920168591633,0.6307601854467819,0.07735874627184458,0.20903183320796614,-0.07553132931013451,-1.0349617379174454,0.46026570099967756,0.16961212003608495,0.4977821906276354,-0.227016122965221,0.43839778317024525,0.40132256247836295,-0.24593638894403824,-0.007408546177817499,-0.3381060758586756,-0.1798183596976557,-0.2130818377059036,0.49725267282524044,-0.3694877481918617,-0.016093274806692648,-0.24052260951197013,0.5593555766241849,-0.2460672735264673,0.5004258430776112,-0.4715737714865327,0.05652720204634676,-0.2575831529923889,1.3872792349285383,0.5224320885835532,-0.42347080904936973,0.7452795921645219,-0.5980794217307661,0.04836551023173641,-0.23549155746148998,0.15884754230287612,-0.4119840850512908,-0.4309068764694004,-1.103950529079011,-0.14758654456592524,0.04155363893565678,0.09362902169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k{115}=[0.06406539862394448;0.0929509813614142;0.0012396836293796813];
x_a{115}=[-1.9112786355998277,-1.277783160787089,20.796775626582356];
std_x_a{115}=[0.2539804292775808,0.38883097418242923,0.40392774490398214];
pred_a{115}=[-1.9112786355998277];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.4 to 11.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{116}=[-2.0518800499661984,-2.869053015411186,16.27929434518205];
std_x_f{116}=[0.4158968113357298,0.6528855197600598,0.31246463626977566];
pred_f{116}=[-2.0518800499661984];
obs{116}=[-1.8305696139536751];
sqrt_r{116}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{116}=[1.1811707631077237];
xi{116}=[0.9010327060773782,-0.4842031682693406,-0.15120971434264874,-0.04465925037112495,-0.001665406316042617,-0.1178709594737608,-1.080172237482461,-0.3233875894553795,-0.28610750605292745,0.33129034331599616,0.07072375869408942,0.44073591798708933,0.4617031096922197,-0.5530526401826878,0.29308103915365913,0.351421642279121,0.7760872344098113,0.16931147667656554,0.6658696869656262,0.6835889695555029,-0.6328190185712592,0.22385656159931822,-0.08454518705014058,-0.25807979546158233,0.05021317242625667,0.8915697095426409,0.23851663608706475,-0.04291126923712163,0.2712620127137195,0.5364990290731757,0.8248110038797589,0.2370333988151312,0.311039849798592,-0.24397737455633628,-0.2364893149670073,-1.192272619214243,-0.4036048242923642,-0.19329075230537596,-0.02486369897729057,-0.6321631495032571,-0.18872161053081848,-0.4639902167948504,0.12700067542495286,-0.26885549983248724,0.09822834784893009,0.06279953459024856,0.4028995577405945,0.14158861820368185,0.39641376251114524,-0.25905441494313264,-0.08112796177611914,-0.18420191162311106,-0.10379464272350614,-0.18775976543809847,0.15117207005892586,0.24226987405775624,-0.6500809689579632,0.18212603367457358,-0.4365521178058276,-0.21599737632355165,0.4691898317307641,-0.22240664089699447,0.1878365725087543,0.4883649782408692,-0.6344459071821307,0.11950330130757747,-0.007295368500835231,-0.06338655011137728,0.8565720445329683,0.24455072342462802,-0.4741769801667486,0.3448840190974738,-0.4395347336463207,-0.9940721177479568,0.3339746804362238,-1.9564128685845006E-4,0.019111424052239645,-0.02746426889862086,-0.9943244176478818,0.04928986996689,0.22961942113910627,0.4328407099605964,-0.6702257590587939,-0.33007401584888063,-0.2574774148199541,0.40756668026905474,0.09862829346349278,-0.2804313891926018,0.4023632987125101,0.013239240314359968,0.16472685807757204,-0.29692241395730656,-0.5351769006525888,0.31214223323880197,-0.26665024404609783,0.2622578416180179,0.05877328484813593,0.3556457231554908,-0.19559684840098734,0.33211281194564;1.422166496706847,-0.7821876920145647,-0.28943475053647605,-0.055878473285047914,-0.01651106347084408,-0.1586776020127787,-1.7213554552059396,-0.510603558683417,-0.4163550904572837,0.6112966305809664,0.12026602365163708,0.7033557617382722,0.7026563754944837,-1.0239815718012468,0.5177853785601201,0.5605715845390917,1.2588371847563327,0.2224492140038543,1.0790615326089685,1.106976933799377,-1.02209695171504,0.33771065150067425,-0.18851068714344477,-0.42383868146979786,0.044098699257362206,1.4339730479499477,0.30218237173322704,-0.059787760371160736,0.3752442605387869,0.9107711241460734,1.2354627925272172,0.44238985391294205,0.40537545526074137,-0.35775718682895263,-0.40605784282325974,-1.5008928185949273,-0.5151780757927171,-0.37354274296411916,0.08574548325254616,-1.0697959798428789,-0.2854637954508332,-0.7549733862269226,0.22009372408907302,-0.48000183053875123,0.08077095716423566,-0.06885607615739797,0.5985390598099909,0.22470918527392625,0.6221849097883818,-0.411173014597197,-0.14890423279769038,-0.2714375531246094,-0.20451149933409907,-0.31409301896602004,0.22583317647626222,0.36714243015636105,-1.0948262034085312,0.30737302095044683,-0.7115711226139618,-0.30928714832634885,0.8466003592770832,-0.3129990535076179,0.28072133311433634,0.7733372001010212,-0.9005877000608229,0.06901951085575675,0.01804408908970867,-0.18428696086601537,1.4027438471618174,0.39686475377577146,-0.7410559113402719,0.5232622972765668,-0.6973140057821423,-1.5974711425303196,0.4482418784061637,-0.08398169057835947,0.07323442823427184,-0.03644676179643502,-1.4254222662018767,0.1330412344107832,0.31246973511903375,0.7355130834539225,-1.1074746579118084,-0.5587372317016936,-0.46164098243591356,0.6971532093531558,0.21743839314147184,-0.45414919211557425,0.6566473468535676,0.005380006763503253,0.25792387490516555,-0.293797007069573,-0.872391218702393,0.39727376947131443,-0.40870220848746985,0.3669673162818343,0.1018521728827344,0.6327811395115486,-0.3279660892466687,0.5404326472226528;0.0029229539415069894,0.0030988964557963072,-0.21813196652356126,0.08476868966148032,-0.0916152172121123,0.12080387292948203,0.12347612842038913,0.0412455920151622,0.19321328946202954,0.36022205756288983,0.02143725801883889,0.009713223380316549,-0.20907687252401175,-0.5937352645272682,0.2414009923254845,0.007746309588089417,0.14839487457605216,-0.24043606683584073,0.12800474837079534,0.09787488433386926,0.04974488054636694,-0.09508435073505694,-0.241168084251008,-0.0630898748464297,-0.2065427618556157,0.12687534703478676,-0.37534973326197374,-0.012613958972682582,-0.2851198737946685,0.24981680432344433,-0.4301035215875064,0.2863213144685979,-0.4731399256799307,0.11624200409638163,-0.12186683399092146,1.567295553674903,0.5346725214232713,-0.272975919026873,0.5595693242188773,-0.22268840105184395,0.08762655781035633,-0.0158784658464306,0.06213006269763355,-0.2281653093452789,-0.37479801612782104,-0.8818717277458497,-0.2480133128589408,-0.0270564391574446,-0.059466403785581434,0.011398472944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k{116}=[0.15338236330118243;0.23956553569763162;-0.024431256263040456];
x_a{116}=[-2.0225684899082617,-2.823271744108015,16.274625501777685];
std_x_a{116}=[0.3714138356603476,0.5853567926429287,0.3096401676664705];
pred_a{116}=[-2.0225684899082617];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.5 to 11.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{117}=[-3.5541742635409364,-5.95611219035799,13.546005749558551];
std_x_f{117}=[0.685494964971646,1.127002291924531,0.4925286727180841];
pred_f{117}=[-3.5541742635409364];
obs{117}=[-3.2212388193692374];
sqrt_r{117}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{117}=[1.4888516408578076];
xi{117}=[1.3696280852029221,-1.1548931878472652,0.36847797077247035,-0.04350871105350995,-0.530596562264467,-0.15768583055877983,-1.4061919761524848,-0.5537146036682552,-0.09062660018696445,0.3385565760864542,0.3151260699127625,0.6039929824771053,1.0030686972745908,-0.8774566034000557,0.6262987646819527,0.791471936379919,0.8985124073494006,-0.2730881440832129,1.5424352127534284,0.9096068448299053,-0.9377849257902708,0.1992650622326937,-0.29615912177613346,0.3092470287744642,0.005675121314485665,1.5159812287540961,0.8454505876850162,-0.018030989125390917,0.3096881308482482,0.8501399161135907,1.2922110906212088,0.46515935307954726,0.3634916095990057,-0.2890904577201785,-0.5450092339595782,-1.006048807330762,-0.43854776745938207,-0.09255466607047413,0.03675628945971132,-1.2124839920575008,-0.2858780776002492,-0.959354250919449,0.22059521451122333,-0.5683651903357001,0.31967530268695343,-0.12835739637302446,0.5357092441604756,0.3150166503337437,0.6043302217907875,-0.16002687163426232,-0.21015441575788518,-0.8621763009543244,-0.17111901010883024,-0.13359739145662308,0.3076497277920005,0.7943652877231071,-1.1213784943314629,-0.019107731508141157,-0.6053730433215385,-0.40317167143718047,0.8287808606672749,-0.1900193224217399,0.6330934382881761,0.7172261258128572,-0.9141794251990492,-0.9362941891446592,0.11502774377914626,-0.0026458089425758224,1.4544826443868226,0.17775298540903117,-0.8050881762900941,0.44695130690190554,-0.6922808596629579,-1.1931387694981712,0.40528620279381977,0.018982833225922313,0.018180396385978348,0.42969347161619176,-1.6794866584948789,0.06193005332048207,-0.04655434603754305,0.8094254707473483,-1.032631237965334,-0.4297524513227611,-0.5080512553560519,0.5305732438174218,0.48675914983681734,-0.48587936415701183,0.759309069244487,-0.6121698634073418,0.24979457227744595,-0.28266449065422083,-1.3068069951939663,0.26605942745656375,-0.4861565930709304,-0.2575248461877515,0.4229361211578375,0.05991757002958753,-0.643848098253093,1.1069594751471055;2.282481825050462,-1.8909976046446193,0.5647470165569306,-0.06764727265787052,-0.8871781762307824,-0.25150073326158573,-2.2801769822614677,-0.910069492728173,-0.13776784533684427,0.6094627897895517,0.5091116657731458,1.0073049755499515,1.6468644985050505,-1.5617752295325822,1.0674012046845638,1.3047383938872708,1.51024749995244,-0.48459634871468005,2.5887392970529097,1.5207139766815736,-1.537672041825278,0.30282833638589324,-0.5337179828836609,0.4828287186977418,-0.031914466648540696,2.5416275208882957,1.3506372304151535,-0.0404113599710767,0.46273026779140913,1.444184446211393,2.111915137048425,0.8015713975236318,0.5265778790754041,-0.470129345661757,-0.9177917347360074,-1.3560038862347277,-0.6424453143995752,-0.20563315733891852,0.13441607491722518,-2.031326206173037,-0.46664917574716025,-1.5881574254380908,0.36598180750128595,-0.9789204902020563,0.46435645443118556,-0.35099486184288775,0.8454317728282881,0.5085227200022029,0.9914428060748293,-0.27937430375707795,-0.38200651628600735,-1.3933252656569177,-0.3249059882180738,-0.24025523625383194,0.48967267925326396,1.302660204523523,-1.8716744201633606,-0.026053223352540122,-1.0169625036504488,-0.641483688541312,1.4244370578761227,-0.29553290585542324,1.0352132514771961,1.181278997013945,-1.4137562487821702,-1.6256631431213808,0.1968570346786933,-0.07856857660396432,2.4564078638995683,0.2966274375991862,-1.3115115956769916,0.7146623903649862,-1.1439913021319539,-1.9572392428303012,0.5948804738889066,-0.04382819132668381,0.04496984500050161,0.7024509914163977,-2.5600786968391525,0.1333292061111777,-0.12776281609065343,1.3634044796753813,-1.7155938989287245,-0.7385190739409104,-0.8832588263520034,0.9060205515846906,0.8345692807897906,-0.8125178663314712,1.2624394240900862,-1.0177961668721345,0.40779881593029543,-0.34968522373444255,-2.1388291260215517,0.34911161559538595,-0.7879815878047438,-0.45646124201612004,0.6954162520277283,0.14034850502272356,-1.066255170228204,1.8449271107442913;-0.6674769699995764,0.7694100662938226,-0.45938372394614113,0.05016012792464508,0.25466193334039566,0.14598236651923457,1.0101735200552984,0.3417041120405191,0.13623235001038658,0.07278479512544145,-0.21368570680943755,-0.34686539066565203,-0.7208648121669992,0.05684770556377394,-0.19451278732490174,-0.4568390031585441,-0.3498328015360048,-0.031943705850483894,-0.6689736195802247,-0.40597552721275854,0.6092785231546358,-0.21222744073865307,-0.044065787303321,-0.31428938414905616,-0.20163168378174134,-0.6390184181693765,-0.800716318533949,-0.04233192710082179,-0.4213736997087878,-0.27410296235056997,-0.977009377456854,-0.07271594838658402,-0.605439681452328,0.21816293016755495,0.21589972268791335,1.7977363356265634,0.6366408636851855,-0.21468535606353178,0.3658937094008632,0.6254211136889882,0.19878910058680965,0.594677762783455,-0.11703711861384036,0.148898175014196,-0.5189164895783804,-0.6427556879395997,-0.5103212867743423,-0.2437691406161555,-0.4028558323317437,0.044559400641853486,0.01693582573105168,0.64952145993818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k{117}=[0.3283414058476329;0.5394751987847786;-0.20103536402658315];
x_a{117}=[-3.4819138106723084,-5.837386006327242,13.501762452220929];
std_x_a{117}=[0.5698435275097798,0.9355824115259485,0.43847455916122685];
pred_a{117}=[-3.4819138106723084];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.6 to 11.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{118}=[-7.111011893561291,-12.199154001804802,14.598789680027599];
std_x_f{118}=[1.0210979389980646,1.4786759971428907,1.5203758026910967];
pred_f{118}=[-7.111011893561291];
obs{118}=[-6.686925126553797];
sqrt_r{118}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{118}=[2.1118604997265584];
xi{118}=[2.6177720243263893,-1.3055150191403948,0.4566667571118872,0.030038246969499305,-2.286987969138754,0.22078187748654265,-1.2924087187959676,-0.36602567887795523,-0.12417468333180892,0.5505906712848772,0.28625344523763996,0.7831145275028328,1.071528578193008,-1.249359307848569,0.947665239976117,1.1148861509593369,1.694028246603196,-0.34161928645004114,2.102799202232629,0.7520990182325793,-1.0433794046789933,0.30603322907603125,-0.25809800166745145,0.32687852725208266,-0.8896567189326872,2.0182631111762266,1.8536585915475747,-0.12415195886522934,0.3917735234568136,0.5337880193140894,1.5695357108573322,0.6656963221514909,-0.005029380387473026,-0.219234436811087,-0.6224303355731005,-1.261913274367708,-0.484951554429327,-0.44358154754516654,0.1964130920758178,-1.5479674429128965,-0.4228390330739291,-1.123749944302003,0.592284265196735,-0.8010946112525792,0.6860889239973131,-0.1949215016850525,0.6045355598485829,0.49175072575822387,0.8253587599142467,-0.29091187702632393,-0.5147426319939932,-1.3209001474492306,-0.41152851731803963,-1.3454233923835366,0.3788927836650853,0.9929661169187511,-1.372052231757734,-0.3602589333522461,0.5390664298684698,-0.6146770981607164,1.087223061768583,0.41307715570120074,1.198086481156932,0.44456591185207195,-0.8990895511783341,-1.327563866902989,0.3030721522557167,-0.11887218689602275,1.987501652238409,0.25601802529524065,-0.777405333651493,0.7194512745163211,-0.7964753053071147,-1.3352500733270718,-0.9926354766194434,0.056912913193176706,1.3109195624638055,1.4937122837107726,-1.8286962812337402,0.14630242798152882,-1.017436950326542,1.2993737116317359,-1.5156466330614107,-0.6820027103315205,-0.5410228244635089,0.5942713217112416,1.260636206732607,-0.6106782348645039,1.089181704272269,-0.6614981126885233,0.1577678877703086,-0.39253485197400195,-2.865751327980182,0.7329876432768323,-1.393791045474793,-0.16006576985874954,0.5807320019336739,-2.177015792140822,0.24286773634846792,1.7571481737886385;4.124687597783321,-1.8489331758777041,0.5569454671191938,-0.006423268934293347,-3.103665115147784,0.28605497598837637,-1.8101060110824765,-0.5887119762224078,-0.2193803674355479,0.8332668844616506,0.3563028745606207,1.1210142820926112,1.5515529930172178,-1.959885137395469,1.4159800788443064,1.638194954469654,2.603111437147378,-0.6071035091861106,3.2859431580886636,1.0973872033494168,-1.5130250005536148,0.36703468924575233,-0.508129374501495,0.3889833103698468,-1.3743301331423936,3.1474568333344983,2.766587087696678,-0.25727785019099514,0.45716122690985017,0.795769578023819,2.3324991611867674,0.9913377986548557,-0.17373109643188478,-0.36345578381386723,-0.9825229555391033,-1.3934652336506925,-0.6478943298356921,-0.7743861548547688,0.33442896290928026,-2.2298490523107617,-0.6610292264388935,-1.6324915172954562,0.8145132129775483,-1.2617586062107602,0.8845816735710219,-0.5455379045446129,0.7960967962241305,0.6569832330364278,1.168771204579766,-0.5033755085529208,-0.8371394842166051,-1.851263187086376,-0.7108005808527746,-1.9528734761146307,0.4789543780875949,1.4343638165468722,-1.999442371882365,-0.5756770802520279,0.7165102808662791,-0.9107142083034976,1.683238551010291,0.5682202391608726,1.7517990326713058,0.6090841013142825,-1.204647527416201,-2.02741166730525,0.397083672222756,-0.33612418264418586,3.113815458097747,0.3188201007270308,-1.143188722797012,0.9914607178607149,-1.1941847029491885,-1.8893388781645513,-1.5871346701822588,-0.08298237033934797,1.9685360139226464,2.2398054043781634,-2.2391538814813927,0.19547464522813662,-1.5672394822414812,1.9773182017654705,-2.166783986467859,-1.08076747450035,-0.901003975061462,0.8777230782201357,1.902575889909068,-0.951660585433233,1.6266260405295032,-1.0100302502406144,0.15739810640010532,-0.4670752342847013,-3.693249159856979,0.9540538915436496,-1.9641136948500382,-0.3400719034443451,0.80528371004152,-2.860416384180132,0.28539902814765306,2.684766377404289;-3.1222745390907995,2.0073442352005824,-0.9451408319602379,-0.12972225980342778,3.6668297713813462,-0.38536313489930407,2.0711082689372997,0.43849540820562183,0.14398465658325854,-0.6352465947023607,-0.5291945628798356,-1.16379818136852,-1.6402745903828446,1.4285120816179582,-1.2331198952799607,-1.5797754833365953,-2.117586406758125,0.22311707713773465,-2.512556475140432,-1.011331885348513,1.5408867102513195,-0.6239914309882639,0.08092977425964243,-0.6778502257363517,1.0909142146103203,-2.408481527941321,-2.7027631716276055,0.028741220155454883,-0.8379523552840737,-0.6386846879267942,-2.3009976782147543,-0.8451497560490466,-0.4266613040130345,0.25206276714895814,0.7262344077037195,2.9431063678327494,0.9434270078313691,0.3227806960488344,-0.04816090164865017,2.2622839183578503,0.5398500244446538,1.653520017459778,-0.9091593419648394,0.9378178034885458,-1.3366527045572667,-0.44681811833847007,-1.1016744759747912,-0.8399075484947236,-1.2582634827392276,0.2791559848547642,0.5626193064686031,2.090820455036857,0.34038891001028126,1.9280004121830263,-0.7158752748925714,-1.4906329367019513,1.9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k{118}=[0.526483875175714;0.7641452067535489;-0.7613432396780281];
x_a{118}=[-6.8420650383813095,-11.808801210489715,14.209868234037245];
std_x_a{118}=[0.8425880784288398,1.2291767969684224,1.2597677549856012];
pred_a{118}=[-6.8420650383813095];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.7 to 11.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{119}=[-12.860013285515363,-18.728534882412955,25.107838366203115];
std_x_f{119}=[0.8061259466482025,0.5164302724207638,2.855178490382878];
pred_f{119}=[-12.860013285515363];
obs{119}=[-12.868081623260519];
sqrt_r{119}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{119}=[1.6684894814177282];
xi{119}=[1.3588206343254061,0.22391332212762194,0.24052222720153082,-0.21379067991931677,-0.9931182626934412,-0.34888786672533456,-0.22710655332244656,-0.43071510509027,0.8752683176122122,-0.5570530534480671,-0.6634214345645475,0.4965157586209834,0.28465372720763504,-0.8696275116110677,0.36202764486282923,0.43292895245631513,1.3675324403186018,-0.36009627418680346,2.3445183827324225,-0.15193557507712185,-0.5916533938345445,-0.07292137115671338,0.46143131626157086,-1.3508307872071388,-0.5992379890784161,2.2398048326197983,2.32732872769124,0.009351875376756524,1.261202653101721,-1.1657084791926717,0.562156768067279,-0.03476992998361794,-0.5301810579082318,0.6805444328992447,-0.45465290270337455,-0.07563422989689705,-0.4279536671328348,-0.5507586900105608,-0.08520915203815349,-2.045860509833547,-1.655709687965219,-0.9811789600355247,-0.014689605283022544,-0.49145811790952365,0.0816552736487477,-0.15531869002236576,0.08877387731145703,1.8630501913947324,1.3845526850414043,-0.11803572790129202,-0.9803361855483601,0.702634486598912,-0.4491669479703724,-0.7428463552967628,-1.0316571286672094,0.1613983409826929,-0.6031095004414144,-0.09637544838270884,0.05445380440025005,-0.2968181009106523,-0.20656309352271407,-0.10372961098220657,1.2243958222016946,0.039700730700976905,-0.5588939501006216,-0.6324318769736959,0.04438095513071971,-0.5048150240525686,2.140077183663001,-0.3754071724229817,-0.714193585115213,0.14016118736090277,-0.4798820614711623,-0.134334930073976,-0.6944641582802831,0.21703509211739558,0.9108224956606232,0.9350632613871053,-0.38199869111470974,-0.026902291694065994,0.011140997723456891,0.8111945465087764,-0.2966238635992493,-0.6532335095170456,-0.3903106550372719,-0.0022388287841437204,0.5960687989376066,-0.5702812092254312,1.2989207312440971,-0.3304980501399335,-0.12123103867455143,-0.3036594247605269,-0.2053555422032396,0.7290005314427557,-0.620438928697169,-0.28726390474287733,0.9217884541874337,-0.954322396060137,0.18840872117023189,-0.10630145210252628;0.6367959845214095,-0.11546520827514684,-0.4918562830836599,-0.27314380128358096,0.9037927436010804,-0.2139604810980984,0.03707191268784271,-0.204323531415195,-0.1483736320351774,0.13631343135905283,-0.11063180579541054,-0.22859607745530042,-0.2916893610311,-0.2723739721445746,-0.10750091322959321,-0.18116379536166605,0.3763968443100083,-0.42140184764454247,1.1682468713335332,-0.12331905101573071,0.022923899649619273,-0.3928126642001821,-0.4742049515181641,0.4902175670048443,-0.23773150104772256,1.071171862838149,0.8480292601409083,-0.37785328688499575,-0.13620158590772746,0.7085882716469243,-0.18054311675334134,-0.10762733062509255,-0.5255378317505546,-0.2305499397294959,-0.283613626862099,0.9981214269924585,0.15874496078175326,-0.39932382931835164,0.012476700422020315,2.727662058234362,1.2629276585899696,0.3435381121167751,-0.28298363328561393,-0.3220324666444121,-0.536096875892909,-0.9013650935984643,-0.4425667427149378,0.36236220684552123,0.08314825907329393,-0.35501244059766535,0.057980103981869036,-0.01459230831423497,-0.37580870352869056,0.08140938235351669,0.14187685974873787,-0.27437121629868955,-0.017519433848907084,-0.2828105771935192,-0.38652798797777166,-0.14770369360557467,0.17202495746681024,-0.2352428075500228,0.031482888811673604,-0.31424812097545995,0.34303196132264446,-0.28257139802092013,-0.2962236721218261,-0.521995066419553,1.0238487244033116,-0.2250285340569924,0.08354344162392735,-0.3782092920304301,-0.13419099968852422,-0.0717233267088595,-0.3693701865384398,-0.6171270070028427,0.02575499031517836,1.8303984704104437E-4,0.9879940236059248,-0.21169285185171205,-0.43919726743639487,0.05775196790232684,-0.07483174622854705,-0.20628530699148584,-0.41469785602732046,-0.153045279134286,-0.01829885559729405,-0.17063902932514452,0.1456619788437763,-0.24725623370422412,-0.36583905929034444,0.23464213376441734,0.7961261822920314,-0.43188356031744846,0.18296938730617285,-0.42528766360868886,-0.15308775627134708,1.1944735346645174,-0.36950132812294356,0.08737921358620682;-3.743630588896398,-0.8165767618441677,-1.4638404497862005,0.44497702616217083,4.49718957599158,0.9742004203419228,0.939122462222965,1.277231184747798,-3.2361771256694354,2.169421828316498,2.1584812328937204,-1.9769227929572821,-1.320031503748492,2.5894671383793195,-1.2886667262713551,-1.6592321143698925,-4.248376771784859,0.6997589056898761,-6.761934408809655,0.47166917886668713,2.1157630136645054,-0.2097174699686093,-2.2582431487942785,5.043980545256282,1.7665462583298854,-6.5230808895404735,-7.362272749881313,-0.46453474781653625,-4.739491998331001,4.785810007402958,-2.1474374652613157,0.09399825738663381,1.1257549847657025,-2.6476406173688964,1.234260105419036,1.8487232988070055,1.7994840324078396,1.3958889116436097,0.45106800971396055,9.511657512553857,6.85351354310178,3.766118197581026,-0.2411078520785317,1.3019381278086684,-0.9927415720579091,-0.7091712966106201,-0.8471067130294365,-6.290805625102692,-4.821333184500773,-0.00848829527245698,3.384567517539139,-2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k{119}=[0.4006554964012764;0.0012543117423299114;-1.3802248558892853];
x_a{119}=[-12.850449963401413,-18.728504943007827,25.074893517061902];
std_x_a{119}=[0.6083047361529276,0.5163833307931945,2.2091493765338006];
pred_a{119}=[-12.850449963401413];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.8 to 11.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{120}=[-14.137066900896414,-9.379683999202758,38.83494759060948];
std_x_f{120}=[0.7474018943940705,1.8746245351070947,0.5517821411154393];
pred_f{120}=[-14.137066900896414];
obs{120}=[-14.394061365509346];
sqrt_r{120}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{120}=[1.5594409053220843];
xi{120}=[-0.2868798428709738,-0.2505083038823077,-0.5606922232697986,-0.013197122361015445,1.299268338971462,0.17695257629965866,-0.05043647588379585,0.2779631066440533,-2.0023368431213804,0.4978941741144087,0.3225603093757101,-0.4421353055476569,-1.8250025599357738,0.4170702693380459,0.1538406335914715,-0.5558551721435521,-0.4071353809434246,0.45489840271438986,-0.3530259625866705,-0.6274189210229881,0.43977301684448733,-0.3622039699113575,-0.7452195488752,1.559507112462322,0.38053312162402975,-0.7005981383106814,-1.005597952789266,0.26266879732784254,-0.8722782047587216,1.525267206826502,-0.20903889030017098,-0.2792240083466222,-0.08637055403768201,-0.6186533167723542,0.2893283550418442,0.8928051715909717,0.1495020561776279,-0.06452714054346664,0.14446083001720922,3.001171474889727,1.8243377760279245,0.724253972314715,-0.18212873749878078,0.40159088267788334,-0.4870591536044433,-0.6709469014592724,-0.25585330116065386,-0.8284306254610829,-1.3472896917986343,-0.12458219282156868,0.16266080908863678,0.561868948716743,0.06310345579780119,0.5541133047444315,0.5085455484110639,-0.4203350240166639,0.39064074651358105,-0.32364560618547067,-1.3049516230669216,0.16089501237684978,1.0145832246892876,-0.6334596887673509,-0.8154092159583168,0.06102861554434469,0.8275253921393002,0.7362383889792223,-0.20029552037302878,0.13270777137799783,-0.7879507135390273,-0.1856056624016329,0.07225140275856923,-0.339199163960906,0.17666216099168786,0.11930499043747211,-0.0927139483233308,0.728355851560444,-0.5217119325145436,-0.6131210146793844,1.0466124417653617,-0.037622116498749136,-0.4135952159872591,-0.28981480974864304,0.12041299833752994,0.2930442089612395,0.20968802912476114,0.036495350006710225,-0.09406759557551148,0.25751277011255347,-0.9412869730934155,-0.29293256475783025,-0.3655347381506111,0.28926327593488566,0.7320256159324341,-0.8150307596109236,0.4684137833598676,-0.3456103190978581,-1.024071230600807,2.031365250436828,0.13649756038319083,-0.014872614427865471;-1.7822910428566807,-0.5570279955014428,-0.8398818691325545,0.3596645577609614,2.4216820451022203,0.8110538145595658,-0.19610798779574523,1.066803509232125,-5.697635078146346,1.1903055917314873,1.0796527404643612,-0.9002807857133597,-4.915964632556651,1.5767482088122344,0.5806812108534221,-1.3271322280277076,-1.692516075753547,1.8644467385121262,-2.71095829024725,-1.6126881771546007,1.2068383052020213,-0.4426936797304961,-1.3717006025332825,3.704618645294408,1.4128316625889719,-3.614584413877182,-4.109558440276169,1.2766968507422014,-2.1905322263736853,3.2991108466236634,-0.3133194694647585,-0.6460291363429587,0.54098479350173,-1.3913966963202906,1.2121554604831992,1.0272427728823335,0.18417183483882837,0.41745725325301386,0.3683287278551557,5.000102904350767,3.486065984824876,1.5848572789140594,-0.10278933504506504,1.6166475211366285,-0.5592548408672897,-0.5144700960580462,-0.06778460900124728,-2.8187484935820173,-3.9945020404306213,0.1688159038474133,0.4248061122635267,1.5879122462000232,0.7175906626969937,1.451461991338813,1.2572640934487005,-0.7930071048101563,1.1362485354237961,-0.5019711436898273,-3.1785463004605354,0.6852407633523008,2.5562486620214377,-1.4631560579476872,-2.344074426786632,0.6318568161489377,1.8296127120638586,2.4311001919187714,-0.1271642810256619,1.1161435288320316,-3.8238514281348497,-0.17323650694176962,0.11362534993364548,-0.39301281927295584,0.6795805294338582,0.4186730152908815,0.30101983844347124,2.8712668289048136,-1.5243667885820393,-1.7299930838799948,1.5197981787795198,0.18484299528591563,-0.5185096342763753,-0.9153176001305265,0.44342298556403925,1.1316668171446338,1.1781562628488107,0.31927520455202796,-0.2518613382762247,0.9784081973172434,-2.8970510945422685,-0.46213977228904213,-0.50474584865818,0.46952598586899263,0.8923704639890051,-1.6139378369821404,1.0517110429353895,-0.35361263631734907,-2.6673179340458635,4.028909889254161,0.9234754549640947,-0.18245863974887655;-0.8791986525114694,0.09857357508938946,0.5434437289844567,0.3209476794540862,-0.8155512311963022,0.26630197640913167,-0.05675519564908171,0.2646596014878426,-0.20046546519272113,-0.0974942461183943,0.1695848757763514,0.22862823622980954,0.06163208388412755,0.35411062467457555,0.13867288896138774,0.14544155846002838,-0.5362811098044915,0.5257570385335626,-1.5978325857607203,0.055575636940169204,0.026209895598547917,0.43099959112284836,0.5030642630162347,-0.32535408741350125,0.3153947832301611,-1.5870304601066607,-1.3174637423110482,0.4676735374025469,0.08289221969171479,-0.5596986484506132,0.19538252813164547,0.08803196219449916,0.6123096318749575,0.2101120503540841,0.35675145549063103,-1.0508980466884381,-0.18193749682978222,0.4685139683258157,-0.004096779759898084,-2.2397514126636793,-1.072573452150273,-0.29524327191488453,0.31309123078843726,0.41120855647032784,0.6092846826176412,1.0321304370584699,0.5060268398192349,-0.5671840128014694,-0.3342595156732955,0.4090841923076951,-0.03933322058662014,0.08471244619826734,0.44558624626656496,-0.02676724385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k{120}=[0.35874453684831253;0.8482319941443046;-0.07879177930931028];
x_a{120}=[-14.252173795117496,-9.65184800560875,38.86022874774186];
std_x_a{120}=[0.5934365751306684,1.5158022280300865,0.5471097298363684];
pred_a{120}=[-14.252173795117496];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.9 to 12.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{121}=[-6.731120981634129,0.8422502672400676,33.15037269259662];
std_x_f{121}=[0.6349090725069387,0.44509872053546884,0.9694287702926428];
pred_f{121}=[-6.731120981634129];
obs{121}=[-6.600314628515348];
sqrt_r{121}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{121}=[1.4075772378963483];
xi{121}=[-0.6650586793118185,-0.14167361215387775,-0.04356910133516223,0.26774405476170315,0.2571770350854212,0.2826822703196843,0.40700075108238387,0.3838390328487993,-1.6269401602507152,0.2989405165498962,0.40079455006618847,-0.3659478871146442,-1.2325667559288949,0.5679738467814497,0.5794406338483746,-0.32463159254544927,-0.5680863117242145,0.8508521892677336,-1.6171559958162494,-0.5615729639451912,0.8916361445554024,-0.16228623250360386,-1.3276099026649923,0.6686110995344547,0.4900204845879186,-1.5826595277619138,-1.6297556183743325,0.363237192624708,-0.4733705753396338,0.7473594451006651,-0.012693263237030017,-0.19539625721523013,0.5011759211873574,-0.4081856130750703,0.5342488367960483,0.028773195525717554,0.24698695208851085,0.15998473138278602,0.04802662561325377,1.2262275980781467,0.7957316167596389,0.3083011448121473,0.2018677344264841,0.21273985868673329,-0.19924655523856583,0.3612944870254218,0.11264964342332995,-1.029535355748191,-1.1980106470488927,0.5878372497406694,0.1701827510347229,0.4230430685465123,0.2371411510970809,0.32303332574088905,0.27023852216398936,-0.6768707482155856,0.3115902136027673,0.07734318862360556,-0.7379234132596988,0.45274484965900186,0.2124970261203627,-0.9929593187313852,-0.6822170346405185,0.3310615054780879,0.05400493205657231,0.8815992893694613,-0.48946506648954635,0.6548218199792935,-1.6608693164091672,0.3475398789547155,-0.07778190866079804,0.5246154829591338,0.0768802987952073,0.3116499393922183,0.24060101427522262,1.1448449643605016,-0.1653347779159633,-0.5924936724480245,-0.05230015056595594,-0.19362325911873857,0.13817996908920538,-0.595951015351786,0.07134104779190054,0.5350828409598956,0.6985806793239666,0.16139541493630105,0.19869150543184855,0.34935682585707184,-1.2793691214931293,-0.1459916372679988,0.3097264135334692,0.7783584575511666,-0.044422903907819666,0.08857422041901497,0.23159243264337803,0.1937520224882867,-0.7118580617929036,0.46003843532555333,0.4079226468610031,0.014203037620020176;-0.9158423946503996,-0.010555419041806124,0.37120265571696964,0.21597434714521646,-0.607745413211161,0.2076747795383478,-0.15854900724335785,0.21922237704929048,0.013904128738645993,-0.08205969377023903,0.13892684689270662,0.16000156624059025,0.03965254670551144,0.3456466595830885,0.07641135451338743,0.015794231217764243,-0.6046780218608151,0.5192017587452757,-1.278212657223217,-0.011608389853855594,0.07633909470948497,0.32939485378962563,1.1648758185832253,-0.06671531664206609,0.30050615753712284,-1.380518054724367,-1.0932578892456666,0.41704269626134893,-0.06810995233507622,-0.2685323033213406,0.08386753003802483,-0.013479422597579949,0.4835137103725804,0.10733736779153924,0.30562542396223513,-0.9226383282584668,-0.24232747618951522,0.37531446177048733,-0.05320629620438033,-1.2232957927891213,-0.6391239160937457,-0.21261468127990923,0.17456452561553348,0.4234619143601659,0.5059454127546403,0.7749565199401003,0.37122542809579473,-0.5440462640188068,-0.31686303316336895,0.27636111267353214,-0.08478579482742032,0.10424991610657097,0.3667304653179575,0.002173960463242919,-0.06436356896438167,0.36632236801543816,0.0611423037863964,0.14732744948799859,0.17487358573059675,0.12424123586144165,0.045506242571723754,0.423062042130828,-0.23736368581658607,0.2816285491435897,-0.19173544054046243,0.4508502337665814,0.3896884743596418,0.5225751901577922,-1.3231944095500952,0.10986019092901478,-0.1225587545204826,0.23240613174849822,0.12968039167472845,0.013255199332282475,0.311968187473475,0.8098262251012018,-0.2701495787285181,-0.1444288576857098,-0.8252344232631762,0.20916320470942962,0.2976396277275526,-0.10062987683248392,0.04512470716844463,0.23639106001006716,0.4335397581036349,0.10084239972014808,-0.1141311072732889,0.17908514786049046,-0.1301475821384961,0.16881856620762647,0.20169979441541286,-0.21474560729133052,-0.7505978310332427,0.18648796952290514,-0.14328718886279102,0.29468087143474575,-0.045595941146961416,-0.6100687090940053,0.3680641895463397,-0.19585283864033565;0.3248307268973534,0.21967362416042135,0.37831148393102865,-0.2529925467443732,-0.9359414968912461,-0.28744634320357676,-0.7983938570481115,-0.4343830702804752,2.6755250704510445,-0.5506083740686307,-0.5359178844836521,0.7161565294861489,2.048601321538051,-0.6300146463371945,-0.8705848446734379,0.5397903277646847,0.4166357256622888,-0.9197452333595564,1.618888563756279,0.904102305063148,-1.3696097487809773,0.5290828117343196,2.942227776159733,-1.131765727768311,-0.5347767337713023,1.4808850698856304,1.7862850996289907,-0.23801380754902368,0.7016192119006774,-1.435665693073485,0.08869522355541903,0.3095448566425105,-0.3934662124992059,0.7392340019219219,-0.5986228631455859,-0.8277400353225559,-0.6124963216260539,0.0473528584653522,-0.11975898406627294,-3.158897375232744,-1.8637551333500113,-0.6933344541476814,-0.17315505076706472,-0.01058093055627296,0.7277968812246698,0.06338896816347273,0.13397461856833104,1.227388250639386,1.7041139755549821,-0.7077274159178799,-0.36743067628417947,-0.59490824348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k{121}=[0.2895594123882541;0.07253893946562522;-0.4101261799953309];
x_a{121}=[-6.761180999342998,0.8347197857166581,33.19294910250103];
std_x_a{121}=[0.5837947236658928,0.4476068889298392,0.8867383625925417];
pred_a{121}=[-6.761180999342998];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.0 to 12.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{122}=[-1.5657215954937125,1.39430168413557,24.983136700789263];
std_x_f{122}=[0.31815877255150554,0.49775610001239573,0.5865338447338081];
pred_f{122}=[-1.5657215954937125];
obs{122}=[-1.359821598713169];
sqrt_r{122}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{122}=[1.1052503183053568];
xi{122}=[-0.6312733652180675,0.005181909047790256,0.263971844149947,0.17741691670791404,-0.4187666341200189,0.1018214426843922,-0.09898441498677935,0.16158369634596936,0.09155165396098908,0.01753017006201607,0.06327312281107167,0.03789326646962987,0.08100123283318816,0.2499068467680836,0.0761967664022356,0.016879648561055616,-0.38608591848442253,0.2928964097261386,-0.8248731808524377,0.11661597228991916,-0.11842043058936014,0.19106468891220607,0.7860068905437799,-0.05143269824582242,0.1469108855110095,-1.0382197283159313,-0.7205439222024577,0.16419009580446842,-0.05287951897823118,-0.21806888699667182,0.15299722834522678,-0.05028656252643926,0.32433904511492306,0.07316753768484952,0.16248199727353518,-0.8313846858925262,0.16330922148551053,0.2729775718524925,0.17764153587495168,-0.8096043839006066,-0.48757065699650237,-0.07777665803390987,0.0990324973873844,0.2619814031844252,0.33854803203124284,0.5607915573800712,0.2624410320656836,-0.4450827345380368,-0.2122809813586528,0.2991671640594986,-0.05411754323479867,0.05180485302797977,0.2451035255625369,0.008879730391635476,-0.020535646023744913,0.2356164433936292,0.05228573650516988,0.07478630844239764,0.1476301022402593,-0.016729062884365042,0.052924974274292325,0.3072081378921627,-0.22483768780565172,0.12291221593625856,-0.18493044027169736,0.30574736613323994,0.08536985959965548,0.5345320034375631,-0.851804320893295,0.1070156527765862,-0.04802784639428381,0.3054540483616477,0.0924609213956813,0.026774650884607842,0.22210554574797348,0.5992858885978427,0.006575601400047093,-0.07503970073704558,-0.6216014488197801,-0.20234316040157263,0.21288159705608067,-0.0570361275575193,-0.009689510714909089,0.23129227118244788,0.28958361249067743,0.06258614406314655,-0.25944766429717037,0.1346732196648588,-0.10919469929115078,0.12526422076581478,0.13877944672563514,-0.29569686905324,-0.6275314858110539,0.1300694900645487,-0.15699529709605864,0.2695836726061209,0.011876116212787613,-0.3313735123313597,0.2660786989310546,-0.02744395324044313;-0.7201324723949808,0.011990391907330089,0.3874282705232508,0.048115574383455595,-0.860302685170956,0.09976763109974063,-0.4198239930465517,0.02603707571246039,0.7629620851610297,-0.34055122130010895,-0.03131284032718762,0.4313800668288743,0.6070364665702392,0.07810146765166293,-0.2334772198781767,0.13931611036127123,-0.47041679751622023,0.24227963825766374,-0.5793466901050562,0.08403280858283346,-0.17669564289792672,0.4584376816781157,1.8718576033494183,-0.408527944481512,0.1406342916325063,-0.21104862814359882,-0.30854718732777675,0.4132630885418005,0.13255663877734114,-0.650963774745199,-0.03191399503969006,0.10609244555525166,0.2919955234605287,0.2848822493445675,0.11955712471070101,-0.7729849816082581,-0.6553306891279623,0.2966873412772988,-0.3067404482960965,-2.092396570921096,-1.1026774705682236,-0.4918000032047841,0.08846200555748673,0.35575806500010243,0.6292281137997335,0.6276528627682572,0.31029466715430276,0.1070408347283116,0.30013674844270866,-0.06952298322825134,-0.22476143811011773,-0.10445446261497593,0.2693605396630443,-0.19128405053072872,-0.2573272453627129,0.7379624567730585,-0.12645119385817227,0.12675808135028377,0.5006867103198243,0.007528230943279146,-0.09559682541772174,0.9123365602534412,0.1670097035967888,0.21572062652349078,-0.2103645540604926,0.09497188166564552,0.9864680085802,0.1499925267718909,-0.5981474346460554,-0.10193982327578777,-0.18107597385668717,-0.121832935356049,0.06405151507031515,-0.16987778802587283,0.20031542267074753,0.37399295323077775,-0.45182661042630945,0.07654842350742741,-0.8779681507555971,1.103934416384075,0.22724167862929923,0.14418868762860337,0.016440489694804272,-0.06752385658809401,0.15652435330813375,0.011690546845087413,0.014804806885344801,-0.0062276659950764035,0.5885610166765811,0.21728363242722337,0.05999037418208619,-0.4896431712213193,-0.7029505354617939,0.13402880607135037,-0.23953900975808895,0.13253968808362093,0.21784266990177992,-1.0190118404525608,0.18507382465746813,-0.3745147000101514;0.19519953267771584,0.02294702895328271,0.08919588111928078,-0.27418403899085675,-0.45113570379552925,-0.06574107008405505,-0.4489848983332152,-0.27247574421956955,0.9796863195352685,-0.5681124877351387,-0.1678958652718059,0.5808550399538817,0.7683791605886228,-0.36486446029465824,-0.5153378484986888,0.19458727987078106,0.06981685176333485,-0.1896715045618933,0.8006059127914931,-0.08744699488892138,-0.008156644321523743,0.3398777770690806,1.2648901588578667,-0.5278828414758046,-0.0627463596001121,1.6619612620858,0.9625887146410186,0.324700899282238,0.320582868414661,-0.5631776124005832,-0.35973225735283165,0.27539580433347766,-0.18103354346640188,0.2959684915930083,-0.13245739588431604,0.5146940547176193,-1.4421914012505432,-0.07991051420446382,-0.8570890136715263,-1.629907941749913,-0.7016751435436888,-0.6298707083987445,-0.04651265247287384,0.019692632092645823,0.30740202093629065,-0.12484299962949308,-0.059963879539157716,1.0081285546644772,0.8719634767637636,-0.7250767842549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k{122}=[0.09522758470382857;0.09763131926183143;-0.04056971227554812];
x_a{122}=[-1.5534540495400748,1.4068788874667666,24.977910370506763];
std_x_a{122}=[0.3237267438131967,0.5057250567735984,0.584796025516088];
pred_a{122}=[-1.5534540495400748];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.1 to 12.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{123}=[0.14815722512542834,1.042865209385098,19.094454999532303];
std_x_f{123}=[0.46242364689888127,0.6848006712652952,0.44287132857567363];
pred_f{123}=[0.14815722512542834];
obs{123}=[0.37531557391396747];
sqrt_r{123}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{123}=[1.2193165711056193];
xi{123}=[-0.7366228665616228,0.060777763005943564,-0.06950398340351234,0.0886843858295581,-0.8075819617114119,0.10744339387502949,-0.1809769672045097,0.1814131425038421,0.5731022021606245,-0.27106149036943605,0.30350374758844034,0.2238597656075037,0.4336015576249758,0.21416829668088544,-0.3091626209450743,0.1295566527010792,-0.3768213565367221,0.2792949307755352,-0.6570897446898403,0.1391119357557984,-0.3176743721776349,0.17278233168601592,1.5446624078517681,-0.2851542324554676,0.16380407880266556,-0.6461210355271672,-0.4616239073382335,0.34476099963949713,-0.15592900898898676,-0.4764731087163584,-0.478445164229133,0.009926650729902814,0.32578662357345284,0.4721322280251355,0.15400010213644266,-0.7886085682291397,-0.3927812349251316,0.3124103165974256,-0.15299135530982752,-1.8643789903870254,-0.7749807594754208,-0.3714335386446088,0.15555405571976821,0.44238498093012474,0.8014103660394858,0.6147111928763336,0.287164686718845,-0.10148065249985037,0.08968305079549013,0.06921984855275296,-0.29769801702757004,-0.5368695158085881,0.6480151438347479,-0.0800821631244683,-0.14782430290032122,0.6293927291573653,-0.06394597056305906,0.17687200907245382,0.6127956401527341,-0.37597740828225124,-0.03553893346400985,0.8625153372482897,0.13890755156602852,0.2404319604390222,-0.37913173521169985,0.1382665378105818,0.6896060140046685,0.363582956367762,-0.6545556250747913,-0.034820376639434866,-0.08717220659165104,0.05503535628404013,0.0451167898285709,-0.14083509657799073,0.42100529198757136,0.5116843433915119,-0.3858997727356132,0.022257546985890664,-0.8144752880973354,0.6945342773681851,0.1714846146572535,0.26126635639144924,-0.012483055367557283,-0.09249694140444009,0.23725799431722217,-0.007789948634577271,-0.06801479041527288,-0.18205501413614478,0.5785126627294535,0.14099081349519704,0.15785784496775512,-0.3839149664457389,-0.736345655766609,0.1975896389667844,-0.38633438572983564,0.1965702044381193,0.16081170378738996,-0.8903387105232927,0.5511870684825042,-0.12696328166851223;-0.9817248533437801,0.08406633128326435,-0.05075829087429551,0.07807686156434124,-1.214740996795424,0.14290988440966323,-0.3406523023100937,0.21123523824610668,0.9518472441722048,-0.4697056721284778,0.3692400699400453,0.4179371674868082,0.7281828283236069,0.23593257104053755,-0.5165277698664901,0.21306140906618043,-0.5181364601371344,0.3534754101590347,-0.756839822739729,0.17351501718235163,-0.43584044632421215,0.311757615537507,2.2879596378358067,-0.4879957683718308,0.22058109573019657,-0.5108110345339405,-0.44788122124046037,0.5264630200199096,-0.1394145650227694,-0.7708509654014806,-0.6900267491551286,0.06267606404174475,0.42084795677503917,0.6930010673543701,0.18842586919175686,-0.9940248819792702,-0.7914811511883719,0.4226761657682505,-0.3598718440097528,-2.947682885066094,-1.2269402761523007,-0.6239016480365507,0.20564801431081436,0.6186864128605574,1.1362304663998133,0.8329373934251731,0.4029393770818428,0.0580844243568972,0.28455931691369063,-0.01994797461616349,-0.440821590032192,-0.7523596042706304,0.8681365028631993,-0.16725263554241288,-0.2696617476842058,0.97143402216139,-0.1420114908250103,0.25475333898918606,0.9108730810512493,-0.4800517295344331,-0.09617789692580081,1.3010076897398322,0.3113614865448826,0.34795533040186477,-0.4999074849181302,0.11702488936085254,1.1587790153272697,0.3640658395160228,-0.7488320240614474,-0.10978192030080591,-0.16094336210446647,-0.059221478497186064,0.0480426844110311,-0.24695898123152915,0.5482893261993744,0.612281754787303,-0.6570121376605131,0.0831808307525721,-1.1569396040535749,1.2967287174252884,0.23403028719861219,0.40313523383358385,-0.005391779593916457,-0.2183956905809361,0.2724098687041314,-0.022538642567553557,0.00384052926978784,-0.28460798461246706,0.9678455934190637,0.2184635232973975,0.18530927097346317,-0.5684553545218776,-0.9779827610561244,0.26349947724639367,-0.5334332441477366,0.2196013974823503,0.2717976179777717,-1.4090087179477369,0.7116710750175874,-0.27496687246454055;0.13038685548584894,-0.010652249564678584,0.16709934183231567,-0.21065553329720288,-0.33099434447671783,-0.06001361111970738,-0.4015645135465853,-0.23687843736406933,0.7598416451782555,-0.4376841844870967,-0.2010323436215664,0.4470371895759868,0.5914113124587956,-0.28895363720808476,-0.36279657391825637,0.13032446789516072,-0.0040329349619590005,-0.1343170508722693,0.5524806190955935,-0.0839616960949634,0.013447055963965227,0.3085306693888903,1.213627947386712,-0.42615716481775223,-0.05216643446095759,1.2353212021507574,0.6738155651258815,0.25137742438976574,0.27458481294807413,-0.45597560096002354,-0.14615546100616328,0.19670945363776937,-0.12432557870501526,0.17665077050455125,-0.10540734814448527,0.3500065184101153,-1.0997620005447004,-0.04802321166030765,-0.6569483617810015,-1.0149484743070474,-0.5845829994867451,-0.4985876518310093,-0.05758212866297896,0.014427412404113937,0.24936564741114609,-0.030745256306314417,-0.027244401402981566,0.7208562561802871,0.6417820310558113,-0.5516397058644564,-0.165538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k{123}=[0.17986844130786592;0.2628897125979774;0.06632252513454402];
x_a{123}=[0.23004558129562752,1.1625504986007729,19.124649526825895];
std_x_a{123}=[0.46186413299814066,0.6812543832224849,0.4379457369046839];
pred_a{123}=[0.23004558129562752];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.2 to 12.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{124}=[0.9749728309726058,1.7274227078711661,14.778506338861044];
std_x_f{124}=[0.7804862333670884,1.2489718973312787,0.420629814513394];
pred_f{124}=[0.9749728309726058];
obs{124}=[1.2071419980889144];
sqrt_r{124}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{124}=[1.6176755870454742];
xi{124}=[-0.9182406168444865,-0.2965235537240386,-0.12941329159338089,0.005884363629619083,-1.3248012524433863,-0.3465965241406489,0.715389861315294,0.8087900873589577,1.186014641887448,-0.796733487752985,0.516080140946714,0.5461804560563763,0.6080926418672041,0.16674538160451147,-0.9648583304460367,0.7724192463444861,-0.47127018010635535,0.38889591129744305,-0.9754119585862332,0.5775084144550149,-1.031239249102732,0.24342414570751458,2.032529968961457,-0.5525677381231306,0.792193208643478,-0.5770547594156246,-0.14104176205880992,0.4282878746752501,-0.205375312499664,-0.6405837018542953,-0.9506857109424248,1.754666427799289,0.3455773917445253,0.21376125981939342,0.13596980435856,-1.345741419448947,-0.7943572572076897,0.34668888393438557,-0.39320790507802283,-2.8599356647139595,-1.2943324912949026,-0.6518936060789349,0.48604135097563606,0.597784040928943,0.9782665811225868,0.6142078111602185,0.33768034906520517,-0.20903300223195853,0.28600833829128236,-0.011986789776945339,-0.38629913838012864,-0.7392144519699037,1.1396036247353092,-0.5160920018408992,-0.2949050286903254,0.759188336096202,-0.24100005374861333,0.24201495633199355,0.709574918075834,-0.4755507440000584,0.44427015275985937,1.686483231622492,0.2459002941074373,0.35197821662376305,-0.5535355260021577,0.12987677945629672,1.137494098443814,0.3873074788450259,-0.8750562450407628,0.12197031578524986,0.11573633959818963,0.08581276744294919,-0.5643748816031244,-0.2963083816503137,1.1902977375225234,0.6816666674721592,-0.6569913437252992,-0.06216806369470329,-1.015593404035795,0.8962166828843394,0.047139801101189205,0.3440658960488767,-0.571436814671471,0.024920928681874677,0.29444883097854846,-0.2517377002228163,-0.44919426932136686,-0.2870707535553556,1.1170110313877937,0.1433389791216213,-0.005649268803233354,-0.5150753858066592,-1.4116282444296777,0.3707180386390798,-1.0676391095725861,1.6410539772885488,0.19498328112493124,-1.3466551127133732,0.2731222579111414,-0.19522271509359546;-1.4472349531828963,-0.4712440075861881,-0.20244048528814496,0.00859259469963658,-2.1463849095019834,-0.5494610130231101,1.1499773894736507,1.3031637857411849,1.8719651083125342,-1.2875413913896272,0.833008166703815,0.8840104097187942,0.9786078141981382,0.2728953236024474,-1.5716530274652092,1.233275389354089,-0.7451037831349534,0.6252750069670643,-1.523569465465575,0.9305203958725883,-1.6507762329617188,0.4012912905776427,3.139693080936933,-0.8989392660398909,1.2740978810570682,-0.8468646372706263,-0.19145055286392165,0.6946744264231797,-0.31132554308222193,-1.0396248551196163,-1.5263506903219266,2.7638546092934195,0.5542536861604994,0.33435885736507687,0.23707564690107752,-2.126654321377824,-1.3120178671133012,0.5617527896539702,-0.6369286180933493,-4.702339044636793,-2.1053257555492517,-1.0541029536181932,0.7859963837493649,0.9602079417979377,1.5647938669816883,0.9855640595046824,0.5426181231023259,-0.3058290426120651,0.4766654888210844,-0.02065032636544517,-0.6135316640341768,-1.1765137119809848,1.8279104374401027,-0.8320364783339619,-0.4667696499990375,1.2094009682419398,-0.3845937784192772,0.3910280076167656,1.1339786076197071,-0.7448521853750766,0.7161760734026761,2.648124331569809,0.41211775039805176,0.5729602481824003,-0.8711186469186927,0.21605981702025123,1.7993969865607469,0.6298867280923897,-1.3611437661825392,0.2000575377496958,0.19669994560889448,0.1385781608380794,-0.9016191151153021,-0.47276310281526635,1.9054557054189665,1.100668327116692,-1.0687937030866528,-0.08665523437363043,-1.6256368976641424,1.4236984252181644,0.08442675237181141,0.5601207907071293,-0.9143513173933135,0.03879002568913692,0.4778041927899894,-0.3967058560905088,-0.6993841048848128,-0.45949060412664533,1.7694250141176047,0.24244388509928427,-0.004223045730004982,-0.8247093253655405,-2.2501824715459504,0.6029241393929448,-1.7093803877321139,2.6118895351976654,0.32265679375807577,-2.1918803347293654,0.44339018915629436,-0.3141107683843787;0.010994608047719012,-0.1678392508745361,0.04550253399562543,-0.23178841314201826,-0.367078274291595,-0.23103168126528573,-0.020511791117456823,0.04361637705272514,0.873151087640375,-0.5103314572580828,-0.0880083987141731,0.4244790936125007,0.5029311464904449,-0.26614416939641394,-0.474212778763647,0.31419662746890253,-0.08456050435511031,-0.08646552340449531,0.28669709416969447,0.06603180312317214,-0.20153334066880824,0.2157796964225529,1.4795334538052796,-0.4469896939934799,0.17534021136713562,0.8597163665396952,0.5224530062814914,0.1995775924664347,0.1277606007802099,-0.43674701046211695,-0.26948902392990703,0.9425604767422016,-0.09678449680829715,0.022378396724786143,-0.1261937864909637,0.12503257030659043,-0.9678577272651125,-0.043633972801590204,-0.6130056191428732,-0.5345700569131218,-0.5563992884067588,-0.4992635275111912,0.04379889883191268,0.06447087599846668,0.3187871686984973,-0.007784711333393091,-0.03275892059462038,0.44071899417115645,0.5032885010721468,-0.4857172244656489,-0.21521800490645582,-0.15412769048459118,0.18271581327651987,-0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k{124}=[0.3818290836505717;0.6107811468722417;0.12960537526024457];
x_a{124}=[1.0834605042926404,1.9009616769261022,14.81533063070734];
std_x_a{124}=[0.6178119430768798,0.9884444852375232,0.3817055606535431];
pred_a{124}=[1.0834605042926404];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.3 to 12.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{125}=[2.264920293705734,3.9853339426619265,11.887242546560143];
std_x_f{125}=[1.2015205802672364,2.065442132374427,0.6773710566856609];
pred_f{125}=[2.264920293705734];
obs{125}=[2.5315039739980665];
sqrt_r{125}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{125}=[2.459060339587706];
xi{125}=[-1.2350930505095359,1.1986126351953712,-0.12817874614415148,-0.26394990471868907,-2.084423438033082,-0.7538210073771265,1.100064012714956,1.234841444377793,3.149219191457551,-1.0182393207477698,0.5521169441171505,0.7019771925579827,0.5698067353549652,0.08117830361758704,-1.7126651208336807,0.2903171287413264,-0.3706071021860986,1.1338718409298658,-3.0628440421227743,0.34154528752521873,-1.3071714144504352,0.2405842863040304,2.2566333184588205,-0.675001336929566,1.1154712965842708,-0.7588440984025482,-0.7964268223174977,0.2428296986955445,-0.06287280426707165,-1.1318934752042271,-1.8679223118717725,1.4556595096543576,-0.4788202567766977,0.3412188289012441,0.5039750564767687,-1.8245728659166367,-0.03990644642967078,0.35251240692563,-0.5058627789290329,-3.7640644512674766,-0.8614958166018345,-0.8977736265502516,0.5425444847380962,-2.3429340197812096,1.2075293836815044,1.1877290126033198,0.4831887410467752,-0.2688451101298386,1.9812938340176252,-0.7389821418624225,-0.38583527519310046,-0.7396393492644662,1.7712762702606644,0.1147632060653434,-0.34052360695077133,1.49686914894929,-0.3878617084418583,0.34947044492129375,0.634732302435824,-1.2790472367788832,0.486795727044651,2.176837215240783,0.6450394571068934,0.22944874341387544,0.31820252008567973,0.10557577083414849,1.2475172387732143,0.689593251014287,-1.0657978556218766,-0.0693454473391002,-0.13639285260962808,0.1331129217114415,-0.7083371744815905,-0.19041470978494113,1.240273030640605,0.8804885928732373,-0.5784245663106922,-0.05041107952645474,-1.351333730922489,2.150742126398136,-0.9061056718272333,1.7671184479581714,-1.4050565324758544,-0.026414576126904343,1.6170258024906499,-0.3805450438527789,-0.3795410900189724,-0.3827328995665764,-0.7747685546362786,0.8683597128195899,0.5429893054146828,0.7363130872263484,-1.7322473148631152,0.29376748711510015,-2.355268948428766,1.6498680855881034,0.24371886540272802,-1.99715418504062,2.0143860852617776,-0.0925945013002476;-2.1384100648633257,2.0748602563103486,-0.18755101968921073,-0.42175790438381755,-3.6390395910604956,-1.281779783664775,1.9256566321111763,2.159399536830542,5.154114046192378,-1.7399715849443678,0.9960627594939448,1.2076479354417944,0.9749910410605316,0.18721526503676555,-2.975882053604696,0.5158162090780718,-0.6211065807110692,1.9806786333592084,-5.358691929492009,0.625601852150631,-2.2640559956500637,0.43047594163109215,3.6755967220969343,-1.1402991117648762,1.9324141495908207,-1.3310035407490264,-1.3776072124363532,0.44554270414588837,-0.09164094532756639,-1.9492911339222974,-3.257759632135208,2.451626553129016,-0.7968350018726627,0.618053132570727,0.9104098838486663,-3.168463466316736,-0.008669066454781493,0.6400707703745572,-0.830105273913059,-6.6294551022775385,-1.478335449764968,-1.5293378362195695,0.9672415112269497,-4.093714071431036,2.0837147042937434,2.0707605107675735,0.8674868100606132,-0.46675356923740363,3.3163233942265653,-1.2434212967698102,-0.6421716794511698,-1.2606052388064422,3.046387427611877,0.2323713532892282,-0.5546719352971929,2.544607255850042,-0.6337383103607768,0.6314481749726473,1.101739973166144,-2.2151554663380275,0.8775941320973897,3.6135691444470335,1.1108547477076676,0.4283941453967821,0.565911390393461,0.2285257665049456,2.0734929591519866,1.254121294132617,-1.865021956761023,-0.07814981228405005,-0.19699976164791577,0.29293959297807026,-1.2111297243827561,-0.2923861394711458,2.152640353460591,1.580775817063389,-0.9650817924058992,-0.07111181116751597,-2.339167288799512,3.511211682946867,-1.5484005631526307,3.010876287397678,-2.4356385762311845,-0.001552595979634308,2.8071495281449566,-0.6295754490570231,-0.6512868282216422,-0.6342506038667217,-1.3472858078460659,1.5203275815434067,0.9765126198035046,1.2909371185064127,-3.0180654509088782,0.5397870909294187,-4.120539313647204,2.82055085743658,0.440588722214319,-3.4888588219411467,3.4680808091514597,-0.1113736346447376;-0.36935270897653893,0.5533228937295505,-0.10908480178937552,-0.42570886297661303,-0.7477673018878122,-0.5430162950196955,0.33225792650222097,0.4522769298494129,2.6941800433869325,-0.7294337178106733,-0.022576802365728454,0.45810615926377984,0.4226514681214475,-0.3302239227915571,-0.8545811069071689,0.07226852699769637,-0.23734357995889788,0.3891587084260717,-0.4219269894262041,-0.03865478516224208,-0.5247589943676463,0.11022690839589089,2.084076335999539,-0.6252628020984439,0.4721771038124789,0.3518007852954739,-0.03632752442306497,0.04995624099665541,-0.003981792128849193,-0.7549911198096666,-0.7322865820643258,1.0729153595224776,-0.5112115557544286,0.025959173700822902,0.018483732087243965,-0.32100810757257925,-0.6872049553461075,-0.0628209666511168,-0.7209222181089494,-0.5090418373884091,-0.5848580101223924,-0.7196328182937819,0.0841050498656788,-0.952475864359112,0.6033855269003201,0.4331590253469244,0.028320240663145313,0.14303676345901373,1.5331756262867646,-0.8166393898312094,-0.368874316387247,-0.36926806889744235,0.8802062394032344,-0.21537197380117057,-0.45018567545122323,0.99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k{125}=[0.5933406009192669;1.019678383924243;0.2793027774478025];
x_a{125}=[2.4064573986701077,4.228570839364745,11.953868202156997];
std_x_a{125}=[0.7488037630378102,1.2864560654885273,0.5184922845457369];
pred_a{125}=[2.4064573986701077];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.4 to 12.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{126}=[5.293887393045426,9.532717735689591,11.634578245702357];
std_x_f{126}=[1.5498896059258105,2.631016786383475,1.5715323188169388];
pred_f{126}=[5.293887393045426];
obs{126}=[5.644175235017454];
sqrt_r{126}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{126}=[3.4143971832281133];
xi{126}=[-1.1007723990243026,0.49681355012751816,-0.591705016077972,-0.5087626923881903,-0.9576852401629958,-0.028745445962416127,0.9888975373046955,2.6194441940413684,2.2087702868465753,-0.10394497343589393,-0.6940733365730258,0.6326127594868636,0.8080876869417821,0.3659337059480263,-1.6626229311276268,-0.2741081850349856,-2.359504701826746,1.9218708670243068,-2.6302390239289006,0.8015558512014378,-1.3251549617977125,2.2548098868618505,1.2132384929496514,2.1806792773507544,1.1518483266423996,-0.7646599576117996,-1.4766441121068663,0.34878671319231724,-0.784225432133586,-0.590261034229461,-1.6340143152516986,2.311726515924547,-0.15253789964241005,-0.39242970579000325,0.5499836448361792,-1.4425105910707599,0.6015169228917294,1.7492737537743235,-3.7251326655578074,-3.730289508360555,-0.6306469723114558,-1.695482088187906,-0.24785120698642782,-2.061859927552845,1.3421766940682582,1.5976094001141243,0.3484424030854134,-1.5414853296964721,2.5155346863043455,-0.4102769345220052,1.937996547467093,-1.660270068755095,-4.041072924919633,0.20682585378617624,-0.6619897012194125,1.2282728866676305,-1.0647606933337475,1.0527167325676068,0.5786708482024929,-3.088521863832266,0.9528119616873916,1.3666969195181515,1.180666048279746,0.13370291613938434,1.0766891874020352,0.38172716387331995,0.9557658573081236,0.6947391538492189,-0.9066720761513407,0.008203532540541403,0.09685765270682278,-1.5685114171045789,2.2749591288739994,-0.006233994161383372,-1.8841438599321,0.7024632172667857,0.7795139992211739,1.4412102217411586,0.9995036783610871,1.8124863556771125,-0.33696673643783903,-0.04596576304306765,-0.8038429085078382,0.009144653646029788,1.0953088562769002,1.7415114990669691,0.8177995256207868,-0.18360094121883286,-0.2404986398956499,3.5780718553068995,0.24631685881677257,0.6264755267612454,-1.8187736652044126,0.3003716420783231,-1.7519959289742748,1.5654946395011846,0.13761871656093927,-2.7122813363427154,1.714419073141566,-4.410896759446252;-1.8369286100192221,0.9163558266173837,-0.9175244214371059,-0.727126681239973,-1.6031777835897403,0.06591838000653816,1.7492567291450403,4.250193776956543,3.259071865939763,-0.0556839332676109,-1.0568580168023018,1.1143421558268276,1.3915449054187086,0.7587446253572665,-2.8072761848683827,-0.3724468774989731,-4.056828433568972,3.2133513528750424,-4.64475440099059,1.4491055509341457,-2.2248580566620566,3.6765308585228933,1.8236000697377364,3.638563518898634,1.9863873231356965,-1.3303598084895025,-2.519482058707709,0.6786840567316297,-1.2631302990890632,-0.8986371915780644,-2.7797229366382865,3.656906294537576,-0.12638584899722538,-0.5689330302631372,1.0390683213794727,-2.4884793139122907,1.2128932956180059,2.9658317274170294,-6.549945560816944,-6.663896530277139,-0.9751829766419942,-2.8288321124178655,-0.3111646472891927,-3.548378446638493,2.261243557973174,2.7076313722813374,0.7068018382515273,-2.6185352310149446,3.886758101064256,-0.5365429841722769,3.2411890000636507,-2.807509323081505,-7.181463054387543,0.4770216302432484,-1.0040900297232085,2.0266820336682425,-1.7082818433642268,1.853871721626767,1.0451602022181934,-5.405355258771838,1.697753719107606,2.1481733171022483,1.9881307695875439,0.3413543957032097,1.8506464314858118,0.7904625107771217,1.5446461507386893,1.3444207657290423,-1.5315169392385943,0.1506746113789852,0.289512018682613,-2.5705950480516746,3.7458539366782464,0.11568122876042786,-3.19491219682718,1.3316146146951748,1.4439061073262778,2.446011216386001,1.6934217826188682,2.734876011204978,-0.4620420270821164,-0.04255783523926482,-1.2965256189520549,0.1643918954524093,1.9002715972623143,2.9444642929838647,1.4274122419825979,-0.19599966811329317,-0.36703850796613224,5.567104263814786,0.5374283973394522,1.1414033309145442,-3.1355287395315505,0.6195010684182876,-3.020150185556907,2.6014402075722263,0.3196007137652508,-4.714749863153841,2.85649947035062,-7.8399786443361155;-1.0801116341135195,0.32448480776492694,-0.8353796352725276,-0.9584374911135587,-0.9367203329540441,-0.3929951002887062,0.7504561752196857,3.0228532251656883,3.5551839514228654,-0.5175925342072603,-1.1212375110836046,0.5892798701294595,0.8194593648811779,-0.11646380432341275,-1.7370137325513841,-0.5394364730501149,-2.241674806348545,2.0006033614672454,-1.5455416794201042,0.5164792698347291,-1.361634382571852,2.579709814537706,2.0429478201520617,2.229908788030098,1.0616712345909427,-0.3865287478024424,-1.2920558431975664,0.11432416709925519,-0.9492639578836837,-0.9637119471672122,-1.5619676420922364,3.0050547711088686,-0.5962461622063806,-0.7185785660869293,0.21485278716268397,-1.111932587824965,-0.08833031453850282,1.6910713000833315,-3.2884029360059106,-1.913366995130584,-0.9684630886105765,-1.9608807720235149,-0.5981826289113616,-1.8592107904085253,1.3719840836948975,1.5762981683574768,0.0061081419131401304,-1.398240659852691,3.484317094325574,-0.9921465853903424,1.9875491148500313,-1.7173606713486862,-2.998438321478721,-0.21234375343003542,-1.0932688846789542,1.4397741694540134,-1.4478192558311598,0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k{126}=[0.7071225325184465;1.1984648017762232;0.6855504995076391];
x_a{126}=[5.390966637616836,9.69725224314969,11.728695914914127];
std_x_a{126}=[1.0840809635694393,1.8413092164567761,1.1542812490797163];
pred_a{126}=[5.390966637616836];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.5 to 12.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{127}=[11.327852903188669,18.33216859440933,19.99785458622869];
std_x_f{127}=[1.8792895823232802,2.45438849995688,3.731408175593428];
pred_f{127}=[11.327852903188669];
obs{127}=[11.979202108480827];
sqrt_r{127}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{127}=[4.533430968037156];
xi{127}=[-0.41044091782663905,0.6225417634024648,0.2568491917986364,1.6900578190643074,-0.007725867414066556,1.2735542103054396,0.6417297558942696,1.2756463368137556,0.344832852351594,-0.04853323394186937,0.26493854875422684,-1.666893186372267,0.4380285647096205,1.5066521491585938,0.7084965588106478,0.22938342268891176,-0.8540737160671483,2.440962961674833,-1.4780684967083495,1.5623897469083285,-0.12840288680386358,0.8847914247207314,0.04801873584742111,0.2268656038883332,1.7714869152244308,0.016081081930110486,-0.7337965788419432,1.1830052247015583,1.5119748039627172,0.6421601001281267,-0.392446440698345,0.5485260591701877,0.13517280132297493,0.31271474603290095,-1.4259740406036574,-0.49687271866321403,0.5716326216718155,2.3899964442584682,-1.3847282499074396,-1.9677623537480553,-0.9599761434439458,0.4972122165374273,1.6577424789002269,-0.6326256097848368,0.4922820611702665,1.3551322218670485,0.25726158618567574,-3.224259672097469,0.45758831785451726,-0.04297533423898159,1.0557705850302046,1.198847390930954,-1.6416142825610187,0.5944982173017443,-1.036182115840253,-7.309234224588225,0.3803945653561023,0.5346439316190352,0.8160553871947105,-1.652878891824221,0.8644511222704825,0.6026957100942827,0.619704171269909,0.41620766695386635,1.614679803002467,-1.1011572484131555,2.870635583492964,-0.2749247013646219,-0.1024793749623587,0.8795742895704066,1.3307450526812765,-0.18035971690841635,0.234727450883911,-2.836602162575412,-6.30013552649955,0.8942421944575436,0.9291514871284221,0.8903230982179391,0.7150924755803327,0.8179893074099596,-0.38976813794348963,1.9561277200546936,-0.4424455606743063,0.5140588515000886,0.8157744338730897,1.384441510126301,1.2353087795392703,-0.14793903125063324,2.0282858172112483,0.5670957749573571,-10.165032174463358,-0.5504137784934731,-3.096865721863656,1.1492776505871891,-1.8249947193705527,1.8010429127725747,0.9768553464647081,-3.771541777920252,1.288114589482996,-1.5123976100474597;-0.03787378482902071,0.9452062813032995,0.7063515055129592,1.764157433024053,0.33862040390754444,1.4925773405724492,0.976287555281516,0.9010077475982428,-0.23070165615335014,0.5114728343973773,0.8030638830351187,-1.4372411672952694,0.6901563706319713,1.6841223404508554,0.9670821370406166,0.6878925915643386,-0.5398676686665347,1.4789806556941194,-1.6326639287659042,1.573990614571148,0.2586071171928559,0.7665515030390146,-0.0936198513152533,0.4577068519791254,1.5110738129190011,0.17981185436484992,-0.4365592426878173,1.3549234853279906,1.4985073496801498,1.0800695537179585,-0.04768102871351232,0.31167490182427926,0.7014035955045408,0.7910139495527844,-1.0217165570512634,-0.2669423434125733,1.1988326970658747,1.588194028643862,-1.2964717614833141,-2.4923469942886705,-0.46672230139612836,0.9144714816646449,1.6764597587081695,-0.34877474792349616,0.7012717841664973,1.27516847607723,0.7470585695223697,-3.6026270698634946,0.07202495422788857,0.6032602201406192,1.0517720812239197,1.2701564329855515,-1.831187819869097,1.065785878105352,-0.5068891588273345,-10.48620364404157,0.8831058847742135,0.8781552182811829,1.073334690333155,-1.636720205752109,1.1625697886672626,0.4555898318839162,0.7769613138053622,0.8658323785150266,1.4350856667835856,-0.5722304089732013,1.2143721297627401,0.3722305026468469,0.19230751976883553,1.3098212741269606,1.5475583528668864,0.42929208763235494,0.3648521160901552,-2.8662425022747247,-8.595534672793338,1.307719564576633,1.2909508521764685,1.01332036806496,0.8634874278842943,0.28094312180483527,0.1490645904773089,1.5513639527962475,0.024769705288115063,1.0615775347044796,1.0358128223812066,1.2906239088659959,1.2576498058940793,0.4060625442905881,1.5608509487047506,0.0401212484538469,-15.905872076037378,-0.08891056631144423,-3.4749508865404923,1.4137918883048677,-1.7369898853712442,1.3198446214563901,1.230842664255782,-4.491536436505719,1.145476064269456,-1.6570340556660064;-1.436222668920628,0.9999400944941179,-0.05009295622042842,3.6341608803228347,-0.44960846519301256,2.5588959904011475,0.9965019442020697,3.5126177121260262,2.0047454279299153,-0.9722387034283031,-0.22047851256436957,-4.21488298048552,0.7197303105334463,3.104283257987994,1.2839493534754247,-0.12934592905732956,-2.3733907541799226,6.689865682409064,-2.8337502408577535,3.4962983031434156,-0.8103498130591653,2.31267168655328,0.614375379845356,0.2794746203972487,4.345496879547717,-0.023087319556314156,-2.022031657297571,2.451383978417983,3.4377816333140814,0.819407917208423,-1.3407640428087753,1.8167223552572231,-0.5517916996518899,0.02140199097615536,-3.997191325527382,-1.3304436227444327,0.3306970682337571,6.343763444881148,-3.2303410506515746,-3.1760711932219046,-3.033616221928174,0.5321176789237718,3.6694450858683503,-1.784049860406828,0.90502207703803,3.214126172518892,-0.11561691226273751,-7.058609863629279,1.885511878277395,-1.135656397716648,2.470969254593978,2.6258548784150797,-3.2041766851158116,0.6577012887933087,-3.279884769130774,-12.407840135925959,0.11354300389278293,0.7616533778475123,1.532696587202952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k{127}=[0.779416515427173;0.981421002032543;1.4998769037051405];
x_a{127}=[11.8324845203248,18.967587600222434,20.968946797441372];
std_x_a{127}=[0.8212920012950888,1.1449078665518149,1.9319078954456177];
pred_a{127}=[11.8324845203248];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.6 to 12.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{128}=[15.441227130349162,12.734700726280312,38.90139080859714];
std_x_f{128}=[0.56078772251435,2.01007258397776,1.6191472097457265];
pred_f{128}=[15.441227130349162];
obs{128}=[15.67281889829715];
sqrt_r{128}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{128}=[1.315908728456811];
xi{128}=[0.3757126756764464,0.12022602314453934,0.3052911445230393,-0.19760281023260262,0.3514354288785988,-0.07363237969035374,0.1773118092021022,-0.7219060044280408,-0.6536372107983581,0.4935066073797998,0.4665872156971975,0.624437393369103,0.18545249279891074,-0.519752438108366,0.04632269344445206,0.32929527050073126,0.4706590353339113,-1.2132168411061244,-0.021725745695423626,-0.3379015196838431,0.4246446230623224,-0.6906230382163194,-0.18120369002583736,0.12650185812350223,-0.5765956818338491,0.1387802193743184,0.4405992829356222,-0.017357633253160643,-0.29426795759493807,0.1993553569445652,0.3889106486945373,-0.4594805774398516,0.4455504717184109,0.2758971242169004,0.7611854827591671,0.3139655470791656,0.43262112258729957,-1.152471690267232,0.41238327604289715,-0.10964241132883856,0.7230490657041209,0.3190873745605973,-0.31641621279261756,0.39211055964406505,-0.04398752894921465,-0.3477535770510958,0.3405614837020394,0.5370365145716871,-0.4654636053807426,0.47926139435131176,-0.16872550458829672,-0.1127051781430417,0.09989117019096838,0.36769577665871367,0.7366957082299948,-0.9653790673694242,0.36541624005344886,0.1728369316629763,-0.09667802203821196,0.4172124409271287,0.15935766189996237,-0.2775360416751731,-0.19612297008897706,0.30214844105311656,-0.5976597411038593,0.7182665303284743,-1.9787723560440167,0.7229188151188026,0.2237744093014733,0.24341089860421228,-0.07899788060896462,0.6192908836750419,0.0399347091977269,0.7989335058459126,-0.3082398945492404,0.17727762058988183,-0.09009232857479255,-0.15335910989274204,-0.06298594252182887,-0.6027461052783352,0.5859659417381877,-0.6096987431087584,0.11251218965913345,0.36262056709175994,-0.022903665577644006,-0.3511159377635682,-0.15293070705201117,0.5504184910326693,-0.6927094588632556,-0.6736462785285777,-2.7584841253102397,0.5454318209013849,0.4874333655631098,-0.01876047700881678,0.21950033762647436,-0.6563816293701716,-0.04608005174471508,0.3556500363881696,-0.5706871297852469,0.15570321110646823;-0.13290564883508793,-0.5318781612223944,-0.2838436696043072,-0.11123868845676732,1.585149403995187,-0.7816138171862441,0.26169300459973854,-3.1868671807251285,-1.3939908699344965,0.16757069361076482,1.131294332190329,1.3440905084423314,2.253242369687051,-4.721774909345164,-0.653085182395369,-0.10082584449088117,0.726736441451699,-2.5849744004074946,-1.823603804508286,-1.6741392901185659,2.5981992489374743,-4.922632662005996,-0.2522291506192129,-0.2816654546071522,-1.7535037592210987,0.6147578993879534,1.3131758403091744,2.897885362944761,-0.8463488525711824,-0.8247564926422726,0.6617986616230151,-2.269818036253076,-0.03397254545136974,-0.9137940702394118,2.041759181601183,1.022474820573395,0.1807910422246355,-3.4123539569631482,3.9888478466513426,1.6877330353330589,1.8726582865041266,1.4545244054418909,-1.2973437713973865,0.7980704552266786,-1.7697647578222426,-1.2223490145768832,-0.1190748003762323,3.0744587727359285,-0.7310926076516591,-1.0341493417006884,0.4188004102438345,0.41015260246782503,4.731101161098486,2.570027146319152,0.9525921347316011,2.4767206597902067,0.2477588596138336,-0.13193868149451937,-2.1944876986862063,2.176773353390873,2.3927411835843078,-0.4374305364139577,-2.6615595391587945,0.0020299064910993536,-2.981884212394238,5.8603919075651305,-5.518257786000378,3.2679127876649865,-0.38181162952822767,0.7378402328691092,-0.7226803187105304,1.119832040895929,-0.06101987168547396,2.6232936131462274,2.457863661854377,-0.23782696906649115,-2.830056100306816,-1.5927775383859508,-0.8461276517995664,0.5170762821016961,0.8208350304884888,1.1437770400446325,-3.7943150552893954,-0.0031777851438050675,-0.8795999459655768,-0.9790194774882739,1.2212457851629015,1.0441116418543075,-0.37118156886209164,-2.069090252594453,1.173111823391734,0.8371401207250351,2.6399492287117656,-0.7390875553937981,-2.5636945381420055,0.5198126703713886,-1.367105343470394,1.9819276364863079,-3.2401931459542492,0.24818340872693767;1.04829737355859,0.7776527138379237,1.001959416092376,-0.35921564082842394,-0.5074091882341065,0.5259257969286608,0.2372065168074684,1.06512329366155,-0.23692392047217936,1.0621286583908613,0.16562579006536993,0.36356450798662365,-1.5357222395816166,2.6791345530574375,0.7148733155528788,0.9086447297376026,0.5344260123959899,-0.5758159149120488,1.5698647728457829,0.6654743760377144,-1.2450340540424776,2.503291879582669,-0.1299786193745902,0.5891221248292453,0.19201258012558498,-0.14828192507904703,-0.040142174879633785,-2.6825450998397926,0.06557966940476945,1.2018550163120025,0.4118256437486352,0.9323389019071939,1.1198780344953718,1.4511033414040497,0.07909022541594624,-0.08254574811509485,0.905735042701302,0.2545080673175164,-2.5982898663951843,-1.6702347585666004,0.13607122162419216,-0.4716974444486155,0.4049135372279835,0.2962009525268243,1.430659181167826,0.26823956504012614,0.961173553911145,-1.4389394809367744,-0.38033986067922143,2.0091404888586197,-0.7306328774767508,-0.6072838187196723,-4.180965062936586,-1.3746496532744814,0.952566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k{128}=[0.2400688753142345;0.4348184414853852;0.2053595518356497];
x_a{128}=[15.531858257874145,12.898853974255042,38.9789184252302];
std_x_a{128}=[0.49647451445888596,1.9695300642429405,1.5957770836430483];
pred_a{128}=[15.531858257874145];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.7 to 12.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{129}=[7.888362405380712,-1.2260170973379296,35.33995829664738];
std_x_f{129}=[1.0704983835879245,1.1986534457687068,1.1048928050485534];
pred_f{129}=[7.888362405380712];
obs{129}=[7.632192760636766];
sqrt_r{129}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{129}=[2.146806560821549];
xi{129}=[-0.28833554092723457,-0.43190973253279896,-0.29931698605197266,0.18242676842202332,0.6181960084748424,-0.28039084695922956,-0.0013066184145289483,-1.3733432084361903,-0.44916740815148604,-0.30595598926862433,0.2790786244174095,0.36324652516023637,1.104396278500901,-2.4169235226622368,-0.41718498330518194,-0.3122218754682411,0.03735064544679023,-0.6261713413332402,-1.066669801296837,-0.6690480544848798,1.2072094304455279,-2.44315071226496,-0.0212925191059945,-0.2550832975899757,-0.7185695905126064,0.2520618702366475,0.4072180596898507,1.781814999201596,-0.24011172268475622,-0.8317162447286153,0.0013139457329156556,-1.0376871054788834,-0.3072019910316728,-0.5341077274516302,0.6804044060138237,0.3446359994873882,-0.2552045782421466,-1.1476519555424431,2.0362419969345646,1.153281015003011,0.5239528277777472,0.5867826833234071,-0.6339557421118132,0.1761610887706775,-0.9476393312183546,-0.4452765157257712,-0.4046193917994918,1.5064449190923943,-0.06686214894066111,-1.0811474808183945,0.39138895824596087,0.5941326608261948,2.8062903821306344,1.2685890083056366,-0.06914282830875162,2.421232373483048,-0.37194197268110685,-0.4272114221531895,-1.3798769511228874,0.9345440671435687,1.3365487968779783,-0.05487380826149568,-1.514023364443342,-0.24489435858185793,-1.3270563887993054,2.821301294414172,-1.9514289074640336,1.321162458617077,-0.4414204195056515,0.27129801412065735,-0.5275008480940926,0.1880631494989684,0.11576738401809461,0.8735789292554985,1.729153113831928,-0.28350331847675037,-1.617479346047566,-0.806386170869966,-0.44279481216827055,0.7737077926767535,0.16967850225322767,1.194789741248944,-2.3193538032793812,-0.3264817734132768,-0.5015660495021299,-0.286977819229012,0.975578627584814,0.171174315171446,0.34910571379451394,-0.7331335883358543,3.134762434916312,0.01771109976754648,1.1690243008497925,-0.4509033224036605,-1.606825475162923,1.0095744039009302,-0.7807871123389729,0.9136670687460855,-1.3936934037530495,-0.02556145487431305;-1.0669821311210963,-0.40766093522561375,-1.0626866802484496,0.1645313328924929,0.5230694564479039,-0.6322555948121154,-0.03308595792857005,-0.6873061174828847,0.6344883556512283,-0.7337609486352117,-0.07281451187854793,-0.6773382141989377,1.4891678746287957,-2.1373624995654037,-0.43353373422925534,-0.6402553829212312,-0.3300639433521422,0.6439996223894502,-1.1009858087222522,-0.4797109563744175,0.6992219658661684,-1.9911930549215688,0.26670486766994783,-0.38685531847361054,0.2897934529260505,0.20347283543848516,0.058018704395871756,1.846743445800397,0.04925081872645576,-0.34963932131007036,-0.003703380004106638,-0.5098830587437571,-1.0328456383950477,-1.7780729669170883,-0.787654287301798,0.09981292728044822,-0.5741069825385303,-0.1161174493987529,1.5400058616036412,1.0021570885516609,-0.2651027094127618,0.4062940013385604,0.12557356203340309,-0.27016126345340785,-1.1252014200168226,-0.049658758919439494,-0.45838997393136416,-0.006486149714134859,0.4554718071967293,-1.2094655988721106,0.6883353110618228,-0.49378092862240774,2.3658851975929336,0.6699018021984503,-0.5972796019606477,3.4133427431533017,0.20103978320250215,0.2377377025348556,-0.8509742082444236,0.6168387988594473,1.0703081712603872,0.3385818058763935,-1.148416137936721,-0.4789166763036199,-0.7741820340748207,2.380879441276792,-0.18771561105428458,0.6111361085612584,-0.4772452044112754,-0.01127039750007186,0.2032238672595772,-0.5872523722253755,-0.7732776776885515,0.190034729878098,2.531662974948389,-0.36738093848867903,-1.5656500021225186,-0.6865638539341841,-0.3624038639444067,1.6741628880832646,-1.2882179840551429,2.1377857599764334,-2.585213982270841,-0.4779199622869008,-0.45672282894402705,0.08861129479371099,0.6770297549056727,-0.34206410431106793,1.1895300060807559,-0.031208247233360353,6.389983010139044,-0.32604366639892923,0.7387842947456915,-0.27921629723107033,-2.1642462355899266,1.186452114071212,-0.6821140149431111,0.5130775364756915,-1.2358527046883092,0.02936720771186252;0.3033317805088842,-0.4156717404193415,0.2739954216068483,0.1258918712288093,0.5665006471803338,-0.003689532388946759,-0.01591016031671444,-1.6501826330043485,-1.2355373295438312,0.028578980453161762,0.4596350774082296,1.0348705740156348,0.6573916245658395,-2.054588731707824,-0.36360225287720027,-0.05146316651648419,0.27571664735855705,-1.551987072515729,-0.8514410776077312,-0.747342148404492,1.4159248377439084,-2.194617354933264,-0.25499245737346854,-0.146248032072684,-1.417782181210633,0.2139364373989423,0.5771903849894002,1.5481966893506396,-0.46138819011347465,-1.0906996606677382,-0.031156172796215742,-1.2667963623617169,0.24588829296818915,0.42979586410308457,1.6037122948606921,0.44566149336412764,-0.01887874821648694,-1.7679795270580883,2.2098033582959147,1.1331767430711182,0.9910698992784575,0.6109716292818774,-1.146035853306259,0.4431507182288854,-0.6626733356717551,-0.7112580906993813,-0.338802530208838,2.3912884574814512,-0.47589543959337277,-0.8189057498220933,0.08185879140740582,1.2708009767667647,2.9697297782626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k{129}=[0.5341918465083713;0.4921780205261854;0.4922025117457256];
x_a{129}=[7.704935317457166,-1.3950177693533872,35.17094921500697];
std_x_a{129}=[0.7604436277125104,0.987205398514138,0.8550211259903658];
pred_a{129}=[7.704935317457166];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.8 to 12.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{130}=[1.2243772059331195,-2.629537021728305,26.179024368161322];
std_x_f{130}=[0.6719623955550877,0.7518246131919225,0.5754306882917589];
pred_f{130}=[1.2243772059331195];
obs{130}=[1.0909684491627767];
sqrt_r{130}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{130}=[1.4603413913802186];
xi{130}=[-0.9338014262510724,-0.1470981610321236,-0.7388504809492991,0.1758753677492897,0.31843859749191616,-0.8557759996943782,-0.1444423342024117,-0.19734702868703824,0.5047235105481542,-0.24352946178148394,0.08085798547838885,-0.3152539137783028,0.7695768646454131,-1.1130949913893249,-1.2816573460017535,0.33114774640261824,-0.24636988871144172,0.6245078357731875,-0.7552805748261798,-0.8155976704662349,0.4057611708651787,0.31587713697824493,0.16489011866235082,-0.053593423209626234,0.11057721401011755,0.3883628895607836,0.06505635157574985,0.6422219276191192,-0.10275823434604314,0.40008919607705673,0.152871582596128,-0.39736072392141664,-0.16358257640043417,-0.923039269449512,-0.4146463141571354,0.06738562996770647,0.8568059127597456,-0.3340163546354198,0.7315348801813357,0.3891455186599342,-0.6378853562588835,0.13167907800363388,0.8505272711800145,-0.8792874579555263,-0.6127158763371137,0.2132170029171616,0.03684839750254065,-2.1070961804441684,0.5228675488796273,0.15593754802132898,0.4084238752805076,-0.5329310520142811,0.5219635717061668,-0.15278836757584502,-0.30024133014568144,1.4183257846830122,0.16281726543974973,0.3553444181364971,-0.13247782158785282,0.06296596273865984,-0.10478171329691,0.5115937518828231,0.12998231421735196,0.13281441312639308,-0.19727618458470064,0.6170785342785357,0.8838436608571918,-0.1878404896191357,-0.421366960564419,0.4372761864877899,0.6788396449925558,-1.5507923046968555,-0.7624639498247041,0.283731324278216,1.0944861776423398,-1.2786414228967204,-0.4075139621092415,-0.16392454313575366,-0.23870149266039098,0.5805616653744323,-0.2184785678110408,0.5660699959195663,-0.9155913144857942,-0.5625760339461482,-0.09574718058999188,0.207421619855652,0.49539366810175034,-0.6188089149210143,0.8201884684227201,0.5539161214878252,3.2111769042510896,0.1619350297000317,-0.0936608926297069,-0.1529163269746665,-0.5856118438681437,0.8080438068737008,-0.17055463430436602,0.11974369291032971,-0.3882709380491335,0.017317144427262177;-1.0091642392054272,-0.03236682670601976,-0.8887608101219424,0.11674038439240908,0.1354761881132922,-0.6870884922111502,-0.05094116713623276,0.326971648090173,1.0665461496163537,-0.4078999163295691,-0.18201282951114273,-0.8667040950294753,0.7023435105301383,-0.6185983030811486,-0.7797509765017017,-0.11879357313652372,-0.34623656298751593,1.2643103493109713,-0.47056371314533774,-0.33796770485428995,-0.1621639631220626,0.29465887579889793,0.32504236920619567,-0.10552858965985967,0.7849195351480567,0.17468970637726455,-0.1767286411807243,0.41640658325994373,0.1903181809251424,0.5294483277011248,0.10769063143852842,0.12530271245755342,-0.6086681938163125,-1.3294416805683427,-1.208358324759121,-0.09690308959827965,-0.013427844520650822,0.4813683494640508,-0.07069464126571123,0.1318920423290555,-0.8077205882277387,-0.004498671686929079,0.9415629828595966,-0.7357703754385527,-0.47716607155491797,0.40847184958642613,-0.004513069209500564,-2.1300859318200254,0.6574246007374385,-0.07416240527758289,0.46404078796021686,-0.9661181225355921,-0.0412150244093179,-0.41278845384532037,-0.4940100106691192,1.4287778386471757,0.5235131413776921,0.6836550800477283,0.25715481676729146,-0.12100230695398295,-0.1397525503068997,0.5579649443905716,0.2622665033020888,-0.10361376062281158,0.24562621746746105,-0.02253680257635793,1.6552462309325433,-0.5088266260146956,-0.22826888131452483,-0.002791108335353787,0.8659209032101733,-1.3770535111120403,-0.964027809087344,-0.3530605433347809,1.1862661083179085,-0.8082591239945929,-0.2497330857618434,-0.00764237815520552,-0.046482116219063396,1.0301235546209802,-1.1800901047040586,1.0844871515457866,-0.8189384033988194,-0.3817409471221511,-0.007798994682169713,0.40235864616439754,0.029731902336648464,-0.6305289324361909,1.0689214465402914,0.7687558226505338,3.8249952275582366,-0.15830679326845898,-0.25938565828126503,0.06171692956807062,-0.7760820124659014,0.5250014343830434,-0.024379683835870747,-0.16133017737983124,-0.1488885215681126,0.08922407092397489;-0.19481438944862361,-0.21942748190797445,-0.027100479828469304,0.10468216789812956,0.33189840804588755,-0.547050401217934,-0.21546755640727255,-0.8249537846392094,-0.6177621466710086,0.1338964777024323,0.35101601516502257,0.6173409285459712,0.36913900849035386,-1.0086119217722782,-1.2171405726440874,0.6860747855468468,0.03177449868287496,-0.6730828497057999,-0.6590095867481516,-1.031341011990584,0.8629749854621771,0.2615835601575398,-0.18106477104516117,0.020656836142858737,-0.9688597855871741,0.4008049262544553,0.3275890806225341,0.5618602503474506,-0.4839210838728967,-0.0425583213934253,0.10355260412874756,-0.9133879400898586,0.5254725901132851,0.3079158219901359,0.9049729129175006,0.21900121025581143,1.3663626580245527,-1.3882150859072198,1.3024301262844205,0.49529984172240304,0.017099217756989304,0.21045352788368632,0.19451579342040404,-0.5214182932249365,-0.4038218776035585,-0.2125078885882523,0.0426826699824403,-0.4875680114217147,-0.012677695706848624,0.3701043804618678,0.043225778200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k{130}=[0.31522861304720956;0.30849325908791353;0.13610100787601587];
x_a{130}=[1.1826257638434217,-2.670396378743408,26.160998043413212];
std_x_a{130}=[0.5614586704023584,0.6510009084830842,0.5567961859520701];
pred_a{130}=[1.1826257638434217];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.9 to 13.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{131}=[-1.1757558644104957,-2.63260348926731,20.127573603755383];
std_x_f{131}=[0.6552598850723705,0.8608633395455807,0.42557154992266605];
pred_f{131}=[-1.1757558644104957];
obs{131}=[-1.2904883572618109];
sqrt_r{131}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{131}=[1.4372084526399276];
xi{131}=[-0.8811643602826087,-0.07128150222460272,-0.7402724238338398,0.13970112900693343,-0.48343557380438895,-0.32306537372621125,-0.4817715321139704,0.513428834684068,0.702462283508579,-0.47624744174810707,0.07553041429576868,-0.5360331205576427,1.0748077760137236,-0.5074055810799383,-0.36774997893688854,-0.24254232029983736,-0.06984562932009619,0.654178131119828,-0.2454397354828899,-0.29909775039882724,-0.251004188107802,0.9327284201169852,-0.05537646397601126,-0.14144645517252963,1.4830569510722025,-0.05657497240939802,0.39650890231126257,0.3524069100007705,0.6385020841740576,0.3288777929469062,0.03318768079334,-0.49458549498890725,-0.50436403547452,-0.9680324038837327,-0.6694786466390337,0.5941368460419815,0.04509125428397831,0.6072940166628261,0.0961617423850274,0.11120544616889183,-0.5484019689429316,0.10270286776714199,0.7029769603709146,-0.327276626919208,-0.5173281129765266,0.30932265270937553,0.11728629596449336,-2.3298939465490642,0.09814039226083215,-0.053774620640616,0.48261807078192676,-0.7262663103086393,0.13322483331686175,-0.3099116730697491,-0.3652625823320981,1.3562264376136153,0.3367004365218198,0.11873855238337172,-0.03130661468675178,-0.3582196932480499,-0.13845602539054513,0.5622370590947686,-0.3676374758431942,0.1014044877309428,0.6421985888741049,0.1606439559697308,0.9876023289959415,0.05769482296671824,-0.4976735254514808,0.6052892206694106,0.5840780307298837,-0.7867418874675309,-0.5397585361059589,-0.27027386835643186,0.9602732909524151,-0.629021322962223,-0.16529273473393458,-0.14810452916455197,-0.059567773159221016,0.7334552770668399,-0.8588093525297955,0.1193643979164769,-0.722323681915811,-0.19346086458593348,0.24008973247216214,0.3197200139139843,0.34334423739044206,-1.9781284069359866,0.5012718859827354,0.7838687162598179,2.808862000626252,0.15356897366313893,-0.17342797199209592,-0.4169657630914434,-0.5730445452502013,0.3141684361116631,-0.07218856160001974,0.22532693660008996,-0.8622790089915449,0.14534646039834276;-1.1323255595032817,-0.07260207840819266,-0.9682191843334538,0.16171654877654706,-0.6554719404216458,-0.3701228769662257,-0.5848245796953737,0.8026213913095341,1.0611709364026392,-0.6411771295323976,0.024542832578239526,-0.8156280389559636,1.3225416970329753,-0.5195566355848791,-0.35913672728622936,-0.422539437495967,-0.11942850008628625,1.0210176997674172,-0.23630304452264328,-0.2695273247484997,-0.4704475269230075,1.1651963052976368,-0.025022119254402675,-0.1867594860972055,2.096895193125067,-0.1256271623520928,0.42830356742771647,0.37773280467419523,0.8910216721651385,0.44941473407168164,0.021819676527888188,-0.510029386897914,-0.7449957312189661,-1.3062004103172913,-1.0324715644928215,0.6891181206841848,-0.19172106023818625,1.004275651086745,-0.1072063577933382,0.06752483921593067,-0.733460674420781,0.08680866683312694,0.9145286410804725,-0.377764027420616,-0.6231574920946512,0.44887078164809235,0.13375466625882515,-2.9133804358144646,0.16702074030324843,-0.12353886987414242,0.6230643124041308,-1.0183080209330688,0.004998910113457544,-0.45786228289400066,-0.5131250926655206,1.686468673312203,0.5284881258311134,0.24315115839882306,0.0644868335733273,-0.4923169946330095,-0.1857357357957441,0.719581202416772,-0.42806102891175124,0.05929338194810807,0.9447366997724431,0.015525091213988151,1.4943482615559616,-0.028167912278513008,-0.5911745567703965,0.6160834479668855,0.7968196015869942,-0.9507170056199166,-0.72638485229067,-0.5075070913188826,1.2368653179572202,-0.6957620178260666,-0.16789811802193855,-0.1462557542377403,-0.02420559246178966,1.0622536378428373,-1.3060320538815096,0.3030521632008969,-0.8881450086570641,-0.2041657074054659,0.3262040830207611,0.4599373435623839,0.2929824913544845,-2.509337108596905,0.7155996828449755,1.053527101593902,3.665724191063133,0.10064954229944867,-0.26404976694560656,-0.4778069987844198,-0.7672168291900934,0.31666243033795327,-0.048679376916687556,0.20473345799401477,-1.040901391982111,0.20732735233638033;0.14983507263588436,-0.17865624297054694,0.21266188310529088,0.003632992905849619,0.12578403359233548,-0.20581427250235151,-0.17790823115221954,-0.6314785030746144,-0.6844149050889072,0.16014811037425147,0.24714674113858948,0.6159114394039129,0.16688485116212703,-0.5233305975424365,-0.6277527749290357,0.4315521842646355,0.0822014341550954,-0.7825225420708151,-0.3442265488455689,-0.6377681559797033,0.5591063893299619,0.19695454144887137,-0.2602970489093117,0.0034256722972720866,-0.6383867500264202,0.16999219026625667,0.2707359688081148,0.24401828820477434,-0.3366848800697362,-0.1908886673960204,0.00304556232136477,-0.6909767223973056,0.48002912875418957,0.5907918549029212,0.9096503713366353,0.1997698028168884,0.8557225368274359,-1.0469254894198166,0.8368821319965463,0.25570419226934504,0.20289972652989263,0.1052039520289938,-0.09732532725252696,-0.17509468498874625,-0.17001367955224111,-0.27590712724919797,-0.0026304138304524827,0.6082803520003459,-0.23829065790502924,0.23112254490854767,-0.09927650191828974,0.524548658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k{131}=[0.30420670838446845;0.39703349876086336;-0.043453981931064554];
x_a{131}=[-1.1388801962884028,-2.5844754397203036,20.122306150500375];
std_x_a{131}=[0.6143300692617146,0.8048010511805257,0.42344037576145516];
pred_a{131}=[-1.1388801962884028];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.0 to 13.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{132}=[-2.5183854548835187,-4.1222481682591665,16.022775918106053];
std_x_f{132}=[0.9295624854797745,1.4021604604495659,0.577719166479732];
pred_f{132}=[-2.5183854548835187];
obs{132}=[-2.759542867076502];
sqrt_r{132}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{132}=[1.8730067307799234];
xi{132}=[-0.9397400281408488,-1.9367705850760704,-0.528105415014307,-0.0993162546286337,-0.3783813491705583,0.1438183824776278,-0.6952524592847626,0.42763771818220286,0.9278402918788387,-0.5793830059177929,1.0422815477718594,-0.6235264080547762,0.9705923489049066,-0.09393343354273975,-0.44762718522304823,-0.09504248730593501,-0.4328473517921956,0.9312158134910973,-0.5693949121888813,0.2069104796646246,-0.3095798875454636,1.9023075412806567,0.20589695451916645,-0.6429768159740288,1.3539041920183295,0.15364345547439306,0.14152997433364645,0.4850640250652929,1.9101100149094172,0.1830860287197109,0.17616755091030445,-0.12262264612210805,-0.634782093049262,-1.1051859765914696,-1.807537426925669,0.8993413551263778,-0.17513779747257807,0.2570095371800063,-0.16905847086580028,0.07415466898502432,-1.2449881301405816,-0.3688080822106343,0.7905013081773862,-0.035693570736542224,-0.7245008570699043,0.3146996580955399,0.27389439201507226,-2.3892442452893174,0.019407387877981463,0.31556090372811685,0.08183498646718679,-1.3459052367846365,0.020649849384827945,-0.6397373181272958,-0.4905177371224796,1.3086655380297778,0.007030612548670767,0.022235076660801933,-0.12122410195321365,-0.5108520385642636,-0.2742918434174966,0.46611255020813136,-0.20341999791125076,0.1345380658480666,1.2256376217012457,0.09162550045342321,0.9732125392028228,3.3480525961409136,-0.5951301931688429,0.6233576805936434,2.256201386328663,-0.9120402249973165,-0.6541375271067982,0.4291512455789417,0.893259648022193,-0.5825262711529184,-0.48936594517263865,-0.21817577373911146,0.32242434729904135,1.1191627401228688,-0.9664618195155539,0.19061900646423657,-0.4275832952582648,-0.3810603593900206,0.13820805816521364,0.13995925367212436,0.08014424077680671,-2.651938404617188,0.8317440668177722,0.6422979102589956,2.8134064820113323,-0.13038021422138257,-0.44733514211915315,-0.7185563612539476,-1.144496690905791,0.15561099884774077,0.2806111367097106,0.07011606162575612,-1.6344462455587587,-0.08342511333629776;-1.4153167591652052,-2.884036946650957,-0.8003468585493003,-0.17668688467652682,-0.5839657070366711,0.19246918015576986,-1.0704583586595566,0.6263594382405611,1.4089844296988114,-0.8823769566075459,1.5749707095375292,-0.9235068789661707,1.4687668489011254,-0.1782247227619047,-0.7289835408160803,-0.15235482863333338,-0.6661366222112486,1.4136724650317891,-0.8977367054179091,0.267810592536585,-0.46322146663554253,2.9183475688537683,0.2875183907132848,-0.9897962667832578,2.0878942088095127,0.21856411697182532,0.20797183430341581,0.7275993791628044,2.947454630198342,0.2556958662177924,0.24648066119664813,-0.2398859144755674,-0.9467058500201988,-1.6190174157514212,-2.5913969917960635,1.3574902961635273,-0.2579247118500012,0.3532989513866207,-0.2512143007503509,0.09695795675096175,-1.853411097441466,-0.5706164089051065,1.1930638607607422,-0.07634708214412989,-1.1094923218555834,0.45413743910513427,0.3986391480640359,-3.4208969213001614,0.006146864857420553,0.4691762138857003,0.10211495470589416,-1.9716398584483192,0.038274296646140904,-0.9680274204718522,-0.750500682283338,1.9939310984762497,-0.036189169046845215,-0.001491335344979916,-0.21568685483025885,-0.7749659297574114,-0.43331172485927105,0.6913608265482933,-0.33862257111048777,0.18454336678871153,1.871603031819471,0.13819981042040608,1.4893028225313802,5.1562858557754145,-0.9316166659709744,0.9270472071093137,3.4816942320821838,-1.3908638515916305,-0.982449515907672,0.646597990734135,1.3547498574399452,-0.9347648910620885,-0.7591493282425166,-0.360824288061794,0.458327496761473,1.7046900768882378,-1.3854724409126504,0.24644433623425321,-0.6585062651884064,-0.6063664943532601,0.1894988796741277,0.18767750601660493,0.11696372918718634,-3.853685995314831,1.2531603057411447,0.9666118818002429,4.332756319530345,-0.20449989440903593,-0.6885931051390797,-1.121162564885549,-1.7003688737309641,0.22412552371971106,0.4054521362056729,0.09376906269937191,-2.472346477783261,-0.14348893847193978;0.48672502791337635,1.0684899359610789,0.2969169312182771,-0.01066731489902395,0.1698904816722937,-0.33539567268474535,0.13014940108567785,-0.6945104634097703,-0.9099644955089925,0.31462746029333744,-0.3062374247108579,0.6875240388694124,-0.23788162246788325,-0.4899188433865618,-0.35405858100797616,0.27831415798182846,0.21098875308413412,-0.9856054305301463,-0.052278395196635685,-0.6941117769357135,0.48759522562531643,-0.4674826484257526,-0.37440079335241805,0.267931985584859,-0.9195951653913461,-0.02559633310752396,0.10938132701004832,-0.073307402404998,-0.9023617881967674,-0.2698606101730707,-0.14848591097332253,-0.5966258974421237,0.5922436059172647,0.9354172391176974,1.7388769432209372,-0.2412985200747908,0.667934784899856,-0.9301664848305808,0.6604516368282063,0.09548036568685347,0.77113956734269,0.20589289166853675,-0.4117864830682443,-0.2241726629764358,0.13930497534255437,-0.39868797294499814,-0.1935402580114438,1.8367595934110454,-0.25544874737314593,-0.05291485874773372,-0.1376736071890221,1.0786484703689645,0.4330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k{132}=[0.4660990889319452;0.7027661273408741;-0.22113571364262774];
x_a{132}=[-2.6545902493885967,-4.327612474331794,16.08739682200752];
std_x_a{132}=[0.5758052349498316,0.872415931964531,0.45466490479884203];
pred_a{132}=[-2.6545902493885967];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.1 to 13.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{133}=[-5.092421881907231,-8.534160752277911,14.55595154914989];
std_x_f{133}=[0.9964162765362513,1.5371664879711069,1.0557888985048456];
pred_f{133}=[-5.092421881907231];
obs{133}=[-5.313642961173171];
sqrt_r{133}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{133}=[1.99329883677047];
xi{133}=[-0.21187407058478858,-1.505772733585176,-0.24781641300023782,0.058031670156377224,-0.6577721924220095,-0.04672564163189019,-1.315040124310955,0.03561900920583394,0.5849066184085814,1.049084880863652,1.535810882815321,-1.1673645270508057,1.07376310478495,-1.0429730464738736,-0.5269186410314513,-0.3114694717028552,-0.6459553713886441,0.7539922529557828,-0.3215516022668279,0.015636865455613602,0.6157397631873316,1.6969270570644737,1.043516965392576,-0.13136375477099715,1.4066348633303485,0.869947628142488,0.16534700352370102,0.4895765132315191,3.187972173074289,-0.14794453216779324,0.1436561835727037,-0.08521715613879888,0.3418546598671366,-0.8178765443123908,-1.1847381553392218,0.5043785696369847,-0.5026997818246475,0.5081517813000591,0.30160317265329617,-0.2538353033291658,-1.0272958825603462,0.39042918330050025,-0.6735198028791336,0.04628223958841726,0.599189889365646,1.2974918933469648,0.6089147375873383,-0.9549603197753376,0.009221926172691575,-0.3459815526032388,-0.2913226438480443,-0.9367380131789229,0.42554613004165986,-0.32392170110891527,-0.5156347509814756,1.6714633721020946,-0.7987237110292424,0.5643661994378526,-0.6063150320598201,-0.8799809712751445,-1.495486102057825,0.25854139762827355,-2.881138220992259,-1.0582256249734598,1.1662536991448298,1.6071707092370917,0.6017728412025116,3.0925508013617478,0.39684931617872365,0.669908165334471,2.7357574828400906,-0.8246471621349336,0.8909755989477866,0.3568528237492883,0.18913665545639802,-0.6133459581329879,-0.5505461475714899,-0.9783026861348594,0.23940991023391867,1.0199797215996735,-0.761642718379008,-0.4953240360829696,-0.425019909707105,-2.053998804277132,-0.9648780519060729,-0.025838945756167853,0.22411924325453647,-2.0989589820982486,0.366336432279998,0.33168945389046645,0.24369198084715382,-0.12857902761569928,-0.28330411645201004,-1.396099129029774,-0.6132307986023413,0.39795213855100986,0.20439915849447754,0.41292887915648624,-0.9061530835233258,-0.36731064889525467;-0.3489287403006589,-2.196438595196547,-0.4066494127845015,0.0330960088383474,-1.0298784395912968,-0.16022779870660564,-2.0214019752398897,-0.06314152370234538,0.8052923697540253,1.6146320477007956,2.4204678054199933,-1.6741562491474422,1.6809599578218668,-1.70793594427054,-0.9497865104725989,-0.47596798576206645,-1.0152351642699031,1.0642545705928557,-0.5905828727218978,-0.11421645759848786,0.9684385875234636,2.71572651570912,1.5516284088133352,-0.25186633665533087,2.1616935255272365,1.3247638599074705,0.2464079976014517,0.7449816453585125,5.183833638195516,-0.3016256977194036,0.1675872676146799,-0.29404110453351606,0.5396706044072266,-1.168596246294312,-1.5642095413071466,0.7668271789229539,-0.6809240112745325,0.6191176484862826,0.5222353167662792,-0.4139907312942501,-1.5212476782723883,0.5710357047001411,-1.0546411159667741,-0.006362371537861122,0.8604934498693728,1.9671993612133916,0.8953652492280897,-1.2693330779008463,-0.0709701518732988,-0.5469647618517364,-0.5038895772833136,-1.3351083920685038,0.6869010475197852,-0.5053773672527413,-0.8091859179446192,2.6621629600241485,-1.3206517929359602,0.7665786041950211,-1.0434759495737165,-1.3385621240978747,-2.2435841002372445,0.3467099908844151,-4.115498574370136,-1.5863518772680933,1.7691571129762824,2.566825601497718,0.8249230249971395,5.089126317257305,0.5231304851338141,1.059179137630772,4.429775921399232,-1.297806954334348,1.3707281695228621,0.5737435103871382,0.2675770301139586,-1.0756030619801074,-0.9009782910949227,-1.5546561513327148,0.2749219614054219,1.524730893733519,-1.0086938754515753,-0.9055156565488574,-0.7086107026546582,-3.0609834573662766,-1.5155133996906098,-0.13057263952502396,0.35785637274170945,-2.865511478551767,0.4962423861738561,0.45237839470392416,0.5565728429854309,-0.20427300372408297,-0.45857203691034165,-2.1618127269607275,-0.9123058174441603,0.6016285107426897,0.23888150303506706,0.6337229351867029,-1.4112970686812876,-0.6254509426904722;0.168423531915332,1.8495411861168467,0.22005905663466585,-0.2038799451191533,0.6442024210885915,-0.24585656498781283,1.2987300917591043,-0.5234031702700097,-1.0540332092694982,-1.0771971365273725,-1.3681067675219456,1.6015824206300504,-0.9501444653645645,0.6844085926721064,0.027114290434942845,0.43625221931449865,0.6395051899081512,-1.268177012700857,-0.008155414120301074,-0.5893250978034761,-0.43656206358630634,-1.287944010022585,-1.3214584981337314,0.02113049502747444,-1.6166696307038215,-0.9101788467853424,-0.12151078875385046,-0.45874792288223176,-2.5720956336709886,-0.07436369278939736,-0.29270605903164615,-0.5287779332991729,-0.2084314609235971,1.178060659709029,2.0393872179926387,-0.4471207545777496,0.9435935854717297,-1.2471376611613056,0.06183317872875449,0.2981078068378764,1.2510344796382729,-0.46623457541064894,0.6475092722745472,-0.33482451787081047,-0.8594082532415364,-1.5199982286477685,-0.7545981266559849,1.60962166295762,-0.3010003653134987,0.37143904580023523,0.14645139553280728,1.3538114949352131,-0.16472826523131268,0.3818205440687823,0.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k{133}=[0.49831907712333107;0.7669952255145283;-0.49499611151453277];
x_a{133}=[-5.155595216879738,-8.631394931196875,14.618703622265992];
std_x_a{133}=[0.6256940731593507,0.9716605287541091,0.7217179741103334];
pred_a{133}=[-5.155595216879738];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.2 to 13.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{134}=[-9.924598118023688,-15.749679321455567,19.534046980225266];
std_x_f{134}=[0.8915105227680159,0.9243067466938172,1.9738335201293657];
pred_f{134}=[-9.924598118023688];
obs{134}=[-10.243051144427639];
sqrt_r{134}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{134}=[1.7954758139348903];
xi{134}=[-0.2603754426787024,-1.0829910377614986,-0.46233143083582817,-0.12122342672402908,-0.8827500727813753,-0.6455099068890746,-0.984667186510281,1.3303850053907222,0.18405006861602935,0.5229120460543033,0.929917086649299,-0.7342123307210926,0.593612979425103,-0.315551683257393,-1.231853167035327,-0.4539176411469761,-0.03286517944899536,0.22235537438263187,-0.43623163114708774,-1.041926631949691,0.562947746947124,1.3862872080518684,0.5680855021824573,0.6423866992923344,0.8955903046397218,1.0533903131335673,0.05995478834297607,1.3896063348457393,2.467484579835112,-0.12116568614028367,0.0224835419504803,-0.4537249501596001,0.5366054451745761,-0.504385823295884,-0.02415827590277253,0.22783933769927955,-1.8048040393691416,0.07553444988499614,0.22436186385046852,-0.8335960166983973,-0.42712361504321805,2.2469921083473796,0.46372384754358364,0.6091553114348596,1.3095157591820623,0.991518065674601,0.2848280138902233,-0.6032016430782772,0.053995049932089145,-0.04088644984943102,-0.3637393701646108,-0.9579817486485585,0.2565576058130521,-0.29880393535518124,-0.5193883112866047,1.2453043430519184,-1.1502996511284245,-0.13823800716571455,-0.7731158544319623,-0.585116357493952,-1.2400933710399542,-2.3815304387032814,-0.06074768496433158,-0.5832370567453466,0.3108305569667582,0.682195871401996,0.18348162157802328,2.706312146590787,0.5487750003297496,-0.164901580289051,2.6023634280216426,-0.7393011097659841,0.6801564306510457,0.48898450709972074,0.1836809058873783,-0.7839812864279097,0.22671677296572312,-0.6903159113546398,-0.13173583717587434,0.5828358717397961,-0.1945959299466402,-0.7685808610391582,0.5482651368480713,-1.3761908651321253,-0.5532385139804425,-0.6125605583849563,-0.7442923887953388,-1.0681622123829762,-0.08584132407579936,-0.7302495434147431,0.44758928298868916,0.48610048503134173,-0.6895066648157258,-0.6444527308569974,-0.6041270960715472,1.750539686825304,-0.17617252981568043,0.16347614808304556,-0.23639916102037084,-0.40333347392928687;-0.3546050126045692,-0.7151503554563341,-0.5119585289669573,-0.2766044422416698,-0.8195811886618074,-0.8022760640989439,-0.881904679834733,1.1489537111387698,-0.12805258166133804,0.4142711935482648,0.941962604629051,-0.4468575488129467,0.5500504274831535,-0.5555059965405746,-1.339523124629249,-0.42759784453296845,-0.12741420335170694,-0.10571617782546738,-0.6482494344933976,-1.2503504510254189,0.537954967915832,1.5645743790676754,0.3569713931457308,0.4989365403830135,0.7581482408097724,0.9953451455826894,-0.01925584439352157,1.4192986903653164,3.0379576054499644,-0.31372937897123165,-0.1447314158028803,-0.8116329354718452,0.4980020712664377,-0.3308322486164563,0.33845787296156615,0.14268990301643392,-1.010737274500201,-0.3672143023179224,0.2837107548415485,-0.7615841604680931,-0.33789128168647764,2.4866486886228003,0.3524057566287677,0.3911737670179587,1.204580544479823,0.8539469585656594,0.1067967408689352,-0.22165795920910725,-0.1865900330166479,-0.12134417097504802,-0.49109164393999905,-0.6130901362841854,0.27285146381540315,-0.3342252924663178,-0.5413687792577093,1.3734918127379725,-1.1790711939960943,-0.42785909003974254,-0.9596706792782683,-0.547039476372646,-0.9347341787545957,-1.5847119798699119,0.24516956660801803,-0.4985223403509629,0.10147717667563683,0.7725533933641895,-0.14635560261005587,3.5822570761275525,0.30263041372984034,-0.14433153933484277,3.195478705959239,-0.767374561081553,0.6082106619316274,0.4804884042586135,0.05743372950245096,-1.003454089249864,0.03701208098481601,-0.7560978477300999,-0.38089292409452113,0.3661812079090421,0.0694044595292489,-1.0140617097698446,0.38967873366427064,-0.9563929525287413,-0.6029172161816057,-0.7699930234039272,-0.6228816207220191,-0.30758734259666554,-0.30589006808985175,-0.8179955268854222,0.7503902039979096,0.41746271380078603,-0.6852549262378602,-0.665678657120921,-0.5118375773990032,1.866511593358883,-0.39879956342204537,0.08066601949058771,-0.32356228915078233,-0.5408949068468907;0.4540231719444279,2.937258977122248,0.9383891621853735,0.0016608357882930136,2.0131797597760404,1.117336528822328,2.269160021450311,-3.3974698294785526,-0.9947749985453775,-1.2986250536949449,-1.9525310451724351,2.1360204403543612,-1.2900876625259343,0.25603970950935917,2.390170256781893,1.0888061484330223,-0.04505161302720495,-1.1247302695465287,0.5734203761987651,1.8165378217348085,-1.181392750626184,-2.6447031514283807,-1.6251109404606936,-1.6351505620296827,-2.252566228825021,-2.42102548676543,-0.19969889905982896,-3.0207000546497795,-4.3976064077657675,-0.05890257786986908,-0.30994175262965484,0.3146951966202636,-1.1619521294809978,1.475097994240258,0.8627767219222164,-0.5706461795123197,4.999676832188861,-1.0208688839783626,-0.24943680925188616,1.9277313196934642,1.1381347942491686,-4.706499744159167,-1.1644898765407916,-1.7474957746592388,-3.1304351930819507,-2.4635548288072613,-0.8884413690848625,2.0379106477857896,-0.5328836157216656,0.010917121373026362,0.5941743506654937,2.6775665355365454,-0.4335579650502801,0.65479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k{134}=[0.44304457223044325;0.44113327242033007;-0.9545900504621957];
x_a{134}=[-10.035937385981724,-15.860538270423032,19.77394012886135];
std_x_a{134}=[0.6805361700863304,0.7373027095603792,1.5181495202786874];
pred_a{134}=[-10.035937385981724];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.3 to 13.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{135}=[-14.394472937971262,-15.147424781100536,34.12680776643992];
std_x_f{135}=[0.26316114776734045,1.386607166488157,1.444567969924509];
pred_f{135}=[-14.394472937971262];
obs{135}=[-14.537950640588036];
sqrt_r{135}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{135}=[1.0693651392157881];
xi{135}=[-0.10499334566938145,0.33988294201755487,-0.053819274096158054,-0.17816587333262923,0.028721001719123507,-0.15021367868016533,0.08071186539171116,-0.24379841355843013,-0.3444074906890897,-0.12686981238034178,-0.003983442356213729,0.26352523012087303,-0.05732414721333079,-0.24104048537934908,-0.05349107760367211,0.3474688588471633,-0.1057872922122769,-0.3722745628689559,-0.22210856909275556,-0.21325629883079245,-0.027034295235900174,0.24803970655676721,-0.23832677161495042,-0.16216737989824104,-0.1917141973944645,-0.07453518392173208,-0.08422097301861342,-0.005668962007044698,0.5973286830559665,-0.2002209118738083,-0.11016748735508841,-0.37634494810990127,-0.04733309681184217,0.16205534212054395,0.36790657611683564,-0.08827687575400844,0.7063331992478155,-0.46582316572874305,0.0588685719033375,0.07215846324507602,0.08447250079796831,0.17409486933824958,-0.12721476885542415,-0.2564634939622703,-0.14915551897998647,-0.18502490795745352,-0.19258956531091798,0.36194875266164495,-0.0972069284153445,-0.07892761131686221,-0.1269619871387455,0.3222169888684441,0.017342792901491322,-0.04391423166731734,-0.0023659689293502595,0.13308108030016008,-0.05224056594411941,-0.3098111190539452,-0.18281784238127585,0.13373771598496376,0.2998598288920018,0.6823934614416309,0.29975335019117466,0.057667296475852226,-0.23971605522161887,0.09882539759404452,-0.3689768569372145,0.8929941214734427,-0.2869299410681183,0.020832544660954966,0.7149572656392849,-0.008988454131712231,-0.07730906181599195,-0.009675590226994046,-0.1369944905474405,-0.21030380732918275,-0.21204518698909958,-0.07240128253848432,-0.25032434496564093,-0.25818567056754027,0.28052879958357835,-0.2752161047540831,-0.18403136614989712,0.37096833173920274,-0.05851806667433834,0.0599693985646077,0.1708731942718007,0.6859486670320738,-0.17465216877258527,-0.06216055307877255,0.33468513800056776,-0.08220618055861628,0.022859523668911308,6.435131293649476E-4,0.09698806656406944,0.31748065241307977,-0.2451022093841395,-0.09588588028139355,-0.09122766514672875,-0.1592102327910343;-1.052651135722936,1.6002882217406942,0.546795274294313,-0.4597916374659867,-0.09592162201316512,0.6942017358591634,1.002276826166021,-2.18714771926874,-0.4750432317321742,-0.8634717316527656,-1.126887825746298,-0.5274570491972419,-0.6031885427053272,0.3808106016315165,2.02856216150464,4.638150127194695,-0.39319018359671354,-1.3345082729873212,0.05634317692412871,0.7819724793082088,-0.1346179077490639,-2.3837964497477273,-1.5624334154015571,-1.552294821505395,-0.28724230717577015,-1.8580192046142088,-0.26482179521848437,-1.6519223342770566,-1.7875086387349626,0.01470993377392027,1.41638493290999,-0.10967165759259778,-0.9757362845415258,-0.6242235743654039,0.1877129655206211,-1.1500454412768057,2.8621848731708663,-0.06111342649104046,-0.375112221551511,1.1812372264433364,0.6081986646622664,-2.041152553476902,-0.6506603738647474,-1.479223926026581,-1.8685917885122336,-1.4844685807886258,-0.5251298142422751,0.8174997393878698,2.562758570739746,-0.05105408120703636,0.4434041240710531,1.2378115886856325,-0.9187666512751136,-0.48316434547033005,0.9182685822250924,-1.5133521909499557,0.7125138273545435,-0.10761538641558488,0.6941486702761335,2.462829379463159,1.9761016774937996,3.18534434094377,0.6050930394427816,-0.1195955767917205,-1.2002369143081602,-0.5946556523145379,-1.6012105058792088,1.129638204560024E-4,-0.7886092208997528,0.3342134045304892,-2.599225571082716,1.2615511769018735,0.6052123554089768,-1.1600274872037204,-0.04114768556852866,0.8401876593904838,-0.695657396911777,0.602291014202164,0.24547457394727168,-0.9024517030606916,0.7781049831148117,-1.6289170379942206,-1.1550942415760623,1.791493446729131,0.2869386897464139,3.497410512273767,2.0057267881265055,1.4105156005151578,1.3511147372310095,1.3496925443802503,-0.15265245503662506,-0.7928993585122708,1.2219070014320295,1.356150521118483,0.8612220437223126,-3.7951557565883967,-0.7152999902072814,-0.17823301316986928,0.3089879392991417,-0.5818430054123898;-0.7984001385285282,0.8119930696904731,0.7395593415561663,0.02732795203197469,-0.13192986930182826,1.1228180403172274,0.8506551739545358,-1.6966814811559203,0.4332306178201577,-0.5250745475857101,-1.1467811252496602,-1.2034473260246727,-0.4506887319800157,1.0388444172248512,2.177851608209849,3.6373651243129785,-0.08738976229417261,-0.4039210261836388,0.6692318999607707,1.3697548478447885,-0.014860834522977484,-3.2754241102020707,-0.9964675515740353,-1.1967406510411678,0.2089679891816374,-1.7844152767583594,-0.0018453642480693588,-1.7362631950222749,-3.6000024866817313,0.5745590335647037,1.74646895687345,0.881437775804855,-0.8644210823968592,-1.0403030757718454,-0.6897810411213428,-0.9387059357241299,1.1259208598980095,1.153098312245909,-0.4910177920600063,1.0618447336509789,0.4579988181196626,-2.7130503048020067,-0.30111469045385064,-0.8597374859965683,-1.5924230594103292,-1.0727079860173703,-0.005381683726106701,-0.016934835033481477,2.7824879908593516,0.21616087447566912,0.8246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k{135}=[0.0648657195489434;0.09226242940402596;-0.07892693824824878];
x_a{135}=[-14.40440950965949,-15.161558166967195,34.13889833115561];
std_x_a{135}=[0.2558174357336403,1.4005649648986576,1.4290385302411406];
pred_a{135}=[-14.40440950965949];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.4 to 13.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{136}=[-10.148967927572407,-2.7263563737325622,36.204736989029094];
std_x_f{136}=[0.8860502668237142,0.9496480873732478,0.9847492073032188];
pred_f{136}=[-10.148967927572407];
obs{136}=[-9.881240482505863];
sqrt_r{136}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{136}=[1.7887953362730378];
xi{136}=[-0.6060658648460713,0.7875616550446036,0.38925461292648045,-0.14707015865287687,-0.08037693748609165,0.5694017821561168,0.5800956638687946,-1.231481011261078,-0.030735509357256774,-0.4492268346014523,-0.7334757840856483,-0.554278052421445,-0.34430159778326086,0.4407282074382337,1.353487569119789,2.761039238452046,-0.16882533522021426,-0.5604141471715636,0.21535708484148408,0.6581033557335303,-0.06924770076576614,-1.8013822891128068,-0.8217644103968791,-0.8855497455898025,-0.0382208365236405,-1.1622775455367833,-0.10680698716614145,-1.083437240626525,-1.7204198570951839,0.16688841795279075,1.015773382232414,0.23662236561299288,-0.595708065485077,-0.5390806683448606,-0.14808581141133104,-0.6747379550025716,1.3539186761979085,0.3263742076356877,-0.28142038523602153,0.71391182518534,0.33828907486800297,-1.5165211765392375,-0.31668082623292015,-0.7534613195281228,-1.0974778430917596,-0.8225501268285829,-0.18102581192844625,0.26375667864284225,1.7233992002927714,0.04049595719151888,0.39038237165362055,0.5681875576888924,-0.6196282439810439,-0.27738977464557024,0.6060282082493789,-1.1102401093913414,0.5025849475100213,0.1783297531197121,0.594571462413839,1.5044047566573173,1.059285649381616,1.580784438964006,0.1714712552903368,-0.12581119421210119,-0.5842990485757849,-0.461295202459004,-0.731985282281828,-0.7126025447711601,-0.27208126413562717,0.20547599583976783,-2.4050563783373597,0.8369824690699392,0.4576511996743342,-0.7512120351894094,0.08437721397072906,0.715581680605391,-0.2783214621481829,0.45647819820438507,0.3603852990395211,-0.3771441307062968,0.3077094949306378,-0.8358011333484257,-0.5972664397218441,0.8857225088784055,0.24724859753359496,2.2672393159891877,1.1963762132724902,0.4086257314283852,1.0073749724438734,0.9342340501979578,-0.35783673528464277,-0.45032446000776183,0.7838640820776508,0.8793212945770144,0.4761126714071633,-2.8573642849508953,-0.26608459938357676,-0.03199499191709343,0.27733038147752076,-0.2527335761612033;-0.373156681345689,0.30616081771941683,0.574161911242641,-0.014106447368379627,-0.2074557758281217,0.7670495196435094,0.5640293046170823,-1.0163970318671987,0.5116111857566601,-0.2795197275109982,-0.7364399350236117,-0.9862820141218096,-0.32311452200345103,0.718366610245674,1.4060995006761323,2.5012978650201774,-0.026270517873733468,-0.08292645183683023,0.5220691834263826,1.2232392088473147,0.23466494883616296,-2.164192485972503,-0.3827487338963298,-0.660446992387909,0.1739392774902231,-1.0174995252793662,0.16749530226203868,-1.080781373582513,-2.6328507448721057,0.5854977581959515,1.060115870945078,0.6270568726159329,-0.5460008644108085,-0.8003408521339641,-0.806918129709318,-0.5311689138877282,0.4684770034925205,1.0366442819994455,-0.450508676161264,0.6202069948643727,0.20576931009980592,-1.782569207652224,-0.06311318341731731,-0.30564720647153143,-0.9703436727674335,-0.5781494520833359,0.04854435419319536,-0.2637435043373242,1.9139553702897287,0.13741491582794918,0.6006521595681429,0.10961309302260469,-0.45052767065050014,-0.1796879224399226,0.5759321635539001,-1.2632949308014418,0.5567629676857271,0.5960804796262282,0.8286080765245942,1.3562703989008729,0.7043975484884943,0.7237679070198513,-0.3289393300803609,-0.17091344826532806,-0.20930560568852874,-0.6305436908066802,-0.13439157177075378,-2.0357525749874252,0.08030776356883118,0.13756655621608527,-3.327388538746689,0.766243955717371,0.5439161096090239,-0.7291627196585027,0.2326794963930059,0.8989754670806323,0.03847070685128884,0.352197066907717,0.6925010396718014,-0.04419987397651948,-0.17839860285964626,-0.348884699680581,-0.29899013971083477,0.38015423616841826,0.15611113738352822,1.9261762696954818,0.7987423677520129,-0.5778533008755828,1.2330679707818237,0.8938653045319793,-0.8596596690336127,-0.2807736017889426,0.7212787979091719,0.9009880907677654,0.5486010394343444,-3.2259853749528995,0.06551183541985406,0.026307466965663107,0.3787241722698198,0.1590068767841517;0.7988176561596632,-1.2209084333721947,-0.2771495783011346,0.227651190423785,-0.03957232235710251,-0.4498079819292471,-0.6294459947719062,1.4744935168793631,0.42303061906428496,0.5952745146873255,0.7621419500345681,0.2354754528973757,0.35440787560737164,-0.2669805503277942,-1.334837690125262,-2.8354842685367956,0.26135099790162997,0.9247385810442523,-0.01939675889403958,-0.25666275004572725,0.29777214915717565,1.6965003369536618,1.2011798462519963,1.0880935859652041,0.17134694609630685,1.3438654913965422,0.3027816941911894,1.1492794493454923,1.1685766299441482,0.12459817882002255,-1.0146285099231491,0.03109048847184681,0.6562080103146286,0.3452765326945766,-0.37478734564717087,0.8177255611411596,-2.097809402632649,0.17733352866607532,0.14743318151890605,-0.8371676277927449,-0.47233597819734996,1.4347171150210514,0.5153621123215331,1.1235609099844197,1.2652824990563403,1.0397056015954576,0.3426124535585373,-0.7091795565916641,-1.567454843260073,0.021160659518514535,-0.25912518959906805,-0.9681147538482264,0.7686889906897889,0.34450800579480045,-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k{136}=[0.4409645532263607;0.4323704011013296;-0.4697940641291919];
x_a{136}=[-9.95019997167147,-2.531462293947283,35.99297392295468];
std_x_a{136}=[0.6369631833159144,0.6911221965893322,0.7647966140592315];
pred_a{136}=[-9.95019997167147];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.5 to 13.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{137}=[-3.709336316083234,0.5406316344126312,27.846023770595288];
std_x_f{137}=[0.3761848493123503,0.3895814770031033,0.6639628077303756];
pred_f{137}=[-3.709336316083234];
obs{137}=[-3.5791167895048197];
sqrt_r{137}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{137}=[1.141708027139134];
xi{137}=[-0.13822316162946446,-0.2196946332892118,0.042534274116321935,0.3403178252583299,-0.14417652729799135,0.7870487129328883,0.10274815702823448,-0.03356556425532453,0.1415038150243948,-0.06247201495492005,-0.16656392248237095,-0.4315845066035995,-0.02682941707001607,0.34348675071843005,0.3237930685972108,0.8942567657609226,0.19239695907745524,0.3025742265968696,0.12138063709914304,0.11034589053216948,0.0279486607467887,-0.825285003064399,0.14406861226884082,-0.06628729294862667,-0.11611864853435083,-0.3330107860597047,0.12308237623833085,-0.2565864871941965,-0.9841224628580254,0.2418664953596723,0.263384736749285,0.30176354518314064,-0.19899825430065698,-0.35501623446047637,-0.33208256424334737,0.054644055630343136,0.16199327588461898,0.45129633149767434,-0.24429029549744152,0.06377760685716449,-0.11506264699253332,-0.4686618696885927,-0.029485648845664958,0.1724352629446657,-0.25207069394910997,-0.06883765583747703,0.13001007550062704,-0.11403504465319614,0.8468527864442956,0.027448155664904217,0.35476268077332307,-0.10744926230386254,-0.07856687831426834,0.0321380570269727,0.12465644960597011,-0.4770622570382952,0.10333159789205704,0.22879858807272058,0.34391486589090414,0.3267527641426704,0.16711054420566818,0.04305654953327309,-0.4170310034178777,-0.2394321207903074,0.20470950913490604,-0.3366098537445681,-0.14635963899234294,-1.0090619925493685,0.0035534699724264485,-0.004251711362546651,-1.2240490961010724,0.14940013798523744,0.2581765710919499,-0.41514303280296927,0.03138674146782794,0.1799305572855454,0.036553499530384226,-0.0495389451065793,0.5045115348281328,0.0947243499558641,0.4530519325019293,0.07204382046190982,0.26320400262472,-0.667556312048529,0.03570148998819134,0.7032619395445807,0.056784779871440705,-0.6632734898930015,-0.0027163195991510847,0.29570255588691197,-0.36035218097040245,-0.22618287190621356,0.06020890209140228,0.9313445652803476,0.014976075810458678,-0.8692298916039856,-0.010657706304177061,0.5052203415210754,0.0889116089637052,-0.09325364109492895;0.29333922405028334,-0.5576527090838408,0.17635645577676073,0.03198546800849733,-0.1660839070510039,0.1410650780384317,-0.06996124034158274,0.22488952489578784,0.570945688811882,0.18542438327313437,9.236910999648185E-4,-0.4462237556368923,-0.027831202259717802,0.2098795823123848,0.011431022264146162,-0.11647323675786991,0.06515995563230637,0.4220243001860693,0.2907033653741111,0.6521364315383564,0.322208569066345,-0.015129530202658281,0.4419146942039269,0.23957574334039744,0.26257927768234135,0.29511638595801326,0.24440815038506547,0.05037479030635783,-0.7644805961512107,0.3904113449560147,-0.007582854153278529,0.3458866269177273,0.0841129014734916,-0.26213909412257086,-0.7691451207069704,0.10227159510276007,-0.9917941728490492,0.6847037700702967,-0.1858020779835819,-0.15668204128778712,-0.1687119074383701,-0.18659173962400605,0.27494379470503516,0.43552413765858233,0.22395353271988394,0.27000451546015225,0.17563995633845975,-0.6525519200956953,0.21331446853991176,0.06069966987650521,0.13855396932432562,-0.557697892287595,0.18130202992641564,0.04742473372577727,-0.09739477199420743,-0.0419466956842654,-0.003799630240947205,0.3953006685963022,0.16846506249009585,-0.20016054149549195,-0.4487058679312585,-0.9554528986595907,-0.5383237090587947,-0.015658390693789603,0.3314994927443128,-0.14269613682786808,0.8204500530663299,-1.375089370517553,0.3881536366095003,-0.12619514719450659,-0.4718853064248052,-0.13177325784825134,0.010992273920665152,0.17091754938878012,0.11944587818165386,0.14735324633918334,0.3204489025874535,-0.16229283108549825,0.2573169832090817,0.31900872480121245,-0.5847499270284141,0.5191301785047531,0.22932664763284416,-0.3818017689513745,-0.1679464653587639,-0.30206556726098643,-0.4792582365222513,-1.0720469817388385,0.28493708486931335,-0.11935416039330865,-0.5638899720053422,0.27021195774841444,-0.1058515106187507,0.01905327433542514,0.0518108638659055,0.12151911376519298,0.3608630818157055,-0.04658142259201725,0.05739338749780776,0.5126686751907568;0.5792491388765306,-0.2538126534694314,0.14352899134722463,-0.5829376644179582,0.06603484322891973,-1.2803766163167403,-0.2644676134910178,0.3389901608092565,0.39718926042983327,0.32941580007528515,0.3035530707746439,0.26764644512707036,0.01823187496251677,-0.36163253913728965,-0.5369207692188382,-1.726155756107456,-0.26697776542395957,-0.03878376337760514,0.1209710418993204,0.5647694878012786,0.32428770818843233,1.4327976854303586,0.2695052285264694,0.3923734256668112,0.4956376313517552,0.9190939440553336,0.07154776636110327,0.5259126776243335,0.9292652518587055,0.047391858688655475,-0.46038885353528514,-0.13146290329329346,0.449191207083274,0.3286429150631065,-0.2969193916248756,0.04823524437187032,-1.5303904483858197,0.01619887872662673,0.22039538762014033,-0.30021066210364467,0.016869345229864052,0.6479153333864645,0.376350441030592,0.21712269645530924,0.7091890912403898,0.43482979824703705,-0.013953307876509058,-0.563869073964856,-1.2549325589282567,0.0310801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k{137}=[0.12411932277836628;0.04766915421486276;-0.16888181479177009];
x_a{137}=[-3.6936232088225984,0.5466663960954636,27.824643875742566];
std_x_a{137}=[0.33545202152615083,0.3816081875347872,0.6288068993749106];
pred_a{137}=[-3.6936232088225984];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.6 to 13.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{138}=[-1.236435303268336,-0.13813005394727035,21.26162866444492];
std_x_f{138}=[0.3180437493631797,0.4713960249104613,0.44675167756110473];
pred_f{138}=[-1.236435303268336];
obs{138}=[-1.1241202791587372];
sqrt_r{138}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{138}=[1.1018672645524459];
xi{138}=[0.2661359921209756,-0.34571696947091235,0.14187393200415999,0.07558411561483891,-0.11748657048700584,0.29450423388647773,-0.02184233762576193,0.17900121329441254,0.330227546538982,0.17212324793879064,-0.037545850598527775,-0.4099309198784489,0.04654025417626384,0.3039764325183254,0.07893865302359315,0.22975159510407317,0.11913510722458076,0.32245931883871237,0.23944745851864846,0.5006402526572102,0.23135792968453517,-0.17337292755906986,0.27752750145050764,0.16661000244451007,0.1745154255267105,0.18517151350464323,0.20251478668141987,-0.020143604090233636,-0.720255479226791,0.31609608044292625,0.06698467799118113,0.26603973505477885,0.023677549275021192,-0.19061078979224555,-0.5847886270971216,0.017518432743274914,-0.6590503042308582,0.5489817165855687,-0.20201348751832104,-0.10940529276366662,-0.14227402271651046,-0.22871709369056403,0.21462272669215454,0.3886760987363612,0.09130541203477316,0.16916536334575305,0.13318044562273879,-0.4620070955041291,0.31956771799542216,0.006320415197250018,0.18271837721656725,-0.4215517691368651,0.1817867588677473,-0.13686582588180185,-0.022321360747327823,-0.1437864239016693,-0.18747633177184397,0.3363511444113779,0.21733806017096802,-0.08734574220617408,-0.27736692574086974,-0.669604600336065,-0.5003610829330163,-0.12866854991634358,0.26145385509076424,-0.12490434537484774,0.6083864442639522,-1.1989114667395144,0.2562620559408574,-4.418452438395004E-4,-0.5386645909175278,-0.12872835736598764,-0.025905211835727027,0.03989669614320479,0.1057325972952523,0.22424478482139554,0.24289287759127165,-0.1259431651508538,0.35751060003636737,0.24659739943173564,-0.435226460633902,0.391202225530484,0.16302416201278147,-0.45017505367681054,-0.24195583475108728,-0.17843280390244742,-0.3251834548423378,-0.9305975837105822,0.15640543109692095,-0.026710793156972557,-0.41859943196913263,0.18083299741624081,-0.17596876917692872,0.250498186875316,0.03885224794671882,-0.04500007594370148,0.22813723922793838,0.1499249548670567,0.08368558452744557,0.3679516639623672;0.4445082716188272,-0.6182144498771467,0.21302412728406683,-0.045477142367123025,-0.16997191794681926,0.06919465697689087,-0.10984172598279315,0.3025968652901,0.6195399980515282,0.27473633945535814,0.028281107037403844,-0.47930484206373974,0.011693578955077916,0.25607172759099023,-0.03980015072007634,-0.1935437273395395,0.0609863840931535,0.4510885103983948,0.3368479074792001,0.7943816430161454,0.391206620820019,0.18050082855454122,0.48649696119132424,0.31845814309622233,0.35757312848620804,0.4571542169067688,0.28491954283533694,0.11003811146442562,-0.7033801787190384,0.4381340371755375,-0.05142505731690719,0.35174285444073794,0.14699681539392345,-0.22454556187028546,-0.9008765484054231,0.08132592388363227,-1.3257310586988518,0.7615340321721664,-0.2018668674266202,-0.22768617426456378,-0.1911764211772724,-0.13497750883606557,0.3652937415893902,0.5384750407445269,0.3210460264114872,0.3453219504970084,0.18605260740500723,-0.8049629352546288,0.12652422189476303,0.048427576328455346,0.11298208133740231,-0.7064135426916349,0.28123473338791705,-0.046818827550291986,-0.14740081654113169,0.04900115885917776,-0.14367914287489253,0.4568825163141125,0.16357648705835984,-0.3276568881329493,-0.6094169570222152,-1.2627918524607455,-0.6151343111711769,-0.010354559109224615,0.3675465341051958,-0.0856320303884335,1.0765309029524863,-1.5056429337201016,0.47497859100478607,-0.10966792315745294,-0.238494220741378,-0.24028036502019934,-0.09130524802629478,0.3014022818584303,0.1446618718265456,0.19819287112135134,0.397883201740858,-0.20260326881406854,0.28545562624947585,0.3740376205286561,-0.9383831825639151,0.6358424504657906,0.20760063097203113,-0.34865007905450185,-0.2960323446539315,-0.5915977787555757,-0.6310184468130595,-1.237031399741657,0.327566360430684,-0.21290352845775928,-0.6153560965351814,0.40077286533277756,-0.21461150930817896,-0.09921614724423486,0.06584418609751305,0.3940811448066037,0.4339577824898629,-0.09753662026045154,0.0707151285342676,0.6674917630646271;0.18943849760923115,-0.33282520173233365,0.06450903293299248,-0.3571666206350521,-0.009302543455561363,-0.9105491690904088,-0.1981374731689165,0.15175428066767083,0.42569787442208806,0.09163954237368088,0.19860543776982098,0.2152091200393862,-0.13126115421123075,-0.4131420689425873,-0.36862317468742134,-1.3499767380754442,-0.25998061691250385,0.016685082338273816,0.04915911608551582,0.3104997705384953,0.18755652098742814,0.9614907895491349,0.27713642733153776,0.20788194763551004,0.28578933796795525,0.5049664294484089,0.01208022335428538,0.3460697127695376,0.7066039540910616,0.036672496399699384,-0.35056116201643306,-0.031927343749288184,0.26607379763986216,0.08894112036906776,-0.19762974884811868,0.15715323931928893,-1.0026275909763207,0.03929472643151399,0.19465947231988778,-0.1844426086467834,0.010600967298049824,0.4470750283402438,0.17531711869841615,0.03735008709701049,0.4904609828640254,0.2787905943006592,0.007620884622618007,-0.3909454888600159,-0.8078456858419543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k{138}=[0.09244966960137618;0.1268216922985166;-0.002564085978845927];
x_a{138}=[-1.2270142328540468,-0.1252063074552019,21.261367371628417];
std_x_a{138}=[0.29552406724057895,0.45049686151918533,0.4463786514267759];
pred_a{138}=[-1.2270142328540468];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.7 to 13.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{139}=[-0.8207390939794206,-0.9209868606280387,16.34509723556472];
std_x_f{139}=[0.4817532936512056,0.7536184569778368,0.32952170208541365];
pred_f{139}=[-0.8207390939794206];
obs{139}=[-0.6834513181868392];
sqrt_r{139}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{139}=[1.2337819553916232];
xi{139}=[0.40972701318804133,-0.9270520358472356,0.49841272682748705,0.01360070157101989,-0.17481285116246292,0.18360956183324806,-0.11253309999744032,0.3042582470324169,0.4649553079076997,0.2588523248951352,0.020641633734393205,-0.7151765688792544,-0.17656516690698232,0.303907465570317,0.019477239608604924,-0.03616035324774258,-0.3578950328540724,-0.3376289744844245,0.3552352849326235,0.9373223853873963,0.5562629226652445,0.036199559998642106,0.4882150356628779,0.46038482955245597,0.5467994072310316,0.24193128031877498,0.18579239891152366,0.11341524689752103,-0.5204372758341314,0.46994019932598546,0.07423574563287061,0.3575890612142082,0.284120242413361,-0.6238038673790243,-1.0219065146635737,0.05841135077332116,-1.1060267718031165,0.8693890563372271,-0.14454232733818384,-0.08715169755465768,-0.2637952206433549,-0.15929410177509495,0.46832027148782845,0.23337367201475168,0.7912294664155933,0.3927232755599566,0.12115377874652022,-0.7648147386177397,0.22884165496012,-0.11647617244026187,0.08710734666938191,-0.6922588979386874,0.28472994256092177,0.014147167512198355,-0.0982936228510145,0.0775072926642727,-0.17134897017243567,0.5005863044542909,0.31882035897790606,-0.2516255033082808,-0.5269542413727448,-1.2465610822220892,-0.6390535376529842,-0.053926969699081506,0.354342560984851,0.013648530239886991,1.1114169091346369,-1.60553072178374,0.46204218045087836,-0.045520280797527235,-0.36040572871219734,-0.1550850919148402,0.06137612123855751,0.183187803139935,0.15000998166741542,0.09055177715895146,0.08957296879316756,-0.21305750280303237,0.18622872676702662,0.3565681639033249,-0.8790217641812292,0.46117029477858235,0.20881207201415652,-0.2155656096231331,-0.32701680340024786,-0.6095483667450177,-0.6067745984615189,-1.2535135973646423,0.2437066430904552,-0.33086568861833787,-0.08703377353674668,0.3722420261467361,-0.028456998072138195,0.017194291219128188,0.13249234463792314,0.6237783094408427,0.30954333255677047,0.006084664671318407,0.1176923026340101,0.46060335654471163;0.6560507691312889,-1.465339300490057,0.7594882146364471,-0.027370279080857873,-0.26404379794221455,0.18103209702424883,-0.20101790079619164,0.4765527135469194,0.7572462617164599,0.4034474813446278,0.05763821191907503,-1.0533016014850514,-0.2922242598937401,0.4152908717710122,-0.014652457388907525,-0.2212701607499159,-0.5787714959337187,-0.5068893949886046,0.5382554812416631,1.4587077440318543,0.8704808882188998,0.188538890380464,0.7723888390876633,0.7254133658130261,0.8710932342883451,0.43096904391535695,0.2826879525404228,0.21163840922060062,-0.690776304111778,0.7188994603285709,0.07335010798801977,0.536660295446791,0.4686289910303833,-0.9330054523741715,-1.5886534990868286,0.11078324957628227,-1.8480188916455216,1.3309512998516353,-0.19625693598454674,-0.14791039678990203,-0.3979408346734261,-0.1842800071154327,0.7327461998038828,0.3575012699277812,1.2633022326309828,0.6335564043557211,0.18095174247904822,-1.229786399695679,0.26283734753081,-0.1627932413250417,0.09518348571852553,-1.0998147106337695,0.4445927992698936,0.06566460660601914,-0.18550428645681216,0.190528406756737,-0.2292552967755206,0.7672094783166415,0.44671098999418074,-0.4507634599690218,-0.8782139200423871,-2.0311212334551847,-0.9444352558263085,-0.020470010021453655,0.5482609854991485,0.0459744029097191,1.752249155220274,-2.3543927873453825,0.7387762753826662,-0.10036989905905869,-0.3690682246416732,-0.25983536958111975,0.0739656587225006,0.3539433977977411,0.23085541041271973,0.10813469907466444,0.15137010109495508,-0.3330913402829532,0.2270938264595378,0.5655277174331066,-1.464037269083804,0.7316850803039198,0.31632658916575174,-0.24057797863945307,-0.494126040684425,-1.0557993142988598,-0.984072464045127,-1.878795415024392,0.4091801258774217,-0.5585651386658619,-0.143513269671127,0.6143890366560205,-0.03385935181177091,-0.10656256237353134,0.20789225629356245,1.075341866185012,0.5032213826169205,-0.08020627815047643,0.16584830813287832,0.7437383754122483;0.08552673331530158,-0.07475907728940001,-0.017056417364823773,-0.28883376789105597,-0.0054260468868072564,-0.7349233377371753,-0.14876263095487374,0.07163061375898039,0.2707592833750354,0.02301804955336806,0.13009258094708542,0.28391113682878455,-0.09155031297293093,-0.365343311004116,-0.3016583263990569,-1.0446754971394085,-0.1503848259029681,0.0584574458592364,-0.01616025620687722,0.16663146411260144,0.07238740007629829,0.7036886417798662,0.14807506683328597,0.0913998013952586,0.14503404236218032,0.3404221181227669,-0.02678156060900605,0.22879507706032598,0.6064743807502779,-0.036445045422908606,-0.29483834374053686,-0.08151101989912135,0.15279717914426172,0.16866248259205818,0.05361835540135118,0.08944390149168413,-0.5353188813888945,-0.03795053417396943,0.14868413339791786,-0.15011529831005532,0.030155128407475473,0.34399329313613336,0.07109508576575507,-0.016655258974296316,0.29695821666408406,0.15142594332790082,-0.02475047387288143,-0.16546366416320168,-0.660521217435095,0.0710205531017607,-0.2986305440797459,-0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k{139}=[0.18948401244644297;0.29563937526570644;0.010522106424081986];
x_a{139}=[-0.8191737775114948,-0.9185446008474071,16.345184158077345];
std_x_a{139}=[0.4370025684521407,0.6813079771784066,0.32828303470798453];
pred_a{139}=[-0.8191737775114948];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.8 to 13.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{140}=[-1.2809896066522237,-2.126399245940024,12.708704248174973];
std_x_f{140}=[0.821619570998868,1.3975484640473048,0.31824427247047743];
pred_f{140}=[-1.2809896066522237];
obs{140}=[-1.03943785381436];
sqrt_r{140}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{140}=[1.6827857001054687];
xi{140}=[0.8746262544958108,-1.3999295248478758,1.7252694191870803,-0.4831157701588664,-0.7129403341936391,0.0720304547899957,-0.4062047984840713,0.6482272901932005,0.770624461189068,0.8410029249112212,0.08588661928003472,-0.3752668721120327,-0.30928378855602534,0.4275479569810037,-0.010587634138298885,-0.17799475281513932,-1.1911184292973662,-0.09642393004641403,-0.5345074452270453,1.8189884155839664,0.9374456430158836,0.6770807757505957,0.7110597299074146,1.1324991218744347,0.8772510715629753,-0.31400276643719516,0.44603091587564203,0.03458197760411452,-1.419758120495873,0.7626847243524821,-0.26075397726028116,0.5662187844669314,0.624819958449477,-0.8651859915864979,-1.1236634471668856,-0.4358791120047165,-1.5539668520217458,1.4395975641044698,-0.3414267154515518,0.057081145090231766,-0.5020381569211909,-0.4778370422345959,0.9363982818306783,0.2644459714203431,1.2583676482751207,0.5502388096476336,-0.25849148726129245,-1.0235558458297762,0.2097384285462447,-0.3617100670930653,0.17897970496316984,-0.6841414545293563,-0.030872978033708254,0.1834880787117794,0.04057441002843709,0.6971798162870375,-0.01821179047577748,0.7323568658460468,1.261540487762582,-0.405215566092215,-1.2474186557979337,-1.9393866012538277,-1.0878746347884476,-0.9182898531634633,0.8009068230602866,0.11415731734422052,1.8004247216597133,-2.2171547710201542,0.48133571408748854,-0.05061656326575159,-0.33204695489499514,-0.12298461877865785,-0.3115279730152589,0.884613946522038,-0.38634107228626524,0.31277323159056647,0.19628757382419515,-0.15223026419116636,1.1099998967754872,0.6777912919042037,-1.3905540794124065,0.4898729419012581,0.2519194343012954,-0.46505396930425835,-0.4702304558594399,-1.411090071994627,-0.7923516084232822,-1.7390511804977968,0.5296206554297882,-0.5458127392657637,-0.7984123185020551,-0.6689044790335863,0.13914679118961537,0.4177108081912805,0.3214280171623841,0.6293978740046575,0.8443932939221034,-0.10583001013096416,0.31093586028423603,0.770667620512615;1.496918714484838,-2.3808925228747135,2.9487629210324586,-0.855487533992425,-1.211452222901165,0.06954802333141386,-0.7140853541742005,1.1051350280804553,1.3216676009592385,1.438127915562416,0.14703776413736147,-0.6115007927635965,-0.5409858408286539,0.7052223625013363,-0.0385661043799459,-0.3803498747748426,-2.045921011936297,-0.15526654515918725,-0.920852171974714,3.108079469812419,1.6018208943217505,1.1818951022803295,1.2114579649104036,1.9374746603980448,1.5011491177660625,-0.5105523366442046,0.7594429994035488,0.07226142311636208,-2.336086875673873,1.298797053213995,-0.46794652628315436,0.9641910437416585,1.0662918165681028,-1.4546808720778275,-1.894658550633527,-0.7463451524055644,-2.7030645332575176,2.454832204817921,-0.573841633829578,0.08995359965310179,-0.8511077882961731,-0.7907960157752258,1.5877043529790333,0.44582132158844057,2.1617625698827627,0.9469556764801765,-0.4490646146782651,-1.7574164509061347,0.31460665494970663,-0.6143972843268792,0.282195717892866,-1.1745502731765742,-0.05450455300012136,0.31943467954622373,0.05312965523968316,1.210518413461134,-0.028160233881645347,1.244778142781755,2.1478435827128646,-0.7229765426228747,-2.1585212609615407,-3.316074976506316,-1.818355084837782,-1.531649929446529,1.3656075322786272,0.2039364441622986,3.0781599051030017,-3.612611335749678,0.8271634930715228,-0.1116943456111823,-0.491012703208761,-0.2145590155685242,-0.547586038748674,1.5289643167175515,-0.668202750454495,0.5221311745319872,0.3365750922976045,-0.26923732905549036,1.8752560962323728,1.1607598153918508,-2.4147347242662063,0.8436452871111326,0.42801854953134044,-0.7516743033899109,-0.8045556680632138,-2.4622053521055234,-1.3754976705736652,-2.887879988965267,0.9091788054734014,-0.9569442897117342,-1.3678331138847084,-1.1318238925441593,0.24206135657749006,0.6480240230048799,0.5446607868232674,1.1031238437265634,1.45203869533975,-0.22745839464848538,0.5181993698881489,1.323299346660181;-0.1113294394049209,0.3545631283451858,-0.1676482638084007,-0.16675776070264448,0.11770123310861891,-0.6373987157818934,-0.07172172138398913,-0.1030686680799544,0.03871550046697081,-0.148990813171336,0.02714043720186865,0.2677341215422473,-0.04844560403379994,-0.4149684078486917,-0.28061854301119027,-0.8176351396547741,0.1854462888427033,0.024663185490764405,0.04210697716791323,-0.03919950218614332,-0.12869863026945083,0.3889666116014858,-0.053530582278566996,-0.11411566761908709,-0.06975797107430637,0.261150909486382,-0.15055045079348695,0.10694010088005079,0.860127277381693,-0.1962202439569758,-0.22827670979565795,-0.21487582390270532,-0.033557787599207245,0.32156176029230465,0.3402279668672996,0.10738508433241556,0.06427201944353378,-0.2236198820702775,0.13472969676817037,-0.17367209363250602,0.08945627990741123,0.3197373897210909,-0.12706936904260857,-0.1174333646160548,0.030381594037958592,-0.03686399966622389,-0.026888399876220603,0.12992295071878424,-0.6097609564123943,0.07785671730107246,-0.3191183247818472,0.0729246276343023,-0.05753631364206058,0.093581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k{140}=[0.4057472677968888;0.6900495234844672;-0.08004299714375943];
x_a{140}=[-1.2405760929270075,-2.057668466704366,12.700731751449998];
std_x_a{140}=[0.6896729891512423,1.169656785840962,0.318874362639726];
pred_a{140}=[-1.2405760929270075];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.9 to 14.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{141}=[-2.623305997879526,-4.742444932304473,10.46041302851032];
std_x_f{141}=[1.4539707704995288,2.582427709308107,0.8529980219428046];
pred_f{141}=[-2.623305997879526];
obs{141}=[-2.219526514862663];
sqrt_r{141}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{141}=[3.142660326026569];
xi{141}=[1.683538871365301,-2.4899418002704117,2.5687630339038483,0.14915341537312043,-2.324881783545899,1.4427564562170614,-0.09113708124585163,0.9778604942834455,1.5580985817382667,1.0215693705414886,0.08559297826209589,-1.0070091739975586,0.49367638858165597,1.8990275464559028,0.33894386675139776,-0.13933820498894844,-2.7594144416568067,-0.04331684738303876,0.12410884084477436,2.613048971976374,-3.16814346279929,0.31384275251460414,1.0185048592907981,0.503429237672576,1.447961490807311,-1.8612893720334265,-0.6064986307138196,-0.09189967760014417,-1.4088264206482686,0.5227711946817442,-0.42338339227177313,1.1617820359948348,3.192924218849947,-1.023604960439723,-1.2949746886992286,0.2025160532545076,-1.5828971755089398,2.064843593046387,-3.703471471661132,0.1304198225991131,1.6542013349825042,-1.0006379333817494,1.9679408732743995,0.3632624983173356,3.5340985820869273,0.9366823342941188,-0.4013340957925813,-0.2610533022156494,1.0160535716420127,-0.5421806398418978,0.33731658929778163,-0.060945226940877006,-0.12617586371100087,0.3281406336082271,0.19662751956650615,1.2117239707370695,-0.5560033089444754,1.1142268025723414,0.8656507244221745,-0.9519579500647155,-2.292074796313872,-2.7659622693149055,-1.213596101690121,0.309011642031666,1.8023807244066274,0.17544805897156346,2.8011249297793084,-2.3980685010518785,1.054230296499594,1.0996127949808885,-2.137127380175418,0.15047528469877802,-0.399212769105592,1.6539980895022182,-1.2046191314254968,-0.026119477721385564,0.3589216830823747,3.1044536110591285,0.9564508616386906,0.8946025016257284,-1.3204277631144081,-0.08850423073249214,0.4480567279863319,-1.7686460319164565,-1.6689974257475253,-1.9072844971663603,-1.0820215258786363,-3.1805124055482983,0.10720442447160661,-0.30762002805816735,-1.6503689468404668,-1.1761877878297482,-0.6355342452661947,-0.16712667205072762,0.2734745849015754,0.9868069462075595,0.15604388296846317,-0.10390813126569842,0.3673730902094192,-0.3264926202584162;3.0250452554369955,-4.364776974678117,4.649867506774669,0.2073463754943896,-4.105223824182088,2.5556068986520635,-0.21626574665674347,1.7405351872623611,2.796225801727908,1.8156408646762947,0.11942444596903812,-1.8214644815188183,0.845863553825458,3.407733594543086,0.5474470000133458,-0.35845778881100365,-4.848265573705863,-0.10875181300922776,0.174877694299985,4.7289446647074325,-5.4954076095035855,0.5716151438661994,1.808943925874729,0.8829454513000812,2.6038132072146354,-3.280371473405758,-1.1226932204237254,-0.19134427201249338,-2.4458526628339454,0.9036276855419278,-0.8148544973308498,2.072601232000929,5.810088374331903,-1.831349624278234,-2.313465825192453,0.3216239451079925,-2.8695444091769575,3.7331135228586936,-6.358442945029376,0.1804958388751432,2.972430946564039,-1.784246523944888,3.5404023372026283,0.6173131676890096,6.427776846431192,1.6638407294438373,-0.7591575433758386,-0.5111406970017516,1.767368863581464,-1.0026841455439275,0.555896427731529,-0.13804989147447078,-0.2690397854309179,0.5604484579143012,0.29841015282142624,2.174728298134298,-1.0171568029028855,1.976127888026967,1.512814960852202,-1.768779574656583,-4.074267442461725,-4.839065327969308,-2.1540474624268082,0.5414409045695754,3.240459346944169,0.2815234222220244,5.079618197116501,-4.057006584121689,1.8736172287955677,1.94123980206667,-3.6756717895192583,0.22121236542079892,-0.766473109434135,2.9744083559745427,-2.178579446130688,-0.10287818412307725,0.6084702238306079,5.64027911449326,1.6828257026867237,1.5804947769825275,-2.3987596681071146,-0.18694243060274918,0.7682221335366233,-3.10798051238183,-2.972251112744895,-3.4388802594085757,-1.9826007401840275,-5.416078329846643,0.16450125273350036,-0.6130788526336479,-2.958836349475467,-2.10619376448534,-1.169839899008422,-0.4009697912545924,0.4483609509713844,1.7818190906249645,0.2563390554095104,-0.27081978195545364,0.6183201362921835,-0.6061297630632225;-0.7359722374442406,1.6408181577819505,-0.7801479308637997,-0.4532712085578794,1.4210605973205581,-1.2022176668002285,-0.24639456490660194,-0.5651410513897996,-0.602400915953913,-0.5860636494456877,-0.18310040018513618,0.5697759632054566,-0.4879152916616931,-1.0806708591713345,-0.5538544106656875,-0.770800591570552,1.791804871829246,-0.14662349105019246,-0.2865792806564844,-0.6739615050988057,2.282923009248943,0.08748449899541377,-0.5298320145030448,-0.3292702665131024,-0.643310783067788,1.1941253755695858,0.1057555432044115,-0.040103791240033715,1.142918728370974,-0.44745474967764665,-0.16450838280122504,-0.7228211352529534,-0.8619445977841327,0.535624559450909,0.6936043309119349,-0.26161730105811465,0.6241585316340696,-0.8077516666826305,2.8663543992403024,-0.36385088592480663,-0.780084099285963,0.5798476084473752,-0.790910459257363,-0.3904446359599074,-0.6963733803008214,-0.5130407562456085,-0.024131166748565747,-0.0971112988751468,-1.0340145366573026,0.1273146861961738,-0.5479724275459859,-0.1954920441121697,-0.15710810477825632,-0.22772778174908304,-0.43412625330028654,-0.4357346112435092,0.222266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k{141}=[0.6817982548994238;1.2107724495085155;-0.35865218056625503];
x_a{141}=[-2.266890596925166,-4.109504110067063,10.272924779866251];
std_x_a{141}=[0.784647128806348,1.3980843483553136,0.5431640327979975];
pred_a{141}=[-2.266890596925166];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.0 to 14.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{142}=[-5.270032721882532,-9.75065149981018,10.353813863391125];
std_x_f{142}=[1.7249852727043373,3.021959265629207,1.7315065840719601];
pred_f{142}=[-5.270032721882532];
obs{142}=[-5.2584656863516];
sqrt_r{142}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{142}=[3.9842347404306366];
xi{142}=[0.9259559325336024,-4.470183591385493,2.0316874992471474,-1.1939445424542594,-1.5644288118154641,1.3625338048545848,2.5426431360704806,5.639646311467961,1.1342341638124687,0.6272388217418374,-0.8902920092601265,-1.1402345596593353,0.07850410257486384,1.563002011062717,2.3943276455101876,-0.6112121086975284,-1.3303718593007696,0.40339149109106476,-3.503425910018888,4.522077967703013,-1.7813730157346228,-0.3344579467253519,0.9582411688454551,-2.6247391029652034,-0.07877070299050004,-2.4270325291031476,-0.688335148524331,3.687646443519478,-1.5631377802675637,-1.2479310373406154,0.671837848735974,1.2541541962622276,1.01429568312773,-2.3526671253250697,-1.558412257398695,-0.4574225070997704,-1.3687908813402307,1.8068891836828578,-2.2812969708473974,-0.6017095473145622,1.0334423993377762,-0.043076098771837046,2.7204326468734603,0.19855122626795563,3.669310060687744,0.5355545026901058,-0.7792799918386226,-1.0914934985441436,0.6311704646008618,-0.7109246504901261,0.7262865450097848,0.07363918701977035,2.81771960805758,0.7569085374522393,-0.4355589536500286,0.91263289286651,-1.8644685176447995,0.012767513640517869,1.8375987825416762,-1.023229832760542,-1.592713250168197,0.49424734091364186,-0.5311622527171966,-0.04704100341504436,0.7768413991044119,-0.1860391360202085,1.5615518457484527,-1.0839175183977359,0.586194016297676,-1.3827249808741149,-1.5815944720678372,-1.131006404024638,-0.6704570598559529,0.9966130088705629,-0.6914539489233436,-1.5338458824046155,1.0907842643735304,3.5800931544977015,0.5800607619622369,1.533545368370603,-0.9678428451540126,0.5894284988688003,0.4108765364773541,0.007269471176296172,-1.480428384646168,-1.5984519062901503,-2.0732411448877377,-2.0822449554648896,0.07710025179028612,-0.5823429149873363,-1.1130025386216191,-1.011890959169234,3.291051574277833,-0.7848070516814243,0.1861886632219587,0.00957704495619005,1.254933154375462,-3.3145002855381867,1.3135911709935741,-1.4253589205874766;1.56921273285408,-6.8697462926071555,3.6356332020100295,-2.2062790441226383,-2.6809319345757743,2.289097936155014,4.492648631182913,10.459342959658864,1.9556633403098704,1.0030046916007578,-1.6477143535729848,-2.0343982207842686,0.007199724051167422,2.7001849371740505,4.208257209497488,-1.3092112170526047,-2.267694381006825,0.588866466484891,-5.747344265991554,8.317462248569116,-2.918070402098598,-0.6301815400407946,1.609011022276528,-4.4185262915124515,-0.20187524178091465,-4.03849020145579,-1.3217918334062677,6.6861618450871845,-2.631307608116817,-2.250592376235657,1.0349399335126517,2.1260960297482914,1.8225836072680277,-3.975834224762089,-2.718619820817583,-0.9150625573788975,-2.461872997180924,3.1883057086962907,-3.609347840091246,-1.1799912258344776,1.759789954112824,-0.16383850759022778,4.878864944844547,0.21726818718153496,6.724622307162125,0.849683883881605,-1.4784501578831506,-2.007506233978498,0.944581576822273,-1.3473629031427858,1.1269629367201848,-0.004937505242189388,5.0089705296574385,1.2317338100096151,-0.911377768073443,1.5524935165279459,-3.2255417446826957,-0.08539274938718755,3.1894823788150575,-1.9184571994971034,-2.7629743504834146,0.8435327089681675,-0.9917577728093416,-0.172953638209691,1.3010542137847594,-0.4425626885333127,2.805592612992297,-1.7127092246649571,0.9427633594626723,-2.4746937095174566,-2.5993381277293093,-2.078608355042565,-1.3044183439731025,1.720351174414807,-1.3165797418112994,-2.7565510906424286,1.8185882682897345,6.53088663083488,0.8843321471246917,2.639833395589295,-1.7999440976596013,0.9196625004922137,0.5927481886825454,-0.03171550434598913,-2.58667390606208,-2.8356940898928347,-3.614651401914138,-3.274829231924251,0.022221091553433325,-1.1732602485040413,-2.002510112401639,-1.8234100433155955,5.914392363968202,-1.5947281384270706,0.19392411833237588,-0.023839373661015628,2.1269386302143616,-5.591029625591451,2.216825465606176,-2.5085916651632445;-1.0247735735393348,6.496120446293865,-1.553467624138401,0.8009289379764617,1.7425292529959222,-1.8618680907943386,-2.583779622948052,-3.498550121191558,-1.1462216005026864,-0.908749852128178,0.6223638267672484,1.0751953025095027,-0.5250563716366017,-1.7353842177312302,-2.5531992635677527,-0.27643845071495576,1.5654038062794768,-0.7979038184268639,4.296313887020704,-2.6899749610317034,2.397054661937279,0.31009521772415205,-1.1679829187105337,3.0388716454121916,-0.07912649005622718,2.976271315510475,0.32237897584402475,-3.015475446577753,1.920412714554093,1.0385700517046068,-1.227693857980455,-1.5116466288153703,-0.5547732883894181,2.6774250495891447,1.5876594552527425,0.10817850604717627,1.1533841038019172,-1.629830761373226,3.3707757366538758,0.14959747699351666,-1.1631504682309277,-0.16885716260767047,-2.2619447451365744,-0.6166801633655492,-2.015014441782684,-0.8023129855078253,0.41240455203567983,0.787841837283203,-1.2793689380179885,0.39533205101562885,-1.2579027972525552,-0.5201056848838768,-2.696056907869049,-1.0391753641894184,-0.0591433959725336,-0.9705451403868164,1.9260239626229971,-0.347696528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k{142}=[0.74901077241952;1.3098220814888386;-0.7127049287131032];
x_a{142}=[-5.188219110178874,-9.607581093987257,10.275965898523191];
std_x_a{142}=[0.8243104802476835,1.468127747117932,0.9203975608922057];
pred_a{142}=[-5.188219110178874];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.1 to 14.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{143}=[-11.517990096603688,-19.26721560381963,19.021495610047157];
std_x_f{143}=[1.4053623323612234,1.5772407312543015,3.2185844508944745];
pred_f{143}=[-11.517990096603688];
obs{143}=[-11.900710879048773];
sqrt_r{143}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{143}=[2.982187097296137];
xi{143}=[0.8409740754384316,0.012196277293726965,0.9737989479609546,0.5218862564943834,-0.933410092773638,-0.5547808074922269,1.1322869961567577,1.1486190426578489,0.27646211296653256,1.8016875162352957,-1.4703642331954345,-0.6985330800404359,-0.9485858194248902,-0.6934307919649072,1.006114243973954,-0.7879890342919875,-1.1059910932270043,1.8845645520639653,0.7980715743079134,2.3845725993422136,3.165329235738705,0.2874106305387354,-2.859279119569731,-1.0749402860316977,0.38204740966936157,-0.5136042276954242,-0.8207036925255178,3.7274184816209823,-0.034750788967320645,-0.08110286490434859,-1.4419743756458807,0.30703255150121933,-0.16180188529533446,-1.1233291482001082,-0.42430009650156464,-1.15755207675965,-0.9254825731739604,0.39415110042504686,-0.15177552297270402,-0.8944364145197703,1.8767907391605227,-0.41190251953886836,1.940970566452087,2.339018494115953,0.09183712545486422,-0.5946222792119418,-1.6256408585441822,-0.996839356416114,1.3970286203983235,0.5016139920568836,-0.6490721798697603,0.47555780916231427,-0.21981801431436132,3.84621164588469,-0.8620157939562638,-0.8757984014547411,-0.6239897009896715,0.2791735410561724,0.7445982849937636,-0.9890927126487803,3.506405685992476,-0.30190020870385226,-1.3058986903767327,-0.18504205354119385,0.07729831967462175,2.1609013891262503,1.0601833217253063,0.6481702640019673,-0.20389229957702426,-1.735396534819058,-0.6013609502092176,-0.5227356832404109,-0.6599885737462081,4.79145727774627,-2.135238685508302,-0.8913301297064233,-0.6163133076178706,2.0107406102239285,-0.01343303357927006,0.3994122062695169,-1.8799373432368043,0.8971108945003152,-0.9303841688049737,0.797227453401792,-0.6308612570407828,-0.997795148275916,0.01747984623950849,0.15629730118784124,-0.5173456996708854,-2.011283885122376,-1.0208667904668527,-0.8319522964332027,0.5648868217523013,-1.0455163127006024,-4.1027211588643375,0.02120749203570682,0.1704423945934863,-0.9995699542727419,0.0929347779075389,-1.0619064718675375;0.612820910371866,1.1279392011368898,0.9931982699807875,0.15496635521073188,-0.8485672755799456,-0.9992790203129118,0.9737513405958929,1.9020484975198926,0.03615014899597924,1.7281695111294049,-1.4975859972771808,-0.8374005337728008,-1.2717596450799284,-0.9459998334888944,0.7711594880423398,-1.3815382418192428,-0.9400565931916418,1.8019376114239272,1.1120509827548517,3.2353278461685946,4.018845095118996,0.06342371232636879,-1.9603474143995285,-0.7551870389443209,0.09755165751723638,-0.2837562104327169,-1.1190180922399797,4.821057062088192,-0.020094121154421885,-0.36914143977425695,-1.6962550592914702,-0.048144253059302144,-0.1581870030601742,-0.8473218674765555,-0.5419581347399038,-1.3663298761286242,-1.0875855812934496,0.23231280765120488,0.31349266309076995,-1.227033062926676,1.8822703588748908,-0.7022973411858473,2.175670379023046,2.428703386013275,0.6284018703794594,-0.9023268306289332,-1.6504248271004371,-1.1977312559656035,1.0612575200389749,0.16643399216756904,-1.0974676736047542,0.05346049422060162,-0.3991731488215109,4.736993604202398,-1.22644639094338,-1.0192041526084523,-0.676583858988959,-0.09549771147014496,0.44815185864917595,-1.2716051882070118,4.334872569753891,-0.4655115850478957,-1.3217616515115793,-0.5141597218589276,-0.21985632671470867,2.2029996859959873,1.160954053873553,0.8272959674837139,-0.5473425417061613,-1.5757439466151695,-0.37687626649506356,-0.827175932202195,-1.0231796592673241,6.3829346770818365,-1.8433797508293885,-1.1013946147430076,-0.9543645134352303,2.5284921244039964,-0.474323842865342,0.08039081804941972,-1.7580001102017953,0.571360882842189,-1.2657652651614306,0.6068049250071468,-0.7185934670347187,-1.081307453572279,-0.14120117894811557,0.5636720416185526,-0.8657785623579421,-1.9456430495821522,-1.1213348069276954,-0.9820014093846332,0.5084722572497462,-1.5371429922735835,-1.7452996011630475,-0.18879816797848648,-0.18888704036695358,-0.7053785618184065,-0.3240236822895213,-1.0902662507311653;-2.3630167088132623,2.17177790109994,-2.1336993770617454,-1.8227730620806,2.4287472100541265,0.5886087508056548,-2.9896914493331366,-1.0105756725248725,-0.9823219004654753,-4.555753553915295,3.404779650840503,1.5122372125240915,1.7079617844611263,1.271010579103308,-2.822553705442207,0.8645781563499071,2.94631030913666,-4.824334920746715,-1.1222970693362448,-3.870419412797114,-6.174668054393095,-0.9591751906287271,7.648239825801621,3.1311665958901855,-1.3173452514638946,1.7666710822455691,1.5017811436662747,-7.291527179187174,0.2853956219871421,-0.2095651103229379,2.939427575145629,-1.2978014946442578,0.5626766849528515,3.167749403298224,0.9310229923939772,2.402158988124384,1.9598984192038102,-1.1001588165911969,1.3928947770087703,1.598069091767666,-4.584488558999055,0.5592927816450199,-4.21758281054014,-5.721421584304293,1.014818027989275,0.9565024949712146,3.7266472337051546,2.06083033964698,-4.069703017021592,-1.7337045349126612,0.8199153680810234,-1.8261766860785116,0.3178454084068001,-8.253524528127048,1.4596857684831903,1.8899653476926979,1.4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k{143}=[0.6646756332268117;0.7133029815793748;-1.4906355175471773];
x_a{143}=[-11.85723930294846,-19.63128411827588,19.782313204370872];
std_x_a{143}=[0.7433739118254069,0.881926805681604,1.8356401003442262];
pred_a{143}=[-11.85723930294846];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.2 to 14.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{144}=[-16.05586295094068,-13.324133676701926,39.828489448785625];
std_x_f{144}=[0.4343458352284009,1.9557665003911784,1.2694139930904187];
pred_f{144}=[-16.05586295094068];
obs{144}=[-16.400092818003703];
sqrt_r{144}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{144}=[1.1891952938868138];
xi{144}=[-0.23099770853646362,1.0427846108637429,0.35869471512811124,-0.5579818121270783,0.15865536793364043,-0.1739357752492019,-0.18079014891083744,0.752349356896989,-0.18780693733545917,-0.34471354673358334,0.0774820633959088,0.1427671753123061,0.0023910561480917636,0.09889177581196407,-0.6881128863751655,-0.48892741501133585,0.17122658135177637,-0.4056566847407588,0.1794584378247155,0.42230094688321174,0.3989090541783895,-0.2763326497608354,1.1082665240062397,0.5289748750650265,-0.06140837188019432,0.032611599103020694,-0.5476033261845323,0.3079588694716602,0.04240533526472845,-0.27868200508391894,-0.07961890369676894,-0.44154177322901234,0.033603624678448796,0.42044312438034126,-0.037286512820791984,-0.058791719108779006,-0.015447112509679783,-0.21331768469470092,0.6298087800216052,-0.23002170911789221,-0.4357182215298181,0.11810091940727396,0.06711381863464716,-0.4703249376279892,0.5423502340049158,0.08208184813096153,0.23597556773319894,-0.0613299162173746,0.2773354590424866,-0.19180174657371651,-0.37229842950879544,-0.5565162350046933,0.06811630464448903,0.017416294638781693,-0.5905938443422016,0.05480125749015485,0.019092761699624816,-0.2644963866440193,-0.7450493245266365,-0.3801831306668646,0.19860240326017653,0.15539379453160507,0.07296234712671001,-0.3963680662237401,-0.35312992241316365,-0.30138085901458567,-0.0548726071001191,0.0977684887077821,-0.37947353327121647,0.3418946213872349,0.28923957318713533,-0.3533574563577595,-0.257417744371395,0.550664566457721,0.6674423030143366,0.02796908703729173,-0.5138834128586751,0.16317498419329723,-0.4495831930725771,-0.4613661584186879,0.3377633513589373,-0.5603262686071417,-0.033282123081292525,-0.279322617480549,0.4881760006443603,0.07921090151479682,0.3190643049013122,0.3208894275374625,-0.26425513482643126,0.11772219552431018,-0.1347601523910562,0.03336037185248486,-0.10297353691715472,0.20596625238807853,2.3705841878028853,-0.17382293180320119,-0.23295935712264892,0.30129008519626055,-0.46567020918386604,-0.19601544650639724;0.11506135398334649,1.0420273076623818,2.8555465085407175,-2.1080894722591896,0.3971651799714966,1.2192655565954347,0.3935185085832824,1.2520655767921536,0.1790653328470153,-0.9612715367413447,0.4210640950905802,1.640259062459707,1.6844940404714972,2.0254225643249395,-4.9216269993549275,-0.3741814238553065,-0.07446527820259696,-1.3163134629164688,-0.5590027763478407,-2.098219319416735,-0.26751105005866016,-0.7815346676505097,3.4563083640545145,1.8897154081721883,1.4031744532800658,-2.0310847955094893,-3.9973357799627074,-2.9476625072136535,0.08275528758295181,-0.4730473811569702,0.5802861421137582,-1.1364872641216905,0.07815382619368627,1.2562152552895576,0.21037502928709273,0.5020486576379763,0.6201161809764901,-0.5765381870595441,1.8150923189013586,-0.09595332465059059,-2.632630924577338,2.360159172512052,0.24199465144540255,-3.006002796513659,0.5838052708367254,2.1579274950758816,1.6734858780000863,0.4383092312851353,4.485409897857908,0.8828781647083321,-0.39214716231593094,-1.6407495447524703,1.5049529787191833,-2.9681763285209186,-3.614063725801131,1.0174976165473293,0.21743108981801207,0.4723334397036414,-6.723461303408833,-1.8121828618616416,-1.2295969781145004,1.9713745858517733,0.3175234546693435,-1.3182311005712428,-0.9894058237154582,-0.9796093942974213,-0.7936268091840919,-0.3590715905245272,-0.9771309710218343,1.4482130044679629,0.5753966575000309,-1.2123721368378018,0.04951348138920153,-2.8975782152038647,3.089163300021852,1.174523569377273,-2.728246925848712,-1.5636457848516319,-0.6463611756206458,-1.4911198393829412,1.6186469794208822,-1.9916932480105007,1.4604780181970103,-0.6347589294117562,3.642188347207556,0.7833287730312612,3.0839871284277915,-0.293815530962954,-0.1205046287817364,0.24667725273560492,-0.8411844125287331,0.881249412999189,-0.2481961789549807,3.7562946373903685,6.0717752570768955,-0.09572684749474014,0.5122585156248256,0.273743079144376,-0.9643101585648157,-2.2257897977401075;0.6797555658320178,-1.467936196578556,1.5424142804627579,-0.4333623207217059,0.002224277907956207,1.4349437153075684,0.7685380876855632,-0.5977244900564642,0.6334819118056316,0.00753794654897888,0.2006569272536325,1.060820033413549,1.4022618136589458,1.4598072114616727,-2.7113224032440186,0.8635018546838609,-0.43311190961302515,-0.1429624552085329,-0.8435691642719618,-2.848879986861462,-1.1654049445118417,0.04542637084776402,0.282693934328357,0.39330540577513773,1.3466571490139785,-1.823343173919639,-2.1774135900037166,-3.447361725676359,0.02141298651915946,0.2988977768015104,0.7020806742436747,0.12003020725161662,0.024724676844485316,0.12457427079860395,0.31012450384569945,0.5862337064752694,0.587035368157693,0.06009904249663833,0.1257555551988716,0.5095759972079321,-1.237415942425784,1.69569753493262,0.06970711877411162,-1.5004255070839108,-0.6914941952413045,1.6117525466002292,0.8525608402223668,0.5468230221791188,2.905432970047144,1.2193887241815986,0.5874568982352173,-0.02146626420420006,1.1259681558296535,-2.77163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k{144}=[0.15909522587197614;0.4762825698390855;0.029191407451435683];
x_a{144}=[-16.098205375854388,-13.450893979159687,39.820720296874484];
std_x_a{144}=[0.42795940335687693,1.871128217421944,1.263795299585242];
pred_a{144}=[-16.098205375854388];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.3 to 14.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{145}=[-7.799291821689186,2.1003378497977776,35.82022828697804];
std_x_f{145}=[0.9299055019489728,0.823860136377682,1.0666162448281846];
pred_f{145}=[-7.799291821689186];
obs{145}=[-7.610814703511034];
sqrt_r{145}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{145}=[1.864866266407142];
xi{145}=[0.11857639463626057,-0.7839835551926839,1.2996047937320814,-0.7016222878479468,0.07308716243782865,0.7798504526338945,0.6430692143317023,0.03841133141930708,0.4391944271376813,-0.2910263040385992,0.18491776427687956,0.7700977267756635,0.9969291285314688,1.1280159891749806,-2.198810078613219,0.4111432936604862,-0.07252298608266727,-0.41366072491438644,-0.2894939880867753,-1.5541820565256632,-0.06968178443323314,-0.18436048846289577,1.038170388153672,0.4042619533407361,0.8546599275354483,-1.2500339444385151,-2.0880198155715455,-2.0891419520913743,-0.010546734781940792,-0.07146004697399189,0.38077332586717993,-0.5587347714730768,-0.008044548106214577,0.4107416977194225,0.19484433079844798,0.33797708091361844,0.3410520552943739,0.002976304954324327,0.8882369558290248,0.11246899820428347,-1.187193799912519,1.1324721411940066,-0.06953399693508366,-0.9942038121723993,-0.1213807325352283,1.1537912735449645,0.3159530609511556,0.3144382158096155,1.6291122374471056,0.6960504148472388,0.187679639851269,-0.4345381327834321,0.6074755102109384,-1.5716928478027015,-1.4820825486873854,0.4094652669752348,0.14167434510272248,0.4893274475952687,-2.9307512494392416,-0.7574708525599743,-0.9436711982644308,0.5685644000468777,0.10547315369426968,-0.44200981951907536,-0.2613833219933479,0.040165359715220283,-0.4251707308012733,-0.13912257741594036,-0.2403414784551181,0.4971626297406422,0.03090567024712154,-0.22096321329503787,0.2273147140647902,-2.464850593034898,1.3195122628055032,0.32931027080496733,-1.13860927944574,-1.0881892489248113,0.023091457780429536,-0.4615443277212705,0.6516268869627995,-0.623081455905977,0.850270002354204,-0.26309594135562797,1.6398541222230198,0.8423185569841216,1.4730074425273152,-0.5466664595472874,0.14448641111515315,-0.02129157315296837,-0.4876065584681619,0.44378181432459485,-0.027514509961191536,2.007303498838044,2.5455942769752005,0.5112218702377564,0.5425754438842914,-0.2685761486443088,-0.08427147024222137,-1.3879065496032883;0.5621220439962684,-1.3854492264203957,0.9321337584076672,-0.008621671570672618,-0.1574255453842559,1.022684858321779,0.4406621393650201,-0.8312374373378564,0.3722994034551186,0.13926369386123882,0.0028451812937975163,0.6151156946520859,0.9039271735809553,0.9200895312604187,-0.9980190583233866,0.6586947058372714,-0.5264448156788042,0.06453746804239113,-0.8363904111161851,-2.1865875297377544,-1.2440443437196471,0.08495251758277034,-0.21960118420877595,0.03264233619049506,0.8894827221341952,-1.218093036209569,-0.4705516212673406,-2.320918787039558,-0.08596284147962052,0.29163466244653513,0.4408843165144227,0.4884669920020026,-0.08478819151916106,-0.2005445844992355,0.12095218146896469,0.336996970904055,0.333094899613529,-0.01053652997030241,-0.2942382215451671,0.3933537104489573,-0.4861622110958377,1.1221348083087683,-0.011412346921351624,-0.9517901025621656,-0.8247652587192635,1.052782337370079,0.5615599381879735,0.31242614882821673,2.1138648590542743,0.8365944397227003,0.4567269149201909,0.24028155948583496,0.7391188265259325,-1.975836519499719,-0.7195382897781288,0.4624973324224433,0.013067465157857505,0.7590430049130767,-2.0527402327713418,-0.1916185439444853,-1.2035230020567584,0.9109438949612207,-0.030593700432385518,0.0931551844663625,0.15422590183337803,-0.17243923673483863,-0.3897587142072829,-0.5413515165949707,0.2003273314344458,0.07503864049894027,-0.30692503037560925,-0.08132298142339023,0.500959653217055,-2.708152649192672,0.4377268563836356,0.6870972820201691,-0.3559687694459699,-1.2590409683417874,0.5316231894267816,0.11923742219457001,0.17154298168885296,0.04564777986190327,0.8623182341096429,0.2624465542970915,1.176889538427969,0.12321206359441872,1.1642502138813677,-0.8528637053652615,0.43596206152885575,-0.16979495069355188,-0.18121050236657643,0.3940069011428724,0.004590584114172014,1.7886820313255658,-0.4349523966459927,0.10043859411442613,0.6985281842513325,-0.45696047477153967,0.3543406855224003,-0.5719492196061988;0.19436027073106033,0.2527515726495295,-1.310833753145296,1.0682737255847528,-0.2535074487324209,-0.47956940912038704,-0.6942773860108957,-0.6694974969676366,-0.4350585141433072,0.5219438169807518,-0.31170674326634895,-0.7423845629007957,-0.8903796092836842,-1.0603320628133943,2.8154246655306636,-0.1813406424655355,-0.2953322750619165,0.6534310865007456,-0.16682586756093798,0.9322330476505627,-0.842460721156904,0.3340198411746229,-1.8174269458948373,-0.6266725238287592,-0.6837369663601294,1.114183221120527,2.993653577796991,1.7187117290460634,-0.06785844201682778,0.3053628735445031,-0.2885611090823659,1.1803577140390757,-0.07128769497234089,-0.8028076757138152,-0.23223169075063765,-0.29996907582759746,-0.3166410916911673,-0.032612861432177453,-1.6157179353516185,0.0836319553761058,1.5084527126094684,-0.9249191133902599,0.07603044342112497,0.8668769856593741,-0.41975006929571634,-1.0070962913975023,-0.12045816312308233,-0.29376010654864615,-0.9633967902409211,-0.4826024652673766,0.01675274897697676,0.8253020484382105,-0.42441343918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k{145}=[0.46376851894768656;0.3239862869493223;-0.49919313766344847];
x_a{145}=[-7.695440215708703,2.1728880442173697,35.7084440521222];
std_x_a{145}=[0.617177118744027,0.6764166358216359,0.7496727232671156];
pred_a{145}=[-7.695440215708703];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.4 to 14.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{146}=[-0.7174083469301047,3.4130067989088606,26.38959915421338];
std_x_f{146}=[0.45567824094829185,0.5248555213821186,0.4727192134992402];
pred_f{146}=[-0.7174083469301047];
obs{146}=[-0.41087539536335943];
sqrt_r{146}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{146}=[1.207954726366993];
xi{146}=[0.1757687180162949,-0.7598061445831195,0.27146288281571723,0.1905197172304648,-0.18356755719753204,0.5575916137044541,0.1835475913429454,-0.5140980843205318,0.11303068922891646,0.09202221170877944,-0.100249402784239,0.2288325145732995,0.12898461880707934,0.4461469205973095,-0.15613591084248968,0.20770164654788426,-0.38985336550469873,0.06429713135179782,0.0669550223456028,-1.2334765030242367,-0.9298111548947643,0.03008311848979761,-0.5209551197756026,-0.0754654376838454,0.328148924469011,0.07703479074425323,0.10208904145930475,-1.1046930380615514,-0.11238335562602686,0.25079724770676926,0.0834145646682326,0.17167409422083302,0.0290341242803952,-0.24467058244670803,0.07873948056986901,0.2963377675882914,0.17118326997896838,0.41269224881009003,-0.385136638380535,-0.2973998721160427,-0.06487513209030105,0.5938193843920679,0.003087715819704795,-0.4339086385872519,-0.5615036680914471,0.23698434217589787,0.29025793362303937,0.2184511354223138,1.6260533654777936,0.7416179625922144,0.18914536454094177,0.1492157734476799,0.31967786521907865,-1.0820076114637867,-0.33948780078698415,0.1562581154395316,-0.0020499659431603146,0.49884184691328126,-0.7159720295168741,0.0550553318117456,-0.7464773278740684,0.7997576361972507,-0.10802330806354876,0.039742059756432635,0.6067037649092234,-0.08774967107280296,-0.0267006801329589,0.0016243581457977552,0.271159827316912,-0.1709144996993014,-0.23849228804435663,-0.01497915276035322,0.31476150445771944,-1.1533595493508917,-0.8170415890348319,0.48914351504588083,-0.14549358839125504,-0.8267712963014431,0.2842503718551158,0.26357986922853704,0.10423522377554506,0.27662993281166776,0.4610178257702341,0.18937207945779966,0.4729219740852242,-0.08406103846880586,0.4684655992259095,-0.5528096822790871,0.26549613531809046,-0.14174681003684753,0.029123407514794808,0.15638879489815516,-0.11242678918270932,0.8058492893985866,-0.6466470775614293,0.009688642208659837,0.28862712159821896,-0.3771084065847905,0.18336776985706638,-0.16015302240324036;0.4465470438345305,-0.9016766863160557,0.07165951879313148,0.45241641270408905,-0.2543638162822246,0.5234016044713075,0.007172513873852537,-0.9055351742640414,0.05111443351151701,0.30298288466713563,-0.15859533943628978,0.10410717670812675,0.19898927398553923,0.21077555140645243,0.5483365169242722,0.35350466099873223,-0.5350602250024035,0.30984855277884016,-0.5642337913887903,-1.1213628145831094,-1.3019496860930744,0.17939258353509624,-0.9954616574700044,-0.2657514403022172,0.3085118946909162,-0.3134140393617937,0.9959522612807148,-0.8493270085604165,-0.11716771759283473,0.3271521575569114,0.15477258284028395,0.8394314185235943,-0.0996640433915843,-0.5152272549932015,-0.02665312244062701,0.12782012288804934,0.09093581299016895,0.0645917194049983,-0.9342579986472073,0.2965773927656632,0.3037871306142228,0.41738175455301096,0.007323163030072077,-0.31186166220041,-0.8033776385054159,0.2613131881146824,0.3321794032917791,0.10665697553936138,1.3400789757018408,0.4797787568353318,0.305039870549789,0.5043024116046997,0.320796296067571,-0.9111959901352149,0.31133559592688753,0.15687739698572356,-0.10926837625533681,0.4505562531681666,0.1113098004169526,0.2983210265869296,-0.6022406730590859,0.6261694783095639,-0.14410358526909262,0.36657286184830484,0.41052375938686936,-0.22764512153552152,-0.11670562739459545,-0.42730364342348537,0.349184389672732,-0.3031860025994364,-0.37424222422856923,0.03398096591371225,0.33963630271421597,-0.9622523606769815,-0.48980594119148657,0.4762076228853971,0.41050441060255904,-0.5319593186087244,0.497562866445294,0.4164790520890027,-0.25414677516854045,0.456267440989754,0.31953908795009367,0.41130247929544206,0.14999497984723797,-0.4600814666549371,0.23051407433797433,-0.5294752080969354,0.3207936165035181,-0.1972539637819941,0.11950534764774678,0.08116606278254945,-0.01438421128845535,0.5638960236792641,-2.1257489106737544,-0.2528072687896481,0.3200261983848067,-0.3271862571559625,0.3853120708944049,0.37776286051810537;0.3179641749689921,0.04981894981614232,-0.3135956050010762,0.29025716565580595,-0.05325568796573066,-0.1716691531103116,-0.2914707387889237,-0.38787330873165615,-0.1098404432362976,0.25145006171827333,-0.068626587544518,-0.2289460425412706,0.08086430867298233,-0.4095341963333716,0.9922295810257431,0.14991008189189614,-0.09655968499114209,0.29257816346844834,-0.9629711913261936,0.5713728174075605,-0.220215220878881,0.19523890981631453,-0.5099617892600747,-0.2602401518754185,-0.09413933233934202,-0.5729377921281618,1.168871408053441,0.7155579910839727,0.007263107043243622,0.03867019072206901,0.07517051202642833,0.821409972188146,-0.1966230419213666,-0.3212815051393072,-0.1798252682161987,-0.3153151159408445,-0.15503508162420943,-0.6245522482393433,-0.6508971541459623,0.8336095418177152,0.5084863823637598,-0.35769738628895453,-0.012373512221454774,0.2781658467118149,-0.16141218903933918,0.006575158034415551,-0.019130248536313843,-0.2307514887686608,-0.7025244428360047,-0.5535570257376783,0.10883231635341417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k{146}=[0.17215440432310836;0.1575922493189599;-0.0653396628830051];
x_a{146}=[-0.6591090793831806,3.4663746621505367,26.367472189162328];
std_x_a{146}=[0.3853319143953495,0.46800252899638106,0.4676240942103804];
pred_a{146}=[-0.6591090793831806];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.5 to 14.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{147}=[1.9298201270888364,3.644584707124945,20.482382313127477];
std_x_f{147}=[0.4486980456746052,0.5926757589096671,0.38672675417657537];
pred_f{147}=[1.9298201270888364];
obs{147}=[2.2681921883928755];
sqrt_r{147}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{147}=[1.202355184043676];
xi{147}=[0.31858992026602784,-0.7169058759093341,0.0798366075237038,0.13813030118391212,0.014685749778286628,0.5708469685490629,-0.07507327279695564,-0.4926155632818785,0.2069461587392556,0.5200248202075215,-0.14411963768612845,-4.3653697490109167E-4,0.2929774845215418,0.11431342593188298,0.3233059203835371,0.4994652344768056,-0.08167840262155579,0.21588441171782358,-0.515024504410077,-1.078457012526866,-1.1966715783694526,0.10223989363701746,-0.806615495185393,0.04184568319207549,0.4961239889747706,-0.19806007607102072,0.437432281617425,-0.6805567094194838,-0.10226886415778336,0.36409664787531004,0.12347926069731341,0.14545982303090965,-0.03230825714021157,-0.4069520641397171,0.07275187260163318,0.2848798240455428,0.11648907487751203,0.1114995685650102,-0.7134600369359327,0.18209599218593753,0.30795512073578934,0.47811297802229435,-0.12471763552130954,-0.2098113414071472,-0.6236034697691792,0.20457035917597177,0.2563154932109868,0.6144889183362812,1.3198411039557907,0.5306551984380856,0.21656352455698769,0.7685718421747991,0.23903619176893298,-0.8843328988563257,-0.03493497019599934,0.13489733985607022,-0.09275921362766693,0.04764489940565597,-0.47497351387343745,0.4126551014758022,-0.6143980671786129,0.26329740060741247,-0.09740859040263783,0.13227386645969808,0.5188239374527643,-0.2739866848678856,-0.3256415482734021,-0.22838568106626678,0.2942188059171149,-0.21061130991871146,-0.6359111693980264,-5.847518171024912E-4,0.3625982388009523,-0.9323021608800565,-0.5497242586664848,0.4088954951173418,0.20771154489997756,-0.45831392194411813,0.40663869293744104,0.2888522263021185,-0.12679253631497178,0.3723463509245535,0.3335326048234919,0.33658088388248975,0.18794412567689656,-0.3249836774142463,0.051636057045646,0.3773946356523121,0.1348946212292541,-0.4976745005652423,0.06078582303630542,-0.009099252689458437,-0.07298072378836373,0.4484166960631544,-1.5640031243423738,-0.15985935170885845,0.28031832269483936,-0.3206312884304354,0.12822263445919213,0.18953758086876626;0.4511677580533555,-0.9357225856626932,0.05760853653545661,0.24183955581200234,-0.0034423406702774884,0.704650242630795,-0.13729978117686858,-0.7135409625468565,0.2581304718125743,0.6865680506620575,-0.19133688497463153,-0.022791271035362826,0.37766193344560284,0.10083753755928448,0.5537208172561408,0.6506808845244119,-0.14171368681641816,0.32152660027489954,-0.7963764834430798,-1.3130020475955675,-1.6030073227230401,0.1617316240003106,-1.1314588295139263,0.0074712585097569395,0.610875972450168,-0.3356073542798277,0.740661524947011,-0.7826264776367666,-0.12651024787596743,0.469839589557814,0.16860359147191817,0.34674057506442146,-0.0703544896005126,-0.5746681091077188,0.06388378013690632,0.31923666551860874,0.13120208259278332,0.07136914109952164,-1.031080992919951,0.3597531569411303,0.4628848397724128,0.5667181684756781,-0.14382143998996932,-0.23204876578942768,-0.8405952830266359,0.26524768320644077,0.3351578876973975,0.7388371580593263,1.584130800429071,0.6133648336894919,0.29584743369460664,1.01692439841595,0.2992057069503864,-1.0495752738386877,0.11976481020563678,0.16968432429575886,-0.13554924333684149,0.05952971232208126,-0.3628268459042219,0.5611032610641868,-0.7262168596357879,0.30155890377492556,-0.13034692344474097,0.24503582138815982,0.6128482744941057,-0.3769428594997293,-0.4193558559911694,-0.385144659560289,0.3845790266255613,-0.2813352895505825,-0.8186026609497015,0.016371433156154414,0.45910132769167644,-1.109256203895289,-0.5996203428090934,0.5090923785160988,0.3841511746929194,-0.509786779128163,0.5519433344259208,0.3967894607592197,-0.23562019932637623,0.49981002763691285,0.37815435995402735,0.4641974025109685,0.16328674122563847,-0.49397502879156496,0.015133048498403134,0.46170780949395374,0.18386920277908336,-0.6197152215049591,0.10173728345538269,-0.024124334984540585,-0.06325286839261457,0.514022621136482,-2.414018814426904,-0.258150950088579,0.3575946171529636,-0.38222977113035705,0.21705812974278516,0.36044759432905193;0.35325157065706136,-0.2517912177613155,-0.19078411805617534,0.3153465014088752,-0.12022983445517355,0.09800334215236006,-0.22551277068339814,-0.5425340606775713,-0.05615508937056646,0.3045104799622571,-0.11499134783558773,-0.141562435689238,0.12823766719186125,-0.21704317797089345,0.830220906892368,0.24791127606352958,-0.23273406799646779,0.28406915156593726,-0.8445025405150268,0.06131659597114236,-0.5108021855373259,0.16487654720183897,-0.6469172132919887,-0.25758068616618957,0.0747805062485618,-0.5014217249766375,1.085912936956742,0.20370620327073397,-0.05844946566145737,0.1470875317552327,0.0849727783247971,0.767466667169419,-0.17868508168402641,-0.3958682088142531,-0.13363516468530534,-0.15945901587164357,-0.0721163775980429,-0.4069594069909215,-0.725520457223876,0.6297482755295327,0.4395084956000801,-0.07156533442196888,-0.037489573850475466,0.06434352749862526,-0.3667213512988745,0.0868030822932333,0.09636794868889353,-0.046509379933599604,0.17535743464467402,-0.17791622440410038,0.160222982165631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k{147}=[0.1682990074223569;0.22049963335421796;0.07228734231165494];
x_a{147}=[2.0161226303609316,3.7576553105735577,20.519450734931805];
std_x_a{147}=[0.40334680066783474,0.5365179768581364,0.3826427754506145];
pred_a{147}=[2.0161226303609316];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.6 to 14.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{148}=[3.8318089360378087,6.048191313444419,16.994339220301313];
std_x_f{148}=[0.5894464755062444,0.8407577059947646,0.5784084323819983];
pred_f{148}=[3.8318089360378087];
obs{148}=[4.1920164300586205];
sqrt_r{148}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{148}=[1.3487886012688695];
xi{148}=[0.3644227276549099,-0.8089587051051592,0.2462722363911114,0.21072974150342727,-0.053563846803718285,0.8894474156336836,-0.34938165572385893,-0.36088422013443777,0.49081891646155285,0.9600017419472859,-0.19115578634169994,-0.03174925022733133,0.24739968666166856,-0.07829926579018576,0.38311303935282837,0.3786586060181323,-0.10992338297062121,0.2400469199435591,-0.8635845044564143,-1.2031863309557074,-1.4798839647099427,-0.03033459218592993,-0.8081468289675184,0.046224048185003586,0.409214384098215,-0.12466685919269738,-0.4853509412036736,-0.4227488811224056,0.029950878659148028,0.31320476977504264,0.3196822651704352,0.25461097842381086,-0.1917153780645453,-0.3418968160865199,0.1796084356814438,0.18887442118694597,0.36336117622796404,0.12118963118004666,-1.027352904701198,0.6986801292999445,0.3925271169019062,0.5302928597972993,-0.17819379983436212,-0.03133455814629693,-0.8056818521579907,0.18932258773632338,0.1940166374412593,0.6350362611357223,1.4719106024107882,0.03690240863128391,0.315981544244579,0.747712299858712,-0.3864167188592167,-1.220443438723946,1.0281040824839973,-0.1715718357221423,-0.10712627481637282,0.026189229053354524,-1.0090886071054803,0.378618272391928,-0.6319074330184979,0.3399391019962579,-0.13709562300668043,-0.15625059539882802,0.7665851803095096,-0.4577027972938996,-0.1988720391647023,-0.30891990607879904,0.5301451447070313,-0.4255294495261408,-1.033352901883847,0.047743084740353936,0.5695802737863129,-0.7514438045928942,-0.03910886509434608,0.5336766478659767,0.7344357594435449,-0.580595857468853,1.1411147486611615,0.349845867477093,-0.06324126535709906,1.2210861608711179,0.2807004267791724,0.2594748765631927,0.33383294258283414,-0.5386245453170924,0.09457267091440302,0.4010249497266871,0.41024526268435224,-0.5792947937243205,0.035292005637427515,-0.19558272559263168,-0.36221571314376133,0.4875091966658145,-2.19576932979598,-0.13566147045199095,0.09083035484013946,-0.5557896178543671,0.178355914069809,0.13148331200871644;0.4989469013311876,-1.1594638528801404,0.38169176450481856,0.2889848409593263,-0.04995186571209054,1.2606453029016667,-0.476481248232985,-0.4816920704537839,0.7204473949468078,1.3245060521269991,-0.2549661077242291,-0.01839509790469407,0.35586270272482423,-0.0638903147015446,0.4781483084347258,0.5365801752579085,-0.13365193776926887,0.3324956730351589,-1.2045546616796763,-1.7657650693771787,-2.1631297259382434,-0.0394097945012124,-1.1394676546025648,0.10051611396899762,0.6044423194365489,-0.12457832025027482,-0.745433037109942,-0.6236523938940817,0.05836797160324991,0.45242922783739203,0.45624288986358597,0.3025583301521273,-0.24312633990119448,-0.4572713385228866,0.2856451208098587,0.3037218532644319,0.5368086906497469,0.22985711271242337,-1.4598388246158205,0.9250066930271599,0.5343400172266097,0.7815882847639486,-0.23596917322340616,-0.04583828513559496,-1.1434495433674634,0.2787276645854213,0.2910297953635439,0.9300262073900685,2.0478422135080985,0.10302839021342791,0.444601563613511,1.0172383972974348,-0.536749067554176,-1.7804246881766526,1.3405027824525053,-0.2289551753536525,-0.12827769513995335,0.05177958612403266,-1.4931377538606307,0.5199000819107518,-0.9125367199513645,0.5134413425893429,-0.18593422496357004,-0.23220762328417788,1.117652836682046,-0.6323093169397165,-0.2680685412053778,-0.39149449752347465,0.7555637619163091,-0.5894806180769665,-1.4845126464731209,0.08520604261787135,0.8165316435670995,-1.1067761425146623,-0.08557689218235964,0.7684287754295589,0.9714758510315598,-0.8425655042721836,1.5584041658349737,0.49024449283460925,-0.041424980732118755,1.665609367855768,0.4285555628738633,0.36010962569433946,0.5157206046807694,-0.7378860966955454,0.16507365467534818,0.594490889988478,0.582789356621948,-0.8207175159797515,0.06190670654988306,-0.25515908078816807,-0.5055336528254779,0.7165244348407738,-3.2619269748566637,-0.14254972964185342,0.1458215563247114,-0.7937558485188161,0.24922229812301033,0.15065425027794;0.46702728269902494,-0.6440888855371512,0.023110706726509278,0.35099932735611716,-0.17715000349171817,0.725516016528843,-0.4750595343429076,-0.593581280927765,0.31244077753452615,0.9635361193589702,-0.24069573731010152,-0.1746673528824978,0.19558395103832282,-0.2993310356122585,0.8548804177637699,0.3411151431458066,-0.2812114068239886,0.3351334223420537,-1.197309113971535,-0.570950557720046,-1.134057428865857,0.032899324402709595,-0.9136636261441069,-0.20447504637941805,0.24251910651953779,-0.4614735947616708,0.24522082170149062,-0.00873496561341014,-0.019732374269196384,0.237486423571017,0.2835996068583775,0.7343418730101696,-0.3229463593513806,-0.4915008494175588,0.004191929437521225,-0.08017685281111753,0.21077263689782555,-0.26936728644182395,-1.156205559136307,1.0478571978226583,0.56493142457429,0.2468786960522813,-0.1735496712580371,0.05618898889638757,-0.7570135790050969,0.13763694405878368,0.1331325884575172,0.32266320992195574,1.1755680825995505,-0.30475282878695964,0.3018234346930093,0.8411277641930788,-0.399105990863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k{148}=[0.2585939716133036;0.3684448658959471;0.22853720468152258];
x_a{148}=[3.9074222412809627,6.155925201966473,17.061163877153106];
std_x_a{148}=[0.5252928829907123,0.749570904363402,0.5270583640647059];
pred_a{148}=[3.9074222412809627];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.7 to 14.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{149}=[7.056981310436721,11.247156255279197,17.297282894534888];
std_x_f{149}=[0.7793484642112914,1.0133204814113754,1.2455629829239656];
pred_f{149}=[7.056981310436721];
obs{149}=[7.4804100439849];
sqrt_r{149}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{149}=[1.608510863929931];
xi{149}=[0.3340010342525943,-1.7921942963468558,0.46737509787015785,0.24712081607657677,0.19602197472538307,0.7219655216103043,-0.3440768086282455,-0.3543160213403178,0.40732620759747995,1.0624772298126883,-0.14932905200137814,-0.012197710276855567,1.272849938180852,0.007078059055929842,0.318675498824307,0.320907437207806,-0.01323086436116494,0.4012331904749269,-1.1376181609498452,-2.504299226700347,-1.9508760423851,-0.06506404415851019,-0.8673238146370963,0.07757531963296582,0.4787089810886771,0.016086077863950443,-0.3004598491481465,-0.5290504149333941,0.2115031872849915,0.16991364936271314,0.34826096595294587,0.7194597001350411,-0.07824812540382187,-0.06056436215015726,0.4540845971955063,0.3259967073328429,0.35318839541930913,0.26991935119845234,-1.3558429779092496,0.5654512452418521,0.8825883809361281,0.15930151821676386,-0.5290549216538443,-0.04298975997002508,-0.795292103796279,-0.012232466541128417,0.2735157366993439,0.9059935936679455,1.528309459637124,0.2863862087605904,0.6617259409865621,0.6102554708131311,-0.1413692362356631,-2.4414555353321346,0.7152428643363882,-0.18988956478495655,-0.05038587183661658,0.24592964839728904,-1.2620140074026027,0.45328827207328715,0.07953075303813328,0.4526053335094806,-0.008074304422641454,-0.25811713966040095,1.002228821823521,-0.41438983119843353,-0.15917002604266361,0.21369975437488975,0.4125797102174493,-0.09366326076360654,-1.1657420589427474,0.47185359277393335,0.6768401637761965,-1.3293491954251602,-0.07086073429593753,0.5541497676911069,0.6797872031463754,-0.34058087045164687,1.5290560944405902,0.4423725060342081,0.30081260735580706,1.1113693412342824,-0.06992557626181473,0.5447462126100504,0.26641099858751627,-0.900407069163216,0.21674578953111112,0.38519606084494384,0.46121421254928574,-0.7053576185785051,-0.5570916674980744,-0.4225763609113402,-0.3402923642454114,0.806460849104929,-2.508930368083548,-0.7014351581053138,0.22668109351099464,-1.1337047761398882,0.6317063074204663,0.2232791675759671;0.3965419007688329,-2.4000214550651595,0.6680208129477627,0.29628926270277844,0.3267726412624494,0.9095978582062241,-0.3426257926867038,-0.32651719235673404,0.5794084610383532,1.2082245082734815,-0.12279554020537553,0.07462424023085923,1.4831978185680494,0.12616921289429506,0.25802826680778956,0.4284338022631857,0.08001670928871185,0.4881090926723406,-1.3525217891312487,-3.541310080399051,-2.6629717677818956,-0.05462161410878785,-1.032896809698311,0.21765355901861483,0.6588230549570646,0.16509141421801132,-0.5226681685740839,-0.7250766210762016,0.31996603074603414,0.2541438848964024,0.4741569471170486,0.7059031908790825,-0.004850400994573789,0.022006790415241895,0.6392145964564637,0.5230419424896144,0.5067858750335699,0.4919268525699021,-1.7120073684343016,0.5637424631784178,0.9865502817897784,0.3158978423007337,-0.618728469014096,-0.031286287354827635,-0.9746024428336462,0.03814482741358027,0.38993822233804387,1.1772020255498603,1.75639312854765,0.49882204495150795,0.8137229141003317,0.6961725328915822,-0.1164591900487153,-3.4449580791385523,0.6612885400439339,-0.16777875523926689,0.02206016004152822,0.36302429308109296,-1.8178924072864255,0.5595937418705947,0.07189121937552478,0.6422159730777857,0.0512651639508217,-0.3356099173084228,1.2821602930976397,-0.4507221001227144,-0.13723642173742334,0.4242128815336734,0.5441865836852564,-0.03985029566100451,-1.510280577381124,0.6173982846057946,0.8614265334332796,-1.8175201309052245,-0.15918931459115448,0.7303001250421062,0.691735961235004,-0.4709093763853769,1.6233186991185011,0.5575002673136158,0.5206977673880377,1.2217135809013744,0.014536469671378782,0.6666697571206441,0.46725184664151875,-1.0567619513347832,0.377196179310781,0.5539986115065361,0.5904848095108353,-0.8732786986578258,-0.664008811417439,-0.4596490922522154,-0.39348640744282726,1.0592527868242012,-3.419586213670132,-0.7846295239258936,0.34086303743923985,-1.4626455845784019,0.752489007023085,0.20048706517246728;0.6410971528650222,-2.6665762550791783,0.5613310888034704,0.5066796382153598,0.14558781032150847,1.1558675233854103,-0.7806211306767814,-0.8935018995436188,0.5237568319298376,1.968248245210141,-0.38747082473662786,-0.21652874913366915,2.2363370520053714,-0.26906216630827373,0.9516647120824331,0.49314778425219075,-0.259853964976994,0.7372391488986665,-2.2121856769049195,-3.1961055996033387,-2.780085691833454,-0.13087843806308896,-1.6166437709530435,-0.16371468186741822,0.6516219335045541,-0.3665399249751893,0.03960503489655309,-0.6110254653774483,0.24969314117686636,0.19207727130002894,0.5462318143013505,1.676305312691067,-0.3326174788279488,-0.3456760023242502,0.5693901779786223,0.27304531682129607,0.4356147061395177,0.04510283296000139,-2.3533489364645988,1.325341386107329,1.7020864798361934,0.007209512427738929,-0.9448680024807459,-0.06645342405271393,-1.3746476255993123,-0.11678110230161565,0.3640449694372485,1.3257694035532737,2.67366026376914,0.11496233368693964,1.1165937694522547,1.1709697253577431,-0.3544837528037057,-3.15365109615809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k{149}=[0.37830696551418413;0.4888018555971644;0.5908378234591026];
x_a{149}=[7.22176160354212,11.460065137161102,17.554635887216424];
std_x_a{149}=[0.6249148335684476,0.8093428094167062,1.025397675278282];
pred_a{149}=[7.22176160354212];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.8 to 14.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{150}=[11.988316297514489,16.339491583088126,25.95028919030255];
std_x_f{150}=[0.48378675959437817,0.41830685052202643,1.8338560990107946];
pred_f{150}=[11.988316297514489];
obs{150}=[12.201816405123349];
sqrt_r{150}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{150}=[1.2342058384098675];
xi{150}=[0.12435736991767854,-0.9953782658393564,0.26730249939127937,-0.12562795120357428,0.2465713662114979,0.3579628130519392,0.1782567008624394,-0.36543936675303357,0.354928882789288,0.23695521826582144,0.039451368173418544,0.13931525335168615,0.8417617765109036,-0.21339108548751362,0.17443684584197072,0.6608752525394408,0.13913424389546236,0.1313059402273371,-0.39005793702439995,-1.786459480938543,-1.0854087986671246,0.6099571993157067,-0.48314234502628395,0.07572164661768532,0.42443925825819484,0.11379235048958947,-0.19802774648035992,-0.019019763214034313,0.47976893934331777,0.4106243090672397,0.5354823755541123,-0.06440241750825493,-0.2362799310044199,-0.20617981121771045,0.2080570947783329,0.2297474667695223,-0.08715000825746522,0.25288364396836904,-0.503008250595574,0.0011870435359622178,0.47780717426847374,0.21854504006230613,-0.22265173444451314,-0.31989355667804986,-0.35853027151990347,0.10120346107393452,0.06301800610457242,0.5607039629077217,0.3570199797531526,0.17870383546851265,-0.4925893324105992,-0.09024973583724005,-0.9067806582669622,-1.5834741739245324,0.004684191923857384,0.08382488775907504,-0.16399408767269996,0.20647008818703583,-1.0479332795884897,-0.2004765908570736,0.13001200608983154,0.3185838218280779,-0.13851469348694856,-0.09042782475678734,0.6161657572083694,-0.011497147738799285,-0.07442956011711033,0.20772706694323695,-0.5626991715266279,0.08281675854064297,-0.8570279972241508,0.39227746752496806,-0.20125618116551536,-0.7375246664701525,0.018704712252334943,0.36028571010174204,-0.09582740790749078,-0.15545417113042426,0.6922067601743116,0.3593453732256009,0.6809558012926828,-0.1334749323259956,0.027426976502246347,0.16920501417249056,0.28276450664764674,0.39311265063469847,0.20335238063289474,0.3045412611574392,0.21673001727351604,0.8518738504765917,-0.038597508440128436,-0.09891696651122395,0.035163540088039014,0.4091642567229261,-1.438677078530164,-0.1042113550336854,0.11193482152851253,-0.39786783524391645,0.14631663704514608,0.7850264437261156;-0.11354413909946004,0.09828788363430618,0.14068288787019156,0.058551391023772936,0.15117135815848926,-0.19276310716004375,0.299429827616823,0.5835732512273317,0.006740798540022297,-0.4861848865710101,0.276605692320242,0.2733950795295321,-1.353998602415638,0.49730360064519274,-0.5644690678168018,-0.5078208250023692,0.3170311096822509,-0.08752486998045939,0.6357334554338117,-0.6268512186719573,-0.03747918375466597,-0.39914221797062055,0.5037078001759703,0.401987710557524,-0.09959429042965695,0.49669793916887883,-0.31395134226083243,-0.09648335054990653,-0.16443259707141777,-0.1010394333039848,-0.3432573142205637,-0.5096702128266575,0.4354028484524619,0.46760101783245034,0.1452314794997953,0.25305656023824596,0.2844886945816576,0.3957401313402116,0.45177951240616565,-0.41278443506579166,-0.7925390220293664,0.2727343381361784,0.3453700262601025,0.2499862293271562,0.37349720483433657,0.17646236376348767,0.15857310162617466,-0.27957686674780646,-0.6563020494952401,0.39092447791862384,0.17453886487018977,-0.10726578244733531,0.3764792435864841,-0.4964478536868082,-0.6874379952015204,0.24189741372130413,0.4033686896132842,0.08450150933303391,-0.32799620925273487,0.10268102300885928,-0.14244504536068092,0.09299053386693856,0.32448333472399327,0.07229853166815658,-0.3866649896395362,0.331166337817141,0.29508644983208043,0.4372821512501943,0.2740062497487159,0.27772379266730596,0.24246123890325322,-0.18752336291710137,0.16941562355111017,-0.0379404144527804,-0.18214593628448839,-0.11320367252912433,-0.39292849174361777,0.007439663801143581,-1.7479523630931944,-0.2250005091865077,-0.036902462632006916,-0.32134639241020935,0.39904152470744947,-0.13838115805596374,0.3038841056768895,0.22214128008764078,0.25821037008862646,0.06286618443295566,-0.06104559508112217,-0.7507609867888991,0.2538162575685554,0.3724570432856886,0.15983261579556896,-0.10042272162365151,-0.007803558333701943,0.49794013948542215,0.15333617243034325,0.2503204631057905,-0.17973170510078873,-1.2126583421637385;0.6189502955081849,-3.4906655501742776,0.6926915127976301,-0.4318462635153466,0.6135099088770133,1.4458571437597136,0.17499286369745093,-2.0461235921938012,1.1530224322501965,1.4802085740554425,-0.21504608245509615,0.11178827383912093,4.35280405247731,-1.3839054410331144,1.4201252572229315,2.781711255686922,0.045136842550476786,0.6177429527834057,-2.2382990606872433,-5.178666696892439,-3.5718487117794346,2.488445036486077,-2.338208621534296,-0.2835541009691198,1.5229535906664893,-0.30671163633844856,-0.09581566027716804,0.15588933516644587,1.7823938679815328,1.4929436547980508,2.1945860082005275,0.608376584994641,-1.3665786800090984,-1.3237078232648471,0.5082146763525408,0.43225706962891763,-0.669849634622043,0.28360977830808665,-2.334652778183937,0.6720592702275283,2.6251685655346826,0.360535127643935,-1.155052983659722,-1.3619962276194464,-1.6957038657415815,0.1318697637348336,0.02370666708727498,2.151565512932617,2.0570153853753617,0.05174753478054939,-1.8326304313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k{150}=[0.1897623808939478;-0.04701694933646628;0.6889939867125479];
x_a{150}=[12.035053222248196,16.327911692426998,26.119982782611316];
std_x_a{150}=[0.44336439219852686,0.41541848402864,1.6871742975043282];
pred_a{150}=[12.035053222248196];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.9 to 15.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{151}=[12.937694702312205,9.619409323061085,36.05678778930502];
std_x_f{151}=[0.5834942677819666,1.4028418989772924,0.4166617017107459];
pred_f{151}=[12.937694702312205];
obs{151}=[12.750288195487153];
sqrt_r{151}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{151}=[1.3407441844585475];
xi{151}=[-0.1660836189673347,0.8825579674115467,-0.018438745440219506,0.20916260144259802,-0.04290885115801224,-0.4690212348814118,0.17178290703584764,0.6877658533722233,-0.20815509500708806,-0.8483712804365222,-0.42106891848071903,0.12737856451341756,-1.7960936460112542,0.16051831866933597,-0.6057830569233076,-1.0758993744908043,0.13574919745377656,-0.04645642095404767,0.6844479993788539,0.6462833538024455,0.4663668589125951,-0.3380050288359797,0.6667534972827287,0.28444358733806574,0.11575773056172523,0.4460077121765593,-0.0648777159210141,0.7816187938862171,-0.7632783772116056,-0.3066549455305392,-0.670607183610997,-0.22552586636669858,0.33210862025179644,0.5227054336246386,-0.043450419370026694,0.1732486649246816,-0.1132428041151563,0.5289302357315773,0.8625205147546904,-0.26221986616863546,-1.2764059507963061,0.18759594352875197,0.3941755815777004,0.31669506943177694,0.4929939382475812,0.08187809103938726,0.13437203178931867,-0.5213064171904165,-0.7759067989450923,0.1540337675288903,0.6792143175502368,-0.02446676455921093,0.8784088256824809,0.888483230938311,-0.4535254778454956,0.13250392230495223,0.47181989689212855,-0.0730316472778636,0.7346439896469565,0.20535884934768944,-0.21879029369782366,0.32478445043109794,-0.12693676425552702,0.1992822434381729,-0.5927234313687091,0.4583682559741309,0.28091133363329135,0.05823606181326468,0.2812116573855796,0.09009531369598633,0.5934453768442456,-1.3069853290074587,0.35463787368211364,0.6997793448388094,-0.14970853240229154,-0.026136676384384216,-0.3335491945017246,0.17871841485576745,-1.7448834611618036,-0.5150873765368136,-0.8344962655100936,-0.16533447994471118,0.49000740081788585,-0.34077064836928095,0.04844790703926627,-0.04676587753692907,0.09167622363372097,-0.09104015598827075,-0.32843938522568195,-1.1433755067967244,0.08363236681861075,0.2973109934291944,0.09402298291479738,-0.11872201177169117,1.211350718484825,0.47162370622925387,0.1461852553817078,0.4972095246951813,-0.07700035628864832,-1.8176920208236975;-0.349707145326283,2.639922495238519,-0.32684256633585207,0.5421104869278981,-0.3991811390921196,-1.1408057653041332,0.018584352984818864,1.2109926377976024,-0.6926400012639871,-1.7582546005852517,-1.4978986938503418,-0.05494812580779218,-3.4969180689057255,-0.14720547562329678,-0.9735933632433333,-2.493408802572678,-0.08328358410080128,-0.04995120964774458,1.134226324303949,3.2489505354087402,1.679433630452973,-0.6482738840415312,1.293672603883115,0.22350306440798207,0.3049600828972796,0.5254757220330415,0.30779935261347546,2.336439822140923,-2.0164959849394863,-0.8449013957562457,-1.577997691437064,0.0823848804652556,0.4069611591575679,0.8825040790463508,-0.37013424595153843,0.06710294353537982,-0.6597898441511241,0.8268625159411069,1.9237546944115387,-0.17734901714256424,-2.6251919838865945,0.08381618339908847,0.7049220885831069,0.6355136152947871,0.9602773221880163,-0.03903013801204658,0.13449283468648687,-1.2654030538379573,-1.404402149924648,-0.16448127092537845,1.819702191123607,0.10601767731892764,2.198457696097428,3.736719162393305,-0.3480089664003305,0.015434442342476373,0.7927756600734739,-0.38037117621007255,2.883991298646084,0.49284948836426246,-0.4421502378636042,0.6620791485897151,-0.7293629024409682,0.4785414696457906,-1.3276269112173171,0.8135432695496636,0.40286522691465265,-0.472498287692531,0.5756116196683951,-0.14721495527457762,1.5696255617718489,-3.3801546825647613,0.8271461835782343,2.2523375493986286,-0.17655157291180146,-0.0525464395994959,-0.361996443511849,0.5333156714309375,-2.854540081157169,-1.2316195666026069,-2.4306447585564177,0.01484141726181143,0.7938201383785586,-0.7948135464157922,-0.3537405958346618,-0.5521385354675896,-0.15218056071401698,-0.43094076720136876,-0.9039041431347687,-2.454865499518217,-0.08733227105247998,0.35330452407000656,0.03723587162872022,-0.33195654704523214,3.842625347638048,0.6634663630903255,0.1602646526479301,1.1689222880596901,-0.024968116395637452,-3.68994058103336;-0.05649715205238692,-0.43507664578817185,0.24186463897996902,-0.024155270376198246,0.25844135216016895,-0.004355152826896358,0.35341450412766306,0.43283877064915544,0.15505049521871683,-0.2599594867428152,0.41482157965798905,0.32561186698758604,-0.7121373700804057,0.48628728201332905,-0.43595416256471253,-0.09929631235534231,0.37247985619013946,-0.05835412670314355,0.4990999530858815,-1.6206833567507033,-0.5098567060412478,-0.19378480703980472,0.3113997862672022,0.4307131157126278,-0.029172597846127246,0.5126875063137888,-0.4146620346354055,-0.3591457525997086,0.1341675878725468,0.0714463139885737,-0.061633106943673965,-0.5648394880728773,0.36690320157321565,0.3658838166725644,0.2329671653948111,0.3121810687268791,0.3267626999176514,0.42392788666237635,0.19274851174630214,-0.41581696516927735,-0.39138353629577693,0.3381065367418685,0.2427626867106767,0.12239031955405011,0.21975903171166067,0.21154816578005153,0.16838954065287481,-0.03365769682905295,-0.43300165723524486,0.47023195670069384,-0.12101787211327775,-0.15350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k{151}=[0.25414556214999007;0.5784318522923162;0.0325357186089032];
x_a{151}=[12.868215544332873,9.461275701896447,36.04789306647737];
std_x_a{151}=[0.5279014554064838,1.2920697815000357,0.41395432456424075];
pred_a{151}=[12.868215544332873];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.0 to 15.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{152}=[7.364017587186943,1.6134214129264701,32.10802071462429];
std_x_f{152}=[0.6128674633348511,0.3557595678361668,0.9325892663481572];
pred_f{152}=[7.364017587186943];
obs{152}=[7.203953415755171];
sqrt_r{152}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{152}=[1.3756712527684951];
xi{152}=[-0.08004867423018425,1.052440279932643,0.06881327862246955,0.7382366548234263,-0.7908897803420523,-0.41363665679033534,-0.07681893951416541,0.3198985862293302,-0.4414062496982485,-0.5769663069155415,-0.636544977036241,-0.18217831638617277,-1.2189474340987196,-0.09647208127011986,-0.2589281012333364,-0.6608844738892463,-0.013357538256151713,-0.02699878404394962,-0.251023954294296,1.589326711505949,1.0275566083455203,0.0023214096334793766,0.36216123609451767,-0.283320195785695,0.15269915826242197,-0.7683994337581366,-0.24484353114479163,0.7232051655713381,-0.7453964802879796,-0.03658163432260331,-0.9563114663223713,-0.07315428568864935,-0.0013986312954763491,0.08664661307122579,0.6570453186958645,0.1359187934980497,-0.2661984591722115,0.1992119477353107,0.5826266115147147,0.11399942942402141,-1.0090045385740254,-0.028706858071835484,0.18399796398694157,0.11330281577634338,0.31948414457220586,-0.03865337391432622,0.0524806194290619,-0.49466319959953964,-0.49760907754849537,-0.2419270148214121,0.5022039029738661,0.7496527744126666,0.7898885335975834,1.8289984662848298,-0.08366241222423465,0.15645730734830288,0.9224945475729065,-0.2918640877262053,1.5640125267795177,0.1932510484251866,-0.12976899963650101,0.2290755260567101,-0.3217814431720454,0.33386618688591785,-0.9958239623162806,0.2486951052968296,0.13344810890921543,-0.9411506489583914,0.15241075480699973,-0.44934683671963604,0.7115192801236496,-1.3955245484251382,-0.0210371190208134,0.5577436061928651,0.00251559689471037,0.7388461468261411,0.20884449968194918,0.3047479218508329,-0.6124775976785086,-0.3841807600663838,-0.9531097054002196,0.6699890268902298,0.12304716971119856,-0.2196444251812295,-0.3050408134198932,-0.09288616294472707,-0.13016373499327827,-0.2008457243887598,-0.4001942027464418,-0.7829511309833022,-0.8669318405637378,0.15314159718945763,-0.1708499762880109,-0.11679451445921529,1.7081590632604957,0.18478035028893203,0.07202774224196329,0.5793173441235444,0.13076372416178028,-1.1539701098938169;0.07835400346969679,0.4948332644947979,-0.163427543161355,0.053832776199606025,-0.3298304634922371,-0.060781281481295135,-0.25011637536299913,-0.25755317438870273,-0.17225360614223773,0.07208190174729778,-0.4588181599363135,-0.23970017945500488,0.07056441186595053,-0.36607584006107907,0.3247605004352174,-0.10270888056592309,-0.2598536645406033,0.09416067503543069,-0.32703248060147794,1.5081353062311922,0.5165659017742263,0.17541591308592164,-0.15197961883603495,-0.31248773843520294,0.10563280148473453,-0.4696152111569878,0.36484618508773314,0.48551987038999034,-0.29431944361186346,-0.05182072681977323,-0.20240880310068388,0.5053438032656898,-0.23151670901280275,-0.2000360465804114,-0.2207096930669663,-0.20000032226413667,-0.2784091723171902,-0.26658691724915196,-0.029804266471983976,0.40345166574822056,-0.023219436779305047,-0.22397967231397464,-0.10629401806605876,-0.008505475081926006,-0.08271127094377362,-0.13089209596497398,-0.07536439033760045,-0.06928585504555751,0.23675951791711292,-0.37068100818943317,0.25928558875776875,0.15571574336085736,0.1576691782390014,1.3149901342112882,0.5781574253375301,-0.1659544543053182,-0.32263869083761665,-0.14174527830197658,0.8899408459258948,0.08220003391763098,0.08719936418817786,-0.004089611142453098,-0.32043453607415895,0.09351835643982698,-0.1705782245945735,-0.13705499995981163,-0.13126265234545098,-0.5922817625738723,0.016803726267649477,-0.2784026680326106,0.20672430427609445,-0.6465866395468202,0.06378108353674516,0.598057614506684,0.1924579059849394,0.024538196956428004,0.39255306285237124,0.16564448280349575,0.696501290673254,-0.03765048579781949,-0.5346670450831037,0.3763022706863923,-0.2076391624511944,0.019316694907946186,-0.3357060164704839,-0.2982383001349296,-0.23109135511021006,-0.13601099097170066,-0.10832264488140386,-0.00640960395502721,-0.3418828979354931,-0.20895256512755744,-0.0963469169468989,-2.662693903543456E-4,0.6932852670679908,-0.28755962555375447,-0.08091431735206744,0.056975337650276625,0.19694262999810275,0.0026482189325978123;-0.21443289281634392,1.4469161263108745,0.2618862027372373,1.2538662695762923,-1.0967873330081659,-0.682770972735387,0.08433593172799903,0.7870776049178545,-0.6284774817544374,-1.0955406074248302,-0.7088747083561984,-0.11963634568377657,-2.2682942710984157,0.15597927349298857,-0.7684745087207858,-1.0844883658377782,0.2129556308173406,-0.14302807875281687,-0.13637062839561764,1.54607474253325,1.3750240917829046,-0.1681005547424057,0.774523989656366,-0.21148629077464776,0.16589875614141647,-0.913483705708213,-0.7734317250596874,0.8658332396037594,-1.046551748139919,-0.024616877937027937,-1.5198504337288057,-0.6007125975123273,0.20969574103903454,0.3278905599797639,1.316780740875032,0.42578991896262863,-0.22688426623259517,0.592135449665065,1.0687860566277507,-0.1658833244577771,-1.786681096338686,0.1552238406279116,0.4198859436246636,0.20415101997986085,0.6370857292021341,0.042482827400277756,0.1585324784761184,-0.8390880125345461,-1.1270896459583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k{152}=[0.2730821422723405;0.09773313488333144;0.40036100626160825];
x_a{152}=[7.276720015699473,1.5821785595557678,31.98003525473997];
std_x_a{152}=[0.5381565651076722,0.34550693973112756,0.8174606580377426];
pred_a{152}=[7.276720015699473];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.1 to 15.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{153}=[3.285872399399175,1.0458843235561903,24.9333662444737];
std_x_f{153}=[0.25000230463087164,0.3808519779680988,0.614736614417558];
pred_f{153}=[3.285872399399175];
obs{153}=[3.295578112964317];
sqrt_r{153}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{153}=[1.0625011649581844];
xi{153}=[-0.0011185286263644123,0.28171596027444545,-0.15734281611108214,0.0022397060377503664,-0.10698050892584376,0.028195080644622283,-0.09315597143751253,-0.24482534949845958,-0.08225201647671598,0.10637927347657872,-0.2514312697307832,-0.09164770581048076,0.191209752308803,-0.2587960302938477,0.27511391922482265,-0.07939455589916333,-0.11646522958239647,-0.004264474689936737,-0.8618989815000728,0.9310596786371925,0.3027603437694575,0.024194914097492415,-0.10361403360444177,-0.10274962416700717,0.03504147461207907,-0.29157609155205444,0.26251799985674973,0.26597246120809315,-0.11298932944618079,-0.013025253433346151,-0.07781944942361507,0.43027081967437164,-0.11509205137215872,-0.13578371797612876,-0.2923766605465823,-0.10803477799538763,-0.22650173944166818,-0.16976060009519012,-0.04433286842907691,0.3411029906868901,0.10648799589355562,-0.09083131568267167,-0.03846897385016801,-0.020914152458314295,-0.08957185381201915,-0.08798335245523692,-0.04283439427748492,0.004766809183996745,0.2018776564490885,-0.19824862509890906,0.12434790201789259,0.0838788903958978,0.04351216304074823,0.7500362749991711,0.3823832654947492,-0.11306381084288653,-0.2773518249967988,-0.1838799568074747,0.3836633142868333,0.04583228422951802,0.07720719612923244,0.21572945195247595,-0.3981529466356464,0.02988940480093305,0.07343157088188734,-0.10302769296395153,-0.08946195546276847,-0.398395730748744,0.023542510373317782,-0.1446847941466447,0.14438631869499208,-0.5177065243205008,0.10659075021604059,0.3738636839464258,0.14708029587878846,0.15711196312780817,0.21651518526221514,0.06490319830462665,0.5577546353994207,0.01767948649810913,-0.33100784041454157,0.2495756452598905,-0.1800480252745138,0.04986382135098122,-0.39090304368627526,-0.1927828472974693,-0.1396848328864002,-0.0715294732392282,0.008224486272421672,0.09941742506458251,-0.2106488507692479,-0.07620342885443288,-0.00429280825141376,0.05317382446728702,0.28934649568663406,-0.4125899526699337,0.011999851141917262,-0.01728426753446799,0.31306345346395537,0.07987132682894416;0.26297736299684527,-0.19486759107812512,-0.14235309690318676,-0.4559615762964494,0.056983683209136604,0.18591513355806866,-0.31349310681445464,-0.4239972466342775,0.10251062033346137,0.47650022412883075,-0.14896590818584132,-0.2154270767783555,0.8750153864569186,-0.3151646004230786,0.5802358936373402,0.3854640335849562,-0.3579926969070524,0.26972398696417055,0.13599276173134012,0.5184666521281525,-0.15958238909668565,0.378385982801116,-0.44197287853074596,-0.29540050866008116,0.11442593817303459,-0.039579164933330135,0.6701953328583197,0.13157850872663146,0.1053970551007164,-0.01880088833137039,0.3984445103481433,0.5968293459117622,-0.31549922589460044,-0.2729322931155812,-0.5163265510992137,-0.3621210140308998,-0.05785812031779891,-0.47182791551306325,-0.45596580354375127,0.3493137232665986,0.6109272149560232,-0.3112737229432593,-0.2974819165365832,-0.04481500763242341,-0.25561241236973753,-0.08898049995115487,-0.10713264401401978,0.2689301700430058,0.6783940021577162,-0.3072474402394201,0.016510043701803756,-0.37354571748256626,-0.32855391320951455,0.11134106539724198,0.8523242638295867,-0.2957549867480761,-1.0190842675017482,0.16326393553224827,0.1439354964034909,-0.003936707413452645,0.22133571546571718,-0.6493435852842029,0.04020992884989738,-0.05921445010089499,0.3384677522368311,-0.3207934674194125,-0.22824940924285386,-0.05879534974857359,-0.0869534833495712,-0.03464184005231519,-0.33933443153427545,0.16513545036760746,0.03410141803180888,0.3682140490630039,0.25356638659357267,-0.9883803508964544,0.4272466798604311,0.07844393497525459,1.2978078764354262,0.22310044249486394,0.0032432968214655133,-0.07433725896223076,-0.2576165623941732,0.1796886101534272,-0.009119867717853447,-0.2729268760496839,-0.1776641827075881,-0.0020241890178671618,0.09388778900019767,0.4852159678278627,0.1871762638491794,-0.4492702707019155,-0.03628323905787423,0.06387130240301642,-0.34148967659386087,-0.20859875558058283,-0.21691264367291185,-0.2710317781454322,-0.18427403728912461,0.7760694022833439;-0.39026834430915613,0.9125808095173866,-0.13835793808847896,0.6782717002021528,-0.29856763435702405,-0.20338900912188507,0.27215639374275113,0.09973078479365327,-0.3243896483422404,-0.46944886428076416,-0.3256825064618276,0.13555560531048627,-0.9001546668384925,-0.08724490624639714,-0.23447907346064767,-0.7726573746005805,0.2837877386131886,-0.4013270235742503,-2.35785182949844,1.2998273769682207,0.8764156779365457,-0.5144290282466102,0.43046025544900957,0.2370633328840377,-0.08749949186677952,-0.5748804435560402,-0.39704936513917843,0.4096693414085806,-0.4089416746751624,0.010978796226524423,-0.7799345831727784,0.09426895106064492,0.23230312878746062,0.122325667225752,0.11477862216400325,0.31648045501628985,-0.395814161231101,0.3331268167667041,0.5661423749781846,0.26028881207341215,-0.6710845428019248,0.2728455341741416,0.36440054620033635,0.03469852244091598,0.18865551327955643,-0.048612509317472075,0.07874357300327617,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k{153}=[0.058824561345910784;0.03649215180152706;0.0781596175699165];
x_a{153}=[3.2777011495622133,1.0408152421616825,24.92250918497827];
std_x_a{153}=[0.24450779724414368,0.3764579041912617,0.6166392333781286];
pred_a{153}=[3.2777011495622133];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.2 to 15.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{154}=[2.3159845234592074,2.38025511296215,19.46872373136944];
std_x_f{154}=[0.3283957039992624,0.5341546768820736,0.4253328479394635];
pred_f{154}=[2.3159845234592074];
obs{154}=[2.3908594807079755];
sqrt_r{154}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{154}=[1.1081564992937754];
xi{154}=[0.17596399623737424,-0.08375189899553526,-0.17064138394862782,-0.3186011787283176,0.04902340021724072,0.061904726972154656,-0.2602972490413351,-0.3762885594850718,0.11033117912686485,0.3907776661083493,-0.21921264081614789,-0.31481426597250417,0.7334759580740213,-0.2526832164595474,0.5291876999827498,0.29413728455599,-0.30489759751454937,0.22585817163354927,-0.12121802292320938,0.6088824146355694,-0.030981647401323364,0.3406985868803698,-0.37124850214867244,-0.22933013576763095,0.10741581699983582,-0.117824749935036,0.5481825947845684,0.18646122163374912,0.06722042284634533,-0.05398665542051839,0.31257416308562114,0.6198082828141493,-0.11757113808801156,-0.24261419669388218,-0.47571891732386407,-0.2266252086487892,-0.07973928532296837,-0.4253786775782129,-0.32632731063070564,0.36763836140933925,0.42417961591113995,-0.28657832011432527,-0.24025581012400465,-0.029648691637487623,-0.17592577719072855,-0.08158818102953802,-0.10746497375101383,0.2191043028692028,0.5893586602450882,-0.3633256515944161,0.06813759870316849,-0.2981218596387758,-0.26764206571180615,0.26923788390447534,0.7801048729347655,-0.27853914115013456,-0.854411821475632,-0.048184207844981675,0.16512391645720292,0.033351689055790334,0.20395583520520777,-0.4461148315123964,-0.0676672600326258,-0.033335961699116456,0.2880490289369875,-0.2876521634297351,-0.18546839529588866,-0.168937048970895,0.0038443064249609193,-0.049782479994699536,-0.2220624131990152,0.012212899128531074,0.024863685510105427,0.3809092856968741,0.23937993928492718,-0.674062992885903,0.4246792462663822,0.07368503162370876,1.1726785913275837,0.199325259672952,-0.09775916122440664,0.002347520310259199,-0.1818417285543208,0.161022831949984,-0.12508224332100726,-0.13200948822063108,-0.18971863881791196,-0.06827170321952236,-0.08277000323150219,0.34407051255589494,0.06461546436719967,-0.40617026221582275,0.029715406521748644,0.04859261622093536,-0.18608940983182176,-0.2687255654500085,-0.19253621653184982,-0.32265006165004806,-0.12384020970732523,0.7118992300208489;0.36198773367693926,-0.35374886543183814,-0.19376995033374378,-0.6226725316359061,0.1394519295016039,0.1796982342301594,-0.43334082002674856,-0.5491811485744587,0.21706143787270937,0.6744478028110286,-0.2062848987872421,-0.4177028717455704,1.2661115587840066,-0.35758290297436,0.7962785245892161,0.6061892278679486,-0.48658886810657376,0.4162943429118533,0.36119819496294614,0.46176154771216815,-0.27570758613143953,0.5936330299059458,-0.613457814345687,-0.38790835303547566,0.17215213577237343,-0.01240795902949765,0.8895728455013314,0.14409865385661513,0.1918323455106936,-0.060116615095443304,0.6276064308785898,0.8042259198178812,-0.2890620305945708,-0.3636577075967269,-0.6877355600673434,-0.4321318439899957,-0.01987884126933892,-0.6631192642156238,-0.6108170338092516,0.42736225087599156,0.8116283292493218,-0.45396634398018265,-0.4259997533402837,-0.053019615927858865,-0.30786511985168774,-0.10121299648166282,-0.1548930638221111,0.40018158121221514,0.965360870527423,-0.47829393324626657,0.014953923671384928,-0.5814334336309281,-0.5103596746239214,-0.04147923627563621,1.1785014746027023,-0.42583481850845617,-1.3944248571799993,0.1513911995009387,0.07394605167788049,0.006097752571541992,0.32018283136270753,-0.9650577084022665,0.14145601445310518,-0.08995412458527596,0.489733926769079,-0.4567095392032474,-0.2992834716564903,-0.033220085513531394,-0.07152638628830443,-0.00879958292008487,-0.5174807686782223,0.36477592437404915,5.772603931943898E-4,0.44913160157044674,0.3425300799784212,-1.3794786412903501,0.6143542069616243,0.09648266745660683,1.7948864579169754,0.3375915331402952,0.05168953481738825,-0.16916938303530404,-0.27904368649260736,0.2535304565071592,0.05179363226470324,-0.23788018959661583,-0.24995929842118292,-0.034058164230370114,-0.014445674090996174,0.6438673710341485,0.2941998140366784,-0.6738992851555192,0.002979493485891549,0.0685588603778493,-0.5538186850244049,-0.22806627434601046,-0.350654647202318,-0.4937509319290079,-0.3921861974022147,1.2127520421763966;-0.28202839638632327,0.6182659777544011,-0.19024178031509464,0.422173531906644,-0.16747020550816316,-0.2635413960074189,0.11227952141289066,-0.02651797634682751,-0.13398065713901275,-0.213954622165204,-0.3664075682199872,-0.17610126813099214,-0.37518868738247235,-0.07959110903741973,0.041995703422539776,-0.445038777145335,0.10288416361087016,-0.19049015665848046,-1.7720438075408644,1.1808739007621725,0.6363973217852923,-0.20426089563508398,0.18726241778564656,0.11948659570540698,-0.011578276967828316,-0.47646313302187693,-0.13812355674213705,0.38668397225861995,-0.2621092270172163,-0.0689347194611365,-0.4371895121167988,0.37818176014329197,0.3302270786233805,0.011477761521508256,-0.08325193242107787,0.2478398198872256,-0.28803336858820217,0.07365939008613864,0.338244277698589,0.34404904326826724,-0.4406838860975988,0.06360426646260109,0.17185267885032118,0.01824444969043526,0.13366258521024577,-0.05750479608949277,-0.0010022605525392692,-0.19930874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k{154}=[0.0976003834861802;0.15272662603120277;-0.013349795322396607];
x_a{154}=[2.330761551668091,2.4033784407657777,19.46670252719977];
std_x_a{154}=[0.3069828351768469,0.4926622940111083,0.42229891217681326];
pred_a{154}=[2.330761551668091];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.3 to 15.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{155}=[3.1903923873598825,4.850664046627922,15.774173555307257];
std_x_f{155}=[0.5378159128430094,0.8531125683171595,0.3797681287803926];
pred_f{155}=[3.1903923873598825];
obs{155}=[3.3133821180694536];
sqrt_r{155}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{155}=[1.289593153697591];
xi{155}=[0.185398385787793,-0.3276161827736419,-0.1970519055260409,-0.6173667588729259,0.05344997558796205,0.111480267302273,-0.3567578931910522,-0.8041160376150795,0.27508990313748205,0.8142314250493343,-0.18335401712884503,-0.4513056316925641,0.8995847575463602,-0.36814477822689495,0.738945814361208,0.48101336783466797,-0.676855698817258,0.5282166003825841,-0.1038444905862339,0.39586595727424756,-0.2644492310468407,0.5288593904785448,-0.6274458961656544,-0.3955312908203066,0.14685534312474102,-0.030415997406985085,1.136892389722195,-0.012286655013266756,0.3143021313690957,-0.09130697626524054,0.6111281961431607,0.9121271291211976,-0.23024319139181548,-0.5477492197390164,-0.5591374715210726,-0.4142152015173344,0.027777496257162415,-0.6353072760846197,-0.566266314553503,0.46221392695232266,0.7944784325571939,-0.47062539312020624,-0.5934762549325563,-0.21381004817342575,0.1984388683638003,-0.24946380395377865,-0.1649083075263178,0.36135458558433875,0.9508400198672669,-0.6332476732162338,0.13335821268592785,-0.5106932738507832,-0.6568601256041169,0.46603858625584715,1.1642658542295998,-0.42537658133384193,-1.6030059059575301,0.11732966978528214,0.07141965616996959,-0.04720142454071352,0.459956283879015,-0.4303916500194087,0.13134046471331162,-0.04728530414178911,0.3727089827461594,-0.42014785616290196,-0.04423401790126702,0.26102422713619866,-0.22131269134038423,-0.013797304577282787,-0.430262414158737,0.2962823487023467,0.0201924143015475,0.3956989314620314,0.22816211275885134,-1.360557965050869,0.2716577798463611,-0.049141079439072755,1.7614513879602218,0.3231079610766545,0.3760916784493338,-0.13236584982681476,0.2803321375837,0.24471558066658305,0.02518464194322556,-0.39403758086843954,-0.2720934550878136,-0.014440528200495795,0.02390620580226832,0.9026088360747031,-0.06991302233258256,-0.6285971260858041,0.07674535688478246,0.05991858339920331,-0.5560158314775818,-0.22733845100221517,-0.34558870092695004,-0.5107018826855203,-0.39022765130699977,1.195845012440619;0.34389532052043226,-0.6115979345734823,-0.26764630583021276,-1.0233322241694993,0.11372091820937236,0.22394559902281497,-0.570779843431179,-1.2482289030776346,0.46190066396727314,1.2981085176770257,-0.2179229518241277,-0.6694252712707325,1.456843694587155,-0.5560782080094331,1.1284737075243099,0.8318127924214691,-1.0657999996536196,0.8568950168568037,0.12694096854814418,0.36616131176942623,-0.5197530506290251,0.8503651412011166,-1.0048055324459262,-0.6332088953278641,0.23725166495562267,0.03619960265815081,1.769352757669565,-0.09086997025860466,0.5364521531937454,-0.1252322517774136,1.0291038834828417,1.3144785436920223,-0.41003321134915893,-0.8486406443789303,-0.8516348503374114,-0.6809087213879179,0.10561946188640992,-0.9973020926478608,-0.9310139220205724,0.6455109765759985,1.3144396799893094,-0.7369920726979231,-0.9544617995403892,-0.3281012807618451,0.2983788365358384,-0.3783584974331653,-0.2479943455134368,0.5925317807753396,1.4939126998273977,-0.9544545537935543,0.16151249668575307,-0.8549927081425719,-1.0666341346492643,0.48586932800051486,1.7653504341486466,-0.663424067874713,-2.5624106109103613,0.29959968327679487,0.021907804231442007,-0.09374610750247925,0.719907015194539,-0.7980725001820419,0.3396470360500343,-0.08810931579359682,0.5996414794680858,-0.6624380793224791,-0.07155468724110303,0.5311762769665895,-0.38042345951204304,0.014559872560908182,-0.7528600814269346,0.6493427029792809,0.015287039911767941,0.5422598488754256,0.3410052758279658,-2.276715813755611,0.3945287536759192,-0.0931129930338992,2.647243424949753,0.5205508025587307,0.7069357592012926,-0.2901161740888494,0.448718726443202,0.3885572951128342,0.17401125416355434,-0.6240485526053225,-0.39468364604786377,0.01623166454360181,0.09826103061426039,1.453163873450209,-0.007478783863328786,-1.002729155750861,0.11431080937451377,0.09626651504924943,-0.9856505490957836,-0.25975203072229824,-0.5498791237832261,-0.79561827103025,-0.693195151152282,1.914081434765623;-0.12432275988100727,0.2802466815138267,-0.27125908781106034,5.106839546886732E-4,-0.11524264502303083,-0.16229830916644694,-0.12602488437005377,-0.40496487279889415,0.02095000171823891,0.3001133314904294,-0.4106647124339968,-0.3896258854598518,0.2710322624207002,-0.2743287443178932,0.45654755906954847,-0.07819876507534751,-0.2623359056131527,0.12294193068580483,-1.4145456044133287,1.119394035528682,0.3288578291107811,0.12828691909620815,-0.18489230148660774,-0.13390826805925649,0.04782904468649107,-0.40686305143780466,0.5794014131223015,0.2736268483582549,-0.055824854935872636,-0.12885544712966102,0.0068988770171145575,0.8251769289868989,0.10796863085081299,-0.26308374600052,-0.3750257140201718,-0.040199008546251136,-0.22848570216333464,-0.279144171710044,-0.04734584756774218,0.5094874664810831,0.1243135435561804,-0.210335224562753,-0.17108230595406937,-0.10742536743986442,0.15667522515012244,-0.18754902816226604,-0.11035178431804482,0.032664856972090206,0.43151060408174047,-0.4688333229938113,0.22296864407769945,-0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k{155}=[0.22456164013220287;0.35488674762432204;0.08438158942272442];
x_a{155}=[3.222900861481713,4.902038923675197,15.78638898406211];
std_x_a{155}=[0.4688524741093386,0.7441799513506719,0.36794093168297765];
pred_a{155}=[3.222900861481713];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.4 to 15.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{156}=[5.939261281470478,9.861436082910577,15.071730634330097];
std_x_f{156}=[0.8222641282912971,1.23216054354091,0.9786133014581433];
pred_f{156}=[5.939261281470478];
obs{156}=[6.111087794160985];
sqrt_r{156}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{156}=[1.6761231871771947];
xi{156}=[0.022003630432963384,-0.6165503270830603,-0.20899636818716782,-1.108072843194237,-0.02920676137507261,0.16697193157037216,-1.0547992365300214,-1.1536380865885771,0.33941968359352703,1.1276596664538667,-0.12219425191293531,-0.7606831975869781,1.2883029548693123,-0.5733035276119578,1.1444677287114056,0.77013107134891,-1.0108802334360725,0.877282116888046,0.18978171716246361,0.7479203979245082,-1.1802844491596716,0.9308579966870258,-0.9259690922752393,-0.536679748593782,0.0675868396772552,-0.17874964929018944,1.6895317784289263,-0.8644481995965689,0.3359548993262642,-0.0886849055460237,0.8925790063552572,0.9369617809349373,-0.3563093164355182,-1.2573792881775505,-0.7698257712502654,0.5780661022906095,0.2243655065277803,-1.0243441808298925,-0.6644183689646432,0.5091554683344208,1.2331144553962456,-0.5941849400386152,-1.140291981787522,-0.27999493318404767,0.14681656582320457,-0.20378498783839039,-0.06738302319206557,0.5202022604354575,1.4999353427056894,-0.8996706677566761,-0.5581670310202869,-0.8111795318060588,-1.2004578914022233,0.5569481661609599,1.489232424311676,-0.07550520583988884,-2.0209877636708766,-0.0948891784087138,-0.06571735932199996,0.3287104690060465,0.6443049876504974,-1.1318094327278097,0.14758983660947678,-0.03876032244675809,0.45987162003483384,-0.5348211324128886,-0.005484143986854484,0.5260958486087226,-0.3695856606594159,0.09855757692618905,-0.4771527905124078,0.5948702554949152,0.39412145675051935,0.47069053256117854,0.1220871979211875,-1.9788040959223085,0.9471345771071649,0.09760097072882434,1.8812175535684572,-0.29537930189469996,0.7436451984382852,-0.6009232337452932,0.2693333118508825,0.5984970791773252,-0.33909591508591763,-0.8792052662589489,0.23765153084705837,-0.20335444522490942,0.9949858738205801,1.167122989064361,0.23667121215011644,-1.0205652212997638,0.3191548827336588,0.858945207650355,-1.3280280941756253,0.4126717603296157,-0.34909507362674486,-0.48239732601156504,-0.39173594210503904,2.0870482756085744;0.10717600511707381,-1.0033517646103292,-0.23772258914907773,-1.7245462526459168,0.02242057781893969,0.3285576164880464,-1.5954248085953768,-1.7328466972034011,0.5563846227476272,1.6633115519168378,-0.06995434104414144,-1.084152164716233,1.9054783107422484,-0.8157381021378605,1.6280934645106004,1.2263579221957066,-1.5248821306415863,1.3261132682850025,0.6527809638514412,0.8374205346748802,-1.8857948522843158,1.4023756051842131,-1.4067553965723718,-0.7894239383561068,0.13127098888406508,-0.1451242472029186,2.3726265662901387,-1.3632471829071573,0.5734786338534725,-0.08109774925660673,1.3926430960010698,1.2490490648288173,-0.555957598330604,-1.900339346488491,-1.1071390849812381,0.847661819964685,0.4238534800311431,-1.5377702440954586,-1.0190681505290318,0.6884978029472961,1.8654496761336201,-0.873810416207565,-1.745001249067835,-0.38441288874211565,0.23122743641985188,-0.25798006377912763,-0.06377586831308335,0.8204886754593232,2.138637929301339,-1.3039573995641955,-0.8597536439476006,-1.249834358862925,-1.8547591557048602,0.5881843994344411,2.0468919048135383,-0.0715405034272969,-3.190041732833528,0.004952306388394945,-0.15760237600753513,0.49496650615509985,0.9685188212984368,-1.825058741737406,0.3925403126259983,-0.037808809653299136,0.7102762830201339,-0.7754254459520009,0.022539837159662568,0.9429631245028869,-0.561223335077548,0.2113977821826012,-0.7683430319924298,1.1093030633547656,0.5920811203480891,0.6297851576857862,0.19635333253205367,-3.196097121582582,1.3695255033213947,0.17131765695101286,2.4773322277637533,-0.40491684560349306,1.2277756148244645,-0.9547558847880033,0.43393857182139683,0.9092939344780913,-0.34835472716600435,-1.3158446389980583,0.4171583961277676,-0.23547032678858315,1.545745003405731,1.73247762302055,0.49195853394531674,-1.5480122275358266,0.4823878261633059,1.278687270883852,-2.1218437737870675,0.7610668921603434,-0.5074956326187205,-0.6925042223196112,-0.6458811898571994,2.9310676336472046;-0.19845508267070677,-0.4092272751368409,-0.4660443657560016,-1.05046739389571,-0.20564448112696176,-0.03405518292873033,-1.1759680719920276,-1.3633256303207713,0.27424204424759147,1.359115190237576,-0.4819786627183227,-1.07089913635766,1.52823270414026,-0.8067456024303912,1.5364307939626958,0.6664867121347378,-1.152476730691589,0.9616616203228343,-0.9759331949926935,1.674952732432084,-0.9549991341392854,1.0396274946845612,-1.018647458351758,-0.645452053732658,0.012000594550617194,-0.5900844183893934,2.2892021878526467,-0.7737924785466124,0.1971711206298945,-0.24606727177414456,0.8574226631870907,1.5138416505886259,-0.30115182569666565,-1.4208368904145772,-1.0268539057085935,0.7334370688651592,0.004412673488351615,-1.183779983206854,-0.6590709724636472,0.8347510413143677,1.3687914925903346,-0.7503099583807238,-1.2225001332917156,-0.39504940869952243,0.17971279932896422,-0.37594227215698695,-0.18309328942778613,0.48125283929383933,1.9466037435283337,-1.222624504340688,-0.5359254040204942,-0.7831394357517194,-1.2120512615481367,1.3954627097828105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k{156}=[0.4033851403940496;0.6024182253759673;0.4563879221108638];
x_a{156}=[6.034553688859759,10.003746438951893,15.179543985508204];
std_x_a{156}=[0.5764482617337884,0.8689041862335845,0.7130819802200942];
pred_a{156}=[6.034553688859759];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.5 to 15.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{157}=[11.171058026442134,16.87828560355426,22.263677112418506];
std_x_f{157}=[0.7129742132476965,0.5483832643773584,1.8689007078684943];
pred_f{157}=[11.171058026442134];
obs{157}=[11.33126817184669];
sqrt_r{157}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{157}=[1.5088107355441693];
xi{157}=[0.21765149209632284,-1.0539053642210234,0.4239149583582833,0.03308864418628943,0.09572161510629051,-0.6175748111329522,-0.8761794605464264,-0.434370382966506,0.5072253917252372,0.7461361521564953,0.17244631762242513,-0.5825223825557124,0.693717959313167,-0.8187698498645037,0.4425462461751213,0.7554535612469113,-3.261102285571032,0.6101620510459149,0.5883733760709546,-0.2111088909563481,-1.1380693090965455,1.2625820103781287,0.2650935163187178,0.13231541602958607,0.5242803803539733,-0.052067934857278786,1.2332021454501536,-0.5151966518958222,0.3199974814858777,0.007671573671970577,0.5729951070130266,0.46782215716539,-0.20611540265772632,-1.2233591531331331,-0.3685129701751553,0.5724899114442401,0.47539400173188895,-0.5044418180420394,-0.7360899623918389,0.3338242794456878,0.8974248981591426,-0.5267692698833777,-0.9658566887739521,-0.01669625662552221,0.12741467156711472,-0.08137770894551366,-0.5657626054273912,0.596144045700429,0.3999927539696486,0.09212338242373441,-0.1939810917151732,-0.20768170915659923,-0.9924238322197834,0.22863415611883475,0.9198317655979427,0.48508707579795995,-1.1530005698948553,1.3106653587543828,-0.1295567573116987,-0.48562420826573316,0.36498029051661085,-0.5191640508352986,0.5959755783824061,-0.02374241181067127,-0.20742128462761045,0.08468826063389479,-0.5009917022989576,0.9417038782743248,-0.3422662744014673,0.3505334247237144,-0.21175781373038838,0.6937986381042176,-0.3205020846850797,0.17384769640781528,0.11563219195937258,-1.522085460146899,0.6516264826820635,-0.04078461164962377,0.6223365004571146,-0.20172462696855042,1.0430954723360042,-0.5950076056022127,0.31454983756508703,0.6474698611412073,-0.3627635795468116,0.00735039515846303,0.6822449273729951,-0.9331248780092256,0.778709595527264,1.0590116330203863,0.41733232299404044,-0.6591534955130705,-0.21922591380152667,-0.15867041872010113,-1.0479793862247444,0.44191824819637837,-0.49243137290249095,-0.2573603287529984,-1.101710431353986,1.1377559707308382;0.3447150306431013,-0.8178727919364697,0.4410430245041681,-0.04024030566533554,0.25695624596190214,-0.17928256344559657,-0.5310508623380059,-0.15612253590690983,0.3940640509544515,0.31506913386244406,0.4073485727353159,-0.17145185031134957,0.3102560419786329,-0.38274734860083726,0.10602198259639195,0.5340696817296049,-3.122959913116082,0.36364931187628,1.1869870445033222,-0.5864954521259342,-0.9470361389124573,0.4437173929637801,0.18862254971313774,0.18171514644837217,0.3605347138438262,0.30172268593145546,0.08224174731890344,-0.36806551446313307,0.3710479223790628,0.18617908303262354,0.4483062344673385,-0.041956750313591584,-0.09346852991622967,-0.8269160848499268,-0.04662290641368472,0.2792118842379736,0.48321523119145127,-0.22254100349478279,-0.45712538992845353,0.062345673098548104,0.4369874146691046,-0.2081809361067002,-0.637441757973491,0.12991781051016815,0.14527636086497964,0.12898010601858445,-0.21347209783556664,0.4260431022424349,0.07893057989594254,0.2569202141658451,-0.08572222089124892,-0.12110869488980924,-0.6975234318077987,-0.3502338994279093,0.016308230429157078,0.38093041697922914,-1.0020459393571386,0.8453108917405388,-0.13691955197125694,-0.21934997316357752,0.24689507956059842,-0.5151345821363833,0.7257798983683514,0.0834917504539483,0.006534153951541555,0.1643057480428105,-0.19115397326799766,0.7882202785485681,-0.14768226370751947,0.39564094156946794,-0.15837316360628861,0.8552365902912307,-0.11817167398174888,-0.003014827393474917,0.15129676705015527,-1.5080088024133396,0.23359401441313565,0.09048496805579731,-0.32871468136347914,0.029927045652947015,0.7142950873247393,-0.4215365674887046,0.282347046452216,0.3568242017705856,0.18725825083470582,0.08719290863749762,0.49350287356626765,-0.44720532999648555,0.5212576856171012,0.38666875964682745,0.577396291527382,-0.37461832027985764,-0.05642690541842299,-0.023114152364950513,-0.909520732716091,0.5874745632084952,-0.2103524109846866,0.004725685548969238,-0.8297122989839991,0.04169902768527933;0.25971373972243583,-2.507981104083882,0.8416823890961034,0.2524465540777321,-0.026598676157412626,-1.9879600229163295,-2.356967577142669,-1.3094604605377107,1.2286593029341084,2.182805396170348,-0.014828443689900439,-1.879614898480039,1.9937045235715338,-2.4041794859621106,1.4769474234997944,1.8668953188082718,-7.544136318721547,1.6381225535999206,0.170501878116049,0.31983542493970063,-2.5948847471201475,3.6986562457110637,0.6938560599735162,0.243077184053611,1.3417906867656306,-0.6776322896381792,4.140528696805102,-1.2279445187224916,0.595015078902243,-0.23647436907648256,1.3692875432011427,1.805944813708436,-0.529905401168584,-3.2108483054671098,-1.258329414118851,1.6540661994445358,0.965841102890824,-1.4436834029491052,-1.9410736122477772,1.162410969046082,2.509844746864246,-1.5764193268443734,-2.529424177455958,-0.22752126648951432,0.2751605602330258,-0.4823770538929857,-1.718853223852232,1.4762092340240969,1.3697050512249938,-0.05399521899729365,-0.5072000572121667,-0.4844716340290489,-2.4949466560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k{157}=[0.3372263489102635;0.2288278270597248;0.8641014576917099];
x_a{157}=[11.246846025674213,16.929712199481656,22.457874632344218];
std_x_a{157}=[0.5492743151655958,0.44477934674681535,1.4729327207153708];
pred_a{157}=[11.246846025674213];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.6 to 15.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{158}=[14.208731985127987,12.562850266876431,36.23226385121926];
std_x_f{158}=[0.32298422963593676,1.3680293145353724,0.7932326761892247];
pred_f{158}=[14.208731985127987];
obs{158}=[14.277987507603406];
sqrt_r{158}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{158}=[1.1044170243543274];
xi{158}=[0.09860509276894369,0.2142619791649878,0.06676711622851705,-0.13189216746294008,0.30964381691089926,0.4356844330320353,0.3190953740394331,0.37387552684883474,-0.10068463188864563,-0.46574295671813104,-0.06138218897788228,0.3908156443332782,-0.1411073594980241,0.517624942744833,-0.555551209553931,-0.26679116827724947,-0.028482784604770828,0.03878247329396167,0.4729601845736031,-0.4778848173646786,0.12186396416042022,-0.646572196025426,-0.19445329926114496,0.07014879869956303,-0.14824849389436245,0.2543281543498619,-1.16758748410758,0.13190552368576292,0.06936741727816198,0.22652217944262532,-0.2263203103806113,-0.43502653850123174,0.10197492601608893,0.2575333919871845,0.3608216835455522,-0.3040888649507476,-0.009331390901953895,0.2203564167553438,0.18166918894023354,-0.29792573802870237,-0.3651914284436888,0.29667132762060433,0.1730406189610374,0.16615382251287336,-0.0031509938459954867,0.26116055080479406,0.32859245222190836,-0.11998424520724704,0.05526181918733464,-0.3661909036725355,-0.003060077871975153,0.05829972135364869,-0.01354757202763146,-0.7904438777113079,-0.6915189104089574,-0.0733669028300099,0.08571003487705298,-0.31802321072426487,-0.12917113874900998,0.22770206185803943,-0.14550068916673098,-0.023696064815952766,0.3413613129252049,0.19583641927074247,0.2544456854708059,0.22794912286005697,0.30128339587890274,-0.13170059705884007,0.12296507642950338,-0.03348299784944864,0.17180607149502514,-0.19557553329308952,0.3710955304260821,-0.0781157942701256,0.008971172548079664,-0.074984372021488,-0.38888816741927457,0.03029192889937704,-0.6946669123643776,0.478186542644373,0.04706286667614279,0.17742183509446718,0.026476162748171106,-0.20569754381906158,0.5497077125464287,0.023982025495635995,-0.09089162135551909,0.12730742744395407,-0.19948621588236826,-0.535744204864324,0.2756725798254642,0.5612115230563237,0.2048569430688918,0.06913567894182648,0.10503234703472408,0.07383847078721928,0.04827230849370423,0.3321053805814653,0.2034611946008713,-0.8857837773698449;-0.2630933746589701,1.8186819160981837,-0.302152198225345,-0.5060902499184241,1.0227481228938426,1.4848210914412423,1.5927922244514807,1.6898291641207628,-0.8536269684885838,-1.948616288627207,-1.4906745801272816,1.2830449808987243,-0.2901613281692157,2.4171721533629142,-2.320446932465604,-1.6597220313065773,3.6845929907211605,0.3594914249581507,-0.5631267333554977,-0.8512128801734828,1.575834670033089,-2.286791309531891,-1.154827657495959,0.006322117271448491,-0.916265840760067,0.027629681418444463,-3.760789054395696,0.8649602395081359,-0.2566954967254471,0.5567107825803905,-1.5487709319855298,-1.0699455158907494,0.4192121096520811,1.4162592565118395,1.2681070037678683,-1.328471193963738,-0.7464913125651886,0.8108711546307106,0.8478633379333704,-1.055962163262322,-1.5156114685049094,1.0906040892493998,0.8557171929973446,0.37213969394404955,-0.2646421953923497,0.7234086376032796,1.1873876404819832,-0.86312008704801,1.201380088631856,-2.700621732034749,-0.21148911520615954,0.2846031044601407,-0.01916665888241731,-2.392242482832552,-1.7229398147733956,-0.6867003862877858,1.5099230707016407,-1.858751682875523,-0.5109785873749768,0.9019246042352194,-0.859743345495426,0.6337216659675793,0.5693305817932348,0.7496630144965497,0.898304764277718,0.9260437257018328,1.1564118611613594,-1.436144876089946,0.3497005979712071,-0.8563991609419084,1.1206513520774841,-2.5105770294574707,1.8703071729728453,0.06545626214067113,-0.23837780182194912,1.8208618739069689,-1.4357806043584809,-0.32437994378719104,-1.091791591297044,2.2595858175599552,0.056244897398709526,1.2106446856365078,-0.14918539218191817,-0.942496783829057,1.3474895830987634,-0.1939365623031648,-0.7451096427440014,-0.16032105455104606,-1.213142962557768,-1.8980954988942198,0.3138557139330871,3.43712721434129,0.8596323247282243,0.049566876577058494,1.6029384503554471,-0.7829129755131472,-0.25895173455783116,1.2415601079849825,1.6069450880772287,-2.4025309630299034;0.49292515817314353,-1.2172028390260792,0.4439850934275995,0.17790345960726484,-0.2060108594599157,-0.3592171193483651,-0.7494352434933873,-0.6888948753086837,0.5581684414437404,0.7137128668992645,1.2202879062169387,-0.26769789178857195,-0.05997577993747427,-1.0516067354267804,0.8571929070558895,0.8999465764348216,-3.9232624217911294,-0.24217122670635405,1.6194781154250393,-0.28036891023918287,-1.2000494433307693,0.5986501328275224,0.6261675974053063,0.1752818285481439,0.5147770648130603,0.5866153090195994,0.7569113154372857,-0.4896807461419215,0.41687540843931004,0.040778918974325506,0.901208576691289,0.004205721221829606,-0.13261131168700757,-0.7291285086530976,-0.3143130487502148,0.524276937743295,0.6786815666114165,-0.21304799006752262,-0.35624653398854633,0.30723948171696236,0.5492443798374964,-0.3083404300240318,-0.39060702240248446,0.0640898336445872,0.25405456020776995,-0.04846854285574409,-0.3250242647238082,0.5288737846482618,-0.995600421385852,1.5862097709299192,0.20874453040702434,-0.10692063498395754,0.00787876005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k{158}=[0.09454492465413813;0.33167572516803384;-0.08677438707595557];
x_a{158}=[14.217476451138737,12.593526975498667,36.22423808271643];
std_x_a{158}=[0.3189922690815411,1.374754177291088,0.7995761057379207];
pred_a{158}=[14.217476451138737];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.7 to 15.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{159}=[8.615820058045044,1.3811206361777872,34.519798377657544];
std_x_f{159}=[0.7189632669186682,0.554243364523743,0.9048209259591755];
pred_f{159}=[8.615820058045044];
obs{159}=[8.496941153219021];
sqrt_r{159}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{159}=[1.5170577681884616];
xi{159}=[-0.12169351667052375,0.8871626122698171,-0.37944869750691623,-0.3324242360278955,0.4532515986305601,0.3673284431006678,0.7452027824986498,0.8027233704635073,-0.4524878996440478,-0.9157818997516589,-0.8882288638875977,0.4799171640876452,0.12679998044073493,1.0277281706228134,-1.25789773156019,-0.7774600905505329,2.4827246502098834,0.21659081323976714,-0.6755423911256395,-0.12030843295362814,0.9223191252459539,-1.071649551684037,-0.5514243012808198,0.04109374697624624,-0.283096247600664,-0.1658280115014854,-1.813860215634791,0.5270713013716808,-0.17581625813592971,0.16662929308684937,-0.7937956728579181,-0.1336327828865862,0.19208666627040039,0.7210450537757396,0.5154049634273896,-0.5865826963396277,-0.47357410924119137,0.3419746240388246,0.46466139135628204,-0.4094850872016682,-0.695358878174205,0.5157384449584246,0.41832377263926723,0.37350485413245593,-0.16980203184514409,0.25110864343904815,0.5344967200506225,-0.4493897314264501,0.692770534350359,-1.4484984126422047,-0.059853219896043086,0.12326001677153009,-0.2614039560273618,-1.0284844991317783,-0.7010352564252393,-0.3715823761384698,1.5605725762599665,-1.143351528944918,-0.3505352886030426,0.5136270890856256,-0.1397176471884034,0.5649097745329907,-0.0016099731773451254,0.3251011537510369,0.425342217651659,0.4014352182054992,0.4918187134271328,-0.7323767697825634,0.12297712405834815,-0.752387817219466,0.6456712013037329,-1.434708654548987,1.0630580914416363,0.01962656964728282,-0.2310335134835313,1.2949769146300927,-0.5009897386071067,-0.6066375578059606,-0.20565048502794525,0.9784238892073507,0.2305989144359213,0.7369097985125492,0.17611418724519723,-0.41203486473984974,0.44183095647303006,-0.32919400202649207,-0.47545844261664705,-0.1635259258884627,-0.6029755086565629,-0.9343895647705649,-0.03624415540464554,1.6991712372053467,0.435233121088773,-0.019416595070886444,0.7495750771040477,-0.8079372383125829,-0.3205121290645483,0.5020835005806816,0.8775017339219762,-0.8813633405340253;-0.33409256173831503,0.8170186645635,-0.34973291264452855,-0.07204552850752832,0.07489418054629926,0.08613265481259891,0.4412532409458769,0.365630649259173,-0.35696497961904394,-0.4289003409771983,-0.901824277180086,0.061633892617999786,0.19244815817581817,0.5209755593214294,-0.6284252454621169,-0.5766767721075183,2.684110467273716,0.219189763296185,-1.3476546954006339,0.44654892668815394,0.8616338847975233,-0.35080527780051085,-0.3729581306825902,-0.0859183776093313,-0.24774261644303297,-0.4843777488596873,-0.6190027270380019,0.3688639665743285,-0.28047464446150827,-0.06790919328153522,-0.6058289457213142,0.24987330977031252,0.12058593336924539,0.45960493982567363,0.12024588960022031,-0.2738214780645467,-0.4819156782336028,0.11930918180511196,0.24687434081284043,-0.09094962618309754,-0.2928360996497614,0.15061584665335648,0.27004073677043405,-0.019347985966331915,-0.142179732756053,-0.02219185083654307,0.14353743966015742,-0.3300107445188105,0.7577149599793185,-1.2003557496986048,-0.09131641925082734,0.1091043726407328,-0.01780381380928464,-0.16412605618409537,0.17026412212184172,-0.29679345272990876,0.8688707387145722,-0.727902495198891,-0.09523870429842796,0.18061252438203668,-0.18974296401843138,0.5552318986734042,-0.32408511135125195,0.134887459985229,0.1095300779922177,0.1777856814434069,0.18331100261310906,-0.6916886303722781,0.020958922873147268,-0.5860654926279248,0.4485529158695496,-1.383366885733874,0.49052229730453356,0.22615767925401942,-0.17608148404618484,1.478689957541883,-0.15134441138252908,-0.37862487345315676,0.7031251983669364,0.5043468089632601,0.03584808057662392,0.5019622293341319,-0.06518978205691295,-0.1933882301116847,-0.24819182104767878,-0.20554502382792061,-0.32566161710460095,-0.3344540002447496,-0.4098258046454387,-0.2841651169877586,-0.33995591470792585,1.046776376679322,0.1958288892134965,-0.07486627036570948,0.9010453284558799,-0.7660700198986395,-0.2853764434230628,0.1613979337910898,0.7022284425222758,0.0860392338889826;0.04797616641156566,0.9091204384878395,-0.38734066819053226,-0.5328779027245503,0.7257055064769773,0.5505599174654279,0.939568246851124,1.1068377045445033,-0.5158637221958244,-1.245622997200634,-0.8038840723494474,0.7739167607939734,0.04118429835751414,1.3837054229817838,-1.6650568741675897,-0.8889760142492165,2.3574702121085522,0.18845361755013101,-0.09146201029106038,-0.5749610108607541,0.9343584419152151,-1.576052374012086,-0.6719772905145902,0.13650022982194088,-0.31018838654573955,0.085886025288616,-2.627908022878618,0.6244719602002604,-0.08530381642753326,0.33820004996989894,-0.8918622361169994,-0.44686144238895764,0.2362467318541448,0.8839366999169798,0.7968123265328941,-0.8144217367874802,-0.4481626598887303,0.500797178543813,0.6034525467473273,-0.650153921555912,-0.9865190280652385,0.7643535258538847,0.5046863515559536,0.6526357544800092,-0.19218391138723234,0.43494150433495804,0.805002760486154,-0.5292520518604533,0.6079503462118936,-1.5053087164215029,-0.04022695480034599,0.11956438884495668,-0.4475326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k{159}=[0.34082932043246245;0.22666135993023645;0.4157642664852543];
x_a{159}=[8.591994532961879,1.3652759726096693,34.49073455783343];
std_x_a{159}=[0.6059924945428854,0.4789832659215721,0.783686365832296];
pred_a{159}=[8.591994532961879];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.8 to 15.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{160}=[3.0861373480386636,-0.35049324738921916,26.46899363330822];
std_x_f{160}=[0.2905572523185346,0.33544959627587795,0.6153513297479482];
pred_f{160}=[3.0861373480386636];
obs{160}=[2.988809688442789];
sqrt_r{160}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{160}=[1.0844377165080537];
xi{160}=[-0.037493515206747485,0.4305274916441397,-0.11649045461195495,0.023231250403530357,-0.05352998614646509,-0.030253121882414913,0.09240039686097612,0.2446422354851885,-0.04756274450704279,-0.1828114452131171,-0.35972944461632084,-0.45410987767156286,0.13811140636603936,0.2067686649223428,-0.16039918763781946,-0.5682853422036103,1.2431173419408479,0.05179668491421152,-0.8835502943214069,0.24985776377657798,0.5520724792942029,-0.08619881216970127,-0.0632051242467413,-0.14479700663882467,-0.16824141463238673,-0.00991769903289752,-0.14934064075704523,0.15752636233869532,-0.1745456437319266,-0.08320816832886235,-0.1853053937587652,0.21051765470140582,0.07701740120883827,0.17234123146185887,0.09591453504656045,-0.06869952857329675,-0.29187980529974755,0.022531190321742667,-0.2540842947055961,0.007334422092744486,-0.2706471662526764,-0.01682455659915849,0.12353825745884661,-0.05926336187737791,-0.0016815559006513325,0.05422845538043353,-0.0343072693937172,-0.1486278757708006,0.5362482542779303,-0.5632897197484805,-0.0933231186928829,0.03563400030911579,0.13896355942744165,0.11810517709906021,0.28860510267963724,-0.03164999648809852,0.30925819755718376,-0.21236973304434814,-0.007926761580793418,0.025315507204856313,0.25612243995426986,0.21579047153766862,-0.34684035578760897,-0.10075197420721915,0.0651373540002651,0.030543323146700274,0.07517338178840527,-0.6373923350968758,-0.009000110582912502,-0.2079941597650925,0.016886401006577678,-0.506017027252633,0.2597949112177149,0.16005615085022873,-0.025436787584013576,0.5387804023151022,-0.005247842945766301,-0.13640088194952948,0.6158331351681623,0.20277274389094613,-0.019680974162570752,0.19439823522370148,0.16037864468008012,-0.12303616243507909,-0.10702602448070886,-0.09531216605176773,0.21771914145219862,-0.19425977932909833,-0.32256766812786575,-0.12624879229188135,-0.29229356347173274,0.43049226338129776,0.0070546469228531805,-0.02302857257771418,0.3799466525126607,-0.38440363036848435,-0.5546270152412731,0.24551249831797728,0.37891864555846144,0.17419941785345205;-0.31664439452885784,0.064604825945693,-0.04856530847155477,0.23899433940714393,-0.26804255842046754,-0.16291771041978276,-0.0982459851505394,-0.4288216569666191,-0.018455607691218845,0.3373377754733801,-0.24996012519630895,-0.143300116894243,0.13399321225928768,-0.377655191227237,0.3601941569782073,0.09247316351455598,0.4197006966651532,0.1153087940083701,-0.8644455133142753,0.6720525693280112,-0.029577947883931144,0.5433722541116962,0.05981436034700616,-0.06010436906616501,0.03676197711889839,-0.5284244341523848,0.8057551534539906,-0.030408117054000983,-0.11095829253686557,-0.178628384204625,-0.003042453809832091,0.4217483680898669,-0.019002959392196317,-0.10348807255405135,-0.3704637803620844,0.23320685278684025,-0.06893552921305202,-0.14078903562870354,0.05837552953625619,0.289060963616868,0.34359216608868487,-0.2319054920514123,-0.04408445133652433,-0.3197272336133151,-6.254826984443129E-4,-0.28042381160740737,-0.24767562456033565,0.06036073952100934,0.08818141416549685,-0.140131304945751,0.004030450308800448,0.06123473745033858,0.1890298378740439,0.7082027342138731,0.8199819994977062,-0.006383879839484574,-0.534604091813001,0.14558923398388,0.24107168431782913,-0.21408206229199522,-0.31004169983735563,0.1707360389766146,-0.25824700109024157,-0.029502662142308345,-0.2662116735777744,-0.112994437852245,-0.21324600514450875,-0.07444964716784519,-0.0432422475468654,-0.005244864821207285,0.05749297646074519,-0.39538803222140184,-0.549054841498761,0.268322844639897,0.01898429005766239,0.6136779512997703,0.291381206798262,0.13366581947674322,0.9582812129156896,-0.35368695780923753,-0.1201096005258862,-0.07538958480408142,-0.36632736525282994,0.2031732346194262,-0.7132661283529281,0.10277554703945238,-0.1310214088327491,-0.18416622943299055,0.13847222791857017,0.527008323566574,-0.26623828584747444,-0.5667161855467749,-0.09567867866177199,-0.029730699328016308,0.4164961829220362,-0.13588228922274548,0.08578860174405933,-0.4299504995296771,-0.06886042397248521,0.9048819804184423;0.3466799418067481,0.7375499483563885,-0.13595548207123187,-0.25050179000229633,0.2620482349039044,0.16146925823559144,0.306968244818016,0.9912517687818401,-0.06417903429712979,-0.8092142110610894,-0.33183162816055045,-0.695401828652713,0.08935192415468052,0.8566177582765597,-0.7665664401032828,-1.2480203628002684,1.8135507608484467,-0.04156626587324652,-0.5031187191771274,-0.3840159081303973,1.0621089527198926,-0.8882958353632056,-0.1885341368736171,-0.20371440872881408,-0.36201278622290545,0.6571910759453097,-1.3864289926827205,0.35654526104051953,-0.16830585388961694,0.09795252551596434,-0.32642696443423347,-0.14113536817509598,0.1854837152717188,0.47197374145365956,0.648157975678938,-0.4324404061063376,-0.46762574183971495,0.22893485344914666,-0.5577290514420277,-0.3596030553080247,-0.9915576534645325,0.2761982621670285,0.2942072397143036,0.31004764647894234,0.009493092963634098,0.45935409073295475,0.2632556451387664,-0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k{160}=[0.07786313148527109;0.021181494471391525;0.119693423068985];
x_a{160}=[3.0777287907069586,-0.3527806690127332,26.456067759522945];
std_x_a{160}=[0.27315653993753575,0.33115518960054513,0.6091969013539404];
pred_a{160}=[3.0777287907069586];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.9 to 16.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{161}=[1.1947960632172099,0.46146852676761174,20.265924106955243];
std_x_f{161}=[0.27368290791042965,0.43612283332983026,0.4307529823115663];
pred_f{161}=[1.1947960632172099];
obs{161}=[1.1250001369131826];
sqrt_r{161}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{161}=[1.075695055307009];
xi{161}=[-0.2801417520565891,0.14285181251344636,-0.06995339231519426,0.15763197452414146,-0.22128623222330313,-0.12830355511388403,0.07555294067277862,-0.2329585223694447,-0.020187147833256036,0.2034606052656034,-0.28452761322011466,-0.23312885409742556,0.10818940810668831,-0.21018044563530136,0.1992305001420811,-0.07575416460615281,0.6058328507119348,-0.09862346996577576,-0.8798703114988307,0.5731606296314582,0.17484674436377867,0.3759787499820766,-0.016908663501139065,-0.10225834348551732,-0.010560770287665777,-0.3778911555467388,0.5548862709267401,0.015807181052413855,-0.140198761753769,-0.16266640159127776,-0.02114584026305777,0.3855893065479792,0.011096437904692502,-0.03162912719442046,-0.2351684708495103,0.15631357880274832,-0.13007700824323898,-0.10059640671461945,0.05783922395707353,0.22757488548511007,0.16686806222295858,-0.12905155020530557,0.003697776961939736,-0.26641615208866043,0.0022257849107372163,-0.18773974835269858,-0.17857191914183423,0.014039983612176732,0.24461851172179871,-0.22423333337904805,-0.023335017362843713,0.051915573157087724,0.26605218630260197,0.5953074220604122,0.6905689072964618,-6.095773914129854E-4,-0.30418587209900905,0.04808683430863692,0.19077138098161095,-0.13702271646232456,-0.21261632564234,0.16068855290388173,-0.25837087374631096,-0.06604769544346745,-0.1808709985830892,-0.05575006279173378,-0.13311412449524096,-0.321903544375711,-0.03470059927693514,-0.013082815069495268,0.08794199100825661,-0.40846165983276383,-0.332409330764562,0.21339906839775513,0.034372028785663256,0.4693608557571758,0.1813019830591842,0.05801151182986386,0.905668708234511,-0.20950814758466219,-0.11361182789846769,0.013720562903814404,-0.2141568003206119,0.020798278255726554,-0.5410679748889832,0.04678766408373747,-0.01529940289123255,-0.2125129811234,0.02688295133605334,0.29547633468618617,-0.2654953618271475,-0.2767561724572626,-0.017933398002730083,-0.012411523964047433,0.3293610356160679,-0.21812018295420554,-0.1014842966629208,-0.22156697016082516,0.07970874194534416,0.7289595746770983;-0.43041853898113175,0.02904696671064594,-0.05548423234761607,0.29658771004669127,-0.3534241235041769,-0.21020639088168458,-0.07481505011961048,-0.5702976762121066,-0.013516053407347295,0.4714163585884904,-0.30705176366721854,-0.16028109474066526,0.1516829278275147,-0.5078851089572917,0.47940922987681,0.1719508092365336,0.31348595962306713,0.027749279617377,-1.0998196852431217,0.8777416134932481,-0.08675675811709205,0.7447497342947371,0.06086410861997493,-0.07376089925639462,0.07043475905890861,-0.6787774264843272,1.1096167944246695,-0.05736708352499359,-0.1376550629245314,-0.23505395104981036,0.02926184485282396,0.5463379088830678,-0.02904257213043071,-0.15218640498009878,-0.4831692999102245,0.317593099943814,-0.06802408130422133,-0.1858866785917918,0.15094340223855363,0.3899034023342087,0.4747800811294566,-0.2738819579667028,-0.06490968344204806,-0.4209498818660021,-2.4592035645654153E-4,-0.36605465354355904,-0.31761628357507965,0.10153963617035278,0.06957413722578187,-0.1270317790091911,0.015728070707225095,0.07830001767908779,0.286488232079089,0.9653694257380416,1.076396358490852,0.0039850970001818475,-0.7162019519153517,0.211655296236975,0.33070116630270374,-0.27372381434886967,-0.45629991930481345,0.19372722615318283,-0.29291725126153256,-0.042175916959225124,-0.3537377071388883,-0.14085654719270752,-0.283170527702966,-0.13368507055219014,-0.05372373637182093,0.03605244447369799,0.09660757059466618,-0.4878757366762326,-0.7292206920752563,0.32523993812287044,0.04984512640334171,0.6899642188781423,0.3719247725308241,0.18846221781759986,1.2177406699077193,-0.48087777647714064,-0.16389229590838783,-0.11221190226136363,-0.4822105287811286,0.22681385505372975,-0.907198684131712,0.14483602461922562,-0.18249842238350034,-0.24095366199051438,0.2201019393443524,0.6852369074793043,-0.32250316309200966,-0.7640789449690265,-0.09591603678537558,-0.026792410552302692,0.4702664981258724,-0.1594437933480039,0.14278311264306565,-0.5665577326653187,-0.11966892937802659,1.2170672997401193;0.09921339816037644,0.47440431635398994,-0.11017648611156261,-0.21137939076235313,0.14133531781912367,0.08719615854996121,0.49054042349066407,0.6634718160029287,-0.029321490521901694,-0.5283007348038176,-0.25525819306162134,-0.5052584221905647,0.005453465485235398,0.5828686692609892,-0.5527464591141467,-0.8366451763243177,1.3373744233089582,-0.4696700887326699,-0.3575824664285996,-0.15770993927665344,0.8537629122809065,-0.5675846421089474,-0.23814391238937205,-0.19298260880876938,-0.23585141132969767,0.4259151938583692,-0.8909439848734308,0.22941871940955494,-0.1677183644632585,0.030879721376873448,-0.1685332579911396,-0.022052156051920235,0.13808159563776812,0.3167989961543931,0.426642486197764,-0.2784890662339947,-0.3389741080722146,0.1284123723170616,-0.19800230512596428,-0.2023321990137994,-0.6901858090329078,0.2786010727109982,0.19551826736770295,0.13828779146921377,0.00871753360241101,0.29621995669854684,0.17766917599166376,-0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k{161}=[0.07036850725822598;0.10489082905815325;-0.015495338305458297];
x_a{161}=[1.1985546674688041,0.4670710772751066,20.265096451989926];
std_x_a{161}=[0.25702088118781447,0.4168655017075461,0.4318324902152974];
pred_a{161}=[1.1985546674688041];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.0 to 16.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{162}=[1.0777814077782197,1.43978962652215,15.625421242649818];
std_x_f{162}=[0.4506571705739215,0.7269138362373212,0.3066923407023772];
pred_f{162}=[1.0777814077782197];
obs{162}=[0.9778661141620841];
sqrt_r{162}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{162}=[1.2053086921947045];
xi{162}=[-0.4684697148121517,0.1778244064754113,-0.09631331192205128,0.2777371791026273,-0.4102789703057229,-0.1287690293792768,-0.06345018476812303,-0.5532438389308882,-0.13386948888396377,0.5190106693177416,-0.2803969789702969,0.007356137195822399,0.4274043631951814,-0.3335956924723592,0.36083330636343147,0.41576823288040443,0.3514150912919176,-0.0356113556117692,-1.218474132611256,1.019498442077752,-0.051854896117752736,0.877853950976806,0.04955317792212899,-0.16635108858556635,0.0409798067532372,-0.6702798602502831,0.9246461676953299,-0.007977927698308296,-0.15104225398862703,-0.25256765166259665,-0.0025205952116322816,0.3641527978494925,-0.04348367793440677,-0.15535051359512042,-0.5240921414429409,0.27412008618190153,-0.11279335793177148,-0.25281146314270875,0.04710634268677549,0.4442126444997829,0.4628854390825794,0.046772428195106075,-0.14207898675217256,-0.5441040725515759,-0.03522636012145486,-0.36080650085252797,-0.32792792297246376,0.13206922412681443,0.19188654117188464,-0.18234308775150987,-0.02653572322215836,0.24144374425073445,0.2572405631094634,0.9954552832780716,1.0241278733304673,-0.02607406136675161,-0.682621037365231,0.1838737681561815,0.2893799826207879,-0.3171898453388142,-0.4547790292719782,0.2076715239546132,-0.3604983887483938,0.028196213606038967,-0.46425986719377044,-0.10666618476929479,-0.4012973327306545,-0.030981762183035944,-0.05971028677545909,-0.026622704362046168,0.16021231823147342,-0.1895692240310457,-0.7449353635871122,0.07618909481618341,0.33654640592278695,0.6946461970830311,0.5156919995481177,0.36046831030682913,1.4562410238411567,-0.5882168182082794,-0.2158954129537124,-0.12872176220084985,-0.5443351777323858,0.12500715484796454,-0.9317341219036376,0.1278387603735187,-0.16189133165740333,-0.2616167786282879,-0.08856564191099936,0.5614752872139204,-0.38145164758178507,-0.6298992253389843,-0.2577751152355098,-0.06221130142686837,0.5052483159324788,-0.33160410584416633,0.0834716629034491,-0.5470848982108039,-0.08452753007155167,1.169844818712867;-0.7440420622127483,0.21397297797942816,-0.1298911311463109,0.45277972773722985,-0.6548698989372753,-0.20880812430746465,-0.15300782407251612,-0.9254718514844295,-0.2088472923904101,0.8762891147340959,-0.4122140304102302,0.07059827399002794,0.6727837089023514,-0.5872630563890319,0.6288587853235885,0.7556877316245934,0.3504150360254137,-0.0055953033655791184,-1.8845702294119928,1.6065639578640165,-0.19480344721799736,1.4551165594606688,0.10200538267304737,-0.23796733243080492,0.09714944616506815,-1.0927140350897535,1.568739779438857,-0.047590986386259804,-0.21486889598673686,-0.3987519009135896,0.015674528735454052,0.570213628256584,-0.0848953721889838,-0.2799280657779071,-0.8698632220758186,0.4689146517013356,-0.13722130560865442,-0.4086668048878679,0.0938354225451501,0.7123473369534019,0.810057397208868,0.04666018807717465,-0.246193467170998,-0.8652919155186304,-0.04944310484483472,-0.6024114078867837,-0.5313670886395718,0.23151059083052172,0.20443380724244276,-0.22985190161744096,-0.025239186548237313,0.3807162805691826,0.36783722866831603,1.600872794124319,1.6276838430144012,-0.03888381679371955,-1.1497768221779083,0.33537441713262894,0.4718022818576617,-0.5245289818806408,-0.7608206698014028,0.3098645601096899,-0.5456752619819043,0.05192958886241961,-0.7553636757403319,-0.18650264782701353,-0.6611530105064256,0.061952964450990855,-0.0972952750167757,-0.025196953757670615,0.24127925337978917,-0.2605106231977399,-1.236179628033526,0.1175905949902929,0.521154270257167,1.0882632501448342,0.848866609755043,0.5993004501257793,2.2260705086596007,-0.9785888223998835,-0.3466381155345921,-0.24718529183670812,-0.9032762960938956,0.2589551415617424,-1.49323015593115,0.22973881742569602,-0.29499640900717083,-0.3973812986435947,-0.09288495627918403,0.9772361617786962,-0.5859502191661555,-1.0879581350347443,-0.4279697157967126,-0.10124154531422125,0.7882667814229949,-0.4778938379730213,0.22950659394967765,-0.9255624473619286,-0.19904407194310303,1.8944685042397804;-0.00754494453470933,0.3692745657725638,-0.11638553776895755,-0.11747001426757464,0.033083573482842965,0.019176334088552238,0.35110363443750714,0.4184100392749244,-0.04840369215133933,-0.30941065962099934,-0.25973040192381625,-0.42465221071675785,0.054561758957790474,0.36218264880293205,-0.34782810370754724,-0.6000865617247229,1.0882986827136385,-0.3777091517146651,-0.3938593096672758,0.1278771375677259,0.6272404630858759,-0.24087601939875825,-0.1906997118822531,-0.18493501496528175,-0.1844063997173251,0.2222319061727216,-0.4344738492394846,0.15168371776391432,-0.17304332567781344,-0.03305655838647681,-0.14659487334060906,0.06684198874339664,0.07785471969155289,0.19969994556889858,0.24364091355105977,-0.1686079423325193,-0.29574665061103644,0.04705483349553674,-0.1469487103285605,-0.07896085938456565,-0.4440040364557891,0.17106752634444966,0.10992654869364138,0.021056272333581205,-0.007324492221318479,0.1524252894131184,0.06820810538261313,-0.1533483168330836,0.5689280014135178,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k{162}=[0.1703370211500467;0.27413134721486787;-0.01878981548401269];
x_a{162}=[1.062058523207496,1.414486051877155,15.627155628386788];
std_x_a{162}=[0.43075934461520815,0.6972532795163998,0.3089629757975324];
pred_a{162}=[1.062058523207496];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.1 to 16.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{163}=[1.8567083691963209,3.1688460158874223,12.310869545312212];
std_x_f{163}=[0.8421792975408785,1.4505745069915212,0.3296356726000235];
pred_f{163}=[1.8567083691963209];
obs{163}=[1.7044329998337875];
sqrt_r{163}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{163}=[1.7266058065014953];
xi{163}=[-1.3102075760007423,0.15847244369306202,-0.17265127130960556,0.2805898505916029,-0.663284784423682,-0.20284762929657751,0.005967904803596991,-3.450555447495796,-0.5139103707854997,0.7386000434444129,-0.37422022661878773,0.07100533957420896,0.8208180872896276,-0.7332594780659152,1.295752667603769,0.4592722719009208,0.4022091131365504,-0.0985257940995743,-1.6130021906168748,1.6267439813120195,0.01869163744130864,1.476885833363117,0.2972020536336739,-0.6959523880493199,-0.009272949427887589,-1.2750163640814325,1.7202453802367699,-0.9823470027203609,-0.20504590957231317,-0.6591935525257651,-0.1841976765190192,0.4889910325618141,-0.10541494671259222,-0.2911235016640381,-0.9053519850819339,2.0442205037679337,-0.19950341825166884,-0.4467143972390475,0.2706737950758886,0.49921538584426894,1.2364640516608638,0.016125720968226176,-0.41133829145030476,-0.43817989684299463,-0.005340833414902324,-0.3200099401465939,-0.4812120111295701,0.4631754538203423,0.11297496959907583,-0.28947775929988206,-0.15172808375526436,0.4913082637725714,0.18567921105151752,1.075221542163474,1.7279593056289269,0.10538242904924888,-1.169782820633671,0.7831648652816927,0.391017110322454,-0.5005998210918534,-0.7350428343375672,0.31270368648560654,-0.14642887915282854,0.4078913553802872,-1.0102080939471647,-0.24187012183584988,-0.5336256834870519,0.0824934974018201,-0.09999307374635524,0.049901652409071406,0.5375281177219491,-0.2783541998354424,-1.2864656695603267,0.05702794552850432,0.5244203754988006,0.8917229621341667,0.6524690131071305,1.1815972313236012,1.9412699212088809,-1.1222169160514437,-0.39504932535333404,-0.16733162625159625,-0.9289638086491604,-0.3483743261844616,-1.420359463725408,0.22050298712698124,-0.042561532008570824,-0.41602082917336625,-0.08055224381128001,0.8582911907807462,0.5158585655809182,-0.9495026226651736,-0.45025829733791967,-0.2151941334578189,0.6056881719271914,-0.8732493791138104,0.5441834017947347,-0.5609124329437523,0.3869402592894291,2.127283227660429;-2.26592105724713,0.24486380108603178,-0.28175129368159935,0.49429248417622285,-1.1444415313349872,-0.3425810684527475,-0.009825869360148065,-5.970920456600176,-0.8862834717866295,1.305316354587129,-0.6213952199132562,0.16573957334368128,1.4035874476306942,-1.2810040773462978,2.2574359699979976,0.8470412139565298,0.5857827443628572,-0.13238890078312915,-2.7778389122940657,2.7531778290637305,-0.02195796213656287,2.555166111542065,0.5343472249927994,-1.1840004306457779,0.007260885073628653,-2.218630645293812,2.9941442908120184,-1.712660730816553,-0.33711256826941716,-1.127565879989469,-0.3003593747071478,0.8310770344637364,-0.18295604417795674,-0.5155344128480621,-1.5762173202687846,3.511381947711267,-0.3202743995981536,-0.7718066373517223,0.4878678157460734,0.8633334907674328,2.1656987531334364,0.01788064995063321,-0.7131117479463636,-0.7473691745996156,-0.001707013664937751,-0.5634152611450678,-0.8326628590617307,0.8157527179283379,0.15336603678237992,-0.46117382764568227,-0.24351588931804136,0.8527203481130465,0.29684936301993714,1.8372405920607262,2.929859742639307,0.18361260070170227,-2.0349664702619368,1.3788201747431552,0.6845889761923978,-0.861591293724882,-1.2852600143371116,0.5320659411456545,-0.23311851811594808,0.7218715702712695,-1.7533249483843107,-0.4170320569018049,-0.9280323784776754,0.21606240445614322,-0.16289002946176012,0.10212522782189737,0.9184931855652838,-0.4590471681069266,-2.237726323628337,0.10313037265182512,0.9029565049997048,1.515109932258981,1.1370211584633756,2.041647540927234,3.2052694132933937,-1.949392124158458,-0.6754507070610676,-0.3032523496680568,-1.6126246628995307,-0.5611707221406657,-2.4609913236803713,0.39880825156874034,-0.09073915446460035,-0.6929717136366556,-0.10268004258446117,1.5195846882903128,0.9184776594448012,-1.6763202761419143,-0.7796274583853697,-0.376630815466767,1.0316359620330635,-1.4899465052285013,1.0063677864024347,-0.9862848642490198,0.6296069753463169,3.6190152099316517;-0.30204952240177896,0.2798155184371378,-0.20231889412399084,-0.04594986640648813,-0.20299048824307775,-0.10386972828457353,0.20551822813571619,0.29196110920858587,-0.2214015121691002,-0.014670359733486293,-0.3646171172719832,-0.3618756416044615,0.2883047714742428,0.042418345837990756,0.18275717600990582,-0.3442705475285237,0.9142746861395477,-0.37143740905428935,-0.6712238477114649,0.767765620673396,0.4158209771279502,0.3998815496795949,-0.11412481443942113,-0.35199667482641317,-0.19565754389089562,-0.14885943548702585,0.3807165621656079,-0.1233627970289426,-0.2559220075547568,-0.24149344051086707,-0.21764999616761926,0.1695480456758709,-0.02021803351262008,0.010525482698028554,-0.08426677721129927,0.7214459579961829,-0.34112134170287867,-0.14447284239461844,-0.09307161335451752,0.06715546818500684,0.0868073621148664,0.07664536163335356,-0.08153653482443168,-0.18595060651267126,-0.06815632536220839,-0.05212170844138342,-0.1448030976655197,-0.02862756569397895,0.4187989002007235,-0.4884341806555934,-0.2014898299341521,0.12024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k{163}=[0.42082900669363993;0.7247563544109359;0.09207273035454545];
x_a{163}=[1.7903009219975936,3.0544783782675076,12.296340330637825];
std_x_a{163}=[0.5644904721753282,0.9727832754424443,0.29668264081710877];
pred_a{163}=[1.7903009219975936];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.2 to 16.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{164}=[3.8779401975301817,7.039485805621175,10.757168332444882];
std_x_f{164}=[1.196455305438561,2.095580890198212,0.8985402279792547];
pred_f{164}=[3.8779401975301817];
obs{164}=[3.7251069979878255];
sqrt_r{164}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{164}=[2.4530438847053277];
xi{164}=[-1.4602465862077967,0.6172860630935317,0.1744651396103678,-0.060012350535011194,-0.9829185040232269,-0.4103958478262886,-0.45687917361005725,-4.803990956503467,0.1277205208556942,-1.0183719260412105,-0.5088981313434608,0.7714632523588176,0.3624590413036173,-1.7956304845439344,1.751184642195469,-1.3277624633328244,0.3994819485347274,0.3717054587164417,-1.4572555367646758,1.8544885383302465,0.8070589920500706,1.7806467685256444,1.9474135924334752,-0.9574976719452533,0.1573971301944348,-1.4032937270243129,1.7412942814204624,-1.0130249728926013,-0.3559489770406734,-0.8757397614180267,-0.2924097391908642,0.5322292819392627,0.08801152696010561,-0.18181656975529314,0.2200935049778905,2.471177391991177,-0.7521420898999489,-0.09440169641991458,1.7350386996143619,-1.5680820552109527,2.1734321632542994,-0.46635447282076825,0.2902068418697783,0.04950040263952671,0.17458360518447735,-0.38383235837482843,-0.6349722480638169,-0.8334366485338789,-0.1814591986617975,-0.2866775227537821,-0.09307137210003891,3.2509740614570135,-0.29458349017889907,0.21934725756064344,1.3257791891843769,-0.3623727554009428,-2.1642931389583207,1.0184726200846943,0.27406949236464895,-1.3518641741233663,-0.4826971853801503,0.34980667513840347,-0.030284535501254428,1.544574142074945,-0.5251841180483612,-0.03191298049692248,-0.5661166033376501,0.3562887516520825,-0.7612853490277445,2.2161616039335956,0.6625860258885417,-0.4434522696464822,-1.4153817498540344,0.21451303806771138,0.43940347883586517,1.1412356228584808,0.765005454756523,1.8577544446914174,1.0729206772133195,-1.6312466817236033,-0.42845221796788024,-1.6534003520119906,-1.1960697443991064,-1.6307899469004732,-1.7157736352998971,0.6454464931783632,0.5085605505377973,-0.6981695601982216,0.03863926408461493,0.9977009001569628,-1.1069368657929761,-0.4178215988264107,-0.2675427240728272,0.2841016486666441,0.6896350678151832,-0.8412001979202626,1.4686646129651453,-0.685690397770697,0.7362876362773751,2.6827778181790065;-2.5844118957396667,1.072706705487179,0.3622742598101807,-0.060853106251130384,-1.711917984535976,-0.6819555086098008,-0.7986078606033038,-8.736388862805574,0.2630818593573716,-1.766769963898545,-0.8396969778970478,1.4269177466013696,0.6520097553990913,-3.2043511839578875,3.060085418336537,-2.3016291559120425,0.6108618953425866,0.7354940694834013,-2.559042656694542,3.1315701379683505,1.36702968608608,3.0819681927739113,3.3991595551136333,-1.656892369539892,0.336857995977482,-2.4952891527138563,3.0307932619313958,-1.789976979092212,-0.5718998763024885,-1.5195158280858632,-0.4596690664837837,0.9525926428331521,0.18922296386675885,-0.30020276221024744,0.3991802881304949,4.168501254172509,-1.2766661635143972,-0.1237616348602053,3.0491985357629927,-2.774500298060353,3.7770672764222093,-0.8029868750905367,0.544991026680238,0.1295016969463898,0.32710962257645626,-0.6491267666253675,-1.1001599868256537,-1.428744117636982,-0.338503177271253,-0.4305054982253287,-0.1212836591571902,5.4579723237347,-0.5066843681021069,0.3921721712659254,2.2523243915352316,-0.5989210347610658,-3.891227663347281,1.8363967769082121,0.5285996873597671,-2.389622746322722,-0.8369265663681027,0.6352074748417627,0.015535190228397333,2.7157195420202944,-0.9068291752971565,-0.023614583941601097,-0.9746119024188111,0.7519507764300384,-1.3170900070409237,3.8401863495712822,1.1786375077704223,-0.7275848038561579,-2.535390218079616,0.41669530740075267,0.799926177190593,1.976319176659696,1.3879412274219698,3.2194557620505124,1.7558464102908635,-2.907948147336824,-0.7272090551272985,-2.9501482252888973,-2.119839923770404,-2.858315010124003,-3.0643383524294423,1.1798408015470256,0.8982218437946043,-1.1909002931813877,0.1430374432005994,1.805126484272857,-1.9229895469406815,-0.7590276902736575,-0.441412364980712,0.5410852326895581,1.218079960322929,-1.4317734162838347,2.655190858125903,-1.2219774913152657,1.2677904866564988,4.452256744838436;-0.9915589193746683,0.5410676323350252,-0.11979500384593855,-0.24775623671700409,-0.7781401886822295,-0.44631880854719697,-0.26271935873403507,-0.8392804507026383,-0.10761215109076261,-0.8990742705983799,-0.6825371397678257,0.17611022321155545,0.22844176006021932,-0.9710621413296501,1.2993264763257457,-1.266282139216262,0.8211292700029187,-0.12051540941674865,-1.2290776323539294,1.8130631757234994,0.8269072965792432,1.4756446619849761,1.4278474825475325,-0.8820340222583649,-0.15900506820783988,-0.849711309732319,1.3787216820080843,-0.6829831673197422,-0.5278710116406877,-0.7578262236299,-0.46039353914690295,0.3316234146650281,-0.05434552280306626,-0.18813112461488757,0.132782337359032,2.3744368817235664,-0.8393110623764368,-0.21658214281419141,1.2488760299678585,-1.0610852560703847,1.6730054314073257,-0.37212617909959,0.10606999678459061,-0.1503828823935507,-0.05355945998998379,-0.3647824935070325,-0.5637066978576719,-0.7525050634335848,0.060482332263580574,-0.6467220052084297,-0.3206338801530979,3.0950868134899157,-0.19500001660594357,0.1726896032617713,1.3021877277288194,-0.4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k{164}=[0.5923432082748388;1.03712508309664;0.4055909634512431];
x_a{164}=[3.8151646932791947,6.929573090909108,10.71418450669216];
std_x_a{164}=[0.6412004183051134,1.1335392024970607,0.5382748768175075];
pred_a{164}=[3.8151646932791947];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.3 to 16.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{165}=[8.602551724455388,15.20799501423492,14.387427846293114];
std_x_f{165}=[1.2525265173590312,1.8451859523603527,2.0455052150593427];
pred_f{165}=[8.602551724455388];
obs{165}=[8.553534932588143];
sqrt_r{165}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{165}=[2.618023792394224];
xi{165}=[2.2070139226931538,0.9790176301208735,0.2535113754730052,-0.4735162609584691,-0.991535168409329,-0.20874423498007033,-0.07179470691958656,-4.45179419098873,-0.19880341075852748,-1.4809137747145105,-0.13280615227034254,1.3836152283286207,-0.5805474186433681,-3.164886387977276,0.8882366290648331,-0.89180916803023,-2.2569871025431585,1.0364818092480874,-0.5107975099304092,1.1561623160068244,0.7886741028578026,1.0988286363929962,1.635634330965619,-2.3003971876971114,1.3819663146272703,-1.425187842329965,1.2512389199125096,-0.7210962302490893,1.233447127045812,-1.8077867900663263,0.969025262645383,0.31783399622509734,0.04509615125279964,0.3354619482830792,0.11184547576708503,1.8071156800860049,0.6246648135317514,-0.0647017401613148,1.2811313459553926,-1.0803428008322955,1.0244241237930325,-1.6994613020091958,1.2173799202266427,0.10581434891298613,-0.18268061249471934,0.25513062513154594,-0.4986855344778931,1.7285997386367544,-0.5624682735456279,-0.06230023318422617,-1.2312595351224065,1.7325114969694067,-1.9509201678172623,-0.001700284382151196,-0.07120291226563324,-1.8737349442637123,-1.946115050399568,0.8263847900966077,-0.25151890810214717,-0.7358786612861845,-1.2559829181183542,0.43471176433927994,0.04923666734421772,1.584113506698328,0.3449223957212464,0.10028046507543387,-0.35887806975824255,0.4487561328888727,-1.437085723149159,0.16777205687482422,0.24386726457134422,1.540736233804802,0.46530483851805293,0.05067072652755833,0.5389744717072791,1.6851622254502665,1.4022039014010677,2.95595617591988,-0.027131020721052224,-0.7751946143489397,-0.35669211895087294,-1.4609645709337933,-1.0587742685740773,-0.6276517898935117,-3.179700180330661,1.9118548600177245,-1.7480010473794296,-0.5081700522862889,0.4167755752395941,2.3969643344288993,-0.0835554161930947,0.4489405259828363,-0.1588053481971059,-0.07906196692328216,0.732929479393496,-0.7890396192040114,1.203249329793108,-0.5732942481035312,0.851562984179397,0.7091634947474432;2.8772390704734025,1.3880865372499418,0.5390456280517899,-0.5297677178382898,-1.3534673696077224,-0.14941700630588173,-0.02037264990010712,-7.6039866691569635,-0.12491583505250325,-2.0982833000262993,0.01375558811727906,2.075350874072475,-0.7461906414377175,-5.002529968734899,1.2800638239060387,-1.1354430445293833,-3.52968817146715,1.6412002585572356,-0.596573435079776,1.4489625066482308,1.0832212114842381,1.4912967994431465,2.207491290701002,-3.439411098837734,2.046374622916529,-2.086196606942396,1.7076890466794001,-0.9687775039179236,1.8637819887324323,-2.6329898436334336,1.5095655914603352,0.5533050836321216,0.1983053375731263,0.5889843047045087,0.2638500435945357,2.142750289090282,1.0706726022262476,0.053527679205771506,1.796988879673508,-1.5222950678847713,1.4257237292667657,-2.480885049530352,1.7729279265533595,0.3166036831793235,-0.11163751228435714,0.488074680300727,-0.5978745469321609,2.4262140882625243,-0.7792477776399966,0.14720521665936914,-1.6848717183098945,1.9795025159366713,-2.9025398596127054,0.08976350361464469,-0.12931309172651062,-2.7334147526111305,-3.0169615748608827,1.2853161013571128,-0.21273893466853266,-0.9928685762888563,-1.7822466409353037,0.7304352662229512,0.26791773569702215,2.1766977134113485,0.5956140519247448,0.2808971921331693,-0.3981032010869754,0.9382575423699908,-2.0408182212118824,0.25905862533808843,0.44925459987209493,2.2605323019687464,0.6551311727222693,0.22198526416650566,0.8759185935505283,2.2270078508094375,2.010165473258402,3.539626265127053,-0.16905134363125107,-1.1077465875023975,-0.3638550251384043,-2.1498218068458534,-1.5083697519028867,-0.7605163578754066,-5.031358233973766,2.6368685545346278,-2.5763326229234256,-0.5713971485226228,0.8183509203057273,3.198068182842915,0.0327585739681151,0.6470301113865915,-0.09218859095237342,0.036518849624396665,1.0973333606876583,-0.9770852571269533,1.8382076115608594,-0.7674872961580892,1.195527982614296,0.7170331111841239;4.129561338101155,1.7181303908742684,0.06941337674787107,-1.1228367406203734,-1.8445309889118082,-0.6538189532363354,-0.23592363243547965,-3.914315544159633,-0.6615653601373737,-2.646999792709863,-0.6699571067744223,2.0860283060414986,-1.144728073417042,-4.400128445080357,1.527367518759105,-1.9023273563753609,-3.0607036179145997,1.3845879285526763,-1.200158372362285,2.4559837134655496,1.5028554860574168,2.0702577500501853,3.001529588294826,-3.7721169902470013,2.1595719920762235,-2.298510952866259,2.306892065022062,-1.3234969867344741,1.8517697925394963,-3.0648985510399918,1.3571911068737599,0.3638360410906625,-0.18567885051441912,0.3691038362913339,0.020324908264678143,3.9066919925025907,0.6662569343974116,-0.4016142029241667,2.2561599613483168,-1.8697967769324872,1.8740073782090647,-2.8283546722620834,1.9844118534150326,-0.13347970472232262,-0.6160718445344155,0.19151617945175126,-1.0963845609905931,2.935023366298818,-0.9241299002072925,-0.653786934112647,-2.3417964349541958,3.926224261917067,-3.125665593380795,-0.15162649417825058,0.06938342984704526,-3.1812935431675573,-2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k{165}=[0.6180325011158572;0.9017313620681838;0.9860097911791978];
x_a{165}=[8.536259390216749,15.11127214490401,14.281664976991909];
std_x_a{165}=[0.8978166494456737,1.3525105234153045,1.4476024116383217];
pred_a{165}=[8.536259390216749];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.4 to 16.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{166}=[15.274665953965503,19.541602922799914,31.539501417382695];
std_x_f{166}=[0.6736513851893505,1.1861331197476799,2.9360013003676073];
pred_f{166}=[15.274665953965503];
obs{166}=[15.56147386067317];
sqrt_r{166}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{166}=[1.4542871818610996];
xi{166}=[-0.21821621448307127,0.9059143219721157,0.3401683863648639,0.25839970423055725,0.4823068960322381,0.1237917743201038,0.010158771526375787,-3.9771619487123253,-0.1840943666925785,-0.11914687816770453,1.0100646827008255,0.4262144561630894,0.04449621406031312,-1.6106894210728253,0.171114047019449,0.14137363709679818,-0.5690586141855967,0.4726664948522519,0.6016134961230168,-0.025788504460905415,0.16839231492432205,0.18564096317286705,0.15906835444499556,-0.44806719498101977,0.4242825537688333,-0.10358258784626884,0.2823024574915838,0.30459255593318346,0.537497090955263,-0.17453879347313261,0.44758351347658554,0.19611501235866413,0.2945207082343959,0.24254560077448595,0.24013806877371557,-0.005338193054990725,0.2698625061152846,0.3938930367493363,0.3154410057572896,-0.24088424744710935,0.7885737380622366,0.1666031630920788,0.3407879366712159,0.27290269453057725,0.1385640957464176,0.5685166090105138,-0.055260040191155824,-0.3611463931896868,-0.6587006465953689,0.2091650894292556,-0.1560402093065374,-0.25997614751601006,-0.42995344509856537,0.10020168635945659,-0.5597666390140237,-0.25724816431190334,-0.6310139732439186,0.527451867237831,0.1626237131338577,-0.04848905718951535,0.1167671407089621,0.6868522709002978,0.40840783456018137,0.12587491499411207,0.41269351116080877,0.4775131703742357,-0.14587862316378164,0.3227863838462053,-0.15708992505149766,-1.5789914358447419,0.5260702852533861,0.3343114854115541,0.1498623618053081,0.24362213382671705,0.4016651856607556,0.14774536640990021,0.08588470182984231,-0.24629280091060046,-0.1828805101124349,-2.3137019070086513,0.47349293751568133,-0.17270679385462806,-2.3375819133729774,-0.14058641401307348,-1.0840161788732594,0.2429341748593128,-0.3047227187931423,-0.032650005800178405,0.42496963526301634,0.21148470041028133,0.640608004987385,0.15382506585138422,0.5450009216399341,-0.22116271609356275,0.33272904464696396,-0.23813092536027014,0.060239500700776105,0.007487044449794311,0.11359358515576012,-0.12141603240156407;-0.4181145598395517,-6.277043849478639,0.2508837946748166,0.4886168507355322,-0.4187641441468415,0.7236420250464839,0.6136359577582873,-1.3800741313019529,1.3016678491573224,1.0205655817628383,-2.5170915791583113,-0.5355425491153731,0.6855535529066579,1.0548127018104623,-0.2183724759187342,0.9079782238637577,0.4422030098391261,-0.3396684277767754,-0.5312666277720339,-0.7877561777073048,-0.5186494193388747,-0.7650085716867672,-0.898601714685352,1.1511158765398655,-0.7183265761028323,0.6062853152677512,-1.0983940525975342,-0.01949782272037126,-0.9710678976256766,0.9305603752683922,-0.4444299224323309,0.23153946802974446,0.2049471903181832,0.14627724149726262,0.1409727256488722,-1.9847194133463901,0.40632806723390047,0.006421422878684524,-0.9705699243988128,1.0635907013179704,-4.098762139988814,0.14600188840379147,-0.635032863368032,0.3566446613601073,0.6849995280053527,-0.785956280734986,1.0099523146628755,0.7028362646792168,1.420782084013382,0.9603530685772554,1.2457985272792484,-1.419162867054883,1.0566062076570866,0.4658640181987259,1.033981089352853,1.0743094851783503,0.7626744610696186,-0.8638003735863045,0.6393344696457532,0.8048273582233136,0.4155537549721302,-1.5670374983142636,0.26893222079400303,-0.5776052494633213,-0.3413921243937281,-0.37292198052177383,1.1116557747859659,0.9033833628576851,1.0592496999356378,1.7745825885586406,-0.8051578148508653,-0.42542658940483946,-0.24330383015525925,0.38726615748966253,-0.3832300968350033,-1.1005545409891262,-0.012143895701122176,-2.048672974068843,-0.03942121839548207,1.7710902542134903,-0.13923799555053762,0.6753790287878516,1.8124024249702835,1.2756844137868697,0.8013685058939934,-0.9036280161606243,0.946683677033409,1.1731737764417147,0.2785656973518442,-1.4909074771802828,-0.8234982350146183,-0.1882010454501284,-0.5620092084584485,1.2955529264293162,-0.4924491797503556,1.545165055598389,0.5380013195245112,0.583488021725703,-0.23255712358659508,-0.9947115628852181;-0.050352814599882834,8.729020425772887,0.8288782291081489,0.3012372380690955,1.9773633996559425,-0.3731420757666868,-0.5721067905248347,-11.132783183446232,-2.024621101133114,-1.4884144313819547,5.570457523588644,1.9573695412267966,-0.5549735115657874,-6.414876402373466,0.8726169347582413,-0.5463926227243121,-2.1317879648129825,1.8838425798681513,2.426992306107792,0.9757398484007069,1.2190190423690055,1.532872832445939,1.609425921861508,-2.7041055516605255,2.152107939102393,-0.9131692830972611,2.175216254037977,1.0211554415930806,2.7511357479372194,-1.5519135176809264,1.9092720538740906,0.43884628199549525,0.7453217728964887,0.6566212598496577,0.6693818449269813,2.343567750976547,0.43883540925142484,1.2525184034916208,2.1279475959334277,-1.9427278454414214,6.5331097912515474,0.4257620582338326,1.8332205283135394,0.5065706245458017,-0.28729136784010834,2.621782304763258,-1.264776239033207,-1.840037392745458,-3.6927181515428096,-0.40131732465656356,-1.8800454452593947,1.0023771052302024,-2.504820769943805,-0.1337324697128075,-2.8625903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k{166}=[0.31237790412188965;-0.2163266640656177;1.250282464491013];
x_a{166}=[15.352768209327676,19.48751586947265,31.852103170029118];
std_x_a{166}=[0.5340758427093856,1.153133851618438,2.443784575179434];
pred_a{166}=[15.352768209327676];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.5 to 16.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{167}=[12.140952687044518,2.874090347902627,39.74079725359597];
std_x_f{167}=[1.0608319290434436,1.737565361551808,0.9597817214407453];
pred_f{167}=[12.140952687044518];
obs{167}=[12.234444391007326];
sqrt_r{167}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{167}=[2.1273792380536003];
xi{167}=[0.44662151894089064,-4.223672697748035,-0.7138408757186969,1.6025090124767019,-0.5641264855217756,0.09711611548268628,0.9902817759717042,0.9637372511040887,0.9090179104419338,0.7132294797104919,-1.9315154407611512,-1.8321385033940576,0.45614570383168385,2.353197991823116,-0.4993764151123159,0.3899015787360298,0.6450106402879499,-0.47159536601340335,-0.6718737308946832,-0.5476759117839585,-0.4124672738426973,-0.5598576679260336,-0.7392949053256341,0.862556796216964,-0.7226905507272736,-1.236955520958844,-0.06725989740543703,0.046020633686918444,-0.9046539420288244,0.5339398330865261,-0.5673410208688185,0.038222868760943385,-0.20436837475525316,-0.13660006602945884,-0.2187349540616914,-1.2629783010905076,-0.12910078604445197,-0.23450997905730375,-0.8906426802857936,-0.8483116760894109,-2.7517812732671914,-0.7771823897188845,-0.46635615824884447,0.7534896487134812,0.31638588372801735,-0.6681551535088612,1.0658113238939286,0.7202393455656093,1.2398910163092012,0.452677732220101,0.4320351872815813,-1.1446941219571727,1.553930361196505,0.19752062916806779,1.1003725409629759,0.8534798460626245,0.8657560448098209,-0.7740386952224529,0.6260222889694464,0.0416399013954436,0.28002561682704297,-1.4748500853984226,-0.4631566962394107,0.19323337776635086,-0.3895251874380694,-0.5341049771869404,0.4557057355407981,0.13755177947592934,0.8557204611425782,2.162064579186124,-1.035699099033529,-0.5015707863369077,-0.3150421827431824,0.37634838046209396,-0.014555799525185265,-0.5723654817576129,-0.4314564565741108,-1.2462279795544937,-0.5456415674635888,3.222939854904096,0.5530519996464509,0.4553162856184354,2.523802286078263,1.1916046018378488,0.8222865688930447,-0.7691772441628295,0.9380120314881477,0.5019463222929268,-0.09897728183363341,-1.2546716058038427,-0.825546425542532,-0.2759575044160858,-0.6991280010940528,1.8218725372871845,0.38208643009240717,1.5606082191497475,-0.37225878816915525,0.38532749105112885,-0.5140524900431185,-0.578508963890858;1.4103683771418578,-4.605853505034188,-1.7889541185229174,2.662564796775071,-1.0479979788779705,-0.45899854877418456,1.4825700182319523,5.709433004595141,0.8418829842580715,0.6515715304689773,-2.5082233199806048,-3.4627995719395006,0.34609539670411804,4.857567099741157,-0.9021326665965919,-0.0337523572836651,1.2908579208348825,-0.9209997694746872,-1.2485584360728215,-0.4169089519681757,-0.49888912894374826,-0.5933692627578941,-0.8220164157106655,1.0421424396820118,-1.0874172528416732,-2.865050054763558,0.6368362929863323,-0.05025729200953677,-1.3289318200792701,0.4134849451021849,-1.0104882463934035,-0.20590163903926006,-0.725495008110522,-0.5001048220953002,-0.6660740793655684,-0.9640221937172126,-0.7235973319475963,-0.6847459292324158,-1.171888291784907,-2.378639701862876,-2.934271832839631,-1.737495922622059,-0.5920807872268905,1.0682922374628374,0.009927659336137928,-1.0175356032225735,1.3252236184706327,1.0875852268463868,1.6729299166396099,-0.0063270164447288835,-0.06574488928747702,-1.0026826072112673,2.4847105058600385,-0.016665497312351008,1.676527736206015,0.9639671934214307,1.499732282223142,-1.138819616784826,0.6398842286306707,-0.5314170016950746,0.1727636798128569,-2.110665181382007,-1.3560623754566046,0.8269734494086216,-0.7058942011827858,-1.0244863393892212,0.08473366538220661,-0.6436320440541019,0.9212898714467563,3.741488765525341,-1.7107519361420898,-0.8307088722254541,-0.4996958030088874,0.3059716307881364,0.07878873379614904,-0.32378853000367114,-0.8707465582052873,-0.7147590519698497,-0.9192572278370932,6.347652798444029,0.9692520111241492,0.468216559208658,4.888943510614546,1.381083917973744,1.639092720966031,-0.9360881410168942,1.2780262478225333,0.05745881346775983,-0.6457073715604631,-1.439121646762168,-1.3404222626855704,-0.460831083991986,-1.2419686638893705,2.6697942404339963,1.0050890013449352,1.9198020168678034,-1.1915923142928884,0.30241316003843277,-0.887347405977428,-0.26435472522391024;-0.2031741793740096,-4.073132850559524,-0.06556392337090244,1.1717449694644415,-0.3390639828948636,0.46289578027888467,0.8058327867493134,-2.6219375184052183,1.1034545736239494,0.8462640141027862,-1.7897037219547869,-0.8278595598082035,0.5914706476213993,1.104651173014588,-0.3153993055129547,0.724220451542017,0.27995208869865706,-0.26561567182989876,-0.41069422539546707,-0.7351497160919109,-0.45583959462053514,-0.6497453408292699,-0.7991713374725151,0.8701231828472444,-0.5937680071096949,-0.21392654725365645,-0.6364038828329797,0.0724142522595983,-0.7668673966593502,0.6745177371016382,-0.3730527933518104,0.18415098208314618,0.1004667608306633,0.0730662514558773,0.041342173174449215,-1.6524187696413506,0.23871995818895897,0.005450477195111603,-0.8312604445447818,0.1084564472530829,-2.8831598642010405,-0.2123147021289853,-0.4821610029952481,0.6252942820816827,0.5582032820756666,-0.5661069436143435,1.0665371102346128,0.5681510373703773,1.1628453326635153,0.807697601967817,0.8255205566665751,-1.372039315109923,1.2072421394048831,0.3649680720166586,0.88328467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k{167}=[0.5299380655256707;0.8009110280538695;0.41432474528168645];
x_a{167}=[12.163171980471734,2.9076710213795893,39.75816910077668];
std_x_a{167}=[0.6645754526416822,1.2126994308046326,0.7098147606031078];
pred_a{167}=[12.163171980471734];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.6 to 16.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{168}=[3.4172348959621623,-2.9735888154650927,29.97219339441562];
std_x_f{168}=[0.6065898548370708,0.5807933673690904,0.6537520394733789];
pred_f{168}=[3.4172348959621623];
obs{168}=[3.1883272530315994];
sqrt_r{168}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{168}=[1.370644575752599];
xi{168}=[0.5163710413769329,-0.12596705743920733,-0.8390354664874788,0.5726522162272385,-0.20032484485635127,-0.5910932439153633,0.4493882910109628,3.072431836746898,-0.09154406683172533,-0.284724053478818,-0.14956846789322986,-0.5301691876684775,0.03150699854681438,1.4345339293461454,0.24831563964851888,-0.2591006916006191,0.4810668309603363,-0.4639880976989308,-0.00934245602442596,0.1901125389075835,-0.052245425321636674,-1.1084957080313607,0.012476627798800433,0.523639126832181,-0.10251858546317383,-1.6752614109820998,0.5364915909727666,0.2958256219307325,-0.11705506772964869,-0.21439538028937966,-0.6749223552359891,-0.09786303838897803,-0.32946846477393477,-0.27863386219348474,-0.3231568323959486,0.2778153495552935,-0.24786581349769055,-0.30066374402683316,-0.01766850574552059,-0.8631396189504477,-0.0758113535723468,-0.5973827010796606,-1.1390633313336265,-0.10505038136197209,-0.515040829781308,0.4536981776259217,0.2894006891951726,0.24285021070657997,0.22102198975034026,-0.23193360541647579,-0.009863394993360863,-0.25137064138634635,0.591642166608477,-0.12243930524738911,0.3402463699988192,0.26735553285178026,-0.0934908639510934,-0.2063969640919936,0.0687891346089593,-1.1477676123582206,-0.005995573017984146,-0.36460231459463266,-0.5991874387354743,0.29763030720784744,-0.1511478300121345,-0.6307709879074079,-0.12512810089459636,-0.45169281118460125,-0.11932553077169583,0.8589266947325833,-0.19205186700876142,-0.03459384945416355,-0.2747011193760449,0.034821805949611484,0.27861297490110903,0.37646193822944474,0.10539783897210997,0.6631784241489211,-0.22472173448950494,1.63748056563468,0.07620995992708313,0.717384948890015,1.454283481347907,0.25386302889379575,0.7089667225168159,-0.6788236757237014,0.04420413767410292,-0.007485866389566276,-0.28054486465219686,-0.07069084618578314,-0.38179488116290283,-0.11290475368343289,-0.8901677020894132,0.8747196247049911,0.5774478088234845,0.1842996843270548,-0.01221274756839108,-0.03630844128002764,-0.2881338891087153,0.11528739869684035;0.7205878148954543,1.2593417866498826,-0.6390912730751777,0.1571795561406364,-0.10728887504299367,-0.49599336876321853,-0.035619123131957586,3.8124031738151793,-0.4425783559410581,-0.32894572481145534,0.3817517608257428,-0.6345169960715777,-0.2619101628759224,0.8910173490741742,-0.08983524097107232,-0.49676032850028173,0.30504134921183557,-0.14295403038001808,-0.13761255438313524,0.4242000366617149,0.18021821903936663,-0.008224650520770371,0.31662510251162646,-0.3064722779596476,0.06291848822131607,-1.1491618818575708,0.7406687310579292,-0.05918158822103958,0.0942939753802694,-0.29224143663375024,-0.15500156509562713,-0.17572342501098648,-0.3109319680040823,-0.21256026923301885,-0.24779593868568384,0.8941776027283868,-0.4096842330285204,-0.23110737602184805,0.207921861126537,-0.9570421479708888,0.9948290591470295,-0.4831627675519381,-0.12165538237588303,-0.005360360113540352,-0.3877479989818804,0.020589674773892064,-0.27147273697457885,0.03553633658576416,-0.1845252721738797,-0.5541560629426514,-0.6119709672488778,0.6057780971316671,0.0444330415291736,-0.22828686009850196,0.014833454867532403,-0.2934429694306053,0.19817108011648132,0.07884652831532346,-0.22952877888581202,-0.6297515310822734,-0.16152311457320057,0.10839003932046554,-0.5385722145317153,0.5545239702832809,-0.04692668064262273,-0.19187672448191417,-0.4906451677821364,-0.6897170595205644,-0.28594185872035993,0.26938536373113964,-0.08743905695737064,-5.57492032886131E-4,0.025847356521037756,-0.1822794233377314,0.15174031446345282,0.5539596558424718,-0.1531678763280926,1.0873185560408598,-0.051758500163047394,0.8756013690324034,0.1856726540899274,-0.32221564723819585,0.6650557472774534,-0.40121543526510806,0.3345435532077068,0.1261145744898826,-0.0877443356255978,-0.5860375409854739,-0.37581192322288404,0.4238543195950153,-0.05369270642711488,0.02051414338780777,-0.2445453017110304,-0.36997462921878776,0.43484435134060284,-0.43238219214098006,-0.5272137792660412,-0.1920286248499652,-0.05305386307367632,0.5968875797177708;0.046475152054050284,-1.3099638890293335,-0.56272523885902,0.7188205472585594,-0.20521984040196983,-0.37654657681879655,0.6769106525567246,1.2403163333597966,0.29061992187216745,-0.09772675357381289,-0.6058454625595324,-0.08509438090883847,0.29045984736039543,1.3597829645061346,0.4164353677423591,0.10156584072711539,0.403791043228118,-0.551633141649372,0.10044236426402975,-0.15362566392916222,-0.27876635607453437,-1.6959379028906056,-0.29653989422106974,1.0107997645703577,-0.22734630508557885,-1.1989759167349376,0.05423453320387139,0.4614978998201593,-0.284936316915001,-0.027812466345075393,-0.851844738456343,0.007351961512245708,-0.18601459045331126,-0.21575467944948912,-0.23348132750838602,-0.47949938445975704,0.018930537729680452,-0.23053225482838258,-0.24129181143617018,-0.27612434969152133,-1.084901509035472,-0.3836414048872143,-1.6035306653960895,-0.14983894262774555,-0.3772462171013231,0.5998153539673226,0.6735035509375216,0.31837862800384187,0.5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k{168}=[0.27041625692720817;0.18054335942378524;0.2324007516477756];
x_a{168}=[3.343837448664658,-3.0225926063569593,29.90911426553928];
std_x_a{168}=[0.4674616698159594,0.5026104286978262,0.5789358099157539];
pred_a{168}=[3.343837448664658];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.7 to 16.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{169}=[-0.5901218986050039,-2.773091878053181,22.674416013769793];
std_x_f{169}=[0.43007126276709245,0.5379930819297326,0.3898171109447395];
pred_f{169}=[-0.5901218986050039];
obs{169}=[-0.8375908019120781];
sqrt_r{169}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{169}=[1.1880053750676425];
xi{169}=[0.5489665900093906,0.8272959900492536,-0.2822199008617914,0.024623768749726938,-0.38226252729729904,-0.4252210538948933,-0.010223727116621117,2.42465733056334,-0.2964253914088606,-0.39842616086613947,0.21660704325020125,-0.4628287308239063,0.18124895389234436,0.6473234163838651,-0.7367329866078973,-0.30942754784925297,0.14348568761447256,-0.14930521093811022,0.010196982595842341,0.10538367215966038,0.20064589551024076,-0.1744928594815196,0.2951364342484431,-0.043766317671675936,-0.4485818547235956,-0.9044732108471205,0.3930033102006485,-0.06480424778526428,0.2186370645376432,-0.4668222541331635,-0.022399305385849,-0.11727483577966769,-0.041103327932478506,0.5263084048584947,-0.3090151297303405,0.6527527768113606,-0.14767062112485918,-0.11986318205249591,0.47218880292382254,-0.7156012733098915,0.8991065491894463,-0.32666907662931743,-0.16911513685611002,0.06618638999960946,-0.15974398788018773,0.2843281610470488,-0.002798506582885718,0.007325957319640586,-0.02545980325735475,-0.3465219638034148,-0.30052318533298317,0.3804596775018513,0.00983071463481322,-0.22707107501446822,0.08320559040372733,-0.19499776890657394,-0.7318719580740427,-0.009623584194628276,-0.11358203292297497,-0.7952655181077692,-0.14142220909196335,0.5267364112880666,-0.3607518414082722,0.45010459046545415,-0.08025913554642605,-0.18656812779291732,-0.32416978788580153,-0.479416899383156,-0.2737534477551168,0.42331227119597414,-0.061614403884121094,0.48272909797432956,0.09906165270369582,-0.31716141944269227,0.01770727287817453,0.3971285574209788,-0.06630073658917301,0.0926867378921783,0.09313617734899243,0.022026878380008053,0.031012577651261086,-0.023613386376950984,0.5780109821260598,-0.33582012810282524,0.18101046332490683,0.15070468031271023,0.13035633243335631,-0.4791254292952678,-0.5018988999801786,0.31117556212166847,-0.05803887245482675,-0.027905567904023543,-0.11778539377376529,0.004258041330854279,0.617883014815643,-0.5343676970783107,0.09938990620830568,-0.15503585321793745,0.25817583748308354,0.3716822823385415;0.6932544641083216,1.4508371477092863,-0.28951794647957607,-0.08567590096620314,-0.3349217147829098,-0.4412536663515567,-0.17719607769711576,3.0147547521343157,-0.45324917412559085,-0.4265390740461683,0.4511148685137307,-0.556210701791207,0.017008136558783526,0.5112643897233626,-0.8035802066757194,-0.4382057420984373,0.12668526795752477,-0.056980036175054316,-0.050763381940226004,0.250153786249931,0.2978957467034937,0.17588516040047564,0.4260114348024677,-0.36712508921688647,-0.35475964196084675,-0.8689582300022187,0.5626614604548004,-0.1822703589625636,0.2929868300140641,-0.49622660932511353,0.12843814321692149,-0.15595782213487652,-0.0808207020678764,0.4465851375365477,-0.3004872041639808,0.964445147066358,-0.24871811237670904,-0.12362897881102874,0.5378313904505068,-0.8289530933281157,1.3684528728045255,-0.3373053499589398,0.14027655081234647,0.09992730806855121,-0.16087701975060398,0.10684077199454034,-0.23472469539406493,-0.05025102256301528,-0.179898322639795,-0.5015732934442134,-0.5605571426934115,0.745578247643433,-0.16384500256773027,-0.2725163414644065,-0.031047323671507865,-0.4010385532956944,-0.5872012004524709,0.11046528320428317,-0.22633567968419577,-0.6957312082056157,-0.20143297413304762,0.6565327538723182,-0.3918807940549818,0.594962673339936,-0.04060298656458139,-0.059938582576257726,-0.48320634649684013,-0.6199473645748275,-0.3454602787029182,0.2045515923512342,-0.029535660785247497,0.44070322731634315,0.19769881767587716,-0.387159387198178,-0.0010881791718051481,0.5183294546056221,-0.16828824062476144,0.40539116020313415,0.13384063065565677,-0.08902305158286072,0.10233367262766668,-0.4223168750116315,0.32708181716928797,-0.5735728430828413,0.09559888197387911,0.4249290550644713,0.06452858374328052,-0.709321663064554,-0.5534534544469665,0.5254135694538444,0.050048243520826485,0.026137174772587812,0.06284416302647733,-0.4933985681384012,0.5687488957097799,-0.7445191655178336,-0.1737084510055027,-0.2188454840948375,0.3054776610269472,0.607095645856873;-0.10762671524542355,-0.9509921766253555,-0.03420764703200163,0.2762737331911538,-0.28911245604055935,-0.1284531876939745,0.34651824215879046,0.26121046428309924,0.2536439993969566,-0.08612947254659176,-0.4548268751514293,0.10964244894166697,0.4333540903879083,0.5883069502673202,-0.18193227456892558,0.1810353856854121,0.07598004881927878,-0.3092179439906566,0.130077835163096,-0.3247266033579166,-0.1653573385771132,-1.0271167909710215,-0.18887936371246639,0.682141019779241,-0.4538323112415874,-0.3219352028095912,-0.2353935805753089,0.2133539381832641,-0.09100869085401087,-0.11492436607664303,-0.37193222093264566,0.028463787041889788,0.07102912994132282,0.3858932129196617,-0.16459742400290622,-0.42714424376644544,0.17219123495473454,-0.05719627595359,0.041388879331812234,0.08515781408031131,-0.6174798638009413,-0.08308737321577198,-0.8841276554914366,-0.045544251319725504,-0.04374197672907343,0.4561028994752121,0.519112742872327,0.1330682162468939,0.3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k{169}=[0.1582529667064325;0.18801260092495994;0.008683037367190137];
x_a{169}=[-0.6274960178945004,-2.8174942391661513,22.672365367383122];
std_x_a{169}=[0.3829863425497228,0.48639040410283446,0.3894026658896649];
pred_a{169}=[-0.6274960178945004];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.8 to 16.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{170}=[-2.2582733544697895,-3.7508235024005945,17.824376640351744];
std_x_f{170}=[0.5302846362360857,0.7599263285008143,0.3704005304696055];
pred_f{170}=[-2.2582733544697895];
obs{170}=[-2.5618997200824807];
sqrt_r{170}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{170}=[1.2840416306659965];
xi{170}=[0.5302298450275227,1.221850275880241,-0.13150662349322984,-0.009986233094728902,-0.3636103579451788,-0.42095437379242595,-0.09156106703236144,2.6766123287996875,-0.25794054583180426,-0.543934300501502,-0.07233473388567235,-0.5784601711526451,0.03714646493873275,0.4586726053323251,-0.7547925108770408,-0.4752101736457104,0.5807336923923929,-0.4080457460614322,0.17854990206387367,0.5629136275310271,0.4196883174450128,0.16967029055869043,0.3159256940607258,-0.2715928206339555,-0.31948416831568194,-0.9514468682821393,0.5837884737463102,-0.5269652330760168,0.11921222478549831,-0.5601193101786124,0.0801714503582307,-0.04755040473725325,0.2221562473721157,0.518028384121876,-0.18333076566190298,1.1585398457095528,-0.40227669729838844,-0.07511506349431141,0.5170461204673842,-0.8958827187523659,1.1687142744576757,-0.34400251940998094,-0.21001088460550932,0.11414650998311071,-0.16170437640305524,0.2019936444269983,-0.04142881841720936,-0.28812448068789376,-0.21726264340196177,-0.18117646420244782,-0.5933733642058496,0.5246202513552916,0.09737637033199364,-0.6767692890834502,-0.004637343216740142,-0.45066152275950655,-0.7662295359999209,0.03885854093202612,-0.12332457752148462,-0.8161010675450426,-0.12003159851836598,1.063147863223492,-0.4085606951967349,0.6052612101106769,-0.2587373455675972,0.21047625630864575,-0.25635234515392824,-0.960628060472903,-0.3247443410240094,0.3274245588099982,0.11559416467283556,0.4688920841931843,0.45973565283699713,-0.10733862007674855,0.14602830247658138,0.3035489073167057,-0.19828070249205076,0.08759098902938112,0.010207362940291898,-0.1465243973920396,0.27610348486554215,-0.6078582592884771,0.44449930061366705,-0.41957988414166714,0.19248202547438753,-0.028572319270662838,0.08598036286755795,-0.3605876639412591,-0.5658656451044655,0.5207598170659398,-0.10278734189163119,0.19309279289635128,-0.03508545245450012,-0.40388146897778876,0.6117498471817346,-0.6230844786171237,-0.11312195641991929,-0.2525021528096243,0.3811880383288073,0.5106241007247918;0.748493461765662,1.8366082972713744,-0.181257724981156,-0.030883034256818487,-0.5188206678169989,-0.5956446699584248,-0.1497802629632381,3.8787234804563457,-0.3676031789996932,-0.7699474215284061,-0.09713245447555963,-0.8022336884992631,0.028093157434719185,0.618118291950188,-1.063914119509409,-0.6745989740664262,0.8192139580264168,-0.5781171984880471,0.2423027673139595,0.8122926111080631,0.5954065498924535,0.2633493729050489,0.45443856062672694,-0.407289769829978,-0.45685069202676853,-1.3211595897119794,0.8362680037009773,-0.7605196188764491,0.16723713999128842,-0.780895347214992,0.1231764589902733,-0.07175896554594408,0.30510259793352823,0.70378152005217,-0.2572377513255306,1.6838756564375843,-0.5746548233532351,-0.1152721673468231,0.7290714420396629,-1.2447437234835386,1.7235231194477545,-0.48053308118458293,-0.2887632336678019,0.15899102522315323,-0.2350871781450934,0.2517108365750702,-0.08301868354435005,-0.4205573073076998,-0.3213455108043579,-0.2593509790054833,-0.8420360952550334,0.7767656580051661,0.12115306172833629,-0.9548310271191438,-0.01722111567611062,-0.6487433849162958,-1.0888651378874252,0.056345934923264895,-0.18716959017420987,-1.1473686702031438,-0.17561853277597317,1.528219010481532,-0.586243549696186,0.8651492785896493,-0.36683027345106467,0.30847561444165583,-0.36819521107513076,-1.3417641571370167,-0.4667046293420958,0.4228521401702503,0.16044466635240262,0.6417489804875456,0.6619010185458403,-0.1547661279825423,0.1952039208375944,0.43186891254286097,-0.288593788410088,0.14216387815354192,0.016218730227508527,-0.2154303996339877,0.3885285605860438,-0.8828121351680478,0.5793157157040114,-0.6008547735844072,0.2534911172825942,-0.031355089406623016,0.11169474573797267,-0.5176262022477367,-0.7967009835324133,0.75473978112595,-0.14406056638598796,0.27741200804570854,-0.04180511857515823,-0.5993143260089546,0.8453538918354981,-0.875500264853291,-0.18675242799681158,-0.36097088032204017,0.5371336336240526,0.7411477081636231;-0.29776780638937694,-1.1073233708931944,0.011740848093889866,0.19366399610766294,-0.0917708183116197,0.060981575534121646,0.2703464433635894,-0.28974099721229507,0.28290526077726597,0.14770536904507736,-0.3589227244354021,0.31292672242285136,0.2906985634550203,0.2544608215875215,0.1892080633337656,0.31631203028519295,-0.152611216447319,-0.09239768607238474,0.017149280391340227,-0.4547436003303744,-0.2958248251454876,-0.8687226423317362,-0.29629982070468586,0.6106771604638013,-0.2304005944161318,0.19155884873073248,-0.40160378403154695,0.35873391258859755,-0.14578444829398762,0.1300753682011937,-0.3408610106426515,0.02080177656934623,-0.041393008599222014,0.09376438093996242,-0.07069466199494201,-0.6835800777919729,0.2782106882659505,-0.03286405213161103,-0.1780815291753335,0.4628138184393862,-0.843337045737723,0.06955473660830336,-0.6211673577115491,-0.09787106627467779,0.014519880206904645,0.24710339132570525,0.392963198983054,0.19409650077398766,0.3365892627663527,0.23920601226748062,0.614037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k{170}=[0.2212090510793423;0.31684779139473335;-0.09004588820257156];
x_a{170}=[-2.2969103102413384,-3.806164972574165,17.84010429246595];
std_x_a{170}=[0.45420024275147153,0.6493618594803172,0.3429494354776069];
pred_a{170}=[-2.2969103102413384];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.9 to 17.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{171}=[-4.295757113086671,-7.0409689432115945,15.253314925963172];
std_x_f{171}=[0.746652572704441,1.1478088999474572,0.6609793589516255];
pred_f{171}=[-4.295757113086671];
obs{171}=[-4.729986184159465];
sqrt_r{171}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{171}=[1.56042775639694];
xi{171}=[0.539287970389823,1.3527778543597053,-0.21585483415975748,1.0477280909108693,-0.6269826954459203,-0.7537686645990327,-1.076255542053703,3.2953556991924,-0.42560182010600744,-0.8219144809702907,0.005963484120036888,-0.4309756081686471,0.07338968185359551,0.5716049037438737,-0.8005804477752569,-0.9851365411574751,1.5282405830933836,-0.5575459088123589,0.16510968263653414,1.4579258578695584,0.3523189614912554,-0.8204936412390982,0.7697517271299108,-0.26850092306983253,-0.5932585974173392,-1.1834235921760765,0.7109505809916801,-0.7177126595480008,0.010539766423107721,-0.7447293710973941,0.009484082918970849,-0.6042805928674291,0.07273814959997438,0.6292771102269672,-0.30322715226574726,1.587737324579666,-0.6547697560917252,-0.14020626228462163,0.7417487105379204,-0.9436720408652945,1.4157805776091252,-0.24242334242440133,-0.19374841548820587,-0.08003544614394453,-0.04265573506954201,0.4123196903809352,-0.08902384633972193,-0.31305561073883137,-0.9659938329744193,-0.18940319825650764,-0.5357817319237546,0.8227504929516627,0.46249584090480633,-1.072946324470486,0.012512777456189283,-0.4301630455000156,-1.234753822640835,0.04770020089090998,-0.18214606345522277,-1.188077559938824,-0.054935595786802516,1.0195934256350578,-0.5944197022579623,0.6964332799916968,-0.2683052223903273,0.20020130821477533,-0.17585793684832396,-1.1405127211458623,-0.33813417289597947,0.7184081375792348,0.15431323553838006,0.5982922431200839,0.68645940430567,-0.7284213276913505,0.1089937867433477,0.29097295043221916,-0.3265815831804657,0.1401411214613253,0.27257659257602906,-0.05130863408595765,0.2966904313024794,-0.6899154647325227,1.8557249438016674,-0.44452648792897786,0.15807109523563945,0.3577833297042279,0.33977568877416164,0.1405690425434738,-0.8043239279739929,0.30030926581843076,-0.21733538331544455,0.07752757505411978,-0.13260141880252974,-0.4911178522605857,0.6019017219439764,-0.6605299767354946,-0.1999994482790859,-0.2245961848823379,0.19338735597426027,0.6689064107167302;0.7963984885788786,2.046216383985393,-0.3475429207837708,1.6222601733955546,-0.9923576708093949,-1.1511133933615083,-1.5682336461256012,5.295370241603572,-0.6270985085724536,-1.2499242889341629,-0.061443167808424626,-0.6457874515222679,0.1394332997181955,0.9036854309999258,-1.223010073052559,-1.4430280252419836,2.3756839365445312,-0.8956733213330033,0.24070399140463472,2.2375407526174964,0.4987203225318515,-1.3688591810433612,1.151123348062388,-0.3469867697984492,-0.966251951566524,-1.7822462821801262,1.0563666419280748,-1.0623937773074195,-0.016854625044186555,-1.1351742270942848,-0.051875801811251954,-0.9213108770191916,0.08742804037926977,0.975618197173791,-0.48747371119601546,2.4544868852471025,-0.9694702952590388,-0.2391588882097535,1.123822291574184,-1.3840572194321554,2.1612980820722267,-0.3888517356783776,-0.4140023050794559,-0.14878226488455581,-0.09318041995518023,0.647883187449886,-0.10038884700379569,-0.4825107660682413,-1.4011817528050168,-0.27295540623964953,-0.7552147096715824,1.19301901948974,0.7258401532658798,-1.5905419579873028,0.01059468007444675,-0.613741319399308,-1.9321948441462355,0.024994451441452625,-0.27815110589711445,-1.8326617209317702,-0.09735192021710137,1.5622924863650463,-0.9075166678745239,1.0387257433161858,-0.4409835947622103,0.24807168250774403,-0.25409089053329925,-1.6500716023371664,-0.5198825627262789,1.1328495817722324,0.19642739005489762,0.9192427378379939,1.019519358150748,-1.0998364518534816,0.14210292045509476,0.4079026044507623,-0.4914190311698867,0.11616841473344319,0.386674617724057,-0.06481208875361322,0.41216716694859556,-0.9300493501404912,2.9330153670428496,-0.6364999602537065,0.24162385799686614,0.46272954823612356,0.5151448173195208,0.2308309942900424,-1.2258510577966133,0.4049293762293411,-0.3918752762565747,0.0823472701761796,-0.27455330322037863,-0.6235953153015172,0.9329207208344537,-0.9532869404440802,-0.25154101832555753,-0.3502136548489343,0.2750378895502683,0.9759033715392142;-0.5804607549507246,-1.5898767616274299,0.11993627453961508,-0.7605891181911257,0.36611624628289796,0.6029263189040908,1.2270140165392345,-1.4909044330796863,0.49573802001276057,0.6944187217817763,-0.3684482834421736,0.4281610825116413,0.12705376951424086,-0.19678812375332733,0.6406237847677634,1.0355692660735816,-1.179149344569474,0.2888889685408529,-0.13259172595984303,-1.366059668746578,-0.4604432873885589,0.1199233510013542,-0.8307489945256652,0.6039827854472062,0.23868072202116686,1.0098505001848093,-0.7833791964384158,0.7690410279742128,-0.13467318932250194,0.6076569419835582,-0.2954814003075743,0.5307049146103306,-0.07768259321737148,-0.35543769918990087,0.11340185735019048,-1.4446053819225533,0.6798004341096675,0.027992939324322563,-0.6507968443195722,0.9771624278649025,-1.4424911584742084,0.11807559011310609,-0.4324316343264556,-0.015411858435832926,-0.047600083635137125,-0.16004946136062337,0.33278071001102383,0.3067937748662466,1.1093737909489843,0.26066368417864005,0.7684701249157566,-1.1555298091798214,-0.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k{171}=[0.3591500818281901;0.5514270281862461;-0.29121713077248035];
x_a{171}=[-4.393242418961532,-7.190644622628855,15.332360964112025];
std_x_a{171}=[0.5871971424698607,0.9057078588558016,0.5346830461374223];
pred_a{171}=[-4.393242418961532];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.0 to 17.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{172}=[-8.359141633241148,-13.516626061946793,17.65600969912127];
std_x_f{172}=[0.9120938540313875,1.1411402126859727,1.6148762629251632];
pred_f{172}=[-8.359141633241148];
obs{172}=[-8.877511101313523];
sqrt_r{172}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{172}=[1.8465710880876727];
xi{172}=[1.2045468289188364,0.486583351300105,-0.07782844959887747,1.351412894862265,2.5405568415012665,-0.6657818703634106,-0.524763545596791,3.879105618177265,-0.5559996107406491,-0.689329263216699,-0.23576368667153424,-0.3454063540143615,2.0648093010547734,0.6448961062889298,0.40266370671769636,-0.32081068197987683,2.2611107905337384,-0.7206059854968956,-0.5787066364397191,1.3167876756970358,-0.3428417034411204,-1.235352125867525,-0.4332974769382414,-0.21423362711629856,-1.4973296210635816,-1.4954266476439368,0.671334560723932,-0.7348084432395243,0.6559526972795489,-1.1340222352994314,-0.3514156818520551,-0.8988417244613363,-0.5638085605380834,0.5251434629890417,-0.30165418156557955,1.5043967223002657,-0.24166727815196687,0.256577547754393,0.01736808504403342,-0.2623332039053494,1.2369493866285337,-0.20610885635514542,0.03182750199416695,-0.29235958088068514,-0.2546944185665616,0.29108101927053553,-0.11916008382883447,-0.6597652974871089,-0.5244852586010698,-1.11057024533409,-0.752435771699755,1.161261667928894,0.444264725368968,-1.0209868573518506,-0.3548314393653591,0.18739094484148922,-2.881684496029578,0.08731877777952235,-0.16853391321035183,-0.7977566412364254,-0.20876206309340084,0.8984759553744723,-0.8157083608653259,1.350853451491596,-0.2501857703296597,-0.026795497088970777,-0.42289629640835713,-1.0613978063260383,-0.16577168819696375,0.16691090961364274,0.29091882295052507,0.8513225082034888,-0.21008761231557394,-1.504253924346104,0.33482255031970354,0.26376087122635816,-0.39547948572424296,-0.44091366067657134,0.2754076619246817,0.27764031548389845,0.10703884218796311,-0.486194596300642,1.5913736905318752,0.1500742148462333,0.3413088950552474,0.35327936200173937,-0.05866041624808993,0.8991800335107172,0.08706091958681661,0.5017849441928908,-0.2551954990689005,0.1485856146080664,0.07732187862053763,-0.39888434099320236,0.4057522679408265,-0.7140012391278638,-0.2897986418011449,-0.16382765736106641,-1.2431856141955517,0.08118770099061479;1.4313089827235217,0.3827654701511669,-0.17971705250390002,1.7054000456010225,3.374095953164437,-0.8229952468223249,-0.5159322105101172,5.738030724313994,-0.6405699181195939,-0.8278638949916886,-0.47365571477292256,-0.4340213783816136,2.740717021167736,0.8169487490233074,0.42722497985101704,-0.3380943065401052,3.008212624687184,-0.9459497092993345,-0.7285700337295413,1.590609759678916,-0.5290324763607881,-1.6416829005286502,-0.6391988281730683,-0.17430452921718143,-1.7502743265836376,-1.5962687787317034,0.7001145988724762,-0.8136621788137504,0.7005091843143063,-1.2933011021088632,-0.5805724780371726,-1.0410921560571111,-0.7196932756003207,0.6280848694650896,-0.47112437596673473,1.8593583956535884,-0.2905925210142506,0.2147621406748268,-0.06436742683638208,-0.2859994618256998,1.441156081277633,-0.337571934561522,-0.24095550277541022,-0.43726555654591337,-0.3983661859566894,0.34398910080222933,-0.1143623509475642,-0.796065303681802,-0.5266103748049513,-1.2265056239319758,-0.7705150256471356,1.2707480330653365,0.5260340503940846,-1.099595685773144,-0.4469423011118021,0.24126483228712914,-2.7535004999897925,-0.046245570449249485,-0.23304824596231732,-1.002718479886294,-0.3184663055264281,1.054419085507881,-0.9722383107173656,1.6283456083865513,-0.40900043898798266,-0.2120027115440113,-0.5161339942140746,-1.0709393517429966,-0.25677323397298935,0.23116706158931954,0.22609145690270438,1.0246418035495655,-0.38350109111974895,-1.6069381535234957,0.312560230359491,0.18567177902238718,-0.49151857559765233,-0.7762506495513382,0.22367400426212747,0.3175157051828741,-0.007882369632254083,-0.38976662855783495,2.1541458009659795,0.20770180701519436,0.3646608400483373,0.2016566587285311,-0.1158860144989049,1.1077608538878199,0.04685174453963903,0.45053532257706763,-0.45220634874242016,0.057158154809387796,-0.1056425657829756,-0.26204571632879414,0.4664567324658062,-0.7641282343592124,-0.2703974298927996,-0.26118980871799913,-1.439033383436561,-0.09160400696986493;-2.2858400925301847,-1.402925693431719,0.0016897461512961343,-2.3142773540797172,-4.232645318426405,1.177238987936832,1.251994640939504,-4.68873068261526,1.1115423912483955,1.2649749602105302,0.010220771465434098,0.635713148826504,-3.28589869420788,-0.9999902825936147,-0.8255956960276336,0.7459173383264464,-3.675611159262136,1.1372863645003548,1.0119597946780061,-2.499857578387772,0.3847655581859222,1.8461932735799245,0.5368733269727599,0.67816308562751,2.698245939326977,2.9862276258298124,-1.47372566323142,1.5001135538706265,-1.3771985902763753,2.160893591007987,0.2956876931240515,1.6927279211718407,0.9560540065591034,-0.895244475951614,0.3484328922378843,-2.7565076353750833,0.5071549411487801,-0.6357078043526414,-0.17294569471859944,0.605183413574899,-2.4676149903942246,0.21186233986504632,-0.702720275641969,0.37659514346719547,0.30639487934124077,-0.47078252900228534,0.37585074049249556,1.2208568280101524,1.2274360435709397,2.2011755202605237,1.6844207144069507,-2.52347789192617,-0.7516787743392577,2.08716971416233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k{172}=[0.4584557256143278;0.5665423830375587;-0.7943813944465712];
x_a{172}=[-8.612031983528256,-13.829138467603578,18.094201170792743];
std_x_a{172}=[0.6323760063005134,0.8060271958879386,1.140998291204173];
pred_a{172}=[-8.612031983528256];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.1 to 17.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{173}=[-13.595010397047515,-16.654435355365077,30.296823161052203];
std_x_f{173}=[0.3446875331595219,0.8514350655427934,1.6989776025260677];
pred_f{173}=[-13.595010397047515];
obs{173}=[-13.722111111752449];
sqrt_r{173}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{173}=[1.1189489378864101];
xi{173}=[0.1174938071157321,-0.27770274564841735,-0.21726396965349615,0.42083459709625437,1.1188962232667272,-0.19921361677160299,-0.002540914189740562,2.05868215264287,-0.12470828960387514,-0.034095611219514765,-0.26317082772970224,-0.06604182955799942,0.7559870168175635,0.03069767846592697,0.24342624037184457,0.16381025630542645,0.8835955686287846,-0.12644279235722955,-0.12139575714321715,0.2390446582954464,-0.20426400569389536,-0.4807305463286635,-0.2334252192570716,0.011546833661356004,-0.08347471775286941,0.07648312834111515,0.14023242611695252,-0.08636322703903332,-0.09919651899631887,-0.2488592472358011,-0.12658785409800366,-0.14322393282772694,-0.40122231702613576,0.11933965473260422,-0.18039754214623294,0.3194249747445337,-0.08882554489959915,-0.002900712049999754,-0.12215525159557927,-0.280099164634402,0.310242015568269,0.03391374054126395,-0.40314375497320754,-0.2775767169261414,0.0016920518008056717,-0.07379397042849511,-0.10888219152102607,-0.567631796370371,0.28387153632599826,-0.15172608220003347,0.19946413444342426,0.04163134692019099,0.020376466556005113,0.054377747265409226,-0.1446667197007585,0.2637340668398682,0.17021428855224308,-0.1818003732895601,-0.07174130817720581,-0.5198383160394116,-0.1966311319588545,0.19442830070786243,-0.29533190654143304,0.0029903430137601106,-0.08982947299517718,-0.20854027335210823,-0.07741849474802542,-0.04910833623981681,-0.09780792540585992,0.3625496487570121,-0.22501943844746108,0.12517393264920074,-0.18992447172804816,-0.09043220881127212,0.1350560064643318,-0.10373557655917054,-0.16090925545989698,-0.3948249467469118,-0.09355817073458361,0.03766769819992888,-0.10709390800083263,0.39080863414315203,0.6050009061357269,0.16322071529748072,-0.1477168285984085,-0.2594822430190167,-0.21881096809879352,0.472979232065704,-0.05249103713957837,-0.10615566980696123,-0.5348060852577259,0.001930990930329557,-0.17935894309644596,0.16936334868158553,0.1075184052742042,-0.17129667728574383,0.012553302088031515,0.2009409694827191,0.04435848892360639,-0.34016617911730407;-0.8104651482905822,-0.5956226245655785,0.15538055531552786,-0.9725263029783342,-1.3464123589579096,0.5764895753935839,0.6423616576876263,0.32781419680448565,0.5773274793622036,0.1076234011913968,-0.3012977625902842,0.08701257005479945,-0.9504447462843295,-0.04285779616312979,-0.9819141887877159,-0.22056054630045807,-1.1178309017786425,-0.0607603043553695,0.21669522551230003,-1.044571777450674,-0.06874279995692234,0.9216847231137333,0.030577355740081913,0.443893739036902,0.4408149048992769,0.6743262916323172,-1.099829280339133,0.6607531993456739,-0.4312046922784596,1.382639516359216,-0.5268549237790161,0.6636923795564584,1.3716589979207718,-0.47641828772282935,-0.07009924415281432,-1.0538120068496966,0.2662986057703556,-0.5897502854147909,-0.20314062955832313,1.2808621896505912,-1.3468734779440723,-0.5918714073176865,-0.44453560717744267,0.3872614494856528,-0.5045218357695909,0.07783802000641771,0.5204027618634193,3.7369761519298734,-0.2259576819404252,1.1713016973030044,0.1239586768235128,-1.209968389209351,-0.234318091987614,0.4549553207517967,0.3807695697399964,-0.6177033727042129,2.8227321337171425,-0.39155578433994265,0.04663683700297838,2.249230746985617,0.20995976746265654,-0.8752293429844933,1.196780659513223,-0.5056558382451257,-0.34553435155208945,-0.44419581978829825,0.2093879470938127,1.3354050236880521,-0.03580528248548376,-0.7331312414133073,-0.12755965953726545,-0.574343645973439,-0.18587802826415256,1.4022816985153206,-0.8986681574323683,-0.51353107029745,0.434046938149109,-0.1549396396698164,-0.4442904413046129,-0.27914360912884817,-0.517345867049233,-0.05796370092679837,-0.5927035640824272,-0.3621068704989945,0.0933956325473666,-0.6637750116524543,0.3755386134754133,-1.0931453920706886,-0.2157026805412805,-0.7343470485911716,1.2163881343503284,-0.729425456595024,-0.6381900633982447,0.6249114921015071,-0.5068065173201717,1.2475379902124786,0.3886319493134103,-0.8140580261343295,0.08767414468156431,-0.04601133717812189;-1.3137330246689878,0.09923712290955322,0.8557472671393818,-2.455477562641832,-5.244246175694453,1.273142005150369,0.8444205693984941,-5.813494761979477,1.0940507754452504,0.29072975309063054,0.43275553903125186,0.35177838551982177,-3.4488990403501987,-0.08763754974050997,-1.9088373235897684,-0.6880566824924017,-4.1297490246474275,0.3395855546939295,0.6570205958047133,-1.992969738769009,0.5382692235414019,2.4364014144450863,0.7339331538022869,0.5573555287209686,0.8007036616711609,0.6213966680523519,-1.7546800525549742,1.0817529675265725,-0.19516118573483965,2.333123575564592,-0.23602631265108798,1.2406725435775847,2.716967008812439,-0.8815045165958288,0.4792321228912506,-2.258971984941507,0.6331341087219293,-0.6732444496332448,0.1307459167101186,2.3150098373329087,-2.6072121347120714,-0.7750840123270564,0.6595138615947498,1.2818717319306359,-0.5763789517714244,0.36608995728008864,0.9955984545291692,5.571671068305072,-1.050904357606477,1.8563196863348708,-0.352953815451549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k{173}=[0.10630416979624963;-0.1083107223562036;-0.44620722791787226];
x_a{173}=[-13.61594968029868,-16.633100831057135,30.384714911225252];
std_x_a{173}=[0.32655379462840745,0.8376833422395701,1.6252540046718225];
pred_a{173}=[-13.61594968029868];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.2 to 17.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{174}=[-11.802261938141262,-5.671925127524762,37.02317094038741];
std_x_f{174}=[0.7483477497892566,1.215205598988228,0.6480126260402946];
pred_f{174}=[-11.802261938141262];
obs{174}=[-11.506944554623098];
sqrt_r{174}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{174}=[1.5609688639155217];
xi{174}=[-0.30578819595745443,-0.26967528131087626,0.4801583241340541,-1.045022343289224,-2.3501239372905722,0.5630835917205399,0.46417572640321225,-1.2085200537695844,0.5378555595016223,0.4132285784682743,0.07845542246188764,0.00992923455117456,-1.0224205157083635,-0.1261289174223723,-0.8552308762578491,-0.25857082340539783,-1.4363274582664598,0.07229850633836499,0.11704807638412973,-0.9009355491823605,0.23994346172874614,1.0282694574120033,0.16646998237848187,0.8056453192592166,0.37423879764529033,0.4235922656740403,-0.638362107639372,0.48684149221991113,-0.2597234739523415,1.191978720382858,-0.14769143066339652,0.1344847919465284,1.250713685107538,-0.38131115664255866,0.11196890590223951,-0.740584360414692,0.09239724126390847,-0.5902099921774919,-0.04066387278062855,1.0690690420119058,-1.4444204594592627,-1.0261591063560953,-0.11271350968031157,0.6416885229642517,-0.37011367134239137,0.1257092725639808,0.4251290086452162,2.725631201681919,-0.3631480796181208,0.5336657361472774,-0.10363424348274108,-0.637052658954655,-0.11279600028982273,0.26449442537463064,0.5719750831209733,-0.6036472668025343,1.857738596136798,-0.09066791589534517,0.12799511055426827,1.272677757454268,0.2746460447109502,-0.7663507665231162,1.2243399270549222,0.07598361923372643,-0.2943263466474306,0.049506256329140186,0.21445751227865628,0.9524346936819459,0.11294834711329038,-0.6321206828107897,0.08082751235928143,-0.32743798195172324,-0.079925177620213,1.2909379147779987,-0.9242562963172514,-0.34984548053585485,0.4132425336260841,-0.1290043755643513,-0.32422878547014733,-0.13132184397328928,-0.30073443527014554,-0.2782011766270589,-0.7308012172879721,-0.35950794787348705,0.23430987724452557,-0.1483917266498498,0.36112991543543593,-1.1641031616149977,0.01634038862689735,-0.30424693695609584,1.1768558829469402,-1.43954083871445,-0.22123651028659808,0.7359680834047886,-0.4890892329833605,1.0301071677524938,0.26977192049752396,-0.7358447648793494,0.16723102541785906,0.23256942453848062;-0.11211893110802773,0.10990436827380812,1.0281960624968445,-1.7259054135925407,-4.7012695400541435,0.867931627792939,0.4623560936456874,-4.517896496983845,0.7586186780567017,0.7743690894445354,0.5823743753168795,-0.006958666096474886,-1.9755017196851172,-0.2552007245573247,-1.1842913710494214,-0.4936250626702936,-2.7860350154133897,0.2762267882317726,0.16274091206079966,-1.2275868023258019,0.6815565059928614,1.7813783645523684,0.48896978590144347,1.305407174872264,0.4980743437800861,0.3043537343933824,-0.5776646368198852,0.5590664164035015,-0.13300173979484686,1.6278250256222746,0.17649539574530948,-0.11880969304126232,1.8598118166147564,-0.5204624377007141,0.41447208851160067,-0.9640335213157005,0.04811012507879031,-0.7569923737217774,0.15095263577246687,1.463256874830134,-2.152897098645017,-1.6816066997422903,0.4047258206600155,1.2284330297098158,-0.3782423259062959,0.24242348529210656,0.5546310521091602,3.4566111855769655,-0.8086434238403166,0.3359648233318815,-0.47269786802962965,-0.4082933773762383,-0.08150344067428161,0.14844131984766928,0.9919381629750363,-0.9855981683164199,1.6940481297836447,0.2432767304362624,0.2668113400965604,1.369387538837402,0.5428008829464552,-1.0584548274014054,1.8593723650333023,0.5229868271315272,-0.28417511334639745,0.5849007199676377,0.332634808753677,1.0114485228972239,0.31457608913321344,-1.0276988088185774,0.42508685461301887,-0.3379527209283264,0.11309048174289682,1.7064825349915171,-1.3011834202828867,-0.23819330159290342,0.6374480308120267,0.14288230566541316,-0.2586060012207989,-0.09349093446045842,-0.15631878727625637,-0.8522316854265881,-1.5420062696393932,-0.5898951483852981,0.5057288878631176,0.3853729349157575,0.615535610929224,-1.9161185989331928,0.23145730728764402,0.009760812417991538,1.923535883775918,-2.396994725641182,0.1682763146180406,0.9165930346951425,-0.7133558069283978,1.3348028797944815,0.245092329495197,-1.0464358123398716,0.22912197950617497,0.7618192100486727;0.5022178586068904,0.5987972905336534,-0.13407864746918108,0.6987532718049394,1.064037505655918,-0.42877971675406457,-0.5542371632637781,-1.3583330163435718,-0.4529052922208763,-0.19551207799387527,0.2899179671309895,-0.033354504172862676,0.4486694768409336,0.024096561063096544,0.7450585995853629,0.09286699988002312,0.6432807127145352,0.06584475208114782,-0.11848786462401506,0.8033246841213995,0.05968692140551468,-0.5819147947403707,0.036098930038818366,-0.519290744569922,-0.359719470151731,-0.6156942393076648,0.7904808172876585,-0.5184359522878026,0.3871977970007734,-1.0190952381021319,0.4180536702046993,-0.3937329896274946,-0.9363567836773115,0.32336192341948333,0.08810630857289681,0.6873397001249515,-0.16631987158027783,0.5506943037983376,0.188905448877847,-0.9175765110700169,1.1995761828773581,0.7180430068920813,0.5269831252159918,-0.2833822230774956,0.41231255386677645,-0.06088160937962783,-0.4013233490760797,-2.3886724672341586,0.05953688370465926,-0.8105035281187654,-0.19239784260269488,0.9222798906172756,0.14541698663612124,-0.4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k{174}=[0.3593722314924282;0.5473090575078022;-0.26867923554027806];
x_a{174}=[-11.696635844408492,-5.511060951767408,36.94420118248663];
std_x_a{174}=[0.5262418353203571,0.8688559364012725,0.5340471998400927];
pred_a{174}=[-11.696635844408492];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.3 to 17.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{175}=[-5.2548363175182775,-0.07828346789713915,29.87208312632453];
std_x_f{175}=[0.4190864791170735,0.3678640026708246,0.6560076111335703];
pred_f{175}=[-5.2548363175182775];
obs{175}=[-5.124846769503309];
sqrt_r{175}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{175}=[1.1756693672977097];
xi{175}=[0.05960823414144656,0.18690505538570967,0.1900844225286633,-0.49789534356090304,-1.0348669993702844,0.3080902684134017,0.06216211443901187,-2.2571235723034215,0.15944135054729092,0.2093480058060031,0.3457241329112266,0.030324842610739644,-0.6713746836683123,-0.426074125048026,0.3252879105582265,-0.25740197576876245,-0.8291566561486308,0.13864389389626286,-0.00836463696193146,-0.6856276907940604,0.014895464711389472,0.5812615474212803,0.1455323828997157,0.40156287086985465,0.1813424443544429,-0.050519537114380064,-0.013075361101019034,0.153635164924542,0.1416348464891719,0.3970496781670718,0.18131200833194683,-0.17809451655689923,0.12405802684756839,-0.5377328462713509,0.39529958189457925,-0.2601989084548011,-0.008052949913259333,-0.1559786760212205,0.12112513844607786,0.3286170040122913,-0.5604032587792114,-0.7125816085908383,0.2756309896347995,0.36045249612560504,0.20565410147070207,0.038354204562274674,0.2930118096922971,0.882414478442846,-0.26918603217932,0.16608470554826216,0.018916144356579068,0.08664667839411244,-0.22592317484623248,-0.11301878144146293,-0.13552858586452832,-0.25026580195203607,0.01677869833306378,-0.51295191528322,0.07041346432692741,0.26795338873374774,-0.01037339086713196,-0.21617501920387738,0.5886851004454607,0.30487067333652185,-0.07823445293537379,0.26967142351041584,0.0111242115171164,0.11112543910185302,0.1329105184242243,-0.36049289723916367,0.20862637516691152,0.1142207389212766,0.37382710103001937,0.4018396229795096,-0.283538453687882,-0.03815620769317274,0.49051080176263806,0.13875229748002926,-0.3165331401303275,0.004957294916372312,0.06897423993443574,-0.34164711232211786,-0.6003155341733946,-0.158047978837474,0.20946602106974144,0.4289766458763289,0.26428361938069944,-0.6987962631605704,0.3405719143727035,0.2568892699524268,0.45343780490099483,-0.684509587581057,0.1906865565658622,0.1779728301344159,0.044404843321162346,0.33051121381036985,0.11348966620515455,-0.4069874895580501,0.22481727253340011,0.724344118504872;0.3144042902482341,0.4570872845824504,0.24130097529020705,-0.040985989356144115,-0.8298599628095992,-0.04294156647256733,-0.289305109733562,-2.260920668947276,-0.10649547433850588,0.09526825178973859,0.3847707547811223,-0.06353433205833793,-0.3047998116510283,-0.02023297267419956,0.078202267744902,-0.11163218582766878,-0.4188259820707606,0.11402138587398898,-0.05726029870066911,0.38172488162030965,0.2792002308699586,0.18435267651251525,0.17300666204015983,0.051697221059499275,-0.128658209692737,-0.3866741177268591,0.37275298734552126,-0.22316901538146544,0.20121629655569365,-0.1909792290029556,0.3457970633448328,-0.3602056526125862,-0.0712675108955013,0.17890543959929206,0.1791086128294293,0.19812284074164588,-0.13981700601810182,0.1366495370518701,0.15517978819539618,-0.1876193869832029,0.2394453224103974,0.0959186097176601,0.5053359277191005,0.19536826285059383,0.1298334537050035,0.0068067460338469415,-0.14159988096682258,-0.4124094553330798,-0.2588229555796941,-0.5104266350673853,-0.3562135425236395,0.5334674042441212,0.09544795421569816,-0.2874741906054711,0.11073195761697008,-0.05524002144450206,-1.0773045146562124,0.5474887675261024,0.020990808230196792,-0.5765708281767138,0.08324773774085746,0.11855780496663718,0.0021966618415965866,0.3409078748223016,0.1428328056018398,0.4443699307452929,-0.03512109444310536,-0.4637173141080593,0.09597671610074987,-0.028713004025053807,0.23860896154177508,0.1105032683909459,0.17010079347621876,-0.24958006960919116,0.14321269595258007,0.2647987027616025,-0.024721373296857363,0.278911132717927,0.2870645729274271,0.0626579413649496,0.2602480478019813,-0.4349162271307091,-0.35574144333742197,-0.05780142724094066,0.08910301331017373,0.533371385524332,0.008607237510819765,0.06421461663036802,0.1452211131955472,0.4010379595554032,0.09792392013493714,0.001140585145880016,0.4427509281415977,-0.23366970130506426,-0.0037443585002597535,-0.24929359874603602,-0.21083869218322293,0.14908169991146836,-0.07523056270394894,0.3540826037754448;0.20548140294755157,0.14054975748428333,-0.08225128498630596,0.8217673375193968,1.0666850671330472,-0.5811143331672497,-0.40246407534734985,1.838450190665725,-0.37659791648741603,-0.267192241023686,-0.20404834352886425,-0.10680877082341311,0.8721968121281094,0.7025473904928212,-0.4877463558407378,0.32493519276950167,1.0351752999527335,-0.12524904869313502,-0.04036402966403685,1.511637650570357,0.24150872014738667,-0.8058245975968816,-0.08232193719813807,-0.6391626327626341,-0.4499800497265518,-0.3146549365861304,0.3940301175976053,-0.5013265606476516,-0.03666582183440781,-0.8949824203503063,0.03924532858508556,-0.06496965126498111,-0.26373567091986416,1.0803668865982239,-0.5041820273319395,0.6291709705412174,-0.1321500582187909,0.40472297441022675,-0.04333444799615904,-0.7589529738493113,1.2104044276039403,1.310585711691374,0.04155576573332809,-0.41776133491928746,-0.2256865950010507,-0.05989081996781209,-0.6496134456019043,-1.963283470259448,0.20798758916184212,-0.8336747747436348,-0.4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k{175}=[0.14942072336331064;0.05872832203563226;-0.2036522257417024];
x_a{175}=[-5.23326337438594,-0.06980443819486985,29.84268039164483];
std_x_a{175}=[0.3659012941940334,0.3684482441428929,0.5732134345623148];
pred_a{175}=[-5.23326337438594];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.4 to 17.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{176}=[-2.023088835420084,-0.46146650726249455,22.88899080902623];
std_x_f{176}=[0.2893875990421976,0.3968722324802192,0.42331145541309273];
pred_f{176}=[-2.023088835420084];
obs{176}=[-2.0376538846422654];
sqrt_r{176}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{176}=[1.08374641243086];
xi{176}=[0.011034726720053012,0.5282227998260451,0.18508081535401089,0.034183647545032114,-0.6700903854547735,0.0433662629640259,-0.22712734446408023,-1.7140318852881196,-0.031035631521156848,0.14393303913938293,0.33089373178627945,-0.02693883042075562,-0.27714592223925516,-0.08653218449590128,0.16786556569579902,-0.1009990774834062,-0.39203018260655353,0.08876503253008283,-0.16168732518075402,0.20321849026332162,0.23721225764917864,0.10775121728778259,0.11863217404293325,0.10195939673126642,-0.043593105123592935,-0.3475803249917675,0.2630439699337994,-0.13370207672928958,0.12256459512583984,-0.12869914625007084,0.40419943220579313,-0.26324342942432466,0.023945909940559895,0.18031632178302281,0.08037796149914622,0.0908340201814064,-0.1294670711788677,0.10065008195251468,0.09500769737329073,-0.1186391852031572,0.08812579125352316,0.11475136271343311,0.46678612741562486,0.1394106713445562,0.11033229553313073,0.011256124909039489,-0.08116778839805994,-0.19891362634412868,-0.21951903846582388,-0.38356492862586133,-0.24725707332416702,0.462345436534342,0.0020972360534101675,-0.2173745545596586,0.051813105769139334,-8.391680286257142E-5,-0.7481809647381406,0.2935700835187214,0.025146949934818252,-0.45074775486634344,-0.01786642499601454,0.02678017126989518,0.08347902328917756,0.23428459175028515,0.09271933592195336,0.37142487999002594,-0.1036792221759435,-0.35048785192040466,0.12713427506937158,-0.1247974862604706,0.1873546989674144,0.08322895342388237,0.09863043650450876,-0.21377789872577013,0.221718207396419,0.1796141653214849,-0.14953677056142167,0.21975504152171887,0.20363126431878942,0.02896431670229238,0.16260953477647067,-0.32584212981470717,-0.314511594019502,-0.15791847690412109,0.0973596942111461,0.4617509632556063,0.04052302439009248,0.026280765045989085,0.13889758634198546,0.38936215111786576,0.1791017734124909,-0.048943634129926306,0.3260911605225971,-0.1419762131688671,-0.015194057901044555,-0.20069323052118593,-0.1789136075308715,0.07847775862365758,-0.10694937100497182,0.3625726181605957;0.3384138417659442,0.5321992982964594,0.20803990522288396,0.16826147802540653,-0.481579979577444,-0.1872855860729809,-0.4062878053806758,-1.4283989155043468,-0.20358865533457854,0.03552244577010799,0.33307570203680126,-0.09592577825447451,-0.06565741585561685,0.1582231202305897,-0.029388576933828625,-0.036501120530269826,-0.1163923700188279,0.06998360347412363,-0.08461808963672385,0.7661835253615088,0.3303003600862179,-0.03208295854350335,0.14473284232761063,-0.10576232463468577,-0.24290009247855943,-0.47982931839330306,0.45575018965817776,-0.3523331618425491,0.1708329652114181,-0.425196466102217,0.3809899188010119,-0.38976336650208526,-0.13003499691774972,0.4534842690715082,0.03436166081492181,0.347801656880778,-0.18925413487408832,0.22842300548206002,0.12949071572849286,-0.388287345739531,0.5481660211760304,0.43468967602718234,0.5188307871334488,0.07855961210115531,0.06319220922807917,-0.024038496096062456,-0.31117604412550165,-0.8857136576251883,-0.21643406544524274,-0.7406302431799343,-0.4707125530806167,0.625696912241904,0.21449148186217118,-0.3189422996649441,0.18601871351805344,0.04419978631143573,-1.3833033595683755,0.8861539604590378,-0.012681008310393094,-0.8721865981364922,0.08506221609567827,0.23431457108896578,-0.23598402493509724,0.2856448501999985,0.20894344440968926,0.42972644524165415,-0.06808880699792513,-0.6407917105512315,0.06109813682095794,0.11885484580898703,0.19706749131934026,0.08047665430322831,0.036033966936238115,-0.5023215770361242,0.310907946919591,0.33294733236902807,-0.2821882408038027,0.2837518620959576,0.4816773136170195,0.06477673137279177,0.27854223268074896,-0.39551762483440217,-0.16572519000141223,-0.01563810750300243,0.01669999431121899,0.4863823882667951,-0.11380548632912141,0.3912544377728606,0.030641706773999466,0.40154528494049746,-0.051498800488469276,0.31852881677173694,0.46645117131338765,-0.37818084306528793,-0.03496430373727044,-0.4703544492618949,-0.3308572878246708,0.35567402656705643,-0.2128065838413709,0.16253628926992764;0.6269429175877654,-0.4039149720313979,-0.10153532450903313,0.2337972352368567,0.8833772661719763,-0.4792322427613769,-0.15449797953147382,1.8303351073645224,-0.306672943852238,-0.33055322655159713,-0.23784908182306808,-0.10928323423230779,0.6096266587795327,0.5267857297450007,-0.5098205033278411,0.20441331291842602,0.7940722913464562,-0.09771294751138981,0.2694805330860497,0.8798833731079014,-0.001274637832647585,-0.3432942543092494,-0.05610819370352971,-0.46675837938690634,-0.35243684550460586,0.018040412967785358,0.18093662419111922,-0.3188658773390536,0.016119019808755297,-0.45146679375619314,-0.3594940113021501,-0.024846371605718787,-0.31747391044067186,0.36991078693365154,-0.14930118253751345,0.4080141363443346,-0.009824878210391574,0.17509105057808227,0.002274331156236542,-0.41378432529036147,0.7871145597173914,0.5107679777813026,-0.21641399732670052,-0.22049446613270973,-0.16734091285248098,-0.06411792560422924,-0.37325687556026566,-1.18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k{176}=[0.07727491548785438;0.08931940759866572;-0.035970226482054585];
x_a{176}=[-2.041671061297874,-0.4829450607722626,22.897640535384976];
std_x_a{176}=[0.2689985325341909,0.376804813039364,0.42066660288061475];
pred_a{176}=[-2.041671061297874];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.5 to 17.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{177}=[-1.455600260184381,-1.6132224111280562,17.69254405424896];
std_x_f{177}=[0.38405493397436796,0.5742108791991555,0.32543436060775427];
pred_f{177}=[-1.455600260184381];
obs{177}=[-1.5199116114579214];
sqrt_r{177}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{177}=[1.1475662227436891];
xi{177}=[-0.08206712453632714,0.5781566230466151,0.27101026092678615,0.100354522497492,-0.4799140921988214,-0.03757527873900979,-0.3161578181758071,-1.5012150918822365,-0.20685541748730274,0.10762255112406915,0.318466673156669,-0.19248296302839019,-0.11983713234572257,0.12177677501964146,0.0487400791218251,-0.05048156710470608,-0.2611689071661625,0.11659419037899466,-0.037990635443513554,0.6733717421890119,0.24379304983036687,-0.34764607121209856,0.1235307836089361,-0.07413979264870885,-0.19961415339094257,-0.5104201213805302,0.3860134827070736,-0.3120411447444895,0.13298134150339802,-0.32937298199320364,0.4749747671150797,-0.3743904793851587,-0.08952958613677775,0.38544426285085454,0.09489898724472945,0.2817732061812033,-0.2713783508538419,0.23639750937652626,-0.04690438187467727,-0.3860483701439372,0.4551299669719435,0.3746184723173547,0.5289177676596627,0.08523480447980036,0.19762448097691165,-0.11280441960486609,-0.2797713323838724,-0.7497954983142441,-0.27157933471009454,-0.6922064026522248,-0.19342316916916102,0.6750016378778064,0.0972976010415898,-0.24437958123236525,0.27267757299968687,0.07234077559187413,-1.3043608299694107,0.7721900154288747,-0.23422217890907282,-0.8724074030801889,0.12492924544069539,0.1996480605868891,-0.10760419833667534,0.30504212318865664,0.24442430444781027,0.4176365464589431,-0.05384405846995399,-0.586458511584784,0.18974933395636984,0.2765486680475644,0.095524933997303,0.027976826334753513,-0.045178433817681274,-0.45924181001503417,0.3950906508220249,0.330468112121971,-0.09049039146334947,0.31948969925846593,0.5003941011725102,-0.14972833514250916,0.17250626186406204,-0.3945406607147808,-0.16788029563642048,-0.012583948016218427,0.007949147231831377,0.556037347157498,-0.05020720466443662,0.22240633597794224,0.22268109732633645,0.4350056337756345,-0.004128889482389875,0.1276194065710876,0.5565283016933038,-0.34018109325079293,0.005622580639408348,-0.36219340988368187,-0.336341296134826,0.32480879762363246,-0.19822471582867895,0.2559874454206206;0.02050302383442304,0.785706983146407,0.37595283137038904,0.1886109670296341,-0.5307671588040719,-0.14917465172762845,-0.4987596232852394,-1.7214814753118886,-0.36281644492271536,0.09700752812523072,0.425508692809641,-0.2942626300347235,-0.063406428492083,0.2704259656960031,-0.023251492265404572,-0.039437810611947954,-0.21926665286623903,0.13927209664578744,-0.008699630123153002,1.1306774307688974,0.36047357557372317,-0.5514385772946226,0.16643485528319202,-0.19700476283058732,-0.36940703433685695,-0.743214858387373,0.5938254381545844,-0.5181220029452522,0.1978181836869195,-0.5740404741621041,0.6327178757400461,-0.5565788173214432,-0.19018000093792042,0.6406826935052791,0.10714960361697234,0.48720123768044443,-0.39651051490858946,0.3721760386678168,-0.05724005085059414,-0.642152268380314,0.8025628101988279,0.6345554210967812,0.7396263889350145,0.07859751976587015,0.2508701319049007,-0.17589467528175606,-0.4823094683802325,-1.3361421652895447,-0.3617621889715712,-1.0871319016092766,-0.3512530387382913,0.9803310387702643,0.2201136287227099,-0.37071638071827095,0.43236201021208376,0.1128372032335796,-2.025325122803287,1.2774861039333667,-0.3463048726339084,-1.3621636354562583,0.21467697272123032,0.35416464739091724,-0.2846525586634723,0.4318747270205312,0.37902595341610557,0.5858472757336644,-0.05815955749151258,-0.9183781848626309,0.2311479729370276,0.48848147479551574,0.11884709376791536,0.031069873077704147,-0.09254102645539053,-0.7462806278609533,0.5760778356566305,0.5123667449987959,-0.17308649423391587,0.4609417059098109,0.7894414597155905,-0.20046597546727996,0.2770935667322709,-0.5531593000698802,-0.1484772165473005,0.04811149282288585,-0.026518559043955836,0.7687763932123114,-0.13182985677273518,0.4462031170171199,0.2600705894086699,0.5945948841550293,-0.112652341389895,0.32912367161159506,0.8219520395105278,-0.562079979513668,7.769552208996E-4,-0.6075230401565761,-0.518040825432305,0.5446515305348212,-0.3131912680338502,0.26644836720214515;0.5763920082753167,-0.4113395485982778,-0.16384010918510583,0.15296215774890953,0.7418843388308609,-0.39091778243267683,-0.06862620990743196,1.8602966474454021,-0.1819953100768288,-0.289657322603059,-0.24366671371830861,-0.01980724232215536,0.46392422931922184,0.3463578638958289,-0.4066046100574603,0.1508028003867139,0.659390935170066,-0.11741893665029579,0.1743687134591383,0.5265837788046461,-0.037421299722016244,-0.07433272611981678,-0.07381981952659089,-0.3347145763273147,-0.23152946949114295,0.147163406200999,0.07008648147681384,-0.17669933419137251,-0.01472240296294558,-0.2709013798855082,-0.37789735799606916,0.05305598486011931,-0.22991561727168985,0.19383116627614427,-0.1581056851584357,0.24088368620689593,0.07164930134857528,0.06372723003552139,0.049757736708215816,-0.2091492462354516,0.5015438234783787,0.295594132233461,-0.25948695109156716,-0.19107180504003907,-0.21462104808151494,-0.005485008986383377,-0.21892978922024042,-0.6911182684719073,0.1938993630025614,-0.11529617432915273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k{177}=[0.12859059444157958;0.19002353918726445;-0.018797748996147265];
x_a{177}=[-1.4271550241891817,-1.571187731684371,17.688385846499045];
std_x_a{177}=[0.38576228845790694,0.5761990270722257,0.3264498778338674];
pred_a{177}=[-1.4271550241891817];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.6 to 17.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{178}=[-2.129386207751964,-3.4188663839333304,13.957636319309415];
std_x_f{178}=[0.6762800054927239,1.1039523596210952,0.37725490867063416];
pred_f{178}=[-2.129386207751964];
obs{178}=[-2.3197324728362214];
sqrt_r{178}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{178}=[1.457856870661181];
xi{178}=[-0.22298039905398337,0.7181337388821318,0.3188022945674227,-0.05013490822571676,-0.5714838212403177,-0.5443234011316616,-0.5998513969607151,-1.561648592914887,-0.17008423649848936,0.17007405350286042,0.37608742293353536,-0.19939795165916285,-0.24289710650565466,0.21260858206745126,0.14957433679001642,-0.27571868040381275,-0.29919764009927663,0.09498052174677163,-0.08140889363309789,0.9883496795073612,0.27292950854713594,-0.6535314720240613,0.31039026771943434,-0.25434212599542994,-0.4702392204004804,-0.8301858176897823,0.546284895229705,-0.7823848074763706,0.10523423501991447,-0.651308586587684,0.7401632256056339,-0.7103393391074366,-0.08690897843015621,0.2950851729503443,-0.005005153609149993,0.42309307893658565,-0.701096242494073,0.4046937151238297,-0.04554682565858359,-0.8659795195479365,0.6332165919549411,0.9412216513741218,0.8012968186381031,0.3368847222967466,0.11144156890912305,-0.19104072407051564,-0.5447568303965507,-1.8122150823953627,-0.3170299671779455,-1.3100995167996747,-0.15777663090952032,1.6272336493861963,0.06436951141618952,-0.2796117655616186,0.5106198665947024,0.5464664201997871,-2.365165856071664,1.159916650310556,-0.35596351379702407,-1.4769881837836714,0.1578787362213423,1.0177298006410642,-0.28791072718566957,0.7723340076376561,0.3248832461802078,0.732786206308943,0.1819329198945132,-0.9189923826810804,0.07773472258313552,-0.19281793413126858,0.059104277776885095,0.127487604350899,0.9879343187381147,-0.720064548963947,0.5709541957737592,0.7170213438514692,-0.2471644885768618,0.7052091853287212,1.1138218059467284,-0.5956911073009206,0.2498341089116054,-0.6360158871820603,-0.1924692313100702,-0.15397697428146317,-0.03756036669947305,0.7513851117764179,-0.2156482932836541,0.3765825365109736,1.2595703920539243,0.8284888936838724,-0.23172263713136898,0.21122508541402119,0.7868482416454252,-0.6777636887550824,-0.02011223551431618,-0.6801060130385848,-0.6172469499867703,0.4966862771910294,0.151337750580665,0.5939837051221513;-0.2963946213761348,1.1450654304419912,0.4999189184836008,-0.0757767572750998,-0.840488868707522,-0.9454172147815849,-0.9943680992190189,-2.2006036428549627,-0.3107241297946275,0.2378025403278099,0.5852846125582918,-0.33906676123230994,-0.34679132553227454,0.3866935902394504,0.1826331472951872,-0.43903416408570983,-0.4069082876018624,0.13640908841110244,-0.11804116461232805,1.6756970443897072,0.44285703931520315,-1.0787776253130654,0.49546340094986885,-0.466703865377708,-0.8076893111075143,-1.3347344136077033,0.9042533449608086,-1.3087253346027095,0.16573442171601194,-1.1105418185311247,1.1838705470598074,-1.1562328906743358,-0.17523072697987008,0.5037639492937016,-0.031710335962673586,0.718935205110566,-1.1456642873771021,0.6636570631234369,-0.07282124316811034,-1.4483975200815107,1.0932299712294022,1.5753064827961298,1.2853745103367848,0.526409270016575,0.15801892115351102,-0.31365567111044745,-0.932354926912422,-3.05673122635783,-0.5038175070107256,-2.1515287742435,-0.294142975135117,2.6762197558973897,0.1274458381088719,-0.46774689506603906,0.8428495803117877,0.8905000288257403,-3.805349620880269,1.9468254785139865,-0.5824979167637596,-2.4174616142269953,0.2719640293131578,1.6918282787632872,-0.5439023703445716,1.2552560131821835,0.5310249782562999,1.1867729202763928,0.3029889748244803,-1.5206388543225047,0.09120495809330276,-0.279150593524522,0.07545019881263793,0.19662856456686129,1.611891193838947,-1.2108094431254472,0.9286850276591765,1.1845358747925676,-0.4265850776779514,1.146479656252442,1.8476769056475595,-0.9616494004619445,0.4092822620991665,-1.0217399246858974,-0.27786609437453214,-0.22613578584953453,-0.08671696875760038,1.2115213917332186,-0.38760934993503415,0.6607831163934539,2.045973422572363,1.3408700727512568,-0.44091927287326804,0.401546654092495,1.2770548035764477,-1.1372095320541598,-0.044409284142780336,-1.1520240879726118,-1.021302216053067,0.8336726408137243,0.24582996701270066,0.9156587075284053;0.497671010706906,-0.5418493999723104,-0.25876794053321817,0.11489310680985731,0.7563010785333297,-0.09521951058326117,0.15091813989463887,2.115610401251349,-0.13183019504972293,-0.3156168887499664,-0.3362339518084472,0.008771323561248323,0.41993616159180647,0.15126383813300137,-0.40839714673624705,0.20063128803928443,0.5784760236767053,-0.15695257041115873,0.13040417810325522,0.12017135426081715,-0.14388437626958428,0.1661572189074576,-0.20352435470717367,-0.19600822821035635,-0.026663797004246703,0.42669379488060954,-0.14083272571268068,0.16370076348641227,-0.07893449672987707,0.01813598857265397,-0.539832884960278,0.30255001582947294,-0.18526237307722582,0.040444368289898947,-0.15023660504672165,0.021529038887381446,0.3249474803474026,-0.11267451940528161,0.019024113000424947,0.17812285421721263,0.1734809440262417,-0.08653447666510772,-0.4585323588517589,-0.3068816650836492,-0.2298751616994732,0.0243130036519581,0.00626707962500106,0.35873596371246563,0.220516209026842,0.4815702636757919,-0.15962500548407732,-0.5322226935255383,0.1590258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k{178}=[0.3140616063725991;0.5120754541615504;-0.1280478172899448];
x_a{178}=[-2.1614994121607145,-3.471226759727516,13.970729373816207];
std_x_a{178}=[0.5686549060690874,0.9315827341791529,0.34225087886454086];
pred_a{178}=[-2.1614994121607145];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.7 to 17.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{179}=[-4.334479226341119,-7.591835215388853,12.339551579625835];
std_x_f{179}=[1.1088577027339608,1.8469691757095885,0.987476101365474];
pred_f{179}=[-4.334479226341119];
obs{179}=[-4.690491501945462];
sqrt_r{179}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{179}=[2.2300672849708194];
xi{179}=[-0.22290384873278057,0.5597938779987768,-0.2439960118628015,-0.37786928744479553,-0.5946778426195394,-0.8900805176395119,-0.8595193976092146,-0.5450664652045392,-0.30004244425670734,-0.1441908811150432,0.3969378948244491,-0.4347403008187021,-0.2628484041200778,-0.7353419484579788,-0.13669805236858235,-0.7770565787435224,-0.23943605789773947,0.11083634153688493,-0.2836842133317887,1.2601698998930613,0.4041104900026151,-1.1172596028717159,0.1750440833757141,0.6294373458010214,-0.7408584359301198,-1.2024739748603457,-0.32635202895716553,-2.3235893216199326,0.36416507745956794,-1.1558889493290971,4.34155447232543,-0.8440828429887999,-0.35021911527188543,0.8042822527032958,0.9719946661649361,0.8151023349191453,-1.262229482434945,0.2651490930050402,-0.48654294405838616,-3.2988032934533704,0.5618557535100517,1.0613687791638315,0.526704148166707,0.353967996916531,0.7144516114755604,-1.2239252376953313,-0.14482717548372026,-2.5232292970586325,0.014942975234879086,0.16908222430763153,0.22532684484095533,2.192346850186544,0.29410150588879524,-0.3451955860498339,0.7001924281947614,0.6338558141827804,-2.797975355260168,1.7190999160381453,0.23840318837814412,-2.0683653422169046,0.2402586939795084,0.4853693414049016,-0.9210607754517257,0.8754675530183267,1.4210345805721034,2.4280968937942733,0.5405238037722104,-1.2687143861630679,-0.052324652710016295,-0.2522173373967549,0.6140857846852597,1.3343819771984475,1.303258267629519,-1.0574422457301802,0.9017493241424974,0.5861946224899164,-1.1631079530724424,0.6051053280704548,1.4975338233820765,-0.4282842269213347,0.193363622550474,0.7095500317349681,-0.2454774551913701,0.22331855844008075,-0.11351563693642053,1.2385489479817489,-0.4338694428348324,0.6330999974431255,1.0959498526678337,0.5781875614162715,-0.13919085635509632,-0.5679549767467718,1.0227563403499365,-0.7280063459937605,-1.738103178298422,-1.5058440471102665,-1.6975461628367805,0.8237845217200532,1.0796002567240666,0.6371323658495291;-0.33597338974754454,0.8766421731326837,-0.4715563647530825,-0.6491774955649507,-0.9218152330137919,-1.56018414807947,-1.4712897263776963,-0.637292591874882,-0.5759211039854168,-0.3199058133525794,0.6000126432501451,-0.766832252562347,-0.42867637034408723,-1.2033392084532828,-0.3184849338892084,-1.2978001969302806,-0.3574220720593635,0.1332826268486258,-0.4871526860414068,2.171300995706736,0.6473782943643736,-1.8802119604658163,0.24658019084177152,0.981390096046181,-1.3001205237036313,-1.9762104679721695,-0.5636654610328407,-3.763585236436878,0.5717732492501408,-1.979854792315253,7.615643722949965,-1.4152729861060944,-0.65806546489104,1.3448862827453212,1.5905870871228327,1.3674601470989014,-2.083200499279707,0.41444363198987855,-0.8413532432300297,-5.1776806116990155,0.9817944249603272,1.8024991101727776,0.8294053911244506,0.5315400910357386,1.1474667659729523,-2.036536172933724,-0.31753080691374524,-4.129171571604147,0.007564628860367684,0.238141122589826,0.3067192518953501,3.762361380677256,0.49241897234224474,-0.618238250208293,1.15269392803775,1.0360581150571493,-4.338988605798969,2.964787470594467,0.362155695461424,-3.3410344480830005,0.3770202500433122,0.8088588025083201,-1.6311115423547022,1.4405998950568772,2.3832205795190022,4.156805561043484,0.8834633326099457,-2.121980033380531,-0.15989678598711432,-0.4145534443019976,0.9843419329387464,2.224697587501433,2.1826927264562785,-1.794408397040426,1.4818069746270037,0.9621569894182675,-1.9583211379561174,0.9862818861545479,2.547852197047937,-0.7354098573508825,0.2907535149018674,1.1796927565453945,-0.3978212608314582,0.3615134965073219,-0.25711648910310636,2.052743482694715,-0.7939171011806891,1.0835232141096531,1.809081522160536,0.9150164354345289,-0.3344566777849707,-0.8986552292255947,1.6982970361028134,-1.268560732211414,-2.8532123813590573,-2.5181608136170297,-2.7855871855155048,1.3880191195445635,1.787430183102411,0.9838567927459954;0.4243992518696995,-0.7687842197196861,0.006737830105658205,0.3064065394410882,0.868041284789026,0.48258952089302554,0.6303864022285737,1.6086188256678131,0.0031312818114344054,-0.17947888790834554,-0.5834996428769301,0.2264185817705986,0.39070700338004727,0.7802036436686333,-0.26681331599052527,0.6980377422498982,0.4799572710207425,-0.293510928279737,0.229589156685023,-0.6545840404976726,-0.4749232168343376,0.8927367870094791,-0.31683140525217013,-0.8615761373694539,0.41180676214262313,1.1397008953876817,0.25396561200407497,2.282733130442274,-0.44214986127049016,0.8195076876151095,-2.49447846661082,0.7043514779407367,0.031684495695724735,-0.6221093231070327,-0.9950352563222431,-0.60406976287282,1.1651901892151155,-0.28226580438368387,0.3489498255575434,3.5907060887366455,-0.22760057517165322,-0.6996967996418917,-0.6501106482685977,-0.5366056970653084,-0.8329188089386701,1.0597493726086302,-0.1448825408654031,2.341279559317302,-0.047833195092268355,-0.29406316830682044,-0.47462050313381,-1.5034409153615762,-0.21298136654125344,0.16907826750903432,-0.622216718618283,-0.621964239502466,3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k{179}=[0.5515830366467688;0.9178100956046404;-0.4706754579377305];
x_a{179}=[-4.588065296085675,-8.013791366055072,12.555941010724457];
std_x_a{179}=[0.7745106371925791,1.2937591503993184,0.7146334719395288];
pred_a{179}=[-4.588065296085675];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.8 to 17.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{180}=[-9.557599750355752,-15.968036140205163,17.329323871210892];
std_x_f{180}=[1.2759398915492541,1.5333350637380039,2.5684048806726043];
pred_f{180}=[-9.557599750355752];
obs{180}=[-9.854856218920927];
sqrt_r{180}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{180}=[2.6323643870039026];
xi{180}=[-0.6556189713247136,0.364724415243483,0.05660554926746464,-0.18059524128711857,-2.979162975901689,-0.9686001668086526,-0.47686160297350355,0.9711776997350317,-2.1037409441993216,-0.03393775199562299,0.8619282366052872,-0.3777513551771978,-0.09735491843485633,-0.4460170650135389,-2.1471163101011435,-0.7242827025158896,-0.2894806857002141,1.9110553062522282,-1.0023737188937414,1.644375538344744,0.3833012392743722,-0.8550039629783246,-0.40087640335761776,0.5573483995746571,-1.4958727118249975,-0.19006835638026054,-0.08874130739513042,-1.0670496186086567,0.8770314824379586,-0.6275009173348138,3.986678216738343,-0.49940627770741486,-0.3382077653097184,0.7583088234819044,1.0502877216640307,0.6709932836236998,-0.6822800276843317,0.6165695972604013,-0.916684244061889,-1.8246734379746812,0.5741511817975091,1.8062282244689163,3.04641225658487,-0.04769266891034363,0.22296125205175343,-0.16763066764506007,-2.058023167918803,-1.321199425842254,-0.4669115108231203,1.730021673233904,-0.4949624177524363,2.440545408602186,0.5064148099368442,-0.3097625920147937,0.5743500495783138,0.6034008777686477,-1.718896229375357,0.1325902007294424,3.616959795919767,-1.2627924863043738,0.41685593621496864,2.1167512627500145,-0.6505758966453339,0.7445213932031827,-0.5354171078165262,1.9941945900488758,-0.11570059157781465,1.108445720858974,-0.2675870897662591,-1.41547626867764,0.8113372819322784,1.2005218461929292,0.9466159771582188,-0.2580806369845572,0.8582700526403357,-1.3811996138862845,-0.021689454749230563,-0.547739542508177,1.3531985247221225,-0.2038967749957603,0.7472174721395533,1.7272594237648375,-1.5723756014016406,-2.5152663043210577,-1.33264320337768,1.0162448006211378,-0.004778994521785762,0.7609395877326541,0.35400094329678566,-0.926599246951179,-0.28205681772179325,-0.4926571815145451,1.0865219385548741,-1.4391321544929365,-1.5113700682964861,-3.1173668433351143,-1.0219695609617965,0.48458150850343173,0.8625123927370968,0.37629766878704984;-0.7664167428757818,0.1936916564354938,-0.16222180711769774,-0.362652449157542,-2.4086660535894904,-1.326456984057705,-0.7335746770959428,1.4886224078345691,-2.305203309403103,-0.31006283191469386,0.8402279772230266,-0.6429115812647499,-0.18378764534297254,-0.5833766664497428,-2.4077996695369226,-0.9302984231081535,-0.36404039646957465,2.3299387471875033,-1.2297732699806918,2.1322172244257267,0.2729296488077946,-1.1010956869003845,-0.6770598272809227,0.4175489178224332,-1.7986366325865273,-0.3128971728879879,-0.26312053223026943,-1.1306522529992318,0.9039884732651284,-0.9238749861760684,5.941907232572696,-0.7131354345147454,-0.6455252342840101,0.8162662084512533,1.122858030238664,0.7180061632850379,-0.8611568058594674,0.5870862726511596,-1.1768367741862722,-1.469222557325418,0.651371203228921,2.2956800640104493,4.076377969730245,-0.29379343824016324,0.040638044190490774,-0.3323618391389562,-2.2786930640337726,-1.4247187457137667,-0.6886587321349484,2.080911441434031,-0.8208515603850994,3.287496713537232,0.48668286595322563,-0.5545494621630187,0.5492004105175781,0.5702979892038034,-1.3346482222386218,0.23170039710671553,5.014104943951608,-1.3143104458272017,0.3388010203609788,2.7140532403861286,-1.0326625751628082,0.7392498280900863,-0.711695327416626,2.616056675460465,-0.3004921431872436,1.2579028560489984,-0.5686545146768491,-1.5661430868996238,0.8067332901655071,1.375204583036009,1.0358856875165117,-0.5000407353316572,0.8892609092037613,-1.5947657097888115,-0.2059310105101364,-0.815295042870213,1.6746076701032404,-0.3926811793843097,0.7447615267252257,2.1167863456485403,-1.6982061887574833,-2.408709604199105,-1.6510825387343306,1.088729634888697,-0.2608495150278056,0.8639642730289481,0.23627172118304607,-1.2490133604526843,-0.6457313324357283,-0.5885543020632777,1.206710373804917,-1.7319162341631706,-1.6236280640144312,-2.7327764950023212,-1.1801106628762863,0.48387999582811325,0.8943768249915394,0.15899407789093623;1.4212570292690785,-1.188819835489852,-0.495999126776816,0.16904766581219377,7.380670069891153,1.6196213998719564,0.7026934831495169,-0.9837538287974752,4.364480282058409,-0.39953932750342247,-2.0816498741013216,0.46146223799717845,0.16614850014656213,0.8812288941282418,4.3392475090224,1.378549127731798,0.6709332708231805,-3.856280009847545,1.9524264429911113,-2.8447677412755485,-1.0719362136239141,1.578996857036067,0.4860903303272224,-1.5844875614871015,2.899571547898166,0.32235930782987054,-0.03191593542522497,2.425465867215749,-1.9999187326152867,0.970094609155062,-5.543589965695141,0.8451391944528588,0.2549693030444793,-1.6056067471093094,-2.34265503871222,-1.4103634585530784,1.3455159239677954,-1.442898908807221,1.706647616352356,4.7584397764827,-1.0797597966739048,-3.314217325358225,-5.580961154367108,-0.30185596812722437,-0.8440953527347546,0.17388148930471914,4.241271484104971,2.9034392537809595,0.7551575538836452,-3.511952033709786,0.5738190726548886,-4.174232335374853,-1.1535271391945372,0.3296449284611498,-1.334347390350164,-1.4480241553636333,4.61562288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k{180}=[0.6201133836420811;0.732052672020886;-1.2283074427320004];
x_a{180}=[-9.709791020172704,-16.147700099517575,17.630781111719184];
std_x_a{180}=[0.6756233783362525,0.8470797748171182,1.4127790368574564];
pred_a{180}=[-9.709791020172704];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.9 to 18.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{181}=[-15.100558537756633,-16.814886386757536,34.18764401211056];
std_x_f{181}=[0.29614188407555614,1.327123937798502,1.659369925814319];
pred_f{181}=[-15.100558537756633];
obs{181}=[-15.348726398369658];
sqrt_r{181}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{181}=[1.0877001205573478];
xi{181}=[0.0032249494941147816,-0.2953683039417694,-0.2562912239142108,-0.1546708370634544,0.7966782739414704,-0.25260525326474337,-0.2039399566396085,0.45344665816826435,0.03601328001590787,-0.2921150005657154,-0.13316273823410008,-0.25889847823626155,-0.08477220425477938,-0.08431614422953615,-0.017224594567416318,-0.10209316035779814,-0.05509695643779189,0.116997895750794,-0.1063853809168247,0.28128400134936804,-0.2347223051990035,-0.15615454359355496,-0.23481550653874805,-0.261995259256981,-0.06068699727040183,-0.05390416082567029,-0.18010634818182858,0.08072013186039406,0.29067030808492866,-0.23002104278392288,1.620757873401221,0.11280246366715474,-0.31531211578013085,-0.08902143699519982,-0.05013988911868239,-0.08009733226129434,-0.04231062055411883,-0.13818989867124998,-0.1523010245294003,0.5416308133195766,-0.03300475142436454,0.21664286187849058,0.5614240333279437,-0.27165126987640953,-0.28348503406963665,-0.18424586500040796,0.02229613661088159,0.05027687250290569,-0.1350342179527093,0.08974940845008916,-0.257485703560727,0.45915271108326117,-0.10841472492870885,-0.23231765436378105,-0.1261701076559305,-0.19721639368063038,0.5964888903872403,0.2280837569229739,0.9344965229465583,0.11093587582175601,0.16987530021617303,0.22595376718427573,-0.2677083078374043,-0.1952441601066326,-0.10446102570786131,0.28937119379710907,-0.1030776160323299,-0.010169154233821587,-0.2831558722225864,0.026632309557015788,-0.15782102138867238,-0.022230577663460593,0.07464223673149561,-0.21539875941947706,-0.16854508774743948,-0.0480919424739632,-0.15616935326627512,-0.15757202374930124,0.12705761917241176,0.27505758907865996,-0.1485792011675553,0.10263792515935499,0.07666220252734668,0.36447894638051537,-0.10804860400574334,-0.04645749804934418,-0.22494607670794942,-0.017652311605417026,-0.07728999918455592,-0.20974160127157226,-0.32414821950703043,0.0012371074817405514,-0.0699436401283009,-0.12114353527245036,0.07843594273639631,0.6379761886129156,-0.04030882414842907,-0.06518583421931545,-0.1952887231260032,-0.1096686406812637;0.12921165329424866,-0.07248219180316084,-0.2285532527559404,-0.17587810707486184,3.3901115603486414,1.0435325675062952,0.16090556384116184,0.028909353135993854,2.1171555361862477,3.263994623059972,-1.3525203261717067,1.5815044185270661,0.21205344200243914,0.42498394972554365,1.816642484288904,0.21647303200006363,0.7943427446159106,-1.4778447800262953,0.7807623361205813,-0.8765618278879472,0.2540691771274126,0.9627215498669397,0.08036128993092717,-0.7341717752981225,-0.22087335272487252,-0.5720564200168958,0.06164914170339486,0.8894278213718643,-3.1896840425540134,0.4792216262457458,-0.5339358595183015,-2.2031144358609254,1.062789620296046,-0.31891109497346903,-1.4486663605011216,-0.25576251099997904,-0.3311822986220001,-0.5702446171778206,0.9771058588014974,2.088378187350365,0.094253892500614,-0.8804121491684356,-1.5883225911871968,-0.0918821171155706,0.2992665105639425,0.859426730320088,1.3991217284831095,1.8478231400388534,-0.29686987329998615,-1.428327230227108,-0.35132446265286177,-0.7002865201457702,-0.41741362010889915,0.39030561209310477,-0.5488783053872837,0.27507318632739697,1.3346725744915684,-1.1459843154390619,-1.7070631025169405,1.176265823721911,-2.725363689129793,-0.755501474808586,-0.7337833758631618,0.07791789447231778,0.17139664635335805,-0.7274744742234098,-1.103873160513956,-1.0178163659798969,-0.08120058323487456,1.3619293801953116,-0.7531037358651105,-0.945936310988106,-1.9023977333064543,-0.1771009853619887,-0.11761191743154953,1.507995485849806,-0.7559841201826671,-0.47002125486956814,-0.7605227477801826,-3.065683633559633,-0.539008432033139,-1.0116855759691354,1.1546755534237878,1.864702030560892,-0.19150881642771722,-1.3871016957934081,4.256261162032487,-0.40000922716086507,-1.6367320542331427,0.5555504306192383,-0.7050893365814161,-0.02280144651009053,-0.7195032915127406,1.3212678627732313,1.2621025120160674,3.507235985628748,1.5891800718297517,-0.5650267760688656,0.3796353735421967,-2.5113173685782826;0.1945301492835867,0.7583219052937551,0.4951905499657485,0.28474209594272537,1.3979002208917635,1.7784672250879083,0.758565255480832,-1.1062327517280224,2.070318258977764,3.9628889845171145,-1.05564669301922,2.3143598359930877,0.5080911081599666,0.7248050558725296,1.9183911027245486,0.5514155534165965,1.0226552096580335,-1.9153686410346467,1.141600234966539,-1.6762279415324528,0.9294326870015865,1.4457450613413059,0.7599777644226293,-0.030882172153241072,-0.023536401026476028,-0.4083289603158491,0.6009541073743492,0.7693406435696559,-4.446671032509613,1.1554701006375652,-5.124487569309213,-2.710522039771387,1.9473274190105982,-0.04768069807031594,-1.3870460284103032,-0.004155045719826944,-0.17976887788232432,-0.18319336845861045,1.4531539230762576,0.7830661355780109,0.24598822178371194,-1.5092477098188297,-3.3550175654963006,0.6752960525911433,1.1125851293936933,1.4157711782351612,1.408430644904925,1.7907751627063817,0.10865600481901083,-1.7716286566510533,0.3748614249288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k{181}=[0.0806289517669718;-0.015405534305357417;-0.24278049259274867];
x_a{181}=[-15.116772856072231,-16.8117883651217,34.236466675700306];
std_x_a{181}=[0.29287513527538106,1.328026856129653,1.6666766537059006];
pred_a{181}=[-15.116772856072231];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.0 to 18.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{182}=[-10.632773085496336,-2.0521861112622712,37.57956717216133];
std_x_f{182}=[0.9021934260055129,1.0756898559165096,0.9649687764399272];
pred_f{182}=[-10.632773085496336];
obs{182}=[-10.426435440348403];
sqrt_r{182}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{182}=[1.8140591169820866];
xi{182}=[0.1025073967947332,0.15088431066160268,-0.0036213249889538446,0.07148880684669123,1.7330574659708446,0.8506258362998977,0.3472379564341761,-0.32353952823533483,1.281762287934301,2.1664571335310114,-0.7727230816734316,1.2204146071290936,0.5664115552205917,0.7335850074349057,1.1962613058719942,0.2556294080530712,0.8064365995368554,-1.1302625008061646,0.5839771762226942,-0.7696153273976503,0.3617797773428535,0.7350101258993611,0.23687626458332822,-0.533139490519865,-0.07961096844819693,-0.30838405014166526,0.1901591340026858,0.4876118300038339,-2.288412206259048,0.3463251606934037,-1.673923339686338,-1.5090059885784317,0.8746416609895729,-0.16336933539899867,-0.8710101430839217,0.12654777446850574,-0.18729886974164778,-0.1495664724458603,0.7482083887574618,0.7688724615926059,0.1086989295506342,-0.7402355180565223,-1.5155683333883054,-0.011918107348234841,0.4269961225286121,0.6877091072224406,0.8400335158028298,1.3041146412463789,-0.058046755366131464,-0.8433565323504908,-0.06440521448215719,-0.8276172728049414,-0.32752456126431007,0.4320271358063277,-0.1843946916232042,0.19438749258598698,0.4257311880514276,-0.903917643002421,-1.949918479884019,0.6674409804584496,-1.8972223693896275,-0.6114270899594398,-0.23736869352011958,0.2460087122487149,0.17446737719927263,-0.7078724176695079,-0.44944370145927515,-0.6148649041981322,0.1654365813100167,0.9116722515308613,-0.18193906941306004,-0.627321738868293,-1.263470374150959,0.09453037058806757,-0.048626839243349096,1.100470387723652,-0.43531376001713085,-0.16789647421282616,-0.5683183119766344,-2.28552358330872,-0.2495679475346808,-0.7145241113988448,0.6866855861575196,0.9142667576186785,0.17265044994471346,-0.8234396078537198,2.9454531907478207,-0.580165039659537,-0.9270053337208015,0.4470092389532514,-0.1025130048035674,-0.031192336992214464,-0.4448724260087058,0.8613518751958633,0.7500275907860168,1.5188204514462456,0.7838917096234539,-0.3022246444930978,0.396768371557112,-1.7369199313320092;0.07685107459799512,0.4842650673679072,0.2528645706774213,0.3705653721499227,0.7790217628605474,1.102505570981921,0.7094261706529112,-0.9981705424977019,1.0749983220785442,2.323955077121702,-0.5071746349456725,1.521982167335608,1.1851702293162265,1.395084310318179,1.165617589363319,0.41060155044297186,1.1974234875793703,-1.3227616446372492,0.6636120049305039,-1.1158038474481886,0.6663066128627997,0.8745807174333464,0.534170784736909,-0.5413142803509703,0.005904675016271899,-0.1969598986298151,0.42716906703374247,0.25560645415506555,-2.274923428118628,0.39783346946628817,-4.121951802695469,-1.4598760060755853,1.1642679498774533,-0.09013588133925499,-0.6685494225883737,0.5794364766665339,-0.15075838497643668,0.20350051609524988,0.8997149266238527,-0.3742897730871073,0.15228419058040554,-1.0021881716848227,-2.23072187824925,0.08690195368416287,0.8003000914757052,0.8647795119634374,0.6684835896179067,1.398513335366287,0.15557180769066137,-0.6512137237634419,0.23230185976847983,-1.4825374670519373,-0.402758826916533,0.7038118224289194,0.09963758189956273,0.2088819353882443,-0.4805231461502246,-1.1375794590091428,-3.269993665775692,0.4058689493699721,-1.8201963262209384,-0.8201076262920273,0.20002931947432856,0.5516555774176357,0.25339194443369606,-1.1191550212349641,0.011639364944184827,-0.5008157558742408,0.5340752097046377,0.8694187031535241,0.32901680755388374,-0.5966357370624316,-1.1763861352095608,0.4307113975106571,-7.784461253441677E-4,1.235101996605207,-0.30709668247465016,0.08269675379110208,-0.6873999184261748,-2.4289091067850848,-0.06728672830883164,-0.7749726926214904,0.49948895642727553,0.28979577748244134,0.6239267896441816,-0.6148990256026203,3.3902721330544394,-1.0725675280486047,-0.6009724386574691,0.5617304047716132,0.5101177323626913,-0.09017970594157854,-0.3830096673046124,0.8369640277156194,0.5569255260106158,0.12648867038654577,0.3358879594657991,-0.18581780008241244,0.6270724464556601,-1.6288078770775138;-0.1408807420876954,0.054525175615012245,0.1578818495782457,0.11418362267050242,-2.4875216363360266,-0.7116074620403623,-0.12074231042171135,-0.15960187673896797,-1.4921887963871043,-2.0520368562597326,0.9996450700165695,-1.0488126526095911,-0.14922569004285435,-0.29029376295977727,-1.267418406740866,-0.17945430411475627,-0.5600713316573334,1.08716437358882,-0.5733983328230963,0.5695040958119151,-0.18160848960888387,-0.6840315324449975,-0.05973662524284862,0.5410647595586511,0.12175720206952434,0.3871698769475813,-0.05681962196545243,-0.6969550326107523,2.5897908242932246,-0.354932781922912,0.010845772958717248,1.694014839013711,-0.7179778025111503,0.2003709443379762,1.0729196023660847,0.16517672499554692,0.20073231172219153,0.39204064776604497,-0.6968563128576406,-1.6979893718766803,-0.10688343568045156,0.5845542616538921,1.1325138342718049,0.05659247222862973,-0.19976191124283815,-0.6086355979312472,-1.032520289269101,-1.2724376789291938,0.19303157685943972,1.033893144766182,0.2566202100227457,0.4046744953485657,0.267733097724566,-0.2755008616765764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k{182}=[0.4487500486402975;0.48518354995266244;-0.45063942406861973];
x_a{182}=[-10.459672029334355,-1.8650311790595901,37.40573730742739];
std_x_a{182}=[0.6475732222491394,0.8621259110843876,0.7047699759142142];
pred_a{182}=[-10.459672029334355];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.1 to 18.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{183}=[-3.173151776812761,1.7965995464612414,28.36513020434805];
std_x_f{183}=[0.4738421178955715,0.4413173254542346,0.6113089933127449];
pred_f{183}=[-3.173151776812761];
obs{183}=[-2.9602335266112343];
sqrt_r{183}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{183}=[1.2246063563405811];
xi{183}=[-0.08899641135027991,0.21015593853534886,0.1452610835823478,0.19171807338797864,-0.26403997941013113,0.22512920772326472,0.2707082278912214,-0.5716706241804279,-0.17278873281071272,0.2786100716587625,0.10608309169610042,0.6146098339619162,1.0736197205621343,0.5775506452191257,0.2741481250596993,0.04100129605278413,0.6069352041164988,-0.3508350510210718,0.07153815310895739,-0.4933038024074605,0.03483657788261496,0.19335277905261306,0.16598055559295677,-0.18201217706496076,-0.15050485429072946,-0.34536348471049605,0.15370809182202771,-0.24725811513128804,-0.23797628546109229,0.032794042684224145,-1.8376237571674179,-0.38451580140907327,0.38536304471609784,-0.014983342751429873,0.033603855287806184,0.4003389579984704,-0.00938988391992579,0.13250148733236244,0.2232646922846988,-0.3884257971785079,-0.10388371461362889,-0.40155848051525833,-0.9387753001583339,1.6447563252630675,0.3528842782681192,0.26405883199676694,0.05263142488101735,0.42727978280632284,0.11007018026080528,0.15697773260474346,0.3632657846181804,-0.6083714324100811,-0.2179072413877461,0.16955549105006362,0.055911945774463234,0.0075747827886338825,-0.7159602310559161,-0.4165386874616983,-1.33899411499489,-0.3216396786367497,-0.4365217170140796,-0.25201021038384797,0.1897651507977871,0.5038887092009974,0.2637192976301761,-0.6293558378865067,0.09675850860817592,-0.11348652691085581,0.03303012881248524,0.9833670959853658,0.18767017922014206,-0.1994428113468376,0.4393511060434858,0.11212050975443422,0.8434860176883219,0.26746110160041914,-0.07628643005785563,-0.5209250513416777,-0.3555833916215576,0.16932182698481713,0.03397644596253535,-0.26268686169915023,0.06287849750447183,-0.5443369752017575,0.24846028290424815,0.03314028905503985,1.1216144300015438,-0.4877862420896113,-0.05450144353579134,-0.026237554628719018,0.40037640822485354,-0.09065522387619263,-0.4673606420235932,0.1720102728629498,-0.27671059170492995,-0.788413093603543,-0.1504240141817177,0.3102334059208305,0.43675731882644,-0.4211247005042589;-0.06592031169415846,0.25795244143255425,0.20245792897284964,0.23186674443050115,-1.1436095813760487,0.12841803851466982,0.272429659488439,-0.6419920406287676,-0.3374733704639159,-0.019193725055609123,0.2948042149969583,0.16423834529194692,0.5723292841307883,0.5424443509551595,-0.17406198934927186,0.08921974104619856,0.2763854785233615,-0.04246650112502692,-0.019581442542304428,-0.22135099409717918,0.2512643466413709,0.01769906669631971,0.22206525721677184,0.029906381885739686,0.08613103792686982,0.22712460187809858,0.16084929307032336,-0.29438857011022446,0.3543303279384846,-0.032322019364194654,-2.112191416512924,0.3440561644119098,0.15425682741642865,0.04593205091882746,0.2589056254875628,0.3698569046155298,0.0159002476585568,0.32479649746674544,0.02526953563864387,-1.307246417024937,0.011927487010416016,-0.17220617147023654,-0.3380278828296659,0.4235599135396295,0.273279305054104,0.05589612084715423,-0.30905648504503835,-0.04704202986073902,0.16670968254002272,0.21782208196285535,0.2196209390563435,-0.5464870943979097,-0.0572045076310308,0.18185411866733703,0.2700829662776887,-0.05692390377584511,-0.9612455356510122,-0.09364347092204883,-0.7992129942048931,-0.3248890114113241,0.47716054299291755,-0.16356166820984086,0.417075762197854,0.21092698270507193,-0.01017377962261734,-0.24445194831830586,0.4879579921436117,0.16891302020240984,0.3379154918639815,-0.035084451223587276,0.4894164489465196,0.10197840503588851,0.14649478461813925,0.28611089213944596,0.053719654858523036,-0.007736723839278925,0.15298299711974672,0.4977903437906297,-0.03252765894241283,0.06548812146362848,0.16296129003523374,0.01173270566408191,-0.3071168837668625,-0.7125678940142759,0.3825900128037476,0.25382615316149937,0.3893896382996649,-0.4343280874153934,0.4383727487205198,0.047790659077026065,0.554141810070995,-0.09152411406972649,0.2373269243077305,-0.16269691407504627,-0.27612064383243884,-1.597286367230598,-0.5889330688562995,0.06262132919710295,0.12301879699536622,0.4825011519425384;0.0782884161964752,-0.06027468311641826,-0.027353356336245582,-0.0551898502115904,-0.8376982088393525,-0.2188129669941965,-0.13077299200720915,0.24109411717263995,-0.07627592855520149,-0.414076563205132,0.14670627969168493,-0.808599841880536,-1.1084212051101652,-0.3145096609999207,-0.6440944328576848,0.03316758549462051,-0.6819006286878846,0.5385000102190212,-0.138539091287754,0.5483023374514282,0.22214112092855487,-0.3029345435399087,-0.0296361081813572,0.31856473713775557,0.34041898258619696,0.7885313477765976,-0.07495064210005964,0.07852692431375274,0.8238567972479309,-0.10306855358287592,0.8808610684391489,0.9997911403706148,-0.45745476463734747,0.0662450037173059,0.24083243651969255,-0.2440355786622206,0.022519752779913915,0.13769438334291806,-0.33697169839378205,-0.8494263802552098,0.1717404080249878,0.4611527395642234,1.159872765672901,-2.3925845899609826,-0.2702303991883994,-0.35357443470005023,-0.4373939665473223,-0.7479631324052356,-6.228225975881685E-4,-0.004376248781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k{183}=[0.18341106525999024;0.10683346470354974;-0.18650442597903058];
x_a{183}=[-3.144009557412982,1.8135743361949823,28.335496480269263];
std_x_a{183}=[0.430164770843241,0.43701204177370423,0.5605838052258199];
pred_a{183}=[-3.144009557412982];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.2 to 18.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{184}=[-0.17015995421370986,1.3808805597692464,21.523132376157772];
std_x_f{184}=[0.40292794819852246,0.5070471242091086,0.39887162464886694];
pred_f{184}=[-0.17015995421370986];
obs{184}=[0.06478222611862094];
sqrt_r{184}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{184}=[1.1625711595199808];
xi{184}=[-0.14765696722620456,0.268717582261285,0.2414988787796442,0.14908478915195186,-0.8509922569591569,0.1651958695356419,0.2298881610432127,-0.5409587827585229,-0.12563981390522386,0.053874285947960274,0.37554638867811646,0.36316609230606206,0.623002934876347,0.5323007190688086,-0.08435922153952904,-0.16062721652599674,0.29113871578730954,-0.11636594113373502,0.024284377710981242,-0.24267513917940756,0.1775229295526846,0.21091578405810732,0.1883159410047628,0.043928792369084174,0.12730314495137357,0.0817689198242582,0.10979809771659804,-0.11141679009606717,0.30846975651094277,0.044224719788596184,-1.722334612626662,-0.0628140042997894,0.18279022247258533,0.023060801515894097,0.1247355106618257,0.2504395740551027,-0.28687755653597014,0.2721408116616987,0.059439449315322884,-1.5610265149552307,0.0145564268766194,-0.21864975701789532,-0.36492720979867255,0.7915874229794138,0.08471387341760378,0.08835966234457542,-0.19273840385590366,0.22961516444205507,0.06593621649420817,0.35293965480094636,0.22629732469422914,-0.4180861197383625,-0.11200576862792375,0.17455002783464105,0.22745254462877695,0.009826756349313875,-0.8395353394679462,-0.12997485320463922,-0.7318855650532086,-0.16206562261974874,0.6058854113994563,-0.1472872469077869,0.3711880631445017,0.22891605556221703,0.05518842643671579,-0.166518757095497,0.38246867384259825,0.10035990745143532,0.03425408357730783,0.1756199458187836,0.5334405286686381,-0.1379365272608898,0.20326731743188933,0.4043867737754153,0.21624540656994007,0.007129340427680209,0.04917151290192433,0.35669723784897384,-0.09621669932778973,-0.03733492428266483,-0.08357833340595575,-0.36075583781658305,-0.21030684294690757,-0.4747040583198696,0.36657667606831346,0.18613589054691493,0.4855691181923062,-0.666648018426404,0.2775650062328736,0.03470922685556607,0.30375439426196726,-0.17463728251561275,0.1289364122039949,0.22256650815693596,-0.2221149608664791,-1.342228703584902,-0.40191237622546405,-0.10295311522818748,0.10012146810669133,0.19020543038520843;-0.14871134959113896,0.3130933798097222,0.27890572349653087,0.19702895621581407,-1.3613622455230339,0.1439608164414996,0.2698640391130216,-0.666944951117735,-0.2523594270135683,-0.04989561188671221,0.46789595158995545,0.2369067443277686,0.5720867369262572,0.6035039948555556,-0.26735688133167357,-0.11232658489915082,0.2271975516079796,-0.012612441782501316,-0.015694499152460573,-0.1875070291903207,0.28143089059843573,0.14076120280522808,0.23527344936164685,0.10766207610113288,0.2048541125159027,0.31422058949291953,0.1324479116457471,-0.19045129853242737,0.5472001310322412,0.004680250920175766,-2.0641654512289165,0.27119213554681565,0.12168100993468811,0.042136477422778595,0.2394920730631147,0.29593368026361855,-0.24569398786174013,0.38254919346874994,-0.008950935479775213,-2.017161821995904,0.04264244649162863,-0.16853771713472843,-0.1909782225317853,0.5392884428592415,0.11478658709734568,0.025692036289032938,-0.37398081548865236,0.057567986949178085,0.10698826029069353,0.3934427319054987,0.2074531540917537,-0.4840614295724942,-0.07127304600826867,0.20424438448851245,0.3316922920787566,-0.027365081250530388,-1.0613172177073809,-0.045613342082830854,-0.6235659281604935,-0.2313209327051149,0.9402043080837963,-0.1520623320879151,0.4986252366088866,0.16080714565733967,-0.044854094721480164,-0.08181104705463893,0.5805694528434562,0.21621793778888598,0.20801049999401333,-0.1578537547019767,0.6862088653312521,-1.9015985360759657E-4,0.12552601461133261,0.4858578924067747,-0.03134032461394076,-0.08966606620698458,0.1494889264554835,0.7528767319895011,0.006183947006108914,-0.055160264211152166,-0.001223253542549818,-0.21559513307706601,-0.3974539651882282,-0.6635756389198073,0.46164888818940075,0.2923696321057354,0.3294903456695233,-0.6676942790015645,0.5052063336702257,0.05405409077419776,0.44475137146019894,-0.18982705589088655,0.39602540422587484,0.0665054767875044,-0.2717318012407872,-1.8801813663870561,-0.6633467823430995,-0.16335104994043803,0.014301617945702061,0.5754390975083306;0.11633978828641389,-0.07615834830641077,-0.08894388356293703,0.018879294235016886,-0.5756109160443685,-0.1736884058904522,-0.06198290560134012,0.09793169577425331,-0.23096533462511815,-0.2856220438318253,-0.041565991051307094,-0.6238350422456058,-0.6369836472859269,-0.18320701272198292,-0.4198132753856356,0.24354963083685277,-0.38861893363107214,0.35424982726888743,-0.13306252619264924,0.30558924714197744,0.14991490725543954,-0.3649407234065336,-0.015130222206305888,0.12729645699893055,0.105440341427542,0.5057301406463885,-0.018252211909963734,-0.12895620910179062,0.4401489197055142,-0.1463265305353083,0.5956388411244475,0.8758567417093879,-0.2864155658808407,0.03815862528235314,0.21912286332583264,-0.046099755772001316,0.3011426245760269,0.08336648866875862,-0.22553856312266163,0.13131199508337232,0.07172259881583187,0.29316791775091033,0.6608692537083805,-1.592564351434305,0.007764144187525801,-0.22555649882561823,-0.33052450639930697,-0.6652438529406659,0.0682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k{184}=[0.13983759891919686;0.16860387576286323;-0.03974728665865106];
x_a{184}=[-0.13628217233424197,1.4217274090520897,21.51350299237164];
std_x_a{184}=[0.3534070118121347,0.449451871044543,0.3959665875868324];
pred_a{184}=[-0.13628217233424197];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.3 to 18.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{185}=[0.9010509195073418,1.7185956550942945,16.561963216013083];
std_x_f{185}=[0.5116093687988222,0.7701967413514449,0.30481153185401244];
pred_f{185}=[0.9010509195073418];
obs{185}=[1.1829445549232156];
sqrt_r{185}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{185}=[1.2624002384285136];
xi{185}=[-0.25485903239366736,0.3713826124686245,0.2207906396983884,0.029122093613895395,-1.1855994064074311,0.08006408764926565,0.3597003950576597,-0.6744452141871716,-0.1382863286679561,0.08830295306712954,0.48895817771843164,0.34456697227767796,0.660729704623425,0.4772126208021584,-0.04246748895513264,-0.022729592985432312,0.21634571916415524,-0.2834727506072826,-0.06387041767755475,-0.13979409445433666,0.25808862343233085,-0.08191436065361346,0.2918681090594154,0.08825094779899201,0.19619517489788552,0.15441987569970406,-0.1446517577662536,0.331809073634341,0.40641661877317914,0.4438155980142605,-1.9085742366944762,0.15627100601546162,0.18351816955124034,0.19944854404226076,0.2084394743745689,0.12967840027458688,-0.2773278164652786,0.25507690173937736,0.03731368911632127,-1.9149658973374817,0.2340138580012877,-0.2860964709952517,-0.37217144954370773,0.6993238957162361,0.17710661316395104,-0.05533856268639881,0.08553629204044011,0.19633585044558755,-0.35887880888681833,0.788543622243355,0.09282249005446208,-0.6364325977699097,-0.26554745809007363,0.3939377655859456,0.41728641762019525,-0.012348774134646079,-1.110034559320984,-0.07742131780399653,-0.7741858836424637,-0.25517601550688296,0.9937613374089608,-0.3198358729193509,0.44185595714358994,0.2088672821701688,-0.1857785257594301,0.19282461227199155,0.2355909664672352,0.1428733150759186,0.024523981570398146,-0.0586912414074664,0.4525454501660299,-0.017198255713266386,0.1113657155229314,0.4952939036441687,0.4005260593262808,-0.06671846220233202,0.27340973387523737,1.0785900373216268,-0.10769128336834521,-0.12197065491629655,-0.04893168017994998,-0.30996601984831584,-0.37334446446623715,-0.9217144905519111,0.5633496596387312,0.23914122293904072,0.11415847722216454,-0.6356352700211487,0.4357433686573432,0.05333973556346627,0.4075379476512072,-0.11572750582890401,0.33812313515500836,0.18303471315536124,-0.2797840363092051,-1.7737526420105136,-0.82834825623667,-0.11618176074247644,0.03865480868118654,0.4300563080517862;-0.3761331815653981,0.5578274417143927,0.327095775368035,0.055773326962295755,-1.8674455704751278,0.11150102197227718,0.5360234111750137,-1.009675012122155,-0.22286719736024718,0.11599005654703864,0.7331597698357486,0.4937083038114527,0.9815790216419895,0.7090141560794989,-0.08844937302036238,-0.014544364017982536,0.30362139719953296,-0.3969218795190692,-0.10622566797617128,-0.18906430127945995,0.39445139735660817,-0.13755449164744538,0.4425564776316291,0.14249952296701585,0.3001302513941857,0.26119343766737413,-0.21911535287976958,0.48964064109392247,0.6383883007457611,0.6570256641677759,-2.8246554247328772,0.28601468819779985,0.259629180488435,0.30154552777146604,0.3259781883060522,0.19757756948693994,-0.3944339911685455,0.39170015562167393,0.04622009169066388,-2.8940215988775497,0.3467600714807042,-0.4108904583555024,-0.49510508241682616,1.0234344246575788,0.26843450911493827,-0.09887212949868762,0.10806023537899367,0.2607581914403494,-0.5315433743740043,1.174395428329864,0.1254055775194558,-0.9441558247414337,-0.38443392997335435,0.586130459440084,0.6317791972719355,-0.029073136024057034,-1.669328638310303,-0.10068500561296911,-1.0933829307235192,-0.3890697233251701,1.4990078196695062,-0.4720919971104869,0.6648138574570135,0.29447432833568676,-0.2953638910363019,0.30046003403372934,0.3678397690750006,0.22775638397061915,0.06266156812908008,-0.15876611872452973,0.6792134643588383,0.003484774856719497,0.14550327038493727,0.7361299354550512,0.5694011585780561,-0.1175668591761665,0.4231422108948446,1.629184214691025,-0.14054499553178057,-0.18346175912906082,-0.06385170172333443,-0.41579209413197393,-0.5895088889397961,-1.4048462491201075,0.8472832752107551,0.36649035306933087,0.12183413359971462,-0.9057602126206666,0.6750406927585062,0.07653812884200795,0.6175135217022478,-0.16644330237490923,0.5385902367161779,0.2408452303579698,-0.4186460335207196,-2.724916775211894,-1.2846420772732188,-0.17935928181330807,0.04441033838200159,0.6925883053788788;0.039246793181089146,-0.009077118119929395,-0.029720417295980184,0.02942179781603116,-0.5697609594895106,-0.12445493405889252,-0.006989555113360524,-0.035200588171587555,-0.23509561508780763,-0.23171407441464353,0.05242784843913029,-0.42809353332028266,-0.3484844188224905,-0.028210583011002655,-0.37921941626735745,0.13650166124439167,-0.2577917190836665,0.24131639824547335,-0.1264814972231072,0.16947914978567624,0.14858008124966915,-0.26671639405129,0.01996207728027599,0.0942229612025578,0.09695533863639128,0.4062982361160046,-0.010824219659028245,-0.13705686967258046,0.41845687431293754,-0.11435995906960272,0.35726948439887707,0.6655350552691104,-0.20991521901581223,0.018379985756627804,0.18630164156054718,0.0023734094188228028,0.15937909475428214,0.11365143214933582,-0.18503012375803607,0.02159381221204626,0.04364969979688382,0.1664370496548777,0.43806904500302934,-1.0585541516957555,0.01109607081197339,-0.18172021224531676,-0.32905518853175053,-0.4968875168302489,0.055608809733985964,-0.0149931172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k{185}=[0.20785819777344136;0.31273749514422294;0.009185816311707184];
x_a{185}=[0.9659871673309672,1.8162968749930628,16.564832924549343];
std_x_a{185}=[0.44737244189527164,0.6716975119681676,0.3031087303666213];
pred_a{185}=[0.9659871673309672];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.4 to 18.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{186}=[2.039157133937383,3.518278212991478,13.086909918022805];
std_x_f{186}=[0.8168232792276512,1.3766907674183018,0.3254809106305203];
pred_f{186}=[2.039157133937383];
obs{186}=[2.4343195937436395];
sqrt_r{186}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{186}=[1.6672831010200777];
xi{186}=[-0.09055562740426004,0.46850786267393163,0.3989549530998149,0.13215682191350142,-1.6118769895093705,0.02720631367413695,0.5398047357525355,-0.9788276544632957,-0.7184489739390485,0.9960112389636224,0.8961754067023122,1.670757392153583,0.8323158869180971,1.1043239052950677,-0.03969682959058285,-0.029318708378188063,0.4685025700822143,-0.42119134891567134,-0.16256040554286977,0.23433568923147163,0.31593894852376003,0.15712673389240672,0.4248399333704138,0.5311392984636503,0.3165079978638383,-0.14195967819352284,0.0599826611709644,0.4385867263572787,0.4877679681014113,0.5881897699537513,-2.6847411120011544,0.24971452114761306,0.25957784748868296,0.19410515490986935,0.5113400032242041,0.28345200360447986,-0.16537438284442585,0.39131463556520796,0.5290272965548062,-3.531847537375593,0.38733252412522745,-1.2546571721297721,-0.698656290684011,1.2233979370529577,0.01572331526942694,-0.2657946082832492,0.3195585309716238,0.27464760700964685,-0.21383352290669255,1.0807549525286246,0.11045290792203,-0.9850407900511999,-0.4558632685444801,0.32547484797637827,0.2755627240302596,0.4789942038121069,-1.9588477868712832,-0.28414212121300997,-1.0839404469627494,-1.3016139804019988,1.3629357915424931,0.15592568535746976,0.7769189712381617,0.7740844508963467,-0.2326172366912873,-0.5056953036443854,0.32458018265587096,-0.18766051795036742,-0.20185197097615504,-0.21060944679090277,0.6947347884598503,-0.3152281873100058,-0.03376532113151187,-0.5281199562274113,0.06176110660676626,0.01199411419452412,0.3287958897238594,1.4254329594990556,-0.757265263097797,-0.23339224190908592,-0.1412395333201648,-0.4011145659289499,-0.5662341674124725,-1.354207594151986,0.8692454716653693,0.3350499669939544,0.8843486110546763,-0.8141343094850053,0.7908424821536508,-0.19796780038275275,0.5266767690746219,0.33038100937435644,0.27801547303593166,0.18119914155819306,-0.42074194691305267,-1.666725174399903,-1.3412461640125022,0.17181626712237552,0.028870936500267064,0.8754320418833959;-0.15123822666622777,0.7859601154880829,0.6709856673248447,0.22791212929663418,-2.730247112276383,0.060991540210112216,0.9147812875834034,-1.6478211138868981,-1.2004513525992726,1.6795178898330474,1.4979406832205764,2.8206230281157656,1.4294562816470804,1.841420856862619,-0.03705535054974751,-0.044823350524970884,0.8090864150623109,-0.7075132500733758,-0.26410117488347495,0.39731807854030343,0.527746998881264,0.2867847578552212,0.7204287566192815,0.8851692765703265,0.5257203140640834,-0.25106058776219164,0.10593376763420137,0.7484126702768417,0.7942823849176297,0.9904040445865196,-4.537579826127659,0.38463676675110037,0.45431537565039193,0.33107406144120244,0.8485837289782432,0.486800514435894,-0.2788523334943753,0.6480262753591961,0.8987971167129687,-5.993175995659119,0.6530014452925648,-2.12022560770974,-1.191530354297639,2.149412844509109,0.03494153583064552,-0.4339442812800156,0.5644435102915,0.498627267843784,-0.35742749032768106,1.8100405614057276,0.19865653169352449,-1.6598764071706955,-0.7619614725369019,0.5610708065090049,0.4583179720752786,0.8153792691017325,-3.316487866673425,-0.4740807791983528,-1.8247804496632782,-2.2005413718512847,2.2127662617902044,0.2677584314139274,1.292395454494145,1.3227594392565645,-0.3774692200407732,-0.8546257452282284,0.5367922382318286,-0.31732414513710294,-0.34505220582674934,-0.3111576580897504,1.1517093465582522,-0.5295440346574001,-0.031402723404399424,-0.8895663199307786,0.15204663919185446,0.034866727236237516,0.5492964244626424,2.2948441680532983,-1.276189998472831,-0.3857150279092152,-0.23972815683627857,-0.6817473828588656,-0.9383606798097053,-2.2878519773430073,1.4475418199339383,0.5612181926363147,1.5114609266788084,-1.3681296028527141,1.3047909180222175,-0.3244889593317972,0.870715561642601,0.5534389453008317,0.4367381470757232,0.3424153022657275,-0.7019135769192157,-2.825512653363172,-2.2659242479285844,0.2958566418962576,0.06728622393974204,1.412779732599979;-0.0479705268643027,0.11788960382717129,0.07146538354450449,0.015563007153794217,-0.8117039441846323,-0.14363246503462435,0.14365654422032748,-0.3222270356567236,-0.4432580691317991,0.1955666019456519,0.35603941129480887,0.4336884680745037,0.010936158256120265,0.40007493592995225,-0.3563546784602494,0.03601616614818148,-0.0809954247400988,0.0052678654428692795,-0.20392796532941482,0.16728925429179142,0.17150515179950077,-0.19388536614945018,0.12216964612913195,0.22575269312219248,0.1309999542966338,0.2007181924380781,-0.038545388766957345,-0.001042970035815216,0.4457807781489773,0.07955470634206385,-0.07836279380917865,0.5458080120293971,-0.12439554958403853,0.026248107902226536,0.2856016732612243,0.051289044820149954,0.021566075902715198,0.17938190279920718,0.01204874551715207,-0.1998023737572563,0.11979653632748821,-0.23654852997421116,0.08335464954030769,-0.33700599597547054,-0.04783947341008066,-0.2723644619533161,-0.18401492058005608,-0.339070552778173,-0.07031618137701479,0.3905601921222033,-0.11855072429328217,-0.2756531461885512,-0.1120587433527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k{186}=[0.4002218343194508;0.6744436467504338;0.0979883009292226];
x_a{186}=[2.1977016757124694,3.785453438723454,13.12572716620358];
std_x_a{186}=[0.6564444811498862,1.1055263072126669,0.30492822510631173];
pred_a{186}=[2.1977016757124694];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.5 to 18.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{187}=[4.678464162899195,8.320832407856226,11.98699871198598];
std_x_f{187}=[1.3295830375600233,2.252918356742215,1.1435976486757897];
pred_f{187}=[4.678464162899195];
obs{187}=[5.176466647805382];
sqrt_r{187}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{187}=[2.7785274189669837];
xi{187}=[-1.0309704917042541,0.5170145771622119,0.07424083272451742,-0.7630540526124836,-1.7024256149949193,0.35137833862069545,0.7241326619544912,-1.3276136365854483,-1.241102281692755,1.217374639515481,1.6661676813213058,1.876178311506461,1.2571926726032814,1.396018757236389,1.4776034757756031,0.5078098681806944,0.6321444837136561,-0.31685617846745906,-0.6797038333545822,-0.07784670735044052,0.893544552876036,0.2932318732003214,0.11091272679682351,0.6119932373726007,0.4744630878774725,-2.256011776221883,-0.2816760886058116,0.5747879765540693,0.4093916082356337,0.38348423632362927,-3.3676234681084574,-0.2516789978080425,0.38766354508838585,0.13216389552291385,0.4723516337762037,-1.8797948754775984,-0.12526497752995258,0.3712866818196119,0.6520039895421839,-4.125152800759915,0.3627307649756082,-0.8048884065371986,-0.9002143720351872,1.4474080861159013,-3.4559843110514574,0.1684053795742777,0.28876725496404543,0.252536659808964,0.24045601821358265,1.9395826803958451,0.24242495274428766,-1.2727857314556372,-0.006732194806656544,1.1217693087658764,1.742678690321548,0.5118900339540646,-3.081256545026715,-1.3199994479946953,-2.6514727800201876,-1.4881874163369693,2.713482726872548,0.7401584187681101,4.583924307415544,-0.43145051041918325,-0.21771792242860943,-1.2686587083867913,-0.06320239272513373,0.0765374633790783,0.24079604253522646,0.90354611988103,1.1015457399287092,-0.517376318242075,0.5125355309674564,-0.837838959666068,-0.09579794217466286,-1.336312832469336,0.6808186678696275,1.027895556360285,-0.9288496011164984,-0.2602219728035253,0.8505494471201542,-0.04797681512888108,0.44802218652855075,-1.0907003340458807,1.0882062569654583,0.4387107138003339,1.1332174636240664,-0.2961947789978723,1.682387548932775,-0.43955634456661663,0.8747439937415127,1.009104355695591,0.5616093591224454,1.1473134980598036,0.19766142683481647,-3.0212991457091665,-2.417990542544127,-0.5589590084478013,-0.4660705952588131,0.9085197121316986;-1.7285650550318161,0.9117746101438513,0.18247090853565417,-1.2631692270682144,-2.876523379885798,0.6659634490389141,1.2532070739223649,-2.23415297699626,-2.0671715358973612,2.074770882582195,2.7565771835784325,3.1077413912441756,2.178047735609187,2.3278036524879386,2.5575899503090813,0.8977172198582988,1.1446016671104182,-0.5026145977307417,-1.0979292574963457,-0.10017400901620732,1.5220122758342551,0.571386017288182,0.23349208398302856,1.0582031104202887,0.8367111561805878,-3.9106273675457945,-0.42888774758127823,1.0283472135311236,0.680459722083322,0.7061381060414398,-5.930097758841171,-0.4519293491741969,0.7329023010212943,0.2769376943348316,0.8166756676914222,-3.2240607293333587,-0.1767862967582463,0.6635646180684596,1.1572792946441925,-7.3096044935351046,0.6540035775668098,-1.3394494042856655,-1.529704028945578,2.5698591856285393,-6.066460757289882,0.368031617496392,0.5769388737912653,0.5413734244410904,0.4570584920616607,3.191866529592664,0.4974823036608509,-2.147490149885064,0.04175257723139936,1.918635138687005,2.889151737327756,0.9225204146422552,-5.3913176446500914,-2.245467125462408,-4.629729315983592,-2.5215980693823994,4.225786849580471,1.2844667376824663,6.942983823451124,-0.6688371527399966,-0.28768249485300856,-2.148564467396241,-0.08943456719235066,0.1693755158851058,0.42887022511431994,1.6968444188283325,1.8361857116237505,-0.8539335470488947,0.9563030540344197,-1.3869133983154205,-0.030285514692614868,-2.2398480462661423,1.1664893018118931,1.5937272876454358,-1.5578680837072687,-0.376931485192153,1.4566584076417772,-0.06108589428847644,0.8585569473800643,-1.8216842334112044,1.8267601912305391,0.7671559675568353,1.9905436469448805,-0.4638761679660188,2.7322864654178165,-0.6913824671252993,1.4743134818566066,1.72366209609552,0.9362117895537523,2.033912109506966,0.3956744686016638,-5.279003704044251,-4.169219320040408,-0.8905820127306914,-0.7169966732438446,1.4398221529163795;-0.9715834062489463,0.32342317383358754,-0.10760147793381947,-0.7733196066107322,-1.6934071024174724,0.04265159600805646,0.5345227443777834,-1.2089463375495964,-1.2929238333128783,0.9894487219306853,1.6311957296230641,1.7870030442556875,0.9148676600794587,1.3183943214043392,1.029551507056203,0.34333369364988364,0.2725448937636532,-0.3272202071405417,-0.821700554814873,-0.13219507162034638,0.7651063338110546,-0.07621914507106098,-0.03789888010784104,0.4859183469712125,0.32040165111409635,-1.4786979489900371,-0.4308294434650559,0.28348261285210086,0.4751370085891953,0.14132388001908147,-1.6554660370653291,0.01764230320957516,0.05129613029961355,-0.046963280691644016,0.4045831889659688,-1.4871371822461779,-0.2108147667648108,0.24538200977949565,0.35459455132323114,-1.7729289853262742,0.19580735572473174,-0.7310950040955255,-0.6552323630542869,0.762021110108293,-2.164004466541387,-0.16445609433973019,-0.09918400353934587,-0.24693005232965426,0.047249922072213124,1.9465222274971108,-0.047920786804224846,-1.1402730750228685,-0.1563731761275715,0.8898918303723455,1.670712106565615,0.25406908340686485,-1.9674372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k{187}=[0.6400971272862999;1.083034236105562;0.5175073391887633];
x_a{187}=[5.005489361437089,8.874153882032035,12.25139286894855];
std_x_a{187}=[0.852948703086489,1.4641533142918228,0.7456716356307009];
pred_a{187}=[5.005489361437089];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.6 to 18.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{188}=[10.469831844024815,17.227074851326435,18.68676001330999];
std_x_f{188}=[1.4725017933562958,1.8540590990937846,2.862193691079093];
pred_f{188}=[10.469831844024815];
obs{188}=[10.85769729103384];
sqrt_r{188}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{188}=[3.1712566439232615];
xi{188}=[-0.5445329522532667,0.6258177785659473,0.043355501753806536,-0.4896688997515586,-2.361294330197664,0.3523586261706466,1.9527392156831276,-2.438860920027249,-0.1954458510380146,0.7812714665309706,-7.269410826019895,1.0069510400680421,1.215907764454819,0.3372359213519438,-0.34046154984868515,0.17276486435658356,2.957291685858827,0.6613480663144689,-1.2732501670502234,0.26810412457852095,-3.8687953122127015,0.36120776745168826,1.2643819269140302,0.4868459784378114,0.42973473737372636,-2.3946202037013293,-1.7112761293813463,0.8270002568670929,-0.030578412670450916,1.6272474525865128,-2.5776995947782675,-0.33999679578101016,-0.2532737721378133,2.7404263090349037,0.16692327238661342,0.03687970840241306,0.08481741923021424,0.7351897228306292,0.4595633971731772,-1.5575577798708498,0.43146131039468827,-0.7669184061914613,-0.26267849224749007,1.0423415911798681,-1.0502569542875335,0.8587211434324686,1.3435352976896944,0.8152238962462839,0.665835019926698,1.7515038721885148,0.7113797455013184,1.3978296773124939,0.06628627787828378,0.02652720986085555,0.8407046693137623,0.4658058602427815,-3.0076836557104603,-1.4000705893318326,-2.23677461604049,-2.375528043463632,-1.4284971742855017,0.4410012160666348,1.4367206778909143,0.9499998100319313,1.7174308538407956,1.0583479031611436,0.16398791515229405,0.1331132201210501,1.174604946102237,-0.6791944973603901,1.0186355607587743,0.10344913552350832,0.48601664655052623,0.25919903395955757,0.23219252619635533,-0.966217301103363,-1.0335447259669728,0.39898178746368806,-2.7118157659036966,0.6282985504051304,-0.030392691351485368,2.0539306491924574,0.4953436847892476,-0.2043336628753334,0.12212862596323859,1.3863621218763917,2.011231352632448,-0.5739766184698407,-1.572927608148154,0.44871764882244136,0.5448324667569029,0.29633123645626114,0.1300272468885204,0.8335632880753288,1.5366138520298005,-2.6250907645425308,-1.4343277387606133,0.4056760327126412,1.1410962161796157,0.3865990216165489;-0.36902281231057543,0.8600683413096313,0.3157461456191548,-0.2902058407008461,-2.711771152197313,0.6678528188360531,1.8495459199248856,-2.870605597560205,0.09731767225327204,0.9563930468164017,-11.066553514485722,0.9993731175017828,1.3697730398028902,0.44527727456017274,-0.10201271456817906,0.4053637583553211,2.3849239756911054,0.8806304199686572,-1.211758069991646,0.500293876981992,-5.1034883013297545,0.6973231711071328,1.4255427549012616,0.6890562080758826,0.6554348516112967,-2.9536093159152497,-1.8142212511160167,1.0899473870726943,0.09619859402912567,1.7143646331404874,-3.4445303217157015,-0.2761265751568871,0.027991337045790488,2.2740187183678238,0.3630581294463475,0.20370850347507385,0.3295380586986951,0.9420547016079475,0.7445711632014316,-2.249182807803912,0.6776727319235469,-0.6485067172290613,-0.12501942044183423,1.39365301492915,-1.2884798205750148,1.1776843867266997,1.6031830250309653,1.2146137563550248,0.9259731945995924,1.4608457378954505,1.017706101196321,1.5064406933095924,0.33256311453381215,0.22273792995201092,0.865585833756505,0.7405535751285335,-3.9211175203132154,-1.4794750059177222,-2.803207321790012,-2.785134002651608,-1.96788213909109,0.673115897404621,0.11822219449842208,1.233163438548189,1.888021026199933,1.1994866846993837,0.3656629569534182,0.36971145595734,1.2819527490379024,-0.326420085217368,1.083191321488819,0.3131258447095213,0.8319242073078179,0.5445986794935358,0.709525214354418,-0.8392822069821726,-1.0046101541839114,0.2774246546936112,-3.2947875671280134,0.9226957435943106,0.15485760492617118,1.8646252234259535,0.8640235179402644,0.05091979521657919,0.2524404712228936,1.4703106240299242,1.9767651995798623,-0.41876180196564405,-1.8724764994160008,0.744979729052325,0.6874780448892786,0.4954584491389582,0.24744147888713286,1.1563967920831466,1.6802395419491098,-3.3095964785483627,-1.5394642392893356,0.7180498675368838,1.4363267369642543,0.35059339506797826;-1.529827515684289,1.083612805882364,-0.3069039839634691,-1.430898378946825,-5.076411996418338,0.3099754062504445,4.481291278750096,-5.051570618296601,-0.9345967929568033,1.5553756594686057,-10.581741915618453,2.3679392476387093,2.49935668530296,0.6982331226332619,-1.135897908297995,0.06649880853942847,7.140545158777652,1.1913285649931318,-3.103246379052921,0.28567209533682103,-7.081623861669366,0.24953076840160193,2.5951388314797192,0.8425664632397414,0.6504078088011163,-4.539562282700489,-3.8476129899554223,1.4712674965286112,-0.17558932688902473,3.4831547641940688,-4.199071826422934,-0.768358854532778,-1.0441623187374027,6.591195396642945,0.15199274528963969,-0.12011907309294045,-0.16232186324245745,1.3788645039438023,0.6328372438570931,-1.9368340973161153,0.6272515097742364,-1.9378423740172082,-0.7431624402150128,1.7449264610041482,-1.8114189675770156,1.4278202295943068,2.5880127889467808,1.183692120138371,1.1263501283566697,4.384171922146464,1.133309405985166,2.9571589618716345,-0.25179336352168136,-0.21164804034789597,1.9537663438229593,0.6491945509446282,-5.364738738348382,-3.0831932986910022,-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k{188}=[0.6846675900809881;0.8418476083060079;1.3008058770017144];
x_a{188}=[10.73848647467775,17.557404870670208,19.197179270041175];
std_x_a{188}=[0.793899382214874,1.0185093073205864,1.6720833171018192];
pred_a{188}=[10.73848647467775];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.7 to 18.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{189}=[15.372354889138727,14.996102896208322,36.69247811859783];
std_x_f{189}=[0.38898240843987897,1.718644979088218,1.7489318960481746];
pred_f{189}=[15.372354889138727];
obs{189}=[15.541053683421731];
sqrt_r{189}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{189}=[1.152289857432526];
xi{189}=[0.31188426110798595,0.10863113281328651,0.26680973163586685,0.31565282097468206,0.21905114540783188,0.24554774255971168,-0.41842049290602645,0.16606168761186346,0.34991521144620563,0.016477255330688223,-2.3774801216409696,-0.7782830269279746,-0.07016587583304634,-0.1313293290325248,0.3099362525184137,0.1976850058878803,-1.1136133606989613,0.08606571743892033,0.3211702931814866,0.17732972653664447,-0.28733775528564465,0.26513601619452487,-0.07224600549980487,0.104761048097739,0.1430603597593496,0.024877436076240045,0.3174884705697263,0.10339540040475015,0.11765041882005178,-0.18802831021715427,-0.36223480038547784,0.12723389787154993,0.3151643226194629,-0.8033396250535283,0.15423198057900578,0.14805271982972812,0.19639840916585705,0.06351297541039891,0.17244561023350968,-0.43040963645215236,0.15829306038311763,0.2998164759690205,0.1007549384450428,0.12473552360384765,-0.024463492523800312,0.14852830236224257,-0.0028591659179628692,0.1581311376737471,0.12038329514759027,-0.5458216979995196,0.16619380552833185,-0.15817181608728959,0.25531697081965277,0.09719912737667968,-0.1488036930323311,0.1803911359143644,-0.287879693793176,0.25694499733522846,-0.026283407219549915,0.17881851867545606,-0.31018617664878434,0.14302607087374497,-1.424061718386385,0.09279156876192829,-0.1251823515841224,-0.2569051130016611,0.15418754307745886,0.20975027801863355,-0.19302710205456997,0.5280553358750435,-0.1259129313879832,-0.025755305095422898,0.23472410023902768,0.23454996802217387,0.43962238952811816,0.17391741368987823,0.2273851651076697,-0.2088495550867968,-0.0856154729546379,0.1627243159949998,0.17474932791217945,-0.5623555013754107,0.27485002205544085,0.3174381919117959,0.11401119367935131,-0.15628918119995028,-0.3728904054737594,0.28097273897241415,0.03420197971233385,0.1981156912750457,0.031590114656564694,0.13089338097584502,0.08670787249874756,0.13386085239924128,-0.17704360913728578,-0.1553224845549348,0.25706423118776556,0.2387629891083698,0.055239385698017784,-0.11375824610072449;-0.040043218077242315,-0.27095628186032883,0.2522520429504933,0.4602386888320371,2.49857146742775,0.20897100823325587,-1.9599058206710342,2.0275002313542796,0.4357797726515038,-0.039655064577168275,1.3881136720778802,4.359065607790852,0.31692100977468307,-4.020113934148645,-0.45348476079248634,-0.3790530165067807,-6.0217313043193705,-0.6374065907878386,2.439337165555676,-0.4818444262045425,2.0364614828251764,0.9765845510903954,0.09895081615328571,-0.325484015980118,-0.1490465724383121,0.6683642895062025,1.493615398536834,-0.18426637063180884,0.6875442936080542,-1.2371670850400847,1.3522564139059607,0.39795405598947475,-1.3453989606603844,-2.7214785681067966,-0.1639303667211891,0.8485113332843923,-1.564224451721909,-0.23199336712052343,-0.9992230512070588,0.12558462849857577,-0.4778914353068089,0.7343453616021431,2.33802535917056,1.4957200561041066,0.4481288343619809,0.35424106254146714,-1.5438292511496456,-2.509289962454657,0.7361855290558772,-0.6993646003282201,-0.3436266702510249,-2.0962773182556163,0.6235355304156194,2.4470270773270126,-1.7084055068651463,0.13218023575964644,2.2275591447896144,0.6090346899006196,-0.4504361809373876,1.9188628726391972,1.0378221252926085,-0.008152777796691879,-2.7311378128915837,0.3201017997520097,-1.567193711058744,-4.625589261910751,0.8949562456873288,0.09456853738402948,-3.16776045118797,1.4407884300777045,-0.471073280338846,3.4138232217482436,-0.8432080345004174,0.45489755336334703,-0.2534687702832201,3.6413917036450645,1.7526584947087098,-0.15613941932566355,3.47596947825034,-0.8014985883405128,1.0778701597103488,-3.5992363314519142,0.14023643154634868,0.2534648894606377,-0.09872537215193411,-0.9845087253207403,-2.3942281232468705,0.9718083376277029,1.1884087975749988,-0.9362079409698527,-0.06351056400941957,0.688406619157437,-0.3377146400135924,1.149548785319551,-2.708219355230961,2.465514887159509,-0.5346428993119545,-0.12465873966986507,-1.729812589952008,-0.40744463909493334;0.8667907022969317,0.5862012467617816,0.4846421536869059,0.4194624982307644,-1.8923185571780863,0.4755076897393593,0.8375664825830498,-1.5456132512812815,0.5176021285017782,0.14541520807302533,-7.960555422394567,-6.818854800219874,-0.42906358631810093,3.307212372544683,1.2486858314455915,0.8983375644631835,2.717307762460365,0.8679043439313787,-1.5427895016407192,0.9492041562409668,-2.7914901444865805,-0.22081280685983273,-0.22224061364122605,0.6270579959486611,0.5568090325974566,-0.5360642606782235,-0.5922006696273314,0.49055811042823194,-0.29506189272673566,0.7377196183665831,-2.1997072658814574,0.02152401066945231,2.058656362030021,0.5670451682082671,0.608826792190932,-0.3771199376349301,1.9720997123267523,0.4317005480045637,1.4144616206845981,-1.0985327708250594,0.901807044508196,0.10445393943506076,-2.0069155163631294,-1.1068667726891803,-0.4221644982858166,0.08759562957079225,1.4610477284485057,2.6924066740056034,-0.35399504610150245,-0.6610758484871582,0.7909836327893274,1.5860682736694187,0.09750025970932086,-2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k{189}=[0.13216280300500996;0.14293454914943562;0.21928306428835886];
x_a{189}=[15.390775127599834,15.01602445068355,36.72304077497944];
std_x_a{189}=[0.37131497824439047,1.7262908846891238,1.7169954249125992];
pred_a{189}=[15.390775127599834];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.8 to 18.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{190}=[9.283785193358545,0.3676514206931462,36.461794879779525];
std_x_f{190}=[1.0379215439998934,1.1611820700167454,1.0980197433769747];
pred_f{190}=[9.283785193358545];
obs{190}=[9.104950009184952];
sqrt_r{190}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{190}=[2.077926105462611];
xi{190}=[-0.25269036860419014,-0.2665236892955196,-0.06339911382315044,0.029446957808380247,1.3391847450136414,-0.0851426155938313,-0.8910265348020072,1.1148649720478918,-0.002017333789810394,-0.03792497052437582,2.89907862035486,3.358306775386854,0.24834287819510514,-2.347690185126007,-0.5440431542481754,-0.3750179080741649,-2.9535599441374174,-0.45849917716769895,1.2379042988849296,-0.4250494099318587,1.6085666469817514,0.3755682063734298,0.12134169445296905,-0.2849734805896684,-0.22312115497503804,0.36175518224648684,0.629653109700687,-0.20379400865270192,0.3175297202314269,-0.6369090085195843,1.1218300870882985,0.1149399197679788,-1.054009084187184,-1.0744169698583992,-0.2202502027947304,0.39033310543696587,-1.0969478821955967,-0.2608778245465331,-0.7492175357030408,0.3980427456880875,-0.435430026101173,0.19018451708928374,1.3617697389110024,0.8087990270126468,0.28137096158744157,0.0662234060670368,-0.9299731100365403,-1.601131913180839,0.3442272338122869,-0.01163503757854123,-0.34444832389250557,-1.1604394300477523,0.16852454536948258,1.5762784631477302,-0.9376819208958249,-0.041007952048834895,1.6342314936617672,0.14412246203817958,-0.25484549742636453,1.0468433791858338,0.8655661795259277,-0.13339882437448303,-0.679981502703674,0.10496112748248976,-0.8229240387059562,-2.637590466321589,0.41971701463953615,-0.11406323716198052,-1.7907411623230773,0.44807594889206115,-0.17470288816453916,2.092821841612844,-0.6927154850589083,0.08874132968342785,-0.5033156135080734,2.1022754985106573,0.8927402124577153,0.042187364024677265,2.202888047148571,-0.6241542718229276,0.5538798474978783,-1.8038308872784725,-0.13155165497007992,-0.10199958718070867,-0.15807521207628739,-0.4777730467130148,-1.192769417698548,0.37685277691755026,0.7334036265737929,-0.7240756202508898,-0.02687740314615006,0.3297286478800636,-0.2603170341421812,0.5944565985179882,-1.5080375641472878,1.6556903091434627,-0.5050936277624203,-0.2865528208804822,-1.090725052180872,-0.12829007712930007;-0.509002779257228,-0.46608444702236457,-0.40922212308356115,-0.367295560002574,0.79385204626143,-0.5039934948320701,-0.32055128002740296,0.8018283213055644,-0.3921802044940235,0.023161470141456086,6.227761268549961,3.3705240562803516,0.37086626818387153,-2.2135134704179364,-1.0795500951933539,-0.4933944360418138,-1.8499376482458836,-0.5121371950467317,0.7133002860518234,-0.5342545255800143,2.552698007308167,-0.05602224287669805,0.27616486615577124,-0.4074003275604974,-0.48829207502004945,0.152314771855591,0.0010101537688492757,-0.44018726902234323,0.14213972956819404,-0.5524351566736323,1.5621014812024683,-0.15378198775057916,-1.3206726761444711,0.0791281610128915,-0.33997738886533624,0.13624912371097192,-1.2919393139589883,-0.8162538375744129,-0.9405867545518942,0.9835014965941489,-0.7247216701395622,-0.3200136407454387,1.138889819772984,0.513627731802567,0.33375763796803065,-0.30951533902358935,-0.807314661438028,-1.444483119948376,0.10829621964406055,0.7046387073375069,-0.5691168775887503,-0.9283097567727172,-0.23245638581464548,2.3558168166888933,-0.7139062872262765,-0.09902968516595267,1.958174558778451,-0.30658994610842866,-0.16003149731004207,0.7613699894029138,1.2440044512756872,-0.35737796845689557,1.6159575478617019,-0.09368518178002322,-0.24916274468446592,-2.53693961906686,0.22095008421113144,-0.3786824916171255,-1.594882720161453,-0.2758840218191885,0.21602796012287978,1.5859626814858214,-0.937532137554151,-0.215587303948003,-1.1079139263711772,1.5903547463711343,0.5689903976015203,0.268718971076576,1.8344687693230586,-0.8402573296991092,0.5694434652712204,-1.1427199833645891,-0.43776432989193037,-0.5102117340650258,-0.3213548020052958,-0.196110641148513,-0.7160740064296958,0.036575875041549855,0.884636094274919,-0.9357753824770052,0.27541173607132224,0.26480499329976165,-0.21443762247730844,0.3938144494415529,-1.1664360283487663,1.700859252038535,-0.6536557922706357,-0.6946150863981551,-1.0799405823591364,0.3990021288048831;-0.0854832971612538,-0.136579427402566,0.1597787584983763,0.28223456841426753,1.7071081394881844,0.189280786277628,-1.293185033577835,1.3055216586624283,0.23288701190078598,-0.11177674520453706,0.528953063844682,3.594839531665478,0.11806858309406465,-2.16887184865093,-0.14895718847463257,-0.3061496581761318,-3.402222412565507,-0.42016284839579043,1.5808970957933894,-0.35087229414276777,0.890256652429116,0.6408442324415233,-0.03893891749563494,-0.21486917464944355,-0.04521176149159345,0.4820172350506624,1.0345270627502288,-0.06539063132205314,0.41065719154608615,-0.6863945731058934,0.7810654579623417,0.2843989224865524,-0.796723610301683,-1.9294672657658722,-0.15312599107631542,0.5352215490831114,-0.9056960969105106,0.13242751639042893,-0.5854043416925379,-0.07129834592847573,-0.22191921624301614,0.5238834565584796,1.5009475205025211,0.9761435332868729,0.21523867929953866,0.3215144080962702,-0.990559606074271,-1.6157655046593504,0.4677816927298011,-0.5851662528110637,-0.19505544991712043,-1.2783100025409269,0.41370931411630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k{190}=[0.5187509327828724;0.5088872459026982;0.5105555678461217];
x_a{190}=[9.363888799864093,0.4462319130361697,36.540632988246266];
std_x_a{190}=[0.796522897855596,1.0317823660025383,0.8221772793371576];
pred_a{190}=[9.363888799864093];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.9 to 19.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{191}=[2.3858669108508836,-2.0838259149075937,27.41013486400829];
std_x_f{191}=[0.5842502883452563,0.5084929965297127,0.722101911145581];
pred_f{191}=[2.3858669108508836];
obs{191}=[2.1462729958473643];
sqrt_r{191}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{191}=[1.3432444157378272];
xi{191}=[-0.43325005980944886,0.015748989529096313,-0.45613226892214764,-0.32924862901536267,0.6816693269713547,-0.3711847773529242,0.0413484759539986,0.2165038638746677,-0.332757762790564,-0.01315374167155925,3.5318902872605182,0.6586349272337384,0.2860253713573271,-0.6163431325499296,-0.6390906578533841,-0.25464197673023437,-0.2898911620209135,-0.2866457893009535,-0.2757177317609796,0.09737309732719002,1.0492168649521951,-0.645346929966458,-0.18238139607370618,0.664311419690137,-0.3147313770107578,0.21512768812108218,-0.163694665698765,-0.31401615721554244,0.34807691972768584,-0.22083702007307737,0.6494026868851304,-0.14501209764140555,-0.7886969597273721,0.5942931927442086,-0.28289036852908067,0.20726231956231045,0.12497054289382348,-0.6476104643894103,-0.3056734330989799,0.4578614562966643,-0.22140602594209513,-0.4535975901998468,0.6614169840552648,-0.04165062848945755,0.22896066277819216,-0.21623655514846396,-0.23737112601145505,-0.6821983716478772,-0.19315627283680437,0.5862683482282431,-0.534566013213942,-0.3699856579414549,-0.24219094555636822,0.8333406179642515,-0.043511303395379564,-0.0761450328566533,1.011580182102744,-0.3967023967148513,-0.07791129196950619,-0.15738875692270504,0.40938515664466246,0.1166587324429833,1.4942685046534594,-0.2180099456699791,0.10143434846277488,-0.839332036752543,-0.28075971689448487,-0.6499447716915587,0.1860077833534053,-0.3711846282853335,0.27354879639159835,0.21745690844415622,-0.16300372752491565,-0.24362931225601647,-0.7519098459666849,0.22249138649037548,0.25466228267926727,0.6417681074435055,0.24176528905861927,-0.6822558703953547,1.1634571624826937,-0.2317781659303142,-0.133627328973414,-0.9867774787678989,0.5503797541070017,-0.06958941034092225,-0.06854353733358565,-0.3648416159820438,0.5293177080637812,-0.47871721185459837,0.020268434658199386,-0.010447066085092604,0.10979302580750483,-0.04915199311774243,-0.6217751357579013,0.3537119531416444,0.04859306884176595,-0.38952706571929396,-0.3204915896428884,0.08201135431514839;-0.24656482968013238,-0.13602032312117407,-0.32737076023904255,-0.3441227783357981,-0.707625680943115,-0.3759215641229212,0.5760913286095792,-0.2399148554996331,-0.3364989424596345,0.11836042065001795,2.2657009349881077,-0.12511271541235391,0.202563167980645,-0.08360079926654063,-0.5521405165803284,-0.08790514759485735,0.792605031341425,-0.04401303996141914,-0.45557392846073785,-0.05042242940961206,1.0070000065371965,-0.4394789296774788,0.1832546709911329,-0.15974406790065565,-0.23061109460813034,-0.14435270942363365,-0.545991142979525,-0.20154342115032975,-0.11861663789561616,0.08944946208104931,0.5102005696538474,-0.20646585320909017,-0.3957605369161681,1.220623510170281,-0.10046318950772548,-0.18560869788449663,-0.16633290697129688,-0.561964444858734,-0.18070321591606353,0.6738492285872173,-0.25362922610380956,-0.4661355733294057,-0.2740183427683389,-0.2180079560274617,0.1278242726450689,-0.3212257966984913,0.11663469671841775,-0.031396752502501624,-0.16762265826988942,0.8102536457797105,-0.24101396962269606,0.16213623431151736,-0.3341497191621241,0.8587903268811248,0.23945037907259392,0.0027255427969214985,0.24776200790929082,-0.4088312879025864,0.1380069064100311,-0.19919024504720495,0.45523133495130774,-0.1619888715560731,2.477492240505695,-0.146073258545095,0.6051030336556564,-0.22113055205309706,-0.15041241611537481,-0.3085146145945079,0.18317367072174462,-0.6447680700827587,0.469477042310221,-0.49094992271681104,-0.20878495182800316,-0.24653436828842024,-0.6310764634802228,-0.496050576254528,-0.2574294860875308,0.2623547462801312,-0.34842508420774276,-0.2992859239662633,-0.24422899828630218,0.5297839153984583,-0.2419229713655846,-0.5495179458873776,-0.1583248938864923,0.30460368353141964,0.45546071575566804,-0.2922965469208436,0.22395186562864322,-0.23590181342276262,0.36018940318458936,0.012918628593941328,0.11090450780988403,-0.12816640009524338,0.14106273408069514,0.10265070196946091,-0.09477727518684098,-0.3789807989433025,-0.009622768532271841,0.5731910912314178;-0.4207391405988474,0.19011039259375906,-0.36111399393901067,-0.12906753376880076,1.8094227722367329,-0.16595577455891686,-0.6468685126011309,0.6298450804500604,-0.14538082730531343,-0.17537725065782794,3.450109522016767,1.337835242873247,0.22201109200801028,-0.8396753492542963,-0.3711198335988435,-0.3288629037987363,-1.4123912210677965,-0.42532456816906716,0.10149429179266178,0.21763829237871235,0.5879556861959259,-0.5469601102565349,-0.5509578179848305,1.209358612414274,-0.24021147706488932,0.5108126057212985,0.37552124497149464,-0.2944871705944472,0.6832698874624086,-0.4758191188824412,0.4902931003436066,0.008002561784323348,-0.8182405626537133,-0.4717114627079191,-0.3629431528110345,0.5390148405761508,0.42137451858785724,-0.3729152840240424,-0.2718429211179192,-0.0437459115797445,-0.05468372917361464,-0.18065338054846336,1.3478817532818468,0.18487066570821042,0.22206617746066115,0.0341998801118919,-0.535907794729404,-1.1193784658896746,-0.11383104613397776,0.00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k{191}=[0.2555338490272355;0.14835571398739716;0.2513853291451454];
x_a{191}=[2.3170288400380192,-2.123791348778037,27.34241435983678];
std_x_a{191}=[0.48980720708142794,0.48714369563875176,0.6310590803429742];
pred_a{191}=[2.3170288400380192];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.0 to 19.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{192}=[-0.33532898673728717,-1.7808756514481818,20.837760639512794];
std_x_f{192}=[0.46507447016485276,0.591809709535467,0.4530460704899981];
pred_f{192}=[-0.33532898673728717];
obs{192}=[-0.45863353153783776];
sqrt_r{192}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{192}=[1.2171234454304984];
xi{192}=[-0.286511920356905,-0.1893582343286795,-0.2785694204330176,-0.38104300035919914,-0.4222520404451915,0.15191685622663323,0.45295996525313575,-0.32092022759286953,-0.22369982160320967,0.5025004562331238,1.982596375917383,-0.01264415748748765,0.23713924983036294,-0.4059471204034514,-0.4678378002685213,0.06067222664020888,0.7696644294905233,-0.023322530570431155,-0.3577196192294678,0.23243876776486752,0.7701112425696219,-0.40718568222756635,0.09334891598842246,0.009893816389534626,-0.20002413979686173,-0.04267410719250242,-0.5856337563187227,0.19099661983014868,0.40567769490419014,0.27282308309292996,0.33986797526376517,-0.2336135347072491,-0.4417949346480817,0.9627777288730638,-0.08098637938907294,-0.0597454120531829,-0.849856939638498,-0.42557858280460015,-0.31433853793956823,0.17535045776085464,-0.2057577699246954,-0.4017029718350975,-0.015383972643881527,-0.15054814855697185,0.13727382088629578,-0.35780026822642164,0.01023552008815104,-0.11931994506033594,-0.21781513966406385,0.6552582185601112,-0.20913452139119482,-0.09161460025586843,-0.22499564101945613,0.806152197199191,0.19410757176476087,0.03932439723472059,0.3262603386718315,-0.5259641747897934,0.059262679523462314,-0.7125246255299388,0.38714475465284204,-0.2129199972664062,2.0720088264271226,-0.15946319512185503,0.3824481992009009,-0.22364967688622084,0.027458981363935875,-0.2845445901402145,0.16585701129149522,-0.42000306810068966,0.35943665518674967,-0.4159715187040085,0.14000653489090825,-0.1907790975154965,-0.5580110836946212,-0.8321804497783337,-0.19876342616068676,0.24073926336980278,-0.1659251263600957,0.14606802493718413,-0.05567369476906481,0.26950945285091077,-0.1461677151536881,-0.7956683655591404,0.028035657908850875,0.3830264023661547,0.3616757565495875,-0.0464465056010579,0.23594836575359068,-0.10904625542063257,-0.06425371651866563,-0.08598958342864871,0.13783554567007777,-0.4332951724566497,-0.5582477393711974,0.23330378544813926,0.038318136515212486,-0.32423890691396495,0.6506650583675297,0.42696154490508875;-0.2841819869838613,-0.2547181316875269,-0.30923817062665804,-0.4581013080719034,-0.9322854109599039,0.07529608516489228,0.7369061774610532,-0.4916695723895106,-0.2881455436079332,0.5703176970602861,1.7749539506063663,-0.26157400774903494,0.2655300370314668,-0.29844419855784143,-0.562132550134163,0.09771221181972978,1.2749226567166168,0.0402446604201292,-0.49341877381228305,0.18791112867462045,0.9696006790183497,-0.44279684958970766,0.23986740492187542,-0.24943309746644649,-0.21894942841458542,-0.1669679432926945,-0.7928204817435207,0.186362187942541,0.22804385735714416,0.392383334213954,0.4101173151527828,-0.28705874392455466,-0.430390634712323,1.4351852071503686,-0.0455774415005763,-0.19844128277225326,-0.9817354436673311,-0.5192644407744222,-0.3217826167409801,0.3801877297357157,-0.2641757100892368,-0.5005543071622294,-0.3310824332100275,-0.2386060992459178,0.14274259092858332,-0.4468654394445932,0.13229448576617453,0.04843005646307441,-0.24476544627143038,0.9022391404399621,-0.18225825240824634,0.08182546010632041,-0.3143842247992559,0.9889945095981757,0.32947690418781517,0.06831988367056585,0.14757051508677677,-0.6136854977999169,0.15186963144858034,-0.7931333802101854,0.5008879064182283,-0.31011236609300963,2.9169103070313094,-0.16527472624493056,0.66200347571797,-0.10925474379704503,0.0351712603089358,-0.2549923336900777,0.21273357777056767,-0.616838560510941,0.5240655151563054,-0.6978118717269586,0.08729577845627601,-0.23649660163643937,-0.6622822067986582,-1.1270679030010846,-0.3843583595125526,0.1947184225461167,-0.38919810251996556,0.19686900231070803,-0.5000072601219621,0.6035333804638963,-0.22275433340976813,-0.8354866872163427,-0.19725630236492986,0.563113528136679,0.615164093923348,-0.07703623365218437,0.19728717170791477,-0.09096113774486181,0.09838895584195728,-0.07526583022533262,0.168970668449679,-0.4885583387335879,-0.38253228697233,0.18424009451789858,-0.012656457942331167,-0.39476813394096255,0.7299065484944585,0.6990444422813118;-0.2549146046796871,0.037237020209978766,-0.14396254368943318,-0.08456832692868232,1.128724769481785,0.3530690357473958,-0.4728246228524604,0.24475643371528122,0.017297158077361985,0.22436214187367653,1.9899119483292722,0.7934380005223431,0.11485725353101017,-0.671508640363399,-0.08740477789980972,-0.06482181595766434,-0.7443476294985452,-0.22057150955949112,0.14792917581641163,0.32939245324238087,0.10293895316898016,-0.23773248975688688,-0.39843968121941487,0.738745969609667,-0.109130524997191,0.32099923818238096,0.1815978496787487,0.15873850020247104,0.7969772877409902,-0.1047157767080158,0.0823533006606958,-0.02639514094416029,-0.43423149088306445,-0.45354444979387765,-0.19203117115208812,0.36504580215033755,-0.2828055546718957,-0.05354714845755737,-0.2467423694382198,-0.4880095571996961,0.009511217106698666,-0.024644088152008692,0.8780318179838069,0.13349186339413066,0.09363419782086524,-0.00267869883458971,-0.3890790847015211,-0.6654747052314924,-0.10497749271517876,-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k{192}=[0.17839065235794668;0.21879244681165522;0.035311995749444325];
x_a{192}=[-0.37031991514949286,-1.8237913016928824,20.83083427033913];
std_x_a{192}=[0.39326236126732983,0.5068890786595882,0.45079324713910224];
pred_a{192}=[-0.37031991514949286];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.1 to 19.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{193}=[-1.4941850105650178,-2.5817785180637727,16.171676748412327];
std_x_f{193}=[0.5833142352375594,0.889245097947947,0.3659877541458843];
pred_f{193}=[-1.4941850105650178];
obs{193}=[-1.6049981115078444];
sqrt_r{193}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{193}=[1.3446456550496926];
xi{193}=[-0.6592614381809845,-0.2114377537088219,-0.3750409716339358,-0.4459065081569684,-0.6205865297597521,0.05188900569492194,0.6607809492499902,-0.396098113672926,0.012323887793735722,0.519485051714388,1.7905519005781052,-0.17758629233453527,0.333828244270876,-0.2530860482847941,-0.37332584697945226,-0.7963789448905245,1.3478701898540297,0.5435795309544863,-0.340225822733899,0.23056362686444687,0.9777387193828841,-0.6339213052110895,0.25496008948792004,-0.27894973544339297,0.2307066491037788,-0.07271416716194379,-0.6191933038397905,0.24181873587733893,0.30667285162159974,0.37374405960720414,0.41963649176124496,-0.29415094408178155,-0.39630259380124255,1.132634548287355,-0.15057095768399043,-0.3652281233354615,-0.9343115852381672,-0.4466396108664239,-0.32197271908150005,0.39454168980231197,-0.3182817735831516,-0.5148999040768498,-0.35006117226748357,-0.2976284090112513,0.03502339623305262,-0.5553981536773767,0.6262080463489117,-0.029186856817976947,-0.4356840665027706,0.8770518961485404,-0.40840978390761706,0.0908091086141658,-0.23413379322773498,0.9917784800519654,0.15256064837389594,0.0082048244723536,0.26003994055560486,-0.7887142270629168,0.04929129322610537,-0.27953249885196807,0.15407381973298828,-0.21453062280414104,2.6703784396484513,-0.4610634678616581,0.8707223582745002,-0.309703707452885,-0.34309089982122143,-0.34886999102282235,0.36713940550803126,-0.6529638899854031,0.45953376375324706,-0.3714659344079356,0.3393950105233632,-0.24614639890774104,-0.5440230358455322,-1.0694800304797039,-0.30416378314729564,0.5739972941878573,-0.389117394038758,0.030555610380343268,-0.2084982813552212,0.5188472555906414,-0.2519603721156911,-0.7973610744842443,-0.09255617540193684,-0.11702424648602139,0.5512621932176744,-0.3780923921621355,-0.20017694814276377,-0.24473032568615882,0.11814599598698927,-0.06922858097844964,0.39229683106378843,-0.5125836148405722,-0.741490580570171,0.5994861530763432,0.042860756213286555,0.030915706201910975,1.0049552966587003,0.604281957117627;-1.0019662040458308,-0.322111604951298,-0.5715802618878834,-0.6753931694830202,-0.950794277954568,0.06687952012356124,1.0318968801305741,-0.6056987102505684,0.01637045522323355,0.7814321587146433,2.531857839063289,-0.28463602406510047,0.5018629470850877,-0.3800281215629213,-0.5645297630985477,-1.2075686851609881,2.124382493997487,0.8324474297759241,-0.5193110042311804,0.33784331972463066,1.4911129061602637,-0.961075568182931,0.395510834033288,-0.426671009850919,0.3523388489369683,-0.12035821022034998,-0.9322522460873395,0.3537968268638667,0.4248617494147249,0.575419091841586,0.6303683356342871,-0.44667351496513286,-0.5992604212084709,1.770774449380271,-0.2269585541938861,-0.5659246896288295,-1.4089186567754095,-0.6688510136324082,-0.4798379413639453,0.6188068720672499,-0.48623559584417686,-0.7807703405585986,-0.552028759569053,-0.4556554528446277,0.053722988805441574,-0.8425108183825354,0.9653495268461412,-0.03512122403442142,-0.6620420435505756,1.3464552050448224,-0.6269220347824302,0.15261330665238226,-0.36400775007331543,1.5069004714099492,0.24300492539039853,0.00839592342243467,0.3610984317080099,-1.19430601286768,0.07809054357757628,-0.42075128705117626,0.2323080401748645,-0.32800287941908124,4.161534852978953,-0.6958298191838845,1.357643698512007,-0.46290298681193187,-0.524714438706336,-0.5315286536646893,0.55811284965394,-0.986980289963153,0.7014359524958729,-0.575224443397901,0.5044055835710624,-0.37742095070329684,-0.819668132846568,-1.6016801662227533,-0.4654937309845284,0.8471009641507179,-0.5932215224665445,0.04601550563032086,-0.3501353985414606,0.8273489730164785,-0.38833505209177144,-1.2163557327593248,-0.16032747996063534,-0.1736776514442706,0.860114089300394,-0.5764687708019665,-0.3140305464691404,-0.3729562421074113,0.1837602239393692,-0.10672488355884813,0.5934402119736808,-0.783389030514932,-1.1339340405297804,0.8933962822356745,0.06575578985979247,0.04429196126573132,1.5120207665456666,0.9374737891777374;-0.04644391340748655,0.0653612187193211,-0.027021577170661004,0.04959324734823056,1.0554723582154928,0.21590185709515453,-0.5306669334839995,0.2870602147885357,0.016746041534826617,0.010840663756582103,1.2323809614618106,0.6243793153676975,-0.019394898924900872,-0.4487341158530551,0.0453484573728673,0.08625768964655478,-0.7916957867331007,-0.25785804159925974,0.20585403434256833,0.16282484392788277,-0.13797847136203245,-0.022141370048903042,-0.38795611036307953,0.5998050196273255,-0.1154937397538589,0.243011117324631,0.3314098954100082,0.0339439958233001,0.5020487997450829,-0.20082921022221178,-0.06842735106318543,0.04008999369751365,-0.22727792657289925,-0.6006742590595824,-0.13878942755874135,0.3348490508269073,0.09586224091180284,0.08266674475495961,-0.11313154529405267,-0.4869076958869556,0.06877255788463188,0.11534624679514849,0.730518590938587,0.14782968906300553,0.01898763649371915,0.13450219259962992,-0.39917087094251613,-0.5265268087140598,0.005668604314053027,-0.3171730296785924,-0.14078053158951676,-0.53565972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k{193}=[0.2563096483861066;0.39055152316428693;-0.04639065435775269];
x_a{193}=[-1.5268066310600654,-2.631485673657212,16.177581084556138];
std_x_a{193}=[0.48262998087243897,0.7398389736015677,0.3732613301084058];
pred_a{193}=[-1.5268066310600654];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.2 to 19.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{194}=[-3.0604348657005778,-5.244227161357298,13.231539273101907];
std_x_f{194}=[0.8870541600876064,1.4802596806904742,0.5544943725540573];
pred_f{194}=[-3.0604348657005778];
obs{194}=[-3.2155156781635226];
sqrt_r{194}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{194}=[1.801736299683786];
xi{194}=[-1.2133632839140382,-0.5805585172489778,-0.7458690841918472,-1.4765219524448883,-1.337229544513698,-0.39654238354431515,0.9150772516870846,-0.7778045826584044,-0.5496367526770798,0.7969546223099848,1.826464428117551,-1.0624018260990509,1.2248072742874638,-0.34966015731709676,-0.31299869729148755,-0.6439552259492483,1.2433924569939574,-0.20327238880935905,0.18580983127948247,-0.26131894491449437,1.1854065355364647,-0.8741425245897148,0.5731575868279943,-0.7223742154425663,0.28166152654521026,-0.1435112821176059,-0.7264259783597318,-0.017148161073726076,-1.0259313610824075,0.3478378417008865,0.4427528496072566,0.2644681387525267,-0.45681022884934164,2.1997520536198865,-0.27012002525186984,-0.3204869398404422,-1.0081589220826022,-0.563363268041043,-1.2211358947860464,0.4991481173130592,-0.8521708142565467,0.4489441337490221,-0.5937779431153323,-0.4460572257728468,0.5027255003380757,-0.06846917801092722,0.9048796176645264,-0.031005499719997776,-0.6457022287926741,1.191083165547961,-0.8622712567125261,0.5572243965552088,-0.39733985288736795,1.1197069520999594,0.29866830033814074,-0.11569870998548026,-0.1318942505649905,-1.4579947068103634,0.4922422684169434,-0.35873676000298316,-0.5071082662919975,-0.4160895381811063,4.19999666446536,-0.7844541340806361,2.5459097552233763,0.27721395424162765,-0.05410482867429023,0.3816419874191914,0.48118396104216465,-0.4516909558728326,0.19006853541114177,-0.44405254251481274,0.6672263290631881,-0.3432729616329335,-1.2332574391816138,-0.11797461207559579,-0.42287864375715056,0.8339276840977958,-0.6473553914495649,0.0055485274865461065,-0.379343334426244,1.0528830778396485,-0.35444458332791173,-0.6057668099069282,-0.10848279872645028,0.5727213881850273,0.8568460975698522,-0.02380800940290717,-0.2480765935532543,-0.1414484415048438,-0.03441296153574935,-0.1640229318336286,0.3841012589424566,-0.7877506372673722,-0.9982850081364214,0.8578776236160346,-0.3033402608832727,-0.6997429043488665,1.720632559272337,0.9630809051252727;-2.015614419687777,-0.9725296336206588,-1.2450926635226116,-2.4171634586473782,-2.0608250833610136,-0.6509744582246739,1.4947642501281582,-1.265906739213083,-0.9329329286475048,1.3204463837553604,3.094340473010543,-1.6704854169984786,2.0428422329259233,-0.6415975417515041,-0.5301586992230636,-1.0761371120559584,2.0519210797163847,-0.3727557428294599,0.305910380542179,-0.4266353692356315,1.9731056375767642,-1.4628494601288198,0.9157219460252808,-1.133309859513595,0.44908923870822637,-0.23099557030041495,-1.1781172207971853,-0.03519833467222444,-1.6273918314138012,0.5549008221651341,0.7218678828961007,0.423154238414428,-0.8038621131651942,3.7049339986718284,-0.4739886780872693,-0.5181934703424114,-1.6752354851584759,-0.9359158111630013,-2.0303194643863174,0.7893783416663354,-1.4057540197880458,0.7428624960161612,-0.918613297969495,-0.738536941688027,0.8267539410535703,-0.12450806872837994,1.486068672247534,-0.11174126867708978,-1.0819792536646151,1.9770980348719247,-1.4596378977434092,0.878466990342571,-0.6643113215427237,1.8627848636179958,0.46007600613697264,-0.21922725266519905,-0.1845369657477649,-2.3810261110184117,0.7856032809801965,-0.6316979138505987,-0.8610293270517522,-0.6914049663460524,7.171298460721313,-1.3056564463707119,4.3041347119347595,0.4068503870424873,-0.11026929048735123,0.5949221035030083,0.7935856843495426,-0.7286662057989481,0.2815186190917496,-0.70224177654352,1.1097455119075477,-0.5804871121430866,-2.0294592024536655,-0.16465270524551823,-0.6854294167263273,1.3925514372889065,-1.023450281090712,-0.013364966165012149,-0.5536877472029076,1.7240223107091888,-0.5962207899869574,-1.058617863636906,-0.154529040648554,0.9257624491589187,1.3975968852937988,-0.052629207271238876,-0.41204550245048654,-0.2676389329909741,-0.12028493508421523,-0.30224119560007434,0.6083235635544,-1.3217149632849123,-1.7573013777284352,1.4333212953297991,-0.49992295407159304,-1.1745507177155003,2.8935348366696205,1.5739943553018731;0.6394498620871918,0.32344778562169374,0.3381766539153812,0.9499206422641908,1.6002679912279199,0.3530155329834521,-0.8465908716006325,0.6061504936503592,0.30370441458292063,-0.39457774341664376,0.3309699933918573,1.1065628453062342,-0.6231014365315328,-0.23791874325216256,0.10862382309234064,0.3036983018592547,-1.083082806314163,-0.06527679282398147,-0.0598970665264833,0.2528729045054039,-0.6110762389186029,0.39473515172054796,-0.6344115316690377,0.8266962031459641,-0.28116171404776225,0.1948020581556289,0.5710111931455675,0.007179988366853962,1.0594237611544575,-0.3645199491640305,-0.30210188931984483,-0.22608533241582052,-0.018220687094396837,-1.247766637755202,-0.031933701803279035,0.3352132559827705,0.552330151860966,0.2884024006746504,0.6373118224093375,-0.6479817249728139,0.4991977647382395,-0.29812069976120625,0.8233719101338863,0.28514893936862684,-0.31611901584533086,0.0012502294522640511,-0.7474765655149707,-0.4533220728880085,0.2851666889821267,-0.763410013916781,0.3301753072565319,-0.7653292690001354,0.2312855282764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k{194}=[0.4449798229765892;0.7422057887584848;-0.22930682751239728];
x_a{194}=[-3.0521073844659528,-5.230337307348257,13.227247958744545];
std_x_a{194}=[0.5831940929257647,0.9699942620384632,0.46295997394164706];
pred_a{194}=[-3.0521073844659528];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.3 to 19.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{195}=[-6.394931707372327,-11.153209680665755,13.592405391809374];
std_x_f{195}=[1.1167421727427642,1.7749114426592172,1.3602547192711543];
pred_f{195}=[-6.394931707372327];
obs{195}=[-6.759582088339783];
sqrt_r{195}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{195}=[2.263470399830012];
xi{195}=[-1.2725465120499324,-0.3035226819056831,-1.0759233820434977,-0.6560196224143899,-1.7195386149326994,-0.07691557890762635,0.6336376606623331,-0.7294612017445274,-0.7114289365649409,0.6142366960023322,0.10949027817347723,-0.5608473103050642,1.5376963747202899,-1.0513591051334163,-0.3972935034759022,-1.045899341076697,1.5056329343244697,-0.6033192306165356,-0.13294890727572906,0.14642887302715302,1.19423013783008,0.521945592970761,2.731320281309303,-0.8175375526309949,0.028746600209334616,0.14880993632233697,-0.6301691759727115,-0.9309824395737429,-1.5611991058581154,0.4972763520242278,0.12237555621466356,-0.18978042609411094,-1.6890618083588,1.735520422674644,-0.6281408243796411,-0.7456592857781716,-1.3944221649232675,-1.1408214685729563,-1.3006418651102525,2.3994012580689663,-1.0222630280802312,0.3319315101170659,-0.4641485894687216,-0.753370449006753,2.278974460688306,-0.9025824675127012,1.5710662744617423,-0.23697393291488744,-1.1759245912947431,-0.18171093979488884,-1.3591416012284965,1.9960475307672922,0.07096229313729818,1.0409885735091988,-0.120691034910827,-0.41092365507415973,-3.94822013667806E-4,-1.5058416422518182,0.3239495720111867,0.11862862651274675,-0.6114762410029746,0.015558860608052782,4.9143479716420195,-0.38866116202767564,2.309871852913722,-0.22886500070132954,1.253740562524337,-0.254944569556554,0.37439317761201707,1.31184928145794,0.01300216424192957,-0.6149222504706229,0.34059758006136587,-0.44327448132837244,-1.3880332605889656,-0.22367948813744665,-0.16755526638955498,0.6925326014792121,-0.15396614232940387,0.28071155329760433,0.628987063561385,0.9193336967846886,-1.042748121947528,-0.7740749132632159,-2.098636349959638,0.5547295414573554,0.338895785493607,-0.4550177671316513,-1.085376073683304,-0.42184487470334986,-0.11007589582444233,-0.3281513209766018,0.3352272313299096,-1.189706479264519,0.7093224525721844,1.8242972937643769,-0.4728509610704199,0.7546486115271769,1.8172606483843898,0.9046616931565001;-1.9443471988432623,-0.518280840902845,-1.6762290142285377,-0.99848019002836,-2.2781896848804575,-0.1339662548943359,0.8771803513706793,-1.1066583402131531,-1.1293650417283292,0.921160504146096,0.382535974247336,-0.7627805757095398,2.4304347406913305,-1.7495088535639542,-0.6736612177567718,-1.6311151589073614,2.307201411594084,-1.0188160966295232,-0.2473295302488676,0.2005419076700541,1.8530428890157573,0.7549248065913119,4.430333808805381,-1.1675597782019178,-0.041627582489370596,0.20686134953776758,-0.9608702008203842,-1.4572059814097695,-2.193448120716381,0.6883687317352614,0.12101363189334435,-0.3724883786898854,-2.6157800602926304,2.745851180778512,-1.0538639535595333,-1.1452720421938096,-2.1101633684082444,-1.759529384369996,-1.9900365419264805,3.8492954238082167,-1.5780866657113712,0.46349616700038965,-0.6359935112591995,-1.1823172063424394,3.6758973165987676,-1.4305004982601996,2.4379039934306856,-0.5292596960876814,-1.8291505012376899,-0.36707290794724656,-2.105600150093215,3.136379927651456,0.06586272823260231,1.6162185753759726,-0.3098736957848285,-0.7199377755474341,0.02404005502051021,-2.2230483362426394,0.3965696898766584,0.08071299805487442,-1.0068971631124146,-0.01463151467213919,8.466635337677056,-0.6611129570376644,3.749497165145022,-0.4996575510053862,1.9411093794018601,-0.51422383913504,0.5144976103577878,2.0924804213272363,-0.09024006398869844,-0.9067316014245304,0.4895543213147846,-0.7384492192452079,-2.081457728508184,-0.3371396665415727,-0.2593810832383934,1.058905985822756,-0.20277106442898152,0.3685254665819695,1.0702069635868856,1.3094474673129834,-1.6096638326530002,-1.3170668190282377,-2.9890578471321465,0.7603990068450877,0.3891153529173135,-0.7695600158983655,-1.6642879378494335,-0.7466430538044602,-0.3361394109802589,-0.5939228663887182,0.4396896971259956,-1.848946013143964,0.9501019166803317,2.9342462799493454,-0.7646547028243234,1.1442493729972512,2.9400767015916855,1.315483678406519;1.6663448833346788,0.29574180768318037,1.321133335528934,0.9214883487858998,3.138115254650545,0.10001101233381426,-1.1844681785594968,1.0396617884696706,0.8479729971648897,-0.8515056371064436,0.7889185057980317,1.1002057548305721,-1.8480978238654995,0.9691379967464933,0.35826828064184824,1.2883319641687212,-2.175049180992982,0.543619038887984,0.07727117580634868,-0.20559690991764867,-1.5051293632895515,-0.801826267850684,-3.1915555866750243,1.3710903327687145,-0.2636461162374495,-0.2027540168740618,0.8943482471740705,1.142727374108519,2.5559947669210157,-0.8719654452160057,-0.3236624633896259,0.05885636448685716,2.071830086698183,-2.129521377274841,0.5819455105752489,1.0255238255227983,1.8648398604980763,1.457804269427914,1.7007458769639712,-2.9651296671803973,1.3396800139849994,-0.5862732420857952,0.9245403827927117,0.9371477155632526,-2.592201730797708,1.0847834863489254,-2.108368499727529,-0.19976418958881048,1.4706205006803827,-0.0050702134402786925,1.6898366843630672,-2.6742476288651513,-0.18021416453962402,-1.3051200439690014,-0.17960793343637071,0.319875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k{195}=[0.5582005401638561;0.8846918477036188;-0.6532495998229494];
x_a{195}=[-6.619640331740635,-11.509350303584142,13.855376866008008];
std_x_a{195}=[0.7533469322024691,1.2026954554159406,0.9563084138884632];
pred_a{195}=[-6.619640331740635];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.4 to 19.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{196}=[-12.68321078055767,-18.813390248550235,24.398306454251077];
std_x_f{196}=[0.8828393297912391,0.5582467755968848,2.663527166061693];
pred_f{196}=[-12.68321078055767];
obs{196}=[-12.980954583837608];
sqrt_r{196}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{196}=[1.7848270568655855];
xi{196}=[-0.7326361233892111,-0.32293943278110504,-0.32006405332089827,0.3136397186042661,-0.9615372890633793,-0.9600200070937692,0.9370176229667386,-0.34720409246453166,-0.7270590213986292,1.2918439042074201,1.4826651133302864,0.10171430813473847,1.3986343381294049,-0.6733984047100599,-0.5690806822416263,-0.21064654706798258,0.5797092510556112,0.2030263044966265,-0.244089466685125,-0.01650646551791013,2.523998730018395,0.12843365993520273,1.704155766827844,-0.286904373904596,-0.19726277555516525,-0.4253215960793977,-0.27644485877653224,-1.57163038391006,0.24928706546641521,0.5375379709078452,-0.3306961862797948,0.3872179756057772,-0.5952703371644699,1.1359155583958724,-0.33538884681920145,-0.3365488700807546,-0.7248800771698782,-1.7232100527295078,0.2833252902262853,1.4245109555438464,-0.23235305430854147,0.07415106789052572,-0.19170892600960876,-0.3317861683225889,0.8238317367109858,-1.981869200126651,0.8109051330103298,-0.39778476842312926,-0.5493439172532408,-0.2811379511033074,0.286285755334756,1.3506349395266497,0.3922324258858243,0.48313492835165484,0.055264997660499304,-0.020712745623155726,0.25563764776312503,-0.602919023836046,0.2533418822371143,-1.1095160209249535,0.22436252237609544,0.27401666206115216,3.5041398964153316,-0.8093385489406657,2.0228739925624826,-0.3069282266789557,-0.042372084994525494,-0.24303324952595062,-0.19705663771650705,0.8275985072195144,-1.3722026210602607,-1.3580231549948145,0.07385585216213286,-0.22681464018755904,-0.4586612605369602,-0.7751979636299549,-1.1945548800138681,0.8818233732132406,-0.01045634942446938,0.1821888205559148,0.3028241754804881,0.18969208370729085,0.029397750952762536,-0.48322211349245947,-0.3923013020706403,0.33518366456624094,-0.20742811681830453,-0.3455012506874269,-0.7436100620415917,-0.35477484274741045,-0.7526895077863518,-0.6010639731179879,-0.13600489605001798,-0.5598177302331759,-1.5644940008935517,0.6540067859153815,-0.43911070528803364,2.061114000773374,1.1067969978685426,0.02460070501219036;-0.026126951119508135,-0.27876427805512094,-0.1562579524387111,0.03365226394707932,1.0855495485436855,-0.14804172249199254,-0.0530253250021282,-0.06957737632347616,-0.1925316845229048,0.3750912071236314,1.1307841859580563,0.19670253459300469,0.5175177851736876,-0.4492316242733132,-0.3170423295193885,-0.15546371151394567,-0.2266400623259095,-0.2405540419822323,-0.28057413816348387,-0.21023844456691876,1.4999535984265933,-0.28406854707738916,0.8261359920459981,0.13404859842768246,-0.4014354295774005,-0.25953895150098205,-0.08662105687781718,0.26230238511207915,0.4884694618299328,-0.18658892385645842,-0.3728055178847427,-0.17399821247926184,-0.11606589130981249,0.30312583736408527,-0.3559519063061991,-0.09469813827395157,0.03073777839738412,0.5051287725302025,0.05629660285084981,0.5098559616492757,-0.09338735963437728,-0.30878801532916356,0.10130495611471702,-0.1725301692552108,0.23318250221868553,0.6708109016050301,-0.00990180976911148,-0.6311525303107857,-0.13731033371341894,-0.39187759847910897,0.001857581531897523,0.33776589839142446,-0.1223446231832348,-0.07280079225344949,-0.40957078090786325,-0.3102873497841365,0.017579874115565275,0.169315914548541,-0.3665553789119045,-0.40088771454608363,-0.1743863644037198,-0.14577466290831254,3.741223695901578,-0.2857065314704883,1.1536574554509187,-0.5533908974925339,-0.3096380061624977,-0.47408964668731457,-0.3730604252868588,0.20850769494797206,-0.29355632136230625,0.3401843693667317,-0.2296007836501559,-0.2863852079635336,0.053368745749466484,-0.09939625556643605,0.036335678547441574,0.15496030317768472,-0.016047668501769863,-0.3064980066377565,0.18120765682037998,-0.5315541124811567,-0.0717588656224315,-0.4160984695293166,0.5138018964076885,-0.3357981043164102,-0.5603172850278,-0.2978106600623036,-0.04082351512626303,-0.3883223048299165,-0.630084657073887,-0.4077907572122079,-0.37700825502130897,-0.14149154544589138,-0.5054872543064981,0.15531056913558317,-0.22527154034525054,1.031472168869115,0.46808115761437463,-0.48489675647366326;2.5243801115315314,0.8064198051207683,0.9820291715264524,-0.9362709644732803,4.753006198718651,3.0825696393375956,-3.4596535776522543,1.2008193869669164,2.267862787256629,-4.066792227705445,-3.4022189059468424,0.0707800588826224,-4.258274646380887,1.7216103181022717,1.572572572258622,0.5999987532680926,-2.388732796516287,-0.9897021329560403,0.5309079543631476,-0.1673498333058525,-7.122890443336388,-0.8031273321717478,-4.960495057973201,1.3048078401177214,0.17894195054298834,1.170246091678802,0.9301937825591189,5.507460988905908,0.0018336834497780785,-2.141179653343496,0.6689346661499158,-1.5781160802661525,1.9364486226072763,-3.5942080718967375,0.7218554730302351,1.1194697324713339,2.584184760261927,6.270388806243062,-0.8058788771443339,-4.41732256954457,0.7801051724315897,-0.6429184331764368,0.9268885015752488,0.9832622154711892,-2.5169386493427552,7.206166815814299,-2.8894815607447626,0.5193891618114073,1.7731856327137265,0.46505877518783834,-0.9171456369953432,-4.42706585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k{196}=[0.4397216267237988;0.16392077278337255;-1.2936667782460076];
x_a{196}=[-12.826203540679579,-18.866695526974333,24.818993025156544];
std_x_a{196}=[0.5688839907890246,0.49452509675500417,1.7830219132116951];
pred_a{196}=[-12.826203540679579];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.5 to 19.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{197}=[-14.26051617899894,-9.530331790738577,38.971454238165954];
std_x_f{197}=[0.5631386682892464,1.5960858652448007,0.6202466374065199];
pred_f{197}=[-14.26051617899894];
obs{197}=[-14.32178162064228];
sqrt_r{197}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{197}=[1.3222862855331152];
xi{197}=[0.7148086843641472,-0.10292287947036982,0.395933069370372,0.23493447750177943,1.8691821908276793,0.5536264231878985,-0.7407203301253222,-0.07661945838414042,0.1352550753092352,-0.6695067962960337,0.04306745660092659,-0.06100327913570425,-0.7190541176943555,0.21940108724946406,0.17747155328209274,0.09194375457694903,-0.6343436396525348,-0.4355609979684125,-0.037025259861913185,-0.2664876112735328,-0.812578538467303,-0.32528674159852144,-0.5091130150845729,0.3089273764454319,-0.21187687589895,-0.20153550076017268,0.14416482703526334,0.8722474554296049,1.1089429415309482,-0.577523178177799,-0.009443962259570782,0.7871842930634383,-0.008005369359857184,-0.04750793396147657,-0.15609541989251596,-0.40245028826142537,0.6179463855488283,1.4400158203559972,-0.35826089535906824,-0.6684645680906165,-0.003922806317161687,-0.5624759612808905,-0.045774809805726235,-0.12820988488249263,-0.6300979614064399,1.7319723791717827,-0.628024455526285,0.20290376854214287,-0.0695147393160731,-0.21051198903941248,-0.143373493250456,0.11018099202885878,-0.8291837857660536,-0.08987476347225076,-0.23743830449421388,-0.21936896054932475,-0.1815751282725504,0.449705479505754,-0.332994750251995,0.7050669360040622,-0.3205129474343664,-0.2018318767544489,0.7470523748669073,0.7526830887688405,-0.7204852275784468,-0.4295363593800712,0.11901190275741946,-0.19546370684884273,-0.1241582582938765,-0.4729962335044444,0.6883970636394885,1.4627102505450509,-0.006244561021649275,-0.3638167671976671,0.31666447707526757,0.6103541788629112,0.8529497917360764,-0.26641589995953296,0.04108355114919071,-0.37311478941291476,-0.177755090118076,-0.8153010194567187,-0.12515241878794825,0.5956603846489585,0.45372846606504424,-0.6626291785404508,-0.48513082596235435,-0.17036402152620056,0.33532774318909375,-0.1776850434484114,-0.18924396147489375,0.08146813430094824,-0.23664822468592916,0.8042498992572682,0.5873533373466131,-0.5585191973578869,0.12672383841296408,-0.9762825388178022,-0.9220197957913836,-0.1752645155344137;1.9963077732247987,-0.054605691442258575,1.4099868400810518,0.9321806214717601,3.7191723068841647,1.5483480221348147,-1.6905140486502557,-0.4138281735171869,0.33726800594611106,-2.101981917464066,-1.0933572656833093,-0.5869009869779287,-2.4999853796464873,1.1538464963927755,0.8351846935401426,0.4518474682064184,-1.271930283406908,-0.8883897146768103,0.2306562774186922,-0.5233372915271985,-3.962006208164711,-0.4523828527542708,-2.0690253955502786,0.5740776508940826,-0.08237438042539935,-0.5049021626830292,0.45060646913642977,1.5645579522920832,2.94291781863687,-1.207442765241197,0.4817330135318958,3.240823000012359,-0.23135035622793687,0.13289208799229968,-0.08164269393136436,-1.537910281532593,1.554121351934465,2.972893858753049,-1.1963014384788533,-2.21976863517472,-0.04638048497248626,-1.3163375788264808,-0.5557240783774002,-0.36090752936998705,-2.093041487084877,3.5710801300449697,-1.5093948638901438,1.6373823115440018,-0.37884455741587963,-0.1465515222976208,-0.30655567381772464,0.8591405484214025,-2.423282183036637,0.20466699600033422,0.04483102696052477,-0.16340737153654672,-0.5032356075918365,0.7973515448427513,-0.2030139315228361,2.4307357867700823,-0.5943754408326303,-0.20572214056644178,-2.6919578680428167,2.5337040360641385,-3.3717199439315166,-0.6090887000443725,0.9917393245262751,0.10343185745539607,0.16830878766113067,-1.4473003695038429,2.0472159512538797,3.4524303692847536,0.483564511075004,-0.8827940836257593,0.6559455751709713,1.7420374101659553,2.090740795293134,-0.5428788426101026,0.13359562483794285,-0.5437984272334955,-0.8026981113303631,-1.6132537494813644,-0.2828734963036261,2.4590272764695653,0.24612329313979764,-1.3728858716551482,-0.7047864250377334,-0.2547771215061321,0.7401092606237292,-0.11071738479772897,0.07254508841674578,0.6637524335799316,-0.17696762779462638,2.601580279906525,2.013103139679954,-1.831611874109484,0.563404922575824,-3.9915799022757454,-3.5251874207281055,0.39661960405969054;0.08013495434331475,0.19161750820752133,0.2972175309777825,0.27385909874589487,-0.897530906762185,0.05917647068775267,0.22813957030984255,-0.15955042032778977,-0.01842171194105191,-0.26854012440423247,-1.0005177202449786,-0.337661124004093,-0.49699477907147127,0.4603233780080913,0.2906971578296904,0.17671089063322398,0.3562987072250934,0.23948813939831126,0.28312896038589486,0.15995960434796075,-1.6283033116707202,0.34817014253039247,-0.6358714073198186,-0.18792481821160578,0.4069468881727687,0.037520589703525786,0.06559947880406014,-0.6482192995663141,0.05693267613959563,0.2842171761640415,0.4124372966551988,0.9011116099014984,-0.165008906290403,0.2125536241252135,0.28050848990035604,-0.37275334395800286,-0.05777300328023216,-0.6980567396289459,-0.17862499409862664,-0.39264948157948965,-0.004893594696063985,0.17939871770668958,-0.3395421336988633,9.558585293660826E-4,-0.3315917352598703,-0.833377312880458,0.13345436559770008,0.8721090953197361,-0.15436587625381293,0.3427650038218317,0.0759249332404508,0.418000579150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k{197}=[0.24373412101387473;0.6165531127999949;-0.024374444343718743];
x_a{197}=[-14.276059088123663,-9.569649342843947,38.97300859490447];
std_x_a{197}=[0.4669984362762636,1.378470078971838,0.6198051321839609];
pred_a{197}=[-14.276059088123663];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.6 to 19.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{198}=[-6.67539008287066,0.9281744319233077,33.13972313168604];
std_x_f{198}=[0.6467549340386308,0.5258291304311229,0.8118136693952387];
pred_f{198}=[-6.67539008287066];
obs{198}=[-6.455612473311677];
sqrt_r{198}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{198}=[1.4238532239280182];
xi{198}=[0.7420017811607611,-0.12730629832246,0.5538843265500679,0.13674541863280876,0.7949273849681093,0.2406603956719131,-0.4094326327101365,-0.22344315647810387,0.11658728365810145,-0.32232119374321755,-0.7534642856636813,-0.3146898236598279,-1.1692419843454385,0.4477817351154538,0.3801205750570311,0.5800683459009663,0.23329272164822878,-0.1654247391060668,0.08027133108586959,0.13258965256306166,-1.9359499917182816,-0.09522467200199713,-1.3237120504486368,-0.138343399565656,0.1283492130129824,-0.12414559950171533,0.11548780342442111,0.26153429283892926,1.100487424150371,-0.27584260195995736,0.27428073798507846,1.3771866740363894,-0.14395570612121666,-0.10545703757630243,0.05780243078266345,-0.37467211633355824,0.6120424761800933,0.7805313024753007,-0.4407268470371184,-0.8285126770265867,-0.059856638921158556,-0.18584792464539746,-0.0996347721350821,0.1357649935361449,-0.7803783088643463,1.0969147467274238,-0.4288546727755893,0.7430136705170334,0.019195097285852114,0.02628586160165991,-0.22561725104242836,0.5122286008791272,-0.7353297595040464,0.18710009409136052,0.1754921080445948,0.22238359527420481,-0.20422687292032293,0.3594869843795463,-0.3183577400164843,0.9096383480890182,-0.35933706787841846,-0.13119535611753275,-2.395181843213459,0.945767809996906,-1.505688118904084,-0.12202665734184759,0.5289781968509724,0.19912862456292757,0.09077858200823119,-0.6661737668898562,0.8142572228992702,0.6301312778229207,0.40053327139511996,-0.4486513971321866,0.1429093889373112,0.357591037101745,0.7273613179994847,-0.20027508329907917,-0.43033858675196424,0.23005526115538721,-0.13839909077933843,-0.5722630789507939,-0.0974950046368459,1.0614335530647976,-0.05160980896858369,-0.3259520103452198,0.046799084629545185,-0.1756971143842847,0.33884266118590567,0.4529749146410671,0.2803490847811769,-0.12738918349964212,0.04511910616119952,0.9038316512250049,1.292754410078195,-0.569401645155275,0.15169965017835274,-1.553833467156183,-1.3925172076255237,0.3979627291748926;0.16197056640670116,0.11778381975628027,0.2902140860501973,0.21533935130530646,-0.5411817024928205,0.05530085623077685,0.14099922624419803,-0.20280638881941915,-0.05756808229608301,-0.3512947405985034,-0.9376420165088205,-0.3639258555239191,-0.3495724739404913,0.4024178445901342,0.2388468526577464,0.15681025001816107,0.21125467568569578,0.14009413220959466,0.20028920964575014,0.06798772029387934,-1.1775279668222112,0.25452306061659213,-0.39142565531603846,-0.1979400768977545,0.2968338788493555,-0.035757803348274275,0.019794509153154283,-0.522597135378073,0.2515408293495588,0.18543125893316137,0.32465361114176405,1.00884304186398,-0.2100003612323006,0.15249016259147596,0.18701466498027874,-0.42392755928824144,4.4241462210015126E-4,-0.38871663681004376,-0.22436975009451965,-0.3614509085546169,-0.06142834699937727,0.07004387772265908,-0.37914308619168546,-0.06469368237987516,-0.3263462938351158,-0.3567145176042661,0.05904084311196356,0.7954820937362598,-0.19976670793374862,0.24997594917511534,0.015200107503135829,0.3735845067014957,-0.17049275141102627,0.26782080382790896,0.4369795528789254,0.24814343798883776,-0.06565602537846738,-0.2687447989169983,0.5054481098951836,0.48796551810116495,0.16093572372089493,0.2000244032601498,-3.550522594788815,0.5061716774358248,-1.033531658556897,0.34469154345701136,0.47832032535718916,0.4041259458866643,0.30961852719434957,-0.1539498225866779,0.24391620751193266,-0.1278875170006396,0.33145822725267327,0.040997210249986815,-0.15947854637155567,0.11110809144125999,-0.01963178843952673,0.06352192615062968,0.033616595617127154,0.249092821346924,-0.30915126068870835,0.4517417847919155,-0.014211533273072563,0.7398943843085498,-0.7178350229161571,0.2479433182383971,0.35897770889821035,0.10294309129218326,-0.11712408465964963,0.2215459720567602,0.36073669418047694,0.31002188828084887,0.2727699276526204,0.4560425553541948,0.5181039949578078,-0.29989106387311704,0.1273118641580876,-0.9834312383758778,-0.7002294166081939,0.5813736388204255;-1.0626128871645975,0.30036937240922157,-0.6511408603358504,-0.047555495823147,-1.7480936290292242,-0.3492016964046627,0.7554728770530517,0.18691941295863046,-0.24055677218228766,0.2240820236317802,0.4490698338727128,0.20238487556535034,1.5890378849342284,-0.38448262709494685,-0.4193901315048123,-0.8035490864146766,-0.19831731238201655,0.37671455760168016,0.03338892804163862,-0.16248311230274481,2.2137581739331367,0.3499969761492778,1.8033131912376135,0.04757678359476358,0.036577625706399886,0.16304887525242862,-0.17191698620724338,-0.8958008114165281,-1.5181183756038976,0.5814990012631185,-0.176358821196402,-1.2969292501921181,0.04476044767363874,0.2804040444126912,0.057096789270680404,0.24490762841625724,-0.9810330178944113,-1.6259344567997154,0.520185557604016,1.0280131397282162,0.04092142458568304,0.3520204512820584,-0.1561686742886721,-0.27749482842816775,0.9896452642922,-2.1218327734303912,0.7257578908508009,-0.5166019578726377,-0.2071998474046879,0.1529632396135554,0.361361008187167,-0.52789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k{198}=[0.29768041874338996;0.1650348239995884;-0.3473499702093462];
x_a{198}=[-6.644902306877842,0.9450769368524323,33.104148309104296];
std_x_a{198}=[0.4915930229134752,0.4645961839155375,0.6548483799683483];
pred_a{198}=[-6.644902306877842];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.7 to 19.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{199}=[-1.4816471550147168,1.4488110197392279,24.9071080607094];
std_x_f{199}=[0.335997982532353,0.4104605734106815,0.4601391359260329];
pred_f{199}=[-1.4816471550147168];
obs{199}=[-1.2891077195828764];
sqrt_r{199}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{199}=[1.1129332585497689];
xi{199}=[0.061828909999969595,0.01508200528617265,0.29072755310541054,0.2433560465133331,-0.4014196478237564,0.008181507981547487,0.1251349776939772,-0.07342056910418826,0.01403101870984469,-0.22356664281577454,-0.6098201718743645,-0.10022606686328639,-0.19125675398136677,0.2983282105996472,0.12628982009868217,0.21916704379274465,0.15967316583090607,0.08660861822080945,0.15075282938453616,0.06040424761557439,-0.6113494055403317,0.2271908241854843,-0.1663662062333624,-0.1786269089836907,0.2281580836589956,-0.02214122033378696,0.02440678538757557,-0.35183156593064013,0.16305063757905303,-0.034229887966855665,-0.008941554663343787,0.7066908759298574,-0.12659472965999696,0.10687669989550219,0.23629375621465698,-0.3551424681372959,0.02905406227939178,-0.3186525971277041,-0.09661764935862194,-0.04654046399518452,-0.20336129483293752,0.103300238222654,-0.2491104143841083,-0.04094168699285028,-0.21728048319294202,-0.32981977052697964,0.06596244378902538,0.5335626531000538,-0.13883845539608441,0.13619367563798157,0.006094022012346212,0.20710821892908338,-0.05840055982368941,0.10280241250784261,0.2889078373221525,0.2590873338260484,0.013617706691471554,-0.32915133098538196,0.4555192602888558,0.18942451585088582,0.2863703074393895,0.0785906098851219,-2.1826807647074564,0.3631326454891495,-0.6644475273784547,-0.02476703833135252,0.3081557511141062,0.03759115833735449,0.13490675532650442,-0.19155485277835238,0.1187179051003131,0.05957512696585998,0.3175971303129026,0.20349180657543742,-0.1150363118949489,-0.0020170365509986077,-0.04636282850388307,0.007864017997471828,0.05434234130202187,-0.01019072479978611,-0.19575557215818562,0.24857675455959538,0.13220057379813088,0.44259607472469487,-0.45432362521504954,0.17830984118942328,0.24739597251337342,0.046101943878918084,-0.5407653360799713,0.08634835123279005,0.20941730348108245,0.23698200554737792,0.036578473042866655,0.2761849459512755,0.3694516834031054,-0.18063396634661877,0.07972139697198855,-0.36891239511493157,-0.4320422382334079,0.39006985033965447;-0.25898981948959565,0.18712092044780881,0.028636417965767436,0.1613494999678977,-1.0847655491561419,-0.09805498812095359,0.3777036078711393,-0.105381664443007,-0.13931453299031626,-0.2214502621929335,-0.605161010260799,-0.22905528007189524,0.31841222587188156,0.19193848259208357,0.03290777826815372,-0.13345771426421527,0.09199634736510331,0.23080585899444062,0.16682149116180778,-0.015452161037476042,-0.05066871331948053,0.3267041856659929,0.3715607315133447,-0.16300363517308813,0.246873520966721,0.012006094990817395,-0.05682437793055706,-0.7715221566090826,-0.3108846969210812,0.35091130128632275,0.16822495524886794,0.4305211556862949,-0.17192918422986203,0.21252021105581642,0.1754135948056137,-0.27164502544253355,-0.34599826180634663,-0.9169218936583824,-0.0037027795314270584,0.07821667686595668,-0.05972872165492693,0.16973329272340654,-0.3830092070305786,-0.16686863720782918,0.09928197422242224,-1.0614843040703734,0.2975131577183976,0.47307854036583175,-0.25499358056774524,0.2421775525066645,0.13034765437634244,0.10572896971502788,0.23889592681862526,0.17228756667741418,0.36823394196962433,0.1536906580134243,0.033597614823900335,-0.545849560206043,0.7259375327953157,0.011054719415398928,0.3821178661250051,0.27171372737837185,-2.282211811503505,0.055004481670188454,-0.16836408413065973,0.4488447635870967,0.2251249467808405,0.30225305511105427,0.26699625853004294,0.22216358610572762,-0.2008647335785092,-0.47158589916750904,0.1522400716399297,0.3020637574001701,-0.2890760327429036,-0.1063984779448921,-0.45419754889372543,0.16629817955125836,0.27446162622442616,0.11878576588810241,-0.2787804409695791,0.8154663397551578,0.04602024982207653,0.24228051344292334,-0.8021036169877498,0.4511885444953554,0.35835596842796735,0.19055729699165447,-0.34984614678808845,-0.03388504279801907,0.22281785031612222,0.4043792924910665,0.25214519472509855,0.007602289148219921,-0.10391509194314485,-0.00912304449895629,0.03392498754217188,-0.1423256828135997,0.10966172952088082,0.41412286874299364;-0.5319637521963045,0.2635049965801599,-0.5673155758912642,-0.23242999255516494,-0.8773112646534855,-0.16329577721997168,0.32887333143128217,-0.027974668043309947,-0.25081062890070527,0.10817956691616715,0.32628111765554024,-0.15544336893779231,0.8402107599034885,-0.29418664806422967,-0.20036189617584554,-0.6775253751777939,-0.17932327102021262,0.1882784208537096,-0.03914017231265632,-0.14248438806333752,1.1084321492655889,0.04260447152193336,0.8673987973760511,0.1080462167653522,-0.07007498636231091,0.06671460254553097,-0.13774439350020984,-0.48464295081321396,-0.8344161952396227,0.5971246678753239,0.2920922265887498,-0.7405442664230577,-0.011295697741761757,0.11215905585008912,-0.2015953952274927,0.2927129790105347,-0.6140895583053236,-0.8010868757027971,0.17567866470419347,0.2109443470298764,0.3285366786692343,0.05535464931102041,-0.08211182842936537,-0.17941156399200864,0.578195030033708,-1.0178404027955068,0.326109592748427,-0.31900422518932814,-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k{199}=[0.10147352294685567;0.09439211244297918;-0.06407175877215036];
x_a{199}=[-1.452092317312024,1.4763033495869615,24.888446735303077];
std_x_a{199}=[0.3275386097432668,0.41016397068514243,0.452247177339279];
pred_a{199}=[-1.452092317312024];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.8 to 19.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{200}=[0.24427150003157175,1.1622626190798153,19.028065611240837];
std_x_f{200}=[0.4067163302525918,0.569072138131974,0.3455088725828483];
pred_f{200}=[0.24427150003157175];
obs{200}=[0.42993190914297513];
sqrt_r{200}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{200}=[1.1661648991164495];
xi{200}=[-0.27189309739145107,0.11119397613916135,0.10256006612042426,0.19345595641958133,-1.1118267406466211,-0.06179739809210738,0.30199033431093614,-0.12315127803990407,-0.09784576223049907,-0.2998600651097454,-0.8311219895178388,-0.1665213008077837,0.19111363021397812,0.25999100624334326,-0.0585004022923786,0.005035842591414319,0.1780350870151208,0.2875695946316521,0.15709165556529078,0.0284151737646495,-0.24880016517069953,0.2899866736607214,0.2744812515106896,-0.06536189833805581,0.19439714335852923,0.06971375915309394,-0.051489752097199554,-0.9395831421665307,-0.11407241132934545,0.3787539315018472,0.09854460517775906,0.7562358822741105,-0.26504249993215523,0.12640237879474933,0.22213555176859276,-0.34161074542459735,-0.257829473167541,-0.7714703752615876,0.097033054934995,0.019015041982089226,-0.11050077037632161,0.15723238020201322,-0.5045878422115296,-0.299810839793922,-0.01454722034403036,-0.8930200271698825,0.1876737184546234,0.46287934927799046,-0.2970342004511208,0.22030220394412572,0.10890331437314318,-0.03481538284973318,0.36279332609109916,0.1264022752519491,0.29531067846285874,0.2450400163044205,0.02204076750788045,-0.2426738587487596,0.6444239653059785,0.022790453315926912,0.5557890809691984,0.21618814127860866,-2.272453204191134,0.2807454932357294,-0.3295608965846738,0.2814747273504735,0.22626199753122803,0.24255105664472967,0.207268726457128,0.08066569717188146,0.06701390276280308,-0.3466138263106078,0.20520162147004053,0.26106305361630455,-0.24052637465297136,-0.16061949614556098,-0.4012891199472267,0.05695516518319241,0.07646765757154231,0.07005163890417679,-0.23153352110429778,0.6869310867784845,0.37726593530971464,0.23776608097651916,-0.5482676645308123,0.3504806377000883,0.29778939092433754,0.19336991008437285,-0.5718673780003937,-0.0012268391595452455,0.19246812005516514,0.369026522235676,0.1268922444116877,0.1477082932074054,0.04198018092210529,-0.07754646200130125,0.39039719617069857,-0.2549854554638247,-0.03949076483029951,0.512032037335966;-0.4619040245959518,0.19950852299812127,0.056372753627672134,0.2256511366837024,-1.7059226403070111,-0.11408733809172933,0.4821490346391999,-0.17341626723528858,-0.1752928386491025,-0.3961431172001155,-1.071541264619365,-0.25989594460640353,0.40043079020380157,0.30956448237990863,-0.10408626331289628,-0.108675013610668,0.20695265433938825,0.4203899968016376,0.21444553162921243,0.008029703975171776,-0.13810572141146205,0.40532907703893595,0.5189640758480436,-0.07925189719915515,0.25755274546193996,0.10490962598788167,-0.0958441394899292,-1.379420927668034,-0.29648918266995583,0.6062488747479311,0.18202654753834047,0.9356549646050076,-0.357622351226897,0.19963134877390765,0.2780039476199343,-0.41917037927819,-0.4587825724591995,-1.2254194134321161,0.15163412698856016,0.06285311793452575,-0.09200990008293464,0.2243254416594509,-0.7093110564366513,-0.43454597162851316,0.08371147887770802,-1.4357133734141518,0.31943975155842486,0.5963894000796282,-0.4268454489828739,0.3214522981096477,0.17247995333750787,-0.07288757619941943,0.5559325431852444,0.18861430231639043,0.4107331828706895,0.2846454303407746,0.03432683328884112,-0.3949099428546682,0.9298187700754033,-0.022075818891611698,0.7561761259758881,0.3443999403150846,-2.8973773280979196,0.2805610420319806,-0.2661743899210569,0.5147917728297322,0.27335642838563423,0.39876871790811874,0.31083441450653737,0.22858691638389161,-0.007769923913163446,-0.6274169813406706,0.23091475923190097,0.3735446784336447,-0.37452909464557593,-0.2450700948818625,-0.6578493815237718,0.12739076634869217,0.17583532354844444,0.12726457354023113,-0.3360270528669719,1.0606082574593032,0.4681811712054851,0.257210977571364,-0.8398564784039034,0.5473388716565348,0.4283596871794413,0.29095940523931385,-0.6757396902029562,-0.03621380572043109,0.25210806109913664,0.5341546002486288,0.22895590535636123,0.10808385574237911,-0.08956974554173924,-0.051422768710803535,0.5007717519928652,-0.2637119236746167,0.12720187823246643,0.6835667170541171;-0.3728263899412525,0.200777012131514,-0.41101143298987,-0.15703485916215598,-0.5580617242725054,-0.1422542547259127,0.2613744184810578,-0.03362203687514409,-0.20361750354993546,0.07757294979722218,0.29674636583524716,-0.15396313064754352,0.6015865513721721,-0.20598402033549945,-0.10836407973771145,-0.5164755757027351,-0.15138280231540335,0.11394250266381789,-0.02464532447706702,-0.12438674396371141,0.7770590749161492,0.05935278978347469,0.61156125637212,0.005538248993136818,-0.015594285030015698,0.010601841517061672,-0.11159304786740876,-0.25024132428534784,-0.6549728918543565,0.4031048776327282,0.21649096184721728,-0.522803079488174,0.008752368826044687,0.11101068083725707,-0.1459894159957642,0.19484119502029174,-0.46941846758137373,-0.6123171767528248,0.06387779578324526,0.1482696589687187,0.216905581024065,0.04063034177290348,-0.03196041369940872,-0.08915235552133893,0.4113100716565121,-0.7627871789746763,0.26514419983739046,-0.15700511149910668,-0.0921346209032805,0.08520538595251281,0.12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k{200}=[0.1424883386923627;0.19754495985560083;0.0018928989037048807];
x_a{200}=[0.25227505301757136,1.1733586959084956,19.028171935146442];
std_x_a{200}=[0.3897476353401455,0.55130322575445,0.34584242215722516];
pred_a{200}=[0.25227505301757136];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.9 to 20.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{201}=[1.0027091438552183,1.77546156589413,14.6931918818546];
std_x_f{201}=[0.6448923380853496,1.0339212886839513,0.3028192326433454];
pred_f{201}=[1.0027091438552183];
obs{201}=[1.284635569860973];
sqrt_r{201}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{201}=[1.417831598930491];
xi{201}=[-0.4388640446891471,0.3914390469873661,0.3420100144031084,-0.11813063806511437,-2.065954543879057,0.2975151970986676,0.6157572835082468,-0.2373318206325764,-0.14234054569782373,-0.4184475253391088,-1.088682568088194,-0.20151840322770476,0.36927078568496796,0.28818367079565177,0.00864994345222092,-0.31084816712019214,-0.043580372677176404,0.6079342609551841,0.07682333564407196,-0.050944735522934104,-0.18774169111256334,0.6710625619757173,0.47884342339653974,0.033135099731352646,0.2942911230746166,0.24883821495115788,-0.3478973953449912,-1.2562493395114798,-0.6470005754090145,0.7775987000191085,-0.10124502891499587,1.1300171514952648,-0.3375605811099569,0.3591214124107238,0.30584324320517653,-0.11723019920795352,-0.4119138572569686,-1.4584230672556666,-0.4485891974259335,-0.05789901629124872,0.46797527757282253,0.2611810717774219,-0.7611973811992295,-0.9851006987633618,0.15774870782525108,-1.6019992053200003,0.23180739037037879,0.41326009876821757,-0.4845801180016268,0.3917039404578173,0.4586793285671289,0.2503084558620061,0.5342854993769353,0.17292634044745658,0.4677613725989864,0.30925592095866294,0.17357259901802924,-0.41915443699099086,1.0227049198010643,0.13264718661786135,0.8047220926447294,0.34761137063385905,-2.8169202731548415,0.4005170113917682,-0.3495432865529755,0.3765963134933221,0.31652720421232305,1.033037767580924,-0.012206929036008285,0.21802740242469487,0.06694574039457346,-0.5655175865450917,0.33720979906973736,0.03392516476184926,-0.3567197862486774,-0.23689894525548938,-0.7710862545842734,0.24041374122468628,0.5683869597956601,0.04460472420212547,-0.3991841791132138,1.1031508887704318,0.4871888897594514,-0.5071639048064107,-0.9216075545298912,0.6109310876768583,0.34446441186812615,0.33753115636159725,-0.7667397816898469,0.3905109423550668,0.05075764958001283,0.834303704070777,0.3166730874269039,0.3588005243083565,-0.0022020879127431225,-0.9153813091675327,0.7832361320585428,-0.4354432960000971,-0.03041553360908289,0.6792295173856111;-0.7128612035661832,0.6307124183796324,0.5531710899698117,-0.18746603133219808,-3.3751108312805154,0.482064678493731,0.9932909331535986,-0.3763440790257666,-0.23010608169833136,-0.6658237135537133,-1.7340105816232398,-0.3269322891954416,0.5941815541522775,0.45667179237739286,0.01676699175979257,-0.5182271045642046,-0.07514393309049683,0.9744113117420701,0.12677637234579242,-0.08928723659995064,-0.28284040513990183,1.072497842360162,0.7682161634677229,0.062272282562244596,0.4803008588837574,0.4007128119425951,-0.5591257881214564,-2.038524885646094,-1.0607248025782705,1.2399778099385068,-0.14835286809169013,1.8144366784063755,-0.5435456019103744,0.5760680914401981,0.4897441412262029,-0.17818516566834708,-0.6672256318561429,-2.38560571235981,-0.7151803268081829,-0.08209086196692272,0.7555531370179718,0.41772205083887504,-1.2184246283287021,-1.5843704291964569,0.26631390801956356,-2.6294033147090876,0.37345328681026424,0.6620114525247021,-0.7785979689543887,0.6329667788753703,0.7384726270848956,0.40129080494893876,0.8560855564014054,0.2830830767853214,0.7466765572672076,0.5029488838814629,0.2850147942365042,-0.6730375060141909,1.6234968248369481,0.21270133735274,1.289509725563896,0.55522272751325,-4.393945032222966,0.6451353534208424,-0.5324148322687754,0.6084523401040005,0.5080490244725897,1.6500060109461085,-0.008267879504019637,0.36208461510029255,0.10552224166943702,-0.928070769626611,0.5424922758292652,0.05960184176128336,-0.5748623642605195,-0.3700644397240156,-1.2535922447170618,0.3915456677802982,0.9137202034093301,0.07880207586521482,-0.646542285326632,1.74852084086161,0.7822386491104367,-0.8235696335643273,-1.5018855132614888,0.9752754584872572,0.553078135943512,0.5384881011381324,-1.2166900085387289,0.6330923227678433,0.08048924585325823,1.3314968785382624,0.5007691845204871,0.57431365567857,-0.01839703816450511,-1.4586514815605063,1.2607115487380065,-0.6803225968981104,-0.02926583006307637,1.0944079080241862;-0.37663751407296076,0.19978602288041536,-0.2806181176438507,-0.17944816707032807,-0.4553041317144988,-0.08677901318694126,0.30573629239970224,-0.09655243259578761,-0.21613318694300432,-0.03356115867637577,0.10575933431079321,-0.18231212786085216,0.49971640266279493,-0.1386680294160776,-0.11756976792587182,-0.4769384141585906,-0.1601466754592593,0.18737731980360728,-0.03921678966572095,-0.1381951299891977,0.5328831936364846,0.16792088152016227,0.5360880222575091,-0.01763015182475236,0.014354615468676002,0.01972856842603221,-0.1680099425385535,-0.3083744360224898,-0.6140289314353407,0.4585264232253774,0.11391318452787402,-0.1381699850111211,-0.07532272878375146,0.12359065376963763,-0.08641343532570644,0.09894247245917498,-0.44798025180436163,-0.5733240492854179,-0.05274748466053225,0.06502557364734862,0.23222137661211484,0.05031776706104196,-0.14370952385384683,-0.18642345061864418,0.31070353661417727,-0.6754386860576655,0.2142067095555067,-0.07263588265376875,-0.16759515781400403,0.11502220271314201,0.1557844586476662,-0.0843110251073611,0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k{201}=[0.2946976208215932;0.4724280283924552;0.04829920081768164];
x_a{201}=[1.1255532269777695,1.9723921954237096,14.713325302081945];
std_x_a{201}=[0.6105521258184846,0.9797878056512115,0.30669587583631436];
pred_a{201}=[1.1255532269777695];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.0 to 20.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{202}=[2.359408715188428,4.160159576777063,11.844241010389599];
std_x_f{202}=[1.1975382376638375,2.068805642353775,0.5995628460449732];
pred_f{202}=[2.359408715188428];
obs{202}=[2.6879595248714674];
sqrt_r{202}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{202}=[2.4438443163411083];
xi{202}=[-0.9822942948708124,0.9461846306364681,0.6132362607587871,0.6257770358763786,-2.957511570004173,0.6005472519039929,0.05331843709679607,-0.581100657915746,-0.3217682079982027,-0.7653248143965259,-1.4126830725006196,0.1894705178970617,0.4694943045487472,0.1355883272186813,0.5443077601340347,-0.5593715543770523,-1.0319458172042892,-0.5091371018194966,-0.1298603524950157,0.17734356900675996,-0.3436820464605743,0.8935228052103708,0.583065349836263,0.0998721263210407,0.4921220971148852,0.20851857050836475,-1.3057460134082615,-2.6725510720429453,-0.9192494197367151,0.9140219250463884,-0.04683923815169733,1.1646937549640004,-0.5416800135313546,0.5767974131709654,0.3353427399440898,0.3638529906560093,-0.6530169841864455,-3.293468110778588,-0.769588408551207,-0.195598720352248,-0.22475183853314418,0.37565918469972415,-0.9441121979152653,-1.500003540805416,1.5354817245263215,-2.4076937368636697,0.250549958874692,0.7465880488904326,-0.7453329557506223,1.745855399252552,0.0751889276292812,0.9001655502350978,0.8823003181240949,0.2856917571951785,1.1172969606167693,-0.31038184711926986,0.48889107657377373,-0.8219283601228358,0.8648195987922445,0.4893066670803421,1.0185347445711597,0.4336060891675242,-4.4629347611618755,0.41044303617926303,-1.0599261787446423,0.4911267987133634,-0.18895502106268403,1.294762522940411,0.17267766499454185,0.11643183347081099,0.5592114777498622,-1.5018269663981156,0.1668650655164896,-0.006321676886293037,-0.5243030078786686,-0.9223105125676587,-1.2278384609188435,0.25942316782255626,1.1330670244926933,1.0251942062052795,-0.6384508075189197,1.8383826638366378,0.5656103313308773,-0.8991494833138194,-3.0390352281052726,2.387887329734483,1.5831672799013696,0.40936232190296984,-0.2202821601737983,0.6231272252688287,0.05736005310525094,2.3684815714649985,1.1389509798271527,0.6989758959018157,-0.5178795148575495,-0.7664801047323782,3.8849537372370526,-0.44508349043712636,0.397696564648625,0.5872266963251893;-1.6923197603829374,1.6356411802918762,1.1127542777812147,1.1113219512208685,-5.206395658128169,1.0684187175854731,0.09239700080967594,-0.9876542819061749,-0.5288256466284724,-1.3158389619477568,-2.463479555615426,0.36310342569471565,0.7882820605022669,0.26966651610718895,0.9851854307138801,-0.9379842706567469,-1.7722453189631016,-0.8670764471838468,-0.1996308931363031,0.33775608334293405,-0.6142705362786303,1.5563188633820175,0.9958133177923134,0.19663870043641207,0.8691342738325272,0.39034928609131647,-2.2654030975210966,-4.694225713738125,-1.5692331460116753,1.557422481753811,-0.07010451501672144,2.044150612817682,-0.9145048496894534,1.0094988959063222,0.6088530922556386,0.6416659196290437,-1.0969231873209075,-5.80717985990904,-1.3177485953430237,-0.31886786193118777,-0.37576261858115023,0.6662698468038286,-1.6263220834999843,-2.6065581734323535,2.608741665316302,-4.232478925572329,0.44281571134510234,1.3177226364652608,-1.2734349411309585,2.992413368798255,0.1505144806308465,1.576920553479538,1.5210065827388553,0.509017723917581,1.932830728645504,-0.5023049540554259,0.8747436313186014,-1.4025019933537965,1.481095467206261,0.8741346449902814,1.7657209026127232,0.7571803734131661,-7.749897804664389,0.7654427254988789,-1.8510112785492399,0.8317957355774519,-0.2961596768363819,2.20166761274879,0.31375710811157465,0.1928844487706698,1.0165638801955463,-2.6043651936757892,0.3170558599031299,0.010182872044457447,-0.8877185148387001,-1.5878309110041657,-2.118209643755544,0.457905395953067,1.9387085148544152,1.771041260442173,-1.0917107365557217,3.073346563805023,1.0108805170963624,-1.539161535142608,-5.355368346665918,4.021047477147785,2.7154446099356013,0.7209173495050774,-0.3775598816176413,1.1110390873797646,0.11396496393206146,4.000362805847449,1.953944612797068,1.2624720603175863,-0.8551569011624873,-1.3290609900176125,6.450362430822994,-0.7641124322306445,0.6681034782436868,1.0422079170918757;-0.7138142289457736,0.4836324822756932,-0.07355368854019062,0.07125576710623349,-0.8175127112950058,0.07654859073849885,0.05905480876810287,-0.3863679781587148,-0.4027048811589644,-0.3946171688010782,-0.38658449710188236,-0.14591090504661253,0.44477816680073623,-0.19731241114561193,0.06055601045613557,-0.67345337971906,-0.6103154842381908,-0.2558034444196178,-0.21551451673743394,-0.13569254672648334,0.17133897613171278,0.39806704460284337,0.526374381873083,-0.08850136334988967,0.09559284615308883,-0.037275320878936924,-0.6538800102272759,-0.8148764257163066,-0.8549279007158486,0.6188834623177506,-0.038733626484637185,0.26753062503782665,-0.3559902902147911,0.2212129730618777,-0.06788833332832311,0.14462196550662476,-0.6726258960742602,-0.9674239849619308,-0.4016496182338827,-0.14836056114314822,-0.09756547602706611,0.07042271294834457,-0.4839575008679926,-0.6285543494664676,0.9894651514219301,-1.0378847140178067,0.13533761519825482,0.15747164312259088,-0.47835925202512364,0.9653469360310414,-0.0163321765722948,0.25600537136346624,0.5059789271239037,0.02489150338845114,0.5178823700797004,-0.39533800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k{202}=[0.5908086315837062;1.0203970925911903;0.23597574569944582];
x_a{202}=[2.4804527488878363,4.369217084503889,11.892587386166335];
std_x_a{202}=[0.7856209311766467,1.3623095491432602,0.46261464215333087];
pred_a{202}=[2.4804527488878363];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.1 to 20.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{203}=[5.467130309567548,9.834999166849093,11.763971800343352];
std_x_f{203}=[1.635443353968545,2.774953000319802,1.6226858335833614];
pred_f{203}=[5.467130309567548];
obs{203}=[5.966909524066909];
sqrt_r{203}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{203}=[3.7142495221333856];
xi{203}=[-1.9793638501439665,1.489863081355928,0.7634591011561209,-2.255465841490002,-3.6848015621734023,0.6999886865655514,0.33967565833047875,-0.10050162017401032,-4.097103815690668,-0.3221411532139342,-1.628244808743367,-0.041598908318022154,0.44909188747932394,-0.19022995616177507,0.20297478305517735,-0.5134129841420672,-1.952811864699827,-0.4448373776489092,-0.03513814674314464,-0.45953150725903225,-0.6682423557320298,1.4351972653238034,0.1589254712473407,-0.9183793903288837,2.1084362340360405,-1.2481821439681147,-2.3702192261315904,-2.37225658142047,-1.2201266196319596,-0.7772340852734514,-0.7444542331984296,1.1736887187716363,-0.18049340357487864,2.6098301840035187,0.5631273744571725,0.5216851585803548,-0.6830184959089767,-5.49159154069527,-1.8076654260063334,0.7030237560904942,-0.6034703868092759,0.5495103258606244,-0.5728309211369984,2.5217509969807566,-1.3456344626021988,-1.2186975515484253,0.4001736135355225,0.6463023890474,-1.067000921092128,4.723902127946953,1.1453824531060777,-0.763204744777684,1.0298998875210899,0.37876918873946863,1.0313900960602336,0.418331007363137,1.1813885692148425,-0.7262365199898184,1.0585018587419688,0.8893557337490208,0.4283640791388921,-0.8212601336581669,-4.929500433752196,2.196500553801104,-0.8183483852442333,2.022126036112458,1.416101242342143,-1.9957899171742821,0.34822310948840496,1.0194820106285531,0.8507973025105979,-1.3803765928041036,0.839207094733224,0.5525596326081939,-0.11370883044645286,-0.05434226841396583,-1.0279139201435434,0.28862650977964854,1.0431218202004757,0.9971470023712659,1.1962813682193616,1.5310884461548566,0.7320413452453112,-0.25827890945052445,-4.905084370914725,1.6424170393341315,0.6297142419177542,0.7145621906778183,0.08166903999673902,2.7181729055002233,-0.5606825600767271,1.1399929774022226,2.133797676085651,1.4156173886130974,-0.7638132367425658,-0.3218372470444244,2.8718661085376063,-0.12784833069212098,1.7681609648540313,0.7916438484130603;-3.329914925875447,2.488358621520023,1.4191908824175918,-3.8433538310677076,-6.518002261080373,1.283211113625601,0.6444287833507634,-0.06112489305342095,-7.2344719696603725,-0.4480419653893204,-2.7573143900076307,0.06259029732335897,0.7814738880052126,-0.18432311762766318,0.4526087676221664,-0.7151801871561165,-3.2956603101068174,-0.6568575487862489,0.06393605804179892,-0.6564033821658253,-1.0919040716797603,2.4153357531591606,0.29682327383942564,-1.463345013298694,3.481795958709144,-2.051030404534374,-4.052743772096268,-4.10745525737923,-1.9525491336419147,-1.2805633158710386,-1.1814119241131227,2.0562208927796988,-0.20033942372575098,4.205312144900146,1.0557787757698627,0.9536995468911176,-1.0198609961817215,-9.88441265810032,-3.0483967650363466,1.2679299912046424,-0.9362527740544788,1.0137846716541894,-0.8731168729059533,4.078657389565063,-2.2865452655170397,-2.012558747557443,0.7490173002965808,1.1935013374925187,-1.7184380125039702,6.878825908724719,1.9736566586789674,-1.195769656428448,1.7453334006986,0.7372401606282306,1.7687064867139277,0.8343404196681181,2.049082584046987,-1.1171766364933493,1.7865703798594783,1.6110166229285667,0.7986807163054461,-1.3169545869941057,-8.856231739811504,3.6944474716277753,-1.351158040508393,3.2604895761196993,2.4498687087857167,-3.422120290860338,0.68140091783639,1.726535535305036,1.57908820684281,-2.244579959143347,1.539025802593276,1.0260739354629607,-0.059054960566832904,0.02549164218487654,-1.634882401592325,0.5679517218994441,1.7573988582738522,1.7045936411017717,2.087522176825857,2.4056447286768528,1.3414781654466363,-0.30263923532907455,-8.792152881350042,2.5804834134459878,1.0835800691415916,1.277317122892251,0.2079396696486917,4.4046793189165445,-0.8451117616235475,1.8139702833733917,3.457997449993478,2.4651371296011835,-1.1306303375851154,-0.46497946564820225,4.173521466966504,-0.1399535088489312,2.8587445903053457,1.4174782632686806;-2.214312982954965,1.6060677008678308,0.35236643255404765,-2.2974226239866766,-2.635958376742007,0.41451508384512437,0.16180075703244157,-0.45529368065803055,-3.2992760417547426,-0.6292586041075552,-1.5621461617409729,-0.44692796982758054,0.45962463712599444,-0.6280075851964213,-0.1508091679931436,-1.1073691166509132,-2.1011279733154833,-0.7172541064885767,-0.399462282881645,-0.8627939081908949,-0.6377517603524314,1.47933357109817,0.16980128336569678,-1.2187894208035992,2.2716242387425645,-1.5016109119161793,-2.3362357800232143,-2.0184150508733403,-1.7595928684774051,-0.7892389040685241,-0.9767173417268022,0.9491888109378106,-0.5344142188234837,3.0876818810273345,0.21771325647723572,0.33620922659309826,-1.230854825200833,-3.1553165800027916,-1.9167270571070123,0.48386454561537207,-0.8400522476965566,0.3003658752836653,-0.8868514733273596,2.94091817288837,-1.1806641842398928,-1.426011286154326,0.22101374925503947,0.3610500582732197,-1.3899628351759326,6.957849178690783,1.0352431911672557,-1.0611526942876566,1.0595848612693857,0.09845170360917166,0.9968130633083785,-4.100125502581875E-5,1.0476694213049278,-1.1790497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k{203}=[0.7307666073480111;1.2368710218093346;0.6733056637470854];
x_a{203}=[5.8775525474698105,10.529666065504594,12.142122107881626];
std_x_a{203}=[0.8864837209739203,1.5163731284737898,1.003975893223573];
pred_a{203}=[5.8775525474698105];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.2 to 20.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{204}=[12.097533235154915,19.08312258681286,21.738702645803674];
std_x_f{204}=[1.2726665837787952,1.15747977505135,3.2700038993810745];
pred_f{204}=[12.097533235154915];
obs{204}=[12.447152656760602];
sqrt_r{204}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{204}=[2.620228824560791];
xi{204}=[-0.23304617196307476,0.6129133092875314,1.1946367200208918,0.7502240154936661,-1.6004197879509654,0.4602714551506768,0.26561293315705115,-0.12238093340871181,-3.46883177884553,-0.07271215052603885,-1.877535264754199,3.5579024329731084,0.3983193736054975,0.6770104484470121,0.3937197632796732,0.2310714408791572,-0.7015611522826788,-0.022567228289611663,-2.0109509504475422,-0.1926877176548718,-1.416365632002078,-0.011197330872379396,-0.47236246437999263,-0.18476515636358748,2.322904421248646,-0.061914028832154244,-3.071594435128274,-1.520113089567797,0.600127084537112,0.2623766401149368,-0.02175093260525962,-1.2249825288528857,-0.7453440301529,-0.35272189946434374,-0.599950709622993,0.5908944404635559,0.8444081686762654,-2.8484830537674863,-7.246295162168792E-4,-0.2681441978698551,-0.10366180733322317,0.7344089771813263,1.518456044785676,0.6246769860097405,0.034696713906898324,-0.30338168888281203,0.42660263070009563,-0.37937927581252673,0.32643173710162543,0.6225949507519672,-2.8441559420379203,-0.3706016017969631,1.6037183811657343,0.18946479508199943,1.0706532017319308,0.21852827018615528,0.41124133832438936,-0.07677079381975105,-0.6203794125089086,0.862845160026696,0.5349953028542398,0.8096826825479813,-3.927435486781752,0.8183024749904391,-1.3758140805906418,0.26967310515311915,0.994611750667513,-0.8281004809064303,-0.08674311140567426,1.018028609898467,1.7532348133580573,-0.867605848049136,1.1508558525511638,0.0787874515863436,-0.20509115535972278,1.7207245928175112,-0.5464976898693212,0.20845831056248798,2.4323437398151633,0.21037319463962234,-0.6993480560100931,-0.05665990819851352,0.8741092804617452,-0.004093939255962908,-2.2471577162631657,0.5416892954260604,-3.4310544795886155,0.37901688724702964,2.2859421653293044,0.028132212270318036,-1.1103104777177322,0.20079748517998475,0.6442286119070264,0.6054571754626306,-0.37676497132451203,-0.024991135999973935,0.3122875689938578,0.3451976383945219,3.1408150182024794,0.4246492600292431;0.2478527546264644,0.44729972830266007,1.0992217392524672,0.783443740512265,-1.6079256555306252,0.6776505760230691,0.5056979458313826,0.34887359978038646,-3.787752370305009,0.36830553873824456,-1.505785247867646,0.4698854796142129,0.4570453526005025,0.9230148062602161,0.6958728155922138,0.760583921272044,-0.20088555480446146,0.3937662482330637,-1.5303219690523733,0.3355148143253146,-1.0118493731094382,0.13231811916489988,-0.1428983599639757,0.2977062537369619,0.5575541586484363,0.37482892692400327,-2.996980810667406,-1.2383093303789927,0.9801083652667444,0.4525703764232567,0.3786490248464389,-0.76706368227822,-0.18583308215531957,-0.4466160783312425,-0.085034148044695,0.6937256348251282,1.1036813218723331,-3.513839646355496,0.35546913678398084,0.12406849060058178,0.3174478706960322,0.809338855996252,1.185499593060456,0.1739179289022914,0.22035638811379954,0.1574933993183123,0.6018924918075754,0.08224220430733808,0.6862267369921646,-1.4258346662081323,-2.7122063808566494,0.14424143534224854,0.8468031872695576,0.518671774576589,0.7785832505504651,0.6167352716071868,0.5308911058753267,0.45582422489118457,-0.3377050514791726,0.8993462194658264,0.6571920520698136,0.8618625195091631,-5.200664202524914,0.6211849912383407,-0.9744207213154787,0.04002920854047787,0.8370236983290127,-0.5122833115253584,0.3040241140305895,0.7093762237605077,1.260020430397212,-0.2221520109637538,1.0574028863092586,0.4212603742811716,0.32934819851903185,1.241946412044232,0.0708123502930853,0.4982334373647639,0.6969792722642794,0.3554877348393184,-0.27592899119186143,-0.2522268084132442,0.9201415235026822,0.5121463827842412,-2.6253613790743557,0.06760124422138247,-3.530561916695273,0.5510341858842835,1.002701991497723,-0.13721357422436853,-0.5222428233561871,0.053001232914052565,0.22836467555430318,0.6977724547397699,0.3239074042238208,0.342773412529926,-0.9030829541333176,0.5793403525783027,-0.1905622917612142,0.6123528195174579;-1.2147418988908356,1.6970074457233437,2.7586270419627894,1.623389290871252,-3.3540731279572427,0.761171186173879,0.31332246439782807,-0.9325330270441405,-7.4059475166461635,-0.7704216482108492,-4.783648308284679,11.010999889120011,0.8800144123931162,1.1326960750045707,0.47776043605851015,-0.2820977469666346,-2.3074316946241247,-0.6147888592355812,-5.388631743553184,-1.1978602513480752,-3.7419895444983204,-0.09479851222639368,-1.4376843152970977,-1.1052517342457975,7.264063313922087,-0.7500740542236635,-7.287440851820769,-3.7669411064184537,0.7446685331523817,0.4030877183648265,-0.597862303438685,-3.421786306586373,-2.5156696561971543,-0.427403196254879,-2.0886567325895697,1.2204788901238146,1.4669849684034233,-4.87723511894438,-0.4855698987074639,-1.1103632567170898,-0.800681305452521,1.575602508736658,3.7527743713032713,2.1821373909939688,-0.06823647865955706,-1.3319835033650627,0.7569405666651257,-1.4714663673739636,0.21964180262083843,4.584568443350275,-6.757705094568134,-1.569481531907659,4.5498844704438035,-0.002814798811314745,2.8259201686826927,-0.0580970907006808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k{204}=[0.6183539427448204;0.47211819966583857;1.532868015822829];
x_a{204}=[12.37352337642035,19.293843275422628,22.42286818754874];
std_x_a{204}=[0.8077449731079549,0.8087420390650022,2.2685322250612683];
pred_a{204}=[12.37352337642035];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.3 to 20.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{205}=[15.131956950351043,11.309798786262506,39.41337144075194];
std_x_f{205}=[0.6970663759547335,2.1567143929812325,1.057943730778877];
pred_f{205}=[15.131956950351043];
obs{205}=[15.387665214301315];
sqrt_r{205}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{205}=[1.4869771163346153];
xi{205}=[0.32631702521777406,-0.19015168173686092,-0.04249560074910619,0.5792232430098991,0.14916407464654036,0.2103166046658007,0.18645589445861788,0.31441041635990885,-0.12692759449335078,0.41897688660068155,0.3711534476376528,-2.039384058901293,0.07727379727754347,0.60789255135027,0.1877730223552483,0.2715598528661225,0.705869286706065,0.6010120693424827,0.5998946532929725,0.3480280923340988,0.5239278744523261,-0.17650254681142918,0.013528930480015688,0.47589682224926655,-1.3435969030049257,0.8828410170119199,0.21156888963603393,0.29120758534762103,0.3552407571108809,0.19552584698513265,-0.06371404654939639,0.14171017347860726,0.28039921530462664,-0.112275113282152,0.5176292976671331,0.2773636386764107,0.06387969076081212,-0.7292701849866887,0.15380497345925903,0.03561429674021177,-0.23691414865180427,-0.10997019590602264,-0.15719297974022872,-0.19734174472713484,0.12683019531265138,0.3281532589944174,0.12024896788209638,0.4085566624267738,0.618709440675941,-1.3441199097453946,0.6263056430219756,0.31254568418609274,-1.0790369686759753,0.3006921978226682,-0.19349262935350886,0.8439209032706483,-0.006977377291082831,0.25160729486024636,0.25799009552998875,0.06290894463400676,0.04975714780811025,0.34503305589936417,-1.6010923274432631,0.42504684822637273,0.5438913512629089,-0.14353323847847754,0.4485463447310458,0.3162530899217053,0.4944753248479401,-0.2553592641356577,-0.1615363356244064,0.3567048575920957,-0.2644346664352426,0.33125790413373934,0.532805097933144,-0.740549773871896,0.4684265522527369,-0.22907098516530588,-1.3261357669192098,0.11832700013137121,-0.20561843198211527,0.16566967260702903,0.29997882856061864,0.7651126508302717,-0.34513771799975856,-0.2894669542756496,-0.10178094547030092,0.27923220937775106,-0.8790977192412068,0.10174350930554077,0.4499597676025431,-0.19169721426174924,-0.3162539181248345,0.05088544221220026,0.058015735403197155,0.4799591941937713,-1.0498873366146704,-0.23868169761610325,-4.525770180496345,-0.7005426421703262;0.10183138337007591,-0.8364751304454376,-0.8803307370910893,2.407518352337016,2.2495278678879966,-0.019460687454191827,-0.06628526989541328,0.03270357664001722,3.142580101575554,0.6494573052703831,1.8733457536143465,-4.190623747136466,-0.11173191725234233,1.7511603119939956,-0.3826304557048079,-0.6474753690322004,2.4619412128631346,1.6993297846425524,2.747623817411501,0.040239666983888256,2.361672183843684,-1.3074717960726616,-0.7053324115954887,0.8774029869090398,-3.168847354311783,3.3194688029946207,2.8111976483303547,1.630935490024978,-0.021507684492259926,0.16160783784512134,-1.6444627799904303,-0.10034305739539562,-0.09145523275926415,0.1306848399192404,1.2521549236689165,0.6197146773613884,-1.2437992375203528,1.1099396362193819,-0.5024130843301666,-0.9910861608239703,-2.439605100119728,-1.3477880695886633,-0.9768466446479334,0.10957512674203151,0.025438439499648524,0.22428043625711958,-0.3087779017318706,0.7556923328429566,1.7089839543991925,-0.2816386548473684,5.680001504130411,0.020118336958757865,-4.01196277641702,0.2505897980704148,-0.8262040519055205,2.9978351906600142,-0.7263707205760159,-0.5607983584879612,0.8276299566278986,-0.47405176955013495,-0.5828703679702762,0.9462168316628397,-0.15650869481860674,2.4375023903108843,2.4808258167292774,-0.05435289826651335,2.1851184787771807,1.1506979402810753,1.2708140855490324,-1.0443014747392638,-0.7123480385881837,0.03193168513291944,-1.8756588236819418,0.43331499555735853,0.9705285364356158,-3.4102231890550136,0.5073370458222257,-2.1921231818661777,-3.275272756523611,-0.008613304887214568,-1.9504806701384236,1.8751452890478504,0.7012895083667949,2.1484274481966494,1.5596450828644084,-0.20406100130770888,1.9450718868876997,0.5394685185433836,-2.314010383579703,1.276962879026545,0.8891135671011181,-0.5552738567151199,-0.6450818944519021,-0.5052781770422392,-1.8744137795230849,1.2374844400089984,-1.3022714645357336,-2.1658093918655137,-12.83920508898575,-4.085145064479171;0.6686802546703277,0.2889337433308867,0.635763834686145,-0.6700520586917804,-1.5804213547858126,0.5203936200415598,0.5031324092987433,0.7035085080986576,-3.16235398605653,0.4495320860116152,-0.760446099104314,-1.1472513022665325,0.29113159051746607,-0.04552126837960202,0.7618509259927535,1.1495033327695836,-0.42457494710713206,-0.01283308867188282,-0.9856314600372968,0.7787725217397039,-0.7932592958941953,0.693060559922408,0.6194603139183386,0.38948373744147347,-0.39911241204518433,-0.7345588992493433,-2.04484635252674,-0.7118950522454099,0.8376628725085453,0.3352389514726113,1.1951498812977732,0.39782227710915663,0.7069448333028419,-0.32776128468179877,0.1572621351296064,0.14710352632553025,1.1559895211828533,-2.6252355930270355,0.7620060159077866,0.8876209587297339,1.4341475177935692,0.8627975241819499,0.4530890641037715,-0.5134479822096978,0.2940232055913299,0.5629633198592003,0.5514319632751565,0.32539728754002795,0.026699054872764805,-2.7869893486091826,-3.6793512783559947,0.7055976683738834,0.8743258140951653,0.49822371209063476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k{205}=[0.32749469442744966;0.8285450677764161;0.04439777595838693];
x_a{205}=[15.167046772994675,11.398574268660377,39.418128495173455];
std_x_a{205}=[0.5855904486887975,1.9139575525049857,1.0580711071983382];
pred_a{205}=[15.167046772994675];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.4 to 20.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{206}=[7.234832293433195,-1.4279943950324023,34.44082917892549];
std_x_f{206}=[0.9392462036579449,0.8731674268156654,1.0343501218645619];
pred_f{206}=[7.234832293433195];
obs{206}=[7.068955902261861];
sqrt_r{206}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{206}=[1.882615131436034];
xi{206}=[-0.20673251961667738,-0.0987845584868614,-1.5440138847723688,1.0527478762232878,1.1010721232111464,-0.6995600750261888,0.09101893317591614,-0.07524299625087405,2.174336705518062,0.031768787260649134,0.8680101244152194,-0.4513553169292859,0.08592049430763726,0.49395741357249623,0.35109946590571894,-0.6061387025657945,0.7876676106994402,0.4990197044378988,1.1739535711323335,0.011593369095294292,0.9540231751935035,-0.7255137445486355,-0.2670342469233935,0.1221925678163549,-0.6682162699225511,1.1608699881833786,1.5922090684842587,0.784056937082541,-0.3027291901674385,0.03504899345011925,-0.7609520922456703,-0.11638134788677679,-0.3863679078572577,0.23414924975948725,0.20822768673194147,0.5905150175820522,-0.7360594431270062,0.6128291627697324,-0.5499159145342603,-0.8089697871363795,-0.7079374785066825,-0.31891120477867485,-0.284629370086245,0.8436929905572654,-0.08152343950147589,-0.49415130837020094,-0.23221143039022696,0.11095960582311193,0.6702183840815907,1.211519672233166,2.890602217953008,-0.824535385601437,-1.3899774652405865,-0.44902121063736455,-0.2686587549377428,1.3816165930222368,-0.3753861112396857,-0.5046846380687375,-0.16219065876929672,-0.7964988001838229,-0.3478149691103969,0.2951856982926513,1.4734380894507169,1.1103539284703352,0.9590861052376543,0.09507813264317111,0.8771169483798946,0.6810665205657642,0.18982465793426595,-0.34901379617143924,-0.043723709645367315,-0.323085770824985,-0.8422905659106039,0.021618935823462415,0.007242441853091641,-1.1454173659324205,-0.06754880110886141,-1.9193332858190857,-0.5418880035103628,-0.1225061676197905,-0.8998868672949172,0.8383683265264477,0.04204738923003415,0.045161971059339834,1.3406073708516395,-0.23299142648495508,1.3706023995196848,0.15185005246887506,-0.6305897672577183,0.6661071824127509,0.2141490509435835,-0.09837916022157067,-0.18041491321584857,-0.2770866477067129,-1.1041270628861453,0.330881272935855,-0.4133852656404704,-0.9230152762683375,-4.708282624684131,-1.7696172626541573;-0.4845593677848099,-0.19098302506365394,-0.3832258801835924,0.327402316842371,1.3316109941018601,-0.21582103459226132,-0.4680920411857703,-0.5895292490934687,2.304531846283666,-0.3318412966087272,0.5409121164977341,1.031501336319688,-0.23850063263270171,0.004950045937169412,-0.97946149022059,-0.8653184779781924,0.26749025856864805,-0.036915107564537974,0.6059846195758669,-0.7150790859119986,0.5530151340015792,-0.4461144339683287,-0.46240664112598284,-0.30643170277029874,0.44219189011349014,0.36917231332072165,1.4797126185890128,0.5410878938550165,-0.6229405635579601,-0.23754186373833486,-0.9313307312334196,-0.2653346992056751,-0.47233682969909196,0.35764827827834456,-0.07682539092584073,-0.36526413955086334,-0.8810187798204288,2.540905343212839,-0.5042523942832988,-0.5951107687200268,-1.2361670849813295,-0.7255980784442486,-0.29913160545704853,0.17143227915837023,-0.15379884039506764,-0.2837182979799999,-0.37842237787255084,-0.23649509716551576,-0.21386649866110496,2.458226780355441,2.209544085860491,-0.37390644565996345,-0.7079143697676193,-0.22607321019206883,-0.11846724280412779,-0.15610493438047945,-0.41064051098806953,-0.7856925512802593,0.28956750244518337,-0.2617843944653182,-0.40692038985229706,-0.01619079086691988,3.025742249948422,0.7514633800177518,0.6083443276321103,0.3195761489159692,0.6113774135267784,0.028193389742388053,-0.0034141682089425807,-0.14041904466285038,-0.14206866158027864,-0.5509309907280318,-0.6909139472947632,-0.30794439756417713,-0.2740132593749969,-0.8904262011503428,-0.49848358110334123,-1.0169080865805133,0.3183404095933742,-0.15607917916186076,-0.843934573713613,1.035720399806391,-0.009198961531195371,0.2315067988848687,1.7562656447966254,0.6052094475107636,1.5965849793742013,-0.14771600532077622,0.19674105398802677,0.7042317701999968,-0.24330027998278503,0.052832075245256016,0.2761546472655414,-0.3826822871172808,-1.2802637691321928,-0.07937236654141766,1.2363297689870592,-0.9518831187129644,-2.46074690651353,-1.4536734241433678;0.023641810119151785,-0.029693403595643986,-2.114189457881828,1.4177789359562851,0.7423725006546817,-0.9429377171274353,0.468167115953932,0.30746688672854106,1.8086339658371386,0.304591832353033,0.9363619346038874,-1.6166565829485862,0.29102369975177567,0.7593705740999468,1.2234567277963109,-0.28801251464047084,1.0267776531054693,0.7909336445596864,1.3823315585345952,0.523749816999505,1.0770903617801793,-0.7993392473093621,-0.09591597943173724,0.4084828729301222,-1.43839849419669,1.5635703257181106,1.425013827024209,0.8175652102687465,-0.034798141341532585,0.21803705600957102,-0.48534300222868865,-0.016351191883515526,-0.2539828246831064,0.07074802107206324,0.36234451983416704,1.1716684268836417,-0.4899310701574038,-1.076934533432464,-0.4918447143221698,-0.8178538425290256,-0.17834215100121753,0.02099933774594831,-0.2462610477128564,1.1760281808359636,-0.03498312811795756,-0.5715629962048254,-0.09213712001693608,0.3293142463902967,1.1832643470438668,0.06824254435620958,3.1128701006210022,-1.0135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k{206}=[0.4688239867501685;0.3312139009308757;0.46981881508568074];
x_a{206}=[7.125227131651906,-1.5054280465129657,34.330991438769935];
std_x_a{206}=[0.6532947672669143,0.6605499180530626,0.846692469860299];
pred_a{206}=[7.125227131651906];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.5 to 20.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{207}=[1.1308454014395337,-2.3601568749666564,25.614987969864412];
std_x_f{207}=[0.4696324328121092,0.5939673602347916,0.5463960231238894];
pred_f{207}=[1.1308454014395337];
obs{207}=[0.9179967047799779];
sqrt_r{207}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{207}=[1.2205650621507584];
xi{207}=[-0.0321493385948759,-0.10915554179711684,-0.4473059385315318,0.06470767253021292,0.5746334320796886,-0.6098935825490657,-0.49568156073010705,-0.36589459704367566,1.0576956939793438,-0.010710778094043638,0.41997314968934485,0.755841173881642,-0.17015772088766867,0.014655566344675686,-0.3551745573865236,0.021150077336362205,0.31348322717083676,0.06902121187607602,0.03356379589238756,-0.49736744386605725,0.13956268198155208,-0.12947329624783466,-0.22404002045449334,-0.48437044251545947,0.45576752070751136,0.17269559228549047,0.6128256302538875,0.4323808514528473,-0.21751693961792928,-0.08104678298053192,-0.5239955579513627,-0.04681294700568439,0.18233891602840968,-0.004950036611433006,-0.04209576363781986,-0.13327775509806206,-0.7031027019929497,1.4369094440401728,-0.08327798650999796,-0.17648695630831335,-0.6600289544912885,-0.33189480126844784,-0.18972547397676576,-0.11781447178967652,-0.3862701269978589,0.2796169937744466,-0.012428703044079725,-0.2537339609322131,0.031044102558065223,1.4179601469049612,0.5172255059800568,-0.07412575868800708,-0.1959564028652433,-0.4989878731531521,0.0039994983128854855,-0.4198952673093175,0.068769894575331,-0.33746763425176995,0.2681840834427829,-0.4851161447783041,0.48551082969663417,-0.10326466001001977,1.5511010896699198,0.2922013723508545,-0.3499763661558264,0.2545683328523469,0.27982762578561937,0.1299035904358421,-0.09747520182891556,-0.3194486302014472,-0.07651967791072312,-0.25252352396349154,-0.18827006703841342,-0.10916746517408416,-0.18718371877777773,0.47536185862830904,-0.26209291852347527,-0.37764150891215464,0.29012537549800843,-0.1634704335670113,-0.19787217795690026,-0.5691328976663091,0.004078423596154845,-0.171206406054621,1.334446291884982,0.4625899603458732,0.6797886086029181,-0.6615365111080532,-0.19093050587727467,0.24328099817443838,-0.11565280617824558,0.08567941142041913,0.2723977161649831,0.13217457960487722,-0.8357783169167022,-0.11504064480671161,0.8203086701836586,-0.5883124633128636,-0.8727874419365997,-0.4246824341384995;-0.2788048060600459,-0.11042654790115103,0.3623121231210553,-0.35287787540093385,0.6531888851596668,-0.034605525333236464,-0.5921311901777782,-0.5421089317782193,0.855249472309231,-0.30089289792829543,0.03676984675721107,1.4841430714853694,-0.283018035777185,-0.28444242344569703,-1.1526836276924444,-0.3657140749614429,-0.19147622553539012,-0.31191523697783063,-0.17480055662622318,-0.7435267932207199,-0.05454946996031529,0.033955515881504805,-0.2743300357104683,-0.47315238968934326,0.9778490645665834,-0.3778117532554357,0.4524369690002221,0.09348858933674675,-0.39103427561399373,-0.22573900430164073,-0.48863677152053997,-0.1413801499970253,-0.1076833629581877,0.18981610856656372,-0.17718924163623484,-0.7143172541382645,-0.5438507027764086,2.3638258385082573,-0.09364806050417895,-0.051419397282697066,-0.8116034005872117,-0.5053361945540584,-0.1102118756094268,-0.3885322035972698,-0.19741448815906626,0.15651508328086106,-0.16052423576662278,-0.32246513456092707,-0.6003235217090355,1.808445291498547,0.17434027960078824,0.18210954818293112,0.1752245422837171,-0.11498477840735433,0.08629363922025757,-1.100448500239939,-0.07700175400089782,-0.4593115858442265,0.464325488933214,0.05486777541120125,-0.034701844650245395,-0.20034359736945895,2.200841725276426,0.046049831061449,-0.17504371390006845,0.325600064601443,0.08055955557385408,-0.3638706048695606,-0.1263458055161477,-0.005244455477185106,-0.09238216045609571,-0.3254491666184989,-0.11341776112257529,-0.28630280371941996,-0.26654883931485607,0.04672074408478588,-0.43836582065327256,0.12575534035126257,0.7425673565790758,-0.08242659650276751,-0.21222458328777716,0.09241202007492699,-0.005721402102877526,0.13253801067408988,0.9365886839902415,0.8539147790122588,0.7492246634212043,-0.4511818512753374,0.4739333056093318,0.29417259737274604,-0.3507443784343871,0.1601967871661265,0.4715736564799151,-0.09820619872487768,-0.7176078047276646,-0.28668749751751665,1.6533665653322767,-0.44430617592409005,0.08161495009662856,-0.31334041649992717;0.32775438314783045,-0.031301139375916165,-1.4645477655030241,0.6279608898021891,0.14510481793822905,-1.139634868475195,-0.03136234603840293,0.13072851474765912,0.7954793881002118,0.40634906305347585,0.674046035080277,-0.7790652617112919,0.09438152632248631,0.4303210274738376,0.9696940386114399,0.5350473165278054,0.808031718031561,0.5503603436510964,0.32674317690119636,0.18654655428223066,0.33982524091886646,-0.3013322543855885,-0.020290988370994967,-0.18098260301526636,-0.6059088551727072,0.8343047337663805,0.5012700741508134,0.6305964598737077,0.15403178289592034,0.1775184521891653,-0.2354869995252038,0.09827877699193976,0.46250807273733585,-0.30145753766841565,0.1768448406328389,0.7538675318358621,-0.4848037762633517,-0.6425719460012793,-0.024237326112775293,-0.2605117042788976,0.01071223896134299,0.11610261578368863,-0.19446690230647334,0.3546263306409294,-0.43052152756963835,0.24981646045789319,0.19989014319449794,0.011318427053861768,0.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k{207}=[0.18070733710999456;0.18210363160208665;0.074279573658033];
x_a{207}=[1.0846620455781695,-2.40669708167009,25.59600434674017];
std_x_a{207}=[0.46973601220066413,0.5985683278118931,0.5441345009642591];
pred_a{207}=[1.0846620455781695];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.6 to 20.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{208}=[-1.0467225646668517,-2.3695619738363387,19.6742850381104];
std_x_f{208}=[0.591167705652899,0.8128295764090503,0.4123520402899732];
pred_f{208}=[-1.0467225646668517];
obs{208}=[-1.2923796045068168];
sqrt_r{208}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{208}=[1.350821203392734];
xi{208}=[-0.3644897411400112,-0.20338430651348305,-0.009242096791125753,-0.3761522920392324,0.6995049602060721,-0.1864285050851504,-0.866948856381097,-0.666565169169268,0.893338826880493,-0.30333148944881727,0.5078226886467336,1.2187082072450777,-0.26934644129360086,-0.1367201390428523,-0.9619959564994425,0.14508913893723074,0.007554884559217712,-0.14074696662285002,0.06696039243649687,-0.6126175191302681,0.04447922369985302,-0.030366872840132064,-0.27906318493174953,-0.31964255638044237,0.7593972887521634,-0.20131367080050233,1.2161645821286688,0.2227475260485282,-0.2694648265805015,-0.7544130910069837,-0.5444421527834231,-0.18769878883673297,-0.07299077011162991,0.21618362540078417,0.077292738807334,-0.559687428984343,-0.5774610062018075,2.4806039678080305,-0.6051196540036596,-0.002033310069120775,-0.6557061969668105,-0.3244525228600619,-0.055946391105790694,-0.32923000630712007,0.13825011742837712,0.2766125415436672,-0.14682232913050286,-0.1500928927907914,-0.44029546063536196,1.6993637025602828,0.5486487792736512,-0.014035468062519874,-0.22925731293188778,0.0884536688932992,0.07894927530735496,-0.671740559432952,-0.15663117227984724,-0.3880204119641961,0.429046586307377,-0.17771045134204577,0.1554540973558559,-0.0819495222566089,1.8751292835362219,0.11137977429351098,-0.44641536631184575,0.29829527695623415,-0.1362604406498229,-0.1598000151530925,-0.10146888147341859,0.02964798802392088,-0.06735173118144755,-0.4209418920179253,-0.2224928381753195,-0.037548833448494134,-0.46302735097839376,-0.33429574803938,-0.3393264338659252,0.005712254521903493,0.43108109024213137,-0.07198051072349143,-0.17045911748734577,-0.6175137087810232,0.009389498389703599,0.31306160705588315,0.7793113780746281,0.6945308587487082,0.700699160497716,-0.8981980893633312,0.16361479464606143,0.22202885912193393,-0.12698665240783114,0.18137739977220935,0.9797769798719757,-0.018031326461166453,-0.61365568270634,-0.45744664041533345,1.688391157075151,-0.46179732656688954,-0.20401782055563555,-0.7614802835362755;-0.535145048234758,-0.2653993898628966,0.19223024019758173,-0.5912634120658549,0.9207118204888336,-0.10422891396198031,-1.1404452928781565,-0.8977034080916964,1.072174138302617,-0.45883236350912915,0.5306455291848378,1.807789260224283,-0.37545640798029245,-0.25356589127889917,-1.4174960790251974,0.0773715324564539,-0.12879070941179993,-0.2786972740189273,0.027098735509748284,-0.8481587288289942,0.0033867214509570864,0.00896081089166234,-0.37060534050377747,-0.4100812931287523,1.13685669332094,-0.4110629191170725,1.4918341609595165,0.18838083526920757,-0.39469095896674045,-1.0091705861751494,-0.6968616186278442,-0.27021867479321404,-0.1662616596317812,0.3351508886565311,0.056327778197016176,-0.8624685715971414,-0.7001869462663128,3.5112885966421112,-0.7882248047082445,0.02871462829214133,-0.8780588063783994,-0.4596600865350382,-0.048832709530674645,-0.4931107740439935,0.2298391848126613,0.3182673445323201,-0.22771595531182065,-0.21073196954364448,-0.7369813424568905,2.29737806503375,0.5983162431683551,0.045451812565230565,-0.20964018728612865,0.2169199962088979,0.11988137581931957,-1.0246746899454582,-0.24768175980080454,-0.533440508219662,0.6108525210904208,-0.09681126028270004,0.05101856745276301,-0.13281655353487798,2.6212856434538145,0.07015112890812425,-0.5373735675086309,0.4026778362012815,-0.23073196160611298,-0.33810651801853986,-0.1472960476309595,0.12100502968201576,-0.09286710331458714,-0.5632016384644842,-0.27629221554892114,-0.09948884842986772,-0.618556849850366,-0.5454163237637535,-0.4804157402926932,0.1379808345336455,0.6880771258917229,-0.07576974385730084,-0.23035113759533976,-0.6628427181055079,0.013492999202576073,0.4905258395419112,0.874978270249406,1.017362362314334,0.9192948397150253,-1.1160176800559336,0.38804752164937106,0.30130350825027685,-0.22968225276181364,0.24998681888217167,1.320234571733285,-0.08886328543534372,-0.7673440828114746,-0.6364643826722052,2.4635770549376135,-0.564534512092457,-0.019414552249343853,-0.960624808274372;0.2527027867203131,-0.03099563055543797,-1.1317109944447061,0.4788287429857512,-0.022145192284455106,-0.7952471136757673,0.1169921836963077,0.2042333414845352,0.4089969590231881,0.3176372411551931,0.46646493854104065,-0.7622557794419791,0.09818421528927601,0.3348041700629132,0.9513672262571511,0.43782352777065014,0.5642189860338149,0.4172229718725795,0.2422799317889961,0.29354402559430426,0.21846083727449894,-0.2420597394361046,0.019086874708357016,-0.03250046673942464,-0.6079227157420668,0.6205774961906521,0.3958162898127533,0.38385189988427726,0.16751032946422129,0.1485113414449799,-0.06376733815307034,0.06552725373204993,0.3035087895469708,-0.26533851905238137,0.14032574511153229,0.6605519057543461,-0.2132797000357307,-0.4114179259237609,-0.029512779734115924,-0.1920925908441724,0.19653208093172125,0.17355588588252857,-0.1294835966689334,0.30600639378236494,-0.253818082121839,0.11800962659199143,0.1396078972637227,0.059978725354238094,0.7033990374003487,-0.050303638092561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k{208}=[0.25970957704217884;0.35506205106580613;-0.04200098042854531];
x_a{208}=[-1.1027099018097901,-2.4461050839753073,19.683339471444622];
std_x_a{208}=[0.47161918084902066,0.655753500486994,0.4138139057959217];
pred_a{208}=[-1.1027099018097901];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.7 to 20.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{209}=[-2.424798538097132,-4.000523493732989,15.620570491711774];
std_x_f{209}=[0.7521006563444373,1.1652126886910585,0.47702349241333025];
pred_f{209}=[-2.424798538097132];
obs{209}=[-2.7308261630886776];
sqrt_r{209}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{209}=[1.5685773589304666];
xi{209}=[0.5378421738917134,-0.2640355686717162,0.16854401825038634,-0.8681779590084551,0.7304085863774312,-0.3794717129755445,-0.8043504649620021,-0.715128578366651,0.8839574683983458,-0.7869264718101627,0.22270705098519095,1.48619484540168,-0.2987311830004975,-0.13385779426234024,-1.2991674441488699,0.04297247999202014,-0.7430525802831589,-0.8060322861820066,0.2500579040642048,-0.5793572668346814,0.06739149668632516,-0.02822974177776194,-0.48311328740156645,-0.22671484946367082,0.9432638183343358,0.00557653814970438,1.3613373438984258,0.536780879867744,0.39863392141187814,-0.8899119174700258,-1.7025349811333559,0.34624790717197174,-0.2368191887469746,0.22241448099550398,0.0389905303567919,-0.984009852315042,-0.5835666454599093,2.866683876805818,-1.0106965079947101,-0.06083088023737693,-0.7404287080304508,-0.13807988130417082,-0.21537156421829673,-0.0714549126162316,0.3820518511090514,0.3451642517598028,-0.6814982079408716,-0.20734824300655674,-0.872171385440704,2.011509047253417,-0.014254287425362389,-0.16731418099170847,-0.22500604668112079,0.7452594074924057,0.1548332676676596,-0.6518112248881978,-0.35443172226572406,-0.6157487739775136,0.532520964138576,-0.15551589729114523,0.0661675446215848,-0.5089179305821876,1.7450251370771475,-0.10397266202782873,-0.3185052946156177,0.10857447418011468,-0.2124618836110348,-0.2005315056056074,0.5980775092082384,0.02734958075451699,-0.2381654039782739,-0.3299183600426767,0.007761736679019471,0.0226317721703313,-0.5996745549525482,-0.5474578001259163,-0.4031168286272715,0.08059761328060544,0.5448655483982774,-0.14613195832266213,0.07340320904982267,-0.6615527499385583,0.2371781088450402,0.7433318306700893,0.7823291695358245,0.9998301645096654,0.8235720442467971,-1.1567517410529198,0.7108895902486598,0.2740102875529642,0.08130434660913322,0.13215264941020832,1.6565640971452198,-0.1877326153432337,-0.7445349289170373,-0.09849659278671075,2.154857912479774,-0.9698797804254,0.15819567522204547,-0.8870593228154289;0.835360922441553,-0.42141391492895863,0.20785398132965227,-1.3044102664591701,1.1174880545183092,-0.6380488592647389,-1.2338823348109287,-1.091318320331503,1.3616965172333297,-1.1863953393696773,0.33692393959337075,2.3314074462397008,-0.46731487127816873,-0.20827666174356274,-1.904676941247902,0.06824441438877837,-1.1112393258501125,-1.2154810093155293,0.37780277717996436,-0.8807768729982941,0.10252437007287796,-0.06402519680432484,-0.7478968078942616,-0.36336125390625984,1.4654921903565277,0.02044853143894798,2.096716006024634,0.8245838652888189,0.6132369040978207,-1.3620176312632282,-2.584710583337295,0.5228826919663763,-0.3657923414611579,0.324448191447833,0.05229138169925074,-1.465745549932592,-0.9207409886497633,4.53713134200301,-1.5522324785631678,-0.11323048287757764,-1.125840344064458,-0.209861282393625,-0.3517921234674519,-0.10970181691872316,0.5776806028166375,0.5244946966820634,-1.041384691571567,-0.31919987401156824,-1.3094744915171876,3.1426949311249057,-0.018417199541019613,-0.28576837553153567,-0.38708045129873625,1.1482985846608873,0.21901168238039004,-0.9579510160891438,-0.5568972789992968,-0.9404674251430292,0.8037270796824618,-0.28794238243201686,0.10517003094990507,-0.7856852114661548,2.739970843973596,-0.16045686438412154,-0.5160505541537201,0.15026839930576186,-0.3320960347964341,-0.30231439477605626,0.9165032493346952,0.022055553132017014,-0.38424736412003924,-0.5121508036425455,-0.005302460588335833,0.025052684092013777,-0.9312187031369064,-0.8308590965154101,-0.6234902718442648,0.08555974702138247,0.8271809596819582,-0.24317428061673407,0.09534734028549474,-1.0878538243199705,0.3538732260348625,1.1378677483506627,1.2021143062314326,1.5530486524154292,1.2633019267104357,-1.7877277005097243,1.0834649524935789,0.4134497350732209,0.11966348590386255,0.18766490460920648,2.5839378260947603,-0.29358868679806704,-1.1617630568684048,-0.15412507409385423,3.4052140840456477,-1.4982277018601753,0.20266472088221743,-1.370716611531945;-0.13969410731279908,0.036611454286628486,-0.9951195213505297,0.7620667463238853,-0.29063521469685405,-0.481300439776021,0.38094521283046134,0.421378499879971,-5.28339265372324E-4,0.5934580847864588,0.2621201718578803,-1.0136530227829113,0.13975388528665356,0.2517261803268589,1.3448487071458572,0.285640992860575,0.7930744926752311,0.7017223818563991,0.03238737315133022,0.4153843788699909,0.08926104774736743,-0.22399369396788416,0.18824410319644436,0.003282198126340674,-0.8055848909442442,0.3964808337224426,-0.11043970755456733,0.035624402723250626,-0.13631732605533742,0.478144141753166,0.9133589317710893,-0.1826613198705651,0.2971195264642983,-0.32520020427803686,0.049826051704853214,0.9525036375413194,0.034829109481743004,-0.7537527665516954,0.43626790619193656,-0.15852663519918408,0.43240997304665996,0.11362286205407202,-0.04558702219827104,0.18135905378279737,-0.39502550428375294,-0.09143447086341006,0.41187026883540057,0.08262284704662903,0.9301936636462749,-0.5174261421628419,0.4504757386251761,-0.23794063750356287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k{209}=[0.36247964162771706;0.5614371073951393;-0.17018896085839835];
x_a{209}=[-2.582729071515047,-4.245138781514012,15.69472095503025];
std_x_a{209}=[0.5834335868945488,0.9039712506311345,0.420949822834914];
pred_a{209}=[-2.582729071515047];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.8 to 20.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{210}=[-5.027722601920402,-8.498343395508318,14.204740146078155];
std_x_f{210}=[1.0440672547574261,1.652592325536495,1.0365575771622215];
pred_f{210}=[-5.027722601920402];
obs{210}=[-5.310917910057527];
sqrt_r{210}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{210}=[2.0971789099931932];
xi{210}=[0.8385375818125285,-0.19933329580294856,0.4394089521159037,-1.1857368493757479,1.3344478428174469,-0.39446429586162246,-0.5730553685737414,-0.7631890620045283,1.2116888323890898,-1.3793229582771849,0.3279952098227472,0.7445616046792738,-0.6124641081988962,-1.3016752073070386,-1.0902390905178034,-0.2604487516102232,-0.6948876455958981,-0.7598005407858404,-0.25678637744367716,-0.03865493821027677,-0.7992881728694812,-0.005033873507331421,-0.6334475705871236,-0.45885117054793945,1.8138226206211283,0.5504970569484966,2.111330357384922,0.6799173115871113,0.5131579582770058,-0.8889157065495743,-1.6210292861859257,-0.4455401443160145,-0.5646751203703797,0.2032491658110187,1.6284821108795788,-0.9085848042850344,-0.9742225889731451,3.279454305658054,-0.9842713518239723,0.7192735826387535,-0.40818774210836484,-0.5976137696619936,-0.42519387756028326,-0.9851313820282543,0.66891589331986,0.04750161127896568,-1.1684505544571477,-0.4595506908204463,-0.9159096033654066,2.3401320910385803,0.15042041281160845,-0.5218335809504282,-0.16616780998713665,0.7492978271810458,-0.45595952623852565,-0.32568956862488196,-0.400966030028842,-0.6565043815071059,2.377987492583448,-0.12890955525674386,0.6210450076242537,-0.2576454478994865,2.2316858053888025,0.12560211087003026,-0.8799150357705185,0.14789017235915836,-1.743606736743625,-7.182436696151484E-5,0.8525065448153741,0.040978366277128586,-0.35046082100929876,-1.065259755859433,-1.2452392536494186,0.6072196938779069,-0.6339487159807549,-0.6697371297447132,-1.7492640022929535,0.08805814184292782,0.6772253391846608,-0.13690166600621012,0.1113962837796274,-1.1369370382140103,0.708907296354047,-0.6849534756116284,1.652650831521452,1.141253293149819,1.1994978366204716,-1.3260805348978186,1.1533869655335662,0.293642962009697,0.22450935147075235,0.48643179004905956,2.0959650412565005,0.449936899607823,-0.48594285044586094,-1.2766004563394402,3.1354816084760744,-0.9441110354290148,0.11704743733469591,-0.8957364686224292;1.306979677154433,-0.368280285800088,0.5057944255550151,-1.7328293938752122,2.0989770079624446,-0.7739592285717638,-0.9143246459811802,-1.1786096498814658,1.9472057727924383,-2.045339403952269,0.5338177405626077,1.1001222615472823,-0.9741293670444406,-1.9521584748165086,-1.5069001596175209,-0.3844174923451824,-1.0062665725186477,-1.13093198581951,-0.4174873745844092,-0.07012165212767663,-1.2341439502665743,-0.09298928191869216,-1.0114032794974186,-0.7607165183128668,2.860489640764314,0.8843140233779048,3.454105321341901,1.0721799887492915,0.7778311906954762,-1.3731019378196958,-2.404718601256933,-0.7352356754712872,-0.8649247626242982,0.24121404710793648,2.588596101610465,-1.3064539152549646,-1.5716311556131117,5.4415283603437965,-1.5370388416513574,1.068147711698777,-0.6469135340385872,-0.9416078301232584,-0.7215004099344036,-1.5024475757646503,0.9836411416847177,0.04115129356860692,-1.7766073268798799,-0.7457142036184319,-1.3201520758931586,3.8151900637598413,0.2703759974202047,-0.8989922453713444,-0.3861873806000613,1.0885750895211874,-0.7703536180886239,-0.42877395594896583,-0.6482484187854691,-1.031828257089563,3.8224195577244835,-0.3586112182869172,0.9950049142414672,-0.43005645227233913,3.614182731539186,0.1919230596275021,-1.4260960687879596,0.17635426545414745,-2.5963674134682275,0.025237722314779276,1.3059856930931844,-0.042366518107211704,-0.5950248981183748,-1.6583178714038205,-1.9547091270639818,0.926490981590347,-1.0079413757673112,-1.0054731754493744,-2.610514005961681,0.0039535546971603,0.9669277073048441,-0.28915497487863107,0.11954210784734798,-1.9235103096653816,1.0650830709503483,-1.1370190036051326,2.6768901547106587,1.756631594249777,1.887161171534106,-2.079307272637683,1.7096100234504013,0.4072195166799357,0.3314911684766262,0.7057997941277385,3.3817184063136407,0.6728458392402414,-0.8186812118427316,-1.9462632984606838,5.150758203641379,-1.4959479531861248,-0.0021676977319646795,-1.428497810572937;-0.8241112782512197,0.04429430048241123,-1.2707326324248758,1.5586419080844252,-1.2899306109134852,-0.20550974156253687,0.5326530274739216,0.8217570009089954,-0.8962959616091482,1.7050697564550727,-0.1373117315998762,-1.0623733768861996,0.5703282358084163,1.5689916442885892,1.7631392166207789,0.4293891905400411,1.0379799713227218,1.0114950978199175,0.30348271665201487,0.061240786831676886,0.8883279552142582,-0.28812496677220345,0.57060468053748,0.3043868990380556,-1.9805618325749546,-0.32272389060764084,-1.4960724770846703,-0.5377011676850252,-0.5705303681482743,0.9536268023637824,1.930199973784756,0.3697145561066897,0.6676303543636486,-0.4816104591606134,-1.5064547582838372,1.330746507454874,0.8095271129332229,-2.097994914305602,0.9859539173968379,-0.9508410311221738,0.4101810170372904,0.5997500047811339,0.23586022918142824,1.1371296886831281,-0.9250827256386049,-0.08759220847798233,1.32199851654088,0.3873348516381565,1.3629487375589306,-1.7202448771845003,0.10006997840205578,0.21359103728523898,-0.2963976795237073,-1.1510622732694404,0.2688961788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k{210}=[0.5231689603424221;0.8269449516294228;-0.49472226817333814];
x_a{210}=[-5.275747961833307,-8.890383701419823,14.439279421000558];
std_x_a{210}=[0.6017316725073453,0.9547278951679284,0.6531942961674027];
pred_a{210}=[-5.275747961833307];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.9 to 21.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{211}=[-10.205332840549765,-16.156116991069528,19.874189576015812];
std_x_f{211}=[0.8792444020607719,0.9110187854301791,1.9350962258364708];
pred_f{211}=[-10.205332840549765];
obs{211}=[-10.33126917570664];
sqrt_r{211}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{211}=[1.7795533032374078];
xi{211}=[0.8011091583162226,0.6626613837371114,0.4269828533744171,-0.24382332411033758,1.0686064931787804,-0.7276915789512124,-0.2062410473631111,-1.0895302217209615,0.8292468575019587,-0.7321916559157344,0.366278012536041,-0.289361699012078,-0.4970867218520212,-0.7511257288689972,-0.6977962762065015,-0.3448290613242655,-0.11063595051187569,-0.22905585338038215,-0.7256942288347563,3.4222640393721804E-4,-1.9170161297363268,-0.017712677741819505,-0.3790564914697736,0.158477502933561,1.5049263422918457,-0.8775355214147655,0.989924072529698,-0.3495211141882475,0.182060281353575,-0.44020729768047673,-1.067824463468451,-0.48702829238757417,-0.6672632945862009,-0.6294588099210241,0.9232660894423539,-0.6671050750462477,1.4347130072897354,2.876828564746666,-0.5339327445596247,-0.5743062122813782,-0.9531774004404792,-0.7455823302019802,0.2348795630152143,-0.8519173203996697,-0.007855500241589652,0.06049564535803498,-0.36607949874945334,-0.8351327549868408,-0.21279181834285232,2.0276793523107983,1.477885057737856,1.246429969618374,-1.6963291785272716,0.25987538525022735,-0.31250930815620137,0.21329505983328012,-0.13267256541500316,-0.9315371142785303,-0.22139908107312323,-0.7886878223160547,0.6437911256544115,-0.021534642216860078,1.8825881270859046,-0.3506282142001389,0.046580555927381084,-0.38835195869227235,-0.744873781949746,-0.8887401885724913,0.40914084085246216,1.0184914324683643,-0.17264722859975912,-0.7400197128471486,-0.2954273359426747,0.07385146833106937,-0.27347988470315343,0.09779554331049845,-0.8526846655068692,-0.21186961602952614,-0.6935481291702406,-0.024075532799978205,0.329814080101686,-0.7741862526142675,0.09092771235661523,-0.7699963443675646,1.349693317367997,0.917363174749136,0.7981411403037857,-1.2061279948367787,1.2442132303681603,0.10553626113846626,0.27241429626393376,0.52565590572339,1.7177019065827555,1.2347250660328353,-0.46138165950921106,-0.05796885773892413,3.0250868796982715,-0.5097323199802073,-0.26373710105808534,-0.5197603560774962;0.7015048272505453,0.49951737087735104,-0.057582577952576486,-0.06205160399221654,1.0040295952831304,-1.006792437030434,-0.27529166289720663,-0.8646391449473079,0.8463712656403874,-0.44703309516895473,0.3310223404470989,-0.5212623300221253,-0.5176365457905625,-0.50249939023605,-0.2263515101773521,-0.2930319572764901,4.4451710582293913E-4,-0.13588747215306185,-0.6556930739214337,-0.08130374197616774,-1.2217645045387897,-0.2515671420970733,-0.4285223866285506,4.366326392677422E-4,1.4390814002685897,-0.6852260440069919,1.1370007145230971,-0.3419619168689607,0.036341441174677414,-0.40324738759179013,-0.6508681403790106,-0.5316262808029357,-0.56267198337056,-0.777317623390033,0.8679191077710762,-0.3682424754402014,1.4030392142261547,3.6625000140771764,-0.5081165744445464,-0.7200764013223626,-0.8218582519000677,-0.6740329266606011,0.05286806081368667,-0.6467508309078092,-0.24134617165400485,-0.06041866820416786,-0.2782727610319853,-0.785726248629917,-0.01625982066723708,2.3601846429041764,1.5831629291610767,1.106095030421967,-1.5376881698062803,-0.04670218827256889,-0.4475472952424795,0.30587716120974306,-0.2143634470801885,-0.8056124770649262,-0.24649896979359553,-1.0736133198162783,0.6194449356955651,-0.13008651174975938,2.1119147749520017,-0.374195481571153,-0.11887644174437995,-0.5224795916658245,-0.42573589978828963,-0.6910029250845753,0.23783735265817185,0.7933175724973598,-0.3002627930738271,-0.6448925310545768,-0.33233346201754443,-0.04944025896076454,-0.33450329146726077,0.11511776247025196,-0.506314086552301,-0.5501135844191687,-0.9104089598881586,-0.216868407467242,0.14267095038002608,-1.0030106611498297,-0.0891563567314968,-0.8225020654817783,1.4760266839542062,0.7384112540832923,0.7033195234592533,-0.9763621972569219,0.9669714190580265,-0.07782800678018376,0.16189504074887928,0.32540908615703934,1.8767457794021318,1.192459058917505,-0.5707376876776529,-0.03050675693303262,3.7099490040521594,-0.5441494473894508,-0.7326358848672818,-0.5595262223521615;-1.905354677191351,-1.7261240530219197,-1.9046446069654515,0.9272993844008859,-2.4437732140512196,1.0339795107790124,0.37113678033631814,2.6913562054281286,-1.6879867477984618,2.1050718074508232,-0.7499222149748164,0.20311807268558724,1.0735431470092927,2.084965302583001,2.369774590825461,0.8880148919220652,0.5450246130121528,0.7420142715846687,1.700387243336639,-0.07379290948755468,5.007643736592062,-0.36298121491311264,0.7637375193310376,-0.599143664404945,-3.522373360076177,2.2359535558774475,-1.7684496265106198,0.8221720020607002,-0.6030236220748222,1.0595358299187048,2.9757607469660243,0.9929139444903967,1.63880548844606,1.0949542423864145,-2.0858752790156956,2.0067332795377517,-3.2574791880750382,-4.801103690896422,1.220005151828655,0.9918943606217709,2.253797487150006,1.7297788597723525,-0.8096151779101,2.1849602216969046,-0.3793934713440983,-0.29308309504231644,0.9958038438161338,1.8734373972598029,0.9119767942580452,-3.8067164863796634,-3.005728526216945,-3.0561022638908533,3.7109972935222153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k{211}=[0.43806122683665893;0.4396541392588221;-0.945125104962888];
x_a{211}=[-10.207182087985103,-16.157972962882717,19.87817936116308];
std_x_a{211}=[0.6522124991924264,0.7026433947022681,1.4416339540021543];
pred_a{211}=[-10.207182087985103];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.0 to 21.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{212}=[-14.524030905797048,-14.987290678416336,34.62168742970166];
std_x_f{212}=[0.23901130404037935,1.3371630785714892,1.3754923012272213];
pred_f{212}=[-14.524030905797048];
obs{212}=[-14.640278103456213];
sqrt_r{212}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{212}=[1.0572779861457797];
xi{212}=[-0.12250177950954111,-0.19869009141573102,-0.5346351400642106,0.17870376557301526,-0.11184764225340338,-0.3078238089912304,-0.07217687179315035,0.16880422415373708,-0.0016523597141979707,0.29605215545725905,-0.03681409215278286,-0.23721976787688703,0.032471029472816326,0.2649806545722466,0.4417850312519498,0.02968456392639851,0.16961828615762364,0.09159198517037659,0.12601986662112097,-0.04291424450937775,0.6544565141279577,-0.24180857994323368,-0.06696301693528639,-0.12437291475286649,-0.14329103883528838,0.19636537690803557,0.1367105861163651,-0.0022322076555223447,-0.12639008883087754,0.0568259320308826,0.35603486318665034,-0.04383554187382188,0.11933573035917533,-0.1702260607884707,-0.08834730796203516,0.3022186242260876,-0.10174607457707019,0.8613762012769097,0.20340512328926685,-0.16711300894049685,0.19878619398973107,0.029148881854130337,-0.20980658403156838,0.3267984450325869,-0.23740515896143854,-0.01751247762234165,0.09100821152030569,0.015048417538755743,0.2375475263812259,0.2993791360805105,0.06874478418749774,-0.21847950494210622,0.18258251845051454,-0.34328102310450603,-0.1334736464502697,0.16550224194626928,-0.07397316319714697,0.11827534228459413,-0.05110203667625157,-0.19413386643696917,-0.0351863848267584,-0.10103872046206241,0.21737937390107298,-0.019853623159269418,-0.1729286491657387,-0.12857097191317912,0.5158543171728525,0.2022714313169356,-0.1880307399455603,-0.29617090935829715,-0.1508128773628954,0.10599820364642376,-0.01659529979985308,-0.14185917838989504,-0.06246161788521576,0.02199293275531211,0.3344940298606396,-0.26820838948485815,-0.21136687091299144,-0.20876189482900287,-0.21186356128265338,-0.16729405776650452,-0.16733926308242708,-0.04154172085950769,0.10220866531687456,-0.23917020706287673,-0.07724758020779454,0.18802449417656675,-0.37187137564864337,-0.21260306005796892,-0.13267638911548474,-0.23385799281738429,0.09670118890021939,-0.04829189167608661,-0.10368799376988669,0.022391948825344343,0.8159537906776873,-0.06107257932976928,-0.5039660791105032,-0.046433609612822835;-0.3006591940605876,-0.8886613733927735,-0.8846664787546423,0.5218595927242937,-1.1503614678792538,-0.4795302904733205,0.10961681388933187,-1.074331768799258,-1.2069758014289746,1.3979488665454909,-1.4274162062975506,0.05962236351959227,1.3862833794768914,1.4861083580120713,0.8418101940019636,-1.0238267432991677,1.4498176212943346,0.18529230203394675,1.7411680360706079,0.8450086129018644,3.03711475072771,-0.20410560491820462,-0.12670577165177122,0.8492959596927978,-1.9341740523997188,1.1664095205898786,-0.3067153748073661,-0.050115968818746026,0.5144064041972563,0.9150317546735423,0.7396835226747385,0.5798236844942064,1.1944184430379003,-0.28803919973970515,-1.3372142808711693,1.2293431837907427,-0.8097530840278662,-1.9893292587186764,3.0795148278484135,-0.5602570699520548,2.179504906476595,-0.6477942541892894,-0.9452391064355776,2.982959440327207,-0.1787630884491218,1.8511795774845528,0.6960153810217058,-0.006698867898043304,1.358348947255985,-1.5120215067468443,-1.4448966722998975,-1.0062934115299544,2.4161191638949653,-1.6424632137139703,0.1660746040755008,-2.628526901080292,0.41047797047723655,0.8514614688953817,-1.0296957098130868,1.6906730563314465,-0.4038342272762776,0.241767872120775,-2.32573980175642,0.3355268473945472,-0.03856628137428153,0.36471393079596126,3.8833996374214994,-2.213611973639267,-0.2820862871402152,-1.3064487119105017,-0.615702936709777,1.0581865472513954,0.8184876378935151,-0.5296292923028929,0.09813537594015642,0.04544140237456595,1.4594029498899097,1.2821682953022346,0.4242552413550804,-1.0843179860344314,-1.3957444830921482,1.5133932505565522,0.3458731060352864,0.8681720589745634,-0.8073541549511809,-1.2747686885536176,0.8786216763879313,0.8846454585806995,-2.159514632085333,-1.0089680740900935,-1.0999713764738104,-0.8118639895127338,-1.3774578039223506,-2.4629693234506718,0.48248014318167165,-0.07535258092455877,-3.171249322456898,-0.33821210441361416,-1.4592130854892815,0.4107447001121791;0.051095803358379044,-0.3660980485885261,0.5000533668936029,0.1301470226401733,-0.8746427067490217,0.33077544098680534,0.3413919330329591,-1.5428832668441999,-1.222968644536465,0.7057914511341323,-1.3586745478074178,0.7004112126197128,1.3415175558224561,0.8622051898945173,-0.21950860458618138,-1.1079658438705877,1.072992767356034,0.006849496912103348,1.44962949689193,1.000513436318954,1.3872060160876032,0.4477699864651399,0.07409165392795813,1.2087143795028368,-1.6553057216697198,0.7246272485640404,-0.6219585924713371,-2.9935228075572695E-4,0.8741523117991363,0.8151431654572221,-0.12083500153286053,0.7232285546967248,0.9306055507178783,0.17407943622994537,-1.12537977949615,0.5225484400957683,-0.5544209900344654,-4.514772051360801,2.516450345720642,-0.10014505774741167,1.6819084325018991,-0.717952891885794,-0.39677877136661976,2.1312858437200504,0.4725591117008179,1.900805070903246,0.5121140730290179,-0.012105612234719842,0.8063784054450593,-2.3786149085716417,-1.6725142628040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k{212}=[0.05417495388755976;0.08237046195247687;-0.06436813460055198];
x_a{212}=[-14.535178130272058,-15.004239507415816,34.634932038029696];
std_x_a{212}=[0.2330846806871089,1.3369611126748915,1.3725530750064407];
pred_a{212}=[-14.535178130272058];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.1 to 21.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{213}=[-9.94482578745537,-2.325341077982787,36.143339362957285];
std_x_f{213}=[0.8468183173359107,0.9090325562408269,0.9214743348903286];
pred_f{213}=[-9.94482578745537];
obs{213}=[-9.77455702759597];
sqrt_r{213}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{213}=[1.717183629837522];
xi{213}=[-0.09030148906857605,-0.40255686292533,-0.1321820192437908,0.2078875369529012,-0.6589679738381875,-0.05549664689415401,0.13753172489356125,-0.8366844989560338,-0.7793587187085098,0.686475255728844,-0.8925666714141656,0.23306680986702943,0.8786345207364423,0.7520346087895788,0.21298454095349761,-0.6864672271798629,0.806306670583945,0.06714233859297103,1.02514551910153,0.586873631556065,1.4664268638928846,0.06459018205249478,-0.02817626672704776,0.6528019638729194,-1.1382445926721196,0.6255389570546175,-0.31189855432841007,-0.023142245328395816,0.4418842671042391,0.5537904593684093,0.20180141760294568,0.40908891131306824,0.6833762170671331,-0.05131298821270569,-0.7853878667252445,0.5833073136422637,-0.4493492381310116,-2.05521032285265,1.8286424404811754,-0.22217134501788927,1.261009807515185,-0.44859525548203294,-0.43803224399117546,1.6788222413324174,0.08182898529225113,1.211780433761092,0.3845338029120047,-0.0423527701785158,0.7059341009147175,-1.2436980336783119,-0.9975291182470905,-0.4841181576044775,1.4321352681262614,-0.7754025019101327,0.2052506574356343,-1.8723009454798731,0.33149443239713605,0.44042762578172656,-0.623550027600702,1.2281621811774386,-0.23217397275232443,0.24737710640346222,-1.7268953291964273,0.2287599357231489,0.1127529450374869,0.3412984854990757,2.1418770532448974,-1.62967606868472,-0.02342420955443636,-0.6005197491825065,-0.27336004727599494,0.6061076130400327,0.5525555786983531,-0.2271128654104828,0.12078895795471212,0.015457952579376766,0.6965340872956336,1.0132621599472937,0.439198213283138,-0.5232318594208891,-0.7242929068903816,1.0891036033219308,0.3627855198432073,0.5944595323627233,-0.603396934892027,-0.6284383096683737,0.6325822387076041,0.4100934188227541,-1.0874786195947106,-0.472070554009159,-0.5974528024712686,-0.32398502360907955,-0.9882271654915264,-1.5629469217401333,0.3987611768699164,-0.05993118015060794,-2.8854173030165704,-0.16293200554672715,-0.5143537568400838,0.30190490130602754;0.06063818079416494,-0.12714587027472968,0.6736366150329445,-0.09844767683402411,-0.39531402759443024,0.3341445013655031,0.1828081670212982,-1.1520413863638397,-0.8458236719644177,0.26642890225114835,-0.7125679689467788,0.5402128786402125,0.7842484242166909,0.48321031077862564,-0.4616667607849969,-0.7500437378456266,0.6261433309894484,-0.13222412838664388,0.8696107465997078,0.5962511459919739,0.772533125537765,0.38737579508398245,0.014348412275699385,0.8056926864320793,-1.0336015414372062,0.20901471255666682,-0.42246453360981295,-0.07830772035772027,0.4826140220621198,0.4014635030429141,-0.3125293508956126,0.42626988641515684,0.46559359249273435,0.24114844516970502,-0.7035943253790626,0.04959356712201224,-0.256015916668058,-3.5594795111098962,1.6718783645113535,-0.006550384287893785,0.987133911268349,-0.4460141059062823,-0.10459745599524917,1.343722021454746,0.4008125278520318,1.2156563756839092,0.20963108535296948,0.29485861016628867,0.36824350429571173,-1.6916140535739528,-1.1051613843097794,0.04139220237273333,1.0395861644995954,-0.2495459689770132,0.48904673349031214,-2.0319540252651587,0.3642713883467139,0.455992062719476,-0.5256611091117245,1.4703148698906028,-0.18853786752396884,0.2824237535625853,-2.000952609782388,0.32437906024711527,0.346756762468589,0.47769281878582825,1.592554850419872,-1.8976866868381652,0.19100846135757665,-0.1469421245552649,-0.05436298611489576,0.42567805295317296,0.454198077086154,0.022982188592968633,0.20143764155503252,0.031925640138601,0.1985660668893643,1.477442683886133,0.7045685409263229,-0.2340242522713214,-0.4159147145657198,1.3010635574013802,0.5250599605009143,0.6246513779752016,-0.7785844814541414,-0.28078220136719345,0.6579861062419166,0.22431357816680553,-0.5339746370029697,-0.205433578495545,-0.42011497202926895,-0.033539067186205695,-1.1270434459291945,-1.4306695880425062,0.5134153125282765,-0.1220852895299882,-4.006308594591093,-0.12245015051230723,0.22780478819417382,0.37034381001683925;0.18243953633160004,0.6158148509008115,0.7187197111491486,-0.47343207409138444,0.8678262888786747,0.3275285178026479,-0.12071336752327255,0.6209584172707281,0.7411158358898078,-1.0416729778881475,1.0712726944118742,-0.025369926728245673,-0.9725097290502447,-0.9795216902261856,-0.7701754878484408,0.6530090668607826,-0.9744034617766317,-0.2265205173998197,-1.170892034723657,-0.6050897640709536,-2.0160375448762196,0.15152818920498845,0.037623609985715234,-0.5556632579268665,1.2572889225506145,-0.9856250575112568,0.22840849042410127,-0.042079126552231116,-0.4445392859931019,-0.7025096631260794,-0.6303119199856084,-0.42454400015811444,-0.8893797572023345,0.2588622400948708,0.8755072389947856,-1.0345192197479491,0.5885389171342297,1.0803756362470125,-1.9007254005537533,0.3662756517588903,-1.4830255302113216,0.4513751073696355,0.6861925183594337,-1.9184961342102511,0.141877055275188,-1.2058497783442377,-0.551614003058198,0.2915107622184152,-0.9857640193836161,0.9676535829597412,0.9587803994591226,0.8867586531348692,-1.7597159633256894,1.187817877699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k{213}=[0.417651098796802;0.41404606767546237;-0.4378605191887262];
x_a{213}=[-9.936010109283522,-2.3166014939341384,36.13409710923775];
std_x_a{213}=[0.6299794279345319,0.6908807151662856,0.7235137852623422];
pred_a{213}=[-9.936010109283522];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.2 to 21.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{214}=[-3.568092567841584,0.7438778998385361,27.832076409570426];
std_x_f{214}=[0.361603653072656,0.3480382356535359,0.6452461235922974];
pred_f{214}=[-3.568092567841584];
obs{214}=[-3.414773021134316];
sqrt_r{214}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{214}=[1.1309706826583976];
xi{214}=[-0.14537741759942513,0.1572415256295021,-0.21734006615444246,-0.07573878908770082,-0.18922878839747836,0.06563353683819795,-0.09141924519814104,-0.43651718564309805,-0.2623818966932294,-0.021269666169817736,-0.39434216870696615,0.2156908944902587,0.4092198118305044,-0.07822323193073721,-0.27728844169760336,-0.3200408780213859,0.17153784413548312,-0.03004251364756305,0.06821449306293159,0.11984577021824361,-0.4673900365813437,0.2861342591229228,0.04741221489500225,0.30333507618782507,-0.2621802432769069,-0.08678768922434132,-0.16725935400791858,0.4475271490482835,0.19953444743815973,0.01870696442535902,-0.4959625748830514,0.17892899214099423,0.022661752315300987,0.19485244408608438,-0.18936833342659032,-0.13641217035913966,-0.4583295037222057,-1.610032195489587,0.3338222818762824,0.5133555536412779,-0.23947397936616754,-0.09757753029907201,-0.1094212572293709,0.31128139400679933,0.20350265066139528,0.302550211224605,0.12972949440122017,0.2492807503398251,0.2185091831026238,-0.9413642824314246,-0.4886127456633562,0.2081363535593197,0.2451010512679348,0.3671359472949751,0.2011094401487994,-0.6466400316883099,0.06165284285966122,0.2592539812262573,-0.08167917123362445,0.5741531210987811,-0.1505528075329332,0.24922724612971958,-0.6079492207444708,0.05528821244360005,0.43393536125676624,0.3110327448145771,0.5491421571362038,-0.3378674586930752,0.04048082830296629,0.14094832482393427,-0.057904108314793756,0.08865756311551509,0.2488598757360423,0.1338305857993083,0.11516537963728579,0.19275418161727043,0.2662898554903359,0.6241351381303528,0.20941862821216706,0.05027093562152096,0.01819613619830429,0.6849705432370268,-0.4758235435049847,0.30591271100041206,0.012040864731625245,-0.2598255468303394,0.2339950710208205,-0.035689387896971514,0.2694054236527679,0.13887813787518155,-0.3298493210137523,0.08907207146648588,-0.29187218204249543,-0.3909714808703346,0.2120082676892343,0.01791530246609474,-1.2741852127228177,0.12133202725731396,0.3613195700230647,-0.029342919463650752;0.17933907076992983,0.23503362720642051,1.1593460027901887,-0.3875981527798103,0.34717464878702453,0.39981461906896365,0.04297337742306462,-0.29504518360237225,-0.054480857064054034,-0.5117664092289971,0.3731378259058403,0.2700526934689266,-0.15644923534666066,-0.3225741495306285,-0.7814093221566473,-0.015541804570209372,-0.25865252283802603,-0.26392735188710015,-0.21342231528687539,-0.04520836171051135,-0.7023800666787506,0.2663310222389329,-0.015356602227783456,0.09933355821975676,0.17395557059440137,-0.4996358539167831,-0.13527485324047628,-0.1383631524806983,-0.03063612381041081,-0.21718597560242014,-0.5214387079658944,-0.05123763753964672,-0.294465383911481,0.2513503811470338,0.11411487097602802,-0.6284559140144992,0.4261838635127285,-1.0914250194809219,-0.1735386705439319,0.13177243219413637,-0.267337136244369,-0.017759347048045604,0.4002500156228551,-0.36731853093508576,0.28262116519328073,-0.035071400769751127,-0.2580617352708703,0.29465124275330046,-0.4234753349846311,-0.10920613640243759,0.026044842994722206,0.5219363429343596,-0.460784607030883,0.4785136289114328,0.24516113407334073,0.10638572001747781,-0.01456088456255522,-0.057963361943985214,0.09087147280119756,0.21191541320729068,0.04366714960916718,-0.044368538125850066,-0.10994927694053125,0.052285481825099844,0.15923604197544394,0.06363418790189745,-0.507943247337046,-0.24914345436795643,0.19671355434572513,0.446515271863254,0.23124477662075826,-0.2536819294227786,-0.18775693959745476,0.2153078984813247,0.023178643948882693,-0.05746600971890914,-0.5893522742766591,0.43132573237450844,0.23064807124842912,0.27938219355996974,0.3123240997900999,0.17640313763634852,0.41635089147070714,-0.03736051390383299,-0.25828753521372494,0.5063374228497083,-0.04330368597682599,-0.25871763553726035,0.5337938064220639,0.2247833404553755,0.3089052356359453,0.27407510545942493,-0.1287357369643951,0.3249704956522258,0.054775389209683056,-0.12630709924379158,-0.7105873379534624,-0.02801444835912914,0.7208538958839209,0.05300739851521896;0.4546002168539971,0.009269046956426052,1.589256753326211,-0.31672604434602647,0.7188455948934305,0.3452179321612263,0.2231757094619411,0.4337451151785956,0.3983666817701703,-0.5620348895801541,1.0778526542756524,-0.058721506009728586,-0.9273797070066472,-0.23081879744471578,-0.4162465757068823,0.547915410513621,-0.6018737800214708,-0.24512989764806292,-0.3568409895432474,-0.24956348768698078,0.04907768057199746,-0.1777114990043671,-0.1049928641530613,-0.40880501747724907,0.655499705411799,-0.43457859119530795,0.13990994779701538,-0.9910551012404554,-0.37720620263706905,-0.27726553335801896,0.2759664488116478,-0.3737684245821349,-0.3778789775535465,-0.03594997512082898,0.47778557539461275,-0.5048705105213642,1.23519939291754,1.661316566502709,-0.7504260108556124,-0.7523182813367093,0.13357211292816729,0.1451960364518179,0.6386576686768137,-0.9793990601835318,-0.01974264728816877,-0.5512301842913345,-0.5259623977612264,-0.08378068825971496,-0.8923783142570016,1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k{214}=[0.11580378224353713;0.03195261915897086;-0.16778694574765557];
x_a{214}=[-3.559427014805613,0.7462689021926553,27.81952097615582];
std_x_a{214}=[0.34787477467839256,0.34678884366687845,0.6311001772087779];
pred_a{214}=[-3.559427014805613];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.3 to 21.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{215}=[-1.0535145629508231,0.09805116321694281,21.223252515230143];
std_x_f{215}=[0.2886967306359656,0.41887383745256385,0.4562036833652435];
pred_f{215}=[-1.0535145629508231];
obs{215}=[-0.9568530005304685];
sqrt_r{215}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{215}=[1.0833529253915972];
xi{215}=[0.026555377204997788,0.18193151960164955,0.850657373808877,-0.29706449552324754,0.1996484837458028,0.41988667074586783,0.00541895062251152,-0.34264948559951014,-0.11314508234185827,-0.3268279762756152,0.030024506454756628,0.1666509685941987,-0.0379361031698926,-0.27091232232107365,-0.6335248676166765,-0.06890078325205518,-0.13832662391441675,-0.19380446588629496,-0.15452605426454702,0.0296110540797776,-0.6035527364498308,0.33629579766719664,-0.16640085773921998,0.047131138816885576,0.05779086052254512,-0.3666527624065128,-0.34467952654110245,0.03654809079539234,0.04389293112015413,-0.16169933308476558,-0.5736310844037784,0.0070933982143712715,-0.1666093639222559,0.24124474637181814,-0.040753987278254744,-0.45838641219311604,0.20154125752096763,-1.0838619900586588,-0.04410223198502683,0.039439676693630465,-0.20193012294593893,-0.014636413093700895,0.33589754969699337,-0.10197837180729596,0.22405976800219174,0.046960703182691965,-0.15359527460961298,0.10834839361260395,-0.14999841578252293,-0.2666590677821339,-0.057248132352655245,0.40423089236297616,-0.3050147236003262,0.5135788183753542,0.2541475901280861,-0.06557127888410452,0.018239690041294,-0.027220749071793948,0.05505888182307184,0.2175223456598414,-0.02811202564486237,0.0902044012805,-0.26862364015173945,0.05526535499509888,0.1640279474406685,0.11326135698522177,-0.17676001552679166,-0.26381430831569896,0.11341979078538289,0.35474549146623013,0.16635708478869848,-0.052667764802422745,-0.11172684822814394,0.1982637374014964,0.09907259453221173,0.02756440806929783,-0.278443926264756,0.40115636506036534,0.1985459677542586,0.21313101822284952,0.1863938103586673,0.29618714023692017,0.18145394736382725,0.04875977351532579,-0.18818963831449964,0.29576618815049927,0.06175026122403371,-0.2631573346224283,0.5317341840540369,0.19745249058267145,0.287693560971336,0.2876733969861247,-0.23132131620488683,0.17946251824185755,0.09423470634091224,-0.007054386230767706,-0.8021632963084033,-0.0014141421099764795,0.6101670731864428,0.052097733421756054;0.21547294934191646,0.25440376152641553,1.4694225509323249,-0.48786191883803187,0.45332445968098595,0.5457808956697806,0.058068677765498164,-0.3134079581336758,-0.028955534431668165,-0.6354770914963173,0.48358603164376773,0.26678036883443074,-0.2754762151941025,-0.41739734298718295,-0.9677128084747832,0.037644306642481376,-0.3552618491454068,-0.3321353364630477,-0.29704041303653417,-0.05575284009477276,-0.8086223855849306,0.33289380465832424,-0.102035390184911,0.03431513063632334,0.25416618002042196,-0.6233502017387325,-0.2180101358466366,-0.2297108075244772,-0.05971626954045121,-0.29071622563623994,-0.6002113966195596,-0.0943505056295448,-0.36941407475945165,0.29306347389708043,0.1414983356421166,-0.7809469991784506,0.5992447609137214,-0.946063490443022,-0.2644254155403586,0.0037310618885578184,-0.28439438242720183,-1.4220695134904704E-4,0.5488424658730752,-0.46919536816517116,0.3114034089466075,-0.08665592726674029,-0.35224427227237215,0.26183193167790336,-0.5245483092666152,0.05327919958679213,0.12216144299134636,0.6024873661125073,-0.6475348373988703,0.5915666266939239,0.28448995439143554,0.2536638976165332,-0.02518442938246765,-0.14012623316427814,0.12372270989431917,0.15727943131665334,0.059104559049740504,-0.06564338241647191,-0.039071481129650906,0.05410906031328637,0.10816719162393483,0.028444384385043472,-0.6878378107990413,-0.2596044823534524,0.22307052680720724,0.5328320046295932,0.29754444366116084,-0.28784538438434343,-0.29758104370931,0.25353492226651664,0.03283398093882932,-0.09940925154696668,-0.7579067114334951,0.4371020361065708,0.2425885999914169,0.34121325458752216,0.3658924722577419,0.14369608722428479,0.5874964702235402,-0.0951694159835115,-0.33712116409943643,0.6588634802508216,-0.07355277092577182,-0.3540791717663531,0.6774894943595218,0.2587675589987809,0.49701441563895093,0.35894563604918744,-0.14474069680815618,0.4812320233243805,0.035155556429318904,-0.13042059683327042,-0.5703290119036049,-0.0660847416318001,0.8449734309778538,0.07627891565154239;0.4287446231646399,0.03234776807535411,0.8211205170831519,-0.1886821627269626,0.44411876313543885,-0.05713986439270613,0.1436382389042663,0.3806460198466475,0.2852939318758736,-0.4785390505338576,1.0305380622381008,0.09814686976874754,-0.5789194923145722,-0.09311305944984483,-0.20495089033530434,0.314244131290085,-0.4089525630491124,-0.15951903192818762,-0.19596674213877208,-0.24525721190360628,0.10282082391865544,-0.3039651034841775,0.3034164557125649,-0.07687745681095137,0.432437114686234,-0.30943342341118907,0.6050243880042494,-0.7410566026066547,-0.29562065086210865,-0.16434371447942198,0.46078162134746137,-0.2674927117391803,-0.3382543218383596,-0.07315401295801038,0.4894926082551301,-0.3663567917555497,0.7817502939173551,1.2353027031796096,-0.4921505124079566,-0.12808735537100802,-7.29244121089323E-6,0.04222517242620327,0.22189466989427586,-0.8316514636337367,0.023457862595567036,-0.37339120120946845,-0.35033980999277503,0.2844235782283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k{215}=[0.07693977044596793;0.10014671424959555;-0.009362422143905421];
x_a{215}=[-1.0398606530221832,0.11582343116221125,21.221591038104258];
std_x_a{215}=[0.27333566265265785,0.40528183943257445,0.45515505559157327];
pred_a{215}=[-1.0398606530221832];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.4 to 21.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{216}=[-0.5436247323810295,-0.5019976630606524,16.281286059594642];
std_x_f{216}=[0.43405241294469266,0.6772863821720541,0.34198592196498606];
pred_f{216}=[-0.5436247323810295];
obs{216}=[-0.4622601265432324];
sqrt_r{216}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{216}=[1.189002050456078];
xi{216}=[0.24383349651727537,0.23240931948306226,1.4190469481662253,-0.5584192509657793,0.6401701099750073,0.5622329607204787,0.05793473866536736,-0.3753651281589888,-0.12685275738264867,-0.6321108667144291,0.36143325793961967,0.17627216857879097,-0.09777699657061523,-0.5134246663722006,-0.7649601983923853,0.20898013867261878,0.07349841707849064,-0.33624466631018435,-0.2265797092624353,-0.07008506561677141,-0.8576414737870182,0.22713455492446427,-0.10538507521869067,0.03259393769901664,0.25949913815846026,-0.5671694725570489,-0.1715398505545669,-0.21577673781698348,0.036043892369024944,-0.16156312190239308,-0.572779914489226,0.021359143399533043,-0.43004219929545506,0.3525411582354919,0.012454418237203724,-0.6144696487670716,0.6878364645832835,-1.1625907578579817,-0.2463170977638084,0.10393405741317419,-0.30331320873602763,-0.01852897852056523,0.5434238986097137,-0.6940508992639736,0.31449905374216036,0.025419815541484314,-0.40403516534590067,0.16860380391528235,-0.5240621638330865,-0.0801587369215695,0.15919090930465946,0.6633340639420414,-0.6260935918055537,1.1036611749857146,0.3078996748030486,0.15376970908052512,0.08075348020743839,0.03436574632362577,0.0857072166408569,0.2548110714855972,0.15837861762426575,0.07175778473667266,-0.14588114743695968,0.03499743185635962,-0.050600199235503185,-0.12013011241853122,-0.6160456586877339,-0.23904859148112267,0.21904273265683627,0.32004903912109534,0.2674950546874065,-0.7213769679779978,-0.30811589697880803,0.28792649363461115,0.15148575565596067,-0.3356026446868703,-0.6686689182462306,0.38050069827985156,-0.015285039383259869,0.1118419859742868,0.37016456680271204,0.20798171813774602,0.49683142148962306,-0.06958451258161535,-0.34231417675478304,0.6271468634583963,0.013872596530634662,-0.38797773182184536,0.7738901638375988,0.3375529710110472,0.5005404585100744,0.36983764941641295,-0.18503897084514775,0.29584497578968627,-0.059065436024967166,-0.1636015109816774,-0.7093204091980165,-0.013740409463467773,0.8950119151562974,0.11193690062159639;0.4243048730017246,0.36486884522617935,2.220765952431737,-0.8779388314485517,1.011305530942292,0.8563650489665905,0.10030271080507225,-0.5228567701676428,-0.155931980731999,-1.0324975375214702,0.6626074529329469,0.2837834895533202,-0.216836560395273,-0.7989784979000893,-1.2044730475011065,0.35594380092585826,0.06744851413177239,-0.5362288919353899,-0.3787632862495216,-0.13190938250434414,-1.2918323154623002,0.3186236052420806,-0.12708749749626136,0.040036385283036546,0.43831252643075297,-0.914450681175204,-0.1874377560520808,-0.4173376164578836,0.022733504668527027,-0.2651511918295898,-0.808452938420916,0.011704289871605933,-0.6966628901400747,0.5322169867445422,0.07810148945751572,-0.9848577391022932,1.1289988137898934,-1.5645738070814237,-0.43310312195619194,0.1451742801826254,-0.46604125972704225,-0.018204831498926377,0.8531236648735079,-1.1723903582088857,0.4819901422748029,-0.00467555388083174,-0.6586517874660347,0.2921567613240278,-0.9056223358332991,0.012448083705580093,0.29846977083531656,1.0232611614757734,-1.0348124650949526,1.6706292443811053,0.4576933083432023,0.3265553022080726,0.10597804814978223,0.021349417409745886,0.1440290760994264,0.3581608337763138,0.2679897421072588,0.05749968353892537,-0.12577946896322134,0.04671298289893089,-0.10870837748057216,-0.21785559761225204,-1.0973341387528368,-0.334744839695551,0.3523537031457542,0.5060442557138612,0.43121182142017694,-1.1724186528899798,-0.5136787727316987,0.4380359738129703,0.2037361648111929,-0.5470380337508736,-1.1444180088754712,0.553430269422035,-0.027378542505320458,0.1856783703613395,0.5971309088094149,0.2505203828524471,0.8451460161208443,-0.15466111454431752,-0.5457041931065274,1.01661932100609,-0.023742202002360435,-0.5865685956453681,1.1751938858348818,0.5160104276181787,0.7943095911379785,0.5580563652561968,-0.23135307479063805,0.5193570228854002,-0.11363559670806977,-0.2821672071376694,-0.9013392429792386,-0.03534759118886632,1.370602765286626,0.17655161511518735;0.2885724160970753,-0.0029641389959280673,0.6647602505784711,-0.07684483371951245,0.2877360217005247,-0.07873835530651618,0.09229210513701602,0.31427868455901375,0.21731515704835047,-0.29013144551747594,0.7491593154212488,0.05401239026328852,-0.4530942094111179,-0.018334789470547008,-0.0698822530323433,0.1952369436682737,-0.3598277439301132,-0.10236785157390926,-0.1457932233537811,-0.1931549619629429,0.1911997873312501,-0.247718935726855,0.21894053658034096,-0.07586393067954234,0.29244140227138615,-0.18152542127002746,0.44343392748032784,-0.5565348887582218,-0.24493175813727674,-0.1366016073505385,0.40140347784233654,-0.22787222453521494,-0.2120518001213405,-0.08511841092894912,0.35633491738827416,-0.22730939947152606,0.5530898552391896,1.123748173194329,-0.35831670362258805,-0.12493287005355924,0.01779073586999047,0.019962611546500142,0.13772482510339046,-0.5309746343954131,-0.010615731776226767,-0.31103137565894023,-0.22874712214023418,0.1906453022688055,-0.5605591435617985,0.713200362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k{216}=[0.15895855720650823;0.24728306535616945;0.024004310178679277];
x_a{216}=[-0.5252227969990069,-0.47337078653559056,16.284064933362504];
std_x_a{216}=[0.39480463525341986,0.6154850143107508,0.3399171977362598];
pred_a{216}=[-0.5252227969990069];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.5 to 21.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{217}=[-0.7386668121130763,-1.2069391142168409,12.561381256821756];
std_x_f{217}=[0.7443656712445329,1.2741167018606796,0.2730142826019693];
pred_f{217}=[-0.7386668121130763];
obs{217}=[-0.6330285466038056];
sqrt_r{217}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{217}=[1.5551596779926382];
xi{217}=[0.32689925216513865,0.4906634979723326,2.2548906737204684,-0.8141518089003462,1.0466280460515627,0.8562472574287149,-0.018880856958771508,-0.5492194593088126,0.2325948976116442,-1.0959381202135439,0.9738018886394801,1.4710155471688102,-0.24061482948162627,-0.8162112639520925,-1.3863001235840269,0.4483411837174505,0.15133478086732133,-0.47709090313218605,-0.3563967954162598,-0.22933536959177991,-1.3691701004997188,0.3232746616747276,-0.007712260401530724,0.05840424143714873,0.15763700261137015,-0.9846570451130229,-0.21427938451064987,-0.33037085296222835,0.1585634940875016,-0.2091080913242671,-0.7845350001050285,-0.011797205395620902,-0.6057699427187072,0.09771653220623755,0.018749958857340432,-1.0202539618425361,1.1029671473396108,-1.5633514357858407,-0.45232382837925533,0.2813007060843984,-0.6032456764494168,0.0846973183321994,0.8030016250565823,-1.4395553065942246,0.06896462024398486,-0.02472210462439972,-1.0771852436848048,0.20034865440565242,-0.9247816629788691,-0.015909926674660624,-0.47838367782719915,1.1260794712857711,-0.8379237242927725,1.709023204056594,1.3746579465711168,0.17520651522097397,0.255740352596705,0.0062695607875349335,-0.17672000565621504,0.32921391982417547,0.19469585128691125,0.004000100399747741,-0.18747562467761858,0.04770205451421661,-0.3884812636225573,-0.17203311039037383,-0.46980306333686983,-0.2593490065873638,0.42891244628701347,0.49993012023273675,0.41913050567312876,-1.399117667484858,-1.0204464764597208,0.4084776383424905,0.5119810899709283,-0.5459482001039547,-1.193895076040869,0.6035091911806089,0.1677419871685767,0.06939291046250906,0.8228725522863408,0.26269615431061316,0.767347123123395,-0.2628620410353729,-0.6287233718498836,1.505554882967615,-0.0022350725158759577,-0.7264278501901275,0.9745084580638338,0.5829626533613435,0.6040272284890199,0.5448965690152217,-0.1514889239098164,0.38801982334909985,-0.3899638567820901,-0.15752267113536955,-1.104970931339444,-0.02553020649999227,1.633229925814744,0.17634715799994383;0.5676142984207051,0.8415634012719411,3.83801508775675,-1.3945922038535536,1.8023002962931503,1.467585558356924,-0.026296459308740694,-0.9199869682754966,0.4132374694733937,-1.8991653395665031,1.6812155073675374,2.5212066560315476,-0.4352623358993657,-1.395636816044094,-2.3632167559288604,0.7677609373135281,0.241036652736088,-0.822672059422054,-0.6114761463245857,-0.40806057421847175,-2.312606248390808,0.5432429969274081,-0.0010300587069960176,0.09535115314957499,0.28509943933839954,-1.6973814881858245,-0.338328228490681,-0.5959004498460314,0.2623899674532817,-0.36147141315534914,-1.3003716151945117,-0.02814466809225591,-1.0512068204649856,0.1593786867753717,0.053814982559805546,-1.7657680473811024,1.89547605625457,-2.535325625223514,-0.799699886766948,0.4846043772604961,-1.036807044830842,0.14779827262946776,1.377123764931705,-2.5093786704821452,0.11180503368808781,-0.06116126528024468,-1.8585522402187953,0.3535603976684897,-1.6248707404486822,0.013263153490301605,-0.8064284055435935,1.931536033338562,-1.456953009841506,2.9272477137583794,2.35606145603065,0.32614145201614064,0.4317502309525305,0.0011415645379153627,-0.297587874628378,0.5518511521042501,0.34153074547519346,-0.01163526664662995,-0.2868917585623012,0.08379147300965406,-0.6810300663947992,-0.3091199495008907,-0.8576559935670971,-0.43396343954046634,0.7373170789876102,0.8611047393443223,0.7201061767527038,-2.4154408260429188,-1.761259273491744,0.7012066559196031,0.876538067220615,-0.9512862461951006,-2.0979600081931,1.0297781830910777,0.28552191402055804,0.12112716368803667,1.416646798626153,0.427231465159174,1.3359180338722876,-0.4714172017442564,-1.0842020470954792,2.5816076347815686,-0.01783784928138954,-1.234398135136223,1.6656998051202418,0.9943940424266475,1.0388179584446895,0.92774998081788,-0.24143253986271773,0.6813985448204009,-0.6805510934357089,-0.27945360722410495,-1.7930540017913577,-0.044192185158674624,2.7909823360330934,0.299478401381422;0.13639178639392746,-0.0787908786213336,0.5868809331893008,0.06392094781202928,0.13026589788315057,-0.15546831287857366,0.01490633947702591,0.28713310335890796,0.12552003783827104,-0.0288042224175431,0.4990289408737816,0.06364858598115752,-0.35134330944166337,0.10326341665060212,0.22692467670563587,0.06928835914399123,-0.3351637157400287,-0.04121327453366952,-0.10057587524099354,-0.1661825280257414,0.43618437420063927,-0.26785330395646767,0.13445103028663574,-0.10451988762784481,0.13812817519658793,0.02443955006565446,0.3270078877385654,-0.40709252304360355,-0.2384909914589528,-0.11647762528470729,0.4177851979804146,-0.2227341733026389,-0.09066397202135867,-0.15346095341185872,0.21723488592307305,0.001288071094531773,0.3254180302717451,1.2268732636239008,-0.24332092575568964,-0.15919255890051787,0.06979399545121368,-0.03035831821175705,0.0015780850207036679,-0.10686938253563305,-0.09413417706766403,-0.28585951780124574,-0.015514844224808755,0.06782039215387314,-0.28005811104067924,0.5034871505757241,0.2500903109569439,-0.012017865552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k{217}=[0.35697921303439706;0.6109387253532621;-0.009304728581484047];
x_a{217}=[-0.7419554947177034,-1.212567407084328,12.561466976936286];
std_x_a{217}=[0.6220518212751724,1.0673174134471295,0.2719883510951658];
pred_a{217}=[-0.7419554947177034];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.6 to 21.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{218}=[-1.5662892753000897,-2.8507868875906417,9.965392387674584];
std_x_f{218}=[1.3416769385892822,2.419319143673213,0.5877450067340465];
pred_f{218}=[-1.5662892753000897];
obs{218}=[-1.3378662706340352];
sqrt_r{218}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{218}=[2.805301593970963];
xi{218}=[-0.7178119924025075,0.8716911155898217,3.2148032120400742,-1.3186134389951976,1.8659180526333858,1.5602777841629338,-0.019046072774774103,-0.6435890790627457,1.4606304923309552,-1.369970287215025,1.548369054244578,1.5168012677573797,0.46020450671363045,-1.051125402632454,-1.5172433654771815,0.8159230703797113,0.20284109295039054,-0.9442512067861744,-1.0096748821041306,0.0022570504790142554,-1.7913968973675485,0.20805992463492284,0.07669652246764191,0.08144868524389848,-0.2883332706163382,-1.9059506002482487,-0.05254523395417099,-1.134799861034478,0.5874188002617309,-0.16560247690720487,-1.0708365176170198,-0.6315001686472255,-0.7067300805992844,0.720568531277513,0.47232817148469275,0.07802568818202582,-0.2837347055083237,-2.2966011601039265,0.2938893858750955,0.4164941957168027,-0.6955811142525437,0.8455063985932684,0.4940604874874186,-2.4668286374948662,0.6714776253105682,0.36239485686245065,-2.054285570784629,1.0446511168019996,-1.2303758949783856,1.2638058741901572,-0.9030801152655048,1.7651425926363347,-1.0491107878129613,2.484381671387999,1.7692432893398524,1.533732752852806,0.4486861165186944,2.550834963251875,-0.14765105137773715,0.7698420579572572,-1.4881868804093439,0.02203168636438435,0.22293980948736758,-0.11248538172505862,-0.4735440089520835,-0.5280181733489906,-1.12692043871792,0.3551541954953421,0.9091582994438737,0.9229500773834078,0.4561123352778875,-3.0148978468457193,-1.3664759966163502,0.40595864689835115,0.08597243361488882,-1.4019256963067708,-5.923370308913584,1.8428132616368993,0.013640323241258301,0.0954220424151404,1.3057218838733484,0.5982457226862057,1.4184425379325092,0.1271432700516184,-1.9578331255075048,1.8644952892566398,-0.8538601813824322,-1.8173570243068204,1.436048246824128,0.7010548238432232,1.3425908681812058,0.6439533639829811,0.14343303295574938,0.465403683096818,0.7957750428139598,-0.9643716612657594,-0.9425691190366359,-0.9569667036694525,2.203416119618117,-0.44123098496720825;-1.3142739622178419,1.584740718857842,5.856896996366528,-2.406281844871645,3.4047160045175313,2.8492063380638,-0.05144009080907974,-1.1719875781052598,2.6637232133497046,-2.507423584481207,2.832033313412096,2.7669921830825013,0.8122462821926084,-1.9275426531512436,-2.746529575155544,1.4797994763915479,0.3363334730889056,-1.7412896555875759,-1.8671899545956783,-0.020761461563552963,-3.214704322809173,0.3530633252144657,0.13254789985320237,0.1287928155899345,-0.5332192253288341,-3.4641059702007975,-0.09838843895726512,-2.1159334786416237,1.0534669012861673,-0.3240283193171116,-1.9234815014691038,-1.1826319479914313,-1.312241291951311,1.2980869483970279,0.8552320896551224,0.11791689634816871,-0.5141664562460395,-3.996871669365214,0.5031666844550329,0.7451321220493385,-1.2703387159619317,1.53142228028738,0.8901029290576767,-4.475001876820327,1.2101479264316577,0.6406435624701929,-3.7326013842766756,1.903774936349821,-2.288843798198894,2.309279991961625,-1.6398222128244657,3.2241670208370143,-1.9401648107832759,4.555498075086973,3.231606200598524,2.8094484985693753,0.7966088990832954,4.666596317478021,-0.2875220080327643,1.378485684491614,-2.7044011799843974,0.006476627892062492,0.4143974223671898,-0.22414749308776916,-0.8893739579239983,-0.9973113227458468,-2.119971975678028,0.6438444450910041,1.6508279782746267,1.681289398991736,0.814684579255351,-5.413154252850415,-2.505461740520088,0.7172071801769273,0.1269539104236661,-2.5750813558205965,-10.279363807091574,3.3733114496192322,6.135740330042161E-4,0.15729731948916736,2.383716483470174,1.064629956860551,2.591943827257955,0.20584102150101824,-3.555905591253365,3.4074803192855407,-1.5901359965741642,-3.287679002764287,2.6222329083870646,1.2696594541177257,2.4503795596163336,1.1611369133855598,0.2541982114035566,0.8448412679947839,1.4341329946589816,-1.781392866160329,-1.6469450678526427,-1.7667679327315144,4.0351797558970235,-0.8282712315710432;0.19554773418458637,-0.3649346577409194,0.33997995779268386,0.3755341371021981,-0.22922899394085405,-0.458778092484863,-0.12549153131705104,0.2682771328421083,-0.2527502706993534,0.320750264903344,0.04413242023532682,-0.28267343014624835,-0.5237434254843922,0.28516717287697446,0.5877034900361675,-0.24845553485480565,-0.45004935165789917,0.13564204380159595,0.1155018047172156,-0.2807953041002289,0.8978135160462131,-0.4056930839116877,-0.06414165107298331,-0.24900976058948565,0.048709101961865287,0.6538107790308665,0.11350301240344329,-0.06096837955760748,-0.45207110633798564,-0.19109965581808375,0.5318937915455795,-0.11550116823705281,0.0036882998845975123,-0.40756117049163443,-0.08372042749180153,-0.1889467687785089,0.19844495293535402,1.8054652251697139,-0.40937409142060943,-0.3587706887297646,0.11761143605233393,-0.32713895134102877,-0.2371873863270988,0.879837171888683,-0.35624192500054086,-0.4464236030910307,0.7049617333745335,-0.2770109792009343,0.07454060562487541,0.03733956570936314,0.336533759876648,-0.34685731600613856,0.09159020893811665,-0.4182152657209546,-0.40551856347903303,-0.066543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k{218}=[0.643532088617795;1.1601878011330409;-0.21815799466057662];
x_a{218}=[-1.4115368883104737,-2.571792514571574,9.912931180204572];
std_x_a{218}=[0.7397133796944625,1.33871985696887,0.4366830918772468];
pred_a{218}=[-1.4115368883104737];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.7 to 21.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{219}=[-3.346186432399219,-6.314089380013493,8.727461005776659];
std_x_f{219}=[1.709650371807008,3.1400766238413547,1.2155113299806743];
pred_f{219}=[-3.346186432399219];
obs{219}=[-3.2272837867716504];
sqrt_r{219}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{219}=[3.926577959522965];
xi{219}=[-0.6030613605672999,0.07447189732291726,2.736664714124448,1.0593063505249791,1.9814376965198064,2.86620372338061,-3.2225528916013237,0.638403282941745,1.0872331814226306,-1.9307879983208283,1.5286320163631284,1.2961772506864668,-1.104220235219584,-2.202145205905042,-1.4795282614235274,2.433447093897604,4.291275974449719,0.03965152288039153,-1.3244424702979112,0.025875789479751443,-2.538534891084046,-1.89480423928463,-0.022411148759050814,-0.734132093855659,0.7173433486923408,-1.1191190761995848,-1.648529810054046,-4.988045519544657,0.5241989606952981,0.5221857141121986,-0.022454701698507495,-0.3488080007526415,-1.2957103189146881,0.6357381684666672,1.3707739043822547,-0.2481040469152731,-1.7416645480943966,-1.667389560749604,0.5518762363598197,0.3761077709035434,-0.5269388233977632,0.6672150319705956,0.8488519580554312,-4.0258265796996975,-0.31512419786932755,1.1484732967119213,-3.8011274492111315,0.45616582320623245,0.27607217055370636,1.3865693356487097,-1.8423929558317713,1.8309181317525611,-1.270342206602649,2.1194442424750433,-1.1649360296267233,2.7843799111594736,2.912203599653757,2.187163095497561,-0.1912469812769788,-0.13454108288947975,0.7992838958064845,0.3985501754672147,-0.2598825261250166,4.0878997085612285,-1.6565112414447256,1.195606978196495,-1.167943869912377,-0.37373317504926407,0.5058978399115803,0.5674472639438339,1.679688278971126,-2.6223110044440743,-0.07346601588833668,0.5453059296450604,-0.6116343007686846,-1.1799075681916218,-2.430476897474982,1.098536840067415,-0.2288315168314341,0.6251449635694639,0.9708501777968284,-1.210272970144648,1.6299331824984697,-1.8397620294818102,-1.7060790569318751,1.6836998910166332,3.635196543649894,-2.1874143846889273,0.5078025430814419,0.8548683531251138,1.3043928454453284,0.9068973356414376,0.752352255693467,0.35173577420559266,-1.1606084638253291,-2.4377596025484527,-0.9544675669366063,-0.4867476275803475,1.7633068881805056,-1.2421263548495185;-1.1829864717516925,0.08472097847620574,5.162078099115913,1.9201511997401033,3.701318748773963,5.390214883821999,-5.796031711681281,1.1383060582685642,1.9959611566652908,-3.583489618778379,2.853024510817894,2.4005305835207995,-2.1262741439061257,-4.042317687081224,-2.7462262420018115,4.54854376336266,8.14673104901727,-0.00267313863383567,-2.50690480837324,-0.03680756339153923,-4.553577958232606,-3.541608360333753,-0.10201549207319438,-1.4377685677445902,1.2819884838192452,-2.104721370633439,-3.043264276973683,-8.708719663501942,0.9028457087209985,0.8960232235932821,-0.08576568880073321,-0.7414807849296485,-2.4622981683194007,1.1130162975875635,2.518828930179293,-0.5276319556560303,-3.203920650638344,-2.9131269374641535,0.9450271504389098,0.6203940867633406,-1.0343098315987174,1.1851355633060727,1.520980693314936,-7.080231082407788,-0.6527509905611222,2.0790205065937233,-6.715754754795188,0.801956912966066,0.4019286711388981,2.577217993377276,-3.3913753567148808,3.4091192314306777,-2.426017370665437,3.9758004554698103,-2.1522314338209023,5.23302226961809,5.467709897239944,4.095530035952587,-0.4203019610685894,-0.32408157796588544,1.4374879614328728,0.6440414027875176,-0.5153024377825934,7.745518908960829,-3.1197707059126403,2.1630914163490473,-2.2798413407987974,-0.7469862639779334,0.8913404532378797,0.9994244862148545,3.1019124389814037,-4.686790254801957,-0.21402779691810814,0.9367487978469988,-1.2237202755755563,-2.2429705588182065,-4.011248929588478,2.015107233365998,-0.5076481446757475,1.0935856472452388,1.7764594030745222,-2.3316335716174406,3.0356178696314027,-3.4421785366465274,-3.162517653980026,3.1458054616818805,6.864179373753958,-3.9878835260790675,0.8911128080626591,1.5325189861575437,2.394165487032482,1.6216430087744387,1.3523285733642387,0.5974690039960402,-2.2017901192245004,-4.4923004146268495,-1.7321857648663803,-0.9867999878855569,3.2902559340682083,-2.3646798948358496;0.14397377493356522,-0.34692446022045687,-0.3022403898910557,-0.8996593168958542,-0.891323326197095,-1.3766252458549992,2.615503989277965,-0.5816787441985625,-0.6580443016869459,1.212739364369222,-0.5989750786025514,-0.7665852351020996,0.2849179512627025,1.5385757197339807,0.9610303813394978,-1.3188838774891707,-1.824892317208887,-0.4162557857683158,0.5836385197724621,-0.47771020542354137,2.1792758400090833,1.0247530280230563,-0.25300862402927926,0.10732428911754788,-0.7016801925595573,0.5908525325108727,1.1330227216148838,4.742876490258528,-0.7497556283094804,-0.7508363693991296,-0.09738621101908507,-0.260276994159069,0.5548437029524909,-0.7438160507007492,-0.9165333722640847,-0.20734177069696536,1.2241669611219805,1.8975533864096104,-0.815380840093253,-0.6406478185732318,0.0319262774782505,-0.6677433049720438,-0.7876520378244019,3.7768544290198385,-0.12462593724160875,-1.130478009189023,3.44298202003716,-0.4593631307285726,-0.6812843208491817,-0.6223291130490214,1.2676060281881902,-0.9570698750143665,0.509456267065195,-0.9192774073778676,0.7829685161367301,-1.0646384554246664,-1.5913022481060786,-0.9470877084787928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k{219}=[0.7453253162655941;1.3682156496494453;-0.48645602814445343];
x_a{219}=[-3.3215476927819947,-6.268859319533548,8.711379889046677];
std_x_a{219}=[0.9271442953334986,1.6992531049170791,0.8293635656643956];
pred_a{219}=[-3.3215476927819947];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.8 to 21.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{220}=[-8.009768738882304,-14.685355210911554,12.167853106647668];
std_x_f{220}=[1.9107915339145871,2.9220051513289405,3.1588826904949654];
pred_f{220}=[-8.009768738882304];
obs{220}=[-8.02001590804936];
sqrt_r{220}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{220}=[4.665763715059328];
xi{220}=[-1.2038702043771483,-0.07229281354001316,-5.354987355892355,0.34186211519903775,0.6165143125983956,1.0412187335833742,-2.5415133350779655,1.2529507227897119,-0.23111586034393206,-1.1712868786688126,1.0831111183278948,1.370964499353195,-1.4133923939579969,-4.713625637498248,-1.9094261323358843,1.5849582112345564,2.078376223818534,0.5401787654381147,1.3378826232556298,0.1510283270173156,-0.2825789974685353,-2.348289673817087,0.19075411923971686,-0.8105812155125687,0.8772689758759649,-2.8348561052282744,-0.9492147339694306,-1.172757615210866,-0.524999420439979,0.16262717150794348,-0.07696095132077652,-0.9136938972929407,0.35001083991078463,3.8182720559680234,0.8279162650914449,0.6626787012058175,0.3733428775697121,0.9144310158477342,-0.2735671251145,-2.184259278443033,-1.6881581134069545,-1.8107011236485118,-2.257565624003087,-2.39076927303082,-0.15509138618493346,3.98358559442826,-2.790234031139832,3.000712928377702,1.3489051780651762,-0.38106739400646106,-0.9241645973650492,1.084850158336577,-0.38857421532000735,2.5976181051145364,0.0910770686249256,-3.2164299265189573,1.7524874694785604,5.329202337458934,0.22180520313221397,-1.00892256699799,-0.8240007635393951,0.6701661320762211,-0.6067350334521002,4.897797459849107,-0.9112618750390578,3.1385614385868505,-0.09199482879824217,-0.2524902551582624,0.8540209304601101,-1.190320690345347,0.8839224003794603,-4.016906544756019,0.734281728125004,-1.538694885132843,-1.4564091439421514,-4.625923429323732,0.6006590507911662,0.6527825233476623,-1.069590261247015,0.680406320448224,0.5065057451078756,1.1913454357212752,2.0580811280218496,-1.3161038317680358,1.7215117533226572,2.217525628200728,1.8296150065932464,-2.1642594529734733,1.5477145365363194,2.092703869788293,-0.061861746575027965,2.4565328078068482,1.0538088705854873,1.7320568241854657,-2.7565202461629,-0.8203270740881354,-0.3249994758515946,-0.08023393326933537,2.223691691007039,-0.6267016502346117;-2.1164365865690673,-0.3986120336472734,-5.679287425884587,0.28568632165859675,0.8837579762590231,1.6206489806114899,-3.6119632591086788,1.8141598614641552,-0.5616160328844,-1.9919253999949316,1.652043450631643,2.072133756685398,-2.4697838994088332,-6.031229800946948,-3.014128596124154,2.480450736437776,3.492332313478931,0.5627752510996,1.9320843267111147,-0.0830552159593907,-0.49262218934792656,-3.664682120340215,0.01721731223982559,-1.5687513172617553,1.1668690252144245,-4.251609283318087,-1.639457303838599,-1.448385418146069,-1.1316467839493072,-0.05166105081090677,-0.36965692069849077,-1.7546271923947696,0.2726206773096145,6.411276871279464,1.1305727563187773,0.7630006614846412,0.41333513056715177,1.4749570146808413,-0.7612014247826941,-3.515175001992029,-2.8198051110599724,-2.954873028163041,-3.542794634884265,-3.1596380376269924,-0.5476210538410466,6.716652411696748,-3.705374404432808,4.917238650291093,1.9026567974536661,-0.7229957260133713,-1.6004410397960651,1.6252169917405013,-0.9121663344848923,4.29530554922548,-0.0567072177869985,-4.30477009292097,2.7909324127262547,9.38870883269996,0.05841066474495982,-1.883008478655066,-1.5382988639157116,0.7454377995765249,-1.1696429462546991,8.628393548693854,-1.6872518996319048,5.144022654343827,-0.5170522768953258,-0.6709883228324927,1.125730171447401,-2.0683515275630864,1.2080020614612508,-5.149631306139666,0.8856334175576297,-2.624559857223959,-2.5395254338049877,-6.163068772486918,1.2707699826483765,0.8325408833350725,-1.9623599278635968,0.8245628690175515,0.5980284263497602,1.636007450075855,3.3031921624646294,-2.2653377270663757,2.650188103502039,3.6057749702179773,2.9806897160855783,-3.2749584848211573,2.308785225047094,3.2553101100936015,-0.3013219782853618,3.898671823923019,1.4822456153868782,2.6409107467228914,-4.202948023554706,-1.4645380427649588,-0.6369962779543741,-0.4545710915827339,3.610421315275074,-1.2672516102208764;1.4355556929725495,-0.4912895259457528,12.345948447801712,-1.0348626919727852,-0.9167046740620979,-1.4301822006106413,4.683530012254577,-2.2837709872215797,0.06104350029647598,1.5456986975163591,-1.5766804987819132,-2.2287964132610565,1.6402760983245646,9.272407440966509,2.9534108127102154,-2.337595476621262,-2.3360364245148,-1.4886166386200905,-2.491915821262552,-0.973295116166808,0.552092003641965,3.619793563547578,-0.8656095422796213,0.6443191064035396,-1.827257724339935,4.69210984199726,1.2532108462474536,2.948786760680772,0.14212952917112354,-0.9465585509989385,-0.32111650685792803,0.717690475844698,-1.1284896272247185,-5.218471161881595,-1.5881666362703584,-1.6356588231820304,-0.83372649294453,-0.9936656013535998,-0.3085904529609582,3.1373469000742666,2.258763652084941,2.5642292766002086,3.430375369760137,4.972201028035633,-0.39135541139635954,-5.3987745141584105,5.6319528706857,-4.317247972631011,-2.6939666010158394,0.49633799680439594,1.2200880820102675,-1.7115903831860493,-0.015299917364201221,-3.37544246602155,-0.4723641882945451,6.354164611633264,-2.5046227323248687,-5.699128695786905,-0.9959899947180659,0.9236016447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k{220}=[0.7856728156266515;1.189046959059593;-1.2535245933443107];
x_a{220}=[-8.180707755930161,-14.944056434070555,12.440582743679451];
std_x_a{220}=[1.0286036264247933,1.5999040846129882,1.8730134139346981];
pred_a{220}=[-8.180707755930161];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.9 to 22.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{221}=[-15.588308978867586,-20.878858357969893,30.77852066539757];
std_x_f{221}=[0.852690301891661,1.4411276544215497,3.6335006189142245];
pred_f{221}=[-15.588308978867586];
obs{221}=[-15.964609092443778];
sqrt_r{221}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{221}=[1.7352288894868049];
xi{221}=[-0.8981457098514642,-1.2842606606121674,1.5905957336949061,-0.277831914082153,-0.3267977221984939,0.44682938740164246,0.4523711417872658,-0.3374324641707016,-0.30266482965148533,-0.8856784326589793,0.33361506121766027,0.5725519296225219,-0.8367820121122005,0.5757190188805783,-0.2794865580281538,0.45147848604571017,0.32869142588273625,0.1650721209922157,-1.348846806566696,-0.4621831789523707,-0.19541231809095372,-0.7412252642701009,0.9793943495290893,-0.6272483241358362,1.4886285151416416,-1.076602633224299,-0.6701677191170443,-0.6661736235303177,-0.9105884335227916,-0.4973744806410796,-0.4153489536999988,-0.6571503825623299,-0.31539296276682016,1.2921511601679363,0.11522273221532942,-0.4013198450992679,-0.29554370402248864,0.5252529511727673,-0.4800299498370091,-0.5599262826470355,-0.6072909926341179,2.946779677616391,-0.7956057586962952,0.08387639297657223,-0.9106450373822721,1.0136092865191397,0.4543621288724271,0.5899044118740129,-0.34100360840831634,-0.8837936849876886,-0.17772974377069595,0.6204012731299784,-0.8791008863124024,0.39454057380021545,0.23307658709277845,0.2493375965762219,0.3858422388120992,1.9364487622324962,-0.9890656687595634,-0.5338663880330312,-0.0802554602490897,3.908664516702082,0.6714863771724744,2.227374813407483,-0.43416253974259966,0.12695351058056836,-0.6113019559367903,-0.6195669786945164,-0.1630817627809371,-0.8961745915620423,-0.012286745217481965,0.35126319690957963,0.4628992255093447,-1.1206249194064402,-0.08203737864089078,0.29539658624450205,0.2174075179954471,0.03414960250474408,-0.8001495764614095,-0.4571444550064516,0.44712954179934883,-0.24824504542734438,0.5964250580328407,-0.33980956248727523,0.41585434296404955,0.37344537128559807,-0.20975669025064825,0.01767930346681723,0.1618714039293856,0.6057803823085717,0.8384236297343914,0.5859573650846013,0.15834430400631305,-1.15254077031876,-1.0537059900438006,-0.1964662906207426,-0.1161036768813215,-0.5819923665621562,1.0060604336316494,-0.6851957351974374;0.6866930045897028,2.374643774481335,4.112439412505907,-0.8522919210433351,0.21447711966809635,-0.7788998313531295,-0.18347500595419675,-0.2916237056025466,-0.5470562472041323,1.0921366654162057,-0.7685068619445161,-1.209649506541009,0.18650833542483625,1.9207946340149533,-0.20745727831020488,-0.7877782449083632,0.5472543395375489,-1.6340582104189032,4.807919385850646,-0.9096939726040318,-0.056573930537549444,1.0677079587684553,-2.0798962033310886,-0.45972394080027357,-1.9634150327940816,4.339922855243707,0.45219685621469097,4.78352243979052,0.2810018982420708,-0.7439251144187615,-0.5487237583287055,-0.5627950034879241,-0.9039753752056825,-0.36045580875409655,-1.0754825227165625,-0.7455945195358211,-0.4114753491398204,-0.580547047119726,-0.9219547776149781,-0.014780756401453488,-0.09751649948325536,-1.3682596310760218,1.168376260261958,1.4510375289933322,0.4221533551991108,-0.036716538399417686,0.7512873301145753,-0.39131135620689506,-0.6960489644628289,1.6360192618812945,-0.7026862297125938,-1.20543322802569,0.28139405218192337,0.19797876061302944,-1.332908219959343,1.2637197906262259,-0.5564459707895715,1.5080893523433794,0.7549152270975767,-0.7478328777643277,-1.2448709110645844,-0.7525663150577238,-1.809011067685173,1.2781088576024828,-0.6957655903690068,0.20336532102436067,-0.826489393472265,-0.26807382743714214,-0.8967141417341118,0.7605752250786963,-0.9192503710330406,2.1322561161000344,-1.8146017475949314,1.6052777829452545,-1.4087764386081005,1.623274376443831,1.3278736302199015,-1.0592673851315944,0.02942630943918445,-0.5368755872423812,-1.534173646625053,-0.9502096689393582,-0.6612551786110821,-0.723910739061445,-1.0066352315830294,-0.13964432066476107,0.9457996813323248,-0.28049480596896714,-1.0200744332782108,-1.2136627532607953,-1.8145823180208644,-0.967500470118992,-1.1814881664923895,3.877958669337751,3.3605089042224527,-0.7536905105279388,-0.5569100939259926,-0.6481009026468811,-0.8020568143106708,-0.22499220039051337;3.628702836409989,6.402378913791974,0.27819881942624036,1.9792570976662205E-4,1.4277112020520342,-2.1979732742213542,-1.4424535519049861,0.8445983293810855,0.45968790624516487,4.01879303604807,-1.8250872610201512,-3.2152209632186377,2.8904690911843893,0.6863727484645175,0.7788472324798335,-2.2312297997474033,-0.14106117959405395,-2.4273980312959083,8.824499908748326,0.4924875768079069,0.7295030166265448,3.581355493221519,-5.8416602589102204,1.538261730211115,-7.544151182177824,7.74434079786602,2.722248234437128,7.163095827942524,3.2061443741946114,0.8141658077264964,0.7970989151936436,1.5083223944312287,0.049967904984459466,-4.531309313811686,-1.5087297869113634,0.5016785402754245,0.5788447643180774,-2.1969696224061437,0.5490972815306776,1.843441873052523,1.906940269318195,-12.406818994455914,3.8414357136231096,1.6567598610054297,3.356192708051598,-3.148826837801,-0.2780354938441043,-2.2159139706561,0.36399739635514905,4.592394747421576,-0.10336161420914891,-3.3458257176738897,3.1193550320159353,-0.8084247104188975,-2.22672399135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k{221}=[0.4237071512244413;-0.209505302878273;-1.6318229473212593];
x_a{221}=[-15.715862142877322,-20.815788702001814,31.269766044270686];
std_x_a{221}=[0.5763611933473369,1.429326357056568,2.7506041473876253];
pred_a{221}=[-15.715862142877322];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.0 to 22.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{222}=[-12.635671267796877,-2.4999822796172873,40.90274167253866];
std_x_f{222}=[1.2211904123240878,1.8212344546904342,1.2489528036192752];
pred_f{222}=[-12.635671267796877];
obs{222}=[-13.023291727182404];
sqrt_r{222}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{222}=[2.513106085996785];
xi{222}=[1.46908346311786,2.0786431446184945,2.0895451478843565,-0.7456152486300578,0.7404663975509944,-0.6472689236986966,-1.5038167330437613,0.06497494596413667,0.4772847848531381,0.8520921235682906,-0.27574853458590987,-1.0511023656755683,0.8877666334895302,0.8622066102256891,-0.9189397634539187,-0.6833549660018452,0.1744687387602717,-1.0621965831593965,3.3833415858648976,-0.13270892076185348,0.09024619865208194,0.2819933850629379,-1.9554891755765471,0.07378333117726577,-2.323515793554188,2.844223478725718,0.16482364733711918,4.3451132291273815,0.9006656511713036,-0.5613816316631368,0.16029972454994557,-0.09308626389344354,-2.4723161706367005,-0.9499495160332163,-0.1190416921271229,-1.4199040348221086,0.31657370889029224,-0.9262731214584186,-1.0930638005639715,0.46010504788764095,-0.3033897948882238,-1.7391693490019549,2.190821465718015,1.0692596873284188,0.7733142436950082,-0.42960625516266937,1.3694315988809258,-0.23840962109304265,-1.1243783595747878,1.3170399612137782,-0.4437429837477094,-0.5626234712668285,0.3557516710383286,-0.23796271733550967,-1.0501210915129437,1.4872685129296084,-0.5651939078009374,0.23662830647550237,0.9616320406060712,-0.7488682470349897,-0.808403178636917,-0.9266326082087772,-1.6284432042284305,-1.1084798870018453,-0.2272825998804553,1.7235150258519525,-0.5930799987760622,0.2299140361329659,-0.1414181087565165,1.6690512406471214,0.7642022200553242,1.2711868453835269,-1.427229329636365,1.0439365365334083,0.3651492772855942,0.6682008946054268,0.14137722516325546,-0.2006540182981258,1.2541632489427545,-1.769508896482911,-0.8534033898115112,-0.4242027993564843,-0.5000235734208349,-0.2175910080176049,-2.000726519889664,-0.04457779794114458,0.622164586437929,-0.48892432433144606,-0.7995518027755306,-1.007012184010021,-1.9351725358602483,-0.5651892112329762,-0.5420098165947866,2.256975585854491,2.4384118069571095,-0.09961407928604515,-0.1686635700000121,-1.33839946750021,-0.9794094773328421,0.2467454288117228;2.7565509763851814,2.833689634838673,0.03859472663165109,-0.6489923510678883,1.4238446579558652,-0.860651923241627,-3.2149400031139392,0.508933390455452,1.5417051125738823,1.162478501030947,-0.07469001674020337,-1.317365281287175,1.977103838467687,-0.24062670968594402,-1.6085550544553393,-0.9327604411148989,-0.34773307595075664,-0.7448422793428024,3.7217623078612867,0.7227198486062272,0.28729592180513785,-0.06932001470552285,-2.45219238246851,0.815215085308548,-3.5444214820073294,2.7926929683401718,0.19715956040240057,5.4687989602389955,1.9591883716213014,-0.2675891234498975,0.9585649252351105,0.5704518702525774,-4.084344802856316,-2.2806514275285585,0.6288872520997155,-2.051099324611578,1.0931717598179223,-1.6747741662432314,-1.1839530199021935,1.1658267361074093,-0.29359337936363517,-3.5620809663828026,3.7903817729609948,0.8272125347022312,1.5824072997673708,-1.3690321777287133,1.8854742217320268,-0.45179670260819504,-1.5273240843780944,1.6588851437027934,-0.23598194587273635,-0.3608559691411437,0.8328273640156079,-0.9166166533025617,-1.0495540068462033,1.7875724832899025,-0.8720582670871213,-1.8625863451665556,1.7226186618858947,-0.6299415570147322,-0.4987376175142675,-2.813931030579495,-1.9337300037260756,-4.744003933594813,0.3210360246423587,3.2226338999603743,-0.21786876187949078,0.9430119167813795,0.5472628073160968,3.089317161591772,2.300189167224796,0.5548487633212309,-1.4313766878206495,1.2193013575535325,1.9868950935186693,-0.25898892842374677,-1.085464090288712,0.4892065460660824,2.8236095548225713,-2.929332502242883,-0.5636600824540028,0.08385360430918265,-0.7358855660965413,0.32045043453019195,-3.388237534278153,-0.1850645784994973,0.48255649636575093,-0.8042189579817971,-0.8066254879258175,-1.234868864553882,-2.622686580480036,-0.5817516226238868,-0.1358172705442553,1.9385073323444908,2.6812703159998192,0.5189727239067348,0.16205967727493364,-1.8900801748809894,-1.774490624952644,0.9707470703849364;-0.8281945749697499,-1.9052714240651696,-3.7474478687495534,0.9275163287139208,-0.42135739206784706,0.6007868532409049,0.6652670603247941,0.17687013063338242,0.13141992817370607,-0.856536723126105,0.4408104703011162,1.0571549889329575,-0.3387338623142142,-1.7812898477432242,0.6053161603310144,0.6289712500837865,-0.5800483168388695,1.4592575433011348,-3.5254532948457324,0.6794256754580985,-0.020013103911615815,-0.654443993769668,2.0472766959258735,0.3503802105098046,2.0262494338945842,-3.2599603488534896,-0.23311698741258624,-3.5610003164735247,-0.38252405673851797,0.8142359804154822,0.3103327121164625,0.5067153222370138,2.042842532543311,0.19576294424388863,0.6156456117980866,1.2886055175322895,0.11995329989252212,0.6033297645145907,1.2301624358263368,-0.10907616699410738,0.30964860482557555,0.6559596837501829,-1.3326762197397386,-1.393147450189069,-0.41594973032690774,-0.16928143141543472,-1.1590807867038748,0.10592763680186579,1.0588037201201743,-1.34043404020872,0.6366520417788024,0.7680358223511661,-0.16030312376480538,-0.2083131836045169,1.2457532852920608,-1.442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k{222}=[0.6020860378429407;0.8094371859306663;-0.5489820487247352];
x_a{222}=[-12.86423658531259,-2.807262727564717,41.11114752882914];
std_x_a{222}=[0.7134619208515306,1.2332962211628373,0.8661490947363827];
pred_a{222}=[-12.86423658531259];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.1 to 22.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{223}=[-3.131108584581247,4.020045290192656,30.55602197508913];
std_x_f{223}=[0.6078653116107604,0.7035767772198579,0.6327833791332408];
pred_f{223}=[-3.131108584581247];
obs{223}=[-2.7343315117660536];
sqrt_r{223}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{223}=[1.3751595629374511];
xi{223}=[0.7485140358754996,0.467327497796195,-0.718299744862509,0.06849001365430585,0.3543408998638924,-0.29434896808658495,-0.8910065431679457,0.25295695842850785,0.6312519959153269,0.14256064701345306,0.4610937681416347,-0.011746890984915215,0.6130328859797185,-0.7369992860696204,-0.5085355744992528,0.029744953438939348,-0.3508954949531029,-0.052398811568751036,0.37486297476873087,0.4496429859125164,-0.06923807985853969,-0.8030321732422045,-0.6113428609521891,0.3145981645679159,-0.7669368070439266,0.414491881229166,0.3440298152258645,0.882476914751452,0.60868930530195,0.17114609695745964,0.43649179150000617,0.1815847235667789,-0.9119153525650296,-0.5619071124591652,0.4431603127030206,-0.2642484295316567,0.7875611243823286,-0.7012062697353749,-0.28955014852313177,0.5152714270921499,0.06788236368622735,-1.0800584115188552,1.6448520745222384,-0.8544453079284269,0.3876567967940434,-0.4307923053661482,0.07846806061963552,-0.25023633015899005,-0.46203341834923295,-0.03645521242797445,0.043726804281511544,0.0866272719909782,0.18228941210235483,-0.6646097109119755,0.16397878050087167,0.029434489175193868,-0.4578590727470937,-1.352777109111877,0.42394684610473643,0.24662339289757762,-0.08654258117521918,-1.277535313489564,-0.1623140085524457,-2.251110497064554,0.44279091604919607,0.8276307465460415,0.33929283678829103,0.37049326679855765,-0.0659891564187256,0.9047422072969238,1.177273375086979,-0.10955447589764011,0.4725979216486462,-0.3028961126458496,0.9575330607516968,-0.8947441286486106,-0.9924690345844316,0.39479114616720024,0.8978311448906564,-0.665679751372644,-0.02568872260589794,0.3329274666134592,-0.1526218347968138,0.18739451200474733,-0.6378832647258128,-0.6088083637893842,-0.0229504604946702,-0.02508466708210122,0.0720765454961505,-0.039893257485644096,-0.3012545918283771,0.10496079866001562,0.22903761152396873,0.03754798393941572,0.02690220549063982,0.40126743049230607,0.364306565402011,-0.2613432424612028,-0.05925353525725896,1.4862872186121445;0.5310190407240292,-0.16687533534731935,-2.7399361772200086,0.3161283868966862,0.25781852216832934,0.13002246927095396,-0.8836500642791649,0.2798303558183717,0.6639834178969313,-0.15298768894492465,0.09996961248780512,0.08165062268088263,0.5450567354662397,-1.3488925055926404,-0.19011274566546543,-0.0743886716444071,-0.5816080575757105,0.8267993977606984,-0.8969762345067651,0.7254611258650137,0.13775404405748404,-0.11222018041854742,0.808542981830354,0.569082486885323,0.1420891535283877,-1.1182891627587193,-0.2299621488140522,-0.22408122261553887,0.4999420010122426,0.4060162086156778,0.5626974893234369,0.625870628931005,-0.08819079940209695,-0.9350350083823256,0.6286106225452777,-0.018320566905680735,0.4031941283896714,-0.0694780753080102,0.5204990755806751,0.31735615457997124,0.013710924598163032,-0.9341145394670893,0.6732169935169834,-0.2120511089475121,0.33652761606911064,-0.7774493956359074,-0.004330411966730452,-0.09296586662952544,0.26759797315085976,-0.20891240084136564,0.33578248968713353,0.34549457158132757,0.21202944283897462,-0.3817837153604833,0.3072850094171464,-0.269100953639795,0.10528336980503816,-1.949041215842636,0.2150491466672637,0.26191981621717897,0.722115498708134,-1.4727888466838812,0.4181269922199302,-2.567291933253464,0.4305441439833375,0.6906899498345149,0.4395453975273602,0.460588880951466,0.8694598146051948,0.5930070552920306,0.9461842246535159,-1.2531981410914432,0.34572490236108333,-0.18722066549508387,1.1817271589847023,-0.9639366189811724,-1.034056206510177,0.6057728928431505,0.853531584682357,-0.19763541602649592,0.6644834919127991,0.5109071052378704,-0.06540650544101378,0.541022889198314,-0.374020101830733,0.20476075043009612,-0.46764635448518366,-0.21985446965245892,0.22818279355022053,0.11792696313345541,0.22356682814707884,0.09448730391942028,0.49868838238996727,-1.2486195849106214,-0.7053036923453893,0.485184562575232,0.21940891159591125,0.034757705636365266,-0.5250750634334609,0.4091196536147317;-0.5066285914650557,-0.8083533406705712,-1.621243246280482,0.2025827947033001,-0.24273872385265705,0.4921980912853954,0.4723490913768771,-0.10481020154659149,-0.23301204651863472,-0.3845200426417428,-0.534698493082292,0.10205260720647047,-0.33096238472889183,-0.23240510632096445,0.5101199633075026,-0.10439881950675911,-0.06987761732032993,0.7745015965469904,-1.3596691945704436,0.04650525451170395,0.17594662246847648,0.9137232596689842,1.4976646006150531,0.07160286825163809,1.1920124312098714,-1.6970727093657771,-0.7216334642202469,-1.1272608248291967,-0.36718028822691196,0.12519212134838398,-0.07432508509054614,0.29436694704668653,1.2492312475020348,-0.07405628276091747,-0.021978701676879098,0.36414359913261407,-0.6814626947928417,0.8738351463507357,0.8255558996885561,-0.4242953411403967,-0.10112493520547972,0.605954628325744,-1.4915270112632477,0.944879053745975,-0.2415606194650266,-0.1358312919445801,-0.08529714719331238,0.2336607496380374,0.8442474184847377,-0.1765336699194151,0.23634160398264115,0.19380372674007518,-0.08895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k{223}=[0.27281165986009664;0.20545054430265688;-0.18121831806562816];
x_a{223}=[-2.988733640067268,4.12726581683898,30.461447762268676];
std_x_a{223}=[0.5392949072808748,0.6442906509055951,0.6269904947686873];
pred_a{223}=[-2.988733640067268];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.2 to 22.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{224}=[1.4241511779043992,3.934321975577225,23.23871063465193];
std_x_f{224}=[0.5324785003996167,0.6650707043671447,0.4414063856809894];
pred_f{224}=[1.4241511779043992];
obs{224}=[1.8616979304890096];
sqrt_r{224}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{224}=[1.2869907301961283];
xi{224}=[0.5850472664854183,0.07225836463337165,-1.4855553752098916,0.3552090994327415,0.4048415895233537,0.01348064781773095,-0.6926341585576339,0.0517915905403008,0.49028961092000656,0.06328876631586788,-0.09398218652192725,0.011258289248385234,0.08035873885627676,-0.29286716992656525,-0.3737526848204198,-0.19224144770975138,-0.37612779841978106,0.43779392081059054,-0.539969761057032,0.7620702334730283,0.36316651762134766,-0.20082856007109617,0.29834719896994066,0.3122723706842605,-0.02735679745435049,-0.5839144237967724,-0.1474044089989004,-0.14526305047609145,0.5397312419867828,-0.26035346941886717,0.3711747054264074,0.3897197429561401,-0.22314995683273442,-0.30301444286162416,0.4353516635244692,-0.017277419558035412,0.3554908227851694,0.33246713964288466,0.6138576405225729,0.2173570683105932,-0.008726233931907634,-0.594326897534965,0.9346813629553836,-0.19754947683686375,0.1670779350651279,-0.6660408011512365,-0.01975563487041687,-0.1117643843790983,-0.06302788542678561,-0.18477933373657462,0.19541305696251965,0.31293386618752117,0.06354301939813944,-0.26811638232383483,0.3773760371194257,-0.18769363331247635,0.06213066166789338,-1.1859682433328116,0.15512247184256966,0.22726994131355505,-0.10675397358557426,-1.6381762537788143,0.16451462170730635,-1.8430275248969115,0.2991773107236242,0.7343168110168012,0.246442883480539,0.08398455926520487,0.5092835266207134,0.7418467537140512,0.658676657753323,-0.8610062874188049,0.22163965771877825,-0.18616074208226663,0.6989790346555222,-1.0773552619497797,-1.448982966285122,0.4206417790903365,0.6681435451097302,-0.25464377080817613,0.27961545693666023,0.3326586066645225,0.03302517654049941,0.5985379639978932,-0.25633300926397684,0.2333926060164777,0.04455534556853813,-0.4044157124960355,0.9238973268049115,-0.02755812151961612,0.043633597704003435,0.07575785214011543,0.3109617008280505,-1.0341568505989125,-0.5407890749866827,0.3330783640904105,0.018003145554201794,0.020833131372424818,-0.3830412770597229,0.7580728471844467;0.5580643990659464,-0.1370474802270385,-2.4418288328239592,0.44127510914702306,0.38669111319588456,0.16093213839075915,-0.7422972743243665,0.08403012860183257,0.548504629365512,-0.04718556382669137,-0.19516101775070105,0.045805335376057243,0.1086606882723089,-0.6181511425479296,-0.25909609589498306,-0.22030412585385495,-0.49418787215960913,0.7545385308119608,-1.0205595871897954,0.8757588619995031,0.42441739246094556,0.02803516292589414,0.8128364850094352,0.43114765694054924,0.28298841350905146,-1.173268664157756,-0.3507098269912676,-0.5051113407492154,0.535511578007565,-0.12643150311474072,0.44655309321399894,0.5669438566276828,0.05509386137035177,-0.5086717370901086,0.5407305889598479,0.05994896856043619,0.2705876753958769,0.5044147538650838,0.8769046929492346,0.1818710347735566,-0.030997633832016813,-0.6129768144408265,0.7218963800076557,0.0012382869816778275,0.17925733201046867,-0.8231569028427437,-0.047946288954717975,-0.06720330555151222,0.2058666338928976,-0.25689145520637435,0.3156127290219226,0.40919602392582366,0.08535769083183631,-0.20774072124593657,0.42702980955257797,-0.3032574591083579,0.24351857981788338,-1.5326005199782249,0.10518418094756399,0.24723146307567134,0.24534393480263983,-1.7394656337471748,0.3770914471227709,-2.0720969121980954,0.32587058931715074,0.736672082351026,0.31100000983275233,0.15541553732065516,0.8459893517889867,0.6833448559831394,0.6549148497261417,-1.3483797738718213,0.209975980610146,-0.1663121440153068,0.8423962617768401,-1.131087901930003,-1.4449311076450857,0.524151389058984,0.713360139733414,-0.10625384947975425,0.5414648483652025,0.4196892774898391,0.05189363499374977,0.7275183977331077,-0.1940151171834259,0.4966033143100228,-0.14196861695739083,-0.47478755695795805,0.9609431502022616,0.035297407607850495,0.23768559857403915,0.0750477810359289,0.42597155166744205,-1.5621698129899788,-0.8323146030649107,0.3906940946638029,-0.00866905926374928,0.11586643368993155,-0.5752579200858365,0.49265599663297355;-0.16566393484008302,-0.5740530570513904,-1.6855167735574277,0.15639798487358547,-0.12353843532948261,0.29190013852822005,0.05504916138932714,0.035257850873719576,0.05977003564109751,-0.34152765988118006,-0.24049333978876675,0.07527667452695752,0.03755788959144013,-0.71578165401489,0.2683966263715263,-0.05849146154148599,-0.2358276691234309,0.6805400264129418,-1.038463006464596,0.19255381346950173,0.0426613832451288,0.46116337783447037,1.08417693820925,0.21045810308904223,0.7064575446003936,-1.3365478097413472,-0.4993217146580484,-0.6471783370542461,-0.100798240250775,0.31048298557028176,0.12399035143937098,0.3383229224187261,0.7020772340310515,-0.4212939954730395,0.16627248569463404,0.1739280395837497,-0.2801865911318977,0.33515638225727784,0.5374434796386858,-0.16484498479438514,-0.07660568290317471,0.04863648264524301,-0.6457395453906898,0.43906626852022157,-0.046033404377599396,-0.26020674929015897,-0.06302344126265069,0.08928037988263071,0.5679967431068569,-0.16995536967397484,0.2159024338799398,0.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k{224}=[0.22299362649829882;0.2667527904867816;0.05399318826565999];
x_a{224}=[1.4959440565413085,4.020203132873979,23.2560937611262];
std_x_a{224}=[0.4758381222488202,0.595798065822195,0.4350966168787179];
pred_a{224}=[1.4959440565413085];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.3 to 22.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{225}=[3.490968010918036,5.431395066494922,18.9003411876196];
std_x_f{225}=[0.6273440207664678,0.8405103482449677,0.5743426310658469];
pred_f{225}=[3.490968010918036];
obs{225}=[3.976554592675173];
sqrt_r{225}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{225}=[1.3938763235447642];
xi{225}=[0.1768177371738009,7.901829391685489E-4,-2.135423253363063,0.26391479675043295,0.6953115171217616,0.07868374977796533,-0.4793032423719703,0.0424975000701977,0.5521881874302466,0.06353236591766143,-0.2967699054085635,0.06643804757060634,0.12718568455401158,-0.8450635654174965,-0.24105911503015953,-0.0634971381762548,-0.7259906902316913,0.28891938039200893,-0.9385513214225965,0.7771114012860476,0.3999134195244065,-0.11465894350532713,0.5538000799945069,0.803179536438587,-0.4939471664779398,-0.790551969483789,-0.17582527207135712,-0.5542469547148041,0.5805687749261113,-0.13933314234672967,0.2957245706109348,0.6178358337363212,0.12094026708199879,-0.18408377242026708,0.7742772974353036,0.14263834608647974,0.4512763801527919,-0.5310239898395506,0.70251790843934,0.13531012172397627,0.008575267893231597,-0.4341645848618394,0.8434549569246528,-0.18314974750070112,0.7319159804282389,-0.43169864586263396,0.04091816046527841,0.42596692464023533,-0.052431124647679184,-0.13199532126333713,0.3421779611447415,0.39235024770872595,0.6198797136680305,-0.8741127033146836,0.5785922319540999,-0.4696157178829248,0.32504170872832416,-1.2211128443484736,0.16625500940737092,0.2831720431966174,0.07009849468266172,-1.2678710088417207,0.4094453822511124,-1.6493376261455164,0.43600911562022926,1.010174399071067,0.3004821570608853,0.1473546846049838,0.9962496511601611,0.6710630793407901,-0.059295556535955196,-0.49162772772920604,0.29879941937736865,-0.5048879285077357,0.9031894408581955,-0.6988815125430703,-1.2785772618824196,0.39964271876773294,0.6514938740391694,-0.1430654717608526,0.464436738793081,0.35320728106520116,0.20060383837874562,0.6453191464973029,-0.17436439461483566,0.11304273881086013,-0.44611683800756996,-0.20724725957840562,1.0486454885661383,-1.2331987214492321,-0.08798265421988871,-0.32248208126790745,0.38904913107030925,-0.9754714812006999,-0.37833383030417345,0.8489139861366493,0.10984106979433683,-1.3831317470251645,-0.714677535147171,0.5874256394843052;0.25585652423690775,0.030828808235729532,-3.041934654593137,0.3585402984167274,0.9250081594471711,0.11811873627796388,-0.6281565877074522,0.07465064682580635,0.7275818336703113,0.11306888692621264,-0.3777469327511689,0.09841594310158897,0.18205280984565508,-1.1439560996045302,-0.30137553450445154,-0.06508579676744564,-0.9543025570080514,0.3721265120455417,-1.2708067499862317,1.0089627815041498,0.5400877206046069,-0.13238172500065382,0.7105110919118012,1.0491394331538997,-0.6373134298466514,-1.0597216426757976,-0.21593096913366594,-0.7527500123689519,0.773912591663648,-0.16536714502741123,0.39787655200696204,0.8097164194273461,0.157586699894801,-0.2302069754974534,1.0127342497459821,0.20016165208414183,0.6145840622000254,-0.6981955218394225,0.9080108654065864,0.2020555815804368,0.028668674608175237,-0.5594970836999478,1.1439315546033457,-0.22772411569632034,0.9592046497172166,-0.5543095345073246,0.0769507399925411,0.5729000380409222,-0.05384374293789396,-0.15960829183195724,0.45623977926321757,0.527962642133124,0.8251702105659726,-1.1579060952399507,0.7585615324511608,-0.6144875611554621,0.4390411692891609,-1.6644562753876566,0.2321964519035733,0.3891488688761022,0.10488101025017027,-1.6922086702144692,0.5340294146079563,-2.241134911537964,0.5839174834954521,1.308731329038352,0.40626460704230105,0.20871099331083798,1.2653861860998195,0.8825419204496079,-0.0752215445514457,-0.6488664355328746,0.40772529724034,-0.662437960092551,1.1599797473799436,-0.920449311235231,-1.6935014725277817,0.5315977110016377,0.8538516321930913,-0.18008271640335316,0.6095375087591313,0.4681717390497493,0.280900513839331,0.8456642773409397,-0.2249781590239719,0.16321066844442633,-0.581652860022178,-0.25540894754909793,1.3659013033904026,-1.6546744764315338,-0.1058923953299784,-0.41696263965822045,0.5185586984209687,-1.326613405336408,-0.4946801734654258,1.1120718877723839,0.1609602926595377,-1.862660520302926,-0.9483745595378377,0.8287068000772582;-0.12387421563814982,-0.47588759899182165,-2.1892359887791457,0.22597143472292203,0.36642619583818714,0.23822131105702127,-0.21851680431319664,0.005448367486994954,0.3653424330641819,-0.2572574246837078,-0.41495766776492005,0.07543191774604097,0.07650225834997926,-1.084445994765911,0.05022850871437967,-0.09286176823989223,-0.6412610778917269,0.6211077156713642,-1.3313485938547522,0.6118336987402522,0.24533854517722276,0.2505882191545652,1.1545341484828988,0.7379731161648628,0.14482902882497228,-1.4575484507176562,-0.5123680386043965,-0.8712069948877357,0.2629636429068789,0.13189302592553176,0.22201136313621816,0.647132011051788,0.6203456077524159,-0.42236520560729574,0.6436266381881275,0.20906961517750489,0.04862954891243021,-0.22118707930114567,0.8309086358415314,-0.09076262207618058,-0.08704201125199518,-0.2012430531743128,0.011642714506283625,0.18343098333840047,0.49362053984212295,-0.4139101219717496,-0.04385199524389449,0.3862079817443771,0.35637952991239175,-0.22997841389751628,0.3530105336391536,0.3519163420957945,0.4645748405156311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k{225}=[0.2825762349869736;0.3784280239048986;0.21904813284259278];
x_a{225}=[3.60380133279922,5.582502221815644,18.98780759639825];
std_x_a{225}=[0.5666448620500649,0.7612668912484333,0.5388321113462533];
pred_a{225}=[3.60380133279922];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.4 to 22.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{226}=[6.183924020868147,9.566447962093603,17.830921890084216];
std_x_f{226}=[0.7921026573968571,1.016953022669606,1.1590669705761092];
pred_f{226}=[6.183924020868147];
obs{226}=[6.685806215041553];
sqrt_r{226}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{226}=[1.6364617587841472];
xi{226}=[0.9457688692114283,0.21765162470038746,-2.6652276942603494,0.20029404053802846,0.8084844999075465,1.7265444785656996,-0.02629765994160227,0.960584548519078,0.5891259919246616,0.16566797956255197,-0.09559971661311195,-0.2509761582476342,1.412315718024714,-0.7667950846819105,-0.09314700970870504,-0.5020226196235544,-0.4164975004284601,0.5170669217371637,-0.9539728080381034,1.006258619528137,0.49150891131027397,0.2590522111012685,0.8391747646008261,-0.2350948176396459,-1.0916660149063038,-0.3900353859512906,-0.028075692560879162,-0.7294861874330403,0.5155598793224652,0.17979343120737656,0.3596713771235063,0.6399636365727925,0.017614334457520364,-0.13486205362078874,0.428311361557288,0.18951821812936753,0.7212894028429915,-1.0127783793018255,0.30613598822700894,0.24973726846218725,-0.04956124192363287,-0.501231021132706,0.8088415735832397,-0.7557018043101484,0.8699390013460837,-0.7402038084502598,0.21009289921018492,0.5039042753523146,-0.14244720628991203,-0.5763342047785791,0.05588252390462678,0.21477676390525602,0.9553828985713002,-0.5243008081174008,1.0547687183044339,-0.939907976485407,0.35118732245438977,-1.2680293466764878,-0.3656777619210372,0.31089181419485,-0.12733149015465006,-1.3272363261539901,0.3665578791107089,-2.4618337443333425,0.61817144128793,0.8343586019984599,-1.1298791946260804,0.36576152351805913,0.8817083964634485,-0.05121331535501028,-0.9439846880419376,-0.3549867851217776,0.9903042506240682,-1.3309270272288902,0.5078259946465691,-0.786043651125949,-0.22731399679357178,0.7053208796494372,0.7284565175731865,-0.03585485374927089,0.18871440557585828,0.790727970682263,0.3439804330318026,0.5225681219450609,0.18896055029562753,0.14672428694153172,-0.48838274352889854,-1.9521583319273796,0.8733725572021172,-1.322114400694006,-0.059791323332583524,-0.5009536488891388,0.5641842359845377,-0.6918546624864597,0.0696864548991929,0.5271387741745102,0.567426101237376,-1.4444889376252688,-0.6310356040158016,1.258603443424339;1.2344257109096333,0.43895610001160357,-3.6605499566398043,0.2827695157228636,1.0432795488868543,1.8853534415435202,-0.02036107380003571,1.1808726607737743,0.7599433842456147,0.32443355706737975,-0.030171296109042345,-0.28265196207483,1.6484840529040792,-0.8699173729516723,-0.12810197186662897,-0.5783906444945082,-0.45813944696202924,0.5563801053402688,-1.093406797499748,1.2033998249649756,0.6579236803407387,0.2771892713816566,0.8124565280996112,-0.28664405320965436,-1.481687880515567,-0.2703946443290679,0.10012074964955353,-0.8120845377702359,0.7105697143296599,0.2103301159833464,0.4834215080701121,0.7570123953670933,-0.05795596378745671,-0.0576358143012925,0.5379531410146381,0.2527000361056846,0.9832456180783637,-1.3151157317220719,0.33282566493706867,0.40141645270469795,0.004857905176848476,-0.6226375744503425,1.1826290372312371,-0.9958710221537128,1.078936805404382,-0.8912355397425742,0.330435203850568,0.6329731295891801,-0.22481271871468778,-0.6666245047335906,0.0886273701670266,0.2876057183321681,1.156862157392128,-0.6681261804075316,1.2715753372723277,-1.1507088666812137,0.41049046802969613,-1.6466759461426559,-0.36998242527829106,0.4438485698397905,-0.23918908163691732,-1.808105879825579,0.4077296502521097,-3.4694198429508436,0.8055850891864687,1.0541815288982779,-1.4419998367807665,0.47944843313045915,0.9206882770792877,0.0482086617043791,-1.1511963057166064,-0.28733608648381903,1.2315182539068381,-1.7266414490936857,0.6034516900414602,-1.0251950047456777,-0.37589435735611154,0.8775814133546067,0.9245982406626094,-0.0684546651272484,0.18843142126046963,0.9676242498364456,0.47977550911198463,0.6582047207066957,0.23055032693159383,0.14704864263321582,-0.4898363579844798,-2.605858891333696,1.1014527809588106,-1.7463801798578604,-0.09581552070929256,-0.5786706622376663,0.6984443741049251,-0.7524635155190591,0.21742593768705554,0.6629186341539448,0.7560407157524693,-1.9338490648421534,-0.7245241705217982,1.7355017669897226;1.218885976780392,-0.15419117050199205,-3.7153832046391493,0.2521229502046012,1.059473179691647,3.004876194720481,0.02342367676478574,1.4423663489345913,0.8051677978249359,-0.08454263398127537,-0.36768149305239106,-0.4165263802236687,2.2490717094679695,-1.5105802948619527,-0.006830501530053823,-0.8332041515771031,-0.7375681928489008,1.0888577911941049,-1.897349757819331,1.5709380145009355,0.6407589978026991,0.6058825229537064,1.9167967601148241,-0.3045043209676592,-1.1462548105913477,-1.3450206020960955,-0.4320504387359101,-1.4704404662739137,0.5661217703611641,0.4075067109647357,0.47626382433352177,1.0821090687979442,0.41041209159859804,-0.5089104610787807,0.6367569570061598,0.30110780584680086,0.8067696255122385,-1.319718625319215,0.6696351141382522,0.14325179392751508,-0.22312488377654915,-0.6838574924807936,0.655048538931041,-0.8690278163167449,1.2650338286418226,-1.19833223621416,0.18003561939068646,0.7680398757525708,0.051291240691519135,-1.0104011196119274,0.10016282460410508,0.30249003152953335,1.4461143191845984,-0.646070313280056,1.620791203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k{226}=[0.38892553117588485;0.49724772991509897;0.5518247860544739];
x_a{226}=[6.390068953532721,9.830007671046229,18.123409459670892];
std_x_a{226}=[0.6145075280536874,0.7813995724455643,0.9423650751932754];
pred_a{226}=[6.390068953532721];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.5 to 22.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{227}=[10.538019355295146,14.911363862497526,23.470410056592755];
std_x_f{227}=[0.5570065859274714,0.31469586145196,1.747707807371324];
pred_f{227}=[10.538019355295146];
obs{227}=[10.802331501389974];
sqrt_r{227}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{227}=[1.3145239840611058];
xi{227}=[0.6499977555025129,0.4850411699987589,-1.6959504087608028,0.13553805869121405,0.40220395104742757,0.7421197836016127,0.039278614236256004,0.03807136861539995,0.32293372675465903,0.17579652096510046,0.14326752134454068,-1.4745375065938493,0.07487462697333847,-0.20295952735058798,-0.0686023258588957,-0.5270677080069692,-0.4331350109104104,0.2526383554985383,-0.5129464212364692,0.8603725227204357,0.528235103090795,-0.09039512725874488,0.595941433410287,-0.08175161328247782,-0.9124819144985743,-0.5666564145423276,-0.26981590033866,-0.561772810916942,0.41441030696489634,-0.6848527424940691,0.21314466948915012,0.2575305675864943,-0.07009197653970567,0.0919486424518503,0.26579846893491954,0.3169485658748883,0.48172939314507346,-0.5607719214945064,0.056487794077700215,0.38644091623088705,0.15334728981872736,-0.20500286500729104,0.6900547525527632,1.1641351368839619,0.6602729179404871,-0.4055301490218923,0.0879104550613885,0.1656538275891286,-0.14632967751422932,-0.5517057759707846,0.4284341330247603,-0.337701875515112,0.9301625555910782,-0.4193234921946303,0.2612782224217085,-0.4492104852371135,0.09740009525516236,-0.6198558934114136,-0.17960404930165375,0.6140603249379986,-0.24191701092528106,-0.9228570866463137,-0.03940891245143341,-1.9123034586719534,0.8124492943330424,0.5107310346553255,-0.6212692428401532,-0.09200518243401312,0.22109093513049238,0.023793249939572547,-0.7192170167687397,-0.3529232339856261,0.6477519547335344,-0.7809365074371986,0.29090900346082194,-0.539755015085607,-0.4163063502595037,0.3592120647660977,0.4969427198561114,-0.12284123419828319,0.10930730638350283,0.4523408344718547,0.20170094738087307,0.2836644301731557,-0.02434128683220038,-0.5337503478723331,0.12282549541427734,-1.2782935156479525,0.6333950993728408,-0.5231869258919648,-0.08271459326511277,0.22965454060561719,0.8210340093516724,-0.1332512701324493,0.25851061955770227,0.3987010239108564,0.42700754935077256,-0.45707520940820956,0.4421312570050322,0.8957940758752656;0.1576398996033781,0.5169630004056796,-0.969246749456163,0.1411288190457256,0.15955201882199788,-0.6926369061394997,0.06326389700455515,0.00780395990993199,0.13094115055505107,0.3779689460482718,0.3068597448920585,-0.6029310083532096,-0.15841712175074818,0.3450052983513494,-0.008799691106116114,0.032439039105643275,0.09132445887880003,-0.19568802854939626,0.2876664353665479,-0.21813717177372283,0.1319833476781156,-0.10390393717992907,-0.6939278268315068,0.06670614385395623,-0.5034298366871148,0.43407939353680725,0.3253034417943148,0.20756455361428294,0.2481322276992941,-0.2202192055580916,0.14166952370879216,-0.051372877336916645,-0.20495490369689406,0.36179605622199595,0.07995253506682154,0.08888163607366195,0.27556510110873766,-0.1520297583876591,-0.09479448682670899,0.2938292537192311,0.25012279136585924,0.03723173685622427,0.5018825376840788,-0.44658987955728335,-0.00615200048133957,0.09213724168381354,0.20984284745916604,0.06394354583796336,-0.11783607906963134,0.062032410446906994,0.09279860412707919,0.017683426369973887,-0.20278528911922855,-0.06952308899588999,-0.028760153149869794,0.08549904271918507,-0.0308362715196715,-0.13678471324183405,0.25544883148400643,0.16899451942182964,-0.22195632308289426,-0.5204371570940935,-0.09537473885111858,-1.5128241964205298,0.029190019235596054,0.08169493864774147,-0.09752770118242182,0.07199043990333465,-0.3789110531045843,0.35113664171060854,-0.03367197267808386,0.3852664293318746,0.007036687052629276,-0.2250116161436484,-0.011461572401351816,-0.1680238905678415,-0.3137324772598209,0.04286510441743907,0.10151319068562792,-0.05022734910205173,-0.07343234333926141,0.0034965887174749355,0.17315761925820716,0.06772414291783946,0.011930720812726392,-0.19599312003556335,0.4379984001577135,-0.6107751499848693,0.05216537158388235,-0.20312589007022197,-0.03915335319523905,0.23362381865946524,-0.10055851692676043,0.4095364859332413,0.4235982419363218,0.07715152901874767,0.1810442503612837,-0.2464287288187741,0.3085907742479588,0.44603532291673353;1.9471768667007048,0.8427971940181109,-4.627582519787396,0.28933515765665874,1.1439102683393827,3.4643628164509295,0.10715531083625507,0.14816186340378223,0.949293987612851,0.02879507701184636,0.04320123931288933,-4.3798601663268535,0.5796335102895114,-1.2614359340044707,-0.14989203694818443,-1.8843312089314388,-1.6260350425194119,1.2324270317251376,-2.3328951275414447,3.1690845216790784,1.5933610210387386,-0.056479704269101205,3.0773393332835894,-0.31143743635984933,-2.301492436030472,-2.8101974385103077,-1.4639369867530938,-2.3475931321992682,1.0488741632867615,-1.9885978517261265,0.5387293708967533,1.0187744358844526,0.20102127421266403,-0.22637826873484812,0.8306662072248798,0.9855219823900789,1.2233885063046586,-1.6433340018323257,0.42072517492755424,0.8860405249376235,0.1629432526740615,-0.7072819435225242,1.5256320513141866,4.410950267081169,2.2360636071030626,-1.539189326457599,0.024995793698334268,0.5193383883123239,-0.21978070405380024,-2.02684336221375,1.3439988428947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k{227}=[0.23926834951265918;0.06141265996083866;0.7275754246788576];
x_a{227}=[10.590626017512582,14.924866338127982,23.63037820399608];
std_x_a{227}=[0.4796726912016174,0.3101262583346975,1.5120502390475674];
pred_a{227}=[10.590626017512582];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.6 to 22.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{228}=[12.955301946675837,12.160178898361183,33.686132793136046];
std_x_f{228}=[0.3816545608364802,1.2712248785272962,0.6548419977826744];
pred_f{228}=[12.955301946675837];
obs{228}=[12.80571658763874];
sqrt_r{228}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{228}=[1.146617251206137];
xi{228}=[-0.30781113119281756,0.14489597055379555,0.595044949816188,-0.01457827736696693,-0.18506341364283507,-1.0748538910312035,-0.045751150724592904,-0.030339422305210917,0.028617525216112938,0.35163643474564843,0.12330071494536021,0.6977827349830203,-0.2132210016514673,0.46295116832023275,0.007494295631676806,0.5267035608585875,0.45923719432932764,-0.4311760698668401,0.6790782605140624,-0.8001762693844512,-0.30709537519034846,-0.10975637518081882,-0.9983802833734767,-0.22208870711788364,0.006939923525495217,0.7080860075808655,0.2691236106332582,0.7582356833058164,-0.14728554157249718,0.3688238265692778,0.07248296878919369,-0.2804441259888595,-0.10349023742271513,0.001260363773543105,0.07446971720568385,-0.20094817364129725,-0.06301993491435809,0.15794254247331452,-0.14947136062727218,0.03358840180120026,0.08751109361240061,0.21833247769185427,0.025297483567335632,-1.0261531559982728,-0.615998369054596,0.5355768342793663,0.09880037826636823,-0.026341363874147206,0.14686674882542405,0.44098882527575434,-0.21244294744251846,0.1364729837614469,-0.7923022515443527,0.2070036223929943,-0.26659080543004876,0.24068687643111275,-0.22309575901078382,0.15134467088563142,0.41933991755446876,-0.21115539060617827,-0.05440668470364507,0.24083693141156992,-0.01648617118772222,-0.05061654664823756,-0.5135402034225116,-0.834332765907634,0.36903078947473134,0.09613119496568068,-0.5930391678246796,0.29490098121270236,0.5040405387733102,0.6407950264737483,-0.40888741174373067,0.23381512919243086,-0.29617391032346596,0.024145768397543677,-0.04721540436126581,-0.320023401872108,0.23797127058826462,-0.07012436923024268,-0.2822489068930487,-0.33652223774332235,-0.005688372183387358,-0.1920016722815383,0.5157511598596294,0.20917349041461186,0.3397297499139533,0.3301869256100112,-0.21915762315217435,0.15213671937485884,0.022811873655232517,-0.039223893802001086,-0.5863089550637959,0.48984026430095895,0.3401760300713601,-0.046542027192700175,-0.1631552442086246,0.12892681411842943,-0.056261562065145654,-0.21533110895773433;-1.248576600108601,-0.414809297946924,4.051038436427158,-0.33965477302266045,-0.910850931018576,-2.328291125090976,-0.307615106369008,-0.13280565121361398,-0.002714797360717114,0.6000347794994738,-0.18860775654293782,3.5698767775027083,-0.395011370511714,0.8528098020549226,0.02116608893949845,1.7580411652974135,1.386752471957342,-1.1103485846462888,1.6633214214992353,-2.253351927110165,-1.2629162707039026,-0.23266485359869904,-2.0639797271513043,-1.0828217592305993,0.7263200792245748,1.324433854687662,0.07332787699986731,2.2140277660556986,-0.9665697953410977,1.6883964112516487,0.07291783911460037,-0.8682697140839561,0.08792570141170408,-0.8170220856437638,0.26059721632315735,-0.8414762050687319,-0.6574285551713164,0.6805534569925076,-0.33326999635379906,-0.35848796937845506,-0.18528819333573132,0.678559593802353,-0.7535086637911999,-2.5325303345505183,-2.0846551980100134,1.7119220306092586,-0.052883559781518485,-0.16693193102545933,0.8488118435356355,1.2662885504475518,-0.8291293705290474,0.304078050337969,-2.2390748939993887,0.7832730152287848,-0.8623669009492456,0.46051228644971154,-0.7603590784721206,0.5466431661035749,0.9451312747966245,-0.9334085895191659,0.22403687964891184,1.7960216792877723,0.16977416904733644,2.6167974247313825,-1.701768545422146,-3.1353185664792793,1.3452150430265135,0.15655970926476215,-1.3496738196647122,0.3220642629113524,1.6726094067113735,1.4104742970301913,-1.3030654451720665,0.9991464037625892,-0.9890574048648979,0.1930070563743822,0.3808667285259073,-1.1852701968208663,1.0133827317502622,-0.22874512475794972,-0.8824041019636724,-1.1268885634478067,-0.33633045674008244,-0.7791905235308807,2.1891768026447203,1.0007377319372512,0.34851893516458077,2.0856278473309153,-0.6789417661732919,0.7997668508706628,0.1601386499458659,-0.5925900898520453,-1.6936412349644367,0.8510155670293145,0.48553116455617307,-0.15863524013859553,-0.845982656961219,0.8921923409966581,-0.7252656302320197,-1.4589717052816482;0.5390703955110041,0.7631145900098915,-2.9331389804538084,0.3120704360850297,0.4742714794650098,-0.168584976637824,0.21806531837547283,0.07100784662406312,0.08332612864790434,0.25690469347093625,0.4813925947279287,-2.0799617330872557,-0.07414800597248927,0.26109007116993865,0.0036381720614286905,-0.518320336175897,-0.29529476918671094,0.116669215937371,-0.0512223106340457,0.371297492895863,0.5483280170552476,-0.0107573969789172,-0.24757267672940486,0.5857455315292555,-0.722044939064304,0.3630428683535598,0.5733343989810606,-0.4172208921645506,0.6201140627999351,-0.8425391152348922,0.11118095728690491,0.22034056549070158,-0.3158333149943502,0.8305456742633481,-0.08673184767706488,0.37642030068872856,0.5121587518763207,-0.3083530352796018,-0.008679126230113354,0.4490642960484337,0.3974328189397909,-0.15710327751228448,0.8046728036349009,0.1177460262601926,0.6416784667756303,-0.4485167504282117,0.3106169823339613,0.11423274777359183,-0.5009141085301678,-0.22519255558847817,0.339019744857424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k{228}=[0.127869392381729;0.38105291160050464;-0.08304656347709334];
x_a{228}=[12.931367788934802,12.088854711047466,33.7016771662897];
std_x_a{228}=[0.349644480117166,1.2091678030494994,0.6569628749365156];
pred_a{228}=[12.931367788934802];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.7 to 22.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{229}=[9.106255085989442,3.7035766315115626,33.45563392956795];
std_x_f{229}=[0.6512032437381714,0.47622837196809126,0.930071038460069];
pred_f{229}=[9.106255085989442];
obs{229}=[8.840094493233584];
sqrt_r{229}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{229}=[1.4344495445604413];
xi{229}=[-1.0139053755785952,-0.2999867435802841,2.371236063650466,-0.23280021205976453,-0.277638887860423,-0.7014775234713273,-0.40771894902120387,-0.07946526267696896,-0.06046214053953847,0.026596159861053792,-0.4162136326854018,1.9812736049462565,-0.12803453440190893,0.15046192363516653,0.21566228374245,0.8891689582660725,0.47677686429725874,-0.6678632194678222,0.6615867624547125,-0.9406340315351365,-0.6871620427875751,-0.06447343110490777,-0.8385062497847233,-0.5206294072656323,0.9752912530079865,0.2543611774838812,-0.4258479885996156,1.0293578963162684,-0.5847666934179578,1.0072391666874037,0.009604662279006249,-0.29699009473590365,0.17839544887749348,-0.6007584220837039,0.16605486587447338,-0.5119302948012461,-0.5938224314156564,0.3780045098856899,0.09904900099357405,-0.2082851109481645,0.22116147782429785,0.28293896178403166,-0.4559568804104597,-0.6776343553745328,-0.9921922981563522,0.7071897011912558,-0.09361009099496442,-0.10222605228394244,0.5059580998695772,0.5820717433339855,-0.4274103057274683,-0.7720910261350351,-0.881340650121393,0.5956557923601125,-0.18693626634017768,0.014621524003349151,-0.345284635599695,3.4197106106326203E-4,0.30188600048716907,-0.13037892043291954,0.2860599760566416,1.0353921529807337,0.07694521415514188,1.9351962757122507,-0.519835452149934,-1.5713059100874203,0.5617202535882733,-0.015374897654167441,-0.5149021019427771,0.07303755156107883,0.7277012777550187,0.3535136378394039,-0.5565364614091841,0.5319575398308096,-0.6842949753625316,-0.36063724241785167,0.1484137837766859,-0.5909933931993869,0.5149689846483749,-0.08414340750621996,-0.12160694866864041,-0.2731002406114378,-0.2561880099111953,-0.3772343379910055,0.8666084972118089,0.5140900338529928,-0.024680488711442905,1.2719540095406323,-0.20218793730476925,0.4742836157880266,0.1859963505862936,-0.11784716779061277,-0.7791751990901865,0.2663678361326891,0.0723699818967809,-0.14494462570859312,-0.5531930188642118,0.9153336820698321,-0.5630088958136881,-0.9582316555620238;-0.5470127112557557,-0.5874071870287225,1.84586477665925,-0.21105890386733073,-0.26488107122070836,0.29937302561124524,-0.19984436391637805,-0.009311561586621053,-0.03214920565333346,-0.25897810318471004,-0.43164321291686303,1.2311597610076288,0.14751794287009945,-0.2961091785899552,0.09337216938832293,0.2821755581246035,0.13863874269108223,-0.09115141308285057,-0.11999850056479477,-0.2344098772121468,-0.40966821769075734,0.08232013653737491,0.24324342687281275,-0.39474714135131617,0.6780234866431516,-0.4456738008025134,-0.5526756055266833,0.09468517869318127,-0.47162971052555447,0.5937620440821898,-0.055258861524314806,-0.07023611605871816,0.32984415221358576,-0.664378149300449,0.10389385810719753,-0.2747290713738302,-0.44906281637804657,0.26131929844408575,0.1405879179318532,-0.310207953659833,-0.21091076026672217,0.12089097652117875,-0.6140387759679329,0.12678584166824214,-0.4768744888239369,0.22935433659159354,-0.2172674997472681,-0.04151475142022365,0.41831738498286564,0.10984803894294881,-0.21391284948997447,-0.3022972880252497,-0.20561240416493742,0.2566060057742088,-0.056141855127178175,-0.1282089911435098,-0.12880173987228893,0.1005399739945525,-0.10900643896314577,-0.17817298577785845,0.3589852843446706,0.9659781626215538,0.1945714103282139,2.3207756487298377,-0.2268013820266206,-1.0110756537084518,0.3135902061334126,-0.06511653065955025,0.12011611597703853,-0.3124620893742551,0.27326031526007766,-0.2567265756083623,-0.19560492278061314,0.3524469032861828,-0.2619626152443013,-0.004417689214022857,0.4108440039841743,-0.29511373261010876,0.35539368963872464,0.001302173414985841,-0.017998914960582812,-0.1097757017886809,-0.23554885903879308,-0.20367679849709575,0.6325641737323244,0.4092594479417957,-0.41127868640615084,0.9964544042947936,-0.02437866729198035,0.37687583657616974,0.1406119782059938,-0.29341195449458946,-0.19955060199350338,-0.3268723581459354,-0.3007621105626188,-0.01135387448639813,-0.3636980349461272,0.5217501537515772,-0.4935942014189356,-0.78673842425464;-1.4215580903395235,-0.06031168841907686,3.0027053257279164,-0.270206485196951,-0.30225175384529734,-1.616866032036718,-0.5997931239613692,-0.14326649483302845,-0.09308716175140574,0.2806446936910163,-0.40383633113857087,2.742382389137127,-0.3744796876363239,0.5185555423255224,0.31738643545911316,1.4332823515384305,0.7778070702299402,-1.1823355903637136,1.3276874616501715,-1.581625411195411,-0.9405178284867617,-0.20093195581217316,-1.8436457447518997,-0.6325473788511857,1.262246622362774,0.8558218957809132,-0.3138582439474291,1.850276117931486,-0.6849635377070342,1.4066300578166917,0.056677352816016935,-0.509584486853079,0.03639696764103917,-0.5410338534910437,0.21050298770476417,-0.7322748798232368,-0.7421163445486627,0.4822003686547873,0.05882530500775118,-0.12899005024168986,0.5835505896262987,0.4268470888473459,-0.3364059354987674,-1.4168417135025635,-1.4468871759783042,1.1327402966411597,0.010286982450701032,-0.15681230121358425,0.5896515962184239,1.003010221810655,-0.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k{229}=[0.30286847397868544;0.1812879955023929;0.4190358123561316];
x_a{229}=[8.969722377446075,3.621852242283515,33.26673313812514];
std_x_a{229}=[0.5018126405219093,0.4061426720071797,0.7307962499942866];
pred_a{229}=[8.969722377446075];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.8 to 22.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{230}=[4.630437507907444,1.7736754419734686,26.791893298097733];
std_x_f{230}=[0.23242116530597984,0.3833560456493849,0.5930135687645957];
pred_f{230}=[4.630437507907444];
obs{230}=[4.6249774708305225];
sqrt_r{230}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{230}=[1.0542359275412123];
xi{230}=[-0.1463441711966853,-0.3488007139169884,0.6347716440767037,-0.08030322097007847,-0.1206056954911423,0.469764460102958,-0.06619791800752584,0.03015091211147869,0.13371196571876887,-0.15042206316483941,-0.2844704763569972,0.3131868527028683,0.15776521647931485,-0.10218868395601355,-0.11018690834822387,0.00446993171829746,-7.652095551584637E-4,-0.1665747022844668,-0.35304877020035175,0.059028590799889535,-0.1600126031232696,0.04469743800682391,0.37938838453653023,-0.13141396178512732,0.22240753977560335,-0.351336369234879,-0.34175668201069254,-0.1568608433621188,-0.24720334900417473,0.10005145113354974,-0.4326664182772282,0.04972463935368143,0.22523862700874187,-0.35557803590027603,0.09106504306154495,-0.031860773907957274,-0.17332637282459018,0.22328793500090338,0.057798271720955974,-0.1505437524573754,-0.17791608749765242,0.18388147052069392,-0.30535156837742594,0.26159535391689115,-0.14539786924920328,-3.825003914963432E-4,-0.10584988019604324,0.012319118007010132,0.19801773084130936,-0.08411997311229591,-0.021796504058963606,-0.08889889037747967,0.10364189892680553,0.10349924714497227,0.16507204866912417,-0.0800276312674395,-0.15761402289187743,0.13064056892281428,-0.18219551415464963,-0.05908464639845068,-0.025577891817605725,0.25952094757879607,0.14558868207836095,1.0629230650931643,0.06445039950691545,-0.3625775462549061,0.00990967060890835,0.018710561767547595,0.22254568068270597,-0.3611654722404296,0.028878611522126896,-0.31367471662228574,0.23201404650054958,0.19637638297849236,0.05495181757689682,0.11226792875933178,0.2787890092840417,-0.052672519426608666,0.19372086810208256,0.009755556535068877,0.02879338150840649,0.056644705711724086,-0.15459865584420118,-0.01927014021604556,0.234861493432021,0.1716546846359206,-0.26258184565632536,0.41241260756346865,0.14382543254223723,0.17923238688721366,-0.026650388386703305,-0.15536344068518737,0.03801896712502373,-0.23751545076244707,-0.1916571970622254,0.0598205466085151,-0.09084883976328051,0.15666693052645453,-0.14806587065911359,-0.45418794666751783;0.34396076507030826,-0.3262622773407975,-0.5686629769045339,0.0067594575939546875,0.008057235200473745,0.9269178208317095,0.2305937804267415,0.074238214898106,-0.20372005686381067,-0.3561165209334527,0.03869565618903681,-0.65770330145141,0.28953700294994866,-0.6992593287907345,0.1364493355002978,-0.5950766255226678,-0.3048723569575653,0.833347109887433,-0.5291043496982184,0.6558269062082516,0.25272228434536026,0.24915930999242675,1.1368923780856564,0.051140353172176356,-0.1699361016515517,-0.7540411682880779,-0.12712212903855358,-0.9501509453445623,0.10906076619746718,-0.18542872456440151,0.4098276634922742,0.19817815315804888,0.18176613984784762,-0.12372854967904168,-0.10339713502380188,0.15302091513817406,0.10942717718723416,-0.34058001491784995,0.1407188123933969,-0.1376958572548852,-0.4402799306785925,-0.48616272235831093,-0.2440508031096953,0.8351451162898054,0.4578666069759476,-0.43119898688925296,-0.16704398820519706,0.05797430070072607,-0.04737105211738957,-0.37772747651549254,0.1601051753682794,0.4814430432197485,0.5847372585598067,-0.43664151976696486,-0.14845421696805028,-0.13972749401293427,0.4125439965575628,0.05836603126626572,-0.3156907904930921,-0.0976721236303586,0.4867027568403157,0.389217665512976,0.14578774738079514,0.5915968984235553,0.13169199171940305,0.27591551379921175,-0.024021492840625047,-0.12085479978348923,0.6610134563127306,-0.19920703105419335,-0.4331995646675417,-0.4973671867546312,-0.07199728500882197,-0.2709756349523691,0.27708476588148145,0.34616406596621174,0.3205651739817992,0.24053708349101632,-0.21625665068347089,0.14246432716392055,0.1079718945194641,0.07630096144445342,0.08521368221720804,0.10641372784340541,-0.15469592334239546,-0.014897900900396888,-0.42540258400514763,-0.30967495646266485,0.01180412103925832,-0.07128487649450599,0.15443762344351564,-0.20837858595452263,0.5635146157094126,-0.6890448646862275,-0.43794910314659097,0.10594378959586193,0.0990763714519638,-0.3409672203902534,-0.09379336861301679,0.1409515542696702;-0.7327441511180623,-0.2910546434214396,1.9405231974694104,-0.17059002166115533,-0.2576156561877241,-0.18773410672299207,-0.42702505521631196,-0.017166155299932484,0.5328321003973535,0.15594303067969406,-0.6278384436062332,1.427000085146183,-0.026346678583589522,0.6663962615261276,-0.39669022991540004,0.7544659239898053,0.3914429114608211,-1.4663836773674532,-0.03772286516399603,-0.7244323950269376,-0.6639792891289247,-0.22813918548407486,-0.6680723661542771,-0.3325270617064895,0.6650369976452524,0.2529413450809095,-0.5377745518243628,0.866618152043678,-0.6405626406715079,0.45056386641562796,-1.500295901909805,-0.12650559656151117,0.22898860006484867,-0.5777451101710191,0.3204963431023593,-0.24459920049596562,-0.5115589500948801,0.8691928810326246,-0.060115347444508416,-0.11445329238583923,0.1967035684198315,0.9714317957010259,-0.30779257433355767,-0.5151114043144815,-0.8971550745748829,0.5370260334685213,0.013325593996061258,-0.03116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k{230}=[0.05144572113730405;0.02000867381734784;0.08028387039606417];
x_a{230}=[4.6357495142621,1.7757414291948797,26.80018297545656];
std_x_a{230}=[0.2151722223226269,0.3828598580400666,0.5731714163213366];
pred_a{230}=[4.6357495142621];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.9 to 23.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{231}=[3.2064965377909243,3.0016376625072927,21.262593803654468];
std_x_f{231}=[0.3102868937784258,0.5299898371029212,0.3479672675130951];
pred_f{231}=[3.2064965377909243];
obs{231}=[3.2952011092035742];
sqrt_r{231}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{231}=[1.096907673172111];
xi{231}=[0.2496837107687604,-0.2707158929753106,-0.3460910265858739,-0.008682859275787269,-0.02441373457586682,0.788753584454859,0.16752859034380485,0.04438778385552622,-0.14951427197135736,-0.30652725435536254,-0.018920116228578365,-0.46162145942957755,0.2371468798548575,-0.5745936268207852,0.11852851809790588,-0.4637498514296401,-0.2351126376391086,0.6548490086074881,-0.452309662567973,0.538305341958977,0.12552588461090952,0.20311440266164116,0.9284110065906779,-0.051113367275037014,-0.10101149365039808,-0.6654260581672764,-0.08008358153720829,-0.760731544340588,0.035946682917739725,-0.13402319744585167,0.3192711546258171,0.1550877149536638,0.14483389164842686,-0.1577124573848656,-0.07571283257053807,0.08346949691245831,0.09040565070941042,-0.22241252710977877,0.1155224222281781,-0.1337036018798825,-0.3711560519379029,-0.3681607063888599,-0.23647358259060836,0.6907449082295138,0.3357637069541557,-0.3429953079086303,-0.14124441922502262,0.05713713858780034,-0.01465117063762511,-0.31521140640738343,0.11675834737733348,0.3616912423399392,0.4969974753014408,-0.3418020949599123,-0.09628890375562449,-0.13229897850737693,0.2868823306026984,0.05737417783844423,-0.2808486829923935,-0.08374552413359737,0.38012279884585,0.33024062147541766,0.14799782662179295,0.5679643951969036,0.08139256735619016,0.23798372671662804,-0.0559628105911969,-0.03873852688629231,0.5629249547338726,-0.24528456267858978,-0.3255207051290969,-0.4196421126834209,-0.007687611994252386,-0.19904484542283507,0.22748646458376287,0.2894531013269783,0.29173583795840496,0.12905723283106463,-0.1723198805073447,0.1209334644064195,0.06651237134150545,0.07920374023053123,0.04105307658571622,0.07019244224983634,-0.09271562572179892,0.015010992487764607,-0.35847121093475875,-0.18331766075845923,0.02089539959084208,-0.027421786285724448,0.11487573796691164,-0.18406532876847415,0.5357929434957338,-0.5029602127458381,-0.3791912335555563,0.09060634256207045,0.0763171594917198,-0.23809438159507756,-0.06884801480579439,0.036472144637752724;0.5578040126335706,-0.3062525585489948,-1.0988042833201268,0.047299935574658836,0.05685275172419724,1.074353813584565,0.3594938809430328,0.08701015703792159,-0.3452199354680179,-0.4425861458800413,0.1795908073704635,-1.0613115067819632,0.3313488748058493,-0.9350563883974292,0.24867724251480983,-0.833528949650411,-0.4306840840779995,1.3112413403808003,-0.5944267163819119,0.9212108704252957,0.43107459380228175,0.3366089302819435,1.451124062251274,0.11362263689496421,-0.3387769732749786,-0.9250100256732048,-0.005303650946057559,-1.2575293483986867,0.25978631532255925,-0.3145060413722187,0.8270907030263341,0.2574234746710795,0.1463730133798986,-0.019226519047429225,-0.1940703648384483,0.2242205079123294,0.24854016489717345,-0.5805917459245973,0.17348018459304004,-0.13164370720883145,-0.543358776565833,-0.7670058934309232,-0.21196970471627274,1.0690545327112582,0.7339215062705753,-0.6061189436539429,-0.1949998155083814,0.07812125191736508,-0.16265781574063087,-0.4930182769645248,0.23479068171362005,0.7324887300951288,0.7971578893191835,-0.6632189339466952,-0.2927052203257823,-0.16443280020631557,0.6725510129584045,0.02612294014313221,-0.37204091555879915,-0.11580566094552847,0.7167752108905909,0.4218348492651076,0.13659484110918285,0.21694182305313792,0.14967126455548652,0.5827863920363714,-0.04537227051331838,-0.1735020365601474,0.8334301997651217,-0.1370612742765549,-0.6214621555420727,-0.5662830133231007,-0.21512563027614373,-0.4702482307866749,0.3754753059141489,0.4406185015585953,0.3259027676887811,0.35772571759189375,-0.3973789594284298,0.19702035217996938,0.12944277869481668,0.08617530769161252,0.19436809619512463,0.14986976868405577,-0.34277273487606097,-0.1031754963768412,-0.4792666241369101,-0.6318675304009949,-0.05430640191257208,-0.18463383901460872,0.2352531861404037,-0.22350750765962202,0.8061139870913894,-0.8491324513500622,-0.5434416324964872,0.11784702255343049,0.17511095021366696,-0.5466343678168344,-0.061081363522304866,0.41072008099507684;-0.3878791321704682,-0.25892749613554855,1.175634165729786,-0.13542326942071625,-0.2236211924907643,0.3180348006344893,-0.2309185121589863,-0.03804134072930054,0.2578950217456999,-0.04738090305322373,-0.4675615065953842,0.7551241706839846,0.07880265152950727,0.1563849627803897,-0.1636389603655246,0.2940644670282708,0.15809772942592204,-0.6404926679138789,-0.20916331794058252,-0.19898024733441133,-0.5134710617450757,-0.06496544450397224,0.0038041356033886586,-0.4287564926466061,0.3971468053705358,-0.1750369842647146,-0.25218021869476814,0.2616010415724581,-0.45066459901349987,0.23563148112689802,-0.7779634841196383,-0.041271083064962966,0.15070287013720574,-0.48833625675389314,0.1651562947112346,-0.21365521262637444,-0.2598172286055629,0.4983262591559914,-5.093289342177343E-4,-0.1514518935900142,-0.05279607004669984,0.44811602781525295,-0.33886969701224245,0.012556218493049442,-0.472766913103591,0.18507757284372772,-0.053436507725955096,0.025892744397769007,0.3349374779933427,0.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k{231}=[0.08834624421202837;0.14428325546112278;-0.01933871919894693];
x_a{231}=[3.212697980132274,3.0117655892521693,21.261236327135375];
std_x_a{231}=[0.3154753635113785,0.5391006603587137,0.34860298507674575];
pred_a{231}=[3.212697980132274];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.0 to 23.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{232}=[3.9572034636563176,5.616223060144087,17.606638710237956];
std_x_f{232}=[0.5514458999536871,0.8376783072290721,0.3550683979209243];
pred_f{232}=[3.9572034636563176];
obs{232}=[4.1100403670677865];
sqrt_r{232}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{232}=[1.3070815061810763];
xi{232}=[0.5439702518788208,-0.7171732776076256,-1.090924514930974,0.10016900315478328,0.1168280370923851,1.1887077349121524,0.4281616942900568,0.14168218537979893,-0.29146742532406167,-0.8696228310113243,0.19251599827985455,-0.9534923723381574,0.27104636601436827,-0.882809065528408,0.30819344903827517,-0.540431259643396,-0.4336914871272026,1.26508758989816,-0.6885879558345294,1.5439299572518186,0.3820939933703018,0.3380126413786977,1.3324337702765314,0.06426822256038278,-0.3337476729926192,-1.0254830328826046,-0.033064698832668604,-1.2276365701568213,0.30301429967941473,-0.288436423944741,1.0072246942946546,0.7448737625351294,0.1327574849523483,-0.03757530747661164,-0.13766077323750459,0.2515599236643613,0.23230932725950826,-0.6829715869349924,0.21162849674626383,-0.13987850467148322,-0.4796875903988176,-0.7716067932022588,-0.32036233856269947,1.0058515417581093,0.6907621022086667,-0.7925318744459346,-0.22331045410621497,0.27036718939314763,-0.12751163362059703,-0.377157015549729,0.19503453819801386,0.6934050533433629,0.7454400192644925,-0.41350058972151693,-0.510544156189467,0.06669679312496157,0.6344225140886657,-0.03101573525785284,-0.2699509810928369,-0.2653320397403145,0.38469203557924203,0.3855490210962573,-0.0688102723863726,0.22267788925675802,0.1474374478568672,0.6666874408255872,-0.14944683809627124,-0.22338279070398448,0.6896996489267648,-0.1088953738300722,-0.7678932973139472,-0.5424548728911365,-0.24739978205430102,-0.46210916806033264,0.3583585521862451,0.49636350905488413,0.31900665057413313,0.2658887036152855,-0.36091496682792545,0.19470285520381214,0.05694414340082954,0.11221790095981898,0.12353053235574585,0.36500892385163475,-0.35162813822882244,-0.08697567063260347,-0.5112633415792796,-0.45715615505114204,-0.03704476395557599,-0.21799678574136871,0.04208439088936311,-0.19500910029430596,0.8002524318532327,-0.874868389041831,-0.7847685669565405,0.13248278611879183,0.188621426687809,-0.4206780159590515,0.019695128984630106,0.45151219740375925;0.8806849221996478,-0.9928860545264708,-1.8546060291625301,0.18287049869277983,0.23563481748862802,1.5979216791461264,0.6777952511864074,0.21703691642379752,-0.4757890998530989,-1.2727143716136133,0.4018441273885651,-1.5525817924390433,0.3752592094649918,-1.3220047691096273,0.49311307247179403,-0.8417948774614592,-0.6618753729436841,1.980719547979965,-0.9580676538489197,2.255195061779972,0.6825337923868009,0.5069148624582054,1.8854577627819111,0.1990718731228105,-0.5708564365896382,-1.4667768269624109,0.02053432287077772,-1.8593494108023227,0.5600073668889154,-0.4666125010456543,1.657355350414047,1.1018365324051471,0.15589070484613732,0.06505296030651841,-0.23429391918394238,0.4181394673171397,0.4030549758344799,-1.1121283272862703,0.3040836727002656,-0.160694675142115,-0.6812072446540354,-1.2283932377106508,-0.3824427867943623,1.4316134527119582,1.11880044807942,-1.1979596089159656,-0.31504633925815284,0.3955770466048243,-0.2571457582364749,-0.5496842212265802,0.31661005809058107,1.0914663085776288,1.0845864635027924,-0.6623270506468879,-0.8199729979005621,0.13281929142934157,1.0474861894106526,-0.07894951887497736,-0.3558470133862306,-0.3763660916837397,0.6217214018741819,0.5084277435516178,-0.14859350287284379,-0.024754803047520646,0.23754480978932957,1.0941439998893134,-0.1895496644665009,-0.3802131783657936,0.9688473322760514,-0.025321592747522104,-1.1889634479837907,-0.7495906389177103,-0.45257984206524604,-0.7520184953241627,0.5380768004084571,0.7104763491858979,0.39456129624192826,0.4724940129603308,-0.5846564802378387,0.29291357637565074,0.09915404081144175,0.14969657626289212,0.2582117966984514,0.5620047266114003,-0.6106184329010294,-0.18473777831916305,-0.7070971639319872,-0.826803308741181,-0.09721344268934562,-0.38659870286916487,0.08903978776068566,-0.24841620005013176,1.1340561189382887,-1.3145972731184417,-1.1405307066781,0.18049665179964425,0.30569119441587755,-0.701543628708718,0.06603503740183125,0.8622110110790651;0.06903060878415701,-0.6231086775432821,0.23986058772084462,-0.0677006708995549,-0.12265320704906912,1.123871801913701,0.09627968066473613,0.03383434242961414,-0.022188217733219773,-0.5343854391936382,-0.247852398118944,-0.021737272953760822,0.22797737867800194,-0.43883507951772316,0.05886357720397939,-0.16801549918544367,-0.18192140248802247,0.4796133970885741,-0.6007334894328054,1.0032782851765774,-0.1449220269977154,0.161749349780969,1.0444040402104626,-0.308594996730875,0.05876333060873051,-0.7481583813417743,-0.2379090653237057,-0.5227167501879286,-0.1702072297917887,-0.04220405132592475,0.1173410086888218,0.44271624889392314,0.18868602557027003,-0.42359074891075466,0.004152445749085132,-0.018429272034001798,-0.06283362048254659,-0.056862313367116,0.11686688894932118,-0.2346652539598253,-0.37596550409058693,-0.15606423941636294,-0.481205163660789,0.7597691458160654,0.1230758287235112,-0.34548309357902696,-0.21156902065554561,0.16576221041536954,0.14239282298963474,-0.24695842591105333,0.02297535663348782,0.191013044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k{232}=[0.23493676922893814;0.3555490067098949;0.10893484818414138];
x_a{232}=[3.999214662312432,5.679802039296203,17.62611834964331];
std_x_a{232}=[0.49795554583954865,0.7497246928249243,0.35252675274536227];
pred_a{232}=[3.999214662312432];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.1 to 23.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{233}=[6.708129221123108,10.51532810942084,17.322726481333603];
std_x_f{233}=[0.7713565724432782,1.021470491929209,1.0888806016784536];
pred_f{233}=[6.708129221123108];
obs{233}=[6.91205523914917];
sqrt_r{233}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{233}=[1.5999681436634052];
xi{233}=[0.7019551263324075,-0.8090093872651849,-1.5629670407641685,0.29790934630962784,0.24709253421190436,1.2264196406770882,0.55658756299038,0.1786536194891406,-0.2902115817733488,-0.9476811859570766,0.07171204285061528,-1.407253195491612,-0.2414013223378655,-0.769195803276709,2.057194929890554,-0.6936950491120095,-1.1110285691204442,1.4678105617733346,-1.042189313395954,1.652366054243239,0.5315078272223879,0.4344566453342935,1.7051936992017973,-1.378540031403496,-0.041381681259767156,-1.8976228449739434,0.07406292263120307,-1.5343236149024815,0.44729248733245264,0.5260192392591279,1.6840625915754108,0.730363055662421,0.7324109837427679,-0.19961510186321973,-0.1372956506771832,0.5011698368284279,0.3279996703422965,-0.5034257192237934,-0.174644391291781,-0.14890869707845855,-0.48628699602307,-0.8421014255323662,-0.45102341596852025,-0.059614668303328955,1.1413449118130865,-1.0204348429693937,0.422042334120003,0.34927034781432464,-0.2542791566011626,-0.37887470168793325,0.4153687313909771,-0.7393692795396154,1.3491160413312917,-0.8321494725386254,-0.5320488305480984,0.10619261150617731,0.17683753167674965,-0.3168395107458961,-0.13428901042803076,0.08442130238670487,0.5136732301314639,0.36238819162284663,-0.1050388317507549,0.27027765484644917,0.7166949836668861,0.856741682167514,0.5313518285871162,-0.4489902647334505,0.7550347206265249,-0.5149816146197015,-0.6831176282926599,0.09169349626625412,-0.06129235612661432,-0.5836638105526895,0.37222340198413395,0.4398032298391543,0.18685798074193904,0.44519687598992697,-0.6377766240141245,-0.0657455703749612,0.5129463610373355,0.3741504647406888,0.06740486481218078,0.5200175874312993,-0.5398456634918274,0.07302593782687516,-0.6570703215915552,-0.5587558150247123,-0.6849473695322716,-0.7270653696974847,1.1871571466057285,-0.9424914622678013,1.0312649233260238,-1.3158956467054752,-0.9586259104890864,0.1473294174781099,0.15721858202522743,-0.23335595677682708,0.09996207107644839,0.747112885326116;1.000098104069309,-0.9955401302686866,-2.3577158818678434,0.46595923355914337,0.4193207661638034,1.3438442514294628,0.7943461683656476,0.28115604999729626,-0.396324955696711,-1.2362419656578965,0.2383749714632586,-2.0389381283980033,-0.3186763996545441,-1.0146142938232003,2.5254275689030745,-0.940659314272466,-1.5190890376554798,1.9013407306969405,-1.3361593806937364,1.9363983916347287,0.8398504812951462,0.597683516700112,1.934896799878839,-1.8156246585421556,-0.08753552799264774,-2.6115086802925287,0.19646373570817843,-2.1372924076839563,0.7233135790889538,0.6838969657173095,2.239726298177226,0.9358581049798786,0.9347634827485773,-0.10937211728274043,-0.16512970022487394,0.7281487134364877,0.5219254764731822,-0.7264530548269956,-0.20654674302826415,-0.11060285547605808,-0.5816860629414702,-1.1813997861603447,-0.4834345211360773,-0.1334331364929806,1.5502512621382039,-1.3816506338562267,0.6163661063862307,0.47685723729553686,-0.3674231201182785,-0.4542623878910419,0.6022397729579385,-0.9451286007511666,1.6678092350790124,-1.1353909355255318,-0.738091614960549,0.19884421066977787,0.3476443376867735,-0.4197278095323931,-0.08676194776570689,0.17486165235023243,0.7430499258413334,0.4315373984612769,-0.1443454153845618,0.027129458834055598,0.9767146027641953,1.2092998318335226,0.7649905893199325,-0.6132573261323842,0.9164532057672741,-0.5335600964843419,-0.9272673082463481,0.23543217210640144,-0.11576676970670086,-0.8076216100268834,0.5169911783106169,0.569828357918782,0.19553181323251856,0.6909053959878122,-0.8714754488825651,-0.05390723081793247,0.7184133769189494,0.5090501345148031,0.19300920954263923,0.7196000191658385,-0.7616064331586117,0.08246772241342448,-0.80286040858328,-0.8552732637469305,-0.932037130979813,-1.003914646381757,1.5591560479610749,-1.2244887046281754,1.2524047700145235,-1.806209760709054,-1.2440401402597665,0.21160332910712043,0.27150700433862696,-0.33443550297406865,0.20311143994379677,1.1886287982251158;0.7840361538600504,-1.3498329093611563,-1.3472553380596253,0.2562839574531992,0.13402875686007576,2.2832910568433356,0.6496096719097508,0.1639877103528562,-0.346756722691719,-1.3870668769203274,-0.2519829007300487,-1.4491224316212605,-0.2967703549246572,-1.0862375244242557,3.11739296322364,-0.89024321048581,-1.4450329150709695,2.0677825138804486,-1.6206661868638772,2.7307337347437546,0.4202339183520749,0.5615336850215762,2.9572340491290277,-2.053499437437093,0.08365134841995214,-2.548672620647025,-0.16296874622802804,-1.9067413025186628,0.29960386825281304,0.7726496853387594,2.217874354839907,1.0774032079576052,1.118000082895481,-0.6827834782581732,-0.1840158372548295,0.5367426387711056,0.24709208147207917,-0.5094106054430902,-0.2740807032019177,-0.4058583399816378,-0.8351691415426004,-0.9698894763759469,-0.9495922656623073,0.11932396897737618,1.464872733708141,-1.3374666510544486,0.4442876505026163,0.4655176045719003,-0.2273295625108105,-0.6267322683936563,0.46368952762244575,-1.1318350712746366,2.101643810845591,-1.0228426697170683,-0.6344505071633826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k{233}=[0.37498755587075255;0.49464412677272346;0.5161503579881987];
x_a{233}=[6.779002828424774,10.608817114712126,17.42028021933893];
std_x_a{233}=[0.6448017230865769,0.8591979462423142,0.9070791292488387];
pred_a{233}=[6.779002828424774];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.2 to 23.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{234}=[11.3454977802158,15.917118154283267,24.479442715502305];
std_x_f{234}=[0.6024497607754473,0.29341100223938726,1.9068675253462786];
pred_f{234}=[11.3454977802158];
obs{234}=[11.547080491188243];
sqrt_r{234}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{234}=[1.3659796638976234];
xi{234}=[0.5480520178630233,-0.44383412176093096,-1.2649126807154332,0.10001089660577023,0.20756708984661643,0.2427328275214311,0.7680680803341726,0.30278544054854706,-0.34760662833631173,-0.2708484742914923,-0.47734906183723247,-0.7284773959520869,-0.014144486182715355,-1.082039997368824,0.8389076850467632,-0.01250657917914566,-0.9059287979072295,0.8670392774570317,-0.5147024659655717,0.6012517580085106,0.44082711706093747,0.31585462909134776,0.5590886661717356,0.029400100310722266,-0.01121920532278331,-0.8469430109710849,-0.03230885469925404,-1.005314248502243,0.4296508226476803,0.2988345901460754,0.9087279044858843,0.18337145897990403,0.49125634625301906,0.46494378025582783,-0.13933242455179062,0.6028186765085746,0.2808464455948716,-0.38076822582229575,-2.253264013271181,0.1189972645504298,-0.34486017474836395,-0.773858603606536,-0.07681114704680603,-0.10308237705839218,0.5833759689474274,-0.6693390978276632,0.4055472158757727,0.1890034026956986,-0.4046654186707883,-0.003133820449590985,0.5798551797701013,-0.415008321215387,0.593410024622818,-0.6101140231210636,-0.3042681754317744,0.29308698460068605,0.2713620710533675,0.5851026382369824,0.020265691228031457,0.16691950726049853,0.37121338229986733,0.10689659178315658,0.2736591024849755,-0.18550264099128988,0.4861050745617934,0.6986524050523837,0.9150978004865102,0.4256696689595678,0.0443073592756793,0.6362989469180977,-0.17939640612349983,0.3979740980265305,0.009837693449910034,-0.18945155268534464,-0.5433439996073304,0.3238937321504256,0.23944138984970031,1.140528125093308,0.3950055504830807,0.06541019530715886,-0.459847115412483,-1.4770055499298476,0.1597995382030284,0.21365435392197618,-0.4048548574013964,-0.13360895992394362,-0.15492799003990498,-0.2656934446005508,-0.2816575482528503,-1.01319080289983,0.8393960116911572,-0.42921549020456595,0.42069937092050047,-2.002298227080839,-0.49822848787185414,0.065543160433009,-0.05778674966860464,-0.07664756543512397,0.18726884455470127,1.083985264456258;0.18711347549002433,0.23486812410068403,-0.8626963758649762,0.2543250287896246,0.2956235267714522,-0.5526505710847598,0.025174228340544502,0.16324751196194676,0.032510421078297824,0.14390645576871286,0.32532210919976556,-0.41850867607323217,0.08044030790223111,-0.18311425531662984,-0.5929695391301788,0.045423803718614764,-0.18744363346919002,-0.26594424038797193,0.16041649130817426,-0.6071500279586566,0.3696202591393227,0.11370122029930307,-0.7660111577279896,0.21071151224938056,-0.012054862024278634,-0.18123728430859742,0.33991779264517596,-0.3276145852542509,0.3738387592095389,0.02878803778189365,-0.11750960101992725,0.024213761350814877,-0.09975418294824756,0.4421529525730552,0.10887119339616369,0.14375021123858112,0.2838368101713922,-0.09687484426412851,-1.0474989136525714,0.2902870032731446,0.20739647598011324,-0.1991750611377494,0.3827464772966227,-0.0644545249615529,0.09218569697239509,-0.08236088560181898,0.1850407827337346,0.11082081114295228,-0.032607165823920425,0.20381144641582516,0.10506526364211588,0.14755092712724327,-0.3172545847740569,-0.09136930222879158,-5.027473047398701E-4,0.2146571369014847,0.3402890327223478,-0.041162903151894525,0.3060731541011652,0.23152044741738642,0.20033831276957947,-0.04233990665599663,0.03123873386741316,-0.6862681305372487,0.08034874233657874,0.1288952561845047,-0.043484064120946186,-0.039103464314266034,-0.07926749903319141,0.40198340555684986,0.04010012572770272,0.3252750667432931,-0.027730696281997425,-0.010663536162748954,0.05681214100149212,0.014501968943987364,-0.07102589867159104,-0.1171598821180524,-0.0377173383955558,0.15951562424826626,0.11048770452586787,-0.43233160130113113,0.33031800262785005,0.14559703431615922,-0.08283113788439778,0.048481507379769084,0.25710106837481383,-0.21444101385869274,0.014322334299519568,-0.2681679502318257,-0.1732346890211609,0.1157232514382418,-0.23721174270529666,-0.9279180299422656,0.11010056761758058,0.12448579266865245,0.23703900069444295,0.016331961043832166,0.2386314457644989,0.24596880836355517;1.5451263850893113,-1.8663284000210396,-2.9119145195100202,0.00918270457509962,0.32433928115726474,1.6856700432396785,2.479007622836228,0.8099386672982369,-1.1632501309244638,-1.1123045527726418,-2.1114874644885795,-1.7540488339966842,-0.07017615499139751,-3.4620524984000838,3.5278578276728148,-0.043431326205464416,-2.809645059863179,3.1748433762638797,-1.9929118663115446,2.8429639280255365,0.940467899380721,0.924347821480243,2.9376353181282937,-0.18945513749051202,0.049970674541736315,-2.6140707153773484,-0.5751848065680463,-2.9272185337678636,0.8655688257138507,1.006173163121261,3.081529360411551,0.636665528474655,1.8062627171186065,0.9033069095700057,-0.5712565767076896,1.8019930890238243,0.5448550736454401,-1.0889843004584812,-6.556616551466508,0.004954365590133847,-1.447516657455214,-2.2873376430890566,-0.8173656024311242,-0.1672949887865478,1.8037389284854441,-2.1423394700628577,1.1037222563846036,0.5217289950407853,-1.235164290926697,-0.2667656477362712,1.7805912811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k{234}=[0.2679246796788715;0.05210535067035331;0.831398363812502];
x_a{234}=[11.392774934283157,15.926312502091497,24.626148679971227];
std_x_a{234}=[0.5064789845318844,0.27651266154191323,1.6614657167260674];
pred_a{234}=[11.392774934283157];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.3 to 23.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{235}=[13.176019364769134,11.052980764924383,35.26876096942413];
std_x_f{235}=[0.4560159019713466,1.4313803609741496,0.5151286821893752];
pred_f{235}=[13.176019364769134];
obs{235}=[13.178305607402397];
sqrt_r{235}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{235}=[1.20944611364401];
xi{235}=[-0.3847927605005754,1.2890639124025398,0.11132057052172328,0.19795367277967202,0.09528172169361504,-0.784150551075907,-0.4548108556887467,0.5432911693486435,0.22128011095953326,0.30695649107061485,0.6216420657756654,-0.19690122949562294,-0.12709379844197777,0.5962300989868599,-1.035432941538911,0.03368418233437431,0.427160096639124,-0.6691367556959165,0.46101889172570765,-1.378041799969937,-0.057879619230314816,0.023694658274337144,-0.9883977823349337,0.8906348175619296,-0.3799015967183923,0.5538651130637291,0.3203142373955039,0.45510967937286395,0.059164236684745575,-0.15444103008990595,-0.5093157117875702,-0.17797160061176243,-0.4006460301194483,0.04855423330507058,0.06827465353143758,-0.24830437086441215,-0.06221938762856816,0.5488154009301578,0.8121893393481745,0.16260088869932154,0.4338257089741102,0.29493021472677583,0.4553392706152213,0.23012635500066558,-0.1407994762024103,0.41410783114658933,-0.026911119424337215,-0.09289840259540227,0.230750961396053,0.005618846060217564,-0.07499759181976451,0.4285258605246032,-0.6743622180691826,0.12875642773470553,0.0376202179108045,-0.017733238106641735,0.15676347627762155,-0.4195326678129305,0.29592523841664153,0.056549065720204794,-0.12652715962240357,0.09284966328282529,-0.07600800566133081,-0.6243765934152172,-0.10129157710283465,-0.6683845999552069,-0.6477503976549279,-0.32424015628335745,-0.26011341344922734,-0.08973444742028924,0.13160141674976167,0.10416150564243054,-0.07912163410102657,0.17155973513790457,0.36192326005049935,-0.18155596166693222,-0.2829867992670536,-0.7618519866838067,0.07690588153691102,0.11753840808528437,0.5523980863170408,0.7372899706158318,-0.21468128582268342,-0.1510660379326101,0.2133841743057303,0.1163274795007716,0.5605642328005267,-0.5570975263742906,-0.22361422188680713,0.25298299339393715,-0.7971676048484984,0.24173591904368585,-1.1276496231140918,0.6521598537804518,0.6006776333158097,-0.2069211468635359,0.24877389997280552,0.04869541782913345,0.11178515261014077,-0.4514416859320196;-1.5564340711613713,4.213947305185213,1.7847548799016604,0.22614424784402232,-0.16318631760449165,-1.630535986640524,-1.4432929409338797,1.7817722134776925,0.5892261576567854,0.6926986531518153,1.3581454618235131,-0.13614210802035132,-0.5993745736443099,2.110490331001307,-2.2925863286517973,0.02834679408896079,1.560165478083725,-1.6214089857906462,1.0968721659441112,-3.4584676484755734,-0.8088451798271947,-0.035974143238028944,-1.8500777760544231,2.9184404943826916,-1.3161814469469633,2.0773260386122434,0.4305229065337812,1.963857113903222,-0.4228225746686771,-0.5042253867650324,-1.3334720469015942,-0.6230171305628573,-1.068910340493522,-0.5716198430892749,-0.033013358647529856,-0.9951524216170036,-0.6967897517309698,2.105090413851329,4.330792470420079,0.020844663844661326,0.9834045225550891,1.1766678434670208,0.8057397258504029,0.952781110040581,-0.5082276739954157,1.4004447433538054,-0.34284206632951,-0.49433453336163424,0.7529904094823543,-0.40311679065496087,-0.3074190840331088,1.0649222558496287,-1.5958001505123551,0.403554560690333,0.02466235860379129,-0.3959071536083201,-0.039911238605254695,-1.229906022819856,0.44851272202638626,-0.18754269140799806,-0.7251110114703607,0.4707722883245431,-0.2472077268285542,-0.9017883946617413,-0.3591326555516279,-2.375639073023777,-1.940344932304967,-0.922320815092796,-0.7457667670510411,-0.9340680156731178,0.32484110677147093,-0.15077552602027922,-0.20325896772784446,0.5772757230779,0.9615444294296704,-0.5735821205510501,-0.780284296227908,-2.1650380085292937,0.48905213023492244,0.11894195936151064,1.6004370442091833,3.012406957374706,-1.361180896999464,-0.753163927180978,0.791426469383353,0.27675646997463765,1.4372303123396524,-1.6272230556497096,-0.9347293284556084,1.0320998361323266,-2.239367553996905,0.4578218894477022,-3.3214224019137495,3.5516045117409725,1.769942922541432,-0.9599475555939687,0.3877603934911793,0.12595068923932473,-0.017609936322518394,-1.7834824410786307;0.567968404404958,-0.9916177591340656,-1.4754693663577925,0.242499782202934,0.3893428929387568,-0.23764449131449084,0.29833781028246165,-0.4263427989766839,-0.03966201759121191,0.05867944892626298,0.16464526065512786,-0.3099447778349429,0.27692603882479006,-0.6382041442259734,-0.1855283656232345,0.0636651340576222,-0.5034059887376401,-0.016422760517436075,0.0281676811509044,0.18161037277678815,0.6181706819925523,0.09465372196513044,-0.4812756692183271,-0.6800340756489902,0.38488716331841033,-0.6997629179087497,0.3335413063135846,-0.828911250701772,0.5210312162786721,0.1294703255167704,0.07219266472139907,0.1889047847020251,0.09136359464198307,0.6446952293450252,0.19461940895848073,0.3516999503297171,0.5126602749792397,-0.7296236865507737,-2.4395102536042614,0.3524419462050332,0.07845579788899215,-0.43588709339234555,0.2960967298795367,-0.36323935233171056,0.14619339815164523,-0.3761149950522906,0.25684606257721754,0.25770815282108117,-0.17803968486163768,0.39414266477285054,0.11412870355028559,-0.015579358981035796,-0.0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k{235}=[0.17317523392006093;0.5150379388934498;-0.09215759078383023];
x_a{235}=[13.159083283553572,11.002611412651888,35.277773738783914];
std_x_a{235}=[0.43879090541047605,1.4061944687170578,0.5219336104485811];
pred_a{235}=[13.159083283553572];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.4 to 23.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{236}=[8.233096311419803,2.3361298488123916,33.03280907632401];
std_x_f{236}=[0.6988898247899035,0.39831523414127706,1.0124513913538913];
pred_f{236}=[8.233096311419803];
obs{236}=[8.073942186431788];
sqrt_r{236}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{236}=[1.4933543114402843];
xi{236}=[-0.6970115496150759,1.6627696363777353,1.1572336697082157,-0.12308162183676608,-0.4044971896774001,-0.45927385975639723,-0.5507575644212448,0.6945260343918545,0.35029460387421274,0.3256493258645623,0.41113479801169994,0.11793574976617727,-0.18312865470032236,0.9172234184665804,-0.7218229288545199,0.052255332993764725,0.7869696718718711,-0.532060773745406,0.45384663797518066,-1.7246977171360296,-0.560023341127466,-0.017746478103155994,-0.4235717253996203,1.3451425706676172,-1.022806104458577,1.4247021437540628,-0.19644626321214176,0.9584409659011008,-0.3316440812511683,-0.1467478719335027,-0.4693463405422218,-0.41156346777238095,-0.5791398169708017,-0.41341993799089316,-0.05188215492600712,-0.7531715343543386,0.043116738370867935,1.3843081222094256,2.3502693458453354,-0.11243571367097971,0.07075072593207743,0.5507028022251639,-0.9661795787882816,0.2695335800076002,-0.1937650430806528,1.194251164547092,-0.0712398743286684,-0.30144902209597113,0.2241225293258129,-0.18680950570524502,-0.0420949284097496,0.9922465113098049,-0.22329828196516743,0.3147683029117285,-0.015018801589285147,-0.3245835585616641,-0.09636742037194246,-0.6088903721960248,0.023871751710556666,-0.5876626802417437,-0.390937297646861,-0.3293574102417205,-0.01757725426469392,-0.07011104882375996,-0.2908607830189798,-1.002461482822513,-0.7655512087634024,-0.28085516936448407,-0.24826775667233303,-0.4861716539377392,0.23475649877360283,-0.2840216179614705,0.08045691274192279,0.007733694919167533,0.2376680936498481,0.04184596485692538,-0.450602961771164,-0.7280606615711109,0.5502259447970417,-0.016621205779523862,1.0036473418487866,1.2063388078862989,-0.7021929511049185,-0.3067474366342058,0.4826968610008766,0.37902430635238993,0.6791656172386435,-1.022203181315839,-0.394156487845418,0.47711970966972217,-0.85238141027338,0.30625034907237314,-1.4939335866877288,1.8573561410053365,0.6850534964090969,-0.39358721020228327,0.0030375100497597174,0.04063001751478623,-0.6810284721516551,-0.6377493941611254;-0.44287376328196304,0.38408337321765273,1.2616822490658133,-0.2052992231940869,-0.35989343062665746,0.2850482715927072,-0.1828127515227176,0.3089983460907373,0.10296347307060927,-0.005293290138295159,-0.18223612852768944,0.3616399585300307,-0.13854101684100062,0.45834342548372975,0.19485624116054145,0.02055087276763823,0.4124143724292533,0.07375082203994543,-0.018342407001747496,-0.5301402521418173,-0.5178009825398346,-0.016372901984224697,0.5125806388768472,0.3615508560434155,-0.49707059843717905,0.5070215198933927,-0.3290960753100993,0.6490426102146891,-0.4074688598131322,-0.021347099412539983,0.003391296327847737,-0.14899877853279575,-0.09272489476437595,-0.5130287098924824,-0.11161561265353726,-0.38294428151635374,-0.24687503837846103,0.5343570633574313,1.5937145583009098,-0.2622846684459672,-0.12087535183334719,0.38130763556648706,-0.6763114661840115,0.30070612874630687,-0.05265545864381149,0.3327497892849385,-0.12312989736747637,-0.18347239338655896,0.15532558694735465,-0.25782238498335097,-0.005033812806574556,0.06656659352811722,0.2220039463725012,0.15217051184918073,-0.004465551270363299,-0.26549987544438824,-0.2840367187287085,-0.17876071945234573,-0.21189066541314716,-0.38454160501910173,-0.29027765274716355,0.046916813704116045,0.03830384185984537,0.5894674946048148,-0.07901311246378073,-0.5785811392769264,-0.254774515964451,-0.022207458448780137,-0.013687256036974738,-0.49912488797169297,0.07830728928327302,-0.316948216483965,0.0875207814792911,0.09177951656959582,0.041281201889189045,0.051904223271519,-0.08207972886152515,-0.1511925415753863,0.3611883513719216,-0.09514748946539342,0.18160278697648602,0.8298354041626941,-0.6273023620943923,-0.2307750249099767,0.27269468525825147,0.09683484316177182,0.02611187945092519,-0.38256701403501747,-0.2442561909993537,0.3654123243243874,-0.21712941165747468,-0.042613891828593875,-0.6680268869302677,1.427393609303354,0.17245540650035718,-0.288643508073247,-0.16864372093143354,0.05076726887645622,-0.419281916517259,-0.41276727004312863;-0.8741796320976363,2.7057332103284963,1.0262894285515145,-0.052242934481881775,-0.4068272324088582,-1.1013216057516786,-0.8430923371637391,1.0056672237071282,0.5372741359479036,0.5796406840364625,0.8836553905242539,-0.11378549028002993,-0.21824377574090192,1.2729876104529865,-1.5130849230421006,0.0735334724993848,1.068579835054912,-1.0529933304120291,0.8290311105213064,-2.6416121038970104,-0.5546770841095849,-0.02568603102699285,-1.251073411216673,2.1362582042194305,-1.4027931576827903,2.163929972444656,-0.07086540876397862,1.190856335274809,-0.2499782023748338,-0.2585884218983452,-0.8634820147367819,-0.6203339439264894,-0.9766043565591715,-0.2946624454010376,-0.0014737355100180594,-1.0325089054090029,0.2724575212186906,2.0665535963552983,2.9878641903582874,0.010224134725355327,0.23190643480788964,0.6706154793399293,-1.1291503688776707,0.2406096214722666,-0.3157062305045102,1.8820717715224191,-0.03204639408280485,-0.3987363286054588,0.25660879268340864,-0.1209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k{236}=[0.3303665497603597;0.1537278509669157;0.4684954596206193];
x_a{236}=[8.207000446884965,2.323986787788284,32.99580232107501];
std_x_a{236}=[0.5598351738427989,0.35916789721537057,0.8078743219354947];
pred_a{236}=[8.207000446884965];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.5 to 23.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{237}=[3.7856507520546026,1.0934388244172872,25.937845203549127];
std_x_f{237}=[0.21951233865032482,0.3540107207727178,0.6293632980249612];
pred_f{237}=[3.7856507520546026];
obs{237}=[3.6830756420937005];
sqrt_r{237}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{237}=[1.048247403973624];
xi{237}=[-0.07817914194351472,0.01539077822737367,0.673860754595093,-0.2516481074261807,-0.20601340521887135,0.2701190332033394,-0.052285310729544676,0.15361538444465994,0.07000179581146826,-0.009989829999706767,-0.1980703436340896,0.33572007737555376,-0.1294484481898177,0.22170042959766567,0.25840546216252713,0.05169269261537757,0.28063583217191157,0.239881982356271,-0.15858212990767973,-0.15704039167377815,-0.3557785689143147,0.05662784351272476,0.45149337950660007,-0.02931202246526121,-0.23807338818186752,-0.003200956351325779,-0.024526878245161754,0.31679241536010005,-0.21921415235063213,0.0031390642000186375,0.07486761307886791,0.08223226145493934,0.1693705114873656,-0.335734388286967,0.008677754101093615,-0.11557647268246862,-0.24843957717780984,0.23380415787367115,0.6806054935709347,-0.07689998892538652,-0.07554580017663959,0.1921874923214113,-0.230447336297658,0.3344428420478427,-0.05003674271210112,0.03409724054115015,-0.07225542759611248,-0.14325975483714926,0.05367654329513227,-0.09732552855348064,0.01370141297544425,-0.09632522229044316,0.15486900960784666,0.03707621016595386,-0.019374811066702247,-0.16891806898266015,-0.07644353535757187,-0.01854263988912841,-0.4638704150116877,-0.2643904419214653,-0.09400064934371155,0.047845614317568064,0.14184802436641908,0.4331289138136003,-0.04835281993716922,-0.26303251931509974,-0.029110300494401997,-0.0016226076539544998,0.2332744758264318,-0.23422109249670653,0.021990893417846546,-0.24061008440083365,0.07660991677488216,0.06984144979247242,-0.06753560383635815,-0.09109429858584406,0.06271030783576492,-0.013737340972650003,0.08908164349656245,0.0026949273960430453,-0.03405085596444213,0.34577219391490166,-0.36057949216155194,-0.09240972836774564,0.1257704098696122,0.024297062225314026,-0.0972234249570012,-0.22097152847191648,-0.1611430221044392,0.12591541313054355,-0.1959468925551584,-0.223232931998548,-0.22640240232067343,0.7383875441061902,-0.15508738707473535,-0.3094251639639931,-0.018720675752169402,0.12296070950290883,-0.10106200268364152,-0.18649291503945165;-0.11961606710098172,-1.0944033658414514,0.5224337001266186,0.07856656902774173,-0.04613203207866379,0.7544774890366313,0.2635198606447131,-0.30962086403955813,-0.2061156542975986,-0.30262355167320654,-0.4748926544164537,0.1905079754444039,0.12351657719264897,-0.33199582433864205,0.8401807132415791,-0.05084924761468024,-0.4411130894553349,0.4095154094017366,-0.21598583134043803,0.7228798394831097,-0.045767316543528835,-0.06790044220345326,0.9681277596282318,-0.5602316575473509,0.2744270041805781,-0.33657673084717343,-0.5063253366737583,-0.09068153300925119,-0.19174755001020827,0.153911350308219,0.41710997434398234,0.006809652264773591,0.16760036453962823,-0.18472668557025318,-0.17039073740923572,0.12806330835555602,-0.1628703374093915,-0.869662130212466,-0.42156839364861254,-0.3128665651615249,-0.18845326873893842,0.002738678899252056,-0.15139778501509948,-0.2242899528507366,0.19905919149009255,-0.6007088145439943,-0.04838266098125943,0.15776558757435155,0.0779002196192442,-0.18364304414369526,0.060094771938011826,-0.7335549570243317,0.5414723741346568,-0.007609274700969504,0.08135739397758002,0.032315244212529626,-0.3933806462567785,0.29592284817700887,0.11993064979311363,0.14347407566185422,-0.0609213197353089,0.42476129670722296,-0.10107623117257336,0.7913792284965238,0.23223847381983886,0.13233583006078953,0.2989331003683531,0.28813962904319546,-0.15850585626857505,-0.20758929200990717,-0.06465792900305445,-0.029342312090566258,0.04748812191366336,0.12847417967012986,-0.0017764344991313408,0.24286295262870383,0.23520225376986814,0.4821461083077885,0.1454094221675435,-0.15889281567605984,-0.5956018943064348,0.027342200659880467,-0.1243240414515221,-0.013120698346972715,-0.06526059404520357,-0.18133437231816096,-0.47133948106815793,0.4564665406128243,0.14234757604628379,0.17010837214035912,0.6218158143698942,-0.045400440750550386,0.33156410763615507,-0.3490746746590784,-0.04396846128783616,0.20105010415462976,-0.33150818815387484,-0.10163552226593553,-0.03343314322546442,0.05110380976189011;0.011544986318877903,1.4530052643160118,0.7196083426947304,-0.639850539312274,-0.34876697888174135,-0.4498191835312859,-0.45174945845805325,0.7326319215797952,0.42872630185407345,0.3904913177888609,0.23991005708872137,0.45041848373385207,-0.44448890027854304,0.8923846260848656,-0.5864212817865351,0.18883758502785497,1.1434698513871133,-0.044082047595559004,-0.04139942515293882,-1.3567763583217705,-0.676153067600147,0.21949449723843628,-0.3479813165939305,0.6984066589235809,-0.8781936285582574,0.46513786814595903,0.6381401189272786,0.7727884151426245,-0.17917171909650875,-0.19050948104188237,-0.42143600931032665,0.17952149268191064,0.14750474660337431,-0.42825767212117327,0.2540635586335931,-0.3987678593548907,-0.30262231044999766,1.5749159890960271,1.8908194241106813,0.2758452479073128,0.10976500885598739,0.40060966838710144,-0.24663248564181117,0.9808234847197959,-0.37585994206448703,0.8707604357316647,-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k{237}=[0.04602673356569364;0.005779400644916191;0.08701024236692532];
x_a{237}=[3.7830425454209706,1.0931113219001045,25.93291457576492];
std_x_a{237}=[0.21473349306303938,0.35434097463533665,0.619042476764829];
pred_a{237}=[3.7830425454209706];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.6 to 23.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{238}=[2.49333604420791,2.342129329149723,20.28166222772496];
std_x_f{238}=[0.2845288332452287,0.5020821740550974,0.40122657607987183];
pred_f{238}=[2.49333604420791];
obs{238}=[2.433918208571388];
sqrt_r{238}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{238}=[1.0810761897181436];
xi{238}=[-0.1087830145518267,-0.8233146281526798,0.5308628138865159,-8.755510530735755E-4,-0.08800469153252077,0.6509920012345112,0.18964388630113582,-0.2135641920357969,-0.12238806193736762,-0.23819553542887295,-0.4295435059826658,0.22257486121979575,0.06933900908333746,-0.20317307095998283,0.707831049115982,-0.045922681932331955,-0.27802606504064586,0.3939854885636689,-0.22352034116200858,0.5750487792516874,-0.1597488864268355,0.022385927614489987,0.864559024145267,-0.4069175463993422,0.1563043556960526,-0.2599241193154649,-0.38809329373243573,-0.002646141120845602,-0.20188799211758823,0.11718880189678016,0.3308374435257728,0.011717437128374364,0.17416232578334245,-0.21812397570178899,-0.1233551968961919,0.07917463970315985,-0.19131977540363776,-0.603830485579826,-0.17772918566643403,-0.26112272835655803,-0.16946198362109266,0.0800539966275231,-0.16162090850773092,-0.10809118464293022,0.15477208669074027,-0.443822162609274,-0.07198773277647597,0.08826541507493024,0.0687324348712246,-0.16986392894560476,0.07347875610731025,-0.5887838992248768,0.4561873598092614,0.0023770397780902286,0.06875077972860577,-0.036388110666668805,-0.32620555088020486,0.23570335466372105,-0.025126905981841308,0.048068818347606346,-0.07930132857418526,0.3574638416936833,-0.04695597970877774,0.7378257572840128,0.16741327417711505,0.05060943384961458,0.21797372628021838,0.2285233608575319,-0.07071504111066762,-0.23123842921260218,-0.040493992222587316,-0.09051425393732604,0.05425220642308126,0.140602510031393,-0.03610078832000774,0.1770567956795377,0.16495932058950435,0.3718424265239646,0.10944929837263206,-0.12560715146077195,-0.4691285506117371,0.09864311281717253,-0.19091873693925265,-0.04144997199444367,-0.03189722821036156,-0.13480961806763636,-0.40746620902871955,0.3057929971442914,0.08962085857758995,0.1592137116679857,0.4482966050789674,-0.08853114402604545,0.1871203276535236,-0.11868467030637841,-0.037657891290136636,0.08242628327034707,-0.2663646932058632,-0.09691547594653205,-0.04017962346291615,-0.005789921840736234;-0.15213991847344888,-1.5132962141157873,0.5168350194218645,0.1778685845271628,-0.019820734581261323,1.008778305814205,0.38689287167441977,-0.4761014824802905,-0.31532134802487555,-0.4210691850218562,-0.6241388124519351,0.1714555123278121,0.21099097577579595,-0.5289940447052137,1.1453974276066803,-0.07873603536967844,-0.6945731784831488,0.5089594529768964,-0.2651212489364294,1.098021664128631,0.017875335781348145,-0.13497541566053783,1.2538448604744628,-0.8012467227116395,0.45831316435855607,-0.48032139681487607,-0.7121263150919059,-0.21679391424848982,-0.22497674603486129,0.21576769795028916,0.591862663223468,-0.013824510785914512,0.186575215718066,-0.18734724880747544,-0.24353501180283077,0.21165147456823785,-0.17089331262268592,-1.258730675172889,-0.7967617735510635,-0.4263232621817472,-0.2543784685809962,-0.06521786302814903,-0.15445031673140752,-0.4048074260355037,0.30099159300998535,-0.8559317636152926,-0.04848429142539423,0.2640021385355693,0.09880435456963488,-0.23934543022034216,0.08455476570922382,-0.9995490420868018,0.7363536561963229,-0.02346314236414626,0.11626005394661432,0.08970850220985271,-0.538998124647956,0.43627853243226644,0.2851329097406303,0.27630444165846635,-0.0641105816036216,0.5951838473011009,-0.1844065969326647,0.9947191402920281,0.33767490172575965,0.25393364610050106,0.43249637719669387,0.4153542757862039,-0.29100088224434284,-0.23853339019878428,-0.10315928640541516,0.011836837700196945,0.04383008889760154,0.15433726550907112,0.0128966418388754,0.37384375045559537,0.32812670567450963,0.7012701623921278,0.18794644425383655,-0.23125377243330236,-0.834208588815117,-0.06463075642528837,-0.09560029639955481,0.00756358564388071,-0.1310020606799478,-0.26738340018903006,-0.6377774204760869,0.7320638026773247,0.24417674911259057,0.20893907969695835,0.9753972766713539,-0.010806295072438132,0.5349060749715111,-0.7013741049414286,-0.03503377208240144,0.3757503809770202,-0.4741955909777127,-0.1661715910033914,-0.022777524749679312,0.12349207928588957;-0.025255822747510592,0.7750771485112153,0.6769854789469889,-0.4675878516273535,-0.27769419631830417,-0.04231470404685567,-0.2557435383582991,0.393785864567608,0.3487931308569898,0.16594611302297224,-0.03312316941341109,0.3983605061009783,-0.2789337025399341,0.5627262967272166,-0.14685932344655583,0.02521689355514667,0.6968458351679381,0.20415167256750522,-0.1849504818671548,-0.5579217952682463,-0.6807891284916394,0.3984090281847692,0.16609451322874236,0.4848283569593903,-0.5700442531255092,0.23752494349178477,0.34236491019778015,0.5117263971076724,-0.1958156974007217,-0.0974424262688629,-0.24041233809111517,0.0816662076012733,0.19528241352263365,-0.35788702743531786,0.14153473207503708,-0.247885728647244,-0.3139620945540358,0.8972612100346318,1.2473502052526975,0.08965240808890229,-0.012705379275942619,0.4500966028745381,-0.2070081023195307,0.5854635277522391,-0.17534052325305183,0.49528011312967735,-0.15338638638854718,-0.3444655324899344,0.0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k{238}=[0.07499581480865061;0.1261739765417251;-0.034162403043041495];
x_a{238}=[2.4897634162084166,2.336118691322128,20.283289645974282];
std_x_a{238}=[0.2672103554651729,0.4703784902693,0.3954292050856458];
pred_a{238}=[2.4897634162084166];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.7 to 23.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{239}=[3.1717925638925686,4.670029859598095,16.384578183071298];
std_x_f{239}=[0.49642341383109806,0.794543686853302,0.2855151077723156];
pred_f{239}=[3.1717925638925686];
obs{239}=[3.1234042241758466];
sqrt_r{239}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{239}=[1.246791808905491];
xi{239}=[-0.18762917542638524,-1.2303169508991156,0.5157921417160183,0.07430850183773963,0.0016217081743428174,1.1568599316780834,0.2661047816345805,-0.13528819344461862,-0.2699298960132577,-0.4210685101165854,-0.7118836877997001,-0.22100720078457803,0.2972487419229206,-0.45325744904752785,1.0804795289481102,-0.08233997236821855,-0.7364566109955195,0.6393200458017976,-0.30286599749219345,1.1362330251847452,-0.008743963647682929,-0.07457287900279663,1.0990792307401551,-0.8152818923123544,0.3457816910449991,-0.4642057209608561,-0.7151192354812723,-0.19337545805411205,-0.42456997261808915,0.12438661963310471,0.5756276082475424,0.01698919535001764,0.19542837924673373,-0.24732016115114375,0.08329741759115539,0.3271691879813803,-0.16019460712272116,-1.2204350501247627,-0.5954857342750883,-0.4067987674125364,-0.36952369931225126,-0.0663872283084963,-0.23855850225600417,-0.4124358119398126,0.280176213890976,-1.2636788547052877,0.002211956536656512,0.3247267136987646,0.12453375654049958,-0.0999584001929894,0.1910490116733743,-0.9852684871019535,0.6806357289314944,0.06510345272021167,0.10490865569285912,0.13874241571751478,-0.5243176881337264,0.4262082644205569,0.3408808633025173,0.08576531294597611,-0.17137247130296718,0.47520375214241994,-0.020623104254787528,1.0876377166228646,0.28091194486782456,0.0013342260053494925,0.12512978112994544,0.4983037909550787,-0.2028909714924758,-0.2613705000738582,0.13871640452983502,-0.35429429340419416,0.01696601767395478,0.12660826218758547,0.029793580945874254,0.15153602639075459,0.1481259428113466,0.6748122176298295,0.1929529692843559,-0.2071951414115598,-0.4722804577657054,-0.0524528708916816,-0.12752205757149904,-0.1253476208341553,-0.03271802013718972,-0.25609136022938284,-0.45984953181470445,1.1751140270876612,0.44627700194130693,0.12610623151675382,0.930998844959833,-0.043508708527504325,0.3549148467644758,-0.6716900233157532,-0.013826965937901559,0.3480066396508499,-0.5969967545424075,-0.21239226814978185,0.18627347227247615,0.10430509998394832;-0.2778013016928851,-1.9929271874131822,0.6243966927766591,0.19995948219446547,0.06044724323514661,1.743166782601616,0.4489970530613343,-0.25710727441811354,-0.46693319672468636,-0.6703969722495593,-1.0815870782132988,-0.4268757202955413,0.5075083220461813,-0.7881834842393274,1.64316701935331,-0.1285222222854987,-1.2458183501827134,0.9250914538831143,-0.4250478482711886,1.828271582134077,0.11431732733720512,-0.18632861172050053,1.5951400543004803,-1.3293608403360073,0.6333313296317531,-0.7477992524501946,-1.1447572829970492,-0.39148160615620853,-0.6247217935023084,0.20438715361856818,0.9262746119552885,0.012153323351495438,0.24988118747017474,-0.3115156003781161,0.11649703012116142,0.5553529579636258,-0.17899953242857247,-2.016270772616092,-1.1321378406803997,-0.6322233543761424,-0.5668736174620772,-0.18974140750802881,-0.3205993204922093,-0.7358473820964115,0.4657501574050773,-2.0300074596669355,0.04344219669042104,0.5609357856522426,0.18894469200081154,-0.13857853163060785,0.28785285528206206,-1.556140301466375,1.0336988508120761,0.09026729156585755,0.16553038441123036,0.29024347729560773,-0.8223595645161552,0.6929135540198921,0.699023418010114,0.2275123037375204,-0.23747183915866188,0.7393029081237961,-0.07701594271826995,1.5544006877787755,0.4698114540892888,0.0836589402348622,0.22628297291573762,0.7880490425218705,-0.39097399814936207,-0.3470599337219271,0.19811690325619224,-0.4833692528220448,0.010269743645283214,0.16800436836784538,0.07722786495619705,0.2674166447544586,0.2559892847544738,1.0971267641242601,0.3046617401929881,-0.3410718514625044,-0.7670646692159808,-0.1781489958014495,-0.103444829948244,-0.15926963136792427,-0.0885406979538752,-0.4189354553526634,-0.7106121569728723,1.9396580876538057,0.7460921802318703,0.17904481228250368,1.5664913763840298,-8.58299911816296E-4,0.6602170744155584,-1.254792198938035,-0.011176671907687563,0.6606719369616227,-0.9461936546569318,-0.3325254681035359,0.31439282349579933,0.22412707157029832;-0.12782874352545903,-0.02914039766864107,0.8104352704728015,-0.3203072821062207,-0.240905276542982,0.6633340586237182,-0.0426269236421426,0.13584411265248875,0.10122995299313331,-0.10890313204266633,-0.3769891507242882,0.2538181747255308,-0.08151083400009895,0.17067362893513405,0.5700682865816198,-0.04017478340523439,0.16960673361446155,0.5005377584153123,-0.31557385687401407,0.27140002030876786,-0.5520756223231729,0.23254612671562924,0.8465026549759855,-0.033227990245233485,-0.23894812168216362,-0.07378056595769067,-0.10836020872927321,0.2677714947588221,-0.3497934181735971,-0.011447659760534634,0.13805693089199522,0.049394930462757,0.2432551775113545,-0.41101760345436134,0.0641829138797334,-0.046346865502599144,-0.353502418576106,0.12294689938294212,0.6093837926185266,-0.1655334032119029,-0.19768303694032952,0.2907159274307425,-0.29311332078147956,0.22220423432237268,0.011978183765588568,-0.11265654626932076,-0.147635142779162,-0.11437888136033436,0.054246705766775705,-0.12759521463447854,0.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k{239}=[0.19794147438467682;0.31564583464978496;0.041758754093655356];
x_a{239}=[3.152591367976155,4.63941082167211,16.380527399772504];
std_x_a{239}=[0.4644465316409324,0.7457534125045384,0.2802157744641616];
pred_a{239}=[3.152591367976155];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.8 to 23.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{240}=[5.628370183373865,9.246416829676546,15.232835441224463];
std_x_f{240}=[0.8308541690268785,1.2742345273394555,0.8433860096696278];
pred_f{240}=[5.628370183373865];
obs{240}=[5.621477445862558];
sqrt_r{240}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{240}=[1.6951521191272976];
xi{240}=[-0.691746647882959,-1.8198392148078626,0.27391199187985826,0.5299385353140798,0.12215577933811961,1.6545349722928124,0.816643764836984,-0.02351061372484775,-0.4691114281286577,-1.183932145541668,-1.5424008979920378,-0.3560549061472704,0.5380616085470269,-0.7003418491373248,1.8965436189962466,-0.08578085156450665,-1.634123258256135,0.8050984232209712,1.0084529213593862,1.9583786710339206,0.19332085606907334,-0.19396480800259575,1.126226513691467,-1.205912757501106,0.6157229758821865,-0.7135244841515425,-1.0131380847551217,-0.31634306871163975,-0.5188213334686376,0.17160954221153535,0.7670789304020111,-0.185077414140296,0.07409016184556538,-0.1844901704922659,0.1028438755392651,0.8614064139114754,-0.9679967254697806,-1.7482633556649154,-0.8182842683472069,-0.5438925305332543,-1.0337083437148342,0.4483824417792315,-0.04530792778876602,-0.843148828476064,0.43374490147285183,-3.2906318396119936,0.1081766590442177,0.23676974160728648,0.20079199927484837,-0.04631527811295211,0.21858128348308892,-1.1070776172761052,0.9742085444918134,-0.12812658764660245,0.19390319485269192,0.29360781752088627,-0.45844866210046753,0.4669591857260391,0.6745435911745457,0.2536425372395641,-0.2801875211707676,0.5525547403319075,-0.04963911278657296,1.0688629340943896,0.3556984962456715,-0.10469013031822882,0.6227984684345351,0.6829383516932808,-0.3599820711142856,0.03300457642842769,0.19218465612392777,-0.3806411479242451,0.30892847029347426,0.13872453875943158,0.2993186774483432,0.32804931430462325,0.2704743336369537,0.9642931690309737,0.3434662431246007,-0.30674007296285843,-0.7791807377535962,-0.20071506137209827,0.3390419772342925,0.4669426328365196,-0.43611336463924655,-0.2511226061288472,-0.8315217224886204,2.0059833758968475,-0.48099076932200546,-0.08361979085702487,1.5308528667977344,0.5716772793013494,0.3547039871489579,-1.1504587553445766,0.06869983055357576,0.7535999257874861,-0.9791200764330155,-0.35136518083764035,0.5867141658542225,0.03655955520227305;-1.020915435082408,-2.8794688677913474,0.2588325295006584,0.9008941963487338,0.2688978595283107,2.2927314597849406,1.2741178890889895,-0.05290032881991458,-0.7281533876690354,-1.8176222857765119,-2.3573427715181747,-0.5833597260842343,0.8638930052476272,-1.1107658012566954,2.637343100104937,-0.09785287714893087,-2.600388372286382,1.1226521450308002,1.5846500639152303,2.821970813160924,0.4417825813999663,-0.333001050014861,1.5076787845649733,-1.8836145117004497,1.0224929041875406,-1.078550704607835,-1.5524620593178646,-0.5236576896908431,-0.7166890612391956,0.2907050807423186,1.1657484237688571,-0.2689219910784253,0.08258455778753238,-0.1734500065429021,0.16744287498067578,1.3258427052502615,-1.4163681937554982,-2.793354808010597,-1.3913938831238353,-0.7955749257060258,-1.5572907427801583,0.6218490663870373,0.01154834258897175,-1.341142017128063,0.691190632170251,-5.3066108412855755,0.22647676351790125,0.4202749519692546,0.3169754904513038,-0.023187695602075564,0.32673774111106013,-1.6867879889272395,1.4128177807617792,-0.1837069858699305,0.31315349942432746,0.5288405720249667,-0.6631846339714311,0.7409644620432942,1.1860574841640439,0.4997974201654003,-0.3730961441773619,0.8269711820322065,-0.09285331011053621,1.4090073611224643,0.5883154183378583,-0.060042717351283414,0.9754034232204454,1.0364068826076878,-0.5776970333941147,0.14507532467686346,0.29860053551400334,-0.48154638391549653,0.47107469299792015,0.2120187631753918,0.5126326140860584,0.5491059529858902,0.4494877080154236,1.4667388353171162,0.5450380970742223,-0.4479681386142804,-1.186797564355139,-0.3758989621127782,0.6471760450462867,0.7680528324140088,-0.6707766285340782,-0.3662047277018825,-1.233745477510194,2.944419013860646,-0.696695315989448,-0.12771071307509985,2.304794752987492,0.9493665148574593,0.6505767147634316,-1.9122816789925583,0.1438136039260911,1.2537727129833094,-1.4901069380830485,-0.5029565111152134,0.9204222564843576,0.13888146915954813;-0.8111437629130602,-1.4686699484526482,0.7998305642380252,0.24020121790141147,-0.12961172968318024,2.2402227732860815,0.7598523507700925,0.04493881417806911,-0.3981090435785397,-1.1762965790571727,-1.6285521950064208,-0.17651192846895292,0.4036679832215633,-0.5324195253974349,2.512262311935526,-0.17024997221848182,-1.2603976561788812,1.1232331027631766,0.8695333120299225,2.343737197507373,-0.30100746077127916,-0.05798482375171865,1.7223672938636483,-1.0686571129191282,0.3577173081508125,-0.7290884437971297,-0.984577451859936,-0.12781252388420405,-0.7789127801999705,0.08905122997418857,0.8012019211640293,-0.2156474350718991,0.18510232899700618,-0.5366761058739762,0.08903915771481508,0.7996064046189773,-1.2336370543139363,-1.3025852147614554,-0.2579286504150531,-0.6633453580077688,-1.1334718955529866,0.6719745096992131,-0.3058498948283024,-0.621687581644423,0.36973775770469786,-2.403504586513984,-0.06719701185492788,0.03408194217717231,0.16979927171682796,-0.19426363690995707,0.23140808426881065,-1.1113056603572353,1.179958823478028,-0.16055232274568,0.1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k{240}=[0.4100824411470384;0.6273471041516984;0.39662826303181686];
x_a{240}=[5.683304431486037,9.330455642398025,15.285967380618752];
std_x_a{240}=[0.6092390348688626,0.9393555449114298,0.6333686394888163];
pred_a{240}=[5.683304431486037];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.9 to 24.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{241}=[10.5331889347051,16.163199966647877,21.149906176764194];
std_x_f{241}=[0.8075282160029266,0.7170898254948381,1.9125593396827283];
pred_f{241}=[10.5331889347051];
obs{241}=[10.558038541264642];
sqrt_r{241}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{241}=[1.668597179278914];
xi{241}=[-1.2779047711650673,-1.6715916556901291,-0.02891966807775148,0.39952013806139774,0.03823157138325328,0.7186947693419867,0.8190282193971594,0.012586375301330222,-0.0022469575703549793,-0.8641463204498354,-1.2384324304257213,-0.6679079513871464,0.3944660123400343,-0.7143351084341276,0.7000580818841584,0.4684451746322633,-1.5461556703169208,0.31922168020411057,0.597156967802869,1.3609740100488654,0.27029282770914165,-0.36780937354644294,0.4937589543629919,-1.4741279698132033,0.3260818267336507,-0.3410497914823427,-0.33925174685490234,-0.7051791532149707,-0.1443690932445918,-0.23852315255905765,0.12214719663668738,-0.7181707660882175,0.5210815201690355,-0.8404730392272821,0.08437312928777985,1.4807743287302646,0.6955905989351479,-2.4839568498355575,-1.3602886173239543,1.0804647738116042,0.25993690284905746,-0.03134664263153475,0.07954189236984988,-0.3125797607569538,-0.20498761994005754,-3.127470997177216,-0.013370008681627965,0.22106258594874184,0.438793261048831,0.10111266338100933,0.15339395616816276,-0.9640882804774122,2.2583436666244605,-0.22848546491613497,-0.11842341523943745,0.2480403088981511,-0.06711617692678473,0.38154276132099874,0.7004207769996285,0.1420305243601483,-0.4996059911660993,-0.0011705317144503624,-0.044570667476371284,0.24876157017431844,0.3907885872142334,-0.4879950875442596,0.672864719232237,0.3914810994953779,-0.27528836845024607,-0.2423794655121121,0.312460910874492,-0.22956644130661985,0.15765008296765082,0.512884041262021,0.50587174070224,0.5920755535271276,0.10487445587501831,0.9517117981987404,1.8757034998813413,-0.3410496708047255,-1.7747198621170384,-0.17437846283470826,0.7085593843523661,0.7749559334470515,-0.10326011040218219,-0.18678386843903816,-0.9983817393727126,1.2667012957548192,-0.47315299417948964,0.051698563874323256,0.48283507029985984,0.40672320937465756,0.7469757143898708,-0.6494931683625325,0.14691665609995574,0.6665811294059161,-0.5512988626060071,-0.14402358489965827,0.3611795314635593,1.0524053260328063;-1.026993625524165,-1.6585171530623413,-0.23660083136546106,0.5370553232593522,0.25709339735687564,0.12279033463312672,0.6387501007775356,0.06033146768255193,0.054237740949446334,-0.6530727471245594,-0.997687227104322,-0.5607564924041046,0.4367552374976924,-0.5947032675959676,0.07852688009872466,0.46534865315043916,-1.5254880462600653,0.11053496475929592,0.5615853226179794,0.47768445778948276,0.5682578408925245,-0.27495708904446126,0.012291318319249456,-1.3528039750466352,0.46854692488070526,-0.16645557721271764,-0.1829835756894873,-0.5916208887355019,0.1240308309930569,-0.05146085696760494,0.1475888867773243,-0.5070001821198886,0.3770779879376569,-0.46551169795443137,0.1617667746348559,0.8895141759980802,0.7304462338202775,-2.6683970747678334,-1.4174141080718368,0.8249303906725984,0.34892050401189323,-0.068050377745827,0.305034877027488,-0.26373588076372023,-0.04436047460305659,-3.646393570909943,0.17978536660954347,0.36322787111479116,0.4103939372413734,0.2512093185158051,0.18734470235765954,-0.7473346909951477,0.685594192933749,-0.07516662449228306,0.021499314213858867,0.4189377905351179,0.10140892990521877,0.38730780811700427,0.8432732452728899,0.3891736782112183,-0.235143832110019,0.049610321701401006,0.018185045261127186,-0.13226736178665632,0.42586395458976156,-0.13889096118833066,0.5825846001477686,0.3345799660234867,-0.20253728061905996,0.05821341866364804,0.30442496654234574,0.09924039203594859,0.18972508534740484,0.41133826885088,0.5322831356931665,0.5635159876525542,0.23302420817799074,0.6374109614913088,0.954840642196622,-0.14715412527991134,-1.6333396382929326,-0.17079464348527829,0.7947288028845776,0.6898002993926937,0.002345611186424179,-0.024884626364450213,-0.7256110019997539,0.558324239881852,-0.22521831821802252,0.11665661002259853,0.36754846243279005,0.5119466216755981,0.7815817818273025,-0.7476820578438765,0.26822132590465486,0.7096091917848462,-0.34784812092656736,0.03304625857052912,0.3814180505931084,0.9005130115772921;-3.146946740529131,-3.5214338608559608,0.41078552161785,0.6109360619673048,-0.26438170485802104,2.4858923759998817,1.9746810223122075,0.004540448428393518,-0.04348681424025003,-2.126217268021744,-3.040261651554392,-1.4980160805805411,0.7700143221272526,-1.6260948147694094,2.4766936329563727,0.977860855641822,-3.233948670849532,1.0847448915432096,1.3020154243287685,4.077430297288121,0.05802490055992138,-0.8394055155638256,1.861510157439163,-3.3079768642602936,0.4554701496536069,-0.9613040502673833,-0.9118706402887113,-1.5524039225043929,-0.7343494890899649,-0.7432251620252579,0.26945479741107903,-1.823591300006619,1.336564777352212,-2.413433926742808,0.09798181346605261,3.844386922766077,1.3617131905154736,-5.001751408722196,-2.6443362527828747,2.5761116324858087,0.4210991629902061,0.08393928050562849,-0.184134182949105,-0.6405797648734897,-0.6275574741058492,-5.7410037866646135,-0.3168893696242847,0.2349359364961856,0.992257456252112,-0.0037305983886390948,0.3017259694970633,-2.3605163794980015,6.604336260576630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k{241}=[0.4006941804659223;0.3313209076136526;0.9316354994761679];
x_a{241}=[10.533932255097326,16.163814593959692,21.151634436615836];
std_x_a{241}=[0.5998206093414024,0.5832956567768995,1.406304408815128];
pred_a{241}=[10.533932255097326];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.0 to 24.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{242}=[14.200675650420667,13.926307442695517,34.89245425648181];
std_x_f{242}=[0.2571239018642382,1.27939308126078,1.1502963897791365];
pred_f{242}=[14.200675650420667];
obs{242}=[14.375389352651757];
sqrt_r{242}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{242}=[1.0665395350132822];
xi{242}=[0.20556404412199747,-0.057960516377042026,-0.25910796915012213,0.08469798227594438,0.2035413844775178,-0.5499533951981377,-0.2478038274002028,0.047152849354935356,0.06165996855455447,0.17275546382303197,0.17482732273775525,0.06238617701382232,0.019797846985079914,0.08052421059996107,-0.5372812924812997,0.026754247221390415,-0.0422036644011321,-0.21316944282855133,-0.030177951564866135,-0.702689472304062,0.2422039025292868,0.014994870116984416,-0.406564646958147,0.05180416556414613,0.22173725197664673,0.1547937098110168,0.1569664412153724,0.03452865966546881,0.16995172139617054,0.1785720781748008,0.03806112471502665,0.17452711386278352,-0.07536172106907557,0.32520866576966867,0.19035949536919716,-0.43739558914359655,0.14967367951036437,-0.3711085587897891,-0.17527491674825235,-0.18039347632387326,0.08324451124575205,-0.18974781674948993,0.36968235668644844,0.10729913766328814,0.1369899129297938,-0.760096872990534,0.2195679144071807,0.012473740927511301,-0.0030487249180968234,0.12511120361383554,0.08370276593855941,0.15990144196030442,-1.185844203699828,0.029131302595018838,0.1056689144356433,0.2008114450943559,0.2685056914573938,0.12448012397065256,0.1496245230502229,0.23606567086149077,0.3279196428523079,-0.10854203499499171,0.1318551321405863,-0.29320346960601285,0.013926911175724754,0.36621244622407545,-0.05890668690535428,-0.0334732850881867,0.0423550086871316,0.06697791675871834,0.11195791233331498,0.2613904510253757,0.042206159736585036,-0.0711422813710314,0.021425322375879574,0.018734695841777338,0.10370954253480136,-0.17720302960783307,-0.8049530716620055,0.25658583207655994,0.05890451656433093,-0.01392771475613408,0.15691554703995614,-0.04300745473354617,0.1578108711493833,0.1613151601375229,0.27403393820901023,-0.2873720248261069,0.21113383557823617,-0.007669294855176645,-0.18504722116799321,0.06482195047049721,0.07022609899763488,-0.07951472421333605,0.17423381441179941,0.07480175031020408,0.14011308261521194,-0.08357295323615155,-0.2288621053842359,-0.06329116142266855;1.6526024093772964,1.925454755487797,-0.764405902941041,-0.8609854120309315,0.1040406451878173,-1.752832926658991,-2.0469998250246118,-0.011586920549131463,0.14713842796613008,1.2335729256674277,1.2477149315478435,0.6741927548834976,-0.7384059360859947,0.8697028294348481,-1.4899085328327146,-0.5205206379769827,1.9913549236089505,-0.8987207206873968,-0.9160494530202055,-2.351860792069621,-0.46063299928879076,-0.0899021058202667,-0.974384820253313,1.5557628494512254,0.5106248451967161,0.5384727420087092,0.7876050134728061,0.43987487880525933,-0.4007678132220338,0.6018714052162686,-0.03465896860666362,0.9646381625161808,-0.40248285625573565,1.1375333332321347,1.309067685927074,-2.1151093577607085,0.10278544674365975,4.206101719532519,0.6745920085916453,-1.4541555186621284,-0.31888469737604197,-1.394841542095703,2.056379228815187,1.423467913427082,0.34928871232771996,2.8094743010502583,0.5775245512082758,-1.3119768811708674,-0.4757080551637536,-0.17505392323866964,0.2929662607555663,1.1132292083871587,-3.726300688434284,-0.6566890035186592,0.019866261794307505,0.2073797077174433,1.5951578337362573,0.5571380275206277,-0.7200203924580482,0.014951895641280188,2.16906553352527,-1.4464756397230634,0.9649208762764268,-0.08219705976799929,-0.6213858709658204,1.4224203047409851,-0.8525005374576775,-0.4975425867871692,0.21784092556746515,-1.3991111288232112,0.6428180919531918,0.07699829051263762,-0.07435676906629318,-0.5968821260192101,-0.7880135618513329,-0.5591949971669372,-0.20815961278960238,-0.7599914482091759,-3.6281847749222376,1.7481494369264823,1.6786007182189895,0.09145548952137261,-0.3265611058805078,-0.9565854345809885,0.8807441490477963,0.5431618069918258,1.9560812623134893,0.8042345039794068,0.5809089231280069,-0.7139085970719314,-1.5230355652561602,-0.7616331277893771,-0.7371361029987487,1.4435600147959722,0.4659847028293882,-0.6397811147194741,0.35868842689685465,-1.8760971933213089,-2.5017099602847583,-1.122871054805719;-1.1568160258311977,-2.1417771743297465,0.15869887405312966,1.072806091192561,0.4311118533587077,0.422373329689961,1.4040180736011862,0.15800597064339428,0.04269820798558044,-0.7896591078240291,-0.8171254449271643,-0.489632265519127,0.806671414728207,-0.6436409828869358,0.198473803385653,0.6040095451645655,-2.173900387520341,0.39193538709244535,0.8519690303102365,0.6007879929881739,1.0672795691301076,0.1665188334312333,0.0012714426040076887,-1.4618848973159402,0.07718558946859133,-0.12481680379176652,-0.3673143131578698,-0.3232094215037904,0.835483509695834,-0.1197124687229163,0.16033508518945183,-0.5080814063129395,0.24507320867343907,-0.3031220735497513,-0.8215422131681933,0.9912656941346967,0.30279086993291315,-5.728286435991659,-1.1076084319813262,0.9939092613971994,0.5506170835861042,0.9395569680584543,-1.1403139525147665,-1.1477468155797013,0.02662173928592182,-5.159949083823459,8.095429377732444E-4,1.318011427232868,0.4949833636075027,0.5124944395774875,-0.053814480079964255,-0.7038230964017416,0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k{242}=[0.06238824987622569;0.16125442544196486;0.0013447128141903318];
x_a{242}=[14.208105302546585,13.945510806905528,34.892614394784104];
std_x_a{242}=[0.24559340492851733,1.243479781291847,1.1504930587613549];
pred_a{242}=[14.208105302546585];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.1 to 24.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{243}=[9.502990302713066,2.3633967645229585,35.3122990641673];
std_x_f{243}=[0.7600129259435964,0.7860910261996268,0.8572023223376581];
pred_f{243}=[9.502990302713066];
obs{243}=[9.47365678591728];
sqrt_r{243}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{243}=[1.5861704174907474];
xi{243}=[0.9200685947529585,1.445021345500722,-0.40251224941378005,-0.6416649645014871,-0.1694684789059231,-0.7359561233854084,-0.9589076018379235,-0.05277120953277148,0.08672839458085058,0.6655719724081841,0.686680128448522,0.38018118325990535,-0.5392035579095982,0.498055700423766,-0.560368286427364,-0.33354269257828584,1.3746051884846722,-0.44531777555515717,-0.5711752246059572,-1.040417094745269,-0.5093450505239687,-0.09043292575951867,-0.3227132055030246,0.9512877997212765,0.14599002686635387,0.24249585431820364,0.4934243721824565,0.3419990104782684,-0.39250651093313316,0.2505454631304591,-0.13378598648254503,0.4712163930605868,-0.20849334431348154,0.5308824659816604,0.7520125875303947,-1.0310476448752937,-0.1442919283984292,3.1024886935477767,0.5566489061772817,-0.8083909381249388,-0.23978154838868093,-0.770500245874091,1.033394961250961,0.8128998665960729,0.1251250567164366,2.588503730028485,0.2010377569163726,-0.7321265056352821,-0.29594137937753473,-0.22893347784119022,0.13387845562578526,0.6011615353941142,-1.592097595210264,-0.4206069950436859,-0.04792080934105769,-0.01915112600048907,0.7799455454951065,0.289662598424151,-0.5772606202066761,-0.19762773233965802,1.1378411614637738,-0.8817122353927136,0.44338794576485974,0.13862283158282906,-0.4544960322317593,0.5946406850449684,-0.507646445721134,-0.34044992590040835,0.11601586602442637,-1.0444789402457673,0.2684299166460633,-0.1490539895775882,-0.08709052596443989,-0.3257204489506389,-0.5196853041259946,-0.3910517780453997,-0.21234170611788628,-0.3499195448124155,-1.7871476418270413,0.8600928495779954,0.9940076187520326,0.04409882911398988,-0.28887708475975593,-0.5544627436605083,0.43013654997009176,0.25398803593885155,1.0402992567740235,0.7682534755340757,0.1514989928197945,-0.4500527255983844,-0.7751345109635626,-0.5422464495861714,-0.4491598316056624,1.0063159201578546,0.2019281978290106,-0.45237011353418666,0.12692175841106668,-1.1394280557339513,-1.4409075483242102,-0.6802990664558468;0.6583273918989536,1.328267076590702,0.0934809954250575,-0.7522785556664144,-0.31495157452708256,-0.06757349930105505,-0.9647116643768812,-0.08447889504895478,-0.04477802924831398,0.46333226404838035,0.4681277446056029,0.34766827603684813,-0.5192628070724552,0.4282802326446067,0.10094651710880198,-0.4093913474702222,1.4501751118833224,-0.13189357479355746,-0.5567588528259588,-0.18396381628713465,-0.8069934349200516,-0.06561311160401218,0.21827350405759782,0.9984647019567681,-0.13032217094124787,0.03775531326172343,0.10584010968025481,0.18640755831493339,-0.6245103158202221,0.024835717244398925,-0.044152026927973154,0.293083636179186,-0.09246494729895138,0.0011853419216891758,0.42137974210978424,-0.555159084496951,-0.1871611641391704,3.8567043030092467,0.9078103129488575,-0.6118133438965274,-0.39954100283931515,-0.5652140805325891,0.522084147347412,0.7629903690882229,-0.05539118488116035,3.8130105533256247,-0.07839572367096226,-0.9652128564499447,-0.31117086201828004,-0.3686120142066607,0.03735626596088659,0.42038995715168115,-0.2975580487856626,-0.5129812321739484,-0.2192802398828131,-0.2890516038618265,0.5097684760929191,0.12495561581567438,-0.8020530880659573,-0.48305967972729724,0.6817372793017515,-0.761553841528309,0.43971722343940645,0.6328901367564286,-0.448668426193354,0.16497250181022638,-0.4482043275689198,-0.2249540405257502,0.07225232236661094,-1.0648434345709978,0.2549528939546035,-0.5053146379659643,-0.13075798828259266,-0.25771089391115476,-0.5750571472072961,-0.4020052686972482,-0.34811529233632754,-0.1225353265491056,-0.9870826494345248,0.6708287039736511,1.1074292614299202,0.12724439003589616,-0.5726680990313846,-0.5674022887202126,0.27490883221836704,0.0057887008479302615,0.7132996282993411,1.2522667312464582,-0.005513129564764796,-0.4599665348488551,-0.6905739210877895,-0.6617018322017605,-0.6811481413668108,1.183512704420389,-0.07724405282168689,-0.5917924673385397,-0.043901535187435226,-1.1327663461945372,-1.2930203490907215,-0.6124467398246161;1.1349522954156015,1.6096289955297465,-0.8179746498902176,-0.5543837273958019,-0.0792455423839229,-1.2860117204920343,-0.9305019406298172,-0.046080104453473325,0.17641850829690497,0.8300054335610199,0.8581501471406625,0.3923746107088135,-0.5610623265088748,0.5512284587744247,-1.1045977347798157,-0.2870169608506927,1.3720440983328643,-0.7167086071346205,-0.5837698422558759,-1.7452675716355017,-0.2812332281999872,-0.12795164828595063,-0.7698937030495756,0.9303926535247911,0.3469230757968518,0.38484081597697184,0.795575552322596,0.4549762269155053,-0.22260667740786033,0.4149712392727878,-0.23058332357386746,0.6068633756160438,-0.3210736465026045,0.9393361106774236,1.0220487040076094,-1.4213957488101272,-0.13373831241161582,2.8514928487521516,0.26938718488135294,-0.9678345440806098,-0.11922418218434672,-0.9303799231456154,1.4505725772850724,0.8658066160895572,0.2513500214554867,1.8533251223156952,0.4077558708139506,-0.547607511200944,-0.303908385914923,-0.1351931427523141,0.19257002864837602,0.74625817307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k{243}=[0.3695507185274855;0.3464677348697389;0.4007510992341041];
x_a{243}=[9.468026167614129,2.3306165693235603,35.274382981550815];
std_x_a{243}=[0.6450737974118778,0.6997374498561054,0.7284471811232336];
pred_a{243}=[9.468026167614129];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.2 to 24.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{244}=[3.650877645909513,-0.2094791569151778,27.34429060474685];
std_x_f{244}=[0.37532861710094956,0.32745257912444853,0.6826711392407084];
pred_f{244}=[3.650877645909513];
obs{244}=[3.516238274660042];
sqrt_r{244}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{244}=[1.1411282941254504];
xi{244}=[0.15942273283118258,-0.2425395639053134,0.2548502475004115,-0.45899970532549794,-0.2216102563343787,0.3469469125195528,-0.3730818631468873,-0.018845846230724383,-0.052268759477053006,0.29342624891039115,0.031465252235554964,0.509248951850628,-0.19190701278095768,0.2042187249761298,0.12616885948450873,-0.08724826849140976,0.8112744445568181,0.07497737795965742,-0.15274554418821795,0.21898028407526482,-0.4812662116491424,0.49945113456229073,0.284532193299992,0.5110701127354691,-0.16410391725781404,-0.02996160747688492,-0.0702184276190807,-0.06400514037761695,-0.6916418725678648,-0.22312457225963378,0.12005551466832731,0.05775669413333562,0.03431527426413217,-0.5286052408981949,0.045153565043700716,0.023082613630736937,-0.04623262284584273,1.5278905987885283,0.14295125935006103,-0.5521214768022875,-0.12275921382645505,-0.06254447933844798,0.034257289553370374,0.2289308743252252,0.28379681027011383,1.6135943722418133,0.04799293561235762,-0.5608041944791053,-0.034133849810440875,-0.2826705900810449,0.012818834270672763,0.041254483642259476,0.35620640967654804,-0.16196885350243795,-0.21920075193760358,-0.08485579259602094,0.14040213174472127,0.5765872630116338,-0.366016187900466,-0.10224377150808062,0.004300253369276863,-0.5417152879700042,0.24149746533130534,0.42288354992795973,-0.30583416883482517,0.3639899560568347,-0.36270493505379076,-0.0018119632809510122,0.02901547536765836,-0.5495182877880138,0.09792040437881155,-0.25830382297821464,0.12639850151932386,0.0012661513451024398,-0.29944924297769715,-0.07818818902830138,-0.14735805626365295,0.05418099259109832,-0.1863524898699409,0.1187373569882495,0.44127143200013474,-0.1683019584976848,-0.8137792443248175,-0.20665136617958613,-0.07043486543640443,-0.3950474998714242,0.20900503501029455,0.6501794311903355,0.009248021725932087,-0.09384749321774688,-0.134197106673561,-0.19979684854582924,-0.2602670048296831,0.560376379113853,0.09879304914594877,-0.2603557664751994,-0.03546046609069409,-0.24285561054094984,-0.43441046512196246,-0.34777612232165556;-0.2640692768259567,0.03125583389937453,0.5600711076759359,-0.10253967130091965,-0.09737381223016592,0.7147877030630132,-0.02351967475156097,0.010173460142179097,-0.09067933555299248,-0.2696811442948259,-0.16883658758986866,-0.18543674163988685,0.04404395999596725,-0.0633348747475577,0.7505891468597778,-0.05794915605108705,-0.21606531249932423,0.3685072832277284,0.0346844946463617,0.9271180049864446,-0.29851857916782354,-0.149250397585919,0.6097133628545155,-0.01533614606807629,-0.22999256233311235,-0.16905369728027073,-0.36957232388733285,-0.08760416931212281,-0.21864245368332721,-0.1528459236958248,0.12173273440385124,-0.14836668659367655,0.16393423408414767,-0.45442942866630076,-0.3155205462042011,0.5052185706102472,0.002109627913830181,0.04219896876692625,0.49053656472524976,0.18579291025840633,-0.14992740408234503,0.2196595856622358,-0.5342896900436875,-0.026788765355471172,-0.28174860347748787,0.8786449512840172,-0.29016826080997615,-0.24301894965871476,0.013166878839398294,-0.09378511140959997,-0.0580368135199735,-0.13645680228837961,1.3583273932997644,-0.06791140081908367,-0.12429293969680902,-0.2610846357927834,-0.2732768866509092,-0.45724765561022696,-0.2153417270606194,-0.2912359113427707,-0.4386004776298734,0.10060759173168891,0.01707952097614157,0.567102991196286,0.04247380272096704,-0.6590663532372004,0.09881920809278906,0.15736350444764705,0.006441633639730937,-0.052165165150853704,0.029781553708396746,-0.33360370254100724,-0.043201093928788376,0.10049698672795887,-0.029322543872649265,0.011493104945972943,-0.10098533002175233,0.2775341237262875,0.7508512925167418,-0.1450979627690218,0.11758345613392882,0.1695509931600968,-0.28497032849401804,0.010552271090151194,-0.08274279370780954,-0.1703813989895739,-0.36512946273087055,0.5069466684038368,-0.13223877404714077,0.015722831926149122,0.09128979050483817,-0.11058552526053936,-0.22146441554085103,0.13054760284336253,-0.313704059478941,-0.1127004001139387,-0.13882891777141018,-0.02434856650834999,0.08588147551196473,0.09198015017125459;0.5888919265028498,-0.475351332194208,-0.19537715997766725,-0.7040202026988709,-0.267028290426083,-0.19922012559563385,-0.6452199831079106,-0.04846583412789229,0.013399851447527311,0.8452209280102103,0.26611149674995005,1.1272793932163694,-0.3997026795909555,0.4562622069373816,-0.6816042083269878,-0.07722253398136303,1.6749382096010663,-0.3017811577529308,-0.30223858013540905,-0.7211584911137976,-0.5162437417194461,1.086232288740451,-0.19763535162405432,0.9431373919039601,-0.011276990489687222,0.1538610637094564,0.32136869507698407,-7.722674411070329E-7,-1.022409802815293,-0.2139396923188137,0.07991512957685387,0.28798896095047866,-0.12240046838385155,-0.42332176002125266,0.4676918303020372,-0.5757807482462276,-0.07701201285425441,2.6884239890046935,-0.34325944788276885,-1.2982539176528824,-0.042708407991195685,-0.3568628454473348,0.6916689014285531,0.4679630995810591,0.8526360469770431,1.9867988095880342,0.448371890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k{244}=[0.12367434481467274;0.03105476908767001;0.18890439191049221];
x_a{244}=[3.6296925797393182,-0.21479875120135183,27.31193181563453];
std_x_a{244}=[0.35417427172448956,0.32646781192281027,0.6536489886240578];
pred_a{244}=[3.6296925797393182];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.3 to 24.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{245}=[1.4605691137947425,0.5761872535152124,20.940634092813536];
std_x_f{245}=[0.28187651130964897,0.41466207173456326,0.47402449379980116];
pred_f{245}=[1.4605691137947425];
obs{245}=[1.2895820485394802];
sqrt_r{245}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{245}=[1.0796220822444176];
xi{245}=[-0.12885552768732977,-0.01885465175312606,0.48664446326644173,-0.18223643673261147,-0.19125924859943821,0.6666991972519565,-0.10525377121280899,0.03027910225984587,-0.16203300387382336,-0.1055785046620763,-0.10005699842268934,-0.016373864147225747,0.014450112948007687,-0.019975729777547357,0.6213231741298388,-0.04981106773832544,-0.0413287753222753,0.3289972803707315,0.014145823001151525,0.6990836038592398,-0.2975913042053373,0.019211586806415548,0.5290420757866943,0.16045907420357075,-0.18983599965814624,-0.0989808978724862,-0.23835973678970301,-0.050113011374911975,-0.25070345335449473,-0.16717186759594016,0.16156697425843292,-0.09521071065955522,0.12766959714998283,-0.29998423168627,-0.18609158391679337,0.39063482390824045,-0.022544277788447697,0.3170830109345528,0.42463308321227267,0.0684007251375165,-0.17463809155539667,0.13597712839710496,-0.375112054013641,0.02666822539301239,-0.13960841206978336,0.968887254884677,-0.16308744449441215,-0.45110973226505213,0.05890928283117214,-0.20232737398467338,-0.13019155125574344,-0.12962171918803134,1.1073840056118756,-0.07984696791370727,-0.1376673557350383,-0.3333814346786661,-0.06248044005832809,-0.15958203240339142,-0.24100810276111617,-0.12389712775351569,-0.3116236101514036,-0.03383633863926394,0.06492064019806132,0.5146494153785737,0.0021990809654666155,-0.3874301868420118,-0.0414415986551937,-0.022241312379914335,0.008904972071901884,-0.1759364392634548,0.06395798649331863,-0.30033709407577147,-0.0521427153823808,0.08688308199653605,-0.1952822984182987,-0.11181729536444163,-0.20719605813767727,0.2017394342486012,0.5502915422824315,-0.20600798249747654,0.1842643429463271,0.0995326146157618,-0.43812122417962285,-0.029685574259180614,0.004612589088774488,-0.21150921969967085,-0.27971924788875,0.508640792597792,-0.08906122408641659,-0.0058130097494069055,0.032903886090424495,-0.12738612473034472,-0.17873545825062553,0.22461122178837156,-0.19631282903244784,-0.14647868987935286,-0.10695182465975073,-0.07071860124973317,-0.037119009773402656,-0.021591744157225756;-0.353976732742706,0.09592320924147768,0.7000698475592431,-0.05955767287895497,-0.11480633799181189,0.8833095287728558,0.03411389506026863,0.03988243551649184,-0.13595569212187353,-0.3901276000511771,-0.21252530305769557,-0.3362267475234715,0.10762735044986993,-0.11494714568845493,1.0003122331178935,-0.049544059410268404,-0.45500284339455527,0.49075635180187094,0.08071471313030765,1.189161526907589,-0.2958099015924277,-0.29465474186361484,0.7564602639981315,-0.10674092391103274,-0.25807083884110926,-0.19185737486185872,-0.44266734107653993,-0.08626775204252118,-0.14833532637560914,-0.1588027220371782,0.15645345153488555,-0.1999056527374296,0.213715238033105,-0.43366070314502836,-0.39703771157390855,0.6825908893153836,0.0063610268113670765,-0.3691259925773387,0.6432841457817178,0.3718835265003647,-0.18687780473761328,0.29834989939518974,-0.6819932101140483,-0.07579490257981203,-0.4105274426405336,0.6328249161031749,-0.3692636179942006,-0.31597955234523295,0.05131218626184886,-0.1069156328381739,-0.10571811807589926,-0.19761399232311266,1.761611950423931,-0.05225225826689717,-0.11584871335726526,-0.3719935808600296,-0.3459544665685491,-0.6848685070251633,-0.21841028618621228,-0.312229163893012,-0.561048065607439,0.23065980135423303,-0.01580322569066195,0.6670703121596271,0.14160429605982827,-0.8917606533478022,0.17552791951801094,0.15174002270996478,0.008918630890367485,0.015806525918599545,0.03582020602327085,-0.3873118391765574,-0.09360762551567708,0.14256700998468375,-0.0324809680394732,-0.010083575462914607,-0.14435785866647927,0.356784137400597,1.0607755892405044,-0.2445957381592962,0.07082449954507619,0.2753880999074735,-0.2858277440381114,0.059031513954999726,-0.05735049189872077,-0.1456384434447091,-0.5234388375500694,0.520788656173677,-0.16545257155106757,0.04225795704400148,0.1426467801398792,-0.1068088236183179,-0.2230571701346618,0.05246200679246216,-0.41202266328750603,-0.09776706582824679,-0.16680917546587415,0.011767802889314005,0.18491767323418917,0.178992877128198;0.4253420570417994,-0.29313478184253583,-0.006111018572180882,-0.4895072087824843,-0.3669353401183635,0.14766775052087766,-0.4506197744368059,0.019835916817338983,-0.24072796189217627,0.5974084696508797,0.1912512288383077,0.7490050515555637,-0.21713937758203627,0.23481659469892335,-0.2605738791927017,-0.047834211730489073,0.9351381498534401,-0.05528112730514678,-0.13257731899966885,-0.4427429517859274,-0.3053093109609648,0.7536746148993068,0.011456494646907345,0.7873033016377669,-0.003077426749499068,0.13804651405885338,0.2879429792396806,0.037261812876021594,-0.5400703437357386,-0.17418779369409876,0.18860165622753655,0.16342827797795323,-0.07506715683778609,0.03826116931198342,0.3501380006197259,-0.3035608020589251,-0.08355093280616543,1.7914676958047906,-0.09535245255742808,-0.7428314797882791,-0.14440731794930528,-0.24313203666535088,0.4054422225440071,0.28507484078367185,0.5330369943937328,1.6281969810303103,0.372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k{245}=[0.0737499570950716;0.09598607465741937;0.02019720769703711];
x_a{245}=[1.4432058826317318,0.5535888891452059,20.93587898786291];
std_x_a{245}=[0.27362089740414186,0.3976937365384748,0.4769656433051163];
pred_a{245}=[1.4432058826317318];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.4 to 24.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{246}=[1.2593171788390174,1.6327941004601465,16.168590095313995];
std_x_f{246}=[0.4287382583063077,0.6702093064965778,0.36645918053693805];
pred_f{246}=[1.2593171788390174];
obs{246}=[1.024212078744816];
sqrt_r{246}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{246}=[1.1847339470894023];
xi{246}=[-0.3013765791061582,-0.08630483654100973,0.7308660098981354,-0.11582295569262446,-0.14842307619028738,1.0231223189651357,0.0572527095830111,0.11248474194569802,-0.21575461017241948,-0.3256378759502164,-0.09800815972621679,-0.12473152780206176,0.10210770466397645,-0.09573929416367899,1.0310963934643789,-0.02305239369600587,-0.36946394479541345,0.498928071531636,0.254856434585629,1.2143313941157141,-0.32975889761622756,-0.1724644456860671,0.8056030663444742,-0.0422272841318545,-0.25183630448405325,0.00491490141985973,-0.33905741430242387,-0.047533786993282146,-0.22940736330076428,-0.17947713816186983,0.20253266147957105,-0.2246292608961522,0.2256751993041144,-0.3873081381084913,-0.38382480369136174,0.696434516150096,-0.04967032819752237,-0.17981683413325555,0.6336309604367576,-0.01018755813454697,-0.24718687923849636,0.36461875271884203,-0.518916569276993,-0.04197470708750006,-0.7110234525044979,0.9420676829301524,-0.367507180730292,-0.42395034186451785,0.05351218114081546,-0.06785925147406324,-0.1321478486084282,-0.184933884473935,1.7864213361190207,0.054395620025090796,-0.33268595845468396,-0.4305543276110938,-0.4291427990931713,-0.6954489565845732,-0.4844557713735539,-0.2963533729603425,-0.5433017673079795,0.17893650503284153,0.03313179669689048,0.7012377656407323,0.11476838790332677,-0.8286758077439662,0.12343622237379681,0.01917364954346268,0.01777488915050429,-0.052188582366273106,0.25410417532850604,-0.42868701844856094,-0.09110665213440217,0.11205215461348006,-0.13326889296874844,-0.1718794106020034,-0.16415036642350667,0.3263261990909079,0.8835792325787988,-0.39321934383257595,0.10031171344182721,0.2531358399955981,-0.3721917969376758,0.0068929931383372445,-0.11879307678629769,-0.22083453088336724,-0.4858995334837647,0.6848933383242148,-0.06554101569788329,0.033960581717347615,0.10409046991806004,-0.0679661350481886,-0.2206195305373151,0.21086564161915278,-0.33286494669518196,-0.21280188487828955,-0.1607245035112299,-0.06915204273800946,0.13841726913708463,0.13758146996840503;-0.5167957995860835,-0.08646823827744554,1.1264234112348617,-0.11019536520416984,-0.18250201563376223,1.5377814376670735,0.14127408020507692,0.16526334730642644,-0.30447788187293146,-0.581825803440287,-0.1756123656606723,-0.3046056218126689,0.18992998310127773,-0.1810295288051782,1.6248351935467649,-0.027617383436726817,-0.6856227620762226,0.7818333227770808,0.41186464204840334,1.9408455132940494,-0.47117211886323584,-0.3689848199184884,1.2365530208665998,-0.18002537637076088,-0.38912031126566027,-0.013821983291451456,-0.5593127656924748,-0.0708112140357482,-0.28865113367127826,-0.24795079652636698,0.2844696043165271,-0.3679891917247149,0.362019845816806,-0.6038861750841569,-0.6303115993608721,1.11175890137174,-0.0644098419771637,-0.5367508785963273,0.9870802776534253,0.08329188101216678,-0.3584128930295294,0.5921083724684144,-0.8546365453602207,-0.09806148456571862,-1.1478387259563734,1.137431539392443,-0.6083354064431943,-0.5580823585170518,0.07225006186192995,-0.04325445387149118,-0.17326131633011133,-0.29158760193195254,2.798895754878772,0.09850605950944624,-0.4809787186251395,-0.6368650157428742,-0.7363080941455407,-1.1948540866960764,-0.7016179805979333,-0.4994660404337756,-0.8564119368172272,0.37536469135730544,0.011778627539240638,1.0529134661075412,0.2281538908362577,-1.3722243400290886,0.2705758766598516,0.09817658843721921,0.024859571223800003,0.012569234723575962,0.36003267371323244,-0.645076640663631,-0.1403771467404311,0.17854295004669618,-0.12464668476294705,-0.214106646752791,-0.21149079578783203,0.5317684008542694,1.476722672972894,-0.5888032820611377,0.08430074869279314,0.4434246477217818,-0.46889743376249204,0.045829063385004476,-0.2020553405225196,-0.2952627641424985,-0.7863472273862742,0.9627349617860839,-0.11245047659818375,0.07531777471285661,0.19610115153127206,-0.0829968904688867,-0.33126108938660637,0.23446593769686896,-0.5578215600360521,-0.292965110641642,-0.24983353059257385,-0.061089931050962054,0.2965194980926189,0.2830618442151269;0.2585099059587712,-0.2713779467578785,0.17051819464175466,-0.41110920379073157,-0.3193119736992749,0.3988181602093199,-0.3440519868746623,0.03577005852971382,-0.24098858776511634,0.38257200022278326,0.1261990526769594,0.5523677479716866,-0.16001712253173395,0.1468823597699469,0.08039944008037381,-0.05539617171151434,0.6298094014747484,0.06217885244983279,-0.03345648759000497,0.021006139772399735,-0.29814156953952065,0.5253747287814399,0.2191786428482665,0.564603897912999,-0.06068807704736301,0.12113185323900666,0.16201975945326552,0.008178188068839631,-0.4684763822826561,-0.1946115686807115,0.170105681517839,0.06332317844801594,-0.016878646666164343,-0.04179663597873429,0.1867923072567379,-0.062493749651295616,-0.09532816945554501,1.3020423132263268,0.06515050588986071,-0.6266478666851825,-0.17092439266497017,-0.10590720964428257,0.23560716778058577,0.19134496421848013,0.24300695387532656,1.4949575859450732,0.20446445001079994,-0.7181962878919723,0.061014285221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k{246}=[0.15592863490005313;0.24263984529343885;0.01798309660789751];
x_a{246}=[1.2260521976310812,1.5810306132779726,16.164753677640583];
std_x_a{246}=[0.4100473916579224,0.6409639125029049,0.36629089452811575];
pred_a{246}=[1.2260521976310812];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.5 to 24.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{247}=[2.074053768922912,3.4884984179354412,12.782872376976917];
std_x_f{247}=[0.7655344032716316,1.2868024483434086,0.44204111515209205];
pred_f{247}=[2.074053768922912];
obs{247}=[1.7072724148103329];
sqrt_r{247}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{247}=[1.5941737663239737];
xi{247}=[-0.897192024831108,-0.10142263600588164,1.156657337755595,-2.0330284372389364,-0.09457173544626207,2.07943107405476,0.11399671794017507,0.14800743591665322,-0.32043408748259283,-0.7607233754842384,-0.22935328513782927,-0.2877101310529595,0.24579105845189897,-0.1378195732483436,2.061553282874458,-0.10044830825909323,-0.8615219241752654,0.6363181304176977,0.4182896135828784,1.6613263904421114,-0.4889717132394691,-0.5208686479164417,1.782792852403829,-0.4581897021678014,-0.5946939848653838,-0.16371751401606205,-0.7861371914768198,0.15552143628367876,-0.30956020881964696,-0.3527041466476908,0.3377096915068831,-0.4197692819747394,0.1311046057959242,-0.2574952184604715,-0.940950260829821,0.6745900891803913,-0.09580902177435435,-0.6428328397223166,0.9610296482328233,0.12720349398367814,0.21190423229979638,0.8710213696778353,-0.6971867162314251,-0.14847498616023036,-1.05465506707198,1.1377595179874098,-0.7640904071721499,-0.4827946362949096,0.17330281381034718,0.07092825860875163,-0.5062274276725438,-0.2032113928767989,2.7626011431114765,0.12844619444624117,0.19483098378556418,-0.5158173299499607,-0.801029099963654,-1.179092050365608,-0.8904645610677091,-0.5587590165255911,-1.033454999106708,0.2586596641471526,-0.02341726509031883,1.0637444004532979,-0.1539508730027892,-1.3185745204908759,0.9631476259813656,0.30275969219219734,0.14705432671984342,-0.1108963071639486,0.3029197823566916,-0.9101117927262774,-0.23558498390114435,0.20911830835770617,-0.044811876070598444,-0.19160141015836363,-0.4578261120824516,0.5349032517320156,1.1031345313835623,-0.9010273198075036,0.08513026003489177,0.5086575940690685,-0.5512305671119133,0.18660274653758613,-0.3576622049814042,-0.42096330512403135,-0.948461103770319,1.0098656343327654,1.0660730371057054,0.49688083743868416,0.8171806074858958,0.38252800116821506,-0.21363572569530054,0.3247831012775326,-0.6209293097709652,-0.24169195105286878,-0.2362538868749977,-0.18407611782811384,0.5649269048186882,0.24370189329320135;-1.5396933634867966,-0.1272014459052757,1.9322548380399902,-3.4638356732586897,-0.1250656070353151,3.396722307467003,0.23958976237430818,0.25740207309196395,-0.5182142857306515,-1.3197248285874816,-0.3866015383600576,-0.5262592286042369,0.4371994813684994,-0.23947150564692032,3.4485758217916955,-0.15663078043114664,-1.5004672061647018,1.0848146050601977,0.7189083495276152,2.7944057991011966,-0.8061150208545014,-0.9237706639374466,2.961827693477813,-0.8212500345567753,-1.0022942384443998,-0.27726954421595806,-1.3446159460460851,0.2669289928746976,-0.4824606522386854,-0.5772458606715616,0.5643166829560928,-0.7183813953224827,0.2310643723759802,-0.4324884850353077,-1.6128797893065965,1.1520445686995404,-0.14872269303433416,-1.1913061146774475,1.6252079370562176,0.28565288151249835,0.3790412203306128,1.4835169538390987,-1.2022835890316252,-0.2673038382747772,-1.8109274244875402,1.7057401712227436,-1.3069063707313782,-0.7630754123873937,0.3006859391823071,0.17072879603556812,-0.8415937523603456,-0.3397968825419695,4.525860115754709,0.23552707827089314,0.35834774029879046,-0.853216115355115,-1.3809342035716043,-2.039428849726881,-1.4906961998624575,-0.9559523522241684,-1.7627247344679924,0.500406170735674,-0.051323025943402545,1.7635892247861622,-0.22470828594788772,-2.271520144241898,1.6828912765113446,0.5590087814510123,0.2584347347247671,-0.13256695579852007,0.5045743086810957,-1.5369636460455196,-0.3966312338607114,0.3737016374154307,-0.019423926837234262,-0.28713482275052105,-0.7516612658016957,0.9208006530406645,1.9225189146852384,-1.5092863631395368,0.1155194359544689,0.8873376299234423,-0.8761017094625574,0.3448614958127063,-0.6163817023792593,-0.6808601485278998,-1.6292458765001554,1.6340265384953363,1.784533798656612,0.8545954362853849,1.406735175865792,0.6712747747600356,-0.34501799580029857,0.4914184886759685,-1.0653660013585506,-0.38516347695749253,-0.3970332218147128,-0.2824154298671986,1.0146472074460404,0.46837099399371773;-0.10373872351950553,-0.2876777557272625,0.5765643387430543,-0.8007612042691825,-0.3183674647915957,1.3376087434936768,-0.27166140130558425,0.02606697531650326,-0.3317659800181296,0.02812843545082444,-0.030185759536948353,0.28726652081909165,-0.08091989408237055,0.022956166700527803,1.084645400479383,-0.13287728562881362,0.20490806352619906,0.23596438275601095,0.07267932908230357,0.7343108573048642,-0.4239764358581315,0.19415125034522873,1.0064581025619166,0.2316121574603489,-0.27490756330774246,-0.00811780742291468,-0.14862466087002701,0.027641449451049738,-0.5028637788523262,-0.31080497077671865,0.20700604737306882,-0.13153187718471138,-0.032163444019579046,-0.13960527505012266,-0.16699074250665014,0.13776424039501478,-0.15952208571560078,0.7549926343264275,0.392444575954384,-0.4839623386815042,-0.07009666798749592,0.2394547074657396,-0.054017861861673566,0.052926077606640476,-0.11407475354041985,1.5809236083735065,-0.1068501878330892,-0.7326500226400192,0.062356060486065346,-0.3106657807438431,-0.3492076282230343,-0.1130384345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k{247}=[0.3727158098292426;0.6263420552161902;0.1523837655876588];
x_a{247}=[1.907859518040353,3.2092120396340023,12.714924344989472];
std_x_a{247}=[0.6590814726902072,1.1061381510151416,0.41993250581238956];
pred_a{247}=[1.907859518040353];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.6 to 24.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{248}=[4.04693547655514,7.263021096592344,11.217356480494448];
std_x_f{248}=[1.3280815126793248,2.242231986994286,1.2466289396876662];
pred_f{248}=[4.04693547655514];
obs{248}=[3.6649726513204888];
sqrt_r{248}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{248}=[2.7736437738764605];
xi{248}=[-0.9871594025434014,-0.5718405867089902,2.421077786704461,-2.3877412643138562,0.3079388155986207,2.6761044951141706,0.06251732663544995,-0.3296954986875833,-0.6513041125468968,-1.3090574529026648,-0.567650928083618,-0.7716138059883253,0.5985022721175639,1.2811418665667604,2.2042950527647136,-1.1066713927291403,-0.9477734442789063,2.0371061132803625,0.6067758510777796,-4.412411615567934,-0.33531295164310304,-0.5673805777977563,2.0603983535485133,0.9377007998292362,-0.4029077740364406,-0.18514731797137962,-0.9649432278552541,0.5617425331129766,0.03622426647950494,-0.28947128979798187,-0.05567969305530385,0.2164958929839127,-0.0061051496807138506,-1.0470527313996216,-1.1738881112167916,0.976801265837862,-0.4987164623744684,-1.1232733509819086,1.8047091214160496,0.4739806586790136,-0.39574479970460574,4.790101472894818,-1.60001591584837,-0.07889448488863193,-1.512841862368011,0.7121874399064634,-2.06955327710123,-0.4561167144574729,0.11237155829724177,0.3548096408696386,-1.9211069119967643,0.18558763443948845,4.0374200454596085,0.915003103237428,0.363955603983138,-0.23219062715568306,-0.7026741266107357,-1.7197058014798134,-0.7598773960208844,-0.8131849062314558,-0.9432511905023331,-0.5183231285892966,0.0012212903241159978,1.265198377259626,-0.520392315385791,-0.4611176874892471,1.4357176001800926,-0.9483431922256274,-0.26083155911197586,-0.33320575941242403,0.7150713860604361,-2.389571445129751,-0.4811563119667266,0.896506615907775,0.10133585829760605,-0.03296928709783398,-0.6064611251634671,1.348925270209409,1.9713441518523798,-1.0869231025914923,0.11279718198428679,0.956282189630195,-0.5518749297809369,0.3045819984492546,-0.5503314637686576,-0.4229427141479585,-0.9758247262481663,1.8735137765481218,0.532010713444464,2.9664102041755935,0.5121394774479073,0.933075280992699,-0.15657877432558287,0.9473817680505663,-2.126473504413388,-0.4228167986875895,-0.3596985955253724,-0.14122451360358745,0.7443183372380675,-1.1077633576944197;-1.7107512585447742,-0.9071479879709381,4.030244773818922,-4.212366226424747,0.6212997492692427,4.324435661604908,0.21064717000281252,-0.5169863135942938,-1.0726577196381566,-2.2817158063760212,-0.9453795362177981,-1.343641117286472,1.1024476830333017,2.205516806390828,3.6583962669186034,-1.8908563271072198,-1.6626829715334743,3.4531613885283052,1.104959474453799,-7.937422387262914,-0.5023192348120311,-0.9827128895965247,3.4205533108590993,1.5791689308865733,-0.6491987515529836,-0.2728341009057642,-1.6607607311459684,1.0205526904007618,0.16702530548821226,-0.4411704498671467,-0.05334445475628424,0.4151484746015299,0.05249183856914108,-1.784137361332414,-2.0379847081304314,1.739651089811944,-0.797988852342864,-2.0280390299941713,3.068401992809842,0.9488684456664993,-0.6201000452635013,7.495232813777281,-2.8013266051428225,-0.10237782688525421,-2.655559805735546,1.069485370994923,-3.64111625624253,-0.6813029982373413,0.24862095281217123,0.7135171743074737,-3.3490056410989766,0.36128578193592364,6.249466155050858,1.633059945094323,0.7119007463146332,-0.3285160073808422,-1.2181248810756902,-3.046170571542919,-1.2560698422520442,-1.3985746433121289,-1.6297946818480602,-0.7800391425388273,0.03423931149465531,2.1572492202594526,-0.8307009900432556,-0.8282687595473384,2.5421988402007143,-1.5812827346660665,-0.39833173836131053,-0.4791442744958472,1.26773111213424,-4.209975129037362,-0.7828274739184113,1.5948185765203577,0.29034104409518857,0.032332085361171714,-0.9731297502313909,2.351769078353196,3.407931549007654,-1.846298301271438,0.21308308798716968,1.725004276981152,-0.8377600105246739,0.6099480528691616,-0.9111919948004301,-0.654158934904733,-1.692566956702235,3.1080268408804033,0.9438552336542694,4.915570898768816,0.95308201156847,1.6724325168648617,-0.208067103168581,1.6047880778378607,-3.7382645223610043,-0.6628932792850746,-0.5708875766959709,-0.16384172932180174,1.3889495306078397,-1.8491229145617574;-0.6640892095690489,-0.7771956403750568,2.411861481651359,-1.584342104254441,-0.11951296466392058,3.0576948107651027,-0.3555119190581131,-0.4329493208662072,-0.806502998909199,-0.7962829096656954,-0.5378569910550972,-0.40646426864815766,0.21986546841661259,1.0950775784997937,2.2577687329557214,-1.0207897203978185,-0.4011770307925655,1.8453813662144878,0.29877277888902043,-2.075703059107914,-0.5905693134455241,-0.2565147265418162,2.1184816312633377,1.0258336226847646,-0.49002605401699206,-0.25252588510373997,-0.7205064132147516,0.30238204224399823,-0.42005850102214737,-0.5180816260060084,-0.14219971825113475,0.061618906825920305,-0.22615574565333674,-0.9381913186854334,-0.8162821565211544,0.6141527526857686,-0.628706461387214,-0.15202096427198875,1.5963836517526424,-0.17340491954461612,-0.5880231642274811,5.672296717766603,-1.049781421459235,-0.1217584932416802,-0.9378787939170756,1.3776836373278627,-1.3135243263762924,-0.926267616387733,-0.0697935449617102,-0.12741350567687704,-1.5166530583914781,-0.021217086693082976,5.105501406149717,0.5736745395667686,-0.002497228716819677,-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k{248}=[0.6394634345554786;1.0781429707876264;0.5634481509580099];
x_a{248}=[3.6877044804460115,6.65735335639806,10.900828545374598];
std_x_a{248}=[0.8155206477889259,1.3784158020934365,0.8409154920493246];
pred_a{248}=[3.6877044804460115];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.7 to 24.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{249}=[8.250343551254309,14.56923620573077,14.108844135773776];
std_x_f{249}=[1.5290275447425257,2.2980553220909856,2.4953651278477427];
pred_f{249}=[8.250343551254309];
obs{249}=[8.326394863634594];
sqrt_r{249}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{249}=[3.3434195995107276];
xi{249}=[-0.7375244579047857,-1.2669814225602458,2.3914645759179596,-1.326112535590572,-0.06608933814627704,1.1311327212308342,0.020392869423304205,-0.9694621775461005,-0.3775969940571384,-1.190608708854617,-2.3499270639371215,-2.0031455776394536,-0.08254436543609067,1.5094846898330996,0.6433255299975684,0.542980224095821,-0.3628627031299576,1.5694686315748037,0.488543037029185,-3.836083052259049,0.19086753134942747,-1.4240480029403209,2.6599443314525377,0.8550241844567736,0.2925182849181187,0.24592085387218177,0.11741086637502107,-0.9651732017593178,1.7654421687393818,1.309696113569112,1.6175159128591599,1.0949174726588353,0.1612512807255868,-0.8327642760432727,-0.7647920128675159,1.0996534483086524,1.190435329013761,1.189296972953736,1.4524256269486102,0.07162002582288451,-1.6367024182905139,4.346273670456247,-3.0194887727150403,0.25241883023072376,-1.4380981002361173,-1.2811232295193475,-1.8021346039873851,-2.882099956530179,0.4034380638328905,0.2194439896069671,-1.6363658804138508,2.2454981253375497,1.6073125582779184,0.680607392473938,-0.48756621422089275,0.11671022739011327,-1.3820111781583737,-0.7722153623691774,-2.0398538009621374,-1.5173444564256195,0.20977855523861777,0.30433608416392843,0.38147274939630726,1.2192343058415993,-0.9973459251278456,-2.0984556690796694,1.309299029043279,-0.4663223155008662,0.11343094404469056,-0.06726772370182843,0.926579832463899,-7.6353246287839065,0.06757073718252471,1.4807277142971902,0.6968190615927252,1.630237562747073,-1.595623286617597,1.426557926725657,1.8759610238187143,-0.5187681235012835,0.20320597247901162,1.143984288179933,1.640208291469051,0.3413299102074987,-0.47116275686327036,0.07608946264730854,0.0827774005705777,-0.21993881883806843,0.784288859920311,0.8477926173068688,-0.21192463717357057,1.019049501278893,0.27088562790406634,1.6921667135981107,0.1430521154513258,-0.7230303358709493,0.8362228253468249,-0.01166395174988466,0.6151436142937214,-1.3530902306331773;-0.9981924273201805,-1.693424068947282,2.967702774560374,-2.004052246252501,0.17387241199421943,1.378884134403716,0.3115372706745134,-1.2432700274557202,-0.33542659198426783,-1.7386602333131922,-3.511098521552487,-3.008740549289721,0.1314535140156199,2.15183390105763,0.9202098371873983,0.9093943635259283,-0.511416394179852,2.1817920526885555,0.9126845192586579,-6.436086720588788,0.5109339933765114,-2.0632923054334817,3.2185664872202775,1.2503595997457673,0.5996740318314835,0.5242014231687637,0.26765569949148116,-1.2233058850835814,2.613507269718541,1.9839914327128643,2.2935160671763892,1.6715273922694056,0.4421145600815848,-1.0869779826665216,-1.047328636841085,1.7267323147239129,1.8037063948931884,1.417306789459543,2.064360979256419,0.44711361929796745,-2.2931137660713183,3.5340248180451095,-4.739749741099191,0.5234083295510494,-2.130193460191135,-1.9689337579371955,-2.7553626206337896,-4.323069432143802,0.7736013554449439,0.6062561718240662,-2.4025754246833326,3.0356874913943503,1.5158748657309697,1.173382468561428,-0.46217628817322876,0.4066148276947139,-1.988486827975887,-1.2017004301783238,-2.9610250038854673,-2.1807772369358798,0.3862874127018898,0.7250733378648224,0.7031392191061876,1.76183736014851,-1.2671669790066993,-3.1816421352741724,2.0257067501915262,-0.45702352431317195,0.36000383334984676,0.1992915296555573,1.4501324045421473,-13.33074728780525,0.2800843347244655,2.187856029518729,1.287841541642985,2.4263226103365962,-2.2064208872781563,2.11505062262127,2.6404522281482965,-0.6073121977065714,0.42888541604402697,1.8097915069804866,2.49357826211458,0.7415070825462777,-0.5250822242896955,0.358021163899263,0.2056928949649688,-0.2708885668695036,1.2636085445082372,1.1847310163714937,-0.06221016421297243,1.6313523013459186,0.5985309736639213,2.290972447370768,0.16282392162865733,-0.8399209350847592,1.3337178994612646,0.2318593835256504,1.1633429619358466,-1.8341266702936334;-1.2837511735233633,-2.5218837703050063,4.807402846236634,-1.8872635642925601,-0.7128365426223571,2.53849776484563,-0.5835772501471617,-1.9546295270736636,-1.084554537544701,-1.856091663215354,-3.822654652257004,-3.086845330577903,-0.6648894407015948,2.593423965135262,1.2167475972419197,0.7112922514604563,-0.46939037510040116,2.795818000911492,0.41503550691166424,-3.9213618927496245,-0.16719116901838227,-2.306536837878152,5.453546466835363,1.5069801380621364,0.1599757054479074,0.11606020100741077,0.09415596444515195,-1.993225533436906,2.7276491375069973,1.982438916130647,2.7623978781260377,1.6711719378366112,-0.1577024703588492,-1.621721498052331,-1.3058924302540156,1.5651454744596567,1.8029464880288426,2.766067747179793,2.5213176753834112,-0.6496200763280537,-3.0296916558636795,11.17392213367351,-4.285172731130018,0.16030800511073728,-2.16661301671607,-1.6381893163958825,-2.5940405431645743,-4.88745119650288,0.3348581662307435,-0.2597953914203526,-2.6330743134218952,4.035926861652477,4.392458626443563,0.7773905519204547,-1.3528399483658902,-0.28816172736297574,-2.2632729720509435,-0.8383987410792155,-3.54894368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k{249}=[0.7009050254576665;1.0356743056931;1.0867029400936419];
x_a{249}=[8.353878765104927,14.722222354816388,14.2693680544334];
std_x_a{249}=[0.9404400931830803,1.4124734623483142,1.7169249837203975];
pred_a{249}=[8.353878765104927];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.8 to 24.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{250}=[15.019820508506541,19.53106067461142,30.787451947056024];
std_x_f{250}=[0.7388079790966617,1.3178523758282379,3.0813448818572597];
pred_f{250}=[15.019820508506541];
obs{250}=[15.292386482288912];
sqrt_r{250}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{250}=[1.5458964773315216];
xi{250}=[-0.07658647470793589,0.52281079888715,-0.16634279087499415,0.5965142964250241,0.7126010029673289,0.713019348104984,0.2841057746375757,-1.3904663650591154,-0.2963966978168031,-0.19218232783509492,0.7018744046034744,-0.29725472028574984,0.39290626549724017,0.42586771202459417,0.018794469921838086,0.3194122830891608,-0.045158181244193685,0.047606501749392294,0.3165899130424705,-1.3821052576989992,0.5482403508310458,-0.45092909636660927,0.05499323326691652,-0.8341441271928627,0.4122048503896618,0.5572100745581192,0.09103318848880271,-0.144174531610183,0.4173483717679769,0.8612646260882268,0.2346481962941933,-0.4056733943849249,0.8219834722229713,0.4374773409914283,-0.397429341312991,0.335470523918163,0.18229873474581026,-0.3081551185400748,-0.16433409637471819,0.5974343494236667,0.12936021763608885,-1.9372544845779647,-0.8647580069400398,0.606076190880751,-0.2664140536551205,-0.49747216263502914,-0.6565200941595659,-0.5712218869618049,0.7132336415434626,-0.43222504517825655,0.8494018934868741,0.27505803282148733,-0.4278676174497793,0.33585208496552,0.04911292872752604,0.35626348170847777,-0.7812426778336654,-0.09101397762147379,-0.020190919793257933,-0.5994635019798231,0.18001778180894235,-2.110495297884686,0.2998595265754318,0.1782865624509764,0.4891371799460167,0.20405968504029026,0.3551029821326459,0.6198170142289641,0.24696771528607897,0.8938099658778356,-1.647840791296419,-3.340938844230342,-0.035456252028460256,0.09772886407222003,0.05690514789088752,0.5157502457442575,0.8073672309818782,0.2941760098696573,-0.0025968898182551214,-0.13422838405587,0.08485319153923321,0.4714342911906524,0.36911788078067964,0.42139186007394613,-0.03473813871482889,-0.2818231929013155,-2.643977515269656,-0.14063183978309546,0.6715069194804357,0.29145729259082387,0.2507645068147202,0.625216515283407,0.47481357093883503,-0.22995121136756147,-0.056393446228179656,1.042432050796947,1.2181027874470303,-0.749457129444119,0.5735097116380192,-0.5461491630739612;0.7440960519469932,0.2427892076326046,-1.4409814700505734,-1.5317110079123282,-0.0761003910560305,-4.5672879310785,0.9366222115339902,1.9182248861910587,1.5009492064732264,0.6960097607715419,-1.239276372922852,0.7277937660010103,0.5921069453864014,-1.1343203680475291,0.02452355734354228,0.020951922163536807,0.3580322780185874,-0.3555995327747894,0.41813290782606316,-0.8163906147630726,0.08211219011383619,1.1029234447156036,-2.7632848894902864,1.0963505072752184,0.11272758737072763,-0.30733247592886315,0.40900306930199193,1.3297641814519707,-0.5460013865811497,-2.117829772809646,-0.5921719646419739,0.9998156296311116,-0.8958948839648038,0.06617361576844516,1.1076005281038448,-0.01571454382397519,0.13463266274089136,-0.6147059434772437,0.22882325550122218,0.5640773902723595,0.8818818872326091,-4.9069367516120295,0.7139526700215022,-0.5515254709627193,0.6828145762369999,0.6027839119467551,0.8837480723514233,1.4265335781982174,-0.7474772848802331,1.7674960097257006,-2.0194453350254093,-1.4568893632105393,-2.3681545621235074,0.25791978188641096,1.2523176591542473,0.5476322229251345,1.3871835224466018,0.010383995854873262,0.9158789433330554,1.348915422434871,0.15291097783061502,1.9112372754164006,0.21203403127311304,-0.30203846947737745,0.38489714713314527,-0.3180632345061092,-0.05381667389751499,0.036123691122121215,0.5838896696450817,-0.506200710173097,1.5746004772675342,-2.6662746479059862,0.9899799822875117,0.10721127087793292,1.1464892317816222,-0.8120497313840289,-0.6857359907215503,-0.32400524860878477,-0.14776702449477597,1.0936898845786018,0.5780476048969199,-0.24195174485319626,-0.09715004701500618,0.4168730210188869,0.9942115827598172,1.5231245174451828,1.2629313412947134,0.6018951973320448,-1.0697320741205445,-0.8012966623657896,0.8661470044977122,-0.693005631178405,0.13382140242846674,-0.10160794272825768,0.05435601692204273,-1.4864998531487927,-5.063473743210013,1.861196454213566,0.15421139588996624,1.7021435517302912;-1.0164138556360314,1.3662311931816085,1.3514416352267453,3.5696674811190228,2.3024222787876987,6.923255973792653,-0.1546668027806568,-7.060904990593347,-2.6952800565655792,-1.30833463183561,3.5027255275559277,-1.7013413643307267,0.5955012295696882,2.683974403388998,0.1752261055806983,1.0649949172445012,-0.42534768222640196,0.7067633799574544,0.5808746500636524,-3.0334160436665023,1.6620716214933857,-2.668493694649303,3.402496884183531,-3.8969379452830815,1.2164355251224315,2.1230846629363676,-0.0937401794463888,-1.9776091608144206,1.9958154778236512,4.886691186184077,1.5269633161489402,-2.3926674693930643,3.5055387386004746,1.3426422558756776,-2.484805214559767,1.1490209035367869,0.5156757953567563,-0.012438874358686292,-0.6340664952917265,1.2265987820324078,-0.5754381360385992,0.3142759835601261,-3.515625073721985,2.5355650205333866,-1.5244897455419881,-2.151993870066576,-3.04228814705629,-3.5635967836737237,3.0553234460580363,-3.5007770813544887,4.7504534363178585,2.607716707740341,1.7075858981710148,0.8266641119153171,-1.282812567132659,0.537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k{250}=[0.35312615387663676;-0.1509121507801971;1.2843282985654976];
x_a{250}=[15.092288534635744,19.500090706610205,31.051019897708105];
std_x_a{250}=[0.5801316221663767,1.3121729636551145,2.644125043116584];
pred_a{250}=[15.092288534635744];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.9 to 25.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{251}=[12.415259509262537,3.5614585800319514,39.77741612843235];
std_x_f{251}=[1.1674877521083902,1.8494881254286852,1.1373183513077982];
pred_f{251}=[12.415259509262537];
obs{251}=[12.551957138128728];
sqrt_r{251}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{251}=[2.3652560420329927];
xi{251}=[0.4696921122173272,-0.05130752296681074,-1.1636394946396535,-0.6724709283790151,-0.7707811874817807,-3.1045257914928577,0.26523667381725247,3.032272265472159,1.0909339303085304,-0.06739772994380999,-1.2027374938483568,0.25194237122013163,0.6044597595952954,-1.0865320790399373,0.05041701387466091,-0.3613217290225297,0.14181190706216285,-0.7743321027358281,0.1379698379367511,0.13881019422630203,-1.6648739750422443,0.9261089529273114,-1.8890915458577968,1.2958447315525685,-0.2859038654939603,-0.9889835812392693,0.1259399232917673,1.5465970796244424,-0.46807051867961924,-1.8395206544332154,-0.787755055239364,0.735600462905234,-1.864470441627514,-0.5462340120336702,1.5398039567506459,0.09664331375403812,-0.31808832688795796,0.3976459090766209,0.8479362403519914,0.3320891672072843,0.42037993859025136,-2.883868311080086,0.9695403666095306,-0.9119770461621268,0.9336153497805206,0.5636775129105267,1.2442024885145777,2.133573890588499,0.31824163124423066,0.8849768180583943,-1.4791927262346984,-0.99293702635687,-1.6224972013132533,0.43794227647632233,-0.3127052108578976,-0.005846924255424213,1.2934905338280203,0.39881363987408847,2.04032687053728,0.9299479630243273,0.9940820295136614,2.7146164207952364,-0.1008566872677612,-0.777269482521664,-0.25196748265305047,-0.6265214393935388,-0.9584865264629201,-0.19220623585423802,0.172156766475414,-1.563779790996728,1.8944260431676838,-0.23294583889226317,0.378590318071204,-0.06922790363544706,0.9146223619311602,-0.4222301669121702,-0.5755327363525797,-0.5007262046150718,0.07840346811627619,0.28653498600015936,-0.05832435149049786,-0.4592671641101802,-0.29896365645677214,0.673254640499314,0.2442644243587786,1.1347362374507401,2.812118006307813,0.6009818355390006,-0.8043569650637501,-1.0771386777581586,0.2726038631425034,-0.7976046170348905,0.201511402925453,-0.02386449632226828,0.04954984994387068,-1.6729338826081754,-3.701436793674759,1.7490046382503586,0.09836547667905116,1.4163957300462435;0.3796803098694843,-0.5501222152669483,-1.1201401558163475,-0.2765984280182967,-1.869055532899429,-3.195256170094226,-0.3992294340043179,5.2845046533585425,1.0521115625516062,-0.6781708667304658,-1.7615395857909102,0.010459776221500405,0.6230176775858904,-1.4802344440491084,0.12360700229611332,-0.9032471546135725,0.036308264832271675,-1.3348559922353713,-0.19153086822159837,1.7584041574032323,-3.8455022644041743,1.160221373247425,-1.6678445170241956,2.1345683725052185,-0.8698023944474333,-2.070446488687708,-0.10257586509373207,2.149963780335592,-0.651580092226629,-2.4749509910466583,-1.225786902896011,0.8362154242321562,-3.5483977593097897,-1.4042778984440636,2.4717063115769395,0.12077409859452803,-0.8553478599865159,1.6762173974528753,1.7625065623467258,-0.03522864516331348,0.0461556425796128,-1.2101153523991033,1.8215473010702032,-1.6954913667111127,1.5368689189758715,0.9096372027284181,2.1758873943265193,3.502630226620922,1.150931479518266,0.3974348238704435,-1.7528086379251764,-0.9098499917175458,-1.1950301923019908,0.6123827327317635,-1.8320945229616865,-0.6444649593332503,1.8060865594403586,0.9553337737666405,3.6105993674613277,0.9728603770251727,2.0055703631814827,4.826226455321999,-0.5096581021642894,-1.448190197985105,-1.0838475946846224,-1.1147067253010028,-2.139296043265117,-0.6887290012401595,-0.25305669175535384,-3.2593305425738115,3.256569374297837,3.63018713491682,-0.08421703469885111,-0.2621292915626947,0.8874797523155866,-0.3496603353217891,-0.9317010632659062,-0.8717158701558314,0.36014633740859514,-0.3189526296599108,-0.6725260687264258,-0.9400152631892182,-0.6856153908382345,0.9302050086687874,-0.3682417179160975,1.116550832883357,6.037143143720147,0.8292631068301688,-1.0198359114863957,-1.6839536188424729,-0.3052584639825717,-1.3332124616508465,0.15004354899334205,0.19077986636637378,0.13076928243499442,-2.732391433323639,-4.385619691013943,2.272177028279854,-0.1432743162290051,1.6349792505090397;0.5896941228927943,0.22258013908832197,-1.368318874046416,-1.1499275367948556,-0.16281116382061356,-3.3461562589044576,0.7428540953546161,2.2655629760262315,1.3143842638563399,0.325176895012639,-1.0284156805568827,0.432842211977821,0.6757192963092891,-0.9948642645041019,-0.024320985804699546,-0.07534912140120298,0.2219554505792658,-0.5102831278926416,0.35516253848781076,-1.0389198766638899,-0.3346930523179026,0.9138215334906761,-2.296630059129619,0.9454582596772667,0.035970652974064876,-0.4010079693797266,0.28474522880549813,1.45189971973155,-0.45663055144676434,-1.6659893768443297,-0.6175798809778499,0.7741291555391356,-0.9033416582484577,-0.07368776584286962,1.214346539109627,0.05189453374803321,-0.01620603396239062,-0.47358758490032926,0.3471134262494431,0.5992115293919227,0.7219605264818227,-4.305275803624525,0.5265579030543392,-0.5329508070413524,0.6775667547451647,0.40439962134093577,0.8261755628240621,1.6776085591443746,-0.2946488921643322,1.353887009057047,-1.5588906410260037,-1.2384849404430511,-2.1257218445832464,0.36561470564798526,0.654121974911483,0.4072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k{251}=[0.5772127912458574;0.8293534004727183;0.4955132186001505];
x_a{251}=[12.634601982971834,3.876615189860811,39.965712536224736];
std_x_a{251}=[0.812622337950012,1.3687318885720925,0.895131692382008];
pred_a{251}=[12.634601982971834];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.0 to 25.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{252}=[3.8631920836936975,-2.8052729290913594,30.456640708098462];
std_x_f{252}=[0.6320813356676316,0.6835632533809448,0.8141434896614516];
pred_f{252}=[3.8631920836936975];
obs{252}=[3.5472235035521735];
sqrt_r{252}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{252}=[1.399655765584355];
xi{252}=[0.1129872462395749,-0.39390541422516145,0.0040204073661107564,-0.5245749086732103,-0.9585183411379341,-0.19827662175018146,-0.4407866890304475,0.9832626955619514,0.29551117092559887,-0.34599733235687413,-0.26078898943596274,0.026358594276163938,-0.31403806294910197,-0.22803946311947598,-0.18266168537441896,-0.4099464080181492,-0.28319828165854144,-0.4535522992761134,0.36132950283897314,0.7396210580908185,-1.4579694375573133,-0.05089469767538768,0.17990966515122464,0.7322511907965148,0.08223517701029781,-0.623470716202188,-0.4945877344349321,0.2743810863506204,0.6865870179748845,-0.4173992582934254,1.005719341079105,0.2076353108904212,-1.104970286414099,-0.7050069650671955,0.5014272861167615,-0.036554356601619986,-0.36725126192482005,0.46368377713420683,0.49969165974357077,-0.26890312435139174,-0.3880862388764732,1.1806147883317712,0.3602942968024405,-0.30637431910245105,0.22160215106648407,0.1423698432538294,-0.0339572317475354,0.47661269091909864,0.9177323068189724,0.3922248257356533,0.02169554870510204,-0.6953939403008924,0.28726549956396985,-0.44197068059013045,-0.860517416412979,-0.3802771921988013,0.001001671227718326,0.31339697790878107,0.8708188759539195,-0.04498508283446778,1.3755277076830246,0.7597513925172339,-0.37851823479343727,-0.5368342082240045,-0.16158659335027536,-0.4636756213507707,-0.9829492839588418,0.16873249944356727,-0.25466861033668975,-1.29254765563353,0.9946302000967653,2.9955489888970495,-0.32911539004426604,-0.06897099063084733,-0.04350574641271843,-0.08630143223744513,-0.46611043694398635,-0.31936590842912294,0.35721867244146877,-0.4373086926748795,-0.09862698183588137,-0.07211997741509668,0.030269965107701857,-0.16941580465199468,-0.3096257261620683,0.15457277030760386,1.620449366574881,0.16482176637647017,-0.7935300876254874,-0.3753884580388025,0.719324524246344,0.5410914648512928,-0.23832528382763396,0.10814121311035674,-0.11003739000817969,-0.653689179952794,-0.3586113386513179,-0.28753371901213187,0.614062189100451,0.014832805205188038;-0.28886114726472556,-0.27943622912040755,0.6332251033538605,0.8161212955767154,-0.5184894021042448,1.2066623271776236,-0.5994948126174058,0.3598776904404297,-0.7120683918481121,-0.42054971976581257,0.11538711899491938,-0.3001825616119014,-0.08782410884468783,0.2172152947641437,0.1918734073356787,-0.2049276527994457,-0.016408069134692838,-0.05163016724119407,-0.5593637759959997,1.5462385382779058,-1.208327383663638,-0.08987785331145837,1.0735711281358378,-0.046481536388189415,-0.45325276360038513,-0.44314752764417875,-0.0967785537403425,-0.18280436921770615,-0.28716962858634654,0.2972578441178677,-0.8928474356337888,-0.2563212340504255,-0.6814042766879376,-0.39245456726577244,0.07777751134814359,0.09675733338430259,-0.2287421986523257,1.1268784969930052,0.4740375999622133,-0.35707079413448284,-0.3795622714797542,2.6980354755862037,0.4102327489775872,-0.2289946734108561,0.20002058670973888,0.13777023029504099,0.47014410617044167,0.2511608025042742,0.4494173891974529,-1.2640117679527898,0.48141408264391305,0.608756735565442,1.1466390069253416,0.152349156517384,-1.1014699711751006,-0.4653245621885267,-0.0015245008792823533,0.3917375742714104,0.26708601694245404,-0.2904277356602245,-0.3796835265673799,0.6856640416977346,-0.18262218513420558,-0.1465121248904846,-0.6200620001427208,-0.03871742697443059,-0.5417502014762441,-0.4355734589547007,-0.35236330464764043,-0.7989521397922918,0.028326832921129252,3.075148584708767,-0.4642506720609938,-0.05341727351610359,-0.38052634552109854,0.40406286282071235,0.09567180250877083,0.011386198014681437,0.23430986222083527,-0.5553945172567865,-0.5127288920351529,-0.17584426849128,-0.18380874429140093,0.09327523081413558,-0.5725661655294507,-0.6065371364839929,1.4077498072340058,-0.015799599562619004,0.2795460782019039,0.006026644184338625,-1.4262377431773436,-0.4294392144293244,0.021721130968429314,0.3020274566660679,0.18750537730797978,-0.14529039075243677,0.8428700652981342,-0.14530985796015194,-0.6260698416683486,-0.3962479027482222;0.4187499001827568,-0.32927247887345246,-0.5958953299834313,-1.6686880562702555,-0.9032375187197168,-1.4220107317161066,-0.07278201996672706,1.240830140925322,1.0485460136884015,-0.11075275581243815,-0.4988878668990431,0.2970226708128898,-0.3851801536145416,-0.5412599226119639,-0.4667353873949196,-0.412241204437084,-0.40509183474347665,-0.6123467824112439,1.0060773229507163,-0.3544798578941979,-0.8442861928765559,0.020277133121830104,-0.7497107270037802,1.100886301954752,0.5127854418193287,-0.4749910863160913,-0.6390659405995116,0.5919070333144525,1.2106559285313487,-0.8902198674110515,2.134802458599083,0.5294591715123609,-0.8879506333933058,-0.6626846528489878,0.688304022218265,-0.1594221954522972,-0.32454442814871953,-0.381365435906595,0.30165607177135456,-0.0641406000501803,-0.2130618585767472,-0.6210369356235361,0.15465239805007513,-0.23204666114839156,0.14704129501468444,0.08027689246955205,-0.48387076830605835,0.5326147874294023,0.912575416136022,1.606630663498926,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k{252}=[0.2855386127156051;0.152764728123238;0.2816320856477276];
x_a{252}=[3.7669293758829943,-2.8567740071671124,30.361694995107182];
std_x_a{252}=[0.5527883891235278,0.6696506472200294,0.7469065710625628];
pred_a{252}=[3.7669293758829943];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.1 to 25.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{253}=[-0.3552326824271673,-2.6259273501984137,22.9633568364993];
std_x_f{253}=[0.5334516401750463,0.7033380641265696,0.512863409046522];
pred_f{253}=[-0.3552326824271673];
obs{253}=[-0.5900038896727057];
sqrt_r{253}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{253}=[1.284759755255616];
xi{253}=[-0.13682537106368142,-0.2214392481707942,0.4300455530070506,0.7346069625930545,-0.4477220917758157,0.7056218197792681,-0.4134236224784309,0.3298331922734173,-0.4894263903497853,-0.47421448287375145,0.03691078262066322,-0.31469192445209704,-0.19695784917172376,0.27625786763702487,0.0995337453833014,-0.7742087990566185,-0.529551754459827,-0.2508438180584158,-0.2792913631812156,1.2182889006674666,-1.2087487220850512,-0.027192875297740726,0.7497583375314518,0.0871451355032497,-0.3849332654502139,-0.3420224975150097,0.036297069823954364,-0.1266545278620087,-0.23058922167413043,0.15492121699637773,-0.4768574972341031,-0.08115857353407507,-0.39245555346874317,-0.20019711154155861,0.02723388831945628,0.07447414942270231,-0.1854605629321141,1.0339829200833308,0.2504929878729276,-0.22955222566630717,-0.19940185394987697,2.0129899659944335,0.378694385636605,-0.42610890824837777,0.18628512246522763,0.058165253816826745,0.3770523331642965,0.14242753634779226,0.39965572064245225,-0.7735448485149666,0.1939622229668891,0.1806464938242899,0.8336194769679129,0.010626565571555613,-0.7420514607039325,-0.403567888491284,0.011874489899818208,0.3047990512036989,0.21947284860065402,-0.14543743519277896,-0.12268726449656386,0.31970353232005944,-0.15033043024332526,-0.21984850075717854,-0.40325195969084404,-0.11172803397923281,-0.37448211302524326,0.1962115220695897,-0.48648400091414534,-0.8213617732140929,0.38834077954371576,2.3066664496505505,-0.3553743152825919,0.6978575675396228,-0.44877385279603743,0.7612737980775877,0.004096819111457595,-0.12250964901179312,0.20082855499590999,-0.39937994505169305,-0.3186176307007994,-0.11421746104342262,-0.30012054608955085,0.11351181857336959,-0.3780278128583964,-0.33325357226122765,1.0856820915099743,0.05694131311765921,-0.2307626541005502,0.06391453352812315,-1.1814098054754139,-0.14693849194189157,0.10949108362951132,0.16596807859121498,0.3615225191894562,-0.24479908382108173,0.36038489635838,-0.11253215276748252,-0.35069861764292154,0.08405005719658332;-0.30643317586432595,-0.2009905408853796,0.7152854020039359,1.259330531395968,-0.35039116671597137,1.3501218849404373,-0.5277811512789845,0.11329587671567065,-0.8739668331153587,-0.5019628493714205,0.1946069741611196,-0.4152426789613104,-0.09954228670156784,0.4204755491049892,0.26203944536011825,-0.6236668349534185,-0.346270282676008,-0.0824188090519633,-0.6554227136887683,1.6337750053535816,-1.223188068463068,-0.05049687649685142,1.1778883819114834,-0.20649322588173025,-0.5722306405091433,-0.3191564515905343,0.13968811306054452,-0.28424231153516866,-0.5524642075319326,0.43839348882518836,-1.2051216694061315,-0.2772545325072122,-0.3556262790511888,-0.15096567293092233,-0.09204481902193695,0.14158510318388773,-0.15444534167519963,1.3190388041149852,0.3206637474416598,-0.3008487939816331,-0.2416180270942867,2.80107496163301,0.418052691432254,-0.3692168036689041,0.18685726154744575,0.08428492439320578,0.5892028484161278,0.09829457189845536,0.26314745887380875,-1.4273756022850113,0.4409822514543835,0.7287848117288229,1.2479035737828381,0.24523695125043776,-0.9395434834768048,-0.45110182800411724,0.014297891113956851,0.36962091096629424,0.03297451314794975,-0.25701812833364324,-0.7852204013549366,0.41059378484065956,-0.09085995312389361,-0.08642113799251439,-0.6134138456012121,0.04682442655907737,-0.2922958868975969,-0.2006649113131167,-0.493189513558006,-0.7245970851217458,-0.06953805897151133,2.3804455986309963,-0.43216029447811843,0.46057930244080714,-0.5439325109270445,0.8386376614488742,0.2148851087702659,0.020254184893496063,0.18159529499057436,-0.48603228343707405,-0.5053615782624146,-0.16008355365501625,-0.3390536433388238,0.2037464475959232,-0.5207994159316103,-0.6492913023546381,1.0710188705803223,-0.016617688234970895,0.21468648399572476,0.1715152641362394,-1.89481439728756,-0.537929379958415,0.17910727753427924,0.2869117150896785,0.42685129035578084,-0.06948366258685157,0.9052889984981531,-0.07998989155291758,-0.8202000110319854,-0.19335314589147723;0.2975692572963631,-0.14508859619165193,-0.4489960211838451,-0.8622351195270745,-0.39230624604405406,-1.0819621349139226,0.09465580754830683,0.6271305340311457,0.6405701612540966,-0.13398315727790688,-0.33812226535251,0.08314938987452081,-0.32543314397646483,-0.21399910661008548,-0.33127670656093855,-0.704967737304866,-0.6721238799179261,-0.49945924773443906,0.6687297747839835,-0.2772456052371375,-0.29493468676586687,0.03736805236121654,-0.5909098879349131,0.6264107570486779,0.2541260047991827,-0.16356352368896054,-0.2068646189454597,0.30344220211016903,0.5672708787214944,-0.5618257188881266,1.2822868344953164,0.36825161490455116,-0.16668656010357452,-0.17867548112582554,0.2718627738692092,-0.11956934380048523,-0.14983254131887946,-0.13757432461001784,-0.059829125295621566,0.04340303204335072,0.02273014036676102,-0.40808549832824426,0.06202885183125062,-0.31707395697275587,0.04318454923497228,-0.05012791632861635,-0.3055411200330411,0.17179104570060488,0.4039679656097235,1.10759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k{253}=[0.22164436120507222;0.275047324721403;-0.013056245689519104];
x_a{253}=[-0.40133106595023704,-2.683132672242542,22.96607232097134];
std_x_a{253}=[0.49691324142228116,0.6589974692424847,0.5123223022368348];
pred_a{253}=[-0.40133106595023704];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.2 to 25.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{254}=[-2.0300730192062653,-3.4368413271323073,17.979697298834978];
std_x_f{254}=[0.698259853668885,0.9970550852277988,0.5005741003930707];
pred_f{254}=[-2.0300730192062653];
obs{254}=[-2.283929828606537];
sqrt_r{254}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{254}=[1.4881080717083188];
xi{254}=[-0.23148131198866428,-0.14395647945955448,0.8641436932187598,0.9173666893208923,-0.16635912879079884,1.1161730277158712,-0.3931503341559761,0.02229970235269274,-0.5751995117294526,-0.4602474530068239,0.22515343600513904,-0.5733586371866624,0.5603588357380422,-0.05647905365611461,0.17098392893238934,-0.9085157356365623,-0.3938316214237605,-0.008332769283350139,-0.39605770931497375,1.6319592865194648,-1.1151461415817807,-1.123057798548642,0.6894483577305341,0.01885967564822666,-0.2489216529240008,-0.33331655266172433,-0.5739351139447155,-0.350096684544158,-0.2074526512679875,0.3049712937194571,-1.400794673987403,-0.04229874619861684,-0.28965528421525333,-0.2741021244715962,-0.2794490177722042,-0.23060037461824034,-0.09469173371659068,1.245570461939526,0.9028491435948762,-0.36769178887014675,-0.21595350915175038,3.096564762840101,0.36410973110827594,0.07468326447062656,0.1583875253278404,0.19522925224316068,0.5174138530697978,0.0794421488584498,0.2698280862319118,-1.066836981805415,0.07372390351701807,0.7940292763783308,1.119235476004317,0.2534210895140734,-0.752418420417003,-0.6169351170166233,0.07934754220896467,0.2534961153359816,0.07556465094020637,-0.18011444467461102,-0.09450435784038191,0.9838122205968298,-0.026465847185468405,-0.22104204385243786,-0.4213000613542164,-0.34018126916895364,-0.8949761818079081,0.043601548811667,-0.5875405807700345,-0.6424418621392318,0.11661701383566458,2.340997394000106,-0.7263890162107325,0.5773417850384384,-0.49426920662870444,1.3955493423835117,-0.047484534922115795,-0.002267944165582403,-0.05628350032372875,-0.5623037598100415,-0.3205607979552796,-0.11262474795054356,-0.18077640781297832,0.3264548965512517,-0.455181977594981,-0.36205008140769257,0.9631009171810498,0.0385566476884045,-0.28724591902099483,0.298516571223187,-1.6533777031644417,-0.45492817906694283,-0.03664909392568427,-0.12151596567824496,0.06968768277519488,-0.13190239218221622,0.7290223561192035,-0.09557391126179127,-0.6014657770315277,0.04386909156464247;-0.3504046020711291,-0.2123815978367274,1.2564499790537296,1.3613153158995495,-0.2205767391507263,1.6816463232885948,-0.5609075576485543,-0.008175477667021092,-0.831510824740481,-0.6450184599689761,0.33174842579652974,-0.8148364022296484,0.818445997082009,-0.07967644306261246,0.24409997552152118,-1.2725706422552827,-0.545444411092646,0.004101880342763042,-0.5906243209203348,2.3612460274137197,-1.5367740002198431,-1.5815920212212582,1.0123950782979785,-0.015426585241587354,-0.3680899339738777,-0.46739770405031145,-0.8119640231415666,-0.5083871231995993,-0.3301639743751128,0.4557484142314068,-1.9630691779887224,-0.09394591609646241,-0.39581249261032037,-0.39302286840466616,-0.4123063295810798,-0.33269612909711155,-0.13025313913069603,1.789303664838875,1.2855258447099742,-0.5287445401713793,-0.3152961808355683,4.550639495284791,0.5015379580816135,0.12070134175900993,0.21160530487390616,0.26880692355974656,0.7466222847386383,0.09541085796254478,0.34293587434958184,-1.4947121606404048,0.11235661879690628,1.2014851646059244,1.6289699843448695,0.3731847713082961,-1.0550944485318299,-0.8683159994800409,0.10332583620548386,0.34876094762013077,0.07240400649569567,-0.27415898202179,-0.2178609405197669,1.4045147447862374,-0.03536614206795585,-0.3046980182140877,-0.6156007435487512,-0.47750099324201134,-1.2514241714345964,-0.004557395679630094,-0.8281984335769756,-0.8880645976514927,0.08231460343803709,3.2175074064170506,-1.0227809850534806,0.7505123332294747,-0.69998107816805,1.973553701140337,-0.06295279533346587,0.003429546474209566,-0.10008240052319328,-0.797037772439074,-0.46574892051426,-0.17227457293010584,-0.2592096377971358,0.4606066889884528,-0.6409175731254937,-0.5350862257498656,1.312401248687697,0.03561950446838846,-0.3897429798757628,0.42232862885696054,-2.273370298732037,-0.6798607350997834,-0.06134666326050864,-0.17460545214891265,0.0891703334743883,-0.17382824254215956,1.1071890728207383,-0.1410298593851893,-0.8834451411207249,0.02600186914608127;0.27171397267497,-0.09978515802530197,-0.6313810200990773,-0.9406650434928707,-0.2925730273941767,-1.145646687101383,0.18304995200877272,0.4399456256638814,0.6720505026927661,0.03396431101742792,-0.37564938039778184,0.2661779189811959,-0.4905337271943573,-0.17041274919408522,-0.3514523221131576,-0.18585023852391558,-0.40761059376598396,-0.42572045477286125,0.6196442000372926,-0.602954204177415,0.22163621256842347,0.5335662009100339,-0.6802404837375313,0.4222369441602716,0.24237792277381587,-0.03795399916072739,0.05731875745587445,0.3283035539148216,0.4614079086669669,-0.5662810841643413,1.6263668361227275,0.2524259127126065,-0.06494910498242135,-0.06733428437319233,0.27995707035564266,-0.031175172239457538,-0.12690729047234584,-0.4498619297701474,-0.3593701663944131,0.133058415896798,0.048495005748886655,-0.6391290195319677,-0.10864030404721348,-0.32662498386554617,-0.06687515383875109,-0.15100382336948925,-0.4382465986582069,0.06571945049427441,0.18118156597253687,1.2713125022805016,-0.418311606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k{254}=[0.32800579540434877;0.46811114130453646;-0.13663651659822745];
x_a{254}=[-2.050528544383853,-3.4660342846075265,17.98821840347586];
std_x_a{254}=[0.5562092189380561,0.793595748631041,0.4612140321731026];
pred_a{254}=[-2.050528544383853];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.3 to 25.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{255}=[-3.8752613930653923,-6.3616330898727425,15.102935007168924];
std_x_f{255}=[0.9121182812609909,1.4073537945870094,0.7869834064805069];
pred_f{255}=[-3.8752613930653923];
obs{255}=[-4.273845332131884];
sqrt_r{255}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{255}=[1.8337889164080696];
xi{255}=[-0.42554269158213787,-0.3108756651463689,0.5602596330055816,0.5285567098028299,0.7923443500008136,1.1431395855152116,0.19993427331500646,-0.1149061613055049,-0.7229212125367623,-0.7553981619681056,-0.027699178040257344,-0.8785865578851868,0.5177651041060454,-0.09200814638510835,-0.9273703489658272,-3.0010699297438443,-0.19252553673704353,-0.45868103290208095,-0.6159681913655404,1.6288163512189082,-0.9429372607587099,-0.6828376622784273,0.5412259674633333,-0.045765642777560345,-0.8038830036946467,-0.9650508259084005,0.2727736197087296,0.17540879384865704,-0.7327728008525525,0.2757680611027391,-1.498024946524017,-0.21712843704189266,-0.7458767517368394,-0.37979923980131103,-0.57618367586011,-0.4390761916016026,-0.035315382164776477,2.3260371428094606,0.9523601939184267,-0.36482691452281335,-0.9254664721769781,3.6313501686257332,0.2684988805456445,-0.13788732672870507,1.102436313653747,0.030780214096306935,0.3627235433507692,0.6248786322875448,0.2549677479205035,-0.43193819735169425,0.9313486896602914,0.7367359015798396,0.6548483557927671,0.07007931884164975,-0.9188924227102864,-0.8406474342471513,-0.17463407546263765,1.527413356361512,0.04259323874267906,-0.3249275421836546,-0.14986980695289853,1.444722683109953,0.34553717555870644,-0.7310859924340813,-0.25082392336208814,0.15752842701012826,-0.9749424650932155,-0.07178688097264896,-0.5244020529408027,-0.910678201061637,0.06624675296667437,2.878605082096968,-0.8961265501658988,0.6523782464481602,-0.46126192346788875,1.3803789736199459,1.9426333573328827,-0.11330961388452421,0.2538290886465471,0.20247588811245798,-0.44843808775873706,-0.34632450306146056,-0.2628818405931477,0.2311418716087661,-0.4618360771134342,-1.041000829244934,1.2996488074799015,0.14476032711968445,-0.567785259946342,0.17223889073318066,-1.5347344419945697,-0.5723363761275508,-0.16624440761699022,-0.04178021894212325,-0.13992355697554393,-0.34675985630961526,0.8630901435475815,-0.1357895699131082,-0.7034457806927077,0.37273337490805236;-0.6488794356859833,-0.5184519230190787,0.8297967438919027,0.7465679851780971,1.181871624908343,1.725442809768042,0.2837854136414073,-0.15350500072153928,-1.0479131149918288,-1.1845579546147604,-0.0985397429523891,-1.337360230914733,0.7541838397150311,-0.194197640931292,-1.4623105331829453,-4.385840922757775,-0.3933124823388221,-0.7838901312636652,-0.8917380113328797,2.553575412674605,-1.464673585463406,-1.0353399188442447,0.7758715075065536,-0.0475834735625158,-1.2174593569031469,-1.4998577770844825,0.37458160471053237,0.26499378130311513,-1.0747886235916004,0.35145238030507375,-2.0222725683890284,-0.3279116684744672,-1.1712615135808448,-0.6351776012193611,-0.8760041856329437,-0.7122655483165863,-0.09993843126997515,3.6845953564071863,1.4601592392124765,-0.5875644647662099,-1.419730449911019,5.873440218154175,0.38508200655543146,-0.27400944340206035,1.7033642996022467,0.011321804787103318,0.5064815960584248,0.9500072713261387,0.3957031501260353,-0.5485922606354743,1.3931523962474115,1.0367564277531294,0.9757159502910486,0.03226819390775315,-1.3811600342920576,-1.2916645291397169,-0.30236996857953446,2.3769985540767897,0.07885329879189928,-0.5070883285795729,-0.15026830340167585,2.2526968068876494,0.4818958568474043,-1.1804442446441836,-0.3853552553058712,0.17343571200464236,-1.516597975149101,-0.06513106978449468,-0.8420066293980639,-1.455928207097096,0.1560351446658066,4.610185981619873,-1.3668352795126513,1.0338782208739072,-0.7192403945829451,2.170929782523972,3.0207478822365705,-0.24070635498090454,0.3649446961160203,0.2901341336671788,-0.6734427206568867,-0.5431699194319997,-0.451371970396119,0.3092733991973029,-0.7108248801509527,-1.5243046568037268,2.039306078210541,0.20228217957996275,-1.0273512881762201,0.2092331095674771,-2.078271390585196,-0.8234527566890097,-0.2966069200743746,-0.1139863890338999,-0.2426069519866294,-0.6141050073401084,1.2634633930603378,-0.24829724275934062,-0.9938450814430952,0.5768965017719205;0.4388757939923771,0.07120719449011048,-0.7314535070936241,-0.9308521007770114,-0.9672038432835741,-1.4445162392520068,-0.22295327243699248,0.37547735251291314,0.9265998793054955,0.49382084199610077,-0.27244714855394214,0.763772320862838,-0.684770952748238,-0.14997370418147504,0.5607987586688523,2.825976575441583,-0.3586034594120502,0.0014840372731583784,0.84008092486952,-1.1533130365551862,0.6233283194348669,0.5966179045998388,-0.810479734148748,0.2964659267549532,0.7773831950429795,0.6803942937534124,-0.44287271463497646,-0.08005553924543563,0.8904450017405203,-0.6398060929404963,2.233410530065669,0.29460622350771715,0.4607738050679142,0.11513666118890775,0.569465939317169,0.2168390111711176,-0.17139247861726226,-1.5119173693556807,-0.7820955526571414,0.23223348167023516,0.7531900480062959,-1.483113840088004,-0.2648105897567703,-0.18756763625164652,-0.9032138712394904,-0.15934458581110356,-0.5417152530591096,-0.490370771705118,-0.0557960182018018,0.9718292259489338,-1.0852423604258146,-1.3226762101310428,-0.7741254734187901,-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k{255}=[0.45468096624842297;0.7005414848853195;-0.343344068949475];
x_a{255}=[-3.9879987847077034,-6.5353311894321795,15.188066599741626];
std_x_a{255}=[0.7860136966382881,1.2102357750879398,0.7250374405929917];
pred_a{255}=[-3.9879987847077034];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.4 to 25.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{256}=[-7.656963110060308,-12.543696510220464,16.662207767665468];
std_x_f{256}=[1.303891521530898,1.854005450515359,1.9426101684050385];
pred_f{256}=[-7.656963110060308];
obs{256}=[-8.182897483426853];
sqrt_r{256}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{256}=[2.7026119266055897];
xi{256}=[-0.49538252074287836,-1.7157257592683832,0.2989188834071932,1.3952125227918906,0.6257906956533557,0.620758463385636,0.05142606281252693,-0.8476365438090037,-0.6071030816747376,-1.0263546527017349,-0.10352557188334277,-1.0022969985614454,3.631316117692757,0.20029206302678126,-1.1200450985841242,-2.3366932472838036,-0.5302983977956233,0.7705515123846958,-0.3508686227582549,7.0117477106332915,-0.9964516280871552,-0.7101824704252477,1.0509684392126424,0.21410455583061072,0.5165337277176638,-0.987689220159484,-0.19658149703098093,-1.0987038711266885,-0.7204011484081869,0.29385972751073197,-0.6775741131690038,-0.9412525216302088,-1.5584553591162882,-0.5611389322757008,0.9997623070412152,-0.44886555558821417,-0.25044404363656536,2.035905453254885,1.0463939836242577,-0.3559870284351687,-0.8270629150815081,3.401455919632821,-0.1732067837843756,-0.3349175029652933,0.8980763735505706,0.16193508440690785,0.08071704600659757,0.3305206908834455,0.06747654084173238,0.3817805243113428,0.3122183304367896,-1.140456900206801,1.0258910105251617,0.4381749737738643,-0.7922221954853272,-0.7239753529941373,-0.1517637154673226,1.5518023723867307,0.02091592510622764,-1.0689149019870792,-1.699289951015131,1.7741022062300988,0.053398192860495186,-0.8947939466041257,-0.5981994900372234,-0.08913940188569835,-0.9896806245895329,-0.14501131185553628,-0.8833869859837167,-2.505332395108339,-0.4533253519375764,2.551635876704897,-1.6073715664922128,1.28772338667632,-0.600950689400146,1.6092224521212373,1.775938571492163,-0.4972720912016966,0.6852451133012556,1.6376465724666973,-0.6318477205338686,0.9358561792297548,-0.4165050946588531,0.33979522833538756,-0.26361238251631924,-0.2739110832921723,-0.4579654462662761,1.9527724453145945,-1.0345637727501815,-0.4848317130075186,-2.232745369050588,-0.6778029926685738,1.0822850493164777,-0.09267949617522575,-0.6799878193950049,-0.4636610446955922,0.010145448772432175,-1.3617215987109814,-0.23201129266853115,-0.010494956039529768;-0.6920139502896596,-2.165262641883009,0.1998088273434675,1.6988227447411255,0.6353878280378709,0.5749849838574566,-0.06309490372174054,-1.0526135638169674,-0.7312116020720278,-1.3873714689951449,-0.3414735061523686,-1.2830841417506011,5.308230504709853,0.0848487537846232,-1.5182097530166594,-2.3680621920606733,-0.9546026185929524,0.8351508437351587,-0.4312786321376354,11.311029122982006,-1.3584988228947417,-0.9630793627966092,1.2260808207139018,0.2512474217379488,0.6273366592339649,-1.3312373877820765,-0.4363504924710835,-1.4213416342702274,-0.8816139949556963,0.15492664119646804,-0.5181765309669899,-1.2159768566099487,-1.9801053255535308,-0.8742037238101652,1.2834083560666638,-0.715892492881304,-0.4977190085211216,2.8617789142733496,1.303960092506685,-0.5747824594199464,-1.1071010107199193,5.20954889834285,-0.3554183334126044,-0.6331919938616561,1.098711905767198,0.05431228426546575,-0.08921073635013066,0.31769636080700714,0.021152165865263584,0.5943053837268675,0.19506822579291772,-1.7708301295595898,1.225840927735094,0.3437179905992167,-1.017513649119321,-1.006816086023738,-0.331377784124685,2.05881348438861,-0.0214549128525654,-1.3948430474758187,-1.8157773214169186,2.405080141447632,-0.12107957787666201,-1.2994843105188885,-0.8247580146763767,-0.33803266228938966,-1.349764663035499,-0.16979039042222688,-1.2469257685651378,-2.9546253152936686,-0.5116543105572511,3.875016514448806,-1.948866511673005,1.75797197033393,-0.8713499879928115,2.199836730835493,2.3556855419112246,-0.8525131015976513,0.7937285711932365,2.171100661983404,-0.8614074506383478,1.1482763145608956,-0.6845733606788453,0.28876070570057166,-0.42939165958034664,-0.3220089088663354,-0.5680876020351828,2.6566470878114465,-1.661887530867789,-0.8001504557289483,-2.03889024088145,-0.8168698844513287,1.3253543214828234,-0.2946959068577737,-0.992464366816332,-0.8272475399026735,-0.284239947480426,-1.8020832338815538,-0.22636920746538536,-0.05362472094931192;0.7823565671293764,2.8509832783439144,-0.9296933544076111,-2.756169193893596,-1.501931349575818,-1.6641402894917228,-0.3236237892605054,1.5795617392592582,1.2290342052681993,1.5825152456014244,-0.26148874604479033,1.6935455896415874,-5.173913393522787,-0.7007162699967822,1.6988227645890213,4.913409086435994,0.2773937459594187,-1.7115042533675044,0.7805718545696685,-7.13979591679583,1.5133384501681313,1.1351328522494768,-2.158369145036705,-0.286051950761685,-0.8544808576101683,1.5369809398481564,-0.05556084114711268,1.8376762305460055,1.3940472710295246,-1.036993678514543,2.0499173653694207,1.6066732835481652,2.594066173440755,0.6351565518979108,-1.6185671396516188,0.4888124254454915,0.0770399461439304,-2.919893560922585,-1.8570982550969966,0.389778892636226,1.3286550147712681,-3.63092133489765,0.06056819386337153,0.13352078925859345,-1.6437485490659132,-0.5615248268015876,-0.5406440798465866,-0.7239104593441716,-0.16884665481157057,-0.21547145497584452,-1.0186003936405665,1.1742445453494774,-2.0144529154352515,-1.2543298918963721,1.385988643524822,1.10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k{256}=[0.6299875723348952;0.8860276537527246;-0.8977386492708521];
x_a{256}=[-8.040525489798009,-13.083146636398753,17.208788030226255];
std_x_a{256}=[0.7344659557025693,1.0710409166815182,1.1830893915955014];
pred_a{256}=[-8.040525489798009];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.5 to 25.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{257}=[-13.263312126394071,-17.1551164677312,28.680752699445602];
std_x_f{257}=[0.6483945837261055,0.7536999494354804,2.2361380642429505];
pred_f{257}=[-13.263312126394071];
obs{257}=[-13.457936647685191];
sqrt_r{257}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{257}=[1.4204958642166785];
xi{257}=[-0.08917663999922709,0.32199072974411,0.10541449019615712,0.7772411345393859,1.4980387444788885,-0.8413916557449852,-0.13902572864633989,-0.006191640180329472,-0.014086991146054828,-0.4484535337378368,-0.10589606606625246,-0.011247365158917333,0.6398332728847329,-0.5213867012717,-0.2690502291506469,0.2615634331484813,-0.4757563768237638,-0.2224899204209283,-0.04090314254736249,3.662971970665714,-0.26386536021192164,-0.13722687668809108,0.3473798509082293,0.045498989523879985,0.030563618190413422,-1.1263779687348237,-0.841220250719438,-0.16414140159743695,-0.6477794072521039,-1.0896504997244314,0.3247373348325162,0.3795585853959267,-0.17194618816458984,0.47124074102306146,0.03125123555851772,-0.27277551359523144,-0.4841561736237807,2.47501585683138,0.20744081487423216,-0.1704491058609623,0.28063310895522164,1.8010891735697978,-0.17669457857879145,-0.7487411980072487,-0.18903946271254668,-0.25814854185176195,-0.13440188813377496,-0.21632828561169326,0.1526185976771668,0.7146223157010123,-0.6277230061762644,-0.20821078883627742,0.03704752637860942,-0.14876855042549408,0.026414385951779806,-0.5991453455964688,0.002385897087087585,-0.2300078824318419,0.02186436214514842,-0.10319247478548021,0.19471197620157277,-0.1734598080414198,-0.2219859555742154,-0.3457121756376367,-0.12715720159130584,-0.43188626846098543,-0.20702634709408763,-0.11335987459960783,-0.35822540575478357,-0.10106195763426307,-0.14843794592094994,1.0662097564680373,-0.1403317947098337,0.2610809015787705,-0.2143447831430283,0.18096495960736192,0.6753144742183519,-0.4309439504283059,-0.1760210464702716,0.2501767859066497,-0.12128779755143171,-0.14522471202191056,-0.24538031177782393,-0.020351252089069405,-0.04896863442493604,-0.3646581243916369,-0.19596488901158615,0.40409634023331087,-0.4650282969741397,-0.6253747103399352,0.5106499214526075,1.2454681197941078,0.05440219078362141,-0.2450184275211189,-0.4644189649631265,-0.8683656839401923,-0.5100093744717569,0.1575465529997775,0.02181328212427225,0.06620100312449573;0.014727861823207178,0.1341617604166636,-0.9108265149077504,-1.3584487880241696,-1.1204869341172348,-0.16027462291743788,-0.40916604957247316,0.33903275958108026,0.3166682451535401,0.6299123547854819,-0.6408095573096055,0.23036380468923667,-0.4425608273962993,-0.1519350386860978,0.31921533953831727,2.103670329222261,-0.3023879790889623,-0.7847376613455666,0.21141077506115025,2.63980969665411,0.28800692801996775,0.14162591291420057,-1.1898412731629726,-0.242924246832807,-0.40315925260290086,2.7129652172330445,0.5913373178879731,0.4251597242592844,1.5117194296836,0.6905622506188855,0.9549698703743132,-0.1512260853601397,0.63597799248409,-0.7148414717194598,-0.4959804419314118,-0.10843604141324192,0.004971761056552282,-0.19549298828572503,-0.8095782060893413,-0.1811393880413732,-0.23466034146875714,0.4425199987383408,-0.27154307822849333,0.37795125350415404,-0.4844987317910494,-0.3929961245214244,-0.6479166412282105,-0.33664822281844664,-0.4407392892536457,-0.3106773543842465,-0.21997890597710068,-0.5638263150989786,-0.9116491435680949,-0.8859579328129605,0.13425906935124488,0.8233893844088698,-0.4895104785345481,-0.38296494414102256,-0.2540112038596192,0.2885143740857856,1.3529800141181436,-0.327583045556036,-0.5423334494452163,0.12638847802930542,0.06068043012951918,-0.344119384250682,0.20901866653278844,0.20934345994419346,0.2357972190349109,1.499725027399732,0.5623178794997337,0.3190273745672876,0.9132264489661708,-0.4555124821675669,0.010509180935180495,-0.5017646025792892,-1.0676672334908979,-0.1399375587947027,-0.4879305070517077,-0.8238042465185025,0.1078634711836095,-0.5300389307851034,-0.15993774236180514,-0.7433059823273531,-0.2240831153294387,0.6981558764840479,0.41872383144231407,-0.7812863542005033,-0.3652730530468631,0.293578448301389,2.3564530278285982,-0.2931959715300394,-0.8194725428026004,-0.41005948020874783,0.3819859585685812,0.5709733970066964,-0.6323207864355176,-0.030232083363106454,0.23984068633744826,-0.2478016591183625;0.38698687534659726,-0.7299748542479847,-1.4745041508486416,-4.372841979306056,-6.576780350130463,2.294416095229259,-0.04379947167346643,0.5374146588757469,0.5328764043122263,2.1587695432238085,-0.4520989129691131,0.4082935445292186,-2.5779948563734365,1.4141474007338992,1.2665095659772838,1.9305739576724932,1.1002086052537479,-0.29657378137777,0.48895742939864206,-8.125042691122914,1.212536499591124,0.67642440151538,-2.6656828819240346,-0.366894648609712,-0.545660495978403,6.233952229600401,3.2010084969678374,1.100326208900725,3.732166675491957,3.9804645996015715,0.37872755864939833,-1.2778513983277833,1.369033185675402,-2.3734472310008314,-0.6653002519327238,0.7296261664145547,1.5122330844027694,-8.724179524431232,-1.6410564387589517,0.34684798028918706,-1.0989901100966222,-5.047605532864377,0.24917789653544276,2.6978578960064112,0.01456702347481098,0.3426096935711769,-0.3790408123240887,0.2897464757206798,-0.9645705878289128,-2.5470350043967436,1.6327375768047467,-0.04327285767429956,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k{257}=[0.2960204776439512;0.004022589151519578;-0.923732586562022];
x_a{257}=[-13.350213265221369,-17.156297357584112,28.95192790456326];
std_x_a{257}=[0.5871265501260929,0.7539952122902848,2.032654401391752];
pred_a{257}=[-13.350213265221369];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.6 to 25.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{258}=[-12.41100459078831,-6.742799698035256,37.37247000004691];
std_x_f{258}=[0.7617057835226746,1.6746073370073402,0.7635641660056026];
pred_f{258}=[-12.41100459078831];
obs{258}=[-12.374999882485742];
sqrt_r{258}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{258}=[1.580323456685909];
xi{258}=[0.11246264876712608,0.2313251550868216,-0.873021797291516,-1.0646742695209817,-2.0723672351530933,0.691506568137882,-0.562906598207304,0.336270930141799,0.33548590079273666,0.5915077284834656,-0.4978864879050988,0.19460749282907663,-0.8470345936283632,0.033763184704671545,0.26843442823824937,0.7616460197531403,0.3452443326247039,-0.08231342118597418,0.28285662703890857,-0.7123271476119601,0.44946975896874797,0.3539614969857521,-1.0150586859596409,0.38385315460187996,-0.23936889357081093,2.466105771691943,1.0654826305422151,-0.0673868683676151,1.9631775803983853,0.48059128188746847,0.4626433654341753,-0.9832583729902922,0.5611079534387677,-0.8672536601708387,-0.9314577541748044,0.11310394346419805,0.38151508963892944,-1.9927315151945795,-0.6959450764736328,-0.1999822737401491,-0.5273085829703419,-0.8416406526473121,-0.5776930116741141,0.587221431523492,-0.6857620132621545,-0.06343796093831955,-0.18013278876123096,-0.045222447433960866,0.41026775988480857,-0.9674664998871538,0.26726707345437717,-0.17980087054500693,-1.1290030614025177,0.4761382299868444,0.009959868826321383,1.2596145101054486,-0.1750430175468054,-0.23935464069773005,-0.21386062072780554,0.8668872509010122,0.8605907047618366,0.01281595258515189,-0.01932403949887984,0.06106804937048871,0.014364884435060787,-0.037371736092341123,0.10689347086259637,0.35796201524710547,0.06778617887510485,1.446241817631357,0.7150144723200249,0.29706484639215525,1.8546617779015495,-0.33460951148606277,0.5834539136731411,-0.28730190882857976,-1.4988626824080207,-0.2717104360277016,-0.37194532995408913,-0.875075256233238,0.08417503420715455,-0.43918864409566716,0.24277813224930966,-0.9468876372519794,0.12080126449333761,0.6770299572487115,0.4079077275087659,-0.8417145788478191,-0.44642622427027234,0.5956688114667017,1.3289856051123188,-1.0614977789790796,-0.8013375534643998,-0.12468055085848029,0.5858843147323558,1.100388312364414,0.06788919655077486,-0.16427082029795237,0.33330114288213686,-0.6133012429691203;0.2851972378071066,0.4703065734945673,-1.2328616982899279,-1.0388136298740704,-4.285758015177944,2.2174461358583724,-1.0645952866788937,0.5040295007511855,0.5076492414038363,0.8811606181543992,-0.5415538151875907,0.25086339550933623,-1.8212459130055443,0.32097719897646027,0.3535891564439453,-0.7571856967105006,1.410333263389309,0.859456457497676,0.499044751620052,-6.52670566380629,0.8880184320118909,0.8063909401704974,-1.2058749029323463,1.409819236285987,-0.12125752618454833,3.702418551335207,2.3001445800515112,-0.8069076751178041,3.64969929356037,0.5459400616515575,-0.029018250736601026,-2.7183439814767727,0.7491781222009513,-1.4849785982759425,-2.014252793710545,0.4861860550010073,1.0936528262492144,-5.44963894120259,-0.8581241352412432,-0.3209150313855824,-1.2191966157538099,-3.152134760207044,-1.2920282029143326,1.2100944323954739,-1.3100123794389074,0.3709421935631383,0.39767029994839476,0.3171706830143073,1.7395216762280743,-2.39924202493531,1.0809967244242253,0.2833805204048243,-1.9567941467226557,2.518014077513766,-0.16811238279249618,2.5281418747700775,0.16838934859260934,-0.1491514791644324,-0.2770991925386479,2.071394694056881,0.6091657568572284,0.4990909896754028,0.6994151155825588,0.006442184649223748,-0.05948930035580968,0.38863975870113165,0.017111874597784293,0.7271369783750803,-0.13246668439165887,2.1436112965081326,1.2732459792840691,0.38951712759957413,4.0289100984459365,-0.33457309519606593,1.636059186617162,-0.11927168118883191,-2.7877403783256085,-0.5853909078204653,-0.39051631542795384,-1.3488464356404144,0.07873274252595497,-0.5250683212713545,0.9115807161221179,-1.688021168839434,0.6540412790065249,1.0041762190577845,0.5923656539911359,-1.3070558072561944,-0.7592647745155086,1.3289610376593028,0.5955924742305578,-2.6723906428765467,-1.146598829576921,0.20955333346972793,1.174447926893035,2.408976891917108,1.0871805941199266,-0.44562448164141966,0.6130075037388139,-1.4500593101747548;0.00999762272623883,-0.08308582032424994,0.801682612536986,1.3158939917247778,0.8342389104393817,0.3669414363589283,0.28502816482853177,-0.27788075421360503,-0.2547497933848959,-0.500729309031307,0.5827015673758638,-0.20381619048559685,0.2578102321085325,0.1699137447895822,-0.27767197095288765,-2.2493232869329702,0.4277140422239327,0.839747186652751,-0.1547504305599361,-4.506781406968372,-0.1849707732133723,-0.050384868421751605,1.1146679631886727,0.37392395372220477,0.3775605896600496,-1.8495390586490572,-0.2895489870101571,-0.5451094418720714,-0.8743642651603452,-0.6111586908645563,-0.9608811704633808,-0.19345225596785554,-0.5289252068171564,0.5819685365176426,0.28043535124205476,0.14821427075552407,0.10622297325593877,-0.41731082897442917,0.7308226404129883,0.13737456020876948,0.09307880685017977,-0.9056681614207065,0.11828205409162251,-0.2301289256022656,0.3387644272117498,0.41345365666069256,0.6673939798417337,0.3507976252612153,0.5879199426457546,0.03565511012117639,0.31546493816658483,0.5777993438060278,0.7314550699279607,1.0374574290057055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k{258}=[0.3672181503291126;0.7117011742293632;-0.16057144103711785];
x_a{258}=[-12.377461588733375,-6.677790400623674,37.35780283783871];
std_x_a{258}=[0.5899616522848203,1.3942586543090563,0.7334076387939649];
pred_a{258}=[-12.377461588733375];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.7 to 25.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{259}=[-5.761468537489291,-0.05562579802534992,30.773143144268662];
std_x_f{259}=[0.7308158678697104,0.6900142549722619,0.8632901527358467];
pred_f{259}=[-5.761468537489291];
obs{259}=[-5.66748062818171];
sqrt_r{259}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{259}=[1.536974816068128];
xi{259}=[0.5342427823181293,-1.0451542863982377,-0.025564374126916256,-0.10976947265431125,-1.1838319345471389,1.0741260924149127,-0.1516101862752235,0.06620697569199674,0.18439524930779783,0.1738879355524956,-0.04832792459917368,0.09237362500447865,-0.4901214063634445,0.18786278452096283,-0.003211204411277535,-1.1205945452964023,0.8780549805030802,1.256538300768332,0.06776330574533951,-3.8679457419396304,0.06580400540254505,-0.23760736107622993,0.054729808653871004,1.0359230651606959,0.30950797333337743,0.8474984959470531,0.2736111185417114,-0.051328996725573894,0.7834377116804756,-0.36088337304868645,-0.5046300462529141,-1.1270225829071405,-0.6238501901307405,-0.912825047176204,-0.6380194921141591,0.43568602462387407,0.3626105966939619,-2.2713317067468672,-0.04049488916014354,-0.025018861082946486,-0.34648717091478165,-1.2089059734144652,-0.28651694217382584,0.1715169530721372,-0.7189799859005914,0.24677198137063439,-0.04911554320373668,0.15523723628757047,0.7749319214738266,-0.9139534906117524,0.3936994808709384,0.3724679222456384,-0.4269961831347011,1.269331136940382,-0.14739011623975706,0.9865149906930997,0.24288291835501497,-0.11617776100076416,0.0013861135065100783,0.8869688934100273,-0.24698403572531813,0.5155049549454311,0.537496291979461,-0.0025659247969640475,-0.19323330842144237,0.33136794423546956,0.19074540180138388,0.433387793181752,0.20669422242504698,0.37136189754152493,0.2390230062804255,-0.15060033929236827,0.8369665915350852,0.6004704357075576,0.6290028537546366,0.08955004928605348,-0.7087847909669485,-0.24796027862959136,0.09731936831199217,-0.4170039405262642,-0.1649356665206536,-0.12819622164580036,0.0085472930115289,-0.42483907122877174,0.338765310891862,0.26126675963018364,2.0086942303423982,-0.25688312595360685,-0.10429421452775678,0.4558760160587143,-0.5311744565962835,-1.075667581126961,-0.14077076446841463,-0.1348848142498964,0.31338167652680315,0.7707307858084755,0.8874354517756844,-0.07080324836613272,-0.10970123775808283,-0.14660890469334031;0.11782529310362805,0.07133437432777977,0.3448524827445304,0.8195752678773277,-0.06531965724095137,0.8573126250323921,-0.04050669929976161,-0.17071212904721988,-0.13361574516303298,-0.24821781031999082,0.2998402770274604,-0.1523442308202646,-0.21345703689261733,0.1617606522753649,-0.20369772109968412,-2.0718760985407663,0.7060442779828466,1.0413201902453058,-0.0829054595800224,-4.486541795939302,-0.04019048513307111,0.023833326014050263,0.6109825036997798,0.7162454522340845,0.2674641703585006,-0.500316188032011,0.1660414520751915,-0.6166002350900526,0.09869321397849232,-0.4624616533733229,-0.8716443211073102,-0.7061869874908963,-0.37185616741859706,0.22934314588411966,-0.22110836338269482,0.22864075533043685,0.27866754976906016,-0.9799471385212343,0.3714648932902155,-0.008916259362963266,-0.23835238976923942,-1.406541822014514,-0.21846807083392486,0.011497270884981245,-0.015743617599929857,0.3633194050580243,0.5528435839092386,0.293968049396255,0.8353371609626962,-0.4780805929246317,0.44549004937263836,0.4984461623815223,0.1561500100774394,1.4356795888382032,-0.22633766005215614,0.3045389954907154,0.38895292350021415,0.18787627503039406,0.06446606342201905,0.4810776336711452,-0.9354829674027554,0.4027820074691256,0.6108405937014042,-0.15899743362067226,-0.1482392527550671,0.3546740893030589,-0.18182037104980406,0.060769644653486055,-0.23413598334822586,-0.43805672173507315,-0.096456466255261,-0.2174095603312126,0.5440121552166758,0.3227938408560508,0.4670429690375484,0.31235707078682495,0.13474863230451484,-0.1329408273954424,0.23024999919497394,0.25560017861354095,-0.14986568476376458,0.20520367420201754,0.303883789159883,0.0816017688561165,0.3267303155235889,-0.2383258332600475,0.6942665173277739,0.22065021122362757,0.01584804372684441,0.16018150226683936,-1.7197301825590143,-0.5293092147496768,0.2936151776896414,0.3033266048538232,0.027297130880649167,0.34267517488544974,0.8521627544557216,-0.1672870594487996,-0.09548842519991504,-0.27870660151034254;-0.8060089403530526,1.7778651011485316,0.36851764290344136,0.9170472895012232,1.948839292018608,-0.9730862535366889,0.21306532735467698,-0.3025591773144036,-0.453532127022541,-0.5637100297740822,0.356757156111442,-0.3209743311691575,0.6274344877987872,-0.17499880428588455,-0.20854594078835476,-0.03588787195104359,-0.8013519680698984,-1.087876105091862,-0.20375237045259453,2.9136469007153742,-0.15371144541701653,0.41817432175244207,0.4882762038423465,-1.0462538270493162,-0.2804343641366245,-1.9858229286407152,-0.3182139945184197,-0.5288589988002386,-1.2168123405974747,0.1361441852787948,0.031087798918917997,1.2729823394431499,0.688306531074403,1.7039385123620043,0.8777672561608938,-0.5366427270241267,-0.36291638895585976,2.9862957585993435,0.4078843584144174,0.016047225295448442,0.3608300169424403,0.7689652068133128,0.27179919792915186,-0.30981062608837107,1.1814190087274525,-0.07777719618737677,0.5800276558303068,0.0036406345188737532,-0.4932205774474241,1.1183666082571655,-0.2618342037240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k{259}=[0.3493712521860384;0.25318222179694283;-0.36697538102841204];
x_a{259}=[-5.755299612998903,-0.05115530424888545,30.766663379831176];
std_x_a{259}=[0.5577216792624513,0.5915127630345419,0.7156780542712735];
pred_a{259}=[-5.755299612998903];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.8 to 25.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{260}=[-2.0798666836285826,-0.17804427153295366,23.553725522137437];
std_x_f{260}=[0.4613852285520184,0.5385482875933174,0.5724589703621931];
pred_f{260}=[-2.0798666836285826];
obs{260}=[-2.018950572255178];
sqrt_r{260}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{260}=[1.2129332003633504];
xi{260}=[0.07503500848175859,0.2161413569519417,-0.21124885002578164,0.21260935498160083,0.09027625624556368,0.7337336111866342,0.030761252370294034,-0.05550333878049507,0.15029249693817626,-0.29709514033868656,0.32870375147664777,-0.2981717001709554,-0.46764370642068087,0.2777145026604084,-0.159436744820598,-1.373403765559559,0.3568914657220401,0.11565471006266415,-0.03762798440759019,-2.479725814317041,0.1667887580340619,0.012428955119696106,0.3045256393969764,0.37196295544257874,0.1898209910267361,-0.2817655265068635,0.09257416169040122,-0.959629659673428,-0.09567746641706876,-0.31459937935387927,-0.524778718160162,-0.4124127341990995,0.20380481506247738,0.22886662715567585,-0.05380911521178522,0.13191379319969077,0.14980353151771197,-0.4024397415008756,0.41203712677568705,-0.2253727923331441,-0.15724195211758651,-0.8291152880038517,0.5738882768403721,0.077129092327612,0.21819455548582312,0.1886857557904913,0.48692347324896734,0.23206284613622663,0.24027859758998082,-0.311090699943843,0.2703351611348448,-0.2546760262720964,0.07720898867835801,0.9501427543183516,-0.20038051012566482,0.23979399687506153,0.2634098273635117,0.03605300812441081,0.043678615310484226,0.13383522600838416,-0.914231523841929,0.36601597955679965,0.40707079126514567,0.10866979667319243,-0.13079666667001222,0.23422380150796918,-0.23815576050627385,0.028001156137227756,-0.1595384648227247,-0.4229534775393553,-0.47200874068364174,-0.2881535287649961,0.3825227935194633,0.20375187353364854,0.18250718351459372,0.2576683864778355,0.15640395034681887,0.6654339319006228,0.1585452129454854,0.2919946362267265,-0.045211314858063734,0.21615441550153336,0.14140864852248236,-0.385944220051889,0.16747286171719145,-0.15984183990262846,0.46369404482033816,0.3471093076658207,0.12784420230900007,0.12995542547925854,-1.0448465784152479,0.055419038766802764,0.2843598534073182,0.13597396359190017,-0.11810208701403546,0.015315394100165136,1.2141817257549432,-0.055125637073185185,-0.164458082452283,-0.6234450947174985;-0.18044889653416896,0.7528800893124415,0.18465913295933312,0.8239106691439837,0.6825718209764947,0.5451661675701799,0.053109428271004996,-0.2279562590641756,-0.1333833573146757,-0.49903187252497183,0.4386498886999834,-0.36761456373119916,-0.12340873873684233,0.169702582371135,-0.281203708575598,-1.8003848838341359,0.2682471068263118,0.1742201854420219,-0.14925818703322274,-2.2004226000564473,0.015964544479160597,0.14467484601245822,0.6185311940115622,0.20699792098613284,0.1303237199623017,-1.0630789432640686,0.010657919410797356,-0.9928212548885721,-0.43490248454375746,-0.3705376661158061,-0.7255481985146306,-0.1259361614623945,0.15628121586947688,0.8164643035095854,0.14183283790168244,-0.00809681040671309,0.08463860216428734,0.4059977378377558,0.5387514298776113,-0.13930018870081906,-0.09591350567581064,-0.8849330527180109,0.3472480284324433,-0.06685140425592756,0.4953700876200037,0.23920213502844195,0.7223493496704184,0.2577123075700486,0.34978965455940114,-0.021788319155366942,0.2685765345725626,0.04879822499797373,0.39642523992344514,1.008621260607148,-0.23178703484143354,-0.16093144579634944,0.30790244557842494,0.21439090923116708,0.059072171391680486,-0.05763444339677812,-1.1395680940324882,0.23963137963302064,0.4095354237583324,-0.08006212996869272,-0.10760216302514508,0.2078977096525324,-0.41637011708173655,-0.19196184120079995,-0.42425800150235393,-0.8323809245248309,-0.4944183282973965,-0.27079431458912645,0.198231609703725,0.03821305265161376,0.10803942459148795,0.3274662273848816,0.589739480617429,0.4561938417283323,0.1990958197854167,0.5787226217848925,-0.07436819897512015,0.3380120440978483,0.29760433023804617,0.13213325036118131,0.14882018658330137,-0.4599094184919478,-0.22005726197720182,0.5008213615501873,0.12714003571490956,-0.06895769919720299,-1.7325810808937527,0.20963068792991787,0.45620516267794997,0.3750540646096584,-0.24909494681907185,-0.17102566300387834,1.0163120442054236,-0.15189256479610735,-0.12786214804038581,-0.4778525744798361;-0.5072335515496391,0.7535406399513107,0.8220454219545772,0.907976663039495,0.9482811792046384,-0.8498166539607972,0.016576424757733577,-0.2804860121784998,-0.6333701364892583,-0.13912250764966316,-0.026691255771748246,0.09670107171909947,0.8812682297749141,-0.3875038183669979,-0.09906200829812306,0.3401256779709456,-0.38210692046489925,0.08778744993960785,-0.16501897555012945,2.4180329919433525,-0.3987834677129989,0.21975094478595025,0.36055225171203986,-0.5253254967265271,-0.23585433582031712,-1.2482040592669712,-0.2120592765738678,0.6264359433799456,-0.5164116769370537,0.10468850475019309,0.033433398645044576,0.7569015422026624,-0.24578748456896093,0.8339066462387912,0.3789120637243393,-0.3424112776827428,-0.21243804555328083,1.570005564914176,-0.059129760400669085,0.3085272460198851,0.21324798531061617,0.5039318418476064,-0.8476691642199263,-0.32509074961464535,0.33876276818183015,-0.030386574389289933,0.09936064057079363,-0.09949756037168811,0.06731352562117365,0.702512639532717,-0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k{260}=[0.1755522895239106;0.17762413820771533;-0.12553424182115763];
x_a{260}=[-2.083889282278781,-0.18211434444704072,23.556602009097947];
std_x_a{260}=[0.3808133479128514,0.4633425183954733,0.548363170995098];
pred_a{260}=[-2.083889282278781];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.9 to 26.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{261}=[-1.2371797286446429,-1.1697950496008793,18.14543805569275];
std_x_f{261}=[0.47896567170274107,0.6791351101545765,0.4488464350868506];
pred_f{261}=[-1.2371797286446429];
obs{261}=[-1.1873085158862493];
sqrt_r{261}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{261}=[1.2297704310309236];
xi{261}=[-0.18939197386719764,0.6288642913656975,0.20697786568922893,0.9323611629866306,0.54524791215364,-0.43537770972022694,-0.08375054724723996,-0.23450227703963167,-0.051189147024244264,-0.4235720330782531,0.4839203316473968,-0.35726024131097023,-0.13773250057812492,0.1894422347770197,-0.19329498501253495,-1.4114916689003392,0.2309460099783971,-0.16523322063694335,-0.106157840674163,-1.9418613243433833,0.14747187027798003,0.08109746686500263,0.5832952778220845,0.24056858371622403,0.28432532481245987,-0.7507678584365856,0.09535162493349292,-0.9929948396473935,-0.3956566429857371,-0.49819259480954314,-0.6523675752631772,-0.05925719697875986,0.1703778160180338,0.5922350503120596,0.3245248496162313,0.0022853551735297906,0.20926463676528062,0.16473376979659915,0.33821015701496737,-0.13966744982772328,-0.06873631324322815,-0.9162319516086221,0.339259723288482,-0.40453091881140657,-0.02907272024971075,0.3400781841931343,0.7385325154198865,0.26914689373805,0.3662590676054994,-0.05759739103677197,0.2969417481794838,-0.19786655071478965,0.35313493070719737,0.8802282717649609,-0.20129615943305157,0.30897542807237244,0.06875918708460826,0.13703553619671216,0.18195830595832385,0.0022906675209521943,-1.0372268783103558,0.3417923930613068,0.4064083423811722,-0.030578398433959597,-0.1965611881880267,-0.12733757078097896,-0.10484164762067216,-0.14888913618839084,-0.23335523014276305,-0.559851538509277,-0.34258153107623146,-0.2627200733453936,0.20847168214058942,0.22233885565127975,0.42023643409240685,0.31100576493636,-0.01278513630915179,0.3689566647767215,0.2324480441869885,0.46463007199702455,-0.1472367111821633,0.37919605813041557,0.07939219638367989,0.03700396553763374,0.34896779793845556,-0.12406485338923101,-0.19867489911006952,0.44163404952692586,0.15145155308385116,-0.03542345904113664,-1.571203057167634,0.25957705478993554,0.4784245205587395,0.36662869760388617,-0.19888985115541358,-0.2070731249536053,1.028073053264388,-0.14921213064200756,-0.12067532409200754,-0.37650587937514235;-0.36863585855820835,1.0392452535651477,0.429454236281691,1.4670267709834666,0.9454683872926561,-0.6745594088995601,-0.1051139711665483,-0.39663737640513697,-0.1943092532059869,-0.6540367815872412,0.6850002777668728,-0.49590521146993827,-0.04143463328299091,0.2006895477671362,-0.31592612713858403,-2.014451114746504,0.26769514707592157,-0.19201865887900094,-0.1972613337769511,-2.1954595225191973,0.12955849484512516,0.15802879887359977,0.9014020117904367,0.25006937354608505,0.35059486772693393,-1.3621684046199658,0.08661607687973638,-1.2902154777295476,-0.6761128894218045,-0.6813813191895828,-0.9466765911627639,0.03696360239562679,0.20427950494413327,1.0119675105026533,0.5103370268454797,-0.05173671692509085,0.24705553934391056,0.549361342313634,0.49208087268818634,-0.15357989730779065,-0.07508686855396274,-1.2148139137520848,0.3539612245959317,-0.6016154428772016,0.06876186342784019,0.4688303636614244,1.0765630513308473,0.3615200755608422,0.5274515149267874,0.042976094088544636,0.40034206069448774,-0.12759291712726273,0.593908186642055,1.2080511064058526,-0.28563137844247355,0.25527990587403493,0.10435936522912326,0.25028040690336983,0.24286852848724028,-0.07945936455233538,-1.4533176928421143,0.4026756479055711,0.5428776849071669,-0.12464295255405622,-0.24230862413448384,-0.18586291672590538,-0.21878228590368431,-0.30027848490651365,-0.43392765354048746,-0.9238698080731271,-0.4615446101104206,-0.3394607305975037,0.19978608370849948,0.22819586344252418,0.5290114280642348,0.43868362618278034,0.1678645374187866,0.4067863096776143,0.32484564376515923,0.7241397339607445,-0.21128117177705685,0.5486941555176136,0.16763134308672822,0.26079748459647223,0.4509158006887868,-0.294002631122531,-0.5718773146862983,0.648594809302756,0.20517290598802873,-0.13651960258348983,-2.3701082108132328,0.4073477775805062,0.7044051052387997,0.5762163078915662,-0.33388267634022184,-0.3592122745970556,1.3278192806275853,-0.24580694159211847,-0.15037440011744185,-0.4316285044932291;-0.3250085323619487,0.4625543774812684,0.48639402766682593,0.4435685040191224,0.6057709706760193,-0.03462987219425884,0.06963984061650663,-0.16386173206964472,-0.48205206295423864,-0.062005085958176664,-0.125505568418955,0.10849786424898156,0.6050753239940789,-0.3186409907498451,-0.10312078024843174,0.4599144455409707,-0.29493119218995645,0.24249316177487046,-0.1313766063901518,2.248681682877006,-0.37522173916822155,0.14349189450416588,0.16746605344961196,-0.4288609626016644,-0.304455896648264,-0.8466201177498682,-0.2200466658450111,0.6741124126828488,-0.30057533944392745,0.22066304848871354,0.1236416972830483,0.46911284329480196,-0.22133652725030828,0.5647950713245926,0.0969364816879299,-0.25396712509648367,-0.25470768967711166,1.1110857463720407,-0.007526385126563895,0.21635698956747618,0.12595998926659746,0.5814741001006212,-0.6383231757751702,0.007529196241495839,0.4693730113899477,-0.13646352512310855,-0.04359960179888134,-0.13410088301370493,-0.03080159585383413,0.483718301849389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k{261}=[0.18684010058552625;0.26147569471237175;-0.06286316393652557];
x_a{261}=[-1.2518589358472683,-1.1903380480744656,18.15037693875878];
std_x_a{261}=[0.44374870186244936,0.6384679796599301,0.4347789284253506];
pred_a{261}=[-1.2518589358472683];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.0 to 26.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{262}=[-1.7097252517726165,-2.6783547486706807,14.187016145228597];
std_x_f{262}=[0.7496412666008027,1.2105889342379383,0.4488596165801981];
pred_f{262}=[-1.7097252517726165];
obs{262}=[-1.6216659300679854];
sqrt_r{262}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{262}=[1.5630886533572972];
xi{262}=[-0.33396983677824177,0.7314067945049361,0.3258973237896132,1.1192263428656857,1.5457325102346593,-0.6847286485293569,-0.799955217420331,-2.2446219361945356,-0.45871335231882093,-0.6985382852191988,0.9092901898602103,-0.28988042198280706,-0.01572467820780732,-0.14311635415488233,-0.3948004257397153,-1.8253725740668478,-0.013227478291843786,-0.15886538536847228,-0.48213265396918836,-1.499236595206553,0.049389012564657,0.21176277254759546,1.0444426758190226,0.3022008818667892,0.25874305367156936,-1.114452257737813,-0.2167043257927137,-1.2516777954161247,-0.5759614596163762,-0.6020812129267787,-1.1447459535503806,-0.21735179597786836,0.19439338836194975,0.9912269648434766,0.3671516054682775,0.10396109227548012,0.3773281709913856,0.482045020650939,0.8520530668015686,-0.5902003117207986,0.5898102907392859,-1.093991677894629,-0.6993372053922988,-0.5993429852917804,0.07638026741873238,0.40374412909290935,1.4744966515935507,0.39142837916844986,0.48651303291277226,0.07369357376650387,0.4238900170752009,-0.5517538181462085,0.2219772752175737,1.417171807038061,-0.04630470138390819,0.2873467817893953,0.6969967754390924,0.3381473212133206,0.3599780413437039,-0.052490789084537415,-0.9002299383336336,-0.13073166240031564,0.7706473980971537,0.09594122608104327,-0.6719279401644902,0.8025181148810298,-0.16339026455294214,-0.5118701271043571,-0.3656012906967694,-0.8310157306911015,-0.5245919080048804,-0.2671132485782126,0.021252111140686925,0.5594460123857652,0.686371067946113,0.6314540176520642,0.11292480310817732,0.36848949086020677,0.40712814236666195,0.9087888705751108,0.41219058079189086,0.6018988247812878,0.22516186642177938,0.31980709256377815,0.6066766458250652,-0.06325608042081288,-0.5714503179888795,0.6671785304330857,-0.8494519088378569,-0.08903427042413603,-2.479929749088188,0.37859213293894034,1.0339617335786282,0.5920460735685114,-0.21571260286029625,-0.6556489932045892,1.68728804556389,-0.5496388244983048,-0.20601667876383756,-0.15169632249280673;-0.5898332034286144,1.235634509017852,0.574734694554921,1.8633765419094486,2.561894934036942,-1.1365020650421709,-1.280123929927305,-3.568992762234875,-0.8002942732033116,-1.1555066362818276,1.4757708215965102,-0.4707196925131387,0.03762606797300583,-0.2699419793582307,-0.6603792745769135,-2.8900581469815645,-0.05393214569612148,-0.24221664720639824,-0.8044274363910247,-2.093208537929189,0.038801171937554724,0.3578587858283919,1.714356057680785,0.44798033388642544,0.38858852510791886,-1.950540209130712,-0.38141636445750615,-1.9320218845111023,-0.9878012191147518,-0.9686913011024711,-1.851009203689407,-0.3024340726286021,0.28792327346721835,1.662483482443373,0.6009641110553932,0.14125980626011625,0.5864376167376886,0.8903715252693165,1.3843651799931846,-0.9259933458996121,0.9596581221023279,-1.7073939133151477,-1.1943677490051439,-0.9866306853311535,0.16480371236588587,0.6457054730302505,2.4048380901144752,0.6157513708055746,0.7877489849172865,0.16585312050726442,0.6691841844435804,-0.8180965279771923,0.3931096239365197,2.307331305552058,-0.07769633956225475,0.3850868772707421,1.1236615456890846,0.5587088882031921,0.5663115247996928,-0.12845564992386516,-1.4337732525713571,-0.25560387786864425,1.2419352596555702,0.11276946620900707,-1.0684942352374338,1.2918312184112863,-0.3020803176503497,-0.8737853464970127,-0.6435402860301997,-1.4134409764087836,-0.8434330544582842,-0.42413562717961195,-0.014623707940352393,0.8627867497063162,1.085364222689231,1.0150647645165005,0.25181882567706104,0.5429774128897278,0.6486623551742179,1.4949487630507545,0.6569537514024724,0.9785192903745423,0.377851002479765,0.5923759955506909,0.9610568051509605,-0.16468424696849482,-1.0744961135002633,1.0801830712113016,-1.3796383814769309,-0.19855913479058174,-3.9589041235656257,0.6205909482007548,1.6924793754604157,0.9775580097120287,-0.3832675793092073,-1.0934623297663442,2.729228608715739,-0.9158727562564857,-0.3339926086630638,-0.2086630061736261;-0.20379010765599226,0.21445187929740506,0.2652528117916422,0.16910656505518062,0.10004765931268444,0.14010921275027677,0.3866544278556443,1.1673687537437,-0.2282330695822523,0.13704714000356688,-0.3433558324835442,0.07624151669880597,0.4062271898803793,-0.18648726431653806,8.373349428723031E-4,1.017614778926216,-0.2099694092583757,0.17153412514265476,0.04998886163308569,2.107608019975096,-0.3298235139619763,-0.004649204273359686,-0.12477675402148947,-0.453532531485898,-0.32131840732511385,-0.345775466367952,-0.10321220380176577,0.9019006001213441,-0.1086812987009047,0.28893230075808063,0.49488555648963306,0.4115232018498336,-0.2592865610937096,0.20939432881805686,-0.03402459699309546,-0.28605487926773776,-0.3422328818642111,0.693091911769427,-0.2723903342667011,0.3776886429153876,-0.19353129381541834,0.7488167649626138,-0.12466574477755188,0.1310232918942944,0.2869293508553863,-0.22737872287785343,-0.34425563029474304,-0.23996370068199013,-0.16940919710597768,0.29232573251793603,-0.2936213682310438,0.6605971770159602,0.18747465252524265,-0.53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k{262}=[0.3602410216131125;0.5812515099980433;-0.13698303460783537];
x_a{262}=[-1.7573652888430829,-2.7552222951804466,14.205131452634504];
std_x_a{262}=[0.5554638852946414,0.8982040912925037,0.39419968820144174];
pred_a{262}=[-1.7573652888430829];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.1 to 26.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{263}=[-3.468008218777523,-6.079736086847198,11.95944526282111];
std_x_f{263}=[1.0774782412085604,1.8144780585641296,0.8634627024571284];
pred_f{263}=[-3.468008218777523];
obs{263}=[-3.2465200599588355];
sqrt_r{263}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{263}=[2.1610115322584535];
xi{263}=[-0.07186811584768416,1.9238916226793399,1.5886240721308977,1.299322310863241,2.242252856288149,-0.9141088823921923,-1.2148413464426242,-1.7522718796621235,-0.3299076741595326,0.10485011782587383,0.09588047488904738,-1.124566410592346,0.15134557194739395,-0.2500531508427284,0.1719222936766549,-3.170403389825512,0.6354290249136296,-3.005185114912852,-0.8180973237403131,-1.2005251755936626,0.18311824642531827,0.17084291399703222,0.8677265430089398,0.3724260517600668,0.046510492387323854,0.15356585044217663,-0.3203171157521929,-0.9442403036263474,-0.8035370636714814,-0.17722790273400912,-0.949484584844908,0.25791481155257445,0.043893218857208094,1.4655342159618132,0.2859199307650324,-0.6524705545488039,0.39337384894114225,1.3416964556393198,0.37611609156077996,0.017217481017396175,1.0328724789869028,-1.088875986508723,-0.8129732897575015,-1.5875006043454847,0.10546409142330493,0.6337166793396465,2.592667987016372,-0.652150786253713,-1.1972626079564619,0.2013573191886051,1.0031834558147081,-0.41993642049286484,0.5936653600278361,1.7695719130227934,0.28398794675451455,-0.7846559441802934,1.213896021433845,0.5846149726351118,0.5024259929749051,0.23112286411978822,-0.9543638074532219,1.8305586044098567,0.4474547421689543,0.46543106710863524,-0.3878315820241012,1.1529794506489819,0.3476761318971757,-1.4018019715200718,-0.04177852680189709,-1.173717208171729,-2.4821124510786894,-0.5986418528715878,-1.8992589253892702,0.9558940520854446,1.0049038570184985,1.2957002018181507,0.8791212835384021,-0.14552254621244654,0.422334599048122,1.3268841412992365,0.44692093185512416,1.014891035446147,-0.24165804361134624,0.6522559969387407,0.1071000327029088,0.5855084586632957,-0.8218965516469425,1.0238963961860614,-0.9133457507093525,-0.19293369936772287,-2.7119137681613714,0.6133159205490375,1.067229906206343,0.2255374016046816,-1.5973027493708165,0.3212009415199457,-0.6814256541828594,-0.6270381220128409,-0.01903244445243235,0.009320550740714584;-0.19093767927805327,3.36137561942451,2.759895494072027,2.271579702865095,3.928470742106422,-1.5892653121109657,-2.0414129891325867,-2.8637359929647115,-0.6442559830686498,0.12947050486279377,0.1382971953513481,-1.9191727551516484,0.2803935499433523,-0.48678472594438915,0.24795659074215948,-5.028822444126439,1.0409750513150033,-4.839821039200004,-1.427383273161463,-1.739846098208301,0.2434702033675613,0.2767814533767732,1.4879727196156471,0.5712031085273992,0.020560654469344186,0.12821784262011793,-0.5965535563251692,-1.535961539913556,-1.4341325782730117,-0.31927484329152644,-1.6123132387180776,0.4504339646579183,0.02705163808273614,2.559943197308687,0.4718719763245893,-1.1703173593424996,0.6230290183704037,2.369363613994109,0.6243517836994963,0.020943381644633163,1.7569587656304106,-1.7894258912879293,-1.4555342888888623,-2.683097700750869,0.18787559954746946,1.0531830217122273,4.5282286998946955,-1.1432162353034583,-2.0276988331617805,0.3563313627906304,1.6875283332782205,-0.6702425433126074,1.0333500633116834,3.0556652157110356,0.457219334603173,-1.4469375827312412,2.0688052512532327,0.9910838100126798,0.8199387013406714,0.33067555432348783,-1.6139641045699493,3.1354568596523316,0.7263366913409257,0.7280689982150683,-0.6696780688126625,1.9634734585964608,0.5387817289523342,-2.413789286091788,-0.14679272346470373,-2.055301064565464,-4.057388937124207,-1.0281810490672747,-3.232076100596025,1.5951956313614781,1.6886161231416565,2.208028280377402,1.5365490612092776,-0.33631821403582673,0.6860297095947461,2.287044699376403,0.7305117104909566,1.7212412527457523,-0.42179756629330534,1.1560709576907007,0.12765129429089228,0.918311754099352,-1.5610690457034115,1.745079605306751,-1.566584750626264,-0.3982893617349532,-4.354029014805548,1.033495245787666,1.8324748373332138,0.3731031432110319,-2.7179307368697803,0.4981764613206261,-1.223070175585578,-1.1012121685367804,-0.05431876364289945,0.017785391527388228;-0.31541023948186364,-0.7863609823597901,-0.7178220296637985,-0.4233387833828228,-0.7495015383400432,0.5352465536566609,0.9673389022034371,1.677129937677245,-0.1690664802393531,-0.2758661736052819,-0.16028329716367296,0.7910686295316456,0.11484975735934633,-0.10907206579466155,-0.33806144504568714,3.3191876669652167,-0.6900644187247646,2.935708913327529,0.43537868084357534,2.140641343201535,-0.4747060225824491,-0.15504881135544046,-0.43515958335161287,-0.6203291472630887,-0.3087900561898653,-0.8248566409012419,-0.007361102732707181,1.0050023085918092,0.2695451558449058,0.08062799085921135,0.7075021711914324,-0.013639287858408622,-0.2753814604302782,-0.50685357634109,-0.21288903097842216,0.21325808839922367,-0.5134176838300988,-0.21899032186697376,-0.3138266669550198,0.012655154750444098,-0.7265222553803614,1.0513577316920095,0.22247956736338992,1.1843805162531265,0.07911000493858644,-0.5790047577937454,-1.2258317638338685,0.33451581892864546,0.90020616294942,0.015600081377669994,-0.8345272051585297,0.5746578494845043,-0.27710670208750443,-1.1004060383804006,-0.33143194802515197,-0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k{263}=[0.5372537420219552;0.9039122967014973;-0.39269052186401715];
x_a{263}=[-3.2998915773083004,-5.796885196070199,11.836565129079998];
std_x_a{263}=[0.7444678807651077,1.2441374911971874,0.6712626298281287];
pred_a{263}=[-3.2998915773083004];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.2 to 26.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{264}=[-7.1808982331588505,-12.672410457855262,13.44147444985873];
std_x_f{264}=[1.364863569411631,2.0005833584409474,2.167076843544948];
pred_f{264}=[-7.1808982331588505];
obs{264}=[-7.187322689776245];
sqrt_r{264}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{264}=[2.8833818884768787];
xi{264}=[1.4256237973645849,1.4648089313818033,1.5529797943440764,1.1490042775761626,1.8771738895867722,1.3984369566851544,-1.1389104851469876,-1.037398810197577,-1.9901123424363627,-2.4103371809296172,-2.1968401863206095,-1.0241047739125042,0.09317547189375208,-0.7056466916743354,-0.08683864365114147,-4.481274026339627,-0.16363345845937616,-2.6155672726263157,-0.4173469239988554,-1.129072648650868,-0.47718479854651275,-0.09237469362029227,1.0188608318740675,-0.22826496085742143,0.3975334194926958,-0.12558195320557264,1.5126515665179747,-0.8531689913446181,-1.4996397368178043,3.5051356678064027,-0.9482356164093195,0.3615396400854767,-0.023613856359254726,1.4282263877544228,-0.327891629928863,-0.0645400855493401,1.9696814144750538,1.690237065125359,0.057091344677675515,0.9165708739508336,1.0911282640383915,-0.8478708377634936,-1.2278459359772755,-0.43855832784841464,0.27783146743413134,0.251583951294422,2.5211037817588124,-0.8746576058980411,1.8783599511089601,0.858166355116774,-0.712857019612894,0.18519329525111505,0.880499432458075,1.775539883381029,-0.28013383437895545,-1.3284202849653086,1.6063750178722875,-1.3256485953351218,1.1169257565888113,0.048184692088415915,-0.8502306465808589,2.5257455864769804,-0.4444294403380411,-0.1775257498610463,-0.42705859168460325,1.2185214643188491,0.28421204152771384,1.690526546005879,-0.271236324511567,-1.2833276226491241,-3.5935202056487006,-0.7526662860571411,-1.1188240879899807,0.8106682639225236,-0.27501297267817115,1.373900354950873,2.0431310956624884,-0.3169411753239988,0.5269211000727427,-1.2262350923569683,-1.7309558569310726,0.6817232878349584,0.10469764237339874,1.4078372182661196,-1.043134206807557,0.5182811164325676,-0.8890528626842391,0.36604417103977394,-0.11312357395725137,-0.3926821016765487,-2.632744688034591,0.3935056575973217,0.7497404850879867,1.2227758409442142,-2.6432291378410637,2.069692326935165,-1.3436758822460098,-0.7621510598344754,1.221279160555861,-0.15749676453331052;2.0765387651767675,2.351667581855798,2.458735123372639,1.812803022495224,3.0828176735690747,2.07653629655605,-1.7321861543870583,-1.4886779889572317,-3.0319422593868595,-3.467269660791507,-3.1690431712008618,-1.609405269451166,0.08967082238976865,-1.2383234064904016,-0.300976548817939,-4.825235404444625,-0.42007977336123403,-3.303656363742924,-0.787042456260286,-1.3123225370953424,-0.9170116704599902,-0.2559344998294133,1.532433318522747,-0.5476052883957099,0.42626667247198746,-0.4939404524076263,2.249835431452471,-1.2601543632607513,-2.3606591031230604,5.749788659428838,-1.4905319704738869,0.48536947599431635,-0.20494398412830073,2.2772740658618815,-0.6011255604899777,-0.27991420476953266,3.0250047650139695,2.7419779861297826,-0.033863513158893355,1.3191334729776596,1.617949280207844,-1.2713013581897386,-2.004442637784864,-0.7567586302997817,0.35082797948045297,0.24399085501461037,4.130634221328105,-1.4364445492229887,2.9081801293213,1.2600019680342296,-1.1920176249471126,0.24089674508187464,1.303118785750863,2.7844281370815285,-0.5622246432047078,-2.2183294289450526,2.461935830192237,-1.9990116455989,1.6114693587713234,-0.1286716244561248,-1.3289276839642223,4.024268226196597,-0.8284400491007808,-0.47069685877461254,-0.753182750802841,1.8206722387639616,0.2530090121978592,2.5528650930831134,-0.6200896392514821,-2.0464274374249705,-4.436127765860062,-1.2352343674422137,-1.7600972635729732,1.091380912566331,-0.5670514929051116,2.0752598391369297,3.2570048295806053,-0.7110073009069549,0.6738261364889766,-1.7882022931405412,-2.5961773683469698,0.9550281493404533,0.042527304080397954,2.2041096419058537,-1.6999612173321381,0.5902464814778501,-1.6758915805885675,0.4606334982463185,-0.29553296624264647,-0.7933372196832575,-3.3126582103428497,0.49904431456922715,1.0806652499392921,1.8248688732236964,-3.6784825097270595,3.1910691666657094,-2.1583565387017067,-1.279045488614809,1.7929958949413987,-0.3227855356773528;-2.4229950685108577,-1.6261418965048247,-1.8906227847665669,-1.3157262399922196,-1.8950548679605106,-2.184391129603366,1.7112288441982564,1.821630172467584,2.7917223212114113,3.7861351305913704,3.479706734026111,1.414794172545033,-0.12389969434228121,0.659001242826248,-0.24304223582812412,9.612106729454686,-0.1309963126677367,5.100803483919082,0.31014074394503055,2.77061734772702,0.25569526884991056,-0.07863629095682967,-1.4276316211226607,-0.1281616310392053,-0.9932168428144692,-0.6164683864954164,-2.419229419695929,1.4279446455901876,1.981220349236299,-4.313796858859513,1.3204418604275734,-0.5612264677935084,-0.36698172873266977,-1.6405175521052975,0.3098987777268878,-0.3226015117577159,-2.9360409072526252,-1.7854451768560882,-0.30558454535434976,-1.44012610458398,-1.6697547584090735,1.374411845998642,1.4493755373614796,0.5027657682824938,-0.4540216980202789,-0.646061944235516,-2.7681918874519056,1.0619355210378032,-2.626055604712132,-1.2568696218801758,0.8447419695391929,-0.22810988802642562,-1.2809703621344752,-2.3566883190553103,0.1319096963940236,1.4145763556470285,-2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k{264}=[0.6531850310926933;0.9488123524711265;-1.0082166842359688];
x_a{264}=[-7.2086271169521705,-12.712689255150002,13.484275068282107];
std_x_a{264}=[0.7924249642629971,1.1866541381674482,1.3242653680155434];
pred_a{264}=[-7.2086271169521705];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.3 to 26.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{265}=[-13.7477864170757,-19.71890209113538,26.612498295030786];
std_x_f{265}=[0.7486154456430394,0.7064904779376877,2.767014404549495];
pred_f{265}=[-13.7477864170757];
obs{265}=[-13.982064750692455];
sqrt_r{265}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{265}=[1.563533658598248];
xi{265}=[0.5547510623236391,0.8473871848735968,2.165387245052619,-0.33918820192195653,1.0213231129443603,-0.3271823549056503,0.3928725102663133,-0.2743223706653577,0.23741846305095748,-1.4238733843007214,-0.8615500748436915,-0.6807984966801879,0.5312785437870193,-0.3277552827112462,0.05597495205132397,0.5361162503013723,0.12915147649178849,-0.1987207676020155,0.1067764028148499,0.12076302951961893,-1.1356391974931075,-0.18489978359474257,1.7162884430112992,-0.34439554610601597,0.5316397421825005,-0.9444682671788662,0.2413845966980741,0.11557334644693107,-0.4798826446847677,1.5653283809532166,-0.4945857693400324,-0.5676065144304765,-0.8298746620577013,0.5782608277112011,-0.44238283887484364,-0.28802501924632296,2.075500211716056,0.6864333608948474,-1.0208842462266947,-0.3379864954952936,0.32016439638722893,-0.3580482437156487,-0.3821495036993934,-0.29979875409993717,2.297027839952145,-0.11683965435547528,1.3354361856960075,0.580463775763409,0.5315590846503664,0.04243463261374458,0.45981106322518706,-0.5587959922548098,0.04385319321992753,0.9128425272944956,-0.7911166738638933,0.3772949722923524,-0.6571075687905523,-0.9751189150668278,0.7210553584911441,-0.6567631120108555,-0.7618388867014403,1.0184851845918494,-0.6057491307162337,-0.49347161060757294,-0.18605210101191716,0.405648888616545,0.48507778047297023,1.3078139399900568,-0.6013251033183913,-0.7073775838098193,0.9562298980693047,-0.608073645626801,-0.3982316281823177,-0.05895807246214346,-0.3425863473327535,0.43176901033030113,1.1517411728099667,-0.0018596478819734585,-0.026058147781894192,-0.6999467512633526,-0.4029379399358728,-0.7206354681428326,0.02473949449854196,-1.196200412428821,-1.2829154482175404,-0.17783992582593378,-0.7215414049606714,0.0025683460235068623,-0.7393831716764048,-0.7595075226628634,-0.37426856199611613,0.42696642872408574,0.21800514900219703,0.565809874493457,-0.5057898513557948,0.3399274527608078,-0.521318571462217,-0.359687273939965,0.273853992349931,0.11312576010790742;-0.5548584727092383,0.19507461874968257,0.49732117801510967,0.6148137641579439,0.5295100754944926,0.021591295477996653,-0.45351438384571807,0.20040134094368156,-0.6436687336935663,2.2851346041189515,0.8277698766356174,0.1105185862838205,-0.4040338308331819,-0.568050035156233,-0.6886489320919402,3.4177263669015367,-0.7246390506145062,1.4365376853359777,-0.679646148739284,0.8974448783012363,0.3500041246667429,-0.40026336970916176,-0.019986974273116687,-0.6012328133912384,-0.7603043948288608,-0.4394038262456199,-0.3629302657485347,-0.19640913166895402,-0.3297517786023185,0.8304065648472054,-0.06997954466035594,0.22354898218382147,0.001334766433707557,0.16850870143787589,-0.17908963882578988,-0.567000940363787,0.21295785236470266,0.396390413053183,0.5753878297554031,-0.009704712771437585,-0.3142480425648273,0.07312226725001025,-0.5466012415081813,-0.27158711505251176,0.1992261969162641,-0.47138748385234663,0.6899848520163658,-0.7073008558501925,-0.058108766511946186,-0.1752248238134051,-0.6760270177537677,0.2981205461895655,-0.1550998285308367,0.0014080784730943208,0.07350736295161653,-1.0263323485542095,0.7225326013002551,0.7507071715754172,-0.49352581103470783,-0.2963422569835963,0.30434871145112297,0.21394127176814948,-0.1916895345928289,-0.47924049339990304,-0.3849984837757745,-0.3178705423542887,-0.7959314020434967,-0.22818704636480902,-0.42220851337705767,-0.10217542096236443,1.098761648867523,-0.029143674107913853,-0.24144963995481206,-0.5113229078364334,-0.43856667391905546,-0.23909984581064236,0.2465021386567443,-0.9064671199963321,-0.4755586248854229,0.565667151312006,-0.09548466207660766,0.33150918922619965,-0.46968207002980833,2.3103452454726003,0.8920289222519031,-0.6625071962140723,-0.8218258297276968,-0.37231109757385283,0.11496761134294786,-0.25256038276205217,1.7525061898061267,-0.5280066900418703,-0.32670836755585597,-0.305952419366772,0.7121710287342324,-0.10646568267619827,-0.392949226115725,-0.39712172756868824,-0.366100723156805,-0.43725312169060615;-2.6396080280659113,-2.4885266981966083,-7.027251104117127,2.0531836466949684,-2.5642941303154103,1.179863136693914,-1.872572510992626,1.2948162560952845,-1.6262174239627818,7.163257376249486,3.8859167489883255,2.4465199865156286,-2.3037325410828373,0.4019562461171482,-1.0606166239727024,2.9192281930608672,-1.3787428137944744,2.6659245547660504,-1.2153447019894088,0.997212642534798,4.125206410370453,0.17562689390860697,-6.120568406283745,0.4184990977807317,-2.860330728794935,2.5315056469467834,-1.2560562003757632,-0.5454687544459276,1.2285965260741563,-4.142903365002283,1.6293626649871733,2.2333625790398948,2.755758803661049,-1.5810354344653632,1.312650919562362,0.27493301545322524,-7.213456424626234,-1.6077910666087227,4.058826598838149,1.1969932149261595,-1.428294192843854,1.390003735834231,0.616420328243791,0.7327460108596249,-8.134320601571496,-0.1611129630005408,-3.448502705480621,-2.9248479196391166,-1.7952182451949277,-0.2697630606551833,-2.4462743189781655,2.3158835895581156,-0.2654923199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k{265}=[0.36042310665922705;-0.03146514604513355;-1.261341321925817];
x_a{265}=[-13.862250936253874,-19.708909272288913,27.013079792904392];
std_x_a{265}=[0.6057759166073156,0.7023606811182759,2.2508786989402805];
pred_a{265}=[-13.862250936253874];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.4 to 26.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{266}=[-13.81887034543423,-7.06531603700971,39.96969577685532];
std_x_f{266}=[0.834177633456263,1.838390288580676,0.7065389575527766];
pred_f{266}=[-13.81887034543423];
obs{266}=[-14.053106344225592];
sqrt_r{266}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{266}=[1.7065860242823114];
xi{266}=[-1.0308425254316909,-0.35250999417758777,-1.3997748928313172,0.3810348613028314,-0.5461359285394671,0.3699143744200786,-0.4089454608376837,0.18913545513448504,-0.6107919565087467,2.833687147847934,0.7701180129581555,0.6156720927796009,-0.6178283619980824,0.4753718141101597,-0.4665827008603749,1.972083404950192,-0.5518258292249687,0.013378385617542676,-0.4194868883308214,1.0356252498025906,0.9387206292552204,-0.2092595860662314,-1.3961092364369758,-0.21536803451045827,-0.7782901907388986,0.4008045115363803,-1.6318202476592774,-0.4655365944870198,-0.614299507556451,-0.06936299922122302,0.16538553068417805,0.5332428950166612,0.6074475661565035,-0.5393279946897529,0.7449946621441512,-0.42237867644274374,-1.4918347599617743,-0.1297166479036047,0.4118925211634057,1.2407026592573427,-0.4232324673035386,0.19760306199383848,-0.24681809356734874,0.03926251462840469,-2.076039388918785,-0.09809092645238238,-0.9280388153780894,-1.1256154626318136,0.45904550678804945,-0.18250563111520357,-0.9713036632963643,0.5586448543332097,0.26294696232506,-0.5422044734049773,0.6186236629043016,-1.1146450143759594,1.0055377801317018,0.4717053920316392,-0.8689693480058516,0.2843721413803646,0.5727350145536736,-1.0757908407662082,0.1727566687735198,0.25561020380071753,-0.342518523184399,-0.5105452272006623,-0.8574702043456313,-1.1885662657648268,1.0249635154487766,0.37945416540051013,0.19094772511303582,0.568333034353639,0.5693152362741891,-0.34673234413615717,-0.01143930915045388,0.29560336126927744,-0.3857743231771842,-0.7377431688514431,-0.5409703400249732,1.6333198779545501,-0.18995225797527482,0.80190499621051,-0.3449738379506453,2.5014444354144096,1.482727852845553,-0.1041275087732405,-0.037055354828561704,0.44463575306914116,0.6858788375500797,-0.004828026557502696,1.7906980284687677,-0.6409395239115891,-0.6325234265788371,-0.17220798029766016,0.5766051641965397,-0.3081920468363357,0.7990576342506035,-0.020247930187682783,-0.1994151946712961,-0.7454392215653005;-1.9574824914894275,-1.2877338782614753,-4.559565817188295,0.2312626036868073,-2.2954139615827973,0.9539351173638817,-0.4984486327555704,0.23832619707458313,-0.742199842845805,4.749614515417427,1.0663578095913975,1.4894203134191724,-1.107738153396392,1.9260642629199722,-0.301214461708442,0.7905837670906015,-0.4877164376354637,-1.8412445867187817,-0.20524709856907375,1.4747898747973434,2.1142001528546857,-0.014497706979498481,-3.7601766563434733,0.25881574185370493,-1.0138737799638378,1.6826181181693078,-3.8179283357450906,-0.96811645742285,-1.088149766627577,-1.4381893913139443,0.568482966001751,1.1448931356938825,1.6446189749173143,-1.7053582351893226,2.1364521646105654,-0.31215960850745006,-4.34925613472601,-0.9689727886228496,0.4987792652389631,3.1428583994633095,-0.711146937720823,0.4416324493651693,0.11699388807529498,0.4710566708175037,-5.951168688078326,0.35310876266462454,-3.5815199801861617,-1.9984310497699038,1.174255455772121,-0.2577883124488496,-1.6470656811839248,1.11648078665932,0.8326636944946308,-1.5043356665208076,1.584223241283497,-1.5051218956942627,1.746280429279432,0.4190772501322044,-1.6435892956977352,1.177982455838574,1.1812178788157208,-3.231520344562698,0.7414425378195979,1.301792616015926,-0.35500666983037643,-0.9433335415109774,-1.172588977497691,-2.8828688370768667,3.125859175441217,1.1856357404423266,-1.0863550098138646,1.5505600391606098,1.7570965893353536,-0.2142154314911009,0.5674333521179138,1.0048523866158234,-1.4633967538321375,-0.6912998726360691,-0.7662374877032532,3.5048555837545337,-0.3187894797535167,1.7168753162536827,-0.2800482184883917,3.8408667858600465,2.8744652302143665,0.6049464760705021,1.0332785525123747,1.5825759428444783,1.6949478083026328,0.41029712721856093,2.475420175224567,-0.9898467655180525,-1.2225802627292524,-0.12582830682286072,0.6593821678590324,-0.6946652879907926,2.5384982322570657,0.486602095401949,-0.0627375308582847,-1.3625597650750567;0.6506925698687169,-0.25917788338163206,-0.653980255671037,-0.6182510146652618,-0.6255960107235836,-0.047316097312204874,0.4509134485543811,-0.20551987535770166,0.6981791431598623,-1.9727011282991427,-0.7916350163081063,-0.12851950843000282,0.4298381102714828,0.4672339812352675,0.7179495143656069,-3.384436347578429,0.7676195525112419,-1.5045771749690928,0.7040063443433553,-0.9501574869029525,-0.3451740029872994,0.41396830292371334,0.009482678131767841,0.6297296513537773,0.8215854625898231,0.41507305616512014,0.5521013412825937,0.22600213082090193,0.4374842456051695,-1.0045061136825026,0.07798567276648072,-0.22838360966693472,-0.01957660390635141,-0.18864404167980808,0.09132448046933916,0.6250866934932304,-0.28326980201170926,-0.4692655403285997,-0.5158370060593782,-0.11894944725083434,0.322441404350748,-0.07588888548954031,0.583385665807036,0.26456420983499385,-0.2608405580879065,0.46340985768745924,-0.8425841519470794,0.8246346693703117,-0.05257177342351582,0.17722081617112906,0.7732488746103527,-0.30824934979835206,0.09502063815871509,-0.03686386535637354,-0.087695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k{266}=[0.4140348123262404;0.8314829832794383;-0.21020350419957679];
x_a{266}=[-13.943743451546945,-7.316091719901237,40.03309325867019];
std_x_a{266}=[0.7231913342424107,1.7104882472406915,0.6390678848872959];
pred_a{266}=[-13.943743451546945];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.5 to 26.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{267}=[-5.447528280111085,2.071097699092788,32.174673650127545];
std_x_f{267}=[0.7460421673542614,0.5701896226266682,0.9671508400284048];
pred_f{267}=[-5.447528280111085];
obs{267}=[-5.210993248840703];
sqrt_r{267}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{267}=[1.557910793547117];
xi{267}=[-0.3631197179592851,-0.47879094295219193,-1.460959335047261,0.28229998090257435,-1.4863746912548974,0.16849702398880062,0.2715687493470904,-0.09250862024922135,0.07343195732256635,0.562573218967902,-1.3901424227965151,0.3788713135104018,-0.16882637973646109,-0.16881714922364832,0.12400229455356993,-1.5207416794596185,1.2092424381303033,-0.883512735460811,0.010806933047803113,0.17373018272736385,0.5769462910961369,0.24458866826979886,-1.1391906433490204,0.04224416765786998,0.12821683071472556,0.5330991351595644,-0.9603970915719753,-0.5654470841105734,-0.4673620877971043,-0.8788056394036055,0.4056023532466515,0.2869719448254777,0.6573890774117492,-0.6268317648348125,0.7062756545060065,0.3648970040689301,-1.6128062057720811,-0.7048359008356391,-0.5357292884057605,1.0951274124991617,-0.3012173765391353,0.12717679022341954,0.264534149167198,0.36348956213800765,-2.3312967023467763,0.22662104596554222,-1.4831146421919508,-0.3254773478935924,0.4339568523078299,-0.027483527412675457,-0.30903020113314383,-0.38980236724590345,0.48552986348843596,-0.536043158934465,0.3258423791797824,-0.04409937878098269,0.22546092085451086,-0.38549756505813004,0.47423371373730117,0.4765577074757683,0.5532856732364886,-0.8115335029246245,0.30533689357081695,0.5664798977826457,-0.14232712531988856,-0.5850344182550042,-0.9369281491751966,-1.1340929932437538,1.4496474703421236,0.21705549675030333,-1.1218659919075264,1.0580240438046458,0.04457437000006248,0.15793407763551937,1.0710396217203568,0.08502840671286105,-0.8023915854930967,0.26116988276027,0.021256630256965003,0.9755733277602907,-0.27841363082774606,0.4127921137145636,-0.3398493132608422,0.344373832397344,0.9502906165436942,1.0641341081206654,0.5406976782267403,0.5303341331607188,0.6700915900613778,0.197189392319709,0.4185173009846235,0.18347520994643585,-0.3191022961253642,0.6819257615470882,-0.066700776065856,0.2474157860288715,0.9448981122708187,0.3597827933949551,2.476044801112399,-0.31165320829960574;0.16125733324278357,-0.5068849601406338,-1.243390381322881,-0.5806218283250475,-0.5409212861416768,0.055029298906171586,0.15349761378326754,-0.20135094714248858,0.3508690222916586,-0.7529935766883589,0.2129608778323706,0.07671888701651675,0.08136055672911402,0.8919435056299312,0.4604369516192577,-2.6351968343353196,0.4543663957087354,-1.6679496932742446,0.4966802493052991,-0.6176326748581962,0.037928286591015326,0.23089889245379824,-0.5375753666621732,0.5365377585091275,0.38922915354710996,0.582693487097365,-0.10958867613658274,0.08785464270750643,0.23231938388540918,-1.1060631152773999,0.05894555535343882,-0.06944702493687238,0.20654663535869178,-0.4871293909432983,0.38975959138726246,0.33040485816615517,-0.6263064255987258,-0.548679686777332,-0.2778180833064985,0.4635429476978832,0.12801724563286632,-0.07966387835554678,0.4027842051582513,0.1981854640439753,-0.14691959967852153,0.3560023280263209,-1.1690191898200548,0.3028869837276891,0.07472906529415413,0.017050245817633147,0.3356293329677662,0.0013546285470051878,0.11439972875426241,-0.3231268499026698,0.1428229178718965,0.6489861898000631,-0.35620999892733396,-0.5295521699986159,-0.0313401494997918,0.3529376397064321,-0.1148271335927249,-0.8431521441105803,0.20764263982783593,0.5075894021322909,0.26345260299249684,0.21531590533450862,1.0733388243066448,-0.002791827163994398,0.8198856311831331,0.22775142480829746,-1.1479443096953381,0.24230261931990338,0.4619657865181668,0.31108339601072954,0.3864944734428355,0.24540400876887292,-0.4764700666088084,0.5909686883746303,0.20440170207684538,0.1381763224714443,0.040277618706404006,-0.05164804598067052,0.4231267582695999,-1.0016682414535403,-0.15001575948057266,0.5591873149091824,0.7845462149657219,0.43229068200321663,0.12186714995883108,0.2215537856093852,-0.9733193715580224,0.15310040482039078,0.06653044857677415,0.05816814719562036,-0.5482646414156844,-0.19188012644829788,0.632015263316084,0.3164264354098676,0.7729065722103927,0.1520253718702591;0.6858538414671997,0.30056385875198544,1.2426186798524768,-0.9557240517546894,1.8332884138603518,-0.21526523778874207,-0.2819811521101556,-0.039037565282704634,0.18493315349336825,-1.5013742285356813,2.2317707161282385,-0.5130919574363624,0.324320702548512,0.9518795125258706,0.1936059615752228,0.20335800573760565,-1.4023044899418515,-0.07151379866323992,0.38854398967281867,-0.7945860079502367,-0.8607248729489001,-0.1720276706435726,1.3114156239900225,0.36951702518204854,0.13631723781646343,-0.32402350579507555,1.3981068976788933,0.9208416406332987,0.8787691311837733,0.41570382492641045,-0.5771586623596328,-0.5053658561015624,-0.8339584088454011,0.5490941066532713,-0.7305191190411335,-0.2699009596784627,1.9778731609372855,0.6146504135831918,0.568518895717979,-1.2387215638131828,0.5526982977986918,-0.2709083924714619,-0.05787965256888583,-0.38970597132527374,3.4477735622408545,-0.04701157057697003,1.342911535531357,0.747022205619615,-0.6010356077516654,0.04567223424859179,0.7468211422397175,0.5696649969506211,-0.6338127423224194,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k{267}=[0.35811472380703013;0.14314659284136289;-0.42338098479351766];
x_a{267}=[-5.393881330256302,2.0925416040135527,32.11124956574689];
std_x_a{267}=[0.575211227655543,0.5401929869807078,0.7825895166200156];
pred_a{267}=[-5.393881330256302];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.6 to 26.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{268}=[-0.530675854197449,2.1616604931046273,24.10930131929802];
std_x_f{268}=[0.418663480345749,0.5440055899983097,0.5138666299819482];
pred_f{268}=[-0.530675854197449];
obs{268}=[-0.2669918186368502];
sqrt_r{268}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{268}=[1.1753945202486542];
xi{268}=[0.10689077074493614,-0.44443129194553754,-0.9276300807689504,-0.3920218851363817,-0.3139680739022924,0.0465099041431179,0.14766737496212834,0.1360256678189895,0.16731006390875652,-0.4169186293776187,0.11863369140641278,0.19731791105505841,0.010080806620489047,0.7845856509080525,0.16967661665757705,-1.8233250835708128,0.4115811515308593,-1.1703001505206374,0.34051902682177737,-0.3352886826945689,0.11575641874555226,0.08896116127732079,-0.20889077413804513,0.7782141481906197,0.6291147627225311,0.0595902759043051,-0.02057611452667607,0.1069917705039457,0.17898146539972382,-0.7686054588972342,0.23154987576489622,-0.2266974069162675,-0.007357090318090176,-0.3704631933013749,0.30730064810294516,0.2670497014970288,-0.5737827984102657,-0.3723728321614639,-0.3080586927222063,0.298157041441667,0.0724304140361694,-0.39780929815234745,0.05002827201678678,0.13813301927178018,-0.08571373477209066,0.5192266928812903,-0.44557301473087374,0.15863362355475302,0.02836811513816284,-0.004805733165331283,0.22933438469885187,-0.07826636047284097,0.07341087966313403,0.1289662994115402,-0.18607613050653482,-0.014952477024804178,-0.23381955393912612,-0.2748600158034996,0.16760962720518585,0.25526102022236097,-0.21122541528514605,-0.688786207676237,-0.03358235983712343,0.37442735053958576,0.3371250315003104,0.16180864394665995,0.7329959261035421,0.009284684787076669,0.6367326442083061,0.05680608677867266,-0.8730774867624587,0.21981695627128972,0.3319883601461206,0.1683249859471616,0.46690442821269384,0.218198278984229,-0.34896595300229394,0.4366764251404454,0.20572417964896983,0.08641280773295712,0.06105401778207181,-0.2332945432230379,0.2983796861614394,-0.7564403604537555,-0.274458031681716,0.4715625386611938,0.5391439589851987,0.23968483394323126,0.17533759740661492,0.3100391892627267,-0.671666877573079,-0.028185864759330048,-0.538552412002242,0.14329210061417613,-0.39449958720723033,-0.06122241969670894,0.4029462568875808,0.328289013268969,0.43524381044483035,0.14845402944150143;0.3048138274078065,-0.39983218940421095,-0.7499708507505425,-0.7955470871562487,0.020037673896923458,-0.015208373784811435,0.055735104643343636,-0.13360396091562565,0.32992860384560396,-1.0530801497328002,0.7849137128624939,-0.029623956897609993,0.13241971036989586,1.0596429326505103,0.4191144991248339,-2.310430282569487,0.10073156284748563,-1.545283598904051,0.5252819098374113,-0.7591265656234449,-0.1656734328087004,0.1308915686667116,-0.12403693193205534,0.693036428863615,0.48317026610463687,0.3646683828689121,0.26943989303577975,0.30999695933621263,0.42165148593367885,-0.8987459362556192,-0.04532200164652567,-0.23942697648186662,-0.07629162266876799,-0.3071454034041934,0.16447167554783748,0.22190940980932883,0.03219541393094305,-0.34134277514348543,-0.12343960931886722,0.09769631294896586,0.23786082705181988,-0.19964400325684872,0.2906773169551098,0.06762398115018309,0.8782681632285669,0.3762408760006877,-0.6582613420364851,0.439546494322006,-0.10180522437895734,0.008575653050621579,0.4734827558098691,0.12549290112865963,-0.07512671006565075,-0.08310983174850195,-0.03362354828035308,0.7001335548029242,-0.505144610931086,-0.4477908364860903,-0.1726988576171693,0.19827887440666414,-0.39525229424405617,-0.6125892435071978,0.057843021169360576,0.34921763639415104,0.3667580586424344,0.4538582055041962,1.498270703617293,0.45019669747410607,0.42291344517107454,0.12978379745001334,-0.8136533085683151,-0.11243733160235614,0.4731156331549542,0.2538115222941473,0.1170404255755968,0.23450801311531677,-0.22189574031339943,0.543403354258079,0.2154522484959731,-0.22149729997603607,0.13730902831227354,-0.2768306600354813,0.5808329375688528,-1.3175787558610854,-0.601064425454632,0.2537386005212108,0.6492995748031847,0.25119473612382004,-0.10136147186118016,0.19721060674151358,-1.2956781525082972,0.05376489193571432,0.23853545894471928,-0.16783403645617212,-0.621821200377864,-0.3113473646256879,0.3369339209900608,0.233653438025756,-0.03634641830299623,0.28094968517099117;0.31014196458730936,0.2615858934591415,0.7152159078658471,-0.5485776366781501,0.6927646542025592,-0.13252031017335852,-0.21531571119923143,-0.5575561134055462,0.22254790313825978,-0.9465716540602465,1.0486046529359179,-0.49348571115774575,0.2150512159831237,0.20299837111916474,0.3720670336581833,0.20911285827181558,-0.7214327428088119,-0.07466123690044668,0.20478272134100095,-0.6140897064354327,-0.5678430445451532,0.04892464911104355,0.25335844695529275,-0.4583299362106814,-0.5138611097236705,0.5044040290590388,0.5301300718200501,0.31327375799818924,0.35174301344677517,0.13272192319590914,-0.5982773824700587,0.06361401713513004,-0.11699716980640673,0.25671121694470855,-0.3557271990544848,-0.17810839867582118,1.2079692499266024,0.21804543326443238,0.41177456644892274,-0.4617134013239159,0.26135005302020176,0.48605164934163625,0.4092023661978992,-0.1948402815142991,1.5927658907135118,-0.4669218329258875,-0.13031231492571393,0.4343365440940481,-0.24311521454712093,0.023826755668590494,0.3410529324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k{268}=[0.14922182911959603;0.16316769417854718;-0.04161036179083451];
x_a{268}=[-0.49221793935212665,2.2037125797547437,24.098577367180056];
std_x_a{268}=[0.3996750007583987,0.5160947863918037,0.517156020365076];
pred_a{268}=[-0.49221793935212665];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.7 to 26.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{269}=[1.2104828176723843,2.3892060181625188,18.583036040917875];
std_x_f{269}=[0.5284767128832002,0.7492662590057632,0.4136560560662731];
pred_f{269}=[1.2104828176723843];
obs{269}=[1.5021047911105931];
sqrt_r{269}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{269}=[1.2798663263461565];
xi{269}=[0.23935400215178104,-0.49533731004809123,-0.8172437121930571,-0.519743282313646,-0.18445059660976182,0.10482159264811819,0.10571725850849178,-0.2672264433065167,0.27364083617208346,-0.814105592459642,0.5484826329759367,0.10842177826216637,0.02078046490381058,0.9827143081202006,0.39687107694365986,-2.145713907803425,0.41051639923497074,-1.4366777536215685,0.43001235770951274,-0.5857595177350495,0.08603855442951858,0.14152423000393588,-0.23486160594466776,0.7844104463839501,0.639716720714117,0.4219896763781936,0.14890924707540054,0.20321052809519546,0.35702513282534687,-0.7458540792201362,0.3065091749393565,0.15464798520803136,0.03409070806076975,-0.3028491359328117,0.502690144541998,0.23365837093012432,-0.1737861371074485,-0.3143673095000895,-0.2692009183123657,-0.09183659411038136,0.3605951897551114,-0.27001878627602716,0.23174208161897347,-0.007892779865650068,0.5454226247210336,0.6457062110854006,-0.6689510617898154,0.6374660774122445,0.11322640236871817,0.013903771682171273,-0.0577521008226507,0.11047619310525447,-0.030406419630767623,-0.05374987149823762,-0.5093712021048821,0.29221596606336786,-0.4516925245138145,-0.5123118699039539,-0.037399452211527295,-0.006506702489117666,-0.5323568871903371,-0.6478576239791625,-0.01980178379914288,0.2898983407546971,0.37722206086660326,0.06814513901729113,0.9484377822306684,0.0774293917569544,0.7845508837461517,0.6190737315191097,-0.8991202283755955,0.2165055385909045,0.3689121620420688,0.3627126080977874,0.39688748436436194,0.4977143643077131,-0.2726954284534704,0.548349182054156,0.213133566312957,-0.48083489001596935,0.42049859846687343,-0.8719328397572754,0.6087160821552058,-1.2430505494714437,-0.5696982968534829,0.31764404843941674,0.7624216418581198,0.24772450788826283,0.014717021652979057,0.2859791045254192,-1.0880667900333014,-0.023330769753725056,-0.043935539841678306,0.10199857621789299,-0.9659165260303266,-0.23042944651440678,0.26016095766585523,0.18386467092504866,0.10667880695880183,0.22820986995018133;0.3641160092581317,-0.6578880088270191,-1.0452815979397492,-0.8035454252667571,-0.16708123813771403,0.13137414141668513,0.12384908334387834,-0.4308293488352648,0.4055552981333488,-1.2733763668818459,0.8721764147602578,0.10206655726325309,0.0555908407175747,1.3705723504459555,0.5866362529812013,-3.024154911613405,0.5024364825444416,-2.044082729214814,0.6254557782579475,-0.901042189481569,0.0603790375338793,0.20537882239913907,-0.29487870371498914,1.0533759700705803,0.8448309183640976,0.6264057268209875,0.2673479768043143,0.32399320394369413,0.5307759748699334,-1.0351481408855814,0.3687131089343607,0.21703336329102996,0.03377233380040945,-0.3914025769984091,0.6629620821372679,0.3070907740511566,-0.08258720186926594,-0.4161566985026328,-0.31821855786863606,-0.17160033794306928,0.5250871556554979,-0.3087263551620456,0.363947147640578,-0.027283179020030968,0.9335351181506044,0.8596534893415639,-0.9553886812201489,0.9223849981127801,0.13343820601017997,0.025593053305590363,-0.0238059873463623,0.20148705798394406,-0.06991712251204563,-0.1201418176727671,-0.6465119386682476,0.5446028519989703,-0.6766765619883324,-0.7366757551024945,-0.12220417525191296,-0.02259284093488967,-0.767780198806167,-0.8503700495968105,-0.004496120064358511,0.3843182613891103,0.5158996239140552,0.16234329557765115,1.4042587045329125,0.20169810231319607,1.038271921734156,0.8595724235818407,-1.1849971018425773,0.2322553959500695,0.527688155055015,0.5106205880292514,0.47488541579306665,0.6796635234598067,-0.3342594752109611,0.7627770932284466,0.2949493406145831,-0.7335836410953314,0.5956959574233318,-1.1975981369867854,0.8798511695659492,-1.8445808558149737,-0.8548012291507174,0.3885247934939642,1.0535652201278052,0.3392364456397372,-0.04188442453834851,0.37255745196620094,-1.6513589501491532,-0.012517324771962546,0.13310612565727054,0.07387315386541626,-1.3702256539998123,-0.37449122146313085,0.3370351090816879,0.23001857315422036,0.04552275569302333,0.34033665116601375;0.2708130672907636,0.087412259149108,0.36607048554854416,-0.5649039416166914,0.462075085040091,-0.11580461582640567,-0.16127414352418512,-0.45716581586693295,0.21630008988244853,-0.8804366492247091,0.9149645601559406,-0.3758263185695263,0.1515576898505735,0.4500801333826878,0.3575952633875481,-0.0012382452465367066,-0.47997801340512325,-0.2596949533679229,0.262119961100197,-0.6007128020145238,-0.4598049668401565,0.045898238540111436,0.12838027011134656,-0.12829720702336544,-0.23126820410703175,0.43810184430852317,0.4109459159587807,0.26347376257048083,0.3397739043471759,-0.08750006854168646,-0.43475523885255996,-0.008272132478367666,-0.1216995821912974,0.09463930990808933,-0.1915625616943082,-0.09007996080562108,0.8290927718817507,0.06376568041157427,0.2328800395030406,-0.3370480276736352,0.23248111056632226,0.2765076371190247,0.3411651539265925,-0.14897888832390294,1.3164613605256825,-0.21712339002917602,-0.23406957598246692,0.43443704947954487,-0.2072250065033252,-0.00613442968548128,0.30193795508094823,0.2711547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k{269}=[0.2186684035551873;0.3090825403691267;0.056253605394091];
x_a{269}=[1.249658129093478,2.4445793806461698,18.59311409734508];
std_x_a{269}=[0.47302421561383906,0.6707313953546339,0.4074933870406382];
pred_a{269}=[1.249658129093478];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.8 to 26.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{270}=[2.5797851541777694,4.289488137692935,14.850621065185392];
std_x_f{270}=[0.7829720049818086,1.2403239529399666,0.5028815691414336];
pred_f{270}=[2.5797851541777694];
obs{270}=[2.9980196574029194];
sqrt_r{270}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{270}=[1.6160419601937632];
xi{270}=[0.5446862961783339,-0.6689026177113087,-0.63303440974813,-0.9670729233525517,-0.7883055182210255,0.16646431845765042,0.041493881110921116,-0.3724117610641766,0.4910497967619025,-0.596395141973983,1.1948775965163403,0.21754015859915699,0.3079109311436703,1.3322962061946986,0.15432131374963376,-2.7589271221255607,0.47977668689046826,-1.8331530792994317,0.48728894778603404,-0.8025300459967433,-0.18113620762450866,0.10256614310327539,-0.23620404239763637,0.9920172136416245,1.2069822549595743,0.5693530494996675,-0.06814431032048418,0.30886504633688805,0.5831995546051512,-0.6753530666301915,1.4002050874595873,0.21715911554031608,0.8586158581699359,-0.18137136984699964,0.6415117238877301,0.051694299006483924,0.2358015624886729,-0.9112245290564953,-0.08595191181742035,0.707292477927334,0.8064268484149739,-0.5557843227400041,-0.0964251382213277,-0.23754229823755768,0.6429874064722712,0.7848548881793298,-8.267489885023238E-4,0.11474294610901747,-0.6718864254767474,0.2431311912828007,-0.09412476221586985,0.5579815535050834,-0.07106071011795212,-0.959900028706792,-0.5429394115153348,0.5122878525997381,-0.5503247742763553,-1.1465175156897687,-0.023317171640222956,-0.03439853252044056,-0.7636524445252453,-1.2535146678739442,0.008647175992417822,0.08050045596157362,0.39144301960233285,0.01608121702063281,1.2246262302578832,0.06880005990944138,1.7859327132813032,0.3338200338927444,-1.6093430348506543,0.4082273416353277,0.516330988297327,0.30530182075884005,0.4336802552614376,0.6396124677317152,-1.1364891559041883,0.33336674945830413,0.3038583818012457,-0.7052330005301017,0.5385103134123006,-0.843287784681781,0.7489831186488747,-1.9995630026860092,0.3509624213410816,0.42539210983139686,1.1841594886412863,0.35405924928387966,-0.16035613759027978,-0.04067087412736736,-1.9286681052809893,0.1801332128129549,0.4539495120524526,-0.2678617150014868,-1.6763669389294777,-0.3164789890299251,0.302520394914092,0.5206979377592251,0.2439272112912465,0.3377456611153806;0.8546313289498357,-1.057273472940448,-1.0069518305084988,-1.5232597659754532,-1.2472366218313389,0.2833453368598837,0.09021659211810462,-0.5609509924770548,0.7704453459313694,-0.9173335309978654,1.7804741969306876,0.38455851845560574,0.49200437510299544,2.0402425408739466,0.23933810525617538,-4.4434259487629575,0.8086164735233137,-2.939447211847435,0.7659986130327985,-1.2562447040534996,-0.2459323570541585,0.17354981682310378,-0.37016115167443564,1.579844033332952,1.9200917254693177,0.8730023136277119,-0.11442269523742521,0.48219111293239525,0.9036690569973844,-1.0685252812898463,2.2301192762779243,0.354710160589808,1.3643633821406063,-0.28150998140668015,1.0388985809129307,0.10474715900497866,0.34560345036766726,-1.4495127581836602,-0.132401059080836,1.1456279991327065,1.2586291489928465,-0.8829152068094754,-0.1539408294664879,-0.360706456027184,0.9245004233399339,1.2683282664242022,0.015360738397729001,0.17413929807099038,-1.0479367267103474,0.3960916571770685,-0.14679575886444418,0.8707524277297338,-0.08974558243064656,-1.5107880249468675,-0.857175324362299,0.7543748069269585,-0.8518960967866231,-1.817526718673732,-0.002479587502986824,-0.03491596690435905,-1.2014763027977207,-1.9931375951415142,0.02020550879833216,0.13636752641015892,0.6314962021062875,0.027852986724799855,1.7949594787945262,0.08700842959897681,2.8050681767985948,0.5349163627520843,-2.5666983798953966,0.6950276056514513,0.8149449347873698,0.4918831179209544,0.7371246155991429,1.013038965615225,-1.812168572239103,0.5323968357535662,0.4913894139891273,-1.0955516864608135,0.8525313378438621,-1.3408300879947581,1.1553442373690537,-3.2140830685706576,0.584517787901234,0.7079303537565353,1.83634947934088,0.5668192770154521,-0.2179004580099244,-0.03486674661183908,-3.1072451037512625,0.2914767437060659,0.6661021770153388,-0.3903862920326113,-2.6803162946080827,-0.46930365521453776,0.4987533856260038,0.8461985579099247,0.45382861697732757,0.53337750866931;0.43904526799372157,-0.22099499490057362,0.07072128870903249,-0.8314523186564582,-0.04906931372882184,-0.06779089157993212,-0.1769782182099764,-0.5442302766357372,0.35041754907761025,-0.8582514048684828,1.341988167082965,-0.2358828942526614,0.23739994321523206,0.9886913306219292,0.2306877208368654,-0.5127368154230094,-0.20929922166402548,-0.6934964836076496,0.35384316341416344,-0.7780664943601696,-0.5225637429593064,0.005942877919119738,-0.03243863891230703,0.32866195347303595,0.43104389942970656,0.5530109477288025,0.19829411214545445,0.2855668175227333,0.4877546966196835,-0.3044930387006257,0.4869994814026022,0.031175776983232595,0.39018562855088135,-0.028794182870564455,0.08925973507236407,-0.14163549838705158,0.7513596575373018,-0.37389439470880603,0.13303829253826116,0.13559878372926804,0.5576375130075295,-0.07685501904252234,0.11285894586947798,-0.29075405372195995,1.2389181592404892,0.13499438127310448,-0.09942251590641504,0.22678204177185535,-0.5631625034929542,0.07934708190290252,0.14176996576515322,0.46919949037367026,-0.2690292788834956,-0.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k{270}=[0.38120418613381796;0.6036388177131774;0.19106203763864515];
x_a{270}=[2.7070955152187604,4.4910847586556555,14.914429852910676];
std_x_a{270}=[0.6562396866785798,1.0392334143986166,0.46223574307160387];
pred_a{270}=[2.7070955152187604];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.9 to 27.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{271}=[5.380204464172575,9.185260679620962,13.933986945372355];
std_x_f{271}=[1.2058207155773295,1.9253340431595847,1.2428499935657664];
pred_f{271}=[5.380204464172575];
obs{271}=[5.934176637408637];
sqrt_r{271}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{271}=[2.4591036858323947];
xi{271}=[0.7105692675455346,-0.6610001973028075,-0.6677874654793703,-1.8561361391059865,-1.08230883635132,0.32661290071374705,1.6453552910603042,-0.32826776716331274,0.6747102334964445,-0.4103918398098054,1.2443084933104416,0.3838197851096856,0.558773905965853,1.327370356564252,-0.3094986491211955,-3.8344463841594774,0.8812053810549827,-1.5825906245349168,0.7952260430252469,-1.7786878780987436,-1.082258480979477,0.6220401197321088,0.5570384697843815,1.2259713794013987,1.4680943629490404,0.31934643116131145,-0.04183284173234458,0.5282262433653147,-0.4957214554889653,-0.6165125594437031,2.03824388676974,0.3291957344818268,0.9461336602845716,-0.06455523633919746,0.6665379598206691,0.37650662449516137,0.4693174864913834,-5.301202308388056,0.9458170110258459,1.3876145953522974,0.5277251059589583,-0.3461425018359048,-0.22169762429138373,-0.5211716249200862,0.5258095377465182,0.6781297190728015,0.1969272361049521,-0.19615391079810607,-0.7910240977523717,-0.3040952461806121,-0.05932013921215784,1.2236476236315417,0.1057310218760179,-0.9816415733363986,-0.5614641731706538,0.4594421192065532,-1.3545220150283308,-1.672732348146753,0.3937971920506591,0.25633714966409116,-0.6732240576739317,-1.5321683849471448,0.09381420933653839,0.976134146397575,1.3816340778855256,0.39248447544505627,1.3545307184182835,1.381815424953242,3.1473732357807975,0.8734583333995207,-1.8029926938166438,1.2985807930697533,0.14906548219826377,0.4217477527254072,-0.5404023536451703,0.19802389455673364,-1.2540353434976845,-1.8579371524657842,0.519734007328446,-1.388459411281544,0.17432191342234038,-1.2807539156979608,0.9432211309360978,-2.393232668984349,0.23535707067797684,-0.7691465033554836,1.3770056369379295,0.4178733678569442,0.13161946723267803,0.013703352575504368,-2.1592850352430566,0.35500707851757074,0.8779643760822209,0.9956155299438567,-1.9396611394215415,0.013309403942582954,0.4221496016730386,0.982041244716017,0.36807393671337696,0.4232205872047503;1.110403239717476,-1.0134399222474268,-1.062115266328549,-2.9270361429799117,-1.72570122392007,0.5950421834355843,2.5464649469504863,-0.3915581747227055,1.070161501512164,-0.4952669978972537,1.7307886131836376,0.7178546671830581,0.8954587202361779,1.9581341757214812,-0.4622752922514177,-6.443599391859055,1.501839463145819,-2.5404331008309713,1.2448549072438606,-2.7791028196852006,-1.6092730121444596,1.0205363994836052,0.8967952226882563,1.9367159394484919,2.292622053254986,0.4980443422765397,-0.05367701863099761,0.8431405766692137,-0.7634785796048309,-0.9266971709790486,3.093722769773999,0.5780670139366482,1.4964424356755526,-0.05632391183221941,1.1313821870383407,0.6722608485589507,0.6479754278371654,-9.013789837720765,1.454769668281548,2.1872717103815145,0.83607515007151,-0.5188694291283831,-0.31726639743423846,-0.7324826514140241,0.6623756750239682,1.1529937343524779,0.3761900999150676,-0.2813340508910631,-1.1724770224535224,-0.4132386230599323,-0.0732729889330983,1.8533708997461567,0.2639014257106602,-1.4746790548735937,-0.8637433011221987,0.6185739170540074,-2.088339060411845,-2.650936013570779,0.7508442460181648,0.48627244665538427,-0.9917285745648883,-2.4587388248563435,0.19268946899619266,1.5668006515033586,2.1416849072695783,0.6197902305808842,1.8567008582617355,2.03177173822562,4.476776827672854,1.3925249107136555,-2.9223573302429804,2.119265303100848,0.2680592499941987,0.7081839207469667,-0.7087463988652765,0.36364268375181474,-1.9896393233436207,-2.9703004790066414,0.8646124750429305,-2.1357964148665616,0.3273171425967387,-2.01870339039725,1.4241250205159854,-3.880952010619734,0.47823997389691364,-1.115168946902866,2.076670767166611,0.7146693543123455,0.3411390994745691,0.13079965252179093,-3.4657338272592577,0.6005788720512424,1.21470896262581,1.6724244283036516,-3.1169131707674333,0.1348699002247269,0.7410103230283092,1.5939927512999148,0.7577373179361526,0.6930517486228336;0.8443673856865281,-0.7289749158099834,-0.5161729380387818,-2.152428330558182,-0.9481437086615454,0.11872544229663795,1.7715898559019028,-0.7727829347470152,0.744962772960676,-1.0250592670786425,2.026663859237795,0.02502665948493288,0.5883283395124455,1.7703516434618756,-0.33878447853967053,-2.4060844969394495,0.5481887750179464,-1.4785898920236473,0.8970160889232268,-2.1102045850998934,-1.5710668602613094,0.5543338136992464,0.5856918636765158,1.2213369859806207,1.5478349943588015,0.46610302881170007,0.01044616009007271,0.5896165851620943,-0.49285959668643464,-0.7483957105261787,2.327840755071337,0.18585609538211934,0.9607658307852365,-0.15230664901931945,0.46154423213494944,0.16180853218054914,0.9206700517743815,-3.500754563930016,1.1405824227610282,1.3988138828578993,0.6091283941033687,-0.33908314823766084,-0.2367165113576668,-0.8164478647833331,1.2327083540502635,0.45354711345245846,0.009176017000802617,-0.20642228130738793,-1.1230290100200353,-0.4919946190690343,-0.05097092448962215,1.519835326806371,-0.20518576682401068,-1.3635342674731277,-0.5721750435994206,0.9557572754333368,-1.6771759235845476,-1.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k{271}=[0.5933477690423188;0.9454680968799988;0.5819351179304568];
x_a{271}=[5.666622581280823,9.641652708416093,14.214895999814114];
std_x_a{271}=[0.7119162365707308,1.1431290623820032,0.7984700496812243];
pred_a{271}=[5.666622581280823];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.0 to 27.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{272}=[10.952099394038694,17.052153960795867,21.093554640518466];
std_x_f{272}=[1.0332900212785379,1.0965972785669214,2.322143042674082];
pred_f{272}=[10.952099394038694];
obs{272}=[11.391309167596063];
sqrt_r{272}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{272}=[2.071788268971548];
xi{272}=[-0.6371028871987381,0.8986398346858984,-0.5698653597666326,-1.697862458909393,-0.5268934316169975,-0.5929410213566335,0.755257968133975,0.7516231011650412,0.670190137005882,0.060863473804808166,0.11465989081720451,0.5875302518695271,0.11311921257011903,0.9557699068869407,-0.6444057710183788,-1.6565848691166618,0.2893220749066234,-0.6180624765103158,0.39002878587796097,-0.8170152505828909,0.024504045331838142,-1.7485595627250454,1.3155801204294963,0.38139248593977726,1.2062301390442975,0.4793409043441059,0.009165196493340133,1.5771924172126823,-0.11246480556632221,-0.2658915632076546,1.35359836211018,0.5338299631101524,0.5905310053471311,0.17392337745380004,0.39918025121116685,0.25637739610147037,-0.24820935859320237,-6.234648616385906,0.6469845346535976,-0.6111581940734272,0.0011867248607568825,-0.01009205043656003,-0.3103227283679164,0.20025940649658835,0.4616702441092979,0.03725195096124345,0.2071798396350495,1.5447999228695437,-2.152132588815043,-1.354339413928237,-0.5236048243553668,1.6350560680275326,1.0627950084806876,0.03171481666491616,1.2137498929669235,0.18966988403397345,-1.7197867216429756,-0.6615841922935815,1.0380964505227883,0.05430481791408326,-0.35025490807165127,-0.11971886658348829,0.5074859221000754,0.6723210748617809,0.5518127399439852,0.26992997951621334,0.8139708865115196,0.7925911839415534,1.1076944789900285,0.013530045277333258,-1.3885664530517232,0.9863498362368066,-0.5889411210616124,0.29024838360254357,-0.21577318302900395,0.3185448512828355,-0.5332637685811115,-1.2854128795754782,0.6270240584958096,-1.5126361758839426,0.05278485267031385,-0.6438396101159558,-1.6086861850897183,-1.3462739998278312,0.485972670899498,-0.017876599369904156,0.6671764557336601,0.34607685045639336,0.4786454910807425,-0.026214491189263,-1.1734085272923966,0.27872555511560826,0.2994518379215769,0.23960279702463083,-0.41069827983602636,0.2418036918337343,0.5320562836698812,1.5590605608890709,0.7357430157330551,-0.1460801728123453;-0.48046487076376465,0.7532617609068453,-0.39932599628206233,-1.399954995987878,-0.35768463128735206,-0.26243352439402656,0.507515475910111,0.9068019770695521,0.5295751918845291,0.5183448405771358,-0.2717716700814705,0.7521355753881807,0.20019892932437244,0.3914304561210322,-0.39136790756179707,-2.0580367843958456,0.5319163744769035,-0.43276937897521606,0.3332381730596765,-0.4191332232282825,0.42157223382828235,-1.5537928938184322,0.8376272064866512,0.3832593109444957,0.7407680681037299,0.378655845813217,0.11060921965496817,0.8871058463528705,0.049436544841992,-0.001793289884417959,0.6030740167279092,0.5824166128986406,0.5030370733201011,0.3218949930774464,0.5344974582095645,0.44223438309521157,-0.31091670066445687,-8.578980935724772,0.42686511040418296,-0.41589640275331874,0.08396976419282964,0.12809522488417002,-0.10602121012436072,0.4543967825298054,0.0138689215464467,0.2794869946397327,0.3906663479104857,0.9462982794103709,-1.9366395306674171,-1.0455790570841437,-0.3010382818632067,0.6861607788020798,0.984774289235613,0.368437548934196,0.8502927365073418,-0.02049497120698618,-1.4105240947879985,-0.36479585613742316,1.0531075588089784,0.2915033479659641,0.011136446375520137,-0.025165372623533244,0.5437700242148793,0.6061054202106462,0.3996850513213772,0.2617478392183443,0.023123950450401054,0.2735367636360948,-0.13829709020710368,0.12573344775189454,-1.2849135150316826,0.8704532359666395,-0.33748859241502416,0.3790942850296162,0.27141260089720376,0.4448023308033129,-0.3175721746959468,-1.0420813741593413,0.6167702255987209,-1.1451309850515337,0.22974104520053018,-0.3766546849359145,-1.535334139403508,-1.1672960443152043,0.6752220659355075,0.35971662733958354,0.3459647388980649,0.4536136320525692,0.7341906041150565,0.30377375941912277,-0.8964173694821298,0.367187721470426,-0.07239689146261341,0.4738167187913618,-0.2344918536139211,0.5244927582993206,0.626747264580267,0.979732062052765,0.9940815791224438,0.018472842474636764;-1.531521529531748,2.1311185320519463,-1.3847053542020653,-4.321227909692347,-1.3186384357052425,-1.793505486852716,2.021518393462877,1.3184968972074387,1.689584214878444,-0.6415969900785718,1.0369994775019222,1.0000741087987706,0.1829777285891332,2.934072347478864,-1.7405208097211151,-2.5816728794982637,0.2518045126340205,-1.564162364133736,0.9810787393758638,-2.454404813404924,-0.6222789644702935,-4.178513838369739,3.468174745876059,0.864992040413167,3.237795086217428,1.2470946356777937,-0.07813201446476725,4.288131922049022,-0.4326160022351857,-0.9550821813958095,3.943344316466767,1.0890050937225944,1.4263704676637587,0.1862806993820918,0.6743154315853452,0.28152966802186796,-0.27375848103961076,-9.651865073916458,1.7846124235239635,-1.5825812657889493,-0.04785664182376337,-0.17511566425466185,-0.938375425139732,0.034638633456559376,1.8304237192696675,-0.2781130251943935,0.17639496097924834,4.076078098807507,-5.267110850398359,-3.4855203944326867,-1.4178396002380325,4.768070957058509,2.343329436732052,-0.4888157723302484,3.0986462593526234,0.8751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k{272}=[0.5173251943856175;0.5101202047696469;1.1182063568568694];
x_a{272}=[11.103857649381489,17.201798619766883,21.42158244135147];
std_x_a{272}=[0.7064041629583035,0.810430300723948,1.6405289824814087];
pred_a{272}=[11.103857649381489];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.1 to 27.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{273}=[14.601327806816139,13.303909357820071,36.44777894024175];
std_x_f{273}=[0.40851534754551716,1.5545108025333048,1.3991479594237217];
pred_f{273}=[14.601327806816139];
obs{273}=[14.59689302739395];
sqrt_r{273}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{273}=[1.1670237808986719];
xi{273}=[0.11730379416409775,-0.25067558806527224,0.09251825016673898,0.4295923806062092,-0.10438342990538096,0.3644271996401329,-0.39083254090550845,0.1795568939507728,-0.15075501099212474,0.5041278463900642,-0.3866738678542134,0.24088659111029642,-0.093544288068653,-0.558592696486226,0.35791207470833974,-0.37016481130403456,0.18000650197474322,0.20717159320318324,-0.11237462907712548,0.4259040504450322,0.3885813643442724,0.31549054434906587,-0.4850687180402211,-0.011322783885480803,-0.4332327748671503,-0.030527676334116904,0.1744950115477817,-0.631000550973539,0.20432521164405415,0.2593598524046534,-0.7121731453074425,0.04794448734760515,-0.11640868861717024,0.13213308506710142,0.021699333140803745,0.1535752325403017,-0.037762348944403,-2.379521433034194,-0.2580395134623785,0.2231247806922525,0.160885045204461,-0.01947338373254759,0.2832671967511686,0.295513746587563,-0.3843275767696408,0.22176838858484693,0.09825254365430247,-0.5794902927072751,0.39424042091605394,0.3469225034147527,0.24207597960592864,-0.7135311784410643,-0.13360031302434905,0.32610337900114494,-0.43737440740119027,-0.07587818371225907,0.4816510615655254,0.22923390759240192,-0.1432908337350014,0.19528298012183498,0.34635652769715186,-0.06531080171387238,0.0012955799030613946,0.09691658743235188,-0.09105848908983738,-0.10949753402346651,-0.809275949650603,-0.7100789236487266,-1.1255716753024458,0.10983939822669875,0.20348163771312855,-0.12084333210339082,0.2023686572656871,0.023454056122696798,0.42847747378831436,0.08327266767225083,0.30241620715511175,0.32685469263454614,-0.051600558418785525,0.4666481105696523,0.2581822154517397,0.33222972577213206,0.1777592719753045,0.294542923959602,-0.10742737795004054,0.33220642637917486,-0.2682698073715102,0.07905163601245313,0.19248458187824724,0.45155639568436,0.36516085116567965,0.06835665757032494,-0.31323497441283443,0.09280335938361084,0.16368900323404922,0.2915174805723133,0.08048004564738243,-0.5920545022640304,0.10712469563402571,0.19038449265925372;-0.0018726300329934276,-1.9071962813117302,-0.38256758886749687,1.7638153503851068,-2.28410601184952,1.0611869009784982,-2.365105105885661,0.09970663389347756,-0.8001402093567584,1.443151283706733,-0.7156166352504361,1.1502345253944082,-1.6965665719666116,-1.7748172149144121,4.052643241476435,0.6753103932183304,-0.4022100053706481,0.7809403535913724,-0.9591070532907171,0.9307990581561487,0.4053083084509854,1.8016282686493081,-1.9707480294583135,-0.33147792577311286,-1.5104332399863605,0.5322588806808728,1.2238302130965266,-2.0956558075021423,0.908245502388553,0.47225892944924297,-2.2949242873052764,-0.1335969112597155,-0.8649874801384794,0.008139041170352357,-1.1686578304518331,-0.205035189975721,0.3770766709059341,2.5109655046197137,-1.1694278572455232,0.7579006259377827,4.663810747550812,-1.4290673405338445,1.661098288105828,0.8755045657103704,-0.3120474123474519,0.08358434765021094,-0.752812000518432,-2.2429373575524956,2.0388097356951267,0.8320278769739478,0.7956702916634111,-0.839228207120092,-1.3736929172742407,0.3268990375775509,-2.229981228187617,2.3947614342158285,2.87340817240732,-0.3036175327211712,-2.1420529851193955,-0.1454637176170408,0.5554497705863284,-1.4865600963448902,-0.6090812309074991,2.8493196251149904,0.14238654937560646,-1.2507592735669206,-2.3599255710436413,-3.27773594744645,-2.494935205131725,0.11019557701540705,1.9575247080269502,-0.9503052191282091,-0.11256990701300928,-0.7752177074165623,0.0017796119270379052,-0.4386005320612494,2.0131205863117767,1.5048842923432506,-0.7640391811023335,1.583104217429156,1.4312443460457462,1.5795984217507506,1.9045314689553319,1.9997685703091115,-2.6548979497794623,-0.030025877367696907,-0.49100229022718267,-0.2881502357332426,-0.5305946048828005,3.067690479300328,1.6807753628106354,-0.19892898765527356,-0.07768158275435333,-1.1904886443324507,0.14869289706268063,0.44895785051702575,-0.33920018151890297,-2.522179907331992,-1.441807586299026,0.6098397666474309;0.338150461920236,1.1737919231169158,0.6294980306316447,-0.6346485096722603,1.854672402177755,-0.08523370582743439,1.2690947913820168,0.3656344735255104,0.41738944122430865,-0.08995280652824533,-0.19239030719867856,-0.4667938881176852,1.37438152093101,0.3549713578823699,-3.137534217987472,-1.488953580297192,0.8431681641514572,-0.18945479487481265,0.6594229144954653,0.18764488084102737,0.5857405395785875,-0.9378607828764203,0.6914787541547867,0.3264214943302761,0.3874355770049007,-0.5372618426895315,-0.7063964177673938,0.44728969693997556,-0.32863340124698226,0.2278016758914987,0.45086918234770224,0.29440815946102816,0.5563095780978742,0.3541303075585134,1.1521394861476466,0.6007426186546994,-0.40315451952903203,-9.203211087006444,0.5182336390087343,-0.14149143016364718,-4.36437986906995,1.3003838513477604,-0.8632821068412042,-0.07687047366700028,-0.5897704296924147,0.48349434972440264,0.9623376478347012,0.7005208114720745,-0.9966050313493966,0.08992201673584077,-0.12047343260664434,-0.9162144536457717,0.9648225141780529,0.517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k{273}=[0.1431194322107597;0.26412710410453843;0.1185372180348981];
x_a{273}=[14.601357965007804,13.303965014803222,36.44780391845811];
std_x_a{273}=[0.3809456818834793,1.5137588092342162,1.401470336820461];
pred_a{273}=[14.601357965007804];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.2 to 27.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{274}=[8.80720159037561,1.0531522819874204,35.12075034696454];
std_x_f{274}=[0.890159125741824,1.0293549657309173,0.9798878208082346];
pred_f{274}=[8.80720159037561];
obs{274}=[8.440262857763365];
sqrt_r{274}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{274}=[1.7924824727947624];
xi{274}=[-0.09910177434381495,-1.006945686349697,-0.3554288683476994,0.7922448961729653,-1.35348883360117,0.26664906592042925,-1.1567909444504476,-0.04936219513781026,-0.3984625539713811,0.6518869654429782,-0.2176402464775986,0.5851722980600904,-0.9815662511735894,-0.6729324276011077,2.3040449342644145,0.7014722010662382,-0.3963618744938664,0.33335454916106855,-0.5787047052125072,0.24035301799023756,-0.04345254980712454,0.8960978249601723,-0.7883380072468693,-0.1678187523383059,-0.6181578011831217,0.23349143368210434,0.6403118424367715,-0.8543327367845821,0.4137660836287349,0.08364694938308048,-0.896590835813293,-0.12226564994089095,-0.4590806570652539,-0.1015404638301014,-0.7140366152505297,-0.2748605577314578,0.2651483948123943,3.7662843724665436,-0.5757061156067831,0.23370267166580305,2.8459374648526587,-0.7877742793145686,0.6943277203724723,0.30729707748655777,0.106978784745559,-0.07648522191280094,-0.431849936875885,-0.9848707160832788,1.0270674200236467,0.23053265837832804,0.23566048562812014,-0.013860383665344145,-0.9239634277175179,-0.10125527301556403,-1.0941586780129384,1.5327436628427318,1.4325184519408278,-0.27910254413733426,-1.2097367060087505,-0.2447913991400661,0.07643224129372328,-0.8970502596586911,-0.3348979217145551,1.7456403212179143,0.23946469485272281,-0.7033676971752243,-0.9629549628200245,-1.6553425047799921,-0.77395021515715,-0.00719197924781767,1.0724732883078119,-0.4966128097403377,-0.22131858310858732,-0.4982701676802197,-0.286338551129802,-0.30563483505175526,1.0312486324261965,0.7162606390852098,-0.42895393592594644,0.6787944347191779,0.7018622546897735,0.7330481793794483,1.0691339563776303,1.0270321902600088,-1.6651790909448376,-0.26707430548274225,-0.07106786746219029,-0.23987075654281576,-0.46446261683824375,1.5899440475512154,0.7461524500365897,-0.11813820936543706,0.2079857966413705,-0.8067360274493698,-0.12486403297086035,0.029745837834795452,-0.2577681021165912,-1.1687780370507053,-0.9385661593709926,0.23929510636895301;-0.2243191709267388,-0.7900130295020698,-0.3178304895051218,0.24415286450358686,-1.347312157848092,0.3422343112682611,-0.9351633445933714,-0.3176624280707,-0.17900446669568493,-0.7018980858863421,0.4250407942049843,0.11535460764525918,-0.997736037074119,-0.16617283332026356,1.6312502650203182,1.2786967331473593,-0.5802547397126416,0.08935637008089281,-0.27461715447012214,-0.196723764359108,-0.4905336050126873,0.5436204260416289,-0.554116315725719,-0.2510938435021123,-0.16659247706354985,0.7924050264865266,0.4715537683307025,-0.1680779819413104,0.2139288015359102,-0.1746498491844357,-0.22089432134124487,-0.16661444578520002,-0.30677274085236694,-0.2271210931282419,-0.875464192355679,-0.35434996275003106,0.3635716487191918,7.323407174517893,-0.2005637636334826,0.30144478933193364,2.6600380816152405,-1.1216533931983683,0.9656338010573249,0.05358304764918187,0.5864957240541566,-0.47129386942868945,-0.9684027723689094,-0.37999872217978004,0.37578507563616204,-0.05794492259442363,0.28421845527015877,0.9841605734732073,-0.32439512641657087,-0.27684246824194236,-0.6504080787789104,2.009666475856919,0.8210244627920928,-0.8697793388712103,-1.2006547518474526,-0.43414771098288374,-0.3164444678639654,-0.8436564908679722,-0.49566623452281733,1.6549322020760484,0.1087754275627062,-0.605700822639933,0.008665682745492953,-0.8404396549903657,0.45827325893772053,-0.16364519658314358,0.9082191984364152,-0.3785309150717656,-0.4673930953471169,-0.5515100798129258,-0.9426607199066078,-0.5149056741388661,0.6793684815429286,0.2915748636179909,-0.4251606403970636,-0.07979571938194008,0.4120838085266909,0.3566606607058209,0.9077660591947481,0.7434798539058622,-1.4879328949106618,-0.6585372832896753,0.18180802696375764,-0.3284681682477154,-0.7460736116482942,0.8758288584213825,0.42759135177563357,-0.39865905482524033,0.5770219960539531,-0.9714004060116838,0.050468596404011246,-0.18577889696389016,-0.38538103696691495,-0.5815068936121288,-1.2520235685157486,0.04320337055598866;-0.010744691963431308,-1.1125576486100854,-0.3774161513202401,1.1608581887797271,-1.236621444415512,0.1581669574393132,-1.238428747090346,0.13902769614194455,-0.5704532156806863,1.6286156321559204,-0.7376217414097326,0.9102178079591781,-0.8839042209539087,-1.0465081747864389,2.8466294119660205,0.20869466857691066,-0.24526013829005677,0.49621197307690323,-0.8050074966910756,0.5511753321710202,0.2767967265773592,1.116226471593457,-0.9202099958455747,-0.10937202505890298,-0.9533446945419186,-0.26299301704269595,0.7239595853776493,-1.3596239248793935,0.5364454313102911,0.26517367260963454,-1.377799859202561,-0.10705939071857529,-0.5690771333783786,-0.015526434336862849,-0.5459381295254104,-0.21311730150077324,0.1598702138944006,1.2060173925188735,-0.8552029243182346,0.13035124565574563,3.098268043297928,-0.47174078325911495,0.42299104273909904,0.4563954133092949,-0.30060210215777516,0.21119033328049852,0.004141581164986974,-1.4133013695368177,1.4684362755243043,0.4191226176311744,0.15656530908976407,-0.8484048235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k{274}=[0.44211448916382284;0.430543905015484;0.44208919368635313];
x_a{274}=[8.748383345395116,0.9958733700749102,35.06193546725623];
std_x_a{274}=[0.7264139542156409,0.8287465645371522,0.8889780228568562];
pred_a{274}=[8.748383345395116];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.3 to 27.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{275}=[2.814310824254244,-0.9140018720385625,26.696676616427798];
std_x_f{275}=[0.4984043509612888,0.5419645465989148,0.7274348375114337];
pred_f{275}=[2.814310824254244];
obs{275}=[2.646945115765724];
sqrt_r{275}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{275}=[1.2486113567931838];
xi{275}=[-0.14227267435446933,-0.6859891319529363,-0.22184210518387326,-0.15794403246079147,-1.2528538274377397,0.22106806503551057,-0.358820412528317,-0.051229804292276526,-0.12220310350634467,0.028805099694414693,0.2215121067770851,-0.08308686683882671,-0.4931015172535518,0.06552295389721463,0.06957222876535907,0.43751934209410237,-0.26305846030759117,0.6190305058150773,0.2384285034228708,0.00619806935007805,-0.4329383760545866,0.08138971997345301,-0.1698790133690764,0.02697646029497136,-0.047864727223579706,0.3839241337563051,0.4014635336772785,0.13551907438248767,0.2063241040964261,-0.1892467827927624,-0.003685624109396546,-0.0013178885865485768,0.2460885774949957,-0.3025575676152128,-0.28665494685570136,-0.2541531246967561,0.13046604310937493,3.382215393954929,0.04458918805021117,-0.05834684670757051,1.1173199691982192,-0.4000074747079676,0.4736059646824491,-0.00778331587766079,0.2454301179231555,-0.10532204527855793,-0.5490774039367139,0.3039733130977762,-0.12937076448982676,-0.14386031358044837,0.3340402876904798,0.6404837199010602,-0.0370779627329858,0.12064683727597636,-0.2775683232551289,0.7282136940139656,-0.022876680452279974,0.1979196599962756,-0.48397373747895545,-0.22853764769707707,-0.09040863605836558,-0.41779683191786754,-0.16065776550504562,1.2785811059685028,-0.05274593726172183,0.0559600728695302,0.22185666713931784,-0.2691261770475668,0.43429593427585766,-0.6141700062311553,0.2388102265419727,-0.2899093817548062,-0.15367639234629094,-0.21179441333701865,-0.5221627646802385,-0.15687770135153034,0.05782786096716608,-0.09751071220904262,-0.48190983077754224,-0.3132443928077824,0.1694407675486933,-0.15511813124016127,0.19717311265397441,-0.2823166487695592,-0.5400116646148292,-0.4091670848211635,-0.2646261515001398,0.05017600728183824,-0.14789911372971298,0.10736855711991655,-0.31553386118218985,-0.2809992066046534,0.23083135559946255,-0.7991895516713128,0.06538858762692135,0.31796383794847793,0.08038163403882326,-0.15833386207675737,0.28447738473682893,0.25090894337319103;-0.10205961235786831,-0.049992629965477375,0.015324367100098435,-0.4694770481263508,-0.5337985018445313,0.17127827878595114,0.08732847549918266,-0.21501738782868962,0.20841472540346662,-1.3469355263538607,0.6930799080380116,-0.40292746701790905,-0.15746541474871933,0.5028953325168815,-0.6012003023907242,0.6968686468947138,-0.19383395259190728,-0.2173235574212291,0.352895075940441,-0.37397119288082004,-0.4633076521201618,-0.2541943108694069,0.17961380896926737,-0.03370555964099042,0.4243995313387753,0.6687449176075281,-0.07566615347382788,0.6857527474579157,-0.11503234457615741,-0.2244647010975207,0.620387022147825,0.006197576031144125,0.21030245061233677,-0.14534537319474028,-0.20343385489960708,-0.08953261948095648,0.17293993531355967,3.3497830853849417,0.3873447832225879,0.11354684227687173,-0.4181114752490318,-0.3884043625245357,0.3995460802533355,-0.17889892968722432,0.5512393924543364,-0.3473396811278653,-0.5921777876258847,0.6392742933873794,-0.5652423408376401,-0.23940732427566358,0.14685215681935315,1.1352676878438606,0.5510763028381068,-0.1106503852141143,0.3083086587443925,0.6123431928400804,-0.5237362204546823,-0.5627404147511355,-0.14034089239231506,-0.17458151181781423,-0.33895549602606634,-0.06251019325925411,-0.14691303066004835,-0.3534743279851593,-0.07206954963344658,0.12170024647080468,0.9569639558433937,0.5828987986091371,1.2691773275718778,-0.27514814766563167,-0.0622273130755272,0.06244407714301048,-0.2217494855141975,-0.06968413383478622,-0.6837898958143622,-0.1927265669080218,-0.26162759371207867,-0.34932288089628827,-0.10662302902292775,-0.7027878700511971,-0.19875867956904303,-0.31019682833524365,-0.05555369946684641,-0.25036243286171045,-0.05070180970235083,-0.4103402583600091,0.19622032003961998,-0.03894903749688361,-0.26581373259367513,-0.6328825197230366,-0.2911635762424256,-0.27854935871193875,0.4435565900766202,-0.3967272117702261,0.22885953633474887,-0.14042830453852728,-0.07478236508444203,0.47581069933469494,-0.3141798935257496,-0.10932111626573171;-0.125112177254195,-1.2475099779897327,-0.4200074882594933,0.3129749187432722,-1.6754687820738035,0.17788322651425048,-0.7579932866364665,0.18399967811009077,-0.5012732064853012,1.6332053288771249,-0.4887518220790632,0.3541631674730965,-0.6840944324951721,-0.5243031354650824,0.9133825009540502,-0.07649575014253429,-0.22134667802726327,1.3411798696995625,-0.005908809919048963,0.4899716051841274,-0.1977744446223184,0.4711293050330809,-0.5399908662494077,0.1034746633467023,-0.6369782960001515,-0.15860510813021023,0.8091626192241428,-0.6262110565966168,0.5240118715227524,-0.03973691087633924,-0.8124853776861158,-0.012357055969811626,0.19473080947225796,-0.3747743663602847,-0.24262114542913338,-0.33549492106509504,0.018303234696961823,2.576123644818175,-0.40969294767277376,-0.26826061730497486,2.437580055951887,-0.20058760959729582,0.37025640589982345,0.2036892847854439,-0.2664794429377686,0.2576165630688969,-0.213964900901491,-0.2343915537149499,0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k{275}=[0.19911027994466893;0.1355041422607591;0.2061925865927679];
x_a{275}=[2.800620162546258,-0.9233190271961893,26.682498981046432];
std_x_a{275}=[0.4431404150258919,0.531328737301398,0.6707582622979418];
pred_a{275}=[2.800620162546258];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.4 to 27.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{276}=[0.6836442975754887,-0.2813815037564215,20.36957117228939];
std_x_f{276}=[0.4753223732567654,0.6428000386689301,0.5154824184166287];
pred_f{276}=[0.6836442975754887];
obs{276}=[0.64658677754954];
sqrt_r{276}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{276}=[1.2259338109251599];
xi{276}=[0.015581664381130289,-0.15665438482789074,0.008271330869221494,-0.3721808977730673,-0.40265424337311195,0.13820187532194983,-0.03895900605677394,-0.14456170897621012,-0.0068417639690891985,-0.88263962324825,0.5178366240145161,-0.3368195532475567,-0.23885428812174048,0.4825463915978002,-0.42125241613859143,0.5694953546655551,-0.18900536129333328,-0.15733445328577345,0.22642665223799252,-0.2087109537410613,-0.422752580144686,-0.46738702154795253,0.43691794246579774,0.032852410542003385,-0.013696662442763796,0.42626477817574326,0.07272551723245635,0.3902252147361346,-0.0020409961792171583,-0.16490739125970422,0.9051235781689545,0.08148942078625121,0.11952030856111395,-0.3316027902866242,-0.2594072317343893,-0.1797428047380798,0.982593938140713,2.740042797065243,0.34036138263388305,0.05763818753383676,-0.14051176922434316,-0.46661532761953095,0.34860334566550166,-0.14508275987077246,0.473020252116895,-0.2497436316520088,-0.5697035200469899,0.5471134588766041,-0.5754413967376895,-0.17112023044138303,0.1014614032850697,0.9299823902508556,0.5174705216978231,-0.1522960727384982,0.02270636233180201,0.8486829607923679,-0.6530326999659397,-0.4176615963673662,0.04690397805136037,-0.2941135299374869,-0.26652613134622255,-0.047082501944952226,0.22245923679727886,-0.2446245008080381,-0.111841213821674,0.08302962587626528,0.6743849768543361,0.2877494511124554,1.025417839181611,-0.32819818845007553,0.43061185121251533,0.06564223281579906,-0.055690475700800435,-0.1236762975124146,-0.5835995634632101,-0.26033333642257267,-0.056829854438148475,-0.25732969575847664,-0.03448017826011196,-0.8366518986999341,-0.2311997994610009,-0.29949379886137,0.06895891193012949,-0.24496859823797223,-0.20779995663397327,-0.37759879817948533,0.017353475560777376,0.002083507517525507,-0.3045093355849784,-0.3659247560559638,-0.3312677673113974,-0.08000045703352243,0.36876180590210283,-0.8186974223945377,0.13243471605702895,-0.024002222692990904,-0.2506627059254483,0.36857538945058177,-0.1484534073629713,-0.0027515331168541657;0.017383633942423315,0.04576447869227396,0.10056219507609096,-0.5654435894035217,-0.278533693430662,0.16349151313215388,0.130916552086664,-0.2441002835122988,0.14779248596512393,-1.5747491030966905,0.8429276720955825,-0.5272611646652279,-0.1617274198902391,0.7588768435432564,-0.7624523496926083,0.8164085934466077,-0.1999222053534479,-0.4844676344435172,0.34804414472086687,-0.40733008744290583,-0.5329565435287629,-0.642708459694449,0.6157026537563324,0.013477430040189198,0.22559144257284092,0.6733718068137613,-0.10998524968506701,0.7381985293562409,-0.13046580132872837,-0.2199787667466629,1.2836651916967492,0.09420247454383307,0.15111712112070255,-0.31800093048823647,-0.27568313347933443,-0.14318342062928563,1.002633186105487,2.98122922349674,0.5557243070451237,0.14376019951232036,-0.7689672896261401,-0.5546358608570099,0.40824316250806114,-0.2350783193780312,0.7074726907323026,-0.40011592276546365,-0.713683031340701,0.8024651051411964,-0.8346376227588286,-0.24264006067077232,0.07146156250132452,1.3543973378929244,0.8564551482153986,-0.254041013338632,0.28580167672649825,0.9026194669164644,-0.9372987143390246,-0.7805393687200284,0.142764140468691,-0.31532837612279413,-0.41357853431393016,0.06379904744303658,0.21009454477028303,-0.8814379680094129,-0.12914897059303881,0.13749639134691988,1.1590737935537598,0.7171809581052571,1.6133090894068793,-0.27512038620064433,0.3087943741458533,0.21079212356707716,-0.11743420242028313,-0.09012865917685564,-0.7802936172375912,-0.3080368961516699,-0.21192740592465603,-0.4115614666214065,0.08023788943212926,-1.1266599143161249,-0.39384577873950394,-0.41162181530165226,-0.024131079710852488,-0.28660709077446683,-0.06303338962831923,-0.45840087513965005,0.21541344419192793,-0.032207922777209685,-0.40385216106952476,-0.739955477639147,-0.3846791778237966,-0.1109226847710692,0.5472930933668815,-0.833495829074232,0.24379363318787198,-0.20869971405032434,-0.3219642372933729,0.7064948138512426,-0.4141366258476212,-0.14749786919790986;0.011474053221451896,-0.8372512453371108,-0.2590713613379201,0.19339447977581514,-0.8824224659893325,0.06557653402635921,-0.5478259415503679,0.12141830164402379,-0.4811574605806328,1.1842548455515995,-0.3539060701826173,0.19522429196551627,-0.48812042272705725,-0.2516421203978254,0.5983880331458842,-0.06736088026501008,-0.1524346475324485,0.7425509445102811,-0.09381110140922644,0.36675931433856945,-0.13384452183148454,0.008106576097212326,-0.02252316929108389,0.10331340865922911,-0.7568094563768426,-0.2570280454944971,0.5579387724931593,-0.5650150047753861,0.36554247530590445,-0.004808069134874415,-0.03487305890173431,0.040328482824584455,0.030659013619260378,-0.42506127995165244,-0.22596506628079993,-0.3085166615652355,0.9399069780224245,2.2633578727184336,-0.2340014767715033,-0.22692600079482617,1.5238246431709328,-0.23123622540532196,0.19409009123406307,0.09574831488509616,-0.15309178664036693,0.17532711470914109,-0.15515828665009934,-0.13236386100711428,0.1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k{276}=[0.18429527672024743;0.23973237354459628;0.03963756817557484];
x_a{276}=[0.6709680467674857,-0.2978708449263644,20.36684480965788];
std_x_a{276}=[0.42702847696474716,0.5839049582870295,0.5126376129974043];
pred_a{276}=[0.6709680467674857];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.5 to 27.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{277}=[0.20758094056834947,0.06714632520647117,15.63217727111254];
std_x_f{277}=[0.6600395434231171,1.022980988656131,0.420520457739551];
pred_f{277}=[0.20758094056834947];
obs{277}=[0.22781301630980216];
sqrt_r{277}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{277}=[1.4357300899336605];
xi{277}=[0.08781351886173255,0.03412667358652069,0.455359566833805,-0.5349949884548645,-0.2594890307821653,-0.05772554786988762,0.6813118127352156,-0.14467933872550448,0.33015001732450316,-1.2172436857602904,0.745739796955786,-0.48306373735592884,-0.17320488708467616,0.6837304868473819,-0.6028924154473119,1.3405081026578074,-0.07630019104022936,-0.420138018917833,-0.39645240654039376,-0.06654316671449381,-1.1541464349624646,-0.20354011704216465,-0.17011484255088447,0.07036328823980242,0.18368614614807177,1.3344246912357836,0.16074081939264023,0.7867660674514398,-0.009282752481818868,-0.18376035872396504,0.9764093699698864,0.1577074298714191,0.14570422324075988,-0.2677972360423811,-0.5752610530442097,-0.07507852237227794,0.9858616050309588,2.755755659865887,0.4386306412071816,0.1866530050715144,-0.703042132758876,-1.070630946670112,0.4250348450124965,-0.1263866010219718,0.3328773690854237,-0.6282144943905699,-0.7544821887626401,0.6868682348496524,-0.8728590326475902,-0.6936563568435985,0.08769436196680103,1.035150683562926,0.5201552566344514,-0.24667373735521897,0.6795171686639598,0.7185099062544738,-0.6082459362617303,-0.6819709584161093,0.11925025725693039,-0.31670659037848437,-0.5461944696548497,0.05675220969254807,0.43341992666058277,-0.5475457007433235,0.02308298313194654,1.0238797213126587,1.3661448728944263,0.6073995105985994,1.3279345610150706,-0.16409429889441965,0.29361716662694065,0.3011715697391277,-0.11035434529403428,-0.48371706312436735,-0.7494289433772354,-0.29405023388964857,-0.3282909769954717,-0.41438193795213857,-0.07012718972880863,-0.9046488613684811,-0.10797919029450509,-0.8334607632300435,-0.0015573016649561011,-0.4536462442276214,0.4222072794012776,-0.7283327431709097,0.18996328550704084,0.019593432669178845,-0.4036502432923049,-0.5836196598438299,-0.3758093903191145,-0.3479773915715738,0.6255456402165096,-1.325930118683298,0.3608809092788052,0.03520071677289807,-1.0913182665993235,0.7848318279288584,-0.2616665373081729,-0.11576704061260525;0.13448541409108078,0.11903934092510439,0.7286702169202441,-0.8448779742926195,-0.3411012059576851,-0.09375144627466822,1.1088632496536834,-0.23809576229930046,0.5564901850892074,-1.9446896393224764,1.2082893747522285,-0.7641756572079036,-0.23143491682252765,1.0911332698892646,-0.980158481013348,2.090890977423286,-0.10880977537013412,-0.7118758811611984,-0.6029116150714829,-0.1310008947679971,-1.7938288913932314,-0.3201871353962446,-0.251816114265942,0.10281660099228475,0.3538670603810047,2.100697761960722,0.19831009958926854,1.2969912301842879,-0.03555880395960506,-0.28598145529164626,1.5425453037591328,0.23736196618611066,0.22708796606988224,-0.38809414790475516,-0.8828483767432762,-0.09553166735469476,1.4237771007162459,3.842721042407465,0.7138276482089679,0.3044961378008458,-1.1986430549860845,-1.6596556174408355,0.648438830994229,-0.20390669184143612,0.5374771794871979,-0.9878223200025863,-1.1671638084160532,1.0905713386859008,-1.367913151822831,-1.0705080375280454,0.11464230351825298,1.6501227173165256,0.864990030006146,-0.3898115127832204,1.1367586466369464,1.04865485445235,-0.9559922019262577,-1.105713149855164,0.20352045351145293,-0.4779791274676449,-0.8603183946239285,0.11858712439202539,0.6505730202181103,-0.9691437052478848,0.0420948768681985,1.5856972430612544,2.2082523969139713,1.050838732133187,2.149721611301109,-0.2152194824039811,0.3786706311273317,0.5020138793335809,-0.18380897414191583,-0.7333930277495521,-1.1621632917932567,-0.44103103123018955,-0.5366844027175199,-0.6587751971858302,-0.07195217872419259,-1.41172409543896,-0.1928012252424608,-1.2967453463396672,-0.029374192316026483,-0.6970948003597099,0.7191683345973526,-1.125619648702693,0.3494858367897517,0.0229481625600486,-0.6236525172746649,-0.9557727251042064,-0.5727274441248351,-0.5408945189079657,0.9880175073621175,-2.03911905662151,0.5780475165786245,0.00819564646573187,-1.702314200691481,1.292163558724595,-0.4590895561613969,-0.2107568509915811;-0.014914880237848038,-0.6685353339747824,-0.15952831528500155,0.12875772884974346,-0.6883645408649794,-0.015303534635416227,-0.3329026761893896,0.06118903841388601,-0.36229094999434786,1.0001411617398066,-0.2527162609021474,0.1251272516699622,-0.3999519864061405,-0.18329220416654124,0.45879129218748993,0.14653975365820315,-0.13750840862886093,0.5362479018650976,-0.19340421469847868,0.2766650511633859,-0.11591501845443375,0.02663139224467237,-0.14958585927641366,0.05020011381863476,-0.5942262755670118,0.01952284047757935,0.4174200026804922,-0.39039854357158,0.2528465111415592,-0.032867101970133206,-0.005769726374774464,0.0029750141821729414,-0.011040837881497012,-0.3448754763736872,-0.22487729605073703,-0.2588753973476141,0.7611059645578795,2.3228102776605386,-0.19985839387651794,-0.19870175277409352,1.1335434645939753,-0.18853944581824855,0.13087854555766576,0.05086708747061586,-0.18836833720496848,0.08952064772898183,-0.11574122754694116,-0.09878698747638914,0.139547938432246,-0.028636274248720284,0.10786813753394497,-0.0762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k{277}=[0.30349025418405334;0.4695609174852913;0.016655052501470303];
x_a{277}=[0.20237623875830435,0.059093596911347634,15.631891645525869];
std_x_a{277}=[0.5129861694964997,0.7976022117068349,0.4193610353629954];
pred_a{277}=[0.20237623875830435];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.6 to 27.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{278}=[0.19691408241100863,0.29550246891968796,12.053545175588923];
std_x_f{278}=[0.9773246344807185,1.6894186659424877,0.3690708541186843];
pred_f{278}=[0.19691408241100863];
obs{278}=[0.2601824126934827];
sqrt_r{278}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{278}=[1.9556302465615818];
xi{278}=[-0.21497379950232293,0.3521372270991735,1.8423222329848263,-0.45529108079537495,-0.23596626968728038,0.8328136945890593,1.897965122523178,-0.13182453514160167,0.32276033868568055,-1.3210014805841945,0.8256050062800598,-0.6639068283473056,-0.18338780946025235,1.4927371156238676,-0.4655018347336548,1.8316154904975281,0.05601447342592622,-1.5887730138744252,-0.45843973919548475,-0.1864373051288282,-1.947092656075822,-0.8833145015907428,0.2336753291687371,0.14059271502797324,0.2521559218850652,1.7915822261276482,0.36433542687437503,1.1752098544875376,-0.21495838733886208,0.14941604995336147,1.2653194342754452,-0.3843819651180294,-0.07626553112453019,-0.2574767548094419,-0.5477621929618076,-0.03861857968916535,1.1045603093104104,2.7442016932613993,0.6350016724373491,0.05764330879774307,-0.9376681864081601,-1.3690148058896823,0.4327411905149898,-0.3142618374887044,0.48804136900427086,-0.4254092531756435,-2.0727801113194224,0.6575296157050573,-1.871914008441209,-0.9273763514095209,0.04592976869688614,1.476936228137076,0.9195916113366099,-0.14677500939113142,0.7118588270795291,0.8276159430523572,-1.8346419869223565,-1.29582036852976,0.16053830715058662,-0.7615184099046133,-0.6006678938661741,-1.625841231932493,0.4575157048046937,-1.1250700136818654,0.15344378303234077,1.461269586814399,1.9237097196681612,-0.07026517433832827,1.7991870540967154,1.1480411931606782,0.5252009225870391,0.04112477519229815,-0.029502636724741765,-0.9524231101080389,-0.8850545174293314,-0.3897862147961304,1.3650390550934532,-0.7197760046832821,-0.027565485559457398,-0.9000771857516621,-0.1571360838126011,-1.1668872761826248,0.28182764085880263,-0.7257765058330801,0.6065358369742444,-0.8683785557249887,0.3503627779306129,0.04061304119988779,-0.2044420191931061,-0.8874981577934625,-0.6090228167471893,-0.40665340699889996,0.9582460721261005,-1.7886040828588863,0.6218670413191384,0.009374595762013188,-1.0779469874690515,1.022761611657984,-0.362606681566014,-0.06103127918154755;-0.37452341127937205,0.6383288144449288,3.198318520129367,-0.7901891489764167,-0.39878230094564815,1.4511043625018485,3.3210673354421982,-0.2278774937371431,0.577192648764044,-2.2683932356197696,1.452512044944371,-1.156912076973989,-0.3136497079916202,2.5988807092127963,-0.8081245349454784,3.1685008612997376,0.09774864123890775,-2.7404358173963494,-0.7950603841824916,-0.3287655241163848,-3.3861556276773577,-1.5325683526018365,0.4129353214875097,0.24366457099588829,0.4616656228216179,3.0985801160555297,0.61100348486981,2.065764154675688,-0.3791055801146145,0.26331480331563933,2.2015195425830236,-0.6674029570609079,-0.12781353303615992,-0.4375794758565092,-0.9496900903202508,-0.06428176378951173,1.8696617359504577,4.427325285131426,1.1093735650892422,0.10186753325862452,-1.6227697832227843,-2.3795170185479035,0.7493680001470746,-0.5460898608514558,0.862373650229755,-0.7322733223861353,-3.609214553546443,1.152605854037985,-3.2371033908361477,-1.6114549994941583,0.07974865301444595,2.572379931370435,1.6194516627240212,-0.2587295359777557,1.2749566257924752,1.407941704838111,-3.1714160671431,-2.244571740247242,0.28546667676025966,-1.3264454530559024,-1.0426037169777242,-2.845329498901148,0.7888652088310664,-1.9410247382854107,0.27069029767859637,2.5302503093116893,3.364333572546719,-0.09488651867798817,3.145947778769891,2.0107435549392223,0.8888667596633235,0.0816256869042295,-0.052513353996947926,-1.6542971480053015,-1.5326171847077295,-0.6714770881603459,2.3427577970005173,-1.2414741121379473,-0.03767526955038153,-1.5590774875735514,-0.27446154308258175,-2.02574471430186,0.48295261060968614,-1.260039988454302,1.0771648548086,-1.5032878776611585,0.6289051080081363,0.0719253659702998,-0.3549414704024644,-1.540850970574728,-1.0605055678757944,-0.7060476735124739,1.6673340973847461,-3.13197719672829,1.088164140315144,0.011728566868086376,-1.8764159568772254,1.8091168169308665,-0.6350230931752905,-0.10682604811655516;-0.09107248727353934,-0.5635782196015899,0.154416654532044,0.03417521977720561,-0.6026767639361754,0.016021528536033003,0.037203565046333154,-0.02966704041127599,-0.34646847760945754,0.8178051426478419,-0.21119854292470563,0.03936647205872923,-0.38767343698863144,0.01468398483942046,0.2923213940225988,0.3495749784635631,-0.1783258732154014,0.47796523797967083,-0.21968384323184154,0.13091106835460486,0.0889476709840693,-0.03493508588477923,-0.16700691334906992,-0.031024725996267932,-0.515183429641727,0.2427191789309333,0.26477476164244607,-0.23267308494858874,0.10807484277821366,-0.08591550194821629,0.07548497059664427,-0.09014434191191256,-0.09494621665756853,-0.34199358029419713,-0.23222046447463107,-0.27811675399021496,0.6265166485851221,2.365389737197482,-0.18286899064919382,-0.2349571480912509,0.8411866351731145,-0.09755330790561523,0.044048082395759636,-0.03782087017097169,-0.19162537190952733,0.005959032912798534,0.1089760435374707,-0.11311091511890226,0.2487861927604893,-0.04651147490844387,0.004010015896778185,0.077661245002691,-0.25955753422612915,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k{278}=[0.4886558940483689;0.8445116751248524;0.02349709939919785];
x_a{278}=[0.2969310977173901,0.46835526403816785,12.058354510294357];
std_x_a{278}=[0.7089289821324867,1.2239735721707046,0.36801582899984464];
pred_a{278}=[0.2969310977173901];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.7 to 27.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{279}=[0.6203881082314016,1.13722385000957,9.462307642943413];
std_x_f{279}=[1.560096909535261,2.8664988310922017,0.4816929729942984];
pred_f{279}=[0.6203881082314016];
obs{279}=[0.5486032416372789];
sqrt_r{279}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{279}=[3.4362390596272823];
xi{279}=[-0.48097043162259734,0.6783273975686641,3.7922356798437447,0.28432631872759906,-0.926515828232463,0.8679788187177515,0.7103416275513117,0.3031937767761833,-0.7284059755413477,-1.6474822099596702,2.0833221479733313,-0.6061469539404187,-0.3242164061936895,0.5618464893363295,1.155503983351958,1.8748743714647957,-1.5302254141673726,-1.981375718671672,1.3371166759482058,-0.4319079119042007,-2.5414530403648845,-1.3611394225831557,0.46622173639699027,-0.34036698902164353,0.329171845303568,3.478734690431767,1.5576413608258275,-1.374407971437837,1.1362487907023606,0.2892190847024573,1.2680532114269396,-0.5384795616789138,-4.277507924655865,1.045612119361171,0.6397300601011384,1.975086290055996,2.0523434604308193,2.3816441013022036,0.5999294322233724,0.6793775778045363,-0.27775842667152717,-2.313784055458256,-0.014182753057701003,0.1921797056415383,0.8446403625848797,-0.8664457862545825,-3.32201945422522,-0.6338710577683303,-0.6636290104637587,-0.19899328247361503,-0.21982588252592583,2.926337059464232,1.329052224242352,-0.32258452650253133,0.2865822075103782,0.772921737568516,-3.1720407583794357,-2.4092751485896122,-0.4558004754696873,-1.1867630738052917,-2.034712879231356,2.190264296321722,0.9695743057495869,-1.1150321535646934,0.5504897955265922,0.131717506701728,1.3395861132525155,2.52141437945233,2.31803515857992,1.1198389352384746,1.1705358646659172,0.6082361333005748,-0.07113242623872584,0.05725733531048971,-4.744575058775121,-0.5402948046796407,0.8103056348677,0.9504115653926934,0.03475121734540776,-2.282405360022845,-0.4778977212573926,-1.4438766134759558,-1.7776463284996475,-2.044133356902851,0.5903608163948557,-0.990989013286452,0.37500439063260027,0.6007803153650009,-0.21872378879219995,3.681422639641812,-0.3920795420069658,-0.7374315666461971,-0.06639419348146003,-1.4945449141145406,1.030953975951629,-0.29986094897873605,-0.9398433504214233,0.6751882647682723,-1.293582538619352,-1.5131909791839901;-0.8851192357666569,1.289114968957596,6.891030216446562,0.5374581394702325,-1.7111205663824827,1.6118891200729166,1.3305590830470302,0.5729280695955348,-1.3415806127581824,-3.013278711404811,3.8719525505641297,-1.1173259010466727,-0.5912253147775145,1.0542460674830743,2.1222492183914072,3.439734929160905,-2.8388804393469513,-3.646230382498008,2.4888704644909927,-0.7897260111782369,-4.693461219808243,-2.5184741184372976,0.8767018714093213,-0.6269729701392961,0.6369152499105803,6.322923543900805,2.861233895027078,-2.542245524540051,2.1017539656598974,0.5453093440098058,2.3481236119684143,-0.994662332356455,-7.872012317967393,1.9595394371636754,1.1913940505934426,3.6637624632220875,3.730393045620511,4.139022807253712,1.126679401622738,1.2611444012695596,-0.5171660352806139,-4.279751158785887,-0.018116300309385602,0.3688842647177908,1.5781169310804155,-1.59528859670213,-6.118496718473829,-1.1656562291096575,-1.2275471787600394,-0.36637371421077447,-0.3992817124340683,5.360686584239448,2.4851189128435363,-0.5951364623442605,0.555672848332716,1.4162391361420665,-5.835478798289239,-4.4347851095638315,-0.8366104343704924,-2.2027301426805144,-3.7659572448535683,4.042082986657661,1.792456258491049,-2.0531497138829007,1.0295474599666656,0.24714394264654693,2.486780652251841,4.690803683016402,4.276447142598878,2.091231931155757,2.1525139611530646,1.1398200238408007,-0.11707587437109979,0.12387143238605192,-8.694954026685314,-0.9962454512524604,1.4993227757296785,1.7587337905768394,0.0802213636643192,-4.226172118143195,-0.8791297500134505,-2.668712610729221,-3.288180275333955,-3.785267669798608,1.117748529064034,-1.8385181546467664,0.7147536769873695,1.1168584025311303,-0.3976515739273071,6.648315848315747,-0.720381771800662,-1.3610481716775005,-0.11432997098551478,-2.7836369079543446,1.9220042442986771,-0.5485157360324231,-1.7481818534505975,1.2714180939078297,-2.3841919500268953,-2.795689717619549;-0.2933178893361301,-0.5209306908574405,1.467293208584854,-0.11282843507932405,-0.6882418647640751,-0.05026914125987858,-0.11848497168852212,-0.17014473088893922,-0.5191217869008238,0.5017087338301209,0.20973511610781337,-0.17695212240959357,-0.5169788757095404,-0.1463625170758629,0.28088055784979993,0.5057701442316844,-0.32259718670982807,0.32163903428934226,-0.04776049246187952,-0.12573155752740384,0.16872689142966202,-0.19792331072234504,-0.2599590912457366,-0.25345635490779905,-0.5537976782593841,1.3157416199174605,0.370165977310176,-0.4291891160847907,0.12736125944829269,-0.23101508410573324,0.09956035605306823,-0.28711777475187716,0.7155133037377475,-0.23841185803847154,-0.24691240868771303,0.14161689147418777,0.8272929364213066,2.266532917211096,-0.2608678610243125,-0.25594986266578523,0.45016686786763316,-0.05080420724042156,-0.17944982093437822,-0.18890506785848515,-0.20570825329679998,-0.215062298380845,0.4676534961088379,-0.35136576580459966,0.023374103324526274,-0.2209060647806318,-0.2150969230545705,0.8496066382899858,-0.1295491333964538,-0.23643911111401117,-0.5175330746155051,0.22264354674962483,0.4953416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k{279}=[0.7089841589460115;1.3025824048731771;0.0606289157871974];
x_a{279}=[0.5247227465755228,0.9614624944469476,9.454126801266765];
std_x_a{279}=[0.8191589954875148,1.5076662607217695,0.46510968555557247];
pred_a{279}=[0.5247227465755228];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.8 to 27.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{280}=[1.265333784885321,2.4168259534978764,7.678050982332358];
std_x_f{280}=[1.9683302224710817,3.736880166415172,0.8367454954176767];
pred_f{280}=[1.265333784885321];
obs{280}=[1.3485115871741276];
sqrt_r{280}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{280}=[4.882152041854663];
xi{280}=[-0.8803349016135202,1.143124229182548,-1.7002410544526152,-0.012322782942953525,-0.7983560442132451,0.7155412177603604,-0.6939163333485326,-0.4496601287056625,0.5483309707471706,-0.6321283223521588,1.4979633361680167,-1.712593636530043,-0.7599245864507596,0.07073543242408409,0.468748514330422,6.264240752390693,-0.9657613610704783,-0.4228452172081473,1.1083956372771844,-1.6555167381333047,-1.5564628538693634,-0.5211858044891152,-3.487516969784261,0.5366519052475787,0.42467853127235533,2.5213704537582506,0.2841195861543553,-3.546761899575757,3.988092281019746,1.3488856982855875,0.23933663449885123,0.5915800913605895,-3.918526484756085,-0.15028317792707635,0.44105103237479293,1.0310973310191158,1.3347047642560346,1.3224121180318946,4.390786116229667,-1.2725575788291952,-0.8019820207073092,-2.0512770577482735,-0.36216343757173475,0.622128084994187,0.7895965737455157,-1.1713988822592212,-1.9719732451322196,-0.4940236652477562,0.0018770919690693777,-0.8247649468315474,0.19476666220456162,2.447788819959017,1.0928474269996873,0.9652581336962134,1.2568737685072586,0.5127611990580152,-2.154530830711719,-2.7381956072959586,-1.3604712934240064,-0.9565529990998212,-0.5973191007446538,3.1311501249963642,3.2053142736808207,-3.9194770971288557,-0.922569171274013,0.8338217277841589,1.9508561752188676,1.9580324782928245,4.062072749392162,-2.1336149351182705,-0.1772061480570326,1.4062261193784662,-2.5689747706792465,0.42883852065252004,-3.407175377071347,1.6738029936193881,3.744802515350398,0.8034118008618989,-0.13118021999910012,-3.8922841331593947,-2.2783364973027744,-0.6723635167850628,-1.9411000308814543,0.7218915830569956,2.3924823540617446,-0.5522538350116262,1.08710661919511,0.22761083945939098,-3.1967638212500544,2.806800810823524,-0.502811518848929,3.0880460053711465,0.98739389013043,-1.1875858068508225,2.1917056119781586,-4.078424282261536,-0.5419405830562437,0.39758152385680345,0.19806857606364225,-2.7271509803854475;-1.6701331859654287,2.262210330398644,-3.259189760888159,0.011905218654079786,-1.5108895380003626,1.4128271065865277,-1.3073750280764005,-0.8287025200501539,1.0940364136732348,-1.2071891895980813,2.898715694239862,-3.2859541279679165,-1.428189957934177,0.18606454380056814,0.9222441497648166,11.357364018795998,-1.842501083595263,-0.8006901096253054,2.164485272257483,-3.170836792164832,-2.976383841854888,-0.9743678197576355,-6.7269595764631545,1.0764588487932754,0.8754740673371462,4.704125231382927,0.5590103081484643,-6.845749582192384,7.499975626099929,2.6208209488743606,0.4894547250721759,1.1671966739362372,-7.456996891042011,-0.24663309628270236,0.8922538132542766,2.0169760536203114,2.5314182145460498,2.376713538666942,8.275466483612814,-2.430431267053876,-1.5294782306922237,-3.938759739925154,-0.6667150357969744,1.237012102891431,1.5598571837096245,-2.225809660049165,-3.775284666712472,-0.9169753112327383,0.032397712471186946,-1.5671775113738056,0.4067906218681898,4.617186885787075,2.1423943037107414,1.8928869014003844,2.474789396737907,1.002050457906476,-4.118671791985516,-5.237514919817516,-2.605242492318352,-1.8246684287323744,-1.1334229035069476,5.933847923984657,6.0870537724061995,-7.492887686671782,-1.7480213153588866,1.629335477832,3.762148691752677,3.773163691167526,7.597077646969619,-4.101234701881694,-0.32211637276139404,2.748925495601057,-4.951403124183537,0.868910061147885,-6.462732836844251,3.2489168668338584,7.045556808195912,1.57033810178732,-0.20391940084355342,-7.47029397263972,-4.382327581912986,-1.2678072806791951,-3.730217975695065,1.4183232944829571,4.627598534256436,-1.0325270173565397,2.1465610803452435,0.4744080199225671,-6.159648084133256,5.175108577508246,-0.9368908691334223,5.89137206689228,1.9373111669590815,-2.2681039539661327,4.225799943547488,-7.837215418988702,-1.0199601668798381,0.8144990002981602,0.404515130548202,-5.245132379852711;-0.6411055623161275,-0.39107345066870547,0.40796722385759665,-0.4180581305980482,-0.9062550959134388,-0.1994604296951401,-0.5667416327528789,-0.5435825787891977,-0.5104939434092026,0.0723772641651621,0.2388152517094193,-0.5612947803706323,-0.8062247706039694,-0.4413097962169692,-0.040361598956262235,4.596219718954931,-0.6039119013173551,-0.015884640168710717,-0.08234914478135114,-0.5352242020349713,-0.17611250421846147,-0.47147977515378603,-0.36387567044091185,-0.33510436181669245,-0.6436411664540396,1.5737771615894136,-0.05977321689245585,-0.34825959500998405,1.9124389953019776,-0.050550643907167014,-0.25746069349216416,-0.33427043320402827,0.8502652079328374,-0.5983302690141894,-0.42461387240525017,-0.003795279651256145,0.6422127060621179,1.7280703106372002,2.0121784885009006,-0.7157613058922614,-0.07589696405543922,-0.3277182798164757,-0.52119278177575,-0.2953863990725427,-0.29804289285087293,-0.5761146883797688,0.1297543403880148,-0.6343497645321303,-0.2476608210658302,-0.5993837050016859,-0.41257186194093176,1.1976213257347226,-0.14689558232946975,-0.1731900794005261,-0.31124239240844265,-0.051912643832340066,0.1591090417590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k{280}=[0.7951722946301127;1.5093202320319583;0.20431120677194498];
x_a{280}=[1.2506822360626644,2.389015780510238,7.6742864200591905];
std_x_a{280}=[0.8179242469110173,1.5579000372372251,0.6834151228446517];
pred_a{280}=[1.2506822360626644];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.9 to 28.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{281}=[3.1986884496853003,6.235449558209605,7.027729889825135];
std_x_f{281}=[2.0536072473925375,3.9212618457448136,1.3880951987170482];
pred_f{281}=[3.1986884496853003];
obs{281}=[3.555190040636174];
sqrt_r{281}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{281}=[5.229292721552817];
xi{281}=[1.0894996585389523,1.8467589578463945,-0.7173739624415227,-3.410187386190072,-0.04043149901106702,1.439738805589224,-2.516991624239884,3.8873032504005574,0.13033658107587343,-0.499280267517503,0.9491420484012449,-1.0331254978454587,-0.2490999297302312,0.23205207628816726,0.1859300121958225,0.4613481210624646,0.7406352168893431,-0.8929707569314318,-0.6976246627897869,-1.1453391791449787,0.49064503604383347,-2.4638294961487337,1.4351887954441969,0.13084418062840664,-2.06090643254214,1.337670313679551,0.8248772313351376,-1.987957867122501,1.6135880606776167,2.3192254781017922,1.3717658428227626,1.1248293353464227,-2.2898502009806156,-2.6928435867733342,0.28328207099672476,0.934356405532645,2.348661672279845,-2.8565991443486163,5.494301210421974,6.566099912564408,-1.937284458048587,0.12920261435763436,0.5998246546353561,0.6713228853838382,0.0647582986576345,-0.3415989994631232,-1.681485965623301,1.0440098859229394,1.170733381075041,-0.6751884158848065,0.41955785794097356,-0.1916056506617947,-0.259665242397944,-2.8876265770806033,0.8842257719347097,-0.2411247968112895,-0.9395846846949558,-2.0820929738826193,-1.4408854263389015,1.7027633065471788,1.6135873905872717,2.2459229443072797,1.6476192534469307,-1.6017600285087887,-7.215271866281111,0.7869135312029565,1.8748473602684523,1.3669526823730056,1.7164123538203748,-1.9810566000290784,-3.361164068066757,1.1940959991431281,-0.9526357523945914,-1.3191605751941127,-2.0691725858632353,1.153569860952266,2.045813805805305,-1.2021546012320843,1.7722781654616568,-1.9102110000911663,0.9557144289743995,-0.23867485666188548,-1.288381377719492,2.192033432057883,-3.286616189748027,-0.041930440726400064,2.4501284290510483,-0.26970806313491513,-3.6507398331482737,2.1603832435124932,3.157642089731093,-0.7556856463648378,0.6819521097098784,-0.6899193660575924,1.344158957421219,-5.166086488298666,-0.7420800191603321,3.906132393506587,-0.8164542977369562,-1.3992190208878417;2.193809140359872,3.667048881449687,-1.388338807817429,-6.656470887253236,0.04379914965626597,2.8625755534940547,-4.869290836621961,7.314133439914669,0.38273531694715857,-0.9188906547338869,1.9088703615808518,-1.9426105283984239,-0.36032167420519823,0.5634644088603782,0.44852574178626803,0.5819859170216279,1.5203167338623995,-1.6787428067562091,-1.2556317485081214,-2.1632869663575933,0.9867130895231746,-4.761381574560101,2.7136085433067096,0.36995272702628235,-3.9399485295092127,2.4952045509315868,1.6611526227387126,-3.8580434234716217,3.005053476035772,4.49904469312473,2.728380044449966,2.28181299967071,-4.472743700052032,-5.21606072105717,0.6779288056840418,1.898389352429228,4.440172497560236,-5.581927875570551,9.639928761753673,11.625658017093965,-3.73318742270656,0.29619114861179785,1.2632850054646427,1.3946628199569746,0.23778940066352927,-0.5770695286746887,-3.252502693298875,2.1167853204663976,2.3286803692220355,-1.2219348878342675,0.9210616824363909,-0.35720273746679077,-0.39456167955499577,-5.60560847442787,1.8554899072629256,-0.3891673422515112,-1.8093588231582372,-4.047399258870565,-2.7299268355507347,3.3554591552016193,3.158885724962402,4.23096252176775,3.1384923263380733,-3.1302347052323434,-14.23032853831504,1.6157741445626757,3.640197896358978,2.690061713790425,3.1532733674188913,-3.817491546664971,-6.568061504106229,2.4142555017868306,-1.8063008615506044,-2.4762922977316233,-4.042756660848461,2.319127998575504,3.804282834107405,-2.252969890210207,3.523339189045175,-3.7291625126225676,1.8819968723143452,-0.37428618188540685,-2.4611742356986537,4.257587796992259,-6.396072128031681,0.023448375042312897,4.784819234236644,-0.41778833341107013,-7.143098820354178,3.9331980412485175,6.042902875871131,-1.4089353370574385,1.4324133268567243,-1.2621118161965006,2.658742575897441,-10.109007156989557,-1.355235211946419,7.38364845738029,-1.5075008268292782,-2.696661425751949;0.07324973316311834,0.4774802398211584,-0.06678690809676979,-1.7253610525530876,-0.902910202734934,0.3703859911707186,-1.604128635362117,2.846249778529865,-0.7672373429285804,-0.4264415084788844,0.17630952911991926,-0.9521940367637836,-0.955271736120971,-0.557665420385935,-0.34881209649336764,2.3057677619404267,-0.13202948581376717,-0.7295776877721449,-0.995739199121763,-0.9906887605236365,0.14405814195828626,-1.5592584343865772,1.0928865681241149,-0.6302893711403517,-1.791929580659077,1.3209543859884878,0.09739269814637286,-0.746902794766557,1.519324683545559,1.144879936154286,0.3694154272812247,0.039928017095911095,0.15574877434937484,-1.7693169779440332,-0.5865765016169364,0.06554820377259585,1.7219963305027086,-0.28856148873626175,6.108728839179635,6.795595621789577,-1.0753159750782189,-0.10086389780078076,-0.29032842300050454,-0.26452565554756724,-0.6922703582053007,-0.7454000003007364,-0.6147042982107189,-0.036340274884751445,0.26522231615560177,-1.0011697722456425,-0.43984646912540803,-0.007725211446163449,-0.8214080439809885,-1.6920807769806183,-0.24730666068177953,-0.6200098795780367,-0.2606521982190353,-0.605309535982864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k{281}=[0.8087695500620102;1.5431736055227012;0.4335025157569353];
x_a{281}=[3.5645096866468577,6.93345516088772,7.223810994174316];
std_x_a{281}=[0.7774949415217571,1.4897885897245204,0.934797254905528];
pred_a{281}=[3.5645096866468577];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.0 to 28.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{282}=[9.00105284813617,16.73667827708593,12.30284515658307];
std_x_f{282}=[1.7258654088466583,2.705121201769696,2.882298104618904];
pred_f{282}=[9.00105284813617];
obs{282}=[9.280220087005521];
sqrt_r{282}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{282}=[3.994571281479918];
xi{282}=[1.2569913804879427,0.608099225878485,-0.2391303825166613,-1.437741909620537,0.8650555173036363,0.3423611183303148,-0.9506622949212193,3.1824995596417907,2.5318536261538487,-0.29540232187538606,-0.08237305105973647,-0.8039283431185051,-0.12554531550890502,0.19253957314150405,0.27851697411443155,-1.9455367487861057,1.2514364730024052,-1.4522385627321501,-0.6614980461433699,1.241361079643104,2.4573803786224833,-1.0077417072199104,-0.48586052091915377,-2.436206827872618,2.857581684213077,-0.06567693233703409,0.4270083531182678,1.6836225998067835,1.5690364271600235,1.2812366066422083,1.5263082262929704,-0.08546017578069787,-1.3668155014679524,-1.3764490299805106,5.019745635336461,1.2313973772953286,1.9559339606019872,-2.3212699615485883,0.10677675808115161,2.4644856909453345,-5.570334889661621,0.011458528499836973,0.3823985233612177,-0.31792252609203686,-1.9625675129426003,1.064881786066863,-0.820024578965409,-2.9461252572775063,1.8777260610426296,-0.13248430269086597,-2.4544799024412463,0.5822292974970598,0.6172167298195728,-1.4180084001728313,2.1665693800125787,-0.06548442729828352,1.8771885579947547,-1.3489991701368522,-0.19813848113724397,-2.0309276747615614,-0.7098600176894845,0.8981240468521481,-0.5929884978061573,-0.7464012475123027,-4.122828406116253,0.3352900614386183,0.27851986418628094,1.1588825507954539,0.26845445159318615,-1.2737845692697212,-2.3459175572489066,2.67012582028409,-0.45083537318758005,-1.2122377483371514,0.20743657618047884,-0.0744698063221616,-1.7775449328212103,-0.23175507299359843,4.429748009681383,-0.7222081137012584,-1.5302447541089963,-3.9587301250678015,1.269420753596668,-1.6787723368929228,-1.5062029340444205,-1.20524323204397,0.45470761706424767,-0.4678892600217335,0.5786824436235403,0.3513583080419398,0.983731301907433,1.691846298861849,0.50164104990216,1.2196178144146916,-0.19214195827498415,-3.180304857341068,-0.751603507053618,1.3538043486862144,3.0741991946011336,0.5005114630224661;2.2107010931554285,1.267295124759535,-0.29872035159008803,-2.2379280066141227,1.7548639356555604,0.8144012313510203,-1.322465744882125,4.102192960212925,4.035794889872783,-0.2607426775275812,0.14938545142799242,-1.0217622617203723,0.1994537756255852,0.6634677519701491,0.7280087322744677,-3.520869985054693,2.199244414125193,-2.1516878698990496,-0.7285313470975794,2.1314968318779393,3.6609460185189135,-1.4182293684572933,-0.6885829608572429,-3.778425796065644,4.34149418055474,-0.11437526394907493,0.9306172943078508,2.483567274194371,2.2108940722053845,2.109158804740982,2.5388436539269286,0.19519159335920833,-2.3876314288086817,-2.026192553714676,6.509613372653856,2.1468455397959048,2.7974000271969572,-3.9782421632716325,-0.7335786319214357,2.110199172925455,-9.811281768437086,0.23272013335661512,0.939533555092094,-0.1611960958990224,-2.9354368390087338,1.93865477696799,-1.2293808618133113,-4.725702989729889,3.003695408998933,0.1324565085993683,-3.8191457313779935,1.0187648930432758,1.3156743095671501,-2.1251881864430775,3.5244592365014604,0.19964464695946305,2.778006256682257,-2.15917001793278,3.752481271313002E-4,-3.1179589013565643,-0.9108672957237012,1.3187153398663867,-0.8552516538645705,-1.256976708713525,-7.51377761402302,0.8437991010870469,0.6189088421581275,1.970693028903316,0.31243721591983586,-1.8683290715560936,-3.841428464441277,4.09689941806614,-0.4970262149877982,-1.6405531062365313,0.0937542032906471,0.1820361414869005,-2.9427553542544658,-0.06104004403675134,5.922204934615436,-1.1876811692008218,-2.2942799119889052,-6.628015945680712,2.0940198158908103,-2.5681898096249984,-2.367951865474769,-1.6286699309260175,0.9463256191030602,-0.391078779907609,0.765619176944039,0.33052182930295615,1.568779755383897,2.686109435245413,1.1367584426097714,2.181561233796991,-0.050636930785479706,-5.690224937638414,-0.8814153182542892,1.937965213255655,4.54033375773102,0.9060732555080477;1.5070012566787891,0.3120655894634634,-0.39711610490182636,-2.3707059217654187,0.4727562154770464,-0.05642152990587057,-1.9658276928417262,6.687113945693008,3.807123823164483,-0.896775885501782,-0.703276841985824,-1.8796296349908825,-1.1782909863167976,-0.541209581147239,-0.19291562365757997,-1.4465444284642448,1.4727853412962677,-2.7013162693017314,-1.8538495404523427,1.6151935757733096,4.289202737186182,-2.0433319137917856,-0.7887724850259641,-4.3658851533247605,4.653190936243815,0.13110140607737186,0.15166039022815525,3.0687800848563267,3.1335010793138025,1.9092444373328679,2.1547397374091606,-0.9007559812680555,-1.2313289449353348,-2.6442831465456713,9.885674909413106,1.5205636493401027,3.7454208638689597,-2.629230020738346,2.6715122580374953,7.422183212204272,-6.816819260621975,-0.40622615454062583,-0.15799300692643037,-1.3261176113874615,-3.791344021391428,1.1177335786856464,-1.3366460678543604,-4.872083216332143,2.855720443673656,-1.0289373642109627,-4.353857961502277,0.8030531354140162,0.19996984783346505,-2.5438764350889436,3.117031202520943,-0.7993342225201854,3.3897759118013493,-1.923651145496959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k{282}=[0.7496602439825488;1.1637685427919053;1.1898003074364245];
x_a{282}=[9.494963989825198,17.50342328490245,13.086741105374447];
std_x_a{282}=[1.0082876095927835,1.5973733193255464,1.8824786416016321];
pred_a{282}=[9.494963989825198];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.1 to 28.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{283}=[16.98922205605022,19.928682723115866,35.928652102341516];
std_x_f{283}=[0.5225552949750449,2.3390994326443946,2.7800369709169717];
pred_f{283}=[16.98922205605022];
obs{283}=[17.449959661175306];
sqrt_r{283}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{283}=[1.2746876557730682];
xi{283}=[0.4009218467414577,0.44741047054061056,-0.15303535700303428,-0.3023246030986506,0.24446037302854862,0.6198866130678908,-0.0014514494011699242,-0.5595504832456406,0.3561078841860308,0.1099788882944388,0.07696557465195042,-0.4218175373764055,0.4924560642520923,0.4050871628675594,0.40682601327691614,-0.675148779477766,-0.10108476123198784,-0.03461536186697245,0.5322229877784856,0.16618633786390902,-0.014740892011253948,-1.0645847859139348,-0.04468622343765816,-0.12345206865109759,0.4056626444400173,-0.30287205092823655,0.32835824009292836,0.3383747630944711,0.017280723341741577,0.5055540758708617,-0.015754999074410136,0.8554558552984979,-0.6169106530500201,0.29682784349701663,-0.7871871440093905,0.46665299060898136,0.09794402677161429,-0.8251448190893633,-0.8293016585573341,-1.5509844796458463,-2.0738277477212534,0.10493381335044916,0.6034785883980405,0.3589103752780858,-0.07446644365192157,0.414337067716847,-0.10437767804246434,-0.23411519583348905,0.1847995054912701,0.2736688693649505,-0.5595110217885271,-0.049299366550069834,-0.058925645831720885,0.34164986734951697,0.11887250087787393,0.28432458718622655,-0.01848789686822272,0.38573107232339154,0.641855010953531,0.13256185723554736,0.15296065073368936,-0.12967715441602934,0.1623502410425708,0.3209216294811945,-2.058967378748175,0.4798236237748803,0.2855647703842621,0.18764177032754858,-0.11439463761076141,0.10042683913860628,-0.44786827142989694,0.2064724370441624,0.13477526701061393,0.1879594746943738,-0.607159566998547,0.6453986466044341,-0.3670567596020611,0.5339472549209248,-0.2942997207376692,-0.21073189246352797,-0.055235045484142375,-1.0096499670751893,0.12681249708097653,-0.14460134983093553,-0.07237674810222572,0.26887354747151093,0.04566330575117661,0.34553294469114704,0.31398915026760577,-0.28256854223239003,-0.09814985924197117,0.4933616357531747,0.5008384513914663,0.4952777786137226,0.634403511856636,-1.0980736533919888,0.23778317349333733,0.006598111801540796,0.09958943483168525,0.20575900747069653;0.17954128138719128,0.4894577022986084,1.2958346465359725,1.7682077365066284,2.0167875885165785,-0.9930812611489692,1.6961370267938456,-1.9692314780496005,-0.6434518710281516,-13.643622832631369,1.8144879951724207,3.050212010804753,1.156867135098011,1.1974828079878144,0.6030796951387352,-0.7718292160829243,2.2159383841241116,1.6225210579239224,0.3494449448540635,0.9375339291458467,-0.48530970552057084,3.6836264162592016,0.9071211081450414,1.9297411112648852,-3.0941073630405036,1.2372611620875666,0.6966721915381768,-4.108744982831222,-1.5874546263174096,-2.3142998149596643,1.4311033342326347,-3.1693547924429666,0.6591481713599769,0.4228877819350281,-2.3153358662481267,-0.3994236330395715,-2.3369337603296536,0.9192387615939452,-2.811387716209026,-2.9713145796702527,1.055890822171225,1.3428653174772336,-0.12919835906826904,1.3108798693857686,2.2164931163875607,0.3838706756222088,1.1488557348701391,1.5824116918741176,0.14870803674328315,1.6601789660460895,2.867592678881813,1.1958242956454832,2.6517465950417645,-0.33815628418296484,1.001134632703522,1.3103838646613575,-0.4773767195224181,-3.282051675306679,-0.5376079115799968,0.7733091546223463,1.1689582182429383,0.22994944626908165,0.015026448628951528,-4.182979057180184,-0.5938482060854398,0.3313974868563463,0.19717265166188014,0.6393449403464935,-0.1352768563123128,1.1304220919342853,1.3044314204644607,-0.919049057262761,1.286130265251515,1.8254332279249645,0.8081268799810282,-0.8686786530270325,0.7427865007661154,0.148895859122252,-4.462154768911731,0.6022485029474574,1.5223568010578283,2.1101126877506964,0.6491968475369561,1.5608926227146718,0.9391194737148432,1.4794120059629599,1.6118784956404149,1.4885129897605403,-5.35068620033179,-0.17844698204259757,0.9024495811599209,-7.88103363910823,0.4782650284094885,-0.06158273681087678,-1.545623335861432,-0.8718129770606211,1.6796580038025937,-1.0394299211644729,-1.5335902311014316,0.22080916072328804;1.064882659555245,0.8823868685893075,-1.6653465382369603,-2.6612029830850545,-1.3024527164753223,2.7898219866941147,-1.6884002261839015,0.5835715169780471,1.7469666564736386,11.273086658062994,-1.573770258505462,-4.507065795059425,0.2905373772241404,0.029498905336012626,0.6376210166224254,-0.8842775104314811,-2.550442715661326,-1.7070405916669174,1.2214804332039506,-0.3689961056598605,0.572532190489099,-7.372863456004492,-0.9403461973866527,-2.3466503473478184,4.1321600332301855,-2.0416037645628364,0.3345083711930812,4.87165640243078,1.7635508174804997,3.7103387345405068,-1.4280352328889592,5.327112982273448,-2.298991806639499,0.49578313919970185,0.26378797581242,1.7976938845678347,2.6878853762704935,-3.20791168114048,0.7833771307936601,-1.0259882837914276,-7.309326432762262,-0.9811187946043773,1.9083591541254137,-0.2318699329884666,-2.5045318401887187,0.8900947151147705,-1.3831596281318568,-2.2852854169210772,0.484883675773915,-0.8424314180379397,-4.753301484071486,-1.2633508445862418,-2.9279954268961177,1.376843345894052,-0.57842878365161,-0.4448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k{283}=[0.21549408949636098;-0.1194699557895945;0.724238653687144];
x_a{283}=[17.106569648985282,19.8636251998551,36.323037224083535];
std_x_a{283}=[0.4568821010507109,2.3391837768549375,2.662421165014101];
pred_a{283}=[17.106569648985282];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.2 to 28.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{284}=[10.620379004531586,-1.4702579380916536,39.966163879619174];
std_x_f{284}=[1.4448764202912994,1.6003688341223954,1.4027538483722723];
pred_f{284}=[10.620379004531586];
obs{284}=[10.950560772126076];
sqrt_r{284}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{284}=[3.0891281703808944];
xi{284}=[-0.38022328471884315,-0.04370088958940066,2.168720345442713,1.3456366136220819,0.9291096274309947,-1.1340724952138128,0.9470905843635737,-0.4295625568080439,-0.5349066166514405,-7.565167980123224,0.9803078879172986,2.2490344948460272,0.2288669958392635,0.5270815278694254,0.19677104433653803,0.04005262906502871,0.5513475283002833,1.024540894941044,-0.11049351580286526,0.16587173852715864,-0.1239874293501746,3.0937376135880594,0.09490290999435125,1.1517594081975773,-1.9804008469681484,0.8230218882194453,0.1615346788198675,-3.1380742113177664,-1.0222084880066795,-1.9037409003277794,0.7842531013796883,-2.200094799305335,0.8937812095532927,0.018703879618870545,-0.9574939666678723,-0.5388309241553593,-1.386150590842444,1.2095168610944853,-1.0862341278738512,-0.7050028864752154,1.9188207212522954,0.6559309184713182,-0.4804190280022862,0.4014554093807714,1.3169183802745756,0.7566803745015758,0.6997861962229184,1.3624714454893248,0.030640963012871225,0.3641294396738637,1.8231050459073632,0.7797636427684687,1.644208720199181,-0.6521932069925427,0.10807581641731367,0.5435275154580221,-0.5247316531566071,-1.9635428660694192,-0.7888399947359819,0.3906111941908623,0.5116384274866945,0.9037406639363699,-0.14956151321631417,-2.528422771597006,1.2339213529497002,-0.6729574651800974,-0.0024539149664732918,-0.04270668918034204,0.3893383535560755,0.7261994656057418,1.0536919251054346,-0.6285010384478493,0.6278201686570437,0.8585243484984808,0.5394804776750153,-0.5164626562543901,0.19687679760655108,-0.2819575596570445,-2.2998069208778382,0.36534693165637755,1.2290134571887634,2.092544878703084,0.13153309328158258,0.9993650221707018,0.5879779993861014,0.8246247557852939,0.8734801732293587,-0.18431475066775427,-3.1935522943074055,-0.27187048791921953,0.4180059259969333,-5.013900405427011,-0.065511695506828,-0.3781898352729005,-1.1513018453878843,0.30202893419620125,1.007637679151859,-0.4575074940442132,-1.1569686644772936,0.39146118353199455;-0.9859900770855179,-0.5846427411866812,3.421689813243426,1.4281596506374614,0.18963402780146987,-1.7036584566647683,0.5919532655198013,1.0189027279449738,-0.6436541301769594,-6.981466823397009,0.5314654836844271,2.1446699050141387,-0.5895266911977244,0.0014860047918898722,-0.1829574888901282,1.100374579486191,-0.559858741001048,0.8171460796223188,-0.6438353272219064,-0.4046956986517458,0.22957555715085243,3.4436061481866305,-0.4180690837827632,0.8501718893721358,-1.8066718725372846,0.8631076686891274,-0.2900697211877934,-3.4886665683095357,-0.7643377514992602,-2.264429971640226,0.49472849946762854,-2.41345886982056,1.6300082383627756,-0.3432295675248338,0.27795463988127445,-0.8957596303137774,-0.9990562349719261,2.146657419850306,0.4244771296215675,1.6836814452642797,4.020446566273472,0.27003335834508246,-1.0413320215334096,-0.3183990948547979,0.9096740771388255,1.100788251289537,0.6054164295673296,1.6098303751374674,-0.04394717651193525,-0.6308807606886593,1.5384681826858866,0.6975939171525487,1.1612204395110308,-1.1166124527663566,-0.5477563744579086,-0.011403432608911412,-0.5886709291262229,-1.6358417941630703,-1.3520003630738457,0.18657103191944313,0.1037683759351935,1.7934422628795958,-0.2938074253627425,-2.1456213137405324,4.096272879923006,-1.7130155654975179,-0.19884418340540977,-0.5916314324178165,1.0499071638956976,0.5827232223315935,1.3216541260073487,-0.5645392477115478,0.24852324980302187,0.2310258570985566,0.7998753316578772,-0.5681549831256676,0.05257835458805005,-0.8255346692413312,-1.1975225652972064,0.42792945769179247,1.3227065800117745,2.9391658552735525,-0.2160439556556486,0.87845176318975,0.5459357177259199,0.41980450287278237,0.5122191613124769,-1.5991312618234843,-2.741944375424218,-0.18693551202835423,0.2507068175153615,-5.061591294839007,-0.6346078907592572,-0.8489354382764882,-1.3452428271359753,1.938920698344945,0.622821136671628,-0.025149484805031097,-1.1280518743483678,0.6092598303988928;-0.07321713833826493,0.21912466891124183,1.5787581922638338,1.3045021542132886,1.3709776795044633,-0.8287826353485457,1.148466536410588,-1.4510565589560613,-0.5423209796193049,-5.90579389176721,1.2507138037342784,2.4831556273083493,0.6669950559301796,0.8082688010855534,0.364456129434771,-0.6953508685905163,1.1573652239306895,1.14227790566337,0.14578891821292927,0.45063832378188806,-0.42471847593129297,3.1788166040759265,0.34766369371326533,1.3282674574447029,-2.073021806849276,0.7681877759693734,0.3790604153173831,-2.623165494556325,-1.2316034872609976,-1.6512922921786668,0.9339372323242401,-2.0415544588089745,0.41182745278329236,0.16600090562142356,-1.8242715114462484,-0.3958278502076098,-1.6731366176439266,0.6350980474854424,-2.097627412419854,-2.356117461737149,0.5991270384769294,0.8621131852855726,-0.20980871772958665,0.7912814810455728,1.5868874719263104,0.5061429424363624,0.7223867809852749,1.2368200975451487,0.013846641036977303,0.9096914448179447,2.051776103690287,0.7990192653629293,2.001026532986785,-0.4406598142964029,0.4394041297202733,0.8421039577948548,-0.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k{284}=[0.67628406953516;0.6699433211693598;0.6183010631751076];
x_a{284}=[10.843149861197777,-1.2495757509786696,40.16983488670913];
std_x_a{284}=[1.0009878913095873,1.256304025906116,0.9965844828910069];
pred_a{284}=[10.843149861197777];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.3 to 28.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{285}=[1.0977353596178767,-5.187180533463109,29.048518160258137];
std_x_f{285}=[0.6940598589455336,0.6560127796766151,0.5983633109343168];
pred_f{285}=[1.0977353596178767];
obs{285}=[0.7354943067594247];
sqrt_r{285}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{285}=[1.4844353250632576];
xi{285}=[-0.5185629075749554,-0.27360846981809683,1.1455170815651174,0.18677484686135748,-0.34226936539453046,-0.4446857467895493,-0.17732937457705134,0.9160785743522413,-0.1399611119276476,-1.9475603126961967,-0.09004740252139198,0.2312639233856164,-0.40245704761432866,-0.44755588899610554,-0.00396166222676686,0.9170369873861983,-0.20105891683325183,0.11678756434095972,0.1855119973721111,-0.05787626039289373,0.30531675619562537,0.5794642112558812,-0.25694014050912084,0.21554759017778036,-1.3560130481644375,1.0071649783486938,-1.1118165765564543,-0.5088347220795179,-3.6693214462846235E-4,-0.5498158809109526,-0.8208720027838625,-0.3683557997210871,1.1233769260041948,-0.3944971963505024,0.8725136896936652,-0.1101223405140439,0.5727465758895984,0.7470154870130161,0.18668330208109185,1.725182019923419,1.8577007073110126,-0.3831793868101987,-0.3669995363398799,0.7089406131635285,-0.008539642278359016,-0.2977107791511908,0.2790898123263674,0.3383673603438835,-0.7854544395648037,-0.6059610447129609,0.11214104930701962,0.10190526717749604,-0.3487098688363449,-0.3113032655944836,-0.35767478443269085,-0.33632812955287783,-0.16564452155091325,0.03623428184474475,-0.7991555357004878,-0.8366336273630737,-0.7351605133384986,1.3939941447053947,-0.07537228227942916,0.3075689134797155,2.0221231359010563,-0.7002078503276166,0.19942392636220463,-0.11130980878863483,0.051476835961832945,0.3125477776306167,0.45913229636138086,-0.044822199998403756,-2.330900919656697,-0.31838834858895115,1.3616943319687203,0.34297424276648814,-0.3298135381816152,-0.3325982710817068,0.3473115536544875,0.6528783606770747,0.3656595172872439,0.6513595528324825,-1.3752691042481286,0.0934269506957266,0.39193252408118906,-0.061276148175591016,-0.2799486374010096,-0.4887741237156288,-0.02097934099303278,-0.05639289924662516,-0.042288413413556825,-0.4190010376977902,-0.32103940674583464,-0.3760564179881132,-0.2720313805408904,1.0505072350198474,0.16571778714872565,0.24608641852680502,-0.18489423676541517,0.1202114397771854;-0.44351999209443704,-0.38991927218963873,0.9016872683382404,0.07324296089495697,-0.6361817480120635,-0.395505350688941,-0.28005621467366737,1.46081990051408,0.019906052501534433,-0.3763541926906866,-0.40286074725959775,-0.25152234392070927,-0.6669596491479641,-0.4047881304318368,-0.2869439133807479,1.0150156400055215,-1.0156121338978208,-0.1920861928356885,-0.4933702993817093,-0.47346734354387454,0.41407733280739567,0.007998045029528278,-0.3833918782536978,-0.32853032411205607,-0.055258161107516024,-0.3795990473275275,-0.4200955626003422,-0.2801490036317471,0.36048180544739683,-0.2257520647158877,-0.24988657681770832,-0.07434932734301203,0.46176281824438625,-0.22582250755884026,1.2582042506919997,-0.21678208754988404,0.42389591857436315,0.8414823648210676,1.484661511375502,2.2959681348216225,1.649332516105737,-0.2781469311474343,-0.39222713851032065,-1.1224868201750962,-0.39351779491534256,0.36450184695576215,-0.09678034488259168,0.20912024510006955,-0.04294973983386541,-0.8238348644416691,-0.32844514831824245,-0.042994714444153814,-0.4381489105540535,-0.3037108898579106,-0.5002965625620757,-0.4351675922291358,0.055532591903598494,0.4384831518428616,-0.4210509846180752,-0.16044281820979034,-0.31915133075029534,0.443450535350288,-0.03429914454424132,0.4426985404560373,2.5960646536018737,-0.8312376488404984,-0.14106866015308572,-0.42765064768441174,0.6900681954127643,-0.16015667191214167,0.2231221892147115,0.1916251578593995,-0.9185472570779138,-0.5232536680373334,-0.41327111780931247,0.007634820364014416,-0.036751466811337785,-0.39068604349105307,1.1535710124379825,-0.04258794188810455,0.03199728430566218,0.6921402558241434,-0.42210586945955164,-0.10202846495342666,-0.06868393569751507,-0.34898678578664377,-0.2775912624413355,-1.212247674842093,0.4915170424587121,0.19047397319943737,-0.08208243292178441,-0.15469793292271827,-0.42302914002092695,-0.31437136229762874,-0.04446619553864384,1.5813310012363093,-0.39226460397567475,0.5101209666850854,0.15334692535587102,0.2748456699870676;-0.20124208438508973,0.03464956329379376,0.6751454246572024,0.20202377489317058,0.26888563063917914,-0.19085655295721082,0.11251367531381007,-0.39247346478104816,-0.24719275800984164,-1.1441604808583676,0.3089153247917835,0.6694465435706931,0.1674750845280748,-0.10167524261172645,0.23768202622310852,0.08322494203423503,0.6985259608037637,0.3458655723309789,0.5991524906952357,0.34094050745463633,-0.10494307244792722,0.9225059543136922,0.05911778800082246,0.5799048525289514,-1.6939131760850117,1.3919122873637093,-0.8663950564406235,-0.2967081273013541,-0.43534799118815215,-0.48273441031078335,-0.6673396920388512,-0.4442009446484825,0.8669098127269343,-0.26449813496269314,-0.2617161899902847,0.015539880548573137,0.15315999124012336,0.13832369673776412,-1.4026308964745269,-0.14021467241351715,0.7879876044552674,-0.13655522869762748,-0.08221339096974134,1.6358351490452954,0.41727442463754016,-0.7125555094259894,0.40766880024782637,0.2629720664738713,-0.9085034831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k{285}=[0.326343166916089;0.20379911887382324;0.17819232669150384];
x_a{285}=[0.9719792571346063,-5.265714375986271,28.979851876514818];
std_x_a{285}=[0.5852176271060292,0.6122645986717694,0.5633903321766811];
pred_a{285}=[0.9719792571346063];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.4 to 28.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{286}=[-2.883776082021378,-5.252016970260375,22.830874936469556];
std_x_f{286}=[0.5506139204859103,0.645082218243743,0.4686755272878393];
pred_f{286}=[-2.883776082021378];
obs{286}=[-3.286974950931536];
sqrt_r{286}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{286}=[1.3055439246456952];
xi{286}=[-0.4842058302728911,-0.1082671561957631,1.5172865539579599,-0.21364392168104063,-0.3260324297033277,-0.2530905055101136,-0.26261993340241396,0.9978438264202074,-0.0017127536446883695,-0.8796811522139576,-0.18584882732394226,0.016684882737949547,-0.7750700043361824,-1.0047825817161562,-0.16492956779027956,0.4151132961385495,-0.5930389103888838,-0.06495100629261064,-0.44728042524892775,-0.2823685749918159,0.41524247389449753,0.2604613533715283,-0.2653855330395256,-0.27781512935005015,-0.20304274417693602,0.5456719950864182,-0.4425318531027438,0.030421712993172534,0.27421632032070065,-0.2775398508807094,-0.38697148337632914,-0.0935421791626454,0.3082226923304283,-0.1935630699045916,0.8259949697588542,0.2732879632000276,0.19142303431787067,0.7310002464709422,0.9125945669720079,1.6304365304653645,1.1864826096534475,-0.27731160462638504,-0.17230842882829522,-0.7972833968487816,-0.22538294553989457,0.15043668708040903,-0.3552093617480585,0.5959611719836992,0.20048959578146563,-0.4824158233412521,-0.3754535035610469,0.13565812167877755,-0.37343695356328155,-0.18116500081514886,-0.21523829956644924,-0.04109598348549648,6.692417015821128E-4,0.07600175775040352,-0.3666924714341464,-0.23200069124887968,-0.29857106370549946,0.7730177422875233,-0.25472085385713417,0.2940933749401866,1.985691520291966,-0.578445349105043,0.08201291314168513,-0.1987436445852846,1.11487404322273,0.032086227719478444,0.31860462671196244,0.011998300395516193,-1.2380805132781565,-0.6590501061870326,-0.04804385858829008,-0.07611766695629463,-0.1985837618148274,-0.28698687903343956,0.7684624810786542,-0.0291088654019096,0.08347725223120106,0.4892140346219578,-0.7970991352169521,-0.18439434644358066,-0.15618792747235366,-0.2281376844635732,0.09543519628246111,-0.7899274090407062,0.7679534818279308,-0.2167386393626436,-0.032391809314117115,-0.013423768309489326,-0.2774192983943271,-0.6349987393179766,-0.1326961884079192,1.073771728691186,-0.30548415695428766,0.4515654754824867,0.02733834818724379,-0.14293679765604805;-0.5156744366191939,-0.18125038907638125,1.5108182393694314,-0.21853349619532114,-0.44360897853277503,-0.2863756881336581,-0.3034674942123763,1.2909105900989495,0.020510206216128424,-0.5632449445664527,-0.29192569714772887,-0.10345394710892108,-0.8706969707782708,-1.0165221185084903,-0.25419063263478314,0.5492840101558949,-0.8477703686151203,-0.14968068377526667,-0.6276481703854717,-0.41653321108685315,0.4726808579792037,0.141534484362829,-0.32923625893589126,-0.4161289357734912,0.00843134304556692,0.12613995735059813,-0.3578376787146107,0.04381917752398934,0.3739640821197847,-0.25364406556534735,-0.29997984558063084,-0.057900036610147865,0.21341968744665696,-0.1888202971086006,1.0545296655890182,0.2092801998726328,0.19555501496402883,0.8450934850397172,1.3713924671773183,2.0678944396464845,1.3360149519946791,-0.2797406483389171,-0.22462302921367971,-1.2594018298689402,-0.3345180259511258,0.3233794639656322,-0.4280146064196151,0.5712467864734263,0.33744063817781367,-0.5969210743259739,-0.47606581656330427,0.08893734299966294,-0.4238752095170213,-0.21818542595530666,-0.2985502069460688,-0.1131065629236172,0.04406900850168771,0.19455943560011058,-0.34112331844981014,-0.12393737752910194,-0.24968131138836558,0.5675322718056783,-0.25193890052594714,0.3645939221210197,2.462760370563857,-0.6807628084717416,-0.013069361774015853,-0.31413072189991187,1.3272531775354257,-0.09285460230021148,0.28480691821743154,0.07291361757778603,-1.0979823405972304,-0.7275696287649911,-0.49436456898255887,-0.1520529583345036,-0.14881495328700112,-0.3412482515479889,1.0734529957825014,-0.18393813268677128,0.018235220639057914,0.5838685135728285,-0.6763170811828827,-0.22567731685210912,-0.2556355270917594,-0.31420089614122926,0.05473591216645879,-1.0353431643965854,0.92191086684221,-0.1540739597752827,-0.06065053363076611,0.03487176162632011,-0.3416516309077453,-0.6511956464318382,-0.1033580890759156,1.3924941159226991,-0.4481988758018778,0.5490157036973828,0.10879722682732407,-0.08124939105187945;0.11627024242253725,0.17400242728134785,0.0704320870013504,0.0791106806437476,0.4515974649440544,0.06118045971591002,0.19952410613900895,-0.9043874219612107,-0.17897551571403625,-0.1830714044272881,0.3472578814976188,0.47863075923219967,0.4718698115526223,0.2637359024071735,0.23898422651437912,-0.46698857297160856,0.8765939706017676,0.2593349526949673,0.5479934513746727,0.3910786692331669,-0.294184307683107,0.5103383176137193,0.20176235163890155,0.46299582816549645,-0.9262733574304782,0.8391652648902266,-0.24524022692492053,-0.046791332259335405,-0.4569746426966894,-0.16500487681192055,-0.21696059523514322,-0.2418672767238199,0.21278680218256696,-0.05316209519379811,-0.7588466924554176,0.05475387532375464,-0.17201389538185907,-0.3239855499190831,-1.500620342240783,-1.0226307967317503,-0.27242482681723246,0.0634357926826361,0.11836802058311591,1.400499402370663,0.40735239335807094,-0.5845054173473443,0.27843285600208034,0.02787738846765464,-0.5076225705309838,0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k{286}=[0.23403572938276682;0.2675522581412432;-0.10787942815329882];
x_a{286}=[-3.022512861623854,-5.410622405284262,22.89482604550242];
std_x_a{286}=[0.49843607482368835,0.601295654431444,0.477068931312893];
pred_a{286}=[-3.022512861623854];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.5 to 28.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{287}=[-5.220039163693882,-7.623307542696458,19.929142670517983];
std_x_f{287}=[0.5989257443413821,0.6977211539380855,0.8195563021865627];
pred_f{287}=[-5.220039163693882];
obs{287}=[-5.549519231697652];
sqrt_r{287}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{287}=[1.3631099881360218];
xi{287}=[-0.6598455495138005,-0.5840633523974654,0.8757197114683288,-0.13707757580217894,-0.11182299084984493,-0.34165797913046614,-0.07390270965563861,1.1168195481560783,0.2631432579911799,-0.6246213236469877,-0.2103356323124137,0.09400359585604967,-0.6236915460660022,-0.8043849318319181,-0.10295430547206941,0.17114094597835017,-0.9703161293353766,-0.0453003746769598,-0.0812086232906939,-0.26240444114409023,0.2483328269180003,0.11067320490546262,-0.03132984394994498,-0.2772999855647864,0.2841196095745975,0.2157439969310193,-0.3990827527418226,-0.06890447103659803,0.2673554760232708,-0.2241520561343684,-0.09781701912935858,-0.0036776813655334806,-0.004451150573159701,0.07693863334839524,0.7946050726657488,-0.6519342326287321,0.07036981716256197,0.1272741776924926,0.6435649410696023,1.7317225979441142,1.1067164123970121,-0.421196250819559,-0.10191503713431427,-0.649021235778033,0.17258906885710878,0.20784098732653877,-0.11473608969148064,0.666881394183279,0.3431195973671626,-0.6298114235335861,-0.151469488835275,0.1674281283562431,-0.298496747301213,-0.14484652228132422,-0.19424209359721978,-0.11441805813292927,-0.1771680572719445,0.12818624272107648,-0.26647963946495334,0.6486832603169468,-0.29619195246446406,0.3292773214486111,-0.5762756702890757,0.30152847807887984,2.1113288776416264,-0.8368765088988939,0.07378238606191179,-0.14016319679299905,1.180711159292077,0.12616436606453174,0.17451758777009907,-0.27169286206256515,-1.0521241394502896,-0.7780584578144429,-0.7090141961485896,0.005378990801490069,0.621580607430638,-2.0733960709577888,0.8281679643351518,-0.4045212122274702,0.5440915886769995,0.48147393622251133,-0.7193658465631945,-0.0970785233661342,-0.06714153350742613,0.12070697134515207,0.10701609963191405,-0.9801295062998481,0.7518182522507058,0.4533984230763979,-0.2978521864415251,0.2904813923696752,-0.28522032299315025,-0.8348540041044865,-0.23346119858716285,1.0953988749283194,-0.20481035292778316,1.2457940643019385,0.10182066232876696,0.03685453472139599;-0.7745512801429646,-0.6694179609608293,1.1003792080731625,-0.17585019818852654,-0.11099807730300437,-0.423991559199286,-0.0907815553797402,1.3126810509054572,0.2579338485906435,-0.730780712623539,-0.22716044681991665,0.14902212298518602,-0.6865834562608102,-0.9244231852095739,-0.12530974612116896,0.14278263970643312,-0.9796713614603698,-0.052424031757575484,-0.07700314268028219,-0.29226347963902555,0.2481707661370267,0.18918690284357353,-0.054701337041747955,-0.30499673755701284,0.18538942228022393,0.29762496548253736,-0.5366622890360082,-0.10740930442157826,0.24911018670307605,-0.32726169484790546,-0.18351322229325095,-0.07472566576455097,0.01207488105033061,0.044294677559509665,0.9088647278551623,-0.7386053579708305,0.03546827121270013,0.1305712615546275,0.6490752889892191,2.1674215493048896,1.364672739697892,-0.5049681922824965,-0.13987412269495092,-0.6043328396437913,0.2143476200940304,0.16086946895052545,-0.13924429447791287,0.7946683666532648,0.3336216983399982,-0.6866033211240028,-0.15184830876852295,0.17886269213544725,-0.33137451318758604,-0.2020013787478847,-0.23486331025974838,-0.13245325222516602,-0.26942343143105685,0.06368008855053464,-0.36376694456920866,0.7109493131674212,-0.39328444596168755,0.420829690062015,-0.7002853110828093,0.2999818817478799,2.721717579623742,-0.9194797655627935,0.07544315874586793,-0.16304904494579553,1.420439465352331,0.15646411860054243,0.19674333339247152,-0.3845464092049413,-1.3016239800031117,-0.8546368390173944,-0.697701110662428,-0.01862837794871197,0.6962556781174225,-2.1241489634261272,0.9210751586382431,-0.4438700539110796,0.6508198349772858,0.56769386321215,-0.932645124913269,-0.12097199572122452,-0.07854190495012947,0.14279539301811361,0.1161976367318518,-0.9919703104063649,0.8557427744486885,0.47326148368317256,-0.36354644051277685,0.3365532311018633,-0.33413750401439657,-0.975118887534097,-0.34000506609199377,1.3067741128053534,-0.20735904382789982,1.479105895441542,0.048633948508141955,-0.012861705240384325;0.7327292585499485,0.7919311326351135,-0.43673819714666706,0.11956494330671674,0.32768719148276304,0.3376690686092445,0.12144301965962612,-1.597790550774004,-0.49358155432136996,0.34937189974980143,0.41971883133777155,0.227909911406023,0.8537998611046866,0.8639599216970701,0.21066558674295166,-0.44920185176359695,1.709640651994821,0.19388881204847763,0.32288954020604876,0.48610918861146146,-0.4175963849024775,0.3151744713650082,0.06739197253016371,0.5731444607308305,-1.1635825429065214,0.5031892032330667,0.12019475129111257,0.020711063343128444,-0.6037809256607467,0.011311904310414178,-0.20724007958145663,-0.25964201716275426,0.22796525924278654,-0.23835657653287257,-1.2254074268730477,0.9263795350246227,-0.1957430943772387,-0.1786928559567258,-1.5857025562505207,-2.0195716311568432,-1.0378345220555865,0.4484404141669458,0.11539682653519634,1.5959369900833131,-0.01410763058265374,-0.6793508848234211,0.19223864525992695,-0.5802171518406283,-0.7611744906368472,0.9704253472304103,0.38388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k{287}=[0.2663834843089623;0.30894102976256366;-0.3384364292650966];
x_a{287}=[-5.294825390288501,-7.710041650541524,20.024157508065258];
std_x_a{287}=[0.47448155609162423,0.5585647082211823,0.6670926278862948];
pred_a{287}=[-5.294825390288501];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.6 to 28.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{288}=[-8.309881170221129,-11.893474694360396,21.280273906901552];
std_x_f{288}=[0.4814507536509432,0.3959301196322608,1.1502856821399499];
pred_f{288}=[-8.309881170221129];
obs{288}=[-8.538506863858068];
sqrt_r{288}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{288}=[1.2369704797438965];
xi{288}=[-0.7158138750615919,-0.8218928694053353,0.779285132322717,-0.18254822196535514,0.007083547197098028,-0.33199749890264485,-0.062100333560669796,0.9371105134534989,-0.12955996172438589,-0.11779022822494589,0.3961468887079356,0.3613273173597946,-0.5047894372843889,-0.6070940512303409,0.17390822214778368,-0.173082765396682,0.16272663354401296,-0.06978528805748851,0.019254515918895265,0.1296511923281134,0.36818531855317893,0.21745803405880437,-0.06554695742947203,0.010111890950422975,-0.027437282284227038,0.3006465559143976,-0.45645892580445313,-0.11134216975024636,-0.09227518026031412,-0.2233445091383537,-0.20766988632268735,-0.14762209355615674,0.0625536671025344,-0.022555888373712918,0.722494592145404,-0.45578335902599676,-0.06991035914649224,0.05046009282692232,0.4513441261668216,1.325207524143445,0.8884017403697513,-0.14398345944228375,0.2678776007644448,-0.21281490883801624,0.14442874091558267,-0.0317696962286913,0.00866516585552013,0.6477739418890254,0.1282718655296371,-0.27051606088620694,-0.25477368622820507,0.022740588668021644,-0.44810932046044627,-0.6800352202748492,0.4153740743939016,-0.2526372967191417,-0.12346367105003786,-0.08014691974096166,-0.46046754587578675,0.10452052035436665,-0.31287122644375565,0.11761624566411655,-0.4304635914019137,0.15847068300698375,1.9046908362777142,-0.5495529626116991,0.045043078191232766,-0.06872069688460947,0.9216681829706443,0.28273023641135175,0.07967146170353345,-0.339689345671335,-0.896056062539369,-0.4560627097290677,-0.2438696369226303,-0.37363771794197476,0.4016022516341735,-0.9128292038580863,0.5161738895005845,-0.2924847864823903,0.45516094476658964,0.33350004950563417,-1.1221590960188266,-0.48988224360480537,0.20807851320891935,-0.4514487227001851,0.07704921448778279,-0.6426322105918381,0.3503985783333725,0.324407530383211,-0.25891001818645165,0.7601842046954745,-0.2896046748323968,-0.6443183872236862,-0.04390471443619681,0.9827683678711061,-0.15850397891453838,0.8509146204541125,0.053757858725390406,-0.39417583672750034;-0.43805821666781597,-0.3800384491220843,0.8248045131485373,-0.17550102938120915,0.057486424626297605,-0.287318851319327,-0.06110031179057529,0.630547885526413,-0.2170450669779207,-0.30539161343824084,0.2999133386649362,0.35902077841783786,-0.2505497174256348,-0.4213776709744277,0.10568516020122232,-0.2723187470376338,0.33692365138236013,-0.022507883306106535,0.07580233253748503,0.11522912691355991,0.15130761744710064,0.31982124344379415,-0.07317108407749551,0.07014271234034553,-0.4654312190690675,0.5005275433317369,-0.5076598090792643,-0.1501508518854351,-0.24245158509141795,-0.3230543134313031,-0.3451382424361036,-0.2768168201851289,0.10047802115837534,-0.13557013842999233,0.41720662613960613,-0.22295697744757526,-0.14429916432434453,-0.02592408920735778,-0.05045604420020844,1.181675837265706,0.8053078199733292,-0.17460256921594386,0.12113497168481224,0.279042134172089,0.14962665632015693,-0.27610658315918,-0.021033854873955704,0.5358497162316311,-0.12130062524841634,-0.09053308261712623,-0.08130741254738005,-0.0033481064652818304,-0.2347873325319565,-0.4145198780625403,0.2743684683173857,-0.1333407582808679,-0.250071921017593,-0.30850519450014957,-0.43248607350936297,-0.1138517921755664,-0.34943023852738975,0.29341552910156565,-0.36555696638965074,-0.027756891764674663,1.9400363204771782,-0.22937255546251123,0.04175599512319472,-0.02210576528365138,0.7036726753829861,0.23717385907968236,0.056871650227328985,-0.3901074837169869,-0.8325642374828863,-0.22407369386337805,0.23925169306571803,-0.2450195315330408,0.1595006534177692,-0.09369328126373055,0.15319456428356304,-0.08276506771199799,0.35823242354734397,0.2072167960998641,-0.8599616348266359,-0.2859954270209535,0.14610142224275613,-0.2161060528340517,0.03837496112093852,-0.03576148319650585,0.14629290420287155,0.04736714279286325,-0.2155731350589214,0.536216261767926,-0.1936128925078755,-0.447513902479594,-0.21176685610166857,0.7030952304103852,-0.004062148922731268,0.6307141606533904,-0.1628628835281276,-0.4046416122543768;1.7363493085887,2.2108632347032504,-1.1791843535374689,0.34604593076273815,0.14137913074038977,0.7108309181375212,0.13634763351240053,-2.3923234483767146,0.08523731060941842,-0.20291037890976327,-0.8399862696876248,-0.548400306577296,1.3598284052765237,1.3840583767495858,-0.3960837227377745,0.11186957988166313,0.1335150776258871,0.27264572001986664,0.14274233378452195,-0.21492325628386055,-1.0607138688021855,-0.08984725334585875,0.13065838500967075,0.1670498358852761,-0.8738971442108472,0.03369602714953501,0.6903297144102183,0.14692334804304963,-0.11984703433879673,0.1861066246103853,0.09427169154272264,0.01652936528877902,0.036605882811738155,-0.16718598930231465,-1.9745904017660436,1.2583011737571255,-0.020293417228405275,-0.19100559633005076,-1.9489220359106696,-2.7995842992056055,-1.7328241295727942,0.22966055651257733,-0.7230954050286691,1.3934568699335799,-0.19466185769359257,-0.43128168658135024,-0.014727860142848215,-1.3165316584573326,-0.714810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k{288}=[0.19157327003709823;0.14126066635381174;-0.4373293676270491];
x_a{288}=[-8.340290359794857,-11.915897563592797,21.349692942468224];
std_x_a{288}=[0.4334750842527558,0.3719843628983198,1.030107426422048];
pred_a{288}=[-8.340290359794857];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.7 to 28.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{289}=[-11.654423987265092,-13.870927480813087,28.43824494223547];
std_x_f{289}=[0.19559778415634513,0.6904791398145178,0.9486739808313321];
pred_f{289}=[-11.654423987265092];
obs{289}=[-11.620452879969605];
sqrt_r{289}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{289}=[1.0382692872007346];
xi{289}=[0.032689590887429176,0.16327996246791798,0.35122679398936896,-0.06509452768881197,0.056597780456524305,-0.060038970963734783,-0.011168777807618824,0.028662238937730677,-0.13361958470495416,-0.2571570925371489,0.03790021974431035,0.11119719318490517,0.08518997699505526,0.023232662848801766,-0.01630996607375046,-0.17157277308661634,0.24004526318770125,0.03359922230544221,0.08135711755877217,0.03191305585442272,-0.10557380311553644,0.19183551339383165,-0.037456317338769196,0.07438212570590963,-0.49178319128292003,0.30702681372484264,-0.214435302004496,-0.09498254960898755,-0.17968992294822783,-0.1789014293930311,-0.23308889728110138,-0.19689740761302055,0.0927623504439321,-0.13396807881311545,-0.10467084349248701,0.07960452596882384,-0.12553889879986713,-0.05662182335188959,-0.44110816580053047,0.2365817050008836,0.23150430849136328,-0.08412757421991657,-0.07319169297757178,0.49604804323354834,0.08593973855342973,-0.2676754721710708,-0.03270818116098262,0.11727573507845612,-0.24102205836601698,0.10095686464376108,0.08299044824103774,-0.012112955879045373,0.06676095787200964,0.03826342432687824,0.011025029470223657,0.0526946931076413,-0.18567569073441348,-0.27915505664340223,-0.12343355080878737,-0.2079615564864845,-0.15763571555400624,0.24331437748991824,-0.07894767689749038,-0.15051731690271808,0.807779058120154,0.13286187652336245,0.0031238857539079845,0.023281835470994494,0.09379843904959806,0.05772248957813275,0.005447147783163686,-0.17098378878438858,-0.24700687678654631,0.10277726746098637,0.5302882555018975,0.04255010380221513,-0.13110796724789608,0.4894858066256571,-0.22208657457266767,0.11447362388971527,0.04247901102260698,-0.027064821804618333,-0.12379337553919534,0.04184784617238435,0.008050513871452836,0.0908437112746654,-0.014341231520536013,0.3885690144483931,-0.08773396887310447,-0.18026984938789425,-0.061210908552412846,0.02763570044493413,0.013959890825219645,-0.021746325075694628,-0.20245321922561388,0.05344147561894097,0.12898432412717575,0.052467790315514407,-0.1861887312955819,-0.1578963396713231;0.9884492683735253,1.4264586314762244,-0.3556505098693332,0.24300067342269038,0.11124989827036735,0.35145610032656194,-0.19418418436001517,-1.5141201576898666,-0.2003938158973373,-0.35180510839956547,-0.3767527870652785,0.12657352856745163,0.7047324205775887,2.5024523045076332,-0.21021314056522833,0.042313370668914274,0.2230789952727843,-0.019023173723729414,-0.07173753137647942,-0.18361429391901396,-0.6531811548679869,0.0713515905787041,0.12324631516690765,0.13656804893059693,-0.8885693919165618,1.3187456827973438,0.2558102029244935,0.5379434552289375,-0.5917635173586255,-0.4080069819015595,0.34649355807547444,0.06532891174106759,-0.27359373444061674,-0.15170927778782684,-0.9839147043058087,0.7009138044082857,0.21828036889518465,-0.21593883214486276,-1.1433826653133945,-0.7085832420301692,-0.7013551239584803,0.1356681859749358,-0.28776027518725833,0.3005834941208896,-0.40850954736498934,-0.6768704639963765,0.10061523955470619,-0.5677921107188002,-0.2986368893747411,0.407998537181852,0.7640112384828281,-0.10330929693400037,0.7122911654938289,1.0206003932551049,-0.6848326422830375,0.007875159200153803,0.03891706335377876,0.006564992311336226,0.029132072869225922,-0.5315212940801874,0.3961159283422955,0.3063662914823517,0.42977061446078935,-0.3787327231070883,-1.180984289647327,0.8916072878018646,0.12148471990060195,0.26242644099445833,-1.0214417133229485,-0.2387498708435647,0.031022649678329017,-0.02382772665027133,0.6791219441026346,0.10487208866517683,-0.22618030247220133,-0.27596602835827966,-0.7346951498861181,2.1421233645580777,-1.198924065785235,0.6454245864862926,-0.2189920778150114,-0.342574718103938,0.8747622818579543,0.8025908976280309,-0.2576120615155304,0.6811250373058151,-0.06236829059051985,1.4662836839106745,-0.7267720110460107,-0.8939985704479572,0.8576956576444204,-0.94655547667492,-0.053750747562233414,0.47501787158042497,-0.1802650230174887,-1.3774318686927192,0.10990285067938288,-0.9814713230826317,-0.8643969035047565,0.645997921869311;1.1648761780199663,1.364014272971744,-1.4475596681647431,0.5133188686417292,0.015953433495639047,0.64510339957722,-0.2090392825052625,-2.1327658919942785,0.1303311787029493,0.2685787834921918,-0.5661585841086492,-0.11953669802571198,0.6857867469006287,2.985188974321936,-0.20948144309832983,0.5574170958827267,-0.3554092099719952,-0.11217211188992593,-0.2980498691356317,-0.30987051579877445,-0.5408476475167241,-0.41800036926860074,0.2855452175038984,0.012168545900131278,0.2420233181162743,0.9269050287255212,0.928350283319233,0.9723294146000256,-0.26290492220547534,-0.0213309174693066,1.0933007919140998,0.6394204213778387,-0.5881724868054476,0.19731140894086963,-1.0074029607337351,0.684710296846653,0.6367282210313938,-0.09434369519885166,-0.2570662384076847,-1.6455135629603461,-1.597124370936502,0.43191916053971724,-0.15551619589398413,-0.9674617792917992,-0.7504133583856536,-0.11350828303310223,0.24516068694081383,-1.0624943933201365,0.303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k{289}=[0.03685872988106201;0.030416434084294983;-0.06650443989569052];
x_a{289}=[-11.657985741366828,-13.873866699261722,28.44467143773183];
std_x_a{289}=[0.1934436117992606,0.6900666197524695,0.9469008897997278];
pred_a{289}=[-11.657985741366828];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.8 to 28.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{290}=[-11.249403320173393,-8.187524020214115,33.715290874761884];
std_x_f{290}=[0.5325292193047554,0.7504754062972377,0.5666478997527831];
pred_f{290}=[-11.249403320173393];
obs{290}=[-10.966539041552492];
sqrt_r{290}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{290}=[1.2891841025305655];
xi{290}=[0.7443632034202707,1.0078838319733396,-0.5324273459207767,0.23717911213006104,0.05823623950799295,0.31536486726120927,-0.1410493675914104,-1.2407532350165713,-0.05966322553435255,-0.08346617706329873,-0.32065906067111705,0.023543771175287276,0.49349106128616427,1.9047350399306229,-0.1517083356788831,0.1601134211986981,0.013118152552891615,-0.03981726470120606,-0.11156128381940533,-0.16493983250842703,-0.43500539582657183,-0.07306183592749527,0.12327598804398576,0.06697780163980838,-0.3335065639426169,0.8552167166507232,0.3467541692333107,0.5024860130262176,-0.3373339716070909,-0.19127875569272845,0.4453825002931229,0.1886459811613168,-0.2721773894622803,-0.018486536399166198,-0.7023230836506471,0.4983646166475779,0.25206802747902657,-0.131210774766906,-0.5753224933979162,-0.7506599904018181,-0.7342598761998413,0.16532096016006648,-0.17616030650803793,-0.10122066833825727,-0.3785846484610289,-0.33820035753932665,0.11114371822621116,-0.5324305293150591,-0.058939821864015585,0.2561926771303984,0.5432904894830468,-0.0695138780400999,0.5141852097243369,0.7636649397197264,-0.5403368321074407,-0.024160090400263456,0.1640984173184048,0.2024914547148402,0.10616090087687624,-0.2535224772857063,0.4228722728022838,0.08105625936224037,0.3967488980016647,-0.19047119574378257,-1.611957725790191,0.6069429844726653,0.10092277357663981,0.19666091749883385,-0.8787588293484525,-0.2206941075708606,0.028856691431450088,0.09527783876762541,0.6920746690547563,0.009414954173605494,-0.5604423270863883,-0.2427858533389653,-0.48920977516055686,1.3609539113390152,-0.7865573077942241,0.43379693454555657,-0.20433291774444484,-0.24773706423883013,0.7567107874829162,0.6005068681438086,-0.20494435156080293,0.47656464200319526,-0.0247783471899492,0.8951723695187912,-0.5061032992247192,-0.5695783909216239,0.710814884644952,-0.7739846464696161,-0.050540808954579575,0.3914582930607633,0.004037919394878742,-1.146319476120313,0.0021795563532602813,-0.818185180138224,-0.53391487636911,0.6082641788109449;0.8959414518808879,1.062489466584906,-1.2150755431765603,0.40948759025537207,-0.03786254838457026,0.48366668049951134,-0.15973689281799075,-1.626524316818223,0.10037360774796689,0.3995870880121588,-0.5057077660079479,-0.15395343574330944,0.48532838838560544,2.446056909797293,-0.15262039333094357,0.46799686161700293,-0.4245272607032309,-0.15494651076002341,-0.2769144208149843,-0.269734788251732,-0.3579723846603944,-0.38369520247201017,0.17208173522866588,0.007977792221401714,0.31932050299438064,0.6344978716241112,0.7294215709543748,1.0087078647818881,-0.18373384711705576,0.01477513858502455,1.0878781016282195,0.5225238337681359,-0.43432897010631066,0.16580016242192563,-0.6786898009033617,0.5681316496961388,0.3590340643001637,-0.2029914539367379,-0.04165357804154546,-1.3185903145329068,-1.3031568725864844,0.2940056411166463,-0.13179612103771632,-0.8935148479909429,-0.5967556674474892,-0.06217235238363372,0.2705491247164913,-0.8073553949532926,0.2583438022248874,0.07632624785893327,0.5426305846081876,-0.0748476311883497,0.5524501179058063,0.8063715522096215,-0.6997998497862614,-0.025978282944798536,0.4638459961394297,0.5971351296180067,0.2891811715662005,0.07647152497611032,0.7687833351388509,-0.2797915086176559,0.5901701740523437,-0.060899281343894884,-3.346094306386986,0.5638297275461097,0.1396507921677852,0.16665318959984354,-1.084620670437852,-0.3554271701577232,0.017874084301700677,0.2066857339509136,1.3013907966613365,-0.17509825679403512,-1.4608659073728205,-0.3848870550488712,-0.49149071151865087,1.1067525355733707,-0.6597034905963088,0.40138800145955056,-0.3358677420603975,-0.31010074937728405,1.1325563367134226,0.7287221729858961,-0.28469688211799316,0.44779139080226216,0.07489753065292426,0.6178614300868386,-0.4271113536870068,-0.5021215878877445,0.9710515363200729,-1.0135605151469367,-0.0805703621694871,0.5241670191012489,0.22135610129246075,-1.5035353526838708,-0.21998620966036242,-1.065908507057527,-0.2980939682484909,0.965096922937926;-0.7566029667861116,-1.1388584395130792,-0.004856922471688563,-0.13453421577159475,-0.15576202503805092,-0.2408776424814718,0.14507308305443445,1.1847636654659652,0.21812930350017723,0.5380836487377252,0.20938735519013107,-0.20347298884995269,-0.6127284052970907,-1.6626820735879093,0.17357804468390725,0.08942729912993741,-0.44181956732510486,-0.07153690414136094,-0.028226127440696303,0.09857642827248725,0.5956134587324087,-0.21078922849480364,-0.11780976300882173,-0.13855596955013283,0.9882685068676693,-1.2189506199899043,-0.06334077801520266,-0.12866216365446093,0.5522764549304142,0.4208268990175412,0.06837407147390451,0.07203594111100386,0.17511871708127558,0.18857873006300707,0.8786072772170499,-0.5415624696783041,-0.21256649815838813,0.08701345718790066,1.1830418256176571,0.3744011432812755,0.3540410818235671,-0.08402071096946884,0.23624790680527497,-0.6465759550718246,0.25587491183497946,0.6568372785257779,0.010018590406559724,0.38493966912314903,0.3605710506876747,-0.48400625210849313,-0.652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k{290}=[0.22431559772023257;0.2895622482118161;-0.20851960250315485];
x_a{290}=[-11.185474099329552,-8.104999714717266,33.65586346153616];
std_x_a{290}=[0.480375671190509,0.6723539007041792,0.5399884232758262];
pred_a{290}=[-11.185474099329552];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.9 to 29.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{291}=[-7.214725051434802,-3.4007712197025404,30.093631059886395];
std_x_f{291}=[0.3108927773412417,0.35765304499792955,0.695654241303049];
pred_f{291}=[-7.214725051434802];
obs{291}=[-7.16035818300523];
sqrt_r{291}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{291}=[1.0973143994975063];
xi{291}=[0.25563248807809025,0.3370780737824699,-0.6052210261841902,0.054119119756514955,-0.18749940629101225,0.16990993903539042,-0.09735827194547575,-0.4733192767595211,0.06370147587711372,0.2867837140400784,-0.20217691510771818,0.018303410543741627,0.14410151297134277,0.827222198946787,-0.03767210149314515,0.23755396277894558,-0.3065798244178044,-0.08424325885500572,-0.15388122629112555,-0.1005622139281197,-0.0015969949994811827,-0.24895187173631061,-0.03509145898635069,-0.03805723016260476,0.522383642885929,0.027425933475622166,0.29623239755669495,0.5071345197924204,0.049823561093445434,0.08410938190198625,0.5001787892053935,0.2533928471354221,-0.005299667137546038,0.14319629825881375,-0.3272908090195834,0.13848358761272728,0.10758140801861504,-0.321213017506186,0.2486827405977925,-0.5799570907768814,-0.6845451679680359,0.1861024742477877,-0.022489544467982903,-0.6006745779447096,-0.15229907353083494,0.20428548427775972,0.1346963660227125,-0.3140122740282889,0.17881418184262543,-0.022357189733988037,0.2209306789492782,-0.040393607718573143,0.08859591155353197,0.4231465945064503,-0.2531738586409604,-0.046608687952825356,0.2396040460687079,0.28938176243059033,0.14218899553705633,0.1721901048284007,0.2595916270894172,-0.1808306047276993,0.2705871902710335,0.03376315059808732,-1.259063481529652,0.27469121648825734,0.297559509310636,0.03403634811911882,-0.29716405713534577,-0.16918591314968445,-0.039874125734245425,0.09517671513534509,0.6342241381827023,-0.0021706909255581053,-0.7982594156628897,-0.16074484759623875,-0.08607397943432371,0.21374880261125373,-0.16633387819728807,-0.13268578883914728,-0.14869926141954348,-0.2221579603487367,0.37943693986515026,0.25233655185199044,-0.11596452879181918,0.06808347496612122,0.026559074481169453,-0.013171968600253159,-0.06836307439100775,-0.1470442364055069,0.11833503229006492,-0.43263994695971064,-0.12682045086828886,0.20246685877873283,0.11733328693376865,-0.5065008348357409,0.07831406656319118,-0.4125830918289948,-0.007013544296269103,0.5266597381159919;-0.303011361367981,-0.55048554662311,-0.31798300645494715,0.07172154517420326,-0.050605249929637,-0.061144382446882695,0.079421103041589,0.5109652844100947,0.1884751147675594,0.5123127391458522,-0.008790359723144459,-0.33271821050886086,-0.36991329679717255,-0.3191926126564999,0.06257152638287167,0.18693228863245848,-0.48879883574072025,-0.14071783497830692,-0.12403541219617642,-0.037091755762787226,0.2936905004188253,-0.29350016943595536,-0.008241181361566152,-0.1324462075822166,0.6982520095843023,-0.7394503553276737,0.1754070361758746,0.16585435033970253,0.32505464489185254,0.3055121571253858,0.38860084452266674,0.1918688778330777,-0.1619775073526517,0.13904103543726398,0.7373290256618339,-0.24824405998721932,-0.06491236760512731,0.22059375215018484,0.8665073501293672,-0.008696295779779373,0.12610020534346367,-0.050915764518139284,0.11568434523492988,-0.7507924729604118,-0.070652958560804,0.3728447615358377,0.04887439703616847,0.0679121822545814,0.33231748544155915,-0.4153999137633768,-0.4095698515294557,0.009036304361726977,-0.27916869575607084,-0.5224400228032868,0.21688317821233705,-0.0012861933114569624,0.16541942648682495,0.25720677398539094,0.08761566970231405,0.4522122377554374,0.11727720699606392,-0.4952850617476483,-0.10041588534332391,0.220264416292828,-0.7098257664860332,-0.5180973289525084,-0.21439582930547108,-0.19992804711794054,0.37182963480525144,0.00425317417252824,-0.03492308670338318,0.001982273692499259,0.17360646681320713,-0.3282292491962968,-0.45507300997514744,-0.01339916206593017,0.2773928746221652,-1.0386964945153485,0.7496147062654979,-0.1833934421368757,-0.036515862306818025,0.18421204102931643,-0.04072947034411101,-0.27129011748774357,0.02693633884933977,-0.33656578391179215,0.11518979564010401,-0.8179410030583432,0.38798555531963963,0.5042386622326314,-0.029694687945626352,0.41618883194866774,0.0492972419919826,-0.1468204281873704,0.2003060712512248,0.546147292431602,-0.4298365291126549,0.42006146946912404,0.6049940569259,-0.08075813520337194;-0.8280473918882834,-1.2521220620827442,0.8698334943738502,-0.031026641508141495,0.3296560751565458,-0.39542985999250746,0.28375835926696524,1.4371960893090545,0.07765429314973105,-0.01374833514294238,0.39351293999678916,-0.385944446088228,-0.6745556148728937,-1.9953627419851578,0.14196013393324947,-0.2610879325932167,0.10347691081412691,0.019319127202631847,0.18571699891836602,0.17401844264412247,0.3181059204590575,0.19260960013237138,0.06817805772558927,-0.045234185708661556,-0.2907470277154225,-0.8290517151266954,-0.3953259849796318,-0.8228343940734746,0.2626482566349786,0.15384399285568406,-0.5629679181154081,-0.30107632117786665,-0.15320692689479998,-0.12860631461592575,1.3609953788618583,-0.5329736970723964,-0.2784168809780567,0.8578812426921516,0.41108728472737965,1.1202421702428147,1.4535290632230051,-0.406748040607642,0.1648615262379245,0.42723770953571005,0.2375146528143759,-0.014072038960605937,-0.2076464656381809,0.6925396984030421,-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k{291}=[0.08868415427891008;0.005770596062330578;-0.1688188283494751];
x_a{291}=[-7.225352920876318,-3.401462765357442,30.113862232879573];
std_x_a{291}=[0.28588537923388074,0.35756993436832163,0.6554642286765887];
pred_a{291}=[-7.225352920876318];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.0 to 29.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{292}=[-4.63666046367427,-3.3565602818091658,24.6215872860769];
std_x_f{292}=[0.2692961148280192,0.5191101094796058,0.38613241823681893];
pred_f{292}=[-4.63666046367427];
obs{292}=[-4.775534764445264];
sqrt_r{292}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{292}=[1.0731239581281995];
xi{292}=[-0.2444432572329136,-0.4368734201055453,-0.20136876737350562,0.04786360775816778,-0.027913310229200405,-0.056196766578212376,0.06916586969459537,0.39961647016650126,0.14140211542881964,0.38025732308345006,-0.0027552700774480243,-0.2523255885962863,-0.2878763077721258,-0.2574785518730405,0.04717654467608057,0.1316269417018443,-0.3573831206119049,-0.11086171292006419,-0.08835071243383208,-0.024910436082717702,0.22825968135588948,-0.20821721099581314,-0.0044222575027186295,-0.09820244964275204,0.519474230648429,-0.5636657024252987,0.12883849864150765,0.11038701851586374,0.2504530918889678,0.22512185452854627,0.2830661393428766,0.13748573916103712,-0.12258358486112098,0.10243602726989298,0.562986452240807,-0.19632489539304387,-0.051443669320562435,0.17847816727573917,0.6450664173787808,0.019198427897260117,0.12472246684023691,-0.04658341253767695,0.0850119372619611,-0.5345295110498398,-0.048034941939808284,0.2719291667706569,0.029778070024433667,0.07219119129861973,0.24376775890044478,-0.3187408167156187,-0.32844607399379644,-0.004162179755126338,-0.21879619563494757,-0.41859104492151733,0.16302912251120638,0.004209759443723371,0.12219146580026763,0.18958620716034869,0.06111053307275416,0.3341105636261341,0.0817401491204679,-0.36581810252317837,-0.0878433894649504,0.1658932605176,-0.43352105944231134,-0.40511764713284304,-0.17510513165226893,-0.15398475072386297,0.2868429735072011,0.00535891083160589,-0.024583907541023464,-4.2987031730845615E-4,0.1133376704408775,-0.24742919254981732,-0.28843509923156674,-0.003810355398407239,0.217927752941951,-0.8144013358821356,0.5580138765624758,-0.13791667888068382,-0.02277870614424149,0.15081783061417298,-0.05326081483580314,-0.21140006239699716,0.026167504045557344,-0.2595416223353304,0.08779281793025628,-0.6300467278271986,0.2895971769296697,0.38331140432733335,-0.02716320978861031,0.31994674962155756,0.04217983632420186,-0.12199410145380085,0.1469639243553651,0.42416470045302734,-0.33382859799941933,0.3255085648448075,0.4533090873930865,-0.07898152002887748;-0.7365223494169073,-0.8539565584785653,0.3116653717055864,0.08094128344784801,0.08733663495497268,-0.2604267928303039,0.07142991973634683,1.0437546361370145,0.14429848191997152,0.4291594591410295,0.19593663983192222,-0.47068133046430427,-0.694239242504088,-1.1371991615386166,0.05167782886221017,0.13401981736434987,-0.41573786426191806,-0.13047812324562003,-8.933116327742852E-4,0.02355435758269886,0.395238708225639,-0.21541319681292048,-0.004171247239271203,-0.12739228185332818,0.4670852739606097,-1.0140195113921364,-0.09260822479946507,-0.1760615938358332,0.3565438760181818,0.3020257610693893,0.06600650168315703,0.010883143384690985,-0.24516737659431564,0.0517764479240963,1.2923784555153932,-0.3635118091464733,-0.1893705508131509,0.4723027412145058,0.8883331821611122,0.48129949154693596,0.6687718562710732,-0.24089831026157427,0.12951390859974277,-0.4006905843725872,-0.04723800689898905,0.28265102724438096,0.002963092460051442,0.4972673732260926,0.2398333997127846,-0.49590951099545943,-0.7272352835279308,0.07284645944969004,-0.32880240828706997,-1.045302758001673,0.4513533847851323,0.017355816642773636,-0.05831747735323978,0.06651936684637505,-0.033437329547744365,0.5168734927242151,-0.0631432789490467,-0.5604303492596738,-0.3726209782137375,0.26113842285025735,0.26084784008935724,-0.9153774393695246,-0.4923238707194373,-0.36219022222713004,0.7479400735841266,0.14571357904906046,-0.011929938980466126,-0.17357901556328015,-0.2603037173964049,-0.35713880351534355,0.17080707014120255,0.12168386699751865,0.18429318784404547,-1.5571772410860247,1.0707178907415753,-0.19409929120398628,0.031183489595423275,0.4082149016444401,-0.24553715808661458,-0.6122367114210601,0.3674856084955125,-0.5069941868321481,0.09889709134090774,-0.9534257770151107,0.5095921548037312,0.7349022329970865,-0.1442698297555265,0.8440634273746852,0.4043367198413246,-0.34101874688880507,0.13544860862348473,1.0227661841006217,-0.6275925365234176,0.8708845515427215,1.1244298679279545,-0.5618726718219555;-0.5315809695329925,-0.21296872808005674,0.9347881397196005,-2.1421300948176736E-4,0.20882849527728808,-0.27019563855551354,-0.04632211348046056,0.5960319130672183,-0.1232083296932096,-0.2622699677144311,0.2868674018423505,-0.08443598328238622,-0.3537583159330282,-1.127608522918237,-0.03800102206679057,-0.11258805703526775,0.2428808879097062,0.07358378105611152,0.22510111579325454,0.09539569233407974,0.06248063368644097,0.20106856362217584,0.0032800116859625916,0.05652362869856731,-0.5625480159941532,-0.12182581080900334,-0.4629267846896781,-0.5498147852543447,-0.04269194123338238,-0.08825765306795219,-0.6048748686564309,-0.3224898513593786,-0.06306096049477006,-0.17296816940324788,0.5862876676377375,-0.06588414442061818,-0.15575894033877802,0.2814982404944004,-0.2031035902294498,0.6593315522345584,0.6912641700435351,-0.2569990647939733,-0.013140354217462402,0.7002731297122899,0.048231271255822605,-0.23959118410583713,-0.06703709578072292,0.566645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k{292}=[0.06814120360871091;0.11505258743312327;0.007880568124863258];
x_a{292}=[-4.648542059438544,-3.3766216875830315,24.620213172913427];
std_x_a{292}=[0.2584870825399149,0.5102462359392583,0.3869351833202451];
pred_a{292}=[-4.648542059438544];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.1 to 29.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{293}=[-4.508694633388715,-5.4008268578980605,20.53530586146983];
std_x_f{293}=[0.45810252253332073,0.6710084152122054,0.3132517446767088];
pred_f{293}=[-4.508694633388715];
obs{293}=[-4.757898857619197];
sqrt_r{293}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{293}=[1.2130544280733728];
xi{293}=[-0.5625426075206521,-0.7345199095220156,0.4317260095987159,0.07021367588638228,0.2111728180875483,-0.3102106186307845,-0.005604419337374544,1.096503640187203,0.03863021258493404,0.38735228463489424,0.16635162535919257,-0.4785270340726866,-0.595870415841949,-0.9872669879036122,0.046834938371473456,0.11125083547331904,-0.27349561691953195,-0.154295842172532,-0.020721732835418116,0.014439426296935842,0.33382421571447374,-0.15913521179838241,-0.33577524657251523,-0.12510318089760109,0.39373616980176696,-0.8295631501394132,-0.06600776612824522,-0.02795984689637354,0.30938957470138195,0.04636429802424935,0.057872190012652425,-0.030544228367231696,-0.0917747556897357,0.056863060851495284,1.2051000539894585,-0.29950095814936084,-0.18399898481383659,0.4096970145077776,0.8786736349799149,0.3983585489478063,0.5176253728867155,-0.19950267767306062,0.13209599765818325,-0.32958546033774194,-0.008341435595064617,0.11902926385508827,0.015923151916284795,0.536179246374263,0.057089384377637664,-0.3398339370421368,-0.582574381852921,0.0735404936651225,-0.24458448658923793,-0.838989416698948,0.6324020248384623,-0.01074926398297027,0.06627189832407687,0.16743857813744878,-0.0247150203362434,-0.15698952499239205,-0.018086801425436505,-0.504513783074465,-0.3550617425110607,0.1983141172496321,0.17595136689401514,-0.7831017677187608,-0.4161614308192334,-0.329015945774219,0.6510556012340754,0.11643894637888863,0.029231152282033435,-0.28135674233212615,-0.21595341881431818,-0.1713506807388505,0.13557507258875567,0.1263862049701414,0.24915314615962636,-1.3739659240462148,0.9714314619918021,-0.23217963900422234,0.025564224806069014,0.36037672549226674,-0.22588623431151333,-0.5261130831384193,0.3333548379009912,-0.4758463722703725,0.020225485729935322,-0.8487581913151487,0.3862214174159204,0.5217097209132815,-0.16612342762544952,0.6792051390266662,0.28763984253583175,-0.34410695588013507,0.1533915156256569,0.8561679925820926,-0.5020283731794661,0.9787961109076058,0.9279268736333286,-0.3881719630740905;-0.8991411916001173,-1.0081506190758986,0.8740805661682733,0.08466904400613551,0.34021988776408385,-0.49457804497565583,-0.02740957238007269,1.6286410486944813,-0.0010025868833656304,0.4183559001121493,0.29695426335698016,-0.6465485296494622,-0.8910143801440347,-1.657834514049755,0.041422286160447186,0.10273004783540429,-0.2659201934420343,-0.17731990708178014,0.04626598130012116,0.053406408804002936,0.4472797341796939,-0.14146040416397465,-0.4391025551310985,-0.15479444598805525,0.330431448301189,-1.0993568042824107,-0.24651946869215458,-0.22503363917176689,0.37619265498422916,0.019586826211984487,-0.12191530886933055,-0.15774417489191173,-0.1408799678199264,0.009001247351469566,1.768788437850743,-0.4111882985589439,-0.2950067770556384,0.6238856938548913,1.093110655256896,0.7326301294749102,0.894174310334674,-0.3463077054563808,0.16054220713277978,-0.1754393694599523,0.003033704807435811,0.0683967742722631,-0.008548544661435287,0.8808751578661473,-0.011623299863795289,-0.424186469762585,-0.844085727949107,0.12807053711147187,-0.30558888122981553,-1.2629933056508635,0.911405831894565,-0.012272655501800678,-0.04391183373339391,0.0916362352230724,-0.09804813603294438,-0.22793337429510263,-0.12661249898818117,-0.6194494026295843,-0.5849781264053853,0.24660004472143893,0.7032229218640431,-1.1348384599799965,-0.6483823805846871,-0.48609292397665005,0.9806492987924731,0.21580971800613113,0.052178857522596545,-0.4550947274225967,-0.5131610614462172,-0.191374789498318,0.49004299056849376,0.22514441397500562,0.23479696023746044,-1.8351119523859962,1.3551066715157623,-0.28697477357376133,0.061396630360987636,0.548368015059471,-0.3781591047689288,-0.815324492834665,0.5967415225066617,-0.6562053759113144,-0.0013641208192174403,-1.0330434320462807,0.5219396413316781,0.7322137317827933,-0.2672042394039815,1.0272489238394087,0.538241726803669,-0.5204636496037658,0.15065378055722256,1.2805622969666244,-0.6877087975572458,1.454402724524579,1.3984130963131287,-0.7351159902188202;0.05440824713853232,0.44616425024583606,0.36391315987915007,-0.07610129226295825,-0.014900264743602065,0.025357269031218266,-0.054338113739550664,-0.3200097202018952,-0.14586942763684974,-0.5086052886014052,0.07409547483457857,0.31409279387330713,0.2118708769326325,-0.00981199810762945,-0.07994760561756209,-0.1886136376129457,0.3988308990620908,0.15425302709073918,0.16594105188291408,0.04242386642428997,-0.23181559148590125,0.26136925350374796,0.23927058994785355,0.12326603176103035,-0.736841558521931,0.6114811068840709,-0.31705400914816195,-0.39557899940865227,-0.28220376345811715,-0.13466635863080612,-0.5265954213325159,-0.22916762730385898,0.01456911055148069,-0.19071914930183453,-0.3959608168591231,0.1750753757822956,0.010801215668827524,-0.11171020654221309,-0.7816416033989775,0.1760484256021435,0.10718377533111934,-0.04634345743543378,-0.12640942979084002,0.7777109681547145,0.02552149597112674,-0.2967222659711908,-0.0786472634978459,0.019319189116387747,-0.23769132068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k{293}=[0.17563468146417416;0.25421514191252564;-0.07446977273107921];
x_a{293}=[-4.569330125743988,-5.488591188755325,20.56101554077402];
std_x_a{293}=[0.37832724313600125,0.5510596410274274,0.3010581785386549];
pred_a{293}=[-4.569330125743988];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.2 to 29.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{294}=[-6.439840057329455,-9.255214037597165,19.279501180698027];
std_x_f{294}=[0.5361556559326078,0.6712833834679869,0.7198403956952899];
pred_f{294}=[-6.439840057329455];
obs{294}=[-6.712183549088585];
sqrt_r{294}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{294}=[1.297716775900159];
xi{294}=[-1.0075390625935006,-0.6946971315899759,0.7260890333162546,0.025669781016990356,0.2667551461047468,-0.6556415799789628,-0.06071455703757778,1.2792366953171639,-0.11567037022467641,0.1969104428864119,0.26350034346936013,-0.45591811892458356,-0.7245943932174219,-1.2906182415602414,0.5764213173276005,0.055948228551140566,-0.2256171575748649,0.11288142328625916,0.3181446653954412,0.06941858210816498,0.7043125296952946,-0.06850392493568247,-0.3311936663326236,-0.1149534666689247,0.538242938836567,-0.8240674991495611,-0.14031254938228166,-0.4286471003249064,0.5335804590384647,0.247739024478153,0.11421873155355833,-0.151984080098587,0.15211216944426553,-0.06058382392047079,0.9008167184328713,-0.32521752270881255,-0.24439664197768973,0.4798053177279229,0.9575135431869297,0.6278014302835091,0.17798501550566392,-0.2065627547532083,0.05081207563731205,-0.0013962178482227472,0.022022551553831704,-0.14967359332313634,-0.10427228970038271,0.7112155709083314,-0.0187287337255988,-0.4108749766486941,-0.6519622530010256,0.11261589989462006,-8.632853669698903E-5,-1.0550249057849026,0.8224018133681037,-0.5212118806439578,-0.36231882232481016,-0.10172203840739691,-0.07916888126058019,-0.1628177918522855,-0.09642033684073059,-0.7685824236600682,-0.3097873258871324,0.17200153063360002,0.5887594335264064,-0.864259162894828,-0.251635410826764,-0.24851586459742947,0.7371084876022582,0.2054231667507409,-0.3024217436786705,-0.4923855594529165,-0.5599350568611792,-0.09359677106299191,0.1272072164790412,0.13391824584803302,0.5151065702961715,-0.7737497792351347,1.1184933914923567,-0.1855297234010207,0.06632068420029302,0.5289006643342313,-0.30282674289713807,-0.7861851716925647,0.43007183089113177,-0.796969004498667,-0.10860962405110186,-1.0636502067440086,0.6569784516448438,0.3192881174218112,-0.23153956892957872,0.8027779481695401,0.3956252442314989,-0.44654813640991975,-0.07243041410451667,1.0842694205337589,-0.4134556046397062,1.2067359568347582,1.1232172737825463,-0.3406490946195406;-1.2574791900839841,-0.7663785101363452,1.073280515266804,-0.004170309703471986,0.33499516633106907,-0.8277544874706688,-0.11195314709012827,1.663277345785282,-0.2081425733522746,0.10246182166219597,0.3579886121156193,-0.5107378380664791,-0.8870157747501146,-1.6733630927753023,0.6824560879484771,-0.0030843009399941224,-0.1800925420057009,0.15024718592280983,0.4250301149203146,0.08758605197554203,0.8478361458189152,-0.024067856270377774,-0.3708035378218355,-0.13143267621871502,0.4611015192700414,-0.86547037801569,-0.3141609789023114,-0.6956266238342756,0.5890302854456273,0.2436592289753161,-0.05591857411337031,-0.2898585004901779,0.16310515103952206,-0.14915566856669926,1.1571887066804187,-0.38349834271691385,-0.3387860453967537,0.6012431455389589,1.0677755007776764,0.8822667249696412,0.32087007478553,-0.31252512479009376,0.019590337947649417,0.23218269763946253,0.016682766164528573,-0.289074469928881,-0.17707966965149957,0.95522764575359,-0.12083945688442022,-0.44282930317210045,-0.7820563694297391,0.13121605088935517,0.02107963097754606,-1.2630705941377531,1.019640520269089,-0.6288520758764911,-0.5726961890868747,-0.26581833090105356,-0.18022841903272457,-0.21734510418088426,-0.21834714452849902,-0.8179242553144075,-0.4447812401664226,0.16355057590707034,1.054691626841139,-1.0119844553581228,-0.3573328499386861,-0.32153854269034277,0.9429068252210566,0.2635424437812173,-0.3699074322581666,-0.6450026273381706,-0.8615529788347551,-0.08803817325926566,0.3720360676440233,0.18898427193311385,0.5233131869536667,-0.752591155401527,1.3793619267190023,-0.2013202973145365,0.08265413394427945,0.6652062091454809,-0.4204589517474009,-0.9759382909472709,0.6038237887619164,-0.9101376643660064,-0.17270490105545022,-1.0404348247609203,0.7799028050889962,0.36259102910519836,-0.31840461976710976,1.0413446945288811,0.5621130363648703,-0.569380729435979,-0.17729596083379917,1.3993445362777752,-0.468707416166394,1.558584373415945,1.4640237847983748,-0.5698437840257711;1.2590453839542946,1.0724516965569677,-0.46994592834706594,-0.10618822065551825,-0.3165623710745926,0.7993818089702991,0.00232341461486385,-1.4671677382505308,0.015221598769464606,-0.590512609259946,-0.2532161185659696,0.7063554741297331,0.9623750349708615,1.4824264451364613,-0.8247698444422511,-0.22633913940809336,0.5312749752444859,-0.09544262523793634,-0.30091966299743333,-0.07840357827210909,-1.008754649343775,0.23060318555008052,0.5201013997726349,0.185384617829353,-1.220672590684316,1.3780235930555769,-0.14590133827864804,0.20465878979093688,-0.8529713585277676,-0.4565244454954751,-0.6234284614732033,-0.04217003478471426,-0.25063329202560425,-0.09678069054570315,-1.0595751077440063,0.4690105958347317,0.251492639666548,-0.5963771777673976,-1.5843844696168432,-0.5336239655393555,0.023388040405343702,0.1335574577753853,-0.1598994367844213,0.5362109529690819,-0.0338711503048259,-0.04044665199400299,0.05634029659507078,-0.720123271845015,-0.19030253742509728,0.6681648790032249,0.8954484768745417,-0.1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k{294}=[0.22941583358483478;0.284439821361579;-0.29303531152831397];
x_a{294}=[-6.581393157772496,-9.43071778541633,19.460308478250067];
std_x_a{294}=[0.46410089153421447,0.5880943741613401,0.6196923311553422];
pred_a{294}=[-6.581393157772496];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.3 to 29.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{295}=[-10.09384776352489,-13.839252610506364,23.72488373263146];
std_x_f{295}=[0.4276333676919964,0.2420620604726043,1.2207951067440859];
pred_f{295}=[-10.09384776352489];
obs{295}=[-10.226372060031514];
sqrt_r{295}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{295}=[1.1868434393122675];
xi{295}=[-0.6271690941988943,-0.22668929544259697,0.771838351828821,0.0291573522904347,0.30302958266169533,-0.59345283558444,-0.050816148548310736,1.0850113371024577,-0.08782541936893118,0.01844236144381739,0.4000848273726856,-0.19981611034928726,-0.31411129244635916,-0.9945771795132501,0.35750412383838004,0.09422290301780123,0.026867215983685355,0.28232664442155553,0.025829163160366875,-0.21563768280216067,0.5636630441658923,0.7004418450000749,-0.3913831082164094,-0.2032623138184526,0.2006672444809432,-0.27457930189774515,-0.2516903361685827,-0.6531997222149855,0.4479419817215078,0.5432259430704907,-0.19597543866647804,-0.16311146082652428,0.24407017775693696,-0.12199739610286642,0.7617021297401738,-0.1499572634774271,-0.4017413800676408,0.3146864699619716,-0.35762213830262546,0.6406013566635771,0.24512257206222188,0.06412930804208195,0.042193021246140106,0.3181206274208783,-0.04730583426450963,-0.5803290424276248,-0.08549377337227959,0.613932132236684,-0.18473645373486391,-0.19251609159016247,-0.33631747806062506,0.07094739271536277,0.1038930801275999,-0.4831463201368553,0.20955555649923063,-0.17663415847103536,-0.3154636114293954,-0.1453172451999265,-0.24687767050233056,-0.08081379304032588,-0.03872502649289622,-0.4456588334585039,-0.2986671461540844,0.300146934784836,0.8268417651996725,-0.5537073740384564,-0.8859303962114122,-0.12636685429808203,0.5610369026193194,0.1702299580765363,-0.22861687887310467,-0.2672618595583831,-0.6190508450344225,-0.32511166271022773,0.32293365316564326,0.20979479075295515,0.236320276385813,-0.4469858066970698,0.824724844759567,-0.03747868366129836,-0.14910851501891642,0.4302018949576176,-0.6967323626368938,-0.524144689645599,0.4596888839585258,-0.3833523925817204,-0.39766984695062035,-0.3163330317051205,-0.10095073023273393,0.30933682927377504,-0.6538129102245627,0.8262534452159347,0.2405037045558025,-0.1322426350624113,-0.07918527174800438,0.9533483486013452,-0.18193930690498128,0.3940782089733865,0.8982632180391192,-0.20431195520981937;-0.07530558767899365,0.10660247562700853,0.5554817055895889,-0.09832002473360468,0.05944548979005937,-0.09409019129397755,-0.12302161321737515,0.5503504165518756,-0.1752358161308436,-0.3176676288613276,0.1393926896830049,0.0347484541079055,-0.04712126666030869,-0.10060783479696056,-0.009481733358965627,-0.156668389271724,0.16715285943197955,0.060943812986664625,0.041087809983713086,-0.06708811135287007,0.06955332029238193,0.31055491571446403,0.013011321213120652,-0.038526412684833033,-0.40125601798185784,0.23597092831849942,-0.36641452144691833,-0.39206251432964656,-0.0417086562732365,0.02931492043726358,-0.4866798970699424,-0.2745690907238849,-0.02656711043436566,-0.21348007535552327,0.3055881000549032,-0.021278581211472414,-0.13913977229196028,0.051734682564408274,-0.38274896154483073,0.36372222925666087,0.21317288451790262,-0.13897611746057237,-0.11302919792637312,0.4729378733163063,-0.06473849560051903,-0.29171585376428766,-0.133863204926433,0.2993866995389123,-0.26059559663628384,0.05710764763271392,-0.019537414801881425,-0.03999899265151008,0.034718215536079455,0.016444058435460818,-0.004899102174745096,-0.043444275850450964,-0.340524734855153,-0.35423395087334875,-0.23517420632206232,-0.085313577991462,-0.2438932124921891,0.22078153770862663,-0.19208490100350772,-0.05392141173991227,0.8399538568109293,0.06630902236105207,-0.06773403573121506,-0.08295649739683597,0.19540290400093951,0.02820943664438147,-0.062180075770276844,-0.15367746213623157,-0.4229529179961595,-0.01286640291803387,0.4543235925057889,0.03818459061339041,-0.2074057411773289,0.36721594607725017,0.24265719672767894,0.0050171914834376,-0.06077612153922196,0.1013541034972203,-0.1406059851169541,-0.0703363102423733,0.22414628593422314,0.07746620097591794,-0.16288513900445345,0.474536428380123,-0.1579349331853237,-0.018544291941402946,-0.11050164770922422,0.3442713425294688,0.1567404505672556,-0.08680891074765995,-0.21742645247890025,0.42821073812058863,0.017567728416432615,0.1597209486462603,0.434092539625599,-0.3640085713398715;1.9139586499768448,0.9377829281138901,-1.6482931964241416,-0.23421865619776483,-0.8962994140505884,1.7877177550489343,0.0013057703920296149,-2.839976039945853,0.033049520213282335,-0.5648320915158322,-1.0952133319773765,0.7428542587287552,0.9869620809629396,2.972920788661419,-1.2104098491989035,-0.5463649595711004,0.2048116164213809,-0.8122665368886786,0.028186907728500188,0.6274385959309292,-1.7939926540681874,-1.8469722031024283,1.3034030858533612,0.6242043712727217,-1.3394693667020796,1.287531543361819,0.27236252539288586,1.5082807762918797,-1.566278467781114,-1.7934412874896353,-0.10504733049212689,0.11016575221686509,-0.8472668802533754,0.07959833671516492,-2.0843217302621575,0.48545568658795446,1.105502828221848,-0.9461662673084525,0.582341198781787,-1.542028414257178,-0.42683384860703555,-0.4193171836267382,-0.29783144406270523,-0.23375537796855284,0.09037915740617919,1.444804384360058,0.09513158543232336,-1.5536208940324663,0.20760411622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k{295}=[0.15742888499306737;0.05309424889828063;-0.43626108055071955];
x_a{295}=[-10.092630605797611,-13.838842113567866,23.721510790332303];
std_x_a{295}=[0.39339462578827344,0.23841103011347595,1.1221468076150054];
pred_a{295}=[-10.092630605797611];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.4 to 29.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{296}=[-12.369890335669504,-12.203780583174122,32.22042865584936];
std_x_f{296}=[0.2441065094899629,0.9271939899205731,0.5795815211180323];
pred_f{296}=[-12.369890335669504];
obs{296}=[-12.329092768246571];
sqrt_r{296}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{296}=[1.060704301343323];
xi{296}=[0.33243799937285345,0.2674956034823719,0.003459811088520226,-0.1015488287665054,-0.1466472659967355,0.4451219355710858,-0.07123197164023232,-0.24889012191209048,-0.13618595304185277,-0.39576142820836147,-0.16047462424133485,0.11619465232548976,0.14018322400919203,0.5767923954675034,-0.2610986093475418,-0.22166413759130954,0.16217277986528522,-0.06152487223008585,0.042744412251403574,0.1230067292618422,-0.3297156054581514,-0.17257963001670262,0.2883814147862296,0.12411567912083754,-0.514167376261236,0.4284170825223441,-0.13154037593237788,0.11390797269984532,-0.2936599853250321,-0.30842855901952326,-0.29311839794303474,-0.1431944913483978,-0.20644117164623488,-0.08353078689727056,-0.24840965510315982,0.1316766573940491,0.15978935050150334,-0.13867563508440384,-0.08357057604191453,-0.07775457780222261,0.19680693528448678,-0.16141214141263127,-0.1084296500722921,0.25406971955527347,-0.027735388310683007,0.20442561720737729,-0.05112600723067473,-0.12715273032496732,-0.12197081761190987,0.2675720321381707,0.2647954620910493,-0.0485209688196111,-0.02318965164155884,0.22456778530957422,-0.11022928526507947,0.14834149662489438,-0.09429408261583383,-0.23103087481237417,-0.024262256395836346,0.010086248081346838,-0.16842960941322183,0.5080871747039257,-0.17231589610723042,-0.17781857104558085,0.2288754990672306,0.40172035651218785,0.5732769897820127,0.2069985164310264,-0.1235850740422304,-0.0961982167449662,0.10414776237624324,-0.051706423342226415,0.007334966083663019,0.28010517781667055,0.2068691339093096,-0.0630803729732996,-0.3549081481203782,0.5810054112129759,-0.48327562910814237,0.008674167805850175,0.05984714968296778,-0.3377587125187098,0.3497809012791304,0.2581856764765309,-0.27701753181400335,0.33487739665162763,0.17014781969985826,0.4127573738615613,-0.05251627610134868,-0.2939740453726536,0.2264892084675587,-0.24834387157906157,-0.010127041469385034,0.02744428331749127,-0.3746771368153681,-0.2779472234641922,0.1809614858237083,-0.12113383354160234,-0.3386546602724607,-0.17151268175852863;1.2507449217819158,0.7521615512407358,-1.045181842414948,-0.1438486217163959,-0.5866122842879768,1.8585262882987372,-0.003509936354198828,-1.902276699288734,-0.18340447749299926,-0.8946777412245961,-0.8257539534440053,0.25156484341856533,0.5197027203800904,2.1935893367580555,-0.8691035092437396,-0.46258689696614574,0.30350992469083415,-0.1827842002673563,0.09767003041004862,0.6021026866884132,-1.2435401202849636,-1.1373892401674794,1.0013073931442005,0.5399330735008405,-0.9803640125202726,1.0678765440434752,0.28921809122394926,1.1261054585306844,-0.7912725739142541,-1.0097603293893993,-0.08427656816755658,0.011132167976514395,-0.712451606367269,0.16039444814270354,-1.4560374866402839,0.5567012322377671,0.8318005625592644,-0.5202810035471082,0.4580811799158777,-0.925790206951719,0.539714057009169,-0.2792583168508589,-0.12732781305955854,0.04280257039304125,0.02679349640860451,1.3222293383939938,0.0957393518523233,-0.9781639672994817,0.07875346679007933,0.9294145996314249,1.0269502622725195,-0.02360633662634548,-0.12359828654996186,0.590404959811341,-0.2993236815977891,0.6914703851244166,0.3076413474900317,-0.1524422272232222,0.37669909265454216,0.23381750397828682,-0.08156515670930276,1.37244034945269,-0.5733716941317208,-0.3556949742859796,-0.8367515040688112,1.2430074890678355,2.1790225296215766,1.157018263301472,-0.6276921964214548,-0.38697469206213597,0.4839598439335049,-0.040598145150529064,0.7685171860117261,1.071706679055744,-0.15664691170843525,-0.19886181687554227,-0.7950540995001596,1.281591954861888,-2.38514330537701,-0.03849567349018024,0.35320234246267646,-1.6141709084688358,1.489124291007819,0.9792504733558971,-1.7561068901754897,1.0271033875220876,0.9483818442727934,0.17320371363864773,0.14708545349773416,-1.0705804275865063,0.8242452024245939,-1.4823576371073237,-0.3127407890704301,0.27579321053126904,-1.2802504251881803,-1.7904989982259831,0.6623418552530662,-0.6832833470754345,-2.2792777714654697,0.11919234797819378;0.5257773665640286,0.16048313036365158,-1.1521226962986013,0.10630160657330379,-0.2642171372687976,0.8866375489325762,0.1864657343173235,-1.5023280597986002,0.14557534194055677,0.022202743716846385,-0.49457909945350664,-0.00214197030163632,0.22147430910363397,0.9014758736953397,-0.28872350900697086,0.05628879559628075,-0.06397191624319731,-0.03945953813494185,0.01027862022810666,0.3522403388561486,-0.5310027606360741,-0.8007731563533618,0.36651372979164165,0.2750254367233964,0.22621767843116203,0.11086601250071482,0.6269207181745102,0.9122433869388189,-0.1260859238619645,-0.325530351554967,0.6430026776140281,0.37799763132147035,-0.23316307638711464,0.38829819020583756,-0.9624238998057812,0.28903422459949013,0.4944547355727522,-0.19524392483254616,0.684016547208735,-0.8058638341136799,0.11421549196712988,0.11167369349355738,0.14088948288284797,-0.566167195189621,0.10301999513394833,0.9005305974857123,0.2327210557748174,-0.7352328301464688,0.37597815936495493,0.35561402080899995,0.4530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k{296}=[0.057230183064634;0.18671803402218307;0.06038345126958394];
x_a{296}=[-12.368674973961484,-12.199815368726174,32.22171098154783];
std_x_a{296}=[0.24893655380254284,0.9306349329946509,0.5761251332016507];
pred_a{296}=[-12.368674973961484];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.5 to 29.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{297}=[-9.539127927511142,-5.019916538694466,33.10990680471613];
std_x_f{297}=[0.5412208319353603,0.4576292389090154,0.7296474739937674];
pred_f{297}=[-9.539127927511142];
obs{297}=[-9.367963807320303];
sqrt_r{297}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{297}=[1.2974168955509866];
xi{297}=[0.6672284139544189,0.23158003098560087,-0.7616711695508815,0.04142753644449826,-0.29209364614054323,1.025858913141068,0.12386949463577679,-1.2018670559630795,0.03510166628918299,-0.35960987723379034,-0.47966096195007957,0.17295114954540658,0.37029833175478366,1.4398702679650928,-0.4279940039922465,-0.20259179451835685,0.0970215894273263,-0.038116845419869705,-0.01629146862663866,0.3710407941758387,-0.7897047826566386,-0.6091936383374179,0.23527195720707006,0.19161109867159354,-0.6636574678215528,0.47665613060975964,0.23559521162416353,0.7415740703683422,-0.23556461238342763,-0.4950126718347345,0.08707260140719697,-1.879888157372278E-4,-0.34947836404172783,0.180804116802042,-0.8434933403930565,0.3684464074283049,0.5389690347980771,-0.26028841171370587,0.37871192627625483,-0.6399319958892793,0.6388746515793446,-0.08643773567416169,-0.03433239734329696,-0.13695129083808766,0.3354320288376744,0.7767983761600696,0.06900904166176502,-0.5434708077014001,0.1347850885799513,0.4687304797687517,0.5475580387064252,-0.02180775456049666,-0.35355278399249457,0.380524076660512,-0.14137749079187323,0.2983451820259635,0.28271643215078157,0.04407212486702683,0.35874230984385846,0.17888067052274081,0.014085882637703051,0.6458055035079546,-0.27788411304093863,0.008956903344479628,-0.7405763387667434,0.6178889935333594,1.2049492153950219,0.7047843468433772,-0.5074155132517699,-0.22240442751882838,0.38227480393366875,-0.24574612267701923,0.4984277619419508,0.5675523191909839,-0.2892007686554532,-0.09689211450055168,-0.30851095196538125,0.4701306765448905,-1.3593709156680465,0.01047403538021463,0.2394538221315443,-0.919360168599221,0.6323385124795635,0.5244176175330466,-1.087932002948893,0.7877457173224673,0.389987378878196,-0.1422419018591814,0.210364132214508,-0.7532545465138529,0.4190608143396499,-0.8595520332529087,-0.21650201082208476,0.15699427294505952,-0.5881186360471791,-1.168546618226193,0.36593203607189295,-0.3776177962742455,-1.3183997123690823,0.08681306009591516;0.4063528857069221,0.024740741506794173,-0.9555500208021561,0.1054087536212398,-0.20645434392422324,0.7401910676328596,0.17139678570141914,-1.1261932774126642,0.14553852679646084,0.07974147668813991,-0.3927939992486831,-0.014036540902506722,0.19294259551803172,0.9600104975474926,-0.20118495376648848,0.05095184541697151,-0.10387541236434217,-0.02829683991881904,-0.05234552809625104,0.26763838381975,-0.40599222126022205,-0.6015484793698693,0.11709283061529341,0.14129516171460477,0.18310846467277653,0.03818209935806305,0.4883606718325524,0.7576980920538796,-0.02749216583981884,-0.21564083982078586,0.526313003946429,0.26140171719206595,-0.18301455788406606,0.31169404694179725,-0.7203971648293663,0.2289749668217862,0.4109870354661105,-0.1555480751657159,0.5595711870113096,-0.6712843557573871,0.2573004218186723,0.0899673942931809,0.09770582481677259,-0.5281229511400616,0.20327268632156237,0.7175073840060833,0.16088137528064284,-0.5735115552244459,0.29900401243435315,0.2453293861753778,0.33645991951715537,0.04081078747358102,-0.1816928595901235,0.08260452741027091,-0.04388914894174967,0.23168681168195882,0.45243938844919196,0.34157429301275766,0.3995383300914064,0.1742615955184723,0.26473485562175547,0.1584511913570612,-0.14071456040001173,0.11318658393930914,-1.270582124270855,0.2550161034388987,0.793895934431009,0.5967364017712464,-0.35896558391907174,-0.1565139714223731,0.24651160338540468,-0.047817090556818265,0.6254760254299789,0.3504567745821614,-0.6245832059674408,-0.052386696252661125,0.06809992337160597,-0.11531162630598857,-0.9654673009539909,-0.05365556444603392,0.17559846831291903,-0.6604843649170977,0.4710639899904443,0.3109321439119581,-0.926317290404663,0.35620019372869294,0.379034382035921,-0.7568000303121467,0.2607071847288225,-0.3580081166424689,0.22487659067177912,-0.7512693030384847,-0.27578998183766146,0.15420940157338858,-0.2756371520716403,-0.9734917999927406,0.1862685648660385,-0.34570281816692194,-1.198269526190698,0.40524010629717644;-0.9472859841923551,-0.44373385712142266,0.6487720517925197,0.014166574080427097,0.3855639880034758,-1.333251105415144,-0.09296682031183678,1.3890636858292638,0.056488294168246966,0.765755749539359,0.5850493282812792,-0.3545659380405226,-0.5561589808702436,-1.9338831718911038,0.6654863301315856,0.43969364533089106,-0.2963667943298134,0.04099483002396198,-0.02206461775117674,-0.48918086410460404,1.1989544966162242,0.6532030266196642,-0.368643828120895,-0.2605411660702046,1.4547783248136739,-0.9206446560316977,-0.02879703006544787,-0.7594994346693866,0.44778647351009226,0.7730019505122812,0.29754210586961705,0.2264532445590035,0.5112105891095098,-0.06825370776249429,1.028944715759195,-0.5235433976374679,-0.688264965281931,0.37142498654864653,-0.24295663335734474,0.6623971135814415,-1.0277221682992135,0.24788584168929617,0.14297890795847223,-0.22615763775486641,-0.47770931498410363,-0.8570239249195382,-0.011135345301056532,0.5572259642626278,0.004188052226673733,-0.712615357859768,-0.777897057435041,0.072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k{297}=[0.22923772348800783;0.17105736498123536;-0.298579215294563];
x_a{297}=[-9.491687674204316,-4.984516585313174,33.04811647897828];
std_x_a{297}=[0.48569133108078055,0.4173786909818952,0.6628924927468054];
pred_a{297}=[-9.491687674204316];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.6 to 29.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{298}=[-5.51266431576134,-2.6626981141547725,27.501109614935828];
std_x_f{298}=[0.21665988317727827,0.3273367618452789,0.6071487148072292];
pred_f{298}=[-5.51266431576134];
obs{298}=[-5.471843735701559];
sqrt_r{298}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{298}=[1.0470493845492557];
xi{298}=[0.10334446049746226,-0.20360614643938035,-0.17914360863458345,0.030074527325283817,-0.049722141217380944,0.29936656545794094,0.1836191908234719,-0.2964643740085968,0.14053262799956467,0.11184501858057505,-0.20307410448273444,-0.07193509097440476,0.15550166728173043,0.3520589301843451,0.018331704914491098,0.06531067065849072,-0.10275242457910316,-0.11271048118601446,-0.06675391811014819,0.2900268412277569,-0.06669025277816143,-0.2546660151809226,-0.03928064019716615,-0.028579311159600884,0.31312202586628857,-0.12892818204040424,0.18929227479630306,0.2365495081969229,0.03728164773277598,-0.009905125290186056,0.314060757400461,0.21674234323334218,-0.04957658007593935,0.1610768895063579,-0.34073773279332986,0.1030779971271123,0.1994213512221208,0.008241517752658467,0.2773299980821644,-0.31226773594096713,-0.09788796770115837,0.071306104777765,0.14059928159221347,-0.5478126420511309,-0.018618591715039656,0.39527190926638944,0.08126297659551174,-0.3530093763837865,0.15319364259532087,0.08046569233181788,0.07290332052828852,-0.21978056318942762,-0.09989220546380206,-0.08781333082839282,-0.00821807143348341,0.051670230546338125,0.23248973793265115,0.23349159563974453,0.18580870327525378,0.07954121948446424,0.1699085628505932,-0.16550724185574595,-0.04750921718891199,0.039115948458751326,-0.7458222646065069,0.05562110679375998,0.24986657167260518,0.18930111984968168,0.07516207368458705,0.0012261387796650425,0.017730861257980735,-0.019148129350996967,0.6821012105892965,-4.2041504999712487E-4,-0.3684613654851825,-0.07171634364812807,0.08461565845854402,0.0433921116960434,-0.2612276036815935,-0.08697728727019616,0.037648808346883555,-0.1376229978346153,0.27003317826966544,-0.009599995963710306,-0.3413249247743746,0.09978497153427934,0.21256570674274045,-0.5219151365944867,-0.04894693059590427,-0.05513514079655302,0.03605269373552478,-0.2832732559485578,-0.050332872906397874,-0.04790514553894187,-0.023114177868178487,-0.30011769886543416,-0.0600342556375546,-0.10703630342417103,-0.37682914652999777,0.23146481211780667;-0.34400352719394256,-0.05207529407924394,-0.5981337415322141,0.08952305427588714,0.059712957929478616,-0.3933751024163379,-0.11838767604019473,-0.017710734766886116,0.015227991883681291,0.5480128024323174,0.2205027255711789,-0.23897265140244883,-0.38711736350615267,-0.5766648501499403,0.1879393937542293,0.3089491553879875,-0.2773287959491939,0.14078248192789733,-0.02677790521513046,-0.38043931333546377,0.5122511448563247,0.05179132914448248,-0.11414555857107178,0.006527237376004802,0.9679177626920128,-0.5354886648802877,0.36049200379127466,0.09914190252957233,0.24477932793537338,0.3179939660986024,0.4876230767899856,0.2023392616555335,0.21992134911349215,0.11763188909803057,0.41986269005387955,-0.26088457877893534,-0.26466542858302056,0.04053812150779157,0.17762397737576485,0.06627508788048031,-0.3579126638737722,0.18851226383512376,0.017611771062004955,-0.04276423723356215,-0.10427789115522845,-0.18175022680315367,0.06187059778830939,0.22613937977477994,0.1700811560320865,-0.35973941827255773,-0.2664905580823862,0.5037258753266394,0.32095751407305695,-0.33924423463390774,0.11409097280513825,-0.09512675424156525,0.1610403377806966,0.30274029750170595,-0.013993403833945983,-0.06130863595751368,0.2634563135436294,-0.4957852957878597,0.18949518631866935,0.1434005379090384,-0.35997325902253063,-0.5185875753991933,-0.49300249792670536,-0.11058709419436452,-0.09685344788132566,-0.015464792474601197,-0.14804082493302761,0.29344885530925247,-0.19685249162383034,-0.1965669921246498,-0.37230647299751984,0.11701168354529612,0.4857107314338309,-0.9907623386496343,0.6328769015572733,-0.036284438051692014,-0.0917284769727722,0.2768661945245263,-0.3459278755820727,-0.19643038430300397,0.38047810497183576,-0.6042513424386593,-0.126116272182331,-0.6869822988946739,0.2780002222341236,0.5526617557807518,-0.26959707142442824,0.23889363549247733,-0.20874516772204732,0.11851341011492966,0.36637076972106986,0.3050667713737889,-0.13018810383833213,-0.001872025784364073,0.1858731295351692,0.34343069029129936;-0.625096740378023,0.37381724249365433,-0.3514925643779847,0.05032893479080158,0.17592087748609941,-1.1194116869106026,-0.5194853444592269,0.6047693507201473,-0.264365585290701,0.4317322287578307,0.6782796279419685,-0.12564430447730857,-0.800405435731097,-1.4722962551486987,0.19042048437975367,0.24684985115346336,-0.11789693220963571,0.4028537935076457,0.11441530752555096,-1.0999279312036379,0.7481613696312728,0.5867305040167246,-0.0534924379664794,0.07097490024609598,0.5268591951870576,-0.38202300203726836,0.061868587989163615,-0.3493778182306606,0.2369814134496977,0.40656154171918857,-0.032289847094833846,-0.19513413277412894,0.3795706263341998,-0.17921013371504557,1.1778565205714209,-0.525820578865094,-0.7351724611431614,0.03741363374095741,-0.3466177940370052,0.7294675352166564,-0.2161788287484967,0.09643322138579435,-0.2701764810358007,1.055479486987064,-0.0717109887734324,-1.0472474959933713,-0.0890650740352114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k{298}=[0.044935210548363885;-0.001752438714881395;-0.09525036950527027];
x_a{298}=[-5.5157983906734795,-2.6625758876392087,27.50775299748142];
std_x_a{298}=[0.2153616869492777,0.3270167427251235,0.5931618637124502];
pred_a{298}=[-5.5157983906734795];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.7 to 29.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{299}=[-4.020206481212148,-3.757931544317846,22.284254927848966];
std_x_f{299}=[0.2584769214567984,0.48318591225196494,0.35073061302993513];
pred_f{299}=[-4.020206481212148];
obs{299}=[-4.0709139583421114];
sqrt_r{299}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{299}=[1.0675070429707259];
xi{299}=[-0.26263221517788615,-0.057955640246452056,-0.4880399837904381,0.07394146726069195,0.043756689902907375,-0.2886300139615381,-0.07623955648728131,-0.03810419022981648,0.028559505783470662,0.43414731258728345,0.1545848754018504,-0.19579274969071836,-0.29660851396180377,-0.4320982240174924,0.1498433144055129,0.24697808491279227,-0.2291058282180538,0.10091526793396088,-0.03418246849576079,-0.28108634076434313,0.39387882083695347,0.01994940840506043,-0.09619608796367807,0.0020221423038462305,0.7865826515564169,-0.4411048038441683,0.303879767112583,0.10748162677940609,0.19905928945537044,0.25241579916098367,0.4133469715484961,0.18212757443828664,0.17902811727984824,0.10997676786150068,0.2950546769853717,-0.20097672328541893,-0.18847487104757032,0.031067030347218694,0.1684495054198787,0.03220107680297346,-0.29574875190983096,0.15581474896537895,0.02814081369462018,-0.07616300769216622,-0.07978759774325717,-0.1023842333769629,0.05005848273415392,0.1461342248616777,0.1471096529816931,-0.2809248079816866,-0.20298926769885473,0.3734255150821366,0.2410796400413142,-0.28509604048982684,0.08418141210050045,-0.067768996048164,0.15258460443727673,0.2635261413781209,0.00896192332841661,-0.04200848968612014,0.22368008962136354,-0.40334707004560855,0.14429495399825498,0.11800653572679742,-0.3296031285389942,-0.4043499180580534,-0.3719548758030182,-0.06858761235836397,-0.06295231218302444,-0.011103379309614247,-0.11475537005011205,0.22933042751017974,-0.08899664151332942,-0.1547471270102605,-0.3197184415843566,0.09385026369071392,0.3869684603174961,-0.7945377001116158,0.4627251067768574,-0.029201943962762655,-0.07482493321436312,0.20787617774482836,-0.24633775199305585,-0.15718699108269618,0.26628620974504935,-0.47190348018343276,-0.08046221402991183,-0.5786887001056282,0.21433466191547046,0.4262883145058898,-0.20681859275855885,0.1584641604871062,-0.1703461233976471,0.08669976886171371,0.28199750973498583,0.21786117617506395,-0.10448394955041707,-9.455797467534666E-4,0.11384808736885565,0.2931764321323147;-0.5594819821547148,0.06670804824966536,-0.7211304630476469,0.09079847260918239,0.1321743147596952,-0.7453229858061441,-0.25489650259643426,0.16395531532105245,-0.07469091705823239,0.7095219263296659,0.4327187538028219,-0.29272105605277865,-0.6298958997079707,-1.0525171440579468,0.2667891519512269,0.3705701161583024,-0.3134871938646988,0.2554243895175019,0.06931834053676367,-0.7071120086315794,0.7328546707195756,0.2652061012512634,-0.14006686584878336,0.027581003215813027,1.1520334883317744,-0.6930873323750859,0.390304165523081,-0.008118761339389824,0.30721484653812325,0.40351009265561366,0.5001402846954344,0.12273871268650938,0.24001101229164856,0.06657079424494494,0.7908703109647859,-0.4360954126161589,-0.5128376481051413,0.06930909948204222,0.06377600977458098,0.308402408228174,-0.3804105928065624,0.21529872143299267,-0.06048137401612763,0.3095258299906738,-0.12935594520505278,-0.501082690425136,0.08783324756620559,0.5511514026660387,0.14451312221800805,-0.5722506411788206,-0.4133672376367983,0.8204878550473458,0.5204424789662951,-0.25919952071843966,0.21826178602401614,-0.2047363809593512,0.08176357726462724,0.2878766751147519,-0.14506973172499915,-0.14414509951552823,0.25358808789126774,-0.6067976501689953,0.2862215017598211,0.1738385567897498,0.06756279387751585,-0.7746422987403498,-0.8492313281104975,-0.27769263130443456,-0.21102670259739842,-0.022993032702395055,-0.217491785559345,0.42359078975359843,-0.7209379015613857,-0.28671774481396284,-0.2526880195211767,0.12188287905339079,0.614017766721894,-1.4471412425788,1.0256666923440463,0.016828281313514992,-0.1251647150854862,0.4634126289808931,-0.7143358492349794,-0.27393452410960784,0.8229505543073907,-0.9587165637856359,-0.31449596117693623,-0.6117001037003416,0.4179006652707451,0.7885085958592137,-0.4150450256947975,0.5800720527493461,-0.2989072268343289,0.22340668883748283,0.5296120980550012,0.5647988864587581,-0.18786379812362908,0.04777470311697618,0.5171858271800738,0.34460891640318136;-0.26668671255350773,0.29523477412000076,0.11242932505364323,-0.05490505376268473,0.12342246867265061,-0.5510496947461263,-0.2539578542876235,0.4101432631531594,-0.2239950058390896,0.05588184639189464,0.35098584158233237,0.033918201901212086,-0.30725072841849865,-0.6974637809709812,0.06320813251277713,-0.031208682365306828,0.08728513617364442,0.18566495447215914,0.23540109416335397,-0.5030564269643705,0.22183061932702586,0.4342647276149094,0.02163512550655966,0.037519960223189486,-0.13814747321989884,0.00542670775089249,-0.15976864098101373,-0.32954074519752297,-0.0040660246603110295,0.00289778004199448,-0.2902591612277874,-0.3197718024786944,-0.07402470405108019,-0.2009960292491435,0.6094893943119573,-0.22769163354716326,-0.4052888106153958,0.032924190273661225,-0.39075993453890234,0.48642696054292855,0.16667500109305422,-0.04992887888732511,-0.19716964361844802,0.7782897582770509,-0.007667350872434753,-0.659556060932676,0.007056074507730159,0.582208323823096,-0.17657169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k{299}=[0.06323803052658364;0.10981568373786015;0.019047760090881435];
x_a{299}=[-4.020154770525699,-3.7578417463854694,22.284270503488205];
std_x_a{299}=[0.24779097992170515,0.4614659955481757,0.3481067202214298];
pred_a{299}=[-4.020154770525699];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.8 to 29.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{300}=[-4.767109848610267,-6.481888593140289,18.97920055119834];
std_x_f{300}=[0.44765577508456095,0.6708492203337093,0.3198662205686512];
pred_f{300}=[-4.767109848610267];
obs{300}=[-4.88704689529565];
sqrt_r{300}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{300}=[1.203357085445342];
xi{300}=[-0.5414590062040787,0.04057177178598259,-0.6705657218931229,0.07358921421105524,0.12552354439447555,-0.7264119440748287,-0.2573746937061214,0.12357718824831565,-0.006921063100495672,0.8266908391878838,0.3972193294136197,-0.22639519654717422,-0.6423556405484927,-0.9478964464005166,0.18012774607633286,0.45894871829520234,-0.32740394930944383,-0.13892313117710753,0.05935954702518398,-0.6588495655742204,0.6836813600897518,0.19234200603928642,-0.11487974798351086,0.17309116453090478,1.1181179647825852,-0.6477229099957942,0.36102244397985217,0.05103752234629422,0.2866908696172805,0.5247359895587822,0.42238994807758257,0.020089907860651124,0.27992123293159743,-0.04137888283949209,0.6722911816483368,-0.36077680136186263,-0.5882782445748651,0.06604388039021547,0.13032813667248,0.22407153140038094,-0.39802776999909817,0.1775702425200869,0.033238261042675354,0.20812697140923397,-0.11560126432425477,-0.45124481641208725,0.2538882299970293,0.443694327603259,0.11154225184067723,-0.5375466734773031,-0.4000060781491692,0.7235776497040822,0.4140688010515081,-0.241263672260553,0.22724225980939838,-0.19353831915466824,-0.01742767185749816,0.36256663604983075,-0.1571898040337789,-0.016844100047707755,0.19728092402567388,-0.5119714503150821,0.25300664773982984,0.1490056109715825,0.09830548737699019,-0.6730657578037285,-0.7340841939396867,0.08614166347249252,-0.04115920213290103,-0.02823680106614379,-0.27006816369830133,0.15786224666175475,-0.6566746157432934,-0.18770240673178495,-0.2450967972520921,0.3959144685357323,0.5260371568025741,-1.2541054132120335,0.9446989384342119,0.15781712013886828,-0.1869159822562585,0.43461116818374634,-0.6867248200000242,-0.23761327082537242,0.7347286358687937,-0.9953040225969261,-0.28783924324170407,-0.6305554298892382,0.3979810399253454,0.7078862104350039,-0.3777180636218409,0.44928853460813745,-0.3328149153254536,0.2166957862853831,0.48558606638006463,0.4815547559387241,-0.18523115516947986,0.12272640125596102,0.46613661100893733,0.03892067618722361;-0.8167029466304259,0.136941424358775,-0.8604582813462791,0.08196301313333887,0.20689912243958375,-1.1579560734664742,-0.4269768942711023,0.2880474093552543,-0.07725343578309918,1.167684529174558,0.644851239593522,-0.3043500515001494,-0.964438501694949,-1.4939904930093677,0.2577526757087343,0.6234323724990753,-0.4241418169251965,-0.15678319522099216,0.14371193492178946,-1.0464311617070097,0.9952577840536865,0.38585125570646195,-0.15742555288839366,0.245246514029974,1.5186465298446485,-0.8711493926032876,0.4478836471385712,-0.02882503364969935,0.38893891874025677,0.7327674669860205,0.49548435112865175,-0.07137544231288384,0.36271995966662374,-0.12434324557950749,1.090030844181011,-0.5557106886269647,-0.9283523108466696,0.09502961407313837,0.07051080165146928,0.4344759787512107,-0.4946751993596621,0.2195293772606135,-0.019769109254775152,0.5098017930974992,-0.1595102859908959,-0.8157373635196201,0.35559786693635864,0.7599732043231322,0.09854304126169744,-0.811819695343682,-0.5972570896326008,1.1195029558271,0.6426040321207367,-0.217703352867348,0.35897075930755573,-0.32422968985618983,-0.12199591048493463,0.4304925930218424,-0.31034921938597115,-0.0673222679432035,0.21290515387279818,-0.6708745768724311,0.3795636974196155,0.19416264102827618,0.4556995176344101,-0.9768251500233376,-1.1469291471491445,0.03619248321009838,-0.10811828503149545,-0.04337787963318096,-0.3974205865306164,0.23195292284064717,-1.2500296334356662,-0.2739739032734283,-0.18361018131879714,0.5471219813976971,0.7214692394200988,-1.7544649472734362,1.4530754728330963,0.25380825269014373,-0.2709766139556393,0.6686905349181158,-1.1260711019496226,-0.3468802290308757,1.2218456647278755,-1.46284551403913,-0.5079718281676922,-0.6649365587930065,0.5944889372279256,1.037750187427127,-0.5640367344865984,0.7853757228408282,-0.4788657467651465,0.33819384776004924,0.710364303717876,0.7716688043039834,-0.27354728789058136,0.19723013655509725,0.8191995842513338,-0.031112489048993552;0.24720324470282762,0.1678629441501336,0.662097602363982,-0.11902458439458741,-0.027734444979444106,0.20545329595364592,0.0028817898077093673,0.18902257573716952,-0.1684435226268981,-0.5770211198016604,-0.06483937231224601,0.2064885999126993,0.2996206732875244,0.31303124032446306,-0.12362777053444773,-0.38683334713072526,0.32303321389285244,0.18188697160472955,0.11252325847341638,0.18018611680162877,-0.373209587477934,0.15286184910305423,0.09578123537069771,-0.11169527625010645,-0.9280442279123555,0.5608846894814548,-0.42502517022748165,-0.30288331790835343,-0.24533379736205418,-0.40479540715761075,-0.5784306025960149,-0.2896404626458491,-0.29057188162603254,-0.1554363820941802,-0.0796767747778695,0.11851652515971978,0.17098573334473954,-0.05017081739643103,-0.41433485553401184,0.17075154571620388,0.4475881617097599,-0.20187477505839624,-0.18789234276377798,0.3972958836678053,0.07374093616260069,-0.12403820747521976,-0.19172397196986424,0.07727026035489004,-0.24674871781084207,0.2735813611207263,0.1982703487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k{300}=[0.1689914721947085;0.2511178588024759;-0.08608427773230656];
x_a{300}=[-4.771802434802431,-6.488861679897382,18.981590955209864];
std_x_a{300}=[0.3919502583754083,0.5839032814412445,0.30813101643473567];
pred_a{300}=[-4.771802434802431];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.9 to 30.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
