% Starting Algorithm: 
%	className: org.openda.algorithms.kalmanFilter.EnSR
%	dir.: /home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./algorithm
%	config.: EnsrAlgorithm.xml
% configstring = EnsrAlgorithm.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./algorithm/EnsrAlgorithm.xml
% this.ensembleSize=100
% Application initializing finished
% Initializing application
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 0
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 1
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 2
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 3
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 4
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 5
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 6
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 7
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 8
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 9
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 10
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 11
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 12
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 13
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 14
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 15
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 16
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 17
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 18
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 19
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 20
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 21
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 22
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 23
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 24
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 25
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 26
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 27
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 28
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 29
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 30
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 31
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 32
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 33
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 34
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 35
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 36
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 37
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 38
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 39
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 40
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 41
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 42
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 43
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 44
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 45
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 46
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 47
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 48
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 49
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 50
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 51
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 52
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 53
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 54
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 55
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 56
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 57
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 58
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 59
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 60
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 61
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 62
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 63
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 64
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 65
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 66
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 67
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 68
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 69
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 70
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 71
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 72
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 73
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 74
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 75
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 76
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 77
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 78
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 79
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 80
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 81
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 82
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 83
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 84
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 85
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 86
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 87
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 88
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 89
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 90
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 91
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 92
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 93
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 94
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 95
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 96
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 97
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 98
% configstring = LorenzStochModel.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/deltares/src/openda_trunk/openda/tests/simple_lorenz/./model/LorenzStochModel.xml
% Starting model 99
% Application initialized
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.0 to 0.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{1}	=[-0.287136694198714,-1.2986308205875883,19.42978580507508];
std_x_f{1}	=[0.4447202159092597,0.6594459162343288,0.4084860523602203];
pred_f{1}	=[-0.287136694198714];
obs{1}	=[-0.26470935152747094];
sqrt_r{1}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{1}	=[1.2080973297649238];
L_f{1}	=[-0.10159359884631151,-0.02608248979916181,0.004045553332709955,-0.01619232331019435,-0.036581556248052816,0.04549391411210774,0.0074603244481432785,-0.0015064337177090924,-0.02062413800386,-0.021828498863941323,-0.08848967750992492,-0.03256164085158612,-0.01824531013149269,0.02292801365190305,0.09326721007592152,0.0838218861101879,0.010975922120846087,-0.08185569090830351,-0.003219110868552255,0.0210860764150329,0.010836780243275064,-0.04274418935743835,0.03818981876958072,0.00358176942819135,0.003069473373048513,0.03559834724375963,-0.017966407299414955,0.01641824132842128,0.022581511022815113,0.03457331381488702,-0.015756598567092925,-0.005197990453874702,0.024380881622917884,-0.061685059431550976,0.04366515667425493,0.038393446762357106,0.02027034989426235,0.03823191926491477,0.05705387144249575,-0.014618516616810972,-0.032849201406680094,0.028134539236482074,-0.016129027282130032,0.007898878333577419,0.012541761370843224,-0.017307653127128855,-0.025558739466295895,-0.031171665243848082,-3.559757707637741E-4,0.06148765966487739,-0.013530828898478463,-0.037104086379047725,0.005721025688512778,-0.006167669927071108,0.029778663862348103,0.07716923034386718,-0.10823330167791309,-0.0017414141437811293,0.004388282739058326,-0.0018152953365149788,0.01611456767562556,-0.001645121483881938,0.02585440036189013,-0.12131917343423938,0.0901199410908235,-0.10608058088573048,0.022009684639891967,-0.03618691405876873,-0.0611828475718949,0.005105041549845116,-0.006118294095776997,-0.003753475761759463,-0.020786496058210976,-0.1102816113510589,-0.02414123313201346,-0.009682017457752046,-0.04247220711927686,-0.008614892889421662,-0.00362297572783291,0.09247293911528838,0.0036195575337732862,0.01687387720527497,-0.009152898897532923,0.05486419732028864,0.09014869448642081,0.013561402949578524,-0.018983402792435627,0.04874418446372494,-0.030092342126543516,0.008670818123163667,0.02681900262062416,0.0784889741794557,-0.0025287513232128364,0.02815886719925041,-0.017182557242355068,0.0033023850198077736,0.10278945045234457,-0.02858449298003689,0.034031964999493396,-0.10366739754350358;-0.19291534343440736,-0.04505583520384411,0.009443836264239398,-0.02425218128600456,-0.07619115161110919,0.07696882792004,0.016348483712495546,0.004227669347827955,-0.038878494390156254,-0.021403437389994895,-0.15396245360618005,-0.036495726639833456,-0.023146825824350174,0.025207406773786203,0.11967274013120253,0.12021499676073723,0.015303923572901345,-0.1327084423267255,-0.005625751164040034,-4.3004038506917736E-4,0.020293681911697524,-0.06697333453971065,0.04669035953011095,0.007129064382105947,0.002234742491238519,0.020664117545479047,-0.028861083869946635,0.045200513749374116,0.035432258970423514,0.052347635705361606,-0.004915471957798614,7.410111273847354E-4,0.052226772647121396,-0.10256699903947533,0.05839409494967173,0.03308424525253525,0.03694695934238864,0.033585824659197586,0.06506669574576907,0.004586294688555463,-0.04684618911580126,0.03814178253861821,-0.024447783763767952,0.009526327009263128,0.031206188358557152,-0.001992656164399502,-0.03194682611524622,-0.03505712295886777,0.006624345097715142,0.06243097049199262,-0.0043352682636656585,-0.035653429417535736,0.011169745077689508,0.023738747146535975,0.05456035860915136,0.14265767801085394,-0.19396587410490704,0.004734407096308242,-0.0014411991178907748,-0.0033124656685484125,0.03482849260670326,-0.0011431516903383386,0.03154193770701152,-0.16283733949214158,0.1321127814906916,-0.09772619758272329,0.023919085006094038,-0.06678291884382133,-0.0820834055437678,0.006480709321498346,0.0033966280138192197,-0.002658061026062598,-0.030815329965011976,-0.16139702338628087,-0.0326934554186815,0.005009501286866692,-0.056548584723981235,-0.002409365196547035,-0.0017462305476980688,0.07598273939636795,0.004948489703874271,0.04648034987481813,0.0013567169944542813,0.0657741899510086,0.1629782389591082,0.026665635081493316,-0.036596751452622936,0.05297917620692156,-0.04928076480865804,0.005814621174156223,0.019052938087217395,0.08899348710564212,0.0054831960744335774,0.025409307525131025,-0.019272043075855456,0.003672856428919212,0.19272338725921836,-0.049960900400703064,0.06748643251965118,-0.18256069387925544;0.006820615484565525,0.010648665255857327,0.06446277993689546,-0.058263780002760016,0.014841086147896388,-0.004540289669011648,-0.006956757565212941,-0.003051083270078092,0.0010733900005443443,0.005563379555889339,-0.004542829859344724,-0.07469738543106809,0.0041281932311484125,-0.004727311393970613,-0.01262157579589447,-0.012146272006472305,-0.008192638977249407,-0.07094995818048959,-0.014965469983532176,0.06750964212484471,0.0025971306594058047,0.03560482103981194,-0.002322138197984575,0.004628111961402382,-0.05100509833376966,-0.004332665192568853,0.004348021192142203,8.90365976338433E-4,9.061291914344896E-4,-0.0035361035651705745,-0.08218351409874693,-0.029192431789386294,-0.08228280049072653,-0.0028557030644784285,-0.020640170532973203,-0.010013144471867387,0.051111119323365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k{1}	=[0.17225212293567127;0.25089892902529076;-0.012007280746242098];
x_a_linear{1}	=[-0.28327353681178663,-1.2930038243304902,19.429516513675235];
L_a{1}	=[-0.11416433238892838,-0.029309819405717356,0.004546131849028417,-0.01819588833869855,-0.04110799296641518,0.05112312578103528,0.00838343133523119,-0.001692833029082846,-0.023176075786720568,-0.024529458825690718,-0.09943899094976218,-0.036590671376185276,-0.020502902486424064,0.025765022612630684,0.10480767383979812,0.0941936281027593,0.012334033201982144,-0.09198414477784028,-0.0036174291231691465,0.023695172372679044,0.012177674536272668,-0.04803316249166476,0.04291525463606153,0.00402496141670432,0.0034492761591189145,0.04000312611605662,-0.02018948947628253,0.01844976043318479,0.02537564531159939,0.03885125967552819,-0.017706248981825646,-0.005841166339902481,0.02739766191120578,-0.0693176903697221,0.04906808614896564,0.04314407863791804,0.022778511532692527,0.04296256445673563,0.06411346007428843,-0.016427345905910613,-0.0369138133769265,0.03161578018180128,-0.018124760345705954,0.008876249899744308,0.01409362233588746,-0.019449224034940767,-0.028721262569764386,-0.03502870645815571,-4.0002260651636376E-4,0.06909586524656539,-0.015205072616833442,-0.041695178618223576,0.00642891959459987,-0.006930829576030009,0.03346334137077087,0.08671780272793123,-0.12162560209133727,-0.0019568888728724184,0.004931269045762698,-0.002039911791051692,0.01810851157273269,-0.0018486813936986716,0.02905350721059148,-0.13633066057684393,0.10127097599059959,-0.11920651334115838,0.02473306371206815,-0.04066451953320918,-0.06875333708047435,0.005736716357863017,-0.0068753442021496506,-0.0042179139172689286,-0.02335852329417606,-0.12392736036170056,-0.02712836039730327,-0.010880026613825797,-0.04772752639850567,-0.00968086086615344,-0.004071266397945424,0.1039151233741554,0.004067425251975377,0.018961774637663714,-0.01028543731028722,0.061652845555757084,0.10130328720163603,0.015239429763069988,-0.021332323403042978,0.05477556992111589,-0.033815832768097645,0.00974370603599048,0.030137465000646915,0.08820084571120322,-0.002841647602512238,0.0316431183769176,-0.01930864934980328,0.0037110072421776548,0.11550815327714707,-0.03212140917144408,0.038242926800221295,-0.11649473358016983;-0.2112256175207403,-0.049756697684353514,0.010172968721342804,-0.02717053324194514,-0.08278426701417448,0.0851682228239742,0.017693062376601325,0.0039561639126688255,-0.04259559491551823,-0.02533760058167988,-0.16991100024118036,-0.04236433032612678,-0.026435188802840157,0.0293397361625365,0.13648234427113617,0.13532226460575889,0.017282120473741117,-0.14746134165382335,-0.006205933409642457,0.0033703155718910758,0.022246801190087286,-0.07467714493348156,0.05357333303355217,0.007774608793259703,0.0027879554829963694,0.027080028611290854,-0.0320991800269362,0.048159583042644505,0.03950213798649013,0.0585788043932732,-0.0077552929869585,-1.9582575003086083E-4,0.05662095328499206,-0.11368453358938406,0.0662638918247462,0.04000391874890646,0.0406002964286286,0.040476385959680124,0.07534954855993947,0.0019515908388144717,-0.05276662001010756,0.04321248709641209,-0.027354727839334174,0.010949946498136595,0.03346659738858791,-0.0051120246693808925,-0.03655329276514818,-0.04067521052367301,0.006560187375134211,0.07351292756582595,-0.006773937516058285,-0.042340720733508294,0.012200848903139062,0.022627144367215708,0.059927384715483305,0.1565659337934363,-0.21347282573863477,0.0044205510007220864,-6.502963382576726E-4,-0.0036396374149643717,0.037732830618882794,-0.0014396529031830343,0.03620169149406,-0.184702765490769,0.14835515148994155,-0.11684516308165686,0.027885903416768013,-0.07330490765294874,-0.09311042615476568,0.007400793963259982,0.002293924269620263,-0.003334552170728034,-0.03456169237802282,-0.181273143077395,-0.03704444406805417,0.003264505584644481,-0.0642033755989645,-0.003962032410042789,-0.002399201594477368,0.09264919161380682,0.005600844687527307,0.04952153869021884,-2.929153583857032E-4,0.0756623965099754,0.17922579119976187,0.029109814713102058,-0.040018141305605555,0.06176436924842178,-0.054704325333079076,0.007377367825429444,0.023886542706821202,0.10313960109610162,0.0050274377358176985,0.030484396725966437,-0.022368865475931754,0.004268047223791591,0.2112491903840114,-0.05511270038640007,0.07362003359209544,-0.20124472992477346;0.00769689105237824,0.010873634632060907,0.06442788581380123,-0.058124116308748,0.015156613152912021,-0.004932688460602053,-0.007021105123682182,-0.0030380898228890845,0.0012512794389066889,0.00575165697153082,-0.0037795795828891175,-0.07441653141417962,0.004285564558446155,-0.004925072457755924,-0.013426033738084476,-0.012869261167998627,-0.008287309630695497,-0.07024392804823798,-0.014937704177061835,0.06732776832774169,0.0025036601468068106,0.0359735026223646,-0.002651536954471225,0.004597218114987771,-0.051031573471508676,-0.00463971172205944,0.0045029868980197806,7.487536709774823E-4,7.113568177978504E-4,-0.003834308870803486,-0.08204760866264693,-0.02914759754699126,-0.08249309298090808,-0.0023236507394031668,-0.021016795737640325,-0.010344299581480828,0.05093628141462865,-0.0015735279423180976,0.03164652308639412,-0.07645948608870122,-0.014747597437146577,-0.12511047209190704,-5.484690846776375E-4,-0.0032113969988896893,0.0028882215212654135,0.00161191355869444,0.01071244410701243,0.02161886001365747,-0.08495439289976826,0.022197290588826045,-0.03206192228888334,0.007214768536273639,-0.007693167925698458,-0.020134264368736908,0.02683443890942466,4.806404938996142E-4,0.04949297366323404,-0.020582870042706085,-0.018779571303991827,-0.01952811575049265,-0.016634513538419507,0.21368955462469366,0.04647815964559431,0.006388023732052436,-0.011589008806002074,0.02649776201036581,-0.05194220089645622,0.02943155289286139,0.009632987627450266,-0.009266526619552358,0.03453000451804153,0.0023536080620735478,0.01022122610691716,0.016105193410783515,-0.016106725572295092,-0.013500453256036982,0.01177485735132508,0.09614760384062916,-0.0030544644364633427,-0.03288471265441912,0.013751360735565779,0.05358140709189504,0.040130060916710064,0.027757897360649268,-0.08161537832496468,-0.013300598918902114,0.031207160912856916,0.051115130470401934,0.020725985861715094,4.189614765282493E-4,0.025470504697647715,0.03729193363008981,-0.029856157747775624,-7.36159284168006E-4,0.0043801761366976145,0.005668056755700078,-0.01813345053814349,0.007170131005890803,0.008952336076972937,0.0072224359540872494];
x_a{1}	=[-0.2832735368117866,-1.2930038243304898,19.429516513675242];
std_x_a{1}	=[0.49974788889943916,0.7372164733414577,0.40879561137482934];
pred_a{1}	=[-0.2832735368117866];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.1 to 0.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{2}	=[-1.0989357172250551,-1.9289174697147433,15.045403794574609];
std_x_f{2}	=[0.8381037362538354,1.3355206960401065,0.3820084895963716];
pred_f{2}	=[-1.0989357172250551];
obs{2}	=[-1.0452504233062487];
sqrt_r{2}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{2}	=[1.751718315337793];
L_f{2}	=[-0.22203702982870802,-0.05362927746285438,0.011096481478665063,-0.03303466158039058,-0.08523526489209751,0.09321609835102715,0.0179212745800807,0.0012817955605590166,-0.04542116199220585,-0.03383133729009223,-0.18403969149544044,-0.0563018253053638,-0.031938953374858435,0.03735033452915285,0.16535932520708124,0.15762234460256874,0.019815089337640972,-0.16784011785830952,-0.006481839438066893,0.01808715927084371,0.023387700257615322,-0.0824755534497543,0.06583919286190124,0.0077506659510025,0.0026753022434967658,0.04499482342282163,-0.03571761283158216,0.04556465815427545,0.04445218981201361,0.06655132409993958,-0.020048645673542573,-0.004855272542261538,0.05697673127719148,-0.1253963486073212,0.07835340492264087,0.05618279794195934,0.043325297267389616,0.055805341016133415,0.09468828056775841,-0.011434619459848167,-0.062019687746917365,0.050064378503766674,-0.031141152951153994,0.013235328286734281,0.03241706488298308,-0.0168676210948929,-0.04411443090017022,-0.0509138505639098,0.002213722725076856,0.09642377833852867,-0.01595340019641201,-0.05670657729478769,0.012359216769001856,0.010801417649544115,0.06413635048179334,0.16702981783729173,-0.22452023460081894,7.818324429030937E-4,0.0020832789431995736,-0.00458243857858043,0.03786851237562076,0.0021085831776608394,0.044481241224663265,-0.21728259016696155,0.17075175732831896,-0.1581188688605248,0.03468216540324076,-0.07691941908244852,-0.110007471932434,0.00879952982891848,-0.001929818595469334,-0.005247335286928808,-0.039323174987581797,-0.20581074730655136,-0.04439059864069435,-0.0054066817813840165,-0.07569697476779179,-0.007013639810820715,-0.004599639654053049,0.13352219727274717,0.007119604304677052,0.04746276199316008,-0.006425655676323364,0.09366535185352166,0.1950061793104057,0.030158120153193094,-0.041196950590255625,0.07900776466156972,-0.06051890093364874,0.01101720715736058,0.036850449569962286,0.12941639914796785,0.0011189761304977559,0.04138298304230386,-0.028281583280945752,0.005221476572092198,0.2248550186801184,-0.059748429616049384,0.07686563892133257,-0.21674862970270545;-0.3582034434708375,-0.08771193497845338,0.01952048471975022,-0.05579096965756538,-0.13975022162680628,0.15085602832242756,0.028000591482252406,0.0024295741871765246,-0.0752961999914822,-0.051802040329736294,-0.29646428350856263,-0.09225754862385184,-0.05030303237525967,0.05725099026989737,0.2607342725131788,0.251275368900757,0.030305593310178458,-0.2751710538194023,-0.012404594841278333,0.02448862374221777,0.03783051580099079,-0.130956989604323,0.10265391066761528,0.012764733105918798,0.0017966399688560267,0.06517066138189173,-0.0583037434891665,0.07717094914068476,0.07083083077358297,0.10652457807544155,-0.03148985002286362,-0.007516864012917701,0.09304394022374492,-0.2015857671084784,0.1241596231896235,0.08471986489473056,0.07096764787659547,0.08495113618246468,0.14811968145237606,-0.0166906720051941,-0.09974724560175637,0.07669261604075736,-0.05087669301824895,0.01923328446198023,0.05387089445608942,-0.022541436193557342,-0.06985571304423174,-0.07869432156723305,0.0022548052768373416,0.14855642149947484,-0.02421512632268541,-0.08729311778174473,0.0200799952796261,0.022483349257247556,0.10446274339914008,0.2728300493625915,-0.355832261852279,0.0016410363984240362,7.810397678751303E-4,-0.008443715978702323,0.062122329109949206,0.009766281109213593,0.07060825280614683,-0.33956698893309345,0.2730918766752747,-0.23742049898527426,0.05232605328002139,-0.12414583896452407,-0.17350180423306255,0.012935171194355655,-4.4773097311897106E-4,-0.008906737917710458,-0.06345818257051011,-0.3238067762188653,-0.07173128955239075,-0.006114809285664438,-0.11959001465292031,-0.0066482928040958395,-0.0072650147463831066,0.2023611855598563,0.011285366280079402,0.08050631112524653,-0.006278202465997644,0.14635044575111472,0.320265413137839,0.04839653586759289,-0.06724866620396358,0.12274841448177706,-0.0969351225415071,0.01631232849228131,0.05414168621566663,0.20248010418049883,0.0018610085374939024,0.06295448189075761,-0.04485144123395224,0.007567595169800363,0.3688439985504299,-0.09724848045400425,0.12602094864446545,-0.34703352987859676;0.08205818174124509,0.014934578218079947,0.041302105277928935,-0.043754976022575075,0.026987533231081873,-0.02065534589326434,-0.014366122201842264,-0.008967743040892553,0.00474696168982685,0.006247653067144405,0.05300433934963851,-0.050062777710247884,0.003723852023027781,-0.01680451941168626,-0.024423754200913965,-0.0250002851383105,-0.016041242219343346,-0.005500632935372015,-0.016763872420400616,0.04221328024439059,-0.008247267489397051,0.04242381473415195,-0.016855455547183176,-0.004415741395361875,-0.04627811523922645,-0.01717143613864848,0.0055525493766390675,-0.012646278805918907,-0.012487177618470596,-0.01771531985529439,-0.06514888667904196,-0.027433454908879808,-0.07729650478086204,0.02788964131227829,-0.03227989379191176,-0.02221028373779265,0.026023385090223998,-0.015210897690887083,0.007615936712476108,-0.06272054716062204,-0.002787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k{2}	=[0.4291319607472592;0.6841487801217166;-0.10730659103531585];
x_a_linear{2}	=[-1.075897641782385,-1.892188741369716,15.039643008695453];
L_a{2}	=[-0.44560809058470424,-0.1076290740697439,0.022269627402830453,-0.06629755622882347,-0.1710594114339853,0.1870762171066774,0.03596636539695507,0.0025724469143787155,-0.09115613410564757,-0.06789641179849691,-0.3693508942285352,-0.11299263411202823,-0.06409856968283244,0.07495871866542068,0.3318611009287402,0.3163336857190907,0.03976707908281469,-0.3368398257716336,-0.013008461235956434,0.03629928085869218,0.046936983722955086,-0.16552092198771595,0.1321332619133992,0.015554880453276337,0.005369087874131831,0.0903005114376968,-0.07168199496454986,0.09144411782996335,0.08921149521645745,0.1335624444307152,-0.04023580537124223,-0.009744089661506403,0.11434710891140022,-0.2516590476476356,0.15724814543467602,0.11275375703744796,0.08694992454290165,0.11199623537484513,0.19003075269516212,-0.02294823952561651,-0.12446786311672316,0.10047464663251834,-0.06249745691462031,0.026562098090860162,0.0650580959221553,-0.03385177884337603,-0.08853364385130194,-0.10217945966761188,0.004442739832029231,0.19351373861171653,-0.0320170207885642,-0.11380493448060512,0.024803822091324434,0.021677461179040534,0.1287158123908939,0.33521362745036676,-0.45059165633445675,0.0015690664854776282,0.004180951045646066,-0.009196536752442641,0.07599865439562739,0.004231734338913342,0.08926979875496907,-0.4360663633281944,0.34268322092830145,-0.3173301646698652,0.06960394630843153,-0.154370266494093,-0.22077497413687866,0.017659854701409492,-0.003872970108478542,-0.010530923871887267,-0.07891802973343026,-0.41304341982882026,-0.08908788734677195,-0.010850717769285017,-0.15191693212315252,-0.014075736135363318,-0.009231057743843338,0.2679668856284179,0.014288397220829663,0.09525343931129183,-0.012895705544656933,0.18797782795775722,0.3913596361911572,0.06052459964653569,-0.08267852666106353,0.1585613858164471,-0.1214559207089579,0.022110531062115822,0.07395549509343924,0.2597269228432889,0.0022456831516150014,0.08305187684417469,-0.05675856110242878,0.010479027787021597,0.4512635374817135,-0.1199096549669301,0.15426233461027744,-0.4349947533219334;-0.7146342910366696,-0.1738017589829225,0.03733340674221813,-0.1088207387696482,-0.2765763975643324,0.3004936494330517,0.05676919414715904,0.0044872106021864805,-0.14820972832860868,-0.1061106943136946,-0.5918988931143554,-0.18263755113323313,-0.10157388674828348,0.11720860816527087,0.5261817273000807,0.5043028297947748,0.06211429248372,-0.5446008669903746,-0.02280973999422054,0.05352351721894307,0.07537424367317683,-0.26335306535004627,0.2083440261088172,0.025206695765240383,0.0060912400492117635,0.13739979839135166,-0.11564039145464497,0.1503148285084855,0.14218889074707614,0.21335786112678443,-0.0636734717164191,-0.015310919395195355,0.18450735349461678,-0.40288159082873065,0.2499385103770024,0.17490879556328198,0.14051673362130432,0.17453414408175777,0.3001205622214709,-0.03504639901528172,-0.19930599887122502,0.15705979117690666,-0.10086685704233055,0.04047964720918534,0.10590925004367756,-0.049618633577750884,-0.14067157654124485,-0.16042513432100794,0.005808442558796998,0.30334325622346414,-0.04982474629441157,-0.17832285918718155,0.039919956711390855,0.03982261222032013,0.20741932581983136,0.5409591068735875,-0.716249339923382,0.0028960937214903442,0.0041252786996133104,-0.01579979738432118,0.12291176577514168,0.013151140336327636,0.1420129483324652,-0.6883656457799078,0.5471956765452325,-0.4912450186502401,0.1080005217217587,-0.24762278224276527,-0.3500942243789312,0.027060850489930104,-0.003545623600137452,-0.01733016244840697,-0.12658275508265385,-0.6541899522018232,-0.1429904786600073,-0.014794029014662409,-0.2411045966821788,-0.01790712464949048,-0.014648708635894729,0.4167012439703487,0.022714300447533715,0.15669717216355308,-0.01659315714110304,0.2967092429952407,0.6333042689800539,0.09680866034740343,-0.13338116683838688,0.24957773004382514,-0.19408469786312796,0.033997993302046586,0.11329685048505192,0.41022922095085906,0.003657274731952265,0.12938561606666474,-0.09025120499005986,0.01594950931075118,0.7297984976689517,-0.1931612362011201,0.24941155988870517,-0.6949750324886232;0.13796324260434148,0.02843749718127148,0.03850820431055618,-0.035437423010502025,0.048448289912753024,-0.04412553758045629,-0.01887838732679275,-0.009290476860933195,0.016183219991452343,0.01476579516146824,0.09934233154047005,-0.03588695770027942,0.011765524773300784,-0.026208683783368592,-0.06605835518217405,-0.06468684901996828,-0.021030336949547136,0.03675858847187128,-0.015131858028163817,0.03765924824055287,-0.014135883488982818,0.06318972409117732,-0.033432618766134875,-0.006367224227097625,-0.04695170979624804,-0.0285003498064168,0.014545622832785354,-0.024118666944447347,-0.023679465584381887,-0.03447178532953092,-0.06010098652713155,-0.026210981760182703,-0.0916422543717703,0.059462260106136595,-0.05200791787154539,-0.03635613472862674,0.015114829060116245,-0.029261711595214627,-0.01622492484222139,-0.05984150893288903,0.012828392456386745,-0.12196470744080602,0.007814895522533147,-0.01447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x_a{2}	=[-1.075897641782385,-1.892188741369716,15.039643008695448];
std_x_a{2}	=[1.6819978447382882,2.680667471140835,0.5253004663869231];
pred_a{2}	=[-1.075897641782385];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.2 to 0.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{3}	=[-2.169405478174865,-3.6428987335146865,12.7900111193919];
std_x_f{3}	=[3.169697568748115,5.217245346482599,2.144659823817142];
pred_f{3}	=[-2.169405478174865];
obs{3}	=[-2.199598000809167];
sqrt_r{3}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{3}	=[11.667430547985417];
L_f{3}	=[-0.7876851342114433,-0.2163331209621605,0.03829708224110357,-0.14284516610395523,-0.33345813697069165,0.3636299683541719,0.06108225406973153,-0.0038259237300361975,-0.1858126892952409,-0.137830914946722,-0.6730501288420291,-0.23336803723880228,-0.13165545702726247,0.1371237276227997,0.6464847626570405,0.6181824604622873,0.06732615065685969,-0.6337206081443435,-0.03658925517464057,0.060776542903481334,0.08376778062754879,-0.3188001481096517,0.25067261503304483,0.021921719167124577,-0.002219985916266423,0.16411105095757259,-0.14745151446450883,0.174874600253409,0.16716978754725673,0.2558273842419898,-0.09071278620317288,-0.028783136807922022,0.2188957659771334,-0.47747961632169844,0.30208176323626584,0.20989256447399796,0.16369349508685357,0.20905705795544696,0.3647562821102471,-0.056018442770745455,-0.24800739204573008,0.1866649918841595,-0.13014717433176756,0.04135000224068066,0.12118713204429679,-0.07150696612872193,-0.1781432962869813,-0.20094673178957212,-0.003923629881929123,0.37051299868635623,-0.07168119097685532,-0.22376337313035677,0.04009768254330894,0.03698436429862318,0.2471536411278912,0.6590744343495214,-0.7840565590525895,-0.005664855835361682,-0.0030165284386997377,-0.028647432311267484,0.14221534717123915,0.012086889050098581,0.16734951242814722,-0.7672326404570993,0.6705432688595814,-0.5732215853930426,0.12541198063174727,-0.30011102915877735,-0.4186972197552703,0.024870474448940336,-0.012884999990163225,-0.02977916277089075,-0.16057035505643344,-0.7325486439291001,-0.1820077907061884,-0.027822742593941276,-0.29502267318235686,-0.027956920565538095,-0.0268102653649441,0.5163708993332013,0.01951598253651629,0.18287307349269258,-0.02933967880640848,0.3604543445092392,0.7769336315766946,0.110564337631935,-0.16684165352677588,0.30190845651986664,-0.23964167930560198,0.033404975467845585,0.13362504137678302,0.501511358508907,-0.005420137208582723,0.15310884471642877,-0.11804933222415476,0.011671855854379845,0.8848550990247024,-0.23889171497703404,0.2987931797077338,-0.7707230572334602;-1.1658128529330394,-0.38299150275597554,0.04990097761431909,-0.26784981356940335,-0.5694365406916981,0.621484457188878,0.08692229123810194,-0.025145898133954875,-0.3344422368448299,-0.2529554658978867,-1.0443878316942428,-0.4197795429219947,-0.2432880106262154,0.21962906864400492,1.11132753469512,1.0639779743730922,0.09827653805230219,-1.0136712048215188,-0.08333023933237171,0.0882027078413623,0.12630540055680883,-0.542554746984364,0.4204687940081742,0.01924067821102916,-0.025674066585578956,0.2670144666831321,-0.2702420644644795,0.28732214577927356,0.2732098793383937,0.43011745698668774,-0.18054469272332319,-0.07024381987527847,0.36484472682050795,-0.7868335031972237,0.5121338138077265,0.3479523201358931,0.26703855640809704,0.34726926046473866,0.6209516114709647,-0.12000745939493514,-0.43820826072681457,0.3060578958312043,-0.24115225971403884,0.05252484738213637,0.19267838013366248,-0.14089885222535167,-0.3202143245531346,-0.35637842396250274,-0.030377050258343394,0.6310287958339067,-0.14387635915290495,-0.394746815569494,0.050071243539436594,0.04507542641836777,0.4149715484987402,1.1321858557358482,-1.1474160356395953,-0.02994220091679536,-0.025719130796041673,-0.06880390882952049,0.2289779052578378,0.013400215048046926,0.2737448714761638,-1.1431726975234484,1.1517339191238378,-0.9088167029397051,0.19813030979914642,-0.5154691912217374,-0.6982797683752099,0.0231615843478432,-0.039072614265455254,-0.07017092812486192,-0.29132576980904906,-1.103962959363163,-0.32890606450477294,-0.06796833920059797,-0.5094105022163872,-0.061714686601821486,-0.06549941930999964,0.8878477019048426,0.015362239698209117,0.3023320745802374,-0.06655809034653931,0.6136517307985289,1.3386756588505389,0.17337383457531919,-0.29964992244226535,0.5106069568548994,-0.41973372793275493,0.03839260063334052,0.21420777984404746,0.8586759796829452,-0.029875228433327322,0.24691961720887595,-0.2202306691460018,6.987569884488023E-4,1.5012094354362266,-0.42036781199477197,0.506336762481753,-1.1485143787382786;0.8314459299620198,0.04885771819518016,-0.07180026141617088,-0.04870202142812638,0.16003042944798831,-0.14453692257385595,-0.12191797214998147,-0.09501883604028814,0.018135230111048124,-0.01226749879224316,0.6123620157265531,0.01118975812757198,-0.019234207861049797,-0.14301647858834024,-0.02873811219695093,-0.04666592986769915,-0.12576522474440827,0.5033504365904233,-0.0861998075197027,-0.07860387576359794,-0.12391679694593698,0.1576987009074419,-0.15248616496487358,-0.10140012848731048,-0.12430674558277,-0.14685396546564816,-0.008190837157186694,-0.14474915479502096,-0.14339162145942916,-0.15308657730347344,-0.09612399287605401,-0.09843577575066308,-0.19814138601937187,0.3176166973473718,-0.16236158129650372,-0.15579065459914684,-0.11367992130595311,-0.1501470196629117,-0.12297446010193155,-0.11245040390228997,0.06030743486553382,-0.22058822700764394,-0.022703562091551735,-0.11328891493928345,-0.1331504884126549,-0.05728734414257636,0.0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k{3}	=[0.9142913261075575;1.493104905880147;-0.46528611672794196];
x_a_linear{3}	=[-2.1970102397327134,-3.6879793371808605,12.804059281002635];
L_a{3}	=[0.2533361223762333,0.06957728618424265,-0.01231714792103759,0.045942012752586636,0.10724715717725042,-0.11695105336075821,-0.019645338879623744,0.0012304976191342242,0.05976127281046291,0.04432932401488963,0.21646709122720803,0.07505607389660422,0.04234316673545891,-0.044101877683031046,-0.2079231101788071,-0.19882049394177845,-0.021653507475422905,0.2038178893625034,0.011767874781409428,-0.01954701573238975,-0.026941481821274964,0.10253283936343545,-0.08062159043023788,-0.007050486404291206,7.13994208256616E-4,-0.052781569034308626,0.04742351136325283,-0.05624335309392861,-0.05376532311743815,-0.08227947273170581,0.029175141828291937,0.009257262771682647,-0.07040148677267855,0.1535674970351288,-0.09715585481432742,-0.06750586762396922,-0.05264727427543997,-0.06723715113760131,-0.11731329957710811,0.018016710556944544,0.07976439860631154,-0.06003539126667071,0.041858071266561395,-0.013299031266331668,-0.038976333030245294,0.02299814575029957,0.057294634554509394,0.06462869949514857,0.0012619219746004655,-0.11916478082471375,0.023054180129432594,0.07196701171137507,-0.012896258886445227,-0.011894950193954083,-0.07948981433703106,-0.211972213646725,0.2521690962123912,0.001821936899428225,9.701790531604717E-4,0.009213617348558507,-0.04573944972418413,-0.0038873979849944184,-0.053823126422898146,0.24675816979644183,-0.215660832279679,0.18436012995371373,-0.040335133282128684,0.0965220252449457,0.13466184074769708,-0.007998868183362774,0.004144087266028708,0.009577605690807782,0.05164280668987762,0.23560306630739292,0.05853753731931362,0.00894837977319124,0.09488550283726224,0.008991534233718958,0.008622745780561634,-0.166075752433695,-0.00627675085567387,-0.05881583048033828,0.00943625839533047,-0.11592970587550182,-0.2498782127764393,-0.0355598187044777,0.05365978830821301,-0.09710011572568958,0.07707380926490025,-0.0107437433887454,-0.04297662652812079,-0.1612966112652049,0.0017432302369703382,-0.04924302787660932,0.0379671505476744,-0.0037539145715159428,-0.28458802878915607,0.07683260494775875,-0.09609817711667405,0.24788076131581271;0.5342513399035889,0.08392119712702055,-0.032755778721953545,0.04045351915281384,0.15026758199866203,-0.1633396581730585,-0.04491179887159484,-0.01688839059006794,0.06659808488443561,0.04452558711375032,0.40825913894321597,0.08389968959193647,0.040864525155306766,-0.07632565894290315,-0.28398329252774335,-0.27024787301920705,-0.0470337807565412,0.3540906931447392,-0.004359493455287684,-0.04297156455117911,-0.05449095851229775,0.14551297567846483,-0.12055898274304186,-0.02807306199146736,-0.020882661491175968,-0.08718711623878582,0.04800316961829647,-0.0901104516063139,-0.08759338784235839,-0.1220358801868883,0.015241101572321097,-0.008121052643352363,-0.10759894075463239,0.24371279412567262,-0.1398505473051114,-0.10505969914275302,-0.08626181389283012,-0.10393948152279578,-0.16630343168614933,8.97385138347296E-4,0.09706715385598892,-0.09682195421965772,0.039744943077286654,-0.036721039241674365,-0.06888032508086098,0.013434938491065385,0.06427311345669079,0.07732576638634481,-0.02190866310909311,-0.16865099332168265,0.010833461798119346,0.0882026293354102,-0.03647175612737075,-0.03474808517025697,-0.11846121182796568,-0.290297313726764,0.5448165879180736,-0.017715718347816496,-0.019208544569933924,-0.006974033192914241,-0.07796608656917099,-0.012686969265051331,-0.08744629668340942,0.5127487906006123,-0.29550248489567776,0.3283698955649717,-0.07254690418458364,0.13226172610598302,0.2053962311201767,-0.030516466986501116,-0.011262863698172566,-0.005898433798651815,0.055233914011553184,0.47709991076660013,0.06392212833228196,-0.007918394906774553,0.1273381946526741,-0.0013751454182363621,-0.007634708948264521,-0.22663781781752462,-0.026759188848962025,-0.0923636617943582,-0.003234136139840464,-0.1643184220418312,-0.33818351988255135,-0.06525764804232166,0.06044513167917884,-0.14100335563097854,0.0974859330762718,-0.03370550073850239,-0.07419571825980366,-0.2237381295478853,-0.018176923122795254,-0.08353585694396172,0.034555709301363535,-0.024492659403897346,-0.40857710789720886,0.09523319779751002,-0.13854983474144833,0.5149404908371258;0.30166649962327025,-0.09664310771728732,-0.04604249916813851,-0.1447764900683883,-0.06424606654429556,0.10003247339630944,-0.08083541217852139,-0.09759206689889399,-0.10683823505799121,-0.10496949408461788,0.1596835299197649,-0.1457683720413,-0.10778272806984691,-0.050790121696816064,0.40607310158328963,0.36910978751584683,-0.08048315936989825,0.07712410808069409,-0.11080892342277945,-0.03772693029528068,-0.06757645843487496,-0.056719159125578844,0.016110637774941573,-0.08665606974100437,-0.12579985853234585,-0.036476537591964245,-0.10736343283375319,-0.02713240404128796,-0.030956955664578775,0.018977208087698347,-0.15713538703835314,-0.11779467076996367,-0.05091698229995289,-0.003525429305193374,0.040811866433022835,-0.014621603147269839,-0.0035833321858728916,-0.009539911236511763,0.12235246934723376,-0.15012715748131952,-0.10649679841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x_a{3}	=[-2.197010239732713,-3.687979337180859,12.804059281002633];
std_x_a{3}	=[1.0194414700690142,1.6693894483914822,1.6501381788647085];
pred_a{3}	=[-2.197010239732713];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.3 to 0.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{4}	=[-4.609932422542677,-8.18138117806911,11.879837432501027];
std_x_f{4}	=[1.932854373215458,3.2408485367285556,2.170420165813184];
pred_f{4}	=[-4.609932422542677];
obs{4}	=[-4.894227202491621];
sqrt_r{4}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{4}	=[5.107420852761928];
L_f{4}	=[0.6095037528217567,0.1086088412814189,-0.044108674569166784,0.051027932148505546,0.1941890735092254,-0.2028122079424899,-0.06355971141904238,-0.02660602117845301,0.08630800896443083,0.0560701606809344,0.4886067257176181,0.10944781272960542,0.050617817473198726,-0.10330809264111065,-0.2981737877038419,-0.2898423262522895,-0.06638735567039443,0.43658399331952,-0.009264877442999617,-0.05674836617323198,-0.07479910059541191,0.18664862507465851,-0.15638973543298718,-0.04069929870717812,-0.03347966985165947,-0.11737645771504196,0.06107110490671858,-0.1213532200036705,-0.11692325160303485,-0.15858326228428168,0.016362774238752684,-0.01506635887358039,-0.14816635352624946,0.30832166773398795,-0.17937291941379835,-0.13818157413008766,-0.11085247730942656,-0.13584806213882356,-0.20177409566256937,-0.004471506835035795,0.12680945453631987,-0.13704208924333428,0.049576819391171034,-0.052782125022688114,-0.09348142359524936,0.014467164876033918,0.08305002152414422,0.0994047890716211,-0.035604046530803464,-0.2048821831107919,0.009923781094694618,0.11390305889309855,-0.051773321652144766,-0.05091301647870878,-0.1519174287792391,-0.3008760982561585,0.6159799659180977,-0.02835074595609266,-0.02954559187670216,-0.014190228878151344,-0.10594019545601979,-0.013710950313164456,-0.11316522265915265,0.5889910164405578,-0.30451958530578116,0.4010851531747914,-0.1011068202259822,0.1708051696060149,0.26165779814639345,-0.04367251863739446,-0.01738594884782266,-0.011679681860807915,0.07072541747577905,0.5549584610031574,0.08155701160909806,-0.014669591304230756,0.16460376695417173,-0.0028398188395110527,-0.013336070777594123,-0.2616516547646782,-0.037867818200648294,-0.11902732365911134,-0.007997547260994232,-0.20003061683607967,-0.33119452187038156,-0.08997469346080407,0.0776878265322855,-0.1748896091721707,0.12599323672811932,-0.048041356385736665,-0.09911466442654557,-0.2522097359401756,-0.0285725791202737,-0.1115919415952363,0.04282222434327353,-0.03524222664633601,-0.35252362567677603,0.12353454128822569,-0.17514914722549807,0.5917075617174472;1.0951117420354197,0.16465884881354906,-0.09499778810868742,0.05536450652201079,0.32270782205317133,-0.3223711750788993,-0.13312703047857635,-0.07276853541270954,0.12313384444526289,0.07001094219650877,0.8745446820662931,0.16050625935934248,0.06156603751824879,-0.19437119710789047,-0.38588317892290314,-0.38446389900934735,-0.13793208169663757,0.7760140722446255,-0.04513395732174484,-0.11402277816416201,-0.14964101298314741,0.31055175586555916,-0.2671602781686216,-0.09548057087497765,-0.08888309868877228,-0.2138147183543159,0.07873423281928223,-0.21816295389615467,-0.21318652190992168,-0.2709027136199542,-0.007610858346022128,-0.05647000164595759,-0.26736984732675667,0.536453097711438,-0.2987932015417785,-0.24503564558547428,-0.19878433019251385,-0.2414456246434244,-0.316341011625671,-0.0423078236631348,0.1962468213119668,-0.2581313055780113,0.0581320480107016,-0.1154619968725173,-0.17809520737562975,-0.0030582377190581317,0.11859830670962151,0.1493124208271281,-0.09574065884216822,-0.321859996577208,-0.013957972386511943,0.17442562329540462,-0.11497891096892386,-0.11410762290966092,-0.2568525772401719,-0.38235201458859486,1.1069254470646885,-0.07771625982479471,-0.07925316802807017,-0.05297959551133369,-0.1990961468051649,-0.029675721090647023,-0.20217797387598047,1.0584376377823537,-0.3853922229174804,0.7124349757971331,-0.19589992228114306,0.28033935010929045,0.4498752704291209,-0.10228856711558883,-0.0539134867717124,-0.04668345017367044,0.09659871722574655,0.9965909057594725,0.11435086919849395,-0.05402379149342392,0.2683750056954705,-0.02318314483088277,-0.05126399038434761,-0.37964481949854445,-0.08976839305022802,-0.20982787857468826,-0.037331860275569506,-0.3153689836970202,-0.3859458389354885,-0.175030221349438,0.1101589053338623,-0.2830187672999376,0.1977899307030138,-0.10792610242965463,-0.18341851420517832,-0.3596190161003395,-0.07850086505013232,-0.2055032006788976,0.046588496194906806,-0.08576023208729273,-0.3485326781551104,0.1919985459322773,-0.2894370046563667,1.0627030315434065;0.040191166652459594,-0.18080518765950906,-0.03555897066973411,-0.18249524230417907,-0.198831732717831,0.2304070313038185,-0.046095881271446044,-0.0888208474317139,-0.17498840904917598,-0.15495273016602842,-0.08529486629987833,-0.2192616624543028,-0.15397267156947225,0.012847215217760999,0.5855363202523368,0.5458462400283268,-0.04311073027952565,-0.1484520160424484,-0.11281338742395594,-0.019031961265916074,-0.02555233124901915,-0.18999294720099677,0.11753606564067631,-0.06925786236311343,-0.1061201791740459,0.03610037648610139,-0.16051680113531858,0.047318107932726755,0.04100173648576775,0.12087891193221635,-0.16752760687409304,-0.11392163196408163,0.05542079697984676,-0.19140129059922173,0.1593199543576781,0.07492486140497455,0.057410748261443316,0.07662823388748909,0.24722951502876953,-0.1471953636187017,-0.1985231864547705,0.010413687911879885,-0.15504455285085597,-0.058947207043242696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k{4}	=[0.8042064617684219;1.3444454878590835;-0.48332497168774985];
x_a_linear{4}	=[-4.838564121624649,-8.563600012193358,12.017244198970825];
L_a{4}	=[-0.3457612710823798,-0.061611976691519035,0.02502211235646704,-0.028947291298356367,-0.11016020914721854,0.11505196889202195,0.03605635979784391,0.015093150220187269,-0.04896108800967148,-0.03180766309818371,-0.27717841237464663,-0.06208791114308583,-0.028714640111604538,0.05860495076415491,0.1691489959867033,0.16442269743952326,0.03766043502459996,-0.24766678755548785,0.005255809806393237,0.03219239771546277,0.042432277041699704,-0.10588263903678596,0.08871727771520393,0.023088030529765508,0.01899245599348015,0.06658569865535932,-0.034644615002276336,0.0688416492993758,0.06632860241825758,0.08996162876102717,-0.00928232778392696,0.00854689305946875,0.08405229088369373,-0.17490571837236693,0.10175525306799782,0.07838809275610058,0.06288475383407004,0.07706433048482642,0.11446306518179905,0.0025366109392727684,-0.07193687976940726,0.07774168206379718,-0.02812409933417726,0.029942415536874847,0.0530304459902746,-0.008206980339887603,-0.04711288629916713,-0.05639067202122847,0.020197579304760873,0.11622623113731159,-0.005629594812762898,-0.06461529767572434,0.029370138280079696,0.02888210156347392,0.08618021305217079,0.17068197150507022,-0.3494351183091188,0.016082903366107574,0.016760719445737742,0.008049879186378594,0.06009809860892063,0.007777992483359565,0.06419673553739672,-0.3341247392780955,0.17274886068765075,-0.22752889007156307,0.05735620578969053,-0.09689491209365539,-0.1484340866760359,0.024774688401057926,0.009862757603650692,0.006625687909770377,-0.0401213448334726,-0.31481864055148373,-0.04626592677910676,0.008321813462390863,-0.09337696022958869,0.001610981666720189,0.007565329601266534,0.1484306016384772,0.0214817790596961,0.06752220725693153,0.004536874619230417,0.11347401884309893,0.18788110545221337,0.05104113671528587,-0.044071002885663554,0.0992119462538474,-0.07147385307672988,0.027253056886938624,0.056226089169048706,0.1430743592214247,0.016208745604913168,0.06330423953895349,-0.024292330688626598,0.01999232494401711,0.19998074882439043,-0.07007907633160514,0.09935917784478857,-0.33566578991731055;-0.5018684019357951,-0.11991062624408713,0.020572751264918924,-0.07833539942902777,-0.18609313796501853,0.20902353338622698,0.03340778841766565,-0.0030572541689783865,-0.1030045114611253,-0.07690026690135149,-0.40566932083257895,-0.12626143144005128,-0.07105931394451276,0.07630961805624455,0.39537143388499724,0.37496118699614583,0.03601153772415867,-0.3678935169689048,-0.0208587576297027,0.03466541868761673,0.04634248651912908,-0.17849223568296577,0.142601435440432,0.011156954502038713,-0.0011619522113566084,0.09372706702894194,-0.08128010910214319,0.0997984726834562,0.0931678037429389,0.1446063293706948,-0.05048348290099107,-0.016994156170583294,0.12084552212846053,-0.2713902979161226,0.17118748248816185,0.11701828620216188,0.09166376689236874,0.11449419825068163,0.21233370587866013,-0.030591886564923135,-0.1360106586867592,0.10093702566151369,-0.07176575130949497,0.022834125551013447,0.06683844007220367,-0.04096411596775281,-0.09900369281281024,-0.11114122466412427,-0.002453365545799892,0.214958319580221,-0.039959586466776296,-0.1240153995001637,0.020674013698283998,0.019291188844586915,0.14119110364025517,0.4059830079377275,-0.5070232285605181,-0.0034335697690821487,-0.001839824220868232,-0.01579932606770691,0.07848112455442491,0.006248775360325275,0.09432982076527535,-0.4847964339987687,0.4124892157648139,-0.3384609747141179,0.06901326910355375,-0.1671927004902584,-0.23570263818995596,0.012139186246461008,-0.008360009921846816,-0.016081144719013712,-0.08871119573212197,-0.4574733864583363,-0.09933924761929103,-0.015587529330030395,-0.16290855282521133,-0.015742445281161095,-0.016321727712766073,0.30591699265095196,0.009450280308182119,0.10203939310923918,-0.01637723265080067,0.20873758955151567,0.48182744838291547,0.060715331080032874,-0.09339343675749434,0.17521505315123834,-0.13232895108886375,0.017948581495224304,0.07627496648755168,0.30120372460962763,-0.0036369428743033266,0.08688239027070181,-0.0656113740770773,0.006579045436385899,0.5751256715764755,-0.1316782298357987,0.16947683969269267,-0.48764874681016324;0.6143017496705244,-0.07850313471837406,-0.0771063061140563,-0.1344304424725823,-0.01591899150502662,0.039371890985174705,-0.10596475461358963,-0.11388188808952267,-0.09369220518447513,-0.10213849811344654,0.3749390385278141,-0.1161693561553761,-0.10629417153382352,-0.08446189735470394,0.3046771355355225,0.27283471854442715,-0.10564304987970334,0.2627800555906269,-0.12154026427379709,-0.07248501621136284,-0.09600793558820493,-0.014182789404528794,-0.02977230083254911,-0.10759380041276406,-0.13765572376881327,-0.0744601676605145,-0.10299202383701171,-0.06698827256925033,-0.06913191869751223,-0.028495605854486555,-0.15211499979085097,-0.12811310500559403,-0.08414170975256402,0.09901649862746274,-0.009636989493041103,-0.05523267038856368,-0.047004655388619386,-0.05133129022589617,0.05717220502454834,-0.1514072152835142,-0.07907740857563071,-0.11867052754907528,-0.10834660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x_a{4}	=[-4.838564121624647,-8.563600012193358,12.017244198970824];
std_x_a{4}	=[1.0964759147193521,1.9144876347083568,1.8245054181589202];
pred_a{4}	=[-4.838564121624647];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.4 to 0.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{5}	=[-10.167487150063028,-16.842083199026153,18.10061702004251];
std_x_f{5}	=[1.8696534156484834,2.639777161216432,3.440460523196471];
pred_f{5}	=[-10.167487150063028];
obs{5}	=[-10.767528621155154];
sqrt_r{5}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{5}	=[4.5989558670432436];
L_f{5}	=[-0.32148401577248525,-0.1486022058726252,0.005473610237928714,-0.11207293272648387,-0.2062240874212848,0.2240556074173508,0.015952483642369092,-0.02588698518689618,-0.13213984304136686,-0.10576091599840377,-0.31438741183807256,-0.16120525838573443,-0.1003665523315625,0.06677233381415397,0.4379755876002121,0.4156123586141668,0.01894806832077862,-0.3128777832214783,-0.046557910297885925,0.02076465303036316,0.03129998021269724,-0.19818940966704052,0.14588275394056355,-0.008988756504937875,-0.026884407092491923,0.08691285175054486,-0.11040696694926318,0.09393333535861292,0.08670878932118298,0.14848646394180043,-0.08381716776719725,-0.0430913995840074,0.11700206178986401,-0.26483911608469785,0.17977039013291507,0.11538894607909111,0.08785131018450923,0.11299246913996411,0.22977827165510847,-0.06187655971739616,-0.16547122051529922,0.09161190322227256,-0.10069697098665953,0.0030993082264882277,0.05584144277484111,-0.06752356369669449,-0.1278339035937828,-0.13963714979478217,-0.029926904744186945,0.232600006630288,-0.06881499572604145,-0.15273642199089452,0.0017769456490182767,-7.408718069838237E-4,0.14517604363232123,0.4496585146173863,-0.317490733506552,-0.02727265096257977,-0.025582236433949267,-0.04183472010938992,0.06874443092212873,-0.0030963493183736954,0.08954883021253777,-0.32157361419537844,0.456050694900484,-0.29322416923464645,0.05534841989651146,-0.1895919325672102,-0.2425955630250283,-0.008464016220185479,-0.02905014787105424,-0.04070509781162219,-0.11741429545927605,-0.3189590615267963,-0.1309690178960755,-0.04032593776393534,-0.18676100331730638,-0.03411747075355505,-0.04089298223875524,0.336674685922519,-0.010142359323904837,0.10019547845433095,-0.039458312306763575,0.22532108107257642,0.5296493791506902,0.04757873511719722,-0.12052869591732433,0.18593876692533412,-0.15905195684776768,-0.002243310708271473,0.06716332642674261,0.33331946923112693,-0.028309556358732845,0.07891954246673101,-0.09474922585835625,-0.014465082401400948,0.6243070101436381,-0.15958742561684644,0.17910209639040728,-0.3216898243020655;0.010967027715903355,-0.23485613140788006,-0.047219766117417135,-0.21720410064094398,-0.26538855784621873,0.30347119852591964,-0.04385392799657385,-0.10209507021577906,-0.2235903194966286,-0.1961206888146492,-0.13686125950235492,-0.2655127594111556,-0.1914846292221277,0.033191125627353234,0.7079779167469085,0.6644296196725326,-0.03903638719871947,-0.20236396973648035,-0.13141782325597978,-0.025362018218922772,-0.019058408172583773,-0.25753508370012534,0.1652359462084974,-0.07794687538768948,-0.11214310816172791,0.06565928246595654,-0.20228811970905364,0.07810927224288379,0.06689978265433236,0.1692233321436126,-0.18988632031210959,-0.12965580582445094,0.10557567590989048,-0.26014685383220376,0.22094148340217126,0.1125410954915399,0.0754192130439138,0.11046456451829414,0.31673021280362784,-0.16240646696693636,-0.25348562269533065,0.05759625183449673,-0.19348279418406775,-0.061567289794398405,0.017757333678591884,-0.15445878657893553,-0.21732029184114948,-0.22497169168893477,-0.12135989973148621,0.3214067941254437,-0.16262519271426829,-0.2396208266356143,-0.06481904154777172,-0.07054294063686332,0.16700100400720905,0.7321063286160239,0.028587473456656586,-0.10698251121077397,-0.10440554431599199,-0.12674422290522103,0.03574317285316241,-0.03371422833575904,0.07799639764079924,-0.01772023871505768,0.7446964635962562,-0.20484996774572287,0.009911620726482004,-0.2557882547181924,-0.26776661417721687,-0.07896018111631688,-0.10033984958769028,-0.12044211032694445,-0.20708505157820148,-0.05894427638996418,-0.22632049262397155,-0.12348116622329347,-0.2586377932463799,-0.09464604838375373,-0.12118597300948988,0.5103802902614251,-0.07778851766401218,0.09554529812111233,-0.11125521154001092,0.30880246908245645,0.8856492943736795,0.0033407488394359645,-0.2056844542373962,0.24070836596018036,-0.23974020421910217,-0.06848970121827827,0.03916369323048704,0.5087925555940702,-0.10997852751282185,0.05399669592031198,-0.18463003349808246,-0.0840317590253943,1.0756710865794223,-0.24431102396948082,0.2239543092524359,-0.014031610231407761;1.1659891645532383,0.17667615323639044,-0.10579546468016313,0.06009851410429058,0.34782468890745694,-0.344963742064232,-0.14776102097809038,-0.08224637314192805,0.13245874259491822,0.07324130246025604,0.9336660115005031,0.1712110065710346,0.060859703016813066,-0.2138884903499824,-0.38108884018600586,-0.38422551616559864,-0.15262234072293218,0.8294080261837724,-0.05154580162448262,-0.12920740581823073,-0.1663899663592658,0.33311234087011554,-0.29060846399759005,-0.1065995390662998,-0.10000987853100539,-0.23664579524465162,0.08225628296886744,-0.2423009285308925,-0.23315495470731398,-0.2929436074665567,-0.008722196407417051,-0.06331633484973401,-0.29113100823658666,0.5752426381112773,-0.3226748117710267,-0.2656641789249364,-0.2166965150378442,-0.25926943614544673,-0.33793027710025764,-0.048391723968511983,0.21102299450985287,-0.2802590586311411,0.059617801508957936,-0.1293818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k{5}	=[0.782559339791421;0.9721520413936302;-1.2262514658480181];
x_a_linear{5}	=[-10.637055207528356,-17.4254147400692,18.83641875353883];
L_a{5}	=[0.19941596856535468,0.09217768648258079,-0.003395270786707524,0.06951864271046132,0.12792043808400677,-0.13898129852045363,-0.00989529749689737,0.016057651301504407,0.08196611182316675,0.06560330985508926,0.19501395764824866,0.09999533775131776,0.06225719557680387,-0.041418761019652396,-0.2716754853251774,-0.25780361378660255,-0.011753453395035111,0.19407753767716968,0.028879789728029393,-0.012880277689774388,-0.019415322578926406,0.12293654162923841,-0.09049081524049057,0.0055757098228449795,0.016676350352201306,-0.05391188881029084,0.06848524707409363,-0.05826668242308075,-0.0537853092448926,-0.0921058919668165,0.051991641489664016,0.02672951923980865,-0.07257617278391046,0.16427923709089956,-0.11151125626444046,-0.0715755599506446,-0.05449401292342182,-0.07008902952762425,-0.14253105706445066,0.038381920973231294,0.10264150654414601,-0.056826702159008674,0.06246215368640052,-0.0019224954322616394,-0.03463834856695495,0.04188474759221064,0.07929514517040642,0.08661667799290737,0.018563606285012472,-0.14428137429797774,0.04268582060465795,0.0947421334567262,-0.001102236255309673,4.595614765401151E-4,-0.09005244408143102,-0.2789223843699402,0.19693894261150655,0.01691717734077525,0.015868616186984107,0.025950003175829794,-0.04264204938111799,0.0019206600267713274,-0.055546981605970505,0.1994715463092138,-0.28288744253725,0.18188643554857345,-0.034332527344177216,0.1176035417319917,0.15048160031860025,0.005250214348745898,0.01801975554135426,0.025249300454790735,0.0728318806027379,0.1978497438954371,0.08123985104840319,0.02501410814524755,0.11584752130605208,0.021163006997322216,0.02536584483391038,-0.20883871449518598,0.006291287618933187,-0.06215107875216984,0.024475921602821388,-0.13976626959916902,-0.32854057670513176,-0.029513005564870826,0.07476373771964513,-0.11533748952079867,0.09865964860118932,0.0013915216798821499,-0.04166129304835656,-0.20675747949302595,0.017560367931099493,-0.048953653144844136,0.05877277786256525,0.008972665127756962,-0.38725653843406416,0.09899179893521382,-0.11109671483342076,0.19954363123364272;0.6580668160474983,0.06425813632553042,-0.05823733418487557,0.008382141557589247,0.14971003733131236,-0.14751960979122494,-0.07596391879513903,-0.04998839674794857,0.042387646022978044,0.016760397020598214,0.4959541144306043,0.0589695895127593,0.01053840017566771,-0.10121170921879447,-0.17360218094316077,-0.17213660475074857,-0.07717604702039443,0.42741274500868076,-0.03770363399362851,-0.06715819445630154,-0.08206064024857423,0.1413908931853548,-0.1284044668905366,-0.05985383764292661,-0.058028771879193246,-0.10928343695955572,0.019944779713737298,-0.11096464261967093,-0.10763218927404829,-0.12965796419693743,-0.0211747550096169,-0.04291919006232463,-0.12993217426006262,0.2729351270822653,-0.14090973064271037,-0.11971979127188925,-0.1014124844463932,-0.11697256851565555,-0.14577947245689338,-0.03785810147634566,0.07958347721973026,-0.12680496339027866,0.009205319109921669,-0.06780573898297085,-0.09464323377389168,-0.018543837057934647,0.03999045425728315,0.05609724375505383,-0.06112146554728616,-0.1467826264114301,-0.024110781472512707,0.06781500684849685,-0.0683957703956854,-0.06905167523653524,-0.12521690573726002,-0.17298977369325255,0.6676493750434803,-0.05208669742444755,-0.05291228502694264,-0.04253711710977717,-0.10262920187220273,-0.02748173499170969,-0.10225215666643692,0.6295598979935786,-0.17326615245937427,0.385366928075719,-0.10149656457150101,0.1258322720094699,0.22054238341468055,-0.0619233679753696,-0.04186619734967551,-0.038508767188171825,0.02925256401439233,0.5830731523910135,0.03730077499925335,-0.042311016196975866,0.11728449148939755,-0.02597262445010755,-0.038874446299952556,-0.16729607095228416,-0.05737344801922279,-0.10613338485722054,-0.03183146326974299,-0.144735550586605,-0.1804565905948821,-0.09242820984251655,0.03692198897432564,-0.13355887849645506,0.08040786710135488,-0.06397424846397459,-0.0960261519316706,-0.16213025053047084,-0.05299557648342473,-0.1048566738272822,0.0060861483008769245,-0.05491568699408672,-0.1809666132674745,0.07691486680740045,-0.13655172830433643,0.6334824402388766;0.34975154923740076,-0.20062008608265636,-0.09189814366704915,-0.22445107113809615,-0.17577166138997283,0.22390626616008474,-0.10725817614667842,-0.1479725990816405,-0.20304008496926612,-0.19528227455406408,0.1354464461905015,-0.23808397926199745,-0.1939677574892288,-0.04435567426089471,0.7309171434718192,0.6710009456411312,-0.10451380237513666,0.03502135956100644,-0.16975484409995492,-0.07648661709833629,-0.08692031948784765,-0.1700842200499258,0.07978317400043232,-0.12942170382187995,-0.16826852673044088,-0.015976849441233662,-0.19806346854468226,-0.003807199791240409,-0.013004116873642987,0.08405876679863847,-0.22153129976651487,-0.172724017693798,0.0059334777625603685,-0.09717539186727456,0.13375644871917838,0.027304657970705602,0.006355146660084432,0.027614822587724873,0.24546939226275288,-0.20549432649236088,-0.20910313248363963,-0.04765937170420831,-0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x_a{5}	=[-10.637055207528352,-17.4254147400692,18.83641875353884];
std_x_a{5}	=[1.159742719609816,1.76591864518005,2.763554337186591];
pred_a{5}	=[-10.637055207528352];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.5 to 0.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{6}	=[-15.37381469928341,-15.179480996634902,36.491835137297116];
std_x_f{6}	=[1.1928760201257775,2.6282612805379784,2.660756832183517];
pred_f{6}	=[-15.37381469928341];
obs{6}	=[-16.041026178725748];
sqrt_r{6}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{6}	=[2.616206167441347];
L_f{6}	=[0.43960546863094424,-0.027325080021807814,-0.06117282235380117,-0.06260897519688777,0.02517630685045617,-0.008560071936665426,-0.07329978058307725,-0.07199697878954546,-0.03903244056271035,-0.05117941553459976,0.2980655727533372,-0.03908338096687236,-0.053873890362830384,-0.06740781283138182,0.1421972612255816,0.12347513542224084,-0.0736616671222321,0.2353770144661695,-0.07187006734085206,-0.060816658042884414,-0.07045415276987597,0.022881831595893652,-0.043546386592428245,-0.07169108792362927,-0.08178385248593098,-0.06304179662229935,-0.05042141430182926,-0.06050746329702014,-0.0617539418257064,-0.042732574801771256,-0.0772980395051502,-0.07560813223819768,-0.06575809268675822,0.11477420544537599,-0.032652029568886395,-0.055177416767368766,-0.05316824553378748,-0.05359654537300808,-0.0010739611231907204,-0.08154275209123212,-0.02085207607259027,-0.07974655134794024,-0.05511828238377701,-0.07413129987821623,-0.06748280962711596,-0.06399793554798176,-0.03962302832921595,-0.030106782524929102,-0.0869904638175888,-7.232870940615513E-4,-0.07111988801871218,-0.025686725628443277,-0.07445383262751604,-0.07619791418598212,-0.03983953505670262,0.15344940124353854,0.45037984259134206,-0.07526387762216115,-0.07555611839908066,-0.07402058889191479,-0.06811528296282543,-0.03359022066542936,-0.053776958388807375,0.4143640610491837,0.15893958254499843,0.20669007160664157,-0.07658387144934883,0.011530319433558846,0.0760110314956496,-0.0741392987195078,-0.0653946926485075,-0.06954989267824162,-0.04506967023448059,0.37513775834203483,-0.04429644989679834,-0.07275452051214484,0.0044200008771862346,-0.05244689832038919,-0.07025978124547826,0.0587926885322795,-0.06973910038691969,-0.04986486622512077,-0.06359822535815964,-0.002430380551303768,0.22344776897717025,-0.07154774212951669,-0.038628281540813166,-0.0203424595791999,-0.016935001620047088,-0.07305762313867414,-0.062125303298170856,0.06369322032536809,-0.07704291021962466,-0.06371698924410306,-0.055901958450832345,-0.07068764407623081,0.3276552119655247,-0.02043642777912407,-0.02787013036445981,0.4184467505179223;0.24713522726713408,-0.22502743130932112,-0.07313422265128183,-0.22333556136043026,-0.22748924816302807,0.2594803810443602,-0.0756784561311478,-0.12698292927883864,-0.21943936381613594,-0.20155323800605543,0.035870121098869834,-0.25561475016895024,-0.19824078903696327,-0.00447423528514997,0.6988251298548829,0.6490737153576095,-0.07206954383162449,-0.057087178570112286,-0.1522066017851622,-0.054060005848980464,-0.05369765099399213,-0.22091904432038195,0.12210845828338274,-0.10431237127533666,-0.13934984767829078,0.025928116149556434,-0.20577481202595033,0.037409795137027045,0.027191024567999034,0.12587415079683137,-0.20613718477866122,-0.15181695051016192,0.05946345927875422,-0.1760911180051849,0.177315190341383,0.0706881620283797,0.039746609957584986,0.06887851063080089,0.2761779603097902,-0.18328136698259204,-0.2378356649059326,0.011225056344222698,-0.1999048890225569,-0.09239918387164898,-0.01853846114697177,-0.17001302638514015,-0.2143676189726527,-0.21705172827593716,-0.14946974774026203,0.28054617067044846,-0.18003331228717637,-0.22722731157263776,-0.09379428293658576,-0.0995665230964866,0.12596440595807026,0.7259372555083119,0.2678315185604001,-0.13224255752114292,-0.13065511624394707,-0.14874037403858012,-0.003433824711672942,-0.05127658990086233,0.039284612091399024,0.20700687246795008,0.7403178489824845,-0.07721638197366967,-0.03019855234199723,-0.22538310098300976,-0.20288086440307013,-0.10742301391026608,-0.1213900223532769,-0.14266400432745832,-0.20842759912813277,0.1486224667783445,-0.22502211515218706,-0.14507090545311757,-0.23075471635089567,-0.11313010003714402,-0.14344416003507346,0.4760662463830851,-0.10361691496525834,0.05835927044652027,-0.13335382127981463,0.2677793019043295,0.9062797996136887,-0.033737625046694364,-0.2036240048291647,0.19952274493883582,-0.22427360370959948,-0.09857048536878583,0.001952417428309755,0.4791740565392606,-0.13549210796944558,0.014672274010049181,-0.19456117236312695,-0.11131313255069024,1.1494618390869997,-0.22933787209748438,0.18129054836295638,0.2127496728932992;-0.8739327258301431,-0.13943123082310604,0.08995550470784841,-0.045864829477961506,-0.2833114350411317,0.25160653767998925,0.11761542265430383,0.06853929960121873,-0.10279722916550411,-0.055100163838885316,-0.7391721443721645,-0.13809202453387506,-0.04384636664056909,0.16592312512080884,0.28747091106790906,0.2864046888060658,0.1208297510250515,-0.674495709212827,0.04420576536717723,0.10603729122140886,0.13052199593945568,-0.2668230541071379,0.21794967577035734,0.0884055856389374,0.08046305595929988,0.18152231524258777,-0.061118768432381204,0.18498501497291764,0.17870640547530606,0.21895245280293563,0.00805445348200292,0.05391820581998983,0.216621006910659,-0.4715928350072885,0.23855415467116067,0.20107719453565012,0.1697989390888443,0.19641204299945453,0.24943552069907612,0.04047456650127797,-0.16868489475893975,0.20872755688199665,-0.0416394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k{6}	=[0.617767126901164;0.6976273685132465;-0.9122067352062979];
x_a_linear{6}	=[-15.785996017973977,-15.64494598528009,37.10046994265137];
L_a{6}	=[-0.5600155238398008,0.03480955105047553,0.07792835303416785,0.07975787505817701,-0.03207221855796838,0.010904716869531192,0.09337694353169154,0.091717298051993,0.0497236140317965,0.06519770395414572,-0.3797071687572744,0.04978850725801204,0.06863020841571202,0.08587113743426336,-0.1811457759654988,-0.157295569729883,0.09383795253694019,-0.299847912417079,0.091555624946236,0.0774746336030328,0.08975188455454569,-0.02914927547988759,0.05547395162038394,0.09132762220458515,0.10418484359209756,0.08030924835668449,0.06423208253282169,0.07708074892704624,0.07866864392837819,0.054437232860557926,0.09847034483005344,0.0963175638232785,0.08376955099618383,-0.1462114131245017,0.04159557773564387,0.07029077698086204,0.06773128406927027,0.06827689729735091,0.0013681242475446697,0.10387770463803543,0.026563560142475053,0.10158951585979156,0.07021544540478497,0.094436219966765,0.08596667621356971,0.0815272783393351,0.05047596663210216,0.03835317526721581,0.11081757084503459,9.213989128227263E-4,0.09059996789453847,0.032722443497667925,0.09484709598957056,0.09706888988723399,0.05075177559504772,-0.1954799313300786,-0.5737410507225061,0.09587901620981418,0.09625130314310375,0.09429518470807838,0.08677238704222494,0.04279074389230842,0.06850672630713332,-0.5278603731466676,-0.20247389973335578,-0.26330347773824686,0.09756056270399217,-0.014688529461960765,-0.09683081912790259,0.09444640972921256,0.08330661393714711,0.08859994326846224,0.0574144699888592,-0.4778897971953382,0.0564294608764857,0.0926823341010967,-0.005630660406292282,0.066812356379768,0.08950427373342901,-0.07489628909506517,0.08884097587986248,0.06352309325730005,0.0810180856033247,0.00309607349018462,-0.28465118913167364,0.09114501330704303,0.04920875390717812,0.025914357236987574,0.02157358013087044,0.0930684579969201,0.07914172309680574,-0.08113910014959279,0.0981453344043976,0.08116937948965186,0.07121377412116663,0.09004933025431737,-0.41740155266757806,0.02603406377946687,0.03550389330720413,-0.5330613309250851;-0.8817091739979019,-0.15486050710612798,0.08394889607953025,-0.062564606121742,-0.2921384280769548,0.2814614298930574,0.11254496880223713,0.05789508570055699,-0.1192096006738666,-0.07013176850938772,-0.7295199320784094,-0.15525417930443913,-0.05990029090839526,0.16861945336527046,0.3336827609266261,0.33200710617524326,0.11708315433143798,-0.6615019184369577,0.03234552262066991,0.10210853352147826,0.12721860591207068,-0.27967633769108496,0.2339293936627226,0.0797801594095549,0.07065946881211446,0.1878104953301382,-0.07629978202747609,0.1927843663185627,0.18576637555963668,0.23560533309273624,-0.007646798851714633,0.042333993592056154,0.22832090092635185,-0.4708149748992973,0.26116096433406594,0.21237593080907832,0.17627511239595514,0.20650682621997804,0.2789357399271954,0.02610883794046545,-0.1842904954097422,0.21600287289338752,-0.05836896893939139,0.09795946450148277,0.15474780862224363,-0.0056754182547244115,-0.11262131033391412,-0.13974178716166544,0.07390940709544183,0.28240346919128206,0.002592458175926497,-0.16126744873744103,0.0973925837237424,0.09609889727418458,0.22826667312007434,0.3319009892837401,-0.888679944627702,0.061024389625503356,0.06336226370753772,0.041333984247273914,0.17147654674624185,0.034978325565760096,0.17737620267903065,-0.857021179452169,0.33218357700883927,-0.60796712731097,0.16645795145908707,-0.25499132350559495,-0.39806639657004766,0.08295617435113564,0.04653425961394513,0.035930241105663,-0.09269508772535368,-0.8146780115490397,-0.11127512374727128,0.041752369067621586,-0.24210465078036714,0.021546085218392484,0.03697297840514068,0.3250949732283835,0.07546318898841903,0.18640516403687868,0.029957387858535335,0.27402017394540523,0.33249766771578076,0.14998681399995428,-0.10443206464781096,0.2517592916666438,-0.18078692502077415,0.0890311136437567,0.1614813719325307,0.31561891381833806,0.06234314219119436,0.17828845193811246,-0.0510128834542142,0.07020269686465806,0.3080897953668058,-0.1768600283796466,0.25285708442636284,-0.8617621456715844;0.60212671838063,-0.23118041346092516,-0.1154439468630329,-0.25608643891227867,-0.19877716932169842,0.22286445886875955,-0.1285026106931389,-0.17320432753770626,-0.23385611408477308,-0.22694484057663922,0.26164002711156287,-0.2693219516034826,-0.2247382579859673,-0.060411499544389395,0.7649254136849672,0.7009960730597733,-0.12650338559559549,0.11582763738912026,-0.19711173230842244,-0.09816627055206587,-0.10604129774229125,-0.18999292791888964,0.0717343536744237,-0.1523109544099669,-0.19414187154933327,-0.030152574913247614,-0.23041831104830857,-0.018180366301678515,-0.028644265873145062,0.07546965945181175,-0.25148849894277747,-0.19995055972764825,-0.004174366827202274,-0.08621648737668111,0.1289187200440589,0.0158084639616841,-0.008723614774445148,0.016451390505126062,0.24582949081155533,-0.23332082031691193,-0.2386997285466144,-0.05903674238150189,-0.2267096306147614,-0.14593497031064548,-0.07254599620555802,-0.20591236883851785,-0.22933263428814465,-0.22541218761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x_a{6}	=[-15.78599601797398,-15.644945985280089,37.100469942651365];
std_x_a{6}	=[1.5196105075014334,2.7340683600278908,3.1105759779496234];
pred_a{6}	=[-15.78599601797398];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.6 to 0.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{7}	=[-9.255349059077632,0.30093495907362977,36.831101965431465];
std_x_f{7}	=[1.339036306411974,3.1662902795795724,1.6164020146955573];
pred_f{7}	=[-9.255349059077632];
obs{7}	=[-9.180079165106001];
sqrt_r{7}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{7}	=[2.797477445490909];
L_f{7}	=[0.06677735844944696,-0.1308921097133725,-0.022918585245624474,-0.11315851517662408,-0.1554478310530679,0.1472108313333913,-0.017638888075596618,-0.048985592413369854,-0.12253257783136415,-0.10591151095370621,-0.05657807872876828,-0.1439515265731868,-0.10249899841445731,0.02169402332261536,0.3407004345522101,0.31921764365237504,-0.015736474116558433,-0.10512353763575831,-0.06503624411955788,-0.010578834411967634,-0.0058969272793036554,-0.1487451806176548,0.08466752141108788,-0.035776745945871526,-0.05183284629414349,0.03755430964899191,-0.10881879203964578,0.04292402563919582,0.03737388598262685,0.08629593741560727,-0.09469820172851137,-0.06286430194808217,0.059154270169386715,-0.15208849567915494,0.11090212924889839,0.05966011954956314,0.04050326716344391,0.05842632184472852,0.15363874740334904,-0.07843606444339887,-0.1419452145177887,0.038500269551891425,-0.10247406975181106,-0.027953095293694677,0.013710787411951074,-0.07949331211106982,-0.11866279945277197,-0.12509798124910027,-0.05536081411039815,0.15562900283650424,-0.08169569243440371,-0.13322966566344804,-0.028125109187710426,-0.030358093821397834,0.08458108106892753,0.35255656682540343,0.08023085498482879,-0.050834260482591265,-0.04976043660655239,-0.06126737655624622,0.022521231308000326,-0.023376726863910152,0.04054206467809648,0.04199170846454878,0.3586143629522511,-0.1124056965896321,0.011091766406301056,-0.14817860018505138,-0.15760245469457634,-0.036598481654134325,-0.04942085217267558,-0.06031270270671234,-0.11237316857679688,0.007932187803180628,-0.12305338112949013,-0.05981433142476037,-0.14844394244412581,-0.05127290658026434,-0.06046100450126931,0.24265644268277278,-0.03640428214496599,0.05008635100734602,-0.058642702748158776,0.14986197753293795,0.43650074740959954,0.0063778067340053675,-0.11282174989454372,0.117953847150255,-0.13565686850249045,-0.031577839346473346,0.0227289022738857,0.24286908275058885,-0.05169825136230643,0.031104235057715014,-0.09898369917850926,-0.040511214112227176,0.5564757631750484,-0.13686389857352346,0.11146963175149198,0.04619203845990663;0.9988722465074639,-0.17701900228052173,-0.15125110577910109,-0.23555594951699088,-0.08197784741064994,0.11564338686074545,-0.17003381768958353,-0.19736778805511887,-0.19473248112867678,-0.20592520620669347,0.6037434524936526,-0.21146530081735124,-0.2078661877225168,-0.12033807102268172,0.5865787861800604,0.5312183078368967,-0.1693912757305769,0.43041147191645823,-0.21178112150261902,-0.13983702187922428,-0.15288404876185482,-0.08024799650903977,-0.012980124089625952,-0.1840097883593577,-0.21975534633579621,-0.09668290019099052,-0.20718170090798596,-0.08680603952721014,-0.09459614621264263,-0.009693999470374963,-0.2502526858985095,-0.2176150056143962,-0.08073471538875124,0.12310615864504516,0.03361484533539209,-0.060010657028335086,-0.07472749933585193,-0.05812640365692904,0.13605487371806785,-0.24334012700055518,-0.17025829426492645,-0.12716388720605667,-0.2104104859362889,-0.18241576864778117,-0.12891227222035392,-0.20901056611348426,-0.19150402973259445,-0.17770908082141468,-0.23256516778089886,0.13854421600584016,-0.22446333317441988,-0.1749480223450671,-0.1823329682468406,-0.18772952117313138,-0.005246726720962873,0.6193175011141205,1.031564361088531,-0.20478259957631348,-0.2050207053176634,-0.21291156208077444,-0.12066710255764397,-0.09605200394817712,-0.07592777589648234,0.9277317263063285,0.6353473156136966,0.36000169804390275,-0.14966472170330722,-0.10605697492482569,0.030774254366946672,-0.18979954444169034,-0.1838981858308046,-0.20262800331735314,-0.19886270943322407,0.8188210490239202,-0.20550655413433752,-0.20895803545588992,-0.12216045460625896,-0.16021653704322794,-0.2043786383076676,0.3358282426590886,-0.18100986707758038,-0.059134859787446814,-0.18999844655553783,0.1301503069348889,0.8294595455436976,-0.14404774947875001,-0.18557440406332645,0.06400383686520289,-0.15795852652874515,-0.18330819977690696,-0.10970899977159372,0.34562793872108344,-0.21000261500571873,-0.1048861016680017,-0.20919353998352624,-0.1862836600104556,1.135188501747452,-0.16681292171199866,0.04342928354900653,0.939236178332476;0.46878637367836246,0.10332719564583041,-0.07098100847210222,0.028021141897594765,0.2103833624554296,-0.15527532769085736,-0.09480031127436707,-0.05853832380658716,0.07537939792641864,0.03699748214195073,0.44869910023400744,0.10214615132491317,0.0287394786356326,-0.12673150465212968,-0.08396172841701229,-0.0948523856119199,-0.09819514815408391,0.430703243177825,-0.04182988624450501,-0.08214210918352456,-0.10224134528001842,0.2012966439874141,-0.15099077482585846,-0.07277949243640687,-0.07174283300271896,-0.13590484225574365,0.0415516534940925,-0.13745203804950143,-0.13401236834155367,-0.1518985409576711,-0.016034269977605157,-0.049810947377453146,-0.16072005092669334,0.333965709988573,-0.15924116277587888,-0.14581382555046485,-0.12345630742409257,-0.14094471195358477,-0.14955612056315887,-0.041194648824663935,0.12713932460387334,-0.16219446777546936,0.027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k{7}	=[0.6425350983215815;1.0361149672050531;-0.25779659599592913];
x_a_linear{7}	=[-9.206985510353915,0.3789232227975745,36.811697642984605];
L_a{7}	=[-0.07477734321031429,0.1465730966128108,0.02566425139599245,0.12671500225540985,0.17407061440973326,-0.1648468150657113,0.01975204198105166,0.05485410835812213,0.1372120856484159,0.11859980071694272,0.06335618103977772,0.1611970428024775,0.11477846625145767,-0.024292985905332843,-0.38151663854299794,-0.35746019088569064,0.01762171719962467,0.11771742752032455,0.07282764189181921,0.011846187839066002,0.006603384220185578,0.1665649807089469,-0.09481076302406505,0.040062830765729585,0.05804246569350096,-0.04205334812360113,0.1218553765681009,-0.04806636069050825,-0.04185130954740829,-0.09663426466124495,0.10604312743837094,0.07039549918715758,-0.06624100242240888,0.17030882777955683,-0.12418829936014338,-0.06680745299177085,-0.04535559327511835,-0.06542584526470936,-0.17204480098865269,0.08783277217218151,0.15895037284372088,-0.04311263483342012,0.11475055111366622,0.03130190006167496,-0.015353351492082093,0.08901667901634909,0.13287870450422276,0.1400848265937796,0.06199308707710561,-0.17427349072806364,0.09148290638954273,0.14919069376865424,0.03149452136758506,0.03399501947373583,-0.0947139670548469,-0.39479314562152523,-0.08984258015835297,0.05692424844607978,0.05572177954957844,0.0686072607650435,-0.02521929411616564,0.02617727877271045,-0.04539903876527016,-0.04702235111947644,-0.4015766709150322,0.12587199535663884,-0.01242056952582983,0.16593052345503972,0.17648336380969804,0.04098301111595201,0.055341512609548026,0.06753821617031697,0.12583557045999394,-0.008882470698749536,0.13779528162791113,0.06698013958175429,0.16622765394411154,0.05741544472211105,0.06770428464693519,-0.27172689243795567,0.04076554633918418,-0.05608673877484917,0.06566814878577816,-0.1678155708516161,-0.4887939109678381,-0.007141873445605317,0.12633789220397673,-0.13208481910839404,0.15190867758757876,0.035360891557862484,-0.0254518442417083,-0.2719650069680983,0.05789174617350124,-0.03483054906950005,0.11084203115493561,0.04536449227517521,-0.623142036423378,0.15326031089537315,-0.12482378914881612,-0.051725884247358786;0.7706093151111152,0.27040535462101123,-0.07290923103148392,0.15125022231187144,0.44938455474605504,-0.38756273979207523,-0.109739364716338,-0.029921887526912508,0.2241167524556737,0.15610876039908808,0.7971425087498071,0.2805996475056685,0.14250289525020737,-0.19449406449687337,-0.578026728693238,-0.5599532626691136,-0.11559978419669566,0.7897519342628117,0.010530213872787702,-0.10367572694779442,-0.1327267688355462,0.4282029477517881,-0.30239643345126127,-0.061715269752285126,-0.04257676796069561,-0.22505360855817708,0.16479013264070616,-0.23353187815337015,-0.22235011807011898,-0.30467667173337853,0.07345118059805011,-0.0027279514384276,-0.28293988532966524,0.6429854509903111,-0.34547839387404045,-0.2639449558992513,-0.21317853586279528,-0.25784325087364673,-0.38912359504242977,0.02477539018626357,0.3149485410435199,-0.25876814037694673,0.13987338417771283,-0.08686458750648741,-0.17577942298932872,0.06271890732195176,0.21411726286902963,0.24990939009043422,-0.04332704865262691,-0.39343747992548783,0.054794467231816746,0.28046672809488293,-0.08619379745455384,-0.0839574096643538,-0.2943675597961657,-0.5858154555529516,0.7573137681853009,-0.031017455483257732,-0.0349261794017789,-0.0034832274412741216,-0.1976507149134863,-0.01614407820344395,-0.21451143274011852,0.7841927979775734,-0.5904928138709777,0.7442345339177869,-0.18757935584060248,0.40045724537116106,0.5695017383401022,-0.06469611266469776,-0.014964450639997354,0.003536999910392592,0.1852589369636473,0.7917067024492338,0.21512292488456558,-0.004496599011610106,0.3852607767378741,0.015048017125718577,0.0022933002517979808,-0.4936365971475276,-0.056570261337852215,-0.2303434485868729,0.01045804865657948,-0.38211814888339224,-0.6626171474246373,-0.16584880442891775,0.20008061365783947,-0.33919406651363215,0.30575305457354374,-0.07536667073535758,-0.1874024872189281,-0.4845637619009211,-0.033284118227219626,-0.21120872415523329,0.12915930684322502,-0.04780545867994651,-0.7669949913225456,0.3010246120888551,-0.337603831507938,0.7813393948888292;0.5255806567150868,-0.007996817447067345,-0.09047331316137369,-0.06822041194916317,0.07817465700092294,-0.03007220772693133,-0.10980222247720331,-0.1002006726153191,-0.028834815815539597,-0.05308047945495324,0.40057932593313594,-0.02028492312310428,-0.058436133908827216,-0.10828069243974403,0.2058047037988108,0.17664288800891853,-0.11157905230555638,0.3412954545360068,-0.09714334790184166,-0.09113942997821865,-0.10725669426542787,0.07478855674788647,-0.07898087077013548,-0.10320768969612701,-0.11582677719253306,-0.10396482334846201,-0.05099895674744461,-0.10094506446093594,-0.10222580013990015,-0.07850366568401367,-0.09657528862406065,-0.10327716767498683,-0.11040922041706205,0.20461412629616363,-0.06491866988024197,-0.09507276908492883,-0.0890081939825559,-0.09125300301669476,-0.01888604453672442,-0.10790468569528362,0.006414622755493097,-0.129449907992146,-0.059394323987257164,-0.10970347221909106,-0.106465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x_a{7}	=[-9.206985510353915,0.37892322279756513,36.81169764298459];
std_x_a{7}	=[1.4994540032822934,3.408265479922911,1.6216543378591108];
pred_a{7}	=[-9.206985510353915];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.7 to 0.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{8}	=[-1.8310402283349,2.8437002132511475,27.710547046416245];
std_x_f{8}	=[2.063410060189984,2.464427531090639,1.279688711532877];
pred_f{8}	=[-1.8310402283349];
obs{8}	=[-1.6830813834165683];
sqrt_r{8}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{8}	=[5.475959574290283];
L_f{8}	=[0.46722424786931643,0.17381693635860362,-0.05488973389193384,0.09497254026218646,0.2899444673776367,-0.24454095999273906,-0.07916524084833611,-0.02688383001057371,0.142910905432681,0.09768163572914632,0.49089228457804895,0.18133890516672801,0.08838641246050559,-0.1343072283622531,-0.3084058804608475,-0.3050956852770994,-0.08433424223129773,0.4904839401991886,6.620430640744695E-5,-0.07407291138476868,-0.09435524177034584,0.2761524047004696,-0.19856125073048592,-0.047522914123761036,-0.03554959306358002,-0.1531513399301373,0.10367057528419232,-0.15822916936418116,-0.15148599016349854,-0.20046216838999667,0.04340599185090566,-0.00912769382008413,-0.189695303748543,0.4088345640860222,-0.2238484844702916,-0.17709627165455807,-0.14490954551855612,-0.17279237368033715,-0.2446191931622481,0.009686310290835085,0.20340661845722108,-0.17645546629760167,0.0871240014180065,-0.06448315970614839,-0.12201021286988094,0.034866620702360976,0.13661420271709543,0.1605643227627356,-0.03634921723601062,-0.24676275416048812,0.03014040462642799,0.1806603590196427,-0.06426308116527231,-0.06274497607621803,-0.19370670891775843,-0.30859143311627746,0.45900516790529106,-0.02763803665320541,-0.030313015119388238,-0.009476957064364753,-0.1365022258794443,-0.016771897010470837,-0.14577275759741556,0.47611836886595904,-0.3094772351081225,0.46447993136458077,-0.13043968217007695,0.25827718581564374,0.36452839665104386,-0.05003193855506811,-0.01645627176565999,-0.004556046858378079,0.11740962040370757,0.48281229268590514,0.13747230399630536,-0.009577403966338417,0.24937906173785634,0.003659499611941799,-0.005175034032493509,-0.28919275731530864,-0.044421260712248174,-0.1547130703126794,3.662283702823335E-5,-0.24058358447858666,-0.31838571695305506,-0.11599558113753798,0.12704533197713494,-0.21810144209998333,0.1974237868031663,-0.056663785169381774,-0.12888277335889015,-0.2833227120194901,-0.02917575643741667,-0.14463861572490772,0.07976940355545531,-0.03866477706322999,-0.31738115767855357,0.19443863438785888,-0.21834694035466704,0.4744272239372218;0.7283321999544438,0.1584980509163141,-0.11066510418086724,0.04963838300857655,0.3162862806342283,-0.24188301565763462,-0.14372056298460018,-0.08822402091100097,0.11684704808978584,0.05975241001875128,0.6732128478039383,0.16005594681830024,0.04828448492418764,-0.19426996435870722,-0.12715942694483467,-0.1464426534374765,-0.14894965631880083,0.6394265584203851,-0.06017050979159686,-0.1301760080122756,-0.15777366306434482,0.30054202999652324,-0.2345356115719825,-0.11015857466302591,-0.10454000626866064,-0.20911884061852606,0.06650182889550874,-0.21180227259905357,-0.2065888094157588,-0.2351693930203006,-0.017315382431756985,-0.07224370021340466,-0.24430811626081717,0.4917827016561333,-0.24668370324521965,-0.22488510023777122,-0.1931621782185518,-0.219295838414168,-0.23408291286371988,-0.05593904576459445,0.19532003767295536,-0.24359453788076943,0.04603269424137213,-0.12995259358678676,-0.18253763895667033,-0.016442006799247705,0.11006199316125258,0.14231621681094767,-0.10924232245853555,-0.23570246252369748,-0.026846665641151953,0.16697488954365164,-0.1289726657472215,-0.12906036334717277,-0.22681924569793221,-0.11448744344806423,0.727521027490048,-0.09119325298614021,-0.09460428105350908,-0.07123150978958608,-0.19650142546785299,-0.05140637621922689,-0.19447723839832956,0.7229102564648353,-0.10896616452854041,0.5984962226217189,-0.19786466208603243,0.2741514773438931,0.4239388255976986,-0.11397894586806413,-0.07339204502993064,-0.06317251946715596,0.08550941795320346,0.7081565235851794,0.10796353215998641,-0.07123292944419019,0.25991761483995623,-0.042977829752460756,-0.0648423757959548,-0.20740325036594975,-0.10505405786616624,-0.1999459034112039,-0.054886385810579,-0.23250408674684406,-0.031445602404624504,-0.17957211990004332,0.09993936183031074,-0.23109675885100756,0.18983804897615145,-0.12043489785859515,-0.18452232517460568,-0.19859932063712687,-0.0945147213205238,-0.20134477871030212,0.03696120901496224,-0.09996638621695955,0.11384163996164705,0.18493736118412762,-0.2375320900428571,0.7236371371700877;0.25473695993432793,-0.07277274425209353,-0.07253513526726797,-0.10208596869612588,-0.011497458741333925,0.08394635297825709,-0.0720451688878326,-0.0898642964590774,-0.08414761270804941,-0.09395319175752137,0.22477697681356712,-0.08004240743150241,-0.0962644211789776,-0.04261674822127608,0.2899273660626238,0.26873433216997394,-0.07168263803019134,0.19997785503669985,-0.09759865865840146,-0.06364495230140331,-0.0636599902473289,-0.016734736687172454,0.018387904330402605,-0.08306183121161398,-0.09583275299272795,-0.027747006574852184,-0.09370805168932414,-0.022971491086691963,-0.028474080969790764,0.02003166553700391,-0.10904116567041322,-0.09772059767056832,-0.0073555479335136315,0.0942360186230973,0.04630644085947566,-0.007507888991983751,-0.023970681855030183,-0.00740421760018745,0.09112066933609357,-0.10686526205491619,-0.06403793613144315,-0.02908781422604296,-0.09536645958193758,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k{8}	=[0.8173836043832361;0.9190506628504309;-0.0038320352567825025];
x_a_linear{8}	=[-1.7101010943751738,2.9796818877479243,27.709980062905966];
L_a{8}	=[-0.25060400948628236,-0.09322979568532772,0.02944108199795593,-0.05094020588473075,-0.15551685595205722,0.1311638797371371,0.042461680572043886,0.014419618891187978,-0.07665279801737147,-0.052393277272179774,-0.26329878062225437,-0.09726433702419023,-0.047407619462649445,0.07203806327274513,0.1654189621901931,0.163643480311818,0.045234166113018046,-0.2630797578744833,-3.550985358029079E-5,0.03973031937447162,0.05060910689359205,-0.14811923859434042,0.10650184742892266,0.02548975759755077,0.019067654553388567,0.08214543662858914,-0.05560555118970407,0.08486902047823333,0.08125219675368987,0.10752143831991143,-0.02328157334122029,0.004895800419408184,0.10174643956706632,-0.21928566730806998,0.12006510360175857,0.09498872531572443,0.07772480406441305,0.09268025332678478,0.13120584148472023,-0.005195424268071057,-0.10910074632017816,0.09464501800069108,-0.04673050291676644,0.03458668603009894,0.06544234098059813,-0.018701330217975213,-0.07327544987188267,-0.08612152140709545,0.01949654715604577,0.13235557843263587,-0.016166340427251215,-0.09690038676720658,0.034468643002587035,0.033654380421238896,0.10389802785398344,0.16551848664688318,-0.24619556021879402,0.014824150996459912,0.01625892312562887,0.005083133953106422,0.07321538910959782,0.008995904336477466,0.07818780316813176,-0.25537452898046525,0.16599360225096327,-0.2491320466707358,0.06996363629886115,-0.1385315480080523,-0.195521268831727,0.02683551733765841,0.008826613140214873,0.0024437165136948404,-0.06297473164034392,-0.2589649337082255,-0.07373570770759198,0.005137010429958583,-0.13375888139032208,-0.0019628375017954713,0.0027757212595130813,0.1551136629318971,0.023826130796273725,0.08298309840960008,-1.9643307983051637E-5,0.1290412712136882,0.17077182444075073,0.062216286608243895,-0.06814301638919047,0.11698257552823807,-0.10589174848364687,0.030392625855514888,0.06912856065313588,0.15196516005836969,0.015648934267334713,0.077579486065856,-0.04278573395214272,0.02073853872551772,0.1702330112624864,-0.10429060905731088,0.1171142528699558,-0.25446745341301186;-0.0787803139223559,-0.14176424304321236,-0.01584513002588961,-0.11442314862177476,-0.18458200481334025,0.1805523991686761,-0.006965553277495611,-0.041783204276544444,-0.13002622672458822,-0.10898898328967349,-0.1747853193616802,-0.1532002685434548,-0.10439975584215141,0.03774077825498436,0.40560026309326813,0.38059879751444536,-0.0032653889384055557,-0.20786620901554828,-0.06028487526902608,-0.0022178080888499707,0.005221508376367311,-0.17650098005132278,0.10847156531672547,-0.028064507713169075,-0.04312940620736264,0.05544440398685131,-0.11258523478805765,0.06153273352820311,0.055097605395862385,0.11112154843721392,-0.09229761924815492,-0.05647594856390849,0.08338346690790097,-0.21446380477837468,0.14000622959162057,0.08104212349933872,0.05716367302224237,0.07919656161829873,0.18848764685371977,-0.07267178659446093,-0.1560573317826347,0.061225718431345943,-0.10447077839338209,-0.01856033308127937,0.028230466673834817,-0.07667279750372061,-0.12593396186270553,-0.13505267997671486,-0.04645040137438784,0.19057101910720786,-0.07891309382470016,-0.14510916258159984,-0.017960582737182318,-0.02067075042584018,0.10780189073149202,0.4185927819022863,-0.06539333138565716,-0.04344957242265406,-0.04223967466210852,-0.05486041887338574,0.03930109373306148,-0.0224335478175849,0.0573397796090749,-0.09956652069466322,0.4256442508230687,-0.20387558654398985,0.027465038300212456,-0.17201275679276523,-0.20577042417308006,-0.027550632514332752,-0.04496444750178062,-0.055302117941603085,-0.11731133527076604,-0.12588375805135474,-0.12951476091423852,-0.054688320240073585,-0.17087544084018638,-0.04929947924902472,-0.05590269694492873,0.2921664839022253,-0.028317981845840348,0.06731517235511975,-0.05494965039967941,0.1830951090387222,0.5185538840610775,0.020805933074434933,-0.11952672482078,0.14566537200207647,-0.15120420127612938,-0.022550316092139908,0.038117873135913416,0.29083012866749064,-0.04411468701184424,0.04851305138682737,-0.10083746930214563,-0.033174421638275685,0.6621057876364399,-0.150948149277332,0.13965412991603351,-0.09591825001235432;0.2581022625605982,-0.07152078313259813,-0.07293049267105037,-0.1014019045863853,-0.009409059258669212,0.08218498391693944,-0.07261537686430448,-0.09005793414836959,-0.08311826021282154,-0.09324961469199712,0.22831275455207295,-0.07873626740006026,-0.09562779534601502,-0.043584130523020535,0.2877059935114235,0.26653680214962727,-0.07229007706649968,0.20351069156995602,-0.09759818180488385,-0.06417848146722768,-0.06433960810616308,-0.014745678077677331,0.01695771593241993,-0.08340412720425136,-0.09608880806573672,-0.028850118429243836,-0.09296133774872323,-0.02411117731154466,-0.02956519771483385,0.018587785291431798,-0.10872852286765229,-0.09778634222925582,-0.008721877071625334,0.09718075455772224,0.04469411466683952,-0.008783470366066134,-0.025014430068718514,-0.008648799043890138,0.08935873678028299,-0.10679549391764738,-0.06257284772814123,-0.030358780034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x_a{8}	=[-1.7101010943751738,2.9796818877479248,27.709980062905974];
std_x_a{8}	=[1.1067465711723463,1.6021703734694563,1.2789868116594907];
pred_a{8}	=[-1.7101010943751738];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.8 to 0.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{9}	=[1.133543688743877,2.772207000248879,21.386764984661394];
std_x_f{9}	=[1.364808093415737,1.6711000661349587,1.359947659304704];
pred_f{9}	=[1.133543688743877];
obs{9}	=[1.1683968916863126];
sqrt_r{9}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{9}	=[2.8813964487493475];
L_f{9}	=[-0.1367308191164298,-0.13197558330893097,0.0033425255160572966,-0.09642008005674155,-0.18333664267497668,0.16937385751454517,0.015082597040212576,-0.020001096548359184,-0.1182900709488374,-0.0937218008446258,-0.2035124598287745,-0.14203007233483084,-0.08853761739568439,0.05690845646748515,0.3090688692830744,0.2949277492330208,0.01877710711294896,-0.2243895399085582,-0.03848335026375704,0.016995500793233368,0.02668619783090167,-0.1755764519286663,0.1158622348341913,-0.00658991393445803,-0.01862106018710819,0.07231460317189259,-0.09726816382075511,0.07758172086641588,0.07161563027117451,0.11772885438688059,-0.07017128325043358,-0.03410019206838066,0.0983733828642273,-0.22091759962754995,0.14041928186413022,0.09413902673104174,0.07176577087479837,0.09211131659626691,0.17403383322092103,-0.04929021836461119,-0.14825808921121011,0.08171107024972854,-0.0882628810340284,0.0042718506568214815,0.04802663895791396,-0.057806599944180616,-0.1138497115688499,-0.12507964793725096,-0.020876619176576718,0.17556228957341355,-0.05836457883279462,-0.1362475582064856,0.004239152215456247,0.0023467274735858384,0.11412660298378016,0.3165111620148012,-0.12707329801092782,-0.02042047248341822,-0.019421968155190098,-0.03286981432650877,0.057997256636112916,-0.00971583754425821,0.07170762444914604,-0.1510575958365654,0.3205366689480003,-0.21918794910909478,0.04981607077913478,-0.1694512227470474,-0.20923241700467035,-0.0054073782509495485,-0.024277689848383452,-0.03446638191807663,-0.10395634773709345,-0.16901781651601294,-0.11686444629200926,-0.032645515982342596,-0.16706285483317337,-0.032266715982734985,-0.034568100628982454,0.24245580323452434,-0.006978596140791679,0.08049438140252901,-0.034999340940240674,0.16976972845574467,0.3713584820946149,0.04172670665333196,-0.10685676842783515,0.1424440408622002,-0.1433545452328591,-8.316729112078343E-4,0.055496964756810756,0.24117259187682938,-0.021322560051026528,0.06597415200741373,-0.08381716374711437,-0.011523767099463502,0.44438926995292594,-0.14264207115502267,0.13907506592144855,-0.14831880739284042;-0.08623220179259743,-0.1722731060075818,-0.004491930007430724,-0.13407301834234744,-0.22468321456869764,0.21104322325091354,0.008441453221596257,-0.036835032592042294,-0.15676930393434965,-0.1279508110822201,-0.18766054222586176,-0.18668288484042894,-0.12161649102400522,0.06270183231460282,0.3940036238316335,0.37536742914550025,0.01290679377782482,-0.2253428582439047,-0.06108866752845032,0.01253693726435083,0.023760197837327836,-0.21536059945650166,0.14025433210007796,-0.018907894284735247,-0.0369718170970724,0.08290919579804078,-0.13269012504889416,0.09005166059652109,0.0821667354052958,0.14317519035281756,-0.10277010858676555,-0.05559226017875616,0.11547745452154444,-0.24871589016885962,0.17229741462560075,0.11136262353302405,0.08376059652521424,0.10919650755204897,0.21849732807522995,-0.07613636619569192,-0.19042953368918678,0.09197012766915846,-0.12198433117814277,-0.006088248390874158,0.05059273270649984,-0.08391673647365917,-0.15112323301973596,-0.1636278034545766,-0.0403840580180774,0.21971518986495164,-0.08557740505619157,-0.17662775260190242,-0.0055676681412973475,-0.00852781227727932,0.13889385926986192,0.4034474155971525,-0.0734390497435637,-0.037983856781069296,-0.036375044542286177,-0.0537963932907748,0.06397868485014269,-0.016738394056953945,0.08402798202386741,-0.10756905240914695,0.4083756626681087,-0.22522777169010438,0.05180888793081717,-0.21045761747951022,-0.2442765425913581,-0.017730905297336754,-0.04108489947631513,-0.0548487042141486,-0.13962071856550168,-0.1350139212952752,-0.15609244746471465,-0.05333289380963248,-0.2092009076673715,-0.048746110396962666,-0.0550100483854968,0.30719757320879765,-0.019424751539283965,0.09552337075135008,-0.054702549116872126,0.21271538487012218,0.47164087737211496,0.042734371555582934,-0.14286264902070606,0.17651191731161706,-0.1846746222156555,-0.010960613198776958,0.06245328682171058,0.3062457020391829,-0.03913223136533116,0.07458216006306236,-0.11675508130093938,-0.02529336714554238,0.5604206026083767,-0.18424233723272124,0.17174151054562498,-0.10319464265580781;0.14698731262066195,-0.08500759869693737,-0.06923550735555528,-0.10526017991000253,-0.03716204583735466,0.11027216065667263,-0.06588425530276566,-0.08657440432049651,-0.0932689645142824,-0.09871896996873636,0.13542752208575973,-0.08982854012592614,-0.10029908440147049,-0.03176059440001226,0.35363756569733734,0.3270407848860401,-0.06409931978875254,0.12229895134076028,-0.09558009761161566,-0.059527182249115566,-0.05627090118690326,-0.04170538116627419,0.03601516245908758,-0.0783471273889094,-0.09096706600929377,-0.01497148379029767,-0.09920870662577681,-0.009820361173531125,-0.015971593616770564,0.0379331215288297,-0.10829517706601864,-0.09513335709051955,0.009876747032100177,0.04489301427911912,0.06765414621629726,0.00753746873126583,-0.013464807829310164,0.006331530315561042,0.11832738060134569,-0.10411653254085312,-0.07793399023071174,-0.013094364576576143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k{9}	=[0.6529460566129168;0.7895728998362499;0.41628511559632364];
x_a_linear{9}	=[1.15630095016547,2.799726144764719,21.40127385427719];
L_a{9}	=[0.14564003256463112,0.14057495139030735,-0.003560320402909029,0.10270269490150956,0.19528263475652152,-0.18041005154083406,-0.016065360672090093,0.02130434361071808,0.12599770773252894,0.09982859910613241,0.2167730835542793,0.15128457866099407,0.09430662058509437,-0.060616542098455926,-0.3292074199363281,-0.3141448817470673,-0.020000600516192332,0.23901048871518174,0.040990878441510094,-0.018102906901120763,-0.028425037941220824,0.18701679944372315,-0.12341167677708237,0.007019304690885611,0.01983438576294255,-0.07702653453633332,0.10360603876945873,-0.08263685119726767,-0.07628201741371084,-0.1253999229837255,0.07474355850229143,0.03632211900281356,-0.10478327253813276,0.23531232103904207,-0.14956883104737195,-0.10027301092255451,-0.07644194099598982,-0.09811317766792618,-0.18537366558200388,0.05250190889024788,0.15791840552278283,-0.08703526395119321,0.09401398273711817,-0.00455019923665452,-0.05115599619018066,0.06157320750892396,0.12126801994978137,0.1332296852785027,0.02223691422580445,-0.18700171428667117,0.06216754362153744,0.14512528296306865,-0.004515370204721388,-0.0024996373742362673,-0.12156295327167538,-0.33713464338754767,0.13535323915998382,0.0217510455703312,0.02068747991762181,0.03501157134756664,-0.0617762871584215,0.010348909671443746,-0.07638000582014405,0.1609003245862122,-0.3414224474439328,0.2334699686018877,-0.05306202520689332,0.18049245779754905,0.22286574616501384,0.005759716424187934,0.02585959451542344,0.0367121693365949,0.11073001659441627,0.1800308113449829,0.12447919111142543,0.034772657996797206,0.17794846674271098,0.03436917585111249,0.03682051591467056,-0.2582539277300129,0.007433312955836643,-0.08573929714230363,0.03727985531876904,-0.18083171694984884,-0.3955557479645992,-0.04444556797857907,0.11381942516068141,-0.15172552087282606,0.15269535259803574,8.858637039853331E-4,-0.05911307930904437,-0.2568871038849596,0.02271191206386662,-0.07027294730533135,0.08927858793276201,0.012274641711931485,-0.47334513290822405,0.15193645457805666,-0.14813702763296127,0.15798308002709033;0.2552238341739676,0.15730774352034976,-0.01283917403189714,0.10671555102707075,0.23316091786430893,-0.21193183355786274,-0.02922411355195331,0.013113436864370309,0.13863489960516032,0.10609938189441508,0.32056838708205937,0.1680069049296402,0.09948731033705951,-0.07941489077630978,-0.37782990739443606,-0.3611516731345471,-0.033985023320466365,0.335022122414146,0.035015285601428844,-0.02990569832889081,-0.042882885157735674,0.22310411297666374,-0.14908686895732426,-0.002450990830475997,0.009530306111672122,-0.09768109029205832,0.11021635250025283,-0.1036921276854269,-0.09667801505889571,-0.15082749461317035,0.07246769348459596,0.029565690929931655,-0.13018907168303695,0.30297866071244695,-0.17836976976221167,-0.12372950203934069,-0.09545909804947339,-0.12083184476726552,-0.21611502340260455,0.046955433323003115,0.17981339887841422,-0.11208582930056929,0.09843337476132547,-0.01675628359277956,-0.06934354695114295,0.060442908244311935,0.13319212074943496,0.14873191939897604,0.011750842324671247,-0.21871415510888156,0.06017567283719943,0.16362144239264578,-0.016154045965275775,-0.014388263240731324,-0.14611297170646845,-0.3869716531916981,0.24389938863046343,0.013011914558637741,0.012127175365377597,0.028288952027967863,-0.08085708426083932,0.007524836393911623,-0.09504650426393092,0.26966505040911953,-0.3920962504542176,0.32214734620999336,-0.0725961157515549,0.2127106424840669,0.27823675885593246,-0.004227132304001532,0.019543448921099094,0.031223727882047265,0.1199880707422221,0.28707199911553266,0.13575156278960607,0.02819231427035331,0.20800291322115935,0.03183312553770889,0.03131640447963743,-0.2982840439169948,-0.001997197237739009,-0.10549416552102388,0.03270083437869907,-0.2112482751168534,-0.4557476663227207,-0.061469171872720725,0.1239893218761863,-0.17921167049523629,0.17332275591253465,-0.008883687621084168,-0.07613853700039755,-0.296031368618321,0.014116311126635061,-0.0901742025937323,0.09256039463926984,0.0034847814723934925,-0.5493467455634495,0.17197578896149363,-0.17556878144413685,0.2671999206103041;0.3270125711279931,0.08875672638631132,-0.07363640997563815,0.02169034923684369,0.20422630175474227,-0.11273222621440664,-0.08574260507842274,-0.06024016161050184,0.0624764682932368,0.024678896977845508,0.40338015651662884,0.09717392686083408,0.0162730795209061,-0.10668854153743408,-0.053294854139004706,-0.06127287138956963,-0.08882200911273044,0.41773918339247634,-0.04491138133952385,-0.08190413752178201,-0.09140701529878445,0.18946558928876972,-0.11653368433382987,-0.06967058345201055,-0.06644983430156755,-0.11018377911626585,0.02885844348362214,-0.11196755406445608,-0.1102635932994117,-0.11707339113400114,-0.015904862368982805,-0.05023568199480876,-0.11964557862070627,0.33576195106141793,-0.11722748968963637,-0.11640973448451522,-0.10795448862842875,-0.11494590873476224,-0.11081251643927238,-0.03921906201947819,0.11726853256938684,-0.12067842382288307,0.01655492839980799,-0.0799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x_a{9}	=[1.15630095016547,2.799726144764719,21.401273854277182];
std_x_a{9}	=[1.4537373245769971,1.762121550039908,1.3663930869354417];
pred_a{9}	=[1.15630095016547];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.9 to 1.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{10}	=[2.541061398229777,3.9832937457702666,17.27602729543474];
std_x_f{10}	=[1.961036720031496,2.7417210973831656,1.7640693309003854];
pred_f{10}	=[2.541061398229777];
obs{10}	=[2.6868598676929043];
sqrt_r{10}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{10}	=[4.89587353082117];
L_f{10}	=[0.22407256304439396,0.1845906999937755,-2.9828958438989013E-4,0.13631312017882052,0.24876267851888192,-0.24675054500880486,-0.01798646001485166,0.03209926855110855,0.16704122314241718,0.1343611256651593,0.287415198714498,0.19632432954225879,0.1275492875254322,-0.07919558145958344,-0.4514559246051784,-0.4316817115927246,-0.02336287563542736,0.30428968945911505,0.058078673925423575,-0.02005457802245504,-0.03439898558643469,0.24013910218321205,-0.16721526722997135,0.013650547810165527,0.029462797143604853,-0.1025054971909988,0.1386933005056485,-0.10986021278608085,-0.10075379954670231,-0.16980565980848408,0.10133334645699954,0.05200326671238895,-0.14219815480364378,0.2945443858467777,-0.20449480221237676,-0.13521215248822757,-0.10047314733753782,-0.13109502645029572,-0.25295940225868024,0.07237061701409904,0.2052947405511674,-0.11803479141886015,0.12654814411209686,-0.0024419765907484708,-0.06643869336479925,0.08623834845232507,0.1611844915603468,0.17657420085857312,0.03222521854602132,-0.2556337356374987,0.08620009956617129,0.1902470841888162,-0.0024528126459194308,2.4699202209321693E-4,-0.1640231603020818,-0.46257453722062525,0.21321890348448,0.03220156315050356,0.031150814175809748,0.05077239395602185,-0.08138440620646326,0.021488140688414595,-0.09995928637736293,0.23869205388756393,-0.46813609170305437,0.29821951404791397,-0.06987215450991445,0.2322236508430873,0.27977239436870305,0.012179400837131385,0.038819011712718246,0.052956718639244095,0.1484543917177569,0.25539138475361434,0.1652054275583809,0.0500593082235141,0.22799073374052098,0.05138658696164763,0.053328717113851974,-0.35457679398967223,0.014624892286826542,-0.11255039493683876,0.054297733844435266,-0.24645793389860418,-0.5408259897289154,-0.05693172432124054,0.1519827288557545,-0.20609007124676115,0.19847362232179847,0.0060000217781311415,-0.0759242008705835,-0.3527039134764702,0.0344042703341835,-0.09250642083970866,0.12092633511174541,0.020522251387379082,-0.6433096623784701,0.19741991951903848,-0.20099045750471695,0.235559855700193;0.2891382196336979,0.2574551717712121,0.017244940032616025,0.20109714384206298,0.3213014960397147,-0.3536838862232405,-0.009737573217135455,0.06254213724129738,0.23789355078115043,0.1983014131599268,0.34180578709927384,0.27146756541587636,0.18990145043878606,-0.09979016472899571,-0.6600581738404709,-0.6315930353536003,-0.017458099800485835,0.3534816006616445,0.09820955319948121,-0.01189580628471259,-0.03322150979899813,0.3140519021641665,-0.23213918414111065,0.03607699560367173,0.05861665287034295,-0.13432123815320765,0.2038323242883466,-0.145398619996771,-0.1319437935285277,-0.2357039079139284,0.15653874323855324,0.09000853429214699,-0.19446733193247145,0.3541408422959315,-0.28841366468705704,-0.18334718581256051,-0.13092927786354594,-0.1780725703314289,-0.3625608603497936,0.11791955315527267,0.28068360717613594,-0.15856768610324165,0.18861999672381022,0.01308756517439149,-0.08119635438479343,0.13641184922871613,0.2309736143843323,0.24824140921907023,0.06208303178154801,-0.36702727019729425,0.13596920407689075,0.2640781935378899,0.013345264182957495,0.01679850909612606,-0.2276425152534131,-0.6752334797534465,0.2785240283987152,0.06273930878974907,0.06157363004342159,0.08762858424579378,-0.1024253474117208,0.04720836591619499,-0.13009214646697867,0.3018778646698058,-0.6843657037762397,0.35152965920069523,-0.08547146426984774,0.3062491609880491,0.3450469319277497,0.0336379821411972,0.07186039959343556,0.09153003442285648,0.21544544011583508,0.3164959649409939,0.23532955178134093,0.0870891265497526,0.30336250266681136,0.08892347528036969,0.09154145076156298,-0.5168689259381068,0.037849570702193296,-0.15028425560636002,0.09275383467511385,-0.35392311165897977,-0.7877377219845773,-0.06644262537745076,0.21921953571074634,-0.2909502845471058,0.27254754807156384,0.02549124237406724,-0.09498913282325089,-0.5139731164111312,0.06527918799605334,-0.11962185844897599,0.18104474039703586,0.04597674483275913,-0.9247219275729306,0.27189877732460177,-0.2839169852666848,0.2992153308850405;0.3625289716620836,0.14397799207984227,-0.09038074562217195,0.05820312808233876,0.28699670721905707,-0.17619088064986893,-0.10681160437744286,-0.06531552872233988,0.11143116237201582,0.05870951320250626,0.4792035268855946,0.16037860579449606,0.04820764242874129,-0.1447081807688459,-0.10059097833253615,-0.1129560068728173,-0.11150839485788987,0.5063524955074107,-0.04001651753421135,-0.104593799964871,-0.1172875382643863,0.26772514406107145,-0.171706090380135,-0.08131052704282216,-0.07075341863140219,-0.1536966841986671,0.06556087674892748,-0.15668652818360332,-0.15335772113836307,-0.17343079828053382,0.006711838736953965,-0.0473206481890824,-0.16984448590531648,0.4323660376951616,-0.17700535348924257,-0.16646394677809684,-0.15162996078966726,-0.16432601808426286,-0.1748241149714726,-0.027522777418206332,0.18258669962913193,-0.16566918650844742,0.048335852800546836,-0.09574251432355022,-0.13660782636407512,-0.006650824208036504,0.1018390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k{10}	=[0.7957463578859494;1.1083408260759984;0.5216612313245618];
x_a_linear{10}	=[2.6570799992904064,4.144888141855645,17.35208470454011];
L_a{10}	=[-0.13167365357120997,-0.10847259277626042,1.752864289371224E-4,-0.08010283061777933,-0.14618251475193794,0.1450001077354555,0.010569535478999175,-0.018862764408378276,-0.0981598454060088,-0.07895576358791805,-0.1688962217972909,-0.11536772465366893,-0.0749528655837754,0.04653836871323571,0.26529285964991234,0.2536727717709288,0.013728924019301026,-0.1788123213781979,-0.03412926190707414,0.011784841138816197,0.020214166561801934,-0.1411149697230405,0.0982621204038015,-0.008021586752934209,-0.01731347243775348,0.0602361714566461,-0.08150151609508008,0.06455808512703926,0.05920680656858111,0.09978433468279345,-0.05954737061648571,-0.030559119031015523,0.08356110324123336,-0.173085606271436,0.12016900854698087,0.07945585967089244,0.05904188453947842,0.07703647810867843,0.14864867098427761,-0.04252775718712701,-0.12063908307225575,0.06936178184188425,-0.07436455522041986,0.0014349993380290856,0.03904193077002118,-0.050676969390558595,-0.09471820473872052,-0.10376178965230429,-0.01893677746813055,0.1502202121050292,-0.05065449287439603,-0.1117965016156306,0.0014413670206909132,-1.45142008955033E-4,0.09638631563737,0.27182658393024317,-0.12529562589368154,-0.018922876648181146,-0.018305416149651817,-0.029835810872666763,0.04782460629419143,-0.012627257681410793,0.058739920081472,-0.1402646285059223,0.2750947671843068,-0.17524525291005752,0.04105956455449548,-0.1364635461687302,-0.16440501610004823,-0.007157084226396765,-0.022811543862353713,-0.03111940404319115,-0.08723750860249624,-0.1500777974073359,-0.0970810613350113,-0.029416774278301614,-0.13397612132480358,-0.03019673429831892,-0.03133800465010624,0.20836295752522138,-0.008594149030688432,0.06613893959556322,-0.03190743613941461,0.1448281581962872,0.3178101461702084,0.03345527021977026,-0.08931089516834323,0.12110644996922564,-0.1166307317306226,-0.0035258434959609263,0.044615979695486065,0.20726238092394048,-0.020217272082776322,0.054360329730986076,-0.07106096409485628,-0.012059663989953428,0.37803349268715486,-0.11601153544914772,0.11810972085570234,-0.13842402841889345;-0.20635642095083542,-0.15073269963070515,0.017904551760170813,-0.10033387284416682,-0.22879072546595228,0.19195887767441866,0.030036125174850558,-0.008439402478078093,-0.1314869289135215,-0.09881313208139003,-0.29375926669697006,-0.16266703715600603,-0.09214998647322004,0.0753360784756437,0.3382523201475054,0.32299047824764154,0.03420453800182167,-0.3193982390813933,-0.030220591354194155,0.03245114897969486,0.04284542480488764,-0.21697089022915741,0.13762616156052299,0.005891357571585574,-0.006534822539849076,0.09235053191321503,-0.10286201682968489,0.09753673054052184,0.09085442422572934,0.13978960736913074,-0.06754103431096858,-0.02498698144072614,0.11997734013679902,-0.2971890778800883,0.16378841283169676,0.11564924636794639,0.0912483299257076,0.11181960625129606,0.19681163221106698,-0.04211455534545149,-0.17328738463664625,0.10244421895079747,-0.09121759843521907,0.01848754050697597,0.06572041240907332,-0.05428815835107233,-0.12545579682239136,-0.1422194709627922,-0.009177022837702045,0.19825901135377968,-0.054646223231935666,-0.15661771550884432,0.0187692014285463,0.016252332350738058,0.13506408191849228,0.34766375027591856,-0.19296977036208765,-0.00846843633859014,-0.007310579893965535,-0.024645086180652497,0.0775410730842496,-3.0864554908828284E-4,0.0909491537426548,-0.2259450505702471,0.35082986569246344,-0.3079271208745583,0.06903776084620439,-0.20727008851920334,-0.2736174869093302,0.006705510988387119,-0.01398059760455379,-0.025573862244268507,-0.1128337318986874,-0.24825440287537684,-0.12999140870785647,-0.023607687906760027,-0.20079644092050286,-0.024708368313006424,-0.02638505108296297,0.26721145726668777,0.005509351762434459,0.09859993052144918,-0.02731546676128186,0.19107259739666693,0.40819798633510274,0.05945125425305959,-0.116861895171618,0.1647794326169859,-0.1663398142261843,0.012223314368685059,0.07290306294988497,0.26596574119080263,-0.010799432840858174,0.08493882101561241,-0.08636127370531542,5.956172327673799E-4,0.49783728991423915,-0.16465851794288267,0.16053588816472072,-0.22168131282044984;0.12931520001281566,-0.04814322424416506,-0.09007028709001522,-0.08367098827649636,0.02808556827935267,0.08062603828105266,-0.08809137320906336,-0.09872431105729988,-0.062424633003663244,-0.08113297555951551,0.18006300914067186,-0.04395492231350677,-0.08454511413739672,-0.06228175604639086,0.3692824299960039,0.3363364845626694,-0.08719241315319898,0.18964907948639165,-0.10046455460982832,-0.08372108036053173,-0.08148522020935602,0.017789386734458377,0.0023308493424476513,-0.09551795920959129,-0.10141817272642302,-0.04700939821461743,-0.07879052118192631,-0.04234448545453909,-0.048493594620448464,0.0033022110325395776,-0.09875547774300553,-0.10144542724860645,-0.021845250511405345,0.12580549227115642,0.035831967861746715,-0.025735712914194377,-0.04705793589870621,-0.027882871509120558,0.08845495620692563,-0.10284580814151213,-0.031083194146349996,-0.042819077067902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x_a{10}	=[2.6570799992904073,4.1448881418556445,17.352084704540093];
std_x_a{10}	=[1.1523805779946874,1.615557676713908,1.4596282135920922];
pred_a{10}	=[2.6570799992904073];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.0 to 1.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{11}	=[4.768722466519111,7.698526265122946,15.448414535975799];
std_x_f{11}	=[1.7178033512265736,2.4612893924018695,2.26085518089541];
pred_f{11}	=[4.768722466519111];
obs{11}	=[5.092411684619948];
sqrt_r{11}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{11}	=[4.0082300999331055];
L_f{11}	=[-0.2395448735578713,-0.17103370581781477,0.02962622726634454,-0.11230756125648687,-0.25875051907978175,0.2185997308575415,0.045439644795713066,-0.0013198158566412703,-0.14885931175079756,-0.11009393101962704,-0.327777247544457,-0.1850426195405024,-0.10207271578862115,0.09820417177586845,0.3245868934994788,0.3165299972779609,0.05049448263095077,-0.3527272575158623,-0.026885971119329857,0.04659102259247334,0.060456962406605905,-0.24587606536217826,0.165634552209951,0.01585825271066927,0.001602310613008198,0.11690320265135418,-0.11615905440730158,0.12238346008950754,0.11586429762926774,0.1681389601338744,-0.07212870850349057,-0.021247042859404177,0.14764053957246964,-0.330875635641107,0.19215093439931996,0.1426754931175923,0.11581877079875041,0.13943374570753997,0.2225001419554698,-0.04150447105080479,-0.19720076909741746,0.12937164974581553,-0.10135826110109243,0.03139513130486461,0.08731169790146769,-0.05694475919967472,-0.141770237919778,-0.16138784589521724,-0.001190071496797325,0.22476854831500578,-0.05772592169111255,-0.178750371891803,0.031409602680535414,0.028973820299743405,0.16307051973212916,0.33033657815272294,-0.22420234722476226,-0.0018870366188783142,-1.1954017001379009E-4,-0.02078798561567742,0.09938425398250421,0.007008104115937061,0.11527132236492327,-0.25825416496382947,0.3313293443823688,-0.34104916991088297,0.09093175991019509,-0.23567589352715076,-0.30598023408581765,0.017473585400745544,-0.008379551246192121,-0.021745790286082766,-0.1270287444949557,-0.28139190219211563,-0.14700912141949832,-0.019626048484421413,-0.22863596347984322,-0.021032237409379973,-0.022312190588412408,0.28000418112995606,0.015472510605061477,0.12382268449522844,-0.023856236917125604,0.21798706489555075,0.3588731365346411,0.07961391451878355,-0.13047246307902663,0.1924067750533144,-0.18937792358779063,0.023932051044213337,0.09506690547995618,0.279132069451688,-0.004062385622804349,0.10960057870863027,-0.09552954279792078,0.009815952463633815,0.38927263919277244,-0.18714527662917374,0.19011713487586443,-0.2541908151132267;-0.3811886189712673,-0.25158970576493067,0.07641447857399403,-0.1503163546952955,-0.40576947212214254,0.31087945398758976,0.10050528012073574,0.030098114395723574,-0.21362207821998275,-0.1477018078333348,-0.5339677304820714,-0.2755459617791535,-0.13383749544839021,0.17511173935514687,0.35287115719559964,0.3550833627287792,0.10773788965212344,-0.5759248682778713,-0.01051136021653695,0.1025697251359342,0.12213073854482852,-0.3838845748240128,0.2583638159614801,0.055752147200621764,0.03483496664682957,0.19944801564347697,-0.15600088622215183,0.20736322315242836,0.19781456744331014,0.2617152246045961,-0.08336426833570122,-0.0011471684005905647,0.23842369380888295,-0.535513863919353,0.2868270101423745,0.23176587643708801,0.19759047751133527,0.22748981449672476,0.31407970328044976,-0.033162255875807754,-0.2974902868385039,0.21632525926101676,-0.1327760881365479,0.07995416803104217,0.1595720997776705,-0.05833507241541549,-0.20156663560904045,-0.23515816707885068,0.031129144896855615,0.3160915872671123,-0.05920628205649759,-0.2647403944509939,0.07989217673054916,0.07598803090297136,0.25512912083273903,0.3537586342331467,-0.35680784694575174,0.029969118813097568,0.031901841918941874,-2.846380065116853E-4,0.17721999194904042,0.04138258577321467,0.19730372083411804,-0.41546522461559454,0.35112859314467443,-0.5550506107503752,0.16525203562508384,-0.36547170053138933,-0.4908286969551654,0.05857406426398295,0.01885387296132724,-0.002175684787445671,-0.17543095689951937,-0.4550228451422214,-0.20966951455563568,0.0013999885824297353,-0.35320825638652564,-0.0019507468850331572,-0.003727349245154877,0.3496662620051969,0.055680636744778654,0.20773638964117208,-0.00607316458185264,0.3090511294162267,0.33261234271404017,0.149806776659851,-0.18358029676068097,0.2868541413640389,-0.2840498147262427,0.06765140287058208,0.17025596478654656,0.3490001836929289,0.026203623573260566,0.18956298377804567,-0.12319550379395179,0.04779239393202499,0.28261888592197815,-0.2808679846317143,0.28310790845841316,-0.40811530320295825;-0.06995549942267634,-0.17548745153176712,-0.07162310607992238,-0.16984571166297968,-0.1554094403837529,0.25259347324431464,-0.05736398226761304,-0.10360099555428584,-0.1744116864693959,-0.16681755258707232,-0.060212282718181985,-0.17864741053274988,-0.16424835054788242,0.01267874958334154,0.6198413562523415,0.5809544828408514,-0.05185821428176919,-0.05811085644652229,-0.12579319197393318,-0.05223396210215563,-0.03863734562919138,-0.15873135989670611,0.13110831056034308,-0.08738922326297556,-0.10361247116978838,0.042188466693265765,-0.1677582053967826,0.05149048722695772,0.03964245418901362,0.13469302527162805,-0.15594445890136316,-0.12155217398614902,0.0936376554081383,-0.10210824607949331,0.1868075049762054,0.0847588670624052,0.040482850862329105,0.07927698167762778,0.2636247559072129,-0.1377993376209988,-0.1749945754613289,0.0579296978923638,-0.1629876751976677,-0.07312336184647031,-0.0028921240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k{11}	=[0.7505133250666695;1.0557786980197068;0.7678315531636437];
x_a_linear{11}	=[5.0116555378842005,8.040270446372464,15.69695333105249];
L_a{11}	=[0.16903636501289263,0.1206910233424098,-0.020905935876515166,0.0792505455712584,0.18258895104210598,-0.15425629172577,-0.032064774627242394,9.313364614297426E-4,0.10504352100274406,0.07768848330224054,0.23129810142007023,0.1305765024941506,0.0720282617099479,-0.06929839899948521,-0.2290468077778497,-0.22336140766745058,-0.035631753125706205,0.24890423479275084,0.018972256681398764,-0.03287725169940926,-0.042661840402378366,0.17350401081513583,-0.11688107622701588,-0.011190476981841162,-0.0011306806846736331,-0.08249348917824596,0.08196837623244563,-0.08636066772780703,-0.08176037923555002,-0.11864832762205453,0.05089808234013029,0.014993111056326324,-0.10418348665617885,0.23348449870538066,-0.1355925301271165,-0.1006798700168945,-0.08172825293776334,-0.09839231031943009,-0.1570086416477583,0.029287894222107088,0.1391559781300069,-0.0912919282468833,0.07152410221134284,-0.02215417427246569,-0.06161205546651971,0.04018343185007499,0.10004107092353559,0.1138843608807095,8.397815279293714E-4,-0.1586093570364576,0.040734664135182376,0.12613633788323847,-0.02216438609083514,-0.02044556074719011,-0.11507175038593798,-0.23310410935696305,0.15820981363258696,0.0013315994033341358,8.435428198492328E-5,0.014669174389847663,-0.07013113152121858,-0.004945313284292473,-0.08134194246527555,0.18223869560030256,-0.23380466116704535,0.2406635179294403,-0.06416657526895948,0.16630619462357646,0.21591690010917916,-0.012330346778098774,0.005913083682641953,0.015345055353080285,0.08963864224124768,0.19856598717453916,0.10373792241681033,0.013849246056071143,0.16133842316820216,0.014841532223025769,0.015744739332227684,-0.19758673297253856,-0.010918275609313726,-0.08737626559207158,0.016834305453767427,-0.15382396008934682,-0.25324111344814976,-0.056180065617021865,0.0920687241834441,-0.13577306571333653,0.1336357373944635,-0.016887804175193484,-0.06708456706535974,-0.1969713218147451,0.002866648276626881,-0.07734034610321432,0.06741103003401577,-0.006926689346124495,-0.27469271602769285,0.13206025585467404,-0.13415736654584798,0.17937136691019154;0.19357981442756775,0.158791755091309,0.005328756803033398,0.11915650057179916,0.2150813450283752,-0.21363281371511297,-0.008523450344339248,0.03326490515617536,0.14355372830448748,0.11645962179368352,0.2525071052208761,0.16844874771153798,0.11107768088251502,-0.0605211803834162,-0.425948683561372,-0.40440461109855047,-0.01341951290888238,0.2704154862798786,0.0539993398921433,-0.009221642669965417,-0.022930823635095653,0.20607503816827877,-0.13906281511786,0.01770156013701595,0.030990352703820032,-0.08105170722365687,0.12271331348141808,-0.08628593153332784,-0.08019238735441847,-0.14172052951563974,0.08970269892551633,0.0498333821629653,-0.11582776803977266,0.2583953019194174,-0.1742235224800157,-0.11057236042688492,-0.08030723936088319,-0.10707011322342767,-0.21979128349259128,0.0664243453759835,0.1756769132593328,-0.09409148790707163,0.11042481230363908,0.004624104947524025,-0.04992521517152709,0.07829924394186527,0.13859951506437515,0.15207883773393194,0.033984624622584586,-0.2232222559954768,0.07930237013926307,0.1641565787789097,0.004527390758580653,0.0064677065649106965,-0.13614532294001133,-0.4388571070229616,0.18114744287006795,0.034496909640300936,0.0321886688304367,0.049594442052172526,-0.06124443902629355,0.024567210165354108,-0.0792804380645815,0.2041946312198274,-0.4438692099024867,0.263269122793388,-0.05293132356567499,0.2000134300854681,0.2433459784800282,0.016647617842991496,0.03895992436966823,0.050001569645561024,0.12936417975093328,0.22015412855747887,0.14306691081065812,0.048491095036332976,0.1953851348896819,0.04851439547895586,0.04980893662781269,-0.32218098791855543,0.018555606477455414,-0.0893660669028086,0.05116793482466484,-0.2139910961605901,-0.5284745484863688,-0.04122033339706764,0.1294777624321515,-0.17481026009099246,0.17034710408146647,0.010228393634776758,-0.05784933974041056,-0.3207545052186762,0.03595098733689002,-0.0734146871206242,0.10601986133471597,0.024239814676024835,-0.6514091384339971,0.16817187945936826,-0.17306268768868702,0.20179487528268725;0.34805382369952975,0.12296887749802053,-0.12332130785036273,0.026132632457119147,0.2961140162930564,-0.12886626819482963,-0.13665682991597156,-0.10129789749718096,0.08534999918552887,0.02529797425286718,0.5117638290887682,0.1442546787252727,0.013870037887339755,-0.15868897272314494,0.05343245911817463,0.02860498796397902,-0.1399718282050103,0.5574033892605029,-0.07887677743267536,-0.13353598091887714,-0.14413563310352026,0.27032598592524737,-0.1579264161135494,-0.11506210719086457,-0.10640852672642376,-0.16180933916796086,0.034941050847502625,-0.16207044836538603,-0.16254244714781027,-0.15871193001769024,-0.03007880303735201,-0.08447577209077592,-0.16399725489260666,0.4752745984694856,-0.14849869812713387,-0.16421196424116538,-0.16162260548648152,-0.16403695277616837,-0.12464126019240274,-0.06537342596273586,0.16912366336909068,-0.16782573130235376,0.0138839793129254,-0.12790832714821723,-0.15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x_a{11}	=[5.011655537884198,8.040270446372455,15.696953331052491];
std_x_a{11}	=[1.2121788706455305,1.782428207142488,1.8478190318220715];
pred_a{11}	=[5.011655537884198];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.1 to 1.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{12}	=[9.152327455149358,14.232277642682279,19.340199604459553];
std_x_f{12}	=[1.7070120317727704,2.2509514307690672,3.2268314149777106];
pred_f{12}	=[9.152327455149358];
obs{12}	=[9.746670210583972];
sqrt_r{12}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{12}	=[3.933363039413408];
L_f{12}	=[0.13954555813928907,0.1506008256907946,0.027322618395401697,0.12703138890130006,0.17075089814207958,-0.2113679267174863,0.013004871925257165,0.05367253064249061,0.1416919890882571,0.12470577463664013,0.15766938899282026,0.15623211861505734,0.12104572946050046,-0.04180159078355874,-0.44014802663138086,-0.4181290989902685,0.008448693383010979,0.1623493900585094,0.07400679864501583,0.011407836183723112,-0.0019318266858187304,0.16824787007493136,-0.12882247197631894,0.03925198836764768,0.05209548850288801,-0.0647681761771007,0.1278532013583946,-0.07078450062424657,-0.06384086435162498,-0.13173033509547616,0.1055450384185597,0.0695001397565777,-0.10232694592672455,0.1707510167408365,-0.1681785729408836,-0.09644651100343028,-0.06353596564491089,-0.09295607088930218,-0.21833503133687207,0.08472810424474964,0.15897045861684,-0.07849013040791777,0.12018025954537608,0.026395623872831217,-0.029789979988712745,0.09476553712754816,0.13890356788597394,0.14691255512042717,0.05590578384340305,-0.22216855489006593,0.0958185848432618,0.15316604087481706,0.026323029617671852,0.02866052715602717,-0.12537906085957182,-0.45389401447740874,0.13390887850997638,0.05551700578275747,0.053719381936189484,0.06950622094564805,-0.043115219183754466,0.044452365727605796,-0.06243758968336532,0.1430761431209589,-0.4585604616914572,0.16483960206884735,-0.03319605721088221,0.16683614493619597,0.17265142736463343,0.038788074086714315,0.05905206317745029,0.07025113696081178,0.13309354243134816,0.14848357316128324,0.1422006340332634,0.06782408093770076,0.16506778226497906,0.06851103991942828,0.07034089917207365,-0.33062432554974786,0.039915400295000084,-0.07374410923343178,0.0707740890023218,-0.21257915320500562,-0.5424298578837733,-0.02121141840901797,0.13276732796192095,-0.16891141564099377,0.15526366452478255,0.032636841651713884,-0.038698123141640534,-0.3290715448064784,0.056781052088528704,-0.05545187467474918,0.11709988160276967,0.045191763679890744,-0.6579659336406382,0.15395808449006532,-0.16518338559603238,0.1420367972462756;0.022546369557536663,0.1371904878217731,0.10440536032391584,0.1580777246001451,0.07103571650667465,-0.22730100256897792,0.0913477755369892,0.1297385092053391,0.1459293116501923,0.15576262703832072,-0.0485338603124221,0.13190770753957543,0.15654520158929744,0.026518620762919574,-0.6337172725198609,-0.5925993052482578,0.08661491065541017,-0.0693619100593774,0.14356129795303227,0.08879686973921726,0.07439763921161993,0.08176944699356621,-0.09570759039989882,0.11662425887114501,0.1284684194832133,-0.0031986380367609673,0.1552989906290292,-0.011247409424838891,-0.0017632913243216409,-0.099653178488674,0.15897473224243747,0.14075021633941293,-0.05573047163582756,-0.02097709188746344,-0.15602324159017894,-0.04705046473325351,-0.0015308532343963253,-0.04201478368161026,-0.23911727073184555,0.1508475333829795,0.12278726157784672,-0.020621160043577356,0.15620799586489023,0.1050164013097218,0.04093248251714641,0.15373797183628418,0.1480932662629139,0.14100725755244653,0.13325527778817925,-0.24518670078356467,0.1548532914409714,0.1339078623443069,0.10493027087807742,0.10729834149743082,-0.09073636742958768,-0.6591252338081554,0.030374800550899434,0.13127660879278513,0.12963036841328976,0.14153378377978806,0.025731392183531,0.11769330855485481,-1.876112659354016E-4,0.008209779694004427,-0.6679876739013841,-0.04921142915743948,0.03859238960699959,0.09260839315843816,0.014217566371678208,0.11754373731334693,0.13180084079638246,0.1404958699565422,0.15284461629461488,-0.008886155801142957,0.14898824207969305,0.1402226676364571,0.09689501931224985,0.13661512229745196,0.14087312497314022,-0.4334654149965237,0.11750433485821873,-0.01603615036256657,0.14009704699912562,-0.2288202332368175,-0.8254181674947247,0.05339234831947902,0.15004465023599406,-0.15899752850754648,0.12540255534929218,0.1102734097288747,0.03036630580793334,-0.43141417518020475,0.1321687528850453,0.00894919755702207,0.15714369246255833,0.12139714612679263,-1.0445829033776972,0.12536018705411106,-0.1519504192290822,0.010770292799412742;0.4971658305958926,0.33218101457764104,-0.08489736438519954,0.20754353361174202,0.5141324584680026,-0.4215592118844452,-0.11819500706303344,-0.022580812014609257,0.2842922095831781,0.20294357839099597,0.6696846093942612,0.3599731887360626,0.1863283513277665,-0.21976591485089514,-0.5055137754345254,-0.506482193572662,-0.12841658841989181,0.7175582242316794,0.0289682831809516,-0.11745425488522471,-0.14725877251635586,0.48736749615820946,-0.3409337557498772,-0.05826350591915771,-0.02994509414528774,-0.25510809254791383,0.21756463361085934,-0.26434915212272775,-0.25422807945787407,-0.34458964074402965,0.12282784513348646,0.017809166174384918,-0.3107976223057363,0.6658432807593777,-0.38413177811385657,-0.3026139611717234,-0.25368717273945335,-0.2966995515403174,-0.4265623714753508,0.05969894147046017,0.3857539579233277,-0.27977486291239306,0.1855022061133808,-0.09006005092502546,-0.19963470875809153,0.09282161855647707,0.26939035919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k{12}	=[0.7457646319498817;0.8921416567321954;1.192396417697558];
x_a_linear{12}	=[9.595567261408132,14.762515573182494,20.048891776924282];
L_a{12}	=[-0.10035968999853931,-0.10831052153423376,-0.019650138267918768,-0.09135963179489377,-0.12280224059447525,0.15201357810204977,-0.009352966388129384,-0.038600716558393,-0.10190338044282238,-0.08968707460447076,-0.11339415752512877,-0.11236048786570195,-0.08705480881144999,0.03006326212330092,0.3165498070680429,0.30071402711468487,-0.006076210953023401,-0.11675996480991975,-0.05322490711158621,-0.008204395168277373,0.0013893493272366033,-0.12100208927309898,0.09264775980532544,-0.02822961502272476,-0.0374665245256581,0.04658058751262053,-0.0919506706250126,0.05090746444440723,0.04591367465220651,0.09473906421578536,-0.0759068757028985,-0.049983765687927666,0.07359245760766361,-0.12280232588944734,0.12095225150697024,0.06936331098467106,0.04569439472603203,0.06685302335901463,0.1570242460811125,-0.060935556742546776,-0.11432987304251459,0.05644927191319683,-0.08643237199910643,-0.018983453608399335,0.021424638638412995,-0.068154372346074,-0.09989797739611841,-0.1056579563361121,-0.04020684864830246,0.15978127568872313,-0.06891171312934133,-0.11015539717256245,-0.018931244587627793,-0.020612348102850644,0.09017129493734773,0.32643577619057146,-0.0963058496057536,-0.039927243577636815,-0.03863441151346267,-0.04998813921481068,0.031008009779728087,-0.03196967143641495,0.04490445434761776,-0.10289884938848001,0.32979183568856757,-0.1185508989587422,0.02387425336414152,-0.11998679147949076,-0.12416908111703977,-0.027895972776843473,-0.042469619479736695,-0.05052387493691911,-0.09571946851855283,-0.10678781590072166,-0.10226919250936754,-0.04877836190636188,-0.11871500374325086,-0.04927241554280284,-0.05058843097020277,0.23778151924426424,-0.028706733866622258,0.0530359836641903,-0.05089997651600106,0.15288467938557557,0.3901098186789246,0.015255027851431192,-0.09548485852120651,0.1214793042285434,-0.111663985923442,-0.023472071446573994,0.027831281008197806,0.2366647757512557,-0.040836332315985324,0.03988040197338842,-0.0842169967516212,-0.03250143862604352,0.4732021428002911,-0.1107250265663714,0.11879814443667022,-0.10215136282441242;-0.26444694758708004,-0.17253940330508938,0.048212895361714136,-0.10317860034773914,-0.2801353799914579,0.20740421654005337,0.06460159040120014,0.01935407408588416,-0.1454784157148586,-0.10071077424568448,-0.3728011574058022,-0.18940365889683514,-0.09240084791077603,0.11248894730617408,0.27150353050641546,0.2673367522945228,0.06923909037234634,-0.4032542288875365,-0.008643164285646852,0.0653351931981331,0.07837068827247383,-0.2642538516278333,0.1692323263429187,0.035897516319377286,0.0213273735547608,0.13000541355991704,-0.10764749691720099,0.13432998413361746,0.12953362470767502,0.1712671312777351,-0.05809216037526537,-0.002185724558435504,0.15471800151066534,-0.3721484322991329,0.1898575385975692,0.15130414066572745,0.12913899954743502,0.14916128447114502,0.20991669156523696,-0.023406667301100356,-0.20415585187409438,0.14080384831388773,-0.09095810388155218,0.05073041933812775,0.10219939268349215,-0.04115949544160149,-0.13757971568200064,-0.16113723265137145,0.018277871364586355,0.21173139380374,-0.04220990336757906,-0.18109772243177674,0.050793588292086314,0.04835429577286983,0.16712173322488452,0.27436595418747556,-0.2450259628351575,0.01709877425629076,0.019149577606341575,-0.0014146638624295328,0.11440336381742496,0.02627132375504366,0.12822329064079024,-0.2860446377597959,0.2751006605967769,-0.38822518799966843,0.10686433392474022,-0.25051151186258824,-0.3408622119446641,0.03777109391121251,0.010352707860373504,-0.003984592900180178,-0.12087930399508508,-0.3142616458651594,-0.14346557877599042,7.337564153170821E-4,-0.242588021334916,-0.0042866080742015745,-0.003791945370254071,0.24650586594895318,0.03541320068981397,0.1356280574487089,-0.005458933725035858,0.20837602831098181,0.2901583245707531,0.09701634761919241,-0.12300836820681198,0.18839043657561705,-0.19391706118424606,0.04315156384826539,0.10995395356813367,0.24536361324389505,0.015391245186933605,0.12299308162611422,-0.08368721542542804,0.02845449471569156,0.3086083295184224,-0.19127433688344983,0.18777037447804729,-0.28134657671511065;0.1135834693374213,-0.081790028974234,-0.1600016860104795,-0.14163992130028344,0.04477296347808021,0.1594482347565506,-0.15394275530719406,-0.1701156838735483,-0.10519025385455176,-0.1398472358457582,0.23628352279228984,-0.06947713388158407,-0.14640174302871098,-0.10486184258287676,0.704363641014653,0.6428696685731194,-0.15164032839855449,0.2712927664278859,-0.17446135622827882,-0.1488120766500316,-0.1419485738144466,0.02488831630762324,0.013173022299671974,-0.16615923963447662,-0.17314499787067272,-0.07707354753130566,-0.13387781662145556,-0.06977695468417887,-0.07874252607082262,0.017510261675335634,-0.16729400177830472,-0.1732325844273208,-0.02952165722082666,0.19648345976559023,0.0781569180075379,-0.03750211584225896,-0.07903972389277895,-0.04118221626664564,0.17359622892986018,-0.17320138674145222,-0.05122350448879339,-0.06402145621991846,-0.1448488874488879,-0.16261625312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x_a{12}	=[9.595567261408133,14.762515573182503,20.04889177692429];
std_x_a{12}	=[1.2276650050121418,1.7235901475264996,2.6507442919920274];
pred_a{12}	=[9.595567261408133];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.2 to 1.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{13}	=[13.66770490011632,14.916788953478838,32.431353910235536];
std_x_f{13}	=[1.0700715959680287,2.4344960832788254,2.734484733375553];
pred_f{13}	=[13.66770490011632];
obs{13}	=[14.316741847886645];
sqrt_r{13}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{13}	=[2.1761378924173487];
L_f{13}	=[-0.17630845674494447,-0.07866081233867492,0.07419526097291276,-0.022024379870041043,-0.17275247353881978,0.07685945656401617,0.08208503321087152,0.05924247221272029,-0.056531209780538876,-0.02086715218693823,-0.26872441073731324,-0.09211736851764275,-0.01460155242346607,0.09718413037206945,-0.05808074667808157,-0.040108569612935595,0.08421344115439089,-0.2947057725579797,0.04340620817801403,0.08147220638670273,0.08788012332729678,-0.1587587098982844,0.09783286969776706,0.06819317305498253,0.06171380543624449,0.1005054443370434,-0.02647753229414557,0.10105193982572995,0.10061516533246037,0.09814377592656283,0.011621660749084101,0.047072850136730106,0.10143104272929138,-0.2605382176175701,0.0909237626712677,0.10172494714714964,0.10030353785022567,0.10141782297363415,0.07378849496453407,0.03393362500746674,-0.10462759208011697,0.10277784340545604,-0.01385624834326324,0.07659695347424646,0.09537794588309179,0.0215609826442361,-0.04980549384849272,-0.06880001210772485,0.060535871286748616,0.07316170977544846,0.021912015912887675,-0.08578911647431042,0.07627585895271613,0.07534340504127994,0.09800047839830868,-0.06823743126347581,-0.16093654242121666,0.058455470776377874,0.0600614937730538,0.0482184927521305,0.09835968974754597,0.06114277226827715,0.10018647529768548,-0.19543248048967643,-0.07287763037337025,-0.27926664272316865,0.0975313113561648,-0.14633642373435568,-0.23001583700210898,0.0703596508032912,0.05345847929546828,0.04561128765637125,-0.03686963269453172,-0.21925065892194695,-0.054313656334588276,0.04795554300129685,-0.13930646799672597,0.04543137067001904,0.04653581473889723,0.018546350399585743,0.06901167351183463,0.09988969106994007,0.04453297693952234,0.07565731961678589,-0.14610980398648885,0.09438053272328852,-0.03932111281177375,0.08941545349107255,-0.09713314756246758,0.07281650156334689,0.09727441611346446,0.020007645678018257,0.05786120540173832,0.09986037227421575,-0.007693156973371597,0.06450874586914018,-0.26401884941675996,-0.09497212116579307,0.09194994284015631,-0.19114857109919667;-0.0887638967820187,0.08120423653971358,0.14943345527540772,0.13853331789007658,-0.04180723357956659,-0.16868853246372864,0.14228082365360156,0.16225901350623245,0.10429982609757141,0.13718517871002128,-0.21429255565610214,0.06786897634166826,0.1424276741726816,0.08941618209444656,-0.6544877948156754,-0.6024548588098894,0.1386417538060632,-0.2513785309791145,0.1675210371007707,0.13833495181729347,0.12935458044182316,-0.0227587310291009,-0.028849177771325497,0.15620467875708183,0.16434642761963036,0.061450223046538854,0.131694238759813,0.05431466801300301,0.06295094365615966,-0.03322334814560692,0.16214122014824675,0.16668615807912593,0.012573550039483317,-0.18609215480017544,-0.09259620753374537,0.020678571912448894,0.06361139032036839,0.024726928272192174,-0.18239886995989868,0.1671838504224453,0.05069180952035504,0.047197801418618984,0.14215281646799793,0.15214166917745942,0.10341437538760613,0.16249370211150665,0.11140784405263368,0.09229925567761899,0.16812492665291312,-0.18898128358569055,0.16425878376640488,0.07263387370479714,0.15181053931728217,0.15269370533285323,-0.02376545914747141,-0.6862263787239276,-0.07146265036393211,0.164244724062096,0.16491909473093538,0.16856148449965042,0.0877355651400167,0.1530654955426939,0.06480974789016711,-0.11323192293187401,-0.6980449519944678,-0.2222537856532579,0.1010131655395756,-0.005207246647445897,-0.13206241596243795,0.1595194846621589,0.1624612699819151,0.16615907851416567,0.12390089262592675,-0.14571588828051926,0.10830574240228051,0.16438611038524129,0.00439057684363364,0.16311532756309274,0.166388906591278,-0.4074009805505087,0.15737326838634505,0.04874753767610711,0.1644527025616851,-0.17274025086518116,-0.9055500302376948,0.11256974079206898,0.11978254528752126,-0.09443251625907877,0.05789172491510675,0.1551341900792584,0.09342458025528436,-0.40369997814987624,0.1648895545128631,0.07417474135905512,0.1475272339459874,0.160112101170075,-1.2134263596797616,0.05992900436153851,-0.08652775330812618,-0.1091088066924668;-0.35927555898790076,-0.29728125867795635,0.04336833623261296,-0.2071272119406562,-0.41046218547590463,0.36607532836792234,0.07272036127789148,-0.010017946214843592,-0.2629723348566342,-0.20183281029329972,-0.4568798927869358,-0.31919538404436637,-0.19141905947793844,0.1663315415457323,0.5068793825631432,0.4971200090817389,0.08108447488508637,-0.48170850351116784,-0.05873690422437114,0.0748194073495851,0.09990026881868974,-0.3955282424528686,0.2843243102294982,0.019754796412304546,-0.006230236401231787,0.20184054123809334,-0.2115511230810742,0.21086375844498997,0.20105091384619592,0.28735422295925994,-0.14010181305701286,-0.04703718289032383,0.2525746184013297,-0.47416405612729656,0.3276901790426345,0.24490632153728317,0.1995561277450154,0.2411040329326116,0.37210057237384353,-0.08429101375202443,-0.33489321075355555,0.2219383437690549,-0.187765419729619,0.04714036085768255,0.14633389324562926,-0.11247534333199355,-0.25260907537617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k{13}	=[0.540470296719498;0.5618605398848212;0.8194496822203203];
x_a_linear{13}	=[14.018490091859665,15.281457203358269,32.96320703083518];
L_a{13}	=[0.4200942587559003,0.1874269462885565,-0.17678677323292993,0.052478001945465744,0.4116213349001457,-0.18313481400583764,-0.1955859169680089,-0.14115841582728492,0.13469822779791707,0.049720648641374626,0.6402959008462004,0.21949019553806995,0.03479145842048373,-0.23156288680214965,0.1383903453877717,0.0955676212723059,-0.20065732405687262,0.702202295678476,-0.10342498134576841,-0.19412572024688757,-0.20939401291433754,0.3782780689427998,-0.2331086530755676,-0.16248545881261112,-0.14704691895324154,-0.2394766588013554,0.06308863175454815,-0.24077880630733312,-0.23973809356796072,-0.23384945657495687,-0.027691201250555037,-0.11216157438394822,-0.24168210360914236,0.620790468184816,-0.21664616313861992,-0.24238239649834753,-0.2389955715212346,-0.2416506045900012,-0.1758175624081527,-0.0808544372039668,0.24929859606165322,-0.24489115689104943,0.033015605061540776,-0.1825093417910957,-0.2272592490295659,-0.051373854602348244,0.11867270808525197,0.16393138833154897,-0.14424022787028576,-0.17432410676643623,-0.05221026973248678,0.20441172227339796,-0.18174426240974784,-0.1795224827970119,-0.23350801822296344,0.1625909138749155,0.38346724112606767,-0.1392832092084759,-0.1431099175399403,-0.11489132367789169,-0.23436391945584,-0.14568630494838242,-0.2387166438557934,0.4656615147332782,0.17364722417074482,0.6654151220877397,-0.2323901230043172,0.34867919890312443,0.5480640822992722,-0.16764757571040398,-0.1273767614354173,-0.10867907548317202,0.08785013097708796,0.5224136422157131,0.12941441164793024,-0.11426478719344894,0.33192875993264087,-0.10825038309702882,-0.11088196765637837,-0.04419082026798225,-0.16443571887988648,-0.23800948917661943,-0.10610975946925846,-0.18027045435404646,0.3481392267613611,-0.22488268950555443,0.09369132964515536,-0.21305227978936314,0.23144140887644818,-0.17350157113396195,-0.2317780127371605,-0.04767268250051643,-0.1378672392846699,-0.23793963060043496,0.01833066397317886,-0.15370648850028143,0.6290838504914746,0.22629228104092852,-0.21909126648396268,0.4554541442350236;0.5312427044206948,0.35782297512069844,-0.11148171822481627,0.21598428739504977,0.5656943913884961,-0.43897262044415225,-0.14637953552762975,-0.04607315910526718,0.30309756890019834,0.21056663949224375,0.7307041372845546,0.39180906192125114,0.19377551679745705,-0.25234168633267745,-0.45024094807883835,-0.46140899870805,-0.15750336815624993,0.7849842605279477,0.014878695942511774,-0.14817033957312575,-0.17968480191891464,0.5355324023211163,-0.37288840394962236,-0.083603542763526,-0.05267643936152805,-0.29198738338617414,0.22480517120746488,-0.30104474532999,-0.2908725078046653,-0.3783559076657484,0.12127246935545642,0.001149697939725706,-0.34411901718099586,0.7301169583121159,-0.4123388568833846,-0.3370475400543177,-0.28911619143761375,-0.3319191503343827,-0.44188360946395583,0.047852810404308485,0.4186253673046005,-0.31423092721545814,0.19087972157133914,-0.11721930001729625,-0.23199186177445594,0.08667231603254957,0.28655392344290737,0.3342414883824545,-0.044755615212632154,-0.446261869290527,0.08720295353301638,0.37432001801929055,-0.11642126836909038,-0.1122590334360021,-0.36839409835038106,-0.44626251871648914,0.494487052322442,-0.041319878038624795,-0.046293250410624334,-0.0010037442948741119,-0.25815627726860296,-0.06194927528594932,-0.2875061715081722,0.5740262507830078,-0.44176336036969993,0.7598157371635983,-0.2419656000919438,0.5093996552945931,0.6768116446209556,-0.08790737597598891,-0.025530903878453977,0.005762351332688979,0.2535567019760046,0.6253013298345698,0.2993052332072833,-0.0042544288946031565,0.49427592518601343,0.0033512967438120334,0.0027409859915182356,-0.47262110605246554,-0.08531329315098625,-0.3025247098318867,0.00784796457311018,-0.43879690213273725,-0.3917400596637496,-0.2193289916556903,0.25805923354192856,-0.40887104313132305,0.39947030711237813,-0.10093243587433297,-0.24865078715454855,-0.47405889696703635,-0.038585253020170476,-0.2769944036249644,0.17458100207282926,-0.0667394578112102,-0.2849772512110601,0.39390811767315254,-0.40987906948226516,0.5630845644026846;0.5449776787180518,0.10615539745888752,-0.33716533864522735,-0.09416826956410747,0.4755530766573951,-0.028122509497982846,-0.348278485961236,-0.3138615524552083,0.02696571133383775,-0.09480907317308461,0.9213575607424006,0.1532574424898283,-0.1165304165947832,-0.33210776287011323,0.8047647149043595,0.7028293925216891,-0.35083058028654207,1.029782515843061,-0.2813592616889866,-0.3430363652456001,-0.3508205163088516,0.41871561226602916,-0.21744225736203096,-0.3299952874059432,-0.32274885046640456,-0.31363316391900686,-0.07575279130802057,-0.30741282029038286,-0.31498552986118034,-0.2160069247743793,-0.19970714653844746,-0.28846506405976113,-0.2676463085195935,0.8620879375456115,-0.13864086541113,-0.276821986403989,-0.31488203664569436,-0.27904909232368647,-0.006346875406012064,-0.25833025637605267,0.2017222224397034,-0.30519007298219536,-0.11669930266310069,-0.345711147551233,-0.3428418273228731,-0.22305760764377805,0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x_a{13}	=[14.018490091859672,15.281457203358276,32.963207030835186];
std_x_a{13}	=[2.54968446904531,3.4055434181612907,4.467181411092985];
pred_a{13}	=[14.018490091859672];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.3 to 1.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{14}	=[10.29122241843732,3.386114831425759,35.7028840928888];
std_x_f{14}	=[1.5060648068966185,4.769452693012972,2.8551368690404635];
pred_f{14}	=[10.29122241843732];
obs{14}	=[10.497836427411645];
sqrt_r{14}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{14}	=[3.2690365629015097];
L_f{14}	=[-0.028378871171362167,0.09669100889091198,0.0805021971907328,0.1259038095726885,0.003162052299117988,-0.1421829969761244,0.06814669517093974,0.10056293804555204,0.10964955954333902,0.1243509929938104,-0.14824682355786248,0.0878576834569245,0.1263024767754493,0.016747499186941687,-0.37351035802347565,-0.3471061558941459,0.06393157307476208,-0.18734212011611806,0.11511581666010044,0.06617942070212715,0.05401067301045079,0.01966425874061592,-0.06654245602860184,0.08984745860883434,0.10037357461591295,-0.005955046485905271,0.12214383858428102,-0.011833291114530535,-0.005207228560090821,-0.06924028655403855,0.12886403704433605,0.11176174990059305,-0.04075005803552119,-0.12498699946139837,-0.10346290843830226,-0.035951532018792115,-0.003839327161750311,-0.03298906272031289,-0.14851669281520277,0.12100346881622763,0.07701541070435443,-0.018185241664566934,0.12559701629838504,0.0794077237487551,0.02813570861123989,0.12362170347510852,0.11393730639369432,0.10352118024792596,0.10402822548764501,-0.15233643673185093,0.12569171062617196,0.09128462691278255,0.0797494878645197,0.08159909619023314,-0.06304744993094809,-0.38979302638149715,-0.012693006069819754,0.10260179663029403,0.10134490332670049,0.11231432228345013,0.01476222908448225,0.09254650407583082,-0.0036427521204469696,-0.05041710328645198,-0.3963263400426597,-0.1592587731692596,0.025069416792336364,0.03362212761369647,-0.07625438443139135,0.09020035921880751,0.10472996342163333,0.11281448545357693,0.11981971370792524,-0.0804616343376926,0.11265306535805644,0.11016343749855714,0.04133520059831077,0.11049593670384211,0.11278176465381021,-0.2545759308655892,0.09009281712527448,-0.014481435377553978,0.1121656763144545,-0.14398114973789627,-0.5113314913985272,0.036060029961460564,0.11736640171196881,-0.10327892786204104,0.08093077761672202,0.08508364843895927,0.019870066792519556,-0.25242460820613544,0.1035512920460869,0.004111303824813125,0.1267262928732327,0.09537415061589928,-0.7132020593690128,0.08284355392174765,-0.10024275459918633,-0.0458164963938661;-0.7063552789622606,-0.20920615650744934,0.37418160496593533,0.04822424878037651,-0.66931612235065,0.11744440105833856,0.38909802723746684,0.3405276633511903,-0.10662311828156297,0.050907672471833684,-1.1663645547687438,-0.27134585405058925,0.0778723877273865,0.383078681277535,-0.5959906257927414,-0.5086231402965393,0.3922497640661749,-1.2966241255188589,0.2954903789908862,0.3848325330313012,0.3942850318380796,-0.5986089387736576,0.2823279141453278,0.36264948863807644,0.3496221529887627,0.3669966406677843,0.026177808302293937,0.3612516890502843,0.3686485569221406,0.28044297118594547,0.18495407817113121,0.30598211377780776,0.3263482978854708,-1.116157575149638,0.2129361604724082,0.3341579230142837,0.3681472012783046,0.3367578476081583,0.09943061077408925,0.26468338964272464,-0.33190502945920924,0.3596744022908677,0.07955291079851583,0.3823081174707789,0.3909262822865632,0.21907614610424683,-0.07567766950794742,-0.16256860094708736,0.3495644365982049,0.09292655972135525,0.222326184299715,-0.24227170427268974,0.3817505264914693,0.3801606414356058,0.2874671406360576,-0.647098267922491,-0.6318025087397543,0.34046096157865835,0.34451514543955075,0.3114290985371751,0.38497513994121907,0.3388079471308012,0.36858093507502726,-0.8018523318390471,-0.668961330494029,-1.216336731235807,0.3941955379242581,-0.5371764400641181,-0.9594923470309294,0.37060970694659606,0.3226965993698935,0.30174558734266466,-0.017999379485989314,-0.9189164082982586,-0.09536560579935555,0.3074557135510589,-0.5028682794938938,0.2993210308626922,0.3050533946945858,-0.2104072446810745,0.36604712099961373,0.3537540487234224,0.2969690816510116,0.111047456491372,-1.0303367100556016,0.39614331222625876,-0.030418322166280903,0.20814070778569155,-0.2971763667728542,0.37485404409092293,0.3870070340546124,-0.2034255668855274,0.3390362862863289,0.3763215147041671,0.10626906023978486,0.3544678816688789,-1.6117979771731732,-0.28701957563408254,0.22064507045986026,-0.7799001168190858;0.4465547164256676,0.345074731379257,-0.13756755565538792,0.21974448555578696,0.4710734237692431,-0.3626029150382047,-0.17663405839622634,-0.06411531790744944,0.3004403535078138,0.21488995841752653,0.5126970919118486,0.37069741243939835,0.19813256407501714,-0.2828244459793231,-0.12760624214120336,-0.16098940854288146,-0.18958498725151293,0.5219576861821209,0.004405749004835495,-0.17719908270476317,-0.2128506244927054,0.4571268421577373,-0.36632434574626943,-0.10760631798031385,-0.07310364980559349,-0.31803757113657327,0.2294189925331273,-0.3251670456654329,-0.3174082514095927,-0.37148322616933815,0.12176221366001902,-0.011065819671823983,-0.35513735875625646,0.5173968263324991,-0.377040630497767,-0.35196056733377673,-0.3143943521037767,-0.34674261877302237,-0.35757014684765875,0.041960006480721714,0.3896485314161337,-0.3378277927127419,0.1956643609842915,-0.14621614354034912,-0.2649705820527357,0.085583204499019,0.2859249301623211,0.3260669321861331,-0.06491240376800501,-0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k{14}	=[0.6940994752556618;1.3332450746410789;0.16892946218977128];
x_a_linear{14}	=[10.434633093646868,3.661581941242626,35.737787286305704];
L_a{14}	=[0.025191733250851292,-0.08583195889037296,-0.07146125952264343,-0.11176396576414308,-0.0028069325789464,0.12621489103638647,-0.060493363400789146,-0.08926904438404541,-0.09733517723131294,-0.11038554092101295,0.13159770914793711,-0.07799067525695179,-0.11211785996124367,-0.01486664249570406,0.33156263506536526,0.3081238022546058,-0.05675162783895228,0.16630234120717008,-0.10218753694409068,-0.05874702707365756,-0.047944911514002174,-0.01745583035273148,0.059069291093602636,-0.07975698528927835,-0.08910094773995658,0.005286254751412841,-0.10842626478234765,0.010504333010177737,0.0046224218035282325,0.061464137123327225,-0.11439173979987852,-0.09921015441887145,0.03617355270365691,0.11095011958873176,0.09184332861573279,0.03191393340164978,0.0034081449236488346,0.02928416931129948,0.13183727027432815,-0.10741396620180618,-0.06836606258767285,0.016142916832376935,-0.11149162743599952,-0.07048970280236523,-0.024975879480128593,-0.10973815551562302,-0.10114138129944111,-0.0918950561095862,-0.0923451567618634,0.13522803128288655,-0.11157568695449033,-0.08103274993583613,-0.07079308451149184,-0.07243496939403596,0.05596679766493364,0.3460166503576045,0.011267496199250297,-0.09107892544988774,-0.08996318970981139,-0.09970066921019846,-0.01310433156550341,-0.08215290981446202,0.003233646580343162,0.04475492381651193,0.3518162289949057,0.14137294282467577,-0.022253952836018942,-0.02984613676336253,0.0676905046787762,-0.08007025278948393,-0.09296808481063217,-0.10014466069554184,-0.10636315474624775,0.07142525215055608,-0.1000013691613886,-0.09779134323922714,-0.0366929798248593,-0.0980865005495752,-0.10011561466145183,0.2259853432410245,-0.07997478839566903,0.012855072878618335,-0.09956871718232752,0.12781109916056835,0.4539055290920287,-0.03201024629631932,-0.10418536617213374,0.0916800102944182,-0.07184170748700601,-0.075528183011255,-0.017638524777507103,0.22407562857174707,-0.09192178615048165,-0.0036495767799393816,-0.11249407866347129,-0.08466299264809425,0.6331046758375901,-0.07353966616033698,0.0889848196901356,0.0406709959911158;-0.6034554108055334,-0.5598012174151631,0.08228608074887067,-0.4082944523064076,-0.6807815101992085,0.6329903350254308,0.14200271798208308,-0.02410675088805142,-0.5042050077204486,-0.3999806206866973,-0.6288315955948232,-0.5899118741605129,-0.3800918536825063,0.3223533815330461,0.7583326791656616,0.749960312943116,0.16043820254487526,-0.6173342642785763,-0.1219117891768153,0.14487042799135408,0.19844598319262385,-0.6699102114560977,0.5236063607340592,0.0368686783570885,-0.01432564225757019,0.3885892366018054,-0.4167074921941699,0.4041584025764439,0.3875296156175276,0.5315035688581488,-0.28229820758528784,-0.09925843509016333,0.47410525318908986,-0.6629631655403695,0.5880856712872135,0.4645157474121495,0.38206834198785244,0.4563739586238699,0.6379420976291211,-0.17406700717578769,-0.6111577016201619,0.42561285905269064,-0.375853378618101,0.09438107995639071,0.288908105132488,-0.22916779256712405,-0.488806639129367,-0.5379294014038015,-0.02763487561613146,0.6452881797632285,-0.23342346034712322,-0.5732635896560772,0.09258427540017265,0.08428783560827927,0.5160729314139252,0.7662648916221971,-0.585778526911504,-0.03156621604053965,-0.022954622040044777,-0.09581504043132076,0.3314482953630765,0.003240580470389325,0.3817893079753519,-0.6190433240496417,0.7680911826652097,-0.6388751872947527,0.30329552759189987,-0.6590880015813837,-0.6829991046823476,0.043549302913643256,-0.0570471671482075,-0.10731210946441302,-0.4524575603161114,-0.6271679622438404,-0.503838004253775,-0.09198946260988389,-0.652746922168387,-0.10132976493616475,-0.10388565870480816,0.712667868622951,0.039376657326833805,0.4062627543048554,-0.10973607708393968,0.6331133707985805,0.8237167063603299,0.26539208162388095,-0.4559809595687993,0.5826231174700003,-0.5906258946380052,0.06634648740215413,0.31495951529076055,0.7118489959073913,-0.03643369751464218,0.3614142050028416,-0.3532319096862369,0.008647659832871447,0.9742244701268602,-0.5874047010574298,0.5841185211703518,-0.6137725985727093;0.45959269400214176,0.30065241457341874,-0.1745523192667339,0.16190106267652016,0.4696206962550805,-0.2972804180601988,-0.20794238909706522,-0.11031649776922331,0.2500645478612903,0.15775993909873093,0.5808054655557364,0.33033335074309483,0.14010598330977675,-0.29051867446159285,0.043993947418309774,-0.0015199832131402033,-0.21895678330161722,0.6080274366825511,-0.04848139464682652,-0.2076035973145291,-0.23766450589582241,0.44809257990783957,-0.3357530434437345,-0.14888453315566785,-0.11921783127569313,-0.31530167082252447,0.17330299627132603,-0.31973052977036864,-0.31501591773317295,-0.3396724716812892,0.06255878674241197,-0.06241201946647402,-0.3364157422515348,0.5748190432518552,-0.3295071302373119,-0.335443516127952,-0.312630467235299,-0.3315866015579908,-0.28933778838053664,-0.013632074810148649,0.3542656864910124,-0.32947302864853123,0.1379618867638642,-0.18269807812412714,-0.2778968445441671,0.02878823939482428,0.23357922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x_a{14}	=[10.434633093646871,3.6615819412426336,35.7377872863057];
std_x_a{14}	=[1.3369236092843992,4.594304591688811,2.8480692927082556];
pred_a{14}	=[10.434633093646871];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.4 to 1.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{15}	=[4.3742050740496055,-0.09414935978707202,28.910210423592243];
std_x_f{15}	=[2.824439618656564,3.750657927757409,1.7587439875904143];
pred_f{15}	=[4.3742050740496055];
obs{15}	=[4.09196694520837];
sqrt_r{15}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{15}	=[9.127281554402316];
L_f{15}	=[-0.3870689795959875,-0.3567691933373613,0.07295382473235525,-0.2586117095805614,-0.4339695002825503,0.4015751319155066,0.11346924481567947,7.162950315622206E-4,-0.32233556312015166,-0.25404202888786087,-0.40483662807125675,-0.37634717009623336,-0.240010224342713,0.23225332424686346,0.3755222884348819,0.38418558333606184,0.12608408538385346,-0.3991095770662785,-0.0663617467619155,0.11516604567621652,0.15140447257265202,-0.426856772954639,0.35269321189004643,0.04267958869412398,0.007599618806948618,0.27442274090844215,-0.2647570789536956,0.2839082052965371,0.2738670868442667,0.3579304628723586,-0.1744635552520781,-0.05083195803168885,0.32621788400925666,-0.4238955468436251,0.38575532490423886,0.3204096429469565,0.2705840417597217,0.3152061895418656,0.40204531886776046,-0.10170019294694947,-0.38985554800855954,0.29754252578162804,-0.23717020497741173,0.0816572936456065,0.21047950047452982,-0.1392598877226052,-0.3116261205840892,-0.34324632365203556,-0.0015211076514392438,0.4062839438391842,-0.14160451329451293,-0.366613088085712,0.0801224727056753,0.07454578560522054,0.3488608297037778,0.37215395237472343,-0.37558851542503785,-0.004850317279977613,0.0010206497562690981,-0.04831962891589452,0.2383895634090429,0.018836752045602517,0.27011128551261604,-0.3972821884399366,0.36893911585485906,-0.41099477386140126,0.22105875735608405,-0.42018516675677775,-0.43560062301730473,0.046847271758580604,-0.02184092427102803,-0.05641428799602003,-0.28766558687036087,-0.40266670033408397,-0.3208561022599765,-0.04543167668538355,-0.41617770238499713,-0.05254310845674819,-0.053708791976154004,0.4048807261982357,0.04437340184200661,0.28470104757324266,-0.057909247532459275,0.4011317180875907,0.34171858666965593,0.19658749704803896,-0.28997652893506926,0.38160301508172395,-0.37701773746856904,0.062318031353067335,0.22804794464615047,0.40649272867326214,-0.007251828952514687,0.2581615240092712,-0.22229466685811364,0.02258461333032246,0.30621063441561663,-0.37507548118758854,0.3837790015463284,-0.39357397781875414;-0.5786506992626423,-0.45557735468153204,0.1906518047465983,-0.28811293368553,-0.6268888582848057,0.4565110139613954,0.2421262116863853,0.09477973745018067,-0.3944645897531067,-0.2803509321557138,-0.6793489645488224,-0.49027756006607803,-0.258953583915985,0.3770147119382853,0.16501539714404131,0.20566153753771343,0.25818502972963037,-0.6951087541872147,0.0024802450945890847,0.24293112112172335,0.28795563674439123,-0.6062224968089588,0.47009827512524544,0.15091621981817158,0.10502805456144494,0.41778518904484285,-0.2989549715191907,0.4261748846533289,0.4173539760744408,0.4750531769375728,-0.15613442411562717,0.022801341049223038,0.45886240457116795,-0.6918102911549765,0.4777144940577717,0.4554730470848439,0.4135288260764822,0.4504591204804,0.45088580512864174,-0.04887687353137995,-0.5172031374414977,0.4400054109944664,-0.25514004726442957,0.20292378580647766,0.3545006113622557,-0.10539287472334538,-0.3766390137782659,-0.43054294081680783,0.09385252600579488,0.45202937662053794,-0.10710304792895636,-0.47219911615868937,0.2006120638633969,0.19358673785480707,0.46880479964003313,0.14216979921045658,-0.5523989603968551,0.08808986189560326,0.09617833424219087,0.02778658043476598,0.38413955523481935,0.11593764780073297,0.4137989742077792,-0.6072440615733221,0.13192088676133962,-0.6937268268465757,0.36736017972857044,-0.5875368852795932,-0.6783993211061946,0.15823381790141341,0.06273901629223384,0.01592866069826384,-0.33608075545772187,-0.6337440478471017,-0.3910554220271026,0.03034728831207089,-0.5776489996842102,0.019517739416359488,0.019458942237780115,0.3365046860642249,0.15422854640015307,0.42471051818428723,0.012623782415841299,0.4539062155807208,-0.03137199188699168,0.34035066263885483,-0.3411008388815613,0.4724185920014753,-0.4959353998407485,0.17761104984349685,0.3736573287609111,0.3404552491224701,0.08348532408214594,0.4029713146296829,-0.23150430006080167,0.1246527825967043,-0.3093539525078696,-0.4910828627569052,0.47837969171468464,-0.5991875104392049;-2.609150461283074E-4,-0.07297927962609416,-0.11875180929229655,-0.12564613223306237,0.0023134284889948955,0.23784204830697897,-0.09954937587533215,-0.14147026494721876,-0.09294354204959118,-0.1257045796541178,0.04474797675234659,-0.059917856300992285,-0.13085870504005018,-0.0163005326307534,0.453266113685427,0.43376299091814835,-0.09395191366820269,0.05434073605240194,-0.1529088396957511,-0.09803039970706333,-0.07792329750149725,-0.005862560204717202,0.12635116478075234,-0.13065299128784108,-0.14127020832049314,0.023397562047452664,-0.12079801163035374,0.03368420171826503,0.022726879001068068,0.13157811155263072,-0.14893797430868905,-0.15077644727447817,0.08391645635947502,0.04138075296892553,0.18525965386758317,0.07601031204884799,0.019573553353255578,0.07110523866242119,0.24434451650675257,-0.15496545306731926,-0.04917720874673152,0.046710410065141095,-0.1315994876311066,-0.11619500167003655,-0.03515724790566877,-0.15136966762874127,-0.09992728985810456,-0.0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k{15}	=[0.8904383529707507;1.110883645967295;0.29257617348003373];
x_a_linear{15}	=[4.1228894194586685,-0.4076830813852113,28.82763427184571];
L_a{15}	=[0.14498611402180386,0.13363659107652723,-0.027326631966251142,0.09686931474528758,0.16255384638579154,-0.15041974669474711,-0.04250266937946245,-2.6830575063820035E-4,0.12073863618986136,0.09515762953959962,0.1516414195190921,0.14096999912602046,0.08990167537908335,-0.08699613951587234,-0.14066101960838523,-0.1439060677226977,-0.04722786516986964,0.14949621307324584,0.024857408601308945,-0.043138247470207045,-0.05671223291192729,0.15988960112272027,-0.13210983294807252,-0.015986679478342022,-0.002846622325603464,-0.1027917216333293,0.09917121252477232,-0.10634473335428238,-0.10258358786970556,-0.1340715728655281,0.06534957397213591,0.019040347978354074,-0.12219285403931207,0.15878040175721206,-0.1444940526607468,-0.12001723587997588,-0.10135384336922039,-0.1180681556682649,-0.1505958666699056,0.038094284347034234,0.14602989109228026,-0.11145180017871423,0.08883787695237536,-0.030586728235291006,-0.07884022348395109,0.05216318285461125,0.11672715364154632,0.1285712708637196,5.697679199742651E-4,-0.15218354689177171,0.05304141946985732,0.13732386161908747,-0.030011823669101767,-0.027922939686059745,-0.13067432085611028,-0.1393993272955794,0.14068582654061743,0.0018168044748269885,-3.8230922584723024E-4,0.018099293916044597,-0.08929461735246208,-0.007055764279366593,-0.10117676100209558,0.14881172015413482,-0.13819513197432892,0.15394810301675851,-0.0828029418244806,0.15739058852315374,0.16316482313482392,-0.017547786681044897,0.008181050158052365,0.02113134563350233,0.10775215214008779,0.15082862023290478,0.12018446808993247,0.01701754106718656,0.1558894951341878,0.019681301047998277,0.02011793620236881,-0.15165793754663545,-0.016621138448541406,-0.10664171174002629,0.021691319140122407,-0.15025365524541417,-0.12799901976637298,-0.07363663523751841,0.10861777177729429,-0.14293870388025467,0.1412211764681215,-0.02334273650345476,-0.08542091215735251,-0.15226175233668102,0.0027163491646201663,-0.0967006867745364,0.08326588183111434,-0.008459617009005228,-0.1146986513938971,0.14049365707117112,-0.14375377261037212,0.1474227195462826;0.085124957167351,0.15623789785740122,0.06554497507674852,0.15537431622660328,0.11731541822765043,-0.23214090816215205,0.047540423538860566,0.09355137963843112,0.15830122533270766,0.15529987784165578,0.014896022030540138,0.1551115127987721,0.1526344084343229,-0.021271151529571496,-0.47895910520469054,-0.453169449218215,0.041966342744179694,-0.010684955149683407,0.11628247245134868,0.04543552835433561,0.028315602367967856,0.12578432782807197,-0.1347271709362701,0.07772597855633293,0.091995643730008,-0.05281603344513359,0.15507083044615705,-0.06069274171464007,-0.05229436808986578,-0.13875350991544516,0.14304909875782165,0.10997189226550536,-0.10056111297204176,0.03511839519329933,-0.183808406271106,-0.09399005196175582,-0.05048949987154246,-0.09008069645955233,-0.23857242974361229,0.12552643929125853,0.1513511408227049,-0.07024339678311792,0.15157766144691406,0.06289157824367048,-0.006445824434188695,0.13342069148886598,0.15776142556291017,0.1580822547158445,0.09646103839779449,-0.24469757835350261,0.13573126254361978,0.15649720420757166,0.0632118852944107,0.06574989123939895,-0.12944858269259282,-0.49602842139711917,0.09168911308824099,0.09640755901452852,0.09442804554000707,0.11064879645522588,-0.02466920309828461,0.08363493662214772,-0.04940863296711746,0.07404599089978883,-0.5007642849227194,0.011078621768548973,-0.011728379439332911,0.1330289559232966,0.06860213012460104,0.07789651317613294,0.10019351305963566,0.11267222068510271,0.15723031782047572,0.05677977975524621,0.15917329978750733,0.10825702172969583,0.13604453339216585,0.10962270298940001,0.11156290956485677,-0.35781592337495305,0.07813362407790148,-0.06351673509879996,0.11193101399597637,-0.23398530640690723,-0.6173773065410734,0.003227302778827386,0.1561732155881923,-0.18198360808162864,0.15060361352880822,0.07074329667975032,-0.01741682632381961,-0.3566297461430904,0.09592131812201393,-0.03974392244016547,0.14970369177735604,0.08592295063187008,-0.8344674996519046,0.15212542015936376,-0.17975405731722266,0.07574341725510014;0.1745593213598029,0.08815601668902644,-0.15170150445965236,-0.008843798309518747,0.1983163494968907,0.056470088276784056,-0.15079791618508417,-0.14179378058229952,0.052639757871578714,-0.01096614829344895,0.22759299600206473,0.11005986011430906,-0.022457757479672505,-0.12119806560609038,0.2836609562057319,0.26024504439434154,-0.15089796405136174,0.23459912484766188,-0.12293646560021437,-0.150045302456612,-0.14630533554467345,0.18692788773376848,-0.032943208913936456,-0.14992928615653064,-0.14470258659532298,-0.10054584589717837,-0.0012201131866707157,-0.09454332924877307,-0.10096556702209761,-0.030081673743371964,-0.07014126989382638,-0.12781812359441544,-0.06342029912495264,0.23283375906611609,0.01103273140793363,-0.0687031433801896,-0.10263610084709186,-0.07125806988748698,0.06276019589360977,-0.10903242120289039,0.12690158511104113,-0.08767508048038236,-0.02448123871880295,-0.15307563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x_a{15}	=[4.122889419458666,-0.40768308138521286,28.827634271845717];
std_x_a{15}	=[1.0579626531314197,1.8762438214466632,1.519336343579244];
pred_a{15}	=[4.122889419458666];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.5 to 1.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{16}	=[1.410296038578309,0.1438449455925297,22.214791870218015];
std_x_f{16}	=[1.486451004160084,2.0037324741884404,1.2145147970183023];
pred_f{16}	=[1.410296038578309];
obs{16}	=[1.4239772661503232];
sqrt_r{16}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{16}	=[3.2171213553082967];
L_f{16}	=[0.08709057090050039,0.13671036801674658,0.04457359887743554,0.13503794174590103,0.10925388824027948,-0.20721220737233415,0.0260799509736228,0.07232443702723676,0.13794191569003147,0.13512220705604572,0.04146687402208099,0.13583702520650184,0.13240783135865078,-0.03906573542137618,-0.3607005825815628,-0.34583262816295335,0.02009361985067372,0.02449167128844909,0.09523419056878442,0.02431751631800658,0.0073302011859364075,0.11461492547534972,-0.13549680121004504,0.05655659887477364,0.07087537029261086,-0.0669146852692114,0.1350521826814778,-0.07431850568945013,-0.06720572494448954,-0.13862252871599695,0.12276128890431816,0.08941746398301745,-0.10773914436000827,0.05482217210685987,-0.17280140046019402,-0.1024825033063194,-0.06467031682981009,-0.09881285955355182,-0.21193872281191148,0.10514009524867049,0.1329797326629116,-0.08339895904654544,0.13131280246085142,0.04138716645710091,-0.02516811901912245,0.11316434509113638,0.1380646685146401,0.1379454542733898,0.0748602044204475,-0.21635722803215257,0.1154525041040928,0.13675212770569245,0.041458431884821206,0.04421982501710232,-0.13143082623997454,-0.37069430604189824,0.0913118044198146,0.07499803536030053,0.0731200745211881,0.08969138827355734,-0.0424236329038608,0.0635970936685787,-0.06399229085293179,0.08015252593700198,-0.373061635534594,0.03986648508934516,-0.03071879135387896,0.1195560940295952,0.07681114875320949,0.056257626488950226,0.07911548631700553,0.09223580792254901,0.1371763236094944,0.06829714000960783,0.13857595742979972,0.08787443304435479,0.12206540563661437,0.089282098475933,0.09083751592158233,-0.2892481179555383,0.05621888599791379,-0.07591284045203134,0.09144525745875917,-0.20809189904195996,-0.44050731528176484,-0.016415224399948324,0.13654358677930403,-0.170771992461863,0.13251287404858003,0.04957925879644642,-0.03552945875254308,-0.28822456673630104,0.07535865078059523,-0.055975919346348206,0.12968733255565773,0.06477345295614854,-0.5624274483353555,0.13367836173298248,-0.16992484309877395,0.08131848707558349;0.04729310460047706,0.14044056414456713,0.0975503137889954,0.16817214876442793,0.06969182514081211,-0.26399070684057235,0.07518725654640894,0.12950329701081298,0.15322035355174946,0.16981023771711143,-0.03294718763781273,0.13238780808553738,0.16924634386923526,-0.01322900367982731,-0.5131838991719755,-0.48895663223596986,0.0677488605092312,-0.05855124191494978,0.15304706506475357,0.07280423335274917,0.050828261849300796,0.0810846185122946,-0.15322003185594535,0.11215529420272839,0.12753860685965113,-0.05283082125792048,0.1662481707350216,-0.06241490720036375,-0.05240497759002355,-0.1578824518767043,0.1715071472193972,0.14691168746492553,-0.11215103066474545,-0.016106946701714652,-0.21023571075850478,-0.10416802251224419,-0.049645533099750255,-0.09874957374016748,-0.27126557387736555,0.16130553210967774,0.12401715144769487,-0.07479161395707533,0.16892992191856562,0.09476821870114395,0.006438049640239452,0.1649553157709537,0.15684624848504922,0.14658856559839076,0.13335798750279415,-0.27779494191849696,0.1680418568205321,0.13715255945244878,0.0944430327400962,0.09804378872950616,-0.14740836700462007,-0.5293620857710829,0.058252295743742584,0.13323495617407985,0.1311488606217448,0.1479509127996731,-0.01696780120602233,0.11853748674618522,-0.048227858220573024,0.03251963984799281,-0.5339426735796069,-0.0384438851024053,-4.1293108610544575E-4,0.09205995517336867,0.01610843723232287,0.11270879208392472,0.136984677535601,0.15001806394547904,0.16319798733536767,0.01210315166196186,0.15568126115622447,0.14597436240474954,0.09684131269611977,0.14565943229107586,0.1484990170670493,-0.39639094966983035,0.11258601476645155,-0.06541119151665781,0.14846001808260775,-0.2658228579051533,-0.6396070056073995,0.01867992579814769,0.16123807587079014,-0.20772847817739362,0.12732831024015415,0.10441506618312929,-0.007832984107976178,-0.3945160551259581,0.13264595045459765,-0.03609485132211022,0.16939834085333091,0.121871237956964,-0.8185835858440983,0.12950617861647132,-0.20508639257019046,0.03548561306272284;0.13140572067270376,0.09294755797675822,-0.11669007750401436,0.021049377775277503,0.1577449243464427,0.01453867279612115,-0.12143148785907666,-0.0994648153767512,0.06825311289262405,0.020077821841316967,0.1485023643626478,0.10809511909786816,0.01000869415606467,-0.11260434377127547,0.21401478433288246,0.19251170592224956,-0.12243749058905451,0.1472612225012049,-0.07848886185723589,-0.12083432180362232,-0.12217399877132851,0.15232989941811645,-0.054907941410374014,-0.11177973875113084,-0.10278192581159441,-0.10105645662064434,0.02680979201150236,-0.097563715902416,-0.10126375259834393,-0.05335785931578818,-0.028566922381410707,-0.08421963813666847,-0.07682447440264403,0.15711116769002403,-0.021235581700746062,-0.08068124150994777,-0.1027184320462801,-0.08250220292515122,0.019878537637409568,-0.06432237850014545,0.11882735528737129,-0.0931166337274285,0.008476454752628959,-0.11832854824688673,-0.11692302419907848,-0.04615457063394292,0.058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k{16}	=[0.6891631090167033;0.9067768758422659;-0.18285568483121628];
x_a_linear{16}	=[1.4197246359070033,0.15625076638796778,22.212290179981004];
L_a{16}	=[-0.07894128585151504,-0.12391803301881744,-0.04040273446403816,-0.1224020999051938,-0.09903072551698963,0.18782283690379226,-0.0236395839815354,-0.06555685648151144,-0.12503434166062855,-0.122478480297086,-0.0375867137130806,-0.12312641110479035,-0.1200180956007762,0.0354102557258675,0.32694891653552755,0.3134721942262012,-0.01821340900653799,-0.022199923644681218,-0.08632288642495124,-0.022042064795416465,-0.006644295716343675,-0.10389011693512379,0.12281802272841233,-0.05126445483591752,-0.0642433825872281,0.06065330888157766,-0.12241500828040029,0.06736433509422098,0.060917115238140584,0.12565126800387638,-0.11127420452861587,-0.08105044566151041,0.09765772005373528,-0.04969232276859166,0.1566319362500805,0.09289295620217958,0.05861895167506294,0.08956669029916449,0.19210708033610988,-0.09530187054306138,-0.12053648265314848,0.07559510745811752,-0.11902553132725,-0.03751446458660725,0.022813074449855104,-0.1025752710272743,-0.125145608192887,-0.12503754912978968,-0.06785534570451923,0.1961121348445475,-0.10464932121259088,-0.1239558851480204,-0.037579061527962,-0.04008206411882635,0.11913251132277296,0.33600750200862833,-0.0827675278711578,-0.06798027945463254,-0.06627804416227592,-0.08129873816318536,0.03845394624579464,-0.05764615272016776,0.058004370304174296,-0.07265245130776257,0.3381533144916019,-0.036136077221593614,0.027844356331641305,-0.10836892784712066,-0.0696237352403843,-0.05099345805260366,-0.07171245010860847,-0.0836050700285115,-0.12434038796793334,-0.061906403834452554,-0.12560905451074905,-0.07965180003148155,-0.11064343681878125,-0.08092774664738407,-0.08233761974760438,0.26218243979164996,-0.05095834260732302,0.06880948391957106,-0.08288849337162643,0.1886202135983654,0.3992879313544772,0.014879210324083845,-0.12376685792370032,0.1547924250923385,-0.12011330918046233,-0.04494000212064322,0.032204877411338616,0.2612546648494718,-0.06830715117773194,0.05073811096002398,-0.11755216075335004,-0.058712437093136546,0.5097996891133528,-0.12116973923367585,0.15402454563835075,-0.07370931051285014;-0.17116584421164519,-0.2024852311493678,-0.014258593361960203,-0.17055851402185412,-0.2043618333875811,0.2557826800547424,0.009768019815506176,-0.051916118696656056,-0.19279466951203367,-0.16913179710273488,-0.136963151888846,-0.20834728446863995,-0.16288692100682975,0.08476391801632971,0.391601421350428,0.3785337474025715,0.01734580280711031,-0.11998642036198738,-0.08583942916203334,0.011805907154811458,0.032441104329222537,-0.20641672495841176,0.18666163907223837,-0.029711902335547196,-0.05024595386487524,0.11501871346044647,-0.1725182141711637,0.12400645233755737,0.11617460426050097,0.18983982840979396,-0.13642862414554316,-0.07738406562518961,0.1581030276040318,-0.15362348800151523,0.22322122846543682,0.1529002193472745,0.11257420306581026,0.14911369324715223,0.26036385648853316,-0.10242904269604307,-0.209550676969076,0.13440725495548195,-0.16045656039012546,-0.009047806214575538,0.06957003703733076,-0.11890737586148659,-0.189476689118166,-0.19943533368692518,-0.05442217510787032,0.26491791568589734,-0.12156047812250854,-0.20587798630592144,-0.009551755160702637,-0.012877708167428939,0.18227416745363748,0.4004916009279324,-0.17079524179600952,-0.05489094308663432,-0.05226634095286124,-0.0770319550027088,0.08944810757883499,-0.04099016460216473,0.11229111010474233,-0.16853584043860192,0.4018492485347795,-0.13844541609940164,0.07664242402936723,-0.20783587000876433,-0.17656549566505936,-0.02840845882354919,-0.0614694811277861,-0.08134725417394904,-0.18089661610774158,-0.15921414777817244,-0.19192419920221185,-0.07445083485642352,-0.20934889740327076,-0.07829676846774407,-0.07935880997148355,0.32916222033572523,-0.028434059065929666,0.12500941492809606,-0.08092227453225942,0.25615715727882893,0.46536640363168946,0.05985605577236519,-0.18126936352724668,0.22063787163552218,-0.20506844487813924,-0.01995009353008624,0.08128950218060117,0.3284696277096559,-0.056384520504619215,0.1043157622811256,-0.1559107948133218,-0.04060720600568037,0.5922156301445075,-0.20581409866679778,0.22115495843477492,-0.16849457700653378;0.17545896216658674,0.16210010566002045,-0.09414330240200544,0.08935595789134561,0.21300909213210897,-0.09027599677681174,-0.10823940097171159,-0.06288076434429113,0.1380286174184178,0.08842702609015798,0.16947765705395676,0.17680590160117027,0.07698487895095033,-0.13236506251337962,0.031560705697847954,0.017578321889979435,-0.1122734845592937,0.15964990589945124,-0.03031631284048555,-0.10853373165003997,-0.118466144755631,0.21030585408877345,-0.12344662755786005,-0.0831715727632239,-0.06693085983298305,-0.13490407937902013,0.0951235756556626,-0.13515643167806918,-0.1352585926842308,-0.12347764003229601,0.03352972769544883,-0.038989378489905316,-0.1313224354994694,0.18484200424409764,-0.10864414667216234,-0.13252022270354802,-0.1354307802985889,-0.1324849590330088,-0.08732695707228959,-0.011139100921551239,0.18609282635064117,-0.13530253795595207,0.07489873833893666,-0.09739357423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x_a{16}	=[1.419724635907003,0.15625076638796748,22.21229017998101];
std_x_a{16}	=[1.3473600231388363,1.817459672343318,1.1973653775531847];
pred_a{16}	=[1.419724635907003];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.6 to 1.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{17}	=[0.9265352215350161,0.983420019692504,17.390394501563204];
std_x_f{17}	=[1.9573079909630735,2.829915601442669,1.166108974471162];
pred_f{17}	=[0.9265352215350161];
obs{17}	=[0.9730013616395261];
sqrt_r{17}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{17}	=[4.857509469345283];
L_f{17}	=[-0.16264961683748905,-0.20797416188572107,-0.030824479078475294,-0.18675568762578076,-0.19596559748153278,0.28764734237830325,-0.003539301854251714,-0.07250664232801919,-0.2023953973969573,-0.1858484389470224,-0.11863170070901854,-0.2107507194656604,-0.1801234899700995,0.08449104118604418,0.4358694350366114,0.42340436395006786,0.0050642124517080705,-0.09922274422668878,-0.10886051028632929,-0.0015326726858943917,0.023117472659253287,-0.19967530444361817,0.20617406675917965,-0.048255694582712665,-0.07066877648198949,0.12102073852516922,-0.18787290158270184,0.1317073149912051,0.12175695401397045,0.2101445746282472,-0.1575123956938975,-0.09939516390205344,0.17264046813490608,-0.13618669598180355,0.24953247010339352,0.16621204362257194,0.11857745541063845,0.16153320717333897,0.2926808835888767,-0.12506968031749555,-0.21051284782505172,0.14392271209363547,-0.17783779048125276,-0.025656170422878204,0.06637296272276248,-0.14036172328689814,-0.2005593079209507,-0.20684582394129739,-0.07558423062091693,0.2975533625331564,-0.14387772615774871,-0.2103686388923812,-0.026043610407897228,-0.030198536689026757,0.20106885143540698,0.44483055030045265,-0.16493398894493666,-0.07626909932934124,-0.07332001220131118,-0.1002388747822777,0.08951201807509385,-0.060193923540261915,0.1177322399315303,-0.15842705629651188,0.44643957461294786,-0.11896601211675764,0.07453631435947462,-0.20294879813034106,-0.16225917022484043,-0.04706901350540361,-0.08291920202747191,-0.10403530502126279,-0.19429925219806557,-0.14625564391772503,-0.20223674575986236,-0.09705938313465724,-0.2052820055755889,-0.10018297808375819,-0.10183968876397954,0.37063082380916834,-0.047357678905468104,0.1326190012228028,-0.1031865367827066,0.2881331976888946,0.5069659037278998,0.05521041433542537,-0.1946113773407207,0.24669227514549336,-0.20756579020406377,-0.03755130279360271,0.08063992539220205,0.36978323310085853,-0.07728793444734178,0.10773555499362224,-0.17359760698739968,-0.06090128874145997,0.6089690656172239,-0.20837003542316979,0.24675593736008508,-0.15844807747982287;-0.254512449466985,-0.31221262288087154,-0.03352369856819122,-0.2767180660193629,-0.30199895288257284,0.43168163326661996,0.008628860760361732,-0.09795458073163074,-0.3026629056007708,-0.27486840872287477,-0.19656981912707527,-0.3190775913136417,-0.26646718122435076,0.1435630663221649,0.6001858486499874,0.5876582340619795,0.021774539885559517,-0.16985118781547134,-0.15474234135852125,0.012414410714528755,0.050096612264817056,-0.3063857550311299,0.32227669186629937,-0.06076577840825681,-0.09540598722055411,0.19771977002228058,-0.2789436073265836,0.2141201105072102,0.1998231668470185,0.3282054290077832,-0.23102139902486768,-0.13997276656363278,0.2741746886143137,-0.22212115345008643,0.3818493763060328,0.26517366525256575,0.1942844882720519,0.25826871242475247,0.4383432585504666,-0.1806041873651728,-0.3183382021369991,0.2322819910193873,-0.26275440321277793,-0.025220920942130007,0.11658066285528193,-0.20449039353295204,-0.29931295361809923,-0.30929296067740186,-0.10299969376183064,0.445315231689004,-0.20959850223505755,-0.3163768376192059,-0.02596904914186323,-0.03223689136070322,0.31474974646689724,0.6088816360902898,-0.2565039990725247,-0.10389782684156604,-0.09950896563053183,-0.14050974782784564,0.15248905698259557,-0.07945158871836924,0.1933258082182768,-0.24967974994665246,0.6096106574401328,-0.19812201763343634,0.1290449494263493,-0.31011318477139316,-0.25746339371240096,-0.058009687045072394,-0.11490232969344283,-0.14726791131638922,-0.28963137479315787,-0.23404133589287923,-0.3020414331296442,-0.13628549161376238,-0.3130094955126489,-0.14155518089821567,-0.14317711444256484,0.531628865146195,-0.058901061685388716,0.21597290609744768,-0.14565019862376616,0.43264110853043675,0.664135185758208,0.0990385598671498,-0.2894551044652266,0.37753310587597083,-0.31330733690078455,-0.04378096716377319,0.13781530110816387,0.5316317229012499,-0.10555381615317601,0.17861422613685105,-0.25697776675977557,-0.0798375562170129,0.7355677071192658,-0.3143819976187721,0.3783315174259517,-0.24944362733010408;0.09896183121582516,0.09660741540445586,-0.10789444524517863,0.036742938414879085,0.1327765575294046,0.010867417190857704,-0.1152594846604437,-0.08651367620115896,0.076698579235204,0.03668353631131364,0.08966831907421702,0.1081798570633022,0.02650464160019748,-0.11457750086456725,0.21748002066215003,0.19514302218191334,-0.11721554411998031,0.0815241723407972,-0.061887173916931396,-0.11494678161777173,-0.11873492317672046,0.1306475022190788,-0.06017438208087401,-0.10109635225124977,-0.08953581852717263,-0.10515286824259928,0.04143559169063453,-0.10127967359547314,-0.10503115262553579,-0.05878386161658296,-0.009361414028229523,-0.06832328030709114,-0.0816191849961378,0.10228119999867546,-0.02645909652985291,-0.08640147319421831,-0.10586273988551188,-0.08762294490883787,0.016315041397923273,-0.04647025755853722,0.11515174270746989,-0.09683217220092061,0.024590023501724928,-0.10979487984820432,-0.11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k{17}	=[0.7941331856765719;1.1450575131201803;0.08271842611138236];
x_a_linear{17}	=[0.9634355254023046,1.036626422524868,17.39423810754012];
L_a{17}	=[0.0962186380759351,0.12303128037259471,0.018234837892636423,0.11047906700107056,0.1159273736147158,-0.17016354583519225,0.002093744890256928,0.04289275629361918,0.11973105051843118,0.10994236587650788,0.07017895828342821,0.12467380861259701,0.10655565766087127,-0.04998236743872302,-0.257847293056048,-0.2504733306281793,-0.0029958362921778028,0.05869720139081416,0.06439861491015648,9.066832207805238E-4,-0.013675603904148476,0.11812192505905968,-0.12196639805162333,0.028546622503242806,0.04180552994713512,-0.07159224144665619,0.11113997729071348,-0.07791409976547219,-0.0720277644625734,-0.12431523149531447,0.09317961202999522,0.05879919970266786,-0.10212892623860051,0.0805639672949436,-0.14761592984914154,-0.0983260629821272,-0.07014686839085016,-0.09555820358178772,-0.1731412379404518,0.07398747404837591,0.124533090879956,-0.08514036254804544,0.10520350635462217,0.015177421406408395,-0.03926425528951523,0.08303378830674112,0.11864487501920824,0.1223637894653742,0.04471336528034026,-0.17602365043663817,0.08511375021677949,0.1244477811978939,0.015406619288454075,0.01786454913698009,-0.11894630568934869,-0.2631484202464667,0.09757000414313531,0.04511851308005037,0.0433739215307826,0.05929831377009376,-0.05295262686797107,0.03560892091911793,-0.06964686424782321,0.09372069782654653,-0.2641002708009871,0.07037672689162619,-0.04409344943021959,0.1200584258047169,0.09598766156310409,0.02784461754737974,0.049052514506678725,0.06154416810561568,0.11494161369190166,0.08652045508808655,0.11963719696533595,0.057417421813160854,0.12143868139397349,0.05926524695869235,0.06024530733901313,-0.2192540861102137,0.028015383345626886,-0.07845342601328337,0.061042062256589424,-0.17045096327395448,-0.29990583289459655,-0.032660826248797487,0.11512625757068531,-0.14593575564379838,0.12278969992622255,0.022214225173291177,-0.04770416276808788,-0.21875267685278657,0.04572122539738636,-0.06373312507830063,0.10269514089454079,0.036027376969645086,-0.3602478460346344,0.12326546729147088,-0.14597341630174504,0.09373313332850611;0.11874866786610837,0.1650628208076341,0.037214737376223064,0.1518635561627437,0.14771829390250962,-0.22843408358315503,0.016751128678256975,0.06843935769656882,0.16180995111026378,0.15163118792411628,0.07567552653528961,0.16456971481622004,0.1468943527985139,-0.05033361201584527,-0.40008156972127207,-0.38400336001122204,0.010152787342327812,0.05785295987959531,0.09507930896559096,0.015931708390147886,-0.002955179940335384,0.15184481869913596,-0.15086775212295636,0.04997518014945341,0.06677027229431122,-0.08000812728666065,0.15220188520436703,-0.0881321819385704,-0.07959425559755487,-0.1540508483346903,0.13045041968380874,0.08812706334654245,-0.12201421908737732,0.0904107743617091,-0.1907973376099353,-0.1162627889062271,-0.07783637101845964,-0.1124303803137275,-0.2333238240690665,0.10641553962530054,0.16476321746646386,-0.09800315425306921,0.145361728074542,0.03365687431329976,-0.035737225795875474,0.11762271489947058,0.16094630073306945,0.1653930844619155,0.07045693603468639,-0.2375335983596731,0.12058340577794634,0.16639363999752133,0.033797873825759155,0.037065082818755625,-0.14667884836741454,-0.4119504535108698,0.12199947481700908,0.07113049346553074,0.06875155787553719,0.0895262960862841,-0.052930153533175095,0.05868615543475632,-0.07685538419657056,0.11389110376223266,-0.4149139475470177,0.07489053210857023,-0.042006839816449745,0.15562965941389517,0.11490169606323575,0.050007982559077256,0.07538716867080354,0.09148047893112649,0.15626181193901237,0.10159760458827877,0.16206733734202403,0.08645400510881873,0.15808777639842558,0.0883525868812986,0.09053260314550629,-0.3189238634920734,0.049779059954360445,-0.08837159552828655,0.09115037159662427,-0.22858958725147321,-0.49928999380632033,-0.027662635893146752,0.15715437156267328,-0.18859570554478977,0.16303094337383503,0.042394712254260475,-0.047243534189460694,-0.3169758879988018,0.07181260701525742,-0.06862578841295013,0.1414076583667404,0.059923505165476496,-0.6619423410026769,0.16380192776052216,-0.18794339104571103,0.11417546744151963;0.12592604200925162,0.1310855731137111,-0.10278433329022704,0.06770347693889132,0.1652639238170942,-0.036819037440062916,-0.11467273577584597,-0.07449345490786353,0.11025188397175151,0.06749367027187375,0.10933519715790042,0.14311831517363582,0.056365687982213995,-0.12858450739181218,0.1452211641504756,0.12495063721113649,-0.118055094158312,0.09797341484656856,-0.043840173232180916,-0.11469269365750882,-0.1225673601533055,0.16374986731495772,-0.0943541182790055,-0.09309647653059822,-0.07782028041140913,-0.12521580332611254,0.07258134302499046,-0.12311423966154297,-0.12521613822484715,-0.09362183244950885,0.016751143275311256,-0.05184545390077385,-0.11023968878076493,0.12485836217780726,-0.06782683077047563,-0.11395626654564181,-0.12552062513116366,-0.1144020762283543,-0.03220587856330861,-0.02573608498857092,0.1500507662271545,-0.1206918186133183,0.05407214441176015,-0.1055415751009463,-0.12866213417429304,-0.005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x_a{17}	=[0.9634355254023049,1.0366264225248676,17.394238107540108];
std_x_a{17}	=[1.1578847392784246,1.6869294561730188,1.1517551810371411];
pred_a{17}	=[0.9634355254023049];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.7 to 1.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{18}	=[1.426902970469585,2.2949921819255157,13.811960383217553];
std_x_f{18}	=[1.971166585822618,3.179385713212484,1.2393516291208706];
pred_f{18}	=[1.426902970469585];
obs{18}	=[1.5143958438819851];
sqrt_r{18}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{18}	=[4.906299247075707];
L_f{18}	=[0.14422738301761792,0.19457525091728647,0.045329298104269784,0.18181836604644952,0.1747202996007898,-0.2869276645758682,0.019328111782120842,0.08458651432724938,0.19187951604373604,0.18173386303514427,0.09784612601779752,0.1939108132061742,0.1769547910418303,-0.06850950788412186,-0.460207687557569,-0.44525346673418204,0.01060104957524095,0.07835513559579048,0.11738141749752404,0.017930350878853266,-0.006778318611671263,0.1793341449970175,-0.19651059839981175,0.061835430381961154,0.08259253719790909,-0.10664523907957388,0.1821247701467671,-0.11757339313983127,-0.10663145845778343,-0.20013713705246342,0.15870085690669225,0.109181725659501,-0.16064678707440386,0.11410192095375205,-0.24392161326909015,-0.1537058104067051,-0.10379864878145936,-0.1487085264092317,-0.29259116189184525,0.1315579300083143,0.1931029633615624,-0.13021029043227275,0.1748677059484899,0.040965472433954396,-0.04973893608147168,0.14421747149001046,0.19115724361099382,0.194989181753211,0.08783788178621907,-0.2980221469135197,0.14776188852816552,0.19549449813974437,0.041188168366243914,0.044742270587049514,-0.1910612975362096,-0.471065894170697,0.14799853008620767,0.08792312985476916,0.08509000096879679,0.1103662888558345,-0.07288413026657023,0.07248881298988143,-0.10277552645452294,0.13917906859538945,-0.4737538572810821,0.0973027375907192,-0.0582137183796526,0.18274897668950904,0.14006101792289374,0.06070268469982571,0.09339567564320739,0.11340750110046055,0.18640183159110665,0.126298503105374,0.19140159975971874,0.10738256521510234,0.18567892361240695,0.10954148743169669,0.11233790882368412,-0.3835187497309021,0.06155797911895421,-0.11783664714707041,0.11289548968987122,-0.28737737096578325,-0.5469329990816831,-0.039067540734340454,0.18790778707474728,-0.24101875466019382,0.19108825896911383,0.051853834757634935,-0.06468054716442434,-0.3810469788117776,0.08900118622020922,-0.09239517517323624,0.17120496914674865,0.07381428005424505,-0.668923686437691,0.193328023120192,-0.24072346809649975,0.14050333321148076;0.2229070385541071,0.30279068126060066,0.08514727995787419,0.29089698320099866,0.26670818146195646,-0.47526842694206894,0.04210746559052351,0.14799589841891822,0.30106040297428177,0.2902554201570188,0.14910548329296644,0.2997323310380523,0.28345769144444183,-0.10546046549316629,-0.7516329256399917,-0.7287406003366994,0.02790572803134433,0.11835493312944025,0.1992997089372677,0.039770090751093765,-9.667170821842445E-4,0.2735465947265788,-0.322468337858515,0.11153695769672223,0.14483880398583218,-0.17014116485006678,0.2910176024628944,-0.18879459848127525,-0.16986865778295404,-0.3291522185684844,0.25969014469111595,0.1860690214413173,-0.26171028867943524,0.17345738341833944,-0.4031083119496716,-0.24995092452263173,-0.16541455888950035,-0.24137844381806506,-0.48459810935059916,0.220729173484069,0.29752117126620165,-0.2097452648667382,0.2811340498662429,0.07799941091850811,-0.07344281484390311,0.23869509972395211,0.300852380133661,0.3044669901459763,0.15352292391570702,-0.49301155765623184,0.2444914868909893,0.30287774580965227,0.07835616722428654,0.08491917276887172,-0.3135654225493152,-0.767871160006978,0.22943762645185972,0.15385163750480452,0.14867942981836976,0.18872327750777998,-0.11187974874662669,0.12940078937049493,-0.16334142415314482,0.2145767431982195,-0.7715840514049525,0.1478812504888385,-0.0874961296517872,0.2794973288341786,0.21383747895732283,0.11060178408431866,0.16188791258115212,0.19322120933561454,0.29535944354481525,0.19417224182632667,0.30085679576675284,0.18372768844581472,0.2842556695469507,0.1872256971533679,0.1909795888625693,-0.6316181191473896,0.11119187680206813,-0.18918809195403133,0.19228542529836362,-0.4746033501200861,-0.8779484790577495,-0.05510913899120476,0.29724106983690185,-0.39811081469736564,0.29627702112843624,0.09592256566214834,-0.09890312317999832,-0.6280733380243806,0.15594907780665904,-0.14585585021182695,0.27621736858858736,0.13146661098790297,-1.034947905425933,0.29896619719467044,-0.3976175863986077,0.21565971597647096;0.11528597801129326,0.14613503878130754,-0.09895462519458088,0.0903013726141753,0.16039912381337937,-0.060402794462382094,-0.11547660278485943,-0.06386390372986464,0.12816128430440787,0.08935180661486683,0.08241144762580782,0.15474147647033215,0.07833894590221391,-0.14323729676942945,0.14625620463939418,0.12252969835178322,-0.12015377303055311,0.0661836834185325,-0.027000731656981972,-0.11670733427933591,-0.12794607812481854,0.1622774757615233,-0.11929420588307939,-0.08599872905534826,-0.06701562732838619,-0.1441754930853239,0.09393728034784259,-0.14302239021275814,-0.14405193348258438,-0.1185938357993437,0.03846979976847538,-0.03762269289290941,-0.13368125681731516,0.10103741290619685,-0.09284246887177287,-0.13649064368113187,-0.14477706398269977,-0.13660158431325164,-0.055052294176353586,-0.007050676453017341,0.159977270742853,-0.1414290805646481,0.07551854410245147,-0.10252633543165236,-0.1403722526140362,0.015127583105393173,0.1216189535173635,0.139314009229553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k{18}	=[0.7961803898129475;1.283220407531876;0.033041063428869165];
x_a_linear{18}	=[1.4965630805289245,2.4072648226019107,13.814851240797546];
L_a{18}	=[-0.08460140171436985,-0.11413462979160406,-0.026589417890785037,-0.10665165173985786,-0.10248804315041816,0.16830703092479923,-0.011337551268330932,-0.04961705279880052,-0.11255335622079542,-0.10660208366855307,-0.05739492210307526,-0.11374488159999258,-0.10379875893874871,0.0401865462472574,0.26995023158912373,0.26117833254516615,-0.00621840065973688,-0.04596182891367929,-0.06885400156152849,-0.010517647799212717,0.003976049788991528,-0.1051944486862279,0.11526987267267357,-0.036271642572105994,-0.04844741873487242,0.06255633655360682,-0.10683138332643671,0.0689666113038284,0.06254825306837973,0.11739714037292845,-0.09309130254369077,-0.06404419770453225,0.09423275305317245,-0.0669303030327501,0.14308039124910668,0.09016129073396557,0.060886573681340234,0.08722996644515568,0.17162914494720144,-0.0771697097491175,-0.11327101021857448,0.07637920662305764,-0.1025745092803314,-0.02402966979842213,0.029176038726015846,-0.08459558777591276,-0.1121296831363148,-0.11437743478604637,-0.051524251270838935,0.17481487109649502,-0.08667468429291471,-0.11467384503571958,-0.02416029955564032,-0.026245077240884557,0.11207340275289569,0.27631947632167686,-0.08681349432395986,-0.051574256380422685,-0.04991238975027338,-0.06473904291861218,0.04275262751270599,-0.04252074092480545,0.06028642701589368,-0.0816401438209005,0.2778961911045231,-0.05707617942297964,0.03414720610525522,-0.10719753257889053,-0.08215748073561667,-0.035607192656358415,-0.054784361389340494,-0.06652296781153487,-0.10934023695630135,-0.07408461675988491,-0.11227301841888802,-0.0629888398916084,-0.10891619107105505,-0.06425522802051098,-0.06589556264072158,0.22496576677823765,-0.03610889424188818,0.06912103175820658,-0.06622263037128397,0.1685708212685651,0.3208218675125126,0.022916374397881974,-0.11022360557999662,0.1413776223147134,-0.11208921788430969,-0.030416603372920945,0.03794054110441898,0.2235158667654975,-0.05220662644590602,0.05419748433170786,-0.10042600834344427,-0.043298238021578485,0.39237959067495165,-0.11340302655729714,0.14120441209156911,-0.08241693558136917;-0.1459010483516654,-0.1947634208009286,-0.030765602636515454,-0.1740361130178619,-0.18007424009456166,0.25844275077264317,-0.007317018031939116,-0.06830276744018503,-0.18960035608456816,-0.17446159092401842,-0.10109972595885099,-0.19612271779255633,-0.1690386139553184,0.06972721391243257,0.42517769988944576,0.40983014690023595,7.974720869081095E-4,-0.08200929073501129,-0.10085976924075278,-0.0060801373180885306,0.01636632098107256,-0.18503402671583652,0.1800346982236844,-0.04658424165541778,-0.06636100425678043,0.10256451544187829,-0.1746990087008666,0.11185578626310219,0.10280178367533428,0.1826243462611021,-0.1461284883691147,-0.09312278335370396,0.14908433969728976,-0.11831599760519745,0.22063082594867042,0.1430947280874119,0.10001202155270343,0.1388885067711019,0.26359536407384154,-0.11568148216599644,-0.1962681009451225,0.12321930195137742,-0.16602530880135377,-0.02675460459123964,0.053746082833698514,-0.13008764212279847,-0.18796143482503913,-0.19414558664146556,-0.07108990938706251,0.2690696474454384,-0.13335478810520868,-0.1970269903853881,-0.026967310609681567,-0.029492604480213333,0.17500304587707619,0.4367053052987118,-0.14901377163870433,-0.07097918614360216,-0.06890671655356348,-0.09349760870796822,0.07449440633404479,-0.055962488264535114,0.09946890006799212,-0.14132215028529294,0.43986588349904115,-0.10093444421973136,0.061363883322645627,-0.1878154592555314,-0.1443166731145326,-0.04462283793806353,-0.07693691900464907,-0.09677645023861492,-0.18129416734716433,-0.12878937846228322,-0.1885818694932514,-0.09086343021282839,-0.190549372071602,-0.09288606506006615,-0.09628298481386725,0.34908896588284977,-0.046219843757777115,0.1121354673619757,-0.09640295482516482,0.2602577850428142,0.5206299936051869,0.04479161949780851,-0.18326346415488118,0.21820533799729813,-0.19236039117172984,-0.036674401679034956,0.06649340805163338,0.3463131088241328,-0.07163847550983014,0.09041057216929974,-0.16157589797897734,-0.05728605749674687,0.675576545058661,-0.1953985819507946,0.2179434803313352,-0.14362549354078624;0.10578970494626963,0.13332374264775446,-0.10193921372165309,0.07833002004513814,0.14889512477868058,-0.041510796315337384,-0.11674921151888787,-0.06943328050744933,0.1155274817503303,0.07738601792457007,0.07596902655722224,0.14197392849200086,0.06668782264989717,-0.13872646823738444,0.17655737059160354,0.15184624292736948,-0.12085177128467155,0.061024595400040925,-0.034729402662402986,-0.11788791111942515,-0.12749977754644434,0.15046969019998263,-0.10635548187983061,-0.09007012049097204,-0.07245371592123434,-0.13715371753760677,0.08194575340592275,-0.13528107907560172,-0.13703106528369896,-0.10541633188755128,0.028020558845514763,-0.04481147673464686,-0.12310389123555995,0.09352467173354306,-0.076782091170949,-0.12637028847005147,-0.1379427146935024,-0.12681026213619448,-0.03578739792986146,-0.01571276267471366,0.1472629135148457,-0.13285572612979818,0.06400483948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x_a{18}	=[1.496563080528924,2.40726482260191,13.814851240797541];
std_x_a{18}	=[1.156253775697725,1.8657872477903865,1.2384180177978323];
pred_a{18}	=[1.496563080528924];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.8 to 1.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{19}	=[3.0064867971990656,5.259413677335212,11.724149322529293];
std_x_f{19}	=[2.2066493398260487,3.661173548250259,1.9928764639805026];
pred_f{19}	=[3.0064867971990656];
obs{19}	=[3.1823135468051786];
sqrt_r{19}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{19}	=[5.90107370489135];
L_f{19}	=[-0.17824813024717653,-0.2387257267021097,-0.0351190625901904,-0.21627213466572914,-0.21888181842800117,0.3318476435286048,-0.0035400193870584965,-0.08463198154625344,-0.23336262222284535,-0.21658488034323084,-0.12222188572646675,-0.23934975269834616,-0.20996912060812822,0.09985205325498006,0.4845446655989561,0.47340913435413456,0.007447551957943345,-0.09832464730249067,-0.1269473411791416,-0.0014666926981278276,0.028412307381759573,-0.2253562822339228,0.24079065517401593,-0.05617382342102294,-0.0819595248717231,0.14339131449829262,-0.21684103934185972,0.15545179703451306,0.1433343243482665,0.2440648214122962,-0.1833634475746246,-0.11650769479858074,0.20297552373946043,-0.14328392695780137,0.28883266413050557,0.19562387509269552,0.1399954485649383,0.1899448433847436,0.33675581220684625,-0.14550856896366715,-0.23947900156451513,0.16990278958401397,-0.2072309755742961,-0.030201344831377673,0.0776993055485233,-0.16381810562925,-0.23137733688258266,-0.2382948671778899,-0.08881258437362748,0.34204804491022756,-0.16794128094051214,-0.24109999676927865,-0.030436942741480486,-0.034005067137945065,0.23464897277443442,0.4940515150634104,-0.18274340297933703,-0.0887222131284263,-0.08574402962573749,-0.11769394831586674,0.10641932725046875,-0.06884275485557831,0.13909102084123035,-0.17284606343978284,0.4964090022082526,-0.1217206668774806,0.08863706094178482,-0.2283657214552448,-0.17577251082947762,-0.05297155993254534,-0.09602001158935515,-0.12207493159091302,-0.22407546556729585,-0.15699966442728414,-0.23247413033016018,-0.11393416307555453,-0.23178657277535863,-0.11691970576105405,-0.12054348391609715,0.4213817894719895,-0.05525698750876792,0.15549571025919232,-0.12138600370837639,0.3325677493494422,0.5532268255588966,0.06659006996946333,-0.22683729996324775,0.28615509222024726,-0.23583006347788008,-0.043310908256551935,0.09530822439541389,0.4183444653704839,-0.08981310527859108,0.1279905747762758,-0.2014736662927241,-0.07055590591273307,0.6352033064833739,-0.2386236857020172,0.2856756879317605,-0.17484471586715228;-0.3113997586435098,-0.41935004919800944,-0.04217736627211454,-0.3770009221761621,-0.38520184302036653,0.5720322531809156,0.015497313425648388,-0.13366773709090926,-0.4087891000639903,-0.37716472521071764,-0.21157898291850766,-0.4207137078112071,-0.3650076968298024,0.20067444395268433,0.7533219184184055,0.7435585731551279,0.03572119774555961,-0.1687975942783908,-0.21127717964138099,0.01926896496763235,0.07318457687278784,-0.39605645449744764,0.4365464472804991,-0.07998310671426746,-0.12825940337122546,0.27590597541159984,-0.3782890439602547,0.296047877395357,0.2753423583457412,0.4417665949932414,-0.31586852776138785,-0.1918056568770862,0.3754173171288028,-0.25007754812199035,0.5105148780678122,0.3629964207681096,0.27003776800822044,0.35359456799750655,0.579778441806676,-0.24576331474746854,-0.4209572198932487,0.320513048336726,-0.36038285462472447,-0.032636617335142705,0.16115040560285585,-0.2789852332914371,-0.4050584417911405,-0.4176698360807371,-0.14015285179461673,0.5874674790678026,-0.2867656691243156,-0.42346536345579894,-0.03249020211140974,-0.03957484977360644,0.42642009005804415,0.7615503830093049,-0.318860072028474,-0.1406688428501593,-0.13531581251276828,-0.19370034507135572,0.2112731556475397,-0.10374802595062745,0.267719041445351,-0.3023634221657765,0.7636209067618203,-0.21076262747485877,0.18080208991246868,-0.40229215611546354,-0.30871028405277723,-0.07543491763936194,-0.15420484063615442,-0.20191890434604617,-0.3913140512139372,-0.2740915484969732,-0.40677865787672235,-0.1870330054752997,-0.4082259479059465,-0.19255132537775801,-0.1993414743096198,0.6886942257703443,-0.07912848086201482,0.2961727214931454,-0.20089597782225097,0.5730405339756541,0.8049512970990123,0.14158564508977395,-0.39616889237236563,0.5061665583250795,-0.4138345032372594,-0.05647132983397865,0.19219520753697067,0.6845412782917117,-0.14206405890827772,0.24828005454870508,-0.34950121244243687,-0.10657941144975366,0.8202915590691043,-0.41917596406648017,0.5055212548694314,-0.305659873855889;-0.021170714836525235,-0.009468751775559803,-0.13558437939466686,-0.04883609353416539,0.005310877701499395,0.17999994936403776,-0.13225198345537253,-0.13060478932328223,-0.022685422869702838,-0.04956874974677813,-0.030258127760064066,-0.003091073694344866,-0.05657476768065443,-0.09081071902459442,0.5339378117672436,0.49902866680722396,-0.12985914613698035,-0.03395881023428706,-0.1159557916399264,-0.13189208538574745,-0.12443167193888705,0.005375740290582863,0.04222220704419555,-0.13482138800077206,-0.13125573564700344,-0.059751430742273175,-0.046237022741064754,-0.0495926210407817,-0.06013425415283732,0.04624216706743974,-0.08210732793831713,-0.121160376098896,-0.002677829578625632,-0.023095999487311353,0.11005016787991262,-0.01150808949215873,-0.062428217093435004,-0.01651713677545489,0.19119401937062566,-0.10729867432724503,0.001414763865348037,-0.0363444111426815,-0.058522528982146556,-0.1356079744992787,-0.1036355107024334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k{19}	=[0.8305393136894546;1.3720150831755413;0.5369630837869436];
x_a_linear{19}	=[3.1525178251451744,5.500650629820528,11.818561796210027];
L_a{19}	=[0.09024702725310432,0.12086683396805975,0.017780781174452788,0.10949858045747567,0.11081986333034033,-0.16801445988732155,0.0017923117939996095,0.04284917173884317,0.11815149420303421,0.10965692359208032,0.06188093999520049,0.12118277832613349,0.10630736447869224,-0.05055509395181051,-0.24532496122689532,-0.2396870418258018,-0.003770695510720875,0.04978176832741423,0.06427343806196549,7.425865040846313E-4,-0.014385151053475672,0.11409788431564889,-0.12191230724074552,0.028440806454228727,0.041496106940886325,-0.07259902165279976,0.1097866168915184,-0.07870524388706683,-0.07257016754019051,-0.12357001758714574,0.09283691238468059,0.05898784516338783,-0.10276650642689329,0.07254465134170618,-0.146235976081355,-0.0990443667620349,-0.07087969475152822,-0.09616907304305956,-0.17049946565907304,0.07367098757565936,0.1212482170262835,-0.0860217813264261,0.10492104166482305,0.015290940703266845,-0.03933915792362661,0.08294110587737286,0.11714634424741076,0.12064868979358333,0.04496581092475334,-0.1731789230444015,0.08502866951222723,0.12206892688853344,0.01541022392370957,0.01721676528379948,-0.1188027734794301,-0.25013827905255764,0.0925229838098816,0.044920055963861394,0.04341220167467896,0.05958844531192875,-0.05388010473552883,0.0348550863619988,-0.07042178300055059,0.08751196086158633,-0.2513318747795616,0.06162717289502689,-0.0448769434122858,0.1156215633749837,0.08899362115707601,0.026819500469613265,0.04861493127996038,0.061806537117269085,0.11344940684517515,0.07948892913855246,0.1177016507632058,0.05768486606777216,0.11735354037741841,0.059196446311166245,0.06103116516888363,-0.21334559743042655,0.027976612437466,-0.07872747715245315,0.061457732934557516,-0.16837904946000407,-0.2800987383942154,-0.03371455201794711,0.1148477235829407,-0.14488032143958027,0.11940075969535537,0.021928312585189878,-0.048254553428024656,-0.21180780025642576,0.045472374652812356,-0.06480162722580902,0.1020061160108033,0.03572245473175014,-0.321603430184507,0.12081517061033618,-0.14463759905125392,0.08852387857332966;0.13214264781230053,0.1746813336699928,0.04521089138941012,0.16115823228987466,0.1594510985861111,-0.25371835740479354,0.02430609428443684,0.0769256234458617,0.17189704174309015,0.16177264763110408,0.09255093553567359,0.17487046549379748,0.15746739958100267,-0.047791668588594516,-0.4523911890181922,-0.43444551809912346,0.017189137336004846,0.07586780904443728,0.1046112906706661,0.02291859881207534,0.0024850235501663706,0.1647071708677173,-0.1626231849611039,0.05979660814408172,0.07568396951671952,-0.08090073335578161,0.16128574021670805,-0.09076944320686109,-0.08132253940655819,-0.16555028440573344,0.14040254044282385,0.09810539716831848,-0.1296553146356179,0.10646194365934543,-0.20819972911397241,-0.1237827908763802,-0.07831886307255298,-0.1190532674210957,-0.25818537373001643,0.11631184838938816,0.17494856886462334,-0.10226329187592198,0.15527879899794717,0.042514673991927064,-0.03219208228269763,0.12865032895020684,0.17068763003539897,0.17528942070127362,0.08084328063052183,-0.26366522427448297,0.13112976567397397,0.17647401663891998,0.04324733751940366,0.045041405606690454,-0.1574669325571906,-0.4678190224396754,0.13586811282811218,0.0801024149605006,0.07804470457473284,0.09916251407289665,-0.05353458419594121,0.06755633002409264,-0.0783870636496373,0.1277367916102907,-0.4716147342541865,0.09212008679192364,-0.03975728008918228,0.16595998490737865,0.1286719332752574,0.05637646873321106,0.08472583958584458,0.1018453418801471,0.16626246354447555,0.1165773963961261,0.17169661175093226,0.096474220087088,0.1685384430044353,0.09838495307548872,0.10061200550849352,-0.359848009594967,0.05836983218705444,-0.09075387025442773,0.10115397984186256,-0.2545019465625435,-0.5716665512006237,-0.02411325923735491,0.16828001242185997,-0.205885332749178,0.17299147762748085,0.051301045939383116,-0.04496430232578045,-0.35644305428213796,0.08142171225406118,-0.07020433830977685,0.15183428353741563,0.0689878511902931,-0.760311854585978,0.17460150583942954,-0.2053377141164665,0.12941367179229846;0.15241768173529432,0.22301624574557485,-0.10138339363575327,0.16178229010738282,0.21847072317619107,-0.1431725869559032,-0.1288045066802695,-0.04818524329529407,0.20457667157855317,0.1613542038255575,0.08876865327725073,0.23000163663676676,0.1479053742732455,-0.18805245611827373,0.06206003413157315,0.03799531716686242,-0.1371120054010409,0.06179545010527887,0.007672912760982431,-0.13046373472995892,-0.15210122939492335,0.22484079518976421,-0.19227373792405417,-0.0801160515496013,-0.05143878336513876,-0.19939423278214666,0.1649353933629547,-0.2009806224409053,-0.19972155586993254,-0.1914423514169778,0.09646266216604853,-0.007698406538152881,-0.2003472001375143,0.1164422223197158,-0.17123187964818742,-0.20201799700937817,-0.19876392737573162,-0.20149647290941824,-0.13675837707900376,0.034406033255588477,0.23463334425975774,-0.20180562959176204,0.14329104808075094,-0.10619614832011193,-0.1793036136228323,0.06466758767382466,0.1978534927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x_a{19}	=[3.152517825145177,5.500650629820531,11.818561796210025];
std_x_a{19}	=[1.1172265472472176,1.8807875120233084,1.5573381898181502];
pred_a{19}	=[3.152517825145177];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.9 to 2.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{20}	=[6.8171849571898075,12.004561236382639,13.252797933164834];
std_x_f{20}	=[2.196585617623901,3.6281780866185462,2.6957415242484783];
pred_f{20}	=[6.8171849571898075];
obs{20}	=[7.266281612218627];
sqrt_r{20}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{20}	=[5.846075118597823];
L_f{20}	=[0.14521275097472422,0.1827054274987302,0.0707858593372519,0.17751212184135,0.1663833537961583,-0.3112703494451572,0.04668954170578003,0.10554775146473025,0.18272143635914453,0.17803316194189578,0.10832440672047153,0.18191948851614734,0.17539181969243314,-0.04268273581725574,-0.5465216083109523,-0.5264365916055423,0.0379575300448723,0.09150126831410209,0.1321551197166983,0.04522925720168206,0.02036501325699325,0.17113642199776685,-0.1947502789920917,0.08676758292887622,0.10385405051171114,-0.08684462378041068,0.17731857523647057,-0.09928093668466782,-0.08676405325927151,-0.1985900971736372,0.1632974941554353,0.1266380150793588,-0.15146607826581843,0.1207640867631215,-0.2542114463951946,-0.14299348342657178,-0.08346397237970042,-0.13675559957040206,-0.31723505407902847,0.14317184836538094,0.18083671006799637,-0.11487251711291761,0.17349588246568032,0.06796408676096531,-0.02318107453000312,0.15345999689656428,0.18252817044729333,0.18486474006938255,0.10957063637376983,-0.3255858671466658,0.15576473274807093,0.18383570967518087,0.06828095437856709,0.07056266271790244,-0.18749588761116662,-0.5624623262342641,0.1492780967018236,0.10882877956679984,0.10637708253686626,0.12748917238062776,-0.05037788558002137,0.09519685338912011,-0.08313600574874745,0.14101256376801957,-0.5667191396905736,0.10741485454049877,-0.03327462488297485,0.17245790184141876,0.14079421700028108,0.08367100854101603,0.11334450656782943,0.12963161152271632,0.17959446463260126,0.13098973985822412,0.1823768510950046,0.12536596826893498,0.17449148384730218,0.12646157514603554,0.12929206668849658,-0.44150323343492104,0.08590798133328079,-0.09946439248237064,0.12993317462896056,-0.3128084722389473,-0.670193382580442,-0.013276485360035855,0.1818049484627445,-0.2514106306140574,0.1807107121650514,0.0775934606937544,-0.03942008437966995,-0.43790049971366163,0.10923487368084701,-0.07194525643574931,0.17151410954225255,0.09719544800238442,-0.8415446380669619,0.18183578972093936,-0.24969352540446552,0.14318587628783455;0.2028040720955392,0.2349339643134768,0.15737870702231022,0.2458186503760551,0.2139247119731741,-0.49818688334086053,0.12468671451844715,0.1978964778108907,0.24086088881754272,0.24692785147146143,0.16602443976123282,0.23164748090407403,0.24674457686536713,-0.011508355997496417,-0.9538691260583932,-0.9150410606937196,0.11224426704324618,0.1480581347714897,0.2238046395366706,0.12272795709845748,0.08699201941777276,0.21892980983222426,-0.27735481378261284,0.1767907700766738,0.19618446917439647,-0.08473821693917886,0.2444875289770852,-0.10586421745435362,-0.08492686297574127,-0.2837997697128229,0.2442970189992631,0.21949387100278056,-0.19800293000240202,0.17725186308866334,-0.38818096048775624,-0.183369569255878,-0.07856091702177619,-0.1723455194944897,-0.5093104257179577,0.23267156533867142,0.22897823302979398,-0.13274575739323133,0.24617507490460697,0.15349252221850126,0.020284002583247238,0.23967961250568107,0.24222626666846414,0.23936276581430518,0.20301242613531242,-0.52294787539694,0.2419016910070385,0.23476851430450604,0.15436810389927488,0.15646805880387973,-0.2641803692488651,-0.9855885598703201,0.20954604434371318,0.2015759970784827,0.19796303545411753,0.22046085550272793,-0.023868601283868286,0.18651321797938406,-0.07892183387624324,0.19870640643136722,-0.9934353316606549,0.16518545524032888,0.004212422276095276,0.21952698829636372,0.19390097155181152,0.17274402429582125,0.20515117543249814,0.22240110949364972,0.24341423342037477,0.18905080860919093,0.24052421010394034,0.21838462746239892,0.22150376093253143,0.21873828123761835,0.22255003571108514,-0.7495012460488342,0.17573644316230888,-0.10652826440668045,0.22248978927106147,-0.5001637026460574,-1.1911935954012476,0.03656329909116599,0.24526036801199183,-0.38272606986770263,0.23152349861346858,0.1655375475996177,-0.0060545961070023625,-0.7424256368403644,0.2018633013347502,-0.0596186873683328,0.245857518481821,0.18889982555879145,-1.5087321413122554,0.23253067387985196,-0.38021219656637717,0.20128844621048075;0.2610489197115776,0.3707456364426182,-0.036659925004717125,0.3136631277864206,0.34350000708412026,-0.42019234117039717,-0.08893203226334472,0.04844899220158629,0.35536437752820954,0.3145440169449795,0.16007630357529892,0.3748920856894445,0.2996395399416071,-0.2345486312026581,-0.3592093796110318,-0.3728432493408025,-0.1059353149796447,0.11713317784907559,0.1282043931781678,-0.09129958760766936,-0.1380616937946788,0.35486401246143473,-0.3769805655440146,-7.438084803715093E-4,0.04385510872694473,-0.287627197575088,0.31493222998039483,-0.30064292279390387,-0.2883030125269415,-0.3788729364285075,0.2408287489610643,0.10830441487659086,-0.3477048045584924,0.1987022341822831,-0.4048396203080815,-0.3416599291067582,-0.2843743530819744,-0.3356786144632696,-0.4186094710586238,0.16398199600171218,0.37693384335724295,-0.3160972962746021,0.2930019698936946,-0.04487464348240095,-0.2070591879390401,0.20241990282796418,0.3503432888777095,0.36814825700292875,0.05622122401808807,-0.4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k{20}	=[0.8289450649002523;1.3573045348479174;0.8079179833851264];
x_a_linear{20}	=[7.189461413039159,12.614122162838287,13.615631197040724];
L_a{20}	=[-0.07404502290801841,-0.09316280749283229,-0.03609421721583445,-0.09051470370175368,-0.08484006508143244,0.15871898301317416,-0.023807332083193758,-0.05381955525693554,-0.09317097052554203,-0.09078038578491755,-0.05523539168065842,-0.09276205157037311,-0.08943354643330013,0.021764233031544854,0.2786752866775129,0.26843379264839085,-0.019354816728136926,-0.04665715278412233,-0.06738684310538329,-0.023062722544207822,-0.010384266278370016,-0.08726368863727832,0.09930456363175987,-0.044243412665326574,-0.05295592499703193,0.04428269634791245,-0.09041601290018254,0.050624061467063046,0.044241612861487284,0.10126251445430627,-0.08326656312478949,-0.06457363189276184,0.07723363933055974,-0.06157847372781821,0.12962423923150554,0.07291340247290555,0.04255887795917343,0.06973266076856278,0.16176042867335214,-0.07300435203409393,-0.09220993507606086,0.05857432012019542,-0.08846679444737081,-0.034655375146871094,0.011820196112842178,-0.07825035273691912,-0.09307242285135829,-0.09426385645503599,-0.05587085311643275,0.16601856813247867,-0.07942555407272621,-0.09373914647880988,-0.0348169482170503,-0.03598040765929227,0.09560549745211165,0.28680357304271864,-0.07611797184309177,-0.055492575011391564,-0.05424243711698186,-0.06500764310353868,0.02568804507036367,-0.04854155811148855,0.042391645422506015,-0.07190331733567137,0.2889741527457537,-0.05477160450253498,0.01696696980931406,-0.087937520684663,-0.07179198075323914,-0.04266444718229277,-0.05779517658730809,-0.06610008818353444,-0.09157650522156242,-0.06679260755968879,-0.09299526402865556,-0.06392500610345823,-0.08897445873039422,-0.06448366390567295,-0.06592695183800464,0.22512566433882364,-0.04380509564832632,0.05071760689370318,-0.06625385737363769,0.15950328285418042,0.34173641111315955,0.006769775078449922,-0.09270364677588262,0.1281960831826504,-0.09214568784193497,-0.03956546195851292,0.020100583670071424,0.2232886045824904,-0.05569964531186858,0.03668540210931997,-0.08745627422425895,-0.04956065583486081,0.429109644886725,-0.09271937295457032,0.12732051892450988,-0.07301150497233419;-0.15620593157402382,-0.2167693176399481,-0.017625426222457854,-0.19304520342386075,-0.1974254487803409,0.27136791502518043,0.009255993547945462,-0.06304960568602304,-0.2108819718987486,-0.19322417163282585,-0.10178637845671316,-0.2181127212913596,-0.1868772463473334,0.09401632444222041,0.39729820110946923,0.3864700078280438,0.018401729736938204,-0.07816077818701016,-0.10292293566574187,0.01090750273096286,0.03664352429562974,-0.2041713784381391,0.2041269976030079,-0.03772503557125461,-0.06057427139789822,0.1299680570815779,-0.19389781885925994,0.1395883974450384,0.12958021625739793,0.20717523789829367,-0.15942395992618713,-0.0935937466697224,0.17646719709746161,-0.12131362059621072,0.24030690776473163,0.17015373131593425,0.12778736044821118,0.16575583850642808,0.2749909332505112,-0.12129270750938091,-0.21810501213511252,0.15125397757094416,-0.18275941592051115,-0.014535332592263285,0.07759465606387285,-0.13972008675734274,-0.20903878204263351,-0.2176789923315339,-0.06787945011232151,0.28199922859000986,-0.14319601494584386,-0.21972916831684486,-0.014443143855941386,-0.017984264640483007,0.19936638437630042,0.4049890612402534,-0.15951472810894457,-0.06748178393161296,-0.0650334062190053,-0.09473108141034317,0.10068082544034816,-0.0488423031794135,0.12661561051888284,-0.1499194593827376,0.4076664245848316,-0.10037667386954761,0.08647739639961033,-0.20684129931847284,-0.1541850747673735,-0.03411610941636767,-0.0750708535952703,-0.09808758737404072,-0.2005978039110176,-0.1347955938004819,-0.21036673123121544,-0.091558104330505,-0.20989215874969638,-0.09391312335659287,-0.09709920324839144,0.3420287772559668,-0.036654166385982276,0.13937790891760457,-0.0987444631429058,0.2731938022050293,0.46572790167445655,0.06938680133757028,-0.20421665639969738,0.238837331510393,-0.2152482414852848,-0.026297042830031325,0.0914038195128708,0.34019733499817206,-0.06819846760612766,0.11825182747028358,-0.17817742805578596,-0.051396828211472366,0.571821677636529,-0.21702259948479344,0.23710599945985517,-0.15271050792043214;0.0473528546554774,0.10187509539993037,-0.14082887367106564,0.052435090423102175,0.09864913993634018,0.03787520729609601,-0.15764067716419458,-0.10687579169055335,0.08647027773841655,0.0525492134507556,6.653750561460912E-4,0.10717813776151268,0.04153175354049507,-0.1717364289080797,0.4450555102161027,0.40186439425470294,-0.1617938725470155,-0.017520706573026457,-0.06627597353144658,-0.15785926796998193,-0.16803098484262696,0.10301849804742381,-0.09038473969652004,-0.12843156951973828,-0.10897721340400264,-0.15982606269829294,0.053989017107970716,-0.1545404258562204,-0.16062044577320328,-0.08662640821211456,5.190537015065918E-4,-0.07805694338790815,-0.12480630082779343,0.02098498849864166,-0.030740338927974686,-0.13122975316276073,-0.16154820763833178,-0.13442815053073642,0.04823577703083223,-0.046710662990857583,0.11081331950635805,-0.14705012427802713,0.0376842575200423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x_a{20}	=[7.18946141303916,12.61412216283828,13.615631197040711];
std_x_a{20}	=[1.1200547561053777,1.8883890367025424,1.9815343607702822];
pred_a{20}	=[7.18946141303916];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.0 to 2.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{21}	=[13.598857663988895,19.40511785673545,26.50113856101335];
std_x_f{21}	=[1.33767369002469,1.7555924401792513,3.746683412060802];
pred_f{21}	=[13.598857663988895];
obs{21}	=[14.361860838277785];
sqrt_r{21}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{21}	=[2.8056036108750684];
L_f{21}	=[-0.12740765240282484,-0.18705254827506976,0.02251889861120041,-0.15964389255548586,-0.17037411404674802,0.20363214818031655,0.048326709985940935,-0.022178325354909628,-0.1800462451416833,-0.15951873377048226,-0.07336046612118996,-0.18936338185107138,-0.15151154354860852,0.12163676266508375,0.16458964507229343,0.17087040394965508,0.057071416293401525,-0.050650772193924894,-0.06296967848345242,0.049872450133089434,0.07361615428073855,-0.17671291246860057,0.18837297264371303,0.003402913938632442,-0.018897896268519853,0.14765536327775594,-0.16046224501202203,0.15347906147750542,0.14746115073798766,0.18898877574394085,-0.12164335692105646,-0.05271128632606343,0.17553928623641138,-0.09386764267092888,0.19973222039484032,0.17205788791147705,0.14625802394238313,0.16997666305730935,0.2028568195273715,-0.08230684641267542,-0.18930283692067892,0.1611880293295545,-0.14836371926531727,0.026138172319307436,0.10835013393886948,-0.10192103725083623,-0.17732420909719393,-0.18738470408032798,-0.026107209441975674,0.20423151851627785,-0.10524168133952011,-0.1905837269437117,0.026354422202877256,0.023375747284546312,0.18598673386325365,0.15935166391280994,-0.13062605944091651,-0.026058430319782187,-0.02358814139199826,-0.05375010152793645,0.12692961123026494,-0.008109069884232102,0.14500461721306235,-0.12159837545403766,0.15811497583317943,-0.07292687469674076,0.11538676634529985,-0.17902840622465885,-0.12655677993948447,0.0072944547820829745,-0.03434663065027251,-0.05814201694552934,-0.1683038533490406,-0.10646313918897478,-0.17939764398990066,-0.051126901183943155,-0.18280998121813946,-0.053540046490743995,-0.05668572725769807,0.19318359055133819,0.004418904628656646,0.15345896195058525,-0.05734187496298468,0.20369256584908974,0.11609355341115761,0.10200732753902036,-0.1718177894531509,0.19880934551825696,-0.1860719469027811,0.014914279789871903,0.119572918392583,0.19335920132246018,-0.02695644483334369,0.1399657360096649,-0.14213541298548335,-0.010102013407552866,0.012345293222414722,-0.18798996460768286,0.19866450985624423,-0.12372647240186954;-0.087659661309958,-0.16908560273912643,0.128719158182896,-0.11852978936125122,-0.15171873286834314,0.04597182827578012,0.15410392600464864,0.07886481955675269,-0.15432523189668934,-0.1187063847803682,-0.018942547053214152,-0.17310363724619923,-0.10637312979326592,0.19697688964448648,-0.29775505378937167,-0.2616988530598123,0.1614075658536087,0.00807569495097327,0.02515365755201872,0.15474205984639167,0.1739292213470693,-0.15980931840486715,0.15115263830500314,0.10917205298399406,0.08216509492073762,0.19601150171232354,-0.12014681094523286,0.1938796210187157,0.19630790751039792,0.1473585724187487,-0.058480704051867054,0.04023775776585589,0.17596356160536966,-0.045681740306934795,0.10373071360377617,0.18019550829600356,0.19716347222995964,0.1826583524891637,0.03795890008599336,5.398913346398254E-4,-0.17520889601476752,0.1902360687825484,-0.10079851002430863,0.13267763393283127,0.192634598436032,-0.02848808695920957,-0.15007168153665298,-0.165743967092202,0.07469601427035756,0.028907066001755313,-0.03340768574317469,-0.17461700681309653,0.1337273387139894,0.13056370279303808,0.1548238096975646,-0.32487656579768603,-0.09003794594664127,0.07422389371418173,0.07704802368803174,0.03866789832486143,0.19719077545146377,0.09578355535848879,0.196266073839516,-0.08112295413892803,-0.33238792049157456,-0.018610929434774298,0.1947568112162185,-0.16251385562705714,-0.09038022272562919,0.11323299573563379,0.06413722909359125,0.032394889973729836,-0.13454270999689658,-0.060207810528580555,-0.1537058265856985,0.04310367746211991,-0.1682555532467266,0.03813308372930276,0.034806202837619295,-0.1248270178899149,0.11070915382477577,0.19368229333386816,0.03469314134573197,0.04402642126391966,-0.5296925869368403,0.19034756057841914,-0.13896469436560335,0.10568421481792438,-0.16832012680994451,0.12136658785635544,0.1965178912695601,-0.12006377252249999,0.07271539470035755,0.1978610965624953,-0.09135479363507482,0.09337721602528519,-0.915953662535044,-0.17082796775613504,0.10766481319227907,-0.0820975465579475;-0.2812581425328489,-0.36307540599820454,-0.09275746184652063,-0.34631348970839354,-0.33103425473732273,0.5735201733786827,-0.040664178934816844,-0.17125715780367776,-0.361406601875574,-0.3467264173260457,-0.19965381745238145,-0.3628445182016956,-0.3390581504304633,0.1396042710837483,0.8542190587483433,0.8324862399234627,-0.022555851183743817,-0.16219967791258896,-0.23343272411103125,-0.037199875555138026,0.015270735860979852,-0.3407187192042587,0.4050813379319177,-0.1273712543493395,-0.1665867680978098,0.22302197614473748,-0.34675584964416506,0.24484697359144075,0.22203184562931844,0.4109025359380337,-0.3098012091038674,-0.2201526004242155,0.33483224526735145,-0.22888104751658603,0.4950145148440185,0.3198426097038389,0.2181122126176135,0.309329337686721,0.5812938835285593,-0.26002717460975844,-0.36022795675257513,0.27352367419118084,-0.3352093166746109,-0.08578113909699367,0.1025008160953879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k{21}	=[0.6435704615848782;0.354985042361123;1.5475465786950848];
x_a_linear{21}	=[14.089903969056722,19.675972570882063,27.68192151291761];
L_a{21}	=[0.14194980865950563,0.2084025012325731,-0.025089178623087603,0.17786545450395205,0.18982041057474625,-0.22687447673652622,-0.0538426625581217,0.02470973274481182,0.20059650708357146,0.1777260102457128,0.08173374151931402,0.2109770905745108,0.16880488895935877,-0.13552023650572795,-0.18337570926650268,-0.190373346410457,-0.06358547912931897,0.05643199043218896,0.07015696187396762,-0.05556483162714529,-0.08201861361796685,0.19688271182701533,-0.2098736372510431,-0.0037913184440948235,0.021054879426725192,-0.1645085689088688,0.1787772127259311,-0.17099697701901484,-0.1642921891833228,-0.21055972737672018,0.1355275834221487,0.05872768916991088,-0.19557512930779353,0.10458158254363863,-0.2225294158826936,-0.19169636836390996,-0.1629517389418475,-0.18937759500724807,-0.22601065300335046,0.09170125090059027,0.21090963511855954,-0.1795858371928202,0.1652977757971587,-0.029121551880604436,-0.12071708795187994,0.11355418189789847,0.19756378111780387,0.20877256890207777,0.02908705493768231,-0.2275422584819817,0.11725384031028865,0.21233672438874326,-0.029362484265876967,-0.02604382697377717,-0.20721503604527602,-0.177539871235362,0.14553556080727428,0.029032708225131182,0.026280463489281685,0.05988507348990633,-0.14141720444228303,0.009034629370879042,-0.16155526987547528,0.1354774678245677,-0.17616202906525422,0.08125066049100674,-0.12855687312068617,0.1994624932563562,0.1410018186362465,-0.008127035080423008,0.03826691377602696,0.06477827685264427,0.1875138528101802,0.11861471389006036,0.19987387537617,0.056962464212654315,0.20367569267281657,0.059651043023328285,0.06315576801081371,-0.21523333330259875,-0.004923273089901969,-0.17097458335625867,0.06388680762626256,-0.22694179040537005,-0.12934433201243567,-0.11365032125582487,0.19142886535623294,-0.22150120517731578,0.20730997519867916,-0.01661657775290515,-0.13322082752942674,-0.21542898807599087,0.030033221035542984,-0.15594125683002025,0.1583585781271478,0.01125504507173625,-0.013754370147459142,0.2094469131382899,-0.2213398381469838,0.13784846319930819;0.06091438835979246,0.0490422261169159,0.10245916596366562,0.06763594852566113,0.04695985201593525,-0.1914899907556609,0.09774863749242098,0.10472765864630768,0.05563232766932794,0.06731340153150857,0.06660538771937613,0.047718926941862076,0.0703092214799493,0.0551324550517245,-0.4896881884238765,-0.4609561771272907,0.09485480172065226,0.06714114511685806,0.09858456976370364,0.09658423538700678,0.0880831206119146,0.046261137641100014,-0.06851497871942809,0.10520380857319715,0.10420252301787927,0.023825962901249814,0.06697323334503659,0.014902885530886962,0.02434884601827505,-0.07302715186748808,0.08337142030909951,0.10170603792852641,-0.02873829217200131,0.06378025464827389,-0.12918327761999304,-0.0204465779721632,0.02660741453641536,-0.015556752361283016,-0.1985987839455434,0.09652048007050305,0.04554306483569471,0.00226966469199267,0.07221306486619188,0.10219709340637226,0.06628411729961964,0.09036522338215985,0.05671162663355235,0.0527711990405108,0.10514044801682434,-0.20925369753094872,0.08931793156299014,0.04762863996842626,0.10299462243249055,0.10330451252759762,-0.06206113962672808,-0.5107015267214167,0.0622891888645188,0.10461144460010639,0.10455489336734565,0.10134757339584434,0.04917418454950759,0.10523979545893583,0.02717165294836539,0.06067671592601257,-0.5167707407533924,0.06643138081199249,0.060200692875571886,0.0462567701326952,0.05720159794337623,0.10472670379266309,0.1041899096977984,0.10019611502301136,0.061721679115545595,0.0639421869915807,0.05549537888444316,0.10272435653991135,0.0449248854270483,0.10056780704942407,0.10090920291898994,-0.35010444696621495,0.10555613088304412,0.014728996533235138,0.10156129579512856,-0.19350585270136544,-0.6650729117882287,0.07139362443223432,0.061397405578349724,-0.12615358313827793,0.04866419210580128,0.10397457957036167,0.057080170054450784,-0.3455459868133392,0.10415014840672371,0.034642672694086434,0.07439375843751245,0.1051574899214942,-0.9303498952088519,0.04839301161431015,-0.12400408736697696,0.062183763939622286;0.3664459430251984,0.5878462807836177,-0.20723710539749612,0.4652704261120798,0.5350990399294031,-0.4616874600713523,-0.2863433583965594,-0.05850889133540629,0.5538970425157941,0.4642212270078928,0.17328982234490958,0.5998247859327271,0.4311832276569972,-0.47876226064651256,0.017492350867255868,-0.036170050746029386,-0.3126906178533843,0.09529436948536596,0.08668712152474477,-0.2907371560778255,-0.3589727494514361,0.5576392147045577,-0.5525530088990606,-0.144670696096261,-0.07051526539974164,-0.5276156837281946,0.4689883361406986,-0.5353967032349214,-0.5276184932067512,-0.5498623778282474,0.3085988459388014,0.04781651182711763,-0.5575593083560518,0.24831521591849506,-0.5203670005322929,-0.5548505099873107,-0.5254217735013242,-0.5547834297603781,-0.4499722006762629,0.15839730528205317,0.6021335542623959,-0.5459101915998215,0.41902942255674436,-0.2186601356168314,-0.44832029315072763,0.2336238382942281,0.5415623566636784,0.584436559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x_a{21}	=[14.089903969056719,19.675972570882063,27.681921512917583];
std_x_a{21}	=[1.4903541566522904,1.7940568210170154,4.062239114000779];
pred_a{21}	=[14.089903969056719];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.1 to 2.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{22}	=[13.522571132359374,6.390115245763942,39.84119953619108];
std_x_f{22}	=[1.4701948608161206,3.767726659659083,1.741139852001195];
pred_f{22}	=[13.522571132359374];
obs{22}	=[14.029361377709176];
sqrt_r{22}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{22}	=[3.171704023721609];
L_f{22}	=[-0.10114887518641932,-0.18181663873343926,0.10425870260207887,-0.1343044702998352,-0.16343537136118563,0.08773948395965554,0.1278340774881624,0.05440620760742372,-0.16802211879971649,-0.13379466326327527,-0.03313186709625147,-0.18609864145249622,-0.12205811173691161,0.17753561973450424,-0.16487445188484073,-0.13789818552280653,0.13594414414058292,-0.006578850343468569,0.003986425881870637,0.12952069341675815,0.1491349496023278,-0.1712254978018303,0.15927720656379518,0.0831998715005608,0.05841626366725209,0.18251277596570098,-0.13568766713753397,0.18202963179173853,0.1830494702408089,0.1568454679509548,-0.07573483597566255,0.017650572467818888,0.17452415207138086,-0.05952892133353346,0.12758694562900874,0.17646534685789209,0.18279540169787636,0.17780472181247478,0.08214787573949163,-0.021050645267358573,-0.1870871923906117,0.18152560794021033,-0.11678704825001218,0.10742012243993405,0.17101056112346605,-0.048560967180489155,-0.16327937053092959,-0.17975138526925452,0.050780138187356,0.0754088109630906,-0.05229545176697896,-0.18657918159504672,0.10814644784695612,0.10478342560613894,0.16145640938196762,-0.1850740541711114,-0.10381946846759967,0.05025886148954904,0.05267797945450971,0.016680245661800402,0.17912321447203777,0.07105176963612317,0.18215767932773044,-0.09428189968456936,-0.19099239200636728,-0.03275405771016707,0.17387722182486953,-0.17439663883614878,-0.10283312407513932,0.08802276424778709,0.03979585857980636,0.010641894400872062,-0.148927656380611,-0.07438070561877996,-0.16729171109440139,0.019501514787135854,-0.1798342993584317,0.016629612971680852,0.013593164163304573,-0.03591212763005741,0.08536268834898308,0.18195038109623674,0.0121261982753806,0.08614947150261383,-0.3406439086307917,0.16815638500012126,-0.1534610761686755,0.12882152856169923,-0.18063548553000178,0.09636665418198985,0.17649016633185566,-0.03228455081805505,0.04907787999951394,0.18297439701411367,-0.107029653927343,0.06896250102523671,-0.6412376534289852,-0.18351488543837668,0.13020146300720908,-0.09581326808588096;-0.3527359480016874,-0.5378719271358712,0.1260791513956581,-0.44419322184050947,-0.48998787511778874,0.5277908125415542,0.2006256467169448,-0.00902163439895469,-0.5127528114227777,-0.44312514072897285,-0.18665069561537354,-0.5467950122027154,-0.41673539214692734,0.4062345579920689,0.1938954891959006,0.23504539758252704,0.2273608103757007,-0.11791236054444733,-0.1341695836766901,0.2051960651847211,0.2735095296560659,-0.5092481102627112,0.5511017552031289,0.06816967319756265,0.0015807281741359591,0.47229904277102264,-0.4476210563776032,0.48493880488610486,0.47151806995599943,0.5507038607398094,-0.3189720530818417,-0.10258375770137948,0.5319531201910562,-0.250194505541358,0.5528224623518131,0.525276469160908,0.46872370566009675,0.5213773240150739,0.5206360217857907,-0.19560933681313658,-0.5473226876104115,0.5035813566488646,-0.40693390057947537,0.13644817538269932,0.37094312838150073,-0.25731909755185073,-0.503645932124734,-0.5384147637845329,-0.01960434283060087,0.5177419033732029,-0.26742305643505,-0.5498873469254094,0.1373334721857054,0.12904060098294184,0.5470103102552455,0.16036159272897035,-0.3617422825784638,-0.019878639289011603,-0.013294446884176093,-0.10544710150601659,0.42035965483987203,0.03331953662210147,0.46521094218601877,-0.33488308162204655,0.151470485973948,-0.18549522510396846,0.3892529016434461,-0.5169063750084059,-0.3519200549339995,0.08036998881712139,-0.045774045297018985,-0.11932829322412263,-0.4743642530120603,-0.28827279637109576,-0.5105997846239864,-0.09814914387066523,-0.5288539350175796,-0.10525935111117633,-0.11461395632928237,0.38923554508046,0.07225508002225418,0.48460806727044076,-0.11612437105363971,0.526830252674374,-0.1004391036762312,0.35412757668541317,-0.4840734750586138,0.5507449114535913,-0.5361258392568695,0.10306222147461072,0.40144716705992023,0.3925306154252659,-0.023318044120456217,0.4547076439137503,-0.3858763412926455,0.02757628301064629,-0.6591861990203715,-0.5417338152733221,0.5526534328822664,-0.3406698407202691;0.053585300589356614,0.034127774108174365,0.1206086450072448,0.054254375152333334,0.03459180166258704,-0.23573336538307912,0.11879852133463482,0.11548480122609417,0.04066235340769809,0.054257922153301,0.06758017029492269,0.03240778408274001,0.05836516896547663,0.07260193013800054,-0.5149148477613592,-0.493260811352208,0.11653150632712858,0.07122602183547634,0.1020255239163496,0.11747574091125822,0.11016048623689806,0.03330603881997563,-0.08570768662099093,0.12074745488033452,0.11619283809351089,0.03278687734779553,0.05290529751044947,0.021284811859271325,0.0340146420508614,-0.09182585110048293,0.07548987419815348,0.10657931108059016,-0.03451975478255727,0.0617088525621471,-0.162052461030069,-0.024382260849506867,0.03684246934386073,-0.018046880669518716,-0.24364896647992793,0.0952726963012197,0.031505133306685265,0.005539054458014719,0.0607124512702238,0.12070045596745395,0.08599517928847292,0.08583135246467583,0.042152612772507425,0.03675119719017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k{22}	=[0.6847120688056443;1.4437005782412873;0.2993606898149007];
x_a_linear{22}	=[13.869576529703357,7.121768616022495,39.99291261363046];
L_a{22}	=[0.09344414549511625,0.16796727014440996,-0.09631709059666091,0.12407420685808393,0.15098614386345072,-0.081056176746227,-0.11809667793163581,-0.05026196851063151,0.15522350877932878,0.12360323293167162,0.030608140760448647,0.17192310340852268,0.11276068004693396,-0.16401234566831852,0.15231560649547524,0.12739418098082558,-0.12558898317820577,0.006077725012291615,-0.0036827711571135006,-0.11965482065873606,-0.13777501631493985,0.1581828794396334,-0.1471447155173236,-0.07686235643594382,-0.053966569883682376,-0.1686103810904893,0.12535204258598606,-0.16816403905847294,-0.16910619419604422,-0.14489820772051862,0.06996594889380191,-0.01630608999571363,-0.1612302680431535,0.05499447399692765,-0.11786837064338697,-0.16302359780318096,-0.16887147860629828,-0.16426094965606003,-0.07589049347872943,0.0194471718593391,0.17283635427285815,-0.16769840779931766,0.10789112492359682,-0.09923769821345567,-0.15798431495527046,0.044861972752875845,0.15084202595553622,0.16605933152585453,-0.04691210468031476,-0.06966475791512147,0.04831199353072511,0.17236703976385984,-0.09990869783540396,-0.09680184430890591,-0.14915792371988001,0.17097656116751667,0.09591131388097272,-0.04643053476168426,-0.04866538325279228,-0.015409675091719026,-0.16547900986372316,-0.06563960189697489,-0.16828233293531022,0.08710024244405754,0.17644408634510922,0.030259109936550458,-0.16063261587975797,0.16111246776822596,0.09500010148491328,-0.08131787895904224,-0.03676452152711412,-0.009831278171961985,0.1375835130685165,0.06871496558969019,0.15454873781662215,-0.018016042015155765,0.1661359298686278,-0.015362899203666593,-0.012557743301384507,0.03317662280591354,-0.07886042682368463,-0.16809082506071543,-0.01120251939390257,-0.07958727899426463,0.31469632164920497,-0.15534754763139288,0.14177161241698283,-0.1190089127104689,0.16687608794796266,-0.089026196659757,-0.16304652672386255,0.029825366404982557,-0.045339511198856944,-0.16903683946021394,0.09887697253623418,-0.06370947741764438,0.5923931875023956,0.1695361577063353,-0.12028373454968629,0.08851496318548997;0.057559224638821155,0.1996398745580878,-0.29683056761561966,0.10059262700362498,0.17296308488662313,0.1718888150920628,-0.3179140285456807,-0.22971221846983353,0.168803598505641,0.0995927526812214,-0.052256268538402616,0.20808608837493928,0.07837494827922607,-0.3139119351306555,0.8626838625260522,0.7944086107830362,-0.32407612836264993,-0.0912262453259174,-0.15033991965330132,-0.3201851134789662,-0.33143392405063576,0.18530232395201712,-0.09498223578883942,-0.2693180702704333,-0.23537604413000804,-0.2680365347223784,0.10277552203988079,-0.2534369710583335,-0.2709945270035569,-0.08551614894605797,-0.011765101504122712,-0.17418064560092858,-0.1759778080777309,-0.008724405052048327,0.0352852402418265,-0.19052862329005665,-0.2727583005341858,-0.19986074114278563,0.1874155406240675,-0.11022056587280796,0.2115683209080914,-0.2327499224803928,0.06679516497465827,-0.29928536688683355,-0.3227354475807891,-0.060338850602115794,0.15867223401554545,0.19071964839251374,-0.22558632261921513,0.21185742313855982,-0.055294435414784834,0.20694299234011976,-0.30134629966589654,-0.29599757783713215,-0.107913288639953,0.911086609368703,0.059385749343327,-0.2237461386909091,-0.22697473383553463,-0.17310800491083647,-0.30622667714135665,-0.2548912619215178,-0.27368423929594204,0.04755723950521494,0.926202348358489,-0.0526333248791548,-0.3160538515498441,0.1905073150333908,0.06520701956694332,-0.27668109244086925,-0.20719994979952552,-0.16249553450466764,0.1297383469724938,0.013441329433415663,0.16799383649439445,-0.17725410041706924,0.20061680566999768,-0.17271487063707924,-0.16975257874930402,0.5349076801260186,-0.2740058041314671,-0.2534462401679669,-0.1653124673691023,0.1773779011983064,1.281331588711789,-0.32797346385578596,0.13841825927041748,0.028199789685068623,0.19659479242529973,-0.2878345921727675,-0.31445860184776253,0.5234880316802872,-0.22239507004011108,-0.28750042981259377,0.048273324285336934,-0.25215971219169825,1.94189773031001,0.20266666831358035,0.0245108149427827,0.047982245603929385;0.13866266895822787,0.18705563534841152,0.03291556853368096,0.16721925857022976,0.1720589882049222,-0.3095319556647093,0.011275952442880658,0.06972317552695304,0.181987500809446,0.1667940015833479,0.09544772746252561,0.18893728223702347,0.16102951313649624,-0.07672512160539043,-0.37623723565969097,-0.3772732167744097,0.002187476229677245,0.07675956111689089,0.0986724997467576,0.00853454186282185,-0.015278467192945183,0.17732558153640832,-0.21967739761004776,0.050767179737874396,0.06705831263692737,-0.12072651214112731,0.16703360213961158,-0.13182220005216722,-0.11995016656121665,-0.22375020151227087,0.13919123050866408,0.09173323144798447,-0.18131382982962507,0.1117792459259933,-0.2693671647510232,-0.172809094971981,-0.11690863958071995,-0.16760027696270455,-0.3127443970729844,0.11297861244228138,0.18886611191152722,-0.14714401776250735,0.15894324925356537,0.030348276467602305,-0.05784357795775584,0.126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x_a{22}	=[13.869576529703357,7.121768616022485,39.99291261363045];
std_x_a{22}	=[1.3582069224900175,3.591942763381394,1.7188308174536673];
pred_a{22}	=[13.869576529703357];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.2 to 2.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{23}	=[5.283826398823672,-2.336005689105127,32.158949214002185];
std_x_f{23}	=[1.5012426918912503,1.496699776979543,2.107707387285793];
pred_f{23}	=[5.283826398823672];
obs{23}	=[4.73766857729685];
sqrt_r{23}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{23}	=[3.2537339565596577];
L_f{23}	=[0.002082451144959798,0.043778556481003754,-0.13237766215193478,0.011897616477460923,0.03849163611300354,0.1626030979581341,-0.1389667345784434,-0.10733692452026737,0.03429178842972442,0.011753750028430621,-0.032741323109970494,0.04718291947093471,0.004898263622588497,-0.12137115402308328,0.4396453560026531,0.4193232476646323,-0.1406198269730832,-0.04612772537238327,-0.07721510517914376,-0.13950237031717833,-0.1404386832605296,0.041756889151774626,0.01621536773582635,-0.12281597581037651,-0.1098318436077246,-0.0898302370742976,0.013116448297922379,-0.08054411031533852,-0.09160506123089185,0.02207892897656985,-0.026446185729621163,-0.08656271216408341,-0.03154935625638802,-0.01830687438529421,0.089958133670916,-0.040656242392409225,-0.09312249054336792,-0.046763593709676365,0.17047173857286083,-0.062463772154041315,0.04740825459477619,-0.06755303012607183,5.594184296802415E-4,-0.13336558230722725,-0.12955885709258114,-0.04399919329285224,0.03102453502513266,0.04095111185615641,-0.10612507580460911,0.18293332916606894,-0.04208857831861726,0.04659708652243909,-0.13471086871073742,-0.1326733895119303,0.008295357466256143,0.452864919281353,0.002548907577161313,-0.10583509062397514,-0.10667952414751783,-0.08587044873732336,-0.11580988553192559,-0.11770781097230004,-0.09358729370027093,-4.601966942797661E-4,0.4569621301727859,-0.032684565855406224,-0.12479700309646674,0.04310043677440316,0.005333613000892701,-0.12549324912872953,-0.09931627374223971,-0.08185668610194965,0.021747846797063073,-0.011797740715905393,0.0341006226947608,-0.08776878988548574,0.04597221424136056,-0.08599064763692067,-0.08492383611323351,0.32876656909655283,-0.12477880879280884,-0.08068062057848446,-0.08352716072303257,0.16554718715208921,0.5240698276912629,-0.13353473736016072,0.024482288790859886,0.08581752964799831,0.04348681721046701,-0.12966968284308994,-0.12227852410027393,0.32372800994974227,-0.10467884841473746,-0.10290542201178876,-0.005159089609983533,-0.11659783049104662,0.5186412096628278,0.04507875600530068,0.08360398083337679,-0.0015078418066832892;-0.07918886444325722,-0.11569431038761775,-0.05784754607608219,-0.10216428559381185,-0.10242657681652169,0.3202009970783664,-0.0472690913059158,-0.06919131713938245,-0.11173646485930944,-0.10137806558423741,-0.05462885483718245,-0.1159564142736658,-0.09744935192843633,0.021898163448231166,0.30690200840707493,0.3277106798274206,-0.04138112107469594,-0.045438870649402184,-0.07556757810524906,-0.04558712694623788,-0.030257509312408035,-0.10668849190812013,0.1976193361132994,-0.06368134251874984,-0.06809611179965874,0.07073202933248743,-0.10115303749966725,0.08355435270017729,0.06931791227617809,0.2032060528371454,-0.08760232907306133,-0.07508659706862901,0.1450578387718981,-0.06269619426331006,0.266018590481134,0.13472368881282204,0.066420690518239,0.12846256443719525,0.32474701057687017,-0.08063597325055999,-0.11710785156619433,0.1017407201713259,-0.09685518641303602,-0.056469248952955964,0.005014111408211948,-0.08330848979171172,-0.10923751853524642,-0.11605292561318306,-0.07029262091205943,0.3322825651352973,-0.08405262330764447,-0.11710971306834674,-0.05710628008660188,-0.05821074751604955,0.18910407473619692,0.28785902567467897,-0.08197399676448948,-0.0696909387789555,-0.06943519984117674,-0.07498589821583841,0.03190751678310398,-0.06752165295271453,0.06564287038093873,-0.07565065787819221,0.2821464376303542,-0.05443258385277844,0.015038296439192802,-0.10853679905658961,-0.07747714014733956,-0.06336578849789623,-0.07136369868237111,-0.07563068120963501,-0.10479264569063905,-0.06913226993843563,-0.11081099836888154,-0.07548636693823778,-0.11095424958122514,-0.07499103825295833,-0.07600178541276455,0.37367597461817487,-0.06451907420040233,0.08328700154385281,-0.07554850841597077,0.32226988213773744,0.08184851913887628,-0.0034405528110796903,-0.10762169848431692,0.26199754041991113,-0.11547840386459747,-0.06095128034095849,0.019913392147398713,0.3729354577824837,-0.07028647699421993,0.05378137575308636,-0.0935488228898196,-0.06765209420623344,-0.5372308162763793,-0.11634376750406723,0.26083200534899725,-0.07838616434100205;0.06261368362923098,0.14920670352665205,-0.14447776119543826,0.09357883919230374,0.13223260225740383,-0.02078024407674531,-0.1621745671476129,-0.10010008523287102,0.13246719184746938,0.0921651239561066,-0.007044964161967878,0.15533262023456745,0.07957526490276963,-0.2002285095958776,0.4716323161289339,0.42009067778832826,-0.16882674735906766,-0.03388604447605667,-0.052900172317614465,-0.16486144621397605,-0.17984772023260215,0.14006417251529987,-0.15273868492346207,-0.12493322883886417,-0.10375129534450882,-0.19975451954582146,0.09347243325541318,-0.19785187392151504,-0.20057322042486128,-0.14960533668648904,0.02729561218259411,-0.06600729803516753,-0.18110884718144557,0.020170573767689888,-0.0952967724529954,-0.18462347156365225,-0.2002102508878982,-0.1880105945974385,-0.011633494456830113,-0.02916146355305892,0.15662084050414263,-0.19466223636841812,0.0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k{23}	=[0.6926607973021399;0.28010751150051005;0.8406142701566424];
x_a_linear{23}	=[4.905524286712104,-2.488988597379545,31.699841155469073];
L_a{23}	=[-0.0018598251967299692,-0.039098378186157176,0.1182257322820067,-0.010625693169017295,-0.03437665987007208,-0.1452198959773083,0.12411039514747606,0.09586199284696775,-0.030625799945845054,-0.010497206866940896,0.02924108824429391,-0.042138795284447944,-0.004374611201595295,0.1083958828780503,-0.39264475072947513,-0.37449519210515675,0.12558676250212666,0.04119640747541027,0.06896036842348029,0.12458876835953406,0.1254249840893886,-0.03729283866730513,-0.01448185210122382,0.10968624494550913,0.09809019080200078,0.08022687050467649,-0.01171422489076096,0.07193348385397848,0.08181195579908448,-0.01971856507982029,0.02361893708594033,0.0773086627120627,0.028176549470683196,0.016349764717192412,-0.08034109422298213,0.03630985734708481,0.08316716323164788,0.041764297847466686,-0.1522473338668846,0.055786037341648456,-0.042340040793637,0.060331224503397674,-4.996133971990894E-4,0.11910803811742425,0.11570827361953359,0.03929542765980165,-0.027707834633348423,-0.0365732035771995,0.09477969769614933,-0.16337670909024854,0.03758906836348278,-0.04161559123170285,0.12030950570340933,0.11848984469434966,-0.007408536266968688,-0.40445106701929506,-0.0022764147661347143,0.0945207135913233,0.09527487233730364,0.07669040620843286,0.10342914582365705,0.10512417216992526,0.08358227627034744,4.1099903330018536E-4,-0.4081102626122608,0.02919039866514508,0.11145548907447586,-0.03849275335803822,-0.004763419239234186,0.11207730242028223,0.08869879555071823,0.07310573777526021,-0.01942287748055758,0.010536494698103352,-0.030455070922262805,0.07838580382094666,-0.04105752137450552,0.07679775515759375,0.07584499189267033,-0.29361954086084285,0.11143923984603094,0.07205540038855149,0.07459762909684414,-0.1478492451832142,-0.4680437631130875,0.11925910952688398,-0.021864991972111756,-0.07664314447268795,-0.03883782751368134,0.1158072514628993,0.10920624989981821,-0.2891196325296765,0.09348808029307398,0.09190424332444552,0.004607553397859152,0.10413285495611682,-0.46319549542760374,-0.04025957893841443,-0.07466623669764175,0.0013466448860227375;-0.08078309529913823,-0.14920920255536774,0.043494833140238366,-0.11127256520253664,-0.13189404073912467,0.19571938479465206,0.059117585155695145,0.012981000544862495,-0.13798871445004735,-0.1103762075156752,-0.029563571701675527,-0.15207753350047723,-0.10119924206452376,0.1148144554946372,-0.02967068568974164,0.00669567708266238,0.0662710885109618,-0.010125560525304516,-0.016455169386989696,0.06120960812552116,0.07725602480103022,-0.1386556865731537,0.18520558050300542,0.030341040049937033,0.01598620363016456,0.13950201516458974,-0.11119439988491381,0.1452152978968809,0.13944662358957363,0.1863034186867883,-0.06735631974287351,-0.008818081221467383,0.16921060574021016,-0.04868127531051369,0.197150692771874,0.16584827786405684,0.13771107740679625,0.16426266673696763,0.19424152124221236,-0.032816521070997945,-0.1534014772204484,0.1534562791633745,-0.09728345198080356,0.04562943746342762,0.10419854035846647,-0.049624688012687344,-0.13298850599352638,-0.14740325345243235,0.010951959946359844,0.19223704299596653,-0.05183150234733006,-0.15278234496082427,0.0460222970427829,0.04335802725503521,0.18275352247221,-0.05883397099498794,-0.08392532566751482,0.01133164247873684,0.012233841710304422,-0.009247348086244476,0.12056635201094384,0.02259014855792595,0.13728908964349398,-0.07529835200462036,-0.06768319926349425,-0.029410751516461237,0.11057726432296404,-0.14153255330225195,-0.08156031417037983,0.03270619400694008,0.004668369812583721,-0.012964887075772957,-0.12144181822789686,-0.06010045071689006,-0.13691690007818,-0.008294532278673687,-0.14614850738368304,-0.009160469256538111,-0.010987919296787368,0.12198708861268664,0.0310059649434975,0.14505245285306595,-0.01160387410795079,0.19553440769412153,-0.31935575014911455,0.09878763109938318,-0.12636423672221944,0.19629950276297325,-0.14876995357935083,0.03831799181510887,0.1135243258800034,0.1251038658510804,0.00985093727585799,0.13256113459914265,-0.089599256118759,0.021609956213283883,-0.9342791799688568,-0.1508540338996609,0.19682856102252427,-0.07723182852869791;0.057829330649197,0.048627120822672384,0.15965492587357472,0.06624451397319121,0.04379951973858483,-0.39435473016333517,0.15709626535915822,0.1465024513688502,0.05368310101223348,0.06516132647869459,0.06817699106640933,0.04693164193366419,0.06832168893463941,0.0786171400828504,-0.5384363110465115,-0.5432886717909011,0.15424200258922863,0.07209066517290882,0.12449862018784927,0.1556399892046722,0.14280485886670793,0.044129294266760336,-0.18999288084398572,0.1572318444145221,0.14858322378170552,0.006627062794680052,0.06333788788876063,-0.012804817646478181,0.009885953489968406,-0.20033084345320581,0.08805472665799877,0.13286726903664148,-0.10862539085223406,0.06222992734838793,-0.3019721924014754,-0.09121728774133286,0.013735159652797884,-0.08057300142100106,-0.4032858856433799,0.11434669757363723,0.047702163253198,-0.03946169695780463,0.07174215380797022,0.15928357957928027,0.102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x_a{23}	=[4.9055242867121045,-2.4889885973795445,31.699841155469052];
std_x_a{23}	=[1.3407512543781517,1.471483803034877,1.9419642119696068];
pred_a{23}	=[4.9055242867121045];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.3 to 2.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{24}	=[0.1364238372845374,-2.510572422754503,23.904539757587205];
std_x_f{24}	=[1.1401897139755302,1.477163991972359,1.3321332575252245];
pred_f{24}	=[0.1364238372845374];
obs{24}	=[-0.21407798942079528];
sqrt_r{24}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{24}	=[2.3024803102261293];
L_f{24}	=[-0.0494745022261775,-0.10185710346887451,0.05215562245734594,-0.07100766026090424,-0.08964094597532574,0.10159982292382035,0.06309195919176322,0.02835194848159326,-0.0926502457258486,-0.07052643541630356,-0.009711225764932909,-0.10495946262455749,-0.0632407721073979,0.09968557066030735,-0.14813854660252865,-0.11576242610630168,0.0677915506508606,0.005252183842678723,0.005208161590447048,0.06466297915438199,0.07544282755776038,-0.09520249025117147,0.12919415579416096,0.04191848117661239,0.03102179124081714,0.11357686459408461,-0.07133282133346577,0.11641326163296377,0.1135466550954966,0.1291645565190575,-0.03608524228952241,0.011980620070506329,0.12640121966240914,-0.02475413458349513,0.12131694552543691,0.1252275260998281,0.11315309326069821,0.125168040723604,0.09824803211544293,-0.007541108214162823,-0.10549788918299127,0.12042005385158845,-0.059819085411013585,0.05308504063754309,0.09287446275175189,-0.02139807284880781,-0.08904649575257594,-0.10022117100107153,0.026969828828997802,0.09278666347164012,-0.023050831899215213,-0.10439678064794503,0.05322807790631995,0.05168020491706321,0.12909568252653872,-0.17211879375422112,-0.05102536916965158,0.027130898472305456,0.028036191820732415,0.011249052650471308,0.10344483995297049,0.03623281530354092,0.11219761670932225,-0.04519636929699522,-0.17934455338557884,-0.00927416886344459,0.09707452589230751,-0.09750874711521332,-0.05081219407884316,0.04360217335246213,0.021833835284896155,0.008214892239330052,-0.07971147010733537,-0.03350928427403354,-0.09213947905591678,0.012100033760786581,-0.10042328222368434,0.011261119782842558,0.009888877197717331,-0.0037180238671638767,0.04241683350143587,0.11617551997899414,0.00916555931349997,0.10090095774382875,-0.3636719060223872,0.08973445947073756,-0.08324316329634565,0.1221292040227392,-0.10124175420335296,0.047792026477992515,0.09892699094162863,4.292271754890906E-4,0.026084794258467024,0.11035650744661794,-0.05386834262059487,0.03529689344539024,-0.7027700142623704,-0.10336558181174757,0.12304152284930613,-0.04617330685586214;-0.07818074978224349,-0.1396823931713952,0.008866749111700963,-0.10679605924596604,-0.12254264230572803,0.26363688405970204,0.02339892947402196,-0.013922471389447981,-0.13008543436368317,-0.10642764879021292,-0.03236621807050681,-0.1422137684761796,-0.09838700312039651,0.09438890388199851,-0.029222709172415158,0.015464354226504764,0.029979226052208624,-0.015864230957597897,-0.034036897945001504,0.025393823591583667,0.042914544518934596,-0.12985893916002988,0.22732845947517516,-0.0013489930619168054,-0.011225710851393674,0.13686103386755927,-0.10731706142567707,0.14703551249580582,0.1358941510277665,0.23033572349606615,-0.07248059169606305,-0.02924831714831625,0.1943188022837925,-0.04896884140630633,0.25764968252520454,0.186694385133097,0.13397575356508865,0.18316223309822705,0.26274164149963025,-0.04590945414796096,-0.14381582375405763,0.1622297542653544,-0.09514359110525522,0.011064968741101524,0.077807643637318,-0.05769126235848659,-0.12586538085969448,-0.1386561210282956,-0.01537327484745352,0.2602938216894903,-0.05942365974265903,-0.14296241056744938,0.010652091645737428,0.008493101973985395,0.222212038679289,-0.06485244271500307,-0.08003390468718186,-0.015178450709060811,-0.013867573023054034,-0.029092756000812126,0.10343114650957151,-0.007269305872115051,0.13273875501092364,-0.07259630263567693,-0.075459210559194,-0.03185217095414551,0.08784427167509286,-0.13204935468428677,-0.07795184335848666,-4.6373593918831444E-5,-0.019735893946690244,-0.03139980076118884,-0.11561550067483999,-0.059302046224590524,-0.1289276253713773,-0.02857654728743047,-0.1363325498478735,-0.028692229332345456,-0.030983574843710154,0.1666272054622882,-0.0014754112828246826,0.147509376097249,-0.030725006932432894,0.2637406975557904,-0.3456296098500277,0.07033821256095556,-0.11993958717113629,0.25641595266937983,-0.13947313314654386,0.004333738766995699,0.09213703133605912,0.1715292218146582,-0.01576647085728834,0.12299357352837559,-0.08869850166442766,-0.007832204311686321,-0.8071101323610759,-0.1415142632324309,0.25590935393076725,-0.07534531308981823;0.029801028742974772,0.030193801263075387,0.09876521608977631,0.03699858935427066,0.025041408587451318,-0.2697453321485305,0.09820992315185433,0.08839603288060284,0.031732709926982336,0.036502555162919004,0.03531841644594109,0.030156071089945252,0.038080970995898356,0.052514427477361215,-0.3653505603572631,-0.37524193757362717,0.0974104488770966,0.03815412046450386,0.07285224035072577,0.09786755963606981,0.09102486130077858,0.02618161013712676,-0.12179507122183306,0.09643406672686414,0.09000027394000729,0.007371712679797647,0.03507704244567947,-0.004806931968078548,0.009593227009592016,-0.12956425187148912,0.04885561136414918,0.07858847167176661,-0.06740603935863361,0.03144022924600182,-0.20113090894744015,-0.05610169957561457,0.01174252753759289,-0.048597132664818625,-0.2765551968281111,0.06526156174517869,0.030541628305650628,-0.02155632558796756,0.0398621121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k{24}	=[0.5656857539416748;0.6661272548664283;-0.07722815550890721];
x_a_linear{24}	=[-0.06185005281320294,-2.744051242403395,23.93160836716616];
L_a{24}	=[0.08995656810264897,0.1852007610515837,-0.09483149081665423,0.12910903877048088,0.16298884270832817,-0.18473296301762232,-0.11471638659075603,-0.05155067498744367,0.1684604748777965,0.12823405603072321,0.017657348787253908,0.190841597646387,0.11498696433439151,-0.18125239107935145,0.2693515782161192,0.21048398870498283,-0.12326137643647969,-0.009549735970492905,-0.009469692906839555,-0.11757287948909506,-0.13717324176462808,0.17310107050030987,-0.23490611024303404,-0.07621790087921994,-0.056405092539651244,-0.20651011116868187,0.12970025996224727,-0.21166736453987564,-0.20645518301994267,-0.23485229162764995,0.06561166680723997,-0.021783654545072383,-0.2298278792748132,0.04500898226933741,-0.22058344361451696,-0.22769382152499923,-0.20573959275826012,-0.22758566277540834,-0.17863859956670314,0.013711552094764677,0.19182058688715994,-0.218952678405998,0.10876551331458995,-0.09652139705240617,-0.1688681554658343,0.038906853245119534,0.16190798894446465,0.18222624157529954,-0.04903764837655797,-0.16870851521549618,0.041911967503683555,0.1898185062099563,-0.0967814732781583,-0.09396706715567173,-0.23472706211103547,0.3129534466322543,0.0927764179554275,-0.049330511804900015,-0.05097655328255548,-0.02045348867213024,-0.18808764861454932,-0.06587999011092847,-0.20400230612379527,0.08217789143326469,0.32609161900638023,0.01686267401228135,-0.17650488244514886,0.17729440127307708,0.09238881426643161,-0.07927925901453413,-0.03969917437003649,-0.01493665383038884,0.1449346626367623,0.0609279543447974,0.16753177798018581,-0.022000777411978163,0.18259372848559058,-0.020475429626887066,-0.017980361904975536,0.0067602634117424855,-0.07712402550564162,-0.2112350929186598,-0.01666519567623812,-0.18346225769812097,0.6612431678759433,-0.16315887277917288,0.15135613197105635,-0.22206032531199218,0.18408190779141934,-0.086897421725981,-0.17987311033767459,-7.80438446189427E-4,-0.04742844223936059,-0.20065472578801485,0.0979456288286291,-0.06417825862130982,1.2778052492470107,0.18794353821307389,-0.22371914080200384,0.08395419935132088;0.08600729185404182,0.1983446226203927,-0.16421896426132082,0.1288527730780882,0.17494334962660427,-0.07353631033029762,-0.1859805439229028,-0.10801236998983475,0.17738733884996638,0.12762417171428808,-1.381598084365896E-4,0.20610885922283656,0.11148632670941469,-0.23643157716674967,0.4623957359474917,0.3996381241932521,-0.19499649760373444,-0.033294336176259196,-0.05132090917469656,-0.18919929884529857,-0.20745300957155757,0.18608381377113153,-0.2014203803559582,-0.14046132412270032,-0.11417585532368017,-0.24005964514486053,0.12941086330594018,-0.23929814601436677,-0.24092627354673488,-0.19831488700896163,0.04727332187343382,-0.06900767719143776,-0.22516128913646913,0.033181209565093336,-0.1449575354727994,-0.22889064036734355,-0.2415385811245074,-0.23222538187782668,-0.06330816722625254,-0.020883233898379993,0.2062936476364841,-0.2374010035185407,0.10337439379952863,-0.16510514859762584,-0.2304092250745801,0.013321229283670856,0.1696478450309025,0.19394182451413794,-0.10487641645472795,-0.047631672855716546,0.017073743511998793,0.20349287844907368,-0.16599271483557337,-0.16301487192948688,-0.20621000386764912,0.5063477999092202,0.08930090538192936,-0.1052161244108844,-0.10690958906884036,-0.06642430744322562,-0.23986499443210638,-0.12751296108791094,-0.23960469737079937,0.0773941577032571,0.5197207240239995,-0.001074547027138255,-0.23431109284306903,0.1915470335737382,0.0906755154152993,-0.14474627216184613,-0.09219452405978983,-0.05866206734979656,0.14891813956354247,0.051903191100183536,0.17685009735170257,-0.06873219833034913,0.19693612999890575,-0.06606382723794806,-0.06380119418331087,0.17896598665337227,-0.1422415940970547,-0.23803530354857447,-0.061142194907464774,-0.07111321518189412,0.8612663741657022,-0.22745811695917142,0.15631446989353187,-0.1488868585326716,0.19651176021283676,-0.1542707722471486,-0.23616599702836533,0.1701047715182521,-0.10233250170291122,-0.24323990077009358,0.0900711126438526,-0.12496987219865878,1.5251302575460848,0.20151884850419016,-0.1524211146451198,0.07788725090602576;0.010765717517445246,-0.008995712078507287,0.11883208813425107,0.009678397100819235,-0.009447939024182879,-0.23065480747842498,0.1224845499798965,0.09930444304974576,-0.003914465550411394,0.009367514134326318,0.03158202302106555,-0.010227074716939453,0.013749088409111076,0.0908684437247331,-0.42234685566480196,-0.41978152281456454,0.12349324318599204,0.040174897825780875,0.0748560801535759,0.12274663628339988,0.12005148385739926,-0.010447541240521859,-0.0720876289353261,0.11256219938902785,0.10193590592156392,0.05107040328378889,0.007631744492602661,0.039983062195621304,0.05328029451114229,-0.07986819790398064,0.034971816950423035,0.08319801439489174,-0.018773179050897704,0.021916077719194717,-0.15445422275360934,-0.007920417782908216,0.055278172151093784,-4.3873786639952544E-4,-0.23875427343400527,0.062360120894177314,-0.010048677081436246,0.024775281597908132,0.01684672325353218,0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x_a{24}	=[-0.061850052813203056,-2.7440512424033967,23.93160836716616];
std_x_a{24}	=[2.0731396788245,2.519033806926175,1.3532667955598363];
pred_a{24}	=[-0.061850052813203056];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.4 to 2.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{25}	=[-1.8453636932823576,-3.2178146355381307,19.19114470474468];
std_x_f{25}	=[2.598044095901783,3.3380011108993193,1.7967408024314477];
pred_f{25}	=[-1.8453636932823576];
obs{25}	=[-2.091651034347971];
sqrt_r{25}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{25}	=[7.760361287422245];
L_f{25}	=[0.10260683784294475,0.22885791939597025,-0.1506097744083005,0.15152700426578772,0.2012610636471501,-0.16450676665019182,-0.1746903646469252,-0.09566451340877906,0.20560640917790532,0.15081712120781898,0.008156957689924286,0.2368397556198052,0.13295929345019855,-0.24075548687909665,0.48380165907667244,0.4025336606730178,-0.18429894213300488,-0.02774266279786587,-0.037758238754857044,-0.17817180455083548,-0.19930547634003676,0.21395227030699449,-0.2611566847271684,-0.1275503391317836,-0.1016018622263457,-0.2596045919056459,0.15276046170232813,-0.2627970651198328,-0.2598737330642977,-0.2604654331951718,0.06453491622747155,-0.05539551461462251,-0.26867489859564625,0.04488587644003067,-0.22487591925459202,-0.26888832411358465,-0.25951560244756594,-0.2700950644402694,-0.1550307456591035,-0.006852410812141783,0.237038658461628,-0.2664806649504205,0.12410192973565937,-0.15299429046678323,-0.23001207334120183,0.028342693058297452,0.19635379063081607,0.22339959134180773,-0.09161223631931759,-0.13953727751674888,0.032388177759732226,0.23431158932243148,-0.1530463305461597,-0.15027344998661293,-0.2635957245199102,0.5411482978719718,0.10632458852199059,-0.09203574439637473,-0.09424684833338622,-0.05320597147635078,-0.24706905958583963,-0.11446330551439964,-0.2576503245729707,0.092992016628119,0.5584758183758763,0.007089435691412776,-0.23700721302435565,0.22023098606667893,0.10702914829785198,-0.1315117847077078,-0.07913257862476296,-0.045386124152403,0.17367097821457197,0.06477431930458107,0.20470540547017277,-0.05575367700233824,0.22641183362628253,-0.05267537858383936,-0.050210750369246895,0.11793710651064697,-0.12893478700909047,-0.2614794520748482,-0.04799001350676073,-0.16176108473398504,0.9581202551758707,-0.22518380987136263,0.18340037463031686,-0.2281558618689896,0.2266860672110259,-0.14156629499236836,-0.2407704319004127,0.10662950896213277,-0.089464534961032,-0.2570098967416216,0.10933854938491093,-0.11140938079049884,1.3899287179993767,0.23237870439147723,-0.23084516672770494,0.09404399367780447;0.13462263525074464,0.31117708559601054,-0.20798262984669924,0.20227432821053704,0.2735020254358841,-0.21730069365428759,-0.2359544189523416,-0.1359261809137316,0.2784540116088069,0.20095552994297555,0.005153346501901621,0.322762530299473,0.17571334515417297,-0.3157251331964749,0.7551991465473739,0.6330426015312272,-0.24767725339747135,-0.04399340408724366,-0.06003917293735505,-0.24090763420214437,-0.2662141459925277,0.291045524904363,-0.3420712622276363,-0.17723600311453816,-0.14360091962434832,-0.33817781031542465,0.20368618626195006,-0.34170850311160267,-0.33842973909488716,-0.34127278912215486,0.0797403945474154,-0.08398168368814446,-0.3499589891972777,0.05442014805859079,-0.2969927679264251,-0.3499972525805468,-0.33794454433623977,-0.3513557991809309,-0.20467850458673567,-0.018527206580423825,0.32328290541003724,-0.3462448198892045,0.16332316615213416,-0.2091825872495748,-0.3028365898977813,0.02982971425090782,0.26588445220665985,0.3038578242249173,-0.1327257961585464,-0.18320001296649457,0.03517619433370939,0.3190346314486646,-0.20968764559568095,-0.20605742885979506,-0.34473565516169896,0.8380908121936878,0.14004752818090607,-0.13171035028374234,-0.13446161177739974,-0.0804484011462332,-0.3231650291981955,-0.16031803906253234,-0.3351594241207962,0.1217761689310383,0.8632454693287377,0.0036675729428819583,-0.31066542153838,0.30000668128428104,0.14145628368569688,-0.18189480437303662,-0.11475010240245766,-0.07045621912178038,0.23322729003238007,0.08250907947828189,0.2770667938432096,-0.0835910143519077,0.308648012792844,-0.08032770711629621,-0.077220562706668,0.19724359476553263,-0.17903578207274712,-0.3404131200780823,-0.07386113387671896,-0.21414431432675102,1.3545661293084075,-0.29732997583312554,0.2453619333242894,-0.3015013001822395,0.30857590734873275,-0.1946829274924959,-0.31504199492621465,0.18023776683939075,-0.12788884365119688,-0.33472235783122617,0.14268324147646866,-0.1569292483716873,1.3088119618185465,0.3158047120437507,-0.30576450651726894,0.12264450250803417;-0.07575532702113967,-0.09782002883228873,0.1022981603792732,-0.08233021445295631,-0.09860870596833685,-0.15931103957057546,0.11980417812795578,0.05666089744802616,-0.09439811200787354,-0.08247016337138273,-0.03702338890821188,-0.09756519310356704,-0.07756176175985817,0.14181765718192424,-0.3393772364251454,-0.3699011451645674,0.12634799409966685,-0.01839640611324561,0.012005085575345529,0.12206076278756632,0.13402228020933324,-0.09903650561111933,0.031129081459944204,0.08388612341058434,0.0618854738118821,0.12525762838737406,-0.08375775606073632,0.11864235174539312,0.12686720634613555,0.023590185005706775,-0.05036124563517627,0.02584312806092941,0.07787432026609273,-0.055232121044283475,-0.06028773914717284,0.08603684992618708,0.12834269254267622,0.09293432659249115,-0.1711112176654728,-0.008926831163776171,-0.0971329987990575,0.10993689956136438,-0.07434534392056172,0.10393311238748645,0.14308545313728877,-0.03070226593321504,-0.0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k{25}	=[0.8711400200373696;1.1027431355455055;0.015073406608421136];
x_a_linear{25}	=[-2.0599144525132065,-3.4894063102699904,19.18743231551029];
L_a{25}	=[-0.04275150835990212,-0.09535447597812811,0.06275210468482639,-0.06313427180686881,-0.08385614668492158,0.06854233652996027,0.07278536929506325,0.039858963892849694,-0.08566665054304788,-0.06283849647527001,-0.003398625785602465,-0.0986801367744671,-0.05539796825396196,0.1003116402998261,-0.20157770288379648,-0.1677170987936055,0.0767888176943956,0.01155908032507851,0.015732106102463367,0.07423592376380483,0.08304134419352711,-0.08914398362660848,0.10881187282515603,0.053144307965590165,0.04233278165145134,0.10816518776371589,-0.06364819628810622,0.10949534322093787,0.1082773263963449,0.10852386038592497,-0.026888705164341654,0.023080740581569024,0.1119443636981498,-0.018701862002654817,0.09369536128448626,0.11203328820850567,0.10812810998565517,0.11253608090974328,0.06459411827145375,0.0028550816327579374,-0.09876301035953931,0.11103012835088136,-0.05170751577682348,0.06374562188457242,0.0958353583742273,-0.011809085093126373,-0.08181151371705617,-0.09308024394501664,0.03817056805580101,0.05813870899526512,-0.01349465085725202,-0.09762676718556268,0.06376730457098298,0.0626119739038015,0.10982810753506053,-0.22547138637906367,-0.04430052256379537,0.03834702422068636,0.03926828863575841,0.022168459550908418,0.10294221309621504,0.04769154829711347,0.10735093524442223,-0.038745458488510916,-0.23269096017406643,-0.0029538389019681073,0.09874990850489984,-0.09176003315052521,-0.0445940799307408,0.05479485852554032,0.03297087375205355,0.018910292012847923,-0.07236063826835108,-0.026988453318242216,-0.08529124410471274,0.023229970229753573,-0.09433530553656351,0.02194738611217088,0.02092048989418712,-0.04913891998747808,0.05372114315752083,0.1089463550024914,0.01999521188603884,0.06739833827543829,-0.399204253440108,0.09382364501833415,-0.07641442630966266,0.09506196118218548,-0.09444956594685613,0.05898410643070784,0.10031786719675768,-0.04442756876285851,0.03727572055339706,0.10708409868302537,-0.04555630020723835,0.0464191195671279,-0.5791188039355837,-0.09682142372092051,0.09618246973275288,-0.03918376851325717;-0.04938098619068602,-0.09923109820229026,0.06210408657684737,-0.0694572456028279,-0.08741704530786241,0.07770733360397623,0.07731573342443342,0.03562785272280952,-0.09025751557236723,-0.06950301902904207,-0.009474428668286992,-0.10195938542755169,-0.06272097378057324,0.11601881680670473,-0.11239661218500908,-0.08881622262709145,0.08282384665791193,0.005757183013485065,0.007672227357216897,0.0786057429305746,0.0911979933018303,-0.09263253573679567,0.12625791313385928,0.05149850239916639,0.03860049100148755,0.12736801545673374,-0.07025733209613126,0.1295623468900742,0.1275987343147184,0.12581677309183306,-0.03598930285784039,0.015358433549501409,0.13185250963946815,-0.026073160088963442,0.10627454239797043,0.13219697969808483,0.1274416976995801,0.13300246616720518,0.07333628697817061,-0.006238859804076916,-0.10179570041659235,0.13163178585953683,-0.05922734782222713,0.0651802534496036,0.10964132443785916,-0.02099689997642298,-0.08623446422583715,-0.09676200481949578,0.031561337189279705,0.0670305265269823,-0.022905139473707373,-0.10115355373853985,0.06476851795864716,0.0634261609800782,0.1279674212393275,-0.13234399155419552,-0.050623091317787604,0.03333625505958046,0.034550139947456544,0.014965234433719454,0.11990097561825712,0.04494764478053145,0.12688183729642719,-0.044985308027314076,-0.13826257076816229,-0.009045827729233055,0.11435679355974114,-0.09493092562173497,-0.05047781447587961,0.05394371435691071,0.02715740929030532,0.010934177296198418,-0.07821480878437416,-0.03364993661662857,-0.09002897410943478,0.016391391234051568,-0.09737363449930374,0.014134422542748413,0.01282177850040348,-0.014251615071254334,0.05218143734654813,0.1284948701275761,0.012198786338182516,0.07593991422053785,-0.3636195241526038,0.10648947107090351,-0.08352777632008418,0.10764789220632198,-0.09793751976798097,0.05918622489784634,0.1167287558058681,-0.010979662856529092,0.03254684240513264,0.12617043197613756,-0.05339227817623759,0.04285986860097588,-1.1837306701724855,-0.10091725359510775,0.10820738427586754,-0.04600347237662314;-0.07827047430612921,-0.103429902274625,0.10598997832395853,-0.08604451596924549,-0.10354211224464312,-0.1552785719865333,0.12408627087725359,0.05900587119664058,-0.0994380334467533,-0.08616706389877661,-0.03722333610879673,-0.10337072108637732,-0.08082092277646905,0.1477191694193176,-0.35123641126067523,-0.37976824042880813,0.13086561683979947,-0.017716364855944307,0.012930633362284168,0.12642819423656687,0.1389077502056659,-0.10428100474093153,0.03753067749737302,0.08701269758352498,0.06437598665976493,0.1316211787922879,-0.08750229266844788,0.12508415756199195,0.13323735406628442,0.02997483675900701,-0.05194315599075161,0.02720100908633324,0.08446020631378613,-0.0563323848535562,-0.05477547437356654,0.09262796756100777,0.13470406159595147,0.09955502441631423,-0.16731103078483517,-0.008758861632582113,-0.1029434023822966,0.116468999517298,-0.07738738905321094,0.1076833807163427,0.14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x_a{25}	=[-2.059914452513207,-3.489406310269989,19.18743231551029];
std_x_a{25}	=[1.0824844252129648,1.4851504797175614,1.7961674354437291];
pred_a{25}	=[-2.059914452513207];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.5 to 2.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{26}	=[-3.771159916000286,-6.009257100346738,16.070365297587568];
std_x_f{26}	=[1.41506538452194,1.9461811349160183,2.0398005052845383];
pred_f{26}	=[-3.771159916000286];
obs{26}	=[-3.934512913192146];
sqrt_r{26}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{26}	=[3.0076508880581865];
L_f{26}	=[-0.07239368471047751,-0.1436086656119756,0.0879183919939942,-0.1003539707392119,-0.12785805465051417,0.08526209799266918,0.10518736637538048,0.05161262818228879,-0.13064483596645615,-0.09991268598212169,-0.015144505344974097,-0.14741004267951202,-0.09006168921531549,0.1503695397535446,-0.2580045843646893,-0.2226298920004999,0.11212110157414591,0.006900891883501699,0.013584440906039197,0.10766297271005142,0.12260999766110499,-0.13521685064706784,0.1576242385182186,0.07396305133695058,0.05590158902547521,0.16116722598966635,-0.10198846280705175,0.16405760872845823,0.16278573894151083,0.15726039394703395,-0.04892442709117561,0.024197540928829205,0.16561753103566546,-0.038356923901761965,0.12845009970965493,0.1664033877055131,0.1622666394722911,0.16678484815979772,0.07812140459466946,-0.006083873489410471,-0.14700056636432848,0.16634383628551955,-0.08477695957373789,0.09022730214118377,0.14337584930809494,-0.02776984408014088,-0.12502609226570252,-0.14011669067645424,0.04796588157575886,0.06874165503123202,-0.030603823660519513,-0.147121252607584,0.09016981204661731,0.08866848279037788,0.15943620424929975,-0.28397432843082043,-0.07418480872447375,0.049026643687239635,0.05053767467616042,0.02365579015967996,0.15442423146279807,0.06461279780844001,0.1615476926687337,-0.06618623004772402,-0.291169793652306,-0.014434304780408028,0.1483766218030816,-0.13830103600175916,-0.07445513516353536,0.07563221643582042,0.040680266480657826,0.018288572084380124,-0.11259871894817335,-0.049638392560584076,-0.13027298601475065,0.025723309463242264,-0.1419257525093391,0.022799850618296102,0.020547175607327526,-0.08340338012268121,0.0739769958870208,0.16300345881310455,0.020159293667115087,0.08274732526092596,-0.44986974163986343,0.13967665581523514,-0.11842553013772623,0.1306346421543968,-0.14166996996284012,0.08268178589881238,0.15073314528436038,-0.07773331272536287,0.04726648848728371,0.16095854298704174,-0.0763940687834725,0.06177612130024083,-0.6460576578141797,-0.14517118820048203,0.13199497632488236,-0.0673473107396619;-0.12518537915247732,-0.23153437818200284,0.1337236103599174,-0.16673287162302922,-0.20881515630349792,0.10596654681232902,0.16194466429996024,0.07543094348564279,-0.2122461944487428,-0.16662905555646956,-0.03587211187984965,-0.23663345518641815,-0.1516212630156358,0.23269467173121794,-0.425504835854086,-0.38155495693135805,0.17304489171026502,8.585548409617956E-6,0.012946686952278474,0.16530839359468297,0.18873011073994078,-0.22004914130058603,0.23537275704394928,0.11045464483230137,0.0821943187438568,0.24891238493518986,-0.16947084010772823,0.252697564627685,0.25075147501719136,0.23369371951686504,-0.08959754629554001,0.030555982579816215,0.25094268230390826,-0.0719198366909616,0.18253243582762763,0.2538594381191156,0.25030872747055305,0.25377527581019316,0.09402643377700541,-0.019085852013791576,-0.23623682342182092,0.2554089761886011,-0.1433302088543067,0.13762296279701555,0.22276666047018204,-0.053739120951598475,-0.20393491120097051,-0.22579374114016085,0.06868127565996224,0.07695868734229151,-0.05908500262337045,-0.2353097500439939,0.1371455954652268,0.13575509496602764,0.23849358931367373,-0.45267702629556594,-0.12768002288599042,0.07087503927599578,0.07335054856534372,0.02926720748001169,0.2388126086512172,0.09587429238834538,0.248810871892723,-0.1160732072250333,-0.459905672102389,-0.034639718099359396,0.22967269233168788,-0.2243906226571731,-0.12846006965342682,0.11418640115571047,0.05693484742485432,0.020451666050529244,-0.18551765699240133,-0.08951662098234021,-0.21174559844987303,0.03263053038038838,-0.2291526199080944,0.028572141753703578,0.025163592989129686,-0.17882102538334452,0.11108586352896205,0.25048998351646046,0.023463290287893547,0.102935074356687,-0.5359636208257695,0.21662598513226347,-0.1956876669738777,0.18622165595457243,-0.2284242930984828,0.12589687097222504,0.23367066112966345,-0.16897156772903763,0.06874947923547271,0.2489603300470121,-0.13056898721922347,0.09223844415944385,-0.24765567292756568,-0.23389444446900837,0.18874061680997384,-0.11676193685680337;-0.028008990341573996,0.01012320768658288,0.014614034125339622,-0.012750138818882012,-0.0035125898688020433,-0.1850120781368027,0.020351794410452484,-0.003110496918483445,0.002063920556962656,-0.012775804399995098,-0.03667595616770384,0.013858476962644913,-0.016937865225728106,0.018830797554483462,-0.07537190667516189,-0.13369767673240304,0.021677095592800684,-0.03580592495241938,-0.016262100229589946,0.021053179397844072,0.024442120379553244,0.0021249248230376027,-0.06814604454743507,0.007039500059152166,-6.454737891681022E-4,0.0022362040172625147,-0.012710267756806056,-0.0032069586737326684,0.003576688300380781,-0.07380588682395364,-0.02419348058865169,-0.011816429767066101,-0.03472355828333303,-0.03613765023402687,-0.1277000355239755,-0.029058384987097997,0.005201949912113354,-0.023593902674396244,-0.19123648298374157,-0.02065591860384774,0.013572940099969791,-0.01102185649818013,-0.017702254552643463,0.0145727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k{26}	=[0.6675146028515214;0.8597769314718819;-0.4852977153471874];
x_a_linear{26}	=[-3.8802004270454162,-6.149704239019091,16.149640133919892];
L_a{26}	=[0.07211832577329416,0.1430624310931572,-0.08758398278309197,0.09997226116281181,0.12737172965987867,-0.08493779234668407,-0.10478727234057536,-0.051416312737117685,0.1301479110851757,0.09953265489055349,0.015086901219522574,0.14684934912116201,0.0897191276904746,-0.14979758935736195,0.2570232298663902,0.22178308981476155,-0.11169463416212307,-0.006874643430169666,-0.013532770691640238,-0.1072534623797236,-0.12214363434807528,0.13470253550435413,-0.15702469391752197,-0.07368172310661629,-0.055688959951510034,-0.1605542051683782,0.10160053622428657,-0.16343359395483578,-0.16216656189253476,-0.1566622332771983,0.04873833657374985,-0.024105502387356086,-0.16498758289160725,0.03821102827783488,-0.12796152279747552,-0.1657704504518624,-0.16164943688667766,-0.16615045997094902,-0.07782425951873516,0.0060607326734027885,0.14644143030320234,-0.16571112554355708,0.08445449921577679,-0.08988411068571543,-0.14283050033682593,0.027664217812017687,0.12455053901787215,0.13958373834531346,-0.04778343701274802,-0.06848018707107328,0.030487417976921435,0.14656165750039862,-0.08982683926231337,-0.08833122051010493,-0.1588297675977298,0.28289419458245,0.07390263701063972,-0.048840164375496306,-0.05034544795856491,-0.0235658122387791,-0.15383685851140042,-0.06436703450181847,-0.16093322469220261,0.06593448198385629,0.2900622909020229,0.014379401996564246,-0.1478122517334278,0.13777498975287575,0.074171935227402,-0.07534453931567006,-0.040525533716505135,-0.018219009086006762,0.11217043485541357,0.04944958638123798,0.12977747551385296,-0.025625467459717232,0.14138591917268523,-0.022713128376441686,-0.02046902171227466,0.08308614435550175,-0.0736956146167494,-0.1623834536378537,-0.02008261513222983,-0.08243258488502518,0.4481586026859025,-0.1391453772147825,0.11797508299935343,-0.13013775604662642,0.14113110952887045,-0.08236729481052804,-0.15015981186653818,0.07743764380808937,-0.04708670415821831,-0.16034631591910425,0.0761034938573383,-0.06154114766721517,0.6436002922203947,0.14461901042071595,-0.1314929160065037,0.06709114635209697;0.06095001384686771,0.13770577748488763,-0.09232821323656963,0.09129275391726786,0.11992773536838808,-0.11325553286608292,-0.10850837117060293,-0.05727312965084979,0.1236619442681115,0.09026195842186446,0.0030667605568983347,0.14238063058548706,0.07994131020218276,-0.15392874009113663,0.23786497186346006,0.19086102944427819,-0.11523585250778233,-0.01773467794092175,-0.021981017816919836,-0.11150980977496569,-0.1265192123407993,0.12761435636474386,-0.1699036106412672,-0.07971583320169642,-0.061537338018169324,-0.16547355312245793,0.09275731807914406,-0.1691199958035877,-0.1677959109011491,-0.1706471473367666,0.03619474484564818,-0.03165964863743958,-0.17488568035219507,0.026701764533697568,-0.14773269552852397,-0.17398948393617047,-0.16690397319042874,-0.1750544402446793,-0.10683581552062008,-0.0034432695504372597,0.14172443522634523,-0.17228682992834762,0.07464450469502938,-0.09436542694285956,-0.1458748883652881,0.017661455798426404,0.11752656588945844,0.13446800529716088,-0.05464644627282922,-0.09978677085389735,0.01960217523081892,0.1429618116562661,-0.09469497832373358,-0.0922253284210135,-0.17144162333578178,0.27746502180695,0.0630606277900303,-0.05518006658937094,-0.05658965236158486,-0.03155549847412806,-0.158236044513824,-0.07025523342539713,-0.16655330501427412,0.05410185694455111,0.28873703323522576,0.0024731185205553734,-0.15182661830133773,0.1312027939696542,0.06297563223008606,-0.08027575926607382,-0.04766042796384838,-0.026571089676535802,0.10399111558162014,0.03811138613003799,0.12320645636029379,-0.033508088413957964,0.13576050512075505,-0.0300498108673748,-0.027666382746902137,0.035622002329571655,-0.07912046810632586,-0.16861719396415425,-0.028369380812139508,-0.10982113454032914,0.6207212681053038,-0.14250436341926234,0.10880274101541429,-0.14966027289022715,0.13583117532668176,-0.08669082605842163,-0.15388763691440796,0.03089283717232429,-0.052779994577955666,-0.16488905164026793,0.06585201376586192,-0.06659754633036395,1.4134587808871382,0.13936319914928663,-0.15063894220030769,0.05639844587699183;-0.13307238255563567,-0.19829294934244707,0.14220809896450406,-0.1583916907053309,-0.1890702251404016,-0.06127303545341287,0.17300794906894584,0.07179379645463099,-0.18753811029392725,-0.15777692924232253,-0.05865484992494727,-0.20007453656288007,-0.1476424510653844,0.23705886531145154,-0.449808391688201,-0.45679563417671504,0.18439603050083808,-0.02579080949749024,0.003452705676861809,0.17730212810111204,0.20238336380640576,-0.19411237226024047,0.16061061095521934,0.11438048018801945,0.08048329589096936,0.23613472077219153,-0.16072392270557445,0.23488630816953526,0.23982411797144684,0.15442272890506262,-0.09519644573520308,0.023300939149693094,0.2056335901380178,-0.09180422607047571,0.05871682196439157,0.21243926025878124,0.2406960217267466,0.21845734789607643,-0.07786057451785733,-0.02948531289638796,-0.19976580928667978,0.2303893630571062,-0.14073722631893307,0.1455176406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x_a{26}	=[-3.8802004270454167,-6.14970423901909,16.1496401339199];
std_x_a{26}	=[1.4096829965155118,1.942752686224452,2.0336679010660705];
pred_a{26}	=[-3.8802004270454167];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.6 to 2.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{27}	=[-7.113192113325137,-11.411445585669151,16.959594098788124];
std_x_f{27}	=[2.040687434304222,2.824997805905524,2.9892482100728963];
pred_f{27}	=[-7.113192113325137];
obs{27}	=[-7.4929326113818515];
sqrt_r{27}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{27}	=[5.168278810569099];
L_f{27}	=[0.06223830044233213,0.16039431882210192,-0.10025072979707594,0.09977964252926189,0.13718244566690838,-0.1512372455047933,-0.11456567250923469,-0.06825108656773028,0.14252644069675743,0.09907054904233063,-0.006410571477753075,0.16638321187455127,0.08602546944305743,-0.15525068951994173,0.3025966188843809,0.23589239082459257,-0.1210198033431192,-0.029704002158415916,-0.03281457090497761,-0.11722864915897548,-0.12981544667895079,0.14732667451963385,-0.18575296994366766,-0.08810530807612016,-0.07183611885796662,-0.16899478214790728,0.10260375094354209,-0.17364386558320044,-0.17028973254368582,-0.1868559548928657,0.03343850208026306,-0.042348348324096695,-0.18293165423556082,0.020240825786307357,-0.17582889165693336,-0.1816082034284599,-0.16943069457508422,-0.1811983278325734,-0.14574034237925154,-0.012007882764257566,0.16614919787101715,-0.17703671189388986,0.07922968346778478,-0.10186452076762355,-0.14796931443228373,0.010986047857451088,0.1341857697161878,0.15631355267213196,-0.06475156811814413,-0.13890473332840644,0.014042664215670722,0.1671082170733434,-0.10211693264711671,-0.09978410659629833,-0.18545708073400888,0.3560769182301286,0.06401953269595419,-0.06603129284809209,-0.0670762108577668,-0.04203819432511166,-0.15946806367999236,-0.07977734083656796,-0.16930381873055042,0.05401921835755005,0.37122162434151584,-0.007235391838100498,-0.15335899976905581,0.1520201504646287,0.06453510114481878,-0.08937795509231238,-0.05812889329744775,-0.03662032705052155,0.11642975307787891,0.033872409817787205,0.14204875512789567,-0.043785821248883416,0.1580474004660135,-0.04114463703589787,-0.038591081216816425,0.01753525891599234,-0.08793457477759171,-0.17242303175007387,-0.03874702891336968,-0.14834974490754319,0.7618813972084093,-0.1449207630133241,0.12361709769194697,-0.17760655893184732,0.1579652683027482,-0.09500586357769601,-0.15564272145106123,0.010675248692570772,-0.06377622022599985,-0.16704692932667364,0.06933486484186521,-0.07652973707592695,1.341699053802102,0.16314955064456496,-0.17724296773410236,0.05630780463871141;0.034793447369426196,0.17241131212666763,-0.10744749458416754,0.08635673846525597,0.13684962311020368,-0.23825283960717056,-0.11460522275342098,-0.08964300675220915,0.14556514768313292,0.08542338108332641,-0.04526428079934904,0.18143992162390915,0.06682436788733845,-0.13806719342867832,0.36519814869614986,0.24839031857753488,-0.11796568505402683,-0.06775840135661766,-0.0636360589646734,-0.11600222424116106,-0.12287231551366447,0.1520239913107261,-0.19956683446888446,-0.1024540732547872,-0.09177233046410502,-0.15287385320804722,0.08888182562518476,-0.15815650998277095,-0.1533275990694857,-0.20365919735718388,0.0017632480840788403,-0.07070834178377848,-0.17955071082753155,-0.016143659103492126,-0.22611843331632478,-0.17628439380979363,-0.15232126027242612,-0.17207781141248712,-0.23675025387069773,-0.045214280119793275,0.18084968319174785,-0.16390454573594104,0.05876865317966228,-0.10832153944970249,-0.131515084509291,-0.021203965729536117,0.13348994029915398,0.16649452290717698,-0.08713804509770436,-0.2355443269784829,-0.019264860375541946,0.1817768133887111,-0.10812987143678507,-0.10684645734673118,-0.19701078612713024,0.4618412384408956,0.03814143774868137,-0.08806593783004939,-0.0893803186582838,-0.0711721446759488,-0.14110934244313508,-0.09666637928832647,-0.1528521832843031,0.0238463449721174,0.4898150195940397,-0.04658902145747374,-0.13638983554608997,0.15924981054117396,0.037907999869800035,-0.10224555447323073,-0.08285532674760507,-0.0672780545569984,0.10922734953798025,4.62519268138731E-5,0.14470231207308368,-0.07280726501561091,0.16763286483921788,-0.06983246350594431,-0.06820567631403135,-0.09183823638198572,-0.10134583695444638,-0.15782479630451926,-0.0688112414586958,-0.23618549679573214,1.215130059043569,-0.13057158834247115,0.11880682415848103,-0.2259656849972719,0.168056020919165,-0.10427828108141556,-0.13820622127643645,-0.10065597753920372,-0.08652765902490821,-0.1477909457212926,0.04496074554096762,-0.09388410636516252,2.060228319014524,0.17638861804093395,-0.22396894389249047,0.02739596722576971;-0.21269015650471856,-0.3617803611614761,0.20463355684025156,-0.27210205094738316,-0.3326313036548929,0.11561049951908955,0.24952410845102688,0.10550980281767765,-0.3354813247600834,-0.2708784386458108,-0.07552770713710946,-0.36828244129299115,-0.24943159655875558,0.3607112984627979,-0.6687555201178678,-0.6259954754248149,0.2674688463016205,-0.021125608792805693,0.00546423079041603,0.2565189858113378,0.2955933794641234,-0.3464147580294003,0.34513966739812535,0.16682407752484418,0.11715944983095766,0.38035003743302515,-0.27578519536966667,0.3856094545329958,0.385351198896812,0.3423822787317781,-0.15093922877614732,0.033865188357838964,0.3778200328834592,-0.13314717127322065,0.24875039112460812,0.38075356042073083,0.38375605160086007,0.3848547725034489,0.09446450044933208,-0.04552461278612431,-0.3680597696778886,0.38809341850830287,-0.23684187657907485,0.2098178349163164,0.34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k{27}	=[0.8065119865524655;1.0931880942375753;-0.6427127199003396];
x_a_linear{27}	=[-7.41945737678728,-11.8265733770446,17.203658147150463];
L_a{27}	=[-0.034966006048099636,-0.0901108912382812,0.05632171186388529,-0.05605705103384172,-0.07707026366066487,0.08496636963791057,0.06436396831841883,0.038344040385997515,-0.08007256547814214,-0.05565867628747985,0.003601513528965567,-0.09347550224476854,-0.048329839720215845,0.08722115658919317,-0.17000135175364217,-0.13252634962157905,0.06798995386379746,0.016687960817411657,0.018435504770770272,0.06586005122844396,0.07293142102938278,-0.082769377629022,0.104357596919293,0.04949831073735317,0.04035814198986739,0.09494270461572356,-0.057643659138375505,0.09755459919448387,0.09567021875169743,0.10497726323618348,-0.018786034606796755,0.023791661936517876,0.10277255778081791,-0.011371467919795271,0.09878216540960227,0.10202903187158557,0.09518760392140474,0.10179876027896693,0.08187816275296182,0.006746130571944797,-0.09334403118908789,0.09946072908197583,-0.0445119094132477,0.05722835334405903,0.08313041819267457,-0.006172055038428947,-0.07538670564779511,-0.08781828213959665,0.036377981184444415,0.07803785950374706,-0.00788928808156528,-0.09388281632606113,0.057370160482786335,0.056059558984635445,0.1041913638470373,-0.20004703836602397,-0.03596671746390904,0.037096941411977086,0.03768398522882931,0.023617414784406068,0.08959051322874471,0.04481958797665732,0.09511632399383953,-0.030348455892587226,-0.20855546294902044,0.0040649046161825506,0.08615838921282715,-0.08540621229695065,-0.036256368199438276,0.050213294645156004,0.032657306195100363,0.020573610912116114,-0.06541122462159758,-0.019029807660796587,-0.07980419766650212,0.02459924644034995,-0.08879237256328215,0.023115406706471414,0.02168079734889606,-0.009851457461948097,0.049402391319461975,0.09686872437320113,0.02176841008995913,0.08334414726631997,-0.42803144291202955,0.08141771610094456,-0.06944913589904522,0.0997808739900808,-0.08874623001605525,0.05337510145446018,0.08744140345932261,-0.005997445426634891,0.03583002245078147,0.09384838434919943,-0.03895291622963188,0.04299505658795689,-0.7537779292903835,-0.09165880388826428,0.09957660536563205,-0.03163420311222466;-0.096962301256447,-0.1671364165476405,0.10477889753819626,-0.12487238260057466,-0.1535595895243697,0.08190976701898708,0.12792527440028972,0.054841546028802174,-0.15615706772957846,-0.12430462021296722,-0.031693382523397186,-0.17078603061945072,-0.1152877728171499,0.190591697913253,-0.2753856039034372,-0.2509835127667044,0.13822792361950612,-0.00487633334139426,0.005830946475620313,0.13216567752620742,0.15194128381068062,-0.15986010828611924,0.19366404491677677,0.08406099449257737,0.06030157822622593,0.2048806786078529,-0.12832580892317377,0.20943992728504227,0.2071682858620456,0.19190665272452515,-0.06902459225219541,0.018941251743932026,0.2077075671119191,-0.05899259834713066,0.14610360818659254,0.20817219689495053,0.2063560790072032,0.21151109065687176,0.07177565025422894,-0.019794119675624444,-0.17088087168366575,0.2108743981630039,-0.10895710707565412,0.10732117728209019,0.1817294555588766,-0.044460946553415356,-0.15057544095714795,-0.16441440304862437,0.0499381808190073,0.05851089299525337,-0.04899256378787702,-0.17198394301937736,0.10804719015835307,0.10439211395296047,0.19559370879668272,-0.29195795910104866,-0.09738510132912555,0.05171940913641802,0.052617073843471286,0.017820866457397635,0.19647754477502916,0.07221874756443346,0.20555656540464068,-0.09050996784973113,-0.29604485565348476,-0.03127201470350934,0.18826443167332407,-0.1625701715009722,-0.09870997497127897,0.0869636511147107,0.0402009874313966,0.010245569500448408,-0.1372493243119956,-0.07166015203323764,-0.15600866396956378,0.0198853955622705,-0.16694654074829887,0.01726892608979985,0.013489947760966362,-0.12895960938550796,0.08480779589827732,0.20718718935571168,0.013214517040921496,0.0778643978806378,-0.3977393981860823,0.17621930225945379,-0.1428851425823425,0.1500196000542224,-0.16634951448583768,0.09684495960098828,0.19128258444623508,-0.12325501018085282,0.04848379823991522,0.2058400672187596,-0.10181811824851045,0.06812598595608858,-0.7800896525232228,-0.16899181539597877,0.15124663456174478,-0.0918051822421036;-0.13522764478490384,-0.16215172873985473,0.07986033397531454,-0.14791514876833922,-0.1618924382022306,-0.07262113307895236,0.10693434159744884,0.020563707638848176,-0.15809126101491808,-0.14757408245776293,-0.08350637886652587,-0.16119996300850023,-0.14236329797772643,0.16748448682145506,-0.29214025315012115,-0.3324010655678794,0.11684619323797929,-0.05809555493479072,-0.03537716534736546,0.11061484728510688,0.13402356653038744,-0.16305026750651466,0.11394936321261685,0.05716718762072417,0.027751381818283613,0.17001716844908962,-0.14808337505204083,0.16949028229956084,0.1734066196075398,0.109819186665708,-0.10932128064972887,-0.01884205790460796,0.15014117100198776,-0.10795520437265686,0.029911710057517603,0.15472188078760254,0.1728806409462975,0.15933322879826764,-0.08692562266405489,-0.0604697631637176,-0.16126854794061274,0.1677514703436902,-0.1382316921659072,0.0830360690628837,0.16023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x_a{27}	=[-7.419457376787281,-11.826573377044607,17.203658147150463];
std_x_a{27}	=[1.1464755409938794,1.6526922645624194,2.6741283552006823];
pred_a{27}	=[-7.419457376787281];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.7 to 2.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{28}	=[-12.330048307228545,-16.617766762292874,26.58895471616927];
std_x_f{28}	=[1.4552352142598883,2.4209251874618984,2.7414246404394174];
pred_f{28}	=[-12.330048307228545];
obs{28}	=[-12.826352379231338];
sqrt_r{28}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{28}	=[3.1301037131955565];
L_f{28}	=[-0.11132917126042914,-0.17806821548033408,0.0963444350752423,-0.13865223863967543,-0.16602828556560514,0.05854227858589144,0.12014700285509862,0.04511304107038096,-0.16725754350740185,-0.13801549465732335,-0.04543803992786909,-0.1808711391319323,-0.12823159570726778,0.18146648258152628,-0.30073638308781164,-0.28756766063136874,0.12997086525671106,-0.018192911420424868,-0.005262828410903541,0.1246440362993469,0.14473583949998728,-0.17152377812364394,0.17854392557308213,0.07615091599633804,0.051105673686592266,0.19400045730679083,-0.141039158388771,0.19811307588019406,0.19664793421286939,0.1767376185946399,-0.0824448596147606,0.00853541537983704,0.19455055681084732,-0.07358743353108643,0.128011343114754,0.19554499848713194,0.19518569659253646,0.1981665064136559,0.047796325481387535,-0.03113691480029552,-0.18072773524997005,0.19903580521948114,-0.1225565581440302,0.09900635375262282,0.17313088424470344,-0.057533312570509,-0.16191515085181651,-0.17505857021808532,0.04092428922931003,0.03335800895262367,-0.06173739007110454,-0.18169040713172846,0.09971370775730318,0.09692284258069554,0.18150961508073704,-0.3059992988068426,-0.11217133748935554,0.04201315288663687,0.04402695344545172,0.007211733942349851,0.18714702812609185,0.06333423622952689,0.19505923502807593,-0.10506844819744941,-0.3062817277780951,-0.0450353205241759,0.17916322060175907,-0.1743218163637111,-0.11402951720168694,0.07829817370330189,0.03065409622085366,-2.885029583358147E-4,-0.15055325671804484,-0.08660985407476933,-0.1674378526291654,0.009685062846149664,-0.17695734661694099,0.006002524004149298,0.0028147848359593936,-0.1723068393994192,0.07663876949171472,0.1958038940584695,0.0027528340523023005,0.054569347880787336,-0.19994880792321548,0.16747097227715863,-0.15500555533805455,0.13182195235453004,-0.1771594583318686,0.08828898853123723,0.18232752900488725,-0.16556755191058523,0.039016120073409315,0.19516284178646556,-0.11488591040882466,0.05937881619177963,0.2854165957170335,-0.17868170635664446,0.1333318096621468,-0.106133719373258;-0.1567985821035695,-0.18894120605424353,0.08742423997944558,-0.17263358663282302,-0.1878273851578353,-0.027763054504702005,0.11987532593489926,0.018056631104801806,-0.18506642315970045,-0.17189598186628727,-0.09675363986960867,-0.18817894540271782,-0.1672398278244233,0.20146270446533143,-0.2792091429267485,-0.31851606145776706,0.13308304437870175,-0.06694341515823152,-0.045778361411928474,0.12476557331644281,0.15339881026591828,-0.18892532532380818,0.17122883813983691,0.05978535060986418,0.026134110062030126,0.21351073390658848,-0.1738532150841334,0.2172806673673364,0.21800390019801338,0.16734668009783774,-0.12915286637749515,-0.028121964780123222,0.20428241980965545,-0.12501965753180672,0.08340531385415573,0.20751399507019527,0.21693904570925232,0.2119967016440069,-0.04388693556752346,-0.07548380930851999,-0.1884043774668087,0.21708929565911605,-0.16174932068075662,0.0906687229571516,0.19148732649055802,-0.10428487993067677,-0.18395790931338402,-0.18645604202889976,0.013430043586366616,-0.065351450955499,-0.1080787013602733,-0.18894108725905423,0.09190399636111879,0.08776230843789026,0.1773567331669035,-0.237116219908039,-0.15831750286706064,0.014104911840059136,0.01629940024794655,-0.0300755868964747,0.20865204913990223,0.04279644479095149,0.2158580167779278,-0.15294381556318473,-0.22291725967769213,-0.0964049042708462,0.19868400423111204,-0.18866418832152337,-0.15954050385931762,0.06285382736426201,-1.3861650973241807E-4,-0.03865854115409348,-0.1789016932818793,-0.1370741442401118,-0.1858780281822818,-0.026475763039876785,-0.18944042718901868,-0.031069768875508018,-0.03498742658154518,-0.3108872937473049,0.06064242466228896,0.21464276860608933,-0.03568198177593384,-0.033539270327163015,0.34388935500015305,0.1841308509252061,-0.18063189342931624,0.08937193947982139,-0.1883037825252224,0.07627578830307352,0.2025436026846983,-0.30551976170438,0.010828752516965542,0.2177478190149061,-0.1559092465594127,0.03749099548470595,1.8296492953547954,-0.186916371415789,0.09273277873074784,-0.15318038932699046;0.1257043708970641,0.273882892916299,-0.16360459938403638,0.18320002720428033,0.24197987401134305,-0.211458749798476,-0.18852696592767026,-0.10429826977864066,0.24882705273615524,0.1820455954311604,0.010759368736705355,0.2827709843980475,0.16297863759763484,-0.25871636540604354,0.500531503711213,0.4233800645082598,-0.1994263184980125,-0.030192033959578292,-0.04023016578980932,-0.19384613251225594,-0.21417007894938214,0.2559755936930145,-0.29665360219510445,-0.139660557187956,-0.11118517451929537,-0.2798127033250323,0.18953075863655175,-0.2869857309611428,-0.281033645855803,-0.29676783491042985,0.07767299340700856,-0.05703097327188548,-0.2965598138383684,0.05713039412905149,-0.26816664351616215,-0.2949616331578466,-0.2804746282972256,-0.2961757154896986,-0.20066007581837253,-0.0016536439790691383,0.28256106642115286,-0.2909161581111771,0.15187026975851645,-0.16563175741463193,-0.24743549431458614,0.0370193771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k{28}	=[0.6805217680857328;0.8266023209851188;-0.9010556859968156];
x_a_linear{28}	=[-12.667794031816035,-17.028012860124747,27.03615232223076];
L_a{28}	=[0.10472486886737006,0.16750479954621866,-0.09062906168369048,0.13042706907195287,0.15617910595470638,-0.0550694160272047,-0.11301960641900492,-0.042436831755911716,0.157335441489242,0.12982809820655483,0.04274255093397757,0.17014144732267528,0.12062460263611435,-0.17070147363010135,0.2828960094281469,0.2705084858636745,-0.12226069471717703,0.017113666088134038,0.004950625329942112,-0.11724986550033234,-0.13614977674258863,0.1613485932596637,-0.1679522894225701,-0.07163346858292133,-0.04807396762782965,-0.1824919041581404,0.13267239125382937,-0.18636055274255905,-0.18498232664740763,-0.1662531367269205,0.07755404099566304,-0.008029074915962189,-0.18300937049489743,0.06922205779114159,-0.12041741593376548,-0.18394481960465084,-0.18360683232450392,-0.18641081365393514,-0.044960937566590586,0.029289801428302197,0.170006550488687,-0.18722854365601774,0.11528622134845377,-0.09313306922518343,-0.162860362150768,0.054120304195541556,0.15230997184853662,0.16467369336031806,-0.03849656630429937,-0.0313791351690566,0.05807498615332054,0.17091211446116678,-0.09379846136404765,-0.09117315672611925,-0.17074204741029417,0.2878467168868975,0.1055170758593946,-0.039520836066096486,-0.041415173345888,-0.006783917304587056,-0.17604503615297445,-0.059577103726359486,-0.18348787275079156,0.09883554629034534,0.2881123915222506,0.04236372177119259,-0.16853484644634126,0.16398064543843613,0.10726502407909982,-0.07365334602600554,-0.028835624757027882,2.7138829955798515E-4,0.14162209139660442,0.08147195840867769,0.15750505425935876,-0.00911052265144966,0.1664598299777679,-0.005646440479982291,-0.0026478053280944622,0.16208520154024517,-0.07209238148734132,-0.18418835689547675,-0.002589529607353325,-0.05133216870558518,0.1880873849403062,-0.15753620917368868,0.14581026942631548,-0.12400197107256902,0.16664995196109647,-0.08305148274873539,-0.17151144080001995,0.15574570407936267,-0.03670159412974675,-0.18358533331807406,0.10807061407227954,-0.05585632829905063,-0.26848502706551275,0.16808189673328314,-0.12542226017342603,0.09983762313086889;0.10563353895879718,0.23081238550873323,-0.13968491895074586,0.1542061864859115,0.20354492673520164,-0.165762593773528,-0.1633427420842317,-0.08828666528046354,0.20920357282948346,0.15344281830914258,0.010355764253168743,0.2381818739940469,0.13503575069352672,-0.22630149593632798,0.42970556469949195,0.35935650575909506,-0.17329244965817187,-0.024057940683681944,-0.033372491440707454,-0.16905318463777952,-0.18778160923860274,0.21540130709421404,-0.24964612715867515,-0.11972237570754475,-0.09433539664542406,-0.24379933964990347,0.15861315531785508,-0.24972392922493697,-0.24554697235176823,-0.24927034483989127,0.06519133949805023,-0.04824218248154767,-0.25432438287910747,0.048445266768434136,-0.21835107140682025,-0.253436968052221,-0.24316494840016498,-0.2551338447605854,-0.1565554386476874,-0.0020859163585689516,0.23761840128449158,-0.2520904165379361,0.12714870253908406,-0.14271527801750533,-0.21662767750471593,0.031336261219319726,0.19771866286530856,0.22620302452436616,-0.08303926363854872,-0.14398504666758727,0.037452555558131824,0.23935096216907537,-0.14314742394028426,-0.1407103090250106,-0.25050914187336615,0.48420456349762914,0.10609982537184405,-0.08493113324794152,-0.08748370211231267,-0.04707553950189803,-0.23250269031970544,-0.10649899827579719,-0.24394787418189737,0.09473013552270333,0.49906928305355197,0.00975518435710002,-0.22365080224019426,0.22225815573111363,0.10925704240960733,-0.12171554980463704,-0.07239837915244492,-0.037978463844331505,0.1759919077936091,0.06708804840366484,0.20881700380362694,-0.049306002020024345,0.22769455445580156,-0.04521929579915437,-0.041622614344750744,0.09528521993612996,-0.12001530058271365,-0.24691847943222545,-0.04217113525744545,-0.16217356758466292,0.8152212545652049,-0.21064225277697746,0.18475694584136962,-0.221367053430276,0.22930762955952216,-0.1318445656381491,-0.2272503104747001,0.08476647985360672,-0.08114249841902474,-0.24230230030890235,0.11490704361345125,-0.10248048281659597,1.1568473535779742,0.23428337940715024,-0.2215653447401305,0.09700468594143649;-0.16036542211977323,-0.18367856171965485,0.083960637006931,-0.17307871591316942,-0.18464395466683597,-0.06102937600368039,0.12020099682658053,0.011623533781492373,-0.18095545898073392,-0.17259697976036498,-0.10599754708412074,-0.18199282142561574,-0.16652337545862705,0.20757722614647284,-0.2722362613636853,-0.31554954597732354,0.13454489588595794,-0.07694027025283108,-0.0537534518894469,0.12643734091382508,0.15774099502262298,-0.18476937143848576,0.16213023006413754,0.05601571103966996,0.020135209239870548,0.2186880044283855,-0.17288137818931087,0.22208270069366404,0.22426997942555546,0.15737453763436685,-0.1341760993175302,-0.03509849606597117,0.20335442147015828,-0.13195878744433742,0.0607694117337281,0.20750790478413467,0.22107165280691357,0.21303001047418388,-0.07784334429487251,-0.08166260004384368,-0.18183425090694064,0.22052330521584868,-0.16304925065275522,0.088773505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x_a{28}	=[-12.667794031816024,-17.028012860124736,27.036152322230755];
std_x_a{28}	=[1.368907315658016,2.3478704121385094,2.6599943434097946];
pred_a{28}	=[-12.667794031816024];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.8 to 2.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{29}	=[-12.847600987709578,-8.293436896868851,36.92369847898884];
std_x_f{29}	=[1.2173688559876263,2.6694752353810336,2.479648968391016];
pred_f{29}	=[-12.847600987709578];
obs{29}	=[-13.09414042203179];
sqrt_r{29}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{29}	=[2.4821625611915223];
L_f{29}	=[-0.013252534206703238,0.03673257676067871,-0.032939457919878845,0.004589732982839266,0.02393788422448387,-0.08654865976522766,-0.028465415416746152,-0.03824522796861693,0.027505656136248086,0.004217718935435386,-0.037021296268054484,0.04093676227400636,-0.001746936113715581,-0.01795182870197211,0.11914794325175138,0.07226914373376556,-0.0268998992581027,-0.04141075864617276,-0.03858069585270549,-0.028117238695669462,-0.023413379875677192,0.029421433653404196,-0.03971535054310343,-0.035624167495667707,-0.037997272195434605,-0.018982188646397547,0.00637245077285387,-0.019405579068595906,-0.017745080976053512,-0.040823482221753395,-0.023002526449896556,-0.03832616557649639,-0.02629896105760305,-0.028856867710314336,-0.06408733918257813,-0.025332558635898218,-0.017844957992296333,-0.023869513019921153,-0.0888007648184352,-0.03513808324283142,0.040696859704812446,-0.020503792796987472,-0.0049262702329698925,-0.03186157067696761,-0.019364260919752657,-0.030526346308250133,0.022581404962171245,0.035044126680096016,-0.038084230348643805,-0.09130414816186244,-0.028956527515245526,0.0412696227037444,-0.03166311985019225,-0.03223465932584763,-0.03660416652677996,0.15670780567332457,-0.013129540899712189,-0.038324681172728164,-0.03798813532617909,-0.03879819603320894,-0.017208202738873656,-0.0367726936371571,-0.017893752040876718,-0.01708412543607952,0.1679992194694498,-0.037462257895961,-0.01834985785160154,0.03239194199640856,-0.012603520741861399,-0.03536254811733646,-0.03830153209569271,-0.037502737905868166,0.013190315460187304,-0.024984895633158605,0.02684340144942208,-0.03870472387405569,0.03587766475109515,-0.03851787155171049,-0.03812949553895001,-0.06270380859608789,-0.034605631072807334,-0.019911139066755755,-0.03812272421503258,-0.08710227666105175,0.4495945996122249,-0.019970915634586528,0.017570741157755216,-0.06307647141909015,0.036551307506047376,-0.033554114722643746,-0.0176483448617359,-0.06591085404319985,-0.03774552312818439,-0.017253825048576824,-0.00867557361216404,-0.03671699810381462,1.0397114610142717,0.039584954238417853,-0.062336891711572064,-0.015819588530641877;-0.20758302738856044,-0.256325666810375,0.12083260059604677,-0.23198232081758516,-0.2528987933230609,0.005703185589919824,0.16689676331431702,0.02769633667922762,-0.250875034190901,-0.23128184142933292,-0.12473045731839241,-0.25572473010949326,-0.22146439453718647,0.28336716934248346,-0.3375820152408911,-0.3794709557895071,0.18462070966404448,-0.08335277294254698,-0.05828587745645716,0.17525085490340261,0.21432702820086566,-0.2551494356264537,0.25912517059835394,0.08458984668896345,0.038324244944911594,0.30405110067599633,-0.233278247275473,0.31159407751911566,0.3104352571467882,0.2539375343635183,-0.17123916439928655,-0.03422088600649479,0.29807945902643124,-0.1629343459606952,0.1475308468125937,0.30103328519112155,0.3067597250772503,0.3070186754109716,-0.014984286876804517,-0.097869207141308,-0.25572821342759017,0.3111381863368954,-0.21618987334218023,0.1264468884608583,0.26755294428578125,-0.1372244513353132,-0.2468355339994865,-0.2537751601460875,0.020317926864192367,-0.04304630209727568,-0.14342822015355725,-0.2566597534835738,0.12859032884355376,0.1232021327917951,0.26673682808863286,-0.2958076432834115,-0.2084008541081586,0.02183833076892131,0.02689454800823716,-0.03738879285924331,0.2941215715381207,0.06082550384064277,0.30677522442446314,-0.20144722183422178,-0.282092803326522,-0.12359842061228246,0.27989555596008786,-0.256154129897113,-0.21159644679651896,0.08812934910155172,0.0035338787340387346,-0.04904108467958768,-0.2413166103441762,-0.17941799776992443,-0.25154021411414423,-0.03338608057168399,-0.25556911161025775,-0.039235875679390686,-0.044578550940917304,-0.36053849625341833,0.08530944277015974,0.30676407847738973,-0.04422420086349121,-0.0016494714905842854,0.2454700621160037,0.25697666418666465,-0.2430757489399127,0.15565743839373966,-0.2554630815947254,0.10679532531361663,0.28435716320468224,-0.35386760666649064,0.01757594402737105,0.30856222485790374,-0.20803836103594125,0.05367708245022744,1.6386938754717282,-0.25434424611666956,0.15993513288283076,-0.20105348393175734;-0.14426825104235286,-0.3068306389761633,0.1698075743480821,-0.2076868761444194,-0.2728440532424382,0.1915335946135854,0.1963611325437357,0.10867527000462819,-0.27935439797937517,-0.2069535755994865,-0.018196420628160924,-0.316348698573886,-0.1825171833572977,0.26054006665196155,-0.5928379755018253,-0.5182173536600722,0.207048126232387,0.02642308302059902,0.04042441349900634,0.20248060451081162,0.2218159733766594,-0.28772221839228274,0.28441619833440623,0.14727587321614308,0.11672541966689384,0.2779696540941084,-0.21309054814165612,0.2832701376978048,0.27939177154133404,0.28355132846524306,-0.08948429078584566,0.05938438803144004,0.2881758572011908,-0.06863815356694362,0.25254323416262403,0.28699052702060335,0.27652866851246705,0.28902257743688875,0.17991212776886376,-1.0793221704059963E-4,-0.31541466164207776,0.28512183681086567,-0.1713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k{29}	=[0.5971255003056826;0.5737451068300808;-0.5347718637998395];
x_a_linear{29}	=[-12.99481597077431,-8.434887690951877,37.055540831781485];
L_a{29}	=[0.019085440635462716,-0.05289987576858554,0.04743727191258141,-0.006609835900842009,-0.03447378902624377,0.12464176905822344,0.040994045940685085,0.055078297976818145,-0.03961186284373326,-0.006074085386521953,0.053315670886134627,-0.0589544711979246,0.0025158241414234847,0.025853059923903854,-0.1715891438045544,-0.10407733577543593,0.03873949105754924,0.059637090045105624,0.05556141707592882,0.04049262439842656,0.03371843186541263,-0.04237084142882107,0.05719547320418132,0.05130361660054766,0.05472120814664076,0.02733691752017726,-0.00917719049283375,0.027946656958872915,0.025555315251979835,0.05879133261033562,0.033126747396215316,0.05519485907270106,0.03787405881852763,0.04155779015699749,0.09229443126697871,0.03648230870026833,0.025699151655992694,0.03437532524976867,0.1278851047574496,0.05060358957125329,-0.05860897907006214,0.029528233176021317,0.00709449503160219,0.04588496858210609,0.027887153239462302,0.043962065005574216,-0.03252027552985838,-0.05046827942057346,0.05484643964161053,0.13149031516050005,0.041701313747360566,-0.05943383521031452,0.045599172566460684,0.04642226666780828,0.052714947674240904,-0.22568042275107406,0.018908313648086213,0.05519272133062434,0.05470804981985959,0.05587464673589094,0.02478213801928229,0.052957649493410176,0.025769421681560618,0.02460344993142302,-0.2419415849058107,0.05395071523619332,0.02642627570195424,-0.04664877497370338,0.018150773517335964,0.05092684933201256,0.05515938353057527,0.054009011922242625,-0.01899583723021796,0.03598162698185578,-0.03865812657610072,0.05574003419184733,-0.05166868691421384,0.05547094159037997,0.054911627634259136,0.09030196020718326,0.04983678647354252,0.02867473169401784,0.05490187601252145,0.12543905222197452,-0.6474769962550669,0.02876081803184055,-0.025304242347686075,0.09083864504606157,-0.05263882353930158,0.048322460793242476,0.02541600217130276,0.0949205391552856,0.0543586554602568,0.02484784031213525,0.012493998700248067,0.05287744039689406,-1.497325044228985,-0.05700768489944326,0.08977355029641816,0.022782345857013282;-0.17651124294628004,-0.34244856899009873,0.1980621870410566,-0.24274337162236462,-0.30902336293565696,0.20862447279800597,0.23363654591693198,0.11736578863851112,-0.3153645729522268,-0.24117067110944646,-0.03793062571841469,-0.3517047316173874,-0.21736854226371388,0.3254568816248539,-0.6169353186707286,-0.5489126052808114,0.24768999575153558,0.01373855662326212,0.03217010978876699,0.24117430518373337,0.2692218491623004,-0.3241306908492495,0.35224146004741125,0.16811398147679854,0.12741234180521,0.34855658654489813,-0.24821904378237816,0.3570922411452128,0.3520402303842738,0.3496519403777271,-0.11730762705471431,0.05563833161315789,0.35973979027269526,-0.09527676747878024,0.2977895035722309,0.3604277971409883,0.3485988691586681,0.3629829424507088,0.19321726761172694,-0.015484741558573201,-0.3511457413133924,0.35921121298223996,-0.2046397800244924,0.2011492691999676,0.31295423371450737,-0.0656526268445235,-0.2997797133122651,-0.33593933593226594,0.10960990510671353,0.17102466471724093,-0.07553698009959255,-0.3534201768610417,0.2028274233803581,0.19877925415749373,0.3525586606732379,-0.6632234961579064,-0.17761743877800887,0.11169406806751282,0.11596122263882806,0.053577143548861256,0.33446778440591235,0.14704246372427204,0.3487287706372705,-0.16139191960634763,-0.6759824136008914,-0.03576471394841735,0.32291848416525,-0.33210001493924873,-0.18204633407114681,0.17104009321235575,0.09333534089396915,0.03888753108788292,-0.27224251721693976,-0.12083861368248658,-0.3144770358966647,0.05736070176858245,-0.3396875940115006,0.05107281421818614,0.04481955570044395,-0.21352365410932708,0.166445525304433,0.35344757398344745,0.04515802978661628,0.20256982141077878,-0.8086457973622831,0.3038003113498591,-0.2842719664504267,0.30354602277651305,-0.3411609813471331,0.18546603112369367,0.32573532973146774,-0.19933355172317058,0.10607379206211334,0.34901540342378357,-0.1876976813602042,0.13976345903715118,-0.7990052011670107,-0.347154809445117,0.3060897046691107,-0.1639630046979027;-0.17322939751659397,-0.2265578760955174,0.09782402382706626,-0.1976567998495456,-0.22053190218546947,0.002396304076188597,0.13415483656469718,0.02509686666954297,-0.21924549172738705,-0.19773647236691802,-0.09910013060259648,-0.22688840743960523,-0.18633481339554908,0.22130941593948614,-0.33246052747583427,-0.36028550269507553,0.1482629980142544,-0.06407304610122848,-0.04388709751020043,0.14103518919510538,0.17065003685007696,-0.2234267080975486,0.19762509359816124,0.06942534917500677,0.033688881257735954,0.23648732798081842,-0.19916464707594392,0.24086256424375505,0.24061293261671457,0.19433859150699678,-0.13975237743270766,-0.02437089060013677,0.2307039766212214,-0.13169990157009115,0.11249131743018381,0.23163055361638732,0.23753156545423285,0.23685983995162485,-0.014146753107709529,-0.07689620227522992,-0.22647863653402267,0.2403143051184984,-0.18214346263851333,0.10330173252624056,0.20914979703442446,-0.11049250373970755,-0.21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x_a{29}	=[-12.994815970774301,-8.434887690951854,37.05554083178146];
std_x_a{29}	=[1.7531757073798777,2.9338786722663905,2.7232703777886944];
pred_a{29}	=[-12.994815970774301];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.9 to 3.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{30}	=[-6.6006466070051,-0.43954167602305644,31.86167569065547];
std_x_f{30}	=[1.7180572120212876,2.830446232995888,1.452615305999624];
pred_f{30}	=[-6.6006466070051];
obs{30}	=[-6.547404998678991];
sqrt_r{30}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{30}	=[3.9681252627591688];
L_f{30}	=[-0.12808075179671127,-0.21671629296973655,0.10828234853803403,-0.16476227762816956,-0.20032718550301945,0.09889115154855298,0.13248176132005896,0.05480098813114208,-0.20270298010199853,-0.16405095344919862,-0.04579382818518132,-0.22094164741646452,-0.15053797596877574,0.193670784317948,-0.35574259427532123,-0.3365728193807173,0.14218287752394937,-0.013661914662005895,-5.747362789030681E-4,0.1374030287522956,0.15681484894079165,-0.20766080687989547,0.2034822514551386,0.08812638721124204,0.06140489742467288,0.20751504676949245,-0.1674724245119805,0.21315330523427256,0.21038895510870897,0.2019755488280172,-0.09263829242711276,0.01439746313932203,0.21268299093645107,-0.08002985564945443,0.16260518535199306,0.21337337475889379,0.2080226190766239,0.21537614219031564,0.08804639074512778,-0.03078815255923763,-0.2203496476849445,0.2141355260489934,-0.14312111343152645,0.11073827316805575,0.18542216346662554,-0.06178476054601457,-0.19475223450892792,-0.21254821040916116,0.04984466919781721,0.07267704995461623,-0.06757954553661098,-0.2215035432035461,0.11172912096280534,0.10886883674605795,0.20492798572141463,-0.36290838232541894,-0.1289192406484514,0.05155168281661721,0.05368502793894121,0.013138938331444975,0.1999302977387025,0.07400460295257313,0.20828743312766326,-0.12055898203521132,-0.3635671121898516,-0.04486247863456009,0.19196924618853065,-0.2117878675500696,-0.13151038869043283,0.0898414789980164,0.0394111152601746,0.0045843347908314245,-0.1805334497813735,-0.09637583509835193,-0.20263706185316335,0.015625654767750265,-0.214911849832528,0.011718242501594638,0.007788702353999194,-0.17242490443406758,0.08740091378641132,0.2109374103838876,0.008261243987391531,0.09450124062521982,-0.22233827663428365,0.17958353176216726,-0.18639688467007381,0.16597694418177836,-0.21557278498997726,0.10017676157870416,0.19430736839006532,-0.1636454422774427,0.0472335107611103,0.20844821126838714,-0.13379260452386296,0.06998406231133453,0.5134301860818331,-0.2181195636335239,0.16736559272332865,-0.12100805341063543;-0.19252856469558377,-0.22427527614844786,0.08796209113918071,-0.21118564915508306,-0.22432463999831817,0.003940729947548521,0.12695399761382706,0.009485855991044604,-0.22192738655806452,-0.21111690539621406,-0.12219203466834375,-0.22275897758494073,-0.2027173778043616,0.2225940378792164,-0.24304038781005874,-0.30296722378984314,0.1417308727335497,-0.085375793344094,-0.06460514079593507,0.1336864964543017,0.1661828446724207,-0.2245153825191309,0.20799431680189273,0.05661873176575371,0.018369660434024028,0.2414219143715027,-0.21257206402829165,0.24704114802809346,0.2450100668085081,0.20479861606140223,-0.16245282670298591,-0.0439640248295503,0.23804860809783046,-0.15440036874084925,0.12181713717683389,0.23991249817351326,0.24244031876520322,0.24519382931614617,-0.013432607451123695,-0.09940870581856083,-0.22215347636870153,0.24771278076217967,-0.20015934661167756,0.09296318734837161,0.2101891137854057,-0.13331821114047812,-0.22046380300722435,-0.22247331091741024,0.0030049712127300093,-0.03739952500250846,-0.13814470361669473,-0.22307993944350452,0.09460932312241037,0.0904038717824108,0.21385449961990488,-0.18572034851148686,-0.1927048409436415,0.005052460937394728,0.0087161017277896,-0.04633731425134929,0.23218915583469626,0.03698536885511804,0.2425847470758324,-0.18738176491924155,-0.1669272423269833,-0.12171845320897691,0.22002060671255058,-0.2252454295729649,-0.1960621593247278,0.06028626736630555,-0.011345225912357058,-0.05534822854291097,-0.21758327487566945,-0.1699055161189849,-0.22295331301164728,-0.04286435803993686,-0.2233441047614703,-0.04892522473156123,-0.052901622671579475,-0.3230434777038224,0.05853055918158555,0.24315729522533117,-0.05245523274914411,-0.0021054508717003274,0.46417081041868513,0.20107130259881786,-0.21717241650128336,0.12659212320702895,-0.2232871668667309,0.07638852121045298,0.22423888131459196,-0.3159972470384185,5.876408396424971E-4,0.24331806955382182,-0.1928406643728157,0.032173753857856875,2.1801185776338023,-0.22127014286501784,0.12971886046153625,-0.18744874923564472;0.052645562692253255,0.16836118547076057,-0.0963499972627901,0.09637913509281261,0.14302791568679837,-0.1420015671683652,-0.1010242726242295,-0.07801166495692033,0.14844733839608082,0.09563705984750326,-0.022727043890145095,0.17632672593979512,0.07971152555150117,-0.11345506178151421,0.3760092424628745,0.31186968272977794,-0.10326311490211672,-0.04605388759823738,-0.05064712768806301,-0.10260839326020947,-0.10511131914347707,0.15449749409220007,-0.13513878896157455,-0.0900958083192393,-0.08045539372794207,-0.11712258948363614,0.10060363410376015,-0.1199248936556104,-0.11760314060875057,-0.13510642981267992,0.019208641475290753,-0.058288158979347936,-0.12483321277169757,0.006065807406486458,-0.14338182135432367,-0.12481325930020491,-0.11759647741132136,-0.12454875644272803,-0.14039419231968706,-0.030551617818955153,0.17529161530101858,-0.12107992863647778,0.07140654918708528,-0.09558671988858665,-0.1121661803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k{30}	=[0.7479918264211586;0.9367923732002437;-0.47399955397418797];
x_a_linear{30}	=[-6.5608223191516535,-0.3896653434062434,31.836439192056027];
L_a{30}	=[0.09129720878467246,0.15447748681005358,-0.07718471388942462,0.11744415807561956,0.14279517119905427,-0.07049057710259893,-0.09443429128676542,-0.03906267869942101,0.14448866075536754,0.11693711926479049,0.03264228726192765,0.15748936066073557,0.1073049371529082,-0.1380504235283618,0.2535767900137272,0.23991238754609023,-0.10134934151161674,0.00973834598718796,4.0967762380438114E-4,-0.09794221869930336,-0.11177915341258886,0.14802264802597892,-0.14504413297449115,-0.06281734811670783,-0.04377000963797991,-0.14791874879798977,0.11937597720080025,-0.15193775440983998,-0.14996729868540676,-0.14397014065015606,0.06603347814976526,-0.010262652114086593,-0.15160250979235995,0.05704606147090905,-0.11590656166754676,-0.15209462211286826,-0.14828055128780523,-0.1535222142667921,-0.06276032585562305,0.02194609535675162,0.15706737747957156,-0.15263789098412028,0.10201812521519225,-0.07893532091320586,-0.13217072615397327,0.04404077977488359,0.1388212917696165,0.15150643691827476,-0.03552976623512352,-0.05180490987507634,0.04817135902061186,0.1578898854567632,-0.07964160688297162,-0.07760276840289808,-0.14607466645671827,0.2586846336087966,0.09189489181422261,-0.03674654218754162,-0.038267211392792086,-0.009365563359268678,-0.14251226573063205,-0.05275120259687077,-0.1484693133255642,0.08593561795456973,0.25915418267938023,0.031978412220738564,-0.1368375505581665,0.15096445711427905,0.09374188740460034,-0.06403988226602743,-0.028092627251719113,-0.003267758540343916,0.12868600336971484,0.06869763501026949,0.1444416735848348,-0.011138119082817052,0.15319126214688764,-0.008352877518673139,-0.005551862984871925,0.12290615318045363,-0.06230022358546174,-0.1503582429534926,-0.005888695268865373,-0.06736140579081755,0.15848489158560394,-0.128008892543059,0.1328655169322107,-0.11830998423913698,0.1536623831718371,-0.0714069724679593,-0.13850418686224114,0.11664806694745951,-0.03366850704026629,-0.1485839175520056,0.09536867310435203,-0.04988532202386308,-0.3659780430510394,0.15547775182236862,-0.11929982646014206,0.0862557204098268;0.08222256634839432,0.24061149078433305,-0.14431869512715192,0.14225248652647157,0.2054051985895321,-0.2081946249520781,-0.15723791455699979,-0.10806993018404455,0.21289886381720105,0.14079534040751177,-0.0239578666749983,0.25119176576127417,0.12020764084433648,-0.19285688893910058,0.5200772451407267,0.4190285601690625,-0.1632712908764507,-0.05606907509832575,-0.06337225107233871,-0.1610622228417916,-0.17020694463297995,0.2209460998924774,-0.22850357964557252,-0.1324246976446131,-0.11335243505965287,-0.20372689221151677,0.14667971586737646,-0.21020251175172316,-0.2063036752206253,-0.22846719246386207,0.03626927060895039,-0.07484859746206593,-0.21818616171639868,0.017274867768329767,-0.2269937337960741,-0.2178032415242442,-0.20379730142575284,-0.21681812670828118,-0.20230443325020553,-0.033363811330189494,0.2505273447329046,-0.21163788007746687,0.10685546427886088,-0.14458590083211753,-0.18756736732844717,-7.81256108842391E-4,0.19730698576514363,0.23347233581004626,-0.10391881746356986,-0.19330196464202345,0.006822875907605185,0.2520761489749702,-0.14506527219698082,-0.1431350137395713,-0.22574469908630107,0.5927689022973099,0.08384496599153479,-0.10553311076167517,-0.10644579371269583,-0.07452217510390928,-0.1966893029742739,-0.12176485768908646,-0.20422093630197052,0.07123411769408484,0.6129750761970351,-0.02548216029710015,-0.19178028277374096,0.22906917535011354,0.08604602266095415,-0.1324362738672681,-0.09588758174287325,-0.06518226801563601,0.16968623145445444,0.036834133103311316,0.2117315334979327,-0.07638357353889161,0.23767187920120914,-0.07406249427437944,-0.0696094788568921,0.04683206447445474,-0.12895662823911075,-0.20933296009770883,-0.07017675684644734,-0.20482383269419754,0.9411175188249266,-0.1841604966870017,0.18267497795702728,-0.22945164216332437,0.23914661547321045,-0.13850464706011753,-0.19257760739624394,0.035045120571058644,-0.100734847690021,-0.2038325054286241,0.09416318985655027,-0.11795185053904872,1.0787389998343102,0.2466268359585275,-0.22930375030175418,0.0721304543028515;-0.08637341023539179,-0.06686289029948317,0.021179769456906097,-0.08245400175074971,-0.0744074068534518,-0.03466501482104418,0.042771560332716986,-0.018530618987551983,-0.07156667391920504,-0.08242400503839242,-0.07243170966875753,-0.06348355366825649,-0.08368254039684632,0.09675539641993394,-0.010114116348023098,-0.053446783712688115,0.05106231904481445,-0.060882543097946655,-0.05127094700577109,0.04652898816779591,0.06509567085103685,-0.07089774824358405,0.08572104524049595,0.00555665831662107,-0.013806458170049605,0.10811444468614484,-0.08117109881091583,0.11143191175129143,0.11075323647557056,0.0841180278883043,-0.08134105148270081,-0.04266113844491998,0.10601311303761324,-0.08079867597500887,0.033110005428690976,0.1067824097833724,0.10819147623569607,0.10922071836437527,-0.04482855392617427,-0.06396910863692179,-0.06387610722101594,0.11134298020076111,-0.08393724692906689,0.024608709819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x_a{30}	=[-6.560822319151654,-0.3896653434062419,31.836439192056048];
std_x_a{30}	=[1.2246479333512714,2.3982566105393035,1.2325169159875493];
pred_a{30}	=[-6.560822319151654];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.0 to 3.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{31}	=[-2.3708911392808463,-0.03887059969889675,24.61504403753952];
std_x_f{31}	=[1.671959037066386,2.1401294756859417,1.094119042826992];
pred_f{31}	=[-2.3708911392808463];
obs{31}	=[-2.379890151687933];
sqrt_r{31}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{31}	=[3.7994275982172736];
L_f{31}	=[0.06309181079439526,0.18196255830777738,-0.10696847814474028,0.10822453242409105,0.15603587431574373,-0.1505210851803378,-0.11571687250290359,-0.08133737636532258,0.16140313473593143,0.10762445923869524,-0.017751099172753044,0.18997935862210907,0.09167239877237122,-0.13829526070998532,0.3890466787660733,0.3212682319628371,-0.1194182432633679,-0.042307239273709836,-0.04784477508367328,-0.11821444538356525,-0.12444896176552657,0.16746135574650736,-0.161811665391415,-0.09898779450332414,-0.08532184930995435,-0.14513914314826223,0.11184059009750065,-0.14871693785475457,-0.14640963320369205,-0.16145691491747724,0.027963476334595064,-0.05674180266569013,-0.15404729174592213,0.013773522585953948,-0.1622762204636069,-0.1537807020708722,-0.14546426354745692,-0.15334924854653026,-0.14658682031274448,-0.025229084039013566,0.1893267796024629,-0.14987879380457228,0.08195374137392629,-0.10722324345791695,-0.13486563654471803,-6.382235807711619E-4,0.15003871378767272,0.1766594377492424,-0.0778766232608949,-0.13975526141379413,0.005694150138382092,0.1901479485813155,-0.10750736667430497,-0.10584344712776757,-0.1596391098873076,0.4358708248782277,0.06431870493192589,-0.0800779740616839,-0.0805436826513716,-0.05666796262454459,-0.1405695878884758,-0.09140176882628406,-0.14483169934449744,0.05447381499079107,0.4485157699589732,-0.01898402362122519,-0.13760242418941593,0.17364599674651085,0.06612107563541066,-0.09896832741092752,-0.07237768629653445,-0.049837235999472776,0.12868785996830487,0.02851176691665005,0.16075661065209915,-0.05797725335747285,0.17990421883443952,-0.05639045563301095,-0.05298193819379329,0.04542361182829147,-0.09673504044847078,-0.14840383516989425,-0.05359055321587076,-0.148171413707619,0.619020400615828,-0.13313110741433426,0.13887290694920257,-0.163979847913564,0.18061119552744362,-0.10330126948697582,-0.13804253601948532,0.03606683902482093,-0.07615402460591952,-0.14500904386452254,0.07165238701758245,-0.08846656680548247,0.6301673175869771,0.18656582601411448,-0.16442774009885275,0.05564003115318154;0.034946774168724506,0.19022944234162986,-0.12029151411225616,0.09241714376563903,0.154874736580904,-0.19579717829559914,-0.12025526755090618,-0.10865922108283325,0.16286170709878572,0.09105779613084451,-0.05817801822100044,0.20154259363490828,0.0712079282668286,-0.11973309382504868,0.46853411830372477,0.3672358959529121,-0.12096610422671661,-0.08212131629236613,-0.08508908963449957,-0.12095278644872158,-0.11937499447110918,0.170542972807062,-0.15081236903975068,-0.11857447522894202,-0.11111662377417342,-0.1215085161963582,0.09702740052376885,-0.12495350491753138,-0.12194139934998743,-0.15146831346681822,-0.005938055555063261,-0.09096049165913973,-0.1326132221278488,-0.024142930910075466,-0.17671383597650692,-0.13190440551992713,-0.12124916149336418,-0.13023756502972056,-0.19614641592506174,-0.06376169411024359,0.200992255104686,-0.12587768562020124,0.058610531492805144,-0.11895717639741712,-0.11951698582431029,-0.03721072548658249,0.14769722366960458,0.18383987901015675,-0.10647726294829701,-0.1945723017405472,-0.03150899813058847,0.20209697423046022,-0.1189433175303347,-0.11852311200814562,-0.14602518294346017,0.5396437163998095,0.03585933136533073,-0.10787986303518741,-0.10822575004106962,-0.0911583983836057,-0.11962321504628563,-0.11391902750728747,-0.12106266437456012,0.023875514218355005,0.5591249158918042,-0.059820832515309084,-0.11962791183564189,0.17893483009991712,0.038131488950102814,-0.11763350570233075,-0.10283209418331812,-0.08461392072065398,0.11966635772965244,-0.00699154460920763,0.16120530582346632,-0.09198199158630595,0.1876067886218164,-0.09163729607928911,-0.08788474823950931,-0.016545032842987337,-0.11471743111655602,-0.12445063358979931,-0.08885106126170463,-0.19469050197658053,0.8694013156765147,-0.11943659708489196,0.13290972978913784,-0.1771178717686415,0.18910159190566278,-0.118267652786391,-0.11871073125535751,-0.02722236256806263,-0.10466649982076454,-0.12122068021450103,0.04637611119040374,-0.11208983591016387,1.1830583280217382,0.1967746414866541,-0.17682913932344121,0.02539776819704801;-0.1057823674551339,-0.11702650782783001,0.04782354953971129,-0.11558795825032195,-0.11905816757544237,0.03929066369902099,0.06782044851881597,0.004558834041564622,-0.1178615397526996,-0.11501984753605227,-0.06489327254508552,-0.11563489157047088,-0.11262179667963025,0.119728993404481,-0.05978927368932425,-0.10235947154485162,0.07613100398603953,-0.0454736292850551,-0.03632076721886265,0.0713268252094899,0.08815750311449153,-0.11791351841487031,0.1297598269963933,0.03168969328680521,0.01020632007576106,0.13225522836811196,-0.11536478169751185,0.1377182345642572,0.13514326699759402,0.12928061619427095,-0.0906042492255252,-0.025501219886711786,0.13779403753647435,-0.08467996823373951,0.09490483378864535,0.13870331027710942,0.13255172144739835,0.1393020949091776,0.029858358686105875,-0.0560226995993776,-0.11620001582275534,0.13816374321948485,-0.10941212157993184,0.049703190418928775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k{31}	=[0.7368024592785474;0.910107372132949;-0.14128140001470654];
x_a_linear{31}	=[-2.377521633753466,-0.047060667232502205,24.61631543061114];
L_a{31}	=[-0.04703333817195769,-0.13564845313148996,0.0797422762633431,-0.08067863274034379,-0.1163207704969122,0.11220963564301109,0.08626398145975947,0.06063494264060439,-0.12032192645076996,-0.08023129346284846,0.013232992361509795,-0.1416247735999213,-0.06833943864040312,0.10309559485855839,-0.29002439106894734,-0.2394972851081554,0.08902325909793106,0.0315389694292797,0.03566706134976816,0.08812585843596643,0.09277353162269704,-0.12483817592789202,0.12062647565027836,0.07379287985477648,0.06360526574723707,0.10819753492139138,-0.08337431164480615,0.11086468975846951,0.10914465290181953,0.12036201820647859,-0.020846059454444715,0.04229956882928743,0.11483833283485063,-0.010267810314010228,0.12097278962565461,0.11463959702140829,0.10843990389906669,0.11431795940694855,0.10927674137914875,0.01880763963555601,-0.14113829256017138,0.11173082377977636,-0.061094427057393326,0.079932197316143,0.10053889738646644,4.7577942566193713E-4,-0.11185004005445462,-0.1316951118110268,0.05805503933713689,0.1041839882010369,-0.004244843913787456,-0.14175045312098586,0.0801440039381218,0.07890359429164229,0.11900689085099224,-0.32493059951306746,-0.04794795650586031,0.05969609029676197,0.06004326419005447,0.04224452295911656,0.10479104784925176,0.0681376909077972,0.10796834339543455,-0.040608841777071615,-0.334357084038716,0.01415210613864381,0.10257910287711854,-0.1294486682875622,-0.04929157796387308,0.07377836763316838,0.05395572187303854,0.03715239021998558,-0.09593352227976473,-0.021254796119910428,-0.11983995921146705,0.04322056585647293,-0.13411401347437232,0.042037648564269676,0.03949668561891724,-0.0338621458032641,0.07211350907834645,0.11063127968077227,0.03995039261812182,0.11045801539978269,-0.4614639439084126,0.09924585009346187,-0.10352621541883049,0.1222428005028821,-0.1346410465942509,0.07700846560271943,0.10290719503799482,-0.026886909969600283,0.05677088590971284,0.10810054921863521,-0.05341502973196202,0.0659495725528293,-0.4697736866290215,-0.13908007197396813,0.12257669272043002,-0.0414782262258087;-0.10108115118545338,-0.20208754756705954,0.1103358839147372,-0.14091834673169268,-0.18154350846146897,0.1287310081890998,0.1292339434394086,0.06670671661045725,-0.1851285199583841,-0.14098391773458718,-0.01990609096415319,-0.20805886950424424,-0.1264406422882952,0.1784358311721972,-0.37026273840629886,-0.32542850099274917,0.13650337835785248,0.00909442016224196,0.018065747922445204,0.1339212701039502,0.14894087518451068,-0.1905089689961197,0.1980586629397905,0.09484631824856998,0.07283996271273646,0.19141603425726472,-0.14410442387302771,0.195684883277305,0.19372236756052924,0.19663786535063127,-0.06622818867363155,0.031376616759306045,0.19951757644623627,-0.05383907813735839,0.17315879132717163,0.19965161734299522,0.1923763587507264,0.20038823048572188,0.1198993719568051,-0.009366996649474582,-0.20720222717507358,0.1972657004883764,-0.11808430851483624,0.11221950364521784,0.17125756177162466,-0.03583469540421042,-0.17579095494452845,-0.19704341643965073,0.061427182373305876,0.1067444306227284,-0.04378576464317893,-0.2078679741549965,0.1128459410891963,0.10967868381673929,0.1981617511441435,-0.4001074697536026,-0.1028138162777013,0.06477076374226129,0.06542895908046144,0.031019508587320443,0.1834492307688184,0.08314605638544029,0.1911990275834426,-0.09357174155105606,-0.4078891689467743,-0.018890681429847227,0.1770472358660086,-0.19545139191646774,-0.10442762652975592,0.09574531611264622,0.05321647035919283,0.0228367251402994,-0.15778870956590446,-0.06846380944073674,-0.18539099500606993,0.03301878732066394,-0.2002723567440162,0.029942297103297398,0.026345974305946904,-0.11447976638918125,0.09384635387512356,0.19551269538406846,0.02669185438377817,0.12477171902585607,-0.46522610724036684,0.16759825123626082,-0.1665046186397705,0.17642782981640903,-0.20030181741158026,0.10445312821256655,0.17891331137281946,-0.10498360011785444,0.05952396870569122,0.1914233720978523,-0.10810868533000663,0.07864686025113254,-0.17560219793322152,-0.2054671381539927,0.1776822318783161,-0.09456388624133548;-0.084665940620689,-0.056124799654699534,0.012021881876433677,-0.07936589722765204,-0.06683395524027015,-0.011087783871772453,0.029090749038778483,-0.02266426726584951,-0.06384093957356957,-0.0789986271828004,-0.07083445226702977,-0.05205001144281272,-0.08193962926295521,0.07344245133883016,0.07042216934754843,0.005166957464812356,0.03616247931036404,-0.05963359254244208,-0.052334108407583506,0.031761204009435474,0.046505229029217984,-0.06186527028736216,0.07560249421143835,-0.0014408904421084228,-0.018350358923428522,0.08367808248317325,-0.07793244922553262,0.0879436236010927,0.08614089619104381,0.07524201613125038,-0.08124505197597248,-0.044492339484613605,0.08623539110932024,-0.08007005803657181,0.04059201738277389,0.0872338897145663,0.08386575983763682,0.08797707909052324,-0.019203315516197215,-0.06446671318057039,-0.0528335497324901,0.08800026647726653,-0.08198272683373972,0.013816254429573493,0.06701998084227116,-0.07432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x_a{31}	=[-2.377521633753467,-0.04706066723250405,24.616315430611138];
std_x_a{31}	=[1.2464028819250486,1.6351119224699504,1.0748907412671702];
pred_a{31}	=[-2.377521633753467];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.1 to 3.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{32}	=[-1.2231181776321838,-0.9285576189755581,19.142691791673546];
std_x_f{32}	=[1.622522476212617,2.2080653856992045,1.033920569338194];
pred_f{32}	=[-1.2231181776321838];
obs{32}	=[-1.292125698465082];
sqrt_r{32}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{32}	=[3.6422756941171546];
L_f{32}	=[-0.09847085001172443,-0.20775193459627617,0.11202822870439123,-0.14233819751790272,-0.18548482920406695,0.14045591740130847,0.12853238669532066,0.07213079329688347,-0.18987276344785825,-0.1420339187620423,-0.012492227434102266,-0.21401421596664355,-0.1257726182726388,0.16957395356636262,-0.3704248103087626,-0.3292208593729507,0.13459430635399566,0.016336808763953062,0.025280628519980187,0.13252607121933313,0.14488778719539191,-0.19552277388646927,0.19160616925760976,0.0982889643916652,0.07775128598798284,0.1810788558116822,-0.14557330076848313,0.1852343506080491,0.18310430115122964,0.1905493835006765,-0.06162139956235397,0.0381124820111503,0.19024439199862478,-0.04784835648927742,0.17472309216281176,0.18997725342324093,0.18186973811919954,0.18992841079949158,0.1324338355402339,-0.002265676461142754,-0.21289641077568458,0.18690629806081954,-0.11698374251832766,0.11346128193481554,0.1640317691466591,-0.030307039157935384,-0.18002184568988816,-0.20241363144783658,0.0675623717993,0.12135804445275916,-0.037891051854052706,-0.21402069083484468,0.11359411578989682,0.11115016121935752,0.19087510944806926,-0.39520788224806175,-0.10058762010030399,0.07016666375250713,0.07110137469473983,0.03790655993724963,0.1738768440155861,0.08710201460538011,0.1813180304230726,-0.09077481439705629,-0.4010670360932863,-0.01144198070843775,0.16933889404380645,-0.2012431573553876,-0.10236006578198566,0.09895977437977999,0.05875291595053424,0.029552931716362422,-0.1610033339858923,-0.06320442539072826,-0.18944710472163856,0.0398488109143299,-0.20585194613486987,0.037595480138940734,0.033530316844475806,-0.10454540611997917,0.0966102126088105,0.18531674692070577,0.03385671410235439,0.13661703120458912,-0.43288413879409476,0.16102171791178363,-0.16960028174835082,0.1776397064348228,-0.20627440765365238,0.10676227783886315,0.17012419872118215,-0.09460965711881465,0.06570684303506441,0.18133646354493713,-0.10671912046905614,0.08339782607588933,-0.21093706932483808,-0.21156576513011302,0.17866169648698388,-0.09172223701718416;-0.1569530554413742,-0.29880285870385886,0.15381345465371082,-0.21625782763220833,-0.2721667217309872,0.1879611324967891,0.1800563997071133,0.09277927466666473,-0.2772685021237474,-0.21570120541757798,-0.03444079731698294,-0.3064935548699076,-0.19448036604039032,0.24440969128466059,-0.4719447593213026,-0.44191930693988096,0.18970460533142258,0.00914711206153182,0.02226524255893149,0.1860672879801121,0.20569206080785804,-0.2840594847287006,0.2732993090007204,0.13287836822674767,0.10207113261121736,0.2607001748457928,-0.22022278178609198,0.2675583750004437,0.26443559809121125,0.27104907362647584,-0.1052494148597911,0.041669285212697506,0.27333944196655763,-0.08567084295141508,0.24384715568117438,0.2733058373559082,0.2626360922034481,0.2736013193631838,0.175231316344818,-0.019067221914598764,-0.3056911811717856,0.2698654624750956,-0.182536779681331,0.15684260898716768,0.2354766729467884,-0.05930683804889432,-0.26472041940734875,-0.29283535096674335,0.08573819071789696,0.15725782351132925,-0.0707649214095181,-0.3062797532828678,0.15737864342795876,0.1536031823160692,0.2728534263929111,-0.48421219933509063,-0.16077050162247147,0.09036083348297204,0.09141314586386548,0.0408177779337873,0.25109487501775657,0.1164957807007465,0.26168019143387555,-0.1463607150332959,-0.4854108678424644,-0.03312289986763904,0.24384919819489057,-0.29083742798121476,-0.16246335902852665,0.1342447503682561,0.07345674217852258,0.028751230509156393,-0.23998232236275968,-0.10816024938241973,-0.27682546602241404,0.043930601471082915,-0.29746440386065554,0.040102860920133813,0.03414135620026004,-0.17671263287022915,0.1311880209293704,0.26693785224492284,0.03468800727537705,0.18179733578635623,-0.4128128755176801,0.23054522080032752,-0.2513023485509611,0.24883824873433785,-0.2971264727253067,0.14616182731562033,0.24415210943316087,-0.1626543249235193,0.083129221988254,0.26128324517628904,-0.1684527212531382,0.11008554586326832,-0.026931942081962517,-0.30322010484625567,0.24960526569110508,-0.14762821651279234;-0.05852178916049274,0.013182054129716632,-0.024490965045539024,-0.03719305750238386,-0.006310593941316038,-0.041178923094209376,-0.011993148250799092,-0.04936082968838341,-0.002546571209788209,-0.036739533258464394,-0.0733694648007343,0.019632059202571547,-0.04577185862957676,0.022891161774992102,0.22281006226287542,0.13960346222449085,-0.0066413782599184885,-0.07049489587449584,-0.06623863918718599,-0.009480908202366823,0.0019475181698937053,0.0021213852675935,0.028170896759659704,-0.03506064006698182,-0.04652742259609793,0.032442661455281324,-0.034451911153910754,0.036588223471850555,0.03436664511219804,0.02775755375938889,-0.06789461551581842,-0.06175378276125648,0.035771009659995794,-0.07099493314954855,3.7453093929063803E-4,0.036317855505242407,0.03250751513924305,0.037852444376925275,-0.0470767985103188,-0.07027985077048841,0.018435650606439837,0.0367931725202492,-0.04944143753730085,-0.023581118568713255,0.018102915137490554,-0.07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k{32}	=[0.7254463736462465;0.9749882363613721;-0.17305252570420943];
x_a_linear{32}	=[-1.2731794333747275,-0.9958391400080961,19.154633717446263];
L_a{32}	=[0.07683952192898443,0.16211456824328047,-0.0874187186885401,0.11107042386865536,0.14473893136316854,-0.1096016287452427,-0.10029736866172971,-0.05628564872376962,0.1481629575547636,0.11083298675776747,0.00974802983573601,0.16700119922723652,0.09814384519556328,-0.13232323598400653,0.2890527027173131,0.2569001226277116,-0.10502765187233516,-0.012748062752763144,-0.019727172145952182,-0.10341375091621172,-0.11305993905929317,0.1525718166328048,-0.1495155819478135,-0.07669759155985048,-0.06067147428877702,-0.14130082872606992,0.11359486421964153,-0.1445434760018191,-0.1428813396241233,-0.1486909428557935,0.04808487874739025,-0.02974022156724683,-0.1484529495693816,0.03733739311975007,-0.1363412509402104,-0.1482444939663392,-0.14191797601792797,-0.148206380719036,-0.10334177687022823,0.0017679698722945457,0.16612894498679087,-0.14584814274274757,0.09128564288316236,-0.08853696967460825,-0.12799851652437358,0.02364941908901455,0.140476014555957,0.1579489429664675,-0.05272078334683196,-0.0946990314075301,0.029567433504485024,0.16700625174559208,-0.08864062359776663,-0.08673353839647055,-0.1489451158021482,0.30839161773145823,0.0784912960491497,-0.05475298423292299,-0.05548236497792921,-0.02957953488980603,-0.13568090015560413,-0.06796810589663792,-0.1414874632762399,0.07083409293848494,0.3129636771817607,0.008928493330283518,-0.1321398125512245,0.1570355897285972,0.07987438433171547,-0.07722104310704221,-0.045846521818744816,-0.023060968239990123,0.12563534498763443,0.049320157490683546,0.1478308043030778,-0.031095126930772283,0.160631954809684,-0.029336790737795868,-0.02616463162601041,0.0815796657099461,-0.07538761521236674,-0.14460777211861392,-0.026419328414464503,-0.10660603989777578,0.33779144052902965,-0.12564969047237928,0.132343780591035,-0.1386171655513457,0.16096161319216756,-0.08330955189491006,-0.1327526074643487,0.0738265265508452,-0.05127286304196651,-0.1415018471499604,0.08327587500816358,-0.06507762535638671,0.16460001677747074,0.16509060546549675,-0.13941465259461688,0.0715733929565785;0.07866125950132802,0.19829176109575264,-0.11424002876078972,0.12431927609307303,0.17164869125647958,-0.14811218010504007,-0.12748710413755446,-0.07981035411073847,0.1770460598072031,0.12414784091198562,-0.004550249925099858,0.2055850234807051,0.10645975267829051,-0.16133526670957837,0.4143823913866264,0.34581784813463873,-0.1323434452643535,-0.02994248658426459,-0.038224516281850834,-0.13103203104346842,-0.14098552671719858,0.18377403574433565,-0.18516282779460533,-0.10230074324443922,-0.08396682666090749,-0.1725729263572334,0.12809505573059737,-0.1756577099340866,-0.1736838501888893,-0.18488445848907525,0.04219405538511777,-0.04952365502041783,-0.18186432734293745,0.02881743184272952,-0.17421830896861715,-0.18125874104149112,-0.17252937809219568,-0.18084639174472494,-0.14164730745432152,-0.013646066240504401,0.20371278937077184,-0.17735114397070223,0.09737391825219412,-0.11463978618266558,-0.15700732522858968,0.013209772382399588,0.16602354027100963,0.1914861421753211,-0.07592043155966886,-0.13311940490823224,0.019898195888525733,0.20581431768952488,-0.1144215875050723,-0.11234932127612798,-0.18385948049136455,0.46141419085801055,0.07990867601058545,-0.07752916045831644,-0.07871336048995288,-0.049882446045046526,-0.16494574494493888,-0.09191596245910619,-0.17216519042081255,0.07083905226501439,0.4742349049315946,-0.005745311008751428,-0.1613333254507948,0.190683434807626,0.08245680540430742,-0.10253942936209132,-0.0671232166714628,-0.04196100321351517,0.14525544329134454,0.043070976792742445,0.17647060882158896,-0.05141690780443586,0.19508405349920896,-0.04985303259377229,-0.04608769262162256,0.07343646445585891,-0.09997428809490898,-0.17647538495099316,-0.04632202258104611,-0.14509055248659417,0.6229626844514726,-0.15473653265427087,0.1545056057164096,-0.17620589106216164,0.19643282166222373,-0.10929164903531159,-0.16290943753322482,0.06372119175333851,-0.07408961797211075,-0.17260624219165363,0.08689749109509022,-0.08946306833313322,0.4777838502471945,0.202999987805784,-0.17788422200266044,0.07183847883149391;-0.10034142428252021,-0.07504822010552348,0.023086360094102223,-0.0976427386356029,-0.0850842399194109,0.01847137154377726,0.042593336097834826,-0.018727566581800286,-0.08318373120236544,-0.09705999009287859,-0.07867479519133552,-0.07125774647683689,-0.0991862955302187,0.09490760992691294,0.06549416212172421,-2.1351114273303632E-4,0.05051954581615409,-0.0635568082933943,-0.05550219626793385,0.04680165604774844,0.06347998583344909,-0.08091528051730904,0.10954421774275894,0.0066817499590206214,-0.013507189604316886,0.10934513236374954,-0.09627550992372223,0.11525549356824993,0.11212930342688232,0.10868206786459644,-0.09406463887907225,-0.04556777348936165,0.11656599676985795,-0.09131567588033675,0.07457776936742641,0.11699939139834113,0.10974586625511176,0.11851323727142754,0.009166594122564679,-0.07124206205330237,-0.07197943382076219,0.11617050282644376,-0.09912332234628923,0.024604810672544705,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x_a{32}	=[-1.2731794333747273,-0.9958391400080953,19.15463371744626];
std_x_a{32}	=[1.266099067656727,1.7399541999114276,1.001771048468589];
pred_a{32}	=[-1.2731794333747273];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.2 to 3.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{33}	=[-1.5222834176963358,-2.245285768307315,15.190255701198584];
std_x_f{33}	=[1.995918095433557,3.094536818180545,1.1525647962721692];
pred_f{33}	=[-1.5222834176963358];
obs{33}	=[-1.6386804905936863];
sqrt_r{33}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{33}	=[4.99426273026385];
L_f{33}	=[0.10282843276416097,0.24701077337618982,-0.1376603762824901,0.1593533661743586,0.21613088254736798,-0.17561145374212614,-0.15336107168458069,-0.09641687449788022,0.22232932829558028,0.1586132027481396,-0.00247717594361618,0.255411605475417,0.13682447861497263,-0.1915797637179992,0.47535839864110446,0.4113435133945299,-0.15860526578633116,-0.034849970412600406,-0.04475551732181766,-0.15759764908003351,-0.16877975493724676,0.22972640518683485,-0.21730420942493908,-0.1232433541499866,-0.10167279336015646,-0.2037286794426239,0.1634079571655921,-0.20664012943227766,-0.20489817915642208,-0.21613281837877157,0.05673027150383485,-0.05957663946994741,-0.21355186791753564,0.039328595039244914,-0.2051987254280042,-0.21248451624817297,-0.20440917223576077,-0.21258667196349892,-0.16803381048642138,-0.013994949555742214,0.2535595047111141,-0.20884022094945956,0.12568742434421915,-0.13857668365537162,-0.1869070316961598,0.019463145375958373,0.208680944565607,0.23880570948932373,-0.09165090800292902,-0.15749647062670336,0.028368890812630967,0.2556937049577385,-0.13839029275834522,-0.13594108432804636,-0.2156583120252129,0.5157876455031805,0.1044117021342093,-0.09438172844990021,-0.09511299683054418,-0.05930840058271557,-0.19596840668961152,-0.11147252645406332,-0.20324542369773885,0.0925969876297293,0.5261558150855188,-0.003896556800637544,-0.19181630061291444,0.2381683304055605,0.10715114192096632,-0.124241046753769,-0.08108429354260667,-0.04976244594354673,0.18404001171710352,0.05782065005400479,0.22170186239172723,-0.061180845398372714,0.24323372995829637,-0.05915350969573586,-0.05463802780668366,0.1016670528801065,-0.12174007930702523,-0.208212385672803,-0.05460619029614718,-0.17223864589501248,0.6188843117643933,-0.18439793152548473,0.1954590164924047,-0.20773573921816377,0.2451978000397017,-0.13184686501075032,-0.19298775260291612,0.08935868214696736,-0.0890994326617126,-0.2039155821716946,0.11262880871151887,-0.1076972459600195,0.42227516949886285,0.25223859208843064,-0.20911878084918298,0.09403768892235359;0.15316321048631704,0.38876882824593373,-0.21642535182252096,0.24517546518622058,0.3383028877956573,-0.27620247622543354,-0.237955305396649,-0.15792660768233827,0.34833817785267723,0.2441897469958173,-0.01551851364935376,0.40241580302133256,0.20864626473688958,-0.28789469086910313,0.7489238981926117,0.6506275078550298,-0.24498119906054708,-0.06625291084367214,-0.08052584386323394,-0.2439261493795381,-0.2581561433609805,0.36127371165696937,-0.3241438056095432,-0.19715244477198046,-0.16562017978636526,-0.3038497431625599,0.25179016059809123,-0.30718002690507057,-0.30514512200724364,-0.3232091193430509,0.07895300085027494,-0.10297442044454713,-0.3177262163690277,0.05115823419705595,-0.3118543371054546,-0.31577887060826443,-0.3044841242275688,-0.31540268286769196,-0.26631771550955696,-0.0333331079077225,0.3992420766403883,-0.30998823780083484,0.19086230162788795,-0.21720720459288068,-0.28192360183460646,0.019503312365155245,0.32672316014942754,0.3756098875116038,-0.15117927703295725,-0.2519642732129405,0.03356170832884871,0.40281653877984447,-0.2175245055022624,-0.2137341951054339,-0.3212434239306366,0.8074670831136395,0.1552088507191047,-0.15397385456548457,-0.1563919175515003,-0.10269490342214946,-0.29290578755951385,-0.17918706917341118,-0.30269603439095283,0.13695971835357906,0.8232270310305637,-0.018286168273313367,-0.28788317995176443,0.37430143583922715,0.16021473465900624,-0.1975312675708001,-0.13610786273748246,-0.08770100468473928,0.28612086954365007,0.08049393482589605,0.3472680679136236,-0.10588841930844087,0.3828545310320702,-0.10322049368982457,-0.09592034832741092,0.14850839575692723,-0.19333805722005065,-0.308860210405053,-0.09579910120118011,-0.2718678404479558,0.9456648301140768,-0.2789233647836253,0.3045272698195069,-0.3152215075230167,0.38591623242418394,-0.20883629438777693,-0.28956879681280273,0.12787379459418924,-0.14812420674080812,-0.30377430055753063,0.16911786938387566,-0.17499709960222348,0.6805774511551476,0.39735813032156986,-0.3177608614995236,0.1384556665060344;-0.1272547062755365,-0.10246652439625833,0.03459052931288296,-0.1270529568244236,-0.11441948425558085,0.05034894878011187,0.05694608203454669,-0.015667736992055942,-0.11212705012824488,-0.12654976402064558,-0.09340463933947193,-0.09779644750311178,-0.12809626750368056,0.11829394321944621,0.08545965746782054,0.0033800399599821073,0.06641314378618093,-0.07225729658327176,-0.06270236848411953,0.06292312070964586,0.08176183548805113,-0.10957258010094763,0.1450723862277983,0.01531644611283347,-0.009839744757547817,0.1366477881283675,-0.12615662515671183,0.1427404019663745,0.13915350049765066,0.1436995223915433,-0.11662729482156002,-0.050532910054426276,0.14785232046018487,-0.11178831799131328,0.11069442137980615,0.14780737284072815,0.13664238381917243,0.14892251572781479,0.03965748179019935,-0.08399109462089845,-0.09908107925597548,0.14437930541103636,-0.12751902539570664,0.03649117080203758,0.10999552785680856,-0.101662889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k{33}	=[0.7997702455779357;1.2393395066243449;-0.1351539892311158];
x_a_linear{33}	=[-1.6153743332720027,-2.389541259204435,15.205987229935486];
L_a{33}	=[-0.05942487328454523,-0.1427482994072594,0.07955436251422607,-0.09209080930072733,-0.12490271380203946,0.10148640901563748,0.08862784355121109,0.05571961368573306,-0.12848481500933326,-0.09166306653901654,0.001431567734680358,-0.14760316658321046,-0.07907129463469306,0.11071454535280183,-0.27471110708046653,-0.23771670444450393,0.09165847974393412,0.020139907028328328,0.02586435360473803,0.09107617489418074,0.09753834888396921,-0.1327596089075056,0.12558078307866594,0.07122272027934509,0.058757025654278386,0.11773544179237139,-0.09443397013083846,0.11941797785811388,0.11841129933906935,0.12490383252506929,-0.03278460154347698,0.03442952650402145,0.1234122931717042,-0.022728118224134643,0.11858498597052736,0.12279546729974518,0.11812870070837521,0.12285450340751568,0.09710726525003599,0.008087725171120538,-0.14653283175197412,0.12068941763511402,-0.07263515609779143,0.08008389941427847,0.10801415888549737,-0.011247812658369296,-0.1205973713141383,-0.1380065672942454,0.05296534672446936,0.09101770354917789,-0.016394470833083152,-0.14776619275739153,0.07997618353123484,0.0785607783100763,0.1246296138175102,-0.2980752954395232,-0.06033984961124086,0.054543496411884135,0.05496609869890343,0.03427451041114476,0.1132507558684021,0.06442032209548171,0.11745616678416741,-0.05351208910328842,-0.30406709310735575,0.002251832376508017,0.11085124076504914,-0.1376382239258921,-0.06192298044210798,0.07179928995917942,0.046858867140252926,0.028757873333599512,-0.10635729906200461,-0.03341473472195937,-0.12812220049869164,0.035356602133362454,-0.14056553418887427,0.03418499848254396,0.031575487359380136,-0.058753708212882165,0.0703539730403426,0.12032658966277252,0.03155708836234721,0.0995372527994036,-0.35765518170194255,0.10656414204003416,-0.11295637767836576,0.12005113418409726,-0.14170057643907752,0.07619471614624393,0.11152822653827835,-0.051640662224585056,0.051490841135259896,0.11784345346475639,-0.06508854123277082,0.06223857567631068,-0.24403414273786067,-0.14576947221110734,0.12085039827342822,-0.054344674891612404;-0.09826766404098106,-0.215209401297654,0.12017482641657437,-0.14446731297398674,-0.19016939706232402,0.15319375402404742,0.13703541784558174,0.07782704938049641,-0.19529023253682348,-0.14364322105112895,-0.009461448525256178,-0.22210371558682743,-0.12591001887199882,0.18054644198202585,-0.41339837660418377,-0.355168812517995,0.14283236192946974,0.018960471316758133,0.0289080797866096,0.14142363828589877,0.15453556306329094,-0.20044165641260636,0.2071974386889729,0.1041959613121457,0.08298498381471972,0.19429730295680483,-0.1477666980491197,0.19808594923552775,0.19586152556568143,0.2052678989118097,-0.0597609850868095,0.04269936024684978,0.20443999256844825,-0.04500605401422713,0.18988719098512966,0.20377750409910558,0.1953268283959469,0.2044034778196051,0.14455004533295093,8.866337646613588E-4,-0.22074877900594833,0.2006572906613847,-0.11646222107907338,0.12163348201443802,0.17509200339638048,-0.028086984709125757,-0.18353291376790543,-0.20830573548269607,0.07292088019932265,0.13313811802409378,-0.03580446632391963,-0.22239275519138502,0.12086042752617263,0.11866205754563866,0.2060733554268986,-0.4537107379728262,-0.10009335386372924,0.07680356648091724,0.07617356389334343,0.04232299313111606,0.18626623275803497,0.09337990533639635,0.19426937926265755,-0.08945374485395036,-0.46330251306925985,-0.008758504983174738,0.18113632093189966,-0.20805570010895091,-0.10178580931093996,0.1062566459251891,0.062155344118970605,0.033975607180963735,-0.1638844436772016,-0.06088618950370696,-0.1948260946350718,0.0437078844503933,-0.2118882632903394,0.04141867151333893,0.03767778931404238,-0.10008273151315115,0.10433461737366626,0.20025016704469425,0.03772118897239128,0.1492813709195271,-0.5675997364580228,0.17195711582053436,-0.1733992153934366,0.1927233981626597,-0.2136290065618851,0.11354898060096666,0.1823150791312927,-0.09062152809879202,0.06973721224435481,0.19482975064650357,-0.10627638792483686,0.08833875029849514,-0.3519484009287018,-0.21940289669694826,0.19356578751771172,-0.09148052651658325;-0.0998353546559057,-0.03660074129546571,-0.002116810864491065,-0.08456114924307373,-0.05678786909696894,0.0035218984288387135,0.016052128521443037,-0.0413774372457448,-0.052842610367557136,-0.08425532209676947,-0.09406518191894972,-0.02969057026654158,-0.09161182065889563,0.06720891971590363,0.21221466799665706,0.11306538794235335,0.024120818264750977,-0.08155009203867296,-0.07463649247470802,0.020899477653027524,0.03675646759030716,-0.04831569899513181,0.08712790174543902,-0.01754657407897978,-0.03695094344406383,0.08232323852201372,-0.08258365497204415,0.08763950997257626,0.08451710208635303,0.0860673910406628,-0.10150008515759157,-0.06641910788930958,0.09090840331530896,-0.10130129074506154,0.05597788186670456,0.0911480665757163,0.08213637981671301,0.09223596949226928,-0.005148978931425178,-0.08772286833807644,-0.031469067390356514,0.08869175580432519,-0.09400429032078904,-4.605040731751334E-4,0.0601564951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x_a{33}	=[-1.6153743332720027,-2.3895412592044334,15.205987229935488];
std_x_a{33}	=[1.1534473172366426,1.789343549794324,1.1219000775049153];
pred_a{33}	=[-1.6153743332720027];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.3 to 3.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{34}	=[-2.9865937647390184,-5.067892603938538,12.742857328428613];
std_x_f{34}	=[2.0892860455333566,3.403728778840849,1.7885303891163051];
pred_f{34}	=[-2.9865937647390184];
obs{34}	=[-3.170254856161123];
sqrt_r{34}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{34}	=[5.382065809824];
L_f{34}	=[-0.1301907437707818,-0.27067902928054355,0.14644342463540347,-0.18772129244828223,-0.242442162392448,0.18818280256686534,0.16660227241408312,0.09510502879974847,-0.24885259021820436,-0.1877064077072211,-0.01609040374115355,-0.2784630944737676,-0.16516653006351142,0.21730327323485238,-0.45787501502746525,-0.4122844161945276,0.17354996324721544,0.020503178360825148,0.03269657528151655,0.17174356613390532,0.18703728924650054,-0.2542692931090242,0.2482384188981434,0.12731445412610692,0.10009531384671325,0.23320658500364042,-0.19178419637305283,0.23675651957389468,0.2345853243204319,0.24646036945823457,-0.08125336704382329,0.050651689364534215,0.24507043566039585,-0.062483482586155825,0.22935182797770584,0.2437557867145152,0.23413316824807434,0.24464819122009449,0.17798150926142198,-0.0032317673004461024,-0.2765974578170213,0.23952647039241645,-0.15346007140218101,0.14813268481159908,0.21121220248075873,-0.0406116073766207,-0.23477735381700146,-0.2634235914003753,0.08803210541405487,0.1643499453541465,-0.05033985570952701,-0.2787221994984042,0.14699082271601405,0.14427297247285606,0.24659035956058944,-0.48502127888173774,-0.13228596687756253,0.09290831812310751,0.09244453617110543,0.05016446007412081,0.22252163951938622,0.11340669721608106,0.23209671205967145,-0.11945095591639786,-0.490533629919829,-0.015123056645591814,0.21692577968563762,-0.263170347322259,-0.13415228011905,0.1296511634266665,0.07487391997998999,0.038886432079290156,-0.21128938734161035,-0.08293619549585717,-0.24765047894624584,0.05205263295547524,-0.2663475503208009,0.049465645215801414,0.04372914339390361,-0.13352803151205145,0.1270511540842809,0.23886956974648996,0.04446290066185839,0.18352882157538805,-0.5325003032709046,0.2070164196014942,-0.22225523047451798,0.2330875047624374,-0.2690986510601178,0.13870904213982943,0.21834176373933603,-0.12133035023383801,0.08516846600994729,0.2328730055272202,-0.14031181547710697,0.10786936372920727,-0.3486600231107323,-0.2752689142520628,0.23433430258181168,-0.12162354892698551;-0.24192496819903833,-0.4605467522371986,0.24188362437298092,-0.3352702794630788,-0.41920501277590283,0.31486721525565287,0.2784990970431556,0.14938049959573954,-0.4282227802268661,-0.33438932558697243,-0.047121990858546174,-0.47110737359551763,-0.29896814154337026,0.3695211428337766,-0.6786380552334655,-0.6409801981413309,0.2913498005804764,0.01663575340428395,0.03881959633958375,0.28768583751563664,0.31507818232313184,-0.4364995458737215,0.42402411292891556,0.20786136218530188,0.16057962826935168,0.3982247287495439,-0.3411966891850187,0.4047828019240471,0.40058803314970504,0.42099795476360646,-0.15965356059695088,0.07045102694988814,0.4179088334507833,-0.12822042116927895,0.3901168874147768,0.41614954777693564,0.39932094950336994,0.41783547120156384,0.29646115866293987,-0.024934626848997145,-0.4687359159081567,0.4094147814486136,-0.2799609771030265,0.2454284126660447,0.3584200868685923,-0.08974943499004105,-0.40777726340980514,-0.44936486166738754,0.13772297139411313,0.2716184166625364,-0.10662144114181538,-0.47150413339701513,0.24346925901736124,0.23844748944577457,0.42168538503359165,-0.6954619399579984,-0.2456374156477244,0.14587916093385725,0.1456062991637702,0.06931418960289892,0.3799554236136187,0.18294800210631926,0.39658179945491284,-0.2242906238248934,-0.6965066424382287,-0.04624773401358339,0.3700230447982402,-0.4491757672955163,-0.24989024302970445,0.211836095558463,0.11420729917039388,0.04996838776503828,-0.3717514324967055,-0.1631380431121461,-0.4270178185801466,0.07289856893840872,-0.45458688789958684,0.06780218013460859,0.058345435635014924,-0.2514500226177722,0.2072701403167862,0.40870953615631966,0.059261024925459885,0.3065273713487924,-0.669196152389904,0.3519064416778295,-0.3885575245892156,0.3965523963418343,-0.45807868314279077,0.22826843650347808,0.3723363281909923,-0.23113685167934778,0.1318857299586393,0.39791917800591664,-0.25930742422630115,0.1729252227024563,-0.4551846353396303,-0.46676703096410627,0.39813392659501035,-0.22831504593303337;-0.03629805311405686,0.12860605442961404,-0.09190546661984081,0.019247047897002212,0.08716568503677388,-0.09719885286467694,-0.08329287179540534,-0.10778376101700547,0.09543728209229604,0.019724802828394755,-0.10138961280823032,0.14094963694878315,-0.004701978074313924,-0.05305866297311027,0.5324159952573235,0.3970346458706153,-0.07850151339673492,-0.10896134317985623,-0.10945942777027709,-0.08072452057021266,-0.07143437467425187,0.10406437061051867,-0.040960378477581876,-0.09888815363400978,-0.10641521825789378,-0.04388502565144341,0.024211911373607047,-0.03984656071701189,-0.042303967441052005,-0.042091954995037546,-0.06953606677964766,-0.11051126369553212,-0.03880856698135459,-0.08074194902617675,-0.06312022030091757,-0.03863406652794719,-0.04333215714720407,-0.03755198563701985,-0.1023386478572277,-0.10246184962469333,0.13819515501482557,-0.039354347754029975,-0.014609946751002105,-0.09179779239618834,-0.05754816344125262,-0.08932217106986433,0.077072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k{34}	=[0.8141977383155228;1.3208730495346552;-0.5115985693919585];
x_a_linear{34}	=[-3.1361302099914563,-5.310485589846116,12.836818080053128];
L_a{34}	=[0.070792798561228,0.14718501054378988,-0.07963039122875859,0.1020757333205055,0.131830871134856,-0.10232668505418874,-0.090592009610286,-0.051714514803251004,0.13531661914286405,0.10206763956172461,0.008749352510204724,0.15141769055813398,0.08981130726489667,-0.11816129475298974,0.24897510196368527,0.22418465998611772,-0.09436990090555046,-0.011148852318705126,-0.017779160027088643,-0.09338765052998409,-0.10170379826985208,0.13826201714512873,-0.1349826560262564,-0.06922878112403019,-0.05442804292253764,-0.12680891373031408,0.10428498668821262,-0.12873923377964144,-0.1275586199835785,-0.13401582004248622,0.04418250544510526,-0.027542471439310618,-0.13326002665415554,0.03397615274334446,-0.1247128427675435,-0.13254517031868274,-0.12731275462616892,-0.13303042611006075,-0.09677960788787561,0.001757312731080531,0.1504032279611462,-0.1302454281882501,0.08344577815066102,-0.08054894697171903,-0.11484920103244142,0.02208305488539657,0.1276630383552287,0.1432397780530011,-0.047868526786130565,-0.08936727940881482,0.02737290810105652,0.15155858206304462,-0.07992804558521367,-0.07845018149740865,-0.13408650373984013,0.2637362127236715,0.07193210157957669,-0.050520026685857936,-0.050267839615153374,-0.027277534593492483,-0.12099884481607365,-0.06166626934436438,-0.1262054068336238,0.06495290844197073,0.26673362056800654,0.008223345775075578,-0.11795602804958466,0.1431020735089631,0.07294693207773713,-0.07049939519396674,-0.04071360360276627,-0.021144969859000672,0.11489117123821778,0.04509756385991619,0.13466295653476199,-0.028304251536394303,0.14482971623800284,-0.02689754552465557,-0.023778252968506497,0.07260748931393202,-0.06908560852755909,-0.12988823048160128,-0.024177242397083788,-0.09979602635069826,0.2895535090391731,-0.11256769311893436,0.12085398166142833,-0.12674416240250172,0.1463256606870418,-0.07542472678483572,-0.11872598658101348,0.06597485193409694,-0.04631138807092437,-0.12662752583748557,0.07629625425843982,-0.05865527699000197,0.18958812329921218,0.14968081625774948,-0.12742212386363988,0.06613428228545087;0.08413064700764696,0.21735410967817181,-0.12487594339274416,0.13486745632236818,0.18797815648293445,-0.15642634744406095,-0.13874720521659606,-0.08880485657019395,0.19501495580013614,0.13571113217652522,-0.006824452502188929,0.226288254935933,0.11468242232642256,-0.17470304998412564,0.46808494049194355,0.3915636300060315,-0.14329661433898364,-0.03471333824774152,-0.04306719268849425,-0.14243655438168848,-0.1533465047593062,0.20030402703464623,-0.1976754645331632,-0.11099074252252362,-0.09010362455127413,-0.1858284407867445,0.1391163678279428,-0.1881609850764572,-0.18691811378824583,-0.1962485948778607,0.043841064379867914,-0.05640336575631258,-0.19585670282195528,0.0282660521759747,-0.18428225344666002,-0.19432352193163113,-0.18705279721877502,-0.1948725769060215,-0.1492838214857261,-0.016840841954373395,0.22398732739644128,-0.19046619626197347,0.10437139969632452,-0.12556181505322817,-0.17054935154457218,0.01196012011496763,0.18020981092611843,0.21036515189813762,-0.08274863401629493,-0.139987055351501,0.01945198118753145,0.22654040953314097,-0.12466123737790391,-0.12287629928805555,-0.195886717727602,0.5192473926236746,0.08566557152481541,-0.0868046531841688,-0.0859159983571311,-0.05631996392629756,-0.17733788287547655,-0.10107288415922244,-0.18469175384241962,0.07486777861053805,0.5320080725915577,-0.008372863684356508,-0.17325573601984687,0.20992001029211874,0.08608682383926118,-0.11286817011323681,-0.07331034866633843,-0.04742055992489305,0.15741131118963486,0.04457113391594048,0.19320929534751938,-0.0574644105627053,0.21246602126531278,-0.05608182970583116,-0.05117181834783285,0.08296364767090181,-0.1109225438006425,-0.18952626972381523,-0.05209388410478969,-0.15311054985610045,0.6644218065521719,-0.16655488741551322,0.16806857498097555,-0.18720254322679464,0.2158642077371907,-0.11912079225198517,-0.17448870744045086,0.07272839129359333,-0.08141404679027561,-0.18529855993013455,0.09209586291293577,-0.09722771393491536,0.4180153713636116,0.2226289474608617,-0.18874355009307867,0.0762844971714158;-0.16258542519778713,-0.13395749114932098,0.05014729934874456,-0.16284599513218645,-0.1480075898370932,0.08534186331221648,0.07831434049148071,-0.015530165936436937,-0.14595422351441445,-0.16235380173321645,-0.11699759495336781,-0.12916459241080036,-0.16491649435846212,0.15772943552902918,0.08826896363406363,-0.0028886817351597783,0.08984508444056585,-0.0890728899799005,-0.07774315940245415,0.08586983945223084,0.10999517289936134,-0.14258143460019723,0.1998353698596543,0.024609165562265483,-0.009320956580938842,0.1823295724046466,-0.16182222181934383,0.18981153796717143,0.18524803264580542,0.1969790532823646,-0.14835329986179024,-0.061378210483157475,0.1989141804165459,-0.1413520552894766,0.15935519384142505,0.19781344765613737,0.18378124338567697,0.19976117703006047,0.07030662962651259,-0.10559672225648399,-0.13010937310318288,0.19299065323626646,-0.16346898677065433,0.05189358644331669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x_a{34}	=[-3.136130209991456,-5.310485589846117,12.83681808005313];
std_x_a{34}	=[1.136074669168769,1.8745357920633128,1.3982694155012583];
pred_a{34}	=[-3.136130209991456];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.4 to 3.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{35}	=[-6.516269193879218,-11.285780471350927,13.70296466096336];
std_x_f{35}	=[2.1477069621907883,3.44168729549849,2.669087368707881];
pred_f{35}	=[-6.516269193879218];
obs{35}	=[-6.924469414111114];
sqrt_r{35}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{35}	=[5.620749019575118];
L_f{35}	=[0.09002124267268376,0.2603056642042319,-0.1485577947935409,0.15528444395481186,0.22302579796721414,-0.180041309134587,-0.1610588099128622,-0.11361969614202705,0.2313234669905614,0.15546077129558306,-0.022851116828948186,0.2711225990105188,0.12942081095489238,-0.1905623613702545,0.5506382544677404,0.46834525070289484,-0.16408367400247087,-0.05520389484652267,-0.06470176403131123,-0.16382973593682953,-0.173364086954746,0.2386604273516665,-0.20921596491804573,-0.13564567176090675,-0.11565629721394596,-0.19963002246193523,0.160241388965582,-0.20067252508562766,-0.19963632755200175,-0.2083025935229798,0.03975436825841124,-0.07931282516252267,-0.20629501130793135,0.020189251233613155,-0.20096925633013704,-0.20569352214604514,-0.20003930772476136,-0.2058012567289285,-0.1742593659990772,-0.034449782237352906,0.2683274455070049,-0.20259769934451088,0.11672181488340012,-0.14945403135416177,-0.18703921740876034,-5.942576992571545E-5,0.21340844340583376,0.25082507768208323,-0.10773383744293545,-0.16594822418952176,0.009168193062702008,0.2714916197096696,-0.14846799250836015,-0.14704226395265949,-0.20806325277885176,0.603455606064609,0.09252623178907127,-0.11176697364581653,-0.11110861466834258,-0.07880822501085434,-0.19226828158170406,-0.1263449623196204,-0.19781106792617692,0.07895573983318405,0.6156168058054636,-0.024287892461362547,-0.18908403137741872,0.2502372638668892,0.09379308250483481,-0.137315821676675,-0.09770159745006556,-0.06959429519570899,0.1841986421235895,0.04028173363212185,0.22966047459073965,-0.08046404379477627,0.2542414569948078,-0.07902542142592472,-0.07367150563208132,0.08829393820696581,-0.13595955864021397,-0.202772165923196,-0.07464448735947084,-0.17753792976122407,0.7322302449384057,-0.1841670924046433,0.1980617630587314,-0.20330696127699371,0.25824015403225714,-0.14361149403646986,-0.1901091618121555,0.07545212606901955,-0.10612581698519441,-0.1983809795186832,0.1009738382836802,-0.12222399248322129,0.4749836183624731,0.26638884529600587,-0.20423282295602366,0.0808572184460407;0.09702981703658677,0.40119129197161807,-0.235013376171073,0.21007399830202894,0.33233418877021204,-0.26991689433540905,-0.24503499565088893,-0.20078825595359906,0.3479674041254458,0.21184359258559893,-0.08220873073956865,0.42120989851185725,0.1644147241115019,-0.2637950871249471,0.9535625819740954,0.7950410996119843,-0.2460926155964565,-0.1277641019252817,-0.14037386330844553,-0.24762703182702786,-0.25363077658030153,0.3615835596351326,-0.2763555921259474,-0.2226565223083612,-0.20149828422630722,-0.26806867631563863,0.21896949740222074,-0.2677494140798058,-0.2680777443830287,-0.27572732558851604,0.013334814193901971,-0.15957036200934355,-0.2735556076848103,-0.016956859427760422,-0.27725334501136545,-0.2724451895460753,-0.26935277719584616,-0.2717198541914097,-0.2664368217599442,-0.09854959564731193,0.4163456410667068,-0.2693129506864648,0.14259206432805327,-0.2356980528064744,-0.26200898890099006,-0.04760620373541777,0.3150673899551174,0.38403671144151996,-0.19333724863358284,-0.2602142199892969,-0.03379736172092482,0.4224114424532384,-0.23442029624148578,-0.23348984192291228,-0.2748766817283019,1.0533056075493525,0.10139819256702463,-0.19807453654481547,-0.19654568413880327,-0.15845411658344408,-0.26310061683962255,-0.21379922143865462,-0.2667669691955884,0.07854458417887851,1.0772184702064282,-0.08429089882050217,-0.26196030773806006,0.38316809966624427,0.10274087943031679,-0.2244678554760039,-0.1809506350627512,-0.146475994904746,0.26148837271189046,0.01490085605790926,0.34480795755551497,-0.16096591980873126,0.39044835737408623,-0.15909659411725113,-0.15218395367057014,0.0902776929864384,-0.22273745017612942,-0.2697013191453924,-0.15364369765680444,-0.2683900698024137,1.2958197435866439,-0.25934400815612335,0.28696004387679674,-0.2788639551993356,0.3971263170366886,-0.23085732967398234,-0.2622896086928267,0.06850883911406509,-0.1919995607236422,-0.26689466576129106,0.1156011598198008,-0.2089416514600785,0.8369114871785148,0.41362360584306246,-0.27981370748912593,0.08173189114049684;-0.25656528154072294,-0.3666204031237681,0.1788648093683472,-0.31268699552128215,-0.3523336864598434,0.2505436078813348,0.21799264925209544,0.08157344412530694,-0.3565567171920489,-0.3128050877045868,-0.10553747275822443,-0.3695965075354368,-0.29318810485187,0.32228253533165235,-0.3130870894567558,-0.3631979429642245,0.2322623731207491,-0.047952510130853915,-0.027597354420547268,0.22815078618361379,0.2591952858331936,-0.3589172520679981,0.38290349071874225,0.1414390083895362,0.0885874651615411,0.3546897892330353,-0.31601336231878097,0.3622346529809721,0.3573504028831239,0.37924134617199584,-0.19697934619742452,0.002614858489842285,0.3781149877010806,-0.17186997666581347,0.3381532719423096,0.3763113858390114,0.3564059663420968,0.37752901327070176,0.23028808740814097,-0.08498791803579175,-0.36829722249462815,0.36792032897735477,-0.2807230128631557,0.18075201224207013,0.3092053134248036,-0.140559436943631,-0.3476439030674856,-0.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k{35}	=[0.8220877686377124;1.3073162244397063;-0.85015184108986];
x_a_linear{35}	=[-6.85184560208708,-11.819427242079946,14.049996829726792];
L_a{35}	=[-0.047309220553989395,-0.13679946769972262,0.07807216686017368,-0.08160724946192054,-0.11720763179891228,0.09461782296926456,0.08464187489652115,0.059711009362588156,-0.12156833869713718,-0.08169991546837181,0.01200903802113086,-0.14248413433256965,-0.06801503187423907,0.10014699326173672,-0.28937910489412555,-0.24613133637223317,0.08623154371370781,0.029011521716372352,0.03400297456367288,0.0860980906353254,0.09110871592502287,-0.12542416056333244,0.10995009548703986,0.07128640765229158,0.06078131239808634,0.10491235714429185,-0.08421229242540437,0.10546022768115745,0.10491567068327157,0.10947008779669945,-0.020892270758359515,0.04168158344599668,0.10841503515609849,-0.010610137241759406,0.1056161700284851,0.10809893217222848,0.1051274504510902,0.10815555035468893,0.09157921547055396,0.018104530636504836,-0.14101518623038867,0.10647197214184585,-0.061341278123194905,0.07854316961303634,0.09829546144803113,3.12302604644595E-5,-0.11215338532794776,-0.1318170974786374,0.05661779070577165,0.08721142816557968,-0.004818196847848487,-0.14267806724358878,0.07802497270921856,0.07727570392899265,0.10934430610656344,-0.3171364170749776,-0.04862567741543749,0.05873734076397455,0.05839135076045652,0.04141639892778636,0.10104351227363724,0.06639856894664005,0.10395643475580876,-0.041493922977192906,-0.3235275405882703,0.012764112415378313,0.09937008063971342,-0.13150818135393108,-0.04929145049456448,0.07216412815889024,0.05134550784916923,0.03657416586310166,-0.09680264265685974,-0.02116941917396318,-0.12069437970826993,0.04228658793784966,-0.13361252084320327,0.04153054302088078,0.03871687842796472,-0.046401463390164634,0.071451365868389,0.1065636602546209,0.039228213372578265,0.09330221208245018,-0.3848118635736681,0.09678606220798204,-0.10408818356270937,0.10684471337711615,-0.13571397195026147,0.07547271781353575,0.09990882150124392,-0.03965265494551802,0.05577272133956431,0.10425594265445243,-0.05306518154736644,0.06423285933079509,-0.24962002404640082,-0.13999638597585712,0.10733128513590592,-0.04249321457108267;-0.12135847377031589,-0.23030086926876106,0.1253824807153669,-0.16664046705473523,-0.2087183603597839,0.16685683383342803,0.14568787344072928,0.07484903259925399,-0.21321499104854474,-0.16529863654591798,-0.02677274475292825,-0.2365237567801436,-0.14955549958391842,0.19850233464132094,-0.3822659811056717,-0.34114760176407416,0.1519684647755233,0.0061585576990822255,0.016590284702335773,0.1498180039483688,0.16694425119405723,-0.2173980369874062,0.23119479966433756,0.1064149893894835,0.07907972513806637,0.2162265645057231,-0.16977033792707358,0.21907490054003395,0.2162327923596308,0.22960726011069268,-0.08310785065165972,0.032839693795917384,0.22690865590395048,-0.06593525540049051,0.21029082891493822,0.22655988301062163,0.21593537492453052,0.22754657858114533,0.15631012071456613,-0.014975665337989167,-0.2346070725491733,0.22218176731173822,-0.1405708525064686,0.12687204168013175,0.19174141257124644,-0.04746203895898671,-0.20265380357050686,-0.22445588852922563,0.06802115881229338,0.14237019194736997,-0.056039067715045195,-0.23621744375723427,0.1257577035371327,0.123229391755729,0.2298772719502999,-0.41065594723024534,-0.12306711156890848,0.07306811399511787,0.07299981124575515,0.03273179743714487,0.20333530588675797,0.09270910430585406,0.21311555346808123,-0.11299919548498318,-0.4162457169154408,-0.025369346923859188,0.19675073873723523,-0.22389848517072192,-0.12479775889107121,0.10865537973361367,0.05606991967236327,0.02235725740841984,-0.18537089547870006,-0.082821178180654,-0.21234007798246754,0.034236950914194146,-0.2263322557000424,0.0326162305796219,0.026540464238886407,-0.12392021943007869,0.10709553977999589,0.22221664848579467,0.027441138861885903,0.16231055021596366,-0.4805444447044585,0.18743872155319874,-0.19353065614464715,0.21435140668880492,-0.22935499095717515,0.11753897981583569,0.19890836727654643,-0.11453529981071578,0.06545784703679909,0.21437044188902543,-0.12935773326240815,0.087569349960545,-0.3153816549259879,-0.23262613351842565,0.21564776146889905,-0.11442480711834073;-0.11454669106424667,0.04404092997673222,-0.05550174672979903,-0.06770839715232488,-4.855167743743757E-4,-0.033491717467405445,-0.03609565800234581,-0.0976743491441881,0.008381954512158224,-0.06754831321124764,-0.14158766831773723,0.05812975145206283,-0.08901228362969013,0.02164907198262116,0.5556064148783635,0.37566913314380446,-0.026597995945269813,-0.13504283572678935,-0.12967163218273053,-0.03030896714905183,-0.014305973842543845,0.017596296164570008,0.05284187902925072,-0.0725572277851102,-0.09387329434802728,0.03975107515733736,-0.06321462813967296,0.04565127428180099,0.04240174182183076,0.05062068013330431,-0.13426237876040928,-0.12251000428553689,0.052661507406352705,-0.14001917214627954,0.02110176647833976,0.05180682204911987,0.04082155893442847,0.05285448611269335,-0.044625575209215916,-0.13933630704170136,0.05501936885278073,0.04829977231273051,-0.09658127991830742,-0.05502845738685914,0.014130004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x_a{35}	=[-6.851845602087077,-11.819427242079945,14.049996829726785];
std_x_a{35}	=[1.128692954495889,1.839011641411588,1.8973457735957684];
pred_a{35}	=[-6.851845602087077];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.5 to 3.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{36}	=[-12.871285551238403,-18.690928882492784,25.127790349502337];
std_x_f{36}	=[1.3593117508228,1.61091644045496,3.7243979156782956];
pred_f{36}	=[-12.871285551238403];
obs{36}	=[-13.566049527717565];
sqrt_r{36}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{36}	=[2.8655959722104223];
L_f{36}	=[-0.13366950394714855,-0.18262966440466957,0.08931738652180221,-0.15997162286108504,-0.17738432797781664,0.12973764289218856,0.10947537430558944,0.0383784394694001,-0.1785297323360037,-0.15943383236693706,-0.05884699689605956,-0.18419113552108268,-0.1509570589846234,0.16553413369203032,-0.14418465339984626,-0.17134515275669357,0.11736125729476282,-0.02898069106606148,-0.019245592884593,0.11511468594781298,0.13232342988798615,-0.17978131265141703,0.19882299177317608,0.06951925232286042,0.04181102347864198,0.1834142715006072,-0.1613444932413315,0.18737694386883275,0.18441235054832023,0.19698973221498736,-0.10514775966235554,-0.0028869801123737496,0.19481077465516727,-0.09214092066941121,0.1759194775556269,0.19450484033544269,0.18372696509499759,0.19567229803199376,0.118644529236595,-0.047860608373374726,-0.18312815310049688,0.18973451498911675,-0.14506063092150123,0.09117037798987142,0.1588698387669911,-0.07659895712453528,-0.17545722026527286,-0.18158377465716022,0.03145399320518236,0.10408407899672045,-0.08318168112940767,-0.18360261250483106,0.08955681398346592,0.08759644811621456,0.19695860016503297,-0.12242919898375483,-0.134971237027551,0.03656774359452648,0.03605260016043416,-0.0028687283954295876,0.17056874494664206,0.055959611792000166,0.1809391267699829,-0.12810727525224458,-0.11590362935779852,-0.05729559678500259,0.16375195845449253,-0.18147427174125336,-0.13574954288992244,0.07145130904478587,0.019366220290794437,-0.013528139659138608,-0.16881396544257235,-0.10615083625721485,-0.17866736675714837,-0.0018606750141688165,-0.1809876348439303,-0.003817365838945784,-0.00930489740086366,-0.13918212203398195,0.07023744526007879,0.18957355904562653,-0.007958288124336502,0.12473935615278442,-0.03662178037299297,0.15398586612340043,-0.17225004518367865,0.1803212447176788,-0.1827330877687006,0.08150394012099671,0.1660813041798473,-0.13236467267999721,0.02849643740105745,0.1819801383489384,-0.138766769372796,0.05110006505772016,-0.08601974175550604,-0.18286451493565295,0.18177692450422558,-0.12890960911679897;-0.17545958902413372,-0.08017474003496652,0.016126380629619443,-0.15409753958662742,-0.11172716419462006,0.06617474928824052,0.04596204483651782,-0.051472161047322496,-0.10521772998758089,-0.1535385043058064,-0.1508020258988855,-0.07026186233733137,-0.16614792978171622,0.1291796241425073,0.3221966881792903,0.17749734234672904,0.05735362136980388,-0.12592203582765762,-0.11535976667727084,0.052934673361211396,0.07803979093711588,-0.09907451010569092,0.178870525929618,-0.010782660440876324,-0.046617102086899044,0.15640121653432265,-0.15093483123974158,0.16314648982524352,0.15839953010022764,0.17585946883395398,-0.1742523938488681,-0.09897869137541979,0.17443071324757028,-0.1703457385003638,0.13959438475496558,0.1740738260559046,0.15708863662016714,0.1753743336728796,0.04965087641802094,-0.1416288636295686,-0.07222992103840421,0.16703734366020323,-0.16894882463801467,0.01762325534280221,0.11883850748175238,-0.16156691933240835,-0.1191467899185756,-0.08893158985881061,-0.059601418545349075,0.028755077780855263,-0.16536940614290604,-0.06936960696800208,0.016361646328292626,0.013233601983679573,0.1762409743112965,0.4242087314987555,-0.174170460537839,-0.0536232927724705,-0.05414096486981783,-0.09898350411166067,0.13716814674633773,-0.029578449574592738,0.15369309708787038,-0.17607881812744441,0.4496869807110383,-0.14977690518102987,0.12726461193949432,-0.0894586568922471,-0.17516580761736994,-0.008143991550247018,-0.07318660540123947,-0.11010575265037706,-0.1385072823032127,-0.17553753020223864,-0.10679951753205484,-0.09787130043195996,-0.08474221942376718,-0.10040218720668176,-0.10538530257725705,-0.18862469996752454,-0.01031544580648211,0.16558628382317325,-0.10471789654337724,0.05891720348111955,0.7343737715322286,0.11179023647132992,-0.12962129153105922,0.147054008159724,-0.08251786951702168,0.004679235468513797,0.1300892212987052,-0.18941168241171372,-0.06275407049496884,0.15573807016290747,-0.1732450915262463,-0.03514836508699477,0.3516882339096471,-0.07451314708339456,0.1487445994463994,-0.17663933040386032;0.2051646888261242,0.4825268012266914,-0.26934935045298003,0.3176380168567059,0.4263776475110986,-0.33391146580865066,-0.2960568069094693,-0.19405223539014038,0.4378335430996394,0.3161579019021447,-0.006916397712082645,0.4989476736570722,0.2744462780339601,-0.35990626316744095,0.8573733975440253,0.7618289898812665,-0.3032879579216312,-0.07299550809143851,-0.09112496259698676,-0.3013870248729175,-0.3238047926203689,0.4497078306409553,-0.39859784356382455,-0.24142009530464806,-0.19952687341236655,-0.3800404231357532,0.32499291388964485,-0.38191983453630896,-0.37931072991203274,-0.39667888902905796,0.11461872135346603,-0.12241523176118595,-0.39131608965935427,0.07657547306732405,-0.3803434971147512,-0.39126706196639655,-0.3798040352954267,-0.39210853022084907,-0.3206669697368891,-0.031175109082575758,0.493794307485447,-0.3848947216060942,0.25216625129277986,-0.27200264360692084,-0.3524600149685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k{36}	=[0.6510324519933517;0.40045403677254005;-1.563601858374924];
x_a_linear{36}	=[-13.323599446402284,-18.969149921478007,26.214124594257108];
L_a{36}	=[0.14367285532113228,0.19629702046125305,-0.09600158280292835,0.1719433314864014,0.1906591416683178,-0.13944674773629817,-0.11766812286557665,-0.04125054570052206,0.19189026402441672,0.17136529465992129,0.06325089733611651,0.19797534653542875,0.16225414963593182,-0.17792212089039766,0.15497492124781426,0.18416801600253763,-0.12614415735606777,0.031149503152843185,0.02068586476666229,-0.12372946058105372,-0.1422260458556761,0.1932355081696348,-0.2137021989910029,-0.07472182649054182,-0.044940012117128406,-0.19714034476821865,0.17341894261452998,-0.20139956947567494,-0.1982131165103641,-0.21173174479246065,0.11301664489818036,0.0031030314600707636,-0.20938972178048998,0.09903642022735767,-0.18908466703828106,-0.20906089242182838,-0.19747643924167813,-0.21031571850988276,-0.12752346481657453,0.05144232647955401,0.19683281428228228,-0.20393357285319777,0.15591645381894617,-0.09799324557747179,-0.17075909378018195,0.08233135127855581,0.1885878160525511,0.19517286003618617,-0.03380789844800234,-0.1118733621458024,0.08940670299037859,0.19734278054490548,-0.09625892816625908,-0.09415185547349698,-0.21169828293035428,0.13159136581841366,0.145072005486314,-0.03930434377129099,-0.03875064883048209,0.0030834138493933978,-0.18333350458692105,-0.060147430576219234,-0.19447996898854575,0.13769436916723773,0.12457744571642342,0.06158339594560314,-0.17600657398180047,0.19505516231060369,0.14590855699775138,-0.07679847148199155,-0.020815519499919864,0.014540537629136378,0.1814474036112761,0.1140947881861679,0.19203819851726966,0.001999921329969306,0.19453210723462602,0.004103043953118443,0.010001242905643203,0.14959801818508245,-0.07549376643880734,-0.20376057153801883,0.00855385816905371,-0.13407440695280967,0.03936242447051859,-0.16550962195381544,0.18514062736791562,-0.19381584683588748,0.19640818366287022,-0.08760340579805062,-0.17851023967599,0.1422703751118992,-0.030629009661834388,-0.19559888618023427,0.14915158200453504,-0.05492421260754509,0.09245715400340275,0.19654944637265245,-0.19538046453244953,0.13855674685128255;-0.00486461023782679,0.15290537775452948,-0.09786444905850276,0.05006537568227484,0.11465862145446648,-0.09940221317082065,-0.0937553073328243,-0.10045243608240131,0.12262987175580294,0.04993805876434056,-0.07569886556180148,0.1648110744880257,0.026510197275501992,-0.0820824153782432,0.5062115693730085,0.39617566340358046,-0.09242804615587594,-0.08893558617656859,-0.09079768323320293,-0.09397981967845866,-0.09083726813836153,0.13037041422102283,-0.0748762380082947,-0.09950622883196912,-0.09997819382995575,-0.07768025180211657,0.05498020239930961,-0.07599231760973697,-0.07695573120277335,-0.07554760754468863,-0.040058136375453746,-0.09529419867900307,-0.07419548037384456,-0.052751388683938846,-0.08492189349475673,-0.07416192055072934,-0.07739190521865244,-0.07435137448142187,-0.10176855995716758,-0.08054702200484111,0.16148639024309103,-0.07511030111894106,0.016184018112463096,-0.09873244464746105,-0.08391826181810838,-0.06380791612042651,0.10477953497370053,0.14281371681804975,-0.0997444066251455,-0.1040816630172434,-0.059209237154088976,0.16495223055266708,-0.0979347513580432,-0.09856088940644289,-0.07512636995759205,0.5804583320936403,-0.0019141519741393991,-0.10029267702662253,-0.10015290011267057,-0.09532230506991435,-0.08051928805767326,-0.10099660034681976,-0.07722948122245746,-0.012582603518394563,0.5976083584949153,-0.07665371081389144,-0.08172293610890467,0.14214689728262483,-0.0019161904218602797,-0.09933333684450785,-0.09790263891764497,-0.09284053784804296,0.07694062468456744,-0.04006310166984614,0.12122373939416513,-0.09549662404581981,0.14624226705260968,-0.09553029477733549,-0.09350997778113328,-0.010994272273199233,-0.09995560403498228,-0.07635594180684309,-0.09456117452633998,-0.10028072266002683,0.7811121199315592,-0.08473338925484276,0.09021189357351453,-0.08308000153552943,0.1506942417793845,-0.0993397256659522,-0.08187114158680074,-0.020481987446818912,-0.09912249403487251,-0.07651309352392094,0.0038552445889867945,-0.10036454571969479,0.461470462366082,0.1588666974213813,-0.08324721367426273,-0.01211914155565022;-0.4609357905435245,-0.4275514396199819,0.1757361194664726,-0.4795309074436415,-0.4575620875043346,0.3125958045179005,0.24947973770849627,-0.0028051956903883332,-0.45181395897956644,-0.4783311104109929,-0.30016213951889015,-0.4189116737879772,-0.47780136547975705,0.4649817071499886,0.13887393497881637,-0.09201639009430618,0.28154543664513176,-0.21741178586261875,-0.1870294005400588,0.2722512787647058,0.33558794452237967,-0.4461765334258283,0.5921748175076508,0.10500751855098621,0.008825383158218444,0.5339476636165932,-0.47901728378563896,0.5518149998743777,0.5396509739519115,0.5849582921127439,-0.4093524990636632,-0.13680160097778074,0.5794629328728655,-0.3825802027981497,0.49629661053907137,0.5779874318512954,0.5357422629185378,0.5829636266265795,0.2705612122000288,-0.26967359407009356,-0.4187679970365313,0.5605883366477082,-0.47069837333154835,0.182316634089934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x_a{36}	=[-13.323599446402282,-18.969149921477996,26.214124594257072];
std_x_a{36}	=[1.461037818988969,1.6539090769323053,3.92067774222214];
pred_a{36}	=[-13.323599446402282];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.6 to 3.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{37}	=[-13.787947704545157,-8.132500163450864,39.043986044615934];
std_x_f{37}	=[1.3267103796597264,3.710715055775123,1.7449154243904201];
pred_f{37}	=[-13.787947704545157];
obs{37}	=[-14.334935202261772];
sqrt_r{37}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{37}	=[2.7829209582983943];
L_f{37}	=[-0.15086592326147932,-0.08039904688313072,0.0210448900274957,-0.13554357828724622,-0.10423085706295153,0.06657874528827201,0.04644550394115884,-0.03862669650159915,-0.09972565156188855,-0.13513537605823972,-0.12593596064595602,-0.07309155927861462,-0.14375082985226395,0.1223751380926219,0.22317688198422472,0.11306913166672414,0.057435519914796035,-0.10426323788553815,-0.09536235711489693,0.054044319218203955,0.07625796029865549,-0.09506466904328699,0.16863656765412785,-0.0029574269469946225,-0.03542278397922888,0.1470630553975579,-0.13397248659044414,0.15362506080551241,0.14992985610901693,0.16538500367242517,-0.14745568955406765,-0.08038579224010273,0.16358341345775002,-0.14347466843926446,0.13279701775308395,0.16325145576966713,0.14810016512900318,0.16457799593981995,0.05123423737699621,-0.11773229599135267,-0.07412123034680569,0.15664968213312522,-0.14562474731851513,0.022623982644989105,0.11292949572330412,-0.13556526557047677,-0.1096463868819502,-0.08771283998365029,-0.045905104049609895,0.03249866915163885,-0.13908056687130987,-0.07243943962990708,0.02065189454860172,0.018613093486073467,0.16479440074486315,0.30070187642740487,-0.14973223715639858,-0.04047381246863572,-0.041023804619226924,-0.08019494610807597,0.1299813628869227,-0.019688139328023997,0.1448895226013617,-0.1509440447696597,0.3210079795844614,-0.12501963505301034,0.12068170530030778,-0.08768245800949348,-0.15010623658903577,-5.448056270704662E-4,-0.05808414814930214,-0.09007617131493653,-0.12465466966231777,-0.14890038953808118,-0.1011572216933886,-0.07990387294643297,-0.08312834075311268,-0.08224570438216842,-0.08656921904021721,-0.16102252826755964,-0.0026582135987119854,0.15500850920499915,-0.08462536410804693,0.059684009077026756,0.5418552570383728,0.10623513368101033,-0.11768447618212277,0.13854877042891564,-0.08195904632621265,0.011215987196325878,0.12325718305978701,-0.16084922721401732,-0.048926930501489795,0.14633899402308975,-0.14884946809708066,-0.024591243408022836,0.2554787327011424,-0.07707669026691041,0.14050599090197124,-0.15089863903326237;-0.42007716375789556,-0.46645072102647944,0.20722983711828338,-0.46623196171935277,-0.47730678934738335,0.32865350890392947,0.2699369087528553,0.05108839677478048,-0.4752225476815893,-0.4648814254506646,-0.23126455079879585,-0.4631551736157828,-0.45312094413208814,0.4484589904056339,-0.05858059807721506,-0.2405126857916806,0.2958308510555844,-0.14827707190707776,-0.11969779492771725,0.28883572536284724,0.3419176898495181,-0.4744531887583093,0.5540847634934443,0.14570176785326497,0.061490148235258876,0.5056469874974127,-0.4683534479007164,0.5193117522742634,0.5101876878257876,0.5482996700857831,-0.35236986372505696,-0.0715548682292957,0.5430921570077067,-0.31991921781182414,0.47829870643740774,0.5414948387352082,0.5072531577628706,0.5455912746636911,0.29251284877723926,-0.20078705087039328,-0.46202684415444717,0.5271732492320412,-0.4412386859978926,0.21321074567417078,0.42796599173471783,-0.2793062336749075,-0.4778548036620532,-0.4708742824098757,0.030541924501090487,0.2468178434471659,-0.2958474104049829,-0.46082620078776954,0.20746395455421754,0.20190702639079644,0.547981596113098,0.07770017030305494,-0.42207277795170206,0.04586670086331235,0.044687308084002265,-0.07090316102404272,0.4660363099788755,0.10327331639200821,0.4988164925810105,-0.40818648529239293,0.11387920676596935,-0.22692597890223468,0.44354770057622206,-0.4709962266736328,-0.42336752862239463,0.1514077171519454,-0.00563553916321357,-0.10282682800773854,-0.4764746735762026,-0.35665548824506993,-0.4771330911921419,-0.06863606626375636,-0.46540613376259576,-0.07465627077601816,-0.09075920776900041,-0.4414926564027858,0.14760410498216914,0.5253879882356658,-0.08544112647841275,0.31174082350731674,0.539056613792522,0.4122640125574001,-0.4783852435486595,0.49158280891060785,-0.46792471991726137,0.1835288028922145,0.45019131254969813,-0.4256738354480904,0.021672208004790534,0.5023137878167594,-0.4298271530745683,0.08975021276076019,0.09630869051114482,-0.46251899247714096,0.49694664203910405,-0.4094522205863096;-0.00288445739956189,-0.21231785280553303,0.11435808302004812,-0.07881586395602444,-0.16382631001823392,0.1123274793044925,0.10857994676369218,0.12093910858833858,-0.17427477293185228,-0.07856652783837396,0.09390894949298019,-0.22670279915153074,-0.04720033289699505,0.09241054745183641,-0.5407544082418496,-0.4648764872492771,0.10595803991180955,0.11016066292780512,0.11224086563024015,0.10835760256685902,0.10317432293376869,-0.18405674506844527,0.08313307972443212,0.11744458828818607,0.12036675122649067,0.08681788419381598,-0.08528643123654236,0.08469361440226358,0.0863516330383202,0.08396218665413772,0.04522739232284811,0.1173238790721891,0.08284688760213471,0.06304461838060708,0.09412136546852663,0.08341089074040145,0.086536748130891,0.08307094643144176,0.11601827176353609,0.0999736465151714,-0.22276425002191466,0.08412081368346913,-0.03239398511654876,0.11522391718762756,0.09507625148068678,0.077652108543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k{37}	=[0.6406653243175662;1.4602533930386998;-0.1891252555052795];
x_a_linear{37}	=[-14.138383627167427,-8.931240512941297,39.14743519487978];
L_a{37}	=[0.1705030669650338,0.09086401871468595,-0.02378415361175246,0.15318632137580582,0.11779784604390461,-0.07524482680332785,-0.05249098469359998,0.04365445872647763,0.11270623000077988,0.15272498636732335,0.14232814851175785,0.08260536744709912,0.1624618524761174,-0.13830383902465468,-0.25222622863648114,-0.1277865359617105,-0.06491149284408632,0.11783444164775288,0.10777499656382848,-0.06107888368382706,-0.08618391635653345,0.10743856055421727,-0.19058678968643353,0.003342374168311436,0.04003351570937884,-0.1662052068516033,0.15141073185236,-0.1736213418097821,-0.16944515861217493,-0.186911992758618,0.1666489474023711,0.09084903880909122,-0.18487590236540252,0.1621497450970893,-0.15008226060080798,-0.18450073610719675,-0.16737730977695517,-0.18599994257194186,-0.05790303348524874,0.13305667120446532,0.08376906347133288,-0.17703965657309673,0.1645796844445827,-0.02556878547880312,-0.12762872460115285,0.15321083153837278,0.12391827684377128,0.09912979621982101,0.051880244793530136,-0.03672878966201359,0.15718369459545561,0.08186836602405356,-0.023340004707836648,-0.021035827418641073,-0.1862445152505705,-0.3398420999562066,0.1692218170067055,0.04574200063528877,0.04636358135050408,0.09063335159407594,-0.14690011197627423,0.022250804328058073,-0.1637487607576882,0.1705913569940392,-0.3627913040676335,0.14129255133674176,-0.1363899841358453,0.09909545964027945,0.16964449728419453,6.157190988340573E-4,0.06564454840038798,0.1018007455735759,0.14088008099815288,0.1682816937031492,0.11432413742957166,0.09030439151019194,0.09394856534669194,0.09295104247998028,0.09783731827592633,0.18198168497267792,0.003004214347616522,-0.17518486384312754,0.09564044557926242,-0.06745265184083013,-0.6123847001290232,-0.12006300508736231,0.13300262703094287,-0.1565826779942967,0.09262707218467402,-0.01267589243927287,-0.1393006935087655,0.18178582655416659,0.0552954008920256,-0.16538689956027552,0.1682241441805187,0.02779211057678339,-0.28873258140864094,0.08710921457886113,-0.15879465592919678,0.17054004111603177;0.3124116109320124,-0.0760948469859842,0.10505205318621001,0.19186330214372765,0.02875800729058786,0.005398379433285295,0.04443329908249822,0.23862989706267004,0.00896843951115423,0.19123192265512157,0.38018351851154014,-0.10827883349373651,0.24482241473129504,-0.14570046599203318,-1.1421557175586787,-0.7894893394940841,0.016968184811532346,0.3579449410760233,0.34330839364387733,0.026438118883609495,-0.02833225587680177,-0.01289234427833777,-0.26468457910218346,0.16006075624379995,0.23347591594291991,-0.20837798859747692,0.18211380423488205,-0.2265732701244579,-0.2177562654312092,-0.2546825811290081,0.3635614415526312,0.3187366514691392,-0.25114295913302664,0.3766833138412015,-0.16646137399400288,-0.25112854643980254,-0.21180722473780275,-0.2534727683007397,0.043758836292897174,0.37083033871512133,-0.10215121404850114,-0.23339700573788275,0.26580297338989195,0.10336610370348633,-0.12033269732936827,0.37889432693893393,0.054503636468489505,-0.045008259816816804,0.2534217683411935,0.08902932612454827,0.3794207469652856,-0.10911605162592551,0.10719425410826575,0.1115361742721732,-0.2521331419788754,-1.3822766372462025,0.3049116898142735,0.242376374229357,0.24386731990532154,0.3184617567859041,-0.16505311813902604,0.19886376346277365,-0.20465548161513597,0.3246815872970464,-1.4446884044497974,0.3800731187895695,-0.14238974992212833,-0.04527771555660211,0.3054327924537567,0.1540528738420041,0.27637636642164887,0.3345137120483513,0.12875243315798007,0.3662901679092605,0.014008498421850204,0.31931562436467964,-0.06179890991842952,0.3246655503749947,0.3295542719737225,0.3403087728288564,0.16051034371183787,-0.22721399450160965,0.32543449024886556,0.021961224958469708,-2.0917753508216115,-0.10353200828523772,0.09299996985875288,-0.1811033543548781,-0.06999468959364534,0.1290726040318843,-0.14825067513968138,0.3552861772885773,0.25922371465125654,-0.20819570368413604,0.2928712677656659,0.20914635844187762,-1.1440993475005221,-0.08829392434886224,-0.185242277018501,0.32319539670415537;-0.09775301057559709,-0.26287493746483875,0.12759167630272067,-0.16404931420394397,-0.22936947836329552,0.15419398634085588,0.13778612974507226,0.09664960217193456,-0.2369849467980632,-0.16354328953773434,0.014717027811575344,-0.2726647389205559,-0.1375947238311383,0.1693633280704462,-0.4004147779365597,-0.3937755739469312,0.14207504073900248,0.04459713264995469,0.052274448752475486,0.1423421251202289,0.15112738088940897,-0.24383596767436289,0.18917629240004408,0.11558487862334015,0.09809195123900574,0.1792950917009916,-0.1695319367388203,0.18129718752950733,0.18063156199418742,0.18796072838064,-0.047496714109878754,0.0667751292891747,0.1857125409109777,-0.02717611482402455,0.17762770452756058,0.1860678001201769,0.17966611815150857,0.186562019974679,0.14823573922044445,0.025940409974178773,-0.26937367467271317,0.18262635011066003,-0.1239667457908656,0.12945048641022,0.16608935794344126,-0.007594979251988985,-0.22009043668468697,-0.25501325631393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x_a{37}	=[-14.138383627167425,-8.9312405129413,39.147435194879776];
std_x_a{37}	=[1.4993988292125173,4.051722311438183,1.7544975953194004];
pred_a{37}	=[-14.138383627167425];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.7 to 3.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{38}	=[-6.220639543425039,1.5396032391301209,32.879326210122414];
std_x_f{38}	=[1.5162924013464194,1.5334690778819857,2.584567934985329];
pred_f{38}	=[-6.220639543425039];
obs{38}	=[-5.7244932624309];
sqrt_r{38}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{38}	=[3.30968028487591];
L_f{38}	=[0.10265300041898387,-0.11592809799553588,0.05918917264078597,0.03030859933976495,-0.0610416877757444,0.02631024516358724,0.03706974000336463,0.11001922718060862,-0.0722898208802372,0.030025548119665815,0.15869651515698208,-0.13146260131437185,0.061432469279539936,-0.026838910767782807,-0.4964508362158244,-0.411156878261975,0.02739419099130866,0.15355835798898515,0.14871289390156558,0.03141802735505467,0.011799458635531907,-0.08362883812471439,-0.06186001681423413,0.07978596652889365,0.10774541498514743,-0.04592850683400673,0.024228106457280667,-0.052182668566308,-0.04883510698071369,-0.05886844202349645,0.1383524864717331,0.1400684808243143,-0.05849693311805563,0.14852105999736714,-0.031407819937165966,-0.058271541388709935,-0.04709604763084342,-0.059155596611172145,0.03957294496369039,0.15670234497110203,-0.12852110196034308,-0.0534198473210741,0.07466683215997666,0.059263527006084483,-0.01863098273222527,0.15398168314003927,-0.047237070930004794,-0.10029559809316947,0.11555217001766725,0.055571130928636206,0.15254888175515124,-0.1328857340761713,0.060326092158320584,0.06177736227087137,-0.058493509777701264,-0.5330742157251966,0.09795882248688934,0.11150275044168587,0.1120175416623845,0.13986879996965917,-0.033137914220329114,0.09539991589903048,-0.045549530936857006,0.11131877161242439,-0.5382856777785342,0.15923643843753246,-0.025937594671016653,-0.10034966101594853,0.09876848025500877,0.07771403241157608,0.12412743948636623,0.14593906083477157,-0.006347636410198479,0.13957572602663612,-0.06935984093502935,0.14034577289491193,-0.1076862221066851,0.14261309845353334,0.1435591208375703,0.11691645097895272,0.0802127218173448,-0.05135418881608933,0.14269751763051927,0.031961852489158275,-0.5317811120416105,-0.013009037772641275,-0.02583161007303756,-0.03642718226759282,-0.11262189004641102,0.06902138038065055,-0.027516513724053275,0.12695081772380512,0.1178425034237983,-0.046382734629119,0.09079513419718513,0.09888130579618526,-0.4579151414870453,-0.12248771490219157,-0.03740653785468474,0.11036876658628754;-0.07906392301246076,-0.279793531621268,0.07256735918096217,-0.16038919664643086,-0.24215138150657062,0.09069585374228059,0.0781579893535369,0.06368108900392504,-0.250268923056988,-0.1603139903986634,0.027180870908345953,-0.28993075544501506,-0.12755875659791444,0.10494229857225114,-0.11601065860606977,-0.2807961686871967,0.08022549528087053,0.0458477480629929,0.04839251468711042,0.08051819813498239,0.08649036889280771,-0.25912446863146876,0.134298440292407,0.06776545553379863,0.06413944905895384,0.11912479028904752,-0.16703405189599602,0.12183223496535305,0.1208157834548634,0.13169814851218783,-0.02590443149355336,0.05373817902176388,0.12935836324095648,-0.007040230212135394,0.11487577310741581,0.12951199908871938,0.11996824998184756,0.13030597723398565,0.08669339096220571,0.034410333411824805,-0.28645299041329275,0.12476355362698757,-0.11160240402646637,0.07398701220970043,0.10135073076081946,0.009193141099521051,-0.2310696955129929,-0.27073024682450486,0.06235812491817573,0.08231297998200011,0.0029466390786852714,-0.2902649531217329,0.07346919507930705,0.07311518117014755,0.13118486643200178,0.046724860263175794,-0.0834138418228009,0.06304410246465218,0.06322203933796762,0.054006057137311735,0.10989026878648743,0.06738438665281929,0.11703544983592405,-0.06762976419234226,0.09604684146969462,0.028916979944776426,0.10426134749586657,-0.2703603467923976,-0.08376006121581626,0.06937470447458492,0.058670413846571054,0.05092801964381026,-0.1967590383889413,-0.025726547034311542,-0.24884475407731566,0.05550582849660518,-0.2727163374876588,0.05492865928720622,0.05269622163482035,-0.07166110102373287,0.06850469197776364,0.12447636233288606,0.0529658146279596,0.08863789005598405,0.7175218840034653,0.09800051369219687,-0.21373176208316533,0.1175350198583143,-0.27847258936145924,0.07181170514964284,0.10568271947655904,-0.05708204753911991,0.062002895835976714,0.11778011986949566,-0.09321269541632636,0.06578739301691545,-0.021267611021756852,-0.2841101410699704,0.1181006742779654,-0.06911224704230685;-0.22965016065900945,-0.046313486652501124,-0.03036583360788484,-0.18804844567226348,-0.10721564996287643,0.03241349252238534,0.0054168519752583215,-0.11174782896720309,-0.09713107027911841,-0.18744154173038835,-0.21590585230884066,-0.026497678391529434,-0.20827767997025345,0.12113847884680438,0.7380240019450672,0.4728312310868024,0.022791095489450054,-0.19224247628617452,-0.18191607061472342,0.017464568518648655,0.04988546118666395,-0.08472219315854339,0.1946679334466505,-0.06378351645521795,-0.10858785651652843,0.1604198070309542,-0.1839360621874152,0.17145608952105904,0.1659066648788678,0.18836139692306714,-0.23477288336165175,-0.16372118791913604,0.18600358256586844,-0.23206518450528593,0.1357061749061959,0.18570529035481637,0.16169558598232936,0.1875138991615468,0.009699046430420619,-0.20653892379699465,-0.030252861488056507,0.1748872753935652,-0.21485658564630444,-0.029091386803167217,0.106077032153704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k{38}	=[0.6978560120838099;0.028336554935904985;-1.0606589941363347];
x_a_linear{38}	=[-5.874400878360256,1.5536623154777562,32.35308419477869];
L_a{38}	=[-0.0896992894477198,0.10129921166242059,-0.0517201319708824,-0.026483978196800657,0.05333887950498955,-0.022990173562746,-0.03239193520639248,-0.09613597716002856,0.0631676184894158,-0.026236645013975372,-0.1386707119062255,0.11487342677484245,-0.05368034856168255,0.023452127220780623,0.43380404929742694,0.3592732767781944,-0.023937337017779826,-0.13418093522986063,-0.12994691689710855,-0.027453408259815917,-0.010310493128842284,0.07307577300719585,0.054053944169318614,-0.06971783071445224,-0.09414909574947103,0.04013282039092992,-0.021170778496600755,0.045597773789162986,0.04267263867976809,0.05143987412788154,-0.12089388209976448,-0.12239333631439603,0.05111524567371527,-0.12977929038031566,0.027444488908915605,0.05091829597047065,0.04115303002386837,0.05169079287717315,-0.034579262467814696,-0.13692818467388765,0.11230311318546471,0.0466788338143877,-0.06524467636333649,-0.051785103610361045,0.016279951934890485,-0.13455084127352152,0.041276257690655536,0.08763936608741948,-0.10097072177551297,-0.048558648434625075,-0.13329884410227863,0.11611697539984263,-0.052713584402529524,-0.05398171974549258,0.05111225432230742,0.46580594993117963,-0.08559746657521268,-0.097432295649061,-0.09788212572243565,-0.12221885304838577,0.028956263793662142,-0.0833614666360275,0.03980166719956303,-0.0972715329807432,0.47035978120021393,-0.13914250264223882,0.02266454757753857,0.08768660684744566,-0.08630495419076913,-0.06790735252728458,-0.10846388393371098,-0.12752311190239365,0.005546632571316334,-0.12196276190309516,0.06060737068264415,-0.12263563709080379,0.09409737237931358,-0.12461685040872814,-0.12544349488383771,-0.1021628450679145,-0.07009073404884936,0.0448738393243823,-0.12469061678828343,-0.027928608477187176,0.46467602210513925,0.011367436313032239,0.022571937102517682,0.03183046138592343,0.09841021180277237,-0.06031162023102621,0.024044223929664616,-0.11093098202832853,-0.10297203959661716,0.04052972949541475,-0.07933775914543778,-0.086403542355107,0.40013114717632653,0.1070310750582753,0.03268623277029839,-0.09644140843038017;-0.08687441849358356,-0.27097298198478764,0.06806386913629316,-0.1626952683366513,-0.23750694028627828,0.08869400235831075,0.07533748692690584,0.055310123973936254,-0.24476865207599657,-0.1625985257454117,0.015106227113771532,-0.27992824164306446,-0.13223293096927843,0.10698437420973328,-0.07823751026128709,-0.24951272907422406,0.07814117037976395,0.0341640480613731,0.03707748852068524,0.07812771408014865,0.08559259076672898,-0.25276145284431545,0.13900514520914378,0.06169482994577447,0.05594149017398811,0.12261932423951766,-0.16887748087740315,0.12580262545921592,0.12453147009661937,0.13617723532434742,-0.036431171734744715,0.04308087497745135,0.13380918328433872,-0.018340660430699995,0.11726548051674524,0.13394566989071194,0.12355161788827065,0.13480691260001354,0.08368242872484197,0.02248741881329764,-0.2766742846570749,0.12882807657712578,-0.1172835331975082,0.06947786481033405,0.10276829484413892,-0.002522768181573396,-0.22747559765385195,-0.2630991175590583,0.05356617828170887,0.07808477364387592,-0.00866025352782248,-0.28015415829575285,0.06887920094106238,0.06841476513863431,0.13563542600579928,0.0872845490791956,-0.09086717428504862,0.05456026151599056,0.054699029787447645,0.04336394608693611,0.112411612811653,0.06012575213665679,0.1205011488812273,-0.07609960685738115,0.1370030515822328,0.016801255340818187,0.10623484525182428,-0.2627251040747157,-0.09127499760891156,0.06346172485886041,0.04922600597505669,0.039824044401811275,-0.1962760696954273,-0.03634635914848204,-0.24356741467190796,0.0448274263016736,-0.2645228823747007,0.044077744491984344,0.041773327418389586,-0.08055685086360911,0.06240159612351851,0.12838371679936705,0.042108476682925666,0.08620602831384319,0.7579831852376696,0.0989903243194773,-0.2117663283118965,0.12030663239111747,-0.26990359712847317,0.06656011798352415,0.10777635147192992,-0.06674127604787812,0.053036686015327766,0.12130921436984395,-0.1001209687494057,0.05826387213650886,0.013573495704051301,-0.2747904939107853,0.12094680243482377,-0.07750980726130535;0.06270267826062793,-0.3764734276305256,0.13820325433119637,-0.10173041283842266,-0.2810606485585989,0.10734432586239102,0.11099042200012682,0.20158381521966479,-0.30301043350346935,-0.10192963075774925,0.23605732990143724,-0.40089944501450925,-0.033319746715381585,0.044702020833434664,-0.6758539242658766,-0.6981319176824424,0.10080897585853452,0.24508737977924624,0.24161404091270597,0.10694222093032076,0.08348998531876771,-0.3228947564691194,0.01849235691753712,0.16344465734841454,0.1982680349129922,0.029616719878533815,-0.11493510093423336,0.022841326820548805,0.026825662799209712,0.02070574070162007,0.15925108112562297,0.23518987990169452,0.019405973189094684,0.19091858949411664,0.0462575929316823,0.01974959024201182,0.02756737569549919,0.019040434804213323,0.12240167331248772,0.23974491818210258,-0.39627732122939985,0.02274906262602644,-0.0022075615943164435,0.1396894602631916,0.05301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x_a{38}	=[-5.874400878360259,1.5536623154777554,32.353084194778695];
std_x_a{38}	=[1.3249525142043248,1.5327527184678678,2.3382052375312603];
pred_a{38}	=[-5.874400878360259];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.8 to 3.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{39}	=[-0.9446989113578789,1.7991310022255043,24.373350029489867];
std_x_f{39}	=[1.1102985847185445,1.8165146368940597,1.434158611113332];
pred_f{39}	=[-0.9446989113578789];
obs{39}	=[-0.5754077166662125];
sqrt_r{39}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{39}	=[2.2382370603328523];
L_f{39}	=[-0.0739872496099842,-0.17517841984228852,0.03540893760581856,-0.12138303719991471,-0.16110212864739243,0.05219001763168098,0.042488233628143586,0.023433020752221517,-0.1646433599911411,-0.12112078360471311,-0.006967888072146128,-0.17784429804673993,-0.10375280592523782,0.07099542554938718,0.07009211172779688,-0.07882231533143289,0.04526725097743441,0.006434356673374546,0.008672897863197842,0.04518903545972155,0.052294851310242016,-0.16870342726161494,0.09662783451766123,0.02958157321136039,0.0234608590772622,0.08396797500856897,-0.12507267594997734,0.0868600574958499,0.08580014024160466,0.09477913336663975,-0.04197071017511122,0.012963635598921733,0.09356034371433007,-0.029380424716043962,0.07804721339058485,0.09277320666565662,0.08473417988060251,0.09373004964366481,0.04784262137832361,-0.0019875972029530058,-0.17683214096548883,0.08917914069468715,-0.0942105388752588,0.03649999872174417,0.066622542523826,-0.019153266689495962,-0.15647499041411117,-0.17255272639056626,0.02133705375193296,0.04240772389678413,-0.023333518893575152,-0.17822920940370196,0.03586043342816975,0.03495106540176626,0.09402909281718334,0.19391024191618325,-0.07744725483840724,0.022958110178382753,0.022320970217011345,0.013191252259742546,0.075161432841657,0.027187631492607015,0.08193004102120338,-0.06799248822695596,0.2284893386606838,-0.00540524479299227,0.07026974403379048,-0.17193042579226805,-0.07796720042808584,0.030675245754912553,0.018061053958331717,0.010728736399795673,-0.1407235117923516,-0.04176660449355372,-0.16429435469980722,0.014840156554996282,-0.17183123418672464,0.013582980158021273,0.011918125979332823,-0.07131493587303,0.029728871094536355,0.08855491869725979,0.012298854458761506,0.04990239993836875,0.6053175737740978,0.06403987999185362,-0.1485862350569651,0.08112803850099376,-0.17536449378430444,0.034012073203401105,0.07126264973320412,-0.06223253201203848,0.020639986801777487,0.0828129548328809,-0.08367723273604608,0.02588690776212464,0.1173929358487023,-0.17630788843128672,0.08175116519953016,-0.06849113451658073;-0.061379292031642683,-0.3662239660415738,0.09147654491683975,-0.18438360026985295,-0.30804456088037047,0.09925357691344046,0.08946741391283329,0.10161916525616126,-0.3216400585609516,-0.184561085217394,0.08348000877575242,-0.37953680615792257,-0.13479670797828175,0.09907260717703742,-0.14426453965791103,-0.3640067182352758,0.08914300768264856,0.10138139004047751,0.10239190262598717,0.09044332740356444,0.09026045864725538,-0.33504958874450336,0.1217797947047102,0.09495473275393275,0.10162470518957557,0.10994281844328307,-0.19509489511831934,0.11097280653930718,0.1107043901798192,0.11979414331542797,0.01407626211540482,0.10466496422349032,0.11754533885140876,0.040282452873003055,0.10844596646120153,0.11790900669501846,0.11031376178547746,0.11819370814979936,0.09981016719534666,0.08958056698318709,-0.37602975513101383,0.11360822557931595,-0.11113985086272583,0.09320030870699503,0.09717493235506183,0.06105437611365102,-0.2916799688730505,-0.35164028421069693,0.10282343735100824,0.10055417908116598,0.053469284804481466,-0.38155105061010863,0.09226061874640194,0.09236462763977996,0.11898608903102693,0.05394838048361008,-0.06966235995553416,0.10237201448656447,0.10194398372923599,0.10432900214570483,0.10259254824410467,0.09980928676172643,0.10707941248165402,-0.04500357301148815,0.11036443274252197,0.08615991740149999,0.09865926769651118,-0.3517943760990628,-0.0693108145755107,0.09465322858010529,0.10247657703049755,0.10371697848819829,-0.23915272030242027,0.01469118195023107,-0.31931964397925194,0.10605680879474526,-0.35550793848612566,0.10667109527903239,0.10493828687512713,-0.048047301354212216,0.09505460375269138,0.11381265843178064,0.10469263494699516,0.09893989905780001,0.7011481824997624,0.09585465565389828,-0.2654403585409903,0.11011486235134607,-0.3631891106424815,0.09497414344409195,0.09996597842657115,-0.025585346324876548,0.1037057490773297,0.10786987446933134,-0.08359888857179254,0.10010180483758666,-0.04455700870917405,-0.3728841865831216,0.11038391452322768,-0.04708607814613128;0.04907943580551776,-0.2069247615941238,0.07682359968360501,-0.04247684783711508,-0.1478303132235532,0.05615350529472641,0.058889213562182,0.1186616320640122,-0.16101599232636557,-0.04317883367551512,0.1443882519927767,-0.22170311092755132,-0.004122155758609933,0.014523655364077582,-0.4806560161069096,-0.4721153476566587,0.052742874612016856,0.14767304025524342,0.1458065266197406,0.055828033947175955,0.0413268503212068,-0.17320356687657418,-0.0036736879838123668,0.09416654055447228,0.11682409629743662,0.004364532021601018,-0.05056628768631889,-3.1146723805507815E-4,0.0026334749456034365,-0.0022851515988662947,0.1025610734073262,0.14213873758378057,-0.0027634271574101363,0.11951448550831505,0.015225425976419429,-0.002320516922301862,0.002866590645889205,-0.002971406651029291,0.06562742193361258,0.14562930762327117,-0.2194852320313407,-4.714751626132594E-4,0.012733904718393085,0.07815880225911874,0.019730200191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k{39}	=[0.5532198006536059;0.8069521380427002;0.1558391884598306];
x_a_linear{39}	=[-0.7403997102474232,2.0971313213422875,24.430900069575976];
L_a{39}	=[0.15158360188946993,0.35890205397520936,-0.0725451254055696,0.24868714655617688,0.33006282921938795,-0.10692586759188809,-0.08704904595353663,-0.04800910572425299,0.3373180333936071,0.24814984661897582,0.014275670160822596,0.36436385208987887,0.21256668022113306,-0.1454540124032338,-0.14360332105526513,0.16148958814106035,-0.09274264129245548,-0.013182581668234408,-0.017768860227311487,-0.09258239489917738,-0.10714064874241566,0.34563621827027446,-0.19796918085450985,-0.060606137416546836,-0.048066140329573265,-0.17203191309663532,0.2562464048655975,-0.17795715403604623,-0.17578561669751536,-0.19418159879454328,0.08598875422102258,-0.026559638154219682,-0.1916845668543564,0.06019402838971541,-0.15990157473814826,-0.19007189616247985,-0.17360169836234474,-0.19203225697888684,-0.09801900882367447,0.004072149521941262,0.3622901648415661,-0.18270844545739515,0.1930166737368831,-0.07478046966698439,-0.13649493684426836,0.0392408309275982,0.32058284066002735,0.3535225855807535,-0.04371493032213982,-0.08688409922108005,0.047805248300064065,0.36515245080390096,-0.07347014104476149,-0.07160704596267643,-0.19264493067065602,-0.3972794375768631,0.15867239161804464,-0.04703611840904193,-0.045730758759081856,-0.027025974630830854,-0.15398924508439082,-0.05570147735207629,-0.16785663457437278,0.1393016542877212,-0.4681244015706118,0.011074157765495616,-0.14396725058226312,0.3522476285219999,0.15973764577582852,-0.06284683191881801,-0.037003127259842686,-0.02198082123307136,0.2883115253028864,0.08557058656997892,0.3366029983109712,-0.030404216876125118,0.35204440673818244,-0.0278285389387987,-0.024417618890322238,0.14610861878411635,-0.06090791838286484,-0.1814295518744133,-0.025197647808249603,-0.10223904207091936,-1.240162576705522,-0.13120362934027227,0.30442051596537223,-0.16621350780079167,0.3592832785577863,-0.0696832574677046,-0.1460014959832895,0.12750077083299952,-0.04228679345234579,-0.1696655307887549,0.17143624612532787,-0.053036580506079484,-0.24051230645995572,0.3612160867017113,-0.16749015735724276,0.1403232708642069;0.26764884593909183,0.412810659481061,-0.06599027361444729,0.35541798610687403,0.40839149656729223,-0.13284025563922314,-0.09948168839907535,-0.002589644042415269,0.41054418200338755,0.35407423518026016,0.11446685110401973,0.411353226158332,0.32660161028294055,-0.21665061264924093,-0.4559706394224512,-0.013476596075636643,-0.1121646416579111,0.07276721115911652,0.06382272415562976,-0.1105164902999341,-0.14229957896419057,0.4151901462608627,-0.3079331171157071,-0.03659725766720369,-0.0027079037136711736,-0.26347052793571785,0.3611148558288873,-0.2753018979880765,-0.2708567643452908,-0.3016974236031122,0.20072388979479175,0.0470144784312903,-0.2985261578254158,0.17093991734245917,-0.23863720572152797,-0.29466201876794124,-0.26650696848302113,-0.2986324864814154,-0.11295039237037124,0.09841959546675468,0.4103591210869471,-0.2829796562959885,0.3078231237950443,-0.06911855945821702,-0.19910167245243,0.14623072349947566,0.40417877714520856,0.41571763982815285,0.007935587041830176,-0.08803688901353134,0.15723560014027893,0.4110507180895445,-0.0672140434405533,-0.06306599087701747,-0.2991699782346531,-0.8083883892633592,0.274752741088949,2.7517640784642517E-4,0.002680565952284688,0.04566628402326173,-0.23165729109261277,-0.02109662355393215,-0.257271053080654,0.2573653069677116,-0.905748776519744,0.11019754062562703,-0.2138367793520897,0.4127961196572722,0.2774165325670482,-0.04176242473499717,0.022157400618012878,0.05600529601571934,0.38665774430893013,0.20043113279737854,0.41131253779448657,0.04006126085609474,0.4086414430316567,0.04626632698387349,0.05193727900212536,0.26909681041499967,-0.03715243397029624,-0.27999925052147867,0.04999849233362693,-0.12298068615850279,-1.990755020143111,-0.1889366101474661,0.3953363632129398,-0.25066902387109735,0.41667300289990183,-0.056280689971545964,-0.21694561204580531,0.25116847594941405,0.011917819928346311,-0.26040699042497345,0.28852150004675803,-0.015019666817207962,-0.5666142455550764,0.41117329015635756,-0.2531710737258492,0.2575003279750203;0.112621591014598,-0.056477023617957305,0.04641349225295992,0.06177003024207415,-0.009471656603826682,0.011331374208650909,0.02239922440876922,0.0985367504188062,-0.019616035038457633,0.060842814262828886,0.15037245369906752,-0.06896584810043091,0.08498342570619143,-0.04644904429936684,-0.5408529265991577,-0.4044207134983271,0.013866193796618746,0.14214704905317327,0.13835801859922522,0.017018526632516063,-0.0035853146275870336,-0.028316719266080887,-0.08666016052880635,0.06876112372611944,0.09667530638182158,-0.06774932717322263,0.0568493471632295,-0.0749091213469077,-0.07105389493139742,-0.08368391198950037,0.1386066000925395,0.1310052335051333,-0.08311545960961526,0.14474715082911974,-0.0518035306754783,-0.0819965358075578,-0.06990530502356136,-0.08346918692544075,0.024538946699624843,0.1473363072837391,-0.06761723576963372,-0.07706081764128715,0.09364434151796555,0.04681166344622658,-0.03748695492321111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x_a{39}	=[-0.7403997102474235,2.097131321342286,24.430900069575955];
std_x_a{39}	=[2.2747576039332325,3.4140563712271934,1.5364607175575709];
pred_a{39}	=[-0.7403997102474235];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.9 to 4.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{40}	=[0.9769559217267743,2.0788017815965505,19.715745759703143];
std_x_f{40}	=[3.2961503544508903,4.30982541080842,2.2179025268451906];
pred_f{40}	=[0.9769559217267743];
obs{40}	=[1.2231157301270434];
sqrt_r{40}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{40}	=[11.926786886884813];
L_f{40}	=[0.24935863277231407,0.45616674542275293,-0.07674934099428521,0.3549504542943934,0.4342115824360636,-0.1389276045470689,-0.10711193752049702,-0.021597900427549385,0.4402609251051534,0.35372388413000005,0.08423505494920823,0.4597001073935932,0.3174079081488764,-0.21773722962825365,-0.41476352463452754,0.0938035516931261,-0.11841783886395753,0.043768682747510834,0.03594284992119942,-0.11708114155692939,-0.1462184859683851,0.44781012818811317,-0.3086939860298594,-0.051095125287195044,-0.021874480638937793,-0.26387266910299123,0.3626006230010455,-0.27572907818578846,-0.2711687270837664,-0.30221541377810907,0.1737742268854171,0.021249091431509295,-0.2987653782420303,0.142725652619966,-0.2401227093678527,-0.2959945065314895,-0.26723984168918513,-0.2990634719557672,-0.12175461374245374,0.06869351215791301,0.4580042051675381,-0.28391267198805664,0.295356887004331,-0.07996018260400845,-0.20049594927316117,0.11619379226782064,0.42550455625032557,0.453626762454534,-0.012564020612321265,-0.09850207854934942,0.12784037556279154,0.4600593386392519,-0.07789016308003888,-0.07412218465463644,-0.29969867100664926,-0.8189673272607265,0.2573024018192781,-0.01943000368482893,-0.017041321256676917,0.020502645164213053,-0.23274041700963416,-0.03807719526144721,-0.25762516782231976,0.23632717079724536,-0.9231721963546694,0.0800065870407406,-0.2157935107101719,0.45129454459837604,0.2593249974073264,-0.055737997405095656,-2.0112765486715858E-4,0.029043504181607643,0.39539657719683613,0.1738133431653136,0.4396246704143406,0.01497808740058127,0.44999658664145553,0.02021870750167318,0.02580622174745926,0.24682407855047103,-0.05167973303983067,-0.28041111104701016,0.02314239397805121,-0.13049580765777902,-1.679506885303549,-0.1910505007351816,0.410182617324086,-0.25161880153373345,0.45796645423427323,-0.06885721158289074,-0.21896747860335078,0.22669744140246909,-0.009561822381669147,-0.2610435356095726,0.2724110469754262,-0.03196476674996065,-0.5491180243481875,0.45601504926616954,-0.254184694270153,0.23674290737626183;0.3481739042718388,0.6018574980691053,-0.0971036737499678,0.47714758921059053,0.5737680526679899,-0.18988507543305108,-0.1432817349249397,-0.013350055827042937,0.5813827822737208,0.47675782608770834,0.13655206431792058,0.606090868036135,0.4328287242755514,-0.31078041591857736,-0.7011055610918362,0.10535246538953316,-0.16060238484726294,0.08191339921285787,0.07122518182859668,-0.15838328606369004,-0.20265121147716622,0.5907194568846503,-0.4482757321447715,-0.05752036596606655,-0.013591417555729868,-0.3812050729151373,0.4869989359218695,-0.3989052690057976,-0.39246566299036006,-0.43898692058110156,0.2533681382062364,0.04947448398834178,-0.4337053672806309,0.21311409015297006,-0.3437550363930782,-0.42911902909849997,-0.3860613871354131,-0.4337449244354313,-0.16307479626831864,0.11551182415999783,0.6046602504822208,-0.41117022737904146,0.4055450630964812,-0.1018271342167732,-0.28524177288319674,0.17882659208296578,0.5631401151445365,0.5979941884179477,3.021689815594625E-4,-0.12801804757875415,0.19402937617502697,0.6069108780422762,-0.09837931024796516,-0.0929457372381826,-0.4352760567114866,-1.2949767696799637,0.3577350104866492,-0.010287570096833253,-0.006771912529980725,0.04818018651693219,-0.3339145592336132,-0.037750341912952096,-0.3718342007561513,0.33226167345802377,-1.4263082803238185,0.1311500475610797,-0.30819159850303596,0.5955280401387132,0.3612067359419102,-0.06462876015055753,0.018374573491065704,0.06106307701365884,0.5273287373574778,0.25327621929731714,0.5806075801278886,0.04064813917429221,0.5941597842901863,0.04860737023105295,0.05578991648752172,0.34555377002921706,-0.0585807543747671,-0.40570539879573,0.0530418823625565,-0.1769570664297628,-1.504145678183634,-0.2704397644822057,0.5450935978459428,-0.361741625021199,0.6037514431977709,-0.08444975183887649,-0.3127718279889788,0.3204509284150358,0.004456420341125916,-0.3769754367642684,0.3774951260232007,-0.02868198281300441,-0.8941471060954789,0.6028557220154201,-0.3655942986851334,0.33300545283654165;0.08817681227368493,0.12341678358907343,-0.0700952201002628,0.12543550667041584,0.13917855906221227,-0.0964052050197616,-0.08892349924465437,-0.025919017942899684,0.13696020280071855,0.12347890250020231,0.03845174984273142,0.11748132569385096,0.11432715309396978,-0.1299015792047529,-0.4327997755588937,-0.37951427600452825,-0.09503508798982079,0.021315857577144385,0.01555129387197588,-0.09301164013459262,-0.10716267576399158,0.13681447565717414,-0.135583414784591,-0.05190206857024609,-0.0271168315297814,-0.1350653068834464,0.12770174687062444,-0.13736795960276876,-0.13553082478818437,-0.13543119531998768,0.06665617282999933,0.0067081762523103754,-0.13623653684967318,0.05694065009769764,-0.128649849507792,-0.13685369078581786,-0.13584256121754543,-0.13691054241357148,-0.08723795231087776,0.031838325453722775,0.11655289294010769,-0.1365520595492089,0.10492043693498035,-0.0702382942466793,-0.1265262934378426,0.049385337134969474,0.14035834242234813,0.132012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k{40}	=[0.9161551212842041;1.1765212989382219;-0.03840391028521652];
x_a_linear{40}	=[1.2024764908470194,2.368414039122019,19.706292260505514];
L_a{40}	=[-0.07914437591918476,-0.14478356726688765,0.02435960859934543,-0.11265835024453177,-0.13781517939329868,0.04409447724982042,0.03399644662110022,0.00685499568031389,-0.13973519092425488,-0.11226904697837815,-0.02673551254413861,-0.14590502724992413,-0.10074265535933756,0.06910800304650133,0.13164252605288512,-0.02977247458897581,0.03758484657374641,-0.013891819354092953,-0.011407964481292844,0.03716058985970579,0.04640854295340371,-0.1421312457952871,0.09797692826077882,0.01621717186370711,0.00694277996104442,0.08375101148936293,-0.11508645077280726,0.08751413806359848,0.08606672019027578,0.09592068279611782,-0.055154508126627214,-0.006744286578327796,0.09482566993706319,-0.045299946421264795,0.07621296991267672,0.09394621808153782,0.08481972433071772,0.0949202824262194,0.038643911433082864,-0.021802754887572603,-0.14536676185358,0.09011154332306633,-0.09374384289608784,0.025378703276564475,0.06363576268898584,-0.03687895250499276,-0.13505164100715597,-0.14397739759620085,0.003987716644668806,0.03126374830844178,-0.04057548210263825,-0.14601904428808427,0.024721696131699385,0.02352577081866792,0.09512188937243782,0.25993348332735117,-0.08166566277690622,0.006166923112492937,0.005408774986866172,-0.0065073706820319875,0.07386989113072925,0.012085388110352134,0.08176810604744664,-0.07500829723658696,0.29300725037720066,-0.025393431662520893,0.06849108267352831,-0.14323717086059082,-0.08230761795517001,0.017690781227692194,6.383626084051363E-5,-0.00921816897776477,-0.1254956164738004,-0.05516692331164099,-0.13953324892661778,-0.004753921557086778,-0.14282520969715443,-0.00641725120691366,-0.008190682200682683,-0.07833992928787753,0.016402721548614416,0.08900017672492222,-0.007345205210285127,0.041418294375135396,0.5330616502485185,0.06063785513108807,-0.130188583808345,0.07986173486563843,-0.14535478001833985,0.021854711736566015,0.06949847393686814,-0.07195190045277838,0.003034843657240818,0.08285306782389096,-0.08646102229012385,0.010145353652696256,0.17428553750010187,-0.14473542015640453,0.08067612808331738,-0.07514024860208507;-0.07368782799581429,-0.16987954302485161,0.0327398756081717,-0.12335303053153335,-0.16082552566789104,0.045150861612434735,0.03792886527192854,0.02318899472201006,-0.1634449962945334,-0.12166769800384286,-0.005955719765821815,-0.17162386945908728,-0.10415789807813133,0.0575846326418495,5.860428380136899E-4,-0.05334317859185392,0.039735394034269275,0.007866103887021353,0.010417529966635381,0.039693085481785316,0.04471934511591297,-0.1668799665005919,0.07396878868587961,0.028921710750685968,0.02341554784267095,0.06521131960462748,-0.12644414098264595,0.06756964412155264,0.066294106713805,0.07229723492207282,-0.04062086695602557,0.013525544018834882,0.07174206241339921,-0.028347335841724556,0.06248147928119186,0.07164067542353869,0.0660515447191374,0.07220681637491008,0.04290809549653165,-7.029774384163584E-4,-0.17018538140841075,0.0691495846363771,-0.09413592489882541,0.03344847573800752,0.05395469901217832,-0.017748573331933214,-0.15672302811966465,-0.16944574211284072,0.021557817686531266,0.03862650379210476,-0.02224932927452639,-0.1714116022605374,0.03339426726261634,0.03245322276662087,0.0717503056949091,0.09054163611063795,-0.0775658882282571,0.02258386058643134,0.022058375900560895,0.013494074755397736,0.05983268904405532,0.026668167983013632,0.06401274933723126,-0.0675535988107809,0.13550258463676199,-0.0042040688237655445,0.05688509135608137,-0.16796627417704457,-0.07751596401149605,0.02966806798417842,0.01871483867437123,0.01192764966166778,-0.14159811363814695,-0.04077896228488054,-0.1631437909262338,0.015308403282192637,-0.16713866142447478,0.014401620560228296,0.012131281979340078,-0.07202003595866185,0.028850354229439913,0.06869051739219073,0.01388987746158489,0.043814064932846765,1.337222499498615,0.05277701888995189,-0.14884808593133325,0.06394383172837488,-0.1710303221488199,0.032041994344228816,0.05767453998672082,-0.06307289134384747,0.020632988638441464,0.06465466404752226,-0.08336638451784449,0.025395599032668338,0.03484371485771502,-0.16862468146915066,0.06443210244067685,-0.06751315723709861;0.10194718781503241,0.14860775983123511,-0.0743335624279056,0.14503699790360136,0.16315710148551305,-0.10407722850819548,-0.09483856056906256,-0.02711172258875658,0.161272809135926,0.1430126586339304,0.04310347706588971,0.14286742540425257,0.13185542571244618,-0.14192572045055177,-0.45570433447298253,-0.37433414600635906,-0.10157449708836368,0.0237329032261458,0.017536172181335012,-0.09947723256315207,-0.11523732487674296,0.16154397295915746,-0.15263047695254886,-0.054723703641446596,-0.028324809813192915,-0.14963719360037356,0.14772570471294244,-0.15259459487933777,-0.15050562299548043,-0.15212049015546394,0.07625253745959029,0.007881618557760858,-0.15273530976724026,0.06482241386143833,-0.14191018803002145,-0.15319944736861058,-0.1506003938971562,-0.15342577701260932,-0.09396162871415728,0.03563179933169466,0.14184533954424008,-0.15223061886258382,0.12123098214272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x_a{40}	=[1.2024764908470196,2.3684140391220194,19.70629226050551];
std_x_a{40}	=[1.0461709700542638,1.57661303693383,2.2134153557136185];
pred_a{40}	=[1.2024764908470196];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.0 to 4.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{41}	=[2.4144497871712334,3.901760828492341,15.74658052842499];
std_x_f{41}	=[1.3466038248719217,1.8413277992429549,2.232881352118538];
pred_f{41}	=[2.4144497871712334];
obs{41}	=[2.5544657613318997];
sqrt_r{41}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{41}	=[2.8238112912839357];
L_f{41}	=[-0.10232023321047293,-0.21013825142300524,0.04542491306386176,-0.1577324065429079,-0.1993864718717172,0.06943740895841612,0.05641417859803175,0.02397251169279344,-0.20229862087277553,-0.15683134883866487,-0.020921798021417953,-0.21146622362427644,-0.13722899239343006,0.09719771126695996,0.12849229250122812,-0.03750437043758896,0.06141407781013801,-0.0021464860155058344,0.0015907686945745678,0.06078934779069631,0.07100350680929493,-0.20605976032246712,0.12922798137746497,0.03587721306715967,0.02535720513929903,0.11299162866090195,-0.1616425156963143,0.11772960250799645,0.11542685790559505,0.12594625532919376,-0.06422579218091241,0.007078323783745784,0.12503498075753766,-0.04879616443306172,0.10537697107311579,0.12552263219815127,0.11431672311896264,0.12575703790345089,0.06359450048866373,-0.013815434248204137,-0.21036421204716158,0.11984348971685334,-0.12594663027280145,0.04673413380177583,0.09067537088462461,-0.03618712391248924,-0.19471371166109147,-0.20903797522855003,0.02120198147392147,0.054812041385665894,-0.04141724582741268,-0.21153943446909967,0.046175289400299524,0.044409669142898185,0.12592468591971603,0.24848956704222971,-0.107023841179822,0.02367326487578851,0.02281621849162789,0.007546668015795667,0.10146939843102241,0.03107220179922827,0.11097474060890299,-0.09516935996174469,0.2822202981990389,-0.018253056662143066,0.09630638513767878,-0.20799088558458637,-0.1076907263669698,0.03770984493235217,0.015550941393079014,0.003955487929148522,-0.1782826304335452,-0.06391436894607563,-0.20167767004761697,0.009759728970635791,-0.2067093481055971,0.007585951504928459,0.0053052383699307825,-0.10133966581417739,0.03627768416911494,0.11950141633669743,0.006477064360480089,0.06625679809546248,0.6470243349425947,0.08816371993948309,-0.1862278804787766,0.1091319812575349,-0.21133686566708812,0.04243193633362731,0.09770200299310955,-0.09058093826799653,0.019466472897796617,0.11230752623105372,-0.11414220698996373,0.028584221045791714,0.173983144060925,-0.20862798498648016,0.10996602868017492,-0.09577292622431839;-0.153476825921328,-0.32029301547175487,0.08240342900399583,-0.24030697884646227,-0.3042036311391748,0.11921234181453168,0.09990453961330871,0.04779782266111183,-0.3088049079097892,-0.23799455498783484,-0.02465238859137506,-0.3229481158935584,-0.20761818675180752,0.1627083030756497,0.22191159109578515,-0.03192560969080051,0.10735109922818675,0.005101267361623806,0.010787263516038119,0.10608934331114676,0.1223223236895608,-0.31445537682633573,0.208371669944692,0.06660807482844062,0.049468872787503254,0.1859135084843793,-0.24571583563685975,0.19234343181031147,0.18901240353144536,0.2041539236006027,-0.09246461649851714,0.01959029710502349,0.20327513154302024,-0.06844405233499477,0.17446249448982112,0.20298730524683165,0.18754491110467547,0.20387304995911779,0.11020448903779916,-0.01329711763358401,-0.3206637016012399,0.19562856869045422,-0.18987370851714006,0.083178174175206,0.15256828874683973,-0.04828511184053589,-0.29692426172767966,-0.3187156811220522,0.0421098446633757,0.09661806280684479,-0.056935919021715166,-0.32235169045444084,0.08294780832735385,0.08010618278424086,0.20344381208293247,0.353218807956495,-0.15955123319318698,0.04590717062227312,0.04453817880986815,0.020182417934757748,0.16955345097576058,0.05866281307207898,0.1830452653656218,-0.14181437823391502,0.3778052718430072,-0.020911126871427883,0.16100181431972696,-0.31744037696789873,-0.16034951510965048,0.06925089409468818,0.03382543114438251,0.015107531046616551,-0.2715064933563894,-0.0921981168287828,-0.30821879621732323,0.024062378570087348,-0.3156773977527877,0.020700579946801786,0.01704543331272073,-0.15154089097189005,0.06708198714832529,0.1951853109274601,0.01968369943496614,0.11437630920733469,0.23458286393687475,0.1483089761383849,-0.2841637028851913,0.17937990878961868,-0.3216669995476947,0.076930519172455,0.16307161128163633,-0.13476486176616842,0.039879767488605875,0.184414885541338,-0.17108204778569702,0.055043781748549334,0.27778103753782474,-0.3182856058815802,0.1819073601236185,-0.142012255825145;0.02868952664761538,0.04831433619296432,-0.053344873379345105,0.05119381103092061,0.060622173892398726,-0.06365261673300554,-0.06342102857043423,-0.02644007879113093,0.05855005105286417,0.04984011629631824,0.00930541727077197,0.04439460840223465,0.044517885871735816,-0.07835707479001944,-0.30410432812118476,-0.31781386968582603,-0.06585863692166276,9.019375280580388E-4,-0.0020048726756715122,-0.06566393061457391,-0.0721342058526004,0.05891768111482783,-0.06784116794587088,-0.042383752673635804,-0.026760602175986487,-0.0749076606120803,0.052785023269402785,-0.07530786188858277,-0.07447186715793218,-0.06967550165544835,0.019460744011145042,-0.007274875932161441,-0.07010419045657426,0.015651782744422495,-0.07346279599976989,-0.07081995536504951,-0.07508682627219727,-0.0710566183426822,-0.05977215625708534,0.005959845092809029,0.043697841907698,-0.07270827868848806,0.03865234346128204,-0.05283255255595566,-0.078721712948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k{41}	=[0.6458686870873306;0.8216001048213804;0.3048965954141617];
x_a_linear{41}	=[2.5048817205736364,4.016797967539412,15.789270922250175];
L_a{41}	=[0.11273211402348804,0.23152145550123632,-0.0500472518322815,0.17378290765832854,0.21967559862327166,-0.07650320624361613,-0.06215476074192327,-0.026411901505564474,0.22288408147109087,0.1727901603133578,0.02305075395279163,0.23298455921900987,0.15119311139569486,-0.10708833556731437,-0.1415673842297809,0.04132073229204347,-0.06766343864852721,0.002364907688903301,-0.001752641801479203,-0.0669751374829042,-0.07822866675086562,0.22702794615940447,-0.14237793518025751,-0.039527998983470265,-0.027937498297138753,-0.12448940709213155,0.17809090087819687,-0.12970950668741157,-0.12717243988312776,-0.13876226794163282,0.07076126686003661,-0.007798598369522774,-0.13775826408339953,0.053761554290649674,-0.11609989877591853,-0.13829553785694432,-0.12594934023390528,-0.13855379616879984,-0.07006573632028236,0.0152212623064383,0.23177040937915414,-0.1320384983871418,0.1387626810386734,-0.051489695979225696,-0.09990229624145616,0.03986944567154557,0.21452734865999099,0.23030921763274395,-0.023359448254241827,-0.06038959358740574,0.04563177323443409,0.23306521983761277,-0.05087398480645091,-0.04892869893351797,-0.1387385036767131,-0.27377531624492574,0.11791435074524878,-0.02608220399376953,-0.025137946463551882,-0.008314600275627684,-0.11179470017714854,-0.03423404038755546,-0.12226728496910169,0.10485358371575385,-0.31093841206237915,0.02011044737047454,-0.1061063100608678,0.22915557846058443,0.11864909669528453,-0.04154711541731377,-0.017133370823061465,-0.004357989639547269,0.19642427691793646,0.07041815388504016,0.22219994406220964,-0.010752857422567331,0.22774363455981514,-0.008357881165801636,-0.005845087702356761,0.11165176625591071,-0.03996922113975549,-0.13166161637577262,-0.007136156116074685,-0.07299894344811142,-0.7128641014009559,-0.09713506524665905,0.2051780180494847,-0.12023701049847041,0.2328420380819674,-0.04674971640418664,-0.1076439429050776,0.09979825437044772,-0.021447338160727795,-0.12373569191082653,0.12575706572928455,-0.03149288821086238,-0.1916872843135154,0.2298575076896826,-0.1211559287436686,0.10551856754737997;0.12008811779240174,0.24153583419853755,-0.03904531476454856,0.18140880075875013,0.22887909593657405,-0.06643657900313553,-0.05092527291342051,-0.016295452013368638,0.2320637853679884,0.18131214292933046,0.031284451254816735,0.24243122060710365,0.15927935053955675,-0.0971609874600137,-0.12162737146151156,0.0683466499186289,-0.05684652046255291,0.010840145270612686,0.006534159953444553,-0.05643798862474298,-0.06751374034487934,0.23646915652891606,-0.13713424166758367,-0.029313791896922042,-0.018326539507939263,-0.11618264165983709,0.18645407172884967,-0.12242023782764355,-0.11959461284471336,-0.13257791495192486,0.07925044582742213,6.65582151483238E-4,-0.13102030934815648,0.06201812076343495,-0.10727499042229922,-0.1326119280099171,-0.11809403189155802,-0.1323528939839191,-0.05982274214430656,0.023640039113473232,0.24176927985696262,-0.12478682218741007,0.14685913249036348,-0.041770922223883455,-0.08986277257852592,0.04846533727072178,0.22366530203228444,0.24017145325145584,-0.014576097955636998,-0.04992825111388577,0.05379786420029325,0.2432233836829999,-0.040507153114868244,-0.03862818927716689,-0.1332303581658337,-0.3111467069414791,0.1265893488768353,-0.017386033175882793,-0.016463612640148603,5.530664371503974E-6,-0.10173668783138443,-0.02441230188375245,-0.11365850197111005,0.11263188116477442,-0.3767432428469467,0.027890525174372804,-0.09648441301585742,0.23864724248537975,0.12757406141768837,-0.03157072527312723,-0.007751804104312485,0.004532077895801224,0.2051526798040608,0.07868431956349557,0.23098971341736194,-0.002031382387446923,0.23698388345529128,4.1866373779520926E-4,0.0028612666965966865,0.11940239272252237,-0.02991058525301086,-0.12431550731846124,0.002366520890619623,-0.06276888165978227,-1.495311314528184,-0.08740689672544938,0.21373801256837752,-0.11239702890240347,0.24336648353603493,-0.036516156138535094,-0.09814596134204435,0.10741372306806735,-0.01216609280215729,-0.11585223786159946,0.13409030621333873,-0.02137942973307251,-0.1873829629610819,0.2395053722970504,-0.11209949954052928,0.11404770758366739;0.13020974247221845,0.25680956698065754,-0.09841461993251348,0.20769294568233615,0.25844969071681273,-0.1325471112291152,-0.11939411822376922,-0.05022515515920588,0.2592669474830965,0.20544523839777212,0.030063632766665807,0.25420742829476095,0.1806739176559532,-0.17479482044274677,-0.43159197017620354,-0.2806027369340279,-0.12679253277322125,0.003031640683741365,-0.0035832035309971547,-0.1259779810610175,-0.14258255325575667,0.2633663095466258,-0.1960587467020857,-0.07798045040859117,-0.051919545404302436,-0.18701583480312733,0.2131636948676801,-0.1921169648445088,-0.18899623011972755,-0.1946370133930074,0.08318437011254605,-0.014297855998324067,-0.19416155265999713,0.06406642166014209,-0.1780158497861124,-0.19536115617932134,-0.18850973432525045,-0.19583039210021091,-0.12286942658471134,0.019667259771030867,0.2524172665875719,-0.19161474087570732,0.16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x_a{41}	=[2.504881720573637,4.016797967539417,15.789270922250173];
std_x_a{41}	=[1.4836312542179435,2.007689187801889,2.2486780760325384];
pred_a{41}	=[2.504881720573637];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.1 to 4.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{42}	=[4.752433381103526,7.942895823033905,14.34237775902517];
std_x_f{42}	=[2.0938908600287895,2.8323195837536628,3.0516730392420133];
pred_f{42}	=[4.752433381103526];
obs{42}	=[5.115511263464981];
sqrt_r{42}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{42}	=[5.407176219102966];
L_f{42}	=[0.1509876994687411,0.28357697970556395,-0.048740446137730424,0.21810125540602637,0.2685405347462057,-0.08603139821372804,-0.06535499118771888,-0.019336712418405653,0.2723645698647706,0.21856151854631925,0.041367886873491216,0.2855311171792688,0.1941216627778213,-0.12970219555323007,-0.15988995761599048,0.1208736643507189,-0.07327397530579453,0.015550606013057322,0.009708180697510097,-0.07242184521778833,-0.08734042325208274,0.27649092484776694,-0.1857710508972632,-0.035969369423641595,-0.02182487713364796,-0.1564210291899715,0.22341758539429676,-0.16561810456477108,-0.1615217418024016,-0.18046607295424022,0.10111787487782456,0.0028363172724519426,-0.17800382526576783,0.08019530599923123,-0.14399035296135232,-0.1796403256669848,-0.15924938302108654,-0.17955002323443636,-0.07720184940466941,0.031724421582582346,0.2849953443163766,-0.16917222093767903,0.18044993343837695,-0.05211301938546083,-0.11790130627180745,0.06286794740169514,0.2625265701555424,0.28138006781207453,-0.016921965994724827,-0.06398037155682858,0.07005996364890199,0.285994614349355,-0.0507838673638425,-0.04823935448515725,-0.1802950396348212,-0.4241284902444263,0.15728971404200137,-0.019610577728186595,-0.01898861500898644,0.0019296879160889163,-0.136973162536803,-0.0297327033779021,-0.1530011499524983,0.1417291686047373,-0.5045078703214155,0.037180579352209885,-0.12827287373024193,0.28001955233310083,0.15805932539875536,-0.03938739874317667,-0.00858902158556116,0.007383520487617309,0.2429355197732368,0.10132096335545292,0.2710472722466591,-0.0010932377753739711,0.27944930647873395,0.001991823723420942,0.005004501778702496,0.14797469939487612,-0.03682861344708696,-0.16823363331065497,0.004227278980947499,-0.08119669351435083,-1.2601638818734344,-0.11533062191109975,0.2519213378208753,-0.15131536245710767,0.2848921643572561,-0.04467053694922341,-0.13052211696631522,0.13425727815677105,-0.013685829976092408,-0.15598359272855716,0.1660137485638781,-0.025657656358297427,-0.2571689750901128,0.28210385080551165,-0.1513820809530695,0.1430779522961919;0.2112953746890344,0.3515006634902812,-0.04752080700292191,0.2814571571990452,0.3318521995191801,-0.10322160992225038,-0.07110111326464098,-0.007595859570057435,0.33625553013339005,0.28364777580866346,0.07246048094961877,0.3538756075372096,0.257594510197856,-0.17006986790986833,-0.19409882377201326,0.25550703968307753,-0.08253245374595197,0.037721853369630166,0.030144926251035736,-0.081685998243133,-0.10398662309236638,0.33982605052082077,-0.2632683210911612,-0.030107630669760597,-0.01132209148327468,-0.2144691572861533,0.2873478838608329,-0.22941499348120073,-0.22223679199080695,-0.25397219541419325,0.15049887479300328,0.020467402390292575,-0.2503827365292129,0.12323786533349426,-0.1939154568617396,-0.25289284068872453,-0.21863893658256583,-0.25274167733258474,-0.09023699817524325,0.05945032087872118,0.3539601625912766,-0.23532968960414438,0.24325593716296995,-0.05261087061443129,-0.15299213189778663,0.10069873568468465,0.3251702635571521,0.346362529245556,-0.005009260189414189,-0.07058805565241184,0.11022133730094807,0.3547841778759195,-0.05056413452947835,-0.046242817209959645,-0.25435324407800797,-0.6809213024863064,0.2182313436992088,-0.008515376954723812,-0.007970110334074043,0.01901631267435819,-0.18185732735031007,-0.022028225529755932,-0.20794857256898516,0.1994106436045655,-0.825641402216427,0.06666730791261917,-0.1682532232202408,0.34522717528639335,0.2186148003324803,-0.03504923026337274,0.006615724809726292,0.0270907607315888,0.3068349335601221,0.15115351529257817,0.3348047010587776,0.01568289809467637,0.34666198534544596,0.019231174771704718,0.024029017391363983,0.20523779873013012,-0.030965107641879208,-0.23407104666641196,0.023201890435290275,-0.09583812100755525,-1.6895658029178493,-0.14755670423737707,0.31491919576735317,-0.20594027496648593,0.3506115050771222,-0.04341699912093226,-0.17199224685395106,0.189088830856408,-5.291411554130124E-4,-0.21374533140178137,0.2277817363392712,-0.016169289979933887,-0.3737696689253792,0.3501471753360399,-0.20582739881398568,0.20182000536767358;0.20134755394724946,0.4569226670346415,-0.15076235911231883,0.3363554285207344,0.4380748235376045,-0.20224870970562076,-0.17856667413515104,-0.09254225260041132,0.44292321782299365,0.3349600859593446,0.018730184538665703,0.4567448084007953,0.28757942724081687,-0.26146132424403806,-0.47505353147772644,-0.149786074748559,-0.18917727851388264,-0.023693946774272185,-0.03307765453532364,-0.18824047000460947,-0.21055620789076226,0.45265113383856065,-0.3068905026387934,-0.12604936266317998,-0.09560456459681382,-0.28543437850524794,0.34673510859113493,-0.2939711925311017,-0.28907532452282714,-0.3033447514104795,0.11498102133357258,-0.04726441428063071,-0.30118828370430095,0.07996843482339279,-0.27228381919339134,-0.30380341810638567,-0.2880605162708308,-0.3037464105500725,-0.18900686441916048,0.0023979811725786102,0.45462603644404626,-0.29504813359473037,0.2593851483752714,-0.15365095406955115,-0.24973131519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k{42}	=[0.8150605862507109;1.097808106573566;0.4497462723431273];
x_a_linear{42}	=[5.04836385275572,8.341485665607873,14.505670683187471];
L_a{42}	=[-0.08179829852988785,-0.1536291666392469,0.026405366646965668,-0.1181573840929925,-0.14548310164228567,0.04660791586858412,0.0354063748133203,0.010475755181068776,-0.1475547907091285,-0.11840673382071508,-0.022411247882672784,-0.15468782983502224,-0.10516632665368704,0.07026677636108632,0.08662113888099535,-0.06548387793012536,0.03969652182014893,-0.00842461417355429,-0.005259452694962194,0.03923487632471932,0.04731708635894321,-0.14979026298883763,0.10064234327016296,0.019486575584628657,0.011823730154427883,0.08474183054019202,-0.12103753094597486,0.08972438951523953,0.08750516566255476,0.09776834644125096,-0.05478108577762969,-0.0015365882637713736,0.09643441213941797,-0.04344618537736484,0.07800745304682899,0.09732099395259929,0.08627410457204869,0.09727207218372949,0.04182446614447541,-0.0171868550645566,-0.154397572358835,0.09164984882817687,-0.09775960278238774,0.028232474115338396,0.0638735889176298,-0.03405900710865381,-0.14222500795209664,-0.15243897925616842,0.009167554913542349,0.034661668142987025,-0.037955315841687896,-0.15493893161364272,0.02751239973683955,0.026133897880091204,0.0976756883335403,0.22977361057962548,-0.08521244465713516,0.0106241230047078,0.010287171767232189,-0.0010454175325880306,0.07420585702802754,0.01610783233047249,0.08288909482869201,-0.07678244575362345,0.273319518957056,-0.02014275427778067,0.06949243452010564,-0.15170191357667806,-0.0856293852405949,0.02133830909435838,0.004653142965999165,-0.0040000570587718385,-0.13161146397914747,-0.05489110991853317,-0.14684113850965702,5.922667225796483E-4,-0.15139298019472014,-0.001079079899359817,-0.002711212449279123,-0.08016599152488134,0.019952075088145265,0.09114136455308748,-0.002290148331747011,0.04398869178811273,0.6826997283139972,0.06248090853702146,-0.1364795733005175,0.08197581149971163,-0.15434167412919045,0.02420047414272587,0.07071097265492045,-0.07273451385191339,0.007414362957728578,0.08450484727344576,-0.08993873151835886,0.013900156381995817,0.1393225055488796,-0.15283109210758827,0.08201195655966902,-0.07751315568187647;-0.10224494367584464,-0.2373739058334342,0.05369336509878659,-0.1714508432301062,-0.22579776173234245,0.07543077090227096,0.06461474184032104,0.032558662878654894,-0.2293354037452542,-0.1702160048068659,-0.013443870636862618,-0.23905691410838184,-0.1455175854432759,0.09926907711328364,0.1379278803281001,0.004501379382252884,0.06962792505361648,0.005429540967650717,0.009984965689008307,0.06870485138272242,0.07738407272547869,-0.23433365193703468,0.12250293475451593,0.04458618597990184,0.03399934164562094,0.11035398700805588,-0.17659998142433048,0.11450675256127496,0.11317846717114471,0.12078276917711928,-0.059482009697105875,0.014577519812324689,0.11925913655296884,-0.043295314937746576,0.10509420596394196,0.12014738112389858,0.11205755344627351,0.12011102289020016,0.07007998477017094,-0.006428457842612969,-0.23785977574723968,0.11597251711816357,-0.13146551218862565,0.05560677060113819,0.09184114415163605,-0.02985253645622797,-0.2199911282345644,-0.23794994358335728,0.030130811644345473,0.06227327104913391,-0.035264840608903704,-0.23911083972650332,0.05489339609774618,0.053930790416426976,0.12004655355857742,0.19982184630498778,-0.10839570731072994,0.032207852857038324,0.03146155473648563,0.015009132184263831,0.10258047215483866,0.03971456090753241,0.10977286722439655,-0.09490345484369082,0.2220171741758308,-0.010541701351714942,0.09811759909488661,-0.23626005775200262,-0.10961042185738168,0.046742449356573776,0.024451645032732137,0.011758178193496577,-0.1976437788107971,-0.05924910173704171,-0.22805073902787393,0.01795311031292558,-0.23364107794035707,0.015094963367957818,0.013636693470455161,-0.10204573841537086,0.04551301094504117,0.11528209357944849,0.014423543575466578,0.0727745356806518,0.9272843517950348,0.09193830123962178,-0.20821942241932911,0.10828046675771463,-0.2409941702628497,0.04934561946237307,0.09904934296607783,-0.08970917642623771,0.027890786447232408,0.11016943447578317,-0.1169616020969932,0.037111273744018514,0.16026616715288886,-0.2356683017176399,0.10853189021266584,-0.09529497069850873;0.07289742812880629,0.21567454648866902,-0.1092972830772038,0.1508096271300419,0.20961869368814323,-0.12905901303647155,-0.12296706654815168,-0.07609188510823423,0.21121385745315166,0.14902272380914544,-0.016462816563010768,0.2138342398193403,0.12243384190087453,-0.15111946595782794,-0.33902996634531374,-0.2526172156204053,-0.12684073467379697,-0.036923350930759824,-0.04133671826336941,-0.12662886082743438,-0.13625288122746232,0.21743134964874944,-0.14884905326815764,-0.0954490551922176,-0.07703743479979569,-0.15236194312939827,0.15666653310501544,-0.15307450727787,-0.15166354773615023,-0.14981641858273487,0.02895677037636672,-0.04967736124114082,-0.14975466472737484,0.011743690808517195,-0.14978656266451199,-0.15097757523851965,-0.15258190869192037,-0.15099739088610623,-0.12332875087521995,-0.024591011693318485,0.21217126718856819,-0.15112784643962313,0.10587054595636405,-0.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x_a{42}	=[5.04836385275572,8.341485665607877,14.505670683187482];
std_x_a{42}	=[1.1343752521581862,1.5516276469480828,2.8982563544648734];
pred_a{42}	=[5.04836385275572];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.2 to 4.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{43}	=[9.67113126756981,15.41012025443294,19.167931618060752];
std_x_f{43}	=[1.6332948609883517,2.8400381530335688,2.613601743205431];
pred_f{43}	=[9.67113126756981];
obs{43}	=[10.266847668201605];
sqrt_r{43}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{43}	=[3.684138963567231];
L_f{43}	=[-0.12840117069665585,-0.29140697341062427,0.08090829018165784,-0.2128765728887547,-0.2777535398884065,0.11317717877280475,0.09713246626005652,0.050478916440573826,-0.28094504922212327,-0.21210002765831848,-0.013289804830757758,-0.29302669940409753,-0.1820383727956324,0.14817641913447266,0.22828923071834153,0.017477869990161297,0.10437138893801343,0.011599397358863167,0.018384032114959186,0.10340380842807335,0.11562990633797461,-0.2869035867419077,0.18085911311792177,0.06804407462947988,0.05211294281759083,0.16429647370137354,-0.2196212314993639,0.17034639871084528,0.1678347530318984,0.1784975381788053,-0.07461612558994718,0.0249605788122482,0.17631611508446524,-0.05281338375813067,0.15632132018104572,0.17791402955023974,0.16663260412805492,0.1782605924804992,0.10498913382096288,-0.0038738873340037837,-0.2913538289742964,0.17162354120178044,-0.16476596687598885,0.08371829536975016,0.13871853392112957,-0.035601218517880846,-0.2702178268509287,-0.29185202653193915,0.04665515569389217,0.09356705106955189,-0.041977714957547846,-0.2931125581121915,0.0829120801917735,0.08098007111772754,0.17731531821790675,0.2775391730856187,-0.13636269023036962,0.04985462710167497,0.048869907784089665,0.0259531025725391,0.15290084376519567,0.060401784407009204,0.16344920210419384,-0.11934221854340023,0.27381290915324996,-0.009902745208935502,0.14698562699920067,-0.28944992654560747,-0.13776042799413496,0.07056566845707594,0.03827498740902159,0.020630611988979943,-0.24495935659001553,-0.07341418685293805,-0.28030919214029115,0.02962278234442058,-0.2868909158517179,0.025468514623806202,0.02321152711501409,-0.12893925485565674,0.06886130151691751,0.1718120512542636,0.023947055206765905,0.10867813221990305,-0.06710510887733814,0.13762212935806864,-0.25701182427622365,0.16124743330321245,-0.2951278040552495,0.07577086344999776,0.1482411418237648,-0.1130768430176447,0.04370281982612313,0.16446953764892053,-0.14714614674898233,0.056583062147241396,0.2531806292091273,-0.28894900246010474,0.16099796619548631,-0.12026480098765722;-0.16978592067538073,-0.4373525336308937,0.1502250195397001,-0.30849455648325536,-0.41631530542734707,0.19202436207115248,0.1738830698670424,0.1033307570528651,-0.422077770097425,-0.30657145646445944,0.005998197824879465,-0.43913424108241184,-0.2574757552398097,0.236880166101109,0.40220392232162266,0.13709163665181298,0.18227436817965684,0.04356108698729665,0.052648319683715215,0.18154544081841312,0.1986229818065683,-0.43205520247413776,0.2671075906975121,0.1306728549788282,0.10545276660157288,0.25270219701342317,-0.31944434312273784,0.25869308725843615,0.2565497095095484,0.2648419988521353,-0.08562163408097716,0.06358888216508904,0.2628218269385605,-0.052061979675684746,0.24473414043007966,0.2647790574249255,0.25509303699733377,0.2649152549636681,0.1814624292165692,0.019995385267900567,-0.43635775630020296,0.2597926670241462,-0.22841045449768171,0.1531225741400882,0.2267782986987998,-0.026663413607023585,-0.40492353948602405,-0.4386298851550706,0.09692229434881626,0.16619541968146567,-0.03697974772314171,-0.43938585897490723,0.1528885865695891,0.149816775872027,0.264427316733912,0.285430180609034,-0.18221905451748296,0.10222643658002702,0.1006405757514261,0.06501011911309605,0.24223232903714176,0.11913172727906828,0.2529703214127645,-0.15528632663488218,0.2040326501586118,0.011012760846461116,0.23574186425450327,-0.4355366248063053,-0.18468544654782265,0.1335770280359635,0.08427779842128957,0.05723792063311417,-0.3631179987576679,-0.08375776716050716,-0.42080961433549025,0.07023318934795267,-0.42936996008019535,0.06401596744115792,0.06108818705651675,-0.17195881431238666,0.1321950962091058,0.2586748964976475,0.06249614153642642,0.18718625802627292,-1.4457038489077356,0.2249742655855403,-0.3825327041694142,0.249498855231887,-0.44401828077650934,0.14239418525734202,0.237626784362756,-0.1468776008210761,0.09228842525137701,0.25392832667197246,-0.19933607432973444,0.1130164789153857,0.37627894665993994,-0.43261804825570593,0.24928950812470893,-0.15678118598732144;-0.16344277723846146,-0.2591781067448647,0.027760437203281696,-0.21621496030584966,-0.24792821666662765,0.06864705410583956,0.045484158818692215,-2.2502270867350883E-5,-0.25110343506725175,-0.21540366572219338,-0.059570601163657394,-0.2628641318224089,-0.1974818450461272,0.11638647521268494,0.12056537832196951,-0.1987671679451907,0.05447531880707967,-0.034146351072513355,-0.027110581124036536,0.053015122874408786,0.06845301311503663,-0.2522956351985388,0.18341042693442763,0.014775022835702745,0.002515844807826959,0.14765463470449716,-0.21872309825461597,0.15858069421368948,0.1545073700269192,0.17721777714090642,-0.11869681001006262,-0.02214595402508261,0.1731786346427327,-0.09927151398361173,0.13382497064601476,0.17500455449035587,0.15130768167730685,0.17551173983810864,0.05897709693170684,-0.0496094423919311,-0.262444343558194,0.16297031504000653,-0.18756732901559464,0.03214985207832771,0.10026563178992315,-0.08148991252836978,-0.2437922472061902,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k{43}	=[0.7285661561930518;1.1049218344500307;0.6534456249754801];
x_a_linear{43}	=[10.105150075759276,16.06834031263099,19.55719989377974];
L_a{43}	=[0.09894184889081441,0.22454892406736068,-0.06234534917193121,0.16403590086349704,0.2140280234473222,-0.08721072603366196,-0.07484718205411918,-0.03889744381252262,0.21648729879907316,0.1634375198640887,0.010240699942368233,0.22579703328335315,0.14027296695001465,-0.11418002492999724,-0.17591240365320648,-0.013467889444600516,-0.08042526510311869,-0.008938125832329577,-0.014166149090800634,-0.07967967840725936,-0.0891007197058905,0.22107875786205605,-0.13936426703550434,-0.05243259476045141,-0.040156572448198154,-0.1266016250946718,0.16923311977863906,-0.13126350444390347,-0.12932811035142502,-0.13754451267109621,0.05749680772288193,-0.019233826324708513,-0.13586357757528597,0.04069630990790982,-0.12045622602854081,-0.13709487952335456,-0.12840177272893308,-0.13736192986947574,-0.08090127961708495,0.0029850940855247698,0.22450797265889608,-0.1322476297339186,0.12696340156825084,-0.06451064959087711,-0.10689208008862182,0.027433164073299033,0.2082212432085342,0.22489186781498058,-0.03595097567722345,-0.07209978676871846,0.032346688956003164,0.22586319326675627,-0.06388940587573012,-0.0624006612729917,-0.13663353165673076,-0.21386283922280505,0.10507674204149252,-0.038416386349429815,-0.03765759303476021,-0.019998633494132667,-0.11782051594244569,-0.046543689540437375,-0.1259487446117073,0.09196130914811976,-0.21099149902455472,0.00763073977247038,-0.11326243847132847,0.22304088614106943,0.10615379420434386,-0.054375654579146004,-0.029493485144835064,-0.015897291923926617,0.18875787122984267,0.05657063204825271,0.2159973276020396,-0.022826371742134557,0.221068994078006,-0.019625225468818633,-0.017886062844118523,0.09935647939037717,-0.05306232374787152,-0.13239288957092812,-0.018452837344025294,-0.08374390418324798,0.05170905768475342,-0.10604722568415628,0.19804511861318194,-0.12425213176295143,0.22741607754728152,-0.058386611906424635,-0.11422989817109774,0.08713341049929783,-0.03367599977381966,-0.12673498265561714,0.1133861298733671,-0.043601103902534126,-0.1950929218275667,0.22265489000953356,-0.12405990036239685,0.09267222176903828;0.17499576334431496,0.34513088519212903,-0.06702920321103299,0.2631197278001967,0.32950603487333463,-0.11187799394453193,-0.08693616650305687,-0.03221478138297566,0.33231338274213973,0.2629576554579109,0.04168386381204405,0.34769845160353735,0.2313320678365102,-0.1610018395223986,-0.21079629398154984,0.09016021526686681,-0.09798275912128704,0.012414488141632036,0.003283679803271607,-0.09611354788432495,-0.11186541649963912,0.33833576243271185,-0.21853369475791526,-0.05203849033856258,-0.034480444960173516,-0.18846523607083432,0.27028063860441276,-0.19871955076936842,-0.1941186798315061,-0.21445800653528707,0.11473692414980938,-0.0034350425413654136,-0.2106206405156379,0.08975204968332443,-0.17501848119930133,-0.2129541157715956,-0.19234735277595347,-0.21374850593750866,-0.10045346116170716,0.030397513157184496,0.3459829595540386,-0.20104934268593044,0.21401765749239413,-0.07167704960347066,-0.14570747748669735,0.06893266240342522,0.3206629710443843,0.3450485863595476,-0.028355715665154588,-0.08504999546144384,0.0757384399369577,0.3476773807520368,-0.06974619533306714,-0.06763019241119891,-0.2116982021064734,-0.45981554385526513,0.18394083109723156,-0.031642765663446905,-0.030584466919657022,-0.0046789215860399145,-0.16833565967645023,-0.04305860815675683,-0.1859220254981134,0.16517033945929877,-0.5312073434643451,0.03760352439659187,-0.1589426368954165,0.3416917491431776,0.18522763210550897,-0.055905278648642406,-0.018497858086481436,0.001840784412901318,0.2946446915920574,0.11337335584063092,0.33187414071104526,-0.009309642906958059,0.34098698106476755,-0.004371861998662613,-0.0012391995550121294,0.1742677285156679,-0.05271065949370585,-0.20267329873236806,-0.00180627857940833,-0.10463529811370731,-1.2655138060948603,-0.144567454797599,0.3075931654480523,-0.18348132163485772,0.34845627947182556,-0.06106506482718272,-0.16042901405163718,0.15675533451531223,-0.025061998691856723,-0.18770381618832951,0.1957794530277176,-0.03891985739891444,-0.3035594319644577,0.3432652487849869,-0.18302080187834077,0.16615279029844104;0.0404595043256354,0.2035789414948978,-0.10072269792688539,0.12183506422319741,0.193147049146548,-0.11107938333670882,-0.10876312239312172,-0.08018350218443358,0.1950399779539847,0.12141319758749299,-0.038466264561190275,0.20246505671627776,0.09159682412687728,-0.11891908914930552,-0.2419600935832075,-0.22652219189504091,-0.11126744053856345,-0.05256630451537034,-0.056304599155567216,-0.11119110940918896,-0.1151683790532352,0.2033099921348992,-0.10379556664273022,-0.09327961551838512,-0.0802400045498832,-0.113249729787549,0.13003750836346142,-0.11193100879427473,-0.11201581572968923,-0.10623801294855899,-2.0569215875444573E-4,-0.06178359082671058,-0.1068130348037569,-0.01540335774347936,-0.11441477412491904,-0.10752461834140611,-0.11330648017443024,-0.10756777822650465,-0.10774664716956216,-0.04345767242254551,0.20022831081069606,-0.10956950240313951,0.07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x_a{43}	=[10.105150075759278,16.068340312630987,19.55719989377973];
std_x_a{43}	=[1.2585649527435505,2.357159205259789,2.4451756909343225];
pred_a{43}	=[10.105150075759278];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.3 to 4.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{44}	=[14.477428282005915,14.990554706721023,34.43363529095007];
std_x_f{44}	=[1.3879686629338974,2.435058761856387,3.2702842348900476];
pred_f{44}	=[14.477428282005915];
obs{44}	=[14.957414510161763];
sqrt_r{44}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{44}	=[2.933685695071167];
L_f{44}	=[0.08502167832180241,0.10303255957679246,-0.0011017858833227813,0.09786315566732011,0.1012100086744393,-0.023962481257861937,-0.010610578387272864,0.0141416796036633,0.10170150822183553,0.09788615975904585,0.042996521734486357,0.10410756281604146,0.09394371782368255,-0.05189491426512385,-0.060157585356330964,0.11638926517071753,-0.016005577115910496,0.03134721943997653,0.02730685407630556,-0.015319837185658077,-0.023563022632448034,0.10024171997486603,-0.09187402626005492,0.005821587475587342,0.012585721838230108,-0.07038901959159709,0.09799299998889756,-0.07728895177191493,-0.07451151173873198,-0.08829456685467126,0.06880344565702183,0.025030273767482892,-0.08581577413399602,0.060720591014166346,-0.062220318590322767,-0.08698204454348035,-0.07228662526779311,-0.08725269591951682,-0.018421995381719666,0.037865523653974845,0.10421925292016485,-0.07943180005051988,0.0917263981007008,-0.003346034045754987,-0.04301775784138305,0.052980880366197046,0.09977198150267254,0.1020401431900542,0.015234686836074658,-0.010324023021996202,0.05558075864996217,0.10437516776321813,-0.0021108426661170933,-0.0014493986690269972,-0.0873797936774478,-0.27349015404899546,0.08684759221294507,0.013904216988795992,0.014250659711120795,0.02498944599186876,-0.0570950143349262,0.009084502803480582,-0.06840460891090071,0.0822879174543014,-0.3410635009820582,0.04086416933415569,-0.050973665988536775,0.10204989134208542,0.08649410719813583,0.0037747287114254825,0.019215006194512507,0.027308439598069525,0.0990319690686906,0.0684086377128869,0.1007260726857933,0.0224742657409079,0.10327310713850783,0.024631457641408058,0.026071913368949127,0.08325098375578582,0.005467730544769542,-0.07976961613607954,0.025503337249945964,-0.020505504434231877,-1.133143338638047,-0.04284209089803003,0.09950858867160618,-0.06742253860863437,0.10254585894202717,0.0015320703357413832,-0.05244134995128519,0.07921616948868086,0.01685478921743897,-0.06986547842967174,0.08874104658840443,0.011204567193851963,-0.13813324286566117,0.10388494579141544,-0.06746703045807348,0.08229288453202177;-0.07341791412343271,-0.3166498603624439,0.13218018055157507,-0.19369757452826755,-0.2974472410586287,0.14693236082719605,0.14268266512468727,0.108483146364985,-0.3014181610882596,-0.19252187366904105,0.052606266464965926,-0.3183288909005329,-0.14772999105671583,0.15651375704017312,0.2540550075142705,0.19509147484074146,0.14586932084572068,0.0738566550840129,0.07984692003404104,0.14578288716261242,0.15034226319896501,-0.3120711308665523,0.1420725312954827,0.12326592050716927,0.10933405545717019,0.15132223947173487,-0.20399579918754102,0.15000988981765043,0.1500061024024292,0.14409080288332987,-0.008361512761406389,0.0859812398476015,0.14510232922224844,0.01522116673139303,0.15223170714219525,0.14534171952314742,0.1512495670991455,0.1445992215304927,0.14331280804334592,0.06046630194496138,-0.3153203394907116,0.14777200839660334,-0.12280899961269212,0.1329870455383662,0.1565323765597327,0.031292694947946675,-0.28479701126652923,-0.3181353325953393,0.10494939901837849,0.13721572502257845,0.025994089308195075,-0.3175570709734195,0.13414818731014447,0.13219977678145248,0.14440633398101974,-0.014031694373066892,-0.08339948510198256,0.1079805133620644,0.10711726475528201,0.0869615447024407,0.15476425984667838,0.11613461465282973,0.15310903679160384,-0.06230064958661647,-0.12801550518198634,0.05493265954380134,0.15594943072214398,-0.31435863289226146,-0.08614407533276768,0.12419951239416856,0.09834178700433434,0.08269550746867148,-0.24410537388815845,-0.007124516603799711,-0.30185953713373936,0.0899298902022343,-0.30866212325747217,0.0862454107205099,0.0846523980363998,-0.07662554767208207,0.12405688067372696,0.1483130463731753,0.08492202356252834,0.14540049486578668,-1.7631383772163842,0.15449659517086456,-0.264578884877419,0.15143227736861503,-0.3234889702659908,0.12956787414293786,0.15603575699675118,-0.05641809858626929,0.10330863041155697,0.15253026518443963,-0.09872352543496984,0.11412111242683812,0.16840923230003385,-0.3120080377808926,0.15143129460796267,-0.06314572039886795;0.28685310529905905,0.5368083152193253,-0.13004689279680645,0.4219467761539543,0.5152997645782674,-0.2079146702886232,-0.16652604163994172,-0.06618965611745353,0.5195872818446106,0.4215748322506682,0.06507916439395266,0.5399709014775822,0.3739651380701648,-0.29369174049093627,-0.42953596220861606,0.11105613670413635,-0.18481660395822105,0.013808681169289235,-0.0013350313094172173,-0.1817932815377683,-0.21030281847601165,0.527488106297898,-0.38747825190945095,-0.10311808599545257,-0.07023288271773222,-0.33909289192817393,0.4323146227395128,-0.3563337581457558,-0.34911671041909037,-0.380633911302697,0.1882266898042418,-0.013656004626660626,-0.37458496295298144,0.14603112200494758,-0.3175112573276466,-0.3785717188656087,-0.34542640324383733,-0.3792159204154239,-0.18848023364993588,0.045761988076670874,0.5379810467186498,-0.359670102899692,0.34738841263753745,-0.1374207837375249,-0.2692071838284474,0.1114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k{44}	=[0.6591318553040354;0.4031707390064445;0.9588998655789299];
x_a_linear{44}	=[14.793802495090665,15.184071109039532,34.89389402060845];
L_a{44}	=[-0.08798919027980331,-0.10662870539092659,0.0011402415201492951,-0.10127887375737359,-0.10474254198757867,0.024798843831262785,0.01098091944460135,-0.014635266700018358,-0.10525119634552486,-0.10130268076099937,-0.044497229494178045,-0.107741229472275,-0.09722263575994922,0.05370620265275495,0.06225726578411188,-0.12045160013039444,0.0165642198341406,-0.03244133155790169,-0.02825994530675758,0.01585454552052531,0.02438544289994477,-0.10374045710388509,0.09508070574389786,-0.006024778365126938,-0.01302500133485049,0.0728458078069441,-0.10141325003579504,0.07998656834608353,0.07711218731298403,0.0913763124534354,-0.07120489257937136,-0.025903905506860135,0.08881100242111442,-0.06283992203053877,0.06439199460392217,0.09001797917108414,0.07480964562118823,0.09029807709311563,0.019064978355762825,-0.03918714416837875,-0.1078568178965224,0.08220420846621002,-0.094927924918343,0.00346282068462926,0.044519206804993466,-0.05483007223273534,-0.10325432334803128,-0.10560165069131208,-0.015766423167970386,0.010684362436333514,-0.057520694078009756,-0.10801817463592871,0.0021845174156257287,0.0014999870362192847,0.0904296109445695,0.2830357819236199,-0.08987883405035098,-0.014389515926611827,-0.014748050540576003,-0.025861652719240284,0.059087801834837105,-0.009401579238972547,0.0707921352328015,-0.08516001294646987,0.3529676416386469,-0.04229045159000475,0.05275280004410795,-0.1056117390831302,-0.08951301134674135,-0.003906478081826814,-0.019885667627934898,-0.028261586167993697,-0.10248848225728481,-0.07079630465207859,-0.10424171517930216,-0.02325868512252737,-0.10687764878509246,-0.025491169500038012,-0.026981901459251115,-0.0861566931546945,-0.005658570764522862,0.08255381534787355,-0.02639348032582953,0.021221208132565277,1.1726934448451993,0.04433740855765651,-0.10298173731599221,0.06977578772708426,-0.10612501744207666,-0.0015855441924276616,0.05427171058572408,-0.08198105175006082,-0.01744307198884024,0.07230399348587661,-0.0918383756709932,-0.011595640244728861,0.14295450796054462,-0.1075108424448018,0.06982183247571153,-0.08516515339012254;-0.17924335586009651,-0.44489322541581505,0.1335515599468453,-0.31550664584581556,-0.42342209932483554,0.17675816777753367,0.15588952209432594,0.09088117095711709,-0.4280047828216585,-0.31435957789782526,-9.1097755449608E-4,-0.44791029932010573,-0.26466058609210336,0.22110672126286132,0.32893241725028,0.05022318191575429,0.16579126665971083,0.0348391549601532,0.045858413195513946,0.1648513008837548,0.1796708688904669,-0.436840772047146,0.2564270065893794,0.11601986187397159,0.09366876162393947,0.23893459009480228,-0.3259664861419373,0.24621050152127927,0.24274966851239047,0.2539899688934051,-0.0940003189268189,0.054826364637918984,0.25191617229096497,-0.06035700925172743,0.22967657567201794,0.2536072050870986,0.2412238442671749,0.2532015835474973,0.1662424400786303,0.01333554839637561,-0.4450407672150053,0.2466397971088978,-0.23697972394465977,0.13715181313584524,0.21007605290136738,-0.03465195798079214,-0.4089819747237261,-0.44514344912637704,0.0859869708945159,0.15006591003853414,-0.04318660027933183,-0.4474715639933547,0.13677552732492193,0.1340038255538349,0.25316689302073936,0.32637815090566835,-0.19149761949676972,0.0906741047626893,0.08937964314235398,0.05585748732504286,0.2258297249400123,0.1048272452723106,0.23825141574371983,-0.1647234126521921,0.2965020574456131,0.004069528441861144,0.21939572849759942,-0.4413788828287458,-0.19380223125879403,0.11950115379660305,0.07442510412246339,0.04870502715062286,-0.36736925293179745,-0.09227191015640658,-0.4272320462016999,0.06195644687949932,-0.43720489491489617,0.055586937058605054,0.05220100677185518,-0.1802470275683291,0.1172512634285903,0.24760131062989202,0.053178332029888406,0.17092344510175317,-0.3527287413532103,0.20782162101952154,-0.38843600650359045,0.2353522854430303,-0.45112654499994903,0.1276609249594858,0.22130886302574146,-0.15501749457909558,0.08232968069519463,0.23949097053512927,-0.20917841930153272,0.10017492486430131,0.34034198796086695,-0.44131235751633063,0.2354066811424778,-0.1655746659252501;0.035158247417779044,0.23179474748344456,-0.12678520887345476,0.13223650997607136,0.2156816053946963,-0.1369770760923231,-0.13511489954139805,-0.10805413242871334,0.21851410658546536,0.13179646565755002,-0.06220606028004421,0.23177493611246888,0.09585782269848658,-0.1400640618972047,-0.251447794630537,-0.23349810092420126,-0.13743431820458937,-0.07899040369534024,-0.08217317625765845,-0.13644103350739972,-0.1405477660024532,0.23073643118565698,-0.11549797065716155,-0.12035208632611477,-0.10749116239337994,-0.13071598580014476,0.14221997050020105,-0.12753056211384625,-0.1285357394505336,-0.1192501219582697,-0.015456345137044414,-0.08775465008965665,-0.12053929482495851,-0.033723745546977345,-0.13331665479763063,-0.12107346933998912,-0.1314318993406023,-0.12091644512043001,-0.1339444775814447,-0.06633363015630243,0.2294544383288521,-0.12452330246487768,0.07584516402587906,-0.12751531515309358,-0.1418590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x_a{44}	=[14.793802495090661,15.184071109039529,34.893894020608435];
std_x_a{44}	=[1.4364129383926525,2.440114123281072,3.326630973267493];
pred_a{44}	=[14.793802495090661];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.4 to 4.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{45}	=[9.871221370119802,1.8482286877117593,36.3768877935765];
std_x_f{45}	=[1.707815307164332,2.7905671690435807,1.716639284153109];
pred_f{45}	=[9.871221370119802];
obs{45}	=[9.880904579855688];
sqrt_r{45}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{45}	=[3.92135030197345];
L_f{45}	=[-0.06868171946484584,-0.22587210358283533,0.08863579732875719,-0.1475898497454238,-0.21259518504912006,0.10540283514145161,0.0981217723675156,0.06927214293869081,-0.21542595854631566,-0.1468817363481474,0.024084113465732627,-0.22697613521598933,-0.11749792029562234,0.11923919045072268,0.1857487578780789,0.09132593937050189,0.10233325112790885,0.04154237765528316,0.04617148377430379,0.10141044034230182,0.10685351282017277,-0.22226153010991154,0.12138168337338931,0.08087392512215157,0.06991116097145451,0.12198153183650762,-0.1542049475538954,0.12238012495608874,0.12159533739496621,0.12168638833513752,-0.02210797677125263,0.051015313253430214,0.12164282148228861,-0.004798496454214229,0.11946603309986141,0.12280529103690214,0.1221911698470681,0.12232002911425587,0.10108040937725271,0.03054794577176864,-0.2254469074013088,0.12167585195481447,-0.10163154780010582,0.08963636398955238,0.11649992623251683,0.007590194475497881,-0.20523026543781822,-0.22638359752582873,0.06635471031949713,0.09512043711009266,0.00388934477931913,-0.22687733271290428,0.08994582441351183,0.08915359868252183,0.12128102298943591,0.06680894954120359,-0.07520643631483227,0.06798896572719518,0.06736966630954638,0.05224914800279204,0.12014240862497329,0.07562974893351719,0.12199266905006069,-0.06039067820852701,0.00452772031796204,0.02626829269978488,0.11894079233072946,-0.22397670717588572,-0.07754327709864181,0.08188674071583711,0.06071707798689583,0.047657551214558926,-0.17922433002170224,-0.020991916618918423,-0.21486308599553386,0.053840210353408746,-0.22095503229836783,0.05155049775104432,0.050439556918106844,-0.06992933175357598,0.08182291985883997,0.12223830989422897,0.05026544614550455,0.10291982838134274,-1.1914820987362353,0.11518606523049109,-0.19215984186723406,0.12094379640484809,-0.22977899943966645,0.08550363975915247,0.11905773545246257,-0.0553332736949065,0.06460470646519748,0.12232745416176401,-0.08537079515876045,0.07327304012031981,0.15229467836868799,-0.2229028660391003,0.1208845274957514,-0.06092831835949533;0.047746456918665324,-0.10549833287966587,0.09029874419531685,-0.022499895622206886,-0.09169487514263876,0.07478889462620736,0.08670759796602989,0.09283829037925878,-0.09437484739314295,-0.02205048443519013,0.0877187025170185,-0.10545842505622816,0.005565421086917776,0.04958405840444194,0.09362498184499576,0.2493380999598424,0.08271588935559215,0.09006454452932115,0.08827549939350728,0.0827431383222948,0.07744316794730749,-0.10508190313258398,-0.00301521034866862,0.09282833523669337,0.09148306193902093,0.026750338859919412,-0.03059331943304172,0.017819627365479894,0.02074301232215981,0.00265228505721021,0.07512014234912877,0.09034252725700662,0.005779774101023427,0.08197043313138284,0.03613095886224492,0.00473027005540277,0.02525347663237798,0.004862015161225878,0.07823421084732889,0.08715389563540263,-0.10328534554324517,0.014296579210261614,0.02032885840523393,0.08853710994035731,0.05858723408423819,0.08453778357236486,-0.0858431021107323,-0.10737864478934171,0.09163344026292718,0.08454215905401825,0.08429275100951485,-0.10477284612487063,0.09025230751842829,0.09064937701436254,0.002681844882573468,-0.2893697044957139,0.042089086868223005,0.09190327139388597,0.09081766113502139,0.0911983810119417,0.04382210591284293,0.091859449884774,0.030029686050774256,0.052175303974977966,-0.4297437447904184,0.08692697446317219,0.050497872800916825,-0.10417764888234102,0.04066406930386741,0.0912439810447729,0.09122945151607044,0.090543226542177,-0.05701512097775017,0.07537912874172949,-0.09643904244173586,0.0902635728781156,-0.09920095112218154,0.08987861531800728,0.09185388233884839,0.04371635691186309,0.0931050451997098,0.014659770833064373,0.09083983392388732,0.07700958917241525,-2.63270938902884,0.05777973415266619,-0.07060258195925355,0.029743085867326994,-0.11054388124265666,0.0904349056202704,0.048552337884238905,0.053550932073165185,0.09234210344721212,0.0275880080535723,0.03407777759132677,0.09278056990738243,-0.03938630248117956,-0.10130356085907075,0.029871189727188958,0.05196490153327759;-0.149359779542838,-0.29942622923005785,0.08540353563361791,-0.23163913208001707,-0.28895416770655574,0.12071690345811185,0.10317788280626913,0.05117182976106741,-0.2917641941932347,-0.2312523950904025,-0.019432760434272993,-0.3017669837122909,-0.2019345199518667,0.1569251376976371,0.24365567958338297,-0.003349789557916178,0.11080006784401791,0.007723157970852619,0.016536385346400707,0.11068250594605061,0.12233603825216151,-0.29386750796832206,0.1857734089744765,0.0712742920007767,0.05336505917282751,0.17099991439012385,-0.23728139412323732,0.17753170985956468,0.17498397931787324,0.18398519054884474,-0.0889861250371411,0.02310262667113659,0.18237399838784066,-0.06495679910553574,0.1635637357095349,0.18376844242433368,0.17347199136000405,0.1832127211228778,0.11178206129553547,-0.008360146842088209,-0.30024207387699936,0.17802971259083075,-0.18437677018031584,0.08844045471645595,0.14769307246923535,-0.04529476407913936,-0.280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k{45}	=[0.7449858025954114;0.9618689796888413;0.4173205628736582];
x_a_linear{45}	=[9.878435223896592,1.8575426667805293,36.380928796113906];
L_a{45}	=[0.04954934100243937,0.16295185925117417,-0.06394489510580197,0.10647636446082107,0.1533734362149632,-0.07604120953495984,-0.07078840187293603,-0.049975292686079954,0.1554156530145149,0.1059655072419943,-0.017375103013631262,0.16374834542383987,0.08476701755821833,-0.0860232293910714,-0.13400550563663924,-0.06588565556448035,-0.07382670666275797,-0.0299700917876308,-0.033309687234789456,-0.07316095940638401,-0.07708777801850482,0.16034706808376842,-0.08756889704831256,-0.058345215077707825,-0.050436302146222106,-0.08800164824150396,0.11124872222399854,-0.08828920694791437,-0.08772303436540584,-0.08778872162714453,0.015949450427977307,-0.03680419145642226,-0.08775729100972499,0.00346179942729233,-0.08618688143507468,-0.08859593629722361,-0.08815288827092187,-0.0882458517526308,-0.07292286378274497,-0.022038332670808056,0.16264510818618141,-0.08778112032208635,0.0733204738872426,-0.06466673810940916,-0.08404703051455502,-0.005475825842330217,0.1480601313629679,0.16332086847225274,-0.047870557032598675,-0.06862313598717407,-0.002805906320461037,0.16367706591954923,-0.06488999344129383,-0.06431845470869368,-0.08749627720523352,-0.048198260739908017,0.05425649485157688,-0.04904956476729218,-0.04860278099037467,-0.03769432203575471,-0.0866748418676411,-0.05456188704992729,-0.08800968300819959,0.04356790032687628,-0.003266452263374119,-0.018950844601374986,-0.0858079547835452,0.16158445546986935,0.05594237170159741,-0.05907589488035619,-0.04380337628827513,-0.03438178710246266,0.12929856027737366,0.015144286470258587,0.15500957750887961,-0.03884216882207754,0.15940451588665516,-0.03719029185370586,-0.03638882114805584,0.0504494111697968,-0.059029852331755735,-0.08818689671290378,-0.03626321168295968,-0.07424988355147207,0.859575928916594,-0.08309916626004248,0.13863068085428237,-0.08725299041560432,0.16577042751911386,-0.06168524953054596,-0.08589232155044899,0.039919315772132764,-0.04660804441049307,-0.08825120843580381,0.06158941089318446,-0.05286167672411644,-0.1098705887118821,0.16080974975365273,-0.08721023179787367,0.04395577231646109;0.20039740557165375,0.39652158093180717,-0.10670183546801143,0.3055310673580169,0.3808159607780671,-0.159477849136557,-0.13137636603665312,-0.06112492453747015,0.38442762279554027,0.3044066364413351,0.03418971697826815,0.39901529272895436,0.2667145177844804,-0.21543515894688894,-0.3192173919647641,0.04635845136982729,-0.14472844350528452,-0.002266914376938594,-0.014344540608127036,-0.14265016927381374,-0.16004783003582213,0.38891320480452335,-0.2727962999955054,-0.0869208249092769,-0.06390042477153941,-0.24436396488895984,0.3121402596692542,-0.2541805834093843,-0.24951294151461623,-0.26780603721910373,0.12425699642362974,-0.023043334725546913,-0.2645817171485043,0.09263549861825864,-0.22939243552273944,-0.2682149084063069,-0.24632676538122658,-0.26700462750647114,-0.14642557492824052,0.01925849438751577,0.3977895336799959,-0.25613832506684897,0.24621359608566498,-0.1106873140173634,-0.20034373613556444,0.06766793237799457,0.37029857511420683,0.39577810770696153,-0.05584553313479012,-0.1268710826976617,0.07564835225497447,0.39948127471453354,-0.10965991848699996,-0.10750206008937208,-0.2668755185206284,-0.43785826310255427,0.20924177229488553,-0.05920797330207742,-0.05891713806218421,-0.024929783382937488,-0.22320459046222682,-0.07623408375190066,-0.24110937110013805,0.18639871000148964,-0.4398069873410953,0.02854346526508114,-0.213858129411828,0.3936295856041434,0.2130105816364234,-0.0907562476881706,-0.0437194057105035,-0.0153797244273951,0.34132615837115193,0.12203544443811341,0.3811123957472094,-0.029400862581031174,0.39189035458197125,-0.02469673961699016,-0.020252312339728098,0.19914022972734663,-0.08875333626382398,-0.25702524393484416,-0.020879384790553058,-0.1517384614010146,0.015460663968066467,-0.1982310685186225,0.35648896995006535,-0.23906476284041578,0.40015944008220994,-0.09960418810391389,-0.2160635803383276,0.17653382748431268,-0.05124733790927575,-0.24429513741217304,0.22382161292024527,-0.0700749784424274,-0.3778741462469605,0.39411697059332995,-0.23880492880155232,0.1873832584101576;-0.08312999028851473,-0.08161773615092359,-6.797298924350847E-5,-0.08931822455352757,-0.08394860855636786,0.019076938521014483,0.008559047462645056,-0.01562730491075899,-0.0840289198640033,-0.08961432138687432,-0.0426570735650638,-0.08289387281398237,-0.08863126313717053,0.04194277389048781,0.06453813295856112,-0.09141540243263906,0.012120103091822978,-0.032336161141580916,-0.02798678128015301,0.012892407730811658,0.01929718467793754,-0.07954069126628342,0.06872503901819857,-0.006712442442462559,-0.014050280654743586,0.053373110498201745,-0.08858154708903711,0.059520542580794304,0.057729582766271374,0.06664299356612431,-0.06766740072726157,-0.02609144522811659,0.06507381292587319,-0.06032960847349454,0.04836262751212564,0.0653472874494231,0.05564303351260035,0.06525950427066425,0.01431021197436776,-0.03781753414078972,-0.08284359752012749,0.060697675840756415,-0.086373458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x_a{45}	=[9.87843522389659,1.8575426667805313,36.380928796113906];
std_x_a{45}	=[1.2320763615591148,2.3268245404048624,1.5882885666347];
pred_a{45}	=[9.87843522389659];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.5 to 4.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{46}	=[3.2429143773199987,-1.2301103971817706,27.956795614729714];
std_x_f{46}	=[1.4969771634439815,1.9144617714065952,0.9200876073989719];
pred_f{46}	=[3.2429143773199987];
obs{46}	=[3.135566284236821];
sqrt_r{46}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{46}	=[3.2588237445372483];
L_f{46}	=[0.13372777073017064,0.25043871561341485,-0.06554145939892995,0.1977504228116857,0.24186070871132284,-0.0994039949346218,-0.08171859412677829,-0.03589745517630756,0.24406631316816452,0.19746448782206763,0.026789467771105215,0.2516840817376999,0.17564219738708467,-0.13569533006887813,-0.20579772509400132,0.032024908760277505,-0.08992106714647262,0.00317528645242179,-0.0045044173481196175,-0.08885432128135809,-0.10017272543116564,0.24589001132218752,-0.1710614731347767,-0.052879154283507125,-0.037209006362338835,-0.15314796113711893,0.20225879853625778,-0.15945073023100992,-0.1571631329169906,-0.16843362974410198,0.08487458377799835,-0.010567990572036043,-0.16566198620632794,0.06496156122597452,-0.14345610213826432,-0.16777541396065987,-0.15515852065194732,-0.16730609060079418,-0.09086512682263796,0.017077475490499677,0.25078017652134693,-0.16074607099851682,0.16237020570684993,-0.06761658983159412,-0.12575433931235733,0.048109775491478275,0.23503323166639306,0.2498944622282491,-0.03202749274704166,-0.07834493360462608,0.05379213042258932,0.2516912559067749,-0.0673008085066516,-0.06582027570104125,-0.16760494777212037,-0.2658890439787787,0.13960280681722614,-0.034501560759572336,-0.034043585019089065,-0.01175702325831992,-0.14068392484187417,-0.04552099127936366,-0.15141899698680217,0.12495536599585556,-0.26099202900430657,0.022959911621700864,-0.13459267752482731,0.24914193167292348,0.14155032106993176,-0.054671689377700707,-0.024013635496572535,-0.005725386847924749,0.21924513572118146,0.08440475341952283,0.2418677783536852,-0.014798407462289827,0.24770238846532494,-0.011010479297959454,-0.0091141380429737,0.13267807139123652,-0.053861650562157845,-0.16132067994821203,-0.009239262993537658,-0.09475118325960494,-0.2742107889397337,-0.12440025708781924,0.2276200502129887,-0.15007841221583473,0.25229496599771756,-0.06116293657242055,-0.13578690738039545,0.11861955625718829,-0.028816522385908577,-0.15346552951531617,0.14856929685787162,-0.04130530511782598,-0.2375298104619641,0.24896306884771732,-0.1496190913422438,0.1256073422403161;0.166380846216198,0.2368763551509678,-0.045983232236931904,0.21253407610414066,0.2337976109454526,-0.08826134013402417,-0.06531758467360185,-0.010669487994891166,0.2347357978756285,0.21180480472875007,0.05850862177530961,0.23839464194353005,0.19781697499700251,-0.1357980181209149,-0.2100151807469591,0.10129453921482433,-0.07579718582821497,0.0326094092152021,0.023329682808821466,-0.07429532710740774,-0.08908589872298026,0.2326694193008128,-0.1882429710695432,-0.03023954047075954,-0.012766824388548165,-0.16161492485067913,0.2144845773432507,-0.17037403528661568,-0.16685677324021514,-0.183454832660351,0.12077376974949307,0.01761113906856369,-0.18062837172936233,0.10036958918633676,-0.1483678970156152,-0.1832844968814838,-0.16332700047303864,-0.1815692622510045,-0.07745031658940124,0.047560774202320105,0.23819642701523566,-0.17292595097790758,0.18818653877732225,-0.049433954138875684,-0.12286868506475036,0.08248518698119343,0.2294918633256236,0.23618227834891375,-0.006558530428339899,-0.061976845211133724,0.08917847398556107,0.23866422439703555,-0.04807618291062473,-0.04618229345645919,-0.18309037426274938,-0.35384994633128086,0.17081655911613233,-0.009796045430424848,-0.009363725813701958,0.01648213597453866,-0.1429048082381561,-0.022145654724209762,-0.15820325223527723,0.1579899660826617,-0.3759933054370378,0.054781046304823354,-0.13386334972301367,0.23626818433587665,0.1723505237954761,-0.03304108394219263,0.0018944292592590166,0.02305587819886821,0.22336425028643753,0.12021263530350482,0.2326180041550009,0.01204944812344963,0.2368182598152466,0.015673613541095067,0.019724624995970313,0.16416836295735646,-0.03172918731564909,-0.17305929687235114,0.019075257716854317,-0.08195037372366513,-1.1230880028606027,-0.12143360023682782,0.22692503281592208,-0.15670678435005492,0.23682899973047317,-0.040386030722184676,-0.13672035739707233,0.1519619269542416,-0.0031592095694237677,-0.16180331658309494,0.17765621381356,-0.01759191582877847,-0.2735166119682991,0.23770670777750252,-0.15601806990760542,0.15847756442254662;0.028167668309198264,0.14245506075054884,-0.05336979944820502,0.08360172701115293,0.13183315219928593,-0.057405678170431046,-0.05595175668646243,-0.047763047476973124,0.13364984743860864,0.08275649134738029,-0.026798540775484738,0.14378179050055823,0.06193549834202249,-0.0584548460788685,-0.06214249327291518,-0.04914168943953444,-0.0573970123470715,-0.03555634946619931,-0.03767379874856887,-0.05682684535470885,-0.05717049712463449,0.13876830013654837,-0.05570144534260066,-0.0512762876401771,-0.047838134808320026,-0.05914237152554972,0.08785545733776898,-0.05760571611432391,-0.05711961048757078,-0.05636630870910914,-0.001242435584758688,-0.0407631622850628,-0.05685510983802978,-0.012193435099863455,-0.056923020545765333,-0.05696259409692804,-0.05757837873187958,-0.056787844310731264,-0.05659655026561739,-0.030586310300774865,0.14278444960143558,-0.05767727794563218,0.051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k{46}	=[0.6931408144805945;0.7921687523640064;0.2435993244971167];
x_a_linear{46}	=[3.168507032647386,-1.3151482021481267,27.9306456917686];
L_a{46}	=[-0.1191898139311632,-0.22321275343288044,0.05841624598900827,-0.17625236681236345,-0.2155672880147549,0.08859748125300071,0.07283471470065757,0.03199493253872858,-0.21753311443496132,-0.17599751669392566,-0.023877102426209385,-0.22432273197973931,-0.15654759449530037,0.12094347384935804,0.183424822140377,-0.02854338254095169,0.08014547167846905,-0.0028300913069579017,0.004014728299583735,0.07919469503364358,0.0892826406955455,-0.21915855275983454,0.15246485484951483,0.04713049896424037,0.03316390096593484,0.13649877577561342,-0.1802706231611346,0.14211635147772952,0.14007744589575033,0.1501226923871888,-0.07564760702095652,0.009419111849615937,0.1476523627335423,-0.05789939032801737,0.1278605485441778,0.14953603326375722,0.13829076118867661,0.1491177314882135,0.08098689972686664,-0.01522093066393591,-0.22351709307646406,0.14327087177081155,-0.14471844180528065,0.06026578261705223,0.11208319873902305,-0.042879613993338075,-0.20948204697498313,-0.2227276675052896,0.028545685614576044,0.06982781517854142,-0.04794422266236722,-0.22432912622285373,0.05998433085009835,0.058664751314328245,0.1493840989782858,0.23698342913463086,-0.12442615679571228,0.03075079009255011,0.03034260230182319,0.010478881139587825,0.12538974315845403,0.040572264466271754,0.13495777262985917,-0.1113710842663908,0.2326187837028063,-0.02046386909109713,0.1199606940509771,-0.22205694685858302,-0.1261619507907879,0.04872816206125791,0.02140303940624587,0.005102962453961819,-0.1954103234446917,-0.07522885336417956,-0.21557358909457672,0.013189627122901905,-0.22077390081569567,0.009813496266715445,0.008123312095562177,-0.1182542306322861,0.04800618505398087,0.14378301321625236,0.00823483432833741,0.08445049102969837,0.24440049163453653,0.11087632295317112,-0.2028747752524021,0.1337629269479329,-0.22486720513507186,0.05451372583081299,0.12102509550999344,-0.10572405986950048,0.025683789706252534,0.136781820319773,-0.13241787215688897,0.036814878498926916,0.2117072150196144,-0.2218975287606137,0.13335354025765114,-0.11195218217029276;-0.12267067593694744,-0.3044449542440759,0.09568411553950955,-0.21490190378279417,-0.2889824041578258,0.12659961123808675,0.11131651228013714,0.06692257836111384,-0.29281161387261606,-0.21501312893237318,6.033983902945146E-4,-0.3056185165109658,-0.18183224993100872,0.15750636803104462,0.23481497958005246,0.03207295140677058,0.11856649189111312,0.025746052581547187,0.03306594539495373,0.11776258783446356,0.12743665755690903,-0.29881990162972066,0.18150505450051885,0.0840583346255039,0.06766014951608415,0.1694131857626058,-0.2226962211293112,0.17427746103347952,0.17285009952053781,0.18061313013810287,-0.06268197395423472,0.04045376737432316,0.17744870541321683,-0.0400443132610499,0.16171133678011487,0.1793607376902873,0.17204691868074223,0.18006153357845853,0.11895393867720071,0.010647945564638632,-0.3038629474403014,0.17452541419897427,-0.1627753807673031,0.09671877170790026,0.1489483279395585,-0.021503713456825196,-0.27853061397135565,-0.3039626316448675,0.06266864264673286,0.10736511112116577,-0.027092791837626726,-0.3053644409673561,0.09739398409183823,0.09608771355886973,0.17918639898641145,0.22086712601853173,-0.13093380722170028,0.06477880614872902,0.06422121481297673,0.04189484905763041,0.1611823861866586,0.07624760904872392,0.1690877159978685,-0.11210007239695696,0.18813890765243432,0.0051533783453737506,0.1570576616480484,-0.3022501367953523,-0.1336093792458088,0.08513134162822035,0.05379971306691835,0.03543125673297609,-0.25053238209481726,-0.062227573784416776,-0.29017729192450825,0.04403608918582307,-0.2985885000217986,0.039472677739455043,0.03942476252201254,-0.12261424235027996,0.08469234574113432,0.17563408101920713,0.03904585183708341,0.12285356189463277,-0.5303835443844798,0.147456574714426,-0.2650739112134038,0.16768652046951812,-0.30850458023597516,0.09181717448406031,0.15678197239175667,-0.10443330872536795,0.05912747638463937,0.1699112155760251,-0.14347515005730727,0.07168917554152751,0.2399022007128326,-0.3004250027671588,0.16738241646488514,-0.11302171556943738;-0.06071838700571082,-0.024006321260558863,-0.009805760701847745,-0.04783884755770526,-0.028926607838854937,0.008666080478038823,-0.0016351144651124809,-0.02390275900402803,-0.02857593180170079,-0.04849402820773704,-0.044604940307591726,-0.02350736035471779,-0.054810200680224457,0.03173900482151102,0.07464695499581896,-0.07042797721639885,0.002371642321406912,-0.03766689603187966,-0.03467980664520677,0.002232765624072209,0.0094122206242896,-0.024669653165372302,0.057999541971301936,-0.016128618558537693,-0.02310608566342635,0.042651878619146,-0.046581740384579705,0.048377852967326974,0.04734344045277019,0.05558800600487591,-0.057656798191186145,-0.03373883974214973,0.05325695132258601,-0.05537202764610194,0.03842925340825034,0.054554218337487616,0.04555224831697867,0.054417018691656625,0.0037996011459685525,-0.04193735147045393,-0.023903894341248687,0.04916727708144802,-0.05626323833412558,-0.008512391279642076,0.02525613305693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x_a{46}	=[3.168507032647387,-1.3151482021481227,27.930645691768596];
std_x_a{46}	=[1.3342361769426683,1.7524788630009898,0.886738431874873];
pred_a{46}	=[3.168507032647387];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.6 to 4.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{47}	=[0.5028115324476782,-0.837638174769289,21.461949285540232];
std_x_f{47}	=[1.611926382031272,2.0514708698265425,0.6912597169764282];
pred_f{47}	=[0.5028115324476782];
obs{47}	=[0.5109705493048241];
sqrt_r{47}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{47}	=[3.613972646257644];
L_f{47}	=[-0.1251638333114661,-0.2861542611178465,0.08786016944866892,-0.20925775553552423,-0.2727866548292657,0.11915140421260684,0.10379274923333047,0.05965660180019373,-0.2760489130108984,-0.20853487890064684,-0.005555593272777359,-0.2870360089362459,-0.17912976836785027,0.1485272375130446,0.21616343600345622,0.014616314578500978,0.10989389890451423,0.01986838623658154,0.02660356084784507,0.10977519701813872,0.11932465313260245,-0.2802904497885999,0.1732905147184103,0.0762505774322953,0.06086172764592534,0.16093864238254638,-0.2159997880542136,0.16581017000895693,0.16396026305649622,0.17205051657598047,-0.06764690918403694,0.03481388140370495,0.16985632262108527,-0.0452673223618683,0.15312813031742084,0.17133909953835583,0.16325553423264072,0.17149938848763324,0.11064976527878946,0.005024634173676195,-0.2859446168899521,0.16610166534480386,-0.16202288698661235,0.08921150384815578,0.14083825435211153,-0.02735514241617611,-0.2631650570728402,-0.2860290256821558,0.05537635777179309,0.09993575747688956,-0.03368155781607132,-0.28710620432659156,0.08969789314827069,0.08795226610035407,0.17135552751693253,0.22045261935810043,-0.13277506394346253,0.05792601676622491,0.057428152902053484,0.035219470670177465,0.15207819535650557,0.06906332865360018,0.16025259067880884,-0.11475125864021786,0.19877947637332524,-5.952035615598238E-4,0.14757471867389382,-0.28434800003804134,-0.13497365715022805,0.07771474049557352,0.04751176137234853,0.02923990088686268,-0.23988137671788246,-0.06693387357902976,-0.27384603135747587,0.03734672426076574,-0.2813514991676909,0.034108737571253954,0.03290979543999155,-0.12482567815185369,0.07698694879998495,0.16737339100685547,0.0325176708577031,0.11436339474226077,-0.28270279777436985,0.13944784103610267,-0.2524014720431876,0.15854365771125503,-0.289156807418257,0.08421628391024222,0.14805173747977265,-0.10737727120105028,0.052075110276268675,0.1616214446386446,-0.1437949514992376,0.06468773466996482,0.22684218991858632,-0.2825038725424049,0.15915264466413795,-0.11552283888638887;-0.14634478796325173,-0.36134219672850326,0.11893957760132566,-0.2580918603894362,-0.34362629002730866,0.152443010150776,0.13614009896246693,0.08644877219086367,-0.347651103274849,-0.2577387708523533,0.006828602311849481,-0.3621214441979221,-0.21866502732154913,0.18362776783055412,0.2561879967609993,0.043487636255819966,0.14359751747920696,0.03760413774121967,0.046107067869419906,0.14338389554763661,0.153607596860807,-0.3542626222209533,0.20522979588997817,0.10566785774281029,0.08718962121068952,0.19468173929210725,-0.2670878169728631,0.19920190423656267,0.19794348960174457,0.2043320116559161,-0.07122500227064446,0.055390389971158506,0.2021836490002182,-0.04304941689394118,0.18663951663897352,0.20410241497801923,0.19742312096443135,0.20436221269620847,0.14437363218977892,0.019630005229173825,-0.3602862533482046,0.19925116226825662,-0.19560043646651548,0.1201377709144496,0.17566467167364586,-0.020414870986434557,-0.33155034304665554,-0.36046156943907254,0.08112733453982435,0.13213199970880146,-0.027772094830747444,-0.36194174507402316,0.12080182128937722,0.11932964913490036,0.20329417911771072,0.2284670423952487,-0.15650521878282475,0.08338358183308478,0.08331310758064629,0.056911532726632026,0.18700958315682523,0.0963527420188946,0.19445639624885322,-0.13281762805218394,0.19548690728268023,0.012652602665275679,0.18333106005830108,-0.35931082606878284,-0.15944586900326624,0.10719398231912118,0.07126826574572476,0.04917943889413876,-0.29978320018968707,-0.07066018043699455,-0.3452967158909305,0.05919718868849475,-0.35480548307976195,0.05491194178364336,0.05441093982633044,-0.14581695105799083,0.10681808015410572,0.20035648445318327,0.05332711602553375,0.14839942787766203,-0.5918473204727845,0.1738073564101995,-0.31663447882791523,0.19344495779719614,-0.3653720724837116,0.11504148278515103,0.1828121504139898,-0.12317850478172075,0.07707896280037044,0.19571816859375807,-0.17131097641084442,0.0919518949472609,0.25474343050950216,-0.35663437195815273,0.19328490533028198,-0.13415090902698928;-0.06046351905308417,0.013281676966167503,-0.01661098200405885,-0.032247944843741626,0.004266318175725328,0.004480253528643706,-0.007143237404751054,-0.032583762842418464,0.006399758694387609,-0.0334877308538943,-0.054728321469274095,0.014962539387183848,-0.04536053715108244,0.030100644832981426,0.08770923477891927,-0.07131376183885994,-0.002644963435511657,-0.04796297058677144,-0.044385197441379726,-0.003360359959775261,0.004769068356195715,0.010285457625431111,0.05668712149816477,-0.02357066966183146,-0.03168610853520333,0.04128408847775136,-0.029156065824242152,0.04742997591837425,0.04604142373761914,0.05432394643900949,-0.06443901392673963,-0.04343429243999247,0.051835565766127634,-0.06349387187710465,0.035351172350286036,0.05322571629867272,0.044490754123013926,0.053833071507505235,-0.0013610032805644538,-0.052348114430284844,0.013100646094729801,0.04816087473061097,-0.050549958621763674,-0.015650508085118295,0.02250838203141793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k{47}	=[0.7232961901259761;0.912392755487313;0.03783003849211787];
x_a_linear{47}	=[0.5087129182556255,-0.8301939468969303,21.462257941461996];
L_a{47}	=[0.09852144445309077,0.22524343011755943,-0.06915824304003007,0.1647151241131168,0.21472125413758755,-0.09378882174715822,-0.081699411944172,-0.04695809024873898,0.21728910764390832,0.16414611908710183,0.0043730290096329295,0.22593748898755261,0.1410001839767197,-0.11691171158044049,-0.17015086059251294,-0.011505084070661519,-0.08650187015055934,-0.015639199113603675,-0.02094072363382375,-0.08640843516222733,-0.09392519288086594,0.22062779038463398,-0.13640387457287437,-0.060019870199387586,-0.04790669285963674,-0.12668122329228265,0.1700220467657498,-0.13051579695265295,-0.12905966142022068,-0.1354278225866163,0.053247579826143206,-0.027403394352555295,-0.13370068502517243,0.03563171459056302,-0.12053325778007623,-0.13486783786658196,-0.12850494125995524,-0.13499400769052308,-0.08709684271601105,-0.003955089929269494,0.2250784107856417,-0.13074524455567996,0.12753467545739197,-0.07022193223405859,-0.1108594063150248,0.021532323457648456,0.20714771085571337,0.2251448523120193,-0.04358893948742933,-0.07866341992447574,0.026512097302197685,0.22599274257852917,-0.07060478864829609,-0.06923073598717991,-0.13488076898363086,-0.17352704785398926,0.10451254760238377,-0.04559587775664285,-0.04520398925545652,-0.027722649838188416,-0.11970681210328266,-0.05436250007427584,-0.12614120463806394,0.0903252916991701,-0.15646725273422055,4.6850845869012166E-4,-0.11616194601782484,0.2238216499919949,0.10624314799040724,-0.06117237133404103,-0.03739840203891819,-0.023015892009876738,0.18882019754724774,0.05268632106717751,0.21555513164850768,-0.029397095969454137,0.2214629846631919,-0.026848347522474846,-0.025904612359828487,0.09825526904208894,-0.060599497467738614,-0.13174627053785468,-0.025595955464058247,-0.09001998855794369,0.22252664568327377,-0.10976495654742194,0.19867526385118492,-0.12479603535087899,0.22760685404544193,-0.06628999542273184,-0.11653742654237462,0.08452093212768064,-0.040990395937338095,-0.12721868417668378,0.1131867405459946,-0.050918295560858175,-0.17855653364392574,0.222370063700501,-0.12527539326653037,0.09093263327982519;0.13582015321527566,0.2837538994846614,-0.07912929651766511,0.21365145970287694,0.27133434498814046,-0.11616772245059787,-0.09784662233985536,-0.048038971532789486,0.27466385178318775,0.21237492159303437,0.019352936279187622,0.28496243326746706,0.18515881873356724,-0.15120680959875635,-0.2311232463605077,0.010537131032584983,-0.10414342093635291,-0.007186453002406195,-0.013867063500395781,-0.1040894455125145,-0.11539370200900427,0.2776143040848678,-0.18543024222694027,-0.06622876068747047,-0.050014915810012904,-0.16813267250541938,0.2198545039708042,-0.1745947080080784,-0.1716827575093206,-0.1835326182854674,0.08127580923234091,-0.023092799130502936,-0.18073446730510045,0.05899964163689805,-0.15856715161856347,-0.18215842142921082,-0.170614410286237,-0.18225997347754633,-0.10507130478026294,0.008302646769874461,0.284337228295183,-0.17520258680350934,0.16965825821077968,-0.08097750391995288,-0.14183613270056442,0.041253599422129424,0.26171970058023036,0.28435220041503073,-0.043711177672214635,-0.09315965510914767,0.04815842382253765,0.2853003784091167,-0.08140995246668477,-0.07894684443467738,-0.18300369194630584,-0.26851358474037246,0.1428182128857566,-0.04720279189098468,-0.04615089936835588,-0.022486002544278596,-0.15583014867307204,-0.059341195691074856,-0.16681140473060446,0.1258735712162622,-0.2526345490073579,0.013994408628655334,-0.1493561924201062,0.2817132987301806,0.14483399381998247,-0.06800339379567057,-0.03584057710631704,-0.01673796468422995,0.24099693382067702,0.08023318869048945,0.2720521402892102,-0.024995952216884363,0.2794634356069068,-0.021981595876848184,-0.01977974488540029,0.1355856650287204,-0.06673858797385929,-0.1769641981978302,-0.019979576827137052,-0.10941738466854316,0.045467918239249186,-0.14055894911441735,0.2523705174893039,-0.16397028483924617,0.2864928584465312,-0.0748127440079396,-0.15095047647362778,0.11888903670176293,-0.04031733323191637,-0.1686355285814312,0.15285530196275554,-0.053877857667472336,-0.256641619642383,0.2802324167113147,-0.16550321606188764,0.12627971359575435;-0.04876426944625377,0.04002894123814719,-0.024823402682486825,-0.012688311286633799,0.029764092411499965,-0.006657005390382534,-0.016844900005944644,-0.03815995411661006,0.0322024610530796,-0.01399566565070014,-0.054209031905406845,0.04179222193882803,-0.02861701135210699,0.016217583096177584,0.06750411700035652,-0.07267997049563943,-0.012916909568324248,-0.049820098190783535,-0.04687187183089721,-0.013621210850769516,-0.006384384396987812,0.03648462273351339,0.04048939942024007,-0.03069792451208433,-0.03737494471410771,0.026240914273167826,-0.008966244462824763,0.031931452783032825,0.03071581415576714,0.038242128831222084,-0.05811595674052187,-0.046688397699864145,0.03595884272987061,-0.05926266794755991,0.021038058321949108,0.03721039589920435,0.02923101659219534,0.037802768661612765,-0.011703601367284789,-0.05281777445767117,0.03982831460900659,0.03263510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x_a{47}	=[0.5087129182556257,-0.8301939468969297,21.462257941461996];
std_x_a{47}	=[1.2688115353144693,1.6214856325618534,0.6902157020722067];
pred_a{47}	=[0.5087129182556257];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.7 to 4.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{48}	=[-0.2742154407206898,-0.7502796241113666,16.72147502366316];
std_x_f{48}	=[1.8428347061361863,2.7423150804143646,0.6722558193422827];
pred_f{48}	=[-0.2742154407206898];
obs{48}	=[-0.24040524418767129];
sqrt_r{48}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{48}	=[4.42003441989938];
L_f{48}	=[0.15490211670386214,0.3243339000838056,-0.09606907515158741,0.24595834837483543,0.3104418931523453,-0.13568653123954497,-0.11628770958978568,-0.061180007202325366,0.3134644216832579,0.24420221298996636,0.016919180758859755,0.3249913995383436,0.2128528552226338,-0.1720990981311408,-0.25462905180649986,0.0013003375862080445,-0.12272235660384988,-0.013873002963218592,-0.021775360708685552,-0.1228655285249183,-0.13533535459766988,0.3176297250346668,-0.20640784263413375,-0.08149850909983912,-0.06315191977101856,-0.18868837384839005,0.2524910159663558,-0.19588239699717538,-0.19261787042049047,-0.20431659323744203,0.08939744347059325,-0.03157148349807722,-0.2013905290417613,0.06333625646135681,-0.179543556014742,-0.20275196916378194,-0.19195828071608956,-0.20348020894743246,-0.12418767056430247,0.004211620990833491,0.3242996679973829,-0.19583529436900965,0.19462636324183097,-0.09736176897555326,-0.16226899361533687,0.042515695589421185,0.3000364502969714,0.32408740320387236,-0.055843239418611315,-0.11088428077339997,0.05005959219086094,0.3253410116900803,-0.09841871898704865,-0.09568823454702075,-0.20338990639610252,-0.27950184968736713,0.16303839428263903,-0.06021508424790737,-0.05890271481084977,-0.03150939544202815,-0.17684408810430152,-0.07387422134842352,-0.18861939999949404,0.1428459863563029,-0.2591130661441989,0.010526784127834518,-0.17109363105072523,0.3220112284512359,0.1654820819863855,-0.08341672248851054,-0.047608965405533075,-0.024889815901901143,0.2772978229103807,0.08847023080395833,0.3114584657722128,-0.03458485121602825,0.3192766252532659,-0.03090786256078781,-0.0290693303493721,0.15406568157095196,-0.08212003191303213,-0.1980767539833207,-0.0288788708744546,-0.12883284245164986,0.12569770312975903,-0.16124340035336834,0.28983595526492195,-0.18486987533309254,0.32732844685705786,-0.09116232208909024,-0.17214112527149722,0.1344501733535834,-0.05170339932756926,-0.1896768543905223,0.1753358545398466,-0.06782623350822965,-0.274715318628438,0.3197307965316253,-0.18668223832016687,0.1434898393375408;0.23818557903977666,0.4785823022263239,-0.14277720583553052,0.37085240714855877,0.4598509299853268,-0.2032516456702899,-0.1739848785485131,-0.09020201289390156,0.4651618292802923,0.3682275038331757,0.02869210589129156,0.479629543649632,0.3235692813633487,-0.2577563705638167,-0.3764484411933036,0.007659309857948847,-0.18352877040257318,-0.017529479881700716,-0.03016973953837336,-0.18382551274756873,-0.2018536815274496,0.46900606522758015,-0.3085655599589894,-0.1212074286562324,-0.09350518056601559,-0.282911759141615,0.3808419498731361,-0.292520445340004,-0.28834258120059003,-0.3047833451961926,0.14024881919057097,-0.04515115612808061,-0.3009896015406651,0.09988581812333192,-0.2683256009604497,-0.3028609864553299,-0.28677618635925245,-0.3038642444902536,-0.18536252567141728,0.00912729633821425,0.47852165364443827,-0.29302195155022254,0.2974475968106855,-0.14576833999719585,-0.24352599761178234,0.06826678015478639,0.4456529365377471,0.47807190352694673,-0.0830490507760096,-0.16589401809683268,0.07995205607411572,0.480187269394035,-0.14664524920680772,-0.14270035697995104,-0.30316873469988614,-0.41434745538327084,0.2500898660786313,-0.08868358843053671,-0.08649107800569095,-0.04529066127868441,-0.2642531310414461,-0.10940347102517393,-0.2817802894288889,0.22050756788120887,-0.3880800614251506,0.019516068106278962,-0.25523914642830087,0.4754849492443954,0.2539686145284125,-0.12381992632304012,-0.06884706323302416,-0.03467853568589303,0.4151485347482004,0.13870313594455397,0.4612035059088903,-0.04935702572245356,0.47150270740135775,-0.044442572446200056,-0.04157795816846959,0.2374025113780572,-0.12209637768980805,-0.295672217203315,-0.04142215964584375,-0.19277581024857426,0.10050556408783771,-0.24164550751937175,0.4321148391487067,-0.2764157431631018,0.4821424316654297,-0.13592285208136382,-0.2575778454791564,0.20814523486876918,-0.07656855408048023,-0.28320612983414334,0.26815398925585493,-0.1006896090676618,-0.4064281938598695,0.47255627920192733,-0.27942063244966664,0.22163489911560383;-0.05408786842139263,0.07298462745166695,-0.03471279400100568,-9.800599179281258E-4,0.058134254608465614,-0.010970767571359038,-0.02403697985680472,-0.05170342316878541,0.06250243535095552,-0.001752266270532873,-0.07097421146083006,0.07476836637644906,-0.02375206350415031,0.017976207549873936,0.09087807664707528,-0.08433764139365534,-0.019203769489688268,-0.06591228653222898,-0.06306550464701491,-0.019941967718621608,-0.011094221308194891,0.06685065005288687,0.049051092947224144,-0.04266384713043154,-0.05061276231124184,0.03148720254619023,0.004641667325485553,0.03898905907854816,0.03602184011449479,0.046350699735353204,-0.07114547712984741,-0.061927632078353875,0.043715759950830525,-0.07442410685923305,0.024212064073737088,0.04614442494155275,0.034909131245336615,0.04512564709795143,-0.01835789629008017,-0.06929934220044531,0.07350134217870209,0.039009393715698164,-0.03359864162799239,-0.03381457015191659,0.00979982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k{48}	=[0.7737574179291653;1.151037074481203;0.01971780410713882];
x_a_linear{48}	=[-0.24805455035162377,-0.7113628344063665,16.72214168649522];
L_a{48}	=[-0.09957414382284245,-0.20848824471075145,0.061755101283475014,-0.15810689018747362,-0.19955818793931648,0.08722198549616225,0.07475203932596505,0.03932771847071226,-0.20150112904980594,-0.15697801163431835,-0.010875983970368723,-0.20891089836225016,-0.13682602452464007,0.11062870355640858,0.16368058981741707,-8.358827147265458E-4,0.07888835767242483,0.00891784064484519,0.01399763247358425,0.07898039141452753,0.08699624220621019,-0.20417866841340163,0.13268304298195244,0.052388853290939764,0.040595302864646056,0.12129261804212342,-0.16230621809948945,0.12591707838472455,0.12381857614487618,0.13133874651508276,-0.0574664445067159,0.020294773921960742,0.1294578145868729,-0.040713798134472935,0.11541414829892252,0.13033297521992887,0.12339457883943152,0.13080110215387772,0.0798302904629407,-0.002707313258154446,-0.20846623964865707,0.12588679988388,-0.12510967504859,0.06258607043667622,0.10430971798230222,-0.027329929877218183,-0.19286936350315856,-0.20832979164182977,0.0358971386041983,0.07127860842942076,-0.03217929579397,-0.20913563596700396,0.0632654988053626,0.06151028941169664,0.13074305388814045,0.17966931615742437,-0.10480430394622273,0.038707446914159706,0.03786382988777594,0.020254862491734506,0.11367887694383053,0.047487810353239956,0.12124828028808764,-0.09182422482418999,0.16656300290554357,-0.0067668250056320154,0.10998236943390045,-0.20699518545426204,-0.10637515472637162,0.05362191879004863,0.03060398443495963,0.01599966586046141,-0.17825252416031734,-0.05687041386887544,-0.2002116609221973,0.02223182628072234,-0.20523732844154163,0.01986818526029737,0.01868634039763195,-0.0990364667788157,0.05278838044593902,0.1273276544490583,0.018563909280799165,0.08281629881088898,-0.08080096925706876,0.10365044635229456,-0.18631228358069835,0.11883801168528137,-0.21041319859407587,0.05860094338334538,0.11065571943332089,-0.08642723019795931,0.03323596752790469,0.12192803288191185,-0.11270935458312203,0.043600044169969585,0.1765924393385915,-0.2055292787205562,0.12000303445304089,-0.09223810625278986;-0.14037183915661927,-0.3140408488440962,0.09200112923026653,-0.2302327124475254,-0.2988222506815671,0.12834577883918527,0.11020475066385563,0.05931270042680923,-0.3008979554010237,-0.22856588565976027,-0.01265582093088865,-0.31460043695463863,-0.19661100437707618,0.1628278774035879,0.2458265702834231,0.004481480852811993,0.1163861659423387,0.016374047688726932,0.023045958901270383,0.11643931418600134,0.12888552021717306,-0.30723309283007616,0.19586408674781766,0.07796263982431943,0.06082858976177678,0.17821417746698484,-0.23620802436795602,0.1861865991811215,0.182386452568972,0.19453560328865352,-0.07822505394755074,0.03200478941984926,0.19117848722086656,-0.054898443282685915,0.170451779652621,0.19263425669626347,0.1823409096209485,0.19341070689382142,0.11813341706333287,-0.0011652703654395635,-0.31401783936803485,0.18556998124946125,-0.1781898905881207,0.09216914387128977,0.15303495703150505,-0.03563516965474719,-0.28759091064850034,-0.3139488463339462,0.05342340672079391,0.10509044577845063,-0.042386039614826614,-0.3148971105970729,0.0938752611304462,0.09114726106869415,0.19388553086390817,0.2687129239725966,-0.14835138779083953,0.05847299867372428,0.05745827606403292,0.03171355042145225,0.16792715700487815,0.07113398772622777,0.17917708549238992,-0.12858648548243679,0.24515320502545807,-0.006209805149296102,0.16288789159166767,-0.3114619425517619,-0.15044464364734614,0.08003796646499652,0.0475020700804704,0.026148421670800066,-0.2625255354720297,-0.07750476923477399,-0.299954024969446,0.03516313619422193,-0.3087612264827762,0.031091583586989664,0.029463102340692868,-0.13911078546518463,0.07859259883744463,0.1883975049425744,0.029153446622731477,0.12207223221322179,-0.2066806705650314,0.1524090518232453,-0.2762005361365396,0.1753783587998726,-0.31779894022258093,0.08686411830465078,0.163109110482729,-0.12043071737657199,0.04978675840915173,0.18033550418343522,-0.16034040335955813,0.06506747927444441,0.2649346252667266,-0.30881758080983657,0.17680261139865164,-0.12903263385866187;-0.060572734270448805,0.05940662169487252,-0.030690931176548777,-0.011276929499869246,0.045137827743177754,-0.005290348405141811,-0.01916867842471082,-0.04914216611308064,0.04937947249981441,-0.011975616506024763,-0.07168252081019108,0.06116283487727477,-0.03266299539506977,0.025181012673729238,0.10153793899998498,-0.08439207909266473,-0.014066086182380939,-0.0653315032282021,-0.06215389481226619,-0.014798290621679415,-0.005428503899838467,0.05355330976889146,0.057692209015602076,-0.03925197058764089,-0.04796895255228087,0.03938650578181138,-0.0059286876927355315,0.0471895349258003,0.044085648901535435,0.054904267149890364,-0.07488803688623662,-0.06060591459961769,0.05214682978961814,-0.0770756337413256,0.03172852607950827,0.054632490493121265,0.04294532678318818,0.05364419988496535,-0.013158868666358771,-0.06947565868800398,0.05992476952361659,0.04720789764525626,-0.04174653452429082,-0.02973858962906604,0.016593104452701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x_a{48}	=[-0.2480545503516236,-0.711362834406366,16.722141686495213];
std_x_a{48}	=[1.1846105913538867,1.7653217733445885,0.6707317761039534];
pred_a{48}	=[-0.2480545503516236];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.8 to 4.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{49}	=[-0.6956301399049093,-1.2179026711080705,13.220532797729785];
std_x_f{49}	=[2.1209747463679465,3.5223144883722677,0.8850720725743961];
pred_f{49}	=[-0.6956301399049093];
obs{49}	=[-0.684277161354851];
sqrt_r{49}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{49}	=[5.5307077071540345];
L_f{49}	=[-0.17937065652848413,-0.3718218530132774,0.11205154983117621,-0.28331762586441317,-0.35617518512324337,0.15761992417018522,0.1348439717049976,0.07109203352608331,-0.3585809873939946,-0.2814052467960499,-0.019119272015394078,-0.37269371445792515,-0.24542538169876435,0.19859722257432527,0.29279883251838046,7.413906648545993E-4,0.14256854289317075,0.01693254816269576,0.02623252101517081,0.1421681547678372,0.15764095277483278,-0.3646658056125408,0.2368548185468152,0.09542390648471971,0.07364730865509748,0.21664445496552184,-0.2898962193791474,0.22505672101709429,0.22139329090760174,0.23511474557290316,-0.10246670706934244,0.03740124926415714,0.2313840303449393,-0.07403869148486704,0.20719447751246095,0.23280392409049896,0.22044667204486376,0.2335588841670367,0.14468560153738327,-0.004468417757535048,-0.3709094783756093,0.2248856025216937,-0.22405910059930528,0.11267931317524701,0.18634673954405964,-0.04904746637166964,-0.3445928842368103,-0.3713023469856508,0.06479630126101386,0.12866884066971884,-0.0574224393770092,-0.37257788507751555,0.11484858964858903,0.11160928904621573,0.2346066217589675,0.31717561888525836,-0.18859123356431765,0.07012936430588047,0.06897855520826274,0.036559181349333426,0.20512397078539968,0.08632012411539583,0.21776993366260194,-0.16473486054846115,0.29132204489561647,-0.011200763934743094,0.19840755568894997,-0.36958547776754325,-0.19022174486228147,0.09800012207567037,0.0560871706233897,0.03048359716765421,-0.3191789875143558,-0.1015596879361709,-0.3570955032421656,0.04063464259825241,-0.36617306320550774,0.03686323982457983,0.03407232674628502,-0.1777575646676018,0.09616063109551944,0.22851191069145216,0.03332259509702,0.14933858360843016,-0.18877191674895716,0.1860463609096553,-0.3332117703138644,0.21279846010585798,-0.37551419742505543,0.10613739651372558,0.1986372663857309,-0.15539890859942604,0.05971518967945951,0.2191781911544667,-0.20285804965620646,0.07868650799069836,0.31299861595662876,-0.3666263373777604,0.2145187594915494,-0.16547951137006361;-0.30731516892460004,-0.6098715161785173,0.1880022884084546,-0.4759067793781957,-0.5871716247080041,0.26410982735261457,0.22653120088602358,0.11927606197118303,-0.5896668671428534,-0.47270461868221253,-0.03591545023064435,-0.6114789482472249,-0.4151330159130163,0.3326183224262486,0.4850036888012875,-0.001900722699273921,0.2399400961085487,0.025695872109500625,0.04182289825966786,0.2391952081423737,0.2646164400140245,-0.59974802862959,0.39468006020736596,0.15962437300002033,0.12256842090277563,0.36208824788392524,-0.4859490877297612,0.37559139108248524,0.36999902250286926,0.3925309381835256,-0.17835401391420028,0.06092273869388556,0.38636104249932623,-0.12832379036533395,0.3471309776279662,0.38873179235743033,0.3684575536508447,0.39058314067065764,0.24247601199238655,-0.011086484514214052,-0.6093335756802268,0.37584753978526403,-0.38018603579054133,0.18905647412644636,0.3115402048868314,-0.08696960327459433,-0.5697365364633604,-0.6091973744294602,0.10708578563685604,0.21557946244196657,-0.10140650359770832,-0.6106233321252599,0.19259248354756864,0.187055669446835,0.390966006254273,0.5212105276424928,-0.32305967959005816,0.11698135858917971,0.11505465721710482,0.06024993736419345,0.34204910381230375,0.1443060689621228,0.3639833898712819,-0.28322793425193266,0.4802535520165042,-0.022763532976116826,0.33299862995953255,-0.6063737039462375,-0.3257221167237968,0.16331666883348153,0.09218806487757014,0.047404526291757655,-0.5310883554938888,-0.1769388320793274,-0.5887436512402384,0.06714164078587635,-0.6017076172961007,0.058965456052063624,0.055009065938853546,-0.3046316142871204,0.16065573419139656,0.38043894170231973,0.05360274422004714,0.2508586055398049,-0.30446683471235175,0.31207015930693827,-0.5526845113414897,0.3561346238799241,-0.6152649755846789,0.17787528178139267,0.3328437581150098,-0.26699810921817557,0.0983173491764523,0.36571389612396865,-0.3460927659350497,0.13105214545838179,0.5156677289004477,-0.6023162354021621,0.35974120823562317,-0.2843065180099308;-0.0368513353453758,0.1660885466982076,-0.06339617297767432,0.053453083354494765,0.1436797148754925,-0.039037417435579355,-0.05302696624594974,-0.07902786240037114,0.14893367564260868,0.05134732250310552,-0.08980927758855521,0.16815292316838867,0.014668386514869,-0.008763132712437931,0.07729827078212032,-0.10235722577683419,-0.04807794581114149,-0.0891353746952126,-0.08780317877271303,-0.048565718131698965,-0.03993274815704027,0.15616156229386194,0.025826401166127826,-0.07116606472430051,-0.0786108891015961,0.006094333696878811,0.060705308378125544,0.014245910581945341,0.010768832133470123,0.0229848541224694,-0.07356555216518229,-0.08803829727722494,0.01971051877150428,-0.08331850328097505,-0.0017640513106982505,0.021934922398848533,0.01044130196448185,0.021614149382992377,-0.047496598971505974,-0.09020600470642504,0.1662056105084818,0.014081763311362506,-0.002167571467301488,-0.06253039350284514,-0.017972109996137308,-0.08700801847225592,0.12823447055726547,0.16545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k{49}	=[0.8191913127669922;1.3606266957127298;-0.16662178806491326];
x_a_linear{49}	=[-0.6863298785026715,-1.2024555054170072,13.218641144143911];
L_a{49}	=[0.09545979885984117,0.19788096886797146,-0.05963304486828883,0.1507796431250157,0.18955392252429043,-0.08388421243917295,-0.07176301110531463,-0.03783467905108138,0.19083427353212673,0.14976188846690774,0.01017514177769801,0.19834496738228108,0.130613657916468,-0.10569204176413118,-0.15582547446472866,-3.9456288510791165E-4,-0.07587397343423065,-0.009011382759469505,-0.013960762747707717,-0.07566088969662282,-0.08389540371431697,0.19407257089069632,-0.12605246462858685,-0.050783930302474536,-0.03919457846031702,-0.11529665161159995,0.15428072421515157,-0.11977360029863944,-0.11782394862117138,-0.12512641005920566,0.05453205912259351,-0.019904681183436815,-0.12314094971604074,0.039402869643111675,-0.11026744023244678,-0.12389660715732312,-0.11732016473598762,-0.12429839158766584,-0.07700065711963543,0.0023780604286760703,0.19739540951795317,-0.11968253224175496,0.11924267374541322,-0.05996713609433657,-0.09917242106006484,0.026102715823426197,0.1833899036465572,0.19760449142253414,-0.03448413472387445,-0.0684766499023758,0.03055981741417235,0.1982833238026124,-0.06112160974027398,-0.0593976767964258,-0.12485599014764938,-0.16879862831535272,0.10036692495419501,-0.03732235327880842,-0.03670990079014167,-0.019456538575659335,-0.10916553114916382,-0.045938961506246545,-0.11589562343967735,0.08767073142012403,-0.15503953850309357,0.0059609676018403755,-0.10559110238486646,0.19669078572840762,0.1012346715720351,-0.052154974077924444,-0.02984919679700312,-0.016223155506411374,0.16986480697621656,0.05404934993431069,0.1900437093390336,-0.021625470320752925,0.19487472275566328,-0.019618356352604782,-0.018133052087985428,0.09460132274361056,-0.05117600994650962,-0.12161242788460186,-0.017734050189777334,-0.07947694137480314,0.10046308327126256,-0.09901256166847337,0.1773329550524439,-0.11324984026115364,0.19984600853327392,-0.056485574166912175,-0.10571335279825644,0.08270220361034553,-0.03178000296148348,-0.11664508814877789,0.10795962389871691,-0.041876404820888426,-0.1665756568041753,0.19511595207460014,-0.1141653714662859,0.08806702933766941;0.14916141788535361,0.3363700466821269,-0.09715532880514051,0.2451022493039813,0.3192510642541825,-0.1370137811068561,-0.11663036827521003,-0.061644549244910016,0.32287829709118915,0.24343763699088744,0.012740780396979012,0.3369813963479957,0.2094448427100929,-0.17278754531817034,-0.26013386199261834,-0.0037874721082099268,-0.12287957075267203,-0.017395411274830932,-0.024935689171403704,-0.12260551945426026,-0.1365606836962721,0.32828226068297867,-0.20808675367543777,-0.08321790664174432,-0.06485505589806592,-0.18924563954185775,0.2518016643297789,-0.1971506941437518,-0.1934200769866651,-0.20580760082252586,0.08241133985056757,-0.03425890883395067,-0.20248327829634366,0.060095708314040513,-0.18015386221840274,-0.20372598597443864,-0.19255251553331235,-0.20379591957869722,-0.12573131259775103,2.85097247692861E-4,0.3345861042785276,-0.19645906960433226,0.1900172263524903,-0.09769872473273049,-0.1626896679169606,0.03785025563839548,0.30721060015169427,0.33572210853858986,-0.057812949808426294,-0.11186714646521544,0.0447266468318109,0.3375422407316787,-0.09968326108850915,-0.09697644765706637,-0.20607941921386036,-0.285962990758973,0.15688215853354656,-0.06148937610658448,-0.06048740776691667,-0.03278874935243602,-0.17996654729367698,-0.07536818764043483,-0.19021470446611946,0.13600232518480943,-0.26112575321745646,0.0057410540591857654,-0.17192455854323901,0.33417655489202036,0.15836917508668452,-0.0860817673313374,-0.05054698836636299,-0.03017253485129875,0.2811834933236636,0.08151826789357351,0.32002113582113406,-0.03626860099214293,0.33015845995858245,-0.03484702264179003,-0.03170087714120543,0.14773984919264363,-0.08406142031711275,-0.2010961825853617,-0.03119922265641498,-0.1291899946267652,0.1759348202230686,-0.1613952862686928,0.2952990693710051,-0.18541167264104894,0.34037315640848653,-0.09223153184777164,-0.17266401627739192,0.1284732837306109,-0.0536505729639227,-0.19206804289392493,0.17015639045516637,-0.06919548305985489,-0.28087582316840765,0.33070336969839825,-0.1861830417760147,0.13681878753964294;-0.09275127126733092,0.05021219233740333,-0.02847588792801886,-0.0348413870895387,0.03267956350893918,0.010084015421179955,-0.011003540989799769,-0.05687239842659427,0.037183768461037,-0.03635116491087763,-0.09576769966951143,0.05200485770482126,-0.06181716232630192,0.053128662919252306,0.1685475101648257,-0.10212617521672254,-0.0036471979594204615,-0.08385843377517004,-0.07962794948939665,-0.004259749165127016,0.009195238155424019,0.04251535303537028,0.09964097839866805,-0.041427698588190454,-0.05565908687082987,0.07361045581407917,-0.029639346656004716,0.08438367183646296,0.07976490437185424,0.0962571466267061,-0.10549877062001004,-0.07638239169193521,0.09182015320098996,-0.10639227794317709,0.06280703428651736,0.09448705935873078,0.07914236533801769,0.09440156573984435,-0.0024060807602124617,-0.09159856395303231,0.050613592977176006,0.08416619637322523,-0.07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x_a{49}	=[-0.6863298785026715,-1.2024555054170076,13.218641144143907];
std_x_a{49}	=[1.1287678073639345,1.8761705677324125,0.8010975793943812];
pred_a{49}	=[-0.6863298785026715];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.9 to 5.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{50}	=[-1.4745269406478247,-2.6426195857461754,10.7463589739643];
std_x_f{50}	=[2.3385324597497408,4.170145430150282,1.029295618209114];
pred_f{50}	=[-1.4745269406478247];
obs{50}	=[-1.546062435896202];
sqrt_r{50}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{50}	=[6.5058804596919515];
L_f{50}	=[0.1927339990473383,0.4169947304134754,-0.12750126567314393,0.3127738803947282,0.3986511876409417,-0.17579765383516155,-0.15059413332191757,-0.08362968425551258,0.40281641534081924,0.3112185212292656,0.01289429794873337,0.41793345332600096,0.2694140637680202,-0.21641858825528093,-0.30886484589751606,-0.00917488349234653,-0.15866810709285073,-0.026095325330700886,-0.0361194385129078,-0.15907274266026478,-0.17501108439847915,0.40873647342142155,-0.25448428735372464,-0.1100772012175148,-0.0862901801391426,-0.23442591762996412,0.3206364675663315,-0.24335950578792975,-0.23875191169678656,-0.2533216748030729,0.10580185212757502,-0.04811019337181532,-0.24887155527992463,0.075275887825573,-0.22454166462917222,-0.24992636311250857,-0.23827973242102005,-0.25042630257831916,-0.1622278948035303,-0.0031019661715941276,0.415359633646395,-0.2416328463512996,0.24429554145015456,-0.12792513542301032,-0.2043394483288189,0.04643212934952752,0.38511080458662456,0.4169423377226541,-0.07813030528797942,-0.1445811762628931,0.05540403993411692,0.4185521110959486,-0.13010051820498125,-0.1269484891939833,-0.25244111549356507,-0.33200628185237285,0.2029939830827836,-0.08326527273849248,-0.0816499448934324,-0.04638425710916225,-0.22372517278675025,-0.10025783284537518,-0.23529105633610495,0.17577716953960446,-0.3071706911981662,0.004713548279907804,-0.2157974222405865,0.41534421558091406,0.2051690334369934,-0.1137059386027416,-0.06851578564366426,-0.04152381668566693,0.35587613873690443,0.10473745551762802,0.39950784614760076,-0.050809013082800975,0.41015102835751743,-0.04862943964538156,-0.04483118193385228,0.1910177883502449,-0.11067286049154075,-0.24738840285893635,-0.04399387445013117,-0.1663562015664467,0.21280403838994164,-0.20331024770013922,0.3724197536025947,-0.23108658653898884,0.42141467504098584,-0.1210988993548509,-0.2161280640575591,0.16582251977692675,-0.07233251791259013,-0.23659032533034766,0.21990606521470615,-0.09242183858651638,-0.3278061162446659,0.411124245797027,-0.23138533227929692,0.17662018054727602;0.3448110759362465,0.747648210664367,-0.23521798004903002,0.5638388376426958,0.7155529394924399,-0.31654570544408717,-0.2759078859469979,-0.15838818312593422,0.7223223171818962,0.5608424765902139,0.01479219714079648,0.749709760011811,0.4855058678097002,-0.3841069258324496,-0.5277931323386875,-0.02554230098591052,-0.28836551051222153,-0.0558621986424432,-0.07343517313870612,-0.28821152618388407,-0.31610864215717993,0.7327910100762051,-0.44484002554179164,-0.20471387333136148,-0.16414851855138224,-0.41295340038807193,0.5782606416310498,-0.42664691193653465,-0.42043253532001534,-0.4418200263411226,0.185045829393605,-0.09555992879926208,-0.43617732778707563,0.12902918953496031,-0.3969860086235546,-0.4369466792740487,-0.41920970460861245,-0.43803293717938246,-0.2940800696655517,-0.013863317109389194,0.7446682263590078,-0.425650676030058,0.44070567215770223,-0.2358191920887451,-0.36466354426313824,0.07512067074038002,0.6924319842542549,0.7475459648769229,-0.1492282735549469,-0.264111438264922,0.09233450476161753,0.7502145179201533,-0.24035983763808474,-0.2347484313972673,-0.44141696846908196,-0.5587831563150105,0.3639282469187828,-0.1575023870981391,-0.15490920033529412,-0.09212073622467404,-0.39652906896703044,-0.18779219864593896,-0.41535878227515444,0.31436896526102237,-0.5216268347127369,-0.0010012518656563323,-0.38286709585719714,0.7446933715711436,0.36782384441577054,-0.21137099779267235,-0.13229345147911223,-0.08413360709333804,0.6404935470240702,0.18307179416327807,0.7172691663318849,-0.1000935682082615,0.7364161942092697,-0.09614558478548081,-0.08926321420959014,0.34204679216348666,-0.2064665282882746,-0.43407703672778536,-0.08812168843996881,-0.3014916775623653,0.3789732336001328,-0.36252151585626763,0.668987167583382,-0.4071549339217003,0.7549745601100891,-0.22416398462638426,-0.3838719289785268,0.2956842808719231,-0.13900383928391258,-0.4175862283235032,0.3947651243181343,-0.17398271262600049,-0.5544138593481058,0.7374789833006357,-0.4082650685107934,0.31665976286077424;-0.13213457367775902,0.03471068937594318,-0.023157849349264226,-0.06744729155528748,0.013395293617354071,0.030118323049713035,0.0013494609470456188,-0.06302124211682404,0.018086727220165355,-0.0682845750144437,-0.12085398475363196,0.03624884349358736,-0.09757483906151303,0.08639431854492162,0.23729223422072002,-0.12111439714856383,0.010671764375430489,-0.1019208818993814,-0.0958819304174867,0.010452651391118941,0.029003297715152,0.025077519292864,0.14651050039700075,-0.0409045407472219,-0.060996476508553214,0.1123469505497457,-0.06123910285378701,0.12661949714918225,0.12081266412301905,0.1417895836320264,-0.14186988681047374,-0.08980292884576045,0.13634496620100378,-0.13993639370036026,0.09836486091646511,0.13895358156065635,0.1191118651234263,0.13950630399632793,0.013447981612576538,-0.11418704546519062,0.03361976701946072,0.12610846407726287,-0.11019133113338009,-0.021921145776095503,0.06920549071032973,-0.13257160148050576,-0.0011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k{50}	=[0.8462929028291195;1.508850878923086;-0.16561606930060915];
x_a_linear{50}	=[-1.5350669225768927,-2.750555980625888,10.75820640150281];
L_a{50}	=[-0.09079637289483614,-0.19644488893993034,0.060065440035720334,-0.14734677854689124,-0.18780330438287793,0.08281771462508991,0.07094441641048084,0.039397677806062584,-0.1897655298817483,-0.14661405379946327,-0.006074462682024277,-0.19688711831322622,-0.12692010707973916,0.10195410741087926,0.1455052448495575,0.004322258381787434,0.07474803973004267,0.012293424622795509,0.017015752405804583,0.07493866225667,0.08244716426950283,-0.19255445038203595,0.11988673697768534,0.051857018784271236,0.04065102894041985,0.11043730290739572,-0.15105081831299244,0.11464588782593042,0.11247526492952724,0.11933903390919176,-0.049842915449392095,0.022664558816927593,0.11724259678005232,-0.035462230923366665,0.1057808628102522,0.1177395133893329,0.11225282277709127,0.11797503327885403,0.0764250443789521,0.0014613263804797991,-0.19567460006243165,0.11383246406652323,-0.11508685124416627,0.060265123724420416,0.09626366307602922,-0.021874028202390584,-0.18142447306606022,-0.19642020691021383,0.03680693789564579,0.06811173149743807,-0.02610066669401158,-0.19717856601758613,0.061289939622171545,0.05980502879755033,0.11892420522397129,0.15640710159857366,-0.09562981868531537,0.039226004701420444,0.03846502890009612,0.021851475742477124,0.10539621610465484,0.047231145628961316,0.11084486699550024,-0.08280806453871654,0.1447071339683214,-0.0022205375771568443,0.10166147808041089,-0.19566733666090544,-0.09665447797740717,0.053566505405183956,0.03227756832336016,0.019561737744478842,-0.16765211512678851,-0.04934148159764592,-0.1882068734760253,0.023935964184251552,-0.1932208427056158,0.022909174082070403,0.02111982697553297,-0.08998787150333552,0.05213763197047593,0.11654388839989327,0.020725374087638977,0.07836987654205163,-0.10025130448538379,0.09577880993892275,-0.17544575938155724,0.1088641546696471,-0.19852711077187746,0.05704930566130577,0.10181724238695192,-0.078118460751335,0.034075618735026195,0.11145694847917768,-0.1035970466952576,0.04353963369932808,0.15442841696263768,-0.19367932234066865,0.10900489283609334,-0.08320520433857193;-0.16069363700203532,-0.3460498526579495,0.09919364956459091,-0.25650770943795825,-0.3300334913761672,0.14453818725997153,0.11907195420247042,0.06095661198890567,-0.3341887156933967,-0.2554246584907962,-0.01902710000103405,-0.346450395410353,-0.22111610672391144,0.18351797102668654,0.2823007588994782,-0.0014783222952506406,0.12779083099933644,0.012580888750181658,0.021299261300517115,0.12900609765129717,0.14291222814677518,-0.3392472119582662,0.22262397801708073,0.0839977410052583,0.06217425250218897,0.2019013049704912,-0.26270797986708877,0.2116389002304956,0.20576843172424328,0.2225946650746885,-0.0924523554230355,0.03062398068238306,0.21656554442086662,-0.0684051824727231,0.19194417640921216,0.21856275375477127,0.20575282577978093,0.2187877422169713,0.13141291962845728,-0.005727448363518135,-0.34474128836289003,0.20810643602609288,-0.20003518396146786,0.09970416745985607,0.17128006029028614,-0.04666199518241419,-0.3176405908194241,-0.34601468235760957,0.0556926939007218,0.11509755633027655,-0.052979780423935224,-0.34756825945740133,0.10086913822194397,0.09821337038733358,0.2206881829424848,0.3120063309112101,-0.16848645756341807,0.060886625745730345,0.05924311403993747,0.029536369894229295,0.1902596128724224,0.07516507543556783,0.2017650177707034,-0.14666120102218413,0.28402361017345545,-0.01336399472334125,0.1831286003964569,-0.3446757044901977,-0.1702956044829097,0.08685810624122102,0.047410455069491285,0.024775485944441906,-0.2929020460886853,-0.09163468028869781,-0.3305641172696879,0.03316883334026032,-0.3393321370453758,0.03140020915744687,0.028320470382507842,-0.15895662572532931,0.08380738731233456,0.2147758080718049,0.02726589748094683,0.13482907712552566,-0.17917138473466018,0.17072269071378,-0.3077991885757439,0.19894133954164311,-0.35031617939379517,0.09345545282678906,0.1829909780298474,-0.13923672773512477,0.05071063187447574,0.20294530778973696,-0.1820067629421103,0.0684222352027958,0.30535939036780546,-0.34082191265363576,0.19861475834967987,-0.14658146135483224;-0.07664883632674604,0.15475832084129507,-0.05986388862635192,0.022596444701004578,0.12816204572880555,-0.020491649740952984,-0.042004729644158745,-0.08709719507938277,0.1340525969305093,0.02131139255252578,-0.11714187566626008,0.15656672168877117,-0.020013858358623186,0.024090080552847865,0.1483738607052023,-0.12375573276240869,-0.03500682352111359,-0.1094334036887149,-0.10628027055726164,-0.035342426086543983,-0.021380231451722676,0.14274770059009284,0.07324761788606238,-0.07259440711890189,-0.08583835336908635,0.04485862488753824,0.03106817511730101,0.05655930181901205,0.0520789382109324,0.06886140291187366,-0.11141084062548058,-0.10365325917943101,0.06469791991620005,-0.118265395529829,0.03372208958625772,0.0670028691316132,0.05051407379167997,0.0674116651711715,-0.03325542518938346,-0.11508006320528594,0.15319667432503797,0.0565453526682953,-0.0398616626995431,-0.05874921191781741,0.010378687881219668,-0.1192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x_a{50}	=[-1.5350669225768923,-2.7505559806258892,10.758206401502807];
std_x_a{50}	=[1.1016751911527884,1.966149919174784,0.9523508075787699];
pred_a{50}	=[-1.5350669225768923];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.0 to 5.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{51}	=[-3.5120038466837737,-6.468787938418273,9.717544352216267];
std_x_f{51}	=[2.424855335262847,4.294651498206344,2.055255203324125];
pred_f{51}	=[-3.5120038466837737];
obs{51}	=[-3.7308592706469486];
sqrt_r{51}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{51}	=[6.927119492938892];
L_f{51}	=[-0.21724662479818294,-0.40940570063188453,0.12417087920203775,-0.3249835891305667,-0.3961176193135938,0.18286440980094867,0.15066368839536093,0.07314610392812715,-0.3992750597379351,-0.3238442788953774,-0.03443518040199179,-0.40981298277025513,-0.287686418127302,0.232276202281726,0.35010809794048203,-0.011542419195459798,0.1612946212136709,0.008165785034300089,0.01961349676427605,0.1627784277761814,0.18070693884905414,-0.4046155384105296,0.2801492938959721,0.10348845056599272,0.07567730866802548,0.254874330418846,-0.3318906126371226,0.2661776634860975,0.26025171578325296,0.279467160017398,-0.13192966637284895,0.031985152960839834,0.2724991956900394,-0.10056272376623945,0.24247513852022243,0.2751881406984042,0.26006425748262985,0.2750591962705838,0.1662262579086258,-0.017479656834491934,-0.40852118988095365,0.26339631128908186,-0.26428338785362226,0.12480691317799408,0.21754606484637615,-0.070595625879271,-0.3846597741743419,-0.41006320058209933,0.06641520026410527,0.1444084851096108,-0.07975876322707603,-0.4107733492159156,0.12691607356632942,0.123157514038722,0.27805267241239123,0.38261285953389607,-0.2267615099277649,0.07306178182606624,0.07117143645581567,0.030744037287161335,0.2410729398016491,0.09189151662781603,0.2550895437944436,-0.20047809806183042,0.35022282718981684,-0.025973158839994893,0.2311752786497075,-0.40845476540554365,-0.22900156225319612,0.10794255137310704,0.05556976871559697,0.024715754662776996,-0.3617482565624973,-0.1312608627167994,-0.3961054175537339,0.03591257310508397,-0.40350508981257766,0.03349299704313941,0.02892998298704257,-0.21603585012703297,0.10377460526545365,0.27049667650034737,0.028036268657751082,0.17077184622496733,-0.2062334995087714,0.21635778513962317,-0.375338761860536,0.2511087671585178,-0.4134538840577303,0.11637453990768572,0.2323764727387121,-0.1921321306326063,0.06016390299585876,0.25669661110901826,-0.24207683850705625,0.08331695117590747,0.3754161046632641,-0.40522545266546434,0.25140662902580796,-0.20070565754353473;-0.4144355744131633,-0.6888573233649267,0.2127818377785011,-0.5813366367808439,-0.6738036450311441,0.32623385526907756,0.2643212642765496,0.11464757619337339,-0.677728488238932,-0.579317465203987,-0.08898210114932176,-0.6889620772562541,-0.526143050100684,0.42256727685179896,0.647882308285032,-0.04754264074047335,0.28491913953251524,-0.009458616390882328,0.012767291493716488,0.28753330611531924,0.3228873319205203,-0.6830582375373907,0.5147290157526367,0.1736909490978737,0.11912906921205921,0.4660647013750031,-0.5907920338453726,0.48833767683301704,0.4757292675662146,0.5136406278755494,-0.26717565920217695,0.0366699669195233,0.5006538855031077,-0.21099924159820566,0.4423985721303941,0.5047979490923653,0.4752774667036329,0.5051799497622539,0.2937832713212292,-0.057477021061885236,-0.6875260388075014,0.4816305282929938,-0.4896650401620546,0.2142273842431461,0.39366430873593256,-0.15639716397223855,-0.6594783447767589,-0.6899613386953347,0.10189536134493445,0.25300812142262585,-0.172594956179186,-0.6908015155935452,0.21811410869740883,0.21152229899754754,0.5104717263483652,0.7096012408468475,-0.42994057013408615,0.11489660014401518,0.11084237626973333,0.0340548369102746,0.4393463521169224,0.15078805502032303,0.46613381119177066,-0.3865021119324841,0.6490938568279201,-0.07387402783258167,0.4205826866940454,-0.6878790385888932,-0.43312330841331154,0.1815729546672982,0.0803680692574225,0.02228372243706624,-0.6315114038126728,-0.26590294211127236,-0.6734368504326023,0.04322664163101204,-0.6822084739963041,0.03874631257545426,0.030257254576380004,-0.4114952412853854,0.1736526544069032,0.49634996454951086,0.0282214763764939,0.3032363607618697,-0.35107869811433334,0.3922775688159992,-0.6492917663221005,0.45834112362050916,-0.6935321304520806,0.19854853730400818,0.42157125241944876,-0.37187169186851565,0.08867266798801964,0.4692973771142129,-0.45623512491380286,0.1337410227826075,0.6959073037870734,-0.6843328593053233,0.45844854990761913,-0.38650757632697597;0.053882667920927926,0.44376628324077627,-0.15255269068064134,0.24027940052010557,0.40579032087885375,-0.1412206096392481,-0.14759902202382483,-0.1538723294658585,0.4148892677852003,0.2377301708351002,-0.11836926271334078,0.4458382417936283,0.16625483303016014,-0.118868833086557,-0.034856174725277106,-0.1371051565178908,-0.14578773089038852,-0.13753540474471554,-0.14164910344436973,-0.14661339621244987,-0.14114668323226345,0.4275422540419805,-0.08804956001049533,-0.15459107355321308,-0.15270054402798983,-0.10646194497142396,0.25420330775367617,-0.09953966626691156,-0.10194896677616541,-0.09149481573660846,-0.04632197103633263,-0.14619898778451423,-0.09422045184887706,-0.0750320013429798,-0.11279295354915604,-0.09229383210119523,-0.10253460073177065,-0.0918557716209747,-0.14653451899516026,-0.12754724824347777,0.4416401192090239,-0.09860171975225661,0.1266022991348401,-0.15195421362156628,-0.12577452853275972,-0.09637871225975471,0.37777604558425043,0.4436624704076999,-0.15058765619279812,-0.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k{51}	=[0.8556398513091422;1.5144482725006205;-0.6063061774868534];
x_a_linear{51}	=[-3.699265269101824,-6.800233157166693,9.850237747741645];
L_a{51}	=[0.09787155541994748,0.184440944736699,-0.05594009617712421,0.14640802536616543,0.17845454477133393,-0.08238205879974364,-0.06787534463312775,-0.03295297669644116,0.17987700003738571,0.14589475587381998,0.015513358010695755,0.18462442899756878,0.12960531488794969,-0.10464251504698768,-0.15772684221164165,0.005199963502393587,-0.07266467533715841,-0.0036787594894711487,-0.008836056428158894,-0.07333314351865562,-0.08141009876109441,0.18228293363869952,-0.12620977273580403,-0.04662247634136304,-0.03409330716284249,-0.1148231747116148,0.14951970148328214,-0.11991542776617635,-0.11724573510902458,-0.12590246529771273,0.059435499474114944,-0.014409598646379378,-0.12276333479355517,0.04530441014405505,-0.1092372274123366,-0.12397472866746177,-0.1171612834611549,-0.12391663804476354,-0.07488642195600573,0.007874742377185008,0.18404246470020055,-0.1186624036239346,0.11906203958250856,-0.056226635195093494,-0.09800645585073307,0.031803963431273584,0.17329268264076592,0.1847371543688454,-0.029920644150001837,-0.06505731937905052,0.035932039094540694,0.18505708270575494,-0.05717683089101407,-0.05548356607068773,-0.12526522592907874,-0.17237052921325766,0.10215809661772078,-0.03291498883222154,-0.03206337126698136,-0.013850464889747463,-0.10860552429739943,-0.04139795345781442,-0.1149201302700108,0.0903171835381652,-0.1577785287687748,0.011701141305192618,-0.10414653906409586,0.18401253987751348,0.10316726030675702,-0.04862908875430349,-0.025034679841745348,-0.011134669431440002,0.16297083820343175,0.059134197420980895,0.17844904776894163,-0.01617893669092609,0.18178266657311667,-0.015088895946406616,-0.013033217136721233,0.09732609055742865,-0.04675139160323605,-0.12186118191529732,-0.012630590805517532,-0.07693425031344217,0.09291004357546884,-0.09747112517168598,0.16909348288754486,-0.11312675464680227,0.18626468772410443,-0.05242777531124779,-0.10468768778832287,0.08655725026168169,-0.02710437859188719,-0.11564412852723624,0.10905778967953629,-0.03753503471922386,-0.16912832651473828,0.18255770548778463,-0.11326094409291645,0.09041970112823419;0.1433109855848516,0.3622274581967558,-0.10600737605256735,0.25300764388067415,0.3431660765099977,-0.14324177229151178,-0.12248407273243589,-0.07314354774730827,0.34734746527111204,0.25210181551777266,-5.751883608531004E-4,0.36316833717469277,0.21244660678219682,-0.17376536082386718,-0.25096519940423806,-0.017909293818267624,-0.1291794464026186,-0.030422985880144242,-0.037587278387263674,-0.13037471992831606,-0.14104932810567042,0.35572855549041127,-0.2045102594329122,-0.09199938029770725,-0.07516052501620715,-0.18828507807481906,0.26128494394865887,-0.19503163348697697,-0.19242610353120151,-0.20384737580193224,0.07153302107996684,-0.045446885535567395,-0.19894496506378606,0.04717974413635229,-0.1801182311586387,-0.2017043451060814,-0.1923966346736544,-0.2009912998866414,-0.1329765166202713,-0.012600749780614427,0.36128790043812503,-0.19459809746414666,0.18884101523426622,-0.10619474684249933,-0.16485101651659922,0.02484600848969641,0.3280751604372274,0.3628114706355833,-0.06861522547452073,-0.11773796441062113,0.03217313106232429,0.36379448872586206,-0.10772296014467332,-0.1046652590683913,-0.20338480274770335,-0.27269713278394975,0.15223396178170245,-0.07267804005428388,-0.0718790993353537,-0.044875646144615255,-0.17957052637491538,-0.08512896942034248,-0.18876849477033558,0.1281938915281246,-0.25004820017463497,-0.0071920252525792365,-0.17292350261148262,0.3607643662574339,0.1548022057323986,-0.09555257840686736,-0.06229857686332713,-0.041170092570301076,0.2972203814127455,0.07108868991374764,0.34350154500810465,-0.048973244690100594,0.3537274168085617,-0.04724169254171913,-0.0440159292156065,0.14314284506709674,-0.09277233219865609,-0.19810773277544727,-0.0437572363587093,-0.1351935106571617,0.17839339386512335,-0.16318703507608523,0.3143315049535968,-0.18634116407033272,0.3679457257182625,-0.10022480090164272,-0.17501881389293625,0.12139735212687923,-0.06578869574164745,-0.18973082156186308,0.1652591057005248,-0.08016215270310814,-0.26791453297705053,0.3560197926991126,-0.18699845130634285,0.1287726503326509;-0.16940999313541055,0.02296670381967921,-0.024926100078898245,-0.09374857567522936,-0.0013513660863751064,0.0467329694549403,0.007257680296019927,-0.07869054835792148,0.00450226791749011,-0.09512678779243343,-0.15376278412274738,0.024620045454720355,-0.12943798113018765,0.11987168293171963,0.3249955326102356,-0.14896880457031203,0.019995766175827358,-0.12914236355654127,-0.12148975740535292,0.02069520218108752,0.04458938187086623,0.011666148439136173,0.19989636957620605,-0.048222509544704285,-0.07491711402182313,0.15550561161108337,-0.08692391640553536,0.17404579840386894,0.1655456293571722,0.19574999598883697,-0.18192327809477454,-0.11332367878694168,0.18586247509126125,-0.17839341473063206,0.1364303380462024,0.19055287396282972,0.16476732008234365,0.1908584014545937,0.02431786363833465,-0.14551336897171072,0.021749666728294384,0.17212498688726088,-0.14503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x_a{51}	=[-3.6992652691018257,-6.800233157166693,9.850237747741648];
std_x_a{51}	=[1.092419104559185,1.9482288152346914,1.351374120608994];
pred_a{51}	=[-3.6992652691018257];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.1 to 5.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{52}	=[-8.503503556775563,-15.124223285305625,13.848916801725814];
std_x_f{52}	=[2.214903613461229,3.479874584713007,3.4174854189898847];
pred_f{52}	=[-8.503503556775563];
obs{52}	=[-9.095601583297917];
sqrt_r{52}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{52}	=[5.929899609936737];
L_f{52}	=[0.15524687762762468,0.42745744317844087,-0.13603491133980855,0.29448529743229146,0.4041415060860583,-0.16670216934032772,-0.15008024792019067,-0.10507315123990604,0.4088443282884989,0.2931101884234783,-0.024692611490242926,0.42740831816337505,0.24291339551912605,-0.18973723566025116,-0.23073930780094634,-0.04581863267734978,-0.15596586361940185,-0.05918644032945812,-0.06700033436115031,-0.15697946502080895,-0.165621679249422,0.41861941991531904,-0.20692281489169354,-0.12394724331502269,-0.10663621216786286,-0.19855151236033247,0.30447134121730307,-0.2023777981293595,-0.2007133374838565,-0.20786785686138456,0.06359595256321952,-0.07629545707889321,-0.20450882075159946,0.03234878538850082,-0.1931494326159998,-0.2061703484827079,-0.2007452794406436,-0.20592888105905766,-0.15929133199758885,-0.03894372025183059,0.4260327121477751,-0.20134418338619645,0.21317758111098203,-0.13612727824141174,-0.18276450652993068,0.006200191181562638,0.3857881619983355,0.4273112656710258,-0.0997696840437066,-0.14649079358596073,0.01433929375306727,0.42874886032575826,-0.13759735754135044,-0.13483257189800524,-0.20725363822673754,-0.23711935168358936,0.1658297517647868,-0.1046163199848103,-0.10326107600297788,-0.07421862888436741,-0.1930321485709311,-0.11630866151443703,-0.19892375120484998,0.13533160597738605,-0.22696678704730253,-0.03219971006181302,-0.1886409139932822,0.4245912341709965,0.16962935033388918,-0.12606371757810808,-0.09315433513779295,-0.07136237316653547,0.3491628536142448,0.062356616127025186,0.4045018187351516,-0.07900875811599561,0.41634547236383135,-0.07765301099360836,-0.07427944848517185,0.15477973214324994,-0.12346697998016065,-0.2044294724356738,-0.07286138488848151,-0.1606793694452653,0.20660719663790497,-0.182074711601091,0.3696629404075434,-0.19770838249412334,0.43339387795059403,-0.13096962435313786,-0.19015044160733163,0.12643530260272853,-0.09651243616453302,-0.1999226057172113,0.18384040901430457,-0.11137141825459948,-0.23549343446076168,0.41927743652756017,-0.1978356519794615,0.13616049783488576;0.18921693779266105,0.7151007242202356,-0.23751781940976374,0.45227117562871294,0.669507648075295,-0.25720546038048153,-0.2467406555381067,-0.20916220040840589,0.6790351715793908,0.4494398748328324,-0.10811801138895653,0.7166061071641489,0.3531599696986211,-0.2617287541393537,-0.23681580315766076,-0.14040414454205932,-0.2508761249516943,-0.15529052216983188,-0.16510224530871845,-0.2525715995227434,-0.2563601771746907,0.6975624018487326,-0.25594809619034053,-0.2269113490796514,-0.21048584741962875,-0.2609733366922498,0.4725365288421532,-0.25908739097096317,-0.26030150456850104,-0.25829078357913504,0.02847060612817064,-0.17640159208307904,-0.2577157545324261,-0.021683616216500907,-0.2609030030165568,-0.2582591517440534,-0.2607220607971028,-0.2575286260295657,-0.25444525710870086,-0.1280726977560519,0.7126678219892568,-0.2591354750835246,0.29720258728355253,-0.2375783064657202,-0.26113515713441593,-0.06322466988955168,0.6328111890893539,0.715381090146078,-0.2029919060359125,-0.24472741411110446,-0.04982945132054949,0.7184988195715588,-0.23947550779940527,-0.23575884573283015,-0.258333910776526,-0.21613691869245422,0.20873541053154787,-0.20878951788347797,-0.20703711474358663,-0.17277847741674585,-0.2621804279700946,-0.22002808180498756,-0.2606579599756156,0.15365756685178728,-0.22802624349217124,-0.11899285200215191,-0.2612646686186512,0.7106667267439745,0.21561597809843985,-0.2294780333131597,-0.19632229803684983,-0.17022539874538084,0.5592424959334583,0.0274055191558427,0.6698483921831974,-0.1795946770688269,0.6942468374699227,-0.1782049908101335,-0.17367370587114786,0.1878979312894666,-0.2270447916901735,-0.2590975270834114,-0.17212846165607606,-0.2537591095790971,0.32473587607421744,-0.2604060048401557,0.6003308821059494,-0.2625182312089515,0.726569747731474,-0.23308695807561158,-0.2621235303813107,0.1371579524189782,-0.20040156200830087,-0.2602506268332891,0.24144206985196814,-0.21536343525949314,-0.22121630701838585,0.6992562276933474,-0.2624155181221446,0.15473939240406442;-0.37434803779458947,-0.4694337309556327,0.14267335327976366,-0.45430592260479935,-0.4723364167116527,0.2531530315269927,0.19232121947613737,0.04921249729759133,-0.47135289515693596,-0.455080633121254,-0.1307112453067179,-0.46894034507013643,-0.4344954337587551,0.35090122519471706,0.5936366960154709,-0.0963765620820819,0.2127641052601551,-0.06097614105560576,-0.043384197260771834,0.21482674396599213,0.24798386716855073,-0.47258711217278004,0.448315845923331,0.1031755383280304,0.055233347876926055,0.39674312090795744,-0.45839019615179666,0.4188676863252681,0.40832392846825905,0.4459973083387726,-0.2725285581531521,-0.022462093701968208,0.43155784678098097,-0.22943000734325772,0.3709887935336756,0.43875788316533326,0.4077318660426499,0.43768545974620643,0.22111227116519871,-0.10384494615724434,-0.47022704275631627,0.4154824790008042,-0.4155757161137728,0.1444315003882272,0.3213469998710169,-0.18552259677716856,-0.4717959886764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k{52}	=[0.8313630810335643;1.289171366347803;-1.1935255872940316];
x_a_linear{52}	=[-8.99575199637908,-15.887539107169285,14.555600946566543];
L_a{52}	=[-0.07831269073431396,-0.21562651089194565,0.06862141193188583,-0.14855007956381544,-0.20386502622572442,0.08409119482326627,0.07570643751621413,0.0530030704853699,-0.20623731651810293,-0.1478564199670573,0.012455933907387468,-0.21560173028333965,-0.12253516405103182,0.09571099711702652,0.11639407070979911,0.023112738018068436,0.07867537582323067,0.029855991102786923,0.03379762958264336,0.07918667662547067,0.08354615270954638,-0.21116826095427352,0.1043800858098773,0.06252391211617504,0.05379154049468995,0.10015726834520434,-0.1535874366465825,0.1020873988487604,0.10124777879480094,0.1048568025119088,-0.03208032419810372,0.03848645863901959,0.10316237129338236,-0.016318012088055025,0.0974322447775498,0.10400051186883974,0.10126389158638543,0.10387870611042659,0.08035287414479007,0.019644759152197,-0.21490781997661956,0.10156600252210503,-0.10753523830010284,0.06866800546542313,0.09219367562044403,-0.003127622673739099,-0.19460687056136472,-0.21555277315174115,0.05032779100340998,0.07389577419417433,-0.007233309256795227,-0.21627795298992988,0.06940957184878832,0.06801490416630318,0.10454696623878423,0.11961241822884669,-0.08365111274993556,0.05277262665716039,0.05208898776895455,0.03743882401607842,0.09737308204725915,0.05867070808824681,0.10034504040191466,-0.06826663677517504,0.11449106141529003,0.016242812572718864,0.09515796892758592,-0.2141806812365639,-0.08556778116996243,0.06359154579064855,0.04699074628544119,0.035998015195271016,-0.17613161043141926,-0.03145515367920776,-0.20404678223581124,0.03985515544139496,-0.21002119149904844,0.03917126274911092,0.037469503838186057,-0.07807704399922478,0.062281648216321796,0.10312234485149624,0.03675417624135305,0.08105305535956628,-0.10422087542782789,0.09184571566300212,-0.18647266837476076,0.09973196015562713,-0.21862108435764552,0.06606628000698368,0.09591943460728557,-0.06377898803463646,0.04868470581094244,0.1008489022876446,-0.09273640356323196,0.056180166504440215,0.11879224100804413,-0.21150019066674133,0.09979615993856343,-0.068684762747694;-0.17295732125001062,-0.28211149106671857,0.07983698972595273,-0.23473133306150257,-0.27331099505510137,0.1316927614984493,0.10338041238966202,0.03596215427826203,-0.27475464966811786,-0.23435465251836785,-0.05051280600918687,-0.280491504749113,-0.21353084159550767,0.18090779860912248,0.30147417157067286,-0.03351420515100328,0.11297545103810869,-0.01721492606598771,-0.00879767529949173,0.113644599460636,0.13001737759610474,-0.2790316562447473,0.22678056352659973,0.06224423133514146,0.038284960207491274,0.20222597507355178,-0.23776234537806218,0.2130382337388374,0.20794111257166104,0.22664255735502142,-0.11989190749959781,0.0015874989577655215,0.21938131663096516,-0.09714985140296623,0.18969383803555998,0.2227140848153111,0.20759507349089876,0.22288129301527052,0.11716427874634704,-0.03722118922908005,-0.28122064912164035,0.210578837660063,-0.20011776893365174,0.07999198471162795,0.1652347689039477,-0.07768904869974312,-0.2671910773286552,-0.2814901087465686,0.029760030399949594,0.09701984312408787,-0.08328148056308994,-0.28172613294781274,0.08152432018618978,0.07879103487158685,0.22516652418043498,0.33703701184334117,-0.17812755502644648,0.03526909864568116,0.0338598634167834,3.6559693838148936E-4,0.1881428020260743,0.05130750927385426,0.2034097449569935,-0.1620565065576553,0.30146284628727954,-0.043874393510521345,0.17881428365840443,-0.27985893136775697,-0.18011104203799824,0.06461505379889777,0.020996741293958295,-0.0037446616119105602,-0.25531686735554665,-0.11806575593404108,-0.2738108215834854,0.004724253307204499,-0.2770423456905011,0.002951127424338584,-3.877459322764499E-4,-0.1731865276087259,0.060990386046594146,0.21781443299777473,-0.0021506914872983685,0.12108856827157598,-0.15725648022101796,0.1643547038595949,-0.2620529776117829,0.19871414931006845,-0.2844915310459385,0.07245108160702608,0.1814769873756909,-0.15780200256842633,0.02475156564515428,0.20614729818769825,-0.18743782090217548,0.04445409860190093,0.32816453360512904,-0.27887291234585665,0.19911376841041645,-0.16290839651002448;-0.03904409255472487,0.453793642825521,-0.15113637197603563,0.1817267213561646,0.40053293497264575,-0.10689218106612591,-0.13182378104954529,-0.177725671687885,0.41167366459709315,0.17798203499970722,-0.18404262418837844,0.4541809279532266,0.09015163878682173,-0.0588953816548349,0.09528335448709949,-0.19533615815886507,-0.12409271397820255,-0.18880767783390098,-0.1880922698931214,-0.12421926293260102,-0.10972769082352454,0.43155179996888154,0.0014016325518833206,-0.16452710613235277,-0.17508073760879317,-0.032090659488247825,0.19921041703096304,-0.018230148933587417,-0.025178986044606964,-0.0029580172643459677,-0.13517330746088052,-0.18724587649593263,-0.010142595007240018,-0.1595627383183769,-0.046177514521347766,-0.00653114482751513,-0.025840037066271363,-0.00708204420033589,-0.12292693192535468,-0.1879560293706365,0.4499231809862186,-0.019382943558119873,0.04484761139851288,-0.14957771993626756,-0.0733898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x_a{52}	=[-8.995751996379086,-15.887539107169285,14.555600946566553];
std_x_a{52}	=[1.1172853479433824,1.810390491205425,2.0597734070417912];
pred_a{52}	=[-8.995751996379086];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.2 to 5.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{53}	=[-15.664793323429778,-19.136393636485472,33.06793804224718];
std_x_f{53}	=[0.891768601194313,2.057582114596547,3.4204479856516126];
pred_f{53}	=[-15.664793323429778];
obs{53}	=[-16.565286678454687];
sqrt_r{53}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{53}	=[1.80934303091599];
L_f{53}	=[-0.11870885746197893,-0.026320523790802994,0.0031733149520744206,-0.08682858463314938,-0.038950160363205553,0.04770321715043784,0.022947940863969632,-0.031708411135972836,-0.03586727382132124,-0.0878286088919039,-0.08699135098403193,-0.025275815862950645,-0.10343645205246899,0.09052413708952797,0.20529149205070887,-0.07985623731765167,0.031194978610755143,-0.0678170947958946,-0.06288893060481729,0.0316128463218063,0.04568137438265083,-0.03155136409264665,0.13516255452023118,-0.011685680097082101,-0.02957396586930795,0.11123628344547656,-0.08306257696187523,0.12110894681962317,0.11642434115892848,0.13412913041290273,-0.11583535165532982,-0.05578102334918633,0.12776235870378128,-0.10888528349752659,0.09984015970422247,0.1303285295541049,0.1160377900837695,0.1303167489881624,0.03439181284324454,-0.08034389674495729,-0.026677664651795285,0.11972653084827191,-0.10959807535119559,0.0033183463451803737,0.07730387577469817,-0.09997670963808454,-0.04812585182980686,-0.025905820103319183,-0.035377642681998764,0.01791172776565348,-0.10301564974193438,-0.024869618767810468,0.004797570030135105,0.0027190738065326144,0.13259156285696488,0.2424010505995205,-0.11733609970797454,-0.0316337364386401,-0.03248656786763625,-0.05574813298539223,0.09768899676518461,-0.018981941038675076,0.11187712927496829,-0.11958392514170088,0.20820033636801402,-0.08331556544908976,0.08988006833269536,-0.027695240085383113,-0.11713010302121152,-0.008659036566852856,-0.04140710161096159,-0.059179577523533755,-0.06607876938359186,-0.11504802878562526,-0.037749134044304494,-0.05340691299184245,-0.03135946241600878,-0.054417288696595185,-0.05722097582370562,-0.11901004641611158,-0.011749970101130405,0.12584469669455475,-0.05802853078823427,0.038185904009845936,-0.046045102426100375,0.07628240337917247,-0.05626227115334318,0.10743264787118331,-0.023086731920935126,-0.003202079924615932,0.09191046134613645,-0.12035336347479195,-0.03940267619707532,0.11384063032492292,-0.1153668419797599,-0.02446073848092912,0.23336283517803125,-0.030561372534588696,0.10804075593773209,-0.11947275943944367;-0.0016204319722713937,0.45025474523902514,-0.15727455759601555,0.20865841433395177,0.40427611399746727,-0.12063876492128879,-0.14144072987178447,-0.1762232073551656,0.4139815568743756,0.20563569850422955,-0.1666682469963255,0.45026719895089456,0.12382804557338147,-0.07741192240227703,0.0683972034256948,-0.17975271500486423,-0.13513264220670018,-0.17800582948482502,-0.1784222036932325,-0.13555383763859696,-0.12291357737042626,0.43201779980826893,-0.022662074326173128,-0.16691000938416561,-0.17390851443088826,-0.05332471149898338,0.22447276127006385,-0.040462075057704446,-0.04655629394120986,-0.025600680216145956,-0.10455436214367425,-0.17935042383861471,-0.0328122308653451,-0.13241720941931187,-0.06626484350401828,-0.029815957925093315,-0.04768107186923357,-0.030099727121108005,-0.1344807062816213,-0.17284242951301307,0.446732041748907,-0.0418676833201528,0.08011876685798985,-0.1560717271925599,-0.09109653884688847,-0.14859987698830118,0.3692712074790825,0.44901068896908897,-0.17484553327660873,-0.1453855187148533,-0.14437859786626614,0.45236982964467615,-0.1556770783543604,-0.15647947210311988,-0.027285322561400007,0.12426718248669599,0.01198173276930932,-0.17560031364668435,-0.1753175056408564,-0.1773942372561189,-0.06857842829047636,-0.16882031550267268,-0.052818602593547,-0.025833228461060717,0.07739948942546775,-0.17006517232572887,-0.07699567541413256,0.44371533693422244,0.018635557299503683,-0.1640210453893663,-0.17735984610075886,-0.17887031711305076,0.3017108130428606,-0.10592454171443001,0.4060025438382136,-0.17785451253446635,0.4287304328290517,-0.1789070570749904,-0.17967432112179452,-0.0015970426885879192,-0.16518406622684334,-0.035678815528227895,-0.17841485573137117,-0.12884817462026352,0.16788787908831715,-0.09305808459484671,0.33944887825312386,-0.0585236876069721,0.461303822083004,-0.1612620945288064,-0.07594956096623387,-0.03712608899507645,-0.17743807149824162,-0.05071568180938094,0.038333256218876476,-0.17139239806905843,0.11146450693369135,0.43298727128997094,-0.05715706141916878,-0.02429063363161494;0.3399619211887586,0.5413173765407682,-0.17343916666740827,0.4619856010888944,0.5281931903242612,-0.26387362832258465,-0.21471990125478568,-0.09253006766849216,0.5303886379341134,0.4611812616816012,0.07981630891837731,0.5390982122966804,0.4225673581657411,-0.3427710114018486,-0.5110133088926875,0.043780594905493346,-0.231607365702456,0.011949191010212364,-0.004440577522508669,-0.23419462496774623,-0.26117027166954515,0.5365743557005128,-0.4106159913575187,-0.1416631882709428,-0.09647544855743126,-0.37563794585568844,0.4675382242016235,-0.39066141923941355,-0.3840544465237539,-0.4111881539304455,0.22670068027159324,-0.025264746935020725,-0.4001323234324819,0.17860761313449242,-0.35633628153081043,-0.40461135134344434,-0.3830513175342405,-0.4052214004092547,-0.2405587221023068,0.05235470755669173,0.5395537245450285,-0.38712068197571686,0.39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k{53}	=[0.44731320544908254;-0.05950996154416822;-1.3416941920357737];
x_a_linear{53}	=[-16.06759589255157,-19.082805311557163,34.27612474665091];
L_a{53}	=[-0.27186718019008144,-0.06027929791526501,0.007267530042160743,-0.19885493777640673,-0.08920370806607905,0.10924997013671406,0.05255540409741009,-0.07261864454053693,-0.08214327728688058,-0.20114519463812702,-0.1992277054854923,-0.05788670645629811,-0.2368902974015912,0.20731849683207318,0.4701588428539691,-0.18288685886049788,0.07144278070161897,-0.15531479895464878,-0.1440283108964931,0.07239978187848857,0.10461954319286111,-0.0722589751970766,0.3095494586532668,-0.02676255979984145,-0.06773033520688752,0.2547534814310916,-0.1902300220956921,0.2773638679673684,0.2666351779731658,0.30718270941477954,-0.2652862734438114,-0.12774977242888186,0.2926015205424391,-0.249369218283913,0.22865406397503257,0.29847856837087866,0.2657498981966623,0.29845158850339215,0.07876417463046183,-0.18400369711696213,-0.06109722238092616,0.2741978571067097,-0.25100165511687234,0.007599681127814721,0.17704143712580866,-0.22896679081166382,-0.11021788863064289,-0.05932954298929782,-0.08102192341298378,0.04102146229096906,-0.23592657540115705,-0.05695643333920974,0.010987401140433251,0.006227226378179116,0.3036613701927383,0.5551472022440459,-0.2687232885913877,-0.07244762445130808,-0.07440078010233381,-0.1276744468748219,0.2237274678063098,-0.043472466124710556,0.25622114738564167,-0.2738712613315218,0.47682068190343463,-0.1908094166590809,0.20584344972512364,-0.06342767496614148,-0.26825151471068376,-0.019830936839292563,-0.09483059811625151,-0.13553314563166902,-0.1513336838281143,-0.26348314558071756,-0.0864531160240465,-0.12231258179196683,-0.07181948172694519,-0.12462654554881344,-0.13104755346414002,-0.27255696352567327,-0.02690979685096562,0.2882096885077232,-0.13289701689718864,0.08745340716880382,-0.10545255363237573,0.17470205971328048,-0.128851926777648,0.24604239027780503,-0.05287326355709615,-0.007333407619793016,0.21049345845272557,-0.2756334300055368,-0.09024006041901914,0.26071796005122067,-0.2642132919737493,-0.056020015172896016,0.5344478694973062,-0.06999169523957714,0.24743508016496393,-0.27361666949522;0.018755550191206564,0.4547725759616945,-0.15781924659601895,0.22356225326890067,0.410961780002461,-0.12882686412954816,-0.14537966790665244,-0.17078056361692767,0.4201380556164338,0.2207111882906399,-0.15173646975640692,0.4546057090183155,0.14158256993774565,-0.09295009067494511,0.033159598837689847,-0.1660456563909091,-0.14048715695271438,-0.16636524980539708,-0.16762752707279308,-0.14098007799303897,-0.1307546339648948,0.4374334869417341,-0.04586227908727525,-0.16490420110399964,-0.1688322411523818,-0.07241805108522761,0.23873017746303626,-0.061250024609190955,-0.06654014644866757,-0.04862350115241402,-0.0846716077334979,-0.16977579595385323,-0.054742216527500914,-0.11372741118650978,-0.08340207619942666,-0.05218641831333545,-0.06759857416508008,-0.052468165414229676,-0.14038394703421725,-0.1590516657737197,0.45131117451734715,-0.06241834574937244,0.09893091345137008,-0.15664131035077752,-0.1043654930566235,-0.131439205949063,0.3775318505300895,0.45345733717749775,-0.16877307809772535,-0.14846000745371554,-0.1266963028246089,0.4566386173262339,-0.15650056535821202,-0.15694619211515284,-0.050044225119842294,0.08265984509819357,0.03212208561153499,-0.17017048757288597,-0.1697412938772514,-0.1678252548933547,-0.08534642099306816,-0.1655621282005492,-0.07202194124363911,-0.005307043828996107,0.0416625913458659,-0.15576433149694324,-0.0924232914181515,0.4484691331551467,0.03874055149280542,-0.16253475044549007,-0.17025245426913796,-0.16871233866188157,0.3130530149234232,-0.08617692866685218,0.41248205765393586,-0.1686873928283675,0.43411318067539056,-0.16956650972601284,-0.16985253016458607,0.01883063756118656,-0.16316722278044157,-0.057279640858703275,-0.1684544506395051,-0.1354026585537822,0.17579136839660464,-0.10615170645148932,0.34910611072934755,-0.07696414574632819,0.46526658314305863,-0.16071246811654902,-0.0917256872053876,-0.016467832821881086,-0.1706747326493099,-0.07025604891065401,0.058135592495166984,-0.16719379333433965,0.0714085492834445,0.43823302965181565,-0.07570189929380652,-0.003783530224109752;0.7993528570318694,0.6431750669832008,-0.1857195655923604,0.7980031957770672,0.6789262611587024,-0.44848011884066263,-0.30352604642847475,0.030178186604093996,0.669191258388912,0.8010688462754738,0.41646379246113346,0.6369129916799124,0.8228556729942629,-0.6930900098579469,-1.3054700383242714,0.3528159304196563,-0.35232868948564916,0.2743942967128377,0.23893304515743954,-0.3565330533456832,-0.43795244089366503,0.658674854244104,-0.9336810240732276,-0.09644082129229355,0.017972724458175448,-0.8061107972020511,0.7889817607656733,-0.8593404513517382,-0.8346045418024329,-0.930253942799161,0.6749714474104431,0.1906020136971982,-0.894559367760256,0.5999823391231766,-0.7427073188894894,-0.9089692100490837,-0.8321055003429904,-0.9095336695495607,-0.37365146198028565,0.3632772343510368,0.6427935129864443,-0.8504499080130657,0.8196542827030774,-0.18679476727784802,-0.617948006397196,0.5231098332772937,0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x_a{53}	=[-16.067595892551573,-19.082805311557166,34.27612474665088];
std_x_a{53}	=[2.0423296135791946,2.072222019918418,6.487362733757418];
pred_a{53}	=[-16.067595892551573];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.3 to 5.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{54}	=[-11.128995636463836,-0.8801318204768335,39.43297942042259];
std_x_f{54}	=[2.4839152517896017,5.494682077510352,1.3608385791311464];
pred_f{54}	=[-11.128995636463836];
obs{54}	=[-11.396793965718265];
sqrt_r{54}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{54}	=[7.25110177705904];
L_f{54}	=[0.28507332212264364,0.3283931836342571,-0.10840941553843948,0.3260346833768669,0.32887061061415107,-0.193811924335121,-0.14831905936555909,-0.03372345247374033,0.32785672727580667,0.3259316671208865,0.11238876458770634,0.32641739409263626,0.316969202521721,-0.26718547147646526,-0.41340009005625333,0.08621935414132023,-0.16272880309263768,0.056837632150550155,0.043878689658310384,-0.16501795574647848,-0.19114304668621224,0.3289796613591696,-0.33077823547125207,-0.07788849836913858,-0.03759887084191803,-0.29832730419398923,0.3257778748075701,-0.3118306775904322,-0.30575366011540805,-0.33055569748198477,0.22052539065820498,0.025632433896551315,-0.32121368451662746,0.18767238916559648,-0.2802582932977763,-0.3252692424849363,-0.30486682968412543,-0.3252661114533604,-0.1705185530331175,0.09160306382670755,0.3275364907964087,-0.30939475924808485,0.3081355215300162,-0.10849092977748137,-0.24501546543301814,0.1555752883019782,0.328571869813593,0.3271739537225733,-0.02365183263168335,-0.13780649917456453,0.16609109854504575,0.32664927921005354,-0.11174082921277086,-0.10696933290483941,-0.3276385170784098,-0.44262372856061627,0.2895459514298212,-0.03272397835479551,-0.030781626672515813,0.02695396058648862,-0.2778712124097091,-0.06070744866413985,-0.2993932709855042,0.27417007198302246,-0.41146833681556916,0.10111047069301524,-0.26543932253570923,0.32697905690941,0.2922479537113241,-0.08344959928820893,-0.009566980077347,0.03409873154647746,0.33000869141932876,0.21820040751514133,0.3277831305342333,0.020131918842130465,0.3272139401404282,0.02203667737623432,0.028908498564979256,0.28574796816793485,-0.07714819631456,-0.31889200209890156,0.03167668384493157,-0.17692737393143218,0.20817807193280272,-0.24339771338321575,0.32917435856801924,-0.29304487839938403,0.3284203026145441,-0.0955865389982467,-0.2690720488209629,0.2698233945531272,-0.015185060077753103,-0.30248320213624547,0.2988809118504807,-0.048493013526993596,-0.435699797875979,0.32767744067533666,-0.2934604118635971,0.27422464416769105;0.6887257744352999,0.38465218346683633,-0.08178985929854614,0.59842580385616,0.4287206344999184,-0.335166072981751,-0.19431147072041313,0.11848523375440669,0.41751749528218024,0.602283161245889,0.445164129873417,0.37896074030553534,0.6541677200606978,-0.5787876068783878,-1.2185387930829814,0.3989257886193344,-0.24145765496655616,0.32950465681820085,0.30035614937572447,-0.2443190942839501,-0.3236944200746443,0.40343780892565045,-0.8290056364119106,0.0030482026576943376,0.10655751101859726,-0.6955382178898898,0.584929800722557,-0.7512605902856452,-0.7251442624901028,-0.8243615891498894,0.6330798645606304,0.25855372709780966,-0.787086975079696,0.5839569874200895,-0.6314037901056941,-0.8029103329623984,-0.7229601603541195,-0.8026893220084373,-0.2603736150705888,0.4030946678984359,0.38499223300705543,-0.7430604722106142,0.670220472472827,-0.08252962328647798,-0.5041740090526167,0.5265885020270397,0.460887394055348,0.3817283502956442,0.1409219836774751,-0.16541435566222432,0.5455824782205035,0.3776560068870032,-0.09083019512732322,-0.07871835112758033,-0.8148897041952279,-1.4137919310298126,0.6863427673657759,0.11893397728914046,0.12409842529590862,0.25988864373345705,-0.6192553149636464,0.04565436978006588,-0.6992867726807073,0.6839428416725288,-1.229338171794371,0.42302849473723036,-0.5750102853624566,0.38765428788871925,0.6872870583220276,-0.013175606949730223,0.1750113517165077,0.2788642446633668,0.5265552075309531,0.6282708503038535,0.42438148423627065,0.2453112426778922,0.40138815233701136,0.2504264852168948,0.26736310051395856,0.6909377954650502,0.0033131063822771194,-0.7776606656003276,0.27228189676771336,-0.28111138856463974,0.3507843449101386,-0.49765539069570086,0.4909854231781466,-0.6749797692936853,0.37295191295298313,-0.044904982848833916,-0.5870651401046808,0.68444487234189,0.16270808903076445,-0.7112447304003716,0.6853725121862709,0.0775731515295971,-1.365986003121818,0.39815152643744756,-0.6779873210174978,0.6838365701841456;-0.02758433454183093,-0.28373992525369945,0.1192242700320956,-0.13609818131139428,-0.25259303163376046,0.10852383075722898,0.11619720957777324,0.11524716617694016,-0.2600282872079718,-0.13464742602238725,0.0784826364413389,-0.2847323432996941,-0.09132720537693664,0.08180351955463591,-0.09725932021296942,0.09035811494779339,0.11421958529696231,0.09622711892743963,0.09856791415597464,0.11493932309452072,0.11014990629242095,-0.27176898520504167,0.029605122745407695,0.11913525772286468,0.11419270336662066,0.061098577503192454,-0.14523365028530746,0.047310195217680595,0.05376982929548045,0.032690726167734115,0.028936176135535962,0.10292003780889517,0.040196296451856836,0.047627398500699025,0.07225643937210505,0.036651011331880964,0.054790208966337614,0.03732268508581927,0.11582243465833351,0.08581651004543434,-0.2821043965504521,0.04920228168819859,-0.06840421819687789,0.11867250541786582,0.09128526395388407,0.06057756324456319,-0.2308493387267633,-0.28438601282659226,0.11186515417997289,0.117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k{54}	=[0.8620899236080521;1.7967688800273716;-0.2714763688159541];
x_a_linear{54}	=[-11.35986187767315,-1.3613035246045153,39.50568033842356];
L_a{54}	=[-0.12440314475228498,-0.14330749876952806,0.047308783976415344,-0.14227827286114333,-0.14351584312545224,0.08457758410451416,0.06472495312570264,0.014716577154254557,-0.1430733945835726,-0.1422333175980229,-0.049045332076074956,-0.14244528398732462,-0.13832218774355148,0.11659706575241918,0.18040366198051544,-0.03762526326148723,0.07101322107506867,-0.02480337383783693,-0.01914822102769401,0.072012184383299,0.08341291260873475,-0.14356343177919556,0.1443483115215268,0.03398976117795226,0.016407770944828308,0.13018704988198562,-0.14216620417164924,0.13607978689004271,0.13342783728290847,0.14425119817017684,-0.09623507345876575,-0.011185737622316469,0.14017443720723038,-0.08189835240117865,0.1223019143620611,0.14194424211645904,0.13304083335812128,0.14194287576561507,0.07441258998905206,-0.0399746602878684,-0.1429336465888989,0.1350167765041832,-0.13446725776650573,0.04734435597453622,0.10692229699311888,-0.06789149881300757,-0.14338547562989537,-0.1427754390381588,0.010321423052243088,0.060137377068358734,-0.07248049316054979,-0.1425464763318528,0.04876257956300936,0.04668034632750076,0.14297816983728218,0.19315656535280154,-0.1263549554197349,0.01428041665151286,0.013432793816477677,-0.011762438643928189,0.12126021615248282,0.026492123035132195,0.13065222712157643,-0.11964507551139718,0.179560664199323,-0.04412359749392271,0.11583506383018213,-0.14269038801942738,-0.12753408217366582,0.03641656996337601,0.004174934359141563,-0.014880345185793278,-0.14401249019888646,-0.09522047408363106,-0.14304127770210828,-0.008785367901880869,-0.1427928887107253,-0.009616585463285343,-0.012615379456668921,-0.12469755353457396,0.03366670077029836,0.13916127823559968,-0.01382338780876188,0.07720933528941205,-0.0908468271393224,0.10621632618909431,-0.1436483956926023,0.12788185213188952,-0.143319333221119,0.04171300898599371,0.11742034922463727,-0.11774822898266396,0.0066266082454119165,0.1320006421516393,-0.1304286387227572,0.021161865783700915,0.19013503129692444,-0.14299515570543272,0.12806318677700168,-0.11966889026662642;-0.16470558189607432,-0.5984669594685676,0.2427582038213639,-0.3776326360342024,-0.5558277938977904,0.2450536832091,0.24971512237371615,0.21944400313535561,-0.563995644418003,-0.37346687622220903,0.10870298687937374,-0.598243430524535,-0.2947511559995742,0.22109242965515255,0.01906771789189111,0.1408086845741314,0.2457077595431303,0.15934837163610557,0.1689953845370392,0.24969941556159667,0.24853544826970078,-0.5814370874997836,0.1612536977171556,0.236225008929277,0.219118220313385,0.19757192638178234,-0.39035982473094083,0.18227495116793943,0.19019835502538088,0.16523152726156792,-0.02711268468804994,0.18181724869455598,0.17453871619171213,0.022117316001664777,0.2076126902555854,0.17085658678946786,0.18972753002833703,0.1710682242934531,0.25011217472951514,0.12886021332501396,-0.5955622064860207,0.1831825976804177,-0.2522527849865367,0.24226247111306173,0.2293351086357217,0.060838749231579066,-0.5227666863033611,-0.5977407526098485,0.21172908499541726,0.24714051487466113,0.04835127310309039,-0.6002423643992761,0.24369120702486002,0.24151849947313847,0.16597017400947994,-0.0886978598019807,-0.18047841466928266,0.21690059522428642,0.21625017490757284,0.17919587679705115,0.2126148997814503,0.22739582445945095,0.1970145838654524,-0.13684717352670883,0.0024851996849539135,0.12033147103706168,0.21964226005486842,-0.5912313474009196,-0.18762317762640024,0.23664961056117517,0.2036522667015055,0.17678199264411315,-0.4614003227237293,-0.024961336949329803,-0.5569113270006433,0.1850417980484821,-0.5782006589388425,0.18445471584120574,0.18081898282482706,-0.16451326613088482,0.23427365130106195,0.1770145451421523,0.17745059141592842,0.2485606536389086,-0.272443717839372,0.23101062096015965,-0.49447234330256035,0.20231624064566062,-0.6102484167730928,0.24125490407737926,0.21846279167893165,-0.12333238253691853,0.20816799500034108,0.19430703271947958,-0.2093949816038927,0.22274793673497376,-0.06162028174915707,-0.5828248783431998,0.200552682170056,-0.13711681917172247;0.10136182443604834,-0.13519905391275627,0.07018784099471043,0.011375878351506868,-0.10383620751690881,0.020857601518234656,0.04910859930026372,0.09999316193837084,-0.11173006918290618,0.012780036679345554,0.12931902968201944,-0.13708517351750618,0.05204629893811737,-0.039051494253923465,-0.2842510503999494,0.12935739577595087,0.0406130690588838,0.12193627437081708,0.11841539918295782,0.04029736292282922,0.02369088058635006,-0.12296283456896695,-0.12001457025114987,0.0839042420021641,0.09718574550444334,-0.07384270605013386,0.002124248109478934,-0.09373901916463567,-0.08453059030094984,-0.11682830704512619,0.12868560856484718,0.11451426160929938,-0.10509709866889821,0.13251655455681843,-0.054511755467596505,-0.1104768192899996,-0.08310907390874991,-0.10980372928815593,0.03869240970767594,0.1272509843172072,-0.13395102990493868,-0.09074510278070873,0.07097357994323551,0.06959920534692296,-0.019541673209225528,0.13094835665674318,-0.0822276429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x_a{54}	=[-11.359861877673156,-1.3613035246045198,39.505680338423545];
std_x_a{54}	=[1.0839557567854479,2.942065221204108,1.1578112224570585];
pred_a{54}	=[-11.359861877673156];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.4 to 5.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{55}	=[-2.5817500273850027,3.539049557020225,29.524885876568145];
std_x_f{55}	=[1.6134739105521794,1.6531624779559884,1.0874442567959597];
pred_f{55}	=[-2.5817500273850027];
obs{55}	=[-1.865754352127158];
sqrt_r{55}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{55}	=[3.6093144442540055];
L_f{55}	=[-0.0775653545177466,-0.3314011255558526,0.1358825736623534,-0.1972313006307605,-0.3050145883639353,0.13430417548355483,0.1385369629536288,0.12533515182805044,-0.3103493097862649,-0.1951254567789654,0.06722012168918355,-0.33223582954849246,-0.14923132698653674,0.11710892948601725,-0.02183829082787395,0.08464037879633834,0.13704744454953832,0.0942704337080728,0.09911535369145988,0.1382165131798916,0.1364673611972178,-0.3210617220214297,0.07595466642743105,0.13345383680480244,0.12568245702906908,0.10034497993497221,-0.20556580712654024,0.09025788743094099,0.09592167941912771,0.07868915033813233,-0.0036714125459268447,0.1056490778259577,0.0847835454606363,0.02220636273228845,0.10786811730850031,0.0822272281344974,0.09497455817140346,0.08262784496847829,0.13875312070893303,0.07798511194175962,-0.3297049987392867,0.09149115531647192,-0.12567482256369877,0.13630511581084884,0.12283942348530441,0.04210282107778114,-0.28520333200058867,-0.33197968017792423,0.12134094394852069,0.1381296529054128,0.036486434115902355,-0.33276256873279636,0.1373894976140599,0.1357862597277826,0.07918704747149316,-0.09740671375800422,-0.08599102554223406,0.12381856742600719,0.12376741180358077,0.10419473978239029,0.11096843315481839,0.12894147884772492,0.0998839144471667,-0.062310179030874484,-0.03296005405949439,0.07363323776999321,0.11581051760490986,-0.32723763027732006,-0.08972253425875093,0.13351501319200632,0.11700098832702589,0.10301820645025875,-0.24744300788439835,-0.002414676422857705,-0.3060687435729024,0.10675870428632395,-0.31991045427457193,0.10680390693651934,0.10499707850445832,-0.07723070656998747,0.13256709774263872,0.08651873930284465,0.10312534413465664,0.13737178659193822,-0.15430161124635622,0.12414641540680792,-0.2681024608937129,0.10408966323498393,-0.3390090916946117,0.1354884857217086,0.11490709354374193,-0.054850042202615114,0.11946827365131422,0.09856187598187302,-0.10164134423254002,0.12658198280249366,-0.07821980578137687,-0.3218754491847835,0.10253574399359079,-0.0627456191855765;-0.009346516037577178,-0.32519525954353473,0.1486952182338854,-0.1509396208914262,-0.2905519206024915,0.11807762143822852,0.13917730267974274,0.1581141795584982,-0.29855806330671686,-0.14812606754639737,0.12620816283981978,-0.3267991914997451,-0.09270892536863902,0.06761577350414105,-0.19168201550891031,0.14067298428657685,0.13123550285132202,0.1443580236138337,0.14638374084594227,0.1334233454469298,0.12220623428252182,-0.3120451608310384,-0.013722151179586726,0.15582378433358443,0.1558839289710957,0.03395352975428065,-0.1621129054656438,0.01409152222264579,0.024095044335459136,-0.009806897882617531,0.06628132250928463,0.14960854809436502,0.0026150191388160816,0.09001068287624756,0.05047607428082433,-0.0030141302218287514,0.023248440892984286,-0.0018160565287661625,0.1324726037290115,0.133321420263094,-0.323257039023777,0.015826275204533325,-0.06401040001482566,0.14892941104947024,0.08444372056589661,0.10581197176864772,-0.2649908294553514,-0.32603607947801067,0.15562137726666805,0.14187966409623962,0.1007748111503801,-0.3280215257831434,0.14882972318112925,0.14891957316105517,-0.007850421752557565,-0.3188957851078608,-0.018759715206472998,0.1567828502917466,0.1568409498260265,0.14843497225556765,0.05588922174532864,0.15444105959177823,0.03303024453765367,0.007446595127337979,-0.2082992581163828,0.1305844823732693,0.06739253382065458,-0.3207844079906988,-0.022854136967149913,0.15327178908419872,0.1541779764088035,0.14911065342429078,-0.21433780719662165,0.06707199944661198,-0.2922495359134031,0.1499747097159991,-0.31072219999066125,0.15031838326525085,0.15026141903629867,-0.008665016680083036,0.154075643460316,0.006515454831473802,0.14862751738735527,0.12817392004495018,-0.14641135065347588,0.08669453649077163,-0.2424399539264358,0.03979543372939657,-0.3346167747422176,0.15252278437518912,0.06485066017373567,0.015478537554875075,0.15633398530273634,0.028827129691790406,-0.03615685486990677,0.15505199432372144,-0.2870073740522505,-0.31378884005447844,0.03877035681567634,0.006745856830711969;0.08162646707207208,0.19571940466629398,-0.04498099119489645,0.13539315165173246,0.18276808822579457,-0.069954596976354,-0.05655129363488753,-0.027623734599982026,0.18407896345325675,0.13392754813500118,0.009051983360645208,0.1941530811357844,0.11431629350758142,-0.09568928426591418,-0.18110217071702014,0.0011099363641597312,-0.060316170391504276,-0.005575565185744525,-0.009461054950688635,-0.061006505714552066,-0.06890121354422163,0.19089891786819935,-0.1274361228227473,-0.037305873554459294,-0.028578672280772224,-0.11022368625786641,0.1373595544183631,-0.11794483421027657,-0.11478759007227611,-0.12700800209735724,0.04621535373004931,-0.014268378208227439,-0.12267595736932808,0.032949710443138325,-0.10170606181613966,-0.12496945630008312,-0.1140514449064867,-0.12442309372165679,-0.061306168648320586,0.003140873542925184,0.19392683190168264,-0.11647234115431337,0.1035166116760147,-0.04533889926127913,-0.08704415696025088,0.020743046038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k{55}	=[0.7229390745957339;0.6869099680310075;-0.4054354048753888];
x_a_linear{55}	=[-2.064128776499549,4.03087412342193,29.234595880080953];
L_a{55}	=[0.06114308214428487,0.26123630025998174,-0.1071132777651813,0.15547314507705456,0.24043636682243893,-0.10586906080642829,-0.10920567511820596,-0.09879897450911024,0.24464161170490434,0.1538131541646958,-0.0529881600844129,0.2618942792649834,0.1176358097138698,-0.09231442233342187,0.017214649739968346,-0.06672016992178992,-0.1080315201529775,-0.07431133278287669,-0.07813047784278829,-0.10895307153042434,-0.10757425306147789,0.25308597330591076,-0.0598734117504953,-0.10519875731837408,-0.09907274764618974,-0.07909976546973549,0.16204305529627422,-0.07114832981388647,-0.07561297386708432,-0.06202894595018732,0.002894094667353111,-0.08328087048841569,-0.06683302508979518,-0.017504792817719283,-0.08503009105481527,-0.06481793573410609,-0.07486637878465029,-0.06513373327207612,-0.1093760675759066,-0.06147396779312516,0.2598992803763347,-0.07212048806804199,0.09906672956316594,-0.10744635855177091,-0.09683164613139435,-0.033188738241065205,0.2248195842687218,0.26169236228667214,-0.09565042730014252,-0.1088846014650126,-0.028761462539183703,0.26230949630891676,-0.10830115314507531,-0.10703735558510852,-0.0624214274325936,0.07678359414122042,0.0677848553789202,-0.09760348400630268,-0.09756315914163048,-0.08213444743631633,-0.0874740026135677,-0.10164176367154035,-0.07873631757253886,0.049117759063915606,0.025981693829281182,-0.05804348002419438,-0.09129091248424681,0.2579543074758924,0.0707263225506318,-0.10524698133399708,-0.09222933466519678,-0.08120701179679307,0.19505394194573358,0.0019034369119125098,0.24126733444884163,-0.08415556489595725,0.2521784539778053,-0.0841911971620793,-0.08276691360237684,0.0608792864446913,-0.10449976019967948,-0.0682008406601622,-0.08129146610346942,-0.10828719193150033,0.1216326045318718,-0.09786191943982268,0.21133933946964306,-0.08205161787910686,0.26723349451591333,-0.10680262681184359,-0.09057876294368765,0.04323709543859155,-0.09417424203001551,-0.07769418340085951,0.08012166125333547,-0.09978182425129736,0.06165897184298334,0.2537274167325713,-0.08082669713436451,0.04946100706830368;0.122449109819868,0.23790690151862232,-0.08219045166726716,0.18418709730544258,0.2277154014385435,-0.11012610396437335,-0.09621858831287529,-0.054849776834384675,0.22877378184521519,0.18342249375128664,0.011990699858810227,0.23772126173421587,0.16085835682856625,-0.13137054907591983,-0.15457535590280952,-0.0031442104601113545,-0.10162946423185455,-0.01582213526838513,-0.02202869216703766,-0.10142805143813009,-0.1096730807792863,0.2334887422339207,-0.1427809669464436,-0.07093508312884889,-0.05767015308570455,-0.13654822988322157,0.18717543819730736,-0.1392706951808739,-0.13889083835587504,-0.14351202798206109,0.07251962461310078,-0.029905700501614826,-0.1414454380829859,0.05227861174067638,-0.1328086682324776,-0.1427310059054118,-0.13812813518997044,-0.14221364264926797,-0.1032905729779747,8.125611232110407E-4,0.23696313823629855,-0.13963145654084713,0.149530709895482,-0.08267422381501353,-0.12427960441432208,0.03427271704841515,0.2196140804473853,0.23804913605456993,-0.05055579744307385,-0.0928241436453393,0.03877867319020889,0.23739393941705655,-0.08461644536751303,-0.0818024443547706,-0.14240155667866522,-0.15338659763272333,0.1273524388592875,-0.053604192842946936,-0.05345917193357971,-0.028608129346345268,-0.1326634405739448,-0.06465060845226257,-0.13668809297918136,0.11332130031913437,-0.1522949894570757,0.005470135689196562,-0.1293875846163938,0.23524332571403397,0.12959843196222517,-0.07359102659441104,-0.04462493731954128,-0.025933334684046173,0.20610642710017016,0.0711749110154741,0.227808960117366,-0.03142496717101621,0.2328555197477343,-0.031158099969262793,-0.0281449810986009,0.12256199015936095,-0.07117651613754657,-0.1404933671575585,-0.0265985143441424,-0.10524215471685099,0.11577113470308795,-0.12424957145828867,0.21310791080128588,-0.13706912644233193,0.2414125064883981,-0.0776932686963483,-0.1303943999850826,0.10867730761589493,-0.04666123071707914,-0.13864485843330496,0.13654762974705922,-0.06003052221288628,-0.15409973350190975,0.2331277122800963,-0.1354538523871867,0.113360442708534;0.003836632279768407,-0.1366408219742607,0.09129483738948892,-0.06240895197209262,-0.12312923649595894,0.06473826541998762,0.08238660625345244,0.09807414707658055,-0.12716852179681648,-0.06176261715826363,0.07646664540185025,-0.13904426519682417,-0.03534692074953811,0.02175856773012775,-0.20300366328684943,0.08599527111524045,0.07712790030860216,0.08896769461811513,0.089941146418421,0.0776100169930447,0.06796109499643443,-0.1310919821858358,-0.05126163757956391,0.09653418921569723,0.09746751972554689,-0.009588300009582407,-0.06880117642263987,-0.027425733310030682,-0.01858830572159294,-0.04809111913062557,0.04253331582565609,0.09168645641010911,-0.03764704161829273,0.05522034014660282,0.006474234360618383,-0.04250425605983733,-0.018802022847374558,-0.041556117230607426,0.07784851457297444,0.08135168057044709,-0.13673235919706653,-0.024716403193674293,-0.02252192377018696,0.09136069434201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x_a{55}	=[-2.0641287764995493,4.030874123421928,29.234595880080935];
std_x_a{55}	=[1.2718663952987104,1.351342020282441,0.9372645326396334];
pred_a{55}	=[-2.0641287764995493];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.5 to 5.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{56}	=[1.7021108701916081,3.9092639162093548,22.609954523723054];
std_x_f{56}	=[1.3158669494951456,1.528209409306555,0.5601613429168203];
pred_f{56}	=[1.7021108701916081];
obs{56}	=[2.0492228537915964];
sqrt_r{56}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{56}	=[2.7411088906808327];
L_f{56}	=[0.09799521369522297,0.2536674549074955,-0.09123189613825519,0.17489992152567327,0.23838984622254472,-0.10868309298770922,-0.10099435109113,-0.07150676890181097,0.2413869373915314,0.1735849809559461,-0.013433946810586938,0.2548225018148852,0.1445897680537598,-0.1187807255524837,-0.09556031447235135,-0.0281496476486003,-0.10390553016974974,-0.038079624093880576,-0.043273450818848175,-0.10435825513117591,-0.10913064717218095,0.2476359760988943,-0.11637929727329711,-0.08353290321478865,-0.07277364474195094,-0.11846846323170963,0.1799511574165631,-0.11783347878835355,-0.11835812712373323,-0.11749808459778124,0.04459956214922293,-0.049873874201605,-0.11762962272778343,0.02479188508513304,-0.11775068250785184,-0.11812751296195796,-0.11824085985479223,-0.11772797018191616,-0.1055919463889216,-0.023257503996706282,0.2537238867572014,-0.11820141990891339,0.12985185745672,-0.0916897634711621,-0.11509913829387296,0.00760753128701352,0.22669906676217286,0.25444624453521975,-0.06708438668427902,-0.09844003416277194,0.01208914064487252,0.25428665015219987,-0.0932453489958629,-0.09075970357389852,-0.11697603572673985,-0.06935658686134075,0.10386267502286649,-0.06988805131926137,-0.06958541486203208,-0.048741341474189216,-0.11837097656403456,-0.07855730609704364,-0.11809643455301157,0.08748746953844186,-0.09043675681733912,-0.018570133584812614,-0.11690748041427558,0.25098252598794774,0.10634022659648405,-0.08542765830963847,-0.06232057680192959,-0.046994105398731015,0.20563505468586543,0.04273609580360301,0.23934659834095004,-0.05124420929844621,0.24772138456322113,-0.050657160053749435,-0.04874484998984436,0.09793466125030692,-0.08276069362502048,-0.11785995245522642,-0.047470825363852685,-0.10644603484401396,0.11974357425949511,-0.11612785362416055,0.21687127867010542,-0.1194771738403286,0.25934171022298436,-0.08894834404313975,-0.11788877074936731,0.08286395130085922,-0.06424026173877607,-0.11880906684455309,0.1144297910518607,-0.0747219782956693,-0.07714426487368911,0.24783955699729854,-0.11847390336065522,0.08774008245297553;0.12707060003638593,0.278979683330693,-0.09236063745737282,0.20387430631225528,0.26455918408092505,-0.12156600778494309,-0.10701660480243605,-0.06344262893062087,0.26715872940951935,0.20249195497146,0.005182206925819175,0.2800807356006137,0.1736493425944471,-0.14614025171916367,-0.16535919436687532,-0.011123264637686611,-0.11278227790555453,-0.024560891524837872,-0.030232178276625925,-0.11266238128712414,-0.12131749754232145,0.27349620681226916,-0.15962440735313535,-0.08110181240293524,-0.06647063696657589,-0.15237918444162013,0.20818443075066137,-0.15596519481133495,-0.15515375844545373,-0.16053010293075437,0.0700861557082386,-0.03789749715684573,-0.15817190125684935,0.048342833346607085,-0.14846697078702725,-0.15924087372905316,-0.15446590976777297,-0.15851860466387355,-0.11433667176417224,-0.006254859863130929,0.27898151767798607,-0.15591210974722725,0.15881142533647657,-0.09307290171262268,-0.13747755460467517,0.028915340998501113,0.2530479327948679,0.28000224776112276,-0.05953879631840583,-0.10386817652021073,0.03378846103281553,0.2794978775892608,-0.0946020140781873,-0.09169091807812176,-0.1594364559734084,-0.15087623383142468,0.13294633982767262,-0.06171608657266655,-0.06181452984244885,-0.03694051520267649,-0.14829492133127942,-0.07430652178488789,-0.15254982966499783,0.11591412876862596,-0.1615313000843338,-0.0010380047884461195,-0.1435101202099002,0.2762844999384264,0.13510012567584023,-0.08337714338100213,-0.05362913307782889,-0.034108987482167764,0.23379022243536743,0.06852471106463325,0.26551912082306467,-0.03966959204939364,0.27304925741277664,-0.039228493816489636,-0.036712611877916405,0.1267456393866128,-0.08057506187338151,-0.15699778560006097,-0.034859290155318974,-0.11639831310939848,0.1347443725085689,-0.1381289446551102,0.24453656515090963,-0.15288546359971933,0.2842301194517698,-0.08775350392831734,-0.1452842168278897,0.10992090652444918,-0.05512061586349699,-0.1540417998510133,0.14342916738331993,-0.06921642450555442,-0.15542809846510797,0.27326435669651955,-0.1510967182003241,0.11563068512202948;0.028120315193012977,0.027848925568114972,0.026750745629654564,0.025369668999224215,0.026383395101708264,0.006235543593855567,0.019416924927854056,0.03488863514940185,0.025184182045854195,0.02453244305877112,0.033914147227434625,0.02676319664246639,0.025525658469261858,-0.025291737632938568,-0.18365113238579872,0.036377000165658833,0.015376649556137207,0.035600685833471354,0.03513558560873104,0.0153079196439877,0.008223462287971633,0.02715986652808272,-0.07674249741058516,0.0318074289604698,0.034744106069807115,-0.0479393675312606,0.02325477438978795,-0.06016587493192595,-0.054071403730612366,-0.07449311393987278,0.031087941464246656,0.03450556064383065,-0.0676531562164791,0.030603267790480837,-0.036994132722255275,-0.07083565822836656,-0.053335234892061927,-0.07037322242100721,0.015445897884139328,0.034585015147991754,0.027254272891843973,-0.05774851057713799,0.0262242597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k{56}	=[0.635184139017687;0.7320722017693431;0.10148599184763216];
x_a_linear{56}	=[1.9225908966372882,4.163374950303922,22.6451815276609];
L_a{56}	=[-0.11383186535251197,-0.29466173379804383,0.10597555253426091,-0.20316486455343963,-0.2769151660917658,0.12624697411802818,0.11731568248348301,0.08306271890726975,-0.2803966063124928,-0.20163742119946865,0.015604958312061806,-0.2960034436538632,-0.1679563969280764,0.13797644851937424,0.1110034708826873,0.03269881027885685,0.12069732667199523,0.04423353426229834,0.050266716518112986,0.12122321487517919,0.12676685591371664,-0.2876555295383916,0.13518693411124966,0.09703235324149072,0.08453432996474122,0.1376137226156014,-0.20903241238678427,0.1368761206355509,0.13748555548872762,0.13648652460425928,-0.05180713589891197,0.05793381042447767,0.13663932013516858,-0.028798411865531608,0.136779943947952,0.1372176726072918,0.13734933708106273,0.1367535611652602,0.12265627851005254,0.027016065005199753,-0.29472728539465054,0.13730352338833735,-0.15083674596351726,0.1065074141489605,0.13369989327445075,-0.008836956872420783,-0.26333508209360407,-0.2955663807976103,0.07792565151243659,0.11434857164518407,-0.014042822891275416,-0.2953809949442217,0.1083143922177342,0.10542705063932672,0.13588010930544037,0.08056505373277034,-0.12064754585999737,0.0811824062373714,0.08083086179809681,0.05661825318373875,0.13750048148054989,0.09125266788954052,0.13718157172920661,-0.10162600270973621,0.10505191362678823,0.02157118563340193,0.1358004750171587,-0.29154290323759074,-0.12352548557253332,0.09923331284655612,0.07239197956414017,0.05458865261264159,-0.23886699129570785,-0.049642521504547045,-0.27802653545575096,0.05952560041451324,-0.28775474055538564,0.05884368026701032,0.056622328697905025,-0.11376152724622571,0.09613534965599109,0.1369068726158693,0.055142413565185205,0.12364839310782869,-0.1390948997195754,0.13489485556442088,-0.25191906075312687,0.1387854472932685,-0.30125298496932645,0.1033229638535007,0.13694034813017908,-0.0962552944309395,0.07462189783269971,0.13800936994503488,-0.13292237524827685,0.08679752664941215,0.08961127019051918,-0.28789201040864676,0.13762004190408783,-0.10191943948270887;-0.11706760592175428,-0.3529891140811143,0.1349279270497198,-0.2318587407761341,-0.3293480811904001,0.14919920961153177,0.14459343570403183,0.11470417656384463,-0.3342152725880004,-0.2299651440422286,0.0386505728755498,-0.3547656623503878,-0.18657117472934276,0.1497814789990298,0.07271287932270774,0.05900673677908745,0.14608046414292464,0.07030793685237476,0.07757617531693752,0.14732824707036218,0.15056272406247947,-0.3434461994108227,0.13031457819098108,0.12700603654527934,0.1148323716027196,0.14276459845741557,-0.24013290103665866,0.1375966336537379,0.13971514103389213,0.13219614864349433,-0.04102597598723674,0.08635467509343403,0.1348820549252357,-0.01342188065084608,0.14488858499778434,0.13505349026431002,0.1401108384974749,0.13478036727058457,0.14872748599352545,0.0516872077819233,-0.35312786997314854,0.13856638068208285,-0.16469212472885852,0.1353563604368097,0.14927213520965324,0.009962486362576801,-0.3117337679097607,-0.3539067699467795,0.10759040515299641,0.14137822306112635,0.003670448149103782,-0.3540135381860347,0.13770272162647462,0.13442125993842902,0.1319892007044925,0.02191376324302504,-0.12580963599946177,0.11239796271203492,0.11154555280511393,0.0844901467122098,0.14660599031666585,0.12140548344717605,0.14166710782233413,-0.10204584143320264,0.06377631168052604,0.04522628636254258,0.1477447427081547,-0.3489952592558417,-0.1298282434095296,0.12945116172158516,0.10163185611721044,0.08296873652113448,-0.2785141181546721,-0.0379449150091089,-0.3307717276552995,0.08799653420423968,-0.344105929296914,0.08697510029904242,0.08472679089976634,-0.11724171057855874,0.1256089598106157,0.13662999744883036,0.08340609957818106,0.14879365901078778,-0.16357613001770482,0.151183612320865,-0.2957608932845365,0.14477134814055215,-0.36187510830836644,0.13384598362602393,0.1484153620400526,-0.09652036388405291,0.10492293789580974,0.14195053831768178,-0.14165295899942987,0.11694052172535192,0.036763557800856404,-0.3441852362903904,0.14406061784351193,-0.10295862667139892;-0.005724171620829739,-0.05975989234230771,0.058259393750532705,-0.03503530247446249,-0.05594901382722107,0.04377129017582846,0.054297220147241705,0.05958484025922166,-0.0581833285857373,-0.035418389002438454,0.03855381296767006,-0.061244538402298494,-0.024411132459442514,0.015731415928444747,-0.15064758373142367,0.04609900946317846,0.05126237512486327,0.04875219892195454,0.05008088426569364,0.05135000227761011,0.04591378010994335,-0.05836586694068019,-0.03654872218988373,0.060657085334174236,0.059877850535372784,-0.007024059624775854,-0.03889473623082615,-0.019469870824165472,-0.013194202470469865,-0.03391294451252414,0.015684645362897147,0.051730439432515415,-0.027027557626434474,0.02204092483295954,0.0036732761356147014,-0.030038103898548277,-0.01249853408482616,-0.029713657691300816,0.05191405895496974,0.04261743079012225,-0.060374034817327636,-0.01692543109565798,-0.01862251704953607,0.0588347604364092,0.025109428433892154,0.02831078554663117,-0.054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x_a{56}	=[1.9225908966372893,4.1633749503039255,22.645181527660892];
std_x_a{56}	=[1.528519442619001,1.7736370539276196,0.5745130372962242];
pred_a{56}	=[1.9225908966372893];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.6 to 5.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{57}	=[3.82237352528177,5.770242742045305,18.950905129554922];
std_x_f{57}	=[2.006260646455817,2.7506967152820976,1.2620934751215913];
pred_f{57}	=[3.82237352528177];
obs{57}	=[4.07043706204984];
sqrt_r{57}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{57}	=[5.043416236197699];
L_f{57}	=[-0.1354047808623605,-0.39824647366494365,0.14106643363604635,-0.2620990740203173,-0.3714003229043479,0.16241897915253042,0.1532253103063508,0.11622628765111068,-0.3765009962976423,-0.2606494968321196,0.03458921357035019,-0.39997820647008997,-0.21218170818798546,0.1724578100904811,0.1294548424183735,0.05636184578386377,0.1570520083629677,0.06905464073581687,0.07682382524413175,0.1572405136523224,0.1633615312656675,-0.3873570389472958,0.16541853183087113,0.13122631261913875,0.11733424493383643,0.17068327728115265,-0.2712051954233576,0.16917038676583368,0.16976990078552492,0.16702940745408865,-0.05196141573581548,0.085976074387875,0.16777960217568355,-0.02213464904540806,0.17042125115183543,0.16810119655202077,0.17009512864987,0.16813078865688924,0.1585259681055297,0.04849511266036923,-0.3979263534318655,0.16933190006510823,-0.18817995376182378,0.14197584313319095,0.16841357116803551,0.003935555141438434,-0.35116125239386725,-0.3988821949035866,0.1095655757189909,0.14936984363867054,-0.0031794031352277738,-0.3988519159379816,0.14401260596384707,0.14092255146317634,0.16625347496262505,0.08775582140981039,-0.14500438155834883,0.11420663622985001,0.11331470136804113,0.08437809295007329,0.17123812577429331,0.1247809166914408,0.17044228828841237,-0.11849838888060765,0.12152671420741783,0.04198786330170136,0.17014846705948855,-0.39328140769101216,-0.1489996271648334,0.1334908595668481,0.1032964169088265,0.08249453904472484,-0.3144037275989991,-0.04864393230174674,-0.37303076420370185,0.08810518543991006,-0.38777870276961407,0.08723729242347862,0.0844084981812,-0.13516636420502115,0.13063523203614344,0.16897597064979658,0.08310379053211418,0.1602856169984931,-0.17848023934130727,0.17020338961678155,-0.33432835043786924,0.17186018000842262,-0.4075521420139673,0.1391002953044456,0.17164261490918645,-0.1125671616747983,0.106671048674484,0.1707125454637453,-0.16234743045353525,0.11994117868712029,0.10072788887856976,-0.3878561858939972,0.17078820989460589,-0.119492489489642;-0.17147860542542134,-0.5553752278834493,0.18639243296947697,-0.35418689130322406,-0.516144367018113,0.2124227714749598,0.20175845572108955,0.15725252526615732,-0.5238595412375862,-0.3509527648663208,0.05666171239750045,-0.5587856001670207,-0.2805782755020797,0.22785393750427654,0.19607593309252647,0.08374754519642369,0.2061214278541363,0.09941461294962801,0.10917920095663147,0.20668222506910575,0.21369470738349675,-0.5401545281821476,0.226454755454048,0.17433416716697744,0.1584966402728738,0.22888320080280652,-0.36733515504223513,0.22747692384215104,0.2282245958281949,0.2280716908675913,-0.05682868116933046,0.12045772836783572,0.22812956210265942,-0.016488840230257863,0.22626635739641332,0.22950256808678388,0.2284536582924812,0.22885520974339063,0.20817128186478684,0.07431764274991877,-0.5562378572188763,0.22802848825482225,-0.2453915999023399,0.18684155293060153,0.22274637211582604,0.01793835136114282,-0.4861434316253541,-0.5573915159016879,0.14808912113649503,0.19651385075771963,0.0077237324866342326,-0.5574689361959035,0.18949213527860484,0.18576917617528646,0.22715726643335532,0.14921271884754164,-0.18495211329456024,0.15465254420554417,0.15358475488704332,0.11856323409178403,0.22740859010085546,0.1671059657349057,0.22843192881172839,-0.1481942431225361,0.1865721030610926,0.06574349085808692,0.22557238285046574,-0.5491020380769689,-0.19084957365358085,0.17768797793443167,0.14123859664190055,0.11672737058173832,-0.43096085600040945,-0.0518677456243837,-0.5187761228747525,0.1230619451701371,-0.5402926725619414,0.12176332510313753,0.11830875406535302,-0.1712778793648972,0.17257536963780384,0.22916348850937376,0.1172692637960061,0.2098442403787183,-0.23216634035783346,0.2243314791810201,-0.45970530887864736,0.22952704443323135,-0.5703184895679183,0.18381472273908908,0.22707658125490063,-0.1393692148273138,0.14455991483622727,0.22891025546288266,-0.20902658564475815,0.16116661943139027,0.16468785508356498,-0.5404001854851034,0.22914134904618738,-0.1492961961339745;-0.11302873009024915,-0.20910386317259155,0.12182253456460405,-0.1763628763061624,-0.20567737070411343,0.1299481126488548,0.12982897770521126,0.10139449379513325,-0.20734493335613635,-0.17655495882292208,0.01930759160593005,-0.20931102804540014,-0.15518633445325417,0.11751771943833474,-0.05241907748273982,0.04139834857698511,0.13069557514832794,0.05312412533665655,0.06031081884977355,0.1316464382072037,0.1324179395365131,-0.2081598638091256,0.06969204801035676,0.11466255286114728,0.10183821269931102,0.09748280626408229,-0.1822698872398143,0.08635722435680213,0.09171658353332347,0.07318156713762097,-0.05513785507065511,0.06846659183389787,0.07936397501049999,-0.03158434107979884,0.10573310955631329,0.0779212856011186,0.09246689221333693,0.07771349361875432,0.13343870418938156,0.03262311731463061,-0.20925509304651205,0.08853732492256915,-0.14320482719651728,0.12239670930519582,0.12098638734492707,-0.010081595718725406,-0.20377867844424377,-0.21012904835658158,0.09270257797416807,0.12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k{57}	=[0.8017216995054299;1.0982135484660214;0.4768971055496507];
x_a_linear{57}	=[4.021251445564795,6.042669479004399,19.069205912232025];
L_a{57}	=[0.07761636901362903,0.2282817863704194,-0.08086172658601899,0.15023973538992227,0.2128931071025284,-0.09310137604029033,-0.08783140559161356,-0.06662292405009503,0.2158169015637768,0.14940881260243766,-0.019827137175433364,0.22927444565158486,0.1216262354680181,-0.09885580805947801,-0.07420576109464959,-0.03230758761093108,-0.0900249352925185,-0.039583317836487476,-0.04403674915473105,-0.09013298979403929,-0.09364166326029755,0.2220397735108149,-0.09482077166336336,-0.07522119854023729,-0.06725802438229687,-0.09783861507354016,0.15545952212566358,-0.09697139998876728,-0.09731505182354624,-0.09574415351155548,0.02978518478104017,-0.04928297711153805,-0.09617417813825302,0.012687964762794707,-0.09768841715131923,-0.09635852161288881,-0.09750147807653191,-0.09637548432068065,-0.09086983458308508,-0.02779823973446598,0.22809828790026876,-0.09706398221339228,0.1078680135156549,-0.08138301588367396,-0.09653758016098928,-0.0022559284700729163,0.20129172083514688,0.2286461928111233,-0.06280488843920778,-0.08562138522384984,0.0018224890245031264,0.22862883638284295,-0.08255052366626961,-0.08077925082886434,-0.09529937554874242,-0.05030315897458358,0.0831190266395862,-0.06546522482416589,-0.06495395229058629,-0.048366986434078794,-0.0981566638537678,-0.07152658579778419,-0.09770047600289856,0.06792533188489848,-0.06966122048914163,-0.024068171532520676,-0.09753205257809072,0.22543572443408783,0.08540917071956668,-0.07651927612968933,-0.05921129786939339,-0.04728730066490927,0.18022167005602324,0.027883545734210525,0.2138277043356521,-0.05050342049642663,0.2222814785276124,-0.050005929165627974,-0.0483844152399455,0.07747970445025709,-0.07488238089765184,-0.0968599572988679,-0.04763653418507124,-0.09187849584999785,0.10230796896630512,-0.09756353514057375,0.19164280946387918,-0.0985132361304269,0.23361595687678008,-0.07973470199127809,-0.09838852404183426,0.06452544957219236,-0.061145695331139206,-0.09785539210346483,0.0930603630849997,-0.0687523640274725,-0.05773897305081178,0.22232589319846857,-0.09789876426764903,0.06849516759687313;0.12032179494784816,0.3028550334305864,-0.11760895865103173,0.21064260917308994,0.2842318252554355,-0.13759384420940232,-0.12844559327892882,-0.09321778349618615,0.2875087188850993,0.21075286360788095,-0.017878834133751055,0.30317658495844096,0.17667815966083347,-0.14379658850671806,-0.08290221381898,-0.03771352184097863,-0.13232924300012422,-0.04939971757852664,-0.05637789992026415,-0.1321746789960939,-0.13835312966715987,0.2946087522009992,-0.1300259648720124,-0.10846153855257472,-0.094361341780153,-0.13894316640862603,0.2171182453756609,-0.13708912969882306,-0.13763342414011764,-0.13188050327802542,0.0551493584471989,-0.06482267878710692,-0.1334393188299759,0.031211834830376692,-0.14099533751204685,-0.13275935608387662,-0.13810523516363596,-0.13347048609023143,-0.1334558059540333,-0.030190434441439668,0.30130253766958043,-0.1368856301409803,0.16014050539120064,-0.11911963696054409,-0.14018872649844735,0.009457139998818894,0.27061710069491407,0.30220873922482944,-0.08802720103700555,-0.1253815793730841,0.014575418977309346,0.30206606706705086,-0.12085832510702221,-0.1179221460711375,-0.1311227754423806,-0.03990308385441468,0.12753564618577315,-0.09146536954101807,-0.09061101882779216,-0.0632734865081502,-0.14161348830639922,-0.10179976431105255,-0.13887510160731548,0.10717249576755737,-0.07532074618637419,-0.024741315100934944,-0.14110145609858635,0.29842839247890746,0.13024803150677164,-0.10998787826280074,-0.08136754487801488,-0.0610502482626676,0.24658636949596083,0.052961041298646164,0.28511370769802397,-0.06680674500898116,0.29537930300457943,-0.06623503577104045,-0.06359349050323075,0.1200087276576192,-0.10894654390341854,-0.13498359385394068,-0.06182130594138879,-0.1355749310594023,0.15246265846201273,-0.14246071913544522,0.2607799346451571,-0.14083557507912123,0.30796569992126854,-0.11594959579805832,-0.14281718049142625,0.10321559374734045,-0.08531863533912691,-0.13897918535159687,0.1408358409564713,-0.09730936449801077,-0.05238304977169578,0.2954387679870205,-0.13891115034774915,0.10821285231033176;0.01368502838652229,0.16358096491705884,-0.010189480720938645,0.0689132398758476,0.1418844400013351,-0.02204592452844332,-0.013561490777755193,-0.00737175247976843,0.14499016151483793,0.06736462199490874,-0.013061496297325592,0.1649943807284779,0.04337638654735259,-0.04387080138096775,-0.17356479723782553,-0.011345884444013252,-0.0162759728963902,-0.011498209356186456,-0.011582031426627755,-0.015501515822257486,-0.020458151583453408,0.15433447328033476,-0.08510901408290764,-0.008140934409523515,-0.007964876075772535,-0.06224508100610693,0.07152786946903907,-0.07195487801909459,-0.06715655276036245,-0.08312697573554305,-0.006511608333088717,-0.01199106597834934,-0.07764661096747401,-0.010870415358379888,-0.05374956986040539,-0.07939025306014416,-0.06671059703443284,-0.07962573776358721,-0.01491219676764879,-0.01275931271342182,0.1631301618844991,-0.06992592394213483,0.032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x_a{57}	=[4.021251445564795,6.042669479004397,19.06920591223202];
std_x_a{57}	=[1.1500234015453679,1.577062867128829,0.8030320791231947];
pred_a{57}	=[4.021251445564795];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.7 to 5.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{58}	=[6.666972499963525,10.049630009768956,18.586672140705613];
std_x_f{58}	=[1.5221287062975721,1.704566386666367,2.482384950328354];
pred_f{58}	=[6.666972499963525];
obs{58}	=[6.945322491347177];
sqrt_r{58}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{58}	=[3.332718638525953];
L_f{58}	=[0.12586834387895907,0.2817341337340017,-0.11742602334277716,0.21009597402997687,0.2683627622541875,-0.13741666651496334,-0.12891202537723356,-0.09315606298515454,0.2710176001662655,0.21008451200831862,-0.014035651853108401,0.28193772241809095,0.17974881527199188,-0.14264358679740854,-0.06750044148332711,-0.03499953455915927,-0.13220442928982631,-0.04666855628661805,-0.05455400561594202,-0.13324989732230538,-0.1384735550801347,0.27594162629969443,-0.12532530075404089,-0.10882653454833413,-0.09433981440169296,-0.13625496611210958,0.2163172344613016,-0.13294914004245018,-0.1343316801291581,-0.1276312850674681,0.06192283998125402,-0.06264404402807291,-0.12928147025501188,0.03691727220062178,-0.13866879463295684,-0.12934792224858746,-0.13496068860098734,-0.12917683584458023,-0.1338449391826106,-0.02725266812761941,0.28031414881491484,-0.1333424243130001,0.16438594057596656,-0.11891711331321571,-0.13943567914355237,0.01440560017830304,0.25855597888225323,0.2811414297386091,-0.08679044783239863,-0.12518100178397507,0.020110311621325535,0.2813157532424058,-0.12130794007983033,-0.11805856312480732,-0.1265563422098708,-0.014588000768728732,0.1335979457687576,-0.09094565372527676,-0.09005626468696205,-0.0615789123601432,-0.13960055551911338,-0.10141747762230985,-0.13577874128725007,0.11419723934406052,-0.05903932821944907,-0.020765245118976056,-0.14002044652665532,0.2787794850102357,0.13620236372304162,-0.11020887276940923,-0.07995706367001512,-0.05918252119677001,0.2399214023467386,0.05963715880982114,0.26975384390828727,-0.06504290943624853,0.27669243826764955,-0.0639151484361994,-0.06184303251602371,0.12674580115800102,-0.10837019290972288,-0.1305951055264673,-0.0598485051884511,-0.13556182480766735,0.16470861261099712,-0.1418168374538151,0.2512868789924788,-0.13832554467825864,0.28452947129792194,-0.11551796827857229,-0.14106730277511093,0.10990405180498866,-0.08422476509607998,-0.13606867365470712,0.14619109390337368,-0.09701199477404363,-0.029837831747062043,0.2769454560804163,-0.13635159975229078,0.11493311000088416;0.1753095073979383,0.27891678599877806,-0.1442570155148955,0.249743150854386,0.27649475107844973,-0.1713092987000201,-0.1600311890787936,-0.10912519605481695,0.27768637854456135,0.24929286679125595,0.00299850167346027,0.27820695665059747,0.2255186000801382,-0.17389183359095853,-0.03444012601978188,-0.026214032342805043,-0.1647924986368971,-0.04275935311861156,-0.05331070004524966,-0.16583054549428053,-0.1729993081477091,0.27727924458084524,-0.1400765370673923,-0.1312481035422948,-0.11104868867929699,-0.15995363799707155,0.2541661286273802,-0.1539389800203979,-0.15729238269905815,-0.1435287453983045,0.10161477379564839,-0.06469616850670239,-0.147081885022455,0.0705818933814487,-0.1667022631184286,-0.14628826770374082,-0.15816956150183295,-0.14700308300823653,-0.16730259825338148,-0.014796898019870953,0.27794101190702214,-0.15491905048863547,0.21259076643714753,-0.14662456358200449,-0.17088036697550188,0.04181701155639229,0.2743518320639714,0.27841053036075253,-0.09978708092790164,-0.15598427331765768,0.04828757079547888,0.27862495534611575,-0.14966270525620431,-0.14499313524184992,-0.14223340297391057,0.056376878948625905,0.18288419414837997,-0.10577625287747469,-0.10477395158659616,-0.06319157008994775,-0.16820080439192392,-0.12152392785551389,-0.16004050212514856,0.16203091142443862,-0.019458580749025484,-0.005853613926378337,-0.1691892844181359,0.27834903034998015,0.1850562418775197,-0.13403114331434177,-0.09048218075246854,-0.060209939711247516,0.26730068889308956,0.09938659069553009,0.27715567121693524,-0.06848445367612362,0.2790792209736054,-0.06745270356622962,-0.06374315283383056,0.17539009514063206,-0.13107127342019337,-0.14979070249434093,-0.06131291717243707,-0.16933796179040647,0.22645604572151792,-0.17493532542545231,0.27241209206071537,-0.16509875707864632,0.2775469677802722,-0.14196819841231711,-0.17148147961813812,0.15775266297775384,-0.09591638807900828,-0.16042118554615162,0.1949957999197634,-0.11487540407837976,0.03080136432171151,0.27810538680670205,-0.16184938923786446,0.16273145909573425;0.1479524499440846,0.5067541577478966,-0.15283499869296097,0.31433800614177265,0.4669749542737795,-0.17982063039965593,-0.16483048437740402,-0.1265173818654487,0.47347812732203703,0.31300108091153805,-0.04808540706720954,0.5082224963406017,0.24691358285631584,-0.2010492440832445,-0.23080018103144231,-0.0696916816033604,-0.17059073609831693,-0.08252829758072396,-0.09099735532931022,-0.17085515348135125,-0.17912231103227988,0.4893690350999872,-0.2167975340654449,-0.142221417275128,-0.12809092025135732,-0.20917473759998093,0.3257305146308402,-0.21454776398970976,-0.21168865484566393,-0.21842599387526443,0.04676119381297362,-0.0993833723167758,-0.21550707683875545,0.012689548322843988,-0.20536618276009885,-0.21644304458022848,-0.21220650052658108,-0.2171192295708351,-0.17110787222297197,-0.06262288313932764,0.5039479765303554,-0.21278205332670524,0.2164261304598697,-0.15393898453900653,-0.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k{58}	=[0.6999446672635125;0.7783514881385344;1.119326568162839];
x_a_linear{58}	=[6.861802092065357,10.26628413978577,18.898236681309232];
L_a{58}	=[-0.10903031886786163,-0.2440451784010006,0.10171736891016823,-0.18199040628810276,-0.23246256079266256,0.11903376580765242,0.11166683218059921,0.08069412005224541,-0.2347622480307398,-0.18198047759723632,0.012158033941674057,-0.24422153202940367,-0.15570293563306198,0.12356145535634419,0.05847057672996745,0.030317475352512422,0.11451879509175811,0.04042547487496834,0.047256049015352145,0.1154244057436069,0.11994926921158433,-0.23902756306465914,0.10855992128222457,0.09426827586211486,0.08171951524239422,0.11802747175905638,-0.18737941823251703,0.11516388223853899,0.11636147316454917,0.11055742277663548,-0.0536391183064444,0.054263843354619,0.11198685460710411,-0.03197866783435373,0.12011839061291342,0.11204441699193943,0.11690633609148246,0.11189621765437757,0.11593984593904788,0.023606945196734813,-0.2428151518212874,0.11550455494545107,-0.14239522795045828,0.10300898847015785,0.12078268522542919,-0.012478492466967767,-0.22396767887749042,-0.24353176332282922,0.07518006442470408,0.10843492589232977,-0.017420056711906252,-0.2436827667174826,0.10507998262713614,0.10226529074663622,0.10962628029142682,0.012636492436800857,-0.11572589404422882,0.07877940806823207,0.07800899695884077,0.05334119956816939,0.1209255052804741,0.08785036477931399,0.11761495386212466,-0.0989205151653212,0.05114134803983034,0.017987376546945526,0.12128922541081971,-0.24148578751233882,-0.11798190624928195,0.09546569192704685,0.069260815539633,0.05126538539104828,-0.20782594093908915,-0.051659203903254576,-0.23366755063874842,0.0563418007846938,-0.23967793523730568,0.055364905898713984,0.05356998707682837,-0.10979039438787402,0.09387298128019606,0.11312475845257433,0.05184227744139346,0.11742705536272631,-0.1426747345665377,0.12284530432282914,-0.2176710020925269,0.11982105888629534,-0.24646656996416136,0.10006456371978814,0.12219603857019283,-0.09520164835640663,0.07295760563773868,0.11786610055635903,-0.12663439505690427,0.08403422495486965,0.02584627881364865,-0.23989710561768063,0.11811117824376582,-0.09955794479922654;-0.08590217441334298,-0.305759587967601,0.09943451247783218,-0.18626419640144418,-0.2804323229072729,0.11386835171692458,0.10749697500722641,0.08419944089019667,-0.28475021955643137,-0.18669069359440482,0.03212636744877952,-0.30689192023375,-0.1475099859314015,0.12213312438239597,0.10564198914508863,0.046419697497969925,0.10956831563507786,0.05409082937886213,0.05990397425113993,0.11069990456241885,0.11437167882303205,-0.2953760718090969,0.12000817982495489,0.09459710295696917,0.08473256037986236,0.12281316226773269,-0.1947520574475821,0.12196731536430934,0.12148306635917157,0.12134152775209595,-0.02689227313577732,0.06530757661104258,0.12121297952920292,-0.00603167332030003,0.12107390001001087,0.1221445031432306,0.1219112543844379,0.1210746361557736,0.11046272850295816,0.04175993792535977,-0.3037884999856171,0.12180341870573981,-0.1285555987304938,0.10016138916365964,0.11848729395607331,0.011921400522580502,-0.26222344973319855,-0.30503581862331924,0.08032714116162017,0.10380098323785736,0.00655310318854054,-0.30518316319972727,0.10208487534107774,0.10001108802583522,0.12040606596447906,0.08665102173649249,-0.09436855285167976,0.08296117252196436,0.08211774517827757,0.0646017317522591,0.12150902069327407,0.08894543305271388,0.12173799970346211,-0.07495999532772356,0.10306438048132835,0.037240022118974925,0.12139193082663181,-0.3001956290127757,-0.09760139385796529,0.09468279793133533,0.07545087620441852,0.06261018661460899,-0.23060268441083986,-0.024377034621891315,-0.2826582825608478,0.06649760170135631,-0.2951342382410509,0.0651889353218803,0.0645982714988427,-0.08764255359936754,0.0938268977624164,0.12123031915106124,0.0628893104281745,0.11199037825249844,-0.11535995330596703,0.11937389863243841,-0.24907779376677242,0.12196506730610905,-0.3129305060004019,0.09776358674953037,0.12127225234407135,-0.07032869032472926,0.07887333158286236,0.12195900626248958,-0.10839121803491368,0.08645135950535308,0.09272313092370309,-0.2966331544608685,0.12111795259993091,-0.07578658312147687;-0.22768912050515913,-0.33405338117364447,0.19761130464847948,-0.3126725605943563,-0.3339270545760555,0.2302857619210418,0.2198946511901562,0.15149763539944316,-0.33534698158495124,-0.31397527855941604,-0.006197398200972061,-0.3331926327871833,-0.2895289027943543,0.2246563726572077,-0.029351817897358398,0.03476095296405907,0.2239602519287696,0.05674937330817296,0.0718136558616859,0.2268159300476876,0.23413826023584736,-0.33415134072393987,0.1572233781151713,0.18256056590244565,0.15345688554023224,0.19746467525414726,-0.31984678593666377,0.18222573931028047,0.189210902022485,0.16247689944717175,-0.13804137163274463,0.08757155497317151,0.17032063027146835,-0.09748638375646876,0.20847706156128154,0.16958298190448556,0.1905702696495547,0.16839620653425488,0.22833905463568963,0.018709998019700004,-0.33262175843999503,0.18516516781583048,-0.27416738157612014,0.20095732871688265,0.22326221274617833,-0.05896298404717815,-0.3340992800216975,-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x_a{58}	=[6.8618020920653535,10.266284139785762,18.898236681309236];
std_x_a{58}	=[1.3185060920889184,1.4861854637780418,2.1547541315472514];
pred_a{58}	=[6.8618020920653535];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.8 to 5.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{59}	=[10.714604987552582,14.452597861909565,24.564905012632376];
std_x_f{59}	=[1.064208415276551,0.6715195457346876,3.5679302969657947];
pred_f{59}	=[10.714604987552582];
obs{59}	=[11.234727285256144];
sqrt_r{59}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{59}	=[2.1338243896708144];
L_f{59}	=[-0.03584464430548616,-0.2336361731837478,0.058515505503867304,-0.12186189882555576,-0.20939842657690474,0.06315165316114227,0.06032343633781662,0.05441997423471949,-0.21367051408966511,-0.12181137669217303,0.03866324321423932,-0.23480783149093956,-0.08630174376553407,0.0704816865811812,0.10525707591737224,0.04409795353119772,0.06098428925222411,0.046503828755516875,0.04832786519204175,0.061461497635562815,0.0633541358738057,-0.22352392487697548,0.08278523320013603,0.057278564180378536,0.05512465608129465,0.07663668009070156,-0.12857273958248375,0.07929728529788804,0.07746994265706156,0.08240101444234431,0.006606313559782249,0.05123297453227465,0.08071604941921073,0.019423346844324268,0.072926344693265,0.08144089527203746,0.07754227607601431,0.081138244498798,0.06134650626541451,0.04259127826709076,-0.23201083322323907,0.07879408204945287,-0.0700929198907312,0.05830568005065376,0.06860829317956713,0.02968588877266137,-0.1922047335754013,-0.23314948637548627,0.05433983005755187,0.059138827515548414,0.02648765535774727,-0.23326931487543495,0.058211081447015825,0.05848028923729663,0.08209462477848574,0.11325740692401735,-0.04236847831376476,0.054645085417082004,0.05469742042334922,0.05051150827344128,0.07315300966132968,0.056051147433153085,0.07696417178816842,-0.026891824542202063,0.1066471352211769,0.040618749000785,0.07156869842491755,-0.22844068054336839,-0.044964836105873686,0.05676490310684622,0.05339416956494601,0.04954462474687578,-0.1625223632266887,0.008399894392815733,-0.21102814538115766,0.050619765343933094,-0.22411564391585467,0.05063635146737205,0.05100748277951697,-0.036547373484744794,0.05723267661443723,0.08039971687156816,0.049380741764488284,0.06205308883208329,-0.054904393621421646,0.068525513376781,-0.17959880203031103,0.07527930883329832,-0.24009539124025583,0.05803900055426711,0.07167982462654218,-0.023795237986176557,0.054142808018386654,0.07635425720623266,-0.052818529856045134,0.0556214502657421,0.11253088868297724,-0.22455654024567875,0.07516670769335612,-0.02772870850124899;0.10766854029466559,-0.091290231526468,-0.043495688361137055,0.04761056829125396,-0.05802521642774867,-0.06223978338430045,-0.056621838329862006,-0.017805846894154088,-0.06305192755317597,0.04697392314579398,0.06261775966677367,-0.09253392042197878,0.07869846899364806,-0.05525106089364736,0.11756731084777111,0.04293224496653777,-0.059015730804050516,0.03287982745317104,0.02550553811287152,-0.06048573549185037,-0.06422844544942233,-0.07745207198178901,-0.00836224720758068,-0.03468661746814607,-0.018362661864008322,-0.035729750149944214,0.04121473104408381,-0.02453781513772602,-0.030783481918669853,-0.01097956631952798,0.10454101494992492,0.0177270459128316,-0.017002416585643932,0.09542252073277761,-0.04427744657612082,-0.016074403466723543,-0.031088927130733975,-0.01569323508879582,-0.06191904929961429,0.051015758804625416,-0.08938173077105263,-0.02702772086596781,0.09115083115586142,-0.04604931299503451,-0.05564460080148861,0.08353894466687692,-0.035008403839059773,-0.09062246637985678,-0.008880864690570936,-0.05295023787176118,0.08578454883747932,-0.09057787776290563,-0.04956393075675904,-0.04478544697004752,-0.010090976178307594,0.20824217074840967,0.10580293548295594,-0.014646845092190759,-0.013337507793667793,0.0183248391132214,-0.04681364300724286,-0.02621066810880455,-0.034240576815312306,0.11002483388267882,0.1324740264673454,0.05690101578958559,-0.050552516800784576,-0.08343382498868601,0.1042242258897823,-0.037196416403661475,-0.0017776626740962974,0.02054097555988926,0.002556699312719737,0.10562017732803503,-0.059467723189294545,0.014233167975464407,-0.07689285870660399,0.015850182143595157,0.018223634359596463,0.1077823724764121,-0.033670894449027156,-0.019534154654595026,0.02001164853296843,-0.062155881950829286,0.12300191677389583,-0.05900708171548998,-0.018125995914300117,-0.040258757977891746,-0.10216326088311031,-0.04220483867154903,-0.051321385366624866,0.11124802433449774,-0.0064378803594797055,-0.035092471866927426,0.1000536233296444,-0.021048725952389758,0.18531149299621694,-0.07834069263890879,-0.03757239270856661,0.10980580393178586;-0.27088620334973745,-0.6789787724238923,0.2684416982379239,-0.4888908953701839,-0.6432674899786989,0.30693560392311,0.29190880654429674,0.22113125343367954,-0.6509329478975596,-0.49081334680002014,0.05575615408727276,-0.6796946717899998,-0.4111456638852103,0.3177333338034324,0.1752734827672919,0.10115018583526676,0.2967040516499327,0.12531688124070423,0.1425115917149968,0.29945196943274155,0.3094863073837943,-0.6642801939248955,0.2859199397633177,0.2528270511958315,0.22327901833470218,0.30761969734824307,-0.5062900062326886,0.29982573496697396,0.3023334830974595,0.28996616454365615,-0.11725587877255914,0.15952275717097256,0.2932943783720792,-0.05824231265976993,0.30952063184256884,0.29380778440999095,0.3039832458849951,0.2927815471156576,0.30027476182268475,0.08480665627776247,-0.6753432235425021,0.3008519741565708,-0.3713089974677116,0.271125126614506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k{59}	=[0.531357873290468;0.07807319023261158;1.7224237518202445];
x_a_linear{59}	=[10.990976065511298,14.493205469002397,25.460776012048314];
L_a{59}	=[0.0979843327321756,0.6386640173188969,-0.15995702767804681,0.3331196911910893,0.5724081100775548,-0.17263032499896344,-0.16489915780160716,-0.14876155046334372,0.5840862185487614,0.33298158471455364,-0.10568920855574607,0.6418668432820097,0.2359130336019211,-0.19266758432970063,-0.28772901918642146,-0.12054544368703833,-0.16670565450723693,-0.12712210480502034,-0.13210826094005862,-0.16801014352984073,-0.17318382842672903,0.6110213409314056,-0.22630035790176234,-0.15657574513056313,-0.1506878572202662,-0.20949277380183945,0.3514643355969715,-0.21676576062988898,-0.2117705667089095,-0.22525006379688708,-0.018058910571354562,-0.14004962026254913,-0.22064407100025796,-0.05309534288433249,-0.19935026171462228,-0.22262549775449264,-0.21196829615852872,-0.2217981765565471,-0.16769580500333967,-0.11642682085626319,0.6342210146171199,-0.21539021246971288,0.19160485807058136,-0.15938345225494766,-0.18754650680309481,-0.08114885945473355,0.5254077124282925,0.6373336182291254,-0.1485424696529662,-0.16166093052253686,-0.07240622096148053,0.6376611794544436,-0.1591248590610562,-0.15986076106840105,-0.22441252202876802,-0.30959859302405845,0.11581777855210862,-0.14937691070534692,-0.14951997282151466,-0.13807743191111543,-0.1999698693597784,-0.1532204988087918,-0.21038799974349331,0.07351105122600206,-0.2915288625376529,-0.11103474715324466,-0.19563902210636652,0.624461703711206,0.122915139698327,-0.15517160963094379,-0.1459574276151802,-0.13543437493521585,0.4442684708796525,-0.022961813767386822,0.5768630827148853,-0.13837336166634695,0.6126388544069303,-0.13841870122178865,-0.1394332196995454,0.09990530170969593,-0.15645030763169607,-0.21977934952783748,-0.13498638709807775,-0.16962730753758665,0.15008575136666455,-0.18732022128968365,0.49094834437357593,-0.20578228595899792,0.6563208300311258,-0.15865446155039212,-0.19594279487148214,0.0650462729217814,-0.14800389343285908,-0.20872074722941392,0.14438386833279235,-0.1520458856680715,-0.3076125946567883,0.6138440813946405,-0.20547448132664922,0.07579874351282224;0.1273322278169646,0.03687811251503918,-0.07559617750621482,0.11446167940725994,0.05684676257077503,-0.09688357462112004,-0.08971412381354234,-0.04765960577660202,0.0541636370924225,0.11379731878399145,0.04140784259564526,0.03627717299762673,0.12604195795596596,-0.09391596852016416,0.05982528856096195,0.018740949574672924,-0.0924705475796127,0.007368714846062975,-0.0010062060589256427,-0.09420233967567991,-0.09898331483662197,0.04516888570102988,-0.05377664561071913,-0.06610854421876333,-0.048602995753746096,-0.0777711697050356,0.11174728127639146,-0.06803879191337298,-0.07328201340906981,-0.05618318964762248,0.10091691745835059,-0.010378385778852533,-0.06128170027129321,0.08476724348329535,-0.08428344696966791,-0.060751323748521976,-0.07362713935378641,-0.06020412693458493,-0.09557257141318855,0.02765099669730046,0.03789498279900706,-0.07025264994664775,0.12960246879830642,-0.07803469590245334,-0.09328180057458882,0.06725383284731298,0.07043144343974256,0.03727889057043154,-0.03869065800753229,-0.08539266957202256,0.07125392680886627,0.03738921481469658,-0.08149741867629268,-0.07686661714363108,-0.0551265199863813,0.14611131961317037,0.12904547378956888,-0.044624095671474254,-0.043343468358212754,-0.009384809963055194,-0.08694398747479726,-0.05695925746565719,-0.07646165206318314,0.12477717540951112,0.07396944418539371,0.03461834557835155,-0.08981373837161333,0.0418843709823266,0.12889107651164688,-0.06833655849612384,-0.03106868469930456,-0.0066382596733928,0.09171336491216282,0.10101215563439067,0.056298288430753476,-0.013535868862846828,0.046052704743881505,-0.011927953525373555,-0.00975809686159916,0.1278315638099913,-0.06506764815705167,-0.06363990434400882,-0.007077683625019571,-0.09619702177044803,0.1531214188833843,-0.09659887006920838,0.08039847799051633,-0.08155554957601825,0.02954848686521268,-0.07404392629867838,-0.09064356865005053,0.12430163759652973,-0.03613959114728739,-0.07697895961959912,0.1290288604006267,-0.05156159164695196,0.12357919589737183,0.044846738120553356,-0.07880741347109463,0.1250172440208155;0.1629272777680364,2.1486269569029988,-0.43974820387567226,0.9859552237485112,1.89099842711978,-0.457363750331727,-0.43816176376652,-0.4374920617791294,1.9350363461337656,0.9834213230218299,-0.41216970917775064,2.1620911722728917,0.6333300343638114,-0.5352785011097775,-1.098611065419013,-0.43254981599766384,-0.4413645587826564,-0.43750047205209747,-0.4423813494807205,-0.44439210436420445,-0.4572636146517708,2.0409410139515414,-0.7159968289909209,-0.4403926417867194,-0.44387278114309014,-0.6198835772865116,1.0497747508833262,-0.659877786850398,-0.6352544371406118,-0.7073005573191185,-0.1972094656543251,-0.46052956753469076,-0.6835798816205853,-0.2933153583756842,-0.5730779284042098,-0.6918389967997542,-0.6344800969687839,-0.6892023720948705,-0.44217761713256054,-0.43065865376506907,2.1325916623451464,-0.6527614787776238,0.476997748732959,-0.4345253414483593,-0.5185937279453227,-0.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x_a{59}	=[10.990976065511292,14.4932054690024,25.46077601204828];
std_x_a{59}	=[2.909102698025078,0.7776571733004382,9.480981491641689];
pred_a{59}	=[10.990976065511292];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.9 to 6.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{60}	=[12.018960642490626,10.57609158503561,33.18854830647304];
std_x_f{60}	=[2.602968360656851,7.972231505001231,2.719849279756973];
pred_f{60}	=[12.018960642490626];
obs{60}	=[12.81210321208387];
sqrt_r{60}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{60}	=[7.777099261022392];
L_f{60}	=[0.040681377087937044,-0.6215850141917625,0.0925590829074271,-0.2110403254224387,-0.52717048843669,0.08537418989299873,0.08540093439256145,0.10853442936162086,-0.542592359650732,-0.21113585819225128,0.14939177357880032,-0.6261807666909861,-0.09752748225720036,0.10397029186072326,0.31020167556827705,0.14290777383830125,0.08408623370485228,0.13813504622737346,0.1347621001456273,0.08421493926805328,0.08374588756616493,-0.5815916075679567,0.16480244789055076,0.0984614900254228,0.10876651910161932,0.1307794063301058,-0.23264115995894782,0.14455721904265767,0.1368326490043837,0.1618397799266531,0.12636022542268394,0.13376248199185425,0.15356837213107855,0.14323099171293935,0.11708012565976346,0.1555127993615805,0.1361433607882192,0.1554508332213987,0.08290451186466394,0.1471164370910025,-0.6156073322401259,0.1420406087627116,-0.049550849497677615,0.09087332452866771,0.10089299316886804,0.15250861735259308,-0.46127527572077415,-0.6191571428990718,0.1157378050619879,0.08643997575748273,0.1479017483546416,-0.6198754145066073,0.08751039792099678,0.09217965968035675,0.16153025625360348,0.40370966098369054,0.02506283808200064,0.11165184390019454,0.11255123996646792,0.13296828251054252,0.11517007618425798,0.10405479353304527,0.1326522668605383,0.06242438038966719,0.3253093761771557,0.1486826001052731,0.10987338496428721,-0.600954773534241,0.0174965360529035,0.0960605649105502,0.1205141992057159,0.1337846299481809,-0.3520799140850958,0.13026747036344669,-0.5324892746656161,0.1293186316978288,-0.5833654270298152,0.13076097488885258,0.13441781751258625,0.03960059937704659,0.09951522002731686,0.15109551406957095,0.13162871437139642,0.08346204477340265,0.014328068957085362,0.09746864651481556,-0.413748486496903,0.12467943973619117,-0.6481585366576819,0.09378178667965124,0.10943612712415281,0.06959962749381153,0.11801309863120113,0.13120663462938637,-0.001967803307904055,0.10781017639540097,0.381388076659144,-0.5854449843321662,0.12696999192052597,0.059674168936197765;-0.15436096663605817,-1.7936111586103127,0.3758034201913019,-0.8525642928352034,-1.5893430479619883,0.38867505684444653,0.37358766797894943,0.3754682919518704,-1.6240363051281743,-0.8510271685694524,0.3515925905084996,-1.804222891666284,-0.5570591312361558,0.45098882405901763,0.9192325509644883,0.3707452899370183,0.37585321759359086,0.3754500976445888,0.37995759914287874,0.37847076829557735,0.3883350077265465,-1.7086319524833558,0.5999704931185034,0.37705816133507813,0.38049162470938974,0.5204051338604638,-0.9059635123447253,0.5531254506239408,0.5332645435019651,0.5931411769955713,0.16053227045324542,0.39398261130072393,0.5729480001418926,0.2459640963282021,0.48197398705671973,0.5798160080292801,0.5327222867993908,0.5780087320049522,0.3762937585734865,0.36798921795741785,-1.780301527691089,0.5470340812147599,-0.42453861832121587,0.371586815063607,0.4380438673988092,0.31029901752068934,-1.4436211922056628,-1.7891590658780157,0.3866010501071497,0.3699835273729121,0.2879503969144042,-1.7908816167360195,0.3660997184433046,0.37420690244885096,0.5911996338507859,1.08815660861877,-0.20436836773036104,0.38132355296299797,0.38323739423408776,0.3892760793280299,0.4814983045658169,0.37902983813096747,0.5251440176109986,-0.0837331772213009,0.9467274482340959,0.360340449756997,0.4653182723982913,-1.7501681115049177,-0.22577914813793634,0.37077195329040197,0.38757310006489026,0.3851041465304464,-1.1925224878186933,0.17333866033587872,-1.6015289631339766,0.3851963111688338,-1.7131874198764017,0.3873859794016592,0.3945691157249369,-0.15858947856157365,0.3778724808606219,0.5683810851473106,0.3816473488301552,0.380815205319829,-0.27542905801739187,0.43263966350923816,-1.3359708413701992,0.5049210756342071,-1.8491374929069244,0.37401209032217664,0.4653059062403039,-0.061086158030830416,0.38780696394454844,0.5193792653538809,-0.2861838499540031,0.3811651116206269,1.0544465682357507,-1.716626661193241,0.5075738184286731,-0.09117709800824449;0.2332244069589493,0.513550243986673,-0.190944573005722,0.35403615888187023,0.4699040707928422,-0.2273369545836975,-0.20992524972773824,-0.1489939456857418,0.4775316183911877,0.3523334449349293,-0.01185337868578517,0.516524938712421,0.3107838897355979,-0.25060080649083083,-0.20287588919398777,-0.05069607120457869,-0.21544935180013564,-0.06893091699509668,-0.0834146207281435,-0.21859426466395487,-0.2302626040449896,0.4941218151060281,-0.25459251344222844,-0.17673769480311455,-0.15323945224830607,-0.25699895588407445,0.36151679240648804,-0.2569154996959749,-0.2561791437477152,-0.2552213308505186,0.12683700253047447,-0.10220484912582768,-0.255069680811377,0.08197908637436693,-0.25035982226310727,-0.25759659795782935,-0.2562443167657978,-0.25533799910338306,-0.22035581583485767,-0.03757492335710166,0.5110796311695166,-0.25677814032655477,0.28880613900304286,-0.19274563659726598,-0.24317183952459817,0.03818796590859519,0.44324066615082736,0.5126417056712906,-0.13991164495403913,-0.20303896733460558,0.05037568699222106,0.5128310070889115,-0.19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k{60}	=[0.8714173541526152;2.6297368544780713;-0.7846023750296259];
x_a_linear{60}	=[12.710118841951376,12.6618478311504,32.56624676263308];
L_a{60}	=[-0.01692546974550505,0.2586101824729438,-0.03850916732820901,0.08780323820646048,0.2193290589320773,-0.03551989562588823,-0.03553102266362905,-0.04515570346930187,0.2257453219334037,0.08784298457496893,-0.06215438426456449,0.2605222433580788,0.04057626777803881,-0.04325679599085601,-0.12905927602909525,-0.059456718912665296,-0.03498404199809986,-0.05747102760709132,-0.05606771481518641,-0.03503758989327875,-0.03484244113092901,0.2419709425482999,-0.06856598879942423,-0.04096486131529628,-0.045252264307547314,-0.05441071673632316,0.09679025628687218,-0.06014296989288303,-0.056929165792858734,-0.06733337204506665,-0.052572118387334055,-0.05565182410474699,-0.06389205632721115,-0.05959119357281646,-0.04871113680273695,-0.06470103445474758,-0.056642387721816526,-0.06467525346831172,-0.0344923871258845,-0.061207731480372334,0.2561231704231265,-0.05909593524942987,0.020615609993342308,-0.03780780826712664,-0.04197648717057454,-0.06345114579947403,0.19191338352890686,0.25760006764763255,-0.04815266488529653,-0.03596331538440645,-0.06153445989973741,0.25789890424640627,-0.03640866407317642,-0.03835130845493019,-0.06720459485169898,-0.16796323384474632,-0.010427383192472418,-0.046452702470657574,-0.04682689582394648,-0.05532139774617577,-0.04791646152563869,-0.043291952875915335,-0.055189919568539476,-0.0259716370806065,-0.13534482848291174,-0.06185933294059991,-0.045712775381949226,0.2500269795657075,-0.007279426430782389,-0.039965957435883506,-0.05013988165029262,-0.05566103875261703,0.14648269946629308,-0.05419772599373852,0.2215419376949054,-0.0538029620678868,0.24270893938579172,-0.05440304834297866,-0.05592447617120303,-0.016475812635624913,-0.04140326523727864,-0.06286322477574945,-0.05476407098798481,-0.03472434845695195,-0.005961187034559937,-0.04055178919228357,0.17213988295711505,-0.05187282821276817,0.2696660852649256,-0.03901787271592865,-0.04553085444234638,-0.02895689560602939,-0.0490992998132295,-0.05458846488969221,8.187037346606702E-4,-0.04485437832877518,-0.1586763481196097,0.24357413832261482,-0.0528258114810742,-0.02482741276762851;-0.3282051613451359,0.8626152027003344,-0.01973036904769661,0.0492767472284122,0.6634206389349792,0.023844553225899054,0.008642876784066061,-0.08833312828507896,0.6946298406830267,0.051222112773717327,-0.2868049867865959,0.8716425514429513,-0.14029382414348712,0.006691384886177607,-0.4063558225560295,-0.2399441369937386,0.01652655190719784,-0.21484397771549746,-0.19592282708948047,0.01859410365165404,0.03046274709322122,0.7766901261831726,-0.10428169524000404,-0.043698451852456764,-0.08430158727204905,-0.038456001268854234,0.08818462137813934,-0.06461256939274511,-0.051463982886349464,-0.09845060841588585,-0.3794443282833192,-0.17762613522463677,-0.08329748358897558,-0.36610654124865827,-0.018345855060778148,-0.08473861885882063,-0.04906069635909312,-0.08628109426649624,0.02201695836322067,-0.2606851378607256,0.8503803368621468,-0.05994967926523147,-0.21279240556509238,-0.016743203585324152,0.006896683975878646,-0.34141780397594157,0.5275517273724037,0.856692245226653,-0.10798263802378862,5.985888112438707E-4,-0.3440798385222742,0.858039092656826,-0.007859467411236514,-0.019705493167669896,-0.09906946050308028,-0.637020510097663,-0.31146968079730075,-0.09579955053116397,-0.09772910877253094,-0.17893880545640375,-0.010659301248666925,-0.06562870300616112,-0.04172043387635898,-0.3504919970025682,-0.44342083535483245,-0.27502660841019705,-0.004204922153071962,0.8178988060875534,-0.3005472960730574,-0.039724759101503915,-0.12742160787333412,-0.1865992451103869,0.3120246420648119,-0.38333481296296384,0.6739635538809746,-0.1674224789914159,0.7797147418153287,-0.1713963924386221,-0.1798400835879398,-0.3278151734985519,-0.047387048814329404,-0.07729710590309098,-0.18084314408070878,0.024155893344192398,-0.33665735921762857,0.016125779868457205,0.4321053054051156,-0.027873002375115388,0.9206458063531133,-0.026746692952559343,-0.002348749374089014,-0.3585070434536383,-0.11649976225886184,-0.04130754936059014,-0.27777481353743944,-0.07954135011956405,-0.5753434684961297,0.7851620965396497,-0.03500850246790565,-0.34618340768213246;0.28509217000968495,-0.27895548074077925,-0.07293400099243277,0.08496489392690705,-0.20222543756842754,-0.11848694583284895,-0.1010411423925858,-0.01061519678531305,-0.2142603994323308,0.0831403780297146,0.17861748706108563,-0.2818402583026613,0.18643872979382176,-0.11804122152666228,0.1926236773899393,0.13150785310040677,-0.10824145575953545,0.10718789607350672,0.08840376839530345,-0.1112222721710395,-0.12348864102584309,-0.24739329212409922,-0.044473414010295545,-0.05120169774918762,-0.01456479459300118,-0.09025840418684312,0.06490499053666178,-0.07260857300638973,-0.0817208553563853,-0.0488795607753891,0.2879432064107915,0.06833905124496324,-0.0592737538307302,0.2645951055821194,-0.1010855191208079,-0.05932157370761188,-0.08266485402956789,-0.057141980169754865,-0.1146545863032669,0.14999494389223314,-0.27380469494131277,-0.0756798303317568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x_a{60}	=[12.71011884195137,12.661847831150386,32.5662467626331];
std_x_a{60}	=[1.0829638864380424,3.5266569009513478,1.6815681245632534];
pred_a{60}	=[12.71011884195137];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.0 to 6.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{61}	=[9.539671905852584,4.279730995811906,33.78963540446597];
std_x_f{61}	=[1.7176769933283507,1.2141611880452612,2.931805374014447];
pred_f{61}	=[9.539671905852584];
obs{61}	=[8.33783974741735];
sqrt_r{61}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{61}	=[3.9925702600287885];
L_f{61}	=[-0.20531927970667382,0.37398101894917984,0.022238600981286372,0.013805162104187712,0.3016420432062164,0.05312337687576231,0.04197543011152099,-0.02429160010644664,0.3131614574054468,0.01437378338630228,-0.16326785469528146,0.37686010594071473,-0.0934959336789138,0.0456355430415703,-0.22909556649626628,-0.12991946786303743,0.0477080751629862,-0.11255147019765714,-0.09883358646223263,0.049297271373227244,0.05753005470970682,0.34449598226557593,-0.024115427936967762,0.005836188215290307,-0.02146718751157203,0.018327606665836188,0.034170398792178244,0.00149315485856506,0.009784467914184046,-0.020021999910286113,-0.23185364549701473,-0.08524818759606165,-0.010521849935896943,-0.22094279874203485,0.02983644640572211,-0.01126813448847125,0.011095689063675201,-0.012613628765553428,0.05181232181423083,-0.14422213797754385,0.3694366175319392,0.0038469368941168045,-0.13571480174585943,0.024549187549396497,0.04450050361733035,-0.20218837153450364,0.24612350819103457,0.3718956023030607,-0.038284415411280734,0.03653551444879189,-0.20458938868308185,0.37207664287112846,0.029517943536737316,0.022336611156530094,-0.02077986929610488,-0.39437635438102286,-0.19470507243394028,-0.02954449360333069,-0.030977255519912594,-0.0869197057272278,0.03466212737989796,-0.008552684928286557,0.015553142109735444,-0.21844595256845312,-0.25541897829933813,-0.15421106563940917,0.038505769034531484,0.35829104877980367,-0.1881974702552918,0.008678200844565295,-0.05120784206890226,-0.09166587610653287,0.14801543990805366,-0.23460555854521314,0.30560667348745374,-0.07885922724231864,0.34493177288563803,-0.08171205797831045,-0.0870954570454532,-0.20413489221802072,0.003859671842094694,-0.0065767263895157805,-0.08876271863302522,0.05292169318035213,-0.2118287150546447,0.05067415625950873,0.20379476123693321,0.024352890934744065,0.39282782608253236,0.01767852238363743,0.040115845013551525,-0.22289946752676149,-0.04336965900009865,0.015751826799074855,-0.1745042178569555,-0.018276682435313198,-0.3496196926439611,0.34722874405818416,0.019565407468079613,-0.21494433869184623;-0.2078971741734068,-0.060998805698061556,0.10954180125830539,-0.05663445836038647,-0.013444128470656123,0.145238823333857,0.13107676064639776,0.05914167502690709,-0.01890179748014154,-0.05545996215337079,-0.10589566372561962,-0.06467730664869334,-0.12567539631041147,0.14602850785228638,-0.12696457384369852,-0.06357181331950826,0.13698637735426872,-0.041804698291282874,-0.02533265567248861,0.13861445051017252,0.14867446870367765,-0.03677030052110705,0.08917551507790673,0.092006451491238,0.0626641387437183,0.12608871216122125,-0.04624251469782066,0.11197735366945191,0.1187552288663334,0.09315308556913143,-0.20919195739136764,-0.007935898892804981,0.10168419937572666,-0.18685677037751375,0.13388758901446862,0.10211856286120445,0.12041140262096865,0.09994579453357617,0.14142021210581954,-0.08078170867803515,-0.0578051154473792,0.11442667772301501,-0.15629370570761308,0.11206584612290076,0.14345526462114752,-0.15658717827532198,0.0021971587917892763,-0.06010014791208721,0.04443765970849613,0.12425096571007112,-0.16327687793251872,-0.05922724814869737,0.11654962514999909,0.10972161441040416,0.09171467242344086,-0.3320693163615317,-0.20074692469782132,0.054015706328046954,0.052647467055397155,-0.009875576895654714,0.13757122722654452,0.0764843896494916,0.12432333366344415,-0.2163586592005319,-0.15786336191476158,-0.09387309280200766,0.14029209076822657,-0.04813603957218538,-0.1948511181817446,0.09512458189407487,0.03054447066438486,-0.01676834768207048,-0.002953343106642525,-0.21107595841988264,-0.015272238666601283,-0.002299412395680331,-0.03848625012162279,-0.004361020520942632,-0.010050174157934256,-0.20761681510509145,0.09011459369385795,0.10515314298494846,-0.0137133440392622,0.1432598413611528,-0.2260291039282553,0.14924129696176086,0.004723920491778749,0.1310083681544112,-0.07983591144441834,0.10479770847142537,0.14206931058376737,-0.2197001568322408,0.039097585820089396,0.12401725777463554,-0.18534198874353605,0.06650278837461372,-0.27495193260981243,-0.038760709553072564,0.12517658294654063,-0.2142576052231887;-0.19953083261238916,0.7552883330198301,-0.05705637661499966,0.051507232849939896,0.5743134043179247,-0.02775752212870118,-0.03708732747199147,-0.10171744385995267,0.6026927075718831,0.051965129682580075,-0.20733236514628564,0.7630740938586079,-0.08239533526055533,-0.04406389701189809,-0.29742604474194223,-0.18644699276693255,-0.031429985532781556,-0.1741261540609718,-0.1643025540051161,-0.030969369777902163,-0.023312458961803544,0.6766143542962689,-0.12818927158964927,-0.07285066142301323,-0.09945977378349276,-0.08037671237235636,0.08084587888216008,-0.09888753077854716,-0.08957231891252776,-0.12393446581857247,-0.23662518193164753,-0.15627282273545276,-0.11323694103835119,-0.23594744041108437,-0.06399253526290184,-0.11468949562059909,-0.08778605161224536,-0.11535437514159312,-0.028586315022496516,-0.1970314665231125,0.7437462204370074,-0.096446364665376,-0.130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k{61}	=[0.749534777130562;0.21685007815701168;1.191216271303465];
x_a_linear{61}	=[8.638856906831489,4.0191135983236155,32.35799338196215];
L_a{61}	=[0.14545307600050236,-0.2649370758054156,-0.0157543554764905,-0.009779906181282171,-0.21369041961427881,-0.03763386753135204,-0.029736396089482437,0.01720874903469641,-0.22185104744911077,-0.010182731063003166,0.1156628433109578,-0.2669766897159554,0.06623474992979403,-0.03232930740762762,0.1622967647878242,0.09203805049396423,-0.03379753860637537,0.07973414660335922,0.07001607050068981,-0.03492336311480999,-0.04075566323804924,-0.24404917240080168,0.017083944466937485,-0.004134494964353172,0.015207867771105468,-0.012983713799705731,-0.024207125699967198,-0.0010577865236701194,-0.006931550496278243,0.014184062396836082,0.16425065375083042,0.06039184984006151,0.007453929512018237,0.15652114961196353,-0.02113685043526557,0.007982615293006166,-0.007860450840088427,0.008935795538048227,-0.03670508484821473,0.10217040321869356,-0.26171771342667,-0.002725261871308598,0.09614360327454394,-0.01739123012448838,-0.03152521840111346,0.14323506595795837,-0.17435976491620817,-0.26345971690198444,0.027121593220116934,-0.025882630055149358,0.14493600378654217,-0.26358797035944814,-0.020911215404424713,-0.01582378822283996,0.014720955150071057,0.27938561799230466,0.1379337183477207,0.020930024104998626,0.021945026827786797,0.06157599316121511,-0.02455547796256705,0.006058926042696395,-0.011018216918381386,0.15475232421589555,0.18094489770088887,0.10924679787797995,-0.02727840540761187,-0.25382192662530806,0.13332357771395134,-0.006147844512193388,0.036276856975685355,0.06493829348624365,-0.10485766880222558,0.16620017460595035,-0.2164990582888081,0.05586575790546672,-0.24435789687261336,0.0578867712581904,0.06170049958790599,0.14461402764787212,-0.002734283612270748,0.004659109873828702,0.06288162747203015,-0.03749098999000043,0.15006451529515302,-0.03589878121628763,-0.14437307074644073,-0.017252168919663958,-0.27828860360275987,-0.012523887009136966,-0.028419021642373428,0.15790730045887508,0.030724101095958425,-0.011158969892285828,0.12362295103809927,0.012947637859915245,0.24767893106806585,-0.2459851260495743,-0.013860601417952806,0.15227169740848548;-0.1064142075769543,-0.24584605096381282,0.09854994894049124,-0.06345792280405388,-0.16253645647080656,0.11898158198430803,0.11032960442236968,0.0711482612846552,-0.17368781546430828,-0.06256447850147376,-0.02519741528062964,-0.25094759552441426,-0.07946324941414014,0.12347227106480607,-0.013729724416257022,6.433594407383751E-4,0.11340575207123058,0.013826010655136708,0.023517727827216894,0.11424833471621161,0.12023914286024975,-0.20704400453378047,0.10109502488372153,0.08912180425036974,0.07327470525393096,0.11702994331243512,-0.06313188545817076,0.11123933342677646,0.11391906914515275,0.10304934056765135,-0.09459387485935283,0.034199642331471436,0.10688482421282411,-0.07765158177322214,0.1191403568097068,0.10768805305974574,0.11492714685978414,0.10618032091854869,0.11581098470413534,-0.009497168659418149,-0.24040620371372134,0.11252525585517079,-0.0892140787388482,0.0999319423628414,0.12146004269861492,-0.056651722706118665,-0.1194540753058363,-0.2439166362604162,0.06336046158028462,0.10619259146636664,-0.06215467388341232,-0.24313321924773534,0.10195981905768148,0.09868131869577625,0.10198551880799828,-0.13714128790138144,-0.10451023231217622,0.0686186352967215,0.06795856590431285,0.033086144017702976,0.1204388102412447,0.08071171715681229,0.11663589679221074,-0.1083875843978866,-0.03161766457994265,-0.01765133493569613,0.12125988064999185,-0.22522821809080537,-0.10183093218294388,0.09083521575327944,0.055854922432864794,0.028539258385142523,-0.07611279489026354,-0.09511769042284197,-0.16632416073396736,0.036678263424571166,-0.20897535195276692,0.03602672125463297,0.03299841519360494,-0.10671925459480881,0.08820687733529603,0.10840381533025742,0.03015932112357395,0.11710228602138091,-0.12132872486608755,0.1241946295745871,-0.09600552379950406,0.1189714877368079,-0.27399855028400355,0.09605976189818419,0.12224128973100207,-0.10952784739446325,0.06053386624097523,0.11623161720952467,-0.09908995368371386,0.07553638695204226,-0.102145737104268,-0.2103851331577472,0.11550600746348934,-0.10801726980644508;0.3579426167737361,-0.26012770066383245,-0.11743760148716385,0.014024092695975798,-0.24469117501960122,-0.17199566767586658,-0.15105708154070918,-0.03576201034296574,-0.24758885451040386,0.012938095219286926,0.23596499232000828,-0.2601591041875376,0.17146051659136508,-0.16797142109019492,0.3246036831832656,0.1663043611024586,-0.16096475334746693,0.13146841267531517,0.10404584678323806,-0.16481904992980273,-0.17951541315203462,-0.2587452661330326,-0.0627121726311391,-0.0886968107972592,-0.041173055225976675,-0.13013898565517892,-0.011932013719008826,-0.10294167606222981,-0.11613865543153672,-0.06957165405758242,0.392893155034189,0.0751891289185068,-0.08466849882450952,0.36394626809846814,-0.14500308000562975,-0.08409477597026195,-0.11791255538958074,-0.0811064314158267,-0.1692647442657119,0.19455383833011541,-0.2593310638750238,-0.1068913904953805,0.2381795977813774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x_a{61}	=[8.638856906831492,4.019113598323618,32.35799338196216];
std_x_a{61}	=[1.2168433603109983,1.1752913032087793,2.177603891663312];
pred_a{61}	=[8.638856906831492];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.1 to 6.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{62}	=[4.9051532991502045,2.481693831446281,26.475401207033624];
std_x_f{62}	=[0.8871190600829015,1.6209425604764038,1.4007469076864252];
pred_f{62}	=[4.9051532991502045];
obs{62}	=[4.228627979036906];
sqrt_r{62}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{62}	=[1.7955335714656562];
L_f{62}	=[-0.09248429436009979,-0.16973284239095304,0.07769642140210571,-0.03402930720194166,-0.10502639723082255,0.09445965701645352,0.08729833886665837,0.05435743634361915,-0.11395015006050797,-0.033624522064876164,-0.030501588169461812,-0.17365031740819947,-0.05574683182570737,0.09731012788605226,-0.035058712000428906,-0.007273713380858219,0.08996230449877662,0.004344125390466438,0.01316341617523425,0.09067278914946846,0.09531614992865169,-0.13931471119076433,0.07649937335377469,0.07021802752095914,0.05647530506523215,0.0911928432634429,-0.03278403197348083,0.08551201589086387,0.0880370221103592,0.07840489038023638,-0.09034312901371556,0.022061538656313294,0.08187677544417346,-0.07695562749594315,0.09333665068925062,0.08214445347198393,0.08873970978851568,0.08053996099776774,0.0920155166029021,-0.01657709064075304,-0.1651373425171829,0.08648481389059505,-0.0679583073199599,0.07897975836663236,0.09593724915406844,-0.05894318899557014,-0.07167118938705477,-0.16801775253999182,0.047848043675115,0.08459586826547476,-0.06388349235270097,-0.16762597601135087,0.08081433550538714,0.07838533948111256,0.07705358429920871,-0.1630339932993707,-0.08844860991508442,0.05211270066573779,0.05121851966960432,0.02115195891969951,0.0947201499894864,0.06300842942897483,0.09047035908572809,-0.09667248725060429,-0.053946892050508614,-0.023839264713911797,0.0953738364556996,-0.15384267467718746,-0.08596969049945909,0.07147299849119003,0.041038067884516874,0.0170865505516856,-0.039334896031793895,-0.09128733846847223,-0.10764087299395725,0.024585479065778626,-0.14127214858971154,0.024089480221087027,0.021058565756529538,-0.09226502895302965,0.068939162082624,0.08327439139978933,0.018559336985795948,0.09277439440684765,-0.1030168382082093,0.09757913687211396,-0.053668890469833246,0.09267516187978003,-0.19149477352376912,0.07582634450318164,0.09604015002077383,-0.09782309392981188,0.04590282100587932,0.08990848314794114,-0.08103899490402254,0.05814920582699263,-0.12625363125119904,-0.1426615404958328,0.09038068364801898,-0.09532803473822606;-0.2726832292923973,-0.054013238357644655,0.14120417904552368,-0.03968328341983684,0.01438459322469443,0.1877054566871789,0.16962783814217994,0.07365416853628143,0.006215715832343692,-0.03847465121100743,-0.15099704945778616,-0.05912604714604606,-0.1421865837837134,0.1874853314895349,-0.20317032619823613,-0.09318222465136232,0.1770193366351246,-0.06401486992753809,-0.0410325742267179,0.17956567936257684,0.19242009315390227,-0.019296741130243593,0.10826548445163553,0.11804161899486894,0.07887571298167889,0.1601268460959284,-0.02473299478204143,0.13976707431851282,0.1487310819403196,0.11379484063533178,-0.2878167235922261,-0.01752359664540587,0.12575392566941884,-0.26061765087857264,0.1703041342226586,0.12609131297017512,0.15119659425049212,0.12255153188620016,0.18360461031977712,-0.11677601016416661,-0.049510620572739,0.14318403015177467,-0.18876812893867934,0.14447563499227498,0.18426510565624302,-0.22127511737108674,0.03855257664893649,-0.0528212099743431,0.05397880598369217,0.16081377774821282,-0.22837571302327944,-0.05259346048595931,0.15115915811967937,0.1411280323377035,0.11196878467140833,-0.5115426557195268,-0.25981650714381543,0.06711923006351446,0.06489677217444735,-0.02057201525287545,0.17563897341590387,0.09721365785649719,0.15664092504968175,-0.2880873711304936,-0.24936054287660916,-0.1349018753240125,0.1797224603028699,-0.03628332331217789,-0.25155562403725246,0.1220067835753608,0.03474002861494822,-0.03016234059412171,0.03488834154675683,-0.29212325780057957,0.012371419293631997,-0.00924986149970269,-0.02183071162417401,-0.012890284468516044,-0.020072389729227345,-0.27090334765159874,0.11497750675092915,0.13053251874909044,-0.025447421820373184,0.18527994941685602,-0.2927589471115438,0.19136415858130065,0.04345609999224388,0.16606592435615625,-0.08105652842833146,0.1350333174299069,0.18209736970068116,-0.2936750510033904,0.04695110860509782,0.15684788531613747,-0.23473325169850462,0.08361275072958813,-0.4244078943735281,-0.02322112856635694,0.1592709716162794,-0.28331684389640915;0.15282610723217363,-0.31070755083014084,-0.008547195951258286,-0.02804421493781986,-0.2594481032841416,-0.02907609843883816,-0.021664640352054808,0.023647685815019096,-0.26661864681142944,-0.02881901954012728,0.1264767244553173,-0.3132632128925983,0.05884176585436127,-0.022550392264491362,0.18148592097904526,0.10020850662575631,-0.026196361349843628,0.08719042607267848,0.07735361563335348,-0.02795338653198671,-0.032783660522896226,-0.291896089340997,0.027536230560474186,0.0026805924390970455,0.021401309383268445,-0.0033907432550085398,-0.04458300016793807,0.009718622294889527,0.003175067638344778,0.024968728152374546,0.17812612229641211,0.06703429044769456,0.018155188747780004,0.16997925475905257,-0.011281090650340319,0.018448908131622126,0.0032298166991037453,0.01965069735663603,-0.02937899033490208,0.11070844814489457,-0.3078208521125207,0.007755818105811608,0.09321019463057659,-0.01043230694868655,-0.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k{62}	=[0.44306248800253806;0.6341077012606222;0.16444149645860298];
x_a_linear{62}	=[4.605410307624093,2.052703915864631,26.364152371002056];
L_a{62}	=[-0.2045299827625253,-0.37536595341568796,0.1718264472906927,-0.07525616823472844,-0.23226697423446838,0.2088985179051591,0.1930611880334346,0.1202120381119758,-0.25200194680533594,-0.07436098167706075,-0.06745458075550956,-0.38402949032532113,-0.1232847007296454,0.21520236399987114,-0.07753270769634203,-0.01608589309892937,0.1989525758478414,0.009607078665387632,0.029111032333054655,0.2005238200722201,0.2107926609245784,-0.30809593861924245,0.16917916303140246,0.15528790112795987,0.12489572690607745,0.20167392517604055,-0.07250222906295944,0.18911071611844132,0.19469479374072193,0.17339323383415325,-0.19979477323946276,0.04878932312032925,0.18107134390888263,-0.17018817383133034,0.2064149776853386,0.18166331666266516,0.19624879487891728,0.1781149648007125,0.20349327585718002,-0.03666040906150653,-0.36520295745544834,0.1912620690534784,-0.150290506305884,0.17466456038923817,0.21216622834753643,-0.13035347798937605,-0.1585015837697547,-0.37157301430013007,0.10581644824998454,0.1870846460778441,-0.1412790104537459,-0.3707065964158385,0.1787217468895219,0.17334999681657678,0.17040480632468483,-0.3605513786956247,-0.19560502446895703,0.11524778171925384,0.11327029110864631,0.04677777803434519,0.20947460083526948,0.13934379965991153,0.20007614387234327,-0.21379221507589194,-0.11930411512057341,-0.05272078286095711,0.21092023528154782,-0.340224681580541,-0.19012286829470537,0.15806328253390317,0.09075611567458503,0.03778708497466777,-0.08698953333658606,-0.20188290230874725,-0.2380489146868104,0.05437104369259858,-0.3124248318679333,0.05327413706799906,0.04657123807871853,-0.20404507502506838,0.15245967685628162,0.18416218618960264,0.041044167553560516,0.2051715420453342,-0.22782281347074976,0.2157972801817249,-0.11868931172182451,0.20495208827546943,-0.42349269136909456,0.1676907527000817,0.21239379468881764,-0.21633679376239281,0.10151456800360519,0.19883354936842884,-0.1792185834956533,0.12859757592074372,-0.2792112239400357,-0.3154974865773148,0.19987782570539633,-0.21081894430506165;-0.43304217601645173,-0.3483138006165241,0.2759223642949888,-0.09868685692828039,-0.16772116380882582,0.3514894938783514,0.3209948325954188,0.16790477939938647,-0.1913629776007593,-0.09677636589381448,-0.2038838945822267,-0.3602191374977233,-0.23884627391408603,0.3562118133355448,-0.2639587894588285,-0.10579415000147127,0.3330053934473435,-0.05648257077477557,-0.01820846589831363,0.3367836488042519,0.35768920737601306,-0.2608551646905913,0.2409081025408968,0.23979298242592947,0.176798506239076,0.31824653977665923,-0.08157737979908528,0.28803675508309406,0.3013788826941544,0.24974144353025496,-0.4444630937963009,0.020729007502317275,0.2677204461714565,-0.39405137014001473,0.3321409855371295,0.26852196164551895,0.3050627884269594,0.2622001436224919,0.3431507411174949,-0.1455191044732387,-0.3358430242969503,0.2931404498777278,-0.3066013530377533,0.28141900415374815,0.35061114670455773,-0.3234769860157636,-0.08571843087822677,-0.3441479699899326,0.13694275072303028,0.30749494589811016,-0.3391435965608437,-0.34324091736236473,0.291283509086661,0.277040735838003,0.2455723516881349,-0.7942280524843952,-0.41317796190027684,0.15747768332873166,0.1537048008652785,0.01610346437295877,0.3398746805805956,0.20646426573404883,0.3135079000654244,-0.4557082449227643,-0.34289930908671323,-0.17623688692408032,0.3450915974616489,-0.30303185010948563,-0.4006188689273372,0.24593414698942323,0.10589612476169592,-5.358913837602296E-4,-0.033314617029093864,-0.4504067971553658,-0.17426758938561512,0.03337901462432206,-0.26678314496472505,0.028878576959376717,0.016441155058040044,-0.4308821090698772,0.23451143946997388,0.2749223720355537,0.006732698615546204,0.34614190195679506,-0.4713803204399633,0.36055707635529816,-0.049600637988384724,0.32675581715739654,-0.4130902039610412,0.26650896767513854,0.348621831038798,-0.463290967050652,0.12654222274070298,0.3127406210386409,-0.37524714063824244,0.18443792827756914,-0.643319650878902,-0.2705826349737906,0.3159824579748664,-0.44860656524493625;0.11124063978333883,-0.387027748125092,0.026388919693714933,-0.043345457778498735,-0.3066731143363426,0.013397588788433884,0.01758896756478287,0.04808945093103099,-0.3178562141077802,-0.04393825116195361,0.11276171683445414,-0.39134489878340767,0.033775260494681644,0.02120500624556296,0.16572180733381084,0.09693788891574719,0.014255095962351083,0.0891437575682457,0.08327253212245245,0.012817539469661307,0.010075147857829994,-0.3545388053551311,0.06193409478672831,0.034254055998483725,0.046795371982792724,0.037614024541919186,-0.059324306288157616,0.04816901193042896,0.042760823712861225,0.06022340614171576,0.13750342763435955,0.07695423852116075,0.05497099627064285,0.13537623632895393,0.03068763794165327,0.05538507680325393,0.04313153556242489,0.05586540764422445,0.011995691679523982,0.10325457645773754,-0.3820746876350862,0.04664362535730409,0.06265281192591524,0.025080859837061244,0.021375612178068472,0.12874892483278816,-0.24724030463082836,-0.3853923397403275,0.055138016470255194,0.01935467997959292,0.1281083221721113,-0.383550236698333,0.02292180315276043,0.02662693614307532,0.0599245268832066,0.25803576423746744,0.10341279004086587,0.05126739649715756,0.05104705127760879,0.07846226672847434,0.02735727883312019,0.04078768220168996,0.04032127036708301,0.12146314840960629,0.17944220004733163,0.10756248496167346,0.024522655800842733,-0.3695891823246697,0.09961839491124351,0.032952736948812934,0.061512506466917576,0.08032166187315587,-0.15361431583439575,0.13990975220289906,-0.31012715491690207,0.07324069546992107,-0.35460154328085786,0.07577474861721484,0.07825927203959984,0.10983677013996396,0.03531823984498035,0.0527999266786403,0.07865442751906325,0.012049886382745989,0.11031776623797217,0.017741653145347203,-0.20458341077824815,0.034582940997917824,-0.4089402861850659,0.02821807757630033,0.024254133090609267,0.12494895602981042,0.05804980234886274,0.039313360843620554,0.08935377029473066,0.045202179885516516,0.23014310800610596,-0.35696910094794865,0.03611066011309157,0.11844088940389438];
x_a{62}	=[4.605410307624094,2.0527039158646296,26.364152371002046];
std_x_a{62}	=[1.9618730652860212,2.975619657581198,1.5490140299446378];
pred_a{62}	=[4.605410307624094];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.2 to 6.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{63}	=[3.3119562447819426,3.050176282525928,21.634206580252364];
std_x_f{63}	=[2.657944647420858,3.3546029847250987,2.0048431827769035];
pred_f{63}	=[3.3119562447819426];
obs{63}	=[3.0741562266535323];
sqrt_r{63}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{63}	=[8.196943939351424];
L_f{63}	=[-0.3636951891326564,-0.38019150699433996,0.24641285303908667,-0.07990750729390103,-0.18168133263504738,0.3077202660025626,0.28239774695338954,0.15750136957595856,-0.20780821422222515,-0.0784767009914182,-0.15855853973974246,-0.3932385516483314,-0.1988372931827161,0.3103330935511852,-0.20571909626342386,-0.0736727619243801,0.29231287994625993,-0.03134757310092267,0.00158451350358656,0.2961800202484385,0.31189627211226595,-0.2841934854665011,0.21763483193818733,0.21721138645044608,0.1655456888085938,0.2802022176704648,-0.06666321384628203,0.25579435830936675,0.2669389360956288,0.22550628018859226,-0.36982490920453626,0.03430745959881656,0.23985821506645472,-0.32507677676107977,0.29152349310649356,0.24054352024719286,0.26942905794317173,0.2355019517655089,0.3006224314133553,-0.10794997089952711,-0.36592395119701315,0.2606498814483564,-0.25615081794113714,0.25109029195852994,0.30633800516600573,-0.2626955443770428,-0.09259021315286149,-0.37537623100834633,0.13198762118089505,0.2721187133853377,-0.27671405490018386,-0.37412154697450734,0.25875155543652695,0.24751563850232364,0.22209961678531911,-0.6568144283864878,-0.3470014142012485,0.1486391483448341,0.14559805039480067,0.031144149586967117,0.29808040949694137,0.18958205224688762,0.2765313436081733,-0.38256047834943385,-0.2739033310357095,-0.1342843654920971,0.3020425451349772,-0.33001902680415574,-0.3359171689444434,0.22249793571929474,0.10594256994280997,0.016474918655875546,-0.032016489585087925,-0.37505259185449474,-0.18922474559685493,0.04518291556054032,-0.2901955237432351,0.041760947705828055,0.030671206974771145,-0.3623570220577064,0.21242330406519236,0.24531472676044894,0.022749108308474587,0.30279902320111235,-0.39820035912211865,0.31348857495571175,-0.05327062291482803,0.28736635036788044,-0.45214496650106856,0.23876200572876585,0.30509137633534883,-0.3886205198175492,0.12316398538476478,0.2752775404666226,-0.3146149173412961,0.17175653334547267,-0.5309140563070031,-0.2939474817178145,0.278390725237407,-0.37676712229745624;-0.4931875274440459,-0.43475194262507155,0.31215096097268785,-0.071164182619726,-0.15044324524829122,0.382974282822138,0.35516638781522863,0.20094209410581454,-0.18618666091706285,-0.06860739588425344,-0.21944963671997705,-0.4541746995193434,-0.2538261709734834,0.3819774431500808,-0.29648393467677653,-0.10403828376748026,0.3669193984576212,-0.04691144724588161,-0.0031881887520599063,0.3717527432576112,0.389419476650827,-0.2940040114952941,0.2636892533251131,0.27467450711932245,0.21112161809454916,0.343042578422508,-0.04833986762767663,0.3119546158286747,0.32639192536017997,0.2730333641332902,-0.506841121890756,0.040271210950447174,0.2916301741871986,-0.44733936036811806,0.35823739331456517,0.2918797549372359,0.32887692611760283,0.2865002005752223,0.3762740823688533,-0.15079157619888842,-0.41444579396445247,0.3180176318714617,-0.33858422948912664,0.31699474094436403,0.3782364385830615,-0.36248823490199705,-0.034364832029809216,-0.42786219517880814,0.16829296380931053,0.34260838016248585,-0.38050341129731147,-0.4260032407387467,0.32668636108012916,0.3126282933116694,0.26924572573870453,-0.8931156012572666,-0.4701269062609208,0.18942373303331037,0.18572223361569135,0.035255096856969544,0.3664756755770172,0.24115830563568322,0.3376275105148304,-0.5215299518026362,-0.3888140884752138,-0.18686032743042363,0.37200580965227403,-0.3615912031900439,-0.45427596417703775,0.28124739632785756,0.1342072656336136,0.01648920727571431,0.025981824952220713,-0.5145885050251126,-0.16058622278361373,0.05521622714046331,-0.30357615809244537,0.04978252756977999,0.03529677428961404,-0.4911294777156258,0.2697610680270162,0.29785838398927356,0.02539948743548313,0.37900357023529313,-0.5403957936106807,0.3868734952875412,0.011250409490923463,0.3512095628506522,-0.5415907112325912,0.3023153975434041,0.37540724887763316,-0.5299862821468108,0.15662836175719216,0.337460485327376,-0.4234430819831079,0.2187365781646696,-0.7332463069144769,-0.3095782215388052,0.3413574067481231,-0.5123259760663387;-0.07474204440868637,-0.4420259831332066,0.15210971940084955,-0.1363042845437669,-0.36556751015657224,0.20903948556692917,0.18404985201174745,0.08492665791639348,-0.37981570018142874,-0.135918179123624,-0.05074986343239537,-0.4440252186738975,-0.11857640598264631,0.21843168708675906,-0.02456120031693505,-0.03139365759147697,0.1929460878986884,-0.016189579822328024,-0.002897386430072527,0.1955301890174391,0.21166665987349215,-0.41782041941750236,0.14972985163608088,0.12886214512378064,0.08980205023537698,0.19662051059554075,-0.14173342981913872,0.17839188939406572,0.1861483390737116,0.155743602149722,-0.05549989691629634,0.013051567931110758,0.16571236132441886,-0.05795868850848385,0.20334449764881962,0.1670843356676788,0.18889716689783106,0.1624013874081868,0.20010101404132685,-0.04103194090963841,-0.43938687842040675,0.18181746388514403,-0.10711770399431665,0.15589009204387197,0.2136714894928934,-0.05999378711532199,-0.2914086180634937,-0.4409695607197136,0.0679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k{63}	=[0.8780033135033102;1.1049947338092714;0.5098584734452619];
x_a_linear{63}	=[3.1031670409140513,2.7874085147942855,21.512962226024158];
L_a{63}	=[0.14609951448385888,0.15272622856305934,-0.09898618202085126,0.03209953930679071,0.07298296838091836,-0.12361390197938564,-0.11344162626846582,-0.06326966732902593,0.0834783635055206,0.031524771995153314,0.06369434176044735,0.15796733965376086,0.07987466665302409,-0.12466349748598066,0.08263914668715035,0.029594987971949472,-0.11742462125873762,0.012592592223213529,-6.365128285560423E-4,-0.11897808508633638,-0.12529143988293676,0.11416299001686003,-0.08742580114071268,-0.08725569941262255,-0.0665011401924532,-0.11255966309750595,0.026779191663497705,-0.1027548141228716,-0.10723168775868579,-0.09058783022999288,0.14856187624497902,-0.01378160432233113,-0.0963531270505539,0.13058616301203926,-0.11710751771303246,-0.09662842009035989,-0.1082319913200261,-0.09460317826858089,-0.12076264021306177,0.04336444035616617,0.14699482755159282,-0.1047053199155474,0.10289800705115558,-0.10086514983669807,-0.12305863580280367,0.10552708047111438,0.037194292340930524,0.1507918904011037,-0.05302057312992047,-0.10931244925835196,0.11115843783413597,0.15028787293358764,-0.10394274587842074,-0.09942918051402089,-0.08921934396979538,0.26384805727594607,0.13939348018574782,-0.05970963613311291,-0.05848800068872515,-0.012510875231865901,-0.1197414879435443,-0.07615675603017441,-0.1110850411221338,0.15367786491995283,0.11002934565964992,0.05394319525632357,-0.12133311222215128,0.13257150775490822,0.1349408426507256,-0.08937935214312959,-0.04255804996686722,-0.006618117832475878,0.012861301781346321,0.15066188174369383,0.07601322284730201,-0.018150369385151032,0.11657406089254442,-0.016775735193961767,-0.012320890079229424,0.1455619611540639,-0.08533228515613367,-0.09854505516257858,-0.009138514278220464,-0.1216369960278286,0.15996054078631228,-0.12593108175692885,0.021399271633671085,-0.1154375573893892,0.18163055782965648,-0.09591277024410012,-0.12255785418032739,0.1561122361811049,-0.0494760420381803,-0.11058137751669608,0.12638354327028822,-0.0689960903553541,0.21327278494964405,0.11808125497932113,-0.11183197086271937,0.15135062350539213;0.14840511139510568,0.23594175782901944,-0.12254456800107191,0.06980020184193642,0.17005977243286047,-0.15987330875504288,-0.14300989024373084,-0.07690518665698241,0.1804066417143293,0.06983291122167874,0.060262591986458114,0.23953521907216688,0.09694158027714209,-0.1654794228190719,0.06642396670630607,0.025927421432955632,-0.1487481099816682,0.008388630258548269,-0.005983420117277362,-0.15073676565177785,-0.1607949838313908,0.20734011878090292,-0.12023913038415407,-0.10850687878518274,-0.08091660100988336,-0.15126057876938856,0.06926033320845351,-0.139290773859484,-0.14451355135769195,-0.12478099718955711,0.1455649216723944,-0.020250385687565237,-0.1315023547822848,0.1261267542782128,-0.15603756223779044,-0.13246171704952675,-0.14642136055468788,-0.12894746879136815,-0.15405225910602782,0.039642360684381726,0.23107859150468701,-0.14179335889357206,0.11328998863179898,-0.1259522317355702,-0.16217271442195844,0.10093149833697855,0.12897304254888392,0.2343369039747825,-0.06454565682106919,-0.13743471255693102,0.10764629755829465,0.23398247736325578,-0.1297758034378175,-0.12401265329909299,-0.12255895982308841,0.26556703994316194,0.14201633805648398,-0.07278975306969654,-0.07112646868749857,-0.01968612236992312,-0.15936629932367716,-0.09328232710322522,-0.15019987837754992,0.15334283770312562,0.0943772382099906,0.050029966929479586,-0.1608257464565422,0.2205935069771737,0.1383136253867435,-0.1112599614264339,-0.052685426505397155,-0.012574104120544313,0.08246193426642556,0.14703966411632602,0.17322408730237238,-0.024490700229312656,0.20835613417062565,-0.023887725542182957,-0.018810129533487076,0.14810250810836642,-0.10497368865519928,-0.13489994658884602,-0.014732086660065813,-0.15516248457787274,0.16206722165530288,-0.16614993769055672,0.10522481594386003,-0.15573180056357655,0.2560356826910587,-0.11888331469519198,-0.16280273321445343,0.15557699244970843,-0.06064453256238413,-0.14815507649055007,0.13156732526629372,-0.08425815687647062,0.20333619557929244,0.208972878697681,-0.14975010682491077,0.15232678659225124;0.22129687179913524,-0.13255947094085063,-0.04846426709409166,-0.07126154391096014,-0.21768338516515115,-0.041437223404202826,-0.04581495083863927,-0.04327557335784917,-0.21066493779674558,-0.07204007954119888,0.078312878288192,-0.12393873383825665,0.04327224787468562,-0.034171799083644705,0.14288907156131925,0.028574154042608962,-0.04498938872735591,0.009326571734897092,-0.00418714135214629,-0.04555304446128922,-0.042209215101848004,-0.18649392969552966,-0.027419535271405497,-0.04794256759771243,-0.044948058542932816,-0.03145718555439797,-0.08747121748400286,-0.029818411068170417,-0.031133372911197603,-0.027812949544829383,0.24552846028760833,-0.014873858252551683,-0.029526311480560896,0.2066457922551606,-0.03394843755381306,-0.02871215865663724,-0.03041144287126395,-0.029291394483570817,-0.044598232587720804,0.0468366736463424,-0.14153380484748274,-0.030345112688075174,0.1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x_a{63}	=[3.1031670409140517,2.7874085147942855,21.512962226024147];
std_x_a{63}	=[1.0677194368153131,1.3837693480303899,1.3930986074521736];
pred_a{63}	=[3.1031670409140517];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.3 to 6.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{64}	=[3.676208470530523,5.087684156754179,17.78062488351182];
std_x_f{64}	=[1.4724689071725021,2.075303595693676,1.544760235560542];
pred_f{64}	=[3.676208470530523];
obs{64}	=[3.988441233830533];
sqrt_r{64}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{64}	=[3.190338074257716];
L_f{64}	=[0.14890732576986893,0.2649171226884875,-0.1322946919345821,0.07818581475394681,0.1883950875312528,-0.1731804076583529,-0.15530994301704718,-0.07999688735661753,0.2007828946201598,0.07733916795940975,0.06935982326089714,0.26863779230343504,0.10746448747791117,-0.17802341675333333,0.0754382934954335,0.0348872584810466,-0.16149976452934472,0.01621926429127353,-1.42657021112508E-4,-0.16384921715601236,-0.17518588370005614,0.23291814834393784,-0.12538309702921102,-0.11593447673633478,-0.08518953274183805,-0.16079390669292437,0.07650540060266829,-0.14710708060132424,-0.15320005992199695,-0.13026119534133793,0.14479035754570319,-0.015673331383986838,-0.13847698655507146,0.1293927584169111,-0.16748021619032408,-0.13930896425625558,-0.15530440281742636,-0.13568645853211017,-0.16724887246965575,0.04945566531517901,0.26010820560322523,-0.15011710791376381,0.1218819247324237,-0.13548850465580822,-0.17461877037557708,0.1083184755023006,0.1390181913517175,0.2632642897520143,-0.06670575858130118,-0.14851285754827664,0.11413291338460733,0.2627489947115007,-0.14036041662355725,-0.13359818967891918,-0.127831655478358,0.1950884854483406,0.1444496122597308,-0.07591257487292369,-0.07346351105189924,-0.014309074414512794,-0.17130247367266022,-0.0992212032441997,-0.1601323274338084,0.1518184513574584,0.10015126176598137,0.059551761073420424,-0.1729883223992232,0.2479784525511886,0.14148311176426917,-0.11891793850415669,-0.052419594316069885,-0.006507556581052826,0.08632593605268989,0.14550323173031499,0.1921960640797991,-0.020778478197432934,0.23391329744095007,-0.020245596468721254,-0.01410554565499248,0.14851294098975365,-0.11211400541367278,-0.14196005266999354,-0.00978072587482524,-0.16880253212319724,0.1592296047966374,-0.17921752484349135,0.11094955574214822,-0.16620463744530323,0.28445457340917274,-0.12778036140178864,-0.17525418892088107,0.15302991495377596,-0.061689784953616614,-0.15803823552474452,0.13672584272338723,-0.08832828374432916,0.1715991483496068,0.2360011545360533,-0.15981162376323138,0.15101880582254296;0.15596505505329591,0.4034856193898904,-0.17782061622063988,0.13597666162940056,0.3283040848867433,-0.24089907172422603,-0.2129149485572038,-0.10117252376276044,0.3432139612162763,0.13526804038189827,0.08757051435778429,0.405734769272757,0.1475268879689626,-0.2496355165450807,0.07841517669225433,0.04956206432185015,-0.2227176472319873,0.027633282615948537,0.007961934004240874,-0.22580681543440265,-0.2430713250549504,0.3794781182494276,-0.17235511942018658,-0.15396269023871476,-0.10778123977515447,-0.2246265337807583,0.13817796359765663,-0.2044263964593597,-0.21316691478510408,-0.17938474321955145,0.1438929656603073,-0.01232928631774863,-0.1920132233708074,0.13438937599189862,-0.23393359080006915,-0.1928656846915724,-0.21662375555805116,-0.18763838436367208,-0.23072950658399366,0.0662863929142408,0.4003397976507997,-0.20870078520819194,0.1527806060252714,-0.1833664931315602,-0.24438809340692946,0.12067981279955371,0.2595530827500872,0.4027967612522891,-0.08167351605144223,-0.2024909470270155,0.1259816700690215,0.4018961335786686,-0.19053792423557958,-0.179504745639408,-0.17595943803523637,0.08604975819245665,0.1558086687012397,-0.09520548122511131,-0.09160866876760063,-0.011624305457761856,-0.23984824418921852,-0.12853270070416678,-0.22344756549260067,0.1530798708840658,0.09831646766272484,0.07676955409878848,-0.24128548588889695,0.3921813222955479,0.15519864436191594,-0.158089367340111,-0.062164917508153,-8.913114675749666E-4,0.17319258563297824,0.1431314335882848,0.33284002495601883,-0.01886361602500682,0.37940871625644357,-0.019142033084031004,-0.010369311048318279,0.1561756049905451,-0.14799790045059577,-0.19708211552585067,-0.004861868730765094,-0.23371600638481319,0.16104498731534972,-0.2511698663562934,0.21589863610982912,-0.23263791352040195,0.41133512042734194,-0.17151043099881488,-0.24521674305457078,0.15233686712526237,-0.0748813959560223,-0.22009294347450192,0.15583037384964818,-0.112686268883129,0.11168369871263965,0.3804515396524849,-0.22249322038129826,0.1543125514028844;0.2629574351466373,0.10347154729121566,-0.12264366918692232,-0.0204014797194048,-0.039388085593222495,-0.13263341653727528,-0.12919728714924386,-0.09649452098964886,-0.022104458366142596,-0.02103401506788466,0.08831754438238233,0.11404646587651768,0.09063187654963985,-0.12831921850157718,0.14199050703964786,0.025079658696124572,-0.1308346807235578,-0.0017389938296433853,-0.0228176511697147,-0.13213524465541973,-0.13340503286587002,0.028102632717128564,-0.10430128076202488,-0.1170675263463637,-0.09955756384715023,-0.12119826217125634,-0.03370963079731496,-0.11457949754115954,-0.1185250626526292,-0.10625232244236246,0.27816743492843365,-0.04049899025774998,-0.11128711005022388,0.2345244795197888,-0.12528754527290648,-0.11072535673613774,-0.1183696100154631,-0.10983860189248931,-0.1330230908747484,0.04938870173911135,0.0917325838011608,-0.1157244557490647,0.14768865267943881,-0.12387217500854189,-0.12841497411625635,0.176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k{64}	=[0.6865535950346996;0.9503980177218847;0.5462511254300685];
x_a_linear{64}	=[3.8905729966617635,5.384429556062335,17.95118238186059];
L_a{64}	=[-0.13648373586376494,-0.24281463931924663,0.12125712215181904,-0.07166264006152885,-0.17267696691017573,0.15873167349839384,0.1423521719308471,0.07332261181547076,-0.1840312383129585,-0.07088663044025555,-0.06357301595844811,-0.24622488717869406,-0.09849854362664265,0.16317062215782163,-0.06914434914610036,-0.031976555531571894,0.14802556617092574,-0.014866063653952925,1.307549046895491E-4,0.15017899999336995,0.1605698292838248,-0.21348539349622664,0.11492217329295686,0.10626186736332843,0.07808202601840893,0.14737859924700009,-0.07012242570351082,0.1348336881928171,0.14041831994902274,0.1193932836168289,-0.13271025325798014,0.01436567885198142,0.12692361748139655,-0.11859730185303702,0.15350705864030634,0.12768618187657216,0.14234709395944606,0.12436590792857759,0.15329501631732342,-0.0453294955566886,-0.2384069383155357,0.13759258383834516,-0.11171310971937044,0.12418446967880245,0.16005003118267122,-0.09928128198655184,-0.1274196686469905,-0.2412997050286583,0.06114038438157628,0.13612217879272057,-0.10461061148744882,-0.24082740192444332,0.12864990979546548,0.1224518668758767,0.11716644437157969,-0.17881192332433327,-0.13239793692722182,0.06957906042652802,0.06733432614005792,0.013115244147649007,0.1570104187196396,0.09094301053122873,0.14677221666382412,-0.13915198132253367,-0.09179547269834111,-0.054583256979096245,0.15855561423713968,-0.22728919106510542,-0.1296789365827523,0.10899641387253338,0.04804613895072638,0.0059646201349391964,-0.07912361728002824,-0.13336365114430737,-0.1761608215599992,0.019044894636898253,-0.21439751562184703,0.018556472131611275,0.012928696136586119,-0.13612225527253413,0.10276014442134794,0.13011608550247794,0.008964703381475016,0.15471905151962012,-0.14594480970226026,0.16426510379146392,-0.10169284675433711,0.15233790358625668,-0.26072204749964933,0.11711942984652748,0.16063243568461155,-0.14026237046311835,0.056542901912792126,0.14485283838264518,-0.12531857453977255,0.08095890571892937,-0.15728234132678143,-0.21631117927013382,0.14647826984260998,-0.13841905156633946;-0.23910257144196848,-0.2993688462140679,0.17317185288925416,-0.07145896385606139,-0.17152894676253103,0.21856772922286397,0.19913953057356862,0.11106807791073323,-0.18948529456799626,-0.06992133739299425,-0.09644877823338227,-0.3069910448773563,-0.1375882988153486,0.22268032388584155,-0.12173097061116266,-0.042997696131673646,0.20575911388289678,-0.01539822180416125,0.008340418880269663,0.2089033036968301,0.22171622593376805,-0.23847952458758578,0.1603001229586214,0.1536243160847996,0.1182360251817907,0.20197750832157293,-0.06479933704151354,0.18586498022972903,0.19328981082861066,0.16621263422224836,-0.2402518881891625,0.0292537976382078,0.17538155804564054,-0.20890394211151506,0.2104099708960316,0.1767364257062027,0.1954160248095599,0.17235281716172546,0.21300027460025883,-0.06492496429599989,-0.28975607834673867,0.18957652729609797,-0.17058563850140637,0.1760995148369602,0.21889484312512983,-0.16670109879115355,-0.10927757492935411,-0.2956725555228271,0.09530424901170098,0.1915301115896944,-0.17682558916234636,-0.29520604838593306,0.181853805739171,0.17494604734632413,0.1631921010827557,-0.43154159941305026,-0.22743215016759666,0.10619898709862624,0.10329816200939285,0.02633925366908929,0.2146361899158999,0.13471214007869065,0.2014012335665414,-0.24971129419717852,-0.16739592138078602,-0.08122786328314353,0.21767169159261293,-0.2657329755058458,-0.22017172015768102,0.1574130934666459,0.07691007159144218,0.016373956842551277,-0.05583968316235037,-0.24290475442253834,-0.1770774184281022,0.03626398781316845,-0.24118916734597814,0.03457177651214601,0.02705426373906863,-0.23784567500564413,0.14945297234333021,0.17955362603701044,0.021087480213556067,0.21413580592539427,-0.2614087886124132,0.224314075083216,-0.07846282274476249,0.20832139649702724,-0.34335436567734035,0.16750501925330877,0.21975202924968132,-0.2536684450445026,0.08878843556250289,0.19919999783285017,-0.2069184290452024,0.12165845009464908,-0.3435878461666237,-0.2456856600497944,0.20150471632242833,-0.24635706551487463;0.03588821617739528,-0.3005013521578049,0.07909289559289147,-0.1396272585644973,-0.32667230859697594,0.13144989638536042,0.1076353016888695,0.025492967793211266,-0.3282788848295093,-0.13896873972619075,-0.017449454079713864,-0.2956000936099836,-0.07324103643418117,0.14314921323218857,0.026954431441501267,-0.028120024357160725,0.1154367851415232,-0.02647179764459455,-0.022600113058698395,0.11771890842927579,0.13373643637041047,-0.32707493665214094,0.08689577262115132,0.05972129816595004,0.030348205154028238,0.12399683900329922,-0.15037294116140504,0.1097445222764549,0.11509015924915313,0.09238335740236005,0.05737619291129451,-0.016598681138585494,0.09987685397710494,0.037213081695001704,0.1301035289171579,0.1017072925343845,0.11845453055595603,0.09707007774631381,0.12201520659533947,-0.026026387737932057,-0.3049071838426052,0.11318956356909828,-0.03816945277221032,0.08273464418215107,0.1378617023437739,0.011304923371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x_a{64}	=[3.8905729966617657,5.384429556062339,17.951182381860594];
std_x_a{64}	=[1.3496183371443244,1.89812435777851,1.4941298965479903];
pred_a{64}	=[3.8905729966617657];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.4 to 6.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{65}	=[6.294844884721855,9.633998286441011,17.42872791657288];
std_x_f{65}	=[1.9907319809165358,2.671161646670021,2.8723280123496497];
pred_f{65}	=[6.294844884721855];
obs{65}	=[6.883912686666385];
sqrt_r{65}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{65}	=[5.023226581125145];
L_f{65}	=[-0.24538288709947184,-0.33674090131281303,0.18193837044620986,-0.06429297457237985,-0.18655367263933717,0.22016169462267532,0.20402166235063052,0.12463037435268841,-0.2081445794767084,-0.06333087125032798,-0.09244321485809953,-0.3451688993655201,-0.13650655437818984,0.2223442383479586,-0.11911623949182953,-0.03445524747793605,0.2093803207544927,-0.005230951464212876,0.020211723880534983,0.21266158355156284,0.22242767699630672,-0.2666747064858842,0.1682637922269327,0.1652434461884518,0.13124480079036416,0.20529101620876875,-0.05725509807490316,0.19106215534094736,0.1976263701137393,0.1733719991523546,-0.2464634311317857,0.04226753603744941,0.18235761559058775,-0.21307558968399012,0.21237145679537514,0.1830589877172102,0.19943064707071426,0.17938958084668116,0.21540508869594457,-0.05795065128286494,-0.32533035284189243,0.19442109090770374,-0.1732705376370812,0.1842963190195114,0.2192455926421233,-0.1678399763159972,-0.11095061549122107,-0.3317187045507372,0.10901288616987573,0.1976640840985868,-0.179222604918732,-0.3320194106972784,0.1893065708351335,0.1830379287650844,0.17106541376670828,-0.43167621243733734,-0.23385980685055738,0.12008185189239667,0.11714501050163009,0.03954334606552064,0.21584637607507656,0.14709007446291883,0.20428377456346916,-0.2564908796416037,-0.16837605848001153,-0.07561094271983897,0.21796072397695207,-0.2983267849184142,-0.22637045049250282,0.1677717096974637,0.09087896217786899,0.029139338927159482,-0.04758311469949919,-0.2488748518756627,-0.19319154220241413,0.0495222739163726,-0.27025794334340814,0.04770890022917233,0.03982619713576732,-0.24437088365705004,0.16088798287114553,0.1860848784787101,0.03385463609739071,0.21654217320726682,-0.268696692288828,0.22422445375041494,-0.074423499649029,0.2102310133443385,-0.38493433326522114,0.17648897092265114,0.21973562446318343,-0.2602464415480844,0.10268884285268033,0.20211729048541288,-0.21228232010490314,0.1344968691637189,-0.348536650915603,-0.27485272277811723,0.20487221111627327,-0.25313470629100054;-0.3570417885573367,-0.45071340255177966,0.2407660624824977,-0.0362668952640803,-0.19074051369149453,0.26681746966415587,0.25704796588680556,0.18660736604714748,-0.2267005506001389,-0.03399901539918578,-0.10752385440539967,-0.46618278740278485,-0.16378549048730173,0.26456969106178996,-0.15926216824616216,-0.019537482136156303,0.26038106066660255,0.024122431213688893,0.05869526451088989,0.26332978236685955,0.26858779461337445,-0.3257663122836104,0.22162427257485998,0.22655743110899704,0.19382468281644916,0.25179975433672724,-0.021805528684828105,0.2413374894456502,0.24666004748777515,0.22643670880947686,-0.36186695833097704,0.08704340958039625,0.23389811069594543,-0.3059362019308429,0.25800569242548793,0.23411680802940557,0.24725758943412982,0.23067256465947425,0.26405502842098566,-0.055218364518901504,-0.4306578232633372,0.24358725290535096,-0.22799012682420897,0.24252858473759417,0.2632176523500515,-0.23062752874090867,-0.07383469636718301,-0.44241656849926947,0.16980070678296094,0.2525689614444223,-0.24823765530273845,-0.4421341753494407,0.2462935245636049,0.24164885467774808,0.2240014763704255,-0.7034745543274081,-0.3363044110487151,0.18109919915553613,0.17884067284794528,0.08416672104128996,0.2601227756738952,0.20904451970482005,0.25104717557425393,-0.37727927072137685,-0.23962343604133868,-0.08202620695763965,0.2618648571729157,-0.3818570638535552,-0.32286338625629174,0.22896752664165473,0.14879404702842952,0.07028249218968435,0.00939878175380788,-0.36678124943215645,-0.20198658954956064,0.09819035027311172,-0.33211148310633604,0.0946748433471237,0.0843044985106479,-0.355325949077224,0.22235253123757115,0.23593902894213842,0.07685193367358098,0.2650540933449255,-0.39700485393344404,0.26682842569546633,-0.02191122582155462,0.25531647579121564,-0.5386877771218544,0.23585349765458377,0.26331148112036484,-0.38500954257556436,0.16265342942323058,0.24973163480370403,-0.2969865549642459,0.1971740880513945,-0.5528401787368785,-0.34032589851854433,0.25261157016437796,-0.3716926221076259;-0.2187541965322127,-0.5284002893299521,0.24995448161935085,-0.21000567699007533,-0.4573592940480225,0.34760536728376157,0.30426852816480526,0.13024090185411383,-0.47368899653755003,-0.208397880828126,-0.14148139937939644,-0.5287804566179809,-0.2229356582109974,0.36026958150946636,-0.13119915222757392,-0.09418859827075461,0.3191459973881648,-0.06213911350762905,-0.032020463024607405,0.3253845934844544,0.35249509937713075,-0.511069506506982,0.23773693068598575,0.211712000045669,0.14268657000851578,0.3197395303302295,-0.21161807207768363,0.28782307553091674,0.3012328318061209,0.24872953179088186,-0.2029719141540355,-0.0029657857453335226,0.26748434983378316,-0.19608434517790743,0.33493179225042696,0.2699614892708004,0.3064323042546836,0.26185802265491137,0.33315486832966945,-0.11556623049449588,-0.5263403876865043,0.2948725193103365,-0.22479458091347765,0.25692947835528096,0.3516366888110948,-0.18260092785495866,-0.37178343328473035,-0.52756857314290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k{65}	=[0.8009247674079608;1.0685293755552188;1.0739595650024047];
x_a_linear{65}	=[6.766643876981796,10.263434537012484,18.06136291690615];
L_a{65}	=[0.14112661447314703,0.19366918336749495,-0.10463788476588598,0.03697670177028262,0.1072922751391745,-0.1266211958219154,-0.1173386083564018,-0.07167844099000228,0.11970981419978588,0.03642336903294508,0.053166698371466835,0.19851636259023867,0.07850876685210377,-0.12787643823319222,0.06850710661595569,0.019816183943684843,-0.12042052383793507,0.003008467621128196,-0.011624332069944536,-0.12230767055472896,-0.1279244261515704,0.15337213991095025,-0.09677324941479665,-0.09503616327979116,-0.0754825840615297,-0.11806864953688101,0.03292902063444872,-0.10988523061219035,-0.11366049554003005,-0.09971112319211861,0.14174806580120108,-0.02430925128315443,-0.10487900446481743,0.12254577715022628,-0.12214081048003984,-0.10528238334297008,-0.11469818607142612,-0.1031720040297119,-0.12388553768879407,0.03332905288847371,0.1871066553362333,-0.111817049128033,0.09965276981499809,-0.10599400744903344,-0.12609431975261934,0.09652950093919141,0.06381082610557352,0.1907807764593076,-0.06269638335808089,-0.11368218591568222,0.10307597146734211,0.1909537210395685,-0.10887554448185087,-0.1052702717460573,-0.09838454092585992,0.24826915654137208,0.13449936624465753,-0.06906245752325048,-0.06737339726471865,-0.022742492849164114,-0.12413933449819162,-0.08459564754872265,-0.11748935647762261,0.14751513406224398,0.09683781690116,0.043485984248152997,-0.1253553555693314,0.1715761423294674,0.130192026316072,-0.09649023888278206,-0.052267052566696524,-0.016758855107563215,0.027366390390971232,0.1431349418367565,0.11110990101286307,-0.02848165551168365,0.15543296042103225,-0.02743873319434401,-0.02290516847180376,0.140544582770153,-0.09253121356753091,-0.10702265840446172,-0.019470755410536618,-0.12453950703991569,0.15453504093577422,-0.12895780310490534,0.04280305227011713,-0.1209097811230758,0.22138658441237272,-0.1015037815088823,-0.12637615086442905,0.1496750635649526,-0.05905924780357287,-0.11624335042210615,0.12208954545703699,-0.07735294024240194,0.2004532514265707,0.15807554757752196,-0.11782778292418987,0.14558490417476394;0.15860808664646522,0.25691705118714725,-0.1415609168937802,0.09883895790525525,0.20128510452649387,-0.19583235770876795,-0.17168504794935519,-0.07529205873024274,0.21069639953030758,0.09908506492440083,0.0867371748313041,0.25915833962500656,0.1230706491630586,-0.20266655394144284,0.09104980238367708,0.05286709453227154,-0.17961268764812563,0.03511480114462498,0.01622216045768545,-0.18355924202771254,-0.19882378913950127,0.23462638968877095,-0.1319668212815097,-0.12068667956437881,-0.08197435903468411,-0.17960069147187238,0.09851086552703557,-0.16016229614368133,-0.1686338399169324,-0.1378888184653947,0.1560535821258141,-0.0017779827363701764,-0.14930987431578518,0.1418228187908698,-0.18827365691231948,-0.15056504687536945,-0.17182782230503577,-0.14629836460893697,-0.1885992231336531,0.06655967165635503,0.2529943980707718,-0.16497103104256136,0.13612218828127662,-0.1447534096437318,-0.1975070698228745,0.12207295442876488,0.15931795624074355,0.2546601943762738,-0.05927998345407128,-0.16280417847789122,0.1283823892017569,0.255574494211894,-0.15151705945982596,-0.14298874674968004,-0.1354769709783987,0.20365384286000202,0.1551307564281077,-0.07124191833019539,-0.06732893889611528,0.0010699668020234564,-0.19345880127277942,-0.10005192722782914,-0.17823664329740557,0.16171304305188106,0.11420357516066997,0.0768633294659895,-0.1961598300681517,0.24504960935211265,0.15283357829596403,-0.12358950042256858,-0.04217984711551166,0.00904881506198786,0.10939038038007484,0.15620667294495538,0.20398790934335506,-0.005876215519776546,0.23581106603773846,-0.005581082158026589,6.133584085447562E-4,0.15819729270499383,-0.11573896841809644,-0.1551014608780177,0.005709487331701542,-0.18998963814977854,0.16763686776185394,-0.20435892139598913,0.13448300671795915,-0.18646492582312055,0.2702168015801108,-0.1350220630124523,-0.19844299846703445,0.1618747438258092,-0.05313785752312592,-0.1749995143293041,0.14910548170534205,-0.08545888044677052,0.1795779726386365,0.2372521627523248,-0.17790879473787666,0.16024699785369884;0.2995161742562984,0.18282629148821775,-0.13431545597246963,-0.07421322559057693,-0.06334142982934035,-0.11739561324209949,-0.12664327601690306,-0.13298947696645494,-0.03406922656034423,-0.07463747677859045,0.05376685043831639,0.2002468018571093,0.06537826371285466,-0.1093411244912856,0.12038488583673561,-0.021416066750408556,-0.12308376751495612,-0.05109088114318,-0.07470941233831202,-0.12377548879569965,-0.11729183643218098,0.05217107087822973,-0.11765108768215088,-0.13729678022735747,-0.1345140627402249,-0.11385326152138264,-0.09069023860254907,-0.11571710309638988,-0.11617154927003537,-0.1174474716144616,0.3175806612449941,-0.0922385619905879,-0.11767107060077485,0.25395015468815935,-0.11361551664816591,-0.11667529115761076,-0.1147828694099443,-0.11702864576755498,-0.12179973958039364,0.0068306729033805825,0.16078610507407326,-0.11576202845662306,0.14116812679356713,-0.1323206552715214,-0.111429403268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x_a{65}	=[6.766643876981796,10.263434537012488,18.061362916906155];
std_x_a{65}	=[1.1449260708889002,1.563712002048383,1.8350337114790265];
pred_a{65}	=[6.766643876981796];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.5 to 6.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{66}	=[10.910395659446166,15.059724752887005,24.24757710730543];
std_x_f{66}	=[1.1017772155810832,0.9869123057269417,3.251596328304731];
pred_f{66}	=[10.910395659446166];
obs{66}	=[11.703969332021167];
sqrt_r{66}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{66}	=[2.21950866939321];
L_f{66}	=[0.074803987992654,0.17548400813340903,-0.09474025975470747,0.10251857419605698,0.18477045764888717,-0.14465307047641,-0.12220807313768747,-0.03693273084181707,0.18666227956367443,0.10256048189373897,0.0692180212455051,0.1729936528479945,0.09642474492849366,-0.1508460356979974,0.06049608191680101,0.055276913784070986,-0.12930619231956958,0.04508022651240631,0.032950980346773504,-0.1318275807315858,-0.14692878680358812,0.18719953771718284,-0.08822079980689712,-0.07667285634798843,-0.04221288010168762,-0.13033051463007345,0.10457612029628034,-0.11331349261069522,-0.12028307012132723,-0.0932697149021959,0.06881829064124358,0.020456754848380655,-0.10376365862816753,0.07243100070712023,-0.13751351510650878,-0.1047583735731552,-0.12330395629615623,-0.10037619602233117,-0.13757704446901645,0.06156685446913077,0.177716490995656,-0.11714879137190284,0.09084492855791369,-0.09718750484855551,-0.14640483662477008,0.07416865757216168,0.16413398516155972,0.17594086358465283,-0.023489391239652723,-0.1138566676145937,0.07547179920188421,0.17632581615527856,-0.10294478060710725,-0.09640660122359658,-0.09114314336157026,-0.024322296904714963,0.07818925430618583,-0.03374881368110115,-0.029715572580853104,0.022633924660413574,-0.1425977107321586,-0.05808893201870115,-0.12949549770591806,0.07060936526163557,0.06098741757666641,0.06520918954973219,-0.144934640696557,0.18277566343513105,0.07996590037806862,-0.07920357252246496,-0.010342580716142188,0.028785953298225864,0.1254402203441846,0.06759002755299943,0.1862569794382402,0.01854789956326722,0.1862233355391386,0.017808982786469283,0.022108185817167735,0.07475408637986153,-0.07165211072650181,-0.10805178165487354,0.02595337079230273,-0.1389098563813917,0.07075096475472825,-0.15248952802136279,0.1469805966617613,-0.13648487373081303,0.16063763104704554,-0.08855177895627933,-0.14707343687226357,0.06880335578421348,-0.018542330842321625,-0.12653805799413445,0.08381254300585765,-0.045408381633778146,0.0204898550618531,0.18674713245449925,-0.12874405101861341,0.0715629782936916;-0.09568121184653755,0.009174072586187146,-0.006966667239420313,0.14241257967764515,0.17920902728644042,-0.07156981087377522,-0.04197380504887386,0.0536849890027554,0.1610276322388954,0.14206408757214176,0.048453865857338775,-0.0036709978308709246,0.05779603465103641,-0.08227520223236115,0.003967854154896877,0.07974085321001799,-0.051292877565628454,0.08795209601212697,0.09059556747078121,-0.05548599521382248,-0.07472940702612367,0.10287519060347508,-0.00710348638684577,0.01456723924320077,0.049738782104923364,-0.05650606543044749,0.15315937277950262,-0.036157412709905815,-0.04389842702372583,-0.012718579903620892,-0.10897771306011007,0.08857883080029855,-0.023779262646641562,-0.06798349558137803,-0.06538234545447971,-0.026044437750791634,-0.04790021522843731,-0.021286774703816024,-0.06149760614831201,0.0688206663731186,0.02506084111061883,-0.04050868753618282,0.009589421793725475,-0.010748732616741185,-0.07605849087031641,-0.01763118394520075,0.21634152280864738,0.015846404165961347,0.06559561817738575,-0.031523832274081544,-0.02732184502391643,0.015225214745977905,-0.01840008392091713,-0.00901175151331088,-0.0102720518703565,-0.4755059802060359,-0.07826513522843738,0.05625444929700497,0.06011579082880228,0.08937359237791942,-0.07188677645581393,0.034363938777133805,-0.05548137893231657,-0.11501994343890573,-0.04329353427702893,0.058269968148945604,-0.07430016166078461,0.06265251586319974,-0.06693821209289207,0.011435366993526529,0.07500848043914608,0.09007879842162315,0.20390743321268257,-0.11310179512099365,0.17409153914739167,0.08976906722932838,0.09699677419318004,0.08717311672497063,0.0885787689925416,-0.0946083008791843,0.019495538975074445,-0.0298799733055966,0.09102798440358706,-0.0636853487045254,-0.12722824274892675,-0.08419640614123543,0.21835469561910054,-0.06467160898752514,-0.06787564043087897,-8.646129955241747E-4,-0.07765838862105998,-0.12258502974269118,0.06878311564410003,-0.052306651569530946,-0.04451943443161634,0.046142989915098485,-0.30618119827026147,0.09375354766028901,-0.05347940660019559,-0.10921361997286871;0.39383706406882785,0.5245110281325771,-0.3020222634796085,0.13333549321770372,0.3312947040094572,-0.37325678610179436,-0.34350362753011415,-0.19716905572653484,0.3604982339678438,0.13350863960379167,0.1719641377887791,0.5339267907740893,0.23955467976447836,-0.3773533348244891,0.20959866703986912,0.07825553144723521,-0.3529438806559899,0.03170707799390877,-0.012044340807940729,-0.35941625921593084,-0.3769355120812965,0.43875461639086344,-0.2776795301260699,-0.27249999107556033,-0.20836668618234766,-0.3471301649854201,0.12463101278529948,-0.31928497746392004,-0.3321248020662177,-0.2867091460229138,0.3963196984255175,-0.051726499023823605,-0.3043646275180546,0.34907349087809136,-0.3593820031897871,-0.30563189430159793,-0.33569064193140186,-0.2984052340786821,-0.36503770173194794,0.1160212123604398,0.5105203790124525,-0.32632143643709993,0.2934230481568087,-0.306068707446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k{66}	=[0.5494498337447858;0.2050296210922338;1.4859352837156965];
x_a_linear{66}	=[11.346424581906739,15.22243086228383,25.426776227612468];
L_a{66}	=[-0.15966102507261806,-0.37455164322500156,0.20221284177480173,-0.218814813011482,-0.39437256572811574,0.3087463400271301,0.26083991980786936,0.07882892106654388,-0.3984104550743285,-0.21890426046140937,-0.1477383829675083,-0.36923624910853525,-0.20580819326318434,0.321964554751388,-0.12912234642706566,-0.11798259630866494,0.27599008780129497,-0.09621886972367616,-0.07033030511461762,0.28137171877140144,0.31360361049254215,-0.39955717451830003,0.1882977593558069,0.16364992252776167,0.090098828807962,0.27817639303031383,-0.22320642271453792,0.24185539929447092,0.25673120898766344,0.19907412277240963,-0.1468852012088625,-0.04366273157886256,0.22147231112177335,-0.15459614026286952,0.29350773097017613,0.22359542263004437,0.2631789639301978,0.21424213841900083,0.2936433275260866,-0.13140779467537803,-0.37931663653362446,0.25004142985388816,-0.19389867847192382,0.20743622184814858,0.3124852954817799,-0.15830498097767526,-0.35032624627876835,-0.37552675179358047,0.050135566088041005,0.24301474761591035,-0.16108639589952065,-0.3763483914371311,0.2197245045173345,0.2057694674866553,0.19453518572937525,0.051913313182028735,-0.16688651002691474,0.07203319411043392,0.06342467702851234,-0.04830966516187516,0.3043593968645221,0.12398454521422367,0.2763941396820467,-0.1507080563473002,-0.13017104927318318,-0.13918196512046055,0.30934732122057934,-0.3901148931424173,-0.17067856898847575,0.16905146259838527,0.02207512036922038,-0.061440505173849656,-0.26773858858239497,-0.14426360643844502,-0.3975453857748781,-0.03958848634522039,-0.3974735765095951,-0.038011348371794366,-0.04718753244026992,-0.1595545154751351,0.15293368380751918,0.23062484611962142,-0.05539466405448505,0.29648807045850506,-0.1510102851565337,0.3254724114324153,-0.31371419303348363,0.2913122071634531,-0.34286365642333166,0.1890041985669516,0.3139123504255495,-0.1468533243711869,0.03957660051241426,0.2700818043554839,-0.17888881180468935,0.09691928135234776,-0.04373338040594983,-0.3985915643960778,0.27479025796929246,-0.15274344026607758;-0.1831728622862524,-0.1960741489240904,0.10384268813666855,0.022505613514019383,-0.03690073806176774,0.09761817250481698,0.10096223757125641,0.09688195835302171,-0.057294830936051824,0.02210810565768894,-0.03250437021338064,-0.206006469634226,-0.05498351498809452,0.09415614828336344,-0.06678909603012416,0.0150883052916215,0.09994521122751648,0.03522571703679788,0.052055701729546315,0.09870114000701492,0.09712028173396445,-0.11607565621550014,0.09608062966556481,0.10424474074848773,0.0991114779867678,0.09593008314444361,0.03084587577447304,0.09637542078784565,0.09678610875135041,0.09637080840059875,-0.1894684193742398,0.06465236254166451,0.09758396935020193,-0.15269967134848358,0.09545512748368332,0.0964822248944631,0.09631758560801873,0.09611443999768564,0.09941417150175656,-0.0031886723591290056,-0.182798519396894,0.09650995784876897,-0.09666390703134217,0.10292295026402949,0.09517837941413822,-0.10437974422949675,0.024368425646463854,-0.18993616101387534,0.09306909469287876,0.1016443052875834,-0.1155945755429909,-0.19100759562330477,0.10200537842361325,0.10374657702880168,0.09633007260127527,-0.447058327135891,-0.16971623415341197,0.09572747057004127,0.0948714844572664,0.06290067993557437,0.0948972332698017,0.10230545728408376,0.09597812373371412,-0.1976055123239211,-0.11462515660126424,-0.01799948981234093,0.0952171496578867,-0.15112411401011555,-0.16046729778364607,0.10407282479046451,0.0871052881220481,0.05641039876638447,0.05719103206957761,-0.19215591004944457,-0.04375688009154031,0.06807521923368813,-0.12081229473384195,0.06634351474180228,0.06272076706941052,-0.18204158578813076,0.10330071558633347,0.09649869932433058,0.06067260755769663,0.09878530190230153,-0.20997942811622555,0.09415719290314185,0.04644440942133199,0.0949627525379276,-0.2557593594701934,0.10270662027907813,0.09436048461146432,-0.2030582680671361,0.09047045039626941,0.09569379378681071,-0.1425475999333299,0.09925318309525158,-0.3301463809395082,-0.12466816048357057,0.09710119491826277,-0.19291454621107215;-0.24025146287825278,-0.9630085440994602,0.5010594085342649,-0.7356803633042323,-1.234943012159185,0.8529191817592584,0.692413562934748,0.11589742005976394,-1.2217758273661312,-0.7358624545331967,-0.41477400689495403,-0.9324828679776853,-0.5778058128199669,0.9013183394844142,-0.3032064988085261,-0.3903084819976687,0.7431417053304649,-0.35042300879370425,-0.29135884194923894,0.7580422977435924,0.8685309461984163,-1.1480736036222174,0.47013884823555185,0.377430311347561,0.14945785874033007,0.7576382605449664,-0.7618259777032433,0.6412358121469314,0.6874747780710718,0.5039072063688261,-0.18703006287340587,-0.2251316061044926,0.5752053956287846,-0.2649000120879683,0.806274328365213,0.5823699965988879,0.7095159855849693,0.5524503952041017,0.8011571470996228,-0.40586053628283025,-0.9959232079351579,0.6667099051798145,-0.4766391968608926,0.5177574472919837,0.8691961281852002,-0.34550584595706635,-1.1722689991739843,-0.9742224474027086,0.03141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x_a{66}	=[11.346424581906742,15.222430862283822,25.426776227612482];
std_x_a{66}	=[2.351624350009332,1.2463458910139376,6.510286132410424];
pred_a{66}	=[11.346424581906742];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.6 to 6.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{67}	=[12.434119213395032,10.35208732284943,34.076243193747466];
std_x_f{67}	=[1.435960664045843,5.6736622597216115,2.861847906874913];
pred_f{67}	=[12.434119213395032];
obs{67}	=[13.336940149499307];
sqrt_r{67}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{67}	=[3.062140955976524];
L_f{67}	=[-0.012566912490605563,0.11883286441234994,-0.07799107570523695,0.21068217369627024,0.26906226868584243,-0.19001800856748458,-0.13854044860526385,0.03259764558124168,0.253325300319471,0.2106927288628588,0.10807532006118384,0.1074587300216564,0.13258352357908457,-0.20709474647421017,0.064444289128253,0.12794525700208637,-0.1542140452427687,0.12811672394635965,0.12157561033962193,-0.15939588629067758,-0.19490824968568515,0.20196975033641137,-0.07138245693598194,-0.040051242429585,0.023969007534014562,-0.16030651574950627,0.22092524555058043,-0.12395426322022823,-0.13843894474385854,-0.08160448685655068,-0.02780524353878557,0.11008762501240789,-0.10314306757307228,0.00959176964950764,-0.175714833440457,-0.10558195147487982,-0.14528365613743846,-0.09643836401191211,-0.17273609259610567,0.12189186848532829,0.13312916178892667,-0.13149345956221095,0.08750281115732776,-0.0836021689910017,-0.19589676728812427,0.05426018320090968,0.2981013796937198,0.12528960255804653,0.05409272300191126,-0.11924708673966347,0.04619610542549915,0.12457904271847138,-0.09630108255953891,-0.08161142466823863,-0.0774972971407191,-0.40798286474275147,0.004544557441890571,0.03724349455767655,0.045246947038118226,0.11317378130800963,-0.1880228450585406,-0.004886899763230931,-0.15843399824252793,-0.03213504801030338,0.022731742433448117,0.11490643706242622,-0.19237677258648422,0.1658984673483279,0.015020051940330716,-0.04678085867506416,0.07438671001608858,0.11884558303400518,0.27534487558924,-0.03268096838839371,0.26524971042154943,0.11125364385784389,0.19681646239725792,0.1077042380981113,0.11195933109839243,-0.011255150262806919,-0.03104390938676931,-0.11207203131590456,0.11634769248352204,-0.17656318021154221,-0.04187080039888338,-0.2096661354278944,0.29611658262756074,-0.1742597703344948,0.05034001566658028,-0.06548897401415373,-0.1979013824070092,-0.039080378310163845,0.061347514243439136,-0.15250286893291864,0.03622456115327134,0.018151630859004605,-0.22920946098403921,0.19399461664127154,-0.15647174742698516,-0.026321535466054174;0.24026981892037885,0.8092885214527686,-0.44900511836998414,0.6471509077383072,1.0600033323868416,-0.7526911406781874,-0.6150124425991481,-0.11039294004761939,1.0454335196228746,0.6473741381412197,0.38182136899879127,0.7826124062368561,0.5199348708192352,-0.7921753823039455,0.29078398201924527,0.3534894097273172,-0.6585712919748775,0.31534861999928765,0.26001878583551374,-0.6721183538031783,-0.7660892033027452,0.9745464251832666,-0.4188958058779391,-0.3409424780357256,-0.14000571616921065,-0.6693928469700731,0.66887593725727,-0.5681397338549157,-0.6086004242505633,-0.44800514497287874,0.19643608479964045,0.1993898518458874,-0.5112640415963853,0.26166057580764623,-0.7110883867837203,-0.516814698218466,-0.6272188020518086,-0.4906951385246647,-0.7085346616378206,0.3702686769287854,0.838866564346817,-0.590427508695431,0.43685174864899834,-0.46462132193234423,-0.7656834613138084,0.3283760158571367,1.0140736675042397,0.8200698158984936,-0.03430754622872793,-0.5643095940855675,0.32303345830375435,0.8204047917115548,-0.4983319022483355,-0.45953728180291564,-0.43622517265568167,-0.6548088785122235,0.2762175326621449,-0.09265350419361312,-0.06850958260293269,0.210685414734401,-0.7430818954779653,-0.23182801052516977,-0.6642280548668854,0.1976572125163579,0.23599079282671742,0.37528220268789036,-0.756478203498619,0.9051563536948748,0.29618614305442775,-0.35789168852029196,0.03787045759420924,0.24173289638926992,0.8241014973126808,0.1857842825195535,1.0614022118719337,0.19299542702381,0.9638910013747137,0.1854855060442826,0.20672968633577554,0.24148210621355634,-0.3117284025644412,-0.5352456744478079,0.2262344777818778,-0.7168465071955203,0.18413149543891638,-0.8022135227420676,0.9403470132575269,-0.7063872527261769,0.651328912360104,-0.4119378759402504,-0.7698301609395151,0.18103007021643566,-0.007080006061835956,-0.6474861493958367,0.34096986831008963,-0.15875805273277493,-0.25486986124040045,0.9618422880019153,-0.6587976148580031,0.20884029381347374;-0.26525193441462197,-0.5805799768939196,0.25370624127710634,-0.11825604554899868,-0.42116561615996595,0.29353384554675727,0.2758396765542075,0.19002218917458166,-0.453930679207046,-0.11902314616153752,-0.10664855262632375,-0.5819809235409116,-0.1919494567504665,0.2955746575690358,-0.12239187525897793,-0.027885165332976285,0.2816135758737487,0.01154821432701048,0.05009783280704339,0.28214211926639815,0.2940963243700136,-0.5281409189439972,0.24222569238023778,0.2377941351011702,0.19826807722678227,0.2793715205162213,-0.11301032283721026,0.2652741901616076,0.2709763885996596,0.2466160645024038,-0.25517339042758197,0.08248639224775019,0.25790638583286213,-0.23145605645746858,0.2847635756229204,0.25737213669736886,0.27397531042779416,0.25334442894613257,0.2881591078507331,-0.06027443658360453,-0.5735176987708785,0.26843224276598326,-0.2218777386646651,0.25650594820105765,0.2924094269287723,-0.18955649723324647,-0.2765566041276221,-0.5750525697875417,0.17061560134380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k{67}	=[0.6734311011881235;2.457728428379689;-0.8599162358968684];
x_a_linear{67}	=[13.042106910571427,12.57097600324927,33.299892812683794];
L_a{67}	=[0.012193756356989239,-0.11530429585871227,0.07567524448666976,-0.204426273894537,-0.2610728571291141,0.18437570100407022,0.13442669208872468,-0.03162970604961982,-0.2458031750810668,-0.20443651564085213,-0.10486618109379452,-0.10426789979600032,-0.12864664926115002,0.2009453700904458,-0.06253070997484307,-0.1241461092437858,0.1496348841389464,-0.12431248472728743,-0.11796559994683146,0.15466285797628168,0.18912073354621978,-0.19597255323654084,0.06926285901102029,0.03886197921296552,-0.023257282821624103,0.15554644762176958,-0.21436519267287363,0.12027362220016108,0.13432820223640835,0.07918136066514148,0.026979607394589503,-0.10681873358507123,0.1000803846480766,-0.00930695604237677,0.17049723779676262,0.10244684945029896,0.14096966991031903,0.0935747674782474,0.1676069463163542,-0.11827246726826292,-0.1291760855403357,0.1275889531050565,-0.08490454283036726,0.08111972454285747,0.19007989856051796,-0.05264900621629243,-0.28924969409828427,-0.12156931058435505,-0.05248651850360996,0.11570621845828988,-0.044824379466430295,-0.12087984978264102,0.09344156239833426,0.07918809246863251,0.07519612795629435,0.39586840874547174,-0.004409613438319322,-0.03613760331813054,-0.0439034049527168,-0.10981325097160406,0.18243978096495114,0.0047417904038412565,0.1537295317905057,0.03118084463870651,-0.022056756503278853,-0.11149445804101628,0.18666442496652416,-0.16097235437548363,-0.014574053409429806,0.04539176932129597,-0.07217790517856064,-0.11531663681945206,-0.2671689111856722,0.0317105547075659,-0.2573735072206647,-0.10795012920189703,-0.1909722846650505,-0.10450611786827564,-0.10863486208930415,0.0109209449949275,0.030122105784829534,0.1087442158382661,-0.11289291748490687,0.1713203941480607,0.04062750806276282,0.20344040540032926,-0.28732383268555417,0.169085380667065,-0.04884524233809823,0.0635443744670582,0.1920249895578091,0.03791994348726014,-0.05952588930261416,0.14797451871332867,-0.03514892565473456,-0.01761264466050603,0.22240342041416825,-0.18823422950223875,0.1518255471503709,0.025539955868623256;0.330635410329898,-0.04520951691081697,0.11180961524393418,-0.8678130294848521,-0.8747575767831199,0.6136818435768002,0.3811980093884611,-0.3447946296996254,-0.7761667023470163,-0.8676656987010325,-0.3953218013227079,0.009902983951780226,-0.4334407915272997,0.6969922439476518,-0.17261912549774422,-0.5665336130859373,0.45034415662356914,-0.6059073796360808,-0.6142016670821082,0.47405844528485463,0.6354483077293408,-0.47776860841202673,0.09439796791946134,-0.05294379804642071,-0.31236098186630634,0.4833320656393589,-0.9197434222230988,0.32318502964612345,0.3868801383172618,0.1387927436871434,0.3963767845177634,-0.592223310778781,0.23041250847113576,0.19268850827000752,0.5524339664706924,0.24239926896171138,0.4174804045998917,0.20276952950877056,0.5335682953840869,-0.5062259108963716,-0.11843264879748816,0.3551097701473875,-0.19235954618086254,0.13654140993501737,0.6429622378137948,-0.061795678948930954,-1.1295003803101755,-0.08085704589713805,-0.4232750757371254,0.2931670156344046,-0.009151427260815498,-0.07541260821879656,0.19414560846682158,0.1273104949626181,0.12103892017504121,2.2788960299121404,0.2435387325799462,-0.3604623565571186,-0.3938693025525517,-0.6031195423380082,0.6089443563891593,-0.1966875106137132,0.47503204273175814,0.42873247627706396,0.07253239759216638,-0.4509818577700164,0.6268560754046546,-0.287778913982971,0.18818062637685487,-0.021501985482449904,-0.4970261646777592,-0.6128565984691919,-1.1558361001523136,0.42078512608082796,-0.8459435241125979,-0.607002291683447,-0.45136800014641193,-0.5889893047195668,-0.5983424565699472,0.32241513655508897,-0.08849924954089039,0.27063686813365656,-0.6103932975978025,0.5527761000191848,0.48521417136775524,0.7054443320137287,-1.1889548447214426,0.5466720979246338,0.2893461826581463,0.05897730485818972,0.653230234789336,0.4620475039851307,-0.4482149634554324,0.44912464924494017,0.0804879166284187,-0.28928198682139417,1.3933192634920146,-0.43312551146009076,0.4663524174741805,0.3981120119840861;-0.29686927598994717,-0.2816060429775095,0.05748696448633325,0.4118033667821267,0.25577342200328923,-0.1845361885075511,-0.0727169549036761,0.2720352449401877,0.18341541163747688,0.4110628221201975,0.16526026449892675,-0.3116233973875895,0.1416200302173026,-0.2254590762637881,0.0397447755269808,0.2940148157961881,-0.10637656472747638,0.33387959250378113,0.3559722949877935,-0.11888511684442425,-0.19627716321239358,-0.02000126339668268,0.06263316914765443,0.13702842885797029,0.2585721733196784,-0.12394678610773308,0.442819834841305,-0.04658477144742131,-0.07732486730279896,0.04130573573616929,-0.32512914791440245,0.3594580068615748,-0.001593280534877293,-0.20732393509933633,-0.15732081964055517,-0.008263565506034715,-0.09154668909622712,0.0107132577487842,-0.14643101490860674,0.24639570566782676,-0.23857542993086872,-0.062394730765313634,-0.0017277001225305825,0.04616961177772495,-0.2004510914746821,-0.053042238262685185,0.47344250288438267,-0.25983400175216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x_a{67}	=[13.042106910571432,12.570976003249275,33.2998928126838];
std_x_a{67}	=[1.3933219069270193,5.5255704131038215,2.8241254370843643];
pred_a{67}	=[13.042106910571432];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.7 to 6.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{68}	=[9.194638597331599,3.0984083647992797,34.289927427798794];
std_x_f{68}	=[2.8340166617180444,2.2454524059939334,4.022751276839627];
pred_f{68}	=[9.194638597331599];
obs{68}	=[7.918321440188732];
sqrt_r{68}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{68}	=[9.086976818649022];
L_f{68}	=[0.2352156027000112,0.07858169983548854,0.05313679599241596,-0.4923312725347162,-0.4687433413621956,0.28984453796336285,0.18612700585673211,-0.19569946418210216,-0.40022595015028356,-0.49227198449649057,-0.1963701282256649,0.11114541561394746,-0.20977695380284495,0.3249800548444297,-0.06200526690021067,-0.3097302010423895,0.2178422041143983,-0.33831616784000873,-0.3466633285796479,0.22890355525339237,0.29967932923638846,-0.1969183232282761,0.045168317068552934,-0.03368916668155455,-0.1774565359137865,0.2333051299124021,-0.526292199253703,0.15892261439997937,0.18887184789157993,0.06809107058803267,0.266736819416108,-0.3356853292655325,0.11334797087904827,0.157878864586785,0.26448102452523825,0.11995918245790263,0.20326410074525178,0.10004213310696444,0.2558875322946398,-0.2692138468777329,0.03384425810156324,0.17453925798992356,-0.06095641480082777,0.06555448741044537,0.3027246454934974,0.010855020871548998,-0.6496650085807694,0.056720464380758596,-0.240965088695619,0.1441974204055154,0.04330323072356015,0.06033469553699348,0.09534955356604927,0.0616095852006998,0.058762092816964394,0.8164485636402223,0.18967713895257263,-0.20487451845498758,-0.22428314115014608,-0.34216358894345794,0.28872295706293316,-0.11267147842134806,0.23020587704670037,0.28460606994245674,0.08325233785191583,-0.2327527079893056,0.2961420072062666,-0.07293374515413854,0.1595611778141656,-0.016872986000033337,-0.28328565056134386,-0.3467195739258959,-0.6778112174963438,0.2788528326321965,-0.4491470552553295,-0.34536170887215323,-0.18015026247555124,-0.334397901719734,-0.3387848849727443,0.23108441638624527,-0.05296405625062802,0.13349339746050837,-0.3459878422192775,0.26407409311488506,0.3145590279411144,0.3288508527291126,-0.6943052100798545,0.2618103098145833,0.2695844708079344,0.026236768803348923,0.3073665593383502,0.30111754708302946,-0.25559462755811874,0.21796008373961304,0.09956610093861172,-0.16423007213862187,0.6580537554152087,-0.1672407133217602,0.22572692228026903,0.26934812559233245;0.2991639141370696,0.3341588929215146,0.022338580110200113,-0.38238516302528,-0.285573706984948,0.06364683600063123,0.06533777130120288,-0.1432497644646052,-0.1939652858410774,-0.38206497457722055,-0.059234556694320595,0.35871162504135545,-0.048779660867184015,0.05582083341362686,0.06746892421759561,-0.19754150958141797,0.06872137917984532,-0.23884960480022646,-0.25738175893428145,0.07021271119447618,0.06219900917211537,0.058686506217154016,0.021648362671136318,-0.025716115588533827,-0.12909876740599857,0.07101847229721059,-0.42436636428478125,0.0626276875260001,0.06773363127284626,0.03222546762313044,0.30366337039643837,-0.25435336961701793,0.04905101979885566,0.25355271769944926,0.06958136136888596,0.05211432583661975,0.06944588320625207,0.04575712196570375,0.06826807898561961,-0.1462926261574965,0.2958620173009311,0.06539247278353134,0.09966447662575091,0.027819415001573786,0.062070671707809805,0.1470772551931899,-0.5420556181693099,0.31497829076793227,-0.1807579552893471,0.05679583595014553,0.17481335965258035,0.3190281628649215,0.04073806017169597,0.026393249561403515,0.028658661186663364,-0.7055208632051201,0.2806544769068496,-0.15081511790649715,-0.1670971141348162,-0.2593302348897164,0.06578770592897039,-0.07901971214115,0.07128153932028003,0.3128270738130676,0.1894357692640408,-0.10229744256805987,0.06453820340145672,0.19353768406394903,0.2645367368911205,-0.015245157279977536,-0.21638404173803624,-0.2603095863466894,-0.6069228221893503,0.30589517085610324,-0.2568249853029812,-0.2658826594042846,0.07857204645878889,-0.25420762516162915,-0.25660875409850464,0.2974880836509542,-0.037868573466358954,0.05642952401878136,-0.26221932919405533,0.0681697854182412,0.32256140580958376,0.05517231455119647,-0.6136713981659817,0.0694487464191588,0.45151077834203884,0.009031818945748175,0.061258091118595696,0.31624743245437886,-0.19251993802439282,0.070164974171633,0.22824586281120857,-0.1183313333098359,0.054107320177683424,0.09363618439357511,0.0704392085543673,0.3093191407456388;0.1921655111705249,-0.17809959301661904,0.056344166080912306,-0.5040854359092082,-0.5914213662278742,0.4713113302755182,0.2719665458153273,-0.24645853936686354,-0.574251207754172,-0.5044262554148461,-0.32470131159486215,-0.13186316895141006,-0.3628524491825105,0.5448263356011017,-0.19299575587436524,-0.38955035823827683,0.329219167667283,-0.397142155910143,-0.3919405815533414,0.35014793779182546,0.4906104816037925,-0.4672611807100232,0.042283166758305325,-0.0632827749807471,-0.22784526023778096,0.3579595218660472,-0.5117377851704973,0.22280692293869706,0.2756170653607691,0.07617788612328336,0.253710549140849,-0.3773527748181169,0.14769440290647187,0.07246532281680154,0.4179731380434464,0.1573347321428024,0.30170244872943375,0.12612824313218576,0.40111842205394116,-0.3706692553792401,-0.23549398915418646,0.2493221899489774,-0.22389824352914298,0.07521915222956883,0.496870861775965,-0.12599760935857235,-0.5754622883730783,-0.2059897014689084,-0.28813638374007294,0.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k{68}	=[0.8899523989158066;0.4693583563340094;1.1633926542414148];
x_a_linear{68}	=[8.058777081554902,2.4993582417618083,32.8050694226965];
L_a{68}	=[-0.08835591334335352,-0.029518270817660324,-0.01996019859293586,0.184938323618692,0.1760778008527491,-0.10887661611460725,-0.06991637209249824,0.07351215098033811,0.15034006657432486,0.1849160527799051,0.07376407786543966,-0.04175043916207189,0.07880019071386152,-0.12207485062448695,0.023291533070846866,0.11634642638066563,-0.08182980503127958,0.12708440114175173,0.1302199117222943,-0.08598486860477807,-0.1125709372204128,0.0739700007276566,-0.01696693528389776,0.012654930445756045,0.0666594142966239,-0.087638267208789,0.1976953374553526,-0.059697369498622053,-0.07094743900382672,-0.025577592061379377,-0.10019647944813052,0.12609615825973827,-0.04257780256782969,-0.05930529742947322,-0.0993491172170105,-0.045061224716065315,-0.07635371576165077,-0.03757962457429572,-0.09612107517333744,0.10112694503475061,-0.012713188673140781,-0.06556357391664695,0.022897544389231864,-0.02462475508604918,-0.1137148736609704,-0.004077558089078481,0.24403885006548687,-0.02130636053940989,0.09051563863608642,-0.05416602740394743,-0.01626633802085751,-0.022664003022210822,-0.035816913484918604,-0.023142899997393277,-0.022073273716588966,-0.3066890874169772,-0.071249936909512,0.07695864981353631,0.08424926559447318,0.12852963862476535,-0.10845530773324004,0.042323686309027685,-0.08647407012965079,-0.10690884858050616,-0.03127273983714809,0.08743075655470932,-0.11124218472621888,0.027396684542496025,-0.05993723816821922,0.0063381343403649875,0.10641284891434742,0.13024103961041927,0.2546116350650439,-0.10474771415152302,0.1687166915673328,0.129730973927517,0.06767128029501013,0.12561255157988088,0.1272604690976488,-0.08680408287056833,0.019895310985646404,-0.050145189870645694,0.1299661733918587,-0.09919625832492533,-0.1181603171520096,-0.12352886931433085,0.2608074050848296,-0.09834589534384088,-0.10126616545841256,-0.00985552677708572,-0.11545855279073522,-0.11311118646394892,0.09601104903042482,-0.08187408509531827,-0.03740080881321198,0.06169105219078235,-0.2471899819625848,0.06282196335667378,-0.08479160461856672,-0.10117738521956277;0.128513219659886,0.277147276786395,-0.016212566303173394,-0.025195110127141825,0.05450312387492045,-0.14663756318928528,-0.06969877578925292,-0.001268326634220428,0.09640166072599592,-0.02491793559814767,0.08323345295987652,0.27807478741343095,0.10341510189870297,-0.17995464837345848,0.11245421318781365,0.027170088211063936,-0.08932478353995668,0.006601327587065215,-0.005874898450464597,-0.09585854523534107,-0.1552206052905754,0.20155223548191617,-0.011121592160238869,-0.0012743709739257338,-3.5271167845805874E-4,-0.09824615975790957,-0.04253740281442988,-0.052671868303527866,-0.06929431942391817,-0.017175117840420785,0.11014379536192222,-0.010811130465371164,-0.03318378829233452,0.13901041023455993,-0.1223016174521722,-0.034916966137087224,-0.0780237555264152,-0.026824200428354192,-0.11738025638363388,0.04902405098977515,0.2713077526909306,-0.06123707579917918,0.1438888154842036,-0.019740860227938598,-0.1575583426765399,0.13920185564898296,-0.07071875267561761,0.273827165899785,-0.0059359653420736035,-0.047820480533770686,0.1433965390367053,0.2752548860232967,-0.0284387603595847,-0.018304969350372624,-0.013973680516182476,-1.2978604562881397,0.14304228146935705,-0.0021771089747016715,-0.004378002998254939,-0.011087969462808366,-0.14368297785527764,0.002724295567795178,-0.09573456139669193,0.10634322269692972,0.12903557000771054,0.06656640321379144,-0.15031505723903632,0.24645166646353148,0.14877389848659472,-0.003003678629083315,-0.010858164845553037,-0.00876191943979424,-0.11516566976227602,0.1035853368171402,0.06903459213099404,-0.015320133839067648,0.209272421131247,-0.011599424408191013,-0.010817763894909477,0.12983459601450115,5.572489610144983E-4,-0.04042094305592338,-0.01120253916127932,-0.12341796159427926,0.09434645766823718,-0.18341146030666988,-0.10994772967123163,-0.12049660872858799,0.2559252107370221,-0.010003154779353879,-0.16173866678376211,0.09778438009249484,-0.007084107251472432,-0.08796671110567238,0.15600990534698678,8.188231542205361E-4,-0.42331564443808206,0.2149705837514984,-0.09332737668552879,0.11390504337778279;-0.23082421878043752,-0.31941356883689587,-0.03921207563642517,0.3812770554620484,0.25152279692775076,-0.04991796503295396,-0.0627468449639849,0.1054690647364657,0.1454776904573401,0.3808296178962534,0.028432351968035157,-0.33173668412714824,0.014390794974934512,-0.03958738551335954,-0.08149128593021981,0.16743945278063097,-0.06252786795684383,0.21125398290893815,0.23146631006694843,-0.061490796671443027,-0.04830478205435043,-0.11314169455094893,-0.03894330810073554,-0.002699330033525084,0.09127596872226663,-0.0615945925932844,0.4346968589697629,-0.06298463585462995,-0.06403239248956616,-0.046270723703153695,-0.2259639874020994,0.2263123100853717,-0.056139981557242015,-0.21144925397978956,-0.05764478805036132,-0.058388636590185526,-0.06382868991962277,-0.05377816775588374,-0.059045771735413574,0.11345973556659199,-0.29635633599870614,-0.064552879372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x_a{68}	=[8.058777081554906,2.4993582417618057,32.80506942269649];
std_x_a{68}	=[1.064564287836534,1.7841134982384548,2.072753476003414];
pred_a{68}	=[8.058777081554906];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.8 to 6.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{69}	=[3.860480944932262,1.3065619201537737,26.007520235692215];
std_x_f{69}	=[1.2564939283149208,2.0081713096146077,1.1485531289207989];
pred_f{69}	=[3.860480944932262];
obs{69}	=[3.4183096822055012];
sqrt_r{69}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{69}	=[2.586899234161158];
L_f{69}	=[0.09012348344852307,0.20885707827219238,-0.0043108290380878276,-0.04308769368289146,0.024494279281629425,-0.1025295954042629,-0.04528411780506717,0.001508048901332491,0.06310008372024471,-0.04189697326727103,0.06176089137162753,0.20779655454483267,0.07696052421680775,-0.12716877549615518,0.08622091117408837,0.01421949541196824,-0.05995018364329302,-0.0026530892974470062,-0.012695073999327166,-0.06494761940799906,-0.10893798564533898,0.15493518821152857,-8.450928188671748E-4,0.005817483291904296,0.0026435454891584236,-0.06620767813999628,-0.06026046868642482,-0.031964979886795496,-0.04512415194170634,-0.005419909677134584,0.07509016442409801,-0.015242977401974793,-0.017734328689108732,0.10105239644869927,-0.084003148599158,-0.018681398862272214,-0.05162728058843878,-0.013126630719188133,-0.08068242970830163,0.03310434195889855,0.20561596459527165,-0.03908943286376546,0.10964999470286618,-0.007389198011932994,-0.11057826196383488,0.10549695652176318,-0.09990311483006596,0.2071318770912535,-0.004964560864378889,-0.02870806987950948,0.10848012164394798,0.2082658013504867,-0.014032637764245851,-0.005976928813147762,-0.0031424109541427973,-0.8587564168624215,0.10337321676052959,-5.6559713687543395E-5,-0.0023121902980632533,-0.016619043452122083,-0.10057150273447518,0.00787511553509728,-0.06487413524569335,0.07089608862061203,0.09649857527240892,0.04829619974502074,-0.10527943448070208,0.18994235896018294,0.10836800047303838,0.005326944206313883,-0.011057786870519596,-0.015280625853141577,-0.14009967024422051,0.06967581902357002,0.037457836449015326,-0.01984755561934509,0.16104615441140735,-0.015927787977902563,-0.015752607230195635,0.09105877057569745,0.007290942105045046,-0.02293698868836277,-0.016620426635917323,-0.0852275229558644,0.06109595261537046,-0.1299050688894006,-0.13882498223983808,-0.08272453978003368,0.18218100877955104,4.181612318936066E-4,-0.11372124183590736,0.06424783701245329,-0.0068416982819154955,-0.059033037817965116,0.11592224377944839,0.003672135010534911,-0.3174433451213296,0.16546530347515848,-0.0627127536376096,0.07816010070269015;0.21793964423198733,0.3690000199971557,0.012315216062569639,-0.2288542433866744,-0.11121316978220108,-0.07977347850753187,-0.014710243629914159,-0.055773661682204496,-0.024061097888083027,-0.22814620136329025,0.040635683488708274,0.37762456623056717,0.06141684800769706,-0.11074343443263399,0.1235028938590185,-0.07431496215111252,-0.02986056957445726,-0.11145348586213946,-0.13021429127265383,-0.03522455214373177,-0.08709649539532935,0.19492859992007358,0.01568196202498304,0.003275836253075947,-0.0473312736544362,-0.036562554658895484,-0.2689619279734064,-0.001826651449212678,-0.013823249867847113,0.015339025816600694,0.20264754393966167,-0.1304697105051004,0.009364776855473251,0.2148737566371426,-0.05751521281369874,0.008947725247670877,-0.020651295980412328,0.012453433629958852,-0.05327871061459596,-0.029487111802212525,0.3510897549181903,-0.007985086855467768,0.1622457603683085,0.01120946182667133,-0.08990947205578448,0.17803607183671924,-0.3759572819820743,0.3596196044151309,-0.08136216547998268,4.932050636784299E-4,0.19228677296333022,0.3625255044973139,0.011016600579174904,0.012840217197021846,0.01576444505707948,-1.103741249841107,0.22694799566189536,-0.06083202414033418,-0.07150700035410676,-0.13431011195478754,-0.0769134202531088,-0.019208886355885375,-0.034764372597083225,0.20072911124384235,0.18554745347622312,0.0066732820674570694,-0.08311349988385971,0.2913375933532882,0.22681555301860484,0.0069709591611285485,-0.10583709136184502,-0.13324473667593723,-0.4507042603376716,0.19665446545532006,-0.08368587537196291,-0.14023222199769833,0.2095074967674497,-0.13064406815356794,-0.1321601696891468,0.2191160311921822,-9.327899460568411E-4,0.005775295435725795,-0.13649481093650728,-0.05871145393430335,0.19254697550913333,-0.11397984538799835,-0.4547135519199533,-0.055663430196269736,0.3801035460968791,0.012853032225595095,-0.09377513999709314,0.19394222878477618,-0.08947594798086905,-0.028314939277802122,0.22125783188220904,-0.04119038793363491,-0.33939022080438425,0.22125896873087855,-0.03249510897526625,0.20748545803577353;-0.09485980431247473,-0.045249744868181424,-0.043535069486010027,0.20894422826190057,0.16924282773852536,-0.10756382213485575,-0.08488586573613152,0.05584150841413495,0.12895822641360122,0.20897095142882752,0.05184183854731072,-0.05413671489549792,0.055001513830727614,-0.11236884532903899,-6.532778378850941E-4,0.10690566233165981,-0.09320179566638734,0.12327320456437506,0.1297054168720072,-0.09515166028358692,-0.10919443760402921,0.03841343092940573,-0.04094553246318656,-0.012522690862684035,0.04748568987851842,-0.09627509941043283,0.23344477959026175,-0.07736445853823115,-0.08481160536969756,-0.04823649205836793,-0.10375621178286597,0.1247193291236663,-0.06364734215749378,-0.07343624399398183,-0.10347530029003657,-0.0652594384613631,-0.08901841198051393,-0.05860678642370717,-0.10216066762786381,0.08529946876835938,-0.032788053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k{69}	=[0.6134368177953923;0.8876854667027119;-0.1472741879550973];
x_a_linear{69}	=[3.5892368126045877,0.9140529164376415,26.072640649347377];
L_a{69}	=[-0.11764032030242869,-0.2726260974965988,0.0056270273784891234,0.05624338842654176,-0.03197296364952301,0.1338343124600292,0.05911043292333266,-0.0019684919956053358,-0.08236603575359577,0.05468911282905838,-0.0806179562208303,-0.27124177072403005,-0.10045839744620352,0.1659964185736376,-0.1125462001597013,-0.01856104458898687,0.07825439648052118,0.003463140380285945,0.016571181166082142,0.0847776679027431,0.14219933622227365,-0.2022405755957271,0.0011031196985811728,-0.0075936989076165265,-0.0034506826209870795,0.08642245244901157,0.07865941890600167,0.041724646323631875,0.058901625688157856,0.007074736639452371,-0.09801697245156461,0.01989701990331121,0.023149039822977384,-0.13190608963026942,0.10965130207446953,0.024385272980603473,0.06739031373810962,0.017134502387260945,0.10531668895248783,-0.04321188265731396,-0.26839539494827397,0.0510243637570913,-0.14312873853098035,0.00964529540625643,0.14434042780139086,-0.1377076793002611,0.13040590507725072,-0.270374151480467,0.006480359035167844,0.037473324450657916,-0.14160167548261368,-0.2718542897080476,0.018317134869922605,0.007801826927885391,0.0041018635434611865,1.1209551170884837,-0.13493551142358085,7.382873563933266E-5,0.0030181568316730327,0.02169323155317579,0.13127836766027862,-0.010279575073200887,0.08468174728294427,-0.09254234583910607,-0.12596187885101381,-0.06304217491370645,0.13742374262133905,-0.24793626579955488,-0.14145532105917388,-0.006953386605632787,0.014433991447156297,0.01994616331948504,0.1828754221557429,-0.09094949899432851,-0.048894602262185054,0.025907485052035915,-0.21021736470332622,0.020790919388950193,0.020562251804404078,-0.11886117277067994,-0.009517039640770952,0.02994019530562654,0.021695037055787163,0.1112495069593848,-0.07974999589268518,0.16956816723342705,0.18121154167328335,0.10798230365954246,-0.23780519134158215,-5.458357730492801E-4,0.14844303396691788,-0.08386422534588671,0.008930631024230614,0.0770572242838069,-0.15131605400250447,-0.004793324917138105,0.4143663268328717,-0.21598578478021774,0.08186044461086127,-0.10202423308222933;-0.08270893724606351,-0.3277394080793341,0.026695981049708196,-0.08511530333203984,-0.19292517245412813,0.2622614300234621,0.13635588542572538,-0.060804456605307124,-0.234560625155842,-0.08837946023167792,-0.1653963480217659,-0.3155769942219231,-0.19532059211584712,0.3134868604722214,-0.16412685197788096,-0.12175066882110318,0.17013100844748702,-0.10260287885838737,-0.08786399761321428,0.18143828531243916,0.2763165641104631,-0.3219294128245977,0.018501160168326255,-0.016131071165036516,-0.05615004286947807,0.18430379175918077,-0.067935250613289,0.10480732997504838,0.13670923903026555,0.03341964247519235,-0.04785044563209677,-0.07961970606620943,0.06852583632441248,-0.12223327123991799,0.22271615973918552,0.07126817551273276,0.15157538768244405,0.05624338442080119,0.21587486749647009,-0.13992196262987744,-0.3348374387429268,0.12241580413966577,-0.20354253481362578,0.03585955096594672,0.2789754881080593,-0.17389784277540504,-0.042684214745896426,-0.3313646168277278,-0.0648005754878525,0.09626225610326886,-0.1695988693004661,-0.3322414458079063,0.057828957101385636,0.03277902893075351,0.02624741086835723,1.7610381471107526,-0.11790120226805445,-0.060643343043706645,-0.06379361970546502,-0.07886960246475536,0.2585893641183646,-0.04547997824011224,0.18165332443271978,-0.0357775977794927,-0.13636819669806136,-0.15444104006607173,0.2680947693073061,-0.34230303613471447,-0.13469605719829555,-0.010799528152044992,-0.06894872653507686,-0.08226913840728063,0.016663017454317544,-0.035781469677200736,-0.20864382154440264,-0.07402151625893129,-0.32773647143691365,-0.07750956115934182,-0.07961005913949935,-0.08465263327977868,-0.025255101042391957,0.0822922347357166,-0.08104968719689193,0.22560438583463252,-0.011266845095715395,0.3193786222828026,0.008401414202751617,0.2203025509954982,-0.22764550848884818,0.01145806194274165,0.2855946838670355,-0.020386160683880536,-0.06665229753316301,0.1686170744569844,-0.16545445242436393,-0.05344049345184657,0.7195889459839042,-0.3307271160286634,0.17671229957435067,-0.053253724531081875;-0.04497977657979081,0.0703449531811322,-0.0459209545377512,0.18509677725799412,0.18279950889541458,-0.16431017576539012,-0.10994895657035411,0.05667615792103834,0.16388179800078084,0.18578252030609252,0.08602421650845202,0.06087102234285118,0.09759632858230036,-0.1827520773764643,0.04706681992062328,0.11477562916332229,-0.12638201361052592,0.12180481738414,0.12267916112905657,-0.13109777480648158,-0.16948759913318756,0.12416434943638784,-0.041413260203269416,-0.00930292819005775,0.04894879491248154,-0.132918610018031,0.20009283030636338,-0.09505589724231508,-0.10978616099205944,-0.05123621238274416,-0.062196572268208516,0.11628290271796199,-0.07346263971352453,-0.01750746556195026,-0.14996794817078654,-0.07559890446599994,-0.11759220971865053,-0.06587189291156052,-0.1468154199454337,0.10362150240263725,0.08101280767102795,-0.10330188637133814,0.05831175884371605,-0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x_a{69}	=[3.5892368126045877,0.9140529164376427,26.072640649347395];
std_x_a{69}	=[1.6401313234796682,2.5322629731341273,1.1792074241634751];
pred_a{69}	=[3.5892368126045877];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.9 to 7.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{70}	=[2.2384660723102594,1.9006262474669087,20.698470110122777];
std_x_f{70}	=[2.1236294813324337,2.5044386460847434,1.9870357129968141];
pred_f{70}	=[2.2384660723102594];
obs{70}	=[2.121891331446414];
sqrt_r{70}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{70}	=[5.520124202677319];
L_f{70}	=[-0.10159738526686007,-0.3366779634898403,0.027850922846069714,-0.04325344972674264,-0.14821022613146023,0.2534531651247533,0.13089202722095816,-0.04113056112565314,-0.1951104854661687,-0.04628218262160133,-0.1453997058364292,-0.32778119169017444,-0.1742561437093502,0.3035403783610062,-0.15671787361637624,-0.09269126353793662,0.16349749248052853,-0.07092606308709953,-0.05594244413969379,0.17422283935781616,0.2672420805539043,-0.30184096557796264,0.02045182166185689,-0.009048586688041196,-0.038468229169645665,0.17733118102064765,-0.024606938826908797,0.10009285108644592,0.13090722080737546,0.03347111481442309,-0.06829928034004806,-0.04929600401252,0.06600556572129683,-0.13546044519619402,0.21518107907371192,0.06856457751618796,0.14515151888422964,0.05430208916366203,0.20818251868047227,-0.11343414534890855,-0.33888558493807386,0.11742731328290315,-0.19745597064566164,0.03677525283220174,0.2699276586534817,-0.17432273923741207,0.005457681178007391,-0.3375580423266609,-0.041536328244279996,0.09194560815019731,-0.17295690183953535,-0.3391577130884719,0.05620544696554695,0.033311009511115396,0.027310612740863546,1.2125449556258694,-0.13389870814603935,-0.04022108096185761,-0.041824492613992334,-0.047657051429020124,0.24944985004134954,-0.03187997809768956,0.17469312558123476,-0.05762793617475717,-0.14317944338646468,-0.13104219069787626,0.2590033538900041,-0.3344427237228196,-0.1486743022855586,-0.005136500713948104,-0.04243174418812446,-0.0507523069799962,0.059685685791326874,-0.05662640786304885,-0.16482893139630317,-0.04310220355580166,-0.3090683754835384,-0.046950584086010716,-0.04847803499910071,-0.103513044737946,-0.016926288028812075,0.07928217307726994,-0.049200223127014504,0.2171592375535556,-0.03444654608471866,0.309487107821711,0.05332016353838283,0.21177174445828517,-0.2549311970933679,0.0143930156460984,0.2761915336144177,-0.04245071326065102,-0.04248640059568053,0.16209180049025135,-0.17399191288772672,-0.03693952676902233,0.6708996631788964,-0.3131909105427308,0.16963690075564233,-0.07410676391862968;-0.10067044944128586,-0.4268210464095,0.05799362703846844,-0.10651968656776663,-0.2344653394907489,0.382265311186383,0.20982417658712427,-0.06274771716253907,-0.2862666563388596,-0.10937764222518676,-0.20077864435413395,-0.41323009562114427,-0.24005837886505144,0.4491275646131937,-0.20223659595458973,-0.14428553575421857,0.2572659575782483,-0.12010804092964485,-0.10203312176008678,0.2730285504650727,0.4005023426679184,-0.40434768702646323,0.046735304847070266,-0.0011743216339538934,-0.05731197120978447,0.27711573246822413,-0.08819774363605011,0.16734951939008352,0.21044822116935755,0.06713474610536846,-0.0525806338945599,-0.09134384037218224,0.11515699488453719,-0.1533552537410916,0.3300238699285894,0.11996268431793199,0.23159258282210707,0.09919070283345854,0.3201981755601715,-0.16757844543955397,-0.43301426926021647,0.19119515499756692,-0.25571596137645203,0.07138269823347529,0.40548665291038416,-0.2182590782756293,-0.07116688135036305,-0.4301467333821085,-0.06942685403362216,0.15399880922361553,-0.21418231502494103,-0.4311641503351454,0.1008737157991162,0.06665157573374814,0.05766568822462227,0.6144119470721294,-0.14853072205935575,-0.06285872717223728,-0.0675488866085746,-0.09090319309798829,0.3773216795117114,-0.04121391965660248,0.2731801090799512,-0.036493210321718386,-0.17026560046830444,-0.18545190627611116,0.38991588746722344,-0.4364085724286143,-0.1710898749175576,0.007163169720142604,-0.07569815563394662,-0.09455225654540293,-0.013211982509893288,-0.035893989838901526,-0.2540525099779841,-0.08514459626891455,-0.41174204710967444,-0.08861345779212972,-0.09095221622658509,-0.10354719870976352,-0.01360523902223343,0.13585127551618367,-0.09371316824927384,0.33263285307998597,-0.0020154560951898886,0.4569738671009393,-0.023681110284220767,0.3249044635265759,-0.3060393797022755,0.03693843080587479,0.4131653197020802,-0.014452275515129313,-0.0717379534726538,0.2556108775410148,-0.21102461638774897,-0.054025809779977105,0.8734257136563198,-0.41637152389600146,0.26645915457227537,-0.06072046104640649;-0.10154922226744155,-0.012819863067137498,-0.06481284089543941,0.0765544187170416,0.054480841646713546,-0.013470139509850963,-0.05965250216350697,-0.014669778040147132,0.03841391972800888,0.07688708992277077,-0.01356090938183237,-0.02182971042536857,-0.0072680619880828995,0.01591311748904733,-0.04201701407109371,0.014922172362246291,-0.051946823317035734,0.024436537286183644,0.028570175380238903,-0.04781148220476416,-0.006164480526558515,0.0184481604465052,-0.06425451176641124,-0.05149829055027479,-0.01945214304073193,-0.04693483388509359,0.09291123467012176,-0.06522777711493064,-0.0595036742642852,-0.06605861118730023,-0.10674715255542948,0.02561480195515306,-0.06750279050217227,-0.08684731698120225,-0.03266318339789544,-0.06786817249296423,-0.056394180389508955,-0.06761163373765956,-0.0352831976807921,0.0027533747454582705,-0.004800704498947077,-0.06259488496735485,-0.03620536706571404,-0.0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k{70}	=[0.8188446557932547;0.8969037420338002;0.45389906805337943];
x_a_linear{70}	=[2.1430094687534162,1.7960699261595052,20.645556943886113];
L_a{70}	=[0.05415063295678409,0.17944679164418098,-0.014844329867189922,0.023053759445830716,0.07899492230637774,-0.13508860764827818,-0.06976445411852092,0.02192227598152887,0.10399240351262111,0.02466805102314674,0.07749693638366827,0.17470487999991627,0.09287719810588117,-0.1617847110239741,0.08352943365301627,0.04940373787139783,-0.08714291889907166,0.03780305171448205,0.029816896875416807,-0.09285944714003667,-0.1424379946065627,0.16087893694706337,-0.010900665260231467,0.004822827824109477,0.02050327331546432,-0.09451616958467582,0.013115311079178167,-0.05334872769159908,-0.06977255218442295,-0.017839849403697552,0.036402996506179404,0.026274394882373847,-0.035180464074844035,0.0721993861231231,-0.11468987712192824,-0.03654439788153838,-0.0773646546274214,-0.028942600160077214,-0.11095969770751941,0.06045953597546872,0.18062343707100006,-0.0625878640870691,0.10524252925873832,-0.019600929815061674,-0.14386938729019327,0.09291269301539255,-0.002908902522335197,0.1799158669647781,0.02213854676693333,-0.04900630922589056,0.09218471207949738,0.18076847930363946,-0.029957075379538466,-0.017754514495805118,-0.014556348694121047,-0.646277231084554,0.07136699216381194,0.02143752997746782,0.022292136182394576,0.025400845631578035,-0.1329548711832859,0.016991785645899052,-0.09311010611715581,0.03071525129962368,0.07631355339915606,0.06984449010862784,-0.13804681601041766,0.17825542586369136,0.07924227136382234,0.0027377157799157842,0.022615796648821688,0.02705059327821375,-0.0318120161810341,0.030181444333423724,0.08785256570585837,0.02297314638805137,0.16473109140947448,0.025024303915599976,0.02583842362485221,0.05517166487228604,0.009021582671261833,-0.04225679472997116,0.02622334439951275,-0.11574422053333609,0.018359746845483072,-0.1649542725582016,-0.028419241276522338,-0.11287272772480632,0.1358763874363167,-0.007671367775321651,-0.14720798496183507,0.02262590702008005,0.022644928097987665,-0.0863936957688128,0.09273636508936212,0.019688486572883485,-0.3575844133803815,0.16692837121402332,-0.09041517677464887,0.039498341045217475;0.06992476586705569,0.13850501508568713,0.011228307567090937,-0.03389152247101654,0.01439889428241932,-0.04331549644432092,-0.009960550226985436,0.006315841043741357,0.041349208868582114,-0.03166384192871851,0.04336636053730737,0.13715712963602064,0.05254033592288385,-0.060556184287008576,0.06091308375446043,0.011355143569587658,-0.017267583406371516,-0.0010139621643757007,-0.008098486751336271,-0.019514241987797526,-0.048231846226739955,0.10248252692439434,0.012394037985841919,0.014019431534279588,0.0072811855972438,-0.020646369653195114,-0.0468794949800488,-7.193874726978916E-4,-0.009362017651181909,0.010932393816689093,0.062102735213915745,-0.008569442229281682,0.004325070753842955,0.07410044064818566,-0.03129313068555196,0.004833846767868315,-0.012135683917698035,0.0080104370398524,-0.029367332493436645,0.022892228567319234,0.13601867558921998,-0.005980566995264681,0.07583827830930068,0.00963226874703272,-0.04775697068007201,0.07445145905988866,-0.0803310374278143,0.13665709487116584,3.180399057128229E-4,-3.898177852314057E-4,0.07623480379045502,0.13832573304953677,0.006497464861124018,0.010718061059521647,0.011807619648421589,-1.4216086378347208,0.0763026128309406,0.004677695626435822,0.002679872762593759,-0.010880809370891021,-0.04153704175026766,0.012316707271594302,-0.020152355068995476,0.060271584891125135,0.07015129518392939,0.034584964533722874,-0.04498440850388274,0.12516423096530524,0.07855360303812522,0.01578802205197977,-0.004449741940343859,-0.00933253643247123,-0.11343200679154912,0.05918910916173653,0.02271669000425595,-0.012770394151879784,0.10722392747837615,-0.00977732455929905,-0.009551294375355814,0.07026465784450228,0.014816198626596335,0.002726201965281446,-0.01109959866256423,-0.03200573273929195,0.055824772081116664,-0.06269521350897876,-0.11321259532405757,-0.030687821129086794,0.12202323571566667,0.012770686757806083,-0.05059616411498143,0.056827989716811425,-3.977645666231594E-4,-0.016562323882615346,0.08113042050643385,0.008000456998417782,-0.25310202315179414,0.10951672289612047,-0.018383250895498898,0.06371442783677089;-0.015215532693088155,0.2732765823296567,-0.08847952209039436,0.11330959594842374,0.1804243944356844,-0.22884523820990818,-0.17087969188074176,0.020281447199695914,0.2042115732866399,0.11621597202718217,0.10999436750755379,0.25670658829295784,0.14080834546975923,-0.24202423719648605,0.09115602198697423,0.09368777003505421,-0.19088092801789233,0.08470687492537428,0.07610798940666302,-0.19585958885998953,-0.23325688810322218,0.2749414171832124,-0.08163371122067836,-0.04380913721074664,0.013236731253462907,-0.19762429399154266,0.11382129857065806,-0.1502829693485828,-0.17074377492770013,-0.09450112305417331,-0.048708957462698106,0.06750471768964035,-0.12359187198979214,0.028261944880742802,-0.21551608295065547,-0.12613180728564163,-0.1797385572126064,-0.11375553494909824,-0.21218898020027113,0.09914550399131963,0.28317169572000006,-0.1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x_a{70}	=[2.143009468753416,1.7960699261595054,20.645556943886124];
std_x_a{70}	=[1.131878347831354,1.547589745762697,1.7216454907071432];
pred_a{70}	=[2.143009468753416];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.0 to 7.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{71}	=[2.546691637868505,3.6702483007542437,16.516646678993908];
std_x_f{71}	=[1.4257008145303869,1.794926077021949,1.9285388366788276];
pred_f{71}	=[2.546691637868505];
obs{71}	=[2.6886611476313353];
sqrt_r{71}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{71}	=[3.0395718489726];
L_f{71}	=[0.08336088063348732,0.16617097434941497,0.006866589501673644,-0.01699360894528895,0.041447375141297614,-0.10284462859418222,-0.0382107372861706,0.016661757227605538,0.07015138639271262,-0.014356138003043353,0.06686472716676149,0.1648577644491807,0.07873223581446914,-0.13304150686073707,0.08401681770776814,0.030590986116648282,-0.05373433570933288,0.0161091932243407,0.0068514376175680255,-0.05920503417514541,-0.1114140157910373,0.1329472783964702,0.009199716952419593,0.01727788869162839,0.017241701733456686,-0.06087323695791763,-0.03128705262712889,-0.022546465098225082,-0.03782658117583914,0.005010016613010805,0.07044828406357032,0.006023113828098883,-0.008941304143292018,0.0926338531081692,-0.080893492824901,-0.009020993833389638,-0.0444901276727938,-0.0025425751761425507,-0.07733249375912378,0.04430459564992791,0.1632906467567124,-0.031484667609650095,0.10180547138597837,0.0030649968554289264,-0.11174745734364586,0.09792299811071338,-0.0652527414432642,0.164710588215453,0.012324015420654097,-0.019730259298993774,0.0993696512245537,0.16532549377629013,-0.004238659620424333,0.00459482515952963,0.00676983503105089,-1.140836481819448,0.09411321147546767,0.01581934321235566,0.014601573800647118,0.0038213748333250554,-0.0999913928081873,0.020613171519356793,-0.059463335025768047,0.06651371366529095,0.09034921164885205,0.05689501818613473,-0.10557466106626469,0.1539775936559064,0.0983290903919183,0.018017148480040258,0.008398509152048103,0.005225195760125417,-0.10418854002975529,0.065554300878767,0.05076871609838381,0.0011852328268035027,0.1370718538314299,0.004665217784403663,0.00561716794009323,0.08415001197635714,0.019582944951448782,-0.013349308075865792,0.0038256267357791567,-0.0824625099404101,0.05833821248492331,-0.1367574516208892,-0.10199345785042109,-0.07915230255406724,0.14841979095479524,0.011095438996273067,-0.11594102092172565,0.06069690656686621,0.012040932995556681,-0.05309077810988599,0.10376987994749906,0.017968656556876135,-0.40215297588940985,0.1392114588908787,-0.05704182654115355,0.0724205536882827;0.12643660374993598,0.17626513848299094,0.02598642663311532,-0.04944792913270899,0.021787464989983532,-0.11453661749038485,-0.02565464017987624,0.019573613291691123,0.057649998221305766,-0.0466782806556478,0.07395828790692381,0.17908221627449425,0.08401437984232574,-0.15881540392017435,0.10273752005158912,0.024479677661002664,-0.045854021095082395,0.004956454364502491,-0.006782317978948943,-0.05298206831319181,-0.12649331970199645,0.12977758262042793,0.028414804577502794,0.03237370616132397,0.020526109659655414,-0.05562176347924562,-0.07107420104704522,-0.00490246486301076,-0.025649657919005402,0.02426580640635027,0.11454434102170577,-0.007157453940042126,0.009740887135837052,0.13023156911112835,-0.08311692513089006,0.00989721267891023,-0.03370609657217643,0.01677248951425044,-0.07804829851260069,0.04314015019099132,0.1710050094975626,-0.017574665842727443,0.11936972174834712,0.02217353981202804,-0.12712317093813547,0.12287028882534565,-0.1257770149720689,0.17303884081379337,0.009501129480095218,-0.0024829770046627692,0.12745758202418953,0.17402649177921642,0.014519574208166224,0.024593994812636046,0.026420177540940896,-1.4417977244382398,0.13367135997469837,0.01659411241998048,0.013464793632067821,-0.010532858163338807,-0.11031582270425856,0.03044450433499171,-0.05386953583500732,0.11165191273971731,0.12247124807262603,0.06032515021397429,-0.11884541380912178,0.15410277317241353,0.1354308256823082,0.03537512458829163,6.933534601604609E-4,-0.008448052050434817,-0.18085496875013696,0.11025211816434054,0.032681152604862394,-0.013880746902365406,0.13371525781182286,-0.008567846343554826,-0.008073036100155384,0.1271692927055963,0.034513500600461634,0.004559541925114904,-0.010107992986860477,-0.08561720119155133,0.10406060030594903,-0.1642971793456041,-0.17885937841333938,-0.08064221081289458,0.18432901069131413,0.02997116329841728,-0.13329825956387503,0.10598233000057054,0.008445852317228233,-0.04479529671205386,0.13575926665844607,0.021662019900982838,-0.5782561930341386,0.1354538688209428,-0.050530158983646635,0.11670023964264475;0.012435733607702885,0.2845611784612497,-0.08232503792750974,0.06110576166527217,0.13827726068958768,-0.22623558690349838,-0.16281665394782022,0.00649545127367107,0.1706691431089962,0.06425348446578917,0.09812083709928811,0.2708310241254796,0.12816943325169625,-0.24359617302564548,0.0929377004991499,0.06696866827708363,-0.1832471236990707,0.05351689314091868,0.04327706386173383,-0.18859663349556455,-0.23193828531914856,0.26262448241489506,-0.07555316081487803,-0.04360433957600609,5.383638578432195E-4,-0.19063833612328293,0.0559557470978644,-0.14091424815989376,-0.162565185551935,-0.08763046595953812,-0.020436225484672225,0.03576636457994953,-0.1153946087901496,0.05061623908972291,-0.2107195582715513,-0.11727687663173209,-0.1716768446473197,-0.10534671686963103,-0.20688517949510993,0.07834846476480545,0.28977982431766863,-0.15381398770216215,0.13454109334364872,-0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k{71}	=[0.6710062963841411;0.8386684764633818;-0.16335797596136478];
x_a_linear{71}	=[2.641954072813934,3.78931365321129,16.493454827230824];
L_a{71}	=[-0.08175889979260702,-0.1629775973697667,-0.006734631384865341,0.016667035668460794,-0.04065086363162366,0.10086822043554326,0.037476425597244144,-0.016341561283762716,-0.06880325791676184,0.01408025010628493,-0.0655797597931224,-0.16168962397236478,-0.07721920557323397,0.13048479268721686,-0.08240223145032027,-0.030003106366697223,0.05270170054941571,-0.015799616133607964,-0.006719770680841534,0.058067266319150046,0.10927292614147466,-0.1303923750506821,-0.00902292215146137,-0.0169458522922464,-0.016910360753955613,0.05970341055267944,0.03068579627648351,0.022113180266749514,0.03709965197524523,-0.0049137370324024545,-0.06909444998114334,-0.005907365135405983,0.0087694753691574,-0.09085366968437997,0.0793389288055121,0.008847633629215096,0.04363514231757059,0.0024937134476227833,0.07584636294526752,-0.043453175741035716,-0.16015262223476268,0.030879613609394178,-0.09984903314519006,-0.0030060955314212697,0.10959995980857672,-0.09604117097953595,0.0639987522721729,-0.16154527608575744,-0.012087179671840394,0.01935109466994482,-0.09746002315660404,-0.1621483647497489,0.004157203529133903,-0.004506524486398158,-0.006639736285293243,1.1189125509232816,-0.09230459860439812,-0.01551533629029681,-0.014320969261712642,-0.003747937877977603,0.09806981647268828,-0.020217039597610686,0.05832060329450243,-0.06523549186463497,-0.0886129331336756,-0.05580164287168155,0.10354578873399876,-0.15101854196298867,-0.09643945921585596,-0.017670905416711485,-0.008237111495841816,-0.0051247809920236444,0.10218630536406342,-0.06429451651412209,-0.049793072488483706,-0.0011624557128131737,-0.1344376867977662,-0.004575564346815687,-0.005509220478986124,-0.08253286606904968,-0.01920661132371085,0.013092768850103808,-0.0037521080698473216,0.08087779346414976,-0.05721710270319082,0.13412932658574775,0.10003340699527329,0.07763119971494663,-0.1455675458764058,-0.010882213313457477,0.11371293392483625,-0.05953046877635935,-0.011809537359874537,0.05207051046500093,-0.1017756908473715,-0.017623345383077013,0.39442463427902746,-0.1365361741736416,0.055945629949259175,-0.0710288176771834;-0.07994112389606894,-0.2351267257384914,0.008986712531438163,-0.007376607764917369,-0.08082439603582624,0.14007730439443616,0.06894423009202054,-0.021676138019612906,-0.11602479509810362,-0.011136583923015711,-0.09157967603347736,-0.2290585153644978,-0.11090414544676812,0.1705573625365353,-0.10526412041587478,-0.05125486536718362,0.08717684441385067,-0.03492530631970884,-0.02374452034385564,0.09359268384174367,0.14933595695794302,-0.19936190107598478,0.005638933387100763,-0.010401410651278947,-0.022159418581651952,0.09508298222836069,0.006383603823288328,0.050916142115001846,0.06799815156143821,0.01186243642987538,-0.05986548611919624,-0.022068963220534674,0.03187700202883576,-0.099103389472286,0.11715225513308343,0.03223061648049732,0.07643875053136243,0.02306717934038748,0.11340486529665436,-0.06654537262286092,-0.23325598639646547,0.060372377273790676,-0.13267154373377849,0.014585483142537098,0.14953161175541568,-0.11955908189143535,0.0357701327955061,-0.23473752451273466,-0.021009612233053067,0.04636350888955001,-0.11855328855268846,-0.2352722040625136,0.025013284616218764,0.013218520271722009,0.009659999869721119,1.3825875141094834,-0.09932606733381855,-0.022570062432878624,-0.022684532024437418,-0.01999349063977226,0.13723430242749246,-0.020587820004840947,0.0933446954400554,-0.053017042041279015,-0.10120759088637146,-0.08053066222949111,0.14252728861768232,-0.22710176360332104,-0.1080039135187401,-0.009230188284059018,-0.02009895608890142,-0.021384144127262365,0.07708609394849701,-0.052041604622311825,-0.09300768590388776,-0.016815044808869216,-0.20563549643862927,-0.02011759291535607,-0.021979539324123686,-0.08116209872272542,-0.013968277050928516,0.03760861536828714,-0.019579151959175187,0.11853641724624799,-0.040368148959587735,0.17427520484343295,0.07364728785468314,0.11531627972751511,-0.1831159942339448,0.0025020258578773713,0.15373858861898285,-0.04428587202919099,-0.021364058176477987,0.08664230401879823,-0.12114531327062626,-0.022823240821777415,0.4173596965704924,-0.20919393635883385,0.09068910900968814,-0.06259236369208114;0.05263451157289478,0.36469313065956127,-0.07901379043757928,0.05291100283321918,0.15826425960182947,-0.2758299332965873,-0.18124286216899407,0.014530182603433446,0.20449796046458152,0.05733058250462376,0.13036474216187494,0.35032971246189215,0.16613615867682993,-0.30775223704281096,0.1334527883282464,0.08172043492463286,-0.20915921356510286,0.06128516378180566,0.046581004720299114,-0.21714683600232865,-0.2856650123997536,0.32673510702350045,-0.07111681877647127,-0.035272493679657894,0.008852759464730329,-0.21999298926391694,0.04086831913182618,-0.15178673819953759,-0.1808061437365714,-0.08521450605247062,0.013535763625560186,0.0386708662310221,-0.11970633747204518,0.09528668480547489,-0.24972849786270465,-0.12162703374833186,-0.1931311377206492,-0.10657281254171196,-0.2441769130096044,0.09971328948636166,0.36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x_a{71}	=[2.641954072813933,3.7893136532112868,16.49345482723084];
std_x_a{71}	=[1.3983025268401803,1.763539824318467,1.9266667619933826];
pred_a{71}	=[2.641954072813933];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.1 to 7.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{72}	=[4.635115088662595,7.591541016667108,14.70013118049183];
std_x_f{72}	=[1.8102372153614554,2.605751605698743,2.4693063893928624];
pred_f{72}	=[4.635115088662595];
obs{72}	=[4.925056272278777];
sqrt_r{72}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{72}	=[4.290405995913863];
L_f{72}	=[-0.115962149144739,-0.29917568874614625,0.01387881843960234,0.004081745814188952,-0.09771900017915625,0.21362818656701438,0.10095290372398796,-0.024856314218001534,-0.1453887759608342,-0.001299340550631969,-0.11964487715846922,-0.2936941993878751,-0.14410198882098949,0.2608626287074093,-0.1409911230025425,-0.06142314432660071,0.1298048893903524,-0.03893086864579102,-0.023271368967124836,0.13914263412018463,0.22727844885245727,-0.25185338427994897,0.00868239436072389,-0.011873945199610127,-0.025060854887588097,0.1415957666072171,0.02451844299178812,0.07366734579042593,0.10028110136950191,0.01784562828154994,-0.08922284404835618,-0.02100829020326171,0.045887291808394876,-0.1394858798507546,0.1763368862519118,0.046726204711779885,0.1129240129620464,0.033985521671238104,0.17048053474301822,-0.08412860000771694,-0.2961480851108051,0.08897949701539436,-0.17583196129573647,0.02148895418193385,0.22747691327353126,-0.16109355206320575,0.06868942053232342,-0.29750526312043235,-0.02212194759138463,0.06749553894265947,-0.16171316080132497,-0.2990836137295309,0.03672221554727525,0.019311582169540948,0.014071795599069419,0.9791355998248522,-0.1403032923114004,-0.024924417811187934,-0.023507812556851325,-0.017336025686660664,0.20849288279144246,-0.024803266378558238,0.13945821008439502,-0.08039051139232344,-0.1406667981097279,-0.10431057331941632,0.21727021236300678,-0.2856595203859913,-0.15056293381152525,-0.011494005179255808,-0.01909984476971266,-0.01987335137848855,0.12888608782661662,-0.07883204650340546,-0.11391200112874679,-0.013360017877607645,-0.25913690257167865,-0.01780629741385943,-0.02015868521127501,-0.11741240792813495,-0.01727654334161325,0.05538197880781688,-0.01733599011873507,0.1794961912214683,-0.06313034222992263,0.2679552703866165,0.12357474315234385,0.17414030103671554,-0.24596926161184457,0.004510797239088554,0.23490401677929956,-0.06868962503002406,-0.022393816310436757,0.12859165387486504,-0.16652039821955997,-0.02606861782034175,0.6265272020628728,-0.2635007473007389,0.1352384133123909,-0.0933345901827455;-0.17515395585474963,-0.5008889556647415,0.047151706430281465,0.002141814677552665,-0.17030767110145678,0.3938855446231631,0.20405870424616657,-0.03157267323954911,-0.24954701902444526,-0.007080811502622681,-0.19660583579673574,-0.49094893447610866,-0.23977211813685656,0.4717464979757046,-0.2288759689064444,-0.10184335377655077,0.25276005146261094,-0.06337967761598612,-0.036457601192848466,0.2685789731299719,0.4160744992751704,-0.4267527848105787,0.038080508219906696,-0.00134242881643581,-0.030614943723597975,0.2732769331422619,0.03465736848900087,0.1550027905692346,0.2016541610316427,0.05545556300117376,-0.1274164444467651,-0.031039399394398627,0.10523945165787292,-0.21909227067465747,0.33199092976461453,0.1068653551883326,0.22420008368381006,0.0838623911310254,0.3220994665779342,-0.1379001971333023,-0.4965883872592253,0.18165476524520222,-0.29035054790783904,0.06121835051815643,0.4178668502433236,-0.2624322421801009,0.10087836600382778,-0.4996911152613403,-0.02839214335632566,0.14352316950275248,-0.26158508263747343,-0.5011205602020503,0.0881529637956461,0.05688895499160062,0.048655640409736224,0.21928743737975423,-0.21964628554942175,-0.03120336818368504,-0.031244025815012247,-0.025369355484787404,0.3860985244005699,-0.027364663321833942,0.26928359666600105,-0.11079701286297965,-0.22309490349656044,-0.1705841044716013,0.4002148024052923,-0.4820436985507667,-0.23868393683345893,4.38364838441346E-4,-0.025877577253058573,-0.030735013834040616,0.19585194575730236,-0.10847586716888,-0.19660490490443566,-0.01867153544254636,-0.439188059179342,-0.02580494523835828,-0.030190118468057418,-0.17733337326169984,-0.01114363272668107,0.12141802045747162,-0.02621044928512121,0.3359837051059597,-0.07960930707519423,0.4825015074952585,0.18647112232652788,0.3274362884102064,-0.4033104480829248,0.03001092314970518,0.4287053087468156,-0.08964114353915978,-0.029881838276505826,0.2506460691076414,-0.2679877926475408,-0.03127358868667428,0.9558194680673436,-0.4463197324729126,0.26157913470792143,-0.1343242678034818;-0.06643940004134477,0.0949873297558528,-0.07928535019299231,0.014771649937918687,0.025806878942417552,-0.042393251126630206,-0.08271257355373572,-0.03646097067903285,0.03392412190724154,0.013861058980382627,-0.008734017435532811,0.08531172431149174,0.005340010386918484,-0.012566034318531266,-0.01882263656041843,-0.010995050091689586,-0.07803694568965833,-0.010841189652888553,-0.010975467267374202,-0.07510302854971214,-0.03514814453839334,0.08067328353837425,-0.07733395741802158,-0.06561984631841915,-0.041094249807998126,-0.07431892723248429,0.021528692475869207,-0.0858045812343298,-0.08405835038451469,-0.08105283165654663,-0.08054192441811614,-0.014938090305002585,-0.08468467261876769,-0.04675610534562489,-0.06252741675555464,-0.08538309508509016,-0.08167475773283724,-0.08460456388021384,-0.06460917038879503,-0.01165519874005006,0.09866696765696432,-0.08556982007639394,0.002590839795759202,-0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k{72}	=[0.7669218248920057;0.9725687185961729;0.5238301347645529];
x_a_linear{72}	=[4.8574773103128654,7.873528742084956,14.852011109779289];
L_a{72}	=[0.07662315311486291,0.19768333698634807,-0.00917056848458133,-0.0026970544854787114,0.0645688094622425,-0.14115696690429522,-0.06670564366462592,0.016424058921328515,0.09606709192432146,8.585523008475553E-4,0.07905655258665298,0.19406138791508615,0.0952168344155591,-0.1723675982966233,0.09316129862491784,0.04058595867052345,-0.08576988257091173,0.025723961923280646,0.01537679045026025,-0.09193989105608066,-0.1501765146176622,0.16641464968101166,-0.005736979155801894,0.007845828382945964,0.016559211220242866,-0.09356082295111047,-0.01620080711985527,-0.04867643759361491,-0.066261743520912,-0.011791677873625868,0.058954889084779416,0.013881438458999315,-0.03032048829892313,0.09216669411521212,-0.1165163661999223,-0.030874808413893506,-0.07461567416050441,-0.02245627430941694,-0.11264672320287569,0.05558881624110367,0.19568281751829,-0.05879409509204833,0.11618273197087535,-0.014199042003830363,-0.1503076519744285,0.10644418024841477,-0.045387223552144876,0.19657958650026194,0.014617298747869227,-0.04459835431748052,0.10685359293662716,0.1976224974956329,-0.024264572236272073,-0.012760321608217889,-0.009298080078205182,-0.6469736680367191,0.092706807596999,0.016469059053586192,0.01553302292363413,0.011454952847883214,-0.1377637634289452,0.016389007029361632,-0.0921484110395703,0.053118836696513586,0.09294699769910386,0.06892425752627918,-0.1435634719774835,0.18875239317903897,0.09948596861950183,0.007594779203806302,0.01262041399761519,0.01313151624741587,-0.08516277522235424,0.05208906539019992,0.07526849725089292,0.00882776580982047,0.1712273074438952,0.011765689608321948,0.013320053439246998,0.07758142615167629,0.011415649291802235,-0.03659419796280988,0.011454929346019833,-0.11860390864548966,0.04171400680785448,-0.1770541324233439,-0.08165325095754748,-0.11506495048785435,0.16252665661197963,-0.002980554517745099,-0.15521518510760726,0.04538735867605154,0.01479693873074926,-0.08496822503564536,0.11003002327595422,0.017225100685636135,-0.41398413265323863,0.174110761616747,-0.08936013799910301,0.061671766582725066;0.0690722932358311,0.12920074878152488,0.017921722385378983,-0.006454692693971876,0.03549693889114619,-0.0560337703436866,-0.00855678445556796,0.020776860056029776,0.056654234355794246,-0.004344288668985961,0.05537655489563169,0.12759628243457755,0.06371905097140208,-0.07765261032816041,0.0680634495153456,0.02751906539965215,-0.020620197896640553,0.018612076532449277,0.012553901232395078,-0.024467368890996842,-0.06259344083931648,0.1036720806917624,0.019794639740545378,0.02366511993456489,0.02216536979542515,-0.024935916659468805,-0.016980578975663626,-1.4696886130421586E-4,-0.00954645419304376,0.01787113661711461,0.06049453077952018,0.013205864719712981,0.00859687266167585,0.07467697634515548,-0.0393897028232097,0.008455953541654142,-0.01362758958183271,0.012285962594906946,-0.03694718657848259,0.03928186246686376,0.12712492381173737,-0.005743700222287727,0.07996666934120064,0.015960766768285443,-0.061219072993192736,0.07684461896161796,-0.043787455150246464,0.12688052930106028,0.018198578898043324,0.0013717655499155212,0.07899672774096352,0.12877522634851615,0.01081282283109091,0.0162171037706928,0.019019229887191215,-1.8428562591621829,0.07584450234123387,0.021289597130325553,0.01826544712445796,0.011141804051471917,-0.05300539961070911,0.024873146666224775,-0.024427375448586326,0.0585123109519412,0.07316145883629879,0.0491029248752915,-0.05737493179582199,0.11957979407531898,0.07841453752273511,0.02464572726368927,0.014348336812202675,0.011119971605814634,-0.07559322856906368,0.05755119569307452,0.04330355632416517,0.009465810045580537,0.10657652161536986,0.011696646959197931,0.012265804538357692,0.06994724542699308,0.025242251880429934,0.004778814895966036,0.010300635342031388,-0.0420506951822625,0.053348617560839494,-0.08183531355567009,-0.07378790378689169,-0.039318146992831204,0.11472194954072638,0.02051079661500538,-0.06602273257908921,0.05502510830464146,0.017281462858031407,-0.020179002019780033,0.08271847275180134,0.023629160151581168,-0.3637006481219988,0.10863548024482325,-0.023244582857210812,0.06224639804617432;0.06510201860393239,0.4343566395875122,-0.09502875853899347,0.010141530205680217,0.136654220139246,-0.2847219327774751,-0.19722828639757578,-0.008265263212041617,0.1988455724498488,0.015334963186143252,0.12698489594387694,0.41846311828186405,0.1688017966587435,-0.30847500551981,0.14111034564911865,0.05868016377736286,-0.22528084745788388,0.03331995886436108,0.015422360906131824,-0.23293918130473557,-0.2929609723451178,0.3663626373761364,-0.08718281309955854,-0.052150661692291954,-0.012666522065024666,-0.23493778563628204,-0.006283751480198116,-0.1693689791398031,-0.19781200564827325,-0.10129598235774105,0.020667820039432426,0.008892619258680243,-0.13673682503905504,0.11146940747797435,-0.2625547907577014,-0.1383868665831974,-0.20976987302433603,-0.12315596851531273,-0.2579934044418554,0.08377590076331973,0.43460192170765904,-0.18650352434173328,0.20204545324168519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x_a{72}	=[4.857477310312869,7.873528742084956,14.852011109779298];
std_x_a{72}	=[1.1961323962160881,1.9582073622913616,2.2875308201649394];
pred_a{72}	=[4.857477310312869];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.2 to 7.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{73}	=[9.185111368169098,14.697909543156422,18.715851386328875];
std_x_f{73}	=[1.8205827633511513,2.7088678948954423,2.5130944821114105];
pred_f{73}	=[9.185111368169098];
obs{73}	=[9.683967518076829];
sqrt_r{73}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{73}	=[4.321325906264807];
L_f{73}	=[0.0824882297876116,0.09657743740940514,0.029450473553943025,-0.0035074480118145444,0.03798575913667414,-0.07906309830102352,-0.006668881399384295,0.03051746818294655,0.05546282284579775,-0.001349968945421994,0.06150029505076171,0.09761514340439566,0.06664745158421166,-0.1136190611456825,0.07436051206043313,0.03559793818935209,-0.023248173691995055,0.0261715286237233,0.019594302623707305,-0.029317583315222263,-0.08825114605958828,0.08327489859319426,0.03177603736506489,0.036226075839294554,0.03212048992051186,-0.03040119054708913,-0.01572502944272715,0.0064477082242848476,-0.007090834351821182,0.028974505895432212,0.07609228822791039,0.020735536470015272,0.018000986880712853,0.08452580977553659,-0.05184619463702222,0.017587685853340525,-0.01353204575339785,0.023110640307181952,-0.04836591796597852,0.04728543768500841,0.0936503160863001,-0.0015185351533908678,0.0795540931362231,0.02741457821004902,-0.08768887027131078,0.08095566052619563,-0.04825174145000096,0.09426314537727233,0.026920492187231443,0.008297692077428398,0.08341939715270486,0.0958683562275344,0.021004205317178615,0.028045404595434746,0.030630626310117964,-1.6424296852094251,0.08588356800201735,0.0311654364716883,0.028101206755570197,0.018600769307482636,-0.07400827933748626,0.03638296518471493,-0.028645608403815238,0.0746680492089728,0.08143938628141931,0.05581118411183569,-0.08090614650978911,0.0891538265636368,0.0867771379426973,0.03682396211696343,0.022854467214389364,0.017974392897084034,-0.0896461121853743,0.0741528655115644,0.04536207414075101,0.016738652969074813,0.08348465359647485,0.018930529103220486,0.01964500472691615,0.08306551146480934,0.037517043112165596,0.01349600922389881,0.016889242584487086,-0.05492628500956943,0.07052502438206125,-0.12035424250001452,-0.08725605863557212,-0.050990518034171484,0.1040160642597974,0.032780020685093586,-0.09407109183998537,0.0714009489511073,0.026225362586303317,-0.023137184930772145,0.08724032043895044,0.03396141695294199,-0.5301913667813993,0.08446605851194747,-0.027042189237596496,0.0773659031036998;0.07718873648027977,-0.07959969684136524,0.08302637377432677,0.0011606690558149339,-0.002302394424190224,0.012437044669756132,0.07837065905350508,0.049400556856185024,-0.010277400763126714,0.002629714024460032,0.02692894742583691,-0.07095838847528967,0.014121256705182484,-0.02904984417939215,0.03437803314620778,0.027730402952264817,0.06704401361432259,0.02736818242205645,0.02690940814180032,0.06213867667963614,0.0017846908573268799,-0.059144181968795645,0.08295700319164458,0.07385347525626665,0.053653050986973164,0.060706672483798345,-0.006834525149148499,0.08430914393056962,0.07761332807490656,0.08546250564535839,0.08891964676986416,0.030286033816681428,0.08597379938414562,0.05806250394011368,0.0422786243329289,0.08605442169931757,0.0733365588445796,0.0868608492579242,0.0450142590820229,0.029828289345178137,-0.08199956608695351,0.08085716565536283,0.013236315017917602,0.08499784539996423,0.002970603119478758,0.03003113984264787,-0.04017292421122238,-0.08133199533542032,0.04410785938124276,0.08370269234265945,0.034271923276325486,-0.08173063921975653,0.08360072002142306,0.08397975895397429,0.08547166458348941,-2.544701978521864,0.060509779292495354,0.05065091251429714,0.04583707406318995,0.02879531580257114,0.018140441289305392,0.062358484104424274,0.06186450640173508,0.09387437604557558,0.050527847645888704,0.02953200565894421,0.010399728553393606,-0.08127748705444555,0.05270991268116523,0.07600473384039766,0.0378411041718543,0.02698499773791102,-0.07956063859693474,0.09369105101176801,-0.002784737063759994,0.029798535465553277,-0.06530605503484987,0.03023417225078499,0.030224014038549973,0.0764772993878036,0.07218921560311449,0.08501699852293715,0.02737680542405753,0.037024823635450316,0.10174925618816441,-0.037725936416001436,-0.07903884103922795,0.041582703854821636,-0.008113441551713244,0.08183895231525502,-0.005323162527082108,0.09855928635277103,0.04253483949444645,0.06680697677391356,0.03720951547188914,0.056710279039286805,-0.7166209274783474,-0.06748354156109185,0.06367295391298088,0.08759418545760377;0.15886773638316098,0.48444493841462044,-0.05845622761826218,-0.02638752517264208,0.14220002261985865,-0.37253062638310946,-0.197769146060161,0.01275104175411392,0.22117122168479608,-0.018432575104583546,0.17273433229745297,0.4736827924580751,0.2155739845140291,-0.43975113937635185,0.20609892655487458,0.0748595835708147,-0.245646823703811,0.038342226715489945,0.013995575589921911,-0.26020267695656085,-0.3927213741726034,0.4042205770741033,-0.04816735986469179,-0.013945537131880804,0.011940499703751004,-0.26356546943413106,-0.05884325055398984,-0.15525553649965793,-0.19835248492391974,-0.06434341370653707,0.11149583767659219,0.010287594907151748,-0.11065892128681416,0.1999266353030028,-0.317005678421936,-0.11218738144328114,-0.2182647409426241,-0.09151644214396171,-0.3085591552850912,0.11338226361077892,0.48005361525909124,-0.1810271003597341,0.26586633743607746,-0.069915934314172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k{73}	=[0.768589543651346;1.0742006474206003;0.11236657140513816];
x_a_linear{73}	=[9.568526988774348,15.233781142357055,18.771906141518375];
L_a{73}	=[-0.0541407072279002,-0.06338808308853458,-0.019329660371090983,0.002302094691735707,-0.024931749287667344,0.05189264054602482,0.004377084540561708,-0.020029976573431356,-0.036402726321788745,8.860448772998936E-4,-0.040365388823907736,-0.06406917585302131,-0.04374369740988665,0.07457326143179263,-0.048806123287486465,-0.023364515815031586,0.015258814120299136,-0.017177542451473737,-0.012860615440729774,0.019242438575611368,0.05792316641587612,-0.05465703307945592,-0.020856031706273596,-0.023776790592801904,-0.0210821112937053,0.019953658370745773,0.010321038739719344,-0.004231918713260567,0.0046540310979148805,-0.01901726155109303,-0.049942765287309336,-0.013609658155194791,-0.011814851197938014,-0.055478061925215774,0.03402897179332289,-0.011543583285199952,0.008881685656434072,-0.015168544820783274,0.03174471086537935,-0.031035543427695905,-0.06146688270658221,9.966824038616828E-4,-0.052214902372850314,-0.017993411380850807,0.057554119717785464,-0.053134813612503086,0.031669771721458316,-0.06186910992504283,-0.017669120669610676,-0.005446145693610031,-0.05475187393402935,-0.06292268145769479,-0.013785997512130726,-0.01840745089570936,-0.020104247303321162,1.0779999153611501,-0.05636921925536373,-0.02045526708462375,-0.018444076344241295,-0.012208515177051108,0.048574937228842034,-0.023879764073254293,0.01880139144638267,-0.04900797364557577,-0.05345230441767111,-0.0366313713704541,0.05310231535338369,-0.05851563592353628,-0.05695570909361802,-0.024169210044621883,-0.015000406985212586,-0.011797396379409679,0.05883874495118335,-0.048669835588767196,-0.029773154080626845,-0.010986325105066195,-0.05479470465092058,-0.012424951250446587,-0.012893893494250058,-0.0545196029607059,-0.024624110038755337,-0.00885803327356517,-0.011085163791513829,0.03605057259049011,-0.04628872151991759,0.07899386159221043,0.057270046121883474,0.03346735304412693,-0.0682703859276412,-0.021514990773904424,0.06174305661584814,-0.046863629913133885,-0.01721287608409594,0.015185967242115002,-0.05725971644093656,-0.022290393878352223,0.34798826011396833,-0.05543884450381146,0.017748995875943446,-0.050778695580500896;-0.11376740364778432,-0.3031716503024046,0.014849995528795488,0.009280236365726497,-0.09023753333128096,0.19546417614053727,0.09380878706615813,-0.02124586076849886,-0.1386710709692822,0.005754824840564087,-0.11544116998204461,-0.2969325795877088,-0.1401642715048612,0.23397261874916161,-0.13776284558967297,-0.05467704948862871,0.12086237684845419,-0.033217601757154026,-0.01845042570550439,0.13000742064677337,0.20608169488817266,-0.2519214211683279,0.009397060646857138,-0.010008084533165701,-0.02070428205358284,0.13108391317761917,0.02956813415769877,0.06938302079334709,0.09402825613915983,0.01838796880349072,-0.08723020746905122,-0.017715699497196886,0.04430241205910093,-0.13761053229177278,0.16229998051556577,0.04533980565062557,0.10466257022533676,0.03336086895394268,0.15697894825420974,-0.07963514183578052,-0.29879537959462604,0.08437249884031427,-0.17092744502149612,0.021534463391297155,0.2059659667284925,-0.15737717883995211,0.07152745201788806,-0.2995464781036985,-0.01821173811354414,0.06449394880243962,-0.1588398228855848,-0.30366110509067823,0.03497703171882612,0.019056045308244004,0.014563291535051188,1.257440871759626,-0.13830639955287022,-0.021495519399238508,-0.01921581880165707,-0.014264537942804046,0.18946591882947697,-0.02186626669911801,0.12817766194521996,-0.07897843585922308,-0.13800027204754473,-0.09966810351315859,0.19769342475616128,-0.28766415145581675,-0.14817483603466608,-0.009240902878715049,-0.01506584819189512,-0.01462482584067598,0.12796564247956219,-0.07796913631413857,-0.1077956775145856,-0.008950611778211767,-0.25856886661121853,-0.013589058984029167,-0.015253192650311286,-0.11581521904693791,-0.014660869071551095,0.05377440991164022,-0.011720949272874254,0.16417643549579558,-0.06151265976167467,0.24088813561602368,0.12295458520761948,0.15962321135517996,-0.24890544537462309,0.005954838430637912,0.2124467258757613,-0.06673035131177872,-0.018175567624649686,0.12036840655832393,-0.16474747763428862,-0.021908708315774416,0.5107456579178651,-0.2630182565962194,0.1262742740130716,-0.09150402373227381;0.13889280264385206,0.46105823320913575,-0.06558780577609373,-0.025538179250073307,0.13300158274854487,-0.3533851052117413,-0.1961542433714869,0.00536108555775276,0.20774062420207207,-0.018105673432619786,0.1578417309923945,0.4500448016019683,0.19943497373981123,-0.41223772050736796,0.1880921599525036,0.06623936637838412,-0.24001716320250996,0.03200466132632674,0.009250718080137848,-0.2531032788287786,-0.3713509216911132,0.3840551475839846,-0.05586208482726273,-0.02271786096993917,0.004162363847418918,-0.25620367044368353,-0.055035356725065133,-0.15681688100762126,-0.19663540423618056,-0.0713597339364734,0.09306971289080852,0.005266381964359784,-0.11501794949132566,0.1794582914692819,-0.3044508653876842,-0.11644632675527068,-0.21498788898474624,-0.0971127982543742,-0.2968471084985514,0.1019318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x_a{73}	=[9.56852698877435,15.23378114235705,18.77190614151838];
std_x_a{73}	=[1.1949297327454602,1.9073760246818894,2.5062289036348155];
pred_a{73}	=[9.56852698877435];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.3 to 7.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{74}	=[14.288916843387524,15.87865023557749,33.0551936062614];
std_x_f{74}	=[1.4250251350951963,2.5512183982581136,2.424688287092127];
pred_f{74}	=[14.288916843387524];
obs{74}	=[14.621910855390237];
sqrt_r{74}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{74}	=[3.0411024265101845];
L_f{74}	=[-0.10200877833353501,-0.28631943887602573,0.027630096373003423,0.01927199916033676,-0.08058579136721407,0.21388505234706048,0.10826548996292955,-0.009675193865541172,-0.1281829215800715,0.015439625238340443,-0.10421768141897254,-0.28008792437432173,-0.12873449363173736,0.25444865407993783,-0.12567532597835326,-0.04420609245469192,0.13752297398431323,-0.02211490908856773,-0.007516451597312348,0.14622626906611477,0.2250794677461473,-0.23748637896673475,0.022021929694075352,0.002681688920792213,-0.00985689698738429,0.1481645910676615,0.03976532632361303,0.0839330284238572,0.10947280936654902,0.031219325153021192,-0.07515001598932196,-0.006837299433901861,0.057907242809119644,-0.12531003156547724,0.18013273977256652,0.05873443590445707,0.1208901657408848,0.04655015041853522,0.17507578825042686,-0.06869834513253595,-0.28288489278835277,0.09937344934118865,-0.15950703265866642,0.03443471256537143,0.22560718382382783,-0.14546459520013363,0.08167716145882276,-0.28276634559087793,-0.007217016975106733,0.07865082090151201,-0.14657572213113915,-0.2866048208356329,0.048513755994655954,0.0322331551983998,0.02733347005371743,-0.03539487809457002,-0.1259263084240897,-0.009551352504672997,-0.007844247778231382,-0.002716467502358034,0.20926286275519534,-0.010096002424813183,0.14537856355652418,-0.06668054676050646,-0.126003991143436,-0.08923829111392843,0.217158065183692,-0.2718636410551261,-0.13554451532467196,0.0028992434539567738,-0.0038464900921520717,-0.003663715955275791,0.13746404300051773,-0.06538112675622379,-0.0973949913764307,0.002092555474756834,-0.24389882644525926,-0.002506734304949908,-0.0045155371259256736,-0.1037508716195891,-0.0026270178198403936,0.06783917999664778,-0.0012755023069586024,0.1827682274657751,-0.04892813086945516,0.2614530495712959,0.1316138298774567,0.17878283801173853,-0.2329999132047007,0.018367367744840327,0.23188488525098144,-0.05463083137250828,-0.007037550509334303,0.13561420382075007,-0.15218907231631315,-0.011279182936306427,0.48145537830154106,-0.24857291685125918,0.14258412196576362,-0.07971792376220291;-0.06883387778289522,-0.3412970517048105,0.07912031833962234,0.039968408043637826,-0.07155210734506424,0.23705472657867094,0.16255620933601103,0.02630202907428824,-0.12950908937986974,0.035041542773679914,-0.0878440798589895,-0.3311359339247672,-0.11970293727992161,0.2559517044157138,-0.11006849218610543,-0.019625183808889828,0.18645177256191292,0.004558552486254566,0.019717412370792588,0.19336428949827364,0.2441769528477739,-0.2749125575895465,0.07298177494704523,0.04863551521742273,0.02756857755321111,0.19542188681202066,0.058047358901672404,0.13880878053737897,0.16289906903236823,0.08368994202800577,-0.03316875227321771,0.02397258911848699,0.11259304010040294,-0.1013677305928475,0.21821568653900345,0.11375952335506057,0.17315617549762846,0.1011238808490777,0.2147487435144852,-0.04564947913055453,-0.3380672466106986,0.15335502568209147,-0.15819663389394975,0.0873179371002598,0.24373025994985953,-0.13499622292398755,0.08810849055514772,-0.33749053411389485,0.027436104627924555,0.1333888340582275,-0.1350370467462266,-0.3425710168570874,0.10299783242487887,0.08589874094976388,0.0796873594280942,-2.028047277565291,-0.10202724203465145,0.02690429746003367,0.027085540356529478,0.027035449978745775,0.23551393903213363,0.030151368018340476,0.19402222391917057,-0.02178307157955088,-0.10549090069716366,-0.07013109548212035,0.23940178430613274,-0.32380865799971165,-0.11611071056904669,0.05122760890688475,0.02829353371944889,0.023664929095453178,0.12800861370755526,-0.01974513310380311,-0.09053615644896755,0.03093551221072663,-0.2844965882175862,0.027004658246632816,0.025165332831846673,-0.07081231571806605,0.042095806470769194,0.12353704031613671,0.02693791445790309,0.2201622170264245,7.257483939193503E-4,0.2588693920869179,0.12307258797670634,0.21864264681548443,-0.2522344705123238,0.06907620157831389,0.24693568391884868,-0.00655184383414258,0.0263951790522642,0.18519068541025868,-0.14077227666540618,0.026704525991882052,0.05767597550871456,-0.2907661492563515,0.19066057694435246,-0.03856415715718545;-0.17536487073395632,-0.33773016841791514,-0.005597869490643754,0.008012042263464532,-0.12458823565858594,0.30316919499152767,0.11536874787555856,-0.04794163900996152,-0.18167117646493464,0.002896822045044365,-0.16381115943863603,-0.33396329467165814,-0.19016481310416908,0.3833476357274904,-0.1934129066336796,-0.08645429969629244,0.1621650697407811,-0.05735959844634133,-0.037506520598548504,0.17823036438291895,0.32455447152133565,-0.2928038554265338,-0.013079553495525366,-0.03841959930579476,-0.047829177630404875,0.18042266915073887,0.03952303754541811,0.0755838634848734,0.11621953898458685,-0.0010874212719827589,-0.14549368075171867,-0.03779601673956153,0.03711991141999071,-0.19963242865707595,0.23813266789207516,0.03854098480462272,0.1341987557982492,0.020054007400452732,0.22794557151004177,-0.12037383111752537,-0.3327880339644052,0.10025254716366411,-0.22531279270655505,0.00370188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k{74}	=[0.6711718779075945;0.7006534236642579;0.9383616411703875];
x_a_linear{74}	=[14.512413059755369,16.11196363014689,33.367662413864174];
L_a{74}	=[0.09997486286788268,0.28061062102367745,-0.02707919005642382,-0.018887741866144992,0.07897902094949866,-0.2096204770531757,-0.10610682422818214,0.009482283738022974,0.1256271295110618,-0.015131780236477339,0.10213972344814566,0.27450335439481705,0.12616770397071034,-0.2493752960689686,0.12316953193460421,0.043324683456481376,-0.13478095404996357,0.02167396806024111,0.00736658383690639,-0.14331071733618655,-0.22059169112605234,0.23275122551275546,-0.02158284254765511,-0.002628219712953761,0.009660363948233148,-0.14521039184914666,-0.038972460125942694,-0.08225951867911584,-0.107290071334818,-0.03059685452555865,0.07365162749509901,0.0067009730383789995,-0.05675265161954913,0.12281152099250402,-0.1765411394095484,-0.057563351616378884,-0.11847978124493766,-0.045622004111801444,-0.17158501658154615,0.06732859412764759,0.2772445550856464,-0.09739207872983391,0.15632668067421243,-0.033748131512385884,-0.22110888526719547,0.1425642302049267,-0.08004863061475649,0.27712837155708625,0.007073119531363703,-0.07708263114734404,0.1436532027852361,0.2808903128574845,-0.04754645807945304,-0.03159047018701338,-0.026788478060083002,0.03468915265468635,0.12341551013378142,0.009360911604443526,0.007687844210487591,0.0026623048571892175,-0.20509044759742492,0.00989470195039761,-0.14247991391457746,0.06535102789428782,0.12349164396599394,0.08745900169011481,-0.2128282304921706,0.26644305203206603,0.1328419431489539,-0.0028414365063976856,0.003769796342705061,0.003590666472035994,-0.134723198069352,0.0640775165469489,0.09545306850985245,-0.0020508327817456854,0.23903581756244074,0.002456753452768302,0.004425503494054116,0.10168222119744556,0.0025746386789506936,-0.06648655956900944,0.0012500705361740208,-0.1791240790841812,0.04795257088622054,-0.25624003349804864,-0.12898963019136456,-0.17521815284281733,0.2283542137393746,-0.01800114756330446,-0.22726141791740626,0.05354156734400784,0.006897231381362362,-0.13291024215177202,0.14915463044822855,0.011054291461387844,-0.4718558168133402,0.24361671300110574,-0.1397411896656196,0.07812845743706476;0.14202199146648734,0.2505356822369985,0.02200790033648888,1.324821408739395E-4,0.09502166567204955,-0.2050534857619427,-0.06123251128960444,0.04630100804455569,0.13544968960205667,0.003127273691165839,0.12757767271706805,0.2478160320237139,0.14639596127119886,-0.2700029537210244,0.14970699513245594,0.07175042329989918,-0.09781323575345247,0.05027087700791843,0.035254192254972595,-0.1088907475164537,-0.2210705248411162,0.215980458579994,0.0274616422285602,0.04309236630722569,0.04794314351047495,-0.11083973254981581,-0.024149022477736138,-0.0346838536865078,-0.06338522488086677,0.019158457090544076,0.122169074572653,0.03810553668442944,-0.007103345032541443,0.1576526798370658,-0.15412526338227303,-0.00764670010752419,-0.07672821089950109,0.004903020345320534,-0.14713930297659475,0.09635250849792505,0.24666615516946402,-0.0520535223218356,0.1715102263594293,0.016140128984729434,-0.22260802613899347,0.16568440640034607,-0.08072118428824344,0.24699782628082104,0.04235394221537306,-0.029185284358735377,0.16794032251275778,0.24985161201478498,0.0027181275022418105,0.01927163229264083,0.023188078857023262,-1.9548847722443845,0.15826703516284543,0.04664729181582455,0.043299886914807836,0.032650487486838076,-0.1970400386617176,0.05102017364472861,-0.10648057485672857,0.11604805314227606,0.15496394951748976,0.11432771042214536,-0.20947186506849633,0.23814341405187298,0.16406475146150157,0.045234766833521095,0.036244369178804844,0.03123796374063469,-0.15613458211268044,0.1154000430261572,0.11078284670649131,0.026610123643286618,0.21965119101439862,0.03218616957813061,0.03449911293753314,0.14364452395901198,0.0475259482192068,-0.01668902160755526,0.02957442429614452,-0.157626382180784,0.10186198131197292,-0.2815636072673546,-0.14897800372152073,-0.1509080068800098,0.22938485712211706,0.03111018184030286,-0.23237884022456193,0.1063720792345426,0.04094205290247559,-0.09512882528607504,0.1738080923748912,0.05001900893453156,-0.9375098698175809,0.22304314550015827,-0.10406600903582093,0.1262157018337283;0.10702732608783531,0.4548915711799915,-0.08208661624985503,-0.045338877813637324,0.09849843421998983,-0.2889315122843108,-0.18434398322543172,-0.021157676933349932,0.17317923358190251,-0.0398448886232697,0.12469597185304611,0.44140766417569893,0.1662125208596095,-0.3210458054824602,0.15449569465632165,0.035921987571563285,-0.21854152601823623,0.003861385296994037,-0.01669863216438328,-0.22656967370419148,-0.29853587810025933,0.3646327041251416,-0.07404314120002178,-0.04584335280923459,-0.020542204493520566,-0.22974325035468487,-0.07055982043317678,-0.15676900525570783,-0.1868354297573536,-0.08751227565490421,0.06254506310059164,-0.0188682338662595,-0.12318544441215908,0.14726492346962777,-0.2605310837468412,-0.12405430018072547,-0.20046302562312546,-0.1088113653039816,-0.25671895699447816,0.0698046703499391,0.4503258080718562,-0.1748442349334886,0.2162525519320071,-0.0916241719332462,-0.2999454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x_a{74}	=[14.512413059755374,16.111963630146896,33.36766241386419];
std_x_a{74}	=[1.396612083703318,2.5309022766857265,2.396017519023968];
pred_a{74}	=[14.512413059755374];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.4 to 7.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{75}	=[10.620287237995447,2.9824275553442083,36.81213501863227];
std_x_f{75}	=[1.2453926605782566,2.6822389906556654,1.695994281552659];
pred_f{75}	=[10.620287237995447];
obs{75}	=[10.6242471202655];
sqrt_r{75}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{75}	=[2.551248242111563];
L_f{75}	=[0.01566407001305819,-0.0795055602926044,0.041206263365610556,0.02325361781275064,0.005558229756919371,0.0169416824727938,0.0439579891736003,0.030127355623823696,-0.007716291163111567,0.022359739649216084,0.00633728016045403,-0.07555189712907552,-0.0030274310392736817,-0.0019061041425128653,0.0019983379474620548,0.01903642807039858,0.040566819472734425,0.023232509156898097,0.025438063068779212,0.03840182599402665,0.012996964566391551,-0.05484227642912057,0.040862052979728905,0.03746452775253039,0.030527504296245324,0.03876899764669855,0.02302716176505695,0.04497420399637122,0.04392004512233801,0.04229306639281502,0.02511608128198034,0.02675777056966775,0.044839815626419054,0.006359240715666152,0.03036465248779902,0.04500018393983595,0.04293347133493372,0.04419574090681648,0.032201782510043846,0.01576976686402312,-0.07877930699884757,0.0443866587999769,-0.013784860438718051,0.04268639911528171,0.012869055291018866,-0.005413536094936003,0.017416998423238805,-0.07857303105995037,0.029040651510493752,0.044894505277368844,-0.00499706306145475,-0.08001886540011104,0.04380827719928203,0.04258459699469025,0.042100833506930536,-1.1424683968273324,0.006499219651338556,0.03017364434470315,0.029511629136796672,0.027223557672768475,0.019802492286289428,0.032351514254012094,0.0390374981124234,0.028170563233486788,0.003922040438532991,0.010220940590944099,0.016914143097885845,-0.07319736777381003,0.002248968828505545,0.037991956661028226,0.02850376096834131,0.025760670378570542,0.005372999865638423,0.02878286422270192,0.0017007450763003823,0.027227769608803028,-0.05840902999306015,0.027212069240856986,0.026381143190090817,0.01521753822988086,0.03549076699801334,0.04534082870235282,0.02572376678491172,0.03004906999714317,0.033660783049681245,-0.006320886291581786,0.0058259997765577245,0.03155756674261029,-0.043007771679174446,0.040734921056707604,0.010106553525287824,0.0313590837023445,0.02908408000147229,0.039920457136287724,-0.006351629060013824,0.031110788112457502,-0.34980054858998866,-0.06141357794930449,0.038797489462305726,0.023854328663782075;-0.14033780217719313,-0.5147643261425953,0.08876972602442569,0.06115029831011459,-0.11194730995728895,0.34474910492993815,0.2138240815078711,0.020959541326907347,-0.19916716709306573,0.05397238884164445,-0.15027816744153788,-0.5012591438399812,-0.1976154657643407,0.38179653751277187,-0.18823965909953183,-0.044151073466961864,0.2567823708867845,-0.004751268635946763,0.020534145389321117,0.266691024661957,0.3557407632818943,-0.41503004199039434,0.07948621350526502,0.04586954823211422,0.019967748007611433,0.27029855994136165,0.0924900583615398,0.17864089985600365,0.21632420479848674,0.0948375959192756,-0.0888277789296109,0.021966264227991427,0.13828341824202517,-0.18468253384259495,0.3086853199351983,0.13908410569183488,0.23316777916704043,0.12029748630393029,0.3038693806774052,-0.08569155095086448,-0.5086051080945218,0.20177708305078285,-0.25608092303406893,0.09946363381280983,0.35677750348758636,-0.22671127769535204,0.1518226335643445,-0.5083468964305117,0.02292689430102392,0.16987550356870026,-0.2285642569780822,-0.5151021142037537,0.12332699267091543,0.09642108082997032,0.08821271466018597,-1.3814466179467846,-0.18657552816904702,0.021265418709738238,0.023219860976945464,0.029550467934309908,0.34180117860846443,0.02208355969374837,0.2659617626437779,-0.07259541191191927,-0.18788654524728693,-0.12285694412337687,0.3491147616697081,-0.48561671917198757,-0.2046666549371965,0.04607152417125656,0.028484975865479684,0.026735225999098156,0.22332665581188477,-0.07055365645193389,-0.14232703128729254,0.03718002011880894,-0.42839185068697344,0.030004339324432732,0.026249079344749755,-0.14293930136040978,0.03541443168524348,0.15407376784201465,0.03029775214321379,0.3123606595477355,-0.04002308342163438,0.38746620787568453,0.21461615767586523,0.30869047086545237,-0.39984501812615914,0.07314232572635791,0.36244680684730196,-0.05086077910908823,0.023949414277555356,0.2518485956479109,-0.2384073787378711,0.017908121703835454,0.21736538820379223,-0.43840198086879817,0.26134736018888005,-0.09727052926432035;0.1302895959772408,0.2142432160003653,0.014094309881224051,-4.965182115617059E-4,0.09241199596668606,-0.24068019707704394,-0.07750413865803639,0.042296364516530155,0.12757469107713762,0.0021597081265185567,0.11963927181021126,0.2116929034830376,0.13627679055285444,-0.31525202122682466,0.13891491791678617,0.06856427514845304,-0.11825474923785176,0.0467229217045901,0.032277521903481446,-0.13071260153416223,-0.2589792141851571,0.19061915132849064,0.019856428535999462,0.037137157353122306,0.04326671369433413,-0.1330448093527705,-0.025371517469563423,-0.04784070003956895,-0.07947930072195523,0.010874324372373671,0.11208191344833204,0.03583719002979381,-0.017146136036154898,0.14429319974009552,-0.18237283999962542,-0.018237119613300774,-0.09571441742527946,-0.004565523840945361,-0.1749051427893738,0.09109025090578013,0.21107696479598162,-0.06709155927369177,0.15693201821599592,0.0080559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k{75}	=[0.6080350067493469;0.8146350525969281;0.28996403402097587];
x_a_linear{75}	=[10.622694985038244,2.9856534142455504,36.81328324206954];
L_a{75}	=[-0.021097500548056137,0.1070838294548241,-0.05549957087874294,-0.031319651542658755,-0.007486225179348127,-0.022818281261306566,-0.05920579389062714,-0.040577697958144233,0.010392858108205266,-0.03011571188780892,-0.008535506515669625,0.1017587504242873,0.0040775627252069725,0.0025672786930723045,-0.002691505841498151,-0.02563963588731771,-0.05463832167153421,-0.03129122088076527,-0.034261820145572434,-0.05172235212686944,-0.017505250348978527,0.0738655378873731,-0.05503596347666069,-0.050459931175789965,-0.041116647083670556,-0.052216885421027176,-0.031014644185928024,-0.06057450539169168,-0.05915468810256341,-0.05696335567049621,-0.03382815182579409,-0.036039297499801566,-0.06039350143126794,-0.008565084577133697,-0.04089730650902523,-0.060609497055482,-0.05782589928821903,-0.05952601509224636,-0.043371685876510836,-0.021239860698981143,0.1061056590782676,-0.05978315709635049,0.018566445401373168,-0.05749312458246422,-0.017332972900970033,0.007291341307503233,-0.023458471104473334,0.10582783174920765,-0.03911404639073931,-0.060467161402139,0.006730405353769866,0.10777518583780098,-0.05900415099337264,-0.05735601013563264,-0.05670444253923973,1.5387589309871577,-0.008753618315147111,-0.04064004294979137,-0.03974839306569455,-0.03666665320331619,-0.02667142648842773,-0.043573355400957345,-0.052578521235860744,-0.03794214867285966,-0.0052824872611312345,-0.013766300810665997,-0.022781189242646615,0.09858750027526994,-0.0030290736093750432,-0.051170310513779266,-0.03839092344134857,-0.03469633096488415,-0.0072367441868883935,-0.03876683985751168,-0.002290686274348819,-0.03667232614289854,0.07866949913162609,-0.03665117975367334,-0.035532028549879066,-0.02049607929978189,-0.047801527672393956,-0.06106830201855348,-0.03464662654024912,-0.040472257223365865,-0.045336773153250125,0.008513426069321484,-0.007846877176649208,-0.042504009564085905,0.05792597235684257,-0.05486473302292933,-0.01361223605110085,-0.04223667827360418,-0.039172539018227426,-0.05376775420496523,0.0085548326496868,-0.04190225584448117,0.4711366368661157,0.08271624126829186,-0.052255260255593655,-0.032128732292316664;-0.1895903347372874,-0.2647750070348786,-0.040795120557762535,-0.011966048048635828,-0.1294240507948196,0.29147937573960403,0.07560698395633246,-0.07376989761041232,-0.17490483415932057,-0.016333336566258405,-0.1702044763245416,-0.2637013271151732,-0.18809631488522952,0.3877899004295478,-0.19452303275282878,-0.10400731086781435,0.1292281276234003,-0.07780124305184791,-0.059450751799998355,0.14594417000916785,0.3148744099040719,-0.24258948195439026,-0.04899633242172742,-0.07193015972640394,-0.07601987832933631,0.14839720752628638,0.020085757713334037,0.03722851821770776,0.07822641472059294,-0.03814448522833313,-0.16780026884388372,-0.06216818902198976,-0.0027064060684975533,-0.20467789329545213,0.21320974851062457,-0.0024099646780834784,0.09817207287366468,-0.018667173980135336,0.2026173216501644,-0.13527642610067583,-0.2608993470893827,0.06221211966916076,-0.21273718880482223,-0.03475520334419396,0.3163133352216018,-0.2096894971134979,0.09705836851544293,-0.2612897288234121,-0.06838562108575302,0.028713718598409148,-0.21285199248143669,-0.26349880993766933,-0.014419365546363142,-0.03747765993733807,-0.044164928658477036,2.2108165592930913,-0.20701102336447877,-0.07360956584442198,-0.06957354927656953,-0.056048559621226464,0.2795362056296405,-0.07963930082945844,0.1432161642620106,-0.16117210888383282,-0.20021861630160528,-0.15499464580822594,0.29593162453100597,-0.25546224868077216,-0.21173808722524595,-0.07338657841057984,-0.06113939468495981,-0.05426404529710328,0.20643233328861144,-0.16105561131549057,-0.14767468372864873,-0.048432251026452725,-0.2447363480533363,-0.05555856515668455,-0.05670114450251797,-0.19078780411396382,-0.07617918068339043,0.011508608205814334,-0.05058548319000005,0.2178773740924831,-0.14586267758653576,0.407340969519705,0.196297467613142,0.20946401936133938,-0.2646156892735836,-0.054940479317657206,0.3306687723926802,-0.14946314042494435,-0.06749965330569278,0.12632670936422163,-0.21843595261252927,-0.0799135238328367,1.3172431910101297,-0.2452992786299545,0.13935642096305093,-0.17227569064528156;0.1127584782315128,0.30322528373677143,-0.03202345225350764,-0.026521804842025626,0.0861912640467488,-0.25964120976363786,-0.1267016130963787,0.00857803854068991,0.13621071024891485,-0.02286515630701983,0.11254663212027294,0.2962500590229971,0.1396650702255281,-0.3131187227845834,0.1366783920442954,0.04725883782073208,-0.16365685023416562,0.020721259734312637,0.003807419400730902,-0.17369165695149733,-0.2735253261445985,0.25199824403691073,-0.025876095739149056,-0.004792880419320138,0.009100544119341298,-0.17643480071909712,-0.05114335607323478,-0.09817551500933752,-0.12863430844316226,-0.03645978011913089,0.0839721707123375,0.0058900801101513635,-0.0673305444809704,0.13717598195015748,-0.2163567469681176,-0.06860101115432594,-0.1437652586548009,-0.0540290883584168,-0.21094515284648457,0.0734408379827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x_a{75}	=[10.622694985038246,2.9856534142455495,36.81328324206953];
std_x_a{75}	=[1.6773847612524209,3.073261403533302,1.7798451762680587];
pred_a{75}	=[10.622694985038246];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.5 to 7.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{76}	=[3.812437116454666,-1.0598898582100436,28.614218099850923];
std_x_f{76}	=[1.4048346655752393,2.3254575427265163,1.3630943524680004];
pred_f{76}	=[3.812437116454666];
obs{76}	=[3.8297022333621404];
sqrt_r{76}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{76}	=[2.986468590039946];
L_f{76}	=[-0.11361405035492862,-0.16793969997194821,-0.014279667505365782,0.0034922771540176313,-0.07531861364359167,0.20869897932223266,0.06349718658499134,-0.03733537055062028,-0.10474592612747832,3.423127161608099E-4,-0.1014623037658912,-0.16657317653702436,-0.11370197998985891,0.27297672160792513,-0.11777615203902611,-0.05777193401578919,0.09973744876887014,-0.03984230066182273,-0.02762259668595165,0.11083320530639129,0.22433686233090344,-0.15157609979663145,-0.020580482583485483,-0.035478032521955596,-0.038351843450292994,0.11295686795180328,0.02466845627859361,0.03790094323862838,0.06517288135114513,-0.012872539773712964,-0.09913203514864553,-0.02983975826055919,0.010249106355070873,-0.12402424153576226,0.15607733238728574,0.010857174815896858,0.07904664413614616,3.5263807362609796E-5,0.14904366825167895,-0.07853334445977878,-0.1654734822988937,0.05448921120949273,-0.13007533417151476,-0.010832076451121078,0.22561157660853048,-0.12771462823298477,0.07565934057805415,-0.16583328776965586,-0.033960433221046846,0.03185019017359843,-0.12944272671565887,-0.16730193686329223,0.0027659933208109533,-0.012604483355994395,-0.016736388396394738,0.3889149063009837,-0.12522188147707244,-0.037234513263362495,-0.034472314262023344,-0.02455348118727717,0.20001751058722905,-0.04103047472627718,0.10853481841577092,-0.09473849091818579,-0.12110311431354923,-0.09137941760642543,0.21171389626528758,-0.1612234226278544,-0.12845830980768944,-0.036396354008466074,-0.029019778487193,-0.024621581331753194,0.14896507055634617,-0.09485035512777583,-0.08744994175341346,-0.020290440906553648,-0.15350840153122233,-0.025078486157317132,-0.026139758457702538,-0.11480833539629352,-0.038895795985117936,0.019960513791058274,-0.022071887722087548,0.15966224271845922,-0.08421765858896965,0.28592695999194134,0.14206507525177609,0.1534532331329248,-0.16437242980738712,-0.023919741182795582,0.23549721315894406,-0.0869763605148207,-0.03290569133308587,0.09715122782235468,-0.13346470547187114,-0.04107880685900585,0.7658555691798188,-0.1540754460764157,0.10614140192656712,-0.10225497960941604;-0.1436878751212181,-0.319581252639022,0.031375520033472507,0.039103873749054684,-0.09678772085216698,0.33731733935539954,0.1519595660127264,-0.014084676040768875,-0.1537737187359101,0.03443643780268574,-0.1345682030371107,-0.3134669925987023,-0.16223019840517217,0.4097779833115395,-0.1630467499396171,-0.05635696189733889,0.20236336984895373,-0.025185430120703265,-0.004768534639408845,0.2170617148150318,0.3563406630851798,-0.2704250304470951,0.02210753172256954,-0.0032949733559383427,-0.015616642309536476,0.2209431404815963,0.07107298238553673,0.11387006989909802,0.15469072377607665,0.03450099129450753,-0.11210763886231215,-0.006584123808711008,0.07339357590638997,-0.16843308856331213,0.2753230696642371,0.07458026898415733,0.17461839206869473,0.05625540973144127,0.2667236348135208,-0.08965907625610299,-0.3148014545166643,0.13869644798326355,-0.19721549308064246,0.038789116761194405,0.35783948987665887,-0.18526202886174442,0.14129708269680502,-0.315010227997337,-0.009713668461285565,0.10593468965969696,-0.18764201813846512,-0.3185724481540427,0.05981033657461189,0.035585097465235485,0.028624257348292756,-1.3569480718326339,-0.16918066196773066,-0.013681066820018939,-0.010843023528110023,9.211883045439255E-4,0.3292123812528111,-0.017369319047728995,0.21443876040441653,-0.10208662206999675,-0.16631308866038952,-0.11554713825793464,0.3422777877535396,-0.30278234732760856,-0.178302256422097,-0.004819259145163504,-0.003472418204539251,2.9256994207699395E-4,0.23647633399430026,-0.10154680174579497,-0.1179225085861969,0.00842359549328626,-0.2764718995731742,0.0012576926724980142,-0.001833020858572035,-0.14520892024207166,-0.01033449449827405,0.0878592145986054,0.00363339154273839,0.2807763125183606,-0.08054537756016059,0.42238952334813096,0.2274324023488591,0.27277038447784346,-0.27780888735100545,0.01617805278456,0.36932552222276854,-0.08756765645808898,-0.008542791277122012,0.19787603814812468,-0.1948083833673602,-0.018647075480519113,0.4968482969962356,-0.2809709819633823,0.21037382617756037,-0.11772575300288834;-0.02353251842740447,0.043503537803106195,-0.045106466911862854,-0.031194610244994803,-0.017945168196703522,0.014180693076162168,-0.0426259997371128,-0.03696602988687547,-0.008145654680354256,-0.030737062362184587,-0.017446821301376394,0.04136898155791136,-0.010373103195126706,0.05477811189026043,-0.013078038954349369,-0.028824517128234212,-0.03519391380358149,-0.032837277742537266,-0.03418371824415863,-0.030442051172530415,0.02274019723245827,0.027090964370550426,-0.04590336401643265,-0.043394713676121036,-0.03811212217927884,-0.030312484569347712,-0.029482909161183166,-0.04614160997553322,-0.04282288781857602,-0.04660238560019737,-0.03129645889469155,-0.03470985559388558,-0.047752660287799585,-0.015489802236037666,-0.013753501389139673,-0.0485248930350058,-0.040392034882655276,-0.04800818058832855,-0.017403777309788863,-0.026082926799466118,0.04352156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k{76}	=[0.665156364498505;0.6179982983361353;0.35477825165631155];
x_a_linear{76}	=[3.8239211188494835,-1.04922004534065,28.620343387842];
L_a{76}	=[0.11439061950532459,0.16908759312176294,0.014377271184029894,-0.0035161473944851046,0.0758334277147692,-0.21012546828688458,-0.06393119942129805,0.03759056343299393,0.10546188031277598,-3.446524751460018E-4,0.10215581389766207,0.1677117292932899,0.11447915015255629,-0.27484255862469065,0.1185811697814629,0.05816681388826282,-0.1004191692568831,0.040114628789181275,0.027811401295708228,-0.11159076696193972,-0.22587023858180325,0.15261214527403208,0.02072115328244104,0.0357205302190909,0.038613984078069784,-0.11372894516146773,-0.02483706889361779,-0.03816000189552932,-0.06561834781362567,0.012960525522344262,0.09980961754335727,0.03004371750369878,-0.010319160541059384,0.12487196591119853,-0.1571441444675644,-0.01093138524142203,-0.07958693985737687,-3.550484079851824E-5,-0.15006240417795305,0.07907013170039165,0.16660451847937002,-0.054861653177035556,0.13096441867672748,0.01090611532554191,-0.22715366572355633,0.12858757695746173,-0.07617648356915999,0.16696678327473038,0.0341925578983306,-0.03206789102173983,0.130327487253607,0.16844547080617708,-0.002784899301862056,0.01269063689862716,0.016850784132459783,-0.39157319827648196,0.12607779190193483,0.03748901677098325,0.03470793772333835,0.02472130793023098,-0.20138466040519415,0.041310924202367295,-0.10927667025066434,0.09538604277618463,0.12193087234434684,0.0920040096922863,-0.2131609926414498,0.16232540901019796,0.1293363417077669,0.03664512857130895,0.029218133045049846,0.024789873549453986,-0.1499832692555318,0.09549867159449986,0.08804767527983436,0.020429129126951846,0.15455765458208431,0.025249901388334394,0.02631842764477619,0.11559306766486893,0.039161654610417984,-0.020096946909917854,0.022222752399849038,-0.1607535582009264,0.08479329897301062,-0.2878813138390453,-0.14303611144355474,-0.15450210909947318,0.16549594012820804,0.024083236217344393,-0.23710687208908648,0.08757085704212965,0.033130606690666094,-0.09781527110057803,0.1343769568405386,0.04135958669250455,-0.7710903073730786,0.15512857496217078,-0.10686689439918312,0.10295390779999584;0.06815178470458139,-0.006448424417823256,0.05800074725943715,0.03259233048470183,0.04364798620135866,-0.05181341205694534,0.033565561362434604,0.055529180451501965,0.04153083461522971,0.033798176873521726,0.05461385541219396,-0.0028821226510969467,0.04977341107204897,-0.0992021618829433,0.056553377910737786,0.051361993734915005,0.016397398623687567,0.04910273575764293,0.046735319568561674,0.010407093875444987,-0.06194778323024705,0.012196963208876258,0.06048097599215183,0.06285577399670818,0.055892483936924316,0.010328833473398498,0.025077285813152928,0.04320167195301893,0.033172293862140725,0.058502551297329265,0.07272950529480844,0.04905375037545446,0.05428355212857423,0.0628169465776884,-0.015691720286049236,0.054336468041547535,0.027231566655284752,0.056189658418707183,-0.011176500627388748,0.05677067361523591,-0.006267025096355482,0.037098309982417886,0.04531713784431019,0.058986120419140316,-0.06282573147763046,0.05286893570764155,2.260714915076256E-4,-0.00580492144262886,0.053607431337628825,0.04654825434923851,0.053711081312755656,-0.006628764405426542,0.05465298955344211,0.05908685150069454,0.05983017610155322,-2.0821013534435386,0.06430243886337028,0.05574473570043266,0.0534325066889877,0.04670250748120259,-0.0437312931398665,0.05913426287151707,0.012069608520250921,0.07455851667667797,0.059490343748569235,0.05483482313109591,-0.052474442495485246,-0.0021723884471648966,0.06121534343854003,0.0630437492412665,0.050636558491056256,0.0462008655921104,-0.041277251710987735,0.07530691398614021,0.04513272846376386,0.04625624106777224,0.009752977184471222,0.048017912556531164,0.046905999731833674,0.06885754987794254,0.06218886123458159,0.05064173631808981,0.044787642906486444,-0.016922740361460912,0.07648308935109503,-0.11073705519119469,-0.03745576175097225,-0.013351627760034904,0.028672569003714583,0.06077772878814298,-0.06977201342239356,0.07460456226649798,0.05281168412937221,0.016732218442259156,0.05404391718514101,0.057946624364493035,-0.9311316292885493,0.006311180606929605,0.012467331273851778,0.0729342932526761;0.09807963543581992,0.22326571131007683,-0.029821551742012405,-0.03493273370121068,0.06267565997177192,-0.20921009622450443,-0.11059320626423082,0.002997643741150697,0.10397408442732095,-0.03110347291243789,0.091158137841861,0.21966843229682065,0.1113331702973059,-0.23741538852235275,0.11298921662225951,0.033014395458332686,-0.14195259310172778,0.00980980669124352,-0.004616569922454671,-0.1490775964661631,-0.21738933721992648,0.18933758715065038,-0.0238740744461426,-0.005419129350538937,0.0029395811271777615,-0.15122119227186018,-0.055887954057907245,-0.08671067098777838,-0.11258375322056621,-0.03282365592124662,0.07481418739958204,-0.0027694638774739336,-0.058723274354630685,0.11726539042981833,-0.18081823063299762,-0.060146381839479984,-0.12500333620520807,-0.0480459268666575,-0.17693969262253995,0.0579789400207047,0.2206439031443785,-0.1025675936871665,0.13854069179651013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x_a{76}	=[3.8239211188494835,-1.049220045340649,28.62034338784198];
std_x_a{76}	=[1.4144369221560427,2.333940019412286,1.362612298063741];
pred_a{76}	=[3.8239211188494835];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.6 to 7.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{77}	=[0.9097599570078353,-0.47673097029159145,21.997277412635867];
std_x_f{77}	=[1.6396100122301982,1.7282158303266426,1.9678547096623955];
pred_f{77}	=[0.9097599570078353];
obs{77}	=[0.9975157728908689];
sqrt_r{77}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{77}	=[3.6943739703334515];
L_f{77}	=[0.0778008877066327,0.03904279207648508,0.044991236163731935,0.022184866740546375,0.05201328811929004,-0.11267737072338253,0.0026688458311482795,0.05003981277548318,0.05795363066407168,0.02407735676610332,0.06597063314095443,0.041718475469532335,0.06582856023375305,-0.172562546245032,0.0707703700738828,0.0526804742473678,-0.021997176375508343,0.047148344280480516,0.04126844583542506,-0.0300411017013199,-0.12600428222637347,0.0484377689400728,0.04866629324254094,0.05432594512989694,0.050485907272802784,-0.03150865799267316,0.010163364656001166,0.018270893500049422,0.0019847987464591452,0.04484218049495988,0.07786637942272222,0.04303630257696045,0.035167865723063796,0.07683884065807411,-0.06571437487385981,0.035130670491812566,-0.007099769272133844,0.03938883150730945,-0.05998944875877121,0.06192216995170735,0.039011942188821924,0.00816799762592961,0.06600978482097362,0.04493425051156572,-0.12716835243130312,0.07089087779309446,-0.024346573780461803,0.039174281982920195,0.047955064854410666,0.022556894101484416,0.07169451178725031,0.03953502779905576,0.037536443633138294,0.0455149781325586,0.046531334904021435,-1.2478891739990168,0.07767449133741317,0.05065784545629082,0.04740290167305826,0.04028001106539204,-0.10322876089769534,0.05377691738863258,-0.028357513538127207,0.07800553802979532,0.0737038282653379,0.06387411441166078,-0.11421336747783309,0.04081613748906783,0.07648023941394921,0.05481244007470256,0.04415230542824727,0.03977877649591068,-0.08072089187440959,0.07865815818365715,0.05654749149950398,0.038278443168526584,0.04742691354240884,0.04145289825905092,0.04132158288208833,0.07897336148702946,0.05509745565328723,0.029229503819857647,0.03809716404255188,-0.06799542896774505,0.07717261525282944,-0.1864361775151046,-0.07497134989351174,-0.06301122960302,0.06222417417557102,0.04951572559262776,-0.13619698780172806,0.07619703449548684,0.04647413822282538,-0.02075471715471259,0.07294677582308069,0.0528743152031679,-0.8584447949634632,0.04424721642678134,-0.027617607742359444,0.07859751897520913;0.05708341190459768,-0.04395435125096346,0.06511750415894271,0.03618788609586165,0.037808286223705564,-0.07834021477765012,0.03917444671097108,0.05852551092982697,0.028775124554434952,0.03783582565132832,0.0443844424176728,-0.03999390478683046,0.03589600390322701,-0.1481092641773121,0.041745810457627514,0.05047686822361271,0.018003467203152813,0.05129385453015435,0.05016113438856391,0.009316644649019401,-0.09328175250067512,-0.018416873179482113,0.06722283694898562,0.0680337236761665,0.05897286570363426,0.009469972090828692,0.028866349671283133,0.05079999835472297,0.03897107733483139,0.0655633553228896,0.06624638991400769,0.05180022345898399,0.06277709574478134,0.0478672194374543,-0.026090905967524957,0.06277934000029384,0.03162766619690133,0.06421097690773729,-0.01965892844321147,0.052664531488240046,-0.04315271484210672,0.04408608217589589,0.025616604020343395,0.06642360896049888,-0.0949662153034638,0.03537420754522612,-6.599128743756164E-4,-0.043206761815076974,0.05688103898211067,0.054908743451363554,0.03550967986002678,-0.04419405641956071,0.06301630226165159,0.0663882991588316,0.06616243102146886,-1.353682212892867,0.04863621400180958,0.06011571432656241,0.05615892132059166,0.050695793031294505,-0.06616206956514016,0.062434113838658524,0.011955286935843823,0.06942056578011617,0.04463048881901394,0.04770070020953366,-0.07955099381041818,-0.03666737268105427,0.04468270866279816,0.06826508014479574,0.054183655039669876,0.049172872047698025,-0.0553161594988291,0.07122914807311008,0.03674311309227202,0.05013408049688794,-0.021506806447742534,0.05174790566323654,0.05079518386265268,0.05762575338372929,0.0666461610894468,0.05937202601815098,0.04822188069134984,-0.028164450956356835,0.07469148703866135,-0.16453519915843656,-0.04962296081139449,-0.02312274534402994,-0.0032931251523606385,0.06692304998764081,-0.10500940877567068,0.07171531415422283,0.05598806846447915,0.017655107982957854,0.03435630911418088,0.06105576297462518,-0.9187924752667052,-0.02542028051337588,0.012497112386175761,0.06539569688858864;0.05992406126697511,0.13227948223826214,-0.036000769185829146,-0.04408597413792722,0.028821024708129545,-0.1749700024203448,-0.09885859356466996,-0.012356385059621614,0.05775793198809383,-0.0408346820699644,0.05176678485476955,0.13059653349512815,0.06473867765922361,-0.18839175654736431,0.06787635441949622,0.00915620182236897,-0.12511496182310852,-0.0087370040333241,-0.019330161843776863,-0.1306062484716619,-0.17941564457004197,0.11304634243059135,-0.031135629868438885,-0.01676959274238202,-0.01171412128885446,-0.13233329249581208,-0.06134894638969741,-0.08085725583819399,-0.10168350377699813,-0.03809039161995638,0.04386706044377152,-0.017891951599159524,-0.05760524787161316,0.07250964927784483,-0.15476342160213394,-0.05901268954211635,-0.11129378971421222,-0.04957720451700505,-0.1528116085702295,0.02828417001950646,0.13013177478193258,-0.0937767092192737,0.08351744971777364,-0.040412075863710206,-0.180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k{77}	=[0.7293181448250246;0.751677915516459;-0.5790501597495029];
x_a_linear{77}	=[0.9737618658452558,-0.41076686153418657,21.946462393429847];
L_a{77}	=[-0.059769540466530616,-0.02999412744159284,-0.034563943803152426,-0.017043241143900614,-0.03995854572721245,0.08656295406947316,-0.002050306797336883,-0.038442448444799535,-0.04452213818202102,-0.0184971224876656,-0.05068109816418924,-0.03204968710871927,-0.0505719524638445,0.13256897697223438,-0.05436843489385619,-0.040471102967320434,0.016899050412933384,-0.036221114623115634,-0.03170395757760721,0.02307869353067958,0.0968011839901322,-0.03721169868509523,-0.03738725956809498,-0.041735215002528546,-0.03878515485722465,0.024206124948605134,-0.0078078753724963,-0.014036381082548722,-0.0015247963421925715,-0.034449433685220986,-0.0598198536427734,-0.03306209098928056,-0.027017264653613725,-0.0590304600820451,0.050484231016313684,-0.026988689891230266,0.005454307262070724,-0.030259967824310337,0.046086129488295775,-0.04757091791368384,-0.02997042740855469,-0.00627496008110332,-0.05071117594340515,-0.03452016530211504,0.0976954660898658,-0.054461013413359835,0.018703945027977134,-0.03009514288647135,-0.03684086742298761,-0.017329046422730966,-0.05507839498765632,-0.030372281262282124,-0.028836894447275545,-0.03496630189600387,-0.03574710503297374,0.9586749545111043,-0.059672438066704796,-0.03891724417546588,-0.03641667509582011,-0.030944605162390733,0.07930417998635006,-0.04131343143724987,0.02178529838037806,-0.05992676046918502,-0.05662202676471239,-0.04907047436897156,0.08774296400095048,-0.03135647745484966,-0.05875496924635062,-0.042108958543861416,-0.03391944595716049,-0.030559538092246118,0.062012796455157226,-0.060428127585233915,-0.043441889689033154,-0.029406926134108734,-0.03643512190843537,-0.03184566080134962,-0.03174477943651426,-0.06067027850601949,-0.042327918129798865,-0.022455193801453995,-0.029267660755845516,0.05223662175361365,-0.0592868781607584,0.14322721738642,0.057595784101942216,0.04840757411155461,-0.047802928809849314,-0.03803982514566969,0.10463160014999381,-0.0585374006769767,-0.03570316441157378,0.015944546950770026,-0.05604043087401512,-0.04062001881125591,0.659489273494203,-0.03399236012221469,0.02121687518232515,-0.06038154228614512;-0.08470471364755038,-0.11510783635927158,-0.016876715058503695,-0.004242895139274533,-0.056983262351507,0.12700851141240932,0.034310612133490855,-0.03266948009867934,-0.07684239348449717,-0.006043921543703646,-0.07584365124901281,-0.11602368557831591,-0.08407316918044694,0.16637712143886432,-0.08722955747448154,-0.04553059283387448,0.05809219237919504,-0.03463158353970907,-0.02504849048768828,0.06406501096346257,0.13635458604329004,-0.10669222152561006,-0.021468985211840066,-0.030972523628647306,-0.03303510965523812,0.06689288443973192,0.01034413911102365,0.017502232507842053,0.03535388346784289,-0.01615921758689747,-0.07566109093005594,-0.02663122961249655,-0.0013145349233061895,-0.0921676247354058,0.0936701701570783,-0.0012445042674831344,0.0445666313761222,-0.007573147306499237,0.08966876360685827,-0.0601854457598425,-0.11424997761318761,0.02920032563720511,-0.09468284157413862,-0.015466756830049715,0.13679158145561124,-0.09382077952138464,0.04371046851465897,-0.11459988053055926,-0.03051460593748982,0.013799961441218055,-0.09514988892306783,-0.1162446158735538,-0.005391940105778377,-0.01656041292138181,-0.01863853912116318,0.9205317722395236,-0.09292156065336894,-0.03220560954884026,-0.030230434534826378,-0.022712460197348593,0.12196705006580819,-0.03557155858064066,0.06363540021491038,-0.07274052448452044,-0.08969095613885353,-0.06870659565427319,0.1285970076461258,-0.11105268880592793,-0.09469860314399359,-0.03162777923280932,-0.02628165596144611,-0.023321906898534677,0.09179352381130625,-0.0721213089332344,-0.06631178847419364,-0.019626417948647116,-0.10793992270290119,-0.023797874290038417,-0.024511280554456234,-0.0862991454685944,-0.03376612455477193,0.006102755196146615,-0.021208245849296464,0.09575372920380192,-0.06595164420575157,0.17523516753264434,0.08700847727191445,0.09171198723430492,-0.11669348960131846,-0.02331681904324531,0.1432026126484687,-0.06714987122111564,-0.028708663661677236,0.05547951498494676,-0.09858544661524124,-0.035304963278006946,0.6456791131145511,-0.10605856193903479,0.06282878532015701,-0.07784424827201424;0.16914961526658068,0.1870921035328378,0.027162940637649076,-0.012940386580099713,0.10184307339725125,-0.333159048885828,-0.09511177044941363,0.057895079075957104,0.1391196953582065,-0.0070322061709705876,0.14438370948031137,0.1891655772361307,0.15715614450922039,-0.4306542842484369,0.16723168449265038,0.0831149207296357,-0.1559970487358149,0.05745509448897312,0.038607080158832595,-0.17278129393461236,-0.35631449416150945,0.18104867894549065,0.03718753452227556,0.05949922151253936,0.05916362000167957,-0.17656865698176782,-0.0470804827799036,-0.0552065399731543,-0.09889702216926674,0.024864057249329823,0.1531845590108893,0.04252720465504862,-0.008232679899513772,0.18038457444852563,-0.24702058232246296,-0.009692340379587711,-0.12126123680739073,0.005721225482993495,-0.23703148019322545,0.11521741097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x_a{77}	=[0.9737618658452557,-0.4107668615341864,21.946462393429847];
std_x_a{77}	=[1.2596094962932787,1.3453196546419035,1.7752131049510285];
pred_a{77}	=[0.9737618658452557];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.7 to 7.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{78}	=[0.3122810829512856,0.10652435782135879,17.030977640893397];
std_x_f{78}	=[1.65400036029986,2.302681316905416,1.5335043691126922];
pred_f{78}	=[0.3122810829512856];
obs{78}	=[0.32898684671732453];
sqrt_r{78}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{78}	=[3.744960198658916];
L_f{78}	=[-0.09614055745027791,-0.0998369003572907,-0.03496622919519999,-0.015674165975935888,-0.0656137559604978,0.1532884701311741,0.02196845255015487,-0.04816663268231134,-0.08222435854501225,-0.017809429529318892,-0.08491010565138239,-0.10180067692120019,-0.0902328638113965,0.21977668050356658,-0.09420454321891233,-0.05830479514200462,0.05179403019804383,-0.048408264024244745,-0.038949545799939395,0.06043815422233622,0.16849453384750526,-0.09829516607527189,-0.039782928713328745,-0.04901097186843014,-0.04901795498220877,0.06329256232680577,2.8130866085221987E-4,0.0018037840837818158,0.022874758119483737,-0.0339465180519079,-0.0895765199635776,-0.04078197445767214,-0.01967103072204729,-0.10009956226779479,0.10123141627848464,-0.019247966673915002,0.03435250906637681,-0.026442936748802208,0.09483543896498314,-0.07237784668892025,-0.09940912315544151,0.01599367241481744,-0.09780288417512191,-0.033508620011696404,0.16975610685168235,-0.09959978939547384,0.04266278348797265,-0.09986860051653082,-0.0456880564516982,-0.002519841022220201,-0.09978377283643027,-0.10148101269728017,-0.02313807692159613,-0.034618465749648435,-0.0364625418192345,1.0772333744031606,-0.10004678501095643,-0.04821477016796916,-0.04533160279500926,-0.03730563744042678,0.14420002110061503,-0.052050076488736684,0.0591180912697667,-0.08763544994360627,-0.09714178408392052,-0.07924697418686547,0.1557661444310455,-0.09830678624374048,-0.10144074476938081,-0.0502007373251573,-0.04095856608646924,-0.037148117564920646,0.10787834048279128,-0.08750537962665275,-0.07403793188562238,-0.03363084251963441,-0.09826085003598944,-0.038439229665906675,-0.03877337165185828,-0.09701932634694227,-0.051093421807219756,-0.011013845449241503,-0.03477237008278514,0.10412366948040858,-0.08251509555769272,0.23457625585858033,0.10089780227510672,0.09845215163942439,-0.11004041741816703,-0.04160581072501098,0.17963651253658114,-0.08314666143187999,-0.04378484863817456,0.04915025244718117,-0.10307855912335562,-0.051476093303242994,0.9401927685060948,-0.09596479146815644,0.05801462396856366,-0.0915228050314752;-0.1442952106822101,-0.1663746461623371,-0.04845596784734868,-0.0207891368233988,-0.10137625356602417,0.2539826193893287,0.04147637019967682,-0.06985163384250404,-0.12786028714805145,-0.024427915760003714,-0.12951631095598426,-0.16855250282107104,-0.1390471158160734,0.36387706900377137,-0.14439556939964743,-0.08720068400161175,0.08950329273307428,-0.07145410820441611,-0.056725016669943375,0.10298874856423647,0.278983127643673,-0.1598645301591327,-0.055395038757182186,-0.0703711096460905,-0.07087318993565904,0.10779930819079485,0.00556239192094601,0.009697570681247599,0.04381081241051605,-0.0468568049154908,-0.13362662823277166,-0.059646147089296594,-0.02287677100073626,-0.15232856981146353,0.16874165847030081,-0.022884121267901285,0.06203623771512026,-0.03328236897014808,0.1595112322132298,-0.10882757829446463,-0.1656154567616332,0.031910464571088086,-0.15183895258816474,-0.04558254919616163,0.2810615725163397,-0.15258952848882984,0.07091917895050187,-0.16628814200369282,-0.0667752599969333,0.0028070071462512943,-0.15427732478096065,-0.16833519074572226,-0.02930101229403115,-0.04744258369579248,-0.050258865439119206,1.231673014888509,-0.15348227295126748,-0.06997009962669903,-0.065805096069912,-0.05352213381196116,0.23945819333818028,-0.0757824837091316,0.1012557454608196,-0.13025864690729144,-0.14770595472644282,-0.12037361304737566,0.25795753734159704,-0.1625012228689462,-0.1549547914731927,-0.07211974926251594,-0.059345184058336525,-0.05402247762650695,0.17580663706741015,-0.12954945315016778,-0.11408876888922173,-0.04839243547417813,-0.16050967329558835,-0.0560113880850939,-0.05630269431734282,-0.14618001283994686,-0.07365437056092318,-0.010368487651361193,-0.05087346257627872,0.1736465341576762,-0.12096815188752263,0.3888942150679323,0.1641495404241475,0.1646246612035314,-0.17559878121480985,-0.05842295762495377,0.29776715260526027,-0.1229033824883325,-0.06326289990803023,0.08488178422125375,-0.15889784035885302,-0.07488705726454832,1.4163302936291786,-0.15757114449204726,0.09882871815350341,-0.13619591788831317;0.10994553485934189,0.12262936209628586,-0.002487756161955867,-0.03294562275174103,0.05592827831674202,-0.25130039253154407,-0.09401298877153536,0.021075905003083314,0.08520766398797626,-0.028702393073837935,0.08974316877443143,0.12517550680565387,0.10021282680197682,-0.3035391423937624,0.1081234244578959,0.04077605797092039,-0.13695269396964185,0.020920861643116417,0.006238623843523028,-0.14912644972863956,-0.2647027166499216,0.11876318867552546,0.005008969957088683,0.022833674430581076,0.0225420567159583,-0.15151318425142404,-0.05877043321074348,-0.06454362436375208,-0.09691022531485931,-0.004166546485092834,0.09737296341446915,0.009364399603314456,-0.029664178994174666,0.11888514421004226,-0.19830345945878924,-0.03045580918559021,-0.11261130301688564,-0.019331766955267685,-0.19255714021173628,0.06697718066117743,0.1209026964900764,-0.0847808037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k{78}	=[0.7329744651603766;1.0093154640563475;0.07897813101125736];
x_a_linear{78}	=[0.3245259812127936,0.1233857435292941,17.032297030892753];
L_a{78}	=[0.07278030533322313,0.07557851009220573,0.026470127744935054,0.011865653953194758,0.049670912250892235,-0.11604240661886508,-0.01663055350106135,0.0364630945197592,0.062245467255891335,0.013482090736000847,0.06427863098651057,0.07706512782896636,0.06830806429098359,-0.16637529817157876,0.07131470423182405,0.04413788421208971,-0.03920910625259654,0.03664601422930085,0.02948557727446128,-0.045752879271092076,-0.12755369789428112,0.07441138671822299,0.030116464638801042,0.03710227599946212,0.03710756235484078,-0.04791372271634003,-2.1295622547536476E-4,-0.0013655002618509508,-0.017316644759634205,0.025698186221724397,0.06781119900421266,0.030872762045884163,0.014891359693959001,0.07577735035850927,-0.07663418625248897,0.014571091833909363,-0.026005529457287287,0.020017826623069536,-0.07179230480176259,0.054791462844441835,0.07525467428148455,-0.012107526652859028,0.07403871957385515,0.02536668873599465,-0.12850873363444373,0.07539901239990532,-0.03229657171715164,0.07560250774033539,0.03458676324355468,0.001907569540390996,0.07553829150712263,0.07682313568290414,0.017515982305888973,0.02620686393180322,0.027602866024588824,-0.8154869909585036,0.07573739693022433,0.03649953554940442,0.03431692076854739,0.028241106101022952,-0.1091622707740983,0.03940293836372937,-0.04475356548204137,0.06634177057074703,0.0735382537166821,0.05999152835198635,-0.11791805511564218,0.07442018341580399,0.07679265206427974,0.038002952004594595,0.0310064454049577,0.028121860436763842,-0.08166603946767788,0.0662433047657451,0.05604818020389366,0.025459213594204683,0.0743854087971141,0.029099257858011224,0.029352209956554808,0.07344555078543151,0.03867873183044325,0.008337699051758633,0.026323372558909888,-0.07882367918574873,0.062465560930358426,-0.17757886971002204,-0.07638163384720646,-0.07453022789820922,0.08330277451149065,0.03149642241016407,-0.13598839634531312,0.06294366880054793,0.03314599724994725,-0.0372077141549849,0.0780325099548797,0.03896842172887438,-0.7117445392320657,0.07264724700502895,-0.04391821888912903,0.06928457533220354;0.08831103566475276,0.0751746776080747,0.03614270245066242,0.017133556876056274,0.05737224849659755,-0.11688953478890655,-0.011674968020778994,0.04668461188500609,0.07107656017919325,0.018660918570274517,0.07591853856323906,0.07774805921245848,0.07926582416412843,-0.16785927663755046,0.0835266079635761,0.053864230761591914,-0.035809221226281676,0.04566674989624306,0.03751104650379714,-0.04323769907277829,-0.12867917521450717,0.07795466104584012,0.040857343818008054,0.04820796352007177,0.04772277845065738,-0.04533320669121578,0.004881782681712378,0.005333424517794378,-0.01153327715355445,0.03527473613249484,0.08309832762498481,0.03902336605683721,0.024716094480594347,0.08985624851692799,-0.07618161197259457,0.023685166414316835,-0.02107757396277143,0.03069471232262579,-0.0699373591340784,0.06628623093940347,0.07489888602017433,-0.0067852555742594365,0.08478919242386669,0.035489524108785545,-0.12965302969163456,0.08838611969389508,-0.03230083754443915,0.07533787837889894,0.04376422090439089,0.008903609632385812,0.08714346017573164,0.07719196309058593,0.026680161137413394,0.03631469404291015,0.03796004247836119,-1.3746277837019545,0.08857485400595604,0.04668261182708104,0.04387196683345187,0.0367365928142732,-0.10942500976488177,0.050149518717409004,-0.0417768899445812,0.08177000779290543,0.08732269872081885,0.07135963344950276,-0.11890919949611038,0.07534608262869434,0.09047493655443245,0.04933788924861756,0.03975158182067284,0.03585513921694404,-0.08519846324958581,0.08216450430892588,0.06504151576835857,0.03297534777404952,0.0772264923341364,0.03698999616087953,0.037507126192787905,0.08855236154164174,0.049963063899512265,0.016278843253898105,0.03325617735978256,-0.07827436744761873,0.0786721160042294,-0.17864880532290128,-0.07996657117639734,-0.0735743470503186,0.09063733308409659,0.04223977739166178,-0.1368524917587063,0.07826492072182831,0.042671885147309324,-0.03403426985568663,0.09049448013957465,0.04965622766560141,-0.8584090726145278,0.07460984672408377,-0.04153414505890589,0.08523795661908753;0.12814678833483756,0.14153040425584107,0.00413202239501043,-0.029978202180120934,0.06835022213929595,-0.2803208431480433,-0.0981720386453273,0.03019477339497133,0.10077431381223846,-0.025330726113359067,0.1058182820937113,0.144448329574318,0.11729564044075252,-0.3451470878429796,0.12595815326688561,0.0518142751745738,-0.14675829835923185,0.03008547548748386,0.013612520715576932,-0.1605685527678358,-0.29660196709248404,0.1373723509333715,0.012540642216045426,0.032112392442165544,0.03182209676506075,-0.16349568155095945,-0.058823690341519706,-0.0648851153244319,-0.10124085623447616,0.0022601811734483425,0.11433151856069933,0.017085210403888447,-0.025940075184173284,0.13783591331250541,-0.21746851025767883,-0.02681179952295643,-0.11911489256971049,-0.014325611310181258,-0.21051130969899254,0.08067969673278327,0.13972275221177058,-0.08780871299215014,0.1335253573755257,7.087221869457494E-4,-0.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x_a{78}	=[0.3245259812127935,0.12338574352929381,17.032297030892746];
std_x_a{78}	=[1.2521110178307677,1.7587731970509484,1.527644072251678];
pred_a{78}	=[0.3245259812127935];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.8 to 7.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{79}	=[0.34255136017222737,0.5648722829429135,13.347129479533432];
std_x_f{79}	=[1.8464640729035535,2.54647080156789,2.2164076724824797];
pred_f{79}	=[0.34255136017222737];
obs{79}	=[0.32979482504718943];
sqrt_r{79}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{79}	=[4.421440671151587];
L_f{79}	=[0.1095951578675235,0.10143476537000913,0.043620849969187886,0.01944095392851946,0.07272706931797328,-0.18107000230607795,-0.022128284289938918,0.05714884824207726,0.09129401834936508,0.02185836580773019,0.09571411812953408,0.1045401308595555,0.1005840131667423,-0.2626500280445034,0.1052710507624832,0.06804777771194381,-0.056802003725982146,0.05717439205608251,0.04658879779209669,-0.067591614000381,-0.1997875393980711,0.10390576315434548,0.04932386745415957,0.05858292337821493,0.05873076235245324,-0.0706569779747373,0.002376215499897225,0.0019301831152339442,-0.022605839346602583,0.04256721988966546,0.10313244969606757,0.048640579516122086,0.027261290096245457,0.11234996111513335,-0.116894912272189,0.026573966168211192,-0.036528091943388664,0.03532103646848722,-0.10847431271186306,0.08357921514081079,0.10107932113189358,-0.015801556852933517,0.10796444700751195,0.04222566439501741,-0.2009675134170591,0.1111675439399032,-0.049133283843657935,0.10228050445257045,0.05427525053023648,0.006043059090581848,0.11019326321667856,0.10477352494238158,0.03064288955658425,0.04387576906245582,0.04542660089575462,-1.182200678467428,0.11169122863637142,0.05776106750796991,0.05429547154152858,0.04476863573271245,-0.16839196560907418,0.06208869124393347,-0.06620096252827451,0.10150108908470816,0.10945968243496872,0.0902049206139912,-0.18331898656827272,0.10093118188325345,0.11345405086923284,0.06059970413866802,0.049128185093867995,0.04406710636080129,-0.12778390212197385,0.10185588290223642,0.0829952006164278,0.04015349156150788,0.10235250293590104,0.045901968139741844,0.04605162208832129,0.11042581730767734,0.06139903418686925,0.01668582906528733,0.040624055814726716,-0.12007437492118156,0.09676655944849755,-0.28065319152594,-0.11865973643399283,-0.11329318630997719,0.11710993874683913,0.05122491993406228,-0.2125303472694417,0.09647372113295324,0.053152043945678705,-0.05394247892992296,0.1142887191479742,0.06122458932765642,-1.0498492419725196,0.09952801496207572,-0.06484301183585679,0.10540551761735972;0.16936152898200174,0.1517441159075767,0.06712200259636655,0.027802965195593637,0.11270180142760167,-0.3123063797996363,-0.03938383663376964,0.08896852965769611,0.13975691887568192,0.03173204218795624,0.1472497553129452,0.15687648965411266,0.1538295283052296,-0.4565163913169507,0.16176001636466056,0.10491163347599029,-0.09810480844045563,0.08846505848792882,0.071519748905611,-0.11574642234794216,-0.3457236932519004,0.1554045419419153,0.07625130121538244,0.09158219544378057,0.09132948298878411,-0.12147742226463046,6.070695533806422E-5,-8.606354619926772E-5,-0.040418831713724374,0.06549414607055315,0.1598555230017583,0.0747855472633334,0.041656145395553776,0.17211689467532867,-0.20075962787401816,0.04038395243281842,-0.06301231411577274,0.05474939376275363,-0.18565422518969,0.12941464958160895,0.15145534516835937,-0.028134318255011077,0.16467038462733438,0.06554451111909597,-0.347755155969314,0.17041707467074924,-0.08548659424206964,0.15261146239523166,0.0837966383713907,0.007215254415218387,0.168481741548824,0.15719367761169692,0.04688228342194888,0.06770450468147414,0.07028320791356481,-1.3282821695939884,0.17072670308505153,0.08962467036146281,0.08418125930200533,0.0693491091226938,-0.289514244034625,0.0960694057709791,-0.11298456100016993,0.15702691186159418,0.16821066837715526,0.13935486153567503,-0.31687868464635194,0.15138043013748725,0.17362149954707845,0.09412335669806147,0.07598935946674508,0.0673243210533326,-0.22033386150058984,0.15763525655054306,0.127877094081197,0.061516993186875944,0.1540053028306025,0.07033579583478228,0.07093123227877735,0.1699757533790423,0.09519216918953421,0.024130998635597135,0.06264672134233157,-0.2064312352208137,0.15082278147100117,-0.4884251368663547,-0.20556012144025362,-0.1943314881366214,0.17710422940031598,0.07941121495982599,-0.3684580824668469,0.14968563818874,0.08152184895983562,-0.09327590287953973,0.17484610834655415,0.09551060313132241,-1.5090191062947076,0.14957202483869458,-0.11182093073618367,0.16303458484248373;0.08484974986774838,0.09329381075149505,-0.022648200708116954,-0.05104237389591914,0.031744058223731345,-0.22770895032255367,-0.10605239127984434,-7.010833492605307E-4,0.06016390439157209,-0.04766342862366571,0.06460652655847167,0.09574686023122339,0.07424317422573452,-0.2531979941532417,0.08204545866057973,0.017768873411651256,-0.14221463433935796,5.828107743477193E-6,-0.014582872339039968,-0.15268066357346619,-0.23540966915719763,0.08956533363304091,-0.015223017093007003,0.0014948037746659786,0.001755188805855076,-0.15480433795628007,-0.07437178153708755,-0.07908996174855809,-0.1077740416127673,-0.024121026100645437,0.07233939785802508,-0.011595168882849135,-0.04670810981529854,0.09291717922452207,-0.19175133519644014,-0.04789623909116218,-0.12184761068233634,-0.03728368035150124,-0.18692888956009665,0.0427579467036958,0.09141622011488257,-0.09706716428666683,0.08906544104474924,-0.02520156650035894,-0.23715889460128992,0.09122582804371467,-0.127777574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k{79}	=[0.7738293749988181;1.054180350215543;-0.4747785759015258];
x_a_linear{79}	=[0.3326799785692688,0.5514245942772641,13.353186009113536];
L_a{79}	=[-0.07042947486831168,-0.06518533662806208,-0.028032201571833358,-0.012493400281240012,-0.04673682122861384,0.11636157495421669,0.014220367693260525,-0.03672574089344026,-0.058668557042784814,-0.01404690914519044,-0.06150905941935087,-0.06718094724589005,-0.0646386151114826,0.16878759891638748,-0.06765066056110994,-0.04372975360828422,0.03650284713056929,-0.03674215619354591,-0.029939503050030826,0.04343660771311442,0.12839008363897755,-0.06677328156776416,-0.031697149316302776,-0.037647325028406904,-0.037742331245134604,0.04540651203366032,-0.0015270347074457754,-0.0012403995381797088,0.014527260374615833,-0.027355104018892958,-0.06627632475110522,-0.031258045877827906,-0.017519007071755233,-0.07219980258962595,0.07512053859221893,-0.017077309972560392,0.023474160570342493,-0.022698466781598703,0.06970918268334791,-0.0537107692238407,-0.06495691639926253,0.01015460329551352,-0.0693815261106533,-0.027135609156213568,0.12914837398804604,-0.071439942187514,0.03157467398192388,-0.06572883654739635,-0.03487907191859038,-0.0038834697319595976,-0.07081383715654208,-0.06733093400635151,-0.019692134779591666,-0.02819602101625135,-0.02919263686820654,0.759721274128443,-0.07177647930180343,-0.03711917325158518,-0.03489206660954495,-0.028769806682855347,0.10821424906587358,-0.03990024746218102,0.04254292906151114,-0.06522795844173059,-0.07034241387257018,-0.05796866680059571,0.11780684665832748,-0.06486171721626849,-0.07290932719912285,-0.038943375078856333,-0.03157139735659506,-0.028318980695377763,0.08211816377830383,-0.06545596068873899,-0.05333546216586402,-0.025803962326735288,-0.06577510515516109,-0.02949812358874288,-0.02959429616803852,-0.0709632841104606,-0.03945705101707012,-0.010722865879085025,-0.026106362486476544,0.07716376649652702,-0.06218539303542089,0.1803570274809107,0.0762546729953192,0.07280595031045584,-0.07525872171989609,-0.03291882854430749,0.13657903362719948,-0.061997205444049124,-0.03415726220127906,0.03466522187706305,-0.07344571265359763,-0.039344946978288546,0.6746678616257606,-0.06395999572296493,0.04167026501298027,-0.06773707341146216;-0.07588430493994928,-0.07524085410282665,-0.030490263631755925,-0.01570089985838263,-0.050042713116970616,0.0928818107906958,0.010133584021876356,-0.03891592452365524,-0.06453566209071378,-0.017181370183489336,-0.06693387447073573,-0.07705749127917214,-0.07125167663369854,0.1312269580312041,-0.07380957570885659,-0.04736182747083252,0.02900349673717951,-0.039476556192929446,-0.03273402277794334,0.035506261294262896,0.10134954118899789,-0.07710988688793191,-0.0341228543716109,-0.039511350813462895,-0.04009488894751942,0.03663475917650147,-0.005256653438950566,-0.004405317945100893,0.010167234586437101,-0.029760366470950424,-0.07092842879198079,-0.034059585295330826,-0.01934762478490895,-0.07929348184956861,0.06082118280449366,-0.019081763209604953,0.018728180122693158,-0.024290020133366307,0.057083444957091264,-0.05761418193417027,-0.07473423186770564,0.007225510254448703,-0.07692633693846185,-0.028945687891176117,0.10195855746649321,-0.07834735570264478,0.024461084141014475,-0.07626605460920878,-0.03765744168660298,-0.006307560779781697,-0.07810249863103876,-0.07726257937455283,-0.021688638408071906,-0.030478205048236864,-0.0313698654127735,1.3171795177216328,-0.07920959922681593,-0.039629773400891855,-0.0373180701892076,-0.030831607046251295,0.0873037544528031,-0.04286914915721489,0.035156201580852975,-0.07010647359924267,-0.07673200629871829,-0.06250059823365872,0.09334215548426392,-0.07447764928247674,-0.08025954646484214,-0.04148322726138522,-0.033946909222986626,-0.03128655244023589,0.06561371362481637,-0.0702920664102995,-0.05784486282587044,-0.028336214878971724,-0.07503332829994615,-0.03238102737283949,-0.032120478054637594,-0.07712888316767359,-0.042203110256687035,-0.013207604122218228,-0.028259488744226038,0.062264396805174406,-0.06571594185828232,0.13960467154758402,0.05996991274145685,0.05918958428019898,-0.08495775533840955,-0.03521700814105048,0.10713028534061009,-0.0661977881520875,-0.03741878305121527,0.027433519748213616,-0.08090271104195666,-0.04149431349410008,0.8402740363011079,-0.07314612715735966,0.033281086735411476,-0.07283590953913446;0.19530283102358506,0.19552261893460698,0.02131411820707809,-0.03144923398175122,0.10504044326397546,-0.41019638908126327,-0.1283538982813713,0.05689513253898963,0.15217258263969186,-0.025633953056746876,0.1610699056276448,0.201105343056074,0.1756145704211332,-0.5179040763165595,0.18814058311200738,0.0863493368220603,-0.19946129057342152,0.05762778776986328,0.032370627830224964,-0.2208013923711974,-0.43676116800475145,0.19428448285055377,0.03448696317290402,0.060536320901378206,0.0609457022070133,-0.2260144267441757,-0.07197696475356595,-0.07714466894164167,-0.13055684202594098,0.018779414799625412,0.17627918003206602,0.03742617458978302,-0.019233415257595674,0.20614662853929186,-0.3095613140598452,-0.021114248910921753,-0.15866164865988985,-0.0016861468155950415,-0.296252351457655,0.12699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x_a{79}	=[0.3326799785692686,0.5514245942772639,13.353186009113536];
std_x_a{79}	=[1.1865989113770687,1.6673516062274585,2.031122890191721];
pred_a{79}	=[0.3326799785692686];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.9 to 8.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{80}	=[0.6993452351681313,1.2218734226399819,10.593073574467665];
std_x_f{80}	=[1.9697324523904514,2.9753084790981084,2.5652329027059304];
pred_f{80}	=[0.6993452351681313];
obs{80}	=[0.6483496574389727];
sqrt_r{80}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{80}	=[4.892931305116454];
L_f{80}	=[-0.11439130699642956,-0.10961950457114296,-0.04658798485086739,-0.021981942827535107,-0.07682467159633091,0.19167914222465163,0.02211533086777211,-0.06025087179602768,-0.09704481361786559,-0.02402640591040328,-0.10031347425804796,-0.11221615615005433,-0.1064240186005444,0.281243477132381,-0.11080370091417777,-0.07260529795259198,0.058396388153825314,-0.06071485535641302,-0.049969355921789464,0.07064966850340722,0.21199325218065804,-0.11257416598921768,-0.052563619085300245,-0.06178656766349813,-0.062014071421689174,0.07344060118550653,-0.004312440677726184,-0.003640610712679114,0.022679446859366147,-0.04644623576095434,-0.10726968909825528,-0.05172694657658344,-0.029484471539879202,-0.11778125651419015,0.1226424577349726,-0.028630304277077877,0.03820548139585885,-0.037491558658414026,0.11404966735023425,-0.08744423712035554,-0.10946476382430323,0.015852508330375957,-0.1140040509312823,-0.04453657236147261,0.212686549752708,-0.11677293281913909,0.04957719407936436,-0.11081378611632833,-0.0581834095682591,-0.007151082483543008,-0.11586264164154503,-0.11269444907163094,-0.03263107631505232,-0.047073190919122675,-0.04834283203090954,1.2426553261730988,-0.11733080748120261,-0.060666128548263795,-0.0580021240329797,-0.04747346385498856,0.1790953399920794,-0.06626544954895379,0.06953122786926634,-0.10583161160086564,-0.11478307612927278,-0.09483289796569788,0.1944142354866731,-0.10858325823059069,-0.1199126371526666,-0.06376192095129242,-0.05227648874983709,-0.04761237075783271,0.13309710880824602,-0.10671937347949223,-0.0878500444039598,-0.043109609764363156,-0.1091337675678066,-0.05004651271370206,-0.04920634149328817,-0.11522090613540494,-0.06499310451961766,-0.01829130329456454,-0.04326595213769082,0.12622154664707255,-0.10017172314126335,0.30111493216100405,0.12298591013338644,0.11862745676333018,-0.12421326846234786,-0.05442960983334712,0.22601397343424137,-0.10063337341949237,-0.05717189083571852,0.055135698303178694,-0.11972435104563224,-0.06467776225804923,1.146522471639821,-0.10705859105318402,0.06636779452732608,-0.10927314262780591;-0.19307577049378027,-0.18679422580757485,-0.07735363128406875,-0.03438293935610292,-0.12972516246068533,0.36482475671718656,0.04539860804811053,-0.10166495472648553,-0.16437957489401733,-0.03846788185327309,-0.17098703051748246,-0.19095218569335615,-0.18010326131453328,0.537738021429184,-0.1874437653220314,-0.12268506239048146,0.11300023663919771,-0.10233989930953717,-0.08381689628519239,0.13574642651605534,0.40397813778306074,-0.19107199559787777,-0.08749250886478527,-0.10449153927741951,-0.10417040310183345,0.14070360587359756,-0.002355584500936604,-0.001011094581590009,0.04711609340313053,-0.07599233431173825,-0.18152778674840536,-0.0865630611282417,-0.04699015684806419,-0.19959110626261525,0.2334100662080104,-0.04532259094399583,0.07663399759122967,-0.06135660366924473,0.2177078301520247,-0.14892692701814417,-0.18547722418102927,0.035002809762762356,-0.19297064374698256,-0.07384644512569127,0.40607382233950573,-0.19724498823004916,0.09551456340632518,-0.187994409572634,-0.09733779791310479,-0.007387645389763082,-0.19614287883853618,-0.19151970779895752,-0.05259568005778965,-0.078162955044291,-0.08119051857472544,1.5252046595148303,-0.19894079486129143,-0.1026347871016086,-0.09752002679632994,-0.07861940754370486,0.34081642992656747,-0.11153131295598552,0.13363871090986207,-0.17981871821718262,-0.19457614513517382,-0.16078749108003862,0.37029758221788106,-0.18433819479226946,-0.2025951940293415,-0.10762525468565463,-0.0874699456123068,-0.07903749934505122,0.2527933070093436,-0.18036428345292058,-0.14927411220303727,-0.07136150881150538,-0.1865802802515093,-0.08201640707848903,-0.08177386251623661,-0.1947168706747596,-0.1099016206670225,-0.028083177136479825,-0.07158337992956532,0.2404227721517338,-0.17020797849131508,0.5758646407094328,0.23423453268267652,0.22584629497947203,-0.2100120771141024,-0.09066648751107227,0.43103462034049456,-0.17111311947674265,-0.09670803480476475,0.10674963037728202,-0.20265103007649737,-0.10859140743243588,1.7838477740840815,-0.18228391211454942,0.12806616201794568,-0.185374941854993;0.11453857390993578,0.11418340655135621,-0.019991577980659044,-0.05869332558005038,0.043670928802248855,-0.29702425888846884,-0.12860340758244737,0.007467105756284152,0.08024344144918331,-0.05478180165356571,0.08746267055523847,0.1187765287787709,0.09862666518944029,-0.33698067340396093,0.10857440033707656,0.029255432280664854,-0.1758713959075052,0.007477091744801958,-0.011816546466517421,-0.19004495291234488,-0.30863382483011953,0.11330897599376492,-0.010006256271070659,0.00930783023591208,0.009588716471561187,-0.19334275951178304,-0.08833621286795715,-0.09219261692963987,-0.1295206130269852,-0.022556497325109566,0.09936217424332772,-0.007441924128334667,-0.05011772179067447,0.12273931449398552,-0.24423571849707876,-0.051888265943915865,-0.14852065235415873,-0.036591463809447326,-0.23652365429012415,0.06071786502626969,0.11253026010452191,-0.11745323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k{80}	=[0.795623535741383;1.1868347295482553;0.4793042329870465];
x_a_linear{80}	=[0.6587719533080836,1.161350099937639,10.568631178198459];
L_a{80}	=[0.06725490468977202,0.06444938453498485,0.027390809346477637,0.012924001906963054,0.04516808227565346,-0.1126952980940983,-0.013002425697795248,0.03542372883495396,0.05705625595054988,0.014126017806513676,0.05897802313365863,0.06597605259252799,0.06257063946218837,-0.16535350234042406,0.06514561761663927,0.04268735555164593,-0.03433340891572309,0.03569652203009004,0.029378843184597277,-0.04153756824991021,-0.12463871901323682,0.06618653989478136,0.030904107003879785,0.03632662156265422,0.036460379485134815,-0.043178461395191124,0.0025354442953416582,0.0021404504671096716,-0.013334090474121566,0.027307469783513783,0.06306784060636524,0.030412196112153976,0.01733501762773603,0.06924798211590202,-0.0721060631481586,0.016832820919286565,-0.022462423739817362,0.02204268200486003,-0.06705404203292809,0.05141171989041846,0.06435840669362806,-0.00932027935380204,0.06702722244331547,0.026184707632315618,-0.1250463344462113,0.06865515110638115,-0.029148276649186584,0.06515154708214885,0.03420819088255855,0.00420438740921455,0.06811995706064011,0.06625725879341018,0.019185023627381143,0.027676080043458614,0.02842254928317191,-0.730603292491601,0.0689831463729017,0.03566787372696312,0.03410160637262521,0.027911415392432172,-0.10529681264963173,0.03895992283556007,-0.04087999539559654,0.06222234134979602,0.06748524033661049,0.055755788456345885,-0.1143033611671135,0.0638401367634622,0.07050110007968952,0.03748800524282654,0.030735292398538294,0.02799308392789024,-0.07825274142258175,0.06274428958259395,0.051650309088302884,0.025345743239090633,0.06416380168151777,0.029424206532761666,0.028930238618278478,0.06774265688430031,0.038211863862134994,0.010754137635354082,0.025437662736237862,-0.07421034266012362,0.05889468237902158,-0.17703666996118433,-0.07230799158946485,-0.06974549472065066,0.07302960120825416,0.03200119237869615,-0.13288202260291462,0.05916610375078078,0.033613481391643656,-0.032416328056292236,0.07039039967320318,0.03802646241596468,-0.6740832112113583,0.06294372821291289,-0.03902009525553361,0.06424574546398264;0.07788659152228458,0.07286501457994007,0.03300082438408459,0.017686394465189135,0.052251904009059665,-0.08921178233578432,-0.006986686307214232,0.041053219967403375,0.06549359125598,0.018444237320632342,0.06662871704842932,0.07485782666825903,0.07198672884656478,-0.12845243365303258,0.07502051896806995,0.04929743824419111,-0.02532516310347091,0.041477328142465665,0.03454712161532953,-0.03160371184657993,-0.09817708581387946,0.07558604616554916,0.037016623493586746,0.04186428752932728,0.04272431916214301,-0.03325750435067646,0.007859432205947611,0.007612536914458038,-0.0066054406153894666,0.03402635573553966,0.07256537027531279,0.03596421819296846,0.022850657642240358,0.07940113802829972,-0.05709706150896525,0.022494930123385454,-0.013864552978752376,0.02745085518831305,-0.052445279063961854,0.05820504530527636,0.07381547683067963,-0.002547535747426469,0.07707441239267794,0.03164876390746254,-0.09772363747830819,0.07935880734687088,-0.021920528145629017,0.07449376385964009,0.04048311261513711,0.009551353312061332,0.07830468079633846,0.0754232523641018,0.02469859820173765,0.033340823817828075,0.033320699957378234,-1.4183129135662738,0.07898445634115428,0.04106701959530104,0.03987146686337158,0.0338325106744641,-0.08341245270905646,0.045433785190863114,-0.031062141209273794,0.07086801846143871,0.07731421300566149,0.06384623943950118,-0.09021766006937212,0.07286645561424653,0.08144572001910065,0.043409654882980986,0.036359051900626674,0.03374345211422028,-0.06247808840636874,0.07242532329386045,0.05881910886363061,0.030753608097747413,0.07192837929906315,0.03653037459256028,0.03478277860690916,0.07821058946043269,0.04404963295351905,0.015244020315701797,0.030902070179581697,-0.058562258396777575,0.06707199865260527,-0.13739596797649933,-0.057086141758764565,-0.05515037101328403,0.08421588041193423,0.038262677049630704,-0.10433193589869219,0.06726038350492519,0.03871685882158748,-0.02385206861458918,0.08094388462429826,0.044612884847409134,-0.931956819613922,0.07130921019139722,-0.029141363965496492,0.07346385987556808;0.22396695838592962,0.21904701557239334,0.024575164476279898,-0.037665080039191286,0.11716252463608066,-0.4803873082506229,-0.14975925405850798,0.06510396415947906,0.17307791860318913,-0.031797793055588046,0.18342399591691952,0.22612413238635534,0.20043342595373678,-0.6060222654190622,0.21457082876653852,0.09871071404956969,-0.23173422834376248,0.06555780355582484,0.03598486463195016,-0.2576294511673884,-0.5114296466023567,0.22099905700942235,0.040276864621109014,0.0684137575940483,0.06891227722662854,-0.26359710447635776,-0.08421086952760273,-0.08870995588436535,-0.15121610104782768,0.021874645895160864,0.20197791567926243,0.04204082369906917,-0.021912448396621435,0.23541057387825584,-0.3615572735215547,-0.024500101350302377,-0.18506857034767327,-7.264946679959322E-4,-0.34562522132222523,0.14436829136605125,0.21724584188132237,-0.13261797395840266,0.22546317025904014,0.01951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x_a{80}	=[0.6587719533080837,1.1613500999376387,10.568631178198453];
std_x_a{80}	=[1.15807898194576,1.7931973064337963,2.3704289510414225];
pred_a{80}	=[0.6587719533080837];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.0 to 8.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{81}	=[1.5189581516361594,2.903724594509963,8.658828422141312];
std_x_f{81}	=[2.139168477795039,3.4294338914170313,2.8448239167587226];
pred_f{81}	=[1.5189581516361594];
obs{81}	=[1.5603123778122714];
sqrt_r{81}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{81}	=[5.5881048191494544];
L_f{81}	=[0.10983188406611398,0.1036016358495383,0.05090955212180186,0.028461475784264608,0.07775982181897367,-0.1788727537319399,-0.01255700483317279,0.06217302826414805,0.09440311133603939,0.029020444484379744,0.09609869416456901,0.1062963339092324,0.10265077048459631,-0.2727975194938017,0.10628557373719218,0.07373504002880617,-0.0456437127312939,0.06338613391950888,0.053099844402610216,-0.057909659875173124,-0.2003201705969223,0.1072359099216234,0.05660603145172362,0.06327467111987341,0.06434410622286313,-0.060665245121210194,0.01216073926155171,0.011741016017167222,-0.012177010279181296,0.05167323236472714,0.10334401914969071,0.055180320815690166,0.035249918271214285,0.11193748172125328,-0.10944493477429133,0.03470819084028447,-0.02652241579266413,0.043026922215642395,-0.10024331178939676,0.08558400549036016,0.1045848355708437,-0.005481708746239925,0.10877784616988448,0.04866804526880118,-0.19997896553168712,0.11203327361928973,-0.038824694550963046,0.1055565450369668,0.06111618342308407,0.015089000639981484,0.11045017244867726,0.10689020390527768,0.0385180856997368,0.05078408274616613,0.051645863358919,-1.4079549257521666,0.1110483404360851,0.06305131860986611,0.060916963571296896,0.05138448590556185,-0.16642978614180584,0.0689671691477723,-0.05679447381060173,0.10198165108954217,0.10924967974982906,0.0927603353852221,-0.181174378083126,0.1037726210639021,0.11461458212938185,0.06567288561293702,0.05572887886247502,0.051108837699502516,-0.11999796917266013,0.10326956338977186,0.0865464703192149,0.04776485521610435,0.10328016138503361,0.05479848048052508,0.05293899583715667,0.11072830200304763,0.0671448418695577,0.024702192265939393,0.04747260125187528,-0.11278629898328835,0.09707923727290942,-0.29439637963886395,-0.10872407365869323,-0.1046094695699249,0.11712967421544578,0.05832452450757939,-0.21456164462764277,0.09748295034157768,0.05939827749227176,-0.04317092037528379,0.11329010376489573,0.0673478460043875,-1.2883463617137083,0.10212292078160878,-0.05377853310054555,0.10519052769089747;0.1812549507342639,0.17107700272593393,0.08889942561544595,0.05158768647312127,0.13148286591118316,-0.3308761272336326,-0.01803956497678771,0.10758820196107066,0.15849470489660916,0.05338630146402446,0.15951694730485436,0.17489491183481745,0.17064959900691198,-0.5182574614525968,0.1758777655706356,0.12634059362716743,-0.07738382449296698,0.10941068131462524,0.09340034859347163,-0.09982858988473739,-0.37268598940829506,0.17674026773334212,0.09928653484021467,0.10977974347428265,0.11159620802978212,-0.10486552994977484,0.02446150957874042,0.02404308554696134,-0.017402854877868808,0.09156374409495524,0.1718294837278581,0.0962439367805191,0.06499699331851706,0.18396799409313255,-0.19622064664653668,0.06268534489754929,-0.04233888084525732,0.07707949661220881,-0.1783749745657454,0.14436317954725406,0.17256935674678459,-0.0058624898044382,0.1793360322153894,0.08653146376738155,-0.3726292394822408,0.18423406682380977,-0.06502664665057148,0.17445393385920843,0.10598648349673158,0.029895937379550343,0.18202616720001785,0.17625065214494767,0.06940941247904307,0.09043587091237455,0.09093766084582158,-2.0141457384515506,0.18295302288158358,0.10910424595130855,0.10622476555574227,0.09132756174777006,-0.30578722939161057,0.11880334430693386,-0.09817784798424063,0.1693098056155659,0.17989007229490234,0.15525235359544537,-0.33574014586807854,0.17166348438794232,0.18822929388320583,0.11338200393787468,0.09776296028416459,0.0909217034972676,-0.21629347829250561,0.17237022578445665,0.1459249424855448,0.0845040722035908,0.16961786036325427,0.09722583000926512,0.09332636799478534,0.18285738379648273,0.11580392121332408,0.046178447516947115,0.08358557668141697,-0.20221421055681035,0.16234515822202064,-0.5620094463569504,-0.19559527942892316,-0.18726613734550143,0.19140379966771687,0.10187764922054343,-0.40118962545280085,0.16276157346958142,0.10409645797281417,-0.07256814412407618,0.18611924717093184,0.11634787688254968,-2.1852002042210783,0.16843733347033452,-0.09218914072248087,0.173994559222281;0.1702030553653176,0.1643307825471065,-0.004612690764691352,-0.059144036628165635,0.07507615950441462,-0.42436399572601446,-0.1557324000138205,0.030474369686157996,0.1251196719548213,-0.054785134048524385,0.1339346815902092,0.17070808319278327,0.14901278456924125,-0.5102959512315834,0.16237586848505106,0.06022693903373494,-0.22531535556296886,0.031112309040381637,0.004663160697357037,-0.2476396825506383,-0.44736354556854,0.1665093050208469,0.009157123314098611,0.03285097252922577,0.03395400249696419,-0.2519055456189511,-0.09947620419407832,-0.10318291832624887,-0.15696303892976818,-0.006645332445066924,0.15094774356381618,0.009914641114697377,-0.04518085146470186,0.17983809272483145,-0.3328156278441056,-0.04760917806169614,-0.18579410732878243,-0.026604862125907198,-0.3193203503659764,0.09996604084876388,0.16301408393474578,-0.14114997511947847,0.1712621641841529,-0.009561114139098655,-0.44818043866562474,0.177138073636266,-0.20553529165748194,0.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k{81}	=[0.8210484533910006;1.3103172148622584;-0.38909286214874617];
x_a_linear{81}	=[1.5529119750792377,2.95791174897583,8.642737787916502];
L_a{81}	=[-0.05798235796437527,-0.05469329044657919,-0.02687612891312528,-0.015025358903287322,-0.04105090122317931,0.09443035713304948,0.0066290836708139955,-0.03282233398064101,-0.04983721294576028,-0.015320449200030744,-0.05073234363898306,-0.056115873231454415,-0.05419131038464156,0.14401504227644615,-0.05611019273027466,-0.03892614172851842,0.024096191310128936,-0.03346275572115663,-0.02803242621378903,0.030571620044834005,0.1057528598165872,-0.056611893427669875,-0.029883409598990406,-0.03340391237158553,-0.0339684876721774,0.03202634634308175,-0.006419887475937975,-0.006198307525736857,0.006428477258191666,-0.027279290359294956,-0.054557289650130875,-0.029130749611819898,-0.018609107881516252,-0.059093943347866516,0.057778080012273005,-0.018323119581430555,0.014001691946252491,-0.022714737411869655,0.05292036676898361,-0.04518143783621125,-0.055212340435347895,0.002893899175849576,-0.057425911144520475,-0.02569279445760377,0.10557273111898761,-0.05914451372794557,0.020496300836980712,-0.05572532449804696,-0.03226440532077657,-0.007965772816074402,-0.05830876425912102,-0.05642938859165946,-0.02033443614424585,-0.026809891223464184,-0.027264841736243443,0.7432864071923362,-0.058624548611393726,-0.03328600029807771,-0.032159233340361734,-0.02712685556589553,0.08786147590985205,-0.03640909125175877,0.029982891934206703,-0.05383806942355963,-0.05767500114024073,-0.04896996001601706,0.09564542876880223,-0.05478355682040968,-0.0605072359949929,-0.034669975795649545,-0.029420343925013796,-0.026981335591510513,0.06334922925822643,-0.05451798302655047,-0.04568954147760172,-0.02521598310732388,-0.05452357791149838,-0.028929168775917485,-0.02794751117131753,-0.05845559418486697,-0.035447049732830825,-0.013040761038081928,-0.025061696634734454,0.059542050259189495,-0.05124999115082099,0.15541749477193123,0.05739752360460856,0.05522534519589602,-0.06183500134189113,-0.030790635040592915,0.11327120708169028,-0.051463119022216855,-0.0313574898337444,0.022790756801954165,-0.05980801846541418,-0.0355542195088392,0.6801427523725024,-0.05391264840328488,0.02839071899338264,-0.055532096921542956;-0.0865610220301295,-0.08154702463141267,-0.035239310057089794,-0.017813270164248707,-0.05812803350576898,0.10529030065836743,0.012579653595289243,-0.04401558946845438,-0.07169948060263669,-0.017377654155281107,-0.07481177679842663,-0.08429991405065518,-0.07965582173774076,0.14693674578659896,-0.08329082252453954,-0.05345620800330537,0.03391459699592969,-0.0451511680041814,-0.036079233799584415,0.0413793300539647,0.11577819208976221,-0.08474563661157931,-0.03874259492004281,-0.04451031301892323,-0.04530157758371403,0.043061656889223685,-0.005191448144411592,-0.004586411730779551,0.012289778377132484,-0.03443716273925247,-0.08016636659640657,-0.038308715414808236,-0.020957019324913714,-0.08898230454626858,0.07065178224732048,-0.021947710174032367,0.02233383824693524,-0.027838097456409843,0.06606005710357427,-0.06432634516013111,-0.08245212187912253,0.00750420396366296,-0.085909756244969,-0.03214154268272683,0.11500294166150128,-0.0889498124426898,0.02964416253073637,-0.08293697799755786,-0.04304027912574652,-0.006897343722744463,-0.08729745068976914,-0.08439227664833522,-0.02451375635677171,-0.033396918056490234,-0.03499650892950342,1.419035994293322,-0.08782917821276454,-0.044641183904144274,-0.04231621592172482,-0.03396926070783304,0.10003805032139944,-0.04936739819802622,0.04031078289522317,-0.07936402278041964,-0.08650624335772142,-0.07093605850709478,0.10603860279755123,-0.08137747628437143,-0.0912488928652558,-0.04675590040769841,-0.03812730537529102,-0.0337029735874878,0.07631165287671214,-0.07944407032228633,-0.06511147316869934,-0.031966579942838774,-0.08222227807911377,-0.03639573608413054,-0.035760998463972515,-0.08714443002694927,-0.04792322682123292,-0.014055806928995898,-0.032172438325171686,0.07280585882961979,-0.07437453921865235,0.15585179641147198,0.06951938920666766,0.06781540925140611,-0.09420723128485385,-0.04034188383977772,0.1220012135506523,-0.0749425449261031,-0.04074133300549849,0.032700577556788714,-0.0901293085409113,-0.04787427995848379,0.956325929593803,-0.08058096939519774,0.03894536797350849,-0.08250384958384835;0.24972981590093563,0.23934636254339386,0.032249754007074354,-0.038535731595149114,0.13138027175443542,-0.5538816742520747,-0.16482464062230495,0.07549244046386393,0.19347481029078276,-0.03377209253721573,0.20351755275365713,0.24767483255242292,0.22333986465657799,-0.7078224089807266,0.23933482664969813,0.11361679864795463,-0.25836492621544954,0.07700876193616348,0.04311154612014517,-0.28957074558165863,-0.5924108091475379,0.24415637992691414,0.05014425875668992,0.07866671775573073,0.08054410127359748,-0.2958318650353133,-0.0906708904419498,-0.09468151659594594,-0.16578013415440523,0.030770075760962853,0.22577678918738492,0.04986945202503724,-0.019657190160963203,0.2608894684660286,-0.41206220722894116,-0.022477769226733023,-0.20499838327746422,0.004549950237761954,-0.39190424455806533,0.161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x_a{81}	=[1.5529119750792375,2.9579117489758318,8.642737787916499];
std_x_a{81}	=[1.1293080645958506,1.8323712316633143,2.7048852871809244];
pred_a{81}	=[1.5529119750792375];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.1 to 8.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{82}	=[3.8738837867886002,7.3864072769236735,8.187058763339719];
std_x_f{82}	=[2.0732902024263784,3.2136643797068354,3.5237535016457664];
pred_f{82}	=[3.8738837867886002];
obs{82}	=[4.022659924602373];
sqrt_r{82}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{82}	=[5.316900641961082];
L_f{82}	=[-0.13552999108635738,-0.12781504490686857,-0.052747421055887575,-0.02260906442448373,-0.09056999547192272,0.24418491826503877,0.03352288120172611,-0.06828127791795531,-0.11279257297291484,-0.02298734706453455,-0.11718579095272526,-0.13132826619345628,-0.1248441236141054,0.35568448427022126,-0.13030372862716905,-0.08435828589517048,0.07710473749688598,-0.07037850486147891,-0.056324010735625096,0.09357626231171556,0.2706332872073901,-0.13200744056001545,-0.05948261415746296,-0.06948957349621014,-0.07083513041017168,0.09600339296641588,7.535150436489839E-4,8.412058401557424E-4,0.033624646712621144,-0.052593550468458476,-0.1261112313656081,-0.058970644440307224,-0.030394472691645375,-0.1386981722592368,0.15866966698276194,-0.03017913500048151,0.05234485192219113,-0.0413390849898568,0.1473500009848039,-0.10160913489383698,-0.12885639472146315,0.02387862441949085,-0.13429649128966561,-0.049058905033715836,0.27013884676717115,-0.1385967625579663,0.06831300511101288,-0.13060040354749478,-0.06678254305684586,-0.0036364938114724207,-0.13660939763754026,-0.132226689224034,-0.03494159992360397,-0.05134133972345405,-0.05371781427622221,1.1650124496050618,-0.13736089558316855,-0.06943650189160953,-0.06574545921427681,-0.05276574866465366,0.2297801642044096,-0.07709319202256382,0.09135807406113888,-0.12438421544081174,-0.13489126415483754,-0.11171458495486916,0.2470033021061855,-0.12755648983120504,-0.14194829907822884,-0.07270934615181963,-0.05885285163951943,-0.051655757043855326,0.17182622753732724,-0.12517402184412818,-0.10277267763287717,-0.04810815055358015,-0.1287129740467865,-0.056332650326823684,-0.054866946145661684,-0.13701898315401514,-0.07485131590548187,-0.01694292772229732,-0.048693351419077845,0.1628011639376495,-0.11720137093264985,0.38032423590336184,0.15638654740434552,0.15217124510189156,-0.1466826645835161,-0.06226166404585205,0.2878317631087533,-0.11797906783246408,-0.0641717916325242,0.07462519342978405,-0.14077928615983185,-0.07535150113761624,1.1857060812534748,-0.12603723110135803,0.0877134908996845,-0.1286806388909447;-0.26087341828974087,-0.24619632524071372,-0.08946122511896386,-0.025641509917885007,-0.16945041448774947,0.5451813784937349,0.09311395407717041,-0.1224717289855158,-0.2154159223200496,-0.026388393990806964,-0.2238821501158412,-0.2534811718830318,-0.23967429996367687,0.7796691140942463,-0.2510473678537275,-0.15527795420262172,0.1867673016225023,-0.12596420462888971,-0.09645839770195427,0.22152650582421834,0.6001964034301476,-0.2540879097586649,-0.10357902219055831,-0.12460713011458165,-0.12702726921274562,0.22764032023882855,0.02394071464097154,0.024278245679796077,0.09410024590984514,-0.08861670388481033,-0.24181079159616709,-0.10198989049060736,-0.04173126081584882,-0.2676865655356936,0.36132438451251236,-0.04151579485142223,0.13370075029216674,-0.06458921471157975,0.3371752546349495,-0.1914073394381255,-0.24811813287285436,0.07320515753387867,-0.25874506737029007,-0.08120069408508569,0.598839866594313,-0.26769627255496886,0.16672554885560914,-0.25077125556153623,-0.11932574460450071,0.014686815970464952,-0.2633733833929802,-0.2547917952982935,-0.05185142552713697,-0.08626255399550671,-0.09086037817367933,1.0407166439093047,-0.26505659360101536,-0.12407358329917009,-0.11708925339922203,-0.08963994421079556,0.5129338952031282,-0.14004542772596953,0.2165579968633439,-0.23868226388260294,-0.26028545348306625,-0.21227325481173862,0.5497728091746392,-0.2450317545994613,-0.27469954665054713,-0.1316032145788002,-0.10201398886333628,-0.08732422531025072,0.3883230189728986,-0.2400784346908665,-0.1939378660075432,-0.07939108416867369,-0.24708139942850152,-0.09675106318528591,-0.09438507154040214,-0.2634876599107887,-0.1357382443088189,-0.013634381248710942,-0.08066169252059502,0.37089813749451245,-0.22339101765272387,0.8308593055032433,0.357414010994422,0.34826259386188,-0.2842068404655595,-0.10897194385110699,0.6359818210592074,-0.22489251851900896,-0.11282002704748187,0.18117653960305183,-0.272238351245908,-0.13579485904068053,1.5836296886104297,-0.24201145396380724,0.20943828228685765,-0.24741421199101732;0.08532676732928025,0.08045679640920765,-0.04297549336652962,-0.07983683752368095,0.01480818493809249,-0.2695920423662971,-0.14280366315178797,-0.01770014757604526,0.0519889131812605,-0.07703680862341467,0.05757253117350242,0.08543895718865842,0.0694692844543207,-0.2702814014536763,0.08027229790770977,0.0037139601250877345,-0.18465333797403635,-0.016990931921182926,-0.036093396945737904,-0.19589888542019834,-0.27341840775565124,0.08245494727176461,-0.03261980199723967,-0.015736462119557884,-0.015029538783023592,-0.19862533109128877,-0.10595676634017961,-0.10981801954408597,-0.14336678380816928,-0.04373155836358154,0.07117441560845951,-0.032675083500440454,-0.0702395886451251,0.09261280021457895,-0.2383489937713674,-0.07254585572699433,-0.16129856879334215,-0.05761441106348778,-0.23237469344541808,0.032430816473132285,0.07993907405467339,-0.1337848696477029,0.08599413695478497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k{82}	=[0.811920502687603;1.190275710104519;0.7820885833202954];
x_a_linear{82}	=[3.994678183390279,7.56349190000657,8.303414882194359];
L_a{82}	=[0.07441648944404042,0.07018038490123606,0.02896243016576782,0.012414132035264393,0.04972996056414217,-0.13407648186802815,-0.018406664938777205,0.03749172383675136,0.06193188126646279,0.012621838579509891,0.0643440990848172,0.07210941620045003,0.06854911840995957,-0.19529840190307562,0.0715468655179367,0.04631924964737339,-0.042336488315463806,0.038643264285131027,0.030926255633580996,-0.05138063450543143,-0.14859869021788705,0.07248233566775455,0.03266057418783618,0.03815517193723266,0.03889398716979888,-0.05271331770932619,-4.1373827181829246E-4,-4.618873285716987E-4,-0.0184625421066764,0.02887794326472591,0.06924485896050764,0.03237946305703029,0.01668892573580829,0.07615606692736011,-0.08712196838106827,0.01657068862169846,-0.028741388450586908,0.022698367771704347,-0.08090659273989081,0.05579130533128477,0.07075216681359374,-0.013111219057920464,0.07373920227044871,0.02693714844452012,-0.14832720402132393,0.07610038512657466,-0.037509144529458055,0.07170976308695291,0.03666880201644291,0.0019967174878830663,0.07500916746001322,0.07260272020966115,0.01918565168513827,0.02819038232754585,0.02949525139787155,-0.6396823017790141,0.07542179818838414,0.03812603150512695,0.03609936245399253,0.028972493446178152,-0.1261671533134816,0.04233014895351782,-0.05016267690644693,0.06829659310947975,0.07406577875944484,0.06133998213533547,-0.13562399345334444,0.07003841808706653,0.07794063893373762,0.03992307715081517,0.03231478566240986,0.028363021851957493,-0.0943459417745645,0.06873025815589588,0.05643018064783598,0.026415110405796707,0.07067341772612182,0.030930999440040935,0.030126214027961725,0.07523406171418431,0.04109918487638356,0.009302982992111906,0.026736431123675446,-0.0893904810332645,0.06435265370363107,-0.20882753890525513,-0.08586835844097385,-0.08355383014521013,0.08054017323477614,0.0341864883786812,-0.15804198900444047,0.0647796696922827,0.03523529675128537,-0.04097502607809124,0.07729876006394262,0.04137382540980946,-0.651044712480729,0.06920422706907707,-0.048161517737259935,0.07065566321463615;0.046908187631120826,0.04406503659481548,0.030325442249887813,0.025702507012669726,0.03622936480797501,-0.009349952046823526,0.016985223243068705,0.03259152456790674,0.0407301820756157,0.0258146832666429,0.04224072528193279,0.04475853394022868,0.04384025314544487,-0.028071968837482274,0.044865666101921484,0.036295353649239234,0.011666427338693311,0.03386174293405928,0.031450520000760124,0.009019649891349438,-0.014397806195805066,0.04569416595309229,0.03150292065476796,0.03320010025549542,0.033835651374067896,0.009621576016913571,0.02222952091653595,0.022367910688124725,0.01774041085947679,0.03082053133162037,0.04458129773579544,0.03192939558431704,0.027293015959847233,0.04728981610544149,9.93770428980432E-4,0.027019461155730933,0.014828296622217522,0.029289711004352317,0.0025510170619819934,0.03934175501084922,0.04450808057737626,0.018978035462210673,0.04623532425633447,0.030209544010296557,-0.014631494343293696,0.04704981289516954,0.011590244486331832,0.0458155118067878,0.03233395953004862,0.022945105491808622,0.04685949902470354,0.0454881827992509,0.027499142208668045,0.030330975330002355,0.031130002051163244,-1.6049664243406445,0.04688290181573751,0.03361312419946083,0.032215286922639766,0.030188344210440907,-0.008884983265841013,0.0350292273822936,0.009088531817354143,0.04378786153182319,0.04604563658405445,0.041424794502552265,-0.011158925422441485,0.044642442020686325,0.04765770503844663,0.033515953102717454,0.03163779584822367,0.029983329501622996,-0.0018854642333348385,0.044185300250357384,0.03945357387293934,0.029860039634830613,0.04521911308114514,0.031177474582569132,0.03021492777580102,0.04767537004849875,0.03424522599185869,0.024842132042336117,0.029918392206801092,0.0011851073314119629,0.042767239074326203,-0.03283738006928555,0.00226824348781249,0.002689560048320867,0.048901910626287,0.03242107767670509,-0.01766923856638779,0.04303184767817293,0.032910795519253425,0.011706581759264931,0.04746413251694315,0.03532450607390643,-1.1090475477201842,0.044212584592184336,0.010245477257984187,0.04481286905070883;0.28755930732251855,0.27117739613532893,0.03573214066133532,-0.04610047785314337,0.14995318188413567,-0.6339552054783988,-0.192825192401331,0.08418649874221197,0.22029356916069448,-0.042735990425877377,0.2324325748105286,0.28140184800215984,0.25575679188596284,-0.8010198462331685,0.2747064139261439,0.129590087536516,-0.29970600480090387,0.08802511423198493,0.04795108400175984,-0.33552971590046937,-0.6772467902410922,0.27943127545176083,0.05613782316069743,0.0879531554960072,0.09066786611441768,-0.34187783079223183,-0.1070811319509113,-0.11107323392393047,-0.1935401635639152,0.03474647600537021,0.2593526515569236,0.05531860051450611,-0.024886147942322176,0.2995727759629177,-0.47510965107384656,-0.027513733485819616,-0.23940550494040905,0.004070151087543326,-0.4522445888708197,0.18404798453597748,0.2722135351537565,-0.16941561697669252,0.28638609690395617,0.027598505605346522,-0.6772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x_a{82}	=[3.994678183390281,7.563491900006576,8.30341488219436];
std_x_a{82}	=[1.138397318752757,1.9781038039803625,3.0892605996587297];
pred_a{82}	=[3.994678183390281];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.2 to 8.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{83}	=[9.636925797631507,17.46119903666418,14.31322329928473];
std_x_f{83}	=[2.3046094601408167,4.1669887471281255,2.7020475055379136];
pred_f{83}	=[9.636925797631507];
obs{83}	=[10.176283559337534];
sqrt_r{83}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{83}	=[6.312707037082055];
L_f{83}	=[0.038500302745695054,0.036853264043437,0.04409878426729244,0.04360359169976021,0.041628056639198996,-0.013748480382565514,0.039431735432280436,0.042608831345521375,0.0392673419891364,0.04314840965981661,0.03945130411553941,0.03666405523893608,0.038552092219805274,-0.06956277569386271,0.03803306476523095,0.04291572320470338,0.03375463239680144,0.04333367112915338,0.044178772212800727,0.031185345910713518,-0.02611755662077043,0.037883437218218775,0.043719049685572074,0.042220134224614514,0.04330578393294153,0.03133369613406701,0.04273544990416408,0.04368958185058562,0.040237523261746844,0.04443774239365914,0.0389654975640316,0.04409353490690808,0.04414541613558716,0.03727720945560674,0.015412807455267572,0.04444630704652353,0.03750499638983539,0.04480616323317028,0.0181359445637399,0.04130750173526984,0.03675065532563127,0.04117233960382628,0.03757887237264525,0.04403890355876415,-0.025828617560132276,0.03826992424962208,0.034391102558504284,0.03728777855799368,0.04316929806166691,0.042805919065851385,0.0373756282944613,0.036886718193238105,0.043706219517541285,0.04339010750647522,0.04444178944941233,-1.7262469261368658,0.03706469637500674,0.043217423325377514,0.04320378532195469,0.043138392602043704,-0.009063806265222695,0.04355980746060007,0.031042336070767774,0.039238403503784595,0.03762805912299846,0.0404372066367938,-0.014955078744617925,0.03762248470795999,0.03703073184364151,0.043213382646178904,0.043579033432506326,0.043070722258231255,0.009898813748045476,0.03928403532317064,0.040811016872874785,0.04391124443899114,0.0381257278849257,0.043351903502625404,0.04307073439626864,0.03892515284666404,0.0431559444845035,0.043597394826100096,0.04389236327129178,0.014548614377024685,0.040477855535961484,-0.08541791256937052,0.016902568040695277,0.017177825995746573,0.03509333467867054,0.04398968230002988,-0.03492793144929793,0.04016224902567344,0.043982035234378145,0.034574321167000106,0.0365959903518327,0.04428982242854908,-1.47589785015339,0.03804544219147929,0.032806448965028726,0.037917935957744675;-0.03423167451014462,-0.02995478153852773,0.06292818177536531,0.0906161753906589,0.019008730859740468,0.18803882355686394,0.13368093604919115,0.043744340868434026,-0.008492549978087972,0.08890348727974573,-0.01274260149540275,-0.0338086629568202,-0.02297826281449877,0.1380187474571378,-0.030142566342854536,0.02808801437633444,0.16089736767146776,0.043891915168339006,0.05813919379160861,0.16793363503276532,0.17954248795718936,-0.03140908661415683,0.05529782715998832,0.04227599570847259,0.04246363827606866,0.1702869276241709,0.1101002807930142,0.1124634481470007,0.13561772220263632,0.06377369558700711,-0.022874779074018147,0.05598472895953519,0.08372729335613202,-0.03962323403598382,0.1875966673586682,0.08523852215904651,0.14657104855798922,0.07486173318772796,0.18556885647637547,0.006558506396489067,-0.029948034187986472,0.12899522263151153,-0.03450381970494332,0.0658896970362664,0.17962499098096152,-0.03820233149549557,0.15289133071416297,-0.03130189234557668,0.04701911795257865,0.10683147524985288,-0.03738149824848724,-0.03337343910007975,0.07909783693700181,0.06266102037749992,0.06223641442074961,-3.033379812549379,-0.039297442679320525,0.04421021808619329,0.047374136264206765,0.06022327518421275,0.1879869010382212,0.03736567061182515,0.16632752349603447,-0.020561788653685503,-0.0355450095335128,-0.004441487392793795,0.1854052941114579,-0.027644441467176054,-0.04349245607037126,0.03993533735795371,0.0548940518496824,0.060224452074462094,0.18549138619038474,-0.02153534466889397,0.005247875520010068,0.06629343209290653,-0.028192757650029137,0.05763242580988107,0.05768781710375181,-0.03517155724017647,0.03901388835316839,0.09557226324333776,0.06548351121939247,0.18900959807911724,-0.011351876580845795,0.11793477159198106,0.18928441929138382,0.18683633925614468,-0.05194744987915026,0.052626629758715376,0.17185669013504962,-0.011887485820054498,0.04985509810203993,0.15979413880956753,-0.04384792907135194,0.039980939082639,-2.694481442275866,-0.025773547310282592,0.16638505083645166,-0.02747812675002252;0.24947026780629292,0.23409479140960335,0.0559898254063903,-0.010300235189281718,0.14420607540528055,-0.5721017917821158,-0.13563198207787774,0.09279113145960673,0.19698590380327194,-0.008139208887863271,0.20682122380919207,0.24185343947943821,0.2247739348645373,-0.7873756866322615,0.23835058041874221,0.12949255865391068,-0.23073251875552228,0.09779565193793635,0.06632561337961657,-0.26308984147727354,-0.6253866203165466,0.24230593355903118,0.07224858947686016,0.09597442564352955,0.09944245718497625,-0.2689198775209844,-0.06114812291682831,-0.06328904072585453,-0.1340797360898918,0.05609344381855241,0.22799621334082865,0.07183192008537627,0.007568842537292308,0.25847185287234087,-0.4000044919716684,0.0049621421388633055,-0.1761964729180609,0.03191735300790528,-0.3772635957476591,0.17107249941431515,0.235561339864777,-0.11311135146230411,0.2481156137068051,0.048902129294420935,-0.6244090448851175,0.257297197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k{83}	=[0.8415893539608591;1.4765200085546817;0.07763008377513748];
x_a_linear{83}	=[10.090843547859457,18.257571563592396,14.355093687510738];
L_a{83}	=[-0.01853912214710643,-0.017746020547779132,-0.021234969331810415,-0.020996518336854,-0.02004523527719731,0.006620331243446799,-0.01898763665522541,-0.02051750953954276,-0.018908475975820883,-0.02077733368541305,-0.018997059599548546,-0.017654910481422134,-0.01856406042857417,0.03349669232469841,-0.018314132176279304,-0.02066528774536384,-0.01625393070720601,-0.020866542984152112,-0.021273486075479964,-0.015016737423009787,0.012576435452330935,-0.018242081746209907,-0.02105211503478022,-0.020330339494405193,-0.020853114410867225,-0.015088172781050157,-0.020578480408792055,-0.021037925333576214,-0.0193756491623946,-0.021398188466708042,-0.0187631282702871,-0.02123244159757363,-0.02125742406178898,-0.017950163767947013,-0.007421757743839814,-0.02140231261987759,-0.018059850432622728,-0.0215755948364801,-0.008733035003417522,-0.019890877880112477,-0.017696611181694428,-0.01982579300841562,-0.01809542407156516,-0.021206134863234687,0.012437302090870857,-0.018428187562852028,-0.016560411363961785,-0.017955253127410836,-0.02078739211627568,-0.02061241355484431,-0.017997555573854455,-0.01776212978654573,-0.021045936900185868,-0.02089371889753705,-0.021400137252966626,0.8312428821951788,-0.017847831950321462,-0.02081056596371756,-0.020803998830649345,-0.02077251015301562,0.00436451143199025,-0.020975434831010636,-0.014947873629690953,-0.01889454117332769,-0.018119109058637613,-0.019471803068123475,0.007201346789333206,-0.018116424800231182,-0.017831476946574998,-0.020808620247973118,-0.020984692748900843,-0.0207399247269226,-0.00476659413300309,-0.018916514347901942,-0.01965180460401571,-0.021144662930655356,-0.01835875242007064,-0.020875322452746533,-0.020739930571774288,-0.018743701003748267,-0.020780961943511454,-0.020993534344793674,-0.021135571046974104,-0.0070056212489645895,-0.019491376807888327,0.04113144577418926,-0.008139124920031139,-0.00827167039335801,-0.01689855849847602,-0.021182433259277465,0.016818911574836948,-0.019339402219966363,-0.02117875095357927,-0.016648636960133426,-0.01762213507016695,-0.021326960291717226,0.7106918275780337,-0.018320092301284098,-0.015797350181707057,-0.01825869398820234;-0.1343040574773257,-0.12574607900716375,-0.05169612278486486,-0.02272099382967709,-0.08919350468354331,0.22377472940541532,0.031187515275221803,-0.06700718533014423,-0.11055866908359337,-0.023250544454064218,-0.11528688640875784,-0.1291081571253681,-0.12318526020591049,0.31883064328761224,-0.129000475272606,-0.08346120424207831,0.07316022642244661,-0.0687436597063392,-0.056693020414644156,0.08687474311821043,0.2474288665549011,-0.1298780743116276,-0.058339447642610065,-0.06746520474283646,-0.07009945046265283,0.0888424345764833,-9.803602433081096E-4,-0.0010972320249666714,0.031029847554023774,-0.051731650030370696,-0.12415632536447013,-0.058625931136488556,-0.031018219658308442,-0.13651647680422205,0.14753473900317152,-0.03028908523707844,0.04908572781395908,-0.041601234804418595,0.13842878067380096,-0.10081052289073204,-0.12547262469143805,0.0219775151681686,-0.1321811635011729,-0.048578961859673524,0.2467603411901085,-0.13767590033805252,0.06349983661005323,-0.12822260698250834,-0.06518920821531256,-0.004432333617183183,-0.1345305573877837,-0.12925169267690262,-0.03450608889436408,-0.05012124744143722,-0.05327945055581113,1.4535886310326271,-0.13563830822268827,-0.06812319826221569,-0.06492383133694304,-0.05190471958962145,0.21154611036976645,-0.07585769188916858,0.08564035165769972,-0.12255268904707466,-0.13335020259240316,-0.10954839149714511,0.22427746551543698,-0.12543514515957407,-0.1397450388900285,-0.0723875762056102,-0.05837928399402067,-0.05172764973026323,0.15976177344270398,-0.12364485412713261,-0.10083065941408416,-0.047843407274039976,-0.12729152232739066,-0.05505053978461945,-0.05426431625091573,-0.13634823703038879,-0.07315972836589858,-0.0177487986773177,-0.04860425104139874,0.15119393415574076,-0.11656443783370211,0.33995832593546044,0.14535021250682986,0.1421866648641124,-0.14316422941348916,-0.061714090178232234,0.262643543301715,-0.11627970298956478,-0.0644657451059499,0.06992641149562517,-0.13897050474931494,-0.0751399237556096,1.1417641025076495,-0.12466362841664935,0.08111248697359401,-0.12603678571830187;0.2442088237159255,0.2290584313167251,0.0499632938903109,-0.016259093782754638,0.13851719305948432,-0.5702229270537472,-0.14102071558300097,0.08696821662797088,0.19161963627499146,-0.014035862389862208,0.2014298160515161,0.23684293662599323,0.219505413234434,-0.7778692508646897,0.2331529889824002,0.1236277040388519,-0.23534542043371878,0.0918736806385832,0.060288150726033815,-0.2673516249502966,-0.6218173999692451,0.2371287901949599,0.06627395241688644,0.09020463008690963,0.09352429694458173,-0.2732019345074689,-0.0669883414167362,-0.06925965071707399,-0.13957858840736417,0.05002059034904164,0.22267119581458514,0.0658061059458934,0.0015359383189122466,0.25337755647963217,-0.4021108033229608,-0.0011118817744877078,-0.18132189863011283,0.02579415121615839,-0.379742050501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x_a{83}	=[10.090843547859459,18.257571563592393,14.355093687510733];
std_x_a{83}	=[1.1097428652740968,2.18765734111529,2.6960964150393494];
pred_a{83}	=[10.090843547859459];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.3 to 8.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{84}	=[17.017758742948473,18.402155480602527,37.56686525770398];
std_x_f{84}	=[1.3352203740411244,2.991847264815141,3.0909579837316445];
pred_f{84}	=[17.017758742948473];
obs{84}	=[17.480545586808585];
sqrt_r{84}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{84}	=[2.7987484913969958];
L_f{84}	=[-0.1262340847096189,-0.11717798544245611,-0.031696631483416525,0.0014400256816401258,-0.07436252870106218,0.27824027817881125,0.06275780431567067,-0.04947298439558639,-0.09971631316811556,1.6164917323095366E-5,-0.10475817631097105,-0.12083819101033719,-0.11319313000796659,0.38387192662038316,-0.12009480591340514,-0.06722049335073241,0.1096349197068477,-0.0510375322221256,-0.03661291045310944,0.12569047681248258,0.30441289331833266,-0.12157129193802502,-0.039475668685642194,-0.05019123066836286,-0.05281528809538629,0.12817727252104846,0.025551306168182034,0.02641185599798408,0.06216528276008321,-0.03174810340646113,-0.11479291823562612,-0.03917595342142791,-0.00777690015767541,-0.1290644772376393,0.19354112111631921,-0.007145295152418133,0.08259646243352638,-0.019574176960319094,0.18244363817913076,-0.08728630903663864,-0.11743740806263833,0.05169375496800621,-0.12446228407333268,-0.027971389614518317,0.3043242102230345,-0.12942162292363368,0.09890962950405598,-0.1201273162040137,-0.04711120638509724,0.021056515780503188,-0.12714963142678604,-0.1219035546583947,-0.012297122523101308,-0.030043403917960513,-0.03373305340131419,0.025750648891590535,-0.1282438034642271,-0.05037255054451383,-0.04555860924143122,-0.03171023256774363,0.2644735702364323,-0.05898346766610515,0.12413553549899994,-0.1125553119742448,-0.12427440736001681,-0.09794519724084987,0.2814070725276209,-0.1164392057541756,-0.13265728894883655,-0.0544704126242053,-0.039191298286813114,-0.03137818640218044,0.20662749972923516,-0.11386381936539629,-0.08846923668031635,-0.0269923964914536,-0.1186794311861617,-0.03598382095532746,-0.03417113969484186,-0.1277131255883135,-0.05679790799470653,0.007390555063205013,-0.027755164043600258,0.1974084999112713,-0.10538354879704949,0.40633953681206336,0.19036168463993128,0.18704242487580647,-0.13750840783832644,-0.04301996969114403,0.32193090873939195,-0.10527443095084209,-0.045590375207619625,0.10628767632483115,-0.131787576393316,-0.05779030462347017,0.3357492924959932,-0.1152474789080179,0.11948564071615798,-0.11682660582538668;-0.10764280948201983,-0.09804106381102566,0.019317254134993758,0.06027238050480668,-0.037113987760417924,0.32124032306575123,0.132576140398532,-0.003827402680976392,-0.07258154967504075,0.05797762376109147,-0.07915341734557375,-0.10366908960719502,-0.09114055263426159,0.3654011814374546,-0.10076487608837224,-0.027484595676108253,0.18280454966122456,-0.007109357750196211,0.01333727711422364,0.1991993585458252,0.33529773041074257,-0.1033047565651869,0.00857175064965928,-0.0064639573470651555,-0.007716460892872982,0.20187327294653873,0.09105219310783039,0.09262167704164921,0.13173594714572714,0.020256848361516238,-0.09319916687324677,0.009758979567374575,0.04951214344576121,-0.11461831417578502,0.2599225186673093,0.05088775410484088,0.15453575682770493,0.03473326652107153,0.25001856804542544,-0.055025318021461066,-0.09941744748748216,0.11988100661966543,-0.10755864158413304,0.02407022025582258,0.3349764586247482,-0.11292692894929711,0.17037518972638585,-0.10159108600080713,-0.001095215865481019,0.08598265276642698,-0.11047586489545691,-0.10474770346664004,0.04366820592540484,0.020501076685072565,0.01671986625003057,-2.168277597899963,-0.11264408574528773,-0.005824274643079729,-1.673040514286089E-4,0.01885530494474777,0.31205924248168,-0.01628815268980705,0.1963774282581541,-0.08918313055065015,-0.10742578430089134,-0.06930236632111078,0.3238873911793367,-0.0975920040560885,-0.11909174426063378,-0.010612044374382075,0.009352006944119544,0.018988633530568323,0.2691988890999698,-0.09144845214710047,-0.05661888255297193,0.02580560144371945,-0.09909297883433418,0.012605156545157963,0.015603818613426077,-0.11054683256554677,-0.013910708306310936,0.06796535390308815,0.024220954170280865,0.26287974468516934,-0.07840026691264512,0.36849194304411736,0.25808046540660756,0.25434396453924746,-0.12805565949193295,0.005395674349574885,0.3435426016562632,-0.07966883523892618,0.0023843928450762403,0.17944897486993497,-0.11811161471154698,-0.013399437027442415,-1.4980297760780537,-0.09423410314415828,0.1932585259247506,-0.0972296402152328;-0.21237694148421307,-0.20006539631557746,-0.09125079515627692,-0.04434632715698999,-0.14830829185148406,0.44842842389426624,0.05000087616206506,-0.1147299619969498,-0.17914384012951592,-0.04539317265272982,-0.1858589415054238,-0.2043590708029078,-0.19751072194757388,0.6867636019059681,-0.20510712002697337,-0.13969414988198559,0.12727326166485897,-0.11663031292286204,-0.0986448088244562,0.15353223424271675,0.5049557197133889,-0.20597902617422156,-0.10187795219801216,-0.11504624708804251,-0.11989942967582132,0.15841859504099112,-0.00772394345403862,-0.007623480385244043,0.04862398124282971,-0.09163398162430865,-0.19791076880814193,-0.10212962347313168,-0.05814645966410249,-0.2151302516741274,0.2782113765814733,-0.057170878977983425,0.08201501967404574,-0.07524975112621264,0.25843195349002207,-0.16591047133991874,-0.19962757068773468,0.03232442407658951,-0.20952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k{84}	=[0.6426974402759394;0.4241317432222535;1.2106185081901275];
x_a_linear{84}	=[17.31519066289075,18.598438071429243,38.12712357622793];
L_a{84}	=[0.14124452094461226,0.1311115651303447,0.035465663174345054,-0.0016112584649310264,0.08320494236380492,-0.311325700101244,-0.07022030560520379,0.05535579393417511,0.11157353353646322,-1.80870801151286E-5,0.11721492227801504,0.13520700403801542,0.12665287239158934,-0.4295179586741986,0.13437522336534613,0.07521365091548245,-0.12267155696035846,0.057106381414274515,0.04096653458717872,-0.14063627288554528,-0.3406104887203651,0.1360272776556641,0.04416970206816817,0.056159446536813526,0.05909552941065592,-0.1434187723139007,-0.028589600087297024,-0.02955247749666684,-0.06955732758733471,0.035523255599792115,0.12844289069249742,0.04383434780144121,0.008701647734300454,0.14441147413023608,-0.21655500571055072,0.007994938871959416,-0.09241796932246577,0.0219017332284319,-0.204137926244574,0.09766548340144104,0.13140183557349724,-0.05784063530131364,0.1392620363196611,0.03129745452938418,-0.340511260359498,0.1448110878434559,-0.11067092749352295,0.1344115994394736,0.05271317800016306,-0.02356033626750912,0.14226893489561582,0.1363990495814029,0.013759367636467644,0.03361585108886582,0.03774423507428971,-0.028812646561127028,0.14349321442055424,0.056362327075010626,0.05097596225307281,0.035480881557276356,-0.29592199932756924,0.06599716434206629,-0.13889643422449682,0.1259392117124621,0.1390518192738449,0.10959181503896351,-0.31486905649152985,0.1302849374933241,0.1484315054091064,0.06094746402652842,0.04385151731762442,0.03510935193677534,-0.23119747951097525,0.12740331310822117,0.09898907242042704,0.03020204978990024,0.132791547088321,0.04026264035013555,0.038234414004996393,0.14289943388551296,0.06355172078779442,-0.008269362524538654,0.031055517676508534,-0.22088225271725986,0.11791465751522345,-0.4546571819322763,-0.21299750392318312,-0.20928355252603825,0.15385946858694033,0.04813545425591673,-0.3602115631983051,0.1177925645167319,0.05101150549550964,-0.11892629442634874,0.14745837573856957,0.06466212283759896,-0.37567308453321013,0.12895150296278834,-0.13369362261813747,0.13071840312661928;0.0688728574266257,0.065811276822381,0.06363929328886521,0.0582587635475093,0.06686863608381512,-0.0678286702775142,0.04482063674050315,0.06535166931559412,0.06685378239894431,0.057955020031136555,0.06733205366014644,0.06530139030153798,0.067139684266848,-0.17137467661049685,0.06716611344454972,0.06651117607624618,0.0294998299965886,0.06425745303061314,0.0645338483173473,0.023443829524823906,-0.0903689586081653,0.06669083315806129,0.06377137443383599,0.06371945290042591,0.06613622178451055,0.02264040732526154,0.05532328629919233,0.05568944604790721,0.044808978330588584,0.06465086174361727,0.06731808617581941,0.0645395054520644,0.06038673980356637,0.06585514769644785,-0.010709934894503791,0.06087916444373177,0.03903945735924673,0.06210423299408452,-0.005096051278739877,0.06702888855070732,0.06479764902851946,0.047596586336666996,0.06647948075592204,0.06318317856281132,-0.09056622303318337,0.06804593693962266,0.03206785969141659,0.06638536332723645,0.06478133429975874,0.05653890202099382,0.06732002945523397,0.06571249592055088,0.06086352039388388,0.0625113743870253,0.06388947524822725,-2.20428524965967,0.06668181143582727,0.06461267884462449,0.06353821821048988,0.0631963627691794,-0.05775948545842187,0.06618961989924467,0.02279620504041147,0.06820523252852223,0.06634962624128649,0.06765637862671962,-0.06960979457906424,0.06522728603731905,0.0664056186977281,0.06555503231705345,0.06415398986359733,0.06286538450401262,-0.01973251164074217,0.06776962321093277,0.06708943560410444,0.0635496139195228,0.06685886366805582,0.06292205921421164,0.06338601251247093,0.06803700703741097,0.06551095210944731,0.05763099168382179,0.06303155989998437,-0.013160542654261623,0.06895967505470464,-0.19970082752750712,-0.00810611799807538,-0.007201230984695234,0.06422512086119261,0.06555136572160071,-0.10661988168061605,0.0675385250430634,0.06613433409826558,0.030824773143393033,0.06616961163751817,0.06740991161188195,-1.9675147841514735,0.06691877126202547,0.026179344374569233,0.06613135921197086;0.29145974784641876,0.2676257853772998,0.03525961529486138,-0.05009388554153938,0.14849403659398294,-0.6621088839851812,-0.20048364573868088,0.08273100685720078,0.2188527644678121,-0.04545769150630293,0.23226119501910122,0.27794104840341943,0.2542757508531432,-0.8453801220358713,0.2742259345628711,0.12860225281236612,-0.31031136618897365,0.08707521815896424,0.04748789084923145,-0.3481347589728193,-0.710044054015557,0.27924711055899726,0.055680842365587485,0.0852814500751237,0.09090163852406738,-0.35317391805079407,-0.1097065857607022,-0.11304082559523962,-0.19949561600534774,0.03508186813713897,0.26026092083878793,0.05423292091119996,-0.0271066051136346,0.30000335167227404,-0.49426713377409587,-0.028651942415279665,-0.2476513163132487,0.0028764422766671465,-0.46975329743535305,0.18247439689970726,0.26909904160528847,-0.1740002815055988,0.2872448833808708,0.025799780758792128,-0.7097744167205976,0.299573362129623,-0.28556819216045465,0.27575385620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x_a{84}	=[17.315190662890753,18.598438071429243,38.12712357622795];
std_x_a{84}	=[1.493990807005504,3.025783643083841,3.3350010293692742];
pred_a{84}	=[17.315190662890753];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.4 to 8.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{85}	=[9.653875501996572,-2.4608009244914038,39.00154675302678];
std_x_f{85}	=[1.7230496276814933,3.314850050012241,1.2191050477740928];
pred_f{85}	=[9.653875501996572];
obs{85}	=[9.686346626427358];
sqrt_r{85}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{85}	=[3.9762747158829947];
L_f{85}	=[-0.08587605271355438,-0.07758947014151546,0.008812273226955356,0.038998857206791845,-0.0324899803061062,0.21799380274424163,0.09040832131880643,-0.0083606260139142,-0.05964132152827492,0.03755476529578075,-0.06375682861629146,-0.08148239184003786,-0.07233135626053229,0.24123696532397365,-0.07971299080804504,-0.025469211908330087,0.12580821474703646,-0.010045607214667856,0.00466463860876968,0.1370635682448802,0.2265112078833524,-0.0812871397301586,0.0013889036718611127,-0.009600302553423172,-0.01114622362039755,0.13911509865385033,0.06019060993063207,0.061324232218619365,0.09038351369754231,0.009032024294165943,-0.07448409941629562,0.0023871324653942485,0.03138381822260581,-0.0899007909314344,0.17898307569824426,0.031983521963504936,0.10579054916000769,0.021274214162449102,0.17235837094793757,-0.045150355475923186,-0.07823014436442254,0.08235042896338042,-0.0846390595861135,0.012126783775310046,0.22663851386772688,-0.08921088540949462,0.11753845940082225,-0.08032912489230493,-0.005804301258540807,0.0561628475929039,-0.0875052372593635,-0.08293915662524398,0.02711903883018313,0.010286810164279932,0.0069656869731293605,-1.1484131718782007,-0.0887744220415086,-0.009184315855981553,-0.004638426262492257,0.008734422019235908,0.21276937730371853,-0.017350330641363612,0.13631145898669292,-0.07113591343273697,-0.08428412130140722,-0.05611088161515824,0.22084585354449066,-0.07682960195782208,-0.09367453174455481,-0.012910863296695812,0.001507287640132524,0.00924201421731153,0.18561023495718407,-0.07290415591945906,-0.046922578616894396,0.013356431064212696,-0.07879494425978359,0.004419919086978006,0.006796274560203529,-0.087012580641342,-0.015288617671949124,0.04460828602677462,0.012787433621199043,0.18139007755131523,-0.06379037401901584,0.241416007249419,0.17718232001280237,0.17469595333151836,-0.09972427739916598,-0.0011858303232880195,0.2316847522839106,-0.06400681277557183,-0.0037701587839547427,0.12341645358183108,-0.0919155443696029,-0.015446141520850568,-0.8212844041427482,-0.0744850208476414,0.13321153366247054,-0.07700166016297061;-0.28524131381037304,-0.2618378720924647,-0.04588403915327469,0.035977173166042466,-0.15243997900788306,0.6827163237848913,0.1845034352127881,-0.09099415504366588,-0.21795631767458262,0.03197499693347803,-0.22985454576421424,-0.27086320713199763,-0.2506826194927239,0.9019464337930327,-0.2683925390611662,-0.13471183641613346,0.297162626984412,-0.09418062983717433,-0.05774560821010603,0.3358447852840963,0.7391984095471917,-0.2718640423054334,-0.06535877065090837,-0.09265433780417764,-0.09903049320792327,0.3419410971781132,0.09420897494983609,0.09707484789761966,0.18364575205084896,-0.04624006479785343,-0.25553796092549735,-0.06456072442942261,0.013663005899975725,-0.29114921428834956,0.49374314726487356,0.014984084224785602,0.23297566239500384,-0.015155876953200908,0.46764085402728534,-0.18465833129228448,-0.26300287842170333,0.15858080076491987,-0.2797033566635109,-0.03712127688364993,0.7392206517230739,-0.2917786900627663,0.2715105518174045,-0.269418562574004,-0.08454320753565162,0.08269089701747788,-0.28657526851216536,-0.274835371856636,0.001482425978869384,-0.041587131987181794,-0.051275059228889114,-1.1573613471249318,-0.2895962237930397,-0.09261682996816316,-0.08024203652446042,-0.04618217514896343,0.6535958050716388,-0.11399625512153486,0.33185418303330555,-0.24917288139607321,-0.27904016493165706,-0.21258910060982764,0.6910463306557193,-0.25881890980661704,-0.30056802440947616,-0.10214615316715492,-0.06438845108451949,-0.04500607517777584,0.5230661345364749,-0.25294924850059425,-0.18813474732719696,-0.03381021409482544,-0.26514422924472736,-0.05707721630321148,-0.05206007542971935,-0.28718479930947416,-0.10852218267630995,0.05116681720546725,-0.03642480139618166,0.5026464377932968,-0.23072097977222836,0.9437366063959534,0.4855058716395928,0.4786163320187435,-0.3143696408864653,-0.07396122499283368,0.7765306845122538,-0.23081785768914131,-0.08080551469266875,0.2893901665386425,-0.29814507015285546,-0.111078643425191,-0.3953665885225656,-0.25571309559827843,0.32157907413416625,-0.2605753400756438;0.02872008697377881,0.02739276368384815,0.034860125093243044,0.03426762307275655,0.03224950032475391,-0.0719469184023992,0.02910365160286144,0.03435124688402113,0.0301663990722646,0.033791530194789025,0.029683830150549904,0.02662007468697032,0.028305460063354014,-0.19188533786668058,0.02811073591234725,0.033085294040524,0.019038137948239657,0.033321425262521305,0.03491296112647102,0.01465387526719097,-0.09667916422472707,0.027692592495630282,0.03421576085210724,0.03319720549543743,0.03409068027814045,0.014080700327582634,0.033895377510724606,0.034500520305344395,0.02881512622176912,0.03550209079811911,0.028597410314894624,0.03495050132668061,0.034646102459398996,0.026585550735132076,-0.013604481893911585,0.0356777109507708,0.02574022477519903,0.03446492697935826,-0.008249612464279812,0.031162271850699256,0.0273193086319523,0.030180885024372196,0.02754208644659823,0.03476301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k{85}	=[0.7485083221223222;1.1703784193082059;0.28946442856148713];
x_a_linear{85}	=[9.678180408861685,-2.4227974212069396,39.010945988504886];
L_a{85}	=[0.06108694646330236,0.05519238086618078,-0.006268509623172892,-0.027741390376519494,0.023111375346664083,-0.15506739465526648,-0.06431092382250686,0.005947235551396634,0.042425170930373846,-0.026714152136421507,0.045352689757928354,0.05796156612643884,0.05145208178400328,-0.17160115212642027,0.056702922969259814,0.018117232163619056,-0.0894922325381038,0.007145827628578429,-0.003318137245024898,-0.09749859932864224,-0.16112615324160517,0.057822675774516843,-9.879807183111192E-4,0.006829065258374399,0.007928738502203606,-0.09895793198659068,-0.042815900943776186,-0.04362229017369189,-0.06429327720526992,-0.006424827027778385,0.052983410970080386,-0.0016980593367600014,-0.022324519618677482,0.06394989789476281,-0.12731756080458656,-0.022751112005688537,-0.07525289540748466,-0.015133168567088042,-0.12260515296060899,0.03211718821027589,0.05564811713628777,-0.058579034391528395,0.06020702557076323,-0.008626248736948335,-0.16121671089541192,0.0634591415039906,-0.08360963679533208,0.0571412028928253,0.0041288232171085605,-0.03995079833930032,0.062245848229090954,0.058997819070438724,-0.0192908176471664,-0.007317404584017843,-0.004954961642531376,0.8169105557549949,0.06314866828647694,0.006533157885910228,0.0032994913927397638,-0.006213131058278576,-0.15135105945933852,0.012341958968990653,-0.09696359502257924,0.050601717221195136,0.0599545442874426,0.0399138329362554,-0.15709616832429568,0.054651857337331286,0.06663430519730157,0.009183994723546408,-0.00107219179815701,-0.006574200954358544,-0.13203171463516614,0.05185953626046588,0.033377838842351945,-0.00950094425138349,0.056049881072567954,-0.0031440588162447596,-0.004834452063066587,0.06189540258680859,0.010875383063302418,-0.031731593316551746,-0.00909619443765986,-0.12902975400268402,0.04537655189592344,-0.1717285115493181,-0.12603661387381654,-0.1242679654142239,0.07093772247420567,8.435268178299114E-4,-0.1648062947925514,0.04553051312628441,0.0026818592671208523,-0.08779088062875078,0.06538306967577949,0.010987435848921673,0.5842112537980529,0.0529840664197141,-0.09475849865010573,0.054774248970788544;-0.055447846470281295,-0.054218252774713205,-0.06946456895155212,-0.0683788415397359,-0.06550089654615487,0.09939244933595848,-0.05741781030070786,-0.06862217612563763,-0.058363676447322065,-0.0685168102673748,-0.05924932752933899,-0.05282662118711277,-0.05713304860174936,0.25642679286002806,-0.0550906467288659,-0.06655944317145783,-0.039484260862417665,-0.06729985410921835,-0.07022759178907972,-0.030920006503138177,0.1330830350489362,-0.05434992633811321,-0.06907530140044092,-0.06696514108919102,-0.06920460703191626,-0.030313330789808295,-0.06685349264413418,-0.06702104971530477,-0.058209111402379714,-0.0704086206882756,-0.056227921330802,-0.0709483893125859,-0.07031612658063723,-0.050586055969239804,0.014807049711777667,-0.07059977969891984,-0.05010648140564553,-0.07208298623279699,0.006431629409944772,-0.06384168440869403,-0.053668895827284235,-0.061778542852794945,-0.05321992664870973,-0.06957101814862351,0.13276462249467974,-0.05306163175657168,-0.0430075155374134,-0.054467973275614825,-0.06901163069273929,-0.06759378743483314,-0.05242230916133646,-0.05290066739659279,-0.07108469566684619,-0.06911333633432312,-0.06991435751266357,1.9156472084170257,-0.05204708631607764,-0.06804076109908855,-0.06783019387241455,-0.06955438495123185,0.08425183303906432,-0.06756896239448212,-0.03289805940173735,-0.0588221644780707,-0.05350650492324444,-0.062443470548497325,0.10009072859809745,-0.05323260174543567,-0.049906812455061386,-0.06759831416484556,-0.06842176237632096,-0.06973653757206358,0.02639659609262858,-0.05786693809078004,-0.06257585522394588,-0.06955033614924656,-0.05429891348806754,-0.0689043613601361,-0.07024604750034676,-0.054350126825425525,-0.06761177337521174,-0.06819932031814481,-0.0706423581811688,0.017269507385945997,-0.060025998277843856,0.29773787189090695,0.011388368790312261,0.01115203227693325,-0.047520073895101586,-0.07078809286746328,0.15657155883219195,-0.05954371342744015,-0.07071704611485134,-0.040856670609127295,-0.05219068618046122,-0.06974672020625403,1.8022867145444903,-0.056400590369716744,-0.034878159782908105,-0.05452862599560088;0.08555387134078694,0.07874238998633047,0.029028058754161614,0.008457719484806793,0.05375175242482211,-0.21621778771955472,-0.03072964157323762,0.03988440777152655,0.06963772897150626,0.008937343662795262,0.07187885117217492,0.0805460824762621,0.07617520459383932,-0.3515388062708025,0.08086573323325573,0.049941118823528065,-0.06422322214688704,0.03996972657858739,0.03182584828809777,-0.0760564104999693,-0.24658695270323847,0.08148938013612071,0.03329656802362031,0.03955079893549971,0.041467382510381214,-0.07798731245661525,-0.005939477930602523,-0.006084579734253157,-0.03100174897803676,0.029524590611374055,0.07789186565178259,0.03337066891116156,0.013875921470450645,0.0860829543158881,-0.1320575920235572,0.01451063895417443,-0.044273208178948524,0.02038540117349477,-0.12231841486928091,0.0610433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x_a{85}	=[9.678180408861687,-2.422797421206937,39.01094598850489];
std_x_a{85}	=[1.2256716166366057,2.7334712479268526,1.1224249919098588];
pred_a{85}	=[9.678180408861687];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.5 to 8.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{86}	=[0.46550604914683635,-5.2896757485767125,28.422613419013533];
std_x_f{86}	=[1.3160149982534077,1.199789981707563,1.3296310943078502];
pred_f{86}	=[0.46550604914683635];
obs{86}	=[0.39221159412663414];
sqrt_r{86}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{86}	=[2.7326111373358883];
L_f{86}	=[-0.02675185429034598,-0.025167174923909776,-0.03658809295851433,-0.037007354635471786,-0.03255896088788793,0.06023208482467915,-0.03256587473154615,-0.03540613982279852,-0.028984701839394743,-0.03683935854399886,-0.02864459462429614,-0.024048030226788777,-0.026988169714482174,0.1626936730289066,-0.02531557636750698,-0.03333779957932183,-0.02312073302893364,-0.03457783193032385,-0.03771635454677938,-0.0187593504134445,0.08173059315699822,-0.025138718517945323,-0.03619063144095706,-0.03434469410584979,-0.036058135153746916,-0.0184314769150978,-0.036218803700202376,-0.036819422012752435,-0.032682306658529774,-0.036684667149588825,-0.02626547948560592,-0.03661343487339887,-0.037926242880126144,-0.02268587881271668,0.007953407129487944,-0.038143763092745454,-0.0293517874247455,-0.038419008243878804,0.0031414597961214965,-0.0315337317266478,-0.024542279687082818,-0.034506516647190864,-0.024215919477265098,-0.036690511617987705,0.08103664176870691,-0.024016962926857212,-0.024965351778103946,-0.02503840587635754,-0.03582160233741518,-0.03686301712210328,-0.023805908299276996,-0.023999250543924162,-0.038693531484529115,-0.03624103633229564,-0.03677455344439045,0.7688019920661154,-0.023636389119249913,-0.035290576508982985,-0.03550359592018011,-0.03717409800271195,0.050471909067402135,-0.034524669445267976,-0.02013895038263792,-0.027768507198254588,-0.024408124119652,-0.03080204269126349,0.06020910541916987,-0.024437634791140708,-0.022313885426721723,-0.03471939569374472,-0.03582313878768401,-0.03698641398359155,0.014700369765317975,-0.027681448217892868,-0.03067805295541927,-0.0374408089156625,-0.02490341868260044,-0.036086135830254364,-0.03694762704982858,-0.02519605037601433,-0.03448206450655772,-0.03701124396645072,-0.037174435554728914,0.0095991315616324,-0.028869033216564463,0.19130342047222845,0.006111556366175665,0.005522693684228032,-0.020726536440970236,-0.037011679591956906,0.09677216736497518,-0.028530226279425374,-0.037105871749123776,-0.023444591189852076,-0.02290211000730871,-0.03562694995131021,0.98147214959365,-0.02637171796791673,-0.020738614828179954,-0.025235332881634407;-0.07172547179257424,-0.06632626428675009,-0.04181534043784134,-0.028000729685851974,-0.05538629896906796,0.20332215724957262,0.00354965394285136,-0.04874386599409142,-0.06231988445956272,-0.028335313387016375,-0.06411038013447576,-0.06731715049743489,-0.06589358472337187,0.3748205112827225,-0.06860470014974329,-0.053982191326171755,0.03377263012538235,-0.04771477308113333,-0.044759495968490444,0.046142096988963044,0.2412657390506594,-0.06803829795607398,-0.04427105562954585,-0.047762334970555584,-0.050166562853814066,0.047197574868537956,-0.017760419995007395,-0.01720282911304412,0.0026906915854909685,-0.042172869602025466,-0.06620217435229268,-0.04550246592104627,-0.03280631155390056,-0.06913989987746676,0.10548460292458786,-0.032933163609568536,0.015128024999933433,-0.0381737605500278,0.09555435472953906,-0.059741967571840374,-0.06616104567873214,-0.003800336290159327,-0.06880530836947656,-0.03992466172807197,0.24072839819548641,-0.07093626307482594,0.027117117019788587,-0.06707629634198295,-0.04767281268499942,-0.019766903453431576,-0.0691359667293675,-0.06726519926017793,-0.03617428414671505,-0.04058963975449084,-0.04317640886985428,0.08994242776729423,-0.0692640523019966,-0.048119844837681156,-0.045956566941230945,-0.0417086019695358,0.1868992515141252,-0.05097301310970858,0.04449757271996626,-0.06714011128658834,-0.068526106304906,-0.06366905093097373,0.20605821018423293,-0.06507555657323315,-0.07000870522835183,-0.04887440338286539,-0.04404203903513612,-0.04148917362701109,0.11932654039063827,-0.06733665102604529,-0.059441778438533495,-0.04033014196000066,-0.06702356865267281,-0.04258130999136972,-0.043750918862059895,-0.07127201104800779,-0.04995355047694624,-0.024972325806907995,-0.04069024151218524,0.10944087550879665,-0.06535891615272538,0.4201759036405991,0.1013942381967882,0.09972399904870549,-0.07047449881142212,-0.046563385718402704,0.26692708917776675,-0.06470850735385572,-0.04808040279192189,0.03170732243692034,-0.07063910013121719,-0.052028012303395335,0.7176079066933362,-0.06678199015300412,0.04043269096489674,-0.06667835965561647;0.0172705693587592,0.014526077173538344,-0.005564196609142275,-0.013865236049253032,0.00422445169169626,-0.11538066972040327,-0.030162878013792208,-0.0013729021956974097,0.010749378871111435,-0.013957719341924892,0.011434384052047497,0.014577568333072954,0.01318499081117515,-0.1661980805093215,0.014641239131082543,0.00368584026430773,-0.04534680095775623,-0.0012287375279644694,-0.004389655690775213,-0.05088878452406154,-0.1286832431783215,0.015028729707955378,-0.003649980213040657,-9.332978372260717E-4,-4.944009204942301E-4,-0.05190272099479135,-0.01984045576343856,-0.019090654539898506,-0.030914990581727735,-0.0057982666334393885,0.01477666340938246,-0.004368847165499024,-0.01199163175231451,0.01726362747160052,-0.07666537750598289,-0.011978876733099041,-0.03622516090187756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k{86}	=[0.6340496507765343;0.4133647876827112;0.5164272369782561];
x_a_linear{86}	=[0.41903372553742074,-5.319973095414459,28.38476216612162];
L_a{86}	=[0.03125482934685904,0.02940341065154588,0.042746741557950926,0.043236574973712014,0.038039410472911594,-0.07037058111819339,0.03804748808133934,0.04136583752222146,0.03386351838746332,0.04304030113366549,0.03346616301717114,0.028095887212484887,0.03153092229253835,-0.19007889812584583,0.02957679159718448,0.03894934628989476,0.02701250378200456,0.04039810565791864,0.04406491647835506,0.021916996461876094,-0.09548780110025407,0.02937016435382745,0.042282377788308186,0.04012572517770412,0.04212757921618306,0.02153393403461532,0.04231529211063789,0.04301700880876305,0.03818351827830808,0.04285957148848892,0.03068658606339248,0.042776349121465655,0.04431013402363059,0.02650445323077502,-0.009292155222598655,0.04456426807546574,0.03429239323110251,0.04488584354959374,-0.003670242397486007,0.0368416107941227,0.02867333064383014,0.04031478631190426,0.02829203622764683,0.042866399720298425,-0.09467704114392894,0.02805959054508036,0.02916761585721274,0.029252966702399914,0.041851232286017226,0.043067942014675835,0.027813010390437994,0.02803889674569398,0.04520657559848842,0.042341267024917195,0.04296458779031807,-0.8982097017560008,0.027614957089711217,0.04123082214673156,0.041479697804929855,0.0434313852261621,-0.058967535019847556,0.040335994658806565,0.02352881600664803,0.03244260918435376,0.02851659349505257,0.03598676104472961,-0.07034373373072295,0.02855107151632474,0.026069844486601792,0.04056349797874241,0.041853027357507615,0.04321210951072661,-0.01717479257191319,0.03234089610141061,0.035841900879429886,0.043742989946296294,0.029095257944752703,0.04216029307430813,0.04316679381101874,0.029437146530862175,0.040286218292866834,0.04324111897184753,0.04343177959623346,-0.01121489432398479,0.03372837997694014,-0.22350434835044744,-0.00714027705127948,-0.006452294736735834,0.024215306811376958,0.04324162792351528,-0.1130612309595851,0.03333254375239713,0.043351674867032175,0.027390874994789906,0.026757081292108336,0.04162381526125165,-1.1466773185630879,0.03081070701585643,0.024229418279199978,0.029483041218989134;-0.033908369556960506,-0.03074930514405093,0.009906519176113692,0.024313808907620464,-0.009360123018082022,0.11817654883838097,0.04958560347923546,0.001307154578729291,-0.02134637208794627,0.023741741654943426,-0.023617651980089936,-0.03332224278818527,-0.02774242098841606,0.14483259346418123,-0.03281795694858173,-0.006855029174403212,0.0664566869099266,0.0011653303689969177,0.00855730294832094,0.07266079228235603,0.12572929198235497,-0.03250156551324916,0.006888942265179166,7.881989160062823E-4,8.06134916408061E-4,0.07325277983812928,0.03343940292255636,0.03484604314082978,0.048891232257818155,0.009685509746882247,-0.029072623922099645,0.006255217668908959,0.020807190853969496,-0.03707056408286908,0.09424146413978052,0.02098783090818122,0.05662045889974624,0.01613632752016486,0.09111350719091194,-0.015165081662013778,-0.031467454350508996,0.04497895406029087,-0.03457306814186727,0.011941979510144437,0.12617293847530092,-0.036985272891627,0.062408773825848717,-0.03168136840292384,0.0029655162747390905,0.03234359595680327,-0.03548332874044552,-0.03333924775238988,0.018523876964884445,0.010641611777766798,0.008809036033582764,-0.9968556392885587,-0.03585105094133973,0.0017678124928829086,0.004232220051747458,0.01084164929258339,0.11555087601413808,-0.0021680615017882075,0.07296650564971123,-0.027885842619846488,-0.03402216070194516,-0.020126499267868424,0.12094508604564636,-0.03052989393381483,-0.03846522875387697,2.0581820696633545E-4,0.006598461889815327,0.010795762727885832,0.09854572346921191,-0.028205451150166795,-0.016074501822372543,0.012597138638213854,-0.03181946204702135,0.00843097024796487,0.008479187295886875,-0.03565423283114366,-0.0012088262949628357,0.027347710843845113,0.011860486922058096,0.09587129877219037,-0.02454891589086957,0.14974451852978748,0.09275478653822458,0.09191697866777437,-0.04117493927168565,0.005757266743655649,0.13012748990199377,-0.024377453203206372,0.004373402101317859,0.06484919336206066,-0.03826409441543713,-0.0016648489118393302,-0.6698261088988097,-0.029502258299747758,0.0697493248202674,-0.031005050688809516;0.06451644564044408,0.05897328520291477,0.05905324988781292,0.05149265950608041,0.061726134426432606,-0.22175526330667586,0.027351015111991013,0.061157122210260775,0.061938639335188714,0.05110348191822461,0.06202298845570134,0.05704827890819331,0.06084821869664096,-0.453527888167196,0.0593505357681535,0.06256301331307997,-0.004513770081797186,0.05983843006865757,0.062220389406410934,-0.01775829797389305,-0.2730258913856174,0.05942568148888479,0.060265518019638926,0.05972213004624786,0.06318709846016668,-0.019351284800191063,0.0441247968922591,0.04593533723987149,0.026804530473910116,0.05898973747174603,0.06116356357666864,0.0602933551439826,0.05498909263022657,0.057328671639910386,-0.09071171931015688,0.05538600543314719,0.015612401543888203,0.057939091141037895,-0.07796362210376184,0.06254386776019559,0.05776714828771113,0.03257272610142349,0.0591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x_a{86}	=[0.41903372553742124,-5.319973095414459,28.38476216612161];
std_x_a{86}	=[1.537531706845477,1.3085363130456364,1.4776890950113073];
pred_a{86}	=[0.41903372553742124];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.6 to 8.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{87}	=[-3.165625537076081,-5.408607136034731,22.708685016163457];
std_x_f{87}	=[1.4085531652756564,1.2594831952905876,1.5217185113214018];
pred_f{87}	=[-3.165625537076081];
obs{87}	=[-3.1757323033869986];
sqrt_r{87}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{87}	=[2.984049516026628];
L_f{87}	=[-0.005243721823057653,-0.004562236234338801,0.026440449146391595,0.03523233335800869,0.012155837621880975,0.036457537412819804,0.04836615616858718,0.020410143380033434,0.0036624027294183954,0.03463179038021145,0.0027265889949445042,-0.006354695154689943,-0.0012647609005703145,-0.018225065194202035,-0.005535410837961315,0.014587040444653943,0.05312057027959672,0.020141009855164187,0.02577010398175851,0.0551182817069666,0.027262280488852174,-0.005174703260341795,0.02415592620832508,0.019401262183775875,0.020167058672710514,0.05527143200926257,0.04019204907644973,0.041154655300049525,0.04776254084713067,0.02628044552641341,-0.0021664872696596726,0.02363517626619013,0.03373717661442564,-0.009013956714105733,0.05349726707867751,0.033676085986867284,0.050664935612224724,0.030961209727183164,0.05413579912961112,0.008585733690952104,-0.004769117463777596,0.04603888496130784,-0.006757123149253667,0.027084229261138723,0.027974372754592806,-0.008253016802164741,0.05187481033932824,-0.004631812203949505,0.021380650509694885,0.04016200246627151,-0.008077481175500096,-0.006231242526014374,0.03232350055129249,0.026793117897387767,0.025559165229482844,-0.9274506657352598,-0.007592785911266809,0.020283646047974346,0.02231709545370164,0.027183416518984302,0.04082318030810868,0.01815843398669193,0.05622892683616269,-8.312030691839799E-4,-0.006904421466296399,0.0050794566785103135,0.03789887187153697,-0.004862872287104331,-0.010156544718768258,0.01906811686519971,0.023209126603051092,0.02674130063155525,0.05219704027136422,-0.0012921005487951972,0.007874349622541302,0.028168640180159004,-0.005053594731857114,0.024626491509551044,0.025868896822169217,-0.007112244706183644,0.018592901046973226,0.03672535478463748,0.027673819745765296,0.05360797463066011,0.001692851512848651,-0.03691598377019742,0.05313745997010083,0.05343682365519822,-0.012565358706424315,0.024413114650594276,0.019604232813342053,0.0011306174890201894,0.023148076410138097,0.05308935664055035,-0.009758747210054241,0.018714243272721073,-1.0191806234443699,-0.002995696562783547,0.05397297929190704,-0.0042851363936173125;-0.02465662314462198,-0.02283725182480128,0.018653886779538303,0.03265127500093805,-2.962953324701821E-4,0.07653262866753319,0.056067882569700335,0.010201443763712332,-0.012808227481778104,0.03137428617390188,-0.014431215904919921,-0.025659379460394142,-0.019141949987492562,0.026412535754718785,-0.0245696089316171,0.0019334320819363014,0.06751281418307484,0.01015567021027866,0.018258867602867497,0.07149225730565117,0.07000387849176073,-0.024851628955225295,0.016426232576635235,0.00956327438720989,0.010629776459886041,0.07246336389007578,0.04111027013727223,0.042339881055995614,0.054279301086429255,0.018506303282301476,-0.02031344289409317,0.014749997475622782,0.02966419903715666,-0.029309146828625333,0.08115328140431262,0.029547108648599718,0.06053199990050797,0.025374299425680907,0.08091503536795758,-0.006218087860568495,-0.023593577895999016,0.051525453019183966,-0.026475618225034865,0.02086097516877818,0.07096857580134415,-0.028504701480935826,0.06432243073214391,-0.023373914519405806,0.011287676679383265,0.04003890939772923,-0.027672725484330824,-0.025794427510120014,0.027499728220296685,0.020113219583833424,0.01771793487840983,-0.7477399584891179,-0.027586762533527872,0.010687659431208371,0.013402108807245152,0.020162529906603947,0.07990717286498164,0.007300848018227473,0.07274620723277557,-0.019190668463215543,-0.026253174510727624,-0.011160408744400713,0.07914134310822102,-0.022979317920461314,-0.030577569660379354,0.009526822665217786,0.015531742616888606,0.01973494785226806,0.08222372616885631,-0.019664181570252338,-0.0067458049495027475,0.021457260610758887,-0.024259004105654618,0.016607139902904477,0.017567181932585236,-0.026954855802156008,0.008133970628774493,0.035459158078903666,0.02123662652792893,0.08190872083042733,-0.014930641603326923,0.004550218125830909,0.0806093173255511,0.08018952872070201,-0.0336187227048262,0.014941675245508382,0.06351044826582186,-0.01631376256256654,0.014351358880311143,0.06656443828661636,-0.030406634466058385,0.007575340968560207,-0.9343431263811939,-0.021068738952748627,0.06945324571805286,-0.023019667781531868;0.032599043230742836,0.027349167504191363,0.011006354729592466,0.0017753838116676796,0.02041231720274082,-0.2002597166656556,-0.0222055059001348,0.016224543702933986,0.02553708930076481,0.0015457088873637793,0.026569214847545507,0.02766971072505118,0.028495937219129946,-0.3469887049819983,0.02863167074713024,0.020325897768740848,-0.04786451431944895,0.015082472577315214,0.014073138021001085,-0.058654997473563494,-0.2345789137292498,0.028720753883417296,0.013584113790031827,0.01550259171397877,0.01760452352018537,-0.05927257372247332,-0.00627353632191227,-0.004815121167899932,-0.022810776044828982,0.01185649589608153,0.028328245014817698,0.01349451324521132,0.004871554260113071,0.029853095654094667,-0.1102129854109925,0.004827404754189596,-0.03145657539614311,0.008113897393269306,-0.1020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k{87}	=[0.6648849174153326;0.58590845925792;-0.6026900585824955];
x_a_linear{87}	=[-3.1723453735600513,-5.414528775912041,22.714776263743463];
L_a{87}	=[0.005286048803847245,0.0045990623078717855,-0.026653874728612043,-0.03551672645656308,-0.01225395875089282,-0.03675182027865021,-0.04875656462885494,-0.020574892727140272,-0.0036919654055487046,-0.034911335934990254,-0.002748597843602978,0.006405989839803342,0.001274969968127202,0.018372176732608075,0.0055800923134679825,-0.014704786084394633,-0.053549356060693845,-0.02030358677399942,-0.02597811858150041,-0.055563192884502066,-0.027482339840104827,0.005216473127791455,-0.024350911270285835,-0.019557867907621745,-0.020329845855903358,-0.0557175794060565,-0.04051647667702767,-0.041486852995325244,-0.04814807696386518,-0.026492579569841638,0.002183975013696843,-0.023825957868558567,-0.034009500905194535,0.009086716785206098,-0.05392909353178516,-0.033947917158072174,-0.051073899670335904,-0.031211126594165327,-0.05457277977181675,-0.008655037173719527,0.004807613469112009,-0.04641050784007349,0.006811666206910474,-0.02730285139448606,-0.02820018006820307,0.008319634615891108,-0.05229354042738147,0.0046691998901756335,-0.02155323372709843,-0.04048618753257039,0.00814268207708878,0.006281540709555323,-0.032584413741017844,-0.027009390198780427,-0.02576547714536458,0.9349369870613147,0.007654074384273193,-0.020447374316861534,-0.02249723759365925,-0.02740283928541229,-0.0411527023588538,-0.01830500768233384,-0.056682803068793315,8.379124861837005E-4,0.00696015350636799,-0.005120457721759314,-0.03820478909517752,0.0049021250752620555,0.010238527685772629,-0.01922203346174713,-0.023396469160307,-0.026957154667355394,-0.052618371378427134,0.0013025303002107988,-0.007937910859473858,-0.028396015607766823,0.005094387019158301,-0.024825274943953653,-0.02607770887128002,0.007169654281902473,-0.018742981732408768,-0.03702179945483804,-0.027897201015077148,-0.05404069470791178,-0.0017065160999266997,0.03721396718514493,-0.053566382083678844,-0.053868162212930955,0.012666785462939567,-0.0246101757208985,-0.019762476902880893,-0.0011397437597021624,-0.023334926174215884,-0.053517890467187294,0.009837519181495204,-0.018865303424694207,1.0274073830104378,0.00301987763019005,-0.054408645662994796,0.00431972573529746;-0.01537760128271499,-0.014764151994931897,-0.028133779299389896,-0.029694059573719053,-0.02180664367841938,0.012019235680643331,-0.029518392905728653,-0.025915301749983636,-0.01928902797808783,-0.029908358271867757,-0.019256048294250063,-0.014414436029787097,-0.016903893804788118,0.058662678702437535,-0.014774429112156333,-0.02387904839543984,-0.026486629260690946,-0.025484830387058025,-0.027342589968526253,-0.02604223407426493,0.021761941715260524,-0.015694738810813572,-0.026318858590493495,-0.024768206577368286,-0.025056818792286623,-0.02534213442939877,-0.030011523626713665,-0.030485291432985652,-0.030238847597958272,-0.027998228576723266,-0.016479737862236013,-0.027073601236202685,-0.03003538265837553,-0.013358510194033703,-0.013512745422769106,-0.03004437019788754,-0.029122078069596092,-0.029413073288553113,-0.0148809051082594,-0.021410962941879018,-0.015154391626848132,-0.02994260239430836,-0.014518558804029464,-0.027065891264511286,0.021466556983030054,-0.01390058518375994,-0.027472579656151613,-0.01517769661331668,-0.0265464285984535,-0.031029715422112112,-0.013379228051451444,-0.014767939535207336,-0.02969828463956862,-0.027298511073828705,-0.027510256268879877,0.8934292899168944,-0.014150957042545058,-0.025205242875457244,-0.026089081533666916,-0.027939853223609545,0.007668561563012571,-0.024831387753627664,-0.026753624945600667,-0.017719814037504413,-0.014035463523872277,-0.02014875541055237,0.012077438403881119,-0.014374227912579857,-0.012605067749144558,-0.024215141387790535,-0.025537940408345356,-0.027585089622820934,-0.010141485821434067,-0.017377746544783836,-0.020679851178761942,-0.028388523904842682,-0.015316421417166924,-0.026970639546491825,-0.028209094394818893,-0.014369391442525139,-0.024767075825009217,-0.029528150827241837,-0.027733549062678085,-0.012953208416688835,-0.017926225031802103,0.06987485433197659,-0.013420013250430428,-0.01436954051656112,-0.01138370679934316,-0.028258523430937925,0.02881980085942594,-0.01831444542715748,-0.02661029284695771,-0.027379771098426504,-0.013138054674364437,-0.025540426479868136,0.8691467621533446,-0.015767707579291884,-0.026054577103454643,-0.015436909652985083;0.02305425147842033,0.019044837821754642,0.0591341138777746,0.06590641444183767,0.042538765285039484,-0.13389853006003896,0.06583213302638781,0.05337574561086958,0.03220351298703408,0.06458361180122568,0.0315322401622153,0.016102689447472753,0.026193778595966524,-0.3801625570323206,0.01855593723289868,0.04687769971878081,0.04882726266495956,0.051743788954491256,0.060980713258879694,0.04167307834569863,-0.18495523063925517,0.019301591947167396,0.057553510532075365,0.05081739549744329,0.054313254796027534,0.04133427122138132,0.06688532898001323,0.07009591105930921,0.06412814278626833,0.05969301128957109,0.024384734943015008,0.05651602413052325,0.06628105231549454,0.013445600633617055,-0.012835532751497151,0.06612570367702017,0.06076537608821973,0.06447049090028892,-0.003505903027066194,0.038949255528156354,0.01820825604727073,0.06599614070939526,0.01704028278434804,0.059272423545647816,-0.18208993079491537,0.016583477632645602,0.05181318977094261,0.019537217963740656,0.054596147585019836,0.06894262744583918,0.01545478763333459,0.017247363614469515,0.0662950907163079,0.05891062525329173,0.05956685630282338,-0.6599727908786527,0.016534286355593907,0.05275390583752304,0.055769111215065545,0.06029526985931527,-0.11025249378871226,0.051444402707261944,0.04520703595905512,0.028003492260882046,0.017041546712790928,0.03575719601506973,-0.13387338858083125,0.017697677184192958,0.011885508820410553,0.05125313545661176,0.05596584575261373,0.05993038158226515,-0.029375124135634544,0.025947094235796758,0.038476816299480666,0.062319129182052325,0.019021709441976807,0.0564462409805513,0.05972802774348618,0.01824887060294958,0.05067065965113646,0.065973753253612,0.06112762687808239,-0.017703660835468257,0.03194026763156533,-0.4500028768295635,-0.011196511645447153,-0.008872482810321984,0.008064614889661977,0.05957973584780748,-0.22148301940713222,0.02847720336262917,0.058606006685967146,0.050445725247379836,0.011916853577387875,0.05232164284483039,-1.0986389528757665,0.022798460133186385,0.04442034396133491,0.020063689880781152];
x_a{87}	=[-3.172345373560052,-5.414528775912041,22.714776263743467];
std_x_a{87}	=[1.4199229146215429,1.269504903920201,1.530549832232405];
pred_a{87}	=[-3.172345373560052];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.7 to 8.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{88}	=[-5.259908432189461,-7.564756539264416,20.077863874376227];
std_x_f{88}	=[1.8561018388854047,2.779740541848354,0.9766388282109834];
pred_f{88}	=[-5.259908432189461];
obs{88}	=[-5.394748775846426];
sqrt_r{88}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{88}	=[4.4452392521849475];
L_f{88}	=[-0.01118998977511043,-0.012110749349133719,-0.03067085904871185,-0.03483709241371157,-0.021755655613614693,-0.03728437947441074,-0.04131774600558719,-0.027184413433884388,-0.01695280178972147,-0.03519835374975479,-0.01751710619371278,-0.011049752622336529,-0.01389684985948394,-0.007333173985191737,-0.011376184110782209,-0.023745230120921973,-0.04471459038055094,-0.02708301296767547,-0.029458216156772687,-0.04631518519345026,-0.03226632938126305,-0.012163894361363297,-0.028804772022842397,-0.025869288375734,-0.02636966387856467,-0.045777224930301876,-0.037676995553858596,-0.03813147231744859,-0.04156732571192695,-0.030255589944497806,-0.013311322041498694,-0.029206822016053503,-0.03490292580964144,-0.009502739674936776,-0.0456244336461935,-0.03407586918142469,-0.04279483504149749,-0.03320390509902044,-0.04532033618499327,-0.020197390176912196,-0.012470630587840007,-0.04052632239766839,-0.01083210180891299,-0.03017201348570048,-0.032887883124737886,-0.009837045141223261,-0.044185190238407265,-0.011936500104213297,-0.027911056507878403,-0.03744510480375765,-0.009637476326350135,-0.011431663996955527,-0.033088181207530924,-0.03038898271478944,-0.03010236856799306,1.2212965723129263,-0.011078485356560076,-0.026790580926671994,-0.02812742440700466,-0.03110669204221073,-0.03901123388986817,-0.025187055142409535,-0.04673820701099937,-0.014714029681746617,-0.010498443348086507,-0.018043965883927347,-0.037746527773843984,-0.011677846698263269,-0.008497240786065435,-0.025633344062377748,-0.02777163796851859,-0.030818630147710427,-0.045091847336200475,-0.014480200437868119,-0.01911601164531885,-0.031662545811899784,-0.011863963115599572,-0.029566818378491375,-0.030543601453373433,-0.010551015306750266,-0.025493792935543675,-0.036325135623844464,-0.030916218928398992,-0.04537580218927642,-0.015423423835043951,0.003286800540755934,-0.04559409795086069,-0.0452887271881106,-0.007166421063890163,-0.029556846122123535,-0.028645872305771272,-0.016038768791256004,-0.02806084963481445,-0.04494207975246472,-0.009410435457707625,-0.026154736897238275,1.3675938478557215,-0.01287805204231591,-0.04517104192070659,-0.012550570849834197;-0.02729410072261535,-0.029310263624279954,-0.03721546376854044,-0.03791048888055902,-0.031951639052889294,-0.07408605873723731,-0.04161645702079381,-0.03430708013257193,-0.03083760151462291,-0.03846702405157059,-0.031269165746905254,-0.0285154134410973,-0.029164645764519586,-0.08785899369273403,-0.02831480314663723,-0.033157841908092935,-0.04765287656399973,-0.03479577354531493,-0.0345934212809719,-0.04963893454396876,-0.07846329469393001,-0.029040393867204892,-0.03485236238019892,-0.0342878237506883,-0.033922719094534606,-0.04958742003539673,-0.03925485068166754,-0.038855458836092316,-0.04213254520898196,-0.03641557610983137,-0.028456050143262506,-0.03582159578829049,-0.03790670441370802,-0.027805891384119565,-0.05898238325351412,-0.03722198936906461,-0.04368119604300258,-0.03778869235292363,-0.05642377366816484,-0.03211660868417846,-0.0290938973512511,-0.04156121034395847,-0.028530496958812573,-0.03582139259970787,-0.07887597615029482,-0.02764699288663457,-0.04648173047820577,-0.028410223345785676,-0.03540278597762722,-0.03921975577423729,-0.026464270118379058,-0.02896695023359343,-0.037048520898337454,-0.03600008083241141,-0.03583165238240688,1.7833206475189358,-0.027797943127377704,-0.03403046852206016,-0.034612773427102214,-0.03635718888775555,-0.07080652644931429,-0.03287474361183394,-0.04901318077022464,-0.029995530748409605,-0.027664764654276437,-0.030529970301903016,-0.07465263758192388,-0.028285903974977895,-0.026509665638992402,-0.03344123242403074,-0.03409955082019895,-0.03610828759686819,-0.061355132577472965,-0.029527472792124483,-0.03091412681726457,-0.03618432968725432,-0.0289323260833303,-0.03557310842726099,-0.03637953737189585,-0.027679942462275557,-0.033426923480762906,-0.03833134625571729,-0.035846800973552334,-0.059919506273952365,-0.02911166053280448,-0.08806423003116415,-0.05845097462965021,-0.05776162776779458,-0.025565783453122642,-0.03609124365193852,-0.08239003613928718,-0.030804811465249122,-0.033951070233101774,-0.04696086936861783,-0.027984941964529962,-0.03408390900748842,2.09138206758124,-0.029020315384382284,-0.04844736908126823,-0.02883163741932916;-2.690719421981276E-4,-0.0025743626041822305,0.04621874732093134,0.05574718680984736,0.024758899103751862,-0.09990916009655966,0.061490229163722133,0.03826665475593211,0.01243988696409242,0.05485372781685834,0.011875589833647861,-0.0056939329402469945,0.004536845571770061,-0.3199338385657438,-0.0038158896993602366,0.03015329321304522,0.05118113836222017,0.03660071752689085,0.046438238496003426,0.04708542712473305,-0.14366147021398615,-0.0024847403681148104,0.0435700852445885,0.03580944768961339,0.03814638337351261,0.04613243514522753,0.058955957585606955,0.0618989944896667,0.06193694003703113,0.04641759665230663,0.003129422706363437,0.04267702274317874,0.05562727758591167,-0.009837417358542874,0.00334267298443856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k{88}	=[0.7750402299474717;1.1581166204320656;-0.29878490592127466];
x_a_linear{88}	=[-5.3644151231435515,-7.720917382358318,20.118152133770167];
L_a{88}	=[0.0071559782245226265,0.007744802306953208,0.019613958894597935,0.022278257597044215,0.013912702420651216,0.023843293246538076,0.026422623849039314,0.017384383229016562,0.010841286086045348,0.02250928356811694,0.011202157731875276,0.00706629681893709,0.008887010353228477,0.004689551501770718,0.007275049165459576,0.0151850317200061,0.028594899683767955,0.01731953781425477,0.01883847595822003,0.029618477172003638,0.020634259286918206,0.007778788446162777,0.01842059961629986,0.016543363132681805,0.016863352361832427,0.029274452556600328,0.024094370519314165,0.02438500758772643,0.02658222961988838,0.019348395053450776,0.008512566372531139,0.01867770985986665,0.02232035793468429,0.0060769848367875825,0.029176742806730275,0.021791456716639387,0.02736721961624592,0.021233837262854948,0.02898227303024113,0.012916194491942189,0.007974945708274164,0.025916509883033872,0.006927109517365778,0.019294948059194676,0.021031741781814647,0.00629077257789945,0.028256349250266443,0.007633370229949045,0.017849070160730077,0.02394607680399002,0.006163148681700459,0.007310528452334157,0.021159832043529538,0.019433699488816708,0.019250410260270887,-0.7810169493268511,0.007084671350511051,0.017132528052885034,0.01798743704092839,0.01989267330575319,0.02494761352227422,0.016107076213763064,0.029888998859307837,0.009409595371727579,0.006713735535075557,0.01153908355096229,0.02413883624824848,0.007467961844608623,0.005433970115759971,0.01639247717098663,0.01775991225694247,0.019708458245169008,0.028836154824651242,0.00926006199313834,0.012224654876619126,0.02024814078622948,0.007586982956910862,0.018907926882606212,0.019532577892519106,0.0067473552075667095,0.016303234477749,0.02322985853885609,0.019770866093933807,0.029017743439672037,0.009863251649849572,-0.0021019030017627055,0.02915734318442585,0.028962059133898214,0.00458291331016449,0.01890154964269342,0.018318983534596812,0.010256763636519771,0.01794486259451059,0.028740378725701097,0.006017956456798186,0.016725906945961284,-0.8745737924635458,0.008235490991605646,0.02888679961822256,0.008026067361250597;1.1966392767882965E-4,3.592212517763497E-4,0.0379234531099996,0.04743506296741932,0.021346392025838892,0.01725497236157501,0.05960570561220305,0.03229057786443435,0.010694171772625093,0.0477635628538634,0.011645067080792949,-0.00144520838099357,0.004880512370989672,-0.06989383824488445,-4.4489083223357836E-4,0.025014342623291597,0.06189103560768363,0.03155346880771425,0.03757470585489853,0.0638261902814473,5.842806447246496E-4,7.592881660311094E-4,0.035714926501151864,0.02908797885999493,0.030678927019766763,0.06255978436814692,0.053048029803624615,0.05456082025692648,0.05970104955832354,0.03770599493388152,0.004154654331337134,0.0357306541263632,0.04760012919220072,-0.004525631596826047,0.05279050585686662,0.046258681906577385,0.06115960896695518,0.043555800193430444,0.054604123141093516,0.017363910242798864,0.0014572415547209059,0.05772208541228466,-0.001993503125443704,0.038095428893932116,0.0016943108604497543,-0.003547735802804654,0.06176523225972193,8.323775127915731E-4,0.032975036489193456,0.05251502781591861,-0.0028539261285217363,-9.611206777136851E-4,0.0440124658013208,0.03844828211051844,0.03791454970750792,-1.2086692894215656,-6.57347259990434E-4,0.03160236002636438,0.03429511732250804,0.03984945221133579,0.024765034031747128,0.028829691850993135,0.06548828285275005,0.006051593052368283,-0.0019451830529564169,0.013674988240611785,0.017820586214899382,3.230355720865773E-4,-0.005692724447124406,0.029356542681094815,0.03393671753417758,0.03939264588861003,0.04911300147490102,0.005946805100045011,0.01591717998720304,0.041384068189857334,1.3257023983069704E-4,0.03686107755285582,0.038447617848350754,-0.0018315675974246762,0.02902897269287136,0.050659684021811334,0.039893210108963156,0.05124427376827296,0.008673370518437907,-0.0961163889953445,0.05324759666372885,0.05318883183027862,-0.00800914717563716,0.0363185118242552,-0.012212027278234127,0.008487720678251971,0.034793722500053685,0.06314035699435801,-0.004930813401500581,0.02999119885240053,-1.2590138340930275,0.0025289438140072536,0.062214779598899005,0.001915342910311174;-0.007341605871406665,-0.010228854467115618,0.026833502506634972,0.03372871109694036,0.011008429659918323,-0.1234744219209079,0.03537571374629855,0.0210849870135341,0.001725018741456485,0.03260692007614541,8.040580104331249E-4,-0.012677831219105392,-0.004246535299491442,-0.32456870623420386,-0.011006106109333166,0.015145330823246799,0.022919677542968708,0.01948313905107064,0.027819433881351534,0.017812324530229597,-0.16405511792111716,-0.010172822065329887,0.025364284207325328,0.019458993092343523,0.02147967087143318,0.0171993455704093,0.03514254624558857,0.03779833513645749,0.035664679976707386,0.027294818997349445,-0.005283880493477246,0.02421710956860611,0.03356719245818405,-0.015843539805671034,-0.025493846212509778,0.03291402369068112,0.032332391639302106,0.03142377199916845,-0.01765715043936176,0.007724431821476253,-0.01089858560334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x_a{88}	=[-5.364415123143551,-7.720917382358311,20.118152133770163];
std_x_a{88}	=[1.1869737692793605,1.7835436183193962,0.8069345245603948];
pred_a{88}	=[-5.364415123143551];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.8 to 8.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{89}	=[-8.263990410736282,-11.641448527966594,21.404249934273686];
std_x_f{89}	=[1.0319964283621867,0.6596969158552849,2.763602237723723];
pred_f{89}	=[-8.263990410736282];
obs{89}	=[-8.562587434780918];
sqrt_r{89}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{89}	=[2.065057374411163];
L_f{89}	=[-0.006383279631395793,-0.006299982551211919,0.030115962795669006,0.038586275829298224,0.014072721501031936,-0.010195281109541434,0.048754855786081686,0.024202219537789976,0.0038510871046211364,0.038666259920523305,0.004534878756209133,-0.008109118641796255,-0.001946189072164452,-0.11729510821269938,-0.007406397276110002,0.01746434225070691,0.04892432271689707,0.023587657378166756,0.029474846621438334,0.04993080390523318,-0.030614637116302378,-0.006060459851436414,0.027829336338317343,0.02180643703158093,0.022797187120523164,0.048693549994905716,0.04283466132142317,0.044976928640047674,0.048398474559671056,0.029983702040962974,-0.0027767597231753687,0.027503616001054113,0.038494647788762285,-0.012108336875163012,0.03390726967060294,0.0371876002717986,0.04923139609302655,0.03563128299674962,0.03669211763222491,0.0101590114500759,-0.005551006544016145,0.04723605205968775,-0.008438134069465716,0.03007717436736278,-0.029552902120952268,-0.010083853373145652,0.04893169842723297,-0.006122442075719881,0.024951279193183858,0.043528222240988616,-0.009746985350286388,-0.007879059781471909,0.03574758395705688,0.030144011957739053,0.030112955020691043,-0.6659213290079584,-0.007734397905777432,0.023804772216833747,0.026489310713053077,0.03130866261792758,-0.001387930025166807,0.021220758545244422,0.0513219312326419,-8.994331528381065E-4,-0.00860488639438232,0.006693595826059569,-0.009769146665531261,-0.006816167397859384,-0.012482171954867838,0.021561597437849047,0.026129076672671007,0.031007364400979023,0.028983628461530735,-9.916787183646193E-4,0.008743791035409454,0.0326191886310628,-0.006881265412067237,0.028466768069079183,0.030566194943326987,-0.0088604300278747,0.021435247565510553,0.040949789075274586,0.031770655927642784,0.031919116908041716,0.001508247915259718,-0.15007750564579905,0.0343336644491553,0.034891418838770706,-0.015189298458045977,0.028583742133614976,-0.0459614308996883,0.0013014195628134203,0.027795775666403778,0.049596461141285,-0.011704454668246747,0.022402668978881452,-0.7133440887021915,-0.004200471382702223,0.04838875618830851,-0.005420015638501146;-0.02999773424967256,-0.031024311820089568,0.026306702772253165,0.0390857131141498,0.0010004199316186115,-0.07330686993880779,0.052176617790832956,0.017060593209063054,-0.015547208948189981,0.03974064748498125,-0.014107391291411264,-0.03420153421137532,-0.023576413364148837,-0.2747584045876977,-0.03217291386315936,0.0066440450969142235,0.048791581329385665,0.015469602174872648,0.02616861315712016,0.04834935421481048,-0.11285691917061592,-0.03103732698570019,0.023354005440018834,0.013668201600832841,0.016026728100446197,0.0465838513147614,0.0453882977530266,0.04853721820487857,0.05278596729446684,0.026127233285746006,-0.024609524781935593,0.02231660155082165,0.03916961295553399,-0.03918820084279179,0.014322730235432398,0.03731161982863607,0.05239114347476611,0.03419574602942122,0.020504029304874827,-0.004972111915186451,-0.030354087505875538,0.0513140325324903,-0.033785963362368464,0.026432607651496087,-0.11044062456045503,-0.03651477345874145,0.049985275721104235,-0.030623969699964757,0.018610053944330535,0.0461716970468145,-0.036607449491192566,-0.03394235539497112,0.035343780762772045,0.026516732126549883,0.02594256277594485,0.19721998963312407,-0.03334868570345443,0.016605153047398718,0.02063744665259166,0.028624746228558772,-0.055929883621682504,0.012719577513007925,0.05148842506616539,-0.021534765876957195,-0.0344794947553312,-0.009934780162559746,-0.07220782409460881,-0.03193182543496356,-0.03998403170538328,0.013353262562554072,0.02002210685595023,0.02750150213859706,0.004609841224021104,-0.02223291105671272,-0.006558028419137807,0.03016980295336199,-0.03173215281040504,0.02335239151712983,0.026604019798378953,-0.03422132973504006,0.013201160240990403,0.041949457686727545,0.028681170977612663,0.011728400451698828,-0.01720819404843958,-0.33447480091039317,0.015510560377177941,0.017145586772941417,-0.045091075304636574,0.0241588300279059,-0.1419461051564759,-0.018872751003347666,0.021996231642387086,0.04987641179060511,-0.03974807922285985,0.014455503016039534,0.24945987317273682,-0.02722068679592793,0.04709073695474695,-0.029672312250944192;-0.01047112123630012,-0.013354274815926367,-0.0358764245493772,-0.04220080629635809,-0.025680149985631756,-0.09865880917944349,-0.05470643433131741,-0.032177126264320344,-0.018104689298565027,-0.0441442294222861,-0.01993066608329172,-0.01202216237470202,-0.015090127701634506,-0.09411090450599824,-0.011594932585134405,-0.02731766773440526,-0.0653790148627456,-0.03232004905614805,-0.03429611985298297,-0.07033895578614402,-0.10064316613962682,-0.012867847525525387,-0.03380349602840348,-0.02963484706515782,-0.030256260253554913,-0.06991194014908915,-0.047578961345236315,-0.04799589287821244,-0.055348062403686185,-0.03527635075199816,-0.014417947100417692,-0.03466577247773779,-0.042238038753658606,-0.009611535683632088,-0.08289483899207636,-0.04161185852633374,-0.05827067076977137,-0.03950196425018396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k{89}	=[0.515751953242876;-0.0690634787182904;-1.314352896042317];
x_a_linear{89}	=[-8.417992409119814,-11.620826378751142,21.79671179757637];
L_a{89}	=[0.025026239931191588,0.02469966600139178,-0.11807242580698978,-0.15128107379246905,-0.05517341008177824,0.03997154534142435,-0.19114793478760927,-0.09488704678407761,-0.01509854423455542,-0.15159465884173298,-0.01777941283561421,0.031792551866588706,0.007630214793018595,0.459866352470008,0.029037467565418484,-0.06847057384999208,-0.1918123456102417,-0.0924775988282469,-0.11555887037364318,-0.19575834847398027,0.12002752473988185,0.023760595037920267,-0.10910749466513094,-0.08549415922696006,-0.08937848685625054,-0.19090757974635508,-0.16793726321008087,-0.1763362209572795,-0.189750709130244,-0.1175538852491746,0.010886544077070336,-0.10783047786788366,-0.15092183755979646,0.04747185793257528,-0.13293659610562425,-0.14579743652304472,-0.1930162552666041,-0.13969575027654746,-0.14385485087181904,-0.03982934677698387,0.021763236087431914,-0.18519332388850787,0.033082487371438235,-0.11792035217565904,0.11586489420020052,0.039534682564441447,-0.19184126276681157,0.024003602097920913,-0.0978238046485553,-0.17065643313247814,0.038213960231715,0.03089058476358808,-0.14015171897993348,-0.11818239514882788,-0.11806063354617645,2.6108063436674027,0.030323424460564595,-0.09332881769360528,-0.10385379989561705,-0.12274851609934076,0.005441508413118657,-0.08319795239160485,-0.20121239220713158,0.0035263111104020866,0.033736255329827707,-0.026242863358433004,0.038300845723897005,0.026723416575860335,0.048937513040863787,-0.08453424288752034,-0.10244146892367548,-0.12156724849027223,-0.11363300401053705,0.0038879684070839715,-0.03428084386027582,-0.1278865549030109,0.026978639379291482,-0.11160660489607535,-0.11983760270705918,0.0347381378500942,-0.0840388764923422,-0.16054744672142987,-0.12455980372626402,-0.12514185877170003,-0.0059132258623543,0.5883927826212482,-0.13460831638887386,-0.13679504421269287,0.059551053619503455,-0.1120652125670288,0.18019605339222158,-0.0051023361204361375,-0.10897591693768338,-0.19444752665306697,0.04588840027477321,-0.08783174188500222,2.7967316721568256,0.016468337706932484,-0.18971260735380543,0.021249674091166133;-0.034203730314686036,-0.03517542274584716,0.046150361256156035,0.064510531338204,0.010273053229123953,-0.08002462549780417,0.08430159796214828,0.03300763705152041,-0.01300969560968724,0.06521816789229894,-0.011119321943781043,-0.03954469996121472,-0.024858773538225246,-0.3520451274129749,-0.03705305065773564,0.018151445528384262,0.0810282246715658,0.031011705896523,0.045589834859032924,0.0812491763870127,-0.13302915831390133,-0.03503061441148365,0.04169098672393307,0.028036644414411213,0.031047984391755733,0.07866843659013951,0.07361241252906833,0.07817289074317513,0.08467612491021784,0.04588374405781839,-0.026439154869221788,0.04043896299416267,0.0645340567012334,-0.047166484764477844,0.036664512367060066,0.06181483908933944,0.08483012001966549,0.05767349488732847,0.044680770931404164,0.0017217452633844737,-0.034011691908189645,0.08243826029037216,-0.039345920115268336,0.04625070811722571,-0.1299132776805048,-0.04315910835502545,0.08222677898019898,-0.034658097729088636,0.03505065942672459,0.07485280488394543,-0.043029819244103214,-0.03913393344740078,0.05889816129117719,0.04637887243674038,0.04578423941188672,-0.24156111524594634,-0.03844494484224354,0.0322903155428803,0.0380914739015365,0.04925428454991811,-0.05684440226436481,0.02670211189845187,0.08530487261010213,-0.022127409865632407,-0.04014932600268086,-0.0055243141747113676,-0.07864479612254074,-0.03642305485140064,-0.048208638671804686,0.02756037853048857,0.03723877289814497,0.04793251255767751,0.02370739519289682,-0.022886336416097657,-7.966717479763933E-4,0.05166285776978978,-0.03626627585009059,0.042109381872573945,0.046744339990798835,-0.040059540808901103,0.027325023226671595,0.06893161445557779,0.049615120535034425,0.03276017218446361,-0.01621439694679827,-0.4333621181898368,0.03813329757646593,0.040135832980675135,-0.055099430450263304,0.04299289556782502,-0.1722304744257883,-0.018015234824171965,0.040311099520315787,0.08255593273354347,-0.047460241797665864,0.029216808020997857,-0.2205684826782297,-0.029988412342518703,0.0789744910547394,-0.03324360565562648;-0.09051578755469146,-0.09235441741397393,0.34176991589604133,0.4416610565044412,0.1507881173923764,-0.22650498255113902,0.5566667763304289,0.27131241186253013,0.03018694134476481,0.44072061307901067,0.0369355340201407,-0.11370840100136399,-0.039494832472469966,-1.5649610536184648,-0.10446922806042612,0.19168064170082358,0.5481192670339191,0.2634630394335907,0.3353107905187137,0.5557803384315002,-0.4845427528630746,-0.08886443776704603,0.3151691433820041,0.24381220156495562,0.25561453680271906,0.5406925118366424,0.4895565505428545,0.516003093992345,0.5515562203718577,0.3407114742297712,-0.04923779180763105,0.3102224186216298,0.44047483225081774,-0.16144693077992373,0.34229350356493515,0.42471097657198226,0.5590782313952984,0.4073050570094076,0.37951003478586726,0.10460015900088838,-0.08377466963411773,0.5397330331532814,-0.11634026954706109,0.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x_a{89}	=[-8.417992409119831,-11.620826378751145,21.796711797576446];
std_x_a{89}	=[4.046037729147281,0.8422519909283861,10.345693009778978];
pred_a{89}	=[-8.417992409119831];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.9 to 9.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{90}	=[-10.259264067337623,-10.863235630322169,29.240797192863038];
std_x_f{90}	=[6.39705382604783,10.900082279586982,3.1586324839173043];
pred_f{90}	=[-10.259264067337623];
obs{90}	=[-11.919745899895384];
sqrt_r{90}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{90}	=[41.94495428253522];
L_f{90}	=[-0.15052119180378024,-0.15139894101915924,-0.036443401424114764,-0.008619428387079632,-0.08835973237113937,-0.20573805946663232,0.02241584690703995,-0.055373332528829484,-0.12019357817797413,-0.008798247130731391,-0.1185545313991146,-0.15685026851948436,-0.1377513978133742,-0.4897048187630627,-0.1542607263040265,-0.07755043245883818,0.018254085515378375,-0.05836118039237975,-0.03758937851857469,0.020615004698130695,-0.27152021001456605,-0.15058130918862023,-0.04357606267552396,-0.0634097163999927,-0.05936317501472571,0.015549795572837,0.004739481308006315,0.01228729915038817,0.02247553703269493,-0.03710583412877029,-0.1399728113221856,-0.04492468772180728,-0.008885840724613653,-0.16790423971796473,-0.04496047864511,-0.01316826915983276,0.02356024837893949,-0.018376978344262097,-0.03395920374392683,-0.10059285939451479,-0.14924136693064868,0.018833064099288997,-0.1568238607982583,-0.03637236963994441,-0.2678935758452553,-0.16158338086541543,0.020078088258959362,-0.1505629132246817,-0.05329172007689006,0.007905243091916833,-0.16128955822590543,-0.15630459620288287,-0.017453834269346,-0.036423067256425204,-0.03645701392598072,4.171198055781802,-0.1555736972356816,-0.05715766042828902,-0.04864552901342462,-0.032121018251089144,-0.17514457644699197,-0.06499166092933363,0.026106843469136932,-0.13443927732273578,-0.15735430779088136,-0.11082702791045282,-0.2039310681128209,-0.1528626451825649,-0.16871303998699305,-0.06365167497837021,-0.04883819054366323,-0.033371589470375634,-0.06411002641065061,-0.13470794008758097,-0.10460246754067816,-0.02807094606597901,-0.15267944652807885,-0.04242070907931485,-0.03470509547701917,-0.15803305892809727,-0.06432057276090054,-0.0021045868728927736,-0.030761526795301142,-0.05163064168367717,-0.12667501449448879,-0.541172156941154,-0.04369174609574525,-0.04050370010452259,-0.17735926925540618,-0.040884091333242986,-0.3174205126311849,-0.12855484886209784,-0.04409786135569267,0.021800496524700768,-0.16748962282951702,-0.06133186767470691,4.6737485345943535,-0.14453758343892711,0.016570383845982736,-0.14858217144269328;-0.3420851691447412,-0.34317169231928724,0.021169059755165857,0.1049609883203155,-0.14048782993812364,-0.45693308069043054,0.20293901128879788,-0.03861595899318434,-0.24178286442704933,0.10516622289432344,-0.2351680872741164,-0.3610185881177863,-0.2993702059907167,-1.5382247680674195,-0.35334754000099744,-0.10558536983551903,0.19621340559901262,-0.0450569837712657,0.015680535420689968,0.20289102563163053,-0.6727444828098315,-0.34060124072796116,-0.0017924893678023049,-0.06127144615304527,-0.05173709242174123,0.18984372151616308,0.14591988945052603,0.16804978083387195,0.19844100183873936,0.019406565025656203,-0.30714807302606356,-0.005622105485305369,0.10425203989790109,-0.40018289273102137,0.022533597771155302,0.09099545721450907,0.2058246143902734,0.07642886752167494,0.05423862050774594,-0.17858371652899221,-0.33661014065268735,0.18831893600588973,-0.3630934035993182,0.021039437902326395,-0.6614256657614179,-0.37954797153943975,0.19817690997464169,-0.34064399129763256,-0.030647827369363938,0.15420636388545986,-0.3766651548336183,-0.3586394955615319,0.07792456538254824,0.02060273891762928,0.020781889156088924,7.446181051128662,-0.3580416254035647,-0.04197856146560188,-0.01618018659886629,0.03250304262137387,-0.36198610569450823,-0.06748507182897555,0.21795870632222158,-0.28860167277555476,-0.365159644798425,-0.2124082937479957,-0.45202788391327003,-0.34851515141318956,-0.4036159283464923,-0.06462601989563903,-0.01844807048436676,0.029537623699264878,-0.032482904977103925,-0.2894060305162321,-0.19227849377118142,0.04629804443956909,-0.3481364019953678,0.0037411433482457132,0.02549195728935576,-0.36757882187657415,-0.06558158647660611,0.1271250793340494,0.03746100243276337,0.001642848414742513,-0.26425840808715556,-1.8307343372311333,0.02667064181587781,0.03390758095175895,-0.4313875106631278,0.005985424374916419,-0.8320711330979917,-0.26727118866832733,-0.0022636893954541726,0.2037594161852765,-0.39772434479685664,-0.05620360962750891,7.166565359622496,-0.3211777852058488,0.18888703183821876,-0.3342854087312206;-0.09739840075015635,-0.09694458781203685,0.019141262148253877,0.04462121149230648,-0.029693353031426315,-0.08911105834816253,0.07401029998861125,0.001727305749427273,-0.06182894290174565,0.04355033258821885,-0.060130817713232726,-0.1028742630136409,-0.08210282584789735,-0.5688057695412132,-0.10113211545139053,-0.01908894069787803,0.0748705106407117,2.4395033911298373E-4,0.017133281063711116,0.07899637931722757,-0.15687006673027373,-0.09610045558287815,0.012605713032270002,-0.0052948829298396964,-0.003807743540275872,0.07538843689757115,0.05595968310925592,0.06266526937843611,0.07121821126127671,0.01917015038124926,-0.08487808630716495,0.011652782513634007,0.04364507960038377,-0.11889481911274123,0.03678205120540875,0.039681729363190525,0.07462219720941513,0.036415877801239796,0.04374083449946772,-0.04154835865880637,-0.09358678443240744,0.06904336071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k{90}	=[0.9761592301838226;1.6416358082726412;0.4060026472741732];
x_a_linear{90}	=[-11.88015873474143,-13.589142065635166,28.566637173093916];
L_a{90}	=[0.023815882782188293,0.0239547627111557,0.005766176616729355,0.001363789999641851,0.013980523297743271,0.032552449587831725,-0.0035466978171256195,0.008761323113127419,0.019017363168306545,0.0013920832000015584,0.018758028615530217,0.024817286952424668,0.021795410361107402,0.07748246224849935,0.024407562360665755,0.012270245717663802,-0.002888212322269538,0.009234068735431974,0.0059474963088309634,-0.0032617635401469276,0.0429606849189231,0.0238253947224932,0.006894726173458572,0.010032862183305777,0.00939260711921837,-0.002460332025091245,-7.498939513250033E-4,-0.0019441307417817932,-0.0035561421552871425,0.00587098856683414,0.022146888602162275,0.007108109389699009,0.0014059425027309193,0.02656627710581052,0.00711377232940781,0.0020835202737683827,-0.0037277682098321406,0.0029076567684128258,0.005373119931153975,0.0159160827744995,0.023613385321236982,-0.0029798199286309723,0.024813108649118946,0.005754937769724164,0.0423868687456976,0.025566173188806683,-0.0031768111236406306,0.023822484061771395,0.008431964585206913,-0.0012507896103245992,0.02551968375128978,0.02473094915657088,0.0027615943381608782,0.005762959288003234,0.005768330424740192,-0.6599785901729215,0.024615304283447634,0.009043644450005373,0.007696831276566839,0.005082277095638616,0.027711863376924648,0.010283161858901303,-0.004130697587649438,0.02127135741932429,0.024897037451748868,0.017535361460962153,0.032266542375996146,0.024186354066274115,0.02669424774018163,0.010071145544417459,0.007727314721228671,0.005280145961891974,0.010143667186409688,0.021313865991299107,0.016550494158486143,0.004441463378552658,0.024157367864206126,0.006711922905097979,0.005491137001512312,0.025004431349767542,0.010176980417175876,3.3299360488115473E-4,0.004867174565779238,0.008169144128959305,0.02004287409952213,0.08562576804133944,0.006913029926856078,0.0064086083984231275,0.028062278250017714,0.0064687949595710085,0.050223158818343355,0.020340306736166096,0.00697728661597102,-0.0034493353633731506,0.026500675265322446,0.00970409916271379,-0.7394935285819679,0.022869139577968503,-0.0026218123481663524,0.02350908557258627;-0.04889736176629948,-0.04827418968264571,0.0921541538067579,0.12175006153571767,0.031620800640698735,-0.056192893700999745,0.15927703302215354,0.06924118561758234,-0.007667712768481024,0.1223036023830243,-0.00424549956967201,-0.05550289452763153,-0.03105562646713562,-0.5843691657083281,-0.05287580198391357,0.04546871750852173,0.16065777888746435,0.06861994311332581,0.08889778367996617,0.16273675928473313,-0.1438726736038442,-0.04729633565691916,0.08308572689477868,0.062239107377772114,0.06389153709561728,0.15955555800543048,0.13668824494815576,0.14411636485878712,0.1546627581024077,0.09168195707373694,-0.034506585456349034,0.08188298620629135,0.12156003571924598,-0.07313608089984325,0.11010840364851876,0.11664484196674745,0.15993355094109682,0.11222386703256869,0.1203849509126978,0.017352812609396813,-0.04591519852387577,0.1516355646923913,-0.057629147429977094,0.09188617500360656,-0.13961787795681646,-0.06481303902252639,0.1590684588492404,-0.04737491820657262,0.07315471613652087,0.13880839326658437,-0.06250253518776197,-0.05418667204391805,0.11192144873467617,0.09154822572210566,0.09179349787665901,-0.6785514032233598,-0.05501245966490515,0.06935412820441919,0.0785724247729803,0.09506892320566193,-0.02083643947567346,0.05910682089663383,0.16710734046095013,-0.026738499414696977,-0.05866217470861174,0.003462527642350965,-0.05480738625546722,-0.050766620232474906,-0.07499372121952932,0.059355824781765563,0.07667981038235867,0.09453938875509721,0.0923917246286463,-0.027019551127795458,0.011468020172223856,0.10097512365677236,-0.050744708354802104,0.08636894168920384,0.09309114864462537,-0.05975926846220521,0.05970314898893407,0.13122443041748544,0.09737884180573891,0.10220991440311802,-0.017518601524318063,-0.7766297543051677,0.11177418826564588,0.1128013957166579,-0.08592402709582164,0.08562017182150594,-0.21379391246185192,-0.016869807878835477,0.08363089545349246,0.16129602814506838,-0.0714851309853947,0.06325967385096375,-1.9370436981789345,-0.03964495474911756,0.1566109486568139,-0.044874459091648666;-0.024888392534988524,-0.024011744765075286,0.036697004997380205,0.04877341634577329,0.0128718488736535,0.009998364074861932,0.06321199827506789,0.028402093189329302,-0.00392854205681766,0.04778867912323747,-0.003019988715138696,-0.027315372450742104,-0.015744362515244317,-0.3329021070336426,-0.02682067533095982,0.018269137771301833,0.06607703860651531,0.028358062504892263,0.03524107115308253,0.06906559055516552,-0.026071656069234315,-0.023561487245775486,0.03359744598842308,0.025251241519391655,0.024789055730403638,0.06789769229729997,0.05367655058511829,0.05674615492245758,0.06039115524775902,0.03704500444841034,-0.017449509790826667,0.033294183546510106,0.04792562226829164,-0.03801094053448816,0.05844069366529969,0.04602523019198866,0.06327260727436287,0.04526855053618246,0.06009987413331972,0.006909861567032702,-0.0216933014450353,0.059970979502167523,-0.02946955264373064,0.03669238934157289,-0.025062159635527236,-0.03343806750749687,0.06471413126899007,-0.02393616703148759,0.02933223482617396,0.055065606764562604,-0.03095659717653468,-0.02650585059012786,0.04446307799553858,0.03689364936005796,0.03763127523577105,-1.467254198136249,-0.027668256540519232,0.027638247699666555,0.03197386516938975,0.03779536480045639,0.022679952054181943,0.02361365582598602,0.06913984947242643,-0.013773912894243005,-0.028992835010476115,-4.17513411076158E-4,0.009599030989342413,-0.02498229653014839,-0.03835068841897294,0.023914856595127033,0.03160280228132705,0.03826470307238118,0.05398661033805876,-0.014233376380980605,0.003136771165222034,0.040482259347620696,-0.025191543048889757,0.035140600330565666,0.03747862817675687,-0.030175770007348928,0.023972662203435264,0.0523958402783178,0.03935848816404395,0.05506271777970234,-0.010314071147038938,-0.5373801776173905,0.058309885177696044,0.05841564068965349,-0.04405472629327212,0.03431378954087789,-0.06144090635508388,-0.00930198900526673,0.03449256464469951,0.065946232833409,-0.035685067548543975,0.02594308055903955,0.61672525176141,-0.020525343253004737,0.06593110574134836,-0.022933883708190675];
x_a{90}	=[-11.880158734741434,-13.589142065635162,28.566637173093913];
std_x_a{90}	=[1.012159698224644,2.4544530404153093,1.7550362876721488];
pred_a{90}	=[-11.880158734741434];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.0 to 9.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{91}	=[-11.078948042825173,-7.754049340142379,33.523026743787135];
std_x_f{91}	=[1.0538662401059107,1.7972991067106305,2.2628124540660655];
pred_f{91}	=[-11.078948042825173];
obs{91}	=[-11.12819878875989];
sqrt_r{91}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{91}	=[2.1114225341588355];
L_f{91}	=[-0.028079923857904518,-0.02843905919980149,0.04090505589170213,0.055666235926340804,0.011904616787810149,-0.019125624617836123,0.07376359682946382,0.030293734897825164,-0.007753445867030206,0.05563749326874082,-0.0060922383222826075,-0.03193091488601497,-0.019625611362156816,-0.3040185697643522,-0.03057584018405458,0.018683776232499155,0.07519074720759988,0.030112921690074523,0.039619560824619746,0.07731792723434598,-0.060755885037237646,-0.02758060760812242,0.03647820782333681,0.027186125468720325,0.02718302607363095,0.07580854685354513,0.06262147227377218,0.06621976083702268,0.07124370590673108,0.04102930777752865,-0.02144081986670018,0.03654519901879606,0.055516520536320314,-0.041373457712348835,0.05525158040045036,0.05283986161588639,0.07415253244684411,0.05093927026743589,0.05962057030391133,0.004758661788759615,-0.027012046792518108,0.06970122067228145,-0.03335032470750953,0.041073479265044746,-0.0592165405590978,-0.03674955478374135,0.07440155848778433,-0.028161625533915765,0.031855394666806126,0.06346618157744222,-0.03543795089880737,-0.031304494703944266,0.05048822229911161,0.041533659096619054,0.041343397565923944,-0.7904068953865532,-0.031975234461741164,0.03015531127527632,0.03443717198778523,0.04275542310386922,-0.0023457635024966687,0.025113005518743858,0.07872045411342948,-0.017537594190636538,-0.03355732270536047,-0.002475609501045602,-0.018382226931830423,-0.029542019660689027,-0.04230801591002487,0.025338342638445015,0.0342955437220477,0.04259608338788321,0.04762698503307291,-0.017455368569891824,0.0016895621489060107,0.0455807670094936,-0.029231841995237325,0.03854202659515156,0.04176290986236013,-0.03409573254680737,0.02516255401428723,0.060596971073940256,0.04371280841824825,0.050880369454718494,-0.012583214973911124,-0.4275877314774164,0.05561622130391096,0.056125959093219706,-0.04850557333222234,0.03779873323313412,-0.09624537533883182,-0.01212298336691442,0.037160701635340646,0.07554473798136005,-0.040043296826108375,0.027218450800492157,-0.13739866585626456,-0.024019904651354784,0.07372082906436686,-0.02666014483351812;-0.05562539442887765,-0.055713420282724614,0.013621288916072047,0.028722947075424873,-0.01580079509100686,-0.038714746652281945,0.048507906571611595,0.0024607245617176148,-0.034876956847226054,0.029179222827816643,-0.03370940963947587,-0.05953805413815159,-0.04784018312068373,-0.2815311201631666,-0.05812533233271704,-0.008718712128211662,0.05073184495997426,0.0027974615468862336,0.012441265383758213,0.053174553775166174,-0.07693683867808448,-0.055083221189697044,0.009379425255592096,-7.332638570671734E-4,-6.376225334777074E-4,0.05147805138115139,0.03654434770650377,0.040510879545605,0.04593648740866862,0.013827000199713096,-0.04890507951375717,0.008926703718450626,0.028698790191207846,-0.06940921598289788,0.03087050991029523,0.026461576795443108,0.049250278433212724,0.02469478244959979,0.034851693061604475,-0.022906518108564387,-0.053759478324200846,0.04516395215841826,-0.06121858222760822,0.013456637373540296,-0.07510016699053956,-0.06484125722642123,0.04979552569581816,-0.05606748527970581,0.0042037947307025,0.03751944442432662,-0.06304984572661998,-0.05888304536198488,0.024246546025062,0.013743826684262047,0.01428884910000094,-0.16237420749459594,-0.05922104888543602,0.002533032440647212,0.0070136667614714085,0.01559968368157554,-0.023583803540687367,-0.002354838749630447,0.05487275063600253,-0.04592508045672804,-0.06095055107369682,-0.030788776444455008,-0.03879199452752054,-0.05715999851386765,-0.06999581355474531,-0.002081932932385939,0.0076837379413709035,0.015992770512111017,0.023680104019373174,-0.04544098168116955,-0.026568981463274254,0.018755613656010535,-0.056923974926584305,0.011418628855390345,0.014964509678760068,-0.062313774170104745,-0.0026797117307101274,0.034522305819567486,0.016158396449524454,0.02709872788955684,-0.04127315447831122,-0.374570709223969,0.03225223327685105,0.031834685975011275,-0.07558600225438282,0.010527861287602563,-0.10827053838842429,-0.040438483050018216,0.010424006442854617,0.051126644758138856,-0.06783499265967544,-9.800300339423691E-5,1.678237054722748,-0.05201841640269309,0.0495113104280621,-0.05472252766861389;0.03401164825902187,0.03441956341783159,-0.08502973867930601,-0.10900749880091794,-0.033978322754191735,0.04445810079825101,-0.14010205618976618,-0.06571310559835349,-5.241148599858499E-4,-0.11001610622717845,-0.003778306819949837,0.03992874788624918,0.019236500418210692,0.5404645341196003,0.038022308529672276,-0.04556843767504104,-0.14062917399898417,-0.06523485030271588,-0.08246421692493694,-0.14231430432157782,0.12169812647456532,0.03324450542076954,-0.07751277124803779,-0.06008762947451159,-0.061713640819967004,-0.13984413753409855,-0.12207931893349477,-0.12795160979688863,-0.13655496943412826,-0.08454096684244924,0.02258390695109807,-0.07638884829130542,-0.10982130144824913,0.05537183902194589,-0.09827197937292885,-0.1048619362909141,-0.14135277719463904,-0.10163901099707211,-0.10642615558471608,-0.0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k{91}	=[0.5263856552528515;0.13822888197064365;-0.9476772464903095];
x_a_linear{91}	=[-11.10487292899571,-7.760857215689156,33.56970055508214];
L_a{91}	=[0.0841219652285148,0.08519786453993278,-0.12254355484741007,-0.16676516598458427,-0.03566390580510958,0.05729663432197418,-0.2209813231338795,-0.09075411053863391,0.023227808840510254,-0.16667905859855886,0.018251155626499885,0.09565878188803835,0.058794496913529,0.9107802315973984,0.09159924285448569,-0.05597294289404577,-0.22525678681009703,-0.09021242949803623,-0.11869246280450581,-0.2316294025319289,0.18201276023372912,0.08262611130758689,-0.10928158301431619,-0.08144431989739723,-0.0814350347153128,-0.2271075938349802,-0.18760169506975913,-0.19838146452111807,-0.2134322223010401,-0.1229157892192681,0.06423250691221769,-0.10948227554623183,-0.16631664792957795,0.12394679517914331,-0.1655229390502349,-0.15829790080715825,-0.22214649824784954,-0.1526041004914225,-0.17861157912641573,-0.014256020904971566,0.08092281419743103,-0.20881123793105089,0.0999110563690166,-0.12304811836502105,0.17740118495595855,0.11009448548810942,-0.2228925316083021,0.08436672748582383,-0.09543253806748943,-0.190132279092391,0.10616517652842918,0.09378214942132466,-0.15125284891040777,-0.12442672722402116,-0.12385674085402784,2.367904617781529,0.09579155467713314,-0.09033942041262844,-0.10316703845724162,-0.12808689346433724,0.007027449105272253,-0.07523365760255023,-0.2358310990162699,0.05253920545376521,0.10053118192440291,0.007416442345790556,0.055069560110178405,0.08850211856885123,0.12674654893227874,-0.07590872358364463,-0.10274274784641084,-0.12760954280927414,-0.14268114113006486,0.05229287356041022,-0.00506159806774819,-0.13655107175022765,0.08757288689002513,-0.11546438079678542,-0.12511351772394821,0.1021441526073037,-0.07538209521371737,-0.1815366850505312,-0.13095503279883255,-0.15242764516538912,0.03769685337662698,1.2809692954120047,-0.16661533194834358,-0.16814240676538666,0.1453132200033993,-0.11323761911927416,0.28833233874241526,0.036318089408577954,-0.11132620111985653,-0.22631727400059493,0.11996189306947634,-0.08154116027520833,0.41161955602494815,0.07195894098924716,-0.2208531992662155,0.07986858468781263;-0.026161176457436472,-0.025872362187056585,-0.0293003190279544,-0.029687542827725684,-0.028292289928297302,-0.01864626016237832,-0.02889211439493414,-0.02932644169683019,-0.026741278837128665,-0.029201107451936235,-0.02731683397687577,-0.026032997607728,-0.0272470613613953,0.037475065616823934,-0.026042153460801274,-0.0283235678332966,-0.028165682553676852,-0.028799977709827708,-0.029131474698325686,-0.02795502024579413,-0.01318578832468081,-0.026142934938822807,-0.028897098283191255,-0.029259620647163847,-0.029160727133398432,-0.02806773228600396,-0.029164260269211956,-0.02897340670788137,-0.02881941615259641,-0.02922498504397753,-0.026407262452866835,-0.029420113571667718,-0.02955460359916286,-0.025996114778006823,-0.027104882630778294,-0.028983203187212866,-0.028557852037666216,-0.028755710153619683,-0.02770807340733426,-0.027899774105478805,-0.025415782003048695,-0.027973424180496316,-0.026224141303446576,-0.0296416969394305,-0.01296434826905181,-0.02628000976788292,-0.028273907390693024,-0.026517537873854035,-0.029222018557777573,-0.02907551563595188,-0.025864862069701622,-0.02603529049945894,-0.02873066268602405,-0.029837373569948693,-0.029092710042633006,0.6669984492707703,-0.025669487897015952,-0.029108886138177074,-0.029121201228296027,-0.029263511538199772,-0.02112239775138501,-0.028705874182156577,-0.02772849253496127,-0.027522911685100775,-0.025738907490467842,-0.02819112346219976,-0.01950355400821052,-0.026161605818649975,-0.025602081968423344,-0.028669414234407036,-0.028302519741840445,-0.028703229805460112,-0.02629481312920021,-0.027125092118301285,-0.02834183625033045,-0.02907221028216374,-0.026251051146132288,-0.02902345632999945,-0.028857243027304996,-0.02653717802480216,-0.02908273831820614,-0.029061996373228392,-0.029709381607735404,-0.026289960187646302,-0.02806960767921787,0.07409639492909874,-0.026105776365153384,-0.027058190691863368,-0.024689183846949327,-0.02913428739418283,-0.007280424167433205,-0.027717856520029716,-0.028568656731591428,-0.028142324692845496,-0.02581762708738769,-0.028658278711011297,1.8224092490727188,-0.02681436991445712,-0.027843834392831102,-0.02674808149489891;-0.16799077380423208,-0.17016642009946387,0.20923460500517996,0.2914463820987613,0.05166156135096315,-0.09312854351837632,0.3905413064863954,0.152215114352292,-0.05630114803151747,0.29023100465128837,-0.04760488210253317,-0.18977707960497842,-0.12194696751743334,-1.6465957925172083,-0.1819353311367664,0.08883962095615253,0.40028087723697675,0.15139262873098563,0.20255248355314026,0.41389833533099374,-0.31536986538410106,-0.16516591645252884,0.18490554477479823,0.1354849518112138,0.13383664391972286,0.405510264244345,0.32840940519842476,0.348422619179607,0.37596070627596173,0.21061722477445521,-0.13165787682340288,0.18651139153617363,0.2895555511960357,-0.24226211145877877,0.2991989368657473,0.2752594658150797,0.3920885252884489,0.2648098449267351,0.32247456605282915,0.011609601602710604,-0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x_a{91}	=[-11.104872928995702,-7.760857215689151,33.569700555082115];
std_x_a{91}	=[3.1571773361749678,1.9605878133871957,5.815655065286969];
pred_a{91}	=[-11.104872928995702];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.1 to 9.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{92}	=[-6.63515744963762,-2.378372722634399,29.792540395940897];
std_x_f{92}	=[2.770724852000039,4.469652240219784,3.084849109085564];
pred_f{92}	=[-6.63515744963762];
obs{92}	=[-6.922570679574558];
sqrt_r{92}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{92}	=[8.683889547003268];
L_f{92}	=[-0.08350653574802763,-0.08444639954012269,-0.021034064368841802,-0.003735620201516122,-0.04970985428613625,-0.06636091972370974,0.016587199521222517,-0.03185408340330469,-0.06787129339046907,-0.004091008399001776,-0.06581711251747875,-0.08731406780779304,-0.07825993792285757,-0.006630193489417795,-0.08591882197300174,-0.04341097947031584,0.02059757914905158,-0.03173826364139768,-0.02220555756060475,0.02375605669908959,-0.09205763206889589,-0.08329080366899824,-0.025513763597444214,-0.03521268362617791,-0.03598233534868027,0.02176637068869024,0.003703437105548095,0.008183571387185878,0.014623091719839394,-0.020015302881182435,-0.07890720784657677,-0.02542707990920372,-0.004339867142856825,-0.09406638669216877,-0.0014161721579742529,-0.00777737001990685,0.01806288193966072,-0.009500069629361611,0.0038459157889968974,-0.05731265977846706,-0.08287631040578684,0.012896757585220442,-0.08844256481413128,-0.020635583854382453,-0.09119463719845566,-0.09090005940352629,0.019247435314747628,-0.08430742374301435,-0.03046393450596224,0.004828464484388638,-0.0895604047096189,-0.08653043202284011,-0.009759302195470144,-0.019992214691034266,-0.020002732960051745,2.475547153509285,-0.08691308083684433,-0.032080817959363184,-0.027789089248328038,-0.01889531557471386,-0.05359758618864346,-0.037206952579571836,0.024753717523115514,-0.07595102170098966,-0.0880280660791839,-0.06344213519719148,-0.06631647289564446,-0.08487854790962128,-0.09473303085119879,-0.0372418130920628,-0.027338734110271,-0.018627200328467486,-0.008886988233081176,-0.07604305656178525,-0.05994007825386638,-0.01565562573104356,-0.0847422537372939,-0.02286453701779794,-0.019718144213683952,-0.08867283057726591,-0.03713249163941527,0.0021922316036474664,-0.017602692808803787,-0.005331431068825832,-0.07229425578568527,0.25485431631327393,8.54856763896966E-5,2.655176765574847E-4,-0.09896504571029455,-0.024195277770905292,-0.10702705404496256,-0.07137933911853254,-0.024491137217210284,0.020710596355271733,-0.09287427209853959,-0.03474025971548696,1.094509879599994,-0.08098452288597097,0.01843508998122596,-0.08348194256370164;-0.241726849102468,-0.24415555414409437,0.06678159602147359,0.1367390469472141,-0.06569843849200842,-0.18439638364418195,0.22318935984462643,0.017940597433938412,-0.1533633042473849,0.13673122430656973,-0.1470304532272001,-0.2600962739142305,-0.20711079918965974,-0.9208487175449519,-0.2532937720655757,-0.0349122850730866,0.2318257466216593,0.01718782015963956,0.061054987409638065,0.2435882534990502,-0.3535984772815597,-0.24067115795975913,0.0459538447727162,0.003878067655648059,0.003012746754285577,0.2361376393271449,0.1694526081620436,0.18733085792576154,0.2114705089606548,0.06753611998107141,-0.21329310193206832,0.04724362482015539,0.13604008020484507,-0.2998359619267745,0.14175095016812478,0.12373701517544554,0.22513673847807736,0.11469194092022485,0.16241370852033707,-0.09892967600623394,-0.23745192863604422,0.20416256882255482,-0.26518215871638195,0.06781044635556867,-0.34808801160183445,-0.28045810155774475,0.22782990087782098,-0.24382282779661793,0.02437433716786511,0.17339531254795912,-0.2743522224046091,-0.25661870724068264,0.11292292752273068,0.07025612050859674,0.06957985033544806,3.701656174524187,-0.259646010105926,0.0170280940463185,0.036576170550533804,0.07596470600559,-0.11337036362686077,-0.006213683090777924,0.2492325240938564,-0.19705820106574895,-0.2659557246056172,-0.13127948727556196,-0.1816958019254102,-0.24829939143206117,-0.3036048032857994,-0.004772485392203896,0.03737070717804908,0.07554289618064021,0.10718075273931685,-0.19677909951780825,-0.11246566682723923,0.08873347313890152,-0.24775337468595,0.05661168380533224,0.0712698757117179,-0.26797281036932463,-0.006069577519009944,0.16039734153574153,0.08043089966299066,0.12150950229175207,-0.17577306660396627,-0.6816003624252143,0.14392934694192186,0.1460371511431452,-0.3300862064535963,0.05286485563949392,-0.48806392434473156,-0.17330508404086892,0.05027627272212123,0.23391522071492812,-0.2935342444843813,0.004111515562562637,1.2753623483138024,-0.225505306118051,0.2259551487192123,-0.23737337052973698;-0.061887556448814725,-0.06292838514877404,0.11394971115278141,0.14633680556785453,0.04613093004204135,-0.031354822576026765,0.18320993197534974,0.08986642874034717,-0.004652831134896913,0.14607050328632315,-5.015111580015497E-4,-0.07310868295876342,-0.037010493637273274,-1.2935394170047778,-0.06867256262287753,0.06252100766861841,0.18523851486660464,0.08864693045714105,0.11052584297149808,0.1902113711787311,-0.15572038783322212,-0.05950564362919586,0.10364516141905185,0.08342942990094875,0.08262034142698559,0.1876515440982556,0.15975635118655368,0.1670214815652811,0.17789111312142833,0.1142124933575165,-0.04304854222067534,0.10491733693173548,0.14634151852957872,-0.10068934936096145,0.14798260645024217,0.1396241484179866,0.1829623504328819,0.13541127603080996,0.1571520413990017,0.027464435458538213,-0.058825466941619636,0.17347847973334907,-0.07695670129061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k{92}	=[0.8848442285467476;1.289855665225698;-0.47504352672937505];
x_a_linear{92}	=[-6.889473387355299,-2.7490943055293746,29.929074190318822];
L_a{92}	=[0.0323002463914939,0.0326637847874648,0.008135955535003129,0.001444934242010611,0.01922772304161061,0.025668338874811347,-0.006415912559191567,0.012321128319901559,0.026252549932575288,0.0015823980493713265,0.02545799477906638,0.03377299606997403,0.03027086748178246,0.002564552360041183,0.03323331634506655,0.016791324420620434,-0.00796712347869569,0.012276329349221285,0.008589087956327585,-0.00918881950732821,0.03560780208886832,0.03221680143422404,0.009868698817280546,0.01362023160274755,0.013917932136601245,-0.008419210903619363,-0.0014324858519524422,-0.0031653974123183625,-0.0056561975817249885,0.007741899587516131,0.030521230855507026,0.009835169651410963,0.0016786563682104853,0.03638478641339535,5.477740062570087E-4,0.0030082791205565305,-0.006986705076018901,0.003674617645385508,-0.0014875964674234366,0.022168480773554707,0.03205647584522184,-0.004988453226115485,0.03420949760880878,0.00798182366156434,0.03527399651664437,0.0351600541135444,-0.0074448891634852155,0.03261002908500757,0.011783420085416893,-0.001867645342263099,0.03464187698758517,0.033469886514435186,0.003774888548531086,0.007732969098137759,0.007737037554311166,-0.9575392188868106,0.03361789470161512,0.012408829024529965,0.010748792554688124,0.007308689592271775,0.020731493940860497,0.01439161288432643,-0.009574713738750013,0.02937778094435642,0.03404916990334449,0.02453935587335293,0.02565114688516699,0.032830939354321055,0.03664264372239787,0.014405096896478372,0.010574595627554017,0.007204982877132665,0.0034374783606516187,0.029413379938539007,0.023184763671279644,0.0060555807278552315,0.03277822090170574,0.008843980566152734,0.007626958905429563,0.03429856418088195,0.014362811465466793,-8.479530411690486E-4,0.006808704370083525,0.0020621923254240965,0.027963347463164655,-0.0985774004048394,-3.3065776056890384E-5,-1.0270197772280076E-4,0.03827958293268563,0.00935870978852484,0.04139795987513014,0.027609458590730922,0.009473147933123878,-0.00801083842357621,0.03592367765398865,0.013437498495933056,-0.4233553514383287,0.03132473428196525,-0.007130674782626377,0.03229073377183843;-0.07291291644050218,-0.07344162525442438,0.10930333511843998,0.1442908479110601,0.03479328851983976,-0.05024343701222901,0.18965724935838338,0.08233571384590238,-0.016157038301072103,0.14500146579368492,-0.01397684848832707,-0.08358516575590669,-0.048903207744327215,-0.9074453470514662,-0.07960324476707781,0.05284585384916994,0.19018639099134735,0.08134879933536988,0.10594497674015442,0.19556382858439708,-0.16749794321090022,-0.07229334182850705,0.09753158933259655,0.07506281444544827,0.07575339492224507,0.19213549503004151,0.16196586743506328,0.1707872322476554,0.18190897106676587,0.10799836599003182,-0.053777011932246314,0.0986461326254694,0.14481340594579956,-0.10967459878842582,0.14461383496118324,0.1394594781786929,0.18862143930863617,0.13389695404080448,0.15463893780075708,0.016931620380363683,-0.06991203779049313,0.1780909284767216,-0.08638971993009287,0.10952663098745667,-0.16373207819795021,-0.09669767646457533,0.18891994945864626,-0.0733898475853275,0.08595917651296414,0.16363425527230138,-0.09329999703810443,-0.08169177015887988,0.13265199625844099,0.11067169222862829,0.11001668542536751,-1.3028245733663417,-0.08394552337867552,0.08188156921709996,0.09275363497391496,0.11416282430235689,-0.005019331882531605,0.06900260903607108,0.19919126246507107,-0.043518235023735606,-0.08800122216650236,-0.003027054778229382,-0.047632707468174676,-0.07671184630271313,-0.11209577530704179,0.07051427954441308,0.09263774918635866,0.11319900194245884,0.12514638165336797,-0.04305307897534471,0.008707128133784154,0.1203823461794015,-0.07644135715481183,0.10283384327936723,0.11113139600698879,-0.08871487425777898,0.06899618693925637,0.1559656017323532,0.11601589635667571,0.1322873394679989,-0.02962549242035078,-1.1968050587682373,0.14375653204679606,0.14550038976549468,-0.1300218831910839,0.10177719472490059,-0.2717017230785677,-0.029007073837564297,0.09978671106046123,0.19204739339830348,-0.10578281909439671,0.07434122646765093,-0.9372610763983583,-0.061789787677847784,0.18868740660979968,-0.06860915460102543;-0.12406037786970137,-0.1258009599863526,0.09828929468304155,0.14355553766343598,0.00912063060014097,-0.0807622800205217,0.19555954011640905,0.0661502223234562,-0.05518480166595593,0.14302463948244046,-0.04950408977454109,-0.13811631256185472,-0.09527708440531577,-1.2984757711728794,-0.1326413948510356,0.030200386891608796,0.20057395656185892,0.06501695491199669,0.09399321887926608,0.2078983828310117,-0.22425972631469326,-0.12151784681937566,0.08464949055677434,0.057212656911510576,0.05583054240227009,0.20385718196463906,0.16251365792601116,0.17311436660575064,0.18877839112877054,0.09931057172264394,-0.10179704254248136,0.08598620436482293,0.14311037281809372,-0.17072425871424957,0.14692822887499896,0.13383369102395826,0.1964106431098734,0.1283382232779754,0.16001542728140186,-0.015206353476048828,-0.12052906894983202,0.18308045638190565,-0.14280452672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x_a{92}	=[-6.8894733873553,-2.749094305529373,29.929074190318808];
std_x_a{92}	=[1.0717136640978313,2.4790927672357514,2.760685571618799];
pred_a{92}	=[-6.8894733873553];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.2 to 9.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{93}	=[-4.156737522856763,-2.797151396169836,24.37556454944607];
std_x_f{93}	=[1.8153588323694758,2.8305642216907767,1.7511152888256807];
pred_f{93}	=[-4.156737522856763];
obs{93}	=[-4.386309738039093];
sqrt_r{93}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{93}	=[4.298621605897061];
L_f{93}	=[-0.05562297758296495,-0.05627025947769546,0.07884176673725735,0.10438629615528311,0.025155043554483943,-0.03727592267128083,0.13616978123018147,0.05968770271218453,-0.013205018789780478,0.10478745060722043,-0.010617497203775875,-0.06366733853650464,-0.037327825774828294,-0.8056907232403777,-0.060946113823095595,0.0383339905672689,0.13683884778042563,0.05887013023874999,0.07684805855605384,0.14081788026716077,-0.1269200739672911,-0.054979083459711996,0.0710545302770247,0.054461298229951924,0.054585902529725124,0.13808913475428217,0.11637442227026829,0.1226756507675261,0.1306986584787228,0.07814868637719342,-0.04149663827149769,0.07130039846787625,0.10386459580674673,-0.08379160296139242,0.10483510230674953,0.10003963408055049,0.135442677189305,0.09616342793897804,0.11241813343596027,0.011373980628481611,-0.0532036681427373,0.12797860755623378,-0.0662401687302949,0.07937443081478027,-0.12464888140307037,-0.07338206173984971,0.13560149108424793,-0.055869128902371,0.061833986584198704,0.1175516564135245,-0.07160306924516187,-0.06252657541506225,0.09573537940930466,0.08014931390740564,0.07964613910053568,-0.6597982292379575,-0.06363800308973927,0.05897034216557767,0.06657028289415806,0.08238552501540754,-0.0031807334332773864,0.04970369604068594,0.1424986854372855,-0.032910049263619706,-0.0675636070580551,-0.003243698720800954,-0.03558312657179997,-0.058452848197079375,-0.0858595288241933,0.050992113926539066,0.06709664516224098,0.08170037462132855,0.09080878318469959,-0.033358591400266854,0.00560478065273787,0.08685836880174243,-0.05816745367428398,0.07412216086078309,0.07974514328186683,-0.06833773235988805,0.04946346774616651,0.11223957142444392,0.08389037526029614,0.09596361864469855,-0.023063608331755848,-1.1716868374668454,0.10403192590852745,0.1056307588297319,-0.09983334480004218,0.07357033123981394,-0.21073076728138063,-0.022555382446506133,0.0722333554802086,0.13762276520312233,-0.08090790255921684,0.05391531237185931,-0.3677545243366426,-0.04689796768355253,0.13539489734532997,-0.05233890223944577;-0.12828168260267583,-0.1296192480123851,0.12132286474553573,0.16983967115541646,0.021038697676553038,-0.0895373991646018,0.22795376090005912,0.08569895121948108,-0.0493339498782091,0.16975025815145284,-0.044990584653714825,-0.14353315465913827,-0.09457675138317234,-1.4263565444147617,-0.13783122923940427,0.04529129838183469,0.23031682938516712,0.0842283535930009,0.11680183041142188,0.23852742252164846,-0.25419074728030333,-0.12645485191738406,0.105573111471635,0.07560066292720519,0.07581629891445844,0.23392112682262742,0.19199855756888487,0.20319310730001078,0.21915492792148517,0.12068654584533446,-0.10210996098500581,0.10725360819530873,0.16976859974934075,-0.18027926275478762,0.17081791021203266,0.16108568932541592,0.22770026874896734,0.15415593209985598,0.18498387062187027,-0.004657078712121456,-0.12409871848655189,0.2139559766093005,-0.14791102519880214,0.12236400943934148,-0.24893163788625314,-0.16177725257518366,0.22807994348843424,-0.12870728929622208,0.08925967942193525,0.19409867492330748,-0.15690054711575577,-0.1408590000949058,0.15331750547720616,0.12365553069550672,0.12327444718843063,0.09006334819500998,-0.14312324568740067,0.08384098848362799,0.09875993366629301,0.12763169250500586,-0.027295734763335695,0.06728802531676438,0.24136356753567947,-0.08696774032640059,-0.14945418265405602,-0.03111153338954955,-0.08671753165819696,-0.13340960895117493,-0.18417940916410713,0.06940143184945742,0.0991170990941014,0.12646176685781552,0.14585845486418028,-0.08639968476765787,-0.015215730449156402,0.13624330062577167,-0.13250604684302134,0.11273951282311823,0.1232820351930905,-0.15112962012879233,0.06699709109208044,0.1848115429273471,0.130457373980125,0.15533800835887973,-0.06838244930853137,-1.943049955240543,0.17036321148646233,0.1734251732842298,-0.2098349999376825,0.11154797126854184,-0.40586825082020817,-0.06667272161486684,0.10919552706869734,0.23260626078205604,-0.17465261686990555,0.07476575380436967,0.03201164271836269,-0.11233715317406985,0.22784772712162182,-0.12265823195217586;-0.0710366317935158,-0.07193298945737216,-0.013780905937230746,0.002437914071385413,-0.040271973349208914,-0.054878965899477265,0.019965528802850012,-0.023550254606269173,-0.056073386096678064,0.001734707659627766,-0.054160789181323776,-0.074662049851207,-0.06517562731573925,0.1501582357011301,-0.07257504122004733,-0.03427475879187888,0.023125823128589507,-0.023769594451086885,-0.01523321672364988,0.026824901580621556,-0.07757200269285636,-0.06963836389779517,-0.018716475336342898,-0.025982314991337213,-0.02750469235102081,0.02471713853089432,0.008287185232897551,0.012790539493805963,0.01849399006627065,-0.0120864953880199,-0.06756120735796156,-0.017848235598798792,0.0019299400508086162,-0.07968836196586591,0.00434850213533843,-0.002722067522745165,0.02080021001793446,-0.0035279294703127262,0.009178737476373058,-0.04721628532741679,-0.07053029550693345,0.016496060075797007,-0.07531146031798135,-0.0134214842256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k{93}	=[0.7673672884749494;1.067735316186872;-0.4194204520421859];
x_a_linear{93}	=[-4.332903731130415,-3.0422737579352614,24.47185183171417];
L_a{93}	=[0.03668770044009913,0.037114633432294666,-0.05200230634741362,-0.06885091970641562,-0.016591716995157574,0.024586383973285768,-0.08981461187178,-0.03936870430562775,0.008709741813852694,-0.06911551241616286,0.007003069122912546,0.04199358512516977,0.02462061812610544,0.5314159936425696,0.040198724773315445,-0.025284262434671512,-0.0902559135466719,-0.03882945136921849,-0.05068730000119852,-0.0928803964179282,0.08371370710246274,0.03626300194793703,-0.0468660153589798,-0.03592148212596399,-0.03600366839901654,-0.09108057551110174,-0.07675802570570703,-0.08091417831668855,-0.08620597886975945,-0.051545165688357354,0.027370275744499364,-0.04702818464451033,-0.06850681755765807,0.055267110148104585,-0.0691469424358015,-0.06598395639302101,-0.08933502993640663,-0.0634272955318875,-0.0741485440505562,-0.007502029057808262,0.035091976804437985,-0.08441189272474425,0.04369056769486819,-0.05235363993221148,0.08221567812129883,0.04840120424644374,-0.08943978011082325,0.036850056471036625,-0.040784346243142186,-0.07753450361955512,0.04722781967470022,0.0412411627002795,-0.06314496407620342,-0.05286473588596417,-0.05253285277963624,0.4351884929044748,0.04197423610557438,-0.038895548966142356,-0.04390830378310228,-0.05433969186308417,0.0020979422614661094,-0.032783471693627705,-0.09398901877615633,0.021706749284532263,0.04456347869369759,0.0021394727890856687,0.023469852660101608,0.03855422125373234,0.05663106885516248,-0.03363328397430495,-0.04425548083211221,-0.05388778163629181,-0.05989548887131989,0.022002597875513015,-0.0036967908327706074,-0.05728988187590114,0.038365981263452385,-0.048889357452630615,-0.05259815377402446,0.045074074825204376,-0.03262502236046464,-0.07403076845001906,-0.05533225819791111,-0.0632955056879738,0.01521225202806058,0.7728190321791686,-0.06861718483599345,-0.06967174009023931,0.06584789249180335,-0.04852538269421562,0.13899340883000955,0.014877037340818562,-0.04764354270118541,-0.09077296834710534,0.05336508438265175,-0.03556136178583361,0.24256284741732176,0.030932874585098805,-0.08930351539549185,0.03452159611305106;1.6185736403800287E-4,3.1898320475215946E-4,-0.060737069062550254,-0.07120721243149375,-0.037048858627593335,-0.003460535402977721,-0.08648695223166576,-0.05213077602586036,-0.018841167355796835,-0.07222296379631575,-0.020472858604160194,0.003486273232695598,-0.008380033945161033,0.4341294113573943,0.0029043974173406,-0.04322883598469651,-0.08566887971622644,-0.051713450581148394,-0.06065426973687019,-0.0866465940103664,0.03889071476261782,5.018197774717494E-4,-0.058504681484349064,-0.05016034879504928,-0.05023244672736306,-0.0849517215847639,-0.0767310827255284,-0.08008721203922274,-0.08265197083484736,-0.059772939752382515,-0.006286699665358006,-0.05739193899050011,-0.07007358314588322,0.013210740325211284,-0.07126534814944306,-0.06992396345908065,-0.08506142932472706,-0.06790285792793817,-0.0746099814589159,-0.030921662143599253,-0.0012418026503831408,-0.08156983140799197,0.005049534077642755,-0.060925942298439874,0.03890522874716316,0.0076752325217097975,-0.08504848466244722,3.046586954812239E-4,-0.053526206416026643,-0.0773494124463991,0.008443921770550998,0.003526198923383761,-0.06775284288820478,-0.06142376659337737,-0.06064292824324886,1.6136570842672555,0.0038284413391867873,-0.052332223198496314,-0.05496291906588254,-0.06261142166865852,-0.019950844582811853,-0.04748682037309348,-0.08769173287264616,-0.010972469818033782,0.006562435667260985,-0.023621244944208145,-0.004549641002782977,0.0015686153334085236,0.014085809658534967,-0.04834860433552532,-0.05582121954722372,-0.062199210834682855,-0.06383548960176134,-0.009368649142810884,-0.028158185151456936,-0.06432842079977982,0.0018131497449546817,-0.058421995327731006,-0.0608639588432427,0.006674593867296292,-0.04722302391112498,-0.07436997709465012,-0.06326071224596069,-0.06625938578198522,-0.015124396121465804,0.7625873852303406,-0.06986536695156843,-0.07049540024537097,0.020698293496828602,-0.058339262237983545,0.08074729738826683,-0.014588254140770661,-0.05760438700842032,-0.08518965577654482,0.01217839915197709,-0.04973447758154622,0.8812235151701464,-0.004041242953599311,-0.08480363862960687,-0.0017982173731466433;-0.12149094081377582,-0.12297443282676553,0.05773462659123797,0.09712429499810588,-0.01745441851725094,-0.08869108821290331,0.14348196966870014,0.030591072021887704,-0.06805135145540378,0.09678496645773121,-0.06379167390233748,-0.13241321155820104,-0.09903482972698176,-0.5806650767419002,-0.1278578432927675,4.971122963934546E-4,0.14724915869781605,0.02963013120542849,0.054473869492849956,0.15455752495519692,-0.19269824927446935,-0.11950861153762146,0.04573543615183993,0.023418261711698987,0.022008910013696967,0.14997458032895175,0.11384771648134659,0.12406676852800735,0.13704770275781267,0.05880036006881319,-0.1052018426067534,0.04682669720572738,0.09614309872757337,-0.15569377578628307,0.09944198468157384,0.08802155735144075,0.1436571117227687,0.08369967898419443,0.11115061115750917,-0.0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x_a{93}	=[-4.332903731130413,-3.0422737579352632,24.471851831714176];
std_x_a{93}	=[1.197371013335619,2.1025069193087735,1.581128228387878];
pred_a{93}	=[-4.332903731130413];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.3 to 9.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{94}	=[-4.1410655934335185,-4.948697028336148,20.424031934079213];
std_x_f{94}	=[1.8303500103491113,2.526177065055863,1.526298099046158];
pred_f{94}	=[-4.1410655934335185];
obs{94}	=[-4.3223274850356805];
sqrt_r{94}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{94}	=[4.35018129056872];
L_f{94}	=[-3.6080982362394636E-4,-7.063433934817928E-4,-0.0569796602715808,-0.06439065761578278,-0.03683518807392059,-0.004955807194818903,-0.07650346702074322,-0.04932166178438074,-0.019204287595802113,-0.06606799635269062,-0.021218696640148676,0.0028345171438847933,-0.009242280245178376,0.5720202434705353,0.0021791226094644055,-0.042457053711275866,-0.07544061782471448,-0.049745157637147826,-0.05697836671614631,-0.07535052720495687,0.04124608852307726,-4.6954685367731904E-4,-0.05516858298963444,-0.04801004668375708,-0.048775917995514936,-0.07483314387044485,-0.06930244467477281,-0.07153289280906683,-0.07323566305479098,-0.05595647947502245,-0.007288410391712159,-0.05407876158801589,-0.06454283001574994,0.013793691519982202,-0.06470793308145333,-0.06408340911182467,-0.07532776523920302,-0.06279616901424873,-0.06743053430166092,-0.03098185680525382,-0.00201370363958046,-0.07293969115694166,0.004202298806683392,-0.05710910869786077,0.040726087107160136,0.007770845997149707,-0.07542129557621134,-4.922507040635793E-4,-0.05090005068977093,-0.0697180564532178,0.007636829349376069,0.0034090075548378587,-0.06252605436618218,-0.05690341895671852,-0.05724670777964291,1.1880745087006346,0.0032676522322687474,-0.05039767146539409,-0.05255354613506272,-0.05829207425918725,-0.0207068870496067,-0.04568265420218372,-0.07688471365724152,-0.011439897598546536,0.005814247958733197,-0.024605337558649295,-0.005430323428425368,9.186848062750602E-4,0.014530643741740963,-0.04691003851740489,-0.053002363489299584,-0.057892693383641745,-0.05903484568011055,-0.010748364401013127,-0.028631249126884403,-0.05976364030741245,6.827943632021592E-4,-0.055131374373713425,-0.056776060841407364,0.006193163565430515,-0.04579000281114334,-0.06739255567852692,-0.058903732963056316,-0.06115621776308568,-0.015549750879130332,0.9465738919288855,-0.06345625696657495,-0.06458059045730546,0.02133707447238347,-0.05478307061390726,0.08965391987762907,-0.015616961979036177,-0.053948302488733724,-0.07525093543336166,0.012030767492797727,-0.047994985067686034,0.696056010193868,-0.005238532904629613,-0.07539789639124835,-0.0024572584610022524;-0.03807833258724956,-0.03838747008658378,-0.06118198380452712,-0.05952763544383412,-0.05739639412536176,-0.03549602601969981,-0.05914505904676144,-0.059953544608422255,-0.04958611327051179,-0.06135833748969215,-0.050392341393012026,-0.03686561200778086,-0.04409507034421381,0.7484271179780858,-0.03614918526867867,-0.059570641637667766,-0.05662723691163477,-0.060203399750317306,-0.06254298286312865,-0.054488980064109786,4.840425785569701E-4,-0.03771166932330659,-0.06311565459879416,-0.06053279431142866,-0.06108435112251264,-0.055237035989116806,-0.059261389395544616,-0.05932188752599001,-0.057619557837105505,-0.05985620884525961,-0.043235100217933,-0.061176807403396295,-0.058685485681328586,-0.028086516472525642,-0.05831330026657494,-0.06122426145250797,-0.05729430572979576,-0.06042741036338117,-0.05851263127279494,-0.05595331308374069,-0.03990089899496615,-0.05801497248819911,-0.03534741970916463,-0.06144164192149,0.0011081755660060468,-0.03335324604966063,-0.057767359118361235,-0.03830919633400408,-0.06102020036565838,-0.05986664699101799,-0.03242559368283451,-0.0356794968456081,-0.06093739484293338,-0.06170247406297775,-0.061110692532304375,1.6581903373415812,-0.03586185787896808,-0.060760176635741465,-0.060644014856245765,-0.06133270415512193,-0.04496011683110478,-0.05969086955612254,-0.05541745803175249,-0.04587472103811018,-0.033246087221129796,-0.05240091450404574,-0.03561124522758595,-0.03701297386262759,-0.02841603258932504,-0.06083416373376776,-0.0610065405994892,-0.061236433637754724,-0.05747883795129035,-0.04459425294759715,-0.0546453899797723,-0.060997365202934944,-0.0375193893977731,-0.06095505340674616,-0.06047355462457441,-0.0332623578795586,-0.05944783662704606,-0.05884549562867742,-0.06182991195575918,-0.0575716875473563,-0.047785086325334604,1.308208794407617,-0.056843431016101655,-0.05720472316078487,-0.02229600143167008,-0.06100381939691772,0.049729323414033744,-0.047118186990790546,-0.060700645508050634,-0.05595468609196269,-0.029049514774114382,-0.06028691529298431,1.0483089879393155,-0.041268722547496736,-0.058306532968477716,-0.040137808657135406;-0.12043513325871327,-0.12196910107682693,0.058378057843170184,0.09501700793132388,-0.01472437389902747,-0.09255494948292668,0.13948619898825224,0.032141800214754754,-0.06632845437198628,0.09535266445361784,-0.061595243743443946,-0.1317271709164966,-0.09717287818325519,-0.5935531204042527,-0.12715241083013484,0.003229118084496334,0.1419390724674418,0.030271117695977214,0.05620062799273598,0.14777302561215205,-0.2023074338771156,-0.11897748979025963,0.047395319538177126,0.02524437192650293,0.024591863943135128,0.14336461051204022,0.1115883943458511,0.12124060854939062,0.13251729102760726,0.05842620801360359,-0.10377398128539922,0.04776689831490035,0.0938522632247581,-0.15631842621976327,0.09671343630884524,0.08746526536323898,0.13887652833759928,0.083096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k{94}	=[0.7701245228174697;1.0536487849826617;0.06398467687235461];
x_a_linear{94}	=[-4.2806598212086255,-5.139683400186425,20.412433950515776];
L_a{94}	=[2.3535729884810984E-4,4.607498528705404E-4,0.03716799835466592,0.0420022135076319,0.024027700467146217,0.0032326874675127244,0.04990343436237456,0.03217266363670424,0.012527012733336852,0.0430963464511501,0.01384101762015149,-0.0018489637887981194,0.006028766323085282,-0.37313047088756573,-0.0014214480250873541,0.027694859796693703,0.049210134736139964,0.032448911214942484,0.03716715456468846,0.049151368362473205,-0.026904943677362694,3.062867802604862E-4,0.03598662736869101,0.0313170932863446,0.031816673373688466,0.048813877706435284,0.04520618651233012,0.04666111432675491,0.04777183631754608,0.03650057454094454,0.0047542513268089845,0.03527573369419077,0.04210147600734937,-0.008997665154124724,0.04220917321798861,0.041801794413605084,0.04913652066591526,0.04096212394872826,0.04398513392380468,0.02020955543212505,0.0013135447492311843,0.0475787729865282,-0.0027411717512559634,0.03725243794016112,-0.02656574523919871,-0.0050689454773824895,0.04919753077716324,3.210965679948744E-4,0.033202251316921234,0.045477291285924634,-0.004981526027701588,-0.0022237055571293664,0.040785927377055886,0.037118265922920037,0.037342194221980055,-0.7749844624228163,-0.0021314990685046475,0.03287454788562561,0.034280831211871955,0.0380240898213314,0.013507162733539474,0.029798928391828277,0.05015212265378492,0.007462278523489164,-0.003792650878116916,0.016050133355252835,0.003542215788774809,-5.992607749035362E-4,-0.00947838123483218,0.030599554755538525,0.03457359607927046,0.03776357251297237,0.03850860178260305,0.007011189404571741,0.01867624719712185,0.03898399664068638,-4.4538875183030197E-4,0.03596235608015149,0.03703518985335817,-0.004039818631998846,0.029868952202117265,0.043960360357317506,0.03842307657538832,0.03989237897105662,0.01014314778881265,-0.617452906705555,0.041392701242609374,0.0421261072533573,-0.01391823582490677,0.03573515652315707,-0.05848151306305811,0.010186989785041015,0.03519063484375262,0.04908640435978979,-0.007847704676482577,0.031307268550312815,-0.45403936278897916,0.003417110271491921,0.04918226742065917,0.0016028768511467252;-0.03726268427892013,-0.036790707037821474,0.06762649220347386,0.08603417445657886,0.025873397527577776,-0.024292906009654832,0.1137990222149031,0.051543225613579054,-0.0061728144504695935,0.08799527189531778,-0.0024252604369885793,-0.043273334198157744,-0.02320193009827177,-0.5446844143824283,-0.04107531962999016,0.03640796473298002,0.11391416268232113,0.05225072709913046,0.06626256892764563,0.1158487602700631,-0.0927570504470278,-0.03665020959630475,0.06159869196883573,0.0479989329212822,0.04917870823846246,0.11393110525455967,0.09740402839808537,0.1023856913409762,0.10793731109754634,0.06663926005709771,-0.02675888694107774,0.06107388400738806,0.08722032583013001,-0.05926859749485782,0.08796574397698755,0.08364298109945217,0.11299197880232902,0.08152989144068995,0.09392113752126409,0.014084411605419562,-0.035348711500168224,0.10687282104443267,-0.044847155271629906,0.06765946578054512,-0.09095739992249557,-0.05092005542365347,0.11273036051381752,-0.037196412180815326,0.054044682907249654,0.09773830465622407,-0.04968944442076044,-0.04338591464005451,0.08040928457414807,0.0669336504861088,0.06830147227221223,-1.0275762348050532,-0.04324872719613407,0.05316902590545213,0.058158767649108746,0.0704426208096723,0.0018499650650830098,0.043579543776240945,0.11838847108924386,-0.020013637129694513,-0.046389802278879705,0.0032220221278317003,-0.023335431687945024,-0.03908975686315769,-0.06126407111514203,0.045210880095973495,0.05881084043329849,0.06963604912544397,0.07597559942476467,-0.020296452092443986,0.01007854043086209,0.07410458858192533,-0.03906291740288458,0.06367517919656192,0.06787466359684576,-0.04726265126019948,0.04406524945302696,0.09350241851929461,0.07132813142306012,0.08067833309036704,-0.012633249626093373,-0.8316203984514755,0.08660606857863959,0.08878644977450391,-0.07053068784709136,0.06283903616211446,-0.15294273065822633,-0.0118144125771362,0.061255129476770226,0.11415791663589658,-0.056246321820132936,0.048210763582767505,-0.5251983559435274,-0.02942647152762439,0.1121382903610458,-0.034582919140229394;-0.12038560157966335,-0.12187213483041402,0.06620017924952405,0.10385650502388363,-0.00966766924745869,-0.09187462030301263,0.14998853270156418,0.03891263781894125,-0.06369210539445753,0.1044224252433831,-0.05868235833112724,-0.13211629112399215,-0.09590410547024245,-0.6720795940615679,-0.12745155900914004,0.00905758787709999,0.15229549910780255,0.03710009246629661,0.06402257182085326,0.15811708468552585,-0.20796966335386194,-0.11891303078018603,0.05496881772866538,0.03183515207673869,0.031287782283975045,0.15363764362216856,0.1211021775698909,0.1310605858787279,0.14257102327099105,0.06610786799261432,-0.10277343423630171,0.055190786709997525,0.10271265042058532,-0.1582120129697867,0.10559648871921291,0.09626258363113674,0.1492174626668321,0.09171758566561793,0.11722074176515383,-0.029743572481182826,-0.11727723256685822,0.13807979062801676,-0.13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x_a{94}	=[-4.280659821208626,-5.139683400186426,20.412433950515773];
std_x_a{94}	=[1.1939426428460034,1.667010995088643,1.5219434855812124];
pred_a{94}	=[-4.280659821208626];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.4 to 9.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{95}	=[-6.039891934838738,-8.671131569319838,18.934190667165048];
std_x_f{95}	=[1.550070368153432,1.8510643557023698,2.3555003476515384];
pred_f{95}	=[-6.039891934838738];
obs{95}	=[-6.248645744760441];
sqrt_r{95}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{95}	=[3.4050766634];
L_f{95}	=[-0.04856456704928329,-0.04815862756257334,0.07040082242932813,0.09047643863397163,0.024206470862329164,-0.033145710716076596,0.11904285077599819,0.05262180626519958,-0.011743089809482587,0.0926709115318971,-0.007428596397758203,-0.05538572487047455,-0.03128603937990315,-0.6985805021604697,-0.052984358383699616,0.03611714532503564,0.11908242437825385,0.05261374226408483,0.06889532108642156,0.12113913190702742,-0.11566823960860277,-0.04752180536873855,0.0642181563955851,0.04874737799565457,0.05019497626797559,0.11884874208016746,0.10207275175587135,0.10745286719800791,0.11328738981656304,0.06953014147812556,-0.035914504467635604,0.06321567066725536,0.09060378251287401,-0.07461190712292651,0.09195829005526061,0.08778921930185496,0.11808728044093345,0.08538438471133868,0.09824181632551904,0.012137776202271171,-0.046175035984707714,0.11189072150874795,-0.05775446698210031,0.07023537649024937,-0.11356281902611946,-0.06401962736200706,0.1182823054634964,-0.04814868642307479,0.05563387908672128,0.10269735274627247,-0.06259447003287437,-0.05473467788481828,0.08420438335644123,0.07019786708604472,0.07102300595745828,-0.6354718271711234,-0.055746787257515196,0.05402356506156727,0.060050280648782234,0.07350487505912572,-0.0027691389783694805,0.04406871295749805,0.12423078447783177,-0.027795513408755624,-0.05963749373648523,-0.001746254810878114,-0.032760702418157664,-0.050566747763704435,-0.07648949828763799,0.045962123964157046,0.06080419775236771,0.07255704637561695,0.07953440968605,-0.029021865883603545,0.006966201287992449,0.07781798917440642,-0.050861541037637424,0.066136206599381,0.07023261274078234,-0.06030204287909021,0.044327439059252065,0.0981880029538917,0.0743730422065745,0.08392017649115192,-0.01902931448920337,-0.8748872905951377,0.09057541329827301,0.0923648770027854,-0.08835781682576091,0.0653246571546667,-0.19198132666688736,-0.018495269737988602,0.06315710999653777,0.1195261467688124,-0.07119433840736862,0.04890663324746872,-0.44703606763585013,-0.03971240254054462,0.11706256137665708,-0.04497094857682494;-0.11335485846291865,-0.11342218375953872,0.09881933087166318,0.13680108004662545,0.015966636543560744,-0.08448481733810538,0.1876836790461867,0.06839921806460461,-0.04782247873612064,0.13935702096359232,-0.0408442166756215,-0.12637336902502122,-0.08378312566404127,-1.0017483807913685,-0.12160209490175115,0.036816852469196526,0.18835784160027005,0.06784010187637686,0.09659845059936718,0.19288418289119377,-0.22794185382761029,-0.11207498025142444,0.08710611102406647,0.060077619197964255,0.06221607401197965,0.18784412865623515,0.15687773180456302,0.16613393079259497,0.17776177091852266,0.09843060593616171,-0.09120785698301234,0.08599129701929985,0.13676303736063308,-0.1596598381436492,0.13820606829543594,0.1310429339099352,0.18590187687014822,0.1262729608450714,0.1505589331421176,-0.007079670794684422,-0.10939209148913587,0.17470230828410646,-0.13100793870298502,0.0991666764758829,-0.22475033352568638,-0.14163642583566013,0.18665006514029925,-0.11345917513648489,0.07277423684140126,0.15806728447480706,-0.13886663177791622,-0.12514330051520162,0.12399825619730546,0.0992357789102842,0.10065917349307718,-0.050463802342722616,-0.12640340834320102,0.0691340406450306,0.08069665323894382,0.10425291290425823,-0.030931198692497733,0.051931268262074066,0.19658707526064978,-0.07726888166029577,-0.1322746669225443,-0.030202320439105514,-0.08309713538089342,-0.11718426361754701,-0.16297427575256343,0.054862535673827956,0.08163982145969309,0.10341259399366587,0.11635601810848496,-0.07892319579519619,-0.015631535552516635,0.11190437973590078,-0.11690310536519231,0.09187240898948795,0.09923974641550921,-0.135151905340377,0.0525704166841573,0.14956224854884453,0.1065456008107538,0.12553319455498552,-0.0614639816138188,-0.8793138595483123,0.13737422761039067,0.13996611173337292,-0.1833755312369458,0.09039512983287994,-0.3579550098282438,-0.06047839663956167,0.08742400497842612,0.18873812827995048,-0.1543397500857486,0.06069057362437848,-0.3062322889126184,-0.09848946941163887,0.18532484290232817,-0.10726358400305744;-0.06439878252631644,-0.06561524480956585,-0.039451862187306015,-0.028759458198987058,-0.05456187034568724,-0.05852180565342977,-0.01790215328950095,-0.04416724735349262,-0.05962931346281854,-0.03027148595824409,-0.06034770923214073,-0.06580648319623579,-0.0639846491925669,0.5889026149111719,-0.06448335256526128,-0.05154390019203396,-0.016636120024206245,-0.04621691111557583,-0.0399037247175363,-0.013455382789206126,-0.053462044696929195,-0.0635941994341005,-0.04259892330258451,-0.04652700525285857,-0.0479933977109114,-0.014657366093078973,-0.02537142125643935,-0.02237952478351369,-0.01840747596916481,-0.03859486682981429,-0.06388911835112256,-0.041394203003203796,-0.03009318768704099,-0.06411312674173672,-0.02853180367162238,-0.03224342968084453,-0.017195193237725184,-0.03367913785052705,-0.02539973785968742,-0.057336354975493574,-0.06427416474478745,-0.0208654461837806,-0.06505054117987541,-0.038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k{95}	=[0.706320855930013;0.7481480744881659;-0.8686434657320379];
x_a_linear{95}	=[-6.187339104541286,-8.827310330254829,19.115523300100204];
L_a{95}	=[0.040970334619225356,0.04062787348724833,-0.059391968829274396,-0.07632828193913321,-0.020421209771596123,0.027962585517371456,-0.10042765181803767,-0.044393127375467814,0.00990677665199569,-0.07817959647570846,0.006266957550727654,0.04672484115361196,0.026393718305037662,0.5893407204255798,0.044698985792712156,-0.030469365205217848,-0.10046103714040348,-0.04438632437393569,-0.05812188865485467,-0.1021961292206483,0.09758074187652287,0.04009063368548349,-0.05417611060934399,-0.04112455869863057,-0.042345790333435926,-0.10026389666270775,-0.0861112339516861,-0.09065003957370897,-0.09557219493407827,-0.05865743968416433,0.03029841209599358,-0.0533303875187007,-0.07643571255464846,0.0629445496405384,-0.0775784104232309,-0.07406127366702521,-0.09962150777602262,-0.07203249252341173,-0.08287935696765142,-0.010239744380623727,0.03895446392898849,-0.0943939291448417,0.048723173741267334,-0.059252394322647756,0.09580455419444175,0.05400862634187239,-0.09978603596846844,0.040619486882847444,-0.04693419051868467,-0.08663816362768358,0.05280632647167368,0.04617560094669096,-0.07103701262317429,-0.05922075041156175,-0.0599168590710879,0.5361005972496513,0.04702944279456676,-0.04557568763353298,-0.05065998199185654,-0.06201062853624634,0.002336117820957882,-0.037177514921013496,-0.10480432791464085,0.02344901961370798,0.05031174419317331,0.0014731860753438538,0.027637782481839207,0.04265942645761748,0.06452853448731499,-0.03877484579880803,-0.05129600611161673,-0.061211015553273775,-0.06709730110994816,0.024483602526897602,-0.005876868983600739,-0.06564928402708245,0.04290812174742157,-0.055794227756074614,-0.059250062751559,0.05087237517163596,-0.037395783004260864,-0.08283395860467799,-0.06274303697098642,-0.07079724830364133,0.016053625710406562,0.7380777226617792,-0.0764117795457552,-0.07792141777002755,0.07454095735893246,-0.05510958349112613,0.16196045125252015,0.015603091638174317,-0.05328098421047432,-0.1008353729148948,0.06006139959168674,-0.04125891058011799,0.3771312788461017,0.03350241790415593,-0.09875702806365355,0.037938664406639434;-0.018517839676913346,-0.019377884708644457,-0.03865958688549511,-0.03988155570534833,-0.031303825676023495,-0.019757783188576412,-0.044783524129458595,-0.0343607885110109,-0.02489054097710625,-0.04161098743949036,-0.026337633400351924,-0.018215974670256988,-0.022687662764092092,0.36244152621836195,-0.018134095561818428,-0.03371280727658802,-0.044186641013627924,-0.03490415729590159,-0.03794052003554678,-0.04367664378576686,-0.0020646005294747724,-0.019274269314859965,-0.038299279665617886,-0.03511639330194981,-0.03580481233625674,-0.04424401852959047,-0.042450215791207974,-0.043700320889836226,-0.04346615242213154,-0.03734804368842954,-0.02107391485539481,-0.03745643681010944,-0.04016827586484729,-0.013957502729107535,-0.04137033094744349,-0.040392092612382934,-0.04469928595295085,-0.0404658981399847,-0.04128795331276804,-0.030782353216355748,-0.019221355473260506,-0.04379819738160639,-0.018224858302023878,-0.03798915800089639,-0.0029845512745547064,-0.016618723183385874,-0.044331943077957514,-0.019434289169875447,-0.03586775374262904,-0.04248038563594719,-0.016631980238994214,-0.01825727248697302,-0.04043629292849933,-0.03784680709981781,-0.038034745952158805,1.1904873122887918,-0.017540930375770338,-0.036363324325433946,-0.036569698342327,-0.03928760728139753,-0.02552361655455375,-0.03412623441027812,-0.04601113897583853,-0.022989727382285625,-0.01581440674771818,-0.026792229288980913,-0.019121946484004046,-0.018437380880034895,-0.013605375198473046,-0.034892425168509024,-0.0370987814945443,-0.03827700375768492,-0.03895899371639818,-0.02224921706467104,-0.029235152398230633,-0.040058801439648586,-0.017580549519555743,-0.037278555361448265,-0.037910691003784455,-0.017393911790155654,-0.03399232702426893,-0.04217955100738178,-0.03869027854465313,-0.03834635463032346,-0.024303484458228084,0.8291684240394076,-0.03950168613556117,-0.040404271607860004,-0.010830145921526457,-0.03717103855238742,0.01694664769489326,-0.024360783528466143,-0.03590937141373219,-0.04467285662658515,-0.015311252165751495,-0.034814432964966,0.5667409613457459,-0.02093898158471976,-0.04327524574151316,-0.019444193156294517;-0.17451008199644996,-0.1748061505213747,0.12016916426172586,0.1763793669717697,3.218880029073331E-4,-0.13367366019595253,0.25200580199551953,0.07514310215393172,-0.08625462811669843,0.1798429063208804,-0.07719069687303186,-0.1913835141083902,-0.1349200381130318,-0.9950012794513103,-0.18461572288578518,0.030345140450613414,0.25336156118722175,0.07307515473988536,0.11630385198214967,0.26120550767915723,-0.3157186845595091,-0.17134122695332946,0.10300403539605556,0.06399878470046781,0.065814557338507,0.25481048312212584,0.20605992919554006,0.22125025630683262,0.23845102116563893,0.11905204934117249,-0.14531870780353426,0.10193580212139049,0.17533436650648754,-0.23328201979319005,0.1799668493640505,0.1668026157000629,0.25054618057190986,0.1599143836459657,0.1973456651196378,-0.0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x_a{95}	=[-6.187339104541286,-8.827310330254836,19.115523300100204];
std_x_a{95}	=[1.3076797658289692,1.631263811470816,2.1150390112421875];
pred_a{95}	=[-6.187339104541286];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.5 to 9.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{96}	=[-9.547527368984387,-13.286720476212963,22.73465011223058];
std_x_f{96}	=[1.7212265986957254,2.5167958279592173,2.6122947784125343];
pred_f{96}	=[-9.547527368984387];
obs{96}	=[-9.98254501937671];
sqrt_r{96}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{96}	=[3.96422595849015];
L_f{96}	=[-0.040061882538078894,-0.04050427818280319,-0.03263327570930103,-0.02686926898832208,-0.038487806193236725,-0.038444915804736385,-0.021735450960674856,-0.034417816610880295,-0.04021220382875763,-0.02835024935499745,-0.04080362234843581,-0.040447619801391686,-0.04095254269095849,0.5053406425471658,-0.03988649739480761,-0.03764116518494752,-0.02161050801829838,-0.03460562926282897,-0.03250765826773689,-0.020003626185430595,-0.029359954593917697,-0.039970912644553616,-0.033970596257516264,-0.03544134966487511,-0.03640785912354049,-0.020911687466538646,-0.025760021139083305,-0.024822670805490856,-0.022842710486537746,-0.0320733627505355,-0.04058614337761499,-0.03334337569238874,-0.027824094300622864,-0.03839628806536238,-0.02747781109997354,-0.029878674093704826,-0.022295352696968685,-0.0297679543080078,-0.02596634406178212,-0.040811519967575295,-0.0403423107418497,-0.02357029497852001,-0.040190013167951656,-0.0319316206701091,-0.029800379241529437,-0.0393845766091699,-0.021766764338419474,-0.040385908869854804,-0.03566548516566873,-0.025310037562535134,-0.03951894246116413,-0.03999833148202412,-0.029728855188274644,-0.031804047058901934,-0.032226796814203734,1.1188475456353455,-0.03936513928353765,-0.035424456354911565,-0.03458743972271177,-0.03238005651275615,-0.038551556686168775,-0.0361002813002753,-0.020571714609631978,-0.040836643623565004,-0.03894496270190481,-0.04034321382995324,-0.037689520060050406,-0.040386401325732395,-0.03808569434810316,-0.03589337459695795,-0.0346335744538459,-0.03123331212198235,-0.029903583856418357,-0.040738314378503886,-0.040232414476056,-0.031620900306824934,-0.03965341183071739,-0.03340204953290552,-0.03219887575836025,-0.039816734031645776,-0.036022378247193565,-0.02614206785765015,-0.03151799101098309,-0.028387150269169353,-0.04063688989113374,1.0157537201433002,-0.026733757378147077,-0.027024910803662174,-0.03679764975423269,-0.03264694730060625,-0.009837314241005896,-0.040571492622713125,-0.032814351452608206,-0.021534450579234393,-0.03932925770699069,-0.03589100656013707,0.5605517903339416,-0.0408198186192936,-0.0212024110904694,-0.040281163297595145;-0.14476840437021252,-0.14595881761506602,0.007259991458594921,0.041105933056519224,-0.05821358838550694,-0.1239473559331782,0.08546679710100838,-0.01674665255886315,-0.10252427302282768,0.04207291192349027,-0.0988323851312651,-0.1542080196695747,-0.12734812383588498,0.4034097618986729,-0.14992345711955427,-0.04312037606986357,0.08651161362155567,-0.01842401909383857,0.006009552158587182,0.09088857042041976,-0.20031410022884313,-0.14387596654771373,-0.002752338740487628,-0.023451589147270288,-0.023590266154944164,0.08771190246844959,0.05799352406943369,0.06694658342343371,0.07762488178339023,0.008034684575840792,-0.13190201011428368,-0.0021467696361698874,0.04017562728836669,-0.17120091336913162,0.042328084863632195,0.03471960004650646,0.08470910138532534,0.031218886836738277,0.05331871451151774,-0.07593690866330378,-0.14315524488984438,0.07362506183894074,-0.15623200807198992,0.008180827734170129,-0.19917678125646202,-0.16171464308983888,0.08487252811017694,-0.14560061832066412,-0.014643540974782192,0.059866727037135546,-0.16008246845240806,-0.1518316727551855,0.02930325660142159,0.008798802492658915,0.00874717365539812,1.669998990299426,-0.15293698615742518,-0.017488466176930638,-0.007919008996942147,0.012284829274028618,-0.08925953022228694,-0.02998666421356834,0.09501253526511043,-0.12327698478148592,-0.1563786096189943,-0.0921149387375343,-0.12295930600363161,-0.14812457236651713,-0.1737174149659913,-0.02834851189953683,-0.007388548194786099,0.012367514827854479,0.023969520651086533,-0.12447389199520396,-0.08174237302310412,0.01832387151408713,-0.14724166571135056,0.001792206991775748,0.007846339259162945,-0.15830740653413425,-0.03039753343343359,0.051759350408020224,0.014040756165873745,0.030984629048523393,-0.1128915834809875,1.4010516481924282,0.0423434130919987,0.043702431933144666,-0.18487166592429896,0.001000820775610234,-0.24534443906251913,-0.11217997648438839,-0.001286349046145754,0.08795176335093471,-0.16903544078378366,-0.023349103896210338,0.6921021663723205,-0.13730169682064056,0.08400583053969377,-0.14149373657167966;-0.10008752489981447,-0.09918073769813811,0.12634059235570294,0.16223152968859286,0.0391461479255353,-0.06966791575754695,0.21442675018473314,0.09209925899296344,-0.027960456769469847,0.1672702577955497,-0.02006798995855027,-0.11304161647881687,-0.06582249491225048,-1.4142630452420448,-0.10847017906681221,0.06221322966376563,0.21492058133811745,0.0917002373970658,0.12322765795698075,0.21828692679538625,-0.23349461975685562,-0.0974541850774783,0.11530137260494285,0.08533060605730186,0.08844626873660025,0.2149948926833675,0.1837869119002845,0.19455143875321682,0.20382017178952996,0.12530002801863868,-0.07522685724200164,0.11285912837233762,0.16234833244069588,-0.15069171308656373,0.16606747143671816,0.15751184933902795,0.21327617249064743,0.15370360109035025,0.17627587363832986,0.017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k{96}	=[0.7477439453575274;1.024953821286119;-0.8509395785166267];
x_a_linear{96}	=[-9.872809183188904,-13.732593479309484,23.104823848302715];
L_a{96}	=[0.028584831081701,0.02890048786002883,0.023284394409232273,0.019171678080527776,0.027461700974566128,0.027431097956619077,0.01550861204799684,0.024557694538888668,0.028692087866200585,0.020228382631955057,0.029114074987437767,0.028860061146170176,0.0292203321717225,-0.36056909937267406,0.02845969081426883,0.026857608289061873,0.015419463144440246,0.024691702044049014,0.023194764239091514,0.014272925766494549,0.020948824405239583,0.028519922523360743,0.02423859524930677,0.02528800269221035,0.025977623545363166,0.014920842855953175,0.01838021097041172,0.01771139564640265,0.01629866045573984,0.022884887038814108,0.02895890006177564,0.023791062762831695,0.019852962097541144,0.02739640124174124,0.019605883174388074,0.02131893954563784,0.015908111410991053,0.02123993910504338,0.018527425866966384,0.029119710072330246,0.02878492135024275,0.016817804302292943,0.028676254454225305,0.02278375166599918,0.02126307484377629,0.028101561840668792,0.01553095467287419,0.028816029352302295,0.025447927164643856,0.018059140074331275,0.02819743414968356,0.028539486327852668,0.021212041221513978,0.0226927257357182,0.022994364839513264,-0.7983166559325577,0.028087692979929378,0.025275949029698045,0.02467872349938857,0.023103718227751868,0.027507188030001083,0.025758161563910878,0.014678266469838329,0.029137636225998475,0.027787889879088038,0.028785565718885867,0.026892110310664984,0.028816380727903938,0.027174787368892016,0.02561053013000672,0.024711641410702704,0.022285496700767987,0.021336713082834295,0.029067476645809266,0.028706508505034225,0.022562047429068206,0.02829338032022829,0.023832927540865807,0.02297444269371424,0.028409913474180655,0.025702576417332413,0.018652807768756625,0.022488619905147503,0.02025471205862054,0.028995108557857644,-0.7247574669839255,0.019074988253663744,0.019282731149402522,0.02625574575604503,0.023294149320966368,0.007019090169052503,0.028948446500246406,0.023413595016080674,0.015365194874693223,0.028062090867907702,0.025608840495665187,-0.39996318755142485,0.02912563130075345,0.01512827908098888,0.02874129161408559;-0.05067240816701287,-0.050823737468002395,0.08390792691998288,0.10421556427029814,0.03218527047954982,-0.033649236563566574,0.13651828997897053,0.06409275228092527,-0.008075207250730214,0.10866101978716797,-0.0029942155213926146,-0.05920601681455074,-0.03116017515681201,-0.7835172662369515,-0.05623939961543291,0.04528992099893398,0.13726964473769737,0.06285651375754224,0.08236244161725016,0.13787241177648696,-0.13135443081317166,-0.04999363735698254,0.07703665004278754,0.05979185554938187,0.061923283304421164,0.13682856748247157,0.11849779141117905,0.12524923397028795,0.13127706842661713,0.08336751539650011,-0.036574647763485325,0.07616902467456112,0.10552791993663004,-0.08101700919085966,0.1068670392294878,0.10489762029819047,0.1370756725450529,0.10113685219647672,0.11430758616341873,0.019919810607580562,-0.04840058839597553,0.12898617435528387,-0.06183506297427577,0.0831807395451209,-0.12918265730835352,-0.06920948016948501,0.1359975687918541,-0.050743560016712604,0.06912634561365154,0.1193140881571091,-0.06726171155847924,-0.057884943125356934,0.09912938726970595,0.0834990737157176,0.0844403852209874,-0.9579123243022903,-0.0604774769708209,0.06571530008402439,0.07331880087715029,0.08833801204165484,0.0012890636467398288,0.054804456846116865,0.14333068351891048,-0.027361255916223164,-0.06490599699154218,0.002641838899160759,-0.03443543463787598,-0.053266357398837685,-0.08426302281731965,0.05595663368579903,0.07395762137711881,0.08572726311352075,0.09420604811184846,-0.028789115538658885,0.012754162834545162,0.09259397383353307,-0.054105071705301336,0.08024581243680018,0.08347397079210796,-0.06478720686043199,0.05421061156715018,0.11316095617477676,0.0880691486080667,0.09765940853270033,-0.017445029433721854,-0.9847163721481598,0.10513475921409765,0.10717762938439115,-0.0984425894007525,0.07768086760875685,-0.2222388877297394,-0.016887025331723413,0.07578689100342523,0.13853115332382496,-0.07666020903190329,0.06095047972424554,-0.6245029403603541,-0.04142548595697278,0.13380533737942282,-0.04688270112899236;-0.1782081247613576,-0.1781640082818853,0.06270576262860292,0.10983650283947446,-0.035905005856681604,-0.14463543335829482,0.1720426593798356,0.02498457767435817,-0.10637418288109955,0.11198732185933595,-0.0996349811341109,-0.19191440331934978,-0.1456798804914793,-0.4288496889755531,-0.18624877821018818,-0.011186975654607424,0.17278012904914966,0.024219321740424557,0.059837782018029834,0.1792798912291826,-0.29074647911729495,-0.1753973938080685,0.04905877018182828,0.016220037099612374,0.01745100804953407,0.17421713923031062,0.13355491638887948,0.1461472747290378,0.15927692687397368,0.06275702756759557,-0.15436976481036704,0.0478396049382515,0.1080913979268783,-0.2255644066818198,0.11248578854970508,0.09924848787444465,0.16980027429349306,0.0956561430114093,0.12564154879377137,-0.061609931200220014,-0.17392599327133298,0.1558646294157862,-0.19554195628973883,0.06318036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x_a{96}	=[-9.872809183188904,-13.732593479309488,23.104823848302708];
std_x_a{96}	=[1.2281243032022373,1.9022704396031844,2.2176268087881303];
pred_a{96}	=[-9.872809183188904];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.6 to 9.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{97}	=[-12.376726269045594,-12.519207341046743,31.806940952759923];
std_x_f{97}	=[0.9359907809158072,2.3920092297356748,2.236054989207948];
pred_f{97}	=[-12.376726269045594];
obs{97}	=[-12.738402904515915];
sqrt_r{97}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{97}	=[1.882013178906993];
L_f{97}	=[-0.07703529676460154,-0.07716680900333414,0.05348202876565548,0.07509624412379395,0.0020914660569248764,-0.05985550210322288,0.10628021068210981,0.033404840556624266,-0.03670871576879456,0.07761395727681174,-0.03179670110741596,-0.08487477955885925,-0.05873477869578614,-0.4728413140486179,-0.08207580471059227,0.014927847148760054,0.10717273081178624,0.0325364158383354,0.051419243400595324,0.10911590854792341,-0.14770199289024696,-0.07571058471015053,0.04628468204154073,0.028977071655143613,0.030866400848371476,0.10702311562114686,0.08780386361573235,0.09461129391972806,0.10070013383720562,0.05265353185148554,-0.06347200382397285,0.045237350251052355,0.07500613748864174,-0.10484656242946426,0.07713159757661589,0.07199498138770555,0.10597396600279772,0.06904418741095165,0.08349156230552167,-0.010811957242759757,-0.07465238908141576,0.09879344324913575,-0.08725583871475401,0.052726966871777595,-0.1458591122022652,-0.09427064533608549,0.10596772069120676,-0.07675495674946067,0.037112458570564166,0.08884701749219638,-0.0920598321679023,-0.0836408168366423,0.06845885200434643,0.05315959016091395,0.05391600789921306,0.18547751597363318,-0.08556154207374528,0.034832693904290245,0.041779727193463984,0.057034916963314045,-0.026956331614949987,0.02392462424514596,0.11301724031498431,-0.05468560976175314,-0.08968658224625697,-0.026753288337355047,-0.059772831472794594,-0.07940663756927575,-0.10752057403277512,0.025570242474999158,0.04202300465806739,0.05513044252743091,0.0634585527572908,-0.0563514890555532,-0.01728422950144161,0.06131497781274087,-0.0800046020544169,0.04874185277258157,0.05249355114126752,-0.08965074158315788,0.022950068670164754,0.08331376765399556,0.05757705725258271,0.06770679323816556,-0.04591079314690801,-0.14738528614746144,0.07533479059952647,0.07741254043438274,-0.12004463283210308,0.04739347800393411,-0.22706872045247725,-0.04464429552085274,0.0443701893795222,0.10792832879061501,-0.10126311263136366,0.029769571395196724,-0.1815801738561557,-0.068769041261322,0.1045441446956713,-0.07359598971686869;-0.16591833380995,-0.16550635549400153,0.03274484484118896,0.07194934221826874,-0.04899850395858302,-0.13863825756335013,0.12538291372424645,0.0018029954887626375,-0.10719206976955493,0.07495759351437964,-0.1018346802733353,-0.1761825790250941,-0.13960074332354355,0.08827238399037926,-0.17254671584888,-0.028832092883267067,0.12631345887936046,4.2216006912109197E-4,0.03106797972082864,0.1310684608914794,-0.2521342509546327,-0.16347706250078617,0.021501121123473427,-0.005801250922819391,-0.0046939307233286355,0.1272136662387715,0.09311312189452989,0.10393236513963823,0.11467383089017646,0.03287849694539352,-0.14615115893817263,0.020766287585472994,0.07123943872957425,-0.20302367884121303,0.07474711131863451,0.06425458318314405,0.12369372918841494,0.06073521094547851,0.08602571097528706,-0.07111557484681903,-0.1621557638120951,0.11155916692113554,-0.17974020745745556,0.033478565152099064,-0.24957496353619574,-0.1879197171987868,0.12497400156409826,-0.1656775695106014,0.005594378183762053,0.0945768710362628,-0.18602888102638415,-0.17448618384256556,0.05934117596786839,0.034404411478666026,0.03478749077299635,1.6776254575230698,-0.17584913475122543,0.003487478883057231,0.013997800853518908,0.03940670569760882,-0.09085677005330302,-0.01389022514708921,0.1362988560004262,-0.13361544953254126,-0.18176879530317613,-0.0931866380518657,-0.1381959050001994,-0.1690182134424478,-0.20606927417691445,-0.011368726004765373,0.014832618645798492,0.038290120218658755,0.0517364621948754,-0.13649615642191051,-0.07899166356180438,0.046820296206594156,-0.16911394003036648,0.025119766539740983,0.032841239239333464,-0.18329102056385627,-0.01436739062306306,0.08644027721854519,0.040779683219752866,0.059768707775858264,-0.12039096430848466,1.1191182756114826,0.07329475270790556,0.07596670954100503,-0.22229994627285823,0.024712385155334752,-0.33516083158574833,-0.11894613057935387,0.02066133529622732,0.12741826421620622,-0.1991808323605673,-0.0055137454891635625,0.4999423847378233,-0.15354224012172885,0.12276957950052148,-0.16045750611238493;0.023469279054607908,0.023073080567510968,-0.08706095418906265,-0.09683730670434529,-0.05043953182836003,0.008627977945052115,-0.11519528217588042,-0.07315516377056971,-0.016274167373435983,-0.10188128989870898,-0.0216419714271739,0.031791204556196245,0.004590587573795135,1.1288218823964382,0.029306657149643527,-0.06007374058213564,-0.1159478620820265,-0.07168214757532858,-0.08581491995511623,-0.11452625724749058,0.11382606790130978,0.02322745334877853,-0.08251377654592171,-0.07037405258904762,-0.07311904928768313,-0.11484346645535479,-0.10639194374606124,-0.11056649450324232,-0.11327836067725433,-0.08632336201897725,0.009350926297804004,-0.08144638768567351,-0.09868652836665538,0.05471785316239149,-0.0993224428975108,-0.10103094155670864,-0.11686169900752928,-0.09696603686930332,-0.10340234836512295,-0.04157301179994807,0.021204885528073883,-0.11213442732852771,0.034466682431073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k{97}	=[0.46865409275148373;0.45118212708271105;-0.624745749129826];
x_a_linear{97}	=[-12.546227504511346,-12.68238937475436,32.032896893329585];
L_a{97}	=[-0.22427094337712594,-0.22465381168665127,0.15570090009061527,0.21862582765386618,0.006088833110633546,-0.17425583449130974,0.3094109338584273,0.09725068143618962,-0.10686917116431914,0.22595558333334007,-0.09256894505685187,-0.24709383464512974,-0.17099310031091572,-1.376571156640131,-0.23894524878807977,0.043459070104865806,0.3120093055123623,0.09472245815410388,0.14969556436483483,0.3176664305230516,-0.43000113811982615,-0.22041434212247468,0.13474744359181212,0.08436022796490159,0.08986058505199021,0.31157373452922216,0.2556212042049974,0.27543950672827267,0.29316579493272665,0.15328891763153937,-0.18478446599792955,0.13169837260037523,0.2183635024481637,-0.3052371893595351,0.22455130153585967,0.20959719858778753,0.3085193713407488,0.20100662547816034,0.24306690866015615,-0.03147658219577472,-0.21733364350896636,0.28761489404866325,-0.2540257529417647,0.15350270717957132,-0.4246360054107497,-0.2744477849796426,0.30850118952045347,-0.22345479646392416,0.1080445775408441,0.25865811213925227,-0.2680114995925156,-0.24350142966420985,0.1993025530679182,0.15476219260062463,0.15696433274780824,0.5399760788844901,-0.24909318927292048,0.10140755537235115,0.12163228059403959,0.16604433512971398,-0.07847729774761458,0.06965116348935371,0.32902428065893863,-0.1592048555079668,-0.2611023161253124,-0.07788618290383381,-0.1740151575412047,-0.23117456887957644,-0.31302197282974653,0.07444201091057578,0.1223405282257157,0.1604998860743896,0.1847453062420656,-0.16405468846070545,-0.05031914743809075,0.1785047698229902,-0.23291540801203817,0.141900943624052,0.15282316976907104,-0.26099797409429387,0.06681396408396485,0.24254929951344245,0.1676226546692436,0.1971131030878419,-0.13365895015258078,-0.4290791176569798,0.21932030207531594,0.2253692034898038,-0.34948295370217347,0.13797545369812192,-0.6610595179885698,-0.12997182711535477,0.1291738287239224,0.31420905911418984,-0.29480478109322605,0.08666741274632649,-0.5286298437162017,-0.20020559933643495,0.30435676813315937,-0.21425817431470967;-0.3076648655238287,-0.3074948724341468,0.1311528786249576,0.21012797716029474,-0.04515016336385145,-0.24877361347753932,0.3209406890131939,0.06326858970624842,-0.17473686238321998,0.21776887248166596,-0.16034126480290903,-0.33235392044551815,-0.24767394509947938,-0.7817653666556621,-0.323567885935395,-0.0013645468600786412,0.3235134895782283,0.060289834929611555,0.12568044597325,0.3318439786225158,-0.5239089581177107,-0.30278609676707535,0.106665888787259,0.04751715737632973,0.052100882180635695,0.3241384019072385,0.25467403827081875,0.27801909339699216,0.29996414992619336,0.129762079353605,-0.2629409524593205,0.10400394319685637,0.20925227560819773,-0.3959435118355896,0.21667083850884092,0.1967268308554839,0.3186880079637971,0.18777793696250245,0.23965190417792037,-0.09100979872295972,-0.29951769633999165,0.29334113602846595,-0.3402927467355959,0.13049726950920812,-0.51795873230019,-0.36137964505044984,0.319956788837602,-0.30690826982620184,0.07388206586318145,0.2580572120171524,-0.35542086714200183,-0.3283870084546627,0.18530687278840405,0.13221915159274863,0.13399405509538215,2.018907904717443,-0.3332841333351139,0.06758035265067162,0.09087335886846268,0.14435212689644983,-0.1404569750843058,0.03013157591989256,0.34425290448647305,-0.23423809712321025,-0.34679395271283825,-0.14241323927272295,-0.2481791452527379,-0.3151280610477579,-0.40390934356228214,0.03568104647796347,0.09215581220314899,0.1397312692544534,0.16850150547645645,-0.24018405620303504,-0.11079500161685873,0.15964111746762308,-0.3163240545966237,0.11480577892616553,0.12943045384775773,-0.34825023041568404,0.027861208126050307,0.23973932460270828,0.14672265371006996,0.1843506009865126,-0.2048677687101505,0.8479263153741083,0.2119123180754346,0.2184073773723297,-0.44318454163973886,0.11191736021298367,-0.7529719511196796,-0.20109255327994366,0.10230339705466604,0.3260086107490777,-0.38550704396598895,0.04926287864421478,0.1658311272611059,-0.28007869155992443,0.3151329576398608,-0.29587564206496797;0.21974377182924654,0.21968264699065562,-0.22332521887559986,-0.2881713813911453,-0.05576827665987136,0.16113090593376805,-0.3859814713607608,-0.15826573531161256,0.07725418742663652,-0.2996301237000305,0.05937129968198164,0.248039534956985,0.15423807880074342,2.3335513113149426,0.2384236154170671,-0.09810767762651836,-0.3890080599759106,-0.15458010193627614,-0.21682351395257596,-0.39253738335934074,0.49014880506064407,0.21612677659100968,-0.20044027092548516,-0.1442033267020163,-0.15176205353033892,-0.3875224670684141,-0.3301031452163782,-0.35162201716308106,-0.3698473429663942,-0.22047673963914885,0.1710681634496018,-0.19670443624133135,-0.28979102473218027,0.32185131956403806,-0.29584229583594074,-0.28446345947600926,-0.3868676222413278,-0.272880370068169,-0.31612644667752793,-0.014025750831922625,0.21140808350034027,-0.3638454452329113,0.25678159786128935,-0.219800470736938,0.4824413690548979,0.2829481825656299,-0.3849857659773295,0.21902355553848943,-0.172801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x_a{97}	=[-12.546227504511357,-12.68238937475437,32.03289689332961];
std_x_a{97}	=[2.72492667964562,3.4301058256374217,4.082800463860296];
pred_a{97}	=[-12.546227504511357];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.7 to 9.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{98}	=[-9.523678884101567,-4.623542453674008,33.2017195866369];
std_x_f{98}	=[1.6942708466625023,4.246735864361454,3.0848205914896445];
pred_f{98}	=[-9.523678884101567];
obs{98}	=[-9.807889128809814];
sqrt_r{98}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{98}	=[3.877154242903776];
L_f{98}	=[-0.08124371393101967,-0.08097665423506784,-0.018555423997180694,0.010584915627545299,-0.06241873813062595,-0.07988288285956935,0.05644800156432864,-0.038125841947390555,-0.07832138457216793,0.012326977156418653,-0.0778841691027724,-0.0798567575986859,-0.08164388770868904,0.6484276779267294,-0.08019730720567779,-0.05369073885850519,0.057949347852101235,-0.03905570720205434,-0.020733547345630522,0.06264118312397893,-0.049849664046416206,-0.0802682391598461,-0.0264562333227357,-0.04226179058018777,-0.04184992372378224,0.05847312794127752,0.027355776960848392,0.03670685292899156,0.046369882717031956,-0.018804911694789657,-0.08188737300568415,-0.02672358995965172,0.00935877280841403,-0.07442249279057098,0.012735527428894645,0.0030228647105930884,0.05508864706332063,5.904292297111958E-4,0.02081519807383536,-0.07096491638486391,-0.08114488817396599,0.04385054023358158,-0.07927466415241313,-0.0182690230538419,-0.05121251703334027,-0.07728321546874761,0.056344679204997854,-0.08109444867366274,-0.036202349161307316,0.028404158396048165,-0.07868125010302308,-0.08042499976036623,8.401028416529097E-5,-0.01791120507665305,-0.01793162347884354,1.2125490255581597,-0.07862564234708215,-0.03730113751623534,-0.031170269599067314,-0.014561535558115069,-0.07426963516758982,-0.046410650194273616,0.06746922513772041,-0.08125603223687529,-0.07834265596832611,-0.0759967242938916,-0.0793285789626531,-0.08122361843069748,-0.07288641562574873,-0.045522913721907934,-0.0310271325666429,-0.014949685266135082,-0.006461234527679957,-0.08168869611721484,-0.072338947314703,-0.009345761485311185,-0.08002907498436218,-0.023421384140404806,-0.019080957913849967,-0.07893107494492461,-0.046872479713707074,0.021391730426697494,-0.013364043664037383,2.2317167646440205E-4,-0.08036687063650856,0.7155659195091874,0.010466130513459897,0.012627165552002452,-0.06814739184886404,-0.023664498697741482,0.023676137742712332,-0.07944075833924641,-0.02696937891706669,0.05865719925072736,-0.07671808525310708,-0.04256479282435446,0.4168233920043642,-0.08164972628884137,0.05432852725710482,-0.08192233729448117;0.21835228506723692,0.2186248441409901,-0.25085094455785495,-0.2943101673243219,-0.10007884277478814,0.144335980452558,-0.3426612934591908,-0.19753789453029091,0.044967262784696205,-0.30151338055142773,0.024653950363023102,0.25386422394033437,0.1376491757143363,2.4263087934555143,0.24164956082405903,-0.14234928692051182,-0.3439563488324432,-0.19444488690198466,-0.24521050302722033,-0.3435199758266707,0.5670524241977132,0.21275378505185277,-0.2330827236304285,-0.1851071370674596,-0.19192237286928618,-0.34240630636425295,-0.3181252917420521,-0.3294353911343699,-0.33689044353754666,-0.24871755217479252,0.15764469491594982,-0.22903896114164085,-0.2951133477726015,0.3489255760973471,-0.29845901800573044,-0.2924286511418832,-0.3430569387797982,-0.2848488322700589,-0.3102565362859631,-0.05621811103406087,0.20801948689624666,-0.3339745364232469,0.26553870214385633,-0.24737480125298295,0.5572115741187773,0.29905216173349025,-0.34179309286002835,0.21722459112563303,-0.2102560920803586,-0.31939910329568705,0.28759489708890323,0.248608108869419,-0.2832526918342167,-0.24864952685019484,-0.25122858467440995,1.2666914424586377,0.25936953804184004,-0.20221861400211277,-0.2219672067624667,-0.25894196278490444,0.007992281547618144,-0.1704070754896877,-0.35035718207008315,0.1197890797644684,0.27746680139539737,0.004449694936776407,0.14421084811778231,0.22881653520344775,0.3620879603126811,-0.17525796347390402,-0.22250866416640588,-0.2523084302247922,-0.2720859453459714,0.1266037289785908,-0.030688202338713763,-0.26855116029829224,0.23200704466546862,-0.23986527859236878,-0.24750317507160446,0.2765421936698084,-0.1676739818019874,-0.3094662982474832,-0.2593885168426979,-0.27985549124035514,0.08237190469033645,1.3365851465976502,-0.29425726468305236,-0.2990481907537331,0.42455705244122766,-0.2327780840533572,0.993452254258441,0.07784465413073885,-0.22722860403218648,-0.34512097606086495,0.3309808427273917,-0.18804483856545615,1.126975121424125,0.18063223056874222,-0.3393314738365857,0.20286571475572024;0.3458686579303459,0.3458572774020629,-0.17669087000324374,-0.28592521441268864,0.05626076917915232,0.2882016536836559,-0.448990620069437,-0.08311438026585734,0.20817650097204463,-0.29871835577316147,0.19183872129456242,0.36874487830601554,0.2858826704110911,0.5131282290810782,0.36156318187260444,4.982588700635533E-4,-0.4540466856031758,-0.07905448669350157,-0.16795859617995837,-0.46449555601076387,0.5245901761174795,0.3417018471437422,-0.1428283341707085,-0.06260928019615371,-0.06894878927965101,-0.45352367096913376,-0.35170221327918316,-0.3866597951460731,-0.4186434995827869,-0.17385621896061088,0.3021496999558878,-0.1392056848776719,-0.2855298192453055,0.42563876743257506,-0.29637550740802077,-0.26968175667260674,-0.44704186538529056,-0.255681533788919,-0.32956154142343513,0.11075087481441376,0.33802527626180107,-0.4088403476089497,0.37657562786565796,-0.174168970856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k{98}	=[0.7420788709063446;0.9998205530720681;-0.3658966099473141];
x_a_linear{98}	=[-9.734585301594679,-4.907701697726955,33.305711151687944];
L_a{98}	=[0.05929796488750769,0.05910304400431378,0.013543187865486339,-0.007725692547146681,0.04555803720562316,0.058304724805435526,-0.04120013048115371,0.027827197055793777,0.05716502222245354,-0.008997184190903082,0.05684590845600873,0.05828565656338217,0.05959004275383074,-0.4732728209647562,0.05853421608461493,0.03918766626448364,-0.0422959294685303,0.028505884852710432,0.015132951252555336,-0.04572039481788648,0.03638415189620979,0.05858598772729543,0.019309811414570277,0.030845933213182943,0.030545320830910543,-0.042678224809719785,-0.019966368143536146,-0.026791508792450486,-0.033844337538864774,0.01372528334114676,0.05976775721188838,0.01950494902831543,-0.006830758400024468,0.054319308544695896,-0.009295375872940576,-0.0022063211637594607,-0.040207968114734906,-4.3094105424201394E-4,-0.015192546288033891,0.051795701063191965,0.05922583418362662,-0.03200552595708399,0.057860799610539686,0.013334150239556702,0.03737886772904428,0.05640728587507054,-0.041124717808107995,0.05918901952347379,0.02642328280604184,-0.02073155824287081,0.0574276800033496,0.05870040377421901,-6.13172224604875E-5,0.013072986922164822,0.01308788985603587,-0.8850123420376587,0.057387093149306206,0.027225263785698162,0.022750480779214165,0.01062813825776643,0.05420774119355269,0.033874092806282584,-0.04924427441365823,0.059306955742710554,0.05718054773749291,0.055468304816431786,0.05790015082148076,0.05928329763246908,0.0531981602690093,0.03322615386281678,0.022646008269131535,0.010911440025295356,0.004715910186942233,0.05962274740637389,0.05279857542589178,0.006821261727073842,0.05841142715892651,0.01709474305364414,0.013926763286032956,0.057610021553068436,0.03421117181587387,-0.01561334432350481,0.009754115778336396,-1.628880019703633E-4,0.058657976630275596,-0.522275517903818,-0.007638993956162042,-0.0092162849690393,0.049739253088062776,0.017272186917138978,-0.017280681995054743,0.05798202803280546,0.01968434487645334,-0.042812574330641666,0.055994810003861896,0.03106708775629861,-0.30423004645445545,0.05959430420255246,-0.03965317371405606,0.059793276862198194;0.4077074392901253,0.4073575609165125,-0.2076037196015914,-0.31898048622175473,0.04540084067688108,0.3305194384919784,-0.47422494958232797,-0.108677792837313,0.22751132849795128,-0.3302439314779585,0.2061789956668189,0.4399867916958857,0.32793701707965145,0.9150149712595703,0.42856584935174646,-0.01721199758480995,-0.47901920069772214,-0.10341754333657277,-0.19688671445013928,-0.48951811300213566,0.6832373001314099,0.3998353950606864,-0.1714210405464092,-0.08660735799727384,-0.09438253406204958,-0.47868993525665116,-0.381883545946266,-0.41498824760899466,-0.44496497470232976,-0.20488884492073964,0.3485000287521607,-0.1667541485283788,-0.31692588910938513,0.5223824740916391,-0.3281417792154855,-0.2994740579281271,-0.4714523401700151,-0.2862249488019125,-0.35877062864759035,0.10918019532450161,0.3971443074039134,-0.4361772227226053,0.4503045816221505,-0.20479509249177438,0.6765728587250429,0.47917656122057445,-0.4731159350132091,0.40623185202287904,-0.1258790852082886,-0.38560082566182197,0.4709777033003147,0.43605508163989065,-0.28344849504833286,-0.2069037863429718,-0.20943525488909165,-1.5594029915343963,0.44262273896205095,-0.11528065529341949,-0.14931849436963265,-0.2250033147601479,0.1810929134706866,-0.06223752734984333,-0.5076080623301722,0.309172944328036,0.4600604444643037,0.181575662630994,0.32910238712976797,0.4181248527373338,0.5319647151258011,-0.0691574674305311,-0.15019356201291617,-0.21746511962040338,-0.2570267118217887,0.3169960055389058,0.13791256518315334,-0.24676894452115558,0.41853123346419085,-0.18527693456632657,-0.20303108543319642,0.46050726796299557,-0.058428045155935325,-0.35932411761651095,-0.22824086951586864,-0.2803756386483256,0.2696833956040545,-0.3311881307336635,-0.3186507304861516,-0.3284783923632693,0.5833885394456919,-0.17762311164130337,0.938270154662649,0.26299765020970955,-0.16437092979449006,-0.4818336209288063,0.5097880902286686,-0.08883885056047394,0.15548263471054086,0.3709336799437315,-0.4659552599698242,0.3938025400449574;0.2765718138183499,0.27678822191793057,-0.19251772308453444,-0.27689680824204693,0.0030206924197606335,0.2200655307408218,-0.4008432844102345,-0.11563382574948049,0.1413722583454532,-0.28820405782875946,0.12540740170115233,0.3006310389103399,0.21624449798522122,1.0662047631418419,0.29315887061287654,-0.045297268942645366,-0.404618776289374,-0.11236706095570755,-0.1856432800623163,-0.41106574474414775,0.4820708939316249,0.27323703445771674,-0.16539418434728798,-0.09865648399847719,-0.10464469115395666,-0.4036490033101946,-0.32836909715369456,-0.35535067666557013,-0.3790922976662661,-0.18989587262981797,0.23230384669105741,-0.16199957695797798,-0.27754725186864754,0.3621600854300124,-0.2855127364166117,-0.26710340353627066,-0.40005399145415754,-0.25517792704433806,-0.3118072135340483,0.050221333386529926,0.2688127256015619,-0.3714380194316176,0.3089582852062012,-0.18975153818888887,0.4767805848365256,0.3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x_a{98}	=[-9.734585301594688,-4.907701697726961,33.30571115168796];
std_x_a{98}	=[1.2366102965285732,3.933915801572925,3.03848576517623];
pred_a{98}	=[-9.734585301594688];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.8 to 9.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{99}	=[-5.434926849238648,-2.2412002883859325,28.139720190553728];
std_x_f{99}	=[2.5510047601108785,3.808650122446852,1.4793954635190696];
pred_f{99}	=[-5.434926849238648];
obs{99}	=[-5.358080844845279];
sqrt_r{99}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{99}	=[7.5851443289333345];
L_f{99}	=[0.2784224179640948,0.27884201141106574,-0.15109146806875226,-0.23252217140205483,0.030059762856123596,0.22699698379247416,-0.3474858200587933,-0.07957270327006252,0.15714331832671113,-0.24124242355647751,0.14262511201568545,0.2997667770358076,0.22534499434124586,0.5976847082078776,0.2923507358899065,-0.014317694036903625,-0.3509060037307742,-0.07613518239603585,-0.14400424225630457,-0.3587827680048458,0.4560773904371542,0.27359959682224383,-0.12560118790197397,-0.0637302528348884,-0.0691305673884014,-0.35086462833165194,-0.27925098612274674,-0.3045509221737496,-0.3260652252722856,-0.14896402561141286,0.2392386192198179,-0.12259248533338862,-0.2315351436166675,0.3541261890899788,-0.23992258502354616,-0.21902610771954828,-0.34507659934589924,-0.2092357170668938,-0.26233115147382813,0.07507162936052802,0.27169362520909046,-0.31969400049934393,0.3075928766471963,-0.14946730308754153,0.45176568275848844,0.3256203264429096,-0.34622987594922433,0.2773892439239844,-0.09219139646957482,-0.2825215780874637,0.31995485146118513,0.29713257147460886,-0.20710880090729744,-0.15085154077170027,-0.153255152199399,-0.4578542946166006,0.30217174666932106,-0.08484404464267797,-0.10880100394284085,-0.1641810261877827,0.1251182749380425,-0.04619399923034956,-0.37199322793474904,0.21256864265710276,0.3128880219042156,0.12570288487925269,0.22605149595495538,0.28534709495162824,0.36039138579722846,-0.051573461238516194,-0.11020003583751026,-0.15861216029548225,-0.1878373541616023,0.21832367232415043,0.09522898252765179,-0.1805793998460682,0.28618057478051373,-0.13442703270293027,-0.14819587413291788,0.31370442381329383,-0.043624594943680296,-0.2625990023540283,-0.16654067506743492,-0.20454721569926096,0.18597032099316588,-0.07001914291428103,-0.23313247787573027,-0.24000525008930945,0.3936713137805943,-0.1295751669205246,0.6099621776054118,0.1815025896897327,-0.12027587984950734,-0.35304749790810624,0.34534818438692316,-0.06538745721006665,0.1484666043320462,0.254243288456985,-0.3413318761727535,0.26929575661375565;0.3744526993882777,0.37461137824792207,-0.253000751590165,-0.355891855535357,-4.1356707855482E-4,0.29533289329342666,-0.4946128742925742,-0.15582310416553305,0.18741888956412114,-0.3683033497898771,0.16510163256693813,0.4075478483919575,0.2915796095009876,1.2136508053349577,0.3964297555936798,-0.06391720402657079,-0.4982904993902805,-0.15137188242302138,-0.24318484766855955,-0.5059382336239602,0.6607526345971537,0.3675784646869218,-0.2186227662831621,-0.13394037082290017,-0.14200616778084257,-0.4983080797981763,-0.41464784913839586,-0.44490740949707397,-0.470739759339654,-0.24939591458224092,0.3129217094945274,-0.21422259190377113,-0.3560212502334092,0.4937767782503968,-0.3659391327630325,-0.34207516903878116,-0.49358409637162814,-0.3285954962225221,-0.39493435692279166,0.0639873036209179,0.3638725887691324,-0.4624585739605525,0.41963217534506936,-0.24957658161845944,0.6537445998817163,0.4481509908590409,-0.4934689830523163,0.3728859927970882,-0.1733832284263563,-0.4192305959963024,0.4400134650860361,0.4037323099765674,-0.3252054130505481,-0.25224007129171344,-0.2555487382316773,0.6104125534492149,0.41158361936308013,-0.1633835650608603,-0.19651193204956613,-0.26967996488686335,0.14020810904978753,-0.10906032921152664,-0.5219011100269431,0.27256130817946095,0.4295345066978093,0.14018123501404392,0.29418630634092113,0.3842126048166736,0.5042306823240992,-0.11677372052794435,-0.19788823709048936,-0.2622678165044138,-0.30109940174441363,0.2804881310415564,0.09508887026831232,-0.2918208638139678,0.3863217177202272,-0.23011580768874557,-0.24887060535056058,0.42967623751713263,-0.10519683970738955,-0.39417767155062355,-0.2731904760896003,-0.32180834359037064,0.2312839634887574,0.4056725717221895,-0.35736193358991863,-0.3662973471107689,0.5570110122367221,-0.223277505674078,0.9243382420022543,0.22521262080160512,-0.2106590048720165,-0.5012449629176489,0.4790071857484383,-0.13668763127481737,0.4720243895764216,0.33624304889673096,-0.4866537641032351,0.3590761588452444;-0.08995147732006221,-0.08940983278025416,-0.009708661012166388,0.04348443180073715,-0.08199720754538667,-0.09576309673612128,0.13426032013862968,-0.04487044975215527,-0.09928576874145402,0.04759246806587975,-0.09802238303167803,-0.0863912212429726,-0.09707337485825153,0.14824293421126733,-0.08675588429108477,-0.06939172872906772,0.13757383715287383,-0.04666856456427309,-0.015253294312059186,0.14617536801389203,-0.0350308750647076,-0.08883596932765603,-0.023620262848994298,-0.05138977645242096,-0.048952939029235164,0.13842387763934444,0.07677491182191433,0.09623542755919105,0.11463652266757098,-0.010039179299377709,-0.09543417957689937,-0.025515275600682247,0.041014454785690345,-0.07244613854889155,0.04754035371738132,0.03068231231410474,0.13187797597632248,0.025105635289367458,0.06251532648638214,-0.09162134532126413,-0.09086460407839875,0.10959408956266141,-0.08426187114356168,-0.009517308906701001,-0.03637405612727755,-0.0808584529051275,0.1343284550538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k{99}	=[0.8681633523853293;1.1972890305044437;-0.2503197173769291];
x_a_linear{99}	=[-5.368211964447084,-2.1491934102876558,28.120484120452435];
L_a{99}	=[-0.11781131418270532,-0.11798886042977805,0.0639326550826434,0.09838914118268,-0.012719450509754263,-0.0960512201986209,0.1470347158836218,0.03367029427395285,-0.06649342744192596,0.10207901778755013,-0.06035021175698008,-0.12684293962082105,-0.09535219944559296,-0.2529035609121014,-0.12370492523311342,0.006058371171717129,0.14848192813071268,0.032215745984842725,0.06093377520443722,0.1518148923274229,-0.19298401734069176,-0.11577059166853357,0.05314672977069252,0.026966739584319478,0.029251821939402577,0.1484644205960065,0.11816191347846142,0.12886729681900594,0.1379708321603682,0.06303245173845896,-0.10123113052332387,0.05187363112374499,0.0979714914783868,-0.14984451334153703,0.10152054295922792,0.09267843365289093,0.14601528124032842,0.08853573998050124,0.11100247577829636,-0.031765715481794826,-0.1149641012207369,0.13527492006772018,-0.13015446563544447,0.06324540794110525,-0.19115956673894174,-0.13778257822539278,0.1465032772617957,-0.11737413820982667,0.03900975235341889,0.1195458276773834,-0.13538529621790646,-0.12572830516982575,0.08763575933328649,0.06383113254584227,0.06484819368320482,0.19373589435579755,-0.12786057546769575,0.03590080307836076,0.046037920913957454,0.06947135435603584,-0.05294239058230141,0.019546471137191965,0.1574047498420596,-0.0899460299518583,-0.13239504678576772,-0.05318976170263669,-0.09565114765598477,-0.12074141335416434,-0.15249556085089888,0.021822729972282646,0.04662990552245183,0.0671149513979815,0.07948126342769721,-0.09238120601703703,-0.040295072724034056,0.07641014170393817,-0.12109409096792782,0.056881286716129666,0.06270741708128344,-0.13274049806987423,0.018459256616563124,0.11111581386519376,0.07046981323572783,0.08655185336782406,-0.0786912493447632,0.02962781267757651,0.09864738550166717,0.1015555217519048,-0.1665775880105499,0.0548282742890306,-0.2580986339781933,-0.07680077910130564,0.05089338557277741,0.14938807730214435,-0.14613019939537183,0.027667966973754517,-0.06282197351959572,-0.10758018752323613,0.14443074375407006,-0.11394947009828793;-0.1719955003793592,-0.17266034027732272,0.0435402429538398,0.10046982287338607,-0.0594106242059345,-0.150184727209666,0.187383217129906,3.509595845255979E-4,-0.12099982195004257,0.10517320796711835,-0.11482279403824881,-0.18079204485072062,-0.1506957194213489,0.04059967239436742,-0.1773549794716743,-0.035816456290450153,0.19041824550347933,-0.0019444991558458333,0.03944634099530872,0.1982299117341526,-0.23437165453693656,-0.16940418288115974,0.027889506397988924,-0.008859631322778226,-0.006326453573422651,0.19031945930572491,0.133426547190535,0.1528221281469849,0.16921501391372493,0.042969636369889465,-0.1566220641121794,0.026384624301461757,0.09840322943828735,-0.20125209167252764,0.10494703232523295,0.08779834165278408,0.1836835168951405,0.08206281841448242,0.11993217758281448,-0.08335268795610408,-0.16936928690122707,0.16499165913062533,-0.18406768091753012,0.04377673128482792,-0.2329172783726758,-0.1909305978060818,0.18606211865165936,-0.17153443888206965,0.007557024169827772,0.1352628563280568,-0.18794872943248744,-0.1794375366252522,0.08127849093746213,0.04383002783909853,0.0452388299420778,1.5090242991506255,-0.18147640861709197,0.003136343052197365,0.01702731228364004,0.05255136566600549,-0.10535637026862248,-0.018397271602611693,0.20819466033918632,-0.14463840208957246,-0.18455791283022172,-0.1065306341312214,-0.14947564416802353,-0.17582637295468775,-0.20309463084826287,-0.01555261464268649,0.01839682945721338,0.04903373057826279,0.06756122832008253,-0.14800673866242262,-0.09181312723768542,0.06259487857689729,-0.17535309654507636,0.03371858667419194,0.041987326367307266,-0.1860185003757949,-0.01957664594971314,0.12121456283346826,0.053672040025833215,0.0796480427296356,-0.13371231755794463,0.5430962564763248,0.10019756817042494,0.10475106129360702,-0.21563144338374593,0.03103433177086124,-0.2728093738977308,-0.13101502823026656,0.025401505268757577,0.1916668042994317,-0.1987934562802969,-0.008354365077724758,0.1806351068595278,-0.16274977034615096,0.18326423539479697,-0.16945951900246342;0.0242955887115505,0.025009408037401894,-0.07170710587694043,-0.05192805712251607,-0.06966256963429357,-0.0026177976400544433,-0.00832602660599787,-0.07752208732963359,-0.03480402479074317,-0.05139826441614843,-0.039497998718904886,0.03661422860737034,-0.00460594843241747,0.3934951837392365,0.033206488250022856,-0.07526681072862663,-0.00641593806806049,-0.07790965956708466,-0.07434358701977499,-0.0010465363391565158,0.15211462895687802,0.02343211394286754,-0.07515909838104004,-0.07754066781052249,-0.07731978015854415,-0.005548919717557979,-0.03781214652003552,-0.02873313485039159,-0.019160157911143855,-0.07116465545466583,0.002734317511733627,-0.07581952864638851,-0.05399301995301275,0.07286499840741341,-0.05090879996102378,-0.059192240080987585,-0.009719777967900006,-0.06075155594799901,-0.04512889485086788,-0.0608166656572901,0.02062138820126807,-0.021588240696639477,0.04195491824477628,-0.07084929851542406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x_a{99}	=[-5.368211964447083,-2.149193410287657,28.12048412045242];
std_x_a{99}	=[1.0794289679423659,2.0819256866460156,1.3216173965878895];
pred_a{99}	=[-5.368211964447083];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.9 to 10.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{100}	=[-3.542640370214461,-2.9695265843055423,22.634118841376722];
std_x_f{100}	=[1.5543060790769365,1.9615893751247746,1.4359303322321648];
pred_f{100}	=[-3.542640370214461];
obs{100}	=[-3.578310326961003];
sqrt_r{100}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{100}	=[3.436896068388611];
L_f{100}	=[-0.14501269231723027,-0.14510596424659364,0.04112819049694695,0.09292898365948767,-0.053233689815478186,-0.12826539453008012,0.17236168736027702,0.001075157615111696,-0.10588687248853669,0.09779225955331836,-0.10057641764520248,-0.1511100247180198,-0.12949882310542996,-0.0028844135166452,-0.1481201348619348,-0.032174625897910675,0.17517804855463573,-9.190635041652727E-4,0.03675578204554598,0.18160491270131826,-0.1819968791455084,-0.1427797818067239,0.026406924730207677,-0.0072760416271950455,-0.004331580569641399,0.17486233464342693,0.12349014251526874,0.14158890082362408,0.15583690230012248,0.040139421195818134,-0.13368893121296047,0.024807405595590887,0.09204540796722338,-0.16384968177618287,0.09716104779481381,0.08274365058559216,0.16916608152961782,0.0766000379941021,0.11107329080364602,-0.07416974094640551,-0.1433696460051291,0.15179288515028677,-0.15283326311592874,0.04144592260119433,-0.1809564322126468,-0.15728203472827437,0.17206495846178158,-0.144286745022568,0.007801552904999139,0.1248023507070263,-0.15514422158542218,-0.1499650174700502,0.07565679702148553,0.040919742938122866,0.042108021044478326,0.9893665981871008,-0.1515115343429346,0.003704829265142476,0.01708745226621882,0.04838569225858043,-0.09305644321267507,-0.016515159031691942,0.19094499706245469,-0.12466872808594552,-0.15353953645138657,-0.09383862380410057,-0.12812298313827147,-0.1471710988173113,-0.16521197352155273,-0.013347882112221205,0.01761378739224768,0.045984989417067856,0.06305497149345374,-0.126844008271443,-0.0813366508254154,0.05900472219201678,-0.14687761453017395,0.03213457814056183,0.039967291973675864,-0.15433526578033377,-0.017335751015926895,0.11205137506628748,0.05032233146046198,0.07403240683941215,-0.11621325438884643,0.380518276409184,0.09279167363249939,0.0979334195623209,-0.1721397558646151,0.029093815223799946,-0.19339265779849363,-0.11398095837722895,0.023845559919524216,0.17673748571229178,-0.1627338017359532,-0.007214532027344672,0.11103208612057075,-0.13794926279412692,0.1681240563066908,-0.1430156073967829;-0.15922471147929068,-0.158661174487176,0.02082219264844852,0.08984726865845158,-0.08956610953217806,-0.15076449214039847,0.1982151156161876,-0.02877080795688532,-0.13781000622046177,0.09558959526792021,-0.13373760697153828,-0.1607077664177517,-0.15269529711116997,0.18424689066739044,-0.15943424465740702,-0.06718469609314673,0.20230379995810452,-0.031167179104306227,0.015215707400312615,0.2121876932384487,-0.14682316828264164,-0.15659083070016147,0.0022456418682990404,-0.03856030327901787,-0.03533680946739165,0.20202583467451818,0.13082944554912873,0.15485299584439005,0.1754265164385569,0.020302006157341106,-0.15538553470649852,1.1274645738804551E-4,0.08725479679629825,-0.1607711877785509,0.09503087535833267,0.07440659918709214,0.1945834554417019,0.06724060645786767,0.11368137391533258,-0.11104672163601552,-0.15862131412167188,0.16989867819936746,-0.1611238762711155,0.021117733690681418,-0.14766414130234284,-0.16132791307210245,0.19792451858956284,-0.15851570029465192,-0.020744171276500682,0.13265817041740127,-0.16057611954583542,-0.16017708783370477,0.06583333626042497,0.020875462514509807,0.02257047386609381,1.3751664046443488,-0.16040479792994128,-0.025716013835113346,-0.009745815667046515,0.030848625096568712,-0.1260884724518326,-0.04954565059803106,0.22458865557353927,-0.14947426894828728,-0.16015435639776318,-0.12786193032633714,-0.1504012051225772,-0.16028891951905985,-0.1596633582257288,-0.04576821819191253,-0.008617524601717238,0.026881958665294185,0.049339372562424356,-0.15179789956469367,-0.11687094870466486,0.04318632588601521,-0.15905545658965384,0.009473803010143103,0.018769877003172553,-0.16043498196017564,-0.04993673633109224,0.11484502774023178,0.031684493552815496,0.06334011088856031,-0.14467921229192424,0.6201112182359394,0.08889802598571565,0.09515499593597812,-0.15797635254577755,0.005905514533392289,-0.09585825387673697,-0.14245749582839956,-6.282539340721074E-4,0.20486015972908764,-0.1618147500337895,-0.03857734805704224,0.2294901549373303,-0.1567418149434847,0.19317173308620098,-0.15946697998954795;0.10392992603869833,0.10557555842449899,-0.09700975279998784,-0.10770321537286628,-0.03744826775739168,0.07023104495895358,-0.10459650403684984,-0.07911385015575267,0.02787948125095707,-0.10880188819318985,0.020236513200855656,0.1192690280706085,0.06963673606548693,0.2437049105015573,0.11453870530701599,-0.05610511995720815,-0.10383455374791414,-0.07788758638370294,-0.09644061457483386,-0.10217129583750542,0.2349143829014238,0.10218964498668345,-0.09181022702617561,-0.07383898198964409,-0.07550834544212622,-0.10356059439773584,-0.1091965204254489,-0.10938043665532743,-0.107472095180748,-0.09619246850149192,0.07833949650168022,-0.09187556329507972,-0.10831012498841144,0.15798104669167212,-0.1086235514920394,-0.10846132486028658,-0.10465501490173677,-0.10663304843911627,-0.11010961640273331,-0.015865951087886947,0.10039538568790381,-0.10786899405327932,0.1250383095185519,-0.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k{100}	=[0.7090397905256266;0.8727482407480779;-0.026792856386161933];
x_a_linear{100}	=[-3.567931788874087,-3.0006574763036467,22.63507454140513];
L_a{100}	=[0.12097436120481886,0.12105217171845462,-0.03431049029828324,-0.07752441704224425,0.04440929629742319,0.10700321413256643,-0.14378979309604,-8.96931872681041E-4,0.08833431442852292,-0.08158152187367455,0.08390415819796328,0.12606095659486508,0.10803218084996445,0.002406272699656996,0.12356669206096195,0.026841131992011737,-0.14613929430841852,7.667130272972007E-4,-0.030662883244842506,-0.15150079592783702,0.15182778723764537,0.11911159375791797,-0.02202952582683031,0.006069913425398895,0.0036135470905765007,-0.1458759153715707,-0.1030195417184296,-0.11811812164248205,-0.13000427346493126,-0.033485626400705806,0.11152770695590518,-0.020695154314563872,-0.07678730911576037,0.1366887978544995,-0.08105494424760726,-0.06902747692904818,-0.14112391352474926,-0.0639022730805497,-0.09266099530442007,0.061874839287100164,0.11960367788834392,-0.12663062124466581,0.1274985387889437,-0.03457555287819529,0.15095981215864263,0.13120985050483322,-0.14354225208171298,0.12036875207615058,-0.006508312231202866,-0.10411422898496459,0.1294264164122778,0.1251057538592658,-0.0631153904132389,-0.03413659648340076,-0.03512789719337959,-0.8253621824442756,0.12639590914015936,-0.0030906905220618387,-0.014254915135301227,-0.04036493715756807,0.0776307479970034,0.013777489281312689,-0.15929260174243287,0.10400275659610335,0.12808773525325104,0.078283268792821,0.10688440986187098,0.1227749749538311,0.13782526647002033,0.011135242620216649,-0.014694001222412217,-0.03836219182504737,-0.052602532752936866,0.10581744692890835,0.06785371141595524,-0.04922368146666644,0.12253014070109942,-0.02680772283460935,-0.03334203053774649,0.12875155885188286,0.01446205412537103,-0.09347694539118,-0.041980545326674286,-0.061760270654522685,0.09694892211551182,-0.3174408714146072,-0.07740986849799969,-0.08169928219964241,0.1436046505372065,-0.02427101831893961,0.16133452089624514,0.09508666730381073,-0.019892750991238113,-0.14744022811615587,0.13575789399435534,0.006018600092538435,-0.09262662100149519,0.11508181579504638,-0.1402546217842227,0.11930832722763898;0.16817543746163552,0.16894955770048098,-0.07203433928128289,-0.11996169774903676,0.030621425060555894,0.13882470589509796,-0.19093180119310046,-0.03119822832745847,0.10125443199986536,-0.12519935659144682,0.09333723448405705,0.1804585398454166,0.1396786550918728,0.19075913038838668,0.17498168432114528,0.005457064726315604,-0.1932017125007792,-0.02909217778310024,-0.0677690874052808,-0.19782797171276922,0.26407745280694633,0.16576799929116381,-0.057374181414676935,-0.022132933547595955,-0.02555725085780546,-0.19276687961545533,-0.1479785015772434,-0.16481714114353332,-0.17641182411124084,-0.0703221472730683,0.14644856885683383,-0.05589578739609567,-0.12055929034493174,0.2091578809135396,-0.12433296797815052,-0.11240659000862362,-0.18734863204336696,-0.10570193703540845,-0.13709261952876828,0.056408856525660876,0.16506927258230242,-0.17280934557595481,0.18393304466253893,-0.07245615295187993,0.26088742691924627,0.19377315272371215,-0.1905524631677647,0.16724545244119937,-0.03835800591574466,-0.14911239432924867,0.18969833190199814,0.17840409613752214,-0.10497961960857409,-0.07151045018379577,-0.07249825523115785,-0.8585606328140594,0.1816680104393372,-0.034080534442419014,-0.04832474505305238,-0.07839341847168814,0.08400826377794267,-0.012258807354471898,-0.20651443946460696,0.1319946114054678,0.1864971421658,0.0840007619590032,0.13886646580971237,0.17198433810159292,0.21334140345025143,-0.01563224511427933,-0.048384778926051336,-0.07693993542973797,-0.09302200786944362,0.13458218576939646,0.06676560868261579,-0.0900306672281036,0.17255519144982934,-0.0630775406085125,-0.07146565435515521,0.18801306211020463,-0.010797214307729985,-0.13813722022386016,-0.0819299670294898,-0.10380540333067226,0.11769945393257174,-0.23899799751861056,-0.12060093084558517,-0.1259526577365435,0.2306695018835675,-0.05978059393974934,0.3407710090900966,0.1148812388217966,-0.05446519568364885,-0.1941661476996855,0.2055949578662663,-0.0222888506672792,-0.021190809274912768,0.15471098593470275,-0.1864077381710402,0.16342428155708216;0.0938789345135096,0.09551810211780318,-0.09415911202140755,-0.10126220381532235,-0.04113795420235102,0.06134082733181935,-0.09264992314629218,-0.07903932978167315,0.020540343958872397,-0.10202379755648042,0.013265449459936192,0.10879542363266535,0.060661028127403566,0.24350498858198064,0.10427233347143659,-0.058335179182083564,-0.09169276772017822,-0.07795128770076602,-0.0938930303052222,-0.08958405668397974,0.22229997611625327,0.09229341898069832,-0.08997993360545214,-0.0743432925542105,-0.07580857212504907,-0.09144069085349331,-0.1006372808441989,-0.09956675193919322,-0.09667086558283301,-0.09341036042654792,0.06907336749489289,-0.09015613433049112,-0.10193035504808623,0.14662444240675448,-0.10188921084668563,-0.10272627010397847,-0.09292992501730091,-0.10132381432722487,-0.10241100266966746,-0.021006738599417304,0.09045827553609363,-0.09734805979676656,0.11444526550427543,-0.09317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x_a{100}	=[-3.5679317888740876,-3.0006574763036444,22.63507454140514];
std_x_a{100}	=[1.2966532930907988,1.649938949333127,1.4362541877832793];
pred_a{100}	=[-3.5679317888740876];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.0 to 10.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{101}	=[-3.960555776122898,-5.235663540462203,18.859564524083716];
std_x_f{101}	=[1.6168921252275537,2.2428708366275103,1.5147656133348986];
pred_f{101}	=[-3.960555776122898];
obs{101}	=[-4.108641114284468];
sqrt_r{101}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{101}	=[3.6476806742168226];
L_f{101}	=[0.18259389254284267,0.1824607869857811,-0.08051102263111498,-0.13617135399170324,0.03690772871166317,0.15286962343627505,-0.21524491653238362,-0.03312306727102517,0.11408824866248013,-0.14212239256996442,0.10536028173641449,0.19351273533777463,0.1537650818642958,0.14911702629270815,0.1884703093075378,0.00895175100892497,-0.21816217779996652,-0.031144873333076653,-0.07574359750752685,-0.22370414225333313,0.26959369880831097,0.178990834064019,-0.06342955653209625,-0.022773311535105645,-0.026832475547642672,-0.21764364679984188,-0.16882239216038564,-0.18729348869589504,-0.20018481980097835,-0.07835048818615199,0.16097367863758763,-0.0617101110943432,-0.13651941139517176,0.22073606939583004,-0.1413284949097779,-0.12660322114014802,-0.21217271108991906,-0.11939422843046395,-0.15620189650204572,0.0658488302641777,0.17939397910261637,-0.19622373100277818,0.19676720517879143,-0.0810587100932876,0.2660861061052618,0.20609669693892577,-0.21512063554453797,0.1810356707787951,-0.04170155978030572,-0.16923680248872902,0.2026605073897417,0.1916489664698001,-0.11866651812340974,-0.08047356531535933,-0.08175847590255297,-0.5190031958033626,0.19474492773423263,-0.036076833591745995,-0.0530311438638967,-0.088788801090622,0.09486048404505429,-0.011439087287950617,-0.2329205999210219,0.14567935058020326,0.19984907106864888,0.09482979266942117,0.15230498510506355,0.18576810694831128,0.2244593799553558,-0.015838142353808878,-0.05336004757694053,-0.08606621492187215,-0.10518892388469896,0.14824278674246671,0.07707612302806144,-0.10150632503689211,0.18629056272062472,-0.0705386839848535,-0.07990281211134356,0.20085267735377826,-0.010021821395811117,-0.15687420144862238,-0.09168300876621886,-0.11721540989472724,0.13082258932076304,-0.28180066862882003,-0.13631694563479652,-0.14237729555533987,0.24076298922609346,-0.06666508995259059,0.3300665708012622,0.12798749116069455,-0.06106325027735042,-0.21945330427609913,0.2178629492043948,-0.022545356607119885,-0.05643661383325489,0.16861041766055554,-0.2106394947319756,0.17718010404723544;0.2603466546671923,0.26144457385574826,-0.13865244893913606,-0.21216132675719604,0.03185137784955669,0.21315970173558785,-0.3080694703072301,-0.07272257620496264,0.1517413249589396,-0.22052934941154623,0.13790575105382558,0.27916968971147643,0.2135853390529353,0.2741840730984797,0.27117911765740854,-0.010255809770216957,-0.3111975278927689,-0.06860377339266108,-0.13245083100211918,-0.31675171096029214,0.40522812199083214,0.2560225980321289,-0.11515577539821828,-0.0570761393187379,-0.06280195035724673,-0.3104249284956858,-0.25294427278644976,-0.2757626605450865,-0.2910498426322005,-0.1360238391203315,0.225480758528365,-0.11337084504536352,-0.2138409625414174,0.3237528064134801,-0.21970446663580276,-0.20106871524574363,-0.30393462220566986,-0.19098496821042152,-0.23805618059821282,0.0757506339211411,0.2548650751943253,-0.285835004880275,0.284837838915536,-0.13935851729722554,0.4002381396887615,0.30039546896714014,-0.30775860694155643,0.25831692977595616,-0.0842894833987316,-0.25428397231605776,0.29408396449401836,0.2761181632100091,-0.19029935903157508,-0.138341167184555,-0.13977297328063554,0.01934527302622772,0.2810362270283608,-0.07637348741616191,-0.09989219204800023,-0.1491690472814456,0.12160477607017402,-0.041039703111023444,-0.3272777580166205,0.20116129539490946,0.28874082114583177,0.12217893069610253,0.2122984407085022,0.2660762656580386,0.33010726645388505,-0.04647509880811229,-0.10065143283426521,-0.14652351120341997,-0.17186694159486787,0.20637435851147645,0.0933148578154984,-0.1671140661090005,0.26721549573464154,-0.12497285345418808,-0.13767733211077052,0.2911579119694518,-0.03833514755392244,-0.23906393334662066,-0.15470624476241018,-0.18820702099574788,0.17756265296269086,-0.2722705640231239,-0.21303283238513718,-0.2210237989969435,0.3562706582965037,-0.11918035232647865,0.5098291932253115,0.17357860055945917,-0.11068267441860326,-0.31244882270985147,0.31882120370342626,-0.05653240199777498,-0.04670489202074718,0.23856724029515952,-0.30280045982623677,0.2526570754283083;-0.044618485025618486,-0.04339219036445637,-0.03575380337520707,0.006312588830166664,-0.07709614917183502,-0.05821805715163276,0.0901531526204177,-0.060416540521518444,-0.07207415300640593,0.011064033007655651,-0.07393083525472184,-0.03765447628142719,-0.059289298955305346,0.07547469614766324,-0.03877503088534684,-0.07331355240720251,0.09367223331799687,-0.06090013174841356,-0.039014427520107316,0.1007882808020049,0.02696348076347673,-0.04495206543245446,-0.04560019283135709,-0.06370450915706341,-0.0622315992140065,0.09274022462800151,0.036847196861733655,0.055674804641475006,0.07087305079746682,-0.03643967016166259,-0.05564381495466992,-0.04732526093953267,0.006249768056403192,-0.017405321361181315,0.00991480202519455,-0.003356775663924461,0.08638393843956012,-0.008288272521657189,0.023483667683989958,-0.07872417804388318,-0.04583006004703,0.06686337567171541,-0.03424942495965161,-0.035025776733810354,0.02477325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k{101}	=[0.7258531956844863;0.9474722541504516;-0.32730136689442196];
x_a_linear{101}	=[-4.068043992061491,-5.3759702896167765,18.90803305768102];
L_a{101}	=[-0.14224916412296854,-0.14214546868185354,0.06272184415628412,0.10608384000723212,-0.028752843185483334,-0.11909257122880419,0.16768583566542689,0.02580441528944695,-0.08888007031606117,0.11071997680037568,-0.08208057673806853,-0.15075545225308637,-0.11979017513613593,-0.11616912291665767,-0.1468271670406724,-0.006973831822758072,0.1699585183442551,0.02426330988757674,0.059007797484706075,0.17427596730222422,-0.21002607356816974,-0.13944221340976998,0.04941458485674278,0.017741472538138948,0.020903750748983013,0.16955455849481882,0.13152052259590308,0.14591036886085634,0.15595331744250293,0.06103868698944327,-0.12540600845465555,0.04807505661256537,0.10635499296870665,-0.17196370002342234,0.11010149347112524,0.09862981796193325,0.16529244424297218,0.09301367619048546,0.12168856746741956,-0.05129931200385965,-0.13975628221000289,0.15286744440089187,-0.15329083614846706,0.06314851825041591,-0.20729349514977874,-0.16055894564594023,0.16758901497558218,-0.1410352366450712,0.032487461320649946,0.13184336758261012,-0.15788199361686392,-0.14930348932105336,0.09244675589835222,0.06269266315914167,0.06369366847457524,0.4043277119077532,-0.15171538763752787,0.028105537108395737,0.041313736084322816,0.06917061990810043,-0.07390074430087004,0.008911582870488594,0.18145601796627292,-0.11349101309699368,-0.15569175351030343,-0.07387683428685585,-0.11865269161657781,-0.1447220252884594,-0.17486433271976765,0.01233865207491149,0.04156996742703561,0.0670495982169365,0.08194708097414678,-0.1154880495054211,-0.060045897055446655,0.07907816460128501,-0.14512904271860336,0.054952926932237384,0.06224801977561418,-0.15647360964568677,0.007807466595353488,0.12221232439791938,0.07142534276283845,0.09131627486359575,-0.10191690269659212,0.21953587276933595,0.10619726269210329,0.1109185581225501,-0.1875656052467542,0.051935216396755864,-0.25713726317761576,-0.09970822891314864,0.04757112184651336,0.17096436612727353,-0.16972540530301922,0.017563885010362913,0.043966756127002425,-0.13135538456748228,0.16409799714345638,-0.13803157021818876;-0.1636781825508072,-0.1622711617741322,0.04831258472102883,0.10405974398063703,-0.0538568210453054,-0.14183857498899835,0.19177852254516534,0.004196772039184368,-0.11319771760100834,0.10951139584707163,-0.10676495337317701,-0.17021120117432934,-0.14349239722470178,-0.0720998136167454,-0.1664921051399456,-0.031043825795916493,0.19542501375138802,0.0037217554698903707,0.04344314965716807,0.2027405413980684,-0.2208301905859175,-0.15963511220427326,0.032142181881603546,-0.004191294255685141,-4.907968033258536E-4,0.19499346540914442,0.139099986512993,0.15917571526961471,0.1738251564574205,0.04592393874024914,-0.14833699041233564,0.029934166130428954,0.10318837720143505,-0.18884690100415297,0.10849266643272297,0.09293295966038603,0.1887790059946572,0.08627577457766247,0.12468039736198486,-0.07716543104095662,-0.16172883015236145,0.16984143882793482,-0.17210067629904713,0.04887837208472749,-0.21767473930187578,-0.17820826280987226,0.19180077699349435,-0.1620893596327576,0.012551089149071127,0.13872264267650344,-0.17654014817332955,-0.16893462951298713,0.08527147375900913,0.04853688200972949,0.05008893257493735,1.2245895588640276,-0.1712060968060127,0.007405182713736552,0.023258269510274703,0.05701888378749027,-0.09868299339170458,-0.014475522580956461,0.21361721985377405,-0.13713952099904986,-0.17535449249215992,-0.09803756636243538,-0.14138861649419965,-0.16531982438682108,-0.19113882081757844,-0.00969530491750563,0.02326281847317154,0.05334195123888724,0.0724058306550623,-0.13787934374457403,-0.08567355228534827,0.06860686820574732,-0.165393856269442,0.038834125945364034,0.047875297426514175,-0.17526800531445896,-0.015062183016022709,0.12523389067478397,0.058202699377826024,0.08399400614644432,-0.12623736120349,0.3821351281892941,0.10352633549221801,0.10960888937310612,-0.20283614365066224,0.0356312545767368,-0.2566609779739806,-0.1236376663680893,0.031120177792240904,0.1971720103133098,-0.18710646061070993,-0.004176920485091188,0.08435385074725672,-0.15298476566802366,0.186352688844664,-0.1587957050050209;0.10185958671810368,0.1029791031893424,-0.10034029739692711,-0.10292500439741879,-0.047488516305054844,0.06441500224207372,-0.08251779429476631,-0.0869880920478595,0.019448221811127094,-0.10294752414433461,0.010589904690094243,0.1175827659690479,0.06406210332510195,0.19509739639974777,0.11241714265262401,-0.06613239640983172,-0.08133896057531602,-0.08588476254301262,-0.09977646044096149,-0.07866871494971842,0.24323339322198687,0.09863560811115167,-0.09648381770506896,-0.08197341571481541,-0.08375679495628474,-0.0818550001440015,-0.09858328291191759,-0.09457331533818086,-0.08971658332696968,-0.09929296864750312,0.07349037305107081,-0.09682953490132126,-0.1032670392051577,0.15967066600681462,-0.1034598849839533,-0.10491874715649113,-0.08382246421871595,-0.10406714066600331,-0.10182256399604067,-0.025899795205266266,0.09808101920891663,-0.0905486458771531,0.12359857529713741,-0.100051629390477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x_a{101}	=[-4.068043992061493,-5.37597028961678,18.90803305768102];
std_x_a{101}	=[1.2596344274585392,1.8160760104244222,1.4403169139257113];
pred_a{101}	=[-4.068043992061493];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.1 to 10.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{102}	=[-6.297157671306273,-9.469761303283056,18.10043929669692];
std_x_f{102}	=[1.7863469927001803,2.3828113347695004,2.325134495353939];
pred_f{102}	=[-6.297157671306273];
obs{102}	=[-6.606807858708482];
sqrt_r{102}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{102}	=[4.2207587088752945];
L_f{102}	=[-0.1724039748564871,-0.17136288203301994,0.05017329874178463,0.11598092912370421,-0.06649313389347039,-0.15410483406075298,0.22001733637062582,-0.0014497396077320067,-0.1275750449650123,0.1228983815932685,-0.12185973408608593,-0.178059888508459,-0.15576633495069891,-0.08371114576298952,-0.1744513048087997,-0.041336789085524524,0.22364358720144548,-0.002395350494782379,0.04481432917066618,0.2323634419582986,-0.21135577771670838,-0.16891760269280653,0.03159801880052563,-0.01097956259165469,-0.006667852616018628,0.22424429018896427,0.15743048692234685,0.18151532907857187,0.19880139879806996,0.04793107667323458,-0.16000715820221412,0.028874199110835656,0.11547942663896299,-0.19166225265592604,0.12215232637474092,0.1035354963294291,0.2161298318332786,0.0949992700774742,0.1407549939634028,-0.09117918257378556,-0.1707680627342687,0.19435165363964232,-0.17922945256557868,0.050871460658841544,-0.20893375390501473,-0.18378144320991044,0.21995154279052798,-0.17147934110674454,0.008635981966775596,0.15747812046229592,-0.1820478320956845,-0.17650852949252244,0.09445168925934043,0.050354445730977374,0.05220757021499807,1.056904753030597,-0.17834706272923137,0.0023333085092496104,0.020175692136675694,0.06012253135758109,-0.11344230846780824,-0.022456333164853806,0.2447359125797906,-0.14938920173066003,-0.18175374148793297,-0.11333460841738215,-0.15331226346760246,-0.17439911140169054,-0.19319896679226822,-0.017335098831926327,0.021094645901043752,0.05645025177043078,0.0781335160216307,-0.15076591976052786,-0.10010740316488721,0.07393287720425104,-0.17396136759000275,0.03950975577949912,0.04948693919248353,-0.1814380202247425,-0.023643970874656618,0.14157472346030947,0.062449723874362345,0.09249264678027479,-0.1398581585670468,0.40332417467868625,0.11580085031034577,0.1230768022481967,-0.20078263041948372,0.034724804768928905,-0.22508360247821713,-0.13750339590250935,0.029885076204329144,0.22592482206867018,-0.19000694890963488,-0.010822203874550096,0.08023323563922519,-0.16370585438709,0.21353619005453187,-0.16840701332677938;-0.1953071092677329,-0.1936250132385389,0.02770450367094,0.12315457977615737,-0.1177987608996337,-0.18758383058514128,0.28481104171877275,-0.04138143914383118,-0.17246908583917037,0.13324235452702676,-0.168733205220527,-0.19482811657993684,-0.1903580049699214,-0.05180034740003609,-0.19370956943211234,-0.08979016971773993,0.2906674486129409,-0.04192524821800539,0.019732601177098442,0.3045427927533014,-0.18130886350141664,-0.19289245284510625,0.0018732184468597721,-0.053013543662754785,-0.04799488338802613,0.2897459069174595,0.18601202909746772,0.2237125548321249,0.25042140782517763,0.024217843546987,-0.19146104846959308,-0.00157406283933106,0.12187524293484477,-0.1942361906044692,0.131559576226006,0.10379954710916364,0.278557767111854,0.09144662626499599,0.15984548015762196,-0.14205475149151164,-0.19483553365617207,0.24370294913532095,-0.19473811511868305,0.028743394387242004,-0.18064443247171724,-0.19417037772791276,0.2843951410516053,-0.19416613769126834,-0.028128545659728138,0.18573796520511635,-0.1946748762705311,-0.19503942200502533,0.09083675054134976,0.028292661002783506,0.030794119128791552,1.6482491165643574,-0.19496813250043868,-0.03587190953760499,-0.012338031977572005,0.04213542067188934,-0.16148040197607413,-0.06760767050857526,0.32462851495608747,-0.18615371248161347,-0.1959626322852977,-0.16065400846099506,-0.18746157370806957,-0.19484216290154455,-0.1939867862166322,-0.0611414729171674,-0.012212289938185704,0.03583987929426444,0.06754088632865639,-0.18588210617146472,-0.15084240700956641,0.06143616138416496,-0.19479843615579046,0.012777331707514364,0.026934332161250754,-0.19550368806206914,-0.06888249787178041,0.16167762987637505,0.04504727568849549,0.08832940096802624,-0.1806972274758883,0.6149341014807166,0.12186763081895079,0.13343701988680887,-0.1913383771625324,0.0067672828876336,-0.14137919025507562,-0.1786057266320259,4.336625468348894E-4,0.2938296597678769,-0.19502188306025728,-0.05293423068492876,0.10666275327166928,-0.19181390776119087,0.2743691917710724,-0.19369915356376097;0.2633305589946167,0.2627064892256573,-0.15811919751045317,-0.22089054750000042,0.00942438496371973,0.20806453993028767,-0.2853735447505631,-0.09516015342418589,0.1381253128415715,-0.2266982043066386,0.12287280056144119,0.28330554260024515,0.20999271931541685,0.21912061588476398,0.2744028886655051,-0.034441330943677316,-0.2875403905199586,-0.09349229382726898,-0.15226289531374568,-0.2911339088734313,0.43140351005023375,0.2562374518728306,-0.1366715528087633,-0.08093080276510971,-0.0864012473124275,-0.28756958711078917,-0.25174835351477626,-0.26713873787428255,-0.27602296806508747,-0.1546655614069837,0.22296473765383656,-0.13425031964317793,-0.2205749898772018,0.33583312422603406,-0.2262191042648506,-0.2111324768307936,-0.28397381545472405,-0.20405741969309166,-0.24038090632296508,0.05586762802165566,0.2579189367440009,-0.2733548831153645,0.2898009936932947,-0.1589969610959692,0.4246866029775588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k{102}	=[0.7630757716859703;0.9969789783366024;-0.6103392557280498];
x_a_linear{102}	=[-6.533444227010919,-9.778476030761047,18.289430961612034];
L_a{102}	=[0.1156902041709516,0.11499158778807594,-0.03366836048994235,-0.07782800472800769,0.04461964547224343,0.10341072316377778,-0.14764074080690376,9.728352919523355E-4,0.08560813642148582,-0.08246990169826549,0.0817729262238447,0.11948555637042681,0.10452565904241998,0.056173644214213315,0.11706404732268565,0.027738696703812873,-0.1500741052310235,0.0016073793428083602,-0.030072270061373977,-0.15592548875046483,0.1418284763858281,0.11335070412306761,-0.021203578684733743,0.007367741022175594,0.004474405135793016,-0.1504772018030717,-0.10564237390663199,-0.12180430003854535,-0.13340396841525612,-0.03216373666022465,0.10737142700240535,-0.019375782914436517,-0.07749147579994627,0.1286133058131994,-0.08196926776203453,-0.0694766041169481,-0.14503206433053142,-0.06374844292600017,-0.09445242781242273,0.06118500607008926,0.11459243941475739,-0.13041800520695013,0.12027038226943411,-0.034136856038237934,0.14020319814317148,0.12332495643145908,-0.1475965905909877,0.11506973664762334,-0.0057951014052002505,-0.10567433798383291,0.12216163160716315,0.11844453024881017,-0.06338099352871822,-0.033789917618669375,-0.03503344086161665,-0.7092268421835501,0.11967826216077429,-0.0015657466021512844,-0.013538724640921007,-0.04034470744553855,0.07612448517610813,0.015069129182986906,-0.1642279287231566,0.10024633865629913,0.12196428463483353,0.07605221398379144,0.10287887548556843,0.11702902338585419,0.1296445046143513,0.011632568940818322,-0.014155380658927092,-0.03788045582045921,-0.05243082375949419,0.10117017344661544,0.06717621169007391,-0.04961202121833677,0.11673527916684247,-0.02651268172140212,-0.03320778481899631,0.1217524225972556,0.01586608325114341,-0.09500250023935494,-0.04190634996355861,-0.0620663949263873,0.0938506141349915,-0.27064721770190636,-0.0777071643894852,-0.08258962934383829,0.1347334568506713,-0.023301781509723986,0.15104041509434124,0.09227047090650012,-0.020054123291654367,-0.15160490826367298,0.12750252847449392,0.007262146808787752,-0.05383982254541824,0.1098534052581318,-0.14329162332747877,0.11300807752149167;0.18109566871183025,0.18050478796532318,-0.08183687460950147,-0.130061994558355,0.0273730678525941,0.14886715721158464,-0.19554410486357637,-0.03821628001016494,0.10606046294687609,-0.13507682012892835,0.0973183314220324,0.19392299392726572,0.14972047199062277,0.13096288552002966,0.18716306303968433,4.588066037085483E-4,-0.1976047479533623,-0.03669557424313704,-0.07810875084028304,-0.202767117745004,0.2801358447242683,0.17589866671084822,-0.06711348597842272,-0.029042299009378846,-0.03343722455262574,-0.19983778071760183,-0.1576997250286982,-0.1725826823741079,-0.18361382156037526,-0.08042817999379845,0.15787625012844186,-0.06461395949078927,-0.13024642086423818,0.22421242343452938,-0.13513076558538345,-0.12224540614861557,-0.193309944604311,-0.11596152191115718,-0.14745932987604243,0.05701315076101723,0.17799562210385636,-0.18061732767835809,0.19656645832631633,-0.08232225318733016,0.2755123669814869,0.2070723768134897,-0.19581636101011857,0.18021792400111789,-0.04698314344717269,-0.15807778534443093,0.20278295370707225,0.19032466773465587,-0.11537588609694313,-0.08164420833296332,-0.08318860358306186,-0.6592492194321082,0.1944099541223249,-0.04096612969984899,-0.05638682246646124,-0.08912772358563048,0.08619370230859749,-0.018579646685332907,-0.2096937211935066,0.14000182179987444,0.2008531213026662,0.08678495856420988,0.14725902606683078,0.18591651776928875,0.22781687500362302,-0.023294437416281174,-0.05826739582688439,-0.08740572221650808,-0.10304492822888912,0.1432791621214817,0.06771812605789855,-0.09997856462123643,0.18500453576818937,-0.07348275507457383,-0.08110854446767878,0.20062276378194682,-0.0172615516198341,-0.1474168631392757,-0.09129673592686166,-0.1136061357257087,0.12464955731584186,-0.2656276135362599,-0.13095578456629856,-0.13527169352670565,0.2470223968442616,-0.06904600964638712,0.35003693469780384,0.12159999798894974,-0.06481324207241299,-0.19942306663807796,0.21981277179350453,-0.029306541093475198,-0.0685072960617779,0.16559860789636185,-0.19183592445437525,0.17397721642833053;0.03290103504486142,0.03366845595295018,-0.09105920452779533,-0.06587422431213676,-0.07944816685391695,0.002093050116697858,0.008694443663155037,-0.09709782805111274,-0.03238732704174469,-0.06243623999690649,-0.04000094140115024,0.045316509124043974,0.0018005216589181646,0.1072350315557989,0.041236970345073634,-0.08969073362431643,0.011374326360221884,-0.0966938410924347,-0.09236552609403773,0.019435481178903653,0.14891227814080382,0.03046769912995934,-0.0944386725284711,-0.09560572765171707,-0.0953132814192705,0.012148009770066675,-0.04133190466612262,-0.024531275349269358,-0.010311509128495787,-0.0906024492345029,0.009104394098642301,-0.09565800782972476,-0.066228958536813,0.07966361493597038,-0.06295429300213311,-0.07275031278294294,0.004898261318099417,-0.07708449695306303,-0.05225237692254693,-0.06599949048355691,0.029675919525660833,-0.013590808277124233,0.050248759083620594,-0.09100382768936723,0.14543256901781706,0.061496332248063654,0.008955006916681198,0.03144704571028825,-0.09599740333401977,-0.04123695472217799,0.05832256336230717,0.043546237093537686,-0.07592501378528134,-0.09044995869818627,-0.09010324905512199,1.9297629394394413,0.04762492679840441,-0.0956890813016135,-0.09618953936386251,-0.08830246969705277,-0.04692749952720939,-0.09476418241038598,0.031444502982293225,-0.005271655194068291,0.053257878784475104,-0.04718343473449629,0.002518186166600857,0.03651439207444976,0.08423068054945217,-0.09423850383176814,-0.09520606767579262,-0.08927024038726024,-0.08282521618008272,-0.002481455457626358,-0.05955823232210401,-0.08484304496908635,0.037479568418230864,-0.09269231354664989,-0.09111193715165043,0.054640405135855864,-0.09387012614076733,-0.05159484834684818,-0.08738053055822108,-0.07722534266893609,-0.019324972400499747,0.31174294234647404,-0.06635922101098782,-0.061955048131467114,0.10664993337839807,-0.09427971570241438,0.25461296742544454,-0.019871573560810263,-0.0948643103615664,0.013830281763231938,0.07585819697266263,-0.09525816731523783,0.012292565931378495,0.01867953721478119,0.0023245455382426127,0.027423768721880598];
x_a{102}	=[-6.533444227010918,-9.778476030761048,18.28943096161203];
std_x_a{102}	=[1.1987127818699044,1.6312382579579894,2.083714383266613];
pred_a{102}	=[-6.533444227010918];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.2 to 10.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{103}	=[-10.489787033550034,-14.616621548350855,23.676296657131743];
std_x_f{103}	=[1.4176451283356872,2.042959283706433,2.726158500917749];
pred_f{103}	=[-10.489787033550034];
obs{103}	=[-10.961648724598485];
sqrt_r{103}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{103}	=[3.0375717058582152];
L_f{103}	=[0.1668951645923502,0.16654514309997243,-0.09403418892060103,-0.13471785987329835,0.011918061716830812,0.13430020647299945,-0.17986545941701346,-0.05316340841512705,0.09117750084512351,-0.13893269253614476,0.08187481886420878,0.17966959761041523,0.1351935055130945,0.12172556866177325,0.17308218596476863,-0.01596386251835032,-0.18165642137797172,-0.05212321695224156,-0.0904587357855302,-0.18386178185519936,0.26613766815530665,0.1624422010658194,-0.08057725174419805,-0.04537281567239618,-0.04871969556465049,-0.1822015261111619,-0.15533725468140328,-0.1657897850202356,-0.17291456424135457,-0.09269922359046788,0.14316759876072893,-0.07813574258985892,-0.13465521146329665,0.2104365110407745,-0.13822864850798022,-0.12839625938807248,-0.17867146184469748,-0.12349108958055328,-0.14834445894653445,0.040710899669378964,0.16391353355949,-0.17104005890636542,0.18269720938579612,-0.09501542405833445,0.2613792220770495,0.19270517484028138,-0.1798794670215395,0.1658711244226765,-0.061962979382392924,-0.15557144768765585,0.18935640253582736,0.176461461438879,-0.12278093863128231,-0.093959565440535,-0.09554154894664586,0.11228968785635458,0.18097900276669068,-0.056126854451865,-0.07107876630878787,-0.10046822588129156,0.07013459855553747,-0.03464315018635775,-0.18763610799021818,0.12541853092703195,0.18687071276222797,0.0709547081348107,0.13313855150733894,0.17144611610608987,0.21388984891718707,-0.03921515973842833,-0.07205261732759363,-0.09859268668281518,-0.1126951011114587,0.12876047171570987,0.05224942737368941,-0.11045880696208288,0.17099417055378036,-0.08603524399180117,-0.09340507272196283,0.18700642996059905,-0.03307120358850664,-0.148317379773607,-0.10235347346767477,-0.12139165058031035,0.10959008121086412,-0.17185208728725052,-0.13565565462676288,-0.1386602133573993,0.23354856675227947,-0.08289608969974656,0.3344783576670378,0.10698911029857293,-0.0794559880580639,-0.1812006979035314,0.20644959726120723,-0.04550500691763907,-0.06940633688108613,0.15076075438052755,-0.17738454860192635,0.16001268577019406;0.1628679804648355,0.16258367522204512,-0.1433785138996112,-0.15503259839140046,-0.049876926884511376,0.1134077681369402,-0.13115382008269805,-0.11527609473679744,0.051307035812562865,-0.15570213126304128,0.03844619388888214,0.1824205241408777,0.11380945252740833,0.14862950585096105,0.17353399052113422,-0.07969147087256022,-0.12986037413571666,-0.11418869681731666,-0.14107596406680922,-0.12558269926752796,0.3262797694353115,0.15631612638685463,-0.13552237285279847,-0.10772788206970368,-0.11076068353764806,-0.13044068886985288,-0.1513205330334304,-0.14590035671711812,-0.1408234936972459,-0.14199469041917703,0.12551649545081975,-0.1340952624660216,-0.15551970990560263,0.23216803460851212,-0.15525372131166085,-0.1556881363606946,-0.1325108331422184,-0.15463140254886107,-0.15442750333962899,-0.01555736664341008,0.15781444205197195,-0.14134482373195012,0.18824503876939516,-0.14375199669582006,0.31995355604819326,0.2046765361854809,-0.13059118538345937,0.1608776922748565,-0.12144917254315511,-0.1513729645502595,0.19876439503577373,0.17822656528730135,-0.15379573262518695,-0.14272641206841868,-0.1439411558034298,1.3519056040048614,0.1845399928172224,-0.11702304876897764,-0.12869012596106327,-0.1456392984449947,0.0231802819989274,-0.09858817356937968,-0.11879361465715399,0.1000680967904333,0.19421814247491623,0.02384847875281588,0.11150410871310794,0.16982933308794346,0.23812189505607279,-0.10185244759134839,-0.12928721474056792,-0.14549223010200696,-0.15155909422085054,0.1046721221471722,-0.0012162055464946555,-0.1507446187177071,0.1690339821176451,-0.13810094645963739,-0.14259729864380957,0.1950767573330825,-0.09642041061160236,-0.1543272926059629,-0.14686687548171729,-0.15386454982765857,0.07669116215259558,0.08135318431867865,-0.1559606798554795,-0.15529432102636082,0.27033322414096794,-0.13593415085952923,0.45097076351075704,0.07327434687030664,-0.1340998350521808,-0.12841640943114158,0.22566129214993344,-0.1082815808647789,-0.06638672418685122,0.1388512011241542,-0.13370075995852806,0.15212653025873363;-0.2787398809629502,-0.27802996163870025,0.08870948367933586,0.19577017835904287,-0.10757722099811905,-0.2523143650327474,0.35897766923142177,0.002028613792274923,-0.20924518400782016,0.20733798729727182,-0.1996675723271286,-0.2887070781230476,-0.25416363511937123,-0.14748607429779986,-0.2831475762839915,-0.06435646348492344,0.36388971056033315,-5.345164427960341E-5,0.07974219736857927,0.37736101745607525,-0.33158185825751446,-0.27370769107524623,0.05794585319147814,-0.013515016363692138,-0.005361414312723089,0.36806895613299573,0.26105421940523776,0.2990584056007286,0.32661834482026947,0.08577147201448825,-0.2606654226247411,0.05296292929786821,0.19522525300288252,-0.30729861060981406,0.20628906753679663,0.1764735579491196,0.35281534636510437,0.16195140426592122,0.23680808542298568,-0.14890710767688822,-0.2767718224552799,0.3199467573045707,-0.28927632494115163,0.08890873114428471,-0.32733460329779007,-0.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k{103}	=[0.6707896646286846;0.7350654940403327;-1.0019686722476242];
x_a_linear{103}	=[-10.806306979039547,-14.963470795400092,24.14908728919608];
L_a{103}	=[-0.16384556641181583,-0.1635019407003372,0.09231594566208175,0.13225622270508824,-0.011700288485258083,-0.13184620089227592,0.1765788610358149,0.05219197803264846,-0.08951145652705059,0.13639403967936597,-0.08037875815298495,-0.17638657812145422,-0.1327231770920176,-0.11950133362403494,-0.16991953520319442,0.01567216223926097,0.17833709757689123,0.051170793507443774,0.08880582512907835,0.18050216052174164,-0.2612746575907978,-0.15947396982902887,0.07910490087704293,0.044543739189214476,0.047829463092589106,0.17887224186331474,0.15249884884500503,0.16276038492956316,0.16975497635403441,0.0910053735362203,-0.14055156342046862,0.07670800429067716,0.13219471904051786,-0.20659130196742942,0.13570286032222134,0.12605013390280978,0.17540668082910685,0.12123459399533427,0.1456338292335607,-0.03996700822193704,-0.16091841734429635,0.1679147229883755,-0.1793588677466451,0.09327925114380617,-0.2566031603977159,-0.18918396227544843,0.17659261268586005,-0.1628402380547095,0.06083075850801009,0.15272876255073078,-0.18589638053904733,-0.17323706273893558,0.12053741930602915,0.09224268574236552,0.0937957623952813,-0.11023787030600243,-0.17767205712269757,0.05510127439007233,0.06977997687447837,0.0986324164400925,-0.0688530614620581,0.034010131919864885,0.18420752014031186,-0.12312681609721916,-0.18345611062545084,-0.06965818555815734,-0.130705772310725,-0.1683133604926253,-0.20998153859743757,0.03849859925520655,0.0707360331638662,0.09679114810225599,0.11063587563213417,-0.1264076911469734,-0.05129469774421237,0.10844044425182489,-0.16786967313244142,0.08446316175574556,0.09169832501287667,-0.18358934792620324,0.0324669087754249,0.14560724486584034,0.10048321576895242,0.1191735170732914,-0.10758759232461299,0.1687119135500885,0.13317688156860139,0.13612653938667604,-0.22928104177051106,0.08138136777871778,-0.3283665892796134,-0.10503414775127295,0.07800412552384206,0.17788970132680104,-0.20267723922005246,0.04467351496495013,0.06813810697648048,-0.148005972818235,0.17414328275703153,-0.15708884794314212;-0.19956470395855225,-0.1990888959326404,0.06082790275310677,0.13752324475069203,-0.07575841429431847,-0.17824109101074717,0.25944540099588626,1.7456479581905117E-4,-0.1466957431836388,0.1460067219145548,-0.13935470561659075,-0.20775335974765194,-0.1797793116491951,-0.11571203286772316,-0.20233454610364987,-0.04502404620256569,0.2646281336864095,-9.969366670080995E-4,0.05536593118147552,0.27369501092505133,-0.251669805864306,-0.19644641853008296,0.039460705443332085,-0.009195420544165616,-0.004960074569041473,0.2652315786628948,0.18601277642855596,0.2141318645975461,0.23468103243428592,0.059312690366359826,-0.1853889598872185,0.035585788542423114,0.1369000847687751,-0.22481985826118725,0.14492621658727398,0.12313960004260291,0.25549548030847563,0.11354417466675622,0.1677201191313452,-0.10396592352703178,-0.19814327623420536,0.23008899129069182,-0.20850366390327021,0.06258528867252508,-0.24766248807909125,-0.21380565285957406,0.2600384548730751,-0.19933116721891891,0.013110801122259735,0.18646892285726951,-0.21244553696821908,-0.2049804696365762,0.1128376674068151,0.06131795082877321,0.06353867228673944,1.1080552018542154,-0.20847741998327968,0.0048630860205892065,0.025665862372809888,0.0725393941154055,-0.12912533384996494,-0.023356455804563376,0.2886804932941354,-0.17229314837415824,-0.21159381877605976,-0.1302381025126798,-0.17762207862077087,-0.202486283401416,-0.2263653314212016,-0.01669206772770032,0.027183606817121196,0.06861350619207268,0.09317171099424107,-0.1749465446100876,-0.1146820466263453,0.08912980798157573,-0.2023001808937968,0.04873481065251859,0.06024291741679699,-0.21102992994334926,-0.02460236170064997,0.16776152422279855,0.07540585626312855,0.1097518460929239,-0.1612967233349576,0.4545504154752217,0.13863169604516545,0.14582281123203766,-0.2368452444384819,0.04408455963736077,-0.2753887409535622,-0.15906522117107394,0.038448285893899516,0.2650824407061765,-0.2226685436261252,-0.009462050340042072,0.08433738488634251,-0.18854369404427124,0.25151086844340054,-0.19536003346011527;0.2152925536093603,0.21496636160914454,-0.18964453214220162,-0.20301304856152672,-0.07229813391533557,0.1452325508978604,-0.17344860583950558,-0.15534232115146346,0.060652645751113364,-0.20392171877610568,0.042693050836821775,0.2431394193048913,0.14602756772426423,0.21283819982099172,0.2291992848256765,-0.11161167237238184,-0.17383805601851002,-0.15434527808247286,-0.18802798984814065,-0.16689491672028667,0.45622191335751067,0.20714336453113025,-0.1805737944422003,-0.14782473495132117,-0.14957835355249155,-0.17127239475245462,-0.19876522651746523,-0.19170195477774837,-0.18523233314168638,-0.18863086447753633,0.16313018308016303,-0.17832951846758824,-0.20337252608526635,0.31562214402265404,-0.2028865722538351,-0.20359686991739775,-0.17607653315298902,-0.20359905240839088,-0.20231173202454644,-0.028397295865274744,0.20843457787117256,-0.18635512937559184,0.2515323159975634,-0.19234987442475315,0.4463835193617103,0.2749250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x_a{103}	=[-10.806306979039547,-14.963470795400104,24.149087289196085];
std_x_a{103}	=[1.3917411543375457,2.0178657719213433,2.70160358448301];
pred_a{103}	=[-10.806306979039547];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.3 to 10.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{104}	=[-12.751606241435924,-11.462475802874563,33.78756372199825];
std_x_f{104}	=[1.0873458278248234,2.5779693657559424,2.649587728920319];
pred_f{104}	=[-12.751606241435924];
obs{104}	=[-13.158367021877737];
sqrt_r{104}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{104}	=[2.1839044675228];
L_f{104}	=[-0.039793444620312333,-0.04006951051743662,-0.02441058998263053,0.01568411082317241,-0.06586792661530506,-0.05191348705129615,0.09334678433969464,-0.04824080622336134,-0.0624762202724686,0.020447262603011978,-0.06354229680325371,-0.03460853386766413,-0.052298265633455784,-0.006501620333381612,-0.036342764720485136,-0.06069627295416338,0.09617375090041076,-0.04865346269580529,-0.02735634853561257,0.10282144584944432,0.01489284430689527,-0.04062736148328247,-0.033884941632510886,-0.05153927742576288,-0.049688252424337116,0.09767162904842427,0.044094323333346,0.06310263475398649,0.0765123267601828,-0.024770148624415185,-0.04895721264116558,-0.03523841356901973,0.015641889766456887,-0.019231431787917235,0.020135435701798033,0.007823903437577492,0.09024550993663391,0.002084976560027115,0.03366353947623799,-0.06742082124647468,-0.041521273983354014,0.07317313035982245,-0.032883225591668085,-0.023713522323744952,0.013083785891183275,-0.02766228119046524,0.09390552109421813,-0.0409558774476625,-0.04424266607866533,0.04503250262444048,-0.029096145377117005,-0.03544350635337625,0.002356935980829527,-0.023283867584436162,-0.022870852921797215,0.9382612869220036,-0.03353639919422607,-0.04666107067887547,-0.03874116486550069,-0.018605528804626015,-0.06528025127030737,-0.055538586764849636,0.11370249943035043,-0.054231108817495384,-0.03136354604433627,-0.06550968233382416,-0.0515787878134426,-0.038521177751502954,-0.017322801799964455,-0.05353539909449679,-0.03834269217590016,-0.020433016174443885,-0.008299147751518004,-0.053962780567875915,-0.06755782072109305,-0.010716930573782006,-0.03844372294881115,-0.02893977869904469,-0.024467185998849957,-0.030438187618026392,-0.055806019968188764,0.03355939348385263,-0.01711190382497981,6.026165187908481E-4,-0.058855242973015504,0.2595126733003673,0.016009251108077525,0.020800758856868592,-0.00619436389573146,-0.03172739693633304,0.06832501387657786,-0.05883389484756273,-0.03449527359889477,0.09784410460633229,-0.021378398818932706,-0.05148302439923838,0.013442977235600284,-0.04559981951321882,0.08803831599191399,-0.042678397125859385;0.22886160178870804,0.22786598548959955,-0.195328429305746,-0.2073049380031325,-0.06976736759355269,0.1580088620608595,-0.16853850895227446,-0.1584503433223386,0.07047773741810512,-0.20730676772114234,0.05193329625098298,0.2572678173106436,0.1595223840592583,0.1910287709611411,0.24275761623758316,-0.11209026616160324,-0.1676612018070532,-0.15797040198628556,-0.19275087349476408,-0.16077266977292645,0.4633588488339569,0.21953014834460619,-0.18542486146336934,-0.15035074336588086,-0.15304842618160872,-0.16585823827571602,-0.20031038281388758,-0.19086373389375433,-0.18217223097931703,-0.19416422068696046,0.17622540617683177,-0.18336167427323025,-0.2077877192256029,0.32783582062606326,-0.2072535956147526,-0.20816599922929127,-0.17146599889615913,-0.20789046409100778,-0.20480505511554165,-0.023017557262013683,0.22239233487003895,-0.1841786568461669,0.26317360411438645,-0.19687225104465053,0.45328824979321675,0.2876225299890812,-0.1682787982726675,0.22572403838374835,-0.16801067314918405,-0.19950403458058583,0.2801647290882844,0.25080363399396965,-0.20678725136392545,-0.1944622396621407,-0.19590741638483092,1.4756933196255915,0.2604208352404461,-0.16164037962221628,-0.17720131059858177,-0.19865161127096434,0.030186201474298027,-0.13732103133089812,-0.1518094355938088,0.13937168316316495,0.2730950264838298,0.031092906510007665,0.15679164987669908,0.23813780986115698,0.33646721423164255,-0.14277652022275786,-0.1772468130576998,-0.19769753759438174,-0.20484031433888714,0.1459326324082257,-0.0023732494705149777,-0.20439104585419787,0.237787530494938,-0.18854011947301966,-0.1947856240616821,0.2744656797775866,-0.1346204333214438,-0.20479410081579053,-0.19955058127330336,-0.20679657522757713,0.10596509507246664,0.09086038427145189,-0.20868961551996582,-0.20675668820867737,0.3834107089528302,-0.1876368277074031,0.643584858149723,0.10279028289210243,-0.18501701144696733,-0.16340141628142585,0.3190925425292625,-0.15000350811428617,-0.10471413934332083,0.1938164889881309,-0.17228144295534148,0.21461505770358097;0.3072763968220068,0.30689385220377524,-0.12933602743152495,-0.2457474937644621,0.0972271320912963,0.2717844743521122,-0.40776061631566207,-0.03178900923210891,0.2186214117742182,-0.25870480977914667,0.2062171807439797,0.31966463091580716,0.27345111694795843,0.20540711342210785,0.3123564610547383,0.04447987259841982,-0.41417289370824256,-0.029161096702483683,-0.12098196181193355,-0.42345866512820585,0.39000142189302855,0.3020723364872662,-0.09575579859989382,-0.015075343355923665,-0.02267823681448771,-0.4150596021802029,-0.3136195016352334,-0.3520849407753879,-0.3781937242009561,-0.1263566195933148,0.2828793631827668,-0.08942256064894932,-0.244544858302458,0.347232187321461,-0.2563577835089119,-0.22529362757416138,-0.4027318911865515,-0.21106251406850834,-0.28938066324657874,0.145312017840965,0.30453979348650995,-0.37106150947617805,0.32197285152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k{104}	=[0.5421045128707951;0.5268442861729882;-0.5475666695834525];
x_a_linear{104}	=[-12.972113096172277,-11.676775395889598,34.010292367861936];
L_a{104}	=[0.09279303823109618,0.09343678731063995,0.056922260214327454,-0.036573267509807224,0.15359527406926654,0.12105537066779905,-0.21767232795830274,0.11249116579111908,0.14568626444865107,-0.04768030610433902,0.1481722136099338,0.08070251361615205,0.12195262331897112,0.015160916827280728,0.08474651009252704,0.14153566323448694,-0.2242644392633051,0.11345342598721826,0.06379137869940879,-0.23976598273208705,-0.03472813887627326,0.09473762181981238,0.07901519243596886,0.12018276342256375,0.1158664184727138,-0.22775729256063448,-0.10282211730815924,-0.1471469799882735,-0.17841660429124329,0.057760703307449736,0.11416173059772501,0.08217130958912096,-0.03647481360195035,0.04484514980198554,-0.04695316710338253,-0.01824430575756061,-0.2104405671244732,-0.0048618889742150645,-0.07849891195440954,0.1572164185128773,0.0968221072818236,-0.17063004089628614,0.07667932340624464,0.05529679083016636,-0.030509654441634483,0.06450477309913338,-0.21897522800926125,0.09550367750393583,0.10316803292740417,-0.10500982705927021,0.06784835432362121,0.08264955877717967,-0.005496062295288766,0.05429489292885978,0.053331797480704005,-2.187900954512233,0.07820243766920967,0.10880743189541936,0.0903392613226201,0.04338562700842843,0.15222489306113385,0.1295086226926212,-0.2651391573984552,0.12645975742567137,0.07313563213548213,0.15275989589015376,0.1202748964095287,0.08982628053208247,0.040394477659099065,0.12483745456800426,0.08941007582805058,0.047647085321283186,0.019352512504007557,0.12583405151448449,0.15753588312839875,0.024990461568269017,0.08964566619884395,0.06748372795676916,0.05705423462234585,0.07097781894164237,0.130132241474521,-0.0782560573047244,0.03990269153597414,-0.001405221844964553,0.1372426253470848,-0.605149155716039,-0.037331451556841797,-0.048504612512382944,0.014444435541539744,0.07398408418716104,-0.1593248758754904,0.13719284434822387,0.08043840568203722,-0.22815948270003064,0.04985159233770485,0.12005158882105073,-0.031347241045980606,0.10633273484601374,-0.20529368340907606,0.09952036507340431;0.35771577889954526,0.35761408481153845,-0.1162850965404211,-0.25809127261472475,0.14351795020172628,0.32610865132952593,-0.4708024420397469,-0.0022429717719593045,0.27278045408453544,-0.2735165472971337,0.25768804918675836,0.36933286207065597,0.328868115418315,0.21208150831369782,0.3604382313909775,0.08444884674573502,-0.47907906598484906,-4.2681763267757105E-4,-0.1041689522022724,-0.4937162719338151,0.41513469492330823,0.3510846111980355,-0.07570286297427066,0.016537326891649464,0.007845885414261025,-0.48212634494988654,-0.34309112980851403,-0.39519482793028826,-0.4299249198351697,-0.11395660990166664,0.3347525557791968,-0.06925703149974086,-0.2584373388688948,0.39010864825733504,-0.2724536561493212,-0.23350038907321863,-0.46368777139627465,-0.21464177555703146,-0.3138101367121891,0.1952961505544968,0.35684135386719557,-0.4211187757301233,0.36965197045821324,-0.12008607597032847,0.4109219635722383,0.37719508430840637,-0.472351963142225,0.35834226072474806,-0.024749581148970426,-0.3453226769293301,0.37438024386560875,0.36557238268268727,-0.21441918796078108,-0.11906731906210873,-0.1218498684349134,-1.5624675431708341,0.36901422700796227,-0.010548310996217822,-0.05175449475516889,-0.13840550473993243,0.2415685821473818,0.04251710441648056,-0.519986710502669,0.3149761066344543,0.37465255575481715,0.24321820228318392,0.3238076577516027,0.36287229082580724,0.39255975390711384,0.03057514265642069,-0.053090281858140416,-0.13153388902935015,-0.17796704753711728,0.3206681887550372,0.21638407298491386,-0.16968881579056133,0.3622712069625317,-0.09483093180114688,-0.11555902912422557,0.37302682862229014,0.04608367132300321,-0.313461949828623,-0.1441409451584628,-0.208747892998207,0.2965428139481842,-0.7494612387248006,-0.260528778914208,-0.274111115334964,0.40346852676994205,-0.08490112178630047,0.4223433063525451,0.29329887492634227,-0.07331871198560522,-0.48022801182978214,0.38831741145037996,0.016702410597632326,-0.14824351424766968,0.3414721462412669,-0.45735615487337966,0.35281092877062215;0.17335399418000424,0.17204236667932227,-0.21148837417041488,-0.19296357860496582,-0.12444734403249326,0.09707281061528422,-0.09360772613596646,-0.19414049039848388,0.00836151578599496,-0.18989079879379045,-0.0076305305682306925,0.20319172811239194,0.0974445044400538,0.18352630806784728,0.19004711044536682,-0.15978971961695654,-0.09050602056949397,-0.1929013479736526,-0.21304807869016867,-0.07741938145550517,0.440122378014897,0.16534343767590115,-0.2097934960173598,-0.18852762749841442,-0.18990100959130946,-0.0863517117995201,-0.16522275488411847,-0.13971688518411832,-0.12069617079178774,-0.2097190389373261,0.11811686005898372,-0.20801528504071465,-0.19190303552554802,0.28250998053946746,-0.18859320687681316,-0.19896275935209917,-0.09901615022258557,-0.20404565304943123,-0.17608808123696632,-0.0815886301319918,0.16480248686065227,-0.12480181720460798,0.21130636814188314,-0.21300163499957492,0.4287501687366997,0.23749107160447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x_a{104}	=[-12.97211309617227,-11.676775395889594,34.01029236786193];
std_x_a{104}	=[2.535546342732767,3.395942357651466,3.527717093548182];
pred_a{104}	=[-12.97211309617227];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.4 to 10.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{105}	=[-8.696287508591618,-3.08600816186058,33.130777726618646];
std_x_f{105}	=[1.8990893578105812,3.957446144700461,2.131285879130131];
pred_f{105}	=[-8.696287508591618];
obs{105}	=[-8.763660817995035];
sqrt_r{105}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{105}	=[4.642840517181157];
L_f{105}	=[0.19052592535335597,0.18940362099141392,-0.1196530763379716,-0.17620903031923987,0.02514921581012424,0.15950292121925078,-0.22356384383437752,-0.06223040591120976,0.11658524003498419,-0.1812730623147185,0.10658423375253753,0.20200844553635747,0.16080399850235297,0.12203531507268636,0.19493453387993548,-0.012192092416393772,-0.22528909962057675,-0.060851755700277864,-0.11423665009466183,-0.2255212574403369,0.27289246313894266,0.1861299879147922,-0.10069102565754219,-0.051387259693697306,-0.05651451672587803,-0.22471757287221555,-0.20140317601937957,-0.21257839422063288,-0.21868878785831422,-0.11824174268104033,0.16883308717043366,-0.09707603834268345,-0.17597573688810392,0.22802276131114693,-0.18083058782234593,-0.16787236182105603,-0.2230342636821706,-0.16134153059665246,-0.19371031066559563,0.06003360997141151,0.1885126316037187,-0.2169380674875773,0.20406494539826248,-0.12216737419021365,0.268373363657951,0.2130988890074683,-0.22411914620880502,0.19024659677323652,-0.07483674853866655,-0.20148424253233782,0.20987352873763523,0.19922973004986308,-0.16037961543095178,-0.12007621441606693,-0.12214945586271672,0.9243275330710047,0.2032438767550849,-0.06689480237730724,-0.0880779354521899,-0.12988867569120097,0.09354785344290899,-0.03703130372666444,-0.2272779617281115,0.15111775704625546,0.20816649393295447,0.0939567531916844,0.15897066954347783,0.19484797795186537,0.23068287456984668,-0.043758159039523584,-0.08883403963325477,-0.12664058384078766,-0.14638099518469003,0.15558878582785296,0.07392443374281535,-0.1428808052567229,0.19469506178052792,-0.10835528290270519,-0.11940675187240396,0.20764289565696697,-0.03513955483739261,-0.19333558767226774,-0.13215176049936103,-0.1582473562841959,0.1352465745290967,-0.14088963670037452,-0.17743309411345082,-0.18110525308082975,0.24707150023792934,-0.10501024274401,0.32622630634551464,0.13343641024515115,-0.09951663645891574,-0.2234619601209648,0.22462701727773732,-0.05202620935951414,-0.10179794317964617,0.1754061080216684,-0.22161322230860891,0.18481827021126204;0.12901635063858874,0.1280212297968612,-0.22664908308295262,-0.17358977414571924,-0.15772987399564858,0.05827056996046335,0.019344191488717476,-0.22240891483860722,-0.026892572640134935,-0.16519333531799263,-0.04337211644256087,0.15665022718759095,0.058917602354742894,0.12373329984319402,0.14336779058316726,-0.1923559156785583,0.027574753430041718,-0.2218157355080478,-0.22930772083739906,0.048629870345229476,0.3703655393902927,0.12111137073034987,-0.23117460575899906,-0.2181927439471212,-0.21939395364597758,0.032946376740842616,-0.11329711137330045,-0.06491782409795609,-0.029348330488115238,-0.22537490454051193,0.07740595566671676,-0.2292399995752755,-0.1721803663397671,0.22909266377634224,-0.16474328338927152,-0.18689871972280778,0.010294907580892626,-0.19712662886072543,-0.13668882799072585,-0.11536684531000341,0.12186766349749015,-0.03822683073732228,0.16384715937627253,-0.22682081901237353,0.3603038028914474,0.18845394638161078,0.02183267856890284,0.12575202648357228,-0.22782753824296706,-0.11044286364753952,0.18106491059479457,0.15189979952189986,-0.1956513264223182,-0.22404697393634682,-0.22548374723078657,3.4751261353146496,0.16111771572416195,-0.2244184106213553,-0.22873402038478044,-0.22118834617358393,-0.06446707009783713,-0.20991343685428418,0.08289763222093077,0.04072083368394564,0.17318526058358483,-0.06503084613892932,0.05771573746468626,0.13825037870111379,0.23737642889693494,-0.2142105813438338,-0.2283882311015411,-0.2231995130616311,-0.21083540897809414,0.04692169603141518,-0.0967105787409452,-0.21481670777687656,0.13798694874393944,-0.22632463734841252,-0.2254948256218269,0.17465801105487933,-0.2086108028694995,-0.13763616082213337,-0.2197603099686577,-0.19797686515229296,0.00783767666728348,0.6325364711720342,-0.1734970480503239,-0.16307167744461948,0.28585418737930945,-0.22918547095676756,0.5670400315043161,0.004896289428372188,-0.23079166248825475,0.03412850081328432,0.21960916385954948,-0.21898300517321836,-0.09547658580346598,0.09412454144168546,0.004770049122943276,0.11396311309195528;-0.21348929066236105,-0.21426705670061766,0.044514193757352584,0.18638579852796777,-0.16678922307459063,-0.22284263099095028,0.3938702923269793,-0.05940729668021532,-0.2200332901562315,0.20159644578909558,-0.21475089077353993,-0.20938237606726823,-0.22440046156593854,-0.10485877078467315,-0.20923578750168415,-0.12766023195366935,0.4007050931313368,-0.06080840197539721,0.032513533335063946,0.41391001073789396,-0.147374882645342,-0.2126705024716908,0.005996870131738119,-0.07534742182997216,-0.0674307030728472,0.40389186651455233,0.27181042814616063,0.32321535900399695,0.35588333489402524,0.04295383158689612,-0.22044175727540935,-9.573458573284703E-5,0.18723362918600867,-0.19169876553867618,0.2005483842437038,0.16158214599322376,0.38664319668280334,0.14179579329153194,0.24261498500966083,-0.193714418364579,-0.21703103510193844,0.3470541706584496,-0.20657960138104725,0.047962349150087395,-0.149461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k{105}	=[0.7846146133386598;1.136636663352913;-0.6251215880911586];
x_a_linear{105}	=[-8.749149591698526,-3.162587135459923,33.17289423678787];
L_a{105}	=[-0.11719756849458951,-0.11650720920576044,0.07360179242641203,0.10839086524263696,-0.015469952118200599,-0.09811449281776705,0.1375200716233217,0.03827957925252856,-0.0717146846504877,0.11150588612784328,-0.06556279945886316,-0.12426077232442016,-0.09891482008934611,-0.07506717088745038,-0.11990942095667007,0.00749968059943876,0.13858132238380924,0.037431534808046216,0.07027000445861271,0.13872412883879637,-0.1678634184878933,-0.1144935103560528,0.061937730282134666,0.0316096713690376,0.03476358365737264,0.13822976106682125,0.12388845493222198,0.1307626291326849,0.13452129491820966,0.07273364352426073,-0.1038537262638277,0.05971405535362045,0.10824736024286269,-0.14026287045989097,0.11123370828889145,0.10326275852686846,0.13719431277424904,0.09924547038968144,0.11915636866864604,-0.036928271591139934,-0.11595913791520678,0.13344438021390448,-0.12552578013360796,0.07514840396606179,-0.1650836000984793,-0.131082799331665,0.13786165289600963,-0.11702574604921714,0.04603407618415355,0.12393832110233748,-0.12909879437043775,-0.12255151045913097,0.09865377076502846,0.07386207592220556,0.07513738192583157,-0.5685784712375166,-0.12502071895430078,0.0411487736852942,0.0541790827357249,0.07989798206075421,-0.057543774901309463,0.022778940697443857,0.1398047244097635,-0.09295655512146456,-0.12804875182072584,-0.057795300021713,-0.09778709064343276,-0.11985617810119098,-0.14189917693766604,0.026916808469611173,0.05464418254502963,0.07789999429919625,0.09004284680757624,-0.09570680394403697,-0.04547288706735967,0.08788978680765137,-0.11976211529356526,0.06665221893654869,0.07345027169047161,-0.12772667258295345,0.021615275597201975,0.11892586658030509,0.08129006576968546,0.0973421614030131,-0.08319376826348118,0.08666496602363381,0.10914381946709613,0.11140266220098774,-0.15198025685214572,0.0645945956897977,-0.20067048519385164,-0.08208028802576181,0.06121533222375978,0.13745740023905215,-0.13817405791006318,0.0320027063173538,0.06261862471618097,-0.1078969663635687,0.1363201923971783,-0.11368663787861988;-0.3167691335168781,-0.31513832829405536,0.0533107411094147,0.23869757072739267,-0.2165730751256477,-0.3149284412925358,0.5424305703031985,-0.07680452227696707,-0.29967438738785346,0.25894264354388713,-0.2927539481202919,-0.3160016312400956,-0.3173256212042488,-0.1618003980661457,-0.31273279207046134,-0.16382931064761455,0.5546978216584003,-0.07943705750793728,0.037978950392777454,0.5762961328181001,-0.2681381108460328,-0.3143886622681015,0.004418516487277276,-0.09795874219910607,-0.08716338631644813,0.5587322079094493,0.35793855991780615,0.4324652077014351,0.4823315734094034,0.0512827335772147,-0.3176234313636734,-0.0021050903904572555,0.23956112722751102,-0.30442652454951974,0.2583574100885166,0.20588279781570856,0.5321421944234402,0.18037429232898003,0.31654736265269906,-0.25583125631901593,-0.3192071907147574,0.46935680265715274,-0.3136164210514772,0.05902186591558232,-0.26762622621513293,-0.3101469197892419,0.546218333255568,-0.3193798950341798,-0.052727293391470885,0.3609824840598396,-0.3099893774041036,-0.3142505236098433,0.17959894138746907,0.056902893016126214,0.060317013059964765,1.312418902248698,-0.3144247587861388,-0.0679004364404367,-0.022652538160519608,0.08272035324318312,-0.28334686328823633,-0.12326896770877076,0.6146741661436902,-0.3128588818556261,-0.3138749707772795,-0.2848673677752909,-0.3142379310847565,-0.31764768360663725,-0.30236679363707253,-0.1118268659675245,-0.020537644395552297,0.07310942167517193,0.1316614070774791,-0.31711916660076905,-0.2696762233157784,0.11949049387960085,-0.31755332598530595,0.027201029355476566,0.053888657734307226,-0.31117712450586693,-0.12639257751700594,0.31472326687842656,0.08944347123301362,0.17228442189638,-0.3086072354621507,0.9621848105908364,0.24165431582769423,0.2606716676041126,-0.29223453283192646,0.016513595016025343,-0.19625216428883588,-0.3073132675375953,0.002053667526986331,0.5569764958990062,-0.3059647886922617,-0.09725401272722375,0.14270646095096332,-0.31628415565948514,0.5232924361360152,-0.31846781153996273;0.03168151790650524,0.02945955855247051,-0.10945667093797058,-0.04036187562913808,-0.1344269418595504,-0.017592557585488604,0.10618593515625246,-0.13948605187599156,-0.07001015018952628,-0.03166767916937781,-0.07759715318460778,0.05056426289031646,-0.017476147928250346,0.05217758431942668,0.04160806590410146,-0.14334914751899122,0.11080065827141336,-0.13911309526164076,-0.11448741585315418,0.12370683270020816,0.2037860720438392,0.02684356655250708,-0.12357342393875959,-0.14147309992798524,-0.14015419062901527,0.11472287841734395,0.01264265650862375,0.04966719647081986,0.07447225215171677,-0.10920091378929228,-0.0031855260408187344,-0.12501422412460905,-0.039213840476411285,0.1017233745668083,-0.03214635978214921,-0.054437813535652316,0.09964030894400713,-0.06582022242264145,-0.00665352480563005,-0.11646252379589259,0.025549045430469087,0.06789593370642119,0.0560133637026534,-0.10924394104585382,0.19588451765090822,0.0732038821616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x_a{105}	=[-8.74914959169852,-3.162587135459915,33.17289423678785];
std_x_a{105}	=[1.1681804178437578,3.290209382662506,1.7746951696915647];
pred_a{105}	=[-8.74914959169852];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.5 to 10.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{106}	=[-4.296483982569442,-1.3565857719526455,26.816681330962926];
std_x_f{106}	=[2.058570542666259,2.740456192674855,1.590813890823495];
pred_f{106}	=[-4.296483982569442];
obs{106}	=[-4.233558834721718];
sqrt_r{106}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{106}	=[5.273061971600868];
L_f{106}	=[-0.18801407518483887,-0.18802470895495874,0.021141045988329582,0.14658979679586387,-0.15304609820219595,-0.19533007358690715,0.34947343135772063,-0.06504070130182728,-0.19468352954732351,0.16050291367338457,-0.1909275840327248,-0.1846365604333782,-0.1965588720170381,-0.09761939543819988,-0.184866012552349,-0.12095291400144804,0.35727623152115157,-0.0675430377505049,0.010614587798794014,0.3715599885436112,-0.13303384049395478,-0.1875001198122819,-0.012035061796151318,-0.07925982683120938,-0.0722550372881645,0.3596283336798427,0.22651965952971967,0.2766041293088712,0.309602953269317,0.019660410072676653,-0.19417542777585628,-0.016212825493511617,0.14752674983518443,-0.16937569198558994,0.159699286335665,0.12447337202017074,0.3424559845088572,0.1071260847684989,0.19925760570333864,-0.17372085231712617,-0.1903908196958544,0.3012177490878409,-0.18301735577265252,0.02470030295308069,-0.13429120302856787,-0.17764313262559467,0.35158940906920827,-0.19021013748716584,-0.05015013874712496,0.2288328231371027,-0.1788997970147611,-0.1840209062523092,0.10670706804271678,0.02324377497194888,0.02577821407431931,0.8302123470857797,-0.18322076219554484,-0.059776481948934736,-0.029891070309573983,0.04048846305758453,-0.18752162920800639,-0.09572045166588689,0.3961405147896532,-0.1952131033250685,-0.18206223686981476,-0.18911072991670091,-0.19429476597101403,-0.1879073983668472,-0.16788643728434244,-0.08847553941932669,-0.02851745539760928,0.03418244479529498,0.07403229092826631,-0.19762730423838182,-0.1819956831042392,0.06573507241745123,-0.18776666639218115,0.0031090307925939354,0.02107454552202845,-0.17976110878246485,-0.09747558087257656,0.19774021479832044,0.04532622194934667,0.10147759033671196,-0.19627282694739048,0.6077959045031526,0.14837328332823835,0.1612305596081076,-0.15638532862342847,-0.004207300336333542,-0.07129504677434884,-0.19511038251664756,-0.013239130267435567,0.3586196543277709,-0.17208939525800518,-0.07886157335600413,0.08397607327170185,-0.19183884131266227,0.33674610645434233,-0.19108225593119754;-0.17456774569600148,-0.17509770191437338,-0.0438389481318875,0.1293189800420433,-0.23298660123866105,-0.2078270576110003,0.4325446581749624,-0.15039196814918088,-0.2351893591084148,0.14916863142843204,-0.2367134068953833,-0.16105520777465662,-0.2082738626228726,-0.08556953691119962,-0.1659311846076627,-0.20727461409467945,0.44378480036558443,-0.15184777128827162,-0.05867358646363936,0.46660934751381117,-0.03524437264998313,-0.17661302015304048,-0.08655780449098642,-0.1650943158181548,-0.15738108621031494,0.44874051668778536,0.24681461485832862,0.32163606884989615,0.3717574267642083,-0.04530808983752988,-0.1989446460465474,-0.09144488477024028,0.13043604873022147,-0.12063564029630032,0.14820475025693486,0.096991673232057,0.4217811860520609,0.07275288124278355,0.20511233293431333,-0.24312567712892671,-0.17932571213503623,0.35897142678163063,-0.15653395704590306,-0.0395363576278172,-0.040570428003138204,-0.14315014594951214,0.43618990911530225,-0.1778376229338622,-0.13279132833844903,0.24985796878462352,-0.14673602463243213,-0.16300490381855445,0.07268893539276453,-0.04018608172790469,-0.037458184529551644,1.599643485900038,-0.1581559548876395,-0.14361885791494589,-0.1078234973697364,-0.01793122431075413,-0.24118622183142432,-0.1830466243109167,0.5049208212212183,-0.21340463959060718,-0.15271954578412333,-0.2432178433223087,-0.20594628519206476,-0.17105443917744328,-0.1161958734558882,-0.17461748838965696,-0.10641451174199966,-0.02601535145488415,0.027231300574013587,-0.2132247043590619,-0.24577112479531477,0.015791844213744632,-0.1697134584546577,-0.06514655331147287,-0.043698868971254044,-0.15034879106633306,-0.18437734163655412,0.20388065094707494,-0.011196785140147223,0.06554775372789069,-0.22555583424042985,0.8646424249729879,0.13187588243388987,0.15084953685354724,-0.08758852913143315,-0.07593980076246713,0.08993550852848813,-0.22567102278534934,-0.08802754991569198,0.44796298157307185,-0.12649860184425196,-0.1648797226330823,0.06651010787382662,-0.19072004391133376,0.4132738868354445,-0.1830024145176791;0.18221359317363653,0.1803899785318487,-0.1310546524718115,-0.16885895862810096,0.018773331778457816,0.15467432769679698,-0.1481244502794605,-0.07610911704142612,0.11526925566650079,-0.16948095910091598,0.10566488608067592,0.19210414519641272,0.15641653611773967,0.0915590656112238,0.1844757159678999,-0.022412082432608487,-0.14708063339696892,-0.07451871882623622,-0.12578779500825982,-0.141429989133363,0.24017964860117133,0.1781093190790359,-0.11320798306320966,-0.06385618591360018,-0.06971947606811511,-0.1448453471631399,-0.17176093660477282,-0.1660940479612253,-0.15958749554299942,-0.12901127532612078,0.16445000868940235,-0.11075874637242207,-0.16753146992387594,0.21081690976785636,-0.16961046944606195,-0.1650391319580912,-0.15094193839127248,-0.1620845122216604,-0.1716042057302487,0.05692160543356903,0.18107744955025346,-0.16166874436208736,0.19346769612756295,-0.13354122787477427,0.23582307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k{106}	=[0.8103568656341037;1.0253509455613965;-0.326198293452385];
x_a_linear{106}	=[-4.2454921569899975,-1.292065412107391,26.79615525511976];
L_a{106}	=[0.10392337650971625,0.10392925424676752,-0.011685555349483517,-0.08102641586765567,0.08459508827290428,0.10796724001161222,-0.19316883031988935,0.03595076210757468,0.10760986762026499,-0.08871678735853916,0.10553379677567577,0.1020564804444193,0.10864644917073227,0.053958392087408276,0.10218330839029129,0.06685582028559466,-0.19748176986134178,0.03733390989932518,-0.005867134166551317,-0.20537700992546482,0.07353346221869303,0.10363929151427748,0.006652290564573566,0.043810277596381585,0.039938432468097834,-0.19878187677082002,-0.12520705080732275,-0.15289086759088677,-0.17113072119465458,-0.010867144900239687,0.10732901815913011,0.008961518260758423,-0.08154430966566795,0.09362114933420523,-0.08827258834679341,-0.06880172717478186,-0.1892899889603029,-0.05921314364610015,-0.11013815406944882,0.096022904270294,0.10523710429548414,-0.16649586217994672,0.10116147715576929,-0.013652908066449183,0.07422845997333112,0.09819091543048432,-0.19433842120387426,0.10513723355344685,0.02772011481538421,-0.12648563472324675,0.0988855272904386,0.10171618219176885,-0.0589815352789366,-0.012847823098043104,-0.014248715391971848,-0.4588936772121437,0.10127390853756855,0.03304100415832271,0.01652206597301998,-0.022379695703614245,0.10365118067219384,0.052908765093116046,-0.2189637123112467,0.10790258557257904,0.10063354231230828,0.10452954422608822,0.10739498145562873,0.10386441169492767,0.09279797491556412,0.04890419393301036,0.0157628105846395,-0.018894091184352493,-0.04092079615024218,0.10923701710509938,0.1005967552152187,-0.03633457055816833,0.10378662314651296,-0.00171849356130062,-0.011648797713170038,0.09936161094023595,0.05387889965985379,-0.10929942757421403,-0.025053730816557457,-0.05609098051565076,0.1084883398938471,-0.3359546489412963,-0.08201222473447449,-0.0891189882169888,0.08644082296046576,0.0023255538528825052,0.039407804878035926,0.10784580741254762,0.007317830423553613,-0.19822433678888055,0.09512112855989678,0.043590145960974075,-0.04641714760899127,0.10603748743451127,-0.1861338964906268,0.10561929051291158;0.1948230188353321,0.19431395475745797,-0.08537470620182806,-0.15868561247414323,0.06770266985908936,0.1759374299535333,-0.25406488350804723,-0.022606671458406957,0.14730486506307117,-0.1661710256319835,0.13840152089198013,0.20169976230867523,0.17790484202149773,0.10622303541910377,0.19727458945705506,0.030361261471355944,-0.2581548825051069,-0.01914614068482157,-0.07952803950566167,-0.26339359562991577,0.22612686777597937,0.19176797759451897,-0.06291254988070462,-0.009372740180701777,-0.01542180237012618,-0.25782033517677294,-0.1982279710906198,-0.22180734461517837,-0.23651869031308442,-0.08393484637480429,0.18255131189600107,-0.059591588689222784,-0.15940937298550348,0.21213634123791034,-0.16555602226312535,-0.1475608370474059,-0.2510411960578625,-0.13771745888989637,-0.18636856676470354,0.0981832296078221,0.19473463615568704,-0.2328303014484349,0.2030397658517049,-0.08806497859953989,0.22327114932444822,0.2058648547082741,-0.25457688847426235,0.1958677394913662,-0.034261481171736406,-0.19972928368770762,0.20474794128243512,0.19854049209641514,-0.1369581636685442,-0.08585306596321511,-0.08810457467775616,-0.03147255321499113,0.20181740008000873,-0.02617615929569335,-0.04909658927278488,-0.09747880237817466,0.12723703536997374,0.005015098128669153,-0.27337541790942604,0.1701300368047067,0.2049776574891387,0.12832751590855118,0.1757841361921368,0.1981267376870261,0.2136501732400135,-7.898261984240823E-4,-0.050386341290107106,-0.09317351184298653,-0.11821974887062746,0.17505314629181942,0.11179532046781333,-0.11335768160198546,0.19919122266519906,-0.0712548580237593,-0.08510397374800659,0.20282739183845375,0.007132678590700048,-0.18461903478726152,-0.10024909552023868,-0.13382500408518094,0.1600608783995458,-0.3294926078574575,-0.15963272143398602,-0.1659197242823675,0.21966131929028995,-0.06767372873395922,0.23000870150291283,0.15766183830481462,-0.06201666511140193,-0.25661612059182987,0.21160498545151216,-0.009940594562593375,-0.09847746487931545,0.18618522868393808,-0.24833031271094191,0.19241639674634567;0.06469808540646892,0.06286782427880518,-0.11784074414284613,-0.07723510340866549,-0.07688594226436705,0.032586059798784886,0.07030891805619194,-0.11676187684944946,-0.006414899129708962,-0.06916090923286941,-0.0136716687081406,0.07669970470236702,0.03356022534145717,0.030543459138325645,0.0689278597096749,-0.09801197084960572,0.07622976354576974,-0.11673552823044815,-0.11915329876808112,0.09080826577781213,0.15702874992247418,0.06091505176429881,-0.12073032625264124,-0.11339640669999781,-0.11488145336851999,0.07993519758224127,-0.030178064244227816,0.006793405673673838,0.033925400892492144,-0.11672281729270002,0.043083435636010144,-0.1208923409894071,-0.07532198561224791,0.10495105675906521,-0.06979271534791921,-0.08723883162386696,0.0631052751904735,-0.09512688559555565,-0.04706109007426632,-0.05166012787401533,0.06207639163068235,0.02660310016732364,0.07907531634065847,-0.11810265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x_a{106}	=[-4.2454921569899975,-1.2920654121073958,26.79615525511976];
std_x_a{106}	=[1.13785949997093,1.6587881445345598,1.44182443922288];
pred_a{106}	=[-4.2454921569899975];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.6 to 10.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{107}	=[-2.708903640539182,-2.3467194754642757,21.196861727929015];
std_x_f{107}	=[1.4710894095990072,1.9826965370573875,1.1997660683064633];
pred_f{107}	=[-2.708903640539182];
obs{107}	=[-2.7917514843996805];
sqrt_r{107}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{107}	=[3.193532772633228];
L_f{107}	=[0.1715480154326248,0.17111994502698338,-0.07564602095778018,-0.14758373132431854,0.07087573386558775,0.15930725392524483,-0.22725412284564658,-0.013571398287687516,0.13772776223693478,-0.15423083776689003,0.13083208181531766,0.17650224006797338,0.16063634315117914,0.09119408753160926,0.1732654255593504,0.036272070295754195,-0.23073337663470336,-0.01129661123476785,-0.06972004409850936,-0.23395539195135623,0.18573611005352614,0.1693195796980694,-0.053383704828969,-0.0010912680003537117,-0.006884791327280655,-0.23028806526488552,-0.18354426671623963,-0.2029870707338116,-0.21479254938534445,-0.07440267159874149,0.1646983870943748,-0.050489122109507206,-0.1475156570333919,0.18135389231397375,-0.1534726098499,-0.13639456974684158,-0.22543571413600916,-0.12698032101094553,-0.17220513545204824,0.09756860257415442,0.17245724932227288,-0.21183252394916427,0.17668996990550126,-0.0782650572726166,0.18377540814894605,0.1787548044709391,-0.22847794806064017,0.1731439751467493,-0.025471396656721806,-0.18447743365861283,0.1773187327367527,0.17342949810118402,-0.12622881290313814,-0.07631405079706999,-0.07837202154734935,-0.0014957751686408543,0.17650511551482898,-0.017315933000712373,-0.04026380803797744,-0.08780349801906737,0.12204328766797244,0.012560769781038091,-0.24075993309711008,0.1549154688347632,0.178358015892315,0.12290006887942125,0.15934383589049872,0.17423752936366407,0.1824886337503643,0.006878781298407052,-0.04103194040961148,-0.08343857325184904,-0.1082947258025945,0.15922140969053633,0.10950729932291418,-0.10339126241972185,0.17451436799681894,-0.061922340921311145,-0.07527586602007522,0.17645278492633207,0.014782578228184318,-0.1711067663578306,-0.09076281179898453,-0.1235931780545571,0.14801219188232306,-0.2557658999462074,-0.14748350025915272,-0.15448929794612293,0.1850567252041892,-0.058223589282860526,0.1792509302717376,0.14571095125967568,-0.05147810223130823,-0.22946406481491954,0.18106148723272858,-0.0016282492511535207,-0.09252514646338761,0.1662570582951774,-0.2231892420908332,0.17041534212832818;0.23475099562366278,0.2333826227976586,-0.13588906093210798,-0.21277570040062527,0.06493765179481553,0.20940178757813135,-0.2553003802465671,-0.05633481850529076,0.1714726006870265,-0.21830433865568963,0.16020134830892604,0.24430811451720666,0.21227705367303917,0.12277584267632749,0.23797678372032077,0.01446731865826427,-0.25661394542936494,-0.0529668938604886,-0.12893974153629814,-0.2551862641106396,0.2776442778560784,0.23043554085087256,-0.10846181360495032,-0.03896058906780792,-0.04705979570224569,-0.2545340017470852,-0.23941833531599183,-0.25023270322270463,-0.2537584535195567,-0.13422205352577174,0.2184807075086447,-0.10477255587793739,-0.21141813614870159,0.2580407541820409,-0.2169330582866993,-0.20177124548739178,-0.25533280355426796,-0.19307599159425065,-0.23280458151510006,0.10630462107249983,0.23449598469784155,-0.2530179634971337,0.24549634991390099,-0.13968577886004008,0.2741018766799426,0.2500177841403085,-0.2554037622694598,0.23614401381523126,-0.07236180403630783,-0.24027834349344548,0.24745224393963333,0.23952444553694865,-0.19149212952963718,-0.13617352368928928,-0.13936591488945482,0.3791463487337464,0.24407156665203467,-0.061721830812134414,-0.09128370225759468,-0.15016907750992897,0.1454429698045095,-0.0200070237904381,-0.2531249360076056,0.20292690697742025,0.24787447415432706,0.14731056624581323,0.21035076390737162,0.23929194391319267,0.2602837422856141,-0.028003369675310898,-0.09281249629489641,-0.1450586642311632,-0.1739312254602154,0.20885697438426523,0.12454969432453071,-0.16750521851483727,0.23989762755000896,-0.11864677132896644,-0.13591793256385654,0.2453923688466333,-0.017023595823833015,-0.2308139100964227,-0.15332711223647727,-0.18896154826908967,0.18998016539865925,-0.15373921341370864,-0.21248834425275784,-0.21722613363171558,0.26785303434142554,-0.11460915136993445,0.2889754766145801,0.18566863837391934,-0.1068904050909676,-0.2541305718885587,0.25695175468178855,-0.03978534957992773,-0.1390073767398971,0.22383560830245267,-0.2547919382815723,0.23107203551250485;-0.02410169802540889,-0.02564581230713055,-0.06629234351579275,0.010692191605505212,-0.10278226377627249,-0.04549925518028623,0.18414938589805924,-0.09874030963247415,-0.06975092580905776,0.02160407623921765,-0.07299177955061076,-0.016710047730053523,-0.04521743480428978,-0.03147982695979098,-0.021385830742654318,-0.10614367266339149,0.19129033357254294,-0.09924440878571501,-0.07084785575679393,0.2052965855353239,0.03961044815215929,-0.026324998369633472,-0.08111852704868652,-0.10264201781499269,-0.10019478954694623,0.19391282475662505,0.07276224295248164,0.11606220381522868,0.1466788943373805,-0.06654863154208143,-0.03888542130701827,-0.08268855849045867,0.011974771749057693,0.003121129295758251,0.020041715879557127,-0.005109090121475068,0.17638914295778177,-0.016985586153835632,0.0515911126595373,-0.09264014593636412,-0.0261051886147533,0.1378700685650537,-0.014594363045977526,-0.06490315350154886,0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k{107}	=[0.686867155844012;0.8955624771219648;-0.22613474044126852];
x_a_linear{107}	=[-2.765809103419451,-2.4209148957361974,21.215596503596526];
L_a{107}	=[-0.1570248994421382,-0.15663306913019762,0.06924189011535659,0.1350894122094831,-0.06487545166328472,-0.14582043088594857,0.208014972937206,0.012422454704818812,-0.12606784147928077,0.14117378000641562,-0.11975594377496251,-0.1615597034339968,-0.147037000494904,-0.08347366997079884,-0.15859691501905898,-0.033201306213804176,0.21119967591953193,0.010340249280662989,0.0638176016554943,0.21414891803010114,-0.17001184146827594,-0.1549851212712897,0.048864283632064937,9.988821356389855E-4,0.006301930471885523,0.21079206424947114,0.16800555781199256,0.18580234979488508,0.1966083861891173,0.06810380170563558,-0.15075515508912232,0.04621475394030959,0.13502710103286922,-0.16600061873188118,0.1404797430505271,0.12484751598518533,0.20635050923556894,0.11623026991941597,0.15762638821314534,-0.08930852373476565,-0.15785715832739117,0.19389895410801633,-0.16173154021558722,0.07163920093784164,-0.16821713099828728,-0.1636215675597382,0.20913519010109777,-0.15848574649998418,0.023315008853852934,0.1688597235971192,-0.16230707249499718,-0.1587470973124403,0.11554238387910928,0.06985336508972036,0.0717371097037429,0.0013691440548090005,-0.16156233544785178,0.01584998014303207,0.03685510667305894,0.08037012501917842,-0.11171120181904894,-0.011497385188684903,0.22037739223580532,-0.14180045076280223,-0.16325837078068403,-0.11249544862733965,-0.1458539158516644,-0.15948672130294242,-0.16703929387768615,-0.006296429247186711,0.03755820958048631,0.07637473124609138,0.09912658206148094,-0.1457418541545953,-0.10023650009005275,0.09463824191559227,-0.1597401230017217,0.056680045711222454,0.0689030721947612,-0.16151443512457636,-0.013531097132906454,0.15662100615649543,0.0830789056922591,0.1131298797412973,-0.1354815996438053,0.23411296608997795,0.13499766662508214,0.14141035915629108,-0.16938997278981546,0.05329442738958554,-0.16407569175222492,-0.13337518018770084,0.04712000780631579,0.21003782300995674,-0.1657329684278944,0.0014904029888327655,0.08469204253189794,-0.15218187044897175,0.20429422169354347,-0.15598811734203938;-0.19365436785429807,-0.19395372418797996,0.05302108776504848,0.1557838652812064,-0.11205970053176727,-0.18843482889572458,0.31221935965850334,-0.02244308386948899,-0.17247373931183882,0.16685498799933104,-0.16652446908581175,-0.1964693909543844,-0.18887868573846833,-0.10496235713609695,-0.19471745309566768,-0.07611460629121862,0.31959450463288275,-0.024755965101591525,0.04517151680963182,0.32906849671411514,-0.1861928906345967,-0.19240476949346902,0.024852847094442777,-0.03623537500360322,-0.029866466338479426,0.3205623761132976,0.2189451619157713,0.2566851389903914,0.2826411076162949,0.05158308965589826,-0.19281913883152396,0.02131348862953544,0.1569714281998332,-0.1948527401494317,0.16633275240103917,0.13884572452800795,0.30764584013211965,0.12403085712127633,0.19724180205895292,-0.1373525995861313,-0.19618000064653252,0.27598955192083086,-0.19574997164442262,0.05576486639482852,-0.18483884803675307,-0.19638503077818223,0.31517222567637476,-0.19624692594410703,-0.008752307211205117,0.22041554340866656,-0.19536428155596325,-0.19357952820746638,0.12373798453949983,0.054404890102006255,0.05635185131624802,0.3828817350230423,-0.1967131196479226,-0.01847890228030468,0.00926675455775195,0.06910183267013272,-0.159334668581972,-0.051374924666691794,0.3481227461021655,-0.18394214287516045,-0.19753744410575189,-0.15960670439106808,-0.18757720838941153,-0.19582991925903817,-0.19544353194290043,-0.04518169024636317,0.00965621079597306,0.06331175737875532,0.0965122492323131,-0.18876526403059601,-0.14892192964973813,0.09069287981735999,-0.1959155823274717,0.0359913508486653,0.05206783143417777,-0.1952616327308597,-0.053939999566632035,0.1964895259136223,0.07333406644848986,0.11968661786871113,-0.17964939109959216,0.4849827388944874,0.1558209152637947,0.1685786433757888,-0.1942875122875067,0.030792110584691994,-0.15866630894129102,-0.17821404997835402,0.021665410853290292,0.3189080368313102,-0.1952115189893184,-0.035719136919210005,0.09205486493941273,-0.19135669403983635,0.3025766103499144,-0.19450471279666304;0.0840731509087124,0.08225910373766761,-0.11399325610833229,-0.08237124489581793,-0.05808940163694848,0.0549568071298098,0.04084734683635409,-0.10729816998365949,0.017097527881544304,-0.07565089657023978,0.009508391905275661,0.0945888391019297,0.05607672537521491,0.026025394639763284,0.08787198368394399,-0.08327120914420812,0.04579434460074674,-0.10636783257296627,-0.11481196235993113,0.057768856241360036,0.15673203417565088,0.08044464224227547,-0.1147812551825802,-0.10333015023545374,-0.10453620533012115,0.04869764049152984,-0.04297720920428893,-0.01193750318711681,0.011234881631445186,-0.11346551216114006,0.06497018494232774,-0.11452601894279127,-0.08104573842567,0.1174793738677212,-0.07673513312199012,-0.09111685850393024,0.03423375713464311,-0.09705691200581001,-0.05699810340470425,-0.03111527887477047,0.08264300556274139,0.004292590447655814,0.09682290257787804,-0.11425557956100847,0.152196558302796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x_a{107}	=[-2.7658091034194507,-2.4209148957361943,21.215596503596526];
std_x_a{107}	=[1.3465481721261998,1.8286695981505097,1.1808465787521896];
pred_a{107}	=[-2.7658091034194507];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.7 to 10.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{108}	=[-3.261236732260918,-4.530471890719026,17.452250517857685];
std_x_f{108}	=[1.952478801307106,2.8058873705420733,1.5446947150248023];
pred_f{108}	=[-3.261236732260918];
obs{108}	=[-3.4419239348187967];
sqrt_r{108}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{108}	=[4.856150056403166];
L_f{108}	=[-0.20970595330017155,-0.2092673499629033,0.06367254333297111,0.17742404469881087,-0.12478108061040355,-0.20466316932419332,0.3344554895644704,-0.022928436012911176,-0.18840003425487442,0.18966102196452692,-0.18300613946394492,-0.2123830715138666,-0.20512871464994845,-0.11955187486909867,-0.21085590069141108,-0.08459679933851079,0.34095937100667867,-0.025740153289753053,0.05450426663311508,0.3498092692173685,-0.20059132209112562,-0.2078924944831097,0.03181916348013908,-0.03893876170987013,-0.031274691582087885,0.34162485371425355,0.24331683846472776,0.2815058044456095,0.3064538158021414,0.062139948897395145,-0.20871925678895276,0.027190233335116682,0.17840563958102243,-0.2096965549665722,0.18893748755917925,0.15900555090015966,0.33005204766919294,0.14298267527876896,0.2216128801189843,-0.15227672840184123,-0.2117040958088353,0.2995488116744598,-0.21149103441143224,0.06688453479936268,-0.1992364759833907,-0.21130718109320334,0.3376392296817028,-0.21210391091357414,-0.0072568032923865135,0.24512798351241222,-0.21092533657065,-0.20977895584429462,0.14193031304481404,0.0650388921894443,0.06713580504766242,0.3004554333129335,-0.21206712444721723,-0.018323379360424448,0.013719577184288474,0.08167793662663206,-0.17501786628143307,-0.05599557919672894,0.36667307856798503,-0.20044566197862615,-0.2131048601550307,-0.17603250879373916,-0.2039237686795562,-0.21173994244373445,-0.21053493601999998,-0.04873878985466409,0.014195388866590927,0.07510392977265186,0.11302845021820926,-0.2051822420288007,-0.16389903403498465,0.10586013265586772,-0.21208325056900126,0.04394286002321262,0.06285778033049565,-0.21071353360826844,-0.05926958934162849,0.220664711507939,0.08651919531757116,0.1383070703067385,-0.19634005444556787,0.465566871221057,0.17747291825856337,0.19113522515204986,-0.20818219048953007,0.038368217211082564,-0.1737017355976514,-0.19444328954600693,0.027960138056114144,0.33988185144374894,-0.2101520981218563,-0.03822488880828467,0.10277865041399717,-0.20743233776869846,0.32569040972934177,-0.21094739899681314;-0.2823133464725249,-0.2823427975597313,0.06387865614320934,0.2444395580299655,-0.20298646313843371,-0.2835108778972941,0.5013435440596203,-0.06549419990582733,-0.2725968096934442,0.26344840575761186,-0.2674261809180562,-0.2822053686424274,-0.2841756183870416,-0.17475501719371173,-0.2822561079593195,-0.15094987222382888,0.5116788057344267,-0.06961977673956306,0.050151893732737075,0.526229022562906,-0.24852692329665585,-0.28103550844756586,0.015151380530796274,-0.08888195409539251,-0.07783884027451954,0.5128644978432422,0.3519887104086891,0.4142965665372107,0.4552195174312982,0.06174120301252638,-0.2863716404454199,0.008585688299606802,0.24641404734135414,-0.27208445375303036,0.2628802218171063,0.21465568661133755,0.49382808526684685,0.1888199114892748,0.3161665094646068,-0.2352478329034463,-0.2854985694918766,0.4438823038634316,-0.2811399763708685,0.06874244535251323,-0.24816813598937826,-0.27852505091722796,0.5050192890104591,-0.28542316259160194,-0.0429486898992114,0.35433002092714116,-0.27838408600890246,-0.27968745045633403,0.18768785642817776,0.06582028756518246,0.06920101840406054,0.5562798569393774,-0.2818049964038312,-0.05946434618384026,-0.012025305272674012,0.09090055942519724,-0.25981277533357117,-0.11277330778240093,0.5545364180026501,-0.2800192194752998,-0.28194409986567154,-0.26098173302374644,-0.28359442865429807,-0.2838971981287637,-0.2728700105537506,-0.10230582262578994,-0.011561739064752571,0.08193418482983915,0.14117158069561567,-0.2853425625738328,-0.24919216186300663,0.13038357066617773,-0.283698785362343,0.03340382785631531,0.06258910806588017,-0.2789865698013653,-0.11654624313521204,0.31431508780320616,0.09914847891514769,0.1818258770942716,-0.2784999997233357,0.7209113460505783,0.24445422413327494,0.26634192675809354,-0.2659204218544809,0.024722288489080986,-0.20059223205265578,-0.27642258806014713,0.00943852942740631,0.5108100623630406,-0.27322664538896,-0.08806009827202188,0.1309659980665644,-0.283311973558161,0.4859263547535973,-0.2852744382741001;0.18443188702762087,0.18251826051102985,-0.1509424969215781,-0.1656916113719462,0.0038236768416323105,0.15768618666070372,-0.09062330288016458,-0.10189349953393266,0.11452235250174814,-0.164464428924854,0.10346664141788832,0.19508312345350473,0.15887304931010307,0.06460816233445234,0.18830974855812527,-0.04415183577656213,-0.08694460257612413,-0.09979097551981608,-0.1475832625082073,-0.07747845256911866,0.23164323209051674,0.18005449137997215,-0.1370900308995209,-0.0897504685290743,-0.09515059585611434,-0.08425935947831903,-0.14847439303372156,-0.12883936904347362,-0.11304262526954804,-0.1504051161058675,0.16885225158376205,-0.13443068482332302,-0.1649503329156464,0.2103942495004017,-0.16456032758460196,-0.1676452778266257,-0.09524271589918382,-0.16798695120774343,-0.15610774037650413,0.04640222993770959,0.18498061654023912,-0.11823055426573716,0.19601376970175927,-0.15238743217334133,0.22741181359645898,0.20228397738747855,-0.09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k{108}	=[0.7940755560711247;1.1353286705209864;-0.43844148894473267];
x_a_linear{108}	=[-3.4047160231070013,-4.735611252179218,17.53147128398042];
L_a{108}	=[0.12408527553643414,0.12382574920873787,-0.037675730990183315,-0.10498372185804036,0.07383431192872664,0.121101405840401,-0.1979009223351701,0.01356700301306743,0.11147833332193001,-0.11222447335724081,0.10828670756780086,0.12566935527266518,0.12137687403342046,0.07074013446244479,0.12476571181708643,0.05005683906547867,-0.20174933916889534,0.015230726467441922,-0.032250762730615494,-0.20698591944075317,0.11869204989267429,0.12301223238506911,-0.01882774239661332,0.02304048549780864,0.018505572499057748,-0.2021431124682919,-0.14397319898845673,-0.1665700222622634,-0.1813320297996949,-0.036768878324194273,0.12350143656315363,-0.01608875447831698,-0.10556454214238414,0.12407971444102392,-0.11179635024182724,-0.09408530032062082,-0.1952953582475254,-0.08460439191016489,-0.1311307326245767,0.09010378343662244,0.1252675980210682,-0.17724626434439966,0.1251415272930472,-0.039576301001933906,0.11789037283037815,0.12503273930066208,-0.19978477571875872,0.12550417293300753,0.004293928817369166,-0.14504487305751232,0.12480679777612526,0.12412847192957252,-0.08398169782013337,-0.03848421435303602,-0.039724980319348346,-0.17778272215137605,0.12548240598389596,0.010842141297926633,-0.008118021869980035,-0.04832971650097008,0.10355996012304211,0.03313318846748539,-0.2169644174134347,0.11860586123226803,0.1260964454005726,0.10416033504673469,0.12066389449998471,0.12528880886176466,0.12457579355743399,0.02883926790467219,-0.008399564776954324,-0.04443980570436608,-0.06688015370124963,0.12140854676110933,0.09698082709781469,-0.06263858284521102,0.1254919479841748,-0.026001464469796738,-0.037193626929387616,0.12468147167768635,0.035070455600562156,-0.13056969102559005,-0.05119434151115508,-0.08183778599305253,0.1161765289507243,-0.2754809417041611,-0.10501264087074803,-0.11309677529164817,0.12318364863822172,-0.022702888161043943,0.10278119139488284,0.11505419269137665,-0.016544315409889754,-0.20111175921583224,0.12434926424184065,0.022618079198429928,-0.06081523654995411,0.12273995269153093,-0.19271453001141986,0.12481985235176474;0.19492430323128554,0.19389670200796738,-0.08102392984773511,-0.15933264185509544,0.08098368029746023,0.18225067236924705,-0.25979246213574725,-0.013314885289407132,0.15615396317190586,-0.16817205583802639,0.14904945320057353,0.20112472423801575,0.1826453951593809,0.09731477807120838,0.19759853082678203,0.041571022168646256,-0.2642583877643311,-0.011041705560848849,-0.0738860160045464,-0.26984829836533875,0.20796813370690842,0.19207516817765669,-0.05726097856454471,-2.671921949734779E-4,-0.006665561352471298,-0.26458716578992747,-0.201738803259246,-0.22633936380904016,-0.24219176963328554,-0.07967358611393675,0.1886205378419868,-0.05329239788507687,-0.15959201394428138,0.2051318077232755,-0.16709365867935994,-0.14720068516668597,-0.25728680217801264,-0.13657245255453074,-0.18816829070527308,0.11129544268519481,0.19628634660852848,-0.23781494223459462,0.20016006593869268,-0.08346981990202022,0.20524363433590964,0.202356587793861,-0.2633621035313846,0.1972716314493141,-0.026434043113461002,-0.20351920026615186,0.2016285712563678,0.19771633455279905,-0.13530959764160888,-0.08219176244753604,-0.08358307431102888,-0.12748063044058075,0.20080608095442135,-0.017764974454114953,-0.04324758898623081,-0.09497774252532093,0.1384835717461396,0.014658451731832006,-0.2799186628932449,0.176144351995065,0.2030286011967101,0.13962368349458637,0.18048443296996597,0.19796929583588352,0.20625419391223895,0.008611321850092401,-0.043866849686130055,-0.08898334213667383,-0.11605255187152652,0.18160026573309687,0.12380053844254417,-0.11052728623117147,0.19894899096576693,-0.06659899470887665,-0.08045928363898017,0.20054407755251946,0.01833633445103713,-0.1878619206953498,-0.09774730195245601,-0.13292599395121982,0.16832024858977757,-0.33860096585531174,-0.1594291995984243,-0.1686334480068065,0.2078495295269274,-0.06259405860065756,0.19470893485049615,0.16608110362468828,-0.054191664953360745,-0.2626749694510815,0.20502631695990156,-0.0010699303346183796,-0.10293218551573893,0.18875150290213935,-0.25526254915805263,0.19478842748665204;1.3214092801288636E-4,-0.0013960197378249397,-0.09498398270149931,-0.009762769699288134,-0.10583997892313338,-0.02218171670014472,0.2033123762854184,-0.12204411933818778,-0.05105272026993289,0.0022188609053635884,-0.057368015429437605,0.008430596236823174,-0.021403997825560912,-0.040459814217307814,0.002999373008575235,-0.11849959936441747,0.21270700253050814,-0.12241266861536704,-0.09968227379640857,0.22995087161305575,0.05535386524425419,-0.0026514993002642695,-0.10912580929205207,-0.1239717378045816,-0.12263630919526719,0.21597710405559947,0.06536422644800756,0.11856156292067029,0.15628382710229494,-0.09579352008675168,-0.014580337844166853,-0.11053459116842257,-0.008158818129911254,0.026102763111445604,0.001487085175358463,-0.027903500360817984,0.19482300530625282,-0.04232685269446837,0.0386563895662877,-0.08742593249488902,-0.0010751939496362883,0.14502744612598123,0.01014520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x_a{108}	=[-3.4047160231070017,-4.735611252179216,17.531471283980434];
std_x_a{108}	=[1.1553027762280481,1.6709072945986363,1.286899560212723];
pred_a{108}	=[-3.4047160231070017];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.8 to 10.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{109}	=[-5.648789799020092,-8.883031764169912,16.370020134185147];
std_x_f{109}	=[1.7798964892988018,2.5309743796547157,2.2866611282020526];
pred_f{109}	=[-5.648789799020092];
obs{109}	=[-5.978564402382423];
sqrt_r{109}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{109}	=[4.213359132687359];
L_f{109}	=[0.21290284185318117,0.21148124952622185,-0.10077687577168615,-0.18211071917966554,0.08639629840831381,0.19970576936709833,-0.2589109233515022,-0.023509382644941425,0.1717553117080597,-0.19047674811570064,0.1637589622296945,0.21880776736815596,0.19986962750247506,0.10313137663358797,0.21519352481224432,0.04048143446685562,-0.26141576884752726,-0.021075920555677197,-0.09340776022663548,-0.2641365724816686,0.22345873229298138,0.20946327473241003,-0.07428698215283347,-0.008108419393005021,-0.01627487416704636,-0.26150660811620685,-0.21971386774007043,-0.2374067180905014,-0.24865081578057194,-0.09922736400911679,0.20640026588307914,-0.07028448820116785,-0.18232290450097435,0.22214765684622365,-0.1896692057479096,-0.1705959810388002,-0.25751566193933034,-0.16019360265984253,-0.20792247385558643,0.12106304001099792,0.21417356033322232,-0.24591845964834994,0.21799003704463582,-0.10405894726485632,0.22051970399100188,0.21977069499001367,-0.26184703217172,0.21582587371915377,-0.038317471464469635,-0.22077152117213547,0.2191848846893461,0.21503916005335874,-0.1587325811589456,-0.1021756612107061,-0.10398559637577363,-0.07660715308597929,0.2185389018739216,-0.029439160473857747,-0.058182853236415484,-0.11597508857057189,0.15224128770757284,0.008937855608884923,-0.2690486862224483,0.19311896734194467,0.22116567767476836,0.15337325349226663,0.1978972870746218,0.21615138310265639,0.22377621200543196,0.0018071676444827362,-0.05912068815064921,-0.10974899310458934,-0.1388390174782489,0.1997079826063281,0.1358879798528973,-0.13274753338757428,0.21738639245746905,-0.08467553170747524,-0.10033455539272255,0.2178213057250367,0.012998539449698138,-0.2078134471718024,-0.11931087834801575,-0.15665438159112172,0.1851073210129126,-0.27430042009974304,-0.1822022200093654,-0.19103751079795833,0.2250657410856892,-0.08053859505758952,0.20647280208738186,0.18303713977135752,-0.0707759534086984,-0.2601859576251894,0.22245753323935957,-0.009291957719358606,-0.12314828441835987,0.20714497092836942,-0.25654916615304024,0.21321919204032058;0.31639315356665393,0.3139028048915688,-0.1870101876113711,-0.27556183112571875,0.09334180293825607,0.29078909672431635,-0.30006759029415564,-0.08061111239581124,0.2403963440976186,-0.2825590371163979,0.22646854146011647,0.3274401240659358,0.29142333361291206,0.13384189912280128,0.32098323793561,0.01888875674600267,-0.29968056415805044,-0.07652667053992689,-0.17733447823846948,-0.2969861695601431,0.3431328775552228,0.31067693947708613,-0.15252228755013417,-0.057405312141808634,-0.06905306622102392,-0.29926199262058684,-0.2998373095848004,-0.30524267052245346,-0.3048131329406728,-0.1849242026855611,0.3034163140193895,-0.14626218812717737,-0.2747211406176551,0.3361163824242311,-0.28075253242670817,-0.26478886109544164,-0.30216294074022654,-0.255061243807362,-0.29297975192265363,0.15201297128211638,0.31786700252896777,-0.3057817022943162,0.3264016040794309,-0.19157090179549918,0.33755866648856014,0.33066362068189237,-0.30241907008203944,0.32099038602415053,-0.10247299276619275,-0.300383290242969,0.3295065973097968,0.3207955660916708,-0.2534571134118454,-0.18884705488872014,-0.19137585269251303,0.07212856654001411,0.3273108728367563,-0.0882212597653264,-0.1304008824602371,-0.20613649507338513,0.20636765529592555,-0.031185892819090087,-0.2921736105300969,0.2796448613984671,0.33147421207195,0.20818687118283488,0.2881191922715388,0.3219022275419475,0.33899778575150497,-0.04195670092238105,-0.13179013724137997,-0.1984935704737977,-0.23276528469790525,0.28989483638192654,0.17786471166992254,-0.2250969278491873,0.32376194525813334,-0.16606953295734625,-0.18664230293650172,0.32727965365541195,-0.02422330832514837,-0.29433032091301903,-0.209800085067751,-0.2518339806076717,0.2639906484156026,-0.19651396036205346,-0.2749759804296404,-0.2821079314414949,0.3426001926101171,-0.16113492058863815,0.32289699850341474,0.2607341220451525,-0.1474021738844792,-0.29880216069251353,0.3358082331642835,-0.059408255169152095,-0.20530617934356815,0.304595924926303,-0.30365328510829537,0.3162918572329326;-0.19184344948238957,-0.19282448554734902,0.0019215929196875075,0.16613200911121798,-0.18590884543094874,-0.20148789599226327,0.4390635151204484,-0.10017398421232661,-0.2057107556008924,0.1860889865439694,-0.20523238356232715,-0.18924925716562613,-0.20090935968177587,-0.1482434284401755,-0.19119019683060298,-0.15734945435619968,0.4503702625764513,-0.10313399363482652,-0.00957976204216626,0.46790534172779985,-0.15559868664574295,-0.19209871973767645,-0.03766847261544147,-0.11697997918034168,-0.1082023704305301,0.45311096045626065,0.27432641489451715,0.34146704147798607,0.38684735973323375,-4.962580432572814E-4,-0.19962768022647104,-0.04378549820648479,0.16764405367068316,-0.17759588846493077,0.18399196184656033,0.13746044125779888,0.4306906518593324,0.11263025190272462,0.23769438751316646,-0.19853802376126217,-0.19438442869817774,0.3737867255174621,-0.18685305334999897,0.006497572262505689,-0.15599965895655152,-0.1835141006885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k{109}	=[0.762659681145628;1.0687415527582136;-0.8537738450931059];
x_a_linear{109}	=[-5.900295592870333,-9.235475585827594,16.651573065311858];
L_a{109}	=[-0.14310523297719335,-0.1421496924152302,0.06773840198885671,0.1224079334451628,-0.05807232211871999,-0.13423466029578107,0.1740301241826907,0.015802117300408657,-0.11544742044355692,0.12803126148326785,-0.11007257694636363,-0.14707430043621827,-0.13434479953316392,-0.06932100836204858,-0.14464494337128764,-0.027210088227123307,0.17571378652914116,0.014166436178474823,0.06278516140394456,0.1775426077630893,-0.150200503042733,-0.14079328612916509,0.04993289800934114,0.005450172652523575,0.010939354491828672,0.17577484524773204,0.1476833468148144,0.1595758112337491,0.1671336681676905,0.06669687882339181,-0.13873444750033634,0.04724257304957449,0.12255055638798452,-0.14931924774512512,0.1274884620651116,0.11466816224259585,0.1730922822651523,0.10767607717468373,0.13975761809143475,-0.08137399385982978,-0.14395936184908525,0.16529708178173702,-0.14652465305978454,0.06994448623643973,-0.1482249994457857,-0.1477215439415967,0.17600366541448575,-0.1450699843752425,0.02575555419218539,0.14839426142491227,-0.14732778442750197,-0.14454118522230508,0.10669403381419768,0.06867861262387531,0.06989518254476552,0.05149242910364065,-0.14689357922621887,0.01978788954432851,0.03910831201312427,0.07795406545530008,-0.10233083201944343,-0.006007688286791545,0.18084434472050157,-0.1298072612522571,-0.14865919850911372,-0.10309169658062456,-0.13301906694086252,-0.14528877946391724,-0.15041390089041015,-0.0012147096982897544,0.039738689150072545,0.07376911970989711,0.09332233318074178,-0.13423614795143124,-0.09133875737111695,0.08922786810744802,-0.14611890601324462,0.05691568786490041,0.06744109096974964,-0.14641123825239347,-0.008737126287844786,0.13968433448071427,0.08019625710060116,0.10529714671425178,-0.124422135790956,0.18437436148074202,0.12246943684003431,0.12840818493619552,-0.15128067353587954,0.054134995611379425,-0.13878320359173332,-0.1230306383064741,0.04757291736255609,0.17488715396774046,-0.14952753492930654,0.006245702324443545,0.08277561623430109,-0.1392350100483886,0.1724426403746794,-0.1433178716007027;-0.18249335124652644,-0.18165254087698593,0.049136135669739595,0.1511707544506177,-0.10910710270596019,-0.17717324893232056,0.30662776653841445,-0.025522539430033166,-0.16207083950259796,0.1637773212359857,-0.15726112408819287,-0.185283150729767,-0.176922974097645,-0.10782162954340195,-0.18327093038612077,-0.0759697297598768,0.31288429447981136,-0.027140329567583724,0.04154409856338093,0.32195423673835455,-0.18048881275789644,-0.1801497686512981,0.021551353537772974,-0.038405185251415924,-0.030916820510075625,0.31351572595308835,0.2150091930815103,0.25106276333837896,0.27784013426775594,0.04759121317944179,-0.1802329709907613,0.01843257290116113,0.1525086501270059,-0.1844331185207897,0.1636915449873418,0.13496171045546995,0.3012629572013293,0.12031386076504312,0.1942364606512294,-0.13166908935845847,-0.18399712482598377,0.27046894675813143,-0.18440551675876837,0.05226616512023069,-0.1791761192423621,-0.18431604295049825,0.3111563502307527,-0.1847455395782464,-0.012685232087213436,0.21694156836933914,-0.18410036105083827,-0.18309688561624474,0.11849443934840505,0.0505769849911077,0.05228933409066013,0.2516389690977588,-0.18478238046409004,-0.01923768140818403,0.005936613265585263,0.06562317745494609,-0.15037311552509017,-0.05212960360485971,0.3382771506046802,-0.1728829009918204,-0.1867742573209203,-0.15120638867486277,-0.17560541093855828,-0.1845964508598295,-0.18536784176186485,-0.04619136280814923,0.006744948607623671,0.05867674768697074,0.09257049550358638,-0.17807269546750185,-0.1405560229940417,0.08596492730428944,-0.18563067995558435,0.03234717059173643,0.04846754912633852,-0.18313208599597627,-0.054682253153175035,0.19263041390053445,0.06977620694942714,0.11524781226740599,-0.16976375143945685,0.44624297355767584,0.15197101529133783,0.165542439124846,-0.18478713555367446,0.02758786883543614,-0.16092225762183307,-0.16816930694009874,0.01844421742501482,0.31088093170422304,-0.18546738843441252,-0.037634791418586305,0.08326214906598021,-0.18079839689936333,0.2975078628630765,-0.18333593801012216;0.206696542136867,0.20305437957335692,-0.18672603092536988,-0.17476717224255192,-0.024180708108437608,0.17234805169680775,-0.04560055194634692,-0.14418198843027877,0.11580379015560457,-0.17047084580455407,0.10131352661207614,0.22034436316410666,0.17323331956302002,0.0448116647726085,0.21163780127725104,-0.08157089540074035,-0.03898270903621043,-0.14258671830733297,-0.18443289060476425,-0.026540793734201915,0.262701231383104,0.2000026304827421,-0.17672877348745475,-0.1321584022056299,-0.13866785486315245,-0.03641205623923433,-0.13696336520220434,-0.10294258036910588,-0.07861046682620845,-0.18624329869509335,0.18673992069066717,-0.17535339600830843,-0.17365232452386176,0.23824978333115202,-0.17105620477833874,-0.18188391441955695,-0.05136157843406194,-0.1872415417558066,-0.1515226857140888,0.028083953340655256,0.2065342635902562,-0.08655631168286156,0.22120983007906206,-0.18829387161800173,0.256798593126251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x_a{109}	=[-5.900295592870334,-9.235475585827588,16.65157306531185];
std_x_a{109}	=[1.1963790598532444,1.7359127864221267,1.7364610998633339];
pred_a{109}	=[-5.900295592870334];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.9 to 11.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{110}	=[-10.197736159003261,-15.022664159250674,21.824766626292323];
std_x_f{110}	=[1.4708998256713346,1.5279950937914568,3.4348405562044166];
pred_f{110}	=[-10.197736159003261];
obs{110}	=[-10.779339098450125];
sqrt_r{110}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{110}	=[3.181685008032093];
L_f{110}	=[-0.13468003145281351,-0.13507631769655604,0.016457937224279944,0.11876637596025748,-0.11286159042224933,-0.13682563115620125,0.2802110030778273,-0.0520709181438808,-0.13556225125046065,0.13203292613543466,-0.13373011463847684,-0.1343943456133634,-0.13722883281227807,-0.10111135807848662,-0.13505046366477907,-0.0914591210465436,0.2871426148471866,-0.05334936461248391,0.008727471945517328,0.2962077918678925,-0.12227194877048088,-0.1342680716936411,-0.010160989532536392,-0.06349761629449206,-0.05651234721804949,0.2873547400886663,0.1852313415825517,0.22351606870186033,0.25066624828777057,0.014566621563748836,-0.13722420408237043,-0.013094687335531414,0.12059213254153894,-0.13031879667073243,0.1309040778590735,0.10193582742283898,0.275241284319047,0.08677375536214425,0.16309884712037231,-0.12459805780914747,-0.1359702006289987,0.24358088012253074,-0.13328386704864312,0.018934606924122816,-0.12213923930418365,-0.13294287784856956,0.2849209560386252,-0.13561806260786438,-0.040918619130801304,0.18766123869171333,-0.13284000496638232,-0.1338188522526027,0.08523215666540303,0.017748623176271225,0.01924363217008736,0.26349466010770006,-0.1342567908387685,-0.04720467521774215,-0.024509962060869958,0.031932699823501054,-0.13194534969846142,-0.07433386083395362,0.3131505182258432,-0.13629094690652777,-0.13399819146564473,-0.13266807559718713,-0.13606279155035358,-0.13506419023189192,-0.13042970860325048,-0.06919211836263846,-0.02387824870446497,0.025472194289768244,0.059605627795310895,-0.13776817180227072,-0.1281610338011274,0.05322850148579299,-0.1361096397281161,4.725420306561734E-4,0.015821571487191793,-0.13260183186231797,-0.07528479844792285,0.16189607967785405,0.03623090669682292,0.08218605171123858,-0.1369983298545116,0.4221474044266838,0.11949711011502935,0.1342875102249307,-0.12767689887502678,-0.004379735396477068,-0.1058741784341252,-0.13606627605385266,-0.013135424264943314,0.2848247829456028,-0.13094276487680093,-0.06289940855728168,0.05190772794753718,-0.1367649506555586,0.2710340884894161,-0.13656200071194222;-0.04003880879037888,-0.04180204275925612,-0.08845623013569016,0.04440803488965647,-0.14601262061703446,-0.059847628072861675,0.3110209513151677,-0.1454228651647927,-0.09007800704559975,0.06318626774729427,-0.09645155044499444,-0.031697588317105424,-0.05991082228295156,-0.10084927370269281,-0.037028946507237946,-0.15458635057145548,0.32326441759111324,-0.14603782063960033,-0.09589004066106767,0.340276260970061,-6.352556577672374E-4,-0.04279800601094441,-0.1144022566065079,-0.15114264512640296,-0.14731545001230117,0.32389101572171364,0.1472924083287138,0.21175972699616732,0.25829492422849415,-0.089653088722053,-0.05249205179110358,-0.11722371779286042,0.04713808955917237,-0.01949809286150841,0.062097019350618114,0.020016534604885023,0.30194729284408856,-0.001288576552099507,0.1123221816583578,-0.12890762601086608,-0.04029213115411403,0.24565256477572844,-0.031024643194182213,-0.08546429024045978,-0.003995580591989949,-0.026868847872247043,0.31857998484500716,-0.037284360012649065,-0.13917997628789855,0.15064390204176364,-0.02818969997073708,-0.035181664546948245,-0.0033289908625911933,-0.08641178659377072,-0.08480003021497931,0.45094909238091463,-0.03186181631066086,-0.14310364365400394,-0.12680594257833044,-0.07060902566529816,-0.1067402891695071,-0.15418388773333622,0.37198247352252706,-0.06638621746470087,-0.028365695383037993,-0.10675733108004744,-0.060804577166773614,-0.03593234957883477,-0.017096008249628758,-0.15287907047234017,-0.1263983219018007,-0.07854466797890276,-0.038233065084688406,-0.06182259995414153,-0.11861954818612594,-0.04553544015576083,-0.03618948853647505,-0.10450264678610964,-0.08874580386510264,-0.029266641795245022,-0.153945195037135,0.10953050173010401,-0.06555028536022567,-0.007970374593057496,-0.07686063108256871,0.5951101013051534,0.04572400187926349,0.06736639836095593,-0.009872845164204988,-0.10961101460899347,0.01265118514077136,-0.07762138863234888,-0.11673377705827628,0.32042147929435766,-0.020954908481970985,-0.15086609284055075,-0.03692862730701448,-0.0500883585219403,0.2944559554807292,-0.042105824723935904;0.41162674839368585,0.4086042876351843,-0.20459171339329538,-0.3636960084829498,0.17243340329058926,0.38698864799793214,-0.4866957074889041,-0.046762023883788056,0.3353958470020653,-0.3801669129202184,0.31961565860660407,0.42246081259007645,0.3875230632656898,0.2051432361636455,0.4155111889433996,0.08036612209061733,-0.4898804829707219,-0.04254065190486389,-0.1899733623729827,-0.49151213586061077,0.4321425858293216,0.4040469858281727,-0.15047823686927664,-0.016116205755811516,-0.03334712401687469,-0.48921183226826864,-0.4314202465041191,-0.45760287434331265,-0.47443040691565325,-0.20112648565937333,0.3994702765331509,-0.14360631817015213,-0.36474564025259226,0.42857489248375735,-0.37909049024364794,-0.3425390700692933,-0.48496475575120696,-0.3233403952593634,-0.41127699807316176,0.23958832536417637,0.4141530324604164,-0.4710048527452483,0.421679252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k{110}	=[0.6857011308550276;0.5907046740934531;-1.4589746927963507];
x_a_linear{110}	=[-10.596541952290584,-15.366219734048428,22.673310596201265];
L_a{110}	=[0.12389459099024101,0.12425914185612524,-0.015139953406230224,-0.10925533216959996,0.10382341341204503,0.12586836687084083,-0.2577711576304161,0.04790097712579404,0.12470616090015198,-0.12145947104657163,0.1230207453732074,0.12363178343184822,0.12623927934930831,0.09301416266739508,0.12423535826580526,0.08413489566460713,-0.264147672365407,0.04907704309950886,-0.008028558914077121,-0.27248689227142536,0.11248017184942505,0.12351562177471186,0.009347277607599725,0.05841260292857629,0.05198672786865062,-0.2643428102024589,-0.1703976532852557,-0.2056164645407429,-0.23059240461755,-0.013400098004748232,0.1262350212971491,0.012046039149828805,-0.11093487859118534,0.1198826124236363,-0.12042102314912814,-0.09377260689331832,-0.25319942367465614,-0.07982474323260572,-0.1500375722887928,0.11462000152451145,0.1250814408941756,-0.22407444659973363,0.12261023416359114,-0.017418286550126654,0.11235809001687665,0.12229655204591221,-0.26210392834160917,0.12475750277484253,0.03764177604066183,-0.17263295947905802,0.12220191742543351,0.12310237670555103,-0.07840659877612201,-0.01632727870155329,-0.017702564449689293,-0.24239349211611788,0.12350524431277221,0.043424432455514986,0.02254715633758772,-0.029375466735266784,0.12137890790204234,0.0683810598007979,-0.2880728119488598,0.12537650118215912,0.12326735408347904,0.12204375649655741,0.12516661695336515,0.1242479855825633,0.11998464231156422,0.06365107812802166,0.021966031822909304,-0.02343233112668585,-0.054832292484308834,0.12673542701759596,0.1178976474269707,-0.048965858928510075,0.12520971343737922,-4.346999401641511E-4,-0.014554549082617853,0.12198281768960345,0.0692558444698319,-0.14893112481666407,-0.03332946479137967,-0.07560443186734932,0.12602723551945139,-0.3883410142160555,-0.10992754770334644,-0.12353350363037835,0.11745228297311441,0.004028997615597622,0.09739556704899849,0.12516982241100533,0.012083513786218648,-0.2620154569780687,0.12045661203477276,0.0578623008375433,-0.04775085551970638,0.12581254578343032,-0.24932914831976388,0.12562584846843383;0.1827131033854159,0.18160530079422918,-0.11567657562886732,-0.1520237379719769,0.04065302540759892,0.16645296486531386,-0.15242961425848325,-0.059300992009732156,0.13413303863918927,-0.1551875063718317,0.12472926180960993,0.19058181827391482,0.16705663966998965,0.06638226100752485,0.1863356361784813,-0.0033189809452997044,-0.1516505778570287,-0.057801481127324146,-0.1103247051273119,-0.1496319409229562,0.20159450401991721,0.17927255182371113,-0.09759664835445085,-0.046121764928891286,-0.05384774534538203,-0.15137482092130053,-0.15906804531327437,-0.15792114676275837,-0.15629056050683024,-0.11374532253180707,0.17446775454706856,-0.09556596636624498,-0.15231336458157055,0.19604062388600568,-0.15440971398003095,-0.14857861816365753,-0.1532836848325838,-0.14480665956030234,-0.1574325821163991,0.07716936499504899,0.1845936359660656,-0.1572141871210934,0.1894181049029741,-0.116780884490908,0.19801468635865355,0.1930099265197628,-0.1526605330843007,0.18701899398576852,-0.07150327205299857,-0.15973544156941663,0.1915189294415676,0.18614591388386836,-0.14429737103955315,-0.11576684174452039,-0.11662773189320781,0.015146258405001589,0.19019008373213991,-0.06503021617583007,-0.08626807770318151,-0.12342361049937337,0.11148863928403048,-0.031240571923569316,-0.14594788319918914,0.15903004289840542,0.19325849830842481,0.11266693846588122,0.16423432924628734,0.18745493594589466,0.19862614953799362,-0.038439858463605044,-0.08690526936125167,-0.12067400166076461,-0.13681685233674304,0.16603689320814713,0.09335037072223061,-0.13357188000740045,0.18892690168072526,-0.10528420021891365,-0.11491364229208402,0.1900480649710157,-0.029429090970738314,-0.15823496381808116,-0.12547382160774792,-0.14390069756206597,0.1497255941417294,-0.1030939348962946,-0.15191635720344324,-0.15473630952570044,0.20129634642491426,-0.10236722038155381,0.18776011139986165,0.14742328092027362,-0.09500864943026861,-0.15065997466578204,0.19561581063099645,-0.04683460888763895,-0.12278059461269407,0.1761118728600037,-0.15381659706165282,0.18375874080220966;-0.1385456421248703,-0.14318694531827017,-0.13736049457034147,0.12146857211913979,-0.28860993275949276,-0.17194858839402505,0.6579755236500926,-0.25947344964367924,-0.21838044061837406,0.15919196467658805,-0.22667629025404815,-0.12654454180937513,-0.17306126524966492,-0.2079000114696068,-0.1361744294336873,-0.29324741748248906,0.6831066118947481,-0.26047457384473127,-0.15432135032893146,0.718506507469436,-0.06734237584435336,-0.14444253542567917,-0.1919862157496363,-0.27550607203461785,-0.26420193469207276,0.6846418012364869,0.3252559206909902,0.4554676715311655,0.5495495220697264,-0.14162135397016193,-0.16109514346717824,-0.1970985497709931,0.12787721647249128,-0.10378170945955763,0.15565700474477234,0.07387216215082473,0.639405009608276,0.031133270263870957,0.25498719598053876,-0.2693988687979016,-0.14128974188696988,0.5240311125424413,-0.12278975976905367,-0.13337030424985635,-0.072022783913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x_a{110}	=[-10.596541952290584,-15.36621973404843,22.67331059620125];
std_x_a{110}	=[1.3531072893535456,1.4331978813766366,3.2295200863916187];
pred_a{110}	=[-10.596541952290584];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.0 to 11.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{111}	=[-13.343810683888535,-12.696353092592595,33.951211420498986];
std_x_f{111}	=[0.8860185482066831,2.904681514861096,2.381256572208972];
pred_f{111}	=[-13.343810683888535];
obs{111}	=[-13.986830824688122];
sqrt_r{111}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{111}	=[1.788172698006036];
L_f{111}	=[0.056069869268238884,0.053801414843103995,-0.1009609006677521,-0.047193161992002394,-0.05790810238503456,0.03957791818210457,0.11210393035444574,-0.10427917835142603,0.010748519180919623,-0.03778852601811516,0.0030624773245649557,0.06294617312761051,0.03930746996676424,-0.025181256032303544,0.05856863347129005,-0.0829732411703506,0.11984683332432004,-0.10416744738989801,-0.10375459991420069,0.13165406898876722,0.08257109762619533,0.05264872125832449,-0.10681870043639181,-0.1016550752712874,-0.10280906474128843,0.12051816780158298,0.008057523981578583,0.0480971397182233,0.07725226904302716,-0.10099296620142711,0.04574195145639781,-0.1077419961625433,-0.04571399675857342,0.07092900317875916,-0.03843490297275588,-0.05921638521495969,0.10576075047811474,-0.06974917456527324,-0.01110320017339715,-0.03338734303721088,0.05567105388935416,0.06912830960154707,0.06341703868421067,-0.10142266296092982,0.07927754126533647,0.06594845903065841,0.11611538834874609,0.05866543213927465,-0.10628771823142195,0.011432808365454619,0.06485285035574133,0.05962579241043547,-0.06942952805407639,-0.10066448021355114,-0.10028974105980283,0.27783342684373546,0.06266522208629398,-0.10626846532648045,-0.10774578841253242,-0.09617871966536722,-0.007304382347778452,-0.0958850803600414,0.15431996866576095,0.032723878488558726,0.06580183062349282,-0.007111315374736171,0.037533210588596905,0.05938834685484793,0.07295616453037179,-0.09844084972146513,-0.10775313344407172,-0.09867849035602189,-0.08435509208409134,0.03795769910104988,-0.021277675252752752,-0.08629368847593608,0.05953801949423984,-0.10462353368196257,-0.10167341554259177,0.06361226070863849,-0.09413939745889198,-0.012628292662438506,-0.09429262444696071,-0.07203477139314274,0.023893007025914428,0.32502738980945917,-0.04645625079328789,-0.03555228482775129,0.07719547613850625,-0.10638380325805949,0.08270627732305462,0.022298378640972144,-0.10677878512900535,0.1182919469745412,0.0708069873591249,-0.10176624240977028,-0.0778221380794284,0.0481052331964685,0.10066387175594545,0.054650367605861276;-0.1453642978395501,-0.1491685829917633,-0.10201704880942941,0.13783056050025894,-0.2666873075575033,-0.1730231873558492,0.5978215281708426,-0.2249300072589453,-0.21223052719613736,0.1718752149742616,-0.21915165218365767,-0.13482926748089902,-0.17374605584756164,-0.20228668089995216,-0.1427284372437951,-0.26459712924515344,0.6184107204041817,-0.22542991090796977,-0.11856508366238479,0.6480200205294835,-0.08672617919353952,-0.14969714605193238,-0.15521486895111825,-0.24100645895570377,-0.23027539140254838,0.6190333116122269,0.31672163213783516,0.4282857826288251,0.5073586001145611,-0.10584382149941725,-0.16382294064345432,-0.16034116555644845,0.14308293506672506,-0.11585003127995254,0.16851496290501622,0.09526655379620971,0.582519537765984,0.05666165936113531,0.25516240533784473,-0.25367118130626876,-0.14730474105203187,0.48638374386859,-0.13241832930893635,-0.09783742272616065,-0.09103118948956479,-0.1284617949858175,0.6093210601356706,-0.14367311681824882,-0.2079677389156536,0.3248327525552929,-0.12962118326360467,-0.13856422021768963,0.054577099245817426,-0.09974846002112708,-0.09664520606375997,0.800579523574419,-0.13510967332680954,-0.21830414439205104,-0.1804968367086298,-0.06933982015137591,-0.23055042837746142,-0.2522152355585214,0.7021884911407478,-0.1813877924068654,-0.13061716448502333,-0.23207262266310114,-0.17344289512219624,-0.14107261857856226,-0.1136958416922496,-0.24649266808592343,-0.18018239808415368,-0.08412993202478217,-0.006920087622541222,-0.17611166523387106,-0.2442734763683671,-0.021121057500665542,-0.14275708094812192,-0.13380527393871328,-0.10430343660070565,-0.1308747439426808,-0.25188622183409326,0.25213890153354335,-0.059057515505431944,0.0462660496677394,-0.19501503167157755,1.0873527307433146,0.13952671053155563,0.17802449253189295,-0.10307943846906072,-0.1443888521566945,-0.05931104696227925,-0.19624180104633196,-0.16041571277897,0.6128596671864256,-0.1174399676642407,-0.24038468857642786,-0.011595231699447034,-0.15992842964184742,0.5688480191903093,-0.1509660712074109;-0.2897682992770238,-0.2887338364446974,0.1550021674447703,0.24922509764589917,-0.1221034961484766,-0.277115271789613,0.3142436657640848,0.0430179083427876,-0.24417216331610173,0.25897720184894174,-0.23229507037788752,-0.2962216014255322,-0.2778084231438034,-0.13791656974138297,-0.2939539308144888,-0.053831907018297744,0.3163531975094374,0.040642050081434324,0.1449594902824322,0.3180118357070782,-0.2918567531890627,-0.28676107748366664,0.11791244851327418,0.019520938247772998,0.032524927878133124,0.31562461142626436,0.284785492138501,0.2984065018294602,0.3066556632046669,0.15172696187259455,-0.2844095433710191,0.1132241767363661,0.25049495087285295,-0.29635941275780836,0.25803678566410365,0.23811613075824387,0.31269262268328163,0.22656358498336618,0.27406513579390923,-0.17292652087399338,-0.29281815451733,0.3053284046885863,-0.2938950413533355,0.15806623989147509,-0.2884679582091442,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k{111}	=[0.4407698981675065;0.8640130251843524;-0.22448379784908504];
x_a_linear{111}	=[-13.627234605868424,-13.251930869699315,34.09555902379913];
L_a{111}	=[0.12182560481193974,0.11689682869854691,-0.21936243024512037,-0.10253877131688405,-0.1258196191401632,0.08599277798679617,0.24357340752642123,-0.22657220603064232,0.023353806012706542,-0.0821048826613965,0.006653986484311585,0.13676606904828403,0.08540516260915852,-0.05471248258817349,0.12725478565883644,-0.18027980840167163,0.2603967718327015,-0.22632944298977895,-0.22543243013638167,0.28605090023983143,0.17940605247665703,0.11439231789869418,-0.2320899434174402,-0.22087069559377284,-0.2233780220235336,0.26185541137994955,0.017506955966786218,0.10450288563836625,0.16784958699007632,-0.2194321005169536,0.09938565889631282,-0.23409603085311034,-0.0993249204281438,0.15411073404901005,-0.08350929584201024,-0.12866218590731965,0.22979128648797087,-0.15154726571408775,-0.02412443785094318,-0.07254222832432998,0.12095908014592875,0.15019828361907642,0.13778914047624638,-0.22036572259054368,0.1722499898554958,0.14328927484010404,0.25228928831428943,0.12746510461313604,-0.23093625376007063,0.02484059285312932,0.14090879507082826,0.12955172390436034,-0.1508527549178117,-0.21871838377982683,-0.2179041706445386,0.6036615691091832,0.13615563369365188,-0.23089442208078378,-0.2341042704505012,-0.2089719638406315,-0.015870570217288375,-0.20833396010645583,0.3352981514425494,0.07110068813588852,0.14297068850097602,-0.015451084652812338,0.08155014698919298,0.12903581493583802,0.15851524151326213,-0.21388699870416925,-0.23412022934110163,-0.21440333152981328,-0.18328221995574598,0.08247245286292175,-0.0462309916268521,-0.18749429822532246,0.12936101561947944,-0.22732040282439853,-0.2209105443516392,0.13821330842079338,-0.20454103392314388,-0.02743807701751171,-0.20487395730496377,-0.15651328792076308,0.051913444238343806,0.706202080738811,-0.10093765018627111,-0.07724609773685641,0.16772619041304504,-0.23114502215272528,0.17969976367204762,0.048448721206504605,-0.23200321757828504,0.2570183981634242,0.15384562462004991,-0.22111223359016266,-0.16908776786920487,0.10452047071382878,0.21871706175577418,0.1187413877305086;-0.016467537360811288,-0.025486680876518713,-0.33411199036943356,0.029340104272938785,-0.39980990799007116,-0.0820391079073958,0.8555327311432284,-0.46465320351931705,-0.1875211900700578,0.08500469698358225,-0.21211144660929504,0.009875150534907205,-0.0833836988908777,-0.2601748545252862,-0.008087368544313085,-0.45534096604838137,0.8939217706482513,-0.46489625336835827,-0.3570823477160693,0.9506742485126601,0.10309318603938616,-0.028665124716540116,-0.4007760700827041,-0.47469721050724234,-0.46661900279219565,0.8960876656029658,0.3352447489608228,0.538854356782503,0.6849507248909014,-0.33801247722119226,-0.05866861377140725,-0.40802489398510117,0.03799287212175135,0.04720579269549307,0.0801585150095834,-0.040863605255061955,0.8256486604185178,-0.10368190421165187,0.2296377063867716,-0.3304239972955624,-0.019324801158720633,0.6453000260233271,0.013368542539184158,-0.3309938909934427,0.09121675189470037,0.02314445697367937,0.8762540420601017,-0.008809521566009402,-0.4523082864772261,0.35111517448196733,0.01946641811239237,-0.0014928914811264075,-0.10503164185762381,-0.3311619725572227,-0.3271972458771066,1.439279580133137,0.008948877674297162,-0.46260043222715813,-0.4281892829877944,-0.2904411987287114,-0.24734217828189792,-0.47264157858289924,1.0569484414990522,-0.10616018830284833,0.020652009344553548,-0.24842053869195777,-0.08715931147245007,-0.004547143850662278,0.05402014173426454,-0.4727943661899131,-0.4278917295600088,-0.3109779325966079,-0.20084060574445828,-0.08885224206764784,-0.29318786561863797,-0.2194981366605467,-0.005887529827648491,-0.3743200947764033,-0.33803634986205877,0.015360915941710102,-0.46829948486171225,0.22310822898500307,-0.27582302587440716,-0.11933178024662827,-0.14008836171622985,1.8345450848555276,0.032730309730338934,0.09629477919884666,0.07438212739022662,-0.38895028570972207,0.13081907742231003,-0.1449809579543059,-0.4058851542206761,0.8847962519285283,0.045335359065834704,-0.4743309977778982,-0.190497405413798,-0.04934124971754077,0.8002601329677617,-0.025332545834488712;-0.3232576489503551,-0.32086828616101354,0.21530398283908594,0.2774125773879925,-0.0875162086266563,-0.30075432710829164,0.2472863538888926,0.10530166097205829,-0.25059202699722183,0.28154749098955256,-0.23412422345649275,-0.33381802228365354,-0.30128594545071913,-0.12287633691249679,-0.3289357396149636,-0.004273741048799171,0.24477121308856262,0.10285906816523877,0.2069299232813088,0.23937763859153174,-0.34117472730605947,-0.3182070476470483,0.18171300409244445,0.08023736948363697,0.09393061267182724,0.24364165308927013,0.279972903101965,0.26967909526810757,0.2605145131573338,0.21204792933349687,-0.3117302456850447,0.17757619736848745,0.277798956435794,-0.3387238095440838,0.2809931421192501,0.27348482800572943,0.24952395828830737,0.26822329503669057,0.2806968429470156,-0.15298496544985887,-0.3260693001810407,0.264039524176003,-0.3317727002717542,0.2186438561589518,-0.3358187606156101,-0.336180390081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x_a{111}	=[-13.627234605868424,-13.25193086969932,34.09555902379912];
std_x_a{111}	=[1.9250935826779065,4.441489786580732,2.531904769419312];
pred_a{111}	=[-13.627234605868424];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.1 to 11.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{112}	=[-9.256452118992373,-2.5888906042582165,34.69705645514471];
std_x_f{112}	=[2.25115627100141,2.73983503841028,2.998995549748418];
pred_f{112}	=[-9.256452118992373];
obs{112}	=[-9.151033045036908];
sqrt_r{112}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{112}	=[6.0815953329740555];
L_f{112}	=[-0.11785913840292236,-0.12115318923195964,-0.06646570210094115,0.06789216677951511,-0.1850095409316209,-0.1393846859806673,0.43563232330041174,-0.137560961821858,-0.16530940144142273,0.08941451866412677,-0.16956647710322556,-0.10937756294063102,-0.13969218537150707,-0.1527519583655473,-0.11600619395579412,-0.17208112674526954,0.45621770568680103,-0.13883286498549605,-0.07503558293544432,0.4865647711896502,-0.0691143363145629,-0.12196438236300047,-0.09515988329124661,-0.14860756413935972,-0.14232164227573685,0.45725577412498175,0.18876800931132492,0.2778266816360634,0.3480416121566368,-0.06808971691448061,-0.13302816815574575,-0.09851552423973009,0.07123880196277318,-0.09416716073715004,0.08759240229121101,0.042404948999381444,0.4196294327470243,0.020043650906244218,0.14528777668103354,-0.18474002675075213,-0.1200872762873493,0.3283015747388977,-0.10742603866281894,-0.06433018448982476,-0.07294837963685555,-0.1043860659757718,0.4468756103588606,-0.11613095145336666,-0.12637753902840074,0.19497435142154562,-0.10524819042379117,-0.11253606748075781,0.019006999771223058,-0.06521297266089446,-0.06364672169251115,0.7772781307290125,-0.10965171241396657,-0.13353236472202756,-0.10997495990186362,-0.048792330893491415,-0.17555990300813962,-0.15867355939342667,0.5469076083255633,-0.1447657235097906,-0.10565258510331507,-0.17657417794500258,-0.13982286163352636,-0.11467852491827617,-0.09236506930728078,-0.15367625693458944,-0.109649626546983,-0.05655556713533256,-0.014663028846389578,-0.14148280584041986,-0.1814782368155485,-0.022147483854563586,-0.11599208804449108,-0.08357876273943594,-0.06750444057814493,-0.10644855421914197,-0.15866093342482632,0.14317393058364283,-0.04329131925660663,0.014585165395601419,-0.15460241833171207,1.0439709531872388,0.06973864915102161,0.09347700019544676,-0.08320420229986461,-0.08912685184858572,-0.04835989536875666,-0.1560203933154956,-0.09842833399829086,0.4508857221322144,-0.09529433080156799,-0.14833981984679787,-0.019556471317447217,-0.12909312378915358,0.40654122911240725,-0.1222034183471964;-0.3523310418481584,-0.3490831271263944,0.22552153301667285,0.1807346295811516,-0.02823243138614446,-0.3227880971966266,0.2479102363770799,0.1798584473406765,-0.253932112655027,0.1757015842683421,-0.23174311459172514,-0.36438496755776345,-0.3223843218507072,-0.11531323009755334,-0.3585523335768426,0.07469451871318011,0.2618910425948779,0.17794591926757689,0.22721249241314653,0.28290698400051834,-0.37632544668560364,-0.3466240798593141,0.22162009243868533,0.16171938060632202,0.17022914652717017,0.2617972733487629,0.16263290902390568,0.1758589094956603,0.20141260184161056,0.22420957594017493,-0.33666722865726634,0.22176003753973933,0.1792556049127452,-0.3712296775200657,0.175312592068137,0.19017394516603958,0.2384206698597684,0.2001312713037187,0.16288670637000816,-0.11718095176237853,-0.3539300179980905,0.1938146072989654,-0.36288749472085063,0.22746980404057132,-0.3716661219296757,-0.36758647997730093,0.25609810547946765,-0.35971533245496207,0.1960663944818983,0.16228633976027493,-0.3652566829842074,-0.35740913848838374,0.19875355644903508,0.22444932084790314,0.22468978385258426,0.46580661240954097,-0.3638431530520876,0.19021832593002314,0.21299737025307308,0.2230451271897657,-0.20079138966423885,0.1325586304556151,0.3260718393933832,-0.3060123344051638,-0.3689433964593659,-0.20331746223915625,-0.31692059416894286,-0.3596828134676348,-0.3754867996645861,0.14584207964591986,0.21355371476560409,0.22527184828869098,0.21441139375957,-0.3200324567979994,-0.15715261009896578,0.2137675305926808,-0.3613994933969337,0.22316540381835634,0.22546565462869744,-0.3633328594794173,0.12672937324208372,0.16482315473975437,0.22167811567465387,0.20162208460244976,-0.28734484953045214,0.8167825895586569,0.1805107946286223,0.17362129044260813,-0.37801025559418455,0.22524976354345116,-0.35015490051874865,-0.283414552736805,0.21876311991799524,0.25727762812968574,-0.37260054362540357,0.16280255818482012,0.18839258932224584,-0.3404104397802114,0.23124842410759394,-0.35302869784657065;-0.08174536839650197,-0.07136839881166995,0.281024015232624,0.019109186573166924,0.3117162138715477,-0.011321400989722159,-0.5479973242920279,0.3733897225834085,0.10056108190776075,-0.020159230860440407,0.12636251264785267,-0.11049507523209723,-0.010669171681271855,0.18704534772583684,-0.09100188305657715,0.3621036889516032,-0.5701160782642907,0.37317812424002794,0.2974958638809915,-0.6025138737199491,-0.2054751475216531,-0.06805459211460627,0.3280669194433953,0.3800134509501386,0.3746747970694601,-0.5720487165005532,-0.20133070555239496,-0.34459462674802704,-0.4418008754531933,0.28375566715993145,-0.03668388399964009,0.3333950511902278,0.013211310682130814,-0.14884849386278917,-0.0167506101458659,0.07069863542113042,-0.5303886348209643,0.11602891687543035,-0.12594653532377925,0.24558601819637743,-0.07942876764367086,-0.415764277815965,-0.11405728278772714,0.27861163144553464,-0.19227565013756712,-0.12466842932197296,-0.5594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k{112}	=[0.8355694607666408;0.6041285568333229;-0.8931360017981085];
x_a_linear{112}	=[-9.168367160212886,-2.525203931246796,34.60290288491887];
L_a{112}	=[0.058337563895731026,0.059968043324981284,0.03289899447535833,-0.03360506169644035,0.09157546934137947,0.06899221506850838,-0.2156279847278536,0.06808951353781341,0.0818243532053077,-0.04425813107458745,0.08393150778657049,0.0541393790356277,0.06914442019747932,0.07560870758178853,0.057420398994099876,0.08517620154690139,-0.22581727574556443,0.06871907636241364,0.03714088846454137,-0.24083837548216716,0.034210007518278636,0.060369565275291664,0.047101954477513176,0.07355732772057864,0.07044594091314203,-0.22633109575698712,-0.09343582478112039,-0.13751782009871555,-0.17227259644600845,0.03370284447151718,0.06584588488324962,0.04876291959991217,-0.03526156917209826,0.04661057963619717,-0.043356225360946125,-0.020989474853358232,-0.20770692181474265,-0.009921146389593363,-0.07191410925152546,0.09144206601805419,0.05944044092302451,-0.162501731753068,0.053173419384185856,0.031841962353987806,0.036107770817112424,0.051668702793898326,-0.22119315333555112,0.057482151087189494,0.06255397636499009,-0.09650782144018291,0.052095434575191814,0.05570276616811042,-0.00940802791065009,0.0322789222031266,0.03150366398231354,-0.38473480487477774,0.05427507672215793,0.0660954505919425,0.05443507679711904,0.02415108204329194,0.08689811581900786,0.0785397639513672,-0.2707066925661711,0.07165570493390495,0.05229560064441232,0.08740015859429766,0.06920910194289602,0.05676323334400159,0.04571858580898524,0.07606621412358841,0.05427404426595575,0.027993705504086176,0.007257862171933016,0.07003073616273836,0.08982755498956774,0.010962495331318491,0.05741341689230369,0.04136956605748491,0.03341314614069364,0.05268958705719961,0.07853351438718448,-0.07086780403121512,0.021428207752790883,-0.0072193215538947095,0.0765246427224609,-0.5167416206509209,-0.034519028019203424,-0.04626896603503317,0.04118416725114356,0.04411574261443324,0.02393703640035885,0.07722650773980229,0.048719762434927226,-0.2231780664697992,0.04716850290413713,0.07342480045127465,0.00968000369353053,0.06389812838952881,-0.20122856191697544,0.06048788259196597;-0.22493833007909472,-0.2181299102195629,0.29736361624425234,0.10735069558061767,0.1717424491517929,-0.1721286458653912,-0.22296019209807355,0.32854665427578233,-0.07525090714214731,0.0790543648969664,-0.04846048045725611,-0.24615990212361075,-0.17139249763946154,0.04979476634559337,-0.23316245010837527,0.26069521138252444,-0.2312299107062753,0.3280089130483969,0.30831767033019275,-0.24301579545538515,-0.30162048239907674,-0.21479405276931277,0.3244774164304477,0.3223477446147813,0.32406312324393083,-0.2324457172855467,-0.04140446073189655,-0.12444104903976225,-0.17478194176291803,0.2978070398183638,-0.1928784710549868,0.32824443878612486,0.1022543278951641,-0.26944537696894794,0.08063487925391125,0.14433887867342643,-0.21515240135175037,0.17846629837671815,0.005846665953117662,0.08250261371228612,-0.22412893526060854,-0.1610431360273235,-0.246771811496704,0.2970036285858192,-0.29281698025914954,-0.2547566714808549,-0.22692507455133665,-0.2341905999103464,0.33266655652015487,-0.04845940036291038,-0.2514950131759965,-0.23577007848449263,0.1782090889070085,0.2949373419073473,0.2934848605983579,-0.37434520113792363,-0.24532176231544725,0.3345520643349256,0.3318681558233582,0.2757842480613735,-0.011030524064987578,0.30406722360410227,-0.26507488249711314,-0.1495365758087027,-0.25474462066559,-0.012460277453821608,-0.1657875233508748,-0.2357279935955344,-0.27565036091882167,0.3119491407588926,0.3320728509104073,0.2864021701342191,0.2302605084977381,-0.16710516962329605,0.03900532070114281,0.23770651458091324,-0.23602485686067035,0.3135048155598543,0.2984304994276156,-0.24827372898151107,0.2982243191129778,0.010067948492348641,0.26847125052097626,0.1858571316550263,-0.12023671023623624,-0.31163471042185814,0.10513101711754196,0.07258297721292434,-0.28807570231987845,0.3215860468583242,-0.29788319468943436,-0.1147737390920662,0.32515327814303085,-0.23008003983499561,-0.2695978967239154,0.3231415201837924,0.2095309749198601,-0.20087503053585076,-0.20817774448955553,-0.22094029925776365;-0.2700811389219644,-0.2649679750075616,0.17481358990351606,0.12759906454385217,0.016075884932447635,-0.23405442440513635,0.14813154943259146,0.15357096190001168,-0.16359894774676897,0.12272279336750949,-0.14460021076309956,-0.28527751360524367,-0.23389357095005323,-0.057048221664582115,-0.2763766976059515,0.08712262225091148,0.15890768936365846,0.15132689610774694,0.17759099676189125,0.175003697970325,-0.3159180199246332,-0.2629504333727523,0.1760039552504915,0.14254251337705,0.147248595557491,0.15863385690021983,0.10031555595908845,0.09936502599929865,0.11436036998502273,0.17495010932436444,-0.24925936088418793,0.17596986195306172,0.12704902272361837,-0.2993251138003601,0.123219720549191,0.13846061681784289,0.14016804514891026,0.14805813827246425,0.10621947012934826,-0.04962363424525949,-0.27132504328555396,0.1088529125099391,-0.28572123723556025,0.1758137064979018,-0.30884522186243907,-0.2914745882169988,0.15468236170816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x_a{112}	=[-9.168367160212885,-2.5252039312467955,34.60290288491887];
std_x_a{112}	=[1.114270599449444,2.3610715549872725,2.131728226760127];
pred_a{112}	=[-9.168367160212885];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.2 to 11.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{113}	=[-3.805061071931809,-0.27022236712801945,27.21440470759327];
std_x_f{113}	=[1.5646252866719985,2.4309040301135147,0.975132085394863];
pred_f{113}	=[-3.805061071931809];
obs{113}	=[-3.708358399756085];
sqrt_r{113}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{113}	=[3.47462839267647];
L_f{113}	=[-0.1630217929696411,-0.15795603516529416,0.19616112234651914,0.07043380861261762,0.11468008791503559,-0.12401186236925484,-0.12730441137431275,0.2173327160854324,-0.05469741469119613,0.05257982755222113,-0.03638244816665704,-0.17872605729852353,-0.12418686732418067,0.03138019196896994,-0.16853717654123462,0.17342262536623457,-0.13000248517419297,0.21673926280198877,0.2029927685894976,-0.13469339108263043,-0.2198711185859892,-0.15510525251406437,0.2153916292495629,0.213674244640889,0.2144997941286002,-0.13114723157996885,-0.024395911179634716,-0.07597186561040395,-0.10398327005727227,0.19621298453383318,-0.139367875786986,0.21627620916228657,0.06785068542569406,-0.19561537632474896,0.05383004712519463,0.09571366423840931,-0.12412500180473338,0.11767564466997846,0.00579150078918505,0.054094818960374,-0.16240677758491948,-0.09683738352827832,-0.17896533150972677,0.19552905423817263,-0.21265902938157813,-0.1851251970219846,-0.12827960936011248,-0.16920961926220687,0.22002096926129505,-0.029296640356895342,-0.18259082690438844,-0.17042204335717692,0.11733475587156084,0.19435358010581763,0.1930455189289013,-0.17424352719748695,-0.17786209020846594,0.22093517211366087,0.21866749609388852,0.18121331085854828,-0.009601654721243939,0.20162739794057835,-0.1395983423516012,-0.10809746638756905,-0.18438232734496166,-0.01100927772889431,-0.11977391684212112,-0.17031332841196034,-0.19962368165361297,0.20667490676925593,0.21898487348349277,0.1886068201788267,0.1517116420529209,-0.12010439432658719,0.025327102043357325,0.15700665304039918,-0.17098461496853914,0.20662871126787577,0.19650945117009136,-0.18023522285847812,0.19787828393974793,0.00814660136567887,0.176539412022569,0.12259598010097876,-0.08696202179836479,-0.023479258229613973,0.06969759913289506,0.048253385543711697,-0.2093180359438173,0.2117606573378233,-0.21704620630965524,-0.08282028311473011,0.2140686122218626,-0.12991220531070655,-0.19580854032078598,0.21391509843692616,0.13757859573259104,-0.14520513288765283,-0.12085443889686803,-0.15921400373404931;-0.30723255508614516,-0.30028151320824226,0.2756139714311871,0.13342591255647965,0.10728795307219416,-0.25450520118778713,-0.008856680740387363,0.28387806201742244,-0.15403759338678447,0.11373076483817682,-0.12560934166885165,-0.3292892206556643,-0.253968659434011,-0.012808603005014903,-0.31564469859014854,0.20381830671125986,-0.003961976576627454,0.2824432573569101,0.2838831267790843,0.0045487526962001805,-0.37759991342787197,-0.2968521273075416,0.29368539971867846,0.27433686106011473,0.2773699581180538,-0.004240856540318615,0.03574721674095586,-0.003917511361180543,-0.01492973022136264,0.2758087582509475,-0.2757815645039668,0.29573372044487944,0.12993121818088363,-0.35009260618397087,0.11509130866882306,0.1610613967440251,-0.011559189231229743,0.18739464133065775,0.06367928550991492,0.011301499552809277,-0.3069429715919552,-0.012900222538730173,-0.3286531694404928,0.27597512519459605,-0.36806906099514,-0.33709886291461033,-0.005443025571518717,-0.31699005845005834,0.2913237619597729,0.031822173497298205,-0.3332616987023349,-0.3177823597151198,0.18635457120037513,0.27404612418876245,0.2726224725645426,0.09267086033228986,-0.3281324244687148,0.2901121014662414,0.29553407720716623,0.26039845068318107,-0.0865336008812569,0.25203491202901973,0.02737058963800823,-0.2301953518794796,-0.3366831270956585,-0.08894355261639783,-0.24723310171252602,-0.31851458832226354,-0.3570551169071914,0.26171267808586124,0.29655574538973356,0.26819975398681606,0.22646173940987865,-0.24917312762460714,-0.03376946154049818,0.23178344410132487,-0.3188439576380579,0.2858691849580681,0.27632358617896335,-0.3301203490250849,0.2465129889847725,0.06723912681519996,0.25429450030553663,0.19254155840919945,-0.20093619148917957,0.4674228504942031,0.1328658427584147,0.10929127704755846,-0.3677864911781286,0.29242343942803906,-0.364653673026391,-0.1950745251314712,0.2924768973915198,-0.006648293870002662,-0.3508958023309036,0.27464676465311283,0.2031346689174951,-0.28369548782533843,-0.012635924416908343,-0.3039575178394816;-0.056091538097342374,-0.05711274267403218,-0.01660484945406681,0.01138974745655912,-0.07616082792546858,-0.0683544336247283,0.17833554361631845,-0.03529396200795562,-0.08116026921902575,0.019285439765865952,-0.08330199615840005,-0.05068458758579022,-0.06882618321100785,-0.07493540493433061,-0.05405444523947446,-0.05843826951501725,0.18833893667572274,-0.03640328545677157,-0.01800514915563588,0.2026204516741438,-0.028509815623934096,-0.05838309018877062,-0.02138400327137326,-0.04057808030399089,-0.03806416135216004,0.18885522625718376,0.05850595943761906,0.09956897508909825,0.13429213768725215,-0.016961180712534073,-0.06445613300985813,-0.022144470129437585,0.012991677335950481,-0.04256648384104804,0.019684222896602998,0.005043978015215848,0.16950746641438189,-0.0010652578083417733,0.040528878282023166,-0.08341217063915683,-0.05731563847774593,0.12411003101234944,-0.0502249421225826,-0.0162681569005084,-0.0312316534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k{113}	=[0.7121994391953641;1.0157976897989067;-0.06278526832926652];
x_a_linear{113}	=[-3.736189483039565,-0.17199201613453796,27.20833320437256];
L_a{113}	=[0.13424693205205307,0.13007532756062756,-0.1615368619323903,-0.058001587068461896,-0.09443798702987109,0.10212261660153775,0.1048340001197056,-0.17897147269409933,0.0450428128639184,-0.043298999527174836,0.02996060807542528,0.1471792478356219,0.10226673155613832,-0.025841296567160343,0.13878879918582124,-0.14281192090780906,0.10705583882903338,-0.17848276942831365,-0.1671626591480767,0.11091875626651895,0.18106182357176698,0.12772773453086617,-0.17737300571729064,-0.1759587554464031,-0.17663858778024943,0.10799852685959396,0.020089806220511038,0.06256212555806524,0.08562925689652143,-0.16157956996184833,0.11476815099499461,-0.17810144905774714,-0.055874409121022726,0.1610874451533964,-0.04432854373108635,-0.07881931332861514,0.10221578587559879,-0.0969048001891015,-0.00476924709734932,-0.044546580877648956,0.13374047259617514,0.07974468572456674,0.14737628792571084,-0.16101635971702546,0.17512273511162305,0.15244887995043396,0.10563706660150637,0.13934254951960678,-0.18118522421078118,0.024125511170632347,0.1503618497026741,0.14034096949849886,-0.09662408143043234,-0.16004836768908484,-0.15897119146167032,0.14348792593973766,0.14646777896313976,-0.1819380617668384,-0.18007065163107125,-0.14922747803593045,0.007906873464397186,-0.16603828910286783,0.11495793806994048,0.0890172593539907,0.15183713367260113,0.009066037934500521,0.09863270783009288,0.1402514437510656,0.1643882473549038,-0.1701948657323604,-0.18033200896300186,-0.15531596427611372,-0.12493312784246433,0.09890485296844324,-0.020856633246103394,-0.12929352020045531,0.1408042419942136,-0.1701568241661263,-0.1618237074826572,0.14842203165422624,-0.16295092855213072,-0.006708650543409966,-0.14537856576462002,-0.10095665070703704,0.07161241708124454,0.01933495103179595,-0.05739532540123316,-0.0397362147254419,0.17237145805316906,-0.17438293407939032,0.17873553455539776,0.06820173375166791,-0.17628351348569352,0.10698149420014445,0.161246513909656,-0.17615709630992848,-0.11329469549245814,0.11957507798977697,0.09952250770421996,0.13111125299057796;0.11675666409613997,0.11053261657705833,-0.23456445062254278,-0.04975926148500327,-0.19097352501071904,0.06802647839613846,0.32223830351798755,-0.2813637189571489,-0.011779839231616391,-0.023019540887861935,-0.030985392875738177,0.13554385534688687,0.06901817533401869,-0.09442261821334662,0.12268900258692295,-0.24722153390234985,0.3341501934387484,-0.28125506252767524,-0.24406313050407044,0.3548610923769065,0.19424377809237645,0.10654764953552187,-0.2665079771320427,-0.2813899193558409,-0.2805039222427304,0.3368485849545643,0.09919642278802708,0.19367111401956974,0.25551132355734196,-0.23450454766035664,0.08668823635892833,-0.2667602834549498,-0.04653573516675994,0.1586664324521982,-0.024910584534542726,-0.08787195766384795,0.3112667448816975,-0.11865772008391456,0.048616674230958785,-0.1293890157152155,0.11544670750428898,0.2389557157495715,0.13680221407156634,-0.23255940582563414,0.18501733424742162,0.14437717968378622,0.3281882664099858,0.12309254058303687,-0.28090966316393706,0.10801726032165618,0.14162292082492312,0.1254535278199607,-0.11881120215234227,-0.23143121827730304,-0.22945284722136106,0.5458457132047989,0.13445363458450782,-0.28449899443686494,-0.27317921713538046,-0.21090350702906632,-0.061561491238982045,-0.27236027134687296,0.3904397909675452,0.05094595772312007,0.1428608502949056,-0.060310478577615394,0.06427647351188545,0.1244385519561702,0.16212877484628901,-0.2758101325115352,-0.27298298823398637,-0.22233133982201272,-0.1681118907970908,0.06319595777966225,-0.09964052100990849,-0.1765615201907786,0.12585507352886766,-0.25153347977291973,-0.23476077405171092,0.13863778457698062,-0.268131449482226,0.046051339040919,-0.20485151995868572,-0.1263076759847619,0.02523577637568031,0.5284880135157334,-0.04840458800380418,-0.016206761508489414,0.17661060447346885,-0.2583264580099763,0.1998429495622552,0.020325554395377733,-0.26427555940599073,0.331229075091292,0.15836561976186955,-0.28170643147732244,-0.15468154889161384,0.09395592793206924,0.301683886751766,0.1101283531130981;-0.08229781633798862,-0.08250468403307414,0.014928682710971398,0.022712209027046258,-0.05772563445950757,-0.08828973988770557,0.15787094949694122,-3.570279650886067E-4,-0.08995305478671028,0.027737816381152646,-0.0891505918728936,-0.07941537689376357,-0.0887896220841024,-0.0698909380136602,-0.08114733915185476,-0.030560023970157647,0.167440618503717,-0.00156175094046777,0.014626592144659072,0.18096805527003265,-0.0638548060438323,-0.08331675905552294,0.013240894811249323,-0.006229257328145615,-0.003582628637437108,0.1677728864137299,0.05458423814710033,0.08735625302059533,0.11757649214162491,0.01458068846613973,-0.08685996788463317,0.012622627022994194,0.023898893535047615,-0.07401228557548117,0.028337576334647153,0.020430257792734084,0.14955397262277972,0.017851481053334086,0.041459880685735966,-0.07471625427589511,-0.08342305101460702,0.10854310973998403,-0.07899419553060315,0.015163768280502279,-0.0654172773455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x_a{113}	=[-3.7361894830395634,-0.17199201613453763,27.208333204372554];
std_x_a{113}	=[1.288454388339945,2.0903984807309595,0.9700854989486114];
pred_a{113}	=[-3.7361894830395634];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.3 to 11.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{114}	=[-1.7463175512716071,-0.9756102598465931,21.236112464546373];
std_x_f{114}	=[1.8307596198822258,2.425679126499095,0.9341474542075789];
pred_f{114}	=[-1.7463175512716071];
obs{114}	=[-1.7716252662454839];
sqrt_r{114}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{114}	=[4.368035368340226];
L_f{114}	=[0.12788503645428878,0.1220307964176582,-0.21435624722174987,-0.05628033485937169,-0.16898634706652416,0.08102009870720799,0.255957777438245,-0.2519176746661001,0.0036668504953614556,-0.03237341589850622,-0.016442034639515653,0.14569277717155132,0.08154620800592635,-0.08019897771694147,0.1341308867351855,-0.22090613428565362,0.2639267288217861,-0.2518856553409263,-0.22271611266494562,0.2793900893568889,0.1999412121356356,0.11800144860869442,-0.24044277528146069,-0.2519592577063212,-0.2509876903612504,0.2667725461265083,0.07400081623964552,0.15382112600109504,0.20398923116360204,-0.2144733596513118,0.09826811523250994,-0.2406526719841604,-0.05336399348649701,0.16775737129513563,-0.03437570408289156,-0.08862912604695061,0.24710945068249837,-0.1159081298491864,0.0304386860687873,-0.11096559156991624,0.12606622584774257,0.19102960619619694,0.14661912299154023,-0.21273469648318136,0.19081999321079604,0.1537399819329204,0.26002867777983363,0.13388083365691242,-0.25197332445655557,0.08174078690777763,0.15149589646458442,0.13634264892845846,-0.11635857329214969,-0.21213540238228412,-0.21032690989705652,0.41302017025553744,0.14462034547433045,-0.25415055247697454,-0.24602089719525738,-0.1940501779408329,-0.045778923392189474,-0.24315262122423037,0.30416860320964273,0.0636473311886945,0.15286693489396774,-0.04412597177803517,0.07709900955735013,0.13541807434086883,0.17127981841086318,-0.24640144382126097,-0.2464299568157896,-0.2047878543673029,-0.15835692604540647,0.07637992885951961,-0.08246272706705894,-0.16534333267510978,0.13658341771234167,-0.2287831958426291,-0.2145025141796842,0.1481454265913669,-0.24005464546248242,0.027958066304510042,-0.18943148298938078,-0.12255216758777832,0.03923991849854614,0.36435139245514586,-0.05449539534818505,-0.026477602348326194,0.18456697477285852,-0.2341719314034646,0.20307554595983066,0.034287885088863684,-0.23987326321304409,0.26246347317946156,0.16714713112019,-0.2518588355053329,-0.14635855760686806,0.10611725342559633,0.23969200186105824,0.12173138694250783;0.13988501737523215,0.13233036237609058,-0.26809810920827365,-0.0646813181547903,-0.240041406914087,0.07633837074410042,0.37616683617044133,-0.32092803770893563,-0.02698887715128837,-0.03311016613143838,-0.05221461985920509,0.16408147646066337,0.07703995675869246,-0.12935365471504637,0.14848439562746457,-0.29464512349356337,0.38890664660484303,-0.32100907574768106,-0.2783767056594135,0.41161583396762624,0.23974479046533342,0.12704389239735847,-0.3019068942197734,-0.3230384861780852,-0.32162616033268854,0.3921317150408561,0.11329713889802288,0.22699478130006676,0.2990438165014145,-0.26865292831554854,0.10038332718981582,-0.3018074549239053,-0.06086623892408477,0.19418123086221126,-0.03462830912547001,-0.10841695284002206,0.36325472557608973,-0.14331403892394864,0.05236506705233296,-0.17131793390385752,0.1382934020412223,0.28014938480389306,0.16595341817265977,-0.26642252857739523,0.22827272670098547,0.17614182658256267,0.3823846014985148,0.14788219283145318,-0.3190324455694197,0.12415095018434476,0.1720019195162957,0.15123261797757587,-0.14397270633517698,-0.2655942479095831,-0.26356256119044663,0.6074229637738944,0.16336354754908608,-0.32248686911953317,-0.30939359957663487,-0.24335494761508888,-0.09049805422360452,-0.31667643098851267,0.44971554848547474,0.053376639065436236,0.1746338308080594,-0.08908969157153061,0.0713756878137306,0.15005951065615677,0.19958199031114585,-0.31822888582278,-0.3094377399459709,-0.25541963970224657,-0.19800559475018153,0.06946165036109267,-0.13671893038836025,-0.20659579553013985,0.15240515648063066,-0.2867554872043421,-0.26840109957872843,0.16834661507507553,-0.31248029288866147,0.04955930212748745,-0.2373001804260374,-0.1518782697303867,0.019810452017968334,0.5932450507994429,-0.06225458237943084,-0.024453051941843707,0.21851104763107615,-0.2935060282938934,0.24645808729234572,0.013856910039348079,-0.3004761259388626,0.38571796888653587,0.19420391344926982,-0.32338706890432756,-0.18518448075419838,0.1104847747844967,0.3523037189494939,0.1319430412530142;-0.11082531617585462,-0.11053239512908744,0.08428242695312825,0.0047301962909427325,0.003672941249933863,-0.11101425800276589,0.06538449250536832,0.10017755698792956,-0.09489900905479598,-9.20693507241641E-4,-0.08872215875424985,-0.10951643231238743,-0.11079010748064942,-0.05145310330034304,-0.11006411487631991,0.05563431764780488,0.07446851802773923,0.09953241945592557,0.08994982653869452,0.08704118579993383,-0.09728539786311452,-0.11082987470280153,0.10103464063766376,0.09632302572227107,0.09758266494422285,0.07494485853739999,-0.007816689366385087,0.008398144253740062,0.031177828964131543,0.08371051265409311,-0.11166002502801589,0.10111918064183789,0.0047473575997965135,-0.10646832627934351,9.052174755345091E-4,0.01707330508069024,0.05849491016245337,0.028268195658149083,-0.008604015070776766,-0.03998906211883545,-0.11162318294385742,0.024081158211043955,-0.10944453757708103,0.08300018433598448,-0.09887501717342397,-0.10877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k{114}	=[0.7710641247898179;1.0145521459523306;-0.14797125748491255];
x_a_linear{114}	=[-1.7658314223683695,-1.0012862563824896,21.239857278955128];
L_a{114}	=[-0.08310471018698572,-0.0793003955064078,0.13929709288936892,0.03657316795922713,0.10981395312453647,-0.05265003638475109,-0.1663313981359623,0.16370598096978167,-0.0023828632040539185,0.021037514791417966,0.010684678688657549,-0.09467687822497257,-0.05299192283221108,0.05211643977472901,-0.08716350855665088,0.1435534662798382,-0.17150993515315352,0.16368517355702478,0.14472966118759464,-0.18155863304163494,-0.1299296379753223,-0.07668196733693133,0.1562491414971968,0.1637330032595045,0.16310164071015648,-0.173359258802825,-0.048088631459195945,-0.09995899795146157,-0.13256019943487848,0.139373197137277,-0.0638584736998384,0.15638554060322762,0.03467801500530286,-0.10901531648854043,0.02233868014967824,0.0575946806481177,-0.160581408527609,0.07532164674226913,-0.01978025150052167,0.07210979160522467,-0.08192277575170828,-0.12413852707266118,-0.09527885405449514,0.13824334564951588,-0.12400231233725381,-0.09990626735485694,-0.1689768287701301,-0.0870010142635155,0.16374214438526793,-0.05311836783074408,-0.0984479726422651,-0.08860079833793152,0.07561436255031782,0.13785390084852356,0.13667867153298183,-0.268396698332527,-0.09397997006539499,0.16515699250717913,0.15987402379685098,0.1261014130083168,0.02974893909921983,0.15801010562536305,-0.1976606827394772,-0.04136053098364009,-0.09933892716273279,0.02867478633939703,-0.05010195893604364,-0.08799997352466014,-0.11130434071543793,0.16012131791306247,0.16013984677470694,0.13307917610120534,0.10290653863800117,-0.04963467210834971,0.053587512848588724,0.10744657955527809,-0.08875725933259909,0.14867228968535423,0.13939214289276353,-0.09627070596960416,0.1559969195249052,-0.018168247529532815,0.1231000039613741,0.07963920293215579,-0.025499637369601487,-0.23676981854740015,0.03541324428956886,0.017206184011922438,-0.11993885581812942,0.15217410130830852,-0.13196645097011006,-0.022281611924575957,0.15587905022846069,-0.17055905427250947,-0.10861875849951073,0.16366774497643358,0.09510952845254604,-0.06895915140881485,-0.15576125949592054,-0.07910582749165482;-0.1377314523148777,-0.1325775567536972,0.1972325210175186,0.057493631392342634,0.12679895532958194,-0.09954236089317027,-0.1794735775344995,0.22594200613972434,-0.034948980362953415,0.03716696466302677,-0.016521784030234656,-0.15219254260466478,-0.09998286788829099,0.04474456415273599,-0.1426907432648498,0.1849041876191039,-0.18403299312034904,0.22579145964038747,0.20510175793118335,-0.1948921080415867,-0.19429327213862813,-0.12911700405571558,0.2200531121019276,0.22392182731544683,0.22322504717094013,-0.18698570572443732,-0.04734593497700498,-0.10692448828895554,-0.143781800791826,0.1969319328988978,-0.11293988864788385,0.22060820112210067,0.054977833932575805,-0.1699912358680565,0.03999544573435225,0.08398167147963366,-0.17317748907209177,0.10830262170558227,-0.01371209727206978,0.06956932423698069,-0.1353747419211565,-0.13454311049391507,-0.15233153871141333,0.19538799324520897,-0.18596473477408892,-0.15760129315838112,-0.1820930383012558,-0.14275012373582588,0.2279584044250847,-0.05329427186976181,-0.15686967574707555,-0.1447438771086659,0.10862178971511631,0.1949153092559351,0.19302106911818334,-0.2891729535923643,-0.1505824063256547,0.22923036930552962,0.2246755522412465,0.1778946906248586,0.008880133019563308,0.21116618587851718,-0.2105822952252387,-0.08479079537180839,-0.1572140536219566,0.006700221355790128,-0.09599303211908346,-0.14390989165294418,-0.17223710467252148,0.21666636742019926,0.2255194101154385,0.1891396515263588,0.1457601184137468,-0.09634606876749251,0.0422934998701153,0.15233620759337338,-0.1440940063206662,0.20989357288295096,0.1972470511140389,-0.15325168501792472,0.20863715019723278,-0.011132862350992517,0.1739230636199657,0.11416145674496814,-0.0653726776626324,-0.19769930128844504,0.05604556977588119,0.033025279328197335,-0.18215218380287979,0.21484105201508122,-0.1943840762074574,-0.06057620485375328,0.22024756740781545,-0.1840451939267426,-0.16864382657544616,0.22335524522282132,0.13253483339150818,-0.11987757319633936,-0.16802648710559215,-0.13231491128343714;-0.07033527504543287,-0.07189588140455,0.016414492539441983,-0.013088878844594263,-0.04983030145077916,-0.0853622566427923,0.14642400442536024,0.020417193371373415,-0.09373803720466603,-0.011170531780785692,-0.0939279175926563,-0.06338823230057378,-0.08497153317567116,-0.07684512723378786,-0.06759655751898347,-0.014307394933914896,0.15803110206181106,0.019782193567982123,0.019435051610865884,0.1754996679112185,-0.03398144825731359,-0.07346910412255282,0.024907377193992705,0.01654949638237791,0.018116746274456298,0.15940846479355977,0.015612917226400578,0.057099883653394884,0.09576343326139176,0.01580549894464772,-0.08054708063756251,0.024925461212688866,-0.01214836649005159,-0.05335419305469992,-0.00997857089247351,-0.010987811829395514,0.13673292845810192,-0.008429803381178418,0.0010332629490149405,-0.07512219021027951,-0.07170900055586016,0.08456357919214935,-0.06302304460940435,0.015645653663033738,-0.0384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x_a{114}	=[-1.76583142236837,-1.0012862563824885,21.239857278955128];
std_x_a{114}	=[1.1896993725824312,1.5861542613250692,0.8990603528094534];
pred_a{114}	=[-1.76583142236837];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.4 to 11.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{115}	=[-1.7268125747435121,-2.2869698119106774,16.76321569327454];
std_x_f{115}	=[1.7606244473990664,2.624030198594091,0.9472241525725227];
pred_f{115}	=[-1.7268125747435121];
obs{115}	=[-1.8305696139536751];
sqrt_r{115}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{115}	=[4.1228054920279575];
L_f{115}	=[-0.15168074119244462,-0.1459886448375925,0.21735323069912843,0.05869068423324894,0.15039033110425507,-0.10808409550764721,-0.20482823048586618,0.2523561764612407,-0.033497129420013566,0.03570495253055112,-0.012345742369337871,-0.16752863285683064,-0.10904733869924836,0.05712936261635688,-0.1572473648213136,0.21149251573282368,-0.2089047507111911,0.2512868292055818,0.22624232020001103,-0.21953374219064792,-0.2144831441804938,-0.14208206149099012,0.2435703032868896,0.2504773572431325,0.2495830211217511,-0.21167607169533845,-0.06183020636502166,-0.12892022947779125,-0.1680619875060656,0.21760882756154049,-0.12385155231787517,0.24396955317855204,0.055736416343597696,-0.18724016857346817,0.03908683034178714,0.08958752105769154,-0.19878661693572297,0.11726599863592638,-0.023339105270954164,0.08670681306346191,-0.1494847407787587,-0.15820575721319682,-0.16822525530471075,0.21630420565887948,-0.20534027818790537,-0.17404155792550788,-0.2064857447978987,-0.15731852228626875,0.25366961943910415,-0.0682967767660362,-0.17280398748923792,-0.15892966142387785,0.11768889283291989,0.2157731936226924,0.21327776812708374,-0.29821032759297406,-0.16643694728488834,0.25473712002512805,0.2487040085102609,0.19653864203516883,0.017624829542499186,0.23865115935270348,-0.23321326381730162,-0.09160744810005787,-0.17362750203700988,0.01505308938072035,-0.10449223326192002,-0.15892077608077798,-0.19036678719408381,0.24372637603236083,0.24971134623322552,0.2086440700109944,0.16017038378594536,-0.1039931929964104,0.05585957817469611,0.16783252780878047,-0.15874662866896702,0.23183363053773082,0.21787409641844274,-0.1692472535237339,0.23512250220849856,-0.020052036794952603,0.19187076484666118,0.12420785436891262,-0.06881933616662152,-0.21302928125921536,0.05746693355352594,0.030218584740036608,-0.20082235204723514,0.2373015882424025,-0.2143749819949106,-0.06308436307435486,0.24340026684599866,-0.20873193570204318,-0.1864850839854378,0.24950775889756407,0.1459450674486306,-0.13177010013528326,-0.19327416266493483,-0.14555906983672393;-0.24379955735449557,-0.23567942940969694,0.32865512381242534,0.08595671471701403,0.21901313770644612,-0.18102878473941797,-0.27425880513191436,0.3807460880890479,-0.06900003166061563,0.05085189073579829,-0.03647253491109737,-0.2663766094932302,-0.18214523489645015,0.07324659914769431,-0.25165915558599977,0.31653598534044586,-0.27775384041513485,0.37964326458111763,0.34227117049128886,-0.2889053591757075,-0.32918535650300706,-0.22983173366132767,0.36860506955898287,0.37766655862916754,0.3766717522983628,-0.28137030438385074,-0.09236468080580172,-0.1833385567284429,-0.2330711239747113,0.32885045096702564,-0.2037885879798617,0.3692197706210163,0.08140634498885735,-0.2938563744447888,0.05581471994277009,0.13368143459510384,-0.26775966795447775,0.17546537539579934,-0.035178130569406905,0.1186591399999576,-0.24066622877483643,-0.2209418626194249,-0.2670830066123256,0.32728061065203984,-0.3168442025076096,-0.2757098229047809,-0.2755959538719059,-0.25195728507512916,0.38316742825679906,-0.1014009918503916,-0.27366609072975556,-0.2542640012130094,0.17559848564308114,0.32550628934808884,0.32231434358408934,-0.35153474380893834,-0.2648806961399464,0.38511948827941295,0.3761485909371902,0.29683888778776096,0.009819084108279294,0.3588743978279792,-0.29993337744881166,-0.1563134005271025,-0.2746476841233636,0.006049340509862867,-0.1754800750017071,-0.2540215585271475,-0.2975797931142433,0.36689232107526554,0.3769933547442363,0.3154905664596251,0.24140247173469628,-0.17596316768575174,0.0702515184505908,0.25246164565627793,-0.2539532397160568,0.3511125311246582,0.32945712202850047,-0.2684491283976228,0.35394611289450956,-0.03140834711181161,0.28964264656617317,0.18572098565426262,-0.12230386965358304,-0.2141077790499237,0.08377585641328426,0.04292414886886941,-0.31150686597788835,0.359303657062128,-0.32774863590355136,-0.1139185281659177,0.3685809965698494,-0.27891672501462894,-0.29258318773500036,0.3763525863899908,0.218760267860571,-0.2153623267738274,-0.2619487468355227,-0.23523114545543022;-0.017159631745328186,-0.02174243139582138,-0.03641307783117017,-0.050678253924656115,-0.08784375361780972,-0.050362395439991506,0.1786789875038049,-0.029426535567620305,-0.08728098242695599,-0.04463669101680016,-0.09432385629832941,-0.002564857165242501,-0.050343766695001305,-0.0978983266020546,-0.012273452274738887,-0.0599170577257936,0.19074513601704626,-0.029809120933748125,-0.032645622249779786,0.21137463432435616,0.04786671315436906,-0.024775758811910843,-0.026908818979795027,-0.032703244605152705,-0.031547212770544335,0.19377058915512335,0.006188067370984972,0.06781893538363899,0.11827158913598983,-0.03689231780596655,-0.039251510117187485,-0.026590878745050235,-0.04930940796106086,0.01607732163200403,-0.04372166884094944,-0.05349468927860294,0.16782078687519186,-0.054896247310630204,-0.018350417285935665,-0.10203649407643302,-0.019499318514578926,0.10415993638479391,-0.0019960410357914267,-0.037096829383239785,0.03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k{115}	=[0.7574467187613761;1.126126437057148;-0.22218723977386529];
x_a_linear{115}	=[-1.8054030036416455,-2.403813356796017,16.786269183423755];
L_a{115}	=[0.1041058994998129,0.1001991358170739,-0.14918013594365404,-0.040282282551677075,-0.10322022804344679,0.0741833926706034,0.14058361668098338,-0.1732043668714589,0.022990715640739928,-0.02450605245312647,0.008473485850930747,0.11498308142763083,0.07484451350974478,-0.03921067128410815,0.10792654512367007,-0.1451576410739523,0.1433815315747945,-0.17247042163191922,-0.15528115213693355,0.15067672745823735,0.1472102554148821,0.09751785690142728,-0.16717419308330045,-0.1719148414962464,-0.17130101494424205,0.14528362449436533,0.042437089898729,0.08848424887691857,0.1153491487679833,-0.14935556455154153,0.08500536823024693,-0.16744821777997548,-0.03825462423726163,0.1285120709365869,-0.02682720033761952,-0.06148829040752319,0.13643696227961868,-0.08048538115493492,0.016018767634256092,-0.05951111984138608,0.10259867718159739,0.10858433662209237,0.11546120743082801,-0.14846013883291748,0.1409350600230225,0.1194532199390801,0.1417212496924747,0.10797538396660454,-0.17410584692474212,0.04687541293818703,0.11860381491607322,0.10908118743131302,-0.08077563409294901,-0.14809567934229367,-0.14638294696893647,0.20467630992659505,0.11423380431080954,-0.17483852470473557,-0.17069770566534864,-0.13489406733306586,-0.012096781164358682,-0.16379794439139997,0.16006565114409357,0.0628746649730506,0.11916903316377558,-0.01033167030903884,0.07171812221483455,0.10907508898645772,0.13065802197383203,-0.1672813134298055,-0.17138909073457292,-0.143202613680783,-0.1099327557749083,0.07137560651166049,-0.0383391562161389,-0.11519165937284316,0.10895556311382779,-0.15911874145456795,-0.14953763152154756,0.11616265471439352,-0.16137605468321473,0.013762692026229862,-0.1316902752784923,-0.0852499157266877,0.04723407097224163,0.14621239829749672,-0.03944236270242982,-0.020740490330156323,0.137834186694935,-0.16287166783662926,0.14713601842517918,0.04329787889087403,-0.16705748877075838,0.14326292019517617,0.12799381951180253,-0.17124935880460476,-0.10016922652707445,0.09044025427301501,0.1326534957313915,0.09990429751712637;0.13648870741034883,0.13033782488510517,-0.216284743264923,-0.061190367301829494,-0.1580398592886421,0.08995560527705315,0.23927885122418213,-0.25195185164066897,0.014982714742095827,-0.03866622695408795,-0.005519752732161337,0.15364489479728438,0.0912541623186993,-0.06998599587853647,0.14258553913678976,-0.21371011700912032,0.24600431453940105,-0.2503736478204849,-0.2249550883524417,0.2615014045220737,0.20855873731192226,0.1263910814030275,-0.24206525850658137,-0.25032087603151965,-0.24907343638539292,0.24933600258973873,0.06265369333817639,0.13988540681345488,0.18828758708620322,-0.2167302389763097,0.10672737831305078,-0.24245154179703862,-0.05833390739180192,0.17558515281370277,-0.04218231494102638,-0.09092903776795236,0.2306306815299527,-0.11853953773020771,0.023336798714821125,-0.09872892933547975,0.1341163061249097,0.17570567755894365,0.15468504334916813,-0.2150291801933826,0.1979772406401027,0.16064064281774762,0.24209736019386666,0.14246581297467578,-0.2528235264396997,0.06983012504160278,0.1595815848162912,0.14419848444869224,-0.11946669195084383,-0.2154721680384959,-0.21240767660345147,0.3961270036465571,0.1524037750337798,-0.25354786384436007,-0.2473927702988485,-0.19591542334766082,-0.034369227412359545,-0.23946283708315055,0.28477016975171565,0.07336135714900137,0.16066467620678154,-0.03169120054327779,0.08649893272322523,0.14441865013562416,0.17970067507022108,-0.2441693067234471,-0.24907356584552662,-0.20761401962152468,-0.1601707064936176,0.0847646650045223,-0.0697975206531916,-0.16832177265864923,0.14405035308810066,-0.23013205126744898,-0.2167886400426117,0.15588123716339727,-0.23554420518479086,0.018865367387502736,-0.1914085379745499,-0.1256882877761017,0.050237388566327514,0.3199912441832534,-0.06030308380431242,-0.03283875329059315,0.19198740221759056,-0.23564998378374083,0.2097242777368529,0.04424422063621424,-0.24166302250918886,0.2444081546312717,0.17496521976764554,-0.24920390766837394,-0.14714773083921706,0.115006725581731,0.22262098407364742,0.1297090945105766;-0.09219134851001122,-0.09395844619242981,0.07110476468131174,-0.021645808793553527,-0.01345036234841475,-0.10382821566965127,0.07735687070502295,0.09540616901439947,-0.1038509642671921,-0.02697456816384163,-0.10043090876539675,-0.08543603007532344,-0.10428607319285486,-0.06963821842300212,-0.09005880357583934,0.04470167246739685,0.08740649221208335,0.09449461101945297,0.07926937471014742,0.10277816100253297,-0.05823138735881024,-0.09505930905912764,0.09357778904200308,0.09120006689560346,0.09191369863363807,0.08906105957051644,-0.02439740112693212,0.004046131615869551,0.035136582368941224,0.07075196047704053,-0.10051699788659986,0.09409322570611663,-0.021738346719572386,-0.07654453124746867,-0.024386636849555863,-0.009178545694346594,0.06948726726503296,0.003111573106170476,-0.02989554241167307,-0.05914534660312376,-0.09344474258475494,0.02590049835434407,-0.08521181127438178,0.06990209326453022,-0.06281453992665326,-0.0825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x_a{115}	=[-1.8054030036416446,-2.4038133567960167,16.78626918342376];
std_x_a{115}	=[1.2084025324302068,1.8097966919907762,0.8642354287852803];
pred_a{115}	=[-1.8054030036416446];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.5 to 11.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{116}	=[-3.0140195195699317,-4.9071417397843735,13.97780202591605];
std_x_f{116}	=[2.104622542425315,3.368812780431698,1.5559664568545928];
pred_f{116}	=[-3.0140195195699317];
obs{116}	=[-3.2212388193692374];
sqrt_r{116}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{116}	=[5.457162945918942];
L_f{116}	=[0.16651396288043224,0.1591800055906467,-0.25161383610686067,-0.07872096376261055,-0.19100934365066935,0.10920825934077312,0.27268298005718344,-0.2886483160884573,0.01587077164005628,-0.052075708764946986,-0.00953914951829815,0.18793080460160838,0.11064897120810967,-0.08904669794338466,0.17401020995242011,-0.2513243069333978,0.2796304096209129,-0.2877441412671572,-0.260351167090976,0.2954425325975301,0.25325644435626254,0.1539733120077161,-0.27836190192109345,-0.2878667291200973,-0.2861140198810174,0.28311496929771396,0.06992790025718089,0.16112647509827982,0.21703449351247617,-0.25257493091505856,0.13007765377468963,-0.27871091328343345,-0.07529928002249271,0.21491039531950376,-0.05605995481918782,-0.11398654484839552,0.263129192938165,-0.14582508270440686,0.02173058446371435,-0.12316266299569041,0.16344073126355785,0.20181590027546395,0.18870108044342693,-0.25091187343034926,0.2404406623963865,0.19641862286182107,0.2753998146877221,0.17461024630236543,-0.2898464960507655,0.07870502615013875,0.19515776684660674,0.1764379310127256,-0.14660083198720802,-0.25063675524372375,-0.24795085958349797,0.42790941089335577,0.18612539559112617,-0.2905646986328852,-0.28439778005688915,-0.2306302592609016,-0.045420886827229584,-0.27680368185045556,0.3196253600897072,0.08869102344200537,0.1955320261224215,-0.042322759653697715,0.10470445890018829,0.17641933743557767,0.21920953335783397,-0.28177166073409193,-0.28550958285844474,-0.24334883192843698,-0.1918514193283578,0.10322815611489655,-0.08878973137190166,-0.2008798658128502,0.17599992617167334,-0.26587842163471,-0.25256812414038277,0.1898522933587522,-0.2730879577954061,0.016904747236147315,-0.22603209523138731,-0.15341292936958467,0.0594508380489488,0.335621029597785,-0.07764476436362998,-0.0449612338635055,0.23403217701572993,-0.2720535021124686,0.2540479904191252,0.05281705539228017,-0.27805982414340913,0.27824312775537935,0.21348438346510656,-0.286412833364259,-0.17859730269130736,0.14043751739523486,0.254255405711232,0.15786331068927137;0.26045668812154416,0.24778254573760555,-0.3957345045298345,-0.14145951028427087,-0.31998549700925266,0.16104188179613854,0.452650936041361,-0.4453685018567901,0.003248525536778341,-0.09865617654916793,-0.03892671114774403,0.2974185171156301,0.16400553941658388,-0.16584392299490905,0.27367187932472786,-0.40055886526818485,0.4654771932779969,-0.44344612039642245,-0.40739039851246867,0.49372737468266287,0.41112788310306336,0.2387420112405667,-0.4304061773420236,-0.44483494176838834,-0.44214058761172964,0.47186669884452725,0.10429367711687769,0.26044275762366326,0.3567642299490914,-0.39673153994765614,0.19741970337831663,-0.4308294747849392,-0.13548712200733481,0.3430009642922373,-0.10449448348852872,-0.19589442442094607,0.43725034668725826,-0.24475245218798736,0.023021060940616088,-0.21939336242768864,0.25509452120163545,0.33090883339896854,0.29862703934517754,-0.3943985089674095,0.3890195606227627,0.3119078716078705,0.4581767790422932,0.27393397079086074,-0.44618809431268,0.11837888765808864,0.30988360222963834,0.27739993396949353,-0.24592806913212886,-0.39488134158848603,-0.3904635886675248,0.7172367321436638,0.29504941307401644,-0.44699758586321914,-0.4387403908293834,-0.36731993427952647,-0.09743745654471087,-0.4317434929870475,0.5347133758704817,0.12602561076918997,0.3111998868940265,-0.09187142100434088,0.15384719473394554,0.2771931553938624,0.35188393405677304,-0.43868421693615,-0.4400532176442756,-0.3846573183597675,-0.3129321896113339,0.15140460600487773,-0.1664721562774095,-0.32553076030927924,0.2769365359942829,-0.41475502742607845,-0.39692526137757417,0.3011164421912425,-0.42706616143863385,0.014753902418776565,-0.3605574939767747,-0.2563735866660216,0.07632956696583512,0.5713597635380705,-0.13943160323526615,-0.08691505251158194,0.37737452553556616,-0.4220046337071856,0.4128861993051754,0.06514258729541889,-0.4306614741403071,0.4630204985579327,0.3419244373488878,-0.4431343745007143,-0.29414946156004385,0.2151826094765754,0.4221779509845759,0.2451083057439108;-0.16782794720120256,-0.16800951734697106,0.19657754200193886,-0.009978989269567206,0.07809835624767891,-0.16148055967879027,-0.05295153713303987,0.2515824219338724,-0.12484006654145678,-0.030256959858036194,-0.10958908598209008,-0.16700596904152143,-0.16245717149344271,-0.040003808665432634,-0.16785038393529708,0.1750188031149922,-0.04541866106353607,0.24912076707456696,0.21124264689805575,-0.033931902373611454,-0.15490114918800912,-0.16729993558450118,0.23917225856676622,0.24657154916460433,0.24598044980521697,-0.04424904591864522,-0.0868018867806546,-0.09346082520062785,-0.07949656329930317,0.19700878164727714,-0.1645863245899182,0.2401718343209377,-0.011709998934406139,-0.16526422966588267,-0.025876926002776506,0.02329360192750607,-0.05805292704613883,0.055620346035282035,-0.07133897001786617,-0.009125823036037064,-0.16820574585350595,-0.08501911160460919,-0.16761580008053553,0.19503854976578267,-0.15744055122562567,-0.16672023718269172,-0.047932003952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k{116}	=[0.816754601262578;1.306107459034137;-0.50284051899574];
x_a_linear{116}	=[-3.1832668361514243,-5.177792412908078,14.082000286173066];
L_a{116}	=[-0.08955518429758591,-0.08561080698918652,0.13532392764295048,0.04233801355689591,0.10272938483531129,-0.058734808918722854,-0.14665541622699427,0.15524195507287047,-0.008535679858815998,0.0280075593373575,0.005130382331761878,-0.1010736730431181,-0.05950965815398931,0.0478914398976712,-0.0935868449250748,0.1351682119417534,-0.15039190969704067,0.1547556682693012,0.14002307282582813,-0.15889604690458434,-0.13620736157220925,-0.08281052288487188,0.14970967597396362,0.1548215989430584,0.15387895007319444,-0.1522659890754528,-0.037608894093595586,-0.08665766475696893,-0.11672633170949033,0.13584082737428085,-0.06995886744437624,0.14989738261631136,0.04049775035822133,-0.1155839409943381,0.030150381978187233,0.06130468493307802,-0.1415171614441328,0.07842821064910578,-0.011687227082209366,0.06623982032714394,-0.08790232696912303,-0.10854140896478759,-0.10148794577905412,0.13494639535810446,-0.12931472809282626,-0.10563862432665429,-0.1481165947482135,-0.09390955879828404,0.1558863648598341,-0.04232944192844216,-0.10496050586222078,-0.094892531266435,0.07884542713226543,0.1347984302296513,0.13335389142524876,-0.2301398963325571,-0.10010268097813206,0.15627263135359878,0.15295591532529715,0.12403845909031123,0.024428437233778525,0.14887162802177847,-0.17190214882802357,-0.04770014966008428,-0.10516179143515955,0.022762190480632178,-0.056312557525992846,-0.0948825311967748,-0.1178961200613865,0.15154352566215873,0.15355386941319205,0.1308788110916704,0.10318227323700098,-0.055518566645415615,0.04775323714116144,0.10803798728555886,-0.09465696180676267,0.14299576226736876,0.13583716652836705,-0.10210709556694142,0.14687322292233443,-0.009091776617702477,0.12156545670678506,0.08250913572449875,-0.03197407992711474,-0.1805050017418529,0.041759207828838865,0.024181224896943767,-0.12586809167023913,0.14631686796128118,-0.13663307394079063,-0.028406273251138286,0.1495472113338534,-0.1496457963922377,-0.11481699777695265,0.1540396590978272,0.09605389290420505,-0.07553064941260655,-0.13674462683635236,-0.084902657038776;-0.14903451356952074,-0.14367298535986794,0.22303433819767898,0.05213111414028525,0.14974475451265037,-0.10752311166422603,-0.21793115360896376,0.26447554831478226,-0.03578088219714117,0.029408426515888483,-0.015468030975898179,-0.16474098999033446,-0.10810245322319442,0.053139750906607885,-0.15425409605487034,0.21749796720436204,-0.22219001783303313,0.264174382706134,0.23286529193860234,-0.232825015346554,-0.21168046246445027,-0.13990921699107106,0.2541415191447203,0.2630870294293644,0.26147112034977343,-0.22436974276666338,-0.06767304214622509,-0.13579953203716186,-0.1769670801432202,0.2244008275025896,-0.12246731291712887,0.25457651057858205,0.049688896444785344,-0.18550676270527613,0.033368179008669695,0.08442133060134444,-0.20983706599788807,0.1138606474005748,-0.030418800747651183,0.08348830587896168,-0.14683898811277007,-0.16539690633954307,-0.1654267304078562,0.22264406687548605,-0.2022722090097422,-0.17112488143486626,-0.21908655137853744,-0.1554676142117801,0.266602520483987,-0.07517254298373433,-0.17004845321454176,-0.15649629397726592,0.11459275339167624,0.22148466350382803,0.2192972607820011,-0.3350782560441979,-0.16267023149755439,0.2675592330001961,0.2606507394951737,0.19984608818120456,0.014261605846301702,0.2489722281014358,-0.25130943284770757,-0.09208338826145618,-0.16965254710547922,0.012208725847484433,-0.10364205094714043,-0.15665734722080915,-0.18719623486151626,0.25424875973766153,0.262072058558363,0.2137862229067828,0.1588688947416821,-0.10245411529764273,0.05187958533248033,0.16847308311801884,-0.15588255027855116,0.23909328952918088,0.22419036684976507,-0.16576839080684358,0.24451184962160938,-0.026818258499550645,0.19530072173041352,0.12089954836594859,-0.0698719568768588,-0.25399960179921316,0.051512431212542856,0.023653631133886847,-0.19815749437895902,0.2470294435388922,-0.21186871664519707,-0.06474513568129471,0.2531433525591331,-0.22123510845471028,-0.18307644074669802,0.2612121756939409,0.1450570940509193,-0.13018138742727,-0.2030870407320846,-0.14310920874463723;-0.010177237102055358,-0.01730239056402721,-0.04164332096257197,-0.0845097710862025,-0.10274388749690704,-0.05808526876179125,0.20521699536915755,-0.021701639132792404,-0.10981406886777903,-0.07956076792130007,-0.11862048292494871,0.010921601009898477,-0.057697855331924196,-0.12431070353429853,-0.003102439144629305,-0.06292794181760496,0.21932750123702383,-0.023307246846465603,-0.035250473901109386,0.24578473070499793,0.0848748888047895,-0.021522359011152434,-0.024372916524172377,-0.025972527468114223,-0.02490421129646508,0.22379619892086686,-0.020596128773423518,0.05908916385498309,0.1259855561961032,-0.04212201869644177,-0.04143248132732008,-0.023703774855850415,-0.08300122737045408,0.03820685374192036,-0.07895290553319725,-0.08462563455118821,0.19107035004687167,-0.08244271751167423,-0.050765067311376304,-0.1257327486241032,-0.013464684520854647,0.10605447428182992,0.011041045350163713,-0.04251771479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x_a{116}	=[-3.1832668361514243,-5.177792412908079,14.082000286173063];
std_x_a{116}	=[1.131916245360721,1.8147630775043606,1.1172965194268547];
pred_a{116}	=[-3.1832668361514243];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.6 to 11.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{117}	=[-6.275205799852998,-10.61677022519241,14.38723723303382];
std_x_f{117}	=[2.0322398647447555,3.110808872445631,2.6325849790087807];
pred_f{117}	=[-6.275205799852998];
obs{117}	=[-6.686925126553797];
sqrt_r{117}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{117}	=[5.162207040924002];
L_f{117}	=[-0.17946635636302713,-0.17388521779197336,0.2552065705242153,0.05044014144638352,0.1679740412454163,-0.1363412927326561,-0.22359179198322285,0.30370022815612074,-0.05626764012645247,0.02345481660662841,-0.032659344743706215,-0.1942037572600588,-0.1374175812345865,0.05033498968815327,-0.18441921952235293,0.24902977712575522,-0.22565866170090781,0.302899410423696,0.2662975496338713,-0.23215452051914165,-0.2353430152772566,-0.1694858838525393,0.2911937424732802,0.3016771166312749,0.2999385820801285,-0.22792064138928075,-0.08754205620698878,-0.15590426056656728,-0.19198813042878304,0.2563082347282874,-0.1523175520903159,0.2912971894836337,0.047144794798635765,-0.213291657977652,0.027782088352804487,0.08852344421307894,-0.21701066470956534,0.12453027753780076,-0.04562490528076844,0.08719392817273136,-0.17733705998284546,-0.1825721797795733,-0.19533172261858456,0.25418243889948744,-0.22750921216869902,-0.20004648183118864,-0.22392593644269607,-0.18525344882590997,0.30574159478899166,-0.09487986837772767,-0.19899122093421923,-0.18637399314759226,0.12478541130781229,0.2539879092742222,0.24997572534312618,-0.28362914218673313,-0.19277784984322302,0.3070956798309415,0.29894767024086705,0.22749729159652282,0.0025040616747878984,0.28584004830292,-0.24342152349813695,-0.12011399378859387,-0.19839489785405617,3.6249273710632716E-5,-0.13248938747834899,-0.18660540942274564,-0.21475546214977936,0.29182605566859554,0.3007681338384772,0.24441735506050508,0.17912739334763747,-0.13153545095211813,0.04893399382150257,0.18998425822847131,-0.18616485444679418,0.2742089331881465,0.25610907278051204,-0.19495932524174894,0.28097478837084483,-0.04231589783200533,0.2220604631834817,0.1324357875944234,-0.09520081396316236,-0.21821247234010474,0.04934730094586924,0.017027396886209856,-0.22414083446761787,0.2823629116062085,-0.23519615398038812,-0.08956411938456407,0.2899524585915316,-0.22514882658282828,-0.21119945167208246,0.29964112339022864,0.16184534494601957,-0.16029572035077944,-0.2122095937091726,-0.1734973182921076;-0.29263131704622064,-0.2868770494516191,0.3992013000821375,0.043934568574722284,0.2389573978578854,-0.2436073126830046,-0.2885447579368929,0.48684211056658744,-0.13376434727620382,7.782906401109654E-4,-0.09832596270800492,-0.3075271688432135,-0.24481110185660732,0.03534462314531502,-0.29765731344246427,0.38529869689855445,-0.28664616237120993,0.4858712724980462,0.4197389287264506,-0.28640478616699167,-0.3422753387074818,-0.2820270101047334,0.4650748696999545,0.483642327039847,0.4803088859784791,-0.28793191164522874,-0.1597488186449853,-0.2396228187359058,-0.2708978664251914,0.40155009095374405,-0.26279888943377855,0.46493443914620003,0.039142578334559405,-0.32614878547732706,0.007893673245533644,0.10741904728464,-0.28492055315505205,0.1675280365731005,-0.10311253917457808,0.09678177798371755,-0.2912139000170582,-0.2635614652010328,-0.3095332019901221,0.39772845602094553,-0.33551405064260165,-0.313408347049894,-0.28681570108101273,-0.29924357302029414,0.4916673701265177,-0.16979012913487287,-0.3123800553552947,-0.3002608576788509,0.1689346103798376,0.39622436638393427,0.3904376032494423,-0.25934507436954657,-0.3064379213405328,0.4931129015233751,0.4783364735608892,0.34930200365930536,-0.0434014520068343,0.45411962036957254,-0.2864878293313523,-0.22242853259175804,-0.3114652695082314,-0.04729569253348765,-0.238805143110124,-0.30034681547466685,-0.3269230864156387,0.4649607566223657,0.4820018430080085,0.3802275546470541,0.2628405016549888,-0.23714220040192885,0.03153538203067783,0.28263779434435077,-0.2999053186929614,0.4340169389343854,0.40112137817690363,-0.3074242089544534,0.4443089338903028,-0.0978108026899789,0.3397564109700477,0.18236876352342685,-0.1895812180648359,-0.20406829316388708,0.042827820564434405,-0.008905131029564943,-0.33469457268749114,0.4501184639101932,-0.340277817925608,-0.18162739778568737,0.46309508097572855,-0.2872233129725645,-0.3232506689513647,0.4793472538775144,0.23245575939788965,-0.27169430191965127,-0.2821691631237249,-0.2870126395280947;0.1706004358667331,0.15732475135843904,-0.27914804489272305,-0.1524252752520403,-0.26667392998169487,0.07576477620769904,0.40384317387316543,-0.291835775244004,-0.06107037335767106,-0.12273108566644889,-0.09452955988823476,0.20707917324428596,0.07767308352162622,-0.18379567056215276,0.18247344164651982,-0.29174877394933224,0.4186251133932527,-0.29218335304519144,-0.2812454206755574,0.44970106199950605,0.3255326792203096,0.14858439516139824,-0.2867783364117472,-0.29464615410547385,-0.29226941615745783,0.4249610860913741,0.04438589796540436,0.19506416685353026,0.29565139277172997,-0.2805013014271943,0.10960237630964252,-0.28686886261200306,-0.14830398722991722,0.25538160070737814,-0.1261068954468637,-0.18778060436573027,0.38389146830647286,-0.21655434781102118,-0.02668010817156324,-0.2184035544761138,0.16469460407716735,0.2668677025514261,0.20881392529441475,-0.27933262259321345,0.30167562140239407,0.22215072997042726,0.41050066670451574,0.18469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k{117}	=[0.8062844066360797;1.2264623273077497;-0.9746802022514102];
x_a_linear{117}	=[-6.607168672882558,-11.121728468815451,14.78853190965337];
L_a{117}	=[0.1009224755591082,0.09778393565422606,-0.14351480354431506,-0.02836489270458811,-0.0944597996844804,0.07667119933986383,0.12573630857027207,-0.17078509573895834,0.03164197262657791,-0.013189759928805818,0.018365904275706488,0.10921001764764762,0.07727644760049539,-0.028305760865255637,0.10370770629134402,-0.14004129857423142,0.1268986078044802,-0.17033475780562213,-0.14975178907633685,0.13055153844899894,0.13234458083765313,0.09530998075272451,-0.1637521034765892,-0.16964740381966303,-0.16866974307977597,0.1281706266632867,0.049229065586378774,0.08767238743490581,0.10796406520698389,-0.14413432177025448,0.08565541051584538,-0.16381027665503656,-0.026511762411780444,0.11994405288793104,-0.015623190828565494,-0.0497809467805246,0.12203542741412074,-0.070029303240297,0.025657056182556787,-0.04903329662031304,0.09972507084079806,0.10266902791688369,0.10984432626478538,-0.14293888557862786,0.12793926042673986,0.11249565981299943,0.12592421390655772,0.10417683314166333,-0.17193305337451886,0.053355466681638763,0.11190223637564292,0.10480696855651017,-0.07017277710464744,-0.1428294923098878,-0.14057325028809303,0.15949816862771307,0.10840816202778952,-0.17269451985392198,-0.16811250618086185,-0.1279325569215342,-0.0014081530839188932,-0.16074146638555573,0.13688751058224918,0.06754581665387609,0.11156689552010468,-2.0384692229910617E-5,0.07450508964798684,0.10493710494444618,0.1207672196573394,-0.16410768328716305,-0.16913623952375356,-0.13744751407566605,-0.10073186051944573,0.07396864572777512,-0.027517914195964246,-0.10683719247574928,0.10468935990914309,-0.15420073666504247,-0.14402232352604868,0.10963490949206206,-0.1580054991182965,0.023796243771025165,-0.12487516948829144,-0.07447494788166878,0.05353594966272905,0.12271126105602341,-0.02775033646720577,-0.009575315846986097,0.12604506129604884,-0.15878610689422207,0.13226199373918981,0.05036616797009802,-0.16305407045939013,0.12661190324722366,0.11876750568422334,-0.1685024678981222,-0.09101334200283039,0.09014191432408196,0.11933555663881751,0.09756580129975423;0.13387617400778637,0.12636668867730072,-0.20730521345403893,-0.07593802823216522,-0.16023824162378966,0.08041209612940409,0.24282823113817925,-0.234911119221956,-4.251492720155339E-5,-0.05496282533702198,-0.020709993518050897,0.15400422311696338,0.08176614073540955,-0.08427807717126841,0.14062081408306554,-0.20652847111278577,0.24963880817766063,-0.23397878853636545,-0.21312564862321934,0.26531779900197877,0.21702480543734295,0.12076157130934603,-0.22695629998445885,-0.23330291400879563,-0.23250467253898102,0.25372872541436986,0.048297655976838265,0.13088860394195284,0.18536801806010322,-0.20757456252344922,0.09918860673022342,-0.2273425756410892,-0.07289852258994045,0.18074560827066494,-0.0581313413573513,-0.10295972707687011,0.23081217810971008,-0.12842211981982599,0.005316496078773512,-0.11043735931725258,0.13023325061868896,0.17032711376211027,0.15467883543926778,-0.2063441762094324,0.20516881181805374,0.16200846526568002,0.24535139290568536,0.1410171269184407,-0.23493723224545318,0.05569488896769484,0.16052889595114805,0.14266285139954005,-0.12762187951389656,-0.20738596001882764,-0.20363764071905294,0.41470858268004546,0.151704756394011,-0.23670972692111183,-0.23212215152512444,-0.1913525291832875,-0.049352434040469115,-0.22518832522568633,0.2920111459625106,0.06302618532552078,0.16002650107458016,-0.04738184008278962,0.07606009062966515,0.1431268617253538,0.1834500843995468,-0.22857312543644254,-0.2327831715880331,-0.2006380459563395,-0.16286143303634482,0.0754559729112,-0.08475780714982659,-0.16886582426633628,0.14252136562620818,-0.2176492924906271,-0.2075299606112272,0.15590281429128675,-0.22343656708298248,0.0027542713538626913,-0.18797732661749122,-0.13236908839128286,0.036666537406354185,0.3145205720728271,-0.07444760611295118,-0.04937128007439133,0.19798323327497444,-0.2209259559824192,0.21867330568673513,0.031224574145480147,-0.22598613817300006,0.2478500182391623,0.1786715301176935,-0.2327593846238906,-0.1521748388411792,0.10925356429328549,0.22215367055216775,0.12530924312985153;-0.1683487502487488,-0.17108361577239806,0.20284791871578978,-0.0571614874464966,0.05057029184612177,-0.18173624594592738,-0.01844352905355994,0.2817477489480002,-0.1673402682393671,-0.07843313946407937,-0.1562116408324308,-0.15970380935950237,-0.18186067122404556,-0.08873047765535845,-0.16582997091460863,0.17858138701159926,-0.007565183626612151,0.27988770650367295,0.22169752385252922,0.011242359334252796,-0.11894797499674563,-0.17151516864585067,0.26318480995975446,0.27511641991701663,0.27420967407962216,-0.005501299524488997,-0.12095043193819621,-0.09938446018652146,-0.06694704557309193,0.2035753206005907,-0.17807221272408907,0.2632896589856739,-0.05926395682859215,-0.14745175113550107,-0.07363624620315105,-0.02059077571914017,-0.025965786681741085,0.018639797061407015,-0.11284959879313965,-0.05372471668561338,-0.17023308581090266,-0.07794729786257101,-0.1600993894116503,0.20072911452454434,-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x_a{117}	=[-6.60716867288256,-11.12172846881546,14.788531909653377];
std_x_a{117}	=[1.1428252193690887,1.7775655525458047,1.6650427622663415];
pred_a{117}	=[-6.60716867288256];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.7 to 11.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{118}	=[-12.143746352518146,-17.72860532298102,24.10942364222459];
std_x_f{118}	=[1.2987669495138807,1.1037267038228684,3.7806444626142364];
pred_f{118}	=[-12.143746352518146];
obs{118}	=[-12.868081623260519];
sqrt_r{118}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{118}	=[2.6937335766480617];
L_f{118}	=[0.08329458264779058,0.07597074457306485,-0.13363323217603457,-0.08503282279838527,-0.13252202337650304,0.03330599770023747,0.20104392982072927,-0.13491570111240478,-0.03934083910008085,-0.07131236644693206,-0.055289773996237315,0.10331239202238525,0.033423757145832005,-0.09824303334372579,0.09013419330500437,-0.13905017000251463,0.20939165612700716,-0.13512071538582418,-0.1335100025928355,0.22540492112356175,0.16707894236436963,0.07152406310266106,-0.13380159401585803,-0.13533053560391395,-0.135238343617397,0.21350784270731374,0.011870772799780126,0.08971714282305591,0.14343147298401665,-0.13389930530742208,0.04983699934393447,-0.1341685164346583,-0.08312825850291165,0.12982258970931912,-0.07308184124877536,-0.10050938348707536,0.19037196103612722,-0.11272714905564847,-0.025059974980466235,-0.1135155520701776,0.08000781660561893,0.12836188091212633,0.1040326019672103,-0.13364634035141687,0.15474901924176898,0.11095881231601522,0.2047829160841181,0.09061316291431057,-0.13425623158432803,0.01897485488404138,0.10994945885169236,0.09219437057146837,-0.11311953061783334,-0.13445092440101786,-0.133796254833862,0.3797657216697807,0.10081055314278699,-0.13522414948033143,-0.1351895709244971,-0.1324628867973663,-0.07701917767446237,-0.13733757615762585,0.25304344202403,0.016191014322741223,0.10939381859466157,-0.07530210034202184,0.028816947087772937,0.09249408722038083,0.13281266577246587,-0.13589926685707543,-0.13431292570494452,-0.13363244959612178,-0.12604174853312775,0.027268958423937357,-0.0993520956851954,-0.12719395826959218,0.09198267763135458,-0.13364829711900683,-0.13404485640882188,0.1051772093351669,-0.13717243739365714,-0.02728656192636762,-0.13151491727748088,-0.11527497731970278,-0.007464055785795419,0.28911981683278426,-0.08379230813304793,-0.06596046084132627,0.1473317820752455,-0.1336191612922956,0.16915666958361994,-0.012214806392798228,-0.1340587567810355,0.20750096435260393,0.12815104875913766,-0.13610198793374492,-0.1238059481516911,0.059848701988410476,0.18160723673145643,0.07508568399044822;-0.030226605040086067,-0.039553822108287506,0.012618947591214607,-0.1246188644600984,-0.08652256252082084,-0.08996368449520342,0.16998120271380915,0.06622767360436883,-0.14980514279848858,-0.12698537004296015,-0.1578830770989802,-0.0044094330905059265,-0.08924950468779339,-0.15133293777388587,-0.022095062324596012,-0.005165910064367655,0.18373049684679849,0.06400704133304988,0.02547883686237654,0.21114884185654853,0.08700229895198572,-0.0446116513861453,0.05343215788812968,0.0619342132290323,0.060989227287451354,0.18993304327774746,-0.08051255578807867,0.007226524515435116,0.08154992214771267,0.013157021986130474,-0.07034612299822235,0.05356235004286957,-0.12443619525176812,0.031328315681196504,-0.12565215177047165,-0.11276075836677006,0.1531745525620842,-0.09626391297155387,-0.10929146836638653,-0.14006143093485462,-0.03507168115003264,0.05936334544994732,-0.004219450423967163,0.011262173076120277,0.06878502076548482,0.005852992370388913,0.17607663307063018,-0.021759095403330347,0.06947245306908487,-0.07411864879519793,0.004190855729390563,-0.01883761674305953,-0.09634597157535521,0.010548563169249636,0.00644067621901145,0.4812589192146636,-0.007956676452826297,0.0705326461898616,0.06053445863670467,-0.016467821939705533,-0.16158857689203215,0.04085994984377051,0.25753346463338583,-0.10660087745938025,0.003953178333536796,-0.16135761168290821,-0.09418385970664771,-0.019075544086910118,0.03582972382692494,0.04889379714088554,0.06351295996043867,2.2953283460130905E-4,-0.0583558682078403,-0.09598434680032857,-0.15433268724022145,-0.050049155133119895,-0.020024948587973032,0.03393164390856214,0.013067874994954874,-0.001905599948584938,0.03489136680265456,-0.11135143273948325,-0.021307247684406862,-0.09255011306237598,-0.12748378716128592,0.3556558226804735,-0.1239972115928202,-0.12485996119499537,0.0572162634250892,0.04327963748827507,0.0902403952892548,-0.1318783246825296,0.051285484343753414,0.18061983524974215,0.029505615903274482,0.058857123246277836,-0.07500099986164854,-0.05934253362442803,0.13860048158777022,-0.041009682658410394;-0.3360805624880439,-0.32336980781471353,0.46985668639400957,0.12159163421284855,0.33105856878202744,-0.24372368428256058,-0.4332811907353251,0.5438469386059186,-0.07989654132895123,0.07115772312180924,-0.033202390003178324,-0.3674436607640571,-0.24644519601575873,0.12541759417349127,-0.3475404873820054,0.4615919015676751,-0.43741935762474865,0.5424053811834072,0.4870351108260282,-0.4498767046491812,-0.4534779644638729,-0.313946479200585,0.5244919664368197,0.5396715920378221,0.5381148818555095,-0.4426373243851281,-0.15002710875550995,-0.291120408068181,-0.36698713882325945,0.47122585297983915,-0.277347481883774,0.5253338856126252,0.1146969593412534,-0.40771991514537753,0.07926771725337084,0.19039044268490768,-0.41886286704447645,0.25531572125283625,-0.06439958398460009,0.19238738118471072,-0.3311053181290784,-0.3487557528037611,-0.3693078371491622,0.467792996279713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k{118}	=[0.6287680382837461;0.2861268329579783;-1.7115510998457848];
x_a_linear{118}	=[-12.599185219762553,-17.935857079998296,25.349160471520793];
L_a{118}	=[-0.10000469716837118,-0.0912115897958319,0.16044201784291512,0.10209165377875704,0.1591078842659708,-0.039987669161951955,-0.24137628979157397,0.16198176885111534,0.0472331882277288,0.0856186727177812,0.06638171330279269,-0.12403837259892611,-0.04012905287888826,0.11795202624383533,-0.10821643400384448,0.16694567281898573,-0.2513986923868755,0.16222791199364342,0.16029406659856923,-0.270624453123667,-0.2005974278665018,-0.08587283882648541,0.16064415553628042,0.16247982522380622,0.16236913817310136,-0.25634064634554626,-0.014252223869303896,-0.1077157170805418,-0.17220592941599291,0.1607614691455473,-0.0598350321082098,0.16108468797200395,0.09980500596143235,-0.15586690462682262,0.08774313010840962,0.12067303945452065,-0.22856336759941573,0.13534186792954653,0.030087373383759466,0.1362884361481305,-0.09605855766851289,-0.15411315622841687,-0.12490306721819618,0.16045775571046753,-0.18579394138768845,-0.1332187769130935,-0.24586537151934984,-0.10879149193929344,0.16119000006675208,-0.022781488977695035,-0.13200693234497465,-0.1106899130356932,0.13581296698609244,0.16142375111700044,0.16063774523609464,-0.455952293453526,-0.12103462815883172,0.16235209648402996,0.16231058096291448,0.15903688402201563,0.09247035394919405,0.16488950753924944,-0.303807666544886,-0.01943916918392108,-0.13133982250574425,0.09040880572856745,-0.034598049179446234,-0.11104975723873761,-0.15945683378788003,0.16316265230492755,0.16125806785919725,0.16044107826599785,0.1513275712770715,-0.03273951129347669,0.11928358275175957,0.1527109311800414,-0.11043575138801102,0.1604601050343256,0.16093621993191665,-0.1262772996060717,0.16469123951801112,0.03276064631659194,0.15789873791758224,0.13840082789890212,0.008961454812284818,-0.34712149108180335,0.10060227368348044,0.07919309637957614,-0.1768886976961426,0.16042512413359483,-0.2030919776289781,0.014665275645203977,0.16095290892259995,-0.249128700121743,-0.15386002805437768,0.16340604220181554,0.14864323655845052,-0.0718552290918987,-0.21804031109333813,-0.09014897308383332;-0.1136386731223518,-0.11563172198065247,0.14644066691543434,-0.03946610447235968,0.04618638066485874,-0.12331665967568117,-0.031346295770004834,0.2013336707631539,-0.11040881418843751,-0.05557241885102861,-0.10251531792155216,-0.10786754528913309,-0.12272040541133787,-0.05295133448851842,-0.11235638820563246,0.13408038757475074,-0.02595650225346818,0.19931834193401188,0.15917715279039935,-0.014574008647884279,-0.08031230510263328,-0.11623659782793754,0.18742247652336572,0.1974556299955359,0.1964183220323835,-0.023875948206197338,-0.09240007208852394,-0.08261716264183076,-0.06208385821795253,0.14724518973286063,-0.1202534164877634,0.18792010863404243,-0.04119068591144384,-0.09867738633713347,-0.05246722996593335,-0.012109608294012026,-0.0374659245268677,0.016622235597183833,-0.08419614676486845,-0.02638576732403744,-0.11519234726874825,-0.06917958746904022,-0.10839878840993397,0.14509701906455602,-0.08618226904301658,-0.1052623252531678,-0.028995125446026677,-0.11250006647125413,0.20391805053048817,-0.09312026735340985,-0.10591368475585937,-0.11116202573165514,0.01693311200234455,0.1451891280578808,0.14042564814143632,0.10095754517241239,-0.10890942097540286,0.20594752677716607,0.19591471189577533,0.11618190125581007,-0.08446076512319785,0.17839123805675167,0.0041331096171501,-0.12281472890179762,-0.10559493817460205,-0.08594929915163774,-0.12304145255361947,-0.11170009246908628,-0.0971702717003235,0.1849847473452333,0.19801533150844436,0.13405046847509405,0.06786365982928064,-0.12329176757471283,-0.054840457301914045,0.07732420781052111,-0.11213736604756384,0.16776844942457128,0.14730179914016212,-0.10723115974956682,0.17225728332656187,-0.08402638363326138,0.11039316889813308,0.022887457434026315,-0.12000920346588242,0.0661282078106944,-0.04008671599290737,-0.05880646437036967,-0.09032332734405836,0.17708726608204028,-0.07915486657958595,-0.11964628953618607,0.18553332846738682,-0.027173805291109382,-0.0988261874879573,0.19515108046154223,0.04897957423985681,-0.11927565107579387,-0.04326290871854114,-0.11620127358693419;0.16287304976397685,0.13171233828944845,-0.3306369566690315,-0.3877744343422202,-0.46277867926866373,-0.04421313588999048,0.7710179583409135,-0.26432898688248324,-0.3155571707964496,-0.3560196719243067,-0.3644007894557776,0.25142121077189916,-0.04622924159450758,-0.4630806587407755,0.19238395797022498,-0.3713504387569342,0.8168845824259613,-0.2669986267208504,-0.31272035883222504,0.9003503574101323,0.5473631367690258,0.11449902726070264,-0.27701020257682846,-0.2709892869907211,-0.2719937460754109,0.8363235152821111,-0.07891846302619027,0.24630580945404124,0.492200209033649,-0.3308616290317722,0.021187549519222793,-0.2783662326608301,-0.38326033321921,0.36994710746614623,-0.3585092368049067,-0.4116837662484159,0.7215087467029175,-0.41994569950511645,-0.21451456916101674,-0.48759675405844566,0.14815981334498624,0.42016128982539747,0.2538712567783008,-0.3327791677537086,0.4889372845405367,0.285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x_a{118}	=[-12.599185219762544,-17.935857079998296,25.349160471520772];
std_x_a{118}	=[1.559318641737263,1.1666423066586546,4.463206910169119];
pred_a{118}	=[-12.599185219762544];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.8 to 11.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{119}	=[-13.70543447077901,-9.50478090161257,37.76126272262137];
std_x_f{119}	=[1.319018452084455,4.079226179496189,1.636090187131624];
pred_f{119}	=[-13.70543447077901];
obs{119}	=[-14.394061365509346];
sqrt_r{119}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{119}	=[2.739828279577491];
L_f{119}	=[0.004313077580953476,-0.0056312521739666456,-0.04435506368748846,-0.13734611710232641,-0.12347330609506744,-0.06396785612198065,0.22808447555106262,-0.002358207995406714,-0.14256060945996463,-0.1341153411717306,-0.1536561665270934,0.03472671360042568,-0.06463553657541411,-0.16425269826750513,0.01471310304828067,-0.060784241193378816,0.2443046255326435,-0.003975769516330027,-0.03379265318327767,0.2762735938519171,0.13956552326314683,-0.012032834240269524,-0.011988827654281893,-0.005831542634678212,-0.006611233072044275,0.25209432125352105,-0.06439169039011171,0.04110003097081949,0.12718321450637848,-0.043595600393167344,-0.043025543339808923,-0.01219967433970975,-0.13729507139480987,0.07632301052924616,-0.13390166077220486,-0.13326610440956518,0.20986025574586303,-0.12364773288410436,-0.10310019216690818,-0.16046409129030584,-5.278908249014344E-4,0.10169205987397784,0.0349738535848145,-0.045355952043069026,0.11905254235653134,0.04656660631758797,0.23678492647619667,0.015322891834752925,5.495718181167031E-4,-0.056093576361620406,0.045462610549197,0.01767542453744491,-0.12488416556898699,-0.046108782369513865,-0.0496105727901465,0.5934778494833438,0.030273467304140746,7.474646780598427E-4,-0.00665660869940128,-0.06747793508341254,-0.1652176636613415,-0.02362325202766596,0.33029853477103316,-0.08582070270305348,0.04495286292252375,-0.16435540760102257,-0.06969594148463638,0.018134801938101672,0.08144184503870333,-0.015643118465167683,-0.004077652436869506,-0.05409473787712192,-0.0984221147407998,-0.07221257276203973,-0.16707367133201179,-0.0917055394376916,0.017054185269804237,-0.02716155987404032,-0.044521052495495185,0.037600992373312075,-0.027664266717040868,-0.10455992106618554,-0.07084427112731,-0.12220103489614097,-0.11228439259809622,0.4387201230449767,-0.13622548157952435,-0.13010074538023644,0.10608497010215494,-0.020018176664340318,0.1438571160901927,-0.11755554055500894,-0.013259393065850654,0.241259855899376,0.07439847445729855,-0.008988083153989093,-0.11138749757769205,-0.029077622768061914,0.19346424223437184,-0.007625702547840031;0.20120988380090946,0.175127001606831,-0.3549741693291609,-0.33107848403754897,-0.43566797719080586,0.023743555215845615,0.6796284987308444,-0.3117760355116064,-0.2247315642782474,-0.2935625075193999,-0.2746566351061816,0.2755879684092351,0.02247481666846789,-0.3897506610582073,0.2268731603178084,-0.38615146163116815,0.7155773489223187,-0.31351473986510137,-0.34283070564644064,0.7808101425365619,0.5168593081848628,0.15938449596358775,-0.31957107016504493,-0.31679809686435306,-0.3168331128547855,0.7310489857940979,-0.02677670705743758,0.2529274602821591,0.45529415438913773,-0.3549113044173908,0.08104251142647906,-0.3206393291114061,-0.32525486409036175,0.37367024028918916,-0.29735860700644295,-0.3653664715463238,0.6399301233250391,-0.3860200529126195,-0.15194279583858433,-0.424304599215839,0.1897874907088054,0.397633538842292,0.2782010373620543,-0.35591040336520097,0.46995999389470305,0.30342625997257855,0.6972998654086976,0.22898890039712197,-0.30701165825211196,-0.002098554961948018,0.30075056745160256,0.2347873115024113,-0.3884113339562419,-0.35901210050466154,-0.3615410359594144,1.4254137412074892,0.26678377217863475,-0.30877229867838796,-0.317413040077695,-0.377094124608866,-0.33859932675871285,-0.3414819674949243,0.8936113899262671,-0.03754817913001087,0.2984228438548208,-0.33300235837974684,0.00669240019264127,0.23554037343135367,0.38667167954791787,-0.3279832608403989,-0.3115619384235602,-0.365653530901753,-0.39387691238036854,7.663297428672112E-4,-0.39528925249982994,-0.38904488300166,0.23348918063942498,-0.3357389085892292,-0.35642023244506743,0.2825619715106699,-0.34455989097732015,-0.15797364187555796,-0.37796092746335047,-0.3909888297815764,-0.1181610370712326,1.0857767340470397,-0.3265021732858477,-0.2753618955321036,0.4414755432436022,-0.3287393540665537,0.5262282138900775,-0.13461271042420456,-0.3216636810675949,0.7076970969197798,0.36890625434308727,-0.3210171359604651,-0.40108555554949576,0.1173057647341486,0.6053929120350259,0.17180326367107512;0.15253915909226154,0.15418105129664003,-0.2160378283384178,0.0317267145742798,-0.0969082489111606,0.1586768752528768,0.08942960544473047,-0.2777780946946774,0.13341684362768835,0.05641302937007185,0.11940017274017191,0.14846179109152596,0.15867138262135969,0.04390045258374228,0.15183666785586675,-0.2054299299904624,0.0872467258284091,-0.27601791493690736,-0.23012732166931973,0.08141286657881258,0.12617033987709403,0.15494945714589425,-0.26210946050825884,-0.27364200518589527,-0.27263128631667705,0.08608298651846752,0.12056323329623503,0.12103793804919107,0.10676606395004345,-0.21677602638266769,0.1576936554184209,-0.262481630556341,0.035156860733117974,0.14046255305846853,0.05211618970950436,-0.007607195541430137,0.09285879162674783,-0.05015861984386813,0.10414241172375659,0.004124326927168843,0.15386015851309867,0.11185614630497182,0.14858152526875695,-0.21445983704421678,0.1306681709176464,0.1458549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k{119}	=[0.6350136220383088;1.7510817724003311;0.14871346231266938];
x_a_linear{119}	=[-14.142721929434714,-10.710622904959502,37.6588546328644];
L_a{119}	=[-0.0050144326899531355,0.0065469573538874505,0.05156769780856258,0.1596801463709782,0.1435514596708973,0.07436975171992358,-0.26517358633303945,0.0027416792394590645,0.16574257405721313,0.15592400979883883,0.17864239397150075,-0.04037366929396135,0.07514600455314957,0.190962041406987,-0.017105619713809566,0.07066844506114667,-0.2840313158259553,0.004622274525838099,0.03928772010750987,-0.32119879932130263,-0.16226045303048445,0.013989508937573104,0.013938346383872657,0.0067798173047749506,0.007686294209905898,-0.2930877040161536,0.07486250622511115,-0.04778336002307733,-0.14786464107448752,0.05068473720829876,0.05002198244216088,0.01418347912079514,0.159620800055117,-0.08873399372261762,0.15567558255391392,0.15493667755132326,-0.24398590263737957,0.1437542502250976,0.11986544740702405,0.18655736416219393,6.137318328799634E-4,-0.11822833690555058,-0.0406609970300045,0.05273134191071824,-0.13841182983836964,-0.054138862238474035,-0.2752888288060669,-0.017814567041433787,-6.389384003688936E-4,0.06521502517047473,-0.05285534429410956,-0.02054964812150901,0.14519174082377861,0.05360659094764341,0.057677812025633726,-0.6899840481317003,-0.03519627487306918,-8.690108735349618E-4,0.007739048426558762,0.07845060914902377,0.1920839210682512,0.0274646595121859,-0.38400880557157613,0.09977611787214966,-0.052262705948325126,0.19108145243771552,0.08102928843222008,-0.021083725473850456,-0.0946852085145871,0.018186866137289686,0.0047407247595080875,0.06289115298165361,0.1144266617762719,0.0839551523679156,0.19424173654036603,0.1066178954992247,-0.019827388335203228,0.031578336161622596,0.051760678270752924,-0.04371533824572028,0.032162788812819365,0.12156254470555854,0.08236434943935164,0.14207230281117494,0.1305431025172877,-0.51006096817082,0.15837728286027364,0.15125659540714928,-0.12333558393247075,0.02327335819374117,-0.16724990730298328,0.13667139864287686,0.015415520075954923,-0.28049143227508766,-0.08649650635749698,0.010449646949642039,0.129500362240685,0.033805972514424756,-0.22492371221910287,0.008865727875753739;0.17548880845636236,0.20870902250308673,-0.09046236456679607,0.48798626960155395,0.3006661483849138,0.40521641677724657,-0.6805552379302541,-0.29771284179679186,0.6254298594988248,0.5062354859994653,0.6416732389147779,0.06849491241379485,0.40792939637115117,0.5897717213677987,0.1391314434221755,-0.023664115147957562,-0.7413353920160164,-0.28980520407245414,-0.14130792700281916,-0.8667498166337514,-0.31544089323164703,0.2311424067113947,-0.24807559307223295,-0.2820216420785935,-0.2774069674227289,-0.7723176727441838,0.3572236938165738,0.007827071192938994,-0.30316404198699803,-0.09492856555936137,0.3376257101313536,-0.24788646599196934,0.4935054780318121,-0.0814826911151807,0.5011651016073405,0.42936709121862304,-0.6115733213851064,0.35135426832355804,0.4628960891545641,0.5326243928334794,0.19293557219496849,-0.2088079370800123,0.06963415993868888,-0.08542979226393516,-0.24001086900717633,0.025725901666065795,-0.7147690853661327,0.13761070281531432,-0.3102890345282637,0.33241597135070444,0.02963389742935459,0.12937976486282987,0.35633646425766713,-0.0840419792601842,-0.0656879573464785,-2.1137965315895575,0.08624768887025842,-0.31322981073118844,-0.27771629670063286,0.025311123105519622,0.6466776351140789,-0.2006045003308605,-1.0761267702580264,0.474244321448956,0.030346058199657727,0.6471325320423263,0.4223247482060102,0.12739332570186598,-0.09900746559196068,-0.23469538898688258,-0.2872448229557661,-0.043059095126864934,0.1930642175443546,0.4314066300792789,0.6010560271208691,0.1578418921877177,0.1317863997292012,-0.17376071207341526,-0.09091855199487704,0.05832812926897346,-0.17958379786856352,0.46557034899528876,0.04451949427584659,0.3377580955288858,0.5514479063862467,-1.5305345026997048,0.48587966075008016,0.5004950213673847,-0.19116309070334456,-0.20936078491729723,-0.3316649383557949,0.5664307693260432,-0.2425911761871419,-0.7310581340563187,-0.07476968960145473,-0.2674166245697784,0.2631747467201128,0.2907104188401655,-0.5483327647208359,0.21727920656954283;0.15035475501177775,0.15703305893994568,-0.19357373389760668,0.10128711848675744,-0.03437387789590313,0.19107407732263162,-0.026086206579844614,-0.276583755137572,0.20561818273548463,0.12433717240074041,0.19722097490602036,0.13087407710614343,0.19140673856837812,0.12708798111568995,0.14438506010432176,-0.17464510361073457,-0.03648395391899444,-0.27400434411849955,-0.2130126725311002,-0.05850883768293576,0.05548589407504863,0.161043614211445,-0.25603759104690643,-0.27068855830542077,-0.2692829569095318,-0.041592867596667436,0.15317509074544364,0.10022238959786077,0.04235277030476482,-0.19469657021648845,0.17948440011811423,-0.2563029755453759,0.10469141200332394,0.10180795144147974,0.11993211202587219,0.05988684248561769,-0.013427170167004922,0.012464091476558165,0.15635860219123868,0.08539307510216432,0.15412751444406006,0.06035311943559475,0.1308686446059347,-0.19148883203502318,0.07037274278437103,0.12227075044074623,-0.03186799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x_a{119}	=[-14.142721929434718,-10.71062290495953,37.6588546328644];
std_x_a{119}	=[1.5335057440171296,4.615434083836114,1.6465141151297071];
pred_a{119}	=[-14.142721929434718];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.9 to 12.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{120}	=[-7.310838295855762,0.31389339096095936,33.67117998952953];
std_x_f{120}	=[1.8788566005634815,1.9355306100830172,2.7655647126257583];
pred_f{120}	=[-7.310838295855762];
obs{120}	=[-6.600314628515348];
sqrt_r{120}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{120}	=[4.538377505139301];
L_f{120}	=[0.09096911376031537,0.1069798037517903,-0.1081702551401224,0.2230472133612093,0.10339705756092189,0.20235398904861224,-0.2447280611693283,-0.2103360350532792,0.31204148920811703,0.23684292788805028,0.3192624329017892,0.04270355976705878,0.20351821316643837,0.27901237514007887,0.07434408000185803,-0.07522911132476107,-0.262936306749713,-0.20734304688096894,-0.13373056104007802,-0.29778725394636124,-0.11667066808240178,0.11762320395633104,-0.187015594956885,-0.20367794819681398,-0.2015740464973335,-0.27171483326203016,0.17127232659653066,0.010550357693653962,-0.11689328819529762,-0.11014554543790306,0.16913127369762854,-0.18700613989653012,0.22666040877475382,-0.023229972518097053,0.2329889648583417,0.18601904530082314,-0.22353283249174402,0.13766896539439177,0.2221560121385918,0.24245900303065457,0.09901894577176458,-0.0802023890630598,0.04287853623551161,-0.10566173985259436,-0.08766014395208604,0.0229331372231946,-0.2553062980304724,0.07347662513149052,-0.2168162285551693,0.15972986843823364,0.02492265590985898,0.06975960743406394,0.14047152223988685,-0.10513645648160765,-0.09548207340735883,-0.4545804372966927,0.0500700517693397,-0.21843415777821318,-0.20089303704855985,-0.04753771718878459,0.31710565688132425,-0.16490747401030376,-0.347066492732698,0.23655225028972332,0.025309933604550187,0.31751462584804585,0.21077885036713778,0.0691269722240438,-0.0305361009223187,-0.18100577658791175,-0.20567286906285323,-0.08338314194066081,0.045566239717404575,0.21518680951406224,0.28584786072088375,0.025846166654849116,0.07193407086630071,-0.15030322348907552,-0.10865513227583615,0.037820236641097404,-0.1547638969876104,0.2234678849122617,-0.0369773347225049,0.12968502321026318,0.27547812572815483,-0.4269967145345468,0.22195674042704613,0.23489000152943487,-0.06783096226634781,-0.16669291492683383,-0.12275755542603055,0.2827772990554962,-0.18399972410603554,-0.26030757576696245,-0.020267537820204847,-0.19761564491005915,0.08502001846549503,0.1449211000558811,-0.2030877296786166,0.1112113477969122;0.07799472031895328,0.08502124930898587,-0.2283263020949368,0.0765567029999017,-0.07076254615707128,0.13552732465885028,0.09103334539775511,-0.276776173849996,0.19430662285919845,0.09954568912246092,0.19207466493533498,0.06040326037845364,0.1357574789278359,0.1235897114587984,0.07130169509103892,-0.2149373846843439,0.10973894191792766,-0.27617201197629593,-0.24170638803275304,0.15239913193322627,0.04301968261078998,0.0903322027627185,-0.26707130713390204,-0.2742107059280005,-0.27381295036055125,0.11991517008148041,0.09448320205408643,0.0335141031333041,0.025705956969286525,-0.22937542781321996,0.11623222529102684,-0.2677685232626103,0.08094800712311943,0.04464398615588901,0.09431794447135437,0.029685813458982913,0.07332504747846158,-0.023792075117785593,0.11522561874177745,0.07532550722502973,0.08162199239362612,0.022889508402643914,0.060646121243543204,-0.22667748789928302,0.03985206181510841,0.05437168517122004,0.10166801104513591,0.07146857508352401,-0.27779981872086845,0.09000973424113598,0.05493261031357309,0.06924347740643018,-0.022565394606783955,-0.2269727727249288,-0.22159198653125314,0.9932523332583815,0.06285225459279731,-0.2797896185912112,-0.2732296192429086,-0.18997936615332384,0.17666309608442365,-0.26202324494743146,0.24476388850230946,0.15479670028749887,0.05455823811252623,0.17840294227853068,0.1402697871014355,0.0696485130923834,0.04329822407818313,-0.26613418944766787,-0.2737178749582207,-0.2143777442761391,-0.11425617688861697,0.1424951383744951,0.13005979737104312,-0.13147388686159336,0.07036264646813901,-0.25028706059085,-0.22947514276967876,0.05837387780592406,-0.25639547135431917,0.11660801532866238,-0.18110790517200598,-0.03447324564787799,0.1776663665792214,0.5057399276128428,0.07670496638026254,0.10114124803922302,0.03983249183727705,-0.25878913271297627,0.04495415566409007,0.18206344917670322,-0.2654376899580899,0.10658566968842115,0.04451643241298829,-0.2745434709174338,-0.07987143343060463,0.10448354080863421,0.05966758523142678,0.08729146066573981;-0.088878228104153,-0.10671275379052986,-0.006210233635679346,-0.28391317169088687,-0.23107327044916676,-0.20475158826727563,0.4515173161583187,0.13805591145046256,-0.3047680529173948,-0.284134538440553,-0.3159428290647389,-0.02895654000829704,-0.20603141698548294,-0.32414560122535385,-0.06843305383574141,-0.05244535135755468,0.492549124471195,0.13245292901194639,0.027912975207575852,0.577151723449738,0.20769888540670572,-0.11886082224486406,0.10235363968806416,0.1266771144106782,0.12364416062230472,0.5136813072344537,-0.19264002356263962,0.0017284904862577054,0.1982128135007079,-0.0032448380345006327,-0.17272738012125458,0.10260553095942507,-0.285976501007064,0.0600265680950224,-0.28299893513626057,-0.26998242827458374,0.4049255965757983,-0.24380093295683064,-0.2479121440181218,-0.31501621121278806,-0.09750160559010823,0.13659496124692982,-0.029836956690120073,-0.008967642145799743,0.15951548244378969,-0.0041920436117819865,0.4748276420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k{120}	=[0.7796569371173745;0.2167492742005534;-1.0174476059987552];
x_a_linear{120}	=[-6.75687358962773,0.4678988801593094,32.94825938518857];
L_a{120}	=[-0.05709733767776969,-0.0671465481747061,0.06789374249263488,-0.13999698944990965,-0.0648978149440782,-0.12700875676984547,0.1536051102424475,0.13201873825970362,-0.1958548076628884,-0.14865595663431666,-0.2003870784896228,-0.02680315847076267,-0.12773948937611526,-0.17512387601822915,-0.04666253044295342,0.047218025931590746,0.16503363035711233,0.13014017036697662,0.08393682961077635,0.18690804704891484,0.07322908025842417,-0.07382694540403005,0.11738151703221811,0.12783974807482432,0.12651922091114806,0.17054352785823196,-0.10750015540775193,-0.006621998510868274,0.07336880917557494,0.06913354589932928,-0.10615631005957483,0.11737558250398629,-0.14226483432708945,0.0145804386817025,-0.14623699244516666,-0.11675602635881516,0.1403017913583023,-0.08640879392959265,-0.1394376213848242,-0.15218092159864377,-0.06214986548207545,0.050339535053216,-0.02691298355415571,0.06631925705992847,0.05502044191945968,-0.014394128137748348,0.16024460728852816,-0.046118066925543495,0.13608607255922842,-0.10025545878651974,-0.015642862082414426,-0.0437850573374388,-0.0881678363996556,0.06598955964099157,0.05992992524779171,0.2853202769285448,-0.03142678361086289,0.13710157603472972,0.12609178103786495,0.029837347848742465,-0.19903336442508562,0.1035052155609974,0.21783847190608652,-0.1484735110074332,-0.015885939368702175,-0.19929005637499486,-0.1322966740827445,-0.04338797986003765,0.01916617622897733,0.11360941664989016,0.12909187273142797,0.05233595464679848,-0.028599937586572664,-0.13506335742699344,-0.1794142116306769,-0.01622250942288069,-0.04514987301746735,0.09433876566308616,0.06819807868330105,-0.023738109928602265,0.09713853550240967,-0.14026102660064138,0.023209057226144063,-0.08139762229074303,-0.17290558209660434,0.2680071794621903,-0.13931254723895817,-0.14743019009501093,0.04257453104065819,0.10462585880682926,0.07704955346850137,-0.1774869542460337,0.1154885866820645,0.16338369078551654,0.012721047869788431,0.12403470520301058,-0.05336335051570311,-0.09096064196389068,0.12746929370142024,-0.06980250346827369;0.03683136454697128,0.03661308592009695,-0.1793794616540072,-0.024371748625203474,-0.11754952351919525,0.043962518772816477,0.20177234056751067,-0.1815995069058878,0.05310842596639536,-0.007625297817358924,0.047609004372881306,0.04107997854399454,0.043665863781170364,-0.002662872390018823,0.0376611363545833,-0.18089635091072412,0.22871713454522694,-0.18234966664603502,-0.18119355643384888,0.287147313726585,0.0958129441905881,0.03710792046123403,-0.18244709621323388,-0.18204681097544476,-0.1826010670368343,0.24286562972384942,0.016982790956713456,0.02874008578484687,0.07859995373853927,-0.1795347721649146,0.039700636671537524,-0.18314859073926992,-0.021615408745709965,0.05515550576742732,-0.011109131323613087,-0.054487460584966514,0.1744732408622093,-0.08608702740479122,0.014700434022049383,-0.034386743332530424,0.036816102520838875,0.05918094115710774,0.041243662880645904,-0.1788657459876415,0.07951811486724897,0.04399448298176799,0.2171936388350885,0.03822053807196067,-0.17969087619922286,0.01773226411804877,0.04365515459708459,0.0376773840300771,-0.08612849868436649,-0.17939872056739425,-0.17838652486357873,1.1989491406025676,0.04019564874816592,-0.1809485660877369,-0.18232589143555517,-0.1684686370240327,0.033173372683288384,-0.18740291787652677,0.4018108347277268,0.04775724442345089,0.04310553995527725,0.034728161176149235,0.04489274704658443,0.03836868597880356,0.05711575328338568,-0.18422941022662986,-0.18065128200244912,-0.176647026725866,-0.13487481610742819,0.04512350495610663,7.141689359250003E-4,-0.14316922948259167,0.03781261240934565,-0.1822751298771136,-0.1803088963213906,0.04126029065655481,-0.18636509413041252,0.015489210604540109,-0.16437572958224952,-0.09315547885910891,0.05301302405436862,0.698955151410271,-0.023730048258450362,-0.005146043334341144,0.07052587684135976,-0.18336089692867488,0.10050172251204709,0.05410724421761416,-0.1821781550209977,0.2243743664066262,0.053687455801359064,-0.18512275699275804,-0.11834283458173246,0.03890701099671433,0.15156440739582988,0.03696853142068252;0.1043475990159242,0.12052108647252276,-0.23597268987231432,0.1898573258661573,-0.011449475700195126,0.22506481082379906,-0.06830507282888941,-0.30871500525222767,0.35803355474564585,0.21893918347442934,0.3621966527417555,0.061749308558089654,0.22625788921462253,0.2684994706528544,0.08947984380652299,-0.21223812781061746,-0.06594906520530362,-0.3079606363739111,-0.25614165828357316,-0.05537272436678606,-0.040119142152320576,0.1309804693044709,-0.29488275765783994,-0.305951482039585,-0.3045155767915548,-0.06346318970087204,0.17115638602524558,0.02413831188058568,-0.05007807735960539,-0.2372029721865716,0.18652125824849783,-0.29461078306608574,0.1954687186998313,0.010684209263072526,0.21188865454852604,0.1251372162131351,-0.06987639567526013,0.048619193034340626,0.22396536935723144,0.19998651297276088,0.11282272215610685,-0.033761463292367955,0.06124055618567652,-0.23340180704002278,-0.0266818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x_a{120}	=[-6.756873589627731,0.46789888015930964,32.948259385188564];
std_x_a{120}	=[1.179276188763736,1.8934805301121402,1.9983451431774317];
pred_a{120}	=[-6.756873589627731];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.0 to 12.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{121}	=[-1.7931962263780747,1.0162884576568076,25.013436308420793];
std_x_f{121}	=[1.2787555786992826,2.0263954700755007,1.2021399563434836];
pred_f{121}	=[-1.7931962263780747];
obs{121}	=[-1.359821598713169];
sqrt_r{121}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{121}	=[2.635495761375232];
L_f{121}	=[0.016731148218057795,0.01601636261616145,-0.11849646976839176,-0.026582767277595204,-0.0906492087502429,0.02016056478511882,0.15570834238481499,-0.1071071894809667,0.029960686633283794,-0.014840334621254855,0.02669697843407326,0.021422597451272327,0.02012865897944026,-0.010583586128562274,0.01808648554982143,-0.1227977143353167,0.17579023359583448,-0.10820543772408886,-0.11652061034585129,0.21802702832799128,0.07057956523755503,0.015801865832697368,-0.11061605767891691,-0.1081198296293415,-0.10898698588248622,0.18638353231874985,0.0019043043650527026,0.01551580703464146,0.05904552960998132,-0.11806271779416777,0.017481800348638138,-0.11113287251791609,-0.024952059386413424,0.03445738432957483,-0.017329210948350122,-0.047682627651758236,0.13510738544521242,-0.06954550774381293,3.362768228473784E-4,-0.03365852271738851,0.0162673775307333,0.04261131305704659,0.02135188688586217,-0.11784860138177247,0.05682025059367023,0.02449750198897004,0.1675502610882756,0.01812607247506463,-0.10488843857396128,0.00283710639514904,0.024337632539307232,0.017980540628915437,-0.06943861048430584,-0.11910396413001027,-0.11937417878826843,0.7835855615685193,0.020092054070665114,-0.10544415825919846,-0.10848148059336557,-0.1167582340640463,0.016454533178409652,-0.11736309031204342,0.29954659776318515,0.02371492158319098,0.023741189136304828,0.017833789789726676,0.02108253746925197,0.01862318050573391,0.03724747229267463,-0.11307621995395871,-0.10650187220602973,-0.11865691865501395,-0.1001931235897243,0.02100264141735008,-0.007733625198320544,-0.10508300545195083,0.018416714871546495,-0.11535523072522523,-0.11890587193619588,0.022002624380731285,-0.1178749713404092,5.509984334079489E-4,-0.11472880082191139,-0.07455618739285318,0.028394643106254645,0.49486364326930554,-0.026063977628504018,-0.013380073346335121,0.04883861575629385,-0.11371492832756809,0.07393530675117899,0.028881011323577996,-0.11132078708259506,0.1726426605487213,0.03380605188735758,-0.11118601091231617,-0.09032124134931173,0.01682904817298242,0.11756737429480124,0.015847659813039407;0.06740791143984239,0.0737017705991727,-0.24406712393200466,0.059200450054583985,-0.10173732724343529,0.1243599608168505,0.15174209204651037,-0.269145301608319,0.1920040616485066,0.08514981373887753,0.19102715366973483,0.05335926293962242,0.12415813149096921,0.11198528537836776,0.06208850166853629,-0.23626757922817693,0.17705971206927051,-0.27036288333091874,-0.2522702751254237,0.23315273003406048,0.06441229983788177,0.07823036117448749,-0.26617189740944164,-0.26885933872825296,-0.2694142550815118,0.19084600824494133,0.08045329839903616,0.029033715953933423,0.04604028930856129,-0.24444756588873556,0.1043261510285591,-0.2666611600237109,0.06357564730430262,0.04576210943661564,0.07919810396250518,0.00751565628876579,0.12694705516858512,-0.05036661077981346,0.10235607832227739,0.05754878256273463,0.07024158928396364,0.03452541168769885,0.05352844939081613,-0.24272043660994133,0.054798032700112576,0.04960468776820989,0.16626226714457257,0.0615517841993553,-0.2684185172729817,0.07659462482974554,0.050256283100033626,0.05962941722025801,-0.04962626099533973,-0.24339183033126835,-0.23955389786064402,0.9978489006006833,0.054875408382624315,-0.2701048701506708,-0.267815799637406,-0.21356952839777654,0.1731807236294411,-0.26705584089299406,0.3433213130122301,0.1459614980662882,0.0492520517050651,0.17521940965128907,0.129529160520003,0.06072087137418665,0.04600915844700837,-0.2668448165003524,-0.2676605126576177,-0.23378938945087172,-0.1437490413564854,0.13166306087000934,0.11935189111095057,-0.16083141897026795,0.06117516053293623,-0.25773800223116794,-0.24504286683938306,0.051913922061566954,-0.264035096811177,0.10325926336317764,-0.20700615865593572,-0.062284800945720906,0.171664409514537,0.612865862857895,0.05867546036489665,0.08680217979135703,0.05010708436892063,-0.26189751599073563,0.06780142373322237,0.1761523182773319,-0.26481833239559266,0.17317635676309084,0.045685017450047626,-0.27111960825114406,-0.10958261612343907,0.09151969656548237,0.10590890285739826,0.0751530299241638;0.04803833111424121,0.05804555268333479,-0.11645852215727852,0.11535104773818557,0.014975740482958957,0.12233024087702944,-0.08248300900652294,-0.1699745383684272,0.20255671794561667,0.12963021996346116,0.20617602202359042,0.018990087462076463,0.12291715015533512,0.1589514663766515,0.038191772449983084,-0.09918710880855217,-0.08109129569403489,-0.1689918792465562,-0.13047906377873092,-0.07235143823312365,-0.05563699313919204,0.06470726842362845,-0.15856753849713526,-0.1673583615999495,-0.16588587624154968,-0.07913245692037103,0.09432133941110016,-0.002886622079926409,-0.059877180125269575,-0.11752046062784727,0.09906045837271923,-0.15826198121781565,0.11860104417752887,-0.016128221803664872,0.12611352310808416,0.08373018953142253,-0.08221923528059923,0.04372071114573123,0.1279433726391521,0.12514774357401176,0.05292309147578478,-0.045846613172650125,0.01941358615305013,-0.11405594245192799,-0.044973037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k{121}	=[0.6205647473786151;0.8969580551522369;0.2854945215096177];
x_a_linear{121}	=[-1.5242592100409011,1.4050073208394462,25.137162390380393];
L_a{121}	=[-0.02098792083679967,-0.020091278034262697,0.1486445816226194,0.03334600877201504,0.11371236405133467,-0.025289856513169014,-0.19532397424312328,0.13435761757536946,-0.03758334521218632,0.018616042614836754,-0.033489277762259934,-0.026872978086504743,-0.025249833167784126,0.013276283548547754,-0.022688085837759574,0.15404015754447406,-0.2205151408921164,0.13573528436101928,0.14616602004367352,-0.2734979064910677,-0.08853656118489035,-0.019822208544685416,0.1387592191274888,0.13562789568140626,0.1367156755849096,-0.23380360813294587,-0.0023888013387964656,-0.0194633700878132,-0.074068012850648,0.14810047359254438,-0.021929555402895446,0.1394075230446397,0.03130041287614401,-0.043224101844472694,0.02173814389831489,0.05981413836054508,-0.16948168011150824,0.0872394166890969,-4.218330532482775E-4,0.04222199224281196,-0.020406156671834045,-0.05345256963464985,-0.026784277195817986,0.14783188124881272,-0.0712765738396827,-0.030730206064932587,-0.21017873788903982,-0.022737744548706813,0.13157436756850224,-0.003558928750789484,-0.03052966230606946,-0.022555186195484276,0.08710532241230465,0.14940663593020653,0.14974559914914107,-0.9829469873029663,-0.025203915163974876,0.13227147458167304,0.1360815586162248,0.14646410046956088,-0.02064092883847779,0.1472228454693157,-0.3757578499006454,-0.029748519967191037,-0.02978147056437333,-0.02237109871054379,-0.02644639935506399,-0.023361327811436183,-0.04672404963849478,0.14184530087162942,0.13359829425326675,0.1488458522399667,0.12568446103556927,-0.026346175987806926,0.009701229785810313,0.1318184365456869,-0.02310233277240072,0.1447041421794802,0.14915814471920416,-0.027600576642206852,0.14786496030573834,-6.911845708882812E-4,0.14391833471132537,0.0935249236036264,-0.03561886571897405,-0.6207678537410098,0.03269522760958843,0.016784258708578522,-0.06126423530010193,0.14264651072336257,-0.09274607725149758,-0.03622897672329235,0.13964324721348706,-0.21656675593491695,-0.04240705608302645,0.1394741810169754,0.11330095451995753,-0.021110728696553557,-0.14747910379674595,-0.019879653522262175;0.012889147741916324,0.02151214933765351,0.14205586954962982,0.14582090124872277,0.19364483821515013,0.058666378212021135,-0.3556364939080002,0.07986550611134767,0.09437659618713005,0.13350732548102517,0.10403454325672254,-0.01644667703652133,0.05856851455889048,0.14647210144739117,0.003153345577310829,0.16387110122813137,-0.3957560971571838,0.08222658711219565,0.1274143429647632,-0.4772924756539577,-0.16557255170599486,0.026739681748830568,0.0942726238628162,0.08345117611496262,0.08572190485421205,-0.416488265723391,0.0742480865191257,-0.0215248354544667,-0.1463606884528533,0.14026203856077568,0.04736137313046673,0.09546741220044581,0.1448824059161397,-0.06651793072734502,0.13566566640660174,0.16289040257406104,-0.3133029219956961,0.1762487448145535,0.1012603139190833,0.16722571701664432,0.0172340311639657,-0.10432435983653841,-0.016047078867237573,0.14129146545004584,-0.13035183119445576,-0.030220886945464168,-0.37970343543276586,0.0024876333616406596,0.07336244854778681,0.06734985984845945,-0.029048353980724664,0.0010394846625632547,0.1766407678521078,0.14471069504604056,0.14942912710397913,-1.555479508871734,-0.010594930760166536,0.07348691880111477,0.08567316172913171,0.16688939108359147,0.11956331528294246,0.11537401414079293,-0.6327569553246069,0.06868597644288821,-0.028109063238200047,0.11710766748554657,0.060831312442948066,3.688459316498478E-5,-0.07536243624591737,0.10161619019080768,0.07937785724460461,0.15285642976999717,0.18273215156306236,0.06322555559293858,0.14455205545236144,0.18158354671149698,0.0011639459355867296,0.11814920426913686,0.14241417136847281,-0.019782046661765928,0.12006273225901314,0.10146382452076326,0.1668398141270547,0.18065794928957055,0.07913992657880797,-0.9996567015513692,0.1436054256510086,0.1304014024820302,-0.10903447107300929,0.10864473404600158,-0.1731181751590238,0.08204299528371525,0.0979225630005069,-0.38938302601007824,-0.06447264360141995,0.09118211643869042,0.18473086134081665,0.03668192400821159,-0.2771866154075129,0.023513129945290277;0.03068544792663933,0.04143401676564157,0.0064413153933083455,0.14292163938911892,0.10899350363885216,0.10142050287502782,-0.2439775245964677,-0.05888721050592213,0.17148268234496417,0.14502202629924005,0.17848697509204778,-0.003228580754951469,0.10204050358924248,0.16992834204598808,0.0194331871496893,0.02817380897145976,-0.2634139521759979,-0.05676549187507387,-0.009628509236554342,-0.29848042262836083,-0.12883931822989583,0.04831820006040581,-0.04384095174061092,-0.055220763548166234,-0.05284889812510447,-0.2724420625892238,0.0923462704696433,-0.018979001606091325,-0.12111686103170251,0.004929506582521183,0.08092902857452484,-0.04299937461292885,0.14448033029581292,-0.05186605386566679,0.14408669323369902,0.1331847193063624,-0.22234725559678206,0.11585055282619296,0.1275945996589883,0.1600570280636255,0.036051212846751786,-0.0900413766349213,-0.0027317438707050484,0.008171951709752162,-0.10390474725310594,-0.01748165831967917,-0.2556049420971576,0.018264562131861662,-0.06452327289854441,0.08487384010924195,-0.015408915025321289,0.015891665462580064,0.11735053702558267,0.008531658495324038,0.014170722740240916,-0.33775694443103954,0.002027443444649366,-0.06519221617692073,-0.052323198000292656,0.03939647622133744,0.18042118347494013,-0.02595154682800255,-0.3496965513031561,0.12236877719416533,-0.01528362645513124,0.18040443654602353,0.1069545990244076,0.01579375107130021,-0.05833797918548215,-0.03854045685137957,-0.058190441504853835,0.020795046896855456,0.08151870522460081,0.10873877575032083,0.17251546714956914,0.07383796149511,0.017663681577427825,-0.019981393521187135,0.005604979840957855,-0.006381855350586198,-0.020092874021854314,0.12742187319667048,0.042826447326608424,0.11533373637787364,0.14588459253563937,-0.40756780732579573,0.14177000278882745,0.14309538152383655,-0.08619817903807038,-0.028589535531817676,-0.13457724334711776,0.15100222355337822,-0.0412998256284146,-0.26149610178823407,-0.05026107357838627,-0.0492104018881881,0.09828567191446928,0.06398941495125068,-0.20212248283899853,0.04443296325943552];
x_a{121}	=[-1.5242592100409016,1.405007320839444,25.13716239038041];
std_x_a{121}	=[1.6040991631638295,2.463827458277793,1.2825959452124942];
pred_a{121}	=[-1.5242592100409016];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.1 to 12.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{122}	=[0.1549417587487947,1.0701471658292279,19.68122752237584];
std_x_f{122}	=[2.352504806761164,3.081749884757081,1.584591198755768];
pred_f{122}	=[0.1549417587487947];
obs{122}	=[0.37531557391396747];
sqrt_r{122}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{122}	=[6.53427890138669];
L_f{122}	=[1.8855320314379288E-4,0.006459157536172355,0.16790298367256293,0.11416529654031397,0.18263063672570296,0.0298242464343209,-0.35251977389828604,0.12151310417037889,0.04930063241386911,0.09941781006392074,0.05724169563840153,-0.0230694856268968,0.029661636981598943,0.10508631772109227,-0.0076054876768608505,0.18449592672057064,-0.39514914931844025,0.12351100953006171,0.15725107526097143,-0.48170944680701877,-0.15949269090325582,0.009898475384799458,0.1326159888208228,0.12400673146394235,0.12668457643977735,-0.4171105516566648,0.05077377174339015,-0.023585479721306216,-0.13898479612914966,0.16664615342694095,0.02330388734263082,0.13389864818709254,0.11256919269566433,-0.06614863542312767,0.10222191349979252,0.1371583749992289,-0.30860982494803935,0.15877230667516842,0.06949570822091955,0.13183057611347812,0.0033490506826287635,-0.09802641556668562,-0.02269758142396309,0.16690260881181646,-0.12535456949154708,-0.034612504147140226,-0.3778812696588656,-0.007378360433200899,0.11536449328595978,0.045308257541230676,-0.03335613613989618,-0.00875100862276394,0.15928044483094672,0.16985505009412824,0.17297566601780565,-1.362676664978166,-0.017311284984183283,0.11605378106456059,0.12560929583871847,0.1820152057999025,0.0729915200778535,0.15025931725947694,-0.6438401468022752,0.03471396570705813,-0.03309062993265099,0.07061667622479656,0.030600504441303442,-0.009660530437242337,-0.0743223922996022,0.13900443742859625,0.12026070175909219,0.17454560233123886,0.18159725180445993,0.032358678014543445,0.10278492596932266,0.18382004308330047,-0.008852140606554787,0.1513455442621844,0.16795287870531145,-0.025792839146697895,0.1536441728343701,0.06977439499847345,0.18069336549847473,0.16435472084104946,0.03925804605370578,-0.99280215601301,0.11231301607863231,0.09649182872832858,-0.1051245503415332,0.1436343560482392,-0.16732918968087687,0.04092944123735295,0.13543933742858738,-0.3887056911980773,-0.06400405227932596,0.1310816598543663,0.1770055014188901,0.0162019246541113,-0.27106000787753426,0.007701389833291083;0.008445888007963028,0.019157222445593005,0.21428657004377807,0.1766002632035655,0.2534223800724574,0.06257785209213357,-0.5390365774745653,0.14308835406184608,0.10226824172924903,0.15891321231762462,0.11306080734455927,-0.029522506660520326,0.0622188286522398,0.1713938253508335,-0.004481293259321393,0.23939238312272193,-0.6010399834151291,0.14576444003057049,0.19741622999575933,-0.728056526531749,-0.24295099011327148,0.024719574706535224,0.1596499056987725,0.14677420039212732,0.15028496410719014,-0.6339921612343519,0.08661720797553195,-0.034180083577060746,-0.21336227824143733,0.21200882700973056,0.04910456534190178,0.1610899837794327,0.17485085447985776,-0.09811450611459176,0.16243176781802882,0.2022706519246715,-0.4722528152959725,0.2253826054188016,0.11740801811648381,0.20147070685275992,0.014041976204994568,-0.1504736433068839,-0.028967935227133253,0.21252060314558188,-0.19039626623131406,-0.048064122307511836,-0.5768087783236611,-0.004068622243000439,0.1341727767993749,0.07809966789577541,-0.04675012853375299,-0.006373638177292397,0.22668700805186842,0.21722388369501594,0.22236926838198576,-1.4143325956406165,-0.022086700947375703,0.1349723922788999,0.14963549694557976,0.23825733486562137,0.13389717423758596,0.18588325313151544,-0.9530516890154836,0.07300963576119901,-0.04557931204228075,0.13039131165101156,0.06414072166212256,-0.007928719112103636,-0.11122807347250478,0.16931549078309338,0.14157317507965167,0.2253881390230577,0.24586644031548635,0.06776170956302847,0.1686571865690268,0.24687593882528605,-0.006446433227367203,0.18805971517894818,0.21461670014498538,-0.0338048611583592,0.19108976043299242,0.11808056132656072,0.23706048261266988,0.23214407666070502,0.08461479223261507,-1.3449741533779715,0.1742993538136464,0.15456659466361333,-0.15906182937652394,0.17622868356403149,-0.2545418142057983,0.08753693955671656,0.16412576470984885,-0.5919430047678914,-0.09506023633246735,0.15736484276025736,0.24324576858820995,0.0362931792427844,-0.4145617295471961,0.0213558760443869;-0.02659364150176378,-0.017933499902647,-0.011401650068423384,0.07375730507984743,0.07078685003227983,0.02768722838083135,-0.14051706487543064,-0.07352955607890031,0.08121970168178269,0.07164886755148248,0.08739643762598423,-0.05212077291596803,0.028035735817896087,0.09125185557091908,-0.034982601755771885,0.011310566759697835,-0.12957472354091057,-0.07117641568825456,-0.02592842202483372,-0.09495125701045501,-0.13063205744989861,-0.01262756329480043,-0.05910356493358141,-0.06977953190328462,-0.06785743166431946,-0.12165241906586867,0.023943376265693535,-0.06319382746573836,-0.12885731292849176,-0.012244198382456052,0.012543353254747099,-0.05816449228784882,0.07444276414958671,-0.08706644653236499,0.0719409771792347,0.07229362640997603,-0.14690345210549485,0.06767824087728971,0.052764130676714406,0.09201659809150214,-0.02207164655354158,-0.11185111291246341,-0.051840561934448144,-0.010038607792620469,-0.11866668451546086,-0.0633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k{122}	=[0.846960924825571;1.095694735678454;-0.2630064617915617];
x_a_linear{122}	=[0.34158976904842886,1.3116095949870843,19.623267784977738];
L_a{122}	=[-8.854821271370404E-5,-0.003033344678998463,-0.07885047225724078,-0.05361422025201745,-0.08576686154991435,-0.014006040063282245,0.16555006971229785,-0.05706489211628799,-0.02315252572280214,-0.04668851680210974,-0.02688180183084349,0.010833874399515454,-0.013929675535028026,-0.049350557082664843,0.0035716833730399934,-0.08664283762714066,0.18556964476919788,-0.0580031469208809,-0.07384813108185835,0.22622002623598678,0.07490083692512103,-0.004648514526937892,-0.062279020412021595,-0.05823594748070292,-0.0594935150137971,0.19588314193240117,-0.02384434030103473,0.011076195156039198,0.06526993488532393,-0.0782602405874585,-0.010943953956050221,-0.06288138193391521,-0.05286465917115147,0.031064672158878235,-0.048005377737754845,-0.06441221237506926,0.1449291126823124,-0.0745625306285386,-0.032636521955782115,-0.06191017549017221,-0.0015727786496855785,0.046035091170215904,0.010659221028894252,-0.07838067697142301,0.05886891815625787,0.0162546980304417,0.17746031617802802,0.003465020048581209,-0.05417738612111202,-0.02127762965335869,0.015664683436697212,0.00410964205363844,-0.07480116208510146,-0.07976720021436892,-0.08123270150525341,0.6399391852201393,0.008129712566898225,-0.05450108892659543,-0.05898854255084282,-0.08547784334380727,-0.03427822247719297,-0.07056466697498255,0.3023597229965519,-0.016302346331505194,0.015539996612373855,-0.03316295010230829,-0.014370585761668405,0.004536771000553032,0.034903225683827935,-0.06527915881752103,-0.05647673984271881,-0.08196997380989215,-0.08528156410444201,-0.015196257905949763,-0.04826977922805657,-0.08632542966437519,0.004157135579410262,-0.07107478007880362,-0.07887390392479927,0.012112813620622524,-0.07215426029110475,-0.032767398629569094,-0.08485708170076514,-0.07718413974880063,-0.01843633390856202,0.46623899794596074,-0.05274435370193093,-0.04531441965933822,0.04936851185697249,-0.06745345769944822,0.07858100755665486,-0.019221253251127626,-0.0636049192507411,0.1825436728379833,0.030057534644196224,-0.06155847000275077,-0.08312518975974512,-0.007608735607368842,0.12729499597741564,-0.0036167208712405193;0.00808740799583426,0.0068769809365519735,-0.10493295325174157,-0.040452410556906716,-0.09379756515751382,0.00587557366223696,0.1311789941290266,-0.08793407531363481,0.008537183274600004,-0.030101331924064823,0.004232087362118037,0.014337525147206548,0.00582570560985266,-0.028397765686213043,0.009978367299016947,-0.11137387778279975,0.15022315865061311,-0.08905643522453377,-0.10155173462605138,0.18777627532341445,0.06027876581855714,0.005900453541599686,-0.09248148474336666,-0.08898914840310833,-0.09056954136643051,0.15902430904490691,-0.009914603772665705,0.010660963488631277,0.050877578580845656,-0.10482119287676557,0.004798885682543008,-0.09348001676060433,-0.039167284114682684,0.027648213549755107,-0.031913977468997455,-0.05849678725691509,0.11448054136876198,-0.07647754584698853,-0.014718203610638698,-0.049167445860395384,0.0076747137596399955,0.035895562070610315,0.014185027058805809,-0.104796993339709,0.04792961125305214,0.017741659294687236,0.14162442711627618,0.009959220792726398,-0.08515982674619935,-0.008041031079937614,0.016667028473553426,0.010263902977791842,-0.07613922265043808,-0.10570693584374635,-0.10649451021298645,1.176407520381165,0.01082575849444488,-0.08567069492387674,-0.08917466986668471,-0.10779254439852753,-0.004875334351701476,-0.09979188245643299,0.2710262889050778,0.00701095400867857,0.017333060814946816,-0.0038661102727969945,0.0059626105488322844,0.010438017758828444,0.030074708176267964,-0.09496170835502635,-0.08706816914796343,-0.10646042465801996,-0.09938881891114874,0.006240934027437326,-0.026758965974628665,-0.10260532256579305,0.010383381483251923,-0.09968057052373067,-0.10469768429129792,0.015232848814107426,-0.10102071036703743,-0.014575503637016783,-0.10647629520643578,-0.0803294392391875,0.009976840764064937,0.5425553236876919,-0.03923173817945952,-0.02888503254891373,0.04080245005833751,-0.09685098222674642,0.0635868038509375,0.009721307965442674,-0.09337341597016498,0.1470697437398181,0.026625171578045274,-0.09184945978661296,-0.09327958997131056,0.005489851324315274,0.10078138471150445,0.006713884952135244;-0.02650759330189321,-0.01498579671117481,0.06522260906407859,0.12585781618871175,0.15413222560520276,0.04129783098734362,-0.30139310122502827,-0.01807579713853877,0.10371855400023525,0.11701921103257035,0.11351927608807019,-0.06264877072794307,0.041572129922747614,0.13920908101275123,-0.038453444535536146,0.09550718666906857,-0.3099051152414566,-0.014810892021298693,0.04583472879063453,-0.3147843336560521,-0.20341819269418943,-0.008110291913961686,0.0014171099838838448,-0.01318778041661739,-0.010043617991162324,-0.3120051233356716,0.04711451091799426,-0.07395730450706414,-0.19228445877865888,0.06380649329865373,0.023178322708408687,0.0029415374667373837,0.1258148767992954,-0.1172540588728797,0.11859100219786814,0.13488726613128826,-0.2877407301598852,0.1401356213456935,0.08447921422580225,0.152178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x_a{122}	=[0.341589769048429,1.3116095949870843,19.62326778497772];
std_x_a{122}	=[1.1047815288517637,1.5092072043146842,1.4473997481662195];
pred_a{122}	=[0.341589769048429];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.2 to 12.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{123}	=[1.1416157067979762,1.9496495606815512,15.347844571073722];
std_x_f{123}	=[1.5620630599795655,2.1690227601625054,1.7382401229644804];
pred_f{123}	=[1.1416157067979762];
obs{123}	=[1.2071419980889144];
sqrt_r{123}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{123}	=[3.440094668303725];
L_f{123}	=[0.007325636559517197,0.00403675621561666,-0.1239827657914049,-0.06284619994903844,-0.11916349044880233,-0.005007410353143096,0.22220586884176477,-0.09813963612101345,-0.010171619636503175,-0.0514929729470717,-0.015088563414421817,0.019174324305913367,-0.004870815620031609,-0.05181418614863065,0.011124175941367696,-0.13257076684191912,0.2511785382281668,-0.09919475602495362,-0.11875059281430807,0.30776205802381124,0.10098345302716702,0.002363364305169005,-0.10494705022903789,-0.10026738151922614,-0.1008772820320939,0.2651203141265084,-0.022126492064589474,0.017418701130436975,0.0871283966476212,-0.12331542433291318,-0.003237808369228012,-0.10603285859374686,-0.06134330293436871,0.04381881376480135,-0.05342648073734611,-0.08189040603775918,0.19467214313623735,-0.10049610675231731,-0.03154375308760245,-0.07391039693064029,0.005329389335561147,0.06163016336126063,0.019203997080049492,-0.12329317199202006,0.07989712868551081,0.02590132254600179,0.23891085956776326,0.010646003111891681,-0.09445642997408642,-0.018813656536376018,0.024759587474864186,0.011710353642376305,-0.10064399005581648,-0.12469598242685159,-0.12604008781390824,0.915605364411575,0.015148244696745404,-0.09480003254294875,-0.10039398099970984,-0.12948555165690137,-0.026256569512566195,-0.11463035991237011,0.414469318474711,-0.006204768213199576,0.02551973102502882,-0.024668257967889518,-0.004946267531961754,0.011753542779549007,0.048723464735818074,-0.10840296266924394,-0.09726135429852814,-0.12626663752385725,-0.12282316148013675,-0.005287597642816792,-0.04968636807491464,-0.1260231154509166,0.011555399247752438,-0.1152541967666686,-0.12360619772258978,0.02099626614357718,-0.11715328004175067,-0.030935580006662234,-0.1277924424978942,-0.10509601641399587,-0.005178889518414476,0.6497993495142262,-0.061822847221458074,-0.049190604779842426,0.06723480547424977,-0.11122450392824206,0.10615097365445822,-0.006328231398648263,-0.10651395223892901,0.24709668936911705,0.042662023993039706,-0.10392022801731175,-0.11733384747660501,-4.328541001908345E-4,0.17114169664500692,0.0032142769141022334;0.017515089513052737,0.012555674579969433,-0.19177514731703693,-0.09071703564691098,-0.17934099156280867,-6.550269607317886E-4,0.36356521788839646,-0.15434987760517271,-0.007533821507189414,-0.07258963360802013,-0.015456368563921472,0.03637744263089836,-2.493878661436143E-4,-0.07250221945624807,0.023183044334986504,-0.2044097606435555,0.4101389063486797,-0.15630518287889456,-0.18440280154734595,0.49782938004712046,0.1685438875119313,0.009271678936598712,-0.1645601198893651,-0.1569683830765582,-0.15922549945721887,0.4315332684000503,-0.028230033122826913,0.033750084160665786,0.14485854948509716,-0.19139818721571877,0.0015883269167695367,-0.16598293066163994,-0.08839327817664061,0.07561771711578835,-0.07650431939901642,-0.12114940015009053,0.3196695475977249,-0.15031345489425743,-0.04272612461960329,-0.10742785911386504,0.01494671021515465,0.1035547017505252,0.036748886731974614,-0.19074815303505954,0.13368795136176115,0.04683695901874424,0.38999671423771615,0.02271358080933845,-0.14836562721707972,-0.023349097750981002,0.044729908651282034,0.024285406074959857,-0.15032591738596904,-0.1931159083514284,-0.1946559165495752,0.9431535426605723,0.02918755967585449,-0.1490378489615516,-0.15690653937626697,-0.1983879633896227,-0.03243849263423674,-0.17921415078194175,0.6538324138539914,-0.002015525908668644,0.04587941978817975,-0.030476118244072946,-0.0010186243775552497,0.024996451557409875,0.08308891835220866,-0.1697549229330473,-0.15218555251323082,-0.1950155235288791,-0.1864007231820601,-0.0010964682970584674,-0.0702376882274412,-0.19172624049898887,0.02443100810618336,-0.17975282601866324,-0.19130556823284095,0.03816402664609998,-0.18287434893929969,-0.04197208617424037,-0.1965802090057824,-0.15734936331608199,-5.190733359063092E-5,0.918270851358322,-0.08900502347278674,-0.07023363396203583,0.11313773190563368,-0.17312340949880323,0.17628430516814791,-0.0010336418929014332,-0.16659040854469104,0.40317608841111113,0.07310504323116344,-0.16308735029565202,-0.1772333883522472,0.006002669109763906,0.28176911808797533,0.011855230893308014;-0.0404223745983225,-0.03167566543692,0.017969323959571404,0.06605994943973895,0.085611900706095,0.00986619917738003,-0.1700507369694566,-0.04563003373311916,0.05662907143921569,0.06067915254315675,0.06350253964624453,-0.06511087419930599,0.010469813553667927,0.077431956486134,-0.04810347209534262,0.04061881236941641,-0.15987800094646748,-0.04303736666339661,0.0028981207210284038,-0.1273713772596417,-0.14921649311838037,-0.02676047994504009,-0.031205321166492682,-0.04159654116604967,-0.03931767293943102,-0.15306556342298805,0.010970845678173264,-0.0742423880839967,-0.1457208363171044,0.016985287013864588,-0.003853179903834639,-0.02983560718218812,0.06647566948073995,-0.10080236816929664,0.06196087492842806,0.07173068099759058,-0.17328258441799266,0.07495845869141889,0.03830524209720433,0.08532801989594509,-0.035481626485465004,-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k{123}	=[0.7093103253193059;0.9683255964883464;0.34336090179899414];
x_a_linear{123}	=[1.1880941817905193,2.013100345781518,15.370343737542923];
L_a{123}	=[-0.006104496475698825,-0.0033638529418283628,0.10331557546869397,0.05237011186441568,0.09929964468843724,0.0041727048024825485,-0.18516547090530866,0.08178034194841023,0.008476071085251178,0.042909400340135205,0.012573389553025574,-0.015978078382456407,0.004058879599702701,0.04317706920971852,-0.009269841914408003,0.1104720077760071,-0.20930856846740425,0.08265957963413365,0.09895557463607847,-0.25645995174568026,-0.08415011147493594,-0.0019694055191631786,0.08745300057588042,0.08355340483230363,0.08406163855384854,-0.22092633316879937,0.018438137318235532,-0.01451510715800667,-0.07260461066386101,0.1027594758658332,0.002698084953895568,0.08835781113832089,0.0511177388515243,-0.036514477891892834,0.044520603871128266,0.06823976196329243,-0.16222145366302718,0.08374400292817759,0.02628559688828912,0.061589972955241795,-0.004441011801806356,-0.05135678134984532,-0.016002804881466604,0.10274093285793823,-0.06657875210114163,-0.021583725989325765,-0.19908583894226178,-0.008871377654190467,0.0787111043796997,0.015677531786928305,-0.0206323113700888,-0.009758307275864108,0.0838672349637408,0.10390990312911248,0.10502995413513672,-0.7629793909063052,-0.012623122320226119,0.07899743044209977,0.08365890093167468,0.10790107962925842,0.021879755397524736,0.09552216007550189,-0.34537974595902055,0.005170470222249273,-0.021265743507392583,0.02055620594922547,0.004121754126267217,-0.009794297040510104,-0.0406015526906292,0.09033283294814769,0.0810484644867762,0.10521873935464887,0.10234927030547308,0.004406186535906378,0.04140394576489614,0.10501581096420211,-0.009629182858048695,0.09604200703317398,0.1030017790592944,-0.01749631334218817,0.09762452441109874,0.025778802646034344,0.10649020170620534,0.08757713498299788,0.004315599409872779,-0.5414816592105691,0.0515173459555206,0.040990823265170666,-0.056027162926699084,0.09268404004553155,-0.08845623712027907,0.005273352828331026,0.08875870933162248,-0.20590713955785347,-0.035550518101167376,0.08659734352523034,0.09777499232753675,3.606998938097575E-4,-0.14261339277844476,-0.002678476052509827;-8.192574124472348E-4,0.0024526223319507544,0.11852458190573455,0.06657223518349305,0.11889722391396797,0.01187734450855605,-0.19256385773906784,0.09127057068848034,0.017923352309002136,0.056285177825324786,0.02230676014166737,-0.0116113855112707,0.011941119083287655,0.0571765131417063,-0.004658154079964201,0.12738371719443087,-0.21850195273574538,0.09195598260154066,0.11280202817325354,-0.2724267330525292,-0.08419396625582806,0.0033567334256836097,0.09809768630595914,0.09397731196978626,0.0932466332580039,-0.23200057971011145,0.027147377216956873,-0.009844831710792359,-0.07320335383506105,0.11723134314879015,0.00969180044257407,0.0993923987265763,0.0651345945777893,-0.03405047716338411,0.05720960769643351,0.08380304350011485,-0.1675490824820604,0.10120468566450612,0.036220477186496756,0.0775524968890917,0.0016085010117107017,-0.05069111524576038,-0.01131420539132889,0.11782568494906367,-0.06627578745741008,-0.017987965003826795,-0.20794102782704418,-0.003930863374804707,0.0880366215730552,0.0237370637139895,-0.01723752077390111,-0.0050228573851877085,0.10156234033173557,0.11896883451774533,0.12079280626461976,-1.3483915349015332,-0.008724937255442908,0.08822435631848452,0.09435600442129781,0.1256839458061891,0.033275531069475395,0.10767870416018623,-0.3834868980109287,0.01351355092839078,-0.01799047032402641,0.03126273488582118,0.011360720977696708,-0.00441990416446866,-0.038854464809257735,0.10155222002749949,0.09123676275799061,0.12100019997451607,0.12099678893420344,0.012137146119686165,0.054115615728114075,0.12368000447881528,-0.004489440915507898,0.10870134598017321,0.11805169959990303,-0.014384693794632029,0.1103327822492108,0.0354524013191831,0.12325424581295523,0.10568127023601846,0.012909636192082782,-0.7080242301906319,0.06572303594859086,0.052878890960744114,-0.055135187316916696,0.10524538822536604,-0.0893866384622729,0.014804434285874482,0.09998898518970982,-0.2152488621346839,-0.033667978072522926,0.09700056118709087,0.11642566069584699,0.007086001210195978,-0.14655833362429274,0.003810651070246217;-0.04692359476338405,-0.03525813102843434,0.12799925112487895,0.12183353021824084,0.19136490670779172,0.014310082913367002,-0.36724988322416935,0.04146511167275476,0.06565599191976568,0.10637718183558108,0.07689305826325256,-0.08212734816935069,0.014792474727474952,0.12341505011751251,-0.05797574959124887,0.15827025954237828,-0.3827892748668413,0.044994156999891934,0.10828469598245168,-0.4004983446445901,-0.2388354164465985,-0.028857874697471593,0.061931141947603414,0.04738689629152375,0.05020702772178668,-0.3883496262294432,0.030607254777052045,-0.08970081413589444,-0.22304393099057598,0.1264229743496789,-9.79749739832754E-4,0.06426446901572486,0.12091548707041862,-0.13968987689871953,0.10937481788013709,0.14440526084227337,-0.34604661007646276,0.16414488097980537,0.06629910747514475,0.15092064915475353,-0.04021125416141117,-0.18064107543673008,-0.0812924128954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x_a{123}	=[1.1880941817905188,2.0131003457815173,15.370343737542928];
std_x_a{123}	=[1.3016764300265833,1.820777532440085,1.687060005515462];
pred_a{123}	=[1.1880941817905188];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.3 to 12.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{124}	=[2.384570842277344,4.134672758058099,12.618442260529163];
std_x_f{124}	=[2.1317427799051143,3.3289886397295345,2.100743858874883];
pred_f{124}	=[2.384570842277344];
obs{124}	=[2.5315039739980665];
sqrt_r{124}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{124}	=[5.544327283248621];
L_f{124}	=[5.975816011457868E-5,0.00406207401596455,0.15538065503001464,0.08214631734514813,0.14613450199975744,0.013862375288052162,-0.28959869909645974,0.12763457506596046,0.01852503775903309,0.06901117163413815,0.02414394680508387,-0.014520914454648013,0.013346621938964073,0.06885413697318819,-0.004743299729145115,0.16363164077207307,-0.3311692791151603,0.12930977562496185,0.14988051350772322,-0.41632687173490335,-0.11871764585059456,0.005065910924380292,0.13522477090247795,0.13056414972550287,0.13029421782257442,-0.35294656928367313,0.03503892935973418,-0.011159950993884601,-0.10155793738596758,0.15439194880210397,0.011981386005167384,0.13719175940556855,0.0805935271491948,-0.04466241533208375,0.07043278032446235,0.10460032846471319,-0.24983544820025672,0.12574539163756046,0.04460206415121563,0.09462897637171522,0.0030374811134660663,-0.06746849402685906,-0.013566201333032678,0.15495547399723375,-0.09084763952981387,-0.021613649400801804,-0.3139701304222669,-0.0038950174711688606,0.12414683168726574,0.03157738464756973,-0.021528219892854895,-0.005810964779243953,0.12602455039728694,0.15531136063966533,0.15724212182365102,-1.289690372108597,-0.009652090908372412,0.12392506589771282,0.13078721948612546,0.1604393889409533,0.03773183067014593,0.14522881138583885,-0.579265556921506,0.01457742547810729,-0.022359672343675908,0.03542163203330395,0.01370192495086829,-0.005013861740791153,-0.05108152787588461,0.1386454974467477,0.12703463878033067,0.15738039275595264,0.1519999123453299,0.013901962652382594,0.06548256497099257,0.15512936716809675,-0.0045774389527939285,0.14635236212135136,0.15429668542664612,-0.017458152360018513,0.1480767225848732,0.04449723405149109,0.15808694356066277,0.13145466315077747,0.013274223121051996,-0.9390937100255728,0.08082239408613258,0.06473161563692936,-0.07503858761203104,0.14224020123252223,-0.1260888174607232,0.014243158378409084,0.1372764043897819,-0.32555919708815073,-0.04341962260700496,0.1345716831368947,0.1447734195735961,0.008918665138061832,-0.21578882713232275,0.004388325345499308;0.008212882811486381,0.013907793904533531,0.24252622281890854,0.12822787345496992,0.22191550137320593,0.02663142616291084,-0.4908145219480994,0.20936749775313357,0.03025281615271433,0.10891561016304342,0.03790046438378776,-0.013795605550491159,0.026514772995944968,0.10692004880836477,8.40046202852387E-4,0.2512850458474997,-0.5664197801375395,0.21070739225824223,0.2364448856674487,-0.7217374250507071,-0.18612173920901248,0.01549599271209757,0.21834020686338337,0.2126074845285373,0.21204782955894677,-0.6054883095448652,0.06012886061875854,-0.007883645017921916,-0.1565693757782989,0.24096973945853312,0.024893746107684828,0.22105078573332695,0.12542612434710104,-0.06142566026504759,0.11079750579324243,0.16039525847309205,-0.41839698219859844,0.19234057360043638,0.07311864705661852,0.14506200718735884,0.01246642641878868,-0.0996811386110478,-0.012498607339593862,0.24161419647987872,-0.13888649404129327,-0.02617986183345645,-0.5347079014660033,0.002613472337202182,0.20472677596071487,0.05459680806065193,-0.024521067753010595,-9.393564970446308E-4,0.19172007003142666,0.24202882600341954,0.24455679641819913,-1.7651254140778432,-0.00644147008461236,0.2041089121713231,0.21305513934045184,0.24653161102980117,0.059552266637845935,0.23057600196587477,-1.0131988714789595,0.027681895314916372,-0.02629746164565361,0.05636626664282791,0.025675047583475413,8.295518225758043E-4,-0.07183352341197012,0.22293103750324136,0.20803081077829952,0.24450194395019528,0.23144735800929683,0.026642658811745434,0.10088237927994086,0.23639009180777187,0.0013153757446534122,0.23240425286681946,0.2404743106728575,-0.018478920179578976,0.2345742109839211,0.07243027607162844,0.242387629076675,0.2002358309060479,0.022719170161959224,-1.573249778084115,0.1265492845098027,0.10199302475298175,-0.11192580597205123,0.2275294908870084,-0.19882614177668698,0.02594485679112241,0.22057776530158477,-0.5565623099262913,-0.05980927498647856,0.21732069995784653,0.21965438947419574,0.02064189396232049,-0.3574213468389722,0.015713941425808748;-0.07352263057693136,-0.06331855340803379,0.14126891782530548,0.09341661566159781,0.18406958218293773,-0.021248678363724953,-0.36486387190040054,0.05784173209425376,0.020263640993477907,0.07499057381553159,0.030839118237233173,-0.1061850356321179,-0.020906476272243086,0.08789733813025453,-0.08406658622552358,0.1704714838338571,-0.3723249677682207,0.059932616866121766,0.12294699557518306,-0.36807734926909297,-0.25600196117529495,-0.05811144419476963,0.07744230022300862,0.06308617842677312,0.0656466949927059,-0.3731553817489596,6.67158393816696E-5,-0.11141505668141825,-0.24036027719957492,0.13877382319232512,-0.033637448548428754,0.08069934945525238,0.09173884510496569,-0.1613215866115548,0.07825772357460736,0.12300613088285338,-0.3506888248532506,0.15073507671326236,0.032696425987174656,0.12262543007058525,-0.0676146148737907,-0.19938312211976053,-0.10598134783256488,0.14029746122476813,-0.2248691432327435,-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k{124}	=[0.8196354672240661;1.2738581290726607;-0.02032514105870823];
x_a_linear{124}	=[2.5050024483459534,4.3218447223306455,12.61545582390074];
L_a{124}	=[-3.174170920791428E-5,-0.002157649632260944,-0.08253345750674697,-0.043633614433095755,-0.07762218346123458,-0.007363270296151199,0.15382598252832538,-0.06779558739511868,-0.009839934169415783,-0.036656626273436105,-0.01282452701269412,0.007713066184913965,-0.00708931787194066,-0.036573214258510074,0.0025194959215581176,-0.08691612908834975,0.17590700476910273,-0.06868540275935996,-0.07961195034407305,0.22114011664201036,0.06305918698320825,-0.0026908571335957287,-0.0718272675641852,-0.06935168796394076,-0.06920830838277116,0.1874744360712029,-0.01861160893442551,0.005927825062606574,0.05394447402798298,-0.08200828696069523,-0.0063641462480539274,-0.07287207177102008,-0.04280881971441063,0.023723310712309466,-0.03741174138355995,-0.0555604992324592,0.1327049583085606,-0.0667921108672317,-0.023691254008592313,-0.05026402159762569,-0.001613417180905632,0.03583720305294324,0.007205951738532263,-0.08230761433022699,0.04825549097649119,0.011480510325060873,0.16677134236941082,0.002068914298775752,-0.06594300465317858,-0.016772942123850238,0.011435132780072473,0.0030866069819842725,-0.06694039147287766,-0.08249665044334344,-0.08352221180491302,0.6850441292239621,0.005126895846098219,-0.06582520944009378,-0.06947017580662518,-0.08522050243004028,-0.02004199584989962,-0.07714110827344023,0.30768816889121736,-0.007743083114321684,0.01187677492339745,-0.01881488890412765,-0.007278043978348972,0.0026632101972304456,0.027132947209610014,-0.07364425301085585,-0.0674769195665704,-0.08359565710036045,-0.08073771026489249,-0.0073842978948000515,-0.034782338203055096,-0.08239998107063827,0.0024313957437440453,-0.07773790410280661,-0.08195768596568229,0.009273237235829459,-0.07865383170663168,-0.023635571461885687,-0.08397095530466836,-0.06982470149274794,-0.0070508618314472984,0.4988178920746401,-0.042930386840065934,-0.034383456856206224,0.03985820552016282,-0.07555364985369489,0.0669745281737957,-0.007565530641888522,-0.07291703260096628,0.17292710056869773,0.023063177180595588,-0.07148036729311537,-0.07689921805372558,-0.004737322481018974,0.1146204332264913,-0.0023309443724419156;0.008070675870710324,0.004241245973523057,-0.12723428462044412,-0.0672563326062585,-0.1258418665139971,-0.00635697203784818,0.19834566926745653,-0.0943654555805955,-0.013831354819470504,-0.055310791363542576,-0.019555066489807885,0.020759923232656827,-0.005246283100769907,-0.056932656160518,0.012127712060914482,-0.13811039410175202,0.22166623140805575,-0.09701204838073918,-0.12022689383548288,0.2689987468594921,0.09639153094834181,0.0034406065787365536,-0.10345519229754713,-0.09809699954358737,-0.0980142955439638,0.23442128236733215,-0.02325354176385604,0.018673773868618026,0.08510880774509709,-0.1264379363720831,-0.003618447821744111,-0.10542547068676295,-0.0663628952657782,0.0448578236954772,-0.0568119085711577,-0.08852292586564717,0.17613830332340036,-0.10689667579256508,-0.03302121874720532,-0.080127275963191,0.005238109884560535,0.06087414147012639,0.019784983484229048,-0.12713450447426916,0.07730431353203357,0.025254301373752015,0.2124491672393084,0.011882474558529638,-0.0907063683570505,-0.02054813046877775,0.026709798214894644,0.012889039869738602,-0.10818149555095276,-0.1275667810567106,-0.12963345747873845,1.303960414775204,0.016527682873592835,-0.09079649443763989,-0.09818018551018715,-0.13526720335032208,-0.0302384531432865,-0.11502608719038838,0.3652837087885803,-0.007008113173612012,0.026912017940966593,-0.027926856155724145,-0.006931525749287982,0.012761076124282195,0.0497255707012317,-0.10700469021130544,-0.09427446968738186,-0.1300173543189778,-0.13026797076628022,-0.006439945736130493,-0.054946970566907324,-0.13277242402626627,0.012208341472148797,-0.11587155838191904,-0.12670666619035592,0.023066375625404,-0.11780507376270577,-0.03346012475947073,-0.13381305342936406,-0.11258781462763405,-0.00886959792603233,0.6615185506057331,-0.06578437146544631,-0.052049285344479224,0.06664408245837912,-0.11096058032458066,0.10122836061744228,-0.007949693779038779,-0.10609992142080932,0.21817334744115438,0.043516725826750306,-0.10292054136047579,-0.12486400037892044,-5.819202022831774E-4,0.1560929397675382,0.005271010764669792;-0.07352036158318394,-0.0631643180612835,0.1471686599552355,0.09653567890126748,0.18961825153252876,-0.02072232944666056,-0.3758598201766025,0.06268796652161518,0.020967029363828736,0.07761090075807967,0.03175585436581465,-0.10673638902135764,-0.020399710306233006,0.09051170252872072,-0.08424668744366766,0.1766845126350687,-0.3848993345563959,0.06484245799736865,0.1286378995028718,-0.38388511623031546,-0.2605096233205967,-0.057919093556904035,0.08257673138980623,0.06804364764741262,0.07059391500555555,-0.3865566236475418,0.0013971301544156555,-0.11183879561490373,-0.24421639198882666,0.14463602453710536,-0.03318252005185407,0.08590846639897937,0.09479894951390865,-0.1630174008897755,0.08093202843790026,0.12697776406028263,-0.3601749781907583,0.15550957959166417,0.03438994875488321,0.1262184549455574,-0.067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x_a{124}	=[2.5050024483459543,4.321844722330651,12.61545582390073];
std_x_a{124}	=[1.1323166458953773,1.7895454274827425,2.1002664302799703];
pred_a{124}	=[2.5050024483459543];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.4 to 12.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{125}	=[5.351693638708375,9.469105864159046,12.303953873987952];
std_x_f{125}	=[1.8783432736330272,2.945058384605853,2.801182303017467];
pred_f{125}	=[5.351693638708375];
obs{125}	=[5.644175235017454];
sqrt_r{125}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{125}	=[4.528557393725924];
L_f{125}	=[0.019594390102439324,0.013953345728676186,-0.1701216589628272,-0.09004437400488675,-0.1687065494714231,-0.0033269347051221427,0.33645487743702684,-0.12655208520320288,-0.01520304487748703,-0.07401201416548413,-0.023623085858921193,0.039377299314960444,-0.0026925853392926174,-0.07669609067680722,0.02618300695724117,-0.18367014224743422,0.3737238392718271,-0.12956006902755482,-0.1614809825683502,0.44499427535184116,0.1635865051322301,0.012065045883045245,-0.13886290413229452,-0.1307514092187532,-0.13162070744567472,0.39270442934232114,-0.028207464598596053,0.03695546249603807,0.14535875598119194,-0.16911307889068994,0.001031810198048046,-0.14132319974548135,-0.0886900282029924,0.07842765815945846,-0.0761892309935079,-0.11807253991227602,0.2989728475775879,-0.14358292273300086,-0.042803031387627324,-0.10763694018629444,0.015497029175472434,0.10552149708149454,0.03799485403989066,-0.1702342708532942,0.13212885064711316,0.04781569820476537,0.3584942697096754,0.02552336057845089,-0.12126908150484444,-0.022800360172750053,0.04893359657935521,0.02681760958978844,-0.14470579582483373,-0.1702297143526159,-0.1735327684415733,0.7511716346899193,0.033139008920895476,-0.12094733677815123,-0.13186452649735145,-0.1808148743051726,-0.03928143720024789,-0.15408050939772425,0.5631452019298231,-0.005384698279265366,0.049927451945728854,-0.03672871888174492,-0.004079611664699946,0.027457848225574927,0.0861000423077142,-0.14386261637410683,-0.12623595464082157,-0.17408510404266272,-0.17396041535971665,-0.004621717841462603,-0.07349367371454565,-0.17734174187811624,0.026168101410598974,-0.1554207526167579,-0.16889599530621655,0.043410320876116425,-0.15770390744921797,-0.04257933930596495,-0.17868472057284782,-0.1511470235426421,-0.007320938971358314,0.7348751252582939,-0.08832345600513547,-0.06931228317953195,0.11444870428963182,-0.14860690417435907,0.17173061192782804,-0.007760981344413294,-0.14194555405957565,0.3682894393713209,0.07566698536551006,-0.1372768952567844,-0.1664244456310711,0.006003428684931009,0.2656349819041477,0.014221998329599533;0.058440180219495666,0.046887016729308714,-0.296895306490511,-0.15357972459638253,-0.300139833319432,0.011084391891383966,0.6340790989177605,-0.2105136715555464,-0.016615597322334974,-0.12355773875332332,-0.03170578021347393,0.09811144786854602,0.012522119134033458,-0.13026638219239034,0.07144612631996917,-0.3238027726436952,0.6921559718595074,-0.21598760189962346,-0.2790454666024609,0.7944201960048657,0.33402386666474115,0.04364696769504098,-0.23421625051919326,-0.21838244564204481,-0.22019836735855935,0.7203346798916184,-0.034067646529867976,0.0953104243518428,0.3012494519093894,-0.2946181676307222,0.020729853494715865,-0.2384882974877853,-0.15140598417605672,0.17349313914913642,-0.12744067732780948,-0.20604699244702956,0.5725174158992955,-0.25309337363961554,-0.064476054834089,-0.1885193727393102,0.050841189209627664,0.22607372874503645,0.09619762461736887,-0.29611953340694536,0.2758023864804921,0.11526618075629341,0.6686517876383783,0.07128935067733452,-0.20053117611918023,-0.024251063215090185,0.11655180628534799,0.07460795551092958,-0.2546083185994139,-0.2979458687089781,-0.3031878347923929,0.19075530523480638,0.0866660954547688,-0.19922847949169806,-0.21977878659597935,-0.3186150593623903,-0.06089458694327106,-0.26445050134748177,0.9254547021528899,0.005918261866609755,0.11802493939706739,-0.05633477981147267,0.009899419682992123,0.07450815770973312,0.1883972186728346,-0.24365954239477436,-0.20956549705569325,-0.30509745026245433,-0.30765400132775356,0.008982949445905646,-0.12481988330188967,-0.31414799420619555,0.07200054207889357,-0.26742961251594605,-0.2947223512790086,0.10488544949114562,-0.27161298979330306,-0.0638993876899158,-0.31441856763788645,-0.266606273960283,6.694016104137948E-4,0.8783499511661058,-0.15079130901517573,-0.1151299124647847,0.24165107592743992,-0.2538771871824971,0.34850514634826674,-7.115795443844546E-4,-0.24024292712509088,0.6843234416635806,0.1695232226611852,-0.23119778861120036,-0.2944658480356213,0.03113954967887121,0.5157641515265384,0.04790625802792177;-0.07082025637898964,-0.06786287143697635,-0.04256085825026014,-0.028399243391246946,-0.009652741666578497,-0.050237862917329235,0.059838266831344425,-0.08016255961397362,-0.02826974851704222,-0.03067779792171688,-0.026837997565418475,-0.07825502864070198,-0.04941233447164012,-0.023120755287556714,-0.07331937711109392,-0.028003750112409288,0.10693110465905772,-0.08078546371879594,-0.051612980319205734,0.21751655153348298,-0.06980558081962704,-0.06521317716428766,-0.07224057070178261,-0.0795850794284656,-0.07722722073292357,0.1337602642242275,-0.0540767274672456,-0.08418595747990423,-0.07702320547073545,-0.043532579793650564,-0.05558781523033049,-0.07170399199361996,-0.029250907264695234,-0.08456157319894679,-0.03006242642827358,-0.02490961134979015,0.02043754115817802,-0.019638976448373317,-0.04037864598841423,-0.01821026073573932,-0.06898633775120823,-0.08663617677490587,-0.0791068335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k{125}	=[0.7791791263625263;1.1357810032792988;0.7563560150719643];
x_a_linear{125}	=[5.5795891933976005,9.801300905055703,12.525174088654174];
L_a{125}	=[-0.012322401129642661,-0.008774895379260503,0.106985076423443,0.056626559446606786,0.1060951509547613,0.002092222506254062,-0.2115877013843714,0.07958530730040181,0.00956079859556492,0.04654422629088902,0.014855942866901369,-0.02476335701311471,0.0016932967269253523,0.0482321720377208,-0.01646581051110064,0.11550536436598048,-0.23502517991842256,0.0814769499124638,0.10155118029258466,-0.27984529922150614,-0.10287528854418118,-0.0075873928323964565,0.08732726039440397,0.08222615270168368,0.08277283169487588,-0.24696157820911638,0.01773893914620111,-0.023240326972512243,-0.0914123322819377,0.10635080670873061,-6.488785353119156E-4,0.08887447616813772,0.05577484667821017,-0.0493211096873605,0.04791342119620932,0.07425274232004198,-0.18801622992409087,0.0902955570463134,0.02691771060827099,0.06769006569782234,-0.009745677656697007,-0.06635971867665952,-0.023893973218562833,0.10705589510568066,-0.08309238970748509,-0.03007004609445356,-0.22544770064014377,-0.01605097609978821,0.07626296399702667,0.014338552130488477,-0.030773063239761745,-0.016864895563265724,0.09100170266160994,0.10705302964118744,0.10913023425047881,-0.4723922587774898,-0.02084025881016053,0.07606062712596655,0.0829261631403612,0.11370976079101773,0.024703071828199665,0.09689721563837181,-0.3541473368721506,0.0033862963742334767,-0.031398072970877475,0.023097733824458247,0.002565561424611202,-0.01726752495094298,-0.05414607206696284,0.09047144908587666,0.0793865010309218,0.10947758371117779,0.10939917024897981,0.0029064778670216842,0.04621825549390117,0.11152559834866464,-0.01645643680138968,0.09774005966004717,0.10621428850160318,-0.027299619136163657,0.09917587621466124,0.02677703648953818,0.11237016263969557,0.09505242285709742,0.0046039476696690005,-0.4621438088293344,0.055544318979141784,0.04358868799102101,-0.07197380656666272,0.09345500800470756,-0.10799690499936827,0.0048806788466271445,0.0892658585721291,-0.23160762749026154,-0.04758499453517275,0.08632986075823078,0.10465999534168574,-0.0037753997966853193,-0.1670509152862479,-0.008943843996482353;0.011916237340969582,0.013756888348103137,0.1070330782465752,0.060217147408042605,0.10042858599894317,0.018983699773511768,-0.16478258635271203,0.08996528963545392,0.019481754407526544,0.05217269742549846,0.02438369699756439,0.004615951736120902,0.018915259510738375,0.05183699142625725,0.009278500091322459,0.11229445527393282,-0.1951952781526796,0.0916333661051665,0.10436692692965177,-0.26215202387570413,-0.05438777466121809,0.015000324316244854,0.09549290531683642,0.09206718111223634,0.09231527776231876,-0.21208313680745194,0.032906750982497436,0.00756521680893764,-0.043883130672025,0.10691549487111114,0.018279974806759625,0.09706246158130123,0.05917519668433682,-0.012721581963973471,0.05345923393095035,0.07429855919723266,-0.13734880653538042,0.08782275902073984,0.03715332872390372,0.06704841123693518,0.014045815820752566,-0.024471252599641738,0.005984537617036469,0.10807623138801191,-0.037917768521746616,0.0017349710403859085,-0.18253913175520617,0.010687955920370685,0.0874040845021926,0.029884975147991388,3.663144074787371E-4,0.010933560432993041,0.0889739079434841,0.10623907735795683,0.10883971821234126,-1.5927891705859674,0.007982484991446891,0.0879428464928788,0.09331377032432678,0.11070276271743493,0.03237329896368718,0.10139057767755645,-0.41164918676261764,0.018703420978628135,-5.203131088666526E-4,0.030872058999142794,0.019585846209298784,0.009313611937427944,-0.016034428815091494,0.09792068090143514,0.09016285949032972,0.10824154085392924,0.10538893519684872,0.019956525848781374,0.049679831154795434,0.1069233954099921,0.009868306837000467,0.10159367318353665,0.10629587878368786,0.0018141480512753323,0.10283130490175842,0.03719887254271506,0.10984152362985176,0.09226968251471425,0.018051874080340247,-0.8665009052078501,0.05891950109599927,0.04944171679063799,-0.030090221099676576,0.09896763651537299,-0.05924345608616074,0.017715707595511963,0.09678551899665498,-0.19012464018524816,-0.010136694617741122,0.09474562682957785,0.10068405771043401,0.016885307941678047,-0.11494630488661522,0.01413825430616196;-0.1018021656902377,-0.08992537451537073,0.2264290813350119,0.11397551871273955,0.2570996802568027,-0.04497743946042792,-0.47215147337411323,0.11993681609595838,-0.004231268360902687,0.08634720254167491,0.010513933263079997,-0.14051692655739711,-0.04515492026488876,0.09814820554528371,-0.1147189584608619,0.26240853935128006,-0.4839869098970467,0.1240700223660222,0.20371464821469037,-0.4860915838000585,-0.32846238208030315,-0.08428997187085151,0.14732420676928057,0.12715410875524816,0.13088646896321893,-0.48716914222331553,-0.009476150183385487,-0.1426185385207888,-0.30685897845784665,0.22386263108790913,-0.05721927453144735,0.15175091194568843,0.11098241442747038,-0.20856842311296486,0.09040510702359647,0.16178222772181505,-0.45228702958624717,0.20738891610154572,0.027299890049963246,0.15198120232882797,-0.09348965477195513,-0.25348278112821093,-0.13918286119054427,0.225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x_a{125}	=[5.579589193397601,9.801300905055701,12.525174088654166];
std_x_a{125}	=[1.1812411182928795,2.035760476776071,2.414814647540483];
pred_a{125}	=[5.579589193397601];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.5 to 12.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{126}	=[11.351845872219393,18.0904011376754,20.725870361155323];
std_x_f{126}	=[1.99682966707072,3.0569803294754654,3.2557170827373647];
pred_f{126}	=[11.351845872219393];
obs{126}	=[11.979202108480827];
sqrt_r{126}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{126}	=[4.988414287270601];
L_f{126}	=[0.0329479586141054,0.03410197184904957,0.08047228738574407,0.05292039808223445,0.06686433217813437,0.03372308833662871,-0.15825079826231023,0.0821969135461412,0.028348881803891557,0.049350382143836864,0.031533253657957505,0.029550004521311773,0.0331017877524005,0.04672804420955814,0.03204031089858783,0.07771559511936921,-0.1990608573919683,0.0832627754634949,0.08112435992540276,-0.2881725439499778,-0.02235402740558202,0.03394628466717782,0.08231006011013815,0.0834647886804591,0.08268886765161271,-0.2208177759202899,0.04291170543110741,0.03319707782101493,-0.011294827743132152,0.07951091888463502,0.034534850831810064,0.0839939209151826,0.05243737889335038,0.017769986166277008,0.04950193513514793,0.05903575697915689,-0.12238437570138315,0.06376661308966411,0.0426389613526535,0.053692811186808104,0.03436519586416847,0.008189910454542199,0.03044770516216656,0.07953198452990988,-0.0056486478149925645,0.028492469498560484,-0.1819577967820301,0.032824143857527674,0.08177839587191,0.042279528030645816,0.02644841155872225,0.033183925657184074,0.0647155517761407,0.07890349904910429,0.07925494110359589,-1.4981407014607133,0.03201401846970147,0.08229467318513876,0.08322160346258017,0.07674724843279586,0.03560210451080764,0.08101219256180671,-0.48069299382751157,0.03123091624009974,0.025583077360667845,0.034615161074546416,0.033297744396755355,0.03190365929884378,0.014641692133673178,0.08274816180927914,0.08254924808181986,0.07764394697156995,0.07144694397209776,0.03364947058199344,0.045747048941571423,0.07201312656011041,0.032598725892486205,0.08123747057098003,0.07876152056817025,0.027196382137542344,0.08160660219192956,0.042363670442331317,0.0765190491052742,0.06666920155081593,0.02959021929255964,-0.9691082946224494,0.05207888244860025,0.04777966904375957,0.002230606902207411,0.08163584803844867,-0.027578210414944307,0.028969312461731133,0.08319893765838719,-0.1922333743342101,0.01927608064043363,0.08279617652246937,0.06864095729821464,0.034866092854051275,-0.09388669419180094,0.03380455045881738;0.10484908263624738,0.10021495673659744,-0.013042281073859293,0.022231488660966862,-0.03892638331263673,0.07934162613365374,0.005365422397849421,0.043882692343055925,0.054977972651991856,0.032492041128014695,0.05171754742309771,0.11932141599282485,0.0791025608872589,0.024522248908597673,0.1098110175273686,-0.034023098162265744,-0.0512444220054931,0.0426410571109071,-3.6628509122357074E-4,-0.19184601830388096,0.13875224988910884,0.09813882588842905,0.030285965427665318,0.041855550401245604,0.03890117463093606,-0.08532477435833757,0.07264017812554198,0.12399535140182455,0.1437241393492579,-0.011401874862363463,0.08624304450484446,0.028926805902769175,0.023273982553237284,0.13613469389540472,0.031106673729240135,0.004135649865809405,0.05097341777511879,-0.014928654164247013,0.05440371045391802,0.004008677278614856,0.102554059037417,0.14434105872032463,0.1191950946933978,-0.012250651550720488,0.14261281833190945,0.12617785108683863,-0.027542132776468033,0.11007654580185176,0.05000386897109625,0.07694045231341858,0.12303025334116012,0.11229478894387182,-0.0154249148434676,-0.014713350998118968,-0.01876139913259444,-2.4878420796508043,0.11719201014722541,0.05097973649692431,0.039440093648229375,-0.032059993042266914,0.04277586382604311,0.010628477322930867,-0.5392074657751825,0.072040045439276,0.12342625751287295,0.04410597589652041,0.07887224795389959,0.11086368404759975,0.13710619152256728,0.024671611448066243,0.04518691981386451,-0.0223202695963768,-0.03586819642384797,0.07766413671945382,0.02555988424360598,-0.038205535374441976,0.11051190633488164,0.007655326447020381,-0.012659482728973366,0.1190409237413937,0.006787716391408754,0.054701699430426264,-0.030816269541787532,-0.020746015690964775,0.0661441005138876,-1.514363708504981,0.02326437305878751,0.03536687851896109,0.14139646743141035,0.017549636993082745,0.13549453293755845,0.0637412038133839,0.02750886814520073,-0.041292485128930204,0.13507972086173847,0.03329030843619829,-0.03277521000640353,0.09263375226190607,0.08285439923007898,0.09921998866143587;-0.05582790626557349,-0.044157547865501766,0.31733069174354234,0.16448264338438714,0.31574339423876296,-0.007729458751808475,-0.7039162377521072,0.23185254819079545,0.016295126233823877,0.1338805724315716,0.03413486108553982,-0.09535664568295787,-0.008278509457352267,0.1389765809572103,-0.06923795338935444,0.34332806003735467,-0.7761717068052599,0.23764179398673932,0.30056838702058897,-0.9091807328156314,-0.35070095771025483,-0.03954459971569471,0.25581850653950805,0.24019774755472387,0.24208671901932685,-0.8135726078557549,0.0414704728866021,-0.09003564562188195,-0.31218392352490826,0.31483879644914525,-0.016975903478295848,0.26216065070766603,0.16087942846514017,-0.175253668262651,0.13804773701052475,0.21780600907673314,-0.6291981132228783,0.26698624897498036,0.07113244781764647,0.19844760282494806,-0.046542855123173105,-0.2312611832561665,-0.09225670144582057,0.31746732689750085,-0.2856174698574681,-0.112770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k{126}	=[0.7995354951669126;1.1357378334157813;0.7306884380723042];
x_a_linear{126}	=[11.853439451224729,18.80291335022684,21.18427230954411];
L_a{126}	=[-0.019059351070384815,-0.019726911195800535,-0.04655067085294842,-0.030612775062853502,-0.038678899533530105,-0.0195077390776569,0.09154307726848829,-0.047548312492637475,-0.01639893072227844,-0.028547633853538954,-0.01824098903660793,-0.017093742192028288,-0.01914833635733255,-0.02703069437027726,-0.018534305599103948,-0.0449560116416384,0.11515040460749765,-0.04816487987131271,-0.04692787417538421,0.16669869439611248,0.012931097223656008,-0.019636851089462528,-0.04761376419818564,-0.048281738122473834,-0.04783289236954314,0.12773609324750657,-0.024823063195492535,-0.019203458645560306,0.006533700304689507,-0.04599454960776755,-0.019977317984278712,-0.048587824370255474,-0.030333363752353473,-0.010279374477360183,-0.028635302461509207,-0.03415031659927985,0.07079548719063661,-0.03688696710105114,-0.024665289379988322,-0.031059591592638044,-0.019879177956030288,-0.004737603941304917,-0.0176130335954975,-0.04600673541671305,0.0032675639495557815,-0.016481991658287735,0.10525682545254121,-0.018987728153136717,-0.04730621326652884,-0.024457368581289655,-0.015299568846001324,-0.019195850535124008,-0.03743589809194054,-0.04564317646116113,-0.045846474564570416,0.8666269712305666,-0.018519096261296164,-0.04760486334915613,-0.04814106317210839,-0.04439585373706488,-0.0205946904530077,-0.04686298890627069,0.2780656802971282,-0.018066096411053854,-0.01479900040511262,-0.02002377491743152,-0.01926169107296389,-0.018455256974442374,-0.008469755407568625,-0.04786719216276033,-0.047752126868161326,-0.04491456545620248,-0.04132979539094563,-0.01946515353701557,-0.02646321966175496,-0.04165731409525322,-0.018857330996104423,-0.04699330510326359,-0.045561046404356854,-0.015732246148380504,-0.047206836060894625,-0.02450604230286997,-0.044263847649883524,-0.03856602264260628,-0.01711700516417196,0.56059847072054,-0.030125984907490785,-0.027639026047032465,-0.0012903354816948837,-0.0472237538573107,0.0159531217198488,-0.0167578302177249,-0.04812795172188286,0.1112009217867557,-0.011150602454313726,-0.04789496715440564,-0.039706620925336625,-0.020168931008475475,0.05431048054896208,-0.019554862336609392;0.03097285127454214,0.023751185741932173,-0.1934780218960464,-0.09642713957960056,-0.18885023539988072,0.003727391413768281,0.36019689230858054,-0.14042002193051192,-0.00858616421970317,-0.07816186285879735,-0.01898661880786544,0.053064110151082165,0.004881412344372213,-0.0802518236079141,0.03796992264898391,-0.20827775693172326,0.39509175705759225,-0.14405154305903195,-0.18226410926639317,0.454297245935429,0.18887466626769686,0.022024138198214645,-0.15427044716565377,-0.14529000575693368,-0.14650460389437547,0.40979497778559865,-0.02357686268367681,0.04956054254577903,0.16904951131888912,-0.18968202593637776,0.008808668069743035,-0.15940517566801957,-0.0943016153919444,0.09629065910436416,-0.07988704383997836,-0.12823489521975068,0.3253848482454287,-0.15790677056104271,-0.041201780945567014,-0.11638186309309825,0.02550008461106972,0.1259775623150455,0.05092495579531632,-0.19057803621824315,0.1552782710766065,0.062291760497880315,0.38044539842616637,0.036477933084447335,-0.13336044092687466,-0.01785911421628169,0.06372736922787028,0.037889469996729645,-0.1605307507378895,-0.1916315394440706,-0.19646759435104305,0.8713034859296069,0.0454098684070979,-0.13354217538439278,-0.14716019026318686,-0.20414341550863474,-0.03705151912684292,-0.17101784410509413,0.5386070125624536,0.0020137830897810345,0.06606363410493968,-0.033508472941323544,0.004211723528434593,0.039328990707376395,0.10427644785732464,-0.16086711701085066,-0.13990580236214661,-0.19641427819610893,-0.19606722498247386,0.002214968440785287,-0.07701459119827878,-0.19967406400604285,0.037418727958145645,-0.17449611551127212,-0.18925932565225667,0.058060932764523954,-0.1761913960563238,-0.04028653202828568,-0.20238802126964206,-0.17023234399901552,-2.0337527676348097E-4,0.658580279515735,-0.0935074006918547,-0.07176515736842633,0.1363949790686701,-0.165495050774478,0.19733066296972368,-0.0012140686779493533,-0.15904059428091008,0.3897350454105668,0.0918587064790776,-0.15235607907686338,-0.1866826281151817,0.014456661761923856,0.2933680526899256,0.02342309878356387;-0.10335692794305348,-0.09335128937288574,0.20124553040198437,0.08814241311123135,0.21928836554438377,-0.056376642492562384,-0.47563181779208474,0.11327953031393187,-0.024599505010875412,0.06269026258026143,-0.011353380362867326,-0.13798395446140763,-0.05602943709672437,0.07156912023424114,-0.11545764939808471,0.23121956043746159,-0.4890168054369501,0.1175312188132789,0.18354257954566225,-0.4934779195193522,-0.31845419348480636,-0.0885137549435835,0.13708226927913386,0.11979575855861364,0.12280403358408282,-0.4950323006576275,-0.020431734820420305,-0.1379240337877124,-0.29589058896860854,0.20014045560425053,-0.06679409382623827,0.14099536290603729,0.08523597670162762,-0.20088773159256923,0.06663880464928326,0.13264407822474036,-0.4526527401445709,0.1749998296846331,0.009623686617252441,0.120993129341115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x_a{126}	=[11.85343945122473,18.80291335022683,21.184272309544102];
std_x_a{126}	=[1.1551027515303243,2.000079070459353,2.894078653530394];
pred_a{126}	=[11.85343945122473];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.6 to 12.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{127}	=[15.287730286600993,12.473784160479891,38.767864934399846];
std_x_f{127}	=[1.3376515660583184,2.614417177635628,2.54553574233647];
pred_f{127}	=[15.287730286600993];
obs{127}	=[15.67281889829715];
sqrt_r{127}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{127}	=[2.7917313837087665];
L_f{127}	=[0.04919015684560188,0.043407958283435084,-0.13016628751751197,-0.05757807920986505,-0.13350397055736493,0.024524281741445768,0.2774543514709254,-0.08332832366816219,0.010705402743448146,-0.04283983230614911,0.0028412077749753214,0.0677715335026812,0.025116492262778317,-0.04590788059315608,0.055269414423795335,-0.14465268761417724,0.2912685614291437,-0.0856591783119884,-0.12072335694196783,0.3085155416538121,0.17214398929960767,0.041043586656798255,-0.09589590239947715,-0.08712484963961181,-0.08855651950513801,0.2974055865717434,0.003264168395432766,0.06625920797146029,0.15852614640135115,-0.12855013401521195,0.02998360141563603,-0.09906491334706301,-0.05603547115522688,0.10301146901758768,-0.044205734065737405,-0.08371293164277267,0.25948995208797204,-0.10789398314576548,-0.01233856894939801,-0.07505614818667022,0.04516511271664385,0.12671447986990347,0.06636474297101905,-0.12968413368979378,0.14794974623322388,0.07594727907469476,0.2864289843016307,0.054472856685198884,-0.0772081674609961,0.008657512806006733,0.07612314093819118,0.055625526081028505,-0.10959917762881961,-0.12998215752927783,-0.1337316463624374,-0.576384813690312,0.06260865012075376,-0.07744910948324242,-0.08904798824566447,-0.1425911231529505,-0.011450103056280874,-0.11176913581649617,0.2896079013710718,0.021858291142943014,0.07767966046253502,-0.010006795094517643,0.024101002181009426,0.05655212422479034,0.10931238268779343,-0.10147240398874816,-0.08263798660162189,-0.13461538948682997,-0.1373008603244993,0.023224697211417754,-0.04298051582303122,-0.14034671815074828,0.05528997481256808,-0.11366885079955917,-0.12825901816809565,0.07177633279909514,-0.11564978638498936,-0.011904326500170067,-0.1402614362616426,-0.11577384857601956,0.0191490266247688,0.028277108088316363,-0.05540815048826237,-0.037759287690709735,0.13341254723593832,-0.10624807153072272,0.178730872835342,0.017778593816701157,-0.09901524573688646,0.28955157434472906,0.10000372527344494,-0.09354788731735778,-0.13043575536701682,0.035200355822884555,0.24119484295129362,0.04303298754549267;0.09598702709100781,0.09158966622037257,-0.04815612684521432,0.005299970836813784,-0.06672807425140663,0.0724639092990256,0.08148276505915558,0.006395366669535428,0.05194403716702507,0.01778538923248712,0.04744317910357432,0.11024747617108469,0.07118936640945295,0.010335444902081402,0.10193958517191032,-0.06855629164426975,0.04306164336566247,0.004331662409959234,-0.037775846894011214,-0.049623243704222525,0.15145849132894298,0.08860825653368685,-0.007736097385906317,0.003261295911714704,9.228180912954376E-4,0.023281445157236562,0.058977001320772486,0.11279094937196064,0.15147731176284662,-0.04807416806996375,0.0784786771815182,-0.009538052616797474,0.006843291823764815,0.13181384968050408,0.014962647729737813,-0.017360245233372724,0.10924732000564996,-0.04065865277309166,0.04295376207436654,-0.01374771148729874,0.09341852527086966,0.1441199512559766,0.11035704082508958,-0.04971010990632265,0.1477498972289178,0.11735706746864207,0.06054400742300662,0.10081782192123687,0.012719755857753359,0.06395880139699861,0.11482853824667727,0.10145311022558241,-0.041126613377469874,-0.049849389397661065,-0.05433296636119963,-2.2643283392531965,0.10696144194191981,0.012841918919180488,7.348410803336302E-4,-0.06724384809882533,0.03646389036981751,-0.027601256442936574,-0.2853006886024857,0.0660622383312416,0.11598283204807079,0.036632218563735074,0.06994755723692772,0.10177313032168453,0.13499298271839666,-0.014254196961608536,0.007098930704762385,-0.05728236934728003,-0.06639873332072582,0.07012209774381441,0.013449382768170124,-0.06899324631197826,0.1017358489582692,-0.028932485069955435,-0.0476409509339735,0.11223774427713383,-0.03109932269621596,0.04249642759892154,-0.06448161011778823,-0.04566280406633751,0.061583581373277366,-1.041190373890855,0.005514777226202876,0.020883550826336805,0.14368066689070816,-0.02041793461176147,0.15048336522980918,0.06015960679322313,-0.00995450218246277,0.05050487282046986,0.13141753041460705,-0.005164330837085622,-0.061834414589741364,0.08397516374960153,0.1282128827907574,0.09090739138213978;0.037634462984622585,0.027950380365787435,-0.24969844013706036,-0.1301334904805568,-0.24080999601236122,0.0010289586292469362,0.5550050701546755,-0.18911567463471152,-0.014791620695150002,-0.10716157171509319,-0.028344612755847078,0.0688522107199352,0.0028793371161671515,-0.10866120501911733,0.048093544676653326,-0.26499805253577724,0.6108956175671549,-0.19335224919746719,-0.23717058264125632,0.7012554126254161,0.2745713301033743,0.025363907406162494,-0.20549027924435595,-0.19598764922443077,-0.19710450717733788,0.6347553934959081,-0.036491687865102214,0.06350747879758069,0.24379031648245286,-0.24483821171510514,0.007777313589735735,-0.21092373044309692,-0.12787312698937786,0.13221714561457898,-0.10896616273801175,-0.16933221296613601,0.4984140618754332,-0.2053413861009271,-0.059241231794296745,-0.15412960852422272,0.02995559668335911,0.17702246121619675,0.0660981170400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k{127}	=[0.6417993486638688;0.6294316325431749;0.9225946732603425];
x_a_linear{127}	=[15.534879906765461,12.716171114013587,39.12314563628394];
L_a{127}	=[-0.05528270399056699,-0.04878433943909041,0.14628829838799398,0.06470952957713506,0.1500393769642566,-0.027561786646647546,-0.31181902573326087,0.09364912305192301,-0.012031342222051945,0.04814584706082556,-0.0031931113554419612,-0.07616551492964987,-0.028227346609257322,0.05159389472230673,-0.062114920408021315,0.162568941097603,-0.327344222824638,0.0962686704488572,0.13567579439761582,-0.34672736294115003,-0.193465233991349,-0.046127123745120416,0.10777328486466475,0.09791587548637692,0.09952486774140325,-0.33424136172594116,-0.0036684586257058633,-0.07446587723704634,-0.1781607254024185,0.14447197289931135,-0.0336972814873216,0.11133480012285234,0.0629758586574487,-0.11577016449057981,0.049680925367091566,0.09408136743121075,-0.2916296090462329,0.12125741235858388,0.01386678755747364,0.08435238041422932,-0.05075912981639661,-0.14240896006805162,-0.07458448348909734,0.14574642641512503,-0.1662743636326115,-0.0853538841348647,-0.32190523000703875,-0.06121970338701364,0.08677094242243696,-0.009729806702005094,-0.08555152772793992,-0.06251513900045644,0.12317380718019275,0.14608136260473797,0.1502952520202589,0.6477741296884801,-0.0703631721024704,0.08704172680998311,0.10007720834459377,0.16025203736775318,0.012868278910122141,0.12561252996243055,-0.32547787832999636,-0.024565594348231693,-0.08730083315076935,0.011246207098726396,-0.02708608093344347,-0.06355650284608477,-0.12285149066714497,0.11404047542537447,0.09287328288082829,0.15128845295073867,0.1543065382530513,-0.026101239425589378,0.048303955221459284,0.1577296470090244,-0.06213802734565562,0.1277475380170858,0.14414480030554208,-0.08066633680627454,0.12997382641737407,0.013378761124539907,0.15763380235770583,0.13011325458396175,-0.021520768350614162,-0.03177942695044343,0.06227083991055152,0.042436041235896185,-0.149936630220998,0.11940764300544603,-0.20086794941405658,-0.01998059779362322,0.11127898082957531,-0.32541457480498975,-0.1123898905140438,0.10513445158837292,0.14659114172728052,-0.03956016764547363,-0.2710685218748151,-0.04836292593606426;-0.006472602214420967,0.0011739489339607956,0.22297107465913515,0.12523105116409353,0.2113512857523718,0.021381559143130217,-0.4964350913550577,0.17996239107405487,0.029645437874042488,0.10701774015529636,0.041525143584448004,-0.030915850913651104,0.01887348348241913,0.10595832414063776,-0.013182709143288658,0.23274506011809593,-0.5636302386307225,0.18275369273610736,0.2136823958517009,-0.692239369772531,-0.20710530398801624,0.0031173586814917265,0.1920083076299215,0.18473621629843423,0.185379805889794,-0.5961934276135535,0.05217796864363948,-0.025222310234755574,-0.1787214767159678,0.21968669961142182,0.016024948970597364,0.19680717881992682,0.12356122831135584,-0.08275177902603244,0.1070400757356373,0.15700789047132277,-0.43125195880066086,0.1840769086950303,0.06865413145279506,0.14258895449320724,-6.572208384660448E-4,-0.11981737823561181,-0.02787604074656737,0.2204127991618151,-0.1604189952279427,-0.040835761335987875,-0.5360673765575581,-0.01264529877365571,0.17353892629128767,0.04592581248836957,-0.0437305984231491,-0.014410939569396255,0.18716074800004828,0.22089428232048314,0.22422062629572548,-1.063759401582319,-0.023447962988840432,0.17416295460110046,0.18621552362181903,0.22976341021005586,0.06031364792065948,0.20520597487960893,-0.8885335327574904,0.02053295866690341,-0.04581842507222508,0.057475667368703055,0.019746868568532912,-0.016020958091039633,-0.09269700501307968,0.19710566777822935,0.17922803166139445,0.223111997942885,0.2195892804260218,0.021746690556524024,0.10297476753989329,0.2233390745849589,-0.013429271197445915,0.20783171865179476,0.21951354295856473,-0.03726729744456057,0.20979103021424636,0.06729230056526808,0.22767307461564518,0.195485961642923,0.021697508724801532,-1.10008959679133,0.12092604898421029,0.09953348544172243,-0.1342082647789507,0.2008893089821949,-0.22180044418402972,0.023128049082427615,0.19628727512332367,-0.5526106461091442,-0.07688318008811353,0.18968932427378482,0.2098540694503957,0.010655303836318545,-0.37417897330230226,0.0012727117112508457;-0.1125465945505403,-0.10457721252053756,0.14770852028725642,0.04565649233495971,0.16678714880627712,-0.07384542282029895,-0.29208285543224755,0.0652916412516134,-0.047475978876752506,0.02363149203871245,-0.03701902275340508,-0.1380591151406244,-0.07380310529680174,0.03149882899578975,-0.12064791987220208,0.17663692068433764,-0.2783680763762273,0.06817133217403033,0.1314064371809659,-0.24066454215402674,-0.2509965480898888,-0.09994509025573801,0.08728675094171257,0.07001073125519612,0.07326486352134488,-0.273245075955802,-0.046457426806281676,-0.1387866093434675,-0.24020131599508374,0.14763451678804795,-0.08376476023301996,0.0915285162083874,0.04320716340261138,-0.18228421700295377,0.025997096516246723,0.08624933850038388,-0.29382727101238204,0.12406664041486641,-0.021570700693788875,0.07502216557096099,-0.10793671402365315,-0.2098458842459231,-0.13651817698232652,0.14948998758549314,-0.2294640406590846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x_a{127}	=[15.53487990676547,12.716171114013596,39.123145636283965];
std_x_a{127}	=[1.5033291274315603,2.7014222036576223,2.72808802693213];
pred_a{127}	=[15.53487990676547];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.7 to 12.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{128}	=[7.712643788053903,-1.4431544525054023,35.180197542594904];
std_x_f{128}	=[1.3576401972964312,2.4709904569156316,1.791852130420156];
pred_f{128}	=[7.712643788053903];
obs{128}	=[7.632192760636766];
sqrt_r{128}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{128}	=[2.844948835001934];
L_f{128}	=[0.04197534617892884,0.041830122925823394,0.028144071676007517,0.03481417839627699,0.01887727127532372,0.03938693219681922,-0.1135726450353124,0.043952040793822394,0.03416454868307328,0.036891182803474636,0.03461604675467532,0.041105568283905686,0.038408392521418123,0.033244044995275876,0.041265596686247,0.021236242617037646,-0.14880235477653903,0.04414799949255256,0.03162491779207903,-0.21908029999449952,0.004095367254988997,0.04071949345225431,0.04021291238079593,0.04417728382600242,0.04330666146367132,-0.16511506576599577,0.0413592028998235,0.04276623524185851,0.013058415590835582,0.02737996116187508,0.040427683408594366,0.04006008781227172,0.03483006744372685,0.03438434035771764,0.0358210441505845,0.031026734186653037,-0.08322151640393757,0.025612266866866802,0.03892917705016204,0.03049256743732771,0.042056771471252447,0.027822397789191152,0.04103189746130554,0.027179001036157883,0.01730961833088652,0.040096004751471244,-0.13404132706022695,0.041619452582563284,0.045980212874267755,0.04170935881223768,0.03886589550891173,0.0419207755621867,0.026254496120547654,0.027295284155611072,0.026045585103800086,-1.0575795140463775,0.041434660626529216,0.04593470473276311,0.043162611616774184,0.02085485993164851,0.03488621720175909,0.033796905291063,-0.34344887011570024,0.03701765728880539,0.038773137658814724,0.033297025698506594,0.03839090914648089,0.041797461486100265,0.03280686395555532,0.03856401622030391,0.044747153784209154,0.024393694730982327,0.019728432310211375,0.038529945746318274,0.033997001326434725,0.01967988014991139,0.042028420722986605,0.034456445458144094,0.027440356142942303,0.0393599313662414,0.03305634801248301,0.038614434873264304,0.02238761578045868,0.025274798789408737,0.0354977367545398,-0.5815663492166373,0.03420615141030917,0.03590750198433838,0.023036905326459967,0.036863787360440985,-4.10496827841949E-4,0.0354239505314381,0.04078144949895094,-0.14266891388265135,0.03586046914303227,0.04114095912433888,0.020720227284475767,0.04153654830973361,-0.05706293989898851,0.04165235862843423;0.1266630137562847,0.11833510697804485,-0.16850094616311284,-0.04641520807432717,-0.18354970985198202,0.08698096046695028,0.26714102344320906,-0.07889543968603106,0.06041081853216835,-0.02156262544531209,0.0484335257641516,0.1544926644017608,0.08662120851002562,-0.02900124036005175,0.1352847665122786,-0.19948430151994873,0.23945109065676487,-0.082933309648722,-0.1502843246967909,0.16930408300187275,0.2671661814464793,0.11326770696149777,-0.10272604996175497,-0.08542631840368334,-0.088535974864677,0.2259595216377506,0.05575550126602082,0.1540940434803139,0.2576009068119605,-0.1676060974746575,0.09649232625728799,-0.10833925251956923,-0.04437653279692028,0.1996947212158793,-0.023881401278981525,-0.09205026921352776,0.282513690328183,-0.13464985135397398,0.028633763503195,-0.07818915957919458,0.12163550488239419,0.22866970823760757,0.1524555198747392,-0.16926159184150857,0.2481501527003393,0.16559146260133328,0.2527286897405678,0.13489807940000048,-0.06704686433980371,0.06463753793968434,0.16448704301357017,0.13667191760447386,-0.137206688736426,-0.1695283348001656,-0.17746555470619882,-1.8834814745393307,0.147271180630221,-0.06763098064975072,-0.08941593477991205,-0.19637864087365833,0.026664683047975816,-0.13484585485543776,-0.019508855719413395,0.08126268360470922,0.16681025227729587,0.02731166442493908,0.08477192801570628,0.13876903955663097,0.20821593270016847,-0.11307154386510983,-0.0776372693799872,-0.17919955969926687,-0.18796338532552095,0.08416246588472856,-0.02372084941777109,-0.19383981427064764,0.13684909031382686,-0.1369196784223707,-0.16685585716008383,0.15889390990597496,-0.14177738799152578,0.029114973997087727,-0.19146085994443732,-0.14847355321015798,0.07506967865737539,-0.6206755162345632,-0.043097275706650735,-0.01424778616682482,0.23304234804129745,-0.12235910072468353,0.27183561457551153,0.07280388217301417,-0.10739209234635733,0.24461612107319164,0.1975483903309653,-0.09785048378305153,-0.1765225430657457,0.10481335199790644,0.2898767519697926,0.11731716134447319;-0.026775680007319797,-0.02085435320075802,0.15953892056050092,0.08717086865799815,0.15431009916075836,-0.001116666346363541,-0.4238554460184633,0.12430731934934107,0.010089308153859137,0.07289558012230277,0.019690236077661655,-0.050055346895393094,-0.0019444815148133262,0.07301198232011931,-0.03281465615138361,0.16808688846126646,-0.4638058533081605,0.12660167918257573,0.15250174385291942,-0.5277684825317603,-0.20433037917810085,-0.01802184265924703,0.1344349284723377,0.12796866310327368,0.12847026000389503,-0.48198016083619516,0.025060180555365175,-0.045329280967927245,-0.18078309971012033,0.15786341672444412,-0.0059756751570231754,0.13819908023395802,0.08605791304551777,-0.09603988465761079,0.07277304774673284,0.112738287452431,-0.37971111955935627,0.1339956434205585,0.04047455959226879,0.10203132800233833,-0.022088914102641237,-0.1300113990019063,-0.046968597967927295,0.15827175891843062,-0.16404472889239383,-0.05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k{128}	=[0.6484998296992851;0.7528468870063457;0.22928344833169015];
x_a_linear{128}	=[7.660471310474757,-1.5037217580528561,35.161751453606875];
L_a{128}	=[-0.04566453933044155,-0.045506552474901464,-0.03061764070960682,-0.03787397992757582,-0.020536385642393126,-0.04284863087823584,0.12355449062813778,-0.047814964692064636,-0.03716725456878174,-0.04013353126129636,-0.03765843459051165,-0.044718317071148525,-0.04178408781757166,-0.036165848250985955,-0.04489241029343077,-0.023102685849993403,0.16188052275234358,-0.04802814610734506,-0.03440441673029765,0.23833516304972754,-0.0044553071293531536,-0.04429831030671863,-0.043747206066552025,-0.04806000422689188,-0.047112863280461964,0.17962695012875696,-0.04499424351246412,-0.04652493925582204,-0.014206113507654728,-0.029786372886902827,-0.04398085321752815,-0.043580949819604475,-0.03789126545582625,-0.037406363628859914,-0.038969338632708635,-0.033753659053151565,0.0905358157802232,-0.027863316783577043,-0.04235064385010899,-0.03317254464304997,-0.04575312105286392,-0.0302676950583313,-0.04463817135509441,-0.029567750471603562,-0.018830952428511252,-0.043620023481456285,0.14582215535172777,-0.045277366415668895,-0.05002139184912987,-0.04537517446097999,-0.042281800524386355,-0.04560517252822663,-0.028561991259991266,-0.02969425365895312,-0.028334719153641878,1.1505296730222827,-0.04507633318277325,-0.04997188401877779,-0.04695615296123939,-0.022687783622322398,-0.03795235018930599,-0.036767299174430314,0.3736344274694045,-0.04027112152880872,-0.04218089023109408,-0.03622348540294945,-0.04176506783715157,-0.04547102043681941,-0.035690243578239654,-0.04195338920911302,-0.04867995978387135,-0.026537644923984166,-0.02146235481459443,-0.04191632429742192,-0.0369849815548959,-0.021409535428087302,-0.04572227857085759,-0.03748480601216536,-0.029852075954044946,-0.042819256957539104,-0.03596165466991546,-0.042008239133430055,-0.024355252651490068,-0.027496188797778858,-0.03861761590385793,0.6326799382156316,-0.037212513739867926,-0.03906339520422687,-0.025061607945948656,-0.040103728045843404,4.465751982152836E-4,-0.03853734464480716,-0.044365711640803565,0.1552080166642231,-0.03901222866893509,-0.04475681839566436,-0.022541318176015544,-0.04518717572584935,0.062078174465087434,-0.04531316455821368;0.02492140649338467,0.01694549793619183,-0.2367177292965583,-0.1307992760573719,-0.22930523291788432,-0.008486740258549895,0.5424231711528565,-0.18542824238850897,-0.02239864966400681,-0.11098102395608123,-0.035470302423364346,0.054859261336252935,-0.0064746666462122005,-0.10957955305154783,0.0352634798831065,-0.2509575984136123,0.6001244886779374,-0.18994108527652057,-0.22693812886096876,0.7003201167009057,0.25723965826598405,0.014570088290203951,-0.2001957961528689,-0.19250507462899982,-0.19350448003726842,0.6261723537783654,-0.04449267203559135,0.050435446085013165,0.22594937057792588,-0.23397079744712218,-0.0014979909725631796,-0.20543857610202512,-0.1287991133206004,0.11635251272624653,-0.11070595277119172,-0.1672541708278873,0.484229497547488,-0.1967299396413565,-0.06572441106961449,-0.15209832538861048,0.019696535575652006,0.16123261178309306,0.05300068324362767,-0.23513919621983367,0.20619437269117277,0.06840508203293717,0.5776236887389421,0.034019101985451584,-0.1784956357251992,-0.036459357970903335,0.07028225289861488,0.035062580894698506,-0.20084343926602546,-0.23568779108794943,-0.24059593793799908,0.6799241757375669,0.04684010972098147,-0.1789694474901762,-0.19403528588271132,-0.24692752639431395,-0.05789399561782033,-0.21676421355502334,0.8129569424004187,-0.008462269076226065,0.07283029253574301,-0.05339506512052739,-0.008281570201961092,0.03745859668434036,0.12869727777674456,-0.20654462627975492,-0.1860973003476643,-0.2383260216569896,-0.23578198826120847,-0.00922803508392322,-0.10612420929301938,-0.24154073444074367,0.03497883874161835,-0.22043665828322548,-0.2333669450245788,0.06349165492781203,-0.2219007528518276,-0.06448031526646203,-0.24572490347557896,-0.20973567219589045,-0.010971226787620381,0.7889494299682622,-0.1260075823406432,-0.10128189778819029,0.17720452923484115,-0.2117110970098691,0.2728305940299497,-0.013058177125002233,-0.20623988268612808,0.5904230274176526,0.1106282788859946,-0.19756966865421058,-0.22674510032087572,0.004135321442275707,0.4281883026529345,0.01635842487370831;-0.057761617459764075,-0.05173308775800549,0.13876314325321032,0.061471260377298276,0.14037501582596912,-0.030191852821107965,-0.34001683131420973,0.09186219832188623,-0.015130747544362482,0.04566274020664305,-0.005863112667076213,-0.08039921975740343,-0.030297316134555455,0.0484714366746144,-0.06327666097696191,0.1524104272677962,-0.35396088768886913,0.0940119026719656,0.12915642776030362,-0.3660447782469808,-0.2073535536164233,-0.048080717500407044,0.10475000860293418,0.09535726908126173,0.09650155395279111,-0.3600932542107608,-0.005470923790362072,-0.0768990477694209,-0.19042274025056632,0.13765170100932508,-0.03581913765298645,0.10862697450315138,0.06034657556958029,-0.12142218919242422,0.04633017747712552,0.08983454674799216,-0.31827751777325675,0.11508882855430182,0.01173728509762777,0.079521905844152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x_a{128}	=[7.660471310474754,-1.503721758052863,35.1617514536069];
std_x_a{128}	=[1.4769625465805614,2.5646611728310873,1.80289640956759];
pred_a{128}	=[7.660471310474754];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.8 to 12.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{129}	=[1.141695795210806,-2.736689465712051,26.374375809808054];
std_x_f{129}	=[1.7482371292709145,2.3628292156170176,0.8515896221005539];
pred_f{129}	=[1.141695795210806];
obs{129}	=[1.0909684491627767];
sqrt_r{129}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{129}	=[4.056495764738674];
L_f{129}	=[0.01275557044068538,0.006846207608668228,-0.155288708255215,-0.08866540592318707,-0.14886345246053073,-0.009258549646007806,0.39668394439613197,-0.12541023197800893,-0.017612185575559842,-0.07634350256134426,-0.02702724258093462,0.03288963661364015,-0.00776066592622937,-0.07479114985764582,0.018817239008638343,-0.1631378225085166,0.4415787948012168,-0.12854199369209282,-0.1498505696645722,0.5170741868992244,0.17805075358849198,0.005609838876233002,-0.13439002187123017,-0.12997677629241555,-0.13094476233268162,0.4613217109453185,-0.03363053188591142,0.029289141457425397,0.15504299643803898,-0.15469796769096444,-0.004930837093355837,-0.13787775377724773,-0.08749642543721228,0.07584295007009098,-0.07553703171013457,-0.11159558508004068,0.3511662349698316,-0.12963824009315944,-0.04765639527660902,-0.10156293067271731,0.008911364023533949,0.10738876424111964,0.03174231570941642,-0.15447820319534,0.14084706051075813,0.04235585127206945,0.42385640531317686,0.01842313512864029,-0.12108137123817624,-0.028304349070348185,0.04325532871031892,0.019667832433370027,-0.1323021618682469,-0.15428210745155965,-0.15743193558319316,0.20076228066820337,0.027621908589077513,-0.12214281612821219,-0.13098512190473724,-0.1604854586799709,-0.04107436558041662,-0.14405214787175485,0.5924144042156982,-0.008699695092595014,0.045244554140347365,-0.03810934569829915,-0.008765001202062497,0.020841319594979344,0.08455877001978808,-0.13852696104454612,-0.1262133174134163,-0.15547742495701086,-0.15350143151071666,-0.01003158525048975,-0.07282898975793739,-0.15763906918186185,0.018743657277028376,-0.1464056620146046,-0.15315382708502215,0.03883540572117859,-0.14700403664558906,-0.04628184312433064,-0.16006978098222518,-0.1382439362921338,-0.010446464458939446,0.522904185990194,-0.0856437349020101,-0.06973638168437178,0.11895489701083538,-0.14101750652766115,0.18982911672901753,-0.011330815372958727,-0.13883783341516495,0.43439832559077246,0.07104919372988282,-0.13315768110007764,-0.14842037898527202,-0.001469407079466559,0.30753700140133877,0.0070066050598613285;0.052335194131848756,0.04323813183514089,-0.22016316115737794,-0.11242082719192116,-0.2165652707865222,0.015489283133525555,0.5520680806717793,-0.16327819340394598,-0.0015876555675511622,-0.09160379767593829,-0.014741089539660772,0.08411707672908254,0.017350986302780712,-0.09177983361886198,0.06232514334612159,-0.23651526189939528,0.5937763809586983,-0.1677110041252111,-0.2087892986582087,0.6499072072979495,0.2915892771823779,0.040575985487241596,-0.17920788215027525,-0.17031830745245752,-0.17208187565353308,0.6110224859463118,-0.02140024158655449,0.0799147274076607,0.2605011138295869,-0.21784023114298984,0.023170495915985353,-0.1846285728370462,-0.11044346863376495,0.14737029231709184,-0.09137939772225076,-0.15055379338652397,0.5039397253863287,-0.1826685521849679,-0.04410647329296284,-0.1356049617444833,0.04646726269263063,0.1945761464782862,0.08164051160687891,-0.21911970631062228,0.2399044445824469,0.09798333323858832,0.5785293707684124,0.06235370578587213,-0.15538899777599985,-0.012483782650083524,0.09965294188334786,0.063534703713165,-0.18606017526571564,-0.21916278307749082,-0.22456021707602206,-0.6444170251579454,0.07556885488306549,-0.15606987211313741,-0.17226382455520306,-0.23264436606549546,-0.03761657682945033,-0.19831327307915658,0.647095580469489,0.015016206816457198,0.10182141530996902,-0.03417661889356448,0.015443534461198487,0.06489626528915246,0.16087367913277126,-0.18600350885645864,-0.16372517756477872,-0.22300005762248104,-0.22329076284377994,0.014102594734038784,-0.08835641096991129,-0.22851823978512958,0.06175502924741821,-0.20153727622790335,-0.2174478916009365,0.09189127619755852,-0.20337519260588685,-0.04345576722253748,-0.2308624773451999,-0.19499442301905714,0.011754599123106795,0.3036755978003696,-0.10772168382562382,-0.08240493421977271,0.20928171599390905,-0.19244705844558543,0.30721013834262273,0.009012285040715926,-0.18481069094091804,0.5871126039801647,0.14157146203876866,-0.17631118858022843,-0.2138252731602172,0.029778491931513197,0.4554509795921689,0.043108066085112556;-0.05475197094424495,-0.05235233005548797,0.048847510698307124,0.0033808921056215865,0.04838553707976297,-0.04172640447352268,-0.02865748714609904,0.022037609745689715,-0.035281273485584914,-0.005106145917606295,-0.03078345125614973,-0.06347791355807311,-0.042001818340458075,-0.0037772270911482922,-0.05606142079603987,0.056862421442640594,0.003542207716653581,0.02369117361829805,0.04372201350089774,0.07321905722244762,-0.09142784039642393,-0.05072551568183882,0.029517835136804157,0.02418074094458454,0.025266522903235642,0.018510087061929272,-0.030967280025327643,-0.06262644977104581,-0.09091046215752645,0.048699155059827824,-0.04440679159821797,0.03197705845865075,0.0030267057075216352,-0.0777412416254575,-0.004703350788778227,0.01951795216562337,-0.05217670923091109,0.03401864686706283,-0.022140873978518227,0.013046946690911573,-0.052526927999851356,-0.08499340332342042,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k{129}	=[0.7534818084385642;0.9191004509223557;0.02267867868602228];
x_a_linear{129}	=[1.103473662773248,-2.783312992338889,26.373225380626437];
L_a{129}	=[-0.00889479566432495,-0.00477404111700098,0.10828691161482017,0.06182872587694321,0.10380641129925232,0.006456230839082911,-0.2766181759670836,0.0874518621371857,0.012281441478861614,0.05323633770357213,0.018846809027118532,-0.022934810991997557,0.005411717018371933,0.0521538412238913,-0.013121757017995785,0.11376030598426143,-0.30792453914312445,0.089635722172742,0.10449475415835996,-0.36056946705383475,-0.12415948611731495,-0.003911888593764734,0.09371370644906452,0.09063623391872336,0.09131123611279407,-0.32169179524008107,0.023451456804598616,-0.020424090765580123,-0.10811557028467321,0.10787497264007403,0.0034384027436030313,0.09614579388727297,0.06101356495515771,-0.052887289250609926,0.05267396431038648,0.07781854452872426,-0.24487747676921143,0.09040016369894276,0.033232061243743234,0.07082251002451304,-0.006214129148385785,-0.07488501741344325,-0.02213475386778393,0.10772172506154036,-0.09821636978053404,-0.029535852120883437,-0.29556624956974004,-0.012846937988976133,0.08443323338050412,0.01973736906265276,-0.03016308146002632,-0.01371489824531986,0.09225778660693668,0.10758498232787089,0.10978144055284057,-0.139996832909307,-0.0192614853174144,0.08517340689526129,0.09133937990677049,0.11191074273720263,0.028642238352137247,0.10045136172346185,-0.4131061874970378,0.006066526820607351,-0.03155022081319432,0.02657465179340722,0.006112066493023058,-0.014533201790877533,-0.058965060359327075,0.09659850323596642,0.08801187479065067,0.10841850874791005,0.10704059640596,0.006995288952954752,0.050785575239335315,0.10992588027381918,-0.013070446536011238,0.10209252920327705,0.10679820267273217,-0.027080952595365016,0.10250979161408597,0.03227354977760942,0.11162087971611248,0.0964011426120443,0.007284595166400716,-0.36463487917150644,0.05972163498491599,0.048629018069891346,-0.08295038682137888,0.09833522628320497,-0.132372849359858,0.007901276381273782,0.09681528273847417,-0.3029174085958959,-0.04954447653133648,0.09285436272945675,0.10349744448000782,0.001024656308421857,-0.21445366159078233,-0.0048858904897978745;0.025925981557778248,0.029063700914605566,0.10134754867210953,0.07115258207897589,0.09164254938282411,0.034658242049632366,-0.26922883121413865,0.09637193284260447,0.034876723263784284,0.06645826604493028,0.041216282020471465,0.01602216801037194,0.03341871742583666,0.06306822938502192,0.023365814373177526,0.10124630302101258,-0.3204711091347804,0.09842314110137448,0.10146225512526921,-0.42064641332495706,-0.0770481132312855,0.02896134009935864,0.09903405708208676,0.09878642061600866,0.09902697674829725,-0.34410086083316654,0.04822862132350502,0.019274306310224965,-0.060500872721554175,0.10244740573888095,0.03337933177887974,0.10083438828027982,0.07070967615012942,-0.009655424404834658,0.06501294371975669,0.08049440178523254,-0.2231170370908456,0.08573526842571384,0.0545616246354172,0.07467156318663168,0.02801711905406961,-0.02776222059815174,0.01592102324206125,0.10071292878922997,-0.05170618771019328,0.010289514667218513,-0.2990255736261876,0.024210331943396928,0.09529862820343997,0.04611771814875915,0.010096839615394149,0.022814300810026757,0.08785904559822175,0.10026385417173947,0.10138784397678627,-1.0600765028486117,0.018380283111806662,0.09681537598496612,0.09892858855626216,0.09962572824624301,0.04742404577558787,0.09993319207008802,-0.5794428958476109,0.03302810978060216,0.00814680830844395,0.04472520806001253,0.03359064760158227,0.021746267249678194,-0.014197325557986237,0.10080357503502645,0.09758766177464659,0.09890137244309297,0.09451955806985016,0.03487205138570519,0.06242918352905379,0.09785867196188432,0.02294804435039707,0.1015819192773548,0.09964274694234858,0.011486210045474458,0.10098288146635398,0.05236644935914231,0.10054699526928744,0.09122668466031422,0.03338302427480733,-0.7789484892917565,0.06959563892227143,0.061977705240617756,-0.03700324448622854,0.09951646634321779,-0.0858132485577668,0.03247167583891645,0.10264002504505083,-0.31226839788826843,-0.0055292316663078205,0.09937930463563464,0.09346520492329663,0.032820761510904226,-0.18127554566731335,0.028601547281513366;-0.055403614674499994,-0.05270208221161138,0.05678074375789333,0.007910541024816857,0.0559905231453506,-0.041253413018053686,-0.04892287680159444,0.028444441314558103,-0.03438151989480891,-0.0012059859819022216,-0.029402710719625066,-0.06515814617403566,-0.041605349259208294,4.362781376856715E-5,-0.057022736942402036,0.0651966421424901,-0.01901672482061703,0.030257997474075753,0.05137742841559352,0.04680329216227372,-0.100523917893128,-0.0510121054779156,0.03638341716376768,0.030820863528171212,0.03195609698231191,-0.005057451682494618,-0.029249197298215797,-0.06412274391830025,-0.09883114253937429,0.05660220896069353,-0.04415488996106757,0.0390208182190158,0.007496634929505652,-0.0816158298398418,-8.443910233264547E-4,0.02521903497330472,-0.07011673601054376,0.04064147465440841,-0.019706252074858974,0.018235491359060243,-0.0529821827860613,-0.09047957230684447,-0.06411066557830629,0.0570139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x_a{129}	=[1.1034736627732487,-2.783312992338888,26.373225380626426];
std_x_a{129}	=[1.219091855590529,1.8023998135453556,0.8507118182033305];
pred_a{129}	=[1.1034736627732487];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.9 to 13.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{130}	=[-1.2640125287748947,-2.6918996925372474,20.487432827660513];
std_x_f{130}	=[1.56011171542541,1.8905820384954537,1.3943964991900386];
pred_f{130}	=[-1.2640125287748947];
obs{130}	=[-1.2904883572618109];
sqrt_r{130}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{130}	=[3.4340645711418842];
L_f{130}	=[0.010770632955752587,0.015174583586443862,0.11158170701868537,0.07216864134048354,0.10319553809772963,0.02363664481853876,-0.30308020401806546,0.10003249511370192,0.026536428165765447,0.06584206050188347,0.03370247805357027,-0.002334259456882777,0.022632053744266,0.06320513539615716,0.006826371136851556,0.11415033453569168,-0.34620860601862463,0.10230143735377147,0.11038818545327744,-0.4224648673077835,-0.11249878969048292,0.015004875493560204,0.10448418834280804,0.10309051967688525,0.10329069230073099,-0.36556617389386165,0.04036407208996495,0.001359468282620495,-0.09359898377531026,0.11221094392232134,0.022230749393725907,0.10662413576422551,0.07214643422940009,-0.03361403628407139,0.06474888886209708,0.0854289038675059,-0.2613240053070903,0.094302109011137,0.04913180486312919,0.07875321446663759,0.013808020085237776,-0.05647246842782837,-0.0020748423921344923,0.11126676542199973,-0.08319067364987284,-0.009374244563730363,-0.32854408668554924,0.008132069408271783,0.09806119842006655,0.03714558543263011,-0.009644735580992686,0.006280343265266347,0.09603613228671108,0.11074701108126199,0.11245115985150493,-0.6531259153959029,9.693006649036354E-4,0.0994712550442893,0.1037806883281979,0.11204743127782496,0.04213257316046891,0.10749866267657833,-0.5202945260666042,0.022129079382333206,-0.011558926440314596,0.03949699540070441,0.022771262273388514,0.005779316827913461,-0.03963663290833182,0.10653524400046717,0.1009958035244563,0.11001504616701457,0.10682999880693463,0.024176403687113084,0.06180218536198562,0.11014680616794555,0.006754714672941956,0.10920451834964062,0.11043974781347658,-0.007746950242268822,0.10947433303448158,0.04715812040595402,0.11222646868016636,0.10035216793274637,0.022989424911452887,-0.5952642541238365,0.07055219372117018,0.061030157017765,-0.0660209114345452,0.10645195217411357,-0.12227356281943662,0.02282038375338144,0.10800943024168788,-0.3394256813385662,-0.029183911671793034,0.10421136412123246,0.10476785569138054,0.0199503796737281,-0.2219228846899624,0.014229856143732912;0.016999950519956404,0.022160751936684132,0.13075342854898508,0.08747120949562794,0.11843410908519471,0.03191318653830595,-0.37305988987587896,0.12166780463157965,0.033837441371679065,0.08002830673097658,0.04248324089289428,0.0017077201409022823,0.02993327975407962,0.07616845116767856,0.013008940733701513,0.13115143506569368,-0.4218246385502201,0.12441029435586633,0.13008262262108095,-0.5024380690352602,-0.13759186736299775,0.02204876400436344,0.12621543780543432,0.12502047691557377,0.1254748060070206,-0.44322799380023975,0.05193817845318927,0.006102389922223905,-0.11351125447311415,0.13207044334398793,0.029639987346434644,0.12801570975193732,0.08763424635927099,-0.03806695990204791,0.07863398451799916,0.10165542175242341,-0.3236991536059686,0.11048781355346793,0.06164949219995878,0.093715474120758,0.020076194693720687,-0.06609117677090962,0.0013673732779332216,0.12975257118756547,-0.10085539047835308,-0.0077085737232548655,-0.40244162792533733,0.01435595889116273,0.1199736242434893,0.04825718687837655,-0.007813088043743378,0.01187492375046925,0.11259209266532348,0.12942058371785692,0.13089650535314304,-0.8482906139629318,0.00517328994148579,0.12200729404517925,0.12563532814441772,0.12897151273553542,0.05236446205476884,0.12759467710402295,-0.5962915873675311,0.029739258999051173,-0.010660165362971432,0.04886316966821984,0.03022629611403128,0.011280770013642187,-0.04535760984001322,0.12840726517794512,0.12272594397697201,0.12787977864498382,0.12227800810036779,0.03200739336088896,0.07565739391713784,0.1269535345810572,0.012113303118806366,0.13003965466523135,0.12872633547798018,-0.005356503737607305,0.12935552073773982,0.05934761692835595,0.12990555220077338,0.11767788352107152,0.030486432786108582,-0.6943673312028394,0.08477776177551735,0.07415438679038053,-0.07864705391865101,0.12685472355695096,-0.15073594915016203,0.030113279577136824,0.13057034080079585,-0.41478752905484173,-0.03201140429729478,0.12640703713781462,0.1209179515299013,0.028502483415604636,-0.275005604713246,0.021043581251569597;-0.06470946226622548,-0.06379544344800299,0.00398761702474997,-0.028829372719165754,0.003360840816119932,-0.05708115281874747,0.09540334117222216,-0.015931648825342364,-0.05293245193165072,-0.03437775610325991,-0.05088000346906947,-0.06890414222094739,-0.05734055618542429,-0.03314392361412004,-0.06512166022760917,0.009317377321756139,0.15366941290544722,-0.015136585036339995,4.985542482542437E-4,0.2749318999955552,-0.05817787369421778,-0.06264067482867906,-0.010784444596109072,-0.01424306244464953,-0.013783471059208954,0.1808178559133677,-0.051765067405234136,-0.06947046932805034,-0.06509137229038632,0.004638958751965636,-0.05880711411798947,-0.008479641157707779,-0.029026741757832715,-0.07330177047471716,-0.03429438096897189,-0.017553950655558637,0.04867496730630156,-0.006998003008595565,-0.04585842928445005,-0.02154918928693695,-0.0642048471441339,-0.07269087064690803,-0.06760185504614025,0.00324593125634274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k{130}	=[0.7087998844274839;0.8581865446084255;-0.4847074841715217];
x_a_linear{130}	=[-1.2827785929465427,-2.7146208923020794,20.500265859877764];
L_a{130}	=[-0.008994082623137764,-0.012671628409292557,-0.09317698377427275,-0.060264863326274905,-0.08617406236041279,-0.01973792415961536,0.2530889695688692,-0.08353274405945926,-0.022159405898088968,-0.05498181347970708,-0.028143459485024912,0.0019492375708367125,-0.01889903426692339,-0.052779833116123984,-0.005700402777930862,-0.0953219318205881,0.2891036042324478,-0.08542743809073378,-0.0921803263247175,0.3527818594829863,0.09394279924271187,-0.012529912633119469,-0.08725015759308616,-0.08608636608871684,-0.08625352145694389,0.30526825913881445,-0.03370626414202846,-0.0011352322660752446,0.07816040124802928,-0.09370243188155476,-0.018563922625796064,-0.0890371337157031,-0.06024631914296424,0.028069605646956538,-0.054068953846489444,-0.07133792628018791,0.2182202016164639,-0.07874755025695183,-0.04102781277370057,-0.06576335120326582,-0.011530471237741332,0.047157678574604865,0.001732609771543557,-0.09291398987654255,0.069468878510229,0.007828019994930643,0.2743527398187794,-0.0067907340687925356,-0.08188660075385108,-0.031018647264129347,0.008053895165690717,-0.005244438879453544,-0.08019555695024747,-0.09247996584995721,-0.09390302565569474,0.545396771992475,-8.094204214942886E-4,-0.08306407712257179,-0.08666269562285894,-0.09356588965227546,-0.03518306172788667,-0.08976741273813116,0.4344751116330617,-0.018479022463798286,0.009652351896685429,-0.03298220647375175,-0.01901528119669228,-0.004826053702608253,0.03309881162463289,-0.08896290410718864,-0.08433716061264428,-0.09186873409198855,-0.08920904090284652,-0.0201886530889617,-0.05160829114869169,-0.09197876108294314,-0.005640565611486416,-0.09119189790346006,-0.0922233837875222,0.006469137964550897,-0.09141720829871382,-0.03937967555161127,-0.09371539592511069,-0.08379968879322482,-0.019197459235818965,0.4970790394756476,-0.05891503890056084,-0.050963604179610905,0.05513116403990093,-0.08889335076049731,0.10210528305451808,-0.019056300387620087,-0.0901939323030152,0.28343948168277144,0.024370203118124864,-0.08702233406585963,-0.08748703573952668,-0.01665968600783503,0.18531805596443937,-0.011882728006597025;-0.006930376417831849,-0.011554327563303664,-0.1171602029156818,-0.07287397996803768,-0.11084702744083401,-0.020603006385890497,0.30032749602052256,-0.10058564345338725,-0.025121526441696677,-0.06626040634100376,-0.03239734613934804,0.006894006981268076,-0.020350900163556132,-0.06426150874190854,-0.0021579759901935325,-0.12246920512500462,0.3473859700312058,-0.10288431796066255,-0.11517922771012355,0.43619965410848427,0.11235934984572457,-0.011289255933445774,-0.10592883794369032,-0.10402732837025579,-0.10401774531669741,0.3689915010627892,-0.037743221481381393,0.003081906298066405,0.09444813769906145,-0.11724123453885976,-0.01975256954872571,-0.10888312792818763,-0.072661603067393,0.03661712610116873,-0.06522590613967405,-0.08815158475172245,0.2569137880272302,-0.09903379105698006,-0.047512166009769256,-0.08125940222407511,-0.010602636936764318,0.05938005950774139,0.005977284041036672,-0.11746131910070445,0.08397868814959136,0.013119240029792693,0.327521730789162,-0.0037119745738611954,-0.09789997220565712,-0.034273339168713134,0.013615706032690477,-0.0020788214227975194,-0.10078218653469564,-0.11663850987905011,-0.11894888728394833,0.6028327091671607,0.0030196856076039513,-0.09899918383786872,-0.10494590247824888,-0.1199768707098048,-0.04124621566513247,-0.11124719540186123,0.559705294511677,-0.019427406193885898,0.01502160189276228,-0.03889174843938836,-0.020367179053764464,-0.0015597883581073755,0.04270755662755963,-0.10829407167028339,-0.10166779477670258,-0.11655302615562955,-0.11507821866140885,-0.021708042564681472,-0.06165547406915836,-0.11777201623667102,-0.00289440637784328,-0.11259230929885834,-0.1166500767496624,0.011855767150266082,-0.11387592086590764,-0.04542888448267092,-0.11944061878311939,-0.10528581762927122,-0.02059175885804815,0.6281982296218757,-0.07197598416139481,-0.06144317897010059,0.0680390323912166,-0.1096615544703079,0.12093298118456909,-0.020589334308942754,-0.10940636146602283,0.33935269268348844,0.032829775464247125,-0.10513107434541485,-0.11185657988022343,-0.015823519530241633,0.2180654346049626,-0.010572491006778859;-0.05119350977513888,-0.044753020252544184,0.14401031180365007,0.06173428604735765,0.13285982160499618,-0.027419779180958427,-0.2849287762925313,0.10959806303802,-0.019632171080462852,0.0482467438044647,-0.008587122997206858,-0.07183337953232082,-0.028939833178718916,0.04617152708563598,-0.05655531985084111,0.15256341539252977,-0.2807840765205249,0.11324039825923861,0.13902351153657105,-0.25521475890024675,-0.19935140574269486,-0.04381121651004672,0.12033164964948388,0.11512413184730899,0.11583491772475712,-0.2779272391052868,-0.0011126235835940258,-0.06776448707087741,-0.1825477393505424,0.14545127621414913,-0.03090998366323966,0.12532185029714185,0.06150904954170006,-0.11548366631274379,0.046958309500193605,0.08964987021386615,-0.2792577414789014,0.11134070841532802,0.01579654893822925,0.07727738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x_a{130}	=[-1.282778592946543,-2.7146208923020794,20.500265859877764];
std_x_a{130}	=[1.302780786190189,1.5794037796888027,1.2654548067791442];
pred_a{130}	=[-1.282778592946543];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.0 to 13.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{131}	=[-2.6282008240278567,-4.172888156404313,16.586224863408074];
std_x_f{131}	=[1.8831369568572134,2.8220711361916417,1.339530877652857];
pred_f{131}	=[-2.6282008240278567];
obs{131}	=[-2.759542867076502];
sqrt_r{131}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{131}	=[4.546572357015885];
L_f{131}	=[-0.019171821364604096,-0.02403812632821078,-0.12820048576935247,-0.08683213812075563,-0.12093281058659615,-0.033181051917284064,0.37067777120710677,-0.11465721625247786,-0.037686591094755445,-0.07999612117510728,-0.0458366873801983,-0.003495685816008713,-0.032468275249772874,-0.07806816665542919,-0.013636450305589421,-0.1319762517839501,0.42975028778970387,-0.1167085384815462,-0.1261835591146196,0.5353666555585203,0.12544708028669002,-0.023679138936837464,-0.11921868057109568,-0.11809148450674277,-0.11802791549629733,0.45650096247467825,-0.051855229063713905,-0.007780648330969349,0.1020700732491148,-0.1282876172299831,-0.03216984087275353,-0.12185602257327335,-0.08652933430764606,0.03092807124441924,-0.07887527285841478,-0.10109038892422474,0.3146957185177939,-0.11095077951752608,-0.06153139480689116,-0.09458011766293725,-0.022728601887776298,0.05861488689125893,-0.004567690438177226,-0.12775244205740205,0.0894706225015404,0.003813313604821679,0.4050690383923229,-0.015271475725348937,-0.11180170302621857,-0.04841204428679292,0.004277343502813037,-0.01346905772518691,-0.1126589486923787,-0.1271245172312022,-0.13068842180970167,0.7274123743335269,-0.0076818932706520975,-0.1137064666890357,-0.11859979994332649,-0.13035585625056842,-0.054266483248663074,-0.12355593406695443,0.6695261111480705,-0.031926254151333565,0.006540217635451977,-0.05146399214404656,-0.03260423305637246,-0.013143471185422773,0.03838649055628836,-0.12132711722994802,-0.116135700948302,-0.12692739649126428,-0.12476219927303418,-0.03446059250266416,-0.07539509064167942,-0.12766812124209115,-0.014161684245575078,-0.12487253653765697,-0.12752173103130118,0.0024909103730867046,-0.12546264017444284,-0.05979864066950516,-0.129699837588525,-0.11643064268524335,-0.03355525018816195,0.7406664852362128,-0.08551254407231586,-0.07468323890147227,0.06932831302741241,-0.12206184959868677,0.13681102663643752,-0.033187638151741077,-0.12264651056021596,0.4199964213400067,0.026514472787083177,-0.11849772454874333,-0.12229227196845216,-0.028904833965332447,0.2636236599364627,-0.02263938507233517;-0.041417030149508316,-0.04792248515173004,-0.17742899412944757,-0.12894927216841887,-0.1698503178756793,-0.06024608806095856,0.5677977765424189,-0.16234819624306968,-0.0666173981560271,-0.12130659871818732,-0.07601594244942601,-0.019647488013968328,-0.060348474350895076,-0.11884674346047877,-0.033671183269914265,-0.18196099974138416,0.6633886161280177,-0.1647545441512461,-0.1755438324044202,0.8333063005893101,0.1713753427603306,-0.04687588643023579,-0.16677391641354733,-0.16656589312333964,-0.16638084114667165,0.7068869025035112,-0.08533689557074597,-0.025855705560710877,0.13604345793091238,-0.1769130011533498,-0.058695257712731604,-0.17077399605826657,-0.12894031059027625,0.029435462654212857,-0.11957309330356007,-0.14650966651348254,0.47570575320004316,-0.15722896216558555,-0.09722803903147506,-0.13873406760429827,-0.04654951512019995,0.0699997928245714,-0.021264806422050895,-0.17772721048549153,0.1165638909550486,-0.009790497056448095,0.6237357486161142,-0.03591295166476277,-0.15879189269116073,-0.08039082017173874,-0.008748186345775157,-0.03347334777679204,-0.1599603736294872,-0.17653956266987636,-0.17977380900800718,1.0463541010615316,-0.02544998480125651,-0.16094390386025523,-0.16660136606115952,-0.1795452742551326,-0.08892988843951398,-0.17213892115948687,1.035519836604162,-0.05804211240810674,-0.005626362567407907,-0.08458532243255469,-0.0592289383467509,-0.032921617759865296,0.04023736797557663,-0.17023270710694977,-0.16406338693963637,-0.17548079213392462,-0.17337822970219788,-0.061886230182388986,-0.11535266854221325,-0.17705554952164176,-0.03450720132733479,-0.174127424819343,-0.17655669756998618,-0.01060265745567938,-0.17480282213472598,-0.09547353703344387,-0.17895795652536325,-0.16437605958037438,-0.060038206972566024,1.1178574179894616,-0.12782488731132405,-0.11506729916418047,0.08630667504603903,-0.17078119864009486,0.18970823573193393,-0.060904536864533766,-0.1715498180771016,0.6478386136604151,0.023510651705048898,-0.16684822272696595,-0.1713463477478557,-0.05448918878607277,0.39236674682423744,-0.04603727843067525;-0.06073771418004354,-0.05355997799953773,0.15263099079589768,0.06253133811069174,0.13929770364661814,-0.035479019383874835,-0.29881029270366644,0.11720411989370318,-0.027448535298587033,0.048692381571824477,-0.014667405007967264,-0.08351150182765298,-0.036505279313454445,0.04584592020896439,-0.06765395633531476,0.16159699669554647,-0.2831536868929347,0.12121602381090262,0.14727912794761056,-0.225737799272889,-0.2255306321518291,-0.05232717683889262,0.1286320153569885,0.12282855721570776,0.12423308536929296,-0.27278372152931163,-0.005603679971153663,-0.07850919098466673,-0.2065115669364829,0.15352373220247229,-0.03816355521333184,0.13373218832372588,0.062407498037792976,-0.131677676671793,0.04678528137583804,0.09306622916953824,-0.3018381366099865,0.1163907367506958,0.012661743396383327,0.07953280692926656,-0.05593409240763942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k{131}	=[0.7800540887781351;1.1676898080554186;-0.3371136155839898];
x_a_linear{131}	=[-2.730654721736426,-4.326254921441392,16.63050205441839];
L_a{131}	=[0.012013937367474836,0.015063385927003655,0.08033626942489781,0.054412976682157006,0.07578201280043403,0.02079275995431293,-0.23228359174153487,0.07184943926764627,0.023616136223861352,0.050129216789649156,0.028723358143473713,0.002190556111034676,0.020346101596839947,0.04892107258643239,0.008545221487849848,0.08270233655805807,-0.2693011239240907,0.07313489130226808,0.07907237122535106,-0.3354851553326759,-0.07861086001350828,0.0148384280602635,0.07470786078043082,0.07400150833428258,0.07396167309403714,-0.2860643163245957,0.0324948507655982,0.004875708987107126,-0.0639617615764153,0.08039086997071192,0.020159089009687964,0.07636053952326882,0.054223226007135035,-0.019380939544599393,0.04942684213159781,0.06334784671171396,-0.19720268513796102,0.06952681702203996,0.03855837738547702,0.05926821391674233,0.014242778207507656,-0.03673076055326299,0.002862323083167733,0.08005550480734287,-0.05606637129151472,-0.0023895961651013687,-0.2538347277600512,0.009569802961547877,0.0700600444887228,0.030337194199334578,-0.002680378455687256,0.00844032566504364,0.07059723370752076,0.0796620184822837,0.0818953235801918,-0.4558297586531675,0.004813824563775067,0.07125365624369019,0.0743200419624601,0.08168692283818478,0.03400585257414431,0.07742578156923526,-0.4195555869340845,0.020006446464202427,-0.0040983985583675385,0.032249683874078665,0.020431298957176644,0.008236298294767706,-0.02405472513695818,0.07602910332077216,0.0727759251865686,0.0795384936393174,0.078181682344587,0.021594578423176792,0.047246001282723035,0.0800026655400321,0.008874357021623888,0.07825082470520396,0.0799109307595856,-0.0015609180077959725,0.07862061054859565,0.037472554641571086,0.08127583163470442,0.07296074912620797,0.021027249651658204,-0.4641353888391667,0.05358605888718311,0.046799922526869146,-0.04344428182717016,0.07648952012165963,-0.0857320269124065,0.02079688718910974,0.07685589533658807,-0.2631889064989005,-0.016615177522138896,0.0742560768662934,0.07663391328419651,0.01811308682011249,-0.16519860470369804,0.014186870883292135;0.005266005234568944,0.010609914071363077,0.13473685071177158,0.08248540058782951,0.12461887043696485,0.020549168230929126,-0.3347958362533042,0.11684003431473941,0.025148763864961933,0.07348249744464266,0.03559555539236336,-0.011135556803215478,0.018711183754593578,0.07124781860726562,-4.6667546533265853E-4,0.1393987664862962,-0.3830454972339813,0.11942861862414267,0.1317108328154499,-0.47030174215178644,-0.13408600994478118,0.010782385041755566,0.12352139657214162,0.12098471800245518,0.12101498059800402,-0.4046846158612378,0.04092964150955997,-0.006909968771388177,-0.11249530896689716,0.13546500720547877,0.01963771812729748,0.1259431966052121,0.08175704040331844,-0.04587382678711922,0.0724867576491645,0.09964358691983631,-0.29057258224840254,0.11293416253733325,0.052599785168108704,0.09156679403635914,0.008794215972381836,-0.07272638778914157,-0.010142563506590572,0.13334765608815338,-0.10129544315006433,-0.019075846140345593,-0.36259997257807497,0.0012728132187847902,0.11344321523703349,0.03749162477052549,-0.01916343976871434,-6.764378527324398E-4,0.114362111862118,0.13300631840350977,0.13845011471868365,-0.7248817645366192,-0.006744714782798922,0.1159292688495025,0.122186983882509,0.1378688584001053,0.04320800860682031,0.12871752498962175,-0.59476403381591,0.019697734207584115,-0.021551673235024497,0.04072855988339439,0.020161774538329746,-9.175051223719264E-4,-0.05323303647009743,0.12519661069124036,0.11872492688920737,0.13358510353262684,0.13041545022491646,0.022024684099768935,0.06823300218124816,0.13381399740448974,-2.375845764050968E-5,0.12993492433489426,0.13395639186260713,-0.01666797878712372,0.13069641861329637,0.05013506244204345,0.13685878265168733,0.11913043199903484,0.021668215284611974,-0.6856519659399687,0.08039659800256323,0.06678502555399946,-0.08250650282721064,0.12643717907657406,-0.1434241190892028,0.019906756788142854,0.12709219841836136,-0.37484501277896715,-0.04105160598397778,0.12169157549245375,0.12643310423695234,0.01589355477869629,-0.24955205738573374,0.009089211343364968;-0.07421516918238688,-0.0704583602537792,0.06250829220738721,0.00148986416704499,0.05428405356134882,-0.05880471836890914,-0.038230304667887155,0.03660210283184565,-0.05394154949957561,-0.0075434920572726325,-0.0468897943091545,-0.0859689077981972,-0.0593299087714779,-0.00903463512296249,-0.07724014232620798,0.06882000065697388,0.018953246808372765,0.03917196311053027,0.058574293510618776,0.15061559317871553,-0.13734352944594586,-0.0689731972375941,0.044823368683379015,0.03981230965469295,0.04126152571046145,0.04812846846416461,-0.042056998779595005,-0.08397885063647732,-0.13475809119001078,0.06333978172153032,-0.06077839052551233,0.04806953636370366,0.0015788898771153229,-0.10993578368318553,-0.008662655496213787,0.022001454363582293,-0.08061255219138287,0.03839427986824714,-0.03059375064198437,0.013044638920776367,-0.07191190189079188,-0.12237212128133601,-0.08532095270398114,0.06197138283891632,-0.1322917724933987,-0.09241673456677199,-0.006056693253557647,-0.07690948483425339,0.03351244093806444,-0.045259838735668356,-0.09243953499384534,-0.07886790018897667,0.04023600044837651,0.06185937867064563,0.063535038310718,0.6899692276858285,-0.0825847289330609,0.03433833473122319,0.04236826768176893,0.06707770365172254,-0.036287925776896594,0.052790379907535614,0.380139150905693,-0.059148646254496444,-0.09226336156684863,-0.038065125078250966,-0.05887253943662692,-0.07769676013656729,-0.11132514407851457,0.048633995054315794,0.03679224739893176,0.06237749308837282,0.0601592213801457,-0.05843145217109643,-0.010732596924971659,0.0640215065190455,-0.07767261839057021,0.054179026529281936,0.0600481585187621,-0.08984212109975957,0.056345325779077506,-0.032053827173486274,0.06566510189182657,0.04677340664573729,-0.0584950356937397,0.5723313984820753,-8.94240098939937E-5,-0.012934215828138952,-0.124712854770773,0.05039020585773527,-0.13830381017744064,-0.05799427396229641,0.048967409426944705,0.009032021525450077,-0.10783495855761152,0.04371542088012557,0.05549655393433204,-0.06559604373606087,-0.1099028836402587,-0.0701613978175192];
x_a{131}	=[-2.730654721736426,-4.326254921441394,16.630502054418386];
std_x_a{131}	=[1.1800594749870212,1.7718110698521745,1.17908703137841];
pred_a{131}	=[-2.730654721736426];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.1 to 13.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{132}	=[-5.025171554009353,-8.200006313382652,15.123850454765423];
std_x_f{132}	=[1.7939542037343896,2.41261528403377,2.581053418176164];
pred_f{132}	=[-5.025171554009353];
obs{132}	=[-5.313642961173171];
sqrt_r{132}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{132}	=[4.218287022059943];
L_f{132}	=[-0.003916243564507694,0.002960565707194431,0.15051653621608546,0.08951424258337874,0.13943643628028649,0.01555315248072625,-0.39173001715412004,0.1293479498848483,0.02089058773944003,0.07949516802393175,0.03260005721847196,-0.023959648160508735,0.013530428711315929,0.07656558010368607,-0.010063038824185395,0.1562010971909979,-0.4324636325950345,0.13287497365905712,0.14693110488888364,-0.4919765179195522,-0.174579538346787,0.0028366741163151667,0.13700871220815553,0.13492874743821634,0.13438917918324886,-0.44879784459655886,0.03984009956366029,-0.01904760303732293,-0.14844916717441034,0.151049441585024,0.013883780544833125,0.14016782450760448,0.08891091505245283,-0.06694971531111009,0.07795571352420023,0.11017462723308288,-0.34900627043633087,0.12509781676735637,0.05384807996666757,0.1004899059546474,6.791118938263748E-4,-0.09946936846187923,-0.02260716886118066,0.15032925807491482,-0.13456552808540045,-0.032842629213711096,-0.4154198589574454,-0.008835522176267197,0.125504449262192,0.03521561467962388,-0.03383091374547204,-0.01126848018370267,0.12719792136545624,0.14859304113756974,0.15534425398480037,-0.5516510392150593,-0.018509615429194808,0.12870566892551646,0.1355108104308022,0.1538578478893509,0.043101454446664064,0.14361419676809378,-0.547789624376362,0.013657183035458325,-0.03667395740351242,0.040229443628344665,0.015148783800423114,-0.011098780436270973,-0.07570006949024737,0.1393340690719052,0.1311885589207322,0.14936377511120197,0.1457588726632343,0.01722228188762611,0.07337975931837458,0.1496869518822904,-0.00992385091212613,0.14450956430179426,0.14943156561323973,-0.030002304511725763,0.14572802003205235,0.051919736413456485,0.15275013026279188,0.1330979820327672,0.016471043025154723,-0.5654462179749972,0.08723042879569685,0.07194555848149166,-0.1117308141831905,0.14143288908670984,-0.18564180485722767,0.014942865994042051,0.1414997392572845,-0.4255122649047207,-0.06071361423837111,0.13527319445367197,0.14191332643794874,0.00944606860692554,-0.30752972200594214,4.8756743724958203E-4;-0.036079157631046126,-0.024392871441837986,0.23490221344672327,0.1266128245726195,0.21539058288141985,-0.0027789165347908407,-0.5753872839371327,0.19678581673738268,0.00676051046202199,0.10878275152425866,0.026908129170057117,-0.07004455924866908,-0.006267877271862195,0.10378204598195905,-0.04709078756156959,0.24452514488401542,-0.6029673784779891,0.20273846530244444,0.22835952937060672,-0.6160902029117964,-0.3115038944072812,-0.024440453518029773,0.21057826511024424,0.20606282228351647,0.2050848921372534,-0.6108433697026492,0.039127326453541764,-0.061905781682270074,-0.27235476738196174,0.23576276910524568,-0.005394488900640244,0.2156731867441358,0.12576102808434383,-0.14193555508897454,0.10616610863670134,0.16281103733654098,-0.5367360250605862,0.18971180835435106,0.0638098185126706,0.14601599336803123,-0.028713052949096037,-0.19596203039228124,-0.06798141249632615,0.2335645551860445,-0.2506769955362393,-0.08541958461203798,-0.5921064613329906,-0.044132509115043725,0.18930113087555403,0.03178517936413069,-0.08709678397936915,-0.047930195375738796,0.19335728056869353,0.23114256986546564,0.24216609654038507,-0.4363979567487481,-0.06123844484915208,0.1946494009591693,0.2074930812664152,0.24100105162661833,0.04546967588676448,0.22175287323456513,-0.5661770494302502,-0.005480044812729054,-0.09123625985040122,0.040013899365589106,-0.0035102740368565598,-0.04842354588045948,-0.1561079735993583,0.21445489687160196,0.19966469498516937,0.23266958367337143,0.22643022731061285,3.5906415962640436E-4,0.09833829526885499,0.233450487792033,-0.04580308186567865,0.22379966301092635,0.2322063906735004,-0.08069947621967417,0.22596070080338487,0.058991841735132076,0.2389065501580443,0.2039894582881055,-0.0012418779491481825,-0.4904058200810809,0.12218606168373951,0.09505392860754358,-0.21395331997491057,0.21732226557574916,-0.32816689717584396,-0.0036276208958885632,0.2179614630439633,-0.5989947362692383,-0.13230868132629933,0.2072035141525487,0.218619584094594,-0.012896104340734751,-0.4905093533414091,-0.027967621891969507;-0.08329786995228122,-0.08544580900410514,-0.08822809592781945,-0.09631759117618172,-0.08771090099896131,-0.087776452352,0.40300785989435006,-0.09497082901117064,-0.0884132730757659,-0.09618865371643327,-0.09186251995460211,-0.07580693185866194,-0.08593656347692608,-0.09573486397052154,-0.07999656677899775,-0.08637591315514782,0.5128944681091883,-0.09533255336151993,-0.08925583221193238,0.7211017858711949,0.03497700344905195,-0.08476484486648939,-0.09339490773013082,-0.09577633613061162,-0.09522854756708499,0.5638853255518839,-0.0938181244341473,-0.07831827840860275,0.009160672310716446,-0.08796944314143748,-0.08801274802112921,-0.09287823639292478,-0.09605287413862909,-0.05466121379484504,-0.0959458060596767,-0.09391015438838733,0.30637430677617805,-0.09105725359654293,-0.09537581376321455,-0.09483999534211239,-0.08546000123039399,-0.03250065656479299,-0.07626275768162857,-0.08857194259813767,-0.003751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k{132}	=[0.7629369469715073;0.9989978090053236;-0.9647906270868932];
x_a_linear{132}	=[-5.245257048679491,-8.488188617099988,15.40216496457964];
L_a{132}	=[0.0026294252253917317,-0.001987768641990787,-0.10105908139932422,-0.060101217813340754,-0.09361973453768117,-0.010442622067181483,0.2630134647352205,-0.086846172021142,-0.014026256914449062,-0.05337425945445662,-0.021888172016757322,0.01608687055006309,-0.009084534702164518,-0.05140728976766069,0.006756476631896136,-0.10487578170830804,0.2903626308934318,-0.08921426918611652,-0.09865176851891623,0.3303204831900374,0.11721534536986604,-0.0019045859520211345,-0.0919897238372728,-0.09059320399780978,-0.09023092970177543,0.3013296681489662,-0.02674924606942205,0.01278884908065749,0.09967101852253081,-0.10141688213279552,-0.009321780473318653,-0.09411079966751444,-0.05969613457404294,0.044951052551287556,-0.05234064639432376,-0.0739729128878163,0.23432809430496632,-0.08399256829442622,-0.03615441620803919,-0.06747044438427528,-4.5596600800682397E-4,0.06678524005958457,0.015178795470488523,-0.10093334001974806,0.09034933302479384,0.022051038527164522,0.27891918321190917,0.005932303368548446,-0.08426558750831639,-0.023644296898555732,0.022714587725490062,0.0075658282123674155,-0.08540261031945506,-0.09976761767980408,-0.10430048420613004,0.3703868603249106,0.012427636054843573,-0.08641493486021525,-0.09098400990409795,-0.10330248864784256,-0.028938969118325927,-0.0964247461850261,0.3677942479361939,-0.00916963947459185,0.024623450284267278,-0.027010657569543125,-0.010171122812644902,0.0074518892325032594,0.05082617283702709,-0.0935510036440231,-0.0880819847966544,-0.10028510013945008,-0.09786471405374612,-0.011563300823406314,-0.04926828145561549,-0.10050208591680652,0.006663023760283233,-0.09702590950398977,-0.10033061570894032,0.020144001516650554,-0.09784399913002813,-0.0348596971491975,-0.10255875026132268,-0.08936400038481464,-0.011058907676570494,0.3796491522183229,-0.05856783065686965,-0.048305337298373795,0.07501776036847922,-0.09496018318037747,0.12464271859970644,-0.010032866479621465,-0.09500506739708545,0.28569537737489753,0.04076403986970715,-0.09082447093928873,-0.09528275609234285,-0.006342233486428455,0.2064801116888096,-3.2736015966994996E-4;-0.027508188816989965,-0.030872273432637633,-0.09451359449728668,-0.06929526157126396,-0.08977566309279056,-0.03681806212846469,0.28194084319628193,-0.08630108180808792,-0.038959979868245474,-0.06519789977543372,-0.04443934172992889,-0.01760721877255494,-0.035880152559463606,-0.06378700034759721,-0.025067133895490076,-0.09733171633848262,0.34350907201097924,-0.08806756773434003,-0.09320931512891936,0.46063429669591105,0.07057545129621895,-0.030648710227832623,-0.08927473949666467,-0.08923803614457708,-0.0890350839963139,0.37138162894508114,-0.04806547585418524,-0.020218790327854702,0.05253646100220404,-0.09481933894823881,-0.03578009901677831,-0.09109375274774065,-0.06882663419747635,0.00458850874656996,-0.0644453404439469,-0.0783137238180246,0.22708823932627328,-0.08407338109014582,-0.054040413856400946,-0.07391308812999274,-0.030199336109825142,0.0217335345023928,-0.01850406613325833,-0.09544138164523028,0.04382893231760211,-0.013541228190732106,0.31706851647804557,-0.02479536019126156,-0.08537400179504955,-0.045286619214061026,-0.01305549878164486,-0.023268350256698756,-0.08502413245589426,-0.09406353659793139,-0.09781550430111585,0.7709283434346148,-0.020728876434771375,-0.08703182146283775,-0.0890816621167622,-0.09572744708288547,-0.04886082624309,-0.0925566893551152,0.6326982783824059,-0.035369730670274886,-0.010972777762038104,-0.04803100924793334,-0.036664430918472435,-0.024133100348557552,0.009566843131393502,-0.09048731141543032,-0.08745050322695226,-0.09422332718385942,-0.09257310621305662,-0.03733308612017528,-0.06225836281459143,-0.09414971769097925,-0.02408405053319596,-0.09246947310426593,-0.09483488436723557,-0.015037366066383529,-0.09297510961163816,-0.0546380779324654,-0.09539763221984449,-0.08730464393662891,-0.03728989022882495,0.7471121791087811,-0.06872374066371856,-0.062403882148473644,0.03057726351897362,-0.09221335489234296,0.07812298081759188,-0.03633111247344971,-0.09172046362745126,0.33226816717973345,5.672457334453046E-4,-0.08885119029633934,-0.09196750661194208,-0.033569476185923236,0.18254062766498275,-0.02903469681480843;-0.09157535595106346,-0.07918827144646431,0.22990802114242656,0.09288230854165985,0.2070059954398402,-0.0549028581090644,-0.4249640675114202,0.17842274993942409,-0.044258320843810275,0.0718346393832233,-0.0229580933681221,-0.1264487392226753,-0.057338256867384016,0.06609636712058076,-0.10126609754243156,0.24377525688716112,-0.4011732104770438,0.18551584534874813,0.2213020132003712,-0.3187540534630885,-0.33401937293465794,-0.07876916816912898,0.19619068068735834,0.18941297841434165,0.18882031986258735,-0.384706817337107,-0.009610934330603131,-0.11857784471359556,-0.3046057935836245,0.23129303817490446,-0.058667586726375426,0.20338454341895515,0.09187181500876175,-0.19616807412716986,0.06882365135346243,0.1389581336333044,-0.4312954702533891,0.17335312071074696,0.018439050058059753,0.1175583848549281,-0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x_a{132}	=[-5.245257048679491,-8.488188617099995,15.402164964579638];
std_x_a{132}	=[1.2044880148024493,1.6705682831408633,1.9580377629074968];
pred_a{132}	=[-5.245257048679491];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.2 to 13.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{133}	=[-9.639981550186898,-14.928575658895241,19.891712258425084];
std_x_f{133}	=[1.7237493031073807,2.3697316727884146,3.2152368626637444];
pred_f{133}	=[-9.639981550186898];
obs{133}	=[-10.243051144427639];
sqrt_r{133}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{133}	=[3.9735565232542793];
L_f{133}	=[-0.04737998829777284,-0.049649931945089,-0.07307503037452728,-0.06854595740305873,-0.07219347360452828,-0.05306790509417586,0.2958695008622023,-0.0730130819824678,-0.05422979189933473,-0.06719054567379615,-0.057836768389820666,-0.04013748747153728,-0.05249816668100779,-0.06658936800586165,-0.04557426482254851,-0.0735740471693229,0.36767807889737564,-0.07382720803487909,-0.0729084741116978,0.4976750544734889,0.04503761847023075,-0.04890664826817573,-0.0739408800851477,-0.07444159277731946,-0.07493162312485604,0.40007115089005585,-0.05989515532779262,-0.042686322050377125,0.026250334633863916,-0.07304930896452122,-0.052949884282989065,-0.07404912471701912,-0.06809405085312649,-0.022216697827063953,-0.06690877986760718,-0.07099707239346593,0.23041567850118935,-0.07216755827752536,-0.06244665988227523,-0.0695394206972263,-0.04950299071488118,-0.005256044298962085,-0.04046111802455779,-0.07417222095292227,0.016971549256681737,-0.036843201052708476,0.3365449992407525,-0.04471065865652282,-0.07369283011452546,-0.057794037840579744,-0.03648094577493538,-0.04422011132164963,-0.07224200037426082,-0.07345496612692054,-0.07517701606863686,0.794267989535356,-0.042225139063353324,-0.07405302104395639,-0.07434242994030849,-0.07285542728209256,-0.05999443489246864,-0.07381767594692093,0.6733036476079223,-0.05228692288729195,-0.034655407236346934,-0.05927953656893924,-0.05225040918242833,-0.044476973256348716,-0.016784487934918473,-0.07398721327452981,-0.07388393956362511,-0.07298335972112062,-0.07256898841097972,-0.05390561335707871,-0.06594534566671055,-0.07320148781039441,-0.04488907377969127,-0.0740249351874867,-0.07475791338848121,-0.03743212551306051,-0.0737298694317667,-0.06352131815484112,-0.07376199959546255,-0.07174242913099295,-0.05345375259261619,0.7779154509241699,-0.0686188482067751,-0.06593197671320195,0.0028270548372659543,-0.07434225630026856,0.05384651982546103,-0.05269276906515376,-0.07423709315378953,0.3548009168948528,-0.02512848366044946,-0.07404134434843611,-0.07310461829370811,-0.05107721976151979,0.17698694361325445,-0.047956237466650065;-0.11725883263183262,-0.11466507364750689,-0.0034785400137202845,-0.061585127389055534,-0.013186028914776148,-0.10897464519842441,0.2652619574351286,-0.027432156869588484,-0.10583151872640958,-0.06899274218617296,-0.1006162176742602,-0.12347176314803267,-0.10896343003304039,-0.07128928732976043,-0.11984190363958679,0.0028022838986464893,0.39264021518332576,-0.024492114975681472,-0.007752126902015919,0.6377795933739955,-0.09210678318492976,-0.11426365967794769,-0.019494003158103797,-0.023725256103161955,-0.023787969782953992,0.4512263777396832,-0.09745441219878836,-0.12271234882207802,-0.10766776425545126,-0.003164429420809473,-0.11060934738911314,-0.01675858755238169,-0.06132524109941797,-0.1300341809261944,-0.07007771086724365,-0.04332081316362711,0.15582632493684045,-0.02778328823107368,-0.08832384201611615,-0.05186644175513211,-0.11626964488324536,-0.12653154822785284,-0.12303993596417086,-0.005069822401163918,-0.11464913109881558,-0.12588407392378959,0.33744738342021496,-0.11899848289733239,-0.031264499267089046,-0.09872429795675364,-0.1258627618970965,-0.11919542786261918,-0.02697109574373962,-0.005191844408006078,-0.0013120298331746353,1.2317478061479152,-0.12244747384723811,-0.029132025370812203,-0.022233381571786035,0.0014817617136643633,-0.093438803979402,-0.01226862210891368,0.9810487630851841,-0.10867096215998899,-0.12564149803282032,-0.09491199382116498,-0.10820603794485913,-0.11967378670301905,-0.12724138588261427,-0.01679628822348421,-0.027573160917295864,-0.004229753417789745,-0.0071912758493483595,-0.10804925881633867,-0.0725063531346144,-0.003948413010732436,-0.11902650857329317,-0.011175326150635432,-0.006698772341778727,-0.12451830768342725,-0.009339387712959949,-0.0898960732762932,-9.636211390319227E-4,-0.020354039181130785,-0.1083099153394611,1.1911916759749397,-0.06417072293389559,-0.07440276019751375,-0.12152900544085748,-0.015427223691969865,-0.08383173855748104,-0.10831171590858789,-0.015520376233885429,0.3696269735911233,-0.13035031315123594,-0.021966014588539633,-0.012526246954766241,-0.11199445086421717,0.07231961413141004,-0.1146555506696466;-0.0228245017524326,-0.00834418775399193,0.28736294019972886,0.16660602163800486,0.2664988044063987,0.01739082960179746,-0.7727517803828278,0.24438575841794302,0.028225776301398123,0.14632098546168265,0.052010439782412675,-0.06313127326421547,0.013792439618063652,0.14040494184523442,-0.0342267133296019,0.2997451178540883,-0.8284301334276687,0.25172883388979567,0.2801190162427119,-0.8782953889822561,-0.37083467082337634,-0.008766156156481254,0.2605737448668891,0.25581381640070006,0.2555664911092258,-0.8461552441442911,0.06604974585138786,-0.05315419099041847,-0.31678820287226844,0.28839420530518656,0.013702365661718625,0.26693117361096225,0.16455971868872601,-0.15017962597814585,0.1432251331524208,0.2083699181641704,-0.7021240111145114,0.23781581554060002,0.09512507422543898,0.1888629220360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k{133}	=[0.748336284095182;0.9676953110831514;-1.1882537809119031];
x_a_linear{133}	=[-10.091280409391803,-15.512163277498825,20.60831198393465];
L_a{133}	=[0.03372641382324548,0.035342223821417974,0.05201687047848836,0.048792948422800284,0.0513893534717974,0.03777523364274534,-0.21060826695528728,0.05197277386341202,0.03860229748582319,0.04782812807302127,0.041169845223579075,0.028570997185198357,0.03736967774913147,0.04740019282992604,0.032441048854537184,0.05237208472675391,-0.2617236408902135,0.052552291780878474,0.05189831102655803,-0.3542591596095461,-0.03205904882445589,0.03481313350763195,0.052633206756699226,0.052989628192614234,0.05333844563391674,-0.2847819444120541,0.042635063181044604,0.030385329625145254,-0.018685729580519696,0.05199856125239633,0.037691223096080737,0.052710258342817944,0.048471268577363,0.01581447297944517,0.04762755921426498,0.05053772129980681,-0.16401638758657722,0.05137090621011022,0.044451296185062196,0.049500123653970246,0.03523762690369517,0.003741400778447163,0.028801366553135307,0.05279788172014073,-0.012080828088329157,0.026226031071752833,-0.23956223549913808,0.031826309594733364,0.05245663778193549,0.04113942841179054,0.025968167533859124,0.031477124147243456,0.05142389619703441,0.052287319477566326,0.053513123261932194,-0.5653823874601047,0.03005704654979168,0.05271303185837605,0.05291904128457409,0.05186055079504372,0.04270573317913357,0.05254550657145513,-0.479276552480552,0.037219308450606496,0.024668697643411484,0.04219684836157372,0.03719331696422821,0.03165996572691328,0.011947672556325686,0.05266618802948946,0.05259267488530843,0.05195161671833948,0.05165665551669332,0.03837153804367161,0.04694175953979705,0.05210688645287557,0.03195331051838258,0.052693039552512116,0.053214794137481515,0.026645244135623546,0.052483003414049226,0.04521626829504542,0.052505874572019995,0.05106828727668701,0.03804989078962467,-0.5537421886319561,0.04884483415554046,0.04693224314111037,-0.00201237747766857,0.05291891768268967,-0.038329473598887644,0.037508201222321104,0.05284405958490342,-0.25255731328716374,0.017887164373208943,0.05270472005671972,0.05203793199501263,0.03635820760003964,-0.12598430510571956,0.034136604256656045;-0.012377796258950819,-0.004759256754581133,0.1582814180194588,0.09014920834825706,0.14662250213454725,0.008497247142177124,-0.3896791051614129,0.13419067129517406,0.014212343271658824,0.07974123428588221,0.02741210033754193,-0.03462283273121648,0.007247281007578797,0.07611391344727071,-0.018958043211412312,0.1656668728210672,-0.4212573679901943,0.13893287454839665,0.1536391397471513,-0.46388119982977827,-0.19180271538393134,-0.006003186423854746,0.14418261248212877,0.1410597444895947,0.1420817691677099,-0.43437698426479887,0.0351303813012327,-0.028221280832502287,-0.16577588965707835,0.15853859132227452,0.006601292354440766,0.14715763999111042,0.08940874767700684,-0.08085497306650913,0.0780325446874106,0.11383934663356826,-0.3542251973616879,0.13196787627064882,0.049908999353871296,0.10206703888774424,-0.006689099250692966,-0.11489669154886033,-0.03347461221290694,0.1591188927738993,-0.15221760122395225,-0.0443274241961205,-0.40753355842058453,-0.020026313733021002,0.13186302932340394,0.02920943108510167,-0.04510800576056992,-0.021309141466958958,0.13294485487414506,0.15740914497401315,0.16510091453367853,-0.5264554541975329,-0.028977287275627487,0.13479282713908328,0.14233211071189256,0.16275560312350232,0.03936575621976692,0.15113526704558275,-0.5093860574333341,0.007072136523425223,-0.048927780755621514,0.036310056973363036,0.007456233466420012,-0.021218906964813707,-0.0900869974404134,0.1469828912437022,0.13597741035012295,0.15732728111372332,0.15344850027809687,0.011276996810280618,0.07347123035536816,0.15809147305551063,-0.019659397077951526,0.15268735509582587,0.15878644019101154,-0.04165800614058963,0.153870131652929,0.05071564739322109,0.1623170220280296,0.13845605321224932,0.01001609467765688,-0.53081336528084,0.08772496495462012,0.07154522958108206,-0.12778701545453577,0.14913788421957186,-0.20302718387659152,0.008329769821158918,0.14881194099561493,-0.4157655350796759,-0.07472553350326687,0.1419329902170489,0.1492992073298742,0.0010708312537493936,-0.3194612777076761,-0.008498920692540657;-0.15161017074212846,-0.1432998922732721,0.08873442610893469,-0.01971181628993463,0.0702664892691198,-0.1268554208717679,0.031464365951199176,0.04592562902712085,-0.11917865075406639,-0.03631264711752419,-0.10519827167763793,-0.17223077626747965,-0.12890517934829585,-0.0405946027797912,-0.15810416443824601,0.09976020385557441,0.17097212615183885,0.051055792000076886,0.08194322619224678,0.4744574742527163,-0.2484159022086952,-0.14170150801170392,0.05959172588440985,0.05347078781586099,0.051891489081586965,0.24129607574713627,-0.09675395936806025,-0.1691817954595789,-0.24543599219254453,0.08983560573134315,-0.1302230871571942,0.06565493004483582,-0.020529771798768942,-0.21056782773156055,-0.03864261916484013,0.015389594761849491,-0.0758208319116317,0.04165394201474916,-0.07461398984032526,-1.5529298252667421E-4,-0.14797473673167896,-0.23069706128033898,-0.1703129039246493,0.08617608343250789,-0.2425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x_a{133}	=[-10.091280409391798,-15.51216327749882,20.608311983934644];
std_x_a{133}	=[1.2270134377990836,1.782237899832423,2.5723324571320796];
pred_a{133}	=[-10.091280409391798];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.3 to 13.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{134}	=[-13.939630845171473,-14.37638063428589,33.71012716661753];
std_x_f{134}	=[0.9339694285269152,2.5961860308049234,2.5151216963457355];
pred_f{134}	=[-13.939630845171473];
obs{134}	=[-14.537950640588036];
sqrt_r{134}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{134}	=[1.8751378675160604];
L_f{134}	=[-0.053282024109149645,-0.04784056823004526,0.09830094376648145,0.03459595420051795,0.08690810700363315,-0.035511111599120314,-0.1745211015544661,0.07477249523231053,-0.030771376420226544,0.02506295475463774,-0.02066352288210592,-0.07070216587174061,-0.03716342283037143,0.022090390994318095,-0.05870042959346573,0.10473662821631155,-0.14156258429605392,0.07838712100895995,0.0943425701238441,-0.05667402505546548,-0.17106321071837438,-0.047758802857283754,0.08293432258964172,0.08037048701251387,0.08037226429332185,-0.12348408121949674,-0.014435881888137886,-0.06611912902459802,-0.15734664815835056,0.09867307325061575,-0.03744286481445132,0.08673680136858365,0.03415371565870095,-0.1047417992629983,0.02356268426292063,0.0561404216805974,-0.193284482616697,0.07226945840430508,-4.5040971091481164E-4,0.04706942273872263,-0.04996530326124374,-0.12757479359443122,-0.06928320595796462,0.0981573950750114,-0.1499208614012217,-0.07782463642665399,-0.15699882677780944,-0.05791008856019715,0.07133192234677917,-0.018348214144280426,-0.0786804707029147,-0.06004244231461817,0.07368711366829601,0.09672626712846373,0.10320830901735586,0.26649388405444097,-0.06619045398373227,0.07423291131439708,0.08192040258275309,0.1024036230859921,-0.010583197613676867,0.09085551342722557,0.1015830841982326,-0.03726145545019827,-0.08093363174336565,-0.012337101099887785,-0.03607745105974296,-0.05960933234384144,-0.11074403742771992,0.08607635148265583,0.07630082258832768,0.09757285377143972,0.09403969861558747,-0.03404331397287326,0.01974879347871531,0.09775128697855277,-0.05917747264375632,0.09185612954896809,0.09665852281783391,-0.07540405974489849,0.09332253478179726,-0.0021114371496467515,0.10114169608136467,0.08019160188670932,-0.03482531608650815,0.22402416406897122,0.03226253428569476,0.01774641830921809,-0.1354072124426786,0.08830523058350585,-0.1757350962901042,-0.0360153051247798,0.08795750781679132,-0.14817000268514832,-0.10029786057810848,0.08101753095759477,0.08957754098183773,-0.04212733066578862,-0.20098414712743395,-0.04952776040670377;-0.1442772388888357,-0.13798904996944886,0.03737175277315035,-0.04845105813596145,0.02239629578819088,-0.12736256459627146,0.19663420563405826,0.0031483393824750425,-0.12270997492266836,-0.0608596955245486,-0.11166609516068064,-0.15717837979792934,-0.1286439847312584,-0.06478999195036446,-0.14803495471205141,0.04636470812519403,0.3380444702406366,0.007070308268072277,0.03158354124675475,0.6198101200226994,-0.1663353287114081,-0.1372149168444732,0.014205560388845666,0.008992543278485737,0.007764038556361031,0.4069301699725825,-0.10557995758559281,-0.1553774753902292,-0.17579885871008014,0.038531266450593356,-0.12923697730024267,0.019130899873585648,-0.04848558773891954,-0.1774729865562667,-0.06314531786731031,-0.02147229677214778,0.07923583384012306,-1.421414331538804E-4,-0.09034384649501795,-0.03309269895186674,-0.1416997384493755,-0.18293769026845288,-0.15495181963054228,0.03566360327426325,-0.17900837054748106,-0.16181827884906777,0.2755090422168338,-0.14509743511493306,-0.003115006817932172,-0.10938035894215134,-0.1626171452193311,-0.1477868191963342,0.0027108751457727356,0.03478295868644399,0.041536287775193165,1.4187138831667143,-0.15385246936140987,2.076439500156956E-4,0.01110303834980747,0.04335388935455802,-0.10112864584025578,0.02504682348635179,1.0490527902947742,-0.12806176056713484,-0.16276331043731218,-0.10299309975383715,-0.12630387307714852,-0.1472340385553987,-0.1765819891865963,0.017685362997353262,0.0045355240206848045,0.036867668762759896,0.030863095158263826,-0.12597460542452554,-0.0675397539091449,0.03647230105243943,-0.1476287343227659,0.025763082860734376,0.03296071809853759,-0.1592283688329469,0.028950859288064342,-0.09412622726132218,0.04016333052147175,0.01282338333577186,-0.12634448258690462,1.3383508833561861,-0.05284845660561971,-0.06973192973940455,-0.1820099456063262,0.020851659748111394,-0.15860032302084656,-0.12667575988875238,0.020534967527493807,0.31290933599620996,-0.17525466005217147,0.01059463039228324,0.02457296012283293,-0.13405331769611872,-0.007861475248693418,-0.138923384024657;-0.0035630853599572924,-0.013496469469549332,-0.20126387252671354,-0.13131821906881935,-0.19031423668486533,-0.03194926110115363,0.5973067294296516,-0.17850090517018863,-0.03920766083473178,-0.1196436247908745,-0.05579945093292433,0.027738403501151924,-0.02982995514261704,-0.11523484898065031,0.0056355240389069595,-0.20862724019160908,0.6379477903443254,-0.18484073952358648,-0.1973747296441244,0.6783496994729222,0.2738976773506307,-0.010894854336976222,-0.18974155063952933,-0.18619643302090955,-0.18888644842144198,0.6527539822046777,-0.06589327496897812,0.017578610802996185,0.23061330978863998,-0.2021047579994961,-0.028960121264790407,-0.1921334168564895,-0.130313423667531,0.09536606067150284,-0.11724788299435529,-0.15761162668991818,0.5448839208240943,-0.17671946420980056,-0.08415036547861035,-0.14455972741064296,-0.01126341284772985,0.14797417737663676,0.0255461382174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k{134}	=[0.4667058794323908;0.5396800478140592;-0.6267511654442866];
x_a_linear{134}	=[-14.218870211473169,-14.6992818900844,34.08512479570325];
L_a{134}	=[-0.1507874999853456,-0.13538824400719565,0.2781905118015674,0.09790614246968543,0.24594891809461863,-0.10049602711719151,-0.49389265963654705,0.2116052798716813,-0.08708263244671283,0.07092786644058234,-0.05847752611462219,-0.20008629577415515,-0.1051720484193792,0.06251554604810934,-0.16612152361802895,0.2964034229120104,-0.40062044440614963,0.22183462819987207,0.2669883610657306,-0.16038682266864168,-0.4841068693420871,-0.13515684896636948,0.23470315505755698,0.22744753060423958,0.2274525602879707,-0.34945849386149463,-0.040853375531246884,-0.1871163555349164,-0.4452891590279737,0.2792436338539218,-0.10596286593945009,0.24546412516727795,0.09665461261073802,-0.29641805691316264,0.06668211863857716,0.1588767314094344,-0.5469928068053242,0.2045217151615076,-0.0012746541711485897,0.1332059113592604,-0.14140121909292874,-0.36103516164933797,-0.19607065594899772,0.2777842706972764,-0.4242742700620818,-0.22024280346415123,-0.4443048286221726,-0.1638848678127189,0.20186849917311248,-0.05192522968617301,-0.22266480437490413,-0.16991940379533924,0.2085336628431565,0.2737341954828475,0.29207829759924003,0.7541745496686804,-0.18731820432828022,0.21007826374617175,0.23183377339310185,0.28980104590145994,-0.029950324461175543,0.2571200317298716,0.2874789305240005,-0.10544947957759553,-0.22904122355256143,-0.03491385064703438,-0.10209876111309607,-0.16869370768480166,-0.31340432014747527,0.2435950597774072,0.21593042826883949,0.2761300257004426,0.26613123826849494,-0.09634217714158202,0.055888852688518884,0.2766349895726825,-0.16747154982557966,0.2599517635562283,0.273542479882532,-0.2133925999955847,0.26410167307488275,-0.0059753422377350415,0.2862298073576318,0.2269412878074313,-0.09855523390265235,0.633985742866445,0.0913025916238797,0.050222154568667125,-0.3832008146385325,0.2499027613523001,-0.49732825042430023,-0.1019228888499075,0.24891871002246588,-0.41931936053981156,-0.2838417628330054,0.22927865733958178,0.2535033847778819,-0.11921984906461984,-0.5687827665846585,-0.140162977973609;-0.25702867871855617,-0.23922568728562124,0.24538886795605366,0.024758316200131514,0.20630474073505553,-0.2025085266669416,-0.17267431463959038,0.16137630909761494,-0.18782606341464173,-0.007823342604028175,-0.15539269894245603,-0.3067930225297461,-0.20728644441975067,-0.018043956441117545,-0.27225241953148266,0.26800053806490787,0.03848030254500025,0.17294727907836605,0.23122424177474293,0.4998807811361152,-0.5283265186647098,-0.2382785283857968,0.18970497955747329,0.179066565089543,0.17784182131631987,0.14562238021919902,-0.13612809263325945,-0.2952938378493323,-0.5087640834525073,0.24733585425377883,-0.2084707712441553,0.20267684063023386,0.023787954425408413,-0.3991197590787584,-0.013283725307406189,0.09732787050693338,-0.32977835201609323,0.1527890886963001,-0.09129696988452844,0.06651209787178464,-0.24743258134387877,-0.45290194001776846,-0.30156376537376256,0.2433769514378086,-0.49625969998030933,-0.32650496179779115,-0.05672014889858223,-0.2676424392696761,0.1478322795303741,-0.14820747930142486,-0.3291148807419269,-0.2748441511024544,0.158642041461392,0.23946786077926197,0.2599380027749677,1.9826483363961853,-0.2939197643718316,0.15729378647914186,0.18445687572869995,0.26005278808770316,-0.12352401818009211,0.2173084750783205,1.2640153259190081,-0.20691166956372983,-0.33402901706698634,-0.12909995165360047,-0.20264828041496533,-0.2733748554899842,-0.410930249811096,0.19983370903385334,0.16599762593712994,0.24334405427859118,0.22986288162170024,-0.19801452378711573,-0.025748832170446115,0.24332627359413614,-0.27285568201527316,0.2201421635543485,0.237502264740967,-0.31879280819859773,0.22643303721080446,-0.09859429285592011,0.25419183357970254,0.1825188618043825,-0.20003921541528127,1.8124140871804661,0.01542310878791725,-0.032178284778659354,-0.46854857512545334,0.20771659326470435,-0.5304778082817948,-0.20288865864062813,0.20666407609628937,-6.369569918449954E-4,-0.3874975014437835,0.18203787827274634,0.21413026187657005,-0.22320002839577396,-0.43316911606099384,-0.24373033141009456;0.1273794918300491,0.10407352534603206,-0.4428421370953559,-0.21633907702427638,-0.4038941766370032,0.05532063056334592,1.0261988969788267,-0.36225712300060214,0.0364141534547209,-0.1812367782500208,-0.005018066680988732,0.20149163391889852,0.061500553485246856,-0.16952281525620697,0.14989403639164994,-0.46602144122160183,0.9858431627766894,-0.37748003607867925,-0.42922514218548435,0.8176282464983033,0.6942919481834193,0.10647419900137581,-0.393555766014471,-0.3837099260870881,-0.38640430922201713,0.9562207537315561,-0.03041655256498256,0.1800688558864727,0.6172986125064387,-0.44459754476423874,0.06305712654354385,-0.4052923667708879,-0.2142474637821413,0.35277296974311423,-0.17515406532295408,-0.2955788233627031,1.0198878026740168,-0.35432437494292435,-0.08304346668253962,-0.26023460319292113,0.11152819817862354,0.46149402834020636,0.19581222130655396,-0.4451271453686055,0.5769640389227026,0.2328185728481666,1.007188122646085,0.14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x_a{134}	=[-14.218870211473169,-14.699281890084382,34.08512479570323];
std_x_a{134}	=[2.6431224703817477,3.859626818289775,4.167904552568811];
pred_a{134}	=[-14.218870211473169];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.4 to 13.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{135}	=[-9.726119723759522,-2.3979838651117684,35.51293420714281];
std_x_f{135}	=[1.895477208605365,4.4630029470560535,2.901499693980711];
pred_f{135}	=[-9.726119723759522];
obs{135}	=[-9.881240482505863];
sqrt_r{135}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{135}	=[4.597368997565991];
L_f{135}	=[-0.06734351656695414,-0.07034346847282215,-0.04779487336186124,-0.08384077091054228,-0.056598319833012924,-0.0759975184111501,0.2721557415694373,-0.066820145556849,-0.07793474194855989,-0.08590733228911797,-0.08178941070264911,-0.05474093025695518,-0.07532248347254074,-0.08617925776456621,-0.06374781123049204,-0.042213750188771985,0.30519921131824185,-0.06520232144436536,-0.05145978286713149,0.3908773676352242,0.0806754315565576,-0.069519008512806,-0.06249643604032983,-0.0644708532253868,-0.06601802918956617,0.3233406338368948,-0.08341216992882293,-0.05913146443234354,0.054990590285613046,-0.04711088433422799,-0.0757413593570777,-0.05872858863385336,-0.08350049084768368,-0.02238256921914508,-0.08631847245077885,-0.0767866384381887,0.23940500904020084,-0.0684006545845576,-0.08552148021219486,-0.07942198836235645,-0.06998163950158434,0.006618211287907156,-0.05507175499044636,-0.04959864280560331,0.04204513407919679,-0.048665497834838686,0.2902007526571957,-0.062466878901287395,-0.07069369198378152,-0.08196978504075167,-0.048104777007992705,-0.061804445530396275,-0.06742554367073932,-0.04998905052203132,-0.0456290756344197,1.0795156049543972,-0.05786795417633232,-0.0690650503156505,-0.0628981776271934,-0.04393149980645263,-0.08430698220043258,-0.0555754490003652,0.6535153102117637,-0.07527954234081415,-0.04557623356157808,-0.08350015310051441,-0.07536243895981541,-0.06232193793281799,-0.01360196428148005,-0.059717495137043934,-0.06681276969485049,-0.04863141536586472,-0.05191541628406821,-0.0770499514007275,-0.08617577887026907,-0.049141838845248795,-0.06287821764138073,-0.05550594214216974,-0.051448022679596285,-0.049754240372417734,-0.05350480462963611,-0.08746637188608328,-0.04617503210694211,-0.06168112027929622,-0.07591840482855552,0.9621683946964389,-0.08475032123308153,-0.08677347344058389,0.018991044431313817,-0.058218036369103464,0.09200476139292367,-0.07573209412951544,-0.058162171142863456,0.2995809947532913,-0.02695261750805288,-0.06405565326163416,-0.0557386723549238,-0.0727685919853543,0.20731478216960905,-0.06878483251193354;0.15165157574417876,0.12274508482467443,-0.4840071460646155,-0.2589202369994954,-0.4495813133190778,0.06212589792431847,0.9535839379444987,-0.4104023181754312,0.03838414792078444,-0.22009975154222527,-0.01182139202020822,0.24253162572278122,0.0697865124253624,-0.20727768731007412,0.17900045462149958,-0.5027875058402452,0.8460391032022428,-0.42504206797883554,-0.47237355668092823,0.6176533018529102,0.8118040805126701,0.12433903884958823,-0.43999219697280084,-0.43116272542988576,-0.43291309831238456,0.7916993239108766,-0.0415891862490286,0.21777182095105369,0.73108676629237,-0.48529405134658665,0.07112049767090282,-0.45133329181269805,-0.2571296850562091,0.42881398692989353,-0.21345210451482177,-0.34402616869109787,1.0125639752730777,-0.40282149143303936,-0.10569566378904152,-0.30819806189471016,0.13325394263005388,0.5565938519396615,0.23478420104054387,-0.4855651544355815,0.687112962726058,0.2815931566419625,0.8947157850184911,0.17742505172024686,-0.4008049898829577,-0.02226312150154405,0.28532110326981847,0.18720857802829932,-0.40682941070029677,-0.4805663817754038,-0.5014966262283398,0.7835191710106704,0.2196927761041406,-0.4110492505017492,-0.4363513818381531,-0.4961234617196229,-0.059351456018457885,-0.4639874134912319,0.48757934142605563,0.06968153957920839,0.2985652272439935,-0.050661408179902265,0.06520612178347684,0.18487508708296171,0.4626342888694718,-0.44952100222278873,-0.4171396310920776,-0.481942961148367,-0.4716356827901019,0.053940012856094094,-0.19700748538197657,-0.4832596544415169,0.18271326944430694,-0.46799222497561926,-0.4822484286889856,0.2702536231798289,-0.4712511774459125,-0.10126807111899047,-0.4933979428686837,-0.42822807730515977,0.058626356171028106,0.6791914985337212,-0.2506207982848315,-0.18864112181094536,0.6024279538243739,-0.4567300506560144,0.8407251112257081,0.06417398711027468,-0.4553463708837315,0.8671955429968283,0.403500104744592,-0.4341455439351821,-0.4582949990114966,0.0949310680378855,1.0272871580947516,0.1322129768608659;0.24489772257685,0.22968024671798648,-0.3184695226042857,-0.0382298119090446,-0.2652360125913607,0.19676125182392581,0.2297625243432508,-0.20730788038751988,0.18379530047593037,-0.0010449054880488492,0.15304693769690175,0.28528220393096165,0.20213418297655084,0.010664316756008721,0.257346790639179,-0.34963155227991466,0.12422898348631493,-0.22317105021048914,-0.2997372130344119,-0.14185263356296893,0.41228707715749807,0.2292798876190933,-0.2450419406903903,-0.23127880889072228,-0.23113702735858746,0.06751666521895454,0.1345827147719655,0.2756323576129853,0.406679287298233,-0.321161752699308,0.2033901928783622,-0.262211905145875,-0.03684073471195353,0.34981792680673357,0.005232533437238898,-0.12575340513144728,0.3034378111924725,-0.19630171007971417,0.09007971650957838,-0.08769023733527706,0.2367387422287538,0.38086295380560703,0.280826706410984,-0.3171820514523579,0.40176897291004504,0.2994610720039313,0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k{135}	=[0.7824842860058795;1.0626834561608332;-0.4296751204416962];
x_a_linear{135}	=[-9.847499279911842,-2.5628281291386203,35.579585737840155];
L_a{135}	=[0.04178582340872934,0.04364725665373286,0.02965613083414962,0.052022166740232086,0.035118561048438045,0.04715552507081691,-0.16886928893274886,0.0414610781367218,0.048357548439420875,0.05330444264785576,0.05074932297197573,0.033966073670544536,0.046736674197304776,0.05347316905949365,0.0395547324904249,0.0261931125775785,-0.18937235533205815,0.040457238181268576,0.03193016208768472,-0.24253459710907482,-0.05005811261866243,0.04313568939302372,0.03877826958234076,0.04000337115166454,0.0409633748003774,-0.20062888478569788,0.05175622510474994,0.03669034610351704,-0.034120984646411924,0.029231724058572935,0.04699658152964672,0.03644036662769589,0.05181102714816768,0.013888108796561018,0.05355955005933658,0.04764516433795185,-0.14854786237622797,0.04244176454121131,0.05306502618180049,0.04928036653951785,0.04342274622916734,-0.004106518671076582,0.034171346347078434,0.03077534757970433,-0.02608848835630594,0.03019634260712696,-0.1800659962798024,0.03875992974124769,0.043864566032997425,0.050861243029371665,0.0298484222333982,0.038348897985449874,0.041836720217334616,0.031017590764018183,0.028312279993097697,-0.6698261500904054,0.03590635353638829,0.04285401391736852,0.03902754529380363,0.027258955079483733,0.052311445109162365,0.03448388228258432,-0.40549820887746574,0.046710029753433024,0.02827949213708914,0.05181081758020502,0.04676146608553084,0.03866999565372286,0.008439851472749917,0.0370539709450318,0.041456501505107074,0.03017519485449275,0.03221287701660151,0.04780854679130124,0.05347101044838798,0.0304919063429997,0.03901516036820229,0.03444075413231377,0.031922865036021056,0.030871893955379173,0.03319907292856809,0.05427180753473758,0.02865103926663526,0.03827237618458465,0.047106436066261734,-0.5970136500114857,0.05258653152390346,0.05384187257499975,-0.011783709396364054,0.036123575229453996,-0.05708782238160586,0.04699083256994728,0.03608891154395985,-0.18588632108224865,0.016723767528159978,0.03974574468293931,0.03458516036572369,0.04515201595358909,-0.12863627145377535,0.04268014221807204;0.299858953512578,0.27755465725212225,-0.3788217739183361,-0.07440624901405002,-0.32502160815119674,0.22937871593574377,0.3546326081231897,-0.26334675796812607,0.2099003432440461,-0.03103774381368164,0.16817803045442137,0.36300364951322484,0.23555373593187667,-0.01761723501375141,0.31929452333935343,-0.4098848844716693,0.17436680106623578,-0.28154696142208,-0.3591225732445918,-0.2425766451329358,0.6342562663969062,0.2773341671407936,-0.3024521132707729,-0.28927740986983236,-0.2876228092034762,0.08010198076806364,0.1419815509106837,0.34790638673972807,0.610065298990996,-0.3816139795673744,0.237809569331811,-0.3220853617196979,-0.07336457414749106,0.4780728029347151,-0.02348527315422904,-0.17503668149585083,0.48568937140246027,-0.2522875993761781,0.08251717348564798,-0.13340878398947295,0.28726721385790155,0.5420287120345784,0.3559842929324328,-0.3764101063207184,0.59458142609917,0.38869457025353543,0.2560515932699387,0.3149000870509529,-0.24522465716798178,0.15813326283414714,0.3911885010823446,0.32322575196638864,-0.25844151040236935,-0.3705521373063556,-0.4010776698905039,-1.592242969525787,0.3470466504265376,-0.2590531783550202,-0.29792715857578045,-0.39944047396275445,0.1261885543115738,-0.3416788085276567,-0.9506554790216142,0.2353542596671897,0.3988678905004623,0.13310295942604952,0.23106127800123477,0.3220311411373224,0.49256904074203495,-0.31809671949530305,-0.2701003034372336,-0.3749165551041445,-0.3573819564411535,0.22350899048634823,-0.007354689320843756,-0.37510992533239773,0.32109356543189,-0.3458365884003196,-0.36902332668334203,0.3797511052592419,-0.3534995779391513,0.09122501924797857,-0.391777463633125,-0.292482313489529,0.22570506363373438,-1.4383167935646606,-0.06410510211537807,0.002327060637602308,0.5606330930904554,-0.3286057270544731,0.6382440837507689,0.23084266816565105,-0.3273449936192929,0.20788762554510634,0.4628165314549746,-0.29317398668497513,-0.3356271775026195,0.255077771860896,0.5710356612273887,0.28359235495878204;0.18497298908843512,0.1670860458836187,-0.3609991556607138,-0.11283440799191137,-0.31559927552719647,0.12913586977187202,0.4719366951066061,-0.2667668991361213,0.11444610579714383,-0.07748840375722288,0.08026771724057445,0.23657171443202799,0.13510947179607813,-0.06602115078467988,0.20062164777172847,-0.3871948970317983,0.3958064467887655,-0.281190469667073,-0.3455280171219692,0.20596439881469242,0.4840750380710482,0.16741932152633662,-0.3006535639706969,-0.28864734107096485,-0.2898822935147122,0.355237032321954,0.06035950357827201,0.2230150096108959,0.455611933456675,-0.36308274720700234,0.13599275055723617,-0.3144707594713015,-0.11114253710186091,0.32990109496279946,-0.07157681244236411,-0.1940809751552798,0.5164691777422449,-0.25716712378791506,0.013979563584607668,-0.1583628384757639,0.17446651009716743,0.38675208119032745,0.23182183691830305,-0.3613167447833463,0.439182276857063,0.2561567253273758,0.43080440406685505,0.1984913990940986,-0.25354600740990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x_a{135}	=[-9.847499279911846,-2.5628281291386266,35.57958573784015];
std_x_a{135}	=[1.1761202852439303,3.9712693250073094,2.788793347059607];
pred_a{135}	=[-9.847499279911846];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.5 to 13.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{136}	=[-3.7602529538943545,0.4306427728708032,28.107358646291406];
std_x_f{136}	=[2.433238624814019,3.484446018444073,1.6372238372977364];
pred_f{136}	=[-3.7602529538943545];
obs{136}	=[-3.5791167895048197];
sqrt_r{136}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{136}	=[6.959400824092552];
L_f{136}	=[0.19685176861215006,0.18214730401230936,-0.271727498517086,-0.05506697145496858,-0.23276870635797992,0.15071380806202625,0.2405968580103735,-0.1884324016437925,0.13801217216698602,-0.024893741184443752,0.11010676933641651,0.2373021599895802,0.15504950816052934,-0.015484201470180745,0.20929058644790224,-0.29445081283151403,0.13196803347390168,-0.20115367786699823,-0.25714901041969807,-0.11932682882590749,0.40524609899358033,0.18242016986342147,-0.21683343192165597,-0.20695050055491016,-0.2061276778238415,0.07507217434193274,0.09248055054503657,0.2279010537413412,0.3910068932569974,-0.273910023463865,0.15633933452320473,-0.23019264539626508,-0.053994472982418426,0.3100439135374833,-0.019886331853392197,-0.12525440778164024,0.31801804168529385,-0.18064890132178033,0.05299073401001621,-0.09615961521532893,0.1888299172042069,0.34952616546786713,0.23300664761691553,-0.270305463503899,0.3814106761175475,0.25377601134612554,0.18055835587426478,0.20659099000134526,-0.17560213136182362,0.10341463432432985,0.25517408518868645,0.21211002384775315,-0.1852438827814637,-0.2662658007585669,-0.28834559653096414,-0.7040920610778467,0.22728761573675496,-0.1855806812480492,-0.21315474689793457,-0.2861891955581382,0.08237003248143952,-0.2449513389245977,-0.509968847698672,0.1546504558515946,0.26048552832999955,0.08685398248834325,0.15224399645300798,0.21109197527814824,0.31931159444339835,-0.22760647905428424,-0.19348823249333888,-0.26953316214863504,-0.25644882834119437,0.1472643974715337,-0.008354329562706646,-0.2696540602410136,0.2105445557331214,-0.2480279971093955,-0.26500871215174293,0.24783704381818325,-0.2531781356533298,0.05854449430807996,-0.28135664924707726,-0.20897878198875275,0.14850017676666274,-0.6800705979643864,-0.0473668527376729,-0.002017251563817278,0.36131481382320435,-0.23548899568171933,0.4082425633373043,0.1520984110033979,-0.23445748826515403,0.15247910709951834,0.30046486469797534,-0.20995711476368795,-0.24065963752283304,0.16779823807760647,0.3683618930863752,0.18606373167517257;0.26108869911486854,0.23754837057442155,-0.4517086777786273,-0.1343476546720073,-0.3964952837398904,0.18684232591405192,0.4804766310423052,-0.33352647274506314,0.16623417527694562,-0.08907608914010999,0.12188103739284827,0.3284846843325291,0.19373499058434296,-0.0737769382683482,0.2814389227031391,-0.48355526394291537,0.33998746795557344,-0.352064975697447,-0.43166628530413764,0.0321202090280128,0.6344987846264191,0.23755596271530285,-0.37521794356691995,-0.3611194041262846,-0.3608295682064645,0.26801189899447425,0.09438497168317035,0.31192266961674253,0.6032245870588796,-0.4542647255644387,0.19540395226528118,-0.39365625084012956,-0.132808807271666,0.4511144166220464,-0.08072426799690001,-0.24064112468294785,0.577264536804318,-0.3217228566802916,0.0318510701777566,-0.1959227791862592,0.2473092834746717,0.5223194921556212,0.3210554795525309,-0.45046198386134173,0.5838906218286005,0.3556825364522171,0.4031957851271604,0.2777663742286688,-0.3148242129671752,0.11227734650616367,0.357696565849797,0.28599269732886484,-0.327858703453523,-0.4439027237023454,-0.4764694720144729,-0.06621630079061001,0.3115857812991987,-0.33011088590848325,-0.3696326510893185,-0.472574163984071,0.07771795357590734,-0.41429040872313294,-0.2887869749989729,0.193578527388425,0.3661193413669217,0.08490102297080895,0.18827240746022716,0.285488488442106,0.4679544097523747,-0.3901089137894865,-0.34083268876020506,-0.44807675181686696,-0.4301254152501818,0.18089340056342953,-0.06352454539690293,-0.4493673464386956,0.2837584314385855,-0.4193367249871461,-0.4433901534005355,0.3448513431744576,-0.42679395182273294,0.03991784991003107,-0.46572881985403414,-0.3615426530980707,0.18317627712627463,-0.17592020029144034,-0.12306371026471873,-0.05375103296474151,0.5441179624527056,-0.4002000675991161,0.6433449953686748,0.18863316604081545,-0.39981737251135757,0.36647378740454994,0.43540203991356935,-0.3649475816982396,-0.4079742480887773,0.2140440227583374,0.635900226990972,0.24436804655144986;-0.042237019903766534,-0.04733689986662031,-0.024657967919098942,-0.07827865741619239,-0.03939486252078028,-0.05684569190518349,0.08625888250163039,-0.05524392524859505,-0.05929418582103996,-0.07857337282980119,-0.06657375789101784,-0.02547138065952639,-0.05498514129355883,-0.0786335024767764,-0.03759861280811218,-0.015017797998357469,0.09118586669720918,-0.05097938148300613,-0.03148275586743497,0.1750635346995608,0.07476533480841509,-0.04689678567401031,-0.04712888287680194,-0.0497067711156595,-0.051266458744640475,0.10175790705778529,-0.06928042160160161,-0.030860933446597016,0.06243335848270987,-0.023518305900947226,-0.0547333463354273,-0.04136353326763193,-0.07733522286008189,0.008582993661849638,-0.07933843142329093,-0.06897441299541046,0.09033504021906427,-0.05681276242873324,-0.07471113321949269,-0.07263108689073734,-0.045134953412664484,0.031893394806661965,-0.027749634688211514,-0.02708623211541998,0.054928731395525156,-0.01985684835366658,0.08701541619901343,-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k{136}	=[0.8563094689792651;1.1201596704952062;-0.19396982733877083];
x_a_linear{136}	=[-3.6051443411530113,0.6335441990881501,28.07222369575996];
L_a{136}	=[-0.08839439264325445,-0.08179149429689547,0.12201661872397329,0.02472729369303159,0.10452254795540411,-0.06767658538462593,-0.10803770413465102,0.0846137569148806,-0.061973037997505545,0.01117829495833881,-0.04944238535433035,-0.10655825168906628,-0.06962348979697865,0.006953031685578172,-0.09397992410961202,0.1322203043795651,-0.059258975672368736,0.09032612360238974,0.11547028891392984,0.05358256435528179,-0.18197186158973952,-0.08191402208189813,0.0973669662944759,0.09292913105500854,0.09255965042458994,-0.033710437565019936,-0.04152750140055252,-0.1023367753830794,-0.17557788325933632,0.12299666055168705,-0.07020267391479337,0.103365792566676,0.024245698573209924,-0.13922223621917643,0.00892976597810592,0.056244286651866066,-0.14280294173914593,0.08111865098591922,-0.0237949792453452,0.043179549991827756,-0.08479225745250223,-0.15695136156145648,-0.10462939318832586,0.12137806758372065,-0.17126879428495317,-0.1139556761339849,-0.08107799242391502,-0.09276769630003917,0.07885244749399356,-0.04643734651698288,-0.11458346774111608,-0.09524596534618615,0.08318198319877826,0.1195640958964213,0.1294788157424674,0.3161657654523707,-0.10206131694944656,0.08333321930961893,0.09571508817984054,0.12851050463390024,-0.036987470544638947,0.10999304189159985,0.22899660428309704,-0.06944429919722031,-0.11696852017851934,-0.0390009451519403,-0.06836370175855631,-0.09478882043138062,-0.14338379915897384,0.1022044994541707,0.08688402911209481,0.12103127309100437,0.11515587888853167,-0.0661276607482182,0.0037514313071377627,0.12108556121613963,-0.09454300695180212,0.11137458564674846,0.11899961235287806,-0.11128883990862817,0.11368720580672592,-0.026288841870480317,0.1263404962103115,0.09383991131732553,-0.06668257555037718,0.3053791585689941,0.021269629471394064,9.058274053081787E-4,-0.16224494067838063,0.10574406770237511,-0.18331739507215622,-0.06829832801319105,0.10528087922183904,-0.06846927593220367,-0.13492085650469376,0.0942792222366691,0.10806589467067396,-0.0753481843015696,-0.16540936381650437,-0.08355012845614421;-0.11204888440706906,-0.10771652261584456,0.06335777495360441,-0.029966795889567233,0.04472377780215091,-0.098839568336313,0.024419106977874454,0.023651984437769866,-0.0953714418941473,-0.0418893633317925,-0.08682917196547331,-0.12132765500950514,-0.10016533456474914,-0.044426236671484806,-0.11527675951623434,0.07458381471832594,0.08983867092030819,0.0292269873111558,0.0557662687925146,0.25830727796495234,-0.1336556047206483,-0.10822615470427652,0.035795395985170904,0.031160585178054378,0.02989073947701602,0.12571066430819725,-0.08091428722845823,-0.12006963136529901,-0.13793902208194686,0.06493875926234327,-0.10094127188332058,0.042679820983118115,-0.03046089689095865,-0.13658178493456147,-0.04302921519038968,-0.00321817758615501,-0.025546829471133736,0.020701775723754964,-0.0685942271998289,-0.01364975869569033,-0.11062267466307327,-0.14021633203264497,-0.12061460575732032,0.06190896497857008,-0.13908311124654013,-0.12535641126534128,0.06094278394452978,-0.11383215358739625,0.018034137352002114,-0.08374774904994253,-0.12599246674571984,-0.11606730089888796,0.023275834328984148,0.06081094064546322,0.07009701233721831,1.2684082855152519,-0.11924373218905741,0.02166206201807081,0.03440764651365851,0.06990480693668973,-0.0784165586585476,0.05002114575860786,0.6778720743117189,-0.09956538385946392,-0.12763766812683,-0.07973293167153084,-0.1003099981879763,-0.1146417725734872,-0.13730891900083447,0.04132501330711809,0.025929225656443133,0.06283027996766,0.05597992573256191,-0.09825004731489718,-0.047688699130689294,0.061768850785189865,-0.11533418176899426,0.05080671410753123,0.05894066720484598,-0.12493013905211092,0.053111707162755276,-0.07105474276030185,0.06758993541065071,0.03458199576031945,-0.09830962214683472,1.1131710856940258,-0.03327862428767651,-0.04992728081262514,-0.14076354748333322,0.04617537222642801,-0.13048926910580166,-0.0996732786483048,0.04460281851192367,0.07744572348709308,-0.13413682853085857,0.03303152206341796,0.04820227615400602,-0.10402184739840302,-0.06233920269191928,-0.10832053586681797;0.022376476328747646,0.012450087187331045,-0.1138482445698344,-0.09635352449880398,-0.11579752853360806,-0.007376255394352384,0.16523101614416508,-0.11709389672476357,-0.013993861474336422,-0.08674435175254261,-0.030432943023816314,0.05241932018890855,-0.004092579433359352,-0.0837159480164365,0.031097729695144655,-0.11166664509627255,0.13450229760252935,-0.1170049117520461,-0.11588787314471194,0.13589638035221227,0.2077809915900053,0.012979765302922448,-0.11830104574498054,-0.1176350172380888,-0.11892462625000316,0.12639916727204492,-0.038925135762154006,0.04394400217130613,0.19077521998828487,-0.1134249620306195,-0.003417419262850844,-0.11692064779561422,-0.0950580591913109,0.11035003076040112,-0.0858658070082134,-0.11008720188404028,0.19471945943548383,-0.11610792237195114,-0.05731775841542631,-0.10419396783023929,0.01684549629261163,0.14661985997812765,0.04873113179963961,-0.11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x_a{136}	=[-3.6051443411530113,0.6335441990881536,28.07222369575995];
std_x_a{136}	=[1.0926223925390064,2.013836235061139,1.561301244928177];
pred_a{136}	=[-3.6051443411530113];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.6 to 13.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{137}	=[-1.1337311291803125,-0.027510529050100915,21.623541057024617];
std_x_f{137}	=[1.4921503808404253,1.7969660858109875,1.6942939156009547];
pred_f{137}	=[-1.1337311291803125];
obs{137}	=[-1.1241202791587372];
sqrt_r{137}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{137}	=[3.2372604534345264];
L_f{137}	=[-0.10367108754276985,-0.09911712289800702,0.08744015063682394,-0.015109316343470187,0.06713676226281048,-0.08991787661885418,-0.01293267162711005,0.04427605361862121,-0.08616578066456447,-0.02821860906987098,-0.07726942014456749,-0.11357617315140138,-0.09128458207756865,-0.030707728615329742,-0.1068379619472059,0.09867510010308683,0.043276598798592886,0.050232949645252836,0.07886214032461565,0.19224495996799423,-0.13039489916594732,-0.09972450907441342,0.057424874729374846,0.05370696422461413,0.0518768618849355,0.0746697011612069,-0.07097185515005654,-0.11188194756726128,-0.13342924915834795,0.0879426465408665,-0.09208262753827197,0.0657418854081067,-0.01550613158170236,-0.1282483073575811,-0.0293667361537493,0.014386318109179452,-0.05280344124057792,0.040889524997463254,-0.057393796916574605,0.0027854275066056806,-0.10146809265559945,-0.13289705600139537,-0.11250039645000012,0.08553124409065022,-0.13345385607750682,-0.11726713357053362,0.01871303354814946,-0.1052552570469505,0.038544546962216736,-0.0743236624919894,-0.11790794403616596,-0.10746397428450373,0.04344177114270342,0.08409704633877764,0.09452413235396169,0.8291055674706127,-0.11096547974329972,0.042436036095442504,0.05641492292568889,0.0937941324275844,-0.06806025960276889,0.07267968054869012,0.5106993623136518,-0.09085422298398847,-0.11919804017416359,-0.06894797367578875,-0.09162599184920155,-0.10665375252656718,-0.12964971372833278,0.06395317619248604,0.046563791896682256,0.08553669607818808,0.07901600995585091,-0.08939016756413026,-0.03470231402823907,0.08506950646295608,-0.10647379337557732,0.07367207810683703,0.08250507386031862,-0.1161578142183472,0.07629496540909043,-0.059771351840100705,0.09177505829728835,0.055422234158681374,-0.08931554962002125,0.7554445312333217,-0.018500846644834743,-0.036582296337646134,-0.13342167816999315,0.0683216568009225,-0.1283748988165202,-0.09059831878994122,0.06719342885234839,0.03274131439442605,-0.12631602098522693,0.05505647625743192,0.07063080154130164,-0.09569633509517328,-0.08043408329817543,-0.09990708834852471;-0.12010200530073203,-0.11778953652299692,0.08156085513913107,-0.04067211823248972,0.0560177639190692,-0.11121566790247263,0.04885890927162593,0.027851980901666788,-0.10838369961215134,-0.05531032960270851,-0.10188645358205337,-0.12364897073356614,-0.1123378715882609,-0.05737525945414179,-0.12189190446654359,0.09622780460788925,0.11245274087018853,0.03549652865639571,0.07109191672095858,0.29745188689216595,-0.09577832754199317,-0.11793823145862464,0.04373494666128403,0.03870997253726387,0.03655594511453347,0.15095675998038255,-0.09632522700978403,-0.12499885704542892,-0.10535873472870591,0.0839322750697202,-0.11351385202849071,0.05364726101551298,-0.04137406032440933,-0.12589455414307707,-0.05643678972759327,-0.007436152609161803,0.0051275969883270425,0.02399275622099219,-0.08374869017937171,-0.020615138770419705,-0.11957421639302916,-0.11961248725947886,-0.12401451678321292,0.07914750237646183,-0.10937291587141584,-0.12654565174951107,0.0838716543609757,-0.12055508144387901,0.020929863727349955,-0.09877844394688616,-0.12595797850789572,-0.12233125136087888,0.027077958745852657,0.0775979138824572,0.09037893597186583,1.0009595744894095,-0.12349440658101757,0.025418979786910913,0.04240333729871952,0.09039580088589645,-0.09409553174478864,0.06367328886827535,0.6933209328796596,-0.11170184176057883,-0.12677697636506827,-0.09523771059587754,-0.11278069882612689,-0.1214214507837992,-0.12449263799952633,0.05240261082398693,0.03094744537479755,0.08024866905086497,0.0713401450442482,-0.11129156106532599,-0.06196504282251061,0.07915356554425763,-0.12156281202162819,0.06498293963755988,0.0748202790369456,-0.12580985226326225,0.06847023875776238,-0.08748086860407267,0.08619529255878218,0.042458033552547396,-0.11073344949096611,0.9414215167928804,-0.044658691130383864,-0.06405518167127419,-0.11659581826891709,0.05828412409331541,-0.09170110553088469,-0.11208642871384805,0.056010666877326344,0.10017243418628652,-0.1250612650716688,0.04149796892918607,0.060898977592909305,-0.11521359476704413,-0.025620634964767533,-0.11753601476989672;0.0242726488549959,0.01580094318056031,-0.1094172069290194,-0.0865881593994098,-0.11042633939381723,-0.002549331775644109,0.0961340822084097,-0.11027037737720592,-0.00833555407914911,-0.07702246502549771,-0.023456648764320492,0.04928251135649639,1.3214649513288272E-4,-0.07424964105399882,0.03121011349360133,-0.10768936230130252,0.06489645606153742,-0.11014631937713913,-0.11098968947067656,0.07140182313412931,0.16756510280291917,0.01628532291276851,-0.1120036217270767,-0.11137372610763915,-0.11196977246626795,0.05676255225268725,-0.031008757667508567,0.04244773206725436,0.15662273606127988,-0.10938013798057565,0.0012579577072999594,-0.11140200512269978,-0.08564544573152251,0.09733728063951447,-0.07636044628564866,-0.10161014098965088,0.12749223846473284,-0.10872944926229011,-0.04855024829655063,-0.09617063969762449,0.019419514017196958,0.12496786392860695,0.04651153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k{137}	=[0.6910968349985361;0.820803650754349;0.40333659338702604];
x_a_linear{137}	=[-1.1270891011487563,-0.019621908265539438,21.627417464531874];
L_a{137}	=[0.09320239845336022,0.08910829239714127,-0.07861045884285643,0.013583580104925637,-0.06035730323274073,0.0808379844694221,0.011626732608154704,-0.03980506512582506,0.07746477453735987,0.025369098643290396,0.06946676701547091,0.1021072701730616,0.082066680239387,0.027606867313153993,0.09604948240984128,-0.08871090499015877,-0.03890653508644468,-0.04516043478749959,-0.07089865457799227,-0.17283209604794836,0.11722764404623906,0.08965434481899014,-0.051626120478898585,-0.04828364395538697,-0.046638345044031554,-0.06712956722045572,0.06380512908134374,0.10058412720518486,0.11995558588365844,-0.07906221279451103,0.08278413920287765,-0.05910328080964406,0.0139403250067366,0.11529781471983686,0.026401288046170722,-0.012933590111470196,0.047471358571236924,-0.03676050759870693,0.05159818089843965,-0.0025041555026276354,0.09122186162162228,0.11947713350272841,0.10114012522313055,-0.07689431336060429,0.1199777080002342,0.10542551802608643,-0.016823394548708577,0.09462659878583343,-0.03465232505345035,0.06681847147820874,0.10600161955802322,0.09661228012596912,-0.039055028354858766,-0.07560494065796151,-0.08497910127042449,-0.7453826258687156,0.0997602041488812,-0.03815085226454188,-0.05071815343951566,-0.08432281661457902,0.06118754596569097,-0.06534049855672007,-0.45912902608065165,0.0816797787351338,0.107161442003671,0.06198561882001609,0.08237361450935386,0.09588387442570455,0.11655770730954262,-0.05749519515159869,-0.04186178797500787,-0.07689921480735208,-0.07103698647958763,0.0803635633868271,0.03119808015884105,-0.07647920192136615,0.09572208751969805,-0.06623268397534386,-0.07417372529424762,0.10442821755663924,-0.06859071255628288,0.05373565072324308,-0.08250762825243232,-0.049825706218253024,0.08029648035024024,-0.679159868756777,0.01663263424341933,0.03288822216892018,0.11994877941244209,-0.06142254731847248,0.11541162299441464,0.08144971570382188,-0.060408247639540065,-0.02943510194023089,0.11356065030234336,-0.04949688248872807,-0.06349851500898715,0.08603293517478529,0.07231186301286298,0.08981848726852347;0.1137211984225221,0.10576250454421261,-0.11565455602853125,-0.0065940658339287295,-0.09540471280010765,0.09158808849044532,0.07802768510128197,-0.07200969655066541,0.08595745532163591,0.00833485570133503,0.0723895552481536,0.13251449106026927,0.09354839755220393,0.011883968495390803,0.11907397265375459,-0.12632728361087672,0.014845266914074723,-0.07780052934616653,-0.10677636594335764,-0.1361437616614417,0.19831864582653583,0.10698372850333848,-0.0857830173235105,-0.0824224929832571,-0.08044884698856969,-0.017455756569792397,0.06374704519940512,0.1273433922647415,0.1955820120896585,-0.11441648199915677,0.09417235526986685,-0.09462916425675796,-0.006401017697725366,0.16336092498038393,0.009797919419567314,-0.03988353084933341,0.12422222685213395,-0.06823083244045154,0.04569917987734794,-0.026897484203178137,0.10928027971353625,0.18012793349008743,0.12972260261589524,-0.11376249775699626,0.19162333020723285,0.13794252439306853,0.04166565884844763,0.11684111063599228,-0.06600478382372109,0.06885360553029526,0.13997550277814264,0.12004655471421953,-0.07090205038454948,-0.11207734915058035,-0.12281392213378473,-0.8690325767049711,0.1267808108518267,-0.07029266121481424,-0.08483674794532682,-0.12115059121318442,0.059409831454863234,-0.10025086929652043,-0.45852731976200856,0.0932137812296678,0.14206623046979475,0.060269832319098396,0.09387559721844181,0.11912895430943085,0.16792361945754827,-0.09183950045352429,-0.07407407274416077,-0.11267362767581866,-0.10687518028146858,0.09032198285144295,0.01630370534071989,-0.11271501625409822,0.11858170724344,-0.10117950484131842,-0.11126439655290547,0.13617632827930562,-0.10360795259475522,0.047329417555569776,-0.12079721288886562,-0.08254310857530917,0.09071179864382194,-0.7624330941208278,-0.0029312689857748982,0.018453740844783885,0.18432785269161236,-0.0958108030027442,0.19783989216091344,0.09225201948334283,-0.09553961754430512,0.02632658953209002,0.15983607138343994,-0.0826782307167856,-0.09840407101372484,0.10062308821649428,0.15579305993414452,0.10779774053267728;0.13917157061040494,0.1256526946998164,-0.20632734132070024,-0.06984246686859842,-0.18483417842573382,0.09710687242670836,0.11046739403711672,-0.15934163669302498,0.08716219293239902,-0.04574771106646408,0.06218123996346715,0.17515926389676356,0.10130307372475879,-0.04021618976987408,0.1496188899542035,-0.21705121886786266,0.01693289498527923,-0.16581962123627275,-0.19839279389826237,-0.14166373966438467,0.31208209082420896,0.12681024202785396,-0.1756477518768888,-0.17089728688458866,-0.16946502631102273,-0.025994061520480383,0.04764952426050114,0.1664467702182727,0.3045027016553821,-0.20684718982079028,0.1033133606873009,-0.1842638986997573,-0.06845996189447776,0.23947519567067604,-0.043813220250720104,-0.11755453279602678,0.18601442249231398,-0.15404741056332408,0.015059438236763064,-0.09925773586611805,0.13187685111126835,0.27225799853560567,0.1711959980937689,-0.20596894257851206,0.2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x_a{137}	=[-1.1270891011487572,-0.019621908265539938,21.62741746453188];
std_x_a{137}	=[1.341473284825412,1.6203096428852755,1.644908113439702];
pred_a{137}	=[-1.1270891011487572];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.7 to 13.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{138}	=[-0.6991117038139865,-0.7396083449528373,16.868623845578313];
std_x_f{138}	=[1.803442910420136,2.482465459442455,1.6520768281196028];
pred_f{138}	=[-0.6991117038139865];
obs{138}	=[-0.6834513181868392];
sqrt_r{138}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{138}	=[4.270535277235808];
L_f{138}	=[0.13464377479542217,0.1269598619475207,-0.13573979943055253,0.0033306351212052062,-0.10931490595270923,0.11299423749035002,0.06555448259812052,-0.07832141135086582,0.10703596829200804,0.02177683351254141,0.09421032275849307,0.15162123680394152,0.11473849087716517,0.02564669056259246,0.1399533950847467,-0.1511223458730947,-0.009692432929330563,-0.08576898652125117,-0.12396734291063352,-0.2042501066153445,0.20183248688188,0.12829849305522376,-0.09606551356896025,-0.09147002169799491,-0.08902001605549889,-0.050288024990711166,0.08439923783138088,0.14785933109277372,0.20141102532157015,-0.1353437739615441,0.11571946450489255,-0.10772109075821647,0.004433259159057779,0.17850169133571123,0.02376197478853876,-0.03720803033520852,0.11730469002002532,-0.07325980164504257,0.06424436809326692,-0.02151791068016553,0.1306441960315606,0.19167455131277883,0.14965431506005888,-0.13345319696836355,0.19904966536910818,0.15719912045849135,0.02320310626025048,0.1376939168672124,-0.0706149106970705,0.08904715040321162,0.1590061674232905,0.14093864413376464,-0.07695673311141027,-0.13104481237562648,-0.14586965641142624,-0.8968041859555427,0.14718251448554132,-0.07584028871394208,-0.0950909079586359,-0.14409547070586948,0.08003125356122719,-0.11574856108180655,-0.5919201699437261,0.11448348864261129,0.16121960841076055,0.08154155720547165,0.11550775255438663,0.13986863213444678,0.18231575990754076,-0.10475856517848255,-0.08094526786775848,-0.1332013166931416,-0.12433114692058773,0.11182484213473508,0.03167227230511778,-0.13251151587759885,0.13917946830439026,-0.1172851770382771,-0.13022076100069135,0.15543442646478706,-0.12059067978585697,0.06676820289460596,-0.14237060151502165,-0.09242520405021817,0.11208061023904815,-0.8361241257087918,0.008384059309065064,0.034032858754720716,0.19459048899066647,-0.11061705919227552,0.2005077288471258,0.11403457036647392,-0.1089710291377668,0.004065765315169146,0.17610770537991408,-0.0921108037289286,-0.11330672862764445,0.12194759432749151,0.1511597787532864,0.12899666698684703;0.2002833307822475,0.18874864231930402,-0.22152984780186663,-0.0010753503618614734,-0.1785267962885827,0.16768103991910874,0.11488144201138076,-0.13038666709803962,0.158544120326163,0.027386293018706324,0.13791718319880028,0.22605231248202032,0.17049696930231228,0.03368932507247784,0.20755080353597885,-0.24503160599942966,0.0017097914554898555,-0.14235837499478804,-0.2029357841087747,-0.29917829264168017,0.3035058137475168,0.19069609548196934,-0.15877947764307504,-0.15150335665089085,-0.14746956990939078,-0.06001904234082029,0.12343815033913547,0.2195850775232054,0.3014853542085859,-0.22067881866414707,0.17158154075458107,-0.17739258013304016,1.751462523395864E-5,0.2659335274481938,0.029781851535015072,-0.0653391498299154,0.19038900847375917,-0.12264574617554566,0.09317440322684453,-0.039978047812253135,0.1940568160748717,0.285566832463187,0.2227807850490202,-0.21798173159650117,0.2972705401342066,0.2336593616362116,0.050753327637845166,0.2045826532379723,-0.1180771347318475,0.13163027107321817,0.23642858812988599,0.20904573486982994,-0.12914112242962564,-0.21395570044762696,-0.2375961120156726,-1.0373504219619678,0.21854174203459284,-0.1265934255654381,-0.1565408342132229,-0.23486893239880702,0.1164153784220786,-0.18969626649734428,-0.8380356038184399,0.16949763937814635,0.2395373684773333,0.1184606802226081,0.17157784526535175,0.2077371252817008,0.27202912283848785,-0.172382982965424,-0.13439228124866323,-0.21680848950556392,-0.203064945454414,0.16566322690196733,0.04206535429517551,-0.216125289225484,0.20653527575046757,-0.19215239865680206,-0.21286527889291337,0.23110939642044426,-0.19724412714508194,0.09674355507584542,-0.2320748120556664,-0.15212100012541577,0.16617497658688773,-1.031692911687324,0.0064004966055372725,0.046257177828521824,0.29018472246533267,-0.18044416602916769,0.3023849408724289,0.16928122314774707,-0.17947775701568877,0.023016561466933802,0.26190362351429747,-0.15242290618629456,-0.1858948428378035,0.18132469944907975,0.23888183136053598,0.19180151840651932;0.07870548006760816,0.06834321237243486,-0.1552247716299089,-0.08024796286968221,-0.146870240311778,0.04501570704590808,0.05186457812927522,-0.13665096799456977,0.03660178707638541,-0.06455143426243164,0.017068293052579966,0.10904460338819374,0.048428588533095354,-0.060306076621833876,0.08757938689201313,-0.1583940365879217,-0.015347451473567987,-0.13864232685289662,-0.15287344849385415,-0.0810735918136576,0.22277366196254844,0.06889004356644056,-0.14357026665426956,-0.14128233248063904,-0.140821279515589,-0.04184258613224061,0.00539009944738181,0.10197934843065928,0.2167340639450623,-0.15586511568702363,0.05035502698122855,-0.14695264193324484,-0.08088282795429154,0.16260827194837718,-0.06329710880774683,-0.11151538286227058,0.11199909788767234,-0.1329914812522503,-0.019680362686845462,-0.1008976355288049,0.07271386072488574,0.19032661224110065,0.10556764189079673,-0.1554188844034043,0.21056472268801998,0.12011206297864589,0.01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k{138}	=[0.7658373166168364;1.04621340449882;-0.055169191306677676];
x_a_linear{138}	=[-0.6871183961081072,-0.7232242395900953,16.867759874767714];
L_a{138}	=[-0.08935567745901725,-0.08425628657292834,0.09008304880561457,-0.0022103595808738905,0.07254629850221059,-0.07498806874106315,-0.04350490924612417,0.05197761858234049,-0.07103389275698979,-0.014452088218574759,-0.06252221631864163,-0.10062268643593451,-0.07614563390347678,-0.017020299774603093,-0.0928793807919316,0.10029159992880324,0.006432335337763275,0.05692016513369705,0.08227031606477671,0.13554957646887958,-0.13394513504965894,-0.08514466250919725,0.06375340455543095,0.060703629027290505,0.059077694859177264,0.033373399906148224,-0.05601113816740812,-0.09812611625384395,-0.13366543416262092,0.08982022845518949,-0.07679665221611852,0.07148857090459429,-0.002942110588557799,-0.11846176758723219,-0.015769517441263613,0.024692925926726752,-0.07784867931536776,0.04861850625067725,-0.04263545821277378,0.014280255357147055,-0.08670137672704122,-0.12720387117956003,-0.09931734851592623,0.0885655563526675,-0.1320983292697476,-0.10432442142886043,-0.015398627097230989,-0.09137988921024909,0.04686323741021033,-0.059095702435286564,-0.10552365923978202,-0.09353323646683837,0.051071956595476115,0.08696724378906882,0.09680567845904063,0.5951596774963922,-0.09767695024860776,0.050331033774256496,0.06310661234614981,0.09562824886083604,-0.05311234693711954,0.07681596201596516,0.3928249030996176,-0.07597640292746811,-0.10699259844065825,-0.05411465250605766,-0.07665615062373235,-0.09282312827777708,-0.1209929553946804,0.06952250540643798,0.05371892802630426,0.08839839724958097,0.08251175280272591,-0.07421200527747425,-0.021019147396827857,0.08794061433850106,-0.09236576809897551,0.07783572962121364,0.08642036615599409,-0.10315329095844032,0.08002941022621304,-0.04431038873823596,0.09448354792452773,0.06133753108707387,-0.0743817445191737,0.5548896546168287,-0.005564039633888574,-0.022585738958341588,-0.12913901884629628,0.07341046608109573,-0.1330659659098706,-0.07567848052631057,0.07231808634900634,-0.0026982251105058855,-0.11687301060806503,0.06112888086358724,0.07519545194400233,-0.08092991987328745,-0.1003164420752287,-0.08560800219749123;-0.10572321194442229,-0.09979457832825638,0.08696764342835725,-0.008644925264768052,0.0699145185059946,-0.08912233636022228,-0.03410502699222385,0.047615355983733926,-0.08471782516076987,-0.022106181065833543,-0.07619576186897549,-0.11853911440579332,-0.09027059283967423,-0.024598220143511266,-0.11052297772731365,0.09842598540896343,0.023737901524604133,0.05256984265520311,0.0788063021683869,0.16502340603975327,-0.15520133119469415,-0.10088944834671992,0.05954978211783749,0.056381672905548526,0.05484730205892292,0.05427116299055233,-0.06837702282269817,-0.11645662055250894,-0.15626392992529173,0.08691862067145988,-0.09141549206871266,0.06742645150620383,-0.010058007323967591,-0.1397494350170071,-0.024222277244403817,0.019223992742743258,-0.07621078563623275,0.04385269503573919,-0.05283455262536915,0.00892596920556613,-0.10285983540541987,-0.15005424890524321,-0.11734039489589548,0.08531897043861981,-0.15511205254821694,-0.12360898919742691,-0.001980653847797364,-0.10835598443056829,0.042410230689949834,-0.07074826945678976,-0.12494666029395361,-0.11126723387667749,0.04575937983824726,0.08387143666479788,0.09392362823974884,1.0008273464794433,-0.11596174671541093,0.04576971995694205,0.05957342753689794,0.09261859444951559,-0.06547262382357208,0.07336689446978792,0.5072285574832908,-0.09069037608741959,-0.12686839416919762,-0.06685980746356865,-0.09093802723599834,-0.11014401419468371,-0.1423221196059497,0.06570308079787368,0.04957301241554233,0.08591976116803834,0.07950396261592255,-0.08848245034600417,-0.029916603750138212,0.08503524275443905,-0.10977959271689111,0.0744030480625131,0.08308902664852928,-0.12214831293493475,0.07682377582627507,-0.0550013507907263,0.09149258362766854,0.057934883967161656,-0.08855198793901059,0.8685765466464163,-0.012654056841738724,-0.031089713718901416,-0.15206344588853427,0.07095656825246305,-0.15331141039008583,-0.08988653029786056,0.06818202476390693,0.013776247241316798,-0.13833849798530545,0.05691843647652762,0.07161873584562298,-0.09582707968582137,-0.10466083420943005,-0.10137077379848758;0.09484189489864349,0.0835587468625293,-0.17149253979090315,-0.07984880212089741,-0.15997111090418836,0.058557527991074027,0.05972097050125406,-0.14603741594309103,0.049429537849310104,-0.06194158453266349,0.028358951322571314,0.12721568614326678,0.06217944993529562,-0.057232442964503666,0.10435213441435902,-0.1765053296421502,-0.016509043375661347,-0.14892133119785997,-0.1677303438367436,-0.10555199383882517,0.24696232378262897,0.08426600661620935,-0.1550832607029028,-0.15224457872607663,-0.1514899042590613,-0.04786936630471076,0.015504945938723043,0.11969958471174648,0.2408722156054056,-0.17208542208262032,0.0642234533983678,-0.15986250136913235,-0.0803515229685788,0.18400084909359543,-0.06044934935525796,-0.11597458800151246,0.12605750602919347,-0.1417713193961225,-0.01198098129557199,-0.10347645459088134,0.08837094509908341,0.2132978938858327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x_a{138}	=[-0.687118396108107,-0.7232242395900957,16.867759874767714];
std_x_a{138}	=[1.1968459979980632,1.6661768260049872,1.6483507429190434];
pred_a{138}	=[-0.687118396108107];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.8 to 13.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{139}	=[-1.0322662968421652,-1.7050638387642207,13.290948875235049];
std_x_f{139}	=[1.8351522874921,2.7201196087939747,1.9795538813426206];
pred_f{139}	=[-1.0322662968421652];
obs{139}	=[-1.03943785381436];
sqrt_r{139}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{139}	=[4.386085243259367];
L_f{139}	=[-0.1352823897330373,-0.1274208272041518,0.1306078627307967,-0.009543080879565813,0.10443017514321289,-0.1154055123426346,-0.05350063489200932,0.0719170291301355,-0.10988050038924937,-0.028111674683821215,-0.09891951927446711,-0.14948516008954538,-0.11649016455655137,-0.031444570830134744,-0.14000663954723938,0.14718389640884735,0.02314322150893024,0.07942456541380848,0.11832191782576054,0.22261264839508785,-0.1890707466688782,-0.1292654942368538,0.09008023037949708,0.08509560036170184,0.0831224040919261,0.06425207509705766,-0.0889888538902604,-0.14712737507361173,-0.18979994504951678,0.13053361595595456,-0.11822826898364332,0.10216070516313179,-0.011315804436993883,-0.1726001719212607,-0.030912586515699447,0.030453062383489465,-0.10403000111828353,0.06708631102956975,-0.06909919915184896,0.01481502316884415,-0.13165683783674043,-0.18382581055044178,-0.14812355512270173,0.12797412442364495,-0.18823562609472536,-0.15523790133664608,-0.011382950550008831,-0.13821665715432924,0.0640399513318698,-0.09254726110574028,-0.15665408357889118,-0.14074051115792785,0.06970884130651282,0.1261100813340365,0.141218530526773,0.9338857625649929,-0.1462019550433958,0.06932052221592257,0.08940060526786783,0.13960028920695652,-0.08501786436202922,0.11035150482663424,0.6287175983975672,-0.11685258746234314,-0.15861178311321042,-0.08663263625654403,-0.11746827588174161,-0.14005703168159125,-0.1759536864381377,0.09898063492042819,0.07476622608933228,0.1287041302481443,0.11916548365470911,-0.1141450633635649,-0.03832769738337247,0.12753953946116794,-0.1392943988875389,0.11171979069005307,0.12504598135665437,-0.15347584038453257,0.11511763102688695,-0.07199326826005331,0.13707598563884046,0.08673142513346258,-0.11450626642033193,0.8743308856965301,-0.01486765926173023,-0.039964992585338414,-0.1856774210757126,0.10591467726935765,-0.18691979352408758,-0.11585433481751621,0.10248569605014647,0.00826732402888684,-0.17149987466838698,0.08600148630789152,0.10777449802299258,-0.12282464884742997,-0.1366442914495268,-0.12984786406048554;-0.21184685435395945,-0.2013868875609841,0.2152412254853771,-0.018626630449155177,0.17126669760084987,-0.18323198937175705,-0.07997314744824721,0.11600521879424963,-0.175160901473804,-0.04836689437558266,-0.159103648801897,-0.23237435670521625,-0.1858886607141194,-0.054161108356751836,-0.21923272676236408,0.2439529457618221,0.041488455361462076,0.12906211323500932,0.19466661702911944,0.3752501128885701,-0.280912022348387,-0.2040081643446632,0.14630173914303618,0.13810329943556984,0.13427100705318978,0.11010759097043818,-0.1450362257211944,-0.22864556581731615,-0.28290962838196654,0.2155609345527365,-0.18720615635284113,0.1661982423154813,-0.021283732216319916,-0.2633065430921043,-0.05385781242883619,0.046564182128611686,-0.15683402671467417,0.10761903562713163,-0.11378538647809452,0.021505881800072096,-0.2071030575237639,-0.2776108718006737,-0.2299135619787458,0.21081102242338534,-0.2821947286505531,-0.23987229198862137,-0.013513047621659051,-0.21618054382250648,0.1031187698628175,-0.1490331267042273,-0.24219149944105997,-0.22067165243878653,0.112244121774835,0.20754238446282244,0.23330574962468395,1.2439126706413797,-0.22822459537045678,0.11182008463567888,0.14533589979980124,0.229701182874891,-0.13838730065261248,0.1807949080356571,1.0004697143794437,-0.18604920028296829,-0.24506242727430386,-0.14101929416883965,-0.18655740885178945,-0.2192804596808339,-0.26665538308813647,0.1616207220362727,0.12082118649547849,0.21189256309753116,0.19618815389893143,-0.18177726580773249,-0.06568223743106597,0.20978895240451334,-0.2179899622441022,0.18312161183630254,0.20578467141308185,-0.23803451195469286,0.18943427941404298,-0.1179222067392946,0.22690806206910472,0.14081858248184523,-0.18195166261335227,1.2264786405903838,-0.02732966792497909,-0.06804221335889565,-0.2790163421659083,0.17341080590311278,-0.2777445465935697,-0.18413337191969079,0.1681101939555687,0.018871888988080503,-0.26177471613218617,0.13976710220744762,0.17649451654694498,-0.19450166322964368,-0.2045735623739426,-0.2046002889369384;0.08203874699585281,0.07054093430746732,-0.1682966860499911,-0.08792865160515229,-0.15973580421407638,0.046622161389717046,0.028272224754606824,-0.1487331066418732,0.03746800184628913,-0.07106236926982061,0.01764465538723079,0.11268367768529529,0.04991525617982214,-0.06646423392751842,0.09148775286674475,-0.17047603545046033,-0.04436924181433387,-0.15047254214991326,-0.16497912379276972,-0.10746146866723653,0.22230967572836216,0.07139561505193055,-0.15575956623618264,-0.15379174249920755,-0.1532055771209884,-0.07263716984449552,0.004625484994045127,0.10589830951584955,0.21824120558754193,-0.16890461592765252,0.052045924931017055,-0.15971943765701593,-0.08826975352910786,0.16689160235793574,-0.06897701659433295,-0.12142598379681481,0.09454896449055984,-0.1451712020994083,-0.0224024315362544,-0.11011218426088779,0.07594386422833485,0.19411675960203945,0.1090918764915227,-0.16764367037511385,0.21261396994779663,0.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k{139}	=[0.7720062551139832;1.1410155584819743;0.18700042557161897];
x_a_linear{139}	=[-1.037802783683606,-1.7132466968480349,13.289607791029237];
L_a{139}	=[0.08757865858378718,0.08248926666802632,-0.08455247901098492,0.006177967611588157,-0.06760565564195518,0.07471083253398753,0.034635061122659024,-0.046557404500153034,0.07113406887323513,0.018198841432438374,0.06403818577500484,0.09677320030093965,0.07541301103713362,0.02035648053290967,0.09063702754340523,-0.09528341595723577,-0.014982380922301112,-0.05141760809568899,-0.07659884530935764,-0.14411422779194752,0.1223999842357273,0.08368346100903618,-0.05831583665193221,-0.05508890363162949,-0.05381150246529494,-0.04159529233131837,0.05760930501003963,0.09524682536528165,0.12287205023148522,-0.08450441338353924,0.07653821923683822,-0.06613645379725154,0.007325587427484345,0.11173731893725888,0.020012086316206348,-0.019714601128627645,0.0673465923272653,-0.04343011045930381,0.04473320720364981,-0.009590899884127648,0.08523156098793411,0.11900453512726032,0.0958917290558463,-0.08284745836154013,0.12185934668649179,0.1004973905861268,0.007369056252352028,0.08947823476062645,-0.041457968361468846,0.05991293470819593,0.10141419388425577,0.09111211887911892,-0.04512787529183889,-0.08164072041395921,-0.09142157745080107,-0.6045758248160606,0.09464773005780801,-0.04487648658467989,-0.05787586323237762,-0.09037396582644942,0.05503857916154561,-0.07143898614217593,-0.4070170848130139,0.07564763515925252,0.10268156282609743,0.05608394476101125,0.07604621745797514,0.09066965023390038,0.11390830588913739,-0.06407775061638844,-0.04840190804728792,-0.08332004707758929,-0.07714495011924602,0.0738948473121262,0.02481245585670897,-0.082566118209806,0.09017593958000869,-0.07232478244362972,-0.08095184694859478,0.09935667349180652,-0.07452446489578801,0.04660675993172827,-0.08873979067039148,-0.05614789837197698,0.07412868173248537,-0.56602138887983,0.00962497526095341,0.025872402519218445,0.12020322452314447,-0.06856668763680018,0.12100750742134624,0.07500138971862857,-0.06634684530491838,-0.005352072431276711,0.11102501220139899,-0.05567535302946878,-0.06977069214271582,0.07951380817791415,0.08846032193766798,0.08406047362726402;0.11753897875895383,0.1088575973819577,-0.10276305993252294,0.004608881964416829,-0.08300010171836895,0.09775758291340839,0.05029030539842231,-0.05909850757975527,0.09237636065616779,0.02007946737336544,0.08174579458572323,0.13159241008000677,0.09774182495100478,0.02240019559567647,0.12165571924758027,-0.11441069961066518,-0.014860706659395206,-0.06432097749900567,-0.09342382515973546,-0.16676760869209103,0.17943780981901547,0.1107277195791884,-0.07302578596282601,-0.06908763853274134,-0.06811558869069742,-0.04633348999244017,0.0716340137257103,0.129580461295086,0.17921565746115264,-0.10226257466926984,0.10065626944791103,-0.08254284695685755,0.006268011060667522,0.15694070073546773,0.021408215050733526,-0.027582995074716166,0.09645842808822111,-0.05572284865324642,0.05445748182857424,-0.014565766244338033,0.1134552745802406,0.16996857941467422,0.13073796630973328,-0.10078063169627649,0.17612175027249985,0.13810126069163595,0.014202183145602657,0.12034964947686912,-0.05280583173229316,0.07630112974842951,0.1392301765952539,0.1220036256367469,-0.057483104469411433,-0.09951069381381442,-0.11053341096624482,-1.029914252003799,0.12774821720135665,-0.05696166151008518,-0.07233687272488425,-0.11019788051375312,0.06861436554820871,-0.08788915664055942,-0.5303331517556058,0.09846371339809327,0.1411258595039477,0.06991402187060212,0.09945458422431919,0.12173068119862422,0.16175700459280465,-0.07937752584837691,-0.061219770333723264,-0.10147651066377422,-0.09395620405754185,0.09614336278205245,0.02763811682076838,-0.10074457337925523,0.12116431878298421,-0.08889395799700191,-0.09867753411021925,0.13564877119489624,-0.09085435886772186,0.0573671468207273,-0.10684482194279558,-0.07035526491271438,0.09684842390152505,-0.9023439487342023,0.008870138583672301,0.029264630525591955,0.173071414059948,-0.08447046216213439,0.17736814055457503,0.09794899422504777,-0.08142218377851822,-0.001257408093698373,0.15579352174328207,-0.06962948867459305,-0.08591504680925316,0.10455203745710377,0.12812823176234525,0.11155355019834423;0.13602161384766373,0.121386735913155,-0.22041423717774433,-0.08412059598539005,-0.2014074530605532,0.09267339111038816,0.049621031909492234,-0.17743076208373157,0.08131453969817541,-0.05984473189341995,0.057117340993808434,0.1723339951387345,0.09639930377250079,-0.05391664304236912,0.14735577675339237,-0.22920806035221475,-0.05360427564027387,-0.18216599277536064,-0.21219411125894055,-0.1962924612417733,0.2977561618758938,0.12297750961848933,-0.19170503624268512,-0.18774815377391804,-0.18637460733513353,-0.09827621437765052,0.040135453884549116,0.16460778023504993,0.2939786698821049,-0.22099253974198796,0.09922354291410224,-0.2004854808588804,-0.083754313156944,0.23576569689316612,-0.05664170787296013,-0.13357792474878863,0.13606092853883098,-0.17194121557296582,0.005170801570745566,-0.11602394723837829,0.1284799966924079,0.267470314890746,0.16819886129261175,-0.21871025881187625,0.28772721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x_a{139}	=[-1.0378027836836057,-1.7132466968480358,13.289607791029237];
std_x_a{139}	=[1.1880347172509795,1.770122002847592,1.9471649952866363];
pred_a{139}	=[-1.0378027836836057];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.9 to 14.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{140}	=[-2.156199275147481,-3.834876395675031,10.903837841008402];
std_x_f{140}	=[2.0312286783405678,3.205986044363673,2.4737122594591567];
pred_f{140}	=[-2.156199275147481];
obs{140}	=[-2.219526514862663];
sqrt_r{140}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{140}	=[5.152071070788863];
L_f{140}	=[0.1618058314020021,0.15125884081983387,-0.1676085673010656,0.002656534740153733,-0.13573050908642295,0.1365323931345989,0.0668795493198019,-0.09724561898086606,0.12942420098370358,0.02606885352712504,0.11495695103925557,0.18037698543957742,0.13685830106709967,0.030123632476096122,0.16783699264511204,-0.1871279354415578,-0.028288491420771538,-0.10580575376955936,-0.15239904274905228,-0.26567194885335,0.23544924570790435,0.15367274398918426,-0.11968917726009012,-0.11248058705503558,-0.111468029878882,-0.07772928641066333,0.10141021881582533,0.17727661110176202,0.23512746060277598,-0.167145561368285,0.14040223533285298,-0.13411360556554053,0.005397566746457541,0.2108841782461565,0.02903346668459313,-0.04645371144686565,0.13023356638341485,-0.09137318869976051,0.0776784172665295,-0.027067390059168295,0.1571512724026266,0.22610449310572445,0.17896261433953417,-0.1646324957287472,0.2327743734699314,0.188163658826067,0.014858386132201015,0.1656063405253228,-0.0869731892655251,0.10735148056967887,0.18964238059399718,0.16860026087747182,-0.09433109348905215,-0.1622992496716102,-0.180277005093434,-0.9127763199344034,0.17582718368636152,-0.09388168166275805,-0.11818055079314323,-0.17859578675825338,0.0969274084644516,-0.14329323467653116,-0.6911748362941745,0.13734959861838703,0.1923263446235975,0.09877222262729342,0.13946766006830008,0.1676412290892047,0.21640596694722417,-0.13001384448909611,-0.10027914673350213,-0.16526659168339664,-0.1532716896968374,0.13508479621523647,0.037953764611258003,-0.1641822388111701,0.16707147678914003,-0.14501009860328948,-0.16121751957418606,0.1850725103717997,-0.1488608755040007,0.08099553397356216,-0.17418038425819535,-0.11456621790268486,0.1349476499889837,-0.8810726480027496,0.00916948254786838,0.040168075516622714,0.2290063933438209,-0.13793697715084996,0.2326620269751454,0.13735114911412824,-0.13361648716272326,-0.008871311279895776,0.2100120703079129,-0.11419488170638013,-0.14000362622095433,0.145406424133783,0.17140567125237535,0.15477370991365624;0.2838273687064232,0.2646051540246572,-0.3218207901194039,-0.007415733516264773,-0.2631265361719243,0.2375858976441282,0.11497988044577663,-0.19252196849572165,0.22508371319987305,0.03620709635150611,0.19892315764804527,0.3161647598352334,0.23873513613743025,0.042682716269074106,0.2940673162438487,-0.357017728602013,-0.05907191247824363,-0.2083621794183699,-0.2944722843249223,-0.4885086985989533,0.41383086535757824,0.2690045279230814,-0.2332078470356362,-0.22163505750553875,-0.21921870486004008,-0.1496529210212522,0.17403857993083258,0.31133299343832016,0.41349594425045794,-0.3211455562360778,0.24460407382671912,-0.2605450288748659,-0.0032952342975529052,0.3705367790547756,0.04000230794872945,-0.0988441812860831,0.2297153120371209,-0.18167629883327957,0.12980489372874854,-0.06263654872475669,0.27538317611147844,0.39730635871845693,0.31424712411684186,-0.3161677361370545,0.4090030369306549,0.3305782519437481,0.02016381602848767,0.2903710575675455,-0.1737275147535695,0.18529311219548558,0.3331214719225512,0.2957488120652721,-0.18774780997921786,-0.31192630696442647,-0.34449177752956717,-1.0473055088382073,0.3084723529107011,-0.1862609057922237,-0.23127837016951566,-0.3416634829446651,0.16598387462898392,-0.2779863440173352,-1.0955958752709831,0.2395737451606161,0.33725410865942335,0.1690480612587328,0.24227250275044526,0.29401653914885456,0.3802476403208876,-0.25328057686058403,-0.1984931850697628,-0.3177636231969723,-0.2956055813782304,0.23498830506307383,0.057678302270972114,-0.3158013748739186,0.292712497069705,-0.28071647314966114,-0.30993669732168416,0.32521450931611795,-0.28740081594750705,0.13687227197242277,-0.33416958576649275,-0.22462468196222374,0.23476712299842514,-1.1116651740899386,0.004349624656663699,0.06252397470677627,0.4024958604307762,-0.2680487586949722,0.40981843123722334,0.23881473802138015,-0.2597058443054517,-0.02354194509115237,0.368459985218455,-0.22412235616851778,-0.27106215995815075,0.2545994465740632,0.3030116360530856,0.27064545460222583;0.03377133548131578,0.02367986411067475,-0.12351579861854117,-0.10062979605884524,-0.127597405914599,0.0026454754322687143,-0.017090838742021636,-0.13003542801031137,-0.004921902860184135,-0.08967130683392853,-0.020381768870184253,0.060435319981724446,0.005520438629104783,-0.08618610086192198,0.04203593598731099,-0.11799753363484465,-0.06551363418042715,-0.12862725394742341,-0.1265984885977752,-0.03652074616621481,0.15543417002151438,0.024403382889329753,-0.1294932555077383,-0.12953462321405393,-0.1291692396249282,-0.07854980292073964,-0.031184965591538372,0.05451383337575645,0.15247955968599833,-0.12405350884908076,0.0076879555851951924,-0.12780191153408504,-0.10056240407860438,0.10725577008110451,-0.08778746386856402,-0.1196078077571983,0.037243033174116924,-0.12854673849323248,-0.05280586825154171,-0.11395619742728522,0.028039872544538286,0.1313903685634851,0.05727948811214631,-0.12473591143035963,0.14786765443340852,0.06995051105373307,-0.04862190175816797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k{140}	=[0.8059032986424074;1.2504062907020916;-0.4229739565619827];
x_a_linear{140}	=[-2.2072349065278645,-3.9140611745876934,10.930623614148882];
L_a{140}	=[-0.0911373022186784,-0.08519669884328789,0.09440569922727755,-0.001496295945393268,0.07645034990223082,-0.07690201192336905,-0.03766997546253079,0.054773695667880706,-0.07289831532806482,-0.014683308764647292,-0.06474962180425364,-0.10159752397587299,-0.0770855799040926,-0.01696716720967577,-0.0945343600390318,0.10540000356058644,0.01593352210848344,0.05959520045859192,0.08583891876152648,0.14964000051096707,-0.13261703164411215,-0.08655633230498404,0.06741505312720687,0.06335480722385345,0.06278448334505862,0.04378110112268301,-0.05711941084075085,-0.0998512349171399,-0.13243578585017843,0.09414491065581952,-0.0790817045519037,0.07553962731847556,-0.0030401850635112834,-0.1187807319391816,-0.016353130197858584,0.026165101113036396,-0.07335419122820802,0.05146604322637152,-0.043752449024533145,0.015245735501117184,-0.0885156170386999,-0.12735359005684502,-0.1008008779880422,0.09272942383002708,-0.13111040708406863,-0.10598337583024475,-0.008369001386902329,-0.09327794292090635,0.04898773898526136,-0.06046583268061601,-0.10681626739845018,-0.094964271661893,0.05313208616425545,0.09141522057037127,0.10154120994229661,0.5141222081251003,-0.09903484342335514,0.05287895448736401,0.06656531770628953,0.10059426197273773,-0.054594463264744465,0.08071006292821083,0.3893049428162233,-0.07736230375899339,-0.10832801291954966,-0.055633556753770116,-0.07855530406563177,-0.09442409601329446,-0.1218908851473598,0.07323043264353236,0.056482333318237446,0.09308657903360515,0.08633043805920192,-0.07608665145837432,-0.02137749724927406,0.0924758161545946,-0.09410318243984131,0.08167708831416588,0.09080593497198605,-0.10424228325998136,0.08384604239410198,-0.045620818447340915,0.09810728193884062,0.06452954096015835,-0.07600940370431107,0.4962650820546666,-0.005164720547541689,-0.02262471016144016,-0.12898808837323003,0.07769314532611114,-0.1310471278044546,-0.07736317707732639,0.07525962486291846,0.004996775271857358,-0.11828951623918911,0.06432038546276907,0.07885718755654297,-0.08190031907993385,-0.09654442196284095,-0.08717645250288827;-0.10862875599488321,-0.10226950049554603,0.08470972994750464,-0.013859094180225353,0.06608452586606582,-0.09357011472896484,-0.047234846430220294,0.043344924796841836,-0.08883155129039627,-0.027022276422106438,-0.07990214253693849,-0.12133524914185155,-0.09321135803159292,-0.030381424627820806,-0.11301724396197964,0.09685654607905032,0.00954113824092084,0.04826711345511397,0.07516790235590068,0.15587217806912548,-0.1572455769048515,-0.10372499026327645,0.057095353220974206,0.05118388181979051,0.051144301561335384,0.03887758035936369,-0.0719294493838262,-0.11864713268164168,-0.15680001603396723,0.08426195415609641,-0.09593814706044827,0.06474427283889413,-0.016386901697774806,-0.14095768710994672,-0.03041766222756742,0.013828170596805116,-0.08616304862518212,0.0399471570582213,-0.058602225774955566,0.003014750220136912,-0.10578342848254536,-0.15110461246195492,-0.11982236201688853,0.08314439441950285,-0.15558556751103603,-0.12580814471848825,-0.015874839625841977,-0.11130310995401502,0.03722384908979138,-0.07508530359010576,-0.12685152856925633,-0.11318703674977339,0.04104997233044973,0.08172659179792201,0.09276573153973457,1.1666113453113616,-0.11799222212216431,0.041446839018708215,0.05536569313442931,0.0915162717762011,-0.0691112067639147,0.06956792575029014,0.5808319480819607,-0.09356437931853151,-0.12922878157348797,-0.07052157219987108,-0.09600292847042866,-0.11259320129402996,-0.14463979058597992,0.06206485366929291,0.04473145630677172,0.08308649173810946,0.07615118933663352,-0.09265659604672286,-0.03437763445329345,0.08241866843546612,-0.11251532297027712,0.07100200848534109,0.08109249129171987,-0.12367438164606681,0.0736576317841911,-0.0595804337548686,0.08830071714318341,0.053252904464595324,-0.09254513326163935,1.0253551917360062,-0.017890733154125097,-0.03490271948199761,-0.15295359948545642,0.06651403818680592,-0.15449767950269336,-0.09432714714763062,0.06437770876379453,-0.0020247944683359853,-0.14091920426681342,0.05285456330890691,0.06851324418347106,-0.09808031303510079,-0.11272866767184575,-0.10475442976563831;0.1665271613886596,0.14778226613681159,-0.26103255922228935,-0.09845020549387659,-0.23895937401217957,0.11466536035630204,0.03778140986193936,-0.20982193725917425,0.10126596778152293,-0.06828275643086708,0.07393624703055503,0.20842810534194223,0.11780771921109509,-0.06147075114898207,0.17974011131489429,-0.2715292290294328,-0.08872331710530892,-0.21543704384015766,-0.25163638502175273,-0.2544949605986597,0.3486117508440267,0.15048630506193267,-0.22769389167552184,-0.2218208721313431,-0.2206247220424326,-0.1423238679542726,0.052018447027697666,0.19996287385192246,0.3453931274811315,-0.26119038984976656,0.12288290591143897,-0.23783726883854833,-0.09613389600131737,0.2802786025172511,-0.0639665557142068,-0.15772139597682383,0.1440949588203216,-0.20351513132875917,0.010926460491128042,-0.1361640108993069,0.15697680132782674,0.3169009182360505,0.2041118331971352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x_a{140}	=[-2.207234906527865,-3.914061174587694,10.930623614148885];
std_x_a{140}	=[1.1440916580641909,1.876897970362539,2.304729289562433];
pred_a{140}	=[-2.207234906527865];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.0 to 14.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{141}	=[-4.995691315788393,-9.176331788419454,10.780099437001434];
std_x_f{141}	=[2.167437720033103,3.597940443440719,2.697639912660305];
pred_f{141}	=[-4.995691315788393];
obs{141}	=[-5.2584656863516];
sqrt_r{141}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{141}	=[5.71715141958686];
L_f{141}	=[-0.13915872004500562,-0.1326807232845763,0.12566109866426117,-0.02657824573352269,0.0951531421847115,-0.12433357960123918,-0.0676333295344385,0.05886645192496575,-0.119482975319392,-0.044628769825268824,-0.10962262580736785,-0.151369465085452,-0.123974190692812,-0.04867579692997501,-0.14323062797135722,0.14521798087429771,0.00805624879383333,0.06604243936309917,0.11019889246666531,0.23736400714239853,-0.1793048464356103,-0.13458196334215639,0.07993845137134191,0.07171107518894496,0.07161270428453093,0.051046026984407626,-0.10011994501282559,-0.1487572115519427,-0.1792072343269085,0.1251678494280148,-0.12619187225933587,0.09339184315076209,-0.02977417953478689,-0.16755806897412379,-0.048705887439357484,0.013760150177184322,-0.11197730113691703,0.05383777451947865,-0.08442242052413138,-0.0022075813771452015,-0.1365889139703003,-0.17560726792985729,-0.15002970551484057,0.12335413335388708,-0.17808566548006838,-0.15511872269707938,-0.0274507256530685,-0.14193947681213398,0.04949999165539307,-0.10397387572562132,-0.15664396002289513,-0.14340181087249879,0.055279802616078635,0.11985705945289196,0.13823227726596968,1.208046278711207,-0.1480364155683355,0.0556650071063574,0.07706823570548278,0.13633544474410667,-0.09756053901580634,0.10116204934841673,0.7957150816965962,-0.12386938559746273,-0.15785987244373878,-0.09877780392607201,-0.12697508028928858,-0.14314495544827435,-0.17054478419751407,0.08914609444102652,0.06083519414216616,0.12348444101744525,0.11156758480947421,-0.12321263273530217,-0.05435193222645905,0.1213579368312643,-0.14255933474696772,0.10320978488456578,0.11955457805831451,-0.15341508097069614,0.10727104389427791,-0.08605863163167513,0.13164927114055933,0.07462909505606305,-0.12252022504256889,1.1349335795941464,-0.031910809439887264,-0.05531793720908516,-0.17628097401292858,0.09610468513780344,-0.17609753364291128,-0.12455520895033363,0.09233656336006923,-0.00840654759991597,-0.16801956964892362,0.07391095808823078,0.09865526722696659,-0.12919307376488257,-0.13892857806345563,-0.13527298326117565;-0.20887828622190321,-0.20256818889127698,0.18003356399297188,-0.06996874914765676,0.12693601762200177,-0.1956542198535106,-0.1165861409346248,0.06441465951224586,-0.19041546357083,-0.0965257568653082,-0.1796142386796607,-0.21919317349120754,-0.19456539738226356,-0.10229433217317338,-0.2128019073254232,0.21530981448977815,-0.007673423228991206,0.0769635620045072,0.15260668304172167,0.3908290107905268,-0.23125043114685567,-0.20486231429962945,0.10035516408263746,0.0874733344789865,0.08605467135135067,0.06062551746156246,-0.16907160114119246,-0.21705922971115896,-0.2314681232423248,0.17922310175338518,-0.19736032301869336,0.12335266091511517,-0.07540100955986831,-0.2283976182428631,-0.10322649922603384,-0.008802529336614386,-0.1696053145429982,0.056194470031238064,-0.15016916985768172,-0.033776596993789494,-0.20711487047211355,-0.23291683403778926,-0.21783900101823725,0.17586613104553536,-0.23215156149609822,-0.2215453429979854,-0.061287429013585484,-0.2109691087864798,0.0491377814756428,-0.17327291622730204,-0.22346599666356098,-0.21256838321942045,0.05838190939750724,0.17158722992596126,0.2031724083405683,2.040650026618715,-0.2163378084716831,0.059602755307709795,0.09664116364242943,0.20062286640910473,-0.16588605483331112,0.13705042795839592,1.4513040696545358,-0.1942417520264559,-0.22420728071123772,-0.16736490173448554,-0.19884740303771042,-0.21234474547147708,-0.23130038890737284,0.11646411055125067,0.06828315645490776,0.17581936287233382,0.15497660001303568,-0.19443287941855886,-0.10979487021360806,0.17322770634649023,-0.21158622408356068,0.14080300447219804,0.16927402956194276,-0.21995193599161666,0.1479099776743673,-0.15138276161091516,0.19155029218252434,0.0912854186811053,-0.1937058441651023,1.9663727492941816,-0.07830313361908488,-0.11103838825287518,-0.23263379292174746,0.12805232501926325,-0.22810140772158535,-0.1957305841585504,0.1216267092999987,-0.03370771617917148,-0.2309659556723141,0.09018552770209182,0.13293926195840186,-0.19901009909063544,-0.19662242762141977,-0.20533939545564425;0.21939965402640937,0.19786774359917342,-0.3295459080959932,-0.09375743381943613,-0.2936095505527717,0.16342976428195413,0.04870636080694786,-0.24633424326333161,0.14752476678048349,-0.05461443619337619,0.1173940535514858,0.26510495542389073,0.16592296633108178,-0.045857574651898526,0.23427181841143446,-0.34885428907549826,-0.11465001891489077,-0.2560626708040809,-0.3125202301661285,-0.3811650796049437,0.4055257441267615,0.20261463302374966,-0.2748926585459487,-0.26456934380040775,-0.2635740783156369,-0.18816916861990873,0.09139143196247244,0.2554606225191194,0.40299680606407196,-0.32898676193442844,0.17180308151105828,-0.2912534256162924,-0.0893010609696428,0.33894041733120356,-0.047729036874288394,-0.17198671446431416,0.17399612106041218,-0.23769741009271328,0.04350106160977272,-0.14297106193139228,0.20935615896907095,0.3768302655205625,0.2603207145448018,-0.32668037260364646,0.3969257701497465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k{141}	=[0.8250877182342914;1.3631205642520343;-0.1680993196182995];
x_a_linear{141}	=[-5.212503221606841,-9.534524936692545,10.824271629906237];
L_a{141}	=[0.07217807567371186,0.06881810412297454,-0.06517720402787144,0.013785457578283814,-0.04935350580242726,0.06448865377850058,0.03507968150054106,-0.030532525883458343,0.06197276916268116,0.023147803634807326,0.05685845758365858,0.0785114774129392,0.06430224792610176,0.025246893282388102,0.07429007036832753,-0.07532085958636854,-0.004178570591188844,-0.03425452738056652,-0.05715735238902561,-0.12311465112785307,0.09300084659090807,0.06980422880639627,-0.04146203407486058,-0.03719470407572682,-0.03714368159879825,-0.026476271104903148,0.051929659637904364,0.07715656819014977,0.09295021768194538,-0.06492136824058987,0.06545250274216328,-0.04843996495557757,0.015443106855894366,0.0869080929908232,0.02526250046146052,-0.007137038630775223,0.05807976756745436,-0.02792427928421877,0.04378775440862019,0.0011450161056664355,0.07084518286421414,0.09108300701095635,0.07781657832475489,-0.06398064001309062,0.0923684885522557,0.08045612162585496,0.014237990640074003,0.07362038322226508,-0.02567438204659805,0.0539285951163239,0.08124722329082772,0.07437885856922968,-0.02867222244614457,-0.06216679705318883,-0.07169755345425571,-0.6265827660240283,0.07678270971377635,-0.0288720181818355,-0.039973326479222734,-0.07071371484709478,0.050602161083211826,-0.05247017255416195,-0.4127171000339455,0.06424788819858576,0.08187788602397067,0.05123352531809199,0.06585873275373515,0.07424563421763386,0.08845722593297714,-0.04623780348439018,-0.03155366221389584,-0.06404822727171243,-0.057867258167559325,0.06390724725442774,0.028190959761523138,-0.06294526383527811,0.07394188770946444,-0.053532280702613684,-0.06200990767550082,0.07957248615257637,-0.05563875207601188,0.04463641534126088,-0.06828311622655871,-0.03870820649022255,0.06354811305984055,-0.5886610753971413,0.016551322244245062,0.02869200188604544,0.09143244115802279,-0.04984704684141376,0.09133729532092065,0.06460360726416992,-0.047892618267098876,0.0043602616395520535,0.08714746160975247,-0.03833572717745269,-0.05116996866035604,0.0670091493490691,0.07205870690289597,0.07016264319818499;0.14026947814405824,0.13032634976419924,-0.13524881035056727,-0.003284210258340869,-0.11180221491882548,0.1162974231290513,0.053105171229919625,-0.08328064897514882,0.10936606430659794,0.015447357042726175,0.09542777602261845,0.1605912216998702,0.1164845426105423,0.01983273015778172,0.14656223118317097,-0.1490405715413816,-0.027886466684932474,-0.08873622345948039,-0.12388117864526134,-0.20471478558753411,0.21862354191590583,0.13280241565548054,-0.10020956929630241,-0.09244899862670723,-0.09362085019022595,-0.06744842713642164,0.08212828743471284,0.156171048850455,0.2181609420667782,-0.13482171544637628,0.11925375669009232,-0.11096649088190753,-6.979063907710858E-4,0.19200381376852918,0.018976059876349295,-0.04332660134697783,0.11134455578524448,-0.07888393975749378,0.06164579494531877,-0.028237798546686187,0.13558527749189103,0.20767995345993,0.15858395150711607,-0.133628091608146,0.21466349937742163,0.16764590009100624,0.007586152813643891,0.14515554504910524,-0.07505717674921557,0.08759644395597893,0.16955205082736702,0.14722525138695267,-0.08031453371258561,-0.1291328711063076,-0.14365092084081468,-0.9903253756142559,0.15508400055127006,-0.08006016181537397,-0.09672222883125667,-0.141441329933381,0.07889231102612253,-0.11676408943049389,-0.5451366978143903,0.11654523308487676,0.17186147824976605,0.08046756897675296,0.1197317373773182,0.14680444157814748,0.1965946801733117,-0.10720250240678007,-0.08435170554035269,-0.1340018003381189,-0.12494529636068492,0.11470631967196138,0.026573555851974316,-0.13125808023589458,0.14609364678838196,-0.11814925983063233,-0.13068714883403787,0.16496488793158387,-0.12123194275129542,0.06453743964471238,-0.1387563438965433,-0.09595819556780565,0.11369611130985867,-0.8811636601453309,0.001760751500306181,0.027753734149819125,0.20965331604966794,-0.11307331877874406,0.2137254512916146,0.11677712452890726,-0.1100447566058213,-0.012615776704609965,0.19059337667624415,-0.09525628845075942,-0.11458576546411094,0.1251339636169485,0.1519479129343841,0.13405909620537934;0.17634293316447003,0.1568153620856278,-0.29066544953298135,-0.10198093650168384,-0.264168475779603,0.12496004977951575,0.027780116373353786,-0.22812053457266368,0.11055586454843419,-0.06842290241207159,0.08347601522795024,0.21827014116936633,0.12756444937275693,-0.06091822051346183,0.18995521959931244,-0.3039227888100682,-0.1121573568999039,-0.23562865936894484,-0.2784238907437952,-0.3077229281185247,0.35004751955215857,0.16097399399803214,-0.25015911985201417,-0.24238141518104908,-0.24141658637010588,-0.17237515632755765,0.06041359224293737,0.20943405852139882,0.34754878338638245,-0.2902589182752726,0.13275839773444345,-0.26235730958401055,-0.09851340883191098,0.28709673120322704,-0.06279899295847172,-0.16772922384492803,0.13934952905118536,-0.2210396107930112,0.017380150222968415,-0.14365410367757284,0.1670945548112246,0.3224960986488194,0.21390043165299202,-0.28851370589913095,0.3418247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x_a{141}	=[-5.212503221606839,-9.53452493669254,10.824271629906232];
std_x_a{141}	=[1.1241946155009979,1.8862091385519235,2.6741682103829705];
pred_a{141}	=[-5.212503221606839];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.1 to 14.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{142}	=[-11.355117538708171,-18.819251270328365,19.27426385132954];
std_x_f{142}	=[1.82433346841601,2.9653621340792196,3.421773007836838];
pred_f{142}	=[-11.355117538708171];
obs{142}	=[-11.900710879048773];
sqrt_r{142}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{142}	=[4.358290683148073];
L_f{142}	=[0.17348797988703435,0.16064256997329568,-0.21180545862766148,-0.023754133102263434,-0.17895273489826408,0.14163167602454857,0.05768358233625659,-0.1384572357601597,0.13245208622270913,0.0028677526098753797,0.1134356178296454,0.20007363504103778,0.14177457402246962,0.009182940155309084,0.1824050140150738,-0.23098055533016584,-0.05542589873736266,-0.146740466334247,-0.19581947838392944,-0.29860338323616387,0.27493243456969857,0.16390577701663073,-0.1625084480396784,-0.15206537396256212,-0.15271714029672873,-0.11117658181970877,0.09647063365649139,0.19453736331207058,0.2743463098266086,-0.21110389704172544,0.14597191312854077,-0.1774283112565416,-0.020247007912905526,0.24032779801476953,0.007711869908767984,-0.08079368466534759,0.1370072829000828,-0.13174535300103934,0.06739264500853233,-0.05935618272096126,0.1678375677165032,0.26082383806166615,0.19748150482410848,-0.2097078514105539,0.2700029664143631,0.2094387147401051,-0.005560085873474077,0.1800519227220346,-0.12639397046284614,0.10308132371226231,0.21194678214017088,0.18310544176926344,-0.13438774604148912,-0.2044774467746744,-0.22437359207435956,-0.34213754624290094,0.19319160716032602,-0.13375058621858849,-0.1587085541256361,-0.22173470327927305,0.09107111006259626,-0.18645729736418576,-0.4960186611766566,0.14207172079682895,0.21510115474595523,0.09341909028642624,0.14563731403039787,0.18238145115769594,0.24715814421521737,-0.17323162352827268,-0.14048190444823394,-0.20996570621341681,-0.19685798687646047,0.13968315163599196,0.01848125577468704,-0.2068538779475051,0.18168637128794865,-0.1883252900098009,-0.20576706718281246,0.20609202478110308,-0.19256821524638162,0.07160970417220978,-0.21736808457325923,-0.15630563305762854,0.13793861949312855,-0.39369612426670353,-0.016637864831921225,0.0199926343388099,0.26438332538647236,-0.1806538136572551,0.2696461453569496,0.14220096634212234,-0.1768828975719605,-0.03417102371618705,0.23894278439581015,-0.15573745297154262,-0.18228269318553678,0.15289152830718375,0.19023676269207326,0.16534824147712;0.2603174500064873,0.2360040151214812,-0.37527016547002834,-0.09366299417505095,-0.33157052848607765,0.19848402293160144,0.057078693287622294,-0.27427318348922197,0.18219209832782568,-0.04827922730208812,0.14738211472049678,0.3092029719039306,0.2004208956206853,-0.03782676149307634,0.27643576575005774,-0.3993842354574442,-0.13357635104825594,-0.2859630182420997,-0.3543984120990334,-0.454822378620611,0.45559958107799187,0.24138243788381888,-0.30908482575977164,-0.2940600383665216,-0.29518222689422713,-0.22035444211319669,0.11673206346238876,0.2991913605296766,0.45372905830517346,-0.3747700099301607,0.2081126074531649,-0.329272330651564,-0.0880040387980421,0.38798560910823654,-0.04029848439326909,-0.18620608297646374,0.198380643661326,-0.2645454521270473,0.06422449994306617,-0.15184849322818816,0.2487755098477215,0.4284470749829436,0.30454078873022666,-0.3719162925962805,0.4465732302876878,0.32729032804895986,-0.0514026827751287,0.2715053358312119,-0.25672730122940757,0.12925902122433983,0.332003451679468,0.277787166684148,-0.26889094642468425,-0.3658719249525007,-0.39058047472128304,0.7375911387872198,0.29704171907939686,-0.2670014139846205,-0.3034860945480395,-0.3878620268021836,0.10678176430971692,-0.34176872589602036,-0.21337969034709212,0.20168936357343384,0.3379584108509888,0.11088792252578097,0.20703319675081877,0.2759592156104844,0.40062990063460535,-0.3233284558912017,-0.277660109467043,-0.37278267010499344,-0.35634569153860324,0.19583121776235965,-0.022053495589036975,-0.36967358872292455,0.2749771796986506,-0.34472341544866214,-0.36750247663948116,0.3206997945009219,-0.350848993570346,0.07076576371182555,-0.38253079901238757,-0.2996217498503819,0.19406355376375722,0.506388032955628,-0.08112622605735303,-0.018736293314978197,0.4342360858160882,-0.334322151063735,0.44657757438212564,0.20171291851448891,-0.3293654208148913,-0.09863325452335742,0.3845947005539491,-0.29946947108643096,-0.33679730775698624,0.2211768889145437,0.29742484243545414,0.24400384430747535;-0.1982079904167168,-0.19247381703627459,0.1745738655286127,-0.06993283506186937,0.12174617683039012,-0.18662146922963418,-0.1184802576924419,0.062214145741470814,-0.1824294637553679,-0.09464630130694017,-0.17196081197843024,-0.20726650610652073,-0.18462919484282972,-0.10007195546720195,-0.2012262042967372,0.20738402038051326,-0.014982206057698287,0.07337569035628896,0.14723116000306846,0.3684388601466231,-0.2144368975423823,-0.194809121310297,0.09670977049711184,0.08011099434428853,0.08236684958276681,0.05053944249984822,-0.16066331090169328,-0.2050932605229114,-0.2160128823518234,0.17351713000241892,-0.1873339681406031,0.11940002814004871,-0.07368587182916414,-0.21507494903363544,-0.09909379569838755,-0.00961764244092137,-0.1665185471824791,0.053887327011586876,-0.14456650381124597,-0.033387363763968114,-0.1956814038157761,-0.21661754107466638,-0.20555110734664286,0.17105797683581217,-0.21471167764109517,-0.20948864201603892,-0.0662662691053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k{142}	=[0.7705522479566043;1.0072065547186797;-1.0605038730161545];
x_a_linear{142}	=[-11.775525713577775,-19.36877645893028,19.85286770185257];
L_a{142}	=[-0.11297197531481888,-0.10460729591380954,0.13792356714977452,0.01546822633015403,0.1165305167690002,-0.09222777403979417,-0.037562419275417175,0.09016064070052532,-0.08625020491270623,-0.0018674243441119847,-0.07386705306970766,-0.13028403335908265,-0.0923208264178563,-0.00597975081166169,-0.11877857332841184,0.15041001464167078,0.0360922599250748,0.09555451825072842,0.12751380984754518,0.19444467600489052,-0.17903061775043677,-0.10673223244132599,0.1058223191735956,0.09902199382760347,0.09944641130172721,0.07239601305577702,-0.06281978757918903,-0.12667892161872896,-0.17864894479504903,0.13746672398277376,-0.09505405145274193,0.11553784194429984,0.013184455082277741,-0.15649675604308794,-0.005021818673153779,0.05261126537729137,-0.0892164597905687,0.08578999407778484,-0.043884770767760234,0.03865158389359671,-0.10929253755398145,-0.16984337597455101,-0.12859608892010535,0.13655764640468562,-0.17582064461499325,-0.1363823898750397,0.0036206190449356523,-0.11724628635588612,0.08230527855802058,-0.06712453949503232,-0.1380155942537677,-0.11923467816638189,0.08751066868320793,0.1331517093259564,0.1461076895449874,0.2227932704824496,-0.12580259156489082,0.08709576268320045,0.1033479026651113,0.14438929683552604,-0.05930372354663468,0.12141734089480266,0.32299763927521935,-0.09251432257868362,-0.14006965992671194,-0.06083268229097481,-0.09483616707204671,-0.11876322965708802,-0.16094454373910663,0.11280504107388394,0.09147906530376708,0.13672555640307726,0.12819006624213122,-0.09095893311336425,-0.012034631866278574,0.1346991947711682,-0.11831060725674611,0.1226337411271763,0.13399148488279064,-0.1342030909075787,0.1253966509575967,-0.046630837118007105,0.1415458402399382,0.10178316751887705,-0.08982292794281675,0.2563672068875239,0.010834251781057102,-0.013018811991890821,-0.17216124441969224,0.11763822594686069,-0.1755882897295644,-0.0925984847469325,0.11518267923302167,0.022251501517631552,-0.15559486229532699,0.10141317977274364,0.11869892039946545,-0.09955996935932362,-0.1238784547080092,-0.10767153705210677;-0.11412094182074027,-0.11071018144107221,0.08186868276839657,-0.042394546621202706,0.05466242155473287,-0.10719903958926306,-0.06741954468186336,0.024558497694888413,-0.10367869336440681,-0.05446868593835395,-0.09744551162985576,-0.12261512984913876,-0.10557058306002982,-0.05764626337579212,-0.11724822407736422,0.09914014494921809,-0.013950862283499097,0.03074632534441431,0.0682379608777486,0.18965207249653304,-0.13778595911017943,-0.11237472498857037,0.04165648774181766,0.03414203140351884,0.034426547468092955,0.019597516129249412,-0.0914801074811612,-0.12067782877272737,-0.13839145126614688,0.08085466082936009,-0.10693797091765073,0.053670462127391495,-0.044305005083095685,-0.1307128866528196,-0.05694298142701257,-0.011829406416004117,-0.09732161024196608,0.01980000016619443,-0.08122876796868964,-0.02374028874329142,-0.11346762068432957,-0.13448793952127713,-0.12168272906108506,0.08069529863234898,-0.13617305910138383,-0.12474038661329148,-0.03940237235454128,-0.11709998675850321,0.01606828419145473,-0.09322097481558138,-0.12544041451343377,-0.11740855347779405,0.021157571875123217,0.07545090551160968,0.0936841241260083,1.4760251944625655,-0.11992293026825622,0.02167192489596039,0.03905392358303222,0.09070706923686418,-0.08977663711938098,0.060661290379214916,0.8571753413514609,-0.10494344576546417,-0.1262935247338259,-0.09073811494141916,-0.10729521776578065,-0.11767391859899112,-0.13281050317439913,0.05055664306367887,0.025541405800322253,0.08038544808170908,0.06853209003660428,-0.10564635260301246,-0.061941513742960086,0.07677828334523358,-0.11715576649325124,0.06173828165324867,0.07660373623536051,-0.1241077730187494,0.06477019157922641,-0.08378916560907136,0.08661384187381818,0.037732053645079776,-0.10364880006909166,1.3561007550417652,-0.04521679097626008,-0.06188631359354881,-0.13638135550812094,0.05558223025031408,-0.13539858958964027,-0.1051988409520316,0.052400207856970936,-0.024882074898633633,-0.13111452602269694,0.036658031671418984,0.056622677528283705,-0.10880826637186784,-0.11316237827701324,-0.11286658366377136;0.19604417452240672,0.17258709977534234,-0.306754931222916,-0.12391420257746039,-0.28492466688660767,0.13523711101894512,0.012605926101511487,-0.25243050563710695,0.11856846000862337,-0.0881293214234385,0.08582210727433595,0.2474016721357482,0.13755412170784068,-0.07920368529024571,0.21328995825250774,-0.31752026438351,-0.14093779436491455,-0.26009263738678545,-0.2977694293195114,-0.3101385858277922,0.41034821789712506,0.17766744725032008,-0.2725913620785206,-0.2654582084100175,-0.2646834949108516,-0.2021098079063904,0.058566610369430165,0.23699371689923293,0.4074402621405437,-0.3062173650904385,0.14438781920573676,-0.2838065564310136,-0.11969728258165742,0.3310709840971272,-0.08156853885211837,-0.19322163110609095,0.14483108021508728,-0.24550454252974885,0.008583565795238902,-0.16827453897633027,0.185730175669066,0.376105729381884,0.24322644406087945,-0.3055039986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x_a{142}	=[-11.775525713577775,-19.368776458930284,19.852867701852578];
std_x_a{142}	=[1.1879702311024176,2.354422131962318,2.83647045620811];
pred_a{142}	=[-11.775525713577775];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.2 to 14.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{143}	=[-15.878475992593676,-13.214493921584085,39.517746245732525];
std_x_f{143}	=[1.5426009404715684,2.963317617529322,2.573599430465208];
pred_f{143}	=[-15.878475992593676];
obs{143}	=[-16.400092818003703];
sqrt_r{143}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{143}	=[3.379759649478272];
L_f{143}	=[0.011915869020157665,0.006059099195255782,-0.06050202650923352,-0.06141418734964859,-0.06661656239594226,-0.004380010312115071,-0.02999168996292232,-0.07179159707700442,-0.009184781543212187,-0.05593896938237411,-0.01764046277205676,0.026275161697551626,-0.004057746909079015,-0.05420136407942245,0.016845487571472504,-0.05525304899076198,-0.05579463218527693,-0.07138776466538754,-0.06474024002066214,-0.008643120682150847,0.07532032475137665,0.00703151285928394,-0.06981116592003081,-0.07103242733266552,-0.07080611283433126,-0.05949456918027524,-0.023421420739562125,0.023469552714744605,0.07386557242206669,-0.06092434798205893,-0.0019125943784395678,-0.06742249290984428,-0.06123304449231715,0.05094222293657954,-0.05449665970775141,-0.07014171389093676,0.0012184830208064185,-0.07234202857148789,-0.03648901416674283,-0.06765673317831565,0.00916889009693709,0.06433254375864199,0.025384360294614102,-0.0609753623204838,0.07182227095410831,0.03174646273489774,-0.04764382399197784,0.014761423794408361,-0.07155218498806852,-0.021257705399488173,0.0331871326855222,0.01763055112125361,-0.07204258185361823,-0.06297912154734268,-0.05736130074075522,1.027149260655738,0.022878163839536083,-0.07127703186094822,-0.0703940368450764,-0.05845367905641723,-0.026806963288730282,-0.06613534098079459,0.48098640212857036,-0.003488376726347241,0.03542971841592531,-0.02582667743284598,-0.003258100797530544,0.016776328875549164,0.055664050586452414,-0.06831809491112438,-0.07213834944697337,-0.06150793742035722,-0.06441981263661424,-0.005528121624854958,-0.05188292294756116,-0.06228125253681476,0.016421541146396847,-0.06620163905975932,-0.06252822374325938,0.03012136570505927,-0.06535024472928672,-0.034584304576703494,-0.05930837193914655,-0.06990408988640459,-0.005419488823556543,0.9154998262253827,-0.06038039813930486,-0.05043494006869142,0.0675682868795233,-0.06762722673569999,0.07278229319076472,-0.0037350971878973784,-0.06801569933084863,-0.05273960394001221,0.049996834046328535,-0.0707930746075536,-0.06735859149610561,0.0014411291273834844,0.027392464816587744,0.007547716472074742;0.23496978368828572,0.21124555329339928,-0.35749442091840783,-0.1042306027023763,-0.3199672243858126,0.1763348718052972,0.03708483573051854,-0.26976033610180133,0.15895074023582423,-0.06229304158690496,0.1251779153806588,0.28503914684358267,0.17715288248570737,-0.051980196649363014,0.2520653666086647,-0.3772292117687444,-0.14145317562305354,-0.28100799949680066,-0.3402391820633459,-0.4155408847690613,0.4338710371552358,0.21768094060827065,-0.30002948356048087,-0.288504448961484,-0.28877635381420264,-0.22122455726078086,0.09717458586640218,0.27505431333918984,0.4318991782348748,-0.3564605195832264,0.18424309187637272,-0.31837101789902805,-0.09863803915959328,0.36285768030850485,-0.0543524695194272,-0.1898325171907181,0.17560818891142543,-0.2610128647092755,0.045501818043005654,-0.158551410472254,0.2250925225980996,0.4036430165222018,0.28154455475303264,-0.3555216408524392,0.42377586467216966,0.3029157700251463,-0.06620541771945064,0.24814221758637947,-0.254051844055344,0.10765291242333475,0.30773577200110797,0.2533003389324294,-0.264792728649332,-0.3500772504512986,-0.37173469823712807,1.0158937115170736,0.2724730081738899,-0.26382799968856424,-0.2961831338629782,-0.36836780050287393,0.08629466139021083,-0.32925697435004636,0.013207754650571366,0.17780585112215194,0.31446497609423435,0.09050053579278669,0.18200473702588577,0.25206959800592493,0.3772560846456525,-0.31402357729360947,-0.2728303023121666,-0.35546994054507636,-0.3408665191360526,0.17277383104840596,-0.03571297447741612,-0.35214204993338505,0.25093655094089534,-0.33104064098487596,-0.3511216034962605,0.29697497694137087,-0.336746939744128,0.052967059407524594,-0.36380591678018903,-0.2926475367746894,0.1696734150376483,0.7935200986335688,-0.09271503020445794,-0.03433168764047443,0.41259769305618577,-0.3228552508766884,0.42425003474705697,0.1775559664010997,-0.31873469589708886,-0.1106013716924588,0.3609018415384274,-0.29299923431265806,-0.32400599604814256,0.19648796107146477,0.27279722573519455,0.22049824180907632;0.15695795780452249,0.1535413940810377,-0.15519949327756447,0.060875814682265154,-0.1061379459440119,0.15016405450754464,0.09942717426356075,-0.05255008446845433,0.14638971903555076,0.07988641318817372,0.13965361009214947,0.1644407487997516,0.14845832720983726,0.08518083120850214,0.16008924996604723,-0.18668749036872764,0.01616688536713432,-0.06317564334754666,-0.13054534683320693,-0.34174289660316354,0.1720856125800153,0.15516532219483906,-0.08310006722917637,-0.06930228589967669,-0.06945449993891457,-0.03987021916295299,0.13143085797353787,0.162885731874333,0.17341324345965403,-0.1534805772948141,0.1498066072302203,-0.1041772586873685,0.06429560748000401,0.169546341254897,0.0837421947922583,0.010621179288690429,0.13706715455973278,-0.043174021830141115,0.11927773424205296,0.03039971851674497,0.15589242243567822,0.171046974521975,0.16365444413187777,-0.15312010521778927,0.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k{143}	=[0.7041209719885354;0.863865512089142;-0.8237868960915854];
x_a_linear{143}	=[-16.24575733870696,-13.66510070758123,39.94744735128619];
L_a{143}	=[-0.010144344766817817,-0.005158296982709203,0.05150723081653123,0.05228378131673478,0.056712722754964216,0.0037288371173891583,0.025532845536377444,0.061118388501719745,0.00781928623289095,0.0476225603315469,0.015017867006026513,-0.022368851034947276,0.003454484398288747,0.04614328364329411,-0.014341080235195577,0.04703861526439885,0.04749968164871218,0.06077459358382267,0.05511535196846626,0.007358153728664474,-0.06412250260002744,-0.0059861425596591696,0.05943238671626013,0.06047208401397468,0.060279415540282225,0.05064955149280583,0.019939373830719732,-0.019980350057441695,-0.06288402732357995,0.05186676603931063,0.0016282502552811978,0.05739883612003138,0.05212956884648108,-0.0433686768277284,0.0463946778686616,0.05971379234208331,-0.0010373319675354145,0.061586987715181236,0.031064216909614955,0.0575982520449318,-0.0078057573572724885,-0.05476826763621323,-0.021610484478980892,0.051910196110265344,-0.061144502114092524,-0.02702673741755137,0.040560648641454644,-0.0125668528217512,0.060914569647433865,0.018097336598703134,-0.028253223933105243,-0.015009428913698811,0.061332059539970216,0.05361605779711032,0.048833434641063496,-0.8744436691480144,-0.01947688256957094,0.06068032335113307,0.059928602611904434,0.04976340980536963,0.022821590040330138,0.056303044204774076,-0.4094784763989405,0.002969762098655694,-0.030162405947431723,0.02198704262500503,0.002773721137693094,-0.01428220331619918,-0.04738851352858265,0.058161289572605426,0.0614135894294679,0.05236359362732433,0.05484256230864262,0.004706259491486754,0.04416952359915588,0.05302194050420468,-0.013980161640726949,0.05635948579281591,0.05323219466707045,-0.02564324247292548,0.05563466768628778,0.029442679216532232,0.05049103607060348,0.059511495738892216,0.004613777055879953,-0.779393081233213,0.05140368485476425,0.04293681136349303,-0.057522954998045765,0.0575731323053451,-0.06196179848886626,0.00317980279470219,0.05790385094038406,0.04489884240317275,-0.0425638382695667,0.06026831569793271,0.057344434886604304,-0.0012268774268121363,-0.02332004544883088,-0.006425602527636963;0.20790474992560504,0.19748325664397878,-0.22007352552144233,0.0352621234524695,-0.1686581165607867,0.18628338053577562,0.10520627110994235,-0.10669694597230746,0.17981253572462644,0.06476358285419719,0.16524546896884998,0.22535922444252895,0.18636942027316197,0.07112972897262315,0.21380347491621227,-0.2517305482725036,-0.014724390562028284,-0.11886185156226359,-0.19319184720265115,-0.3959093872524635,0.2627926937323952,0.2017099583309979,-0.14146433321840599,-0.12716539423105971,-0.12795133708873124,-0.08609194369845033,0.15037268178486654,0.22174689316320134,0.26412507731776436,-0.21808038697902224,0.18858725102575738,-0.16523136489662277,0.04044324931150084,0.2471503843158948,0.06942817396100244,-0.03051657880476541,0.17284059520578818,-0.09669925548480572,0.1283809096744432,-0.004879717317003705,0.20426682204532237,0.25752169998864977,0.2238879484865851,-0.21702563715318277,0.2606428036258466,0.23080864260437706,0.04201008068395979,0.21461395097778763,-0.09153224106040829,0.15593646718388038,0.23235638799640249,0.21325529810962504,-0.10115926583428846,-0.20703002090057704,-0.2414474704576384,-1.3171152676796969,0.22050883538064128,-0.10193336400929992,-0.13629408333041365,-0.23559940614250005,0.1471824879731549,-0.17904088574386687,-1.0792776688614105,0.18572915354481423,0.2339919091691819,0.14916179629467533,0.18940500367351415,0.2139647894802125,0.25082389527353544,-0.15884970434790244,-0.10897931837943246,-0.21576427575984755,-0.19454698498826264,0.18533009515031945,0.0821309745377049,-0.2106799207475568,0.21363758728070156,-0.18067396665619959,-0.20909851782211109,0.22855900338489832,-0.18831407454516103,0.13151990095386001,-0.22909622114429262,-0.13387132416908995,0.1819829367131465,-1.2858946435562353,0.044429605363447304,0.08022339461737567,0.2591268918425098,-0.16925057699332388,0.2589364332630982,0.1860396557842517,-0.1642476672407916,0.00918839427863174,0.24734184862461336,-0.13220383188114646,-0.17101148511782505,0.1932146615393,0.21057952395869517,0.2033547837195088;0.18276732262342094,0.1666651957391223,-0.2862448137504471,-0.0721452149784209,-0.2504271420529355,0.14067710195169797,0.03446619940902944,-0.20804822872946246,0.12649579629859908,-0.041275481587652686,0.10144497096662608,0.22135185052304718,0.13966938616474772,-0.0322174699008221,0.19657599999232458,-0.3063637050322691,-0.10468237997557965,-0.2177991004145706,-0.2707704928405762,-0.36046360043785947,0.33522686031424437,0.1703953385962477,-0.2343086653276188,-0.2231560944552514,-0.22281811903021823,-0.16873342151263662,0.08070086157783461,0.21371998048234533,0.3334035473957609,-0.285440631636001,0.1456639932101928,-0.25021207272955287,-0.06833307294611937,0.27988545409942805,-0.03429570655000542,-0.1413033744112139,0.13970634711517482,-0.19986438188547448,0.04024377734656669,-0.11614245193679493,0.17575192484342594,0.3103890643675171,0.2186361004785319,-0.2851906548715012,0.326754460336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x_a{143}	=[-16.245757338706955,-13.665100707581223,39.94744735128618];
std_x_a{143}	=[1.3132634935218461,2.7941600131546442,2.391254413866141];
pred_a{143}	=[-16.245757338706955];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.3 to 14.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{144}	=[-7.772932523559963,2.3515860928419943,35.93194283393002];
std_x_f{144}	=[1.2516054858943768,2.5997863158024477,1.2733256693543373];
pred_f{144}	=[-7.772932523559963];
obs{144}	=[-7.610814703511034];
sqrt_r{144}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{144}	=[2.5799621279429];
L_f{144}	=[0.1159561797490748,0.10804266872474268,-0.16556895875771396,-0.019388428128760613,-0.1388760318189651,0.09594055955857544,0.03676401489236897,-0.1068683637634422,0.08919641850806632,-5.899115268449984E-4,0.07705708520911192,0.13408051485942035,0.0957959426372039,0.004300795443188631,0.1224434775905409,-0.18129786509836904,-0.04529589490441945,-0.11357196621381924,-0.15264580515679593,-0.23811757121437818,0.18188152086452192,0.11017961010635374,-0.1256923826081687,-0.11781944654051864,-0.1176104875296484,-0.0879854452777595,0.06562904026238939,0.13051238777119015,0.18178655339242422,-0.16476578070113132,0.09819562663163964,-0.13842276207924123,-0.016851401403208243,0.15968965968323628,0.0038708062189359393,-0.06189368081576686,0.09138031233415843,-0.10104788110242431,0.04536209055092573,-0.04585162081229049,0.11259552596428515,0.17259116065182578,0.1325167536497482,-0.16431493324996163,0.17872923157610326,0.1401402191203107,-0.00910458926258388,0.12105833816387807,-0.09726222548787511,0.06936345727658477,0.14175918776271934,0.12268982675070614,-0.10332658815079546,-0.16018255810914417,-0.1774950658873064,0.17528729001945462,0.1292803890214616,-0.10312218560367671,-0.12302969736698634,-0.17367731515356757,0.06185583239818418,-0.14542583144091165,-0.2663798903824381,0.09605868539765355,0.14387292878592522,0.06372756739044176,0.09790296421383866,0.1222960477131659,0.16441505812796675,-0.13495121049695213,-0.10812185917424445,-0.16428609350211415,-0.15322751888051725,0.09469921726806284,0.011517810851087969,-0.16182494603699635,0.12163325213651884,-0.14666117340283397,-0.16095742261007928,0.13792688973290362,-0.1499952694693059,0.048504871142299774,-0.16988694611654656,-0.12118090970152232,0.0926310686823232,0.05705512024777503,-0.014057199979063786,0.011967194209161619,0.17561486968740578,-0.1402985927078311,0.17812282281423147,0.09546836494254506,-0.1374679214512044,-0.029893052209916192,0.15870991717349442,-0.1206026120502834,-0.14145181097174425,0.10222214182271462,0.12671055085017052,0.11135728377702062;0.11813780175732294,0.10450320833190765,-0.22839818487132432,-0.09555418591661419,-0.2122322009817868,0.08077772483503529,-0.006284482465694694,-0.19018964787706535,0.06944747935892642,-0.07219072527714142,0.04699512829413547,0.1518604918532965,0.08037622127112497,-0.06416179955160205,0.13005164110768147,-0.23485236751115807,-0.11469333418604333,-0.19589292256589816,-0.22266449709747616,-0.22252114901276365,0.2539780208398822,0.10733785267583466,-0.20458886384975605,-0.19884318387442912,-0.19853944681222097,-0.1574642657384295,0.0298616102452317,0.1454286164900835,0.25200527870989636,-0.22819075354157786,0.08573470713328389,-0.2123308377339223,-0.09332808377782648,0.20477573498291282,-0.06588857877247029,-0.14668106643705092,0.08216058403257578,-0.18496397546430937,-0.004588307132309957,-0.12840442528648455,0.11219280749117258,0.23180389975670426,0.14975528435337618,-0.22858706404151702,0.24655703037527718,0.16432967191756223,-0.07080853804755075,0.12641466206933286,-0.18105014862502625,0.03625073533244118,0.1672724857863798,0.13182859686713502,-0.18688161818759857,-0.22685637871146166,-0.23392528754271327,1.5048042968712703,0.1436443542897962,-0.1853226169077067,-0.20275752945757688,-0.2323520814959508,0.021890618720405614,-0.21702643768502938,0.4476738277225519,0.08151578998663914,0.1718008725009934,0.025078632028113022,0.0839159710307339,0.1307676570508305,0.2147915340871828,-0.21105220082556772,-0.19166927930131555,-0.22898543991820727,-0.22194084227878527,0.07795520687112797,-0.05563238283096254,-0.22660079873999064,0.12886978663126614,-0.2186668122220331,-0.22724067539667175,0.1596724494470875,-0.2201421917277504,8.426368237234823E-4,-0.23042509909267203,-0.2007166421640519,0.07661374809651668,1.2669598779158142,-0.09031033377750002,-0.05280709211708022,0.23899857821230053,-0.21513918489613032,0.2477580776226323,0.08036872158052749,-0.21227651650661844,-0.09552212855652772,0.20291176173077716,-0.20151905082979144,-0.21584944506426848,0.09374198814939716,0.14638556458206184,0.10871187486314843;-0.09459115673326336,-0.0918798686701304,0.11312447135631278,-0.03438107335671519,0.07994286738101426,-0.09015763416286629,-0.06070333441591285,0.0414809999263709,-0.0887900219803427,-0.04850310182528159,-0.08462196242229544,-0.09640173029432972,-0.09057604405304252,-0.05079173470754142,-0.09508712265611777,0.13450211462910167,-0.007224378100658463,0.04859702951683629,0.09527228617540111,0.23446075472919198,-0.09522261518541288,-0.09337555525106356,0.06310802661175605,0.05393332329669222,0.05504940791320191,0.03197721510953309,-0.08028306421107131,-0.09616509665986171,-0.09575753283894947,0.11163972688165479,-0.09055041551053888,0.07782272892318567,-0.036763436943566506,-0.09762909583356241,-0.05078972488447176,-0.0016003830001780736,-0.08270110801766124,0.035489605485019685,-0.07434743955571205,-0.014821365847446373,-0.09410271983155927,-0.09701683504214388,-0.09722532669418275,0.11101048436760742,-0.0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k{144}	=[0.6123974111211712;0.8328838415058395;-0.39720645022557716];
x_a_linear{144}	=[-7.673651990265391,2.486611405580899,35.867548590110076];
L_a{144}	=[-0.15226289451854919,-0.1418716062148402,0.21740979184917444,0.025459084573485294,0.182359117295553,-0.1259802395329819,-0.04827509265783495,0.1403296179151053,-0.11712445936142027,7.746170732913548E-4,-0.10118421340278311,-0.17606208944802357,-0.1257903420122803,-0.0056474054623838425,-0.1607814120230329,0.2380635320139666,0.05947836573160245,0.14913216655895362,0.2004403058084852,0.3126738972194991,-0.2388299346028513,-0.14467763932911457,0.16504757259395145,0.15470956355800394,0.15443517797631542,0.1155343216936393,-0.0861779653007717,-0.1713767560777826,-0.23870523213146952,0.21635513296015554,-0.12894138434321317,0.18176392553675794,0.022127696513448696,-0.2096896419032436,-0.005082783516074616,0.08127303791664506,-0.11999214606860203,0.1326867002251692,-0.05956528771164173,0.06020809342248091,-0.147849995836874,-0.2266306957165223,-0.1740087033444475,0.21576312192590155,-0.23469064084159527,-0.18401913074315882,0.011955301714176912,-0.15896257546881193,0.12771572858080338,-0.09108165517009272,-0.1861450101241573,-0.1611048948789717,0.13567888685718504,0.21033687037519522,0.23307004898958386,-0.23017100260141599,-0.16975900964906415,0.1354104844008554,0.16155118143229397,0.22805693301312363,-0.08122333888700668,0.19095970633800136,0.3497853520091283,-0.1261353514227871,-0.1889205786807655,-0.08368112758192169,-0.12855708721521544,-0.1605878207895496,-0.21589459662411367,0.1772054061587166,0.14197559176425675,0.21572525224535521,0.2012041582874703,-0.12435022403358609,-0.015124120357352474,0.21249350178852944,-0.15971749914569458,0.1925818427627228,0.2113543505304348,-0.18111279198847724,0.1969598683132587,-0.06369209553434549,0.223079772139773,0.15912352503741334,-0.1216345232348825,-0.07491948919694748,0.018458610505020723,-0.01571420888042068,-0.2306011498219919,0.18422709224122938,-0.23389436113020926,-0.12536019738284856,0.1805101174331845,0.03925278208824625,-0.2084031349595083,0.15836415822780092,0.18574139144680013,-0.13422863043171573,-0.1663845366433841,-0.14622405110537381;-0.2466503715502174,-0.2353897395787442,0.292467526230543,-0.03455985775143902,0.22465985663055743,-0.22104302799771974,-0.12194091289535848,0.1460090375745642,-0.2111567854895967,-0.07033491432548217,-0.1954198375547176,-0.26994528165135134,-0.22098957915900094,-0.07769173229762025,-0.25514501352798963,0.33549513080161336,0.027803657317726004,0.1613947199188508,0.2575460837159245,0.5265762602300089,-0.3182056083391884,-0.23927772911901582,0.19082856667897052,0.17180666658310204,0.17145303656029182,0.11933038142896758,-0.17660170861410737,-0.2651521359293468,-0.31987959096584184,0.29014822843955235,-0.22318029285429472,0.2231352722426234,-0.040315023595516516,-0.29759420664510433,-0.07806580238305055,0.048031132713712246,-0.2053140230542118,0.13292397189405414,-0.14729354444947407,0.015840832150420894,-0.2420230379083139,-0.3111530548398452,-0.26713103081451106,0.2883335906153743,-0.3157097676892502,-0.27653941026884454,-0.042166282904267605,-0.2544244630036876,0.12492845160417912,-0.18196073842407393,-0.27868973257426444,-0.25414305104898866,0.13817494565569163,0.27706417899240493,0.3244589313600192,0.9533655510571558,-0.26306063597186713,0.1390909140938312,0.184283322200358,0.3140218217917125,-0.1727025125622845,0.2404707264838656,1.2856820634953234,-0.22067657658115744,-0.28081099341072596,-0.17540281663635893,-0.22407833814919292,-0.25396519586444105,-0.3024441048286687,0.21349270630532916,0.14847279495585616,0.28784448737116747,0.2600997599023725,-0.21996038982777225,-0.09186642563887658,0.2824865701968787,-0.2537779683771525,0.2427166315627911,0.27911753941584294,-0.27423368875558884,0.2517300316663377,-0.15174951806449705,0.30402462904392585,0.1805080824295245,-0.21479563094021878,1.0874693743646744,-0.046087591071780724,-0.09045485633821455,-0.31347070507677405,0.22622812698201594,-0.31260101060702816,-0.21996654758244694,0.2201857469370803,-0.0014811560629574613,-0.2963759941852407,0.17788639906639475,0.2291457923356403,-0.22784008248957538,-0.25223493570908057,-0.2416085670608004;0.07937813908329475,0.07021677022276199,-0.13527897921002185,-0.06346957209692447,-0.12841312980365532,0.053782185368701836,-0.005546206990231779,-0.11885382680926197,0.04503154881292185,-0.049388147306612104,0.030986941566391306,0.10475954289776199,0.053146806412896146,-0.04433924242708096,0.08861507950208036,-0.1374994465853216,-0.07518190271862141,-0.12179522581164905,-0.13374253036947756,-0.12278752884963119,0.17765460597966232,0.07192714120740808,-0.12546851445028218,-0.12283143553293953,-0.12140184928111997,-0.10002753004679613,0.01818032035602425,0.09964290809697543,0.1769772084317203,-0.13555871398859137,0.05677268580531215,-0.12985322673540609,-0.06204562925088679,0.14195363019618237,-0.04498234632467579,-0.09445960007954797,0.054396963190548875,-0.11611273910053774,-0.006290601472664941,-0.08361264719203268,0.07482458017513102,0.16192203952008208,0.10158983232736095,-0.1355115491410783,0.17235896946395923,0.1130225817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x_a{144}	=[-7.673651990265389,2.4866114055809083,35.86754859011007];
std_x_a{144}	=[1.6434921751472549,2.971296614148056,1.4509995337327048];
pred_a{144}	=[-7.673651990265389];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.4 to 14.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{145}	=[-0.4621650069831496,3.8299391824802997,26.766011860871576];
std_x_f{145}	=[1.9108517154527465,2.0473494394002025,1.281122664608335];
pred_f{145}	=[-0.4621650069831496];
obs{145}	=[-0.41087539536335943];
sqrt_r{145}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{145}	=[4.678170918197395];
L_f{145}	=[-0.1637578692725729,-0.15761972219323606,0.2049665286797462,-0.02770683251949067,0.1556890414726974,-0.14898751383998174,-0.08657916382539502,0.10003510906622942,-0.14321478436809504,-0.052134772155638255,-0.13383641695989545,-0.17684780642389508,-0.1491783296610353,-0.05721339412280738,-0.16857638507616346,0.2355984041764533,0.015021328009570862,0.1104593072992825,0.17946848747112812,0.3676389851532564,-0.19989782124695815,-0.15970934678529744,0.1319259381262973,0.11744930356299897,0.11812540868945884,0.0794248662029221,-0.12185433196420313,-0.1740579194554293,-0.20195511702179272,0.20281395532649105,-0.1500559650205209,0.15452261670399847,-0.032223096775551505,-0.19089997674143694,-0.05752653007244283,0.029472715563038654,-0.13883611318177447,0.09062924148951591,-0.1036928657586622,0.007211643447291937,-0.1613863337350429,-0.1974206883846137,-0.17512084114462464,0.20153705512895212,-0.19941372509671187,-0.18049445527230829,-0.03331487128853751,-0.16859081038142165,0.0854193924388346,-0.1255599458627886,-0.18202657114404996,-0.16784773899064243,0.09415668284478751,0.19372536358678727,0.22713017315457912,0.551062454412321,-0.17313643252273048,0.09470092911084,0.12716835621245476,0.2197290687977632,-0.11952507068934073,0.1672642367086678,0.7950115215997756,-0.14889208714807037,-0.1828394188921688,-0.12127975017700938,-0.15071330520887977,-0.16829527673981695,-0.19400586529840014,0.14805252013357287,0.1013507654227614,0.2020617737656508,0.1811947350787693,-0.1487518653810319,-0.06688833961565056,0.19736303816272474,-0.16811900166799504,0.16888141769205395,0.19464101996380256,-0.17878294024731714,0.17497221965989665,-0.10654426940261537,0.21243201576137963,0.12426670607559193,-0.14547681841995813,0.6300076899892001,-0.03550193552943843,-0.0656468574594491,-0.1988935964700321,0.15737062099412247,-0.1976675953788518,-0.14831094526575953,0.1527769374645744,-0.0055349608216448964,-0.19071211683804226,0.12247332265195304,0.1590099980364994,-0.15320559394695482,-0.16679755534679572,-0.1611532410777216;-0.14606694537852197,-0.1436425463603379,0.1748955798694074,-0.06537915345440812,0.1195760270245382,-0.14326488826858283,-0.1052441893210341,0.058370259790835474,-0.14125545996773012,-0.08654069588637478,-0.13823471304514548,-0.1455925745615599,-0.1433282885005851,-0.08995124541417364,-0.14588178143512495,0.2091841545209274,-0.021649194668958552,0.0700647103243363,0.14558325265655692,0.36548906080671206,-0.131582286685697,-0.14528128679196708,0.09340651886363217,0.07788545719155565,0.07834168761557463,0.04219645760582299,-0.1315236015093756,-0.14632710124537632,-0.132827490221102,0.17247920674379114,-0.14271872980127057,0.11801189000068255,-0.06910423088992726,-0.14128047875548988,-0.09052136748819391,-0.01289731311749015,-0.13246738819626216,0.04832969252519183,-0.12318811941574527,-0.03426947422743116,-0.1452564359897196,-0.13710376388107212,-0.14607853338119384,0.170874622136994,-0.13392611817933012,-0.14540948496927739,-0.0653037599010038,-0.14757333104970288,0.0442538943713528,-0.13287637516545062,-0.1460642173993431,-0.14501140105788346,0.05264628736446112,0.1615309352501389,0.19922286666412914,0.9218323689592728,-0.14540406915823048,0.05365803988920745,0.0882420654198331,0.19149227594606083,-0.13189438566838607,0.1322423239331182,0.8862209049409786,-0.1422424035972846,-0.1450420498782234,-0.1326083760834295,-0.14444304924792314,-0.14506235418233626,-0.13960960066797587,0.11081039604905095,0.05968522335858191,0.17007131885602025,0.1476591362080038,-0.14436332332149243,-0.09819010527648978,0.16587044932087083,-0.1458126305498713,0.13396824023256426,0.16322022890623064,-0.14505356325291358,0.14144310026445986,-0.12452118232356767,0.1829742811967607,0.0848578687617964,-0.14100226610536304,0.9267755792805887,-0.07301022788922924,-0.09585322854872398,-0.13438495371047654,0.12079164050595458,-0.13118342513971065,-0.1428299810541367,0.11623760379886029,-0.03982153619789951,-0.1413164017686303,0.082855734557889,0.12331763350966925,-0.14348172067010256,-0.13823694610383033,-0.14657722924435868;0.05663355102874808,0.04893532514328553,-0.09501090194637503,-0.06805419290462791,-0.10198918823478853,0.03533108520119677,-0.021118952881409393,-0.10484369361784476,0.02781134766231515,-0.055275696420978314,0.015783984916280493,0.07772283186108214,0.03521556131327014,-0.05159180129037156,0.06453678376711895,-0.08601857884580465,-0.07907712287536356,-0.10572457058283366,-0.10044990082622814,-0.014282204817878704,0.13305339521961138,0.05026786474136346,-0.10451371708239272,-0.10516216593972874,-0.10402923116479681,-0.09599572800185359,0.004122711216518174,0.07364832165418649,0.1334529735843148,-0.09557971956555739,0.03762523000670356,-0.1033452920156184,-0.06607111876099951,0.10725349894078831,-0.0515882857839524,-0.09250707588530496,0.03163288673755665,-0.10374851417070993,-0.0168154326300274,-0.08408693146204839,0.05303352133048726,0.12208649224133336,0.07394382827038086,-0.09551535239930282,0.12958826042267046,0.0843228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k{145}	=[0.7862412431084664;0.8064789469937613;0.02202129128641975];
x_a_linear{145}	=[-0.4218389989846553,3.871303174451147,26.767141324349023];
L_a{145}	=[0.10006519222538243,0.09631444198583552,-0.1252459816631442,0.016930420103381905,-0.09513468837592103,0.09103968119397465,0.0529046983170053,-0.06112703140597028,0.08751222149487488,0.03185725376468519,0.08178151590111987,0.10806387395642651,0.09115628030397874,0.0349605750624173,0.10300957414894554,-0.1439637661788917,-0.00917886927471153,-0.0674967979681484,-0.1096652562528482,-0.22464792612605494,0.12214871869893214,0.09759131916683857,-0.0806141067709465,-0.07176807557386308,-0.07218121351797718,-0.04853302341667566,0.07445979363103371,0.10635909740415025,0.12340584116936844,-0.12393063927789233,0.09169256446144149,-0.09442193778130972,0.019690109472392473,0.1166505338235515,0.035151918593767095,-0.018009473140558455,0.08483660916615304,-0.05537952167534668,0.06336212476769906,-0.004406716397934132,0.09861605173224854,0.12063505235032028,0.10700860184398182,-0.12315038203415243,0.12185290894917732,0.1102921798058851,0.020357244596914844,0.10301838881507389,-0.05219601330999355,0.07672413041510484,0.11122838806200407,0.10256433074821104,-0.05753498509733027,-0.11837700278071915,-0.13878920468284325,-0.3367298968526309,0.10579601748949771,-0.05786754992290126,-0.07770695885279513,-0.13426671710142382,0.07303648507036678,-0.10220777830728672,-0.4857963839152096,0.09098137016249914,0.11172508337519271,0.07410869210998833,0.09209423598170369,0.10283780127575401,0.1185484049723618,-0.09046834788720336,-0.061930970824599405,-0.12347101438897402,-0.11072008982789712,0.09089568684153736,0.04087250640844635,-0.12059982484912736,0.10273008737458529,-0.103195966091389,-0.11893651990063164,0.10924634866059027,-0.10691778582699162,0.06510449143998052,-0.12980781068057187,-0.07593388877069285,0.08889445047248362,-0.3849698392039175,0.021693662838353618,0.04011389156351394,0.12153508134649849,-0.096162227258792,0.12078592629579854,0.09062626005742737,-0.09335523039538197,0.003382169791522965,0.11653574094411198,-0.0748380314673623,-0.09716397807299135,0.09361716341575303,0.10192260996459163,0.09847361911716374;0.12454687282865753,0.116827836143657,-0.1638165392921691,-0.019592946221544064,-0.13770385914578723,0.10294056228184885,0.03782996158268213,-0.1069401643093025,0.09541041626603661,-3.8673078491499753E-4,0.08293318544772703,0.14665267966971174,0.10319248978425713,0.004595264655484897,0.1326947500480247,-0.18014787575596283,-0.04647230054637046,-0.11247195211247445,-0.1509927400463697,-0.242043205801731,0.1987536715142414,0.11864225061682457,-0.12460426739969944,-0.11620234221705882,-0.1168633917783836,-0.08905504437843603,0.06984361329622842,0.14130779765911541,0.2009081987354868,-0.16267573317086986,0.1052523620268475,-0.13734045118074437,-0.01585478833411875,0.17418632495379863,0.004542607270796283,-0.06160168455855101,0.09696262857213948,-0.10143730914405935,0.04816683560683974,-0.04618688850186892,0.12143836269384393,0.18913867267582563,0.14331286918352576,-0.16217020948509797,0.19560985948727935,0.15286194420499719,-0.01025013369959223,0.1310270385973897,-0.09690370641749733,0.07461445574698394,0.1547390701083943,0.13236102524118876,-0.10294989599781179,-0.1586048881864392,-0.17611520814381493,0.011188407105316236,0.14070805042339038,-0.10283752351969004,-0.12190670228611611,-0.1716152958769303,0.06562366884957731,-0.144165850808706,-0.42755475869272064,0.10380535204925197,0.1571044880865249,0.06780932849713606,0.10461431305393164,0.13304963901287348,0.18098975859457703,-0.13384995491004528,-0.10779935451914999,-0.1638406229354469,-0.15176952219184375,0.1014527124819452,0.012344484953192727,-0.16027671885756575,0.13200806384881397,-0.14511236498597627,-0.15842873871969573,0.1503895461716648,-0.14770270172162173,0.051545785811838635,-0.16807473495127112,-0.12049585229310689,0.09940167581287136,-0.11432728341046225,-0.01434242541938155,0.01262978255368894,0.19429149888872727,-0.13926709627431863,0.1954670311645721,0.10225742365237558,-0.13622996044669153,-0.030674880295340417,0.1738399589312838,-0.11953437724918908,-0.13945021326873425,0.10969420872401614,0.13740002646136962,0.11973237821588256;0.06402279006478803,0.05604759284225906,-0.10425959748406018,-0.0668039787358217,-0.10901433791366463,0.04205384214740796,-0.017212245131191198,-0.10935757338539526,0.03427362199387283,-0.05292322142079205,0.02182307959329831,0.08570272754774572,0.041946928433269456,-0.049010163857529,0.07214344847698907,-0.09664947513617822,-0.07975492958959705,-0.11070882098261851,-0.10854804938697506,-0.030871162358251204,0.14207337569773276,0.05747442247766376,-0.1104666053081575,-0.11046182562935758,-0.10935939871591137,-0.09957961269933964,0.009621138806350713,0.08150232939552561,0.1425657853279844,-0.10473128463176884,0.044396198627909944,-0.11031780916164709,-0.06461711740146998,0.115867470082346,-0.048992518731612165,-0.09383697191597475,0.037897582484343384,-0.10783797339484232,-0.01213650407028048,-0.08441234212787745,0.060315749674172935,0.13099469716371986,0.08184579817972393,-0.10460929995481587,0.13858639705178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x_a{145}	=[-0.42183899898465554,3.871303174451145,26.76714132434902];
std_x_a{145}	=[1.1676369817850705,1.3313546806476686,1.2800686314247676];
pred_a{145}	=[-0.42183899898465554];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.5 to 14.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{146}	=[2.273046581738622,4.048804357195066,21.047236661630063];
std_x_f{146}	=[1.2893460211401941,1.5479154700481905,1.2890262842545341];
pred_f{146}	=[2.273046581738622];
obs{146}	=[2.2681921883928755];
sqrt_r{146}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{146}	=[2.6771145429993863];
L_f{146}	=[0.12124925059288452,0.11517386201558272,-0.16237762052582103,-0.002150270857036557,-0.13134151153037163,0.10516071335750009,0.050017574399878945,-0.09453705173937045,0.09934430019327677,0.017170299633729708,0.08947216205263227,0.13678548342773064,0.1055325931026696,0.0216520869031454,0.12729998965970588,-0.18219503610536925,-0.030411882282123257,-0.1014424738693017,-0.14607433036537903,-0.25726182907814027,0.17103808348956862,0.11679312639955178,-0.11522803001730379,-0.10618722144089739,-0.10632955786163402,-0.0762994844247644,0.07831289805604434,0.13311894776497069,0.17260003320093253,-0.16109650880542414,0.10652399089664127,-0.13018079088148274,0.0019623510522843294,0.15575072328462114,0.02220231217701682,-0.04423416363573202,0.09908458331833891,-0.08871514945217306,0.06085854757955109,-0.02819687070220536,0.11866400190796124,0.16530037197793374,0.13481878340533487,-0.16031447487531256,0.16969920095475977,0.14118900925737002,0.00611319481500532,0.12640407177201357,-0.08387854678359712,0.08303221843525603,0.14252167982091368,0.12691905321684321,-0.09025522905984541,-0.1557928051233846,-0.1766517145365171,-0.11531761146426142,0.13301598970501044,-0.08995166776862772,-0.11261672337925296,-0.1720386637466487,0.0759032871706733,-0.13859329557952207,-0.4203798981380209,0.10622076917766515,0.1450033050043036,0.07752693605135219,0.10641851348017083,0.12717280332436226,0.1603750728934854,-0.1265520913345613,-0.09530228867088288,-0.16111694323851097,-0.1474520919421422,0.10421317440726142,0.02944521923469712,-0.157764257728849,0.12675705686425168,-0.13994332208826052,-0.15597180327997834,0.13945084880543657,-0.143136398270834,0.0638797231800676,-0.16733017298062067,-0.11005089076967015,0.1023250666110965,-0.20554848477917084,0.003917460035127735,0.029111946311703732,0.16871887102744396,-0.13268246491119928,0.16915432605069095,0.105418521683956,-0.12924870316051212,-0.014831234899746496,0.15577711472743025,-0.10893451271236074,-0.1330760571647236,0.10986939771341817,0.12962375719896435,0.11792747318132603;0.14716299975886935,0.1400306794871881,-0.20648077895495393,-0.004264245872257098,-0.16823539917475683,0.1278195854587562,0.06116837079204131,-0.12211823503879488,0.12008182137179971,0.019776367889765268,0.10860622107827632,0.1659946423524318,0.12763064011793224,0.025180777423280832,0.1543909704758884,-0.2318093927739244,-0.039201333167159756,-0.12998473801320365,-0.18640402892546692,-0.3192994555723657,0.20746753734051773,0.14204019463429338,-0.1474827946017866,-0.13563981795996116,-0.13685526116258598,-0.09777836408380644,0.09530999678015548,0.16104989070985057,0.20827079403502405,-0.2043777923583955,0.1295946398949453,-0.16611039917785186,-2.262582349713979E-5,0.18859371963986854,0.02494541181322003,-0.057900064233724645,0.12111692172597387,-0.1139810155105669,0.07292208818255218,-0.037760851109966104,0.14405081033890696,0.2002479964378287,0.16309072318351248,-0.20435625117636874,0.2051705219151042,0.17239278822867896,0.006602641726935977,0.152926962708883,-0.10758469029061898,0.100556918541042,0.17294240870121824,0.15417679543113189,-0.11630662291765469,-0.19868029848708582,-0.2245656289472372,-0.017278611913733716,0.1612080365686675,-0.11569410912737092,-0.14368482158512652,-0.2184042299957803,0.09154325934388925,-0.17672716367058441,-0.41059405445658087,0.12880744278045084,0.17509221284382398,0.09394013741849913,0.12882895456963056,0.15459648633649636,0.1944397078626013,-0.16159635559192667,-0.1228560448271653,-0.2060438209512213,-0.18830248344412842,0.12597289572831522,0.03426749217609381,-0.2005698100962488,0.15394318709298355,-0.17832126384534316,-0.19880463690339897,0.16923259519952355,-0.1826574175628024,0.0770560672349284,-0.21294137474199742,-0.14164656113010096,0.1245191559504774,-0.1325307607068084,0.002620209769875654,0.03431939141617285,0.20418330026481457,-0.169966031319583,0.2051501301302578,0.12713767485883984,-0.16524655778358543,-0.0195592249390695,0.18850796400349465,-0.1400391063638059,-0.17005636981253702,0.133577778839827,0.15773404451054934,0.14272993302680265;0.09851338930766129,0.08965835110842908,-0.1391513608236124,-0.06533809109279108,-0.13724992151600096,0.07265053498092107,-0.0035930728795303558,-0.12908856667363658,0.06331627469138754,-0.04611024892767813,0.04756680753834448,0.1256807561996834,0.07232939096714558,-0.040690973526990575,0.10934743361348867,-0.13641384348711127,-0.08670975994441639,-0.13211973067287028,-0.14051901195354924,-0.09097599838910787,0.19228417674131093,0.09124026468581665,-0.135404189922345,-0.13240385707709787,-0.13232182203108528,-0.11719313088771788,0.03227003835017531,0.12040596100293079,0.19388627926828092,-0.13977133497888466,0.07505972561809057,-0.13793798671223673,-0.06250336250494924,0.16187155207719883,-0.04149003434726775,-0.10214927426297078,0.0652142537433856,-0.12673198897121277,0.0060927471539420726,-0.08915075969066938,0.09500030060129594,0.18011569887016,0.12073555156811229,-0.13944793180225745,0.18840729893192845,0.134027872810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k{146}	=[0.626463498689294;0.7458540218801686;0.3943087455112877];
x_a_linear{146}	=[2.270005481499232,4.045183688394353,21.045322531879684];
L_a{146}	=[-0.14734927122591163,-0.1399660991658616,0.1973309025077091,0.002613136511552737,0.15961398450775757,-0.12779752781196926,-0.06078431908050465,0.1148870249467751,-0.12072907801367093,-0.02086636515598462,-0.1087318709929881,-0.16622982161790692,-0.12824945810569463,-0.026312898513583195,-0.15470248774077358,0.22141419975654866,0.036958320723361734,0.1232789029450081,0.17751817861886865,0.31263981297657206,-0.20785561008278522,-0.14193392515845896,0.140031927330061,0.12904500123763163,0.12921797688706368,0.09272365288797575,-0.09517047239238297,-0.16177403030216903,-0.2097537838903397,0.1957740196615358,-0.129454263427974,0.15820340802275393,-0.002384765233843573,-0.18927750445200958,-0.02698156485765199,0.05375597575359626,-0.12041345468354711,0.10781190444110392,-0.07395891182720891,0.034266507450603875,-0.14420752389305372,-0.20088280319441396,-0.16383977125798316,0.19482364570778016,-0.20622852072102424,-0.17158124703826266,-0.007429116439470306,-0.1536137152561256,0.10193417839381576,-0.10090567005470352,-0.1732007872445911,-0.15423955121156022,0.10968350040322952,0.1893286447950906,0.21467762704086402,0.14014079201054372,-0.16164890956923442,0.10931459474142456,0.1368585128290829,0.20907157447813499,-0.09224217051702037,0.16842678202613443,0.5108705524015448,-0.12908577043447078,-0.17621660516049864,-0.09421532480972694,-0.12932608102378004,-0.15454792337249004,-0.19489728800884043,0.15379359739611356,0.11581698619290368,0.1957988527950069,0.17919251609531822,-0.1266460223544667,-0.03578357453018701,0.19172447077546706,-0.1540426836484297,0.17006741420510094,0.18954617395750498,-0.16946893150135223,0.1739478295162917,-0.07763042336896965,0.203349537603221,0.13374036106104317,-0.12435148192307861,0.24979469386987366,-0.004760729475936067,-0.035378561533551726,-0.20503716572588312,0.1612435904842624,-0.20556635646325547,-0.12811083176093005,0.15707067981427386,0.018023795142418766,-0.18930957689654412,0.13238367231985274,0.16172190710422804,-0.13351979994878446,-0.157526467697218,-0.14331245055795297;-0.17262464659046278,-0.1637334928671084,0.22178048314644255,0.0014069649024317087,0.1781699817647771,-0.14953550621044703,-0.07074999006567553,0.12721758452883894,-0.14193282846467356,-0.025509270414257813,-0.127371254878811,-0.19476888885471708,-0.15070526213650148,-0.03192530674178214,-0.18135513825891153,0.2487191176108379,0.04100818737418945,0.13756371939904635,0.19885828050063883,0.3592132314268767,-0.24363517783320776,-0.16599469068222253,0.15642424261718146,0.14442262738230022,0.14358258797602536,0.10345696250628461,-0.11123558783731567,-0.1900433719874598,-0.2469514700799996,0.22050461420556083,-0.15135601474418248,0.1772336504745835,-0.005198209352901403,-0.22218949735197324,-0.03361185860192586,0.05876489664754341,-0.1402127403868852,0.11999988499080527,-0.08758869102259023,0.03660670887232915,-0.168918397231325,-0.23572184780461164,-0.19248575434568124,0.21846358767147533,-0.24240097065352356,-0.19998477897302747,-0.00952054395880062,-0.18045621618324614,0.11363995995643968,-0.11843559130736427,-0.20294999740292052,-0.180564616219966,0.12173614543461067,0.2122139068375201,0.24134270235359156,0.2868646910135919,-0.18961368040356522,0.12154803447573859,0.15333505056193067,0.2353374557598717,-0.10864712068565542,0.18880436395910935,0.6981327833653651,-0.15134348271099798,-0.20734533125198892,-0.11053251942109706,-0.1518435096923102,-0.18081417604602978,-0.22853995463372032,0.1721772160431624,0.12849804137742799,0.21889248020778912,0.20059358973481875,-0.1488831186332805,-0.043392512395154646,0.21552398355989713,-0.1803709688673854,0.19077087795415068,0.2125616653530895,-0.19856067777204658,0.1948562716858202,-0.09142288191578488,0.2283819482397569,0.148606080975264,-0.1453570870291345,0.40959107375226556,-0.007711856763940795,-0.042461625754206055,-0.24080263075543903,0.17997603395756334,-0.2409842874686279,-0.15089737085150998,0.1756391662542766,0.019557270031847297,-0.22234485884024624,0.14726915538755833,0.1809237714919692,-0.15619618618503,-0.18414086212121752,-0.16829672407975532;-0.07054793095464514,-0.07093187998043803,0.08725642951664447,-0.062339906541261,0.045883328677255385,-0.07397807470541574,-0.07333401662156061,0.0027271658163574076,-0.07520234269457327,-0.07005129195419948,-0.07718680346854032,-0.06504318071483525,-0.07481774135244255,-0.07088110155154083,-0.0681506063002591,0.11762593984017566,-0.04430559707217685,0.00932443066551811,0.06315663162566619,0.26773157517834917,-0.04619914640079507,-0.07160775334415516,0.025261569170546734,0.01565604237796324,0.015936541192563963,-0.010806563473000012,-0.07692388964676368,-0.06520561969574315,-0.046774915317114654,0.08485016441281167,-0.07346974118302566,0.04357683726892082,-0.06523952506343997,-0.05529616468436314,-0.07244735730941576,-0.04047230662491566,-0.07294223292789725,-0.0030339024237616306,-0.07876407755000452,-0.04983505122343563,-0.07045633300321773,-0.05036736795120142,-0.06724615889370392,0.08408315516983159,-0.0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x_a{146}	=[2.270005481499232,4.045183688394353,21.045322531879687];
std_x_a{146}	=[1.5668896561756183,1.8765697351770432,1.4082434415737282];
pred_a{146}	=[2.270005481499232];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.6 to 14.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{147}	=[4.031203141803751,6.071765186585317,17.85285017721141];
std_x_f{147}	=[1.9748892273555239,2.5517097016510464,2.3860529125345327];
pred_f{147}	=[4.031203141803751];
obs{147}	=[4.1920164300586205];
sqrt_r{147}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{147}	=[4.93688389137526];
L_f{147}	=[-0.19156312549747967,-0.18051171931587529,0.25057797670841625,0.018585580234415137,0.21019536657793314,-0.16264830859050475,-0.06797954817537255,0.15943848984807435,-0.1538383934048115,-0.012638822186817568,-0.1355145808071865,-0.21848277712419667,-0.16394144721805332,-0.020398606823515956,-0.20229213765709575,0.27441492279372676,0.06363533055281237,0.1696223434554924,0.23001056350943822,0.35632772667405826,-0.2788278414977482,-0.18308557824661142,0.18881763853360523,0.176423087709338,0.17625706239867436,0.13347462725466136,-0.11624730483356546,-0.21237784023133663,-0.28211611439839507,0.24902001236401802,-0.16522854229934103,0.20932421525469685,0.012333390811692381,-0.25217277377772795,-0.02196868222534027,0.08541144529612447,-0.1519894563500182,0.15135840750544755,-0.08650439362695166,0.059659703876422464,-0.18696840643310877,-0.26885247304404636,-0.2154343656713422,0.24739602528207982,-0.27704481547638155,-0.2254234713533799,0.005511515755404009,-0.20003816799033208,0.14452901001369925,-0.12419729072875822,-0.2286679859631982,-0.20116670362249273,0.1533084628418747,0.2422782158162289,0.26835723297386543,0.20177631480062713,-0.2121656566435296,0.15296531372784175,0.1850709767854955,0.26319739477775944,-0.1124573719722559,0.22021367499127784,0.45085165973187924,-0.1648429634799416,-0.23363802482131193,-0.11507787575751736,-0.16578072276150438,-0.20142770742096955,-0.2604758201858864,0.20371120717710123,0.16033778640231117,0.24902825706069665,0.2317297081521548,-0.16209848191150109,-0.033409828044266995,0.24478237162434577,-0.2008845064209741,0.22241155354796305,0.242727528679497,-0.2229629524901588,0.22595960768510237,-0.09169010908618475,0.2568055171893872,0.18134828392840205,-0.15833054007086222,0.29674425856375125,0.008546770563993026,-0.03261078716354396,-0.2753727251199247,0.2120567614171979,-0.27572893347682803,-0.16398655759895214,0.20778748420618018,0.03953445105642517,-0.25226001069810133,0.1796344772038763,0.2127699322764468,-0.17166526090094825,-0.20571521169238297,-0.18555592330336826;-0.2521434136322772,-0.23556576364445903,0.3253372072203584,0.05489750233367641,0.28719613622352197,-0.20895657999957726,-0.06819826698641471,0.23269923089951622,-0.19491898362201923,0.01143455131082179,-0.16768989582992055,-0.2932720299761684,-0.21040049294128002,6.1591928537342E-4,-0.26819502779058,0.3437617020144376,0.11485841864666602,0.24447967559577885,0.30719469595060145,0.3845849910848918,-0.3855862287003086,-0.23943946360463544,0.26489413816250196,0.25251088839255237,0.2516668882709058,0.20141778963144122,-0.1389774863304341,-0.2842662225934314,-0.3904802657761096,0.32455403077748407,-0.21277446285699142,0.2866574627167453,0.04503045219553829,-0.345150594182988,-0.0015141709564926442,0.14314369854259115,-0.19238634512915628,0.22421219667165118,-0.09546386149468106,0.10991343864810205,-0.2454970671837705,-0.37051335739606406,-0.28886888382668074,0.3226909736870606,-0.38289573382267467,-0.30349254784656904,0.0362711794619975,-0.2662635883498822,0.21599469771803645,-0.15166705184499552,-0.3087606012557483,-0.2668926827826827,0.22597052733930542,0.31823008707259776,0.34046398460845007,0.20462427124896113,-0.2845963803709868,0.22564761824723834,0.2627365711333122,0.3352611724530942,-0.13368569282892398,0.2973787266751703,0.18816325399099423,-0.21205004131423213,-0.316766612090981,-0.13708164646788876,-0.21322829138682442,-0.2671830943045169,-0.3571478910942614,0.2814181676979941,0.2339463634844649,0.3237325935994006,0.30854133377511683,-0.20751630074023336,-0.01873158334597195,0.3208566311173638,-0.26641278020228937,0.2996606556970254,0.31843874399945876,-0.3005136450523513,0.30326837444369253,-0.10283956027368804,0.3306557647584178,0.2577643466789397,-0.20136827709844635,0.25486141164034637,0.040908553763159314,-0.017155076807477194,-0.3795301583085365,0.2892118098546082,-0.3804724482437672,-0.21081377230357093,0.2842489058485465,0.08249428232416914,-0.34500890285681785,0.2557596911967018,0.2903203082162041,-0.2220877596876964,-0.27297560018185557,-0.24318543098865747;-0.1896875902796585,-0.18580211003376407,0.2609157353547025,-0.0705664830864176,0.1838687405697805,-0.18169004120020885,-0.13414099776031338,0.0984470916469498,-0.17840638645970477,-0.09800224757909375,-0.17170089730410903,-0.1948474542764118,-0.18244499075957044,-0.1039437409492057,-0.191652195422808,0.31212585965990036,-0.022190280197502295,0.11391571665291064,0.21957680067790553,0.5352382514099915,-0.1961306894383432,-0.18777785181112938,0.14548069938247524,0.12628562987290695,0.12543422239081925,0.06314329784742517,-0.16279537414431747,-0.19318264534028837,-0.19750081426744703,0.258096552989838,-0.18231697544579337,0.18111867287773992,-0.07759959410368282,-0.1976355708522348,-0.10565560827041695,-0.001713592785389993,-0.1763568783528817,0.08686285516829642,-0.14853420635001102,-0.029585286940272633,-0.18801969457775425,-0.19722240881434833,-0.19589586860428124,0.255061242937909,-0.19743506082174977,-0.19527707173252407,-0.07949103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k{147}	=[0.7974430790752444;1.0139388187606573;0.858919857385283];
x_a_linear{147}	=[4.1594425855459285,6.234820022119477,17.99097590382494];
L_a{147}	=[0.11178113774069347,0.10533240835498395,-0.14621755234201464,-0.010845079389776384,-0.12265344472160669,0.09490873015686488,0.039667504998196226,-0.0930357329918911,0.08976795820350283,0.007375020218927101,0.07907562576953069,0.12748932416019823,0.09566330391247892,0.011903018773243281,0.11804174339181217,-0.16012691483941532,-0.037132562079605656,-0.09897822709071949,-0.13421603147627242,-0.20792476940821764,0.16270194629294638,0.10683430951113876,-0.11017908799506904,-0.10294660528565715,-0.1028497260033237,-0.07788526970049493,0.06783276248933433,0.12392696428563046,0.1646207231195491,-0.1453084471761637,0.0964143511309515,-0.1221451094884936,-0.00719679454775717,0.14714815018233582,0.012819190997406167,-0.049839385875980406,0.08868906430333806,-0.08832083394776807,0.05047714435686956,-0.03481269977852324,0.10910002192949271,0.15688110769344185,0.125710511564523,-0.14436081634573222,0.16166151287564834,0.13153936612747927,-0.0032160860824070325,0.11672650439093697,-0.08433573598213101,0.07247174750317426,0.13343260906533588,0.11738502881528126,-0.0894587325052126,-0.14137446621520847,-0.15659212463182273,-0.1177407498388047,0.12380315067174531,-0.08925849773517663,-0.10799283157517825,-0.15358124984774954,0.06562125645915325,-0.1284993396962927,-0.26308148473894166,0.09618935772990297,0.13633273191900447,0.06715037587506181,0.09673656011631085,0.11753733005526489,0.15199315347724152,-0.11886980048822585,-0.09356049156292527,-0.1453132581311565,-0.135219188757219,0.09458789465379182,0.01949534170947842,-0.1428356941242034,0.11722036077611114,-0.12978184834739234,-0.14163664977964566,0.13010360129931087,-0.131852213023188,0.05350311907161298,-0.14985145400488092,-0.10582056151044418,0.09238922084956358,-0.17315655481258496,-0.004987221497721789,0.01902908444563092,0.16068581276653482,-0.12373960800265237,0.1608936678811556,0.09568962677439563,-0.12124839440014604,-0.023069188851270222,0.1471990547715513,-0.1048205190177272,-0.12415575829171926,0.1001703126540047,0.12003917953324782,0.10827580813118529;0.13355499170370255,0.12788144000594018,-0.17918330411377015,0.017476789761558045,-0.1360169299006623,0.11852394680346487,0.06867360362339373,-0.08831855957492464,0.11482342041108581,0.036881899541964955,0.10515884570824743,0.14662713387041154,0.11968367433394879,0.04168702888683593,0.1391054623414558,-0.2087527646767455,-0.013266686085823725,-0.0970425626232669,-0.15591482643598842,-0.332854942087357,0.17581332849353923,0.12919001759822096,-0.11527642907265713,-0.10270415321437983,-0.10321387346143111,-0.06732365395924828,0.09507799789949686,0.14334109532435632,0.1775399894816027,-0.17682963278573746,0.1199011766500628,-0.1348016036472766,0.02019806779952486,0.1625809249318424,0.042718171148189175,-0.02882602769049767,0.1136333587666003,-0.08053693632269675,0.0787064366241499,-0.010207031239802341,0.13095020586099948,0.17080152173022786,0.14489252551667473,-0.17542291013038186,0.17491383030059812,0.1503811984733781,0.025174143786039983,0.1364986979713277,-0.07500394068017095,0.09839515014053903,0.15164573899555397,0.1381418278643664,-0.08270490008996384,-0.16957946001685503,-0.19985376469532956,-0.20163764711901988,0.14258372134199593,-0.0823369034258665,-0.10989036546924791,-0.1946676183344706,0.09273903753258181,-0.1460054739988205,-0.7195937360355287,0.11984926331424126,0.15364653952891938,0.09461927746441748,0.12055912327612718,0.13837692848688535,0.16730120741243076,-0.12873951558906896,-0.08888209512348275,-0.17766767006028072,-0.15802956117738684,0.11885719007792286,0.048536672826808916,-0.1719948513622913,0.13805354692648963,-0.14814881342168387,-0.17027546182538197,0.1484060256887028,-0.15168484334369456,0.08177179834652157,-0.18640344590230598,-0.10736721890788965,0.11741873717022257,-0.3426115468082882,0.023700253529260897,0.048504368730726936,0.1749127736281486,-0.13774903924889775,0.1746876832837483,0.1193612214390774,-0.134116064439814,0.002894543654750116,0.16289826144539896,-0.10592124933383316,-0.13807645848590017,0.12354774406144027,0.14121700028367257,0.13041791011832388;0.13704220167153713,0.12207841939310027,-0.16646970213425402,-0.10226602206351883,-0.1746401750305593,0.09572268052784892,-0.018195177944547777,-0.17349096784017934,0.08398015657005725,-0.07644549059424631,0.05943257725421839,0.1777964568590183,0.09717330635595176,-0.06915190642346729,0.1533769842714594,-0.1559158388656188,-0.13072660867027738,-0.1753919089329765,-0.1727288863735649,-0.072513807867143,0.27943767689611976,0.12449264771445176,-0.1765663939429696,-0.17462133535312147,-0.17518957030359103,-0.16451083485909404,0.035475862162367665,0.16904869419139879,0.2836760256076144,-0.16663162274902601,0.09949658919336399,-0.1759044082758097,-0.0986354077734176,0.23246995022957068,-0.0681858553924196,-0.14739123131515394,0.0828761202894899,-0.17129382747034488,-9.924367155931364E-4,-0.13134079225890924,0.13087335113077292,0.26133198340035396,0.1715486763316979,-0.16689706276445873,0.27509217888935145,0.1892048775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x_a{147}	=[4.1594425855459285,6.234820022119476,17.990975903824932];
std_x_a{147}	=[1.1523896583559485,1.5360450682227755,1.6426527888489637];
pred_a{147}	=[4.1594425855459285];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.7 to 14.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{148}	=[7.041905414321241,10.811742807829564,18.171942761743846];
std_x_f{148}	=[1.523441938892897,1.9150865655936316,2.6700981176344976];
pred_f{148}	=[7.041905414321241];
obs{148}	=[7.4804100439849];
sqrt_r{148}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{148}	=[3.338472363003376];
L_f{148}	=[0.13265376672235024,0.12876202963777642,-0.18458337181777276,0.030784780605533187,-0.13701121008871694,0.12193662880781353,0.07988808612903146,-0.08318859164638412,0.11977703852291745,0.05011441211998233,0.11248497678841773,0.1405602387815759,0.12280316574715133,0.05552128118206696,0.13610525946646895,-0.21659493382779452,-0.0017221308552392417,-0.09371201482645868,-0.15952814184312283,-0.3470693638587194,0.15447999123499756,0.12987959370765878,-0.11423606935852605,-0.10030449598379795,-0.1008958255590369,-0.060355447315226414,0.1036569573953772,0.13836183359495677,0.15553080361655,-0.1826188315931547,0.12325709409013907,-0.13571806774469405,0.034660650920829976,0.14854087750883443,0.0568073367526715,-0.018058027972090065,0.11826806818089011,-0.07536332685794968,0.09082348297858377,0.0019094809422312805,0.13029006451016253,0.1523063867678499,0.13991853278411112,-0.18120904036903424,0.15395449751400697,0.14269137523734218,0.038880365664466975,0.13451444857565423,-0.06954435425383712,0.10727561268268317,0.1432404328450269,0.13523449051331765,-0.07828035510814838,-0.174288821259371,-0.20738771593523914,-0.22335511155737928,0.13835347759395264,-0.0778116282993111,-0.10834351926338102,-0.20101759861716784,0.1023778120765738,-0.14809590325099137,-0.6843959168139887,0.12316153338819236,0.14479904580868938,0.10438798871170761,0.1240750937543102,0.1359531156042029,0.15158601478435046,-0.12971837083008034,-0.08479699422533175,-0.18259549130914773,-0.16159618622488248,0.1224331448703373,0.06205131704507294,-0.1771825098636673,0.13543120535322406,-0.15085439088201846,-0.17508948664669333,0.14121218759736817,-0.15419116661246587,0.09271262524732743,-0.19270749778503485,-0.10548951215916827,0.12119887146426671,-0.3577758140792687,0.03759254590027725,0.06117927941460131,0.15485481611453575,-0.13973095584731324,0.15394143559218124,0.12335687582744961,-0.1343824648698747,0.015597084746268579,0.1494281872992525,-0.10360207645602186,-0.13944606164969678,0.12527626328871394,0.13679937988566573,0.13021545141924515;0.13747213993408894,0.13855084048068372,-0.21112091185477566,0.09090793209007826,-0.13384220494680255,0.1398151240874669,0.12974601072887657,-0.05332374270465525,0.14157600568797002,0.11010521830399034,0.14185695670670403,0.13085227075804248,0.14083632279471306,0.11388291979154816,0.13529080910616975,-0.2644130951024275,0.05489076582406736,-0.06762070574587085,-0.1699381223445945,-0.4930114203623205,0.10615897624003952,0.1389195290003839,-0.09793197691869744,-0.07794172608209252,-0.07819435239779282,-0.020738118464837512,0.139968313882218,0.1315612442812449,0.10587117887241655,-0.20771709567662625,0.14036577450515764,-0.13188507282503412,0.09550693874577049,0.1183302329944158,0.11502297018966282,0.036881282709214425,0.14073884650937962,-0.04119809222591012,0.1362836071709035,0.05994051666744034,0.136632069392181,0.11134069444385873,0.1318772688623678,-0.20417305072355788,0.10718676043548649,0.12850599751305117,0.09779538962929932,0.13398609643212467,-0.03253770254848087,0.14108260178212015,0.12698246137610011,0.13475176086843837,-0.04524173028791871,-0.19343308496791786,-0.2480023898375096,-0.34015753873071713,0.13247799009561248,-0.0445564368159684,-0.08973042107590594,-0.23816368694172327,0.14014489795865118,-0.15151574601376916,-1.1199848509921888,0.14059425106741202,0.12625769444040238,0.14141052060126166,0.140008189315158,0.1355661644545124,0.1156548760735926,-0.12192857283343177,-0.05515002902595079,-0.20707661320855023,-0.1733666833059986,0.1408728808887075,0.1187782589966293,-0.19855999032874685,0.13469726893775918,-0.15554210775039332,-0.19450445504496303,0.12951685434491073,-0.1613369003058,0.13749339656558715,-0.22393352973258113,-0.08539610076100226,0.14241297416768828,-0.5575241251162144,0.09790744757797623,0.11875217706926322,0.11052272016239115,-0.13738703491980486,0.10776531243411935,0.14061657618146178,-0.13016709478965469,0.07450999967108413,0.11963932944396038,-0.08262918563733733,-0.13791153603594458,0.13942768462058783,0.1341790736831748,0.1381068678348723;0.2622672265074806,0.2451629579403026,-0.34285151252947776,-0.0642519984203371,-0.3058899536608835,0.21480798030334225,0.06642651833619867,-0.25167051522545925,0.20183237749667193,-0.018894064288683857,0.17187140134568385,0.3075158354127807,0.21715901702463167,-0.007121866200640601,0.27995229341840105,-0.3620792138277699,-0.1271264769527094,-0.2634899852181561,-0.3254695857914596,-0.3898638096445103,0.4091996570400585,0.2489290573101627,-0.2848248062956418,-0.2693432206038293,-0.2708409945808024,-0.21972233917665535,0.14079212513116976,0.2971462006119406,0.4146249853456092,-0.3413534986639046,0.21860005837517704,-0.30525858863946237,-0.057212147787034845,0.3630765905593284,-0.004813857852792255,-0.15890079276896288,0.1986514144839511,-0.24131229460217185,0.09395867472237347,-0.12278592192563971,0.25499477371104395,0.39164478663750746,0.3007684226755213,-0.3401125238265411,0.4056369781205209,0.31926745222182745,-0.044013225049399834,0.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k{148}	=[0.700461800708042;0.8477705628449836;1.0446526968038583];
x_a_linear{148}	=[7.349061156834261,11.183494124529656,18.630027805682964];
L_a{148}	=[-0.11466077747006137,-0.11129691068473314,0.15954671656606131,-0.026609171874204984,0.11842718272574557,-0.10539729859647116,-0.06905216709995353,0.07190499622056158,-0.1035306324082334,-0.04331695660146,-0.09722765671069897,-0.1214948256524521,-0.10614629956060485,-0.04799044477790243,-0.11764411410083532,0.1872162707656238,0.00148854320269865,0.0810010355814291,0.13788994631695461,0.29999331401854196,-0.1335265204767741,-0.11226288977670419,0.09874123329786734,0.08669932092706384,0.0872104433061205,0.05216891072683886,-0.08959705871007484,-0.1195946093667013,-0.13443480199505264,0.15784864409445654,-0.10653865763688634,0.11730944057481638,-0.029959324038788586,-0.12839298062976512,-0.0491020613964027,0.015608659882155698,-0.10222633689615611,0.06514114045739305,-0.07850430054247913,-0.001650481360689623,-0.1126176848383654,-0.13164774097225213,-0.12094015984540783,0.1566300751700893,-0.13307230405990786,-0.12333689745297914,-0.033606682008049886,-0.11626907878856682,0.06011144594249073,-0.09272488416796107,-0.12381148158073137,-0.11689145514789279,0.06766250668267319,0.15064850583374365,0.17925790827067628,0.1930595065324028,-0.11958738676311195,0.06725735738574556,0.09364794124981896,0.173751825614205,-0.08849141504555554,0.12800836211783695,0.591565319690284,-0.10645605866776894,-0.12515868625199034,-0.09022893386263534,-0.1072457048605088,-0.11751260683974697,-0.13102507933409027,0.11212353496646536,0.07329523710661941,0.15782846965707184,0.1396774837726491,-0.10582646784783897,-0.053634754830000624,0.15314969817319168,-0.1170614878355494,0.13039269197314443,0.1513405699799199,-0.12205834495489193,0.1332768716609865,-0.08013720194164604,0.16656889635550298,0.091181048061938,-0.10475960972652489,0.3092475548634481,-0.03249354048895262,-0.05288099928152593,-0.13385050458340642,0.12077802560723147,-0.133061013840649,-0.1066249051054659,0.11615499718582047,-0.013481515885008597,-0.1291599368417141,0.08954962175196757,0.12053177409849167,-0.10828394927746797,-0.11824408490369633,-0.11255319217279375;-0.16185323386619,-0.15199305891178402,0.20538054250884025,0.021443896580272535,0.17531548192439902,-0.1353276622778686,-0.05051672762827202,0.1343863910195561,-0.1286937930098914,-0.0029749867382957325,-0.11195873625119561,-0.18631358931747855,-0.13626175289023854,-0.011397565296196836,-0.17182265380253736,0.2243205544059812,0.05877665217855278,0.1438349095795324,0.19002768841750112,0.29013005868120606,-0.24241598143802817,-0.15414608757530598,0.15983495278925713,0.14838943281398084,0.14947110668832378,0.1154503764033552,-0.09392747578135034,-0.18064404459823458,-0.24507487475470535,0.20435148993694335,-0.13775656362103872,0.1743547148785415,0.017297231253985974,-0.21684346605337845,-0.013159423180904269,0.07762815410529887,-0.1261260499166435,0.1288547946235342,-0.06865420699089717,0.055631885929542005,-0.15735975025658655,-0.23232965339388137,-0.18384061960777043,0.20471442442804158,-0.24020245176130575,-0.1934686458484866,0.010064145552629765,-0.16953779584995027,0.12438501700232076,-0.10097846937544698,-0.19623109798246402,-0.17039686343194463,0.13139325817047748,0.19983932532001053,0.2199557174044056,0.16383005173889734,-0.17970844396213215,0.1310208973388066,0.1547403180794058,0.21542062757273614,-0.09086457599631717,0.18265389495598247,0.42431403089713,-0.13731245999038214,-0.20047278282773545,-0.09413479796319568,-0.13995991664180776,-0.17120399483327683,-0.2263899950169436,0.1707732538606089,0.136189369928041,0.20493930643549882,0.19126554721107783,-0.13539026458654937,-0.021236865550804524,0.201241857038458,-0.17089523075675636,0.1848518973040121,0.2005746093039152,-0.18912008964935112,0.18658634170494726,-0.0717071553210844,0.21089953406841383,0.15263474027151322,-0.13106510641440922,0.2497758252132997,0.013082092582543703,-0.01929524617455694,-0.23889800767320435,0.17790759729375888,-0.23959442630911276,-0.1377309135296226,0.1730589840714817,0.03931610101878997,-0.217536531632519,0.151142768434578,0.17674024928150708,-0.14325078930229834,-0.17450063087152623,-0.15571659179004466;-0.10657202395309562,-0.11285545098120352,0.1703762245407453,-0.14984802546647344,0.07506501868898532,-0.12423263561296247,-0.15569956625689996,-0.020367488196121386,-0.13120357167202226,-0.15823546906232164,-0.140889220171783,-0.08330708954243757,-0.12429097514308958,-0.16149688503193174,-0.0984837142859812,0.24015557392471243,-0.12233815115136966,-0.002926940822389323,0.11809294332948816,0.5751506576145695,-0.020326662386142308,-0.11219670019300376,0.03280466807843185,0.009549991632838734,0.00969638926663385,-0.05190608714700125,-0.1474224911243759,-0.08756413409215844,-0.017823081881373704,0.16641190166420178,-0.12411206598771096,0.0721008457570327,-0.15358489936424766,-0.049936226768261135,-0.16276471010693114,-0.1086910650952469,-0.1301888943823791,-0.03176714803515615,-0.15857290590100298,-0.12809516822073672,-0.10727228378587497,-0.031837900087794815,-0.08827026075403901,0.1637330003362779,-0.02242822403052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x_a{148}	=[7.349061156834258,11.183494124529657,18.630027805682964];
std_x_a{148}	=[1.3168041998352582,1.671534480472825,2.4231306295940196];
pred_a{148}	=[7.349061156834258];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.8 to 14.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{149}	=[11.515475043741072,15.206385512854867,25.975580293483667];
std_x_f{149}	=[1.12933064335861,1.7061186363322431,3.3573644932973967];
pred_f{149}	=[11.515475043741072];
obs{149}	=[12.201816405123349];
sqrt_r{149}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{149}	=[2.2865151519704945];
L_f{149}	=[-0.10548672874689495,-0.09662912812121259,0.12888976829889015,0.05219504543298276,0.12817141364782986,-0.0810353207292248,-0.00623946177296383,0.11843406850165811,-0.07518895585338431,0.033609794873053614,-0.05914070260788278,-0.12932791283750725,-0.08209087621406987,0.02721003456025613,-0.11533209607638353,0.12495192852269241,0.07747916432390808,0.12115823630983157,0.1295063408584887,0.0826639821065832,-0.18351571161184163,-0.09902720691256311,0.12547005334076486,0.12229043714594472,0.12293451835418605,0.10867737475538888,-0.0438335365190157,-0.12417372524176956,-0.18622310914867188,0.12839597204878458,-0.08288854609323346,0.1282499017094683,0.049216009485607976,-0.1587377437414515,0.026198130950838974,0.08980017604942095,-0.07291888083270788,0.11595923252581831,-0.020483928916624584,0.07682783632506968,-0.10202538078084504,-0.17456077399351283,-0.12638316517363143,0.12877823837263924,-0.18173903530483573,-0.13619815150903683,0.043314291821876356,-0.11271294077925968,0.11359554057447215,-0.04991630081430919,-0.13837740474857863,-0.11417955431522105,0.11661547631965125,0.129664017379914,0.1276379248776672,0.019505337727925218,-0.1232467289520702,0.11587252275435554,0.12432874010019011,0.12792340955549075,-0.040599253820817666,0.12967484870593796,-0.2221401907984976,-0.0828819307291911,-0.14229497633662708,-0.04264414239351638,-0.08445183004380225,-0.11492047344627666,-0.1675652801701772,0.12770478393782927,0.11813617875264065,0.1294100887364502,0.12950820308090136,-0.08133959252112595,0.01807016537177248,0.12847150601071972,-0.11404348901712301,0.12980799034671373,0.13037769816763312,-0.13249867918174957,0.12893472735176117,-0.024257971426412492,0.12867989854616205,0.12423211898245559,-0.07729802620020731,-0.009162735367733535,0.04601056014183491,0.019917468917806984,-0.18010032535710024,0.12915610474408773,-0.18087249228636154,-0.08278613625150012,0.12812633739817503,0.06487700556592067,-0.1589861420920746,0.1231969312158421,0.12848558439014185,-0.08908216100782168,-0.11833553998216842,-0.10042874319744893;-0.006376441401565763,0.005500909794253964,-0.032061205355134036,0.14846040965564772,0.0384248632232773,0.025796560537911208,0.10881679557471631,0.10172571597568042,0.03484481472941439,0.14063797654196447,0.05425776396711906,-0.040894188160869066,0.025034872366331305,0.13743968561856043,-0.01921683344884767,-0.08530342681926796,0.14788410775795122,0.09067475631667347,0.007131847426213375,-0.352184659681142,-0.12632887986994598,0.003308428434840693,0.06761567216841674,0.08250878773212218,0.08245977630509697,0.11946165994195093,0.07217601967601711,-0.033697104909855446,-0.13011747855100778,-0.028246289857502358,0.024208262498337584,0.04032168249077283,0.14848694198963341,-0.08659201052861323,0.1377420382331802,0.14609607914158604,0.03681221270666964,0.10861618103148464,0.09846343773190368,0.15043410665524745,-0.0020494009691928885,-0.11127535401490184,-0.036168700686249,-0.026007546847422947,-0.12438342430101514,-0.05053307633107564,0.1431651679116415,-0.016428482631279533,0.11247117396587196,0.0663287924843088,-0.05488105813519363,-0.019005096520331364,0.10495684425374914,-0.014365851072160332,-0.06783360761870107,-0.2910249460256445,-0.03216016403741131,0.10444068550420836,0.07431926077816774,-0.057698791251042034,0.07637445671024355,0.02339213860477188,-1.340421842146647,0.024388770022984296,-0.060018413286155016,0.07498198464256238,0.023141569576770507,-0.018767960421843536,-0.0986880387995178,0.047468603494958427,0.09899849942359884,-0.027474304181195904,0.0038720625195646434,0.026290710761792225,0.13154200221768464,-0.020359764505310154,-0.018825117016498884,0.020860836307108693,-0.01556335199166848,-0.04580039794866717,0.014247746498868452,0.09411387774878541,-0.044331778139090616,0.07830924810264991,0.03176369048584024,-0.5346662326702897,0.1469269076513848,0.13097008000883825,-0.11921236633283656,0.03527539549001661,-0.12187560182450348,0.025177286460479065,0.0421856023045914,0.14951790732010858,-0.08613195542904825,0.07892700129990539,0.035297525677109864,0.015849241806318207,-0.024451164723403772,5.248721842438897E-4;-0.31711689582666586,-0.3048025366257778,0.42705643001873833,-0.031801524316380086,0.3406295864588068,-0.284865634336159,-0.1623236163222959,0.2318868726823625,-0.2786904864852672,-0.08038754683450114,-0.25574966688258777,-0.34073364272277706,-0.2860261007774516,-0.09640803712789964,-0.3271094797203581,0.48108632018820896,0.04841446045739741,0.2546920365792469,0.3818453638640153,0.6771397005025853,-0.3856207829029461,-0.3079978944059555,0.2966406080202485,0.26781437781848905,0.2698785456217395,0.1829452249187145,-0.2306740950741208,-0.3349497714476555,-0.38776261358649705,0.42318563329253234,-0.2883939212234155,0.33793740216132506,-0.041628300118673,-0.36586953878435285,-0.09973716124112121,0.08888619615313396,-0.2739544796349801,0.21630340612990223,-0.19340817562722631,0.04132287827093512,-0.30969513463652854,-0.377579289470855,-0.3386743589035516,0.42262860058152557,-0.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k{149}	=[0.562653237115787;0.3029266149474247;1.3119114749482788];
x_a_linear{149}	=[11.901647232489266,15.414296578156808,26.8759994012127];
L_a{149}	=[0.19707159320821951,0.1805237156880671,-0.2407934371331822,-0.09751142047199064,-0.2394513982126973,0.15139117452931208,0.011656638583514279,-0.2212599712496077,0.14046892436338884,-0.0627902287019122,0.1104873819184768,0.24161198410403353,0.15336317616012587,-0.0508341184312082,0.2154648285316683,-0.23343671683563674,-0.14474751976042716,-0.22634929477400498,-0.2419453255090187,-0.15443385957837485,0.34284629067284733,0.18500383573410634,-0.23440468394004127,-0.2284644861848588,-0.22966776655359747,-0.20303239699583173,0.08189034753821918,0.2319828679749017,0.34790428377178334,-0.23987092095617563,0.15485339275711751,-0.23959803056672563,-0.0919459491814518,0.29655578889421874,-0.04894366776646643,-0.16776578413859358,0.13622794252291198,-0.21663645249533858,0.03826832583318637,-0.14353070084911,0.19060506072189873,0.3261165669958654,0.23611057060292243,-0.24058507556469158,0.339527082326961,0.2544470477826851,-0.08092028826208324,0.21057169066119344,-0.21222057436319067,0.09325424198279732,0.2585183552639432,0.2133116359565501,-0.21786245515481978,-0.24223989870943885,-0.23845472798561204,-0.03644010983912284,0.23025104220042455,-0.2164744602427406,-0.23227246862403353,-0.23898807394262062,0.07584802115468892,-0.2422601339248205,0.4150050137707614,0.15484103385332987,0.26583721028518875,0.07966830692657925,0.15777393890007954,0.2146958301137691,0.31304750011494215,-0.23857963489724987,-0.22070344998729685,-0.24176550612069275,-0.24194880453564266,0.15195961880197628,-0.03375890333935511,-0.24001203442510868,0.2130574371071303,-0.24250887076197267,-0.24357320586142547,0.24753564846042955,-0.2408774301840968,0.04531903807988061,-0.2404013559014705,-0.23209195987344733,0.1444091153084877,0.01711793396681382,-0.08595748962232275,-0.037210058354596134,0.3364656244161626,-0.24129101012845855,0.3379081960911018,0.15466206944175492,-0.2393671862133221,-0.12120401306719678,0.29701984972243,-0.2301580094622477,-0.24003833582525133,0.16642437968064583,0.22107589906779934,0.1876222029152926;0.15651779300088367,0.15471710062000793,-0.23109477458954558,0.06786001502394755,-0.15949941167331605,0.15093255334527703,0.11845186873191868,-0.0811620002794573,0.15095276067438823,0.08873721263254622,0.1455837495937002,0.15881597063152353,0.15180087024273023,0.09542153034528311,0.15888076911753438,-0.27825612310252074,0.028239586550291282,-0.09641966190721117,-0.19285384266968061,-0.479835656520932,0.15705891401603667,0.1562277695373555,-0.1261371204546071,-0.10633399249501498,-0.1073776040632694,-0.04835961926487243,0.13986444320793903,0.1580538778577612,0.15745112039191464,-0.22651733130223653,0.15220603451178452,-0.15772379488183097,0.07248682064036108,0.15853326299824314,0.09728648012926443,0.007425261489501433,0.14941467377291073,-0.07044985531808577,0.13009503687300403,0.03179537619468884,0.15549976648855066,0.1582840870082349,0.1589941333202319,-0.2248688898485884,0.15626079861401498,0.15978621103943502,0.07627857005402702,0.1576245799064716,-0.06294481279592833,0.14341031451025954,0.15880346571805978,0.1573127332724354,-0.07512257388941408,-0.21459502768570382,-0.26493406092360944,-0.3211453895515331,0.1581593367542433,-0.0744914522781636,-0.11767109832601229,-0.25524009440104617,0.1390684509881488,-0.1768537639095666,-0.9973895314475598,0.15237632648918906,0.1597156850693389,0.14083372741115557,0.15355338879128846,0.15869400812696552,0.1600688527071438,-0.14973509460242154,-0.08342921088407086,-0.2273113602648752,-0.196116503248917,0.15189656476573518,0.10363777399175082,-0.21874744665970453,0.15728259864318492,-0.1795906655835579,-0.21689460549113132,0.1588061071637795,-0.1848552491987953,0.13157341157453473,-0.2430412632626293,-0.11353190718046662,0.15112849540755752,-0.520516995316078,0.07587669064527006,0.10021321713952473,0.15890133539232373,-0.16416945459317422,0.15743049198890485,0.15301691561593228,-0.15566906515166867,0.049333834143081845,0.15937689866412388,-0.11131560105898641,-0.1631118965280462,0.15341128955075542,0.15828440227144572,0.15560848724639134;0.3883437826699328,0.34142141113250735,-0.43491610885460175,-0.3808648861508568,-0.5165388318814746,0.25707203898951136,-0.12059614038198044,-0.560161371820164,0.22414861414747989,-0.3051588424935656,0.13976397435117358,0.5241690632641347,0.26297078177174404,-0.2783798327350244,0.4441937895818977,-0.3545512365188638,-0.4697408040256006,-0.5555745496343374,-0.48425061026420246,0.12431007352586139,0.8416721663277557,0.3542636185639034,-0.5424619977033728,-0.5500239966145902,-0.5522672328949669,-0.5438534486482909,0.06247023484255172,0.49548341669960183,0.8576365232753995,-0.43548455805541986,0.26593751611628175,-0.5197559186181065,-0.370768845636196,0.695716479979735,-0.2749416770647821,-0.5116679576963206,0.21370310306324955,-0.5591939462611348,-0.05641837071564485,-0.4724765179673771,0.37261718279465644,0.7898259711077619,0.5065348395716841,-0.43859806268850077,0.8321165009102687,0.562578592679992,-0.3427917690317167,0.4300894299734921,-0.55513224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x_a{149}	=[11.90164723248926,15.414296578156817,26.875999401212717];
std_x_a{149}	=[2.1098292817436124,1.9532074006061786,5.351531976589847];
pred_a{149}	=[11.90164723248926];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.9 to 15.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{150}	=[12.177298884117931,9.010915276060485,34.81913850566446];
std_x_f{150}	=[1.524715270516884,4.799539164393004,2.692791555180877];
pred_f{150}	=[12.177298884117931];
obs{150}	=[12.750288195487153];
sqrt_r{150}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{150}	=[3.3261293817041278];
L_f{150}	=[-0.03705031115596385,-0.02284826957581141,0.00871372999173379,0.14850605608484094,0.06485909673048137,0.0017460074598750319,0.10047524722850269,0.11663684069978753,0.011407803478819227,0.13832649608528697,0.03521607468767894,-0.0794132404067032,1.4394485685592187E-4,0.1341867299825422,-0.054170065760359105,-0.03468692609525801,0.151734978066455,0.1078257334526354,0.0398187452822788,-0.24380329742730142,-0.18430233925682743,-0.02656072882674052,0.0886536262410382,0.10152315871588043,0.10133605059245566,0.13035320221571575,0.05589077921665794,-0.07110520402367443,-0.18922056337651616,0.010928303528225984,-4.2143119377680504E-4,0.06665720689937338,0.14832698081326734,-0.13498308666914074,0.1337409895879802,0.15156488159177983,0.014523055605486319,0.12276608963978407,0.08665417677543302,0.15438583666646233,-0.032724588118864785,-0.16640980930218108,-0.07387601332904963,0.01221762863032435,-0.1811282744644501,-0.09175529545866494,0.14273426150344942,-0.05004096689217215,0.12531070021731264,0.04847994769396545,-0.0962598372680717,-0.05288966751584444,0.11981895953392961,0.02251342129480947,-0.02035658441773442,-0.2157667699731383,-0.06844423381568554,0.11911776475792651,0.09436459772007934,-0.012160905548015726,0.06099206500113841,0.05340140551008817,-1.0979004535039367,-4.764583170994541E-4,-0.10254106688776501,0.059400152437495024,-0.0024722209370217877,-0.0533322226957638,-0.150794141791021,0.07262942166192494,0.11430665374366498,0.011931181358342612,0.037244358851333634,0.0016205430770431667,0.12603767264094537,0.01751942210504028,-0.05237870899917155,0.05070732957605957,0.021901028590247222,-0.0858084973188989,0.045331375669767554,0.08192453021981556,-0.0015789507260495581,0.09830669139101175,0.007736333357050948,-0.4092713455751674,0.1459656599054416,0.126833261498834,-0.1762103851532241,0.06248695030012309,-0.17829885120355177,-2.9261941184769986E-4,0.06843653434062538,0.15096816650329334,-0.13522939999863978,0.09818032293925202,0.06242824733731877,-0.011011566418903516,-0.060153039953069296,-0.029620072781916768;-0.37832674784967674,-0.33605401695209736,0.41231772961767765,0.3397531868036332,0.48488632442739715,-0.2591197319959195,0.09124342011099779,0.5207805651686491,-0.23015170281809127,0.2657595089296073,-0.1524469554185068,-0.49859001970214695,-0.26411366849809037,0.23991889471175906,-0.42772544983002553,0.3414802027361796,0.42842728383185447,0.5183342805423797,0.4561222364058337,-0.07542158272736577,-0.7760777312615688,-0.3469956798085214,0.5070360034799976,0.5134539582993394,0.5155860199932178,0.5054445060082862,-0.08115883655735004,-0.47292472379128553,-0.7898891753158155,0.4135384376143385,-0.26743168037122017,0.48746604565954227,0.3292582118794261,-0.6491145389972903,0.23619805533269017,0.46890048790617195,-0.21966011561925997,0.519757636948898,0.02934473137798765,0.42930216082820444,-0.36289034813937204,-0.7310694123045886,-0.4832364655974062,0.4163679433205384,-0.7673718842996696,-0.5325374947146567,0.3032940547822017,-0.4150208380742946,0.515768600263559,-0.10827082853839035,-0.5445590308604107,-0.4232334440230157,0.5187274831347587,0.433258762093937,0.3689811232840203,-0.2229385438602637,-0.46756325449570274,0.5147996983797344,0.511332960738889,0.38137788125109817,-0.06476216000273301,0.47507619833921483,-1.9836007904108477,-0.2682468017116917,-0.5631893328026734,-0.0725799278742473,-0.27473937181324687,-0.42611124581829907,-0.692327682968337,0.49405454353870726,0.5167895219347501,0.4186917971949101,0.4525570843476744,-0.2604892120274174,0.19860777222599837,0.4219679073541372,-0.4212963507395148,0.47116416092884517,0.43472084028337743,-0.5156261081056911,0.4618938188649542,0.010350536754888838,0.3980835740989432,0.5154421155212618,-0.24062278678789228,-0.5634181498957727,0.3157257314736011,0.20721403894097146,-0.7577364573303187,0.4856139659490105,-0.7623906054386478,-0.266957779524516,0.4887984311773138,0.3854594120266877,-0.6495721444330449,0.5128397499351374,0.48280310754855116,-0.2995378384450321,-0.44415395475718283,-0.35482010099259265;0.25456380043069743,0.24904498527949664,-0.39577787444071005,0.033927811924188964,-0.3268170023110801,0.23620654629096938,0.14972269605398084,-0.2281079793007879,0.23205753209176283,0.07801364598085833,0.21776482824874327,0.2692883030656454,0.23720852353607527,0.09233294499847743,0.2610141522448351,-0.42871595774628896,-0.04335651247550411,-0.24896099803437077,-0.3616821718937175,-0.47631274850589067,0.29402519683224276,0.25088000789519843,-0.28781840631995426,-0.26148273571797187,-0.2636989562044441,-0.17544364728423664,0.20074511862304895,0.26618843683864607,0.2961867521221399,-0.38996353758544283,0.2377714843043397,-0.3246872575409404,0.042784047052532664,0.2835409899725896,0.09519153735737003,-0.08434059544354111,0.22948788326897973,-0.21228513827775053,0.17314333488930683,-0.038717832855555315,0.25216417784901024,0.29203074238561516,0.2684986869042555,-0.3890420257529982,0.293483910376815,0.2735709666557711,0.05386194777414538,0.259777979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k{150}	=[0.6993502401017082;1.7467500004365693;-0.34286368659062244];
x_a_linear{150}	=[12.578019096599709,10.011784355944823,34.62268127799139];
L_a{150}	=[0.03217354464601172,0.019840854188430505,-0.0075667807415218625,-0.12895886907766654,-0.05632198433027873,-0.001516188318259602,-0.08725014046217931,-0.10128445577225154,-0.009906245402196498,-0.12011919896683465,-0.03058074050854358,0.06896043126208024,-1.249980400737915E-4,-0.1165243317342752,0.047039902630825046,0.03012124137529838,-0.13176278252110943,-0.09363311510729155,-0.03457758218803392,0.21171256137641228,0.16004344782646865,0.02306465905618157,-0.07698454649652127,-0.0881601200540455,-0.08799764013485395,-0.11319539405711167,-0.04853412628190794,0.06174594449664214,0.16431430813389775,-0.009489859882430398,3.6596009332092567E-4,-0.05788341731133401,-0.12880336468201622,0.11721586755708027,-0.1161372621513881,-0.1316150750835374,-0.012611450844574438,-0.10660693912704393,-0.07524827560858473,-0.13406472047673368,0.02841719715747026,0.1445060314495151,0.06415204458354311,-0.010609476896197536,0.15728717096614778,0.07967795688733838,-0.12394678996528607,0.04345429855251677,-0.10881661401150572,-0.04209874931960031,0.0835895860341141,0.04592803747236092,-0.10404772655689382,-0.019550080486879593,0.017677138387510265,0.18736635645606708,0.059435225878705325,-0.10343882690862058,-0.08194380837908874,0.01056022001915185,-0.052963952667121054,-0.04637241768648525,0.9533887342805653,4.137442428657047E-4,0.08904404553245283,-0.051581576424089615,0.0021468135681033725,0.046312341096142164,0.13094578431062665,-0.06306953619410618,-0.0992609808883085,-0.010360733395635967,-0.03234205071237526,-0.0014072382501878371,-0.1094478983111089,-0.015213419042449964,0.04548433413666598,-0.044032950900947505,-0.019018294291125767,0.07451390915113498,-0.03936460972856453,-0.07114117124510305,0.0013711205140643364,-0.08536702191666491,-0.006718034448124816,0.35540079147422765,-0.1267528538689844,-0.11013876737105806,0.1530166013978433,-0.05426207290975795,0.15483017201615845,2.541032293019098E-4,-0.05942853985106156,-0.13109690292947565,0.11742975976624925,-0.0852572867782088,-0.054211096755018263,0.00956216325174073,0.05223536472815506,0.025721315269270455;-0.20542801525649598,-0.2294304359793051,0.3716542959048572,-0.35326417468073196,0.18221530029933955,-0.267267638652892,-0.37763369213960507,-0.023516130364496984,-0.2833872817274583,-0.3797539863963806,-0.31678605245808505,-0.12800072668277096,-0.26478540059796246,-0.38627599599080736,-0.17493578566150375,0.5033499785169434,-0.2796581432326678,0.01515543876658296,0.2703043477577238,1.0623092436015629,0.08398632426889506,-0.22304756149007698,0.09332558813851304,0.03968666935697417,0.042691888559891894,-0.10286086982745768,-0.34197837055605257,-0.14110565742174672,0.09312623177884505,0.36254048994609833,-0.26546503239969554,0.17640397272340297,-0.3629234781482673,-0.019203375542643217,-0.3879167462456331,-0.23839116809483427,-0.28743330912899007,-0.0531417704214713,-0.3750350665489223,-0.2911537451317772,-0.21017800554748464,0.04549748340388852,-0.13848715917832735,0.35935323981143685,0.07788010184059406,-0.10435285068468679,-0.3627886889681872,-0.18149999888422536,-0.06900546969590064,-0.33450702604792387,-0.09535352235022311,-0.1764188776818563,-0.04041886672566201,0.32819778185484616,0.4639770230738071,0.783957212211545,-0.14816185378335067,-0.04107446065989916,0.07097176434335395,0.43812788120619567,-0.34938731989805727,0.2258735589194769,3.139854074117421,-0.266023364536948,-0.08467188043862421,-0.3497762793178833,-0.2632025222331703,-0.17723145445410335,0.011367243867578841,0.15512257340055127,-0.016633138837316572,0.3630138265966856,0.2787528100857383,-0.26805162744017763,-0.38955878235112656,0.3402118901111123,-0.17686621997215035,0.23453367812454157,0.3325176477163631,-0.11519275223696963,0.2503507263652699,-0.37195792439869063,0.40545189492658446,0.056684771341740256,-0.27672510794578425,1.346484755879466,-0.36543663430360895,-0.38466520524394515,0.06456573966066707,0.1940127843820025,0.06965761316185795,-0.2655922437472949,0.16943296078343945,-0.31904761735986936,-0.01851153685330194,0.054672115921800886,0.19147586883253906,-0.24815133673173692,-0.16344418350230563,-0.21659526877045315;0.22062608933928318,0.22811620094247764,-0.3877961857109408,0.16995786051182293,-0.26740672429146184,0.23780587150276686,0.24175700847649598,-0.12126981036823,0.2425069649459719,0.20471932034533552,0.2500223972471013,0.19654657632519656,0.23734037557220325,0.21524663539311473,0.21139491871561694,-0.4604888319743799,0.09563119605963756,-0.15019371441477442,-0.3252086030828091,-0.6996341083830548,0.12520611413033603,0.22655064835204075,-0.20661257941314645,-0.16848854694898613,-0.17087615658814181,-0.056041429634424024,0.25194050831206694,0.20105678757682588,0.12286262576340092,-0.3799533218466605,0.23738545758410307,-0.2636299287539069,0.1786500644987089,0.159897844890197,0.21769693404918972,0.05449130643748487,0.2427908556307703,-0.09983263917513481,0.25251768626491244,0.10269803540360534,0.2221887854025479,0.1396010365431661,0.20082900428289396,-0.37785080123310927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x_a{150}	=[12.57801909659971,10.011784355944835,34.62268127799139];
std_x_a{150}	=[1.3240238286240305,4.4235514515157375,2.6701604422184353];
pred_a{150}	=[12.57801909659971];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.0 to 15.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{151}	=[7.832763682693626,2.3517891072233614,32.26873653680403];
std_x_f{151}	=[2.016333887568173,2.905169791143205,2.810349409721153];
pred_f{151}	=[7.832763682693626];
obs{151}	=[7.203953415755171];
sqrt_r{151}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{151}	=[5.082081434401358];
L_f{151}	=[-0.1283709010857968,-0.14227222124848807,0.2768615904328433,-0.2041010321500266,0.16006505693109743,-0.16372197323180587,-0.22650342481247135,0.02527288836605725,-0.17333974756931958,-0.22313120944114356,-0.19308843614785454,-0.08476111673075912,-0.16237604459731944,-0.2286039434447853,-0.11062723627355316,0.3510628033230887,-0.15189777721105843,0.051088688326842234,0.21508248819565798,0.6050746288799093,0.030473690254964696,-0.13829180929207763,0.10298786161620406,0.06793163156494282,0.06990306675323792,-0.029156036557079816,-0.20748755349415593,-0.09186160327316291,0.035052664964000044,0.2708140603346218,-0.16282350129386083,0.15697147961971059,-0.21077591019684103,-0.024287579184597428,-0.23002784820487548,-0.1222027899426363,-0.17537998107371258,0.00607201231006526,-0.2263730999269983,-0.1593456654489515,-0.13143678778284446,0.01003074325221336,-0.08996164422431693,0.268713713662149,0.026900076790228707,-0.07146629828899122,-0.21171023197539915,-0.11479174821666673,-0.005774832217321773,-0.20316154189516208,-0.06584261093024311,-0.11171505516935638,0.013904663620190645,0.2509908423373321,0.3303873766359949,0.44158582575922195,-0.09610422464409075,0.013361969294006012,0.0886623239347242,0.3147862961944295,-0.21171303420395146,0.18824278170300215,0.6108525380646873,-0.16325539181819265,-0.06024348917012312,-0.21259106772875921,-0.16200448416566812,-0.11298472049350022,-0.008096164657631504,0.1430381162064205,0.02989584817104924,0.2713685715800349,0.22083653278995938,-0.16442802741542686,-0.2317088402342332,0.25867792883582275,-0.11206749876491738,0.19303038953855187,0.2538135645947597,-0.07721683336900591,0.20295536720975105,-0.22469126305895434,0.2961795884286517,0.07973665825338738,-0.16949451971400004,0.6442119219110929,-0.2128220276648843,-0.22846127074487846,0.020332563949679555,0.16782940495499776,0.022832866517516988,-0.1632290719169723,0.15261927312978812,-0.17983270500447915,-0.024117747139245756,0.07742422668753064,0.1657322527189335,-0.15280993049445699,-0.10437362050252981,-0.13473371315982882;-0.1650572086764804,-0.1733118571398002,0.38244000674835754,-0.127231063375946,0.29883228746740337,-0.18342719408590963,-0.1963600976243754,0.16995413936781625,-0.1890184502469581,-0.16307905894353938,-0.19752428236747582,-0.14166819162967315,-0.18279415253262907,-0.17333815729285812,-0.15579324791272142,0.41486286954160034,-0.049785977294101294,0.19691464146612156,0.34242900035473167,0.3368309609750218,-0.0894191810179176,-0.1710385077290191,0.2482007358044532,0.2135783073578389,0.21622686796709908,0.10579374981357074,-0.20288044311817213,-0.14547473374930325,-0.08875928530832328,0.3772742036924439,-0.1833337402395141,0.29627343451420524,-0.13677529402083707,-0.11236286724783809,-0.17586366588881214,-0.00746968903432435,-0.1899430460793254,0.14856666771106586,-0.2060859365638072,-0.057845888093896444,-0.1662797350294912,-0.09850473048874135,-0.1451905899939142,0.37595255848183134,-0.09119558356010167,-0.13519504864005474,-0.14202714311662196,-0.1579387979062035,0.1344633302161597,-0.2026398617534364,-0.13218912584303202,-0.15626332059792064,0.15704251328676147,0.3669113781055651,0.40896908316061775,0.2635522306977085,-0.14813392512608053,0.15593952384946164,0.23423305652830217,0.4015627859862423,-0.20497928220080394,0.3223659516465075,-1.8891750549158688,-0.18417691413327728,-0.13026942566790978,-0.20614998526268502,-0.18395314691801212,-0.15702629036222074,-0.10575679035961562,0.28447691759184895,0.17351866516088832,0.3792973603875976,0.3460970903531495,-0.18453891286616447,-0.18407260392267996,0.3694015008384781,-0.1559173668816992,0.32650391540310136,0.36945503002628405,-0.13802003058727666,0.331909581509906,-0.2071857318443354,0.3925501222981462,0.22626545031563106,-0.1869131186536495,0.059410903381335776,-0.14209048993156037,-0.17895269140676728,-0.09397764887913825,0.30637270582047427,-0.09313520553574142,-0.18463728117544215,0.2929840499763886,-0.0915943016833869,-0.11218394200543223,0.2232908899779663,0.303985519678787,-0.17772768356590654,-0.15230654768499222,-0.16875046174714284;-0.0951345400604696,-0.10732039165062542,0.18921508977789778,-0.20988441150881912,0.037589535055041416,-0.1276093835579483,-0.19200051741880653,-0.09467242805041491,-0.13566589905996287,-0.20970510307886286,-0.15377328869479578,-0.05253025183003077,-0.12595435324010754,-0.2091934282846218,-0.0786282962746818,0.30782050244926823,-0.19685951645373576,-0.07207982169821438,0.10477320613433352,0.8627511711313246,0.07781616542948258,-0.10401511300108415,-0.02423290723878499,-0.05798361806375855,-0.056305274300036096,-0.13215631183533527,-0.16713797271969136,-0.05927412665900565,0.08411675133538955,0.18172537248234577,-0.12662792186336333,0.033713888242109157,-0.21146774313238167,0.0125775113910365,-0.20882192120896867,-0.1869209755112189,-0.13825834191187586,-0.11110459168093964,-0.18557813751865102,-0.20115532149156368,-0.09769553635980721,0.053553779606968006,-0.05799029631937128,0.1787622534432638,0.07368522011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k{151}	=[0.8032302290099382;0.49332056218395837;0.9206969256235736];
x_a_linear{151}	=[7.32768426797685,2.041584072830238,31.689792857233254];
L_a{151}	=[0.0731214062429211,0.08103974342316586,-0.15770325405420887,0.11625807998704488,-0.09117472849499238,0.09325774622065092,0.12901871686680957,-0.014395701218232956,0.09873613095221906,0.12709786776456117,0.10998519026474078,0.04828081751900436,0.09249109121064603,0.13021519422215358,0.06301442941250078,-0.19996904003508983,0.08652256064965362,-0.02910065055217042,-0.12251323206480971,-0.34465682932335295,-0.017358132302623223,0.0787724591927273,-0.05866296180545704,-0.03869456696486648,-0.03981751704206947,0.016607582991871376,0.11818707792084365,0.05232532882645745,-0.019966364129645066,-0.15425851773672533,0.09274596721920539,-0.08941259454238722,0.12006016024943122,0.013834458815764642,0.1310262652478541,0.06960798570262988,0.09989826926895055,-0.0034586816410952866,0.12894448245064796,0.09076495559187525,0.07486776733233753,-0.005713616139325215,0.05124309230493663,-0.15306213833150334,-0.015322564742530369,0.04070795005461926,0.12059235969458343,0.06538657891850441,0.003289404755874413,0.11572293652379759,0.037504638989073615,0.06363406241909333,-0.007920241648561708,-0.14296700568873388,-0.18819210101506742,-0.2515318992337302,0.0547419702784888,-0.007611117291289047,-0.05050298589506219,-0.17930556262398992,0.12059395587323941,-0.10722505487441553,-0.34794798675203276,0.09299197657346724,0.034315320745123036,0.12109409294105888,0.09227944650739348,0.06435727705086722,0.004611659962911514,-0.0814760051918732,-0.01702898741538735,-0.15457437313463218,-0.12579079597346035,0.09365992205920436,0.1319837758677074,-0.14734565045889814,0.06383481797281101,-0.10995212630971717,-0.14457485777320545,0.04398351490727138,-0.11560549726925128,0.12798649060185374,-0.168706987511742,-0.045418833483938006,0.0965458489979194,-0.36694984026879146,0.12122565013332265,0.130133926361903,-0.011581640823187961,-0.0955973822371173,-0.013005839284417627,0.09297698448278996,-0.08693353226183184,0.10243458733383308,0.013737720708637742,-0.04410164830796942,-0.09440282241624315,0.08704213268838673,0.05945230454298312,0.07674573046731578;-0.04130651461997462,-0.03616016640971756,0.11554296322948776,0.06952415274062516,0.1445281443798771,-0.025597751055084016,0.02199122490770757,0.14559084948156806,-0.02191738693864602,0.05202141788145564,-0.011385307058638616,-0.059957718806665755,-0.0262621967147095,0.047038083942986905,-0.049147605055892135,0.07643519472440176,0.09664483526945392,0.14766469007209262,0.13508756262638189,-0.24646638013989614,-0.11879609033005539,-0.03772396964077624,0.1489195182808447,0.14809160839843882,0.14883968789573773,0.13390042920397202,-0.0028605902090839117,-0.05691932854419597,-0.12255036709660234,0.11620703314831021,-0.026370432173625905,0.14495152755779248,0.06641456409052561,-0.08894942420409568,0.04588523224077705,0.11033489084422138,-0.020875179468469698,0.14271319366566673,0.01213975161583522,0.09576475518595592,-0.03957349884116976,-0.10817445648477805,-0.05846676226458355,0.11691014087063843,-0.1171274976060985,-0.06630089942004547,0.06206340952590482,-0.047278528377692176,0.1400303200005169,-0.006790322625305639,-0.06871626141510154,-0.04856901061929966,0.14363829349032384,0.12495396658663613,0.0904727041495622,-0.1621404454539988,-0.055488595063936816,0.14305846622574164,0.1487617851515305,0.09810598772398033,-8.860281849485654E-4,0.1408982304586316,-2.4780423520392287,-0.026797259748321114,-0.07219416457579009,-0.0012102990945208434,-0.027779378671511215,-0.04810801168233389,-0.09795201539034064,0.14658689728850013,0.14469880077353264,0.11769563605517089,0.13320870229451434,-0.02602882730244625,0.039296785522128674,0.12003366934575087,-0.04788329813222315,0.1404208975435618,0.12477648906500591,-0.0635823142400686,0.13625879661813745,0.009418650588055204,0.10703035634340571,0.14939860029634142,-0.02351888930752252,-0.5616151374243699,0.06307184367580453,0.04128601207334775,-0.11357842194716715,0.14458366195927733,-0.11514629258851357,-0.0272829994101058,0.14585770890951577,0.08176603052686532,-0.08893421856876171,0.148653244621201,0.1442181492853309,-0.030417547098322367,-0.05168944623031125,-0.03886596007806625;0.13582458124029947,0.1486493563773811,-0.3089017662030849,0.15732493767573494,-0.25039227847959955,0.16695178844764186,0.21551420378222091,-0.1401422661553593,0.1761991376927988,0.19174248069139804,0.19362269566650914,0.09996811715410668,0.16618528481872882,0.20210045107056485,0.12040722552628882,-0.323795820962644,0.07642809666941922,-0.16399627990310153,-0.2821934822715664,-0.22587174438511556,0.022989279705789848,0.14479325779818925,-0.209524011549304,-0.180203138235863,-0.18207171152996895,-0.07970008907083427,0.20616425255508797,0.10599911668349823,0.021051581340790153,-0.30551104076814883,0.16631676005338222,-0.24870210086136788,0.16775074484797803,0.05627462576470929,0.2050337832126833,0.03294075909474366,0.17727739071851328,-0.12202908170008227,0.22170210904070994,0.08553219541368295,0.13877958967076096,0.03550691985970753,0.1038646266038074,-0.3046953110354434,0.025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x_a{151}	=[7.327684267976856,2.0415840728302395,31.689792857233265];
std_x_a{151}	=[1.1485248453284658,2.724950810732334,2.0653080411872113];
pred_a{151}	=[7.327684267976856];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.1 to 15.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{152}	=[3.6084041683085775,1.5686573667456125,25.169729785798634];
std_x_f{152}	=[1.6690137639633618,2.2849252167129745,1.8473236583880217];
pred_f{152}	=[3.6084041683085775];
obs{152}	=[3.295578112964317];
sqrt_r{152}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{152}	=[3.786192284463994];
L_f{152}	=[-0.024193804265656815,-0.02159592758358576,0.06568829409523226,0.04433395334401415,0.09679071031110593,-0.015723860115711263,0.009962806869616562,0.10353731600600448,-0.013888876321091582,0.029918781256296077,-0.008473613263012563,-0.03504924315313375,-0.015592415633640081,0.02646328593699194,-0.028551494492448714,0.02787478839623501,0.06592965633787079,0.10447768618422337,0.08539867046651954,-0.23552820725057674,-0.07542783056439079,-0.02184624181416458,0.10318224201854487,0.10426607407929551,0.10469109715893737,0.09567068878419238,-0.0035023087844836677,-0.0335355874074167,-0.07785042880507839,0.06591578701987243,-0.016384290292965384,0.09617645499533402,0.04063027755813479,-0.053764025202547014,0.02573668130471821,0.07642057496499433,-0.013199496549179051,0.10204141693987885,0.003765983831999216,0.06506371951116681,-0.02323812759056814,-0.06715958237185359,-0.03429946108006887,0.06678754826596854,-0.0739067068834246,-0.0390383410749364,0.03791935491348209,-0.0277461058145854,0.0998566152938275,-0.006175306461423454,-0.040251303389487514,-0.02818291349291476,0.10243790154535795,0.07407611237788753,0.041119392261901276,-0.15143348964152495,-0.032513281956837184,0.1021456259824226,0.10405115038273273,0.0483966832726647,-0.0031143819084923155,0.09165961755199246,-1.4602166342566154,-0.01668456062001594,-0.0428042649555583,-0.0037922294233093054,-0.01727383901527749,-0.028102968106776535,-0.05994818383449811,0.09928276763920069,0.10313124404362621,0.06672838987973383,0.08322815201534983,-0.01603934506368091,0.021408826801878847,0.07055200526429137,-0.0281628635529134,0.0907222982222432,0.07423610176286419,-0.03748336517546614,0.08712736606384856,0.0022631835115515374,0.05680190533218123,0.10458017143281968,-0.014947551953369003,-0.44885814281124803,0.03891531056503903,0.022360893088322578,-0.07109872330997581,0.09557234822919485,-0.07220374073602273,-0.01666165459531985,0.09804960388890095,0.0540140729065352,-0.05397524517469699,0.10373018462247319,0.09536532154954103,-0.017934717838631983,-0.03035502608746103,-0.022747386362964934;-0.09872978123140318,-0.10133280013980596,0.22722877689951249,-0.03109285314065898,0.22984271948243074,-0.10270069468043105,-0.09492173788946953,0.17901851224567825,-0.10523471803553044,-0.06251506173456763,-0.10638208680738548,-0.09514990739299431,-0.10184115330919957,-0.07026680588144843,-0.09699259614888127,0.19402642576799586,0.030819354943732148,0.19216943652571206,0.2346964864982906,-0.1592908057480686,-0.10751207422048878,-0.10033545269294888,0.2148948608068534,0.20003455649587512,0.2014561944620715,0.13994718695516148,-0.10699017542128615,-0.09631268079254776,-0.10963946967212186,0.2257889687169184,-0.10321150095371703,0.22916277081367423,-0.039020861682792035,-0.0965784905699431,-0.0730984356792468,0.0629765611464989,-0.10452852466410707,0.16749898720662634,-0.10421459642169421,0.025840334712491864,-0.09894617989674417,-0.10350091395716698,-0.09624174200095413,0.22646822845396783,-0.1065708662739603,-0.09565046950959236,-0.04445730089987365,-0.09793596023908695,0.15760785003207325,-0.10848455754379678,-0.0939689806870395,-0.09734298041396364,0.1715228777312559,0.23142363279573783,0.20806429090670578,-0.07498005521504053,-0.09657692469206419,0.17053139862334613,0.20909380196000624,0.21378376843078356,-0.10732040076008616,0.23392800159523597,-1.677013452823621,-0.10446241219723171,-0.09558400997977472,-0.10902058062953691,-0.10438928797997968,-0.09768060398080634,-0.10016230409393954,0.22662155731164735,0.18018486272666767,0.22767989787524173,0.23405465380173052,-0.10341703727051216,-0.08054868787895467,0.22784870145803907,-0.09655622164550914,0.23395116949628353,0.23262034171592266,-0.09531753062084306,0.23243151136233814,-0.10631581070820668,0.22015758434815635,0.20632813311451556,-0.10452009481942218,-0.4986903499598311,-0.043316942554588254,-0.07613092894762565,-0.10539585202052383,0.23180190761817812,-0.10582971634174769,-0.10389188942166216,0.2287658065331498,-0.0021176052951736957,-0.09762206657307412,0.2037965276236518,0.23053759059115692,-0.1004007750551567,-0.09689919573888661,-0.09945227624860203;0.04897772893363175,0.05971429211205767,-0.18627423036260726,0.11410735460584741,-0.12140402723811576,0.07612256821327053,0.12803327208978688,-0.03999272184255504,0.08379220507754657,0.12709494805977006,0.09864809307966918,0.017786734449982897,0.0752829001403974,0.1311553948770683,0.03572356288714293,-0.22285148210600683,0.07760428004074398,-0.05583487139385196,-0.15303262458006553,-0.2697332235740614,-0.05675574687811795,0.0562351636319108,-0.08808314738829931,-0.06643697645927853,-0.06782283643768611,-0.006210143785681495,0.11093914718382095,0.022752210775208736,-0.06000113287150764,-0.18315358350186356,0.07577704428796961,-0.1198194633845902,0.11955859043873088,-0.022110190430851655,0.13276300022644968,0.056554612672334977,0.08455823827764473,-0.028871667656365726,0.127168200459219,0.08300128389038017,0.05160648816857855,-0.044190139419996305,0.0206963139157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k{152}	=[0.7358824051004139;0.9252446063974844;-0.6057613067622024];
x_a_linear{152}	=[3.378200978323768,1.2792167462977344,25.359227705873238];
L_a{152}	=[0.018102562610423506,0.016158749856755368,-0.04915004038115779,-0.033172053363961715,-0.07242184297578044,0.011765084940620684,-0.0074544843445229535,-0.07746986480230685,0.010392092555195522,-0.02238616982152231,0.00634022301519339,0.026224942206720565,0.011666734059528883,-0.019800659924820163,0.021363123012629815,-0.020856790302773414,-0.04933063517564217,-0.07817347924182447,-0.06389796172574477,0.17622958636259878,0.05643746681453242,0.016346042809180828,-0.07720418731650304,-0.07801514443277484,-0.07833316002162599,-0.07158380776671013,0.002620537198531813,0.025092377538237863,0.05825013074495048,-0.04932025771723715,0.012259239497807373,-0.07196223789712271,-0.030400847063935425,0.040227928676725304,-0.01925699156641206,-0.05718026928870074,0.00987627700397513,-0.07635058623800686,-0.0028178271329317903,-0.04868271410254618,0.017387495370226384,0.05025090438142266,0.025663931760707494,-0.04997253680346559,0.05529931440284367,0.029209710294269803,-0.028372449778085493,0.020760505962138066,-0.07471584917248704,0.004620557834931134,0.030117286713510952,0.021087339157068615,-0.07664724844606413,-0.05542606890314431,-0.030766818014654366,0.11330728303204295,0.02432745656000366,-0.07642855870965737,-0.07785433178707558,-0.03621191522673774,0.00233027815188546,-0.06858259855965533,1.0925798504510091,0.012483911167289334,0.032027492569702116,0.002837464906914025,0.012924827731218683,0.021027521513588988,0.04485510998308146,-0.07428647837231599,-0.07716602903333959,-0.049928272644799744,-0.06227391179428532,0.012001140666316348,-0.016018755187949506,-0.05278922151158805,0.021072337163573766,-0.06788126686057931,-0.05554577797521664,0.028046228591732513,-0.06519142595077489,-0.0016933848338558533,-0.042500965800024264,-0.07825016191681786,0.011184226843255141,0.33584973013000735,-0.029117655010861016,-0.016731121022209267,0.053198293088078705,-0.07151022628136605,0.054025101758636423,0.012466772161713158,-0.07336378660571359,-0.04041502220560308,0.04038597007974052,-0.07761417514585055,-0.07135532243121886,0.013419317979478628,0.022712581876564313,0.01702030740339581;-0.045549429247090434,-0.05386283561037038,0.08283947115513725,-0.12854322588082073,0.0170872558671881,-0.06813810971761065,-0.11682096342094288,-0.04856665163556945,-0.0747056072222009,-0.12827947400643336,-0.08775625471591826,-0.01810823725295499,-0.06756749619526912,-0.1284357009149775,-0.034233614133724416,0.13275491004757373,-0.11410048865563707,-0.03748275313304881,0.04698184251199687,0.35842326791664064,0.05828568684189291,-0.052315272962022825,-0.011909815664219088,-0.029152489025128698,-0.028665093426466913,-0.07034635961812953,-0.09929175760028294,-0.0225981742707812,0.061483399659372516,0.0808996112372529,-0.06719722576054696,0.01775750055960322,-0.1283301922054455,0.02160010395657112,-0.12967018254734258,-0.10500334936517355,-0.07551473812630789,-0.05679804397766874,-0.11249259782874202,-0.11717609490804892,-0.0478664988696054,0.044122427557770794,-0.020848166311844895,0.07966265435104564,0.055883315916855435,-0.009840371335170073,-0.1278077578670555,-0.03694730143985125,-0.06188677309447608,-0.09491062896177255,-0.005492672514254007,-0.03539417554476989,-0.05364566545851883,0.06859708073184684,0.11767983834779074,0.2578855905891923,-0.025109545703460055,-0.05399469424556772,-0.019620820220398794,0.10740311729163798,-0.1004746842167684,0.03245118254525319,1.5326857631589794,-0.067788113408448,-0.0014960421773051703,-0.10068488884157245,-0.0664196975482339,-0.03590752690240026,0.031609676952644404,0.0083883075484325,-0.046507715199385534,0.0810043597008673,0.05111102201154336,-0.06816098548475792,-0.1276073865603873,0.07276848207806996,-0.03465148850868248,0.03453467015999377,0.06944211731008036,-0.01292542181067872,0.040917025096995345,-0.11129050978520351,0.09530143168294825,-0.023549329160891357,-0.07166391125045998,0.48794382148426907,-0.12885660761525514,-0.12528236259828954,0.050886107184502816,0.021724523218957868,0.0528811794216104,-0.0672679403192083,0.01324317150315948,-0.12084582917162177,0.021020810144934836,-0.024212580371464985,0.02091527111571809,-0.060978508224980535,-0.030175874590270973,-0.049451292516464324;0.014160341953640259,0.02863551840564493,-0.09174198026848954,0.17790849943541678,0.017887817069054356,0.053494307008186116,0.14237078174215537,0.1090081859381157,0.06380467536626705,0.17015116912909833,0.08645368707152047,-0.03265275199121004,0.05284380114181858,0.16923880074054035,-0.005364991094910508,-0.18273677819585063,0.17248387536887352,0.09451932634651167,-0.030135104018146834,-0.6086826771822139,-0.16530419742293492,0.02479616185483348,0.060406772195055636,0.08361268957263486,0.08283848177082703,0.13146987368763202,0.10589896255911958,-0.025508968473182653,-0.17203595288170026,-0.08829394755699527,0.05219835574197442,0.01858840398373654,0.17802976269890042,-0.09948218412496865,0.1698007468630576,0.16653172510052064,0.06556279736857723,0.11797648663021142,0.132587840752219,0.17663470655113933,0.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x_a{152}	=[3.3782009783237688,1.2792167462977322,25.35922770587324];
std_x_a{152}	=[1.2488084068156853,1.8137993238512218,1.6074231020466396];
pred_a{152}	=[3.3782009783237688];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.2 to 15.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{153}	=[2.477926087626889,2.5132046191890858,20.115695266721346];
std_x_f{153}	=[1.6709336958841068,1.9392766155584835,1.876111062786343];
pred_f{153}	=[2.477926087626889];
obs{153}	=[2.3908594807079755];
sqrt_r{153}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{153}	=[3.7924839070229788];
L_f{153}	=[-0.021552052850204232,-0.029557890823956247,0.0381491234316333,-0.11268093978193675,-0.02559460958508524,-0.04297242399052594,-0.0902607340731374,-0.07647116034207721,-0.049066228957714036,-0.10695286158455966,-0.061284286099146414,0.004808419820466502,-0.04238105922839895,-0.1054161318188805,-0.011007708638919363,0.09412463522387517,-0.11023600428196904,-0.06879502384568509,0.0016540967294458296,0.41137210450142514,0.0835954211477754,-0.027683909140345044,-0.05014936738413688,-0.06279838892947522,-0.06247854222419467,-0.08940202191083316,-0.07195521387453267,-3.0227760480969234E-5,0.08738137703623398,0.036328784734732916,-0.04198695256466317,-0.024606531316795417,-0.11126729863035041,0.043621499756382805,-0.10674212490474179,-0.10758239642348101,-0.04969615627031179,-0.08199020891725838,-0.08496629818190092,-0.11203580201971684,-0.024055488408050208,0.06867733118888983,0.0020228986513839494,0.035277956798781145,0.08025669363454194,0.012843116518122054,-0.10940712140704147,-0.01357338244452869,-0.08500842223437756,-0.067758635237933,0.01709863299135601,-0.012187361230172729,-0.08039364774956488,0.02340258488566983,0.07614400500647295,0.2834704192882257,-0.0017353336225271654,-0.08027265665734941,-0.05543388460760359,0.06507819166350745,-0.07314312107113728,-0.011716206070377995,1.3325079117879925,-0.04224928342309295,0.021699718655401004,-0.07312917760689243,-0.040645188919221066,-0.012398702992118114,0.05496390580858301,-0.032526295396772556,-0.0748944135112005,0.035999352490935506,0.006231564455361295,-0.042810204578625194,-0.10338003021576214,0.028733082652355815,-0.011747396937052188,-0.009836325043030397,0.024459733169431695,0.009497912454145092,-0.0033875815120851735,-0.08359160272476404,0.05190670680701756,-0.058391464894594076,-0.04622690883614928,0.6267372162376008,-0.11069850546183904,-0.10203995982922359,0.07632085032265346,-0.021655900246359674,0.07763246474114838,-0.04194309819694717,-0.028722251815202906,-0.1105672454750779,0.04378702378659135,-0.05909330282070978,-0.02187888266418099,-0.03673635668781767,-0.0070168043583656034,-0.02593203513497869;-0.041362921957249194,-0.05487511498833608,0.10374659947884181,-0.18073339026260707,-0.0022150000293703308,-0.0773973887715493,-0.15502661014500663,-0.09272371525244553,-0.08766730138838902,-0.17647482616201607,-0.10821287769070105,0.003022505350675196,-0.07688998783233754,-0.17595310635269645,-0.023354291863632137,0.19441384459615876,-0.1677402476559057,-0.07833965716146153,0.04381096141835363,0.6985163077224211,0.13642950730576078,-0.05191260325352103,-0.04384348189825484,-0.06768687673272988,-0.06655839967990475,-0.11876287682311011,-0.1264433495613818,-0.004118378144474513,0.14247545049013322,0.10029246955751013,-0.07637901173228183,-0.0016622959392753012,-0.17981940060242127,0.06941324067017109,-0.17714553922702148,-0.15886415008355986,-0.08904388826196014,-0.10371649907465459,-0.14673683819938027,-0.1709298924147993,-0.04540400968129364,0.11159387958100764,-0.001453269689941991,0.09800970885622591,0.13203303354271448,0.01732041206237032,-0.1780326876151572,-0.027530236049643487,-0.10945573221128371,-0.11986892637592617,0.024077521903343602,-0.025288986338140234,-0.10028741553576659,0.07904113996147208,0.16527448647271506,0.4870026373529822,-0.00797133626246866,-0.10004244918115437,-0.054366684664045865,0.147148868967534,-0.12816820320617464,0.021026336679636062,1.0071767771802285,-0.07613342317456552,0.03130732394952574,-0.127964892369392,-0.07416247731967993,-0.026333644816740394,0.08859801113056578,-0.014802197776575403,-0.08984068914625115,0.1001855765243447,0.050730310112884154,-0.07749806476229579,-0.17286635581925597,0.08723004211496044,-0.024436927473790834,0.024114129776042974,0.08053017768808808,0.011681643758625213,0.034525320721564834,-0.14478277325399183,0.12596978716759782,-0.05998234131232667,-0.08321974716800049,1.0067067913648533,-0.17947671694805714,-0.1701956677210836,0.12336761999284113,0.004104465897058221,0.12669412496043878,-0.07610699630514987,-0.0072092212733175925,-0.17347225451301412,0.07010343529286883,-0.0606200968588822,0.0037385098666001715,-0.0667669146224994,-0.016860908588882954,-0.04822079229194555;-0.02628349606616448,-0.018224927025004865,-0.07305687203868588,0.07149483086812047,-0.017052719061713625,-0.00425980287959398,0.0490479495019705,0.03354271428161691,0.0010294655725656076,0.06623902753901267,0.01496369274688213,-0.051201610384868756,-0.004635484167220845,0.06583545054015975,-0.03625566629746033,-0.1128696415160113,0.0697360199947111,0.025120106067891862,-0.0426743901800222,-0.17654739060050412,-0.11281013901994481,-0.020310655668862275,0.005887463727474367,0.01907747246246974,0.018531426412874353,0.0462498230453248,0.025920801906906186,-0.047817228551413994,-0.11531103065428046,-0.07081658247692414,-0.0052490008473326825,-0.016222821655320283,0.0717213457738596,-0.08366340335289935,0.06552359872002295,0.06603861835373315,0.0023378871523799943,0.03876620937762131,0.04214761097951423,0.0722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k{153}	=[0.7363205686520687;0.7902197158943687;0.5182548395185125];
x_a_linear{153}	=[2.4138171541097484,2.444402869805735,20.070572576325162];
L_a{153}	=[0.016097595518062315,0.022077292319121204,-0.028494230347307553,0.08416331399203868,0.019117050027998433,0.032096835723173206,0.06741728031067701,0.05711761271836226,0.03664840249082965,0.07988491478069215,0.0457742775639081,-0.0035914906987697137,0.031655135305560446,0.0787371051330262,0.008221845152366779,-0.07030329392054809,0.08233715000572198,0.05138417556881554,-0.0012354730328216288,-0.30726083458055453,-0.06243884451063812,0.020677583467221206,0.037457417038066015,0.04690518676800063,0.04666628781367938,0.06677589356430583,0.05374457535059868,2.257762938045428E-5,-0.06526663947593545,-0.02713458835625228,0.03136077032288869,0.01837903753268452,0.08310744132765284,-0.03258164147286068,0.07972751196360989,0.0803551250790763,0.03711890593449013,0.061239884143052196,0.06346277592699709,0.08368144960437095,0.01796745419444153,-0.05129626891798722,-0.0015109374726549273,-0.02634970706491525,-0.05994509203951081,-0.009592742572460499,0.0817180432623797,0.010138190636532308,0.06349423909958044,0.05061007925775521,-0.012771260339779452,0.009102947773904224,0.06004738540170225,-0.017479789428182436,-0.05687325482351412,-0.2117288864663362,0.001296150252530161,0.059957015093253754,0.041404512999775954,-0.04860801027759848,0.05463184347753069,0.008751033956629559,-0.9952728650801177,0.031556709711134404,-0.01620788962417023,0.05462142886649124,0.030358584192625805,0.009260802537138063,-0.041053477826408426,0.024294444275794035,0.05593991364281467,-0.026888529799876187,-0.004654461676776611,0.031975671280226756,0.07721630615074446,-0.021461229041125438,0.008774330946436846,0.0073469187843695095,-0.01826939149499682,-0.007094152655223483,0.0025302423553353274,0.06243599246542538,-0.03877000379785618,0.04361358011292177,0.034527665910378265,-0.4681207063304696,0.08268260001792845,0.07621538474440952,-0.05700534360359099,0.016175160907797147,-0.05798501076250807,0.03132801474836874,0.021453139304299932,0.08258455969716283,-0.032705274191532005,0.044137794819166645,0.01634171027525999,0.02743901079298561,0.00524097074071886,0.019369078920902453;-9.572947023178848E-4,5.39797334664307E-4,0.03222490861279774,0.030519991640692315,0.04576958231266075,0.003166989854944433,0.014193538026683378,0.05064384337456287,0.004321697146927613,0.02403959764114457,0.00668244285799578,-0.00599228411283298,0.0025657045675451127,0.021680267996141873,-0.002717122157042129,0.017949683488359,0.03892938748504659,0.05063673825771131,0.04070987325946115,-0.0727210325480971,-0.02029456211781572,-1.101775450615047E-5,0.050176176446023624,0.05004707246137315,0.05057590330684597,0.04884736421859571,0.008457746453500243,-0.004061707365536024,-0.021346500675656122,0.03218353604576156,0.002337812446356894,0.044469844666244956,0.028783697458302008,-0.012368020340460271,0.022973797027270756,0.04283052092028462,0.004126093280749246,0.049998130482468005,0.012557341219667107,0.03911399004408394,-3.0496019368155306E-4,-0.017161866526743938,-0.005245784929693151,0.03187085968791541,-0.01843161454670288,-0.00675776658862397,0.027082964120358446,-0.0020829603096410164,0.049917421065830365,0.007164455444164311,-0.00797886715710976,-0.002440212789271898,0.05043399310268561,0.035166149107257405,0.022520276218446662,-0.04444558148574168,-0.004717945784905946,0.05045212626385674,0.04956034698883306,0.02514076268378714,0.008959972323270044,0.04299179206395556,-1.4909990751234228,0.0030752169325533292,-0.009375146050945677,0.009137142057725263,0.0020388184265274496,-0.0030886493155634657,-0.014447907790132544,0.04617785720567289,0.05057079633233833,0.032694260115762735,0.03904741974747663,0.0027621861258178577,0.020949750494812538,0.033361473974120356,-0.0024129956862557417,0.042555198290927666,0.034673253149701586,-0.006124971369386377,0.04087633316684618,0.01193413741872376,0.028655482036081207,0.04948953970981023,0.0034461152704088885,-0.16829544726642867,0.02806001194070137,0.02110808466966311,-0.01971813853560008,0.04470478547246636,-0.018850638455576225,0.00252761003337175,0.046639041295153234,0.03381838913572416,-0.01198814892979366,0.0501675846502479,0.044756875208762606,0.0021061317341074487,-0.003705856334906568,3.963929436500632E-4;2.1598432828355476E-4,0.018118188586057033,-0.11996339901633932,0.21004248455722696,0.01441731581698749,0.04857724772312992,0.1600286792535184,0.1275683752388455,0.061359197562904845,0.1977436818004414,0.0903162240931798,-0.05711383729180659,0.0474744496717853,0.1954506077508808,-0.022721059580769924,-0.22860125850330124,0.2052774857908408,0.10970751861300568,-0.04470819661865391,-0.6823528975666343,-0.21559548569517464,0.013728292388900385,0.06754897630015354,0.09629167974963232,0.09535236390088062,0.15617471712926298,0.11439384865560293,-0.04778006179278539,-0.222751426411737,-0.1154848990184298,0.046376356330620115,0.014032314536896908,0.20853084689617318,-0.1372985296958513,0.19676914019279867,0.19831732166921623,0.0634421507655827,0.13957785589875574,0.14661852929571415,0.21000384986485407,0.005309957472282663,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x_a{153}	=[2.413817154109749,2.444402869805734,20.070572576325162];
std_x_a{153}	=[1.2480488499539057,1.5298832122864223,1.705540278948977];
pred_a{153}	=[2.413817154109749];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.3 to 15.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{154}	=[3.1968518339361087,4.768355651265758,16.438484323037848];
std_x_f{154}	=[1.6142390034764917,2.084098892466315,1.9159691188478885];
pred_f{154}	=[3.1968518339361087];
obs{154}	=[3.3133821180694536];
sqrt_r{154}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{154}	=[3.6058930083046032];
L_f{154}	=[0.011200355343755604,0.014174277120196147,0.017132326224051413,0.051078914456572054,0.04381612667297953,0.01936955421477696,0.0358717048468413,0.05801721529717501,0.021649429421008056,0.044761179296471915,0.025565235995669292,9.537538876966474E-4,0.01896295047100727,0.04374579243014407,0.007628228248747839,-0.011765483710205768,0.05603292781290478,0.056785030544354395,0.03334722777544058,-0.24188857083311396,-0.03467232699110912,0.013923597784378284,0.052976737731469464,0.054925587574295526,0.05555975874130092,0.05937673043853794,0.029282780466901276,0.0038710591018577497,-0.036766907178955074,0.017577570161559697,0.01852056602906136,0.041905348229017626,0.04959693812036337,-0.015894099128582834,0.044644102054324314,0.05771988921111407,0.02200874175318555,0.059043062416661185,0.03451088860711756,0.055614393477209215,0.012246335453750014,-0.026861208379531952,0.0027177154657555074,0.017525352786268298,-0.032276561136628766,-0.0017094219204708014,0.048028305068205816,0.00867613953815904,0.05914319926448025,0.027501104831439582,-0.003971559570564912,0.007826744159557695,0.059071319087477286,0.02296252773584448,-0.0025352284399370673,-0.1453064719932733,0.002833613966881419,0.058981077257077054,0.0536532488491187,0.0037855796273643786,0.029389212894416417,0.03884019117973421,-1.4831291506360866,0.01939005970920598,-0.006685984587276146,0.029522112347820498,0.017703543157054483,0.007325547907968706,-0.020804716798480383,0.045878766315382256,0.057924208081818834,0.01805405412339635,0.03072917050320786,0.018592613037157053,0.04294471289913128,0.02098238663685962,0.008325947483818947,0.037971096070878854,0.02302781224433346,-6.178398864362272E-4,0.03520419049100046,0.03362263603612845,0.010574906486933761,0.053772442693737176,0.020743937911207228,-0.45696419387703585,0.04830181631878139,0.042642914059769624,-0.03205975864195956,0.04246320338818407,-0.03178970088002383,0.01865243665050634,0.045290999969554956,0.05307357695030859,-0.015060298099586015,0.05420681111739547,0.0432900754913602,0.017175899863467552,0.005420634939804535,0.013619320679418238;0.012918542539949939,0.014006679548277641,0.055942223284289605,0.02919569753285344,0.06935122612892791,0.015592179749358835,0.01652277733073409,0.06324951544875054,0.01645868913756792,0.023042680360375004,0.016143555195123685,0.008821851029218902,0.015169372649919678,0.0211791719116255,0.012269408199217374,0.03076801167504855,0.039464422027633166,0.06595863791726023,0.06601395534673257,-0.290494788329485,-0.016737532702630308,0.014390475011913489,0.06972970409840668,0.06725688748180202,0.0682450396071961,0.05799441117238098,0.015486683275812502,0.01127231167985532,-0.019156863890144815,0.05568280849196142,0.014356086480403204,0.06707503884881799,0.0272013431874246,-3.6857348317659733E-4,0.022037846122783516,0.04458963642923713,0.015272810642841013,0.06150569360311746,0.016413119824194942,0.03843843874967186,0.014025342252219967,-0.009877031206997552,0.010489382415143628,0.05550337728975181,-0.01310635276541488,0.008093812704812301,0.02612644275316641,0.012714200081879514,0.060506406663672525,0.015097100372280988,0.006420739815513631,0.012692347295578412,0.06304283523330478,0.059446228102975875,0.039328125688222866,-0.1433832754710301,0.009821087728933371,0.06344224114955413,0.06780401328642474,0.045012737870586315,0.016043205905951624,0.06772923923536822,-1.9080615980141842,0.01593630666205751,0.004013214487617939,0.015379193261288927,0.014177931597572071,0.011168384293694393,-0.004489880903887514,0.0690570112519701,0.06451536805528811,0.05655127765187195,0.0643223331075105,0.014381056289281473,0.021241439336024088,0.05775260562487229,0.012095065890607182,0.06777150983269471,0.05906245901796792,0.008373716608360357,0.0662786781596509,0.0159889027480183,0.051098668486192,0.06751148546790153,0.01567392459647629,-0.6622462188067936,0.02688496941877971,0.021224553147039346,-0.015035092571262489,0.06815365685516481,-0.013870144665386283,0.014738675065770427,0.06957251594107618,0.03397965092859841,4.179592849875076E-4,0.06791715540625212,0.06909534447451791,0.014201343459907092,0.01108375141021313,0.014851447425115877;-0.016454968865421728,-6.69222992315192E-4,-0.1041105752656418,0.16712834217099534,0.014351190931065013,0.025036070423401488,0.11976005549526426,0.10947808872595674,0.03629384100189653,0.15417098611439686,0.060602123661967426,-0.06528947112834492,0.023875826712728237,0.1515739799118935,-0.03572597822328697,-0.20289729318803354,0.16713925660732654,0.09496489999571742,-0.037098160494700966,-0.6261824845530284,-0.20502001656656582,-0.0049145752026754285,0.060187109526967306,0.0833734462879442,0.08352997439680697,0.132195150328649,0.08062956729538188,-0.05711330786913392,-0.2113343774040324,-0.10106044575703949,0.022772821367566386,0.013474313102826672,0.16521836703693957,-0.1357602843176512,0.15321057331468899,0.16283341408155064,0.037427283811110365,0.11958800827757854,0.10834591188617933,0.17024852757427186,-0.012095994318080686,-0.1786603277668823,-0.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k{154}	=[0.7226761865377211;0.9272058242813481;-0.27224829554328756];
x_a_linear{154}	=[3.2810654952897513,4.876403209419356,16.40675915180337];
L_a{154}	=[-0.00883839684880754,-0.011185170683277125,-0.013519419113414007,-0.04030726728908386,-0.03457607406441092,-0.01528485496043976,-0.028306991461341156,-0.04578240217575101,-0.017083944473225768,-0.03532183166522568,-0.020173976122027124,-7.5262392101301E-4,-0.01496399681466231,-0.03452057207977198,-0.006019568705318406,0.009284349554762475,-0.04421656611878332,-0.04481006357556985,-0.026314882326589812,0.19087851381482063,0.027360541359064395,-0.010987355222628871,-0.0418048729219086,-0.04334274451445912,-0.04384318010529871,-0.04685521941882405,-0.023107555667622234,-0.00305472063317008,0.029013411322886873,-0.013870768913794957,-0.014614903492383305,-0.03306824528045198,-0.03913781376926706,0.012542312394670541,-0.03522944395998722,-0.045547776946331456,-0.0173674841366549,-0.04659191613043816,-0.02723314749873103,-0.043886293333662126,-0.009663798099424489,0.021196650660657644,-0.002144596941014063,-0.013829563267093196,0.025470000503097265,0.001348934819607791,-0.03789997791499177,-0.006846493883484844,-0.04667093587338816,-0.02170160417423129,0.00313402731574072,-0.006176221092380227,-0.04661421396498291,-0.018120133384365505,0.0020005932282352716,0.11466388563222656,-0.002236054481037921,-0.04654300255383023,-0.04233871971041676,-0.0029872672805921477,-0.023191543362931038,-0.03064947609197354,1.1703632259011132,-0.015301036205746986,0.005276027705701581,-0.0232964166525833,-0.01397017641402537,-0.005780718339590587,0.016417366927071592,-0.0362037391836074,-0.045709008550826345,-0.014246770765303386,-0.024248927414025453,-0.014671757050129974,-0.033888426171428516,-0.016557569312751604,-0.006570151191260996,-0.029963657898204855,-0.018171650535062603,4.8754829090224E-4,-0.02778024417537342,-0.026532211815582993,-0.008344844185917542,-0.042432777663788834,-0.01636940524110159,0.36059846024728026,-0.03811581044003287,-0.0336502714139301,0.025298917851977118,-0.033508458570971955,0.025085810535393625,-0.014718964912691668,-0.03573992245107032,-0.041881290447992485,0.011884345378353858,-0.04277554540544117,-0.03416095785039466,-0.013553803836530988,-0.004277518105460359,-0.010747244822279666;-0.012791516945046471,-0.018529922794453514,0.016615513298941138,-0.08805432613176772,-0.03122729915799469,-0.028870015937800097,-0.06581958031193687,-0.069927157135644,-0.033236887578278564,-0.07970518316812275,-0.042540630977869115,0.006632539312390322,-0.02835947707469641,-0.07923790335771892,-0.005240947144086827,0.05777530535236839,-0.08915738174321391,-0.06438959375439259,-0.010533545464863825,0.26475273319913417,0.06285169121620268,-0.017570700887841142,-0.051876712536980854,-0.05882305198822651,-0.059290619608051875,-0.07830298518214639,-0.05173100800126433,0.0023864186234188647,0.06524040223563794,0.015334055208222829,-0.028157283826945285,-0.029117355288765745,-0.08664685092894707,0.03611582558404734,-0.08044127031978972,-0.08790453358051104,-0.035247556104254486,-0.07402577841888658,-0.06280552741843486,-0.08922263276429675,-0.014085731309805012,0.051782018357146305,0.00425095299541775,0.01527448733031769,0.06098346682736212,0.012017736358249308,-0.08412100407945163,-0.0072016022993869055,-0.07525492630783276,-0.04803081114649315,0.015537328501635913,-0.005273695007558199,-0.07255349907790637,0.006736475966086764,0.04514766194384487,0.19016310978582873,0.003316616985810504,-0.0719469459099477,-0.055355313104341254,0.03632306022933285,-0.05141879762359976,-0.02142718437723868,1.4964141990903133,-0.02857295873542396,0.019360679472331607,-0.05238787673693001,-0.026459988690986445,-0.005647177953540031,0.04326668485147006,-0.03625623773564745,-0.06844780942417868,0.015108770587428837,-0.006215500498147094,-0.028297695633828807,-0.0773367833467339,0.009588204405975978,-0.0070168817671323915,-0.019389933597497723,0.0062028483680953775,0.009791948418419441,-0.014531421508247367,-0.06119078896713675,0.026824306960785648,-0.05592144660244632,-0.03194312515610585,0.38670055533658704,-0.08399031379101499,-0.07666089989811815,0.058557063790003874,-0.02931927605873351,0.05910210269204442,-0.028077400059203655,-0.03439153409251677,-0.08784905705384218,0.03498839460764945,-0.0565128555663187,-0.0302756470550827,-0.025225388428942144,-0.0013591437008355228,-0.016411270057173823;-0.008905922375628685,0.008884248630280901,-0.09256337670146692,0.20155556238377284,0.04388328764631686,0.038091162049172005,0.14393760694303254,0.1485817280342297,0.05088556993912161,0.18434004888751837,0.0778331086736558,-0.0646466404129735,0.03665686716151061,0.18105867130359207,-0.030584547624242783,-0.21082723654940727,0.20490548491316934,0.13323804601180772,-0.014622108168122924,-0.7892155322131478,-0.22838918659125762,0.004469938391177194,0.09589346381111048,0.12039332658207473,0.1209772864531698,0.17221510369042606,0.10036617960012337,-0.054504211619258336,-0.23611529578217788,-0.08921315250118785,0.035255694426465686,0.041718543954679686,0.1986467342744803,-0.1464729170469282,0.18330072595355665,0.20173665542231128,0.0522611894844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x_a{154}	=[3.2810654952897518,4.87640320941935,16.406759151803367];
std_x_a{154}	=[1.273824310360215,1.6507622751864377,1.8792539812285751];
pred_a{154}	=[3.2810654952897518];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.4 to 15.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{155}	=[5.843285402330738,9.473181777129966,15.642172591737275];
std_x_f{155}	=[1.597312619074172,2.092434091844219,2.709376530496143];
pred_f{155}	=[5.843285402330738];
obs{155}	=[6.111087794160985];
sqrt_r{155}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{155}	=[3.5514924479449803];
L_f{155}	=[-0.009211128670750756,-0.017476244457650964,0.01935741233157143,-0.10945643181720857,-0.046880569778139,-0.03158898863941902,-0.07905422731964483,-0.0933349971428237,-0.03730868075008477,-0.09829449521080992,-0.04894160854321952,0.017532105123502187,-0.030315157201683866,-0.09677738087937081,8.971663074078735E-4,0.08216550589631429,-0.11252361365270175,-0.08753130049212801,-0.019198711418690388,0.47534581079180993,0.10037109414139636,-0.015916080450138,-0.07208727220079315,-0.08123874320682292,-0.08200962169833163,-0.10314493216814731,-0.06036108425323327,0.0111111213792411,0.10565968890493095,0.017747141045737692,-0.029747751253352803,-0.044460170836744715,-0.10768174148496086,0.05882806637485901,-0.09832444217912091,-0.11284520949422258,-0.03900761233085707,-0.09887863893013511,-0.07494387851676827,-0.11309376368269897,-0.011323146435905164,0.08465735358012208,0.013661953939974485,0.018354926085325643,0.09736374303673159,0.025062044418737453,-0.10370261573068347,-0.0018768473190509689,-0.10005262532504575,-0.05591152130509296,0.030387287233423384,0.0010133720350080705,-0.09714913992943418,0.00478608033913438,0.06189065322951273,0.3210547592117957,0.01232980880792339,-0.09641551357533511,-0.07633238644153086,0.0490161581819574,-0.060904640325213484,-0.03293536778899642,1.1188669890474536,-0.031048413145502173,0.03554051984861716,-0.06159167103486048,-0.02761762376053498,3.7185082807408903E-5,0.06990855581627133,-0.05310688039727749,-0.09267445482883237,0.017619041791940356,-0.013079246291632521,-0.029943418273649946,-0.09479212366748238,0.00998827421342111,-8.279307245330714E-4,-0.03100105201185731,0.004871989837025093,0.021598522407950113,-0.023775340982817944,-0.07288123041827275,0.03425833049406204,-0.07740471964443561,-0.03486523194170053,0.7535903040738159,-0.10439958097413098,-0.09397727832588351,0.09457347382474991,-0.043743858692763454,0.09529240720551238,-0.030068804558846734,-0.051156252543516315,-0.10997583979327782,0.05870199625552143,-0.07841840253707294,-0.045159868263864276,-0.02519604245787243,0.005829956500478399,-0.014327250688496216;5.985133989781323E-4,-0.01555298131561218,0.06733260451888667,-0.19380871136299124,-0.06288950590546755,-0.04319096956902421,-0.13726617964211466,-0.15642970411710422,-0.054793093622573744,-0.17430043177637744,-0.07844148466548995,0.05377043553859623,-0.04103320774238248,-0.17149674358872058,0.021193225806231706,0.1884334064003381,-0.1985484630039841,-0.14366356567538374,-0.008130406483882408,0.9102570501568378,0.2169724629122537,-0.01227529691071524,-0.11241204127727007,-0.1313560085470412,-0.13235788266457205,-0.17632713651711782,-0.10073876761901823,0.04211092492410206,0.22648735749561572,0.06398675928361695,-0.04007284287733402,-0.058563390186655885,-0.19027758518891386,0.13559852107084097,-0.17337058555608276,-0.19702310403685863,-0.05790197008870341,-0.16622644505405582,-0.12903894292821297,-0.19943129371397053,-0.0030960618630973377,0.18467141233546286,0.0465511942791388,0.06436835124960982,0.21081874880743676,0.06868926516088728,-0.1834599117304895,0.01607957207557541,-0.16958993084983373,-0.09178933855507562,0.07916355654517415,0.020255471459089985,-0.16285602085845566,0.03868876759078551,0.15006774855766924,0.63511433159382,0.04242195433182571,-0.16195235537949293,-0.12113770715152006,0.1256019163553382,-0.10175316627963746,-0.03555679743356882,0.18086959841564837,-0.041878079584813384,0.08946950566434339,-0.10299012044253421,-0.036029325004389205,0.019819128461667983,0.1574654309260955,-0.07504681295536489,-0.15349214587427126,0.06365399522826824,0.003000198100197433,-0.041039435204630346,-0.166815392274308,0.04870248911939402,0.017499564446051583,-0.031568409948008136,0.038636942086824846,0.0624504749668625,-0.018055932148301194,-0.12492390982595795,0.0968104142247304,-0.12359520185744957,-0.05024253196304773,1.3271465011270471,-0.18510703927487904,-0.16542487375853693,0.20466374446305818,-0.055980757830014626,0.20571948622058936,-0.04050400514068562,-0.07032275919345397,-0.19439284232049758,0.1344257898868131,-0.12480267130583414,-0.058986728782598294,-0.03145989681894621,0.030700838673062544,-0.009498750611442912;-0.0398662910769472,-0.03364382570904938,-0.07656698677122331,0.035001463190123316,-0.03396019154593321,-0.024852266327266267,0.015166029805267853,0.006830930697635483,-0.02015223787925717,0.030565004535326117,-0.009361245508519278,-0.05752149579427556,-0.02457551269096246,0.029296780732497096,-0.04730096659464586,-0.10348203125401395,0.035043880666475596,-5.93446678090648E-5,-0.05367771325115817,-0.0032088200528173835,-0.09607166102062319,-0.03612825912459607,-0.01579195262016452,-0.004886715076399105,-0.004537658368821306,0.017975091992777976,-0.0027012493397824623,-0.05537549302018265,-0.09641159112653798,-0.07523827597164733,-0.02498796722225962,-0.03371282738657804,0.0342629371199249,-0.07778321149609001,0.029834198060134987,0.03275313989723462,-0.020719102739607337,0.01094181160575182,0.009862654006132999,0.037341820966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k{155}	=[0.7184282341417801;0.7223934663552518;0.8596212543314343];
x_a_linear{155}	=[6.035682201792288,9.666640475262446,15.87238121971535];
L_a{155}	=[0.0073949972367762795,0.014030504196942904,-0.015540767675699325,0.08787522569366901,0.03763726426585466,0.02536067967901073,0.06346733538101905,0.07493240737776453,0.02995263674154705,0.0789140556447155,0.03929193401561684,-0.014075350977873543,0.02433800587877576,0.07769606633093115,-7.202746374912011E-4,-0.06596517221510542,0.0903376602127078,0.07027300870588797,0.015413357359962927,-0.3816232606196036,-0.0805812176074337,0.012777953186434638,0.05787403452786166,0.06522113662805523,0.06584002325078821,0.08280814606281647,0.04845986493261084,-0.00892037391225335,-0.084827075532202,-0.014247988893114901,0.023882473710023878,0.03569408833993971,0.08645044588956327,-0.04722910772795833,0.07893809805643554,0.09059584793805744,0.0313165949267341,0.07938302544686432,0.060167412089752854,0.09079539542052907,0.009090594605525939,-0.0679657095428209,-0.010968266240367345,-0.014735938725210866,-0.07816681716814437,-0.020120634055741878,0.08325587278028676,0.0015067947951162557,0.08032554036080153,0.04488760936192866,-0.024395914242068457,-8.135684199599648E-4,0.07799452673097929,-0.0038424228070199746,-0.049687853245157426,-0.25775332666497147,-0.00989877628722146,0.0774055473501335,0.06128215194779741,-0.039351784919037486,0.04889624963572432,0.026441597169870823,-0.8982632409206963,0.0249266878820577,-0.02853309897935613,0.04944782049973294,0.02217233725591161,-2.9853408245514444E-5,-0.05612488931242041,0.04263595133989883,0.07440210226952639,-0.014145146596397068,0.010500449363265258,0.02403956163335514,0.07610223650605603,-0.008018915254431382,6.64690033003867E-4,0.024888664805304172,-0.00391139377922365,-0.017340004600350796,0.01908762619174473,0.0585114503141617,-0.027503715168437536,0.062143056333767606,0.027990955623837282,-0.6050070969026053,0.08381541941497758,0.07544805184911417,-0.07592669721650475,0.0351190093767903,-0.07650388059480756,0.024140225869596334,0.0410699231033866,0.08829222351066728,-0.04712789448716403,0.06295687432046254,0.03625582846159925,0.020228212091458905,-0.004680480943498744,0.011502388365116105;0.01729629375751398,0.016127663030673006,0.03224181043970054,0.004612081858198061,0.022094808744713052,0.014073021946395462,0.006042004553472246,0.012766421326707638,0.012839460312955677,0.0038861890114835853,0.010279046667779736,0.02198852790933907,0.01392160339771046,0.00393967765349759,0.019566857694173233,0.039485148315390996,0.005432466269954733,0.015011715319841737,0.02667269722849627,0.0485580959172946,0.03502141823291003,0.016577108155463392,0.01826656292864907,0.015912229598247788,0.016307791147337287,0.01065227545318802,0.00868279873734641,0.02196886948666805,0.03494923647380115,0.0318150381225953,0.013853384227293054,0.022033265649054695,0.004926079010249123,0.028955983944638684,0.004870322596240688,0.00754080881247924,0.012810378668278877,0.013019101721245019,0.006818069542311333,0.005583194020891128,0.017430349059232405,0.03120597434798415,0.021785032138497123,0.0310948475102524,0.0343193800303243,0.02325720922090253,0.004530459696540151,0.0194818895786992,0.011783798873163191,0.009566134333780407,0.024077989287096792,0.018418447543033185,0.013254318986590087,0.030012641011971947,0.03787340508331192,0.053111621176331156,0.020070682658550443,0.012828078852044273,0.01723636931653549,0.036746242680890946,0.008653749454300731,0.024147887738681182,-1.8473938100476262,0.014405965695211633,0.02504224430767147,0.008662233098139186,0.014035442524312337,0.01975171996402055,0.03073636742823354,0.02122445369370886,0.014506559484468558,0.03171449025708141,0.02671003753891544,0.013241493809514327,0.0050221878199649865,0.030595912288463575,0.019000423448731082,0.02462977985920773,0.029805080203710626,0.023297033936115163,0.02504360927282985,0.007193968588715525,0.034707484335536186,0.016722782348007316,0.012960578743740013,-0.03894942777948351,0.004146779115992707,0.00493556829689888,0.03322252915532528,0.02331737930338618,0.03297500047624712,0.014004222039083351,0.02241244183026684,0.004969525012929975,0.028011790569354697,0.017352900333202647,0.0228783268739265,0.014215068530507151,0.020132390806958347,0.016473450373856453;-0.01999655586356608,0.004054958263049794,-0.11832372160719438,0.2711147990634532,0.06716796999001162,0.0432897456193102,0.18569741857282307,0.2081680030217413,0.06032797623595099,0.24260043065781903,0.09621287438828414,-0.09534077929243522,0.04081866082245448,0.23805957207464598,-0.04923628392738134,-0.28072489737719425,0.27777357085435045,0.18875831555924363,-0.012263319210736165,-1.0285984039824247,-0.31258661102884533,-0.0017949743032328821,0.13971070748630243,0.1703569900422996,0.1723689430197565,0.24047361134265433,0.12750632935931927,-0.07934378698510298,-0.3243348040478581,-0.11352142301888023,0.03918222969123833,0.062194183973822745,0.2665480095688735,-0.2046838491666289,0.24193422411951435,0.27617655877408404,0.06342595222868636,0.22423732011819178,0.17152742661109696,0.2813014071352797,-0.014031777948855479,-0.27217580754654896,-0.08586067116450954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x_a{155}	=[6.03568220179229,9.666640475262449,15.872381219715347];
std_x_a{155}	=[1.2823751384376918,1.8603738130667433,2.4583411700900206];
pred_a{155}	=[6.03568220179229];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.5 to 15.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{156}	=[10.757612790679056,16.046165975960943,22.30112693734124];
std_x_f{156}	=[1.9261459033018136,3.1668970616120733,2.146117464826533];
pred_f{156}	=[10.757612790679056];
obs{156}	=[11.33126817184669];
sqrt_r{156}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{156}	=[4.71074781639018];
L_f{156}	=[0.026641613761544752,0.02357173482853044,0.04670459420272135,-0.010912302882002744,0.02422975136724973,0.019219015267008994,-6.56572584593268E-4,0.003276507936747618,0.016698089518277462,-0.008468169048241258,0.01182244568761045,0.03570101123263896,0.01927647824571022,-0.00753263131837326,0.030390618497160883,0.05924185756313903,-0.010786929827148238,0.006948184259478375,0.03498957536044359,-0.020157693625869832,0.054499420281584415,0.02476721971686652,0.014995739508464464,0.009563814865819682,0.010195278498520815,-0.0025611010827964373,0.007751094958986773,0.03473583842651621,0.054818296358045665,0.04604673929864229,0.01932443942715437,0.024886038612998818,-0.010218575954277215,0.04675631833232689,-0.007486550274729038,-0.009854119325622891,0.01673492053345089,0.0020385773456362056,0.001543112352962387,-0.011424805402389536,0.02649441797308282,0.05127524350961475,0.035501359007051425,0.04550948526291972,0.054224437916241534,0.03795793409728776,-0.009644955918461182,0.030246446280858496,-2.1468484451929082E-4,0.00945510003488157,0.03978353270546638,0.029750148932834203,0.0025888978404517054,0.042355491202886474,0.05630811672773098,0.0427619155259159,0.03261100978528788,0.00248411421058057,0.012759462016981329,0.05365355720113081,0.0069458316715007495,0.02974107188251229,-1.8834617425853764,0.01966585584038737,0.04075065087701959,0.006775520516740858,0.019804529945482156,0.03040786350960153,0.04897148640788586,0.021926579391505132,0.004877093920998141,0.04634005694057395,0.03627873394368301,0.018465763754256077,-0.006388320375493351,0.04394232250296357,0.029712948906689667,0.030629381339307284,0.04248371220199471,0.03722218746230495,0.03297596672107017,0.002585590352541831,0.0508518430781289,0.011459926414618907,0.017948329971393458,-0.2754514072141,-0.010280242283727358,-0.006020059070576523,0.05298204286134098,0.026379919562316723,0.05272474820834955,0.019705763045592666,0.02413222038002901,-0.010382765090201366,0.045945017660564164,0.011359984629835337,0.02625546162443937,0.021415288971325365,0.03204970422679489,0.025101233507321713;0.050197431986906675,0.03498229895979843,0.12020091830913557,-0.13641533341514767,0.002350565185224695,0.010166134171347036,-0.0821014371245292,-0.09149709159815174,-9.207795470341466E-4,-0.11933120718672355,-0.024152287951688424,0.09741115156808237,0.011590232390121984,-0.11623037992657277,0.0694951448778498,0.21609462478769229,-0.1402851232508,-0.07727009554436251,0.054060854266977494,0.45520694696160324,0.22724505993661925,0.0396718930773652,-0.04483938860832444,-0.06493826739362361,-0.06623093458797542,-0.11344600518712865,-0.04458735733673035,0.08893302630585108,0.233618849857318,0.11727108196978958,0.012202255504534224,0.005727690590741031,-0.13398850741785998,0.1645120829959877,-0.11818058521749931,-0.13865889797115152,-0.002161737134558578,-0.1012280107209676,-0.07305315467505875,-0.1420964450035408,0.047070716986481305,0.20327286872507927,0.09233793832487569,0.11718025609514156,0.22293150328305403,0.11081202408312694,-0.12777672483791716,0.0654199201904366,-0.1062248713331511,-0.037390851615628336,0.11993056415699374,0.06792375452933443,-0.09837764856609134,0.09540502470478762,0.18724957039707246,0.4367964797271794,0.08667809135624303,-0.09717435672684979,-0.05367436700720841,0.16795408479666146,-0.04754376117399489,0.02843715876061896,-2.924112286488764,0.011838236564995065,0.12778319428300147,-0.04749566375326401,0.01563327183227108,0.06741804826986808,0.1811395635291773,-0.010048941221762838,-0.0879351794222334,0.11754937611588726,0.06316594502391654,0.011328968214351642,-0.11129891063864672,0.10459128464734081,0.06650918827731306,0.032004558006492094,0.09569833498461057,0.1056676418196416,0.04488507466212168,-0.06932943797639544,0.14494412448833205,-0.057540708318201295,0.0034675104078385984,0.12474100653940476,-0.13005268001479756,-0.10956653732775411,0.21709173605176113,0.009501598358345192,0.2178404519625876,0.012236498145989762,-0.005012236912297683,-0.13637670631261592,0.16454433571067084,-0.05982705516755511,0.007815225115587706,0.022087560207880517,0.0769848483927892,0.04156617018230605;0.0025851879564828305,0.01703858905558773,-0.040132085332307145,0.16958003878927813,0.0695084608595544,0.03995609110112259,0.11895869543600575,0.144489494425707,0.049339113270336056,0.15037747640614554,0.06860010300102415,-0.04253534007038112,0.03764396422431134,0.1471023205700652,-0.014337084453886624,-0.14958327528544482,0.17456256360132674,0.13619496278951185,0.024720191984097976,-0.9142972014982539,-0.18454791437476195,0.012949333636144115,0.11087688392994356,0.1258038212621089,0.12751091409917123,0.16089821353844544,0.08708356730993685,-0.03121760331996679,-0.1940702763497369,-0.03710466828185898,0.03655140706346018,0.0661494160347469,0.16655631241184318,-0.1116543807323401,0.15189195976740819,0.17610243119155594,0.05119348329329342,0.15516895632637573,0.11089171997877406,0.17680160559835847,0.006088959773830318,-0.1586163758716333,-0.03549288304991059,-0.038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k{156}	=[0.7877194791619527;1.2138968644308723;0.18522585857395754];
x_a_linear{156}	=[11.209492308750876,16.74252444442423,22.407382747843588];
L_a{156}	=[-0.016181395373618037,-0.014316833969462166,-0.02836710686232846,0.006627837523312229,-0.01471649541154513,-0.011673109876548352,3.987844234165127E-4,-0.00199006227039592,-0.010141967783848247,0.005143336762055126,-0.007180633638285161,-0.021683828283223825,-0.011708011335072311,0.004575116457180685,-0.01845843941560223,-0.035981901414711095,0.006551689321932383,-0.0042201391266190914,-0.02125172138331883,0.012243237714499058,-0.03310147332299438,-0.015042939145164132,-0.009108006447285825,-0.005808802387462448,-0.006192336312856561,0.0015555435036127166,-0.00470780536165804,-0.021097608434849598,-0.033295150024210386,-0.02796754359275134,-0.011737141659026383,-0.01511510652786776,0.006206486557138576,-0.028398522699184112,0.0045471280780565795,0.005985125461764386,-0.010164337945951295,-0.0012381767232529334,-9.372446921830582E-4,0.006939117687741443,-0.016091992634288767,-0.03114319558619365,-0.02156256492326485,-0.02764123002759306,-0.03293445647430758,-0.02305462216708964,0.005858085267455252,-0.01837087311219588,1.303937659701611E-4,-0.005742771940578469,-0.024163441367640696,-0.018069435531006577,-0.0015724265021334024,-0.02572557937113364,-0.03420002660763818,-0.02597243050857817,-0.019807045008300248,-0.0015087837604134881,-0.007749752004492118,-0.032587718973904514,-0.004218710228333963,-0.01806392237623301,1.1439637028237752,-0.01194450875093808,-0.024750842778342778,-0.0041152678409330816,-0.012028735650355856,-0.01846891356957144,-0.029743955853889486,-0.013317611068932372,-0.0029622148911960028,-0.028145696792352348,-0.02203472142683724,-0.011215605287947742,0.00388009295136649,-0.026689377768918516,-0.01804684124162374,-0.01860345750586811,-0.025803457336798192,-0.022607749567628333,-0.020028709976687497,-0.0015704176234655233,-0.030886033619784505,-0.006960449240322798,-0.010901330008112702,0.16730173202887763,0.0062439410171800805,0.003656420998571158,-0.032179859332651196,-0.016022449397499854,-0.03202358552188151,-0.011968747307635955,-0.014657257728740918,0.0063062105959382116,-0.02790576062200006,-0.006899747304306348,-0.015946857013412162,-0.013007067101373854,-0.019466123198957977,-0.015245810084288651;-0.015793974712814168,-0.023405002710826604,0.004513411600139187,-0.10938550616961426,-0.05766664664813929,-0.037439460001931865,-0.08047510364317244,-0.09961301767320352,-0.04228202839523845,-0.09835551131986488,-0.05343654334775584,0.008979573326188149,-0.03615769786052747,-0.09757201556099773,-0.005782564762886292,0.06935225583483788,-0.11356584567114439,-0.09448078170608758,-0.03260849386366962,0.5051376519894359,0.0922497311666958,-0.02167663046876704,-0.0819839082130095,-0.08862788327275356,-0.09148468895265825,-0.1071021453644228,-0.06378685720129831,0.0028921857930763115,0.09783366349705025,0.0032130850537450063,-0.03566447482552516,-0.05591514793827678,-0.10867704514210035,0.048696455366706685,-0.09963636382087074,-0.11425019653492689,-0.043614216586255264,-0.10627757670855427,-0.07687545146905764,-0.11379714652551441,-0.018556085030211705,0.07626384148085272,0.004400899615577779,0.004453040035308195,0.0886173071678192,0.01679003694243223,-0.10388612217724918,-0.009500674170197872,-0.10569309593043923,-0.06081118033043953,0.02138656039594464,-0.005767508889465906,-0.10479036109253304,-0.009509732747730525,0.04777409174425104,0.33087500725230007,0.005900461709204377,-0.10332751969311128,-0.08527961640271027,0.0350539629858249,-0.0647486199638714,-0.04523162076044191,1.7412315988626361,-0.03687418387908262,0.026843634113212153,-0.0642786609855092,-0.03342264504373944,-0.007902377350451467,0.0598369538164966,-0.06436118488348587,-0.10001576475516416,0.00276482997597926,-0.026696655179538162,-0.03441081830289788,-0.09547501003710698,-0.004254061643544962,-0.007089930496026861,-0.04386456835403782,-0.009534026505535483,0.013468102667708736,-0.03679655508763812,-0.07573395783921816,0.01898386216957484,-0.08592700171412121,-0.040990590115811285,0.8070354802215473,-0.10458846994144416,-0.0946548217673326,0.08585495852248334,-0.05584159053870097,0.0872409945385853,-0.03657477263923142,-0.06478786401655617,-0.11065854674961907,0.05073830378626152,-0.08796579227709614,-0.05721968086477846,-0.030958214599449876,-0.002402424659304879,-0.020609707145265;-0.0074842959697235655,0.008129398828105813,-0.057784588097853945,0.17370446081009502,0.0603505662172762,0.032692057959557194,0.11920685409284022,0.14325110307680208,0.04302789107833251,0.15357811180604541,0.06413168273619496,-0.05602892052590468,0.03035821233306397,0.1499493594417077,-0.0258235449665129,-0.17197437132902157,0.1786395995301478,0.1335688219579789,0.011495506353930119,-0.9066783847939854,-0.2051465553364106,0.00358829706125828,0.1052090831993427,0.12218907476339644,0.12365749914154424,0.1618662091868111,0.08415395776005748,-0.04434638635202113,-0.21478943994770536,-0.05450852772415626,0.029247527728809748,0.056743470582514374,0.17041853289297762,-0.12932643318794387,0.15472158181391235,0.17982690137734858,0.0448683404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x_a{156}	=[11.209492308750878,16.742524444424227,22.4073827478436];
std_x_a{156}	=[1.1698889071648382,2.1142792028310446,2.1157235555054816];
pred_a{156}	=[11.209492308750878];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.6 to 15.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{157}	=[14.09003809679116,12.44612728294171,35.98549419814472];
std_x_f{157}	=[1.0646932288951227,2.522578431178228,2.2029477558902832];
pred_f{157}	=[14.09003809679116];
obs{157}	=[14.277987507603406];
sqrt_r{157}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{157}	=[2.1335742035174015];
L_f{157}	=[0.0015911826671111393,-0.005818231647744006,0.022775412048151453,-0.08671904222857046,-0.03530985708539685,-0.01865741902481368,-0.05978920897282767,-0.07510711711613512,-0.023255236447131983,-0.076649474781456,-0.03401063173047937,0.02511135885000266,-0.017218362832031518,-0.07497653927493352,0.010559457298186227,0.08144861913229651,-0.08989444880488419,-0.07068048055493033,-0.011806663676067456,0.4724916918484746,0.10009869887042214,-0.003583312696873059,-0.05751319143512868,-0.06488779607328722,-0.06695146555496527,-0.08332368127298356,-0.04345496518378307,0.01907823469781963,0.10595591718801868,0.02093924944585904,-0.01679183200219217,-0.03393272278163448,-0.08584242090507069,0.06162901952378066,-0.0775382874868206,-0.09041295908479566,-0.02455269129755013,-0.08103843353862615,-0.0556758346503235,-0.09088659863818434,-6.01942348608262E-4,0.08699811301458842,0.02129254332559632,0.022238520603580312,0.09803347135299259,0.03190297002276983,-0.08209575770731747,0.0072032270721778206,-0.08118960617415794,-0.039886148060238,0.036580405960456405,0.010644729942433782,-0.07968311165937571,0.008722937341265672,0.0615168912791993,0.3162033292502654,0.021246462652367525,-0.07873191325836165,-0.06150359130733531,0.04987499661100673,-0.04443590068964301,-0.023401380571647572,0.0404751074589286,-0.01785442413845524,0.04097831786631933,-0.04438526191466374,-0.015049465308892632,0.008902715439851957,0.07111089795201682,-0.04215327530705767,-0.07546251668493643,0.020647334603278077,-0.006022732889939471,-0.01656619771541713,-0.07392276145843901,0.014263575331548846,0.009396095815327323,-0.022403868046335453,0.009652943388375121,0.028131607554165744,-0.015742962301556543,-0.054407485960211575,0.03596718849978029,-0.06210846550854839,-0.021591608452668578,0.7223010993477543,-0.08271636446277986,-0.07301392150108676,0.095285940252318,-0.03361041963310404,0.0968649426343314,-0.017420015349992074,-0.041155335126041644,-0.08737752195997706,0.06308024048655533,-0.0641712808537232,-0.03485177058312137,-0.012440966068362397,0.01416788558878066,-0.003126452436529607;0.0371879200742539,0.025666929756352364,0.07905706151611593,-0.09900012105328163,-0.008276644534664779,0.0069631801240638514,-0.05769288330041459,-0.07293356823619415,4.361657883510058E-4,-0.08439513641241311,-0.01685236939677477,0.07264837682946591,0.009158124838916199,-0.0815755224446962,0.050550042496050406,0.15538008902334652,-0.10229668347479712,-0.06488751583659635,0.027555975335392332,0.4505231519213466,0.1735567194028379,0.029016518776113776,-0.042367132842499905,-0.056252198858800756,-0.05670739765971238,-0.08782119619341433,-0.030759852050327528,0.06473079249643066,0.1788107197256944,0.0758106974099113,0.010113349678585574,-0.005614976214612065,-0.09620467685315483,0.12335022787627901,-0.08460091448585993,-0.10212467721706504,-0.0012512049422922066,-0.08092398060722464,-0.05105888688213501,-0.10421047945025923,0.034894552727057646,0.15534339221754626,0.0680560438698968,0.07689712761695372,0.16987570426325987,0.08241461596704834,-0.09109647532960499,0.046856935567736506,-0.08314595855262633,-0.02503035998433239,0.08893787720234478,0.05072307613478974,-0.0784748862835135,0.05807898567844622,0.1305135184757924,0.38252942860290123,0.06514522135866024,-0.07738921672645745,-0.04856953801458371,0.11464252043098835,-0.03285654496938343,0.010369202899435716,-2.312241094486646,0.008885567632216873,0.09443192010883938,-0.03367844749768465,0.012974464097233745,0.04868041615363568,0.1367254377416385,-0.018677356872124625,-0.07225168151051209,0.07573561575169492,0.035705605172110966,0.009200428320293714,-0.07988108306643786,0.0661010017611294,0.048649997447317704,0.01224476079308686,0.05961014463547494,0.07733575319688103,0.022592963761753796,-0.04799469166141344,0.09642041800817695,-0.05122924445047841,0.0033110659759037994,0.3015908077867834,-0.09242135711667246,-0.07790017489520602,0.16574622711720108,-0.004281714527879336,0.1671643031745166,0.009736516030838149,-0.014946578344656543,-0.09867192710873884,0.12367166663246532,-0.05238086629510281,-0.006126329761099758,0.0173383275425353,0.05639173983265039,0.031014151645672082;-0.02239791828702498,-0.029820986880854366,-0.006478376221944353,-0.10838164742175778,-0.0672428713218278,-0.04381784627532335,-0.08286391041472906,-0.10357429347302309,-0.048648923117675616,-0.09829247536743896,-0.05813514565430396,0.002790885328375543,-0.04277775592498626,-0.09723889160360118,-0.012003524427659097,0.06562422803895814,-0.11237554205246832,-0.0997032390279301,-0.04349776506400296,0.7548613767293311,0.09556773202974102,-0.027842874340392332,-0.09008911623332352,-0.09441075293135659,-0.09821393406051175,-0.1087892616100185,-0.06821766943941825,-0.0042567432632147845,0.1035098562945656,-0.008263681428466042,-0.041724869123350765,-0.06581966029491622,-0.10795497889126177,0.04516554905086991,-0.09975846932948436,-0.11336502760937132,-0.04951931200481992,-0.11012383368405226,-0.07962878527444828,-0.11255302521266766,-0.02583024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k{157}	=[0.531302919602513;0.385346952083531;0.8996848584513935];
x_a_linear{157}	=[14.189896167493279,12.518553015544104,36.154589437207356];
L_a{157}	=[-0.00435370243474591,0.015919510571773866,-0.0623167716289934,0.2372756523138942,0.09661279873185266,0.05104935612570488,0.163591792480447,0.20550377113454407,0.06362963953364736,0.20972388140946788,0.09305793309140592,-0.06870825482502431,0.047111893394523395,0.20514649156073142,-0.028892179319784873,-0.22285502397205323,0.24596401703050116,0.19339186294662866,0.032304713629167627,-1.2928045734262754,-0.27388429876392784,0.00980445396703299,0.15736428428781762,0.1775422530603976,0.18318874672363267,0.22798546108398457,0.1188989747267144,-0.052200767750538175,-0.2899104824179111,-0.05729276919519146,0.04594484428649286,0.09284476310955186,0.23487709150163977,-0.1686257762214196,0.21215579957911734,0.24738273501602945,0.06717966082158278,0.22173269775849386,0.1523370144005543,0.2486786803021379,0.0016470000100431103,-0.23803922973694297,-0.058259431575435686,-0.06084776015863374,-0.26823354209294076,-0.08729107043123423,0.2246256872955809,-0.019709055340016157,0.22214632762323858,0.10913418271314261,-0.10008920143855955,-0.029125497421189108,0.21802434403674908,-0.023867199112816543,-0.1683189773720306,-0.8651773507129813,-0.05813334828947629,0.215421729717213,0.16828258675448346,-0.13646509521908676,0.1215829540010392,0.06402951067596094,-0.11074565952284232,0.048852247733257075,-0.11212251487774878,0.12144439909940745,0.04117748082054299,-0.024359097599211014,-0.19456954625627315,0.11533736580354015,0.2064761949800142,-0.05649404860380226,0.016479055100794473,0.04532747673718561,0.2022632053484183,-0.03902717389568446,-0.025709056586548897,0.06130017431508574,-0.02641182813330471,-0.07697208550181633,0.04307498737831075,0.14886663171327136,-0.09841135111580492,0.16993760873088395,0.05907771636372212,-1.976318696683172,0.22632375578144617,0.1997764897645297,-0.26071590562681185,0.09196289578439393,-0.2650362810664979,0.04766364340824843,0.11260685931574112,0.23907734665679478,-0.17259652349612273,0.17558176535497794,0.09535940880905913,0.03404025532829468,-0.038765353128854235,0.008554419216838664;0.0328761738557292,0.041433025519077536,0.01734083068747433,0.1359889283699332,0.0874051058460296,0.05752057846081717,0.10432239063744544,0.1305897826043195,0.06345261253853421,0.12330765590173935,0.07530877324549576,0.0046022569203689,0.05581600539827999,0.1215939918912722,0.02193629436002379,-0.06532730228160659,0.14129700172072515,0.12664064812307257,0.05954937151227739,-0.8298227868078915,-0.09768818242694134,0.0387264881529092,0.11348064680679644,0.11957909639742799,0.12471597653743781,0.13796719068905114,0.08699330456712227,0.013033078579145083,-0.1083059229506744,0.01907005318152221,0.05561542787115902,0.08633505074464216,0.1364089264601921,-0.043650517780095564,0.12551035983387535,0.14287405391371286,0.06528105187836811,0.13867190023512863,0.09981007020158625,0.14207170806518116,0.03652568075467365,-0.08040187610572659,0.010358052894669142,0.016635751534871294,-0.0957728967000459,-0.004035238721937638,0.13136451558485965,0.027337814519221987,0.1368595660428107,0.08305210699131113,-0.01018677412286216,0.021878258361707602,0.13744837788915712,0.03444179249312982,-0.036183384922521204,-0.4743102902806106,0.007572098616758644,0.1359565142733025,0.11809132545910235,-0.02050747364661282,0.0875547256694361,0.07378166727177106,-2.4219195086232683,0.05726703090110279,-0.01661008075860403,0.08659560347991023,0.053755121452086926,0.02455606486084661,-0.055969060305646086,0.09554851370854728,0.13223472201937453,0.019785994920333068,0.05202585318645696,0.054091088475904776,0.1204329310121741,0.027449929027846747,0.023188696593538394,0.07295419115943176,0.03345284477748557,0.0011054403611337105,0.06525284158417605,0.09943732648286449,-0.0010425522782313563,0.11707069171025458,0.061819456006752364,-1.655682293612296,0.13172133815918624,0.11995108784105273,-0.09245718412749131,0.08679494357774205,-0.09531784846272207,0.05694082944152993,0.09657509937950247,0.1381014539003793,-0.047261560584841066,0.1215088342892336,0.08831410949625983,0.051050540168285176,0.01799996472437409,0.03948613273825085;-0.03246472370826295,0.006988744084771055,-0.15056971546052106,0.4402566343262821,0.15614911759152011,0.07422052283681352,0.2953995947502243,0.3715997700623469,0.09847808195659642,0.3866394964380915,0.15703714031944488,-0.15607909775458934,0.06615625390622237,0.3771090557686956,-0.07880918047952053,-0.449670098364147,0.45635232513273866,0.34746518451822955,0.031198489714056993,-2.234413219647223,-0.537718530619843,-0.0051726225657411015,0.27377489466807103,0.3161095668184014,0.32536243485016164,0.418367867294132,0.2067053096337631,-0.12495745252392086,-0.5668327911005889,-0.1407383206984654,0.06451064294333157,0.14885972549533633,0.4351372543268488,-0.34473773526150814,0.39079668122589634,0.4586432562147736,0.10581619470284004,0.4025754050252113,0.2726109705213994,0.462451795289709,-0.022021982227518225,-0.4724060467414597,-0.13722792647976206,-0.1467675519503576,-0.5283758901527943,-0.19060969428852198,0.416108938206294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x_a{157}	=[14.189896167493268,12.518553015544104,36.15458943720738];
std_x_a{157}	=[2.913152335497616,3.1986919684337014,5.092792033055101];
pred_a{157}	=[14.189896167493268];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.7 to 15.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{158}	=[8.234368832654713,0.6732760514890612,34.2181718753704];
std_x_f{158}	=[2.3019027289026703,3.6933213056871783,3.735203311684989];
pred_f{158}	=[8.234368832654713];
obs{158}	=[8.496941153219021];
sqrt_r{158}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{158}	=[6.3023876281660645];
L_f{158}	=[0.06026155355202228,0.052223005407297185,0.08764115258327994,-0.0523201080572395,0.02337233906476182,0.037944773852660485,-0.015069400882881586,-0.031341092918638666,0.03296320324513358,-0.0386494701233405,0.019412059996547687,0.08422274265008906,0.04011187871750467,-0.03570164629047685,0.06905479782385507,0.1296189880282824,-0.05565051841656834,-0.02470485839755353,0.0517870112414331,-0.396361766993046,0.13409271069221604,0.054820823216635374,-0.0050927971742984746,-0.015973601609842687,-0.017839983773980134,-0.044025454729464286,0.007685272421451901,0.07896876284824599,0.13617693685681886,0.08566887125352783,0.04042391450634548,0.025200619639015806,-0.051017815053467405,0.11376462958612968,-0.03861778526369336,-0.05595794556997306,0.03124561170838663,-0.038658561874181166,-0.008129261309642137,-0.05827027209711311,0.05920650376994849,0.12806834394001446,0.08160692116457938,0.08650607054538204,0.13346944990476411,0.09057284853865154,-0.04571549229738647,0.06603845739713206,-0.040472300496172786,0.012808015323030946,0.09462901787803997,0.06953187459932841,-0.03684435313091935,0.07336394801943155,0.11758188491758613,0.017394029050763544,0.08005193427136888,-0.03581751437029057,-0.010984643667306468,0.10964634013500726,0.005936738774176267,0.03835107748553133,-1.3049774671240102,0.03944497151227059,0.09799218552705723,0.005832751996161876,0.04227306407415425,0.06863283470400294,0.1200901991502055,0.015234284430131848,-0.030814362511527634,0.08572283197696313,0.05772987389414602,0.03949143764019699,-0.03394657910403853,0.0794670771343634,0.06811245251192162,0.03935118458758777,0.07404053995379627,0.08730603844877831,0.04785204830058167,-0.006610062576317893,0.09932117814218355,-0.012234543094399667,0.035191381938125064,-1.737635163707365,-0.04683131239103184,-0.032736912208523816,0.1315684217784371,0.02646649476030767,0.13238173878051024,0.039930539916922476,0.017376868877078067,-0.052036429749039666,0.11368365968585963,-0.014845495336382854,0.02465300745035747,0.04580338760401709,0.07389297365952455,0.05561642925809729;0.10869577801715245,0.07194312452280027,0.21842246986865294,-0.3460144202467047,-0.07276489092885693,0.007780827695348582,-0.2049558310704561,-0.28068909060382397,-0.015521597012299486,-0.29322602196790937,-0.07115821639945649,0.22458512932101796,0.015199116730191435,-0.28388783843527055,0.15219486480481012,0.4892546738030993,-0.3615838575407403,-0.2575867368101034,0.04766048300447302,0.7280645957055081,0.5652075259593456,0.08295443855168329,-0.1862773989013672,-0.22659917566654184,-0.23682846639089475,-0.3254412685994213,-0.11931815353038214,0.19524761371950014,0.5891785291115176,0.2100327682037741,0.016599693891290804,-0.06589520908117551,-0.3411410058863417,0.3964732810000912,-0.29759422221030984,-0.36426534580243713,-0.022487957104625533,-0.31104507688975574,-0.1833995405004058,-0.367050915452683,0.0985383292311036,0.5087789079921624,0.2066856344591074,0.215535025958919,0.5564660036330177,0.25667721641517244,-0.3223699673168606,0.13651725348605911,-0.31305152207573445,-0.10045985751144677,0.2804503134247613,0.15297855597907228,-0.30390829526241175,0.14912821641023719,0.40024029957963897,1.114143900891533,0.20476473348439744,-0.29990913715356443,-0.208263240991815,0.3460160282512075,-0.12444795902924637,-0.011043886239877435,-1.5440890807626897,0.011888283377483396,0.3002806514954824,-0.12451832084022721,0.025302606557778703,0.1454800996299285,0.4393160081294246,-0.10838140385650318,-0.28158657236515083,0.20838707437880002,0.07654714782069424,0.017126448268348887,-0.2787166412215656,0.17689537177650866,0.1474176718170375,-0.006233911205874667,0.15591571738443974,0.23942196036080468,0.02806045272053037,-0.175719941947397,0.2823284534049795,-0.21160078639689475,-0.0070986673691514875,-1.751439892156295,-0.32465634146934885,-0.27295522026601987,0.5443766005099215,-0.0630959425809565,0.5514905078301616,0.014200951187302344,-0.10132953165746397,-0.34786893129818297,0.40242363664439945,-0.22237638835659923,-0.06918593151187934,0.03953009761446713,0.17067268107776043,0.08556185278222168;0.037224404623770406,0.052800896423643565,-0.002936449843995924,0.19186889972457583,0.11557876476380777,0.07861265687546022,0.15055187020482297,0.17934787721977466,0.08807909707061962,0.17648419709928828,0.10732814939964178,-0.014734053851262148,0.0756371514820843,0.1736718068689253,0.017948172683669158,-0.16250217505339598,0.1971257769499993,0.1726670917593607,0.07169500792254759,-2.2154596664671233,-0.22507938372433717,0.04728437694918527,0.15355908009448768,0.16404179933709517,0.16884632998677268,0.1900974729184825,0.12398399559057151,1.2733117876913584E-4,-0.24574605569357708,9.850619864868453E-4,0.07449149978379248,0.1131802180669738,0.1915543744224835,-0.1086973576814118,0.1784131875983922,0.198488380615756,0.09037056839462258,0.18788134340505863,0.14353887657514683,0.19872026005254165,0.04228103753040835,-0.18392910969811058,-0.0053315371019274985,-0.0024376582730589688,-0.21909038688668978,-0.0308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k{158}	=[0.8413299753999754;0.9864263522201843;0.7853291523977958];
x_a_linear{158}	=[8.455278796655797,0.9322843078573004,34.42437757332229];
L_a{158}	=[-0.029052636854751908,-0.025177180509495575,-0.04225258775208754,0.02522399457020552,-0.011268014833180004,-0.01829351668349146,0.0072650936735490996,0.015109822723209479,-0.01589185669804417,0.018633257092395564,-0.009358728682550438,-0.040604541584078446,-0.01933829742599477,0.017212084714985216,-0.03329193898930688,-0.06249047969556953,0.02682961535234081,0.011910434385873974,-0.024966983801562263,0.19108957205386135,-0.06464730162071201,-0.026429611835621418,0.0024552833134656956,0.007701016974821556,0.008600816599138594,0.021225067613238238,-0.003705138942319741,-0.03807155067647803,-0.06565212579656243,-0.041301733187755145,-0.019488732685700647,-0.012149445338395024,0.024596147402534865,-0.054846950924156514,0.01861798153664126,0.026977828747460835,-0.015063790373155458,0.018637640307231283,0.003919189977778008,0.028092622159227348,-0.028543987867536307,-0.06174290023682697,-0.0393434305237777,-0.04170535449466845,-0.06434682199056085,-0.043665984734732925,0.0220398499219841,-0.031837734145878115,0.019512060006495635,-0.006174859360187067,-0.045621500447365376,-0.03352194199275911,0.017762993958275047,-0.03536941904757644,-0.056687284045189065,-0.008385817816936812,-0.03859375735972044,0.01726794575817885,0.005295795488737354,-0.052861486547057066,-0.0028621551477058323,-0.01848939931848484,0.6291413715920646,-0.01901677546535096,-0.04724291381342162,-0.00281202218694931,-0.020380224320367693,-0.03308850677482575,-0.05789656489213887,-0.007344585514353541,0.014855881257446453,-0.041327748137752016,-0.027832091326178084,-0.01903917720345965,0.016365951042389693,-0.03831179247478499,-0.032837625840613414,-0.01897155994560538,-0.03569561010322165,-0.04209102621441208,-0.023069902783583295,0.0031867706074183116,-0.04788363310381581,0.005898383241954698,-0.016966081682288726,0.837729537683706,0.02257779682287064,0.01578275975442757,-0.0634303192363266,-0.012759735117443018,-0.06382242667658088,-0.019250872359589142,-0.008377544742894335,0.025087230706914484,-0.05480791460713414,0.007157146796166017,-0.011885436577973743,-0.022082225039687837,-0.03562446706579928,-0.02681318066250351;0.003978397654508387,-0.01880555350780118,0.06612716101039255,-0.2550970055253127,-0.11337934534541157,-0.05815635915253674,-0.17876951340893735,-0.2262272164122002,-0.07280223597246137,-0.2260642741343331,-0.10489083612898481,0.07823004125212582,-0.05450387984282302,-0.22184856706227074,0.032197335644803156,0.26401386815640854,-0.26487914017272024,-0.21465674411768854,-0.04233056160628577,1.4168282180968477,0.3321926672021299,-0.012308505368503553,-0.1774275709866187,-0.19884161521640786,-0.205827666437894,-0.24893759392127343,-0.1326729634865013,0.05802244296766329,0.3525418801551504,0.06116472137272781,-0.05364553182220981,-0.10968669331224541,-0.2524866047081022,0.19878282521219318,-0.23048753361938265,-0.2670264077869345,-0.0767839122048536,-0.2438675301881646,-0.16927320457887646,-0.2657938139118053,-0.004345675740121943,0.2862326791896964,0.0648760975304197,0.06521216571008145,0.3245341942347683,0.09928745674423453,-0.24292948971220896,0.02176126307091218,-0.24272221532213006,-0.122716532509289,0.11601208914427161,0.032152003549422985,-0.23988332554942024,0.021642614117824165,0.1959165435377021,1.0839180429641346,0.06565731995541177,-0.23766852012864242,-0.18917506550917618,0.155481984096879,-0.13476431656875817,-0.07768711283546631,0.7235892935018439,-0.05665581881991939,0.12999820174839524,-0.13465397903921095,-0.048155913324656505,0.026215821936503604,0.23063351786833922,-0.13485424206246915,-0.22804000528293272,0.05942525921176513,-0.023770895882609833,-0.051498398797137766,-0.21972717569145,0.0388042730230896,0.02905766984719021,-0.07461503849662275,0.027254391421377908,0.08770898422082064,-0.055092749406889484,-0.1642335398182582,0.10973659381074626,-0.1903406424533207,-0.06825124493621391,1.2680740706287423,-0.24327688701668587,-0.21606781054003132,0.3157482354082548,-0.10908715646973381,0.3214488299139165,-0.05518693030759477,-0.13152557010081242,-0.25744446850964664,0.20487388343293358,-0.19657915462830114,-0.11202582205724314,-0.040063116946236405,0.042267783216118314,-0.011083627358023068;-0.04614483158572247,-0.019447358338192066,-0.12418416950459453,0.26425149177581914,0.08324415104402824,0.026117713951239963,0.17139973036919695,0.22270691502390316,0.042475940238749184,0.22995405663921717,0.08047240938344874,-0.13125255216951437,0.020144113309422965,0.22306348045213348,-0.07758613421410822,-0.34182440279577436,0.27411584676368933,0.2068451879727232,4.9932110760196346E-5,-1.6671104150936282,-0.41059081203525505,-0.028557845671263495,0.16060474330037597,0.18614058184819776,0.19352717098006902,0.25100477314934183,0.11335175572829888,-0.10912251478451826,-0.4341409201787853,-0.1175340923059817,0.018566773679900853,0.07831625775607716,0.26213530079061964,-0.2660857706446415,0.23183921251421227,0.27590376251416165,0.047143624688668534,0.24136378098652014,0.15478535573780577,0.279334645047809,-0.0396285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x_a{158}	=[8.455278796655799,0.9322843078572994,34.42437757332228];
std_x_a{158}	=[1.109768004902814,2.8385903376753663,3.225650432866467];
pred_a{158}	=[8.455278796655799];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.8 to 15.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{159}	=[2.8160217030167436,-0.6806468215352491,26.58830132286878];
std_x_f{159}	=[2.015656514700671,3.1172034947257763,1.6852440961870108];
pred_f{159}	=[2.8160217030167436];
obs{159}	=[2.988809688442789];
sqrt_r{159}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{159}	=[5.062897496100626];
L_f{159}	=[0.0051294098461796755,-0.010658049449884693,0.05006299058333714,-0.174987725738735,-0.07615762883442319,-0.03859753079219655,-0.12250178391314445,-0.15488505316115767,-0.04849713324191898,-0.15503519045054306,-0.07128003959629699,0.05810374424122445,-0.03662095783860812,-0.1517088808330419,0.025458051096815603,0.19403137940676252,-0.1813675652361292,-0.14620960351172982,-0.0268466374417574,1.2051707556948623,0.24433666707779395,-0.0059021131532156655,-0.120882427239657,-0.13541064388240465,-0.14059658234847816,-0.1704056222798171,-0.09022558787298389,0.04378790019405859,0.26048969354166157,0.04604016170295162,-0.034882104243483994,-0.073981294489189,-0.17338736886981213,0.1455473875023759,-0.15777108395452047,-0.18305437084202877,-0.05130937224950411,-0.16672245263844157,-0.11529823792225304,-0.18258339696958126,-2.0261459500233488E-5,0.2102981901414259,0.04890974194672303,0.04926143605768468,0.2390389193913207,0.07383098053378173,-0.16688497476921166,0.017497057636438072,-0.166367727192918,-0.08351461467611469,0.0852955468347421,0.02536698483987752,-0.16436536777442418,0.01847011527544775,0.1432046335721488,0.867273562639118,0.049395643366050145,-0.1620784130419928,-0.12925116392940905,0.1146800661176808,-0.09230855565624038,-0.05184420299948437,-0.00622656996452397,-0.037161514277634485,0.09553811264947291,-0.09168223201069213,-0.03149932988556941,0.021223106108301644,0.16909632009901188,-0.0910909241092619,-0.15640020981101863,0.045009163062601915,-0.014187713097231864,-0.033778906448177326,-0.1507842035592403,0.030335289257507978,0.02286387470152842,-0.04972190456446073,0.022205144679754246,0.0649038086692097,-0.035917723475694885,-0.11224308967522746,0.08148771251514408,-0.12988437269089295,-0.045157420828582616,0.708114132356039,-0.16662206213775962,-0.14826619373276442,0.2323228553751133,-0.07392695326906092,0.23706014457125568,-0.0378600412802432,-0.08897799161693641,-0.1763588700496779,0.15014177376679969,-0.13453879844102573,-0.0756756543683515,-0.025943777405920774,0.03295542448547414,-0.005629704343499537;0.034840405477591554,0.006246116500855309,0.11777428073350175,-0.29159581730538026,-0.10928350114627142,-0.04350249892041509,-0.1970182768773192,-0.2533688482875975,-0.0613353359149077,-0.2563724140202299,-0.1026261119643715,0.13028140113947909,-0.03830886022071863,-0.25113417253159975,0.07081642410128826,0.3717392810501535,-0.30348069987586473,-0.23769186315377236,-0.01995249795078492,1.7093285079565403,0.4562108332180928,0.014952955153553734,-0.19099094103950684,-0.21787523494542752,-0.22602694160237752,-0.2818283089848874,-0.1376753971919069,0.10449802893606602,0.4836513284772538,0.11108066813077828,-0.036856768765303145,-0.10478003831555371,-0.28925760477648715,0.2855486817843703,-0.2605369805287441,-0.30588928569922724,-0.06635691248598209,-0.27387856556671586,-0.18274099245767605,-0.30608242464696944,0.026738055169034904,0.39803515918901883,0.11423602015332693,0.1164585348459178,0.4475965710405045,0.15776574587816455,-0.2768174563386593,0.05702697134899063,-0.27406961299293475,-0.124342361498086,0.17841132411696417,0.07057535304427602,-0.2701520385073257,0.06170729623386017,0.2829194561831721,1.4224285023503729,0.11457796756627041,-0.26616913502640593,-0.20561813254177055,0.23237414472746623,-0.14082220631081874,-0.06434802448269553,-0.7543227652520167,-0.04116947094972378,0.19686722337054047,-0.1407041966964386,-0.030666707071379733,0.06428807223920693,0.3261586260628072,-0.13599348699748529,-0.2542277547030643,0.10908370328941158,0.0031829425521830617,-0.035886224541142306,-0.2482089016721805,0.08372738226116068,0.06688104890129941,-0.06130774104698591,0.06774803568018199,0.14261022984721758,-0.03574520845538748,-0.1778078417674803,0.1741029543446573,-0.20739183443981457,-0.05541124364229714,0.19984972943942475,-0.27771972639422066,-0.2439192934126589,0.43490380896788466,-0.10388858452666505,0.4433556145870426,-0.039765487497836566,-0.13161375162358488,-0.29492568600260755,0.2921288996373772,-0.2156975505039945,-0.10841659484807563,-0.02037127765672711,0.08517834432938257,0.016060962559823533;-0.05999372736448441,-0.05073633486245761,-0.08540545919700608,0.06799592204708978,-0.015416749330440462,-0.03519102843544718,0.024521605810005002,0.04645743148001876,-0.02914880859459359,0.051216719211945594,-0.014831857825172585,-0.08472495272031082,-0.03762053255952242,0.04735892173896967,-0.06968283374349046,-0.12538597715644062,0.07173504081718546,0.039316494909107345,-0.046688651084278436,0.6854661426366603,-0.12720591423164565,-0.05443660742511174,0.017764656243288535,0.029408526682749164,0.03229247412213444,0.060702895584887534,-8.277586884316822E-4,-0.07951030713521036,-0.12806211009466045,-0.08376713768226265,-0.03849744899842962,-0.01667923786108574,0.06691578675868542,-0.11326355304844651,0.051322067086330435,0.07263356135347429,-0.02757358585826663,0.05455585708900874,0.016086481973726228,0.07492806558314195,-0.058474523836641465,-0.1239882642342644,-0.08216238520697645,-0.0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k{159}	=[0.8024846442634506;1.1457116570539025;0.19513103340737603];
x_a_linear{159}	=[2.9546814080343617,-0.4826816124337693,26.622017621025343];
L_a{159}	=[-0.002930901139209099,0.006089918764766672,-0.02860556682601608,0.09998649749098244,0.04351582107959618,0.022054300662631036,0.06999647694238932,0.08850000143673344,0.027710849265238393,0.08858578860634826,0.040728808093050434,-0.033199985046184585,0.020924903695898747,0.08668516359496267,-0.014546513770443276,-0.11086787915166119,0.10363188349280689,0.08354292332771925,0.015339940192258759,-0.6886243148299618,-0.1396118924718443,0.003372417233803995,0.06907119031850098,0.07737248968544858,0.0803356907970547,0.09736832256434468,0.05155413316791032,-0.025020033573243176,-0.14884159434483557,-0.02630695663460232,0.019931337547804073,0.04227228215347644,0.09907206719375032,-0.08316453873486741,0.09014905487440311,0.10459570986274253,0.02931773870441988,0.09526379077189137,0.06588043205921938,0.10432659939961163,1.1577225550768886E-5,-0.12016259638877837,-0.02794661036821571,-0.028147565390602567,-0.13658480452310245,-0.0421863940384,0.09535665453448898,-0.009997669848440255,0.09506110367073009,0.04771954018787089,-0.04873714966909862,-0.014494479286124965,0.09391697253737163,-0.010553666703480713,-0.0818259090739711,-0.4955527339345055,-0.028224250304613126,0.09261022606329226,0.07385301525222182,-0.0655272139502009,0.0527443232349858,0.02962333644400551,0.0035578090949352505,0.02123377304548461,-0.054589664620146514,0.052386447233399025,0.01799844906421303,-0.012126702239772262,-0.09662019843927616,0.052048578930047114,0.08936574905377466,-0.025717852784424622,0.008106738538434155,0.01930097971483714,0.08615681086892649,-0.01733332615433062,-0.013064223452402181,0.02841067317718069,-0.012687830723190413,-0.03708548399759358,0.020523081564854013,0.06413474634757178,-0.046561385540298934,0.0742148253504678,0.02580256601035906,-0.4046103897816063,0.0952064284940392,0.08471804148019192,-0.13274730269221202,0.04224123204269236,-0.13545414942860162,0.021632905430906877,0.050841267283183854,0.10076995768298795,-0.08578973195205486,0.0768743246189049,0.04324042497087387,0.014824053650349814,-0.018830449128476895,0.0032167651578986767;0.02333265598798533,0.030157281097787866,0.005458756801905133,0.10098636504003453,0.061574929088482895,0.043090448142447196,0.07781252892235381,0.09411330753787928,0.04746721195085057,0.09144657242847788,0.057289524313810763,-7.342586545532104E-5,0.04384967682619025,0.08922229114139692,0.01370169096411379,-0.06356703571819101,0.10341455101379766,0.09032705922591815,0.040277506588260216,-0.9944529336970597,-0.09195459714827424,0.02819425223514718,0.08020686379287233,0.08591639308865723,0.08939925698187193,0.10047399705468747,0.06474427562251231,0.006260570589000606,-0.10075316010818157,0.007790296874301138,0.041400677869286064,0.061195820395064306,0.09973420236129009,-0.04098456950016934,0.09341993952600205,0.10479028676591078,0.048754848910118435,0.10016060790367233,0.07592877236731693,0.10354052541855445,0.02678351143149287,-0.07376548900202609,0.004507791214208557,0.005941285756863237,-0.0886834465662473,-0.007872885861809327,0.09758633294982669,0.01777260054933717,0.09917373957659235,0.06302134957863875,-0.012947879960721328,0.013664925607605611,0.09859905252194984,0.02026988608183168,-0.03835786388251166,-0.5232859554721999,0.0037596265132943027,0.09745120939768451,0.08435480008467065,-0.024908761475992806,0.06627057162942473,0.05196362120315356,-0.7403535544694901,0.04220179587933392,-0.017471014370152565,0.06498343409656455,0.04000153903953936,0.016674370895461383,-0.0532062813374044,0.06836755391384697,0.09665363099231593,0.0081063611012016,0.03501285145972517,0.03989621536819385,0.09007306322907818,0.015670642804058964,0.01558630928853551,0.05024256182071723,0.017931146404822206,-0.00300043365686457,0.04483563347189349,0.07400774650802795,-0.008713433939024393,0.08400169198207233,0.04589871248824869,-1.3887930753994737,0.09609422258297477,0.08871355645111995,-0.08630882572887535,0.06196536052001337,-0.08848505315130144,0.0451729135628002,0.06800695881323093,0.10073263681853487,-0.04471178423199594,0.08613810613495684,0.061360533330054895,0.037833174737304416,0.011243373119209985,0.02869111480507497;-0.061953661206716755,-0.046663922550819865,-0.10453439457750031,0.13485826604677187,0.013682877833867211,-0.020443014707791748,0.07132921121202392,0.10563859782269305,-0.010618183134262492,0.11045525261306739,0.012404055480623278,-0.10692623866036964,-0.02362776209367446,0.10532648109344961,-0.07941028727093541,-0.19952485050803578,0.14103510449884346,0.09518279504409123,-0.03643062241233811,0.2249736063433599,-0.22056630403568792,-0.052181425707026795,0.06395350977283264,0.08114857310178568,0.08601405381852491,0.1258144300553928,0.03364719816050758,-0.09624154718898546,-0.227594528293858,-0.10135896086064852,-0.025169089860584554,0.011588817745645135,0.13316663866061937,-0.1688768222097862,0.1116059781094379,0.14257814896506038,-0.007968411362335146,0.11826006224809428,0.06014163163619416,0.14469269533230364,-0.05846678198692398,-0.20434264264787017,-0.10085066735460592,-0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x_a{159}	=[2.954681408034362,-0.4826816124337669,26.62201762102535];
std_x_a{159}	=[1.1517289809841145,2.0346712836464906,1.6364643135811456];
pred_a{159}	=[2.954681408034362];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.9 to 16.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{160}	=[1.054463900948089,0.312828323673179,20.596673621976933];
std_x_f{160}	=[1.6237639332325975,1.9821451611452308,1.7879976267034694];
pred_f{160}	=[1.054463900948089];
obs{160}	=[1.1250001369131826];
sqrt_r{160}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{160}	=[3.6369004521917425];
L_f{160}	=[0.017062863908130145,0.024705313282404186,-0.004082912045087225,0.09508040778662646,0.056672152514316856,0.038523039871637445,0.07398014860591615,0.08891853981396076,0.04334465343157943,0.0868958338132042,0.053068044569462965,-0.010124026824967542,0.038511040032865575,0.08486407461695389,0.006783535958710313,-0.08527463955727828,0.09736730141229764,0.08554980552105494,0.03444593091324058,-0.872668222843896,-0.11810816851101212,0.022601168488403284,0.07597604748589573,0.08113773677645177,0.08501069629577139,0.0947855634614922,0.06109058005899701,-0.0023012815422027207,-0.1288914966710543,-0.0013827855181754885,0.036162995323843906,0.05643546161447938,0.09416184581432363,-0.05783388983650269,0.08854688825706504,0.09941329119703633,0.044266609933448234,0.09406371534262144,0.07158770252776167,0.09780038272228098,0.02040201357274516,-0.09666587538950129,-0.004368757276150355,-0.003602278144816648,-0.11480334215168742,-0.018577296165170763,0.09248971036282971,0.010832244883946494,0.09345623421006345,0.058704153947400424,-0.024462985525961944,0.006502163628045711,0.09277980292413084,0.012631132876377075,-0.0551163457232447,-0.5732797722737842,-0.0050830673291405795,0.09208066289697493,0.07954495306284098,-0.03884651438212253,0.06234434688208405,0.047236646124419475,-0.47731575640436974,0.03702515265710985,-0.030658586535612667,0.061585724708275655,0.034824513101354856,0.009535902295297804,-0.07182534262359558,0.0639373221324201,0.09135399851180477,-0.0013032377226201138,0.028746542524297182,0.03538178923731418,0.0857051908549956,0.007217952880490384,0.008201733172360854,0.04524230929525111,0.010092872500040479,-0.013225022841114783,0.039481421698389266,0.06978776676908537,-0.02040209318603252,0.07989079664205088,0.0411892990506493,-0.9572384096001094,0.09066472845352189,0.08422399256795227,-0.11220525435108086,0.057379145401551104,-0.11403958175053111,0.03988836452320265,0.06315947798655237,0.09540303641715002,-0.06109263430870087,0.080962556775422,0.0569932429310176,0.03252958083507767,0.003438456222441847,0.023119270166352172;0.02995732728787989,0.038262823394815966,0.008783439976533065,0.09603786387244598,0.07068008786975044,0.051794107469219273,0.0806753546478958,0.09339953115905436,0.05624768794216064,0.08953383144124778,0.06465606670100607,0.0015855493420727448,0.05231108551632709,0.08844271382658622,0.01916652032636775,-0.08866551344226363,0.0974652680226347,0.09155060347036036,0.04946784957691292,-0.9868971925249497,-0.13188177201335796,0.03616150344338638,0.0849370666838254,0.08861158562539549,0.09201568349160974,0.09721779737712959,0.0713328288554742,0.01009442157143529,-0.14648483132462173,0.012176173643038284,0.049194934056890675,0.06954652494627303,0.0947511675804859,-0.05484641658986132,0.09203422674593736,0.09845592763077136,0.05679951782367809,0.09795951120989053,0.08056384082818847,0.09681485597604825,0.034271207140799155,-0.10378430424260936,0.007989727420714096,0.009439601322996104,-0.12696043110088615,-0.00848244556687485,0.09426697289161853,0.023468428236927883,0.09705726235734789,0.07164901140208244,-0.015312767516247966,0.019095542333041924,0.0967625651543666,0.02727016811511675,-0.05122405053069735,-0.7270785466830244,0.0067757909944406265,0.09588938299352472,0.08806223148487771,-0.0317634740702341,0.07272839452102801,0.06162647625131913,-0.7376953224657431,0.050311513386523614,-0.022464575195053675,0.07103818999065732,0.048166219442435175,0.022459079697329475,-0.07208036364255047,0.076000253458335,0.09582081061795034,0.012709529507952243,0.04365896233653043,0.04775020863269375,0.08942228804219533,0.021757129384936638,0.020997234262162347,0.05959313024624071,0.024089960674838807,-0.0020945911684355175,0.054835623121766215,0.07881629565524227,-0.008845874070815546,0.08769216299616138,0.054051550595495594,-1.1823171137872655,0.09132417212725838,0.08865189885712066,-0.12376784649419918,0.070817984311458,-0.12623487440494555,0.054065955799657596,0.0761474615345477,0.09580763814600106,-0.05966658758164859,0.08903318230254777,0.0698715114962432,0.04582185549784123,0.01643292495906933,0.036366125382163474;-0.06637565136010676,-0.053339339624155206,-0.10164732963174086,0.10099620692854833,-8.28514640048969E-4,-0.03088404701717781,0.047071616369371724,0.07705467865042125,-0.02250350913174603,0.08015498992271083,-0.002715840127590339,-0.10458500567660572,-0.032814190482972065,0.07511163942845156,-0.08116137670421039,-0.1796493629373039,0.10624361725569376,0.0687144163110258,-0.04287699593152414,0.6897901757486883,-0.19531215662331342,-0.058096915675330624,0.041983938039557224,0.05673608548976706,0.06094397501720915,0.09442586062630567,0.015510329353860503,-0.09509196964247238,-0.2003923039078618,-0.09894974289230998,-0.03481525681932266,-0.002459322994242733,0.09991064262757263,-0.1559169546456497,0.08164687123237549,0.10782764050924543,-0.01964101521060009,0.08861628383730624,0.03846039963910126,0.10944177546990137,-0.06337030699022202,-0.18352727839828975,-0.09933720819498963,-0.10031632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k{160}	=[0.725040590704824;0.8799692078714813;-0.46124800610235817];
x_a_linear{160}	=[1.1056055351383152,0.3748980393616183,20.564138923780067];
L_a{160}	=[-0.013336466935004633,-0.019309864714606068,0.003191235760949153,-0.07431558508820423,-0.04429539450189227,-0.030109907120525258,-0.057823458655109634,-0.0694994212297934,-0.03387851772199013,-0.06791845851195392,-0.0414783957439155,0.007913017986150845,-0.0301005279533543,-0.06633041974621219,-0.005302064383965983,0.06665132049187769,-0.07610303890526857,-0.06686639234601112,-0.026923207097197494,0.6820842598200293,0.0923142616961584,-0.017665248803539705,-0.05938346871917511,-0.06341788515260086,-0.06644502038899025,-0.07408513247401848,-0.047748871782823166,0.0017986995243570738,0.1007425947257142,0.0010807958992489354,-0.028265277974664636,-0.04411039505651819,-0.07359762991741196,0.04520341741457035,-0.06920893548680396,-0.07770220040948271,-0.03459912608345207,-0.07352093037868153,-0.05595350422149987,-0.07644153862031414,-0.01594637224357068,0.07555479887881456,0.003414654613325438,0.0028155685720580663,0.08973118374955047,0.014520158947674486,-0.07229067586328786,-0.008466566720829979,-0.07304611840798204,-0.04588362260182402,0.01912045945833482,-0.005082141585276419,-0.07251741446196137,-0.009872591545267324,0.043079363832122755,0.4480799219053341,0.003972964897832034,-0.07197096118745208,-0.06217295303302481,0.030362737309913436,-0.0487288256680755,-0.03692052943460803,0.3730737018778217,-0.02893914684156645,0.023962989320412593,-0.048135880685824486,-0.027219109875368498,-0.007453335286585659,0.05613924556583603,-0.04997390749424321,-0.07140299466097395,0.0010186207245016614,-0.022468520872883604,-0.027654681230851595,-0.06698784272968887,-0.0056416080235635975,-0.006410538339393436,-0.03536174028158723,-0.007888667523853976,0.010336780553654237,-0.030858985798782095,-0.05454666045482836,0.015946434469934316,-0.06244326706023916,-0.03219387600010445,0.7481849745320537,-0.07086425583078286,-0.06583012664605278,0.08770049814872831,-0.04484798563282131,0.08913422268890266,-0.031177055470836233,-0.04936593846935938,-0.0745677541312461,0.047750477400344146,-0.06328096310340765,-0.0445463612650648,-0.0254253729943811,-0.002687524085344579,-0.018070201098426525;-0.006937814066691477,-0.01515763583588636,0.01761194718686088,-0.10955511888974805,-0.051862475274485564,-0.0315045116327374,-0.07929240076196285,-0.09886960449964263,-0.03747673744934916,-0.09836159390606988,-0.050093310445939385,0.02347679824353465,-0.030961586256382366,-0.09505942542598689,0.004498436502456917,0.0957243930450514,-0.11307267966668416,-0.09343429616606315,-0.02501481036672365,0.9000789687352184,0.12350428719719422,-0.012709149844822472,-0.07934643382619734,-0.08683306913334037,-0.09180349676854244,-0.10773764158749394,-0.06076372884112031,0.015070497583843743,0.13221808834262794,0.015166179742297402,-0.029000545404337573,-0.052484239929286615,-0.10885560266817486,0.07020817870499756,-0.0994312843395261,-0.116506077047127,-0.03891846009467381,-0.10543507088301048,-0.0742307129015794,-0.1146595462402418,-0.009844199202308942,0.105236945405854,0.017436319629105197,0.01722883073179213,0.12127958062689272,0.03168736248469874,-0.10572412801929038,4.5794830697101854E-5,-0.10502375934049665,-0.05528736162717476,0.037583704834161014,0.0050358717256364085,-0.10385580478434121,-4.2212470668264435E-5,0.0679543814931083,0.512528025088292,0.017766940465783837,-0.10321723192753525,-0.0839383367138681,0.05223459606486687,-0.06207919131319495,-0.04051363019622172,0.2944076350519693,-0.029748214471222036,0.0438286854236291,-0.06212902219421378,-0.027135051223293925,0.0018395362828880063,0.08322804080855672,-0.0622518330969818,-0.10171453318751385,0.015527528892672572,-0.01849987310866012,-0.02875606383815154,-0.09589860231014988,0.006149703031999655,0.0032625734000696137,-0.038234608733742056,0.002266076972336392,0.026501961542031265,-0.03053531122340141,-0.07208624530321901,0.03526970442062045,-0.08505622501819232,-0.035012338031390325,0.8875257110970701,-0.10472075855830158,-0.0934661868272126,0.11885430312256035,-0.053253314140732685,0.12035365325114383,-0.03218491365637776,-0.06042268757649635,-0.11048296659760791,0.07243441203241098,-0.08603267960316617,-0.05336534753967664,-0.024517068236015578,0.008997928756113651,-0.013624822526391064;-0.04703655377301703,-0.025338268581186783,-0.10627491354172076,0.2087606065455268,0.06340386122872804,0.012778073916340931,0.13092092332630706,0.17783519990537613,0.026623442070888244,0.17864297054971257,0.057431629735066825,-0.1160596059428058,0.01083432979978309,0.1712968185104545,-0.07347289811132156,-0.2762998774688256,0.21659998849222414,0.16567680471406,-0.0038358816733308943,-0.2992944242104624,-0.329176284530854,-0.03248068821592811,0.1280954023589208,0.14869782286069802,0.15729533551930072,0.2018560828620739,0.08475056333649988,-0.0977002485667875,-0.346478286055318,-0.10051699585886889,0.006171983035298391,0.061504786747899665,0.20663394154083578,-0.22146604683856128,0.1820061615752223,0.2205029422794944,0.030530884065036273,0.19522836139999566,0.11959810153217436,0.22028900227218043,-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x_a{160}	=[1.1056055351383154,0.3748980393616188,20.56413892378006];
std_x_a{160}	=[1.2691464998142081,1.5551332822627872,1.6685023470828675];
pred_a{160}	=[1.1056055351383154];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.0 to 16.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{161}	=[0.9590318911558632,1.2338825187266327,16.100818148985514];
std_x_f{161}	=[1.8335330585489382,2.6040359341672015,1.6659297828151525];
pred_f{161}	=[0.9590318911558632];
obs{161}	=[0.9778661141620841];
sqrt_r{161}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{161}	=[4.362011439005629];
L_f{161}	=[-0.012960023680692963,-0.023387365532733583,0.016510857970409753,-0.12435852990571136,-0.066140719273887,-0.04266936268329173,-0.094133976717927,-0.1141860955118779,-0.049252957986363234,-0.11327807290765511,-0.06317181521690228,0.02440513771256488,-0.041550065303668796,-0.11013485746621429,9.628382323943726E-4,0.12279297873854068,-0.12837415981173583,-0.10919223657018473,-0.03482458269377808,1.0271596129538745,0.16417522792665512,-0.020577508495873576,-0.09502429047288785,-0.10254145117675866,-0.1075647699014972,-0.12291194942043339,-0.074627923088092,0.0136656378498778,0.17789002559363978,0.01355805203569805,-0.039186202843907815,-0.0660388214562392,-0.12360456454906973,0.08723981572961031,-0.11461704997550257,-0.13135662392869138,-0.050676388937569206,-0.12129871562770614,-0.08906069574689549,-0.1292804836095799,-0.017075111975828842,0.13729388866360265,0.016796803718662025,0.016158196335859,0.16082024699647024,0.035490314821284265,-0.12084940489798245,-0.005815514495014386,-0.12110260791163016,-0.06991634542001057,0.043430341435878754,0.001409952719923626,-0.11961862966386758,-0.006505693985164112,0.08348376526682053,0.7238231655890435,0.017061844942649663,-0.11899333640782037,-0.09963049139936345,0.062361214068571175,-0.07653721226657134,-0.05365111770880668,0.3675319712930589,-0.04032961709237191,0.05187052478145362,-0.07606604967489858,-0.03726721978224438,-0.002608377469294325,0.10506379915933851,-0.07670702367643488,-0.11721952691709157,0.013734365612882146,-0.02766043284303596,-0.03923397621559256,-0.11112860060396967,0.0023044048368969115,-5.166259043375606E-4,-0.050464350454949805,-0.002662813140300274,0.028434701178542153,-0.0415835580791127,-0.08689198074462452,0.03884874679497123,-0.10064630428688776,-0.04598713384845288,0.9794331127936937,-0.11937445937274846,-0.10857598469013077,0.15720701347443913,-0.06716764650648482,0.15957992057373235,-0.04327565305814465,-0.07507864224558822,-0.12594410492485653,0.09023803679933275,-0.10174166610055321,-0.06765215264185835,-0.03414857512602019,0.005981261421986928,-0.02110757599698608;-0.014771617971494962,-0.031727277885364134,0.03475295305102524,-0.19267247685816313,-0.10027815125226805,-0.06297578975048808,-0.14574743827071915,-0.17718410314076102,-0.07365999661991542,-0.17580013649167234,-0.09558562878602435,0.04712640482250958,-0.06105838458971879,-0.17066591362638553,0.007501683732427046,0.2138181969306943,-0.1983659270386294,-0.16894600353477573,-0.05061676708347864,1.4012772939381875,0.283711028979817,-0.026454190430765943,-0.14615378133570692,-0.15851312932651346,-0.1659464998770453,-0.19075105267845877,-0.11461493446930614,0.029505513414763353,0.30719828227351875,0.029278770754755854,-0.05741038204298883,-0.10087868507067109,-0.19172030883232782,0.1528441772067058,-0.17750784796402397,-0.20325703751493104,-0.07634267911728605,-0.18813148740286192,-0.1375340523485317,-0.20057736095269593,-0.02115788524166029,0.23797471423365618,0.034718968948629525,0.03391366403851964,0.278348213550982,0.06544255839632533,-0.1871117276239417,-0.0014366696108766134,-0.1866250524715589,-0.10620707895683562,0.07928996047408217,0.009438663962208422,-0.18521725840948655,-0.002531969339778931,0.14717353463711846,1.17038600128223,0.034943668283987976,-0.18348576699544733,-0.15391813946104088,0.11108890748710644,-0.11757010653876368,-0.07976962777253091,0.4350130398123774,-0.059103411033219845,0.09215142480487441,-0.11677151566440885,-0.05445396087680851,0.0023830505541272153,0.18417469715454268,-0.11763307649581041,-0.18127893383052074,0.02989421682665752,-0.038310815976325546,-0.05681287437771929,-0.17233100009070873,0.01078958284726567,0.005581095831471761,-0.07510832673470785,0.003109063199831509,0.054382761822830764,-0.06090965347456376,-0.13399227265457025,0.07164191733167036,-0.1553195057666747,-0.06841812742665246,1.2169242696135065,-0.18529908893097033,-0.16847013445031778,0.27197642967339464,-0.10251468166076955,0.2760513654397551,-0.06426173998885755,-0.11523596722454131,-0.1946215077449155,0.1581454970220561,-0.157144540197016,-0.10289462674046974,-0.049061070509600825,0.016980958503242112,-0.02810537430080989;-0.06608752466767083,-0.051291032538799214,-0.10670738347403277,0.12477022561298683,0.013257503030741361,-0.02347627042750413,0.06440252316441127,0.1008131212980226,-0.013831573127598395,0.1012445368041559,0.009290626073246901,-0.11298794192429476,-0.024901477957941173,0.09547998372313082,-0.08451756241544833,-0.20771007905754044,0.13106252908034816,0.09141567564701725,-0.035166536153775754,0.8056061209138098,-0.23309935183101102,-0.055917802299773174,0.062419244497447596,0.07818805705931312,0.08447883486246846,0.11923323570987593,0.029506995302166848,-0.10068796009003983,-0.24017205968288818,-0.10302195042302004,-0.028266319133627413,0.012524205607866925,0.1229314508653133,-0.1780940540592862,0.10396805348202744,0.1342756873442176,-0.010796330495619188,0.11464062200722165,0.05577171997115367,0.13433379823469183,-0.06164484043334873,-0.216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k{161}	=[0.770747964790307;1.087223010737245;0.280453498238467];
x_a_linear{161}	=[0.9735483302063147,1.254359519368353,16.10610027271421];
L_a{161}	=[0.008432664012328497,0.015217394700045645,-0.01074307588088432,0.08091603268628395,0.04303560525134831,0.02776356031389189,0.06124990334617868,0.0742971619539379,0.0320472906952376,0.07370634130995883,0.04110383637389712,-0.01587962580741691,0.027035270075788292,0.07166115370929732,-6.264873824344225E-4,-0.07989737968748385,0.08352887187775936,0.07104782108714629,0.022659218259273726,-0.6683392034211358,-0.10682345729933918,0.013389112522613674,0.06182920142048115,0.06672037230906935,0.06998888169425378,0.07997479002348605,0.048557951501067176,-0.008891784100198226,-0.1157472280865052,-0.00882178152567959,0.025497181999281426,0.042969303670349325,0.08042545206034225,-0.05676409801945027,0.07457756994437796,0.08546946384323388,0.03297347071249733,0.07892511149800091,0.05794888515956981,0.08411858716392678,0.011110217528348842,-0.08933264803913482,-0.010929131437584899,-0.01051361047653973,-0.10464048081341164,-0.023092388405547202,0.07863275968489886,0.0037839652923119136,0.07879751061387928,0.04549228183704415,-0.028258704327451634,-9.174101724903652E-4,0.07783193444879619,0.004233042538775885,-0.05432015869137311,-0.47096808695229464,-0.011101585103285601,0.0774250765550661,0.0648263058813402,-0.040576404688562585,0.04980026359409799,0.034909029541222415,-0.23914104665720853,0.02624116429605531,-0.03375045589436523,0.049493693488313985,0.024248562413156295,0.001697186005042147,-0.0683615817376414,0.0499107543308528,0.07627091666880924,-0.008936503010287755,0.01799774000014991,0.025528266571507453,0.07230774990400426,-0.0014994009437563841,3.3615159807420266E-4,0.03283550419903494,0.001732605517782814,-0.018501531111151975,0.027057062730579413,0.05653777315829375,-0.025277610372738075,0.06548726214121547,0.029922325621340704,-0.637285128964874,0.07767306081727154,0.07064684612139832,-0.10228946780293649,0.04370379325246353,-0.10383344093090405,0.02815805365364246,0.04885121973210811,0.0819477145513961,-0.05871494251931956,0.06619997828851208,0.044019045566207726,0.0222193622197215,-0.0038918114028338594,0.013734010128579895;0.015405071924398887,0.022728893997607774,-0.003691655783328357,0.09688940090788344,0.05372681233378124,0.03637743347450782,0.07343825876747356,0.0886918303899877,0.04102275984943828,0.08796151721820583,0.05150640784359042,-0.00969959262653782,0.035688617322850905,0.08577693882283983,0.0052597687888486745,-0.07209838255104123,0.10054612024842693,0.08530200890723189,0.03047032493083613,-0.990406384840248,-0.09856180198043132,0.021459386581841385,0.07510496145883946,0.08024890150571164,0.08451204750016848,0.09544254337844925,0.05915200825309736,-0.0023141595878172264,-0.10700868757245376,-0.002290394700023172,0.03383249841407613,0.052889015149200316,0.0960860027927777,-0.05028885176833118,0.08937153891900712,0.10259951056937916,0.041654456666571006,0.09430578404445215,0.06983879385007279,0.10044501057964349,0.01860055746858473,-0.08170642253579324,-0.0043914485589685755,-0.0037097919147733205,-0.09611273205849725,-0.017194653622431798,0.09427934893269702,0.012104430453821848,0.09535559313308538,0.0565892188259354,-0.021835159191843156,0.006155667955002726,0.09330802688885678,0.012616175045199803,-0.04721374102438167,-0.5149957345539853,-0.0047838828819240465,0.0935835579476817,0.07806588442720482,-0.034115689729964434,0.06064250919165979,0.04515399748894611,-0.42076458820690804,0.034801845515784476,-0.028626189467471294,0.06034402433762417,0.03232067490771297,0.008456511526238861,-0.06046047980420054,0.060974935599811826,0.09166017497605466,-0.0020854849260642915,0.02609495401728769,0.03454124370190956,0.08642572764478584,0.005423905139343702,0.006784030339269464,0.04239508930807057,0.009309274585653157,-0.01182584866185268,0.035915334491366906,0.06833084202281807,-0.01881521559952988,0.079029781585151,0.038660340293517746,-1.063630924323065,0.09265765950830342,0.0843429699745193,-0.09407130387704954,0.05388142451940311,-0.09552154950320582,0.036503196445895385,0.05958044983378977,0.09863229272422784,-0.051968721932991326,0.07975523584134116,0.05462962486289448,0.030451975712660607,0.003053925994307564,0.021042435225491995;-0.05830332753149933,-0.03724384649285792,-0.11662432317225835,0.1994638632328523,0.052983695686015804,0.002152288515358763,0.12094234516147735,0.16939687543099832,0.015751299863335406,0.16928290405131152,0.04723360173545566,-0.12764643389704014,5.4795835477659054E-5,0.1616304370867584,-0.08509587328862714,-0.2814633974918652,0.20816808010288548,0.1569999613044616,-0.014249798379822171,0.18866180703434277,-0.33170814843073054,-0.04355830461291722,0.11949381688945226,0.1397776721908135,0.14908561294016348,0.19305801167113854,0.07433086904602246,-0.10889597125081033,-0.34701839437303267,-0.11116534216585887,-0.004729855353132267,0.05218919523451562,0.19717223321928282,-0.2304930265067087,0.17281065239678894,0.21317259995759258,0.019641499816914633,0.18749643910091424,0.10926437012820728,0.2119837157865998,-0.05138899206325132,-0.29866825108047473,-0.115303279532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x_a{161}	=[0.9735483302063148,1.254359519368352,16.106100272714208];
std_x_a{161}	=[1.19302006070204,1.7098081723472625,1.587327512252404];
pred_a{161}	=[0.9735483302063148];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.1 to 16.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{162}	=[1.6448281057155083,2.7873999462313526,12.885443097394992];
std_x_f{162}	=[1.9876763834970894,3.0831275614959197,1.8817707083952464];
pred_f{162}	=[1.6448281057155083];
obs{162}	=[1.7044329998337875];
sqrt_r{162}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{162}	=[4.951279531207423];
L_f{162}	=[0.02054569773348008,0.03051024663069827,-0.005255334709250062,0.11650803470230396,0.06889302787286554,0.047914493603379585,0.0919580505272341,0.1086624325733316,0.05376730062702802,0.10861356535722917,0.06647372472572143,-0.013684394229130455,0.04714009294927803,0.10571051033060122,0.008219473387664182,-0.10884008485044679,0.12106096343384486,0.1051259505190883,0.04097301787433934,-1.1203106264917548,-0.15174089222488243,0.02821849271395802,0.09391150803513378,0.09978149166059405,0.10444332843483871,0.11592607744878947,0.07589471852164713,-0.002923850161497384,-0.16524665033112743,-0.0031689815612300195,0.044473453914173,0.06801507608763731,0.11625191228745753,-0.07418343416169952,0.10892971118419666,0.1234850667514514,0.05419698537777086,0.11457092420401721,0.08784595202964186,0.12066985581525551,0.02489779265625998,-0.1239238267279293,-0.006310664659485339,-0.005515525351343564,-0.1473947606909904,-0.024369293893195535,0.11444770632256711,0.016099219331302383,0.1151638351593171,0.07252904197976047,-0.031292860738113645,0.008076460358005718,0.11375993653532195,0.016710172846326858,-0.06991438100629685,-0.7751865593443056,-0.006329520375651599,0.1137400380133013,0.09711993079411367,-0.0497343890354109,0.07756535294657368,0.05852580297039421,-0.4742594144785127,0.04572021569444494,-0.04050206239941852,0.07743805173806101,0.04277775994340326,0.011836003769979562,-0.09042497890049325,0.07826316946390884,0.11208742563456517,-0.00401916643470692,0.03498771692288115,0.045119004767884024,0.10634165480216282,0.007577389822327553,0.009155068045957148,0.05541326885280433,0.012371689766491155,-0.017251117332817072,0.04743734044315067,0.08676202178811798,-0.026168563832262907,0.09828241001802855,0.0508263885241493,-1.1160555292449093,0.11227851403583101,0.10415011392859554,-0.1447924153561104,0.06962391698991326,-0.14637026774693748,0.04815471076571952,0.0764320464400688,0.1191427620772854,-0.07675831829954563,0.09914625732131567,0.07041326044249029,0.04015271537040754,0.004186744339082843,0.028523815632537197;0.03776808800963026,0.05336020240995532,-0.0019655841705086504,0.17389846287670915,0.1102799771890864,0.07976872699015206,0.14224324640910552,0.16394694152075998,0.08860337826767632,0.16362057202655472,0.1069098025489394,-0.01547052743191487,0.07821179422025314,0.15989162550892907,0.01830022456869276,-0.17318827223678834,0.18046632403737128,0.15989605049691033,0.06878945718422873,-1.6869153171069262,-0.24843064345226482,0.05026001224886878,0.14508361635501207,0.15236613113389777,0.15893958954482262,0.17276764364272817,0.11907732424185039,0.0014408874552113192,-0.27315019254127787,0.0011677435707930601,0.07450155895398222,0.10865971955195224,0.17328833264738627,-0.1147903775435464,0.1640714648706528,0.18301715897498494,0.08865095295447196,0.17146423110171233,0.136176077963676,0.17854512046279356,0.04574429916074182,-0.2004440499728549,-0.0039403963278661245,-0.0019089603608582566,-0.24124756429754482,-0.03287502140360668,0.1708486524396241,0.0320412618570416,0.1727086157383728,0.11556904410677944,-0.04350081029766975,0.019109807803184192,0.1707491944554002,0.03287919659352182,-0.10742747663326398,-1.3315009884383702,-0.004505046303755556,0.17095389185961476,0.14863798676171935,-0.07358842600267179,0.12230072406113118,0.09579120767530046,-0.8013351701964112,0.07653761257142862,-0.059341998569336814,0.1220987186509129,0.07203002407584733,0.02522993728303588,-0.14233585818813813,0.12307416094865231,0.1690282511344426,0.001499927319641055,0.06055913499735633,0.07584106720847078,0.16072371725878198,0.018202312899519495,0.02050978668105693,0.09069752770652009,0.025874135321522263,-0.02052935410243437,0.07905431165514466,0.1343423677788801,-0.035816137850998936,0.15101507943744877,0.08358968918658508,-1.6526015509737983,0.16834511068245442,0.1571778897063156,-0.23611104266689084,0.11179862631185392,-0.23987894900821263,0.07980597148940775,0.12114180530096565,0.17696238336554648,-0.11928959223734288,0.15128637719230933,0.1122855858948726,0.06801821947514965,0.01240388140557672,0.05018937292337201;-0.07163949087956169,-0.05254257604774372,-0.1237470946808916,0.16273088461901708,0.030543593816321372,-0.01635205578597167,0.0911384933017632,0.13609990538960534,-0.003697409625987537,0.13600899819836626,0.024626667671257624,-0.1338393244660307,-0.018827409976753084,0.12798897145872049,-0.09621614225105879,-0.2680891304759196,0.17166427691999,0.12512941485031934,-0.031543293180485876,0.863399157927567,-0.30994099879814546,-0.05822696835861866,0.09107081897330675,0.10953964522527865,0.1185716212323585,0.15773717813579058,0.049063747859856385,-0.1173578478097155,-0.3208788700703984,-0.11942637694780703,-0.02270214503730996,0.02946984920224867,0.16098024563289245,-0.22503343780679333,0.13929239680622896,0.17634064945482794,-0.001300959408460937,0.15328503091147333,0.080986768702167,0.17420995530281114,-0.06530881100067543,-0.2825385196476089,-0.12294774422291188,-0.1227491509063244,-0.30573347510475724,-0.152149168456868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k{162}	=[0.7980320049197185;1.2357153920562995;-0.2526842909825376];
x_a_linear{162}	=[1.692394718871746,2.8610546313351963,12.870381876985626];
L_a{162}	=[-0.011959574310673694,-0.017759901199274154,0.0030591108074326935,-0.06781889410074245,-0.04010237554455101,-0.027890848694523965,-0.05352843953082222,-0.06325199825273624,-0.03129774591618861,-0.06322355282781489,-0.03869410817180709,0.007965635034781473,-0.0274400729511493,-0.061533695283461115,-0.004784524918527748,0.06335540898315654,-0.07046913699842396,-0.061193425189181055,-0.023850241464528823,0.6521286530333888,0.08832780955276032,-0.016425879759627036,-0.05466553988786671,-0.05808243554562445,-0.060796073410302895,-0.06748013894580304,-0.044178033655591885,0.0017019623150944132,0.09618946116415372,0.0018446523920638124,-0.02588783227702931,-0.03959132307250383,-0.06766980619471377,0.04318190138814709,-0.0634075801390153,-0.07188019853255846,-0.031547863813051226,-0.06669130927725438,-0.05113480227436512,-0.07024147470685001,-0.014492912594497236,0.0721355990846013,0.0036734144502608237,0.0032105668134262944,0.08579794253545053,0.014185275428217263,-0.06661958460629291,-0.009371295754185547,-0.06703644054130319,-0.042218885846131406,0.018215457963307743,-0.004701277565345481,-0.06621923636862821,-0.009726929525211026,0.04069690140856234,0.45123321589640303,0.0036843902925805306,-0.06620765351289515,-0.05653315085459247,0.028950203063471344,-0.04515050374690062,-0.03406765244948032,0.2760646430006462,-0.02661356767683387,0.02357610003246843,-0.04507640218642822,-0.024900775117197,-0.006889693816424503,0.052636044233206586,-0.045556700148820996,-0.06524567398771092,0.0023395418479516157,-0.020366220019782978,-0.026263605030353628,-0.061901082135264844,-0.004410770460883238,-0.00532913109280677,-0.0322558579046222,-0.0072015146445888,0.010041811300853307,-0.02761309961287392,-0.05050385050824599,0.015232623774346936,-0.05720982569150349,-0.029585851908411884,0.6496517767363207,-0.06535690583607591,-0.06062539433569215,0.08428312698534063,-0.04052782338387905,0.08520158899934295,-0.028030678212166645,-0.04449081024039926,-0.06935255911607605,0.0446807318774988,-0.05771266799701935,-0.040987297274724534,-0.023372746424921695,-0.002437088323433318,-0.016603607096068076;-0.012564811849416033,-0.021383873369725345,0.010908947474888079,-0.11152320152797118,-0.058494328648230086,-0.03761231499830733,-0.0830358075544905,-0.10225454786654971,-0.04311588448296102,-0.10246120233689059,-0.05593768860369232,0.018053534554266587,-0.037272119178109395,-0.09907823764877206,-0.001835861159914017,0.09344843012745481,-0.1161091161544704,-0.0976417566247208,-0.03158634082196147,1.0576243576079165,0.12330456028489625,-0.018869719258395097,-0.08498102252273328,-0.09207880778657043,-0.09692592834848394,-0.11122834047874328,-0.06684974023334227,0.008603742632511594,0.1316714499773897,0.00893112224235963,-0.0344496157048509,-0.05796377788449113,-0.11150588244769422,0.0669443783794166,-0.10278480430216964,-0.11949685537071729,-0.044120952534837415,-0.10921189533239356,-0.07902914718306896,-0.11707218334176502,-0.015250373336397333,0.10314483962141248,0.011519485174834067,0.011602986947060438,0.11984047592600289,0.026824933549157628,-0.10952561453133179,-0.007398644488451233,-0.10942002538399354,-0.062112777858850145,0.0331605154098495,-6.759242604503128E-4,-0.10794017243201792,-0.008057425146559744,0.06384894257360493,0.5675529142176141,0.011001027977884392,-0.1076867275805662,-0.08928665392896375,0.048251000204353266,-0.06771906465743822,-0.047585445592544635,0.3605066871992789,-0.0354678821036217,0.03988005157855433,-0.06760920726002062,-0.03276703540376458,-0.0037659332984188347,0.07918747320684698,-0.06865514035705997,-0.10556379451458406,0.011346090944704576,-0.02515385830276207,-0.03469157948870617,-0.0997923251475284,-3.607949621656301E-4,-0.0019183210978782697,-0.04505403197332647,-0.004434060106139744,0.021732474745286355,-0.03715779937060037,-0.07820744244798564,0.028291672937924176,-0.08975740565961765,-0.04092492000160658,1.0815139762433916,-0.10671506379285506,-0.09796931058242944,0.11860176567900053,-0.05876621344714499,0.11869928593014975,-0.03816355508270136,-0.06610160640468964,-0.11491384251672866,0.0687531210565525,-0.0916023631117534,-0.06021298935796686,-0.03034799947852469,0.002147185026212966,-0.01968833940619636;-0.061347207400908786,-0.037258592442015834,-0.12637973316825019,0.22109510939502977,0.06505527513122769,0.0076505143530036426,0.1372045036387247,0.19053390777942286,0.023237100319301353,0.19041852075559595,0.05792640894235485,-0.14069446593977802,0.004787227313145387,0.18094422044122008,-0.09209863058275299,-0.32261212704935777,0.2323092727737719,0.17779183097951926,-0.011018026995369865,0.3021841190627206,-0.3859549798437863,-0.044091029529971085,0.13811540588116977,0.15952477648807173,0.17089208061270408,0.2158098737993185,0.08708289754706688,-0.11882253862244012,-0.40365850555263943,-0.12101386533539527,-4.233496954715802E-4,0.06354172415129845,0.21921616692984897,-0.26219532657380373,0.19386029132599505,0.23819998997823377,0.025848799360132655,0.21067886808437453,0.12499284006901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x_a{162}	=[1.692394718871746,2.8610546313351946,12.870381876985618];
std_x_a{162}	=[1.1570190373854983,1.800851890015642,1.8112187309611965];
pred_a{162}	=[1.692394718871746];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.2 to 16.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{163}	=[3.5815499179618793,6.365688219828172,11.253427952546016];
std_x_f{163}	=[2.029268009614944,3.0130364165951447,2.8330939157057866];
pred_f{163}	=[3.5815499179618793];
obs{163}	=[3.7251069979878255];
sqrt_r{163}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{163}	=[5.118064421822576];
L_f{163}	=[-0.011651908683963867,-0.024857295747886313,0.02475506010114111,-0.1487988552345591,-0.07875748975636682,-0.04883741991292051,-0.11184061851217485,-0.13639278172946198,-0.05651885787793544,-0.13700919024071262,-0.07486095332112132,0.03557071755327303,-0.04769628036313358,-0.1326472838892184,0.004938920611021686,0.1611914208119616,-0.1553253255205809,-0.13130748272148346,-0.039519333471363334,1.0379666287095852,0.21437330892850254,-0.02112022577866359,-0.11485749779497421,-0.12322477666874293,-0.13007453421225063,-0.14810765591214173,-0.08938939690610778,0.020963350801227385,0.2299356075695039,0.021628937119354114,-0.04387600738576149,-0.07736748431908333,-0.14830861379601423,0.11583909875237398,-0.13818626343523813,-0.15872420720704783,-0.057544694830124955,-0.1459847464221512,-0.1064785942882233,-0.1557147015264573,-0.01617441166569954,0.1788551193862877,0.025507120638135827,0.02481061841309536,0.20795036761566513,0.0496690963514259,-0.14571003960406853,-0.0039634499228697806,-0.14617560383994072,-0.08357094569649533,0.05917081160813493,0.006053399550263137,-0.1442931472069209,-0.004634367962748502,0.110265202435138,0.8485350962898229,0.025305973175341234,-0.14386953356939758,-0.11986504520768025,0.0840215615520626,-0.09105687652706196,-0.06329015041070182,0.49406102389970946,-0.0468230755951667,0.0709998477498829,-0.09062894410968567,-0.04219160798754049,0.0014569149151042527,0.13652810880383778,-0.09198189491098013,-0.14095089247779466,0.023802512339975088,-0.030767946150532247,-0.04498830333496488,-0.13360778087342953,0.007020412913226287,0.004445377466292255,-0.05931323422616349,0.0014860006592099582,0.04032976644938069,-0.048029936608064795,-0.10548470701617953,0.051770648351018286,-0.12097464551184436,-0.05329897183652372,1.0138187345497258,-0.14273112761527668,-0.13053764407093296,0.20512004845501977,-0.07931950212190877,0.20626714885583758,-0.04935256693893603,-0.08915387911945336,-0.1525471792050759,0.11869666124467688,-0.12331181640847173,-0.08085359597308305,-0.03810916064012921,0.01120782122924089,-0.02177598404386108;-0.0024690750470127863,-0.027652805148403344,0.07037186236581996,-0.2680359630273652,-0.13232509950273155,-0.07444041878791996,-0.19699386118300416,-0.2441661221229928,-0.08951898441273516,-0.24473146837704104,-0.12559547854582834,0.09069330803799189,-0.07230824888917066,-0.23681118537031065,0.031214732842748023,0.3372461876495325,-0.2793855291041851,-0.23396846414136788,-0.05688843614528533,1.1985350075719547,0.43921205115792883,-0.02056144931924191,-0.2017850307877856,-0.21835288949688228,-0.23123613500722864,-0.2665064202642419,-0.1540916518493031,0.06228050988444247,0.4704713556173433,0.06395876517693981,-0.06588708251799108,-0.12997428923592702,-0.2673468807122957,0.24846469196795254,-0.24674136924799245,-0.2859510884485926,-0.09246953232453564,-0.262285665209101,-0.18669293378149004,-0.2808767879215767,-0.01000275760541769,0.3708466093852357,0.07096676930803437,0.07018589530704024,0.42807124782206446,0.11873314222096824,-0.2623229905650992,0.01369249696289325,-0.2625266982603496,-0.1420409270359967,0.1375763260059927,0.033306977215584795,-0.2591623419843514,0.01267361370050346,0.23773235250402958,1.4001137018543233,0.0704135482914967,-0.25801465070051527,-0.21240071265534616,0.1865467387928664,-0.15643988404607442,-0.10216771982489713,0.8173924717946571,-0.06936943626808541,0.16026314505662193,-0.15620019337361546,-0.06131056060547656,0.0237668662071916,0.2891401477642268,-0.15807904032665965,-0.2531823561960788,0.06793781956057598,-0.03847631114552745,-0.06596017175169619,-0.23875455584236943,0.03531333299472499,0.02943295769575673,-0.09463734542502258,0.023847683460286904,0.10085422919103731,-0.07266009356849017,-0.18377151875612,0.12414642889794285,-0.21387188724826398,-0.0830880373198364,1.1248535362112335,-0.25591153274702266,-0.23306994969828354,0.4222837196362998,-0.13280580930840774,0.4247168781347577,-0.07538622202002321,-0.15246024186190457,-0.27479031493765854,0.25388676177351827,-0.21768258195666076,-0.1362158540529432,-0.05333253304699027,0.04292248295659178,-0.021920776914374537;-0.0893487430746624,-0.07817406400444588,-0.11800700972254727,0.06558963662963724,-0.02613457440709607,-0.0560486157744165,0.014943058010701591,0.04533792453361055,-0.049091564417651265,0.04627565405219248,-0.03026786198899741,-0.12195857396074256,-0.05788151923439691,0.040126726361176666,-0.1031339659917516,-0.17070160329382392,0.07212474376721487,0.03888032700621356,-0.06595540772911772,1.7905346774935351,-0.17344271503257006,-0.08136092712161475,0.014353448420364467,0.028417644238890892,0.03381691829307971,0.061572500441201744,-0.014201161304117577,-0.11461225360349281,-0.1728420084208238,-0.11566719191324089,-0.06020495994311169,-0.0266880246074077,0.06422074178743928,-0.16036604720040054,0.04849886108813852,0.07464224184382594,-0.046512489916544796,0.058390424131805986,0.007677886509293817,0.07365225168533775,-0.08578223712113502,-0.1727465804879998,-0.11707727014152217,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k{163}	=[0.8046136356283116;1.162231481424349;0.7817781205329665];
x_a_linear{163}	=[3.6970579020417405,6.532534777615681,11.365657736757901];
L_a{163}	=[0.00659864144569157,0.01407703977079621,-0.01401914227141063,0.08426690595108532,0.04460148548711364,0.02765732481078873,0.06333693136832544,0.07724117025151768,0.03200743227328668,0.07759025114977527,0.04239482153928835,-0.02014420276250973,0.02701108126968514,0.0751200416060971,-0.0027969809174459063,-0.09128499191927017,0.08796293880643113,0.07436129316803475,0.02238036006144949,-0.5878152499490576,-0.12140265080282375,0.011960683948481004,0.0650454329719749,0.06978394188597763,0.07366305690871498,0.08387546995378711,0.050622485571124,-0.01187184341977625,-0.13021580164257165,-0.012248774408818467,0.024847606401654548,0.04381430565787091,0.08398927525876547,-0.06560132754138079,0.07825684442446355,0.08988777379901819,0.032588378315076244,0.08267323614591454,0.06030034086314364,0.08818344797106857,0.009159799142937802,-0.10128819539932873,-0.014445044839280248,-0.014050605732879307,-0.117765247876,-0.028128314994918788,0.08251766577161969,0.0022445580066178393,0.08278132141343644,0.047327413978748574,-0.03350927135139714,-0.003428126175986131,0.08171525947497839,0.00262450842544491,-0.062444750859354324,-0.48053748157225623,-0.014331132173064623,0.08147536105306857,0.06788127822230906,-0.047582604140401705,0.05156680297311474,0.03584211144555901,-0.2797937777775613,0.026516573002519236,-0.04020822259317491,0.051324458764810184,0.02389370708939022,-8.250716172264293E-4,-0.07731780789655246,0.05209065402719552,0.07982249313292598,-0.01347970093983891,0.017424325076210584,0.025477515401919008,0.07566398469562707,-0.00397575958339245,-0.002517480422000704,0.03358992730362079,-8.415432873828487E-4,-0.022839319772064305,0.027200035541996456,0.05973748837918291,-0.02931845375251757,0.06850966064048626,0.030183965057782005,-0.5741399543772066,0.08083066558603091,0.07392532260185558,-0.11616239792029519,0.044919761075160734,-0.11681201717603319,0.027949059891168266,0.05048910850215038,0.08638963507423508,-0.06721960578289454,0.06983323372730384,0.04578854022049257,0.021581759150461163,-0.006347148410196032,0.012332049171505922;0.023893098019362277,0.028586249777399982,0.014364113218854438,0.06861799472039437,0.045861893851243826,0.03605311070837003,0.05604294343305896,0.06441938214764294,0.0383536202655497,0.06524864584926136,0.04377569152532771,0.010215384835153789,0.03560347885083119,0.06330021693451378,0.020040539546156883,-0.027445662202334187,0.07203441624777317,0.06311166910562618,0.03252313896203411,-1.149840408450897,-0.04580258670671735,0.027222571503399323,0.05807739321224844,0.060440308829291974,0.06305448084275239,0.0685837150527773,0.048149784764500124,0.014851415058659447,-0.049752621868142374,0.015023796748386612,0.03338136624327307,0.04506784906513328,0.06819791715464443,-0.013618581424482624,0.06590184577213813,0.07315874786295508,0.03772400465806128,0.06800143663955545,0.0542124154299796,0.07142411160992593,0.0265914735324213,-0.03380894868291085,0.013257500644362284,0.01405244676826355,-0.042411634338280595,0.006357964077939385,0.06734259348100409,0.022659710459030948,0.06819221406805238,0.047036398707528036,0.003703737540008215,0.019611301175522934,0.06729755588593779,0.023158763696176008,-0.011740109788312175,-0.5196772669911098,0.013159371095658857,0.06748683114296136,0.0587911711879079,-0.003550094869327655,0.04957418652363563,0.04102477711082653,-0.30040913227385,0.03656668594325244,-3.723632395134692E-4,0.04884569003006321,0.03414697359636302,0.020470630013046,-0.019751530872516944,0.050027862875697736,0.06571576789182505,0.014085187623583587,0.031135453185713993,0.03582482078872422,0.06352994860514068,0.01942981165623429,0.01937539431362659,0.03955747090996359,0.02048564144490825,0.0096090682734722,0.036006523684648545,0.05488518356111658,0.007016538113071066,0.05983044153978571,0.03749964989299306,-1.1688878295201977,0.0670143320369387,0.06226844146254703,-0.041795631088144214,0.046652723983591105,-0.041957760633136915,0.03627281567091484,0.04924834122374348,0.07034413883008844,-0.01466168046063196,0.06130754176127728,0.046713530985463485,0.0328885587464967,0.017565047453438894,0.027346881769301012;-0.07161615671610147,-0.04034471299894447,-0.1556807722760583,0.2920408234753795,0.09372338417871984,0.018275152942294454,0.18514894272480478,0.2529087909300041,0.03692228579274822,0.2547846085725465,0.08366010944094907,-0.176092264668214,0.01470559361222358,0.24199746536133168,-0.11065031705735469,-0.416012553399456,0.3085083117448774,0.23871207475141185,-0.005812472127658742,0.21089366071931365,-0.4996891109365193,-0.049218877463441855,0.1891506043044198,0.21594863620419377,0.23177228968581684,0.2869717779381678,0.12183708300162092,-0.14651556133874663,-0.5227720609748681,-0.14858342956284384,0.00656822813616402,0.09105453879946904,0.2899258492670167,-0.33665706337969553,0.2587991574940494,0.31619843558285865,0.04106254162799468,0.28055892829508855,0.16972351523557083,0.31062839585265556,-0.06116702948089133,-0.4449392260202282,-0.15589556435768454,-0.15501744489904234,-0.49008958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x_a{163}	=[3.6970579020417405,6.53253477761568,11.365657736757894];
std_x_a{163}	=[1.1492033070161254,1.8003481585027752,2.32130381881494];
pred_a{163}	=[3.6970579020417405];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.3 to 16.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{164}	=[8.075373079581455,14.156028517374919,14.430155403165942];
std_x_f{164}	=[2.1851084708248685,3.8032135685289594,2.467023625893884];
pred_f{164}	=[8.075373079581455];
obs{164}	=[8.553534932588143];
sqrt_r{164}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{164}	=[5.776521034750211];
L_f{164}	=[0.04268495612759527,0.04579323039525426,0.033018338046342445,0.06309455506606115,0.05665513779207407,0.05109983371033688,0.060147842031596115,0.06278433728682094,0.05276580037727704,0.06279872804442461,0.05581551487584633,0.029334514978238073,0.050852905898267464,0.0624475229159581,0.03897281928713207,-0.023332928978174308,0.06378662468389845,0.0626149369421506,0.04894140249109317,-1.3606006918449045,-0.054014684512146374,0.04503445342196268,0.0620414378065076,0.06199516874902011,0.0637919966181611,0.06409680075240608,0.05743407640932164,0.033627074443402384,-0.06229404816067393,0.034031272048729126,0.04965410707606281,0.05595047972797751,0.06286115467336936,-0.002191262780029076,0.06334987144685657,0.06515703956145835,0.05212681419403507,0.06369173913794965,0.059659502132325855,0.06365785605708449,0.0442189294918096,-0.03355646939996251,0.03215975110008707,0.03287116218092022,-0.0493348364575706,0.024231416657642148,0.06285487885929397,0.041082935968592395,0.0633011437444731,0.05725907748812756,0.020999142818427758,0.038103148338905976,0.06358849671902142,0.041392883126232634,8.483966912969269E-4,-0.812785758531576,0.03207196390522135,0.06353397179591376,0.062004471117763346,0.011994609536661833,0.05790415148298422,0.05458367261795849,-0.4281148760954311,0.0516067232002444,0.016296717745992017,0.0577796740880509,0.04944918993315061,0.0396715050591345,-0.011103297719043833,0.058728188881392515,0.06294119405364193,0.03250559295352965,0.04779340228624988,0.05099464882014545,0.06242405913423594,0.0379418196883916,0.0379853024782373,0.05350212911845508,0.03907514027257626,0.02799307464832604,0.05137482492653802,0.06102448340132616,0.025211196400272144,0.06176809647119127,0.051956438721347045,-1.3545050605888862,0.062390508960210755,0.06193345137333787,-0.04762342387583911,0.05750260494094805,-0.04837727469845614,0.0514101327682113,0.058333500917810484,0.06370837707538218,-0.003413786807916406,0.06306377479384181,0.05747401391232551,0.04883447201198871,0.036673349625681896,0.04512676294009485;0.09949340865175725,0.09498799817245666,0.11067873552301684,0.0153650659355551,0.07027360971696728,0.08501509017302143,0.04594880771300215,0.027793846050426896,0.08162146677548436,0.027666256315109022,0.07191732226175412,0.10940188429914766,0.08580167828538826,0.03091961425857815,0.10593564925976565,0.09198243025518645,0.011975554150692878,0.032324389791206,0.0890195909251193,-2.411569108933939,0.06102582483758639,0.09645796910497584,0.047479635076318645,0.03871817181377552,0.036100395948645746,0.018032576364807318,0.06179881132923205,0.10815396147380857,0.05218390429893743,0.10946076889236526,0.08645036403516024,0.06990858991678535,0.015956042157999277,0.10512398151317595,0.026436073609678614,0.010141357617314911,0.07957699216339129,0.02012746089953816,0.050008613246386946,0.010879123868182971,0.09911660988577223,0.08264865981508653,0.1089750982824857,0.10959181055909009,0.06651315189794027,0.11073955024797297,0.019581431948740104,0.10362267946280924,0.01896539019397592,0.06640543447920574,0.11224291284102277,0.10488007623318585,0.022191322902069495,0.10396245089112095,0.108042135850328,-1.3824105078137874,0.1092623547636014,0.022855118781565084,0.04113194212932345,0.11157325027678,0.06147078376892473,0.0801646075205649,-0.648514698986802,0.08782217864292342,0.11094332746640247,0.061640773930423026,0.08804524419955725,0.10434071662947617,0.1014682065178296,0.062398106421251785,0.024264284247788783,0.10800497708205288,0.09445213631769114,0.08881050861940233,0.02920087913659468,0.10649703821539455,0.10344080371285644,0.08145894491244919,0.10379023640698715,0.11154270692251365,0.08747969914712744,0.05337778105738011,0.11475172192346413,0.04142388006034235,0.0840911779945067,-2.3948766268950332,0.02089602007915824,0.031581783587725225,0.06805977742935342,0.07128652348428707,0.0682254426266037,0.08520464938647702,0.06403940518488987,0.01448057909944039,0.10463970701111652,0.040666731458738455,0.07038298323623335,0.08997455277954859,0.1061517394954044,0.09645592879286279;-0.0389646203560917,-0.009061119927637919,-0.11830914225492603,0.27935434048770336,0.11279898550204691,0.0446093472183201,0.1905217292026973,0.24820136844951382,0.062160903534804725,0.25048954020733777,0.10325083183297945,-0.14061654103242355,0.04161187999743906,0.2401002728054204,-0.07469484435726394,-0.39899275064298056,0.29569474375080157,0.23709980003646436,0.02149016504495431,-0.16769078175624152,-0.5030598416637555,-0.01743266469910925,0.19674003885214852,0.217569022838872,0.232617725324583,0.2769593025202031,0.13654505796068775,-0.11052011762372642,-0.5313727741358222,-0.11167875174223887,0.033158823841564475,0.10987909689631276,0.27783942293736474,-0.3095999117622457,0.25403769147206995,0.30220526679771265,0.06459086100776458,0.27196448641564197,0.1773967029539736,0.2962996788033972,-0.027937905440908087,-0.4347382634065783,-0.12010070871903801,-0.118176099985243,-0.48979562150395517,-0.1708483551952813,0.2707523171210177,-0.055898281338928775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k{164}	=[0.8268854222144723;1.4142048371490832;0.3768913966459269];
x_a_linear{164}	=[8.470758145291745,14.832247322837146,14.610370491768437];
L_a{164}	=[-0.021964882550937544,-0.023564342534476562,-0.016990621122981695,-0.03246728162228912,-0.029153677557737605,-0.026295021657392975,-0.03095095803699898,-0.03230764933718477,-0.027152297041810245,-0.032315054552728165,-0.028721623260038527,-0.01509499445799272,-0.026167957209336623,-0.032134330941932,-0.020054686146610597,0.01200669020352199,-0.03282340774380662,-0.03222047907833161,-0.025184333196492447,0.7001397472627834,0.02779494953183812,-0.02317389005161895,-0.0319253671161734,-0.03190155792188922,-0.03282617204101717,-0.032983018565345724,-0.029554504846656053,-0.017303865522857138,0.032055355694440284,-0.017511858074186825,-0.0255510776873519,-0.028791073656489773,-0.03234717813202214,0.0011275829699276094,-0.03259866267140481,-0.033528597688050325,-0.02682348666598065,-0.03277458141102745,-0.030699667430061403,-0.032757145809373334,-0.022754236642822025,0.017267533483952678,-0.01654880828901974,-0.016914887166768273,0.025386786979960982,-0.012469035210835146,-0.03234394871511316,-0.02114051284720515,-0.03257358830429917,-0.029464453664710847,-0.010805767359778137,-0.019607169691898803,-0.03272145478722927,-0.021300005875479845,-4.3656911876012645E-4,0.41824439673440567,-0.016503634635357468,-0.03269339727842982,-0.031906344747399236,-0.0061722024248914865,-0.029796396714888585,-0.02808774020215496,0.2202999329233478,-0.026555857537810416,-0.008385987095464783,-0.029732342968369695,-0.02544563114634363,-0.020414216817701464,0.005713549982290453,-0.030220430995713546,-0.03238836490475496,-0.016726772058488288,-0.024593593695848168,-0.026240895474100415,-0.03212225691734621,-0.01952415297635963,-0.019546528409266045,-0.02753119808297583,-0.020107338617918268,-0.014404714275730632,-0.026436527009965877,-0.03140206134065152,-0.012973211598139436,-0.03178471076154117,-0.026735814624431368,0.6970030490730968,-0.03210499262334469,-0.03186979931109986,0.024506125975143254,-0.029589768351298354,0.024894043552713522,-0.02645469576696694,-0.03001733192871583,-0.0327831429834117,0.0017566710403937335,-0.0324514426681114,-0.029575055941056527,-0.025129308765692304,-0.018871421933049814,-0.023221390808514222;-0.011075857807477654,-0.023632807679293728,0.025149458965392887,-0.148072343965309,-0.07648341184564121,-0.0473517116728433,-0.10985556403473032,-0.1348399891158003,-0.05506078315842526,-0.13500485604796664,-0.07266477636847148,0.03341502388430603,-0.04592549242281568,-0.13084175151098612,0.004982141716140233,0.1524230415504216,-0.15325456299237247,-0.12987063803989932,-0.03775610392976963,1.112872148344536,0.2009431302854878,-0.020197333652612108,-0.1132298253676847,-0.12187143526243109,-0.12914363642087823,-0.14800100746721465,-0.08697593917910587,0.021047840449278255,0.21354771569217618,0.021307631851419852,-0.04217148998940581,-0.0750231158362242,-0.14687677744800567,0.11080013396096099,-0.1376626968149071,-0.15863862302575435,-0.05545005556420798,-0.1448568688241426,-0.10453078392145647,-0.15401743658649733,-0.015426194911938898,0.16957188858506855,0.025669868261425352,0.024443772005591412,0.1943079811041334,0.04797153528048258,-0.14323513105958494,-0.002796783180196833,-0.14500715809528192,-0.08191600638322909,0.05784764039970439,0.006179326746024862,-0.14252557211945885,-0.003259885480019049,0.10584448571001316,0.7229946105775575,0.026184524899912485,-0.1417205372344988,-0.119481761401034,0.08050293187304965,-0.08852162890404741,-0.06122658013763125,0.46045558245518065,-0.045857647841116615,0.06872901379858028,-0.0880291978758559,-0.040045801309966725,0.0015773636437031132,0.13022970929185954,-0.08972885713200263,-0.13877586591135382,0.023803893263421617,-0.029349828397587364,-0.043283826830659795,-0.13249970706637887,0.008214187495492475,0.005045317052496466,-0.057130659184869474,0.0025716810027026156,0.039030655591083874,-0.045599428066185166,-0.10469740462557446,0.04944572783493678,-0.11857752879638572,-0.050494536468477395,1.113774770495352,-0.1407176592023121,-0.128847953464565,0.1914214374129873,-0.07766574037209803,0.19353984521649167,-0.047965937734687186,-0.0870651757171301,-0.15054684881864455,0.11348263289046427,-0.12269094655460693,-0.07849521965467579,-0.03652415398142317,0.011154678830904095,-0.020438488552931885;-0.06843178392904709,-0.040674051812991885,-0.1411030456903729,0.23579759958027893,0.07368763658612001,0.00933305095149865,0.14899922430876616,0.20485878350881365,0.02573452263078567,0.2071370207405962,0.06471910881002939,-0.16086735137912098,0.006506048055501172,0.1969902045417968,-0.10159936869132362,-0.38288507952857764,0.25166023900143386,0.19387415905257202,-0.01229607824844206,0.771587286709437,-0.465771305180243,-0.0485217819383725,0.15391030767752056,0.1747712330789495,0.1885795121102201,0.232710670598728,0.09689597599475931,-0.13373425658504318,-0.48836865574607813,-0.13517192477158474,-0.001119428451951806,0.07125420213945124,0.2344438078263188,-0.30808719382533556,0.21030469526914417,0.25722470884779436,0.02860559828894794,0.22799548502288633,0.1362113189803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x_a{164}	=[8.470758145291745,14.832247322837146,14.61037049176844];
std_x_a{164}	=[1.1244160771597507,2.0499308716956475,2.3137584911654234];
pred_a{164}	=[8.470758145291745];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.4 to 16.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{165}	=[14.998814679708916,19.17994202859346,31.171948812373284];
std_x_f{165}	=[1.2897722078722698,2.527991902634422,3.2135556981742273];
pred_f{165}	=[14.998814679708916];
obs{165}	=[15.56147386067317];
sqrt_r{165}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{165}	=[2.6638081507110254];
L_f{165}	=[0.017198910178150215,0.0017320023803842775,0.05852098005191666,-0.14430769699804216,-0.06002562397580631,-0.026354365610499503,-0.0989073993974753,-0.12891451575761304,-0.03486365048370961,-0.12972152833447645,-0.05575908953071472,0.06873060709815902,-0.024350971960815614,-0.12426605173949866,0.0353533163220597,0.2033083147623165,-0.15197211081105202,-0.12244638287939866,-0.014186461835338348,0.1680786158659884,0.2571112484969629,0.005975286345357591,-0.1030438383986497,-0.11326302883585113,-0.12170124172578993,-0.14342266650261962,-0.07225807846935205,0.053603600946089555,0.27144339540275847,0.05402091391966781,-0.019923573823271402,-0.05867202944540697,-0.1435207768337426,0.15678890014718608,-0.13173352610611952,-0.15603910412968788,-0.03543859432856605,-0.13974486985911638,-0.0930011619318921,-0.15187466990569323,0.011538060536022427,0.22221130482380264,0.058945758811657166,0.0576624297938377,0.2500507415393064,0.08512463931340916,-0.1395430848393682,0.0256995764548773,-0.14066461796191707,-0.0660650448276292,0.0959659004373165,0.03658064782925358,-0.13767845895364636,0.025035460918612355,0.15025003882410265,0.5216866310662268,0.0590731175674017,-0.1371768011273443,-0.10972195984927317,0.12273999448952255,-0.07468090657709345,-0.042091681454219265,0.40344895873862585,-0.02423678567495132,0.1087718817593975,-0.07431168334094727,-0.01790210560102379,0.03218342285286295,0.17885040252858536,-0.07569690872841023,-0.13358209953893127,0.056504629450028813,-0.004662404449799784,-0.02110593194605107,-0.12572457651062796,0.03834046822157556,0.035498323786667244,-0.03750149765842104,0.03165798805811738,0.07473637151825627,-0.02428543984553092,-0.09240362029073225,0.08757145771210226,-0.11009706155902381,-0.030479572607593583,0.15005152129165442,-0.13688029561592618,-0.12141497389509326,0.2470573837854217,-0.06147789970989617,0.2486616255098215,-0.02617324047994332,-0.0722351689019864,-0.14833240099741496,0.15969342398783964,-0.1138424980020084,-0.06268495086516247,-0.013484779073572902,0.042779362872802276,0.005613844097680811;0.0850336038158784,0.06271474600745244,0.14188599112161854,-0.16586384022607567,-0.030708761025693747,0.022148011177591576,-0.09240752164047278,-0.13960690688769117,0.009214747225539065,-0.14109306759334161,-0.023054845278221096,0.15673691225145858,0.024832380270583886,-0.1330754749977758,0.1109770074776569,0.31430481968819923,-0.17900087764911993,-0.13018828356967613,0.039866723135986805,-1.407939525315167,0.36344789786496473,0.06911991136641762,-0.09718179021647151,-0.11455152506189775,-0.12614492826430485,-0.16359751684244564,-0.0495423396244286,0.13606663100035127,0.37611955474987285,0.1370062550430434,0.03095407733716224,-0.02813195670844839,-0.16485136373356404,0.26374924574167,-0.14397726744107506,-0.18411711191267083,0.006725353217473685,-0.15866329648588193,-0.08180208076716737,-0.17903978994052822,0.07720997031064483,0.331815951354145,0.1421123271722733,0.14140672671928525,0.35776572951918195,0.17737743976681422,-0.15838666948118726,0.09728763642342164,-0.15975608415394058,-0.03917872355088024,0.19103590879870444,0.11249053618624517,-0.15461050483938416,0.096861818613265,0.2588705173952475,-0.21077881987704786,0.14289685904003196,-0.1543599736517404,-0.1075135166891002,0.22427663586997096,-0.05374310893682521,-0.001665804419202527,0.130484676487454,0.025681892326300856,0.20705978005690245,-0.05237472973194025,0.03323932549335528,0.1058299831613888,0.2885920356701318,-0.05416575797218199,-0.14784056218348013,0.13859083975559772,0.05454865700355667,0.029088398401949277,-0.13456097652825202,0.11387898487421041,0.11042103016887381,0.004631381942008262,0.10505861653057708,0.16338636826403896,0.024927870871544418,-0.0808108730214412,0.18246956653301682,-0.10962685100683274,0.01543389558314918,-1.4307956081360298,-0.15486611266044753,-0.12869212185316148,0.355332186125206,-0.0310103283341088,0.3566352050658778,0.021912425416974066,-0.04913576568956983,-0.17133348556970823,0.26746865170838136,-0.11426457014961093,-0.03390598732891607,0.04061870810963846,0.12148955616402113,0.06882504557082963;-0.03914681883129195,-0.05723285831741143,0.014396589403169645,-0.20313275116832155,-0.1267897553919605,-0.09088233059602649,-0.1641265082037761,-0.19014834362555,-0.09976661793620761,-0.19032538028889445,-0.12163173386757416,0.027723505645850976,-0.0870920168372009,-0.1863057929594364,-0.01647443069349892,0.24137480298428204,-0.20882020013090705,-0.18458537486100807,-0.07661378430535519,1.5725244830289613,0.3426231307054144,-0.052421353199833466,-0.16864609355037288,-0.17716182916947687,-0.1863572588875405,-0.20439178981308614,-0.13791152409332658,0.008429459575874257,0.37085427105568725,0.008084046733504036,-0.0827529705186414,-0.12397724038274947,-0.202105898958897,0.1618136647671709,-0.1935784473654371,-0.2147730593742791,-0.09885521602477644,-0.20097774396323775,-0.15833427321055216,-0.20827104356404175,-0.04573222320934435,0.27672945247356806,0.015570562933188222,0.012884032300970896,0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k{165}	=[0.6245975898327815;0.39507294616695104;1.2118898597705157];
x_a_linear{165}	=[15.350250248036476,19.40223344890489,31.853829768290645];
L_a{165}	=[-0.021109582209142844,-0.0021258234537196072,-0.07182742549205011,0.17712024550615352,0.07367419393713358,0.03234679649245541,0.12139687090906638,0.15822697718337975,0.0427909145622298,0.15921748752145662,0.06843753890004749,-0.08435850794000303,0.02988787307770304,0.15252154978593396,-0.04339192015866546,-0.2495363682827836,0.1865273865281563,0.15028812633073735,0.017412166193553052,-0.20629617356392435,-0.3155729625204503,-0.007333941338372712,0.12647384952247456,0.13901666987623432,0.14937355568198205,0.17603397760852485,0.08868805243609544,-0.06579193734700144,-0.33316393951885137,-0.06630413855227801,0.024453777312970913,0.07201282035466018,0.17615439617452447,-0.19243941289622363,0.161686971455332,0.1915191289650025,0.04349658859813805,0.1715199270209958,0.11414767871985199,0.18640778960132234,-0.0141615738960402,-0.27273750245746475,-0.07234879004692917,-0.07077365888324336,-0.3069070441269571,-0.1044801997915492,0.17127226031311568,-0.031543121994066586,0.17264880658293683,0.08108685262577148,-0.11778653668007187,-0.04489832115039177,0.16898365754606667,-0.030728000491370182,-0.1844137514313959,-0.6403072469029966,-0.07250510751685002,0.16836793323473007,0.1346704359517512,-0.15064849907280486,0.09166178092175055,0.05166244842116267,-0.4951848037735427,0.029747723221483086,-0.1335043299987813,0.09120860405320366,0.021972669546333617,-0.03950125929183639,-0.2195172389534231,0.09290880068728977,0.1639558717778163,-0.0693525989854798,0.005722537591385195,0.025904978914405713,0.1543117125486502,-0.04705828784945872,-0.04356989928428234,0.04602855294820547,-0.03885635162731962,-0.09172985742910329,0.029807440331638783,0.11341426862195658,-0.10748337345796398,0.1351308279357057,0.03740998917925242,-0.18417009516900698,0.16800400857881237,0.1490221965410056,-0.30323305950046153,0.07545668676264186,-0.3052020722003227,0.03212448729995355,0.08865993371283497,0.18206008291807058,-0.19600436463779317,0.13972789819674727,0.07693819607508104,0.016550935464931422,-0.052506494194348934,-0.006890314692139987;0.060802564188085495,0.06027457870151281,0.05943750037382883,0.03744703751764372,0.053859578373425025,0.05927790317997183,0.04694020966676317,0.04201696971635722,0.05833312087188266,0.04166778533813344,0.055502498997282164,0.05990437769042968,0.05913974977515836,0.041999317119838064,0.06116875800717433,0.02786970370486081,0.035108167705403565,0.042322830512420445,0.05985361273245542,-1.6447405527900019,0.0012114080787693042,0.06070150585571798,0.047993648562761546,0.045021431111337065,0.04531637832217969,0.03846646741882211,0.052259945792667496,0.06054609131131901,-0.006309076051565672,0.06089777535692854,0.05902381558442994,0.054529343095350624,0.03735084529291914,0.042853967301816134,0.04161823008303531,0.035721800930493416,0.05665374836774871,0.03821914805638087,0.04922452596895998,0.03493197378308681,0.060954335553542016,0.018748967623421167,0.05906537810045624,0.06016782222495538,0.005476580704660615,0.057447834510475325,0.03821148607071716,0.06108025763922736,0.03842216648857494,0.053898378582249225,0.05583236902049148,0.06095313538703291,0.03936063404344472,0.061590092711141416,0.04718764870688798,-0.945767798813335,0.059670477956219554,0.038904394247182686,0.047070531346947594,0.05135186101016134,0.05147262787235923,0.057635929862389135,-0.4379227171046717,0.0598283881249803,0.05381426914947553,0.05232081929942005,0.058461076508162665,0.06048770353855198,0.03661495420234717,0.05248139444040241,0.040359336180065826,0.058983126175186695,0.06111738175493214,0.058823926296965375,0.04256868832032452,0.05986222478871466,0.06040848393860582,0.05746614103140734,0.06045660656444652,0.05809248852757951,0.05914291410277397,0.04937387483896541,0.05909271066796906,0.045485666815921165,0.05837567061672414,-1.6421987913009615,0.03798051732818841,0.042365870390848985,0.007260291171728129,0.055604079711145234,0.0063031410439044235,0.05878713554034954,0.05263424311063907,0.03764767948226291,0.042481274899866237,0.04612478311988174,0.05440899965262359,0.059617017462918746,0.06121896772060328,0.06091586543173165;-0.11347575352936796,-0.06471809374773495,-0.23851490671432163,0.4205252175920474,0.1326243957661233,0.02301395121377344,0.26332392643545816,0.3669845516642299,0.05090444047959416,0.37029520023819934,0.1193436350146893,-0.2693111758450913,0.018146151509627336,0.35073772603441267,-0.1692616894816268,-0.6372675234779056,0.44796124610014404,0.3445940384148918,-0.015303818474193973,0.8461351750181847,-0.7685406001192417,-0.07824488875911735,0.27668088682438496,0.3123296669104055,0.33960186033636774,0.41544132183606725,0.17436791340150667,-0.2232304835852532,-0.8022490361961698,-0.22537940772226137,0.0033512071485921565,0.12958704945182242,0.41815121841618363,-0.5157846132463235,0.3757374312608998,0.4595848075524532,0.05430059073011934,0.40296094741648214,0.24359103603740126,0.4480892900141545,-0.09559653084518441,-0.6836063708046891,-0.23917670954262055,-0.2363170469699442,-0.7518544621565765,-0.316478774875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x_a{165}	=[15.35025024803647,19.40223344890489,31.853829768290584];
std_x_a{165}	=[1.583039400236907,2.594496146295267,3.6725863872585927];
pred_a{165}	=[15.35025024803647];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.5 to 16.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{166}	=[12.033445474815526,2.755865933091623,39.587949416522044];
std_x_f{166}	=[1.664716793555825,3.4789286708213027,1.9311333027669082];
pred_f{166}	=[12.033445474815526];
obs{166}	=[12.234444391007326];
sqrt_r{166}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{166}	=[3.7752508352687357];
L_f{166}	=[0.06299867079509665,0.046159174006566564,0.10522200317431787,-0.13034673183461434,-0.023984058712053273,0.01586237907998138,-0.07182970085994539,-0.11027182196217582,0.006051890799023306,-0.11150086204922349,-0.01887719912280417,0.11542554878327597,0.0174892532666046,-0.1043289120867929,0.0822462260790164,0.22438817997747712,-0.14087486877825675,-0.10171001207347162,0.029165916303340686,-0.8534921145971202,0.25527039273397734,0.05078528623844072,-0.07632587292752843,-0.08966730485866564,-0.09975801829349161,-0.12869377658755132,-0.03837278937554562,0.10048309119217709,0.2623750863660524,0.101252302406901,0.022555808712329213,-0.023009350079326172,-0.12948174637585416,0.19104147990882928,-0.1133818387538009,-0.14455356230428573,0.005020707847735904,-0.12402610624276718,-0.06372663056572041,-0.14082763035084409,0.05692236591413328,0.23540371641226565,0.10579849387895508,0.10430137576409373,0.25155237925754953,0.13064485063233763,-0.12462658297026302,0.07210700083127855,-0.12498573839553016,-0.030816491329857337,0.14074218895000853,0.0829379517454265,-0.12143329765594209,0.07129102700373577,0.18660591352521433,-0.19217125287749276,0.10551247145764263,-0.12088337385817206,-0.08433234478528356,0.16405559906409378,-0.04219433647968113,-0.002423620483706178,0.08400803091054833,0.018302853335301638,0.15151967389622492,-0.04149926930177881,0.024352538220819637,0.0791741819387233,0.2079876984237634,-0.04264304124375555,-0.11611202075118503,0.10270565212592324,0.04022167653716147,0.021454815381403345,-0.10618662732648346,0.08449234207365162,0.08207434369965126,0.0025023090772820526,0.07769392463408466,0.1203502552175353,0.017773091168459335,-0.06288819856094495,0.13390550864603207,-0.085819320865761,0.010445763132703432,-0.8663598798248566,-0.12141380208919451,-0.10021187671545895,0.2498910054139,-0.024658243608474732,0.2510088817042932,0.015647619695600648,-0.038566764286099,-0.1353671323437112,0.19347902754455273,-0.08905016674477986,-0.0277151935146847,0.029937369889757513,0.09000513346143987,0.050797056568219236;0.08859321361266732,0.04297481073930862,0.20780437337622323,-0.39141394485126413,-0.13758714287383883,-0.03865091912586678,-0.2537698169572924,-0.34492393125105764,-0.06371536366336318,-0.3477765853856458,-0.1257836370816813,0.23707013878209035,-0.03348190058011652,-0.3305728185995891,0.14120082872187067,0.6145744247997605,-0.41468519018243954,-0.3249177341502266,-0.0034507314773387656,-0.6358385270863276,0.7593515290611896,0.055172588152939836,-0.26651387284443956,-0.29687183192923117,-0.32235409667177756,-0.3876684528135859,-0.17474024541870486,0.1932743751960699,0.796297491754248,0.19463446903232123,-0.019831352271724095,-0.13498274179774242,-0.3895144614125043,0.4857559056167463,-0.3527817094090968,-0.4259774998058842,-0.06626734264957479,-0.3763671622800809,-0.23656434668581644,-0.41505895308226665,0.07183982744315151,0.6651877540742339,0.20856853172494064,0.20515852427056358,0.7403280053920837,0.2840316894161949,-0.37706173181476693,0.11332709610261574,-0.379754620789485,-0.15588042429013593,0.31473863189780693,0.14438028292487232,-0.37096009848972533,0.11007522008235633,0.46685161612505693,0.8201079365529248,0.20961565734061216,-0.36917860888440557,-0.28593232878563946,0.3908528834872119,-0.18184689730649822,-0.08489342881266067,0.9328750292459594,-0.033166675086375885,0.3506894216762356,-0.181265348491222,-0.014789895347814422,0.13230653532904235,0.5468758467888353,-0.18422669727584162,-0.3584419321759276,0.20209989005617454,0.025235883544865837,-0.023280571474969883,-0.3338699069140989,0.1488326521453108,0.1415959051938209,-0.07163699631628681,0.12959956317272997,0.2545631195846084,-0.033030637897703954,-0.23410545263036112,0.2917452544186123,-0.2877423937811744,-0.05151323630682797,-0.6790003115710123,-0.36944716904695263,-0.32146156965248107,0.7324869961476573,-0.14239265449248345,0.7364170019168564,-0.03777250875232788,-0.1744719608790936,-0.40374577064352013,0.49398362822890973,-0.2980624247637658,-0.14652948816999706,-0.0011956564604637659,0.16241163279177018,0.05523354372104186;0.057577021204407185,0.05569251069043326,0.05949470152559723,0.01696491261057439,0.042120308847825735,0.05146431660972779,0.030828339839455345,0.022299781579676315,0.04909219734774465,0.02169980126388241,0.0440488496023532,0.06008381574970267,0.051545829976409815,0.023912339651329682,0.059669665957048305,0.020331959489409423,0.013520644260667188,0.023837113406667693,0.05316610131110427,-0.9576762734830985,-0.02110219777753775,0.055856782574644284,0.031219880007418058,0.02653549983639355,0.025882687619881835,0.01718501391199267,0.039203687588780824,0.06066377955072146,-0.03367337788655401,0.060558186427424984,0.0519901350720963,0.042982010367268536,0.017018349009240135,0.042039132116845866,0.02173298957570028,0.013757774696038451,0.047773177866721056,0.01792559467784578,0.03336133220670418,0.013278080165260792,0.05702546900042666,0.006603815409800266,0.059245636312407896,0.06028789376421196,-0.01449587315588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k{166}	=[0.7351169382818462;1.1816045826520924;0.503922464633299];
x_a_linear{166}	=[12.181203182684412,2.993367173571958,39.68923728575804];
L_a{166}	=[-0.047282618925289455,-0.034644010848376046,-0.07897264840441852,0.09782960135045697,0.018000841828111208,-0.011905248409552396,0.05391060367487436,0.08276270705763447,-0.004542147363051262,0.08368514293360374,0.014167972137117305,-0.0866307521806766,-0.013126272142825801,0.0783023535390814,-0.0617285558037523,-0.16841086758357607,0.1057313218283156,0.07633678109492537,-0.021890000039256202,0.6405745057937968,-0.19158900577135796,-0.038116063496546636,0.057285131864294556,0.06729832474529034,0.07487174418417022,0.0965890029051081,0.028800067592625146,-0.0754159357540702,-0.19692131703041485,-0.07599325461302096,-0.016928892220052814,0.017269290253089535,0.09718040070374011,-0.14338304887149447,0.08509687914339086,0.10849230490841741,-0.0037682099146477428,0.09308575949701878,0.04782897718956604,0.10569586780152745,-0.04272214797353042,-0.17667839775413785,-0.079405324045941,-0.07828168660378963,-0.18879851174749487,-0.09805334952370105,0.09353643745452742,-0.0541187266194867,0.09380599566732038,0.02312881204911935,-0.10563174115972447,-0.062247719155501195,0.09113976954501192,-0.053506310848585696,-0.14005400728399145,0.14423098144015362,-0.0791906546095811,0.09072703325963054,0.06329425797772613,-0.12312923868405452,0.031668267082382386,0.001819008596599244,-0.06305084951913874,-0.013736906327964699,-0.11372060569057213,0.031146595813997587,-0.01827739807882078,-0.05942288346854408,-0.15610175518948055,0.0320050350824359,0.08714597245519808,-0.07708404240365885,-0.030187719522343965,-0.01610255973639193,0.07969663123798214,-0.0634143413178904,-0.06159955230350507,-0.0018780670296877358,-0.05831190063091785,-0.09032690980926157,-0.01333930202394203,0.04719970580215063,-0.10050058290753941,0.06441028348234204,-0.007839896165331426,0.650232195900657,0.09112513746719753,0.0752123801776138,-0.1875515948625781,0.018506840242686715,-0.18839059857451648,-0.011744064276551763,0.028945652279746423,0.10159758059713037,-0.14521251026357684,0.06683514185754266,0.020801183848111995,-0.02246900187349686,-0.0675518764613096,-0.03812489752447955;-0.0886695734739098,-0.08690576818006537,-0.08826450093666159,-0.024650254744507785,-0.07010189216474678,-0.08328375804221076,-0.05165868017724354,-0.03464610710922652,-0.08074389802193217,-0.03404054429222513,-0.07266783500737796,-0.08770900687432343,-0.08269236389583799,-0.03701688326301729,-0.0902198517165793,-0.01679880371584732,-0.01829790843627836,-0.038730740246916265,-0.08551645677937857,1.7656786649506389,0.04108333854832182,-0.08772473440955897,-0.051751612130160135,-0.0445700584285434,-0.04165953385388377,-0.025555772804753393,-0.0667686405078777,-0.08946036468016215,0.05803843827993637,-0.09026464228316984,-0.08329785826109065,-0.07024008179181743,-0.025184627945483706,-0.051787898885541694,-0.0337530618385837,-0.019239277967952453,-0.08039438144269181,-0.027388160237390227,-0.057253259592285985,-0.01880458866904458,-0.08832573005439821,0.002819511456895649,-0.08912244584415176,-0.08831993061687954,0.03252139165439321,-0.08357083376910748,-0.02639313573853324,-0.08956429469163901,-0.028075449555448585,-0.06917038624620614,-0.08127532139794992,-0.08898674365040275,-0.02927662301421367,-0.09052022076510721,-0.05821159395287428,1.3608306447157628,-0.08727052338227342,-0.02904248391403449,-0.04864182266040419,-0.07075928007486128,-0.06312239742007754,-0.07807395601490585,0.6964970627124472,-0.08466640917449524,-0.07564972729807261,-0.06449659693428737,-0.08331195689567321,-0.09047016739545663,-0.038350454607802786,-0.06423965238561336,-0.03173122299995734,-0.08688859042463276,-0.08793803575037999,-0.08364915263607531,-0.03508681714958959,-0.08890804705391202,-0.0893411404435641,-0.0786778794903743,-0.08901205904905578,-0.08407294046543393,-0.08303975135839856,-0.05715350727860579,-0.08503195959665305,-0.04626790216815404,-0.08090504827333303,1.7587236114819647,-0.027818549308140077,-0.03948996070321218,0.02935508037107011,-0.0730104130652851,0.030139656810535837,-0.08180106750612458,-0.06595455821038429,-0.022855906519094575,-0.05041883665638817,-0.04749712634587089,-0.06854574049639965,-0.08543206268497767,-0.09084070742611174,-0.08769689765865019;-0.018020773411405226,3.0194907789235243E-4,-0.06677068288082358,0.17337972799811635,0.070900946941995,0.03242961539028706,0.1170232849770601,0.15462489960830694,0.04182998702032449,0.1554997554898894,0.0667013056652613,-0.07842572453435503,0.030558895494363348,0.1491060234050889,-0.039025008526958345,-0.24893168258529821,0.18256912198278863,0.14588814251664345,0.01816728430981716,0.06650599530455352,-0.32742419596964917,-0.005085068897842707,0.12281018806669508,0.13413539695972204,0.14559134310501998,0.17161629901707787,0.08525066307947783,-0.059914956388249764,-0.34852093960607317,-0.060943595517009105,0.024923383140546894,0.07059300754525331,0.1723951902263472,-0.18720879294211604,0.15779009762408372,0.18722064900979296,0.04174837709062799,0.16675572059011182,0.10983267149470792,0.18226987223213853,-0.01128081862616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x_a{166}	=[12.181203182684417,2.993367173571965,39.68923728575804];
std_x_a{166}	=[1.2494258811307535,2.995278292408226,1.7784146989032013];
pred_a{166}	=[12.181203182684417];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.6 to 16.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{167}	=[3.4135017746497933,-3.080214523521513,30.072900488017225];
std_x_f{167}	=[1.3311128974731403,1.5869466784054476,1.7233927472598463];
pred_f{167}	=[3.4135017746497933];
obs{167}	=[3.1883272530315994];
sqrt_r{167}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{167}	=[2.7731743736627577];
L_f{167}	=[-0.036232966252004555,-0.037605433834236465,-0.02995095706072714,-0.032539205560353814,-0.038663712379738396,-0.03969960590479595,-0.036563073565503604,-0.0344474597582049,-0.03988289798741888,-0.034079672987863935,-0.03960944245934907,-0.02824869440861229,-0.039623513312677695,-0.034828965260443025,-0.03437143782108299,0.03005363388990942,-0.030912200151585544,-0.035100793231135054,-0.03979394602492629,0.5902638785911747,0.07207037116655109,-0.03725664662961334,-0.037584472409903744,-0.036511556232206144,-0.03631200160753885,-0.03350029941473128,-0.038455590534545135,-0.03156243286602511,0.08362026510085989,-0.0319464094511793,-0.03909787742631983,-0.03861833411111528,-0.032927606818382714,0.003787133375958589,-0.03467228034844549,-0.03276779038472727,-0.039742425789415815,-0.03294292994672488,-0.03816985971498682,-0.031569581886225495,-0.03708342311000427,0.04396508560128199,-0.029762911869902528,-0.02970505252563106,0.06527354693629109,-0.023647788423847023,-0.032737794757523704,-0.0352023110773868,-0.03363135411943128,-0.038962418477545675,-0.021158952420187498,-0.033464307973612224,-0.03320808757141436,-0.0359147530158752,-0.0013097994020620513,0.8510794722495549,-0.029896375506009952,-0.033308858999908486,-0.036980772455084944,-0.009994548110317532,-0.03804044557868159,-0.0395528083194332,0.4910864817434125,-0.039974869378587116,-0.01644025114271647,-0.03846040415814419,-0.03843717912701504,-0.03460561923518974,0.01433095905193987,-0.03868400911569337,-0.033397055070934135,-0.03003886664298949,-0.03864500118824509,-0.03919008723493948,-0.03401704326533831,-0.032972515627703446,-0.03364704238105379,-0.03939316470696214,-0.034438023287719104,-0.025324269846324597,-0.03964329757644783,-0.037926269366318266,-0.02449770307357895,-0.03627927256390721,-0.0392631732775139,0.5719099055016196,-0.033143314787993886,-0.03467093187757495,0.0629687126133669,-0.04073246466571243,0.06417812081827595,-0.039366854341507634,-0.03901763730174106,-0.032540612339300785,0.004752058003159164,-0.037301114982095436,-0.038461235316819185,-0.03907028466437756,-0.03329587942152859,-0.03710934043077883;0.0015648416063908299,-0.011021256144685297,0.037832610798952324,-0.12001631293575027,-0.05806813874467016,-0.034037863825719855,-0.08660491086854702,-0.10942477958253807,-0.04012384048907931,-0.11018198711662634,-0.0560262946956767,0.046116901964641,-0.03200757093400452,-0.10590929312570728,0.016760091450181973,0.20024389049545271,-0.12592759308482548,-0.1040029463731048,-0.02468002651777951,-0.20233070856478094,0.2819561320629364,-0.007239574183861509,-0.09056796960502556,-0.09770435212770265,-0.10492508976306891,-0.119780196026125,-0.06771090575166676,0.03262072660717326,0.3050555230869378,0.03224902338454004,-0.027958165682274314,-0.057427174120209964,-0.12026420154452049,0.14042301195622744,-0.11130832613203055,-0.1305505242027858,-0.039957088615867394,-0.11640097791245388,-0.08310678137590816,-0.12606664571067272,-0.002769351806144944,0.2283061041172962,0.03787577017894525,0.036483221497670505,0.27045177244401136,0.06282515548592271,-0.11675662843566818,0.009184763877809896,-0.11794773432943505,-0.06396414281287338,0.07291033373971496,0.01838034556265724,-0.11578514971844454,0.007662699740176528,0.13083117614266912,0.9035128787590807,0.0382405920710472,-0.11487323463493372,-0.09576294039376639,0.10189161143793518,-0.06877307348641612,-0.045656136466460835,0.7550865591603492,-0.032241122517484865,0.08651933132365906,-0.06876517246129997,-0.026179739165543562,0.014382506048780445,0.1669879181158536,-0.06994177713133624,-0.11253280145141063,0.03624731422584843,-0.016962789712599315,-0.0292435462067454,-0.1060002279064056,0.019925418076673907,0.017633898210838633,-0.04146658160207827,0.013646561357373382,0.05392021703859223,-0.03177362476443227,-0.0828909443597235,0.06368366101860681,-0.09505579793448522,-0.03671805613679057,-0.23579837574495996,-0.11368109802349154,-0.10276094675970565,0.26606527781207767,-0.06097451306146532,0.26805368454432177,-0.03356964333213942,-0.06744804782801665,-0.12453678527186825,0.14396404509507765,-0.09893506656766425,-0.06058008551515123,-0.023817804472083707,0.022959372874521742,-0.006960507602248837;-0.054068738580853974,-0.04408602232581154,-0.07753070579445838,0.05346901666156704,-0.006727722704515417,-0.028604243291400572,0.020288841693709075,0.04240482538199281,-0.023040272340656653,0.04292901860178982,-0.009434106073943285,-0.08267898580981782,-0.028859728855631695,0.039319581107402655,-0.06436643868894665,-0.14149072915481012,0.05974547495182392,0.03822767973402195,-0.03555116934919986,1.0123977467473289,-0.15695344428899882,-0.04712664998825994,0.022686259769645445,0.029947690717219293,0.03622752772419793,0.052899142569400995,7.930377776638284E-4,-0.07434266530589953,-0.16048971839762766,-0.07537894354723655,-0.031803123273587613,-0.007299594152416935,0.0531852406438007,-0.12364705426534534,0.04412614722735446,0.06161554158156379,-0.023473934264635662,0.050130159318555655,0.01527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k{167}	=[0.6394024084828034;0.4112997388567951;0.6423587177422659];
x_a_linear{167}	=[3.269524643198157,-3.17282874546028,29.928257671042335];
L_a{167}	=[0.04120644647999168,0.04276730438986945,0.03406214386543916,0.03700566558913704,0.04397084643340066,0.04514893080006202,0.04158186562872331,0.03917585430421673,0.04535738227875896,0.038757583667396754,0.04504639116354926,0.03212622191023969,0.04506239343784782,0.039609726760323705,0.0390893972953833,-0.03417891452222187,0.03515533098410426,0.039918866913194004,0.04525622041814159,-0.6712858327157766,-0.08196303530913143,0.04237064127428945,0.04274346571754218,0.04152327682253647,0.04129633054096533,0.03809868298653158,0.043734156960735675,0.035894817212218696,-0.09509831335795388,0.03633149994185445,0.044464606691145304,0.04391923936418181,0.03744738033974323,-0.004306970279045054,0.03943153465770813,0.037265626870423514,0.045197628311372404,0.0374648067812757,0.043409205598986186,0.03590294753520197,0.04217364040938096,-0.04999990710717062,0.03384828684811291,0.033782485501446816,-0.07423325210755266,0.0268937773761072,0.03723151392481474,0.040034319500466084,0.03824772677824366,0.0443105541114012,0.024063313900691514,0.03805775121787932,0.03776636099007362,0.040844554036723504,0.0014895876474814195,-0.9679020061331737,0.03400007023068327,0.03788096470333509,0.04205689951964392,0.011366439306544919,0.043262027566574296,0.04498198319763353,-0.5584949541879636,0.045461978026772175,0.01869690502616488,0.04373963132134506,0.04371321833060165,0.039355723376440985,-0.01629808316198902,0.04399392917959448,0.0379812669158338,0.03416212026459389,0.043949566869771126,0.04456947358273192,0.03868635714149337,0.037498453509819424,0.03826556847269437,0.044800426271617295,0.03916512254647637,0.02880037926813983,0.04508489336789814,0.04313217907580159,0.027860354671577874,0.0412591089793805,0.04465259170452285,-0.6504125207006966,0.037692697238262296,0.039430001090393504,-0.07161204711118922,0.046323563838855455,-0.07298746346880769,0.04477050444135842,0.04437335248976381,0.03700726546812512,-0.0054043442762890396,0.042421213528679676,0.04374057656814643,0.04443322643758554,0.03786620349670007,0.04220311524409287;0.05137824520221144,0.040679028064784475,0.07900945240144087,-0.0752811243234845,-0.004912923797892925,0.020541506733576142,-0.03633767280819765,-0.06206610616199472,0.01470752165225069,-0.06332895021230929,-0.0015708816414441316,0.08495345776424726,0.022467186854273145,-0.05802612255456265,0.06401424923682304,0.1589258878768773,-0.0834292259493296,-0.055746064295192514,0.03002904367600552,-1.0138307278509435,0.1828731461089123,0.04398119428096472,-0.03889650334777606,-0.047507940554422944,-0.05500302765896643,-0.07372368705249044,-0.014841818564886153,0.07601303944974443,0.19009364043875154,0.07616923064443788,0.02579394322405773,-0.0043343456198991345,-0.0749950354353876,0.13521642737753883,-0.06364056736858675,-0.08550107514512349,0.014681151100860145,-0.0711107454304732,-0.030630519455914034,-0.08266450433167806,0.048213267426444766,0.16786251421219753,0.07879408558405682,0.07732199136273689,0.1807131207682514,0.0953363449014594,-0.07174841763251767,0.05758121359179081,-0.07171105018457781,-0.010398264071607774,0.10199984932728433,0.06438737318359218,-0.07013037618058383,0.05703862095460458,0.13263189998599725,-0.2665587336068971,0.07934239446766107,-0.06907991964276348,-0.04492144619265528,0.11563220488850716,-0.016474731269654496,0.008721415469548435,0.07993650532828708,0.022716682708732214,0.10912153451323313,-0.015889467462070688,0.026664035854751016,0.06195861852205685,0.14728558841410136,-0.016758658051820394,-0.0666182337179931,0.07754501470228903,0.03616670092203836,0.024635333562902192,-0.05923329490049867,0.06525632521545753,0.06389215071701812,0.012691490878558791,0.060992261434537454,0.08873624799367986,0.022728332605275726,-0.03074957261311161,0.09736332063817357,-0.04517873201006029,0.017261302972877566,-1.0220651899234334,-0.06811537468318067,-0.05509504188598363,0.17949533282046806,-0.00497515911032739,0.17982103441827152,0.020552257424548238,-0.013806253757142417,-0.07979966260742039,0.13743087357454234,-0.047653162617158046,-0.007703237831598814,0.029896369660225155,0.06873484342713265,0.044057742992975796;0.02372871917860807,0.03665832330400318,-0.013221637070104054,0.12333543202765702,0.07628890115581456,0.056636594899008,0.09879508795255598,0.11636854054736204,0.06259412065716985,0.11610304198396171,0.07561313806209474,-0.022024923022662894,0.056217727452654444,0.11410244417220006,0.009434046300872436,-0.2060202599916407,0.12611847264731238,0.11359419705778027,0.049892230824674526,-0.25498480322793216,-0.31169903198231413,0.032868798694228075,0.10338559816729566,0.10834332175529741,0.1141946859076031,0.12482916647415628,0.08336279371259031,-0.006573523232288766,-0.34003461121079215,-0.0067853477991350756,0.05214571620047709,0.07561959595347369,0.12388561010172701,-0.13177858141651477,0.11857258495678495,0.1319727618708545,0.061858844456995236,0.12086342976564371,0.09723451326695282,0.12711178308821924,0.029219370417018706,-0.24121173971019436,-0.013940031515472174,-0.0124424056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x_a{167}	=[3.269524643198157,-3.1728287454602806,29.928257671042356];
std_x_a{167}	=[1.5138267175550104,1.6525762208143844,1.870149534473959];
pred_a{167}	=[3.269524643198157];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.7 to 16.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{168}	=[-0.7448684036067539,-2.9815274713728757,22.879185276670096];
std_x_f{168}	=[1.5195019351942216,1.7852304005738782,1.358738897137644];
pred_f{168}	=[-0.7448684036067539];
obs{168}	=[-0.8375908019120781];
sqrt_r{168}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{168}	=[3.311375612916817];
L_f{168}	=[0.049894707713672076,0.04305973490827373,0.06621539507986939,-0.03470735359242999,0.013240212794779991,0.03059413811151456,-0.0080823464059352,-0.025925490232904663,0.02636722432616153,-0.02602324951999938,0.015494254722321922,0.06993901646558232,0.031412577965995614,-0.02275291174041929,0.057719163068988465,0.09973747913961474,-0.04028922176686449,-0.021568320431364557,0.03693269026016585,-0.858797139305649,0.09965207820755051,0.04506129827244451,-0.009599570438411167,-0.015379389167348023,-0.020229059043863663,-0.03336738536155093,0.0066447800676946184,0.06450726670273833,0.09975484727867272,0.06488378100711924,0.033083751887126735,0.013319330880903877,-0.034441525576465966,0.09357299398661818,-0.026994503951509843,-0.0410515081909678,0.026647861865526333,-0.03183550261078096,-0.003887930586164274,-0.039788246562866364,0.04736664217084542,0.1008615330138684,0.06638312737458514,0.06506525963970279,0.10092067522452594,0.07520855446582965,-0.03224594589797159,0.05323741828290355,-0.03223676808087285,0.00945565193121962,0.07919415586905504,0.05738359981365339,-0.031131406673685975,0.05338163276483055,0.09336408764377357,-0.7345519802702388,0.06644489096697888,-0.030228495587182234,-0.013590136439398064,0.08442589633884248,0.005398156353707688,0.022588516752965655,-0.23114643181693278,0.031607335040770054,0.08255655977788286,0.005897694930109053,0.0336439086792357,0.056139648008199865,0.09785187108130546,0.005240197584202615,-0.02856829094157132,0.06546475744149563,0.04017297753261939,0.032909205207701,-0.02382859546609018,0.058360329329882984,0.057676292983101805,0.024971052033686995,0.05546289755319084,0.07122867335350276,0.031489842248731414,-0.0042230705255805225,0.07699006084553205,-0.014195723052832414,0.02810949553218086,-0.8508604856430406,-0.029716268128704777,-0.02111801316792484,0.10114599638929524,0.01370030044168975,0.10097409288206873,0.02991900734981236,0.007326780293174224,-0.037274012490986996,0.0941317906321206,-0.015380099585278213,0.011840792905207639,0.036087062732095034,0.06023932896476972,0.04546404317959875;0.05839982459591347,0.046128173449053754,0.09005922613878667,-0.07688136942057631,-0.0035848783936962554,0.024373220339644813,-0.03650996293864466,-0.06377740020997567,0.017245680581739146,-0.06442259237937231,6.364463061644427E-5,0.0969235591505969,0.025968180129736968,-0.0592260724521191,0.07205088190560445,0.18705747955180718,-0.08492971653818694,-0.05700939419918067,0.034521349849263,-0.925171969684598,0.2141733541904344,0.04987674609592122,-0.04002775977403731,-0.04864528927221805,-0.056229417023969414,-0.07535022801186142,-0.014126491325301692,0.08617772319392383,0.22191581867649227,0.08636274021399162,0.028916400112675125,-0.0035711921109714516,-0.07694945060980597,0.1575863547725539,-0.06531942415217527,-0.0876656446251877,0.017798297563050725,-0.07266366989638783,-0.030881933228163374,-0.0845968902146648,0.05463136064786564,0.19794567701567947,0.09021260773444185,0.08838313596429036,0.2124117622010237,0.10925938844514278,-0.07315927594515373,0.0653184620497187,-0.07336322328529407,-0.009722575864760573,0.11727574529318086,0.07333024423906216,-0.07174816198764028,0.0645423115701507,0.1549623303695885,-0.8465506796946165,0.09028633210649692,-0.07065618440469695,-0.04619010894574159,0.13414871300402853,-0.01607172195376888,0.01138536443349125,-0.15411706808676276,0.0260502458388057,0.12577872541116492,-0.01537106743150341,0.03087795847422312,0.0702808828616929,0.17319216964642153,-0.016712631373535996,-0.06805384709763988,0.08769659690536763,0.04137467502934183,0.028054542014890042,-0.060265742574349496,0.07426667309286081,0.07263141572252861,0.015263375172003409,0.06929612568011485,0.10161498761538193,0.02637051272677938,-0.030413656006558862,0.11166707115850742,-0.04664370682031334,0.02109136722827513,-0.9183063230312524,-0.06928610126388637,-0.05607900667404382,0.21075331479651171,-0.0034797245409693396,0.21079583787946835,0.02366674708347741,-0.013326007666414189,-0.08104085251152843,0.1603897749497665,-0.04873082080964384,-0.0062881110244398415,0.03391081091917924,0.0781308673089431,0.050270577723927595;-0.007160134778566191,0.0026076879168731183,-0.03401348216362417,0.07225654945917825,0.032136111643827986,0.017144080152300296,0.050234094262599255,0.06540574362165809,0.021550841416827175,0.0654083092375947,0.031341272870688844,-0.03996965241881497,0.017134635281041245,0.0636429926507132,-0.017553359182399475,-0.16916944049608323,0.07539953827031946,0.06361213539730048,0.01143953096118225,0.5986873241018382,-0.2455792103065301,-6.429922343031637E-4,0.054163395693113535,0.05817302060035168,0.06318388419531783,0.07247188407639296,0.03758716934587743,-0.028954464576693654,-0.2657886555728355,-0.02900398226521925,0.01381789567606314,0.031280660605599565,0.0727792327128364,-0.1170148260742142,0.06749112418579967,0.07945052789546093,0.020639329977642326,0.06958876577546902,0.048927729681883934,0.07574236316014239,-0.0033391387383700033,-0.19440144577883553,-0.03399639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k{168}	=[0.6980107010212738;0.8019924319933058;-0.2847954232797472];
x_a_linear{168}	=[-0.809589629848227,-3.055890133090015,22.905592191342976];
L_a{168}	=[-0.043570338232356745,-0.03760172772061358,-0.05782230805670189,0.030308046774223257,-0.011561958696049549,-0.02671619910263267,0.007057874126421068,0.02263932248625624,-0.023025064877261164,0.022724690361913793,-0.013530291083855152,-0.06107394436562222,-0.027430898174269962,0.01986888200628498,-0.05040301011153668,-0.08709532332554125,0.03518238907369531,0.018834442756759582,-0.03225131241775676,0.7499408964825801,-0.08702074733009185,-0.03934958429231421,0.008382783466477785,0.01342998523357983,0.017664938528579414,0.029137925298113095,-0.005802525524159863,-0.05633069232136217,-0.08711048997803597,-0.056659481813132205,-0.02889024359035366,-0.011631048223389728,0.03007591360623984,-0.08171221326333308,0.023572834103599522,0.03584805240453814,-0.023270130397656456,0.027800215295553658,0.0033951186092764708,0.03474491463834067,-0.04136271590482211,-0.08807689852132511,-0.05796877955935472,-0.05681795724601745,-0.08812854420160326,-0.06567554568808305,0.02815863312517035,-0.04648934581428475,0.02815061863598802,-0.008257107251031914,-0.0691559549169421,-0.05010998094665611,0.027185366556418667,-0.04661528048839128,-0.08152978670080331,0.641444347430296,-0.058022714349923656,0.026396903345881958,0.011867528008911402,-0.07372454970901238,-0.004713916744675863,-0.019725324792799294,0.20184762426630054,-0.027600968949506588,-0.07209215962270257,-0.0051501366511802526,-0.029379398092177714,-0.04902370539977063,-0.08544872422437674,-0.004575979930743747,0.02494713680231772,-0.057166816977736776,-0.03508087929769488,-0.028737821455654282,0.020808218178519626,-0.05096290578244956,-0.05036557399400597,-0.021805863446863936,-0.048432735984880904,-0.06220013167857016,-0.02749836887580013,0.003687778115357601,-0.06723123844756716,0.012396353906193725,-0.02454649569061286,0.7430102479156542,0.02594960292785291,0.01844121388188263,-0.08832530493655415,-0.011963728248592714,-0.08817519094057365,-0.02612664407793473,-0.006398079278462067,0.03254937058313259,-0.08220018002300149,0.013430605602972203,-0.010339921315498957,-0.03151287182746264,-0.0526037341063734,-0.039701279544780047;-0.04898858563182198,-0.04654932058825745,-0.052456209587077265,-0.002180710847891186,-0.03208179656922313,-0.0414745620130925,-0.019114323777391768,-0.007977951569786125,-0.03950451262018791,-0.00841273636519146,-0.03328464937768352,-0.05360622918349218,-0.04164113082727843,-0.010254966460730151,-0.052178108415860514,-0.027607558399507286,0.0017848003537656429,-0.0105878848138887,-0.04496890220778612,0.9232176436468658,-3.078752820535525E-4,-0.047108714006285635,-0.019366598390629437,-0.015544220468830677,-0.012690400750140381,-0.003533583890078485,-0.028428055568900563,-0.05266130677087921,0.0072133992687565505,-0.05328666172067036,-0.042289779506929234,-0.03223839619212708,-0.0028209338400589064,-0.043810857976702575,-0.00721913662519534,6.895418081599679E-4,-0.03955591198817635,-0.004144097965197028,-0.022513937826327293,0.001039377436314008,-0.04731589255067901,-0.019138662783421106,-0.05266383831293209,-0.051656862543364546,-0.004799869414601736,-0.0526120297814115,-0.0037563066734477963,-0.04926446620067372,-0.003980007434997848,-0.0300739813562541,-0.053173885295093086,-0.05017651308069712,-0.004744016176717801,-0.05035100959876193,-0.04598525312894007,0.7344260011095606,-0.05272304775893186,-0.005595374682905581,-0.01694004989378591,-0.047561195828557556,-0.02769017720782327,-0.03723191412486876,0.34337953987176556,-0.041978240890531385,-0.05190780918674206,-0.028064679872067764,-0.041533846954997025,-0.050548516218908386,-0.03741447291641856,-0.027991111870427323,-0.006566296859960178,-0.053203240967821155,-0.0450896493254511,-0.04277596067878373,-0.00897944183584335,-0.05134229976791977,-0.051505305286605435,-0.038481835542536896,-0.05007670297820103,-0.05169053003508654,-0.04140509419368796,-0.021324338706130354,-0.054038684349361155,-0.016090243326245045,-0.03940871736641569,0.9130012257204018,-0.005327759017334138,-0.010626693889968775,-0.0069432757012079915,-0.03296688964309623,-0.006530764593477963,-0.04072795091387903,-0.029095441416524783,-8.159724062781646E-4,-0.04221013616472463,-0.015628222973306516,-0.03177305690734091,-0.04375939648693279,-0.05152227762649806,-0.047581710490687726;0.030974548949225297,0.03551838020016726,0.016595154803892644,0.045729608768967964,0.042255648375360555,0.040527277173960874,0.04405673120963693,0.04559080901590132,0.041703394794394964,0.045518656897921304,0.04318358101335517,0.013484960211713698,0.04114336848541596,0.046252869872831316,0.026561580648495186,-0.09293976811032464,0.044606357988851666,0.04712739952291079,0.03966730354119823,-0.05769405970530498,-0.1694148101246496,0.03379750129147598,0.04682641348866313,0.046418504566525264,0.04772275005709388,0.046969085364989505,0.04266579587629862,0.020348644441803412,-0.189545708663179,0.020586897833107756,0.03910391242125406,0.041460667541884016,0.046455465220332184,-0.04549668928864853,0.04685913899636904,0.0480747296766368,0.0410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x_a{168}	=[-0.8095896298482267,-3.0558901330900152,22.905592191342986];
std_x_a{168}	=[1.3268985087769416,1.5695694372244824,1.3243490238245035];
pred_a{168}	=[-0.8095896298482267];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.8 to 16.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{169}	=[-2.4846565435715995,-4.028735464953621,18.355909731395226];
std_x_f{169}	=[1.8337991355511587,2.6418656523821684,0.9751524100311784];
pred_f{169}	=[-2.4846565435715995];
obs{169}	=[-2.5618997200824807];
sqrt_r{169}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{169}	=[4.365958629414463];
L_f{169}	=[-0.056029990775345866,-0.05204435842013628,-0.06714274470927188,0.014461751922656871,-0.028076992279279067,-0.04250424559167247,-0.00934412383350864,0.006324835799665943,-0.03903644763289235,0.006322925313931009,-0.029823216599180753,-0.07062909389597576,-0.042830300847681906,0.0031143917534235304,-0.06298151864902855,-0.07488587227110619,0.019757608772293208,0.0029100096864905383,-0.04815730802480854,1.0099880564259704,-0.0623678068539199,-0.052715138215028295,-0.008835375924738197,-0.0032813290384569736,8.101503814414907E-4,0.013075754603169737,-0.02235817300247684,-0.06667665903040544,-0.05858450920173839,-0.06619453534147224,-0.04399946232297764,-0.028305972023100298,0.014092264022705057,-0.07920330595105234,0.008262950088416009,0.019503017702655844,-0.03932046077019341,0.011628247163253749,-0.013326996233773083,0.018883809118518977,-0.05459935192478902,-0.07132094561833448,-0.06771791303098791,-0.06682325389926032,-0.06491182801832926,-0.0730187156185481,0.012302332498945079,-0.05860560339134166,0.012141543707483727,-0.024765585465640547,-0.07520942668380716,-0.06144139236886205,0.01097173960601433,-0.05950711235103122,-0.07999935086802726,0.9998512380886114,-0.06798891611233222,0.010363828745258544,-0.005418958852539115,-0.07539405675173184,-0.02107689288528554,-0.0358475870819152,0.37115656171884837,-0.04351157207628872,-0.07678354753673204,-0.02173004402406743,-0.04403182969125596,-0.061151139615400835,-0.07851174733523612,-0.021462222564199714,0.008791452695223101,-0.0677716884303558,-0.049234923745965,-0.04437426788439969,0.004413495765490296,-0.06278112815334046,-0.062335981146468065,-0.037643635433567434,-0.060726116738653496,-0.0703296784833833,-0.04274643815323457,-0.012133547837423578,-0.07420721813301709,-0.004130974533362611,-0.039601536758039464,0.9972617677629766,0.010014872591909493,0.0029589884494528717,-0.06596350378678416,-0.02797075988881969,-0.06585060817887181,-0.041634773560820924,-0.02348754094171436,0.016697335241643713,-0.07879401704333024,-0.003927970317031644,-0.027115417654068434,-0.04666960950228275,-0.06379747037164409,-0.053347191744705216;-0.07800260536017689,-0.07268435844332292,-0.09043207493374719,0.01106819004615899,-0.04277662881878174,-0.06061424277249424,-0.019370640064461715,2.3699439204763497E-4,-0.05628172370996353,2.031155011214612E-4,-0.045148731903868755,-0.09490502230245654,-0.060523498396766726,-0.002765819046981659,-0.08574832604391898,-0.0992220716151702,0.017635442561547286,-0.0035914709881203506,-0.06795944485954926,1.3694676468071862,-0.08358212850240714,-0.07368587222163327,-0.018433241362727615,-0.011930334927464488,-0.006647097508245192,0.008958563992300692,-0.03591016106390996,-0.09003839132835284,-0.07843209642229156,-0.09028708398256252,-0.06271473393988036,-0.04336667553075066,0.010475189130654195,-0.10489043332110788,0.0027940651562384663,0.017329534724781003,-0.056727023835508775,0.0074773675156744115,-0.024658028106536087,0.01679934650266959,-0.0747972165751612,-0.09414350808741621,-0.09209526762351951,-0.08998244716039018,-0.08669033785195647,-0.09721820608591118,0.008251810737136872,-0.08050666597462348,0.008820576170737731,-0.03818344016210433,-0.10017997543890546,-0.08338206981958625,0.006462150140838489,-0.0818735875707448,-0.10524862567062326,1.5956931320330348,-0.09122146819915265,0.005808032700126142,-0.014843656288429534,-0.10043392799552679,-0.0344755448063145,-0.05253763061767229,0.5926313065271638,-0.0616467560946313,-0.10242426506266535,-0.03495250773635395,-0.062344593067988535,-0.08308578494990944,-0.10418474536907901,-0.035250657599043056,0.0034396083320459335,-0.09143365089156318,-0.06889843652375599,-0.06348768334739155,-0.0013406854577204482,-0.08567334612122114,-0.08491532289307689,-0.05515788030451801,-0.08316691233954773,-0.09429908787616131,-0.06077605552910348,-0.023081966002245324,-0.09946065983534563,-0.013195139532611004,-0.05730127803729337,1.3477193358986121,0.0050951403572737355,-0.003910829054087711,-0.08788896859981907,-0.043187616580533446,-0.0873942261705241,-0.059689811128631316,-0.03681269330298515,0.013624164783461575,-0.10474262461715354,-0.012801262541422527,-0.04204861584665751,-0.06584984082425578,-0.0868596617982515,-0.07358361173407671;0.022370857568660737,0.023720139371984805,0.01721158084065183,3.438598504505559E-4,0.016563190480784817,0.022611358043535586,0.009046727739457644,0.003087040398701138,0.02191322261894802,0.0033701746323840354,0.018935168776265873,0.016724847763817344,0.023708717408238926,0.00526863337022566,0.02318524477529159,-0.06216965862097987,-0.0029398979631194222,0.006322806066241492,0.024857437437400293,0.35895289154608084,-0.1286788053951316,0.02281407055278393,0.012196151945486736,0.0085489668560521,0.00736305775594387,0.0015814745849263337,0.014979035001682866,0.020183441273010718,-0.1457895724251614,0.02044438970663762,0.021796428936807957,0.01669835447360569,0.001362154965174219,-0.023124889684014393,0.0037280031841858473,-9.289533307738949E-6,0.021230061353289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k{169}	=[0.7709552277333156;1.1069338573202343;0.03419773952263588];
x_a_linear{169}	=[-2.5442075743093904,-4.1142385522804785,18.353268189365007];
L_a{169}	=[0.03642646084968475,0.033835304239818585,0.043651132681765,-0.009401936943746534,0.01825353611316484,0.027633044670635848,0.006074842352922222,-0.004111929708519447,0.0253785448066862,-0.004110687655239198,0.019388799049021826,0.04591769315054987,0.027845021129198493,-0.0020247418874567457,0.04094581833006498,0.04868512838803168,-0.012844902390096561,-0.0018918681308045472,0.03130823816169155,-0.656617819973624,0.04054682935348014,0.03427139451217574,0.005744092953810287,0.00213327187993895,-5.266984831437629E-4,-0.00850086634927718,0.014535592497430265,0.043348119036770535,0.038087215459156123,0.043034678691045,0.028605121463278222,0.01840240141830302,-0.00916172386614708,0.05149199711560735,-0.005371944983989309,-0.012679386538630322,0.02556318866051381,-0.007559806528276312,0.00866420464889747,-0.01227682396569894,0.03549636770923082,0.04636748279587268,0.04402506360809622,0.0434434239293327,0.04220075943741848,0.04747124439905625,-0.00799804581316847,0.03810092930527845,-0.007893513106020414,0.01610070993944598,0.04889547898748578,0.039944544746548044,-0.0071329949850228525,0.03868702222393418,0.0520095252929552,-0.6500276276284797,0.044201249307863864,-0.006737777337063439,0.0035229970549080373,0.04901551148879194,0.013702601105133086,0.023305388941267238,-0.24129791523193053,0.028287932137989625,0.04991885327022735,0.014127230559047587,0.028626164277261956,0.039755844366373784,0.05104239802598236,0.013953113308846726,-0.00571553739315112,0.044060024304192,0.03200882237265626,0.02884879168203884,-0.0028693210276704933,0.04081553959103926,0.04052613868638451,0.02447304369295046,0.03947952664856203,0.045723035902642734,0.027790499950205674,0.007888314796263823,0.04824391881348967,0.002685647097710954,0.025745923001986682,-0.6483441499385342,-0.0065109124477010566,-0.0019237104168165356,0.04288447945371806,0.018184471850285242,0.042811083270980585,0.02706777973924044,0.015269822085089358,-0.010855344076576621,0.05122590843404519,0.0025536691152738635,0.01762839304327341,0.030341049139579898,0.041476288406318645,0.03468230789686642;0.0547459291200105,0.05062125365173902,0.06864524843884803,-0.02319518118026365,0.02374452398008441,0.04008854574131772,0.002767838413487111,-0.014748063995699272,0.0362050167458145,-0.014777416486068253,0.025509646622376966,0.07243230145237604,0.04095179349953464,-0.010144562740190705,0.06347005119118822,0.07820058471041413,-0.0291750882463374,-0.010485984370313253,0.04613680924187494,-1.023437161451955,0.06418221777059381,0.05120897866320208,0.0024998908644975376,-0.004156076624460994,-0.008566538763842198,-0.02202104597681468,0.017061732357126873,0.0679346628848949,0.06036870707871228,0.06654370316516538,0.041530582906782125,0.023696985396303067,-0.022912776325608543,0.0827612625919762,-0.01678285248271313,-0.02887780855945019,0.03643261210406459,-0.020072748915445138,0.006916833758956268,-0.027940942603178927,0.05456179011546595,0.0748329789253393,0.06834476794535926,0.06833792558233615,0.06710140690154774,0.07578070670800226,-0.020895376105548407,0.0583441147388895,-0.0199456633233587,0.020492192844678334,0.07800925916942171,0.06218737755175797,-0.019532541866812372,0.05911308486010549,0.0842890922575729,-0.773195113668177,0.06986063889945938,-0.018746372155176442,-0.00200483843162676,0.07819273968388979,0.015460687614924357,0.03239393163896568,-0.2867279250035723,0.04144263132318623,0.0794944407347312,0.01653119694514306,0.04197740986490149,0.061795983785089756,0.08182848172603154,0.015598513579809932,-0.017389459192203693,0.06913379154207476,0.047750948601549575,0.04164563808940719,-0.011797319247871847,0.06307025779591387,0.0627736206185714,0.034028952803285314,0.060707874898078266,0.07232884869740623,0.040500545458429606,0.005665329351084751,0.07635410148608865,-0.0034078665438001467,0.0365242945720493,-1.0150338313196092,-0.018632503377530685,-0.010921384914852087,0.06839444918590964,0.02308184611535962,0.06862171474625914,0.038952988863500536,0.018834944603247212,-0.025935841427139193,0.08193936735832064,-0.003494955403905197,0.022194335215537653,0.04472169739053737,0.06429190146606804,0.05280872609688475;0.026472005775614274,0.027529556868992708,0.02212613362325834,-7.14676607369558E-4,0.018618302483292635,0.025722481357746543,0.009730676392224706,0.0026240903135748136,0.024770518417146014,0.0029073643863877724,0.021118096697345302,0.021894585930501,0.026843706529137375,0.0050406736297623775,0.027795214163191754,-0.056688343051569785,-0.004386067785189693,0.006109806191659697,0.028382339989134458,0.2850262203234522,-0.12411375700388429,0.02667258617233317,0.01284286249514188,0.008789145669510261,0.007303758321154719,6.243870180132015E-4,0.01661555465572888,0.025063878639574204,-0.14150144473598672,0.025289537745556707,0.025016995521162978,0.018770226783456103,3.3066339202081715E-4,-0.017327557011083267,0.003123191681090531,-0.0014368244119432846,0.02410814566051021,5.298216008900033E-4,0.013486286186622258,-0.003216173620896218,0.02681360203726998,-0.07828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x_a{169}	=[-2.5442075743093913,-4.11423855228048,18.353268189365];
std_x_a{169}	=[1.192197455201665,1.7252301702184283,0.9730869862182624];
pred_a{169}	=[-2.5442075743093913];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.9 to 17.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{170}	=[-4.573000926292315,-7.254600984814053,16.06850464925554];
std_x_f{170}	=[1.6749172212612868,1.9008181728862545,2.5693251547901834];
pred_f{170}	=[-4.573000926292315];
obs{170}	=[-4.729986184159465];
sqrt_r{170}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{170}	=[3.8087876488022196];
L_f{170}	=[0.05865109312357355,0.05485750931078422,0.07267782538985237,-0.02723575434594269,0.02448491989092798,0.043086952911030464,0.0014615032442418124,-0.017953761621938465,0.03882937741615619,-0.01813303166895135,0.027053867148805144,0.07735056351512459,0.04379302689679883,-0.0130883098331248,0.06828418694401686,0.07551327012709692,-0.0344451516165472,-0.013324798441201621,0.04965235221336659,-0.8531053402362385,0.05418246849209195,0.0551397731496694,0.001203886711084578,-0.006020542598641317,-0.010551302486071817,-0.02572265182372156,0.017419587571028156,0.07247409983898295,0.047982328709992375,0.07135078788650238,0.04444057055262317,0.025465755639996087,-0.02701122750554001,0.08428496255933328,-0.020242140655545564,-0.0331933632031384,0.03873335971338375,-0.024282006651629582,0.006444992722677618,-0.032806213783229204,0.05822520260071458,0.07011583368661517,0.07328870376714705,0.0724281724637674,0.058112316063940704,0.0802197932848016,-0.024228611501779695,0.06256116279216176,-0.024249406077314364,0.02134435692672105,0.08220261551957693,0.06646720067742322,-0.02389337916418704,0.06344930776658395,0.08623990076411563,-0.9404834862106546,0.07431239152270387,-0.022733696443377267,-0.003380385999725415,0.08092389973021773,0.01571908346399684,0.034194966570640015,-0.48918544132477615,0.04444165484625231,0.08377129157593398,0.016940117525386232,0.044686044320054165,0.06602359573746451,0.08201656952057367,0.01622191262117206,-0.021736756450076195,0.07388006953247915,0.05095086282650121,0.04500499577777246,-0.015351735254390446,0.06834787637500284,0.06666054688980153,0.03654416238589133,0.06467985412770051,0.07658618852200262,0.04312424926703986,0.005584918004671062,0.081613513748652,-0.005119604854088128,0.03820443770396471,-0.8470068060379402,-0.022281925599077615,-0.01383357419120245,0.06043966696955472,0.024776391832725616,0.0599575135452306,0.041795256258958274,0.019381975746839114,-0.0301404211294056,0.08378253454455234,-0.005182212143965678,0.023370541847499975,0.04793089300579282,0.06860837856255046,0.05597309595114466;0.07912472335248547,0.07379171092007354,0.10126340325193514,-0.05768447948436798,0.025218825611020616,0.05494869593341324,-0.012042673646145072,-0.04262774837793253,0.04822601336236742,-0.04327506177547706,0.02911722922880632,0.10836491094665161,0.05631545395379641,-0.0346916873590236,0.09437855159696448,0.09621393630749589,-0.06939226916881043,-0.03493892449282325,0.06534301022710967,-0.7286891060464771,0.05326396491769262,0.07375154538300792,-0.011556329334581249,-0.02300787411195622,-0.030688086424549104,-0.05512946272798966,0.013757537359507748,0.10083194603790298,0.04121485954392629,0.09902392846129252,0.05740654313104981,0.02605171698276736,-0.056988216402910866,0.11368857947528306,-0.046234739757293766,-0.0671891706712235,0.04821499021263666,-0.05250404650972023,-0.0037550291182932224,-0.06590666849022156,0.07873031833982282,0.0846128001689709,0.10192868148722138,0.10022517021232927,0.061468901190386824,0.1119237656191481,-0.053484945284981586,0.08562313917098992,-0.05264207791607542,0.020312159145458485,0.11491218036776397,0.09142752599929006,-0.051548033786217265,0.08731931821161303,0.11872532531767023,-1.14122943637624,0.10398629273101648,-0.04993579613578637,-0.01977794370260185,0.11145534126780049,0.011267979354436585,0.041303276444561096,-0.8888827257404746,0.05713954180431462,0.11704176020905366,0.012703738626294116,0.057461412092096834,0.09100342493014067,0.10937077380886491,0.011859391437566336,-0.04853801149212297,0.10333172281222282,0.0673542404960218,0.057832147732573905,-0.03832181018706984,0.09384873407829514,0.09212692748161948,0.044689035438441646,0.08926516428385757,0.10690596624747463,0.05526687573476116,-0.005996503785075622,0.11336071332959667,-0.022297958772252244,0.04746165333188172,-0.7306965753251332,-0.04995387826143414,-0.035633985136769866,0.06518173267481381,0.0263305458179528,0.06410922633641616,0.052884404114665017,0.017182192884069962,-0.06212669585685772,0.11349529567705346,-0.02184547841668046,0.023360939037352757,0.06273349905477553,0.09527563253241168,0.07590248684531528;-0.0489937975015516,-0.044069384629525796,-0.06059731261252238,-0.004790815862338497,-0.030568559944483507,-0.03765990018743393,-0.019512278786752532,-0.00936813938933317,-0.03544788890608339,-0.009802799880382945,-0.029755940620689876,-0.06367204713763779,-0.03716301805541049,-0.011613785008340498,-0.052841595559850636,-0.12366077469705004,-0.0019017222970135516,-0.010533509824375818,-0.04011543281959399,1.5729024412449144,-0.16133231638253354,-0.045157667325206055,-0.016869617010955656,-0.014140054989512485,-0.012034458575062116,-0.0053772288064880625,-0.02616745601300885,-0.05807701641583698,-0.17027185617277496,-0.05708401125556258,-0.03947248227552828,-0.02993400986466293,-0.004135092495534796,-0.0986759142646714,-0.008185601249857944,-1.3733094883114057E-4,-0.03651081508874517,-0.006941010790860678,-0.020127760901279348,-0.0022004631044961922,-0.04689711318770856,-0.13631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k{170}	=[0.7374492641209652;0.8077977012305576;-1.048648052576491];
x_a_linear{170}	=[-4.688769589184284,-7.381413315246223,16.233126934201145];
L_a{170}	=[-0.04360962165749141,-0.040788928197385596,-0.05403910309843492,0.020250960030369223,-0.018205595767970144,-0.03203701098742101,-0.001086690803840637,0.013349397427459563,-0.028871319665718393,0.013482692452469351,-0.0201157190411721,-0.0575134857722293,-0.03256200750055822,0.0097317238189578,-0.05077224309432528,-0.056147378761113774,0.02561145837073573,0.009907563316148543,-0.036918669015550055,0.6343206774220301,-0.040287006184704315,-0.0409988035563227,-8.951417815565953E-4,0.004476533529330446,0.007845349249362844,0.019125902934092408,-0.012952215942531894,-0.05388762434974947,-0.035676934390283715,-0.05305239338230939,-0.03304348418467921,-0.018934889522732392,0.020084014624231636,-0.06266951105044298,0.015050906104446763,0.02468069960398998,-0.028799926355426525,0.018054721008032466,-0.004792130534192693,0.02439283728415938,-0.04329295365387436,-0.05213415158061031,-0.0544933175639082,-0.05385347536206297,-0.04320901763671347,-0.05964688206614641,0.01801501940727308,-0.04651692738395571,0.018030481072577213,-0.015870451521433654,-0.06112119606214361,-0.04942123530533049,0.01776575968113339,-0.047177301543222507,-0.06412309206545835,0.6992901039772842,-0.05525447363684248,0.016903485476103843,0.002513463034588426,-0.06017041562802744,-0.011687817671584173,-0.02542543498028705,0.3637305100448674,-0.033044290403837426,-0.062287574482009694,-0.012595709248914379,-0.033226004536038176,-0.0490913958672789,-0.06098286282408562,-0.012061692873817217,0.01616221751999814,-0.05493302355937845,-0.03788416775634482,-0.033463158724603675,0.011414678407091018,-0.05081959893785621,-0.04956499656742609,-0.02717216356191147,-0.048092265926362496,-0.05694513994132933,-0.03206474243943936,-0.004152627823298358,-0.06068317344432686,0.003806647392781559,-0.028406649990253198,0.6297861537688623,0.01656757433538082,0.010285860067059878,-0.04493950358425078,-0.018422317749243206,-0.04458100168265225,-0.031076578721061895,-0.014411336332870565,0.022410705275031466,-0.06229593411491064,0.0038531986176463568,-0.017377007547884973,-0.035638689722019765,-0.05101329356884907,-0.04161841506150529;-0.03289107806648232,-0.03097884904799251,-0.03754159462388448,-0.005667804468899298,-0.02154412079277202,-0.0273416639557279,-0.0148339508152722,-0.008338447199363023,-0.02593294256205525,-0.008643378606783984,-0.022552065387250353,-0.03936439640146571,-0.027323413510647435,-0.009694753165686928,-0.03603518014135061,-0.048006384586301305,-0.0036066024772106672,-0.009490328453996834,-0.02948639071514909,0.9006288365879891,-0.050217356704260696,-0.03155810104432822,-0.013855593126232213,-0.011509437028389148,-0.010536499454105565,-0.0060026126523317295,-0.01951156229811369,-0.03758396308210977,-0.05042501821715614,-0.037246603958996906,-0.027469046748918605,-0.022584495487196442,-0.005400357844704089,-0.04728450944497623,-0.00757493842692338,-0.00379425366334293,-0.025760584646682905,-0.006128637454475269,-0.016064109589292653,-0.0032511554768861295,-0.03247208872118676,-0.04929913368053605,-0.03804301298976815,-0.0381030237182836,-0.04951790757206259,-0.04128538967363349,-0.0072115138772752985,-0.03386037621893644,-0.006328931629760131,-0.02045272893397934,-0.04208390215639507,-0.03551600319069544,-0.005914851638279686,-0.03386043617042429,-0.04598143603852917,0.6549691648540643,-0.03794050945555801,-0.006517454026542404,-0.013321855219018176,-0.043098563859419424,-0.01875338321559103,-0.02400457002361526,0.04539652353172621,-0.027738118932535895,-0.0429502853272415,-0.019649636898005553,-0.027883000094868982,-0.03509287771697048,-0.04726998555643612,-0.019122308067684786,-0.007023692417555451,-0.0377694017675586,-0.029955143328650707,-0.028121419395030173,-0.009002033928693583,-0.03668663601787259,-0.03518586730560313,-0.02510546316051463,-0.0342647702820894,-0.03936348634126456,-0.02709471524293969,-0.01666295572714526,-0.042510263020522944,-0.012520193173393836,-0.025503750708483573,0.886973976624492,-0.007398358488260324,-0.009213694959885315,-0.05025000734111187,-0.020989073299216544,-0.050401664649146735,-0.026938986653078777,-0.01983480766510754,-0.004562492904968362,-0.04651822243670008,-0.011948141205822715,-0.021273693246952163,-0.028808143339826616,-0.035757262158021635,-0.03099869550192748;0.09642027317091396,0.09193922682170078,0.11959333473473746,-0.07231661455349755,0.030137075395124654,0.06916588739788722,-0.01588876343984425,-0.053881027765148214,0.06082206159363457,-0.054760153753727,0.037318903854095135,0.12810375294583148,0.07141334376473744,-0.044063724296721216,0.11645587286360103,0.06355981087388082,-0.08730183071339345,-0.04356977699407417,0.08298799576606429,-0.5422076723005967,-0.02699733841515894,0.09155076286135819,-0.013884812159689716,-0.029066828904550444,-0.03819437757543845,-0.0691515816953089,0.017021050854232767,0.12160853272993621,-0.05130892868967369,0.11981650260875217,0.0707093391177794,0.03320341849596473,-0.07110422020070858,0.11029239049319643,-0.058372083974839256,-0.08243387148403156,0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x_a{170}	=[-4.688769589184288,-7.381413315246225,16.233126934201135];
std_x_a{170}	=[1.2453733159401856,1.4530351448867527,2.0136931834530807];
pred_a{170}	=[-4.688769589184288];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.0 to 17.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{171}	=[-8.415041734319578,-13.123114431971205,18.695637196712063];
std_x_f{171}	=[1.9163341238509444,3.0724788613343033,2.512765854736005];
pred_f{171}	=[-8.415041734319578];
obs{171}	=[-8.877511101313523];
sqrt_r{171}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{171}	=[4.673876353417992];
L_f{171}	=[-0.03924129435206484,-0.03756846189403208,-0.04336966578472253,-0.016133555936064133,-0.03006785760188137,-0.03460982069589062,-0.02469718735363317,-0.018927558684043323,-0.033314189735393865,-0.019300767829088985,-0.030918721232736594,-0.04491318759961506,-0.03430479731199039,-0.02010399278699763,-0.04139502695296466,-0.063063412070456,-0.013833790763597417,-0.01989561172570226,-0.036090511056897284,1.118294990900195,-0.07411072927136342,-0.038409286912480876,-0.023164663398659385,-0.021962919311015457,-0.020841786265652237,-0.016605010358830653,-0.02818070282206926,-0.043294292414387536,-0.07665314270347638,-0.04289299593484359,-0.03490973731781751,-0.030809872392586313,-0.015782627550253663,-0.05648746388849432,-0.01772442715544282,-0.014217166824125667,-0.033361620395336494,-0.01674899835388076,-0.02579130190183061,-0.01421949412491951,-0.03876965748247432,-0.06724210556668683,-0.044020129062101565,-0.04477131451216225,-0.07208991572749288,-0.04732845731485827,-0.017179172410648907,-0.040610290683087975,-0.01699878598204791,-0.029713659633706046,-0.04819953697600575,-0.04176246896656867,-0.016846220138903092,-0.04015217065377779,-0.05556223280348014,1.0235240468587423,-0.04375589007943407,-0.01728068516863345,-0.023311609375174975,-0.051436583938581824,-0.028078409754832386,-0.032219663692095946,0.13188714859223002,-0.03474617047778277,-0.049534173912862065,-0.028481312730246826,-0.03577830767500296,-0.04109313961167113,-0.05995519037653497,-0.028396000962396167,-0.017707527244306093,-0.043276168060086495,-0.03691333727903661,-0.03523383800112116,-0.019807239405786138,-0.04263576392065967,-0.04103970647455216,-0.03335334970631426,-0.04068358097510991,-0.045963049758087675,-0.034948377989232296,-0.02604066742925499,-0.04777997684389126,-0.022268441177796767,-0.03376003082260391,1.1035425734653708,-0.01758418467360208,-0.0196423236216383,-0.07190133083823354,-0.029924630984994247,-0.07265302484073508,-0.03400583965028673,-0.02870036298541422,-0.015130169753303084,-0.0566617400418233,-0.022171418119951783,-0.03002738259083151,-0.035380194554659565,-0.041802731262926614,-0.03702146447579575;-0.0347903464829802,-0.03450039354414402,-0.029962313128747187,-0.07104607008384131,-0.050041130199873864,-0.039820063913322,-0.06085265089599616,-0.06733017813038059,-0.04218392823076958,-0.06884289448186892,-0.04818906966766218,-0.02825383388598212,-0.03913023050955366,-0.06558203731613757,-0.02937232565261636,-0.07274796543306214,-0.07368373053899833,-0.0656455424360544,-0.03661678768595556,1.8132634342676317,-0.120562265820432,-0.03599943853496936,-0.05821247251874916,-0.062076027315229425,-0.06446556304409716,-0.07069771294724532,-0.053033164609425226,-0.029456705660807995,-0.1336013264712717,-0.029442503156442635,-0.040256067579958504,-0.04965719874333964,-0.06983577468737819,-0.04760631975763047,-0.06880627109916365,-0.07277896800784589,-0.042118104677889526,-0.07010943000508685,-0.05764945496996218,-0.07266562969554477,-0.03385869839984938,-0.08812634950778533,-0.029720349023250915,-0.031541361146056095,-0.11205349822241335,-0.030557951723053485,-0.07028117843397905,-0.03243477227069197,-0.07036702246595215,-0.05141120484774946,-0.02981588861051862,-0.032128119780400914,-0.07023940257243769,-0.03105453724043968,-0.04220234365177494,1.6208120754651432,-0.028367706681178717,-0.0694354985083146,-0.0627192784364677,-0.03935297941115935,-0.05342613594368507,-0.04422519729183633,-0.17695942618708618,-0.03927129562560841,-0.0319921446659899,-0.05367014880148858,-0.040569604896982754,-0.03166890712492232,-0.05685159978976354,-0.05373823375304038,-0.0692787819026662,-0.028627035713213032,-0.03742909975467886,-0.039829920123127346,-0.06682720069861184,-0.031382736995965735,-0.030967758283533032,-0.04254810766635538,-0.03136486517758778,-0.030495565307376623,-0.040787593136702105,-0.05865835416378933,-0.029053328403819002,-0.06256935653080531,-0.04331878838093994,1.7846626483695993,-0.06886797572712229,-0.06560214845941485,-0.10921486661369639,-0.04818093508569336,-0.11145346508212066,-0.04093558899823161,-0.05173326081640722,-0.07210440666717964,-0.047970332758318836,-0.062193081349815355,-0.05000421444226323,-0.03738818813491145,-0.030353195109315532,-0.033935280084432654;0.10257440647824245,0.09687650947900318,0.1279477867649178,-0.06657183385988633,0.03713816699405216,0.07392596314104116,-0.008892781993789622,-0.04844244510661714,0.06576310260190998,-0.047884219973799366,0.04282798743789775,0.13659171819246665,0.07510337794425963,-0.03828085100440885,0.1219841185703425,0.11261957845121641,-0.08172523988415115,-0.03856666620071171,0.08680998829144994,-0.9861858500273513,0.05725684283681924,0.09751047620559475,-0.00954056710195544,-0.023935088793293223,-0.03236068114486027,-0.06316105247383504,0.022834326246998337,0.12806372511911598,0.041283993988934904,0.1270465064143786,0.07544002804163548,0.03855696937842486,-0.06582465913021152,0.14015062459179603,-0.05230036213633098,-0.07684987404300186,0.064568712639262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k{171}	=[0.7860448320870311;1.2435447113967664;-0.8845416137149449];
x_a_linear{171}	=[-8.778563390243729,-13.698215767479535,19.104710596886616];
L_a{171}	=[0.023997868191010296,0.022974853698335674,0.02652255844703509,0.009866416365687082,0.01838788692957719,0.021165507633944126,0.015103473434993605,0.011575078395786443,0.020373169319737868,0.011803313065879997,0.018908229430988598,0.027466493494931386,0.02097897171348411,0.012294522313329429,0.025314975384554107,0.03856619603228091,0.008460003493981606,0.012167087647245306,0.022071018338977053,-0.6838891589435478,0.04532214194153449,0.02348905712351732,0.014166264087588533,0.013431341942669813,0.012745717182032976,0.01015473257141955,0.01723380441497754,0.02647646414162841,0.04687694545753253,0.026231052766172363,0.021348920533037705,0.01884166332602713,0.009651807411364443,0.03454469928230601,0.01083930776649063,0.008694455703574838,0.020402175364118043,0.010242787896386716,0.01577257513377909,0.00869587895575388,0.023709440410598383,0.04112166055986477,0.026920346854664413,0.02737973153387082,0.04408632090491633,0.02894354274188369,0.010505859247216675,0.0248350728257789,0.010395544595050078,0.01817127847427128,0.029476248281729952,0.025539683186778836,0.010302243518857406,0.02455491121896718,0.03397887763979882,-0.6259323391954581,0.026758752483691597,0.010567938998306551,0.014256128355162956,0.03145585236000168,0.017171247468655063,0.01970381597264791,-0.08065509714355236,0.02124889183795051,0.03029244055628081,0.01741764129070925,0.021880091517341833,0.02513035729933242,0.036665374569819775,0.017365469195119092,0.010828972688440928,0.026465380259897427,0.022574214666953585,0.02154712310527599,0.012113043882377073,0.02607374348081828,0.025097680462271215,0.020397117454885424,0.024879893232359923,0.02810853280871431,0.02137255109249653,0.01592507369829692,0.02921966783720247,0.013618182708489482,0.020645821784995806,-0.6748673727118462,0.010753542996251335,0.012012190245514642,0.04397099251450543,0.0183002972226049,0.044430688197072764,0.02079614526296251,0.01755160066278195,0.009252799262679577,0.03465127721826565,0.013558848616887843,0.01836313458650967,0.021636626913412345,0.025564305444964318,0.02264033945357273;0.06525576147857497,0.0612808098198116,0.08060912282916519,-0.029913393253615417,0.02661720071097218,0.04841805144560547,0.0021130976381962653,-0.01907416081955463,0.042750961862720975,-0.019635376385097943,0.03063854735055204,0.08625282777443341,0.048330224405182615,-0.014326688428277787,0.07616474706603271,0.08803289148311379,-0.03841433009987619,-0.014921463336812133,0.055396363898481134,-1.03784184245166,0.06838384679428224,0.06192545738453019,8.460894767577033E-4,-0.006081324978782492,-0.011329201635178015,-0.028363057923948585,0.01881384460679582,0.08092256506732588,0.061826696919117574,0.07991365782008998,0.048746688477809545,0.028892906969680426,-0.029597793604407122,0.09640908554373331,-0.023617650743249098,-0.03653214612086443,0.04293771040045847,-0.027407676017910106,0.0081057505385388,-0.03641287432980499,0.06498496621846701,0.08330813205469785,0.08250945015504392,0.08260359353046644,0.07174052822087208,0.09010646642010119,-0.026482690997095836,0.0711016067686647,-0.02702843219629032,0.024344094479940247,0.09306935662973406,0.07434575035967936,-0.027289780583933294,0.07131385978740362,0.0994541749067044,-0.9886736457388827,0.08318841232870926,-0.025378203187734125,-0.0032860760710714176,0.09178515236716112,0.018160075981888683,0.03791918671609855,-0.5132071500368371,0.04931444498944188,0.09429577200187281,0.0189432686544304,0.05064758076006284,0.07309850052436631,0.09600481201589788,0.0186576804202347,-0.024133248054524756,0.08170602677594488,0.05668185625779697,0.049999134161740386,-0.016328427792886614,0.07731760815473482,0.07366342099986717,0.04248662120012072,0.07235836826066752,0.08668773137707632,0.048313677734297865,0.007732611476749182,0.09276224370339949,-0.0057957228626241905,0.04275277842725149,-1.028831179192674,-0.02403690510830763,-0.015523830144136715,0.07409836059749744,0.028112238003203394,0.07377621418729499,0.04576267009721268,0.021438627654276798,-0.033529873853993634,0.09648939149681468,-0.005666809025855585,0.026550924986443406,0.0528140037795366,0.07622332419447667,0.0604513473955409;0.03141094530858761,0.028746703280116297,0.04929758987482438,-0.09582978012139051,-0.017389413001372412,0.011161605546625425,-0.05368073718893926,-0.08276727077020864,0.005348351081143985,-0.08288585446697017,-0.013242620175621386,0.05514236911964646,0.012892175389564794,-0.07473912114241346,0.046914897694117295,-0.0017449130927709214,-0.1068125987006575,-0.07464704060900555,0.02136042235338426,1.0418242723492042,-0.0771417821789726,0.02785584725203563,-0.05154931455785807,-0.06376449252139621,-0.07015692798410185,-0.09327397380845395,-0.02827092866685678,0.049550216633460445,-0.09772525721900376,0.04926074269125134,0.012131776438853615,-0.01731624260028419,-0.09444620236349448,0.037711510149343305,-0.08444332797008579,-0.1026324792280917,0.00406794637349929,-0.0911476131782045,-0.045583110695004876,-0.10419898749311958,0.03208894115920873,-0.023707974755166696,0.050305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x_a{171}	=[-8.778563390243734,-13.698215767479542,19.10471059688663];
std_x_a{171}	=[1.1719270343510007,1.9185653787969787,1.8469282751349811];
pred_a{171}	=[-8.778563390243734];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.1 to 17.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{172}	=[-13.221606481166432,-15.691692858011361,30.332481208881365];
std_x_f{172}	=[0.740022491954089,2.229476802031011,2.618175332454863];
pred_f{172}	=[-13.221606481166432];
obs{172}	=[-13.722111111752449];
sqrt_r{172}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{172}	=[1.5490700115340945];
L_f{172}	=[0.03790412822048351,0.03525791597439474,0.05185414899659557,-0.04908011852334655,0.00370406613748528,0.023323556152948458,-0.02052076948563454,-0.03951679006014752,0.01890963340082755,-0.03998388814901556,0.0070833589813415225,0.05589093349317533,0.023735461801001265,-0.034675587283635,0.048183946318212184,0.0449464057932474,-0.05661009240943723,-0.03511093632971281,0.029816616771245346,-0.0670103430668983,0.015668049771469416,0.03494106950762067,-0.02015308774724172,-0.02745750571034974,-0.03213012861393591,-0.04725167722939192,-0.00367862722487711,0.05182667750889979,0.007283667260995651,0.0513044492969268,0.02340363723254925,0.004816646282679661,-0.048716484698353726,0.05865829310232307,-0.0427109152300623,-0.05468360933866789,0.018222374935474038,-0.04604326073533603,-0.014267393036834518,-0.05468554148131987,0.03763085396523028,0.03668170056482635,0.052956412581784254,0.05238520062665735,0.019357239651107475,0.058922641583618936,-0.04595698998122881,0.042845640268353254,-0.046524394442810854,0.0010237611930805739,0.0609243166925819,0.046332744386681946,-0.04627520853545761,0.04352807332426059,0.06211220733947065,-0.30019420264116403,0.0538623160174532,-0.04501782340986661,-0.024445976953906153,0.05742465935739789,-0.004657466806426445,0.013953795360835228,-0.5505791027690369,0.024336338400286713,0.061270553910918325,-0.0038844472038453343,0.024541219274182482,0.045635939152920135,0.05483081496032939,-0.004374746572645375,-0.04366846196368674,0.053288449942401,0.030780815514570962,0.02487577130818984,-0.03711570245321695,0.048512036188753084,0.04592693849255387,0.017642981378522996,0.04443695456770364,0.05590932958000893,0.02250859646907135,-0.015188509748218431,0.06130031046967608,-0.027297057942863842,0.017588204907329097,-0.07787076012049673,-0.04366522397380601,-0.035712266417607864,0.02410687038664398,0.004625923035516278,0.023130546274998366,0.02186740514733461,-0.0011637911005669274,-0.052509321185015424,0.05833899272969923,-0.02628365993545395,0.0030911167225238663,0.02790710120127067,0.048122205722539065,0.03541985492036127;0.0098687882318302,0.006875628471963094,0.026835045144867942,-0.10217192229470216,-0.03425444292376154,-0.008346444843842424,-0.06619905564996101,-0.09040317063813569,-0.014009334103310974,-0.09109511691493434,-0.03083024594274993,0.03198120002374696,-0.007125410898605921,-0.08379256090975395,0.023756172435412976,-0.00956766409171539,-0.11141969016253789,-0.08408742192574091,2.6090845377435627E-4,1.334221716934023,-0.07120843359313574,0.006718454261751855,-0.06481332128495446,-0.07482560148862805,-0.08020856458381666,-0.09950152975631174,-0.04459526544322562,0.026698258835685863,-0.08785433615031413,0.02678917133430058,-0.00803413059629108,-0.033980237252981806,-0.10081798122750074,0.02200372354085165,-0.0927446342678297,-0.10820420029518979,-0.015600225559947467,-0.09850586255948199,-0.05856226529122409,-0.1091849996873946,0.009796289822917602,-0.027265307872379477,0.027986933728082374,0.02598577206754467,-0.06054629204147215,0.032915034513709536,-0.09800651437406285,0.014829002807165405,-0.09849733830823845,-0.03874298933489199,0.036052249819709586,0.019871572656368658,-0.09876051236357364,0.01693681677168785,0.027637435409704394,0.883767181207187,0.02986048558228975,-0.09650784731684134,-0.07206487304614817,0.025745889932674366,-0.04625067757720919,-0.02087659596483084,-0.6389231502439991,-0.007185122841181021,0.03494081466390491,-0.04483683150232909,-0.008235729845984913,0.020137818745325817,0.010289750126255347,-0.04614754807497422,-0.09529354988471095,0.02910283290912082,8.244235129958089E-4,-0.006434362443659861,-0.08745210164872404,0.022559247443079397,0.020644379462442818,-0.017524440506374462,0.017633631484623803,0.02990822175097764,-0.009534471106061208,-0.05954911217885302,0.037140041122308,-0.07360613812652891,-0.015878917439040897,1.303176309237487,-0.09568936325320605,-0.08521329223722285,-0.0545769399635011,-0.03287699373050243,-0.05729899951763954,-0.01091036576194784,-0.04086113789100958,-0.10554819847941854,0.02082287944023459,-0.0733782790415254,-0.03594337681094602,-0.0025327064048475067,0.02279110085533945,0.007528964730522793;-0.08102067488429343,-0.07647784308811187,-0.09802645655754469,0.02988988825577823,-0.03713716550673885,-0.06163613360879782,-0.009076160775198877,0.016729768219649544,-0.055233567074222396,0.016001928858624816,-0.04258369500900876,-0.1040531040529651,-0.06108963084359243,0.009772356214698503,-0.09230420824129418,-0.12695469556131994,0.040169269156208845,0.011570045122598635,-0.06902687736143277,1.3440678715545016,-0.12258453516015393,-0.07696320103667863,-0.0075058337092891005,7.960663071987385E-4,0.007627549180819816,0.02752161861213636,-0.02914595567067477,-0.09865952543690483,-0.11928971550271011,-0.09667519429855367,-0.061992999858159516,-0.04048718838341922,0.029468691537247967,-0.12621000575372499,0.022299160853608967,0.03796107724155027,-0.05511677833273009,0.025317091621017626,-0.016528040012008853,0.0375819184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k{172}	=[0.3544513853123609;0.02005773414934257;-0.8484488163215411];
x_a_linear{172}	=[-13.399011040832898,-15.701731846832171,30.757133770265522];
L_a{172}	=[0.056445841676865414,0.052505171240725616,0.07721984970936988,-0.07308883569451126,0.005515998931328673,0.034732833064852184,-0.030558996073879432,-0.05884737573538538,0.028159734129800315,-0.059542966057854745,0.010548353922703787,0.08323132416545367,0.03534623224028115,-0.0516379825036224,0.07175427936038387,0.06693301823464083,-0.08430227691476114,-0.052286292977514276,0.04440213002181571,-0.09979005963320182,0.023332452118175286,0.05203333172510954,-0.0300114539942391,-0.040889003201779996,-0.04784735167235604,-0.07036596848612542,-0.005478115964461361,0.07717893988455898,0.010846647801780905,0.07640125121696194,0.03485208772529883,0.007172824339979765,-0.07254732166220046,0.0873524041030341,-0.06360398384383058,-0.08143340844288204,0.027136286702101175,-0.06856642607991514,-0.02124663054679006,-0.08143628573945502,0.05603888876512285,0.05462543421329636,0.07886131196524386,0.07801067798164522,0.02882629771332104,0.08774606498440161,-0.0684379539172168,0.0638046128660058,-0.06928291788047981,0.001524558535772321,0.09072690748345136,0.06899751760263435,-0.06891183670977598,0.06482087441948975,0.09249588333203657,-0.447041397075029,0.08021035979472715,-0.06703937149139376,-0.03640431292206316,0.08551530882285151,-0.006935778404968926,0.020779629045879065,-0.8199080766273117,0.03624104204024033,0.091242514941699,-0.0057846177227710805,0.03654614530770682,0.06795985337577914,0.08165262322513257,-0.006514758787738187,-0.065029937529138,0.07935577336478215,0.045837989706919366,0.03704435149343957,-0.055271738535006595,0.07224286226039447,0.06839320202206622,0.026273468889908946,0.06617435672284307,0.08325871913939556,0.03351921630465202,-0.022618333590697384,0.09128682763488946,-0.04065006856045976,0.026191897194006976,-0.11596311017762406,-0.06502511559884332,-0.05318177810091356,0.03589932424389271,0.006888804241935041,0.034445407775726175,0.03256437086879862,-0.001733087431148079,-0.07819551508817804,0.08687691029466436,-0.039140942611191915,0.004603210608336914,0.04155852911071357,0.07166233687147797,0.0527463265062464;0.010918028761257543,0.0078516180583293,0.028270442219026155,-0.10353053023429816,-0.03415190907065402,-0.007700815421535013,-0.06676709992508897,-0.09149705195583263,-0.013485888381374125,-0.09220192817638838,-0.030634168426220392,0.0335283410714838,-0.006468379338311396,-0.08475243080434822,0.025089973045487463,-0.008323483237955705,-0.11298673855856228,-0.08505934290513864,0.0010862750889030826,1.3323667747116996,-0.07077471954642986,0.00768567308434755,-0.06537118760322194,-0.07558566455248993,-0.08109797253857504,-0.10080952382345101,-0.04469709511081627,0.02813289545973852,-0.08765271381385906,0.028209351933869004,-0.007386284415063572,-0.033846905588781354,-0.10216652326227325,0.023627469064082692,-0.09392693354266451,-0.10971792088202797,-0.015095804136151443,-0.09978040592820166,-0.05895720715445412,-0.11069877375870708,0.01083796572976341,-0.026249905890383125,0.02945284303618386,0.02743586941103076,-0.06001045593777252,0.034546097581321406,-0.09927866964481077,0.016015031463921487,-0.09978520014673042,-0.03871465015953992,0.03773872211976261,0.021154129346957134,-0.10004147637943708,0.01814173615234281,0.029356790223345572,0.875457375945922,0.031351471594303716,-0.09775400511246378,-0.07274157268298664,0.027335486707881912,-0.046379602925639446,-0.020490334934191456,-0.6541639679702539,-0.006511458156456246,0.03663687130580543,-0.04494435856157112,-0.0075563937653805625,0.02140108686955732,0.011807545575428097,-0.04626864732261521,-0.09650235542387338,0.030577933486680167,0.0016764805496024076,-0.005745765483838198,-0.08847951742427103,0.02390213005043553,0.021915702864965282,-0.017036057525644813,0.01886370999917395,0.031455872028731735,-0.0089114009344297,-0.059969551871245474,0.038836921468352104,-0.07436175976650401,-0.015392050749447224,1.3010207351242808,-0.0968980791601737,-0.08620185889426654,-0.05390962728188028,-0.03274894155880678,-0.05665871288505044,-0.010305044683976645,-0.0408933532946564,-0.1070017316576398,0.022437786272068636,-0.0741058483739621,-0.03585781027509025,-0.0017601978941945836,0.02412319239734321,0.008509437018731497;-0.12540389776484964,-0.11776252674823684,-0.15874422953494174,0.08735945533709166,-0.04147438154790578,-0.08894647260622798,0.014952300728085354,0.06300131127062192,-0.07737549496494206,0.0628204128249698,-0.050877839081737694,-0.16949768422640865,-0.08888228406487017,0.05037517155901938,-0.14872441704457362,-0.17958395890693027,0.10645593677409507,0.052682625356656965,-0.10394016015755661,1.4225325436435285,-0.14093078338582685,-0.11787687847626879,0.01609209683838861,0.0329469863494131,0.045249801067425606,0.08285020207811593,-0.02483852691076558,-0.15934513112228088,-0.127818407299871,-0.15674930534694245,-0.08939710849418378,-0.04612716206273594,0.08651246750136007,-0.19489498068335506,0.07231081285788797,0.10199196081902254,-0.07645397209351769,0.07923069943378415,1.7813197524519755E-4,0.10161506446520528,-0.123580751840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x_a{172}	=[-13.3990110408329,-15.70173184683216,30.75713377026551];
std_x_a{172}	=[1.1020222434659928,2.229951995463097,3.2674813459788963];
pred_a{172}	=[-13.3990110408329];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.2 to 17.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{173}	=[-11.332760087178157,-5.566050501933906,36.23576895765753];
std_x_f{173}	=[1.6276333473721827,3.0704724071087908,0.9413335200435203];
pred_f{173}	=[-11.332760087178157];
obs{173}	=[-11.506944554623098];
sqrt_r{173}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{173}	=[3.650458345304128];
L_f{173}	=[-0.035609434510450455,-0.03463692312020336,-0.03835613950028293,-0.012324538532556915,-0.027881947181887214,-0.03194282338976345,-0.022556710540233053,-0.016077908289690003,-0.03134578419130829,-0.01646239452460599,-0.029344284156309308,-0.039337807050768434,-0.03198073879379557,-0.017989727295089596,-0.03755925490196984,-0.05870987756835341,-0.009195923756994578,-0.017140004299751523,-0.03282507850538337,0.92116815223145,-0.07033752420970679,-0.03498377204200495,-0.02169432025584079,-0.02027038627910413,-0.017852779053136387,-0.01270191154003148,-0.02676089317641348,-0.038984075727394284,-0.0733577830199022,-0.03798768616553261,-0.032534205721463816,-0.029301366226963332,-0.012479645642835572,-0.050629848197179986,-0.014107488873480506,-0.009510394657641415,-0.03188892559086422,-0.013441961061261738,-0.024355026699060645,-0.01017439815533164,-0.035120091715149564,-0.06297592697508203,-0.039016205915526694,-0.03976669881281619,-0.068430987586371,-0.04160367530498034,-0.013801256093910681,-0.03762428545291423,-0.013385244266952062,-0.028555801402385568,-0.042229701527602415,-0.03724561751241243,-0.013020760446836808,-0.03626124903424884,-0.04968698905285162,0.8384207139038649,-0.03847854336898547,-0.0138617118024389,-0.021149265760204733,-0.045793080559338686,-0.027047614499619038,-0.030747288343864795,0.3916357646337209,-0.032145043066993124,-0.04319658174901451,-0.027243102276663923,-0.033890249014891245,-0.03635768763490401,-0.05526120886570004,-0.027300165740132,-0.014647207693619473,-0.038673789397099326,-0.03398816008248372,-0.03236876063072201,-0.017478030726839847,-0.03839438596560248,-0.03662342090272417,-0.032507778420889054,-0.03726645167416766,-0.040926346664787824,-0.03252457740915397,-0.02436879848130836,-0.041571264369371794,-0.01968253492854597,-0.03196660556938729,0.9098859154483852,-0.014660663068806064,-0.017863202047689042,-0.06806427944357632,-0.028503838675842795,-0.06919091049705431,-0.03190525941878116,-0.02724024460121853,-0.01050735288235121,-0.05076283330880522,-0.020423778200814157,-0.02846266482274756,-0.032726238828952904,-0.037360446999027803,-0.03462299431773086;-0.12940972353173125,-0.12158674766162904,-0.16563585742048176,0.10666027506604632,-0.0388155552378411,-0.09017370600627811,0.02549183236546901,0.07879923461902837,-0.07911221925021841,0.07959872853491808,-0.048439273382640265,-0.17673463670359604,-0.09113617937066021,0.0648239792219772,-0.1553014726344522,-0.1720273604506343,0.12738414193861472,0.06741507800385052,-0.10769193656755578,1.2476060033545422,-0.11388057548045503,-0.12175170583802522,0.025962665560942504,0.04534904544592586,0.05874459321617483,0.10115986060804599,-0.01992431744934635,-0.16672905661452678,-0.0954565069847501,-0.16362225216518056,-0.09086858366593843,-0.042847300692987735,0.10529250716971814,-0.19619865672958095,0.08816498851996012,0.12260282983217935,-0.07782843325100601,0.09735445191732846,0.008594400168325984,0.12245209625475628,-0.12862817373712732,-0.1571752039702948,-0.1687653890611377,-0.16941155318775208,-0.12026448161541732,-0.18672323726873138,0.09769318498344244,-0.14297255626404337,0.09878555290725093,-0.03245028670423557,-0.19180181319669135,-0.15118325218478978,0.09920899887775887,-0.14333931585538442,-0.20356335365238248,1.4946171257814405,-0.1707105275641904,0.09482506695453044,0.036560016506136044,-0.1877729056055179,-0.017364486244375907,-0.06534529023011562,1.657391758422305,-0.0930270242662756,-0.1937417700914865,-0.01908785388241028,-0.09501262558749886,-0.14886418990063643,-0.19210446035341291,-0.01767686008800051,0.09064302041999285,-0.16921552216696392,-0.1106527011066802,-0.09448382164500368,0.07075534929538661,-0.15768147527149468,-0.15030643444712236,-0.07669098090391824,-0.14639360035791546,-0.17822234720624888,-0.0899377520838677,0.010432889350331064,-0.19258485029226344,0.045423783420862625,-0.07699638730766631,1.247297989210638,0.09015911134490716,0.06813993970059938,-0.13157682279568061,-0.04131012708792057,-0.13025010262270229,-0.08677139395208892,-0.02578111971178829,0.11626310065899116,-0.19577362236752674,0.04202464886874931,-0.03787948346957002,-0.10190680818059993,-0.15552617981599282,-0.12157804810667391;-0.04334337020722427,-0.03939630361655888,-0.06843071597398827,0.09968286291894089,0.01640032781784369,-0.01787210800146459,0.05597008720993465,0.08487308718551304,-0.01079792351666691,0.08579086148312563,0.011117045279328497,-0.07567541477327346,-0.019650910930297305,0.07778511939556076,-0.06288538027381889,-0.032682500607183355,0.109972873157406,0.0774110211203979,-0.02928668254246328,-0.40890645028907574,0.04018086179263629,-0.038559586202023065,0.05501053451543739,0.06708997623558685,0.07355002738888518,0.0955551845801995,0.029230683977715853,-0.06791708495857134,0.05947992160178213,-0.06790759188278213,-0.018011539671197774,0.015440867460619824,0.09802780850283074,-0.07006797584657075,0.0890333441834045,0.10607538329357538,-0.008100101800369793,0.09431077051847933,0.04635120801832536,0.10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k{173}	=[0.7260617967915237;1.228372985941715;-0.18545556060084858];
x_a_linear{173}	=[-11.459228774584405,-5.780013996313916,36.26807243571549];
L_a{173}	=[0.02771805760512321,0.0269610636481241,0.02985606760666112,0.009593307888720197,0.02170305226003379,0.024864001098582566,0.017557936842630288,0.012514896523075488,0.024399271255977455,0.012814177086058113,0.022841321964463777,0.03062018863490897,0.02489351410173836,0.014003038922716192,0.029235779935589342,0.04569923085837762,0.0071580228086433936,0.013341622327452096,0.02555074039824736,-0.7170288508811621,0.05475008448320745,0.027231047671375377,0.01688666014561143,0.01577828298277027,0.013896439665761824,0.009887051580626693,0.02083043409214175,0.030344847413324685,0.05710102627249115,0.02956926690629032,0.02532432768792812,0.022807915041431804,0.00971404184242604,0.039409810016955885,0.010981140100498046,0.007402804076840956,0.024822047545676712,0.010463099348363205,0.01895772966629844,0.007919658316510975,0.027337157656127407,0.04901988463532265,0.030369857257422677,0.03095403405341193,0.05326605384137325,0.03238391972638211,0.010742771310277534,0.029286399120699916,0.01041895151525473,0.02222757421209521,0.032871212803048916,0.028991647464787995,0.010135240648711217,0.028225424059179126,0.03867589709653741,-0.6526190029357454,0.02995134565671825,0.010789829479961552,0.016462394719449373,0.035644914397258746,0.021053615343472696,0.02393340757114422,-0.3048456914180482,0.025021407042804925,0.03362382350981204,0.021205781238262125,0.026379859364827837,0.02830049098245573,0.04301481873346515,0.021250198915467686,0.011401252285733523,0.030103323376354428,0.026456072442879064,0.02519554674493619,0.013604739001639736,0.029885838304890364,0.02850733532374595,0.02530375691926112,0.029007864585436707,0.03185669331785981,0.025316833097831108,0.018968449495436857,0.032358691351020874,0.015320704876798258,0.024882512929333273,-0.7082468611257265,0.01141172582651412,0.0139045528292367,0.05298061158243297,0.022187126901784635,0.053857570873399964,0.024834761647693222,0.021203556849874586,0.008178827225826784,0.03951332440956904,0.01589768184940676,0.02215507755172867,0.02547380449958353,0.02908102968521715,0.026950221595882784;-0.02227038508153091,-0.017373437900704492,-0.05023241257336147,0.14374154083831342,0.04507382455262237,0.005933772622917378,0.09335898830651532,0.12717339392545743,0.01519892687241726,0.1291297048876841,0.03984989029051499,-0.058377614710896725,0.005085376647320304,0.11895029455927306,-0.04229564206731623,0.00461508079115635,0.15505223611949095,0.11898480234670805,-0.008929986427332117,-1.5239445081400187,0.0977463687733588,-0.01649481971777404,0.09123511799641798,0.10633725842740062,0.11245886763660325,0.13937654161297922,0.06059210834270028,-0.04943631830103925,0.12525759451605045,-0.0493273856225915,0.007018207458963824,0.04531273432027731,0.14284044907466306,-0.04386687959652922,0.1306106787107067,0.1512170834991678,0.018116881204638606,0.13779774553813268,0.08187221219616206,0.15306416023379132,-0.02296113789674574,0.03230264781694081,-0.051375979538232815,-0.04976410970186562,0.0856261998933279,-0.06154881901268175,0.1392175020081748,-0.029771066026849764,0.13905820074541628,0.053466541609031235,-0.06474384817090728,-0.03912107329009391,0.13838501162750466,-0.034238840480881175,-0.05406838946971448,-1.0279683032076836,-0.054938801959545244,0.13653127916255647,0.10019254461019303,-0.049993678718766116,0.0640146079194131,0.027165140715718593,0.47906367449889536,0.003688879706872888,-0.06377471906906186,0.06287941112418012,0.00695413994208054,-0.03947355636952917,-0.025838148034078086,0.06446209373672765,0.13471258131056382,-0.05285635307789603,-0.008391347158244501,0.0029051891074891984,0.12334210545227914,-0.042162956960031917,-0.04011628003314059,0.02111629748680197,-0.03426873699944455,-0.05508583107982477,0.007920070004445222,0.08375213701621019,-0.06750794794028242,0.10464330769183941,0.01918264558872919,-1.4903072658710095,0.1342691558886416,0.12188557414559477,0.07321053122799044,0.044450359170989,0.07792698525679993,0.009223064657105094,0.05617754730775377,0.14787693705247668,-0.04304172832503451,0.10347437743567361,0.047757121592046904,-0.0034422403967931912,-0.04311850946939138,-0.01740664641597646;-0.05951890182676173,-0.05513007341202996,-0.08585393416938344,0.09408445998246436,0.003734995597458594,-0.03238208708037363,0.045723735657532925,0.07756972172938413,-0.02503669844517374,0.07831284373791472,-0.0022125512938431673,-0.09354455396463668,-0.0341781130239839,0.06961331305577821,-0.07994661484902094,-0.0593513734506255,0.10579563873773365,0.06962520016252026,-0.04419742466957593,0.009532785777925705,0.00823014809735972,-0.054450911594176504,0.04515592244178199,0.057882184011262904,0.06544042958030763,0.08978536052741802,0.01707458883907784,-0.0856255422327762,0.026157259922631747,-0.0851634407096796,-0.032790153277365536,0.002130766291762186,0.0923589483967521,-0.09306650760268523,0.08262503875866413,0.10175530094422484,-0.022585597885872777,0.08820478009307084,0.03528797407818177,0.10257076381305928,-0.058848470031659356,-0.041352541378782776,-0.0876474661254518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x_a{173}	=[-11.459228774584405,-5.780013996313909,36.26807243571549];
std_x_a{173}	=[1.266934886855384,2.540512303647808,0.9034901976706768];
pred_a{173}	=[-11.459228774584405];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.3 to 17.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{174}	=[-5.44766829764209,-0.5019119299919707,29.755563190348923];
std_x_f{174}	=[1.0180390831305404,1.1487190488756005,1.673592967619496];
pred_f{174}	=[-5.44766829764209];
obs{174}	=[-5.124846769503309];
sqrt_r{174}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{174}	=[2.0372178965251493];
L_f{174}	=[-0.028536323236851215,-0.025234117207144326,-0.047614533291739654,0.08431219531661466,0.017960083371155046,-0.009007149687737725,0.050601740447632874,0.07316435686660654,-0.0029975640498127814,0.0742224161903097,0.01412281805182018,-0.053483654619662514,-0.009905008318870616,0.0677400707899913,-0.04254089387673855,-0.012070907482678256,0.09252430797589872,0.06738149986615243,-0.01847222157693181,-0.5366809632044192,0.05031745214216079,-0.024387918132250597,0.04902790167276818,0.05910277312756533,0.06332896258324554,0.08119047247789779,0.028348064686237375,-0.04711743781231362,0.06843596994836389,-0.04723948224562027,-0.008342939383950447,0.018124101384053803,0.08347606579227208,-0.044539966969235706,0.07557416770985158,0.08958909996281486,-0.0010972478228509482,0.08033902254242366,0.042435040568309,0.09033731952847196,-0.028874959668542883,0.005862353660822118,-0.04855564729649959,-0.047315480864033935,0.041045851242787784,-0.05550289458210466,0.08099926717559768,-0.033857560661135315,0.08100870218104203,0.023305327111219194,-0.057791345255280825,-0.04054715974096834,0.08066084754613893,-0.036257258578742055,-0.05116771525602408,-0.36153050230378536,-0.05108583112068634,0.07953556668946109,0.05480381225731598,-0.04819283943750166,0.029846311055404223,0.004876858007701615,0.31254359941869514,-0.010413038010350826,-0.057250577577081456,0.028967903790657314,-0.0093468867733269,-0.03976424594550183,-0.032852813665704174,0.030720167432120395,0.07799662114566114,-0.049598272375498166,-0.018708426284732793,-0.011006760783781697,0.07024503544755933,-0.041823567593927385,-0.0406572057341794,0.001252638126367841,-0.0367540969295229,-0.05118767071690306,-0.007064854245504161,0.04359257351617093,-0.06086627998320095,0.05715472471079307,5.8773735226879434E-5,-0.5291129901426312,0.07812005556260715,0.06936239377721146,0.032947736225076664,0.0169531005514878,0.036723692774517556,-0.006064179755086208,0.0250827530262257,0.08709818809376799,-0.04420560377027238,0.05740174226112072,0.019459420132034416,-0.015405955987919401,-0.04226283034963503,-0.02498813934852163;-0.0766378635276733,-0.07208971789120187,-0.10640684621661807,0.10072153470842007,-0.005433806758533007,-0.046081246484128,0.04528815989007425,0.08209796073503467,-0.037317143783963336,0.08250961552362686,-0.011609779236835475,-0.11481084430685083,-0.04778479899817167,0.07273559989107757,-0.0988686962328652,-0.06962091655545156,0.1139683076811081,0.07276558151301898,-0.06028704041269423,0.33990908094863215,0.013814738162216924,-0.07047898820375818,0.04376171874487356,0.05903619496923124,0.06678214759667386,0.09630937259183281,0.011038486793580462,-0.10564660673670517,0.03795181196006683,-0.10546906066366929,-0.04580887909595782,-0.006898766764431422,0.09900665228695418,-0.11062770095533099,0.0863311553861737,0.10955245770956358,-0.03516879623460707,0.09417483454479499,0.03242483887014862,0.11091599722391,-0.07670993005307157,-0.046174271801405146,-0.1087415668027412,-0.10690424616035606,0.0014748650637135645,-0.12000082144793964,0.09400860745540209,-0.08589995303398688,0.0947765669421981,0.002083685361950133,-0.1241354414958,-0.09474624343739355,0.0949068400065301,-0.08860735986477959,-0.11989560643670076,0.30009920974719856,-0.11163914676443776,0.09207630395496183,0.052835709218416425,-0.11216675133724013,0.013819386327593802,-0.02583679135137911,0.6572554748073705,-0.04899483375974722,-0.12348852215317475,0.01180255333450478,-0.047492819672713224,-0.09344709913529653,-0.09646607727362365,0.01342156294374173,0.08960747171738145,-0.10987520947028644,-0.061975296043186426,-0.04959113115143363,0.07731287056497765,-0.09829547690129838,-0.09455501788121023,-0.032645232938889046,-0.08982529913256525,-0.11346577147180754,-0.04422055126430601,0.033998955837104626,-0.12585299306135742,0.056452740811726694,-0.033318449779563684,0.3245963512805722,0.09001899782565444,0.07517589636541529,-0.009228235309755828,-0.006826929495151806,-0.005619580476313723,-0.042336117090712444,0.00542451853705431,0.1052371946029539,-0.11001218200326421,0.05666391956869792,-0.0028032702043454994,-0.0559531835616415,-0.0979525158459094,-0.0713985058819024;-0.019985217048158366,-0.021008896934387795,-0.014349235113431443,-0.03992633255252602,-0.030128941430140582,-0.023800253212429002,-0.03660565699249528,-0.03953517284369339,-0.026386011417763318,-0.03978984222883728,-0.02989272163038469,-0.012626120969977327,-0.02453064434011593,-0.03913909955566515,-0.01673538773265647,-0.03644349722974136,-0.039835169582492454,-0.038861834852683984,-0.02072765249213923,1.0566583598660821,-0.05708465084571746,-0.020844674378725104,-0.03562347477221915,-0.03774778017532948,-0.037316400887166784,-0.03995181947883336,-0.03232908423338435,-0.014994857754243892,-0.06291370768198973,-0.014771182446632974,-0.02499477123139437,-0.030822056704854398,-0.04033355116146911,-0.022876109037955457,-0.03864909737612571,-0.04042135717286503,-0.02725316131561574,-0.03920337394380897,-0.03547141702739195,-0.04071382169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k{174}	=[0.5091344908634052;0.03817240421390062;-0.7119103607214733];
x_a_linear{174}	=[-5.2833087232734055,-0.48958905613090803,29.525743199802985];
L_a{174}	=[0.14791836700935815,0.13080134322923237,0.2468104931377976,-0.4370332557104788,-0.09309630331711656,0.0466886663064735,-0.2622947165519683,-0.37924830403597953,0.015537908495572152,-0.3847327669803543,-0.07320579341832667,0.27723315254631725,0.051342727077376374,-0.351131453382691,0.22051122357765618,0.0625696908581775,-0.47960083823244515,-0.3492727967831332,0.09575097772814113,2.7818920827085005,-0.26082110477808057,0.12641506037546807,-0.25413670475830574,-0.30635991939789536,-0.3282664221301432,-0.42085176867284585,-0.14694252659883206,0.24423379287567412,-0.3547386548520352,0.24486641163063647,0.04324572438744842,-0.09394649261539215,-0.4326991684903934,0.23087344245638924,-0.39173958687489624,-0.4643861529863985,0.005687596990459174,-0.4164382679215326,-0.21996253170885857,-0.46826455790205096,0.14967369293449395,-0.030387579126532942,0.2516887686464644,0.2452603513627249,-0.21276165250685364,0.2876999066325186,-0.4198606537403078,0.17550106376171076,-0.4199095602019594,-0.12080343708956554,0.29956211760301055,0.21017667924388905,-0.4181064516120954,0.18793992613167998,0.26522845362561986,1.8739976093272512,0.26480400624735745,-0.41227354506120095,-0.2840762051826307,0.2498081498436945,-0.15470870426879438,-0.02527925082177944,-1.6200734222669098,0.053976104956239876,0.296759041985077,-0.1501554698842494,0.048449697484028074,0.206118436380108,0.1702929458977454,-0.15923834907172563,-0.404296402741014,0.25709322800194667,0.09697534760816569,0.05705367393291694,-0.3641159671369061,0.21679295435685833,0.21074710394354665,-0.00649306445571502,0.1905152935644479,0.2653318929917094,0.036620755045435736,-0.22596261735360473,0.3155010779182251,-0.29626218752569666,-3.0465434757108206E-4,2.74266340536352,-0.4049362264925134,-0.35954078366114267,-0.17078497810028925,-0.08787659603193596,-0.1903576932695058,0.03143374705908812,-0.13001674521779538,-0.45147448202670626,0.22914026688334238,-0.29754260590208853,-0.10086813304534062,0.07985695399638072,0.21906987801562863,0.12952631410701165;-0.0634081572665745,-0.060390945220392046,-0.08433230339690563,0.06163361265871632,-0.013760269332323511,-0.041905447673977345,0.021828719903144566,0.048178280820649996,-0.03592744506388992,0.04809940941414611,-0.018157249730975513,-0.0900153219644894,-0.043192744531842735,0.041330669717722,-0.07914634008338624,-0.06402473098608942,0.07107317342106977,0.04152688817251613,-0.051723145778323605,0.5887193933419631,-0.009512903108261412,-0.059172521335848986,0.021031925129026026,0.03163559674905485,0.037422248430880024,0.05866871043759605,-0.002103941043276617,-0.08380252202899083,0.0062242564303819446,-0.0835683950155847,-0.04194101439286678,-0.015301269622535025,0.060306367702366824,-0.08997855582926642,0.05129426463364658,0.06801811332795571,-0.03466010188490178,0.05692891254151825,0.012751557304163469,0.06903477125597166,-0.06332322877606257,-0.04889211377031002,-0.08623071473120848,-0.08496834684220395,-0.017554375342338176,-0.09426916057953003,0.056456589867040156,-0.07020327135056295,0.05722017519709684,-0.008720882186615181,-0.09734283349878349,-0.07594820107424405,0.05751171692253625,-0.07179815579009274,-0.09617377523685774,0.467708130847797,-0.08795527781533635,0.05520287159725807,0.02742814945204806,-0.08982410038131457,-1.7642534290967593E-5,-0.028097748321324653,0.5123573399013227,-0.044167251978479156,-0.09694661910783317,-0.0016272377065238458,-0.04315951557321472,-0.07501202292780103,-0.08123520569144999,-8.205939047582248E-4,0.053447508902593754,-0.086880986663809,-0.05330189469781596,-0.044488293941222626,0.044746615355491945,-0.07890567992337756,-0.0757059571667016,-0.03322596768617081,-0.07278575615312471,-0.0897346887337216,-0.04094521878122027,0.013789031173806133,-0.0976348165744975,0.02995527605139993,-0.03334569783273664,0.5698980806035352,0.053801809661085324,0.04301884208681285,-0.02450311387796012,-0.014686545418671317,-0.02264502780522165,-0.039524706657476136,-0.006204080284258261,0.06485766025332741,-0.08951805078246348,0.030051935162478366,-0.011824839318956087,-0.048810838323261475,-0.07835907254743037,-0.05981377084619068;-0.26671751359939927,-0.23918948166794968,-0.42603658007296896,0.6890583164186888,0.1251584997597007,-0.10167835647719772,0.4009098395383014,0.5930624342678061,-0.052303711323637814,0.6019560144541988,0.09221674926322473,-0.4750593791979151,-0.11017186131084719,0.5465587528212839,-0.38455475802895756,-0.14081162832844848,0.7601534906324015,0.543735722269653,-0.18044317064950477,-3.5836215201907256,0.37797281681045497,-0.23170880704677765,0.38828421208734826,0.4732698034592551,0.510241889880775,0.6620416211716676,0.21277548108728295,-0.4223841889778827,0.5288010655185782,-0.4232157408297456,-0.09712994355561365,0.12588352587140142,0.6814217096351352,-0.40797997288977744,0.6147843461769835,0.7341887492629443,-0.03674024460139273,0.6554282143673323,0.3314327186863178,0.7403655810887371,-0.26878614190640315,0.006592135590933901,-0.43520484356513006,-0.42385970585362037,0.29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x_a{174}	=[-5.283308723273412,-0.4895890561309088,29.525743199803003];
std_x_a{174}	=[5.2770175568346875,1.2133571598311788,7.429037358228541];
pred_a{174}	=[-5.283308723273412];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.4 to 17.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{175}	=[-1.6149337962951011,0.3233160929248746,23.775397394329815];
std_x_f{175}	=[4.30826228500846,4.940984620307624,4.497188218492081];
pred_f{175}	=[-1.6149337962951011];
obs{175}	=[-2.0376538846422654];
sqrt_r{175}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{175}	=[19.56777962962684];
L_f{175}	=[-0.08158255451095443,-0.08429948511702413,-0.063890415865296,-0.05960747524674118,-0.09757380640433251,-0.09254140798544182,-0.08783226359813304,-0.07101869730758369,-0.0951379477929174,-0.07041958452026985,-0.09802278323395487,-0.05648810345715662,-0.09268552877560127,-0.07587952164377086,-0.06964414958475196,-0.10465361482933767,-0.05045897555825521,-0.07559502649096732,-0.08746104913673403,2.723672857921406,-0.1088458535651579,-0.08438003310601754,-0.0874105455171391,-0.08259471581951079,-0.07867806341473813,-0.06233888015616615,-0.09658096597034276,-0.06476194568062674,-0.09898380434864383,-0.06476311875298241,-0.09337138746075399,-0.09905005216125248,-0.06102002017369525,-0.07381492188846288,-0.06844279589487494,-0.0537799218430931,-0.0956942618215758,-0.06380444094597562,-0.09201118257284036,-0.05302053427971996,-0.08089268705751883,-0.1124434544496185,-0.06341532387020718,-0.06469762863917466,-0.1118627799903403,-0.055235385929618665,-0.06375257200012807,-0.07814425349602808,-0.06353733285129913,-0.09775766748077142,-0.052988611547202864,-0.0714007647154712,-0.0635241399776735,-0.0752320536890562,-0.06618624075114461,1.7299018455235293,-0.05978041439498801,-0.06508657147499944,-0.08501043054943834,-0.06666027195209662,-0.09565345247049324,-0.09764877697199802,0.5139401590213806,-0.09189836075193214,-0.053787400354547835,-0.09631345814846652,-0.09333701562835621,-0.07191205117069661,-0.08715854888372267,-0.09658676784845018,-0.0662489559350063,-0.06200413664813233,-0.0884011745313183,-0.09212326728379733,-0.07339451035522504,-0.07084295052878978,-0.07024999199936577,-0.09761202175152632,-0.07519088196630017,-0.06085874602008201,-0.09377439809867281,-0.09172112252082155,-0.046439938431615146,-0.08346718893364079,-0.09653500258372115,2.6935565955786993,-0.06631917840441909,-0.07448372543145654,-0.11389399244779619,-0.09776206495873481,-0.11408717403703408,-0.09417720712500427,-0.09744767068981605,-0.05612923728609692,-0.07394366171418569,-0.08322146240889423,-0.09709773116677768,-0.08947541290794667,-0.06949444188014099,-0.08462995652046088;-0.2467074206388363,-0.23994787364037332,-0.280483917683966,0.21115284874568863,-0.10608041313427963,-0.196947535924749,0.03453036769916385,0.14908822333337315,-0.17870253995990476,0.15467725052321102,-0.1211281733098348,-0.28729314555562024,-0.1998735134170972,0.12003898872893666,-0.2736215234916387,-0.2279435202414935,0.25841480153911556,0.11924836481748045,-0.22155973105618956,2.3777021107309673,-1.5365514605198322E-4,-0.23728413768758738,0.027723439612375646,0.07585052133023118,0.09860752829068901,0.19403927861505108,-0.06466657517817033,-0.28025993488120937,0.08666806410717022,-0.2803476566424341,-0.19596842370037423,-0.1075507423417051,0.20589327196793367,-0.2879733203195141,0.1636026129257695,0.24153382571310872,-0.17402850538832523,0.1894807559620583,-0.0037024132985806,0.24697016963300272,-0.24660235228489313,-0.17639714176870275,-0.28382417546581273,-0.28080595771500766,-0.04239141353498496,-0.2914827072707357,0.19132524566137574,-0.2587337584215746,0.1919644041122745,-0.08659637120711261,-0.2944070512348024,-0.26845657523492394,0.19065769683023245,-0.26205517179155935,-0.29578957623440705,2.278554357366246,-0.28396646572219086,0.18398631044071956,0.05538832565428331,-0.2873792414388157,-0.05784654122256279,-0.15411435213682273,1.913985908021121,-0.20088848686922872,-0.2942874898839286,-0.0626263500090167,-0.19907030356889802,-0.26777062691469317,-0.27159278132851644,-0.05629757640066376,0.17545964514378953,-0.2835438662488706,-0.22361382465207377,-0.20285781061375932,0.1340501600783473,-0.2730592404066277,-0.2686765124227334,-0.16724780298976663,-0.2633947471121897,-0.2869321797818276,-0.19151933132615573,0.0011370325333286537,-0.29231355770360323,0.06679342483673417,-0.16990472517667315,2.4487716367904087,0.1763590015750308,0.1286503266263425,-0.07584717878374088,-0.11047805706606784,-0.06157167236443987,-0.18880982961402654,-0.0788162473007624,0.22723328775474708,-0.286618240902846,0.06774368626195273,-0.10038350561985655,-0.2145770864731045,-0.2724336649195774,-0.23907665218576854;-0.2823348918689731,-0.2610616883650237,-0.4051615842354603,0.3281443582103349,-0.004788535423473792,-0.16125161208901642,0.16805534788162432,0.2771060094583566,-0.12552227348802805,0.28252153022060733,-0.026304314547209873,-0.4432548148226596,-0.16728966398840978,0.25180166950933064,-0.37182299277685593,-0.18313412360678907,0.365465571430137,0.2500446733457665,-0.21803160146786593,2.4709051795842623,0.16400809606520825,-0.25576900233166194,0.16054363744979439,0.21034038793552795,0.23050153238851437,0.3139386936035733,0.0514711549693542,-0.4017078090953058,0.2520543728942676,-0.40251211501636763,-0.1576742332644935,-0.004712606778365614,0.32452017031693076,-0.3876024179977551,0.2890367062835749,0.351896363362002,-0.11483893141307978,0.3110220440239233,0.12639564032591463,0.3553784641874415,-0.28384634903591366,-0.07705199397921306,-0.41147710253824776,-0.40231730845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k{175}	=[0.9488955814646477;0.9583669295876817;0.7089833359501071];
x_a_linear{175}	=[-2.016051020324071,-0.08180486021943068,23.475695895920317];
L_a{175}	=[0.019464303254893265,0.02011251979525794,0.01524323964771648,0.014221397962051947,0.02327956226638104,0.022078911839192257,0.02095538469573478,0.016943934514536997,0.022698405044927365,0.016800995707998416,0.023386681015218534,0.013477165339756889,0.022113296773346402,0.018103650087498292,0.01661598923412894,0.024968692240269427,0.012038711071068995,0.01803577405736021,0.020866818814308335,-0.6498251346932948,0.025968893895636284,0.020131737267590998,0.02085476945187803,0.019705788885868103,0.01877133775710043,0.014873067841570779,0.02304268628956523,0.015451172835429978,0.023615965407240695,0.015451452711884134,0.022276931774944532,0.023631771084352625,0.01455840877256455,0.017611069339344844,0.016329365302378555,0.012831036170090343,0.022831132746624187,0.015222727395899955,0.021952408467408837,0.012649858344633636,0.019299711824778777,0.02682722439319133,0.015129890234697529,0.015435827809685429,0.026688684679210917,0.013178286811193145,0.015210352288285966,0.018643979179025744,0.015158999641997193,0.023323428602389104,0.012642242087087512,0.01703508973682109,0.015155852031645994,0.017949174505139914,0.01579098704378846,-0.4127271366324804,0.014262658499262637,0.015528623400001173,0.0202821400967671,0.015904083368154895,0.0228213962828682,0.02329744905446897,-0.1226179686334407,0.021925490970781326,0.012832820424282047,0.022978863167093886,0.0222687312010202,0.01715707457382802,0.020794647052899292,0.0230440705256387,0.015805949891724517,0.014793203351030607,0.021091117819009627,0.021979150101295662,0.017510765817055664,0.016902004121219505,0.016760533622980366,0.02328867984196102,0.01793935158525134,0.01451993131801669,0.02237308371966415,0.021883204740601354,0.011079832571927574,0.019913947129709998,0.023031720154694936,-0.6426398722722254,0.015822703858894963,0.01777063525459242,0.02717329974776359,0.02332447777086808,0.027219389810262062,0.02246918756305711,0.02324946828595397,0.013391545564508708,0.017641784619393037,0.01985532067918882,0.02316597826730793,0.021347414053616166,0.016580271350818944,0.0201913650294131;-0.14465196931924762,-0.13449368614650362,-0.2005603940187014,0.2857186407191497,0.015979246669915945,-0.08118313979473521,0.14440387381406483,0.23792884924049043,-0.05969001016320752,0.24276841809003585,0.0014931327097045337,-0.2166295223451739,-0.08392882981787653,0.21496024822724968,-0.18650038392635995,-0.09702739537069942,0.3215363053286348,0.2138137359596165,-0.11215059455586515,-1.029468263233735,0.13600673816899886,-0.13172918892902422,0.1370693987615868,0.17917213279609367,0.19702961520467743,0.27202191334906173,0.05615109386971102,-0.1992461736133685,0.210491556601198,-0.1993324279232566,-0.07916576724072683,0.016355622654356465,0.28222608277150674,-0.19563476567869584,0.24922092270409438,0.3088096572745252,-0.05432005622981583,0.2692967295604496,0.11139869894545291,0.31329604760481916,-0.14540988858236376,-0.0357363404420103,-0.20449496670362727,-0.19987265365682744,0.09754299482244466,-0.22238616728556068,0.2710763339578822,-0.16097943942070608,0.2714462396425856,0.0356932890579491,-0.2281211069092658,-0.1791380032524446,0.2701230287749403,-0.16794386038483852,-0.21299409732968566,0.11453884397865742,-0.2091843360411042,0.2654061613701709,0.16173186819965227,-0.2039907746282516,0.06181085760088579,-0.0319609081263749,1.271074011052442,-0.08592850874290574,-0.22700230310108863,0.057856680933245204,-0.08231064444966289,-0.17781246267803172,-0.16256205661034867,0.06452735048919458,0.25833357741923496,-0.20597997789995956,-0.11302864111551232,-0.08761648633749322,0.22586280217546417,-0.18443846440412834,-0.18079749611012036,-0.0451403378118778,-0.16933493934828425,-0.21080111439590907,-0.07421252992049673,0.11587529502724093,-0.23421965632599887,0.1712064539219697,-0.04914455388911534,-0.9207248893293908,0.2593207784374912,0.22182551904877404,0.0666281686913002,0.011817104210832279,0.08114533503893417,-0.07099913546776492,0.04308562341053628,0.2974479884072967,-0.1941186395640454,0.1718493244897371,0.021080609297053486,-0.10264808766857454,-0.18549980175734374,-0.13320906248320447;-0.20683602802609688,-0.1830484980815507,-0.34603553900196543,0.38330684588491565,0.08550909706072105,-0.07561110716485532,0.24933787390888573,0.3428287732338371,-0.0374788552625828,0.3476898576337178,0.06440881412647516,-0.3909790843405807,-0.08151578550199169,0.32202278120884786,-0.3073722753597383,-0.08628463091771134,0.41216177196173737,0.32000250497352967,-0.13709260807752344,-0.049660736565563496,0.2647372081583352,-0.17768127060130479,0.24143589332471826,0.28677593523088774,0.3033124958693519,0.3716289026591846,0.14084998409916968,-0.34177522487492706,0.34365685840070925,-0.34257844520078334,-0.07126564124408302,0.08695118637667767,0.3809898680654216,-0.31929194683591716,0.3523756561273081,0.4016658639746241,-0.026280684038738178,0.3700685255716943,0.2115454592636899,0.4044452055080222,-0.2089859085575519,0.027006442391205705,-0.3527907212263485,-0.3424442450924478,0.21909925393579816,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x_a{175}	=[-2.016051020324071,-0.0818048602194309,23.475695895920335];
std_x_a{175}	=[1.0278830335689493,2.5673138222511414,3.238217399724009];
pred_a{175}	=[-2.016051020324071];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.5 to 17.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{176}	=[-1.1921157849705304,-1.1897752848260974,18.397686412654878];
std_x_f{176}	=[2.036769432377962,3.244005818684017,2.5407172442323054];
pred_f{176}	=[-1.1921157849705304];
obs{176}	=[-1.5199116114579214];
sqrt_r{176}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{176}	=[5.157223745381405];
L_f{176}	=[-0.09377646139709425,-0.08473076978347396,-0.14458205231474835,0.21260004214986303,0.032102028254565484,-0.041409166796279324,0.12192412705438427,0.18273246110411281,-0.02455091422821421,0.18584466974828173,0.02139240988257548,-0.16000863893247072,-0.04359688959365921,0.1682393162231365,-0.13150139296231544,-0.05154468019161128,0.23567845910056962,0.16785734694150137,-0.066561049107111,-0.9330001363873098,0.11943798836046891,-0.08219244031924887,0.11667424331439967,0.14503314341480025,0.15657630543575657,0.20479552427261472,0.061136798684550624,-0.14250811705587346,0.1684950128591906,-0.1428916581295148,-0.03938990399054491,0.03308258319718734,0.21091165090630656,-0.1375235169158571,0.18998343150791402,0.22789636760678214,-0.02003930819064291,0.20324300073119875,0.09956567818816274,0.23074655162037777,-0.09453120076957187,-0.0036034446970472683,-0.14718864832862846,-0.14378694297872757,0.09285284236997707,-0.16511953623034845,0.20422440310146336,-0.10824909540768188,0.20448935804945706,0.04636813561114298,-0.17080669627227024,-0.1251188531523224,0.20335467114692307,-0.11451636191562505,-0.15420239315769446,-0.42538236704526555,-0.1525554693831877,0.20036033020184482,0.1336156862856515,-0.14674002751246884,0.06534806215641012,-0.003169266583512079,0.7694754117705191,-0.04536145371037491,-0.16978341295706084,0.062399346624514275,-0.042286308262574776,-0.12333367026768567,-0.1068745416663299,0.06715783869075771,0.19589083742860683,-0.1497116468469546,-0.06681532581360954,-0.04720862160199713,0.17499194459687764,-0.12930817002280137,-0.12585090364138563,-0.012947739096359224,-0.11543860575107087,-0.15441618180363487,-0.03594636626758921,0.10262872043481644,-0.17843664850503135,0.13995040366970257,-0.016164197419226947,-0.9014069133535595,0.19631762535849265,0.17269915971554367,0.0714009408452439,0.028885546947216463,0.0817292862648097,-0.033436490115277814,0.052159601147155385,0.221064094891252,-0.13638547666611747,0.14008531033756927,0.035739178008459306,-0.05873739075284507,-0.1303013414780776,-0.08420907048321744;-0.18276920851168454,-0.16571093630822795,-0.2828587336246145,0.37682808461176376,0.054623386314603145,-0.08220873604027805,0.2161503610816461,0.3237396361537536,-0.05004814660346387,0.3291578368142833,0.035143907268555825,-0.31347056189104144,-0.08675590725355421,0.29799864880909455,-0.25599224341777826,-0.10166743382725293,0.41500601552561545,0.2965865856303471,-0.13024288814067875,-1.0911734608751558,0.2099196746615134,-0.1614621899271879,0.2070904812615258,0.2572695550765603,0.27725655303425467,0.3616372225139345,0.1068352254256627,-0.2794506272648203,0.29566486515254026,-0.2796748077109395,-0.07846962993480817,0.0555574602033788,0.37235745715105645,-0.26916997368696804,0.3363695084407196,0.40167331353649094,-0.04213981469633126,0.3591615979839736,0.1762691268122547,0.40682501760151935,-0.18464004654381738,-0.011903442462903924,-0.28817639967810377,-0.2812984900518345,0.16256691095819303,-0.3237185037418971,0.36043637994459543,-0.21069239892697206,0.3610026557984073,0.08073950820182876,-0.3357594045776798,-0.24349412207380502,0.3596928298824798,-0.22330825095058954,-0.30213265675938844,-0.7960186433794586,-0.29945041281656487,0.3542233861357132,0.23642424046705976,-0.28679444498450946,0.11436262153045448,-0.010445763169060002,1.3334122943618536,-0.08991461348608623,-0.3334227933604184,0.10891820524856831,-0.0839174959180487,-0.24065298224961515,-0.20849900240473807,0.11816405850350727,0.34652432258749116,-0.29308663963689413,-0.1313395694215986,-0.09251795241337937,0.3102416803040753,-0.2528437884363657,-0.24583007369247362,-0.02917853147574707,-0.2252631339746272,-0.30153051445985246,-0.07199054994213117,0.18148194525641664,-0.3509097063749715,0.24761040450015148,-0.035703042667381016,-1.099211369523003,0.3475030239152024,0.3053849600147325,0.12423755065795035,0.04897262282823882,0.14269265817584084,-0.06691220006956553,0.09066184317392752,0.38945462806751546,-0.266613108002249,0.2489920420652049,0.06134709521192649,-0.11521777882813851,-0.25412267254804194,-0.16439359013968693;-0.16315088727441707,-0.1483556892242428,-0.2488163002424745,0.24756261569984336,0.02616409709123646,-0.07960000848283873,0.14189394934175126,0.2136932374431435,-0.05552289917969167,0.21771027021663292,0.012100718322967406,-0.2766780294189285,-0.0829056753899361,0.19716106930878963,-0.22516496618987591,-0.08546974126095791,0.2723416539925949,0.19626328748767294,-0.11963629412831568,0.8940784280224847,0.15398955408571458,-0.14447888341130602,0.13668933037938483,0.1700044743046843,0.1827474210523523,0.237884047631363,0.06413196618009685,-0.24647290373685218,0.21507996520838016,-0.24721252637177177,-0.0775070379573089,0.026723585256352687,0.24574973837901182,-0.23177950148471868,0.22191820955259817,0.26320547835649605,-0.04813301784004893,0.2363138868713361,0.11413536937943664,0.26605181608957906,-0.16452982550849504,-0.011012279982920948,-0.2528674064598295,-0.2464307472089053,0.1211208600258732,-0.2848438270344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k{176}	=[0.8060972241323526;1.259621240555436;0.35901731356232464];
x_a_linear{176}	=[-1.4563510907841866,-1.6026738704350394,18.28000203563243];
L_a{176}	=[0.05277656988261294,0.04768573398978349,0.08136951079279427,-0.11964943882939466,-0.01806673990796568,0.023304715838556186,-0.06861782920784955,-0.10284022621034718,0.013817039171063583,-0.10459174993550394,-0.012039460631217731,0.09005145842177192,0.024535947038577612,-0.09468361140281348,0.07400783045063433,0.029008893870395156,-0.13263776944918063,-0.0944686424416805,0.03745997457492373,0.5250842926352742,-0.06721865215891293,0.04625718443312624,-0.06566324069010153,-0.08162338090700678,-0.0881197712376853,-0.11525712462802441,-0.034407254017738184,0.08020231822131803,-0.0948275152266557,0.08041817177320422,0.022168292444129538,-0.018618587628406853,-0.11869922704781054,0.07739702898660822,-0.10692100874928835,-0.12825807661970162,0.011277946868183368,-0.11438337799739628,-0.056034690310570394,-0.1298621351812083,0.053201330580993945,0.0020279870666750194,0.0828364801647753,0.08092203023304989,-0.05225676519598542,0.09292782658906842,-0.11493570264268115,0.060921641352209975,-0.1150848169632708,-0.026095579988303766,0.09612851037383101,0.07041579303215778,-0.11444622512781147,0.06444880396745131,0.08678375423115924,0.23940146478902463,0.08585687997741083,-0.1127610363097869,-0.07519773618677496,0.08258400030466831,-0.03677731615919104,0.0017836354329162788,-0.433054012032891,0.02552902824499948,0.09555261550010358,-0.03511780492348704,0.02379836336164675,0.06941110776401452,0.06014805456393642,-0.03779584251766024,-0.11024564498266279,0.08425640159956173,0.03760307927486774,0.026568598131351893,-0.09848393141861103,0.07277350381886576,0.07082778462597647,0.00728687398799647,0.06496783470826896,0.08690407260577557,0.020230299619795684,-0.05775854361848492,0.10042258056174445,-0.07876285956342174,0.009097068517863892,0.5073039038424271,-0.11048583748588912,-0.09719357219932731,-0.040183823190411985,-0.01625653244263381,-0.04599652539399894,0.018817763337494908,-0.02935496599018993,-0.12441293346697176,0.07675654991675629,-0.07883878385271788,-0.020113695884978657,0.03305688828098533,0.07333245200195901,0.04739212619986029;0.04623705219886564,0.04120534594595587,0.07021702412074646,-0.14235060857311338,-0.023771184586003094,0.01891427826285332,-0.08159374240814236,-0.1225011049069404,0.009906270322349005,-0.12468305521749742,-0.01709730253836272,0.07727760174616204,0.01970962274952125,-0.11284919230974438,0.06513996643399651,0.02420695185913016,-0.16053119119519763,-0.11332846963167427,0.0323021336899603,1.1872540815306163,-0.08175316832836671,0.039255379660796924,-0.0778331742549907,-0.09690778705920854,-0.10510970060246738,-0.1384824932997549,-0.04246353729131547,0.06856048897546675,-0.1158073984453154,0.06927293277166745,0.017722255408625938,-0.02523166917688907,-0.1426981100431088,0.06666852884838552,-0.12757842261156463,-0.15485968203208877,0.006797061014225573,-0.13716678676872332,-0.06687465700392216,-0.15666825321701447,0.04620932105013546,-0.0031036713534595404,0.07126478066295568,0.06983557557606511,-0.06418383129313993,0.07951069683811102,-0.13828863274349645,0.05365667327400674,-0.1383693885753848,-0.032493526978112156,0.081358092018831,0.062051643653857624,-0.1369082589577466,0.05634576287943076,0.07443639824182682,0.24278388550608454,0.07309678158491989,-0.13506538986066197,-0.08987116706576395,0.07155118350851632,-0.04522023259058822,-0.0027062741899258626,-0.5456806478648785,0.02086006002840809,0.08119580018331757,-0.043463755302827395,0.019347536587922407,0.06053328802466288,0.05249334884768924,-0.045838349849781905,-0.1318497546452157,0.07251581452333324,0.03182640735736642,0.02276758667935124,-0.11709637755785687,0.06293247412543877,0.06150339166315703,0.0024404192816003863,0.05664304003580814,0.07556062185750292,0.015792064185464055,-0.06914192301650125,0.0848404705785614,-0.09415466268038225,0.003770641381002007,1.102064126804627,-0.13191328829292825,-0.11635401589778979,-0.050126700568649415,-0.02156715865221324,-0.056893868754318386,0.014741185636266814,-0.03671420664611709,-0.15039365575753913,0.06644624997754908,-0.09310247315690348,-0.0259295560356497,0.028221523741027328,0.0640789585745806,0.04124867938052282;-0.09787951056041272,-0.0893803993550091,-0.14818262882722763,0.09958627671413295,0.0038200722872432148,-0.05077792152086695,0.05703090899099451,0.08650567748501953,-0.03843468805091631,0.08835651482097778,-0.002789074098963543,-0.16530696685524782,-0.05256086431653915,0.08006119559093691,-0.13363584650904375,-0.04959301709941106,0.10830200845521358,0.07942927644477503,-0.07330770328553805,1.543475968397584,0.07085694472836626,-0.08727035095875564,0.05548037479779216,0.06905682924738245,0.0737653709267019,0.0953398993985105,0.02157882482056171,-0.14728275671510158,0.09780211856205742,-0.14775542265822467,-0.050090421635987724,0.0036970632660175517,0.09894857298438094,-0.13605879347421387,0.08968374535307236,0.10458241410130797,-0.03418502689954143,0.0948503440208937,0.04483451507138277,0.10544493380922756,-0.0987331263716998,-0.008504168749195575,-0.150419461954849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x_a{176}	=[-1.456351090784187,-1.6026738704350405,18.28000203563244];
std_x_a{176}	=[1.1462759703363714,1.9023701581625194,2.4308105634751236];
pred_a{176}	=[-1.456351090784187];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.6 to 17.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{177}	=[-2.17100252558679,-3.481344019296281,14.653485035149682];
std_x_f{177}	=[1.7473928041332913,2.372141339137995,2.5449445063150655];
pred_f{177}	=[-2.17100252558679];
obs{177}	=[-2.3197324728362214];
sqrt_r{177}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{177}	=[4.058032266084918];
L_f{177}	=[0.0681957047629269,0.06119752866876042,0.10385700634962004,-0.16724659371326064,-0.025782356786728803,0.029937753415374253,-0.09635371283352201,-0.14438768904216637,0.017546547985794126,-0.1469307483656029,-0.01765219391091972,0.11534555039991097,0.031269286652046965,-0.13317238842261467,0.09579046087452477,0.03768649041079047,-0.1870192774820942,-0.1332458495925848,0.048303660522258686,0.8925365179479873,-0.09440184072396793,0.05921280084780344,-0.09176758594335736,-0.11472063313092243,-0.12363645559287426,-0.1623640871359332,-0.04938666666997805,0.10236704662933646,-0.13340697886132244,0.10319464710371326,0.028064035077748906,-0.02766837402933847,-0.1672793900581085,0.09922118554144678,-0.15017241352319818,-0.18071799200352912,0.013830308851499704,-0.16096867937561063,-0.07911102520090132,-0.18291924124820202,0.06840763783688407,0.002105428040588314,0.10599602000812082,0.10379916496121941,-0.07338824758955115,0.1188465433778118,-0.16222930162398835,0.07887967297331226,-0.16235540150419328,-0.037151618321768276,0.12240988552395085,0.09098400794170992,-0.1608564997034851,0.08320075346667295,0.11057688209242512,0.37113982592683353,0.1098573185317309,-0.15834907505793833,-0.10544217004985393,0.10679230847076437,-0.052330421985541276,9.065451733737978E-4,-0.6038217609237783,0.031965109486993264,0.12229119968110957,-0.04969197743039302,0.029984963754918655,0.089556530254622,0.07801936766758444,-0.05268338324434352,-0.15505260095823842,0.1081926750194587,0.04796775694389279,0.034655453222662426,-0.1376816474306435,0.09313711977788071,0.09091617818958204,0.00820788469998869,0.08322938525920712,0.11184266511498518,0.025964448604560892,-0.08112475141079328,0.12777057421237195,-0.11086779606139073,0.009924351939787223,0.8704893663322469,-0.15533760277710265,-0.13656154797896677,-0.05662964189130451,-0.023623790521032396,-0.06471909498540941,0.02405172467018535,-0.04165188602589019,-0.17589910852400334,0.0986927338155468,-0.11006485509213922,-0.028576645649926815,0.04243961495598698,0.09460889802654789,0.061036472391359634;0.10304693240585391,0.0927228010850178,0.15777784758633456,-0.2429973289513209,-0.037422754472548087,0.045801788339278185,-0.14136905693994237,-0.21085887658339836,0.02710389595782164,-0.21410563037969882,-0.02523338090637331,0.17537504008941068,0.04758815605990145,-0.1938808709190122,0.14582203815112418,0.05797203042870319,-0.27099479013259953,-0.1948127282397117,0.07299183997168807,1.0841736643389541,-0.13644834181525292,0.08912668399062187,-0.13471544169672617,-0.16740886881101397,-0.18078537113013288,-0.23648309238764226,-0.07209028140795468,0.15508576016098835,-0.1934722927933209,0.1565323780277622,0.04303333388139272,-0.04072410576169945,-0.24325193960947802,0.15060776787682753,-0.21927465396921386,-0.2626090202400676,0.0214903006689816,-0.2347847109444175,-0.11547147343114994,-0.265673826345646,0.10310784765445007,0.00445425034878547,0.16148007089836325,0.15780804533150958,-0.10698000628904561,0.1804285921621863,-0.23609730119693662,0.11961314325141201,-0.23633540615725612,-0.05386330881856031,0.18646129871645617,0.13832178024920305,-0.23436689989049536,0.12613153888167833,0.16898792172618843,0.6310065524506951,0.16613536571070286,-0.23067233026456896,-0.15508741192319853,0.16154924525061345,-0.07705578248996289,0.002258466768843678,-0.8089464966370199,0.04908914031981673,0.185815746970336,-0.07326700026215735,0.045839137800131644,0.13502838333299136,0.11807564660712035,-0.07752690725691924,-0.2261739000959782,0.16425336414963496,0.0726735585826483,0.05269591362973678,-0.20097301816515536,0.14125820756953128,0.13757952592724323,0.013006006495491955,0.12630684860177854,0.17030846410633768,0.03908233161588166,-0.11940138951311184,0.19453596193779504,-0.16227512601711852,0.015543744831626793,1.1069242364186966,-0.22596849179819467,-0.20007218160449888,-0.08194112848549943,-0.0339357343434405,-0.09331567720057628,0.036852057472546614,-0.06129753790364125,-0.2556437366432912,0.14962051605199705,-0.16135979525670854,-0.04182669536663754,0.06442999321336994,0.14351957040314123,0.09281736698872924;-0.12194760681942717,-0.11370246487901099,-0.16831576381302452,0.13368022383496686,-0.013867889230279585,-0.07532764115893244,0.05935470407360861,0.10888929399050146,-0.061685078560906284,0.1120806828653247,-0.022279514840912538,-0.18336420313640703,-0.07714559790746335,0.09715273940020634,-0.15565148896314943,-0.07700614824383888,0.15297489373545917,0.09712506041071697,-0.0979851991212488,1.5487352107859724,0.06914294215941288,-0.11230650089722793,0.05604774650437054,0.07890327761077072,0.08747869896964908,0.12660625163672137,0.00963767439573388,-0.16766675162600994,0.11077194938800845,-0.16755406991497931,-0.0749777859962558,-0.013007980300795688,0.13322932769068183,-0.15793649188026607,0.11596405609628864,0.14641653400400156,-0.05732061416192548,0.12601465639024756,0.04152677888994393,0.14831378575411425,-0.12288407722896011,-0.03400290773320845,-0.17046947561679104,-0.16686060633235528,0.048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k{177}	=[0.753575148143222;1.0183590012998724;0.22367764787834155];
x_a_linear{177}	=[-2.283081717618614,-3.6328044998405944,14.62021747037986];
L_a{177}	=[-0.04753690824578938,-0.042658717514673705,-0.07239518967781357,0.11658191681435891,0.01797200473536581,-0.020868590509315763,0.06716489875764588,0.10064775119899308,-0.012231102303740497,0.10242043143071816,0.01230474448790303,-0.08040346331168739,-0.02179675707813396,0.09282994627485654,-0.06677227495843148,-0.02626997173783134,0.13036478272005772,0.09288115355995805,-0.03367084021148888,-0.6221568749411216,0.06580431504197126,-0.041275231199142,0.06396806555621214,0.07996785472049545,0.0861827715658151,0.1131784874050911,0.034425766992474904,-0.07135658939119344,0.09299347129742146,-0.07193348155693016,-0.019562485132096172,0.01928668326128764,0.11660477803181013,-0.0691637165349207,0.10468008604820302,0.12597237075413698,-0.009640638294892645,0.11220579607653156,0.055145607179794276,0.12750678679593766,-0.04768463958936858,-0.0014676223367951601,-0.07388622340749104,-0.07235487041162571,0.051156453388253496,-0.08284388653978061,0.1130845330052291,-0.05498433940415373,0.11317243294637545,0.025897130581522775,-0.08532777125419512,-0.06342185996016725,0.11212759943937643,-0.05799641776964067,-0.07707938669167731,-0.2587089599378018,-0.07657780338697145,0.11037975893060906,0.07350015342347084,-0.07444128903394738,0.036477758783166996,-6.319218325721287E-4,0.4209036294240182,-0.02228179152971922,-0.08524503938653823,0.03463858874796175,-0.020901499232628788,-0.062426813775515115,-0.054384649811914335,0.03672379608173782,0.10808189886219521,-0.07541743696536288,-0.03343669324226664,-0.024157138719937864,0.09597319748791079,-0.06492272105038946,-0.06337457814506671,-0.005721437489821093,-0.058016376019201205,-0.077961721020675,-0.01809893475341744,0.0565493072867812,-0.0890645251626941,0.0772821729331013,-0.006917928470724702,-0.6067885547942468,0.10828056394470081,0.09519241422530486,0.03947459887594432,0.01646734154768295,0.045113481718051594,-0.0167656399002587,0.029034114262181613,0.12261329084419677,-0.06879535079555688,0.07672247007036564,0.01991980854154177,-0.029583213329384503,-0.06594864765102024,-0.042546450656992946;-0.05335067238747901,-0.04762543545477674,-0.08040411842681972,0.14056006307987567,0.021705585961637006,-0.02285639098939007,0.07960512248227374,0.12027471616034223,-0.013136733373739034,0.12286012420495944,0.015249533033921495,-0.08915434440522214,-0.024123714254765123,0.11153195011289153,-0.07386039925319543,-0.028456826840306745,0.15790857189086976,0.11076856602769232,-0.03778605776679864,-0.9627378542517637,0.08004948350433469,-0.046669848326109833,0.0757410773626636,0.09568735263612826,0.10275808057380284,0.13587693264314998,0.04117134412641849,-0.07967918520107099,0.11247852961049999,-0.08013055683918355,-0.021327726426647164,0.022729559564551888,0.14038066639300906,-0.07694257150866948,0.12512542023942036,0.15184319769166513,-0.010227637952608224,0.13437513553872063,0.06595893919055773,0.1538266583444814,-0.05377579691600117,-3.7426346681981106E-4,-0.081607432992473,-0.08024126929787763,0.061325991616346116,-0.09212984515982699,0.13595361153268842,-0.0612866943966326,0.1360046995544974,0.03133889181738615,-0.09426918079872225,-0.07033770887916053,0.1345356777208284,-0.06467811114575497,-0.08460516840888967,-0.22015232947828067,-0.08580750293637443,0.13247980880921714,0.08672991216395426,-0.08336443829061213,0.04295694682803183,1.7942829793842646E-4,0.5758368626502909,-0.024218505346456073,-0.09464254265241755,0.040694814115670726,-0.022927312042814698,-0.07035737921783201,-0.060851197438547285,0.04329529086344971,0.12941822247458937,-0.08387187024820049,-0.037333989831338114,-0.026781670712177356,0.11478117716150966,-0.07233915169596042,-0.07092440485908953,-0.005817664466787256,-0.06456846456072834,-0.08618752781125971,-0.02046361171954785,0.06664723120588725,-0.0984885304309252,0.09198513587174242,-0.0072164110741536015,-0.8894251284820761,0.1302772438113039,0.11311321746173392,0.04793127891748112,0.02024222695885918,0.0551087943302583,-0.018307312793403512,0.03422541669034737,0.1477570252385921,-0.0767178909329627,0.09105903035962021,0.02370996780318168,-0.03289951090337594,-0.0734531127728327,-0.04716150881038851;-0.15629958714201067,-0.14452927879534544,-0.2206312850161152,0.2179267569007905,-8.806341518784097E-4,-0.09040807943290455,0.10789061786424341,0.18162119213632472,-0.07052373890223831,0.18609358725841163,-0.013387637852671849,-0.24146680785923896,-0.09289676469291591,0.16423519396986844,-0.20390367784355173,-0.095989830302984,0.24718145061968838,0.16424451931480266,-0.12231703059858014,1.0991409583572702,0.11669564633981339,-0.14213355491243324,0.10227350687353334,0.1366910949756285,0.14975765193956161,0.208393336993158,0.03451504471609084,-0.21923174070731138,0.17797257336676145,-0.2195359432459496,-0.08911438278214624,9.293115494447332E-4,0.2174923811428961,-0.20791682752093715,0.1916098729740147,0.23744896671839896,-0.06428730655367661,0.20709883794810605,0.08137709483650103,0.24045504593793904,-0.15734281384670265,-0.035063467527587946,-0.223862474578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x_a{177}	=[-2.2830817176186144,-3.63280449984059,14.62021747037985];
std_x_a{177}	=[1.2180481408353157,1.6624676249920893,2.515685650429521];
pred_a{177}	=[-2.2830817176186144];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.7 to 17.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{178}	=[-4.478196401908402,-7.712188689228009,13.123951440617077];
std_x_f{178}	=[1.807605379280318,2.794889269910246,2.5812838321868115];
pred_f{178}	=[-4.478196401908402];
obs{178}	=[-4.690491501945462];
sqrt_r{178}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{178}	=[4.27648558603248];
L_f{178}	=[-0.09512296688675916,-0.08613372622870567,-0.14354167945664673,0.20386173882911188,0.02730306591076093,-0.0446978835176388,0.11687959688088882,0.17565148831894298,-0.028300792043961402,0.17897300150475035,0.017280754937520088,-0.15876848477828875,-0.04631610153613142,0.16286892650358184,-0.1317622673694144,-0.05338483120675229,0.22830380074830778,0.16185808837787768,-0.06874864178669371,-0.6697095159880392,0.11574202758219287,-0.08377988502948691,0.11038874204251754,0.13967997381621666,0.14984833173519735,0.19738866862680574,0.057422041693772956,-0.14204553973658837,0.16417523945853582,-0.14317087566717246,-0.041758171341648914,0.029774043813871366,0.20401504386015998,-0.13742492469260165,0.18278077797027406,0.22018456205571038,-0.023186216093375837,0.1960464383722134,0.09585440935267049,0.2225287936965583,-0.0960506360820876,-0.007110622616419162,-0.14591502015555113,-0.14286461953774798,0.08945881577620661,-0.16413294837405695,0.19752816152609035,-0.10934357589285018,0.19760755662133522,0.042752728578242735,-0.16855117733972366,-0.12603652569672275,0.19571404280138102,-0.11556075884987231,-0.15208804840166018,-0.5226001550318997,-0.1524120082180421,0.1924450959618152,0.1279030056767563,-0.1475824028793368,0.060792573263615056,-0.006409649696396578,0.6913443006238759,-0.046895218632282736,-0.16874628604305797,0.057760296371615776,-0.04435540399820162,-0.12476022348451854,-0.10801745603881328,0.0616414067742853,0.18883915320762737,-0.14960009941267993,-0.068596693082996,-0.05079530742126112,0.16807656872399282,-0.1290255190376104,-0.12656307080210533,-0.016025180039418316,-0.11565349843329972,-0.15345362802176166,-0.040421645604940486,0.09715544916861482,-0.1766453832971075,0.1344851745510115,-0.018546544257095957,-0.6736537596883136,0.1892773446706219,0.16580195863701375,0.06859423897457025,0.0252994854606972,0.0787564062829031,-0.036402588646718595,0.04768368241613685,0.2140155730488757,-0.13593045402665357,0.13339921257828014,0.030846342130145275,-0.060887495722070105,-0.13074004141437756,-0.08576198067658622;-0.18513211263464674,-0.16844252065832033,-0.2746020579746849,0.3500345925341766,0.038352719957125095,-0.09221574122599725,0.1976708356218848,0.30083836207528586,-0.06288778601091156,0.3066265250740978,0.020087088952195898,-0.30312284366914505,-0.0960405782118405,0.278267663628115,-0.25258870524560095,-0.10702822928763468,0.39175800366475205,0.27699935187141117,-0.13609982007244767,-0.38301875406355823,0.19836157609290248,-0.16373246999216529,0.18620625734116347,0.2378810851300717,0.25632130186188123,0.33902767964371805,0.09228679414755875,-0.2720288363674169,0.2819014252832381,-0.27330307703949325,-0.08816036750599132,0.04215991797499335,0.35028470417229235,-0.26148578275882,0.31318106169073956,0.377882405234661,-0.05367819885100553,0.33551202086368404,0.16062503867685043,0.3822028778644096,-0.18657768294644478,-0.022530185548035007,-0.27869143042887523,-0.27287022360343033,0.15021274134944027,-0.31291926628210714,0.3389099286520961,-0.21131275477847888,0.33929099570228227,0.06523561232057454,-0.32151762484812735,-0.24158289599347013,0.3357526500848795,-0.22265937768453195,-0.2893921136537759,-1.0235467351262275,-0.2907100561343383,0.3303223276237106,0.2161775865094615,-0.2805700933057845,0.09755468195259323,-0.023329527973148318,1.1048597461322718,-0.09674768108958987,-0.3217075138767075,0.09233846972194117,-0.09194673772643636,-0.23985684673925167,-0.20741673560244586,0.09904305419583333,0.32401173170285663,-0.2849872047853012,-0.1361998453131346,-0.10312869682513635,0.28718323207042185,-0.24706723194565544,-0.2428023634465002,-0.04089320236416618,-0.22226384869831203,-0.29299537234447964,-0.08375685399193634,0.16294149067441147,-0.33676684874286095,0.22847569951487423,-0.0453073808036632,-0.4639936634009215,0.32463805437548326,0.28371250243847157,0.11328748604911311,0.03411815307593424,0.13176579124573473,-0.07784450054566157,0.0744861096072412,0.3674227905845634,-0.25951102010376115,0.2271407126687573,0.04438270485462002,-0.12235543058181518,-0.251120586219222,-0.16728612744136287;-0.0718751875089987,-0.07070498949223317,-0.07737331100545868,0.023388066451565784,-0.0487015657797463,-0.06450479433764672,-0.019597182026279435,0.007178308458062577,-0.061871863563589265,0.009620541284869838,-0.05104806104662426,-0.07840134439151004,-0.06439365906441556,6.702515416053103E-4,-0.07551470536864315,-0.06136270995138389,0.03671779545434226,7.749104868134408E-4,-0.06876041219676217,1.7999681940800611,-0.012944591959592387,-0.07141198094666738,-0.020426095366829756,-0.00970530891297045,-0.0045984137157138545,0.01769331337096452,-0.04075030746286892,-0.07818119346630134,0.01012562887047856,-0.07740487832021598,-0.06502500631835771,-0.048594117282672655,0.022963777516881247,-0.07428322817346514,0.011776845762287921,0.03175616204160346,-0.06039472034052464,0.018888321091552855,-0.027975342666190027,0.03325668821988687,-0.07212264968658796,-0.05018577097808129,-0.0772309036300156,-0.0769914077387458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k{178}	=[0.766163130944222;1.1158479129921273;-0.34443798459238667];
x_a_linear{178}	=[-4.6408490804369125,-7.949077733542817,13.19707393701268];
L_a{178}	=[0.06304533185020768,0.05708746826671492,0.09513614967932747,-0.13511490859344502,-0.018095849059472858,0.029624737238549338,-0.07746512974775469,-0.11641779828244761,0.018757119173536084,-0.1186192214286931,-0.011453290044611939,0.10522812878742542,0.030697255215236374,-0.1079458079953425,0.08732902414124392,0.03538224794022401,-0.15131454949229842,-0.10727584755184917,0.04556503100721185,0.44386818515629356,-0.07671117477466922,0.05552739603196179,-0.07316313927510848,-0.09257669930076082,-0.09931605489862572,-0.13082470537175694,-0.03805801892628224,0.09414454241314944,-0.10881160241324934,0.09489038938900206,0.027676363089328245,-0.019733556828634254,-0.13521651566977003,0.09108210419938972,-0.12114292878073696,-0.14593330335901483,0.015367294942531709,-0.12993510578724357,-0.0635301152258948,-0.14748700659776012,0.06366016982447238,0.004712758413511479,0.096709145737516,0.09468740981485047,-0.05929126174388306,0.1087835728474932,-0.1309171580823272,0.07247042700066046,-0.13096977933974607,-0.028335532931031394,0.11171187418677177,0.08353413321576277,-0.12971480158780024,0.0765910339952419,0.10080048799726656,0.34636745758970194,0.10101520117115459,-0.12754821821633666,-0.08477119355549192,0.09781424895898612,-0.04029193033891989,0.004248169557557781,-0.458207226730742,0.031081080811745074,0.11184118778317408,-0.03828220640815357,0.029397749628075395,0.08268822923333809,0.07159150502201328,-0.04085451782033739,-0.1251582816425411,0.09915153217965204,0.045464322873704735,0.033665970665308353,-0.1113973144263162,0.0855151697965357,0.08388311529642546,0.010621123652999585,0.07665249967492149,0.10170556300843246,0.02679054432909733,-0.06439241472759347,0.1170765291943758,-0.08913370488743508,0.012292226321695427,0.44648233987749647,-0.12544870494516253,-0.1098897547647874,-0.04546269634664019,-0.016767921656690762,-0.052197948949031014,0.024126805087683195,-0.03160365661580016,-0.14184463821488452,0.09009160314418951,-0.08841395407237641,-0.020444251683982652,0.04035484277835703,0.08665151610432681,0.056841083797598946;0.045225834542543634,0.04014630921267685,0.07301080247534052,-0.1436545048691091,-0.02776672964261109,0.01602849281420182,-0.08537483552955709,-0.12453436957993626,0.005647842892426971,-0.1267898682124462,-0.021761471530764832,0.08136455645052638,0.016122471578385117,-0.11614971837997538,0.0664981191042334,0.02225306343979007,-0.16112209032705033,-0.11497009770577835,0.030387796026154077,1.2388073343898374,-0.08192925953357762,0.03915609584818445,-0.08112060220327298,-0.10037993724081778,-0.1065642894542532,-0.13898567495486486,-0.04677135427045337,0.07196084362595663,-0.1156794363820041,0.0734118131038398,0.01296480702296485,-0.029943463958963783,-0.14377564986227795,0.07131421895742443,-0.12945657015275414,-0.1553354429391057,0.002471533615131998,-0.13925087365983543,-0.07150423240286456,-0.1566919630080441,0.046026787636074026,-0.005310491054905835,0.07466891571514263,0.07310301039109257,-0.06642841097754776,0.08455917966037833,-0.13944123393310318,0.053483040643629784,-0.1392524368651849,-0.03829806743977024,0.08666038386032403,0.06363798051057887,-0.13820528677327568,0.05719248200972677,0.07891736792178658,0.24202668891283227,0.07838395435902401,-0.13571924678235373,-0.09356331823508311,0.07682813006158794,-0.04966583522594146,-0.007807369713045305,-0.5693589951098559,0.01681780840379849,0.08694298682655341,-0.04753882527823852,0.015468118492297867,0.06227322670005433,0.05416761407438351,-0.05023307112248928,-0.1332973819980869,0.07729724581677012,0.029919798752995806,0.019881582676824845,-0.1198454236477836,0.06539204757154668,0.0636936399122077,-0.002085249901750513,0.05781259713701869,0.0786211141352508,0.014131675012452171,-0.07233849017609441,0.09101278436185285,-0.0972051507493687,-3.9347617975018227E-4,1.1673841443869168,-0.1337322214105973,-0.11780776211602255,-0.05282621493725844,-0.02714925400886972,-0.05895748697139685,0.010311134912772075,-0.040988791510034414,-0.15085570392643494,0.06966984308062725,-0.09591027880387883,-0.030317446786830043,0.02509495897545602,0.06549072795404397,0.04040245146962862;-0.14298167624884056,-0.13509182512881723,-0.18467384155065178,0.17577915465000093,-0.028291929576348993,-0.09791743541753863,0.06777286131374813,0.13848162021405816,-0.08302732177378473,0.14340675646236054,-0.03813032049881751,-0.19708424342859435,-0.09901595334454422,0.12241832004207563,-0.17400986892039577,-0.1012690335588089,0.20737985708346085,0.12176735548061952,-0.12015151870949914,1.299345750141158,0.073575093562803,-0.1340392690396307,0.062091892664346796,0.09470851258997037,0.10741647671445527,0.16524564066320824,0.0021739188806783006,-0.18436332699719363,0.13285019474547552,-0.18442822495973502,-0.09624014854406399,-0.026337371299223984,0.17546946456373994,-0.17701135136017312,0.14840945674965586,0.19634891597809528,-0.07772692167446651,0.165437302045808,0.04367791524169242,0.1996018063459013,-0.1439225913469053,-0.055501116194443104,-0.18630555801938312,-0.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x_a{178}	=[-4.6408490804369125,-7.949077733542821,13.197073937012684];
std_x_a{178}	=[1.1980395978041292,1.9866220190914856,2.505281744310466];
pred_a{178}	=[-4.6408490804369125];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.8 to 17.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{179}	=[-9.41870284580016,-15.549912902473839,17.80416479135978];
std_x_f{179}	=[1.9570010221398555,2.9854545187331256,2.9314502748291664];
pred_f{179}	=[-9.41870284580016];
obs{179}	=[-9.854856218920927];
sqrt_r{179}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{179}	=[4.8316316468977165];
L_f{179}	=[0.04217399958832618,0.035596193789885135,0.0784257064038868,-0.14422511218958872,-0.042480078324776106,0.006119547631732712,-0.09776453493264821,-0.1304964060728165,-0.005176141313233593,-0.13170457683745643,-0.036002543430854225,0.09030891545761281,0.006755470240074425,-0.12431906844552422,0.06965178802753072,0.014068802202211655,-0.15673814993878524,-0.12280408693763588,0.023771812708007767,1.2207245728959408,-0.09380225165571464,0.03465882865372888,-0.0939035013553012,-0.1110498987877392,-0.11573909703435452,-0.1417969233406888,-0.06200287840538929,0.07697922306962418,-0.12135884663888728,0.07837989017982115,0.003288633754686524,-0.044506018752642915,-0.1445327814290934,0.07509789673154715,-0.13373428424577666,-0.1522154770279989,-0.008962480919037558,-0.14081877172413018,-0.08562238184842345,-0.15354083271326435,0.042892889967515446,-0.017516201141956574,0.08039696274061776,0.07855452106410395,-0.07855618466773373,0.09430114737429841,-0.14145212586467887,0.05292945588304755,-0.14100527057621365,-0.05304811971860489,0.09738475613440538,0.06579575549570472,-0.14028087624170252,0.05793225683332252,0.08642440222016742,0.37581843368693363,0.08553714478273067,-0.13871993653154813,-0.10481897308293815,0.08219264404093257,-0.06474799561717476,-0.021296188778544188,-0.2547608695658798,0.007362859032150214,0.09793460111540328,-0.06252969609064457,0.0053408249651998516,0.06448706356543316,0.05348208236398043,-0.06474915823565744,-0.1374866845131477,0.08411999441032234,0.023381988450712037,0.010596040057298927,-0.12610600776372685,0.06762015395159275,0.06584450432481481,-0.01425230139730989,0.05780324243296909,0.08640822743434838,0.0037678040559148123,-0.08600834284086889,0.10334992703705721,-0.10802280863630244,-0.012373506829482512,1.1794131292222492,-0.13734646159930344,-0.12486686774808924,-0.0669130175101344,-0.04159150740791511,-0.07230270583494675,1.5296804884576618E-4,-0.055795954771894,-0.14986824539336593,0.0742390288939589,-0.1072648386219663,-0.04474788541924558,0.017451318282597494,0.06881778460779654,0.035990662891699596;-0.008841701683875143,-0.014945793618154195,0.028815211209400223,-0.10853780901915557,-0.07829957703126235,-0.04090843476923531,-0.10502269818490703,-0.11050160709765881,-0.05174430933274476,-0.11034903222472828,-0.07385525934544772,0.041993928962591874,-0.041080254707085644,-0.11158389756096294,0.01972796035179634,-0.032001733213593155,-0.10655064117386219,-0.11025600011030193,-0.025844236041179355,2.04358910308517,-0.0985988754821481,-0.01630565170403609,-0.10328703937751332,-0.10841147702636238,-0.10849373725307689,-0.11011394817368553,-0.09053582509661671,0.026812297452604664,-0.10354077014032001,0.029356251301568836,-0.04510411166465207,-0.08028505421212136,-0.10876875117091983,0.02705120812020039,-0.11010069525466681,-0.10662463603180039,-0.05430378295712242,-0.11012932069283767,-0.1015992667895573,-0.10681192300410308,-0.007397738003380917,-0.05713080099378946,0.03090165234256936,0.02860297106877813,-0.09288586065981641,0.04654934659205752,-0.1099704941517004,0.0022089084088377123,-0.10899422918927468,-0.0854019482949684,0.04903964279449772,0.015348026524165623,-0.10920500485587903,0.007636602051545236,0.0381849180253446,0.4187769203773897,0.036824277507469465,-0.11037287819271,-0.10798763888455461,0.034681146512352296,-0.09228841934369729,-0.06446637486987028,0.32190279698108754,-0.040523908755080516,0.05033775642935969,-0.09090803365152468,-0.042378727526967315,0.014297955347193416,0.0046780282688487105,-0.09176212605855145,-0.110959826454887,0.03578263729307133,-0.026544245152018,-0.037468564038021276,-0.11004567539906056,0.01791800335218379,0.015732420950014144,-0.058725261383721444,0.0072633979683851355,0.03721532010953218,-0.04294189719584062,-0.10077581512773484,0.05561381289360064,-0.1078947317416326,-0.057646317529241625,1.979326057749315,-0.11013210746829773,-0.10936119250700022,-0.08908118824658495,-0.07800177196288982,-0.09052654546212621,-0.04660362195692186,-0.08640341098186226,-0.10840669711660524,0.024973162916828363,-0.10729485109008134,-0.07896299859453731,-0.03140499367831164,0.018148687250098095,-0.015096662533008395;-0.2146246916706109,-0.19790594804914455,-0.3003433613025346,0.3597078495764445,0.012191259550886097,-0.12283461336977429,0.18600010907398146,0.3028865864944552,-0.0927454787665508,0.3095599345448241,-0.005521341692571099,-0.3270945152275817,-0.12443009985591999,0.2782978949153473,-0.2796032558456835,-0.13766146775610097,0.4094584594466747,0.2749405140595619,-0.16772948315787642,0.2811540577011384,0.18374116281435923,-0.19479310208818582,0.17408566016133392,0.2308235282132311,0.2507936079728769,0.34601569320390724,0.07002033210999545,-0.2980362008091922,0.28236031153492536,-0.3007433925582884,-0.11655457688397297,0.01694208059751475,0.3596668625475987,-0.29059759983836225,0.31720531500391214,0.392752656563857,-0.08231215328920939,0.34465916871630514,0.14427044827532665,0.3970344119056493,-0.21629804367446934,-0.0508052180593118,-0.304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k{179}	=[0.7930305799197093;1.1322936028936998;-0.43654553708123345];
x_a_linear{179}	=[-9.76458580822006,-16.043766576738992,17.994565599878577];
L_a{179}	=[-0.025062616616101138,-0.021153643634861052,-0.046605810016453544,0.08570822612286476,0.025244509111497983,-0.003636645270906247,0.058098237814433816,0.07754970899386505,0.003076010019221611,0.07826768502119288,0.021395123820833886,-0.053667609124664686,-0.004014553097670511,0.07387872103511585,-0.04139175978090446,-0.00836062501265321,0.09314431164646111,0.07297841750490001,-0.014126804049561313,-0.7254363414186024,0.05574358358046209,-0.020596598458544023,0.05580375293665304,0.06599329126337725,0.06877992708257877,0.0842652335970073,0.03684626513343914,-0.04574621269103825,0.07211955887448203,-0.0465785829459896,-0.00195432654690149,0.02644845867109229,0.08589106380175557,-0.04462820251412231,0.0794738731729958,0.09045663634059715,0.005326106733901846,0.08368395036094885,0.050882556811578036,0.09124425150026926,-0.02548982945193603,0.010409300471300082,-0.04777726262473887,-0.04668236031936742,0.04668334894412146,-0.05604006084722184,0.08406033183203863,-0.03145422946470697,0.08379478047606098,0.03152474746740527,-0.05787254780371178,-0.0391002468594901,0.08336429682115644,-0.03442722902479883,-0.051359171059492136,-0.22333649672075473,-0.05083190323544583,0.08243668184751571,0.06229045767805929,-0.048844376781181024,0.03847759772975004,0.012655622420229535,0.1513959801071751,-0.004375504218771263,-0.05819930253628521,0.03715933550383366,-0.0031738760805972493,-0.03832253441966589,-0.03178263715092894,0.03847828863555888,0.0817038008585198,-0.049989737521552634,-0.013895144353928348,-0.006296877037918989,0.07494064011999063,-0.040184426674097676,-0.039129216680384334,0.008469672530579191,-0.03435056002291209,-0.05134955891789332,-0.0022390816488774418,0.051111920696361404,-0.06141745207748299,0.06419439145144576,0.0073531669011983195,-0.7008863133264612,0.08162047100683925,0.07420426008848444,0.039764198815688684,0.02471646072996236,0.04296711277887945,-9.090386494424643E-5,0.03315769518725914,0.08906175401636376,-0.044117805692680374,0.06374395487769793,0.02659219205176397,-0.01037074272849787,-0.040896139062704714,-0.021388063608358668;-0.10484252729667784,-0.09597353644214902,-0.1497055038646431,0.21976232801911993,0.018397976700489423,-0.054838382859475905,0.11751906121189146,0.18654782726430516,-0.039961840408537744,0.18945056555590245,0.008097458614921286,-0.16357657724397245,-0.05645775569775234,0.17140404113784766,-0.13882065304321534,-0.0640265978216294,0.2502329683017665,0.169283380781208,-0.07995609805469724,-0.7351505940690278,0.11492352436586556,-0.09519966692690443,0.11046583552262318,0.1443718034759718,0.15496358193497362,0.21265889393136975,0.05060154805722609,-0.14841578245095835,0.17270880510688108,-0.1490601721383002,-0.05259004040439222,0.02102415493804127,0.22023173445407773,-0.14389440193308795,0.19431913273541015,0.23986399697372093,-0.03390245568996036,0.21041695140034433,0.09330326625496335,0.24269362187266796,-0.10503497634916945,-0.017258609889267872,-0.15210624055828495,-0.15021096527554142,0.0859318625513762,-0.1681086913587265,0.21201748422951439,-0.11827460071073631,0.2119765709057718,0.03535167573652,-0.17263762476995292,-0.13442308627193228,0.210116853833061,-0.12423480070607586,-0.15854325685057147,-0.4366999200132193,-0.1578842301005452,0.2053958078692706,0.1306121632227517,-0.152414262133995,0.05509767390564871,-0.01598978443256552,0.9018158725939087,-0.05728401101848451,-0.17259112522552836,0.05142853647736481,-0.05453606643524057,-0.13249417734255314,-0.11706342647938085,0.05562661366339164,0.20200160364107728,-0.15570000587010302,-0.07976874881893417,-0.061588367795230047,0.1770098796401956,-0.13600599415301443,-0.13414965897957604,-0.026282696903709924,-0.12431432884977675,-0.15947603604376123,-0.051518563000504294,0.09500528229983653,-0.17964199446233226,0.13799797265743935,-0.029480459821859654,-0.7053762528955665,0.20251013270898954,0.17487370369713828,0.06323315205598737,0.016673124623064608,0.07405636158840263,-0.04695182367183906,0.04060511977743357,0.23273892415114353,-0.1440174032159023,0.1368724834632013,0.022896772511065554,-0.07112949169876763,-0.13850148118735822,-0.09702233677974553;-0.17761244337186508,-0.16666643612469073,-0.23151631746605997,0.2331347069913829,-0.025089605959957142,-0.11746404812501196,0.10020115054361317,0.18836186911389163,-0.09728810288057525,0.19397491658180144,-0.03711746939818189,-0.24783866956117118,-0.11850144370897836,0.1691944597541218,-0.2184762748125601,-0.12531457143473945,0.2719037721974686,0.16716663910806984,-0.1468671451522675,1.352471965356053,0.10141953661925406,-0.16437622950324393,0.09167517639858384,0.1333652252871769,0.14922002616599664,0.22157354908873275,0.015606096960895637,-0.2304786026228892,0.1758547913354324,-0.23195655741621737,-0.11366844490028082,-0.02211676686634901,0.2328237069118991,-0.22469106909255745,0.19983900915489722,0.25916710419353467,-0.09017770012816718,0.22107545849071417,0.06912754298205977,0.2622857165044065,-0.17865489127666095,-0.06617757999427813,-0.2340090032922405,-0.23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x_a{179}	=[-9.76458580822006,-16.04376657673899,17.994565599878577];
std_x_a{179}	=[1.1629811451125935,1.9619700691843065,2.8030119588401488];
pred_a{179}	=[-9.76458580822006];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.9 to 18.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{180}	=[-14.917747596166713,-16.351710601886854,34.21956819342867];
std_x_f{180}	=[1.5323592866151996,2.6458181800329896,2.6753783874900936];
pred_f{180}	=[-14.917747596166713];
obs{180}	=[-15.348726398369658];
sqrt_r{180}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{180}	=[3.3609085314934366];
L_f{180}	=[-0.11306435431909381,-0.10455167184559584,-0.15378327008368173,0.1851223615396405,-4.5100746301856464E-4,-0.06838215001961909,0.09067183397375672,0.15368791962687572,-0.05394858254689687,0.1573142963639553,-0.009673653242175081,-0.16590341685573648,-0.06942462164585037,0.14003420854772672,-0.14376076309071986,-0.07542787419372,0.21251357180595673,0.1383589061158892,-0.09019474571062806,0.19114281098900493,0.0890051764757459,-0.10415041555620168,0.08431369441502708,0.11517943751476327,0.1254388380943683,0.1775945885295097,0.02891519594221149,-0.15237351768940427,0.1422383635848777,-0.15332094135001934,-0.06535727064210714,0.001986086210018398,0.18508246369992948,-0.14858474452642356,0.1620330268021894,0.2035398329991378,-0.048490105987360824,0.1763641926835318,0.06818251195479577,0.2057499667077281,-0.11362539989405779,-0.03286208380689118,-0.15559514184432255,-0.15373504079594905,0.06267067173417867,-0.16990486156939008,0.17747475164621546,-0.12499370709367544,0.17829970132077055,0.015063300920837332,-0.1734469169505732,-0.13917764030717145,0.17551166951182454,-0.1303961651502887,-0.16090795829282442,-0.4026944605293514,-0.16089109164836216,0.17214060564622027,0.10247981746844172,-0.1560125304142173,0.03319017279554118,-0.03273282962707162,0.7878782421538999,-0.0703386485395887,-0.17378357679832954,0.029845082703523713,-0.06816176284680152,-0.1376910747599751,-0.12370276924541009,0.03371733150911106,0.16840113695500775,-0.1586325771123943,-0.09015490786549563,-0.07360335305234816,0.14603591661454612,-0.14150625562920566,-0.13927359315183033,-0.04155279375478755,-0.1306925508492044,-0.16205760699012592,-0.0643434540232529,0.07023976749680919,-0.1807635305462129,0.10965001681914531,-0.044207671948295696,0.14061748256052609,0.16886947978323388,0.143263323328146,0.04092969619799034,-0.0022830413236988962,0.05137264998313335,-0.060646802392230116,0.019600456073857266,0.1963998683172559,-0.14722469521362197,0.10842328479548813,0.0033890979459399893,-0.08265624871056312,-0.14324367775266633,-0.10559328165992254;-0.12831089073593657,-0.12392001186763281,-0.14578286706618723,0.12830132083741985,-0.0550764351197685,-0.10351759356697784,0.026850206229415096,0.092556312706607,-0.0936218803544933,0.09677406631248012,-0.061792352058686356,-0.14974847575077946,-0.10393627628984939,0.0772710025391627,-0.14216599835412566,-0.10567107774898454,0.16017453809472812,0.07584006934463318,-0.11674800159140525,1.610266978169659,0.028557284080899078,-0.1233153528152356,0.021017978013420056,0.050517041008867725,0.0629300577073256,0.11846743060425677,-0.03091659536969615,-0.14538063341179722,0.08362245460497547,-0.1460935543441083,-0.10228131289588605,-0.0533348817068364,0.12851660974842885,-0.1425369742781177,0.1016073569231726,0.1499313227175736,-0.0900251556737742,0.11864041985615904,0.005009250555317189,0.15196694632310673,-0.12934602766211264,-0.0766203554449642,-0.14669917418679307,-0.1452092753145648,0.0022870101964501126,-0.15176210838811396,0.1197381763628457,-0.1336429154187519,0.12043771676524319,-0.04333253350811632,-0.15243845811007548,-0.13967402342438498,0.11723701236956849,-0.1357965439142424,-0.14677674612855507,-0.12059635657293905,-0.14878552357546568,0.11365588226683188,0.0380564559134903,-0.1464841891709803,-0.027009861194358994,-0.08035454804406927,1.0198329916617688,-0.10537310651613538,-0.15235093382624001,-0.029377083319950374,-0.10401845946586499,-0.1388882318320146,-0.1315643015558301,-0.02582367507646803,0.10871548713954612,-0.14705328773474513,-0.1162321549424454,-0.10625617005975942,0.08388054653877638,-0.14177525196391896,-0.14013056881906483,-0.08595072090172966,-0.13709444692004524,-0.14791205409078992,-0.10042681420636193,0.007179341759793523,-0.15490762114655332,0.04598937025176014,-0.08714897099513892,1.4895992755132357,0.10946401471578954,0.08047150132872793,-0.01774376516627925,-0.05692976087495598,-0.007743366578802436,-0.09792686543180679,-0.037803076870521035,0.14100982803349818,-0.14173022329134197,0.04442097122738517,-0.0513344396566568,-0.11170813437583832,-0.1418276535535263,-0.1250581281907803;0.158989656723384,0.14278515629393757,0.24236883045106047,-0.32951139231683824,-0.05042647226903803,0.07060542124477985,-0.19730759894248626,-0.2886979796071057,0.04497088045268233,-0.29220914963166955,-0.033679061991827186,0.2690297580450153,0.0739514562932347,-0.2691080478918084,0.22153481535329625,0.08733030539889053,-0.36544721982996053,-0.266830852695229,0.11382823666971607,0.8589431121863902,-0.19232449210073665,0.14174694943461855,-0.18766069911536934,-0.23441033414921267,-0.24781807301174627,-0.3206904467537408,-0.1001337059043231,0.2400049585421961,-0.2687172725625014,0.24098018911959718,0.0659138207231315,-0.05467869605502858,-0.329824033913523,0.23243854135477718,-0.2988367272029466,-0.3520072608783403,0.03565260109906044,-0.317845395910189,-0.16326466270005635,-0.35603954095461177,0.15926651360032965,0.009559124295855885,0.2472281727649483,0.24264018416605274,-0.151462295311612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k{180}	=[0.702461405709353;0.776443382913503;-0.9535173944655099];
x_a_linear{180}	=[-15.220493571393128,-16.68634124103332,34.63051397797509];
L_a{180}	=[0.09691951643035288,0.08962238840246768,0.13182404181537685,-0.1586881194247176,3.8660659661906384E-4,0.05861763375630145,-0.0777244990741146,-0.13174230676969678,0.04624508373162155,-0.13485086102509117,0.008292319891559322,0.14221351223058165,0.05951124736702047,-0.12003825483184057,0.12323268216867297,0.06465727537428037,-0.18216804702383693,-0.11860217444606258,0.0773155358421968,-0.16384888873030293,-0.07629582918310396,0.0892784288427387,-0.07227425956105238,-0.09873257981154668,-0.10752700621612644,-0.15223526233874088,-0.02478629825540675,0.1306155926877738,-0.12192767118790347,0.1314277305502725,0.056024687037645855,-0.0017024863072294207,-0.15865391873118592,0.12736783113611772,-0.13889578813755785,-0.17447569844088193,0.041566041324466486,-0.15118055883710893,-0.058446502679488616,-0.1763702397538628,0.09740044842831452,0.028169596780864208,0.1333771903380272,0.13178269934919473,-0.05372171658717233,0.1456435772497971,-0.15213253736543406,0.10714543696209297,-0.1528396897125974,-0.012912361724299031,0.14867985067815764,0.11930399883962989,-0.15044977030481588,0.11177645993600481,0.13793137192932553,0.34519236959101957,0.13791691372952478,-0.14756007194074858,-0.08784638105198914,0.13373497859588632,-0.02845083684381396,0.028058799238348163,-0.6753744687741708,0.060294757298854765,0.1489684377385317,-0.025583403371197744,0.05842871640612886,0.11802970496651692,0.10603883645348007,-0.028902720798831764,-0.14435457451018008,0.1359809000495707,0.07728138657641691,0.06309328371834559,-0.125182958899673,0.12130010337958894,0.11938625025618332,0.03561933114373346,0.11203052372815896,0.13891685843812188,0.055155636689813874,-0.06020999581139897,0.15495170050976587,-0.09399272361914471,0.03789511038685461,-0.12053824119453943,-0.14475604109713944,-0.1228062734960879,-0.03508520777428231,0.001957038205506711,-0.044036977207327035,0.05198684232798452,-0.016801641294756125,-0.16835527323290894,0.12620198782049455,-0.09294116077037164,-0.0029051572976624765,0.07085348608073108,0.12278943317813845,0.0905152632622914;0.10378810521862694,0.09070411265748939,0.1699040954250882,-0.25171866424847505,-0.05415060504746101,0.03685757999103953,-0.15928132703238068,-0.22293491395420478,0.017124003418639268,-0.22616140221127728,-0.041934234809947936,0.19081877649721862,0.03857888753491954,-0.21019182691716387,0.1529467183987543,0.04916758889162193,-0.27607424199095965,-0.20818369202793383,0.0684041628187245,1.2178881883941006,-0.15415292745471604,0.09048507106214862,-0.15206153884048645,-0.1859238068850771,-0.1945713321050886,-0.24609950946185888,-0.09027383476166391,0.16741238326227645,-0.20836507385247985,0.16864433772147663,0.03188437518253672,-0.05741192807569932,-0.25142147287940575,0.16247843244697402,-0.23101474186960377,-0.2678961275019126,0.009515543790479596,-0.24340075829146338,-0.13495610511908154,-0.2703974759401185,0.10390468507726842,-0.009160927559953985,0.17270720649756105,0.17037868188608835,-0.126363616014613,0.197019326888654,-0.2445827620305194,0.12294470754865473,-0.2455766818909111,-0.07425454284114447,0.20361412378526228,0.1460304390400038,-0.2430541025209568,0.1318812683367627,0.18353580715824563,0.7060565750977035,0.18149240579057435,-0.2397150981284548,-0.17231455697801962,0.1737790085763549,-0.09514279157543028,-0.013160453698879766,-0.5975268742273273,0.03901837567253906,0.20439274486183195,-0.09064319828063128,0.03590430234982818,0.14376460244236847,0.12237327860872686,-0.09503875914660574,-0.2369790957398231,0.17858835321569452,0.06883823016675501,0.04483711168424934,-0.21590261521600287,0.14870940211314407,0.14577086606017936,-6.509660172273047E-4,0.13119178717662328,0.18476050301817962,0.031657706728488506,-0.13700915699624927,0.21616453680847533,-0.17910065890366936,0.0036007293368548513,1.2009390986386839,-0.23719198434862138,-0.21362006892633206,-0.10176442268906007,-0.05224312376333504,-0.11320136483490628,0.026569153033619855,-0.0780389779411165,-0.26216067178109814,0.160493268317346,-0.17815081711987116,-0.05829159459007037,0.057968970761555105,0.15222358817915124,0.09170421746988608;-0.1260413381319236,-0.12078568545722987,-0.14531302319794534,0.13717513499212133,-0.05156344516067574,-0.10178341313027628,0.03127269233089423,0.09874349911801712,-0.09103147189771635,0.10437428877928712,-0.058065978842037375,-0.1492065308460778,-0.10106540993609205,0.08391293751520522,-0.14088067422940245,-0.10282053525050691,0.1702915207916489,0.08196675814155908,-0.11354933299354857,1.3408069666588296,0.032054218156222516,-0.12081234026686305,0.02489096089957818,0.055952706080554984,0.06840853112757218,0.12701884725260768,-0.02723958188549501,-0.14412296221734663,0.08986030498920729,-0.14553615113927315,-0.09884940624027039,-0.049671847241190115,0.1367619124385657,-0.14213802442264906,0.10964245358732778,0.1611090209225107,-0.0865891366568567,0.1267621163351712,0.008620891604368037,0.16264840499730246,-0.1271788560979979,-0.0732849559353166,-0.14502134160786262,-0.14492008525823094,0.0065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x_a{180}	=[-15.220493571393124,-16.686341241033308,34.63051397797507];
std_x_a{180}	=[1.3135485710833386,2.498222363340153,2.452229402644291];
pred_a{180}	=[-15.220493571393124];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.0 to 18.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{181}	=[-10.397924547009925,-1.6262800889511286,37.43111932827073];
std_x_f{181}	=[1.2302437891589135,2.6088123040663005,1.589007748190384];
pred_f{181}	=[-10.397924547009925];
obs{181}	=[-10.426435440348403];
sqrt_r{181}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{181}	=[2.5137513528932387];
L_f{181}	=[-0.015861025476223357,-0.018345001679678646,6.733517156287796E-4,-0.023318213896732973,-0.0406326365488739,-0.029777207473009507,-0.03980675958030034,-0.030905633260717196,-0.03222515921706922,-0.029791599569875853,-0.03920791806095223,0.007437877745091353,-0.02894745796917124,-0.03406392966048044,-0.0036362284097175394,-0.026280410885075538,-0.016740706004376358,-0.033214835752256484,-0.023338449412673223,0.8166423041355032,-0.037877027348482556,-0.01832263493447078,-0.03966107244538617,-0.03788286170159223,-0.03519827124177463,-0.02609853693207355,-0.04206056385741236,2.620086417813189E-4,-0.030768067944132595,8.236807291633322E-4,-0.03038219619189257,-0.04056369689378127,-0.023692143051306114,-0.0012835548866055773,-0.02904123913175675,-0.0181549702092424,-0.03330355071868266,-0.02596912755930165,-0.04183000702015617,-0.01813205722521227,-0.016372761080483217,-0.03430876863899773,0.0020750236914682282,0.0011578759159832273,-0.03967912910649975,0.009026064009200946,-0.02572041068179387,-0.010946629389307308,-0.025468542031979152,-0.041448587846753926,0.011009266742474053,-0.005141155925301315,-0.025901364070364048,-0.008507343243460082,0.005627726344247728,0.22090381615770768,0.004418194190452759,-0.026423819125580728,-0.03921516204500736,0.0020497351950892755,-0.04202404279579665,-0.03690450119347355,0.35515003587900246,-0.029040500998655693,0.011289958422203903,-0.04188619083624144,-0.03000444356321227,-0.005924550395618572,-0.011196971255563765,-0.04151990608089084,-0.027827532379440967,0.0034702556793007335,-0.023520132502328397,-0.027599860299745402,-0.032349209469644216,-0.0047636108836242134,-0.005148530020186478,-0.03504141526234206,-0.009209597382902838,0.005966096241271455,-0.029474716195346324,-0.04106389636998548,0.014171820739217387,-0.03813418549428283,-0.03422520597644803,0.7732450857409452,-0.027609353892970683,-0.03311794670721196,-0.041205492446725195,-0.04043367592115157,-0.04094047094404781,-0.03103568869380928,-0.041698430681106534,-0.020689702921156145,-2.5409745117403704E-4,-0.03812857832823281,-0.04001081131616699,-0.02572266268006899,-0.0038783679231151427,-0.018367473317092615;-0.17443369655306537,-0.16524321544029547,-0.21192767709084837,0.2351593128108574,-0.04288516136503795,-0.12732805824167862,0.08566324245112546,0.18269693011718566,-0.11001296696886564,0.19013285025471452,-0.05381701988165113,-0.2210904904140565,-0.12788940910262028,0.16263145030120751,-0.2036423356044012,-0.13285624665228676,0.27999830791855745,0.15944984250321323,-0.150657603473286,1.0728292783064852,0.0844760204646721,-0.1645891768631836,0.07661649811806286,0.12323606945114189,0.1402576127241512,0.22255970104786915,-0.003000310322918279,-0.21008700660321564,0.16705414777837302,-0.2118537868912113,-0.12339933304496664,-0.039249047169456146,0.23501628238588476,-0.2069412694611528,0.19701512071391725,0.2663752752549915,-0.10305256845001345,0.22173823351938476,0.053615074677363525,0.26940463318719315,-0.17526668941644064,-0.08286185679598726,-0.21360412836862766,-0.21198628246126555,0.04671059071331453,-0.22537152605387636,0.22252914081689595,-0.1856940583190873,0.22396498429864023,-0.022357121873450132,-0.2268134001113027,-0.19876583583447627,0.219619255442123,-0.1906597922702242,-0.21791262670610173,-0.2572186499750338,-0.21792076736904278,0.21417671842961566,0.1040542790840243,-0.21369629404160817,0.002517233297381559,-0.08482560984664211,1.3963999135251501,-0.12959366516333043,-0.22646724993942008,-0.0018446138324439403,-0.12760378425956206,-0.19779809335880727,-0.18387797578498405,0.0029594729320682766,0.20756683119782746,-0.21601275629230984,-0.15120680526820068,-0.1320292853908139,0.17260319225438817,-0.2009195570544064,-0.19897096030010897,-0.09575744097378913,-0.1907017395950117,-0.21852454640097063,-0.12139116377530841,0.05602701532393013,-0.2337681106337674,0.11523194101267795,-0.09819662660877719,0.970608731690865,0.20884193197886688,0.16760322197804103,0.013920669655175615,-0.04569645476616764,0.029747162324868345,-0.11839552898745473,-0.0161560036782484,0.2542710205298703,-0.20477463067673563,0.11295621780090198,-0.037870372062097535,-0.14294359740410464,-0.20260234654012135,-0.16622108048865708;-0.09806478304965667,-0.08608461898395244,-0.15886901176526871,0.1944190514671605,0.042355998179196705,-0.03723650216354828,0.12815050900123234,0.17460066377114405,-0.01987064489351978,0.17650499227111197,0.032278798744873154,-0.17789802442998323,-0.03889849021961554,0.1656920762168744,-0.14263089613134933,-0.047302006543968475,0.20975875659097032,0.1642974774052006,-0.06565542004625465,-0.367673571006181,0.12389484925071474,-0.08549636525194265,0.122598261272571,0.14801324364308677,0.15495330060338303,0.19053993636994326,0.07343584216136605,-0.15620194005896476,0.16422835721522222,-0.15738611686311382,-0.033160172130528014,0.04525446286147077,0.19376462864672894,-0.15119755759126158,0.18045044404745517,0.20474409357625467,-0.012583224861537168,0.1882339250661203,0.10864477795665961,0.2061444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k{181}	=[0.6021881802871888;0.7913417649535986;-0.3285643189819197];
x_a_linear{181}	=[-10.415093469987784,-1.6488419496060034,37.44048699052406];
L_a{181}	=[0.022128642542695236,0.025594182748354184,-9.394322859512596E-4,0.032532601427847606,0.05668896321395809,0.041543920415339636,0.05553673404383251,0.04311825310458318,0.044959200794736746,0.04156399966982881,0.05470125528230835,-0.010377017434599537,0.04038628844520368,0.047524576780124075,0.005073114522314724,0.03666533536704612,0.02335593619961844,0.04633995630218374,0.03256083317740117,-1.1393453506866427,0.05284445195746783,0.025562977596436255,0.05533347741730389,0.05285259180407632,0.04910716293833965,0.03641159239816665,0.0586811479585681,-3.6554355112581086E-4,0.04292632770092389,-0.0011491650683169933,0.042387975493783044,0.05659278147672761,0.03305429181982411,0.001790762350908663,0.040517128019681665,0.02532905875069952,0.046463727730656344,0.03623104582783075,0.0583594846559611,0.02529709150911418,0.022842594757198062,0.04786616593173676,-0.0028949866832353533,-0.0016154202823769614,0.05535866931929629,-0.012592788803378904,0.03588404639296084,0.015272281679798463,0.03553264973655834,0.05782734450147969,-0.015359670707709959,0.007172726750725865,0.03613650502866276,0.01186909118232916,-0.007851569546158949,-0.3081958093692627,-0.006164080630934086,0.03686541257495256,0.05471136178733755,-0.002859705225699595,0.058630195293560054,0.05148762394657561,-0.49549054723938885,0.04051609820710332,-0.015751280055716074,0.058437869977559544,0.04186095074988111,0.008265686107582187,0.015621548231331632,0.05792684473318658,0.03882381487836485,-0.004841556277311329,0.03281430986168365,0.03850617626943074,0.04513227054364282,0.006645991623570121,0.007183014780969203,0.04888832400483244,0.012848846926946824,-0.008323649142126514,0.04112189717568677,0.057290638965548826,-0.019771934405338764,0.05320322829849865,0.04774958278317222,-1.0787993579549604,0.03851942133553592,0.04620478073946188,0.05748818791799966,0.05641138162772737,0.05711844094875929,0.04329970103138621,0.05817591482447232,0.028865412324262495,3.54506187287145E-4,0.0531954054138193,0.055821418532233345,0.0358871882872168,0.0054109374925552164,0.025625534241510595;-0.12451107780330063,-0.10750227515927185,-0.21404705335906138,0.3085534514204406,0.0850061673682791,-0.03360422062877378,0.2109551212877064,0.27997249081833553,-0.008584194903915347,0.28390198702976716,0.0695900037224128,-0.24450122987300227,-0.036777210201223015,0.2698477570972735,-0.19219729727081286,-0.05013858535292423,0.3326897234081299,0.2639936240248864,-0.07719977352489145,-1.497554488203546,0.2036940621056321,-0.10691863597060852,0.20144982632032576,0.24247247473361852,0.25104426258409135,0.3047049136092955,0.12938542331085248,-0.21091167948154863,0.2638967212894234,-0.21444632411871842,-0.02777129187309271,0.088425293820977,0.3095873639775699,-0.2029012771325057,0.2884224960673465,0.32351809099083456,0.0017704436581638802,0.30347612974497806,0.18527513006897073,0.3264753302464816,-0.12373338152741173,0.025125081318837974,-0.22013527080965012,-0.21563069990450176,0.17160075230317987,-0.25378108589083626,0.30348420002661886,-0.1512395139760006,0.30412728628099656,0.10810241568239916,-0.2614650956856462,-0.18258403424941125,0.3011438659108494,-0.16388290738637387,-0.23562590994450627,-0.9525139832396609,-0.23182704502196297,0.2973457575372447,0.22748410314665596,-0.2201478408748073,0.1347880167951655,0.031331403203608686,0.27856425613141617,-0.038188613085747586,-0.26200242330240986,0.12999228026574858,-0.03316472046444123,-0.17915055565025176,-0.14863547976973387,0.13364348481450242,0.2951540614061207,-0.22693539502721646,-0.07717712732474862,-0.04515865364279322,0.27442241281047786,-0.1859260794654634,-0.18276594873230115,0.014535504284795,-0.16171450798916684,-0.23730284976627908,-0.028619418241981515,0.18527573546070522,-0.2783739531005452,0.23525938858331322,0.00952729780933292,-1.4631821775692029,0.29574244483614215,0.2718420449795952,0.14361506381007397,0.08156864487629563,0.15860740061396303,-0.020710618473941133,0.11508991484555581,0.3193919140387505,-0.20397485829132075,0.23296601680187803,0.0880637601414027,-0.06198145002398039,-0.1903951734612276,-0.1084094106706957;-0.11879260503220157,-0.11005860034196029,-0.15798904883259945,0.16394587762812166,-0.010744355157290542,-0.07615054694350783,0.07612944469367612,0.13421194707396356,-0.06198377084567633,0.1375721393237835,-0.01895967553233399,-0.16817790853588216,-0.07672818518679311,0.12117597156230506,-0.14738286474002985,-0.08164629779238497,0.18788133293756237,0.12089100260416889,-0.09615503846624168,0.6995472293708476,0.0743956361459733,-0.10944111685341913,0.07076758673534671,0.09850640597252983,0.1089547930361076,0.15643332527195183,0.018469416350576234,-0.15585953669463787,0.12401941637158986,-0.15630969796761793,-0.07286484034686283,-0.00775579737854859,0.16280278924431318,-0.15287495841469884,0.14249819210902062,0.1810184529384728,-0.056105635926212864,0.15429643130834828,0.05397965303506286,0.18244878015569238,-0.11935282675528128,-0.040948716324005846,-0.1579936311134995,-0.15745962343872213,0.050216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x_a{181}	=[-10.415093469987783,-1.6488419496060034,37.44048699052407];
std_x_a{181}	=[1.7163849267803193,3.048764085532205,1.716673414601469];
pred_a{181}	=[-10.415093469987783];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.1 to 18.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{182}	=[-2.9717095152818014,2.1293814834077476,28.45214761724998];
std_x_f{182}	=[1.5266292648345914,2.1596954823923578,1.297462795792121];
pred_f{182}	=[-2.9717095152818014];
obs{182}	=[-2.9602335266112343];
sqrt_r{182}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{182}	=[3.3392165332653825];
L_f{182}	=[-0.09284191411198837,-0.08155555295975765,-0.15092374764610142,0.18689979926613826,0.04311760583790544,-0.0342059373752727,0.12465011763538048,0.16904678303490978,-0.017178011594081492,0.17111313725525526,0.03341045190314973,-0.17031210157980847,-0.03604700877224934,0.16176957705786796,-0.13665696241046804,-0.043549339483683,0.2016884817541312,0.1587168667011243,-0.06205142937582094,-0.3984198575638966,0.1198580698085608,-0.08125468927300146,0.11858181295473712,0.14494180106003302,0.15010870707847748,0.18426028058121657,0.07262448472505513,-0.14895300074413076,0.1583872180205256,-0.15143830874054262,-0.029930608042695827,0.04525157400285488,0.18708941545352875,-0.1436638429699421,0.17446465968783978,0.19608694603982613,-0.010686891268991774,0.1833298618631332,0.10792331555539332,0.19807571285040823,-0.09275845351665579,0.004763468439250808,-0.15470132731497888,-0.15206472907662658,0.09929788875244526,-0.17603601235944638,0.18340593000782185,-0.11040693093031798,0.18385133163890174,0.058557102913028354,-0.18113852326961427,-0.13027077184560262,0.1818003235887195,-0.11813702570090392,-0.1642091524257964,-0.580606996090311,-0.16272287703009583,0.17996583694313653,0.13527549107151962,-0.15536735745745064,0.0755228630449435,0.008649219934544839,0.22948099737073321,-0.03652482195766462,-0.18201845136979067,0.07237166564609308,-0.033729192067779766,-0.12806655068525405,-0.10804844012138176,0.0751194243860128,0.17855001492700187,-0.15884805842559002,-0.06217168672947504,-0.04126562534777688,0.16515270928192513,-0.13268113837456277,-0.1304059094965257,-0.0025738875041015625,-0.11729396847001236,-0.16557613336633978,-0.03065898064946134,0.10785362031466975,-0.19227980885752277,0.14005606002376225,-0.005588528016715119,-0.43140978784002815,0.1784979579456714,0.16331006191436762,0.08146808019177042,0.041459351488649106,0.09059458311141882,-0.025576348705188733,0.06303344270289603,0.1936481852309828,-0.14400063631169066,0.1380889157350169,0.04546256142145232,-0.051491884937579224,-0.13591663038365312,-0.08241793760585232;-0.16608562996851364,-0.1521607166438369,-0.2338372748466846,0.24397321850745146,0.012402141119815123,-0.09266060400388959,0.13545329033155412,0.20995460320136586,-0.07089950115114207,0.2154507718576894,-0.0013986925821551296,-0.2547625909366012,-0.09480368063600103,0.1967645623346691,-0.2174346969266034,-0.10476264479132212,0.2732621071730844,0.19264576713638548,-0.1276098247141481,0.6848399549347913,0.13026653300744243,-0.15114605020280072,0.12667069947155588,0.16713858840645102,0.17805869724203968,0.23786779023643537,0.054659394902651606,-0.23137284912314768,0.19487564228573584,-0.23288394823163647,-0.08723725229383715,0.015370042002649941,0.24471751975756115,-0.2254623658491852,0.22011980932502473,0.2638290580907501,-0.061015445647325424,0.23673704858542,0.10831221074513497,0.26641600620391015,-0.1662234783908872,-0.03913643860086282,-0.2369487562564184,-0.2345341345708308,0.09824414193783564,-0.2614268507038318,0.23613415896727968,-0.18610982463883252,0.2379262971546125,0.034813989454523984,-0.26701247119560617,-0.20987989511842872,0.23481194155535817,-0.19526230010712822,-0.248117138790842,-0.5263550208364463,-0.24648224801755295,0.2309899488434681,0.15168534375376774,-0.23781406639867447,0.059657161035902774,-0.035625166909048295,0.699269035582507,-0.09516418296267219,-0.26723075606732,0.054849176937163284,-0.09219760077441018,-0.2067863245807406,-0.18429297141073042,0.0589017376500314,0.22813379095923195,-0.24295150252518663,-0.12881661696597912,-0.10093061888814704,0.20349113539941543,-0.21290628919292134,-0.2094394395681797,-0.05043123259658145,-0.19425218990939236,-0.2495817036337956,-0.08637834664563969,0.1096464780575257,-0.2799109247728715,0.16033567465247608,-0.054843699408434775,0.5734032608075698,0.22800777301620273,0.19982237228526367,0.06832829449560768,0.01020482582019355,0.08328630608469344,-0.08140023784108365,0.039059179105052556,0.25697081366824204,-0.22376905909041486,0.1581590962703185,0.016471838059182575,-0.11505742189494467,-0.21639406976642217,-0.1531924808329051;-0.030130079357960127,-0.032666227220905036,-0.007949320657139524,-0.003935647499308362,-0.049069934373952545,-0.044386387073465455,-0.03321323722215748,-0.014953925019601267,-0.046148823597024234,-0.014661500596177254,-0.048197959663588794,0.0023419854167020682,-0.04329733934582626,-0.02110554810965979,-0.013239641667750612,-0.040941441302705515,0.0039165596119930535,-0.018668371742240408,-0.037694014175258875,0.8281672731479792,-0.032695945660994395,-0.03278623801039227,-0.03371650654509744,-0.027402060266471892,-0.023073927714927108,-0.007105642931520534,-0.04451056958761267,-0.008069228967261801,-0.0179241047627459,-0.006609425983762497,-0.04443910383416014,-0.047476930073614566,-0.005593828976807306,-0.010612293748204913,-0.011826353456139109,0.002135544869177061,-0.04619943037898369,-0.008462187363038299,-0.03992684606803808,0.0020868164897210086,-0.030248283458549383,-0.04617401047895282,-0.004650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k{182}	=[0.7005285551152594;0.6426802794971538;-0.2805059559811059];
x_a_linear{182}	=[-2.96367025751989,2.1367568750140538,28.448928534077115];
L_a{182}	=[0.08022665492766794,0.07047387235947394,0.1304163915469158,-0.16150405606338863,-0.037258832047476834,0.029558071486691265,-0.10771279405295663,-0.1460768884279479,0.014843881900576953,-0.14786246866484415,-0.028870675722802108,0.14717027685327433,0.031148980087350925,-0.13978850135254273,0.11808816170618164,0.03763190219097557,-0.1742832683205586,-0.1371505899875405,0.053619948058133915,0.3442829969075568,-0.10357188451790099,0.07021388970607437,-0.10246904406927258,-0.12524726541303005,-0.12971209781281706,-0.1592231923313579,-0.0627563480467315,0.12871342760906077,-0.13686573361422352,0.1308610346346612,0.025863669294023995,-0.039102838919087834,-0.16166790740768705,0.12414295489028421,-0.15075858984301166,-0.16944286323935256,0.009234768006320188,-0.15841919790547943,-0.09325881180420799,-0.17116139856006687,0.08015453486803907,-0.00411621348385443,0.1336806777634976,0.13140233765090534,-0.0858053986950245,0.15211642880788426,-0.15848492999268723,0.09540495619990384,-0.1588698109303825,-0.050600426907407355,0.15652561603727447,0.11256971982946863,-0.1570974916425946,0.10208469402790589,0.1418965898499082,0.5017147434911886,0.140612267952424,-0.15551227306440926,-0.11689440320322157,0.13425620844834574,-0.06526089784564057,-0.007473973255713356,-0.1982993668819845,0.031561868532325836,0.15728598045596653,-0.0625378817516209,0.029146105817538206,0.11066500586372421,0.0933669345790832,-0.06491227799668449,-0.1542888314172411,0.1372639555219411,0.05372386497223892,0.035658496669480476,-0.1427119372178003,0.11465256835341057,0.11268649512209414,0.002224150445294709,0.10135619050453601,0.14307782689417417,0.026493071416337614,-0.09319858667764618,0.16615303575240004,-0.12102539360080077,0.00482916485553929,0.3727902910285997,-0.1542438478824042,-0.14111966678774307,-0.07039828529688609,-0.03582589951121271,-0.0782846888403093,0.02210106202039119,-0.05446852647316523,-0.16733547861966236,0.12443398511589764,-0.11932554275697,-0.03928515759473987,0.044495223132511134,0.11744842519691986,0.07121907710971026;-0.007308724287234386,-0.012685583414073177,0.02427034684846175,-0.07566012903571266,-0.061336967997105786,-0.03416210206841403,-0.07772154735091835,-0.07914677285688286,-0.041521912884537854,-0.07718445345696545,-0.05853676670885385,0.03650271469140935,-0.03315660488721837,-0.07989144076793056,0.016274073932692756,-0.030285191005285563,-0.07166263237772494,-0.07878953463728382,-0.02149036300734628,1.3662118627744564,-0.07471301343080428,-0.012185449721221332,-0.07612621085839018,-0.08073879430696725,-0.07865505380136652,-0.0772514904298411,-0.06954195393460409,0.023364429575855435,-0.07599589905744318,0.026103668443586997,-0.03605035706841014,-0.06201854876589155,-0.07524010666103223,0.020229471326145707,-0.0782471414312806,-0.07151601567777327,-0.04273887796480182,-0.07679104337629103,-0.0762566906896212,-0.07233022794918882,-0.007589305818893144,-0.04728285378767552,0.027619227835666303,0.025524777150068782,-0.0715736786833504,0.03962740478243317,-0.07752402364098986,0.0027065200752305184,-0.07649360491457814,-0.06532952541286635,0.04276802503300509,0.01290730452296608,-0.07610035605683581,0.006773941461024148,0.03271099100476019,0.46659070995626595,0.03180407498122958,-0.07678503610250995,-0.07966085469861872,0.027892952860054204,-0.06950095270142272,-0.05041693839393352,0.30681393570995885,-0.032699957979089894,0.04405458053758408,-0.06891980434887687,-0.03451442180427609,0.012231247747120222,4.899162564551002E-4,-0.06956642109756876,-0.07721987554595915,0.028708161448044743,-0.02249149286325163,-0.03035874015867853,-0.07895065175540218,0.014003084605335555,0.013578870539428873,-0.04602940722081409,0.006342267312611312,0.03358421729785434,-0.033945799068132075,-0.07480323157933813,0.048923237764534125,-0.07918618403799457,-0.04528627920340921,1.3111940727379774,-0.07725686638852562,-0.07946814585403465,-0.07099724406492677,-0.06069836056801382,-0.07164724645458172,-0.03765993428447158,-0.06873970766425565,-0.07420352645450776,0.022498757212105935,-0.0779985805613124,-0.06127758035690384,-0.02699674115301629,0.01604859591269965,-0.012242509789597233;-0.0994302728393859,-0.09354191740517354,-0.12060366447216085,0.13557237939423084,-0.016885565324662916,-0.06991879989576655,0.05982962334612674,0.11122803583054783,-0.05897104444934393,0.1130628535645872,-0.02325932280613152,-0.12478444992878464,-0.07020398712702432,0.09964447192973805,-0.11524479770326577,-0.07344807024367203,0.15446333519523597,0.09980300701333022,-0.08401119863524747,0.5307738654386621,0.056769976142646617,-0.09343735385339237,0.054796776057295084,0.08078716604450924,0.08897204358244676,0.13043216224360113,0.009698683755272556,-0.11925254385191518,0.10030121360549935,-0.11964785476454408,-0.06678027321024181,-0.01369969848881303,0.1340557335431684,-0.11784761100042129,0.11839968494128689,0.14850115386933768,-0.05417647005701918,0.1283811233286527,0.04063059095468631,0.14993690506013826,-0.0994861792648359,-0.04261840428922496,-0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x_a{182}	=[-2.963670257519891,2.136756875014053,28.4489285340771];
std_x_a{182}	=[1.3191925263909352,2.0477110955724127,1.2567537316885338];
pred_a{182}	=[-2.963670257519891];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.2 to 18.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{183}	=[0.10642904248625025,1.7093816238408213,21.793700988554487];
std_x_f{183}	=[1.5056145178420368,1.6654242587234598,1.7098703290491117];
pred_f{183}	=[0.10642904248625025];
obs{183}	=[0.06478222611862094];
sqrt_r{183}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{183}	=[3.267547990249059];
L_f{183}	=[0.025940584271574238,0.017984730018631583,0.06754678787937583,-0.10152473822082095,-0.05460137538537079,-0.011663256480108419,-0.08803047387912205,-0.09915069176336609,-0.022211610458681724,-0.09896106353114105,-0.04940105985440539,0.0828154580112,-0.010158848110868588,-0.09842201174983332,0.05688155447220311,-0.006361339817046165,-0.10190364034475037,-0.09672337289090165,0.005674524729686838,0.8791265445318057,-0.08520863974701197,0.0187333985308358,-0.08566372927550267,-0.09531762510792952,-0.09493309532814395,-0.10182965714446113,-0.06861507875933484,0.06619815993363802,-0.09561575410257865,0.06863741622234541,-0.014865347790207376,-0.05587760642295235,-0.10075779910709519,0.062152352550717285,-0.10077408562362766,-0.10044254097360814,-0.025416219757342196,-0.10174174606611723,-0.08299619659325855,-0.10157540783576459,0.025459490162366347,-0.03347495078502309,0.07099480893116775,0.068843835647419,-0.07733479533022902,0.08703213664883794,-0.10178859922844939,0.03886374323237973,-0.10127341179815516,-0.06186072057373811,0.09110104697121443,0.052558272640272026,-0.10078077425533738,0.043754590922608,0.07832871223193476,0.49108835964257314,0.07672900747281516,-0.10067497835358133,-0.09204055298794252,0.07162993903201285,-0.068709221004058,-0.03691491655999811,0.13838909563770593,-0.010328524978457144,0.09185130619786266,-0.06818648746267722,-0.012507328055917807,0.051344717632025104,0.0360380658911158,-0.0691242038495206,-0.10074665171794027,0.0730780599951092,0.00525967244429351,-0.00729257791955889,-0.09823381589183335,0.05462144169422349,0.05271526851717873,-0.030016817208827738,0.04345647971655482,0.07841112638928659,-0.013734177328901136,-0.0819595510365195,0.09916561611215906,-0.09298347604740788,-0.028992694649307444,0.8609562375760451,-0.10063328038844833,-0.09860883860410186,-0.07246100506731669,-0.053807529429717005,-0.07507613070986002,-0.016932571877576776,-0.06525608193801276,-0.10209379308294501,0.06408181912252318,-0.09154337328112973,-0.05535982396146029,-0.00151209961799219,0.056647253821411905,0.018896151668183966;0.0033824218134638766,-0.003868541355142318,0.04850552584543774,-0.0724126856753011,-0.06835408269074704,-0.03342504833471869,-0.08278714408735181,-0.07831962725614516,-0.04280200667057532,-0.07714426312606669,-0.06409564603245553,0.0653870388626119,-0.031496815371630286,-0.08180587921228402,0.037093659292029686,-0.027954492393816584,-0.06560014476188591,-0.08007363067388577,-0.016424522234842167,1.0183743403910122,-0.08053737229278449,-0.003481006994192008,-0.08201078242019405,-0.08561165728312399,-0.08203434548130303,-0.07480502887831557,-0.07675265532788943,0.04721537084549554,-0.07786351195982091,0.05011120092252669,-0.03565159435983496,-0.06917189419139556,-0.07219784844807105,0.042368555255620895,-0.07761309022029479,-0.06615112256973943,-0.044854148579274424,-0.07549316484895116,-0.08369077597682438,-0.06687622713622343,0.0033089026963413577,-0.050856961526574734,0.05281066605441461,0.04958681942392525,-0.0789018595276469,0.07011495728310095,-0.0752027406360841,0.018592906235295883,-0.07398693809794078,-0.07301067540911456,0.07394926512787207,0.03221200761342336,-0.07380925696972834,0.023316528928834918,0.06095271843363551,0.529872924580911,0.0584543457934037,-0.07450717978783979,-0.08489336570379295,0.053381878501656065,-0.07574910444278965,-0.05481506323549967,0.33982081031664196,-0.03146618424791882,0.07568407145135687,-0.07679652367659866,-0.03393934165609454,0.03097786529340828,0.0148913124109595,-0.07716287019716346,-0.07574723556501595,0.054976224745219036,-0.016958680075100072,-0.02834127753758944,-0.07963006867070982,0.03388498258310922,0.032774355325018975,-0.04898623323880196,0.0227037643453467,0.060658927252216464,-0.03353857182862297,-0.08177752157743197,0.08330598412752983,-0.083636421258089,-0.047797955510286594,0.9889077155850953,-0.07587792680978957,-0.08098653088225678,-0.07928496015212402,-0.06766672382667505,-0.07926715411087003,-0.03743032872633774,-0.07644653753554709,-0.07016896641175292,0.044594229426973046,-0.08303755684694696,-0.06820667860645553,-0.023664473613477118,0.03613974104238794,-0.0034013930625244873;-0.08763937318600908,-0.08376772367328866,-0.09637282604693354,0.0763487680078072,-0.031886602736972004,-0.06876908874602507,0.023070056111485444,0.05988257201420647,-0.06101638668260168,0.06086779276359419,-0.036523972166391715,-0.09672209270074526,-0.06897445946494438,0.05075146953145309,-0.09459252943780637,-0.07062512998334744,0.08872509072430744,0.05165461699570472,-0.07793890393116426,1.1051390987680265,0.02082449814249487,-0.08410837446772414,0.019964954607747526,0.03893679099193664,0.044228695881277806,0.07273280247697017,-0.012157467950168647,-0.0951983429401167,0.05147027008505034,-0.09607927795841371,-0.06648724059553095,-0.029590954043771635,0.07502788898122491,-0.09540425026149063,0.06488119205113103,0.08435654577942459,-0.05770231844015403,0.07152044853699849,0.009685625959014977,0.08614778161882032,-0.086454750344537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k{183}	=[0.6939601184177929;0.7538758015661989;0.5207836872362607];
x_a_linear{183}	=[0.07752781286804614,1.6779850967689944,21.772012005964903];
L_a{183}	=[-0.023040799682073444,-0.015974295619452943,-0.05999602755291975,0.0901757312646269,0.0484977261672016,0.010359471991280495,0.07818993178150803,0.08806706908919183,0.01972867156101554,0.08789863856862129,0.04387873119090701,-0.07355787975470403,0.009023234861352966,0.08741984503099899,-0.050523013995299196,0.005650233429582884,0.09051227757542593,0.0859110895892907,-0.0050401944003611475,-0.7808528287447672,0.0756835381593247,-0.01663927374937424,0.07608775521756786,0.08466248420970905,0.08432093933411665,0.09044656463388759,0.06094489886243356,-0.05879815683350645,0.08492728666647761,-0.06096473931803942,0.013203615502748848,0.04963129291254211,0.08949452492390955,-0.05520461258306805,0.08950899084190962,0.08921450811990186,0.022575051586104494,0.09036848075093616,0.07371841436026397,0.09022073674467523,-0.02261348498158566,0.0297329322782511,-0.06305860939464664,-0.061148084017365274,0.0686898764115548,-0.0773031943087774,0.09041009640293775,-0.03451933515984979,0.089952499524785,0.054945580870747364,-0.0809172589219994,-0.04668301295230689,0.08951493178070102,-0.03886345635335595,-0.0695726876849278,-0.4361917373280464,-0.06815180693222543,0.0894209623406133,0.08175174166552242,-0.06362274107620115,0.06102851735689673,0.032788359307365615,-0.12291918321461097,0.009173944293178452,-0.08158364994734613,0.0605642179144494,0.011109188493112165,-0.045605115956793556,-0.03200952794407399,0.061397111082994116,0.089484623652689,-0.06490898292321609,-0.0046717166395934245,0.006477372492900747,0.08725268676579659,-0.048515549351050964,-0.04682245894599964,0.026661368347045623,-0.03859866969667387,-0.06964588912367058,0.012198893645585615,0.07279765088153616,-0.08808032511023285,0.0825892594755031,0.025751727974385907,-0.7647137010232596,0.08938392560883741,0.08758578732741638,0.06436090587008325,0.04779262078286822,0.0666836980417045,0.01503975364044034,0.05796138962137108,0.09068117396973491,-0.05691839251604177,0.081310139506113,0.04917139109039223,0.0013430686075824227,-0.050314904790674485,-0.016783833424515397;-0.04982795600200445,-0.04075954848057669,-0.09004918308690532,0.1358389721050564,0.04364647146344337,-0.009500903937348985,0.09778453176019986,0.12506229021188361,0.002759348926629859,0.12584868122649384,0.03723781013869013,-0.10448738507493285,-0.010658574394089357,0.1200813402789861,-0.07958409061947583,-0.014905854339486815,0.1434287324117704,0.11832927194504474,-0.028064337345742412,-0.7849256582680277,0.0942460430155975,-0.04190771331498291,0.09370613097355646,0.10990771850918955,0.11269626724193395,0.13407209095640876,0.06399337515466738,-0.088572977785401,0.11826739810932105,-0.0906806490694823,-0.005159190488190445,0.045446516792024244,0.13448063273859143,-0.08512086929708039,0.12909879852916287,0.1398806883562757,0.007280631492395707,0.13320362821888668,0.08655438626547408,0.1414793662119179,-0.048914635383840076,0.01780821424501129,-0.09281676340576112,-0.09162844645886063,0.07973040699044558,-0.10840888877563301,0.1335901595372624,-0.061125979009102646,0.13374918873812283,0.05388054181272341,-0.11292089469481832,-0.07559765138418985,0.13291635177217878,-0.066434661321127,-0.09971831071614111,-0.4774674222590914,-0.09893530411931269,0.13200141611253563,0.10390394693807235,-0.09354835556284687,0.06519003442767668,0.020906309753636367,0.055951488510636506,-0.010279895202670017,-0.11272505050462824,0.06307036296768469,-0.008283803432667934,-0.07434250048657182,-0.05903142894788968,0.06462749830494215,0.13090837964521465,-0.09492445373033347,-0.02774753336446672,-0.01338244614481751,0.12187111584915607,-0.07815673239707632,-0.07535733997826177,0.012585478785040242,-0.0664359281164758,-0.10018115315732079,-0.00536647065292653,0.08634123128420927,-0.1201065467696186,0.10709505337950476,0.011673034812343231,-0.7771206130137397,0.13054513653450955,0.12128391542447851,0.06934999024664339,0.042705461329138335,0.07473204799548655,-0.002697551023225563,0.05740938252881999,0.139249959765274,-0.0868529951580356,0.10473992062988383,0.045349636006513414,-0.020562793592485567,-0.08005740187813827,-0.04216194521493922;-0.12439754568657674,-0.10925233888010236,-0.19208757382345634,0.22021074896886472,0.04548431359134804,-0.052242090389862945,0.1478104748421973,0.20038049577848335,-0.029542222484599825,0.2010970106576352,0.0334780239655524,-0.21407276065100453,-0.05457922891203935,0.19021684347515752,-0.17519449157945555,-0.06161102205571876,0.23312398132033743,0.18871299580240303,-0.08597978522700794,-0.14059557071430748,0.1415663382479075,-0.11065386347866049,0.1413516629711893,0.17400320543276648,0.17875022621969136,0.21702685783837675,0.08507106301778881,-0.18900206596293523,0.18695913750141882,-0.1933394614254035,-0.04542283384844983,0.04958839960187638,0.2178031064390152,-0.18347500736000555,0.2076794877317507,0.2266850380311982,-0.021687177826051545,0.21568993266482606,0.1272924030202815,0.23008156213640055,-0.12253120573071273,-0.003008859459198446,-0.19634588970712508,-0.19356619855746582,0.1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x_a{183}	=[0.07752781286804634,1.677985096768995,21.772012005964903];
std_x_a{183}	=[1.337308448446706,1.4853713338407541,1.6267490150318589];
pred_a{183}	=[0.07752781286804634];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.3 to 18.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{184}	=[1.1558481698881906,2.0377269173154247,17.048345630308216];
std_x_f{184}	=[1.7726376416105643,2.4877027990537903,1.5349436668792602];
pred_f{184}	=[1.1558481698881906];
obs{184}	=[1.1829445549232156];
sqrt_r{184}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{184}	=[4.144060403132135];
L_f{184}	=[-0.04261683561073872,-0.031449917225661664,-0.09424078305153134,0.13759584920629941,0.06026903772668142,0.004658713518055375,0.10966417714375935,0.13019695168420561,0.018491127850201235,0.130965598040023,0.05442802609321506,-0.11291739029666842,0.003512103413365465,0.12724480069295593,-0.08032455767523801,-0.001376976657502005,0.14200635733949615,0.12519945326227383,-0.016280481088527986,-0.9736189726215547,0.10620972195419705,-0.03339528411946907,0.10615641816101232,0.11977937438435925,0.1212581217675687,0.1366001101135639,0.08037461467677003,-0.09165242722559369,0.12499643492224685,-0.09404755190504312,0.009022741339380275,0.06287589301182239,0.13687878991599242,-0.08746547812684163,0.13421424892259454,0.1390580223692363,0.023541880076730647,0.1361113906307367,0.10052078707547814,0.1406905387010232,-0.04154008603053966,0.03392886328863051,-0.09808679603648034,-0.09579303066537415,0.09363387417732225,-0.11805160152093738,0.13620599531191352,-0.057217529573406437,0.13622667180212705,0.07142808371507899,-0.12335327741514475,-0.07553125469253966,0.13566706367216616,-0.06387860391243991,-0.1068325924537696,-0.6391722828781444,-0.10561860242777268,0.13530202471005565,0.11526526770915899,-0.0982751589921327,0.08107446304054655,0.03748686866313504,-0.028027318725768684,0.0032421093679737864,-0.12402317160298988,0.07931661763104252,0.005805776139599515,-0.07402510342937194,-0.05434412544580753,0.08090214542504956,0.13482109965697997,-0.09998030200708402,-0.016269855916788426,7.536466405265041E-5,0.12812025469958194,-0.07792030961294043,-0.07524602866906228,0.028921466476652776,-0.06383512718322937,-0.10769658424349296,0.008869945116659209,0.10041822106145475,-0.13380446802864807,0.11767854495187312,0.027927343813614988,-0.9670627151809801,0.1341400303466302,0.12795871870545303,0.08509805653261066,0.05999601282437846,0.08992001472995408,0.012161522580353582,0.07449993877209314,0.13967700434985145,-0.08984140748523067,0.11522446041356264,0.062498639578529205,-0.007907794344315338,-0.08036483405944195,-0.032927129783127396;-0.06048007303858987,-0.043980767544040365,-0.13852191148125514,0.19423001138164045,0.08843172864142841,0.009124857957169531,0.1554844593754973,0.18408659556250836,0.028872727779683527,0.18483517984105713,0.07928750383951112,-0.1673200716534635,0.007096299293238232,0.17961285946532965,-0.11771384030365944,1.4026383382108087E-4,0.20113455442889025,0.17704616321166802,-0.022065216762807555,-1.309402844131144,0.1513711242455701,-0.047053745444627315,0.15045519803944502,0.16867634345441626,0.17137635432136808,0.19246654827844256,0.11538248140686203,-0.1354573494655674,0.17693949851761004,-0.13944248254099068,0.015737567235901053,0.09147158895705441,0.19329765628879575,-0.1283645902126909,0.189964101135964,0.1975056836187019,0.035528229087643845,0.19185740398168172,0.14309187842981763,0.19895423832504625,-0.0589240496696385,0.05114420228647282,-0.14454672951796269,-0.14209498106661606,0.13464485150109115,-0.17575795907641317,0.19200332748845125,-0.0822615083873961,0.1927425281513466,0.1028474585052865,-0.18482316279225386,-0.10954548693664246,0.1911459683223147,-0.09296987999019622,-0.15813301452832557,-0.9985684173536746,-0.15619626860050015,0.19145890644538802,0.1629437309917838,-0.14534768001128648,0.11677655270859838,0.056464272259712955,0.011489286534538273,0.007844318689048481,-0.1848443867080898,0.11409956770114812,0.01104537214838679,-0.10768062360230031,-0.07805089765485164,0.11633105176211962,0.1902055301416082,-0.14796409802858507,-0.02178748874144796,0.002325364361355967,0.1809521439566721,-0.1144817461158288,-0.11009666824508982,0.04318045468393907,-0.09235138657000726,-0.15903318085770168,0.014435824535074674,0.14301270686115916,-0.20015699878916768,0.16667789603649072,0.04194651682132701,-1.3139026001771237,0.18892210136639537,0.18057771748501775,0.12157862704590974,0.08795183111852542,0.12859229785988044,0.019858193085350206,0.10732909037180895,0.19735994797416578,-0.13200185201319287,0.16327731741443566,0.09087716956688008,-0.009598535662540951,-0.11788692734554673,-0.04669180509623223;-0.12890982418208966,-0.11558469978811113,-0.18476121514735075,0.1865734783855124,0.023971290971720613,-0.0650079840212565,0.1196442981745781,0.16848659910424882,-0.04515399480303607,0.16902482577794775,0.01284199446360636,-0.20269240837236344,-0.06716177033845963,0.159239484113874,-0.17139895831569357,-0.0737746643662367,0.19811722029686174,0.15705628702597096,-0.09490606514801755,0.45938993400327094,0.11361806677098195,-0.11656918220250202,0.11281336578781767,0.14371105003133022,0.14792090249831918,0.18389889332104506,0.06063407564608131,-0.18257414518792925,0.15563113476546106,-0.185434000444033,-0.060100976070654274,0.027512562286823868,0.18450528396866747,-0.17795372932497122,0.17561900815879736,0.19300736231414617,-0.0378320508611824,0.18252444737977414,0.10004978133563863,0.1957421432119606,-0.12724573611236586,-0.020746253921933237,-0.18836037958159116,-0.18628366558474926,0.08902756328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k{184}	=[0.7586907760214624;1.0630540908441464;0.10916705789570016];
x_a_linear{184}	=[1.1764059472777901,2.066531840273996,17.0513036629421];
L_a{184}	=[0.02910467078509766,0.021478354128217293,0.06436064353293941,-0.09396948025714444,-0.04116003631972348,-0.0031816140565564775,-0.07489387062523906,-0.08891648949733884,-0.012628300079362132,-0.0894414275603282,-0.03717098555591852,0.07711561460158706,-0.0023985500599548867,-0.08690035241261912,0.05485671973512968,9.403901467818175E-4,-0.09698158534125224,-0.08550350624236629,0.011118564659109003,0.664921720774945,-0.07253469074730495,0.02280691975701325,-0.0724982875435003,-0.08180192659408256,-0.08281181987090264,-0.09328945185835334,-0.0548909055804465,0.0625929561129558,-0.08536485723511034,0.06422867857534983,-0.006161975953831286,-0.042940357729586716,-0.09347977297881903,0.05973352806376412,-0.09166005578736444,-0.09496805436355614,-0.016077652399016786,-0.0929556865881236,-0.06864949902928684,-0.09608296235020115,0.02836931721882325,-0.023171321426768414,0.06698723323998791,0.06542073293494231,-0.06394616219646117,0.0806219642702575,-0.09302029575163649,0.039076044420129484,-0.09303441651945138,-0.04878097661511793,0.08424268198190547,0.051583189373586226,-0.09265223867452775,0.04362514744324971,0.07296007288964379,0.43651525509885764,0.07213099256172459,-0.09240293957327568,-0.07871907009411741,0.06711587352343003,-0.05536885885725121,-0.025601219695669187,0.01914093040490672,-0.0022141607759442006,0.08470017840365238,-0.05416835883885441,-0.0039649870942656444,0.05055458093659544,0.037113686587413444,-0.055251176551710864,-0.09207449741792859,0.06828038105620333,0.011111308322004567,-5.146941823920752E-5,-0.08749823351489236,0.05321476656483724,0.051388397587812315,-0.019751578181771645,0.04359545551816072,0.07355012600458212,-0.006057625555783823,-0.06857945276636973,0.09138020070564837,-0.08036718963785618,-0.01907265370478802,0.660444201230013,-0.09160936907661699,-0.08738791439190506,-0.05811672510028325,-0.0409735771473381,-0.061409825206425774,-0.008305569990690069,-0.05087886419528833,-0.0953907808872299,0.061356141305539846,-0.07869120122757808,-0.042682716897713836,0.005400535908620077,0.054884226021926344,0.022487199213698086;0.04001388732747318,0.030180692120863207,0.08370551064252403,-0.13023217870148063,-0.05368755829783225,-0.0018607669708887713,-0.10311257894343569,-0.12292839311107183,-0.014730853825368232,-0.12399233938083928,-0.049058203171084565,0.09894830755612032,-0.0011855258626242095,-0.12044071735169977,0.07169799189260218,0.003387286651468525,-0.1337279721217276,-0.11818431820918397,0.01632548019543181,0.9864697856429633,-0.09908002811230539,0.031695047388542855,-0.09987025964394527,-0.11377315167000535,-0.1145601472593052,-0.12964760813473902,-0.074147389265413,0.0806665193545143,-0.11781224916518124,0.08232928484215844,-0.00553878980841308,-0.056794874513515975,-0.12947364973717918,0.07788611250402383,-0.1265240007725091,-0.13040442956285514,-0.01998543656747195,-0.1291043121896676,-0.09394430334110404,-0.13280548098499115,0.039030847716125874,-0.028862813573100627,0.08674990365675211,0.08379276702806938,-0.08615143019481412,0.10261730727972973,-0.12918147420636258,0.05266207443593861,-0.12849103038705395,-0.06558576538424661,0.10605388600622336,0.06856334744050287,-0.1287679887856445,0.057661057239657316,0.09378691706667948,0.508651749092861,0.09286097589423184,-0.12759425913582612,-0.1088611338872274,0.08639312831459783,-0.07440361725792752,-0.0319328093089531,0.07757998090051522,1.9916142529557634E-4,0.10761232700445275,-0.0729354599904819,-0.002645119623370451,0.06687658374348619,0.050096964813454145,-0.07444277926877316,-0.12771357509631193,0.08779757604453951,0.01657815319868934,0.002147648361240762,-0.12116582452584317,0.06926067383946757,0.06733957999824416,-0.025018712715078027,0.05817702900051816,0.09492411356419497,-0.0064802266036,-0.09378161591670373,0.1153648064826626,-0.11081767262439676,-0.023908428580288944,0.9665098419518743,-0.12739098711077781,-0.12115933600089944,-0.07908950323315415,-0.05352364092181613,-0.08344640156225104,-0.00881966510534735,-0.06834781728555604,-0.132009775000934,0.07985148514018935,-0.10843132054656203,-0.056499699661649375,0.009048685794238266,0.07161987983653649,0.030953041781136857;-0.11858990717698316,-0.10796891764626433,-0.16194025611436844,0.15325383548602226,0.009376789563919033,-0.0661361188573578,0.09308847369023553,0.1369586426888212,-0.04963172999876712,0.1373107371336803,-3.3807167655057295E-4,-0.17534879921896224,-0.06801224680438858,0.12842640839710961,-0.15194789497885064,-0.0734412213825016,0.16372954695276787,0.12673850420059007,-0.09096365104736841,0.6951574856775994,0.08789875889664216,-0.10848231804339907,0.08710696574001743,0.11470577113496248,0.1185575362393507,0.15082037449021204,0.04117089071236351,-0.16037997171798923,0.12536251402331702,-0.1626598334678984,-0.06228588587089029,0.012286795563298857,0.1513592811871641,-0.15677345016662173,0.14311823962602513,0.15933364559682356,-0.043532855368469764,0.14956427484165058,0.07570808244972925,0.16167310307815097,-0.11718656034118033,-0.02896232741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x_a{184}	=[1.1764059472777901,2.0665318402739956,17.051303662942097];
std_x_a{184}	=[1.2106022007731392,1.7020642529578922,1.5244251727612539];
pred_a{184}	=[1.1764059472777901];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.4 to 18.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{185}	=[2.3107680441267,3.845182483772759,13.770904762910984];
std_x_f{185}	=[1.753933580895181,2.427706883086773,2.2764325986855938];
pred_f{185}	=[2.3107680441267];
obs{185}	=[2.4343195937436395];
sqrt_r{185}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{185}	=[4.080120389480383];
L_f{185}	=[0.06194661644181303,0.04780173548671831,0.12277667466086029,-0.16046679365934835,-0.0647144229149749,0.0041575736659659026,-0.1270646638336307,-0.1511156967238151,-0.01344109235066501,-0.15230917422495463,-0.057943835471460176,0.14496211393071157,0.004584751676502837,-0.14833224644236856,0.10602721752067656,0.011237292452300528,-0.1653033574635353,-0.14564991936781754,0.028921044399347343,0.8473821048618666,-0.1218014107019465,0.050351673263739134,-0.12275085855277894,-0.1393785288983445,-0.14102991207312704,-0.15990884909689956,-0.09050475768538575,0.11962696931062529,-0.14549117252113836,0.12161065904954205,-0.0013103355276638193,-0.06795234127348496,-0.15920696704932813,0.11474489697920812,-0.15587090569597883,-0.1606651726397759,-0.01988191392343034,-0.15880531242350668,-0.11563743168183208,-0.16353387398807395,0.06007282805775983,-0.03181810010624411,0.12690938382863545,0.12344137557849925,-0.10551642319889648,0.15038104504261093,-0.15888350453540123,0.07970942860827548,-0.15833361914436944,-0.07919262651932656,0.15569460611157823,0.10165295586426507,-0.158410986740972,0.0864015230839885,0.13711936649964282,0.6480645322292675,0.13611539499876463,-0.15716743749209353,-0.13368143409570785,0.12731840457123564,-0.09115745533893797,-0.03609658557942114,0.07233722880391567,0.005926009921404163,0.1569651373311643,-0.08871882785152303,0.0029751837503812022,0.09929882963056369,0.07558901011615557,-0.09081351034928789,-0.15694731088446234,0.12882625753916077,0.029261378328241914,0.00905518736673208,-0.1491164013949783,0.10298517956595962,0.09986712679648696,-0.026877360996817853,0.08660963035414997,0.13845203484450638,-0.0021885817757049553,-0.11504686526098358,0.1681533018635476,-0.13618961254153605,-0.02516513152737474,0.8439733928993493,-0.15665202378205234,-0.1489262955680541,-0.09648325629167677,-0.0642273490655565,-0.10212506312509566,-0.005410356775406591,-0.08299221514850805,-0.16249508547562458,0.11716602636955985,-0.1332876346764028,-0.06788462548097865,0.019277306751128143,0.1065701137778551,0.04957612272398844;0.12084482589769106,0.09685916042533298,0.22585376285263686,-0.2613995193484498,-0.09817712243900188,0.020750092798840516,-0.2055271432437777,-0.2455232499343883,-0.00887141966348901,-0.24727307153888992,-0.08635396946609328,0.26362726774398776,0.022236687888847733,-0.24031700166631284,0.19767117218155578,0.03334471225804848,-0.2689548395015545,-0.2361489578558454,0.06398693107337561,0.8476387134637309,-0.1959642351743997,0.10032371868306024,-0.19722471453387252,-0.226560360960948,-0.22834078311411588,-0.2595376550277688,-0.14234500878989303,0.22029187276711487,-0.23548275288976211,0.22383352486736416,0.011260294236803381,-0.10393832722063215,-0.2587629570887495,0.2119072010350054,-0.25334352550275374,-0.26220459450208805,-0.02094819615580241,-0.2589870662105192,-0.1851711698050096,-0.2662654550910788,0.11800974008330722,-0.041788891154451016,0.23298442194725283,0.22693467676446943,-0.1685214756844001,0.27255761137644313,-0.25830049513358766,0.15084420450582478,-0.2577851388480588,-0.12372345554590998,0.28160635599001693,0.1890560411528492,-0.25791653488023747,0.16355577460597612,0.25051345032904865,0.9513506670961893,0.24851778867395508,-0.2555376559993349,-0.21597198311868382,0.23370072742033277,-0.14362416546407938,-0.04914668172421663,0.1352127310194907,0.02453803090095979,0.28420027323821084,-0.1398932789178675,0.019822646874402078,0.1851096605488488,0.14457053294167646,-0.1434929052590682,-0.2552692610181578,0.23666619709363795,0.06448747948242545,0.02991815970487543,-0.242164333827971,0.19188965364716595,0.18726390644822355,-0.032953799906587304,0.16399727816555967,0.2525905370806066,0.01047201356122772,-0.18473792534220684,0.302825382312641,-0.22023745401069786,-0.029692103933485127,0.8590702058458841,-0.25431334993594285,-0.2414343609953633,-0.15312555025846264,-0.09727531587113789,-0.16256840781422308,0.004488606098523385,-0.12985382900893222,-0.26464081407733314,0.21650824077955064,-0.21566999416861765,-0.10330561825317588,0.046699994888583916,0.19674508107521788,0.0994298670506327;-0.09134197113383946,-0.0900984065307325,-0.09243422199728242,0.05028201226412555,-0.0408024657950256,-0.07591011724747793,0.008881698072076977,0.038616351405052964,-0.06995753724953035,0.03928957487149718,-0.046520594919721235,-0.08897778802223087,-0.07709761368828555,0.03313333271562071,-0.09429761750911336,-0.07828087457220356,0.05779977520562909,0.031892063978447585,-0.08407942667160483,1.5088426152342989,0.005859049101997408,-0.08908311995462494,0.0052997312708054295,0.02365229634515559,0.026777865479104972,0.049113001081285794,-0.023115543947267232,-0.09251760141875039,0.030680369451322197,-0.09324775239262542,-0.07533167168839837,-0.04038731170676637,0.04874897808179004,-0.09288053116574659,0.0424490510423558,0.054981495067937224,-0.0675671002131249,0.04758289903755895,-0.0022652253554490574,0.05651430736302777,-0.09103903209580262,-0.06058839593326714,-0.09211231741995363,-0.092354812884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k{185}	=[0.7549091927340522;1.0153861638831752;0.5944813572920878];
x_a_linear{185}	=[2.404038244709065,3.970635017780125,13.844353855822803];
L_a{185}	=[-0.04295100739502964,-0.03314358091396032,-0.08512784336250358,0.11126048260591084,0.044870080350506485,-0.0028826752376380138,0.08810094286734044,0.10477685110673146,0.009319451006544554,0.10560435491439117,0.04017565847472525,-0.10051023260141284,-0.003178861324037176,0.10284693143574491,-0.07351452049172984,-0.007791434931272151,0.11461393917307112,0.1009871260640803,-0.020052555946056663,-0.5875367718675131,0.08445163904469787,-0.034911593480401945,0.08510994363023743,0.09663882499610404,0.09778382007454753,0.11087362885336936,0.06275194255818163,-0.0829439788423618,0.10087705811562249,-0.08431938039840475,9.085279256780408E-4,0.04711510781688156,0.11038697529991841,-0.0795589687021111,0.10807389987968818,0.11139802969959835,0.013785228007646281,0.11010848598452368,0.0801778122615284,0.11338705863938914,-0.041651806512673376,0.02206124452725773,-0.08799327867152278,-0.08558871718691688,0.07316035860279561,-0.10426747655805334,0.11016270089034287,-0.05526694522247948,0.10978143500605017,0.05490861781705823,-0.10795166164960769,-0.0704816035134668,0.10983507822992071,-0.05990694359244019,-0.09507242304444365,-0.44933890041244395,-0.094376314203711,0.10897285691659311,0.09268871480359536,-0.08827687532214253,0.06320449385726323,0.025027754592752055,-0.050155392299938116,-0.004108829675892372,-0.10883259105209266,0.06151365885670959,-0.0020628590648566845,-0.06884935789489431,-0.052410031717092166,0.06296601781704529,0.10882023099293041,-0.08932235298817148,-0.020288528238594103,-0.006278461066831801,0.10339062933408005,-0.0714053077179903,-0.0692433896786814,0.01863555747257887,-0.060051235846207765,-0.09599643554461185,0.0015174645110959623,0.07976833997448353,-0.11658996288560648,0.09442777332144033,0.017448374300546892,-0.5851733237710841,0.10861549215087946,0.1032588184742289,0.06689716553563335,0.04453236517395691,0.07080894152829174,0.0037512988960182046,0.057543082275070045,0.11266680924333074,-0.08123767130642505,0.09241567193632887,0.04706815672137779,-0.013366020492849478,-0.07389094042386149,-0.03437386149629386;-0.02024710528200397,-0.012015860697042031,-0.05378698472545478,0.1040856533385457,0.04921886831425966,0.011280647472412355,0.08388008889819791,0.09866351452522325,0.021742515137958583,0.09963200192817895,0.04562107802186886,-0.0665438663257274,0.011794285943864427,0.09753007229671036,-0.043820385176601244,0.007750234554567407,0.10754627185333443,0.09558874760987686,-0.0018847216563667483,-1.0823904711710455,0.08145521472390123,-0.0143591361195584,0.08235723331061062,0.09089339094371078,0.09287422089164135,0.10467672224974585,0.06379201331487189,-0.052174988067233474,0.09589338481886274,-0.05315146193094244,0.01424476345741219,0.05083246752428073,0.10385278737812204,-0.04944006920724644,0.10167388081565543,0.10373241357256328,0.024335594826392516,0.1027138546537165,0.07820897086780704,0.10620541449946919,-0.018814380569940784,0.030681204039136357,-0.05606913864594763,-0.05422001849169599,0.07180667741642728,-0.06995588292897223,0.10357851901005381,-0.030704972213704787,0.10284143575643469,0.05664863340102077,-0.07300950379917018,-0.04247253420502236,0.10288625505678536,-0.03323556685877764,-0.06179474877563127,-0.5247053571610886,-0.06150372737933755,0.10243277964427595,0.08850585252147895,-0.056284434118662734,0.06399946523540448,0.03306825205150452,-0.029545247613913556,0.011040728997694278,-0.07330939599033216,0.062176042581363916,0.013046257055758355,-0.04105706882562345,-0.02759382446544059,0.06334734346418007,0.10219980602844678,-0.05675330677750791,-0.00215933053647693,0.009293726182081175,0.09746876079223768,-0.0426732442553759,-0.04019719781271832,0.028263083046444804,-0.03326805620350679,-0.06275299730466069,0.015456809293678065,0.07729711915597591,-0.08016686903098645,0.08995310269466761,0.027624941121323257,-1.0631951688949544,0.1024831601588124,0.09776574148112673,0.06662832394199426,0.04901129726008478,0.07003545670358348,0.016811437104641263,0.059172345151566136,0.10546407193368529,-0.05035348434243621,0.0879109091811531,0.05131094446931407,0.0027932798218321606,-0.04598299710934294,-0.013486564827440206;-0.17394751150273252,-0.15384181040429654,-0.25615637725950896,0.26426377531885287,0.04549393232340745,-0.08145422343160146,0.1783218680227309,0.2401284678548332,-0.05203389976050309,0.24239318831598913,0.03074725464333258,-0.2822841289022268,-0.08321135986924842,0.2309337304663687,-0.235684445397163,-0.09326575459672408,0.278231074805242,0.22611559038146822,-0.1226455120829827,0.37886230812915594,0.16828069416760832,-0.15622685463036734,0.16898746086653443,0.2095129511604796,0.21484063248948543,0.2623507475177648,0.09757215207208622,-0.2520396384597769,0.2246922076330155,-0.25541503096934387,-0.07358434502966345,0.05022683629113422,0.26105076789714643,-0.2458923462411307,0.2503022177265991,0.26922779561990556,-0.04105465550590754,0.2593490841772536,0.15193678081741757,0.274586008536444,-0.1711458839019869,-0.018159099488050275,-0.26134542216740736,-0.2569633438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x_a{185}	=[2.404038244709066,3.9706350177801286,13.844353855822801];
std_x_a{185}	=[1.2160989337356438,1.7362165441910484,2.041665560916939];
pred_a{185}	=[2.404038244709066];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.5 to 18.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{186}	=[4.867016113962835,8.47896157010954,12.895887604060352];
std_x_f{186}	=[2.0573415779524113,3.32733365939639,2.3113433902250704];
pred_f{186}	=[4.867016113962835];
obs{186}	=[5.176466647805382];
sqrt_r{186}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{186}	=[5.233350147678713];
L_f{186}	=[-0.0263776289115857,-0.014232722933368434,-0.08050781842763172,0.12625021068944828,0.06989664135136706,0.019914012997140844,0.1087050576024474,0.12166199130639058,0.03422192490617551,0.12335242699518781,0.06586768883180547,-0.10162335953102969,0.020367637266559678,0.12075225827563847,-0.06406735546014466,0.01568329702707163,0.1291667802647299,0.11901585990521169,0.0010231279686949675,-1.2050113701206104,0.10596048119118869,-0.01727293258322804,0.10647714294193003,0.11526525592687825,0.11664597507150548,0.12712654351982075,0.08703523210547803,-0.07786838155416918,0.1187735687193248,-0.07933800900791238,0.0250763908403003,0.07262302981126549,0.12513204421524587,-0.0728082271038221,0.1244343556033446,0.1252223562869957,0.03837217449453124,0.12479539854581491,0.10268486684776172,0.12737557559524482,-0.02468133067326262,0.04755385232042176,-0.08390875132726514,-0.08098018028351894,0.09558303741115085,-0.10629228693097922,0.12573808851030444,-0.042094235174177215,0.1249809244008524,0.07953523002991189,-0.11237949885748129,-0.06114719886223828,0.12493058836342978,-0.046948922711654746,-0.09365386526740029,-0.7764346535844145,-0.0928865151781252,0.12440600211900935,0.11271994729526125,-0.08445236937512464,0.08646378833567503,0.04977724770344,-0.048379140648028666,0.019672104775480512,-0.11306494828849294,0.08531440137746703,0.022255806376180055,-0.059336693692794935,-0.037631835446835314,0.08679620426077947,0.12480003300246313,-0.08566136787923383,9.87847715515974E-4,0.01761187128297262,0.12099850500538112,-0.061619046861920684,-0.05883493596044849,0.0439699217254384,-0.04784781464991065,-0.09498974665780403,0.02652214337498739,0.10175360199562954,-0.12405453780773493,0.11431030613068273,0.04256616965734981,-1.1948540070581142,0.12452049205830519,0.12081575895811866,0.0901438207463036,0.0698768714119824,0.09417246508546444,0.02819412808122372,0.08202638061164692,0.12709563328231763,-0.07472812274200749,0.11224531907594841,0.07235474359047118,0.008189986569740066,-0.06627715777003314,-0.015515560423305298;-0.0037717961339656238,0.013071157764722372,-0.08412581317686885,0.14984267288259318,0.11249948773412674,0.05757866686522668,0.143532771845329,0.14829816781645355,0.07462473552820803,0.1501705641572074,0.1089416597477432,-0.11725139758552271,0.05828688124862346,0.14955026026763962,-0.05890728037930646,0.05173829141482582,0.15062905935504892,0.14825850618561365,0.03362673660763856,-2.008565461747025,0.14132273516971947,0.008235016329275764,0.14215881253750431,0.1454044429860662,0.14712734655131296,0.15149323762846298,0.12806467977752245,-0.08079099058984365,0.14818413691297735,-0.08244875123589548,0.06292417101017451,0.1152486299959092,0.14974161562341257,-0.07311833167667552,0.15003715913462817,0.146911134051271,0.07903756422015168,0.1486541434650813,0.13991608836003322,0.1492447082944306,-0.0018949838676192957,0.08860369716738555,-0.08995997547226575,-0.08510862876995895,0.1339255688687535,-0.1256100227965949,0.1498249522473102,-0.02694761077836244,0.14876623123519364,0.12167612833239992,-0.13388088813544619,-0.05533296918468277,0.14954483779785785,-0.03405986283662799,-0.10507403468495742,-1.358094797054916,-0.10381842681501623,0.14966948913302294,0.14567635257422937,-0.09112873988452266,0.12681627585630598,0.09207006526390793,-0.05512160282331392,0.05708585179305705,-0.13511099895900547,0.12572896975490436,0.05977060627556688,-0.05211125692928803,-0.020331612728923882,0.1270754842786833,0.150301889503144,-0.09174892204731834,0.03278000708342983,0.054566890088727824,0.1488673449528962,-0.05620612193570917,-0.05097543688032508,0.08556764045006522,-0.03466729802042836,-0.10724139084900748,0.06579421223896277,0.13869812538707188,-0.15410958772768668,0.14615609749819747,0.08403756233000163,-1.998575960988574,0.15053728863162852,0.148737079890385,0.13005368431312483,0.1120187447707698,0.13303497439280323,0.06775228475565674,0.12363259021602305,0.14910415051518394,-0.07504359207754328,0.144971468522538,0.11450856768317232,0.042047788474315555,-0.06274019993602166,0.010116600963598581;-0.19052165379886996,-0.16550294685200384,-0.29214593773650216,0.2848054540509702,0.060422786300535325,-0.08203711101046594,0.2003806589845981,0.2609818687259482,-0.04715421285195137,0.2642812499913088,0.044541098545192885,-0.3259082014918083,-0.08308944453258907,0.25298982922586766,-0.2654550587167937,-0.09520890386940833,0.29856730532356085,0.24709804475304178,-0.12980763952897884,0.49063768921127765,0.18913147150352294,-0.16940029478864896,0.19086653493483496,0.2311025126432546,0.236142696981906,0.2843800604707366,0.1166370198275538,-0.2865991493561596,0.24688311657028045,-0.29066927347880256,-0.07223890808254829,0.06534918196674123,0.2820306600855638,-0.27921508801162725,0.2720872909290466,0.2880266949815755,-0.03507685225856632,0.2797844524498281,0.17376128550474004,0.29416007208309114,-0.18698028272033265,-0.01014294785422966,-0.2987000966178043,-0.29393612277751174,0.15260944046784738,-0.33429859996062694,0.28028340799887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k{186}	=[0.8089178113863537;1.298561881410176;0.1712591496251045];
x_a_linear{186}	=[5.117336162531087,8.880802237539502,12.948883839337261];
L_a{186}	=[0.014669299824603419,0.007915195134857366,0.04477253549582484,-0.07021109439861092,-0.038871378172494774,-0.011074711390673966,-0.06045376890265871,-0.06765946377188811,-0.019031721111341295,-0.06859955994339367,-0.036630770698387036,0.05651544856973019,-0.011326983891668136,-0.06715353707797725,0.035629557507404076,-0.008721897904454042,-0.07183307618107253,-0.0661878798388023,-5.689886297979796E-4,0.6701388187545338,-0.058927437085525336,0.00960593644572207,-0.05921476640367351,-0.06410206937926709,-0.06486992395687122,-0.07069844635423847,-0.048402603559959456,0.043304674567357114,-0.06605313527694108,0.04412197341638143,-0.013945646782290289,-0.04038759518694462,-0.0695892523324088,0.04049058831875044,-0.0692012491700891,-0.06963947727350253,-0.02133978510612241,-0.06940203473691942,-0.05710578097403171,-0.0708369397037576,0.013725943333642385,-0.02644595993981806,0.04666388458392147,0.04503522846618018,-0.053156265054385164,0.05911196306763046,-0.06992628965676433,0.02340972187936713,-0.06950521059104503,-0.04423165326338816,0.06249722324947105,0.034005580886417225,-0.06947721738409648,0.026109542522106653,0.05208340120127662,0.43179592698869296,0.05165665744171647,-0.06918548104459987,-0.06268655566541158,0.04696620501464879,-0.04808480850642239,-0.02768244914858875,0.026904924692108364,-0.010940179805387586,0.0628784198783195,-0.04744560390008876,-0.012377044868771656,0.032998710888602706,0.020928062903989863,-0.04826967382878225,-0.06940461208131697,0.04763856118448192,-5.493683442331642E-4,-0.009794429256254084,-0.06729048142280562,0.03426798808769302,0.03271967009082016,-0.024452840974326526,0.026609440196624534,0.05282632031321141,-0.014749668154893408,-0.05658787986253193,0.06899002240891232,-0.063570996441484,-0.02367217717640814,0.6644900394540677,-0.06924915193981411,-0.06718885149359417,-0.05013137224331897,-0.03886038358426549,-0.05237180833012319,-0.015679503245080665,-0.04561704824768329,-0.0706812563504249,0.04155829326080148,-0.06242260231017808,-0.04023839409594302,-0.0045546689944608535,0.03685848724728002,0.008628615125306;0.06212114905217665,0.04862537817025779,0.11698768661832311,-0.16553814624193508,-0.06210663674729505,0.007832233201494943,-0.12801917188940115,-0.15562099608033655,-0.010863745243331547,-0.15797141243271642,-0.05559989265182478,0.13661002724742036,0.007407266159824824,-0.15209633436485828,0.10113692813187569,0.01256044738620975,-0.17203753059443758,-0.14905045813798323,0.0310708997890375,1.001627320408635,-0.12337308728009809,0.051383868097778375,-0.12382766285672651,-0.14253528109279043,-0.14426149917601816,-0.16607671499817436,-0.08935470229098796,0.11372903297561177,-0.14851956907279706,0.11574249242209128,2.817988453120812E-4,-0.0661681811452719,-0.16284595462948429,0.108761113732656,-0.16080754190075475,-0.16590204133138958,-0.01681849619817793,-0.16309246512604825,-0.11659704727188126,-0.16894734182817614,0.059760503614806615,-0.03018876120112105,0.11964926462954863,0.11718486009787972,-0.10484675846850826,0.13991467087200252,-0.1642765540628615,0.07820638696274476,-0.1634438323934441,-0.07700778561205292,0.14685003666006094,0.0974165078976149,-0.16253948330229526,0.08322144402976403,0.12887910155863644,0.5814868932003381,0.12821782154071396,-0.16110438314836545,-0.13590503343310759,0.1198384916557894,-0.08917560440274316,-0.032276572010951854,0.06573247672866003,0.007943719798871632,0.147332220824687,-0.08739167093637588,0.0041742282032790875,0.09611546648590637,0.07367503505066912,-0.08974679147972345,-0.16145629624675573,0.1222384623819597,0.03031230251495125,0.010571348527196859,-0.15339438921013304,0.09772206057471784,0.09599786474836075,-0.024271938073261272,0.08485949639203154,0.1300488595653903,-4.597389969443909E-4,-0.11548865316168677,0.15578630500992557,-0.13939810304527503,-0.022295356880331314,0.9862431012714784,-0.1605225865850377,-0.15306814336654248,-0.09513114405849184,-0.06253799318176516,-0.10221365620700408,-0.0026783874800559004,-0.08127437164842685,-0.16838858643022928,0.1116318711419597,-0.13542426689642323,-0.06623804791843792,0.021588696494365345,0.1028242311458004,0.04887542860242726;-0.18183144817954452,-0.16081392460408117,-0.2656223446400766,0.24321186373806084,0.03739508401995601,-0.08859785489806558,0.16456738306081095,0.22089988394813057,-0.058428750268510424,0.22364234503802335,0.022840749300885733,-0.2924280167105527,-0.08979963658281147,0.21320755929817609,-0.2443478358386019,-0.10037582301938358,0.2560128405743165,0.2078878375731681,-0.13014471275313508,0.8876330603673844,0.15422240624369507,-0.16370966443289917,0.15578725358528053,0.1931279555620923,0.1977132569652999,0.24249775912498794,0.08796294659460697,-0.26094512832121386,0.20775273310133058,-0.26453107834315737,-0.08050041609462955,0.04142326110881712,0.24080545377752582,-0.2552281532332392,0.23109194066743302,0.2467717350335857,-0.04771870447112966,0.23867015527990898,0.13993138328376648,0.2521957262158855,-0.17884892871470354,-0.02580973716424172,-0.27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x_a{186}	=[5.117336162531087,8.880802237539504,12.948883839337256];
std_x_a{186}	=[1.1441422786621676,1.8793432675168806,2.2835233739211933];
pred_a{186}	=[5.117336162531087];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.6 to 18.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{187}	=[10.383980068862074,16.816187921853974,19.17600896588996];
std_x_f{187}	=[1.6915007586083748,2.565879860083954,3.255099327797397];
pred_f{187}	=[10.383980068862074];
obs{187}	=[10.85769729103384];
sqrt_r{187}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{187}	=[3.8709937083525374];
L_f{187}	=[0.09909032233185991,0.08088333285474691,0.1752378207475501,-0.19665829696977907,-0.06630960180463889,0.025325194794908152,-0.1502629218006259,-0.18500524186064513,5.353602898899849E-4,-0.18696567481631285,-0.058175609678465544,0.20225973208887288,0.02483075805056528,-0.18048011706970282,0.1535063049976521,0.03237788939702546,-0.2046327669913796,-0.17643395613339594,0.05688211505719579,0.4807391538743079,-0.1443112075972443,0.0852209998028379,-0.14452808241995801,-0.16864587720771643,-0.17109376563321863,-0.1976965915700262,-0.10154133974018378,0.17097021264771825,-0.17628394303427183,0.17349172093408685,0.016204078982822924,-0.07149082302743982,-0.19469881478193957,0.1646449226406349,-0.1909757856132499,-0.1974846790595425,-0.007311506958517983,-0.19359245493997626,-0.13627629294088855,-0.20146837077941873,0.09644035242984349,-0.024618632328879692,0.17937727260986178,0.17567303209839413,-0.12156284721770469,0.20747737154507864,-0.19508475775373646,0.12203390964579248,-0.19412057448507425,-0.08568682846695438,0.21638907956357353,0.14835599646625935,-0.19357429786876088,0.12908641511906488,0.19253285968450007,0.604805847732202,0.1910863882198177,-0.19207072709486625,-0.16004395629006427,0.18009745941287966,-0.10120432476561884,-0.02829576051500822,0.09436981254442396,0.026040063418635545,0.2169829179625909,-0.09849919173640347,0.021800212308528463,0.14650062629851024,0.11585877726662756,-0.10228239385395525,-0.1911702056770822,0.18237470946779522,0.05715537498117738,0.030168110075289835,-0.1812495964549027,0.14928527406903463,0.146293596973407,-0.016587253009651987,0.13028367789676362,0.19355824732483168,0.015091382614689801,-0.13466231104367024,0.22913302088316875,-0.16376033200256426,-0.0139903342700398,0.48767777189244654,-0.19114506731570235,-0.1815205094745607,-0.1089646596837032,-0.06683323611237513,-0.1177454954218031,0.011367086723497625,-0.09104002990735197,-0.20026841974578932,0.167892209544663,-0.15957201820838093,-0.07121912569445978,0.04433506716472781,0.15530124939753112,0.08207151599935078;0.2110576234536294,0.1815226765946618,0.3305482254802511,-0.317505732783125,-0.0750093921619361,0.08732963048547442,-0.22877130177074192,-0.2936578776270661,0.0460298641860017,-0.29798154440480606,-0.05820983809110868,0.36995814364451335,0.08694989580816147,-0.28452158115629256,0.29750613699143547,0.09971264757726234,-0.33236760222106315,-0.2779186783277516,0.14103930915273957,-0.45009128100762974,-0.2174351457094276,0.18764760303230096,-0.21876786498694986,-0.2624523286675127,-0.26712376401173193,-0.31816203964038076,-0.13756983006685836,0.32363398557941897,-0.2780952257362089,0.3277899943839673,0.07265426592803825,-0.08235067510317412,-0.3130953453199015,0.31446955351293976,-0.30585996234470664,-0.3198485776329243,0.03141832262490514,-0.3115626955635811,-0.20130130293645349,-0.32632649779931244,0.2066639032461726,0.0023948203646201576,0.33620934751196024,0.3313356891535368,-0.17551630099012777,0.378488167945418,-0.31373272604420327,0.2480873261531321,-0.31210587127875866,-0.10891824941439547,0.3896998625160595,0.2895839910907287,-0.31113691317103714,0.25964672813467443,0.35564759962533754,0.45184644678721386,0.35359586649598873,-0.308425388047532,-0.2471075499960101,0.337838455746813,-0.13776805738887168,-0.005759439205569889,0.17667608573908208,0.08959249199804961,0.39140872661841275,-0.1329630295623414,0.08140779825306105,0.28590187694092745,0.23842513741884175,-0.13887464465468763,-0.30785676034641757,0.34140013321783375,0.1417989641767743,0.09665228771799017,-0.28694251715939156,0.2910075406964564,0.28642941317675114,0.015204563733713039,0.2606873874175103,0.3583749405956979,0.07119573300312546,-0.19873784593775712,0.40848783648531867,-0.25400028078478526,0.019257275366103162,-0.4178881561282797,-0.30619929137027346,-0.2882744546245502,-0.15204541687741738,-0.07405073819814062,-0.16682104637094422,0.06419847442842715,-0.11856892707373876,-0.32391750630049676,0.31996116023347415,-0.24600043903087668,-0.08310266673369032,0.11997506000068661,0.3000248223981381,0.18432650893714253;0.00704552816295784,-0.011408231843636776,0.08952425671555622,-0.14892241961226052,-0.11217718749682644,-0.055407992684005904,-0.14323100192440827,-0.1487017537860771,-0.07457845921860344,-0.15018064224046962,-0.11007608633850295,0.12455134581558071,-0.057110991182422945,-0.1480237821125511,0.06279222391860385,-0.05189479647170998,-0.1495169668714898,-0.14701198453667963,-0.03124874191347006,1.9673550140112717,-0.14146809785183218,-0.005759212863873233,-0.14113537882803548,-0.1463783791130412,-0.14669600777249986,-0.14998628514893064,-0.1282328748612141,0.08524180425881374,-0.14653023765351292,0.08737691245260261,-0.06529600794375127,-0.11660390152613838,-0.14660323833559596,0.07638684870954963,-0.1495578153063557,-0.1463402065706646,-0.07953110447951126,-0.1474612381590102,-0.1406021832281248,-0.14717166019333092,0.0039469697352325665,-0.09181320002536514,0.09428851868640079,0.08968828823576433,-0.13330034033098492,0.1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k{187}	=[0.7416683995527363;0.8604314724896243;1.0608463341810115];
x_a_linear{187}	=[10.735321162870775,17.22378912887092,19.678550144469288];
L_a{187}	=[-0.07244277491710503,-0.05913204174387878,-0.1281125513232599,0.14377259461575403,0.048477504617338726,-0.01851469793503228,0.10985394704775683,0.13525330001158092,-3.9139023940364684E-4,0.1366865298165246,0.04253092025968107,-0.1478676817443062,-0.018153226007822154,0.13194507990503826,-0.11222511381140099,-0.02367076924045378,0.14960255583964935,0.12898701983328262,-0.041585274534649525,-0.3514579173667555,0.10550277851524845,-0.06230321550727914,0.10566133097120281,0.12329332507709705,0.12508292295161944,0.144531669167671,0.07423466032277022,-0.12499259605684024,0.12887734852614857,-0.1268360158070479,-0.011846448965624225,0.05226538252515342,0.142340059896447,-0.1203683143965792,0.13961823441712395,0.14437674455003097,0.005345283378198005,0.1415312243298389,0.09962862753631486,0.14728913473921226,-0.07050543967960375,0.017998145516119435,-0.13113881435767955,-0.12843072485614032,0.08887194805746594,-0.15168218422880345,0.142622214391243,-0.0892163315315209,0.14191732101854176,0.06264377269056827,-0.15819733972450042,-0.10845983549851199,0.14151795009081866,-0.09437226456896601,-0.14075657733314614,-0.4421603731298551,-0.13969909357212776,0.14041872226935279,0.11700464817880987,-0.13166532723241378,0.07398827602033217,0.020686413787534733,-0.06899171309817242,-0.019037322804800572,-0.15863148203491767,0.07201061222285261,-0.015937660068586268,-0.10710341480790186,-0.0847018268402454,0.07477642883357946,0.13976037068827651,-0.13333017511337766,-0.04178504890919008,-0.022055247741948062,0.13250762951224102,-0.10913921009967541,-0.10695206018066107,0.012126579145105195,-0.09524755729060005,-0.14150621588798398,-0.01103298090284213,0.09844868054907123,-0.1675141574605486,0.1197216094613291,0.010228028456152156,-0.35653058976800545,0.13974199258017914,0.13270568811618286,0.07966168773726405,0.04886032224676538,0.08608116536121288,-0.008310229350306415,0.066557381587044,0.14641187669225966,-0.12274233507532827,0.11665962453349651,0.05206675052683636,-0.032412401291750007,-0.11353735854014121,-0.06000069654365174;0.012056997923892832,0.019086694409450922,-0.021377523922805917,0.07743822533149824,0.058158529056018905,0.036469672749432705,0.0729979803202503,0.07788354024469049,0.044954713454176926,0.077496962128145,0.05862278939612792,-0.03623503706150268,0.03708290306702197,0.07793214134010841,-0.010776750766104626,0.034688938987821064,0.07859128535611733,0.07640923996930066,0.026804374686320052,-1.4155477462437327,0.07238145703230935,0.016500392387074115,0.07148428205786284,0.0762349847610371,0.07647958275325738,0.0788670996510822,0.06635311265756033,-0.01972123280307978,0.07593142499140923,-0.020629106267329153,0.040112017827204256,0.06122256360776681,0.0779134335368679,-0.01618274254127171,0.07767194979087708,0.07675498304347922,0.04610183988542251,0.07722420838723856,0.07237898088871023,0.0782774117054864,0.01298514624735238,0.05183580630395503,-0.024029559932821763,-0.021464084362244316,0.06861533637079936,-0.03818346808438033,0.07805113246715852,0.0030096658542731686,0.07774164199652152,0.06316447333097788,-0.0448689346944194,-0.008355660361799055,0.07761352638603913,4.056968051627677E-4,-0.03101134557344691,-0.762770068634626,-0.03015816609872999,0.0773054677854017,0.07430473996821772,-0.023846784911205288,0.06547806655876773,0.051066231655284414,-0.012844457594807302,0.03729688141573974,-0.04435266145348481,0.06485044312040307,0.037626975020403255,-0.008311680829769694,0.00574884162525937,0.06653653858324966,0.07606560075943572,-0.024858451988384662,0.027015248613221757,0.03606642388431942,0.07705653161492979,-0.008798355813017647,-0.007368372758422326,0.04851633068594738,-9.580769189660935E-4,-0.030343265053900084,0.04088808529587544,0.071701118255158,-0.05167430056535352,0.07487551393033176,0.047353715115122326,-1.397279275056364,0.07767258499073636,0.07626866201742379,0.06678559433950534,0.06016878475382963,0.06964429848659003,0.04137023736960524,0.06426449675077815,0.0782765714399285,-0.01721258120479678,0.07446406944211954,0.05992492899269438,0.030938049210310046,-0.011862807477111008,0.01950432814589756;-0.23830705463147764,-0.21167940014675843,-0.3443733319882787,0.33801333711982556,0.05200869548326931,-0.11811443874735757,0.22882749071577727,0.3093804569973269,-0.07590403801135592,0.312755698368626,0.03396962624329202,-0.37625384378828836,-0.11859318719392108,0.2988539938804764,-0.3172970473653061,-0.13206406630603174,0.35716397556767004,0.28984729507079615,-0.17209169726639642,0.7770208796802837,0.2158536534246153,-0.21677066098414605,0.21672336533171058,0.27119722844195165,0.27694069367598234,0.3395203408252489,0.12318854934431715,-0.3380889738321601,0.2899576020347362,-0.34219724598106627,-0.1054181161040794,0.060410943749449074,0.33548074271938616,-0.33128219568593487,0.3233077597442753,0.3426417134529224,-0.06142744839911187,0.3318833407188681,0.19682471840935006,0.35167407931865186,-0.23484415534580788,-0.03085623788603484,-0.3498585593910791,-0.34528690549021834,0.16769533548103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x_a{187}	=[10.735321162870777,17.223789128870912,19.67855014446928];
std_x_a{187}	=[1.2366193372304766,2.197571017616016,2.7936609945842146];
pred_a{187}	=[10.735321162870777];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.7 to 18.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{188}	=[15.041654477996472,14.526990470335743,36.34471085403424];
std_x_f{188}	=[1.5854478275572732,2.8805706984222175,2.6177050617126287];
pred_f{188}	=[15.041654477996472];
obs{188}	=[15.541053683421731];
sqrt_r{188}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{188}	=[3.5192573236485507];
L_f{188}	=[0.07491668534093762,0.07245713329154266,0.08093928888540443,-0.050929291610083166,0.022257735619925945,0.057600542032611585,-0.020697290107673943,-0.042806167044427565,0.050464339676737,-0.04386834103764875,0.027461743181529732,0.07942247826606479,0.057615853657925355,-0.03953217659586884,0.08119055062115599,0.060219838540257586,-0.05645733453099624,-0.03693232323349691,0.06591987095976376,-1.0068609310730265,-0.017075078154892145,0.07187823668517365,-0.01762840783123717,-0.031853554299035323,-0.03382033956482712,-0.05096034277443468,0.006139353042527717,0.08040683406976837,-0.03747196143322411,0.08122979022857044,0.05625347687841413,0.0208149037178781,-0.050604428478749006,0.08119139139666041,-0.046853220482655174,-0.05275795750213715,0.04718475069782611,-0.04968677565611951,-0.01203642899998845,-0.05511962463888506,0.0749785111021863,0.04168619761143497,0.08040786523103656,0.08127653937294668,-0.0056653515270904545,0.07995548601243554,-0.0496401804522977,0.07860934083430024,-0.04949562469914889,0.014158360764140066,0.0783467661172407,0.08021654693243971,-0.04920008961067699,0.07972098476626334,0.08012430169507721,-0.45433244354690605,0.08010524820614152,-0.04818739298292096,-0.026186032400938832,0.0807988045699956,0.005896614639819418,0.03918244642320891,0.04768456681540954,0.058492015177367324,0.07794142392992354,0.0073887606038136695,0.057721104228057034,0.0798806472306465,0.07805878302535399,0.006573912714266987,-0.04761102530761461,0.08076933382543773,0.0670039934162827,0.060345816671623906,-0.039866518926850905,0.08096043770218417,0.08054057145194617,0.04466887924180088,0.07870074329739295,0.08063317757149199,0.05602773490762855,-0.011524693895196631,0.07670444539173044,-0.028428885772208198,0.04540988513715305,-0.9917755266766217,-0.04762548947496455,-0.04064743634417353,0.0022588947555018594,0.02321083318464811,-0.0015293006273187863,0.05410821539581069,0.01138680761385338,-0.053479521637343146,0.08161725629687117,-0.02648010992259401,0.02102860791217946,0.06298436350755934,0.08041751946777867,0.0720800573111931;0.23581842369036987,0.20803805179100995,0.34722405855163074,-0.31581397189820126,-0.05163744284898082,0.11427040627295879,-0.21736008315623292,-0.2904327364223362,0.07159252014003988,-0.2939636876984969,-0.03594885256204171,0.38204979370472286,0.11366639898646379,-0.2813728505142004,0.31788271556175823,0.1277706488963542,-0.3337468933613835,-0.273353705015513,0.16828433002032672,-1.0145769857358045,-0.20563666884318765,0.21414580156508217,-0.2052970418964861,-0.2560106141513285,-0.26106581433781073,-0.31775349108659245,-0.11923668473600887,0.3408510441100398,-0.2731138913813038,0.3449112793078275,0.10045197676561374,-0.06067789152334603,-0.31338920869446735,0.33388879747586214,-0.3031377496262858,-0.318925900109106,0.05733016326337943,-0.3096040960753361,-0.1884051006593718,-0.3277404572346803,0.23253410207416347,0.02713689885463175,0.3529373229151902,0.3485050068216614,-0.1600471855003558,0.3898832210036321,-0.31187101326276967,0.27145361140754953,-0.31094218416031394,-0.08836713006466394,0.39972330014091395,0.3094885822924529,-0.3092395793996743,0.28329445642582224,0.3703000315829143,0.05672612636515049,0.36842836873332807,-0.3064374539131746,-0.2380263744077162,0.3544959569821107,-0.11936296020381906,0.01950194380516073,0.1963407907500892,0.1167220417953405,0.3999864469475373,-0.11345619352334468,0.11038028648576684,0.30726285486947036,0.2622683237358874,-0.11910301344755966,-0.3038370832541651,0.3562262106138441,0.1691648613282637,0.12445425568999498,-0.28246740304600043,0.31183812654721155,0.30764432149988985,0.04167844101840804,0.2840777793993807,0.3713162070401369,0.09877933762499254,-0.18537307466282382,0.4146726924973494,-0.2442638885146049,0.04705164096643837,-0.9824446013169297,-0.3048398553102229,-0.28251113436026176,-0.1350714392954652,-0.05195665663586475,-0.15107916852418574,0.09124156680730483,-0.09853566904107888,-0.32434312593983466,0.33746069156998476,-0.23660162388346465,-0.06026987551613943,0.14737584505273899,0.31933153726372127,0.2107899077410417;-0.028596268706183717,-0.010188703068193175,-0.11761735609248082,0.1566103714799863,0.10046644825908974,0.03822090915533757,0.14130851650490153,0.15442232678800963,0.05930241035861835,0.1548913645592338,0.09773466264524915,-0.1552648367157257,0.039936882763618085,0.15388667647626036,-0.08964754840420396,0.03331186608548218,0.15925729787525736,0.15204071024823873,0.011774106278417443,-1.3584011976888155,0.13892109602677596,-0.01615420943120983,0.13782515330114672,0.149061647081877,0.14962820843169808,0.1581026812774907,0.12055700712364012,-0.11314367089442136,0.15051841244294403,-0.11497567758997242,0.04765217607299406,0.10556094174513972,0.15616249883431174,-0.10355474786002782,0.1558287798947686,0.155599186492036,0.06355220701923694,0.15489377668884402,0.13756104970226207,0.1583553357194393,-0.026486584481810675,0.0777518830409168,-0.1236278524342307,-0.1180746191111693,0.12858809987059924,-0.16148682797391803,0.1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k{188}	=[0.7158491386008505;0.9254395765735418;0.835856301244715];
x_a_linear{188}	=[15.399148969018093,14.989154259545659,36.762136826725545];
L_a{188}	=[-0.06078030634212993,-0.0587848586478501,-0.06566647671584626,0.04131920588532792,-0.018057819607269713,-0.04673162693040018,0.016791821841441578,0.034728871605201474,-0.04094198790225064,0.03559061903039547,-0.02227985869457826,-0.06443588017133924,-0.0467440493336728,0.032072665694341904,-0.06587032670202098,-0.048856676155563765,0.0458041365877002,0.029963390796627756,-0.0534811428553517,0.816871642892882,0.013853101967166813,-0.0583151967438914,0.01430202128445091,0.025842958475407775,0.027438621850262034,0.04134439786055972,-0.004980889864109008,-0.06523449328437916,0.030401202145916236,-0.0659021620047783,-0.045638745787002936,-0.01688724239062462,0.04105564269440589,-0.06587100882767172,0.03801226764226597,0.042802812275688336,-0.038281239873859715,0.04031114606563344,0.009765219037057878,0.04471884541832449,-0.060830465911943216,-0.03382023443150213,-0.06523532987101512,-0.06594008983492042,0.004596329906820444,-0.06486831219845991,0.0402733431282841,-0.06377617743654812,0.040156064274849426,-0.011486753593415992,-0.06356314916830665,-0.0650801123150774,0.03991629508150596,-0.06467806008686286,-0.06500527326206842,0.36860233437022705,-0.06498981506488404,0.03909468890677278,0.021244867735015615,-0.06555250104156253,-0.0047839549034862094,-0.03178892774017821,-0.03868674335553668,-0.047454883846899464,-0.0632342928900768,-0.005994540881576445,-0.046829439682514115,-0.06480759509568491,-0.06332950695006678,-0.005333450443265051,0.03862707873807134,-0.06552859126933755,-0.05436069718586879,-0.04895888288537308,0.032343919410489974,-0.06568363486368434,-0.06534299513575141,-0.03624009994463397,-0.06385033274229775,-0.06541812697440032,-0.045455600122239724,0.009350045617495526,-0.062230725605327705,0.023064506636094235,-0.03684128197926173,0.8046327738567564,0.038638813594178804,0.03297748187573741,-0.001832653361653821,-0.01883107274432619,0.0012407297545885371,-0.043898283705649174,-0.009238177742104536,0.043388221106628114,-0.06621651529231785,0.021483454396627737,-0.017060621743129622,-0.051099550004538564,-0.06524316240476935,-0.05847893489407513;0.06039128443176806,0.03837027278599467,0.15769421165338385,-0.19655642745446772,-0.10375681877182659,-0.020608736638137143,-0.1688946928700646,-0.19019654213456905,-0.04657627902367259,-0.19124027518721115,-0.10025408741681517,0.19607175567971794,-0.021248598082005767,-0.18880312966605256,0.12776450670772796,-0.01324191664436354,-0.20154471914791128,-0.1868718781495551,0.013924398983062962,1.3431185258256875,-0.1656531578309492,0.04583358407643196,-0.1640178376518749,-0.18142138372197814,-0.18187110101578294,-0.1984232363126037,-0.13361277647375588,0.15256800924927696,-0.18536843165195988,0.15470118582164727,-0.03127283830355503,-0.10941868933831898,-0.1948923734241477,0.14376861983689587,-0.19342485460270759,-0.19538629720746317,-0.05315905277547744,-0.19325606395579498,-0.16022024041431412,-0.1986707043031034,0.05696218977362864,-0.07047674168836125,0.1646518734565235,0.15818544414816574,-0.14678102981328986,0.20265707618208456,-0.19563208985876254,0.08737964018461129,-0.19504175680859304,-0.12152076885875919,0.21626418168736503,0.12165112945373678,-0.1940311858036543,0.09661742669901414,0.18267858293641728,1.1206044931280106,0.1808515363033873,-0.19360042086968843,-0.1767083818707516,0.16529507233640708,-0.13317064847601592,-0.07224883846577992,0.08468119042014995,-0.020244601153946436,0.21747648981924364,-0.13075793517802217,-0.024781168449058776,0.12021195476590608,0.07948355505815469,-0.13449668304134008,-0.1923496899068295,0.16709433554038908,0.0122663168928279,-0.016853303991134598,-0.18911477624852624,0.12225875695038999,0.11904812320616681,-0.06291953556872584,0.09978977744952759,0.18250315950173887,-0.03241687332928099,-0.15838650856390085,0.23505928111573357,-0.17769396379580726,-0.059281497071096145,1.33992647850046,-0.19331859223829323,-0.18732988810512374,-0.14036093445986741,-0.10630783417209821,-0.14749811267666685,-0.03545984015001078,-0.1251993565213205,-0.19911388699176558,0.14634329601067675,-0.17459501067262084,-0.10951108943045336,-1.102143994573965E-4,0.13102348115707418,0.04200510107009017;-0.18704192358247893,-0.1634325082711451,-0.28880056547109645,0.26432369228191244,0.053392268717999986,-0.08360182715570921,0.1850824190788196,0.24495557901656537,-0.04742755655852668,0.24767107034059518,0.03965422485438438,-0.3232400550999332,-0.08191823699430778,0.23749557589449258,-0.2613621658407885,-0.0940505727441752,0.27866219815380244,0.2301510285865854,-0.12764366262109936,0.7710675430490618,0.17503417187901776,-0.16817367253354254,0.1751084982667647,0.2164305816266939,0.22115681152059533,0.2658816739927964,0.10757253231788531,-0.28320076061662697,0.2297700429944907,-0.28677328515439726,-0.07132157380003128,0.06153829130675939,0.26318874770619854,-0.27527114350162496,0.25492138081075094,0.26718005914169735,-0.03624156643014029,0.25997922823675856,0.16301759341607017,0.2749310355478381,-0.18506299825627,-0.010412680697960223,-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x_a{188}	=[15.399148969018091,14.989154259545664,36.76213682672555];
std_x_a{188}	=[1.2862822775707918,2.6288014863396403,2.3757688983092757];
pred_a{188}	=[15.399148969018091];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.8 to 18.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{189}	=[9.204843254453772,0.2556230720674936,36.35752541708548];
std_x_f{189}	=[1.1517083398654833,2.661004945329983,1.403224542486384];
pred_f{189}	=[9.204843254453772];
obs{189}	=[9.104950009184952];
sqrt_r{189}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{189}	=[2.3337780686214344];
L_f{189}	=[0.08570862562033062,0.07123382642142809,0.1473903337785939,-0.13746946662776932,-0.041912433279034024,0.027483149889382073,-0.1041362081070636,-0.13023299656175788,0.007743107203073987,-0.13124644489766382,-0.03633453595499001,0.16997924373598186,0.026765045380315815,-0.12708451792201825,0.13010254554341666,0.03310369837518385,-0.14435503300899033,-0.12426653068641111,0.052261847112414786,-0.11035927355157742,-0.09981112795304331,0.07494442180240919,-0.0995203743776533,-0.11834119951585284,-0.11990535800151379,-0.13985851538740363,-0.06853783308318045,0.14407052718703403,-0.1234286167188532,0.14640921196783682,0.020122264645692882,-0.04659875018857538,-0.1371996132272767,0.13941415460308787,-0.13419854953608812,-0.13869637389891828,0.002159385622888973,-0.135411707038907,-0.09460205244333479,-0.14204561244223743,0.08390519900028538,-0.011464854911552507,0.1513167035798594,0.14830510571436215,-0.0832195124290441,0.1745911926112634,-0.13725455039093373,0.10413151499220209,-0.13655415330125795,-0.05680435139882827,0.1821310209913879,0.1256486833349856,-0.1361629502831196,0.11053197802519868,0.16252745749667866,0.3437569430099312,0.1606757807332596,-0.1349145600752074,-0.11201572810592464,0.1516665302548101,-0.06820205195426224,-0.013739764733429263,0.08466668420059918,0.027938228234175685,0.18230614347653282,-0.0661945077030101,0.025373277873640757,0.12464114999877628,0.09909472693987263,-0.06896965144183045,-0.13382268734881583,0.1531389935099114,0.052341124626481744,0.031230268957198038,-0.12722377549232616,0.12609931713589334,0.12379507245612256,-0.004773715474842327,0.11103514904035616,0.16288049813506839,0.01884324119295454,-0.0926543181446457,0.19243065868651343,-0.11405155818161027,-0.002266473966646971,-0.09329598736489494,-0.134428466487492,-0.12688888943388194,-0.07431076064575853,-0.04309001717242221,-0.08057621080781165,0.016517470018081255,-0.060622142485519274,-0.1408634445224398,0.1414906830898479,-0.11159311673337753,-0.04592680461789913,0.042199156592119286,0.13131418851810434,0.07202259870333912;0.17525222544192354,0.16017231234206808,0.2376915429993288,-0.1828604731217377,-0.006327418384017349,0.10178706065004442,-0.11556472091908329,-0.16630417709558928,0.07459298751851008,-0.16917639791930345,0.0055949383313181845,0.25414318092526283,0.10070529624758869,-0.1595894995985784,0.222620453730823,0.11016558827098183,-0.1954389946131385,-0.1538896859435587,0.1337156064093857,-1.4801304720213384,-0.10738029078191538,0.1623078513353398,-0.1072350780819555,-0.14203337158527074,-0.14575342661446858,-0.1846615541001615,-0.04997029905896622,0.23332290724597782,-0.15386166388142813,0.23646002435826538,0.0930333360372723,-0.012233757477991858,-0.18227562170474051,0.23022672212917286,-0.17505602902971923,-0.1858541005899951,0.0656317842938352,-0.1796454018960419,-0.09641087760732894,-0.1926323574896414,0.17500389798749832,0.04619044050510571,0.23918683536648483,0.23868861537981276,-0.0781788874197686,0.2590019033796571,-0.18045985674043452,0.196471063192582,-0.18034383580637361,-0.02943363284232225,0.2636705619399305,0.21707351176044423,-0.17931400978804757,0.20397600263084906,0.24939154321359885,-0.4142161015124225,0.24764544477047257,-0.17746575551052904,-0.12833528827029247,0.2405891817851302,-0.049469524604498404,0.04070125653293489,0.1422794475741421,0.10336243399644723,0.26251681395237786,-0.04613494800313479,0.1000816096163589,0.21555525279797136,0.19191467540033205,-0.050154772228547535,-0.1752447344943292,0.24204808560942703,0.13508945809297465,0.10861583993386238,-0.15981914785710158,0.2192610388330664,0.21660049740948328,0.05609219830055951,0.2025535350997089,0.24990742786616424,0.09202338271635156,-0.09396171502855928,0.2691941077939949,-0.13368932337218492,0.05938918918939196,-1.4477040991449834,-0.1762082424380304,-0.1604282287672707,-0.05984956612078874,-0.005672234026547292,-0.07063143714136805,0.08745025816216238,-0.03647799356162866,-0.18897123298222124,0.23382917716935392,-0.12909773961788887,-0.010536804600019876,0.12137114429939981,0.2226844242159436,0.15925070665418992;0.024900198440207005,0.00995457189199263,0.09356732973572603,-0.094791164572479,-0.06582527840466885,-0.02510433315497008,-0.09041056894791427,-0.09359839897370577,-0.039404940403547126,-0.09369775522992715,-0.06530060096600654,0.12307851547628354,-0.025123712667458723,-0.09434680059250845,0.07139717997329105,-0.020748055176849186,-0.09533734090107934,-0.09414828152683175,-0.00453059284174772,0.6071489465482018,-0.08937769960067174,0.015603138922967278,-0.08857324904289969,-0.09310130531604531,-0.09246391058861564,-0.09582316706498382,-0.07874270892791992,0.0895488061647497,-0.09309967711582233,0.09148207343107136,-0.031119276453046713,-0.06919682864385934,-0.09366507387564649,0.08303261899885427,-0.09436629090975358,-0.09345434911412152,-0.04280181907409206,-0.0935741396482663,-0.08765783454627184,-0.09447962381758002,0.022484717687125705,-0.051424175241605384,0.09869533030017032,0.09437180742080119,-0.0827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k{189}	=[0.5715102419354289;0.8058402911890439;0.41090335567469377];
x_a_linear{189}	=[9.147753241682473,0.17512507021224896,36.31647894739529];
L_a{189}	=[-0.14835276064812988,-0.12329838128499475,-0.2551174138034133,0.23794541951233886,0.07254608433425105,-0.04757048812633204,0.18024899879442818,0.2254198387569556,-0.01340251720589921,0.2271740129409157,0.06289132134342483,-0.29421647913034127,-0.04632752354041314,0.21997014807919213,-0.22519404154506242,-0.05729907586403546,0.24986362230566153,0.21509250381821182,-0.09045984858095926,0.19102048103096764,0.17276273266625972,-0.12972103786632178,0.17225946831841563,0.20483636879627512,0.20754376525444387,0.2420806156638292,0.11863189583474892,-0.24937117217240848,0.21364216145916495,-0.2534191934888948,-0.03482955757457286,0.08065761390050692,0.2374783312042062,-0.2413114731347094,0.23228380054586956,0.2400690690215549,-0.003737673030466504,0.23438365062912067,0.1637463620653231,0.24586625431503445,-0.14523121581208054,0.019844477311926928,-0.2619135535749632,-0.2567007893511187,0.14404436332148518,-0.30219928532591495,0.2375734217488474,-0.18024087549831053,0.23636110687328776,0.09832245338027779,-0.31524994792736083,-0.21748486700883696,0.23568397493592833,-0.19131941460098512,-0.28131820836285243,-0.5950076916807809,-0.2781131475222076,0.23352314068652283,0.19388763243197285,-0.26251906734445446,0.11805069345181463,0.023782110774817313,-0.14654926788492173,-0.048358181643439344,-0.3155530668250771,0.11457584212102975,-0.04391851802549307,-0.2157409310771863,-0.171522716655435,0.11937932872310324,0.23163322199906045,-0.265067748848401,-0.09059706975308772,-0.05405636342959773,0.22021118852111726,-0.21826486748045995,-0.21427645841452742,0.008262807437593205,-0.1921903515532053,-0.281929285170432,-0.03261570034872043,0.16037503557247318,-0.3330775548302651,0.19741144359744794,0.003923031870545364,0.16148569858401862,0.23268176299379922,0.2196315354125391,0.1286242359840816,0.07458436018122097,0.1394690817801312,-0.028590031147621337,0.10493065463410917,0.24382004399276747,-0.24490572903772634,0.19315613588369804,0.07949454565978298,-0.07304237271515218,-0.22729127013686207,-0.12466366447204243;-0.1547787728266917,-0.1141217936968972,-0.3298520226573258,0.3464816435467966,0.15506126443328372,-0.004039993837307339,0.2854238198343941,0.33517307273438346,0.04477725565446727,0.33620325220669417,0.1455052809142452,-0.4003816010218117,-0.0023566135851492307,0.3297641682584004,-0.278354479331185,-0.01730403969320272,0.3604167935790259,0.3246129954025007,-0.06752469407421684,-1.0551792963979272,0.2769540274765456,-0.12627433234917398,0.27597965983040024,0.3136531352259868,0.3159560537625972,0.35387987175514296,0.21394257211236004,-0.3214373582989162,0.32141453260181996,-0.32730561803473074,0.015550223452300133,0.16720013183591317,0.3460273931638746,-0.3066036410159584,0.341691042213593,0.3482123647488127,0.05731681963758371,0.3417730729407196,0.2678652915665673,0.35433073910291885,-0.14808279702797347,0.09033719334449546,-0.3434756723535234,-0.33237738565559943,0.24226749196856198,-0.4132817223273852,0.3480547000451404,-0.20449940617809664,0.3454737607955897,0.1892981069618171,-0.4376460469593694,-0.26675130857766144,0.34499721424444035,-0.22164019158808976,-0.376439272010269,-1.7378920587713145,-0.37105527443004915,0.34203839731338403,0.30299425763033494,-0.34342037409857584,0.2131503824062838,0.09360781334830813,-0.18373943447626823,-0.004216952410073901,-0.43947412437611694,0.20875467715428794,0.002378861901334503,-0.2643899436361061,-0.18966105771193004,0.2154208655890128,0.340055035827062,-0.34763136072553524,-0.06645610964836861,-0.01163993088900489,0.33007074741704295,-0.2662989991927663,-0.2600867793695575,0.07447394310407039,-0.22500017744052345,-0.3772828112601849,0.019465298200154007,0.2628144774474735,-0.471782449981221,0.3054794222276669,0.06811650992693173,-1.0884570849542823,0.3414241506785649,0.32817214891894564,0.22629263182623344,0.16025087207740785,0.23963660294369557,0.023847825157494118,0.196954593378983,0.3534397889986162,-0.31099709962459027,0.300604492203766,0.16630968040227295,-0.041121599871814324,-0.2829560805733797,-0.11808065849051697;-0.14338481553588098,-0.12990982784768323,-0.1958269313476928,0.1751239220982378,0.01646789067936579,-0.07906625623759261,0.11405617065824611,0.16210820567571688,-0.054608181552925406,0.16399870943810618,0.006040618739069882,-0.21066804971154196,-0.07767566999144442,0.15517790850022825,-0.18405328999556878,-0.08574567126750496,0.18809724426013888,0.14984343694919283,-0.10714436838737663,0.8238343939883109,0.10659694053592973,-0.13154684719764234,0.1068305095850561,0.13925629312091248,0.14296484236418164,0.17878270890488163,0.05582822970066452,-0.19332716466940839,0.14924683514296688,-0.19598579930531101,-0.07062843393424813,0.022297711958043837,0.17572016783553732,-0.1907007746478171,0.16912649783582107,0.17886971455019746,-0.047041675180726876,0.17230062904202778,0.09808902117996049,0.18442051840350465,-0.14225934960171127,-0.028913450620129507,-0.19840818048943581,-0.1968185670278889,0.08068961603450292,-0.21512978364007482,0.1747050680560587,-0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x_a{189}	=[9.147753241682478,0.17512507021225468,36.31647894739532];
std_x_a{189}	=[1.9934879417782927,3.518609887907364,1.8235357032748734];
pred_a{189}	=[9.147753241682478];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.9 to 19.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{190}	=[2.1318437800745387,-2.3957104047523683,27.54571085289983];
std_x_f{190}	=[2.1355210980785384,2.115038373891897,1.784559342056175];
pred_f{190}	=[2.1318437800745387];
obs{190}	=[2.1462729958473643];
sqrt_r{190}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{190}	=[5.567546678062663];
L_f{190}	=[-0.08423964461045978,-0.05718680816634858,-0.20607395315491753,0.19599196910129804,0.10623701271828863,0.013470676301453113,0.17104512371941924,0.1916889027087196,0.04336245079256121,0.19227612981901948,0.10142630803415113,-0.2565070807237177,0.014279862092982874,0.1898697349106679,-0.16973227984360847,0.0053616021266903,0.20130493424369186,0.1879178584733539,-0.02628859028746174,-0.6309377841130883,0.16772727196124007,-0.06525245774751345,0.16665787887490252,0.18342097558100737,0.18415879008452224,0.19910129222549125,0.1370553582811911,-0.19980205793542374,0.18602295721796333,-0.20425654125464582,0.026198563575699566,0.11302841801520781,0.1953100187804147,-0.18981687346487205,0.19408735414521444,0.19595690707616323,0.05161131246765366,0.19403925827500584,0.16312149705823348,0.19902635623218284,-0.07996129897650074,0.07103346446705314,-0.21619923282046857,-0.207500018890343,0.15082716893963696,-0.26550578450650186,0.19688140894697753,-0.11813440684393034,0.19559294850647285,0.12494381037986962,-0.2834586727793642,-0.16170103937301403,0.19530284830059844,-0.1304103340684032,-0.23906745065149418,-1.0768718446551724,-0.23562167514411209,0.1941311300564299,0.17957140603333252,-0.21593491139571727,0.1368581970900272,0.07226975045290211,-0.10374028043963446,0.012972807000158477,-0.2845265315177615,0.13431934139281496,0.017808272089288,-0.1595115988491851,-0.10845420089695319,0.13813218730500895,0.19352944906302316,-0.21915117419739222,-0.025902077246598643,0.008319752422379275,0.19007270435475532,-0.16158824017845466,-0.15643894640550116,0.06147042095095056,-0.13266393326813233,-0.2397319322056757,0.02776247056005014,0.16109576643309487,-0.3080897998184345,0.17987211281315482,0.057308505507422246,-0.6483962587820642,0.19390220193603266,0.18877927913587123,0.143035048513225,0.1091650961998605,0.15010219062159033,0.031168896498076942,0.12900727066041207,0.19841322162446348,-0.19271174446921063,0.17747229480663484,0.11242901226911774,-0.0098342110215059,-0.17282529137966035,-0.06028024814183391;-0.006698756241250705,0.017322886080760814,-0.12587646028140442,0.09958280144003517,0.11509656969510039,0.07066250652745384,0.11713811838289463,0.10434150393443735,0.08948426045956985,0.10394019108121892,0.11563043585287143,-0.18089888020603934,0.0712446596945771,0.10719872983321731,-0.08886317387804701,0.06552277334719918,0.09599144807186955,0.10934704110700404,0.04109352774827666,-1.0223592953564766,0.11826045097012564,0.008870490589189085,0.11755927427154698,0.11213083134625013,0.110477171777775,0.10009471543257681,0.1212086018614551,-0.12069560349633568,0.1080358794023623,-0.1245816602197499,0.07933397644468917,0.11813580560903839,0.09926549791642798,-0.10970338826075073,0.10235513654214619,0.09715141677338814,0.093865693601059,0.1001528937258751,0.11993323557190373,0.09588413445658686,-0.0024873473381293643,0.10456379848284136,-0.13740023793726827,-0.12841893273059948,0.11964147014634856,-0.19032914133706946,0.10076444857725524,-0.0377015310914337,0.10059643052636688,0.12077102782551362,-0.21001520438528254,-0.0813298276132546,0.10053971555657504,-0.04876736910927487,-0.1619597427262414,-1.1002487152309426,-0.15735207711092397,0.10119359241517854,0.11672085866007817,-0.13691698229861612,0.12143059342734794,0.10383288127109669,-0.039249264490214306,0.07068135261596936,-0.21184200171806386,0.12089933514418348,0.0742340455044029,-0.07912001789731749,-0.028419545658277583,0.1225856152369218,0.102171502426997,-0.14051123447612385,0.04218775359692448,0.06837218007016174,0.10744104712040675,-0.08033015598574159,-0.07588862335763157,0.10031323401010343,-0.05252250205272968,-0.16236574768865458,0.08071752680581307,0.11960814221604443,-0.23776052793994334,0.11464666555893538,0.0977435439633085,-1.025796596509608,0.10192508123050727,0.10605048796965814,0.12239188322909769,0.11754061282285473,0.1224218201406889,0.08236189201487962,0.12074700363059948,0.09741313054817874,-0.11172483891937829,0.11436167784184226,0.11912045661679636,0.05385035458808515,-0.09208143782005793,0.014063000021994152;-0.16010775534181543,-0.14376738034446268,-0.20947126451997541,0.18900354806631342,0.024158187712280333,-0.08585719896682684,0.1308154446696832,0.17810449493840122,-0.05606291701220159,0.17893749432633713,0.014494245081324613,-0.2174324377023747,-0.08437938640272558,0.17203327362594978,-0.19986871724530156,-0.0937361412301326,0.20209246752162396,0.16652670385463444,-0.11957938682196452,0.4505608380403955,0.12345719301273884,-0.1473393642654388,0.12317033168961718,0.156892769570315,0.1596488732435171,0.19450914852707105,0.06879470661972943,-0.20764334944813584,0.1645743489030202,-0.20902741489469243,-0.07491103557938691,0.031677175345518095,0.18925166472789315,-0.20512876255886275,0.18463116518898084,0.19199950463319548,-0.047683095347317454,0.1860144869334788,0.11466753106272191,0.19783791220228122,-0.15835765383505154,-0.02544437386017551,-0.21070363959261562,-0.20976358418124108,0.09508430815005978,-0.2192582150832619,0.1899231580452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k{190}	=[0.8203876756093997;0.742551809413536;0.18358351635746373];
x_a_linear{190}	=[2.1436813308632736,-2.3849959644718384,27.548359819069688];
L_a{190}	=[0.04459967498982735,0.030276873433152707,0.10910339635308779,-0.10376561015843631,-0.05624591913980513,-0.007131888883389103,-0.09055780044843273,-0.10148740298583829,-0.02295773232488777,-0.10179830337467162,-0.05369894892908384,0.13580461415487396,-0.007560302648374563,-0.1005242662950288,0.08986273091858957,-0.0028386362903229357,-0.10657849617758747,-0.09949086859817184,0.013918180545314634,0.33404248368293304,-0.0888012034119248,0.03454713539312801,-0.0882350259985756,-0.09711004759170427,-0.09750067467959987,-0.10541180419710564,-0.0725623245826999,0.10578281624317418,-0.09848763573175812,0.10814118930141262,-0.013870516976652276,-0.05984154766325648,-0.10340455969566127,0.1004962794331079,-0.1027572344890598,-0.10374704698746451,-0.027324993742553944,-0.10273177070428756,-0.08636273082932668,-0.10537213022931943,0.042334555927999805,-0.03760782044228446,0.11446410489302616,0.10985840984594109,-0.07985364545932987,0.1405688705319967,-0.10423651347508407,0.0625448525420432,-0.10355435346420683,-0.06615001001845251,0.1500738130777646,0.08561068645175922,-0.10340076337065525,0.06904419577814079,0.12657141004105457,0.5701369527306037,0.12474708530146437,-0.10278041112307382,-0.09507193891412163,0.11432416306763914,-0.07245793994186742,-0.03826235731050487,0.054924054017041125,-0.006868297920632345,0.1506391781488993,-0.07111377307761546,-0.00942837723242308,0.08445151328307032,0.057419782973359715,-0.0731324388644489,-0.10246185829824153,0.1160269750429254,0.013713545826334854,-0.004404793678199765,-0.10063172604608826,0.08555096626372018,0.08282473409877197,-0.03254478112506008,0.07023733699247085,0.12692321187367495,-0.014698508874515721,-0.08529023191369277,0.1631144694772018,-0.09523114453172996,-0.030341304638723476,0.3432856648437154,-0.10265920786048904,-0.09994693749252052,-0.07572820024755815,-0.05779615801159812,-0.07946981433671425,-0.016502000453990397,-0.0683013605931647,-0.10504751342501378,0.10202893435500375,-0.09396058951430974,-0.05952419944097614,0.005206605718349344,0.09150028898148987,0.03191465832820143;0.10991668391847219,0.09648828185713655,0.1593978290836639,-0.1717346981791499,-0.03197047999018543,0.05201464953082011,-0.11964472278352742,-0.16101913316796615,0.029456332885063278,-0.16223336193812574,-0.02477701256256897,0.17419148444357296,0.05147662279112422,-0.15564357929575742,0.14610225854755413,0.05810054839769278,-0.18268094687597625,-0.15079322754058802,0.07748560349511917,-0.14893339537811703,-0.11392938953783086,0.09920140445898942,-0.11315017364876624,-0.1417842688517038,-0.14445930693479092,-0.17552711246818253,-0.06852119823583898,0.15589631517451807,-0.14948122119913437,0.15817673191329937,0.04306652734681692,-0.038332787989040364,-0.17110795763414013,0.15306574319994842,-0.1663257480667837,-0.17411754544380598,0.022418621994003542,-0.16846141034250103,-0.10588069404428148,-0.17963395732463083,0.10820545198464955,0.006230065438258844,0.16189077657423956,0.15882950175583463,-0.08915305617524893,0.17721839602912914,-0.17178432901774657,0.12583543438149697,-0.17016869304097784,-0.0521923970566502,0.18238504903591954,0.14251772027190468,-0.1698238136859727,0.13176352675439346,0.16898842442836204,0.39049693951132397,0.16882600074257767,-0.16754789248686036,-0.131865168162704,0.16200812421988478,-0.06802627058152458,0.003787720844908457,0.10436148460189335,0.052722710869245244,0.18203652024739034,-0.06504291557303157,0.049581525924345546,0.14169662249089682,0.1217168234260576,-0.06863487123695843,-0.16573705761874225,0.1628662400933231,0.07804476787008512,0.05685489987219634,-0.15568223863389338,0.14336124062665279,0.1406744530603763,0.015217905923825431,0.13112811806708044,0.16950228100236953,0.042285114854734795,-0.10340150837465446,0.1887373256619533,-0.13435563858374924,0.01840967894586112,-0.12820241190167192,-0.1664994916801702,-0.15528227086692598,-0.07561577952599821,-0.03357986972776295,-0.08536909717880246,0.03921386353940379,-0.05784158991625009,-0.17725618079851801,0.15505174838871474,-0.13131848701087218,-0.03651836181736981,0.06746414477202561,0.14716574227154705,0.0975107365657976;-0.13127653805206996,-0.12419506020974294,-0.13894196743378429,0.12192483382986988,-0.01220168075651583,-0.09046756974038578,0.0722748471741705,0.11249851533599287,-0.07090381819118165,0.11313053485876204,-0.02021914834942344,-0.12964228361398147,-0.08926670292423054,0.10704990849817131,-0.14177744366640788,-0.09557116221877247,0.13319537841926662,0.10221137304664878,-0.11058205471872799,0.6665007845369928,0.0660521381161725,-0.12500655651550122,0.06613127910209253,0.09411650755108324,0.09662009246819801,0.12636626110907823,0.021887186608203987,-0.13926062331114536,0.10090755252427364,-0.1391201313229697,-0.0838775558279353,-0.007007067623237316,0.12240634959911562,-0.14016348938573378,0.11820430991877694,0.12493279045764867,-0.06534718891329518,0.11960409258842662,0.058838813502693814,0.12972067180495098,-0.13099071044132868,-0.0497557448110296,-0.13670894163125694,-0.1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x_a{190}	=[2.143681330863273,-2.384995964471837,27.548359819069706];
std_x_a{190}	=[1.1306261719009663,1.3297687186342768,1.7402417288035146];
pred_a{190}	=[2.143681330863273];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.0 to 19.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{191}	=[-0.5743938460788409,-2.0721142310422302,21.128666224554635];
std_x_f{191}	=[1.2298972580568146,1.6142516550367494,1.3620932612516594];
pred_f{191}	=[-0.5743938460788409];
obs{191}	=[-0.45863353153783776];
sqrt_r{191}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{191}	=[2.5217634700748963];
L_f{191}	=[0.09547881806570933,0.08041992041112746,0.15839480971018052,-0.15340847594735224,-0.045268448109510584,0.0324017310828874,-0.11595115976943501,-0.146282140079272,0.0101940726401305,-0.14645976046716,-0.039338673123380935,0.17961545612098184,0.03199040865570852,-0.14242862509136012,0.1408551314211033,0.038749789504173966,-0.1614108243948455,-0.1384130723169847,0.05932834862221602,-0.010105707506088175,-0.11181626527384965,0.08371920286398318,-0.11084592726216624,-0.1325692575498864,-0.13508041016327418,-0.15678867106702576,-0.0761765251731717,0.15488418293905756,-0.13805010868234843,0.15727209448309498,0.023369778397091662,-0.05116671250115097,-0.153036749412726,0.15035137524564868,-0.1496967032110754,-0.15541217253908196,0.0035512814111661795,-0.15098506080930396,-0.10585271199163525,-0.15917611365114334,0.09340853026639813,-0.011802156546613062,0.16204687982260968,0.158507154905829,-0.09225238776041536,0.18399863040130068,-0.1542667068942027,0.11518560931466322,-0.1522398745030275,-0.06277637103292491,0.19127393326991543,0.1365113914037199,-0.15227990724596915,0.12161203651929232,0.17260626925689398,0.29735487164878727,0.17137217277805397,-0.15090307848238618,-0.1253372896738915,0.1625986757468146,-0.07562658136601529,-0.01355798709070868,0.09656480345519217,0.03339394019736516,0.19216059636951507,-0.07315135872287869,0.029891866149439755,0.13543471668568163,0.1095929929620903,-0.0766569550366616,-0.14938080512206922,0.16365345160293815,0.060178280750395906,0.03697739639859182,-0.1424205415769756,0.13725702050092972,0.13403786695646824,-0.003807117336562142,0.1219235953541333,0.17333557739526204,0.0224068495189665,-0.10346864389018767,0.2006073998374061,-0.12695916321670406,-8.629873643587592E-4,0.00400061970559611,-0.149981089469984,-0.14206778536538492,-0.08213655164714986,-0.047318048108430516,-0.08945753832465476,0.020084448434514478,-0.06740825559082579,-0.1577612721382032,0.15242080913902753,-0.1246405680530888,-0.04913645617737142,0.04878949249956881,0.14249217977143755,0.08112129323781317;0.14010727236863182,0.12077820467567701,0.2155233662403022,-0.20049495045606247,-0.04937522705095845,0.05688017258424983,-0.1478037143530711,-0.190617493414814,0.02733113220409238,-0.1915343109685704,-0.040767370554020015,0.2379358362673949,0.05651743779024455,-0.18521917307103258,0.1952525778998876,0.06575784367194462,-0.21178779875772616,-0.18008731748811846,0.09271349924330949,-0.20993437290020778,-0.14168990514090077,0.12445004480496463,-0.14048713191241602,-0.1707087883549103,-0.17381414220231325,-0.20477218947893933,-0.09211353871007437,0.21015564727703998,-0.1786909723514176,0.21394705668237754,0.045593914681487394,-0.05675045473556147,-0.20036136975404958,0.20627088191260048,-0.19540480911280556,-0.20347185083669647,0.018190354652975808,-0.19750837617092168,-0.13321117722062756,-0.20918630891493473,0.13727779006478105,-0.0026861052815002214,0.2192623425003424,0.21500357888750463,-0.11425704521441216,0.2424409525566031,-0.20149296520294363,0.16471390347311143,-0.1994670123898188,-0.07349984384433797,0.24926381419151286,0.18977543377862352,-0.19908462246392136,0.17215343847077552,0.23065344981477653,0.07065308187018994,0.2302730743755904,-0.19769564316346952,-0.1601573055125741,0.21968046797442461,-0.09129531798144613,-0.005545125202584151,0.13475587749915047,0.0579559954812855,0.2497627649691823,-0.08798892326417085,0.053766468539500484,0.18891991310149442,0.15760053932353937,-0.09242654572555477,-0.19491972728851026,0.22075235464457754,0.09358343334517653,0.06352293177867169,-0.1847475729843194,0.19128938315037136,0.1877587863849668,0.008603328718339255,0.17241220041830502,0.23108879362871593,0.04410477945579857,-0.1305570860754636,0.258441318334373,-0.16278220394547674,0.012187012303993895,-0.19344263342787943,-0.19580979742084761,-0.1841636186864473,-0.09979885753346075,-0.05219018881516837,-0.11063594395479515,0.03980764485945072,-0.07978098589473226,-0.20672387502735717,0.20856252603178807,-0.160039517365762,-0.05385223351436052,0.07863868333128389,0.19700505157301793,0.12175708330405792;-0.11429223521937236,-0.10905405879610587,-0.11653961835665665,0.11954477272405153,-0.011991576773351172,-0.08165954175397773,0.06927670467876952,0.10957810730771728,-0.06583349851985126,0.11045914085424652,-0.01919034680222039,-0.10644794726744278,-0.08088717663173116,0.10407248797066115,-0.12021488298318508,-0.08616255620213414,0.13074813281674497,0.09945345102248321,-0.09875946623452497,0.44217337438345555,0.06320743488049595,-0.10975299296890147,0.06314690914206349,0.09087202843342229,0.09378667569162513,0.12430898499537016,0.020036310442171624,-0.11695259619301487,0.0981942604056743,-0.11615213205925713,-0.07565084367806665,-0.007391584034024934,0.11962853686978603,-0.11812632968326386,0.11538995164471878,0.1225982805729653,-0.05984813947781897,0.1169917479718495,0.05635641420121216,0.12757756340553372,-0.11492314871969192,-0.046545054833258326,-0.11450646801469734,-0.1161349544979738,0.0408981468992697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k{191}	=[0.6034521033131227;0.7641691588783036;-0.3279131112675318];
x_a_linear{191}	=[-0.5045380407888839,-1.983653768847944,21.090706899652186];
L_a{191}	=[-0.13218135493259664,-0.11133374143989677,-0.21928256953676933,0.2123794640494017,0.06266986676241701,-0.04485711913348316,0.1605233675366822,0.20251372890698124,-0.01411272532643235,0.20275962746343953,0.054460656510435974,-0.24866053893302686,-0.0442876823008942,0.19717890341715685,-0.1950005508827835,-0.053645403072434567,0.2234579554034152,0.19161975200249445,-0.08213446359799884,0.013990392191364835,0.15479899884420803,-0.11590128462652753,0.1534556580307655,0.18352954550916972,0.18700599779046717,0.21705902313807285,0.10545916377512383,-0.2144224402152027,0.19111726332501128,-0.21772827694155217,-0.03235323850444174,0.070835453589237,0.21186484396919192,-0.20814719849455912,0.2072408672441362,0.21515339166742437,-0.004916411809285615,0.20902447596931303,0.1465430257495963,0.22036421063395578,-0.12931523811258044,0.016338964757442925,-0.22433851372993568,-0.21943810078947876,0.1277146686246886,-0.2547286274055879,0.21356760327963067,-0.15946353564484486,0.21076164634473818,0.08690792312880082,-0.2648005932112042,-0.18898705540174893,0.2108170678749887,-0.1683603137207838,-0.23895698545969768,-0.41165957671674513,-0.23724849610053583,0.20891097922446383,0.1735175728848318,-0.22510242277683573,0.10469781880836171,0.018769745375096514,-0.13368479855629167,-0.046230738411403884,-0.2660280940563985,0.10127110815821025,-0.041382449522757436,-0.1874965015183311,-0.15172108949733876,0.1061242732893877,0.20680353634424267,-0.2265626597659092,-0.08331111390200914,-0.05119169316153247,0.19716771255927215,-0.19001930806619355,-0.18556269574250348,0.005270592348428903,-0.16879163733543265,-0.2399666433068081,-0.031020154932683362,0.143242509904458,-0.27772189117134405,0.17576290275758694,0.0011947240384997835,-0.005538477999296182,0.20763457300828686,0.19667935508948392,0.11371025433871257,0.06550734328774041,0.12384546503864087,-0.027805011215376988,0.09332032735790796,0.21840549694243705,-0.21101213316291664,0.17255302797618893,0.06802475654486259,-0.06754441828792289,-0.19726688883523313,-0.11230472550130613;-0.14818550506151557,-0.12204510090902199,-0.26274061468205495,0.2627130836206795,0.08731023784934876,-0.04095498328248563,0.2023041166128693,0.2510729810405359,-0.0034492814445699063,0.2506924779907694,0.07801348120884072,-0.3044026610406038,-0.040075753760708245,0.24483583541144308,-0.23005135731149973,-0.0512449080096242,0.27558286433589296,0.23784296128262866,-0.0864250233227285,-0.1794207726708688,0.1959328506778746,-0.12833525361887307,0.19420574431524693,0.2295764291957176,0.23405335565017468,0.26864214856184876,0.13789708000157913,-0.25750819884189763,0.23814335868500153,-0.2609269504464532,-0.024969781628493247,0.09774447888180784,0.26172425751788514,-0.24770641313707023,0.2565957415345295,0.26578622938912444,0.007467465511673812,0.25838229584407585,0.18640497384630575,0.2714367741383505,-0.14476387291050952,0.032949824859013876,-0.2700288532264252,-0.2635996218653925,0.16429371222908384,-0.313132286370881,0.2643064476566163,-0.18308239210372157,0.2602124971102845,0.11604978327413135,-0.32827678161291746,-0.22241282929295908,0.2607157635916801,-0.19504708293654632,-0.2905212125242543,-0.827192781397797,-0.287175304912296,0.2579474879497226,0.21829140266881006,-0.2712768436803203,0.13705477716270245,0.035392433869968626,-0.15681597010095938,-0.04287507850843549,-0.33045505886138987,0.1328873800484036,-0.0364902951005927,-0.22001739283487837,-0.17330917413960528,0.13903470321500008,0.25612698732158173,-0.273389791796442,-0.08812141019994463,-0.04812818127290618,0.24528302779327957,-0.22315026392158052,-0.21696081245944843,0.020098699662338723,-0.19572905489889192,-0.292287972517966,-0.023551408713985502,0.1818605090345247,-0.3472811407807396,0.2205636577383328,0.014792752814804223,-0.2055222736007847,0.2570494411124991,0.24480185508125088,0.14820771693623175,0.09068392492139464,0.15947592701463487,-0.020836187350054495,0.12375434916383793,0.2696271757819984,-0.25166330515308777,0.2163054801159502,0.09451245837677891,-0.0686783717712198,-0.23324185659579003,-0.12318397702787548;0.00941726091083289,-0.004855996498716108,0.08868854110171445,-0.07922271985727435,-0.0706447630996614,-0.03967743611823552,-0.08095828818548928,-0.0799559716499912,-0.05262529574384532,-0.07930507635960324,-0.07016047325660413,0.12627526845807593,-0.03943801108934382,-0.08046868882149363,0.06228755775153811,-0.035955431398664195,-0.07838780079007009,-0.07988487533157396,-0.021889221472588188,0.4290796640826322,-0.0816700794878694,-0.0012801336212072915,-0.0804733627411809,-0.08089461453617514,-0.08123360437572574,-0.07883814113764921,-0.07866369168434652,0.08372693271299661,-0.08067378312268304,0.0876213535996864,-0.04537121130778408,-0.07368700274983087,-0.07865731901736571,0.07668015463372867,-0.07856829063107187,-0.07876535113934678,-0.055246833733862515,-0.07863578674535691,-0.0807942746090419,-0.07866291186087894,0.006103927731615919,-0.0618368113632406,0.09545358656547809,0.08923876779650945,-0.0786309448705418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x_a{191}	=[-0.5045380407888836,-1.983653768847945,21.090706899652197];
std_x_a{191}	=[1.702675936834004,2.2000430151740624,1.5100101740089265];
pred_a{191}	=[-0.5045380407888836];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.1 to 19.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{192}	=[-1.5909506468736263,-2.5602638168100955,16.86427849036366];
std_x_f{192}	=[2.4112704406502834,3.4671941024422126,1.9073223269149242];
pred_f{192}	=[-1.5909506468736263];
obs{192}	=[-1.6049981115078444];
sqrt_r{192}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{192}	=[6.849535963738174];
L_f{192}	=[-0.18791174999016583,-0.15915962359026284,-0.3061669269799847,0.30545711108526546,0.08908699695035245,-0.06586915997256668,0.2304816662073526,0.2904224076483296,-0.02188038838710671,0.29063726662134787,0.07728126212057446,-0.34437632154502046,-0.06484114167773475,0.28315430183304047,-0.2737240903591148,-0.07835137758230161,0.3210956155340994,0.2747297735392243,-0.11838867015531847,-0.10518609058854282,0.22265597161102044,-0.16556697625757336,0.22090642851177292,0.2642745023729038,0.2695262224898779,0.3124560564840007,0.15087524330753754,-0.3001099822942301,0.27460077781083947,-0.3041996470057719,-0.047027392231151065,0.10134789551654537,0.3044692115149534,-0.2914629405936197,0.29801160355975004,0.30875041171867623,-0.008291326133056744,0.3002597534025811,0.210897114785535,0.3164270739033882,-0.18403563307661966,0.022156944023986585,-0.3128035526831521,-0.306451889725404,0.18382152129228535,-0.3523468840516418,0.3070817150172619,-0.22614846643876793,0.30232670286993446,0.12408996003108974,-0.36593734466890665,-0.2656279299641765,0.3025752445320211,-0.2379694149402875,-0.33225021211754996,-0.5518343833210981,-0.3291073855318615,0.29993789042523333,0.2503851581154601,-0.3142554458392953,0.14951623422291418,0.025336720943815973,-0.19396410934133523,-0.06796995797075993,-0.36764847943974593,0.14470956744299882,-0.06099076808294831,-0.26379543731384053,-0.2149988106015737,0.15232923306664153,0.29709221903733857,-0.31579418598786685,-0.12118468653885388,-0.07447496527051617,0.2837073584678013,-0.2668565730929447,-0.26026598567924414,0.005974074694473873,-0.23880766954163177,-0.33351754597512157,-0.04538394427203305,0.20556022744240549,-0.3820519621759093,0.25273063935461315,3.926594850559026E-4,-0.1302791845965754,0.2984015602214455,0.28225535526657847,0.16310245255820738,0.09276077962077173,0.17730358362177748,-0.04250965035856007,0.13351134774691428,0.31335718799067747,-0.2951121917340274,0.24718648291587184,0.09720550472526993,-0.09813892667885203,-0.27696928756106765,-0.16061632374611545;-0.28865022209354035,-0.24829821417900497,-0.4427329219518769,0.450776816391733,0.11969569651904316,-0.11375256840958048,0.33654733407986304,0.42867705440813636,-0.04823917458779118,0.4283987052287905,0.10142146527093125,-0.4872145608523426,-0.11207588550350686,0.41719034571214847,-0.4023055703991762,-0.13194847105396773,0.4749031767142157,0.4043391002995682,-0.1906886623147119,-0.1825397493723768,0.32520390241559793,-0.2580355503833849,0.32173142280306694,0.3881264247883167,0.39678673707033424,0.4614199583971542,0.21459780336868808,-0.43553383688428865,0.4045488197337806,-0.4401943245991963,-0.08601341457280179,0.13849135532823534,0.4492306341868798,-0.42415892178170206,0.4395053237059602,0.45645230160117317,-0.02807605339397293,0.44246792853504346,0.3069575814762267,0.4669085523808685,-0.28335505391341964,0.018284387542384616,-0.45034884464690633,-0.44350743042313945,0.26492200503017077,-0.496767996746842,0.4535689300775632,-0.3394825844115733,0.4467012255981437,0.173499979028589,-0.5117454007795645,-0.3917727432983098,0.4468308160126187,-0.35617781076693494,-0.4731045223059669,-0.49476680709089144,-0.4689238674506711,0.4424525914608133,0.3671317331832325,-0.4521244496565885,0.21273350380372932,0.022471859031787222,-0.2964460250805123,-0.11675788341542188,-0.5138172309157462,0.20496831935479273,-0.10677181779620107,-0.38952595806344337,-0.32507133892569146,0.21653365876531397,0.4380396255124418,-0.45458034232932104,-0.19374842758046518,-0.12616813951046935,0.4178764131548788,-0.39307331191233963,-0.38463501389115945,-0.005435423324057093,-0.3565094162710587,-0.4756880694097469,-0.08343640177866439,0.29864152350575396,-0.5287781488948485,0.3704102623136199,-0.014984015763161818,-0.21392667064113713,0.4400626486633632,0.41637593033654635,0.23334444472917706,0.1254596587030917,0.2555440952072139,-0.078942402324977,0.18851140286633045,0.46315715107450306,-0.42966004591094614,0.3630487364257182,0.13221103546181368,-0.16024022221724965,-0.40656159512408097,-0.2498668623546111;0.03785877055561283,0.011140914025967959,0.18235027562574904,-0.11605605782069908,-0.12142503149284019,-0.059034022489674425,-0.1306563722782974,-0.12010459587379232,-0.08377689726413652,-0.11984844451147393,-0.11958780995908018,0.24251676932577962,-0.059101337331160624,-0.1213804919328711,0.13684546095596967,-0.051218235203176594,-0.11238472718484487,-0.12326691780624355,-0.02240295777478232,0.31656740357855606,-0.13195230018592535,0.01769067189387486,-0.1310629948119363,-0.12603566117276266,-0.12536697649745193,-0.11461923188407855,-0.13233499021263584,0.17342556722538074,-0.12404515151904197,0.17998036614135657,-0.06948293917763577,-0.12511346168316226,-0.11640956956137204,0.16126608717460927,-0.11801064569867438,-0.11533496183128031,-0.08987336598394546,-0.11701187120784025,-0.1326303528107426,-0.11320674168538902,0.03330600545076178,-0.10286379219935343,0.19245162409863137,0.18294962786320107,-0.13206074679772967,0.2558078245087864,-0.11599019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k{192}	=[0.8540047084511923;1.2231832152511597;-0.5257488903787931];
x_a_linear{192}	=[-1.6029472478130502,-2.577446439767505,16.871663929307736];
L_a{192}	=[0.08533041246315362,0.07227411978839915,0.1390298912289717,-0.13870756501428588,-0.04045425682680939,0.029911075754202352,-0.10466134046273155,-0.131880331243103,0.009935847896810922,-0.13197789834462792,-0.035093292318159254,0.15638071361433337,0.0294442543599988,-0.12857989650670731,0.12429765319447689,0.03557922996568337,-0.14580898381856894,-0.12475433225031295,0.05376009778976726,0.04776482841427823,-0.10110770559024108,0.075183687954986,-0.10031324098497456,-0.12000661104031456,-0.12239140839197564,-0.14188577445415593,-0.06851219651024844,0.13627944274275933,-0.12469575550506115,0.1381365526717029,0.021355060427890423,-0.04602191042950763,-0.13825896146601754,0.13235283551922072,-0.13532657245696592,-0.1402030473427133,0.003765077377211803,-0.13634745355342637,-0.09576802830520512,-0.14368900684549052,0.08357027423334332,-0.010061431350560725,0.14204357189899072,0.13915929233669647,-0.08347304642895435,0.160000132763423,-0.1394452949519497,0.10269364167030393,-0.1372860518614033,-0.05634904401956417,0.1661715382774272,0.12062120025364649,-0.13739891421589268,0.10806151468193399,0.1508742675348652,0.2505870736800858,0.1494471152207017,-0.13620129611188728,-0.11369948296347845,0.1427028741612103,-0.06789507275008895,-0.011505362749869465,0.0880787787565741,0.030865044623615587,0.1669485617247821,-0.06571237337698108,0.027695806128328327,0.11978906839548982,0.09763060153864737,-0.06917245083637767,-0.13490908147774985,0.143401613497937,0.055029764169189,0.03381895759602463,-0.128831038602729,0.12117912505054376,0.11818635029103557,-0.002712817361297658,0.1084421646992189,0.15144976172722277,0.02060877344891976,-0.0933445566581024,0.17348915922784955,-0.11476456208477853,-1.7830601768718005E-4,0.059159560578680936,-0.13550365112707016,-0.1281716863692222,-0.07406455185092052,-0.04212251541406236,-0.08051326179673925,0.019303561373624753,-0.06062728047794796,-0.14229497676935035,0.1340099543795843,-0.11224696988683025,-0.044140857675640195,0.044564723028953326,0.12577129183485708,0.07293560490117726;0.10271205437209634,0.08318224200831859,0.19491845177885658,-0.18539622953649018,-0.06584506892964169,0.023432596419612105,-0.143474961360541,-0.17618333670540426,-0.0026690672923263175,-0.17690917092389152,-0.05953159207236152,0.23001520880163,0.022968233967240816,-0.1725328204135268,0.16777737083273317,0.031233307075569147,-0.19384005549524824,-0.1678383691286433,0.05587846008263505,0.03653046772371858,-0.13851988240848878,0.08678944719705971,-0.13834860280887834,-0.16227593624496542,-0.16455333882349854,-0.1893297343040949,-0.09962884124632394,0.18950278731232878,-0.16735999133795454,0.19335981109722888,0.011930153515882821,-0.07258508404520723,-0.1848849213248207,0.18286857885121433,-0.18116102413244023,-0.1865796748252486,-0.010807775755549906,-0.18288062273327743,-0.1322761276815097,-0.19211154606785197,0.09993446531797442,-0.027861699933267432,0.20112457556776348,0.19473743290449794,-0.11792158532588934,0.23706199874434483,-0.18598766527327146,0.13151499104244097,-0.18295214454885378,-0.08494117351689466,0.25038933672838176,0.16144839039383785,-0.18334018983664768,0.13943915818312158,0.21887029766841082,0.6545341839320677,0.21650541310333415,-0.1822256183970772,-0.1543434033018639,0.20237281664967938,-0.09866274362151944,-0.030296724025234627,0.10752145108011876,0.02480259635288635,0.2518812730905184,-0.09641712218259688,0.020253159841331175,0.15987865805979515,0.1227049388155343,-0.10072119851926449,-0.18071192764357696,0.20312164559475737,0.058641935444212985,0.028940266161309153,-0.17299859953497246,0.16270670685146468,0.15741884196049769,-0.01787758019997045,0.14085337873328657,0.21892621650312108,0.011084370585075604,-0.12947709370080288,0.26691837169608035,-0.15594978891049818,-0.015801804485555848,0.057404729670291296,-0.18141585874915667,-0.17147500707171237,-0.10634770934660191,-0.06773246409397884,-0.11372463926716476,0.009592101435192419,-0.08955159740354243,-0.18946932090141239,0.18496772045191823,-0.1517645451841478,-0.0702380802335266,0.044152923804432295,0.17028009197977495,0.08464745142359195;-0.13035665295776355,-0.13133609174863906,-0.09172518421336368,0.157383986822967,-0.04167585709409848,-0.1179989815294124,0.07566692094401302,0.139876636289151,-0.10336385124315552,0.1403251257737195,-0.05040692990266536,-0.06576309491744069,-0.11714603176342385,0.13209445471081674,-0.10818771971517985,-0.12135706453957043,0.1750546424031852,0.12266653345507028,-0.1283824949266876,0.22240659257555023,0.06736556346171926,-0.13052208772575727,0.06668870741466736,0.11053840799944895,0.11590834378703321,0.16508615042185137,0.002725978311096212,-0.09522781807307883,0.12177282494581673,-0.09233401790526918,-0.11158106609788829,-0.03438853805599528,0.15614612407913783,-0.09964661249944329,0.1487643064122358,0.16105318989368939,-0.09729562104267717,0.15177558665618604,0.05616118089193703,0.17005342831751136,-0.13143958369497324,-0.08302927028706095,-0.08756483093325919,-0.0913809258106971,0.03249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x_a{192}	=[-1.6029472478130506,-2.5774464397675074,16.871663929307747];
std_x_a{192}	=[1.0949538880440841,1.6026881260241423,1.3647376176595472];
pred_a{192}	=[-1.6029472478130506];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.2 to 19.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{193}	=[-2.987431917899925,-4.9554618042561565,13.948861712610315];
std_x_f{193}	=[1.8449431764632993,2.9221280333008677,1.7184394365000497];
pred_f{193}	=[-2.987431917899925];
obs{193}	=[-3.2155156781635226];
sqrt_r{193}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{193}	=[4.419670170676408];
L_f{193}	=[0.12591602875694227,0.101360394714047,0.2361921451003509,-0.21292062063610062,-0.08418517509094275,0.026410116730062095,-0.17210789039872904,-0.2046010528480034,-0.006173885084119395,-0.20508511469819377,-0.07624400067975459,0.2751152220184542,0.02547119941242137,-0.2010204645132963,0.20395811551348705,0.03585607578248807,-0.22113103643068424,-0.19645817704651544,0.06719528624725456,0.06734439293232714,-0.16726487600782444,0.10664807854888222,-0.16626476632628864,-0.1909459570576275,-0.193496423726488,-0.21724773907934475,-0.12431201179393067,0.22965978096786346,-0.1964858879138982,0.23416375360341135,0.011515731128662374,-0.09263627634939674,-0.21316758354914764,0.22189598595049476,-0.2100422473809774,-0.21491741290885727,-0.01658141558723771,-0.21068306742276363,-0.15964869966395012,-0.21960882474004306,0.12284452808934239,-0.03816778628438341,0.24330631688238327,0.2355590475050675,-0.1443515307524096,0.28348365126480873,-0.21397888741595353,0.16104748686810294,-0.2108894202594872,-0.10679642096074383,0.2975818993104755,0.1970163876033525,-0.21112287581386044,0.17066109399328555,0.2628997088000859,0.6048967434008455,0.2602749488801116,-0.2097800716574596,-0.182994658438166,0.2442299332147208,-0.12289283058513278,-0.04060066254196981,0.13231067850560443,0.02798582436117341,0.2995220807577777,-0.12034370007997383,0.021879637441488572,0.19513545961979584,0.15035696306620772,-0.12529428443727192,-0.20881831162800718,0.2463957893081491,0.07064721277935081,0.03270530953295367,-0.20155664810839943,0.19832838772132674,0.19228891641173804,-0.02648438457814001,0.17232217256998894,0.2633975840368076,0.010783942480721767,-0.15725605933254388,0.3158123198514662,-0.18422347457869584,-0.022636215672451932,0.0902572018983212,-0.2093478139666817,-0.2003490827609392,-0.13129121174575872,-0.0866172706266188,-0.13988841900016366,0.00881712405392558,-0.11244844022174941,-0.21723328359719,0.2249268183944936,-0.18074296215943134,-0.08974127580687949,0.051952323506949276,0.207346915408605,0.1034018750180013;0.1892320990623105,0.14645726982397517,0.38226512208076413,-0.3185249906493187,-0.15220053143189918,0.020817504813286886,-0.27124289956709946,-0.308765059419865,-0.03152122124661608,-0.3096119486510473,-0.14074926851524777,0.4509491354902172,0.019524457543389905,-0.30487438964857894,0.3255799870712822,0.03696802812516972,-0.3273455320825951,-0.2996049759816954,0.08931993699128041,0.11284097216353253,-0.26528048394703524,0.15601106510225987,-0.26438877601060073,-0.29421637338132295,-0.2968198153428515,-0.32251605716299125,-0.20901634404094974,0.37118733625886374,-0.29933486006642834,0.3785711209528827,-0.0027346029856438535,-0.16473610560658541,-0.31853311921175803,0.3572151826285761,-0.31520763838907284,-0.3200996815139566,-0.04890234423852302,-0.31562048351922095,-0.2563841139653241,-0.32568017505302727,0.1835888073744812,-0.08259598042508343,0.39488360505146924,0.3816007544718069,-0.23557929040031944,0.4649114918163149,-0.31930979413824706,0.2503455166616515,-0.3154553723821575,-0.18518620302852803,0.4902674495444539,0.313192148315589,-0.31598625329294605,0.2667529105824246,0.42953295532480507,0.9828425079515386,0.42490062117819216,-0.31515501505858007,-0.284418348699961,0.3966638423220471,-0.20681631010451473,-0.08663500212190231,0.20072595751586592,0.023593212294197072,0.49406263239275094,-0.20343244430324753,0.013083323749682785,0.31002919509157334,0.23045313058066413,-0.21025246431562658,-0.3137650964622464,0.39864592897809387,0.09477316650644317,0.03142276988053805,-0.30560879122487705,0.31594198896124126,0.30501871806121783,-0.06364832215115272,0.2701671381068225,0.4298064890941932,-0.004717234767000181,-0.2526800394787033,0.522374436767884,-0.2851606240795571,-0.05786475937441162,0.1502747784404741,-0.31434657081113576,-0.3042322689767412,-0.21835909985824686,-0.15533396500978436,-0.22984169278990296,-0.00839168160251842,-0.192384836391074,-0.32254509233267575,0.36232853698294204,-0.2811728045303606,-0.15999964815877113,0.06381952986206776,0.33158399729330895,0.15026003863699805;-0.17824015127408643,-0.17124175236985775,-0.16996616206050766,0.23760642897484835,-0.013063396732282817,-0.13166496007777204,0.13956373759975452,0.21653949712688236,-0.10482658011066938,0.21707030629305063,-0.024934800494519037,-0.15307479970297974,-0.1309377237809949,0.2066529253052943,-0.1787823073454312,-0.13881405152348986,0.2572447999771439,0.19593913241386005,-0.1572907877344853,0.11245134314592466,0.12959547075448793,-0.17218102607055757,0.1287140618619974,0.18225375503708555,0.18797150226582415,0.24677071686056196,0.04769553623728295,-0.17226587496059462,0.19541129832676918,-0.1701354542517072,-0.12013107397203017,-0.0025689860302318865,0.23556267463692293,-0.17426669407044318,0.2274616024167203,0.24128199663832833,-0.09487285933988741,0.23104742126587724,0.11581822750994746,0.25252622782623,-0.17801805054243947,-0.07286817714107141,-0.1676169687723982,-0.16980966797278405,0.08551285884452697,-0.14863913499277537,0.2389826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k{193}	=[0.7737387720389655;1.2235982715554874;-0.49526891596172384];
x_a_linear{193}	=[-3.1639091664883106,-5.23454469908457,14.061824509304541];
L_a{193}	=[-0.08094740537848047,-0.06516137017058389,-0.1518404090837143,0.13687988703437995,0.054119968380666884,-0.016978223075697543,0.11064268235328058,0.1315315018211135,0.003968994127261203,0.1318426897707529,0.04901484022033956,-0.17686281581756522,-0.016374623029871412,0.12922965559641675,-0.131118177881629,-0.02305072936543453,0.14215810190671327,0.1262967062596839,-0.043197709847401955,-0.04329356578727202,0.10752926261613895,-0.0685606537337396,0.10688632394809619,0.12275307555292816,0.12439268936053237,0.13966165369430286,0.07991623394922924,-0.14764096019120676,0.1263145206939348,-0.1505364207798429,-0.007403096850368201,0.059552912273641546,0.1370386516272058,-0.14264986359492285,0.1350294725239065,0.1381635612032298,0.010659664083594087,0.135441435323315,0.10263306536446393,0.14117952048216678,-0.07897283540422824,0.024536854435943434,-0.15641388358777383,-0.15143341079925887,0.0927990025747631,-0.18224261250646343,0.13756021304905025,-0.10353230111681877,0.13557409299120807,0.06865601834669913,-0.19130592724840054,-0.1266555620517298,0.13572417413325374,-0.10971258301415986,-0.1690098513446928,-0.3888688547723201,-0.16732247677164738,0.13486092809964617,0.11764143886148419,-0.15700764711737372,0.07900388754068878,0.026100873112538527,-0.08505832207882738,-0.01799119533691582,-0.19255320812020815,0.07736513271018154,-0.014065722203875333,-0.12544637334497194,-0.09665970377997973,0.08054770575339658,0.1342426432017706,-0.1584000070330809,-0.04541684349614254,-0.021025202072589264,0.12957435095616204,-0.12749900514991777,-0.12361642135820161,0.01702596751033631,-0.11078043753785569,-0.16932991948067735,-0.006932653230751441,0.10109491308358874,-0.20302568410795274,0.11843140562937769,0.014552102257050028,-0.05802348106525635,0.13458304339450713,0.12879804564645028,0.08440293936152149,0.055683485156005935,0.08992981014688012,-0.005668248293020479,0.07228952155390972,0.1396523607251276,-0.14459828926320858,0.11619389502402885,0.05769180860956072,-0.03339849447911613,-0.13329672942558077,-0.06647377285169988;-0.13790381502548538,-0.11688192300497414,-0.23137345952436253,0.23465304829904785,0.06651661266718546,-0.04779725188565236,0.17590169832990213,0.222798341264868,-0.015481170107733285,0.2232090680608134,0.05733632155865964,-0.2638134767281389,-0.04665094669191545,0.21738646989496585,-0.20431303141743828,-0.056187785654088725,0.24716356298720152,0.21080284074029018,-0.08525665667908425,-0.062123007864227156,0.16928172904353678,-0.12106578528937041,0.16757510380438478,0.20187043002313948,0.20589322344486535,0.24190404414448324,0.11395225663498373,-0.2254798483546961,0.21114495082517118,-0.22979760173888772,-0.03265302771960773,0.07593740705435649,0.23528654129267979,-0.21928128817777004,0.23049224805403762,0.23826612003969824,-0.005823027025689268,0.23174428429129784,0.15839090564960084,0.24487414064698598,-0.1355671998782902,0.01656576870338836,-0.23723793787214975,-0.23039300905428411,0.13945294678861286,-0.27159270309021283,0.2366176729313333,-0.16806361955591934,0.2324455100480215,0.0922760481018442,-0.2828646735693587,-0.19866592634867075,0.23252115792417705,-0.17663284049208663,-0.2534931645486703,-0.5887083981141512,-0.25130624586338807,0.22986372621332923,0.19101059749806396,-0.2378573003676105,0.11246518936135375,0.01884747683139868,-0.1430235649540512,-0.04911530880731682,-0.2841101756721766,0.10922629119708999,-0.04376102930839646,-0.19694213797744525,-0.16018150932745628,0.1152681280506036,0.2287549458793202,-0.24150221227482058,-0.0887716987381545,-0.05354720125982957,0.2180450991522681,-0.19932472527110157,-0.1945571584995918,0.005159385998115492,-0.17753417520329895,-0.25451313465066794,-0.03273443730847279,0.15587878518769127,-0.29812119793978553,0.1934608457022134,9.452204081485829E-4,-0.08421778408315178,0.22954914413767458,0.2162843084017174,0.12274179881328158,0.06970188056096151,0.133595164865854,-0.03129899503577659,0.09976163330657822,0.2418374529351508,-0.22204218265258605,0.18840612616396826,0.07315251350253639,-0.07115511162886848,-0.20711328672295626,-0.11838301845704038;-0.04582720716585117,-0.06465144442766875,0.07841283795026399,0.01369969908423979,-0.10159229169589912,-0.10389215509819281,-0.04142443917910312,0.0013816014824405442,-0.11131902041906103,0.0014033725591221073,-0.10511277863012625,0.1362355992675387,-0.10415228162988484,-0.0047396336483491305,0.03569947719400814,-0.10110790239062603,0.0247040197718442,-0.010655737783963962,-0.08662841241950761,0.18327051863441135,-0.046299805619321996,-0.06003020457822042,-0.0461295019644055,-0.01854448001820393,-0.015508796413991279,0.018313601302367546,-0.08303062811329383,0.06924370917589354,-0.011212712541787356,0.07611049492697163,-0.10802116328505625,-0.09998503547001718,0.01139623923681824,0.05907850491308716,0.006581761800780752,0.015275445571508698,-0.11230982965306786,0.009493696084055848,-0.052067899095594374,0.02158620118267812,-0.04883508795635325,-0.11300531458021963,0.08824327441170304,0.07790356837527643,-0.06628680766459641,0.14947148079692396,0.013963087800810715,-0.012611239194262141,0.010886705127867113,-0.0922556396563501,0.1726182283833786,0.02761788982003784,0.01188886422340321,-0.003697765585108026,0.11633071435575303,1.2236730895360721,0.11340436839709,0.009235501221774923,-0.028115800733331548,0.0896576154177864,-0.08326117024048167,-0.11288674124923122,-0.03368183940722365,-0.10396890147799287,0.17553477838293274,-0.08465435453878054,-0.10585447121755576,0.02517341493842004,-0.021777252344051163,-0.08145484922601708,0.006627300861653988,0.09207489552066224,-0.08498676599919779,-0.10177758097747447,-0.004308954116229169,0.029336263354452316,0.023038757034596354,-0.11361681974001309,-1.6572468166796157E-4,0.1171639971077723,-0.10824441998069463,-0.05619072605457249,0.20365633177638884,-0.026434302485335473,-0.11273210054641267,0.20471048590293203,0.007976879240161137,-0.0052089456091943195,-0.07748541854640127,-0.10185764679438968,-0.07064476198546549,-0.10900906516606051,-0.08873057132613893,0.019127346269556526,0.0629018824682796,-0.030166189312830705,-0.10018396802220993,-0.09314430188702212,0.040392756121560125,-0.06301739744123379];
x_a{193}	=[-3.1639091664883114,-5.234544699084571,14.061824509304541];
std_x_a{193}	=[1.1860552201317849,1.880937485707204,1.4699092721023166];
pred_a{193}	=[-3.1639091664883114];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.3 to 19.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{194}	=[-6.297091135848354,-10.65660261178664,14.406395491355767];
std_x_f{194}	=[2.056259016660776,3.1005605419520252,2.8716064174726013];
pred_f{194}	=[-6.297091135848354];
obs{194}	=[-6.759582088339783];
sqrt_r{194}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{194}	=[5.258103607592315];
L_f{194}	=[-0.17292328933250786,-0.14939376277383232,-0.26092586594766387,0.2692141926198791,0.06697697369702163,-0.07184645511722769,0.1995351809270492,0.25460522128517665,-0.033129996944066854,0.25549815666996323,0.0562718892808382,-0.2866098292657281,-0.07002835877175803,0.24854048788062874,-0.2379416198082741,-0.08152141668943684,0.2829502463275116,0.2404070493335528,-0.11529661528133027,-0.055119346899116094,0.19170153305224266,-0.15436520277083063,0.18973044456911808,0.23009422530758303,0.23486278699458218,0.27608217281768693,0.12504377074484588,-0.2568262743511468,0.24071530512248532,-0.25988452856666205,-0.05355950764706551,0.07856684346184795,0.2698043028915999,-0.25059520941697977,0.2634290164208738,0.2727943034112347,-0.021016199515670162,0.2645082083951531,0.1789061133043791,0.2798065844370439,-0.17008209905966615,0.006015925182926084,-0.2659963889521443,-0.25984461897271405,0.1558238485075487,-0.2921951619037755,0.27111385658288,-0.20318030386251298,0.26533007331066505,0.09858880050528422,-0.3005317518734554,-0.23211240731734908,0.26617982672933926,-0.21190997498960037,-0.2790145019597681,-0.32477841661663975,-0.2772536341875951,0.26282444141545536,0.2176527939091331,-0.2666150721331971,0.12315273554486522,0.008979712985790167,-0.17690862364489063,-0.07233578345268128,-0.3015029239992014,0.11894701157550013,-0.06677948748358979,-0.230727956942964,-0.1951632016344283,0.12626399063332142,0.2616239872080198,-0.26923292919766134,-0.11899844335562647,-0.07822515583570108,0.249702457457081,-0.23306525287530547,-0.22813726037953969,-0.008443327372154898,-0.21242905172198287,-0.27941108823314686,-0.05389999011342449,0.17576833699832034,-0.31072800196295514,0.22025100599648034,-0.01307510691609935,-0.0771484676463165,0.26267902423518025,0.24707042154924588,0.13541044338314165,0.07076951419303439,0.14826828645527296,-0.051751166757508585,0.10730108161360234,0.2766861982183187,-0.25278495583565525,0.21419814953486468,0.07512348642789832,-0.09905820779114148,-0.23982316527083983,-0.15164305975493492;-0.29459767927763886,-0.2655569905680429,-0.3782245045797325,0.4293997368080132,0.06621479588068567,-0.1568102750280185,0.30136943894999124,0.40295445704790145,-0.0983048701370701,0.4043155634849723,0.04701367019979945,-0.39078775908953217,-0.15536857738615795,0.39123031235635775,-0.36044388305278346,-0.17175550532320474,0.45554448016940646,0.37693785316501754,-0.21996077352086976,-0.06525360818800817,0.28749072166955403,-0.2713543093154388,0.28399233165260107,0.35744657912628397,0.36646011392547784,0.4429806885309088,0.16630111130162048,-0.3741518506935066,0.37710296020665895,-0.3768269733858481,-0.130427598778254,0.08585897474288876,0.4299039569945612,-0.370379013049977,0.4192019012382439,0.4362268534718348,-0.07971902135305983,0.4220459815482685,0.2641413518746729,0.4496088876610711,-0.2915039894389857,-0.03630171997890412,-0.3808755756560038,-0.37675981517409884,0.2221629165581415,-0.39335397162106567,0.4327133389295729,-0.3276898053465413,0.42325606482970873,0.1206139072930921,-0.39525488306839723,-0.3552350780746516,0.42448566092583123,-0.3369797893037025,-0.387014200143786,-6.821440011087461E-4,-0.38712525076225274,0.41855468363836296,0.3347921105630387,-0.3809979968347023,0.16366256135645038,-0.031933936512189585,-0.2959501886147814,-0.1594789406099541,-0.3946485721396898,0.1566317580781663,-0.15101544545948883,-0.35464395892416234,-0.3193780024763755,0.16944176402036745,0.41550303197449046,-0.38392869142166247,-0.2255371918770648,-0.167065817558204,0.3925331806985825,-0.35604936772475987,-0.3512839456379889,-0.05916846543927165,-0.33650900858451677,-0.38849490122635394,-0.1310117596785769,0.2580064070124754,-0.396343956226655,0.33969007529494716,-0.06753827077376057,-0.0912211346612808,0.4178078326375474,0.3888143496680714,0.18548427539511808,0.07260336833002051,0.20943198470299207,-0.12800560731085067,0.13665927172132047,0.44374066807431123,-0.372572858926219,0.32822177200360086,0.08068334350137374,-0.1971249000301951,-0.3620084298671685,-0.268626285401858;0.13234763189557314,0.08712246948831191,0.35789234766051514,-0.24696374785641925,-0.18316902165350216,-0.03992143042292102,-0.24412235457397896,-0.2480225217019633,-0.08936081081845401,-0.24843923535275161,-0.174572372760579,0.44390140371351283,-0.04217427916018096,-0.24901148292341452,0.28921790490687105,-0.025843852097432816,-0.24694122453682868,-0.24855032894338,0.025933744709509793,0.16739567012748682,-0.24273234463191487,0.09723728650111384,-0.24117759112513504,-0.247734178926627,-0.24836443291987376,-0.24804873553190124,-0.2193106593629142,0.3431515800533879,-0.2481330133117046,0.3539844302263408,-0.06336442638254637,-0.19162270306240456,-0.24921216787792122,0.3267903170103352,-0.24963125528141777,-0.248221478227644,-0.10312103943140792,-0.24747932303980885,-0.2371727813819155,-0.24751884422255466,0.12675863730991874,-0.13199534533181556,0.3725872025551765,0.35577265880901887,-0.23080328215292542,0.4631354155894281,-0.24825093337699836,0.20045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k{194}	=[0.8098173648468869;1.2011844112456402;-1.0057176865822313];
x_a_linear{194}	=[-6.67162434026049,-11.212139534261492,14.87153082216066];
L_a{194}	=[0.09580122065246276,0.08276562912285218,0.14455552259083615,-0.1491473379294733,-0.03710590898745024,0.03980365008294379,-0.11054447304182627,-0.14105382263871216,0.018354347524300253,-0.14154851771510443,-0.03117518584300427,0.15878469349408156,0.038796406640882845,-0.13769390006651158,0.1318220218320331,0.045163674935357216,-0.15675724818053632,-0.13318789428834626,0.06387547058400987,0.030536665910559785,-0.10620455427515836,0.08551985628306255,-0.10511255166853327,-0.12747448729802344,-0.13011631785846725,-0.1529522672071122,-0.06927549156960743,0.142284308108166,-0.13335867105859467,0.14397861133385,0.029672499464588928,-0.04352681200727651,-0.14947426488401253,0.1388322362156978,-0.14594229282714122,-0.15113075488393243,0.011643183372515327,-0.14654017590496937,-0.09911576458501516,-0.15501562825422127,0.09422717300801396,-0.003332882332408098,0.14736464272179525,0.1439565010222157,-0.08632796051596522,0.16187902327777035,-0.15019977064219514,0.11256390737015552,-0.1469954972351467,-0.05461917517025161,0.1664975769628017,0.12859258018638325,-0.14746626907320734,0.11740023192249162,0.15457680669077903,0.17993047017293223,0.15360126844701272,-0.14560735226639537,-0.12058181067108562,0.1477073993520373,-0.06822783927734409,-0.004974850226757463,0.09800913546433193,0.04007474284330742,0.1670356159711343,-0.06589782640546457,0.03699649966276172,0.12782558092150198,0.10812235306876083,-0.06995150551331392,-0.14494228870639927,0.1491577181797527,0.06592632012273912,0.04333751366699493,-0.1383376427585159,0.12912046609404687,0.1263903092812607,0.0046776872666667016,0.11768780559036748,0.15479651942716233,0.02986113013437224,-0.09737740533094862,0.17214640083390895,-0.12202124598626296,0.007243739160635349,0.042741017710878876,-0.1455267897034924,-0.13687946871067655,-0.07501873122625968,-0.03920701410923214,-0.08214210405835641,0.028670660642044953,-0.05944586547938271,-0.1532869032813451,0.14004537749145196,-0.11866790335846994,-0.04161915799336147,0.0548792314711807,0.13286441671546792,0.08401176200195079;0.1039955175657014,0.0787999651799861,0.22321718351591777,-0.19114678463606904,-0.08816907088380967,0.008797887629420532,-0.15856493978771002,-0.18391796179629977,-0.021939266381097545,-0.18461509731709647,-0.08269466652825544,0.2698562093124398,0.0060488204685338115,-0.18166272010760245,0.18801845112763146,0.016153724340819145,-0.19666404342875915,-0.17720736757085276,0.045801268408798765,0.0617980849254049,-0.15438687153383923,0.08446195980192767,-0.15334184543384022,-0.1729272831484949,-0.17490542133043913,-0.1933967264467624,-0.12192840664778191,0.2178401598803047,-0.1777527990623981,0.22221440184686672,-0.006971380377567732,-0.09523987794624447,-0.19200278573956933,0.20725021214405684,-0.1880096212917847,-0.19257192717277558,-0.03127607198063158,-0.18765310978001803,-0.14824242773114074,-0.19535340411052643,0.10054018142836443,-0.05016860199282428,0.2322538150147308,0.22218956728715147,-0.13701557328440617,0.28016435049130795,-0.19221196304120108,0.1406466874692685,-0.18833744896365956,-0.10663613703603866,0.2974795206927432,0.1797907522617432,-0.18906655914119916,0.15147884862840796,0.2561223185465819,0.7479415251682959,0.2519524166464971,-0.18726327597095418,-0.16690389152554141,0.23355747651073086,-0.12020806561526454,-0.052632435364240386,0.11182931939690312,0.007257138051670301,0.3003244115361655,-0.11754455317436027,0.0029132098557671186,0.1771906731489605,0.1304788372004776,-0.1216003961594526,-0.1875478458724289,0.23666101837758585,0.04875767112022102,0.01324543524341047,-0.18303822533726935,0.18117279925610788,0.17457905572389582,-0.03970635098231838,0.15314611626943014,0.2555557603255125,-0.006770719318633706,-0.14714470720952014,0.3198930996912638,-0.16799488100547036,-0.03739977014221637,0.08660832063887035,-0.18767493615400552,-0.18069013726879685,-0.126640723628446,-0.09052241426489109,-0.13233071549092207,-0.008717667104115508,-0.11067283322652169,-0.19402904296909967,0.21010379526749015,-0.1655111746144771,-0.09247847136403535,0.031207141706072996,0.19079092117098206,0.08091536511925734;-0.2013831625300649,-0.2011978563925942,-0.14567774324534566,0.2726022789089474,-0.05390778260112853,-0.17858045452252116,0.1409676740953362,0.24334913270273872,-0.15329956795256275,0.24465572674801542,-0.06597125612663068,-0.1092370797161247,-0.17732449458480132,0.23065562720103347,-0.16999407349152074,-0.18317492797209667,0.2991344998743346,0.21541976941240898,-0.19658128586244245,0.061018885948386316,0.12723924892896862,-0.200677597903641,0.1249899288034722,0.19633283426206846,0.20490559674053507,0.28477205001327666,0.022015752537636404,-0.15250656350514008,0.21643199883345163,-0.1475759467030605,-0.16673082141873552,-0.03999376293960034,0.2714927336482729,-0.15684227314457544,0.25876975457825113,0.27825393143890936,-0.1436809488990439,0.26300445771962816,0.10810447740227448,0.29248981551408687,-0.2014888431530373,-0.12038499777103909,-0.1407686706878729,-0.14571069517833166,0.069926694437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x_a{194}	=[-6.671624340260491,-11.212139534261489,14.871530822160652];
std_x_a{194}	=[1.1391879285556843,1.78788230943598,1.916086795060503];
pred_a{194}	=[-6.671624340260491];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.4 to 19.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{195}	=[-12.212468742245138,-17.74861252174604,24.34127021960536];
std_x_f{195}	=[1.3768393416479918,1.490882223776903,3.6905004552573826];
pred_f{195}	=[-12.212468742245138];
obs{195}	=[-12.980954583837608];
sqrt_r{195}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{195}	=[2.8984955930830503];
L_f{195}	=[0.0530001922013105,0.02961470495615318,0.1720671785152588,-0.10587069041214492,-0.0945314215165819,-0.03216602477291793,-0.11134566424333975,-0.10731309861165918,-0.054670284354123744,-0.10748787424729359,-0.09202717646591259,0.21893749190556497,-0.03349246088165546,-0.10844326338415364,0.13611435700118402,-0.025458547911334527,-0.10356992160798358,-0.10828769805186161,-4.5511588561136524E-4,0.055660689235421924,-0.11102013604814548,0.035202806066746854,-0.11081404761628857,-0.10944672970952632,-0.10969014975121526,-0.10457915186587342,-0.10753974444549419,0.16518198700097883,-0.10909491524392517,0.17038398548535694,-0.043512859780912044,-0.09783373891859766,-0.10620567046547566,0.15509358489894493,-0.10739847760684067,-0.10537751187404902,-0.061092906077221565,-0.10554123090644194,-0.11049873989357095,-0.10431949431889226,0.04992029561391194,-0.0736642792361047,0.18077001925340905,0.17047798002317288,-0.10996225120671624,0.22927147984147275,-0.10511341105567532,0.08833138790554512,-0.10659633603749334,-0.10204388869263867,0.24721722633976256,0.1275123854828137,-0.10560689740360586,0.09927154382128557,0.20372272223896656,0.7066101982920925,0.20080686910024378,-0.10628474868758218,-0.1104122734597284,0.1823065667952246,-0.10619994396328047,-0.07538051532141997,0.06120815442633153,-0.03208638785728421,0.25017464084572844,-0.10553358327689191,-0.03587908158856652,0.1255086901799531,0.07921957829182581,-0.1068044265924101,-0.10662504569631256,0.18455685085227705,0.002218896501829715,-0.027722478315431613,-0.1089736663854961,0.1293419583810069,0.1224652659974057,-0.06812239415471134,0.10081757049696015,0.20429600755824368,-0.04372780569262812,-0.11118534850010287,0.27012496951475223,-0.11029615584661431,-0.06533905050597924,0.07647968918678873,-0.10582507408927354,-0.10833073002629409,-0.10785443653336992,-0.09570041387771266,-0.10902853461875375,-0.044946000580697296,-0.10341729115650813,-0.10453534498828737,0.15843475482490305,-0.11050837814318476,-0.09655924169053202,-0.013411036271109865,0.13884759678771308,0.03159092250092468;-0.08032363423070923,-0.10394527874179843,0.07757972048654509,0.07471945418100549,-0.125782818610791,-0.14919599971356362,-0.013807324106525515,0.05533233734157585,-0.15448943814700708,0.05559267378979585,-0.13182520786104124,0.15055173339348552,-0.1500855650682441,0.04615650953350209,0.025291696401396523,-0.14616127288085876,0.09377644940524964,0.036213941936670116,-0.13101197072826265,0.048095960750090094,-0.02230482371560988,-0.09837623495831099,-0.023613179387652575,0.02314265516130687,0.028767179608557385,0.0834915546318646,-0.0869198258021043,0.0670701857328074,0.03673225361633323,0.07447947568624487,-0.15255909097887044,-0.11973874382087556,0.073916538767962,0.05319083801350915,0.06562214099135112,0.07916558848865324,-0.15453637897274297,0.06930687292005701,-0.034569704503862944,0.08890450149048248,-0.0838771150700887,-0.1502927601177338,0.09009181515077103,0.0763153580750861,-0.05834242128364614,0.16750954689222838,0.07660292990260437,-0.0382531987135289,0.06955811656103644,-0.10587328143654436,0.19620868155806329,0.013333277433345437,0.07150848412622061,-0.02579475034936843,0.12666706411236733,1.1104196282877707,0.12157436024130266,0.0662789554005706,0.0076182289330000985,0.09264250860540835,-0.08800169904468391,-0.1500110221415959,-0.06851451450839192,-0.1498612194697112,0.2007515228054802,-0.09164845353458052,-0.1516555958145536,0.009998412088389775,-0.04954935042229616,-0.08543955978822322,0.06388159307276016,0.09655972091231838,-0.12882309861272193,-0.14735626021139245,0.04720689835632554,0.015166276403942627,0.006810015062017142,-0.15358683047969343,-0.02219228964770084,0.12666713003491564,-0.1539383124790554,-0.03921729290697669,0.2345176290294521,0.0112581788721932,-0.15411435256421294,0.06687254604683332,0.06601172089935634,0.044850133574036014,-0.07720033128999405,-0.1241145259862409,-0.06508774531108925,-0.15431521519402697,-0.09967538742702634,0.08487327265240352,0.05726796412619837,0.003577141863011133,-0.12129555513221534,-0.13974238225634772,0.02976267924237942,-0.10244103922776111;-0.30511892895181125,-0.2565763160323375,-0.4878865560070409,0.4633622074695841,0.14698115937989265,-0.10519331187594087,0.35981473746860443,0.4408511870232357,-0.031978504135475115,0.4425212061194933,0.1302830602409434,-0.5415049182659376,-0.10071257473561186,0.43146224636079666,-0.4411830409648277,-0.12326896107148644,0.4814942945144615,0.41939082481683543,-0.19015273546122655,-0.09038942734748126,0.3469289673643369,-0.2677297426595515,0.34385835674688214,0.4049537940887878,0.4120078403404399,0.4707785539720421,0.24452386094412584,-0.4815565565705094,0.4202501138657278,-0.4863409089851419,-0.06890815434331676,0.16667095176888508,0.4637351229445974,-0.4664396534886879,0.453305135322155,0.4673884847070542,-0.00796627173982539,0.45429624893332293,0.3281611439790995,0.476956788374105,-0.2984965119511449,0.040861008783781155,-0.4988634634533717,-0.48523720363880524,0.2928263482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k{195}	=[0.6549934378418953;0.449370349459122;-1.5236549353921183];
x_a_linear{195}	=[-12.715821925562611,-18.093947272936834,25.512177464926694];
L_a{195}	=[-0.05591385924862275,-0.031242763013355105,-0.18152651153163077,0.11169089462495994,0.09972825338395096,0.033934340745582874,0.1174668532294978,0.11321259871124645,0.05767576413398514,0.11339698257638096,0.09708633833663692,-0.2309735040234737,0.035333697215924144,0.11440489389721457,-0.143597196217202,0.026858122687213323,0.10926364185970842,0.11424077641513634,4.801357223994681E-4,-0.05872061617757241,0.11712342923551657,-0.03713806802994916,0.11690601116412835,0.1154635254332005,0.11572032740662712,0.1103283541983875,0.11345170432060349,-0.1742628090196286,0.11509237009028135,-0.1797507855530394,0.045904964043409935,0.10321211453126992,0.11204429008967617,-0.16361980053705394,0.11330267138685553,0.11117060376905519,0.06445146724216294,0.11134332319804859,0.11657336950952692,0.11005442206848888,-0.0526646464224879,0.07771394724785477,-0.19070778789847548,-0.17984994740772903,0.11600738754456846,-0.2418755993353284,0.11089198410047182,-0.0931873750915197,0.11245643236501196,0.10765371581805808,-0.2608079069768853,-0.13452233432024965,0.11141259968794923,-0.10472896225609549,-0.2149223077106917,-0.7454558470444308,-0.21184615656450478,0.11212771560941209,0.11648214961369638,-0.1923288066045128,0.11203824877502377,0.07952453281228516,-0.0645730513289959,0.03385032581833824,-0.2639279043119573,0.11133525514273607,0.037851521562281415,-0.13240848656823156,-0.08357464692807066,0.11267596262547586,0.11248672032729316,-0.19470279924132322,-0.0023408795617065833,0.029246511874228873,0.11496445561822598,-0.1364524873492447,-0.12919775120466057,0.07186739897051835,-0.10635998120806366,-0.21552710919008267,0.046131726531517786,0.11729772418429288,-0.2849749953286571,0.11635964847537422,0.06893104197723364,-0.08068413337683684,0.11164277056067766,0.1142861740573272,0.11378369649605256,0.1009615106916739,0.11502234021343556,0.047416891257905394,0.10910262060249425,0.11028213905301282,-0.16714465011224355,0.11658353761854526,0.10186755226341737,0.014148303304124093,-0.14648069490596624,-0.03332762242713494;-0.15504613148552807,-0.14569766902338832,-0.16500976344240087,0.22398159918680552,0.007492620427942543,-0.10384662270256183,0.1431737309650674,0.20662806634494213,-0.07741235591578102,0.2071348108043689,-0.0020803870361676617,-0.15811801776047327,-0.10286610769758268,0.19904560510032268,-0.16660958253605804,-0.11026845443237514,0.2397948478600955,0.18888371320234532,-0.13037032408320795,-0.030377447097142407,0.1342172843472743,-0.14800702817681843,0.13261837421412356,0.1774464910645048,0.18341420206715098,0.2309328197225179,0.06469544058392339,-0.1658121880394328,0.19054008272506084,-0.16573695295115662,-0.09121234089202634,0.018192478390669665,0.22365095651610117,-0.16546836850093186,0.21703824185504636,0.22773242409219618,-0.06840434214342718,0.2181045283459523,0.12121731145631967,0.23597968752489806,-0.15425740987736028,-0.046436931027703666,-0.16476739773869498,-0.1640335890740833,0.0966882243170009,-0.15572961152424045,0.22479742208895756,-0.16278749974429413,0.21984331546524735,0.037993634436983253,-0.15233134724696587,-0.16644048334858885,0.22039871968155036,-0.16575306658513883,-0.16055209342247972,0.11420289002465328,-0.16153387204772507,0.21612486184316265,0.1632833399038404,-0.16438301094647728,0.061724645175289236,-0.043735551898445316,-0.15480903460601889,-0.10462411882908958,-0.1519580266772101,0.057138419855357454,-0.10107135330230108,-0.16695043220647188,-0.16123733636308085,0.06513901627695076,0.2142072683849458,-0.1636383691018965,-0.13195141722592502,-0.1082716319528106,0.2008437843587207,-0.16718691381370904,-0.16584804752658525,-0.057544246504097334,-0.16433027673429026,-0.1613602757140744,-0.09228852018366343,0.11753774048079998,-0.14631895768249178,0.16675958103997457,-0.061995874889243754,-0.04095259812628355,0.21520955358063507,0.1975805736119898,0.07485860478279785,0.010809020820926956,0.08862649685245746,-0.09094794678394783,0.04612782447815449,0.2322527764709897,-0.16610180192115886,0.15937774634146842,0.014838812923336045,-0.1208347881641228,-0.16599206689892873,-0.14697960638779048;-0.05176153262122563,-0.1150088192147711,0.3346480524900606,-0.042732607595620815,-0.3049084250182203,-0.25895691061568527,-0.17245215466343233,-0.07213878767623562,-0.2933194601833864,-0.07130425045555606,-0.309635454252339,0.5050843600833415,-0.2608169504603171,-0.08693026731619656,0.2094859030655133,-0.24496873507747027,-0.013602130364404384,-0.09825803820698417,-0.19232833088867726,0.17568597194708327,-0.18378179878888598,-0.09944938520867713,-0.18586724262976037,-0.11823560059830085,-0.11234517782451706,-0.029142305306341706,-0.2695495513046191,0.3080646959019653,-0.1012574982976748,0.3281475135291253,-0.2769131521198562,-0.3010047364919079,-0.04396100091987005,0.2749559004806759,-0.06009297751836979,-0.03634878361825364,-0.30000935639888765,-0.05022364726660298,-0.2000571864546823,-0.021722827102918965,-0.059861978839373324,-0.31127714797873784,0.36527342946040775,0.3297005419888555,-0.2328273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x_a{195}	=[-12.715821925562611,-18.09394727293683,25.51217746492669];
std_x_a{195}	=[1.452530603369563,1.5185829083081146,3.856267549308453];
pred_a{195}	=[-12.715821925562611];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.5 to 19.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{196}	=[-13.716288144949544,-9.240487102858262,38.002907491224484];
std_x_f{196}	=[1.2876611831495475,3.558365908503551,1.864792075650562];
pred_f{196}	=[-13.716288144949544];
obs{196}	=[-14.32178162064228];
sqrt_r{196}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{196}	=[2.663729189922801];
L_f{196}	=[-0.07521879640560368,-0.09200220679488055,0.04869242757857964,0.06667500570860377,-0.09510237475736386,-0.123066716178043,-0.0029781652323883703,0.05089741153102251,-0.12373006401385261,0.0516887447495958,-0.1001995414920297,0.10767155379344409,-0.1233577101423811,0.044004272643141294,0.006018572216227042,-0.12084571517164679,0.08108444235071828,0.036671721522296044,-0.111296849587927,0.03638245564874786,-0.01023525809504272,-0.0881785847094363,-0.010921486564956288,0.026308971998328785,0.030499251137984768,0.07335829483131845,-0.06226838896845135,0.03877374880245441,0.03671612275604482,0.04617916734380893,-0.1239043746156069,-0.08976697309541526,0.06674263742821349,0.028193611965163293,0.059015704569775757,0.06985090947795031,-0.12242971890254607,0.06210683169748403,-0.019984312367954112,0.07758411998632553,-0.07733631903760416,-0.11776651932238655,0.05861349263294556,0.04677329602102229,-0.03961667136172716,0.12132666178896628,0.06879328413391293,-0.04343935891205421,0.061844864045637535,-0.07790347177211161,0.14534135434612605,-0.002816462443337539,0.06361969503953253,-0.03374077118257273,0.08751292490491067,1.0208936814549943,0.08400555893125744,0.05968125327302613,0.01381815890560285,0.06044972306213823,-0.06306889202184011,-0.11733682653585836,-0.06573536441545542,-0.12208347463233887,0.14980894502155956,-0.06573748082606667,-0.12363998464305555,-0.0052447551304036525,-0.052195217549115124,-0.060745614935486664,0.05829248460622827,0.06236610550821099,-0.10970555873974638,-0.12129286121864989,0.04495844055141169,-0.0016910252570025274,-0.008576591583829733,-0.12209223357549884,-0.031575007192492247,0.08792783440652208,-0.12425686463014142,-0.023660886877383096,0.17824179392935594,0.016500417291491234,-0.12129936749346983,0.05101382567306453,0.06026514777155302,0.04318553572408317,-0.05439191311050788,-0.09360743851856183,-0.044930813214917015,-0.12433210830341135,-0.0728535724548966,0.07447499032426896,0.03228908638921779,0.011147850359455388,-0.09122402924028154,-0.11723967345106129,0.010010275982144582,-0.0916482951370548;0.039286935752706136,-0.02453154590918846,0.38712449290827217,-0.13838141439617424,-0.28643057926695004,-0.1812943842125118,-0.226007312805505,-0.1588729232386336,-0.2291515421019507,-0.15782865981285454,-0.28619789997132866,0.5315790645590185,-0.18419329958084457,-0.1691463678035309,0.27935307570937,-0.16502434628126564,-0.11667919008484129,-0.17586741452336327,-0.10465517160965124,0.15481355862934676,-0.23241088524225342,-0.009461499186922209,-0.2337813186066068,-0.18987935877939324,-0.1863526724854234,-0.1275699261131474,-0.28122779932452724,0.3648488464368816,-0.17799128828399044,0.3828228750623463,-0.205711776354067,-0.28808272720987427,-0.13932404445965965,0.3355823304918244,-0.14970817066344413,-0.1328031885864947,-0.24104399187906067,-0.14313587884098608,-0.24220254964477186,-0.12256170483432163,0.030213743158201422,-0.2637318224714199,0.41428882273380363,0.3822344307796004,-0.2617259761176845,0.5635547180115916,-0.13394488667103377,0.13842158721250172,-0.14549455885688417,-0.2853147509613834,0.620391401234448,0.2540033897241904,-0.14099638199006,0.16996654408004366,0.4831684524436906,2.3225325555138934,0.47545403898810173,-0.1470720265987082,-0.20631818023514478,0.41838614585407174,-0.2784014278315937,-0.2667502658340055,0.0641566078070213,-0.17951820217816977,0.6293647111972017,-0.2797593861082527,-0.18889299430441164,0.2475069752367978,0.11303490870383585,-0.27726353922859964,-0.14893635341452957,0.4241389961342478,-0.09687766544688792,-0.17008446943904415,-0.16841247682080654,0.2591146807406051,0.23857595468659953,-0.25682216921686885,0.17531160663942777,0.48627207581537746,-0.20717409959021377,-0.24828998979641037,0.6935829877964194,-0.2032967494143255,-0.24961502585106637,0.21040299355426395,-0.14465407501101285,-0.1695808500727657,-0.2739376793158131,-0.287287659453216,-0.26619953847089445,-0.20917585962613958,-0.2829286253340348,-0.1262676698809449,0.3462915260384194,-0.20936835644087928,-0.28691027400723973,-0.1358922953372708,0.28766124971062573,-0.01903516992342537;0.1908258535278042,0.1794586028356602,0.19730366748897293,-0.26840194196388717,-0.026456289405735176,0.1241979457757651,-0.18746870104901225,-0.2507476142804237,0.0880440684329201,-0.25225426801747547,-0.013850001143681573,0.18740953095700294,0.12231930100812165,-0.24442046218005636,0.2017668669125179,0.13278751013078127,-0.28083642572717377,-0.2340228377584019,0.15894804040996582,0.054672626046151036,-0.17707984800300203,0.18252756581652202,-0.1762160367161089,-0.22245118141559514,-0.22921132970244054,-0.2735531032213539,-0.09780004297151658,0.19872229104748848,-0.235437755059725,0.19802799687979356,0.10621786355345707,-0.04021869021446831,-0.26751442115474344,0.19946453918643373,-0.2619149835882106,-0.27052351430962784,0.0755052153101939,-0.26189981185874656,-0.16319323192789167,-0.27839721638311776,0.1900430743500841,0.045035093917205476,0.19631475954781438,0.19674637575180862,-0.135131775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k{196}	=[0.6245864617983248;1.3536788845979644;-0.03832181556475327];
x_a_linear{196}	=[-14.09447117257444,-10.06013083566535,38.02611110052564];
L_a{196}	=[0.09232746702955119,0.11292829878181139,-0.059767620816586396,-0.08184037348938035,0.11673360635146252,0.15105849499496815,0.0036555550665712637,-0.06247413292390704,0.15187272266632815,-0.06344545651772314,0.12299013418928274,-0.1321616711237907,0.1514156761376089,-0.05401313535663457,-0.00738750889953457,0.14833232272168567,-0.09952726626170483,-0.04501278033630472,0.13661154793560004,-0.04465772034227371,0.012563288692008413,0.10823498595447431,0.013405601244964514,-0.03229300202650052,-0.03743636881244363,-0.0900437905289066,0.07643146266881323,-0.04759291806354964,-0.04506728072239057,-0.05668271434970763,0.1520866805745295,0.11018465656002072,-0.08192338818332379,-0.03460630724694314,-0.07243894848450114,-0.08573864313161453,0.15027661137329712,-0.07623315886283126,0.024529785498177425,-0.09523078834482086,0.09492662455842373,0.14455275741573315,-0.07194525261177899,-0.057411978821860755,0.04862756510017664,-0.1489226616406186,-0.08444045871831081,0.05331973083045434,-0.07591160612741861,0.09562277735397749,-0.17839954562770136,0.003457072644116947,-0.07809012609719115,0.04141517928726846,-0.10741792045233793,-1.2530980581894984,-0.10311279684271696,-0.0732558776151477,-0.01696112769322516,-0.07419913744524209,0.07741404179531604,0.1440253301172813,0.08068700884306293,0.1498516131285851,-0.1838832990310847,0.08068960663563969,0.1517621545565639,0.006437685519045828,0.06406712760172768,0.07456233053641557,-0.07155123064626986,-0.07655140503739698,0.13465831469682832,0.1488811730607611,-0.055184330726691516,0.002075652444904168,0.010527355056468008,0.14986236431146033,0.038756807803767154,-0.10792720197718059,0.15251934517101792,0.029042604474574928,-0.2187832581574607,-0.02025347128979717,0.1488891592012289,-0.06261702570303627,-0.07397258012353095,-0.053008175034049865,0.06676346610633233,0.11489864377701489,0.05515041949544055,0.15261170317320616,0.08942426800534899,-0.09141448071851668,-0.03963330578888053,-0.013683451952128162,0.1119731231349171,0.14390607936265515,-0.012287133932780027,0.11249388918632883;0.4024133447889155,0.41961848803555585,0.15205683404118528,-0.46026180270866696,0.17268583161309242,0.4128227361497315,-0.2116299164892684,-0.4045853669586372,0.3681679575733112,-0.40736134533069474,0.19752560303283284,0.011783660315490668,0.4113286238142942,-0.3815814807105459,0.2502978046755347,0.4183706652669853,-0.5081226029885645,-0.35290388925981864,0.43264171772074267,-0.020826455608700264,-0.1829991331906774,0.41622960927978264,-0.18105672864794145,-0.31688860359197885,-0.3335909170899969,-0.4817145741007831,0.019379197371568804,0.17766462068053307,-0.35524211450356535,0.15988823623329118,0.39244922552405787,0.14527648814390579,-0.4615309317943703,0.19947479407945823,-0.43461250177778715,-0.4700155761640208,0.34999795918680493,-0.44296294133893716,-0.14572624406681617,-0.4971069546273637,0.40356270860524374,0.3047980571564564,0.13132621075446307,0.1564315751833075,-0.07047245576117046,-0.022162112369595442,-0.46605148006361824,0.3481295214834917,-0.4440569458050469,0.09077220213898697,-0.0812588060299177,0.2676001493388968,-0.44812694652489926,0.3328535572086837,0.06069088455471218,-2.605935783111242,0.069908637951684,-0.4351893619380432,-0.2730267512660616,0.12655894425380432,0.02607007897487631,0.2997052280549742,0.38150078197001897,0.4098522193698377,-0.09385324557309707,0.0375950052427621,0.4079916380237396,0.2728265653896099,0.36501264330185884,0.015992110559706157,-0.4303492664145737,0.12306026287918016,0.43273710506421365,0.41546918524259857,-0.3854539325929687,0.26727827758751116,0.2799803250359002,0.33259053702231417,0.32774317328236396,0.06179149000275807,0.39268858377333143,-0.1340646459067544,-0.1668974461196592,-0.28295419628902474,0.3359700385356551,-0.03587145130615753,-0.4355902205764878,-0.3780634270237443,-0.011355172917761022,0.1646117943087271,-0.049291456482573937,0.3910500702420409,0.06877942391939625,-0.4858032792202546,0.19041266926501996,-0.2631857406977812,0.1534830284488704,0.4300941821290195,0.2393356217484802,0.42340631940795836;0.18054596851806687,0.1668849889028674,0.2039582881459382,-0.25928970639962645,-0.03945359225257814,0.10737885598317633,-0.18787571628445776,-0.24379164631982422,0.07113432125415332,-0.24519015136426198,-0.027543915614369946,0.20212461873702905,0.10546044210681517,-0.2384065549610499,0.2025894037419023,0.1162719566355455,-0.26975490377687045,-0.22901104418588206,0.1437374963653563,0.059644886681966,-0.1784786642735343,0.17047651269615005,-0.17770863738759207,-0.21885562791313257,-0.22504310567382194,-0.26352748633551654,-0.10631004192025825,0.20402136120192627,-0.23041989332872545,0.2043391392115585,0.08928429396556394,-0.05248682271843825,-0.2583929426042374,0.20331765972093704,-0.25384951743165907,-0.2609772392883306,0.058773181666554354,-0.2534118923668348,-0.1659244167242221,-0.26779407102380604,0.17947379506388034,0.02894036315199801,0.20432525683145444,0.2031387155338722,-0.1405460448242094,0.20054430540910545,-0.25881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x_a{196}	=[-14.094471172574439,-10.060130835665351,38.026111100525625];
std_x_a{196}	=[1.5805423792132887,4.057210101501993,1.8666655499453648];
pred_a{196}	=[-14.094471172574439];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.6 to 19.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{197}	=[-7.002162238899646,0.47557675325070187,33.28356569865436];
std_x_f{197}	=[1.7005522833935267,2.5440235730617227,1.9764806232516958];
pred_f{197}	=[-7.002162238899646];
obs{197}	=[-6.455612473311677];
sqrt_r{197}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{197}	=[3.934915821324181];
L_f{197}	=[0.20745542357152652,0.213404675381426,0.09895987646689038,-0.26090339140751745,0.05316215046406857,0.1996426166709187,-0.1497176863407892,-0.2367835423918495,0.1705491041140206,-0.2386018150554291,0.06797639873703672,0.04138932293423914,0.19857566063719828,-0.2277516097637823,0.14078032365554716,0.20378981174165495,-0.2792157928301931,-0.2146983308386762,0.21560813672505066,-0.008102178805681053,-0.1358128626544996,0.2124208798236144,-0.13479542730154745,-0.1983583150636591,-0.20622249902371428,-0.2688332084226794,-0.032220285921243576,0.10961934741409568,-0.21556035977058044,0.10200537644807539,0.18597350397450663,0.03734283153615041,-0.26069060450818116,0.11872534661439571,-0.25077140188082825,-0.26430694136612487,0.15906106210192522,-0.2528201005113976,-0.11734240972256633,-0.2751750328238936,0.20806786903175045,0.13104714748342056,0.09013575502916676,0.10028361225749044,-0.0794445273385255,0.02825800590587883,-0.2625575556479887,0.1848088708486947,-0.2536334260850923,0.0072669206043947925,0.006237746228496722,0.1487371578774701,-0.2554816095445713,0.17773468570255646,0.06031564192368536,-0.13570083548155903,0.06455989666314713,-0.2499983806607831,-0.17825794749686782,0.08788192387920288,-0.028040833569173543,0.12785760229061774,0.19759749088920958,0.19818054961065398,0.0013332602521114244,-0.021913399516003535,0.1958360669741787,0.15070129153848158,0.19161114041997393,-0.03375467947315482,-0.24782234521033142,0.08645899478860515,0.21654531936408541,0.20225815592635432,-0.22949464000884204,0.1487248288748152,0.1541355422159365,0.14728957753310984,0.17526096281063486,0.061138392395630896,0.18616903369006002,-0.11173472861103788,-0.025011004256083286,-0.18309846213160133,0.14976205162011438,-0.010178654296233368,-0.250072136727017,-0.22589902261630873,-0.0485638554637928,0.04849009114136348,-0.06849354371721655,0.18493561458818636,-0.005142088081861225,-0.2708880744566977,0.11528883150881333,-0.17366075398134606,0.04232529582951867,0.21236899313485524,0.13589837465621546,0.2155817562756922;0.14759678530319306,0.13723633199168297,0.15510577864044522,-0.20893128263462044,-0.07839949332688304,0.08268612389335772,-0.20081452530620775,-0.2113221523613047,0.04314406046952443,-0.21157567219532142,-0.06616492751643299,0.16229859878102976,0.08199351375685866,-0.21292222501856506,0.15568060633208572,0.09178438868469983,-0.20272569002687577,-0.21114260822782463,0.11821399787304357,0.01695781366881285,-0.19595493238256925,0.1400972642860073,-0.19543685576592,-0.21022264454531964,-0.2118182289097559,-0.20603503641208593,-0.14474199277460761,0.15580404728190375,-0.21146228745041343,0.15596863623073026,0.06385786035570978,-0.09189359587700388,-0.2084706327660957,0.15397050927407732,-0.2119759138701509,-0.20761942316774742,0.029474234522642185,-0.20850204107334247,-0.18902207703462923,-0.20473253579119538,0.14591089168970156,-0.0032559180610646915,0.15641360571527757,0.15432785947732586,-0.17244804504957534,0.1650829923331972,-0.20675387650002972,0.15399644739100968,-0.21031009418415839,-0.11584430860633077,0.17265931680455354,0.1545858775244348,-0.2095390540900143,0.1552768399295933,0.15790258310380403,1.9995286384894975,0.1578558310356766,-0.20992536026603542,-0.20766570737203102,0.1562104787322345,-0.14112359614692674,-0.007144208488704437,0.145677547412933,0.08295924752393015,0.1740018018637882,-0.13603170021174626,0.07881370908151004,0.1555990989913905,0.15285099651872236,-0.1440770001152659,-0.2101795966339354,0.15602940554686187,0.12095788987949505,0.08827088184173483,-0.21309863006294558,0.15577871086180062,0.1547702857988769,0.013532813321328902,0.15468236424070578,0.1592911933563445,0.06421226367545006,-0.18747816720075328,0.18520433243870052,-0.20863881320036914,0.01897468721303319,0.03324742231430957,-0.20881724628500903,-0.21293112543773937,-0.15432410395987364,-0.08254154388920618,-0.16596692065962704,0.06252658748479188,-0.12500964297934616,-0.20549316723751804,0.15403012316115466,-0.2064565208277165,-0.08761017533168078,0.1068990484528336,0.15414434054711035,0.1404746321335585;-0.18597965620180004,-0.1993651378404063,-0.05061378362854258,0.2645927538232667,-0.13858906365319673,-0.21858754026991245,0.08596671910636335,0.22311145090145942,-0.21007466649374515,0.22488888310581714,-0.14960775621945568,0.026710121694822397,-0.21899806910929132,0.2070572359008671,-0.10282295266616362,-0.2175014734782161,0.30050290173002087,0.1856691446415919,-0.2135637422471781,0.015016157149495002,0.06679528196348539,-0.19656493647587345,0.06502106297289427,0.16031303766800703,0.17158644768739018,0.2802431271506741,-0.0592615837363305,-0.06423356680213847,0.187011987112649,-0.05516582300197035,-0.2155652738730962,-0.12572993779463745,0.2656729732150995,-0.07574588289138846,0.2451393019235728,0.2711245993955273,-0.20519154210169904,0.2515022533824284,0.04263347026960424,0.29177070687215234,-0.1863891951812166,-0.19214311906656,-0.038775726395535275,-0.052310688679243954,-0.005961796457563944,0.04546933749985391,0.2688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k{197}	=[0.7458649573694105;0.5238732957894376;-0.7365390887675284];
x_a_linear{197}	=[-6.594509921289115,0.7618995802622156,32.88101043234209];
L_a{197}	=[-0.14913986833083012,-0.15341679016936338,-0.0711423335780789,0.18756365474421235,-0.03821831207831191,-0.14352323526146543,0.1076321633016415,0.17022387618153711,-0.12260788603936552,0.17153103383963655,-0.04886828689610152,-0.02975481704187101,-0.14275619972368878,0.16373081266103387,-0.10120708618794388,-0.14650465708280738,0.20072845463221084,0.15434680010228438,-0.15500086027465518,0.005824662761133048,0.09763597453956932,-0.15270953876358936,0.09690453945842234,0.142599949818712,0.14825351789680918,0.1932644064776131,0.023163189070442385,-0.07880543568538251,0.15496651338424275,-0.07333174592689076,-0.13369649931672273,-0.02684579117056278,0.18741068207373102,-0.08535174572333226,0.18027975944793517,0.19001046950540432,-0.11434912353720221,0.18175257051622412,0.08435755129637289,0.19782354906299945,-0.14958015585730236,-0.0942098981281617,-0.06479866568692079,-0.07209396828647123,0.05711273363160658,-0.020314702828878074,0.18875283472694923,-0.1328592436400714,0.18233727091538768,-0.005224194978620904,-0.004484320704579552,-0.10692726061268576,0.18366593146835153,-0.12777360633505674,-0.04336096275490451,0.09755543811620583,-0.04641216084897421,0.17972403388053554,0.1281497796534624,-0.06317838468795405,0.020158577463998587,-0.09191693156261996,-0.1420529927170523,-0.14247215409373915,-9.58481851317137E-4,0.015753560269639505,-0.14078670366931403,-0.10833927785737535,-0.13774940062293575,0.02426626581030297,0.17815968027157014,-0.06215543983762227,-0.15567460161619914,-0.14540354850396417,0.16498387848486012,-0.10691839728291135,-0.11080816338966488,-0.1058865939564982,-0.1259952449886208,-0.0439524387208862,-0.13383706578411278,0.08032618490345578,0.017980430770892793,0.13162962945853993,-0.10766405753609028,0.007317442636065392,0.1797770571749735,0.1623989862932824,0.03491259416030797,-0.03485956493048483,0.04924006283198313,-0.13295035981478584,0.0036966511950935056,0.19474165129712676,-0.08288123229186847,0.12484485359372073,-0.030427688697670666,-0.1526722373819409,-0.09769744918533682,-0.1549818953487158;-0.10286510995831176,-0.1204081225784321,0.03563106070810775,0.10605859213985502,-0.14258240420082882,-0.1583433333535114,-0.020059668048148724,0.07454771680482103,-0.16276066410289272,0.0764894059924917,-0.1482331490534803,0.11232907719787485,-0.1577478025209016,0.06204334998665142,-0.014284131495746024,-0.15425199640986484,0.1343728319362403,0.048063682577083024,-0.14209070579906422,0.026739611726836556,-0.0319874332653028,-0.11635944934334402,-0.03269771107014503,0.029256269413242636,0.03715515082565064,0.11852854323113533,-0.10584229211231133,0.023460100625828283,0.048784734882925715,0.0328170720430653,-0.1606688137219061,-0.136977769623614,0.10626234339769497,0.010632847540841301,0.09078156294655612,0.11147957326078904,-0.16256092363566207,0.09672883910394338,-0.04735404142632913,0.1274875578712705,-0.10529041181705942,-0.16146974714418313,0.047592290529713185,0.033254989184200494,-0.07653429865141934,0.13096697071442723,0.11023307843561846,-0.06912415971109179,0.09590271773125847,-0.12461769556318776,0.16512845684604827,-0.02498518317119771,0.09890507828973491,-0.05930307062850254,0.08508322880568969,2.1633608866811804,0.07991236830155495,0.09189884444567432,0.007545939577743019,0.05011022434952105,-0.10726976769772172,-0.1615072848642846,-0.09288281999036066,-0.1563050493785673,0.17239215057643403,-0.10957555132003717,-0.1576200830579389,-0.026343269384777566,-0.07848202219244405,-0.10332481899971144,0.08901747038383744,0.051647060056180596,-0.14047827874029983,-0.1559163280816813,0.06397131344303124,-0.023777464971732613,-0.03131826935163638,-0.16429057690924745,-0.05691100919439831,0.08547852859671852,-0.1605504743348139,-0.05258031101237695,0.21540023390286442,0.012416809523017821,-0.16183373245256533,0.045536158864825864,0.09309600446761841,0.05979781251019926,-0.09569273597120496,-0.1410838558692144,-0.0832743475889782,-0.1607470379219613,-0.11880157618402026,0.12155126170107626,0.01484138205684736,0.003204913064434577,-0.13870970133327623,-0.1494950221364771,-0.009926397606516847,-0.11979822229966014;0.16615697223410247,0.16286980202060944,0.11736156572389052,-0.17826691702095968,-0.04835117012150588,0.12028756222833578,-0.1681653752859159,-0.17880697982217758,0.07941685641536085,-0.18011589934730052,-0.03422402967050112,0.09696471605727203,0.1180659729985587,-0.17953031434178218,0.13613878508318666,0.1284131137658796,-0.17344039751268145,-0.17876165717006048,0.15241137193695134,0.0012634488399253456,-0.1637346445626086,0.16400010030507906,-0.16378185999420847,-0.17638208018539853,-0.17845740396828594,-0.1760766836106458,-0.11395257545019927,0.1218352606365168,-0.1788820300561584,0.1179789843323911,0.10010775862978585,-0.06234389289397888,-0.17682551130766228,0.12577954626791588,-0.18052224235518383,-0.17751228655594314,0.0648000790365841,-0.1776367696531138,-0.1565445498605959,-0.17531377142270235,0.16678700347054842,0.03029744135119985,0.11422148298593875,0.117911581241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x_a{197}	=[-6.5945099212891165,0.7618995802622167,32.88101043234208];
std_x_a{197}	=[1.2225283835375818,2.404927901327756,1.5907856342197628];
pred_a{197}	=[-6.5945099212891165];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.7 to 19.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{198}	=[-1.581750772338952,1.241238772727815,24.962552275140453];
std_x_f{198}	=[1.4635934447785706,1.7213491388063678,1.7545839964018617];
pred_f{198}	=[-1.581750772338952];
obs{198}	=[-1.2891077195828764];
sqrt_r{198}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{198}	=[3.148190256340181];
L_f{198}	=[-0.07800310725464141,-0.08909719238910696,0.012806834173446694,0.10101139770815844,-0.10313533333952941,-0.11431816311520523,-5.254435886569343E-4,0.0761479737789487,-0.11822287144026575,0.07794415259707482,-0.10729979604741803,0.06524468466930335,-0.11424696306005566,0.0666016552617882,-0.02080499900492177,-0.11146955568648888,0.12380425968369642,0.05478508785439332,-0.10277441767977868,0.014957681406447659,-0.010463194077764299,-0.086364638612258,-0.0113270085183926,0.03974330462967765,0.0462602589579135,0.11096473324939703,-0.07200836186959492,0.004316542327141932,0.055076620100313965,0.010759393551314743,-0.11685625876717311,-0.09882945051990075,0.10188709097901359,-0.0039009839036917683,0.08932407859143753,0.10563907645969915,-0.11842421220206044,0.0931984738088875,-0.02363733842746284,0.117674005939982,-0.07897179932566478,-0.1179251140640307,0.02104095163213201,0.011640253991089422,-0.04775903367705428,0.07828159486446767,0.10417927131471805,-0.05621870254281587,0.09367034518947875,-0.08878578075976037,0.10278570294837097,-0.027636810921159997,0.0956528233295637,-0.05009913185405879,0.04666803004717258,1.2262143766695814,0.04390161671330078,0.09024817460225229,0.02194773257948555,0.02214701125296319,-0.07358102891455981,-0.11808270593250242,-0.07167008357441065,-0.11360350002679735,0.10768658028087283,-0.07615663024145013,-0.11458614130808019,-0.028223440959461197,-0.0623473479874178,-0.07077488164411834,0.0880227263928149,0.02344687473912561,-0.1021925092669433,-0.11299793607390164,0.06802784131138756,-0.02716813592924454,-0.031967374016625485,-0.1200262208921714,-0.049123307965217175,0.04684542552838038,-0.11645056236169646,-0.027735080978227262,0.13803120711745948,0.025494166521393778,-0.11801033531765348,0.027427680989052097,0.09124616106686884,0.06509160488778885,-0.06382432077475776,-0.10198250033084183,-0.05355868979212583,-0.11719960866052055,-0.0842595587833231,0.1134533487471455,-9.271995519009647E-4,0.019475339171210578,-0.10026890785406314,-0.10830575217037766,-0.017694348982422392,-0.08895037467639366;-0.01469954158969437,-0.028841501762148145,0.06946595810297097,0.04333121711826302,-0.14063376468580263,-0.07697336347915446,-0.07446370308793569,0.01288446025664186,-0.09947761742310528,0.014708715178093032,-0.1388656458793152,0.12492832136820206,-0.07700504080734202,0.0015045813077776723,0.038954857184490085,-0.06975861968028889,0.07191255687590681,-0.013015167762186171,-0.04856561965077193,0.01914229191216191,-0.08348248108115612,-0.02536666499151525,-0.08532094072369974,-0.03026600324537966,-0.022960925562737433,0.05578683015457236,-0.13380127917230097,0.06211691953472912,-0.012879515394437286,0.06813772387480095,-0.08818633104643954,-0.1414157901601307,0.04379726639849985,0.05361992299324515,0.02831991048064248,0.04902718790177487,-0.10602116679164092,0.03468336892729454,-0.09684582250918011,0.06481584811557749,-0.016143939599442582,-0.12151919577137385,0.07843991371665845,0.06820449204043774,-0.11756730178496053,0.13885659892602026,0.04755623888556967,0.006378586438174178,0.03370188112690698,-0.1402105587398625,0.16648873692481878,0.032672086877851204,0.0363943222703473,0.012882237977591936,0.10367053847393091,1.504318302765914,0.10052873030973472,0.02976109336460069,-0.05022623533141821,0.07976033466574758,-0.13482455583005049,-0.12266305315316214,-0.010254179618470432,-0.07512090522255496,0.17247492731308472,-0.134660647338277,-0.07887924065762301,0.03159691732447746,0.0010328444344837192,-0.13269830561236348,0.02695832024123993,0.08053629747812416,-0.04737494787394713,-0.07298824287146669,0.0026793166050163067,0.03295230623062142,0.028471179412780583,-0.11523907595424895,0.013779458739097193,0.10458220722210622,-0.08757965359833005,-0.10082085211875157,0.2081990357397848,-0.04565726948673785,-0.11075405176943975,0.03852373435101044,0.03188293615124761,-0.0014242126592812756,-0.12916762355006833,-0.1408601251336447,-0.12214350520584438,-0.08954603100364714,-0.13895670939179505,0.058832089443919024,0.05667275575139499,-0.05379494261116071,-0.14099155872542588,-0.05942024587896574,0.04126879028406005,-0.02686147619371751;0.1170804465499665,0.12015985873079947,0.05032289483700888,-0.15056589022590267,-0.009704657391983807,0.10599709128968401,-0.12661457537787496,-0.14880694133079814,0.08056820765182444,-0.14948264094749195,0.0013523217071768222,0.025474899271022238,0.10442531657217635,-0.14790136696267922,0.07325182251689298,0.10920674371725564,-0.14945183394531894,-0.14568451890773843,0.12009380262660124,-0.022360224170824086,-0.12083852588541522,0.11989965194033765,-0.1210497977986193,-0.14122492672475076,-0.14385143045621038,-0.15016112728606948,-0.0670460706130414,0.05571903325152541,-0.14599423208048384,0.05091247897908176,0.0938228935360709,-0.021692322265173092,-0.1494409106483376,0.06085430019046943,-0.15173541916418706,-0.15065903561450836,0.0717935431640953,-0.14897411087675064,-0.11252763667512372,-0.150291583217987,0.11769399821791611,0.04842173076861997,0.045827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k{198}	=[0.6823571898216483;0.7495911938689345;0.3893738021960364];
x_a_linear{198}	=[-1.382063681239488,1.4606014280206912,25.076499813278343];
L_a{198}	=[0.07279557396362628,0.0831490114533444,-0.011951842396093326,-0.09426781742205519,0.09624995786221385,0.10668621534873092,4.903646658193055E-4,-0.0710642902892294,0.11033024305079943,-0.0727405551536529,0.10013639859182756,-0.060888911169562875,0.10661976865111517,-0.062155289607658065,0.019416045042049784,0.10402778262638412,-0.115539014534325,-0.05112760318623017,0.09591313714405651,-0.013959097803538113,0.00976466509080441,0.08059888457285015,0.010570810771621,-0.03709001825124718,-0.04317189687782502,-0.10355666243193035,0.06720104130423299,-0.0040283674240924406,-0.05139967256804879,-0.010041090113392718,0.10905486624306582,0.09223153831064745,-0.09508504889541024,0.003640551925259529,-0.08336075059944309,-0.09858654961996577,0.11051814218498734,-0.0869764889147833,0.022059295819875858,-0.10981802013394099,0.07369959558258511,0.11005236413202528,-0.019636245333173163,-0.010863143792433128,0.04457061251572719,-0.073055469576924,-0.09722420192454566,0.052465508915366284,-0.0874168578846374,0.08285838984742337,-0.09592366900148395,0.025791761178979876,-0.08926698461877755,0.046754484362911096,-0.04355244492947489,-1.144351584106941,-0.04097071897588671,-0.08422315341738654,-0.02048248905147001,-0.020668463763568977,0.06866871617285276,0.11019943507472438,0.06688534666687723,0.1060192635881883,-0.10049736088250275,0.07107236884120595,0.10693630315993047,0.026339227451099328,0.0581850023876321,0.06604990894365617,-0.08214627743854293,-0.021881547599327728,0.09537007727891107,0.1054541274407421,-0.06348626263826548,0.025354375205014636,0.02983321333666099,0.1120131998332762,0.04584380705048373,-0.04371799738408314,0.10867625436808939,0.0258834706692735,-0.12881616259472464,-0.023792160978801342,0.11013189596466258,-0.025596592884067213,-0.08515451371900284,-0.06074605108424365,0.05956337160351563,0.09517408866282831,0.049983080179483816,0.10937529389570988,0.0786343411106733,-0.10587913649622611,8.652991648025822E-4,-0.018175154080419146,0.09357489662705935,0.10107519649271145,0.016513063843511228,0.08301199537743291;0.15095763206419088,0.1603764613568486,0.042267760142710484,-0.17118924546454548,0.07839735376827886,0.1658070136812941,-0.07334780523623462,-0.14883291946915397,0.15159528766139999,-0.150823254976984,0.08900964745774567,-0.013633467240708139,0.16562412699343879,-0.13993904010233968,0.08313896028407748,0.16697209776660307,-0.19101368372321356,-0.12936364581334187,0.16969901307952256,-0.012623714769064822,-0.06126153092520762,0.15804810449248624,-0.06126548597130261,-0.11466986545467688,-0.12120500866634738,-0.17987178310225588,0.01912470194050281,0.05294976931419558,-0.12984712785687402,0.0452877273980953,0.15998426410616753,0.06847081593938625,-0.1725829281532418,0.06190454126935127,-0.16137989661024246,-0.1753211932029941,0.14547933076596123,-0.16324458937358857,-0.0466466084726025,-0.18509141741054075,0.15157046992971127,0.12892135443500252,0.03375471204913515,0.043483789947349104,-0.016140232866359388,-0.027392005915226145,-0.17369191707542989,0.12577166829745134,-0.16522820237113928,0.048346051617993,-0.051799862616090146,0.09136508190253063,-0.16674600024349834,0.11927903263813903,0.004560461584664258,-1.099824212604932,0.007293755453923998,-0.1619012398194649,-0.09683719065349017,0.032726166179743214,0.02144133810080316,0.12811217889398546,0.14195339131477824,0.16614172384416773,-0.05622178949264406,0.02707511633608558,0.16447024857534398,0.09153575341300306,0.1334414857812211,0.017608102318011194,-0.1599777722395547,0.030741575998370477,0.16965387122803807,0.16698833469764188,-0.1417931322248851,0.09064996430969013,0.09636110091864114,0.13966364801603165,0.11810387150232163,0.005095391058339603,0.15972935382709286,-0.04191915848601008,-0.084941333303037,-0.09979987635505988,0.1398674849707717,-0.019725126142382532,-0.16189884615339584,-0.13966090186072236,0.006377702297142903,0.07572269267401968,-0.008399559767813931,0.15935374500992988,0.03998744876593227,-0.18211165954888034,0.0586418729133516,-0.09515521345936562,0.07195205935688612,0.1705914219438618,0.07884672717963404,0.16204468643185838;0.2031307685044432,0.2184487905459668,0.0361948396526805,-0.2619981600389949,0.10407066452919149,0.23210892308113487,-0.12603492423878287,-0.23281074439044763,0.21098757821109432,-0.23546792616890977,0.11972173442029209,-0.04650077348370398,0.23045860293275314,-0.22137400260101098,0.09620317568275787,0.23217609061303704,-0.2860283983934469,-0.20612152730517372,0.23347097491229404,-0.03886101940857687,-0.10929589315253539,0.21517412522261378,-0.10855423494101522,-0.1850683616760565,-0.19488414334585066,-0.27257357158180695,0.012391056193524166,0.050957173499348044,-0.20675284873821217,0.039043089262296105,0.2227346644028987,0.08733289910272919,-0.26183921489957657,0.06515773030583727,-0.25027464396696364,-0.2671964000896883,0.20243502586716094,-0.2517874340786086,-0.08645174491365717,-0.28010546439777756,0.20481294766070846,0.17851262571978802,0.022615536828508698,0.038475957106865834,-0.04077883962558649,-0.06647345229503208,-0.2650254408882177,0.16392324084296353,-0.25344120137109594,0.05664788330848388,-0.09948836580895565,0.10955145844927221,-0.2566177342981286,0.15234694421602335,-0.020481812421722093,0.07583979728603865,-0.014933775406031684,-0.24967666776812056,-0.1607179867212716,0.020189500757030732,0.017660910541099757,0.1766615406006955,0.18926665705320667,0.2304602216730378,-0.10583934013838471,0.02341739717570021,0.22804464200079289,0.111265430309005,0.1740723408270154,0.010180538299361955,-0.2467718060088455,0.01783345000883843,0.23445007257688655,0.23315720806106102,-0.2240927744563778,0.10845045170890807,0.11736055785927609,0.19330387554687925,0.14896229854271484,-0.020218946540483427,0.22246050044438365,-0.07945355944826706,-0.14345356038942222,-0.16602708106015282,0.19396624335105667,-0.04989277311118646,-0.25047802688483306,-0.22005716201164777,-0.006110295716132784,0.09931145166061323,-0.028945062037431635,0.22214961702805583,0.043582117539971044,-0.2762397961183096,0.0605757329461308,-0.1560735696713854,0.09265279396571201,0.23649488725042805,0.09045123365034277,0.21996449226892367];
x_a{198}	=[-1.3820636812394884,1.460601428020692,25.076499813278343];
std_x_a{198}	=[1.3658830860961317,1.6142762069826264,1.720677589633288];
pred_a{198}	=[-1.3820636812394884];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.8 to 19.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{199}	=[0.24376518006662892,1.102240079036275,19.3831961391813];
std_x_f{199}	=[1.5929934105019203,1.9558460500289017,1.6977893151065087];
pred_f{199}	=[0.24376518006662892];
obs{199}	=[0.42993190914297513];
sqrt_r{199}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{199}	=[3.556108132673584];
L_f{199}	=[0.13594163001466916,0.1472132372748214,0.02590957365502299,-0.1727999824455962,0.10143134732929283,0.16029069307047472,-0.04866890061537463,-0.14296111564272726,0.1528494484744203,-0.14507907434766498,0.10955539510909638,-0.03838892809480826,0.16005360724173157,-0.13123936551806667,0.0678084926280204,0.1593092155386597,-0.20037100457934467,-0.11732147633677015,0.15814104423938208,-0.013450663495810523,-0.03437084509239865,0.14420916296108685,-0.03468115888940145,-0.0990438236325423,-0.10714406118890474,-0.18468195962064396,0.04903859571165216,0.036655245794302814,-0.11778895068310759,0.0285027912952727,0.15807644969742418,0.09292426684594148,-0.17410447673065219,0.04633039867287089,-0.15879171384624982,-0.17853289195114827,0.1495569305760025,-0.16264881437077972,-0.018473381811283173,-0.19209336488176762,0.13673144091557482,0.13900566044525178,0.01574825511524842,0.026906510302132546,0.014433196781212902,-0.05469065172422489,-0.1764521423982526,0.11120341352889225,-0.16424936723092134,0.07539877500678131,-0.08443581595908564,0.07646515901643758,-0.1668818368614254,0.1046471522812438,-0.016965785248541185,-1.0910225644177693,-0.013417123302430506,-0.1595182545265461,-0.07674917325147433,0.014335522400247087,0.05132367895243534,0.13881655521915495,0.12810767010387025,0.15971432172506855,-0.089950187284671,0.05615050895158551,0.159672074625004,0.07684070452348071,0.11871059636531885,0.04765539180176319,-0.15732204022272764,0.012616209540202367,0.1577108354588578,0.1603556557031697,-0.13407276625649442,0.07601453320137606,0.08177298310026132,0.1466366649242142,0.10321430574312354,-0.015851334461985167,0.15719449095442659,-0.013466816570886393,-0.12627672504103857,-0.0808430530518699,0.1463980774741129,-0.024504332514239068,-0.16091918682577316,-0.13036072912241248,0.0370596822114881,0.09927012811570754,0.02206080295325373,0.15751407278843416,0.06861988914180724,-0.18790962219692378,0.042784192108246716,-0.07412875594327112,0.09555251223621464,0.16062021523106318,0.06416131489587293,0.14740353821532406;0.19596520207361132,0.20806507481819647,0.05297829756785049,-0.26639623929960937,0.1280340127063572,0.2173730843743648,-0.08477847089181521,-0.22171956482196115,0.2046758911806236,-0.22433869374847684,0.13937623218247588,-0.03476421136117072,0.2179028201302547,-0.20448718917177372,0.10989663849132945,0.21822418137149951,-0.3055434844673214,-0.1843289791700555,0.21971785717470182,-0.0142390519631671,-0.06551526936069939,0.20566744852154048,-0.06563185456572072,-0.1580323056390668,-0.16948729025410816,-0.2827653387786887,0.054154493063601705,0.06818597237550053,-0.18511589203955894,0.05708644637665564,0.2124720220141253,0.11620917037613002,-0.2671678511436546,0.08101134199416868,-0.24528771576129915,-0.27332444817359464,0.19900819611232817,-0.2500643000800092,-0.0424886687854592,-0.2929987281052297,0.19676920906773643,0.18250751679832217,0.03985689748964534,0.05516128513714534,0.004530765885705782,-0.057601281493423556,-0.2704266610923349,0.1659685348152112,-0.2526729427758505,0.0909132196066773,-0.09969151592235186,0.12115960261308475,-0.256656647158386,0.15768874715552414,-0.004926749682230732,-0.9858542353108032,-2.1418408240500553E-4,-0.2467027091773722,-0.12483394256090152,0.03783876837828005,0.056947632911828895,0.18152576552651703,0.1864781869204641,0.21744769145081339,-0.10795529903616505,0.06430897663989318,0.2174739709814181,0.12161826728483452,0.17521269166003944,0.05190851186013857,-0.242206903176493,0.03565504978343168,0.21947526586291938,0.21840629218664961,-0.20794924138295126,0.12066803841440826,0.12834549507294774,0.19377785058273875,0.1560206019641797,-0.004159416997532186,0.21226396600442776,-0.03421689189095718,-0.15973395497534973,-0.13106260214746202,0.19364963732549328,-0.028085834547256664,-0.24741601209629935,-0.2035896176643222,0.03661277790595448,0.12480068971098664,0.016731649093587115,0.21222729520867556,0.08135750144021663,-0.2875604409364443,0.07621949082929873,-0.12137264844557755,0.1200933754680206,0.2213363027707171,0.10504490409874105,0.2093584713233204;0.15574067161468427,0.17091556657434478,0.005389187019251578,-0.2058520437102633,0.07354007378199112,0.1870386692820304,-0.11733985458382865,-0.18912059766308117,0.1683120303403966,-0.19101606388882117,0.08761977624399712,-0.061513315391342735,0.18496690386413595,-0.1820621024855076,0.05746267723900503,0.1863452796045687,-0.21708967261349466,-0.17276769977020418,0.1864699847677139,-0.05252385484712186,-0.10449345338459101,0.16751536661529426,-0.10422903205142016,-0.1589461344129055,-0.16499711924655736,-0.21092706205632017,-0.005680617319496605,0.0175581383968432,-0.17312044927567025,0.008387339858186217,0.17894994179731685,0.05843420545496725,-0.2043659076358835,0.02984314904796415,-0.19935202073607095,-0.2081849640122854,0.16077756306874874,-0.19939433504215026,-0.08693244764965598,-0.21515679811814248,0.1579267267985306,0.13963281538082756,-0.00608854763995546,0.0066753046346584724,-0.05078726772330611,-0.0764555649654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k{199}	=[0.7187937029214655;0.8591558226488181;0.13437142567254556];
x_a_linear{199}	=[0.3775806526201931,1.2621863083057028,19.408211627980084];
L_a{199}	=[-0.10897643256646031,-0.11801221909019938,-0.020770185747645394,0.1385236121741079,-0.08131156277266337,-0.12849564848193232,0.039015003464522725,0.11460354254090169,-0.12253043907665347,0.11630138582821785,-0.08782413544776596,0.030774152357678483,-0.12830559067678685,0.1052069028810482,-0.05435809195103389,-0.1277088555028444,0.16062568373248653,0.09404974733076264,-0.1267724010789266,0.010782608118404749,0.027553090852742164,-0.1156040288850355,0.027801851225630732,0.07939762503989012,0.08589111045519673,0.1480486964638367,-0.03931136634265847,-0.029384360928134026,0.09442449409946553,-0.022849016252122416,-0.12672061942274768,-0.07449193524185206,0.13956934874114335,-0.03714036359727724,0.12729400474461935,0.14311934952162997,-0.11989102056525212,0.13038601603776148,0.014809026837581247,0.1539899854242118,-0.10960957764772475,-0.11143268607441084,-0.012624452578809748,-0.021569371392874525,-0.011570247433229703,0.04384228818646404,0.14145133462939743,-0.08914525516785315,0.13166908540226327,-0.0604427762064762,0.0676872419660297,-0.06129763372955969,0.13377938192541766,-0.08388948501366744,0.013600475085337672,0.8746088075222451,0.010755720912316788,0.12787642980046535,0.06152531128594228,-0.011491947610065752,-0.041143183569442326,-0.11128109150461259,-0.1026964063239079,-0.1280336053752762,0.07210779007071406,-0.0450125701131773,-0.1279997383527106,-0.06159868653891274,-0.09516332339352955,-0.038202532885273664,0.12611585358877986,-0.010113675318251303,-0.12642752792891926,-0.1285477252148689,0.10747827408993918,-0.06093639344030873,-0.06555260502336455,-0.11755001484946119,-0.08274085597249214,0.012707085246061399,-0.1260136048204342,0.010795557091405592,0.10122864504172352,0.06480713463876549,-0.11735875328253478,0.01964368633461247,0.1289994750679115,0.10450255160976284,-0.0297085738858575,-0.07957904007255141,-0.017684851984912948,-0.12626979483507098,-0.05500854095226916,0.15063612426688172,-0.03429757775959971,0.059424676402775316,-0.07659884543934131,-0.1287598070734447,-0.051434363449747195,-0.11816477219411442;-0.09677912593483208,-0.10895216423738052,-0.0028168310311411874,0.10572093139672722,-0.090393937655138,-0.1278058812144715,0.020027868446768467,0.08614091710437413,-0.12447868108158196,0.08808271920214995,-0.09654649816474127,0.04790465877718537,-0.12676559154210867,0.07813101882451995,-0.03612597140023456,-0.12484121547113647,0.12594667113569336,0.06831766591916558,-0.12083193409538878,0.014726360956509149,0.00850083555558554,-0.10488064847529598,0.009052497479611891,0.05525421733087746,0.06124273843141587,0.11493914776155645,-0.051447968423260514,-0.010749489093363804,0.06853743851727781,-0.004293062484604419,-0.1279386677476458,-0.08389915590005956,0.10775849068611945,-0.01875913614699636,0.09666326392177055,0.11113829128306231,-0.12305608350351084,0.10019277613134768,-0.002707052632968386,0.12066589406478379,-0.09767594201760012,-0.11683506613248477,0.005943721955988232,-0.0027807027336791937,-0.026550489299139682,0.060172634308707215,0.10955527561426992,-0.07350313079780073,0.10103085370385662,-0.07145472992900369,0.08213730428614428,-0.04350475803869152,0.10271605702017243,-0.06766429789229718,0.03160832350457606,1.3636149260348736,0.028679001504325296,0.09681284394211429,0.04044203026862857,0.006967850681784262,-0.05357565494510289,-0.1174095876077172,-0.08939605258393256,-0.1264900837670086,0.0857484775629767,-0.056608677566476424,-0.12637282696242688,-0.04385481411778239,-0.08042536238342649,-0.05071528077410353,0.09657919892446046,0.008486596797677907,-0.12014808969837255,-0.12691256757773786,0.08077057062574214,-0.04302591934166057,-0.047749031558435726,-0.12199776524595372,-0.06624687101204023,0.029975735380809904,-0.12624746435077214,-0.0052166940337467025,0.11219742477386241,0.04302936097867413,-0.12161219091110108,0.024683168990528595,0.09911638718339776,0.07713648545444594,-0.04319361961949732,-0.08897317002137818,-0.03077532088448403,-0.1269723405860954,-0.06641241519727398,0.11709467516318665,-0.015914387267950234,0.038260370831689934,-0.08567476179126333,-0.12455227431428137,-0.03312366877554083,-0.10806857244727147;0.10995564441115573,0.12133427148012085,-0.003337135701015247,-0.14765315425905615,0.03937808090121531,0.13305289802187917,-0.10094820959325237,-0.14097141357544976,0.11683246403175032,-0.1421535530821332,0.050721610870946864,-0.04858395654118426,0.13106098291266013,-0.13786079402856116,0.034624833678726805,0.13269006915561926,-0.1496048859850453,-0.13325392474001294,0.13320821343458222,-0.04799368264016275,-0.0929173815264423,0.11894584123547562,-0.09254844676617799,-0.1255882575147982,-0.1289110891195013,-0.14872633263796917,-0.02219677530905832,0.005212682294374195,-0.13344922927691633,-0.0012123763927496213,0.1257099258518498,0.027137390160415567,-0.14572766560135134,0.014239109554257456,-0.14587110442396767,-0.14805523543814786,0.11040691403239723,-0.14461435050184274,-0.08071062811814456,-0.1504599136113142,0.11187569194466235,0.092815825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x_a{199}	=[0.3775806526201931,1.2621863083057034,19.408211627980087];
std_x_a{199}	=[1.2770093970452328,1.5966525042204929,1.6919605338127242];
pred_a{199}	=[0.3775806526201931];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.9 to 20.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{200}	=[1.1074031139893064,1.8604893622746703,15.165212207385517];
std_x_f{200}	=[1.4933013263819865,1.9214719387289843,2.077609313953602];
pred_f{200}	=[1.1074031139893064];
obs{200}	=[1.284635569860973];
sqrt_r{200}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{200}	=[3.247960734583984];
L_f{200}	=[-0.13420835745132378,-0.14818517485715046,-0.012067012378379075,0.17704689155323294,-0.11321360798003915,-0.16779544348912903,0.04602044112708232,0.1470138592509944,-0.16227022726743562,0.14938915944109513,-0.12105494800527544,0.05864067351269831,-0.16724467186194805,0.1348796645469764,-0.057852123273607406,-0.16500565488921953,0.20698926834349418,0.11966781273080808,-0.16144293626073467,0.021998440341374187,0.030778776663702146,-0.14368628219497176,0.03059586731569533,0.09988740538657978,0.1086617068308123,0.1906843464014196,-0.05864847920471053,-0.02329676358610625,0.1202095118334089,-0.014611492021003588,-0.1664868873823274,-0.10430817309250458,0.17952683904636016,-0.034558622034988495,0.16358869647255,0.1845318698480385,-0.15906813675651443,0.16809956166166995,0.012911262506135203,0.19807895646077447,-0.13484516239988034,-0.15009949034655695,-2.6098917251448473E-4,-0.012719306290278435,-0.0223074575529666,0.07653156277630954,0.18224799198149777,-0.10583013798071574,0.16953641604148062,-0.08663490162317435,0.10847260933585309,-0.06733399366479464,0.17244360344026982,-0.0986922705193556,0.03559537591570008,0.8811845838877792,0.0314157935661681,0.16366855540302014,0.07689947387605245,0.001311155605248609,-0.06127526673605355,-0.14980813741083127,-0.1252250706777882,-0.16595954510295932,0.1144767931178488,-0.06598689494077449,-0.1667619870492756,-0.06771690185217946,-0.11428047248817406,-0.056793775232106616,0.16233616555178682,0.0026643467048136837,-0.160659251114769,-0.16694011976137357,0.1379801588845931,-0.06658300397668192,-0.07307345626580936,-0.15688693120920177,-0.09685301567260053,0.03411519600344696,-0.16461752859032913,0.008180795360607484,0.1535936066373459,0.08096737930526565,-0.1573624968330319,0.03557499413767467,0.16622191145641177,0.13348475878259278,-0.04638779713920757,-0.11114504877946162,-0.029503759468485314,-0.165219963792355,-0.07976385541238443,0.19344457003352367,-0.03031272098616056,0.07381578237220052,-0.106885804699411,-0.1649182866068453,-0.053328204435700355,-0.14738659168083446;-0.19605329192485016,-0.2172392226192291,-0.007820351361779861,0.28120987523322866,-0.17005824489746163,-0.24811212247970812,0.07759251684275822,0.23485156728577192,-0.24115795420670777,0.23874801851190525,-0.18158621802069072,0.10257099094346504,-0.24685756558675648,0.21557569440620172,-0.07884504168209314,-0.24327491609990126,0.32712391627770493,0.19210391969524218,-0.23771263329975933,0.042531930053576035,0.05159932906604723,-0.21025380590028436,0.05237085581151429,0.16116479956656707,0.1753627456223619,0.3013247214825968,-0.08661904763938567,-0.025279003709593913,0.1929438000074176,-0.011800230116318929,-0.24740611824105838,-0.15668847826393514,0.2843991391483115,-0.04281249321631229,0.26075610383041387,0.29212668590313345,-0.23675212033959192,0.2664645854206372,0.02502220795819314,0.3148951544391425,-0.1964655670443858,-0.22412826652933693,0.010326901925586609,-0.008973440213452134,-0.030186238139273684,0.13017027579060628,0.2892153133439669,-0.15269206583345207,0.26961883537802783,-0.12998629621276547,0.18045942911824803,-0.09382919973666061,0.27396376941107653,-0.14142469340188438,0.06616881002560912,0.5066318716103284,0.06005235451466259,0.26047796394512956,0.12491942887158747,0.012681857259250117,-0.09080452962972793,-0.22464252087548464,-0.18219834795720982,-0.2451634319719262,0.1889455535856993,-0.0979993268839758,-0.24660426569424154,-0.09427841768618814,-0.16624313187909515,-0.08429740347203553,0.25888853501379205,0.015681213023086865,-0.2358815855028066,-0.24675554370666117,0.2215445131256391,-0.09206384935020769,-0.10228947918189897,-0.23454638795027713,-0.13879381423121162,0.0638845373656502,-0.24364339150292588,0.018308001948270897,0.24881901131617254,0.13213446440153584,-0.23455040549687553,0.06381243965962949,0.2651701486723988,0.2137251391114494,-0.06820360402971443,-0.16624020298402378,-0.04145888732625614,-0.24532808468043907,-0.11958589383958385,0.3065448446032568,-0.03633901967364306,0.12032825986131422,-0.16055903018571135,-0.24308246332725075,-0.07181291734139862,-0.21583146731076186;0.053601957210390114,0.0630346516037978,-0.024290546565394967,-0.07468040717348999,-4.641444826089755E-4,0.07347995066624599,-0.08714133624063425,-0.08307672127504508,0.060893927994856,-0.08357306619965803,0.00827662168286448,-0.04318456593206439,0.07206331519531758,-0.08511911530242973,-0.001487677022436791,0.0729842674641157,-0.06162264294317465,-0.08805184046984106,0.0730876009077157,-0.05212212328889743,-0.08459987878489508,0.060743581314082744,-0.08407423467733173,-0.08960240366175232,-0.08890697945192516,-0.06939149376201764,-0.04489402989535215,-0.020226181945851726,-0.08813631509785186,-0.023410620005275204,0.06781167010672634,-0.010178872179914823,-0.07238254122054219,-0.014516791285961082,-0.07965433375513072,-0.07121104893315697,0.056249537097734684,-0.07670547697591651,-0.07896923450847836,-0.06624206382280337,0.055236652688310836,0.04138256249527661,-0.028714877541981047,-0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k{200}	=[0.6921145045406202;0.8327535184595746;0.361448881859862];
x_a_linear{200}	=[1.2300682673734422,2.008080313487032,15.229272680389608];
L_a{200}	=[0.12013764117964859,0.132649096548168,0.010801878741045582,-0.15848488375329994,0.10134403006230334,0.15020337901675176,-0.04119555106737512,-0.13160058439383754,0.1452574393115998,-0.13372685258869108,0.10836326576572156,-0.052492648943688935,0.1497103515676813,-0.1207385668783934,0.05178677214529056,0.1477060783407895,-0.18528803213546316,-0.10712156097895344,0.1445168834177521,-0.019692072702718593,-0.027551858147980755,0.12862187825402757,-0.027388125441340685,-0.08941497753633838,-0.0972693608141577,-0.17069255612384776,0.05249963626879989,0.02085427671946464,-0.10760646708801751,0.013079589221224795,0.14903201497499038,0.09337226167630398,-0.16070482778459286,0.030935415741216808,-0.146437677139396,-0.1651851195187585,0.1423910634157072,-0.15047561273291377,-0.011557615722261562,-0.17731189806979444,0.12070768201662706,0.13436271075028264,2.3362646078646277E-4,0.011385784642433486,0.01996869183128577,-0.06850781577498032,-0.16314068871847762,0.09473466022658984,-0.1517618239584084,0.07755189708371163,-0.09710008874028098,0.060274541196346454,-0.1543642150701872,0.088345143387657,-0.03186347393429701,-0.7887991430827506,-0.028122088717128263,-0.14650916347389864,-0.0688371542195176,-0.0011736910027467316,0.05485102528725287,0.13410190393382534,0.11209618308040642,0.14855996048642725,-0.10247477993296389,0.05906867543497914,0.14927827255316295,0.060617304398984384,0.10229904201461099,0.0508393837734516,-0.14531646447289223,-0.0023850104008402008,0.14381536164480302,0.14943772941751018,-0.12351399818003354,0.05960228701342179,0.06541226519222208,0.140438540529961,0.08669872029587941,-0.03053847952592659,0.1473586441055904,-0.007323101752089164,-0.13749049576423017,-0.07247857098437745,0.14086424674794953,-0.03184522902927378,-0.1487948197412999,-0.11948990627794037,0.041524392620971386,0.09949234341836245,0.02641051672032498,0.14789791860018509,0.0714012273349961,-0.17316339149197724,0.027134664831398286,-0.06607676410347849,0.09567964839174126,0.1476278699522978,0.04773715147787829,0.1319342386890134;0.10997630849024324,0.12066111913424281,0.019695542927431572,-0.1225026096350954,0.08809792264410483,0.13450467946629432,-0.027345934655355984,-0.1003778733873262,0.1288599325551559,-0.10189771800034043,0.0944502231507223,-0.03114483885999405,0.13450333527985722,-0.09198465898240034,0.053072690602262544,0.13298044974267137,-0.144864894883676,-0.08076949599975151,0.13041881702091998,-0.007630176355242043,-0.018584204228996686,0.11738790256191685,-0.017395597088942606,-0.0666041958780151,-0.07241391563300224,-0.1334846707402721,0.047114581151057794,0.02784361388750171,-0.0811648290756415,0.02151773271083096,0.13222683895719456,0.08116100546218191,-0.12496826434642824,0.0359900604629514,-0.11226823209499864,-0.12865347612162834,0.12596417583462458,-0.1168456842392179,-0.0044187939335109784,-0.1367758521024214,0.11101611256793453,0.11813720728756853,0.010922024417911536,0.020029852096289893,0.02068050705345405,-0.04434138667475973,-0.12635701927160317,0.08862788959375857,-0.11696783211619934,0.06756357943754132,-0.06688604117463927,0.059709637686807815,-0.11925203366664756,0.08361908691597662,-0.014997809363631428,-1.5026957978451567,-0.0115837412870793,-0.11272847089755947,-0.05043116560204364,0.009692084985926833,0.04891885087110201,0.11695859325329766,0.10334704630316324,0.13326704909069909,-0.07209100121576167,0.05246777870355891,0.13365598955570743,0.06013354896564087,0.09434576135349211,0.04520702285737536,-0.1112797080090024,0.009605816729401265,0.1304628609633764,0.1339108999784897,-0.09308576542447342,0.059762538278527434,0.06433681031788988,0.12319619813059185,0.08205599160917976,-0.013906890823194535,0.13172694647390396,-3.4631722251832463E-4,-0.10141394703433831,-0.0524920015354653,0.12427659261760785,-0.01730770402941374,-0.11385859520957856,-0.09065447008358865,0.03757251373401629,0.08719911713008399,0.025817278572416225,0.13141596062470534,0.062296227832850576,-0.1345585679863801,0.03278178671319817,-0.04799072423686416,0.0831681170902706,0.1329736803427859,0.0497891155292509,0.12024789924424029;0.18643124514983894,0.2096971369605444,-0.012347529809839731,-0.24990803817581492,0.11158612733819487,0.2395511976541888,-0.1326888903695695,-0.22857992697982002,0.22149673359527133,-0.23142716449327952,0.12808765916553144,-0.10122267216405857,0.23758945005727192,-0.2186128122637728,0.05576998178622071,0.23629439256468338,-0.2664849752695777,-0.20648999630577441,0.2328716164012728,-0.07389451676583125,-0.11506238548362795,0.20295340276687085,-0.11435571152878367,-0.1884634074292011,-0.19645212357498615,-0.25811644677313056,0.013151801820594913,0.0028311937437248166,-0.20711060376069945,-0.008949269626355979,0.2325878071686107,0.09305747331494225,-0.2500646368023827,0.01968672065807702,-0.24156206051702342,-0.2538467456925033,0.2136831555434853,-0.24307771714398058,-0.09174782622703999,-0.2622856429420567,0.18869620203233523,0.1899396926280891,-0.028456570186140107,-0.01143875921896951,-0.043817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x_a{200}	=[1.2300682673734418,2.0080803134870315,15.229272680389604];
std_x_a{200}	=[1.336740142930662,1.7526490101643195,2.040284252304813];
pred_a{200}	=[1.2300682673734418];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.0 to 20.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{201}	=[2.419897451908963,4.193403407670635,12.451807124738538];
std_x_f{201}	=[1.8972027879089155,2.681766120630866,2.5582617555617517];
pred_f{201}	=[2.419897451908963];
obs{201}	=[2.6879595248714674];
sqrt_r{201}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{201}	=[4.623629381537343];
L_f{201}	=[0.15572720728242667,0.16979322312566303,0.026012122373782764,-0.21103014643463933,0.13398282529647235,0.18781390692323388,-0.0440360858543248,-0.17089078845274602,0.18264801593440744,-0.1745656628467027,0.14245907245298747,-0.05674597414592032,0.18743872644923285,-0.15615141062639007,0.07699503989133753,0.1856722035373638,-0.2508239007779286,-0.13604133492333895,0.18232517556539984,-0.014272073643175774,-0.026924440374724946,0.1648955845591093,-0.025851052746062277,-0.11078463263535394,-0.12210784473059556,-0.22988593639302268,0.0766059560258248,0.039911136133798715,-0.13670070501782383,0.028739480056899906,0.18636110156356145,0.12465783613733179,-0.21466569522984907,0.05122460636401,-0.19324176397746076,-0.22177183303032766,0.1795107600405518,-0.2006590239203181,-0.004550203579809841,-0.23841912408176524,0.1563463533442324,0.17109356009193374,0.012620339309455062,0.026766943279528613,0.035122686328091894,-0.07923369703257445,-0.21794799002555656,0.12703627356571434,-0.2008733624811343,0.1062892097928924,-0.11809807269251164,0.08656565962362861,-0.20515432743104947,0.12031986427567813,-0.028945679776615312,-1.2774665212623628,-0.02413832800706786,-0.1934545073298287,-0.08227702133823762,0.010462325247604525,0.07905631415946353,0.16989605548645306,0.14699652811436106,0.18634792630579614,-0.1266123241858445,0.08362407068319369,0.18655975048684667,0.08717234185759094,0.13559143362609044,0.07349092408326827,-0.19143939540500055,0.01032795144507121,0.18144259290125225,0.18703845661190796,-0.15910870394896615,0.08677139792374411,0.09351266955855086,0.17667194768071626,0.11891154343433229,-0.027720920913470056,0.1850580841247832,0.0014710982940281296,-0.1767886544371067,-0.08688426090822839,0.17830830082841392,-0.03061283060899914,-0.19642204387713286,-0.15347226463172603,0.062676794600931,0.1325309094180472,0.043907247117903496,0.1850606038359746,0.09899291050571987,-0.23266115997101558,0.0470672643804685,-0.07862498290804153,0.1277575228715623,0.1857446558002523,0.0722696253481791,0.1684025665376904;0.22993070603665475,0.24704922917790278,0.049820851663627354,-0.34146122511593596,0.2048989008381982,0.2693031046248425,-0.05835001635650829,-0.27127604576863884,0.26391639705521125,-0.27740822834797085,0.2177221821108701,-0.08047292452962626,0.269115412351358,-0.24598245468361352,0.12487277834807031,0.2667975353194325,-0.41110260077656485,-0.21200030743076964,0.2629353922927892,-0.01268882169710105,-0.03162126519122526,0.24158073064584418,-0.029498926463556674,-0.16917806291657708,-0.18788441100583983,-0.37390688357116136,0.12652211053847373,0.07035847957084337,-0.21204253705697615,0.054345958046995345,0.2674883309338061,0.1934756513189375,-0.34745302615977214,0.08739251052110789,-0.309905067644751,-0.36006909837389656,0.259920794614114,-0.32299744616035875,0.004281561694063902,-0.3886195475408487,0.2306884133179416,0.2508409910984415,0.027865547356580787,0.05124042065476464,0.06562114425620165,-0.11651953233045041,-0.3530998736463903,0.192928339425757,-0.32331676714533747,0.167599196576113,-0.18155524313086435,0.13811064914540638,-0.3309209518928645,0.18447827558386062,-0.03657090689713245,-1.5863925677577044,-0.028603430067414736,-0.31042275666169944,-0.12186053653150503,0.025875121913565845,0.12995336541932606,0.24948669729036904,0.2188873813316378,0.2679054354365974,-0.19617592373802253,0.13682648462293587,0.26866806176323305,0.13879019842376467,0.20444175045117585,0.12207203471407119,-0.30733170947885025,0.02521204447642203,0.26075697677959103,0.26820548183197973,-0.25132609207590845,0.13826934577585584,0.14777022672108153,0.2573616524601491,0.18243180172447826,-0.03373017311256929,0.2659645881965246,0.013986574065387369,-0.28203313627964854,-0.1288678661193512,0.2597695635241775,-0.03835285714989309,-0.31576627376017913,-0.24210583499647476,0.10685404358417122,0.20351821350454563,0.07863631684044883,0.265945211443007,0.15808900652529576,-0.37915177074733003,0.08038642526803802,-0.11469922545141638,0.19628074670656195,0.2657666153765788,0.11787084523483984,0.24563851923868335;0.19435128691652187,0.22134640262853855,-0.028802513389988346,-0.27026371819277695,0.12280901954369394,0.2573134901442757,-0.14832159251606633,-0.2503450229807255,0.23960766332226485,-0.2527413991538753,0.1402373612888243,-0.12841012663543397,0.25563382521993006,-0.24030372885349918,0.04788947874986347,0.2531536880251959,-0.28428510518393174,-0.2282776643841933,0.24796946073427362,-0.0925501065929357,-0.12948792914634152,0.2132301551038276,-0.12823460186964114,-0.21006685041257178,-0.2179772215736048,-0.27710630401300357,0.015321185760850054,-0.011461634958563224,-0.22886295813019714,-0.02552079511360979,0.2507596189493774,0.10237472830468054,-0.2701153861082379,0.006813036027307261,-0.262327465822257,-0.2738241951177888,0.23100818269670845,-0.2645059726635626,-0.10283863950128015,-0.28026446792571313,0.19664433978403334,0.20706748042129322,-0.047129657130532486,-0.02795866935600778,-0.04957343478152092,-0.1500841491448079,-0.27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k{201}	=[0.7837196891270938;1.101022253269797;0.06119216250802426];
x_a_linear{201}	=[2.6299829763979012,4.488545715259985,12.468210422669499];
L_a{201}	=[-0.09614202214829193,-0.10482602303894148,-0.01605922361947149,0.13028465203052392,-0.08271759303936195,-0.11595153547204418,0.02718676084553603,0.10550363199261573,-0.11276224559437593,0.10777240609793441,-0.08795061272858097,0.03503352303280589,-0.11571990857735819,0.09640391451766264,-0.04753478187736649,-0.11462930220303079,0.15485230516063916,0.08398846459477208,-0.11256293215102131,0.008811215742254559,0.016622465579457388,-0.10180234539290019,0.015959783322647688,0.06839561814784084,0.07538628167445355,0.14192573779477796,-0.04729457138192076,-0.024640121665959885,0.08439554294244239,-0.017743024975396603,-0.1150546103457015,-0.07696058159662306,0.13252914751008663,-0.03162477081255613,0.11930255654428923,0.1369162964850459,-0.1108253834949684,0.12388178442713775,0.002809180110421673,0.14719391112224742,-0.09652426719991694,-0.10562881805204638,-0.007791476920330742,-0.016525230873468,-0.02168385438736353,0.0489168719322204,0.13455555294336335,-0.07842896845020071,0.1240141116101704,-0.06562025827317214,0.07291075027038828,-0.05344343939670417,0.12665707062942755,-0.0742824279580916,0.01787032744466826,0.7886753812913626,0.01490239057372549,0.11943389888614565,0.05079574305503478,-0.006459173854274443,-0.04880736025206525,-0.10488950912644515,-0.09075192259797003,-0.11504647627622239,0.07816723287181021,-0.051627377104200914,-0.11517725114505538,-0.05381798959761291,-0.08371070696179665,-0.045371429785534365,0.11818981996962907,-0.006376214881820334,-0.11201804803266494,-0.11547279214705042,0.09822967229679241,-0.053570456997235436,-0.057732346869477424,-0.10907277285269856,-0.07341296644341211,0.017114192432670802,-0.11425016047695503,-9.082187193549262E-4,0.1091448246396249,0.053640135737022726,-0.11008301572106914,0.018899584021272196,0.12126598057203457,0.09474987783356288,-0.03869506093291778,-0.08182121705614731,-0.027107219082303156,-0.11425171608264173,-0.061115708426620965,0.14363909033835698,-0.029058133472590335,0.04854106729368546,-0.07887424945117275,-0.11467403238977808,-0.04461743096870797,-0.1039674669856023;-0.12391216707785,-0.13875440112284432,-0.009283811401784515,0.1380408132965493,-0.09953645556629805,-0.15744706701376807,0.04170864013215524,0.11702146903400575,-0.15109585324273378,0.11923932455388839,-0.10597287656036267,0.048465100365781,-0.15678227538817271,0.10882429194170612,-0.050075110374462314,-0.15508626458722422,0.15881868173952435,0.09711238810678752,-0.15134330112886896,0.019740139377403387,0.02955636398127154,-0.13309450062875633,0.029239754697737624,0.08254643271079737,0.08956865171385238,0.14843922178473073,-0.04754170304228968,-0.020327479069866684,0.09856837714609104,-0.010955798612054705,-0.1559607809124052,-0.08977149389618175,0.14030969484950584,-0.028999879776680566,0.12917826380863304,0.14384016671042327,-0.14796299265833024,0.1329393601264749,0.01462052003045664,0.15311564018093957,-0.12456128154088056,-0.13791726078829028,-8.103481331435483E-4,-0.00957934411083766,-0.0141845137191084,0.06351502614361085,0.14212086732734758,-0.09572308387196904,0.13310705854871424,-0.07391081333486192,0.08678682811052713,-0.05858357178623373,0.135230068965185,-0.08891214354078432,0.029199376119852835,1.31626286464389,0.026243603301076314,0.12914396957125782,0.06508905390727932,0.0021026592227219565,-0.04967814424548608,-0.1365505883787977,-0.11511766989560532,-0.15551373963014553,0.09151220310530683,-0.05318386712252133,-0.15523241954489184,-0.05928252398156754,-0.10364868076652059,-0.04491381303379398,0.1276562857438265,0.0017449055192366744,-0.15151631507420468,-0.1567827140356313,0.11020020718355575,-0.0588923530775486,-0.06470896844739714,-0.14407179425096064,-0.08775863519111649,0.029257216647865125,-0.15452381150245492,0.010643949124783945,0.1196654911581548,0.06855027965424881,-0.14538199968895868,0.03120552077189648,0.1305432797300988,0.10661336448285468,-0.03555997299149065,-0.09761810418405777,-0.0211295926744565,-0.15454891353585784,-0.06684237497558901,0.1495001889387636,-0.026559665583129114,0.06395221469355623,-0.09400949700711278,-0.15628181033510954,-0.04633997134861645,-0.13700526551425318;0.1746855530681571,0.1999043669463013,-0.03208740807448911,-0.2436141508744711,0.10588923636313767,0.23359574440781497,-0.1427605736084055,-0.22876438321009313,0.21654228295630606,-0.23069668439584123,0.12224717028729729,-0.12124406205369484,0.231963458483425,-0.22058442523909738,0.0381662968565348,0.2297064034978194,-0.25261025425976924,-0.2110979259706834,0.22494484969105027,-0.09074778311569102,-0.12608782400308788,0.19240660901127782,-0.12497004757707053,-0.19607660979941846,-0.20255704922752227,-0.24807556674184802,0.005647138632584692,-0.01650174191540096,-0.21159995233514267,-0.0291501093201785,0.22722533815803111,0.08663253482179362,-0.24300670996593896,3.4422757166727776E-4,-0.2379242727958972,-0.24581813298165633,0.20833898512051086,-0.23916610413607572,-0.10226402512195676,-0.25015613219958255,0.17690041817466642,0.18546123399426556,-0.0487233942704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x_a{201}	=[2.6299829763979012,4.4885457152599875,12.4682104226695];
std_x_a{201}	=[1.171284810393711,1.674368912286069,2.5570079494279807];
pred_a{201}	=[2.6299829763979012];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.1 to 20.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{202}	=[5.599399436972682,9.937785050042654,12.373656866202378];
std_x_f{202}	=[1.7643214063424706,3.0135088915615817,2.5761848275050467];
pred_f{202}	=[5.599399436972682];
obs{202}	=[5.966909524066909];
sqrt_r{202}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{202}	=[4.146031396429585];
L_f{202}	=[-0.1822124352268886,-0.20191147435841691,-0.01191871838084347,0.2489569629652789,-0.14716518292171105,-0.2268602920065448,0.07624154137839899,0.2104068701622926,-0.2181542597440785,0.2142062378896865,-0.15790812776446567,0.08496416209619242,-0.2261964897307895,0.19544620827895054,-0.07560685532120406,-0.22395708685637256,0.2861086805386017,0.17584164290391507,-0.21872829816202524,0.03796087808632729,0.055246083284871024,-0.19490798033771298,0.05512241538208799,0.14865474969479345,0.1611279811451616,0.26746543556685765,-0.07021288503772814,-0.028987672349596566,0.17611511657482776,-0.015157977277565064,-0.22462645064575557,-0.1332801462120541,0.2522610074995287,-0.043064084204403684,0.23270674774855318,0.25887359259703374,-0.21409870393510974,0.23991732786030767,0.030088207888956116,0.27494489071634376,-0.1831406384592905,-0.20092814937413137,0.003659641767068528,-0.012420166888901579,-0.017701055849349088,0.11047085802249908,0.255495442551134,-0.14238788492393206,0.23985839345603954,-0.11027980819306397,0.1516172626989498,-0.08828694425123795,0.24387681527033261,-0.13285723765750715,0.052598834812787806,0.5874782406857658,0.04737735328890749,0.23200234933294783,0.1181280258574147,0.00703771065218694,-0.07331635357790162,-0.19921130070650658,-0.16997128123246202,-0.2243285804104567,0.15963963584227756,-0.07906020351456186,-0.22420523031938355,-0.08921845018767753,-0.15399383107826442,-0.06612905366650962,0.2304641950567916,0.006866094317323422,-0.21870114429840995,-0.22576648439864003,0.19846605105980095,-0.08850890537812893,-0.09709083506752715,-0.20919181086169591,-0.13190436329496205,0.05224700105759836,-0.222834790128122,0.023086589559790267,0.210653322607453,0.12373767291067823,-0.21069441631307906,0.05680637895756615,0.23558120935652616,0.19213118109183475,-0.05144727750543368,-0.1448988006938585,-0.028879653035762006,-0.22270069357869804,-0.099361345454976,0.2694852928998336,-0.0384825990542473,0.1148497824406775,-0.13891526953344882,-0.22468165892797007,-0.06987483003030943,-0.199945907493502;-0.3192383799806482,-0.35561686880205096,-0.00357383044389842,0.4546986533568787,-0.2509660780949061,-0.40213053357368556,0.16229419932124636,0.39244752933326216,-0.3855850707107362,0.39952067335482144,-0.2701890843251386,0.17227042785587743,-0.401569654449733,0.3678136765563432,-0.12037022113243921,-0.39691314194868926,0.5119218831832424,0.3339692088096531,-0.38781218489535063,0.08940014366560803,0.1251991722724314,-0.34296736989372567,0.12447116287604394,0.28904631118913,0.3093950642784749,0.4833160337141873,-0.10627441058414182,-0.03353777514060035,0.3360862702822212,-0.008308638636640948,-0.39757890028731363,-0.22524059021259185,0.4593784280762358,-0.059680454359634295,0.4289389700566398,0.4702015584708943,-0.3776219344267751,0.4394453533785003,0.07933606884765622,0.49481945570343616,-0.3209089911558031,-0.3522374399745263,0.025403335168643244,-0.004110933055434715,-0.00822402058221644,0.21665905557433998,0.4652380993640346,-0.24498739060999314,0.4399957856335865,-0.18108745999423304,0.28751778265725775,-0.14412468003793852,0.44615871766495774,-0.22703040793244114,0.11379987604289087,-0.2831129065680395,0.10487008897854237,0.4273053999711319,0.23583409638946992,0.03148475757842233,-0.11206838882601604,-0.34902230304891674,-0.2960019628670577,-0.39762634524549795,0.3010488197628751,-0.12295264183830226,-0.3973947180992309,-0.14604996357807035,-0.26671833323350214,-0.09832845506073086,0.4248153749647353,0.03193570548503919,-0.3871517364695006,-0.4004871970620465,0.37301892336889986,-0.14403141472442255,-0.15975494414323743,-0.3683477756908942,-0.22458484318339492,0.11332450946181688,-0.39417398715494,0.0665628736548779,0.3857821176586059,0.24617183000433793,-0.3714702599148479,0.12295528382441438,0.4329774766978689,0.36225116549758457,-0.07117594527454804,-0.24627532903626048,-0.02897289230970142,-0.39444193107196796,-0.1602803826814004,0.48661787742936796,-0.05194253673432847,0.23057967186699913,-0.23495182222665456,-0.39845514642399776,-0.10979146484325482,-0.3528267967313962;-0.03168446941119246,-0.02481436057211946,-0.06263501104299021,0.05982034783028322,-0.06194822762599277,-0.012830658051498967,-0.06374321873527548,0.022677356592925385,-0.021612966036090527,0.02516047802338699,-0.057091977293268016,-0.03821003300886666,-0.013532811913459385,0.009909965982510966,-0.062017031985597,-0.014412797139311428,0.10257891526624477,-0.007225654670553723,-0.014749875532616667,-0.06206728706127362,-0.07110058756477554,-0.025927148733923388,-0.07182837067806669,-0.026523285095885484,-0.0173237835298832,0.07977537451731222,-0.08328558957939505,-0.06559111510330767,-0.006180262388996519,-0.06316520110999602,-0.016274710487416088,-0.06741933421720397,0.06499982784609583,-0.0636004451352402,0.04246500480279286,0.07080420137100826,-0.02499523206682977,0.05095806217337245,-0.0791742850260704,0.08937612964119561,-0.030723915694109663,-0.0347587882601003,-0.06170128961554217,-0.0629002390676718,-0.0844862977549094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k{202}	=[0.7588054926788154;1.1762697368863553;0.47169482387770295];
x_a_linear{202}	=[5.878268109674652,10.370076043492062,12.547009472007568];
L_a{202}	=[0.12438269908618976,0.1378297486990961,0.008136010915015254,-0.16994415870334767,0.10045858088951078,0.15486042651325596,-0.05204435519084266,-0.14362891525199964,0.14891747432237715,-0.14622245730178246,0.10779197980935946,-0.05799863107016618,0.1544072987197814,-0.13341639873056244,0.05161110284575466,0.15287862712547173,-0.19530483675862745,-0.12003383923223712,0.14930932709419548,-0.02591303096399423,-0.037712338042988784,0.1330489910727295,-0.037627919284635124,-0.10147539588061963,-0.10998993108339872,-0.1825784982602528,0.04792904579068042,0.01978769957483591,-0.12022051910002315,0.010347208872561402,0.15333555134521756,0.09098031262144544,-0.17219958093377433,0.029396605233604912,-0.15885136129426283,-0.17671349449483656,0.14614905197411068,-0.16377348099021255,-0.020538952257757093,-0.18768415868364136,0.1250163134890858,0.1371585068298313,-0.0024981616655840953,0.008478312025295401,0.012083176982272827,-0.07541013034646026,-0.17440748601575587,0.09719747953513344,-0.16373325091336424,0.0752797150242814,-0.10349768027123223,0.060266844062355,-0.1664763246816627,0.09069162481912457,-0.03590526099196608,-0.40102712605708235,-0.03234094901534282,-0.1583705215751961,-0.08063710182882258,-0.004804114742315095,0.05004754990416287,0.13598654361592807,0.11602658567460664,0.15313221778130473,-0.10897394989795214,0.05396844343362075,0.15304801596905682,0.060902712972426325,0.10511998441976059,0.045141321846743694,-0.1573205395570037,-0.00468696520248802,0.1492907911976586,0.15411376648216243,-0.135477817839694,0.06041836019801579,0.06627659691389137,0.1427994858271102,0.0900411692947483,-0.03566509059939327,0.15211251971868822,-0.015759475024666094,-0.14379714976512323,-0.08446638516251473,0.1438252013413772,-0.03877743432415459,-0.16081353963173012,-0.13115347947061096,0.03511917959273131,0.09891149252361378,0.019713962928972723,0.15202098210911316,0.06782650326327108,-0.1839573026570645,0.026269170555010244,-0.07839929207710324,0.09482698668365105,0.15337323787931828,0.04769828111092617,0.1364880043138201;0.1560330584164531,0.17103630241380724,0.027514203814904332,-0.19466500692321373,0.13289031503260626,0.18959756205754982,-0.03656943471889918,-0.15636449716836187,0.18343475876423102,-0.15920138460294156,0.14168852942696483,-0.049344740622496504,0.18842702113864612,-0.1419759018680414,0.07683793777529871,0.18724241624312238,-0.2343459770105911,-0.12468505619146797,0.18270493023003384,-0.009614619560844622,-0.01890123139053421,0.165418328671971,-0.019306673219203083,-0.09869537408076501,-0.1108810122117264,-0.2143239606422938,0.07686445600495304,0.04207184346869835,-0.12328130621587052,0.03122847448589846,0.18832258424917825,0.12239894778657609,-0.19860329384364353,0.05264519025180707,-0.17803865246099823,-0.20502801388740943,0.18081963873748502,-0.18633989210473714,8.558826607534581E-4,-0.22232947833049638,0.15678351408472696,0.1718508882924281,0.01585775610601237,0.028285047905304717,0.03794629849722564,-0.0714861718791985,-0.20118011920583642,0.1264081993444055,-0.18563573906186479,0.10655944511852694,-0.107951134922563,0.08615742411001384,-0.18995420536857852,0.1195060420322589,-0.023395611456944288,-1.815454144036553,-0.01870601501802996,-0.1778349140896358,-0.07228360531598683,0.013128036422028578,0.07916536961429506,0.17058790529852702,0.14734042052714263,0.18749819333222967,-0.11534515059086854,0.08326301296893045,0.18740808187082278,0.08666182197848515,0.13494947560574047,0.07415840302217491,-0.17631291437118182,0.014026617566307938,0.18329455222846466,0.18838787970419632,-0.14464742274370918,0.08682963884547458,0.0934906742486174,0.17729496666822173,0.11946618931605539,-0.022953277033159213,0.18705424294491227,0.006345267682473745,-0.16367273987681688,-0.07657772172049197,0.1780917838538178,-0.025214896787436145,-0.1814977104142903,-0.13889170482708044,0.06301589268193206,0.13166957544862537,0.0463549755255796,0.18643653003517274,0.09888749198453715,-0.21629058556266548,0.04843305060139269,-0.06898726620836607,0.1273860164849172,0.1875903399182264,0.07246564035873625,0.1686995136860121;0.15890368430790847,0.18637833362987227,-0.05016842758465278,-0.20058036449204056,0.09198166453453777,0.22445767055167987,-0.14348933809268338,-0.19740123938276916,0.20656914205553978,-0.19889213037117556,0.10807467826673778,-0.12707972385098804,0.22306120156236195,-0.1945202746917937,0.017065226841757333,0.21983887532813157,-0.19668125936981243,-0.19115017127261827,0.2140326576732715,-0.10177310438938418,-0.12888615527514763,0.17794012339505264,-0.1294845858706683,-0.18201121461412817,-0.18585829875494925,-0.1999845852510109,-0.009845244468100142,-0.035270972864691566,-0.19039082336539348,-0.04731046046153235,0.21867709426587303,0.07198727083879701,-0.19885680529087554,-0.018556843748203614,-0.20093852227343387,-0.19996897609223108,0.1989448993837779,-0.19998749214721792,-0.1106455508764613,-0.19820709172829235,0.16083510776897555,0.1754053806767095,-0.06552915332193734,-0.04990915712921147,-0.065971581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x_a{202}	=[5.878268109674656,10.370076043492075,12.547009472007563];
std_x_a{202}	=[1.2043692753634503,2.263103727195947,2.4419812469129174];
pred_a{202}	=[5.878268109674656];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.2 to 20.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{203}	=[11.889603849465471,18.63516852783192,21.845094043403098];
std_x_f{203}	=[1.9928715331280022,2.717338447563193,3.6326871949325477];
pred_f{203}	=[11.889603849465471];
obs{203}	=[12.447152656760602];
sqrt_r{203}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{203}	=[4.98778427472392];
L_f{203}	=[0.12746500371459668,0.13472029299311372,0.04376998674340635,-0.18826087364900146,0.12080928119919437,0.1426297980970853,-0.012513871364837207,-0.14333543126449108,0.14142093146288076,-0.14726187352833064,0.12491984881046546,-0.02874672017597311,0.1418895383741574,-0.12683351223650727,0.08154798292988115,0.14092526404735395,-0.23613448649015115,-0.1063186282710781,0.13905747764874132,0.011673701984623006,0.004708272695409372,0.13158619476313274,0.004701533523508577,-0.07777386225797166,-0.09101590082178498,-0.21146990120688533,0.08664853559571625,0.055709227608245315,-0.10485079077002037,0.04669645030663687,0.14250451121681065,0.1152035164065274,-0.193433271294076,0.06252321770762657,-0.16898810480498705,-0.20183905032502644,0.14075804319895763,-0.17822111416576472,0.024002302617981426,-0.22153710146398678,0.12752330803475176,0.13805116111565546,0.03392127422335359,0.044058888215077946,0.05626221351688486,-0.05121537550991825,-0.19679531790847185,0.11255484386977938,-0.17735266594895907,0.10582149267724879,-0.08979234605552144,0.08774299315082325,-0.18300316807915334,0.1087432737357812,-0.0024560314558188774,-1.5934986549380057,0.0023171224451901053,-0.16893002398998122,-0.04824238245270861,0.031190933832049343,0.08754755001852231,0.13724784992804867,0.12353537039785051,0.14175648144334535,-0.09816426846395769,0.09051134329264686,0.14152983951382844,0.08813676185329544,0.11730113477246637,0.08399680833104571,-0.16623773672608608,0.0316800013529536,0.13912124845715595,0.14178839714069402,-0.12974817554613066,0.0884766633090527,0.09282026126504549,0.1396652695715382,0.10922541809447366,-0.001932386072185795,0.14179349283653384,0.028771139764004423,-0.15300167397951958,-0.05319302387500551,0.14014170147998278,-0.003129260648238848,-0.17288746326472096,-0.1235453044544219,0.07653322679182142,0.1199894812742327,0.06316273925451928,0.14133143073095766,0.10091178208562195,-0.2144010054724081,0.06033409296360215,-0.04604047037518849,0.11812386739258633,0.14108253020601863,0.0782439291211682,0.13328299820163342;0.0424476970536921,0.03022170053150825,0.09059110742137666,-0.11128223969090857,0.07643071664871728,0.010997694707846188,0.07949123852182007,-0.05268469737279935,0.021552091515119297,-0.056549913925109156,0.06997456741184768,0.05540503736474718,0.011879984456347067,-0.032768359051975324,0.08892589630547848,0.013805696191654745,-0.17872328002996948,-0.008755059836585742,0.01637187661807783,0.0855478894958263,0.09135575583759137,0.03392883340537577,0.09105548778802663,0.022488262642402865,0.00808619278258615,-0.14337116421501206,0.10751902920814298,0.09380928916857716,-0.007936261322948154,0.09211442923504243,0.015521326740116555,0.08395340333585637,-0.118707042898921,0.09220412676542099,-0.08491418731838107,-0.12997070302481534,0.026067513379645867,-0.09772438506922296,0.1019985422420721,-0.15781765109758314,0.04154070534996169,0.038654915702712886,0.08936029360494237,0.09089226404989598,0.11073092146205707,0.03590384640405699,-0.12265708610893009,0.06584303885715782,-0.09659772806904728,0.0959361346404873,-0.0011779147661221542,0.08621615272712917,-0.1043715701342241,0.07078635483013078,0.07330735889697104,-2.6039275626667733,0.07520465328006619,-0.08524999098327936,0.051453682400287554,0.08797147252799661,0.10596384120114531,0.03956243643277602,0.051035295450436724,0.013562555530299399,-0.009889956885149424,0.10440125654958878,0.014298485184066404,0.08577711312062845,0.05937206344928119,0.1074601424437434,-0.082236720400261,0.08916637854411875,0.016209385988521795,0.0122757515494899,-0.03576177342811701,0.08726638898165581,0.08427542773749774,0.031084147267758815,0.07296150581642569,0.07301316133004045,0.016654554918329616,0.1032912333138215,-0.0741974580733492,0.046518496556707374,0.03020779246457383,0.07579152871397746,-0.09079399531406086,-0.028116075156274643,0.10986114761715025,0.07840256533875531,0.1110660143091808,0.01643170652023646,0.09985795968848686,-0.14730484409314865,0.0924056691207401,0.05293039224586924,0.08264309204587834,0.0120720463526716,0.08998856742964846,0.030132336210693625;0.3805797566645381,0.4220821296263597,0.010950900091469207,-0.5566778383218219,0.3057455895307077,0.47334046355701265,-0.18375931842513432,-0.47637952731559136,0.45539845375545396,-0.4837457090168184,0.3302616616965592,-0.20287435820545574,0.4711063783862607,-0.4449162089425084,0.1513724838958292,0.46730856041581603,-0.6311803907924095,-0.4038054987438054,0.4560610472170425,-0.09969702295700138,-0.13641004125250547,0.4074294130835446,-0.1374344710046507,-0.34375734043754985,-0.37172935121047196,-0.594642829067005,0.13967628214469116,0.049194668032240374,-0.40241934744859464,0.019513529132177215,0.46882163771887436,0.2756442775950823,-0.5632058642758838,0.08026862899901836,-0.5234159892516396,-0.5772824054536196,0.4475861959671203,-0.5387626004898785,-0.08250619192914879,-0.6091362447650838,0.38171547007779977,0.420207443165374,-0.02306315893704051,0.012056327392308722,0.025297603219350626,-0.2589081953590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k{203}	=[0.7995101742736551;0.9718241411851928;0.745469330818365];
x_a_linear{203}	=[12.33536979355207,19.17700791865034,22.260729579675978];
L_a{203}	=[-0.07374224318434008,-0.07793964082885003,-0.02532222110026883,0.10891443707800406,-0.06989171249752318,-0.08251552151646914,0.007239641615118107,0.0829237509999613,-0.0818161567126475,0.08519531301174026,-0.0722697964231688,0.016630820760145902,-0.0820872595550135,0.07337690684268539,-0.047177899918886386,-0.08152939857489085,0.13661072623474868,0.061508444769248265,-0.08044882936131063,-0.006753578986582596,-0.002723873847448076,-0.07612647308002767,-0.0027199750388443252,0.0449944604156155,0.052655368112410485,0.12234154023863053,-0.05012871923475697,-0.03222942211728457,0.06065925772336332,-0.027015266104472913,-0.08244303938157865,-0.06664861314846078,0.11190682082157047,-0.036171515243405256,0.09776457503341413,0.11676981053160958,-0.08143265640952353,0.10310614175183846,-0.013886036049568881,0.12816571085731143,-0.07377597394360962,-0.07986664573176022,-0.019624452045693228,-0.025489359075081396,-0.03254934068445232,0.029629596874182637,0.11385186339647992,-0.06511627840065887,0.10260371898691979,-0.06122083724728219,0.051947505793391656,-0.050761895030713766,0.10587270019788338,-0.06291117328518071,0.0014208862323411358,0.9218857090332536,-0.0013405232955053573,0.09773097357842896,0.02790963319300622,-0.01804487004872112,-0.05064882544635062,-0.07940190664869505,-0.07146883505486137,-0.08201028221799272,0.05679090845429484,-0.05236346678318359,-0.08187916321438263,-0.05098970177428952,-0.0678621468960873,-0.04859461723725713,0.09617340643175708,-0.018327809953864193,-0.08048572264436979,-0.08202874638499308,0.07506312505407764,-0.05118634473571973,-0.05369924355054285,-0.08080045481512325,-0.06319010793792922,0.0011179420194441546,-0.08203169439449265,-0.016644948208045896,0.08851595592050979,0.030773724457608606,-0.08107608464785715,0.0018103690658990775,0.10002046827015283,0.07147458219795289,-0.04427671641073688,-0.06941743419628542,-0.03654149721538385,-0.08176437791418298,-0.05838042566871955,0.12403727002522164,-0.034905042372183545,0.026635762474306088,-0.06833812184748966,-0.08162038166027862,-0.045266407882987435,-0.07710812363627068;-0.20212462511273968,-0.2282716422690197,0.006607841528270643,0.2499416076367229,-0.1553709981835467,-0.26267193942043365,0.10350211593757735,0.22233886400861444,-0.24979804070047118,0.22600747301104163,-0.16971426181898264,0.11056254651014792,-0.26036928302880086,0.2105922945566268,-0.06754355783431402,-0.2565933786567772,0.27435762862308266,0.19524284584761986,-0.2504433999837203,0.0631490794738157,0.08232180021878169,-0.2185509867837194,0.08203446289430406,0.17171615690328146,0.1827221286814724,0.2623847946698121,-0.05873706419310997,-0.013082287069509972,0.1932452444417902,0.002516037867987498,-0.25790791432063215,-0.1370923010393634,0.2524412955938039,-0.027761731301082067,0.2393302092314394,0.25730614790117795,-0.2440107079794747,0.2442357646217961,0.05594434134340703,0.26725465716033425,-0.20314348770304375,-0.2262295001595967,0.024274155717042546,0.006354671072923686,0.0027783085169530188,0.13417288460322258,0.25494214889461775,-0.1501205490618355,0.24369609446647247,-0.10710789662273086,0.17111033649963212,-0.08213992120183351,0.24676410221979397,-0.13786381739352796,0.0780198470227973,0.45358355842413645,0.07075869556109121,0.23888296352844968,0.14401831708007995,0.028124150553061035,-0.06201722798670944,-0.22378063335924117,-0.1859970783573761,-0.2584314101731783,0.17846184472586657,-0.06926656415711366,-0.2572606133685315,-0.08333450094212463,-0.1656984271796252,-0.053707973269730855,0.236730432292293,0.028380662690095097,-0.2507282502747195,-0.2597794521094,0.21319136402463085,-0.08249740792281597,-0.09382260843027149,-0.23689732458466126,-0.13661377653149082,0.0767209096156384,-0.2554104260608309,0.04808686930491286,0.21937311902645182,0.14858212965629783,-0.2386878287998944,0.08179576925922882,0.2409322599865095,0.20893535953266987,-0.03698628857228918,-0.15182616580765962,-0.010126919936986667,-0.2547466969760656,-0.09376560881580843,0.2640751445711425,-0.02335982565736702,0.14127012805686162,-0.14400600935116756,-0.2586287815142512,-0.060141263370320434,-0.2256032102179216;0.19297259852196222,0.2237963996140288,-0.053471196841546276,-0.2795893319439481,0.12793454130153217,0.263413265442639,-0.1653409935853564,-0.2654137552446782,0.24725050506019416,-0.267000870902184,0.1464005457199247,-0.16056399598078117,0.26226871872447055,-0.25823850059511644,0.03134749755534436,0.2598901512216023,-0.28362993648052737,-0.2473222670623107,0.251391707085312,-0.11687875904545877,-0.14333983087636015,0.213756551271359,-0.14435434169505984,-0.22928722824377215,-0.2377691738962791,-0.2833945174367298,0.01214413569980289,-0.03279999379119092,-0.2480965269714579,-0.04921583251276285,0.2590788409293814,0.10608397718938584,-0.27850445400520146,-0.011755086140246852,-0.27469377391048244,-0.28020909489647133,0.24041390788250946,-0.27645094022815536,-0.11783356533997336,-0.28307069879089475,0.1940224977313799,0.2170192325944035,-0.07298959891791154,-0.0527909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x_a{203}	=[12.335369793552065,19.177007918650332,22.260729579675985];
std_x_a{203}	=[1.1529346326315988,1.8506590844902318,3.3162428778692603];
pred_a{203}	=[12.335369793552065];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.3 to 20.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{204}	=[15.111756196649296,11.294055351065731,39.38742066361561];
std_x_f{204}	=[1.5343887951695345,2.5308862177863376,2.4811540448279237];
pred_f{204}	=[15.111756196649296];
obs{204}	=[15.387665214301315];
sqrt_r{204}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{204}	=[3.371778215173683];
L_f{204}	=[-0.13201984862840474,-0.15177624981908255,0.024019967806410417,0.17819584617385067,-0.09532069837413674,-0.1772596289117389,0.09286789447315745,0.16504419190654843,-0.16728250645365436,0.16648827331831342,-0.10568281180609676,0.09442102395302852,-0.17583150064483236,0.15903876710355777,-0.030729513654240516,-0.17383634006531815,0.18694917424912919,0.15050340552353475,-0.16900941701311936,0.06347234293025614,0.07820195219212231,-0.14512542891457983,0.07864960234427722,0.1368316255591354,0.14322963219540588,0.1825288852823653,-0.02170650358440806,0.00963778405671618,0.15051649945006762,0.020610005829035632,-0.173784721983723,-0.08058468966392507,0.17873989819144437,-0.0024952720469336013,0.1732956088000629,0.1809211332354445,-0.16303875902309975,0.17551109434626996,0.06105178704983902,0.18452532939719374,-0.1329409785239422,-0.14898191296656565,0.03616052459366021,0.022795306087567337,0.022591849250772587,0.10974477041212807,0.17975334271508359,-0.09274597569200949,0.17546407379296836,-0.05858280209168541,0.13320365391769595,-0.04214682798759392,0.1765215195154271,-0.08367539213813716,0.07261935760470152,-0.8796145779600962,0.06800330228475872,0.17281568343940656,0.11980417790873095,0.03818856297265691,-0.025189094624029924,-0.14728986672107786,-0.1199839090538335,-0.1745180197137309,0.13712926594823288,-0.03016559433155966,-0.17396678773343055,-0.04280993682655067,-0.1038735809460682,-0.01871130041641397,0.17231450985810365,0.03840858815864586,-0.16859972564166012,-0.1763208622042783,0.16047777072822175,-0.041812766922371555,-0.05057768944104193,-0.1577872431715859,-0.08252536094758099,0.07245677346084355,-0.17271383947473393,0.05503855050829318,0.15911513511106862,0.12252336560148536,-0.1592024545942937,0.07668116073992048,0.17406378751190824,0.15780461902389656,-0.005557125505323611,-0.09228199723735445,0.013435767003130093,-0.17223423266814533,-0.04825174772129891,0.18332499380316924,0.0018793386687857643,0.11745236130752634,-0.08596405038169042,-0.17516357390540582,-0.02546450256101802,-0.14988621660414572;-0.013829741710623346,-0.029515979984693425,0.07436433853000599,-0.003325862984777768,0.02229293213041086,-0.050806867052738416,0.08716711784212618,0.02736468457570816,-0.04083399465992367,0.023579790605332312,0.013237770078501151,0.07325163713302885,-0.050060498854212626,0.03787567503595285,0.05399453034896882,-0.049150775212502516,-0.04204182012573556,0.048949450734976654,-0.044773251402935865,0.0829155813186885,0.0904596399215611,-0.024300948572713556,0.09015885539032781,0.06485713461835999,0.058306631177961886,-0.021405807467374166,0.06732253768963553,0.0716571121853679,0.051961238865755266,0.0738675294417963,-0.047522603158504886,0.03167713246803069,-0.008546694119603607,0.06494703410634442,0.009761640995694812,-0.015719502895526236,-0.03656151647026289,0.002925567339042731,0.09159115020562208,-0.030764432433608414,-0.01449435451718378,-0.023460937210953603,0.07757582926468634,0.07389021392434947,0.08390097554971043,0.06708514013489332,-0.011042657796631647,0.016567288601806646,0.004589957018785099,0.04602934720594913,0.05101676045253806,0.048245880888464356,-8.017782168901014E-5,0.022681100837008708,0.07787497817671934,-2.4761696510819697,0.07894519714890015,0.00858194115700998,0.07822447724409809,0.0773153591073939,0.06469446859694716,-0.022346595701754384,-0.003368738250226748,-0.048722473697837776,0.0471723325588979,0.062090976991927255,-0.048840253973292024,0.04723858666541147,0.008478608708533548,0.0681581959062997,0.012131366793406465,0.07760017546603826,-0.045024322822569324,-0.05050835012142049,0.03624866466753509,0.04793858396630766,0.0439098399152125,-0.03248655472603331,0.023950657150893673,0.07757584018170417,-0.04709475765231837,0.09015690764415922,0.01319391521438989,0.07638642862107162,-0.03305912747483438,0.08128758386758869,0.007159138177877112,0.03999776756013267,0.07526670525767379,0.023100101323754854,0.08170770276453175,-0.04721365429250111,0.05224048052976531,-0.024033624228453242,0.06817104609017932,0.07759492587612338,0.02797192791462058,-0.049909992037573354,0.056556978121496314,-0.027974545470984165;-0.2696952387621363,-0.29894666888339877,-0.004390931058901516,0.36352171379041304,-0.2163891211133358,-0.33749158137630564,0.1341783057602261,0.3197867078469691,-0.32350255213261453,0.3244630439403199,-0.2331589049633291,0.14535377996257282,-0.33421028889950244,0.30107246047073943,-0.10406125153280797,-0.3303313999467363,0.40131707991499205,0.27662642513734587,-0.3235569934819908,0.07501389764974763,0.10249819317044932,-0.28810526276487175,0.10231143664074922,0.23939362762269228,0.25651459714022184,0.38317444739752804,-0.09457469672434114,-0.03168093386517258,0.2740192175621266,-0.01002675802986651,-0.33175861331966056,-0.19392096467534795,0.3678475464750884,-0.05130257993116359,0.3466804023702873,0.3736394583711114,-0.317375213666311,0.3541850149786856,0.06339026267364249,0.3909605378821645,-0.270332731523718,-0.2972150093483821,0.019677841216900475,-0.0047529242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k{204}	=[0.7034205881336446;0.7292206204590317;0.8622706242887297];
x_a_linear{204}	=[15.305836280117456,11.495253896108178,39.6253289045133];
L_a{204}	=[0.11271903955579032,0.12958712863806443,-0.020508338173605756,-0.1521442786234656,0.08138516808000736,0.15134493283041112,-0.07929095495365199,-0.14091534711822812,0.14282642843361226,-0.14214830921798588,0.09023237920737548,-0.08061702270100701,0.15012559158528294,-0.13578789300469638,0.026236973463528608,0.14842211603506167,-0.15961790280810825,-0.1285003694273165,0.14430087111540568,-0.0541929233201293,-0.06676911868983366,0.12390863292395812,-0.06715132406070888,-0.11682735266039977,-0.1222899946085955,-0.1558438435884594,0.018533093785280605,-0.008228776003045815,-0.12851154907066656,-0.017596899908793696,0.14837804432431848,0.06880350883741798,-0.15260879226689608,0.002130472587894278,-0.14796043766237305,-0.15447113888946457,0.13920310103656375,-0.14985202749157442,-0.052126243674103435,-0.15754841502592326,0.11350550369894584,0.12720131340282761,-0.03087399087620166,-0.01946271742670369,-0.01928900521999522,-0.0937004946274738,-0.15347407498411253,0.0791868602432154,-0.14981188116764965,0.05001821510073259,-0.11372977693063387,0.035985119059305855,-0.15071473227266366,0.0714423621467146,-0.062002678592673666,0.7510182100421006,-0.05806147332993422,-0.14755067559800397,-0.10228925429730913,-0.0326055376143457,0.021506543014545382,0.1257566380024475,0.10244270941988864,0.14900413666341492,-0.11708147913562766,0.025755497040854912,0.14853349274102456,0.03655128386122553,0.08868765114567978,0.015975778140108064,-0.14712277172353266,-0.0327933959394418,0.1439510750931791,0.1505434103114013,-0.13701651967087267,0.03569989647485313,0.04318342003854296,0.13471933719995502,0.0704604612234406,-0.06186386364376206,0.14746372084080847,-0.046992119869033386,-0.1358530962945714,-0.10461090689942579,0.13592764999529044,-0.0654706612712122,-0.14861631151396415,-0.13473417276751745,0.004744694499795782,0.07879071370671616,-0.011471508019608192,0.147054230759092,0.0411975223160716,-0.15652356401519452,-0.0016045863705074078,-0.10028126450446145,0.07339642709804522,0.14955531324195803,0.021741687339174393,0.12797341122413125;0.23988566967029146,0.2621672332652263,0.028202825116116978,-0.3457821897271589,0.2054800093189451,0.28985023972183804,-0.09130616700958008,-0.2898168262398625,0.2806491033943765,-0.2963769522170923,0.21633873066774484,-0.10820644802717047,0.28785203462697495,-0.267764625573443,0.11305043201316388,0.2849274637102414,-0.4013202706369623,-0.24028761356518963,0.2800286189993463,-0.039065406882471024,-0.05982867412628595,0.2546007338745431,-0.06098975158838252,-0.19810553750506374,-0.21695171392648585,-0.37218935781565965,0.10903804140953947,0.05313524314707802,-0.23730098930932403,0.03425927233649518,0.28645643626550715,0.1865445853662234,-0.35204857865416805,0.06974244161871787,-0.3232774219483148,-0.3634132794240343,0.2767659584991291,-0.33437121012747417,-0.025738019823112267,-0.3853847440352588,0.24099128196858785,0.2628521265391819,0.008082624505351254,0.03008225230609432,0.0404840167661195,-0.14382208223580628,-0.35649217745499245,0.19480627024808314,-0.332616456467253,0.15861362818308036,-0.20497368494097187,0.12924354837838373,-0.33931878782419017,0.18348825793761983,-0.06168471970442493,-0.7857285786038861,-0.05174337728661122,-0.3235348024420214,-0.15201488902590682,0.0039246753176767615,0.11310280697367728,0.26071469785087226,0.22721603488012085,0.28666581545010983,-0.21636234411193286,0.12006313992724175,0.2854886789482914,0.12951061504586484,0.20810259400425743,0.10411752574907697,-0.3190222226839185,0.003786647830055829,0.27899020373764,0.28834463716772624,-0.27215710947029836,0.12829425374550563,0.14110991563525918,0.2707485703544385,0.18254768721648448,-0.06167140390274594,0.2848262624728415,-0.015616039598990028,-0.2925931492388012,-0.15907866568344226,0.2728957473404964,-0.06607807701159711,-0.32735620867279314,-0.2632707503893875,0.08594637500678146,0.2004474103486969,0.05588687970017446,0.2837856586840826,0.1449705673322089,-0.3763471339196559,0.06455933778700501,-0.14812472519449074,0.19317742264253662,0.28671892152413575,0.10549459477536824,0.2600764067239998;0.030311837320517218,0.04595562724919059,-0.05897484691752202,-0.041417508122836684,2.2136819174330266E-4,0.06532014375292082,-0.07685833586829667,-0.05526617967508676,0.05663676905534157,-0.05387143075570993,0.006998856854607203,-0.06921225394199607,0.06535610160711224,-0.06033346445820986,-0.03423030083387509,0.06470110949582591,-0.02351354764020856,-0.06538340975260915,0.0605066269153936,-0.06922314104145336,-0.07521098666015262,0.041683447389250505,-0.07641500093292151,-0.07154791886534452,-0.06896603027880134,-0.0316113423386873,-0.04524798759694745,-0.053582211929123796,-0.06802037247945403,-0.056861742701142,0.0631565971720754,-0.010797158866797538,-0.03832800055692894,-0.0456322259759912,-0.04712332816121634,-0.037492812627779204,0.0531204496057998,-0.044653271702718246,-0.07534621000628633,-0.02836204967403666,0.03176755622008784,0.04133732624854938,-0.06249475150810568,-0.056553870869762934,-0.062928916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x_a{204}	=[15.305836280117454,11.495253896108181,39.62532890451331];
std_x_a{204}	=[1.3100668808028284,2.378490286021166,2.2939146416856304];
pred_a{204}	=[15.305836280117454];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.4 to 20.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{205}	=[7.166684183217029,-1.698843893104997,34.52185764521621];
std_x_f{205}	=[1.2169294640632233,2.0307673582139194,1.5144873739833276];
pred_f{205}	=[7.166684183217029];
obs{205}	=[7.068955902261861];
sqrt_r{205}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{205}	=[2.4866389016574972];
L_f{205}	=[0.07564113399661482,0.07738396010935293,0.034388383402972206,-0.11811364992059112,0.07524212944206177,0.079139411710097,-0.00498287735649112,-0.09034987300110661,0.0793216853633997,-0.09467567995533029,0.0758716694967504,-0.014312512155197415,0.07808851993728821,-0.08002805680935836,0.056204712356400656,0.07797049904650517,-0.14558939678528315,-0.0676949440187513,0.07760404505034199,0.012476996199888457,0.005973504377289229,0.0767633183938041,0.006466378457963609,-0.048861405721629926,-0.05727332898166506,-0.13113148668051822,0.058261358416247265,0.04163602129367548,-0.06532096304863774,0.036039977851726496,0.07889293805241887,0.07319198952245715,-0.12134112440010864,0.044773327791781205,-0.10678084612722859,-0.12610476764005818,0.07915724463506552,-0.11189709116975631,0.019556263847002705,-0.13787150842036242,0.07569423782548124,0.07900925457902652,0.028020385340847276,0.03407383059076312,0.03952688670642233,-0.02812471732781185,-0.12313168780805689,0.0714498402451584,-0.11144817945670467,0.06842343683247354,-0.053987428528756286,0.059610399630464925,-0.11532922059670561,0.06967941609245648,0.003630461152638296,-0.9706821346755166,0.007357047414270543,-0.10701854082323746,-0.02916298260533141,0.026101948563201437,0.05844638133230093,0.07860969305410022,0.07418777034715486,0.0783312199726145,-0.05875769157924812,0.0603585766260524,0.07779631530628242,0.059569181666577056,0.07320306912654269,0.05696670047694293,-0.10459322485359797,0.026038396551621636,0.07797940021313372,0.07791536869458658,-0.08220573257609902,0.05951104819714252,0.06242113938152126,0.07904894257851554,0.06933773539365934,0.003941586091685057,0.07823032843443281,0.0221218696404185,-0.09382421457576129,-0.031677061081476415,0.07920753314769646,0.002705836718161222,-0.10850964960614812,-0.07875112312681391,0.05260495519131939,0.07461639436358328,0.04385617056460291,0.07830442070572867,0.06551049170563324,-0.1336100477149878,0.04394722322227295,-0.027611270869773413,0.07348006724133148,0.07837962151327886,0.054618078620066485,0.07688629019485531;-0.059736855045309456,-0.08080804117382492,0.06913143961307566,0.05238274969821035,-0.02035087706385267,-0.1085606463238409,0.09715153281137089,0.07148423849861965,-0.09669769016717837,0.06934175897640976,-0.029825727045244273,0.09016187250702891,-0.10763205661996751,0.07819287074324525,0.033020189482427985,-0.10631581968968191,0.02808576101363245,0.08434276194390129,-0.10037324859817419,0.08689904474511745,0.09505674323897528,-0.07427024880682803,0.09549299719509712,0.09221958224440316,0.08882195343151496,0.040255139412280753,0.04427810070776725,0.06162690762493539,0.08793524151692488,0.0670510454128616,-0.10521782459752081,-0.0050265803656460144,0.048826745094094466,0.05123844090713928,0.060336026538350275,0.04624627772700272,-0.0922407744408636,0.05667315792972961,0.09140103673336554,0.03475060389514718,-0.060642714423075415,-0.07647913063760522,0.075567653367135,0.06746212672696238,0.07258488517418532,0.08896653159171049,0.04789201518408063,-0.020901487439229118,0.05742350241866586,0.013775693225112002,0.08419894028196112,0.023536086443023053,0.054642477373427034,-0.011868827493899036,0.08648598990630357,-1.9002013613432311,0.08605915657699359,0.060205571106519126,0.0985823411182423,0.07491005583271851,0.04108350011880823,-0.07455078012300578,-0.04755156991634066,-0.10599886884564151,0.08170227710449154,0.03712884552112443,-0.10642925006778388,0.023141215649057037,-0.030971745288055033,0.046114527831682954,0.06264555861614643,0.07549468273791425,-0.099679690481241,-0.10956194002204926,0.07693646167143682,0.02404434949436394,0.01702615764900158,-0.08636216428414045,-0.010353543794267879,0.08731403886831414,-0.1040942179869116,0.08798663823115625,0.062090790339141215,0.09761175116998948,-0.08780373461850584,0.09001004872727879,0.05868223160308533,0.07877227682996263,0.056059340900607296,-0.016556234269146992,0.06773563808543887,-0.10323825241695314,0.023474945563770555,0.03856726947484757,0.05529756857711545,0.09675266162592851,-0.01006465083285946,-0.10745697036512777,0.03631552450174483,-0.0788620222750693;0.15066252907026356,0.1659415706462829,0.002299040030583727,-0.2259423416864983,0.1259828826580009,0.18431882000029973,-0.07871424336962116,-0.19676304481478799,0.1778791648435945,-0.20041446190853382,0.1330005171550079,-0.08743563460501427,0.18357413998271868,-0.1848622118387989,0.06133940100007114,0.18174675534580992,-0.2521828242707123,-0.1694202635437455,0.17754985754815206,-0.043488374412634145,-0.05787292620936424,0.16098728842243495,-0.05956111781316905,-0.14507712096476338,-0.15700786630288235,-0.23807508354443582,0.05735447719978197,0.019366940739399312,-0.168443842822995,0.006931800728248316,0.18222580771199443,0.11212596977594956,-0.2283271589269589,0.03170602563204586,-0.21417047109046256,-0.2352693974982351,0.17498491036702002,-0.22074486693824727,-0.035997398533108724,-0.2446952556696675,0.15183073512174347,0.16629746780588497,-0.011254018283171394,0.004418312239499568,0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k{205}	=[0.59785073766302;0.6241628688351929;0.25863900951261254];
x_a_linear{205}	=[7.108257258357443,-1.7598422573123067,34.49658129942859];
L_a{205}	=[-0.10843128871975909,-0.11092962357321494,-0.04929562173856792,0.16931548483735498,-0.10785931715125818,-0.11344605701751448,0.0071429364520238766,0.12951621224524468,-0.11370734563235928,0.1357172406806508,-0.10876176051538927,0.020516933787305913,-0.11193960750770487,0.11471992651465487,-0.08056924944039896,-0.11177042499275155,0.20870186740017826,0.09704045447142104,-0.11124511453055984,-0.017885728383791683,-0.008562996660409383,-0.1100399359456705,-0.009269529851020789,0.07004264625768898,0.08210110746132647,0.18797650618435807,-0.08351744403937933,-0.05968508412682715,0.09363736144009348,-0.05166317633563202,-0.11309273793138469,-0.10492044908050058,0.17394205769042564,-0.06418240150858025,0.1530699520803043,0.18077072283883586,-0.11347162045018441,0.16040407062210446,-0.02803383264414094,0.19763830267835583,-0.1085074128640667,-0.11325947724653068,-0.040167119824886396,-0.04884471143360371,-0.05666164741592982,0.040316679346320404,0.17650882378183522,-0.10242308446817001,0.1597605573245677,-0.09808474625343637,0.07739078118925247,-0.08545128968215154,0.16532401559323306,-0.09988518792544165,-0.0052042527739631144,1.3914692871318342,-0.010546300539828348,0.15341068655701423,0.04180502882134894,-0.03741704772606215,-0.08378267371231483,-0.11268670726303825,-0.10634789724791191,-0.11228751712000574,0.08422893581184476,-0.08652379866682182,-0.11152073323869582,-0.08539220388178569,-0.10493633165240326,-0.08166155662214004,0.14993400499176465,-0.0373259461500778,-0.11178318478253317,-0.11169139583506643,0.117841616755471,-0.08530886976613347,-0.08948047482732047,-0.11331636984853082,-0.09939538989434794,-0.005650249235295948,-0.11214288946930893,-0.031711619158280226,0.13449666817560268,0.045408951114782825,-0.11354370884897307,-0.003878807031483581,0.15554818553950706,0.1128894467546062,-0.07540901072021516,-0.10696232820659703,-0.0628676599804318,-0.11224910046901658,-0.09390905007617686,0.19152951435515256,-0.06299818363192766,0.03958065572805746,-0.10533340743607435,-0.11235690055138693,-0.07829481578681753,-0.11021621557237155;-0.25191052683034754,-0.2774095325283421,-0.018235599405621822,0.35246198693159747,-0.21151083889696373,-0.3096220335304082,0.10981101829309674,0.3010268950208179,-0.2982221613516563,0.3098745495950062,-0.2225850967329585,0.12652420432314618,-0.30602355087333794,0.28151194741869934,-0.10977335913934186,-0.3044074703694469,0.39796981053685687,0.2563283637719789,-0.29753388719149804,0.05520002007571139,0.07988047327904867,-0.26929493940442695,0.0790645326049952,0.21635674479043723,0.23433042672134716,0.3734074594601771,-0.10374055763936249,-0.04415346170273431,0.25388951335734067,-0.024512030242874926,-0.3056530214590782,-0.1909779619566748,0.3571056957446437,-0.06251256129447717,0.33162317140718717,0.366627728222888,-0.2933474679310463,0.3409586218827109,0.041716442765700884,0.385026605955992,-0.252951301660063,-0.27720984096949786,0.004379133956211195,-0.019105760220652426,-0.02783702220949223,0.1604201165821702,0.3607200666543601,-0.20242676902716744,0.34056846242034045,-0.16006071558436671,0.22135926327589928,-0.1279099425664395,0.3476476005801656,-0.18889617400253442,0.07726244957695495,0.5659111901301698,0.067367860711965,0.3320966025127773,0.17267374022022505,0.008595511997890241,-0.10740522697615378,-0.27426636546546457,-0.23603282972659131,-0.30500696618871553,0.2309819182175174,-0.11621800005189668,-0.30407836998214105,-0.12820009510665428,-0.21695127569291728,-0.09861492586242136,0.32837483846609694,0.009341598981344096,-0.29779395544220155,-0.3075135266705763,0.28578813583638124,-0.12714926751742078,-0.1415608295911613,-0.2871937058461409,-0.18651281719245988,0.07730005531368025,-0.30284599054583766,0.03178387273930836,0.30046035018971523,0.17809041162553876,-0.28903819097540284,0.08313560687394682,0.3343615701737454,0.27884717905383455,-0.0775886738641591,-0.2061264551604934,-0.04368523680794724,-0.30217826361104366,-0.14296084229840325,0.3780166153547294,-0.05635463446572711,0.16690178585684098,-0.19674792194048407,-0.30658803653875877,-0.10244702650300112,-0.27419913471625207;0.0710300956035935,0.08447434865736812,-0.03390388962784971,-0.10159627663110223,0.04677050772250988,0.10100351780139663,-0.07346843822898017,-0.10164574725014945,0.09437197109306528,-0.10074310075083366,0.053125383692895226,-0.07236790476385856,0.10136518118134563,-0.10061137406548738,0.0021689763811765903,0.09966204495580258,-0.0989112200470696,-0.09815331075263027,0.09585093755982439,-0.05662373499297616,-0.06416163005016977,0.08017345708895764,-0.06636870285475692,-0.09363748178127662,-0.09671243815989293,-0.10002427921700188,-0.003981114992255172,-0.024466057528895097,-0.09967613709052622,-0.031009871835072804,0.09916998466298364,0.03507191296869569,-0.10058331764616865,-0.015429823053405994,-0.10175519945900136,-0.10251055335694798,0.0916508342664569,-0.10294338516659256,-0.05658557321228228,-0.09954878388719442,0.07214239573595808,0.0831191906426011,-0.040752934461045096,-0.0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x_a{205}	=[7.1082572583574395,-1.7598422573123116,34.496581299428634];
std_x_a{205}	=[1.7444639324858149,2.402806561891844,1.613950670778894];
pred_a{205}	=[7.1082572583574395];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.5 to 20.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{206}	=[0.9329896473300126,-2.6760474181611626,25.909727266527195];
std_x_f{206}	=[1.7022595099215512,2.2243475344246875,0.6780633778797883];
pred_f{206}	=[0.9329896473300126];
obs{206}	=[0.9179967047799779];
sqrt_r{206}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{206}	=[3.9291448376578546];
L_f{206}	=[-0.17736233686860595,-0.1941542620898163,-0.01617106109034054,0.2643531323765221,-0.1523040362533007,-0.21492758975830534,0.07864240874114159,0.22472399409174407,-0.20816552014323308,0.2314634676449073,-0.1596149319631623,0.09156604172392824,-0.2121255309675998,0.20954733240545154,-0.08171397034902696,-0.21112655952717102,0.29892598336150994,0.1900214634105332,-0.20674214133340768,0.03812063957091316,0.05530046544488501,-0.18922285773422878,0.05475898824215977,0.15965250949801862,0.17371366261774343,0.2800568935616551,-0.07868586774652077,-0.03512206571865811,0.18781641630279827,-0.020965565235078497,-0.21229821025872755,-0.13888247186722322,0.2670536659435818,-0.047997762430665926,0.24870420246282285,0.274867643725504,-0.20532015388026817,0.255410360382167,0.02695637192382781,0.28847704866301055,-0.1788629495302297,-0.194811141628419,8.981308137684424E-4,-0.01715717693675482,-0.02441094038714103,0.11721038322085126,0.2701312166972129,-0.1454918687751588,0.2550828262529302,-0.1180720697557426,0.1638079673764854,-0.09439763141778035,0.2600673417784925,-0.13629549118765036,0.05439479179673175,0.11332817226336094,0.04674436084151163,0.24822007340841304,0.1256675875353963,0.0035778997496802327,-0.08097610095730426,-0.19262895392303006,-0.16775638126935735,-0.21198833950445078,0.17120953542876505,-0.08765637542866057,-0.21122461431447148,-0.09453592054679046,-0.15514781230905111,-0.07453504200481795,0.24545707060885952,0.003704750614639725,-0.20670980194330157,-0.2135912630710579,0.21291061822708465,-0.09429868783623399,-0.10401565157275419,-0.2012284837020069,-0.13489890631163717,0.05461696621590253,-0.21035090602875275,0.01991477759052301,0.2249158617038669,0.13087177253910517,-0.20211674061393625,0.058921735155438824,0.2502001308939316,0.2074618192296574,-0.06052595916128061,-0.14865896159642317,-0.035291066526247486,-0.20969511209565073,-0.10585771518445658,0.2835331075046882,-0.043888809763448756,0.12136963060753647,-0.14232676970242364,-0.21295613497568316,-0.07682126594830296,-0.19226727902391366;-0.20795884985126467,-0.23232597290964282,0.007942339466885415,0.3079060315401308,-0.16977575195187564,-0.2625376024435786,0.12251810035544537,0.2736195703247248,-0.2516588064144199,0.2789071522905421,-0.18057064163513858,0.13516550607034983,-0.2597539150627741,0.25986546601348404,-0.07644829611554856,-0.25764068543960156,0.33480620614073525,0.24152176260507088,-0.2519406616595597,0.07442208399318652,0.0960138482584057,-0.22511487832472807,0.09599436588109726,0.21081848191146704,0.2250673214924754,0.31982463514054205,-0.06912957226219223,-0.015692140131661914,0.24048395243742876,0.0020723340737613307,-0.25910512145953185,-0.15004860444741588,0.3101272698697449,-0.033259382946486477,0.2948603669921516,0.3168228864419471,-0.24745738936181924,0.30119248605047,0.0631086353276535,0.3265607749321605,-0.2102546829267685,-0.23178142290446258,0.02873173757766366,0.005554297918060737,-2.098794246076493E-4,0.16342736665164992,0.3126166057370074,-0.16225119675155583,0.29945706600766114,-0.12155219296220365,0.21277419436963044,-0.09376710251249462,0.3043458858098915,-0.14945957583207908,0.0924622876817723,-0.9160474201110475,0.08415387101339031,0.2945709538595057,0.175724987034449,0.032095709322764024,-0.07318986233302997,-0.22911129573992453,-0.19441438969355151,-0.2589064611057512,0.21945464810191367,-0.08170390192450193,-0.25772801971445264,-0.09388196596060484,-0.1762827810360446,-0.06474228538422301,0.29210313140694394,0.0321399340040588,-0.25176974934110236,-0.26133348047739574,0.2632473860400978,-0.09250580678327597,-0.10545603491352208,-0.24174482410310574,-0.1484610956203957,0.0930123243079058,-0.2566184751999176,0.054136752727921456,0.27087118112400166,0.18020655764581478,-0.2427726084104198,0.09802115208254765,0.2953711321048946,0.257629537596308,-0.04529254447466949,-0.16412322393975992,-0.014603410854849612,-0.2556455386996735,-0.10616631581347037,0.32239984576702185,-0.02713340974417089,0.17026774991158358,-0.15584293768920623,-0.2596688941250862,-0.06955680050649832,-0.23000001398324493;0.026799632502348195,0.03734322898201704,-0.04325980493844874,0.007988066872805866,0.008365307295753889,0.05184246187757507,-0.05202685995638722,-0.013815359286889622,0.04624558175458125,-0.0098286556652593,0.013001457454768942,-0.04791190617746737,0.05110064411438797,-0.02039793097320217,-0.024341334130037577,0.050127026912378345,0.02960999424935467,-0.02807100337677006,0.04642933606529642,-0.05042004191255305,-0.05197365469084753,0.033829032377870376,-0.05270178077526073,-0.0385274199181519,-0.03484657138162928,0.017907554828821566,-0.027804206659533898,-0.039938247309892747,-0.029898836896009,-0.04244447106955706,0.04991411373187076,-6.446303264860171E-4,0.010176176177925786,-0.03450392133461091,-0.002138799409110502,0.013614626777831736,0.044210024518273154,0.001640325672208347,-0.05203556357653506,0.023565932555879486,0.027166977317372006,0.036991259377935196,-0.046536086188499,-0.04286208760519474,-0.04321529480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k{206}	=[0.7454916931501827;0.8558333119887453;-0.04724131969510121];
x_a_linear{206}	=[0.9218125332030838,-2.688878877840216,25.91043555291937];
L_a{206}	=[0.12769649727768326,0.13978626825812493,0.011642764157024461,-0.1903277192038446,0.10965514039887646,0.15474255056079245,-0.05662058986718971,-0.16179571946565863,0.14987402762949875,-0.16664797379106264,0.11491880454874263,-0.0659252860791413,0.15272513751213385,-0.15086889829311323,0.05883203828078435,0.15200590277450363,-0.21521931710242687,-0.13681075539211426,0.14884923007933681,-0.027445917961697187,-0.0398149678213184,0.136235779050628,-0.03942511762333108,-0.11494585944473795,-0.12506954203020276,-0.20163403898306723,0.05665187927654262,0.025287018927540456,-0.13522317599413503,0.015094688597555134,0.15284946233226612,0.09999194588786445,-0.19227203660167938,0.034557202209751066,-0.1790608765843554,-0.19789790740477073,0.14782543427158717,-0.18388914447713606,-0.01940792129130201,-0.2076963424684713,0.12877690129154046,0.14025920528463182,-6.466319797102369E-4,0.01235274318481791,0.017575273520451698,-0.08438857790290513,-0.1944877970521301,0.10475054824483816,-0.18365332800233727,0.08500897090290539,-0.11793768637391454,0.06796396064791592,-0.18724205593904705,0.09812938376143487,-0.03916290518734708,-0.08159348200082647,-0.03365478405580091,-0.17871231563522716,-0.09047755590576695,-0.0025759993565226008,0.05830079056249806,0.138688084091145,0.12078044675260657,0.15262636305071328,-0.12326663236845632,0.06311042301269351,0.15207649979696442,0.06806352540161718,0.11170258884691156,0.05366338737130707,-0.17672302193454267,-0.0026673288429172183,0.14882594651804892,0.15378042838653017,-0.1532903809277518,0.06789272371557377,0.07488869735482025,0.14487953290941388,0.09712387718113977,-0.03932286527590754,0.15144745143360513,-0.014338147474104567,-0.16193385940247756,-0.09422444043543472,0.14551905592393122,-0.042422192477351635,-0.18013790806805893,-0.1493673803706657,0.043577194097264474,0.10703077677006546,0.025408695330475156,0.15097529601621693,0.07621493761038985,-0.2041368270729761,0.03159885788283731,-0.08738313318430364,0.10247175516925675,0.15332315186134501,0.055309412083936374,0.13842768710616035;0.14225231249665485,0.1510417194750683,0.03987294097357859,-0.21407298268812866,0.1309564920423076,0.1618481062633088,-0.032765427485523045,-0.17010964844757978,0.15937484400555801,-0.17812950766875343,0.134597346325656,-0.04563640751455826,0.15909898277013823,-0.15389664461423597,0.0849001899342058,0.1592396913074837,-0.2554387011903179,-0.13368550375698404,0.15628245324171014,-8.491022647267883E-4,-0.013179798057731505,0.14851549957783736,-0.012130105525082641,-0.10442370484706838,-0.11793934370580365,-0.2331622726178626,0.08623976764607907,0.053658206038525835,-0.13036933368132414,0.04346993347333039,0.16008874061825326,0.1241820623395515,-0.21718408839602074,0.06151469630685312,-0.19621902090429044,-0.22591757751718305,0.1579579373269107,-0.20312855958056827,0.00988187641817741,-0.2430521671763668,0.1429195171987298,0.1528833123068045,0.02695833155593692,0.03943203647132055,0.04799079247632539,-0.06801063349958295,-0.2207715366174357,0.1250300681184848,-0.20421724644352754,0.11158725208590929,-0.11067316017931264,0.09262593225115003,-0.20917061189194353,0.11966296300190553,-0.014943058893689905,-1.1398197927344376,-0.008145301587407817,-0.19555249602966454,-0.07241220306602769,0.0250309601081203,0.08670166221126381,0.15124459630735207,0.1368293135236984,0.15967554504507164,-0.11860748767144698,0.09137817213961462,0.159345971311969,0.0927841278834839,0.130064646742503,0.08243103312869214,-0.1925646256948727,0.02482471115647477,0.15638950975177723,0.1604135816561536,-0.15715570743492763,0.09369185873054985,0.09992828107379366,0.15559128692816054,0.11790381371128678,-0.014831717217992356,0.1587303333571206,0.014813988205235898,-0.1732368902313527,-0.07820656651935996,0.1563174121096508,-0.018322879692526568,-0.1986620443122527,-0.1520146187561037,0.07421911106806237,0.12941163049039373,0.055080636203072283,0.1584083706153543,0.10285525061812062,-0.23745102729006684,0.05952732867805021,-0.06938290061120292,0.12518867438092748,0.1608240745382935,0.08213078613555569,0.1496417321577033;0.007468254242689342,0.016181636574922775,-0.045022348803829805,0.036800894253864055,-0.008234873933626957,0.02841670751839231,-0.04345533244120822,0.010678141478310395,0.023556850417619755,0.01539940529365125,-0.0043955653864189695,-0.037931784018746154,0.027980296525014787,0.0024414092021203585,-0.03324764252563459,0.02711556092169444,0.06219104475887072,-0.007359860010609684,0.02389574405873226,-0.04626513216082046,-0.045946252062282526,0.013204932003370412,-0.046733395753306456,-0.02112630136220745,-0.015912875647669005,0.04843199332714881,-0.03638047093273397,-0.043766331387128155,-0.00942802978427883,-0.04472958570630829,0.026774945186744906,-0.015781945523740525,0.0392833447184963,-0.03973537530362245,0.024968393118113264,0.04357346970926704,0.021831420192986006,0.02947844719877137,-0.049097488721592177,0.05500811495712957,0.007672041723640669,0.015758071236053287,-0.04643819558334495,-0.04473211189044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x_a{206}	=[0.9218125332030842,-2.688878877840214,25.910435552919388];
std_x_a{206}	=[1.2255847589313331,1.7639221878457982,0.6743642605239847];
pred_a{206}	=[0.9218125332030842];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.6 to 20.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{207}	=[-1.2887955357228018,-2.6588305029193573,20.156902115676658];
std_x_f{207}	=[1.5908660021916436,2.0426140584846078,1.1539556222475909];
pred_f{207}	=[-1.2887955357228018];
obs{207}	=[-1.2923796045068168];
sqrt_r{207}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{207}	=[3.5537441544440505];
L_f{207}	=[0.15129282043384631,0.16166674983159066,0.02964568711913788,-0.22675708381594015,0.13557193902270456,0.17575055635299305,-0.05078082231843619,-0.18699031991457934,0.1720397482569972,-0.1944802867538936,0.1408063637764936,-0.06331112137327116,0.17293688649257283,-0.17210177641703753,0.08209562786911712,0.1728837725839579,-0.26198879171994793,-0.15306335882768426,0.16912914260493409,-0.015387189291383174,-0.029797892677616872,0.15905309399596973,-0.0293071939019051,-0.12437787738970278,-0.13757696513502615,-0.24283653583010043,0.08156204404109327,0.04593135305684322,-0.15010971001246715,0.03395485065526565,0.17340404382318883,0.12764835643018907,-0.22889627674027002,0.05499983293331237,-0.21120502801840368,-0.23679212186049833,0.17077191911998155,-0.2173423418907451,-0.005015341836470987,-0.25087063461806536,0.1520211538889765,0.16357778538268195,0.015483659462141454,0.029877045354392905,0.03818365337523621,-0.0864010220784925,-0.23199667198993296,0.12959089021129674,-0.21751969561989315,0.11212246067464951,-0.12991062688548038,0.09088225744835894,-0.22206079624148584,0.123029272818751,-0.030778288402431766,-0.682256869874382,-0.02394312802724911,-0.20974152145069888,-0.09247332440636297,0.01355775486205019,0.08270115840304271,0.16246389203759054,0.14453534970735837,0.17340247599688766,-0.13745537980377592,0.08826143395656177,0.17290804856025366,0.09186553433470467,0.1359919903738269,0.07828194448009637,-0.2074520427299395,0.013156201603385796,0.1697122364610311,0.1744299268741902,-0.17525698290704106,0.09256033331698592,0.09961379008026287,0.16716522464478753,0.12143942574171669,-0.031046606437049717,0.1724781776120689,6.88308326835398E-4,-0.18882373242035183,-0.09835665908401194,0.168082234524517,-0.034700127425319825,-0.2124552008679549,-0.17036551448044984,0.0677611532469246,0.13353092891459006,0.04644609146086677,0.17204187688151404,0.1021337429904804,-0.24628272814153016,0.05239506657413937,-0.0883944631981262,0.1289395939661278,0.174420940208774,0.07847191176280138,0.16131033789435606;0.19220475410831953,0.20426844535490166,0.04011210261716106,-0.2864146468524603,0.17463275300216358,0.21967488239981725,-0.06407233798986751,-0.23805733603815937,0.21631662852188316,-0.24640004802680013,0.18051662676646088,-0.0808257067337355,0.2155638953255583,-0.21967717106133916,0.10796782501992393,0.21636244531986018,-0.32866020338898155,-0.1957890782573625,0.21221027038995885,-0.018634244624613213,-0.03697769904744725,0.2009946417191,-0.03553338326868313,-0.1593889967364246,-0.17641334421100793,-0.30596144078852777,0.10776131952568774,0.06099159790640031,-0.1918759748933848,0.045717782310693254,0.21690539495844685,0.16442458437756216,-0.2904479023691452,0.07278442392842759,-0.26714466959541866,-0.29841310697340045,0.21417424261617393,-0.27439445377952343,-0.004167244251754529,-0.3157156385841128,0.193302414662784,0.2062462854007446,0.02193805881186749,0.04010285700459449,0.05159397826279702,-0.11080723914057572,-0.29345488176342704,0.1666028491816569,-0.27596325257503745,0.14599645443445777,-0.16672406845849286,0.11901681465756919,-0.2808437890374285,0.1583689490321404,-0.0384815940173533,-0.9232142096576589,-0.02956437991876043,-0.2661152843023783,-0.1179230855866825,0.019460853696390987,0.10960053431554515,0.20474357472179605,0.18376931253227632,0.2172106251661972,-0.1766970891821747,0.11606707563259382,0.21638764795507098,0.1194177966120027,0.17428897153553738,0.10308556604786515,-0.26342534999321143,0.018668065144267006,0.2124801972728367,0.21706285542285508,-0.22340147472135227,0.12031888450941232,0.129878737797548,0.21089502891096623,0.1559229855385068,-0.0386740082884317,0.2160464654413143,0.003123835258205106,-0.24062248646651518,-0.12576274723305622,0.21143402274796036,-0.04340917032476705,-0.2697349776240943,-0.217374003108667,0.09060503555272946,0.17263977414329548,0.06267837533541058,0.2151362085743213,0.13320828309454247,-0.3105124949297853,0.07007934063358631,-0.11371296822048599,0.1664267848726793,0.2179469186729672,0.10322021136097588,0.20282593590572412;-0.032886599565853714,-0.027681836356191217,-0.061549586345758404,0.10656358609633487,-0.04661444731957009,-0.018455686401708808,-0.03979110528467499,0.06266038800437641,-0.022091809249891962,0.07065726925925712,-0.043222375511564624,-0.03142250777451413,-0.018883034755049388,0.04819481649729847,-0.06129618903437745,-0.019537304527123607,0.14980405571712616,0.030959216194961687,-0.021793968945380958,-0.052609792155194436,-0.04800189678411903,-0.029896450338128537,-0.049151405872603506,0.006924345846452686,0.016760463633447145,0.12612979357625517,-0.06262782511334707,-0.06459387623010338,0.027777645729459725,-0.06288232781097149,-0.019541022861690897,-0.05124942328351091,0.11004866666880395,-0.06280520469453554,0.08935949485234677,0.118588586485902,-0.023690987317740456,0.09523162745589787,-0.05780255749049323,0.13663775441431208,-0.034353571600759435,-0.02802109288448462,-0.06084233470479429,-0.06174089074688097,-0.06448719239893135,-0.0183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k{207}	=[0.7186066423072482;0.9222126539124395;-0.38162016182933];
x_a_linear{207}	=[-1.291371071357481,-2.6621357765044684,20.15826986858602];
L_a{207}	=[-0.12137481062261964,-0.12969730545385588,-0.023783280988116256,0.18191608846059948,-0.10876271839890189,-0.1409960527736471,0.04073896351781028,0.1500131638951035,-0.13801905341163614,0.15602199699164146,-0.11296204068919717,0.05079140797924693,-0.1387387834234971,0.13806881556265296,-0.06586129637206468,-0.13869617273925544,0.21018075999291574,0.12279522675099805,-0.1356840172294616,0.012344387399880904,0.023905388043712953,-0.12760049754736222,0.02351172447921625,0.0997822716935834,0.11037125252483435,0.1948158442952625,-0.06543322823312751,-0.03684847214116596,0.12042565914980825,-0.02724031157713949,-0.13911356084103665,-0.10240601664754703,0.18363225804043287,-0.044123668839100294,0.16943943674767928,0.18996670737798269,-0.1370019362677703,0.17436310270123173,0.0040235628092843995,0.20126120777065043,-0.12195911683710493,-0.13123043556169195,-0.012421780687103411,-0.023968888354741744,-0.03063287262415417,0.06931530301507752,0.18611955310971662,-0.10396441624069289,0.1745053849009214,-0.08995035185346567,0.10422092529490225,-0.07291037839812113,0.17814848723970744,-0.09870035238019668,0.024691911456346825,0.5473412296731738,0.019208397475088283,0.16826533719694928,0.0741868133945859,-0.010876721870412715,-0.06634708382497012,-0.13033681355486718,-0.11595362323670508,-0.13911230305087957,0.11027371057596558,-0.0708078202325714,-0.13871564816457405,-0.07369921322536237,-0.10909970499911231,-0.06280176520733613,0.16642860069246831,-0.010554575382657994,-0.136151804836012,-0.1399365765048286,0.14060008300218682,-0.07425661637677024,-0.07991525884521372,-0.13410846215812655,-0.09742489603441258,0.02490716985753869,-0.13837078378318085,-5.521960168370738E-4,0.15148402084021964,0.0789067242950597,-0.13484413421561114,0.02783821058230963,0.17044238911795534,0.13667589775505126,-0.05436145032745915,-0.10712531607775491,-0.03726142152058413,-0.13802076110270076,-0.08193689348972955,0.1975805553897447,-0.04203399252363354,0.07091454306949048,-0.10344191320195034,-0.13992936694385963,-0.0629541666424915,-0.12941137363460833;-0.15771900788926008,-0.1696490817872936,-0.028455132324882185,0.238049710418012,-0.138930328101705,-0.18681695029820425,0.05337815524598051,0.1944308416163189,-0.1815925105276335,0.20341160450331508,-0.1451531068308088,0.06560599903849815,-0.18442022643314634,0.17837543234457504,-0.08191039170666503,-0.18349882977193976,0.27729124451816034,0.15822974557961053,-0.17896695582628036,0.0169546428584117,0.031941570719957686,-0.1668777850677379,0.03225095384882967,0.12828344297798394,0.14178714320278996,0.2556929319996651,-0.08088277611103223,-0.04524260282566532,0.15531138197723368,-0.032816077030978726,-0.18415921066000165,-0.1308121159944203,0.23896417438711307,-0.05442417985114402,0.22134948197814888,0.2492611967721988,-0.1808025461742726,0.22829463416056361,0.007432693392934662,0.26452072682001004,-0.15830590303199887,-0.1720912581535388,-0.013873953634890095,-0.02899948425523311,-0.0367206396917051,0.08902888394473542,0.24312807042717427,-0.13312671956665287,0.2271360351612451,-0.11333054555926919,0.13374501627978982,-0.0911839161766336,0.23275856823355193,-0.12618431567078112,0.03270522393435942,0.6547713806071888,0.025813458958584848,0.21899393649647853,0.0959576092665547,-0.01189675185267072,-0.08167820837009483,-0.17101765523967621,-0.15052515805927036,-0.18385035424133203,0.14122218464598993,-0.08807197684072243,-0.18352977481728164,-0.0930571462183057,-0.14024564244474536,-0.07797201771856714,0.21638855669434648,-0.011760791594961708,-0.18004566131827693,-0.1863745055950009,0.18194877652862446,-0.09376305244669,-0.10051707392548268,-0.17573986965946417,-0.12495313659676774,0.033133399958419206,-0.18287671279959913,0.0015318533092281233,0.19610617397804975,0.1017254578615141,-0.17732181947322415,0.036848432750143226,0.22165068714492978,0.17666281615810736,-0.06611910769124008,-0.13620267360032187,-0.04474635908003857,-0.18277785375110922,-0.10301590435624201,0.25911254411160234,-0.051104723178306624,0.09073376635255216,-0.13179640682726243,-0.18546965716974775,-0.07827674597275446,-0.17026724937054083;0.11191510328968228,0.12704870937363974,-0.0331758276646542,-0.11046463624063198,0.08314086805904879,0.1497544095218379,-0.08839321028230887,-0.11630723691984698,0.14256668832464192,-0.1154789704713669,0.09154278511710866,-0.09201730770126772,0.1466341099372767,-0.11652304796042977,0.017277180662570366,0.1459290050734202,-0.10094428158881155,-0.11553706128522337,0.1400788005717932,-0.06733680435024439,-0.07652133074570663,0.12233257671691611,-0.07720119416225237,-0.11211718164930216,-0.11491385354910039,-0.10628800260802022,0.015434853813923413,-0.020633177249031166,-0.11589170726842535,-0.030384287381896715,0.14642323608748278,0.0709222655302612,-0.10902696794649287,-0.01016510291921051,-0.11278392227092973,-0.10804412727970791,0.13975407648351001,-0.11278578618040254,-0.0626027194297119,-0.10346944290658663,0.11114521604866873,0.1285384966904001,-0.046022991327335845,-0.0331457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x_a{207}	=[-1.2913710713574806,-2.6621357765044658,20.158269868586025];
std_x_a{207}	=[1.2762737794712768,1.6387162672051587,1.031257955486719];
pred_a{207}	=[-1.2913710713574806];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.7 to 20.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{208}	=[-2.6216378946075594,-4.173729062775506,16.318234053417374];
std_x_f{208}	=[1.8611828514211903,2.7339571852300444,1.4683808148767656];
pred_f{208}	=[-2.6216378946075594];
obs{208}	=[-2.7308261630886776];
sqrt_r{208}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{208}	=[4.4946869141489225];
L_f{208}	=[-0.1751722230395244,-0.18609947886630962,-0.04189000520568448,0.2764874729556495,-0.15819679713632695,-0.20134405788444076,0.05352935294123665,0.22492187420509432,-0.19721656442870522,0.23474697195056324,-0.16419541847045646,0.0680303062788949,-0.199185586727037,0.20579208542726568,-0.10068559572281201,-0.19841862988000109,0.32353022679729765,0.18042307801519608,-0.19394856661161586,0.010578314619137802,0.02765231658748809,-0.18357541098628283,0.028136618710046392,0.14424803631591177,0.16117601820169472,0.2974492120115498,-0.09955486840078741,-0.060477106204804225,0.17720969135347397,-0.04679217078026053,-0.19923899870058898,-0.14999483070528294,0.27883150900639003,-0.07059895586876402,0.25607349208493296,0.2898998047727106,-0.19652445220792358,0.2649279585085692,-0.0010676268543611993,0.3083711131712935,-0.17568853226319295,-0.18919754194476193,-0.025287708664984594,-0.04177754554318046,-0.05175759181405868,0.09671263553760838,0.28308109769168177,-0.15289171732498044,0.2645238199470403,-0.13360662071500148,0.15108335221850702,-0.11015542452245797,0.2705605292948898,-0.14543152195626216,0.029371806347165907,0.7385537551121163,0.021196316424172332,0.25382056577467044,0.10431351074721835,-0.02223144774875037,-0.10090658270968138,-0.1876618037994504,-0.16837897279574005,-0.19857385118318405,0.16042169746450893,-0.1076910460899963,-0.1986288396840941,-0.11183000825680998,-0.15958730406019075,-0.09641768783879111,0.2511684972152637,-0.022653637071089354,-0.19514701732232062,-0.200488118160344,0.20962918234815334,-0.113050944539583,-0.12006171768796628,-0.19187996377367375,-0.14360974398607346,0.029773768833097285,-0.1978471070809992,-0.008158319762457835,0.22669632517569438,0.11219762564404008,-0.19363164008787262,0.033971842934095886,0.2579036963849743,0.20256161563274477,-0.08416986321184468,-0.15565774863064968,-0.06035794170646168,-0.1974486112791385,-0.12258647902786779,0.3020154062520009,-0.06729872598151095,0.09912922942683751,-0.15123227918548146,-0.20009182084226662,-0.09664446960630328,-0.1868064877794293;-0.2515126790696431,-0.26518198684124833,-0.07530708337572978,0.4202587038356843,-0.23128138397343023,-0.2822810259023375,0.066478809217353,0.33666542652508086,-0.27786312029487625,0.3528957215381643,-0.23910205025821316,0.0894473358746864,-0.27943489231200397,0.30564557851014024,-0.1576622461114976,-0.2785378226282754,0.4951817167652044,0.26601673796305164,-0.2741410157446197,0.001197970445881791,0.02789588265985853,-0.26188061504659016,0.02765242330448408,0.20830825986769702,0.2346071594817601,0.4537144599624862,-0.15591300865683375,-0.10224038582515962,0.2609174212167795,-0.08238171134543071,-0.27934734811485556,-0.2222466449299136,0.4231688741580857,-0.11562146781947912,0.387606832234185,0.44141972549204633,-0.276707242588954,0.4013865937120596,-0.01603920587416023,0.4706098202823834,-0.2526098789853558,-0.2681026210368684,-0.05187926892132018,-0.0752815274043841,-0.0895645718011354,0.13290128266967002,0.4305242809958615,-0.22436210899550862,0.39994873262657243,-0.20060290665785285,0.2186663889723091,-0.16993161444214536,0.410451872459995,-0.2153734504971242,0.02949878233098088,1.041235950459671,0.017431186854937917,0.38378877402576517,0.14519680792694029,-0.04790629623570701,-0.15727364209973876,-0.2665185949598118,-0.2441891833943249,-0.2788886445279928,0.23297000203509902,-0.16641049875452701,-0.27895077715596334,-0.17311953073181907,-0.2334608409155158,-0.15186192223209197,0.37908494726477215,-0.04790571687991487,-0.275184617148488,-0.28150682547492517,0.3125696001398558,-0.1739575268460422,-0.18294423242134586,-0.27084238323361637,-0.2136543742035423,0.030210922985986002,-0.2780713421982391,-0.02633022180525484,0.33996334607622175,0.15645094451902977,-0.2730677452952417,0.036371266430140235,0.38914107492363736,0.3014927584717361,-0.13498432761976822,-0.22824257175298035,-0.101669303632029,-0.2777634261646155,-0.18656827216533559,0.46050858364310604,-0.11087969090285339,0.1370749689586786,-0.22345944065148649,-0.28085679530676055,-0.15191775365183907,-0.2657805440013116;0.16075849068977216,0.1807122106621591,-0.035110548996801376,-0.17331642232509725,0.12669607561797364,0.2103096932880911,-0.11876209111338483,-0.1763492920684382,0.20164479091856297,-0.17617184356144697,0.13655901896248177,-0.12662099137816651,0.20597806459094511,-0.17457508217747789,0.03693957329653988,0.2046697966474289,-0.16311925746467595,-0.17124625676806662,0.19723722897864937,-0.08576916572499724,-0.09977086474511054,0.17522807373486712,-0.10094963316898976,-0.16228216876082266,-0.16725942909055067,-0.16911902550288277,0.03465579263152245,-0.015641377487391566,-0.17139135562863222,-0.03086636918243005,0.20625846975159923,0.1108219072701817,-0.17238622681260524,-0.0015755969774933266,-0.17463041320932193,-0.17097578346161943,0.1983887419724104,-0.17491399324815016,-0.07795853836327843,-0.1665075315636864,0.16062190673373922,0.18387319913750405,-0.053110877979472226,-0.03508569630709616,-0.026166205371387117,-0.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k{208}	=[0.7775150930196986;1.1408813032569023;-0.45586705286918955];
x_a_linear{208}	=[-2.706533421332316,-4.298299916820609,16.36800938757775];
L_a{208}	=[0.11090655541203895,0.11782491428667195,0.02652176299952886,-0.17505214415856013,0.10015892670180014,0.12747669422227434,-0.03389096767247356,-0.14240448555179006,0.12486345980805973,-0.14862503655370715,0.10395682580843751,-0.043071936875036666,0.12611010426371747,-0.13029286795457476,0.06374693662879768,0.12562452190038098,-0.2048362600140547,-0.11423102220372032,0.12279439671861286,-0.006697434194282423,-0.017507474236879938,0.11622685456383225,-0.017814099792346105,-0.0913275664095375,-0.10204515695245099,-0.18832362198647704,0.06303104075090071,0.03828978940884642,-0.1121965350020697,0.02962546453680394,0.12614392091513404,0.09496602665926883,-0.17653622056998214,0.04469822255623539,-0.1621274677382151,-0.18354387587299958,0.12442526372289531,-0.1677334842288291,6.759451631545083E-4,-0.195238590667925,0.11123344558064525,0.11978638682220669,0.016010373183788472,0.026450561563737637,0.03276921491841992,-0.06123154165758314,-0.17922675697367507,0.09680012861239286,-0.16747761252159918,0.08459018117501543,-0.09565520082985834,0.06974255667795051,-0.17129962624144884,0.09207686509099133,-0.01859613248990187,-0.46759955171448464,-0.013419995483519858,-0.16070107551499133,-0.06604387361859483,0.01407536679534112,0.0638868498243907,0.11881406698315887,0.10660555396604991,0.12572279695657368,-0.10156757487245269,0.06818228805525711,0.125757611752649,0.07080278363918575,0.10103929649174992,0.06104480181530147,-0.15902197489311956,0.014342666956633242,0.12355317021505578,0.12693477424893204,-0.13272224399886792,0.07157579339581492,0.07601451482761967,0.1214847049690256,0.0909234452399822,-0.018850626461297378,0.1252626744346305,0.005165266085594071,-0.14352794132281382,-0.07103553274415123,0.12259374145228584,-0.0215085475050988,-0.1632862225401802,-0.1282475649318912,0.053290352981487966,0.09855138231546663,0.03821434294930375,0.12501037532028642,0.07761301359978377,-0.19121461044208662,0.04260875241929167,-0.06276155651629585,0.09574949076138117,0.12668386705768692,0.0611883838526165,0.1182725418947442;0.16826300441756234,0.18077933386478193,0.025076443540699503,-0.24230477752985427,0.1478150703109049,0.2002117920112556,-0.06179678338310994,-0.2023283239530601,0.19473873798820815,-0.2096424987758264,0.15436925939315702,-0.07357775920345032,0.19788545196584542,-0.18750631405330714,0.08361667373370764,0.1969446170486996,-0.28011313150513556,-0.16634188360679406,0.19062954375433153,-0.024151478070218474,-0.03836901878458036,0.17803213071347376,-0.03977304030548395,-0.13736194392104362,-0.1516285805710273,-0.2590808914255369,0.08265628162379461,0.04268452379776566,-0.16374076954944075,0.02974916837002505,0.19810099047233748,0.13719494624433962,-0.24501176110459946,0.053559036024482,-0.22603740483560586,-0.2532845294389094,0.19423606575118163,-0.2334761312572532,-0.01348078773729819,-0.2683583366153161,0.16840306719964218,0.1852827736671877,0.008719181018280826,0.024832505691202513,0.0344652435566113,-0.09885699487121866,-0.24783989800426487,0.14202146498668125,-0.2339455309169176,0.1195666359550822,-0.14338369146054686,0.09404042299842927,-0.23790851903767027,0.13313281077239197,-0.040886635349386614,-0.728604621091897,-0.03336281495641308,-0.22445664087161218,-0.10477590185013134,0.005368252729376964,0.08453484208988865,0.18318661850078236,0.15930742790492988,0.1969657612489997,-0.1514581140832172,0.09165600113615721,0.19703540085724838,0.09486541194822146,0.1489677683431096,0.07918955448321119,-0.22280515699680475,0.006380549629598869,0.19245786152510497,0.19893485284317705,-0.18977735745515703,0.09695321853092334,0.10476684830029556,0.18897105946283366,0.13048625146845472,-0.04113774145999448,0.19604152318541082,-0.006779951819697751,-0.20328262747743564,-0.11241494171078496,0.19094334420435066,-0.04503749427139196,-0.2288889902622799,-0.18391776595440232,0.06671695381458662,0.14476940861543405,0.042970044970597705,0.1953944998759677,0.10719304528168011,-0.2632290123254878,0.050392274517901056,-0.10047433717087666,0.13894752238676564,0.19863521202656093,0.079677173787603,0.18187502448320159;-0.006973159527631324,0.0025174480838375795,-0.07522124451032328,0.09142703584764574,-0.02478119276604885,0.01751787672933431,-0.06750643797323141,0.0390188552085381,0.012805149405480224,0.04860407299424065,-0.020662074772069657,-0.061480323874165604,0.015253036492687229,0.022475828585969852,-0.05946932550415092,0.014679148323353748,0.14666877795734018,0.0015132143837262371,0.011526774600695622,-0.07564017302969703,-0.07329310124429031,-5.498326579731448E-4,-0.07400813864500282,-0.02416117701872042,-0.01292948431191587,0.11569580598616229,-0.060670407346386214,-0.07354967281008204,-0.0017087801067795908,-0.07567100707560104,0.015482298393811897,-0.03280177941786443,0.09460170270461046,-0.06917580873493372,0.07056616338859992,0.10661030757781649,0.010211814689431819,0.078760949607052,-0.07898081695854416,0.12876528506277263,-0.007604122082084186,0.002711966055983275,-0.07732447206988795,-0.0750887089674386,-0.07572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x_a{208}	=[-2.7065334213323173,-4.29829991682061,16.368009387577764];
std_x_a{208}	=[1.1783682107893694,1.732409186449976,1.209195808998669];
pred_a{208}	=[-2.7065334213323173];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.8 to 20.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{209}	=[-5.01775757264888,-8.234064973729431,14.931004568047065];
std_x_f{209}	=[1.859261352520979,2.716051851510176,2.373397305447847];
pred_f{209}	=[-5.01775757264888];
obs{209}	=[-5.310917910057527];
sqrt_r{209}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{209}	=[4.4935979357792375];
L_f{209}	=[0.1916902678831106,0.20698165847049202,0.02099130369947237,-0.2735702530696988,0.16790671061278428,0.22900970999820455,-0.08342669803966998,-0.23607261623656212,0.22206644963739286,-0.24384000168500944,0.17656042008969938,-0.09720746312461412,0.22587397763364978,-0.22146990267747435,0.09111076178587575,0.22476207994532393,-0.30560691281907476,-0.19955135946213762,0.21845834986504536,-0.03832640538749012,-0.05538796777473803,0.20309605065472075,-0.05729149955758835,-0.16880467998950763,-0.1841092457310785,-0.28817517225520967,0.09112542009171903,0.04229030029732942,-0.1970563762538504,0.02613281786141386,0.2265434820135126,0.15561921128165568,-0.2759461037159551,0.055124569646366126,-0.25941635836165244,-0.2838043564102945,0.22199469361902627,-0.26643681607809433,-0.02580760529458157,-0.29606223593472686,0.1922345052376367,0.2114995750693847,8.148515524430539E-4,0.02054085563084582,0.03178877734532779,-0.12594197912564992,-0.2790944743154031,0.16047226574449533,-0.2660892314307565,0.1339602648504534,-0.1752909572907985,0.10434369523538467,-0.2693304525032262,0.1510604424504842,-0.05807385565621711,-0.46844448644861986,-0.0495220764759844,-0.25771074928550525,-0.13300738795576203,-0.002286936313340906,0.0923851310625478,0.2092845416582999,0.18168062568894766,0.22514620100584412,-0.18408573962786726,0.10062068768869584,0.22483629280918419,0.10508487169211408,0.16906590986623357,0.08604273082749518,-0.25628364253102304,-0.0018915757683042025,0.21976132284005934,0.22755129199716095,-0.2241018495352967,0.10723429938946508,0.11649997650224851,0.2152918772496637,0.14818927114646768,-0.058689281642152646,0.2237473593626534,-0.017997144177491233,-0.2364348988632866,-0.14124639410201623,0.21817291543648962,-0.06306469043534797,-0.26161720930892385,-0.21836092355955106,0.07119654922156209,0.16424920712421756,0.04244439209653103,0.22346364543767866,0.11977054532911431,-0.2914666463471276,0.05097536495285261,-0.1277856454223662,0.15767202180589504,0.22686065187971027,0.08657910578569822,0.20732799992093723;0.29421550057486695,0.3203488620182408,0.0027828168831803084,-0.3889358442917809,0.25200639020940213,0.35953779103840766,-0.1587335923731019,-0.3550091791930914,0.3476192335592645,-0.3618336590455321,0.26578183543759404,-0.1787870007995669,0.35367504342418093,-0.3385143612909404,0.12047753103947291,0.3519608657214917,-0.41352255111544856,-0.3142146666938079,0.34127198064623593,-0.09142740890375473,-0.11721566381300917,0.3139908928993541,-0.11983194790593703,-0.2765165744361135,-0.295697709687007,-0.40098723933780034,0.1193259939598593,0.03752437505458318,-0.31173701218576383,0.011586918092004076,0.35525811886247144,0.2303162370810271,-0.3913096673972157,0.05997665564355014,-0.3762943968848511,-0.397822718672879,0.34665334458048586,-0.3837720321929834,-0.07206886593015709,-0.4069709566374564,0.2947090941434718,0.32844208517214457,-0.02831083043198935,0.0025337754257685435,0.020941315815933798,-0.21948326461446663,-0.39369494400404204,0.23905738573316532,-0.38355944515571405,0.19323600311975087,-0.28410431855996016,0.1421187380264373,-0.38615569768071034,0.222283824153501,-0.12105519742597899,-0.21514949865205735,-0.10794385721422617,-0.3751888730120234,-0.2304698922748671,-0.03484514584308466,0.12154100124283278,0.32410903630227295,0.2762277874498998,0.35309735631094175,-0.2954074577592334,0.13572720493301102,0.3519358761622578,0.14360492744663922,0.2541680910118764,0.11071918681505,-0.374579460484696,-0.032905021523364913,0.34325908419093076,0.3571771577244601,-0.3420612438976449,0.14708818832863738,0.16331866864248357,0.3359024504734178,0.218063567328079,-0.12218553020779226,0.35069373713239893,-0.058737890642022665,-0.3542827521622402,-0.2406243883200511,0.3401083528226347,-0.12865724679579651,-0.37914274424127026,-0.3348916334773639,0.08618042775905486,0.24592962731574214,0.038259087205185636,0.3496328888941185,0.16856288660925178,-0.4031825508431329,0.05260322539850623,-0.22205420500579642,0.2342813932086987,0.3564429738206714,0.1122145633091546,0.3213947828637105;-0.1654105244998841,-0.166242205937831,-0.10596591100091587,0.3359046401425386,-0.16663615568582746,-0.16504466254049346,-0.0077288290340125935,0.24670492003082284,-0.16558315072071242,0.26295192624642,-0.167921616611307,0.010507060082805511,-0.16535161181564748,0.21440954138705115,-0.1462784064782538,-0.1645874532851452,0.42330659248118335,0.17202527954205468,-0.16482412114241016,-0.056372254888034004,-0.03920037407060517,-0.1665428072792321,-0.03761962912216665,0.116288934314433,0.1420382271790114,0.3743704125525061,-0.14673628915091136,-0.12155579956813813,0.16672335977514857,-0.11081912899968012,-0.16510611197245534,-0.16570474141955865,0.34129523133734635,-0.12788299232578712,0.30054533356828456,0.36085486472213457,-0.16729888273352392,0.31558119362187065,-0.0702371689817374,0.39563023268648617,-0.1667649267159603,-0.16814592678384735,-0.0921378664096837,-0.10597810410176575,-0.11527635767061338,0.04906460390434343,0.34835727939352024,-0.1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k{209}	=[0.77746117603497;1.1159040725748934;-0.8719288216881953];
x_a_linear{209}	=[-5.245678353337415,-8.561203788161171,15.1866195156095];
L_a{209}	=[-0.12139110071958113,-0.13107463215513232,-0.01329309771308668,0.17324298469088356,-0.10632976125798346,-0.145024267946174,0.05283136601703258,0.14949697264851297,-0.14062733101719269,0.15441580071272779,-0.11180986898755685,0.06155826833134024,-0.1430385124485218,0.14024955757623955,-0.057697429205593356,-0.14233438445201974,0.19353074073245183,0.12636926977413873,-0.13834244087796882,0.024270843731353558,0.035075366365996556,-0.12861400535894682,0.03628081002741302,0.1068984155368714,0.11659029036140531,0.18249179651335318,-0.05770671182541894,-0.026781047152507724,0.12478927950506773,-0.016549048421361484,-0.14346248740826112,-0.0985484947108139,0.1747475322523186,-0.03490856505112738,0.16427979173876908,0.1797239035351851,-0.1405818903062533,0.16872561519744253,0.01634310206899004,0.1874864128393415,-0.12173574821915537,-0.1339356791710049,-5.160185123975201E-4,-0.013007843863366448,-0.02013078032126328,0.07975488605497519,0.1767412911257383,-0.10162177344114254,0.16850550134711775,-0.08483260095812051,0.11100596022274077,-0.06607740788121595,0.17055805935127577,-0.09566157732865715,0.03677625024467597,0.29665038535337684,0.03136069159757632,0.16319968597525136,0.08422917556582386,0.001448241057920055,-0.05850444508035213,-0.13253297184072868,-0.11505232568850059,-0.14257763560327047,0.11657540472441433,-0.06371975045253817,-0.1423813810018764,-0.06654677039452149,-0.10706384376975367,-0.05448801297746288,0.162295946512189,0.0011978723132097119,-0.13916757052795836,-0.14410070010722723,0.14191628239036178,-0.06790793179817572,-0.07377557837227737,-0.13633721859712755,-0.09384335959231609,0.03716597914781321,-0.14169179549946914,0.011396995609849287,0.14972639424260492,0.08944666540489621,-0.13816168470370738,0.03993678068807706,0.16567351778422462,0.13828074402400928,-0.04508641765116313,-0.10401358538079426,-0.026878628387713512,-0.14151212886316825,-0.07584672133773304,0.18457617809109442,-0.03228101107867638,0.0809224188858772,-0.09984847165726031,-0.14366334058457508,-0.054827681481731554,-0.13129395873002092;-0.15515584431059223,-0.16486943967574363,-0.0464262038902844,0.25238326856766435,-0.14161017257494332,-0.1773199352832806,0.03684006878063008,0.1984058179289381,-0.17296170270581815,0.20979008953664438,-0.1481212505429145,0.0490923220247312,-0.17583171883750592,0.18066811529944798,-0.09310955405043747,-0.17493932206410967,0.30289874108882153,0.15358510094960393,-0.1708506407284458,-0.001580446281198239,0.012627994105940721,-0.16211854359686545,0.014474078638911439,0.11920505977903724,0.13590176729046566,0.2745695646095331,-0.09429545397321117,-0.06161497787182178,0.15021387240189243,-0.049675135729064956,-0.17581813405154798,-0.13449526345010362,0.2555790511179856,-0.06924952924198019,0.2318443423929762,0.26748776752360287,-0.17375937710159758,0.240824467620046,-0.011569194102420155,0.2870751553587505,-0.1559380832328124,-0.16736737631594395,-0.030221052281262466,-0.045619279092157454,-0.05357976334831998,0.07575716236297479,0.2605743658478799,-0.13713092403743318,0.24022222674685023,-0.12080135016814866,0.12682281975495244,-0.10248975032329671,0.2452242309747478,-0.13184074843231186,0.01508487325737783,0.8830049940317184,0.008148641133700806,0.22895147942613184,0.0813336722223629,-0.02948397827760326,-0.09503353355990295,-0.1665078165369904,-0.1496783788206695,-0.17470331014512652,0.13613691485989268,-0.10015359511647792,-0.1751382856847761,-0.10274106935793743,-0.14216593329654814,-0.09098712877707149,0.22621538626535675,-0.028470680874031973,-0.17191804133045333,-0.17626166128507528,0.1832911938088076,-0.1042966204394224,-0.10978727303142008,-0.1687971437782343,-0.12933024044358488,0.0153972574482696,-0.17382768433421703,-0.016547950732980012,0.1999815287184153,0.09049352798725342,-0.17134513675702565,0.019182625664491294,0.2341553563384616,0.1770025955516309,-0.08072261551075974,-0.13911280554677183,-0.061241496574552245,-0.1742234340808709,-0.11221011051039521,0.28009031587397365,-0.06689615533614167,0.07750825048370552,-0.13534242375487088,-0.17537680692553453,-0.0907491532923787,-0.16463543236712047;0.18571269198082394,0.2128905819561649,-0.06751568525666225,-0.16519991906151918,0.14092220369320255,0.25443738455496356,-0.1605433191985108,-0.18571440543301743,0.24118077595228327,-0.1836950874168407,0.15548792989150997,-0.16754995603580786,0.24838664637480062,-0.19126167729580268,0.02061114971857878,0.2471141178213216,-0.136480210431555,-0.19349726868751688,0.23533077101130354,-0.1265755619437949,-0.14065571457466686,0.20547262860037657,-0.14256171003119902,-0.19291425502564907,-0.19519866678971487,-0.15348629352624055,0.020180116982293387,-0.04409174033176605,-0.1942290736602099,-0.06295108037866495,0.24985849189480505,0.11934633923689518,-0.16416122496615138,-0.026910123879750135,-0.17463323006750087,-0.15899572328364214,0.23933360688609964,-0.17245689450509552,-0.11750951869864447,-0.1466733788002541,0.18535518111745186,0.21926242682098587,-0.09064528516803923,-0.06835297384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x_a{209}	=[-5.245678353337413,-8.561203788161162,15.186619515609495];
std_x_a{209}	=[1.1774086634670744,1.768740285040965,1.730286833114846];
pred_a{209}	=[-5.245678353337413];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.9 to 21.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{210}	=[-9.732363320126812,-15.115934940472394,19.859703213983387];
std_x_f{210}	=[1.6402614614800082,1.9564201409373263,3.431138247523438];
pred_f{210}	=[-9.732363320126812];
obs{210}	=[-10.33126917570664];
sqrt_r{210}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{210}	=[3.7074716807030934];
L_f{210}	=[-0.13043779623468738,-0.13419788035098607,-0.0637892872427693,0.24380331884332712,-0.12561146764108488,-0.1374254305443598,0.012328132255508236,0.18487408580948564,-0.13618439853456007,0.19692160161835784,-0.12878892716793883,0.024554529175924985,-0.13732932230139253,0.1647819778773517,-0.09877491807370055,-0.13680147358146919,0.29916749479454824,0.1358365856312338,-0.13511456015864137,-0.02458183376690899,-0.011499684277932921,-0.13260090860001578,-0.009604642005620721,0.09834379728000543,0.1158906996975575,0.2682282231681483,-0.0997359622992608,-0.075992290664783,0.13232450381695973,-0.06695275291525787,-0.13703041224410561,-0.12245955341340149,0.2472008112454704,-0.08221060882981153,0.22029756349537427,0.2596523822260914,-0.13727671831511365,0.23069979258266174,-0.03433599587400768,0.28114197252907663,-0.1311571264742693,-0.1351111127399292,-0.05107779065285731,-0.06363649701938386,-0.06979195947064555,0.05186436814203031,0.2521411654378561,-0.12401557156491941,0.2302823941594877,-0.11581718641638736,0.10592084199036399,-0.10483292114946222,0.23646872343984873,-0.12068530589338129,-0.008758699362292833,0.8539892681015537,-0.015626692560034995,0.21766024827384625,0.05822026989549899,-0.04983052544495192,-0.10017244830426376,-0.13540287709099424,-0.12848648934149157,-0.13713893609144853,0.11632841501506654,-0.10366922852599349,-0.13682592268879754,-0.10555476949307925,-0.12567646508239708,-0.09781484489953521,0.2148085931152208,-0.04944505639896992,-0.13578202301115108,-0.136897089996164,0.1678156537578888,-0.10609763220950955,-0.10996881540445415,-0.1351096695226669,-0.11968965156528459,-0.008061550810811864,-0.13636898577063297,-0.03856987355212842,0.18668990198719704,0.0674452861082803,-0.13625037664835207,-0.005438489133938017,0.2240416672802039,0.1604286001183832,-0.09088041050103311,-0.12460245015321446,-0.07615109775839496,-0.13710114886748231,-0.11091984772428161,0.27339015902619235,-0.08029512295266465,0.05438932529503244,-0.1227035816513677,-0.1363772587467685,-0.09741691533576564,-0.13398511017163398;-0.08002048247199775,-0.06958515674254517,-0.12762287894338298,0.25553378069038674,-0.09737853620274536,-0.05182227120095371,-0.07242345818716228,0.15968299424232754,-0.056972195053815726,0.1785695854459656,-0.09317339951148171,-0.058710355659249584,-0.05467399941711995,0.12808920632981916,-0.12731669784053581,-0.05452806441717861,0.34981019263409424,0.08506040928394831,-0.05976139807547282,-0.10528473566355584,-0.09491587303371046,-0.07193468105163753,-0.09316962582073346,0.031953038098815945,0.0561945617715259,0.2964476159522957,-0.1284451151086405,-0.1314155810576006,0.079685998816375,-0.1287115575940699,-0.05361531170875436,-0.10511167906921585,0.261390415811854,-0.13055907961320323,0.21752489212087794,0.282386041147874,-0.05897712860151631,0.23371712071961945,-0.11360874274790872,0.31917618365734296,-0.08104279775083131,-0.06735020030387362,-0.12227223320363871,-0.12765402903843462,-0.12982914830587233,-0.02789360189782317,0.2695885642357069,-0.10197257177078507,0.2327861260215152,-0.11484807396352577,0.04256899682643452,-0.12449864643454678,0.24329709466681554,-0.10608259843615747,-0.09175773592319142,1.4009262693816136,-0.09775701314557447,0.21241989349216397,-0.020498154192644474,-0.12143696020224068,-0.12763620126451028,-0.0695000936363603,-0.08781706569046169,-0.05520355852831225,0.057244343653505544,-0.12670807819090746,-0.055284346392495215,-0.12404289832804226,-0.0965030629384654,-0.12921030868096914,0.20698035889449007,-0.12135618225059984,-0.059216117423472,-0.05237629454353925,0.1329053643965677,-0.12426952517138366,-0.12117036224229623,-0.06351972330516607,-0.10656682261868602,-0.09173144649828166,-0.05584763665103171,-0.11620407463402754,0.16343748493760216,-0.009574191657608094,-0.06188724015402613,-0.08937647986600777,0.22184328490136979,0.12225570149129303,-0.13050111942666204,-0.09912029710300668,-0.13116831598398135,-0.05657371563425737,-0.12046814249133679,0.3059044599883068,-0.13061157207439147,-0.025446272853339967,-0.10280403546511552,-0.05294252436144988,-0.12825027627825772,-0.06986022790870738;0.3623168374775442,0.39253159486650846,0.028979496692165173,-0.5111087219964091,0.3162535775336702,0.4344659091041513,-0.17789492585056793,-0.45259921584729024,0.4207021453591226,-0.4678573197182948,0.3346557863941273,-0.2035260258312517,0.4284589518586577,-0.4303915339000524,0.16442171006860334,0.4272808024697326,-0.5539046028161163,-0.39210164589179697,0.4144052721414748,-0.08868721507399085,-0.1220595994168065,0.3840668339605212,-0.12668960551889236,-0.3378206701091801,-0.364850504106916,-0.5312913464713452,0.166371914802359,0.07078400379293796,-0.3875460959500093,0.03723359311598267,0.42933376039317395,0.2920230348462452,-0.5150758620244241,0.09504339087395479,-0.49017743256246776,-0.526622394094285,0.42118482392895984,-0.5018170155573775,-0.06434073550917548,-0.5416582658815835,0.3631086159555116,0.4003590507896473,-0.013378436477968948,0.026385982990633685,0.04843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k{210}	=[0.7302744063549105;0.7989327881052639;-1.338976447392486];
x_a_linear{210}	=[-10.16972893827285,-15.594420465483354,20.66162404881022];
L_a{210}	=[0.0998220990705612,0.1026996353369329,0.04881698966556772,-0.1865790418869269,0.09612858181616912,0.10516963133853938,-0.009434535655218701,-0.1414813791859069,0.10421988806007201,-0.15070116326186317,0.09856024417813998,-0.018791214776582767,0.10509608113432005,-0.12610518879911686,0.07559097088622416,0.10469212638550136,-0.22894841960026371,-0.10395371203520762,0.10340115671506907,0.018812110572624816,0.008800536780049648,0.10147749668586589,0.007350289206798044,-0.07526104057597716,-0.08868942316191798,-0.2052710566992171,0.07632644369137986,0.05815576609168101,-0.10126596822989505,0.05123794273960862,0.10486732972780292,0.09371646889046732,-0.18917909212503428,0.06291455219386967,-0.16859043807112778,-0.198708093594634,0.10505582408857536,-0.1765511087699611,0.02627682528195066,-0.2151537563866575,0.1003725917690943,0.10339851845697114,0.03908907100577806,0.048700061587540935,0.05341074514991433,-0.03969102702096254,-0.1929598714686895,0.09490726636298043,-0.1762316799851095,0.08863316454480075,-0.08105963982844111,0.08022707024281234,-0.18096598547119888,0.09235866373865023,0.006702901924983184,-0.6535452436826699,0.011958874635281449,-0.16657214008601007,-0.04455510379036744,0.03813455755381209,0.07666047991778106,0.10362180136114453,0.0983287930225256,0.10495038140878571,-0.08902440016283625,0.0793365136426489,0.10471083692251085,0.08077949000878888,0.09617832338811592,0.07485624121221074,-0.16438981094540425,0.03783956384487652,0.10391195607623925,0.10476530020088257,-0.12842681568209552,0.08119493474509616,0.08415749347853858,0.10339741398433594,0.09159670433847378,0.006169384541359046,0.10436114991743486,0.029516948691254423,-0.142870996211169,-0.05161487104266717,0.10427038012603414,0.00416199458127432,-0.17145574482828324,-0.12277361376111597,0.06954942204240407,0.09535639578922259,0.05827729879070882,0.1049214634101441,0.08488530432163459,-0.209221409185167,0.06144865943489684,-0.041623339052840394,0.09390322005960286,0.10436748110262244,0.07455171165494767,0.10253680549362215;0.17188781192281308,0.18958480876187017,-0.004429671040093959,-0.2153119403390854,0.1452088999799576,0.21358090804791513,-0.09623219199903309,-0.1973555097682352,0.2060342382678562,-0.20173571121760328,0.1555505127005937,-0.10613134668278529,0.21054357056616785,-0.1901463679618624,0.06344259018181235,0.20967009651004753,-0.2279577207126488,-0.1772743095671132,0.20117890741871808,-0.057811012585796254,-0.07270708128656396,0.18415112908066494,-0.07462063882653844,-0.15797364689777646,-0.1676196189319456,-0.22156875780847335,0.06417019178774051,0.01534470530968347,-0.17586600394205176,5.911006751183744E-4,0.21102498753796617,0.13138861550197226,-0.21601672024415924,0.02821034803195241,-0.20792528475580327,-0.21906822004218107,0.20613884981211558,-0.21182238503968043,-0.04729727163560888,-0.22377989829889783,0.17225470482589034,0.19358344735498995,-0.02362813236597992,-0.004755897605956385,0.0049567341624998,-0.12805678232304546,-0.21735964223268095,0.13753278643925035,-0.21194727807170277,0.10882413404637419,-0.16199087321803646,0.07796017398029788,-0.21338367209708514,0.1269911765256505,-0.07484247760724817,-0.24834247149677768,-0.06757792714853855,-0.2079369622888334,-0.13293618451778824,-0.025201643169976324,0.06582207023432128,0.19199702459747167,0.16032276277273053,0.20964632764853486,-0.167415175765025,0.07350335816471566,0.2089610319295683,0.07980999336293108,0.1462098997024699,0.05969483581258843,-0.20786923129364984,-0.025865303201177428,0.20301322724188914,0.21200652580478394,-0.19118900342638306,0.08063177139098471,0.0912071657811879,0.19741113713703573,0.12458409262885314,-0.0761625579280171,0.20751528119543647,-0.04171591750464188,-0.1971078182482452,-0.13982805579019425,0.20124661355186366,-0.0788733852004854,-0.2108377010329604,-0.1875724019769399,0.04501188266381165,0.14151847173233756,0.01589866694859576,0.208203193879276,0.09374606889017534,-0.2220809142869729,0.024458569058891284,-0.13048578259562896,0.1341675392026762,0.210436370689234,0.05988636582878223,0.1888988246967934;-0.05987045802374293,-0.041825944151171315,-0.17748693742731553,0.2780081351414281,-0.09031236683356797,-0.010338223819356278,-0.13799252818838573,0.14578171781818766,-0.020085146104527624,0.16951774190458335,-0.08219462369494482,-0.12405051670474627,-0.01603410804502644,0.10295738486136018,-0.15528252236005757,-0.01550377239409981,0.4144091772017138,0.04755988146639714,-0.02291927935269608,-0.16825110081950675,-0.15928056408017652,-0.045121795400624685,-0.15777689731363612,-0.01951184397515704,0.010252284282974398,0.33688146375251804,-0.15644292416948807,-0.17517982418363862,0.04074789557463086,-0.17947201289410739,-0.01419181897705362,-0.10434112612806043,0.28503764002886645,-0.17104723320347337,0.22285847591220867,0.3137930390617999,-0.02313797294253039,0.2448877304193145,-0.17547586393704784,0.3683124056589671,-0.0614069317639815,-0.03695434246339599,-0.17870163970896724,-0.17958591585569728,-0.17745902511681177,-0.09017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x_a{210}	=[-10.169728938272854,-15.594420465483353,20.66162404881023];
std_x_a{210}	=[1.25526762055137,1.5690035721640105,2.851154221099738];
pred_a{210}	=[-10.169728938272854];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.0 to 21.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{211}	=[-13.975418104416242,-14.310557278939045,33.85965676452774];
std_x_f{211}	=[0.9519776866934442,2.5896219254825725,2.587260164914825];
pred_f{211}	=[-13.975418104416242];
obs{211}	=[-14.640278103456213];
sqrt_r{211}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{211}	=[1.9115657616406914];
L_f{211}	=[0.0728302524950341,0.0874859975711874,-0.05456430187560801,-0.03300378828212598,0.05049461800893342,0.1087827459725067,-0.09431600180684457,-0.0640655797544496,0.10127269511482727,-0.059183734861883976,0.058422880911655095,-0.0949651852011939,0.10507891202242697,-0.07285437063237896,-0.011310921095621498,0.1049256355716115,0.0035459251785112675,-0.08294110955807155,0.09838463823296148,-0.08107180782049653,-0.08685280223150375,0.08312648193248774,-0.08739228261585988,-0.09259383925544314,-0.08903943760219589,-0.017370468738715783,-0.011170479397595122,-0.042928771126306914,-0.08423380917021418,-0.05236298154116316,0.10584083853259821,0.03951589186138064,-0.031231398289499647,-0.03520268277705075,-0.046245547156545344,-0.023687140766871968,0.10145075298638276,-0.041192685490265245,-0.07715022589184335,-0.00955356443591248,0.07295292637579749,0.09044352800675125,-0.06575791521931242,-0.05550767453009537,-0.04900015202862841,-0.09721990567582245,-0.027752855747820097,0.043563940779013884,-0.041421046380242396,0.021507777763457487,-0.09194832491434766,-0.0011829281704145108,-0.03637856273000952,0.036412749581434437,-0.08647780463312914,0.6537485714252834,-0.08481629721949424,-0.047881695128091595,-0.09767086295098072,-0.06593932720932415,-0.009834070721761746,0.08924702225485419,0.06325580675935041,0.10418202144142526,-0.08883210465913993,-0.004481744845333248,0.10426610863198586,-5.101749386948998E-4,0.05165563132229676,-0.01457660807180491,-0.05002850223561996,-0.06690922675612443,0.09960772809761409,0.10694496252637205,-0.07094320034790597,5.550303154265958E-4,0.007790874344897537,0.09415635060479738,0.0339182679290422,-0.08744256248908266,0.10299268799188095,-0.0741349107828945,-0.06205087598258516,-0.09726889201549155,0.09740844219568454,-0.08880825318830052,-0.04423167222127721,-0.07409996089401143,-0.024961753970347982,0.0470208632005811,-0.043099225428587365,0.10308633825348847,0.01016553496162626,-0.014412007693103263,-0.03758663078940507,-0.09671685271574022,0.04231275058356929,0.10590102929080294,-0.014246717362070617,0.08636100699267153;-0.08451623225502473,-0.06851297372693486,-0.1688596093787901,0.30451761664778804,-0.10993509964975409,-0.04154002871161544,-0.10934846208658479,0.1810992875137535,-0.05017715070321408,0.20448271165691886,-0.10295302134399968,-0.0939173649475301,-0.04649880239593287,0.14032635507304853,-0.16010960406563465,-0.046329435530280905,0.4286157690730951,0.08598393967477372,-0.05339205413600604,-0.14728512561083568,-0.13548273406533007,-0.07207820787435057,-0.1333682161551688,0.01899526564317868,0.04951882265217854,0.3582840132968592,-0.16129036295296653,-0.17077051470057833,0.07945791582366345,-0.1704779789717413,-0.04506374225277476,-0.12134347042057368,0.3113834328811929,-0.1694643963472283,0.2535214156824429,0.33777917202436997,-0.05232124828494862,0.27480034623964555,-0.15659356990432374,0.3868225599395347,-0.08547010218234907,-0.06483376693639195,-0.16548866921327646,-0.17012269313319997,-0.17021469674059564,-0.05581558263644123,0.32249635998510406,-0.11780951139382015,0.27472617605470695,-0.13835348572783754,0.031776247478828346,-0.1545347662273417,0.29030688116914355,-0.12313939183068777,-0.13184485535475507,1.996613109452668,-0.13890917676568562,0.2485019381279678,-0.04572640772529732,-0.16425081189635285,-0.1597241961649583,-0.06804307129618126,-0.09550776378028333,-0.04711317103458503,0.04962255221385433,-0.1574378541499541,-0.04690204261725038,-0.15543650883236376,-0.10789276164040987,-0.1633084472160376,0.2421654662665351,-0.1642658928443668,-0.052672878774617425,-0.043127841051077496,0.14659806033635606,-0.1539255157453182,-0.15000146721804783,-0.05891749491451498,-0.12543339713558974,-0.13140306525860618,-0.048099435267599557,-0.1573418910805486,0.18538886455320355,-0.03211203107170779,-0.05642402261359614,-0.12902041613152443,0.26207628644769415,0.13188802695421228,-0.16771452273162119,-0.11325504811877281,-0.17124809558418191,-0.04920207816746465,-0.1472793417349315,0.3690331492560712,-0.1701230085966168,-0.05157950810418859,-0.11880704739178818,-0.04343928031404898,-0.16250914992673562,-0.06937017137317064;-0.2720911166771611,-0.2928677478173681,-0.024704851809841555,0.36961300550504195,-0.2403904217337387,-0.31862918841207444,0.13570809265059727,0.3323510407645918,-0.3102531186349925,0.3416852923516712,-0.25365938761760914,0.15397801322594032,-0.31589392533417426,0.3170899720318712,-0.12988996622050472,-0.31443617027648757,0.39643962200705773,0.2916787282536559,-0.3042449731881519,0.06582223877858791,0.0921207653753657,-0.28647883550522607,0.09622979537170734,0.25340025239642583,0.27268874647686475,0.382538995980203,-0.1315923243831541,-0.05720652365992187,0.2888320759417379,-0.03241664167653204,-0.3159933359298864,-0.22356785965053957,0.3713636992698265,-0.07557528078952509,0.35506666720451296,0.37808428157687357,-0.3116397348662367,0.3625761493930684,0.04658757775125564,0.388192638496701,-0.272721900069739,-0.29704102739537974,0.007379515160741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k{211}	=[0.4768686382300013;0.6038490488173028;-0.5190273831278663];
x_a_linear{211}	=[-14.292468986772032,-14.712032356956005,34.204737309975854];
L_a{211}	=[0.2449072240342902,0.29419028594595287,-0.18348407764527988,-0.11098226209420384,0.1697988995175181,0.36580513490284206,-0.31715762877661835,-0.2154341466120759,0.34055099057544125,-0.19901790418746346,0.19645937085189927,-0.3193406461018721,0.3533502049812432,-0.24498832640402882,-0.038035379418579256,0.35283478029448107,0.011923928070436175,-0.27890713274097534,0.33083928466258494,-0.2726212078162584,-0.292061031857155,0.27953048680162496,-0.2938751494638818,-0.31136649068014827,-0.29941405865941595,-0.058411897985158986,-0.03756311431961306,-0.1443571291815044,-0.2832541103042024,-0.17608166952708898,0.3559123450278797,0.13288059631085058,-0.10502222353701403,-0.11837651281073153,-0.15551049447245355,-0.07965305201872856,0.34114974806352055,-0.13851917174976602,-0.25943405397472863,-0.032125893642776786,0.24531974106629326,0.3041356114687552,-0.22112498478214243,-0.1866563689682588,-0.1647734396006361,-0.32692262355625745,-0.09332488392356125,0.14649302231802622,-0.13928708384297359,0.07232448009917254,-0.3091958113273232,-0.003977847728427582,-0.12233065940793492,0.12244561997163096,-0.290800022624162,2.1983687047503513,-0.28521285033729576,-0.16101239023820058,-0.32843906336847195,-0.22173502120736757,-0.03306915572739196,0.30011210623295875,0.21271111257699277,0.35033421952285687,-0.2987168575129804,-0.015070820864933776,0.35061698059688223,-0.0017155718087913043,0.17370305387510535,-0.049016946892295646,-0.16823148602916607,-0.22499651485130578,0.33495218463525694,0.35962519694093936,-0.23856160957973918,0.0018664075593486493,0.026198473069126395,0.31662076763214014,0.11405739453010155,-0.2940442262383534,0.34633483268015886,-0.24929441518971016,-0.2086592764020298,-0.3270873505488598,0.3275566177293748,-0.2986366518661196,-0.14873841140185887,-0.2491768887501687,-0.08393921018359342,0.15811765967632238,-0.144930318049675,0.3466497516158297,0.034183774777454795,-0.04846344308801374,-0.1263930453634311,-0.32523100091627877,0.14228562900264327,0.3561147492623761,-0.04790761917218053,0.29040726570079195;0.13338133377703879,0.19323245869413697,-0.33210809697320565,0.20577506269326062,0.041137483307658936,0.2839221901006795,-0.39152827785735134,-0.010575647237837976,0.25281608377078085,0.027413549690593952,0.07183977581263182,-0.3780394434002335,0.2678820817365963,-0.07764336893244861,-0.19395024160131663,0.26759286766344137,0.4392246635813503,-0.16216384613627718,0.24096053248133653,-0.38984023139067525,-0.39533373774816405,0.17662418522983928,-0.39483326700447724,-0.2580320892283545,-0.21687427732650386,0.3063140869361033,-0.19471081927107717,-0.2992071796950816,-0.1725574399798944,-0.3271404349858722,0.27159671563343524,-0.0031176458325267676,0.21794361305461832,-0.2747857241215791,0.11516143723915397,0.26691067792279916,0.2512047095491285,0.15155779799686497,-0.38741587059321364,0.35823967897728937,0.13279448633169613,0.20576016815078305,-0.36222682654161964,-0.3361936150626889,-0.31681605395773876,-0.34668345815387014,0.23946383557773232,0.012527489197511291,0.15080040510709905,-0.07400533005261908,-0.2433198219866432,-0.1580739159665473,0.1814674909012838,-0.014197719455315857,-0.3905739205415052,3.952534139936817,-0.39266725243952777,0.1052468419491943,-0.3379434820890184,-0.36153172762135594,-0.18914631130324028,0.19897109189469986,0.09374444746526794,0.2645843463938307,-0.21615023763129834,-0.17084658554823445,0.2650470515053266,-0.15696287835030182,0.046653404978270446,-0.20691954715100178,0.09248743418619162,-0.36444860752383346,0.24533901555368529,0.276835995892583,-0.0656537190102519,-0.15226494543748198,-0.1266922996831614,0.22278466758513976,-0.023954852539501147,-0.39301854620557847,0.26003976875425644,-0.3791428057306567,-2.5836834200883155E-4,-0.32312646662177513,0.2350079268618207,-0.3947218458308019,0.1297415301017441,-0.08980832269083522,-0.24239647491077781,0.027424563624051705,-0.3001947351608708,0.25921731387191765,-0.116865533603438,0.32591450981188286,-0.2825767635100107,-0.34094232203207264,0.007786573369175315,0.27340125960210215,-0.2051332646427128,0.18900945219142198;-0.45938097613634327,-0.5178462372283604,0.11561239383567964,0.45448535809508034,-0.3702420916971658,-0.5983742738237159,0.3782505817674699,0.49710171809061166,-0.5706854003492692,0.49388184536111635,-0.4038993329739773,0.39818993863509056,-0.5861142526102054,0.5044418535546733,-0.10080286642640081,-0.5842623327110119,0.3873209411624261,0.5049696097260087,-0.5572503443949898,0.2743060346275435,0.31547093328373055,-0.5002464195120702,0.3209672879412623,0.49151403817686823,0.5016620533588768,0.42720879372717735,-0.10286638365392262,0.05318885786851181,0.5054472563199287,0.10223970122680838,-0.5881730290479894,-0.32518670044237774,0.45167818392375475,0.01495173626770041,0.4739914509426027,0.43899799687011454,-0.5725299091814141,0.4685070230604924,0.24498665601221248,0.4127605299873735,-0.4603272269768618,-0.5296250851059042,0.17648219265857895,0.11838601233238544,0.08570384889467046,0.44558425040229466,0.4455152311827282,-0.3430714325539125,0.46903693139327407,-0.24891084481072495,0.4981807528796087,-0.14818884578288513,0.458619968339695,-0.3102628589466534,0.3188309029944011,-1.081336872058162,0.301687088452695,0.47735984598208825,0.4560510472939314,0.17964145603217888,-0.10826272120045066,-0.5260581230271049,-0.4212401142605117,-0.5822882322170523,0.5010248561985354,-0.13345475208889976,-0.5817541245162637,-0.15214050734678253,-0.37434631096773385,-0.08689617966396336,0.4828537407697264,0.18268994543743755,-0.5639648926065618,-0.5918050038597316,0.5016113164963641,-0.15616817718565154,-0.18968006623948325,-0.5428765053481401,-0.3010576349467746,0.32368243929841856,-0.576934205313762,0.22826183020449897,0.4923859716878599,0.46724115635076857,-0.5565323105736169,0.33273294941782133,0.4730957644177841,0.5032749811860229,-0.03842873319829197,-0.35669250219460025,0.053360905204446196,-0.578077977035927,-0.19901546717762153,0.42125166921670704,0.02587404309869396,0.4480302495430508,-0.33521229944544656,-0.5870221392120192,-0.08759750767118354,-0.5134939174679443];
x_a{211}	=[-14.292468986772047,-14.712032356956017,34.20473730997585];
std_x_a{211}	=[3.2012275751285326,4.664984341740022,4.205714064015673];
pred_a{211}	=[-14.292468986772047];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.1 to 21.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{212}	=[-9.638591389592637,-2.1657865994878023,35.874834169278806];
std_x_f{212}	=[2.8080218817952676,4.367744739587405,2.5843650758958874];
pred_f{212}	=[-9.638591389592637];
obs{212}	=[-9.77455702759597];
sqrt_r{212}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{212}	=[8.896917244067613];
L_f{212}	=[-0.10922616640063063,-0.09526014349780282,-0.09595498245474508,0.17279089746725337,-0.12572048458914944,-0.06803980734161373,-0.016008266565388077,0.11951898713897233,-0.0783541394987391,0.12901468360956034,-0.1213883798792793,-0.005865116551175087,-0.07381261992141788,0.10270491779217322,-0.12957802703758617,-0.07405828737143286,0.23975490592617685,0.08185729819223622,-0.08116903875263916,-0.05310430984239978,-0.039476194416218476,-0.09967768810306905,-0.03733177918054436,0.05379898060042625,0.06712565627733172,0.20001522849053308,-0.1305443282065477,-0.10890218537733644,0.07900344186541185,-0.09884955561266248,-0.07230906608732768,-0.13096908470795568,0.17645679356145239,-0.11528733109399657,0.1497537623158249,0.1894439891077688,-0.07927302124082959,0.15971359730583973,-0.06343023639706713,0.2156227046823556,-0.1095647901384844,-0.09226049770383137,-0.08161978062591375,-0.09591865692920812,-0.10228028773601004,0.017980479932824832,0.1818731988515373,-0.13039429714499762,0.15949982237129487,-0.1356601781162589,0.05944828201811236,-0.1332961573275661,0.16639220578970607,-0.13125617189003302,-0.037279394715139226,2.5740729076719653,-0.043664795696278846,0.1473219683631907,0.02386132938097473,-0.08000482827458279,-0.13066217144440684,-0.09475846433204943,-0.11718619877319138,-0.07428421512376282,0.06698324062181639,-0.1327002721976192,-0.07437353878962437,-0.13410298574646082,-0.12438074665440842,-0.12895932935745585,0.1453700093917222,-0.07977007687001066,-0.08108996517444597,-0.06997183555174016,0.10531278350892412,-0.13434219934224137,-0.13585440582248237,-0.0866549944949935,-0.13205103464679904,-0.03608683205409672,-0.07596674106592498,-0.06731918588569812,0.12084856121638389,0.03075611385781046,-0.084258134606275,-0.03308461116232547,0.1538134393920872,0.09943929282823157,-0.12361961083418113,-0.1271127360515234,-0.10900121864918681,-0.07653067346822136,-0.1357660751711524,0.2065733333099537,-0.11369748561671085,0.020070967270117906,-0.12944876406641884,-0.0715109816696205,-0.12829505527844537,-0.09656316378264604;-0.509210240314155,-0.5642630154582591,0.1711904267289345,0.3082421513787495,-0.41589019680983313,-0.6304483679952676,0.44818688716381144,0.40024061010660156,-0.6091981394529186,0.3861651820992771,-0.4513039245285909,0.4593767032992632,-0.6212288990005113,0.42990237671049253,-0.09507644294766539,-0.6200546477498822,0.22480968822730643,0.46138963905706454,-0.5992615914890337,0.34964196629308697,0.3908457312251643,-0.5484113411353188,0.3954645750966893,0.4894878078187119,0.4804238555950426,0.26892975442064787,-0.09652406059039367,0.09609211697118647,0.4658681093516258,0.15622508115469264,-0.6231381569689611,-0.3647451742159287,0.3034968906354319,0.04909342556321778,0.34491927080561413,0.28448426954146483,-0.6109845763663959,0.33157184217541896,0.32020792651454133,0.25152557312998935,-0.5100779325309416,-0.5748923895982511,0.2432281144387409,0.17590399865157996,0.13528064387531322,0.4876832430361332,0.29394641281374395,-0.3842015199437038,0.33236488150026067,-0.27554433925784155,0.48952841204891134,-0.15309500605219656,0.31640996278061334,-0.3486710304105632,0.39181967267256385,1.6057870472520612,0.37659097143884507,0.3503232463738373,0.4937884743928986,0.24656881423469107,-0.10376071721286706,-0.5718808688216199,-0.47112055407155107,-0.6187147664353484,0.479894773728553,-0.13377303739108726,-0.618179769336374,-0.15716862725811098,-0.42044845555250415,-0.0764717569517224,0.3580691330334497,0.2510131309408012,-0.6039936356959382,-0.6263630516589535,0.4212651779334276,-0.16260282881356358,-0.20313292475304073,-0.585708631890156,-0.3368251739526607,0.3974393223101466,-0.614320151801241,0.30146309762342505,0.3924781315198039,0.49697999275307675,-0.5976293498988896,0.4070850950021218,0.34022734591783177,0.43214349375575795,-0.015393701074202853,-0.3998792086113758,0.09712732435679305,-0.6160409600966048,-0.21543314186098872,0.2615756360568951,0.06323392926434754,0.48690955781841677,-0.37762475831029596,-0.6223693241131715,-0.07825510868056917,-0.5605994015296134;-0.23974137841465235,-0.32150546026736565,0.26556455107066507,-0.0834300332129484,-0.12067233282893035,-0.45011419399489305,0.30522494835614566,0.06472485967107934,-0.40458922791367014,0.04028674478866171,-0.16013990765142364,0.29563726948773583,-0.42734419888402925,0.10783025518740381,0.14295379856690088,-0.42546859924013775,-0.2543595681298348,0.1620080281429163,-0.38732989083908237,0.3062825775814396,0.30891059668643117,-0.29807384619564986,0.30848902444541626,0.2212803343704712,0.19601007879183205,-0.15544705032266531,0.14295455935934914,0.2381595613206745,0.16836903460910935,0.26099576450614553,-0.43265412407459797,-0.06701405347784482,-0.09176227062932422,0.21753728297227345,-0.01950707453829397,-0.1264759956850586,-0.40365277705450486,-0.04456190847808272,0.30468903333855835,-0.19366560396510843,-0.2389534442888076,-0.33875950677333777,0.28727751200613605,0.26795991378166417,0.25287528879078164,0.27615876305550635,-0.106883283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k{212}	=[0.8876015171809325;0.7868118211411254;0.21935545206304072];
x_a_linear{212}	=[-9.759274696168868,-2.272765970737819,35.84500936528954];
L_a{212}	=[0.04159098287197907,0.03627302071618751,0.03653760049691938,-0.06579506993438516,0.047871665677849104,0.025908100183413583,0.006095604766435083,-0.045510268379651546,0.029835576778256722,-0.04912602605274539,0.04622209306420501,0.0022333106622761884,0.028106263471953153,-0.03910783118666278,0.04934053515471428,0.02819980837096857,-0.0912935289633199,-0.03116950451755533,0.03090743007599006,0.020220982882273034,0.0150316886504435,0.037955127010565796,0.014215141294838413,-0.020485498616467993,-0.02556001105321828,-0.07616151162691126,0.049708481926919325,0.04146761784293157,-0.030082817201508034,0.03763979190947015,0.027533742401028027,0.049870220097881,-0.06719096458754951,0.04389894446445378,-0.057023022676147075,-0.07213621026742316,0.030185467249157855,-0.06081551434850017,0.024152874375170878,-0.08210450401014606,0.04171992353285855,0.03513081989608383,0.031079062919554968,0.036523768515442416,0.03894614116333975,-0.006846581341810559,-0.06925341561985385,0.04965135331463857,-0.06073411343575058,0.051656487912865694,-0.022636631501969186,0.05075631946997737,-0.06335858530131805,0.04997953674302219,0.014195194413287735,-0.9801517872698072,0.01662661823405229,-0.05609704766516645,-0.009085882754015838,0.030464123681122977,0.04975335410589318,0.036081992043496804,0.04462199257393236,0.028285836816231213,-0.025505782224317514,0.050529419185457496,0.02831984935351364,0.051063542437299894,0.04736152218995662,0.04910494834007813,-0.055353783529616604,0.03037473537822369,0.030877320552378323,0.026643775112265657,-0.04010085055127161,0.051154629846962854,0.051730445660070505,0.032996364429685024,0.05028220344269338,0.013741092114876632,0.028926506629593143,0.025633702979723064,-0.04601654168853812,-0.011711268891163893,0.0320836915614223,0.012597910752733242,-0.05856886068647551,-0.03786435119997684,0.04707169798477276,0.04840180519142205,0.041505327590046194,0.02914124000033901,0.05169681124143629,-0.07865869736733819,0.043293565385485455,-0.007642594109671927,0.04929131458608138,0.027229848961927507,0.048852007009691334,0.03676918291004745;-0.37551881056606135,-0.447665818999695,0.288638097177925,0.09674830433552187,-0.2620099327007976,-0.5471685146136104,0.4677808005587521,0.25395089950699246,-0.5132936755184667,0.22825286054992194,-0.3027261011401856,0.46655553089346535,-0.5308831969042618,0.3041928717972396,0.06352540374766821,-0.5294082518389772,-0.06864724813372944,0.3611973537167936,-0.49991172689417074,0.41464096188701394,0.43916408795628015,-0.4264071266176632,0.441158195024544,0.42363854410767426,0.3982629114163435,0.024113674634328553,0.06326052636858503,0.2293869980932229,0.36916890763043386,0.27721567210290643,-0.5346327855224701,-0.20444069073545346,0.08751603369071563,0.19020364332244016,0.16162258234797702,0.05260725146410664,-0.513955412939893,0.13608444316051138,0.39784572405546575,-0.012393857763524543,-0.3759720316615778,-0.46196672120067783,0.3431296813176917,0.2933072071222248,0.2604704070344323,0.46567536572073515,0.071335945115588,-0.22460056908389642,0.13713914026924748,-0.10949801748435545,0.4167644757049604,0.010057784531745021,0.11274803245733056,-0.18801515589349826,0.4374491746852034,-1.5448452475796792,0.4300361225291251,0.1700030425910157,0.46458251261875877,0.34449370010450914,0.0561681083610404,-0.4558977212412241,-0.32768614657556805,-0.5277918378471194,0.3979081444895041,0.028650397420210156,-0.5271475097243346,0.00697171098439916,-0.2682080135290159,0.08137281170150566,0.18013810204964542,0.3486506840958783,-0.5047405561487646,-0.5407184204750786,0.2923636787595264,0.0018303038086186392,-0.036848870752951665,-0.4796440276784147,-0.17519639759433053,0.44160914288863046,-0.5213378329935382,0.3838609195658849,0.2445610392659387,0.45933490302188607,-0.4944984715148348,0.44758023563287025,0.15196166467644698,0.31043107200341286,0.13591512044669002,-0.24429484653106479,0.23054342093610092,-0.522368395245956,-0.04925720344763113,0.008732519905220443,0.20239819650693902,0.46234295075718373,-0.2191811278373054,-0.5348407977797044,0.07877639700163373,-0.44240732491905377;-0.20246951337478092,-0.2889993005335708,0.2983078146476214,-0.14239245240923779,-0.07777201792483589,-0.426896584147874,0.310687540064793,0.023940716959282255,-0.3778519999311338,-0.0037376683544269908,-0.11871786143885021,0.2976386565156085,-0.4021566994174687,0.07278367284338773,0.1871704445870777,-0.40019726927449956,-0.33617249621110196,0.13407539742548527,-0.35963211879874646,0.3244036628003566,0.32238128268645266,-0.2640602626296291,0.3212279594567562,0.20292220270386285,0.17310440990380443,-0.22369938259691244,0.18750094181489005,0.27532087247612697,0.14141024149270248,0.29472675971962403,-0.4079796908213007,-0.02232272894920048,-0.15197562436790932,0.2568774336609049,-0.0706084012824325,-0.1911210439122453,-0.3766019938369233,-0.09906188627627059,0.32633369311510907,-0.26724376397280303,-0.20156602874787566,-0.3072769332083585,0.3151290932555848,0.3006907817932553,0.28777697220932347,0.270023181779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x_a{212}	=[-9.759274696168866,-2.2727659707378165,35.84500936528953];
std_x_a{212}	=[1.069234541854362,3.7269142322282582,2.506602002876617];
pred_a{212}	=[-9.759274696168866];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.2 to 21.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{213}	=[-3.5650620230258574,0.6535598187578983,28.100294768509883];
std_x_f{213}	=[2.3071541014733095,3.3218337281180403,1.3132357968406299];
pred_f{213}	=[-3.5650620230258574];
obs{213}	=[-3.414773021134316];
sqrt_r{213}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{213}	=[6.373772518043432];
L_f{213}	=[-0.22541621525151093,-0.28254841090343885,0.21339984342221896,-0.0016034594353423783,-0.13906943638102887,-0.3672833670819483,0.30158865159243975,0.12230649698349645,-0.3376275320653781,0.10258414475260384,-0.168241266231413,0.29770899582235033,-0.3533059659200696,0.16019963843872304,0.08053873425126125,-0.3512942397035428,-0.1403019485302452,0.20494775354352565,-0.3261769508119279,0.2797412084432994,0.29140976711218786,-0.2655446592879622,0.29187932300963837,0.2529552697178668,0.23282209192794928,-0.060907531388031476,0.08079638367472923,0.1802914743373578,0.21019521350351267,0.20776939726618307,-0.3560069053749734,-0.09805583766527608,-0.008492979143647217,0.15725775021903762,0.05062346766148232,-0.03742360471751214,-0.33714003522685465,0.030226282694429448,0.27251167136982,-0.09153387832074096,-0.22539492721323456,-0.29421492271315397,0.24407637290481782,0.2166402517553932,0.19808723441201878,0.2904278279919582,-0.021703301893607283,-0.1119147357448718,0.03090497742582635,-0.031155316053127872,0.2461967015616299,0.046918769934231934,0.011756695754596619,-0.08640482502920957,0.2893046586230405,-0.7459155388508105,0.28631646675164035,0.057114680472435,0.28781237566539236,0.24395501754536772,0.07642671946737828,-0.2888043937704892,-0.18798902515246715,-0.34987303509019607,0.23224224054991546,0.05867912458044166,-0.3496970995663414,0.04564919102394564,-0.14363274504656487,0.09188337885630338,0.06510923686124385,0.24652848468154784,-0.33014627675934966,-0.3612799633685855,0.1518168004023208,0.04201534721402208,0.018005035491585355,-0.30919896363015364,-0.0773239064067433,0.29140432607680705,-0.34475166274056684,0.26457307929985685,0.11578387333470107,0.28214216809289233,-0.3216505602786903,0.29405013134374547,0.04279953352740913,0.16565832661805438,0.12524136818351236,-0.12606058961958905,0.1811009868763316,-0.34485632336903277,0.008577518188352527,-0.07273263577572407,0.16502539233538896,0.28757923750322084,-0.10778075311835461,-0.35610568203479603,0.09084785766618991,-0.2778435420511104;-0.35658316761411396,-0.4434220897843782,0.30543360802277736,-0.0029203763826461462,-0.22623650111388832,-0.5735170640402958,0.44475439893520624,0.185609887558383,-0.5280307006174865,0.15537819767256167,-0.27058177543026163,0.43989163417245225,-0.5510784694485559,0.2423733088302784,0.10474937808207299,-0.5489211934448107,-0.21611270406376473,0.30833335211376134,-0.5109974699077976,0.40795419084936313,0.4258441075768863,-0.41799620180867597,0.4271672092949491,0.3791678294105515,0.3500521651201005,-0.09387239948835045,0.10445498574136347,0.25425797657175864,0.31744382741534355,0.2959528167427944,-0.5566901205405536,-0.16383034425178655,-0.01375135360767374,0.2191621935207528,0.0770574731327816,-0.05799985655823265,-0.5279420220915763,0.04617168467743386,0.39510773736572197,-0.14211144621669292,-0.35648878565201814,-0.4614053229265091,0.3518215450562067,0.3098547549078043,0.28135576948832064,0.4323131465141938,-0.03337817504587748,-0.18397420175184634,0.04673960431864376,-0.06409498900796576,0.3696564053688056,0.053780982557180064,0.017581798357573276,-0.1470096563120746,0.4233503507632142,0.054488844742242505,0.4189524487142495,0.08659564293681085,0.42815757553037914,0.35213780925197496,0.09770496220651383,-0.45271499230195783,-0.3005084208132392,-0.5467044067153266,0.34914528038328185,0.07169037317743754,-0.5461860244822443,0.051176249421567135,-0.23368521703759723,0.12159861031050542,0.09919065926255742,0.35555033023939664,-0.5163717069101935,-0.5637208197007394,0.2303568445674787,0.04585802068404414,0.009293129845967222,-0.4851605595957512,-0.133377989092089,0.42682921753037023,-0.5384187242644136,0.3835936056030062,0.17595940994734227,0.42121025105593285,-0.5034358542493204,0.431122067847172,0.06515863120962086,0.2505961657082652,0.17165751721508835,-0.20678358563459798,0.25577393822274125,-0.5389274728963446,-0.004346344808432478,-0.11301254471220194,0.2309859376637133,0.42774454573474835,-0.17884711186511773,-0.5564756519318302,0.11962104878232091,-0.4372976238147369;0.0459169369398867,0.05010224349726589,0.05118390749041267,-0.18246529546462192,0.044506362251253005,0.05762926377005555,0.01048142215769867,-0.14055332662623038,0.05441065035113523,-0.14904069940776676,0.04517025081251959,5.746917839587795E-4,0.05583973185824414,-0.12391141775139375,0.05187957259796544,0.05585732461400991,-0.2063994470268057,-0.09795011207903634,0.05325173152435377,0.03507502363119424,0.02695044468038037,0.047774838206354274,0.0255554324670857,-0.06322290661260149,-0.07966475378318749,-0.19484309931270855,0.051663205353700954,0.05230844978078277,-0.09503140634153945,0.052178478255137335,0.056618644016250566,0.0443882440086932,-0.18483222185789294,0.05291668874005643,-0.1664750422378022,-0.1903765687272842,0.05538879257298734,-0.17383644464347162,0.04133953325141667,-0.20044067324608222,0.04675968468617057,0.05045462912235249,0.047579354683387816,0.05106094600890083,0.05149742743327652,-0.022976469160649722,-0.18642290007893508,0.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k{213}	=[0.8431070457615003;1.1429613759229267;-0.17988860890959762];
x_a_linear{213}	=[-3.438352306630635,0.8253343431459379,28.0732594890252];
L_a{213}	=[0.10778468528061722,0.1351029317557561,-0.10203895463568619,7.667078005270263E-4,0.06649723674828513,0.1756196735250974,-0.1442071851833168,-0.05848189435011227,0.16143948315845288,-0.04905148347293368,0.08044599591796192,-0.14235209469787993,0.168936259984536,-0.0766008230238478,-0.038510282476731786,0.16797433594159497,0.0670865729411563,-0.09799751579544137,0.15596429010143936,-0.13376064396449242,-0.1393400647812306,0.12697244294234508,-0.13956458693715376,-0.12095271897894787,-0.11132586835791483,0.029123455446865103,-0.038633479745350086,-0.0862079056670721,-0.10050663351653699,-0.09934670879950853,0.1702277372138205,0.04688623482958725,0.004060990390915452,-0.07519413408829023,-0.02420604269137561,0.017894415679203336,0.16120638238858642,-0.014452954787600225,-0.13030377917186828,0.04376770436105218,0.10777450622360851,0.1406813738493289,-0.1167071987639723,-0.1035883835087695,-0.09471710007811572,-0.13887054221862086,0.01037761884850475,0.05351298511096651,-0.014777478460147998,0.01489718000924554,-0.1177210519897087,-0.022434609885860952,-0.0056215643157493615,0.04131520379804522,-0.1383334892084341,0.3566658747741451,-0.13690465978701202,-0.02730987144272537,-0.13761994138863645,-0.11664917166414376,-0.03654408754769559,0.1380942833037968,0.08988855522066522,0.167294774838158,-0.11104860747754206,-0.02805792373183176,0.16721064976735434,-0.021827549905142983,0.06867922169468453,-0.043934821022064835,-0.031132536743730645,-0.11787969691736766,0.1578622571467193,0.17274909485294937,-0.0725924975424537,-0.020089996504317115,-0.008609261235983306,0.14784612077167714,0.03697308513240546,-0.13933746310377107,0.1648459469830113,-0.12650787368708535,-0.055363046238830926,-0.1349086832921605,0.1537999578747724,-0.14060257745099125,-0.020464961876242596,-0.07921094131901023,-0.059885228037885825,0.06027694575244391,-0.0865949809896998,0.16489599135487693,-0.004101413455943244,0.03477772993379922,-0.07890829839518912,-0.13750846438859696,0.05153628607067101,0.17027496811591053,-0.043439677735885515,0.13285325859906283;0.09512194106160192,0.1227685922430232,-0.12219223671453032,2.927501339635533E-4,0.0524407661974841,0.16247157394399964,-0.15959047701316495,-0.05947660477773643,0.14853145749231336,-0.05018723692662351,0.06655208764169021,-0.15667891050477548,0.15690125398721969,-0.07864616623292357,-0.056639888732558666,0.15502728934464183,0.06503435910361893,-0.10235559137652592,0.14261919582152283,-0.15261121843127964,-0.1581035927946544,0.11412114852520143,-0.15772142071401993,-0.12772200311775936,-0.11649336807981008,0.028178461201078087,-0.05745057738628209,-0.10702295398594391,-0.10376035105416931,-0.1203903379273093,0.15670193824404566,0.03266094524778295,0.0032674844682890197,-0.09596211585305073,-0.024385446295430154,0.016992234925068895,0.14764325504194384,-0.014397898988569226,-0.1509706092792206,0.04131067542725085,0.0951736645324601,0.1281635485492171,-0.13727612001252798,-0.12426445143908008,-0.11558557586927906,-0.14966687412977542,0.010112451081153316,0.04028853735787934,-0.015189996314467146,-0.001663741957249774,-0.12369012567119457,-0.040238199019559245,-0.005977108119372328,0.026134502090095844,-0.15637898289587132,1.5492076659396117,-0.15478893269167313,-0.02785483224748107,-0.14858141497700658,-0.13671667528173245,-0.05544435575280771,0.1260118749225984,0.07619741173563677,0.1543961647843106,-0.11623830521921065,-0.045895046824536524,0.1545619948514629,-0.04029885927646037,0.05413633403520281,-0.06252386546378456,-0.031279878890105216,-0.13846105150831362,0.14519897759479108,0.16023776923077138,-0.07386450103543102,-0.03833533230159732,-0.02678664597833294,0.13443440305208815,0.0215691761227911,-0.1571075797059397,0.15241927561331575,-0.1465768233719769,-0.05605658335283764,-0.14416637261864904,0.14111050690832871,-0.15811658291508615,-0.020606130308079087,-0.08136181852350123,-0.0793100796053434,0.04582562559853078,-0.107129151366349,0.1521202534223266,-0.02153458825895208,0.03273430455810354,-0.09970372765578235,-0.1485272658753132,0.03713165765754469,0.15711434257718007,-0.06242637568656805,0.11946510604039262;-0.02517610727730649,-0.03900947655997757,0.11848716021972744,-0.18297100359395982,6.458547945675664E-4,-0.05820664726705732,0.10559816129353351,-0.10197961005310784,-0.05207223527128677,-0.1166871301193172,-0.007890633764932294,0.09446784308294337,-0.05558790713981316,-0.07338674734826785,0.0772803353112118,-0.05493584476213154,-0.2506486711542268,-0.03331252738430919,-0.04961980485038553,0.1233013922579622,0.11885690950818083,-0.03597414224447492,0.11760998849650042,0.016555560765884283,-0.006236002183818026,-0.2140524619457294,0.07714522700315428,0.10916979732291733,-0.028738847968245527,0.11770596894760406,-0.05566083258311369,0.013462837887783028,-0.18751078578072938,0.10251352975410812,-0.15050912593994475,-0.2021794373983788,-0.05094034353208859,-0.164303508205342,0.12728580947994603,-0.2293091468453169,-0.024326645588795093,-0.042336541585870316,0.124557545236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x_a{213}	=[-3.4383523066306356,0.8253343431459349,28.073259489025194];
std_x_a{213}	=[1.1031854050238759,1.8800957718995952,1.239902791311573];
pred_a{213}	=[-3.4383523066306356];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.3 to 21.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{214}	=[-0.9334321768664471,0.2372791868827909,21.585878231440372];
std_x_f{214}	=[1.448539515664849,1.6635872338094484,1.5100154937773929];
pred_f{214}	=[-0.9334321768664471];
obs{214}	=[-0.9568530005304685];
sqrt_r{214}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{214}	=[3.1091108691499687];
L_f{214}	=[0.10413520397739646,0.133660486996322,-0.10619032081152796,-0.013802432636040687,0.061194824742162285,0.17531426902023398,-0.1470189940791985,-0.07241368060339155,0.16084207876568737,-0.06321921877013334,0.07533913986471323,-0.14576682335851907,0.16938364304444753,-0.08931977820952182,-0.04491517638960545,0.16764055392353966,0.054846107151014255,-0.10877143521381094,0.15452161549329865,-0.13652342488087996,-0.14248369680310763,0.12431098659683235,-0.14239134786537883,-0.1287861374553274,-0.12032827420566655,0.015093944603140605,-0.045498184079892465,-0.09166214279854178,-0.11064587734866925,-0.103808617006765,0.1696652186753032,0.04105770377290454,-0.01107847111835918,-0.08090792453117003,-0.038199937294457566,0.0037836151943510658,0.16013159747248687,-0.02890292850544286,-0.1335099829420171,0.02974641397643145,0.10409811855112479,0.1387044738522623,-0.12019714083570564,-0.10870563495279313,-0.09936491115824818,-0.14336549629102263,-0.0037834586393614895,0.04790833263129219,-0.02950879147912009,0.007570804519364179,-0.1262281384498449,-0.029733683050805565,-0.020250018106227122,0.03431870236209793,-0.14086446128055052,0.9827981337282299,-0.13973337173750622,-0.042531279399832346,-0.1436391993869833,-0.1199515081663466,-0.0439209132779486,0.13636736660513832,0.08502525745896283,0.16644736652937533,-0.12027215576160881,-0.03443361391055683,0.16731051777793793,-0.029518106290629405,0.06328208604963333,-0.050491906149656485,-0.04524425560382666,-0.1209674747957633,0.15702516022078714,0.17288460800029024,-0.0843206883412297,-0.02729429761207601,-0.01607013686383605,0.14615189978761967,0.030063875925250297,-0.1422610603375446,0.16479737610995995,-0.12981270896763653,-0.06848399278931537,-0.14005074632759104,0.15279274896799716,-0.14338480615286212,-0.03495215514779557,-0.09144835220330257,-0.06545042613671617,0.05380631185646837,-0.09214050214181004,0.16447957826326345,-0.011393588614617296,0.020787618384909286,-0.08480055019418013,-0.1424448307933825,0.045404947525148134,0.17070263172937378,-0.05018804600504991,0.12995189415395975;0.11836940712052263,0.1532741440355201,-0.11187942814840543,-0.03254144500797699,0.06832551392968939,0.2037090861240711,-0.15659732839032822,-0.09589404437771232,0.18587795192899792,-0.0867032097187697,0.08393512399396942,-0.15645631202942598,0.19626833383114012,-0.1126902203287208,-0.04875983165625452,0.19382186368676815,0.050268685393014524,-0.13087697768139397,0.1782564774907673,-0.14329521154125507,-0.15020999674738855,0.14216324761271928,-0.14984811612759444,-0.14754219721294617,-0.14094382038622572,0.0020972244451616822,-0.049610753649986246,-0.09747682748072885,-0.1321850745074999,-0.10923347507200529,0.19569515275394953,0.0454919303880505,-0.0286590567927047,-0.08666102925001302,-0.059469152959104085,-0.011743165367575727,0.18487631441063176,-0.04938492583261794,-0.13950941498723737,0.018877625519451862,0.11890196141983556,0.15959127802975906,-0.12641755291880652,-0.11386192722571757,-0.10534333501845489,-0.15663055317219693,-0.020048422168471136,0.05388428952509378,-0.04923038365230899,0.0076604543782870455,-0.14554917228798533,-0.03246803763012415,-0.03925059090664634,0.0374647398170813,-0.14962816103647525,1.1495458872703401,-0.14628930953986144,-0.06416777393392202,-0.15734577540572414,-0.12577884259999791,-0.04848872865911273,0.15679118687425977,0.0961476596292644,0.1931204727792805,-0.14095595713583928,-0.03798736578146028,0.19328487917268938,-0.03249358319142949,0.07033737674304791,-0.05500061277670856,-0.06674629079287159,-0.12728038689439444,0.1813414279548828,0.20070702831883172,-0.10780194447223197,-0.030753223358272033,-0.01808109289710336,0.16795108732886882,0.033035088193847,-0.15055300259535226,0.19070172474615363,-0.13625874490082857,-0.09176309898359826,-0.15495693230354163,0.1771731007452355,-0.15151227917911275,-0.05560473191542283,-0.114700973038898,-0.07032928409915136,0.06055202170094894,-0.09760346100825926,0.18990305421617396,-0.013128903166817254,0.00824812161893827,-0.09105110689742138,-0.15672488987723765,0.05066276764734153,0.19757453036948897,-0.05438456072784436,0.14845378625939784;-0.04001636223099744,-0.04819146494714012,0.09471593872296231,-0.15699537259250643,-0.020122537171955626,-0.056585468178936664,0.0979229920299309,-0.08372901216198246,-0.054334434923971296,-0.09676193257964308,-0.027827836599380935,0.08939743661150118,-0.055202717314375815,-0.05758573972737124,0.04857084314428931,-0.055914589106929986,-0.21345896579822018,-0.020753470827705643,-0.05340737544832051,0.10817649514621552,0.10685666495212688,-0.04655318847885514,0.1060596528118226,0.022613314028869715,0.0028067489156747634,-0.18320185956353086,0.048061019614366395,0.08345150215375861,-0.017017951355885977,0.09381356989957618,-0.055737996459004645,-0.010791466820719629,-0.15983655890934811,0.0758304534746984,-0.12769255680790578,-0.1730577251298995,-0.05403746025044657,-0.1397140140913259,0.11045150111047664,-0.19564778932677443,-0.039317109847857086,-0.049834490076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k{214}	=[0.6783646379669312;0.7778865399465247;0.24014591824303008];
x_a_linear{214}	=[-0.9493200354321784,0.2190604434000876,21.58025381623557];
L_a{214}	=[-0.09888037194587067,-0.12691576108624614,0.10083178423671564,0.013105939400721349,-0.058106834197787866,-0.16646762541418683,0.13960017614037948,0.06875956831646524,-0.15272572545544114,0.060029074005319434,-0.07153740413781504,0.13841119199408278,-0.16083626848627502,0.08481255669693838,0.042648683421051214,-0.15918113848194365,-0.052078483238507216,0.10328265140156015,-0.14672420305596812,0.12963423046135036,0.13529373735295178,-0.11803805170748029,0.13520604849305956,0.12228737916352403,0.11425631347150969,-0.014332279570056556,0.04320227159355239,0.08703672175302647,0.10506250613278081,0.09857026508579543,-0.16110363535210398,-0.03898586515650743,0.010519433418622996,0.07682517885831418,0.036272306229935325,-0.0035926878080412426,-0.15205109620568677,0.0274444396494719,0.12677285171169417,-0.02824536146953559,-0.09884515791062182,-0.13170522014865418,0.1141317973050167,0.10322017152890357,0.09435079587330172,0.13613103980223348,0.003592539153071494,-0.045490800122856806,0.028019729790531495,-0.007188769390288991,0.11985846095490174,0.028233272967155828,0.0192281692048059,-0.03258692473489031,0.13375621109263766,-0.9332045388978023,0.13268219817050822,0.04038508175680929,0.13639093139410285,0.11389855966029508,0.04170459244568783,-0.12948604714042536,-0.08073474445933336,-0.15804816126742074,0.11420302685555747,0.032696037659420266,-0.15886775649788584,0.02802857456147804,-0.06008876889948339,0.0479440023127791,0.04296115676204473,0.11486325895855662,-0.14910141483817138,-0.1641605690472873,0.08006572904704146,0.02591698289148381,0.015259211579035889,-0.1387768368392719,-0.028546803771263674,0.1350823354861215,-0.15648143205244378,0.1232621482050116,0.06502817895104618,0.1329835575217665,-0.14508257795189985,0.13614937525698811,0.033188412461111365,0.08683371937949315,0.06214769101349209,-0.05109115770837631,0.08749094230457426,-0.15617967080279263,0.01081864957268572,-0.019738641297661487,0.08052137628918532,0.13525683258539112,-0.043113739907245124,-0.16208869885349478,0.047655475446065104,-0.12339430988009678;-0.114430292438551,-0.1455308712445915,0.12551459267063747,-0.0016853843471454537,-0.06847872008936362,-0.18821513928185366,0.17207132873876022,0.06599052918201707,-0.17369293460075289,0.05462666311886316,-0.08448946688070971,0.16941305190738049,-0.1823976667610124,0.0869888193971073,0.051650396295212966,-0.1809473699317477,-0.0723426581206769,0.11228725949512113,-0.16718468254221058,0.16191005124330063,0.16831976591605677,-0.13574047011482468,0.16847519565145536,0.14036595451527728,0.12805633531156632,-0.03164607882368438,0.05210281851127325,0.10743869089740987,0.11516957618115095,0.12283612221868045,-0.1836003249003555,-0.0462947156052902,-0.00389255469330218,0.09421287125046475,0.025928806478853803,-0.020201635191894347,-0.17310625399727284,0.015229083795720548,0.15895914060117886,-0.04762204003242232,-0.1138148317275319,-0.15048983389964185,0.14228944726612294,0.12915521002290797,0.11679212523737999,0.16387051840521127,-0.011590302331026722,-0.05321729588459975,0.01673806436822421,-0.009264475426536864,0.1366404387623132,0.03400316727109965,0.006019384578481033,-0.03925651576223106,0.16528171585569443,-1.0475507862888935,0.16609195747075198,0.030913127509293575,0.16376717376998257,0.14237903289467685,0.049698772060489664,-0.14806519946583963,-0.09393075415744954,-0.1789813279609226,0.1279187428426822,0.038990780579598774,-0.18074654136624202,0.033495688577826525,-0.0711330391887614,0.05787668647318189,0.034399610967987666,0.1431487351821912,-0.16969653736709758,-0.18578556269382773,0.08070136817037231,0.03026460770245596,0.017844539270345683,-0.15877913512242575,-0.03417428016249385,0.16747904459518537,-0.1777114360409488,0.1539443611801357,0.06133645176409102,0.15813384221651583,-0.16440308767108042,0.16903196060523268,0.022532640525073998,0.08973660527248822,0.07598856960139104,-0.05973480500259844,0.10838145472198249,-0.177799652849174,0.01234206059062951,-0.03822368743043923,0.09852496203633092,0.16171798578698476,-0.050842369315220744,-0.18404013847167663,0.05781344326289681,-0.14206047559138796;-0.11188532350799614,-0.1404373145475172,0.168003239874763,-0.14746961704817313,-0.06235617499823572,-0.17757869554377087,0.19938822173990134,-0.033752675549248545,-0.1653396732008583,-0.05313115823805704,-0.0798231803330405,0.18999848009434134,-0.17210292030010893,0.004058348306523645,0.07956907380406471,-0.17161179829471482,-0.2513110331153014,0.05431518767438725,-0.16005054294773474,0.20239820270917322,0.20519185705842816,-0.13234647586678266,0.20433111025418596,0.11149512894133841,0.08585136542492185,-0.1936189527151969,0.07946161331293262,0.14671217423910826,0.05934435429011929,0.165457137021194,-0.17283252900225107,-0.039127460892597964,-0.15219074672093053,0.1316690966332132,-0.10132885165018528,-0.17566898898212108,-0.16455235951997813,-0.11976664403575447,0.20259348026514662,-0.21617729128718494,-0.11116047660001832,-0.14556144963905615,0.1873875149079852,0.17118787415628295,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x_a{214}	=[-0.9493200354321789,0.21906044340008646,21.580253816235558];
std_x_a{214}	=[1.375443851997654,1.5797485418489983,1.4977406960834894];
pred_a{214}	=[-0.9493200354321789];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.4 to 21.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{215}	=[-0.42058643491138037,-0.31341857451281063,16.783489169604703];
std_x_f{215}	=[1.717906849396699,2.3194681481919934,1.6129415012322497];
pred_f{215}	=[-0.42058643491138037];
obs{215}	=[-0.4622601265432324];
sqrt_r{215}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{215}	=[3.971418640072881];
L_f{215}	=[-0.14217839803848475,-0.1834003217572908,0.14439635174374796,0.0044906061525854446,-0.08265066703921646,-0.2406188483406652,0.19611078270751997,0.0873927513985617,-0.22078698942527025,0.0743930132578049,-0.10289402664770708,0.19377272963646444,-0.2328293421126523,0.11111318934233907,0.06272316255966942,-0.23014858081459036,-0.09102622227457516,0.13855718058484753,-0.21199341969579868,0.18365365088753688,0.19152661214793656,-0.17041616678677496,0.19138339878052546,0.16734208098066927,0.15538417864698353,-0.03475379133505012,0.06269672541056058,0.12529189041787242,0.1416171722515513,0.1424162357957571,-0.23303910512075598,-0.054960223278446296,0.0016962069891020691,0.11071240833399748,0.03994957907974496,-0.02014335510568918,-0.21971060556767522,0.02669941434525474,0.1806605814989741,-0.056088755492681934,-0.14226997877738445,-0.1908109584915523,0.16250636552088477,0.14770409450139124,0.13515767735994946,0.1892945881147805,-0.008824477794553275,-0.06432476626106992,0.027494131486530602,-0.00912161092848256,0.16345735316387536,0.04229278938197724,0.014205758257559986,-0.04713059320174987,0.18860228577428925,-0.9417656773586568,0.1878980300145225,0.045699330696653606,0.19034848330865137,0.16286514592602352,0.060567492404977635,-0.1868408457823504,-0.11579724306012495,-0.22784660495697467,0.1554068220716431,0.04805530377072097,-0.22995072647742668,0.04160361929381449,-0.08619044425372592,0.06981843982875872,0.04938577466226275,0.16378850128221284,-0.21554913279020207,-0.23733761874714263,0.1042236945138421,0.0380190354954452,0.022913153553242,-0.20068993246536176,-0.0399358398717424,0.19039386346305842,-0.22599952259640388,0.17507210034888587,0.0816318026027659,0.18430211240749553,-0.20923866235397046,0.19213161846685567,0.03475202246852779,0.11473760625309863,0.0901886458124157,-0.07247688737563393,0.12568203963506366,-0.22603627290959646,0.01690645053892746,-0.04380947421970835,0.1152688445006917,0.18777352802683428,-0.060441791973969546,-0.23468042163423314,0.06930065469330984,-0.17872075943660348;-0.21846409342541437,-0.28207419737138684,0.21205424738628398,6.684895595465506E-5,-0.12605222221717102,-0.3710836857702823,0.2836875423173381,0.12710512484703312,-0.34030464724887344,0.10717482442806929,-0.15704494912167488,0.28034715478690736,-0.35887753798767213,0.16268359833730378,0.09458190684258175,-0.3552699004385553,-0.15059483864409848,0.2033152990953873,-0.32608953593521084,0.26732153502127665,0.2771125673897705,-0.26221232352040763,0.27718540411289855,0.24443493347140158,0.22690100493236187,-0.06177378036369179,0.0947534248137438,0.184700451242284,0.20734482997285278,0.20800418830664466,-0.36027817588649014,-0.08382608050917087,-0.00463746875718263,0.16419215632385387,0.05433964696068921,-0.0377194909524039,-0.33944525512572904,0.0343381599943971,0.26200431765376364,-0.09572829776046804,-0.21776009519143327,-0.2938118060064255,0.2375602355012754,0.21740287098190172,0.19928920691655966,0.2748858373490066,-0.02018791731223643,-0.09675612400028957,0.03628359440359788,-0.013638196425858689,0.2389940316893892,0.0640580215601021,0.015336171157776092,-0.06991030228106414,0.27297399292394653,-0.8492182420042249,0.27291739195794756,0.06406939054106789,0.2757855156952991,0.23756084552658238,0.09136550837648161,-0.28727609347807276,-0.17696909983044948,-0.35136355352155313,0.2265302739483651,0.07270972471701297,-0.35508605006649635,0.06326033579282975,-0.13138453351580298,0.10464926565990164,0.06935955582243526,0.23951500060441372,-0.3323374086373062,-0.36585891964938866,0.15213595595782695,0.05723600562707372,0.03554464933638693,-0.309311837663649,-0.06073181492257978,0.27585311676721164,-0.34926453039596234,0.2548836952313371,0.11877999437283665,0.2673869652819157,-0.32255073415270097,0.27810355618310306,0.04756585921060697,0.16774891238176395,0.1349054646732986,-0.1097986237947601,0.18582845809649284,-0.3485194877116854,0.027475075250629866,-0.07581596133482002,0.17012685078025733,0.2721057868719968,-0.09199655133576994,-0.36196903292964644,0.10402187467124804,-0.27486476181461406;-0.08501874020288243,-0.09388858018492631,0.11162003009440016,-0.13819898786604987,-0.06223798666357348,-0.09749822146139299,0.1470475685732291,-0.05060288082757413,-0.09809968191246946,-0.06599021795759503,-0.07152525408155666,0.13961189741762,-0.09846812917153688,-0.018950767100939497,0.0347317283172504,-0.09879142505336504,-0.2049560063745668,0.024135143466358356,-0.09738076809761259,0.14672885174146152,0.150553863286887,-0.09201357267842614,0.14963708120210048,0.07285043043910874,0.05042125003140746,-0.17072167273180025,0.03478002497103361,0.09225779829359983,0.027944463941150324,0.10973942609862705,-0.09782008485347825,-0.049345071653885214,-0.14252699807084904,0.07877135891341883,-0.10413688738842243,-0.15762674944726984,-0.09742482733148763,-0.11772819857609275,0.14613062835106608,-0.18468367685162945,-0.0847099461946027,-0.09506892292401077,0.12993407103990204,0.11513542623089375,0.1025526941268657,0.12108250384828773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k{215}	=[0.7482008091744142;0.98967887717689;-0.014389369784259726];
x_a_linear{215}	=[-0.45176672471161705,-0.3546621468548379,16.78408882776387];
L_a{215}	=[0.10126146058819457,0.13062029611883216,-0.10284111850255023,-0.003198273044362458,0.05886497089884342,0.17137213785057398,-0.13967286569568899,-0.0622423502693,0.1572476081916568,-0.05298375339693427,0.07328257715582893,-0.13800767131894753,0.16582434163967638,-0.07913638076279564,-0.04467232112000353,0.16391506562957137,0.0648301594793195,-0.09868237843843278,0.1509847037921478,-0.13080072069874157,-0.13640795476088463,0.12137279780012147,-0.13630595618051058,-0.11918339052732727,-0.11066680381242933,0.024752140410331098,-0.04465349220949767,-0.08923465166723565,-0.10086174766633937,-0.10143085199375719,0.16597373781287128,0.03914344626335091,-0.0012080625435790112,-0.07885093887541647,-0.0284526537315715,0.014346381639471328,0.15648099242528649,-0.019015699506742714,-0.12866901446130286,0.03994720282490257,0.10132668568223605,0.1358982561321158,-0.1157393257664191,-0.10519693955209075,-0.09626120428978124,-0.13481827576053357,0.006284917559436054,0.04581300586764967,-0.01958170826468559,0.006496539968648109,-0.11641663257996536,-0.03012152116110273,-0.010117541411135795,0.033567073281451594,-0.13432520826832742,0.6707387995422108,-0.1338236273823031,-0.03254770793657034,-0.13556887478338495,-0.11599485423175565,-0.04313702242890856,0.13307068585998014,0.0824724298917794,0.16227556595313047,-0.11068293077886998,-0.034225665192228506,0.16377415097979833,-0.029630684503186688,0.06138605016153855,-0.049725677673871385,-0.03517324532821467,-0.11665248094087277,0.1535171328132877,0.1690351998505034,-0.07422958536579326,-0.027077693359444856,-0.01631907116336208,0.14293420074467167,0.028442868473832945,-0.1356011951694657,0.16096004784181056,-0.12468881935758294,-0.05813932127555524,-0.13126256414016552,0.14902272675591674,-0.13683884879516844,-0.024750880598643048,-0.08171774161105014,-0.0642336257084887,0.05161906151563344,-0.08951252144299049,0.1609862219332499,-0.012041012548688813,0.031201725496215933,-0.08209609698439613,-0.133734955310502,0.04304749680887017,0.16714270658544952,-0.04935690379675799,0.12728744582621618;0.10354476167272246,0.13329500391691093,-0.11497787948271011,-0.010103577535271057,0.06113687987969916,0.17387533007287806,-0.1604685987228413,-0.07082395727773284,0.15973872548733933,-0.06131215641385923,0.07599177216911487,-0.15851371071946346,0.16843962777933774,-0.08896806872356955,-0.04747493190803082,0.16597581644248094,0.05556341059015268,-0.110492140721706,0.1540379609726202,-0.14862141181711164,-0.15666124037171708,0.12375006960185038,-0.1562640507714217,-0.13456520051336346,-0.12501660109479296,0.01693739315149899,-0.04724353848297423,-0.09906345905033105,-0.11339294825569451,-0.11454332712931363,0.1675140658907522,0.0406490775879125,-0.008479076751825722,-0.08655181283479524,-0.036139064282344376,0.007901635779256823,0.15816029907818893,-0.026131278146122008,-0.14715985786396663,0.03130278564777993,0.10445617403774582,0.13834117315016572,-0.1304878606193125,-0.11712070657891686,-0.10681896102481897,-0.15383283184442956,-2.0204019823281011E-4,0.04892806307696057,-0.025985737112564807,0.007020634537592313,-0.1312078827774215,-0.0317276454306797,-0.016837351792451546,0.03683213233888086,-0.15417673425355166,1.2837139876506412,-0.15263832082898604,-0.03943148835051576,-0.15532003919563905,-0.13129982457911332,-0.04580911979883936,0.13588528452294352,0.08529111814737939,0.16466859631553726,-0.12543861541965415,-0.03612701533694711,0.16571156183188937,-0.030964483178008144,0.06382153616455438,-0.05347711770187524,-0.04249046483137253,-0.13143690561870336,0.1558431477956178,0.17166869311636254,-0.08391222722268679,-0.028870366794635116,-0.01634957963340433,0.14521526542975582,0.029715779451084785,-0.15535521612492997,0.16258430548904412,-0.14162356164260378,-0.06610156047910805,-0.15002463188941972,0.15133772595380646,-0.1570404835880989,-0.03114130813563321,-0.09211141616308603,-0.06935582242494541,0.05434867176407232,-0.09881907097702312,0.16341258111474463,-0.010815036727841936,0.02340472781741775,-0.09093663817610269,-0.1531679509942313,0.04489338765727948,0.169540499650207,-0.0529318171920102,0.1299060607745725;-0.08970056639587003,-0.09992781288167639,0.11637489181103539,-0.13805111563090214,-0.06495961008281737,-0.10542161659194475,0.15350534705346455,-0.0477251041876638,-0.10537002905678217,-0.06354051277839212,-0.07491347589096779,0.1459926855937047,-0.10613502180387618,-0.015291894533613869,0.036797154214786784,-0.10637004226105724,-0.20795343043879305,0.028697725730881113,-0.10436154969851456,0.1527764263732302,0.15686068852742457,-0.09762524705637886,0.1559391905356945,0.07836087751639567,0.055537932506395105,-0.17186608857009159,0.036844580313415705,0.0963835646717565,0.0326078093970801,0.11442908410753787,-0.10549388482166633,-0.05115486988250102,-0.1424711432685734,0.08241703406785762,-0.10282137822307295,-0.15829005476544405,-0.10465972997644118,-0.11684900722815562,0.15207964349099806,-0.18653063678520979,-0.08939478807146368,-0.10135218223554826,0.1352852816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x_a{215}	=[-0.45176672471161716,-0.35466214685483805,16.784088827763874];
std_x_a{215}	=[1.2235174901695427,1.6897179253946812,1.6125199939535886];
pred_a{215}	=[-0.45176672471161716];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.5 to 21.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{216}	=[-0.5981299768743672,-0.9735829603551771,13.165496067909803];
std_x_f{216}	=[1.8237417061132093,2.715091074909808,1.9716911459996378];
pred_f{216}	=[-0.5981299768743672];
obs{216}	=[-0.6330285466038056];
sqrt_r{216}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{216}	=[4.349265079607943];
L_f{216}	=[0.15241807304654856,0.19703914028287417,-0.15022341267936673,-0.011460260597428,0.08904631312828001,0.2574193816805886,-0.2062015455099993,-0.09769408746725484,0.23637383654302696,-0.08475080618511231,0.1106341137570419,-0.20419134831236668,0.24944423379787842,-0.12199182048719297,-0.0650347027956029,0.24650392246960032,0.09034956479930768,-0.14788872239228557,0.22792377324413837,-0.19154220072426717,-0.20107660721234277,0.18297883647171542,-0.20012896220081408,-0.1785220494274029,-0.16698857158548894,0.030020397549666282,-0.06479884179739144,-0.13135176750710814,-0.15319466270807006,-0.14964157187044055,0.2487036450088135,0.05923421460899698,-0.008493130186538118,-0.11549960899595704,-0.049178730452878426,0.015219209999840664,0.23506241931383792,-0.03496123342479441,-0.18910560641491872,0.0523769121658152,0.15293788740560219,0.20436619924798077,-0.16934321231359306,-0.15375723569620803,-0.14126643212809367,-0.1997584330435553,0.0037505322340186213,0.0703385213589427,-0.035389939723243995,0.010664173232372844,-0.17469738717855435,-0.04375825060490067,-0.021691370441132136,0.052708449253362225,-0.19783035618363468,0.9942795548050629,-0.19638241980113516,-0.05446746180682247,-0.20163922925521685,-0.17039030306765185,-0.062656056163726,0.2007398990239081,0.12458257423195532,0.2444485334407478,-0.16671291331077456,-0.049567308087936496,0.24678133204026104,-0.0429084303899629,0.09263766017748193,-0.07255598378086356,-0.05836521197948297,-0.17058225864516555,0.23052318414378886,0.2544958285881362,-0.11516993510744382,-0.039069946734963217,-0.022838410630376914,0.2152270866834796,0.04361856950525447,-0.2001941235272121,0.24176665492685634,-0.18282297223052427,-0.09183092573159841,-0.19544337085257385,0.2241966648591233,-0.20168148218535226,-0.043269441020585726,-0.12611200900078037,-0.09367235509380005,0.07852973426017044,-0.13098364751924507,0.24259314476302746,-0.015599864982511945,0.03988746939887058,-0.12053339782699024,-0.19898945611472252,0.0648866610571075,0.251488433778276,-0.0719779029868854,0.19163294979848403;0.2542113042228587,0.3280027016864177,-0.23623385067318486,-0.021421988718677135,0.14836898008995644,0.43009619167321117,-0.32141445400804564,-0.1614671124725641,0.3942281492599369,-0.14096264223960858,0.18439361670110785,-0.318430989437735,0.4155539990351139,-0.19931658411858408,-0.10224529648944884,0.4109025833088396,0.1499397668312929,-0.2409276833907271,0.37972224186270565,-0.29872790470605237,-0.3135890839692318,0.30493526286431044,-0.3118829863456636,-0.2840727303147333,-0.26762895972056244,0.04707702372784636,-0.10281671924083434,-0.2073013822288094,-0.2469374121122868,-0.2352808785226472,0.4144987655602681,0.09875068776656601,-0.016786491878745414,-0.1822302787983001,-0.08357202126846072,0.023158858207613056,0.39183602042776433,-0.06049979661641243,-0.29495331217487775,0.08486490050744033,0.2551285358845531,0.3406006230260015,-0.26441731949419967,-0.24038736818601683,-0.22173901621031666,-0.31419228330086396,0.0033459470688682225,0.11795308353729311,-0.06077585617815182,0.018976685100848455,-0.2782939721501154,-0.06957847703722797,-0.03834950277907274,0.08831549630974371,-0.3084638053725049,1.0952910075465745,-0.30610442563880813,-0.0920883318810149,-0.31748911559472487,-0.2667075868241692,-0.09954706611467674,0.33485752261513196,0.20745298212282268,0.40643463863529283,-0.26840847962046505,-0.0780389531875349,0.41030170108873426,-0.06739983779087937,0.15430419907587148,-0.11539298059683402,-0.09838492200960515,-0.26728492177591945,0.38493514102599125,0.42402682831367733,-0.1891135880721705,-0.06166226741840935,-0.03526674959813635,0.35849708137277597,0.07263103741609618,-0.31201136140773755,0.402362480429119,-0.28563290211818615,-0.15162826629925524,-0.3079929062617257,0.3735508062892009,-0.31479238949020527,-0.07423411674244235,-0.20597781021303319,-0.1479664007029039,0.13082193673010792,-0.20660812385536423,0.40399120867795213,-0.023408438932439327,0.06379838799507223,-0.19050754816136936,-0.31262947843797184,0.10892654477359191,0.41838435742030333,-0.1139413221187187,0.3196891648304902;-0.09268863361879846,-0.09294005607444134,0.09344607773676018,-0.13303747305204566,-0.08025217563225442,-0.08024451655908793,0.1452615769721488,-0.0469889689862345,-0.08671676198059851,-0.06320242510340866,-0.08631762344562759,0.13766519144168107,-0.0829553145064561,-0.016275465025756563,0.009542177208888274,-0.08467908111567765,-0.18958775392496316,0.0260785383866573,-0.0883890711488358,0.1376376894847577,0.14483417648575478,-0.0939089590893834,0.14335805078794425,0.07524074079375224,0.053057806605770134,-0.1624982539342736,0.009640615532356244,0.07251153379566348,0.030725220622305482,0.09183846888001038,-0.08349483868147604,-0.07056812496473933,-0.1361843726498116,0.05615668702504931,-0.10058860336818265,-0.15078377267521054,-0.08639559384346669,-0.11325552394913478,0.13635864081250548,-0.17409622157910076,-0.09297738800438067,-0.09174027758912932,0.115476613232921,0.09748491468100147,0.083662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k{216}	=[0.770076097525391;1.1322318738406592;0.1425098451153297];
x_a_linear{216}	=[-0.6250045312608309,-1.013096233354298,13.160522678142915];
L_a{216}	=[-0.09944213847834991,-0.12855426579025603,0.09801027599784451,0.007477018955484231,-0.058096494884728046,-0.1679481526595243,0.13453209473913785,0.06373856315233577,-0.15421740556313088,0.05529397686478975,-0.07218102578489707,0.13322058158259284,-0.1627449261373284,0.07959113551060683,0.04243059757961628,-0.16082657852649895,-0.058946775501403356,0.09648705378284454,-0.1487043299289684,0.12496789697015348,0.13118843073852432,-0.1193809003835826,0.13057015860989082,0.11647315837129732,0.10894837028174884,-0.019586210943614988,0.04227671476521663,0.08569784667090462,0.09994880894805361,0.09763066554130834,-0.16226174372040306,-0.03864618449811544,0.005541173767932694,0.07535542132502564,0.03208568397522657,-0.009929470686019157,-0.15336179749053655,0.022809760982482382,0.12337818950382333,-0.03417227398663341,-0.0997812810120586,-0.13333465959581559,0.11048460876495901,0.10031584849836697,0.09216647229055364,0.13032841423515937,-0.0024469601165269302,-0.045890968449667974,0.023089461875196997,-0.00695762759713457,0.11397783360186015,0.028549199771695927,0.014152102963101232,-0.03438857876146478,0.12907047885867293,-0.6486979083177429,0.12812580158137707,0.03553621149575951,0.1315555022936243,0.11116776228923131,0.04087869692223223,-0.13096875218182943,-0.08128142123263725,-0.15948558085903988,0.10876852252630255,0.032339203720114326,-0.1610075688801325,0.027994751484781005,-0.060439597795374854,0.04733770767700243,0.03807922102656064,0.11129299988566115,-0.15040026383941907,-0.1660407386261526,0.07514033215732445,0.025490409213961205,0.014900466507260965,-0.14042062945995906,-0.028458067618033316,0.13061267182051964,-0.1577358425948705,0.11927920986128088,0.05991325996102699,0.12751313778295556,-0.14627265223656455,0.13158306937701278,0.028230285686237415,0.08227927051018755,0.06111466390200338,-0.05123516229327324,0.08545767411080042,-0.1582750694404582,0.010177821454026332,-0.026023785606461843,0.07863961667011109,0.1298267105413971,-0.042334010693522266,-0.1640786237327972,0.04696055036739083,-0.12502710439762368;-0.11609516309524737,-0.15071262716611603,0.12874059196248058,0.006421222598411144,-0.06797298633921395,-0.19531561116619273,0.1795613446429566,0.07588500519144002,-0.18005256842072653,0.06494319959048556,-0.08439686864853828,0.17766094598111137,-0.1904818283720065,0.09706795337993583,0.05575939786177657,-0.18798962734059158,-0.06956850732424066,0.1183745256625935,-0.17402867232234323,0.16663236573167325,0.17493544982652623,-0.1396199343866408,0.17433920187206325,0.14965450517958026,0.13807717991442675,-0.025858863348399316,0.054614940356178324,0.11182356161358904,0.12525581422570178,0.12827995606649,-0.1897377685430306,-0.0451614633175203,0.0038479445301784192,0.09838114299059282,0.035909885156330555,-0.013816887370092793,-0.17925855094088802,0.024440070315676868,0.1644871443395566,-0.04238713020961476,-0.11644084346960472,-0.15591612049453715,0.14700952420428476,0.13317265417348037,0.1214740449862466,0.17112968789849795,-0.005766137307883864,-0.052937473206948776,0.025205571716641548,-0.006932396661012363,0.14614107680918317,0.036734133230272366,0.01435064359327309,-0.03974201846324079,0.17217381759672962,-1.3203552613446272,0.17101537168162095,0.040242781892536515,0.17240233340319885,0.14726321029366213,0.0526786007653155,-0.1528489637057822,-0.09522590648339788,-0.1874639132240398,0.13662793601227077,0.04238701983277921,-0.18926448841411134,0.03684809657986572,-0.07076310426460519,0.06088499943297417,0.04341594865088471,0.14715223992959037,-0.17513115720845326,-0.1942820726451053,0.09069687638546789,0.03325990069817806,0.020220181778514153,-0.16440666978924412,-0.03334221142577249,0.1743691391419974,-0.18502032865506265,0.15854361604712255,0.07147903993098574,0.16684542999683585,-0.17114493279896084,0.1752017148751526,0.030890908964114196,0.10041690798554889,0.07961473981944527,-0.05996953499012758,0.11162245615254886,-0.18539959411320506,0.014492124805492243,-0.03310998768583443,0.1023336868116592,0.17082422921315535,-0.04871847560917245,-0.19261794448752517,0.060932184987612284,-0.14589158450723672;-0.13929774127772576,-0.15319418682744085,0.13938406313778132,-0.12953295085655894,-0.10748234008892549,-0.15896279080587467,0.20831755086034742,-0.01711433437508006,-0.15899935534354478,-0.03728581711390604,-0.12014928930901306,0.20010645149885306,-0.15923480627271944,0.0210293622886501,0.029429644643546318,-0.1600594322189526,-0.21721644984334046,0.07130258069178552,-0.1580876539535179,0.1962108683495681,0.20632295564378575,-0.14986348021635515,0.20455704220963994,0.12983238635741837,0.10412254030346973,-0.17167842471972133,0.02945595719847254,0.11267861208604087,0.07757180767207672,0.13759852865606031,-0.15954786004360316,-0.08868181601605914,-0.1335871923331129,0.09147621050841272,-0.0855498570017488,-0.15543777323556263,-0.1582771587351875,-0.10256445654476318,0.19418671455811604,-0.19011296479847647,-0.13974545373789485,-0.15423500667342774,0.16726139082699487,0.1445035352990102,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x_a{216}	=[-0.6250045312608309,-1.0130962333542979,13.160522678142923];
std_x_a{216}	=[1.1898639817645842,1.8068042529515176,1.9521464543831546];
pred_a{216}	=[-0.6250045312608309];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.6 to 21.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{217}	=[-1.2883168842845647,-2.297455844716001,10.562815811371967];
std_x_f{217}	=[2.04113402270575,3.357190045732331,2.2788521355615594];
pred_f{217}	=[-1.2883168842845647];
obs{217}	=[-1.3378662706340352];
sqrt_r{217}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{217}	=[5.199513971211304];
L_f{217}	=[-0.18244416286728765,-0.23482384317247426,0.17753815711854296,0.006504868405476339,-0.1082012062560315,-0.30372022555661876,0.24306556454285225,0.11057214000652496,-0.2799508217381203,0.09448348707418741,-0.13288684320387156,0.24083764610350614,-0.2959977558736333,0.13938596638664147,0.07712695369213964,-0.29164717362968423,-0.11603950377079178,0.16955953533232926,-0.2704162291050301,0.22667820075785045,0.23679627644216983,-0.21824959516091796,0.23646755647353856,0.2083503632982328,0.19363927825640695,-0.043613938042872454,0.07598642681974585,0.15507293170926903,0.17695182270926937,0.17686667779180718,-0.2937194496866317,-0.07271494402329783,0.00256805332494494,0.13674583622946887,0.05176082030771914,-0.02548154629762181,-0.27893140483263923,0.034564984476151445,0.22358845017975512,-0.07067956572304589,-0.18264955747507333,-0.2431619355186657,0.2011016005076706,0.18268872853990312,0.16748799230050912,0.23357272539804796,-0.0121036358876232,-0.08462848745127521,0.0344700318232787,-0.013765698370178712,0.20404378079151853,0.050554464132795636,0.0187267907468577,-0.06385649771991418,0.2336025335220258,-0.9501939279200007,0.23216868442981173,0.05858409526044789,0.23610705052115963,0.20133575437818432,0.07325652940437774,-0.23869318210214235,-0.14967991252288132,-0.29024842503883025,0.1924309657904466,0.05850321413150967,-0.29313621809916435,0.050431778908216846,-0.11182100431491859,0.08539358813957743,0.06279489206935299,0.20187914906760554,-0.2732759335032496,-0.3012717923214711,0.1315805473364791,0.046129889716479786,0.026282736897194372,-0.25644656210351074,-0.05402182760615539,0.2363096765797758,-0.287574742875136,0.21603791936072111,0.10416848091378476,0.22908285051011798,-0.26662858992514055,0.23755679696998144,0.04424573974169016,0.144657703539087,0.1114121071385798,-0.09463533164216176,0.1548685812337668,-0.28791675461852384,0.017805559151386055,-0.05617181398934197,0.1429798209269176,0.23387395472869263,-0.0782075430783219,-0.29856929054059456,0.08476505170876243,-0.22782689019039878;-0.33641213987066537,-0.4301305976238215,0.31128157209938456,0.002476004846614805,-0.20114439789581967,-0.5506085872843849,0.423417366544689,0.19211766458096444,-0.5094670813844553,0.16286846617673828,-0.24677199230200544,0.4201853595645071,-0.5374106504740961,0.24421764985392375,0.13429850955673364,-0.5303602110491883,-0.2231325193249493,0.2965014728498964,-0.49404638752368263,0.39500786990068276,0.4133971539150168,-0.40087992521078164,0.4120001088163699,0.36475167872895475,0.33971453706196086,-0.0902412529800381,0.13177678374997848,0.2724604223820071,0.3109340213101082,0.31036916062817693,-0.5347176537454597,-0.13656821423068616,-0.004825126752070339,0.23989816675084805,0.08546325391811642,-0.05660898534574627,-0.5079266938731538,0.05379352103636429,0.3906350137207813,-0.14046089377821416,-0.33698531617288996,-0.4449302406852863,0.35202852363059134,0.32011979860387824,0.29341617180458346,0.4079631042164399,-0.032035152612621076,-0.15952011562133436,0.05464824744770407,-0.030018900132037358,0.35664344606224935,0.08681240857330715,0.024816450188270552,-0.12160088266125328,0.4074307907081387,-0.905359774155899,0.40514394499496764,0.09694425209080901,0.4118303698196981,0.3527967580000634,0.127035242813624,-0.43721168000636984,-0.2777408183785739,-0.5277461236262814,0.337600787693609,0.1005928338503333,-0.5329213488499925,0.08625614292887236,-0.20876614779188257,0.14880795156958174,0.1053724016432121,0.3528788002223338,-0.4983765557269502,-0.5469477348944265,0.22876835742407498,0.07761035541388371,0.042517573563847916,-0.4686289591707472,-0.10325532400970615,0.4118916280081529,-0.5228454390419368,0.3776288351059474,0.18085305649998298,0.40039433633749866,-0.4867872395980284,0.41432020544627146,0.07148146504939845,0.25318150475248463,0.19488887519440584,-0.17813479324203335,0.27187312089696736,-0.523703382851341,0.02715242896541888,-0.11292869315131326,0.25058085214639336,0.40825974014369465,-0.14797195158678902,-0.5419840751808224,0.1478389165434704,-0.4178314765492417;-0.07781459088262588,-0.060245834219358696,0.05991061553336747,-0.135626231185631,-0.08616314376404126,-0.020158589079282196,0.1214144407523838,-0.0614927098773292,-0.036509898288531545,-0.07621179712272773,-0.08554508131065312,0.11414623875599797,-0.02562287812007626,-0.03293310032654165,-0.023670186464699882,-0.029009023593246416,-0.16713081373117034,0.007306278622538826,-0.04132414415417805,0.10944523669244566,0.11891258358204915,-0.06673515648852328,0.1172170408970919,0.056122572045600894,0.03403951503944105,-0.15611718483760845,-0.024164220912476886,0.03816578474440759,0.012613563093837904,0.058826883537373816,-0.0272071639924397,-0.08394077473681877,-0.13829553125327532,0.02145523513895725,-0.10890457915115263,-0.14831199939212658,-0.03652364298946063,-0.11978109944477004,0.10702393562590803,-0.1626447166317751,-0.07778941180966359,-0.05544810837822355,0.08363876968949797,0.06417655135606497,0.04999800130819002,0.09901491573169631,-0.1432474029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k{217}	=[0.8076743315746806;1.300068327329284;-0.23146339085055517];
x_a_linear{217}	=[-1.328336651784309,-2.3618734325475494,10.57428468035098];
L_a{217}	=[0.10199713372761395,0.13128048909910953,-0.09925438484182476,-0.0036366081666121277,0.06049090708379394,0.1697976628850216,-0.13588810133262233,-0.061816400007260644,0.1565091530100053,-0.052821886514217285,0.07429164575007666,-0.13464256247064454,0.1654803432153544,-0.07792504199563056,-0.043118552471657204,0.1630481090898271,0.0648729813976287,-0.09479386091767784,0.15117874887675273,-0.12672659071395864,-0.13238319656212905,0.12201449908714661,-0.1321994225565786,-0.1164802399459899,-0.1082558688030178,0.024382784305259884,-0.04248093014329522,-0.08669498823368244,-0.09892658904824107,-0.09887898797733724,0.16420663460678062,0.040651976763626876,-0.0014356944847535899,-0.07644905227654433,-0.028937375840397763,0.01424569931127651,0.1559392383533869,-0.01932388128235964,-0.12499923644870733,0.03951407928631416,0.10211196152450318,0.13594197843755707,-0.11242775059204718,-0.10213386047854445,-0.0936357452053501,-0.1305810398816529,0.006766652047499396,0.04731235582479228,-0.019270797104271157,0.007695843788318205,-0.11407260428945301,-0.028262951018232767,-0.010469389374138044,0.03569957862698518,-0.13059770439511145,0.5312148967118362,-0.12979609750725413,-0.03275199219685535,-0.13199787829637022,-0.11255865652659865,-0.04095475519002739,0.13344367960103876,0.08367996988228867,0.16226612546902794,-0.10758035029785801,-0.032706774837227524,0.16388057347505652,-0.028194362683801703,0.0625145894032322,-0.047740092596379874,-0.035106077953658235,-0.11286244646392914,0.15277749365072932,0.16842884314212764,-0.07356134869819902,-0.02578935086936423,-0.014693612488884511,0.14336887449715602,0.030201413341808588,-0.13211115830967707,0.16077137818355974,-0.12077804082611188,-0.05823637386357207,-0.12807093288690322,0.1490612333921702,-0.1328083727517021,-0.02473599901682352,-0.0808722564795819,-0.06228599157187148,0.0529067766551901,-0.08658074416881635,0.16096258308142267,-0.009954366143135671,0.03140338355117027,-0.07993422034576926,-0.1307494449861936,0.043722666181818505,0.16691798397726845,-0.04738870336375669,0.12736877639872793;0.1214371518934299,0.15916712830039673,-0.13425594590252682,-0.013848164398703108,0.07038988894448285,0.21158674952494977,-0.18656321507105258,-0.08536655412573957,0.1930781984818648,-0.07424077842971266,0.08671166696922315,-0.1842041915489055,0.20540490887644133,-0.10557576084784694,-0.059253975592134536,0.20153742707082734,0.06807221851454365,-0.1290134460364226,0.18457153607257218,-0.1738481134548149,-0.18085045454525847,0.1468242106837391,-0.18142256667558693,-0.15811002742646885,-0.1462292443891202,0.01920927878894924,-0.058913513798274086,-0.11669991489070282,-0.13313207228554177,-0.13348325915327852,0.20238042548542448,0.04591219565751749,-0.011269736311290548,-0.10326975534317955,-0.044432131862225215,0.007337746312129075,0.19206032761508757,-0.03294838077912254,-0.17046714461956494,0.036911671065255024,0.1213794197371241,0.16529218688666086,-0.15264218722157946,-0.13834323830962164,-0.12690014552018478,-0.17819490280457037,-0.0016607025242956091,0.052857701425178635,-0.031855367737036754,0.004526547364735295,-0.15541075756947348,-0.040055588927664164,-0.022179012673975776,0.038648981166209836,-0.17880202072556203,1.4791813923004649,-0.17749057761957077,-0.05007435405197888,-0.1806876047907421,-0.15246156926084095,-0.05680429240509256,0.16179627210816336,0.09788556978799821,0.200641311472636,-0.1453106961050008,-0.04622279858795507,0.20271309260229942,-0.04030397219153661,0.07185213467504907,-0.06548990941126225,-0.052213329840396304,-0.15374319288454702,0.18741788485292432,0.20910318268534064,-0.10143711180631862,-0.03815403520249101,-0.02343977078131424,0.174931651314984,0.03231412979228877,-0.1811348429880992,0.19883230764705245,-0.16452503169353833,-0.08056098087435072,-0.1744961902377632,0.18232548586682942,-0.18183595289336538,-0.03955459270075948,-0.10984149402533448,-0.08470326711189363,0.05935551002265378,-0.11677439251221149,0.19883265292743973,-0.017531174602955536,0.028036218238220008,-0.10823144811648402,-0.17865421123599978,0.04829230617993579,0.2072848302648244,-0.06488161274764491,0.15390717860503406;-0.15932980615438513,-0.16516405043584584,0.1392338499357561,-0.1327198858136905,-0.13450694650351433,-0.1558593929830187,0.23001502028024134,-0.012089584811347486,-0.16159064157374492,-0.033997008403609925,-0.14491831342895162,0.22175139454249346,-0.1578733179850569,0.029343910224539742,0.010789782737182016,-0.15931564326360118,-0.21897673185344385,0.08306470140117514,-0.16214487517700832,0.21072401723437123,0.22471207393776677,-0.16424807470371328,0.2228696606783498,0.1492125588628771,0.12055665652574366,-0.17560369233963272,0.009786166113328615,0.10745165946049294,0.09167482597111999,0.13785010405601203,-0.15843966710148538,-0.11642947825234178,-0.13714813680490076,0.08255264764357269,-0.08577808201517233,-0.159697037418358,-0.1611489154763977,-0.10433762289743866,0.20692222977927888,-0.1942240224570841,-0.15939639645023185,-0.16409174601611326,0.173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x_a{217}	=[-1.328336651784309,-2.3618734325475503,10.574284680350978];
std_x_a{217}	=[1.141115268353871,1.9720933472325395,2.221876448046804];
pred_a{217}	=[-1.328336651784309];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.7 to 21.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{218}	=[-3.0653300409504314,-5.739417534876302,9.262132895737727];
std_x_f{218}	=[2.2136390199154925,3.7062626605150757,2.713096368860977];
pred_f{218}	=[-3.0653300409504314];
obs{218}	=[-3.2272837867716504];
sqrt_r{218}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{218}	=[5.933678438981091];
L_f{218}	=[0.18297739884660166,0.2420191469381857,-0.1788550364850828,-0.02478883101965207,0.10297783645678456,0.322062731557813,-0.23810695569350016,-0.12488757053821063,0.29494968763830387,-0.110705013303661,0.1289376617816822,-0.23621644397227218,0.3127203524129468,-0.15091492187545189,-0.08588985119228877,0.3072576211715673,0.10208195379285383,-0.17777295208324484,0.28174934631556725,-0.22349136302053724,-0.23107836901069798,0.22348643782140257,-0.23173467598607128,-0.2106750396779995,-0.19840423492530992,0.025242833603594007,-0.08462107745167544,-0.15879980990351292,-0.18383292649019514,-0.17862412063334396,0.308703270071402,0.06491565297999399,-0.02098073075790952,-0.14223412534109972,-0.06948285810475877,0.006693333224483142,0.29266742272427115,-0.053015666126651276,-0.22006593303904623,0.052825449985386644,0.18348795177628374,0.25205874136128914,-0.2003387088048237,-0.18423320203446256,-0.1708216430744908,-0.2308840297758832,-0.0067800771297255764,0.07733949738058031,-0.05211119647543711,0.003717561910073165,-0.2078378640448144,-0.059744652607333124,-0.03734259692463523,0.05555684310012223,-0.22903522584491856,1.2077129518402185,-0.22768623604414515,-0.07677365356155362,-0.23367217604642845,-0.20032941620114206,-0.08286309897858045,0.24675401162571392,0.14710114967461713,0.3059612151763314,-0.1970943583080116,-0.06811555599569744,0.3091574103142739,-0.06073651795571812,0.1057977254410716,-0.09432076936342743,-0.07993776407563315,-0.20128700868897945,0.28574989523768707,0.3188307935937848,-0.1443307155332774,-0.05630129494638779,-0.03575998621083667,0.2665876973887935,0.045240246854173806,-0.2316104602920869,0.30307065477816425,-0.21339454758823523,-0.11884513554554471,-0.22756397532419903,0.27826930623617685,-0.23240959741458173,-0.06229037361215763,-0.15589949469448963,-0.1188008915037068,0.08713424612464626,-0.15887458736027796,0.30344991556738,-0.027966522266961003,0.0387571230278153,-0.1477530616647225,-0.23127994191099277,0.0697435496161808,0.31541321623753826,-0.09309215143327955,0.23413715428400012;0.3263327212633526,0.43815442476789124,-0.3053396984122576,-0.06352372658862561,0.17643408310951084,0.5912756897253727,-0.3909845458943423,-0.23106903200183984,0.5380351010684542,-0.20831085041859368,0.22421013900095457,-0.3895602631992918,0.5735496768571413,-0.271820073088079,-0.15865869787215442,0.5633874956641148,0.16805081528144133,-0.3116251781167259,0.5142896148714715,-0.3699975559427422,-0.38079679609122474,0.40248181172447395,-0.3826586400348976,-0.3575626055413927,-0.34097983854451,0.025503902816716415,-0.15718938138675068,-0.27517186023489193,-0.31986187483772865,-0.3047815077885911,0.5664946797150829,0.10592410117641204,-0.056842141729273335,-0.24969820269032253,-0.14027611324077457,-0.006676138641204446,0.5346622620197888,-0.1124200801996212,-0.3646458451332337,0.07647430063931943,0.3262730426222306,0.45676924420976195,-0.33681614445135755,-0.3130858015184709,-0.29315545290389133,-0.3837325679190523,-0.031218074821461106,0.1280539273273446,-0.11079972159473361,-0.004091121807547235,-0.35439400867268683,-0.11480345745176301,-0.08493296301986657,0.08722236620475704,-0.3782694470381132,1.7246448507707064,-0.3771416513574784,-0.15313797424675207,-0.3877144622660722,-0.3371551937093463,-0.15397581528855547,0.44700508277926665,0.25757753778752035,0.5605180072167599,-0.33950200280730713,-0.12912893614610127,0.5664121664832776,-0.1161619665993194,0.18076068940816592,-0.17268899234876792,-0.157649498994355,-0.3379557508271318,0.5224278041618375,0.5852151111622172,-0.2621129504941834,-0.1098191059332385,-0.07363937211706673,0.4852399929767149,0.06962662190800772,-0.38192923103269494,0.5541978256457536,-0.3559720506959625,-0.22186484026125608,-0.37959595610713254,0.5073435743686864,-0.3829452512689572,-0.1283182164193043,-0.27932078344088723,-0.21276245448238998,0.14572033725201572,-0.27524722358231685,0.5559748738244432,-0.060618462262611805,0.050780548181808584,-0.25735608198955245,-0.38417237064563103,0.11442465254716727,0.579485997231573,-0.1708876036776967,0.42358853405856217;-0.22664360626615696,-0.23926173488639813,0.18161718171136296,-0.13027351402421158,-0.1867273392816912,-0.23664559534419227,0.3007179371010215,0.023898017426538326,-0.2397539740152993,-0.0029097250572506462,-0.20238265128385377,0.2928575526485311,-0.2377074557019137,0.07443967204055489,0.01540361037606042,-0.23899854683184374,-0.25120448616223007,0.1365972982397641,-0.2407858863043865,0.27325917889245266,0.2911407170213262,-0.2368512777863059,0.28998801859773904,0.21471628995340836,0.1823933580703799,-0.18780702127848833,0.014565060090401025,0.1402459580249727,0.14757956020200155,0.17992819726905332,-0.238668815988495,-0.1592431373140141,-0.13560959196665054,0.10917308530725603,-0.06902030394756715,-0.16644909545207356,-0.24019512612653707,-0.09327476701518934,0.2673876259082583,-0.21348622193629319,-0.2269000334958772,-0.23999192596702704,0.22469398158245496,0.19030409204112164,0.16311892273345038,0.2736799420666407,-0.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k{218}	=[0.831470476487142;1.3855421908165726;-0.15630244205798513];
x_a_linear{218}	=[-3.1999897991572777,-5.963811282672384,9.287446661710021];
L_a{218}	=[-0.09225672249170748,-0.12202541634923128,0.09017823824832952,0.012498463300328694,-0.05192115387296879,-0.1623831808602746,0.12005289982931917,0.06296798408128217,-0.1487128555383774,0.05581717608391001,-0.06501002941731991,0.11909970879954142,-0.15767277790552092,0.07609090606317721,0.043305436716498384,-0.1549184832037734,-0.05146945219378664,0.08963265414339514,-0.1420572782163476,0.11268375650461952,0.1165091049388487,-0.11268127323219025,0.11684001318696068,0.10622180003660937,0.10003489260457246,-0.012727370207199634,0.042665724338738435,0.08006644583622237,0.09268807727594022,0.09006181108417124,-0.15564737557088082,-0.032730301228973344,0.010578429179815737,0.07171407131787558,0.035033074021756434,-0.0033747609799249095,-0.14756214358076034,0.026730359204963163,0.11095666373136331,-0.026634452727612893,-0.09251414193393305,-0.127087353410639,0.10101024923875078,0.09288989515093742,0.08612782245261136,0.11641111960859184,0.003418497028443681,-0.038994370848336325,0.02627432798941283,-0.001874384922101097,0.10479130355616455,0.03012309646274416,0.018828038999963877,-0.028011613940912124,0.11547895753679632,-0.6089256889096557,0.11479880043281182,0.03870907388535254,0.11781689561354855,0.10100556393245362,0.04177935622354465,-0.12441272265190363,-0.07416801216591491,-0.15426483871602267,0.09937445626466265,0.034343683900172194,-0.15587635188502155,0.030623192358586505,-0.05334293447057618,0.04755628344930767,0.040304410071518706,0.10148837954229094,-0.14407434444446596,-0.16075364625251817,0.07277116656984561,0.028386964600732867,0.01803009084704614,-0.13441281476692027,-0.02281001329011585,0.11677738396126786,-0.15280742577770248,0.10759296876110826,0.059921404275215986,0.11473715689987983,-0.14030265117558627,0.1171803067933092,0.031406642287331435,0.0786041145479648,0.05989909654587075,-0.04393285736335574,0.08010414843294107,-0.15299864806856017,0.01410064685641417,-0.01954123933498312,0.07449670447403217,0.11661073746418565,-0.03516451399509059,-0.15903051275222516,0.046936817525404205,-0.11805133641606708;-0.13231072820427514,-0.16848058637902597,0.14297081100178652,-0.0013890857051649928,-0.08168582912537697,-0.21599320292336144,0.20584433127783242,0.08196889786454835,-0.2012733764295765,0.06917767819207338,-0.09897957917521077,0.20252993683270856,-0.21030200129272475,0.10645692058107861,0.05662918944838445,-0.20677153019178507,-0.0878235151608672,0.13397302406264133,-0.19193144245022675,0.19019649156305854,0.19841452141837615,-0.15769989048439575,0.19819774892610853,0.17050658510029973,0.1563318691785652,-0.037768721842221,0.05491825105719225,0.12286906202135643,0.14092600422637366,0.14295019766690006,-0.20728794884977822,-0.056790743361016874,-0.004252724742171645,0.10681987161645118,0.03388669550454279,-0.0234533660904089,-0.19892558626737178,0.02046675796412399,0.18696216370044677,-0.05593574974777157,-0.1336501373382406,-0.17503059191823625,0.16534443410821345,0.14870539138393934,0.13501889057933614,0.19499162704107445,-0.014223418748987037,-0.06580200287122102,0.01982001099539129,-0.013409406080867874,0.16656363689648837,0.03494997511312058,0.00866841930141258,-0.05203407924473555,0.19582061377412452,-1.302557621722067,0.19356708837672762,0.03929963564201438,0.19799838282901,0.16498209240080816,0.0537253422788587,-0.17149814098155364,-0.11114001494138684,-0.20639150191568945,0.15452642329781086,0.041606650659691,-0.20850879090714208,0.03607763391667862,-0.08442743791241884,0.06373147974215583,0.042719137184116546,0.16658179632386416,-0.19382086077135097,-0.2139527417645014,0.09966034857762558,0.03130335119248316,0.015995104774818088,-0.18297751304724919,-0.043770677445669134,0.19861580409594626,-0.20546632640835355,0.17891374405458307,0.07602737627829904,0.19080633005038122,-0.190154560907129,0.19960286734851362,0.027816213309134523,0.1114503307385448,0.08501886180339137,-0.07268669805004514,0.12298113270091662,-0.20463991736712103,0.009481245805079029,-0.04636642575577929,0.11299552590559914,0.1955442010149919,-0.06039159457250177,-0.2111155000830786,0.06245326640165213,-0.1632898059236022;-0.17490422823722818,-0.17082748993262045,0.13104345838044265,-0.1372828971890485,-0.1576089386342678,-0.14557792511750736,0.23338991806916626,-0.011415662098482809,-0.15635289014140438,-0.03421309131516457,-0.16592375271419324,0.2260641018268995,-0.14928147176715742,0.03176640068387637,-0.008882927238411031,-0.15211722534474365,-0.2223394086689825,0.08632954916729801,-0.16111738062929176,0.21006391985822526,0.22580012761565948,-0.1736574114199251,0.2244618493613619,0.1551450227484479,0.12629182980487588,-0.18066926263414,-0.009362714285481792,0.0953431260505832,0.0955982699563457,0.12941976857354293,-0.15137871737702227,-0.14088734293340638,-0.14154218236770144,0.06895442865334579,-0.08866753844031625,-0.16455646335566104,-0.15743938407023084,-0.10826567632132639,0.20516095434899345,-0.19854909886223834,-0.17501628959881926,-0.16871884750491165,0.16804545420137704,0.13820961837592247,0.1148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x_a{218}	=[-3.199989799157277,-5.963811282672386,9.287446661710021];
std_x_a{218}	=[1.1161109625805106,1.8995279569193,2.69288768639649];
pred_a{218}	=[-3.199989799157277];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.8 to 21.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{219}	=[-7.597900537048875,-13.897627421282662,12.144835497069366];
std_x_f{219}	=[2.063953341726187,3.597540275535484,3.1740986099072797];
pred_f{219}	=[-7.597900537048875];
obs{219}	=[-8.02001590804936];
sqrt_r{219}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{219}	=[5.306301863928216];
L_f{219}	=[-0.21540303411400513,-0.26549800531239043,0.19660796738573622,-0.018498819470421382,-0.13976393690652864,-0.3277977078947482,0.28211767532045756,0.10926632597334433,-0.3085769477134577,0.08913495923724028,-0.1656275404995349,0.2777419517572648,-0.3205022141298606,0.14404333967988892,0.07314061210289814,-0.31628048961031807,-0.15635361577662468,0.1851698132582671,-0.2971070690119436,0.2612819253269443,0.27302356068077027,-0.2507833370103332,0.2725749222788557,0.23519364154994787,0.21599152459488152,-0.07490298082515384,0.07078691985661673,0.16891853941511203,0.19458707184029475,0.19709266282376617,-0.31656258516140584,-0.10132147615366177,-0.023356202170880098,0.14618259315829027,0.03624640988290545,-0.05387335697291384,-0.30605802784170716,0.0156672272717565,0.2568265359934574,-0.10467640762860153,-0.21632129695035857,-0.27443544314613066,0.2279729032075849,0.20511002202534429,0.1864784286439462,0.26821239531181024,-0.039091006710652756,-0.11437187623651718,0.014924057790427,-0.034537590267977085,0.22990353235676875,0.03996664147149045,-0.0027045387433214,-0.09322431129338168,0.2696124141105513,-0.4164382986533394,0.2662602639196858,0.04500325903995898,0.27245692635322843,0.22803736716301046,0.06833254266118846,-0.2699255990210964,-0.18353055697865947,-0.31587051907093733,0.2140481393447505,0.050453949544209245,-0.3181821642876064,0.04130515428381516,-0.1432293046368869,0.08287951455794573,0.04987581119958547,0.22965877699113255,-0.30036928255545137,-0.324871417905973,0.13573018439017737,0.03519141413076928,0.01143528695465669,-0.28536701152962546,-0.0805025588083908,0.27311297251050476,-0.31409307716007334,0.246677506470543,0.10059067649719156,0.2628412537155999,-0.29449348748021725,0.2739068005892598,0.026927769164328187,0.15238404788980464,0.11400537897625702,-0.12462609951354664,0.16891659106313564,-0.3135370618002778,0.0016068150723246067,-0.08974447382466084,0.15386356289831993,0.2690095473167305,-0.10638540582984381,-0.3223078342507273,0.08168405798838077,-0.25886817413297;-0.3990987956892356,-0.4716291833919242,0.34173197226555424,-0.08085519277994807,-0.2799931396771683,-0.5475560959572594,0.5079294556421248,0.1627632278765331,-0.5258130042085515,0.12415888186104879,-0.32265278131544,0.499088176410563,-0.5401301198399857,0.23268607293874047,0.10206976421911981,-0.5356183025812546,-0.32405627434505385,0.3123892656789566,-0.5118700649222054,0.46806109691856007,0.4896413629160873,-0.4511293695762306,0.4896217420616236,0.41252478109901,0.3732257167095733,-0.18500272632897177,0.09764013620345141,0.28714524712545336,0.33019981440758794,0.3418797286645815,-0.5355353609368647,-0.21572372226666894,-0.08964326488572058,0.24273077760746628,0.0216142297302995,-0.14604318275097875,-0.5233252513239853,-0.016944629246070212,0.459120541205005,-0.2365297076072362,-0.4012650811815268,-0.4832178991110118,0.40214894388463013,0.3574283353094633,0.3200588924922463,0.47910918475408965,-0.11868863055704897,-0.23752572774343667,-0.018106554404305808,-0.097327174668787,0.4011610376980227,0.04024902107230744,-0.05239359127387332,-0.20047208311668174,0.48369877510011455,0.6040932101431181,0.47696830816897917,0.03788223555210472,0.48658772431185254,0.4021934229411949,0.09321994028729305,-0.4777399486575474,-0.3507820819516191,-0.5344762406021353,0.3697496857667189,0.05894318804731711,-0.5366871852145625,0.042019096376086744,-0.2852381663873554,0.12098982307325709,0.04775720671495127,0.4058930063817165,-0.5161989063375354,-0.5451435269511978,0.21466833166563373,0.030592133909053562,-0.01317857720340707,-0.497246709578766,-0.17923801838350364,0.49020134285258665,-0.533152418702313,0.43902586280335326,0.14613928433003184,0.4679014087303207,-0.5088400050993103,0.49236421070740355,0.004788408318706485,0.246948390279871,0.18090858771052298,-0.2554284345236303,0.28706375323304745,-0.5317570624829736,-0.031672974206658266,-0.2096542826401097,0.2578184754941876,0.4804058579183732,-0.2247050714884082,-0.5418375459709295,0.11843484158266965,-0.4625098510832566;0.12836329886408002,0.2144491923783169,-0.14722112227533068,-0.12260331473841113,0.026722435865830164,0.34299559028362936,-0.13953747345074968,-0.17166405810346744,0.30014594521583926,-0.1682068309756458,0.05852690308977562,-0.14237788224732592,0.3271992193492794,-0.1741109441041426,-0.13022304326279677,0.31793086175141405,-6.274618979082358E-4,-0.17110209971836812,0.27658046786475066,-0.1413693641470312,-0.13816055230005983,0.1879407697169795,-0.1390594070509316,-0.16236380728524374,-0.167580986741722,-0.08185277079953417,-0.12808231826824198,-0.1482959538484999,-0.17155193501865246,-0.14892051450395863,0.3187303783063673,-0.015351852089978116,-0.12027809777395938,-0.14677843453873948,-0.15069443129766172,-0.09814745445410732,0.2953736650328096,-0.14161721354625714,-0.14211058910818747,-0.05555474109157378,0.1314382149709929,0.2313047629232404,-0.14599156924309656,-0.14796066528040758,-0.1489189658611985,-0.14841068762369658,-0.10971556475995028,-7.004659655046894E-4,-0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k{219}	=[0.8115448337385563;1.316094101307771;-0.8108908525938783];
x_a_linear{219}	=[-7.9404660856259515,-14.45317097112774,12.48712499015293];
L_a{219}	=[0.11846241046745228,0.14601249148124848,-0.10812593160267962,0.01017355560603927,0.07686415806754779,0.1802746501814151,-0.15515259565121667,-0.06009178288024478,0.16970405821432424,-0.04902039644702959,0.0910880283932582,-0.15274613576560214,0.17626244218029002,-0.07921764565874422,-0.040224192980440936,0.17394067514960887,0.08598776840068918,-0.10183543845892411,0.16339611791840666,-0.14369382870171102,-0.15015122347595508,0.13792005637019913,-0.14990449163794894,-0.12934639393184522,-0.11878605493786798,0.0411934200288415,-0.03892976340966033,-0.09289793634552371,-0.1070145259133371,-0.10839249326077202,0.174095815577883,0.05572245695912819,0.012844907314830059,-0.08039414312404072,-0.019933967518988925,0.02962803078998019,0.1683187605512282,-0.008616301602192716,-0.14124355606657066,0.05756752507114053,0.11896741555934705,0.15092769814740656,-0.12537529820002588,-0.11280169622538624,-0.10255512067510068,-0.147505289313009,0.021498373509875428,0.06289961608197255,-0.008207590329827139,0.01899419017801006,-0.1264370612511904,-0.021979934992444824,0.0014873800643257634,0.05126936431237614,-0.14827523947773494,0.22902316521377133,-0.14643170095242064,-0.02474985817489972,-0.14983959895046828,-0.1254107506047671,-0.037579961444415326,0.14844747771745068,0.10093391796245146,0.17371520897400275,-0.11771727657945569,-0.027747503674655352,0.1749865144857311,-0.02271605950824734,0.07876996137335063,-0.045580170740353566,-0.027429552434230307,-0.1263024563199862,0.1651901951532656,0.17866531646323905,-0.07464576755934743,-0.019353765200367867,-0.00628891632194317,0.15693959090567292,0.044272947242667185,-0.15020039613927555,0.17273769231973227,-0.13566202604711156,-0.055320548558764435,-0.14455139229356243,0.16195876041100196,-0.1506369674628542,-0.014809115650753307,-0.08380467667999379,-0.0626980583413459,0.06853899814483379,-0.09289686483567913,0.17243190777008893,-8.836792268314032E-4,0.0493556032724019,-0.08461834634324825,-0.1479436886531121,0.058507400626916346,0.17725545563892672,-0.04492272100933041,0.1423663692911089;0.14233566852880303,0.19572339522212873,-0.15245943929159883,-0.03435678364735968,0.07131580361254902,0.2763922624115451,-0.20119812471835563,-0.11188728901980562,0.24982228357874733,-0.09988967481884062,0.09366660350183521,-0.19904063806554503,0.2654803735398449,-0.1293795254616994,-0.0817755947350753,0.2593805150498265,0.06895228532901682,-0.15305133985021843,0.23493467433106768,-0.1886939939794546,-0.19662736075405296,0.17923659656488058,-0.19551928954156217,-0.17865511487537983,-0.1696879700715146,0.0032725013539254087,-0.08028901035595934,-0.13744635280674236,-0.15891189852142212,-0.15353000748989212,0.2601725286633729,0.038956716106375563,-0.03093539728035725,-0.12471202249149642,-0.06949430825060682,-0.01062776351961083,0.24597850990530004,-0.05632558243717578,-0.18643553689088563,0.026583645989559354,0.14247751740823697,0.20659971526679918,-0.1708809914277072,-0.15813373807463607,-0.1486710328607041,-0.19506625176936854,-0.02042994835610989,0.04995803861314983,-0.05561948576553366,-0.010513905027342937,-0.176721703719352,-0.060210646084738875,-0.04559549536278156,0.03385541948717284,-0.19399573176192675,1.6508474865564526,-0.1923002744713594,-0.07523741267657141,-0.19825671415821186,-0.17099854819069646,-0.07853991340555375,0.2007417760119854,0.11053810879734614,0.259492080034102,-0.1682791313281,-0.06787724998186476,0.2630916589108047,-0.06180504041515447,0.07478128336352943,-0.08733512343414612,-0.07761002975579877,-0.1713745209055383,0.238805693467187,0.2714493442549672,-0.12650142003162532,-0.05786457949491664,-0.04192217634044218,0.22004836302114117,0.023112240868337817,-0.19629212531257031,0.2563481454204393,-0.18101973729637316,-0.10670422485545833,-0.19277319116683334,0.23139526719106268,-0.19612461412610238,-0.06289690693251032,-0.13608231151110173,-0.10565395556040671,0.05783022357859526,-0.13752294934515896,0.2563459081487382,-0.03571184516017098,0.015926342543042083,-0.12893111734784637,-0.19577329025408577,0.042703999340250806,0.2683115323306217,-0.08688521973404603,0.1881780639746376;-0.2052331011784454,-0.19672968982725245,0.1572672077490577,-0.15125258426124905,-0.18973108996107,-0.1646673390974078,0.2973804244905569,-0.0024424260103526256,-0.17774963929499696,-0.030162807400086894,-0.1979817922765998,0.2877632976488218,-0.1691651205457293,0.04897012699108202,-0.016949592891991147,-0.17189525964781732,-0.2427735559455354,0.11567186961583713,-0.18355162385459423,0.2632800412978167,0.28467321763510156,-0.20044938811626653,0.28307955300648113,0.20188246462394777,0.16692681321068473,-0.19785561569214957,-0.018454049885690188,0.11330953783412191,0.12980661792718065,0.15631846721811316,-0.17153262672682912,-0.17226923178652745,-0.15645003469638574,0.07961571551151725,-0.09455932669647332,-0.18158155285616678,-0.17862084814601023,-0.11735325348643846,0.2556387192765033,-0.21766792996988688,-0.20358030606328345,-0.1937156006672266,0.20707188750023964,0.169694864697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x_a{219}	=[-7.940466085625956,-14.453170971127747,12.48712499015293];
std_x_a{219}	=[1.13508562662043,2.276251013584114,2.6552304402598197];
pred_a{219}	=[-7.940466085625956];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.9 to 22.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{220}	=[-15.22971464926123,-20.73640758655665,29.96727413546228];
std_x_f{220}	=[1.730913097199537,2.6364002050766673,3.777668362464455];
pred_f{220}	=[-15.22971464926123];
obs{220}	=[-15.964609092443778];
sqrt_r{220}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{220}	=[3.9999062193782766];
L_f{220}	=[0.06201668583038244,0.1102850577516496,-0.07551835273837976,-0.06970723893455161,0.005358993495770236,0.18582605847727626,-0.06723303200936605,-0.08992891098762647,0.16051712626390613,-0.08852252323286494,0.022572239267889822,-0.06783871530187953,0.17559242851734785,-0.08929012151531318,-0.07269422237275046,0.1700474763687324,-0.006648286314073363,-0.0866943643105891,0.14550254167897064,-0.06900803768382202,-0.06677508969736683,0.09461470761721816,-0.06719107595738032,-0.07997929685352004,-0.08322213452129484,-0.05017737938367044,-0.07229254725916169,-0.07748486359718823,-0.08684200024023427,-0.07653878817943421,0.17036087324550953,-0.01709497162818881,-0.06793936016370465,-0.07800717650582141,-0.08282194396229194,-0.058085515872482944,0.15730966803685925,-0.07798067655847295,-0.06954886814592275,-0.036190234042806746,0.06283486531762539,0.12011516076864323,-0.07342380971066023,-0.0749851896159864,-0.07750394506443106,-0.07206362848244131,-0.06339689376878173,-0.009377436169626146,-0.07794760310276459,-0.045571513625109236,-0.08133530404609916,-0.06668208876491317,-0.07460778692710829,-0.020294624295956982,-0.06792376584384345,1.4636970104748914,-0.06863324988038791,-0.08394755284530528,-0.0716065110699619,-0.07303156388392221,-0.07207732977881912,0.11432946111910758,0.0357174670868909,0.16967691550796496,-0.08349430094839903,-0.06909092581528153,0.1734318542931364,-0.06714678875476321,0.007675349062098095,-0.07362183850400206,-0.08481212134235562,-0.07245406222148877,0.14991217536387225,0.18194243758663442,-0.08980974759074926,-0.0657256251562384,-0.059043612343191554,0.13267146360038606,-0.026715498338890805,-0.06723252009630877,0.1668561324195433,-0.0710104565436205,-0.08918965157058151,-0.07302343874435542,0.14266461398928026,-0.06691992300279304,-0.08016381125750272,-0.08990348998251453,-0.07601826787225106,-0.0038889034434165864,-0.07759382477684527,0.16681161221110505,-0.0575789448748182,-0.042333524860507246,-0.07757081018114022,-0.07157916418419126,-0.014158846338813905,0.1779973598308443,-0.07366546193134994,0.10307335033919865;-0.1521003515662612,-0.11809038685280503,0.09773066587941218,-0.1572654827360589,-0.16798143250964748,-0.042016583156523846,0.22188394763064054,-0.036252198583563454,-0.06972487263683695,-0.05898331254635641,-0.16747898383970572,0.21339803504763266,-0.053650424863784185,0.008568272602981958,-0.05099932788471496,-0.05928209718468243,-0.20883586432098028,0.06587799902229605,-0.0845880245092405,0.1906558029581423,0.21021320007896335,-0.13002305244098458,0.20802070736909678,0.14031471563088907,0.10990856495966589,-0.1901093607406543,-0.0524490504343097,0.06011366764822772,0.07736139544219849,0.09716221597344411,-0.05845402769306296,-0.16389541515252784,-0.16052259418076756,0.030954299627398037,-0.11261040039039881,-0.178994315428678,-0.07334840810762218,-0.13120707305510335,0.18409987084010282,-0.20102374216062807,-0.15164735488730524,-0.1095176313094579,0.14182817991920782,0.10915683242992068,0.08294365095838545,0.19599678330430542,-0.17120346163834638,-0.1655267246761053,-0.1308706034461928,-0.13584082569764713,0.1304086308288385,-0.08094691596436727,-0.14633550982428348,-0.16038797171275646,0.20308180349371893,2.2958176900717313,0.19903342840176866,-0.10467289526087502,0.20071851465103016,0.1425608710685845,-0.055117918130285756,-0.11493717366566085,-0.16387764631185206,-0.059935407654036245,0.10720498032450754,-0.07191228221563954,-0.05642701198234021,-0.08102524881137137,-0.16829402320090397,-0.04008263236222786,-0.09944859520800317,0.14498390681597115,-0.08072708250429135,-0.046059036509932504,-0.0020930801727143873,-0.08544117353703848,-0.1039674258143148,-0.0974286304479233,-0.15646990605382566,0.20918310200762583,-0.06346534849035809,0.16895544193706644,-0.0446682743177399,0.18605349821018363,-0.08813419503491557,0.21139310744152529,-0.12069376615661155,0.01880001952483744,-0.007248812799853856,-0.16770588210565793,0.06019296808251843,-0.06280996504148198,-0.11220255033764957,-0.19490004369530395,0.04105952457312573,0.19655084276404605,-0.16424663932511177,-0.05054837940649193,-0.04188116120986222,-0.12360116762329694;-0.39363914026106434,-0.5096999278890237,0.34397559744985756,0.02746255476514755,-0.22444678357540263,-0.6674285388412704,0.4561116645501114,0.23359499170372303,-0.6181453682983248,0.20351764696756441,-0.28078878696103904,0.45064049388134597,-0.6468843220991581,0.2813791943949735,0.16546784063995398,-0.6360649206418659,-0.24039149606150106,0.33867202913066696,-0.5878256429694312,0.42847641854687313,0.4452181657390605,-0.47453257015885836,0.4428940671288672,0.40215522481453964,0.3791968954135018,-0.07395855710843005,0.16206305271418467,0.30706077310747715,0.3526944433797162,0.3454018356240925,-0.637271780318189,-0.14582268417892444,0.018237640528694334,0.2755596456850122,0.1214331760350686,-0.03543185557841197,-0.6108526874699448,0.08595556091777805,0.42306641031680825,-0.13338392348605438,-0.3938059800037942,-0.5325588104917596,0.38637435226812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k{220}	=[0.74999413857372;0.7455372421614059;-1.0080022014487393];
x_a_linear{220}	=[-15.780881174118539,-21.284298763006706,30.708049352022734];
L_a{220}	=[-0.043853447260319305,-0.07798514059491893,0.05340079132987577,0.049291617011582065,-0.0037894694869362337,-0.13140194684563244,0.04754204749731458,0.06359083369852976,-0.1135054096609532,0.06259634406392277,-0.015961357673788607,0.04797034030221135,-0.12416550804339206,0.06313913074053627,0.05140378277665968,-0.1202445428490351,0.00470115855663612,0.06130361018419289,-0.10288824616027986,0.04879719547385149,0.047218225790968626,-0.06690426995551363,0.04751237939286215,0.05655522912133704,0.05884831538890184,0.035481597105674396,0.05111974892071123,0.05479135709582896,0.061408006998819785,0.054122365067615134,-0.12046615310155474,0.012088253776795007,0.04804150863507176,0.05516069675475186,0.058565331296180405,0.04107362515096606,-0.11123734102239066,0.05514195802294306,0.049179629327401365,0.025590959895462742,-0.04443200108841973,-0.08493623606942063,0.051919691026454454,0.053023779231341835,0.05480485004705932,0.05095787510615011,0.04482942453521599,0.0066310041724326335,0.05511857100981584,0.03222468183478096,0.05751409348353497,0.04715246265912901,0.05275690897391021,0.014350802922053733,0.048030481527214654,-1.035014348066004,0.04853217426300094,0.059361275631580356,0.05063463670552399,0.051642324839506204,0.050967563612880976,-0.08084503269330194,-0.02525665533709955,-0.11998251060808578,0.05904077062731434,0.048855807607873135,-0.12263771553844273,0.04748106287734281,-0.00542741861794814,0.052059721812178605,0.059972632212162945,0.05123395992356188,-0.10600640114790784,-0.12865574779248395,0.0635065704769411,0.04647612489844714,0.04175111754653585,-0.09381509111695485,0.01889115294941688,0.04754168551163358,-0.1179878689927755,0.0502131526261154,0.06306808609563876,0.051636579363515234,-0.10088148119691479,0.04732064080454112,0.05668570356664933,0.0635728579119804,0.053754292999052634,0.0027499344696164147,0.0548684060912973,-0.11795638771339662,0.04071541696501991,0.029935024339919895,0.05485213193305341,0.050615299083772464,0.010012050996797158,-0.1258660911543561,0.052090568956699564,-0.07288557381810311;-0.2573413434516191,-0.30524177542686987,0.22588369826609,-0.038973786415391926,-0.17707553006501545,-0.35735943726812186,0.3359769676200972,0.1163552435069848,-0.342119009092363,0.09123751954875778,-0.20578359199183233,0.32851888665400086,-0.35162702740695356,0.16009170259627054,0.0723612155626912,-0.34784903430856084,-0.19755386437753691,0.21299648445492358,-0.33150273146434156,0.30776096968328276,0.32352910174138033,-0.2905821913767989,0.3220425288340361,0.27603787494609217,0.25113475056707146,-0.1049594191428672,0.07022985892053339,0.19160382698006886,0.22473041589561463,0.22704690551873322,-0.3475527926262515,-0.13488561325303253,-0.04523095039250842,0.163330812814546,0.027936670381882682,-0.08042443503694016,-0.34029955642655996,0.0011244702871304967,0.3021228153134597,-0.13960968760045533,-0.25827677989553527,-0.31335049484452127,0.26642681750338526,0.2364050983801775,0.21446619113277524,0.3182872223821475,-0.0636202863470185,-0.14961341569128994,0.0014048149477759943,-0.05850693996339866,0.2684329054010073,0.03221116510111435,-0.019727688180037325,-0.12594842754413185,0.3183469840540901,-0.1880448888367407,0.315502588225672,0.037784309755717393,0.32223323523870673,0.26649387585868345,0.06719577175500611,-0.30895182841199187,-0.22448942544074374,-0.34787351090814517,0.2488930265483385,0.04533354389904285,-0.3507371661922362,0.03292141821619681,-0.18131892670140395,0.08485205585661579,0.044475764090765674,0.2679369036137667,-0.33512484368320977,-0.3548114688799405,0.150312144177304,0.026093809203671738,-0.003771676165793169,-0.3225692718290927,-0.11113427571094986,0.32327525329155316,-0.34661664306315615,0.28945867071846504,0.10668466032422991,0.30997271481189836,-0.33023299928636735,0.32495478813126333,0.015342510163028436,0.17136432271241378,0.12175256489651978,-0.16110649598478513,0.19186803221006965,-0.3458857097710041,-0.014492310114372414,-0.12306095576809012,0.17269553342309532,0.31801915627038707,-0.14021937935955062,-0.35260609904677137,0.08312755503389213,-0.2985144426782161;-0.2513482585935828,-0.25666225113939617,0.17070653527182753,-0.1324735068575445,-0.21215112638003272,-0.24106983644555646,0.3018524152255698,0.027262391686631568,-0.24985539741387452,4.118584272867227E-4,-0.22899911481664506,0.29499156678623295,-0.2440056269008534,0.07651223085939443,-0.00132154603964117,-0.2459085455654135,-0.25564530249344547,0.13976076245810692,-0.2539850859782774,0.270144601993024,0.2920096177613382,-0.2574488936401519,0.2887310816331389,0.2186509870105685,0.1882523014428996,-0.1890853726850268,-0.003804731895078489,0.1292797548298595,0.1534444413117743,0.16979148969882146,-0.24639634846997632,-0.18504533131792872,-0.1376422058090814,0.09658023437364,-0.0685932220224014,-0.16870307371817606,-0.24992189827872932,-0.09296304900084226,0.2634937141149323,-0.21641867841939055,-0.2496378699897276,-0.2569669774462669,0.21791100278038436,0.18446285322675474,0.15506982925321808,0.276231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x_a{220}	=[-15.78088117411854,-21.284298763006717,30.70804935202274];
std_x_a{220}	=[1.2239690851562466,2.32925021898969,3.4136794886559487];
pred_a{220}	=[-15.78088117411854];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.0 to 22.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{221}	=[-12.876182148043506,-2.4800930561408587,41.314236716628756];
std_x_f{221}	=[1.5656252988775026,2.5882273380001286,2.0652787221482347];
pred_f{221}	=[-12.876182148043506];
obs{221}	=[-13.023291727182404];
sqrt_r{221}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{221}	=[3.470849390701555];
L_f{221}	=[-0.1402384191877753,-0.14789659689737605,0.10319345848898658,-0.06161303147526284,-0.1148540016994373,-0.146612961702493,0.17560392596363805,0.02816092850685404,-0.1487802703981825,0.012185948406688067,-0.1252807872325177,0.17129298929357395,-0.14743888400270155,0.05460726275581835,0.007786435924286342,-0.14783698909766477,-0.1337941412270594,0.08909121622390975,-0.14949519871571051,0.15768614203406262,0.16883272173656697,-0.14658602339414703,0.16728129683881598,0.1319244952651334,0.11551668521789618,-0.09453564779326327,0.006583649052052277,0.08053280913307703,0.09647293643498145,0.10270771100859026,-0.14768547987781513,-0.09823531818014189,-0.0647505335344922,0.062433669318506274,-0.025206078960899176,-0.08265051123804908,-0.14838645649220547,-0.03936573517076095,0.1540232486977229,-0.1100579859717752,-0.1395875112603688,-0.1488975215651837,0.12921686477342836,0.11046904375922881,0.09482544517663291,0.16263229563692608,-0.07445986338601018,-0.10393245982381606,-0.039524539230858614,-0.0625244981259379,0.12681434312132187,-0.014925244673715952,-0.05108136600638041,-0.09468918856659497,0.1646178376419047,1.0771712532681845,0.16261875901805978,-0.019113157140886752,0.165761492833332,0.13025979299033752,0.004544770212010165,-0.148910850437732,-0.1314975796198184,-0.14819410153463652,0.11357604236530024,-0.008028303720268814,-0.14751151301947063,-0.014547638935636195,-0.11690897285711964,0.014966595630083714,-0.01572416079111095,0.1311258747604615,-0.14972412089955614,-0.1464094363093647,0.04876205192570061,-0.018290017409960835,-0.03360243088344399,-0.14933414158425506,-0.0878866258874313,0.16845472408887885,-0.14814289053640933,0.14506229142297672,0.021589423530672787,0.1569405472646075,-0.14952746393530994,0.1692078233215099,-0.032117541081340815,0.062479158232281236,0.037962671442334665,-0.10894629451856543,0.08068847746429406,-0.14861634154311612,-0.04030776463718623,-0.10219885506507471,0.06898704451413305,0.16272775261201594,-0.10008754653018834,-0.14734700677016466,0.014029553332641092,-0.14751146010382823;-0.009185351079629403,0.04633008813102782,-0.028486910071827243,-0.12689264715399848,-0.0650777865202893,0.13586346140296615,0.03558888764794461,-0.09669631553414512,0.10461585314182575,-0.10388069639906336,-0.04919022647160768,0.03209587813162758,0.12309631602763595,-0.0781559022198506,-0.08982891997279534,0.11638242951632333,-0.08751712748172605,-0.05104595303552369,0.0860157768740977,0.01970386731107212,0.03168644406153213,0.02741139486418197,0.02947792376302846,-0.012418546360239015,-0.028425621039316878,-0.12081222603472781,-0.09039361025133988,-0.0470491117787198,-0.0460939765456686,-0.029793179387703924,0.11631466400497038,-0.08417412648891397,-0.12609544037416942,-0.060334931937540484,-0.12077636965384736,-0.1238146762677319,0.10217416014034776,-0.1236589427255329,0.01616265776393317,-0.11151052322354167,-0.007662478289897025,0.057185983155876925,-0.007139415578313728,-0.022153665305069306,-0.03721431664410665,0.020065985842106015,-0.12629376869669065,-0.07804666472746834,-0.12388458326006682,-0.09947721874488669,-0.017112533418320554,-0.09814987062874561,-0.12669958564652872,-0.08572389660030429,0.026565452169249642,2.4557900007788547,0.02434473561982738,-0.11874915405409574,0.02373313257083624,-0.005663822518835595,-0.09175057568735008,0.050434425031061825,-0.03614561080363763,0.11573422086301795,-0.02942930112312829,-0.09593741076992356,0.1209563130542854,-0.0977794075138584,-0.0646602844318991,-0.08695209777298195,-0.1181925190036396,-0.004492100025712463,0.0920003624649899,0.13160301967735963,-0.0827830453738532,-0.09780985018083675,-0.09843626779768146,0.07231703941832013,-0.09015976836752611,0.030426200811259064,0.11225551402205908,0.007847181743893301,-0.09977336208161681,0.014816420352781108,0.08335301191483148,0.03124668845537784,-0.12271901224779067,-0.07291772346252864,-0.0739954130523478,-0.07338967234062228,-0.04713589209501947,0.1120633224636033,-0.1014733614062129,-0.11516580790593185,-0.0553328163604364,0.021148633926981446,-0.0813229609975172,0.12605692000024454,-0.0872194123747183,0.037389398180228205;0.2393665894787311,0.27715185181575686,-0.20190171033023652,0.04004229123069217,0.1677957592858044,0.310225468119476,-0.29037260112808866,-0.10686715034757523,0.30207138139184997,-0.0836150701779267,0.1946050175795164,-0.28433645807684116,0.30716947966266134,-0.14521869101869853,-0.06622318057917614,0.30574130557058327,0.19183480885049248,-0.19133331089971653,0.29570111792024983,-0.2689146074723872,-0.2813354797971651,0.26694261502673633,-0.27989875005956166,-0.24382634862966762,-0.2237413676829189,0.10330643363277409,-0.0655314272911512,-0.17324818667544856,-0.2011826276971354,-0.2033277020822586,0.3046707348358896,0.1281387123542291,0.04554886013536364,-0.14838754678151497,-0.024356298425887955,0.0796731125875941,0.3012961954917972,0.002239151897034505,-0.26419116015504546,0.13662174392098336,0.2400403842422375,0.28307341573573713,-0.23579212427600754,-0.211001081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k{221}	=[0.7118860868238731;0.7333547952778544;-0.6894872094104743];
x_a_linear{221}	=[-12.980907410671003,-2.587976571433676,41.41566688982678];
L_a{221}	=[0.11563329606337863,0.12194783052211873,-0.0850879509792787,0.05080289660425941,0.09470262756450525,0.12088941179929508,-0.1447938509179587,-0.0232200348685658,0.12267646166423879,-0.010047898344011224,0.10330001182995113,-0.1412392770774443,0.12157042430940816,-0.045026304617705376,-0.0064202895021653605,0.12189868103518191,0.11031968011090271,-0.07345997653090934,0.1232659543174189,-0.13001977954773025,-0.13921066859438935,0.12086719987333057,-0.13793144443056357,-0.10877806743228541,-0.09524904187757355,0.07794917122664355,-0.0054285340951683424,-0.06640315981337297,-0.07954655853580914,-0.08468742890738121,0.12177375442393883,0.08099972672819986,0.053389917383697486,-0.05147955182640301,0.02078361983801243,0.06814930666739863,0.12235174322939425,0.03245893483481287,-0.12699954848649422,0.09074808279871731,0.11509659128935361,0.1227731408694532,-0.10654549635731966,-0.09108701964006984,-0.07818812305470646,-0.13409812018539122,0.061395725063219934,0.08569729298866884,0.032589876391368316,0.05155444453014031,-0.10456450213971714,0.012306579367978231,0.042119033806482624,0.07807577295107299,-0.13573529470459736,-0.888179310359612,-0.13408695859453684,0.01575971385857353,-0.13667829320750843,-0.10740544064346609,-0.0037473807998486745,0.12278413116351457,0.10842605502730629,0.12219313735030156,-0.09364888886082379,0.006619721088908939,0.1216303104137119,0.01199522534417009,0.09639704974677316,-0.012340675212810742,0.012965323986375857,-0.10811956656074245,0.12345471162667432,0.1207215953608588,-0.04020664821836414,0.015080995710159206,0.027706814304515427,0.12313315499557427,0.07246673408123117,-0.13889899142233086,0.12215091142851789,-0.11961080985436098,-0.0178015141458295,-0.12940500093557078,0.12329255853694791,-0.13951995782395119,0.026482451515042013,-0.05151705961538568,-0.03130204156373513,0.08983143992949028,-0.06653151581122012,0.12254129446867998,0.03323568326667947,0.08426785280041338,-0.05688312367639408,-0.1341768290351187,0.08252697775126726,0.12149466712893701,-0.011568038940727467,0.12163026678222924;0.25440281678665594,0.32431235030727035,-0.2224464171486793,-0.011086535124835387,0.15079854790651126,0.4114330391580084,-0.2944712868959851,-0.1496268005861482,0.38425904304684905,-0.12678506050153582,0.18628399925571557,-0.28986158172661974,0.40021827398756576,-0.1807941694319623,-0.10446408479694183,0.3942526545574673,0.1639585577230722,-0.21849928425138546,0.3670027258321998,-0.27667854713277545,-0.28564676645357273,0.3029303401364605,-0.2849392723763537,-0.26038009787387784,-0.24554751667193614,0.05687430483320435,-0.10276805087578403,-0.19841630299106452,-0.22742178037329464,-0.22283968923351694,0.3939001165999729,0.10046620024062657,-0.004392168178349952,-0.17768349165568273,-0.07339973626852529,0.03153288794916525,0.38107714856165503,-0.04966821985182018,-0.27333508592273315,0.09535135563513214,0.254702261438589,0.3370495550394548,-0.2500117813702297,-0.22978815675956116,-0.21544554248063047,-0.28561307907537775,0.013658885384589597,0.11730184836518341,-0.049595376764724114,0.018042060231780444,-0.2554691874373462,-0.07009680270851243,-0.03068849428004375,0.09225122516425649,-0.282845581365287,0.4311693670635225,-0.28130888625154477,-0.08282460426178109,-0.2878274829279369,-0.2504964467014506,-0.10029279728750234,0.3303230494866464,0.2110135221328831,0.3942756643443637,-0.2429036193161182,-0.08084763807456632,0.398214782460757,-0.07043607666320077,0.15507851568446504,-0.11508288778172435,-0.08863783093621283,-0.25095258701747475,0.37341758708772976,0.40679005685757424,-0.17443481956624554,-0.06343245055485516,-0.035278088721511905,0.35300126994556674,0.07502944890822782,-0.28619653601205153,0.39070070275898117,-0.26480779999452464,-0.14035223217084375,-0.28016459524195236,0.3644006056674858,-0.2867915523938649,-0.06235179006265404,-0.1903517828569339,-0.14534897700971308,0.13138270269248564,-0.19879567310164448,0.39139839632726225,-0.025712026580588125,0.07692427069489152,-0.18499891481839245,-0.2847098492221089,0.10679876177232674,0.4030061881114637,-0.11358896417337087,0.3146477681279547;-0.008454344489370498,0.015797844931694373,-0.019544411879112756,-0.06883656731063931,-0.035167352648714435,0.05113982446079006,0.019944137985352318,-0.057102844357837725,0.03915579963008391,-0.062080792104035144,-0.026783685174257717,0.018362251982648986,0.04662431558861262,-0.04872000730586877,-0.05246345742901919,0.04449263401960611,-0.044598183124080086,-0.033896650241123136,0.03152215766066467,0.009738897173753907,0.01701559280805128,0.007904575132927737,0.015710737398240405,-0.010697283005361663,-0.01960720112997975,-0.06375130036832535,-0.05389719705347857,-0.03093543037069304,-0.030701433253904648,-0.0218287874817328,0.043689801302677723,-0.04545685754063311,-0.06887440410554939,-0.03805850620062556,-0.06889897129643506,-0.06638192002460973,0.03907653807482989,-0.06732561725011636,0.007989498798063148,-0.057866136305715236,-0.006630304226582525,0.01995063473510765,-0.007447821066888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x_a{221}	=[-12.980907410670998,-2.5879765714336638,41.4156668898268];
std_x_a{221}	=[1.2909330749586705,2.4072572491974307,1.8922532291502743];
pred_a{221}	=[-12.980907410670998];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.1 to 22.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{222}	=[-2.941012919482414,4.408399563070374,30.717823918676267];
std_x_f{222}	=[1.3841545295803754,1.8786405761526441,0.9178867483492319];
pred_f{222}	=[-2.941012919482414];
obs{222}	=[-2.7343315117660536];
sqrt_r{222}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{222}	=[2.9319929397189766];
L_f{222}	=[0.12692193648501454,0.16652296196137858,-0.1172749211333797,-0.020544032895218185,0.06915818167294216,0.216322686021214,-0.14195739147049824,-0.08884489451579809,0.2007505019455192,-0.07830100174776002,0.08901407504333507,-0.13996882321243326,0.20980808782388477,-0.10272606269737782,-0.06589480577852883,0.20563595619412797,0.07500064311339237,-0.117804289928192,0.19058590884720344,-0.13674155341212713,-0.13855267427741413,0.15444119198044592,-0.13874757947748104,-0.13275525657689555,-0.12835856020154218,0.01612314015764913,-0.06503860626437978,-0.1083394554195432,-0.12125367114542177,-0.11799429875763552,0.2056029409450547,0.04065991861615606,-0.016818477551419613,-0.09924349637720004,-0.05216540614796466,0.002370199283924172,0.19907419569862045,-0.03947280432822211,-0.1352243521095544,0.037184796021396106,0.12759712237126525,0.1739921580503709,-0.12666590985346174,-0.11975851064234302,-0.11471392054008005,-0.140467474283758,-0.0074771194706237925,0.050844773077673225,-0.04005929693589333,-0.003277223946943966,-0.13145089530967646,-0.04867981897259278,-0.0299636207343799,0.03648336740089398,-0.13859025129955194,0.6435876936784164,-0.13753605727581172,-0.05708692947248679,-0.14109015918865692,-0.12707727512437367,-0.06384902228468912,0.17022498444730913,0.10256653134692921,0.2063542357205211,-0.12690724033306416,-0.05443257630745682,0.20844283214315487,-0.049294162650004525,0.07103624980691886,-0.07093265301559272,-0.0597808723334679,-0.1278019425367498,0.19444748193067707,0.21337154060880886,-0.09989512755018533,-0.04547706593802413,-0.030540947970763385,0.18290026361126868,0.02746320640846388,-0.13878641347216766,0.20453415528740324,-0.13259306291328568,-0.08463160021384468,-0.13830185542664059,0.18905920297638668,-0.13925090945594382,-0.04717502310461804,-0.10642856661007655,-0.08435827150571962,0.05837955884698776,-0.10781963672619041,0.204552838797731,-0.026092672472136022,0.027322348462148514,-0.10208267123742698,-0.1402418044048322,0.04450130275165526,0.2109134648771948,-0.07038144714190898,0.16121978966798076;0.07619919918670943,0.12579743793820508,-0.08630114274196952,-0.07464583244675614,0.01254280036459134,0.19506635963244012,-0.06381305403073512,-0.104031105705701,0.1723866074484753,-0.10203086204063705,0.03311546709566889,-0.06402746575397865,0.18544928110382125,-0.1028747390133951,-0.08762634528837109,0.18110558322399906,0.009087920917591105,-0.09808743485744541,0.1585748176692693,-0.0699793692280437,-0.06456867472171046,0.1104866871220485,-0.06567101316964126,-0.08513302860737695,-0.09110258881957178,-0.046621460533356036,-0.08825952819217392,-0.09195011147700566,-0.09751286302759544,-0.08779969751259105,0.18062071914464078,-0.015859024337654848,-0.07237454268249813,-0.09308659524045985,-0.09361022018683442,-0.05788678525063366,0.1705767733621893,-0.08530284019951785,-0.07142297969558299,-0.027892429970195306,0.07758724255799411,0.13557961288889261,-0.08047271116341832,-0.08459107389368122,-0.08955153040692217,-0.0718120595164428,-0.06562598085313454,-0.005604161134958163,-0.0861467422999472,-0.05210943458528324,-0.08690915177401201,-0.08143606433258921,-0.08075077052224695,-0.01960315071561173,-0.06709390856636566,1.5846194660717916,-0.06762617157658006,-0.09475099319196718,-0.06940398504281269,-0.07999964036110016,-0.08789398041902959,0.13066206248127843,0.04786853890942182,0.18065578827308576,-0.09125707277758238,-0.08373395180072657,0.18365605617915895,-0.08173941067865245,0.013936425308501784,-0.08962257864626617,-0.09643193831659316,-0.07937475737335684,0.16294745563374222,0.1911073455466903,-0.1030374097720058,-0.0787234032386216,-0.07026806179377534,0.14757837537050145,-0.028299996809845494,-0.06485203985917667,0.1784398804475639,-0.07457434139237806,-0.1028506013491032,-0.07327027438662852,0.1568320890406858,-0.06476180572079869,-0.08989664615863141,-0.10299112189595724,-0.0908358298419054,9.117981139581827E-4,-0.09100472580860791,0.17759436569963286,-0.06847030910702878,-0.03656551060219171,-0.09185828346087213,-0.07056451346602681,-0.011813604633728898,0.18765006544291657,-0.08968019034506708,0.11869540214760076;-0.08249647527705305,-0.08527152107726199,0.060538201091769835,-0.036426164401200174,-0.07001792344476257,-0.08416669602304411,0.10383675356647204,0.01810297738917842,-0.08521380221775515,0.007276296591945923,-0.07507431422506333,0.10223667041207816,-0.08430653068082085,0.033332559727731435,0.0027962324004535927,-0.08448275488148556,-0.07693996954201851,0.05372784675484512,-0.08587908168753706,0.09283675723764238,0.09909735464869113,-0.08489542895037477,0.09857679463681034,0.07889909030645903,0.06992430252346914,-0.05577390542568637,0.0011815197588580962,0.046365393117876255,0.05895241735536689,0.05977995779737503,-0.08498805852948327,-0.06122803367613334,-0.03850846212957743,0.03566192805649532,-0.015408270424847647,-0.04869753025169978,-0.08455081300593235,-0.022021438416044512,0.09063852033176889,-0.06445151545632541,-0.08144619877419117,-0.08551996349743334,0.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k{222}	=[0.6589350586581402;0.7460499955665643;-0.11841112368463963];
x_a_linear{222}	=[-2.804823293965287,4.562594226380855,30.69335054094385];
L_a{222}	=[-0.13147112476769093,-0.17249154649712334,0.12147833712155909,0.021280380577219385,-0.0716369776827628,-0.22407621276196757,0.14704548671865997,0.09202930978946992,-0.20794588405584324,0.08110749847746272,-0.09220455415510181,0.1449856433786871,-0.21732811565494328,0.10640801251385845,0.06825663452648774,-0.21300644476625702,-0.0776888470306476,0.12202667977057853,-0.1974169674284226,0.14164270044600383,0.14351873625071787,-0.15997673674423832,0.14372062732317947,0.13751352511902915,0.13295924054271407,-0.01670103238271611,0.06736974675698056,0.11222260276818385,0.12559969512900152,0.12222349897468579,-0.2129722461710391,-0.0421172681529324,0.01742129234552266,0.10280062261837036,0.054035140103981014,-0.002455152942122751,-0.20620949495055332,0.04088760482612928,0.14007111898993452,-0.038517588783931814,-0.132170510944352,-0.1802284565863121,0.13120592152424143,0.1240509444678328,0.11882554409100506,0.14550216730693197,0.007745117463925293,-0.05266717235967269,0.04149511874321771,0.003394687556403664,0.13616241239845558,0.05042462107856333,0.031037589160377667,-0.03779101927013815,0.14355766012394805,-0.6666554286660733,0.14246568124415154,0.05913306269297141,0.1461471707404602,0.13163203111849223,0.06613752521871215,-0.1763262583965757,-0.10624276317509156,-0.2137504691630457,0.13145590187021428,0.05638357110939161,-0.21591392591822875,0.05106098431489628,-0.0735823603077232,0.07347505035756673,0.061923562962677696,0.1323826723585021,-0.20141694860359857,-0.22101929118113628,0.10347560982403889,0.04710707365162524,0.03163560919716866,-0.1894558501328865,-0.028447553955137615,0.143760853221886,-0.2118651526579833,0.13734551804337683,0.08766500085914951,0.14325892744746965,-0.19583554073746282,0.14424199786187752,0.04886588969778457,0.11024322309557513,0.08738187539097846,-0.060472023021499385,0.11168415251929084,-0.21188450583037732,0.027027896777415718,-0.028301647320339872,0.1057415603524101,0.1452684088753302,-0.0460963367595516,-0.21847311208752018,0.07290408793610742,-0.16699829571984628;-0.2163548843592146,-0.25803670354383773,0.18401664490971323,-0.027291995257962283,-0.14686627437339875,-0.3035557612694183,0.26339763715758446,0.10075569012034963,-0.2903417494025078,0.07845234237177219,-0.17206128853999453,0.25859959095461177,-0.29815674125691083,0.1339080422850983,0.06426067321177814,-0.2928837079460572,-0.16378798232695216,0.17345054377865662,-0.28072423057794804,0.2452088555108225,0.254794169626726,-0.24549906784564451,0.2541410861599515,0.22086681270723504,0.20476290129978372,-0.08378517409882368,0.06165395703917023,0.15777149670119286,0.1819759126791636,0.18417625000818855,-0.2932924721312353,-0.10957982278454788,-0.033608081793570554,0.13566889758132686,0.026630638179052455,-0.0633500762981314,-0.2882877105336121,0.0056816689802177,0.24026810775621343,-0.11360309766999113,-0.21652313924216107,-0.26547096790344943,0.2114912329737353,0.19145136839864943,0.17486317065246057,0.2519643840611214,-0.048391278209356334,-0.12280097047134407,0.006189627811755355,-0.04455545869328953,0.216084146891535,0.030770542508694144,-0.011684856099335849,-0.10369703086136552,0.2523555505279405,0.10115480172864727,0.24939337843316578,0.03683393843445871,0.2558077424323625,0.21291249754906993,0.05927752292472787,-0.2617052122449587,-0.18854652385813947,-0.29498913165897395,0.20126313625157535,0.041732716276400995,-0.29680306237957416,0.03188325359529261,-0.14980158197644206,0.07387663883461335,0.0413625108025984,0.21520773332668186,-0.28525248875300596,-0.300712407967409,0.12722008787181696,0.026100882588651893,1.285874510567193E-4,-0.2740053199540675,-0.09160247551894804,0.25504957152830465,-0.29300976814025836,0.23105164478002252,0.09222458364470326,0.24551443444752064,-0.27894791396305035,0.2562104653225921,0.0188414178265394,0.142325902331714,0.10360933459023286,-0.13365263423940718,0.15751870429529194,-0.29389834823522626,-0.008326900538321705,-0.09954331283269892,0.14344148549050534,0.25269176278316635,-0.11438876385096437,-0.2985038424903148,0.07254850185321295,-0.2529149681476204;-0.03606304859377109,-0.024350359933226873,0.017634061720422187,-0.043942042835120196,-0.044716927831298936,-0.005026683985151662,0.05190271984824586,-0.014400252627094498,-0.011770755476817107,-0.021369530320027138,-0.0425091907974607,0.0510301392909026,-0.007549834924920744,-0.004248990261336806,-0.02131088192243322,-0.009252401801315266,-0.049501553775206895,0.010630041829668731,-0.016154674146937595,0.04281089826668544,0.048408910861887165,-0.028394291611130065,0.04781704626257154,0.030331587762788416,0.02296529796247567,-0.04987537702982582,-0.022612360473314982,0.006730226026614956,0.014592682504689902,0.01661263958477575,-0.00976978382748549,-0.04635291120087551,-0.04466137443091521,-6.455514891491672E-4,-0.03449258814687614,-0.04783041084174769,-0.011721030176416746,-0.036462264143395755,0.041167717936513575,-0.050847740194070956,-0.0347657604614381,-0.021866253681464935,0.029670870194918837,0.021190532890445982,0.0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x_a{222}	=[-2.804823293965288,4.562594226380855,30.693350540943854];
std_x_a{222}	=[1.4337659658833815,1.9154643534137188,0.9233491612251121];
pred_a{222}	=[-2.804823293965288];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.2 to 22.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{223}	=[1.7565458477545561,4.336408823921694,23.717890483140646];
std_x_f{223}	=[1.6191691523171203,1.9202094582730247,0.8558486858979643];
pred_f{223}	=[1.7565458477545561];
obs{223}	=[1.8616979304890096];
sqrt_r{223}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{223}	=[3.6547715449042975];
L_f{223}	=[-0.1818317933942135,-0.22155657873135529,0.15504828079374405,-0.00948379143532979,-0.11748821095530322,-0.2672678187042978,0.2103416691602254,0.09462512458883623,-0.25334176293135485,0.07739376553339987,-0.14067759819147094,0.20727005733669546,-0.2611451764478069,0.11986170040618623,0.0641350314735204,-0.2566334255270639,-0.13089322969861258,0.14903711475126355,-0.24402668681697812,0.19830918480614787,0.2043266854675713,-0.20960795665265008,0.20408935355458235,0.18231768573741822,0.17138608804429178,-0.058726898635032075,0.062296948076177555,0.13645028228993608,0.15571005717778977,0.15549916174484596,-0.25648251695532975,-0.08372614649952533,-0.01466500888502454,0.1195843245917117,0.03612850819862489,-0.040825272820449406,-0.2509801461138545,0.017977069291991252,0.19483403336505498,-0.08497208834471984,-0.1824534356288603,-0.2292477625882375,0.17465808895452256,0.16068826396127564,0.1487665678590225,0.20357200641967935,-0.027789753829424776,-0.09577339472357933,0.018616922545421997,-0.027154326151866436,0.1789406748917041,0.03706332438274793,0.003983079208870521,-0.07861326894922561,0.20295052839176211,-0.05311851725962756,0.2007890602696498,0.043743820507230156,0.20566081198869157,0.1758074584163401,0.06033941247169516,-0.2255488716327586,-0.1558841245131302,-0.25766745665926927,0.16900465476792834,0.04587660681825453,-0.25962973903472386,0.037742986427596076,-0.12003661345305702,0.07176244420297222,0.04786778043017012,0.17702368084213477,-0.2480896118827366,-0.2636917386264397,0.11450309306205034,0.03290065769824312,0.010696567892636448,-0.23731234181778796,-0.06781841140685553,0.20416636103514496,-0.25617382027377494,0.1881010181565748,0.0882120005373587,0.19841820961308,-0.2426957103635317,0.20537404727671632,0.02910942113915684,0.12656158715528001,0.0948722829073592,-0.10554975009864685,0.13591111893073998,-0.25662655259132305,0.004685305593462034,-0.07257003886625091,0.12532889571214997,0.20381849803550756,-0.0880307859192575,-0.2621741722744071,0.0706436439739492,-0.21680070258194728;-0.220198611502611,-0.2622707103158194,0.1808716715753043,-0.02338731698713062,-0.14816637687656042,-0.30618061661589374,0.2483424641038832,0.10409263388948427,-0.29328775491339265,0.08261593437188429,-0.1745631341241392,0.24476950588250437,-0.30036710336115835,0.13509273530583454,0.068579904865374,-0.2954177991453318,-0.1658735037331849,0.17126662817064645,-0.28441918316706305,0.23383744264090284,0.24108633875979352,-0.24963031767299412,0.2410245388697855,0.21313226890904827,0.19916384608606647,-0.08204739764666763,0.06595077181076038,0.15734407095257763,0.17862211865328034,0.18079524331578223,-0.29576805260410594,-0.10914243023681441,-0.029473538571027972,0.13668655733035034,0.031714848357066075,-0.06095940936924132,-0.2908988096109351,0.010644120668095227,0.22997812473567036,-0.1134792159236394,-0.22069950625242452,-0.2697556774051319,0.20439832274346453,0.18688500835797836,0.172047358258219,0.2392308273037623,-0.044352545318206656,-0.12270650677170473,0.011192686544086923,-0.04105737320660045,0.20851250159378146,0.03618250981008434,-0.0067404132863857,-0.10296015488394705,0.239724126633282,0.3153704292907422,0.23705193108109163,0.04195298006181476,0.2419901501300649,0.20565901110398255,0.06428183573488129,-0.2662114941091322,-0.19222841012882033,-0.2977002695491094,0.19574832677051443,0.046713176072834275,-0.29912742770184053,0.03678490960953268,-0.15106493445536706,0.07780852088156923,0.04625071571129433,0.20777165594084568,-0.2886855896515176,-0.30231328087902287,0.12896947846630716,0.03069644972518053,0.00403530930608223,-0.27770531867518294,-0.0901684342845204,0.24124694393456048,-0.2954080917161178,0.22152361516703187,0.09605821909465452,0.23393097756669542,-0.2823774341982587,0.2429961245336983,0.02422753086816839,0.1427016272646754,0.1072156366942395,-0.13442558400578983,0.1566239300514796,-0.2968214975705756,-0.003544892552294153,-0.0985544589158155,0.14362915640904422,0.2401129731266468,-0.11348934677961388,-0.30071889205107666,0.07673691540440358,-0.2575248237746109;-0.0824189637941127,-0.07532238226816762,0.06710690761684303,-0.05570889042431468,-0.08299169595317939,-0.05969845012963834,0.12872557688223998,0.00974797912358882,-0.06539450824561732,-0.003944136011424932,-0.08461338269242932,0.12506255907276922,-0.061924350320990085,0.030380780767423256,-0.010472518961382557,-0.06376080947201965,-0.08725769748110171,0.05852944443438317,-0.06904333224449924,0.11289240957672646,0.12124762029944139,-0.07839272218650571,0.12052322191932056,0.0937893149011099,0.08129254741000617,-0.07452166459311559,-0.01217492128366436,0.04746558336421718,0.06517076769360007,0.06624663877335783,-0.06427740058579218,-0.0780648003445942,-0.05785783466138563,0.03258680515508685,-0.031701963359802514,-0.06779767208000133,-0.065048717086956,-0.04029141503230612,0.1094694842231499,-0.08111303089246912,-0.08247164180614153,-0.07357618880362586,0.08761211561336628,0.07251808638843131,0.06031283607854766,0.11906988613195067,-0.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k{223}	=[0.7263850865331759;0.8445354923389166;0.2797112955911528];
x_a_linear{223}	=[1.8329267524707658,4.425213489884298,23.747302708436408];
L_a{223}	=[0.14135162320008857,0.1722327072166046,-0.12053077052957345,0.007372469294017344,0.09133248380497455,0.20776751577813754,-0.1635145086973547,-0.07355927534160385,0.1969417380000304,-0.06016403501006898,0.1093593506452597,-0.16112671221252747,0.20300792228200953,-0.09317757690045562,-0.04985701693606754,0.19950059661460628,0.10175322004160385,-0.11585783593673377,0.18970042390186914,-0.15416074738405636,-0.158838606355923,0.16294413840087368,-0.1586541102867157,-0.1417293441152834,-0.133231385374131,0.0456528657206381,-0.04842813551251879,-0.10607313785866493,-0.12104521942948371,-0.12088127443826048,0.1993832839534303,0.0650866742887929,0.011400221993344114,-0.09296195167408253,-0.028085425449231823,0.031736576277647824,0.1951058744015973,-0.013974937371344793,-0.15145924899428,0.0660552392407393,0.1418348727862952,0.17821164688499957,-0.13577495947159712,-0.12491515656388696,-0.11564751934877006,-0.1582519371798492,0.021603080180834094,0.07445191267629833,-0.014472343761580266,0.021109114125874625,-0.13910413784252168,-0.02881212886315583,-0.0030963491092437004,0.061112047368673976,-0.15776881524396846,0.04129304615256116,-0.15608854238380124,-0.03400538441737127,-0.15987572393472743,-0.13666845139647887,-0.04690639484219686,0.17533621882680764,0.12118053515143304,0.20030442732126244,-0.131380116941515,-0.03566336073369483,0.20182985801613593,-0.02934048164169611,0.09331355005802373,-0.05578638247770089,-0.03721125077461438,-0.13761391319306188,0.19285884324243047,0.2049875579156375,-0.0890119256023718,-0.02557617280886997,-0.008315252278330097,0.18448085505395398,0.05272038710209097,-0.15871397403316456,0.19914331064513408,-0.1462251663787814,-0.06857386834792929,-0.1542455006229768,0.18866575510922354,-0.1596528000073022,-0.022628957519624338,-0.09838590625564131,-0.07375141021999047,0.08205181407665839,-0.10565400534850414,0.19949525376116437,-0.0036422428578729467,0.056414186968935735,-0.09742764184467799,-0.15844355377974179,0.06843299650182334,0.20380783866429317,-0.054916654332490426,0.1685356045212552;0.15555231030100766,0.19557050180639757,-0.13953178122465879,-0.0037892956097986424,0.09462011685725769,0.24612174685943675,-0.18632341365774213,-0.09144785507744091,0.23023675736169533,-0.0773163755843872,0.1161436570857107,-0.18354896171190083,0.23928297071634114,-0.11259851590967958,-0.06395355777189343,0.23490885279695267,0.10461413101436719,-0.13671489808163204,0.2198559537853085,-0.17596360261131572,-0.1811497233741075,0.18351936126600538,-0.18072108271235982,-0.1636227374523273,-0.15500128293150844,0.03931029170384168,-0.06278433676525588,-0.12462707608247654,-0.14314887874210983,-0.14053994386262864,0.23424675049217225,0.0638755889940433,8.313410319554862E-4,-0.11043150359742936,-0.04294382384549754,0.02340501122419399,0.2277454796868721,-0.02650505017656859,-0.17264160567043166,0.0621135114377739,0.15633602391555254,0.20397917669265803,-0.15652831555261176,-0.1451733307223085,-0.1353750895058972,-0.18144570916843847,0.013074296397331778,0.0752068541421736,-0.02727872528664224,0.015056372866392904,-0.16126399504423194,-0.04040793700870182,-0.01497134835231864,0.059492228839873706,-0.17966814080372145,0.42513853668587914,-0.17787371572718588,-0.0484425474308312,-0.18300285159485027,-0.1576427708713652,-0.06040807373641642,0.19987969294766303,0.129902293127075,0.23476318225554765,-0.1534956290456975,-0.04808970179247239,0.23739103229281758,-0.04121004208213324,0.0969877702626964,-0.07048680226737811,-0.0526668733724528,-0.15804341971697594,0.2239854818631221,0.2425992012085927,-0.10764834267651659,-0.03729194893323352,-0.018068884744731114,0.21269478973757805,0.049976642248579915,-0.1806578117091648,0.23396879729216336,-0.167182505171884,-0.08622970700082984,-0.17609536476333026,0.21914727270034762,-0.18140428497808378,-0.035926370834238615,-0.11883477487278912,-0.08883559884941378,0.08369037445986657,-0.12423304918354947,0.23349095161930813,-0.013226961143336385,0.05140973871050527,-0.1153599192273207,-0.18107293219758713,0.06842410377160624,0.2410575765538027,-0.06924643463179943,0.19048848744113359;0.0420302489514449,0.07631524549222574,-0.039011148649040046,-0.04921799927740149,-0.002580481350173863,0.12322483852682549,-0.015236348840093925,-0.05501529489582544,0.10799751722940652,-0.05691393305436813,0.011669099150053222,-0.016797095830129286,0.1168084830002451,-0.051654896137298074,-0.05436778077066941,0.1118840938469349,0.0023281724354963364,-0.043474452983340336,0.09797327412773969,-0.022834250039026827,-0.01859753370076973,0.0650670364381779,-0.01915949750781881,-0.030992452005973205,-0.03600742161362683,-0.03432783398906416,-0.054812163098262735,-0.045923641330258155,-0.04140022118913047,-0.04018000917695588,0.11126421797421938,-0.02076099871791596,-0.04782081761073608,-0.04925903035225468,-0.05642901641835385,-0.03985606204697169,0.10672697194734766,-0.052595270585280414,-0.023878714217345557,-0.022956482455858532,0.04240303496452978,0.08332543464312678,-0.03192727441459123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x_a{223}	=[1.8329267524707666,4.4252134898843005,23.747302708436404];
std_x_a{223}	=[1.2587028024265146,1.5137766260585792,0.76271884641802];
pred_a{223}	=[1.8329267524707666];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.3 to 22.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{224}	=[3.8463440768812824,5.744204653025332,19.684064154203277];
std_x_f{224}	=[1.5299996536120548,1.8597473809454077,1.60641943216671];
pred_f{224}	=[3.8463440768812824];
obs{224}	=[3.976554592675173];
sqrt_r{224}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{224}	=[3.3695590060024188];
L_f{224}	=[0.16929284080968215,0.20309772640837698,-0.1476948527794343,0.010712438980596883,0.11214065329250496,0.24301188549712643,-0.2023870862673194,-0.08945599570269282,0.23000299256738066,-0.07310380664449356,0.13262797143614335,-0.19947586039106063,0.23773317528500498,-0.11363678663654857,-0.05846438073502074,0.23428317746064622,0.12316607838490173,-0.1428016339284335,0.22272004629755388,-0.19017447340450117,-0.1957144584118709,0.19262101026251363,-0.1955712546184658,-0.17493097946912756,-0.16373701913846164,0.05663860142090538,-0.057072022814190465,-0.12943236533576066,-0.14984776766929894,-0.14785131834153703,0.23392126188616857,0.08128147726347039,0.015541527221899037,-0.11229478463348283,-0.033330383260473787,0.040110059810634514,0.2286792504901668,-0.015153344290640252,-0.18642946585535575,0.080735183306852,0.1695420111025488,0.21005630323195137,-0.16744468098390541,-0.15376686270506304,-0.1419125223261573,-0.19651643151178522,0.028586834235196406,0.0930927897092416,-0.01576731973054571,0.028986966944803728,-0.17207824660440435,-0.031911201753956564,-0.002242816960935356,0.07675808765383843,-0.1947711725614151,0.23207199709710885,-0.1918982662846579,-0.04001046582835012,-0.19823327584708192,-0.16802861521859752,-0.05465942043429986,0.2066796490862617,0.14571352844714971,0.2345286279344548,-0.16297936320044706,-0.0410378389395892,0.23585569483470817,-0.03241272724361261,0.11452960480660802,-0.0658069588604617,-0.04446287583780533,-0.16894721709252425,0.2265445629247747,0.23989899415511823,-0.10917849245083645,-0.028369453102800143,-0.0069929690656858265,0.21749657900115563,0.06622255746164102,-0.19578594168769592,0.23357383266427448,-0.18031365693508114,-0.08325438751088261,-0.19027171433779724,0.22223300202545765,-0.19704712214310946,-0.025668750067978564,-0.12121384119799081,-0.08809381030887017,0.10137328013548741,-0.12921464630627227,0.23328394718399026,-8.938404000414547E-4,0.06983137155983928,-0.11821534065810041,-0.1959704515072305,0.08530964721391628,0.23918357745207736,-0.06477580876802023,0.19903774175801833;0.2098201760592728,0.24096430438856353,-0.18312553080813765,0.028709041736259985,0.1503102063687287,0.27440850163879915,-0.25965770811390415,-0.10355360332429413,0.264676125117973,-0.08089057669712384,0.1722465178855127,-0.25526480502830257,0.27021716031755155,-0.13685845915469544,-0.06134527197546392,0.26807926933264686,0.16191968018479908,-0.17684449299774377,0.2584727903520246,-0.2428872880366888,-0.25046151071311423,0.2323038285572495,-0.2504669756508525,-0.221500976738695,-0.20710650004225437,0.08531747574168495,-0.05973460553765797,-0.15796732892153237,-0.1863747259909842,-0.1836273317829361,0.2674753144175099,0.11516381521620778,0.034595052967410604,-0.1346841214269802,-0.028093890023276915,0.0651351584396496,0.26261335504556554,-0.004560319225872647,-0.2373810771779806,0.11376839379418173,0.2099929221685739,0.24773035856266667,-0.21069326815906494,-0.19180742839144593,-0.17560252376627447,-0.25114066349772646,0.05098934682767505,0.12818227141921384,-0.0052206706402192216,0.05232894485433218,-0.2176869944555503,-0.02619090240089502,0.011971103847921554,0.11026966772406688,-0.24885413932480765,0.2809342439321533,-0.2453884621362186,-0.03688732534520853,-0.25368327547407993,-0.2119051810403727,-0.05629280136258701,0.24436098185170163,0.18617464606492448,0.26798617922547696,-0.20478408325989564,-0.03764618764797085,0.26946377777488784,-0.026554463466895543,0.1523791815667718,-0.07163777551555801,-0.04260353297054801,-0.21325322504215877,0.2614727256663146,0.27272460791803477,-0.1297410365046329,-0.021334720496678675,0.00667929419549122,0.25326425745055814,0.09772345401682479,-0.25029725977192224,0.26735903702825337,-0.22867632408413077,-0.09476308690228366,-0.24285321796082718,0.2581358059423755,-0.25127259677971175,-0.017864214133878963,-0.14725024307428047,-0.1011789716503458,0.13778795275097627,-0.15739602547038156,0.2667530374448516,0.013944571973365601,0.10141070506927256,-0.1427515703888525,-0.25060617247921185,0.12046970511148845,0.272342489636853,-0.07055496698261465,0.23773297235908794;0.15059987103297,0.21262495163188452,-0.13196349680103253,-0.052184777101677224,0.06313834678543442,0.29265743626830154,-0.13419869219461314,-0.11664897621365473,0.2664265703177145,-0.10940467533328187,0.0930154638466232,-0.13402558464441894,0.2811197445698081,-0.12641713659286674,-0.09962819664049834,0.2739595073832031,0.07641648726867588,-0.13321227607606487,0.24932543866842083,-0.13559520723739887,-0.13464488772749836,0.19280514274283064,-0.1348893436398392,-0.13618670529735974,-0.1360722599695174,-0.006705011353006262,-0.09905335921687457,-0.12907221353451048,-0.13470821388490523,-0.13337536803403227,0.27260920111759224,0.023113940272068315,-0.0475846305215564,-0.12405421431879664,-0.0860594172317666,-0.023366100118041314,0.2632916702334085,-0.07167825837462863,-0.13512464707973448,0.020858063950922098,0.15135004241083186,0.22471482796821915,-0.13424922629511005,-0.13317941394818736,-0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k{224}	=[0.7032252593830132;0.8532210902513793;0.6920673680812309];
x_a_linear{224}	=[3.937911400624837,5.8553030112731905,19.774178603165254];
L_a{224}	=[-0.14465991935503422,-0.17354603173358957,0.12620454231874853,-0.00915372765686515,-0.09582364962468538,-0.20765248896643634,0.1729387931462748,0.07643971866904699,-0.19653645243993662,0.062466851658700834,-0.11332996457743309,0.17045116461768656,-0.20314185644392765,0.09710208838121305,0.04995753253250649,-0.20019384987342004,-0.10524482241080532,0.12202331031279423,-0.19031320983250383,0.16250317411241605,0.16723706469255675,-0.1645937281068231,0.16711469773890256,0.14947768175943968,0.13991249642169723,-0.04839741287784876,0.04876776937667935,0.11059933451321499,0.12804419775164524,0.12633824139005786,-0.19988459475331635,-0.06945463192510407,-0.013280160364852307,0.09595535411525531,0.028480652409589535,-0.03427385345878233,-0.19540532119291687,0.012948459914541972,0.15930308314901587,-0.06898782636303412,-0.1448728341735192,-0.1794921022071531,0.14308067566065621,0.13139304563621515,0.12126356871906975,0.16792234685454074,-0.024427312550849085,-0.07954734168004994,0.013473098979005033,-0.02476922402936326,0.147040035228266,0.02726796862862721,0.0019164763208253575,-0.06558941722960263,0.1664310314639624,-0.19830440687312004,0.16397614684909892,0.03418875087927217,0.1693893820930149,0.14357964465955322,0.04670621223083955,-0.1766067674577974,-0.12451151019315077,-0.20040358612438597,0.13926508306170016,0.03506663626833264,-0.2015375584167241,0.027696519750701587,-0.09786499721930562,0.05623173027414888,0.03799331384733883,0.14436458554876067,-0.1935812409212354,-0.2049925382659686,0.09329249741279658,0.024241561417302382,0.005975458479260756,-0.18584978211614725,-0.05658685728272834,0.16729814680841334,-0.19958771815191753,0.1540771538009916,0.07114047425559095,0.16258626602286724,-0.18989703284128098,0.1683758194500899,0.021933823645577027,0.10357664511122341,0.07527573779262874,-0.08662298097791873,0.11041329464822609,-0.1993400124013405,7.637823287023767E-4,-0.05967057159643367,0.10101444080174403,0.1674558095630016,-0.07289668380038046,-0.2043812181293806,0.055350617472791845,-0.1700767943500442;-0.17109776273915775,-0.21601643353347383,0.14919578072993586,0.004605481559251406,-0.1020122563142144,-0.27238122723786107,0.1957240515142824,0.0977271675178608,-0.25284289947403876,0.08359689490626443,-0.12617350545893302,0.19356654080295438,-0.2646951884885838,0.11883038350542226,0.0702027090035234,-0.25907040000146486,-0.11521057815261977,0.14446681463290917,-0.24265921593363823,0.18501544001048933,0.18990647965637228,-0.2011037381629128,0.1895787985306894,0.17210307534452646,0.16131054309389564,-0.04212240421124962,0.06868049571212338,0.13326240992448088,0.15079075910063955,0.14904603563135743,-0.2588600255333287,-0.06772385229301355,-3.7421381806890686E-4,0.11798514500991232,0.04690125348201946,-0.025114619608111118,-0.251927179132195,0.029535515219853963,0.18209518375114142,-0.06789008311880482,-0.1714856631044191,-0.224907549077412,0.1660662122660648,0.15417622996632707,0.1437082352453052,0.19103180920385435,-0.013332557876405332,-0.08128148028724372,0.03025664135602326,-0.012893279829379229,0.16949825623255219,0.0456110068739526,0.017017561865730373,-0.06244013143441724,0.1893914074721397,-0.24124015141894836,0.18639289201047018,0.05313836092012913,0.1923521887297475,0.16616818261814723,0.0666938156034364,-0.22067927351283134,-0.14168857984391953,-0.25971576679152975,0.16192819352673496,0.05469114302027486,-0.2612241396858872,0.046375904961103304,-0.10531854968800987,0.07643139863162537,0.0574403137519929,0.16688704192260254,-0.2482646474120233,-0.26706094908679623,0.11591640598725425,0.042498065042704564,0.022413848296197664,-0.23611466827712702,-0.05128083919252091,0.1902315717882228,-0.2581945686067735,0.17703903994672854,0.09256373409555668,0.18526830738280364,-0.24190032470351938,0.19209395820235328,0.03989184525210824,0.1254873772654111,0.09703680926078438,-0.09030734492233983,0.13334383392442006,-0.25814831036811164,0.015955760640116775,-0.05571361271534582,0.1232392634967974,0.19033781603505506,-0.07148156005085843,-0.265833341554406,0.0751940643521142,-0.21011258313484885;-0.158371482782825,-0.1580426984895453,0.13759000821804415,-0.0717357324679766,-0.14152624091868626,-0.1508563644114612,0.2351719896356106,0.04661451423880278,-0.15334508485297219,0.024014918785464332,-0.14903992191263216,0.23003190499203421,-0.15276003831664525,0.08097799980183838,0.007073414480840777,-0.15362378657108064,-0.148370277492076,0.1274107600248939,-0.15715432679214092,0.21148659626928654,0.22254777846930238,-0.15874176278213872,0.22204196555150088,0.1830746485342564,0.16275932812962898,-0.11007444667911907,0.005107100667722349,0.10715096609969543,0.138774512387653,0.13646369765209437,-0.1543135714320142,-0.1252304784885267,-0.07594901192805337,0.08089167393447688,-0.025229121101494906,-0.09656978328652345,-0.154064062446147,-0.044022338148330405,0.20512225397640593,-0.12648932987612865,-0.15807606473268515,-0.15865271478616655,0.17134910571594075,0.14745593669490775,0.12784731782159087,0.22239293563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x_a{224}	=[3.9379114006248375,5.855303011273194,19.77417860316525];
std_x_a{224}	=[1.3073773553931192,1.5912764595957871,1.399612282318];
pred_a{224}	=[3.9379114006248375];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.4 to 22.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{225}	=[6.35367301531657,9.414316427924557,18.816533078105994];
std_x_f{225}	=[1.6105671603593803,1.8880296408253052,2.666123618067189];
pred_f{225}	=[6.35367301531657];
obs{225}	=[6.685806215041553];
sqrt_r{225}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{225}	=[3.6235289967343975];
L_f{225}	=[-0.17205353441971988,-0.22275525770775906,0.1477413671543814,0.019749211074239707,-0.09490471866385579,-0.28516793086534975,0.1784908591836207,0.10716968645303966,-0.2635960673641097,0.09537517333980354,-0.12211454287749773,0.17715671292702145,-0.27688876219965286,0.12512097972187852,0.08238345873985473,-0.27062909210273056,-0.10930133121712587,0.1448049114359943,-0.2523546223470273,0.17209134211418123,0.17546001871581535,-0.2062275315164617,0.17492422326241802,0.16404870743272715,0.15684588378252556,-0.02920755057822614,0.08134896278690314,0.13677685488383554,0.1496347625509927,0.14835800983369338,-0.26991432922796665,-0.05733314995248982,0.01410039576772325,0.12414817239622833,0.061224591049065094,-0.011049287330185141,-0.2625501837132296,0.043851139789056366,0.1705405012674059,-0.057360269873289356,-0.17261861043536939,-0.2322826679048702,0.15973100005199128,0.15140939794636327,0.1439794048314254,0.17654103005017366,0.0011873607457072565,-0.0718584022959673,0.04479897147613235,4.218618563412941E-4,0.1627604778894703,0.058878325649452744,0.03187275449746496,-0.05240023538104746,0.17531396121580045,-0.2825311212507122,0.17283558738519939,0.06718604269544026,0.17679566868666124,0.1597063814619754,0.07940722576755503,-0.2283036643509621,-0.13964569715928904,-0.2709133504847404,0.15750961071490246,0.06861179734527335,-0.2728903709953576,0.06046273808347927,-0.09886423664630183,0.08801092541050011,0.07074652048057432,0.16021029269184606,-0.25789033061842515,-0.27939142392580424,0.12248767023702338,0.05679093161499397,0.036483605734481235,-0.24455838178965045,-0.04045357894391219,0.17509923628894777,-0.269671701268651,0.16709449717288394,0.1034342514453424,0.1730338472044643,-0.2508694177463876,0.176121970068383,0.05460236205852394,0.13041199457716118,0.10672953010658758,-0.08176303896653354,0.1360552792251652,-0.26925602253669867,0.030292821964989253,-0.04388771485150636,0.12839940273957284,0.17557126959180266,-0.06250020456946266,-0.27810760922164474,0.08768781689101705,-0.21595380621751004;-0.18778853389118885,-0.26555612746828605,0.15670956476739306,0.06692652543473987,-0.07545437139235792,-0.3655429278539838,0.15347576169708257,0.1415564788490136,-0.33121458250567803,0.13444862270141808,-0.11449843540149406,0.1542736399182568,-0.35175922219532074,0.1514477609533099,0.12435849855992898,-0.34169735103537635,-0.09614260774545474,0.15704683026584126,-0.3124020698464734,0.15574374166099847,0.15521935152679328,-0.23989016428862672,0.15495382346588912,0.15846373006597636,0.15738777155218206,0.010449342272172615,0.12382921892786677,0.15489619785361855,0.15830380970084387,0.15780151994657413,-0.34092616730845876,-0.02579183643615665,0.060834656841576545,0.1501470903376225,0.10799104374696943,0.031822960026500105,-0.3288097800259404,0.09106515822025293,0.1568616684760217,-0.024966979892835254,-0.18859368730242987,-0.28060890239814745,0.15799540708438223,0.15770841572247493,0.1564796700322723,0.15602972464630216,0.046487686617102,-0.044669984536291944,0.09262732619475805,0.045567570507759676,0.1584990678608806,0.10513922235396743,0.0796477205199561,-0.017760393261054375,0.15629187393695682,-0.39333953153120976,0.15473977641679285,0.11286563455955136,0.15482971548488506,0.1572910595978256,0.1220045458107031,-0.2738162236069984,-0.1395046056042983,-0.34278388211830946,0.15913553109735926,0.11491794249990155,-0.3457119104538256,0.10624204321037392,-0.08168358448200314,0.1273591169722029,0.1158826511659652,0.15676731628980947,-0.32211951777385706,-0.35634182025341965,0.15101449255532906,0.10420123423979373,0.08384702739856084,-0.3001982476764911,-0.003468855015223613,0.15441656157860356,-0.3404997186184912,0.15750264474094366,0.14075735433174086,0.1564487743310515,-0.31011724268591706,0.15495338892649577,0.10250082399141555,0.15297650803717544,0.14185180099791253,-0.05822373184260124,0.1549751105316106,-0.3398138083989171,0.07788827521168441,-0.008215100158203556,0.1519660341791063,0.1557767463656432,-0.03132512397837895,-0.35363902858139273,0.1278774359995925,-0.25460194220261956;-0.30862300419408933,-0.3458171297497594,0.2661644726592415,-0.059566022594077415,-0.2308330646931856,-0.38091599314007885,0.38700564701390955,0.13910541166022533,-0.3695858354814262,0.10648864235957908,-0.2605221131253684,0.381150567049359,-0.37711645669145416,0.18954384847284406,0.07712314681036267,-0.37385557071712117,-0.24811133864389417,0.25348634694403815,-0.3647734518097938,0.3591002490076762,0.37185958500192046,-0.33425654594748544,0.37152730028193426,0.32399329008335476,0.29784465329674353,-0.14194956707172313,0.07392186568910178,0.22591150534045149,0.26871808032982325,0.26584636655664073,-0.3738829913136594,-0.18232550142067072,-0.06864748347304883,0.18870006838211217,0.025394829371102042,-0.1124404299265525,-0.3694933437930169,-0.009528171723444868,0.3514948367593696,-0.18293626708597704,-0.30917877054472825,-0.35314099551392586,0.30895547428533043,0.27874331175460765,0.25307342114775033,0.3732561482119095,-0.0922411369013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k{225}	=[0.7240259424165715;0.8349085967379941;1.1551507236387752];
x_a_linear{225}	=[6.594146068255282,9.691617291637042,19.20019698411277];
L_a{225}	=[0.13503102792295762,0.17482274644905293,-0.11595035661942586,-0.01549957274063641,0.07448310643045258,0.22380545081669426,-0.14008316813545066,-0.0841088965288723,0.20687542428390435,-0.07485232859551086,0.09583791640609664,-0.13903610367940328,0.21730779496180552,-0.09819742769920266,-0.06465617317894587,0.2123950816572127,0.08578185363859943,-0.11364576790265592,0.19805291516710177,-0.1350607001518002,-0.13770450439443216,0.16185145896944847,-0.1372840014906545,-0.1287486808613607,-0.12309576193287255,0.02292266526805875,-0.06384428022725301,-0.10734518981736572,-0.11743633089790437,-0.11643431003037706,0.2118341215698417,0.0449961937617622,-0.011066270396930318,-0.09743394920632242,-0.048050273953398066,0.008671699951082405,0.20605459404090737,-0.034415244657891246,-0.1338435694814464,0.0450174780137547,0.13547451079301356,0.1823000470270293,-0.1253600584313848,-0.11882909997081842,-0.11299789393861281,-0.13855290354047148,-9.318642743897833E-4,0.05639590002990235,-0.03515912177401954,-3.3108555598912394E-4,-0.12773765275308396,-0.04620887831012783,-0.02501437019032535,0.041124744520777454,-0.1375898755701574,0.2217360303081152,-0.13564479860877954,-0.05272893950036277,-0.13875274899525858,-0.12534073727342615,-0.06232036648399307,0.17917724608135077,0.10959671416244716,0.21261817327603902,-0.12361666799993631,-0.05384790004123291,0.21416977820338753,-0.04745235662832731,0.07759061471298995,-0.0690727206895929,-0.05552327311777427,-0.12573621680589167,0.20239744886522976,0.21927193354556346,-0.09613075416193123,-0.044570650051092786,-0.028633057735652518,0.1919342708745108,0.03174877148779398,-0.13742135518671142,0.21164370233283059,-0.13113907708796332,-0.0811772530114638,-0.13580039684906794,0.1968872971251555,-0.13822401695122816,-0.042853017234727155,-0.10234992114883808,-0.08376345309402097,0.06416925542966606,-0.1067788829219971,0.21131746941555563,-0.023774407787758977,0.03444394949267212,-0.10077039913822954,-0.13779181628949186,0.04905140075659133,0.21826437029061507,-0.06881913871196246,0.1694848323562445;0.1663252153616137,0.1929098943935,-0.14736584768618852,0.02627948379231931,0.11987475021613433,0.22137837838928337,-0.21388703364472333,-0.07901591220431126,0.2113083712796914,-0.061848770031031244,0.13683286541999376,-0.21034326860076813,0.21812222801247386,-0.10607126874248439,-0.04519986331374508,0.21530069486118003,0.1288170498759851,-0.14098488568676495,0.2069841884014048,-0.19844782188653157,-0.20590548837247316,0.1845591481346498,-0.2050682635171116,-0.17917480229550073,-0.16542619532401112,0.0705631625236972,-0.043599984473578934,-0.1266124910394946,-0.14966851393781347,-0.14754304197177667,0.21460078203513794,0.09220897508232094,0.03181378244863223,-0.10536974596790886,-0.01801897723850522,0.054564164246800696,0.21156057757973107,8.12484411003326E-4,-0.19413801605200326,0.0930896487692204,0.1666830789566162,0.19746605662931163,-0.17075659147861416,-0.15391639198476514,-0.1398530210222826,-0.20732000983525462,0.04404390790138952,0.10322612430077645,4.238628623342406E-4,0.04469931119463613,-0.17648808163305185,-0.01604180839773491,0.014048483444255409,0.09008768945979269,-0.2045323562183064,0.1881547979175713,-0.20098356318039992,-0.02541400936977644,-0.20904410612208538,-0.17141026996123987,-0.041428251598250955,0.19606930838243627,0.14790862048767026,0.21479921308717015,-0.16504449218271267,-0.026296133007770738,0.21594020982414355,-0.01819996226799217,0.12179485973544762,-0.05378147323672943,-0.029725026691159593,-0.17297114334334562,0.20866011531729753,0.218690508894165,-0.1010847641740452,-0.012683605037533142,0.00875791948531203,0.2031420979828393,0.07979109403980204,-0.20596573026273693,0.21452786349829084,-0.1864046110615264,-0.07212691278895367,-0.199682615749747,0.20621222645667592,-0.2075338529488255,-0.00987958837160264,-0.11543227823395208,-0.0778146777495403,0.11005770670146893,-0.12504846000736297,0.21435824026571737,0.015540792507251782,0.0821128509915379,-0.11230051552752585,-0.2055770656668397,0.09731031407759663,0.2187510041450861,-0.05259814509089562,0.18986560240790698;0.18131655960726623,0.2885006374724028,-0.15454377505657643,-0.11580386677302772,0.039417567597984364,0.4311280728508787,-0.12126483976156742,-0.1660709371466622,0.38103020213554106,-0.16510165644585043,0.08721120181632036,-0.12332080547246387,0.4113518524957275,-0.16675059461480235,-0.15747195160236246,0.3967877048421842,0.06313508079198783,-0.15886005084733137,0.3538314522565509,-0.13094697596666946,-0.1277802818809964,0.2529968759352846,-0.12658683571954732,-0.14315173214964638,-0.1487896116930551,-0.058778159763731054,-0.15772740253389317,-0.16357420238370826,-0.15738179922807166,-0.15661783256315334,0.39472492581918706,-0.019063650544905976,-0.10879976383836869,-0.16482420902193348,-0.14894828734348992,-0.0809764845148832,0.3781444360309472,-0.1343986567902143,-0.13413621454811625,-0.01959718953648138,0.18236990345337858,0.30830702051057657,-0.14589444643828217,-0.15241001872161167,-0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x_a{225}	=[6.594146068255282,9.691617291637042,19.20019698411277];
std_x_a{225}	=[1.2640050664216966,1.494128180025403,2.1461125992199106];
pred_a{225}	=[6.594146068255282];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.5 to 22.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{226}	=[10.203170669562148,13.901691899934143,23.82598803628309];
std_x_f{226}	=[0.9745850250840493,0.9765994601591015,3.274389901622117];
pred_f{226}	=[10.203170669562148];
obs{226}	=[10.802331501389974];
sqrt_r{226}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{226}	=[1.9625705852531872];
L_f{226}	=[0.11293632779185638,0.11138927699643032,-0.09963882072667091,0.04820385320397982,0.10196259110973474,0.10082881989961673,-0.16161104331658227,-0.03791765946580502,0.1048847109139876,-0.022844208378143622,0.10754517848685118,-0.15778570685752613,0.10326385407505236,-0.06118004946801568,-0.009000160547686329,0.10505869721609039,0.10531191514784573,-0.0933953237876397,0.10793751803936454,-0.1466853138559558,-0.15379839777968302,0.11269885438169445,-0.15324670068462232,-0.12866611187846486,-0.11581591640759052,0.07752222462436548,-0.0070987975167125066,-0.07864991671183552,-0.10084588932577561,-0.09998558943941,0.10504279417994962,0.08965688513082305,0.05205581401937763,-0.060882242792623706,0.014310288584505662,0.06769378800533493,0.10616048114984762,0.02823958289437861,-0.14327147329272644,0.08988155447268134,0.11331399288163932,0.110623612524077,-0.12060928293418345,-0.10522528479164263,-0.09319674654953945,-0.15449849953163267,0.060294051761274774,0.09472056701341301,0.02868164781484229,0.06051518349129461,-0.12596506819982875,0.015623407768823228,0.03867817623198078,0.08803019242266057,-0.15268462123129217,0.023019024402554874,-0.1496683889140602,0.00810119365094441,-0.1565825650732461,-0.12127989481216306,-0.005463705955458216,0.11121191268474863,0.1101181672556056,0.10451316141596541,-0.11522438872959859,0.0071542136037298825,0.10396217337647762,0.013392951023504015,0.10315908907882469,-0.016136762838101698,0.0043360129867096335,-0.1233603648283451,0.10699680472877433,0.10319769839316721,-0.05786003449164782,0.017746347846438613,0.03458290590778576,0.10938233601451099,0.08225621797908285,-0.15394555159560602,0.10509378229630889,-0.13551335439892487,-0.03115142265165297,-0.14723927850173474,0.10844278270978715,-0.15599512335231527,0.02060827457104593,-0.07050737175871694,-0.03669682573959077,0.09786134179112876,-0.07899103436363158,0.10530276844998637,0.03988038839509712,0.08445330090001987,-0.06715312043533583,-0.1538987974911618,0.09203855110623047,0.10381895513578165,-0.015049606711963936,0.11252022017685268;0.005970991731652332,-0.06241641598256117,-0.010751733472349841,0.12488212975640406,0.08344742598059338,-0.1601974215634519,-0.09981359865386921,0.06331413222504388,-0.12468524191360641,0.07899306133025173,0.05898010632312942,-0.09455155742575619,-0.14570889580667867,0.037600859170413274,0.0902996590637954,-0.1353670915121987,0.07152144191617021,-0.002431768112854718,-0.10628419405618644,-0.07762592906834995,-0.08735558135023772,-0.03920450780986662,-0.08724169122726688,-0.050583906042958995,-0.03313869669394497,0.1200921427906069,0.0921067925834038,0.01612666885121207,-0.012344516569370833,-0.010775216988599123,-0.134347353395444,0.10776918608783209,0.12465851304430346,0.037400741860547676,0.10900041991196717,0.12358116152349864,-0.12304934661068966,0.11571408835149202,-0.0718157738127443,0.10801580285253655,0.005242406074934733,-0.0757917132770558,-0.0402904458450129,-0.018757105449479824,-0.003149677905919243,-0.08812726389356604,0.12495169965154754,0.09861427335962257,0.11671951189246198,0.1234650941987397,-0.04674508365060226,0.10826805106361428,0.12157198743455729,0.11005570904569068,-0.08576960815368868,-0.31947641356394446,-0.08159093184900326,0.10436662166984417,-0.09231090570925869,-0.04121350300270226,0.09287422199917637,-0.0699125595953022,0.042127505357225134,-0.13666447459128336,-0.03197528626563651,0.10437916358801809,-0.1400671290227196,0.10794881961379942,0.07921702321727887,0.08285004930376975,0.1017263924702735,-0.04392375578088395,-0.11496302572658891,-0.14985912850564193,0.04199873047026906,0.11169827226068736,0.11839696782785901,-0.0933525505317971,0.11420189086727658,-0.08891143508915263,-0.13424203784107006,-0.061468170378644174,0.07134429865805351,-0.07792557294850787,-0.10389447346111079,-0.0914414375493127,0.11384762521381805,0.026574633463255552,0.06450644785641792,0.09181323435602383,0.015270003051975968,-0.1319848040627866,0.12124330087784267,0.11432549003696241,0.030513557159455862,-0.0867141417144503,0.10491258175207424,-0.14724211306782214,0.08512494309819084,-0.0521706457436685;0.3609032894827026,0.449524041425378,-0.3105969851397816,-0.018554264861055523,0.21903625053243203,0.550876553215333,-0.3801797292435282,-0.21673424623370963,0.5164691904274074,-0.18902335544523863,0.27011758286070015,-0.37678794631888346,0.5382431061206386,-0.25774349818103287,-0.15881460610151846,0.5283695485587874,0.24597026008570455,-0.3035972419946937,0.49889749165051445,-0.3656321574946329,-0.3739770311937982,0.4222391762744858,-0.3721531515536686,-0.34799594139454143,-0.331982304601148,0.08642782405960905,-0.15573618879295556,-0.284340561307463,-0.3151443532544104,-0.31246094360794385,0.5267961591819481,0.14392877104747748,-0.005410602760021061,-0.2554453669037063,-0.11046503187727102,0.04877072789583708,0.5156784537958867,-0.07164675607868695,-0.3629812114857943,0.14464540043532018,0.36347362684268425,0.4657060873857562,-0.3379380861795322,-0.31847899052281464,-0.302604895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k{226}	=[0.4904641863512941;0.07035005993813925;1.4965416220717702];
x_a_linear{226}	=[10.497037599438148,13.943842900365816,24.722657159428575];
L_a{226}	=[0.5837503365989444,0.575753871331984,-0.515017588005107,0.24915822998114487,0.5270287961771326,0.521168508894264,-0.8353423807796602,-0.19599049224446177,0.5421327795690747,-0.11807816484572596,0.5558843232179168,-0.8155698107905442,0.5337548223270877,-0.3162301729512181,-0.04652043192726575,0.5430320877403412,0.5443409318986842,-0.48274592209410727,0.5579122654249882,-0.7581936035263078,-0.7949600294932025,0.5825228734272104,-0.7921083929008049,-0.6650551473247673,-0.5986344828835598,0.4007003379973138,-0.036692581748062496,-0.40652920323945163,-0.5212567381067819,-0.5168099816196442,0.5429498874166578,0.4634225133474259,0.26906841713278123,-0.3146908565027333,0.07396765895761279,0.34989867570867883,0.5487270377601039,0.145966017687322,-0.7405479919074046,0.464583794278881,0.5857024287874625,0.5717962706006948,-0.6234106499331713,-0.5438931530432708,-0.4817195071942392,-0.7985787467062098,0.3116505884220564,0.48959589848564,0.14825098259777006,0.3127935839873958,-0.6510938720876418,0.0807549680620194,0.1999214852820827,0.4550143914038562,-0.7892030915111449,0.11898176172272941,-0.7736126551575757,0.041873811669419565,-0.8093509577847686,-0.6268769385681208,-0.028241047437407216,0.5748371027538902,0.5691837025159036,0.5402122979244669,-0.5955769681946474,0.03697901889438987,0.5373643263301916,0.06922608358961876,0.5332133083341375,-0.08340842067859804,0.022412177640077833,-0.6376305649341962,0.553049864438193,0.5334128738830086,-0.29906953121740687,0.09172811557901112,0.17875366907135465,0.5653803051231654,0.4251696143435978,-0.7957206447111446,0.5432134370704245,-0.7004474803698071,-0.16101686511317276,-0.7610569607361631,0.5605239000265164,-0.8063145627732564,0.10652097029171323,-0.3644416531119561,-0.18968019233881617,0.5058300754729783,-0.4082923873977219,0.5442936540381538,0.2061355332204564,0.43652599470153336,-0.34710404901817066,-0.7954789800073211,0.4757329748436833,0.5366240534893089,-0.07778907952436687,0.5815995409686175;0.07350251525775725,0.004190031447746318,-0.07033186590252527,0.1537061557393722,0.14441708255558064,-0.09990571599542857,-0.19645070548389226,0.04064084930239444,-0.06196827155424776,0.06533311483042346,0.12328793262760403,-0.18890126210510805,-0.0839611346813298,0.0010175734309289374,0.08491791374190953,-0.07254608412345012,0.1344938637616301,-0.05827853264744548,-0.04174176398657419,-0.16533803125263793,-0.17932103056404536,0.028185015869964247,-0.1788772470747606,-0.12752122755165046,-0.10239210201088833,0.16644741251094783,0.08786198826861795,-0.030902916797618613,-0.07264642898913751,-0.07056270359736667,-0.07153585540265565,0.1613805099715722,0.15578586150563373,9.955329090967986E-4,0.1175574148940511,0.16405940910454897,-0.05956951535987692,0.1326002585846331,-0.15748653235838503,0.16176147024860751,0.07299975860924565,-0.009643103367578308,-0.11241009757432778,-0.08167772571742767,-0.05887770098956408,-0.1805113466760126,0.1610051932847476,0.15525348170595182,0.13387001972325713,0.1596508159902322,-0.1220672862839477,0.11761024015305188,0.14470002975031943,0.16269433407301434,-0.17706906238916545,-0.30571193389311513,-0.17108679668438248,0.1092108198151619,-0.18594117848127847,-0.11373415450507618,0.08960713872769999,-0.003412169112491114,0.10797387869051576,-0.0741696763545481,-0.10087498107964696,0.10865710456358696,-0.0779018001646933,0.11595728247788875,0.14090213895698622,0.07320089388546311,0.10431915928628999,-0.11768844728872108,-0.050983105562403076,-0.08815092590034569,0.007400684324344046,0.12230989679750567,0.13907619805940116,-0.027946175609476345,0.1633879041566461,-0.18096487655112578,-0.07140005094141905,-0.14249987611604545,0.052716961708078665,-0.1659689244060852,-0.039049914805907776,-0.18472044306151555,0.12617057041876542,-0.015586027572784773,0.04256317593302156,0.15033050364110095,-0.031963557661192715,-0.06901785158625146,0.14509021922370272,0.16482527330508967,-0.009641392281508926,-0.17873962604371021,0.15994804908898191,-0.08516242313732317,0.0761258646829557,0.015112061642037357;1.7974867955607794,1.8664286036310247,-1.5780322667686848,0.5946130108615358,1.5160305790109427,1.833448976431231,-2.43592001908685,-0.6990580940398231,1.8506337474377903,-0.4796084453547952,1.6381240745997871,-2.3838688245297734,1.8517898845467944,-1.0359718298899878,-0.2732993113124939,1.8647472628124713,1.585568981355602,-1.4916133951798973,1.8718946585863494,-2.23151275224642,-2.3303381581354428,1.8558019503096395,-2.3214965282052917,-1.9846669553171954,-1.8051950299086457,1.0725334592197557,-0.24603499365840406,-1.2847907734913988,-1.5979339046216963,-1.584307225867777,1.8629715821103974,1.2843908783567999,0.65675475428551,-1.0298855095840913,0.07156607316810261,0.909855741140108,1.8660711856922096,0.2875690941068914,-2.1854367441569886,1.287965368250164,1.8048611446095708,1.8728711709517225,-1.8721238520075363,-1.6569757480288796,-1.4880950876831904,-2.3421897009561707,0.7892079785210175,1.3771853829317686,0.2926635195183555,0.7946206226635363,-1.9472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x_a{226}	=[10.497037599438144,13.943842900365814,24.722657159428554];
std_x_a{226}	=[5.037478617913124,1.2073405059155893,15.430207723554833];
pred_a{226}	=[10.497037599438144];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.6 to 22.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{227}	=[11.051537659153146,10.261997926248062,30.31885855689782];
std_x_f{227}	=[2.9301011670860198,11.691364122845444,8.041657013115888];
pred_f{227}	=[11.051537659153146];
obs{227}	=[12.80571658763874];
sqrt_r{227}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{227}	=[9.732722935554806];
L_f{227}	=[-0.38370572864625707,-0.4260360306546187,0.3253817573752604,0.024405958418378903,-0.2694337307142996,-0.44605457949077676,0.17934238979306238,0.29020148044878646,-0.43984368745541746,0.26017129724891935,-0.3161417888681519,0.19408676369415245,-0.44680544284872076,0.32234433852095756,0.22438868433837023,-0.4476679821445853,-0.29587826904930165,0.33022204354196416,-0.4411312167186215,0.233987382616314,0.2108304056978618,-0.41587105279996484,0.21179891012030297,0.2845101797969333,0.3078115014546447,-0.11847157827506168,0.21989347409346743,0.33188550365339575,0.3259644672830834,0.3261644573304134,-0.4467919149880139,-0.1882689376639982,0.006655510965069865,0.3218854100055194,0.15530062818695517,-0.06798613323632902,-0.4440854501131512,0.10363643848745187,0.24575048763007384,-0.18935172834633401,-0.3861430755720355,-0.43220015041932164,0.29969244985797744,0.320917114768374,0.32885153231688147,0.2082394008124811,-0.03128446525342322,-0.22048426113965466,0.10298178609390428,-0.03425870541498662,0.29006014754560444,0.14937873674624866,0.06351873621840623,-0.17812704042647576,0.21460200137263852,-0.24894850362538057,0.2245540228702371,0.1754138754469797,0.1995637717889873,0.29816789230029916,0.21526479090908002,-0.4309105663014616,-0.34200312922335985,-0.4457432038752196,0.30817991373913967,0.1782561374500129,-0.4457571843615091,0.15734858726221013,-0.2777645405740936,0.24215942097844415,0.1874934289013053,0.2943411145157566,-0.4426690918440633,-0.4491701640909826,0.3189330919297314,0.14276844158003285,0.07944790421847368,-0.43836717100071493,-0.14648048824013415,0.2091887991465431,-0.4466756491364068,0.26699986073828724,0.2785009085016126,0.23432171361644738,-0.4414476081191296,0.2014866834216764,0.1336544923249787,0.3284046435488825,0.2880821801897106,-0.24140821687975306,0.3313784887150168,-0.44701452373751405,0.0577598800057328,-0.15675436637570248,0.32624069411626905,0.21018591767929987,-0.20270258725221618,-0.44980235111410133,0.24073112921066758,-0.42404686554849014;-1.4258614379363184,-1.463161027913864,1.3091743306925763,-0.42628409069217793,-1.2110674929675749,-1.409572518205718,1.568240179269235,0.6881425837888397,-1.4325909893050577,0.5072878078730709,-1.30758283949018,1.5673577031143233,-1.4286901488329191,0.9513674342109816,0.33206512779630876,-1.4423205191916517,-1.2665907639829668,1.259618443288266,-1.455568580922735,1.553965127855994,1.5674832090419077,-1.4611616343127323,1.5652052970260302,1.4957939336140962,1.4240218431636624,-0.8408506599121917,0.3085588646744474,1.1280275156980133,1.3208917553121544,1.312824057375353,-1.4409116865254399,-1.0200305336351092,-0.4805821965580942,0.9466609391797646,0.03244146668849009,-0.7010163164083136,-1.4458513874411825,-0.1560710329867414,1.5479085950602476,-1.0235223758801562,-1.4316429088349014,-1.4656348973889508,1.4522434568965539,1.3521086617437088,1.2566115950977372,1.5694934299325747,-0.5954871770147621,-1.0977943156223424,-0.16076545076318222,-0.6006335341153467,1.4818045512707632,0.012933204015771473,-0.2970880391540022,-0.9952893834780153,1.5666350384184962,-0.5950660431687271,1.5597107418603122,0.11370632592678767,1.568366778584012,1.4553825959135884,0.2881841945910345,-1.4677381479210265,-1.358004561333853,-1.4364134277304865,1.4202166501895006,0.1255664272970805,-1.432100800768023,0.042341678438094034,-1.2303853864212702,0.42164130183810294,0.1626290426708495,1.465938677307466,-1.4505263989899664,-1.4310661157829847,0.9145777096585301,-0.014996604258629772,-0.24275388036659581,-1.4630111470388016,-0.9124369330112888,1.565007879663206,-1.44146304871217,1.5223519664728846,0.6099076685417059,1.5593520770872502,-1.4596614833185069,1.566870171038099,-0.0515932932595968,1.0459781892270796,0.673912745415206,-1.1472729278002072,1.1292529695563347,-1.4434137050025488,-0.31370947291644524,-0.9418368673818617,1.0126424534819158,1.56785668233807,-1.056217397704104,-1.436377965770423,0.40905896145834403,-1.469650492524709;0.6984745474665786,0.6759265388964554,-0.63922099649168,0.5551543901469512,0.6917315049143231,0.6140880634624345,-1.7100573259279224,0.05878628632031114,0.6381346482618433,0.1800205091156047,0.6989818669194133,-1.6342293586489542,0.6265682008002996,-0.16342705836975227,0.27521146896836124,0.6353989845956124,0.6966657247175281,-0.5518646860054176,0.6529149419411999,-1.4192327802926317,-1.553915195487348,0.6855120163623708,-1.544253356867786,-1.0936169549518318,-0.8820983650299761,0.6408508501436964,0.2874769437144864,-0.3628307819009779,-0.6565454821988091,-0.642753204670814,0.6358619685549523,0.6685485254741834,0.5674146497326358,-0.16039843052886846,0.40992174503570744,0.6148090293143681,0.6427593867119351,0.4751591725746268,-1.3543669924072113,0.6694336868130111,0.6994411278506767,0.6701309642488505,-0.960381982169165,-0.7196931748882409,-0.5512092830529937,-1.5679014365391368,0.593758829859298,0.6783079707399623,0.47762458174433775,0.5935747272867694,-1.0476394277029821,0.4159065883908702,0.51899113272424,0.6650963312040674,-1.53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k{227}	=[0.8972538305444946;3.3239630261349697;-1.6780386577538446];
x_a_linear{227}	=[12.625481422197282,16.092823825759236,27.375278502281777];
L_a{227}	=[0.13798505733099212,0.15320752786868697,-0.11701107670267986,-0.008776667430687574,0.09689151348008866,0.16040643161866824,-0.06449361604472487,-0.10435983861523625,0.15817292237031985,-0.09356063432627976,0.11368827620999947,-0.0697958649458018,0.16067645084371115,-0.11591878544023775,-0.08069278919054335,0.16098663003913294,0.10640127803617362,-0.11875170008760336,0.15863593291703548,-0.08414459309469086,-0.0758170739852462,0.1495520832210635,-0.07616535947664965,-0.10231318049130256,-0.11069260765328617,0.04260376194552072,-0.07907625913365282,-0.11934989975392989,-0.11722062598494323,-0.11729254473956814,0.1606715860671497,0.06770370681945655,-0.0023933994035538384,-0.1157537493910318,-0.05584791803739815,0.024448606814979276,0.1596983097174852,-0.03726887257254017,-0.08837474291664138,0.06809309098347903,0.13886155572593703,0.15542421726274078,-0.10777290196113483,-0.11540553912510193,-0.11825884825911268,-0.07488531839505606,0.0112502587511348,0.07928871304912108,-0.03703345193294146,0.012319830218460255,-0.1043090136540946,-0.053718336775120085,-0.02284207871905222,0.06405656223107133,-0.0771733837991487,0.08952478678493259,-0.08075224685587233,-0.06308087644559959,-0.0717654609657373,-0.1072246532739373,-0.07741173065028067,0.15496046776631336,0.12298831596744471,0.1602944573139956,-0.11082509300964746,-0.0641029870271171,0.16029948485999806,-0.056584388017681425,0.09988736991458348,-0.08708335344598418,-0.06742482481928798,-0.10584849932946493,0.15918897075699867,0.16152683219542213,-0.11469206136155075,-0.051341197500439105,-0.028570393403013043,0.15764194982432467,0.0526760927938104,-0.07522673311413719,0.16062977551025162,-0.0960162654368526,-0.10015217641370412,-0.08426482242351474,0.15874971095650428,-0.0724569624265447,-0.04806371500126643,-0.11809814184357285,-0.10359771351279905,0.08681321168659223,-0.11916757126593329,0.16075163877100335,-0.02077112682716796,0.05637069925316536,-0.11731996037733795,-0.07558530857349678,0.07289421563190576,0.1617541740256747,-0.0865697230601222,0.152492200885746;0.5067922043572455,0.6827023901223742,-0.32971242960107616,-0.5492123164378765,0.1460195717965664,0.8371205680716765,0.6649262671364926,-0.7735477333380019,0.7828190010530265,-0.8031461202894231,0.2847639359746177,0.5897791506703319,0.8217848950626615,-0.6722204181600534,-0.7981385040494252,0.8124989730332646,0.223692470440217,-0.4036479287532379,0.766326452358399,0.3754146567446742,0.5055700785922763,0.6335027006555006,0.49841399181937357,0.06276962825882276,-0.12636684017708208,-0.24413158545539387,-0.7990032379886544,-0.5436173922973604,-0.32093000527385185,-0.3300050154933208,0.8094952200781587,-0.07175527751425798,-0.51410475446555,-0.67461537650913,-0.7497786105955342,-0.3585829404766759,0.7909235642354026,-0.6780682964202509,0.3101095747293671,-0.06979330658992353,0.5132871918536399,0.71127603342959,-0.05725108943031548,-0.2642905328151815,-0.39975176947420166,0.5206307041422601,-0.4379132050739478,0.012743470361052401,-0.6794653531244725,-0.4280788734535669,0.020826101415424153,-0.7394594190300087,-0.6170199759001461,-0.09809695769440625,0.4857250893812635,0.6588407827016953,0.428674330902962,-0.769820397761972,0.5632015657044322,-0.04643304051759667,-0.7960641007778947,0.7026773900577484,0.36460092517084297,0.8087113180906653,-0.13202765658956722,-0.7722762359318439,0.8130943621351044,-0.7501935838186019,0.16866240193068527,-0.7980701906664975,-0.7817401215599041,-0.016602198620043605,0.7791146222728004,0.8313195845888237,-0.6918283347354534,-0.7340944128780127,-0.6429180426326715,0.7449619074305376,-0.17464224299970174,0.5113632128922722,0.8083582486476588,0.1775238473611939,-0.7928490666696271,0.37911764356176786,0.7638271539850121,0.552019613652885,-0.7247858523389128,-0.6081342806078438,-0.7771030546037773,0.06865489083910278,-0.5398381994818134,0.8081144400356344,-0.604635133227427,-0.15229458405380406,-0.6305706097493194,0.5091897169141296,-0.0352425612390275,0.8291919418248526,-0.803458493842304,0.6661938747117266;-0.2771883881071478,-0.40737124191899127,0.18813939164461047,0.6172123352289168,0.006632260817179497,-0.5201116316724044,-1.2540367105578003,0.7966924659372813,-0.480272378941949,0.8415678165312916,-0.10488370702668934,-1.1407176712161666,-0.5095407427333355,0.6562099710186462,0.8457729855855228,-0.502903169929215,-0.05567503801121775,0.2878032791563295,-0.4687659341702103,-0.8242642938536062,-1.0178288220649367,-0.3719388943302262,-1.0057043309557976,-0.3701822587834164,-0.09941452506712539,0.33960872834972605,0.8466083207842475,0.48106692562415504,0.1722965842571157,0.18659738397306974,-0.5002125771803074,0.18983004231088635,0.5843378668783181,0.6580716641250133,0.8048104722066741,0.4419381405588477,-0.48643332936143235,0.7386794284848314,-0.7294880180281759,0.1879619512042338,-0.2824193410906308,-0.4288405548922554,-0.198342758962043,0.09631479917935613,0.2849738318569244,-1.0384033083365058,0.5142106476763091,0.11767437730815858,0.7394802284804176,0.506463833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x_a{227}	=[12.625481422197282,16.092823825759258,27.375278502281734];
std_x_a{227}	=[1.0536985698712729,5.840796083011104,6.203662491124193];
pred_a{227}	=[12.625481422197282];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.7 to 22.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{228}	=[12.301736197922146,7.158686781015214,37.14964493369529];
std_x_f{228}	=[3.895672254910697,3.840343487459539,5.398499426636196];
pred_f{228}	=[12.301736197922146];
obs{228}	=[8.840094493233584];
sqrt_r{228}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{228}	=[16.250518678099453];
L_f{228}	=[0.2725002026026102,0.355914282271785,-0.17527910493383222,-0.37518645197602496,0.07760058015934913,0.4235636239122448,0.6312976221412677,-0.536525904037731,0.39956452271682374,-0.5602997093945932,0.15611414769554735,0.5737654952146671,0.41686788787201784,-0.4552818522638414,-0.5572036334851457,0.413360242050558,0.12183951212722026,-0.23550102335621328,0.39313070864098115,0.4061392471955929,0.509301776773567,0.3331934771686161,0.5035723818789832,0.15140156110904815,-0.0055624052467114354,-0.1659867689296955,-0.5563472293467876,-0.3509030754812503,-0.16732856427543027,-0.1754659304263409,0.4117142002883355,-0.05432978674654301,-0.3504694810052237,-0.45715003886693073,-0.520786924486903,-0.2425760421605274,0.40355968983868173,-0.4682727014509116,0.354434402093749,-0.053152817515918785,0.2755981866228823,0.36842155300177154,0.052019486021269074,-0.1211770987370576,-0.23356738653452633,0.5206691742453284,-0.29726730152808706,-0.001584964839313673,-0.46916412171411065,-0.2906607444986102,0.11659973110012876,-0.5137119348219656,-0.42439751634380196,-0.07109903619922928,0.4933571872510742,0.3606366555999632,0.44882478889691985,-0.5358895080880997,0.5536916020649968,0.060463914128182174,-0.5553543783204765,0.36474143953275995,0.19987848769151872,0.41142062283249903,-0.010867556796327452,-0.5377364954022174,0.4131579392433431,-0.5213711811960082,0.09103887657853715,-0.55650558106109,-0.5443132504946611,0.08545334635868247,0.3990676574874668,0.4215937364990316,-0.4711853575128158,-0.5096680295926872,-0.44254812697634516,0.384239982429478,-0.120333637451012,0.5148683288515068,0.4113021578797868,0.24572793320416114,-0.551673938043822,0.4102900166927035,0.3921775391486106,0.5448954636530009,-0.5022291924084282,-0.4039108577672689,-0.5391062694084029,0.032193276877156396,-0.34801780037448,0.4112861024805003,-0.4157252171515905,-0.10568215489416093,-0.422907787090657,0.5113628545790395,-0.031582097815074366,0.4203821769345859,-0.5599985883372705,0.34865077514765036;0.07751382881408023,0.06083838499706407,0.04465764028706331,-0.33983581396203366,0.03544933361456807,0.0320116741199147,0.7728908751063426,-0.48184259006132124,0.04407865983522142,-0.5252757466305854,0.06470444008435416,0.7535337445497521,0.03529017830363505,-0.35303782008625406,-0.5313390669390843,0.03611411507621215,0.05438343790012565,-0.03535064358340403,0.04643953462020847,0.6619203701396114,0.7257209120732554,0.06761067103936466,0.7217548035130111,0.43803909955442755,0.2606383819650672,-0.1317579937045461,-0.5323244157492721,-0.19844056943053795,0.05716993603911763,0.046523674547930535,0.036619322489233816,-0.04327939145319545,-0.3129978665808392,-0.35459607481131344,-0.4988561753647399,-0.20283669149962105,0.040869260526968675,-0.4414446011014595,0.6233416017855136,-0.04246280689882492,0.0775176914369267,0.05610665589561253,0.32836723369324433,0.11689557067698393,-0.032795925178959386,0.7303158715814556,-0.25741100516424126,-0.007960277082254517,-0.44241348315453904,-0.25139270525752866,0.40119616178271683,-0.4903541570857703,-0.39244504213467246,-0.05564841832475709,0.7172543470902432,0.15590113641072315,0.6890241856821089,-0.5143500629680586,0.745975770685694,0.33790443890277067,-0.5314790764522253,0.05711436366623779,0.07501787039804013,0.03721071035200239,0.2543476606683686,-0.5170633237619637,0.03752061065288436,-0.4995588706231293,0.04191753574139829,-0.5255118599786579,-0.5229542222589286,0.3667135163660656,0.0427633762908215,0.03268589307341057,-0.37698986903302995,-0.48710186877529305,-0.41281713416022336,0.04975929838834357,-0.09313379628087635,0.7276378357904053,0.037264382056873296,0.530184230347053,-0.5077154398249127,0.6658552238692352,0.04643081830051921,0.7417584265636525,-0.4794835969656371,-0.27511379441959427,-0.48618198822101755,0.012575607126995014,-0.1943555173499159,0.03627552927041942,-0.38361384961017236,-0.08176890552826896,-0.3044793538213988,0.7248768300103532,-0.027835041281540088,0.03298061196491512,-0.5314142849196332,0.06355786175570784;0.45234428977486274,0.6494084876708935,-0.44046142419833945,-0.5029131186354356,0.06300993728065885,0.8249554771442646,0.7551435886033133,-0.616794801597397,0.7625340202950104,-0.6189259662906722,0.20814104058545616,0.6315020298582005,0.8073862804083246,-0.5974664683644647,-0.6130912522631354,0.7975329252494971,0.14303735748659305,-0.4864096609711279,0.7448327934803122,0.30495765059619073,0.4985273934059762,0.594008772745503,0.48750862754298363,-0.09280824084708078,-0.2829599015867233,-0.29638871050561144,-0.6137019497628685,-0.5546557002301776,-0.4352880049620202,-0.44110102600968,0.7935457123032069,-0.14765191084473947,-0.4831234688472007,-0.5991103170570984,-0.5949210688350133,-0.38238243480634215,0.772211141631948,-0.5663249843165953,0.21376133850919715,-0.1465108014871099,0.45869732651134654,0.6819628771373877,-0.21833873074055113,-0.39505426939215127,-0.48318860283635867,0.5218146185054952,-0.4364672881688945,-0.0690880198288425,-0.5669530313716462,-0.43008480311130615,-0.13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k{228}	=[0.9384635026236;0.7855297840437218;1.2381429637159014];
x_a_linear{228}	=[9.05311179891219,4.439464120294467,32.86363761412963];
L_a{228}	=[-0.07218575341750122,-0.09428228079266902,0.04643172418644071,0.09938751035507902,-0.020556521760120225,-0.112202703045106,-0.16723178203063477,0.14212659748898757,-0.1058453015291128,0.14842431776550782,-0.041354895383207926,-0.15199142665385643,-0.11042899151706954,0.12060491408480678,0.14760416214717484,-0.10949981034976937,-0.03227548785257206,0.0623846097698192,-0.10414097356173135,-0.10758695689479543,-0.13491488124463863,-0.08826350202127403,-0.13339715508098157,-0.04010652341855388,0.0014734903303279688,0.043970169042405575,0.14737729927747137,0.09295480384310448,0.044325612844057206,0.04648121456775276,-0.10906377117024654,0.014392050177777215,0.09283994395077896,0.1210997997993147,0.13795731582956827,0.06425879392804941,-0.10690362789351802,0.12404621147521354,-0.09389025809103495,0.01408026908605545,-0.07300641449753867,-0.0975954774516691,-0.013780047702615716,0.03210001345223739,0.061872386184382816,-0.13792612359623466,0.0787465987997268,4.1985980183996E-4,0.12428235017417964,0.07699651093882379,-0.03088746121049689,0.13608313939040662,0.11242360252652396,0.018834252034608593,-0.13069113316437667,-0.09553324528134255,-0.11889442734184631,0.14195801515159048,-0.14667381922754374,-0.016016990645246806,0.14711429140194984,-0.09662060931988276,-0.052948141279013275,-0.1089860020176605,0.0028788337317105285,0.1424472851394612,-0.10944622000224806,0.1381120863960974,-0.024116348660804653,0.14741924690794142,0.14418947841805785,-0.02263673248692457,-0.10571368110980454,-0.11168087661814444,0.12481777887320683,0.13501190222090637,0.1172317292397671,-0.10178580551460135,0.03187657916547318,-0.13638947007740324,-0.10895462045616652,-0.0650937350675478,0.1461393366982802,-0.10868650258521913,-0.10388847739004331,-0.14434370764461618,0.13304134197336448,0.10699665285738609,0.14281014053444394,-0.008528052178165406,0.09219048970531754,-0.10895036735439684,0.1101262961573077,0.02799537725461803,0.11202897078864134,-0.13546086415701544,0.008366149835899062,-0.11135993248990383,0.1483445503004363,-0.09235816576742356;-0.21100147714979844,-0.31599332766154264,0.2302380696080907,0.057400712658911605,-0.04671190851962245,-0.4164451981357823,0.10449127442064411,0.08621546597885214,-0.37896866058115947,0.06795332455361541,-0.10058468872174463,0.14604749014580687,-0.4060774429575718,0.12900139181576742,0.05861196892708651,-0.4015397125887846,-0.0746167014911023,0.21399100519147815,-0.36979585017602407,0.23191192225799118,0.18648697187667382,-0.28516491258345245,0.18858698035124594,0.27773952065654633,0.2665276952071203,0.04398397993921136,0.0567198842699266,0.17308542291442738,0.2343325636531046,0.23230190927834093,-0.39929172392965306,0.01424340998482735,0.058069048516768744,0.12942111884719879,0.05253790590661966,0.053995781852751876,-0.3864080268895498,0.05434894489698025,0.24807674331005572,0.013813853676034027,-0.21427767009734477,-0.33396739202355474,0.27329051161316203,0.24519436599539288,0.21449844504748883,0.17904646084850415,0.057326986346561803,-0.006282162309534693,0.05432387274761057,0.056350455407196,0.2777437504730697,0.05354913046002547,0.05689473122617584,0.019629177753481827,0.1949020755332217,-0.22593048807415517,0.21382152507488586,0.053034195510247226,0.15974317176034497,0.2738870014188579,0.05651402171502329,-0.32906328691687986,-0.1366076714589452,-0.3983895047769048,0.26585391440405753,0.05227647128091931,-0.3999190246711033,0.05245380469542507,-0.05447178463268076,0.0637000982399308,0.05334885020401979,0.2762379932844679,-0.37975787764083196,-0.413685319559616,0.12188751267210655,0.05251984927671593,0.055739978967950535,-0.3570628435234658,0.03427196670695822,0.18251019180721503,-0.3982104058182137,0.27001462623245154,0.07638091499183884,0.23145206170848132,-0.3687953783002543,0.16483892370575257,0.05226209616700048,0.15253529940805077,0.08460808378577847,-0.021509700111244763,0.17411562944899342,-0.39918225961386594,0.056543945055048436,0.030124292946434733,0.14328313744141924,0.18346068045032182,0.005603167303520388,-0.41210783656338484,0.061495968028265506,-0.30558346036272166;-0.0024101998189207264,0.05545069891402904,-0.14795169708859487,0.1232065019788381,-0.06649166266497052,0.11810293992394867,-0.2983801343029761,0.27857173873626295,0.09573172491157342,0.31611483709859484,-0.052385773250302914,-0.3260107808877606,0.11170773864322896,0.16231816434454344,0.31678274975682047,0.10770802201376375,-0.06029117078819145,-0.09340023693284225,0.08876739226523557,-0.37281669341695867,-0.3514069087847075,0.037967976450183696,-0.3528643311107662,-0.3454705838041329,-0.2736772341438253,-0.019386243487182223,0.31474286569830523,0.03093927351035003,-0.1560463195805922,-0.1482795203005885,0.10646776071844521,-0.05698513626735259,0.10174791264365957,0.16379198762807654,0.2741799071284017,0.02243394032589986,0.09874162116761169,0.21513907077460856,-0.37772679279935606,-0.057808179730998915,-0.001227148750162662,0.06713267264393907,-0.3051500233142708,-0.19283119153636305,-0.0934060755765245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x_a{228}	=[9.053111798912186,4.439464120294464,32.86363761412961];
std_x_a{228}	=[1.031970009939675,2.1850647176152505,2.1600116857226572];
pred_a{228}	=[9.053111798912186];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.8 to 22.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{229}	=[5.134260835791827,2.4224462090070125,27.182568546245417];
std_x_f{229}	=[1.471724968276704,2.2886111359950494,1.2450052338357513];
pred_f{229}	=[5.134260835791827];
obs{229}	=[4.6249774708305225];
sqrt_r{229}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{229}	=[3.1819588280001985];
L_f{229}	=[-0.12642960788966054,-0.20099529057888468,0.16723013435867157,0.028680749088438984,-0.010635826095235614,-0.27160109614033257,0.07499648639176398,0.013697353269731522,-0.24622015397574348,-0.0028978844439068183,-0.0484558129347036,0.10786805653716473,-0.2650279405477298,0.05841138924934105,-0.008123661986484672,-0.2621135778885346,-0.030459765890125945,0.14948081014355805,-0.23959894026140974,0.17806323282138256,0.14023704826235273,-0.17933766026655765,0.14198899945760948,0.21609726446788818,0.20445867736237838,0.04322952257625602,-0.00846286144495858,0.10576958520389429,0.1707663532335891,0.1682511185408985,-0.2605247859333158,0.02857704798128111,0.032816122572476736,0.05825640452950434,-0.002775103335958172,0.04220788265466548,-0.25106491878260184,0.010279623952991139,0.19156486415139337,0.02797086573232902,-0.12818831807579203,-0.21388847771470418,0.21150534797672735,0.18235960984259614,0.15013507259161502,0.13421494528493272,0.03873024848036653,0.016165787318257643,0.009497035518035992,0.039389475750232265,0.21557740671609524,-6.118995885053533E-5,0.02012799866485377,0.03130435050648662,0.1471823954416526,-0.14525788426700048,0.16292482670950562,-0.005502181835895939,0.11899405727005186,0.21187669175865978,-0.008855838207192365,-0.21036985428004504,-0.07318531979891088,-0.25953260108413,0.2038487226040914,-0.006190941350146225,-0.2610896040795413,-0.0026225978926881417,-0.016394063778264224,-0.00484425991666928,-0.007609967214062061,0.21396664865971762,-0.24605648384251116,-0.2702845375535155,0.050263650438456,2.4298746000204344E-4,0.01607586239855026,-0.2300996245167356,0.038893390569640286,0.13777504018862163,-0.25941705202941695,0.21021605411697708,0.0038563831448958385,0.1775574077608952,-0.238443824342061,0.12295256523725288,0.0020178670611575547,0.08308776497585141,0.012411748689882662,0.006308047722464823,0.10733254359199194,-0.25903130382060113,0.02148624641271285,0.036870584436937415,0.07345964623825296,0.1385815544235171,0.023090348719701833,-0.26958425398912456,-0.006353934872678566,-0.1935909044045245;-0.12401986623701025,-0.22766472014073139,0.22335021295574636,-0.0434849628600902,0.018473327066939257,-0.3293005030273243,0.2630950522920473,-0.12563250018160818,-0.2909909739386241,-0.15912884922050044,-0.02389540584320129,0.30487515939064974,-0.3189481520673895,-0.031128097216945733,-0.16371088542547874,-0.31347107302130023,-0.0029248096868170533,0.178245927847402,-0.28219068180400037,0.38288010518128707,0.3442070131844265,-0.19689085624200675,0.3467339864481849,0.3848038591416764,0.3275604473307259,0.04108710576686327,-0.16412384442529301,0.07500958247476695,0.23059116805712154,0.22477264050983392,-0.3118918726564406,0.047792780664042564,-0.028714829536507044,-0.03214991121443206,-0.14080943117152037,0.01917781631252117,-0.29915249181667103,-0.10265435465274651,0.3940515359578612,0.0479501103017636,-0.1273187003922225,-0.2459397526385247,0.3532905427454338,0.2614450670416672,0.17898329083714623,0.3372601035013268,-0.002604842297698778,0.04180186497244749,-0.10370832387486549,-6.063770215006178E-4,0.3755330166729184,-0.13517756308136322,-0.07306032388582276,0.04845633914640065,0.35209565451449937,-0.14122496624760156,0.36833997050741824,-0.15124760112879543,0.3186070067040459,0.35703679839410823,-0.16350582183511705,-0.24094916541695482,-0.05437710543789027,-0.3107610779924833,0.32547818808168005,-0.15318064272899065,-0.31301502241542245,-0.1410693561086169,0.013347159185329848,-0.15896289444256992,-0.15745499030223542,0.3662404102157501,-0.2917977985275212,-0.32625193666318725,-0.04857921419057773,-0.13192742896635487,-0.08500739924259962,-0.26868478051503164,0.04670597892831859,0.3413103961254015,-0.31049408039501164,0.3977156293178987,-0.1451324385592481,0.38285042790461943,-0.2807831880308058,0.3234118585542092,-0.12800792551725085,0.02318310971632675,-0.12900622687790955,0.03450774539763792,0.0787779072932968,-0.31153841443388364,-0.06843679321186501,0.04765596568418774,0.0026678229126665836,0.3415729560977128,0.045537585328270826,-0.32545716889747667,-0.1634572335362083,-0.21686499946433455;-0.13309720547649528,-0.14302802561770622,0.06752194228760372,0.09356048194956969,-0.08151811808787639,-0.1381151647384447,-0.14221616539546328,0.19414981805937023,-0.1400774524843715,0.20213512283705937,-0.10516219193845007,-0.1265053362959133,-0.13894317731571082,0.15949573851604038,0.19735851681572292,-0.1400673656393242,-0.09489999906224203,0.08435223365443655,-0.14161102290714053,-0.07781037762623505,-0.10699749331821681,-0.14187990367516118,-0.10676798927940079,-0.010224602938205195,0.025969496217438486,0.005599563766497517,0.19492648860464615,0.11971338203929542,0.06600699767993669,0.06825275719584425,-0.14006967583453156,-0.03590998178926961,0.08211275627573278,0.16034039935369562,0.17127888139743538,0.0356227172164639,-0.14105590957524647,0.1411184299927954,-0.06388284620924713,-0.03685220818576716,-0.13428366757142032,-0.14242614520269647,0.012780993017819686,0.05440033003730842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k{229}	=[0.6857281774986131;0.9660744897285848;0.2355034247319224];
x_a_linear{229}	=[4.78503088210655,1.9304405420747635,27.06263056963803];
L_a{229}	=[0.11629140475288166,0.18487777570687045,-0.15382019739043615,-0.026380882267469718,0.00978295494202396,0.24982180621921157,-0.06898262914522442,-0.012598982783555894,0.22647612424218888,0.002665507379312265,0.04457021301163401,-0.09921827673164836,0.2437757422450977,-0.053727466396174504,0.007472237555069986,0.24109507801419286,0.028017242344831675,-0.13749416521456126,0.220385855855998,-0.16378460572075706,-0.12899164691754408,0.16495683871529732,-0.1306031117393974,-0.19876874466112182,-0.18806343863011862,-0.039763011141952256,0.007784237110994881,-0.09728807870878771,-0.1570728521074919,-0.15475931036217974,0.23963368893439976,-0.026285496798613934,-0.03018464627230841,-0.053584909671638974,0.002552571906689978,-0.03882329501361404,0.23093239452959316,-0.009455316122375384,-0.17620356121726388,-0.025727923407035922,0.11790908657213503,0.19673707724859993,-0.19454504715720278,-0.16773646262741593,-0.13809596332523777,-0.12345244746497713,-0.03562452717674148,-0.014869476759092573,-0.008735482295763262,-0.036230891987514266,-0.1982905735330387,5.62832266134327E-5,-0.018513964242005715,-0.028794100970818682,-0.1353800569858735,0.133609869513978,-0.14986012598966278,0.005060970017881805,-0.1094520999326048,-0.19488661343086253,0.008145701648283543,0.19350060701948998,0.0673166973208673,0.23872106591980446,-0.18750239524114623,0.005694498926070681,0.2401532151494284,0.002412295649202901,0.01507944806762775,0.004455805883612356,0.006999735206163146,-0.19680897978122833,0.22632557857470365,0.2486108205169225,-0.04623308270161822,-2.2350265521383703E-4,-0.014786762785604786,0.2116482761815958,-0.035774587143331836,-0.12672706362739436,0.23861478257277288,-0.1933591398638694,-0.0035471454880779615,-0.1633193420232329,0.21932336697261276,-0.11309318100463536,-0.001856057288031663,-0.0764250800750067,-0.011416468932228994,-0.0058022147117142205,-0.09872570577697262,0.238259966941902,-0.01976329611321423,-0.03391398684059223,-0.06756902592905054,-0.12746890467946045,-0.02123876783032902,0.24796669165511756,0.005844422239266789,0.17806713630110105;0.21793279974560326,0.31596486639870974,-0.22895515468001704,-0.12105744589530938,0.0472399201846475,0.40529577120965427,0.060252942053329026,-0.16267956965902172,0.374957766044303,-0.15129097541986108,0.1071624586234633,0.013125701942057463,0.39786978593706135,-0.1891126912607103,-0.14173891287736753,0.3954644227484034,0.07945935906284049,-0.2260530523917894,0.3658497397126301,-0.09872541581261308,-0.035090473561679374,0.28816159359833426,-0.03730198198657986,-0.19967185766063286,-0.2254365205026443,-0.07583527294530897,-0.1412344431113964,-0.21106416436396422,-0.23127856896932614,-0.23029417097493107,0.3927464362924913,-0.02949922321245853,-0.11747220835131814,-0.18971531991846985,-0.1333036419822006,-0.09498134498014395,0.3798998262712344,-0.13045753204685695,-0.12407168769664523,-0.027702359611447475,0.21939072824177303,0.33256188474167975,-0.21876547180253977,-0.23178081409566229,-0.2270852653115156,-0.025749472506752063,-0.10735808754693514,-0.0019215488975894012,-0.12939484357963454,-0.10714262647506652,-0.2075366470131576,-0.13501206332296345,-0.12750028394919746,-0.03621216763161238,-0.04598683064913833,0.2516523162908724,-0.07232088242105866,-0.13636591495645697,-0.0032348134105416337,-0.21602358529134288,-0.13955354091763592,0.3280356927518433,0.14356636392625327,0.39119368032309737,-0.22586904232699626,-0.13643607684002532,0.39315094349710394,-0.1339760465890004,0.057687989698376935,-0.14586068190811774,-0.13687240193290437,-0.21247265519540312,0.373708264780736,0.40478345712656794,-0.18452671538387863,-0.13258463427715983,-0.1284875942452723,0.3536629539947954,-0.05848851480133559,-0.031328126486150285,0.3911481537581485,-0.17085324736786292,-0.15556275246640222,-0.0973869940273476,0.36413300511295,-0.009136491267242879,-0.13346562670512083,-0.20154338606483058,-0.16257613684485098,0.01744644328773258,-0.21152315462258264,0.38906049109867613,-0.12655038990354142,-0.05206746820917069,-0.19601761392925646,-0.03324693603146076,-0.016914607911632372,0.40368417621345715,-0.14627182099353422,0.3067380313137601;-0.04973818420915864,-0.010505501964684475,-0.04273815073356675,0.07465036102826716,-0.07450558306172812,0.04095998962850538,-0.19166371022659653,0.18511872177127434,0.022263247564492827,0.20404578929424474,-0.07321374878203972,-0.19762614232415973,0.03579808860546117,0.12098327043229885,0.20271470294651445,0.03275236921848626,-0.07481691634913984,-0.014205171053251385,0.01636410246312138,-0.19521307355678408,-0.1994601947668544,-0.02363693760315327,-0.2003858073133257,-0.15270433347974968,-0.10883654739076795,-0.02290302160065716,0.20050631961850582,0.04997616423392527,-0.04658463578749909,-0.04268050284356251,0.03170251846220991,-0.05475172930547083,0.06047605340928089,0.12193011757561972,0.173108594404242,0.0077937312171546935,0.024479096453927703,0.1343407502544746,-0.19018759279049768,-0.05529428065886953,-0.04976507330329728,-0.001402737313788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x_a{229}	=[4.78503088210655,1.9304405420747637,27.062630569638017];
std_x_a{229}	=[1.353709521270963,2.1304743217047455,1.2351759471091157];
pred_a{229}	=[4.78503088210655];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.9 to 23.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{230}	=[3.279399928862718,2.915166757415361,21.785658370596476];
std_x_f{230}	=[1.800174142797112,2.2076146149568823,1.58973904681413];
pred_f{230}	=[3.279399928862718];
obs{230}	=[3.2952011092035742];
sqrt_r{230}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{230}	=[4.278256732083727];
L_f{230}	=[0.19398398822688545,0.271280016901862,-0.20192813551594616,-0.09015719040487334,0.048889069549013384,0.335635636440122,0.03625562203759713,-0.12233676175642179,0.3145525089372451,-0.11143277527629374,0.10032695008483836,-0.006552179308687956,0.330049530509923,-0.14811537849222683,-0.1037431846795377,0.32838527928348826,0.0769160883956036,-0.19526494218892956,0.3077927872946133,-0.11048171515254941,-0.05202234162699236,0.25027977163423026,-0.054464979414021744,-0.19654407743578858,-0.2113008193569007,-0.05591829399621185,-0.102821657058934,-0.17379422330401284,-0.20467762830050903,-0.20360661609701772,0.3276033936035513,-0.017406438949126444,-0.08759330249131414,-0.14869467490530774,-0.09675273053009718,-0.07102784181937068,0.31785316963874966,-0.09519084814254251,-0.13341350635983193,-0.015902709671765727,0.19538234730116344,0.28371637138825523,-0.20814343359621515,-0.20834218273052965,-0.196309770826234,-0.04358020486512428,-0.08056376239816532,0.006512339799763164,-0.0945248497847309,-0.07982877858057512,-0.20227617013302512,-0.09835805308080268,-0.0937326194084827,-0.023204747153507364,-0.06235797775801282,0.21819515026159575,-0.08658000376921686,-0.09923188558269129,-0.022615497483381854,-0.20644303185834686,-0.10226623153694214,0.28039500011526247,0.13208736605305377,0.32566584115010366,-0.21099659116864464,-0.09942660077278301,0.32696774987117366,-0.09648922877172851,0.058926535614230065,-0.10794460201471141,-0.09981190997456733,-0.20412242754693946,0.3134770168880481,0.3347598504505775,-0.14379778777441807,-0.09693209785063125,-0.09417765450317957,0.2991896008566476,-0.04190904519953051,-0.04889641981877653,0.3259636754903574,-0.1735636865894665,-0.11570675473522037,-0.10967830880807412,0.3069957366511361,-0.027691789226846543,-0.09673483891257949,-0.1624075925147424,-0.12178480813927814,0.023115426794171764,-0.17421917212823368,0.32456634146040003,-0.09298177446617094,-0.036013649813178866,-0.15613815192272265,-0.04999568027829217,-0.006500302227164756,0.33432659815803084,-0.10704722808770217,0.264425495185086;0.26261470016718597,0.33379514100844804,-0.24391621015879225,-0.1313464955526933,0.09322474924239921,0.3775217931689496,0.12758446820654518,-0.20102046502829327,0.3649550594237325,-0.19355931104402405,0.1586333352444243,0.07129456194296836,0.3743414539804528,-0.21662648190398254,-0.18313511314305989,0.3741396282200345,0.12883840250361145,-0.24229365403386882,0.3604279325513486,-0.0728579005449017,0.010145528826043027,0.3162074433298575,0.006735506446792305,-0.20580666894879132,-0.23835380701880293,-0.058668047724488886,-0.18220481315529144,-0.2307831613798264,-0.24677015492096863,-0.245666990068771,0.3738583128254806,0.0017439039405276195,-0.12386068645177235,-0.2172689925118406,-0.16634091527712722,-0.08721025922163081,0.36722423231928586,-0.15463089959242793,-0.10609033924413372,0.004150604016484722,0.263876342830468,0.34335363125570884,-0.22962647203955194,-0.2466738358932815,-0.24327126244750627,0.021725214115157723,-0.10687307508933519,0.03567551283341704,-0.15356754277267573,-0.10555866015250744,-0.21573582051239337,-0.16740499064911407,-0.14439442823036477,-0.007518005515819646,-0.0042422035785931195,0.2867186347012779,-0.03811209343227691,-0.17293453221503424,0.05022293452802796,-0.22667763450809167,-0.18097512356367304,0.34049981644452876,0.19572839892253466,0.37222848572347395,-0.23877773001185096,-0.17333337085295422,0.3725740380439362,-0.1673315839035631,0.10585046731521036,-0.18710330937828404,-0.1759561940424427,-0.2218031695919496,0.364936330367787,0.3786891492897375,-0.21404512786755228,-0.16468908524242926,-0.14818729062088007,0.3555708195592853,-0.03610018686725916,0.014521855889214254,0.37310163489101955,-0.16772050578035888,-0.19606056912034636,-0.07100975449013916,0.36024674412204466,0.043118667541666454,-0.16334167535234356,-0.22513466113884775,-0.20132198185422553,0.059136551900088034,-0.2311509613745273,0.3715634790481717,-0.1422641708955513,-0.027580913360262034,-0.2205368824423446,0.012886323823804077,0.01727541388086822,0.3774276097116242,-0.18754905210516756,0.32861040971536964;0.07827990517032159,0.18477778555423077,-0.138955534944598,-0.02025677843596598,-0.05459853989626635,0.2968173793896977,-0.14748655793059282,0.04805736950843512,0.25733997702381234,0.06539527910007333,-0.017960696541136186,-0.1773543617002317,0.28660849831352825,-0.00723181028305321,0.06777714815100172,0.28222224313396127,-0.03652271092753112,-0.11721769682771495,0.24570059603842223,-0.2235395537158969,-0.20156687967600825,0.15232434832112127,-0.2034334215959469,-0.21773729356766455,-0.18924126067455216,-0.0763261921875923,0.0660378588764879,-0.06551423097160737,-0.14277674760778525,-0.13938086171903302,0.27968598980793163,-0.08012781211310278,-0.0298639295009638,-0.006695662437308785,0.04854281708978658,-0.060939272325442995,0.26401629137126637,0.020884888971020168,-0.22758116890461305,-0.07973232555571202,0.07855715479850196,0.20499005066049084,-0.20137957625750497,-0.15723413398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k{230}	=[0.7662599365529544;0.9253717013720371;0.5419785040422541];
x_a_linear{230}	=[3.2915077403081643,2.9297887225510655,21.794222270679715];
L_a{230}	=[-0.1285181759071831,-0.17972830258299066,0.13378132843879306,0.059730897182085234,-0.032389962169917935,-0.22236515579976426,-0.02402005677500785,0.08105049087318383,-0.20839717259736107,0.07382638714507817,-0.06646856133380298,0.004340946593924327,-0.21866425166259498,0.09812932727911006,0.0687318833873132,-0.21756165276343986,-0.0509584088298924,0.12936683289236928,-0.20391872515903306,0.07319629126242869,0.034465816036845155,-0.16581523047807722,0.03608411121502156,0.1302142849432708,0.13999091429999985,0.0370469604729918,0.06812135336403335,0.11514206283929651,0.13560292103811988,0.13489335456294227,-0.2170436382496031,0.01153210532080113,0.058032271430068436,0.09851312245209944,0.06410057116272835,0.04705733062139583,-0.21058392469233173,0.06306579361606153,0.08838905022765486,0.010535855343928719,-0.12944461606924054,-0.18796763000447445,0.13789908464793607,0.13803075982607135,0.13005905224423117,0.028872735766089792,0.05337506400539577,-0.004314552142181999,0.06262455671354437,0.05288812289019651,0.13401190816111128,0.06516412866479425,0.06209968863662569,0.015373597603675052,0.041313376572849544,-0.14455854300003274,0.0573609412620305,0.06574305974161973,0.014983208203752707,0.13677253532983144,0.06775337312199815,-0.1857671567519278,-0.08751045640771157,-0.2157599719567419,0.13978935719123253,0.06587206235302459,-0.21662251187851103,0.0639259961081405,-0.039039979221444344,0.07151540432157608,0.06612733721476062,0.13523508970954848,-0.207684638137023,-0.22178493049926323,0.09526883921286008,0.06421940551118739,0.06239453306738479,-0.19821894633654824,0.027765559891240892,0.03239483186700479,-0.2159572930164951,0.11498932776923257,0.07665798190167013,0.07266401888856944,-0.20339066356105487,0.018346350498155438,0.06408871761714231,0.1075981978422846,0.08068481083583098,-0.015314421123398892,0.11542359972407758,-0.21503153196629368,0.061602239216923205,0.023859745456601262,0.10344457116304305,0.03312311336278787,0.004306577015539628,-0.22149789240475537,0.07092087659142664,-0.17518704824644388;-0.12685414987268945,-0.21086381351305,0.16150239912409428,0.04966544048783793,-0.004931649493477409,-0.29634632631648583,0.054792710744852605,0.04459959028858283,-0.2665836827824521,0.030168406074821026,-0.04279680460736816,0.08444961542926463,-0.2883112333823529,0.08075025862945824,0.025153927648060678,-0.28517168021113054,-0.02558888178319211,0.14974701479946229,-0.25753906572478424,0.14896033787882407,0.11459271415841543,-0.18628853965105358,0.11608686628693696,0.18880216717604328,0.18588268734155905,0.05360118572082029,0.02423404244293212,0.11814994857675085,0.1641687130326706,0.16312156694897506,-0.283883174717831,0.036691457203926345,0.05200363670352867,0.08127082292225098,0.027913131369761427,0.05539497395797308,-0.27094136883302605,0.03648729783856085,0.16176890716427597,0.03607906422082116,-0.12840004460246737,-0.22627425356141212,0.1882708217889177,0.17162249394581644,0.15086714760446487,0.10922280826437289,0.05487777962244815,0.02260044660724932,0.03621350504655235,0.05471654028053224,0.19038155078341376,0.030072121640878607,0.04379602927043375,0.0390710262488651,0.12095622186990161,-0.15135986359863302,0.13571779228491693,0.02629700600850473,0.09562890786862391,0.1878056996657348,0.02434858360755779,-0.22245962804371813,-0.06946830639166748,-0.28162290587514754,0.18484795412797259,0.02628910428173658,-0.28389124399526655,0.026393420487037317,-0.012458524433455813,0.029621072870781195,0.02443988067178274,0.18802100121059726,-0.2644431065500771,-0.2934206221725093,0.07466302559755246,0.029925083828488918,0.040896680350505935,-0.2451232421239872,0.04804215802070983,0.11269301203439187,-0.2813477297622922,0.18074974706142743,0.03624817512438356,0.1491954552091152,-0.25611998600630964,0.0987165001478926,0.030876449630269243,0.10093708773395363,0.04318989570783033,0.012726851934659392,0.11863533410219494,-0.28008040623159264,0.04441878735794661,0.04472502748920844,0.09294747795532458,0.11326450597651554,0.030326311825931804,-0.2938123050490587,0.0273736392177411,-0.2022864672501013;-0.14982707541131665,-0.13422207682226064,0.09849301793879107,0.08575962358235883,-0.11208750143482255,-0.0978586570386618,-0.1901197698142076,0.1919139300084369,-0.11254427839283786,0.19642977394909028,-0.13593578234074538,-0.16964961322075303,-0.10149880134127562,0.16693798627794865,0.18976940549903787,-0.10392805313277304,-0.12696881858024428,0.11239556550025073,-0.11623486057494925,-0.09362341639299258,-0.14039348397573856,-0.14198119478057314,-0.13938771290043042,0.013380111868109057,0.05922868954399151,-0.010571521818440975,0.18694648615288792,0.138851479223204,0.09790495097464001,0.10004142693921483,-0.10554488221538588,-0.059659472083306624,0.07313758074274865,0.1681553323857635,0.16231495584196107,0.02258280948523159,-0.10974923153259547,0.13282040049068258,-0.07069939539990357,-0.06103223015376517,-0.15119416493255816,-0.12863379845461845,0.04337758436956449,0.0877567369857119,0.11296916413080701,-0.146232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x_a{230}	=[3.2915077403081647,2.9297887225510677,21.794222270679725];
std_x_a{230}	=[1.1926504824561452,1.4979799440010484,1.2612593546733357];
pred_a{230}	=[3.2915077403081647];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.0 to 23.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{231}	=[3.832046735379953,5.218395364523921,18.13238050700105];
std_x_f{231}	=[1.618949857616715,2.2748285950971225,1.538247624139995];
pred_f{231}	=[3.832046735379953];
obs{231}	=[4.1100403670677865];
sqrt_r{231}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{231}	=[3.64122647184138];
L_f{231}	=[-0.1422245772157378,-0.23326955386445705,0.16826481150294328,0.060181690829707035,-0.003911794861459362,-0.32016374198623454,0.05020885532459136,0.05329352528522051,-0.29130636189245235,0.0402648899753316,-0.04795353996012867,0.08457781953490309,-0.31279533386491515,0.08885556022959949,0.03540434312442734,-0.31005464079002554,-0.02764773044153221,0.15653180663133892,-0.28100155374722774,0.15741292315563987,0.11905847096977049,-0.20698177994353295,0.1209207928173164,0.1973585007012406,0.1931623059838606,0.06330753196364867,0.03477383626056548,0.12532641798257035,0.17123721362804248,0.1697510298164057,-0.3080356208277654,0.0435633371728323,0.06257961196438348,0.08945075937097464,0.0392126004740542,0.06537166746708101,-0.2952939248985409,0.047126500914899665,0.1704944436214412,0.042349345959299026,-0.14390211818861542,-0.2492518093804458,0.19606252022292822,0.17854886734230507,0.15745230106241173,0.11226587625235906,0.0652303307782957,0.02766801132047737,0.04698503354124343,0.06544183160396715,0.1986352445131678,0.04063895937017469,0.054480921491291724,0.04607108185897912,0.12581468342331503,-0.16939389774787733,0.14256962900362616,0.03669488650062698,0.097753033243313,0.1958415247005652,0.0342147772597819,-0.2450966974953342,-0.0778319158386701,-0.3056241664597067,0.1923244002596414,0.037344639447593087,-0.3077646138707997,0.0372025150522222,-0.012306153817242376,0.03894814376685169,0.03502959439849429,0.1963457169357024,-0.28839324260942173,-0.31697935595954385,0.0828523661572428,0.040590831186885584,0.051971713152351676,-0.26926029939972296,0.05675241694775844,0.11680106221003188,-0.3060870151367493,0.19043243790900027,0.046022300507047594,0.15711773149325528,-0.2800668462631854,0.10039424432260949,0.04181281016474704,0.10835785823666892,0.053060517458739354,0.016120137867190562,0.12598956484047572,-0.30398598453545456,0.05490294162466069,0.05304201831612383,0.10024459141158584,0.11764514850327455,0.03626362319853704,-0.3177537748619456,0.03826730226738388,-0.22390868792825425;-0.17020675940692853,-0.3145246545162688,0.21187337891929292,0.07206838511748545,0.02932066074101004,-0.4561580161343715,0.1308125617457259,0.0350789307978125,-0.4090069720689359,0.01675702909575658,-0.029655483998693714,0.1754745935575456,-0.44322611102151055,0.08872646728780258,0.011358654397224055,-0.43893909725462216,-0.0022224289423787135,0.1932630705467313,-0.3921858044898651,0.25516682404522384,0.21621214916429302,-0.27224596766501524,0.21881761092433852,0.2762591420564218,0.2563854914400511,0.1011456313234232,0.011558196766389636,0.14478471321776504,0.2163213942593651,0.21358805794333657,-0.43599618840018245,0.08541938933751243,0.07822501714293482,0.0892828427406912,0.023998122031812678,0.09518665051131422,-0.41422421248763625,0.04181933072107228,0.26702068248610794,0.08495202247269205,-0.17260495304515247,-0.34043714245618034,0.2651909075253142,0.22840636287445198,0.19444692405491482,0.20928109250290647,0.08879750864965998,0.06832666088517415,0.04133100348494354,0.08915186776289533,0.2740036267875294,0.026438780404439716,0.05713934439096354,0.08804541147735301,0.22388306168462851,-0.2133390787727764,0.24123799766911114,0.0180725808204705,0.191051198282971,0.26540320479538104,0.011226964566042191,-0.3335617743853662,-0.07270594313429264,-0.4320774681174807,0.2548965020980934,0.01805026223304348,-0.43595860619452415,0.02095219733598127,0.018857029841360586,0.016761502214019904,0.014275233879935859,0.26891514965877356,-0.4040140295762952,-0.45097344854542903,0.07983724023161369,0.027149209899697074,0.05202624893738857,-0.37205093200850964,0.09690665472044568,0.2139208894369409,-0.43249550547116544,0.2782717165723787,0.024429417770249283,0.2561751420749707,-0.3902467260483302,0.19473909868750122,0.029983043386944214,0.11874506203420637,0.03489922018617256,0.05528025609745115,0.14613486595561218,-0.42977741123655083,0.05912951957594563,0.0936513845551313,0.10672523646754967,0.21452694360142566,0.07828527120699033,-0.4520025034996134,0.014368027700797533,-0.29936660689278877;-0.21131832903791634,-0.23016441961660605,0.18712704400949529,0.08443551290831294,-0.11080451672765189,-0.21702778301344142,-0.13299583686129873,0.1608579473500823,-0.22460235386528282,0.15415331394826923,-0.15575697819787374,-0.09130675480218993,-0.21873008495377497,0.1693302621760564,0.14538446606833194,-0.220882457844319,-0.1364990296820395,0.18648108126207735,-0.22565796706841015,0.02908836914348272,-0.04075790855349252,-0.22796887720231077,-0.038252330717574105,0.14991591984683109,0.18064169747395747,0.01393325731475409,0.14298984420377842,0.17862255590899878,0.18910532929145124,0.18947240724061806,-0.22178825415468456,-0.038639409910711874,0.07670626789635664,0.17027728744796627,0.12698397444698806,0.04058815031467034,-0.22349494396858174,0.11057437321543623,0.05939272901596395,-0.0402718621668374,-0.21323380098438477,-0.22915722310130884,0.17167702612044183,0.1886545422823406,0.18797745597132404,-0.05045622734901003,0.059955826536361875,-0.066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k{231}	=[0.7253672608025679;1.0098945129614048;0.5819789162911007];
x_a_linear{231}	=[4.033694214517915,5.499139607803678,18.29416693950656];
L_a{231}	=[0.11101723199686062,0.1820848455741348,-0.13134363962421602,-0.04697644291584254,0.0030534570477226634,0.24991244914831687,-0.039191877022856696,-0.04159969940740477,0.22738704233460275,-0.03142984650915054,0.03743142975035164,-0.06601949956126145,0.2441608393361026,-0.0693586055049911,-0.027635815491853805,0.24202151739271108,0.021581182132525297,-0.12218512603007557,0.21934334623834906,-0.12287290531203612,-0.09293430257692455,0.16156521420526848,-0.09438798815398354,-0.15405350388679395,-0.1507780508563608,-0.0494164025708166,-0.02714365634361598,-0.09782691777245812,-0.13366382831994006,-0.1325037474377438,0.24044551687335955,-0.03400453848519972,-0.048848204970826446,-0.06982320425758327,-0.03060845354052199,-0.051027619243374435,0.2304996422523899,-0.03678586210408346,-0.13308403914596303,-0.03305692488118428,0.11232668187546882,0.19456022643436896,-0.1530418913494899,-0.13937113694808054,-0.12290364279986875,-0.08763215945675469,-0.05091729507665367,-0.02159701291991132,-0.03667543592775979,-0.05108238775395852,-0.15505010072500605,-0.03172183647040193,-0.04252655356061933,-0.03596202627712011,-0.09820804653917586,0.13222497836363917,-0.11128657148189815,-0.028643183952371164,-0.07630376818422975,-0.1528693873304465,-0.026707267753085826,0.19131684171737565,0.060753802377734804,0.23856319108783453,-0.15012400093054465,-0.029150366150174883,0.2402339750793662,-0.029039427117820666,0.009605900471375644,-0.030402024720754157,-0.027343295260386712,-0.15326294818634797,0.2251131284611365,0.24742679069734136,-0.06467265036207608,-0.03168426871808805,-0.04056792327501097,0.21017839329316362,-0.044299630640594494,-0.09117222124824188,0.23892448011371611,-0.14864717865887886,-0.03592394867639511,-0.12264248549354909,0.2186137350864893,-0.07836543677121496,-0.03263811738711773,-0.08458165052792381,-0.04141781886020289,-0.012583008650527704,-0.09834455494891033,0.23728446397682415,-0.04285597276488595,-0.0414033788551932,-0.07824862115279427,-0.09183109558400539,-0.02830654974331152,0.24803128427105264,-0.029870575514300567,0.1747779690435471;0.18236982820092068,0.2637536213233468,-0.20525729016467958,-0.07712281379198675,0.03901805137964195,0.33753208887495945,0.0063441525256508445,-0.09703641561065987,0.31314531015372593,-0.08306015992898984,0.08922196892712853,-0.034194927580808825,0.33219761385595314,-0.13154762899735997,-0.07640917539476211,0.32969041363436,0.06631665653080651,-0.19478132596044498,0.30442072352545113,-0.1350618718531307,-0.07893535798319135,0.240864572707992,-0.0809466164475224,-0.21299516317588849,-0.22246639219006503,-0.055794568651720444,-0.07464659826131273,-0.16590111657649817,-0.2081778985799525,-0.20722696578354724,0.3276281455880028,-0.02257469344263198,-0.07691065963082747,-0.13246676000278795,-0.07321042755241572,-0.06687056838142769,0.31781329059544955,-0.07500788159167375,-0.15563727378936323,-0.020032560206747395,0.1841302805813273,0.27746135389959214,-0.2208506451462578,-0.2142186151791348,-0.19587939018949924,-0.06902748347422756,-0.07290933474250928,-2.627011522460434E-4,-0.07514550935772493,-0.07307928894312797,-0.21841574305788122,-0.07430573154398278,-0.0779195727467792,-0.026165403187971562,-0.08801318452510008,0.2065906098839521,-0.11219397783514355,-0.07289452288498394,-0.051279850006692884,-0.22009049708502137,-0.07359191588468282,0.2740361452468822,0.12024039448606015,0.3255688389438082,-0.22187820227956334,-0.07452758752850187,0.3269938980018245,-0.07127332419006024,0.0493641461527636,-0.07979145573322999,-0.07256358891771438,-0.21782845136876028,0.3109165918320926,0.33482252184317673,-0.12555485940982822,-0.0734759916527023,-0.07681230790075055,0.29544887287132704,-0.04378332937130835,-0.07563047186201416,0.32629820951585037,-0.1938127883859493,-0.08966046728544227,-0.13332176983041102,0.30404264988549073,-0.05413954642206983,-0.07367146003843178,-0.14987548615436888,-0.0966384967720674,0.015318223428787973,-0.16619491357518942,0.3238078214025755,-0.07697559099360683,-0.037840472786544906,-0.14178241711772105,-0.07711691866145626,-0.011612725130468526,0.3357132614795829,-0.08049711526198558,0.25570595982502076;-0.008136573189053394,0.10308401372812241,-0.05325574016209241,-0.0015399341776373718,-0.10521613415671113,0.24035751936808894,-0.2047241104390613,0.0847229202344685,0.1915573511445726,0.09663097002989436,-0.08725064378643002,-0.21213446415725357,0.22812872384127955,0.04239138074068457,0.09480588997747054,0.22206100212636026,-0.09700153546326283,-0.03713995484975204,0.1757803089618644,-0.19579142833026894,-0.2108446098387757,0.06772489317787979,-0.21099954139123178,-0.13203005242595542,-0.0953095991439475,-0.07650776036758801,0.09331200899879026,-4.185223521886187E-4,-0.055523822805354034,-0.05303358553819934,0.21827083780410286,-0.10087390911393881,-0.012694844683340163,0.04248810567075602,0.07096492927427582,-0.052801687354397234,0.19836138583704344,0.04324954518393594,-0.184175303286446,-0.10077205587111658,-0.007655513347203141,0.1269234295527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x_a{231}	=[4.033694214517912,5.499139607803676,18.29416693950655];
std_x_a{231}	=[1.2637150023774641,1.7805349762066036,1.3215601037780644];
pred_a{231}	=[4.033694214517912];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.1 to 23.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{232}	=[6.415277307626589,9.730202368765449,17.74173333584562];
std_x_f{232}	=[1.7139259528321125,2.0157837534174288,2.8862369187237604];
pred_f{232}	=[6.415277307626589];
obs{232}	=[6.91205523914917];
sqrt_r{232}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{232}	=[3.9759024136351333];
L_f{232}	=[0.19585770815484735,0.26100589088206577,-0.20746304990499878,-0.0703889883792549,0.0554983045291866,0.30623978534348667,0.021221382155470342,-0.09315208372931832,0.29276083534071917,-0.07952261189219756,0.10681003824443389,-0.023553117915881862,0.3034635420407733,-0.12787909298510405,-0.07211708373750493,0.3025444353994208,0.08374692636575605,-0.19582910922110972,0.28779347244979864,-0.13568180104094812,-0.07292426188929364,0.24378987276019007,-0.0764514653715145,-0.2197453888932987,-0.2275602789454847,-0.04744448944915159,-0.07054644323927527,-0.16387693413882395,-0.21051034088836554,-0.20953264463717988,0.3007552858389354,-0.010662745512485224,-0.07068686520163202,-0.1284342972224592,-0.06818413951106546,-0.059098936147568934,0.2957093736224045,-0.06923108991737871,-0.1585590450053295,-0.008399112610866528,0.19719438744505555,0.27023385977255143,-0.22727360745319938,-0.21743000897760048,-0.19662261538083026,-0.06277914937135609,-0.06575709622069521,0.012289240906664153,-0.06892017217879877,-0.06506094509140357,-0.2250338919133077,-0.06951633353459141,-0.0714888000252691,-0.01469523082159319,-0.08406596421577342,0.2165747297558896,-0.11086872083939965,-0.06777566618655287,-0.04245161595099809,-0.22624496090294063,-0.06962783767462469,0.2680287708424513,0.1378466074712978,0.2995017901498724,-0.22706010547762023,-0.06986294767276353,0.30120854426282095,-0.06649730870133286,0.06564829725514859,-0.07600190024479533,-0.06827695878054407,-0.2239630002640227,0.2919833090141737,0.3046677109689348,-0.12169202121694085,-0.06858816617863041,-0.07104994602725496,0.28220634845872034,-0.03375652193841508,-0.07008097317167196,0.30056226208343273,-0.20002985691368744,-0.08566318047919182,-0.13455767077990982,0.287399245894683,-0.04588746367135053,-0.06858410891266373,-0.14748895935168885,-0.09244309220071706,0.030275722722405047,-0.1643983798868996,0.29894733394224465,-0.07047738819689234,-0.02737931054345014,-0.1385765131206384,-0.07170956946432909,6.105902984525558E-4,0.30555384346312553,-0.07625665983018336,0.25540058931659193;0.2814064155108487,0.3126764454925882,-0.2783980167406173,-0.08057393578824322,0.12949223243844593,0.29895976008993186,0.11018006437144952,-0.13556258197248033,0.30778332657835417,-0.11846921300415615,0.19546979737953166,0.04554679852423537,0.3012846644751911,-0.1763536072816733,-0.10758530543331067,0.3035395527573184,0.16625379739897933,-0.26253172603739955,0.3093200237390298,-0.13231581833528402,-0.031344050027003745,0.30806717474876705,-0.03622349650982924,-0.28098075660253824,-0.3011804395614359,-0.025954332161874153,-0.10466670941111096,-0.2206450200870609,-0.28208732759777666,-0.2808733336411031,0.3047051600867098,0.03421723863174271,-0.07719296072893408,-0.17767603233664855,-0.09568782403955563,-0.05013852323241409,0.3075594598404524,-0.09005334454881511,-0.1716705792108686,0.03740718867680174,0.28231675813129314,0.31341188860234315,-0.2974284089073772,-0.29070519570857783,-0.26350677767888014,-0.01484793854261844,-0.06505465857061643,0.06974625133703208,-0.09028840773842109,-0.06388243389009145,-0.2911760912084673,-0.09694452247517525,-0.08809838187902283,0.027225207631958407,-0.04791169244038242,0.29333110671813917,-0.09095795053642924,-0.09816845888617777,0.016701602040685635,-0.29559623441848254,-0.10355353093368486,0.31275420166806944,0.22959357361699917,0.30391598477200155,-0.30054680142817963,-0.10101102996701246,0.3034273004436557,-0.09346659904090697,0.14342558503240865,-0.1131143196768641,-0.0996517878375005,-0.2909280117036191,0.309281138830527,0.2997992125231882,-0.16903458018296968,-0.09464994389307059,-0.08904726628936153,0.3126753083424459,-0.0037395019149575035,-0.025846723732309028,0.3046073760733055,-0.2436740665830796,-0.12663269921562026,-0.130318842974495,0.3104550857452619,0.011376501490266372,-0.09351229430389978,-0.20090736422084124,-0.1355977906602408,0.09509427457096085,-0.22208017772762495,0.30471466284968574,-0.08591428112593277,0.006721235455290696,-0.18963074018988926,-0.028840776375735247,0.05126973626756331,0.3001087089948663,-0.11319033671476747,0.31179975198511206;0.2141485361139734,0.4022010879489528,-0.2580635795258375,-0.10213414892783358,-0.04687263212933507,0.5875895692364632,-0.16422932868457274,-0.0567239350727164,0.5252342607251532,-0.03405364241723189,0.030064569215481493,-0.21862655291706054,0.5729157900149273,-0.12038705791485088,-0.028769406133623963,0.5664938181961746,-0.00691450291013189,-0.23733748144835817,0.5039309887071367,-0.31157304052206497,-0.26687816393048797,0.3462554524350581,-0.26967121696678886,-0.3275409829711574,-0.30485867045917364,-0.13665359254542156,-0.028222096307480047,-0.18384427548807306,-0.2620965721701572,-0.25927218706265154,0.5604716004115093,-0.11892538782220918,-0.11020801115070002,-0.12107641625723774,-0.04366674506135183,-0.13080667340272228,0.5358075963450312,-0.06604863747799394,-0.32145994174703985,-0.11576865013926696,0.21657578161655056,0.43624150930372274,-0.3143479610661717,-0.27562398598735494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k{232}	=[0.7484847725209361;0.8667627354216143;1.1932269540401457];
x_a_linear{232}	=[6.787108024695689,10.160790967589053,18.334502153910673];
L_a{232}	=[-0.13933426224039297,-0.1856810415533734,0.14759036686879373,0.05007511758443107,-0.03948180232484544,-0.21786068550213095,-0.015097009222716732,0.06626891014326805,-0.20827168554852232,0.056572828120036785,-0.0759852549019431,0.016755819003436014,-0.21588565058505943,0.09097389755507188,0.05130449422776662,-0.21523179301162235,-0.05957802891703265,0.13931391679996816,-0.20473787597724133,0.09652478743671324,0.0518787252515829,-0.1734334705676477,0.054387997414506416,0.156328091095446,0.1618876473169979,0.03375227351043667,0.05018713184704948,0.11658296184288075,0.14975822661247817,0.14906268806494025,-0.2139589820694518,0.007585536425579955,0.05028702881159404,0.09136887293558345,0.048506575844129145,0.042043311671978466,-0.2103692920713217,0.04925138218256835,0.11279978595426163,0.00597517539715022,-0.14028518331727047,-0.1922458699149782,0.1616837076239462,0.15468091695356853,0.13987842149263235,0.04466143581554467,0.046779963756838294,-0.008742634289740231,0.04903019357513199,0.04628471797396118,0.1600903615395916,0.04945430607735694,0.05085752970261852,0.010454268888718752,0.059804994216880784,-0.1540724665612439,0.0788726242598568,0.0482159856506054,0.030200315551371693,0.1609519227504442,0.0495336307423633,-0.19067715739329874,-0.09806484276416322,-0.2130672382687994,0.16153182113178569,0.04970088930187879,-0.21428143263160393,0.04730655502997439,-0.04670256356799823,0.05406817428448747,0.04857260798836445,0.1593285232678265,-0.20771854899800155,-0.21674230305382788,0.08657238030886849,0.04879400266118411,0.05054532652909715,-0.2007631649144171,0.024014577339852003,0.04985599385367913,-0.21382166389688062,0.14230235205798034,0.06094126274467227,0.09572507492062456,-0.20445742101465603,0.03264459671750863,0.0487911162996232,0.10492446548809711,0.06576452962894967,-0.021538317429845053,0.11695392124647551,-0.21267279504079306,0.05013800570606136,0.019477793706266493,0.09858410170022473,0.05101458630869458,-4.343773322353179E-4,-0.21737270263569014,0.05424941166959278,-0.18169339886308927;-0.10675366444991338,-0.20459738778903866,0.13276207901809067,0.05892629432803891,0.01950306465596404,-0.30796074707803056,0.06812252437494991,0.04905062835007209,-0.27242395924054175,0.03913246467073994,-0.016211393910592786,0.09222548285932382,-0.30013375225924205,0.07708323432153726,0.03533974588994595,-0.29605733491522135,2.801732774335478E-4,0.12557167520231152,-0.2610427070960537,0.13658479955429248,0.11318070517767065,-0.17508713863370418,0.1152916375703819,0.1545210601367627,0.14980929632140402,0.06807340354368373,0.03514557220230892,0.10413404762652327,0.13511203372219366,0.13438838295396568,-0.29134590626992507,0.05534917257357823,0.06289761577851959,0.07686113931329114,0.03944273218928776,0.06698654678270043,-0.2784913787595341,0.04715210756877306,0.1425692440138152,0.0540529477503016,-0.10849241613909447,-0.22215037037440752,0.15299318783804408,0.14020789147964308,0.12616923164099378,0.10957075229894074,0.06526586834391712,0.04539085180781635,0.046300852882772456,0.06505842775338228,0.154806731228585,0.040826238949402814,0.05358150703384407,0.05634891189914882,0.11869421599889535,-0.1358869476106877,0.12876693010061524,0.0361525655667742,0.1008342246330796,0.15278674188681712,0.034438214675375986,-0.21843790765518112,-0.04359736016067969,-0.28965084447453465,0.1494516669926358,0.03744666776891068,-0.29352205491940014,0.03832091601710633,0.013320681059469243,0.03750984494812946,0.035662722014624434,0.1529324669557392,-0.26938520849824404,-0.3040056832109477,0.07214042962981397,0.041281331516374795,0.05176288099033146,-0.24661459561460097,0.06316077164717948,0.11304306726094403,-0.2910611466649239,0.15275457534083706,0.0431386480433181,0.13635392033574578,-0.2591263482361111,0.10231844978359518,0.042410940223739396,0.09139323908254973,0.047610306679901994,0.03509241371232398,0.10373231586015728,-0.287753318830854,0.05376114393470921,0.0609828495114192,0.08500675516497234,0.11327664386498038,0.050059639502399396,-0.3054523660749787,0.037938722519514606,-0.19436522924083016;-0.3202111576795835,-0.3099027615446147,0.30795903385563717,0.08990852649773455,-0.1982889705194045,-0.2479261705585375,-0.22212774574103977,0.19742342224485449,-0.27350678348093055,0.18290834973873996,-0.26134586271528426,-0.15436644798688484,-0.2550255094626083,0.22850619532434777,0.16798804163958359,-0.2589398774292401,-0.23540171615566052,0.2969441857124019,-0.28125757120634365,0.05860838527241023,-0.06791848743679639,-0.3188778373669018,-0.061088251247141026,0.27199160539515543,0.3159953266719907,-0.007210523426097433,0.16425016410394083,0.2632620915333148,0.31223998245014944,0.31239691334138514,-0.2600807483407151,-0.08983415888499752,0.08264736329546427,0.22933160384541973,0.14236042871678922,0.030433288612826084,-0.27097796154490605,0.12283493701985868,0.11113759825000924,-0.09285330366062966,-0.3214307818506341,-0.3010390599478383,0.3057239086099129,0.3175915382489615,0.29905280090010417,-0.08558737701165611,0.05715197119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x_a{232}	=[6.787108024695691,10.160790967589062,18.334502153910673];
std_x_a{232}	=[1.2192964495618517,1.4697426274812424,2.1303204514409533];
pred_a{232}	=[6.787108024695691];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.2 to 23.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{233}	=[10.780662690552413,14.78970329155567,24.219457361230898];
std_x_f{233}	=[1.1093663989779652,1.035732385856716,3.37297059494963];
pred_f{233}	=[10.780662690552413];
obs{233}	=[11.547080491188243];
sqrt_r{233}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{233}	=[2.2332234013432464];
L_f{233}	=[-0.05029507095042712,-0.14221482119640108,0.06320347054551093,0.04498127696599601,0.052977297585441015,-0.24255586933007897,0.09969306883231607,0.017886319125752483,-0.20808688279042398,0.01208107952727129,0.02820948394483461,0.11129333335072969,-0.23501484281656942,0.03450611257295987,0.01181022387830459,-0.23050903530251726,0.04063112166392067,0.05938324294449497,-0.19691346179636493,0.113877816427319,0.11637471055173115,-0.11371902450881113,0.1167265800267501,0.08703534461434265,0.0751327742918789,0.0671459385417019,0.012035142981714857,0.048988714022625245,0.0640392363158401,0.06321327116370633,-0.22678872998782965,0.06966102095615495,0.04858566571487265,0.034345508482538215,0.019376598259831342,0.06108092313161993,-0.21400553484444312,0.02893956954212177,0.10895095240890615,0.06880334251476872,-0.0503491762304404,-0.15883880209470908,0.07895170729444141,0.06665289409497847,0.05934678945295043,0.11568920032894456,0.05503564201619458,0.06690230008327516,0.028848695331969633,0.05627140362971542,0.08366446776883081,0.02068321979969375,0.03650920098594162,0.06934485579331158,0.11676441408627004,-0.07637067802065389,0.11644134005773302,0.015945167523314784,0.11458201842156691,0.07975693158196283,0.011819077706591227,-0.15526270324290606,0.006709503907840505,-0.22487813580801794,0.07431540055883865,0.016078347898706775,-0.2279011612291209,0.018662988335571822,0.049464189279142555,0.012423501872024133,0.01407520990787428,0.0816025967121762,-0.20492841694332398,-0.23853737359022434,0.031949179821598735,0.021713655823656555,0.03421382392212688,-0.1828449153204371,0.06889042617488672,0.1166569054972915,-0.22563597066647034,0.09792015076753528,0.014352073932521638,0.11393573651949224,-0.19541164691905558,0.11441884954763906,0.022169095949539256,0.04201938470829424,0.0169544394346571,0.06203358781880137,0.04969219300717945,-0.22272277345011293,0.03811195580423431,0.06890524326786765,0.038831611716307175,0.11679614755247285,0.06776320290592693,-0.2400314934349992,0.011703751243587225,-0.13272510025709747;0.12811849058851218,0.012355984791199369,-0.1104028432708112,0.010772185790875247,0.17406190190621243,-0.14480603413518917,0.2248403372124302,-0.06738148584188813,-0.08835504335686141,-0.062256146608933215,0.18288387839126155,0.19533530647324096,-0.1316776284086493,-0.07475700961042804,-0.05486223873838286,-0.12414496262536413,0.1813565501288604,-0.10425456396248116,-0.07076750680727589,0.06994296675479608,0.14776618291355648,0.05182064548326467,0.14386183159762314,-0.07810957598143765,-0.11101966071419189,0.08152041228866515,-0.053075960419935404,-0.08772482001782343,-0.111959030079068,-0.11294023924772635,-0.11833677554340528,0.12950704171395266,0.018670690268957346,-0.07540859476070044,-0.03508986910264236,0.0556103035899269,-0.09652490755958215,-0.017641660224126797,0.03424427997313159,0.13024749185537343,0.12729654995779383,-0.013152799620926107,-0.10278363823245273,-0.11438722295720886,-0.10577877415593402,0.1580014417164492,0.037024775062809746,0.14935366966828606,-0.018102960543232877,0.040148276037006,-0.09033823232411677,-0.033992930093306145,-0.005735865749667736,0.12417507669383365,0.1351449349845962,0.0973851868616058,0.10315799322795252,-0.040816093375547355,0.17958051081687157,-0.09919818447003677,-0.05188654201216719,-0.0071755856155082155,0.1758074106255948,-0.1155595539721539,-0.11095683753626959,-0.04411914721834869,-0.120261888418336,-0.03427711735021206,0.17801801080043037,-0.05701221896532827,-0.045723396003286385,-0.09357415090377864,-0.08317290216066112,-0.13776878828531638,-0.07281183641969541,-0.031515936312642774,-0.009109225065337583,-0.04819928252226719,0.10088517991255246,0.15166844959320855,-0.116992076076763,-0.03575736451813075,-0.06535474361010443,0.07134152363097838,-0.06784491606285734,0.17528521035791547,-0.029485994434001298,-0.08260571855597086,-0.06717063544337504,0.16189011147129673,-0.08728873218806932,-0.11237559509067357,-0.0021141461584229717,0.10873874450064053,-0.07854132355259141,0.1492954145584908,0.13872333958104882,-0.13972199458677223,-0.058201529335945856,0.026524145133101824;-0.37200317232888996,-0.5211483873685115,0.3728172783665664,0.1488895129266388,-0.07546526915581363,-0.6242204712643141,7.338324462171573E-4,0.1846613536374284,-0.5943583574707298,0.16105000076507775,-0.17746308796120952,0.08345685651777143,-0.6189385721738869,0.24440577969706015,0.1480369940753744,-0.6162835447280701,-0.13166782189985884,0.35492551121152355,-0.5837511577161317,0.2698767663549154,0.16721780438938147,-0.48130331066991405,0.17449317888704885,0.3939144804097926,0.4048544075218977,0.11416019269554022,0.14516001836560397,0.30506069788503015,0.37749794895733024,0.37645246494988943,-0.6108445282442299,0.04926254260444574,0.1504778170022251,0.24502645158583322,0.14144905555843362,0.13249262086641558,-0.6015503145207625,0.1448680527987208,0.30452115151108305,0.04530552131461264,-0.3752949109312395,-0.5410458358887147,0.4047835213881408,0.38800740575578924,0.3575488179612268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k{233}	=[0.5522167646109576;0.24927431425265428;1.5370067412784905];
x_a_linear{233}	=[11.203891448759776,14.980751563240194,25.397446687444003];
L_a{233}	=[0.10414522503270214,0.29448202928439876,-0.13087444829927417,-0.09314203406730005,-0.10969927021473509,0.5022566847411764,-0.20643289474580315,-0.03703692419868032,0.4308822877677672,-0.02501610440605139,-0.058412941824595395,-0.23045338295427623,0.4866415978472515,-0.0714512732759976,-0.024455247805593813,0.4773114919613783,-0.08413423480783808,-0.12296396212904692,0.40774565783919353,-0.23580503206259354,-0.24097531208319503,0.235476224094459,-0.24170392275946004,-0.18022274110307254,-0.15557627294474446,-0.13903805576395434,-0.024920984312097848,-0.10144017195994574,-0.13260505554528734,-0.1308947422876935,0.46960791332301804,-0.14424599799525534,-0.10060558606680085,-0.07111871287152732,-0.040122822137529254,-0.1264793222186263,0.4431379489768674,-0.059924718771834404,-0.22560305098956007,-0.1424700165204124,0.10425725999867319,0.3289050492519054,-0.16348407840998985,-0.1380171162586549,-0.12288847844827287,-0.23955583667407,-0.1139614521718285,-0.13853355737872533,-0.05973654695127387,-0.11652032461986128,-0.1732427185879563,-0.04282842313838412,-0.07559903745225256,-0.14359131968563968,-0.24178226516097473,0.15813958103768203,-0.24111328077009134,-0.03301741161746289,-0.23726321223360286,-0.16515144388022396,-0.0244735812908021,0.3215000767044507,-0.013893265903304329,0.46565167552391507,-0.15388374980570374,-0.033293186159640324,0.47191140747798,-0.03864516111144525,-0.10242473121499242,-0.0257251530558814,-0.029145319323297156,-0.16897323410118878,0.42434210141971457,0.493935647804324,-0.06615667219975183,-0.04496213106581069,-0.07084603569028056,0.3786141363813022,-0.1426503393076813,-0.24155964878961794,0.4672209124367913,-0.20276174074736994,-0.029718617374288585,-0.23592496630106452,0.40463587301536835,-0.23692534097162002,-0.045905203885923215,-0.0870088896085716,-0.03510729534442949,-0.12845199024259632,-0.10289685500597201,0.46118860004655327,-0.07891783704968944,-0.14268102083280224,-0.08040801740916877,-0.24184797515832243,-0.14031621552995308,0.49702949864337115,-0.02423477656869288,0.27483181100167;0.19783386567549233,0.20948384275579104,-0.1980109045104938,-0.05157759394532604,0.10062861903235223,0.191407298311683,0.08665304458354868,-0.09217420256767439,0.2000798829744565,-0.07900206176092696,0.14378194022792384,0.041068569542421836,0.19408288069001928,-0.12258687713737745,-0.07123271345843538,0.1953699232944153,0.12503663977826404,-0.18656730311414096,0.20217963471957645,-0.08790619294003442,-0.01354399010020216,0.20944969935161228,-0.017936077330789797,-0.19875165046213653,-0.21516325653984344,-0.011552411798131395,-0.06975820166824126,-0.15562941799487645,-0.20072556913898837,-0.2005618853926622,0.19602129330562787,0.0329479930213473,-0.048675231411947045,-0.12301584456005411,-0.06194830254486421,-0.029055636557111054,0.20011402445575163,-0.05775559002598208,-0.11677561859221884,0.034877294736398716,0.19708692185497897,0.20701801348546645,-0.21222076166776052,-0.20677662463524227,-0.1880409841247485,-0.0023585268060058303,-0.03926163539068203,0.05661855952032802,-0.058090927113964685,-0.03785105742815844,-0.20630784210368253,-0.06266250743147804,-0.05634226897692566,0.028054273191076024,-0.026705416769736947,0.2032446749435422,-0.05824453676860802,-0.0629181267101517,0.020755237454473604,-0.2097514513399371,-0.06826928926605448,0.2080382989471849,0.16650718353090216,0.1961501879659611,-0.21396744924820332,-0.06640578551819536,0.19563815183623634,-0.06014639653545731,0.10945434355025996,-0.07423277510602125,-0.06523342988160838,-0.20668574475098078,0.20088398817092623,0.19287439717706265,-0.11709746944284975,-0.06161382924031861,-0.05653394328955385,0.20524706149175065,0.005394273747654199,-0.010032881562006674,0.19576812151063522,-0.1714871668691579,-0.08524854629442731,-0.08658792068965379,0.2030205187379812,0.016686109839762982,-0.06021518539159471,-0.14084993832753023,-0.09067164821143756,0.07590365671429988,-0.1561684416491552,0.19634654006231866,-0.054942171727955326,0.013227299957421147,-0.13236688388836673,-0.012598923822311297,0.04479490845629442,0.1929922313063091,-0.07442441942144964,0.21049804104430744;0.05785660604699591,0.6943272122485081,-0.16736746196432326,-0.23555455648774548,-0.5282493883287803,1.448845741064245,-0.8513186582662426,0.031791320251163956,1.1841097832221095,0.05779594286240757,-0.4185627084106312,-0.8677402827806666,1.389676314715268,-0.05050959914484877,0.04709787374087023,1.3538212976816977,-0.47893216855584614,-0.1526086699515158,1.0992204625136837,-0.7034093232427264,-0.8274086339674015,0.49062562289617595,-0.8231406025689807,-0.34995551002457725,-0.23728719990729352,-0.45971986582601365,0.04229856898140493,-0.11363396452913088,-0.1698298787978111,-0.16381603888875199,1.3274637665547697,-0.5461133155818402,-0.26477208923660145,-0.04851628303050237,-0.024158032298332657,-0.38955122128725933,1.2275031104185659,-0.102471432256014,-0.6266562257411576,-0.5427399671601876,0.055027292156172934,0.8165108983133476,-0.2699975805897688,-0.181658721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x_a{233}	=[11.203891448759778,14.98075156324019,25.39744668744401];
std_x_a{233}	=[2.297147833416018,1.3697434419556995,6.551502158789367];
pred_a{233}	=[11.203891448759778];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.3 to 23.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{234}	=[12.34470301224268,10.476102033958721,33.830217540427476];
std_x_f{234}	=[1.6238570594146353,5.789543904564817,2.4571009349493256];
pred_f{234}	=[12.34470301224268];
obs{234}	=[13.178305607402397];
sqrt_r{234}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{234}	=[3.6447760802999034];
L_f{234}	=[0.08868106274260598,-0.10300186718415931,-0.03795036257839476,0.05497186364360264,0.204107410360991,-0.3599298147611071,0.27303458779198103,-0.03223229964404062,-0.26714790176741604,-0.032491620042217374,0.19702509837647422,0.2507475328183659,-0.33856075831876714,-0.026750818963755637,-0.026064764241877474,-0.3259240342560095,0.20386654105908725,-0.0347613878861693,-0.2377729088678483,0.14147312108784585,0.21071822628942294,-0.038260987610087796,0.20707311131112957,0.002538188276735584,-0.030926436688431525,0.12881852413164147,-0.02399089579727448,-0.028038984441837965,-0.03822759645532893,-0.040221446926299254,-0.3168899240423519,0.17337291175518244,0.06325236353483575,-0.026887430769231824,-0.003208971540294886,0.10370225745647806,-0.28197478368301443,0.018508385025394772,0.10824271055316485,0.1737979679147181,0.08903170019378245,-0.14284270997896661,-0.02245989934127812,-0.03902965232781262,-0.03623501936932975,0.21932253036483138,0.08343088143638049,0.18996778745538564,0.018937180336358092,0.08748690376140543,-0.009731460715563849,-0.0014461194074328787,0.03473066306715015,0.16803674663558024,0.1990839391311034,0.039009216623576835,0.17131487726793265,-0.010799618343250019,0.23847705945198364,-0.01892847364854179,-0.0237889054513726,-0.13338571079217795,0.176359462969927,-0.311716535787132,-0.03226121726516771,-0.013318189670743387,-0.3193827550188448,-0.003187860074947138,0.20595901157637964,-0.027548669174219418,-0.016878136016777942,-0.012778029668743595,-0.25834065670352063,-0.348659643461925,-0.026561874082781357,0.0023374638107220447,0.029384110519826135,-0.20126242030065197,0.1478022741507161,0.21342075566615218,-0.3133883883617657,0.04439208224866184,-0.03332196360437277,0.142029508500446,-0.23396937572808083,0.23411712508495386,0.0027134831477500987,-0.028010825406292454,-0.032856475814380434,0.19820896850015488,-0.02667463239626255,-0.3059741317515897,0.039207490722239544,0.15416828129820992,-0.02705855037576576,0.211996707286673,0.18054840675514708,-0.3520160362803331,-0.029745318434900695,-0.08063123087228494;-0.09449876731773185,-0.6478379974202838,0.1639195483662726,0.22186921637914178,0.44505063588137433,-1.2770851238688319,0.7226802368340679,0.0041517126547043854,-1.0596654809348514,-0.01696618107876015,0.33810682588515,0.741042024525892,-1.2296931481955187,0.07308746479696883,-0.010117213668455163,-1.199819027094331,0.39616879787818765,0.15363746148804652,-0.9893042089700698,0.6048674993065738,0.7088796667521209,-0.47343412529615836,0.7060230262073693,0.3098903041146684,0.21797543283806112,0.40453905709046817,-0.0065805507350615855,0.12435319373758787,0.16611422058132935,0.16122190415543883,-1.1784141377157682,0.47214644150770896,0.2457828140412378,0.07165260786970727,0.04803439719815795,0.3478600572302939,-1.095961988530454,0.11194828486473814,0.5404225265661884,0.4692181314036051,-0.09217644167648578,-0.7514323930403801,0.2441672846392063,0.17507381935535335,0.15123559937550912,0.7177694694951414,0.29723186284161146,0.4833688147275611,0.11253648359406394,0.30730312037514024,0.27928880500151493,0.054796316040965715,0.16240183878742404,0.46379385038713095,0.695290053801227,-0.24844640824785394,0.6561885486350502,0.025151693828427114,0.7384688965623136,0.25167051110935457,-0.007139115734749162,-0.7285935356930202,0.22873816860342147,-1.1666538900047707,0.21355513146558486,0.022710523062112766,-1.1850121345359244,0.04502950055096369,0.43385931930379135,-0.010928788781360894,0.010438059942470304,0.26753706149666,-1.0392419408634297,-1.2522729561226593,0.06330076367310232,0.06315698244824428,0.14665369334841932,-0.9008620207327069,0.4365565799699694,0.7143828092174949,-1.1696853424428362,0.40833128393990803,-0.009964195422752595,0.6065969648509798,-0.9801984282904895,0.7320265098158087,0.06612088931785196,0.09821051365033935,-3.025381652978649E-4,0.4742813133869944,0.12911228626631677,-1.1518686397402953,0.17433546112325468,0.4445193584952658,0.08847349661681918,0.7129490179882516,0.47366972905837446,-1.2615621917600062,-0.015525766630771038,-0.5896811975924161;0.2947676091567178,0.375898219594646,-0.2629169450000478,-0.08813691942022765,0.05792210668116313,0.43883024777305324,-0.04901839646621885,-0.06848701635691287,0.4153500648716819,-0.045429743149153476,0.14671442578543148,-0.13163975187273444,0.43303648523785976,-0.13001554418257755,-0.03818497644947859,0.4300327386497051,0.1062219635518963,-0.24200444470107654,0.4082999556913838,-0.2890098357674677,-0.2106897424588207,0.35595934896104875,-0.21680832759345534,-0.32672905145019265,-0.3086357943477141,-0.09424317879545636,-0.037395785771220595,-0.1896319135172481,-0.26652032871596454,-0.26505117960000807,0.4278394658534352,-0.05057723810768079,-0.0925606179105113,-0.12867641269944335,-0.04536939138876415,-0.09936060428077675,0.4198802461294768,-0.060591916128646124,-0.3066670700746899,-0.0466297397110345,0.29409105925538354,0.38488856473206945,-0.31661146715667854,-0.2787655761275343,-0.2433425865234511,-0.195240745054286,-0.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k{234}	=[0.72563472269119;2.443451290747348;-0.7076192670695985];
x_a_linear{234}	=[12.949594000216058,12.512969371072069,33.24034428301324];
L_a{234}	=[-0.06914766164968227,0.08031408331233092,0.02959119737513979,-0.042863444685063125,-0.15914953785340602,0.28064960295944297,-0.2128944186212349,0.025132627880726628,0.20830436792860882,0.025334828876039918,-0.15362721665362225,-0.19551643860134738,0.26398741783276447,0.02085852967196098,0.020323589310236888,0.2541341313155724,-0.15896172380974508,0.027104644595912948,0.18539967996973003,-0.11031143749258401,-0.16430421743110027,0.02983340235021745,-0.1614619964495499,-0.0019791123238148928,0.024114401812807326,-0.10044421486828478,0.01870652306093425,0.021862956410573356,0.029807366123316793,0.03136203961823035,0.2470899261939779,-0.1351847967368558,-0.04932003402963485,0.020965050575187282,0.0025021450064914167,-0.0808602015936785,0.21986539552922874,-0.014431621654474756,-0.08440054836847084,-0.13551622758119508,-0.06942106567852248,0.11137935285482156,0.017512752692694856,0.03043275655481854,0.028253685530274103,-0.17101328798728213,-0.06505391548409928,-0.1481243896391959,-0.014765968043235742,-0.06821653499609608,0.007587953189849334,0.0011275888267198435,-0.027080687402301597,-0.13102400604732561,-0.15523256529840412,-0.030416822136371528,-0.13358007676636144,0.00842083227297611,-0.18594873029497871,0.014759179140570459,0.018549024270742075,0.10400540671834571,-0.13751351299836484,0.24305605820016865,0.02515517594025102,0.01038464858965213,0.2490336718774578,0.0024856836739629356,-0.16059329473218215,0.021480640804756077,0.013160460671890022,0.009963467337422626,0.20143705733365438,0.27186186443186444,0.02071120287753617,-0.0018226005835238477,-0.022911797279641998,0.1569312016719824,-0.11524649488799019,-0.16641147213871244,0.24435965890795966,-0.034614026809362666,0.0259822761879374,-0.11074527181259278,0.18243393492238685,-0.1825491401558609,-0.0021157957380071113,0.021840999846205942,0.025619319416683158,-0.1545503207326412,0.020799124396151964,0.23857850911555797,-0.030571423241322455,-0.12021028867530661,0.021098478392675004,-0.16530109284834688,-0.14077977592499086,0.2744789588575859,0.023193443461186493,0.0628709320606224;-0.6259601049217004,-0.030552768574020478,0.3913542433812576,-0.1075745146619362,-0.778155243373592,0.8799569196133936,-0.9136028968180819,0.19731833192034898,0.5413390269102266,0.17775453284273052,-0.842655098773279,-0.7616758621477729,0.799285169289833,0.2334038343666895,0.14608766299756418,0.753428011743422,-0.8255935632521818,0.3619607847726935,0.43565738130393883,-0.2429741011778955,-0.5539445139453478,-0.2441378694278054,-0.5349561559958127,0.2946790640265805,0.40331607830894134,-0.36746415335684185,0.1371957322324086,0.29238947697167117,0.39521036486753164,0.40226709827835483,0.7206919137485293,-0.5668690679606456,-0.13328555400940376,0.23278768540960104,0.06726560907580716,-0.2736225767829766,0.5938993084831431,0.0010284248825050272,-0.10827082416004105,-0.5723447191555898,-0.6257391326365496,0.10461708770095067,0.3787683795878728,0.4089766458535235,0.36839032515979536,-0.5966198910913012,-0.2027653910744038,-0.6550989855032534,-9.531260334159533E-4,-0.2170016799723591,0.337608980344309,0.06346283999591651,-0.04573735213673175,-0.5432422785412018,-0.49781040433356044,-0.4822267645548455,-0.37049325927851473,0.08987328638505844,-0.6907126342462981,0.3651079419761179,0.1354266488187991,0.07078060442775161,-0.8281755984446578,0.7014482948274359,0.40689505264179776,0.10252579227489392,0.729033332900786,0.06413419243363921,-0.8004431168507662,0.1541690586704118,0.11158791613864444,0.34411517783480555,0.5089811715235277,0.8372274936026897,0.2224847956718633,0.0491486744168793,-0.029443865681698194,0.3052939701224531,-0.44921532997026536,-0.5646374998646699,0.7084361743426904,0.14229167321291245,0.18973272747240374,-0.2445790385982426,0.4219687710778867,-0.6710261443318114,0.049859115511026696,0.2660780411407067,0.19660473882512094,-0.7135754879003591,0.2889720734066534,0.681819594295566,-0.060633142306951354,-0.47940372565477085,0.250634085716523,-0.5575370377464156,-0.6083481763298445,0.8480529584620312,0.16273649403644602,-0.10646211465904354;0.4486778931943934,0.19713348511308318,-0.32878163925531134,0.007269415210924602,0.4121604133874459,-0.18584539672500028,0.42484636856420577,-0.12442773515276842,-0.04829807115068627,-0.10182052506903803,0.4886610366609576,0.3035447486765518,-0.1545521257386901,-0.1764428874915117,-0.08342163852564324,-0.1356242250319776,0.4600422299063227,-0.3023345187624666,-0.004366455924956416,-0.04347637488049569,0.1550219558126821,0.28955554990281623,0.1425770969020171,-0.32232390263338956,-0.3623101246701317,0.1293276155235156,-0.07903314861151478,-0.23829493046932038,-0.33286617580616346,-0.3348574508532142,-0.12213836153905588,0.25031985612457947,0.01721692575692214,-0.17534085242032174,-0.050938717081997056,0.08061969147639643,-0.06950066232984584,-0.028469716549180193,-0.11880659782708533,0.2550050600946915,0.44860989159002085,0.13697811592086576,-0.3555917114181509,-0.3465034300716246,-0.30623021947199963,0.18540414011458553,0.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x_a{234}	=[12.949594000216061,12.51296937107209,33.24034428301323];
std_x_a{234}	=[1.2661769608891298,4.623834855673124,2.221929925755796];
pred_a{234}	=[12.949594000216061];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.4 to 23.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{235}	=[9.247491071882369,3.4503314955986486,34.07277910114367];
std_x_f{235}	=[2.4348410182398754,2.0053126956017957,3.2860097748245027];
pred_f{235}	=[9.247491071882369];
obs{235}	=[8.073942186431788];
sqrt_r{235}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{235}	=[7.07054626406076];
L_f{235}	=[-0.3769555410885595,-0.04663929215752612,0.26054121555226606,-0.030757977583984932,-0.45046098525544415,0.3466798289386789,-0.526556937405278,0.1299156731014273,0.22023469580189506,0.11601187199518415,-0.49865359278356153,-0.4217915144908995,0.31935664851848383,0.15885590327639085,0.09857334720690182,0.30272208203197876,-0.48477992170309725,0.24270231051751673,0.17537087678075644,-0.08029243851444011,-0.28158019513128374,-0.16010678426075872,-0.2691666444276104,0.22396927653306317,0.2755503192549968,-0.18122924541097382,0.0940041378648108,0.19827282651369288,0.26335134214279077,0.2662090026021399,0.29058121099236717,-0.3078014115266327,-0.04469944804869315,0.15811237710609974,0.058504393918411966,-0.12454489451718308,0.24121967930367996,0.024614723419069843,0.0014830225114617667,-0.31162922292823003,-0.37686103196300574,0.022062871340845436,0.2644117595331941,0.27226892683449705,0.2458469577676771,-0.3105025730007496,-0.08406251183385768,-0.36592012714780153,0.023945798939763258,-0.09134324729160473,0.24553116241896822,0.05671471728299598,0.001872004688068132,-0.2925267282536277,-0.2443628031085562,-0.29327177238957913,-0.16099485056073046,0.06941954876565146,-0.37284603674458416,0.25790912221402734,0.09274420084754048,0.0048424622770537155,-0.49389283219525426,0.28351165361507014,0.2762070316982285,0.07664484368826142,0.2941185073264152,0.056442634645310255,-0.4657720304562911,0.10364221689334063,0.08053892706900928,0.24769659588993043,0.2067219695263216,0.33298344880468866,0.15092075256727416,0.04952948417758157,0.009627427376696075,0.11728097422808968,-0.23240824397697538,-0.28886068506422174,0.2864816992887123,0.14564181889135783,0.12387793550824128,-0.0814446957906068,0.1693894560626285,-0.3599690412929143,0.0493776745047299,0.1799592810807308,0.12904684040498093,-0.4056497918418722,0.19751142476738234,0.27593588954966874,-0.006195700693297337,-0.25118246914674336,0.16963559512928442,-0.2836807014281414,-0.3352952781348326,0.33616591456915973,0.10743116401129672,-0.08603826051933898;-0.3675498488178709,-0.11174459826066686,0.2804824648745538,0.06526957679494085,-0.3826652686371417,-0.1142240037425346,-0.44454213616134797,0.1516934132967069,-0.04957253137261569,0.13598404111840215,-0.4597890721607241,-0.3011930807121865,-0.0917141871660031,0.18940110611272865,0.12465656870438033,-0.08120759600068528,-0.43396695539989993,0.26687508313828634,-0.04522533653624027,0.09656053081774918,-0.12412555525101157,-0.18523299324314557,-0.10848495407842129,0.3008338899470265,0.30521836904606114,-0.058907170007395974,0.12270964608259993,0.22998219934580205,0.2827044727438737,0.2823485762013837,-0.07440615813337328,-0.1979928198176694,0.05675097097911527,0.18966184764043859,0.10716644300868312,-0.006037664562595395,-0.05534525858743476,0.09359878832400079,0.16909072329769687,-0.20363827615019425,-0.36742603598382434,-0.07803377185617863,0.3075174325414266,0.2906886439491067,0.2687719371147009,-0.15913112242338512,0.027472303722721962,-0.26894291122726227,0.09266631491064702,0.021447316121376275,0.3066611553411371,0.10730718823104549,0.08336891403068991,-0.1807138744888109,-0.08084827477821721,-0.2927041633977857,0.013475129519393947,0.11063833281406185,-0.23694434943091025,0.3064668634492652,0.12120009031394958,-0.08627173835620715,-0.46905559838750377,-0.07024610204892491,0.30432494392655945,0.11603509049255366,-0.07520475383343554,0.10461676891717821,-0.4035219047074482,0.12962466815974952,0.11605617838699145,0.30481445381700456,-0.04767617226370529,-0.10193399414513231,0.1818358437300853,0.10410923827285318,0.08698716883560875,-0.050488266216108406,-0.11318377429052343,-0.13293402112070624,-0.0715238804951516,0.27116387799545616,0.14362288169227705,0.09459832185280433,-0.046087170701145805,-0.22109880007254842,0.10294552928512825,0.21166690024423174,0.1501355570452423,-0.32063040667237735,0.23141517514924553,-0.06666359381571049,0.07927783260941063,-0.1342981168169754,0.20126321336545433,-0.12691178376249207,-0.23235303781925778,-0.10464597864918634,0.12976326545289327,-0.13588818020460566;-0.3424813062042544,-0.013644679041964784,0.26303052419848505,-0.13209701116927888,-0.4427310464388261,0.7158719226717547,-0.5029584856065037,0.10925190827992445,0.4284313081450552,0.09543405879186535,-0.4368730620111004,-0.48847012270043655,0.6476815504496687,0.13297467869602944,0.07086130173055305,0.6083457185074492,-0.4427340899975112,0.237711370640671,0.341221022196612,-0.2669189981455267,-0.4291007614314813,-0.15090396541640794,-0.4216349889613307,0.16719863430950876,0.27111827887617945,-0.30283198977609155,0.06290461461080812,0.1786624261089379,0.2663564063427451,0.2737597240178915,0.5807616044406051,-0.39422542129842636,-0.1521892972121433,0.1320932779795109,0.0062270926888592605,-0.2471576766168042,0.47338473994330765,-0.04761003142185416,-0.17313608765335878,-0.39572568620754045,-0.34267053262094516,0.08242111660846116,0.24680425265997097,0.2789582704643515,0.24377724022221928,-0.44445542360145956,-0.20040971114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k{235}	=[0.8585682120371729;0.5442517669242666;1.0794605328511582];
x_a_linear{235}	=[8.239919303562846,2.8116254411201664,32.8059793959283];
L_a{235}	=[0.16740281505498356,0.020712121054900636,-0.11570418303268835,0.013659361573750098,0.2000459703721058,-0.15395762354235,0.23383954870069423,-0.057694467984574845,-0.09780439344000466,-0.051519905757877335,0.2214479058410727,0.18731409727571352,-0.14182362677077498,-0.07054658307920333,-0.04377560219482503,-0.1344363543910699,0.21528672410778477,-0.10778207393809335,-0.07788074521197265,0.0356572029585546,0.12504741856980575,0.07110208890219025,0.11953466413032546,-0.09946288962669657,-0.12236960093325468,0.0804823979095194,-0.0417464543960347,-0.08805131027243067,-0.11695213683794684,-0.11822120003830447,-0.1290446947184692,0.13669204229936116,0.01985065244868557,-0.0702163893019365,-0.02598131388849097,0.055309349963910695,-0.10712364976911082,-0.010931193583871707,-6.58597940997618E-4,0.13839194145000527,0.16736084433976292,-0.009797937337617649,-0.117423059365771,-0.12091236189942713,-0.10917858558111568,0.1378916056043055,0.03733146110796806,0.16250207966946598,-0.010634129795999854,0.0405647750626532,-0.10903834349791784,-0.025186533406045864,-8.313416846818677E-4,0.12990868272440928,0.10851948486277502,0.13023955061757878,0.07149647174675997,-0.030828643212560142,0.16557781841565788,-0.11453529231142122,-0.041186926864289555,-0.0021504971505005993,0.2193336917298172,-0.12590516318980519,-0.12266124145765486,-0.03403733648751388,-0.13061557854814684,-0.02506570377360507,0.20684547797624983,-0.046026644989437725,-0.03576666647192956,-0.10999999446027404,-0.09180350428722511,-0.14787517524122665,-0.0670226487638842,-0.021995631250319194,-0.0042754602835715074,-0.05208350348552315,0.10321056475620542,0.12828062348896857,-0.12722413572745175,-0.06467831830176927,-0.055013159025051946,0.036168910814448924,-0.07522444610743806,0.15985925202495102,-0.02192821383946315,-0.0799184173316291,-0.05730862662307921,0.18014569273792425,-0.08771317810078987,-0.12254082948859922,0.002751459056155465,0.1115480417298013,-0.0753337544161427,0.12598023591510657,0.14890183938489482,-0.14928848177135481,-0.047709284835528394,0.03820887463752026;-0.022477677477936588,-0.06905011559547089,0.04197815024227572,0.09342600627805903,0.02969516473689351,-0.43158122042162844,0.03747795883404024,0.03276616983786516,-0.25117950195935607,0.029784597929467214,-0.0033122221020119385,0.08492278148690462,-0.3840592520982828,0.04398143323710793,0.034420678130378364,-0.358325066824066,0.009809675979530221,0.04470083670686767,-0.205763125862188,0.17006173475375058,0.1336382358307785,-0.038668240456729536,0.13791523989856214,0.09580821412457878,0.05297443941936966,0.10699347982433255,0.036656495426491534,0.048479535755264,0.0416277155324732,0.03865586301593801,-0.34040964792997663,0.08377436447751717,0.09766968396929093,0.04492281256440963,0.053610423685941856,0.10797306746230059,-0.27616227660200254,0.0710660089075686,0.16773313667966167,0.08163295848476092,-0.022440380069746226,-0.09823053802545595,0.06546994936489918,0.04144856247992065,0.04371902161908003,0.1251087557399475,0.10442470347530533,0.06602723524476464,0.07074588150687727,0.10506463764723124,0.08189732482981789,0.055389472462075685,0.08165524583362681,0.08707057829293376,0.1428460177101699,-0.02423768324221735,0.1608528348506648,0.047090376052832145,0.10436590456723047,0.07037201641831936,0.03630030963098283,-0.090704619135063,-0.01693683784962162,-0.32977798644731265,0.05147984741403993,0.04587296326359013,-0.3444463510289589,0.052948122697097845,0.022854546570669203,0.03474863921853441,0.042329334205750024,0.0780683448981066,-0.2369133398143389,-0.4067532876020743,0.04368015662105479,0.05876901963287935,0.07817404127234122,-0.1578494693884527,0.09956709058559464,0.13149446697634062,-0.3337746004003016,0.13784062576892553,0.03022269645161332,0.16915432370762903,-0.20114945533245052,0.10842361080751413,0.05774428006656168,0.04692879957598277,0.03200365932990116,0.050709019908917116,0.050609512995807085,-0.3192604817207241,0.08494949321170471,0.09563902585160741,0.045975608416700106,0.13277485017412619,0.0745825475601116,-0.4123785609475381,0.03141876326597501,-0.05712714305422158;0.3419294988387437,0.071034897228461,-0.21001524286483883,-0.07625198462063291,0.375138256314601,0.08643052984620804,0.45307271210404265,-0.12662654613484092,0.028567162317940133,-0.11520027351555015,0.4684960589442069,0.27734610368898294,0.06784887236464228,-0.15544845028427864,-0.10811116733791226,0.058715214948610574,0.4374456137504985,-0.202945591841982,0.02281285498408644,-0.12113784760495612,0.08214395320368881,0.13979029734018555,0.06707134301468312,-0.2394461185816015,-0.22917842796241739,0.026212791979536472,-0.10777187282756931,-0.18132714831280294,-0.21179150352643827,-0.20957663245131983,0.05317439887427904,0.16462725201145453,-0.07103175503717253,-0.15497988452116984,-0.0999950873184271,-0.021030554902801073,0.03541968330109864,-0.09230119744771342,-0.17582870394448777,0.17007686632511207,0.34156867906513594,0.042363163109906,-0.23326898006758362,-0.2153806504197246,-0.20258922993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x_a{235}	=[8.239919303562846,2.8116254411201673,32.80597939592831];
std_x_a{235}	=[1.081292609435182,1.4824243901898855,1.7591788587436394];
pred_a{235}	=[8.239919303562846];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.5 to 23.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{236}	=[4.068940349793809,1.4774008887308185,26.116708864578854];
std_x_f{236}	=[1.0257170767494137,1.586390715760084,1.1329860792193984];
pred_f{236}	=[4.068940349793809];
obs{236}	=[3.6830756420937005];
sqrt_r{236}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{236}	=[2.053513020019601];
L_f{236}	=[-0.03764968106423214,-0.04150046999529901,0.03135481400617617,0.07396312163365819,-0.011669052125727443,-0.2954614614384726,-0.01933947824774273,0.029122817082846468,-0.16838138627802893,0.026977372146700002,-0.04540917242023858,0.034972853049894975,-0.2627370592761471,0.03671051410762728,0.030615918249702317,-0.24422438385275108,-0.032874781916249304,0.03451931312348456,-0.13620219035801231,0.12983885078680643,0.08931839454582471,-0.025665089659823566,0.09372934396614238,0.07256607030703431,0.03935719902977046,0.07690771318446085,0.03213853598924279,0.03881428450949319,0.03147900431548766,0.028683914376533066,-0.23196843733648062,0.04862736523529194,0.07626907207084488,0.03723658604761893,0.044868009746912095,0.08094310552499082,-0.18595791502683548,0.05739919470880229,0.12983385737109798,0.04644153532447814,-0.03746739592056296,-0.06039868797986669,0.048260948261296885,0.03009200864851318,0.03313818378119089,0.08002177598631272,0.08017462084665128,0.027949146252384212,0.056952570794115295,0.08070717350538338,0.06074267161688248,0.046470320434337374,0.0652946681460406,0.05300785107933887,0.10057224263264011,-0.027326835558524453,0.11943813547057708,0.040153617733942756,0.05729278022074544,0.05245286741910808,0.03248329910262081,-0.055187742287495005,-0.05468492562298991,-0.22459479216868272,0.03791687629033288,0.03882398588120714,-0.2346808406610411,0.04503218974304543,-0.01981391266202004,0.030994320192592583,0.036939617193617484,0.05808070836718716,-0.15841949644297798,-0.2783026016063097,0.037118388417564985,0.04842447497120471,0.06255410054862523,-0.10115725002813057,0.06795114620722599,0.08719218877257454,-0.22692375804772036,0.10619201652323278,0.027717102555432534,0.12910416173289888,-0.13236988374971112,0.061539629007998885,0.047910027532192014,0.038172483171354375,0.028556123734679355,0.010773111441521694,0.04108427855566484,-0.21705677391770153,0.06763697219305483,0.06323311810582488,0.03767200599995957,0.08881993677110933,0.03827344213834946,-0.2823547309904113,0.02926307985453093,-0.035088941635801243;-0.2046731598165419,-0.07816326046909887,0.1482172352676903,0.11121645333624507,-0.1981875899733789,-0.35697292382586365,-0.24350289986800197,0.09900735893675269,-0.1897784342810437,0.09068977442515419,-0.271730818341821,-0.11058795988190273,-0.3112316268288808,0.12194179623101445,0.09013428464194177,-0.28625239543853565,-0.24655517569593854,0.14707857789397505,-0.15248258335723625,0.18443204710610664,0.03746220160735361,-0.09621854007368975,0.049134002431061946,0.2039525680522203,0.1661984926209782,0.058792006056672785,0.0916096546649997,0.13902696269054113,0.14866846458506747,0.14573603855247919,-0.27020895676958023,-0.040857173902844976,0.11066881149629201,0.12231195339028096,0.09873686082346712,0.08746071380442895,-0.21217507792175408,0.10665105782659874,0.21627294846365647,-0.04512574163019206,-0.2052011112641557,-0.08301389404518437,0.17816664710483157,0.15085125061155644,0.14586474456898874,0.009432093409301854,0.10176195200399878,-0.09750390718498217,0.10595241755095798,0.1003531281637881,0.1927488410638459,0.10006926450015392,0.11101025519035675,-0.02693700916959257,0.07026694136006426,-0.15353801978325085,0.13555880632287198,0.09537884122385465,-0.053670994215282014,0.1822659828141291,0.0904172554408981,-0.08084172234849334,-0.2829500837660638,-0.2605140547486047,0.16393918826353412,0.09544644501700238,-0.27401400581225105,0.09750221832849464,-0.21738101725290185,0.09213982543762622,0.09358354672348612,0.18867428531938601,-0.17771291386026505,-0.3319288356754177,0.11903783240685101,0.10134119328461672,0.10938762475089442,-0.11589465034765148,0.022369606463415664,0.030553935750063817,-0.264058006623681,0.23132482139756072,0.09415863148259955,0.18337663566999446,-0.14811442199746883,-0.04149293877927864,0.10051016103563239,0.13092018338182257,0.09766478235408191,-0.1423248463163042,0.14222641200061367,-0.2507598609090251,0.111025611415059,0.007678696244297574,0.1269002694013577,0.03490779395116613,-0.06818282108907883,-0.3377419040672459,0.0896515226131885,-0.08133857159484172;0.18988089627567037,0.005861448665526923,-0.12394649091659081,-7.264147200093906E-4,0.232093834652535,-0.09418805788939391,0.27875346986455163,-0.07061054733929248,-0.09138869766685558,-0.06447408303951747,0.27006992822722775,0.20402549301257636,-0.09850610273168128,-0.08404972513620776,-0.05720126200840908,-0.09895547586022596,0.25805757958526526,-0.11738450262409766,-0.08012074278929916,0.020709799792147765,0.12077224745271066,0.06356136492971186,0.11465801853274393,-0.11111441399951862,-0.13088538408387348,0.0714867614287029,-0.055978216739224367,-0.0992352733694508,-0.12566063283735926,-0.12596622409030442,-0.09906735846670509,0.13981832848909104,0.005140103041870245,-0.0829609632278696,-0.04046717049962342,0.04293967346731882,-0.09426081459975523,-0.02473195761752016,-0.016783498689502536,0.14133480768258702,0.18970112609099388,-0.024959314821331045,-0.1264462916095247,-0.1282620645632055,-0.117489212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k{236}	=[0.5130296276424607;0.6659466357785305;0.13462934103131804];
x_a_linear{236}	=[3.870980322482055,1.2204355847722654,26.064760153253946];
L_a{236}	=[0.16275396251759439,0.17940034940944435,-0.13554218998033962,-0.31973155643766676,0.05044357398529905,1.2772358825114962,0.08360168343718623,-0.12589359978433665,0.7278876488807745,-0.11661916093516213,0.19629708770785922,-0.1511824337822457,1.1357731669614932,-0.15869408367314283,-0.13234805369938707,1.0557456289640403,0.14211278482394393,-0.14922184824481993,0.5887817786961732,-0.5612740096850125,-0.38611011374152704,0.11094635923686336,-0.40517799098055635,-0.3136923116732669,-0.17013530831139365,-0.3324605870520657,-0.13893010336103015,-0.16778836971893335,-0.13607904618669747,-0.12399628876886397,1.0027649979588626,-0.21020885582886953,-0.32969983665712044,-0.16096821430008995,-0.19395772208879233,-0.3499049869824106,0.803868364262992,-0.24812816789174702,-0.5612524238927803,-0.20075983875041134,0.16196597099677323,0.2610945304640552,-0.20862488983591299,-0.13008327054095684,-0.14325143184675998,-0.34592221663839257,-0.3465829422001338,-0.12081999562755351,-0.24619747924271404,-0.3488850880087546,-0.2625815204831744,-0.20088427249217664,-0.2822591233617453,-0.22914504356587984,-0.4347588225201072,0.11812983920444987,-0.5163132667813516,-0.1735781077259766,-0.2476681539125852,-0.2267459318793565,-0.14042046294034338,0.23856838851744513,0.23639478698205732,0.9708898283602031,-0.1639090076755997,-0.16783030730362655,1.014490313460606,-0.1946674477539641,0.08565259273298102,-0.13398382892746083,-0.15968446218408713,-0.2510742499109486,0.6848238831598319,1.2030606876352345,-0.1604572635534249,-0.20933179144205286,-0.2704120579041204,0.43728772234148233,-0.29374268228117867,-0.37691884292746936,0.9809576009061377,-0.45905226786394565,-0.11981690529348962,-0.5580980583525762,0.572215288132301,-0.2660266485611678,-0.20710791180112034,-0.16501395814415848,-0.12344386886127223,-0.0465705558769532,-0.17760121581650007,0.9383040984098193,-0.29238455482083764,-0.2733473496497452,-0.16285046988896898,-0.38395535503735034,-0.16545038871848664,1.2205774393115993,-0.1264999348511968,0.1516842674452477;0.05546412085935401,0.20858071998933925,-0.06842619493161727,-0.3998254675569242,-0.11756126320919677,1.6844930049824756,-0.10987841384711237,-0.1022142776722884,0.9736384846584646,-0.09570809221417996,0.04202001027717544,-0.35222992424160626,1.5041278184815372,-0.13170638994830308,-0.12140380794602884,1.4011952878980767,-0.01940965603227443,-0.09142969077962015,0.7885949084118611,-0.7126784891595239,-0.5796756761836308,0.08111222193248047,-0.5984809565719187,-0.29743654509331996,-0.10573673873350549,-0.4725953206161683,-0.13044883615947123,-0.12915704679559709,-0.06883304803187004,-0.05245303700227662,1.3325573027479958,-0.3768438330504037,-0.41630587852391837,-0.13497108227623006,-0.21127485016522907,-0.4718088142643517,1.0726853768776108,-0.2899438136959504,-0.680803086219305,-0.36600959424802043,0.05367668565938634,0.33430572204051695,-0.1552882850130625,-0.05706693298592835,-0.08310072795839168,-0.5434715862904261,-0.45219779630533874,-0.2906161646541526,-0.2875565438823855,-0.45728624760966935,-0.22694750081078377,-0.22101347639484084,-0.3401377209417078,-0.3931902640305524,-0.6246284460748733,0.03527443468466626,-0.6896888688780884,-0.18205917767428373,-0.44953060385074123,-0.18015265947878034,-0.1340233468983687,0.30047330607946154,0.09489077552989403,1.2913046283646072,-0.09804425518353739,-0.17280459527484676,1.3474933746126614,-0.21364388042998456,-0.08047846685269915,-0.12201280330691913,-0.16164760781304716,-0.21262944707062373,0.9168731714883318,1.5909794052570931,-0.13742852675150813,-0.23324361277724806,-0.3228246318173361,0.5830427961097395,-0.44713307970810434,-0.5718931034368149,1.3038524688615891,-0.5023999174844204,-0.09735033972711984,-0.7086576288391824,0.7664840720319418,-0.4666957902093515,-0.2305201140434302,-0.13282935414815894,-0.09964133459045492,-0.21676074684982152,-0.14164192897598601,1.2489755239114313,-0.3563063160303489,-0.42922517459178683,-0.1333912635260111,-0.5787860320874275,-0.3326299260457046,1.6131641814453745,-0.11253924773018106,0.16110549701120747;0.24247086188775258,0.06383028739790704,-0.16774363723357733,-0.10403985359457285,0.248393442847639,0.31851950449966815,0.3057673108123478,-0.11128998752634033,0.14381040797680092,-0.10215671496085726,0.33349853501885746,0.1551745841267192,0.2684912401881489,-0.13532784011487872,-0.09996630124439315,0.24218292386582124,0.30397785305400216,-0.16560189620625435,0.1101297003684523,-0.16065218004351628,-0.003989800057800595,0.09941096961397022,-0.016265347527461872,-0.2124764185153122,-0.1858604512041597,-0.035939752617311554,-0.10087008447147529,-0.15345198463798373,-0.1696312511177575,-0.16603259458912034,0.22495164508877222,0.07189447380444511,-0.10139434198113638,-0.13497390794351607,-0.10313986846078482,-0.07012357211056863,0.16548960240567706,-0.10490851132450195,-0.19813850360391985,0.07646417195210514,0.2420364715000311,0.0594070020793901,-0.19385832639245082,-0.17029529446823205,-0.16377741183359945,0.0252315792546480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x_a{236}	=[3.8709803224820547,1.2204355847722657,26.064760153253946];
std_x_a{236}	=[4.434022120350079,5.826878719078186,1.595025443233796];
pred_a{236}	=[3.8709803224820547];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.6 to 23.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{237}	=[2.011205747008256,0.562654158301001,22.132700589973602];
std_x_f{237}	=[4.523088731712345,3.8975176530536797,5.266385550721724];
pred_f{237}	=[2.011205747008256];
obs{237}	=[2.433918208571388];
sqrt_r{237}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{237}	=[21.475949766866076];
L_f{237}	=[0.1327331606000871,0.2592827224942424,-0.03605728731223115,-0.3496273499900125,-0.019031628772843874,1.0827251393358626,-0.006338639992706754,-0.056770497431875705,0.8265143366739361,-0.04926604018545983,0.12406815496925316,-0.24443385380898056,1.0443644609814644,-0.0916534995956549,-0.07378107789666198,1.0137638229996502,0.07054155799288345,-0.05825987428877419,0.71494766745823,-0.6743337206866868,-0.49600824014552347,0.147354417501522,-0.51747077248581,-0.2790129085685323,-0.07707121152450094,-0.4027530726683694,-0.08266009944836138,-0.09345410342159109,-0.0360310429843501,-0.020124789314867875,0.9907497625961,-0.28387711465779353,-0.36659980693524075,-0.09501246561400198,-0.16297163580532176,-0.4113973595007522,0.8791549956436177,-0.24218323357359262,-0.6578197460293387,-0.27269045870035996,0.1311274741932572,0.36812625894798656,-0.12995559663838085,-0.0255266994761641,-0.04966254030153099,-0.4533284325655318,-0.3973112828554408,-0.19085361043766708,-0.2391427198973045,-0.4021028513155994,-0.20566986521567432,-0.17279485325229704,-0.29164974676907346,-0.3030227964557654,-0.5494813632594016,0.11182470551887877,-0.6339846836180196,-0.13376346841162956,-0.34753377534644375,-0.15559301891457775,-0.08557479638381685,0.33892747372219784,0.16827411941068163,0.9756183086660065,-0.06866552200931329,-0.1251465711416283,0.9960542560517348,-0.16471193465668926,0.016356039406345505,-0.07462018178533697,-0.11348779938684644,-0.18961181513038003,0.7942180223361951,1.065166741197986,-0.09593874338485209,-0.18558290564394983,-0.2748791979197295,0.5691146386045594,-0.36752871151168637,-0.486722091856368,0.9805869402104088,-0.4917074338293594,-0.05132078372107154,-0.6706707215379656,0.6998461021131148,-0.3670473363116799,-0.18238986175537725,-0.09463189682066658,-0.05399135738690855,-0.11529535999068179,-0.10687463537949725,0.9589146438691314,-0.3068155048800279,-0.34627838644494424,-0.09484611662345835,-0.4948906371472478,-0.2359948089076396,1.0696624259681642,-0.06416310972575508,0.21743870788007932;0.20049439990760357,0.4155044683964334,0.10857082455162798,-0.3499145841272076,0.014370299155677684,0.344775538949952,0.011795447003821296,0.06396300149298735,0.7976062380636929,0.0724343142888783,0.1570465106411597,-0.25253815624200227,0.5208711153057527,0.022514825881262187,0.03812920622410567,0.6039318185066265,0.10638289194093843,0.0766141010280028,0.7915498429622307,-0.7837973818868206,-0.5615367704799823,0.2686115980685529,-0.5886249718486853,-0.23100780063054321,0.05502915120407889,-0.4322181143855463,0.026020145330557784,0.023637278869460324,0.10891609422700603,0.13172865928136573,0.6527872441483572,-0.2891863650000235,-0.37260456700763056,0.01706832877552168,-0.08684348327972036,-0.43952525975325585,0.7759639265319372,-0.1975705857781475,-0.7610273879160541,-0.27462380574907985,0.19874280457156732,0.5402986542759672,-0.018468264892413332,0.12438065372998787,0.0885198496653813,-0.5087653306555502,-0.41832700011460705,-0.1776792806305079,-0.1933908644456396,-0.42466347321091463,-0.12550534048329426,-0.10037872977815933,-0.26768793692494025,-0.3114841296679568,-0.6284878460972431,0.19877288896102874,-0.7346888396577719,-0.04591641584484822,-0.3781620351146654,-0.05504900487439654,0.020910469412698522,0.5081851821009323,0.20309550212320493,0.6787676104396032,0.06661059258107238,-0.033087213434372986,0.6426583247541242,-0.08986355825773369,0.05090269641689686,0.03766406563796258,-0.017741023684651386,-0.10327673288631677,0.8009643356581084,0.44109240599502647,0.014115711467893808,-0.11775727870738546,-0.24409091653106385,0.7192385598294804,-0.39000686886839137,-0.5501241270645398,0.6719859980654607,-0.5338663232264866,0.07105544031397926,-0.7784788881799579,0.7871577881252941,-0.4014038512937581,-0.11414523375069456,0.019954790694888466,0.06802016502480814,-0.09040312139355516,0.0056384634337628605,0.7023820340858219,-0.2900907168902684,-0.3641522135912341,0.019149544915803313,-0.5604386425718816,-0.2307382328784767,0.4191926781444118,0.05080131065818088,0.3627628778674364;0.0398500421264098,-0.0022043978341670513,-0.32892628163486576,-0.28309800953137243,-0.022048107007362996,1.6452849283411282,0.02264881541109707,-0.29357657001271664,0.835109817024874,-0.28426794060372,0.1006768678760586,-0.11190375346547952,1.470222522806231,-0.3176164204412223,-0.28816454163249716,1.358410027875681,0.05196835418251113,-0.33253379743969064,0.5982290244780177,-0.1475913928723219,-0.15046035695501125,-0.05472774297174496,-0.1483547093256906,-0.37822003392092796,-0.3525334495730377,-0.21536002201050222,-0.29067984455541707,-0.3319243716323542,-0.33061716917855005,-0.3229029753276378,1.280512360797973,-0.16778296965957973,-0.2764936724164111,-0.3181368104406958,-0.3022500866300737,-0.23813580566339132,0.9628946893332613,-0.3024836068815593,-0.1895609781000018,-0.16549079422570276,0.03880313504634726,0.09194202138652692,-0.36681565873758903,-0.3279604273745904,-0.32961217693752265,-0.14955414135618228,-0.25639721523926623,-0.1280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k{237}	=[0.9534362852001627;0.7609275323541157;0.9854318364250488];
x_a_linear{237}	=[2.414235146068825,0.8843077085735689,22.549254907251512];
L_a{237}	=[-0.030076695080861353,-0.058752216469035466,0.008170407688855281,0.07922387404954796,0.004312475442497769,-0.24534030324422057,0.0014363053017503599,0.012863921367712519,-0.18728416901787534,0.011163447489689959,-0.028113246526979503,0.05538753432236214,-0.2366479582360549,0.020768241696119582,0.016718436994966546,-0.22971400101166714,-0.01598437738308136,0.013201406992125294,-0.16200369896790623,0.15280077418591853,0.11239307893375346,-0.03338980149327153,0.11725638541981652,0.06322298163248077,0.017463965433017523,0.09126190700772906,0.018730380526029062,0.021176249853156772,0.008164460850524307,0.00456018035774487,-0.2244991257370878,0.06432518731112008,0.08306975107083461,0.021529367222431452,0.036928587963894734,0.0932206607816439,-0.19921228887525602,0.054877554613775456,0.1490587870434693,0.06179034493499383,-0.029712854272466577,-0.08341563774704525,0.02944731246113053,0.005784227190058417,0.01125329250684049,0.10272204003970686,0.0900288236383761,0.04324650916367701,0.05418858885482363,0.09111456998001126,0.0466038011560008,0.03915448173851729,0.06608642832225695,0.06866350661994575,0.12450983115788894,-0.025338939833821388,0.143657876667061,0.03031015787001884,0.07874948011589171,0.035256628904545326,0.019390836817316997,-0.07679933360724173,-0.0381301052173729,-0.22107041113458842,0.015559276662331242,0.028357610439057837,-0.22570109841296107,0.0373229313040631,-0.0037061997750313285,0.01690857389584872,0.025715788896493987,0.04296512432629857,-0.1799659796959278,-0.24136165476999208,0.021739257305272586,0.042052192835901704,0.062286302703307865,-0.12895863681674022,0.08328023637517527,0.11028888244430185,-0.22219627911855266,0.11141853693092464,0.011629042481254388,0.15197075621618436,-0.15858175697484786,0.08317115907267862,0.04132866446528036,0.021443132166303697,0.01223418161510163,0.026125373425906193,0.02421727777486075,-0.21728544111988235,0.06952291608696515,0.07846501503551812,0.02149167334214625,0.1121398354756116,0.05347528738177919,-0.24238035529215948,0.014539051718024096,-0.04927056423669318;0.07055755604160072,0.16168410822741264,0.14386848559231608,-0.007652905270547503,0.03300098469946101,-0.7151396076768463,0.018000549566975162,0.11953750320492872,-0.011495751460870174,0.12066245669529223,0.03559212495411948,-0.013253840594342585,-0.5014915052499825,0.11223744239164998,0.11035592301124215,-0.3884748339875719,0.03732744742694831,0.133646602588946,0.09166412473710724,-0.12366998808174127,-0.07597803772125122,0.12436152632085652,-0.0820558623230567,0.04212708573367726,0.13047668769870938,-0.03794992335274492,0.10693882750019607,0.11512256551546061,0.14418806383445362,0.15142947552969446,-0.3170901898757969,-0.011289747774464487,-0.013727993439323998,0.11007914727781455,0.07269479562877727,-0.036794892852764355,-0.0846697303967884,0.03951052391249947,-0.11706606547519086,-0.007678172904155076,0.07037781978734042,0.1799277867727286,0.1087495305218805,0.14936957698965567,0.13713613903855046,-0.06498726121170026,-0.029385955591971796,0.009153577628769715,0.040713786694316835,-0.03103180518420527,0.07583163547396556,0.06877581883942117,0.017817564776097694,-0.014845176651973399,-0.09058251948311752,0.08930401746217104,-0.11406044147693685,0.08502903012658965,-0.037949825134911616,0.09726610397964676,0.10468244399929451,0.17639796302290664,0.038366448119646165,-0.27629714709970543,0.1338295239465613,0.08942286921022416,-0.3324118518734382,0.07137835626908269,0.0348912330493385,0.11071220873994847,0.09335590494235521,0.08234049122225555,0.023478267389228993,-0.6016342488708306,0.10803329365714709,0.06391591377772701,0.024997344914919187,0.16211357611106755,-0.030220960146982476,-0.07365590940323614,-0.2879427158378336,-0.052517790814637366,0.12129503855226138,-0.12193732436880744,0.10205548746899144,-0.04208917654222844,0.06440218335672777,0.11259305792471712,0.12087407540544934,0.02246328758709544,0.11026154893672753,-0.23633095819084216,0.010261042783257786,-0.025168944977359078,0.11199751893587591,-0.07597396803970392,2.8482495865380405E-4,-0.6279349499779574,0.11361268298368202,0.14990499586940456;-0.1284234099775138,-0.3309119987664274,-0.2832143873192258,0.16014466522136495,0.002079381996049966,0.27265207569110944,0.03068467343176465,-0.2216053494275221,-0.21270988392044754,-0.22181055153818313,-0.05661145885747532,0.1979790836910168,0.1462217056065805,-0.20142201427595113,-0.19462803107635593,0.07320339719658323,-0.03746123090825506,-0.2586744082607483,-0.3081512013294574,0.7073001996809234,0.4783577806071108,-0.2415374023186806,0.5076727133273935,-0.024499342767932596,-0.25482584762619415,0.2952331830105331,-0.1858868883525761,-0.2134472365672963,-0.2849385463048805,-0.29738962391216034,0.024481976457962205,0.19210435496077394,0.18826596093165204,-0.1976840501094291,-0.09564158256068844,0.283416258317117,-0.15166059875401203,0.00454598972320456,0.6443949001902396,0.18021456405748396,-0.12743469616637187,-0.37475278286000946,-0.20206348401576227,-0.29559876415302794,-0.2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x_a{237}	=[2.4142351460688256,0.8843077085735693,22.549254907251505];
std_x_a{237}	=[1.0249101279014456,1.6892073512061578,2.640023774658049];
pred_a{237}	=[2.4142351460688256];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.7 to 23.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{238}	=[1.9500948828938898,2.3531342765611605,17.73832149463028];
std_x_f{238}	=[1.54161603842121,2.524658788822862,1.8487661728742628];
pred_f{238}	=[1.9500948828938898];
obs{238}	=[3.1234042241758466];
sqrt_r{238}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{238}	=[3.3782231713937367];
L_f{238}	=[0.04053592821475178,0.10105704680555441,0.12717234896965848,0.024735002631939815,0.02437853957211289,-0.6049585234354282,0.011347667692162184,0.10746740080414803,-0.10697625727267497,0.10721316302750773,0.0127028074881621,0.005896589561022173,-0.4672565462803171,0.10515586941566935,0.10071183109388544,-0.3906015729532552,0.019578496971656683,0.12061444170038688,-0.01594574138054989,-0.0644405147753343,-0.03166001512656235,0.08381108701606259,-0.035576001909723654,0.06637251890315976,0.12086308339064951,-0.0010499478450931598,0.0989651264600082,0.10872475964607235,0.1275902070357906,0.13141688961912293,-0.34089912465827954,0.01198649372663148,0.020804780924672008,0.10379145455737777,0.0783982572707183,0.001964352150080829,-0.16678393858933993,0.05724139669488299,-0.05636984433825593,0.014276914254665483,0.04057454415774484,0.10073431894893448,0.10814623163064176,0.13026388905345165,0.12192171608485589,-0.024270259108659865,0.008836800476937808,0.021683628578580583,0.05892241316446741,0.007457904177439291,0.08819866948354133,0.07602660054929303,0.04274868262355523,0.01035604605368685,-0.041859778393306686,0.058485662924127095,-0.05860618808345165,0.08559036432469527,-0.007026509754595217,0.1008069179119995,0.097761095173764,0.10227389448468427,0.010303183302119422,-0.311223679651392,0.122138993003829,0.08847923253548333,-0.35135269728634305,0.07792615241725268,0.023012301154259434,0.1013559887200305,0.0908863300029258,0.09239644765116961,-0.07751230287702252,-0.5329893016383155,0.10165254559031828,0.07299710641135121,0.04765742087048523,0.05864566012410832,0.003223784103958642,-0.02986708197154233,-0.3200281353828618,-8.778079251214807E-4,0.10774253364790143,-0.06329952561180789,-0.00597825930410067,-0.009116331929409109,0.07340750018192757,0.1062549440011634,0.1080068693173652,0.026027337661954253,0.10577174312871106,-0.28240266637508643,0.038371598520658266,0.005304903428485328,0.10507382397626903,-0.03155671170717686,0.018028348503499755,-0.5497849684650933,0.10327598222800845,0.09676566814596159;0.0947469596413626,0.23317851449271215,0.24464156332514003,-0.007882008076500717,0.04011318537061841,-0.9381992801072396,0.015620384555279889,0.20218217022947638,-0.09817296873483497,0.20232390428630032,0.03795757321528973,-0.031878040667520306,-0.7183074099619334,0.19293840519465627,0.18619825474837806,-0.5909680057372172,0.04301988901690515,0.22842072304216526,0.06337119123132608,-0.23417993144894603,-0.14368215294123424,0.1830043628723893,-0.15501567763499438,0.08729271450570167,0.22709178125626586,-0.06805266300341693,0.18142525474492452,0.2002458943089881,0.2453104845872189,0.2556852527273873,-0.5057414551836382,-0.024858429706532067,-0.019487103696211133,0.189923334038629,0.12819291990044343,-0.06346142812806249,-0.20310559749166657,0.0727282272887359,-0.21506181448032202,-0.018656021939982517,0.09411584428928771,0.2476135849160512,0.19386856319925935,0.25335338715813405,0.23288553058668926,-0.12276467727574988,-0.04788673191930056,0.007493946493755545,0.07613413477341086,-0.051269930222268896,0.1419203533013245,0.12177007614138528,0.036833595863496583,-0.031134282737816737,-0.1715090329476659,0.12695751631681637,-0.21652469122252974,0.14641624842429668,-0.073136391064685,0.17560782760660817,0.17858286579917415,0.24635263264338494,0.04016253062289738,-0.4555623214150149,0.231679115830439,0.15366404449720092,-0.5242896569451081,0.12565113071320402,0.04207967350906237,0.18691861590570744,0.16009512388701444,0.15312161997320728,-0.045652731421824695,-0.824654665615381,0.18612337376087415,0.11305413201391963,0.04861100925421056,0.19065015256666315,-0.05614044990401741,-0.1387358406374221,-0.47104621930375645,-0.0792447933903333,0.2033189184486391,-0.23157444374690112,0.08129691921400341,-0.08119731749236188,0.1141428560517751,0.19467001794316183,0.20325420826574747,0.02729773879268996,0.19191139935708224,-0.40538832924569657,0.025898168668510663,-0.04686152207593618,0.19237435695268595,-0.14351199593599023,-0.005770761035456998,-0.8517259493364652,0.19223249194805483,0.21856607356182434;-0.10042835387262274,-0.2272318090195805,-0.17885175108015416,0.1081822630703683,-0.008387798240281347,0.2991198067466093,0.00861215098599606,-0.14256532181874249,-0.20303185256402206,-0.14220269588554402,-0.056327842382906335,0.13141276591705833,0.1241795099703888,-0.128301491402395,-0.12516166989388586,0.039614315947674374,-0.03967337636075138,-0.16369901000463793,-0.2562270789072667,0.48914253511667194,0.32841377042126213,-0.16758798050526053,0.3484455311061371,-0.014201244696922159,-0.16116406063049407,0.20161426131906426,-0.11907135863992627,-0.1354677125197063,-0.18004808511923212,-0.18725352297634887,-0.011697123393367145,0.12848337953144628,0.12767547723424907,-0.12630489446847035,-0.06169223386984545,0.19199869448823903,-0.16266694546046162,0.00424186575680753,0.4433995251092541,0.12123541742500044,-0.09948286361782382,-0.2608353760031149,-0.12761476191594542,-0.1862590257880816,-0.1687677247904445,0.291657655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k{238}	=[0.7039864007600677;1.1274259422818802;-0.339853764670502];
x_a_linear{238}	=[2.7760887030411405,3.675953666244103,17.33956789787254];
L_a{238}	=[-0.034528709623225635,-0.08608090595690063,-0.10832605303654748,-0.02106940092461391,-0.020765763879004032,0.5153067441587681,-0.009666000999600672,-0.09154127806499436,0.09112291950930242,-0.09132471703502719,-0.010820315963527517,-0.0050227449496465446,0.39801150033103305,-0.08957230388300662,-0.08578684945960169,0.33271640455417084,-0.016677063202108416,-0.10273999430274677,0.013582663530958567,0.054890757918773216,0.02696816175469187,-0.0713907097785759,0.030303819194379203,-0.05653644885169429,-0.10295178855790302,8.943509094128365E-4,-0.08429899757716366,-0.09261230271539826,-0.108681986660486,-0.11194157432898917,0.29037960654997297,-0.010210156261744473,-0.01772161810424267,-0.08841008837389149,-0.06678003389798906,-0.0016732451426440008,0.1420674063477715,-0.048758512557909396,0.048016119832029726,-0.012161148105537678,-0.03456160287968148,-0.08580600472879701,-0.09211950961225579,-0.1109594425885597,-0.10385353726591946,0.020673530030043717,-0.007527231547531876,-0.018470225001415392,-0.05019041092823011,-0.006352680673214029,-0.07512807481842212,-0.06475984465189048,-0.036413545072023525,-0.008821332649350262,0.03565637193202524,-0.04981838485430643,0.04992104879742776,-0.07290630723087776,0.0059852167118474514,-0.0858678448944235,-0.08327339760965438,-0.08711742299299213,-0.00877630388896054,0.26510191170715625,-0.10403861484952151,-0.07536705985165462,0.29928401283092637,-0.06637789258496256,-0.01960199505258847,-0.0863355461986256,-0.07741743770529097,-0.078703763591228,0.06602537344375514,0.454002995344212,-0.08658815484759232,-0.06217930615182015,-0.04059483325288688,-0.04995467128222333,-0.0027460356803437076,0.025440932183049565,0.27260159183614935,7.477212509087905E-4,-0.09177563761929987,0.05391885755172263,0.00509231165177858,0.007765337859093558,-0.0625288816508772,-0.09050850119951437,-0.09200080008568343,-0.022170218469752825,-0.0900969082411339,0.24055202615396118,-0.032685122592472075,-0.004518743695494412,-0.0895024171608389,0.02688016737715724,-0.015356638860365876,0.4683096296888821,-0.0879710064245326,-0.08242548780943938;-0.0254681751327725,-0.06652071620566649,-0.13250635814190212,-0.08123722173496373,-0.03218488573144148,0.8558923721738533,-0.01803275874412385,-0.11652788873483559,0.21908053333218142,-0.11563217592559315,2.855676278225198E-4,-0.0493652264803291,0.6674091915575912,-0.11891647443520315,-0.1124771890248667,0.5674172293756804,-0.015042964253744361,-0.12927877967805068,0.11066058445752354,-0.043072301506669665,-0.049789817104558765,-0.06554948959708812,-0.04950991885121197,-0.10954455200441814,-0.13134510421603704,-0.06493889141207691,-0.11207008480424213,-0.12219304343763783,-0.13307665517206013,-0.13405046550913793,0.5052440093176028,-0.06040610364118072,-0.08118667868942966,-0.1178851767697647,-0.10430840618062318,-0.06928699741599838,0.29151619948452884,-0.09702938087258073,-0.04788892038943586,-0.06099626791117986,-0.026213811626851588,-0.0511285498309681,-0.12685466637418352,-0.1329629417982811,-0.12869088264814818,-0.05078772748706973,-0.07409353677348479,-0.05681197782495106,-0.09860876989765975,-0.07338741945487456,-0.11964550705572928,-0.10369776026865019,-0.08994378088193658,-0.06184662921414727,-0.047367829753619355,-0.04649014259777383,-0.042719597584966906,-0.10741430722870342,-0.05229826414020922,-0.1233496098240725,-0.11134174551647832,-0.05695533514795497,0.009606956251809953,0.46741633583894154,-0.13054166340878043,-0.10873386600862882,0.5176973831385697,-0.1054501004129325,-0.026166620742947268,-0.11366717010597217,-0.1094413809277958,-0.12089335627678686,0.18422116927310994,0.7560018914560026,-0.11534189437197413,-0.10342930309757627,-0.09272393792107385,0.016727998906144737,-0.06570104608641994,-0.050160706364008274,0.47804331980207715,-0.07664152753034802,-0.11620708659978306,-0.04385058154129734,0.0990263084153501,-0.05416152184624551,-0.10355766090817219,-0.12044432570395268,-0.11705572229097577,-0.04989008057257853,-0.1217699424922908,0.4321174611484521,-0.08789833460191993,-0.06259397742370976,-0.1192372051070702,-0.0499260212715137,-0.05923642570758317,0.7787405773131588,-0.11404731140804647,-0.06840645550049657;-0.06419043828885385,-0.13688981137532952,-0.06516344913385873,0.1302946205965575,0.013405891900216993,-0.24169514111380241,0.01875662878659549,-0.04649265813836559,-0.2986654485181405,-0.046357313224594875,-0.04497190986313812,0.13668414180889496,-0.2935339611598322,-0.03429526811240865,-0.03512828484020803,-0.30957188629195304,-0.022170781705529743,-0.05587328233494576,-0.2704820979858402,0.4315346293045302,0.30011065745295784,-0.0926633585703246,0.31664164228971203,0.045133815409570746,-0.053116054676347564,0.20067563913737213,-0.030599475637882498,-0.03827100738822981,-0.06598623047553044,-0.06977072778612652,-0.31645081341622744,0.13919894882863476,0.14627433331305714,-0.033518417527797766,0.008393479076946255,0.19375476695349303,-0.31176683174675796,0.055413973876224015,0.3930065589046092,0.1339985546305031,-0.0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x_a{238}	=[2.7760887030411396,3.6759536662440997,17.339567897872538];
std_x_a{238}	=[1.3131563747387478,2.1698694619883003,1.8088115268083604];
pred_a{238}	=[2.7760887030411396];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.8 to 23.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{239}	=[4.554278023054146,7.216705213634675,15.504201599286022];
std_x_f{239}	=[2.4314067780898125,3.595611539133166,2.609789737356572];
pred_f{239}	=[4.554278023054146];
obs{239}	=[5.621477445862558];
sqrt_r{239}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{239}	=[6.912744150680486];
L_f{239}	=[-0.03170536452085485,-0.09092144367222968,-0.16062164984010402,-0.0818412988297863,-0.03537224367769839,0.8949622744976753,-0.01799872048790379,-0.13866264433081713,0.26116555244711603,-0.1381903795062307,0.001435080809937814,-0.0496381346923374,0.7456846057112771,-0.13982317528991733,-0.1325647461990454,0.6522954870826277,-0.016523850744726662,-0.15478832636226636,0.12449946652674858,-0.042232702250354325,-0.047711923606557245,-0.08344193055741962,-0.047494790234056804,-0.11678200893182628,-0.15720138098437125,-0.06338251568496152,-0.13136354192029523,-0.14403829055626857,-0.1615993094510593,-0.16417712301877216,0.5893517130490389,-0.06071685748293882,-0.08122005990145438,-0.13800883480181403,-0.11690534835610619,-0.06740630446459385,0.35042057060412946,-0.10396166192337666,-0.04487475351465964,-0.061628435512275204,-0.03237403411003889,-0.07690976846186943,-0.14780934137692658,-0.16297736248360245,-0.15513279261689136,-0.048568251198265126,-0.07230322860425652,-0.0599606441162,-0.10594686217631438,-0.07161756514343015,-0.1338629998632519,-0.11591122413158195,-0.09294971987897781,-0.06281409833473418,-0.045177153248549304,-0.057333312745005305,-0.041881669534683634,-0.12233996828164687,-0.05144951825971899,-0.14175731918784137,-0.13053637238816387,-0.08237930182539778,0.011334617852065227,0.549705461732511,-0.1568483746936946,-0.12420217316761206,0.602518832577266,-0.11744071559877338,-0.029314749513443896,-0.13363269517263004,-0.12658925306963897,-0.13627652452369146,0.21761710232346002,0.8200735659926022,-0.13530848039992224,-0.11429265135631307,-0.09740273894133675,0.004274244836399305,-0.06454272890985122,-0.0483441539276343,0.5614253925192354,-0.07199690701482345,-0.13854483728576464,-0.042673032182802106,0.10847299324550447,-0.05313279027879523,-0.11457698159424769,-0.1418117421425459,-0.1395193995616034,-0.05342787929152953,-0.142691960777387,0.5120070588048907,-0.09130379338315169,-0.0618681774982289,-0.14036448660530987,-0.04815966649321314,-0.06063082924474147,0.8381246181620351,-0.13465226568511993,-0.09102639118629566;-0.01977957417135435,-0.1003468287933309,-0.2286957462847725,-0.1396509999029606,-0.04121407450233952,1.140540246020622,-0.01546377293111035,-0.1963718885569506,0.48816213754746085,-0.19467550392406296,0.028163965258466796,-0.08905807050039893,1.069344537673022,-0.20023974382639825,-0.18810023838589165,0.9893829523252302,-0.004515688286081552,-0.22153112205439968,0.2737389417978817,-0.13910921104433854,-0.11982910904568982,-0.09716205225381129,-0.12275494347953715,-0.17880089847657277,-0.22575852829682538,-0.12390719503197212,-0.18744854348065998,-0.20647954030145263,-0.2299020906745694,-0.23344700991923137,0.9247031587391333,-0.10687569736776185,-0.14089990550928871,-0.19802127331651873,-0.17146890655662517,-0.12885913417361589,0.6203123702161241,-0.15955482170696997,-0.1356700630957456,-0.10792873233505143,-0.021277503942920457,-0.07058648551263161,-0.21422055973330492,-0.2312136715346508,-0.22063160954516423,-0.11498381455526484,-0.13303478083289438,-0.09562221916287417,-0.16272333673393857,-0.13298807020154613,-0.19872494397427554,-0.17034124843508028,-0.1486105523732196,-0.11239077863669614,-0.12441652306106951,-0.06004731643387255,-0.13353823780287555,-0.17740168813177776,-0.10421623596380844,-0.20672091905469245,-0.1860441821444249,-0.08178320522142588,0.04788143397575875,0.8810214585394542,-0.224132728853366,-0.18084060842744287,0.9385049683296469,-0.17330708706264145,-0.02847418493180934,-0.18995913974676445,-0.18125198281401456,-0.20148172137100892,0.42127300458037537,1.1147220269634153,-0.19340433451942832,-0.17032681709138528,-0.15383961591435957,0.07333540720229711,-0.12196095436965877,-0.11889541959926432,0.893878186265328,-0.138691463192954,-0.19579927978591624,-0.13952519808028627,0.24759695351379946,-0.1102685520458431,-0.17009935629505638,-0.20280400819216057,-0.19747332908574025,-0.07860163645169903,-0.2054400512465356,0.8354324629484519,-0.14709025682443103,-0.11528357765219971,-0.20123847094873745,-0.11948931336922641,-0.10254835397314535,1.1231487693995161,-0.190437175664674,-0.10343957261152413;-0.12338235943130332,-0.21818036813857644,-0.20037280914189834,-0.0070762280720920575,-0.06662867639046714,1.161122537205996,-0.050182443228301024,-0.17560763761599,-0.02741853263003122,-0.17515009921253066,-0.08448687417586762,0.01837508323451873,0.7723617664589343,-0.16692309351960374,-0.16324752910274734,0.5695491630988853,-0.08005541323287492,-0.19087874708595817,-0.15299269578635588,0.25042320131254087,0.14534283780923254,-0.17960186052052576,0.15820827934266912,-0.09372089143935036,-0.18991691206463016,0.05826850778946269,-0.1594390317000806,-0.1720495790263295,-0.20156782984494567,-0.20670412095255122,0.44754348865054006,0.012644906854663547,0.005410659319224082,-0.16525343151196892,-0.121414023147176,0.0504315844512544,0.07479721076750591,-0.07837062974638644,0.21872589518943883,0.008733727594647652,-0.12295601710816303,-0.23499016223483987,-0.16847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k{239}	=[0.855339648307169;1.2556079030358769;0.8071441330226434];
x_a_linear{239}	=[5.467096002032707,8.556689243028243,16.36558535217098];
L_a{239}	=[0.014304433961329625,0.041020811661779906,0.07246728803216665,0.036924144292682676,0.01595881111598291,-0.40377800245800377,0.008120439947577359,0.06256009570332728,-0.11782944162325273,0.06234702510478204,-6.474619984713021E-4,0.02239511926138231,-0.33642875139824174,0.06308368969807883,0.059808921495206425,-0.2942946046909357,0.007455026470657474,0.06983548134188503,-0.05617012843303736,0.019054027905950614,0.02152607518355753,0.03764629750524975,0.021428111635915882,0.05268826143089916,0.07092417346098298,0.028596138969546415,0.05926697701549083,0.06498541323534503,0.07290837639537963,0.07407140241640883,-0.26589641174954526,0.027393480293623377,0.03664386140179579,0.06226511801194128,0.0527439081858285,0.030411542190497597,-0.15809841604568858,0.04690413593935719,0.02024603589588697,0.027804754786703474,0.014606116030751995,0.03469919745664308,0.06668678927199123,0.07353010930705321,0.06999089336334119,0.021912422467998845,0.03262087581677928,0.0270523013061345,0.04779979401953764,0.03231152666267537,0.0603946515155151,0.05229539152204071,0.04193590421767226,0.028339687464519557,0.020382468865156243,0.025866934455390154,0.018895653309870038,0.05519583274196131,0.023212356880625028,0.06395631280390582,0.058893784903493056,0.037166873825619014,-0.005113812598972836,-0.24800930676456642,0.07076490845175741,0.05603599929472994,-0.2718369897747112,0.05298544855237281,0.01322586586986447,0.06029074549557904,0.057112972461100545,0.06148355570069141,-0.09818179087625217,-0.3699906418189093,0.0610468055339804,0.05156514388965021,0.04394496224519186,-0.0019284008848602032,0.02911958961290938,0.021811317034987503,-0.2532969600845517,0.032482673433265066,0.06250694497878585,0.019252690515104597,-0.04893950257053437,0.023971794717083043,0.051693424487372706,0.06398086667904036,0.06294663592467512,0.024104929325662983,0.06437799282863373,-0.23100100790804212,0.04119331547218534,0.027912918608746423,0.06332791183778834,0.021728082277644382,0.02735466713784677,-0.3781346921268721,0.06075074270063361,0.04106816058229139;0.047761158572245145,0.09333966623778148,0.1134704482578178,0.034692407756515636,0.03413807151085228,-0.7659638649064735,0.022878217093973134,0.09901587133170535,-0.06818891049245969,0.0997062081621584,0.025106867164365533,0.01668416081634707,-0.5191590303031186,0.09762025104626806,0.09429740092727656,-0.4001773264700208,0.030684442793018026,0.10820856524004184,0.00852246116499562,-0.04914249093755748,-0.01819021197911036,0.08059112032623268,-0.021578597381962557,0.06997537562483344,0.1091215975256163,0.011114168613892014,0.09239021602186395,0.10035975438342165,0.11434677497102341,0.11629327397279737,-0.33077039107119116,0.0224671159466537,0.03212010047786876,0.09597370098739567,0.07757011283151509,0.014733953743170384,-0.12617524992984283,0.061910754534193785,-0.04007508161950581,0.02335598100116769,0.04768767020671178,0.09325147047864746,0.10065206115644702,0.11597080809879831,0.10984188111644914,-0.01152071537378863,0.020990038419611952,0.03210966156420436,0.0629712361376855,0.019576106246199057,0.08643831576599392,0.07658002590968184,0.04939670235520694,0.021419707136646753,-0.028177350927600743,0.062087660152456606,-0.04431930934560475,0.08321449548396655,0.005384716905884553,0.0952593090362808,0.09203248954906006,0.09370628976715056,0.023735728456630866,-0.28999518926320367,0.10999540108775697,0.08374255946422977,-0.34501799565707153,0.07687240481030091,0.0339739115419197,0.09471351066622058,0.0884162906469179,0.08882297820205654,-0.042308435677078364,-0.6322495151667679,0.09483817745744938,0.07314647320106975,0.05365373603887928,0.06423014591485561,0.015531967403105989,-0.01590970631424438,-0.3021049845532994,0.014680810822550681,0.0993375202331576,-0.04862045985777294,0.016521059657606973,0.0029182112156663892,0.0739796318943156,0.0992921550503034,0.09973954390108379,0.03521374371568276,0.09853120829178216,-0.2552767102210041,0.04741074326065013,0.01651184892278629,0.09777465884089105,-0.016896606652372182,0.02661119665584471,-0.6622762429474955,0.09640742705158864,0.09047048811917696;-0.07996505850301412,-0.09367261557339128,0.019582350248210208,0.10499718137625629,-0.018189954064684627,-0.06443808884430681,-0.025535009724312066,0.014276877115371457,-0.38505843218838065,0.014087696444100456,-0.08645207269426027,0.08634950535600469,-0.24877813882313962,0.02455065138303394,0.018286528782643023,-0.3237037574976566,-0.057427665180773704,0.021088263778599257,-0.3234821661107801,0.3082566301448247,0.210679508003668,-0.06533654725891917,0.22324760726970316,0.0662002985998989,0.025354533877953583,0.1450644742977766,0.020450098002492704,0.025196341365608294,0.019726135837907676,0.018119900577248813,-0.3595142779057129,0.09579052314375654,0.11663334467379864,0.02373575697099586,0.03867606780146788,0.14273772411030583,-0.40506843958244815,0.06399438730816712,0.28017734691923174,0.09312765811123566,-0.07862304057689805,-0.12966998654540363,0.03393420839475368,0.017315057900855066,0.01841234197529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x_a{239}	=[5.467096002032707,8.556689243028243,16.36558535217099];
std_x_a{239}	=[1.0969720176987259,1.6669154384177125,1.6206116770805334];
pred_a{239}	=[5.467096002032707];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.9 to 24.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{240}	=[9.628220876158991,14.553425379447162,20.646655965329433];
std_x_f{240}	=[1.7154061015058235,2.3392194905152093,2.8684368870317756];
pred_f{240}	=[9.628220876158991];
obs{240}	=[10.558038541264642];
sqrt_r{240}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{240}	=[3.9468034075037113];
L_f{240}	=[0.06469400606164036,0.11160282158454697,0.11392510630913698,0.02696976430820652,0.04381439330927296,-0.7871482380645878,0.033728803409517207,0.10125156260410768,-0.031110207435135866,0.10150748385425554,0.04346112395529297,0.013227568762223064,-0.5396359582159341,0.09804386002733648,0.09597507465356608,-0.40969023915529656,0.045613098399783676,0.10867705351845805,0.04950204585851751,-0.07777111369042762,-0.036036158572860244,0.0952698464507232,-0.04122760303008176,0.06620026164892404,0.10912205104317796,-5.884278374459114E-4,0.09343456010061615,0.10065535607712692,0.1146415962945408,0.11686600285800075,-0.33196637489598113,0.01705314131349737,0.022993430777299817,0.09700362858193691,0.0769697150302364,0.003331218873063795,-0.09621495889192135,0.05835503467137382,-0.0653978664528266,0.01822570101649291,0.06499758461103332,0.11651854725542977,0.09984981185727777,0.11677672848096984,0.11051200143138674,-0.02669063199950961,0.011167610718838783,0.030209590727407785,0.05986161457157704,0.008778723629917613,0.08443873556399294,0.07659185990375268,0.04479332057692865,0.014306733999563613,-0.0494936880312616,0.07660993465194069,-0.07099020613308393,0.08378767346602678,-0.004483701309486748,0.09427553388596725,0.09371918498405672,0.11572154858178726,0.04470588101913986,-0.28565149280525104,0.1093004150358843,0.08414113075264165,-0.3477594508044297,0.07716746060740053,0.045078197484155376,0.09584331643958713,0.08836864957563353,0.08713368772775436,-0.0031705607160021926,-0.6558426214013774,0.09599628901669216,0.07159836202043245,0.04967228237430899,0.09976703205504436,0.0052868880476594085,-0.034092800592789504,-0.29943840402533717,0.001924951283953708,0.10041296865700294,-0.07667176487577705,0.057403626485032416,-0.008136016709974233,0.07319072692455117,0.0995889724801172,0.10154412567405283,0.038180919159293884,0.09854320792207909,-0.2454741250818339,0.04178915841537841,0.008056542196128615,0.09805225533928942,-0.03569695922888487,0.024019995839727477,-0.6869596569395823,0.09844165440114243,0.10709847971230481;0.12792203129910268,0.18256166622477782,0.13254241217787244,0.00844906285342678,0.078626935039845,-1.1742352834107495,0.07016630950194527,0.12374640660266518,0.12979856705753426,0.12292524663310865,0.10720196272880018,9.561362943632286E-4,-0.707884534292309,0.11430183880798825,0.11525929976888889,-0.4703785886921672,0.09643761881222954,0.12668082477387027,0.2110744025771652,-0.1882527361227672,-0.10375724347719541,0.15301498891086934,-0.11409717265528262,0.06487425981373568,0.1252539637927011,-0.03783351028732013,0.11253236792115827,0.11761331852769585,0.13310991980039244,0.1361685806419101,-0.33211866205058777,0.0011007872298358947,-8.032440583678112E-4,0.1146819844489497,0.08790198625751823,-0.03268049449678636,0.04583590402617683,0.058211539585878394,-0.16357643093835914,0.004021457550580737,0.1275214485551478,0.20327017209880682,0.11234084274451475,0.1362503283128551,0.13049061005789,-0.08438130519868654,-0.02027067900252296,0.030138939145138155,0.05905346331485221,-0.023865876265283956,0.08972213448563093,0.0861207395211443,0.037339393848841655,-0.0059894880604151575,-0.12957758775217945,0.13293488927854305,-0.1728462252250677,0.09862583648961447,-0.03793112129032418,0.10549772430013933,0.11288787383226945,0.1976229304668315,0.1164412118061058,-0.2526661594307794,0.12743732793785972,0.09941455547018813,-0.3602074921162667,0.08705152918662214,0.08579471194826405,0.11511230515373908,0.10534175619181864,0.09577470695469242,0.1626661814235336,-0.9264236417629856,0.11449763978507446,0.07913433121570633,0.04391450833785302,0.22962565769249654,-0.02675681060510789,-0.09946025502829729,-0.2758637133012082,-0.03891189404616855,0.12316919506948967,-0.18598809096879473,0.21545453300213005,-0.04712702872638612,0.08106961087097966,0.11651298388379201,0.12260291803497998,0.05244654837997856,0.1136988423401647,-0.18517298131946025,0.03112957078961298,-0.019316316850189454,0.11470907286788821,-0.10249443085736708,0.016640943808621557,-0.983512510244887,0.1198029407743335,0.1721488194950659;0.01825136382818323,0.09278803153871694,0.19151102206170628,0.10419148754838009,0.03173381164886495,-0.8392098610447914,0.00857073775545165,0.1632431611304782,-0.3892399355776144,0.16348993928479397,-0.024261816166218933,0.06410651561526015,-0.8567132235599514,0.16610446123115105,0.1563364129525758,-0.8098652631775777,0.0026825475027245655,0.1837381247214346,-0.20553369331508964,0.095318775924059,0.08228771161852912,0.08620701657829363,0.08479546811454733,0.1412866977873384,0.18719203471718446,0.08894575555022971,0.15459437354018582,0.1712869709216014,0.19289078021666248,0.1957181946257457,-0.7615150180019812,0.07844152264606083,0.10624238321176759,0.16312946762681685,0.13864325371617275,0.0933205085819988,-0.5036795872591375,0.12521978848294932,0.09130341563933872,0.0784063299481468,0.019761530181934984,0.07268791323083515,0.17674387782481302,0.19568188307975404,0.1843615624960067,0.07902385404659074,0.09721442944071965,0.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k{240}	=[0.7466304001616123;0.9875528388866811;1.1184338745575144];
x_a_linear{240}	=[10.32245101153416,15.471669454269232,21.686595539145568];
L_a{240}	=[-0.046366359270425615,-0.07998602708652812,-0.08165041447607833,-0.01932929891776278,-0.03140188751733604,0.5641511513510326,-0.024173519493554806,-0.07256725335452195,0.022296765074968455,-0.07275067276772056,-0.03114869846964787,-0.009480232294149817,0.3867584686290781,-0.07026828473035698,-0.06878558097257409,0.29362604010272286,-0.03269102404674946,-0.0778891216457823,-0.03547824261663766,0.05573875568620252,0.025827206828454262,-0.0682801421195603,0.029547928321673363,-0.04744589649442317,-0.07820805250756821,4.217277330103693E-4,-0.0669647877080236,-0.07213995061486755,-0.08216392467739822,-0.08375816253904175,0.2379211482043989,-0.012222029906102763,-0.016479450526902667,-0.06952274819833545,-0.05516439122094027,-0.0023874930689827766,0.06895750661848768,-0.04182320229532646,0.046870817809333554,-0.013062406438100308,-0.046583934791634474,-0.08350914022182772,-0.07156261501641718,-0.08369417936515852,-0.0792042334985297,0.01912924407965774,-0.008003855106585477,-0.02165129078179074,-0.04290297195522142,-0.006291733632520899,-0.06051745730153475,-0.05489358148734562,-0.03210348718869486,-0.010253672774230962,0.03547225254051065,-0.054906535705506396,0.05087886193215389,-0.060050839434140746,0.003213480172782324,-0.06756751576649989,-0.06716877908846663,-0.08293792923815575,-0.03204081903444539,0.20472715399510377,-0.0783358864363999,-0.06030416317362788,0.24924008601849132,-0.055306115980822926,-0.03230765919522872,-0.06869114952431353,-0.06333403670445487,-0.06244893639594297,0.0022723489577502892,0.4700440807418883,-0.06880078536077432,-0.051314728808883936,-0.035600251562019875,-0.07150328652086818,-0.003789126158097707,0.02443439720387866,0.21460826845647876,-0.00137961749848702,-0.07196623093219091,0.05495084958474629,-0.04114132561978545,0.005831103942541729,-0.05245598080004409,-0.07137567076903553,-0.07277693405349467,-0.027364362215073518,-0.07062616864106307,0.1759319319983553,-0.02995039649963877,-0.005774144355616622,-0.07027430167186195,0.025584101792849062,-0.01721519232736611,0.4923457395357548,-0.07055338497340079,-0.07675775376973475;-0.018975254222265325,-0.07084900572642673,-0.12614134986339195,-0.0527897660459898,-0.02086010921222026,0.6131009245903967,-0.00641991488522763,-0.10616020463993954,0.2004388829451276,-0.1075624715658055,0.008517068665241,-0.02907901013583974,0.5174385250976705,-0.10832121047929961,-0.10266626710490324,0.45988354377140905,-0.0071336507233610335,-0.1200864591242869,0.09867270407294797,-0.011661948373243816,-0.021931828771434354,-0.06330925328112676,-0.02048381737935222,-0.08544320124696342,-0.12252375263892462,-0.03649739806753187,-0.0996245858403108,-0.11093951783288764,-0.12720073846150173,-0.1291929209045506,0.42165996946784423,-0.03762088609146438,-0.05301322101961172,-0.10557906586895066,-0.08686910759810128,-0.04024451842605693,0.2643061634549512,-0.0742921761611809,-0.015080926553364855,-0.03736268557229082,-0.020065156851680033,-0.06130238023946559,-0.11438288661733781,-0.1289084625892851,-0.12044319379924928,-0.02377628738850476,-0.045628386775228985,-0.03845639363328729,-0.0768711643718702,-0.04379926345340276,-0.10200847244863137,-0.08779237852218884,-0.06437044919241042,-0.038475038378782085,-0.017194866927835475,-0.041019270147244775,-0.011652488519130142,-0.09162643789547863,-0.027750215955374746,-0.10856878451570348,-0.09991536271974769,-0.0651399187961568,0.014929913181381751,0.3959476991427202,-0.12074539025449083,-0.09164029583218557,0.4294316483150553,-0.08816857517673418,-0.01656198614072553,-0.10251408525600442,-0.09531230031352687,-0.10207518647249937,0.16986540730417635,0.5627637911699269,-0.10347609743009818,-0.0834403131579406,-0.06887373729165051,0.0030898920846969043,-0.03876146992882578,-0.022047521333458327,0.4040553612767706,-0.04328277993788858,-0.10483326489259367,-0.011893536897542044,0.08511112991005142,-0.028653002423038088,-0.08512073295018109,-0.10961847118876306,-0.10796800082180787,-0.03424886166878411,-0.11005805001441814,0.372212236190439,-0.06375887883882034,-0.03760988454442124,-0.10793303921380785,-0.02143921830654987,-0.03790000058317553,0.5763307427910352,-0.10372335932806248,-0.07103407967820516;-0.14811431681009357,-0.19420732559490875,-0.10145627130468325,0.03483663585603598,-0.08093831685876239,1.185003205372244,-0.07816550997347248,-0.09713312646982525,-0.30923761156303753,-0.09754446976388759,-0.13602548498644412,0.030090791218473086,0.5310027172328192,-0.08602296909540094,-0.09047097448663484,0.24368512946603124,-0.11461509138626941,-0.09573339171447703,-0.33283206380698227,0.29531325842336614,0.17495750304944688,-0.15878682155219967,0.19081546373282923,-0.028952436533105592,-0.09342382754903257,0.09045894361265883,-0.08567988264772707,-0.08755612510964637,-0.10191902301035687,-0.10481184351134694,0.09216239773836135,0.034588040162110305,0.04711298322021602,-0.08632292643330983,-0.059290369645143975,0.08475401952203424,-0.25625531879774494,-0.024844732989462312,0.25947912815201263,0.031537518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x_a{240}	=[10.322451011534149,15.471669454269218,21.686595539145543];
std_x_a{240}	=[1.2294359313800436,1.7264699362145868,2.233933258326476];
pred_a{240}	=[10.322451011534149];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.0 to 24.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{241}	=[13.638509145771412,13.511230096768145,33.84949263137538];
std_x_f{241}	=[0.6681060671760178,2.4125905469530595,2.409690072960738];
pred_f{241}	=[13.638509145771412];
obs{241}	=[14.375389352651757];
sqrt_r{241}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{241}	=[1.4477383935551251];
L_f{241}	=[0.03704964990009478,0.02023316016879727,-0.03265429615296438,-0.027199345043221496,0.018914883484032776,-0.1615474478515371,0.025701647701660876,-0.02296724622097835,0.19083096951424194,-0.0233107050953043,0.04799032850569244,-0.012965884200815382,0.04477618963769665,-0.026601339108732074,-0.0216989755281675,0.12398258834829595,0.034632700983652925,-0.030881097569694163,0.14587665424329765,-0.07617994329664898,-0.04879631999149604,0.015685134169858807,-0.052318334127783375,-0.027972884629550762,-0.03274140644531787,-0.033369561543720505,-0.02177801492774346,-0.02773608014734195,-0.033394470651596904,-0.03370371216091159,0.160831217297293,-0.01980437330656423,-0.03062533274970594,-0.02496477889826286,-0.02145660431356346,-0.0332976832263242,0.20513194388151126,-0.023006514731509584,-0.06824522297152999,-0.01852725001893309,0.0362796753677454,0.03336451769971169,-0.03152588596656344,-0.03366324598066798,-0.030356390669330897,-0.0424375123687974,-0.031979957122795,-0.009803722700828923,-0.024120572341117814,-0.03261342431262376,-0.030123238671184764,-0.021867378625578127,-0.024401552491461708,-0.0227750201976892,-0.05628417653076978,0.02400589020662203,-0.06994014165609283,-0.021482307730355407,-0.027595973032252235,-0.0293444622825808,-0.021555052503425726,0.028907919559984622,0.05667356911545552,0.17789728536543511,-0.03165025801255802,-0.021037927394651258,0.15403823119529667,-0.021978509350631,0.02416035049401766,-0.022977000706240494,-0.022077831256639247,-0.029011442739824318,0.1792053249287229,-0.04438241899921547,-0.023679181934799984,-0.022297853888900186,-0.02440358788283154,0.08576739020325518,-0.03053515022218694,-0.04733597527498852,0.17342213523870142,-0.037719387117882086,-0.022017623361148663,-0.07598533661046003,0.13780685549779098,-0.03166257283302147,-0.02246263131783685,-0.026781183202479877,-0.02387532552918705,0.0014381318530438045,-0.02829210179560955,0.19024101659162398,-0.025548810036593587,-0.026417879822122892,-0.02642532896483684,-0.04799021190801051,-0.014350733963812767,-0.06955358172603919,-0.02150551962813424,0.016724844421143775;0.14505182652382226,0.1875102989147646,0.11448758300601736,2.3967538789900636E-4,0.0901518253083638,-1.2755211881086355,0.08553033207250643,0.11128760696760029,0.21082392498044808,0.1108457989708154,0.1298988052221429,9.750024459822852E-4,-0.6987893753961499,0.10125972513757961,0.10501572237855285,-0.4226951028923607,0.11535859304343819,0.1099994968335517,0.2710475047760232,-0.21584009065863333,-0.1178571877245861,0.1583925103439448,-0.1302968016609093,0.05511921933825636,0.10822667423496536,-0.04678619994363937,0.10112214710140925,0.10301098701199614,0.11517638225612288,0.11753849523564588,-0.26831270514482225,-0.0020370593807726763,-0.009108724729845037,0.10199420437805151,0.08008494964048565,-0.041465172705078594,0.13238070972819646,0.051142651437948355,-0.18624358028803864,0.0015748315750661207,0.14416335739608932,0.21382754523690609,0.09686533618270195,0.1175910597727165,0.11387206084067833,-0.09556111473799295,-0.02792410862305278,0.029945888956040785,0.051296653208615026,-0.032289939287449894,0.07722118892412044,0.07892064914354222,0.031003646894669185,-0.010574035595745341,-0.14812700229928066,0.14301773855231983,-0.19868970293610383,0.08859698639176572,-0.044336474060630654,0.09160033472633591,0.10333669181020758,0.20556677468889967,0.14337251922107352,-0.17998335947661537,0.10909953686258116,0.0896640689120574,-0.29864505233133903,0.07943365722451763,0.09921008164485184,0.10444261275157773,0.09490829570219582,0.08204744607885861,0.23761526080789389,-0.9620044364860431,0.10273285824275889,0.07002060316950576,0.03708509639441921,0.2630379543686384,-0.03528973342227025,-0.11415659838852128,-0.20573519833133697,-0.049736253134382596,0.11016583306836063,-0.21367426471116943,0.2734290318033033,-0.05437250397332505,0.07286568433115544,0.10310968797210324,0.11015558297173092,0.05720076040686657,0.1001386179287318,-0.10648999680791725,0.024826177072908424,-0.024898434722771715,0.1016319700527201,-0.11745926914081586,0.016062921717766167,-1.0352016264073907,0.10901081463646782,0.17676182318733952;-0.04745571017056552,-0.13886081548903834,-0.1974914116756176,-0.05445104248648237,-0.03479719251441982,0.7536773147784044,-0.011983954266174953,-0.16655779277090524,0.27393923471682846,-0.16826956698084483,-0.0021264939639304985,-0.02115444374801421,0.7078201070271273,-0.16668813233406718,-0.15915963497490523,0.6591871518484674,-0.02140392035351308,-0.18653813539934486,0.101677950467276,0.05735365361127113,0.01943574136006921,-0.1179257094994792,0.024652197365829156,-0.11734068951899401,-0.1906393621381556,-0.018639282852908546,-0.15363406509386235,-0.17092359520456046,-0.20016624591531285,-0.20344093007346128,0.6165483303774496,-0.03269704176857444,-0.052044580805835815,-0.16263611305772863,-0.12799243836361515,-0.02454510014835134,0.38113925928606984,-0.10056093654624534,0.04576888733272524,-0.03349569570508979,-0.04810095875673285,-0.132335576526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k{241}	=[0.3092674723198026;0.23258042067683693;0.5143231280105445];
x_a_linear{241}	=[13.86640222475579,13.68261400527281,34.228487164347136];
L_a{241}	=[0.049855340019887194,0.02722646725710823,-0.04394079410213186,-0.03660041590418835,0.02545254678723955,-0.21738404988174467,0.03458506055233686,-0.030905551678760062,0.25678900872509797,-0.031367722279792495,0.06457751022665564,-0.01744735961697932,0.0602524494887766,-0.035795717633671086,-0.029198921068272685,0.16683542530948975,0.04660300672214135,-0.04155471438126809,0.19629686698455193,-0.10251046868166061,-0.06566208132749549,0.021106480072133185,-0.07040143008768453,-0.037641318563168505,-0.044058012841208354,-0.044903280909882055,-0.029305279324057888,-0.03732266594403207,-0.044936799500371306,-0.045352925985688096,0.2164202643153289,-0.026649476249895988,-0.041210548050411445,-0.03359350341637147,-0.028872777654024424,-0.044806558863560005,0.276032913636979,-0.030958392797364127,-0.09183322393472716,-0.024930933269763762,0.04881923462562724,0.044896493732169314,-0.042422364813957114,-0.045298473239689406,-0.04084864992454761,-0.0571054413320962,-0.04303337927558342,-0.013192241492928723,-0.03245750874254925,-0.04388579548533209,-0.0405349122191919,-0.029425530326509863,-0.032835605727865085,-0.0306468854355541,-0.07573801010933995,0.03230318834208906,-0.0941139674114617,-0.028907365095128226,-0.037134132776219665,-0.03948696273092392,-0.02900525307533505,0.038899535159356374,0.07626199076133207,0.23938497865498,-0.04258972430746788,-0.028309390949774,0.20727937815908667,-0.029575071822829185,0.032511035654234854,-0.03091867766458645,-0.029708722947976513,-0.039038839669514075,0.24114512368639116,-0.05972257757030328,-0.031863557953599034,-0.030004793306887337,-0.032838344623619606,0.11541168169555883,-0.041089195201317416,-0.06369698900991483,0.2333630558619179,-0.050756562482361156,-0.029627705040664143,-0.10224859893292482,0.18543785586206735,-0.04260629557232852,-0.030226523735363525,-0.03603772230762994,-0.032127495821224164,0.0019352018904434092,-0.03807086865060407,0.25599514687668234,-0.03437939669909331,-0.03554884822631177,-0.03555887206037928,-0.06457735332862578,-0.019310863212745215,-0.0935937984813138,-0.028938599858732993,0.022505551540817757;0.15468217262125697,0.1927695209477882,0.10599972483814865,-0.006830272832828894,0.09506838659396591,-1.3175123496489674,0.0922109825863114,0.10531771168898287,0.2604267764915088,0.10478662814333511,0.14237297094531848,-0.0023952305427180445,-0.6871506634434549,0.09434521709328984,0.09937548974856802,-0.3904682063071164,0.12436069961289067,0.10197254763789819,0.30896534399142644,-0.23564160623591898,-0.13054085548032646,0.16246956022289785,-0.1438959494598878,0.04784820433399616,0.09971617341686209,-0.05545997763525674,0.09546136969501515,0.09580152479237032,0.106496129919523,0.10877786149813,-0.22650771400398226,-0.007184826490564653,-0.017069192764605504,0.09550508878088665,0.0745077167604854,-0.050120267006291686,0.18570082531756063,0.04516254906295641,-0.2039826174580163,-0.0032409718238100194,0.15359356337741678,0.22250001187798568,0.08867078660652643,0.1088409444428523,0.105981499142986,-0.10659193237669508,-0.036236685289880124,0.027397599217626443,0.04502697291906968,-0.04076717360410302,0.06939123061786381,0.07323664335736539,0.02466093120258647,-0.01649396540537219,-0.16275699478941322,0.14925760941993108,-0.21686930171957494,0.08301307240140986,-0.05150951812211788,0.08397280440995225,0.09773386921090856,0.21308083409486342,0.15810372684733953,-0.1337423711681432,0.1008726591577728,0.08419566306937022,-0.2586057676782445,0.07372076513719586,0.10549010150253338,0.09847018198154936,0.0891695867898165,0.07450647780726104,0.28419624892034717,-0.9735407953114661,0.09657790892606719,0.06422470359260879,0.03074185164137682,0.28533154293852564,-0.04322676023817207,-0.1264606775360169,-0.16065743949128433,-0.0595406845799655,0.1044427740439812,-0.2334251960117904,0.30924928156602777,-0.06260258267958729,0.06702695402106683,0.09614843290399454,0.10394964988855741,0.057574575207165794,0.09278462854285974,-0.057040492247269134,0.018185253779612148,-0.03176525604317599,0.09476321247049839,-0.1299334045566596,0.0123327235864374,-1.0532807463489873,0.1034208671583521,0.18110912581059443;-0.02615937871565342,-0.1272306897929258,-0.216261270936787,-0.07008536747899691,-0.02392481911296544,0.6608190015576728,0.002789486505002995,-0.17975948534957925,0.3836298684905937,-0.18166868150678386,0.025458596455094545,-0.02860730142119518,0.7335576937083432,-0.18197872040525498,-0.17163231896317424,0.7304529884548345,-0.0014968637061345018,-0.20428875089258344,0.18552861001941776,0.013565025998418316,-0.008612637156894455,-0.1089098128014857,-0.005420653194393333,-0.13341964908885007,-0.20945929284842377,-0.03782028038072459,-0.16615218134008528,-0.18686643832644062,-0.2193615613278865,-0.22281399911392932,0.7089949505505426,-0.044080698546187395,-0.06964818135033245,-0.17698599780831706,-0.14032580611717638,-0.04368478164549422,0.4990501675043935,-0.1137852008690046,0.006541178230611176,-0.04414525537475363,-0.027247212667592374,-0.11315747822632043,-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x_a{241}	=[13.866402224755793,13.682614005272805,34.22848716434715];
std_x_a{241}	=[0.8990275276076161,2.4541807487719454,2.610002537096833];
pred_a{241}	=[13.866402224755793];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.1 to 24.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{242}	=[9.572251553990816,2.9053050843527375,35.06036546247498];
std_x_f{242}	=[1.575703700556549,2.392136060440992,1.250171091653359];
pred_f{242}	=[9.572251553990816];
obs{242}	=[9.47365678591728];
sqrt_r{242}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{242}	=[3.48724740191408];
L_f{242}	=[0.06637205712102424,0.11005507121620688,0.10552726520254002,0.02119547503303631,0.04467401580107838,-0.7586308596224587,0.03614390521241762,0.0950032612129232,-0.035124830219746876,0.09597106770412205,0.046516069355125894,0.01084620070774026,-0.4688288423560305,0.09180429750548996,0.0904861703156819,-0.3514069205178555,0.04872335217236269,0.1011587393589549,0.04487979701185415,-0.09562186609119767,-0.04498836515633768,0.09422697717928805,-0.05140957643977277,0.060305429807803464,0.1019569772727034,-0.006833896109428899,0.0874282333133851,0.09375954262516636,0.10705587393760668,0.10923159054667154,-0.2877601140293504,0.013398869351768244,0.01675274058356374,0.0904710373528332,0.07239851993166753,-0.0032305815470672805,-0.09403971443376692,0.053526473883313705,-0.08030242220663476,0.015184145194171658,0.06639300143960726,0.11589514666696643,0.09270057032746581,0.10883185717558969,0.10264289008241996,-0.03432800894995634,0.005308362620712532,0.027861814739619517,0.054546394759362134,0.003356764668177497,0.07736518541861691,0.07142393461480198,0.03938248798086457,0.010046064387925824,-0.06101358792864738,0.07693117213432768,-0.08714935775789723,0.07807910283345501,-0.009471985907990817,0.08700272229782485,0.08851381703637354,0.11495732471043307,0.048383631215443895,-0.2501686665119511,0.10118446451420884,0.07811260132026815,-0.3005130757951558,0.07288517427086999,0.04701645465833195,0.09027963359941964,0.08296928514537706,0.07957638020179446,-0.00847617643186721,-0.5920563569492142,0.09023978323051789,0.0658919565568218,0.04450965312394615,0.09867880237908913,-8.746807810265155E-4,-0.04302090012635199,-0.2615264827580322,-0.005378429202132628,0.09463903123915708,-0.09441978863565087,0.05372936994601355,-0.013490876402005456,0.06805323502451809,0.09303231765051936,0.09561608695936517,0.036836175073538056,0.09213939311048429,-0.21795214038940844,0.036894921651830746,0.003368026206682673,0.09162236626361797,-0.04554251573399733,0.02195450218185818,-0.6288293154829809,0.09269325322152035,0.10579206592366248;0.0013850705980788542,0.08124376798868439,0.18850350745117628,0.08151715708866902,0.016309401781993787,-0.7511667118826978,-0.006930438219394889,0.15544619809575155,-0.4134259739810725,0.15719931896306602,-0.04164561409367263,0.043146209203141626,-0.6235618122139835,0.15937301424247285,0.14917919095740054,-0.6052952812192226,-0.011951126245026165,0.17842847004398496,-0.24947413895389647,0.03252924747620516,0.04491240110164148,0.07451430982204232,0.043054962886804764,0.12672576531722907,0.18301685021658687,0.06144061821454358,0.14524246698760349,0.1640845571767183,0.1904060526863776,0.19382194198668,-0.5976134038498275,0.05844107874866709,0.08311147469959966,0.15499266080046065,0.12758761641443267,0.06494743371262077,-0.4944022188836066,0.10993664104621473,0.03702414608792839,0.05819257337891122,0.0027626304012951467,0.05856493763491294,0.17063899711635738,0.19258576184566542,0.17907209806154467,0.04629795942210379,0.07323138940079145,0.054815172485233904,0.11354272352895717,0.07143497426199848,0.15115478172609814,0.12735381181792363,0.09705624499236519,0.06073685932966613,0.039077124221890275,0.039555566637181246,0.031666257004367704,0.13361139216139634,0.04737867143303956,0.16066771077468664,0.14536116651126044,0.06794942239946587,-0.05729056648265036,-0.5885800386139769,0.18072774217168686,0.1332805115330471,-0.5996134448886672,0.12865310229385166,0.007958687874568606,0.1504378193104844,0.14050541181509812,0.15128588493126555,-0.3666344935581082,-0.6610922069002168,0.15178336975172282,0.12230390199547583,0.102878010414747,-0.07130720995321956,0.06310301653582914,0.043025751775337615,-0.5921219973047174,0.07158027929381384,0.1525709259731709,0.032739394585291015,-0.224701230870815,0.050190379649216355,0.125679014099708,0.1613582108396343,0.1586533852321073,0.04351762317711383,0.1632695829427856,-0.5787398673426335,0.09523538838504543,0.06021992344841808,0.1588947191460144,0.04336450732745399,0.05705453785215137,-0.6799928962456145,0.15108002103808132,0.08395980996601847;0.11138166045800235,0.13047611992985664,0.03612781140032398,-0.03565792510025761,0.06138357909948511,-0.5328716769116891,0.06458804820139431,0.0436444180849989,0.23541311571670656,0.04223228034019652,0.1097899366457142,-0.02216459432048286,-0.26417526672639335,0.033257278046651496,0.039726341142453075,-0.11142213414422909,0.09007527758029929,0.035304244857170264,0.2563487691751308,-0.20819948215660114,-0.12663729696454976,0.106268893282659,-0.1370777682018104,-5.316457427416452E-4,0.032466162605391584,-0.07006594115378573,0.036328753883168946,0.03286995189092811,0.03714557565487272,0.038328049804465816,-0.025007293545949428,-0.03019632169721773,-0.04418115664504898,0.034224094250238396,0.022499466928522553,-0.06708586008488765,0.19556311544015625,0.0015798066678497386,-0.18414182378171165,-0.02633566854300173,0.11077980154240268,0.1584341748996006,0.025510496359088305,0.03856424577819325,0.0387999144659119,-0.1076264745017546,-0.05720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k{242}	=[0.7132408789089295;0.9398805358899971;0.4085985436526164];
x_a_linear{242}	=[9.501929734954224,2.812637780899833,35.020079783828365];
L_a{242}	=[-0.054424402373767874,-0.09024402344834499,-0.08653126921038419,-0.017380070947593026,-0.0366322322536513,0.6220694814681506,-0.029637629538181574,-0.07790169446826571,0.028801998553458077,-0.07869528581049134,-0.038142697171691727,-0.008893772728308613,0.3844348159088457,-0.07527857721765865,-0.07419772651527497,0.2881500509215385,-0.039952646319101066,-0.0829491230693063,-0.036800970724357174,0.07840894408905404,0.0368899954832186,-0.07726514956615615,0.04215532251654263,-0.049449830539353014,-0.08360366992670779,0.005603724334803932,-0.07169024970853431,-0.07688185805222095,-0.0877847126092774,-0.08956877779151409,0.23596032596214017,-0.010986934691876352,-0.013737074514967926,-0.07418531764179818,-0.05936603973026768,0.002649043553046201,0.0771115960459862,-0.04389115658962547,0.06584715808631607,-0.012450842471892296,-0.0544415764990163,-0.09503282509186856,-0.07601351168881633,-0.08924100054949924,-0.08416611135716201,0.02814861332949288,-0.00435280260620416,-0.022846400759998414,-0.04472748118999528,-0.0027525124110861607,-0.0634386542105565,-0.05856688982090229,-0.03229323401024598,-0.0082376691975103,0.05003051289552569,-0.06308276779322501,0.07146157462895338,-0.06402405912841116,0.007766930764179335,-0.07134133506388021,-0.0725804171662431,-0.09426382075885163,-0.03967407863781871,0.20513572666173246,-0.08297021743132227,-0.06405152754214316,0.24641762309448417,-0.05976509126976404,-0.038553007960069996,-0.07402836853786093,-0.06803395819391458,-0.06525181112969486,0.0069503772630976225,0.4854801070847664,-0.0739956916463206,-0.05403072486218509,-0.036497456553401676,-0.08091560032030207,7.172292202483032E-4,0.03527669444822122,0.21444901885541742,0.004410256480403201,-0.07760302964591885,0.07742325297199491,-0.04405752926866263,0.011062379524243104,-0.05580295091739373,-0.07628554107255767,-0.0784042052605487,-0.03020528368522946,-0.07555335215806228,0.17871850747593687,-0.030253455273602195,-0.002761746756525214,-0.07512939547549953,0.037344393242191375,-0.01800246538211828,0.5156335538593078,-0.07600751173739898,-0.08674840307093279;-0.15779571171666598,-0.18270243307537173,-0.06458361021712458,0.03068383289111942,-0.0908327464776293,1.0682654250874553,-0.09361473515374655,-0.07240109334423075,-0.32918573500736203,-0.07296907266697675,-0.15320557820107358,0.01713365529581505,0.5008351875937777,-0.06080216987353156,-0.0678347152599633,0.23748752445531576,-0.12880483927144892,-0.06418156748687043,-0.3571098143925429,0.26186014531229335,0.152808456629786,-0.15147121169347927,0.1663510750026439,-0.01790536276622347,-0.06150760945357501,0.07783042103432113,-0.06443755769272691,-0.0607799112747054,-0.06634714291977253,-0.06814929697911212,0.09252461592932021,0.026306433567209506,0.042933205896734446,-0.061984951877580984,-0.04604649319495525,0.07269537042424122,-0.26886581152279765,-0.01843644782399141,0.22961426522967757,0.02177628291526567,-0.15646838288656822,-0.2193875760153836,-0.05168572726038314,-0.06842679249460588,-0.06709739330397814,0.1286271738081786,0.06050028912414024,-0.012006102300239812,-0.0172764519926311,0.06338441128257065,-0.03439093243498624,-0.04394293987458874,0.0026048219354582536,0.03664328052829757,0.18540663515752592,-0.1449492490325064,0.2406774515923887,-0.053646517425464994,0.07009543195409697,-0.04799180649215594,-0.06692242469674817,-0.20775390327642934,-0.1733295232692229,0.011402028740006566,-0.06194399226169252,-0.05405773781678958,0.12111013331319585,-0.046148155386446,-0.10480135541491845,-0.06608074779133284,-0.05848067194382612,-0.039562960256700634,-0.34630599307179405,0.7588425994256902,-0.06463962380344726,-0.03572545023386172,-0.0038699451580112244,-0.30796958930276436,0.06520077238428161,0.14620321583239146,0.03509963672627382,0.08447942096813059,-0.07440282900159571,0.25918733778539493,-0.3535609274399545,0.0825456862787364,-0.03753375434740033,-0.061762146529439406,-0.07066365245309619,-0.0448269516338919,-0.05770926438431874,-0.05602302354950423,0.006749921055462077,0.05214235180620243,-0.06084413741491831,0.1525895878444007,0.004400831093197449,0.8281348720184646,-0.07122715464875566,-0.16976238197561583;0.04218027438003683,0.015729586472506375,-0.0738979033024319,-0.05775692751918992,0.01480518528133887,0.25809833794962633,0.026903389212911424,-0.05540867207120173,0.27203525826274144,-0.057829872267151264,0.06129096563440529,-0.03347315028834827,0.22463895919411617,-0.06246048196958001,-0.05461710214293762,0.25496467126822586,0.03927493100456688,-0.07016672110633455,0.2095558220399384,-0.10850141703852575,-0.07973115360781391,0.0080251788403948,-0.08347668814448479,-0.06340779440750158,-0.07383706880907902,-0.06294072756845187,-0.0548263976981967,-0.06488640204980783,-0.07447390979759191,-0.0755598993899861,0.27501954926342653,-0.044166362272112125,-0.06164803833101638,-0.06010357097959641,-0.05298527991500407,-0.06371756429005775,0.293611584441599,-0.05422841060402375,-0.10041624462745528,-0.042167088261239306,0.041556578324844606,0.03759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x_a{242}	=[9.50192973495423,2.8126377808998373,35.02007978382837];
std_x_a{242}	=[1.292060784925708,2.0693988901354756,1.1428590046356295];
pred_a{242}	=[9.50192973495423];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.2 to 24.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{243}	=[3.9155311582952135,0.1015091941136404,27.49791222959491];
std_x_f{243}	=[1.1164327596361694,1.1360801618244636,1.3857216389311133];
pred_f{243}	=[3.9155311582952135];
obs{243}	=[3.516238274660042];
sqrt_r{243}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{243}	=[2.2557493175853933];
L_f{243}	=[-0.0965774859714231,-0.11465799648659372,-0.033747601730965096,0.029942729475624433,-0.05288708348083258,0.4666081333349047,-0.05537198629420866,-0.03946935618374923,-0.21254376256209317,-0.03934536439031531,-0.09478353140341413,0.02009148114058374,0.25230789779164703,-0.031460274631855606,-0.03629873684998659,0.11621083523692091,-0.07750969980636273,-0.0337085924553086,-0.2297424629875579,0.18043060413989123,0.10991490321360407,-0.0934822974828312,0.11909936258386593,-0.0018025384400291236,-0.03146423302053515,0.060986060585861986,-0.033502696481962455,-0.031081607850870465,-0.035401293100111725,-0.03632983402412329,0.03614090861109338,0.026240604903241913,0.03829992777569432,-0.031942228520870676,-0.021238128671976778,0.05765107951416199,-0.17542478391875307,-0.002628602168930348,0.16004720503533065,0.02339214075611174,-0.09658525650017202,-0.14018728193414917,-0.024776801972783993,-0.03656379252643217,-0.03575596017963481,0.09397726221818722,0.049695553486279305,4.699501954306975E-4,-0.002046977215380221,0.051705479749138014,-0.013015826268143363,-0.01993426557925545,0.011081060704660674,0.03319951952924242,0.13144213101349844,-0.08936486678334825,0.16709410404298347,-0.0262672115731113,0.0555069858502837,-0.022673742900306146,-0.03578249037354481,-0.1314705968377195,-0.10773593302666422,-0.010605289111656216,-0.032041850933238046,-0.027171591179153614,0.05216108484506476,-0.02083832919176724,-0.06270279898943991,-0.03482673718266984,-0.02956585090862092,-0.01676854637132521,-0.22290482396383707,0.3659287896829935,-0.03426738241298466,-0.013869034904180396,0.006764123091839853,-0.19886574389633038,0.052673638329464874,0.10623792517199364,0.003064362516955775,0.06611699764524086,-0.04036232256681144,0.1792509256888211,-0.22826036194206104,0.06373630882516548,-0.015580587674671794,-0.03167016978906573,-0.03844083915610386,-0.022621177047271943,-0.02876091393001908,-0.049460272406193655,0.013797184884325419,0.04422999091907674,-0.031115779780473918,0.11021084748629627,0.011810864421405496,0.3923373483358622,-0.038450180945111885,-0.10614254586344109;-0.10026899499377277,-0.10035403476347972,0.024597741296227174,0.0695603914135108,-0.04467198868261381,-0.04090746736810097,-0.053606035563000344,0.009114284271016099,-0.33902947742931144,0.00988258120650709,-0.10893096743597848,0.04607000070517075,0.009664068866627122,0.01950654105376827,0.011370158144100783,-0.07574015164165307,-0.08123709164538905,0.023396360503056338,-0.3174484384542362,0.2149747916455702,0.14601956807281857,-0.07647001130764397,0.1556054974066074,0.045900944944485066,0.026298418725687066,0.09805731989646985,0.013741772474265605,0.021368262576821485,0.02378099839984302,0.023513686752713096,-0.13977960362195258,0.058480969559236366,0.07835641159804498,0.017991332923957434,0.023118083376460184,0.09569946218539975,-0.3194242620257938,0.040224969883447335,0.19585044966414508,0.05443166152055892,-0.09895646870365095,-0.13570040044122786,0.030834579998612957,0.022847931745435073,0.019906170855274345,0.1292167831499998,0.0888320983508381,0.028110296530439546,0.04200322032719814,0.09081566598397116,0.038954187236336216,0.025082817197979536,0.0518925801839443,0.06634197305934,0.1672685128335965,-0.07990806260966805,0.20230177317597683,0.018313391780091164,0.08766719851262554,0.03032982530587827,0.011265130902274094,-0.12355504670419153,-0.12811411633843495,-0.17935396939020545,0.02472970543647228,0.01805580018251335,-0.12657500076782713,0.023962721333232618,-0.05772256304385248,0.013259447627017248,0.016656891377207127,0.03518423562534993,-0.3390055440963069,0.03180729457147478,0.014853685665085974,0.03066991088901545,0.04930732543313693,-0.237564261910844,0.08880914338121466,0.1423022237598874,-0.1679276904215241,0.10603650787405258,0.008115529876989205,0.21397851229285672,-0.3095429506742723,0.098119630325656,0.029502904745079973,0.02014672377654009,0.01164839713396529,-8.429597261413366E-4,0.02409894245117207,-0.21427782191546976,0.05530388885587005,0.07893987119961228,0.020022408816450628,0.14535704415270137,0.04150458663730772,0.025423768589682507,0.009413199618309049,-0.08885578614763706;-0.049027014696721855,-0.07233633713204263,-0.08183962786165165,-0.026917968728145693,-0.03949502958050601,0.7855047529080671,-0.0333828740013175,-0.07351742963172127,0.031737218126065295,-0.0751707938483296,-0.03612469935585207,-0.019448449540717342,0.38757412084156845,-0.07312657054567791,-0.07116355763665709,0.24339542239909512,-0.040288149971067874,-0.07924708258580353,-0.006198671081648871,0.0807271985527352,0.028077987396890252,-0.06685145586384783,0.034093345814307216,-0.05407333873992772,-0.08028365306026371,-0.0055922577469848704,-0.06949662576558341,-0.07485288765276608,-0.08275836685083594,-0.08449381003314597,0.17849521493197942,-0.02076092388498623,-0.0229662490389937,-0.0720333331113353,-0.06072541034720641,-0.008370416031279065,0.05660331573966331,-0.04929031564635321,0.06379887215018348,-0.0219517666351074,-0.048165557895326803,-0.071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k{243}	=[0.5566883287055925;0.35521463099568024;0.5109923458156425];
x_a_linear{243}	=[3.693249470240313,-0.04032548020602819,27.29387662231868];
L_a{243}	=[0.1909715417357298,0.22672379738538176,0.06673223544411566,-0.059208511737692905,0.10457849227126682,-0.9226671590495205,0.10949211905043468,0.07804638654559286,0.42028232164591917,0.07780120617341303,0.18742419044354683,-0.03972873274322901,-0.4989116018989057,0.062209293288631375,0.07177682945021627,-0.22979436820459873,0.15326705517965755,0.0666550988170936,0.45429089313714405,-0.35678202121662117,-0.217344843006646,0.18485114098514532,-0.23550611888068418,0.0035643249714756484,0.062217120574476606,-0.12059334426987348,0.06624796178022023,0.061460520650355795,0.07000223141827532,0.07183832075151471,-0.07146474116372072,-0.0518879604707567,-0.07573396824447991,0.06316230502117917,0.041996104322588546,-0.11399877959969262,0.346883552689852,0.005197776725716929,-0.31647605224612585,-0.04625543044282291,0.19098690711659855,0.2772052005021913,0.048993448363560725,0.07230094840679799,0.07070354724046875,-0.1858298802602981,-0.09826758660391488,-9.292757256795939E-4,0.00404767623413536,-0.10224199858339868,0.025737389872907298,0.0394178559604083,-0.021911600054099877,-0.06564846211943143,-0.2599126096128151,0.17670936673246956,-0.3304105335013706,0.051940572285138695,-0.10975906608366877,0.044834876317574296,0.0707560078319057,0.25996889770401543,0.2130361649352451,0.020970813143815114,0.06335929757580891,0.0537288852231184,-0.1031429084250312,0.04120554405532967,0.12398800894136036,0.06886610918167314,0.05846327509932034,0.03315798833432679,0.4407702008861705,-0.7235846370232574,0.0677600455720279,0.02742451774755961,-0.013375322440274921,0.3932355178674097,-0.10415642755066758,-0.21007401628681882,-0.006059445722923325,-0.13073921782334846,0.07981213106851434,-0.3544493345631302,0.45136019848486864,-0.126031662953911,0.030808928390010176,0.06262433827941878,0.07601260527146639,0.044730933023797124,0.05687159921070624,0.09780234369400401,-0.027282442097863062,-0.08746002727046297,0.06152809194831225,-0.2179300408242887,-0.023354708036766376,-0.7758047078837585,0.07603107764969715,0.20988541401144628;0.08321180836285928,0.11747666454512412,0.08871244685803216,0.012674296237006532,0.0558044781320611,-0.927383588545656,0.05159132411687415,0.0840993504872377,0.06476753500144747,0.08463208409614091,0.07114162724745464,0.00789960246774161,-0.46967803984939976,0.07927571401589276,0.08033158669109372,-0.29652098056408616,0.06601815987990879,0.08743695507342471,0.11902318068235501,-0.12781267962392984,-0.06280006043217251,0.1011304601609217,-0.07066304237104401,0.049325461515103086,0.086075111953302,-0.017805826439325212,0.07739119970146432,0.08041803303554913,0.09103743640439078,0.09253419464346135,-0.20844118534881778,0.00862828163945106,0.00559306053230318,0.07867613633398478,0.06346691697188908,-0.013827787123673,0.013853001907132402,0.04521886709260693,-0.10821202886791431,0.00999057118784127,0.08453909733646811,0.13063160075904465,0.07790629122455796,0.09231292101322462,0.087836416010842,-0.049324037162428135,-0.005581004094312094,0.027217471059493435,0.04589212901179378,-0.00741595463534238,0.06368204421053772,0.06295453259848709,0.030840448833824544,0.0032685304965252254,-0.0824491884575778,0.08986999057054085,-0.11514861536525159,0.06821662784899403,-0.01778663737132804,0.07340608185371268,0.07924577891563854,0.12621673481327708,0.0765658392772848,-0.159205723176675,0.08560377449231381,0.06967720374135372,-0.2256721936079663,0.06355200388969437,0.06140209438092325,0.07942432707373782,0.07282698135284943,0.06704162276259723,0.08447572342245299,-0.6633951910494749,0.0799558861502362,0.057018719210171896,0.03645664158678839,0.14024684057539846,-0.01126181393555194,-0.05953177162146848,-0.17374945820447688,-0.01957454651875812,0.08479708039994854,-0.1265677704871343,0.12411292846092822,-0.02296852007088764,0.05910337233400755,0.08031466185123932,0.08467945586489982,0.042133430638111855,0.07873978902189681,-0.1203117135202737,0.029091583356583413,-0.005089591616287176,0.07913710013155412,-0.06402482815431235,0.019065952305731056,-0.7199504885200468,0.0824620061600791,0.11279700476374532;0.21491843669569066,0.24102299640205127,0.010392281912088377,-0.10875119484570192,0.10504492175253109,-0.48973132450333745,0.11794829567982316,0.03435198661266272,0.612617521499185,0.032359753874497126,0.22291788939245807,-0.07435829737381015,-0.30198122741208483,0.012854093634082004,0.02804058281569514,-0.0742078062910212,0.1715452032882451,0.012878215167877412,0.6216855349246935,-0.41238811476988524,-0.2723185123841504,0.18863487159767567,-0.2914042036564756,-0.049147016446278065,0.00570782936223989,-0.17226664493017801,0.022065960036361625,0.010092883420912932,0.013993067432190984,0.014795318732807228,0.07972241772011589,-0.09247627489386992,-0.12763962734626993,0.01526450696617,-0.0026817845200259546,-0.16593032818438602,0.5360377647845733,-0.04210636817629084,-0.3736087840156037,-0.0858822892491846,0.21580113028635994,0.3114174456801639,-0.0067923556112983435,0.015637892771400295,0.018416290005851012,-0.2387378081147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x_a{243}	=[3.6932494702403105,-0.04032548020603088,27.29387662231867];
std_x_a{243}	=[2.2076251334092705,1.6678364486663142,2.226085453530756];
pred_a{243}	=[3.6932494702403105];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.3 to 24.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{244}	=[1.4823902221866403,0.49290624134722316,21.220576645181897];
std_x_f{244}	=[1.9245836125935825,2.2703574458548723,1.6348851264729773];
pred_f{244}	=[1.4823902221866403];
obs{244}	=[1.2895820485394802];
sqrt_r{244}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{244}	=[4.717749672591837];
L_f{244}	=[0.11716480157483107,0.147577343616529,0.09601024550393963,0.002898062522480475,0.08058791774192244,-1.0375517201445257,0.07818296289676142,0.09516251292138683,0.12159874169991755,0.09540105402282929,0.10762307756211709,0.005886350544842528,-0.526890897031161,0.08811840911549051,0.09040439546838823,-0.2772428930504411,0.09803878333517545,0.09455710112433686,0.15933272393420292,-0.23055794002737692,-0.11458861930646551,0.12927815878830867,-0.1285812221058818,0.049775445765077295,0.09247762976459971,-0.04125425127218863,0.08706075781832877,0.08835211258884625,0.0980693089571361,0.09991937096904105,-0.15617235564715623,0.0023123085398964655,-0.008542610760184102,0.08692474769731391,0.07021681785770849,-0.03629741680065991,0.08325380560968718,0.04703331795398094,-0.19499085333830068,0.005266359515515978,0.11811447842501868,0.1623812630116246,0.08352522395184159,0.09960967246855633,0.09591684410815333,-0.09093614047033508,-0.02452682702421692,0.03202028022797664,0.04724686140454061,-0.027206448109745093,0.06686119899781807,0.0694421602988458,0.028111283280413193,-0.006388047092520445,-0.14857238986059182,0.11924479516285456,-0.2072921087817189,0.07626900575442486,-0.03781763647412643,0.07871978523848121,0.08941188121916703,0.15755333576589012,0.11534625798263773,-0.09291601697247413,0.09264404696840618,0.07824946256847565,-0.1788864890805742,0.07087683080911114,0.08867585140831612,0.08880142476151848,0.08244633049477292,0.07113628705376107,0.13555479538995663,-0.776985186603085,0.08965528586012056,0.06147326962842314,0.034408009052154,0.175586925273628,-0.030644377183272748,-0.10913491911442805,-0.11102212258671684,-0.0469791176223785,0.09574265279346938,-0.227938994621823,0.16306781527589378,-0.04754788394749439,0.06441913016284358,0.08824083612056655,0.09488222879120027,0.055111019993538686,0.08613138943971912,-0.046925680875696305,0.024861966656367907,-0.019916118525008047,0.0873819879842823,-0.11574395243405174,0.019459632295678153,-0.8414999645373493,0.0932831082810458,0.14120196162986232;0.08208421217101054,0.1072593003536435,0.13335020901192018,0.05057445037080527,0.07949812885665675,-1.2467841841291603,0.0722466938723064,0.12312335695263832,-0.08417471529945707,0.12397047507950729,0.06756585949831348,0.04402459022840861,-0.6437797687716847,0.1220519918520814,0.12024858753775114,-0.342926112498215,0.07578147312115215,0.13121585561799487,-0.04915434228135128,-0.20195274329652443,-0.06652205362843176,0.10714514570717312,-0.0819370304591492,0.09380177462692295,0.13116365330717333,0.008931733911776304,0.11815158399967897,0.12371070009367267,0.1346766900715435,0.13757126175879708,-0.2192776857608368,0.04474377073927058,0.04170870310763497,0.11988854965721801,0.10543075176377818,0.014475580861304545,-0.09050858351676418,0.08850767964199532,-0.15871632569172778,0.04681283349650429,0.08290968327564632,0.09487996072288085,0.12309229717055428,0.1361664182532123,0.1305508696114118,-0.04156623588659414,0.026142526547373864,0.06555708455701999,0.08904858545201551,0.023497898529817606,0.10936207670400347,0.10527059109986706,0.07225635599557277,0.038291597684770126,-0.10430469991150136,0.09525228126398579,-0.1739913928836513,0.10994670117086032,0.009562239212632854,0.11793428065019,0.11963142491635578,0.10002605378144372,0.062301763931525145,-0.16616353670037817,0.12963976339727407,0.11117880834063917,-0.24069967578792145,0.1063686506188125,0.08077132504356813,0.11968944325423213,0.11433534983819642,0.11222575047926307,-0.07806798207683535,-0.9588544712019879,0.12185976630956916,0.09996465988911307,0.07861187687130038,0.026091970699913446,0.018876728995536975,-0.06052815640517973,-0.18096579674208063,0.0054352680674409765,0.12447976355188359,-0.19949137574254217,-0.04118320942266273,0.0015399084249653157,0.10186029144944185,0.12317859223273385,0.12489231398598,0.07632396374131703,0.12250109007033719,-0.13457763882157797,0.07003111552821084,0.0279857057439639,0.12182854475296369,-0.06819718361727933,0.05709981709964326,-1.0362592074464005,0.12221716590759407,0.11020018588622846;0.16169933623529031,0.1943049605048554,0.009570823033139667,-0.10639370629955767,0.07010585484870613,0.28309990574028804,0.07802961464612758,0.02613228131657382,0.42808809621908633,0.024757486616689913,0.16271761008013458,-0.08107753065540617,-0.13915457432554487,0.007736447819499821,0.01981011194718939,-0.08304946840665682,0.12325532979040246,0.010696248813169154,0.4542239700635999,-0.3434238214126072,-0.24327217274791896,0.14930536872474098,-0.2579494356742508,-0.05025594755859882,0.005039046096535342,-0.16215199745401873,0.014554282463609826,0.006131550922389633,0.012798825310825393,0.013991089898131647,0.010271790278635617,-0.09451837818928843,-0.12263970794003519,0.009748279657885476,-0.009717200452866977,-0.1561201368040909,0.36168517535288186,-0.046166663739868136,-0.3175269225563997,-0.08855676755514803,0.1627272544674521,0.25082031948420436,-0.008620497173901197,0.01499581909904848,0.015361759822466908,-0.21687401392919703,-0.14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k{244}	=[0.7880345356580523;0.8866728832970754;0.19694184172162663];
x_a_linear{244}	=[1.3304507225955233,0.32194846209625255,21.18260464836484];
L_a{244}	=[-0.07107100149145576,-0.08951894653768118,-0.058238858511167134,-0.0017579358569219776,-0.04888382812112284,0.6293685378091811,-0.04742500646914263,-0.05772463237132668,-0.07376058540238635,-0.05786932902722106,-0.0652830867557702,-0.003570601603285504,0.3196067694854563,-0.05345174917291074,-0.05483840572259544,0.1681727771535455,-0.05946934935219937,-0.05735739560608029,-0.09664964313649324,0.13985414970457039,0.06950831499025154,-0.07841884330925421,0.0779960884602687,-0.030193289560161176,-0.0560960089940359,0.025024417865138517,-0.05281018843190598,-0.05359351137179818,-0.059487865890398145,-0.060610095077321714,0.09473259521575929,-0.001402623326108119,0.005181862589424585,-0.052727686047371075,-0.04259282224366009,0.02201765145249773,-0.050500929145315114,-0.028529942145812174,0.11827950922253404,-0.003194521220972009,-0.0716470660085198,-0.09849885657266177,-0.05066556880791671,-0.060422235052006855,-0.05818220215490633,0.055160956943768456,0.014877728947507296,-0.01942318301444743,-0.02865947547569657,0.01650316040479063,-0.04055733727043879,-0.04212292268524929,-0.01705202440575103,0.003874925731428327,0.09012253167712092,-0.07233270488197646,0.1257413282348557,-0.046264019132594224,0.022939801562667794,-0.04775063755404345,-0.05423635646600508,-0.09557028399907139,-0.06996789106395686,0.05636193030731367,-0.05619695601209046,-0.047465344507564046,0.10851076228833807,-0.04299317952522431,-0.05378988811474579,-0.05386605965989221,-0.05001112278431746,-0.043150563098640855,-0.08222618854674138,0.4713114742112907,-0.054384003296518345,-0.03728907298712871,-0.02087155553369688,-0.10650927975183724,0.01858857393366645,0.06620015478110633,0.06734491360791194,0.028497064764581824,-0.05807653943863566,0.1382655235103346,-0.09891531233703785,0.028842072751599095,-0.03907600264195083,-0.053526012174626394,-0.057554614810021845,-0.033429795736519566,-0.052246442831397635,0.028464650566357684,-0.015081021309857506,0.012080919101722078,-0.053005043450620924,0.07020912855652842,-0.011804019102324172,0.5104454958385843,-0.0565846042382919,-0.0856517033333003;-0.12971308184625138,-0.15951435193879399,-0.04020626803874095,0.04533566029132744,-0.0661796060842731,0.62878461960594,-0.06908363534956438,-0.048900684890335486,-0.30398718544218833,-0.048484774422407936,-0.126982983627649,0.0333839106021269,0.3086740802817336,-0.03723851479250191,-0.04317426702358193,0.15824227377774067,-0.10144196548871863,-0.039713791162145864,-0.3371780432911679,0.21482385817115093,0.14061830907497833,-0.12654930722466667,0.1504975790602039,0.0038233461241171302,-0.03600696003409431,0.08350650951601124,-0.039227020096171517,-0.036002269292228196,-0.04260192930970733,-0.04305169075509122,0.06303305843688681,0.040563840546069346,0.05715106991516266,-0.03724419070479166,-0.021499280266936305,0.08008995100374429,-0.24100540942150545,0.0034861600609255726,0.19376611391529217,0.037292903622377846,-0.13060432928128854,-0.1986545448854602,-0.027895168155261312,-0.04389669629328144,-0.04283676694603746,0.12281784722636671,0.07047935403084672,0.007674438789652007,0.003641046141677514,0.07267864233694821,-0.011502046583425563,-0.020259102496848088,0.021439953371943658,0.0498391876611551,0.16426768458618854,-0.12030499021745766,0.20072786683411759,-0.027923792518809634,0.07792469076539588,-0.024366455364643033,-0.04199727449400053,-0.1847810702872661,-0.14620817239211276,0.0017995435175587296,-0.03783168016749379,-0.030271731476331918,0.08267111317138838,-0.021754478274137935,-0.07952686281247404,-0.04083574192567752,-0.03470181376160007,-0.01636639410606346,-0.32310862968395676,0.4456915853107885,-0.040208932517099095,-0.011159773274186446,0.016412964639854623,-0.29131423950916363,0.07427217265287282,0.13675362311002595,0.01972745604255621,0.09035881041120136,-0.0485929896225402,0.21255099204215275,-0.3359587866653098,0.08749160228666056,-0.014589335640328884,-0.03633322412296764,-0.046625061865743986,-0.02329951317557758,-0.0331975068468303,-0.049750693392558755,0.02508846047320266,0.06398781520197953,-0.03613074295256473,0.1410316598143207,0.02192289188492151,0.4849093773934924,-0.046409500513431796,-0.14504877097760882;0.11465633994976923,0.13505098376214453,-0.028978379132573385,-0.10755731126152393,0.037748892142890005,0.6996886854824791,0.04663826857881506,-0.01207654660537141,0.3792648226998656,-0.013547118262142978,0.11950572417293734,-0.08344096714054808,0.07239809489551823,-0.027644092556002652,-0.016488277868269636,0.02826669662460543,0.08389164668521637,-0.02726949940790204,0.3902500748369569,-0.25085219434952527,-0.19726354285275227,0.09739872217276323,-0.20632261710236552,-0.0702413534037252,-0.03209177079586794,-0.14558794781390544,-0.02040159892408207,-0.029342824047472158,-0.026577114177687558,-0.026127670464775522,0.0729767618047295,-0.09544679628577524,-0.11920975286087836,-0.025152992124091687,-0.03791004896421454,-0.14154631240652338,0.3282578284414414,-0.06505107417768834,-0.23923588407036037,-0.09067127061235174,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x_a{244}	=[1.3304507225955238,0.32194846209625305,21.182604648364844];
std_x_a{244}	=[1.1674332475501172,1.4729469173956888,1.5934513339305298];
pred_a{244}	=[1.3304507225955238];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.4 to 24.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{245}	=[1.0072354132841397,1.1971489418758317,16.490257039208952];
std_x_f{245}	=[1.5213222259944519,2.146397221614258,1.5700935480258327];
pred_f{245}	=[1.0072354132841397];
obs{245}	=[1.024212078744816];
sqrt_r{245}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{245}	=[3.3319205092761117];
L_f{245}	=[-0.1322845190163925,-0.1627114793938845,-0.06048054737383765,0.036757795304415884,-0.07409340828895183,0.5937454134557166,-0.0754677444891768,-0.0668826349540872,-0.25002277278404805,-0.06653576731217165,-0.1268901529384256,0.025777039112863238,0.3860411150457648,-0.05542400943703971,-0.06025507957233313,0.20700554583017833,-0.10551496939134562,-0.06001204713512161,-0.28324951548601934,0.2551260089874728,0.15371986166261842,-0.1343746133723871,0.16644738980113863,-0.011942327658659655,-0.05610400107933504,0.08167765807635732,-0.056913357525750816,-0.05516078202143266,-0.06310011965499664,-0.06448654125600974,0.09618540320008193,0.03282960426544278,0.04925871283721331,-0.05558721996413621,-0.03828937187210183,0.07754660248621448,-0.19642153726192105,-0.011510756517720237,0.2259683193235787,0.028824630409601718,-0.1327704746905868,-0.19432912489869722,-0.04732226422259037,-0.0649607035498069,-0.062430742472369516,0.13099193545470664,0.06542395705055909,-0.003203817916506097,-0.011209466159136856,0.06848374634967608,-0.02931071813602901,-0.03694291794502737,0.009222446657704138,0.043333723800061535,0.18508165781088037,-0.1258013720440675,0.2359829198956599,-0.044738161946880455,0.07636673655916112,-0.04284169086721258,-0.0601736499547173,-0.18338492701657405,-0.1426566124668718,0.03007721289827016,-0.05824858180411211,-0.04755522139699437,0.11881436868340879,-0.03797286069624406,-0.08672532770457572,-0.05788812337846289,-0.05196782163745243,-0.034569596011534,-0.2668107143903524,0.5127442990177324,-0.0579114537653701,-0.02704405594066438,0.003222642465637524,-0.2590444006238566,0.07082977826449718,0.1488408195935794,0.04936506764381412,0.08941758607268463,-0.06697130172367985,0.2532541660954178,-0.28314355717756173,0.08742946274648765,-0.03081169220614446,-0.05517206792114361,-0.06507297062238673,-0.03430621243050163,-0.05231697585510539,-0.02223009829433832,0.013013146637353073,0.05868098284113562,-0.054829425665063554,0.15399896992781545,0.012313542588882264,0.5377453969644066,-0.06399739718179599,-0.1511638893464903;-0.2068282475131628,-0.25305900517478247,-0.08108207323114178,0.07421412234910998,-0.11177006840311812,0.5551597380779242,-0.1150397382058316,-0.09324117234132073,-0.41136756575283584,-0.09184717988342574,-0.19989206146409805,0.053697251030509575,0.5271954339226953,-0.07441004712615591,-0.08359861120636132,0.29467619283896646,-0.16432695672410164,-0.0803330912529969,-0.4568405383893123,0.4229681902650157,0.26319635900585503,-0.20660281216327694,0.2836627433006078,-0.003355185692709566,-0.07429212937910767,0.14720604480817548,-0.07689526447443511,-0.07323766327989668,-0.08565780645238587,-0.08713354379777861,0.12799784891653174,0.06624204131130097,0.09482646614020987,-0.07547793748859273,-0.04688739373600048,0.14080608660150373,-0.330430715131955,-0.0033973421950988336,0.3773297149357458,0.059905616976636676,-0.2073433829005097,-0.30530308197985895,-0.05996429948663589,-0.08798949522230985,-0.0843673525862719,0.22617345436944286,0.12140661089478404,0.0071005194439628105,-0.003012369240607289,0.12573091231948733,-0.031027293943324236,-0.04515425137530879,0.02962752445077401,0.08370085739784523,0.3137300739135896,-0.19541689438685544,0.39270651688953767,-0.057263961789077576,0.1375843061842387,-0.0536911279983485,-0.08203604292791837,-0.28714443022421154,-0.22678919934206504,0.025021605974333755,-0.0771148093584444,-0.06228160218199633,0.16245860001156776,-0.04668162483256029,-0.13251123383991478,-0.0798209215774076,-0.06929157319175297,-0.03919156880922587,-0.4349019358836106,0.6187181890469686,-0.07885062941023922,-0.028883586321830013,0.020300327911401676,-0.412426138434813,0.12943208338245138,0.25497979686376737,0.05531299815234804,0.16027485610288658,-0.0931839109971338,0.41951207895329096,-0.45621572532600274,0.15586452970127002,-0.0346658973319936,-0.0740726074168405,-0.0904697214843468,-0.04468917924095602,-0.0686692689586754,-0.057426381801381016,0.03595529813592767,0.10954113954209364,-0.07259726051407424,0.2647673368332655,0.03225251827174419,0.6191881869073639,-0.08886578448020332,-0.23410547687854527;0.06053539504259579,0.07843702853887785,-0.04808346144868878,-0.0945020952052265,0.0018537972294484701,0.9210842862261496,0.008492371713794845,-0.03589523911355728,0.27901200855079894,-0.03751634708229696,0.06403799034043124,-0.07797241835941937,0.22134570336602546,-0.04657432393057216,-0.039304103184385764,0.06989791155360704,0.035655727958875005,-0.04683127599815491,0.2975796681011092,-0.11532630924463247,-0.12489830390109016,0.047729833210221756,-0.1261873126953356,-0.07518632336379165,-0.05023941351524649,-0.1114829180455391,-0.041821750793397026,-0.04771486813752912,-0.04696894456295891,-0.04636862261256591,0.05826822664097562,-0.08581834044047357,-0.10014752945100235,-0.045456803932798134,-0.053270066295017064,-0.10997859922623178,0.2288561006158897,-0.07043816640712085,-0.12299435283742667,-0.08331175405584414,0.060324023298777486,0.12167976544155815,-0.057186644313300075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k{245}	=[0.6998727919180592;0.9693584918494836;0.13892099484146284];
x_a_linear{245}	=[1.019116919537562,1.213605416703426,16.49261545446384];
L_a{245}	=[0.11462249812482915,0.14098699061983613,0.05240546270639021,-0.031850063444167326,0.06420079700792633,-0.5144712551891288,0.06539163815626692,0.05795277298213924,0.21664088147043703,0.057652217513285635,0.10994836300868754,-0.022335407342802267,-0.33449867992457044,0.04802405047094253,0.05221009832930869,-0.17936711691719964,0.09142709571104211,0.05199951446593864,0.2454313422240413,-0.22106275703461498,-0.13319589235524246,0.11643353269018895,-0.14422409944280373,0.01034784296635026,0.048613252754954574,-0.07077243262711308,0.04931454764910691,0.04779596796985941,0.05467528173825903,0.055876594700228696,-0.08334317031134303,-0.028446346415549082,-0.042681915932394926,0.048165469878709746,0.033177150948910335,-0.06719293658966628,0.17019623652024332,0.00997389322029629,-0.19579806806212932,-0.024976098258814656,0.11504357123125332,0.16838319343732386,0.04100401303529975,0.056287449024194774,0.05409527672005295,-0.1135024943785315,-0.056688851047017284,0.00277605887565348,0.009712829765414792,-0.0593401113442025,0.02539728578646487,0.032010469360778865,-0.007991107973851736,-0.03754800419540322,-0.16037040564617389,0.1090049511344193,-0.20447556520109544,0.03876492821680165,-0.06617060093756734,0.03712166523796378,0.05213954081992027,0.15890021454796535,0.12360975733639824,-0.02606144169148649,0.05047149891960096,0.04120586683863847,-0.10295082034451165,0.032902898890309805,0.07514616060977672,0.05015916724598353,0.04502931697889905,0.029954022462122854,0.231187374284535,-0.44428503720373974,0.05017938266687648,0.02343325790799788,-0.0027923700575179177,0.22445798303183156,-0.06137291186203224,-0.1289682775552061,-0.04277407073411177,-0.07747896101639015,0.058029601372240704,-0.2194408340009911,0.2453395309818585,-0.07575628277767124,0.026697856698439198,0.0478057470281203,0.05638472671331472,0.02972580464610437,0.04533185373040843,0.019262037757734947,-0.011275691117365693,-0.050846167757828686,0.04750885279100882,-0.1334377353678793,-0.010669494985496053,-0.46594810347800414,0.05545275889429919,0.1309811817134312;0.13515020418108653,0.16757842246787333,0.0752706436424228,-0.020811161178893655,0.07977425768892969,-0.9797752543453858,0.08005748560512475,0.07966205259308065,0.23498471613735622,0.08015933196612518,0.12814101723464205,-0.01294087103112554,-0.4707878810962954,0.06887064115769057,0.07217123224982408,-0.2404690878144326,0.10844756089384412,0.07480847115256353,0.275408642915506,-0.2365768433428656,-0.13419617548657606,0.1407788963676194,-0.1466326614526036,0.027517804984512007,0.07074645537460744,-0.06394488392222028,0.07023564723085403,0.06936253642749254,0.07746695963353523,0.07957536286661136,-0.12065812010033389,-0.018628186285321983,-0.03251585988385323,0.06822467834786282,0.052097281164197665,-0.05966534610710218,0.17735306555301053,0.02635996214428234,-0.2068376279160143,-0.014611057774344871,0.135891348593437,0.1970714494172704,0.06237197062144993,0.07994520330563518,0.07702695725113,-0.11246344437214378,-0.04772567837247898,0.015382945072779325,0.025966047205429575,-0.05131146359134563,0.044746001985306864,0.05034960632358486,0.005785898444304917,-0.028324343143231703,-0.16473814932065298,0.1298014966427952,-0.21735030738787736,0.05839195522979024,-0.0598369682296501,0.05706208197414639,0.07352329082719748,0.18693744928445183,0.14200291494397513,-0.05273321200972772,0.07346788895629679,0.06065690267287692,-0.14469717409943583,0.051484813718679134,0.09168879736261736,0.06982992911661237,0.06505426949371361,0.050176839585221955,0.25485009013647447,-0.7068148574269608,0.07086053438505129,0.0410299942459386,0.011969237554363826,0.25724861794717585,-0.05367519239588932,-0.1297995666776899,-0.07230427351434977,-0.07088513046806373,0.07994853293286502,-0.23519391574966367,0.27575953535272985,-0.07015581285142738,0.04498767719875949,0.06855676830099848,0.07775520692040136,0.04399833686229371,0.06657919800696621,4.228234946140484E-5,0.0023140544605376066,-0.04215939053596935,0.06914632547500003,-0.1333467409893815,4.198725417073552E-4,-0.7709770389782802,0.07657859981680173,0.15667942535470566;0.10954511345241301,0.13871954569533243,-0.025676194006487022,-0.1081203871310709,0.029304455124007128,0.701109222349028,0.03645220355156576,-0.011116080297549742,0.3716422405787,-0.012865698280780135,0.1110491652740625,-0.08752248088944044,0.07832241928347763,-0.026040438969205243,-0.016980368672146775,-0.006794989368158111,0.07474767141787914,-0.024597581888230028,0.40251998233369646,-0.20984722486248417,-0.1818495419605291,0.09751390478395355,-0.18785393676335652,-0.07076184406673842,-0.02945360036789307,-0.14174344325635016,-0.020736081458585267,-0.027278505559072627,-0.023591159173468587,-0.02247718579380671,0.022632767850921637,-0.09798128794573484,-0.11839725106115306,-0.024862451563498447,-0.03908434488563616,-0.1387086213009722,0.30162776204996306,-0.06617357868504907,-0.2067127182359949,-0.09399091009122719,0.10951378205593823,0.19367621491975537,-0.039654352089622036,-0.02129195489352398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x_a{245}	=[1.0191169195375618,1.2136054167034258,16.492615454463852];
std_x_a{245}	=[1.3182022756170053,1.8752933669888419,1.5601159439688168];
pred_a{245}	=[1.0191169195375618];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.5 to 24.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{246}	=[1.6302195712283003,2.7034772186459657,13.2341546880485];
std_x_f{246}	=[2.143230858141198,3.342273029404834,1.9025005962340513];
pred_f{246}	=[1.6302195712283003];
obs{246}	=[1.7072724148103329];
sqrt_r{246}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{246}	=[5.623381767473726];
L_f{246}	=[0.17304119794162695,0.2109951369532554,0.09564173952376381,-0.03433583169059107,0.1040506598041638,-0.9270696901104399,0.10434775345392211,0.10202383557906378,0.28061233510153905,0.10215629929153015,0.16424314346978597,-0.02175813672971618,-0.5790753849519226,0.08781748676016615,0.09347559028568021,-0.30783928954514395,0.1406782215546449,0.09476877097303664,0.32098715350348445,-0.3446951072494522,-0.1970148487098456,0.1789755535212167,-0.21556331672107457,0.03200847101017379,0.08997489397897397,-0.09560561473501782,0.08950836238751689,0.08900615597762393,0.09877469637478085,0.10113885514798679,-0.1481656966237811,-0.030048021005416457,-0.05097240408864022,0.08740995830203091,0.06538120775331842,-0.08930364014021829,0.22041676709447708,0.030900172772536042,-0.3025903967988889,-0.024973188040014915,0.17383551135949488,0.2447175772282447,0.07887793222914154,0.1019791541101819,0.09833602595541603,-0.1655050275291951,-0.07271392766199491,0.017118519322747903,0.030393303718013118,-0.0775432717238229,0.055215497626981525,0.0629108518528253,0.0030477630319025862,-0.04400516274720253,-0.24174136967393325,0.16631438267028523,-0.3169350661047292,0.07354904212599607,-0.08932570345399841,0.07194523258105627,0.09407037360246345,0.23321904114836936,0.18122317179645858,-0.058086355253716505,0.09327008677698638,0.0768487833472276,-0.18133120392309718,0.06448305431638476,0.11901446430534006,0.09011477283038782,0.08293978356164294,0.06236140408157201,0.30064418099928536,-0.7819567773767301,0.09079607908478118,0.050898058947060426,0.011243755149434879,0.3059164206636588,-0.08102984852640129,-0.19072430049746916,-0.08496550341238948,-0.10580834141395354,0.10262739823582644,-0.342776415274969,0.3223283026937937,-0.10395977231307454,0.055629167469475216,0.08831415906156442,0.10004163648726565,0.05634450971330962,0.08463004239994731,0.010230392681518872,-0.0020727059157439436,-0.06467109640862222,0.08782860585226816,-0.19659905374203807,-0.0034756726826733276,-0.8238752585045258,0.09816501151186147,0.19835453223398242;0.2710870236627332,0.3275209499198268,0.1635842823733444,-0.047725676677541656,0.17050771365815307,-1.3426339759715316,0.17019548979964855,0.17222707476096538,0.39027336769328397,0.1731686302226318,0.2570223442245992,-0.028493002678074503,-0.9565434523539565,0.1510083684239373,0.1581586770004793,-0.5169541584986578,0.22423343879047972,0.1626098633869849,0.44271268659580965,-0.5792394699350762,-0.32480405745529684,0.28229276467255177,-0.35622070396402733,0.06192127714782482,0.15414973513035307,-0.15052505105709066,0.15312028239929487,0.1519753066309489,0.1681609754149259,0.17161676191757258,-0.2508374685453539,-0.0421594574647614,-0.07513757608469597,0.14941098950436837,0.11448587034669412,-0.14067702934466683,0.31374295523778595,0.059212973707195055,-0.5068279173923144,-0.03315200782337457,0.27277500430139434,0.3704638470265823,0.1374101849982077,0.17310460904729985,0.16739989965389349,-0.2701181867579418,-0.11216496264658121,0.0354454025195866,0.05883155621557078,-0.11962005440150048,0.09938161044813343,0.11097612115407883,0.013842974394655781,-0.06436259855503738,-0.4015917021094554,0.2633734042015324,-0.5320931844156406,0.12809372914769013,-0.14024962917400022,0.12625972101127989,0.15930687297541138,0.35580464437294684,0.27984608601741495,-0.10288626866423832,0.15985376949257832,0.1329711609459415,-0.3052130502546687,0.11325517044688407,0.1925437837597892,0.15322716168470268,0.14215267849331523,0.11049923681886346,0.41552407212215176,-1.2301747172230935,0.15469572227712267,0.0916030776062174,0.027512451681214623,0.43636294587089935,-0.12566294471366377,-0.3135119726297779,-0.14509585237247904,-0.1681039143225198,0.17314044246724444,-0.5766263309887816,0.44516945599496505,-0.16507917431041538,0.09948462985358308,0.15046703196137368,0.16968453311206572,0.09750320587655055,0.14553579497803154,0.007110569329242661,0.005548980518484557,-0.0982878646008718,0.15071114806633049,-0.3237296706894221,0.002590100967231103,-1.2737073731964432,0.16647134724357202,0.30987651559652657;0.11619315786292073,0.16077846234779505,-0.024968124262654403,-0.12951653633883334,0.020560454880586717,0.9874237609141421,0.02646053730610337,-0.011481936215661678,0.3880465610851181,-0.013012875446142652,0.11329091998344816,-0.11047960477867785,0.14198373076915047,-0.0285755411960522,-0.019696311458434004,-0.04888601678926205,0.07251771405325688,-0.02435766780967987,0.44407576898309664,-0.1949184621455744,-0.19934197208919152,0.11060879213195272,-0.20257368292300282,-0.08340921950578553,-0.03071844143218467,-0.16517621345259131,-0.024246556807390917,-0.029597319472080073,-0.02230892025642416,-0.019905566150952646,-0.04331193567457402,-0.12107226583991679,-0.14122154056569472,-0.02776753983348265,-0.046995100951187016,-0.1620593842420546,0.2921937447213557,-0.08041758787018653,-0.2036487126611162,-0.11698502061135993,0.11687896860635441,0.2256845133476419,-0.04290377507660119,-0.01889807693323482,-0.02072167761474164,-0.19063274897383228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k{246}	=[0.8221710633654448;1.279506894877949;-0.05428610982623361];
x_a_linear{246}	=[1.6935701895714712,2.8020668632791286,13.229971788919382];
L_a{246}	=[-0.09090598264610265,-0.11084481895897752,-0.0502447186959684,0.01803808894606337,-0.05466228613178975,0.48702957540398817,-0.05481836220205786,-0.05359750820592416,-0.14741772692551658,-0.05366709709047836,-0.08628398628540751,0.011430484898921628,0.3042132019508029,-0.04613430224943909,-0.04910674734932682,0.16172121694753758,-0.07390431943059733,-0.049786110775617474,-0.16862835528827816,0.18108316291468218,0.10350037234418355,-0.09402355482978635,0.11324468023847667,-0.016815426296116577,-0.04726768103741852,0.05022574079094964,-0.04702259192996112,-0.04675876130623952,-0.051890595657740284,-0.05313258992827334,0.07783781207162509,0.015785517602516824,0.026777995856658274,-0.04592021002525366,-0.03434756004988709,0.046915042529693425,-0.11579440643470365,-0.016233189571245078,0.1589637478674672,0.013119489610499047,-0.09132326964272136,-0.12856066701648552,-0.04143796982266453,-0.05357403510886335,-0.05166014322210935,0.08694690824717483,0.03819975315012082,-0.00899309435551678,-0.015966909459789444,0.040736815264223174,-0.02900707535998198,-0.033049775861547843,-0.001601120984963596,0.023117804364632275,0.1269971372010325,-0.08737209730784731,0.16649961952400028,-0.038638474690858085,0.04692663333722062,-0.037795924567568064,-0.04941921260336368,-0.12251999153708115,-0.09520432536509606,0.03051526032806945,-0.04899878751885146,-0.04037197065460593,0.0952610792869729,-0.033875721425775315,-0.06252341613137817,-0.0473411654133383,-0.04357183500122148,-0.03276112731916233,-0.15794131701395445,0.4107955219900362,-0.04769908488728603,-0.02673893915668947,-0.0059068281001865815,-0.16071105123411028,0.042568463993425835,0.10019567685298762,0.0446360327517477,0.055585671867774064,-0.05391458562479384,0.18007519151012408,-0.16933291863198008,0.05461453902424557,-0.02922439391747163,-0.04639522556798312,-0.05255617378161597,-0.029600193960337567,-0.04445980065593311,-0.005374465217714837,0.0010888815510318637,0.033974508023285194,-0.04614014358667992,0.10328193736697844,0.0018259203261018395,0.4328171027654992,-0.05157030198069995,-0.10420416571041693;-0.1396817962263728,-0.17334372531124345,-0.06345208205110134,0.03378143972726365,-0.0764899218462964,0.8580634711767889,-0.07750739283299606,-0.06995924294766212,-0.27585007058104816,-0.06933213262099909,-0.13286146969074367,0.023156917998423895,0.4180778247350543,-0.05745462091730212,-0.06373563699426783,0.21380119448159818,-0.10971146993347163,-0.062354230008087076,-0.31925334122068977,0.23900499502852168,0.14287391673715022,-0.142563152781915,0.15548801207692176,-0.014061101729019868,-0.059434552652133724,0.0764255595872235,-0.05935654292024422,-0.05930937059445816,-0.06631246759984419,-0.06846877070852724,0.10088136531713997,0.02916916413066765,0.04586178431885663,-0.05808460024757836,-0.04071740997742165,0.07131382201648408,-0.20948698295134444,-0.0141385036006882,0.2114675040528448,0.02612986899029715,-0.13987937341533316,-0.21045186321992967,-0.04983190256516744,-0.06897564285467653,-0.06603221833177252,0.12276111396682089,0.06044488177494988,-0.0051908971830200755,-0.013316704714701984,0.06445378810090784,-0.031690094265076206,-0.03836297659373532,0.006608130676464451,0.040097778428680314,0.17225902431024573,-0.13142716070847307,0.22025391346582762,-0.04649852747931907,0.07179359654350134,-0.044525378927389184,-0.06399935011399652,-0.19781560009913118,-0.15034527477346304,0.03500033801122763,-0.06155271596911797,-0.04945409050257797,0.1252347594610743,-0.039816054437503155,-0.08997524427496978,-0.060689173444925325,-0.05473151683551493,-0.03753557030178712,-0.2981513814959103,0.6260506583992024,-0.06083791190862169,-0.029219800743151267,8.217902156517601E-4,-0.28982786068547217,0.06668740682638416,0.13923336646541795,0.056597039165203006,0.08306614260054296,-0.07047862491716315,0.23706350278025504,-0.31998021985883124,0.08170271056411765,-0.03256905299573598,-0.05917496849134605,-0.06779639887681035,-0.036248571373477534,-0.055360772182341374,-0.017174551085881055,0.010469213232514388,0.05522973854046616,-0.05777823600862212,0.1429612806999359,0.010840725576661573,0.6820249708774747,-0.06655481307421753,-0.16098162740416083;0.13362099772760505,0.1820288322180319,-0.015335568890711249,-0.13297466875725458,0.031039914445432193,0.8940539605727363,0.03696991865035397,-0.0012066082012729359,0.4163084253023003,-0.0027242063523114073,0.1298326640150015,-0.11267097496791599,0.0836621680513118,-0.019731005242876777,-0.010281919752100667,-0.07989004303312094,0.08668611757141838,-0.014813033443197192,0.47640398201226564,-0.22963442113535285,-0.21918431758334697,0.1286343104684198,-0.22428413690276794,-0.08018548715930246,-0.021656622265649936,-0.1748051305173509,-0.015231724358264673,-0.020633066728797334,-0.012360829214640783,-0.009719368918249727,-0.058234440054540995,-0.1240985515138621,-0.1463552249515049,-0.018964048098639278,-0.04041023426950325,-0.17105359809523255,0.31439301383245954,-0.07730547775261505,-0.23412409680507773,-0.1195001946118246,0.1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x_a{246}	=[1.6935701895714712,2.8020668632791272,13.229971788919377];
std_x_a{246}	=[1.1259313360885352,1.7656781303470879,1.8975144984897216];
pred_a{246}	=[1.6935701895714712];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.6 to 24.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{247}	=[3.512929297123472,6.226440940275709,11.482387280034084];
std_x_f{247}	=[2.0159595821109884,3.240219156822796,2.4282323078122805];
pred_f{247}	=[3.512929297123472];
obs{247}	=[3.6649726513204888];
sqrt_r{247}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{247}	=[5.097635933225194];
L_f{247}	=[-0.18314719905061078,-0.2253983791148506,-0.08510641731981125,0.05471359032916703,-0.10157634977720852,0.7013819216929028,-0.10250281348054296,-0.09411392269057589,-0.3324048100410673,-0.09329879878322,-0.17456402200548288,0.03912453456740133,0.5211809954081811,-0.07745291581206333,-0.08466116495453196,0.3008009909940017,-0.14486464079962752,-0.08439018636924045,-0.3792367704009403,0.3573414190913894,0.21991803365948945,-0.18725205222650512,0.23813533788036015,-0.015564307489128074,-0.07974659718446149,0.11785683652052768,-0.07966772371792932,-0.07915649187827228,-0.08889299754892796,-0.09212714750199731,0.147530539370761,0.04841111207269104,0.07248049888720381,-0.07743130142130834,-0.05347102078955338,0.11174102437471695,-0.2594002255142362,-0.015291548998498277,0.31904091227885867,0.04391601903210105,-0.18330361519869726,-0.26814284286860324,-0.06655499883895706,-0.0922939684128575,-0.08877012393456167,0.18884566966077698,0.09519847893515516,-0.0025208879297787543,-0.014262410089980058,0.10038178062675042,-0.040796239805580344,-0.050101576195807865,0.014833330536852726,0.06479256084444114,0.26296599334435605,-0.1732142643223674,0.3325314188390881,-0.06210128528213196,0.11192382245011237,-0.05953079123448377,-0.08480347760822242,-0.25356739538288225,-0.19529987633398382,0.05488937545335742,-0.08280338624235466,-0.06564132282167559,0.18090083099560267,-0.05209317223736437,-0.11960694972220354,-0.0810759118502551,-0.07300203451693255,-0.04922831419162255,-0.3565571325923919,0.6461924222303083,-0.08091078092732272,-0.03731530312939502,0.0061058485360599895,-0.3520789231947265,0.10383210367942756,0.21376627320815075,0.08429866269195602,0.1291419962023206,-0.0943114111319798,0.35556122685231095,-0.3805689680151611,0.12686138451009818,-0.04217399652101858,-0.07849637853870531,-0.09107938933565549,-0.04628277464347682,-0.07409820121960652,-0.018019781281621003,0.02005244563233098,0.0869258573384034,-0.07712882939141714,0.21935326252494694,0.02034163900723198,0.6663377694483513,-0.09069612999465079,-0.21045526989912172;-0.32295025924506116,-0.3992545929693445,-0.1379984463012333,0.12042703248134289,-0.17154030529505648,0.7235604648808469,-0.17392486520447364,-0.15495905752608782,-0.5965522354646453,-0.15326321826991982,-0.30721344635783704,0.09086666544969645,0.8084461055128346,-0.12349083980386441,-0.13730274776499565,0.5228345225565335,-0.2521548840115503,-0.13619720021686266,-0.6769571815038066,0.6448410417051771,0.4164285400920488,-0.3295879229936078,0.4477040751318639,-0.008627681830668085,-0.1274217422584111,0.23677897291173872,-0.12826943626872825,-0.1273395291309306,-0.14465025935105572,-0.150315173374845,0.26758262877694305,0.10836896220397765,0.15321267388340612,-0.12393769209163319,-0.07968922658237546,0.22422914884131379,-0.46734342838870324,-0.008558079905868985,0.5840157016609916,0.09930166697536465,-0.32305484867242473,-0.4778688605247032,-0.10315928925366956,-0.15127298883720833,-0.14459743754373258,0.36248480852309667,0.19422344271498374,0.014502169179188548,-0.006380336400853691,0.20548276369750593,-0.05587757735308788,-0.07323412868942446,0.04712085360972359,0.13755624048923068,0.4906319049476842,-0.30439707039209896,0.604540440278598,-0.09553416460547458,0.2242440621410713,-0.08962841191357956,-0.13806773986606696,-0.4518272940347202,-0.34586490711947154,0.10363235450968701,-0.13317241972613653,-0.10253418857002261,0.3249919346928148,-0.0768515678680368,-0.2048487302332149,-0.1306343397030508,-0.11554033643063531,-0.07077456745342502,-0.6381575156617447,0.8527738993083155,-0.1301358738307871,-0.050299301022137664,0.030434800266810974,-0.6284897946235177,0.20997499257003469,0.40692925444438416,0.15634096656128707,0.256360293376497,-0.1554169828938215,0.641780298122346,-0.6791843707911015,0.25108291135889266,-0.058668496383644304,-0.12611990382482005,-0.14970646878140884,-0.06792451938887585,-0.11725903291907899,-0.028213673576840494,0.05621731964816028,0.1784998474593097,-0.12340737421737116,0.41573717035765057,0.05704363387709139,0.8352512352780163,-0.1468773495663229,-0.37195448569236716;-0.00959119366030494,0.017103432965338533,-0.08902783193378329,-0.10361377053951581,-0.06065052954289755,1.532604665815083,-0.05681320793894014,-0.08210689113520174,0.18301276133711847,-0.08303320572878299,-0.00993072489510473,-0.09775138096019921,0.5579041303443083,-0.08900614890794041,-0.08537663400759649,0.14939764948943085,-0.033559590856194435,-0.08850058801486248,0.22953591195238618,0.09505150847386207,-0.03994765885928015,-0.014908295811432937,-0.02714114575030536,-0.10501595338207018,-0.09135685751260916,-0.09020459145018087,-0.08639396613243643,-0.09028296013096793,-0.08899840721972176,-0.08791815731362584,0.022782139108580925,-0.1006902922938147,-0.10181850653738907,-0.08846682912596,-0.0936278963487872,-0.09306916819405209,0.1125952111595658,-0.10215929856167387,0.04957941300401991,-0.10025050552696985,-0.008789895272851258,0.061968193842784576,-0.09574936943191904,-0.08692882029509369,-0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k{247}	=[0.8038306357889874;1.270713293755332;0.5177581595456242];
x_a_linear{247}	=[3.6351464031951504,6.419644451681009,11.561108967274276];
L_a{247}	=[0.10406030498557212,0.12806651805503844,0.04835563846150691,-0.031087086922554765,0.05771350035343257,-0.39851014408668034,0.05823989713168923,0.05347350955590451,0.1888652738936307,0.053010373658439434,0.09918352813235805,-0.022229720250197704,-0.2961238480085775,0.04400708328167234,0.04810265563039261,-0.17090866267711025,0.08230897759495075,0.047948691418129824,0.21547418794409295,-0.20303371958394925,-0.12495270347055668,0.10639259439878186,-0.135303384469587,0.00884330523537159,0.04531030377529013,-0.0669637232594086,0.045265489565599025,0.04497501861420686,0.050507092022013866,0.052344666564403744,-0.08382368390665401,-0.02750615413770461,-0.04118186277926465,0.04399480244906483,0.030381085597237265,-0.06348885014954646,0.1473856369098961,0.008688329719122957,-0.18127219420614293,-0.024952138814690897,0.10414917728151289,0.15235300432246682,0.037815120915840286,0.05243945062308486,0.05043727787332917,-0.10729805359826859,-0.05408973112068919,0.0014323143797287665,0.008103595094470924,-0.05703477181831178,0.023179547262746437,0.02846663954578407,-0.008427979830530482,-0.036813741499839535,-0.1494116296077562,0.09841662480601882,-0.18893721029344557,0.035284616526780416,-0.06359271208996943,0.03382411701628569,0.048183514623722015,0.14407154810294695,0.11096519521078234,-0.031186964254722793,0.047047105666281605,0.03729598982615315,-0.10278396690273174,0.029598221642407673,0.06795809999282154,0.04606559181824872,0.041478188122877506,0.027970470830352378,0.20258810483960815,-0.36715265581577433,0.04597176797441167,0.0212017538046045,-0.0034692120007935893,0.20004368243988804,-0.058995171273075735,-0.12145740530556741,-0.047896689630382024,-0.07337570861537206,0.053585718246783286,-0.20202225258750167,0.21623111401642958,-0.07207991403332824,0.023962359037906538,0.04459995639214465,0.05174935287734839,0.026296878521455555,0.042101006500589934,0.010238452707216256,-0.011393368935062785,-0.04938940520333587,0.0438229443379757,-0.12463181264169214,-0.011557682399576602,-0.3785988094365603,0.05153159315118156,0.11957616433692689;0.13107373187446997,0.15951055445350937,0.07298133095840836,-0.015208580722125907,0.08026862199548693,-1.01517330247587,0.08018077615210846,0.07835042807561349,0.2274830722250465,0.07802556588729773,0.12553275116880686,-0.006123501077922093,-0.4835675144469393,0.06851582010208661,0.0725732438130337,-0.22285455798499965,0.10696620945255943,0.07300703236381567,0.26317508898281816,-0.24101240366122625,-0.12875076856693365,0.13461204587245976,-0.14263613804912983,0.029956413595616634,0.07027097987754392,-0.05538946632813921,0.06922775764591634,0.06889031523410777,0.0757164933973181,0.07806907391990034,-0.09814725758959796,-0.011642735663726254,-0.02646730786728055,0.06801538549361043,0.052866042588843615,-0.05277812247586505,0.17571268328426093,0.029349844117470988,-0.20689035136161335,-0.009566644079318462,0.13135689985862095,0.18686029908258267,0.061831310430406405,0.07752480939439878,0.0754647101160177,-0.10566575610188145,-0.04177467016199128,0.020751479051118037,0.02897634055409537,-0.04336481307186731,0.04525676548816218,0.05096824898119496,0.010348858368474817,-0.023065255345489206,-0.16126378576350123,0.12500306247448453,-0.2198087320625121,0.05841562847683575,-0.05321636768571206,0.05794909716596092,0.07216104640033504,0.17676916535042675,0.13828570931339643,-0.032439032017524655,0.07209811727823807,0.06019139786729502,-0.12346328444906683,0.05228799905894379,0.09165825955428172,0.0703537686203313,0.06543253808252811,0.05126298376891361,0.24575167454650254,-0.7491444706861294,0.07044287305504275,0.042205760177085716,0.015298332246094814,0.24431786351469642,-0.04742597432022904,-0.12299977003331339,-0.05263637778163464,-0.06378418516788009,0.0783820788020319,-0.2396600304203427,0.2642504327449167,-0.063407904841402,0.04588132103749339,0.06847351205769132,0.07608037409286715,0.04681100576600465,0.06643125132713107,0.016457569330465844,0.0065070786786410725,-0.03699034231619872,0.06779587176288383,-0.128042064230293,0.006616479239448945,-0.816607679774379,0.07795938903915314,0.14976652389475142;0.17540303531867424,0.24477494295081564,-0.0030631208442563336,-0.158879144566989,0.04195021241188997,0.8241493441067865,0.0467233410571992,0.01295616554588476,0.5187698565109222,0.011206506562952504,0.16639376614693496,-0.1372704844134695,0.03146705184227637,-0.010772124488778545,1.383343698229228E-4,-0.1544369037743137,0.11276600227306943,-0.003259331027602595,0.6125972653581421,-0.2658936801489701,-0.2620835543919667,0.17423218357313866,-0.2676780660646171,-0.08929468066554108,-0.010806020064311373,-0.2092500080060291,-0.005922797585457545,-0.010328179170024468,7.910715625881528E-4,0.005138087654964146,-0.12623623803954567,-0.14958962790105823,-0.1750299674669377,-0.010254637077554743,-0.03961762310977952,-0.20593709495830387,0.37461147438791415,-0.08671353509089509,-0.27267901019724383,-0.14460941531529115,0.17636232730289236,0.3328152432644972,-0.028523166908846886,0.006295927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x_a{247}	=[3.6351464031951504,6.41964445168101,11.561108967274281];
std_x_a{247}	=[1.1454249371025695,1.9109924816944255,2.1712712915326513];
pred_a{247}	=[3.6351464031951504];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.7 to 24.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{248}	=[7.912462286223022,13.832547422446636,14.366386821863271];
std_x_f{248}	=[2.1427496620331437,3.509869130242633,2.8857281511637676];
pred_f{248}	=[7.912462286223022];
obs{248}	=[8.326394863634594];
sqrt_r{248}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{248}	=[5.611502027099076];
L_f{248}	=[0.1418658273014462,0.16253248393753156,0.0970542807288382,-0.002494375527984681,0.10006965065610465,-1.0769904067285017,0.09979076318173104,0.10186197037604627,0.1837017650087388,0.10124940029345615,0.13658867094186952,0.007798435531624155,-0.6081489523606874,0.09152450633641142,0.09597701854616657,-0.2817388447613722,0.1226686910578018,0.09690229160325085,0.199328082925528,-0.31400236984372754,-0.155106712025431,0.1458271664163599,-0.17404530330582185,0.05075113744330097,0.094062543914243,-0.05532350736595417,0.09220629413323185,0.09268021654937751,0.09936931840478,0.10152556576072515,-0.11356333893954505,0.0013167888072899174,-0.01695456631898913,0.09140800906012744,0.0757632329218009,-0.050162410245871404,0.15835436720133314,0.05033190036578821,-0.2663731778756534,0.004246048614837893,0.14167092827593444,0.17736262016250467,0.0855090274589609,0.10125043536035785,0.09885717649421637,-0.12296334030587869,-0.03618678747667711,0.039610956324952006,0.049302921156587236,-0.03910183802779848,0.06832734549882846,0.07351794974238039,0.02861981649911825,-0.011978760823187516,-0.2013745770620061,0.13832407109194522,-0.28358732748773474,0.08120905033920672,-0.05085006285288195,0.08090092726603175,0.09515211396951137,0.17220858558773186,0.1454862431282353,-0.030627277791829388,0.09577932780542447,0.08292124267647447,-0.14674847738316762,0.0752406589476825,0.11015355849286852,0.09342284180312037,0.08856027334582094,0.07452866378014603,0.1918031794274329,-0.8741015597227056,0.09404034888609916,0.06486031539166472,0.034531965309309465,0.1989238453482412,-0.04383250723024621,-0.14760214115367778,-0.055541716292240716,-0.06576530945756338,0.1008731663592169,-0.31181619279663103,0.200876103164662,-0.06526224065650442,0.06801712598352565,0.09232599864203742,0.09936478001473402,0.06770772236695226,0.09014220648884909,0.02548907284932784,0.02433846813437733,-0.029660925528618973,0.09136699941218947,-0.15420290362730268,0.022927826932463525,-0.9320111071432168,0.10008802508133118,0.15576870509922539;0.16593621406967046,0.1690263093413743,0.16175100442758306,0.05616325070276922,0.15327036542136208,-1.8991070629141789,0.15046199938985208,0.16316662544085905,0.09497603715011244,0.1632211263734773,0.1618839277236376,0.06668012340354006,-1.036583876426379,0.15632981412041513,0.15902202300020915,-0.416450609773942,0.16113168895386262,0.16202925858327988,0.07530626158789906,-0.45403193461824215,-0.17233724042426996,0.17185901617800786,-0.20458432537631033,0.12010401442774177,0.1601824338860976,-0.01566573716886236,0.1563881815276357,0.15796512554230524,0.16358422301766623,0.16564453460717096,-0.1322523998139065,0.06059038369037812,0.03718470062473085,0.15645902074347204,0.14231911724060617,-0.008999121517018519,0.11849362840925365,0.11775209818237241,-0.3668134995863314,0.06307721980745366,0.16605899403580304,0.15560377094592961,0.1528912230821577,0.1648618801446844,0.1634183104949114,-0.11973419481487411,0.011038266250558133,0.10380711118168381,0.11780210742635787,0.007170306293562991,0.13773776552376044,0.14024836933362608,0.0944336921083413,0.04288161006279953,-0.250873932969004,0.1676849887339935,-0.3981462493048829,0.1463469344951328,-0.010700036746797117,0.14865341666232654,0.1581205773028112,0.16051198504603578,0.16015630884514775,-0.013443258224043434,0.1606653698833105,0.14851729466673802,-0.18551418962277078,0.1420094698647685,0.15792439250318108,0.15632146626490265,0.1534390964469927,0.1437152920243929,0.08466674801061229,-1.5463617920517128,0.15767660470689965,0.13177856691445888,0.09986693837704436,0.10657820745742472,-1.0785363134112399E-5,-0.16001503793378521,-0.04662779552021457,-0.03058802173401113,0.16193384203170927,-0.45049085764808483,0.07703128587498224,-0.03123487094555395,0.13515193162345326,0.1577446068509151,0.16178347470656743,0.13020395713304841,0.15643625901024516,0.053643575649836496,0.08896467299271846,0.019099243975473718,0.15584982504501055,-0.17072098210785167,0.08557810870694622,-1.6511442263482026,0.16334011112218136,0.1711243515660963;0.30501964688123057,0.3936495549637724,0.0918253777158194,-0.16920007384480418,0.1342422784873023,0.14238785730687933,0.13714947134856054,0.11214915449460089,0.6509372368669859,0.10988375732193625,0.28891498625902473,-0.13786116218726358,-0.5014684859289543,0.07860644719809413,0.09355321900603493,-0.4610978809937012,0.22480180847083236,0.09186567695122654,0.7552321252369908,-0.5725652172942889,-0.42637953463511125,0.31016745454039224,-0.45071267932399783,-0.041583323224339545,0.0825380060790139,-0.27403738213124035,0.08333946866904633,0.08076611052945798,0.09927568031472453,0.1059747129995518,-0.276466685218794,-0.15665777047666526,-0.19997083351010744,0.078789942950973,0.03250395303579271,-0.2655750213654205,0.49153548848788237,-0.04082455921276154,-0.5395704534664281,-0.14826029871678206,0.3055411996683223,0.48875949817950326,0.05500121119895123,0.10679310660662517,0.10041761804534827,-0.3826360553537147,-0.23834880243361573,-0.0613111225446164,-0.043535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k{248}	=[0.8217945934669895;1.313545800433001;0.6356443701850546];
x_a_linear{248}	=[8.252629840399708,14.376266821168015,14.629500734331126];
L_a{248}	=[-0.07465069640407657,-0.0855256219557354,-0.05107057691920004,0.001312556193407241,-0.052657283663650835,0.5667191698812423,-0.05251053130914537,-0.05360041364651939,-0.09666503166700563,-0.05327807539120103,-0.07187382332076085,-0.004103586144540752,0.32001182860385385,-0.048160774627807046,-0.050503714739096955,0.1482527636541109,-0.06454904178568148,-0.05099059927915265,-0.10488769907683268,0.16523003479588108,0.08161813376692457,-0.07673517812350109,0.09158374038894238,-0.02670556980146533,-0.04949630606824512,0.029111579800038267,-0.048519535682534615,-0.04876891665806435,-0.05228876439956842,-0.053423395408336224,0.05975774785985204,-6.929026062944498E-4,0.008921600127508018,-0.04809947302354342,-0.03986709278069369,0.026395777823255008,-0.08332707047968371,-0.026484964597308192,0.14016725246687745,-0.002234297660631791,-0.074548139303048,-0.09332933351911986,-0.04499539156165473,-0.05327862004995705,-0.05201927208412824,0.06470408808528905,0.01904171664977631,-0.02084353597435334,-0.025943509223499642,0.020575634703430597,-0.03595428174602719,-0.03868561055797391,-0.015059928618865154,0.0063032997764055744,0.10596457724672731,-0.07278700186563751,0.1492254469664964,-0.042732716380343046,0.02675762497823159,-0.04257058006867307,-0.05006964472882317,-0.0906172478983881,-0.07655578213108347,0.01611626745927304,-0.05039968861984211,-0.0436336828272039,0.07721997778657129,-0.03959211104737126,-0.05796349980328133,-0.049159690767754276,-0.046600976463155946,-0.03921745468294606,-0.10092804721992261,0.4599577742040458,-0.049484626903930844,-0.03412990855569069,-0.018170938749497337,-0.10467498670464857,0.023064942785141117,0.07766918106671059,0.029226402718416325,0.03460612216220878,-0.053080098713264565,0.16407965459416002,-0.1057022771263683,0.03434140417442712,-0.03579104227323805,-0.04858252495285437,-0.05228637626999587,-0.03562823213152524,-0.04743339969740529,-0.013412511491251418,-0.012807056006370214,0.01560776678090305,-0.048077893487187925,0.08114254406629297,-0.012064767675894622,0.49043014465165347,-0.052666952402524045,-0.08196647871308554;-0.18014098417264882,-0.22746654404286223,-0.07500984341697274,0.06224820090190998,-0.09084638197943433,0.7281769672453127,-0.09297441083889978,-0.0853224292225872,-0.353158607786646,-0.08377358295013367,-0.17131981450500441,0.047656086602041,0.44697625606256725,-0.06694132401006825,-0.07511087782537046,0.2708423901382999,-0.1381147026604466,-0.07436081659708246,-0.4109482916196153,0.3119669141817432,0.20604067727030362,-0.1838817435311884,0.21999368668663574,-0.0037017800196245077,-0.06928016663302208,0.1192942090729093,-0.06854615636707342,-0.06812533109561197,-0.0788240860087352,-0.08202387163825439,0.14478177332582745,0.05737811904728397,0.07854482885787786,-0.06652792596652574,-0.04250289295105942,0.11337049155466952,-0.26780684135802674,-0.005030980675589456,0.2829954420006106,0.05271911852136053,-0.1795427541987694,-0.2770667306564696,-0.05570534460670465,-0.08213535419189195,-0.07774064454059734,0.18023098431985718,0.0993147896497272,0.007177436189484587,-0.0024708091991363654,0.10255800330414157,-0.02894463250944325,-0.0390963435640032,0.02461655505265012,0.07210341818220482,0.24037297795032758,-0.16975220726707294,0.2936560657476399,-0.051759975025744705,0.11334708310806152,-0.04870183636800222,-0.07399999490116504,-0.25958541224216297,-0.19475277928665682,0.061271017155771317,-0.07298527063352604,-0.0537664539013222,0.17247407904730605,-0.041537737646947015,-0.11079172909409242,-0.07158060118900898,-0.0626008890667216,-0.038095025797746256,-0.38323104113890955,0.5859813135595309,-0.07173185174313011,-0.026446120840430666,0.015627301310303574,-0.3786902209670271,0.10691722952763101,0.2000557165016009,0.08886446449491035,0.12984437041812288,-0.08414305651024954,0.31017488139804045,-0.41299961373936306,0.12797030077932622,-0.030773695714945162,-0.06748174640656607,-0.08061376306087366,-0.0349668898696861,-0.06346280236662624,-0.008536211302985108,0.029591749846417062,0.09145613357656701,-0.06703707992604797,0.20545212358849801,0.02964640015171161,0.6224673884170198,-0.08082146010774102,-0.2088684772920214;0.13754773791571792,0.20178075983746774,-0.022746721683396615,-0.16625547584474676,0.01611054977098867,1.4137697170771844,0.01934696791932644,-0.008098398805298158,0.43407820991487933,-0.009640660018739665,0.12767273433114332,-0.14706717684398884,0.2164483508777513,-0.029437780822480917,-0.01974717770325094,-0.12850656524528759,0.07999202409549884,-0.022527000035359984,0.5199263071061594,-0.201886969419385,-0.24327682660192654,0.13801920430049627,-0.2452530577537342,-0.10149479049926413,-0.02850236277597407,-0.20872825472907316,-0.02550960648078357,-0.028642427693637385,-0.018029309635315818,-0.01387571631225015,-0.1424057240805555,-0.15821223316479893,-0.17995605164801667,-0.029116760609908362,-0.056934169506939115,-0.20635854364146003,0.30459893954800454,-0.10024111918678277,-0.22511823164097644,-0.15327273815067277,0.13829936804052304,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x_a{248}	=[8.252629840399704,14.376266821168008,14.629500734331113];
std_x_a{248}	=[1.1275284367847294,1.9480425267656762,2.531111780010956];
pred_a{248}	=[8.252629840399704];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.8 to 24.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{249}	=[14.69343018260154,19.144922241396753,30.335041478659633];
std_x_f{249}	=[1.4391023203126327,2.460521441686588,3.2980856780895387];
pred_f{249}	=[14.69343018260154];
obs{249}	=[15.292386482288912];
sqrt_r{249}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{249}	=[3.0943703671697027];
L_f{249}	=[-0.1528230311193293,-0.20030613015648835,-0.04228847064682385,0.0903084119352057,-0.061808687644639794,-0.09858753820590022,-0.0638164948032775,-0.052599971672483266,-0.3353144824699223,-0.051178023418804064,-0.1435755475200037,0.07562243165999738,0.2110672697204642,-0.034664021507489616,-0.042643100823799525,0.2215336263097953,-0.11016658759075547,-0.04167292551179401,-0.3919736453850602,0.2669381294509836,0.21037609605750504,-0.15564200531905112,0.22037993388970553,0.02756148789759667,-0.03651330879636484,0.14105954012071348,-0.03708976401176988,-0.03578990318825627,-0.0457059775074555,-0.04866650123484186,0.14323456879703864,0.08477690781781291,0.10545326100957596,-0.03436540439403504,-0.010682237023816871,0.1367031075168126,-0.2482527563388862,0.026530107534949072,0.2552414667235394,0.0806255709435668,-0.15212440661765067,-0.2513400785593018,-0.023103580739185964,-0.04948997118026164,-0.045956886904378595,0.19078535201225338,0.1242006506430507,0.036937967761265844,0.028421587015515202,0.12748416206643964,0.0029048647919045333,-0.00788744169347887,0.05455848385828382,0.09882905830195637,0.2326530054801644,-0.1406728100419489,0.26052045693971093,-0.020505427368021342,0.13594378912319127,-0.01658900977039669,-0.042361427633497525,-0.23382816070427623,-0.1683098269581398,0.07338372605537902,-0.04019199847051104,-0.02250034165713027,0.16407553746628167,-0.009794666416055552,-0.0818799984917877,-0.03909416956049446,-0.03027547230685815,-0.005512001138874097,-0.36508845818160574,0.07953944272481371,-0.03924573700820157,0.00519913531812638,0.04642534990582855,-0.35700847237261896,0.13068611647137987,0.20615028081749578,0.09746362732335823,0.1506544207228082,-0.052508230953312,0.26611278496528884,-0.3942554214149263,0.14853433911336913,8.995641923433353E-4,-0.03531994244337136,-0.04858871556627934,-0.005251509559981435,-0.0308464714005701,0.009021998020139812,0.05981593066523684,0.11673551988550637,-0.03438377252192671,0.20972293804931114,0.05867711486858919,0.03689954184960863,-0.04894168261754926,-0.18166605725023932;-0.11187243476992932,-0.1770765089034974,0.03870939543885173,0.16207739701691212,0.006097628751465291,-1.378260913051972,0.003577050343822703,0.0252913380596412,-0.4007886615866334,0.02721131411352699,-0.10143553502111669,0.14719144934790812,-0.3304555362769891,0.045682694973998,0.03661197802153754,0.06586233053399665,-0.05515409703425277,0.03867095566841245,-0.4918734264676767,0.09935863337652295,0.19086721871303167,-0.11347777674564284,0.18625050949841748,0.11023577467926027,0.044412999952496965,0.1890589455552831,0.04253473289090388,0.044756913998962145,0.03460583461351046,0.030517831630542194,0.1291215107053847,0.15605921071259202,0.17219097050411644,0.04573494153498756,0.0714366275727512,0.18820428351267346,-0.26802964666101126,0.10909773951637998,0.13671695893899966,0.15201661513439987,-0.11200483046816018,-0.2550119810366545,0.05967952481646402,0.02959457521092606,0.03339940695819379,0.19586263512058522,0.18189711341763112,0.11590503501473502,0.1099452244298261,0.1834851604599171,0.08747908400644909,0.07400675621885605,0.13418205826045107,0.16600603234589803,0.17445019944914247,-0.09397275508130216,0.12465191950652249,0.06019440630847937,0.1861476359031823,0.06595981528640474,0.035581165889480355,-0.22782852077661767,-0.13594421964833148,0.10297349849913,0.040989903327191615,0.05771577095400852,0.12669330423908684,0.07264842414969197,-0.019620804549843184,0.040353777196562204,0.04992283735366568,0.07834557230221402,-0.4489183033879346,-0.8472387869798076,0.04097094025585945,0.08774347997982135,0.1270046360374274,-0.4272707450932536,0.18432479391862874,0.19245930758007418,0.117081127644328,0.19270543229003623,0.02469781004275636,0.10110642774539708,-0.4933692509309928,0.190038598872059,0.08265453492767733,0.04539396966503003,0.028854024418222414,0.07226047720097727,0.05020208322966788,0.05316337335157606,0.13862776043730796,0.17688227488104413,0.04623448926715956,0.1902534117207343,0.13520418056750794,-0.9847230745195525,0.029133053760110713,-0.15090100073830878;-0.30347251571164013,-0.3611041325142741,-0.16281277214185366,0.08067940079373973,-0.18053924993443174,1.1375735914708278,-0.18265676297774278,-0.17704534972272534,-0.4614790248322626,-0.17520568378854637,-0.2900508702503112,0.05433813307737509,0.8847158339662916,-0.14910236961317755,-0.16184886479028962,0.5447959894348081,-0.24756423239352554,-0.16180088412850374,-0.5066678719300494,0.6303431276498209,0.38760264506432446,-0.30982225119332557,0.41965910356761876,-0.043196496086564055,-0.15336982288774437,0.1960209111902633,-0.15169693558910124,-0.15065925018210613,-0.16842489162490046,-0.1738920540018461,0.2675875947729387,0.07147383940189299,0.11353503133805608,-0.1478007806280704,-0.10877571183395855,0.18431855954402657,-0.38334234264202205,-0.04465238348711126,0.5641274184134637,0.0634944014643826,-0.3019306362752495,-0.4117948277302381,-0.13215941358978622,-0.1736295780694637,-0.16662779725845672,0.328665741868203,0.15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k{249}	=[0.6768324791984549;0.6135787438598648;1.1922600751991579];
x_a_linear{249}	=[15.098823259850477,19.512429095385883,31.049153161565908];
L_a{249}	=[0.14608534375958226,0.19147499998356718,0.04042404947906371,-0.086326879563298,0.05908365588459924,0.09424099433006376,0.0610029425053672,0.050280935322628326,0.32053108147643167,0.04892167816141639,0.1372455647640739,-0.07228837724308781,-0.20176170062635648,0.033135748328778615,0.040763044661475394,-0.2117666147355979,0.10530954464873245,0.03983564260091349,0.37469224573919946,-0.25516931654717423,-0.20110099954346725,0.14878003455323752,-0.21066378649991097,-0.026346352408768096,0.03490350393031869,-0.13484048351987324,0.03545454429175941,0.034211991949669424,0.04369088472555394,0.04652088438762028,-0.13691961916808454,-0.0810392493247255,-0.10080401999829457,0.032850296696573696,0.010211276771019767,-0.1306761180453436,0.23730774729047335,-0.02536044371607496,-0.24398833824263844,-0.07707093728501382,0.14541752033179736,0.24025895513239828,0.022084986206862004,0.04730804905233891,0.04393073198701428,-0.18237397549876094,-0.11872487158160404,-0.03530944045973955,-0.02716853133290107,-0.12186361900410307,-0.0027767946270422935,0.007539698844710158,-0.052153100295567495,-0.09447186624772438,-0.22239576085708848,0.13447080366151218,-0.24903458745510684,0.019601380656136376,-0.12995027660807668,0.01585763073268178,0.04049378992590483,0.22351910564110353,0.1608893551528683,-0.07014837206564956,0.03842000691875155,0.021508342830364003,-0.15684174772442602,0.009362837524683388,0.07827005942165201,0.03737057927336119,0.028940682219407335,0.005268987110633217,0.3489923771664412,-0.07603269446885334,0.03751546439007994,-0.0049699149705256605,-0.04437854131329322,0.3412686231233957,-0.12492440510762538,-0.19706149275264045,-0.09316663461851557,-0.14401234342098138,0.05019323928363005,-0.2543803599872257,0.37687342244577204,-0.14198573232417971,-8.599040557550172E-4,0.033762750912718624,0.04644652814662493,0.005019980128044942,0.029486507009560636,-0.008624234662256336,-0.057178755908246386,-0.11158886475764193,0.0328678550073702,-0.20047663807479663,-0.05609014841293875,-0.03527270867610326,0.046783933527495394,0.17365673372966184;0.15910130071716438,0.17809050965331877,0.11369197349188441,0.0019496495906623197,0.11569191473016065,-1.203453272446614,0.11673142148722741,0.11855745577902409,0.19376451022455038,0.11795614543290242,0.15314129251034148,0.01310372288784068,-0.7047033580634678,0.10714620165942047,0.11222335831116857,-0.32694360858059834,0.14018459993232876,0.11256209767690199,0.20314330055658514,-0.3739549866418516,-0.18215506849301996,0.16249434127283668,-0.20450979328515367,0.06136591994275424,0.1091555168825469,-0.06105669626021716,0.10829937470563399,0.10821674520771912,0.11564806606626621,0.1168094300637344,-0.12485072027013092,0.005739489750505954,-0.014790427821558073,0.10666896392658021,0.09037752704648357,-0.0541868758905202,0.17215254471031838,0.06205664702551053,-0.3158570620230428,0.009057717026307381,0.15773015919943187,0.1906444063939411,0.10064497047063675,0.11734628554961651,0.11488653114769881,-0.14242289116643794,-0.03832567635543617,0.05040954632915458,0.05955030983052037,-0.04255969258066557,0.082328407056895,0.08799214522380101,0.03744326133102941,-0.009229852629071212,-0.23807174508704096,0.155457167485598,-0.3372823902025667,0.0965530114936716,-0.05489716006227134,0.09537413793523554,0.1106931055123243,0.1867771162404856,0.16248947974885974,-0.027144731898097862,0.11225518240506788,0.09761160068537729,-0.16423248727053794,0.09001555348333427,0.12556234546681017,0.10967247270981426,0.10360491501262509,0.08811901762436287,0.19842773190596022,-0.988271848265413,0.11055838320320295,0.07852478363453351,0.04468687023251495,0.20574849716880955,-0.04739751192217018,-0.17307009761286313,-0.055733682901541,-0.07442309442415602,0.11780126036058246,-0.3707437565806323,0.2056933412343343,-0.07333076648379919,0.08105949871013635,0.10802050357794755,0.1150076994440363,0.08157203941769081,0.10489661140900765,0.03716627862594193,0.0325668738335078,-0.030103934302989785,0.10720108057321634,-0.18161074726310278,0.031162552240350368,-1.0501504294117838,0.1159125820993028,0.1712149119206391;0.22306327041498192,0.3290297101103689,-0.017112265006043386,-0.2304687967251362,0.032416125312730144,1.4772466535173407,0.037216302050342195,0.004182356807863562,0.6938119894460885,0.001122848605145276,0.2046236773509348,-0.20621105385644695,0.15750560934323143,-0.02967110535233067,-0.014926516432966962,-0.21847497324770068,0.1320032344805759,-0.018221173440686002,0.8438363681840322,-0.28936430655160916,-0.3372262129197503,0.22642601600012155,-0.33963693242412185,-0.13815672289720016,-0.02756703249441601,-0.2899849957997963,-0.023908028981567575,-0.02734887822704633,-0.01094972167631916,-0.0062167088785636815,-0.22591214626522607,-0.22061613863539262,-0.24979316126883774,-0.02939837043085558,-0.07197118029358887,-0.2866777140877492,0.4719865908282892,-0.13605909702121732,-0.31528038647722534,-0.21429257912187816,0.2221981121260741,0.4541711518740649,-0.05255844011250665,-0.0031170532888508255,-0.008288145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x_a{249}	=[15.09882325985048,19.51242909538588,31.04915316156591];
std_x_a{249}	=[1.3756549364861597,2.427538744859032,3.2185865466870265];
pred_a{249}	=[15.09882325985048];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.9 to 25.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{250}	=[12.348860685694513,3.4507931184683707,39.68934067938282];
std_x_f{250}	=[1.4437491056175475,3.155762412993003,1.756851130237249];
pred_f{250}	=[12.348860685694513];
obs{250}	=[12.551957138128728];
sqrt_r{250}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{250}	=[3.0856624217914597];
L_f{250}	=[-0.03536865589743368,-0.0712168701418372,0.04081551051228516,0.08603125076427479,0.02393224888427634,-0.8414316431634781,0.02208369345120917,0.034142554531462505,-0.20415556467958546,0.035149819800149966,-0.030661708938309648,0.08089751351586764,-0.2722775796924723,0.043556758740670026,0.03954765919795852,-0.02148180712811461,-0.006459019786401283,0.04065774116674875,-0.2601106008161494,-0.018767971589480455,0.06393673593710503,-0.036529807790087285,0.05712091505120001,0.0703206949738711,0.0431008119383292,0.08735812891089531,0.04180183966651782,0.04291934896308874,0.038763589420155155,0.03761567189856968,0.04804059695728892,0.08365771047416644,0.08754429096015343,0.043204415903113386,0.05428031633247645,0.08847932752307984,-0.12476952733217875,0.06959705013827457,0.010392186684407062,0.08267467461081791,-0.03574323246895054,-0.11516240223825575,0.049807043504967875,0.03636372497465609,0.0377414144578722,0.07447119943098052,0.08787493805764272,0.07088459739546724,0.06957468241519955,0.08853868846035456,0.06155264725663302,0.05547843540817281,0.07855901173818637,0.08619134194579559,0.04429290784477351,-0.025524289583807883,5.06298711982497E-4,0.049345681916693945,0.08712862059774602,0.052558184976709235,0.0388198732206275,-0.09965461837774013,-0.04932115846827759,0.05234814021359832,0.04099848358283957,0.04884238426569579,0.038937837863746605,0.05498587233906193,0.011728779535715158,0.041081946513515676,0.04523959032835185,0.057803503390599156,-0.23358280573036555,-0.5531469637942859,0.04175661140898671,0.06099639792589376,0.07589779018802305,-0.21936020950770416,0.08784271062292216,0.06657385291053358,0.054258883925822184,0.08707883489201705,0.03377873203019333,-0.017471612268051353,-0.2616068215479283,0.08570102784282396,0.05964703426037668,0.04330229960068275,0.035700650833503315,0.05365474898084211,0.04630225856614958,0.03832691142059758,0.07954651607568966,0.08718443704125853,0.04438480940918687,0.06381105770261246,0.0772696001579856,-0.626734819715852,0.03544485105497453,-0.05719921345034044;-0.28925412745220325,-0.39638061033963146,-0.04163544800447032,0.22890742283965307,-0.08694529346509944,-1.0003746536896794,-0.09273563053882111,-0.06397340127002764,-0.7224260495600282,-0.06090647967209965,-0.268889959933239,0.19947718182696833,0.10034167650715417,-0.025608826860696966,-0.04216026168232635,0.3719705357435197,-0.19386852457283332,-0.03983647600520074,-0.856626025570602,0.44958821585600556,0.4262843794452295,-0.2947883118337674,0.43836707964977417,0.1049489070984651,-0.02869041309200393,0.32185270338587707,-0.03115257348560246,-0.027876865918158918,-0.048280181202714684,-0.053963290752381196,0.2956695520340297,0.21794423231386623,0.25799218003910973,-0.02551662942705058,0.02489016585820507,0.31442099943009894,-0.5164316951618049,0.10324094400773473,0.45666931650496856,0.20994518148367394,-0.2871534107507516,-0.5148643550663069,4.538407089052374E-4,-0.05672878980962188,-0.04937575113671711,0.4002421408257181,0.29200091662623645,0.12237112819087904,0.1065301545470091,0.2990392856444618,0.05448731202985152,0.031092064874993514,0.1592417348500425,0.24450772299719564,0.4487136660441527,-0.2610643619826675,0.45741528022662076,0.0034693990312862463,0.31265298605093,0.013000799939979789,-0.04251946939517879,-0.4742032750610009,-0.3252260575847327,0.17528555207932717,-0.036872668425943396,-4.4802242670977636E-4,0.32431616122212725,0.02686297535635192,-0.13080111585774953,-0.03473518531841445,-0.01618875679695958,0.037119846560768215,-0.7938330331727687,-0.4139574002175541,-0.03575056307747363,0.05858025842564363,0.1426342585397806,-0.7682661561787623,0.3031275020832741,0.4204154153164483,0.21880355473395943,0.33888999933640324,-0.06389550006582291,0.45010243945982753,-0.8621655317341819,0.3337816968279424,0.04962837841523038,-0.02610296129592994,-0.05497464100685158,0.034132645604231224,-0.01576520837063994,0.04948172583249863,0.1697912172716547,0.2781246284156862,-0.024636426538127365,0.42472294900673296,0.16590327200560162,-0.5608797705095476,-0.05646836535695863,-0.35423507647825675;0.1206295192975807,0.12499356363339002,0.10246779000055777,0.007002917174056328,0.10095829915323822,-0.5403386214874941,0.10097058939943226,0.10483339959699732,0.10358572269313224,0.10442656808384651,0.11763462900366896,0.01708254169216967,-0.6192822910493724,0.09710877000332087,0.1008526892266907,-0.32812108942970386,0.11345570771713132,0.10117651083969678,0.09687891720060983,-0.3900809546780632,-0.18907511343557612,0.12290386712357318,-0.21395699583871847,0.061887023566192904,0.09881845967013862,-0.057998842712369714,0.09801310338789464,0.09861147564251906,0.10326058983374793,0.10421469703918018,-0.12014354472739389,0.00996386516571204,-0.010202363698734318,0.096859325780177,0.08490147808452357,-0.05107358282616947,0.1089656764811481,0.06146717479916679,-0.33124469892586517,0.013906634901993599,0.11958847645415549,0.1225461236379852,0.0927020191016804,0.1039777534674534,0.10224962915219642,-0.14563337873470064,-0.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k{250}	=[0.6759204788774575;1.0466233391858022;0.4162509442255905];
x_a_linear{250}	=[12.48613773708216,3.663358605691859,39.77387976947743];
L_a{250}	=[0.03394463576163454,0.06834952179292722,-0.039172187989908985,-0.08256744276004666,-0.022968683731984595,0.8075537483902621,-0.02119455521993089,-0.032767899942342325,0.1959358111276765,-0.03373461048854156,0.02942720087408515,-0.07764040110207553,0.2613150834886833,-0.04180306751540184,-0.03795538316731361,0.020616902168409657,0.006198965396434322,-0.03902077078637984,0.2496379740312598,0.018012331637285786,-0.06136250185663162,0.035059037116731535,-0.054821100960326365,-0.06748942861485041,-0.04136547813747857,-0.0838408978644117,-0.040118805355822205,-0.04119132126206256,-0.03720288176900127,-0.03610118193998851,-0.04610637651076207,-0.08028946643980074,-0.08401956461875563,-0.04146491077801367,-0.052094871014476594,-0.08491695454627762,0.11974603082808748,-0.06679491931722982,-0.009973774315656192,-0.07934600976961345,0.0343041310537897,0.1105257097908571,-0.04780170202234617,-0.0348996411619509,-0.036221861826372534,-0.07147282460343933,-0.0843368991344485,-0.06803062708056803,-0.0667734521680455,-0.08497392548122375,-0.059074401847495364,-0.05324475117225026,-0.07539605256642504,-0.08272108831732035,-0.04250957763208569,0.02449662535973577,-4.8591400856930363E-4,-0.04735891586972045,-0.08362063006241453,-0.05044207646738593,-0.03725689945946305,0.09564230353018671,0.04733537978945421,-0.05024048856995165,-0.03934779416086951,-0.046875882092797666,-0.03737011458573314,-0.0527720197792595,-0.011256552989259958,-0.03942789668977563,-0.04341814458979458,-0.055476206786887396,0.22417824651553198,0.5308760463813237,-0.040075398087746225,-0.058540548342308284,-0.07284197766849095,0.21052828340234236,-0.08430596924736734,-0.06389344268128305,-0.05207430152381,-0.08357284883906219,-0.03241872573783526,0.016768166602863187,0.25107395361461016,-0.08225051534212939,-0.057245513035657364,-0.041558853461915145,-0.03426326384895208,-0.05149449038488241,-0.0444380274593079,-0.036783785389340094,-0.07634379780013693,-0.08367419921273897,-0.04259777903671308,-0.06124188370519876,-0.07415855554183723,0.6015010928343456,-0.03401776313399007,0.054896246893133306;-0.18192654819812756,-0.18027021314102828,-0.16549172210225782,-0.03215779579648905,-0.15956864523464792,1.552982805819219,-0.15974946804457035,-0.16758032764118352,-0.10290794822616532,-0.16756999217048738,-0.17584579660158572,-0.046009508945523164,0.926578715265313,-0.1577835266668364,-0.1621691910346594,0.4371579254975871,-0.17426837465368064,-0.16321399281048551,-0.0673101633880567,0.5065403647883702,0.2322658362063698,-0.1839371714314761,0.2650314133185059,-0.10844201125864122,-0.1594815243697643,0.056761020757014946,-0.1580019022467757,-0.15811732065094672,-0.1659098199350718,-0.1681095285567416,0.1498884685713504,-0.03591838483416473,-0.007664418659896061,-0.15662213101621095,-0.13982559178903128,0.04592699545609607,-0.13781365064036452,-0.1079540455962545,0.4251338167328446,-0.04093437462185937,-0.17868916413835723,-0.1653995100023746,-0.1506875943711464,-0.16707594536760306,-0.16390355968943432,0.17425635323307706,0.025340956287935656,-0.0927309742728819,-0.10459695932039467,0.03036514856847046,-0.13229662021490823,-0.13725943229329038,-0.07914868018022961,-0.017043298634185345,0.31430509278965263,-0.18360990001062252,0.4558788968454107,-0.14627201613922036,0.04825775543710732,-0.1464890822850173,-0.16031990353670925,-0.17179741086903752,-0.1755590597842592,0.016433058960239704,-0.1612841815124061,-0.14866216105375557,0.20615775872521852,-0.13999381977997066,-0.16639255927656474,-0.1593999699550566,-0.15347007533132984,-0.13828716096896737,-0.0850168099293423,1.2645888461522574,-0.16246264490993212,-0.1265157133180701,-0.08768057488891434,-0.10260896130534514,0.03656533716485423,0.21839443676343107,0.05415283456879382,0.07464584540733923,-0.16639839272835738,0.503120734976447,-0.06830932881498841,0.0737185526522013,-0.1313728961431186,-0.1575054948203446,-0.16330967196947738,-0.1286848032775832,-0.15627123552395694,-0.06682279631239357,-0.07159581856192075,0.013560020605790415,-0.15932387870922346,0.23108578132006066,-0.06857437280330721,1.3409717227846305,-0.164027161817407,-0.18066181057114944;0.16331460430696948,0.21094249437371315,0.05320910341176761,-0.09682492584565913,0.07207537860761173,0.4751532117949985,0.07431862006761104,0.0636280496724923,0.3499733054940988,0.06200558803345794,0.154639078829534,-0.08054958918344958,-0.29068084040258607,0.04454177523341706,0.05312412414684925,-0.302195513799181,0.1212508529287387,0.0521082300708395,0.41079650400056744,-0.36743060389645776,-0.266237927216582,0.16699030216985505,-0.2828940547375685,-0.022980347463780776,0.04680172974699961,-0.1634280444789332,0.04756405367312694,0.04681374647945006,0.05647828873453076,0.058817773917987426,-0.17812191322887927,-0.09099944239214507,-0.11585623735899778,0.044717560174116905,0.019392629693245674,-0.15785591653566838,0.2595452714818646,-0.022526856813735903,-0.3437866336079107,-0.08587028407734372,0.16272562367490093,0.2615312449182661,0.032591793475884714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x_a{250}	=[12.486137737082156,3.663358605691864,39.773879769477425];
std_x_a{250}	=[1.3856205806489024,3.100779327691875,1.7355100257266374];
pred_a{250}	=[12.486137737082156];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.0 to 25.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{251}	=[3.737209544469611,-2.9072862640936172,30.393188230741714];
std_x_f{251}	=[1.4206415211634993,1.8720479060367898,1.5118659461259134];
pred_f{251}	=[3.737209544469611];
obs{251}	=[3.5472235035521735];
sqrt_r{251}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{251}	=[3.0302666978211366];
L_f{251}	=[-0.1097468275960427,-0.11630088197124915,-0.08600791476620058,0.005516490295076593,-0.08494451363311822,0.3695504247908422,-0.08565764515060259,-0.0888416367011787,-0.10375938840289255,-0.08853793166599692,-0.10559902392590553,-0.004156497962937968,0.4870086172861835,-0.08054626274430134,-0.08459229044144294,0.28322733711972764,-0.09997727190947257,-0.08407499722746847,-0.09974890684242285,0.3306608411194897,0.17277066134902955,-0.11144126159042617,0.19285876882518532,-0.04556455068785333,-0.08232388324938271,0.06260298795191001,-0.08141573768557668,-0.08149377592018597,-0.0867703207059221,-0.08848253705658365,0.11458017155293154,0.0029083540634313996,0.020976841305727783,-0.08023434698541337,-0.0679757187019266,0.05629983989401419,-0.10392444057867271,-0.04521101409042472,0.2863632224494754,-8.932615458434346E-4,-0.10792012001073563,-0.11732341315004445,-0.07568114910693738,-0.08762477461585313,-0.08591285337417441,0.13734153958938553,0.04262200101076186,-0.03568102641672949,-0.04332267114213829,0.04618680018813428,-0.06255259838714508,-0.06637566528197957,-0.02549070900550719,0.01568812781147834,0.22175158110251322,-0.10880118089718634,0.30358643795703655,-0.07265450014936704,0.05725326536675162,-0.07237733068755987,-0.08356100605250985,-0.11712530532862511,-0.1089642984569454,0.030165607524143927,-0.08409823283429851,-0.07435427605544052,0.1497485767823002,-0.06750156021088081,-0.09179903339966114,-0.08309103550800716,-0.07826546497834902,-0.06665097215180177,-0.1017661274725711,0.4901839011904076,-0.08389530373403455,-0.05851097230697886,-0.031726592026945485,-0.10793735053049278,0.04993414957137572,0.16441085662378277,0.0548198348050312,0.07461567851639088,-0.08805014056458717,0.3288338721688604,-0.1008671099607233,0.0735886598242658,-0.06118219205888339,-0.08099085467886288,-0.08567584630783749,-0.06092015501018754,-0.07917746127069561,-0.024275830781037767,-0.02085523220198577,0.03488125398715227,-0.08151444457016559,0.17217228367641874,-0.019597760672497543,0.46909906475894536,-0.08646984914085339,-0.1134428102275071;-0.16917055585259294,-0.206980978548937,-0.07529993182728321,0.09046585415920412,-0.08801653342867778,-0.5817973340689371,-0.08997136768586611,-0.0837628023095308,-0.29948471384760805,-0.08321735147578192,-0.1595709757737335,0.07252492063173112,0.34343954122313886,-0.06577620166392939,-0.07369004545790091,0.37696811062672564,-0.13275298618233652,-0.07345275018139044,-0.34264093883904584,0.4422483268076073,0.307613413585631,-0.1725979362995864,0.3294370748035554,0.005322145094840127,-0.06845048161329015,0.173143801004625,-0.06814237728843978,-0.06742179433881654,-0.07816253685394184,-0.08087785182294109,0.21219020653527437,0.08411420671580241,0.11384433650626814,-0.06573431203342539,-0.03941549103662693,0.16494968397847157,-0.23335092790864276,0.004677526686255036,0.4122053947654712,0.07877860779515633,-0.16716112983509934,-0.2436446383545822,-0.053704784607528464,-0.08155426925646665,-0.0777468282931291,0.267171284605902,0.1448957899593938,0.01918188854434602,0.007938280400346618,0.15009252998030176,-0.024889333014868526,-0.03597017931041886,0.040216197109435144,0.10453444862839126,0.35731944916462277,-0.16015923359573925,0.4252900692712763,-0.05018488260340404,0.1651301904955104,-0.047198177696084885,-0.07342226436320352,-0.23073600934518415,-0.1795360750087563,0.0972099799315168,-0.07212175941847596,-0.05243368632677146,0.2525761318625461,-0.03846330223044935,-0.10658478636768755,-0.07016381356843954,-0.06185674662122952,-0.03408371635702461,-0.3224233457023614,-0.034908522984887634,-0.07142235773040036,-0.0203440838768189,0.029535914952328393,-0.3176543379301022,0.1555916634365081,0.2983641835015938,0.13351138753013111,0.18979567669876676,-0.08370303442630186,0.44037682222572744,-0.3453929240364078,0.186838246532875,-0.0259888214269164,-0.06680281291407474,-0.07891399034222532,-0.030042962598828774,-0.06172628178173942,0.008905846816909646,0.047535686552235126,0.13317156565215138,-0.06586500921083911,0.3066888159277344,0.048170244575021386,-0.16347394392841136,-0.08032812624091229,-0.1916200976303015;-0.008276365994158132,0.011123771227966282,-0.05065748924293682,-0.07013760898045661,-0.039964043282087816,0.852382702036018,-0.03904143200295287,-0.04564689848737303,0.08579811216121037,-0.04676083537305826,-0.00998713814496524,-0.06825676913320632,0.443254830422476,-0.0516152316359634,-0.04915052390720501,0.09532652602493709,-0.023098468600018313,-0.049698903140918814,0.11739485972089866,0.11794742422456964,-0.01731110983736344,-0.007384010528538262,-0.004948409469176047,-0.06488276028065673,-0.05075898143749515,-0.06159217198032721,-0.05026171600300649,-0.050631652043297344,-0.04881070840366958,-0.04865199768938259,-0.022842515974830696,-0.06862925371609027,-0.06828348900561423,-0.05111074842880853,-0.057311264298444506,-0.06451877556695293,0.042597714664110775,-0.06548971865198806,0.0711374207654989,-0.06861765689497709,-0.007599056696228741,0.035490174470750535,-0.0544354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k{251}	=[0.6699960433452828;0.5340522923348517;0.4749097949105691];
x_a_linear{251}	=[3.6099196487640928,-3.008748744757198,30.302961999013743];
L_a{251}	=[0.10812276521238579,0.11457983096929394,0.08473514705046613,-0.005434855822588651,0.08368748240669092,-0.3640817205292822,0.0843900608166502,0.08752693482387287,0.10222392971722875,0.08722772409558066,0.10403634183052686,0.004094989014231107,-0.47980173583752345,0.07935431798988314,0.08334047150632978,-0.2790360645853403,0.09849778197718552,0.0828308333332213,0.0982727963163861,-0.3257676351328245,-0.1702139557180545,0.10979212452741749,-0.19000479410292534,0.04489027449763168,0.08110563279977533,-0.06167657249130602,0.080210926212579,0.08028780961689296,0.08548627070681855,0.08717314923014878,-0.11288458407575173,-0.002865315476018707,-0.020666420497775412,0.07904701804233082,0.0669697961603459,-0.055466700074116,0.10238653940755513,0.04454196962764079,-0.2821255442602273,8.800428268412921E-4,0.10632308972577563,0.11558723046310103,0.07456119958211926,0.08632808018333772,0.08464149240189016,-0.13530912340892323,-0.04199126944362677,0.03515300921492959,0.042681570874343176,-0.04550331578635169,0.06162692860455708,0.06539342075121794,0.025113490797606313,-0.015455970775081786,-0.21847004295445302,0.10719111244178688,-0.2990938861004204,0.07157933977087948,-0.05640601650625683,0.07130627193557655,0.08232444833468769,0.11539205429326327,0.10735181614504785,-0.029719208939936584,0.08285372509343773,0.07325396194658838,-0.14753255800630935,0.06650265439120508,0.09044056718914634,0.08186143253775684,0.07710727206840365,0.06566465355766148,0.10026016558575497,-0.4829300310564325,0.08265379899130601,0.0576451115688014,0.03125709358401795,0.1063400652637752,-0.04919521090904592,-0.16197786157913077,-0.05400859648921558,-0.07351149610525509,0.08674715145502493,-0.3239677021486448,0.0993744519712064,-0.07249967550551896,0.060276801909126806,0.079792330736209,0.0844079926283792,0.060018642553510845,0.07800577240004791,0.023916590660233345,0.0205466109974956,-0.034365072027853855,0.08030817240676089,-0.16962443299542812,0.019307747862020084,-0.4621572135731622,0.08519024559889918,0.11176405372198915;0.004492791304576851,-0.022946497709088326,0.06079896676944967,0.08173656156653522,0.04639963953318247,-1.1665738157068062,0.04557326437592757,0.05682017702940255,-0.13529588867853473,0.056885045106332535,0.007528888096627994,0.07910216176486623,-0.4272027490816916,0.061680180407205604,0.06016876963082009,-0.07121074290395768,0.025451018978971316,0.0595875002802867,-0.18479829849152216,-0.08098928926254768,0.034221170751340374,0.0037466827034052944,0.024257416708361866,0.0774234764726452,0.06181880661331006,0.0740808515972323,0.0606898616696658,0.06153393229838955,0.05914279267373265,0.05913688834581013,0.030878577346620903,0.07951202811586353,0.08065058909931505,0.0612284946341553,0.06814926590233827,0.07586083417230396,-0.06890092422598967,0.07621942185804999,-0.040935682772904124,0.08019210459807974,0.0036116357855409532,-0.05799210448329923,0.06605304309924255,0.057103147882672484,0.05820164518529927,0.04984207344543549,0.07745074831035294,0.07564353407218548,0.07649206225567146,0.07700655117939816,0.0740938799603146,0.06906265357547853,0.08055268741419412,0.07970955987261774,0.0064198135650812265,0.012007722508050867,-0.05510501933393163,0.06478357669833103,0.07453264050650071,0.06733168873220197,0.058804646616979275,-0.04539696123125002,-0.007111001727200149,0.049475931609365295,0.06095525906049731,0.06522449786024621,0.015614028759582262,0.06835114645412893,0.038677976622217995,0.06131941616271378,0.06199050174736411,0.07138476203732093,-0.16138865603314348,-0.8105753815898747,0.06133354580102193,0.0722436611981633,0.07974006468474398,-0.14685430674015298,0.07657588009258437,0.038200493163694955,0.04676449733402563,0.07172384933574016,0.05562748166286517,-0.07996979872349072,-0.18578083940899637,0.07039157324103458,0.07082586098438301,0.06135709130131067,0.056659443225332326,0.06635707246500257,0.06356410924703983,0.04731991418269924,0.08053699974980613,0.07797547977762292,0.06312342349191172,0.03424344574357837,0.07918173520050335,-0.9057761636717899,0.05650173717208345,-0.01210822866275707;0.14615499918418426,0.1747777407110255,0.07036942319207812,-0.07790019443210659,0.0795664934278938,0.332366061438891,0.0814925949783119,0.07936751460292496,0.23180419135384844,0.07782621608663993,0.1386076028930537,-0.062407910730299186,-0.24204430093787524,0.06172626158150883,0.06988437835457077,-0.3032197033769906,0.11758556688405579,0.06860808471110606,0.25775754897714986,-0.34734534298926056,-0.2604271039789368,0.14943169468667925,-0.2763315884519439,-7.661391391020528E-4,0.06508390856184262,-0.14968460349226495,0.06430326772540523,0.06404314398102129,0.0732890313072699,0.07585710468201232,-0.18407517028370107,-0.07272177373034426,-0.09780126469838313,0.06179182935465178,0.03834145995848893,-0.14374166815167008,0.18883604870538262,-0.001870580130909525,-0.3318215015873194,-0.06736069482137931,0.1442618383158238,0.2005830091067964,0.052060047298828335,0.0760842571004482,0.07300346249663353,-0.2289361796518489,-0.1259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x_a{251}	=[3.6099196487640914,-3.0087487447571952,30.302961999013743];
std_x_a{251}	=[1.39961849475152,1.869563053842625,1.4948172623730005];
pred_a{251}	=[3.6099196487640914];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.1 to 25.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{252}	=[-0.51391341542871,-2.7769919488438024,23.09456979808329];
std_x_f{252}	=[1.4470695332897765,1.6341157480879633,1.4703198115463663];
pred_f{252}	=[-0.51391341542871];
obs{252}	=[-0.5900038896727057];
sqrt_r{252}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{252}	=[3.095072956113352];
L_f{252}	=[0.032599416219642546,0.016632601393892887,0.06522002379159444,0.054576238684029166,0.05425272501143548,-0.7731685873221427,0.054372643043637515,0.06252233875007396,-0.058799250244461795,0.06256972103517883,0.034009574555132926,0.055926285689789815,-0.4513116040925064,0.06392061497991401,0.06398310210452722,-0.14910191142139906,0.0444387402070807,0.06367341501070868,-0.09090284959863901,-0.17725126245929984,-0.03501179974588422,0.03272552517478635,-0.049874066859513094,0.06590068393500903,0.06434252780224271,0.03169217823399062,0.06403138032066563,0.06360585455924256,0.06401380567172625,0.06462029737357043,-0.015347476025103505,0.053935464949654253,0.04910913969410287,0.06346390818116543,0.06534050568346117,0.035037787743221915,-0.016389214722692322,0.06491524847455978,-0.13170345583580456,0.055370349433235204,0.03201706601986126,-0.005950406968769878,0.066093574429118,0.062281911889110884,0.06289358473902937,-0.011089645070990379,0.03999175900575975,0.062099778600853014,0.06435038659176535,0.038688738189970935,0.06814045967064865,0.06570786881232446,0.06251061202778667,0.050247220958150686,-0.07303942866096769,0.03789417789047542,-0.14847901827054594,0.06512463595911167,0.033507374877372584,0.06569496007895487,0.06302329906331433,0.0020727005154495804,0.02455590732118203,0.025668301045583056,0.0644049698245756,0.0647077877644633,-0.03807340158327292,0.06549760267413958,0.05185901311207104,0.06451437965493091,0.06299298679250125,0.06705299034129429,-0.07547247341899693,-0.649320833329376,0.06460162953666505,0.0655605481678438,0.06390858723486145,-0.06513227020489008,0.037650483541964264,-0.0293563472604952,0.015677322085367096,0.026112760547681628,0.062154475635914426,-0.1755892444499795,-0.09127750670096824,0.0252664407551385,0.06483883960726668,0.06364278676123399,0.061888584361548635,0.06193884555783808,0.0650866816958323,0.04079552765323458,0.06093753310102664,0.043331648615915624,0.06527285342719012,-0.035249771716158326,0.060050928364203664,-0.6869685382097467,0.06182155572871885,0.022926186236087814;-0.011597914851913173,-0.041657882826889384,0.055264198254642155,0.09232913200273106,0.039508696888205366,-0.8757111912316269,0.03861422482412499,0.04959138304237056,-0.15441301636304078,0.04965144153366961,-0.00776662789239789,0.0883710892182599,-0.4798834483502694,0.05698675221635249,0.054486317317588795,-0.10447976525340084,0.01359187656407008,0.05359345013545476,-0.20290497113518718,-0.12874326284753002,0.03183560656712327,-0.012222629914779083,0.017454946453080183,0.08098216958844144,0.05662706977411729,0.08538011482861237,0.05620753695291172,0.05584864050187004,0.0530363297551039,0.05262896239835824,0.03553407356942754,0.08895145273191878,0.09136768898999942,0.05657418638702675,0.06678036674498211,0.08750031968672764,-0.08683982781452375,0.07971611813648646,-0.074397563969163,0.08948809359598568,-0.011759147294180173,-0.07839040401527177,0.06282241403199415,0.05004795758990299,0.0521750210531982,0.05403237045350813,0.08893400963356064,0.08077668237628681,0.08013679003622157,0.08831088055459073,0.074329738483369,0.0681942319906161,0.0873851916646085,0.09048523853555705,-0.00820903033628547,-0.0030657690280410464,-0.09448710825083129,0.06290262056689462,0.08590660145531664,0.06477063269048904,0.05359572039051083,-0.0657891242506394,-0.023815705991149547,0.05744650942127235,0.05566131713136528,0.0625103829719299,0.01467838564128997,0.06733747248652715,0.029925558794926324,0.05561722541971777,0.05770766311989686,0.07043865448673586,-0.1799651579702022,-0.7200394334960726,0.055965986486026006,0.0728296750388063,0.0854135785216217,-0.16723442639666983,0.08820429326310811,0.03756618836923955,0.05517315018463949,0.08305809166854805,0.04864631090940412,-0.12716755627818133,-0.20446606853587987,0.08123799451394598,0.07064867080758325,0.05652307546743024,0.0504732347107307,0.0648034033453821,0.05928351540028589,0.05134915586478637,0.08744715008617615,0.08976525697638904,0.05793331463062123,0.03161001909767364,0.08722526939691772,-0.7655731409061223,0.05069268944354438,-0.029301358622531533;0.07665771192503792,0.09629503656021533,0.026151878753430405,-0.07352726610738601,0.032264467370290865,0.8551377246732558,0.03330250862537864,0.0321251360329321,0.14298887217525869,0.03087959367270878,0.07090991258721402,-0.06339259810487426,0.04670529475520911,0.02065428192003818,0.026077218762714675,-0.19289043144625503,0.057593429682332144,0.025407251228056687,0.16772580260891248,-0.2138443642479468,-0.19313050525116846,0.07866170054583509,-0.20201624394197182,-0.02182382770381606,0.02256159020238713,-0.12271153944378078,0.021572605176882035,0.022490521420086278,0.028008804501798826,0.029448016203112555,-0.14253936628281333,-0.0711176867933674,-0.08799783662571507,0.02026687627610075,0.005256527981855739,-0.1186900353130609,0.10873198531137215,-0.022264051329004372,-0.21961389139229945,-0.06694191584251827,0.07495034453846132,0.11498468867086781,0.014167839658930757,0.029958411946963047,0.027470739836700647,-0.1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k{252}	=[0.6769058389965215;0.7377315297462388;-0.39174441783215896];
x_a_linear{252}	=[-0.5654195017364851,-2.833126290806942,23.124377816618576];
L_a{252}	=[-0.031152169417225796,-0.01589419923905059,-0.062324589399457696,-0.052153333734099236,-0.05184418240851957,0.7388438694133335,-0.05195877669542842,-0.05974666773112047,0.05618886525083319,-0.059791946485899874,-0.03249972395858106,-0.05344344558031482,0.43127568469089067,-0.06108286767134535,-0.06114258068826681,0.1424825516425318,-0.04246588817087215,-0.060846642112312936,0.08686722952723004,0.1693822159374177,0.033457455493591796,-0.03127267978186542,0.047659914210286904,-0.06297503172518347,-0.061486049729328605,-0.030285208142816763,-0.06118871559933913,-0.060782080998218274,-0.061171921174631584,-0.06175148775701127,0.014666126842257791,-0.05154100706552145,-0.04692894588594183,-0.060646436310956786,-0.06243972251355552,-0.03348228975720018,0.015661617687158704,-0.062033344542602495,0.12585649820805528,-0.052912190040869556,-0.030595672578094882,0.0056862394327437974,-0.06315935887113495,-0.05951691458907924,-0.060101432303144665,0.010597321734253502,-0.03821633011604744,-0.059342867084237534,-0.06149355962892226,-0.036971156738274946,-0.06511537291114593,-0.06279077660455175,-0.05973546161512937,-0.048016502181714486,0.0697968528164272,-0.036211870838941174,0.14188731175131836,-0.06223343629727267,-0.03201981936957051,-0.06277844095270499,-0.06022538797703597,-0.001980683248234138,-0.02346575104011303,-0.0245287601911885,-0.061545719646279404,-0.06183509402348897,0.03638313791943093,-0.06258984520396128,-0.049556739034607236,-0.061650272241582676,-0.06019642141550527,-0.06407618163987182,0.07212188287190861,0.6204943201965323,-0.0617336486762741,-0.062649996240738,-0.06107137389645518,0.06224073162171213,-0.03597899526903246,0.028053076078669924,-0.014981329429988349,-0.024953487972053802,-0.05939513585160955,0.16779398299938036,0.08722525377669788,-0.02414474043556975,-0.06196032783693957,-0.060817373599951846,-0.05914104878545489,-0.059189078642535004,-0.06219716700852761,-0.038984415559961114,-0.05823221932076051,-0.04140794576552386,-0.0623750736703181,0.03368486272949387,-0.057384975284808154,0.6564706601622883,-0.059076995879978035,-0.021908381208591687;-0.08107811739434824,-0.07710749044774438,-0.08374137265285105,-0.023990991407509574,-0.07612191124527062,0.7721683193904757,-0.07727196853547134,-0.0836645234595498,-0.029092250224078388,-0.08370545238298926,-0.08025234703999659,-0.03082643355306303,0.4820117417606658,-0.0792493461701395,-0.08188296192236309,0.21330601763374424,-0.08112186461201241,-0.08211578286752425,-0.009160753163814069,0.2490381530403368,0.10645740105967137,-0.08197161259998631,0.12375317718415536,-0.05947411455601217,-0.08050826521689379,0.0178335382926242,-0.08026463922890814,-0.0797165987001125,-0.08339838900233469,-0.08509839196950111,0.06824465143851327,-0.026002968650154456,-0.013300227442659206,-0.0786885178544365,-0.07248199116118602,0.012823136125046193,-0.051908958170361494,-0.058639875164621866,0.20630632119724077,-0.028524544039792366,-0.07999816779952543,-0.06570810692705185,-0.07804498393452602,-0.0826955192757378,-0.08187213417329722,0.07766809388072281,0.0036982650108030295,-0.05157860785212664,-0.05701529465006289,0.005852306835386455,-0.0709002529788279,-0.07185109897335396,-0.04584572129036657,-0.01660830773669815,0.1474622940443636,-0.08383087038046537,0.22197108208091418,-0.07589964713184393,0.014491236914452234,-0.07524718546763666,-0.08072789921998631,-0.07020673868437496,-0.07615251480985966,0.0027388194567905945,-0.08160710258513955,-0.07540344252899515,0.09582547231492598,-0.07225971137657226,-0.08060325283779304,-0.08188438304845053,-0.07655135095590528,-0.07247357800845543,-0.019108205680031933,0.6638793063605021,-0.08172158051016777,-0.06690166661479587,-0.050796884738254944,-0.028415887580087677,0.007958585650096882,0.10013433191581828,0.02175956061373285,0.027403110623156902,-0.08382555689969143,0.24707154624006236,-0.009923331622375627,0.027386802536597483,-0.06754446977432933,-0.0791208785451923,-0.0814319303245259,-0.06720888502222774,-0.07943785913514465,-0.03559968717812517,-0.042431008276197425,-0.0025889036639897825,-0.08118485380796574,0.10673901103764438,-0.040763239277421884,0.6985853843110832,-0.08106961527317845,-0.0781646895630766;0.11355254479900924,0.11511920950099667,0.09996552810269102,-0.011759865379395234,0.09366572709740129,-0.019906344228408986,0.09483948721711158,0.10288564363011696,0.07644202065289661,0.10169372681577292,0.10940071134484466,-9.726330855720612E-5,-0.4640727539953681,0.0929973076661369,0.09849096516233233,-0.3616385484682878,0.10788757857209524,0.09747050504545549,0.06484526569645385,-0.41445089232423366,-0.23275558600531424,0.11569925894570518,-0.2584618977269703,0.05276016802422876,0.09538212152595801,-0.08684348550450018,0.09404099110451677,0.0944773127772694,0.10045730008136529,0.10258291701853434,-0.1599090811012733,-0.01007549045801072,-0.03241789956823158,0.09209301788848684,0.0792065343515865,-0.07903554228931972,0.09018326854738841,0.05120466440824524,-0.3686710695714171,-0.00427576946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x_a{252}	=[-0.5654195017364851,-2.833126290806942,23.12437781661858];
std_x_a{252}	=[1.3828270713751816,1.564559244424644,1.4470322208445503];
pred_a{252}	=[-0.5654195017364851];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.2 to 25.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{253}	=[-2.174248700750733,-3.562474986657936,18.391868447023317];
std_x_f{253}	=[1.814000439952611,2.5449987649736148,1.2996074508297424];
pred_f{253}	=[-2.174248700750733];
obs{253}	=[-2.283929828606537];
sqrt_r{253}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{253}	=[4.295341706928486];
L_f{253}	=[-0.06887750561846256,-0.05870456708773208,-0.08790318711713092,-0.04926311722245022,-0.07752269767377334,0.8972238634734421,-0.07815211084164554,-0.08579685096516615,0.008776267425186295,-0.08587267400342523,-0.06940971994143436,-0.05357229633523795,0.6088123012471502,-0.08325744148566046,-0.08584594394356758,0.22340548534628654,-0.07469862802364297,-0.08559845814122127,0.038093180002896784,0.2675064523809838,0.0797828032930797,-0.0694344232791765,0.09996129229054325,-0.07443209961796397,-0.08508242998913927,-0.013174732896143225,-0.0850131143533532,-0.08411892481669278,-0.08641365189527296,-0.08769208077549803,0.04431144648241478,-0.04990279756074626,-0.040496705894379564,-0.08370436129653418,-0.08176618564448672,-0.017664741069043678,-0.027086949104564974,-0.07391872162706427,0.2074246326613315,-0.0518169094444031,-0.06823913895167374,-0.040166954867865444,-0.08470599879541128,-0.08474090456658062,-0.08517378630179867,0.04728633187447515,-0.025677813341386198,-0.06876748236491648,-0.07252843152232016,-0.023385227411382426,-0.08142913547955632,-0.08138204032902747,-0.06528349031161972,-0.042692703826753414,0.13054877260599013,-0.07327506939336495,0.229387544971115,-0.08301231117571513,-0.01595408999909348,-0.08333802158605867,-0.08408917441899208,-0.04731039541053201,-0.062343044161806305,-0.01818819572903298,-0.08427173366147366,-0.0824209936621971,0.0754347533824103,-0.08178914532380095,-0.0779421145351052,-0.0858972750365313,-0.08220122045833539,-0.08224240272933456,0.02359607222635192,0.8187544405365227,-0.085530267918716,-0.07849407517019405,-0.06904674917381858,0.012516685536001283,-0.022071157852312045,0.07282556907527497,-0.0011669161040645758,-0.004467725701098182,-0.08586733732314727,0.2649977522015903,0.037879341070204464,-0.003569831562397716,-0.07865244547323642,-0.0834928418765648,-0.0842974941342376,-0.07662467659624184,-0.08499815889685465,-0.04832403484524973,-0.0624690942182481,-0.030759427772064547,-0.08624063598828373,0.08040092294318807,-0.06115843347970989,0.8492038531178515,-0.08411829627039921,-0.0621378407707769;-0.1021976882200653,-0.09195974537202765,-0.11961223092328363,-0.06672247633299565,-0.10822891287629445,1.1799718717550927,-0.10903002829923615,-0.11775774151327889,-0.01332506883688721,-0.11787010467652793,-0.10215012465480837,-0.07322965654284135,0.9173376308105766,-0.11500645841527989,-0.11709139885357794,0.3267404653633936,-0.1072350414674093,-0.11743561758384571,0.0226733494287112,0.39873136360213,0.11260936943765036,-0.10271082390701299,0.14307549263820984,-0.10068114884962834,-0.11625229013069922,-0.017982495687820177,-0.11637206121504744,-0.11504184624921403,-0.11835994064735453,-0.12010218852312335,0.059802836417329114,-0.06821170835322234,-0.054956249854328884,-0.1140508027545514,-0.11156721590144862,-0.02430415222292257,-0.054829511854477195,-0.10029574540408862,0.3049436085259814,-0.07139077127949804,-0.10161050330716996,-0.07148243925642299,-0.11554191270332886,-0.11646146329783262,-0.11623006171036393,0.06651018128799462,-0.0347454830165297,-0.0934314663290071,-0.0979482762698231,-0.032592837345640086,-0.11008676629465933,-0.1103767250827735,-0.08842143423732103,-0.0582761636182046,0.18782463374938507,-0.10715941725961349,0.3389819325314215,-0.1134554319866299,-0.02191090336980151,-0.11295395041608168,-0.11568024101007547,-0.0799085166830947,-0.09468809427661168,-0.0280841651305764,-0.11644691693846032,-0.11192873291012927,0.10356231878533882,-0.11165756833142818,-0.11057943956875277,-0.11772838688483814,-0.1127271733961915,-0.1109094868142543,0.005046031599094868,1.1685717544532677,-0.11654560717634956,-0.10714494939712456,-0.09337300046459342,-0.009629770236980124,-0.030496099088804483,0.10244442635375962,-0.004702473233460805,-0.006628296027946938,-0.11777634376558818,0.39391743627971865,0.0214304409687921,-0.005421405543407306,-0.10688759450076807,-0.11497578414256472,-0.11534992913972893,-0.10501129145855283,-0.11598356215211693,-0.06902790799833429,-0.08477604579915372,-0.042057254014819065,-0.11737681527614763,0.11370993441173301,-0.08317924898751188,1.188298305250254,-0.11527439966520615,-0.09558040073226247;0.08955442120747016,0.08498002615385314,0.08906927480090274,-0.015425145488288244,0.07876817466242143,0.28974455024617407,0.08001691851249351,0.09067868777327198,0.026095369904886843,0.08943453354098842,0.08606349605872678,-0.004994246840306508,-0.3062323922027148,0.08161773760798213,0.08687197987390595,-0.3467029379270192,0.08851910743877385,0.08644005939955135,0.006736112287747155,-0.38555814833049884,-0.23081690699977642,0.09114261074242797,-0.2547183141162781,0.04600055373522764,0.08439029630406834,-0.08895954771339967,0.0832716766928907,0.08313963720547846,0.08869266107137991,0.09081999947735842,-0.1663493419761837,-0.014376510403727834,-0.03603971281584125,0.08096423075171603,0.06983776922974809,-0.08146868383602142,0.0512604190487675,0.04443109543308305,-0.3521280219041205,-0.00899844812773583,0.08684855069546528,0.071957443849928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k{253}	=[0.767189651434023;1.0749444672102704;-0.17944858038187297];
x_a_linear{253}	=[-2.2583949269993178,-3.6803761082039146,18.411550569711725];
L_a{253}	=[0.04546254425981875,0.03874790405830443,0.05802043060369588,0.03251608238411504,0.051168796582984157,-0.592211916472091,0.05158424025715862,0.056630145057276926,-0.005792768519575861,0.0566801919949791,0.04581383191166617,0.035360352721426735,-0.4018460881073429,0.05495400979629138,0.05666254883966388,-0.14745861764656243,0.04930477159675645,0.05649919602742408,-0.025143373969900646,-0.17656742679568949,-0.05266057754727685,0.045830137330618075,-0.06597937358825254,0.04912884972892923,0.0561585920451414,0.008695972248473124,0.056112840313403516,0.05552263120199526,0.057037264033678405,0.05788109002633583,-0.029247735945643494,0.03293830289617917,0.02672981937381001,0.05524899887146178,0.05396970753282639,0.011659598666917624,0.017878719786270234,0.04878999498348334,-0.13691046820392863,0.03420171096311799,0.04504119083561613,0.026512167464046377,0.0559101289271471,0.05593316845438404,0.0562188917085859,-0.03121130674557353,0.016948620816709968,0.04538992349649359,0.04787233507618296,0.015435401248487258,0.05374723783240202,0.053716152714755445,0.04309031723895506,0.02817928610897385,-0.086168616290221,0.048365152824933436,-0.1514070714707345,0.05479221172498713,0.010530484752550206,0.05500719662917562,0.055502994475025255,0.031227189863918363,0.04114947803420782,0.012005104509995004,0.05562349256169121,0.05440191305797625,-0.04979065056991657,0.053984862051382844,0.051445632357601884,0.056696429887835124,0.054256851924911656,0.05428403425100215,-0.015574569205375812,-0.5404182346121047,0.05645418712385088,0.051809953547474995,0.045574253337506455,-0.00826162859785905,0.014568050653350314,-0.04806846048797252,7.702220710836695E-4,0.002948918890182081,0.056676669523293206,-0.1749115611844684,-0.02500222974792714,0.002356264559065283,0.051914485743390804,0.05510938564206527,0.05564049574179586,0.050576058465990406,0.05610296897592009,0.031896241788063606,0.04123267727637673,0.02030273648759057,0.0569230650182157,-0.05306856694379442,0.04036757667059306,-0.5605163458130569,0.055522216330501015,0.041014033694823565;0.058009378920978974,0.044585363752673975,0.08484801591543308,0.047862096054867985,0.07208661858290484,-0.9069446395987538,0.07274949981227129,0.08180322893194202,-0.03373841063853484,0.08186722794197643,0.05929485746309468,0.05137794065183435,-0.498742007184494,0.07864791972046677,0.08258376042610038,-0.1928941710708896,0.06651178643629814,0.08166389694509832,-0.06593027510068983,-0.22348083459593043,-0.07296310170667335,0.05879161745324698,-0.08943155478895393,0.07244574176395516,0.0816469579823089,0.012661548382962415,0.08136596075284112,0.08061631696289849,0.08263569075335524,0.08386703112835453,-0.043264294396742155,0.04786074182559802,0.03923790572602242,0.08064309781314744,0.07861854468599713,0.01678351976906169,0.008173940940100917,0.0716370429910958,-0.17752003113539555,0.04913384725685762,0.057111741604489986,0.02194472506357105,0.08148176744324297,0.08064340665338049,0.08188167851867768,-0.043476446094125605,0.02498036113360987,0.06651968993649564,0.07075073793222957,0.021800518864978836,0.07931502544957644,0.07891552471630822,0.06342605822982604,0.04102581903913531,-0.11582799986838313,0.06327625483186877,-0.19456679993975065,0.07962878020493676,0.0151978441771465,0.08088785468059814,0.07990872364556936,0.030134081781341835,0.05032000629447472,0.014221047117913952,0.07956667518525024,0.07978009200892745,-0.07189671521116076,0.07858159579977843,0.07071164326473271,0.08206616701842634,0.07847046546711729,0.08038394080905295,-0.04983774349537947,-0.7358271701196158,0.08239529888590871,0.0754299777586965,0.06722772224502373,-0.038743215360230635,0.020840769692607005,-0.06694572112132481,-0.00198826044434774,0.0037635035143951815,0.08194857589039782,-0.22245959854434838,-0.06667580044634554,0.0028819184469720447,0.07605569735619652,0.07922612842974448,0.0807235810915354,0.07321546919266907,0.08171967386059148,0.04337238619733544,0.060525243523095774,0.029488276939750417,0.08321638617622688,-0.07330026499230242,0.059073481722565165,-0.7869250639946602,0.08038230156657844,0.04895040274234791;0.06280984821551462,0.06218552212323463,0.054937185042857314,-0.03455361163317596,0.048666744190267626,0.6381292498854376,0.049671092046915416,0.057364471143122445,0.02950312288087265,0.0560908754442384,0.05911226859111534,-0.025795932046810115,-0.06983554706579774,0.049289552942423764,0.05353870084112622,-0.25995641225078364,0.05951424015098765,0.053202877082904124,0.021527383021716338,-0.28168757727421173,-0.19983789597120838,0.06418179117049323,-0.21590416058342973,0.017099177250950053,0.05135348350509367,-0.09407518891478454,0.05026177858927418,0.05047694559717768,0.05513894567674071,0.05676988058791782,-0.14914356914531632,-0.03375335920047699,-0.05176425302676992,0.048462510773051415,0.03808862703002532,-0.08832775854645036,0.040742777897978776,0.015729059430531375,-0.27158673082906226,-0.029118530938660455,0.06035185026745149,0.05636094326991483,0.046933190071529886,0.055316558887115036,0.05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x_a{253}	=[-2.2583949269993178,-3.6803761082039164,18.411550569711725];
std_x_a{253}	=[1.197329586026276,1.6832003727170657,1.2614712389970335];
pred_a{253}	=[-2.2583949269993178];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.3 to 25.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{254}	=[-4.078147322282021,-6.505162244516062,15.742039127170756];
std_x_f{254}	=[1.6545509196502766,2.0932637352119525,2.3631647110374407];
pred_f{254}	=[-4.078147322282021];
obs{254}	=[-4.273845332131884];
sqrt_r{254}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{254}	=[3.7424311315801306];
L_f{254}	=[0.06994559217388795,0.05635696926287937,0.09661172047630653,0.04631618549619193,0.08242684644526137,-0.6995936923436801,0.08340446964865607,0.09313588758756747,-0.02986830867640984,0.09327075743034628,0.0707580433274425,0.05118139972785157,-0.586192088057496,0.08978466426207202,0.09381406915409003,-0.27119224571249856,0.07814154790178165,0.09304800449430763,-0.06533788052044952,-0.3153780230454879,-0.11361946595344397,0.07106542190842038,-0.13720182759254523,0.07905054405841269,0.09260071175690407,5.680973754682801E-5,0.09205317753934297,0.09208027506057113,0.09398920520694903,0.0956263994662928,-0.07034422708924097,0.04710106000061708,0.03495440384743655,0.09112949801680212,0.08768601281494191,0.00546968905491321,0.01571910729022079,0.0779845950496969,-0.2550957766327319,0.04864033012613327,0.06871155541125776,0.0322061938800538,0.09190282010085007,0.09184195539032215,0.09280667985457876,-0.07494991916781789,0.01619276490558705,0.07199277348509255,0.07636292200435224,0.011875896608901638,0.08794544811420853,0.08803378639272896,0.06637094560577608,0.03805008117086299,-0.17218970217068716,0.07641755496538441,-0.2780257862080186,0.08956156220077224,0.0031339620888907226,0.09063182604721627,0.09116736677113078,0.0413451775528577,0.0616661311423665,0.005847647096457472,0.09103900763114707,0.08951381451539622,-0.10877318739275627,0.08829251317693505,0.08330710789490808,0.09366960092653404,0.08861764357423212,0.0897230717547046,-0.04744722576178856,-0.683056254296483,0.09350849392940368,0.0836434146966833,0.07196910265332147,-0.0343250527485625,0.010787681258099344,-0.10571255054381234,-0.01570273241869086,-0.011265002096736887,0.0934855548038688,-0.31301639309354395,-0.06586395099523892,-0.012612525392986362,0.08434539311164672,0.09054432008364799,0.09195491455107715,0.08098743723416357,0.09249013367116131,0.04467651471127709,0.0631982209062506,0.022504510084879286,0.09403533785139521,-0.11496323168554569,0.061780944320970116,-0.6923533816877405,0.09156277476395383,0.06097447406524271;0.10167821604656575,0.07975076807433748,0.14420215533418565,0.05580354950805618,0.12111053810524788,-0.5509651571313008,0.12252748571603145,0.1390162533565431,-0.05898587605270562,0.13900355667245823,0.10313809627420907,0.06456421470625365,-0.7878066945027578,0.1324556827514815,0.13969730123518753,-0.46436384773040257,0.11490644272437697,0.13893644763316468,-0.114310515813488,-0.5313024367264155,-0.21895829903736777,0.10403555608603289,-0.25643398862777755,0.11289862065591216,0.13729053564274032,-0.025053634313524302,0.13664531659509993,0.1356795054750502,0.14036494693842516,0.14266027086801142,-0.14442542949701956,0.05610845564373485,0.03545056111295386,0.13485269309802345,0.1288101327435094,-0.01578635872840414,0.013840200607094552,0.11109921658711225,-0.44337304548355283,0.05965854707821103,0.09981197665079472,0.04121799057211077,0.13593746161176087,0.13673812119239562,0.13836690923619901,-0.15287123220280624,0.0029496189800755673,0.10017042852155257,0.10833675525530878,-0.0036334065996535226,0.12878207979036282,0.1288892667858438,0.09102683563511765,0.040284160585314616,-0.3140210306975134,0.11206206314558394,-0.47729209908365877,0.13212243676754487,-0.01852096801401045,0.13361331974654253,0.13500553889040232,0.05589948905110757,0.08815871130867746,-0.012346210441367715,0.13501741678778123,0.13178346747521336,-0.20750606175601097,0.12924283718268034,0.12123955435580752,0.13924983533729143,0.1305222572240063,0.13163572016992778,-0.08671844771789398,-0.6961798097812189,0.13883329593792315,0.12136573319074442,0.10029839054875987,-0.06611452829443637,-0.00651261369912642,-0.20461076015788046,-0.04989526556288181,-0.04498660593021163,0.1398070821209664,-0.5276338897892869,-0.11591226152584941,-0.046157668018697265,0.12257212289022715,0.13361749464402778,0.13674294543100138,0.11686015895453099,0.1371544112739887,0.05471078824442622,0.08496234908110603,0.01392446354460927,0.14002530212594752,-0.21979509234397865,0.08244439993940986,-0.6584069733596902,0.13570883241142054,0.08760291875241034;-0.02021154508254138,-0.01177866028194989,-0.04073495367297659,-0.08147101932921579,-0.03774790416011066,1.44342161751823,-0.0375695129387569,-0.037013038823942086,0.018846513438884067,-0.03827113551378504,-0.02375655011619894,-0.07768583723555696,0.6205802948324578,-0.04137175087074983,-0.040336925706055834,0.019447919226840103,-0.027078575764341917,-0.04058763585261272,0.040463916838136486,0.053942943849710295,-0.09165356324878517,-0.02009100095028172,-0.08331416366840169,-0.06016124969054529,-0.04128265143794723,-0.09769255273053581,-0.042022933403770266,-0.04132155267711326,-0.03943035350852577,-0.03859270398867377,-0.08778481295156945,-0.08135003398204964,-0.08805025187656006,-0.04299413265027197,-0.0492797080355008,-0.09693682459391453,-0.002927003135655779,-0.061048573996503375,-0.008764319732519692,-0.07863619080324467,-0.021483459123851245,-0.002099482327869501,-0.044650198285299134,-0.037747704495682224,-0.03948324753060984,-0.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k{254}	=[0.7327940141472213;0.8914550631089403;-0.8557373880691427];
x_a_linear{254}	=[-4.221553652480525,-6.679618226237066,15.909505230970007];
L_a{254}	=[-0.05298861160675635,-0.04269429227478226,-0.07319004348769616,-0.03508770585947493,-0.06244402279702532,0.5299904868054705,-0.06318463981966269,-0.07055686027732992,0.022627304432141712,-0.07065903348788347,-0.05360409940644678,-0.03877344129029658,0.4440809480004374,-0.06801807740791449,-0.07107062960160708,0.20544683563617386,-0.05919761350828924,-0.07049028277114548,0.04949795214399857,0.2389206103355102,0.08607458404822377,-0.053836959887535896,0.10393984993313989,-0.059886240808434424,-0.07015142766390906,-4.3037295486429075E-5,-0.06973663271980975,-0.06975716096159365,-0.0712033072442555,-0.07244359484547433,0.05329060505689416,-0.035682302444941666,-0.026480372413073668,-0.06903688175698491,-0.06642820415109144,-0.004143666812055667,-0.011908308230999372,-0.059078710894683535,0.1932526498154649,-0.03684840575901608,-0.05205374362306801,-0.024398413764222124,-0.06962272658701611,-0.0695766173697447,-0.07030746270760321,0.05677973455236423,-0.012267136552201265,-0.05453949268469964,-0.05785018168387502,-0.008996810997419861,-0.06662474428868481,-0.06669166662910779,-0.050280570217125856,-0.02882556155584458,0.13044557873386314,-0.05789156992097588,0.21062371400637836,-0.0678490622047052,-0.0023741924938698706,-0.06865986090571524,-0.06906556995094813,-0.03132182439336938,-0.04671634867670782,-0.004429996103789301,-0.06896832904693415,-0.06781289003892763,0.08240319369453254,-0.06688767001766255,-0.06311088157422699,-0.07096118495239372,-0.06713397872430839,-0.0679714168343268,0.03594454689094877,0.5174622365695556,-0.07083913528732198,-0.06336565717832329,-0.05452156039658626,0.02600359553684654,-0.008172412793386926,0.08008455012861905,0.011895903136115785,0.008534016258942059,-0.07082175731716275,0.23713151271844563,0.049896486822168025,0.009554858121264206,-0.06389745425703479,-0.0685935691012902,-0.06966219172705086,-0.06135357101501111,-0.07006765713519468,-0.033845542119281216,-0.04787701237147377,-0.0170487189717893,-0.07123825590510703,0.0870925792964704,-0.04680332758044251,0.5245054519757409,-0.0693651187846447,-0.046192370723477254;-0.047873112531159785,-0.04074659803451838,-0.06236427300474585,-0.04322552237953215,-0.055127077636361536,0.9448426972720323,-0.05580039539287429,-0.060118463987178176,0.004875835687784405,-0.060419527150776586,-0.048150341757340585,-0.044867217495207286,0.4655361230518985,-0.0595137524763555,-0.06088744249530381,0.11547484382651797,-0.052168735891297065,-0.06001036604217644,0.025389021135085565,0.14301028098443622,0.023972549891417252,-0.04791009098089519,0.0369185295515915,-0.05612009119282486,-0.06069991722325114,-0.0251750997477603,-0.0601744482098844,-0.061198196794967824,-0.06059425683412024,-0.06179943335088079,0.005978224143024378,-0.04459876380477118,-0.03928577855560957,-0.059992143831125624,-0.058672156084028586,-0.027481152347932466,-0.019768970553599784,-0.05564037965912573,0.10204963412075095,-0.04433980030497137,-0.04710084631665143,-0.027642375513858747,-0.06056082253962848,-0.05963002754888347,-0.06006392595689173,0.007379894994380943,-0.03167228398354472,-0.05375799767469064,-0.05493552659823577,-0.029025372851044784,-0.05925491009094271,-0.0593365999997302,-0.050881507490030585,-0.04107107588828851,0.054139391234586054,-0.051327029955854184,0.11715744968716664,-0.059369981844393856,-0.02522172183621914,-0.06016744006303001,-0.05992026557859332,-0.03250102399251684,-0.04369022375591135,-0.024849119704824757,-0.0596339417965911,-0.05960686136147892,0.02506291339512717,-0.05953621577394574,-0.05688015667156586,-0.061026019516906505,-0.05895196009345474,-0.060202023538530734,0.014728912000818536,0.7642691927722124,-0.061098094530240205,-0.05747303857301063,-0.05357942481941144,0.00727618986956556,-0.029577856472552545,0.021414238556321262,-0.016321105669037536,-0.020900798981724523,-0.06007526198711147,0.141629404706387,0.024912071653409883,-0.019190708834876467,-0.057767555525796495,-0.0599761678417053,-0.059866722354450466,-0.05629984241287295,-0.060599613546711506,-0.04081248811419597,-0.05016236151941045,-0.03419264115896571,-0.06103253828764001,0.026008874736890186,-0.04965001826235374,0.8219203047234173,-0.060062397606477844,-0.042767177809433496;0.12334775318769986,0.10389077232365551,0.15755503666378282,0.013590283059325487,0.1314284494390261,0.00754586858663115,0.13361335596306106,0.15414300475643855,-0.042456469363012665,0.15316172064885186,0.12147025734022705,0.027361037071442617,-0.5825451945320814,0.1429060999028705,0.15221104646859246,-0.5371585413208084,0.13330244945654485,0.15038803274192397,-0.09363831872035065,-0.5933522790674007,-0.32485097133657065,0.1257666833350774,-0.36491301040650226,0.10208543777324432,0.14877497458224961,-0.09757595401711201,0.14691091017912006,0.1476679070069707,0.15347707532477375,0.15767497174080156,-0.23216228641963904,0.015322178109070718,-0.01630835175342514,0.14404391192711571,0.13069078154922836,-0.08571060292539762,0.02933555897703112,0.09901031453776041,-0.5323337048347966,0.021195284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x_a{254}	=[-4.221553652480526,-6.67961822623706,15.90950523097001];
std_x_a{254}	=[1.2534364688341244,1.6311025720949812,1.9940501853184622];
pred_a{254}	=[-4.221553652480526];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.4 to 25.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{255}	=[-7.727633952908579,-12.32733997347362,17.496806671848756];
std_x_f{255}	=[1.9297231978090972,3.0226187570723435,2.5565157556887077];
pred_f{255}	=[-7.727633952908579];
obs{255}	=[-8.182897483426853];
sqrt_r{255}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{255}	=[4.726507699373454];
L_f{255}	=[-0.051730834237324115,-0.0445669227755599,-0.06631222777418168,-0.059148523738117575,-0.06048438451954071,1.057873079499469,-0.06073404624808588,-0.0638771088893852,6.115326658861557E-4,-0.06529413095548581,-0.0528245719262312,-0.059256368121153875,0.6297891632694732,-0.06476975929986599,-0.06569640728062018,0.14534807804815583,-0.05676210825602055,-0.06499810497392375,0.024478301206698968,0.18852222902859944,0.011812863024266379,-0.05181731105220304,0.02886534274214394,-0.06550732526219055,-0.06513706929337092,-0.04411734644702415,-0.06554504125012689,-0.06572021614672816,-0.06495178204473796,-0.06575800319389179,-0.009783424911249668,-0.059742514909260115,-0.05644019069892304,-0.06487586057545328,-0.06538736487326065,-0.04640306790766942,-0.025797178892296657,-0.06502492608057509,0.1263357377424886,-0.05900964001039732,-0.05137506985219925,-0.03225139064236491,-0.06614130187821328,-0.06388231966755865,-0.06447382264419937,-0.009774260454268624,-0.049994078595515405,-0.06495168226909473,-0.06462338122665695,-0.04748652784203848,-0.06635390053416794,-0.06642414484860237,-0.06322080820403314,-0.05747230440719175,0.05340226148835822,-0.054971773407824394,0.14822949253125184,-0.06556507672157388,-0.044849260419446986,-0.0660056690939824,-0.06492965142678865,-0.036894598503955094,-0.04815476503180213,-0.041591539035513256,-0.06442853052575484,-0.0658692630364468,0.013624601827208286,-0.06654624461248111,-0.06100412647510451,-0.06541680087364142,-0.06430921840577532,-0.0660029470984503,0.012501458447563717,0.9255826823781542,-0.06560887117690935,-0.06547059246408055,-0.06463111398702318,0.0038837137321183525,-0.048799762413261796,0.007854164204817698,-0.03384145983301367,-0.04033288460264777,-0.06481312767344242,0.1859981987954303,0.02419960146930839,-0.03865708461481264,-0.06540574214920401,-0.0642085738887047,-0.06393575628296214,-0.06367961493553691,-0.06564792534177293,-0.05335100221072504,-0.06275151998128843,-0.05195778842178183,-0.06568589487806782,0.014300590233105821,-0.062410144096712236,0.9724098550458444,-0.06488301564943103,-0.0471128524994702;-0.04697072087229292,-0.04519556144567673,-0.052103557399137725,-0.09138917691642913,-0.05434755540360937,1.7398998223710758,-0.05335030739228342,-0.05017614510383913,-0.03458146024986725,-0.05139381126963993,-0.048630625928639495,-0.08861609422962408,0.9241079948181294,-0.0551655532492755,-0.05359046756084366,0.054275694831126126,-0.04885653398331104,-0.05250729012873441,-0.017988167113339292,0.11454430253229247,-0.10167269766802668,-0.04622986368661633,-0.088253430558416,-0.07034456630769609,-0.05320234331516538,-0.11123021586433747,-0.05442335321310334,-0.05456669221062031,-0.052031830819344545,-0.0511649995170857,-0.10616524683571874,-0.09374922694925088,-0.09958703525623837,-0.05506765244390944,-0.06028077316510294,-0.11031615041887517,-0.04700969028444913,-0.07049937539694358,0.02267403942939685,-0.09023817703772322,-0.04784635000369347,-0.04351692719541042,-0.05618223461953897,-0.05121894914063983,-0.05195648772307266,-0.1123421408862571,-0.10598874984414236,-0.0761845989263459,-0.07152336269831851,-0.10597521280618892,-0.06187981371740582,-0.06142777602889994,-0.08005270755902458,-0.0981708341341071,-0.06566312922377981,-0.046444148214770775,0.054112775126086934,-0.05824869767524599,-0.10861032830990171,-0.0581345069611092,-0.05434043673824557,-0.044242099748614705,-0.04795903948081449,-0.09784000894963875,-0.05251593164277768,-0.05843202854983019,-0.09329561234791145,-0.06122768316104116,-0.0527228193374945,-0.05386577439113486,-0.056238971972632,-0.05973175926463364,-0.026970319351677263,1.499470159493112,-0.053033630306303294,-0.0645914900006408,-0.07661199868541703,-0.03133876647841417,-0.10841651604833326,-0.10299429428691578,-0.10324912719053833,-0.11414489821339434,-0.05079823868522981,0.11061783545247293,-0.018187462475423636,-0.11204076948619311,-0.06414110907094031,-0.0541124552394025,-0.05220022780243059,-0.06382055381555639,-0.055252502941412075,-0.08110409226339595,-0.08126164935199408,-0.10388818558668649,-0.05386290082407664,-0.09870095439301077,-0.08239196053459545,1.586119575163906,-0.05290439869725834,-0.04512822704054145;0.13584908415696187,0.11010393162736025,0.18362274699724984,0.058208186734188386,0.15467329297130736,-0.4630128346744789,0.1565283632115065,0.17788746034284109,-0.06715627758310551,0.17771759982521057,0.13580792106628967,0.06954630736439285,-0.9643887053546332,0.1693120505276395,0.17783581845959548,-0.6239875793235049,0.15003820139337898,0.17582052213817226,-0.13753361751618043,-0.7105038169227899,-0.30443663733561754,0.13820604395939248,-0.3571081555495268,0.1379837373561502,0.17535152159668757,-0.050755507640962164,0.17346071881552835,0.17461513224581274,0.1778523580084399,0.18277389387879764,-0.20340879242159074,0.060428479817482735,0.03071822866977688,0.17068481507942568,0.16032927988080123,-0.038196737384256566,0.02528867760218097,0.1358283379787121,-0.5998631553910143,0.0638919509686026,0.13186596604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k{255}	=[0.7884272990536839;1.206428536304961;-0.7506960805472824];
x_a_linear{255}	=[-8.086576148632746,-12.87658288822981,17.838571219824942];
L_a{255}	=[0.031328970075762394,0.02699039771133118,0.040159680976023175,0.03582123423171117,0.03663025158207089,-0.6406638234277928,0.03678145047414335,0.03868493641028272,-3.7035336607952533E-4,0.03954310625347331,0.031991354045239825,0.035886546409618074,-0.3814097750597056,0.039225538904140884,0.039786730837111574,-0.08802497881340542,0.03437598517804296,0.0393638284735042,-0.014824426810748373,-0.1141718930098298,-0.007154047245758463,0.03138134173350831,-0.017481285046487223,0.03967221992723375,0.03944798735224177,0.026718127535311078,0.03969506129592346,0.039801149843973226,0.03933577461194042,0.03982403424719796,0.005924989047670658,0.03618096420514653,0.03418102707110602,0.039289795430000045,0.03959957011420711,0.028102394777427514,0.01562315894323487,0.03938007173847518,-0.07651082000873839,0.03573712416053379,0.031113513821481562,0.019531926504432078,0.04005616568656543,0.03868809213579696,0.03904631522127577,0.005919438914896793,0.030277164777562187,0.03933571418631266,0.03913689014479034,0.02875855438441177,0.04018491862528653,0.040227459636993736,0.03828747085931612,0.03480609063247842,-0.03234121151944825,0.03329173150783512,-0.08977000669566686,0.03970719507831205,0.027161385628441073,0.039974024435586133,0.03932237197736637,0.022343922914231918,0.029163248861705085,0.025188460635888234,0.03901888563417691,0.0398914148786808,-0.008251263472391804,0.04030140508761737,0.0369450151155233,0.03961739699808921,0.03894662842256181,0.03997237595421449,-0.007571070975007111,-0.5605467722758493,0.03973371765814117,0.039649973993067966,0.0391415732205939,-0.0023520353593790505,0.029553868962088413,-0.004756599791412691,0.0204948962849636,0.02442620060965182,0.03925180344245843,-0.11264330239629937,-0.014655642064444509,0.023411310970892274,0.03961069966849683,0.03888567659160674,0.03872045415256317,0.03856533110599034,0.03975736944687383,0.03231016813113347,0.038003262864142025,0.03146641693812735,0.03978036436825715,-0.008660652202578568,0.03779652050187109,-0.5889060112648883,0.039294128650251635,0.028532250985327627;0.08012497744191581,0.06429937045295432,0.11081666262023386,0.05393078630439686,0.09425443799068403,-0.8591519762132976,0.0958650712721225,0.1067613155089959,-0.03608391371613407,0.109025081871259,0.08115223870317526,0.056968828127727765,-0.6231992287468621,0.10396502929834278,0.10781676437667476,-0.30282497347454734,0.09060032753740528,0.107184307011617,-0.07812805913863097,-0.3486294447964036,-0.13069531246429042,0.08107829652458388,-0.15917169327308878,0.09059811655526591,0.10683067045767032,-0.0028398325055315043,0.1066119927567861,0.10689903490697124,0.1075459571176639,0.11039356529039225,-0.0821286883821,0.05303009264581216,0.0390789181470635,0.10432360665980184,0.10036718316530131,0.003689942979705885,0.01637050673327845,0.08925811759313994,-0.28771586723167303,0.054740567553646785,0.07837528309139793,0.03572039955039023,0.10631804347489794,0.10573131365295421,0.1064470182857028,-0.08832809827018179,0.016839973572964195,0.0833929438753341,0.08724758862149007,0.010692795850173551,0.10114279066535763,0.10176740918166727,0.07527231058813807,0.04303088375909834,-0.19686529937018457,0.08861410150889125,-0.310067140813245,0.10283587275181967,0.0015782691856458242,0.10403253963454635,0.10518297924857384,0.04640296387766049,0.07035073802626694,0.004344805496428469,0.10577629772593015,0.10339988671859345,-0.12676942557771445,0.10226748473843807,0.0971561101000596,0.10685450223100869,0.10176012357309182,0.10242859975429755,-0.057684720438849146,-0.7745619356536092,0.10815853720411153,0.09626094532048923,0.08217795098601546,-0.04088052848773291,0.011477933227840091,-0.12229091880501672,-0.020105214418572145,-0.015052428332029672,0.10843889412019367,-0.3463547092515155,-0.0776426267505086,-0.01706551466290651,0.09655199775343073,0.10363937027158905,0.10488132156425621,0.09263169072939105,0.10603561539656214,0.0499721407358136,0.07291039078389716,0.023765108617560243,0.10751850355502239,-0.13383558016849387,0.07094136499176922,-0.8029605817050831,0.10650443946035981,0.07062171158453912;0.056764215300064806,0.04197108020472322,0.08224619054987604,-0.032216669386402656,0.06220620466429596,1.1542383655602735,0.06367959799261719,0.08023365572219307,-0.06622138099007079,0.07789748557671507,0.055050972047409115,-0.021043418683680322,-0.001582013388985501,0.07029358319298927,0.07740071373421131,-0.40178289500880937,0.06326164049598046,0.07645296536869778,-0.10011177289851352,-0.42229551757586714,-0.28637741333755323,0.05898897140493834,-0.31297950618734843,0.03783769672283375,0.07577151948119618,-0.11820105746663787,0.0732570188770071,0.07414362909226548,0.07855561863121721,0.08224462278638991,-0.21836545970686808,-0.03090445587623823,-0.05556619232380722,0.07150414263849585,0.06036663183657367,-0.10913664380834384,-0.014149435848987731,0.03641977773938419,-0.4067240846876977,-0.026320583012685566,0.053324981317496065,0.01166494744456694,0.07049478407137197,0.07710894715894198,0.07753664691587965,-0.23582384101874312,-0.08903327379505817,0.022333636474993313,0.03219675847953143,-0.09599378546945479,0.058761392231392005,0.05987715164190246,0.009314067831622058,-0.04916766713014076,-0.34839675235069906,0.06447225707127592,-0.4164689626341916,0.06521939402507586,-0.11263471623547484,0.06759963879112552,0.07316508210959312,0.02374969809718303,0.04440328820420094,-0.09449469455764313,0.07397779906050048,0.06428913240954716,-0.2683447902585933,0.0605572873448565,0.06721341670876353,0.07698891743698805,0.06694464520992262,0.0638824725222583,-0.0828372785102157,0.6915427067635499,0.07661447572341437,0.05022834364820782,0.020625103974669438,-0.06814493004525402,-0.09963037337707568,-0.27535338084120614,-0.13161571150695864,-0.1377274818990403,0.07864461998902289,-0.42135398149158204,-0.10049472940005214,-0.13930295279210828,0.051870848789174355,0.07310281469505635,0.0755794630572357,0.04828497758328969,0.07300544627866798,-0.01922198586638333,0.004131420595355929,-0.0769426397878478,0.07538487992549575,-0.2867900906697889,8.430533304430234E-4,0.8366791745874868,0.07484193008609931,0.04651061861950913];
x_a{255}	=[-8.086576148632748,-12.876582888229812,17.83857121982494];
std_x_a{255}	=[1.1686693479813641,1.8991748221928901,2.100409442750153];
pred_a{255}	=[-8.086576148632748];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.5 to 25.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{256}	=[-12.945872145365579,-16.483720406528697,28.560785969451373];
std_x_f{256}	=[1.120281041962011,2.1275015718228807,2.9498660097737512];
pred_f{256}	=[-12.945872145365579];
obs{256}	=[-13.457936647685191];
sqrt_r{256}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{256}	=[2.2585086495236126];
L_f{256}	=[0.05898335819639087,0.04505873783689652,0.08561053948987787,0.02234282032645157,0.0701938029034565,-0.051520204583628715,0.0715291903059323,0.08258038145997501,-0.04651433732884144,0.08297798058005172,0.05954234501197675,0.02782135401201116,-0.36731996127476246,0.0788264090648825,0.08275810919154351,-0.3062995066137184,0.0678057941814297,0.08224931571026693,-0.08316726620987597,-0.3413891101242088,-0.1607308858978872,0.06011660014419247,-0.1870331745878281,0.06303958772844007,0.08165908647860873,-0.03424624002940873,0.0816908327701008,0.08160396349449371,0.08256291825551497,0.08530256893205665,-0.11093647868681396,0.022758060690993117,0.008070766612848512,0.0792508965214062,0.07386135994081618,-0.027954881296841934,8.124906456515021E-4,0.061714653188599,-0.2972616492207287,0.025534632474710346,0.057328656899948746,0.019092977608769924,0.08043943285668165,0.08096862639329712,0.08215781572631312,-0.12010232080903353,-0.014404380069729626,0.054752585950343206,0.05956442216117824,-0.020280444415223055,0.0736948453140894,0.07529371694404202,0.04669305195481935,0.011990716900017514,-0.2209199358809468,0.06691484469423563,-0.31477770374906544,0.07685319645470547,-0.029899858956320264,0.07797245547861627,0.0801136309615398,0.029148058527275655,0.04994577527005971,-0.024507510486138244,0.0806852141235136,0.07704510159785447,-0.1542779143377187,0.0752658178842075,0.0732865982418367,0.08207727235178498,0.07637542153821225,0.07647989989585258,-0.0655561769836844,-0.18929452494171728,0.08245095778062225,0.06925018795224755,0.053475228394661865,-0.05129114443995163,-0.02028445677290234,-0.1524507773108083,-0.04992767410879071,-0.046552810898135566,0.08312948649106915,-0.3397215105324733,-0.08256493724698827,-0.048807370863030594,0.06966407498125025,0.07960671792796546,0.080354991159244,0.0665956989302091,0.08042305455971414,0.02268084207552543,0.04358078694107836,-0.006827916373561171,0.08238414014034146,-0.16323164415010183,0.04134201031381701,-0.14709125656210134,0.08129404717884485,0.05051504903756115;0.03905265069159753,0.022507495182044063,0.06923386269955266,-0.03501797641627001,0.0481858650175049,1.192836381983367,0.0500210739659246,0.06669226213715877,-0.08652278877849601,0.0653851130736641,0.038309097383882405,-0.025968055817202164,0.17545797844323058,0.058247351170810216,0.0647937695992326,-0.34682729434891796,0.04767085890804134,0.06414749529682978,-0.12009817639058126,-0.34828481606241557,-0.2695874455621099,0.040784099909930226,-0.29273008178691096,0.030377961449051714,0.06343801607077805,-0.116785198438339,0.06158989416048522,0.062355479237405954,0.06606685218533791,0.06967024154217218,-0.21096267978017644,-0.0346614872850307,-0.05733702732142499,0.059250631561803484,0.049629817509693364,-0.10828751839614917,-0.03435977509972078,0.028023759265481295,-0.35454597228453677,-0.030109227063765672,0.03561429313295567,-0.009000310089201756,0.05976987327954382,0.06431445568696302,0.06459537092637178,-0.22536984914724517,-0.08907700151721278,0.015819179602512095,0.024317617752971112,-0.0966161683619086,0.04849306822333124,0.04988134345295284,0.0028967974358093916,-0.05133718178879259,-0.3201865928451226,0.048141166195662506,-0.3562215656804935,0.054302206445828415,-0.11101143956457403,0.05619609619735824,0.06035625100847209,0.0033562658263719364,0.026692041170095746,-0.0972120579264264,0.061416965585578256,0.05368007489369031,-0.2556106048544876,0.050225513437827767,0.05281535317753671,0.06455359735350266,0.054915194494977414,0.0532293882575041,-0.10376100771125044,0.8142831086560047,0.06388881500153684,0.04074932135594577,0.01437269020304134,-0.08954797273969058,-0.09884248915846548,-0.26076176244040766,-0.13187983923802019,-0.13466615286117192,0.06565851011996823,-0.3486855995553841,-0.12058191466959854,-0.13697247314850727,0.0424435761932905,0.06091193863736212,0.06221186284948543,0.03798148944693684,0.06037768223848558,-0.02684580811506837,-0.0013763979812052665,-0.07816041978363188,0.06313548981067907,-0.27086683183662136,-0.006488265087913311,0.9367620482679073,0.0624894130467279,0.028589159124237117;-0.10889665095811579,-0.08972887255397745,-0.14833233335293616,-0.10159349006790173,-0.1300304481114299,1.296907849229978,-0.13164092387587592,-0.14279392280999517,0.040731031583581954,-0.14639422089009002,-0.11159429130911645,-0.10304711612224109,1.1077539738471958,-0.14219487273229467,-0.14529050846004238,0.46838502017125017,-0.12340764259159981,-0.14493876777746048,0.10397077261515268,0.562722137960516,0.1439104388439818,-0.11009666145464349,0.19310008287979602,-0.13436693356395135,-0.14476255603519306,-0.037142866852855436,-0.145783855301111,-0.1455606983176515,-0.1443394269024733,-0.14702746024391278,0.0718873690464831,-0.10057982208150681,-0.08665377857900294,-0.14255980822477743,-0.1403349550607113,-0.045810430059223764,-0.03186941161964501,-0.13281447840231506,0.4349488564434289,-0.10158066721446107,-0.10802185514177523,-0.053901165679533056,-0.14594311042824945,-0.14166492829692723,-0.143744029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k{256}	=[0.5572299445428602;0.3386592444601652;-1.1042046892310833];
x_a_linear{256}	=[-13.231209819595504,-16.657135783999127,29.12620999410147];
L_a{256}	=[-0.11600907284479592,-0.08862198694435973,-0.16837968565464304,-0.04394408779132731,-0.13805789028096743,0.10133046590227351,-0.14068434389749465,-0.16241993981494704,0.09148487492933476,-0.1632019418354226,-0.11710849383728443,-0.05471932394004899,0.7224486609085427,-0.15503658847049448,-0.16276949653719103,0.6024330058787692,-0.13336113027511598,-0.16176879630856297,0.16357423075029998,0.6714475973537011,0.3161271521443738,-0.11823794471125626,0.36785876285491664,-0.12398690662109484,-0.16060792741224528,0.06735585554494823,-0.16067036634340945,-0.160499510962671,-0.16238559300560532,-0.16777396600813912,0.2181910021852779,-0.04476078679204894,-0.015873666412581183,-0.1558714747464099,-0.14527127901500414,0.05498194677107062,-0.0015980149211455405,-0.12138101180182682,0.584657255417542,-0.05022177660621936,-0.1127545893920873,-0.037552263858305936,-0.15820910018032577,-0.1592499234466751,-0.16158883320323328,0.2362184743224193,0.028330682210895883,-0.1076879466714218,-0.11715191540038686,0.039887785731983025,-0.14494377634217662,-0.14808845343518054,-0.0918363726856081,-0.023583464774655352,0.43450759194054456,-0.13160880170106629,0.6191080108147746,-0.15115565370462203,0.0588073487468051,-0.15335702381319957,-0.15756830967700045,-0.05732869996510307,-0.09823386220740302,0.04820162256215816,-0.15869250529254178,-0.15153309470512813,0.30343538160637856,-0.14803358127863317,-0.14414083182033438,-0.16143041966950947,-0.15021596110681623,-0.15042145021040082,0.128936560136244,0.37230640988543107,-0.16216538799719737,-0.13620197873303969,-0.1051756267517507,0.10087994806629001,0.03989567727815015,0.2998417497933761,0.09819826065807707,0.0915605451393621,-0.16349992521251538,0.6681677454017406,0.16238956397870788,0.09599483676327433,-0.1370160159795663,-0.1565713079321674,-0.1580430193851877,-0.1309811025445726,-0.15817688717814904,-0.04460891242848784,-0.08571513798938708,0.013429215836122064,-0.16203397037813203,0.3210456690806669,-0.08131188919554198,0.2893005895074569,-0.15988996437974842,-0.09935351568224951;-0.06729986152178291,-0.05873762399483004,-0.08512994812952306,-0.0753041714433231,-0.07838012764329162,1.2857321301191786,-0.07895274709552791,-0.082207890318809,-0.002653087558846078,-0.08423194778777675,-0.06905132034640267,-0.07613255954897286,0.8377702282412249,-0.08388403790501213,-0.08442684258165276,0.20545936775709214,-0.07458933064928541,-0.08415571464406486,0.02986018416747427,0.2672716835032805,0.020225376702195492,-0.0676117535403631,0.04450822733799078,-0.0832883120359603,-0.0838009553545741,-0.05503602422443491,-0.08570631879801963,-0.08478410029130647,-0.08280181247945695,-0.08413826956315822,-0.010933831555479256,-0.07569639953151204,-0.07188937447511462,-0.08364614810527755,-0.08354912355784301,-0.057882252479501135,-0.035824771735334444,-0.08325353330797966,0.18144458752817322,-0.0761505579606725,-0.06775463785988103,-0.04342673470147054,-0.0852699485773798,-0.08167955161797685,-0.08354285598441849,-0.00881413019057778,-0.06310455684576212,-0.0829048544989296,-0.08308260714245154,-0.06004863002030987,-0.08438563139620761,-0.0858802712760645,-0.08129514297169348,-0.07295756598784497,0.07815271670601259,-0.07251255809560023,0.2113520789228881,-0.08427129571679529,-0.057099196991973605,-0.08439553468242132,-0.08409611955554856,-0.04920041024820426,-0.06336486363904438,-0.053022724053333276,-0.08406602288616477,-0.08523945019310507,0.022566906066907203,-0.08548579667659116,-0.07932723878273173,-0.08343940231887424,-0.08279683480148006,-0.0846710252908289,0.014442911606223189,1.155598843998824,-0.08477797445408788,-0.08411524528076603,-0.0820481487397064,0.002934758530466077,-0.06226771616064924,0.014121249508531789,-0.04185557251585591,-0.05072708019721328,-0.08423173007111107,0.2638640619568301,0.028290390425681714,-0.048968217973171135,-0.08316726747228145,-0.08262642030977432,-0.08267570272816405,-0.08209678517844801,-0.08463260801695632,-0.06774148797472511,-0.07995663344333882,-0.06584904786931547,-0.08541082118930435,0.023455091480829273,-0.08103177687281808,1.2019813429699107,-0.08409135837486653,-0.06249419953836721;0.23786766927981606,0.17517233135452698,0.35497370820145285,0.029760389053451217,0.28264029653636746,0.9940195555272571,0.28888058951472606,0.34269776022729903,-0.23272767030057945,0.34143495517602634,0.23845632338636732,0.06051517003908157,-1.0517272862255855,0.3212271329319005,0.3412460393986058,-1.3323557895749643,0.27522395192068566,0.33860657322095894,-0.384971217382958,-1.4443111393698567,-0.8010295932926048,0.24333001043146146,-0.9064716205817933,0.23624403968628913,0.3353128157285312,-0.23847718398282877,0.3344781535332365,0.3341906043408092,0.34104958961312754,0.3544680163578911,-0.5803103660051079,0.03321526329104366,-0.03920558329339305,0.32335776752582895,0.29389742937638785,-0.2101577257482068,-0.027092763170756387,0.2300071786896627,-1.3126582123439803,0.0485379381578613,0.22901444370498555,0.05834682433450898,0.32696189375950313,0.33435121507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x_a{256}	=[-13.231209819595495,-16.657135783999124,29.12620999410144];
std_x_a{256}	=[2.2033802241454445,2.4200431523614965,4.778263815127895];
pred_a{256}	=[-13.231209819595495];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.6 to 25.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{257}	=[-11.999682329633377,-6.497999812084588,36.56921836885334];
std_x_f{257}	=[1.5350820845507815,4.456854991083336,2.993025973703603];
pred_f{257}	=[-11.999682329633377];
obs{257}	=[-12.374999882485742];
sqrt_r{257}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{257}	=[3.35745000761517];
L_f{257}	=[0.031192968861533228,0.013992552551523275,0.06417209866085508,-0.036702701306088076,0.042133506825415556,0.7967121378793083,0.045022780104984186,0.06034982039855724,-0.08793155391750092,0.059643242940024516,0.030683106518052877,-0.02732346100467333,0.26331723085189035,0.05325074182170031,0.05999954767395682,-0.21334421857335228,0.0413727057073164,0.05866472123952797,-0.11664709412653118,-0.18251084778341264,-0.2236344062676771,0.03255668798386744,-0.23442018762080669,0.025998071256009104,0.05837048820016029,-0.10976206688330875,0.05718018999874078,0.057184063581630605,0.06037575806173149,0.06385265914499948,-0.18456984656087652,-0.03595878476411475,-0.056857087315189306,0.05407802705916221,0.04440796912519574,-0.10260910642419094,-0.039969503608550616,0.023733041868931125,-0.2264743414472119,-0.03154038894178051,0.02883357833605277,-0.017335239273679998,0.05492145465499062,0.058046871410199284,0.059065809009540914,-0.19609103722896742,-0.08558562227521492,0.01189765498957278,0.02055434047560602,-0.09249456997473461,0.04354586236179341,0.045406086584965206,4.777642464744093E-5,-0.051295402484554296,-0.24382461925943116,0.04110133191166585,-0.21385378247202827,0.0494232218313593,-0.104966524777738,0.05081233072962819,0.05567223441149947,-0.005132337565967561,0.018383406258920067,-0.0935793312921685,0.05630289067204865,0.04966284411433117,-0.21484667470659236,0.04529207018846046,0.04655881766644614,0.058870549799014175,0.04947146689397258,0.04865353108857322,-0.10324667743082419,0.5790807493552839,0.05891157592054735,0.03617973356973843,0.010465034079196732,-0.09137161284516446,-0.09375432790261648,-0.2183598042803181,-0.12362625268866534,-0.12492076260686065,0.060216963900914355,-0.18474745400610046,-0.1160451985587524,-0.12721112969297543,0.03746397579903764,0.05547474901134279,0.05657679426721778,0.033471919713767895,0.05543874259358383,-0.029815582699056577,-0.004515132819008175,-0.0753504051563525,0.05849257298441682,-0.22419493106179067,-0.008460830972201017,0.6446402550949597,0.05736328293322871,0.02033624322539464;0.21766510075381978,0.15588847523202978,0.334307996892345,0.030884023144800668,0.26490380242655415,0.8598631166933998,0.27045266519040667,0.3210997029010293,-0.24626024451283104,0.32127218311320743,0.21903823973793232,0.059072608848422525,-0.6976322720697665,0.3027640452127026,0.32100402948000717,-1.25295816687121,0.2556974476520287,0.3192115252279442,-0.3982102651655165,-1.322853195127632,-0.7775461997726121,0.2229830394403164,-0.8803109167969031,0.22434957156402768,0.3158711015930832,-0.2276465926863885,0.3158315007428585,0.3148981526823653,0.32124837391197825,0.33321943962380585,-0.5646536712251046,0.03388201951376667,-0.0351908899477182,0.30429593323061765,0.2776200639035726,-0.20036488796283128,-0.041573732225180265,0.2186831505809775,-1.2401534035127557,0.04743738936580183,0.20936144889011396,0.04065301876386521,0.30918442323827355,0.3141820177481965,0.31852280231525537,-0.6086837423325563,-0.1382038937851086,0.18412211459889144,0.20896740427569513,-0.16453838813766103,0.27569260522362743,0.2835678095690031,0.147201798272961,-0.016558801841410876,-1.0061013678505126,0.25284261032607536,-1.280570405946231,0.29246417611115066,-0.20915170634864963,0.29654923578980164,0.30858902782998343,0.08528946992183152,0.1762737945404872,-0.17921763420708084,0.311351191075411,0.29239173882306885,-0.7455149784724482,0.2830207584521667,0.27878955841443076,0.3177320141751928,0.2904537565297758,0.29043960186856765,-0.3259557136336842,0.22720332630022028,0.31937833249670067,0.2548516847593768,0.1788473636171625,-0.26623212304177013,-0.16516752924559983,-0.7431792025713638,-0.2956466575937847,-0.28449841824275046,0.32333929518957116,-1.319963070550141,-0.3957781936156368,-0.2944801128290917,0.2576703552238738,0.30641681279543415,0.31095240165787247,0.24383203677080337,0.30996704162107375,0.03905070704812594,0.1323724445152269,-0.10248685401937853,0.3192712283434511,-0.786916069665457,0.12219399463102613,0.4238544396085656,0.3142330399018916,0.17967772191274536;0.12097938203083657,0.10717716894939844,0.14384750110094874,0.1109107862041379,0.1330588879657833,-0.661855264760202,0.134299172998021,0.1406451574582581,-0.00196944336370762,0.141509653869355,0.12214014738921333,0.11423993606156477,-1.4845310102737614,0.14054057492524602,0.14199524420580606,-0.6948204034957158,0.12935160177859265,0.1417067423873039,-0.06978728126134302,-0.8764427904717306,-0.15988884621550206,0.1209557128636682,-0.230425348743531,0.13483536752965378,0.14084920941280007,0.058989768769518294,0.142723715620426,0.14207118283059475,0.14064991048726355,0.14266157711063568,-0.0587467739355132,0.11153573274709147,0.10046540878290601,0.14077043108783688,0.1384910001081656,0.06572191914047053,0.06355519162028653,0.13437684944424996,-0.6406802069459195,0.11323446641317891,0.12084330539654321,0.08155556691487165,0.1420951785934732,0.1394803723845957,0.14116915482480286,-0.07157506559794481,0.079678865730154,0.1314484604430575,0.1337447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k{257}	=[0.7021549099072636;1.3983265002794423;-0.2329866463008336];
x_a_linear{257}	=[-12.263213392143044,-7.0228162922580815,36.65666234679025];
L_a{257}	=[-0.026772861389723724,-0.012009779242666411,-0.055078781059966615,0.031501853480452036,-0.036163102752649806,-0.6838163988057372,-0.03864296010044818,-0.0517981274433226,0.07547147292284226,-0.051191673455490416,-0.02633524758289321,0.023451670708643225,-0.2260046408027938,-0.04570500281717235,-0.05149748908004415,0.18311290655013718,-0.035510108708689474,-0.05035181028085892,0.10011796236602821,0.15664868744994745,0.19194495360655386,-0.02794333872385766,0.20120236768692104,-0.022314091397553516,-0.05009927066482451,0.09420855756183891,-0.049077640152496375,-0.04908096484076996,-0.05182038968658691,-0.05480460677670545,0.1584159218903546,0.030863351433654873,0.04880032177989227,-0.04641506004483307,-0.038115269093675914,0.08806918622632322,0.03430574321662013,-0.020370021306210837,0.194382464163981,0.02707105133418694,-0.02474780132624208,0.014878800421086894,-0.04713897222567175,-0.04982151103574033,-0.050696063093707174,0.1683045362819705,0.07345796459128541,-0.01021173294894022,-0.01764174840020465,0.07938790027420137,-0.03737532462150433,-0.038971951268421526,-4.1006407580550284E-5,0.04402673906242465,0.2092741721319448,-0.03527718913479431,0.1835502642024024,-0.04241985023606717,0.09009255357866713,-0.0436121195629682,-0.04778336495547076,0.004405074838143108,-0.015778440001201346,0.08031894869480892,-0.04832465593431927,-0.0426255175515566,0.1844024615770389,-0.03887409122844511,-0.03996133799852465,-0.05052847251258276,-0.04246125887465555,-0.04175922624541607,0.088616412117596,-0.49702382305344533,-0.05056368514880345,-0.031052991341720158,-0.00898211735102212,0.07842406846614099,0.08046914792771921,0.1874177735064362,0.1061081598887574,0.10721923510449945,-0.05168409698306394,0.1585683619974147,0.09960135663097404,0.10918505249111424,-0.03215525382107851,-0.04761386364033919,-0.04855974682996823,-0.02872888024614343,-0.04758295940560359,0.02559065366298224,0.0038753292659028976,0.06467309866738308,-0.05020405578550986,0.19242605089116696,0.007261913922530201,-0.5532934127721612,-0.04923478844377456,-0.01745455597631881;0.10222738835252417,0.10410538705042607,0.09682241793757468,0.16671193668937262,0.1089777773995394,-2.0885778299633313,0.10383413124010882,0.09775946101627361,0.07915339204053741,0.10054681529861254,0.10548740584545047,0.1601901987536005,-1.6721063242293552,0.10569579413161824,0.09896006311887616,-0.463422273206382,0.10258696548198123,0.10210743203910685,0.03347271326462702,-0.6474242274630699,0.05007121581742401,0.10249852894362323,-0.012777905759930257,0.12813693191559175,0.09985589446469988,0.17855654769735607,0.1042213023860729,0.10327361912236233,0.09781214294342717,0.09691602986635102,0.1183951581385034,0.1669568759766583,0.17522358270480867,0.10416609747832412,0.11327679824790395,0.17936685766644533,0.10634383480308446,0.1308528426088457,-0.4020260674996668,0.16416082033669024,0.10265527615507468,0.10480659050517231,0.10593326380977734,0.09936443890885364,0.09993437928119028,0.11700225634851501,0.17852801120761713,0.140091740926129,0.13290070940756535,0.17776187878537966,0.11453979037290213,0.11553075007232318,0.14702498915958345,0.17327320632062468,-0.10376480606412918,0.1007364176263447,-0.48914873824538413,0.10956066048107599,0.17930428041055357,0.10850496058008371,0.10255941220537154,0.10428302294067116,0.10824120764266258,0.1670970747378739,0.10298766756429667,0.10860143847206996,0.049581145761468944,0.11540564635161812,0.1064865170661764,0.09986619874826416,0.10737169746936932,0.11038452746888905,0.056135529702458095,-1.9158359367446585,0.10136068921268243,0.12095914964613938,0.14011877706720344,0.07191234829997396,0.18179480027300987,0.06491817342414241,0.16186451636577542,0.177803427111398,0.10049072340629302,-0.636256958538219,0.0336773133687027,0.176297832961471,0.11902514697530484,0.1011180433729883,0.10157522649387535,0.11996047268245719,0.10480152333340476,0.1493910429093648,0.14908187048003368,0.17636696199191884,0.10280421464685861,0.04277571403823682,0.15350550514419728,-1.961804863944243,0.10194525841385713,0.10441815277083885;0.1402134060328442,0.11580517395976032,0.1834169211000882,0.08827938356357838,0.15903900179099206,-0.1705913376013253,0.1620608534273647,0.17785770683806895,-0.05618927816335934,0.17828651763498093,0.14105978308801811,0.09739190511219614,-1.3221658964934873,0.17337573245288923,0.1789918104894852,-0.8263714539566346,0.1548625949173009,0.17788023588838697,-0.14171352265739337,-0.9889815501670903,-0.2977849713622059,0.1410306252866336,-0.3749721386072545,0.15086614448979843,0.17684127467707472,-0.00869106784193319,0.17798182624648431,0.17733168196242896,0.17787845339555972,0.18203402620449105,-0.17255514128128904,0.08936303952554606,0.06540652782293534,0.17411570434651055,0.1658735794267935,0.00245169870879983,0.038909432661983774,0.1490109773778242,-0.7803274761292738,0.09378621829573273,0.13862249596481677,0.07086641418463326,0.17596052118873834,0.17527289097752896,0.1775899646948276,-0.19248756140374249,0.026905565427269452,0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x_a{257}	=[-12.263213392143042,-7.022816292258068,36.656662346790235];
std_x_a{257}	=[1.3175578141973003,4.175942992204743,2.9807435329019674];
pred_a{257}	=[-12.263213392143042];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.7 to 25.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{258}	=[-5.970681258600903,-0.2631257612500736,30.945315401899975];
std_x_f{258}	=[2.032428259155787,2.472594570855769,2.925444226097397];
pred_f{258}	=[-5.970681258600903];
obs{258}	=[-5.66748062818171];
sqrt_r{258}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{258}	=[5.135012468890559];
L_f{258}	=[0.0651754576166218,0.06148594810907779,0.07050444922178162,0.08870281634794136,0.07174695834456231,-0.6163448216442744,0.06978201911314717,0.07021340555263486,0.018214804492934226,0.07128485450401027,0.0670212309713566,0.08716684958841825,-1.0000087399215685,0.07346015067839116,0.07059680485789145,-0.4153762757232617,0.0677459673199332,0.0717488162987379,-0.02061817423048706,-0.5471755780825542,-0.034590968333507485,0.06541507279211037,-0.08254460796946168,0.07978382511991976,0.07069303342528198,0.08007966297451578,0.07303053179791613,0.07248399427807362,0.06969730168382346,0.07023370482559917,0.02267660907017756,0.08871544325989399,0.08894254397846739,0.07237086478610423,0.07502569197995042,0.08143315597194567,0.04978398566917052,0.08063538749497712,-0.3731361297973828,0.08833039042985723,0.06470531699174274,0.053700060120062156,0.07363977892047677,0.06944127158592975,0.07067021761708323,0.01878097211496368,0.08530943815005568,0.08373633065768789,0.08154363217936578,0.08319871517479858,0.07576122892070923,0.07728232454300885,0.085259920219684,0.08955454823928478,-0.1519554145948319,0.06629057934898233,-0.43617296354576496,0.07425617954177013,0.08136602824612638,0.07392118183398035,0.07132508138163035,0.05632443084909993,0.06474843930166922,0.0757161303672914,0.07205341242811217,0.07422338719002707,-0.03336490482809599,0.07653102177481019,0.07118564638142662,0.07083980076135604,0.07285608169482095,0.07466746361152826,-7.460640439910349E-4,-0.797482029320648,0.07162847559161316,0.07780167758143611,0.08313861993560406,0.012444444482504837,0.08557343586850222,-0.02286611026998283,0.06558726698582522,0.07574271709805819,0.07136800647441899,-0.5401753178362988,-0.019609994957005383,0.07419519053019924,0.07721723240721874,0.07082906585164297,0.0713506759688844,0.07674172908346391,0.0735681736864326,0.07877774349834483,0.08547830784956699,0.0863264468289828,0.07256301682968841,-0.040158680873343185,0.08751312268920419,-0.7433159104088093,0.07139917456261262,0.06332780987438852;0.09067750049857738,0.07122032912583919,0.12588383118611213,0.0657061307592518,0.10844097833392008,0.6014902921213662,0.10909391042851148,0.12163485095224395,-0.07514287090108432,0.12291937280308649,0.09261786731587572,0.07099605275280253,-0.6677137192503219,0.11943519430807514,0.12246970079318119,-0.8116081278539675,0.10284617854404572,0.12284468568673235,-0.15610989953660648,-0.9525326786553905,-0.2707423448431171,0.09173227582700191,-0.35062071496143404,0.1063977878998135,0.12084849190510905,-0.006866089823762442,0.12325574326668805,0.12207588583159426,0.1211467236343293,0.12498795192114003,-0.1515297570474527,0.06756787373827931,0.05023344467470107,0.11951749588848215,0.1155033608761111,0.0024181677750170732,0.009127732578915235,0.10536775410595854,-0.7665673338680655,0.07001338150733367,0.0885209304070626,0.034193598952301556,0.12193001468858006,0.11995295406513672,0.12162385660033775,-0.16772513033337982,0.02079056490602341,0.09932919031678843,0.10382678789581556,0.012225177768978024,0.11562739388241815,0.11977575287644049,0.09169031194746032,0.05515275545743649,-0.4634918897519475,0.10078629742025075,-0.8413443754647872,0.11811344544341891,-4.050948178258272E-4,0.11890039210881673,0.11984867064534734,0.04856578776910902,0.08031822617622769,6.927372578192435E-4,0.12136156241780179,0.11843341141701644,-0.26086525582583253,0.11796964471163932,0.11176052670355997,0.12141936075362389,0.11674509793998536,0.11823536226586298,-0.11644183363844655,0.07696364122647653,0.12263064496485589,0.11142463485475172,0.09733817395617261,-0.08649961058064443,0.015671509166457064,-0.2482149484918726,-0.038594856986001486,-0.02535421594005634,0.12329071911278894,-0.9461627703763675,-0.1539444071864702,-0.029421419629135765,0.11184412706852308,0.11879749927250904,0.119938053061518,0.10844933633145756,0.12187186897446678,0.058436701076639286,0.0877705555479078,0.030651877433476596,0.1231006836837592,-0.2789718195562929,0.08771848896636074,0.2341319165776497,0.12128724221865371,0.07929273199048442;-0.03175773036922405,-0.04253893128303753,-0.010326905858328916,-0.08939957698560033,-0.02746465359721784,1.4075269420044665,-0.023106965458692282,-0.012887188047634189,-0.10456751494306665,-0.014748586634161719,-0.03284394181008203,-0.08122833311589177,1.3501654365583247,-0.01953751689374463,-0.013607142444335904,0.018313455440274,-0.024878567539111072,-0.01563148147846339,-0.11455333383961852,0.1719284098595342,-0.20467823029486454,-0.03067390049541561,-0.19726458836008698,-0.04118874876130469,-0.014914547941579677,-0.1410821917059659,-0.016890771238009986,-0.016290015714965668,-0.012640236930500153,-0.011199860470445243,-0.18724298386240557,-0.08861429801990643,-0.10454893195404971,-0.01788085946319599,-0.026767680759332006,-0.1368807836908726,-0.07748969624660322,-0.04304640219623868,-0.029361828132049277,-0.08473118275430186,-0.032148845290694644,-0.062385030531244556,-0.018255432531994284,-0.015140210052637996,-0.01441538539624247,-0.1959657077674897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k{258}	=[0.8052585059805993;0.53000360171872;-0.9392088980364492];
x_a_linear{258}	=[-5.726526371937167,-0.10242833508451446,30.66054667192001];
L_a{258}	=[-0.03680988434532608,-0.0347261181052399,-0.039819599533165634,-0.05009769827898693,-0.040521345539716216,0.34810007372744967,-0.03941158446554857,-0.03965522349051865,-0.010287382264373089,-0.04026035789884211,-0.03785234275221772,-0.04923021286585976,0.5647863077134787,-0.04148892465577699,-0.03987176027599992,0.23459678272003567,-0.03826166034119255,-0.040522394877623796,0.01164476072113476,0.3090345734783004,0.019536334539284075,-0.03694521453278722,0.04661965690458394,-0.04506041818021653,-0.03992610837827472,-0.045227501889497326,-0.041246283915210374,-0.04093760970514009,-0.039363737639619506,-0.039666688141745246,-0.012807326373179603,-0.050104829723638195,-0.05023309197895828,-0.0408737162755006,-0.04237311321931874,-0.045991929520994186,-0.02811706770838505,-0.04554136474637769,0.2107403351687605,-0.04988735905816354,-0.03654435767837683,-0.03032879360792438,-0.04159037534071431,-0.039219136609768133,-0.03991322243482687,-0.010607143190480546,-0.048181181486134136,-0.047292719678969655,-0.04605432442494666,-0.04698908446916699,-0.042788530781559996,-0.0436476172534093,-0.048153214681501466,-0.05057874058478847,0.08582158747214268,-0.03743968432679463,0.24634236459251302,-0.04193850692904423,-0.04595401703193568,-0.04174930646416642,-0.04028307728995836,-0.031810989307774665,-0.03656871235572221,-0.0427630599587048,-0.040694425097346394,-0.04191998641964987,0.018843876711067437,-0.043223295445522746,-0.040204326999298566,-0.04000899983564418,-0.04114775774671395,-0.042170792510066495,4.213630740433023E-4,0.4504029943210164,-0.04045442868799826,-0.04394093817478053,-0.04695514379754999,-0.007028390423238249,-0.048330282479649496,0.012914353120719507,-0.03704246660568957,-0.04277807564897276,-0.04030732058273815,0.30508095689508247,0.01107535984827054,-0.04190406147143861,-0.04361085442767947,-0.04000293695861276,-0.04029753263605234,-0.043342299008303636,-0.04154993403841939,-0.04449220202207376,-0.04827655594664043,-0.04875556904271569,-0.040982240170225975,0.022680874864031926,-0.049425781462659,0.41981097938944145,-0.04032492373833737,-0.03576636731929185;0.023552970722235167,0.007895643644507832,0.05327094630250708,-0.02564934344725999,0.034548427090316455,1.236266906599703,0.03722505992704355,0.049321713399155906,-0.09390238915024166,0.049502744616093164,0.02359236632980197,-0.018777521605891554,0.36220028356826073,0.043778217711278274,0.0497616983780263,-0.3838100239698226,0.033074267967783046,0.048950220926830046,-0.134875138774218,-0.38899381407329076,-0.23511693354868432,0.02436096518298194,-0.26560761036438146,0.024228027367641212,0.048041383207108504,-0.08934053524202473,0.04804123330364407,0.04742425759375984,0.04936512403703915,0.05265390804529878,-0.17488451014656128,-0.023800604988005,-0.041368926217492996,0.044982380280247716,0.03823402546273744,-0.08145024685083364,-0.04214504325784376,0.02232096522460024,-0.3822725675383249,-0.020958529383442618,0.02188060081170542,-0.02111236154779312,0.046088038066843535,0.04843504114620912,0.048840246017315,-0.18706774744816976,-0.06707005212240286,0.013088724562695461,0.019844593271392628,-0.07346159511038769,0.037600525294947194,0.04018230029975833,0.0038806936831890615,-0.03707992168393111,-0.30699224825121896,0.032513298194435686,-0.3921276587769959,0.04163663473886622,-0.08420437426311402,0.04276859721901789,0.046390612595897225,-0.009443025270689376,0.013633484698199968,-0.07728768410392471,0.04715339258081085,0.041990373719535984,-0.22650257346781585,0.03914996261358803,0.03844607345820776,0.048461095642139414,0.041710255010636986,0.041334968040817495,-0.11567345854807914,0.8982943718538241,0.0488601197011096,0.03129629798623363,0.011713293464221793,-0.09931620619443406,-0.07246100043259007,-0.22466502715928865,-0.10614351129136386,-0.10336201910879138,0.04978845229558451,-0.3898335088338975,-0.13374797530027938,-0.10583541744563275,0.03231771320805103,0.04585029009822927,0.046453635018643025,0.029412645722364825,0.04610363894140819,-0.022696890961525797,-2.639812286522276E-4,-0.058256161919976054,0.04836766972478332,-0.23761219327000402,-0.002411713790728339,0.9996766904242457,0.04775287523153033,0.014071103864932974;0.08719232098516594,0.06967749116495643,0.11834895101060854,0.0724896516552076,0.10347887471382007,0.2826518606839611,0.10425040280019868,0.11525749250651549,-0.07132414375587086,0.11535156784300017,0.08947478301992379,0.0778576420978588,-0.4749247940037537,0.1145327146816965,0.1152372703206371,-0.7397791017200194,0.09876285496014188,0.11531543773695233,-0.15218303331908523,-0.826707664100131,-0.267809316905286,0.08871346635275013,-0.3479146292811865,0.10442265838965575,0.11410548910669609,0.005069141504337293,0.11639537396866449,0.1159986579214319,0.11456251572710266,0.11698186776468533,-0.14585648790087785,0.07329797567313752,0.05777781741933125,0.11420134444714901,0.11015977997916764,0.011740774776598916,0.013369775531985236,0.10411916954287678,-0.7103629813983278,0.07647834092237159,0.0859431645014541,0.035621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x_a{258}	=[-5.726526371937168,-0.10242833508451782,30.660546671920006];
std_x_a{258}	=[1.147877619820763,2.213930783272282,2.1727425501223987];
pred_a{258}	=[-5.726526371937168];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.8 to 25.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{259}	=[-2.10735234527533,-0.26826625680582383,23.680709571883195];
std_x_f{259}	=[1.6063352686664216,2.452520426635944,1.3246698092516265];
pred_f{259}	=[-2.10735234527533];
obs{259}	=[-2.018950572255178];
sqrt_r{259}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{259}	=[3.5804248309803466];
L_f{259}	=[0.01057523610702827,-2.6619522369954496E-5,0.03113913234322693,-0.024329155845417783,0.017960886230184256,0.8531545410561754,0.020176248435835913,0.029330699756645925,-0.07019409995502914,0.028801855605090233,0.010808597066635887,-0.01907076540994069,0.4347577995645063,0.024821525280848973,0.028709137517980175,-0.23156759086188874,0.017976159537104165,0.02829497332628045,-0.09780868496432049,-0.20599027069935374,-0.17259251574292098,0.011831114702761504,-0.19174304462606415,0.011215700944716992,0.027805601979098964,-0.06932964829251408,0.028380634561620554,0.028214076756530794,0.028814445707255654,0.03100820003863583,-0.13068580490936085,-0.022937063451874153,-0.035364552158543505,0.025325611319842393,0.02100212110785688,-0.06382412810602563,-0.03444315023176757,0.010127949113309583,-0.23909577984047514,-0.02027784372665828,0.010162984740833124,-0.019970569522824652,0.027060969274296912,0.028353034245018456,0.028723827579196757,-0.1394715354628533,-0.05407146450775628,0.003774127543058302,0.007648558421406936,-0.05792841313009279,0.020599291077883712,0.022344887451247145,-0.003189961960190497,-0.032638584881068265,-0.2159986768078924,0.016558045582322066,-0.23368244252701229,0.0233194836979831,-0.06584308968613753,0.0240922693590927,0.027055424972262872,-0.011342151065758537,0.003978726918432537,-0.060928899435553546,0.027690485952911643,0.023980385350516862,-0.16570856524764746,0.021532626273876584,0.021424195280428205,0.028144210564587276,0.023428522021027104,0.023339795876380867,-0.08546979142512817,0.7044738800867594,0.028377115774596007,0.016034477596704226,0.002397543730262735,-0.07426571727399042,-0.05770227903016792,-0.16531120320539644,-0.08188131018041679,-0.07927850362240203,0.029295205437490354,-0.20852419656588278,-0.09771121684544128,-0.07998869516693988,0.01695821366424427,0.026342337037490997,0.026995945014628688,0.014614616998106853,0.02664143369842142,-0.021242551044228508,-0.005255627575599071,-0.0470908546142191,0.028058576939845283,-0.17359455786870223,-0.008150222848059739,0.749735908755091,0.027769443785509388,0.004383001084799155;0.047516171718889756,0.027246687864454916,0.08346733178836889,-0.001490995083419927,0.061717232452204125,1.1071712657151078,0.06435306908375002,0.07938760977814312,-0.11154819169585618,0.07891147127224639,0.04766192886388576,0.006203326189785599,0.41642475833034154,0.07326426636412758,0.0792631874478296,-0.581530618357249,0.05899508298420622,0.07816044011610633,-0.1760367446869175,-0.5860416415959416,-0.31146372562683305,0.04798550559591728,-0.36735125677479574,0.0532033187895827,0.07744447565420984,-0.08183848477228818,0.07929876484899993,0.07887495793689576,0.07838156477090891,0.0824053528236655,-0.2127944294165502,1.4692420613415127E-4,-0.020362474487990632,0.07368782177012995,0.06790198175783584,-0.07228553301548458,-0.03582999153547504,0.05128746131997629,-0.5783513906072557,0.003956352668866344,0.0452127497400207,-0.00997677827313801,0.0769661625157841,0.07737412303591581,0.0787021079122171,-0.22927359992981122,-0.05332657199893758,0.04251648178367022,0.048548806184180233,-0.061425763510775055,0.06716402920422526,0.07031740348660437,0.032100169950817437,-0.015324253226302029,-0.4414728791278978,0.05732537684612891,-0.5941064407435888,0.07145998563286203,-0.07487107890675528,0.07255894835393974,0.07543896901229559,0.004945499995825385,0.034917791913524475,-0.0689340621550376,0.07651566429787078,0.07191415164784798,-0.29992725996142555,0.06816873233926518,0.06658877983491045,0.07784987746359746,0.07085688094239496,0.07109936709967668,-0.14479455435004496,0.8766880302684147,0.07870996891008682,0.06041430640315357,0.040098040943059354,-0.11998159671958095,-0.059380976850281805,-0.29439791131815063,-0.1088808348336862,-0.10122311364102993,0.07990830876867147,-0.5884129810977016,-0.1740018603475137,-0.10371617891815953,0.06162480595578991,0.07515573665965061,0.07594288282039774,0.057922485185800995,0.07663727298817502,-0.0012688532437575093,0.027494046742957266,-0.04124220536691554,0.07854125175180901,-0.3166043015403178,0.024808573557966267,0.9499228599442906,0.07771225411322298,0.0350283373972741;0.03445669814420318,0.02619765548491737,0.048043649449782566,0.03944305720338153,0.04265031122812004,0.5000169550285678,0.04278341357772551,0.04792386659118908,-0.03980488442161116,0.04700902741931988,0.03592530307159933,0.03975522716413764,-0.3431971466908564,0.048285742512120235,0.04709039697267261,-0.4199691310265411,0.040154701495725545,0.047575040526323664,-0.08250263070654262,-0.5036777327561617,-0.11827850811122553,0.03528914247130643,-0.16209769534987267,0.04611199070748413,0.04662530802123683,0.013349131814666399,0.04836589079708118,0.04831137229448304,0.04658226784319781,0.04702625892086886,-0.05848707344769949,0.039012265688090006,0.03370939701652292,0.04771964561301395,0.04689334647346512,0.015050235941419944,0.00219237373645948,0.04618133262148964,-0.39244076599418776,0.03985150667113278,0.03393477408085057,0.011619599324153044,0.0492865160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k{259}	=[0.7207035345785509;1.0464958393987451;0.3610429924100346];
x_a_linear{259}	=[-2.043640874996696,-0.17575416914476244,23.712626412548744];
L_a{259}	=[-0.00841207527189047,2.1174508409347924E-5,-0.02476963374827115,0.01935263555365841,-0.014286993253773155,-0.6786420790312215,-0.01604920389756743,-0.02333111541274679,0.05583592143837594,-0.022910446146835177,-0.008597702329090073,0.015169847036736068,-0.3458282442079493,-0.019744290993830953,-0.022836693511911497,0.1842005214016859,-0.014299142411121644,-0.0225072464603053,0.07780195277320297,0.16385503310403052,0.13728877720559696,-0.009411064341519107,0.1525220721250789,-0.008921533251751195,-0.022117975850482988,0.05514829306011648,-0.022575385720012626,-0.022442897255513457,-0.0229204609480203,-0.02466548360064374,0.10395406936914796,0.018245295170767926,0.028130745422946555,-0.020145266410417847,-0.01670614460430214,0.05076892509604109,0.027397815936998436,-0.008056280675796343,0.19018882196613326,0.01613001790729898,-0.008084149778003032,0.015885596534045573,-0.021525657504177384,-0.022553431038487306,-0.022848378726260457,0.11094268182059086,0.04301116541486047,-0.003002131078361597,-0.006084048479973479,0.046079176549793724,-0.016385713315618205,-0.017774248563291146,0.0025374563605020444,0.025962373795613187,0.1718162232547373,-0.013171103168213637,0.18588278090075086,-0.01854949148971581,0.05237490879333828,-0.019164204114994317,-0.021521247287179003,0.009022118044901495,-0.003164879723291279,0.048465914434259155,-0.022026406767061264,-0.01907520594111571,0.13181293636874614,-0.017128135124751996,-0.017041883652967982,-0.022387322168617992,-0.018636226062039733,-0.018565648819149273,0.06798697557807955,-0.5603739950952097,-0.02257258669963941,-0.012754630830348446,-0.0019071270014686052,0.05907469086336045,0.04589929810066429,0.13149685459281424,0.06513251691287605,0.06306211352305116,-0.023302881444120564,0.16587064532364487,0.07772442172384175,0.06362703563634017,-0.013489417009386408,-0.020954021239262103,-0.021473933934009086,-0.01162520221900475,-0.0211919377831439,0.016897394681549043,0.004180590799063117,0.03745843682574559,-0.022319204871770523,0.13808585196613854,0.006483097624174601,-0.5963776916806169,-0.022089213802705284,-0.003486459750776087;0.019945691755826413,0.027316087072254996,0.002285142034180193,0.061937045384494176,0.014891776366258516,-1.1170703437893146,0.011751987878545348,0.0029201473253851968,0.07145339869409413,0.003822747500732675,0.019483058355599114,0.055922325396396286,-0.7170233349668454,0.008552579695164424,0.004416187089108577,0.022184472193731705,0.012129808174768851,0.004393198680317161,0.0789582607891498,-0.0490086549633189,0.13849866281596004,0.017140850445721084,0.13253808058064337,0.023963096156395105,0.004953064165422665,0.09890941151578124,0.005308197773135041,0.0053186202797827166,0.0032600176036833278,0.0015645139805781003,0.12791383744812582,0.05994566930376186,0.07183572012648622,0.007661942784600927,0.01314778494125879,0.09410903513393996,0.053966035117643425,0.024883094053901697,0.04499028617704065,0.05682230086158858,0.018717041811964236,0.042088081679641225,0.006416067595233516,0.0034555121762669867,0.003816809397849404,0.13433976387402013,0.08764202801121473,0.03267703169945134,0.028608407258848254,0.08959820771137544,0.013460042251285496,0.012062508227851161,0.040416653991104265,0.06976712831629954,0.12165281666837878,0.014157237682644321,0.015122235969254466,0.010664240598201553,0.09678708234142579,0.009748489759247823,0.0049033285272388006,0.03451538813181785,0.02454493501719064,0.08991241503548283,0.004324369426935587,0.009395383544546094,0.13208812311185927,0.012031466444889479,0.01073420214739747,0.004475686514659788,0.009776864344407972,0.01025066660361051,0.0780319762432172,-0.9599312942424828,0.0047285755913060975,0.018611150537506446,0.03384745412809013,0.07363502321425619,0.09105344482348542,0.1365815173695214,0.10459024031122023,0.10546223820378083,0.003533382823389756,-0.04477384859523854,0.08073903800589477,0.10482069865623803,0.017413396838534663,0.006479173023427793,0.005562311306242256,0.019821018605176665,0.007180940615467775,0.05411216350158197,0.04119588500925165,0.08152739054990796,0.005390314459926239,0.1359704902636293,0.04605685146427178,-1.0046981660755248,0.005315109905258208,0.023601505659093865;0.024944831767587387,0.026221598339452996,0.020035644433640525,0.06132584800969534,0.026495442618276504,-0.267350497669353,0.02463594366208613,0.021542451179343995,0.02333100138195199,0.02110327939236764,0.02620354083612606,0.05690837348099316,-0.7342388268762075,0.02596009140175705,0.021268043968428182,-0.21168631264395474,0.02398609535292471,0.022125206339584244,0.005471115925443089,-0.3184003630648123,0.03695934480626899,0.024647679623560483,0.01036504691613676,0.03602406003373487,0.021615637516501387,0.07570748900140538,0.022839008853113053,0.022934300299906275,0.02066519568425884,0.019136020597881574,0.059057906261282,0.05964294290589604,0.06551794400275704,0.024940595732477127,0.028003047705509408,0.07245666847913489,0.033172168350836466,0.03707177727350623,-0.1773867392057074,0.05809035618539414,0.0247937060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x_a{259}	=[-2.0436408749966954,-0.17575416914476194,23.712626412548747];
std_x_a{259}	=[1.2777599530788621,2.0046397007301016,1.231862182830294];
pred_a{259}	=[-2.0436408749966954];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.9 to 26.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{260}	=[-1.2029786149227228,-1.0722704703939945,18.591701642935156];
std_x_f{260}	=[2.0210112364714075,2.763116666523928,1.446918314074837];
pred_f{260}	=[-1.2029786149227228];
obs{260}	=[-1.1873085158862493];
sqrt_r{260}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{260}	=[5.0845833258793895];
L_f{260}	=[0.009844182835820644,0.019323900268660543,-0.010806007457400423,0.05371606856926459,0.003473710343939302,-1.0465446326590417,7.872587220718342E-4,-0.00936548109667902,0.07772424113879894,-0.007944935806123963,0.009724618269410526,0.04770975377579649,-0.7772095758651191,-0.0032058121311580486,-0.008280512112405828,0.11163948262452883,0.001822249298887579,-0.007847529099042174,0.0940658112508551,0.048341382717862466,0.16555126635424344,0.007622043117660039,0.16944099627604867,0.012984198348946163,-0.007741485298252323,0.09799405781148676,-0.007297714343594234,-0.007059762872487946,-0.008812811044170742,-0.011112985738613773,0.14189072388353163,0.05090689857017051,0.06529628372755453,-0.004468341964335449,0.0012744327510044932,0.09218204765622066,0.0512338904544937,0.013686414773032837,0.13133237933990463,0.04879286897558537,0.009513445505195811,0.03753473128402159,-0.005786705979125253,-0.009369801884216399,-0.0080984045809881,0.14934258385373927,0.08367678596443376,0.02269073113801274,0.017616602310131194,0.08621379138069905,0.0017725366725731377,1.1916473593356157E-4,0.03047939113770725,0.06311819141527682,0.17235827819488386,0.0036921976500794733,0.10812366880388306,-0.0014836119969475967,0.0948349870551941,-0.0020600000373654686,-0.0069966742566893725,0.02867213077605152,0.01591917475954442,0.08803533978158078,-0.008246631238523433,-0.002262822337250974,0.15887465901475759,2.088271658973222E-4,-5.246164559508407E-4,-0.00755748634226815,-0.002393457633699908,-0.001355594747344262,0.08859327145902068,-0.9790153193793568,-0.007819470905947166,0.007124318305397629,0.023515014778015923,0.08106099017738064,0.08747812817815377,0.16102485235383532,0.10669227019208302,0.10583775610034817,-0.009161991809248014,0.05341079682278051,0.09542533500129881,0.10603372077157741,0.006207754718945742,-0.005694952758650016,-0.00617894061638802,0.008456626380458547,-0.0055859349287033415,0.04705093986089241,0.0320649386708478,0.07689512698336326,-0.007493912925642359,0.16457951329002923,0.036456524330329136,-1.0026002086386478,-0.007116044964829226,0.015433913076067677;0.01760893680012686,0.029689189405428067,-0.011401552220121085,0.08156373422118982,0.00870973559838482,-1.2729631659028173,0.005346606690925345,-0.009464992037893737,0.10612405776013908,-0.007571403690439033,0.01680778332849719,0.07304848397921809,-1.2689328379051417,-7.345146472443137E-4,-0.008111799346499624,0.10112808558542946,0.005276317852762391,-0.007469374437363106,0.12378911948168748,-0.006312686184007902,0.22099027793848394,0.014034219087464661,0.22087858778207176,0.023247981194137984,-0.006658060870957709,0.14298595478077816,-0.00573189221811507,-0.0059142863186537895,-0.008870000192947668,-0.01215317311393254,0.19525271378353137,0.07961790448370008,0.09813077110499735,-0.002079287025257552,0.006219651844939359,0.13430646486826414,0.0738364809920299,0.02445217090448523,0.1335377698436998,0.07469384408639258,0.016682573450514993,0.05501386039528649,-0.0034057090527996633,-0.009213000155023968,-0.008213138029136246,0.20552409670800575,0.12341411971969325,0.037258350383842245,0.030427245514285654,0.12671790931171972,0.00671083619454557,0.004716867953082251,0.049122877070685585,0.0954498301762115,0.21663507816608554,0.00821079443387582,0.09290161580064592,0.0022319603362252727,0.1385160556125449,0.0012832509698871917,-0.006195804776686672,0.04229209788450819,0.02531341191651651,0.12804006881153274,-0.007734913475535022,9.409118673103823E-4,0.21147628015645695,0.004706339598802875,0.0027852379135407386,-0.006604198225486539,2.3757817776385654E-4,0.002389863507536044,0.11882414710092196,-1.3602094735339068,-0.007238348905426012,0.015394343101019321,0.03880551036998599,0.11032643401573788,0.12906001282168408,0.21645256472842658,0.1522935461738358,0.15326528149535928,-0.008947931593085347,8.220428772207336E-4,0.12581393912730252,0.15276836259959192,0.013022716134668806,-0.00425408013421604,-0.005351878633164336,0.01649811158181837,-0.003271758328175269,0.07103789626902732,0.05107526638962239,0.11421524067040137,-0.006606960852841447,0.21877524928793005,0.057790438573912126,-1.342630778339958,-0.006407989321840102,0.024137930720333007;-0.01885529606866403,-0.019597663774960826,-0.01812936757267151,0.0025972929211982576,-0.016530902802827922,0.9479776587987856,-0.017462207242180082,-0.018020753913355437,-0.027359835385907895,-0.018265802081317138,-0.018038265510240136,-6.757127496028384E-4,0.06696212605837161,-0.01571980473311237,-0.01840053856222567,-0.20513784423907927,-0.018220968425410586,-0.01800604373054675,-0.04148951615142694,-0.28256536005858934,-0.01479979082942227,-0.019450467333480628,-0.03411154308515344,-0.010814880779316263,-0.018230362140815835,0.011194601422334994,-0.017444387215330658,-0.01731139826405896,-0.01856608462752067,-0.019396734577056894,-0.0010035071697252894,9.799740950384916E-4,0.004854807824201361,-0.01635564796772902,-0.015571196615787111,0.009301651996173948,-0.018238370860817803,-0.01039169991450527,-0.178990544073192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k{260}	=[0.8033270504369112;1.0918376000826637;-0.4898033524894827];
x_a_linear{260}	=[-1.1903904004836983,-1.0551612670689536,18.58402637589325];
L_a{260}	=[-0.005605074868238723,-0.011002630645795916,0.00615271798945886,-0.030584822628710574,-0.001977859094358326,0.5958809498806209,-4.4824889495436853E-4,0.005332511961576492,-0.04425458140362639,0.004523682743338834,-0.0055369972677415365,-0.027164950744871047,0.4425271181661157,0.0018253233720186648,0.004714752977617145,-0.06356522108518467,-0.0010375512035082134,0.004468221371382798,-0.053559134708889455,-0.027524587249827513,-0.09426147989356265,-0.004339834299701659,-0.09647621196351304,-0.007392935001682936,0.004407842216235828,-0.05579579735935562,0.004155168178512903,0.004019683513833067,0.005017833021393745,0.006327505097522492,-0.0807896545340303,-0.02898533911391467,-0.037178358530577806,0.002544181844719331,-7.256357488528876E-4,-0.052486558532879264,-0.029171521555210772,-0.007792762564453375,-0.0747779507046027,-0.027781654222142304,-0.005416759846993045,-0.021371502593452694,0.003294831149972032,0.005334972128970878,0.004611064701536642,-0.08503259005618044,-0.04764383777570689,-0.012919634769566377,-0.010030530366926246,-0.049088356384966274,-0.0010092458584088403,-6.784994526214758E-5,-0.017354337288772764,-0.0359381976473577,-0.09813725217777367,-0.0021022612645638272,-0.06156338913872738,8.447381013738975E-4,-0.053997087563083475,0.0011729215751655555,0.003983762155932528,-0.016325320477278832,-0.009064050094959811,-0.05012550851159176,0.00469546190614072,0.0012884044135856136,-0.09045995724533652,-1.1890188539751112E-4,2.987058003448136E-4,0.0043030770019798,0.0013627854596553743,7.718477172333351E-4,-0.050443183312595646,0.5574311503344279,0.004452245614370946,-0.004056440047173139,-0.013388964889895856,-0.046154457552789734,-0.04980824370589429,-0.0916842330280722,-0.06074838026300495,-0.06026183754635496,0.005216649354191324,-0.030411007186358686,-0.054333219519530775,-0.060373415792318974,-0.0035345676267554576,0.003242588756800037,0.0035181614704709874,-0.004815028813028086,0.003180516250730754,-0.02678983567652456,-0.01825711538408285,-0.043782500887341945,0.004266879608477468,-0.09370818372168119,-0.020757593770374772,0.5708599003142044,0.0040517293775248694,-0.008787752091160344;-0.0033888379486315943,-0.011528950472301975,0.011647807417761256,-0.033013364459063776,0.0013002645878447412,0.9593306493983885,0.0036673732196709765,0.010511705445440445,-0.059662796788325,0.009375251530479281,-0.003934958587644788,-0.02871706424461139,0.38886566896639363,0.006103525862522576,0.009550644661344695,-0.13700043643753335,0.001389435523139847,0.00926951096371031,-0.07685452450037056,-0.10942550745949589,-0.1321328058414129,-0.002223701674386849,-0.14054134237844834,-0.004447488990782127,0.009854631672910246,-0.06603669209196028,0.009834230894713176,0.00914428309725972,0.009927844615005031,0.011550975337727474,-0.10740211381712887,-0.028967196703647384,-0.04114708268020342,0.0074517466453212,0.0035012695998779854,-0.06231908596175333,-0.035446098294434764,-0.004741136383195413,-0.1465959664541719,-0.02938200346562173,-0.003609734111653237,-0.025048227631887004,0.008937412840957455,0.010772913626398253,0.009060868158267652,-0.11302564870587732,-0.055069593218657474,-0.011141285143743138,-0.007149204793055338,-0.05717727039391582,0.0029299915672828056,0.004462687964264646,-0.01589007527514782,-0.03918212333285971,-0.15100745367016047,3.352870527900873E-4,-0.13772762792814836,0.005396524733902339,-0.0637682507333747,0.005677258831021047,0.008728195770907157,-0.018865943736961252,-0.008642402533690002,-0.059740498198826354,0.009855262171396154,0.0057675424293884055,-0.1274055101267058,0.004260908437673064,0.00390425188913084,0.009516022063832731,0.005342855588932277,0.005281365385351571,-0.07014649570175727,0.7280434058324717,0.009440687991379185,1.980760761063168E-4,-0.011352333278124366,-0.0625777512318609,-0.05753201432393602,-0.12701561694478108,-0.07528250501195821,-0.07248807960867412,0.010594720495875204,-0.11310390705084708,-0.07772958734916918,-0.07340299379097898,-2.1850839944447816E-4,0.007893330902871332,0.007827885031602526,-0.001539986534882703,0.008643116207406994,-0.02932239298946019,-0.01731968022730419,-0.04980310220297518,0.009377656481455526,-0.1322750721008073,-0.01997181948019356,0.7959289878854267,0.008770630556065093,-0.008782814014714386;-0.009435598060478376,-0.0011070172777491443,-0.028469415966787825,0.05399710462200195,-0.013206980141746132,-0.05343957980271284,-0.01670889540920166,-0.026982391979551934,0.047012907548000936,-0.025868149298578117,-0.00873297639986216,0.04497677868702498,-0.6767338836378142,-0.01878738105205313,-0.026323991910548728,-0.09831229765469537,-0.016477295194485722,-0.025515184454187517,0.04852014230938984,-0.23630847575495378,0.14361284330565718,-0.01215708955178448,0.12802309436984438,0.0016094341044350466,-0.02563803171182363,0.1049631189900953,-0.02442742140040547,-0.02406674153402114,-0.026998883979562856,-0.030030524234651156,0.13476883589183122,0.04969174825261072,0.06733549149580828,-0.020631313363559153,-0.014351717879317435,0.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x_a{260}	=[-1.1903904004836974,-1.055161267068953,18.584026375893256];
std_x_a{260}	=[1.1507221552970677,1.5924556262167038,1.0332693992295106];
pred_a{260}	=[-1.1903904004836974];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.0 to 26.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{261}	=[-1.533513504891114,-2.35080323754779,14.730421877640774];
std_x_f{261}	=[1.923831008146036,3.051256364041348,0.989187095299675];
pred_f{261}	=[-1.533513504891114];
obs{261}	=[-1.6216659300679854];
sqrt_r{261}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{261}	=[4.701201847284309];
L_f{261}	=[-0.00872349586546686,-0.0179258391403252,0.009247468573281665,-0.04358406008447337,-0.0027104316373329734,1.0493067979647333,-9.791935277492446E-4,0.007259831296534648,-0.0718683617791266,0.005914201206836949,-0.009297106183202206,-0.0390150096578878,0.6505313479966811,0.0026530690165312413,0.006481701972787924,-0.14886176378266255,-0.002546874474016736,0.006511377454560911,-0.0896928849843856,-0.11320906730017256,-0.14677686377104673,-0.006986062987426289,-0.15504169377465227,-0.010969607300073575,0.0066687605440268185,-0.07972546147325063,0.006502545267777076,0.0058579943292988365,0.006990977476979661,0.009180080615311385,-0.12207978906414836,-0.03939129024079257,-0.05234586676606485,0.003306098233262889,-6.021442249582056E-4,-0.07546365892118903,-0.04534425753881141,-0.011011001810746384,-0.16053448126676578,-0.03953026866302285,-0.00897408069107253,-0.03321473258870191,0.005801014691639437,0.007576496280976872,0.0062336032547642296,-0.12800357585280892,-0.06793049656087168,-0.018186036419781393,-0.014122405174056489,-0.07014107474422679,-0.001593533419755999,-5.1031847041978E-4,-0.024069106360124343,-0.0506252554544775,-0.1661044338379433,-0.004119220411765803,-0.15003717316749723,0.0016425846052762528,-0.07706396729239963,0.0016124602718357323,0.004983458828343933,-0.026607512747851985,-0.014613350320688648,-0.07244667747361773,0.006636888204602987,0.00210192821207927,-0.1420626264961092,1.0154793897719788E-4,2.173760061114652E-6,0.006576738461034726,0.0016520313932958672,0.0013992468495006224,-0.08246713930676064,0.9265471152796017,0.006198668366506987,-0.005171387330253519,-0.01893606748942163,-0.0743074619969709,-0.07064386785325076,-0.1422889475282348,-0.08910147965368642,-0.08694044476829164,0.00811044550385191,-0.11757670913085304,-0.09033163187596809,-0.08729732941366118,-0.004948719152801849,0.005045728201225378,0.004526378056945608,-0.006927951644777184,0.004804349963587156,-0.039004326940147875,-0.0252191522798946,-0.06137945830488274,0.0065728985159675835,-0.14687375520862692,-0.02854833210703229,0.9664419924594195,0.005686383476080037,-0.014060108834734658;-0.015497847038444654,-0.02997404372699965,0.012375932123142273,-0.0657440972412308,-0.0061498377873018175,1.600721083339149,-0.002732846718393962,0.010453586210346312,-0.1125856056244123,0.00798381792085935,-0.01640560949688442,-0.0587131606390729,1.1006026329538054,0.0021698736410554857,0.00829056977308258,-0.25838517428586344,-0.005603547960586244,0.008261042861108472,-0.14150907081107902,-0.2178049771569314,-0.22056235885293551,-0.013069240396483224,-0.23635428628331512,-0.017726513312302603,0.008727886914714161,-0.11835125773294623,0.008522170665722697,0.007577352708408169,0.009465959800962957,0.012368039038999934,-0.18197975549033532,-0.059863746202585104,-0.07941579766805693,0.0037358592153169407,-0.0024384341279798934,-0.11273873951972743,-0.07166921798799968,-0.018452326251092808,-0.2714777099332023,-0.05996406607592648,-0.01606562243328239,-0.05332395259574515,0.0077823185513474615,0.010240566390992446,0.006941625432082421,-0.1902512883599095,-0.10096334847365747,-0.028230755580346736,-0.021942396526824764,-0.1042855913690269,-0.00445614457910059,-0.0014599650340557581,-0.036690951430687194,-0.07594566220367995,-0.2572108329149726,-0.008519114702412433,-0.2617045237190061,6.439150649248057E-4,-0.11429737498592789,0.0015487843176722864,0.006439831207614345,-0.04304808855361237,-0.024466098206417975,-0.10890703528833143,0.008675307122129279,0.0016182446650042693,-0.21414694780905735,-0.0010613648070051842,-0.001958061515909712,0.008398165816084324,4.6708256197576823E-4,5.264724275685756E-4,-0.12940884512822806,1.490259795528755,0.007409737218752878,-0.008836923295059786,-0.02967360419157941,-0.1166536999284452,-0.10525603526694374,-0.21289906641891318,-0.1329895633290504,-0.1286431219018636,0.010667869534178412,-0.22400097862837995,-0.1420157019523899,-0.1299183479826891,-0.009430358167433126,0.005848504281277483,0.0052155023898214975,-0.012092404161963116,0.006097062795188693,-0.05998328451347467,-0.03929326694014802,-0.09255335100910525,0.008182952970520836,-0.22147549653906615,-0.04394053595811946,1.5326705557128915,0.006816156215557338,-0.024537282647101342;-0.03548865815781493,-0.026519060129046743,-0.05480851825618482,0.022747192529251684,-0.040279807732319324,0.5889983667220465,-0.04338708161499867,-0.05333180586816004,0.027107040765531894,-0.05252858559380263,-0.03489212344720669,0.014792363062213553,-0.37404290930402007,-0.045911690296198064,-0.05254150806835491,-0.0496177103833129,-0.04262944397671985,-0.05213775424790787,0.03613712841151229,-0.17236654535612106,0.13546696244029774,-0.037766333261504616,0.1265072632588795,-0.02692662803485004,-0.052025316022383805,0.07543707345530479,-0.05090492256772724,-0.0504303909762967,-0.05320803625020058,-0.056016715246924385,0.11604901127669295,0.01887799381729364,0.03628105657786371,-0.04748612496419856,-0.041007810240398415,0.0679035850634458,0.005917614281945671,-0.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k{261}	=[0.7872884354927969;1.24764381625847;0.14551127646946324];
x_a_linear{261}	=[-1.6029148897935088,-2.460786065707901,14.71759470572941];
L_a{261}	=[0.005307769328979068,0.010906891073552555,-0.005626578016533928,0.026518512866443418,0.0016491491639128463,-0.6384457016795263,5.957856178160435E-4,-0.004417209623706952,0.04372796092966399,-0.003598467432686835,0.0056567797828401024,0.023738495991237007,-0.39581268675839487,-0.0016142471516899727,-0.003943760558990742,0.09057422806734552,0.0015496335902971878,-0.003961816463917775,0.054573206807187385,0.06888151544346756,0.08930568062876089,0.004250636605648553,0.09433437690819849,0.006674405086699589,-0.004057575451833736,0.048508575652746584,-0.003956442562119351,-0.003564268626924082,-0.004253626803307917,-0.00558557613586921,0.07427886366611366,0.023967442111901827,0.03184959222822694,-0.00201157965473113,3.663717732139066E-4,0.04591550227702052,0.027589496587323837,0.006699591378700676,0.09767643718206796,0.02405200286808022,0.005460236467402598,0.020209345155128122,-0.0035295996389622672,-0.004609882918668679,-0.003792806080832639,0.07788316340020668,0.04133198567508182,0.011065206863538308,0.00859270987116595,0.042677001396058026,9.695777863054262E-4,3.1050083212950887E-4,0.014644732626048542,0.030802694506535982,0.10106544817916108,0.00250631995452945,0.09128940028477237,-9.994227454903117E-4,0.046889202250129415,-9.810937389134326E-4,-0.0030321616848612122,0.01618921384975175,0.008891423097112527,0.044079834347502976,-0.004038182879378231,-0.0012789081656994041,0.08643732551020164,-6.178635769838675E-5,-1.3226139106137955E-6,-0.004001585055640878,-0.0010051705984705183,-8.513650520372679E-4,0.05017673641525163,-0.5637531599921144,-0.003771550115189715,0.00314650588285937,0.011521559679956415,0.045212019789349835,0.04298292345804504,0.08657502945955228,0.0542133690628142,0.052898497724483066,-0.004934761769087785,0.07153898622196872,0.05496184929781347,0.05311564247973819,0.0030110244954608587,-0.003070049186914516,-0.0027540530760295267,0.004215279037199455,-0.0029231837528984183,0.02373199614273093,0.015344472564487363,0.03734603778625971,-0.003999248659433817,0.0893646337604593,0.017370096104597,-0.5880270071680711,-0.0034598528242136507,0.008554805961510951;0.00673799495404618,0.015718203149046935,-0.011195495340933052,0.04534992840805082,7.589440300620765E-4,-1.0739199689428909,-2.3692158712913182E-4,-0.008051433347342667,0.07060397357925759,-0.007091244367828738,0.007292342249210692,0.04073453824991687,-0.5575757496918923,-0.004592693150578396,-0.008231029266113545,0.12105750663499594,8.883331903099598E-4,-0.008336197794010094,0.0871145050031241,0.07076040665541904,0.15356599534118687,0.004737954692923326,0.1588407889695595,0.010234576875140894,-0.008270516939610572,0.0848657542811636,-0.00805255709860028,-0.007354440497895481,-0.008353762125719241,-0.011031619215949943,0.12919674324028413,0.04054307683976584,0.054011722711458175,-0.004691252926445028,-9.035925863148425E-4,0.07961510827532463,0.04391148055869048,0.00961427688813896,0.13771826090746794,0.04079700740509443,0.006808950255458452,0.03133907207408834,-0.007004235837935681,-0.009071619544396814,-0.008947579899637553,0.1360247059240114,0.07218876981626689,0.018124723752284497,0.014055049319095828,0.07450120227985725,-3.942916387310864E-4,-1.5918366737635153E-4,0.024660237837691938,0.053096088772722,0.16618272421316954,0.0019806133447865643,0.12073422870354766,-0.00354296738512674,0.08213559482973123,-0.0025613124115119843,-0.006262805991057465,0.02477339705246346,0.012782747178844135,0.07575664748606246,-0.008241855414002774,-0.003739486263530163,0.14796500415627686,-0.0013202064412058175,-0.0019636023433479035,-0.00836567742988017,-0.0037438793728351554,-0.0030401518173231155,0.08079659400734991,-0.8714717363807639,-0.008390420480310157,0.004344736137220203,0.018593674333850094,0.0727530481584625,0.07481235790346105,0.14978976880372197,0.09412654395536303,0.09296459390819593,-0.010005331610590765,0.07569734949030787,0.08823601413647604,0.09259905251185546,0.003183728987983306,-0.007012855057888997,-0.006322054207293257,0.005566667439676062,-0.006149033072162926,0.03943718455534019,0.024989343372098374,0.06390043282942352,-0.008571102409077942,0.15289983005347116,0.028828020555336266,-0.930751422201417,-0.00767820779089145,0.01130137232194674;-0.032895317246300966,-0.021190025446992784,-0.05755762697921012,0.035703962137453464,-0.039474044382240475,0.27705802882791725,-0.04309598471130801,-0.05549002521076613,0.04847223262434984,-0.05428677292892046,-0.03212825834135709,0.02639083485257094,-0.5674343644041029,-0.04670040075445358,-0.054468403336204306,-0.005363742922177187,-0.04187230327626927,-0.0540734715112208,0.06280123551822027,-0.13871149349255557,0.1791011260315261,-0.035689500391390405,0.17259841451945532,-0.023665557950878505,-0.0540078204924527,0.09913804197944757,-0.0528380141782425,-0.05217186900160626,-0.05528633011107053,-0.05874579072283853,0.1523411717054434,0.030588327164635075,0.05184255622509673,-0.04846896944971556,-0.0408288034205067,0.09033759512443307,0.019397659437138334,-0.022536199529835894,0.0380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x_a{261}	=[-1.602914889793509,-2.4607860657079024,14.717594705729407];
std_x_a{261}	=[1.1705457739252232,1.859120349413915,0.948177308945528];
pred_a{261}	=[-1.602914889793509];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.1 to 26.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{262}	=[-3.059988369336581,-5.216087283868456,12.401759071140482];
std_x_f{262}	=[2.050050058684697,2.9239101747557905,2.5760572771214814];
pred_f{262}	=[-3.059988369336581];
obs{262}	=[-3.2465200599588355];
sqrt_r{262}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{262}	=[5.202712820241977];
L_f{262}	=[0.00275265850536506,0.014576619850894203,-0.021023441253064563,0.052282140840447806,-0.00512012636264356,-1.0211992542244417,-0.007283050672165247,-0.01800533327943501,0.08515248805906346,-0.016587353824731407,0.0036915996133457113,0.046399323487548695,-0.8062426208757422,-0.012431211432362152,-0.017295360055622815,0.1573622146210526,-0.005680640328480939,-0.01735209497918704,0.10575800247568845,0.09575153917489267,0.18628985741115134,3.565410194911584E-5,0.1932052437137185,0.007154973563162211,-0.01745968214793909,0.10160650066278679,-0.017277780287992064,-0.016337681966716734,-0.018191731699490385,-0.021086847930774814,0.1556696501554102,0.046580799891043655,0.06340075921469003,-0.013046066419239463,-0.0069007304376555445,0.09500541729560964,0.05073347842373894,0.0070191548638743086,0.17643831015815128,0.04618164659784773,0.0027012504040161466,0.035317362224260816,-0.015779987377644945,-0.018411863400714216,-0.017317020024514244,0.16402158745867254,0.08608878032570144,0.017666111342632004,0.012056507888434228,0.0882404198393824,-0.006845357197472813,-0.007478574898040239,0.02563321355390423,0.06164560904440549,0.20319338544403934,-0.0036057924154406906,0.1567064379608488,-0.010983266595588506,0.09897826949740855,-0.010306049066744384,-0.014449188619721231,0.025680603921279303,0.010662996131998129,0.09127458242300153,-0.016935822403173616,-0.01136162770893385,0.17897641428359018,-0.008380135387447262,-0.00877695347143295,-0.017677804710791643,-0.011052786824073471,-0.010206926789325136,0.09813915777892868,-0.9814244277750026,-0.017506390778548434,-0.0010126207324539695,0.017890390827813768,0.08845460327018638,0.08921879529507577,0.18066189849649075,0.11302987513198069,0.11183619688545027,-0.01946120881538985,0.10193314416240348,0.10729217085432281,0.1114942583645077,-0.0016626060702978208,-0.0154328643824962,-0.015172550763796915,9.788450781523037E-4,-0.01448569088212617,0.04492111888485073,0.027040642902223286,0.07609248467999254,-0.0181353878739358,0.18528883435091106,0.0314616932280402,-0.9980732943163432,-0.016425902643137213,0.009257435485942623;-0.011646223969255173,0.00984456906457748,-0.05540085711436303,0.08062296017773851,-0.026128601140149105,-1.1989558923826102,-0.029505495612284393,-0.04935723141434599,0.13751893871721005,-0.04667900495379282,-0.01016224923135641,0.0701095294250785,-1.3872976048793049,-0.038699049907316055,-0.048680327021091076,0.255473215626527,-0.02675845523418524,-0.048421760038818665,0.17446864051198338,0.1374446727442359,0.32009974871186747,-0.01700611680411585,0.33115974827778977,-0.0030116402326310944,-0.04847890828721334,0.17067972470594683,-0.048053391576534196,-0.04667486124944573,-0.049855544260773266,-0.055598206865661984,0.2661574841691223,0.07023861840278614,0.10096360761619536,-0.04036200841418145,-0.029378046473100487,0.1588637113770427,0.07644354148821869,-0.0034497725266317953,0.2925994845376275,0.06960333315231033,-0.0125361159317627,0.04743336564854303,-0.04480698731889539,-0.050642379698563306,-0.04915120208443165,0.2821553827769937,0.14175248443304106,0.016397725944461927,0.005767268695542376,0.1467450904604732,-0.02873676738971334,-0.029872893124866486,0.03139058501017878,0.09829228242017662,0.34723050777459247,-0.023394560405339323,0.2549103789172704,-0.03649124591712177,0.16475475526567743,-0.03500120091334535,-0.043947298930018065,0.03118443886325198,0.0027144450493648744,0.1512913419118085,-0.04848626727079052,-0.03676406833045513,0.30704744095785513,-0.03148002534851112,-0.032811648406474124,-0.049179210999816717,-0.03676970972559538,-0.0357255818132286,0.16107582271065246,-1.3629299757930142,-0.048809137474972085,-0.017866504268646704,0.017239328625443723,0.14278462893687,0.14802954773411506,0.31090744649036084,0.1904573207788618,0.1890133277677363,-0.05278835487866239,0.149957696950051,0.1775174544697769,0.18837918072227966,-0.019641173384095472,-0.044846216550963505,-0.044382794205459764,-0.014194150923949975,-0.04368750682190254,0.06676519402929879,0.0337340650351103,0.12414484196308717,-0.04916394366999886,0.3185167351615298,0.04233987095510292,-1.3216622890256762,-0.04683703250357018,-5.399246677231937E-5;-0.06316180823277463,-0.05999944063041528,-0.07002063588938783,-0.032563939355913576,-0.06346863668211912,1.6449644766171352,-0.06611229043326373,-0.07027364459580375,-0.03596733126740277,-0.06982964315416654,-0.0632779350491801,-0.03804865677788594,0.457441551248312,-0.06651311087181444,-0.06991993579747324,-0.09857090662810648,-0.06594485187091453,-0.06882662776066327,-0.032338405962133075,-0.18302617109559566,0.03578220876180383,-0.064191669090347,0.028716063607031682,-0.05829698902649548,-0.06890042665732465,-0.0027825351819107916,-0.06806535165461976,-0.0690475873307679,-0.0696850134212201,-0.07068056597258339,0.021975261528773816,-0.03377159940683982,-0.025443893040615815,-0.06724821333697147,-0.06386048503454915,-0.0072124181199196506,-0.04478459914426196,-0.05693780503867928,-0.07035393196758848,-0.036566727418829145,-0.063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k{262}	=[0.8077925815721863;1.13924408190839;-0.8969673768890528];
x_a_linear{262}	=[-3.2106672852493565,-5.4285924084982256,12.569071912384606];
L_a{262}	=[-0.0015381310421710302,-0.008145126407392745,0.01174748249431299,-0.029214224583657567,0.002861025180883048,0.5706259131320057,0.004069624437149921,0.010061023547874162,-0.04758152344232526,0.009268684718996863,-0.002062792732729658,-0.02592702278645694,0.45051240474373444,0.00694631468401921,0.009664304575096632,-0.0879308881583627,0.003174229281116916,0.009696006926456002,-0.05909547669963652,-0.053504063236869306,-0.1040950818880114,-1.992280585534065E-5,-0.10795926275892267,-0.003998057485867954,0.00975612450503489,-0.05677569972853463,0.009654481349202729,0.00912917303077953,0.010165179292417203,0.011782912889720585,-0.08698511666494771,-0.026028428205651884,-0.03542708826948837,0.007289883470305725,0.003855991463933915,-0.05308714511152552,-0.028348862704463275,-0.003922164687297186,-0.09859023244383948,-0.02580538925270758,-0.0015094052135403483,-0.019734642368044033,0.008817544342429665,0.010288184526215133,0.009676407736625571,-0.09165201377673128,-0.048104705012815746,-0.00987147304963221,-0.0067369377666123284,-0.04930699854872067,0.0038250499942729687,0.00417887950120107,-0.014323331935659328,-0.03444634512415277,-0.11354043849106198,0.002014845370395377,-0.08756445315168668,0.006137231793260285,-0.05530709621902173,0.005758816053935113,0.00807392035984866,-0.01434981273413724,-0.005958271002817563,-0.05100242849317698,0.009463402057409346,0.006348652488000521,-0.10000847474886597,0.004682653642616996,0.004904387726915404,0.009878007072112302,0.006176078319730295,0.005703428488942162,-0.05483821721367921,0.5484005280580466,0.009782224362513449,5.65832405108625E-4,-0.009996795982937578,-0.049426680006844095,-0.0498536953715801,-0.10095028993730959,-0.06315885508295488,-0.06249185132576017,0.010874537956227013,-0.05695822164525794,-0.05995273959748422,-0.0623007828541168,9.290313355771345E-4,0.008623578889305372,0.00847812079603266,-5.469592385862288E-4,0.008094317100964673,-0.025101031337950445,-0.015109775574088274,-0.042518973034287914,0.010133695478877946,-0.10353573003238405,-0.017580170914405724,0.5577035848645079,0.009178468997096999,-0.005172871558194099;-0.017697599916817183,-0.022200309219643638,-0.009183447113879202,-0.034312797001109396,-0.014872642778808188,1.046023131581857,-0.013494618281690698,-0.0097747548657126,-0.04967817168037298,-0.010213779146435842,-0.01827776994149492,-0.031893588501988694,0.38512610636478045,-0.011370584093545705,-0.01065863793723636,-0.09046796042452215,-0.01427027692092188,-0.010275346311069971,-0.05802711993059239,-0.07305312782769992,-0.08943523727182734,-0.017084497894449397,-0.09357785083713488,-0.018740956034490375,-0.010095977605405796,-0.052689477477444714,-0.01007034941629785,-0.010758507840691461,-0.009863294064741067,-0.009241405203022204,-0.07606280028672008,-0.032163452732976945,-0.03841504346644513,-0.01168186070032233,-0.014207652430524092,-0.04999383342562764,-0.03508767477823545,-0.018880507880354207,-0.09527810515921196,-0.03192124931817568,-0.018474477588809973,-0.030207444455098872,-0.010116655814353498,-0.010166197449395639,-0.01108189626405867,-0.07842559277583797,-0.04750294758023783,-0.022439013541163424,-0.02073745817321444,-0.047240452307748544,-0.013688104500175791,-0.013432180202491319,-0.02496083368432536,-0.037227890211861084,-0.09946477352644355,-0.015467676103428713,-0.08958915404554435,-0.012345905994765498,-0.05283660893752007,-0.012344639151203068,-0.012182562292782998,-0.0252711616353954,-0.020726820257012685,-0.049364428363282954,-0.011254976813584599,-0.011786948753511004,-0.08640985367773839,-0.013057344285069489,-0.013516612343562506,-0.010316765104664106,-0.012471538263219601,-0.013286927998720726,-0.05467085917520372,0.7946090596565442,-0.010323523702159434,-0.015640384053432464,-0.022090461298336493,-0.05167176935484174,-0.04810683128521747,-0.0862551746890312,-0.05802474352242098,-0.056844583985708276,-0.010005317786921465,-0.0741295901731017,-0.05835098355263059,-0.05672702189719716,-0.015986141579583123,-0.010918991599448223,-0.011027836234374306,-0.01634601958138617,-0.011842524519497416,-0.031988275690078415,-0.025711411309374887,-0.043134982499432754,-0.009295558337730178,-0.08881762664089225,-0.026824732390594,0.872477200256452,-0.010726736955488102,-0.020405308231714905;-0.05839734476401457,-0.034769368450291986,-0.10640924626100894,0.0579290693545398,-0.07233085295875079,-0.12258733977955574,-0.07871822349798369,-0.10143833592439581,0.11141961042577572,-0.09854001212558264,-0.05688829700842975,0.042262025168587014,-0.938050663508182,-0.08802978379963625,-0.09985576365387701,0.1738008828488526,-0.07577723873309311,-0.0988606557643787,0.15071377371886033,-0.017293767462089257,0.3582236661769225,-0.06412995687071765,0.36312707894106067,-0.045912739365598094,-0.09912067286944737,0.17308398064375444,-0.09797075141378493,-0.09732580954501467,-0.10117233411384624,-0.10717892435654887,0.2914174607389572,0.04685319258750455,0.08429387522279994,-0.08982911349016579,-0.07580467571926103,0.157228553819404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x_a{262}	=[-3.2106672852493574,-5.428592408498229,12.569071912384606];
std_x_a{262}	=[1.1455273609572902,1.6732978869402593,1.7529316734486924];
pred_a{262}	=[-3.2106672852493574];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.2 to 26.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{263}	=[-6.696210796991456,-11.659846634751835,13.696919770616708];
std_x_f{263}	=[2.2120152595911886,3.9260421451326364,1.9356781427281808];
pred_f{263}	=[-6.696210796991456];
obs{263}	=[-7.187322689776245];
sqrt_r{263}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{263}	=[5.893968516012021];
L_f{263}	=[-0.030935535355796344,-0.03557251280863391,-0.020669171211862434,-0.04634944470292388,-0.027611837922650886,1.276979078799205,-0.026589015294531174,-0.022345885751781196,-0.0626990224625606,-0.02326442048790089,-0.031498092147659695,-0.04466607318107216,0.680235066268158,-0.023699615812975545,-0.023139513546917616,-0.10877503414554542,-0.027463638395127284,-0.022958515635187103,-0.06964801295461506,-0.10510228696192177,-0.08699224270767973,-0.03048509337107169,-0.09168806856859787,-0.032577960348751656,-0.022508133618460695,-0.06137722413299428,-0.022732835927019128,-0.023374444717870792,-0.022502265100754065,-0.02190961125549563,-0.0782388711665927,-0.04464849080536824,-0.05004093259687394,-0.024028964976640806,-0.0269445042593977,-0.05894408794682744,-0.0488449209400878,-0.03151199188039219,-0.10904545071824132,-0.04474859045166179,-0.03172349992487363,-0.04349030481895921,-0.022372636426131447,-0.022189580948846654,-0.0235479103028326,-0.07925943456056327,-0.05720753571348542,-0.03583870843632137,-0.033589707098290546,-0.05693841219340023,-0.026355538999027657,-0.026990922180714777,-0.0380942592454925,-0.04911428751345299,-0.09713678747948941,-0.028446023993116513,-0.10980497757893377,-0.024544185401812198,-0.06120192187606346,-0.024776817549239112,-0.02471993104407682,-0.03957627305559514,-0.035408937962845846,-0.058965601834981375,-0.023555663870388023,-0.02505378928391909,-0.08507000814401246,-0.025708108053587274,-0.02608085550451651,-0.022584062745552254,-0.025152238850655335,-0.025966915146115117,-0.06680691642397707,1.1001072688953404,-0.022546215858205692,-0.028536934169358853,-0.0346365667222773,-0.06385330257678948,-0.05808259772269677,-0.08476562267944066,-0.06546889689557148,-0.06436413362254956,-0.022460275757455492,-0.10553991875852162,-0.07023324321963365,-0.0642924233529396,-0.029069075616578722,-0.022746729511840622,-0.02321086526780934,-0.029677097457556964,-0.023619361321417634,-0.044773594141068705,-0.03838255425815513,-0.05352912352294912,-0.0214446338126827,-0.08668522071500243,-0.03911916839773873,1.1604770424526243,-0.023380102257557787,-0.033975730367817855;-0.07962645071653687,-0.08059920761430395,-0.07506576023649585,-0.07395760177781456,-0.07792193560343041,2.281257989466181,-0.07767012856971542,-0.07606018879105174,-0.08396998721736115,-0.07684273266750374,-0.08040530827841326,-0.07487260846526125,1.1400506705187188,-0.07488261378896756,-0.07738071110605893,-0.13302361834758247,-0.07782745692313704,-0.07640206284310029,-0.08422833290109702,-0.18091238221197284,-0.050796631424394174,-0.080306288909264,-0.054554999171341365,-0.07845283561661608,-0.07645167793736636,-0.0653333614570422,-0.07593181783609965,-0.07657945684007428,-0.07649099723364305,-0.07670466323138919,-0.05694651911227727,-0.07355389243337525,-0.07242410396993508,-0.07632284317987831,-0.07728222462277647,-0.06676001354745487,-0.08131154059510225,-0.07725995504300799,-0.11537683573708979,-0.07479475944258257,-0.08078533866112311,-0.08278317723679068,-0.07512573973795668,-0.07578426290080072,-0.07786400030793168,-0.05156005103419397,-0.06957821241308441,-0.0772536672910055,-0.07750182822027508,-0.06742623956811737,-0.07659883851073715,-0.0776494356923515,-0.07625815409553824,-0.07185191542847558,-0.05911030628531523,-0.07941641534108212,-0.13630035229355533,-0.07602036446158057,-0.06825697096539178,-0.07634492566692848,-0.07883087866053441,-0.08114752938788872,-0.08185894019270895,-0.06927351229718566,-0.0769924640633711,-0.07625219360353935,-0.05417320214031487,-0.07634905394206158,-0.0775875600699242,-0.07606797757976691,-0.07691963871570763,-0.07794838484749027,-0.08281820260223945,1.9818839073160197,-0.0767105922916045,-0.07669121200803246,-0.07657009887359428,-0.0842448090071545,-0.0682846896307554,-0.05040402825726154,-0.06572803565151791,-0.06426171319460197,-0.07648565257677435,-0.1771366448926272,-0.08318480656819933,-0.06356876818159661,-0.07766730479991543,-0.07604155259520205,-0.07672518522458904,-0.077262365384861,-0.07653765818425624,-0.07677202318812204,-0.07617322746454612,-0.06962490951795797,-0.07471689092318433,-0.050354087512518575,-0.07529128384126024,2.090108706925758,-0.07706716264484864,-0.0808223321962717;-0.05121349328282654,-0.027280311297591467,-0.10078048415009422,0.0579406597482837,-0.0664714453516015,-0.2085670118328549,-0.07288100536942493,-0.09538658460185177,0.11943164613958171,-0.09183245258545303,-0.050276703089611845,0.04365057424537446,-1.1311141339001725,-0.08288932841931665,-0.09270217980175607,0.22703286569821732,-0.06922586134781175,-0.09262134449310565,0.1592682736253505,0.07056620833254383,0.34418038937472434,-0.05716101360961433,0.3547703695831084,-0.04049987987706562,-0.09388463339695197,0.16617224615679987,-0.09222937285471919,-0.09082150997613915,-0.0953839693739215,-0.10084145848987666,0.28046587180665244,0.04692872787694629,0.08315140671627544,-0.08363971937339262,-0.07013450558244241,0.1513380390014798,0.04887151100076618,-0.039899570660367464,0.2756903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k{263}	=[0.8303350285493857;1.4654238491807587;-0.45854485144677837];
x_a_linear{263}	=[-7.103998204507857,-12.379533715054968,13.922116600537455];
L_a{263}	=[0.015676944405451487,0.018026786970042747,0.010474344286219493,0.023488123269059646,0.013992621852740476,-0.6471240854575651,0.013474294521622548,0.011324038992446628,0.03177346304555049,0.011789517214400972,0.01596202664015413,0.02263505505936881,-0.3447170767816195,0.012010057536016222,0.011726219160977025,0.05512302093331316,0.01391752000862538,0.011634496352010935,0.035294945262199506,0.053261813336588484,0.04408433657115653,0.015448677660713011,0.04646400125491316,0.016509262482657886,0.011406259996757023,0.031103626280500177,0.011520130520041423,0.011845273279930539,0.011403286056763072,0.011102951788196615,0.039648463151426935,0.022626144984813502,0.02535882793995841,0.012176959077217258,0.013654442712848781,0.029870606056905356,0.024752735042710562,0.015969070492306406,0.05526005769468497,0.022676871651473734,0.016076254667931823,0.022039220688489444,0.011337595209585626,0.011244829705206892,0.011933178994198209,0.04016564558921278,0.028990587899593377,0.01816168471815772,0.017021976982746354,0.02885420640775724,0.013355977677821247,0.013677965537443094,0.019304711474681064,0.02488923970463953,0.04922520329860041,0.014415355401718382,0.05564495681579534,0.012438053054388444,0.031014789811227975,0.01255594211627757,0.012527114214365007,0.02005573930859048,0.017943893503546825,0.02988150847138284,0.011937108205253222,0.012696300782663022,0.043110221720960504,0.013027884472990513,0.013216778603907707,0.011444737970080582,0.012746191252205998,0.013159037994487146,0.033855186361987435,-0.5574922268566452,0.01142555861720922,0.014461425196937638,0.017552485342688984,0.03235840799545892,0.0294340358086712,0.04295597082628422,0.03317712931468013,0.03261727760326929,0.011382007465882428,0.0534835883686495,0.03559151754464307,0.03258093758532416,0.014731094099963123,0.011527171256667895,0.011762377480165167,0.015039216280125391,0.011969387633654061,0.022689542563557638,0.019450808344636705,0.027126509494350397,0.010867319030045602,0.04392874958502256,0.019824096176306857,-0.5880853157733974,0.011848140304345157,0.017217598790030146;0.002637981305465148,0.01399597323972184,-0.020101861582296838,0.04929582503921391,-0.004495950319330295,-1.1145118723834226,-0.006964054921014201,-0.016637535255030058,0.08276058369066307,-0.014977492071316517,0.003355086701090666,0.043904361082337494,-0.6688448512299938,-0.011860092550175037,-0.015847625697665072,0.15623326048902533,-0.004795566967191311,-0.015350290922074006,0.10098114097015164,0.09857784938396898,0.1805349862237401,7.603182292809378E-4,0.1892638582442559,0.008179167796352449,-0.016597571431623947,0.09788225528649791,-0.015480178183605628,-0.014421637477008462,-0.016652496414706727,-0.018442160092955576,0.1511079472008905,0.045176321687680855,0.06064580578230726,-0.012424509656790959,-0.005630827175780354,0.08998535582247102,0.0485779095819103,0.006537402400708905,0.1745991405874491,0.0442016417818559,0.0035744654623500022,0.03286716413430401,-0.015631950241095333,-0.01677725841328706,-0.015244897580665892,0.15920831911098593,0.08254928041100511,0.018049386624423056,0.01182063361675727,0.08398559428097985,-0.006513629981042219,-0.005874602724072976,0.02504290839091273,0.05875384005596876,0.19919790007145227,-0.0037721447582711497,0.15569537397491381,-0.010751945851702704,0.09449247829687711,-0.010457886714521154,-0.013095113509697694,0.02409453566841161,0.012301258960593716,0.08752906726061024,-0.014352742884743214,-0.009628625537362363,0.1720467685692925,-0.007985507519957871,-0.008232795717189191,-0.01601195872816461,-0.010034271472719208,-0.008896613113453121,0.0948361670910941,-0.9435446846929542,-0.01675521668588625,-8.051911555856274E-4,0.015536194288273839,0.08555524807265301,0.08616978665568166,0.17500651416637114,0.10836824412118959,0.10689675664112981,-0.01675881071048591,0.103517346462698,0.10358092404146121,0.10739900818360833,-3.6620211980890947E-4,-0.015552966827150379,-0.015002359806027722,0.0016556018760510293,-0.013728551392289814,0.042290868377726554,0.02589447523674861,0.0727208715588811,-0.017690865666775583,0.18016109073815983,0.028735238809819676,-0.9958564678792915,-0.014894298632202985,0.009526650909900111;-0.07695480476889983,-0.056880029615632856,-0.11797920297633359,0.019373507779440146,-0.0894471240491015,0.8540011917075565,-0.095005598234318,-0.11398048960311212,0.06726008846266977,-0.11119066596157408,-0.07648611540023573,0.00648414769448275,-0.565093778242174,-0.10260966575066234,-0.11195645870777189,0.13652167836477688,-0.0920782239249933,-0.11172501589966811,0.10131449408893488,-0.016888903579025963,0.2717945589484569,-0.08252751446765608,0.2784771648450658,-0.06760784536960554,-0.11261354407456882,0.11510055056831803,-0.11114525725203134,-0.11027127398948394,-0.1141079968859321,-0.11907234156269281,0.2153636801084999,0.00977693153705458,0.04151258526984486,-0.10363410657366993,-0.09255489912022664,0.10229094443366299,0.00822788515202723,-0.06612054887233175,0.18495417658088134,0.006838220414846566,-0.07717360085536838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x_a{263}	=[-7.103998204507859,-12.379533715054972,13.922116600537452];
std_x_a{263}	=[1.1209646075229152,2.0227163856397583,1.6230607295205837];
pred_a{263}	=[-7.103998204507859];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.3 to 26.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{264}	=[-13.346940122373773,-19.092848893962323,26.122824372000572];
std_x_f{264}	=[1.1650829296293823,1.8302039374894445,3.535382708311462];
pred_f{264}	=[-13.346940122373773];
obs{264}	=[-13.982064750692455];
sqrt_r{264}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{264}	=[2.357960853174985];
L_f{264}	=[-0.023294210894597336,-0.010109597894624206,-0.050160005767700584,0.03302478105765817,-0.03145805383272184,-0.29250806938102775,-0.03412717030275493,-0.04656146493419944,0.06901838673280333,-0.044241928444809155,-0.022292008310582832,0.02640038472206166,-0.6234613127113513,-0.0400454254276567,-0.04489389862180851,0.14118874471096585,-0.03243854341922261,-0.04457528998282506,0.09012841867752679,0.06722770705674819,0.183804645220243,-0.025691657494287302,0.1921447686808667,-0.016666153408363072,-0.04567159772925267,0.09008420707041083,-0.04425195719478716,-0.04361792180782479,-0.046247506312282284,-0.049051662399668385,0.1509299302994898,0.02792347389223016,0.04637169443425746,-0.040707502156840304,-0.03318916657435351,0.08196680852628058,0.030351695474727745,-0.017713574456375395,0.16410197179766436,0.026389888714598013,-0.022592080263482094,0.012514165471885528,-0.04398627719988106,-0.04650733917118833,-0.04487671361906442,0.16033250404740357,0.07172065457865903,-0.0050639963138877885,-0.01148590596376636,0.07416096369376259,-0.03319589106919143,-0.03363715884402291,0.003633738429330233,0.04411624238948157,0.20092184399623148,-0.030378922962077455,0.1395642285039964,-0.03858131878717558,0.08678590735207842,-0.03800889622718272,-0.04143651338617825,0.0020607492676791793,-0.012894014925039936,0.07804574936257654,-0.043916347518290495,-0.03724307323962505,0.17463049935122965,-0.03543847525052843,-0.03533811434857854,-0.04535014419653948,-0.038061169678671534,-0.0363163805824863,0.08296573669822689,-0.4440851965558603,-0.0452998971398329,-0.026690587951082617,-0.006587905979714437,0.07282729624937645,0.07607866103584404,0.1782408626409732,0.10242194989511401,0.101184838276074,-0.04656285628002202,0.07307851366014607,0.0927920381322667,0.1011502960831819,-0.027337051071599675,-0.043575331037155975,-0.04378462750914737,-0.02456878097222402,-0.041843721792073366,0.024616560226560082,0.005146321384698799,0.06099508676267098,-0.0467465930089684,0.18317842486162988,0.0091534640880489,-0.39964965273852365,-0.044222896343737474,-0.015135292120953252;-0.08834860839936273,-0.06765376868453772,-0.12868333864871193,0.004420444116984227,-0.10100222596040115,1.0539297064364281,-0.10602621888109347,-0.12416316263971512,0.056948611391177864,-0.12103181316875275,-0.08711240902882388,-0.00759117302240581,-0.2943184630615308,-0.11493232786921899,-0.12211177041817992,0.1520773014716485,-0.10281902672558176,-0.12200576668426326,0.09206737051330256,0.009606297593425472,0.2582428594884507,-0.09293506450151098,0.2686715180276475,-0.07883664278548629,-0.1231935971937368,0.09919939377072702,-0.12134812953531372,-0.12010929810801817,-0.1243663663647589,-0.12851723081709604,0.2007025600095329,-0.004519018561244976,0.02650005328988338,-0.11463553216221171,-0.10363690036447305,0.08559800067833154,-0.0036796281749201377,-0.07861670704318387,0.19628565385369828,-0.006683002464607886,-0.0879478434251295,-0.03229994940191218,-0.11932342555507097,-0.12398565430567321,-0.12228632342944355,0.2183361283383907,0.06824651067564785,-0.05931379750989453,-0.06914933640537142,0.0729763307806949,-0.10332426790656801,-0.10487735216004465,-0.04469968696785629,0.022314049647183292,0.28083756603685406,-0.09941416085924536,0.14760337961218895,-0.11094623561408469,0.09347005702796513,-0.11021383812241557,-0.11735965121557146,-0.04922113459089765,-0.07347516569092306,0.07789918161161959,-0.12080480275926717,-0.11058988225276968,0.2417278689493131,-0.10651094014100627,-0.10695935585397984,-0.12270246509364034,-0.11099251649164142,-0.10867522606806292,0.07984824574924941,0.5602791212242136,-0.12218608068783679,-0.09330731962278392,-0.05972670216765611,0.06378481173054329,0.07478208944662898,0.24734897714139303,0.11947468926491958,0.11835421008373205,-0.12444124917290302,0.02161823487193432,0.09558923481005854,0.11803957809085444,-0.09361180293271669,-0.11904021137020603,-0.11932160863540099,-0.08993627742090965,-0.117138234690119,-0.010666632780464442,-0.041694147744364515,0.050606670121587614,-0.12346217782173843,0.2560642385737924,-0.03494052826325511,0.7163347316736428,-0.12053029564180631,-0.07583220406181887;-0.03125505050544264,-0.04626488126741644,-7.816104855656806E-4,-0.08381548247521882,-0.02252852935130512,1.8200744412466876,-0.02032550422879694,-0.0059855351967788165,-0.12626063914717878,-0.009011921125541687,-0.03280264538000761,-0.07928477835971441,1.4493458840331126,-0.012062612011683873,-0.008118480911775871,-0.22618828666518073,-0.022440379400450686,-0.009043057293983754,-0.14486547224530055,-0.1937716786578582,-0.20241875140085192,-0.030526254502742572,-0.21337290678038195,-0.03931539692874937,-0.0068993498306556275,-0.1322481075968741,-0.008530851820220368,-0.009641839847533591,-0.006978879651396337,-0.004092666572419118,-0.18001372075768438,-0.07980174032646427,-0.09618331611515807,-0.011756087225503527,-0.021110645787706054,-0.12428875859513847,-0.08675448990538505,-0.0357706383276828,-0.23461600437295133,-0.07888346349267711,-0.033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k{264}	=[0.5759047489471665;0.042068167733015735;-1.4862550030859167];
x_a_linear{264}	=[-13.712711411995807,-19.119567423357804,27.066781528422297];
L_a{264}	=[0.03893410858672285,0.016897253312354872,0.08383778785669192,-0.05519785227194921,0.05257921332438127,0.4889000527772734,0.05704039344098202,0.07782316129564454,-0.115357818974612,0.07394627162733056,0.037259020110514164,-0.04412578945691626,1.0420576407829456,0.06693220684987906,0.07503597918520648,-0.2359838649470959,0.054218010543214415,0.07450345445608053,-0.15064127544042735,-0.11236486431875202,-0.30721238200040374,0.042941217763571876,-0.32115212324821324,0.027855926498659984,0.076335830965292,-0.15056737984808327,0.07396303375086412,0.07290330252770684,0.07729840863788028,0.0819852949245383,-0.2522653513294045,-0.046671491451584605,-0.0775059775419329,0.06803880657044553,0.05547260738540026,-0.13699990259852454,-0.05073003815202303,0.029606593434915375,-0.2742811945068908,-0.044108246355921414,0.03776056249161794,-0.02091626454140212,0.07351897433121708,0.07773269511312597,0.07500725605026413,-0.26798087949013116,-0.11987440853486865,0.008463999199620867,0.01919762433823787,-0.12395315842266362,0.05548384675355892,0.05622138482852739,-0.006073456071272362,-0.07373619906689488,-0.33582218891167465,0.05077554636665248,-0.23326863708686785,0.06448508867184911,-0.1450545784071511,0.0635283375627818,0.06925728108724333,-0.0034443508784596766,0.0215511475997997,-0.13044621662283765,0.0734020933675818,0.062248335613340616,-0.2918786498095682,0.05923211779077578,0.059064373870534856,0.07579855126069623,0.06361570777874143,0.060699454962143046,-0.13866951819927947,0.7422471335344574,0.07571456797528561,0.04461083718323945,0.011011072576526436,-0.12172405723811344,-0.12715841130248476,-0.29791303650746603,-0.17118877033113528,-0.16912105323492008,0.07782548680087759,-0.12214394379250414,-0.1550932678068486,-0.1690633191697925,0.0456913402080215,0.07283211601284628,0.07318193561412846,0.04106443401514135,0.0699378920924535,-0.041144292598242926,-0.008601597904332065,-0.10194761874613235,0.07813258566713807,-0.3061657128708165,-0.015299164516082408,0.667977251806224,0.07391446123919981,0.025297234132349848;-0.08380301056140495,-0.06568099671383835,-0.11889518936126434,-0.0020239627811065117,-0.09486354789418933,1.111009298176193,-0.09936669337727838,-0.11507722728458707,0.04348046555307474,-0.1123985087311916,-0.08276237951982661,-0.012742905023840156,-0.17265714523735223,-0.10711792281949571,-0.1133512414852116,0.12452593879161891,-0.09648901737260905,-0.11330741056955719,0.07447984428488047,-0.0035124176629427258,0.22237549305563833,-0.08792163248237075,0.2311766722463202,-0.07558443427570176,-0.11428130920795596,0.08162049492988319,-0.1127128681023247,-0.11159776140205321,-0.11534169643044435,-0.11894536201411031,0.1712503167909573,-0.00996796392913597,0.01745114946924809,-0.10669193043944625,-0.09716041551994907,0.06960311897543722,-0.009602413108590823,-0.07516010634029982,0.16426303795211897,-0.011832686290680376,-0.08353925831935712,-0.03474194513081858,-0.11074000852307508,-0.11491028097183106,-0.11352914795247619,0.187049080794691,0.05425104828952887,-0.05832561676404337,-0.0669079937150293,0.058504670085572794,-0.09684647085407366,-0.09831344676705729,-0.045408769306932245,0.013705271400440573,0.2416299747687772,-0.09348606279398991,0.12036902262046302,-0.10341753416727055,0.07653478351259076,-0.10279683836675899,-0.10927379132046759,-0.049623266153032516,-0.07095904670191483,0.0626694495906646,-0.1122350317018391,-0.10332232406146782,0.2076507317634147,-0.09959552853044713,-0.10006352852129015,-0.11385290507447338,-0.10356531617202736,-0.10158850131034729,0.06365843468131997,0.6469372492229423,-0.1133463258049488,-0.08809895779274633,-0.05844114794504006,0.04957340092665747,0.059936212130413107,0.21256731900656184,0.09948822154943042,0.09860915049862687,-0.1153550423126096,0.007357801874318856,0.07748193382346237,0.09830125901814694,-0.08827729124612319,-0.11053698576419389,-0.11077754122560822,-0.0851419618643995,-0.10897291274936666,-0.015470271909951401,-0.04269839328269075,0.03870417916497184,-0.11434011684809345,0.22031907185493738,-0.03672672169804168,0.7943217734175709,-0.11190070510028081,-0.0728787255579462;-0.1918495782147909,-0.11596228834271743,-0.3465938156129071,0.14386336617336626,-0.23940607548414797,-0.1965294036302553,-0.255604424885369,-0.32698874515300963,0.349564675166706,-0.31402382454197236,-0.18648780614934035,0.10272427680720338,-2.84890982906991,-0.28814306017857216,-0.3176251853381899,0.7471926051508251,-0.24607759911831098,-0.3163532158003327,0.4764962427404944,0.2697083641996962,1.064763911428709,-0.2076492152261017,1.1113080844646368,-0.1542148905178786,-0.3217676533867893,0.4888088045262619,-0.3136118952634809,-0.31035172798611554,-0.3258176017511712,-0.3422637508850522,0.8605246766719138,0.11270776866776754,0.22351158149045192,-0.29240101281176933,-0.24992279809424248,0.44080533120610144,0.12249562043307576,-0.157891243174004,0.8967328434702263,0.10305323028929841,-0.18956502331202568,0.016777392709130944,-0.30998484238611884,-0.32771438581720297,-0.31853868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x_a{264}	=[-13.712711411995809,-19.119567423357797,27.06678152842229];
std_x_a{264}	=[1.9473278360868724,1.833964357890572,5.355827074435992];
pred_a{264}	=[-13.712711411995809];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.4 to 26.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{265}	=[-13.525091674687742,-7.185424314245049,39.21156345750652];
std_x_f{265}	=[1.842350725761271,4.594066449735635,2.6591804614253474];
pred_f{265}	=[-13.525091674687742];
obs{265}	=[-14.053106344225592];
sqrt_r{265}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{265}	=[4.40369514920025];
L_f{265}	=[-0.09715427158476382,-0.06859248579289905,-0.15637312974126047,0.03320710895409053,-0.11566369853063858,0.4660089602919915,-0.12187229212990797,-0.14887430343467006,0.11293499547667687,-0.14437599499937154,-0.09539117946218058,0.01743769330151722,-0.6638115772995786,-0.13423870567247065,-0.14544450612091048,0.2682219641917679,-0.1184961031209099,-0.14545657867400008,0.16361243406723258,0.07319733928156119,0.4023534281887015,-0.10357238339448288,0.42091907827692077,-0.08345506921826455,-0.14686258015904585,0.169784780561132,-0.14427493358142873,-0.1428201190351612,-0.1488819328095867,-0.15514321294679448,0.3186771732415765,0.02044996841511676,0.06474818103171044,-0.135996676840136,-0.11942189303400513,0.15020802572392863,0.02399861487868161,-0.0845625090233988,0.32905692310829093,0.016965846534400204,-0.09683812437883305,-0.01671073631051734,-0.14242963342107912,-0.14894701530153345,-0.146100142335418,0.3434214157296389,0.12492500109377234,-0.05633062263653684,-0.07070412177773468,0.13117952179810946,-0.11948977035918704,-0.12094650868896151,-0.03610361429779235,0.05930281759854815,0.4406363614868385,-0.11364738502201965,0.26262662325887437,-0.13073287501095038,0.16158865838485184,-0.12984745187388,-0.13830228714678724,-0.04099116998062957,-0.07600900733253084,0.1398515705848114,-0.14400066002978235,-0.12856118443759587,0.37890932449820075,-0.12426673523111863,-0.12419826776790296,-0.14633417839354,-0.13112809983844667,-0.12669681748984227,0.14595229393032116,0.029800022964648093,-0.1460203818298158,-0.1049368623341922,-0.05779440292924133,0.12349247682972357,0.13504656545554444,0.38816471749404485,0.1995917487584083,0.19669697556488971,-0.1490765353394552,0.08950384014880435,0.1696543310691076,0.1969300802836224,-0.10653327979201793,-0.14208416898569673,-0.14265586787166415,-0.10050240279977385,-0.13844952747617276,0.01261850478972347,-0.03128805052120556,0.09937137957516787,-0.14866898299206704,0.40029522141790014,-0.022391511627020425,0.1633081576550468,-0.14424935662331656,-0.07994624910572348;-0.14376826945566387,-0.08350293160274065,-0.26816633959204633,0.1220176101252684,-0.18235880672307847,-0.22133895235921364,-0.19427075292632814,-0.252191675703789,0.2882841750996761,-0.241378295792088,-0.13963958311516203,0.08907756546050585,-2.6931836856505043,-0.22006541650458336,-0.24455988939119186,0.614246698745563,-0.18701775998136883,-0.24266022996654604,0.38823352828877855,0.24726675359387942,0.8513356722276769,-0.15599688340392306,0.8904504951120944,-0.1142707388824559,-0.24792537275230808,0.39480008265717864,-0.24101774612007507,-0.23844675867126947,-0.25057357020601795,-0.2636959313663473,0.6906055686477659,0.09700662682420816,0.18473391180136636,-0.22393586712310676,-0.19073494149455034,0.3563761471944531,0.10645104887513866,-0.1172080901252401,0.7308939017836127,0.08947749507885659,-0.14145876935070176,0.023090079949436123,-0.23908703399922163,-0.2523293650323703,-0.24476018615249343,0.7370675904285302,0.30563619404855347,-0.058975903155870216,-0.08840748228971138,0.31813485261085156,-0.1894795207455178,-0.19265066850587945,-0.01792688006461886,0.17420196153475523,0.9295660352858758,-0.1770123066693752,0.604445387481523,-0.21463013053507451,0.3792931053284379,-0.21183409753017088,-0.22841806890886426,-0.026892920283121634,-0.09739208907243463,0.33659087700104445,-0.24122243028392804,-0.2083387343022357,0.8065959172991396,-0.1999852097524862,-0.19933082319012912,-0.24648936698091364,-0.2124149061690848,-0.20380335214381587,0.35419069580575047,-1.250266599323873,-0.24562657881138097,-0.1596600104218895,-0.06465218323606152,0.3071377515184415,0.32690674530707375,0.8248079141707334,0.45477655873874634,0.4484051695377176,-0.25259157935808063,0.27581387952048725,0.40188121647279057,0.44814734799329725,-0.16321082574501353,-0.23742417878761407,-0.2388158038891985,-0.1507120001266019,-0.22970542985690043,0.08116274739170679,-0.0105059620169354,0.25543211067892424,-0.2528690275706476,0.8482970247352388,0.009212402872304156,-0.9369703578704165,-0.24186408585055935,-0.10642749033459976;0.10230362370282935,0.08240216118100074,0.14031141057898916,0.01882822876545251,0.1135696913880014,-1.324641032969917,0.11897564319549163,0.1361439787674697,-0.022340075981460133,0.13326007792046024,0.10112071068224472,0.02893702791930699,-0.7283038552260058,0.1273455433786959,0.1342637060862998,-0.0857746132901958,0.11574375771154011,0.13462687446474747,-0.04957551630251012,0.021539321563359054,-0.14568717517248797,0.10645716605091529,-0.14901771521827564,0.09278372313065845,0.13520413097665177,-0.05466565397989323,0.13364920402555436,0.13204651278000673,0.13667898950720403,0.14045143669259713,-0.11726349333344636,0.026762340965515073,2.616502767516825E-4,0.12726956655232227,0.11634935604835124,-0.044708439067799526,0.026238914339922047,0.09273643595971306,-0.11214048590043853,0.02846618686022309,0.10204515015240069,0.0515674519895258,0.1317874189085191,0.13593998166677326,0.13476514036597695,-0.12703766236267663,-0.03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k{265}	=[0.7729179777165981;1.5870440164957074;-0.4195667340644384];
x_a_linear{265}	=[-13.933203705271634,-8.023406836157053,39.43310084794263];
L_a{265}	=[0.06266459057009252,0.04424221362873279,0.10086080613399184,-0.021418614464203036,0.07460318721983746,-0.30057618900692495,0.0786077355486763,0.0960240565748254,-0.0728431713515215,0.09312264368007633,0.06152739460128075,-0.011247327507088048,0.42815905084392547,0.08658408315361951,0.09381183429268299,-0.1730034026689059,0.07643009067022613,0.09381962110003725,-0.10553016378754125,-0.04721234817655226,-0.2595183148475397,0.06680427832883634,-0.27149317547351626,0.05382859300219828,0.09472649329375726,-0.10951133270155539,0.09305745897667123,0.0921191023155567,0.0960289775283529,0.10006750872047292,-0.20554705685580518,-0.013190247603128428,-0.04176263367864788,0.08771797610200775,0.07702722597793556,-0.09688430862372956,-0.015479127691362933,0.05454289264994159,-0.2122420046435634,-0.0109429859275476,0.062460675344375945,0.010778439608903087,0.09186723875123973,0.09607095579286544,0.09423472022733995,-0.22150711501062054,-0.0805767355136786,0.03633330111478639,0.04560422069506339,-0.08461090686565538,0.0770710069123414,0.07801060441550853,0.02328686295689851,-0.03825036947782223,-0.28421084047526657,0.07330266323445282,-0.16939440284892465,0.08432281929533866,-0.10422482669352108,0.08375172059364722,0.08920509677641325,0.026439340668455574,0.049025876540863975,-0.09020438595574792,0.0928805522947746,0.08292207696662404,-0.24439684735996522,0.08015215345365578,0.0801079918796994,0.09438567369054461,0.08457773965647343,0.08171955864655764,-0.09413935787609456,-0.019221041006208098,0.09418327463111766,0.0676843684443162,0.03727744069023355,-0.07965275610418827,-0.0871051534238051,-0.2503665839777093,-0.12873685338891325,-0.12686972213460881,0.09615449633117229,-0.05773005556922337,-0.10942719266453554,-0.12702007488308867,0.06871405910785347,0.09164441388675734,0.09201316017072564,0.06482413814675778,0.08930006691829018,-0.00813894668094841,0.020180820088153386,-0.06409462717272531,0.09589162470887129,-0.25819076967122356,0.014442544681409087,-0.10533390523422467,0.09304096181620676,0.05156540094538105;0.1843901848933146,0.1481822403468402,0.260015939175116,0.00985379715009717,0.20831902879530315,-1.795379677771606,0.21737787930519284,0.2506617810768367,-0.093176906878598,0.24628120276895785,0.1825636664200275,0.030178184219766042,-0.4510241013904002,0.23335331072916393,0.24670872436756158,-0.2917279306336887,0.21322710225928573,0.24864916131333406,-0.1644009838122536,2.774568121194262E-5,-0.5076954536577177,0.19384005833383494,-0.5312899171232937,0.16761585318940128,0.24813307656299166,-0.17868279413337992,0.24630039679941812,0.24395745009916223,0.2523056563512668,0.2603320514788113,-0.3857918650566052,0.027932669322142292,-0.033966333310718834,0.23542076785016516,0.21263696582582822,-0.15098222983141274,0.025390811001463783,0.168419106747717,-0.3805632633893671,0.03217187295195623,0.1856318330474289,0.07953401503579373,0.24199822961859357,0.2507696909736253,0.24872297322796716,-0.4229085911421611,-0.11632358805644508,0.13129231413804057,0.15041017276769128,-0.12495085441282844,0.21412165614534462,0.21587094050692704,0.10402047305858879,-0.026105453098065487,-0.5587735400803119,0.20685501693143157,-0.2826298316902022,0.22694693546929454,-0.16650568983451147,0.22675227044964125,0.2387262371798427,0.11156315337560159,0.15934390365313006,-0.13578645127060296,0.2451692975298885,0.22590300191939175,-0.4732479458423864,0.2197511445555088,0.22017426823528247,0.24778429712818503,0.2304971126520362,0.22414110279584268,-0.13879307529972057,-1.3509222814274744,0.24758717312245324,0.1947857384485129,0.13056025185213688,-0.1099833864318573,-0.12924069383423897,-0.4862979347833108,-0.21938545910134738,-0.2159791588464161,0.25094495710820097,-0.02650367546116986,-0.17116104043585179,-0.21702433932990264,0.19662715011562223,0.24249420793124019,0.24303361292963907,0.18875545326640394,0.23793621060651685,0.03854116256125425,0.09517583798167387,-0.08021508008264695,0.24929091735515302,-0.5037820861577181,0.08484432029807962,-1.4885771140582091,0.24536766565346532,0.1636073430246665;0.015548392268952332,0.021151565787506904,6.75892351602506E-4,0.048480969458882944,0.010286214801292198,-0.908511978210657,0.010148118305012277,0.0032046397311665965,0.07850676800948946,0.00433756473236248,0.01593985639760636,0.04450825390216312,-1.3210634537256698,0.007475260909040152,0.004387051323911532,0.1537378466308683,0.009931046828333904,0.00473943935147974,0.09652443742498806,0.08690188366311714,0.21359980430190548,0.013970794170631249,0.22684771463046405,0.018261381227822285,0.00406118766758498,0.09694598070443328,0.004816935008501418,0.004513340247298719,0.0037328377165478707,0.0019141894357795237,0.16730363342583054,0.04502341908106717,0.058079421319662074,0.005829479759941954,0.009709948439828036,0.08942186547095465,0.047668804698124366,0.01722519058380929,0.1816953800220667,0.04361607083912129,0.015572226676478689,0.03664537216327215,0.004602935828870433,0.002935713577584231,0.0043030263067603755,0.17962517309464704,0.0793623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x_a{265}	=[-13.933203705271637,-8.023406836157069,39.43310084794262];
std_x_a{265}	=[1.1883178375293209,3.565375222863001,2.5486779805236384];
pred_a{265}	=[-13.933203705271637];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.5 to 26.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{266}	=[-5.826438517466371,1.7383778082132424,32.53808489015165];
std_x_f{266}	=[1.752813111694322,1.7147305105730017,2.3824199846677];
pred_f{266}	=[-5.826438517466371];
obs{266}	=[-5.210993248840703];
sqrt_r{266}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{266}	=[4.077988680445993];
L_f{266}	=[0.07506581058286227,0.059965194480872674,0.10800806618000625,0.005417847998936745,0.08503176115118395,-0.7958782216096227,0.08931575710352892,0.10378546723499163,-0.028749190057753834,0.10247221875075009,0.0743354847454045,0.012833645286934536,-0.5129224142495612,0.09706931682105453,0.10194549912127102,-0.08108260897985663,0.08702205791710554,0.10324745292176889,-0.05128935112135096,0.010890408024529476,-0.13179708903977339,0.07935485021371874,-0.13417593057672828,0.06815014816530357,0.10290229008170021,-0.05700097023015273,0.10210847539136716,0.10083940085423324,0.10485917656339495,0.10865082701825154,-0.10840256489132667,0.012179842678496089,-0.010620610168745019,0.09675388132695847,0.08710386524804811,-0.04824769842842687,0.011831688961672939,0.06787654196051614,-0.10259951664999334,0.013587702948944394,0.07597504738461332,0.03236373222105021,0.10000057069258249,0.10391847624673926,0.10326345967530884,-0.1164572582483618,-0.03772096398968102,0.053388727682663076,0.0604277955196842,-0.04086907848439772,0.08774012048044745,0.08877902959051023,0.041846142238711845,-0.0074842836763558485,-0.13824358915864488,0.08457769436612653,-0.07890821290094356,0.09335569907497628,-0.05295679376367442,0.09312021747150565,0.09907908348310739,0.04497923072575588,0.06468868720972928,-0.04357258798659872,0.10153136338239464,0.09305470193166025,-0.12600779075174523,0.08969696029449603,0.09054406768023027,0.10284307501689514,0.09483614108255421,0.0915748700893963,-0.043538062378603616,-0.8788331153818985,0.10260932589573551,0.07962286716860914,0.052438038884057764,-0.03444332698337051,-0.04150859263297285,-0.12760602797208762,-0.06835440454137355,-0.06795763718844404,0.10405828070046866,8.966519344256715E-4,-0.052980284705485846,-0.06776213571255782,0.07988615247664448,0.10022979376674136,0.10043117816505412,0.07666695934626179,0.09899701659109869,0.016199940594690883,0.03820081926393942,-0.026416178930364766,0.10307106249856741,-0.13110463324127933,0.03375054869560723,-0.8732831250255546,0.10134479738864538,0.06618124301219869;0.007373457004039635,0.006202871304311839,0.012409059202331988,0.00890913206150022,0.00828630070836687,-0.14098782294369647,0.009758210944555689,0.012051969397380624,0.026700474157183653,0.012209717557632498,0.0076407435670798555,0.006975552573550923,-1.2138429628517597,0.011482437163787398,0.012149477156105697,0.0940428877067741,0.00909049781574425,0.013332794807261765,0.0404174921119922,0.04317949734982869,0.16777263442573703,0.00851243920054817,0.18384680703283343,0.007064584842473903,0.012397528316469196,0.040323119628954324,0.012632499837976196,0.012003712730653189,0.01275701179435792,0.01286821645325538,0.11198325040644497,0.007905813457348563,0.012855690598793558,0.01089959543700069,0.008226413771836241,0.034428493241406295,0.010015929310201517,0.006116898422814436,0.1262838610438996,0.007444423012072891,0.008713558220327128,0.007466674101466697,0.010539882018220165,0.011425896476928366,0.012975565839832039,0.1269717316315583,0.026175487830981756,0.006271996847893826,0.006164093885477583,0.027385285828065178,0.008373209861152016,0.009724771613492422,0.005430266404272213,0.012139834053559229,0.1997800276138539,0.009009112029211012,0.09165837197554054,0.009538955323185425,0.03755229909293282,0.009666806802422906,0.01204197178337374,0.005254080674708667,0.0073459198364512965,0.03114703743567685,0.011789607521271091,0.010667851290910371,0.15153623335364652,0.008525861934245808,0.009649945829527926,0.011877285702145988,0.010585310735169572,0.010183547890765728,0.03584002061482248,-0.8585819015982381,0.012081262716561968,0.008024346907532813,0.004129365742865132,0.02925593255457118,0.030028698145100348,0.15825824315133327,0.051440935034473445,0.0492677197619589,0.011769345765866709,0.044273938038472425,0.04357597086835428,0.05040981529127588,0.007163410647358478,0.011039163063475662,0.010901059302467956,0.007146995008434585,0.010861152692995571,0.006813631764682956,0.00530393552748135,0.020586582547200426,0.010873406094614615,0.16720820547854057,0.004438988377677528,-0.6618495576953042,0.011603438524257121,0.006846704473846723;-0.11692371866182193,-0.09630302393492231,-0.1616202078397429,-0.010455220136343665,-0.13124402673652483,1.2400449408301508,-0.1363521105213565,-0.15543767251450788,0.05706750993976573,-0.15326209155162207,-0.1158068260920418,-0.023252712288270274,-0.14245730655248226,-0.14462293942472115,-0.15317479590965624,0.19341935745762223,-0.133801783514553,-0.15419007642238117,0.10386042376715574,0.006513213810197838,0.3334615393428379,-0.12248055724017884,0.35059103618771786,-0.10769393342441916,-0.15361015139178716,0.11247062568631931,-0.15281007275500505,-0.1514092572197618,-0.15642925219193993,-0.1608359495807448,0.252446189066571,-0.02186524750880977,0.017020542645082324,-0.14705104185277074,-0.133654343114427,0.09383535273361286,-0.019945996293327658,-0.10813258574977533,0.2518152605107173,-0.02487920660453905,-0.11738266930633325,-0.05340954382941364,-0.15008623519729275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k{266}	=[0.7547810750934618;0.4657230233999494;-0.9316904757129021];
x_a_linear{266}	=[-5.3619120759519046,2.025004839454782,31.96468039505055];
L_a{266}	=[-0.05207395816705214,-0.04159849876568121,-0.07492635430551012,-0.0037584192838450046,-0.05898744499894098,0.5521092611451698,-0.06195929895319865,-0.07199709211395341,0.01994362158724087,-0.071086077550861,-0.05156732329809135,-0.008902837425100575,0.3558197818045418,-0.06733802651560197,-0.07072068649282422,0.056247875768045956,-0.06036813521894766,-0.07162386581262531,0.03557997314583374,-0.007554792887575341,0.09142905469088876,-0.055049310975205795,0.09307928258717833,-0.04727648895126488,-0.07138442264728824,0.0395421846004021,-0.0708337448799289,-0.06995337425787813,-0.0727419357946746,-0.0753722443950505,0.0752000222940489,-0.008449287541112366,0.007367631220411535,-0.06711920552910441,-0.0604248858421167,0.03346994603948296,-0.008207769572482107,-0.04708668539153876,0.07117438546931915,-0.009425935315367152,-0.05270470549144246,-0.022451068265602753,-0.06937146877510385,-0.07208936189242929,-0.07163496986928923,0.08078764949298109,0.026167437420145285,-0.03703633319019736,-0.041919410069457416,0.028351318220606457,-0.0608662629230842,-0.06158696531897803,-0.02902911782969139,0.00519192788363609,0.09590106098653056,-0.05867245399855728,0.05473947387945334,-0.06476185004250253,0.03673669599646446,-0.06459849392774088,-0.06873222321144326,-0.031202574927418986,-0.044875236349076704,0.030226771767683645,-0.07043339608758802,-0.06455304509484755,0.08741295635628712,-0.06222374369662381,-0.06281139117854936,-0.0713433445215267,-0.06578884854651867,-0.06352646986905601,0.030202820982999177,0.6096559609610778,-0.07118119024833185,-0.05523523721231242,-0.03637683017085917,0.023893705463771,0.02879495604668942,0.08852167066319852,0.04741818379076937,0.04714294202120646,-0.07218634574191461,-6.220170669062428E-4,0.0367529919148285,0.04700732054988874,-0.05541788105523067,-0.06953048328093517,-0.06967018579865682,-0.05318469224261993,-0.0686752925279778,-0.011238072596384664,-0.026500318172167456,0.01832518673777214,-0.07150150188359383,0.09094869067425695,-0.023413117732873148,0.6058058731061717,-0.07030397325609566,-0.04591063832257529;-0.07107567142601347,-0.056465035784632286,-0.100467076943348,0.0032470943084553098,-0.0805779571926298,0.6907617090594903,-0.08358312841402894,-0.09641124954439592,0.056745429185160554,-0.09488106301039051,-0.07004514224994299,-0.006436522504611615,-0.6778024400401227,-0.0899619253600345,-0.09439084381468171,0.17877999979434758,-0.08185376222459328,-0.09456816078682749,0.09401852381964934,0.03179824387187015,0.30550999694146064,-0.07441904169103243,0.3240702286984985,-0.06415718288952771,-0.09514270748042333,0.09989320086169835,-0.09407814296434196,-0.09338065662470052,-0.09682831001084533,-0.10067965063301909,0.2252716658551731,-0.0048229912424747,0.02395498606585164,-0.09021511448738062,-0.08280334076675275,0.08485078084580155,-0.0023490299128009822,-0.06481893130183147,0.23350767700005848,-0.006755696129176879,-0.07068578754675375,-0.026355735405220872,-0.09396784996292294,-0.09717632637307162,-0.09494211795387875,0.24867787638640318,0.06559658680473314,-0.04952303316874811,-0.056987264298230436,0.07009638908460424,-0.08332147679571061,-0.08305564919543824,-0.03830193819456081,0.019961444541402903,0.34425444274811223,-0.07938061368116242,0.17412308500516774,-0.08802441166831484,0.09289592734329899,-0.08765046511050321,-0.09150274031053345,-0.041752424956703296,-0.06025837420212096,0.07668350103273902,-0.0943179120514585,-0.08658095220797259,0.2832233660591413,-0.08521386195990711,-0.08497506572862948,-0.0956010661266948,-0.0885252237921757,-0.08551872573856342,0.08134040248793176,0.05986141369873059,-0.09515280460134275,-0.07518723082643691,-0.05067212664220128,0.06525166697875437,0.073408139319859,0.2916156477953682,0.12287616525431799,0.1202882997863934,-0.09697898271412016,0.0433368727858009,0.09894414882912524,0.12122608232327112,-0.0763233190204068,-0.09370812338652862,-0.09405668821369126,-0.07297544813040854,-0.09259779364282511,-0.010116462114330992,-0.034618646448263256,0.048193374473491486,-0.09684320892077249,0.3042219022741929,-0.030832743302136343,0.2507936216560235,-0.09430910627246364,-0.06231741688062033;0.04001571124368837,0.029065680711419874,0.06419130608210522,8.718270195553859E-4,0.046531128361513276,-0.4238906565314219,0.05037955723215198,0.061545690935046436,-0.0030381688356411396,0.060975674843283596,0.039605718009053395,0.0035784770281729666,-1.214819686350218,0.058319027429782316,0.05996176238893158,0.023900660067371415,0.04813446752531532,0.0616684652349007,-0.0033697714802933395,0.02928169407487744,0.05791452457670317,0.04342593009510135,0.0700705983446001,0.03478698189497945,0.06152676135182136,-0.0067008013924080645,0.060667218597930915,0.059414791161188266,0.0627989059061428,0.06631937877188823,0.02580990015898246,0.0035990424450294827,-0.005183873615654638,0.05523144678880157,0.048452941792664524,-0.007035685983166139,0.004790411747114991,0.033776303483918364,0.0373113535175782,0.003528484433165035,0.04145769398293661,0.0142530264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x_a{266}	=[-5.361912075951904,2.0250048394547826,31.964680395050543];
std_x_a{266}	=[1.21594526115554,1.5255740925085348,1.8041647228743356];
pred_a{266}	=[-5.361912075951904];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.6 to 26.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{267}	=[-0.542762475446662,2.1387314553755155,24.112303768579718];
std_x_f{267}	=[1.2094226825351566,1.6053308579439136,1.1005649884327262];
pred_f{267}	=[-0.542762475446662];
obs{267}	=[-0.2669918186368502];
sqrt_r{267}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{267}	=[2.466120658160697];
L_f{267}	=[-0.05845881567533435,-0.0480346370152852,-0.08009349811256325,-0.0033450087828944763,-0.06534921298262163,0.6180354683192494,-0.06824625948808948,-0.07724277712680983,0.035457763156015266,-0.07607051331766197,-0.05785414356806368,-0.010232435487016394,-0.3913883322422457,-0.07226876357144671,-0.07569546928834764,0.12325271640794017,-0.06638900510955419,-0.07672793490473478,0.06317019021455167,0.014722554310495602,0.21222365527618878,-0.06131159832146551,0.2247765745044308,-0.05357924538737994,-0.07626125889162191,0.06778614362451905,-0.07570545727971532,-0.07411829542374207,-0.0778873535535182,-0.0801581622884396,0.1568766448617857,-0.010015656881677874,0.01161142378408115,-0.07320064987378641,-0.06702134647759923,0.05680172580717437,-0.007930729541104855,-0.053838716432728945,0.16143402916155847,-0.011003593164008847,-0.05815916549776776,-0.02563909149782895,-0.07491223029282074,-0.0778862535647347,-0.07624689569511962,0.17337430509289622,0.04313052428873645,-0.04322733092902687,-0.0483800299497461,0.046080926148467635,-0.06766565904006566,-0.067438601608223,-0.03447846554449485,0.008966978902669695,0.2380123190956091,-0.06476718541504196,0.11994602144887419,-0.07155791302441758,0.06264458035764464,-0.07083296985050569,-0.07353751625887053,-0.03754445324001808,-0.050754870332272516,0.05101936886089491,-0.0757382068841991,-0.06914699538054085,0.1970789186314487,-0.0689621958799297,-0.06894376348470935,-0.07601033984418495,-0.07148966432812434,-0.06950605826692016,0.05418434278885606,0.2711265230283136,-0.07673612538182385,-0.061973400672681575,-0.04383270850751849,0.0423866991041591,0.048515965693159004,0.2030671472602274,0.08466612939791067,0.0829789509369951,-0.07739354705372072,0.023866176245698135,0.06647979229234063,0.08369104032086701,-0.06261079551120234,-0.0751598521809933,-0.07552955627436306,-0.05953042201695605,-0.07430899395004435,-0.013043419406645353,-0.03163526188498066,0.030130038856016558,-0.07758735706479321,0.2114365841189844,-0.02897262182522078,0.3891600619534941,-0.07517119975624681,-0.0523522967660433;-0.06317716819898833,-0.05366581651812484,-0.0819954980910098,-0.005872088714354601,-0.07022573757744473,0.6967352495632675,-0.07185977253985448,-0.0798794853769312,0.04285139214536664,-0.07792890399743609,-0.06235107203011667,-0.01414839106322047,-0.9488298464002536,-0.07463708778122197,-0.07804462786734151,0.16207791658387002,-0.07052203837601033,-0.07801297647187636,0.07807623454537259,0.027031500127660188,0.28364373338935633,-0.06527300577463498,0.3018899740406812,-0.0582347299940122,-0.07827949914982023,0.0830397065279937,-0.07758934115761147,-0.07740806658237089,-0.07974458212067162,-0.08138814827006031,0.20520978561282294,-0.012792014595213964,0.011958386342224105,-0.07558506468353839,-0.07079483078348073,0.06823516237895226,-0.009961501050634473,-0.05967028307086616,0.2146648046850539,-0.01431852781837411,-0.062455125418434905,-0.029646382182962564,-0.078232881451958,-0.07983484309586092,-0.07861218264453633,0.22861920798137875,0.051090966798779974,-0.04828254699632607,-0.053774394940146075,0.05430301545231737,-0.07144121871759045,-0.07088228929849788,-0.03960538420295256,0.008858393793145018,0.3210897250000999,-0.06938220026583844,0.15726757856166998,-0.07440600095332502,0.07648936638606678,-0.07447033098144089,-0.07591725873136201,-0.04273335833213675,-0.0552065548050495,0.061126897982844784,-0.07789642630437502,-0.07297966360802859,0.26205018763026494,-0.07279803389267522,-0.07235860813494524,-0.07865361210869559,-0.07466858214254098,-0.0731536393040441,0.0658167816486534,0.1388494614625709,-0.07837051261165183,-0.06656150519003516,-0.049802276487412755,0.05100123689405632,0.05807344081550253,0.27061945441916363,0.10525638979107711,0.10244967942938418,-0.07983065911284468,0.03650844311108179,0.08265295145885239,0.10328482164084256,-0.06809741831352105,-0.07803074392084908,-0.07822145495334419,-0.06474369538416552,-0.07671274820659715,-0.017312242242053428,-0.03671223542144189,0.034269350539953426,-0.08033662897981393,0.28214712074834186,-0.03438341559416779,0.3368534903695926,-0.07814049510862947,-0.0572541517625382;0.024778533383167937,0.014454426432557428,0.04659288658278835,-0.011341006814711991,0.03027858751552214,-0.0217766030598427,0.0337676045415255,0.04378669639619016,-0.017074803123571503,0.04298351398499817,0.023655557510613073,-0.007834468759167898,-0.7255306874154183,0.040388788438847606,0.042420019400134915,0.004713493813245618,0.03216541325400125,0.043414253829595476,-0.017552303428858315,0.005664829045124619,0.044859176168715154,0.027658142802970374,0.0566014278846984,0.01988109746404331,0.043721752756480846,-0.019591535201433946,0.04234037383491117,0.041703785170646886,0.0446960281776881,0.04753211526841629,0.010459716144890892,-0.008570004719908169,-0.01728185295165409,0.0380476545355295,0.0319354146422547,-0.020218109800808397,-0.008223808105385097,0.019278429914998847,0.0187123485561947,-0.009076730916996284,0.02560585721960566,8.474371595178648E-4,0.04093040952190414,0.043449432939890946,0.04356086597056001,0.018915973994963555,-0.02076610193782119,0.01161525553209491,0.014849483496004333,-0.021112501750780163,0.032728206067040196,0.033550119022958194,0.005027600956621239,-0.015056921610688178,0.0664684291476964,0.030842929893593413,0.0025573704272321934,0.03573173668237041,-0.019615530126261292,0.035887462517496097,0.04156831917545633,0.006033019443918053,0.01829745256711744,-0.020419716118499315,0.04235311839383216,0.03650163006100468,0.033629302171543515,0.03336623644697089,0.03485997164385569,0.04333879367756362,0.03757513524186757,0.03444150624079542,-0.018290458251485068,-0.6182542052071247,0.04298682490893597,0.026892824755273534,0.010838425241698917,-0.017837581185530953,-0.01925493038493791,0.03893834745611219,-0.017194668982040185,-0.01835662489079827,0.04360314898232181,0.0022276366237212746,-0.01785599477821072,-0.01741658737639844,0.02703729516876179,0.04073283064804909,0.04090288544148457,0.025981673243469776,0.041181388773255015,-0.007286614370913074,0.003194354630824339,-0.020406615241024013,0.04301551052807741,0.044226991278840756,2.52726598442687E-4,-0.4606698404254555,0.04169866723894978,0.019130152353246912];
k{267}	=[0.594504836293846;0.7426902893950772;-0.06250370948407379];
x_a_linear{267}	=[-0.37881548626529843,2.343543644288265,24.095067079562245];
L_a{267}	=[0.08562504981810694,0.0703566799962351,0.11731352554390351,0.004899458539632962,0.0957174645529467,-0.9052410171648622,0.09996078950728252,0.11313805391310124,-0.05193524195792874,0.11142103063955927,0.08473938221245085,0.01498752221054696,0.5732693189097253,0.10585258030995393,0.11087170093927295,-0.18052914450505642,0.09724045559613766,0.11238396078951728,-0.09252583415613892,-0.021564231702659403,-0.310845521683595,0.08980354117776491,-0.32923187320070957,0.07847790795130144,0.11170041706031071,-0.09928685447652291,0.11088633042241537,0.10856160298110244,0.11408216966383775,0.117408239629656,-0.22977835552107356,0.014670005020587166,-0.017007336335597405,0.10721752091199746,0.0981666505680236,-0.08319789831195464,0.011616196876488552,0.07885795706669495,-0.23645358924245974,0.016117042433413067,0.0851861500373683,0.037553762617857735,0.10972448512183436,0.11408055850231662,0.11167937918258695,-0.25394259769485167,-0.0631735906422468,0.06331538402792922,0.07086257952359437,-0.06749506556958634,0.09911037983489787,0.09877780717346937,0.05050085766867315,-0.013133998805640633,-0.34861836396188917,0.09486496456823447,-0.17568580450009022,0.10481139237620181,-0.0917559695999957,0.10374956287000305,0.1077109315408592,0.054991632005068875,0.07434102539552581,-0.07472843830200497,0.11093429900479339,0.10128010387882985,-0.28866291646473613,0.10100942671468609,0.10098242865219088,0.11133289411806696,0.10471142801748834,0.1018060258835589,-0.07936419848845405,-0.3971209777878673,0.1123959574405046,0.09077288786462435,0.06420208494238133,-0.0620841045185607,-0.07106168558941742,-0.29743391821593546,-0.1240110916352555,-0.12153986914983517,0.11335888771470475,-0.034956960834700394,-0.09737343223890944,-0.12258287161686432,0.0917064846912389,0.11008717869107434,0.11062868694858943,0.08719463937148329,0.10884092049080957,0.019104790673405706,0.04633639671994323,-0.04413168567074575,0.11364276263864262,-0.30969269287125145,0.042436408580757895,-0.5700055553134498,0.11010379956656031,0.07668078743812391;0.11682084229254218,0.09423555639802432,0.1646169272040066,0.004427383128208659,0.13098819719308571,-1.2062310255062463,0.13827433280309642,0.15795540824943471,-0.0663250725303546,0.15629652284483145,0.11578511873326688,0.017357858402640845,0.2562770364428609,0.1478825358763574,0.15502601712819433,-0.21742419075127256,0.1338934753524668,0.1582366887399212,-0.11642836548176115,-0.01830007997071735,-0.3698049430447804,0.12350888435483089,-0.39020985296573424,0.10673880670791404,0.15653324413781533,-0.12567767596346738,0.15551205743007684,0.15080637059320395,0.1600749988976114,0.16542338169160678,-0.27782230529595886,0.01804676124451763,-0.023793846335840585,0.14980388977535294,0.13556769789705636,-0.10666057438313789,0.014457665206057235,0.10610217970240485,-0.2823997310744802,0.019562159891409348,0.11662024517383783,0.0492978353333485,0.15242612623437898,0.15998135099454291,0.15615633554608274,-0.3052101148771099,-0.08171036476676573,0.08481685770760504,0.0951904624192425,-0.0875827708488758,0.13690518490189088,0.13676499160481367,0.06655576756031154,-0.018751443045904866,-0.41176371061545025,0.1300396385991335,-0.21205302736845233,0.1459248735353922,-0.11639685106788202,0.14362840234060834,0.15050892644142844,0.07286814351366515,0.10107057084358607,-0.09596463364340055,0.15530581017377273,0.13992785865667423,-0.3447669853431954,0.1395404802238882,0.1399231515908575,0.15538653719441728,0.14545215073777196,0.1408594579615032,-0.10101988428640966,-0.6959644870036107,0.15790437154384107,0.12425811193032778,0.08516112013058391,-0.07950981472259354,-0.09130997041102047,-0.35463581428197644,-0.15543542668840968,-0.1530472188363029,0.15846846367335632,-0.0369768677464637,-0.12204210115680343,-0.15440464024263884,0.12468477368123691,0.15339070560955054,0.15433833445801898,0.11855385183751796,0.1520888605519378,0.022849186211130114,0.060694530947204645,-0.058502748714253254,0.15855924582750447,-0.36887811893334893,0.054824930948911776,-0.8613924218195801,0.1533158942498514,0.103941540515675;0.009630168693173869,0.0020072669947030584,0.025838351878480378,-0.012207795037311902,0.013344722211738103,0.1383742066562958,0.016083030957361504,0.02377086569439691,-0.007886674332837474,0.023271450636146933,0.008663880798180253,-0.0104859878266259,-0.8269506892358744,0.02166186806544788,0.0228051407729588,0.03665182639167433,0.014962107829705204,0.02353183359203548,-0.001183085752248929,0.009479867363763265,0.09985244431533172,0.011770539874814153,0.11484751934285013,0.0059971701287663765,0.02396026172963204,-0.0020261909040846728,0.02272290703118687,0.02249759776659249,0.02451316913860173,0.026760824211670718,0.05111097806759359,-0.011165350200325167,-0.014272998255927722,0.01907925555202844,0.014568251337140204,-0.005499144874682233,-0.010278888796954115,0.005327266150518442,0.06054456015445748,-0.01192807917342457,0.010535140530460795,-0.005796390701899221,0.021518490701672638,0.023266858939614315,0.02380309686206011,0.06384225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x_a{267}	=[-0.3788154862652985,2.343543644288264,24.095067079562252];
std_x_a{267}	=[1.7714501439500667,2.2777494893509584,1.109200668861214];
pred_a{267}	=[-0.3788154862652985];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.7 to 26.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{268}	=[1.3795797141384856,2.6497959739202153,19.084195114497433];
std_x_f{268}	=[2.391310711293731,3.2583792352918635,1.0404107168271828];
pred_f{268}	=[1.3795797141384856];
obs{268}	=[1.5021047911105931];
sqrt_r{268}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{268}	=[6.7326262692517895];
L_f{268}	=[0.11941252574022002,0.09690550497778558,0.1664328223767654,0.003559088585952305,0.13403067446231115,-1.1196840360586258,0.1408855432225323,0.1600204187604094,-0.07278357000949365,0.15786994553667835,0.11812830103182817,0.017920296817607987,0.6017809978660595,0.15000327254576332,0.15683518350137457,-0.23844895767501287,0.1367931221922964,0.1598211056386611,-0.12713694389357574,-0.024572988121538266,-0.39849588602047664,0.12603838994884237,-0.4189684592144442,0.10956311172716848,0.15812658843863478,-0.13770331579180664,0.15705338905367863,0.15272613112652625,0.16200547169828505,0.16689865812231847,-0.30245499062135633,0.01831570781002207,-0.026131110347929504,0.15173935230047608,0.13805445504571834,-0.11612308115306492,0.014160107888808018,0.10964686079022323,-0.3076988997846983,0.019250962420630822,0.11918512956220782,0.050489997727614346,0.15464145317222042,0.16146208049671737,0.1578871531257873,-0.33176379224993774,-0.08896917918836059,0.08781274259710718,0.09773562146074963,-0.09570466545475603,0.13965171598913684,0.13910116242132664,0.06905051491112513,-0.02088092708213149,-0.4414846224406083,0.13243265566868515,-0.2329266132477636,0.14817700180942064,-0.1272672985802194,0.14607437889851135,0.15232693471793948,0.07559141978262233,0.10385134414796268,-0.10554145963097189,0.15689659953095653,0.14228730734670525,-0.3726349203320157,0.14240625679972369,0.142670084121075,0.15780693420348002,0.14773290217888402,0.143259688198641,-0.1099007882443132,-0.7443606039559127,0.15944905289833802,0.12693683407955414,0.08855606433709988,-0.0867263869437018,-0.10012715811469015,-0.38273917226146054,-0.17017100496257823,-0.16665558598714508,0.16039407382869122,-0.04462038978564941,-0.13383189837192805,-0.16868503451024103,0.12809406217638677,0.15532344029421244,0.1563060822298394,0.1219635494959866,0.1540357179535241,0.023383717588965968,0.06258413012023928,-0.06382288832121316,0.16105241367562154,-0.3972019346555466,0.05716578296663242,-0.9138601792854826,0.15505808126911355,0.10726667088826716;0.16410565797094886,0.13344464569166734,0.22724334787057085,0.002774120943571228,0.18442165244358139,-1.2606685876154773,0.1934762086056801,0.21951632238692687,-0.10452180684014281,0.21676830781967485,0.1627978459995401,0.02216888766840095,0.8792278417329749,0.20565460972260122,0.21503591211727777,-0.3332874672779572,0.18772718930113375,0.21887774439068977,-0.18055635765159134,-0.03518318819865854,-0.541020154872815,0.17363723804644787,-0.5649708165558781,0.1504116634521599,0.21703713924931314,-0.19558872488490997,0.21561294460435537,0.20996804510890713,0.22176403431541172,0.22865139781214286,-0.4196733106490768,0.023304150991987984,-0.03941125296129102,0.20859237236791173,0.18976407571063722,-0.16612770338002084,0.01766145928335624,0.1503233671261371,-0.4256611068430589,0.02532666778662297,0.1641147269777528,0.06870450663689524,0.21219427263003993,0.22159781088973105,0.21616028308684987,-0.4572455224042247,-0.12750617482642485,0.12098258515644446,0.13482814888408665,-0.13690305956994825,0.19177081323120312,0.19122010291877836,0.09406930624860238,-0.03143459291545035,-0.5903346872522626,0.18250566372175867,-0.3255065681365719,0.20355988971152209,-0.18124910817118492,0.20042504468620836,0.20898802649123166,0.10299518179900424,0.14244577323958707,-0.15034196412945916,0.21516798848564045,0.19478758150335582,-0.509487251569377,0.19614544639295625,0.1952237818697507,0.21587822525735198,0.20314753978821493,0.19703390817046781,-0.1579765863308435,-1.1760319925342708,0.2182550587806572,0.17516231067156263,0.12137246745203589,-0.12468251512943924,-0.1431521980945613,-0.521603914310344,-0.24067705544121348,-0.2365816182956068,0.21966622652523157,-0.0639982581850397,-0.1902255364743077,-0.23899445995628785,0.17613196633063974,0.21332705137388253,0.21465356242647146,0.16729772160603962,0.21127338962227107,0.030398418962439083,0.0850940487336515,-0.09211257535707347,0.21972801298503766,-0.5396510867895745,0.07796398767407824,-1.3266293799459818,0.2127251009239686,0.1467058011842865;7.598244441903495E-4,-0.014995736965068373,0.03616358475704764,-0.05765289553796182,0.009570931346976452,0.8879789450840649,0.015885263353211786,0.03106306594855702,-0.06898449592618479,0.029768147562366287,-8.60788709222493E-4,-0.05330698939391922,-0.25316949732462474,0.024685845259397307,0.029221436756167285,-0.03293214669333189,0.012929420922360503,0.030578681671981096,-0.06758503520436888,-0.04740608188279927,0.0614932833305675,0.005024870908014595,0.08242150936168294,-0.0065628898852650676,0.03015175801121401,-0.06878127547341234,0.029035791377038888,0.0258478327383498,0.03220703093522469,0.03640980664346763,-0.007774264206762574,-0.0524154699369741,-0.06592298438098174,0.023241162024762656,0.013019700601144995,-0.0707086680454266,-0.05330070234560411,-0.007739658826246418,6.82231940100275E-4,-0.052691160962293274,0.001102170800093648,-0.0386446779505669,0.02698852281945059,0.03179054595694701,0.0299935357788237,0.00961443362830917,-0.071815093534843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k{268}	=[0.8514695514041757;1.154342300256942;-0.1562737071568878];
x_a_linear{268}	=[1.4839060864636882,2.791231853111357,19.065047666499318];
L_a{268}	=[-0.05489070128289753,-0.04454483391445914,-0.07650465711299731,-0.0016360165501892443,-0.06161026801041864,0.5146884011835448,-0.06476126537119224,-0.07355704898538357,0.03345663425950211,-0.07256853473523292,-0.05430037799468702,-0.00823747469889472,-0.2766224128233465,-0.06895243839560825,-0.07209288267589793,0.10960852243785077,-0.0628800903528931,-0.07346543014590395,0.05844140692966023,0.011295536563240479,0.1831777571609143,-0.05793643145870598,0.1925884441279333,-0.05036319263964026,-0.07268650652069136,0.06329848167885005,-0.07219318585360533,-0.07020406267929002,-0.07446952401401435,-0.07671878917826919,0.13903036083363357,-0.008419234414084011,0.012011763116199666,-0.06975046720061417,-0.06345989087588086,0.053378632769976085,-0.00650901777213103,-0.05040168981382157,0.14144084373444615,-0.008849145607538392,-0.054786173423673264,-0.023208883371831933,-0.07108448430691278,-0.07421974180783357,-0.07257644459751696,0.1525028224969438,0.040896720071368436,-0.04036513751677779,-0.04492641596051068,0.04399284053571633,-0.06419410843616241,-0.06394103388436323,-0.031740650019097566,0.009598396180554043,0.20293851403913388,-0.06087570208693892,0.10707005039349528,-0.06811295124106673,0.05850132744571172,-0.06714643248268792,-0.07002056291089366,-0.034747326690540516,-0.047737647906840756,0.04851454818205357,-0.07212111395995179,-0.06540561834280982,0.1712901722221222,-0.0654602961821146,-0.06558157045042769,-0.07253957013334919,-0.06790881067868866,-0.06585259546305688,0.050518413381500836,0.3421623929753221,-0.07329440758605156,-0.05834942187233787,-0.0407068223721488,0.03986576926969979,0.04602574053525545,0.17593482294790008,0.07822299832039459,0.07660705550645143,-0.07372880809196611,0.02051078370269806,0.061518896029700586,0.07753993798221952,-0.05888136826058861,-0.07139797530092705,-0.07184966916321,-0.056063337755288524,-0.07080604424595721,-0.01074886113582335,-0.02876822820876795,0.0293376517759348,-0.07403142907461839,0.18258296279234434,-0.02627756089215246,0.4200767532932163,-0.07127599694991965,-0.049307581033398634;-0.07219825646998593,-0.05832041425642592,-0.10210842804480826,-0.004268913775686379,-0.08080992886895666,0.9550597793841408,-0.08532038450924653,-0.09714603031989716,0.03950866562172726,-0.09563850102759154,-0.07096473264991345,-0.013293357683954898,-0.3116288506485438,-0.09118494091739755,-0.09532321942024748,0.13857611439978845,-0.0829709643662517,-0.09739019013783491,0.07103330872450853,0.01344398258292642,0.24755823898934937,-0.07577851402915593,0.26412048961950135,-0.06640137202272017,-0.09587753694243717,0.07691059921355124,-0.095177991099798,-0.09225973542669856,-0.09882651417058012,-0.10162221448077181,0.17885098806232644,-0.012940568097869124,0.01229926589447041,-0.09168268421484502,-0.08343011335026262,0.06366677138979975,-0.01035979646254968,-0.06665539829464207,0.18324029640230383,-0.012768814647496598,-0.07173919608530799,-0.03120950179053574,-0.09382371411724229,-0.09791742772229876,-0.0962805776376326,0.19927758765024964,0.048553791885470696,-0.05278892402872221,-0.05857961791699404,0.052485674459665205,-0.08458417500862492,-0.08404540193246439,-0.04257387139557655,0.009886405665533974,0.28331356532008534,-0.07956361871180291,0.13542891703738666,-0.08966567720983797,0.07059851542111693,-0.08863966874544338,-0.09244978939539689,-0.0465917085381219,-0.06306431868748283,0.05851267563307916,-0.09531267844450525,-0.08678294464423728,0.22791520923614522,-0.08566046730041268,-0.08710421632342535,-0.09640389127144472,-0.08919920407461751,-0.0864608499638075,0.05950467286949125,0.29697365222579103,-0.09727662535560913,-0.07603136096212455,-0.053869991583328794,0.04693921879736659,0.054988149893894736,0.23579372094295425,0.09607216201094579,0.09321098166902057,-0.09773554740008158,0.02430045842671235,0.07461268938440635,0.09481418964124996,-0.07735172913000758,-0.09404051093531031,-0.09465853739621169,-0.07405438100094071,-0.09354591547578398,-0.015875319627388355,-0.03875288304858277,0.03418571912870796,-0.09897654121309646,0.24636672332533358,-0.03516064647429954,0.48179679878376436,-0.0941173458165316,-0.06556283699097551;0.03275041225956286,0.010965225233562522,0.08075089908274148,-0.056699416535270844,0.04547771779807334,0.5880158527789195,0.05362846754756741,0.07393249883991203,-0.08848319736869839,0.07206146917827569,0.030785755606074803,-0.048506146053008785,-0.09195250824813841,0.06487168701445747,0.07123754586398201,-0.09681256688125611,0.04957626647650073,0.07339471862447207,-0.1016449928427628,-0.0539891796735481,-0.045263671660369265,0.038790526200644854,-0.029820043216554314,0.022789042211527877,0.07251383420074402,-0.10567196168073048,0.0711103577014605,0.06676312767260317,0.07560825904599797,0.08112191825682703,-0.08880188570368629,-0.04750869608335084,-0.07292350275304268,0.06389209914149728,0.050004456932749165,-0.10181801442254242,-0.049507212742364845,0.02163470962502012,-0.08175023159953056,-0.04753383261645968,0.033031839232374155,-0.025118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x_a{268}	=[1.4839060864636877,2.791231853111356,19.065047666499314];
std_x_a{268}	=[1.0992207150343019,1.526051161195526,0.9638893009697286];
pred_a{268}	=[1.4839060864636877];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.8 to 26.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{269}	=[2.935475863645728,4.762619898889616,15.564881031493863];
std_x_f{269}	=[1.6667319599120722,2.414065140065875,1.5412826410188996];
pred_f{269}	=[2.935475863645728];
obs{269}	=[2.9980196574029194];
sqrt_r{269}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{269}	=[3.785323790853453];
L_f{269}	=[-0.08560586814650188,-0.06864647307375976,-0.1232752952896721,6.927405324770524E-4,-0.09701905974063335,0.7424967526115523,-0.10275073055083869,-0.11742268277241415,0.05825262822018577,-0.11512447078881377,-0.08489307826900269,-0.009525059974732882,-0.40440352259937473,-0.11000028433149163,-0.11518057918649308,0.17868845674238645,-0.09949832025309323,-0.11787906901059106,0.09796493360211368,0.02256152049453559,0.29349889716333555,-0.09098694599633175,0.3085844996126439,-0.07881489850666128,-0.11570927339264016,0.1061074198433247,-0.11561303091726266,-0.111478937125058,-0.11936646738490082,-0.12277119057795272,0.2243659176633593,-0.009594899061317266,0.023449677613117115,-0.11173050721872758,-0.10065008675721754,0.09008228704670382,-0.00638380668917827,-0.0786041873212702,0.22826563313648826,-0.010047468579699804,-0.08571668581271856,-0.03416211107223828,-0.11321573307969915,-0.11872808864911392,-0.11599468157767037,0.24603581546604567,0.07019297340694061,-0.061693223228696734,-0.06937214638708564,0.07491752811685219,-0.10189879536518537,-0.10170065924310777,-0.04789392447309329,0.020070707650182477,0.325571894228899,-0.09559489279339209,0.1749071604429745,-0.10845274379711428,0.09811802354631294,-0.10700308559201116,-0.11121669754155536,-0.0534712428085694,-0.07468815962659818,0.08252641121391381,-0.11510327414631888,-0.10427640408379872,0.2752861580684353,-0.10374825930295449,-0.1053052866333041,-0.11644778000583451,-0.10819773300113181,-0.10437110936044458,0.08434375101848583,0.4843830693418303,-0.11729710566683013,-0.0914633900370962,-0.06284056601229786,0.06816800770777197,0.07816326903169193,0.2823338134404487,0.12954106112507158,0.1262979940000061,-0.11772816960911275,0.03684123232725396,0.10260605395985897,0.12845783281636008,-0.09253454499986766,-0.11386872316345593,-0.11466243457060524,-0.0888225843164172,-0.11246182077389369,-0.01337569828999696,-0.042596309527363097,0.05152754944360041,-0.11892029650591575,0.2927499915286093,-0.039127574452881994,0.5907055783832565,-0.1140100827104762,-0.07781902881354497;-0.12997235478933997,-0.10183260986635907,-0.19182135005774348,0.013124583363684158,-0.14881575611200007,0.7465760477391995,-0.15796899244516538,-0.18205188563628052,0.10497921912503272,-0.17899708867971556,-0.12906221141288915,-0.004820111927691344,-0.6292556210080409,-0.17024665160228647,-0.17852860476851695,0.2909467250587363,-0.1526237391516132,-0.18213242953942432,0.1686273054263878,0.046019428817522946,0.45090313216380706,-0.13865188338897114,0.4692836269150405,-0.11875969676097857,-0.17973575176808015,0.18104139109474462,-0.17912142837714468,-0.17235067112001223,-0.18537346287269688,-0.19116832134025372,0.35769112975716516,-0.0047439172009381796,0.04938596918663001,-0.17164746019797655,-0.1546619787114283,0.15527744795296014,4.480845506774472E-4,-0.11866990363749384,0.3619712810120556,-0.005021952754846871,-0.1301443290419839,-0.04489874338582133,-0.1754592809283024,-0.18458732362892805,-0.18043088520884545,0.3879195413524869,0.1241359487559065,-0.09094121276604239,-0.10282726238125725,0.13204943925346643,-0.15674565083336706,-0.15571923898934614,-0.06808174611061293,0.04460927474807048,0.4897798581954171,-0.14614366854664707,0.2850641193117056,-0.16693049120031955,0.16838727432113842,-0.1646526867535173,-0.17286973329275876,-0.0769227181069507,-0.11182262620088466,0.14362319946083005,-0.17836143669705298,-0.16056914285215781,0.4266603939061413,-0.15952436142068155,-0.16179475763484305,-0.1806999878432703,-0.16641877061640625,-0.16057243124104167,0.14610793815380457,0.7642587011989743,-0.18220935483870332,-0.138741722977744,-0.0922240511204403,0.12082662493967286,0.13711145128010396,0.4362822445642831,0.21697391046186526,0.21248161051480843,-0.18353620949044025,0.06988108370371156,0.17540431371538434,0.2153395246280904,-0.1412417848235781,-0.17625816019550733,-0.17723414118443137,-0.13530254899660338,-0.1748654521138288,-0.010976553208119149,-0.05980950432007199,0.09448945838824512,-0.18523922788011118,0.44913316258104813,-0.05270025180940822,0.8217049670333388,-0.1761993042908892,-0.11680682457333254;-0.0345561720923006,-0.045949463495583535,-0.009913658323072807,-0.06703440441459056,-0.029382592390169774,1.3293775912883823,-0.02481512071044541,-0.01380675777824948,-0.059812705666629704,-0.014396802919781293,-0.036104570156395434,-0.06564960985558914,-0.15852159940863994,-0.017896204316273832,-0.0147835662833126,0.015842706496312225,-0.026477314672466223,-0.01452079818192218,-0.04624961737742071,-0.054198486872867144,0.15812040687658022,-0.03174149435117673,0.18612906519577224,-0.0404099930986003,-0.013919140694077488,-0.04373727080696883,-0.015454802572307311,-0.017380409527412724,-0.012873281691575277,-0.009699224579413341,0.06013811616354386,-0.06510353326598095,-0.06799562513850174,-0.019766695298843687,-0.026550503908551976,-0.05179280015100196,-0.06495529169188678,-0.041432478101576756,0.06903358982437242,-0.06544964781694637,-0.03490124536187391,-0.05881870454116332,-0.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k{269}	=[0.7358218067325396;1.0530617530642266;0.4807005335628873];
x_a_linear{269}	=[2.981496950968052,4.828482375986852,15.594945866523993];
L_a{269}	=[0.06406857132871667,0.0513759342883391,0.09226087206800561,-5.184562364504445E-4,0.07261035585317846,-0.555694453966912,0.07690001458904873,0.08788069894856979,-0.04359704243432401,0.08616068650563972,0.06353510989554968,0.007128681685198456,0.30266097983962875,0.08232567714645939,0.08620267877739267,-0.1337328197738243,0.07446586742527289,0.08822226448475538,-0.0733182604428327,-0.016885342283016393,-0.21965848177169894,0.06809584162585573,-0.2309487474682762,0.05898611924708267,0.0865983605593898,-0.07941220554067752,0.08652633140961215,0.08343232058138018,0.08933545322872778,0.09188359339098028,-0.16791843959747685,0.007180950187314694,-0.017550050893944374,0.08362059898844969,0.07532786480957869,-0.06741878282489597,0.004777725909097849,0.05882842019089309,-0.17083703857160637,0.007519659239596607,0.06415150874534713,0.025567378701487762,0.08473216179451895,0.088857682084599,0.08681196384449527,-0.1841364795883968,-0.052533355725112904,0.04617202954080111,0.05191903785638798,-0.05606927536452785,0.07626241495491999,0.076114127243517,0.03584445065220601,-0.015021184791945617,-0.24366233973975535,0.07154449035097758,-0.13090284728573168,0.08116747720926414,-0.07343283499504503,0.08008253371033296,0.08323605698608454,0.0400185899412078,0.05589761293300809,-0.06176386476582572,0.08614482265622128,0.07804184897128391,-0.2060278253802937,0.07764657838649781,0.07881187836808937,0.08715106873989908,0.08097662373477987,0.07811272766106729,-0.06312398606847386,-0.3625187373304845,0.08778671537103512,0.06845241868851248,0.047030716153777574,-0.051017844438978145,-0.058498431073352314,-0.21130238448095445,-0.09695025463074462,-0.09452310002178148,0.08810932936387636,-0.027572468713909642,-0.0767917367023865,-0.09613955214428424,0.0692540853221478,0.08522086826597883,0.08581489244918453,0.06647600453205443,0.08416792378857525,0.010010550661053946,0.03187964510357542,-0.03856390395190676,0.08900153300335105,-0.219097990825041,0.02928359759711853,-0.44209191849034524,0.08532666363278396,0.05824079711147459;0.08423226130186305,0.06993588835873064,0.1166404163233145,0.011391194952084368,0.09394716301063079,-1.1113133152883257,0.09913582136347159,0.11176536344084274,-0.04078160468735173,0.10906953107371634,0.08335884841787035,0.01901367259326754,0.3826504922047013,0.10499813225793286,0.10967841047467058,-0.15617089789356975,0.09634283233457681,0.11282679778118455,-0.07650239709270834,-0.010434432823074028,-0.2834953378391257,0.08901736707761261,-0.3028623217493846,0.0784524271555101,0.10979417207833045,-0.08446259390159525,0.11016767573416773,0.1065940256180958,0.11330756068270322,0.11603206473380476,-0.20372149647521426,0.019264619998241122,-0.009290255928966632,0.10792671996809321,0.09718656462066876,-0.07012814784608526,0.016421765919292352,0.07801497478110926,-0.20919928674784766,0.020119012419641053,0.08433757710143186,0.040582334553493526,0.10783125936875393,0.11249633662672728,0.10981319237523943,-0.22771591142276748,-0.051502231738945005,0.06342873269746735,0.07075702928012773,-0.05541061104716233,0.09822743470326432,0.09875806660973732,0.05175933402776117,-0.0056120280664584896,-0.3248722693204101,0.0930556732092839,-0.15259187280056893,0.10444200757910886,-0.07712549274054843,0.10309244995353349,0.10541878261891409,0.05687403304715995,0.07506349394212704,-0.06287594147666577,0.10965214441818343,0.1003532400143491,-0.2621658172054282,0.10007648762494663,0.10170211453118908,0.110677841164144,0.10431563534490991,0.10058692495293643,-0.06493858468138342,-0.44777374068784115,0.11129367283895401,0.09011969474384901,0.0650167970721403,-0.04974464823235397,-0.05847015308741349,-0.2701787425970044,-0.10716617323959216,-0.10354360952690782,0.11104543450484392,-0.022303741914562795,-0.08133848760159515,-0.10609008479128179,0.09029989702642696,0.10866630419146223,0.10967636283903426,0.08695099489791186,0.10653863460792946,0.02249237105134047,0.04677578389400136,-0.034443746608846436,0.11232537849603069,-0.28339138163328675,0.04520550215031092,-0.6563696600935878,0.10907887261784859,0.07791341543485003;0.06322372822888665,0.032459241887395685,0.1308926479088863,-0.06782565975351328,0.08143357239025932,0.48129018757306136,0.09254781723670889,0.12031463442916342,-0.12634945488888158,0.11709954799620008,0.06086117425841709,-0.054769988691198444,0.3033922504881052,0.10774724828943416,0.11677687221978225,-0.1882570809027984,0.08717068688536353,0.12012188306610334,-0.15814616898055775,-0.07996848690691563,-0.17711704273255652,0.07218472826273557,-0.1663393142049301,0.049613192071571124,0.11824517775202523,-0.16493425368042175,0.11659958673163698,0.10995197545985971,0.1234683212300091,0.13053128808219164,-0.1961349354343969,-0.05414414118082722,-0.09478008733974445,0.10785303562878767,0.08841305715944867,-0.1546857120371037,-0.05766364223779384,0.04835003059220132,-0.191693756771091,-0.05397332618766238,0.06300523203388905,-0.019798391007419883,0.11336671934077369,0.12253386204725238,0.11774496168903441,-0.1941327962672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x_a{269}	=[2.98149695096805,4.828482375986851,15.594945866523997];
std_x_a{269}	=[1.2474043867732454,1.8243104612538177,1.3600947937030325];
pred_a{269}	=[2.98149695096805];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.9 to 27.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{270}	=[5.683362054386506,9.435912730663917,14.9949860416407];
std_x_f{270}	=[2.0967093243464046,3.264544272996617,2.2468093151087487];
pred_f{270}	=[5.683362054386506];
obs{270}	=[5.934176637408637];
sqrt_r{270}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{270}	=[5.406402576308053];
L_f{270}	=[0.10105733771921566,0.08745627363027764,0.13079871845526547,0.023989107592953904,0.11077345433914103,-1.1564098697967475,0.11552464260685273,0.12622037696366795,-0.038309748478355214,0.12434956468051245,0.10036484471693081,0.032926489440239674,0.3890628431552184,0.12002045151889422,0.1244487705510305,-0.1869975322041495,0.11185181676475617,0.1275177857949153,-0.0829860870488229,-0.001798504166002827,-0.35215025167177927,0.10583295170764744,-0.377176126118534,0.09596246331115568,0.12469017160834577,-0.09309056172933206,0.12478486618296022,0.12171310635817913,0.127961654458731,0.13016114219994593,-0.24994478664753886,0.033457008171262584,2.4618463934814624E-4,0.1229927492604068,0.1130249524648751,-0.07471601515121078,0.029788582964981797,0.09551623659373595,-0.25651054281645724,0.03416738431927843,0.10096338945260767,0.056336027977491814,0.12278756895813617,0.12707997799818346,0.1248090452006578,-0.28089550719063605,-0.05136758837390504,0.08114762599453963,0.08786846748942753,-0.05651791543457738,0.11458293979275315,0.11479714154296403,0.06879675419186634,0.003924679531778717,-0.40427618771846624,0.10957080595414266,-0.18205430960059357,0.11962551479405739,-0.08348546072459684,0.11850464117214991,0.12100260038000456,0.07401840401423038,0.09261602537443937,-0.06512040912705395,0.12523360950975143,0.1161815085689459,-0.3246623196782219,0.11593164514055104,0.11756052203607356,0.12579248358261988,0.11949616714497927,0.11650584365156703,-0.06832017329429046,-0.5974326095240947,0.126375337952722,0.10687141784492862,0.08237142136837204,-0.0490560528978871,-0.060218069197712214,-0.3350316637918033,-0.12247826740242777,-0.11788414537993554,0.12619205293164518,-0.016426549518725367,-0.08886702227999246,-0.1207206582881045,0.10726677445734156,0.12386244189380102,0.12478078528540051,0.1039052771870907,0.12176872342489087,0.0367732649540136,0.06347530695587396,-0.03030631834913587,0.12709120036862517,-0.35138745522113285,0.06175544340879621,-0.8166784993261116,0.1239647728787354,0.09502766561143862;0.15176902480657556,0.1392051726512165,0.1769726733762545,0.06733868146384148,0.16094326844700751,-1.8801893013786228,0.16464849603083062,0.1734940885263073,-0.019422481965654968,0.17128509591523075,0.15181852954455485,0.07786487983770783,0.43070616288073404,0.1681365981156914,0.17204603897555087,-0.2555700557605642,0.16233303779450645,0.175202228748224,-0.08682340588317286,0.029105493206153472,-0.5444979276102138,0.15644305421275975,-0.5900469829113983,0.14786868273951892,0.1715021448469787,-0.10211346675905662,0.17286744430260367,0.16992372920857554,0.17482596815647147,0.1762256037327737,-0.3630092228514351,0.07820139000203229,0.03528065075687292,0.17192380815097855,0.1631331673497726,-0.07321734319612395,0.07415154860434892,0.14769433240805288,-0.3756838312140444,0.07950427983203597,0.15269526514042986,0.10565949853695053,0.1708200391069122,0.1741983614905688,0.1719123577193863,-0.4176958007587533,-0.038280469510240056,0.1325660044981235,0.13980413890578033,-0.04589853750970682,0.1645957155821392,0.1650409783392934,0.11977401066785259,0.04067651166683399,-0.6383743050676444,0.15983638473844322,-0.24779923060737621,0.16856558820373552,-0.08743154604762994,0.1676012367045221,0.16846013546310096,0.12613584701586866,0.14431412138641928,-0.05906230415274898,0.17249261949158337,0.16561720061062102,-0.4958047395619555,0.16597598382497153,0.1669046806919125,0.17368018311551622,0.16852657640853555,0.16683276555776475,-0.06367045584705198,-0.9759930952635494,0.17354533613274975,0.157869192236053,0.13437669394663626,-0.03527657709030524,-0.051839773778659906,-0.5139230138023875,-0.14893644007079307,-0.14187590968158384,0.17275157734142033,0.009666715257118935,-0.09539672539843214,-0.1459010213115693,0.15844895889757243,0.1718283752468043,0.17230292413366613,0.1551381436142924,0.16933954448844973,0.08233937145722535,0.11371827268960744,-0.007517401061556709,0.1743875525954779,-0.5436638864832903,0.11257297051352462,-1.377021620095687,0.17185023231229338,0.14669953227690577;0.1161629119287227,0.07683710408685994,0.20343624272953562,-0.06772833518605809,0.1415829168138858,0.3535208002538211,0.15518970737615373,0.19002865906828245,-0.17083205115049355,0.18520643786263644,0.11420582210304936,-0.04843381194587079,0.7098413171072794,0.17307126241780754,0.18475015221055807,-0.33011474127182006,0.1481994284747966,0.1915002435300571,-0.23345442124227134,-0.10195382817351216,-0.40321657001681266,0.12893554976672036,-0.40302068021870635,0.09966031511912656,0.18646097803028505,-0.24628860393206575,0.18594730139778592,0.17646076546526945,0.19508188253415026,0.20277167149188663,-0.3729622974106399,-0.04710573774870616,-0.11151002601784779,0.1764885462042665,0.1500990607917216,-0.2239755717777661,-0.05350821055488507,0.0979894756182955,-0.3732565855081617,-0.04640571656279929,0.11614998317987298,0.002848617627366629,0.18060886997655487,0.19274906354429808,0.18645243239581913,-0.38710726175992843,-0.19312989533996822,0.06135064463686501,0.07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k{270}	=[0.8150341218794541;1.2624292993595063;0.5770639407868898];
x_a_linear{270}	=[5.8877844978145095,9.752548408977693,15.139722093326272];
L_a{270}	=[-0.054754506193579695,-0.04738522886345091,-0.07086886911339405,-0.012997687945494807,-0.06001885591473943,0.6265616412143364,-0.06259312685144378,-0.06838824936607302,0.020756843665927647,-0.06737461289932113,-0.05437930224265116,-0.017840106524453215,-0.21080056466977035,-0.06502902910728475,-0.0674283642505273,0.10131829876327142,-0.06060313018363331,-0.06909120653365176,0.04496320920229201,9.744587549910936E-4,0.1908007233458608,-0.05734201138231038,0.20436014840415628,-0.051994020526455714,-0.06755915926241089,0.050437977625481904,-0.06761046632025802,-0.06594613697864714,-0.06933170178170144,-0.0705234199475181,0.13542414313912302,-0.018127550185638195,-1.3338683428810717E-4,-0.06663946827746167,-0.06123875415125224,0.04048234998752315,-0.01613993785375499,-0.05175224764668163,0.13898157642333864,-0.018512443515248354,-0.054703603497527106,-0.030523774546543876,-0.06652829825868774,-0.0688539951617832,-0.06762356690458121,0.15219374599944596,0.02783179330909152,-0.043967101156549594,-0.04760856218811144,0.03062232412364821,-0.06208289697867216,-0.06219895496439873,-0.03727519830339344,-0.002126455085603727,0.21904340173547507,-0.059367241495328814,0.09863998050582147,-0.06481504597816035,0.045233777966917806,-0.06420773845296629,-0.06556117330494898,-0.04010437294812553,-0.05018086612453146,0.03528329486358287,-0.0678536027398457,-0.06294902749360905,0.17590731553838612,-0.06281364743169177,-0.06369619937771971,-0.06815640978557784,-0.06474496332199281,-0.06312475750679743,0.037016979036024925,0.3236986868714402,-0.0684722097456597,-0.05790466919448821,-0.04463017335782176,0.026579365861517483,0.0326271275027328,0.18152559452044237,0.06636071365444296,0.06387154375929342,-0.06837290294569602,0.008900171206382066,0.04814959538469669,0.06540841250236329,-0.05811887982551796,-0.06711068186527655,-0.06760825522370875,-0.056297566032203275,-0.0659762712083079,-0.01992435194836766,-0.034391951799794374,0.016420455290074822,-0.0688600756242786,0.19038742784526677,-0.03346010180882958,0.44248966931782313,-0.06716612645420846,-0.05148753195675784;-0.08957232724522944,-0.06965462713875856,-0.13539593113166765,0.010048792459583018,-0.10360174970830316,0.8815054731091069,-0.11124313214074796,-0.12794069216758328,0.0720674256768738,-0.12568188089581522,-0.08786903663450019,-7.689300287867509E-4,-0.4984391591649497,-0.11849175265205661,-0.1251578575828646,0.1910104526028496,-0.10478728514988245,-0.12933097516325803,0.11136086160167634,0.033400613549615696,0.2964941248421112,-0.09630324044744877,0.31071092634629555,-0.08130528091747503,-0.12627825668251644,0.12020192901598106,-0.1251391032662116,-0.12074695650178767,-0.13076726628694818,-0.13462036502234018,0.23389956288582453,-0.00169938484418154,0.03469272181419927,-0.12180287285014939,-0.10678879437114566,0.10521664807542432,0.003011569551555225,-0.08041396930163236,0.23690504769420248,-0.0020929887463184407,-0.08842172317690787,-0.02888009520430593,-0.12241663797483696,-0.12928928622492825,-0.126151933274638,0.2531283375044451,0.08439368270465264,-0.06122771909798684,-0.07004004683300834,0.08907543304975016,-0.10904697317034216,-0.10911325901692594,-0.04452382309829148,0.03130373888311735,0.32710295713191173,-0.10183651355076855,0.18697605852544621,-0.11711958945755445,0.11194530696154013,-0.11540711251960913,-0.12051374645959498,-0.05063213544518569,-0.07686800442453395,0.09645581991021628,-0.12658560009686226,-0.11184313026960045,0.27954166238980377,-0.11088763256624674,-0.11384895854340288,-0.1267327186188962,-0.11684969803782927,-0.11140213022911517,0.09948922525468464,0.45077310496029854,-0.1282595165960632,-0.09735712839048215,-0.06233965196291837,0.08187725260582182,0.09197076552631184,0.28618706770736074,0.14356157461066812,0.1396505947125206,-0.12861556095916957,0.048895986083647834,0.11683217152206536,0.14239953705842703,-0.09772153759521654,-0.12397527315471198,-0.12569387758831735,-0.09300455089567669,-0.12146396381926577,-0.005481163732604725,-0.03787107993313757,0.06485901426035759,-0.1291268959651311,0.29550648403188723,-0.03490906834889131,0.5733394092699808,-0.12419779911789028,-0.08024198249674791;0.005844344575676298,-0.018633952549668785,0.060650695858201945,-0.09391588417023664,0.02065781568569278,1.615907906308,0.02907800332779526,0.05224102808910577,-0.12901147024888412,0.04946106660969227,0.0046432101080033355,-0.08437779409494506,0.28512346449136244,0.04205173861619662,0.04889648353205734,-0.12598013494927127,0.02609714021139726,0.052296304870857416,-0.1428632139130424,-0.09999050312013359,-0.01879410120623153,0.013403715318722422,0.00872111718327299,-0.005096466635504793,0.05034378550085406,-0.14466691434625817,0.049726736168822235,0.043593466320398094,0.05539339761447899,0.060682130478737294,-0.1001117414526793,-0.08362885712503483,-0.11177877183413526,0.04222433343705671,0.026716126781375697,-0.14241233316651566,-0.08602671807093328,-0.006280185722407035,-0.09323856570747638,-0.08370431331365209,0.0059339738242108215,-0.058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x_a{270}	=[5.887784497814514,9.7525484089777,15.139722093326272];
std_x_a{270}	=[1.1360311509990717,1.7899739570662476,1.8711363600156243];
pred_a{270}	=[5.887784497814514];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.0 to 27.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{271}	=[10.883149475192353,16.457172683446185,21.84537942972636];
std_x_f{271}	=[1.4672537724892425,1.9511560722058279,3.228476027654797];
pred_f{271}	=[10.883149475192353];
obs{271}	=[11.391309167596063];
sqrt_r{271}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{271}	=[3.1591267983317235];
L_f{271}	=[-0.0793294740169725,-0.057147860517131666,-0.13019905499786505,0.030675295995950962,-0.09523195748657487,0.11156994711255155,-0.10281624526537572,-0.12171552539049905,0.09638706330888025,-0.1186773145557986,-0.07788281278939009,0.018660936510461412,-0.497515629688005,-0.11179363492890075,-0.11919554555875994,0.20917848688332016,-0.09660610502357854,-0.12328203977288361,0.13727939734946232,0.054540706956468205,0.27968619718136295,-0.08672704398434107,0.2846798395888129,-0.06995320501180852,-0.12017678416694771,0.1455877364740038,-0.11941779279840535,-0.11402594875233805,-0.12521448097310758,-0.12901997020669848,0.24344458127250085,0.017223198402852174,0.05800564758486746,-0.11541781893417363,-0.09873166577269225,0.1303587257493508,0.022213259637795406,-0.06926933399338549,0.2444090300159328,0.017169112573220322,-0.07849212463231632,-0.012173785269650138,-0.11623488405178464,-0.12310297145265701,-0.11982560606216552,0.2558845808063861,0.10977600205717701,-0.04745850514199082,-0.05799288604759336,0.11423483576835633,-0.10091725374607181,-0.10099136265215564,-0.029088459598000466,0.05353785349292225,0.29115035534299444,-0.09303208581765197,0.20623523479920436,-0.11031386431654702,0.13758547512652747,-0.10714093083053104,-0.11384660835645793,-0.036440075797552804,-0.06480152377609236,0.12197113396465602,-0.12009369063323547,-0.10396149552780419,0.27122388061709457,-0.10275379765969968,-0.10627367162910151,-0.12118023749412768,-0.10965397938138738,-0.1037517469045365,0.12432510439577833,0.402503970767172,-0.12242158682102942,-0.08846197030700527,-0.04904637469497226,0.10708065476976923,0.11741429859447977,0.2744148170856775,0.16800594372923613,0.1646093448212329,-0.12302443617467393,0.07072332581015368,0.1417986398576542,0.16665205800155486,-0.08848965265194118,-0.11765762857219286,-0.11897885872739464,-0.08318988985085614,-0.11521425477820808,0.013673295632613573,-0.022118212203382483,0.08908845505343291,-0.12395137354492228,0.2788015932670238,-0.018970159518221334,0.3353844918617741,-0.11786603575406901,-0.06888528325698554;-0.06542573451496393,-0.029946532837555922,-0.14684999589028236,0.09734189063412707,-0.08965581383499538,-1.0437064845546558,-0.1022581365690605,-0.13424002874856483,0.1767045857394278,-0.1294533162664884,-0.06348470581176936,0.08053100877988012,-0.7232311667094626,-0.11827113029641509,-0.129180498639365,0.2633926483652114,-0.09362886866474224,-0.1355132142283696,0.2191039370019639,0.12406298885413759,0.2337907718232539,-0.07702959535264411,0.21787920223764873,-0.0498255269516066,-0.1311903143626412,0.22670969190859855,-0.13001268940805413,-0.12157686079845495,-0.13932780688623966,-0.14614396383476866,0.26813107229372896,0.07932555872236746,0.1321212510327035,-0.1216163055781285,-0.09646363260167938,0.21357508645010578,0.08540112224017223,-0.04881520679722842,0.2648016626630612,0.07899131766680476,-0.0641160660830138,0.037064588792943234,-0.12484806497650272,-0.13669507430646274,-0.13052657681121604,0.26267124671015435,0.19276857828613292,-0.015390543051291092,-0.03134676784023992,0.1974211669173415,-0.09919385897159991,-0.09934439778631282,0.011989610955479645,0.1261567033001514,0.2001745160450845,-0.08699273728718528,0.26263842555591826,-0.11467843340016141,0.2197062801500222,-0.11069338323600167,-0.12056386838757034,0.0013732694375538318,-0.0418994101476653,0.2048872709790505,-0.130464216690928,-0.10487806298340702,0.2467924463113161,-0.10310520279329345,-0.10788103937304348,-0.13241869882243515,-0.11422995797712863,-0.1044652386524312,0.2070412585947528,0.22467927829299975,-0.13390753363980737,-0.07795263399483743,-0.01762807256781282,0.18933062190048278,0.20087241561403008,0.24153326350394508,0.24471988109318615,0.2429004123661759,-0.1348801034343089,0.14366255729681146,0.223290037700692,0.24432071572470132,-0.07909075315684107,-0.12626691735264664,-0.1291068717540023,-0.07184447632721123,-0.12280307176067949,0.0733095405416001,0.021053541620636742,0.17029827311843346,-0.13642674951638742,0.23347696158290937,0.027688261594999652,-0.1678403092279237,-0.12700140580612093,-0.048356892146116735;-0.1635671356820057,-0.1444867425045849,-0.20518315863634823,-0.042227819786641974,-0.17839319364880438,1.682771447238729,-0.1855328035139562,-0.19928643627774945,0.06159129144611803,-0.19639214385808046,-0.162330574370901,-0.05768375963503723,-0.5172600504619488,-0.19046577031232054,-0.19684337451001796,0.31237830003424644,-0.1772066039699963,-0.20067082021190877,0.1368410907888802,2.9053798141223826E-4,0.5782470118463331,-0.17079941397366036,0.6166732236525965,-0.15653770976561718,-0.19742399071646138,0.153678674523801,-0.19660296262397703,-0.19193605098257627,-0.20169055907065508,-0.20425447998241053,0.4160072771742038,-0.059330435946553906,-0.0031990144477048042,-0.19553776491040697,-0.18057468595920756,0.12235062328385446,-0.05166548929425624,-0.15554279937449786,0.42552318104519765,-0.059381410165058095,-0.16220034389612079,-0.09464294052797985,-0.19365238877078023,-0.199644341416878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k{271}	=[0.6834568335376465;0.6496691308305454;1.2578576890822795];
x_a_linear{271}	=[11.230454689494056,16.78730834913322,22.484572006098055];
L_a{271}	=[0.07368330567072828,0.05308043860231439,0.12093231281724068,-0.0284920231656414,0.08845395132210047,-0.10362910656639812,0.09549843764480823,0.1130525869905891,-0.08952684404503408,0.11023061671536137,0.0723396086053586,-0.01733276951651291,0.46210562558908674,0.10383687370403664,0.11071196332546343,-0.1942904901331699,0.08973029576104206,0.11450760682407675,-0.12750872134901187,-0.050658845680878556,-0.2597799092225031,0.08055436357046451,-0.2644181358649703,0.06497437996915814,0.11162336359880375,-0.13522572563922933,0.11091839241750254,0.10591030560111586,0.11630250912755528,0.11983714779622148,-0.2261177414581926,-0.015997360480083867,-0.05387717383213606,0.1072031112995406,0.09170457258991827,-0.12108061921828768,-0.020632260835168944,0.06433918254834789,-0.22701354686276207,-0.01594712413644751,0.0729055534994533,0.011307332518069157,0.10796202290912656,0.11434128345008869,0.11129718012210496,-0.2376723407992001,-0.10196284313140581,0.044080710030990455,0.05386532058006991,-0.10610432536542991,0.09373460428631328,0.09380343859093417,0.027018127708643806,-0.049727368960364934,-0.27042812138511413,0.08641065255293243,-0.19155672004749516,0.1024624237697122,-0.12779301445300606,0.09951531954621788,0.10574372951609223,0.03384650253802441,0.06018936269892864,-0.11329000296913994,0.11154618413531123,0.09656217626404998,-0.2519198866292099,0.0954404346632625,0.09870978634904806,0.11255539748846609,0.10184950525503153,0.09636735621622089,-0.11547643272889284,-0.3738562933793588,0.11370839545084625,0.08216580885146686,0.045555565109602736,-0.09945933355280523,-0.10905749421205375,-0.25488371249726216,-0.15604834722151326,-0.1528934966608536,0.11426833781462006,-0.06568968845810273,-0.13170631286537576,-0.15479082248493617,0.08219152094282879,0.10928350550670632,0.11051069888714256,0.07726896161297402,0.10701403554789254,-0.012700117252870591,0.020543978273739518,-0.08274770439081214,0.11512930166741227,-0.25895826579897757,0.01761998399364808,-0.31151395288195044,0.10947707958842633,0.06398246610526169;0.08002263136226254,0.0748324667536676,0.09186632011790169,0.041099595690173456,0.0849493095110683,-1.2482668536938402,0.08625256572403003,0.08892197363844823,-1.8391737795502028E-5,0.0881382117593434,0.07931124727516475,0.046316705019280834,0.18894978788778888,0.08669936418089633,0.08936119139701365,-0.12013024108871932,0.08349571565352741,0.09052094834707891,-0.03259398814522482,0.02406413220081144,-0.27900602712869266,0.08198200760070402,-0.30407330002557115,0.0784317126547638,0.08915044914378265,-0.04022134002258106,0.08893648470946515,0.087486518470638,0.09024943243602133,0.09041053327531987,-0.17821774025701756,0.04774730746183179,0.025769522908750193,0.08999902863545213,0.08455810774040584,-0.025433981403086375,0.04467373364772227,0.0781881744754898,-0.18331543961155888,0.04751223125810415,0.07979704318025246,0.059384882680584665,0.0882653352162672,0.08901077152568118,0.08917031148860391,-0.20648595611593865,-0.008502642903804617,0.07162329518998707,0.0749815623630085,-0.012025200837548346,0.08583509562657585,0.08582043341284165,0.0653224858653738,0.02799655034799783,-0.3336414953928865,0.0835789830475844,-0.115488093742983,0.08757894315840592,-0.03255283001770393,0.08574650875838667,0.08817069529513731,0.06818512647901577,0.07691236638788003,-0.018743382560338327,0.08972419715172722,0.08573242354820157,-0.2504889325390758,0.08529100356608531,0.08696875719712806,0.08976186821831116,0.08681753805877891,0.0857606796606519,-0.020905333714844047,-0.5133004642003743,0.09054901257914506,0.08423990771646722,0.07229707996830052,-0.006998755626893604,-0.014403408067015221,-0.2615986078742831,-0.06331430513941884,-0.058906205023558006,0.09068175016811329,0.01399332280410907,-0.03669379184665395,-0.06123115899486366,0.08315254335757405,0.08945504501853732,0.0890375290538804,0.08068185371910608,0.08843903328173551,0.04823993645605723,0.061606663407621366,0.0069570891938273574,0.09083461775915339,-0.2776979409001191,0.06246951706841024,-0.782758369461405,0.08910266528841694,0.07794234287181384;0.11804289733469638,0.058381246808187515,0.25700773108072844,-0.1511214085222575,0.15966873130864337,1.2867116361864683,0.17945242527555058,0.23278894993406932,-0.2805711193999369,0.22489796154765596,0.11414398634988895,-0.12392782606751258,1.2488602300379466,0.20638810541928093,0.22628638824455044,-0.43018001549161483,0.16573337845676794,0.23696550249181206,-0.35048415747665,-0.1933223716854187,-0.4146051430249871,0.13707109723943509,-0.39390575747922235,0.09178770291498202,0.22918905035645148,-0.36314017223294764,0.2273157509369584,0.21284226868757058,0.24280569604710722,0.2537508014083222,-0.44819152685692637,-0.1204707060792252,-0.20911204404922315,0.2141815254735739,0.169910779910556,-0.34040707827907063,-0.13051987295838827,0.09035495394665485,-0.44209929931615416,-0.12032968214751981,0.11643720013358703,-0.05142747598335229,0.21896738390680584,0.23735631041928423,0.22800653724033973,-0.4433002570148289,-0.30670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x_a{271}	=[11.230454689494048,16.787308349133205,22.48457200609803];
std_x_a{271}	=[1.3628239636597608,1.8807075471224086,3.0711370817312353];
pred_a{271}	=[11.230454689494048];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.1 to 27.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{272}	=[14.056891467602755,12.383156157850424,35.96317145181216];
std_x_f{272}	=[1.1757929872506758,2.942036634798726,2.552058013586786];
pred_f{272}	=[14.056891467602755];
obs{272}	=[14.59689302739395];
sqrt_r{272}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{272}	=[2.3826020502928276];
L_f{272}	=[0.010625508221242794,0.025673098651248654,-0.025526051511767258,0.06893972550083481,5.274649794897517E-4,-0.9251709482560803,-0.004432874464444408,-0.01902619609879908,0.08324650557319169,-0.01713381252428295,0.01197242707747375,0.06367561327388772,-0.3173442479703063,-0.012493342185976303,-0.01705402916338804,0.05465188403185941,-0.0015917170581440728,-0.020213032962651877,0.08371477191796502,0.07221782269660146,-0.04170398212258149,0.005943727750474239,-0.06128514114184397,0.017596781557720882,-0.01789663658292576,0.08280958085122533,-0.017772972108506327,-0.014067843819145118,-0.021820494479227036,-0.02506704674567768,0.025241991240964375,0.0637367486539239,0.07733699442055496,-0.013528238730043803,-0.0025331877509224463,0.0849904032101844,0.06513019012141379,0.017905143505674154,0.02082576854512213,0.06368122701765719,0.01098673184522717,0.04933762713410762,-0.015328183547973485,-0.020677948930144747,-0.01797183943562265,0.007695586087381748,0.08513995908328083,0.03164987036240953,0.024637260351362524,0.085455261472823,-0.0035815940586719414,-0.00337049716458601,0.041493410129790693,0.07524416441175014,-0.08276799036408188,0.0019140408738394909,0.05664026072043019,-0.010565538685066126,0.08369185072931197,-0.008558831839926674,-0.013352876976915354,0.03749225050354365,0.020958895563351492,0.08517761848324733,-0.017375239283250025,-0.0061878162990022904,-0.021805551334174725,-0.0053537467081802405,-0.00758985845718054,-0.018797064177327502,-0.010360653710425957,-0.005778340852999612,0.08462813311888824,-0.1803008978763662,-0.019071830853865924,0.005838142102044604,0.030775515226111216,0.08461471941915194,0.08556768022625562,-0.029455969525708715,0.07764815437091664,0.07929236010030327,-0.020020656718478455,0.0761031948261718,0.0828976474580817,0.07794516743786226,0.00496635191171852,-0.01569057841528087,-0.016354806444884518,0.008187140758024736,-0.014608095180373155,0.06172682673881415,0.04442842043868396,0.08383349125289037,-0.02031556236727333,-0.041058820837290975,0.04749962327567107,-0.4343247390389238,-0.01589394022898194,0.018270529777559434;-0.11962304468101262,-0.06394691707564044,-0.24832439849991597,0.13691471083027368,-0.15852632941118794,-1.151873181855333,-0.17680653522047124,-0.22552999593126843,0.2695556016566625,-0.21779330011461095,-0.11463572562534546,0.1110815983396393,-1.1602488634383858,-0.20084391383565764,-0.21939513607685399,0.43126326448401336,-0.16265929861110573,-0.22944533864165323,0.3422307635997675,0.18317843728385189,0.4214653981421446,-0.13691886659051963,0.4022703510952278,-0.09629387251448013,-0.2217847033379905,0.3555838395924379,-0.22076381003572032,-0.20684230829340594,-0.23451915162014597,-0.24435934147014823,0.4515236255351869,0.10812240353008658,0.19583119141972896,-0.20873160403220678,-0.1676842604949797,0.330948979296457,0.11803027706380707,-0.09342466314310734,0.4471546454091418,0.10771834154454528,-0.11784919884337561,0.0415167822765818,-0.21279012481589826,-0.2298020331981184,-0.22117448191145211,0.4491932126999131,0.2959005954953472,-0.040683496197186364,-0.0669164600113417,0.30338650942566353,-0.17221045553193093,-0.17330062707309804,0.0021836860301954445,0.18518307929315053,0.38224187154515055,-0.15350743471005673,0.42811661748417423,-0.19654140810362375,0.3427933889148974,-0.1881533965301854,-0.2063071270701948,-0.016049873099236205,-0.08308943076707906,0.316941950204543,-0.21998596477238838,-0.18045324051280454,0.4347624697079821,-0.1781418980256679,-0.18598059925711583,-0.22454447098300037,-0.19514132021206626,-0.18009361337618762,0.3202614606899445,0.4156830995891411,-0.22753863084751322,-0.1415087896165066,-0.044690993160521435,0.29048436916368586,0.30923789708253446,0.42918447682306515,0.38815327389738974,0.38398259981628,-0.2294450803199627,0.21627962106558396,0.3486694512806929,0.38602529860782514,-0.14141066506091363,-0.21520833415350835,-0.2183291368067101,-0.1286810716749392,-0.20949103483126927,0.09982047094768484,0.018107668690645916,0.25796402136327196,-0.23262222182947914,0.42013704482246345,0.026195751728468136,-0.08367860367726195,-0.21589246642252247,-0.09309185351497398;0.13714762297979632,0.12368825505000258,0.1664494549677559,0.04551864108117245,0.148062366243507,-0.7623560858349818,0.15251528821844557,0.1614844642177011,-0.04245452456463896,0.15927247963467292,0.13684385132168117,0.057320341817852304,0.30940807887012167,0.15572236235671674,0.1607153898145039,-0.27795329069246044,0.14709476750422254,0.16332668373855905,-0.11095184585435684,0.012305703198011548,-0.5347096174233905,0.14280553077177144,-0.5672497952077418,0.1321024728700774,0.16132620812307333,-0.1262763919521753,0.16018961983873922,0.15719053386310403,0.16363719887703526,0.1646033970150393,-0.3809519395360594,0.0603475928274966,0.012721782659083289,0.16036789078238967,0.1491186915668987,-0.09630762842113741,0.054350278534223175,0.13222430344707378,-0.38740591665841684,0.06045304264759529,0.1378615067327811,0.0876441294399456,0.15901696069574348,0.1613013362573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k{272}	=[0.5802908001875101;0.8342673238406526;0.502960774779344];
x_a_linear{272}	=[14.37024940483649,12.833661814007202,36.23477105470679];
L_a{272}	=[-0.01717813712366431,-0.04150540377342255,0.041267674351633685,-0.11145406255048715,-8.527465752170176E-4,1.4957132478802526,0.007166577241922175,0.030759432746330147,-0.13458366960210244,0.027700037952524594,-0.019355685371241358,-0.10294363276341417,0.5130468014830075,0.02019784284524868,0.027571053109155006,-0.08835507332147802,0.0025733106894793153,0.03267817827512505,-0.13534071042437865,-0.11675372464297876,0.06742234899148698,-0.009609156399620443,0.09907898391843474,-0.02844851467239641,0.028933286848271376,-0.13387729842150786,0.02873335991257374,0.022743321554863204,0.03527694284974897,0.04052560661726034,-0.04080843737382188,-0.10304246963027275,-0.12502983078328087,0.021870948203847503,0.00409537554715128,-0.13740300888584644,-0.10529523044923167,-0.028947039892589826,-0.03366878085497896,-0.10295270843850093,-0.017762123208462013,-0.07976357522094933,0.024780898321396704,0.03342980258092593,0.029054866436637374,-0.012441365655500282,-0.13764479414846217,-0.05116798196482648,-0.0398307758890068,-0.13815453990087212,0.005790321985555949,0.005449044061010378,-0.06708191966883753,-0.12164637654097986,0.13381005955854566,-0.0030944079009207993,-0.09156965908044234,0.01708118506318528,-0.13530365400189806,0.013836965150589919,0.021587442871324813,-0.060613290848247986,-0.03388400577659127,-0.1377056776679279,0.028090349821331684,0.010003771553044164,0.035252784438741934,0.008655340823568522,0.01227043700987327,0.03038899780011468,0.016749949877473285,0.009341777301687334,-0.13681733098936283,0.29149039111822644,0.030833209930801766,-0.009438457294292985,-0.04975442205659683,-0.13679564521503476,-0.13833628600859013,0.047621127675708905,-0.12553287950183706,-0.12819104802336273,0.032367165810315145,-0.12303516114733234,-0.134019674693503,-0.12601305711643002,-0.008029044104762259,0.025366777941824844,0.02644062776964786,-0.013236056446779458,0.02361673972660458,-0.09979305195097658,-0.07182691713114611,-0.13553264260984366,0.03284393638618397,0.06637932415024277,-0.07679209548966233,0.7021678180526274,0.025695550650737718,-0.029537755682447344;-0.1595955425862271,-0.16052750980491287,-0.15229698791991123,-0.12243222823273445,-0.16051061970099917,2.3285621084959414,-0.16013033851019678,-0.15395463521741792,-0.04361254996061474,-0.15333696814678963,-0.15967524809429176,-0.12846207949735283,0.03358036553576418,-0.15384474128222875,-0.1552389441267943,0.22566629213288927,-0.1566713585100233,-0.15340517181534385,0.02730102325696341,-0.0885004985705103,0.5783531726677176,-0.15927879894462632,0.6328212221599698,-0.16249186505362978,-0.15445867493295065,0.044059371474329354,-0.1539029996552454,-0.1539199589918041,-0.15243181502406028,-0.15005867813544824,0.3565648319420776,-0.13165126178604952,-0.09510574854619808,-0.1578392153540996,-0.1581545664832782,0.01122039375073652,-0.12698542797226667,-0.16078269405990012,0.3688094056134495,-0.1318464548456862,-0.1591805974479618,-0.1440882877306649,-0.15512645621723642,-0.15201288155623496,-0.15356554507424128,0.4202428987617736,-0.02439060989872277,-0.15974833059564267,-0.1596002937893993,-0.018090843853575633,-0.15873672250884852,-0.16062102737342543,-0.15391192981783863,-0.09788076496751211,0.6936098788497523,-0.16070793686270513,0.21503949629087266,-0.15679451184581225,0.027949876651384886,-0.1559556060180498,-0.15607443834842202,-0.15709337647900823,-0.16193548608580263,-0.0034909274987398255,-0.15462140042488934,-0.15717506229303468,0.5167935911262279,-0.15800143748280762,-0.15742802605652417,-0.15383109023851554,-0.1561651884249118,-0.15835585619480683,0.0018957125882251282,1.0939638098014457,-0.15579159503696813,-0.1634715153596173,-0.1604665581775632,-0.027830917437892233,-0.012662368521698702,0.539995993377962,0.09604576964361443,0.08568969636039961,-0.15412862090200694,-0.07001584193048481,0.03681368209116383,0.0928004497575284,-0.1600937705890654,-0.156181358711288,-0.15680337702692368,-0.1594805835651626,-0.15453629367081917,-0.13239199373046734,-0.1490292725209564,-0.05741233369835835,-0.1561963457903856,0.5745977629110339,-0.15249486262627207,1.5502239221997898,-0.1561004565459101,-0.16182444475240532;0.1130491140945174,0.06546201465964936,0.22434219443527806,-0.11083572361727816,0.1468660828064946,1.3359191074755994,0.1625689875281097,0.20463561955004794,-0.23125647289999737,0.19813173462349803,0.10969054869394855,-0.08709508757201931,1.0291405396775553,0.18405709340267917,0.1993936972202693,-0.40190302425023766,0.1507047602565548,0.20916956902051445,-0.30081581592413326,-0.1514833415885927,-0.4401255502139437,0.12932523665086282,-0.42825592427084874,0.09219321037727055,0.20191553775607995,-0.3140874009295979,0.20049848011691287,0.18909621331047657,0.21312578513002664,0.22145511988329053,-0.43820043415266496,-0.08420649077715055,-0.16267747433631988,0.19104975318840334,0.15486392711258667,-0.2890647130026916,-0.09336411146577239,0.09161568022836912,-0.4346384779512539,-0.08397511863719254,0.11294374755557184,-0.024252941374312362,0.1937810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x_a{272}	=[14.370249404836485,12.833661814007181,36.2347710547068];
std_x_a{272}	=[1.9008910203141747,3.640856112557114,2.8627082779127506];
pred_a{272}	=[14.370249404836485];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.2 to 27.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{273}	=[8.562665162910646,1.0250157454530042,34.613561438359405];
std_x_f{273}	=[1.4690039103407126,3.476998350769117,2.0098502418863284];
pred_f{273}	=[8.562665162910646];
obs{273}	=[8.440262857763365];
sqrt_r{273}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{273}	=[3.163971178438646];
L_f{273}	=[-0.07745120943111063,-0.06479516185717113,-0.10477847952199226,-0.0029004029563224325,-0.086224987820513,-0.3361050357361696,-0.09037663703701777,-0.10040458618048505,0.061071057801966075,-0.09823812749419024,-0.07618505311105186,-0.011519443546245605,-0.31094068957747456,-0.09450308447012806,-0.09911544367563412,0.21404894620592582,-0.0852656187197674,-0.10107443844087331,0.10880918378166632,0.021645195924105645,0.33830687976153134,-0.08113500906223788,0.3481474207595508,-0.07193572348385231,-0.09977853239093074,0.11889853359349298,-0.0994176833767632,-0.09601479289325737,-0.10217357323521462,-0.10314259515242837,0.2708488786375597,-0.01361210136303543,0.02202262166747999,-0.09811473877051712,-0.08773979590984822,0.09885611352318732,-0.009140437372383679,-0.0718489243242852,0.2741968838096521,-0.013393549361215564,-0.07679694696944303,-0.034641054198553636,-0.09735692202372287,-0.10038982859945225,-0.09943910854104991,0.2934027555447327,0.07546940999269913,-0.05894825937015637,-0.06474441675039408,0.0795926903045404,-0.08963255491745575,-0.08958666121788715,-0.046259642759481294,0.018761228864441926,0.35940924703226607,-0.08473540489205461,0.20883213710361273,-0.0943602735957379,0.10890964191716627,-0.09188777535002743,-0.09646319378266204,-0.0521467522542923,-0.07023410199751973,0.08936764596274324,-0.09986444650116441,-0.09077787984906599,0.32281957930031274,-0.09062069649403812,-0.0918647072283631,-0.10012002491900533,-0.0936353600505503,-0.09074608059343851,0.09262557962489609,0.47212335968820923,-0.10158181721922725,-0.08351154977832319,-0.06042927273887058,0.07247192966706993,0.0832811712470804,0.32912777959659023,0.1490641771112182,0.1432846940056473,-0.10138055013143081,0.037255072087635975,0.11411674846570943,0.14711141747593065,-0.08261740938122612,-0.09834461694400842,-0.09874514708230105,-0.07930604060597901,-0.09629503042713389,-0.015276547694919552,-0.040582922013606235,0.05220078971721075,-0.10257356386554303,0.3361622250899384,-0.040690237130488784,0.3014383569489123,-0.09819562053979145,-0.07157107753418131;-0.050045368798119313,-0.005898515899816014,-0.154140717040693,0.15377338719940628,-0.08098731815808706,-2.646254807139718,-0.09579523905366812,-0.13647766277663098,0.2573068925986064,-0.12943179627289267,-0.04697536742580715,0.13231000059934303,-0.9533837805520708,-0.11639684191589854,-0.1304811204591353,0.36249808990297666,-0.08478361562348881,-0.13914288378981077,0.3130879589355168,0.18863847934225453,0.23621328641863978,-0.06449487410324281,0.1914863666178576,-0.03049595377405266,-0.13285712933917282,0.3230877132110613,-0.13158173388814953,-0.12093099052907443,-0.14348916767797726,-0.15156726752777752,0.3489034898487877,0.13031766404774744,0.19980031975762244,-0.12218869076455399,-0.0887693225531271,0.3056356066698507,0.13803771851004332,-0.02983502119950895,0.3406652219552377,0.1302015234994166,-0.04984845248737206,0.07678355136968941,-0.12553811485844266,-0.13883108498513227,-0.13253167510942207,0.3256381046061348,0.2779241254512445,0.013998454244544573,-0.008484396159981629,0.2837893118378585,-0.09295501325271043,-0.09253516968458263,0.046839091243230574,0.19158104367028492,0.14152850212641674,-0.0770615757203554,0.3617675993444018,-0.1122436934194477,0.31336697796799884,-0.10545417012131313,-0.11997854052421439,0.0319233575232083,-0.02101283814240822,0.29372759146293315,-0.131727926310636,-0.09948028322971988,0.27633758946740494,-0.0976823590038271,-0.1035470208270478,-0.1351706218934727,-0.11104325497794054,-0.09856587609963798,0.29700721947424774,-0.08172011752390644,-0.13709477133769848,-0.06688748773497756,0.009335202429760105,0.27377375336017507,0.2879856157670339,0.26122180418604013,0.3448823118007384,0.34356546799904025,-0.13896470140372133,0.21505773600138672,0.31834330727958743,0.34393469066718413,-0.06795589377551421,-0.12714898649369386,-0.12845886010855492,-0.0574553948087948,-0.12272533729742525,0.123691711646315,0.05902419863390242,0.24828447615728252,-0.14090754873309905,0.2366773299469261,0.06588402536272145,-0.9498198898384416,-0.12776638876459484,-0.028835239251499015;-0.0849112464656734,-0.09780858668149713,-0.05174098939117918,-0.11727140918289447,-0.07697941219695,0.6857658378652756,-0.07200004227414442,-0.05706420922583968,-0.08654957459887141,-0.0584513425062156,-0.08606909376050781,-0.11551405073876302,0.1669760945700919,-0.06255284591273491,-0.05999608804710529,0.11505403555431665,-0.07273129299365262,-0.05619813600252121,-0.043604351566531155,-0.10211553457624045,0.43176670334015044,-0.07986886219826737,0.4787717375012415,-0.0920909160178107,-0.05876696364811317,-0.03196756088785931,-0.05842578985042435,-0.06126906892161943,-0.054627760949736835,-0.051949428295559166,0.23154292996901468,-0.11753036891508253,-0.11098121532049961,-0.06348891839965012,-0.07207161869205804,-0.05460466559383913,-0.11617028202365343,-0.09119466989031236,0.24255692382691854,-0.11782262070703958,-0.08432809930252204,-0.11013343459466964,-0.06131091091610828,-0.055352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k{273}	=[0.683941495164479;0.8643513443348372;0.585858629961486];
x_a_linear{273}	=[8.478949147316635,0.919217148449269,34.54185099156169];
L_a{273}	=[0.07178886556072006,0.06005808298819358,0.09711827917614842,0.0026883587671867144,0.07992120593193877,0.3115328915064414,0.083769334187754,0.09306415473604304,-0.05660624269651803,0.09105608265407507,0.07061527606473676,0.010677273991586514,0.28820827363954005,0.08759410312544812,0.09186925954138943,-0.1984001429475241,0.07903197489342577,0.0936850350840683,-0.10085430458282922,-0.02006274752382245,-0.3135737619574439,0.07520334802541075,-0.3226948754938296,0.06667660866921263,0.09248387081714494,-0.1102060368870295,0.09214940294303338,0.08899529277183539,0.0947038137521309,0.09560199190391483,-0.2510475159600707,0.012616940676943468,-0.02041258022687856,0.09094171469829317,0.08132526863250013,-0.09162888863451016,0.008472193455879892,0.06659615526838496,-0.25415075340415105,0.012414366690146937,0.07118243526418787,0.03210849773693347,0.09023930081793054,0.09305047606002828,0.09216926174510873,-0.27195251213837063,-0.06995195256094326,0.054638638932121855,0.06001104778144747,-0.07377378592094028,0.08307965081625215,0.08303711233747789,0.04287766839717524,-0.017389623049092313,-0.33313336623139894,0.07854052421788825,-0.19356472707664618,0.0874617329437878,-0.10094741837197273,0.08516999540393314,0.08941091173251024,0.048334379985909524,0.0650993902240157,-0.08283410896512589,0.09256350387329233,0.08414124272866542,-0.2992187152270526,0.08399555081726282,0.08514861375867465,0.0928003973293581,0.08678981676041427,0.08411176826979078,-0.08585385989472312,-0.43760711608872604,0.09415532014707947,0.07740614334932851,0.056011377594322106,-0.06717361360796807,-0.07719260745325998,-0.3050657322888374,-0.13816631462772433,-0.13280936102139834,0.09396876739969508,-0.03453140862742858,-0.10577384102849931,-0.13635631837382767,0.07657737223999282,0.09115478681702864,0.09152603478671302,0.07350809275973354,0.08925504255227512,0.014159701788491207,0.03761596434575091,-0.04838446684948712,0.09507456165648409,-0.3115858998307702,0.037715433812465775,-0.27940064255675084,0.09101668332051856,0.06633862144796115;0.13856120114950307,0.151888474346631,0.10101229828500602,0.1608363505420824,0.1289848606633076,-1.8277831732176442,0.12428689575294768,0.10802419517505532,0.10858871479730457,0.10979437463973193,0.13854790140492024,0.16036176055145984,-0.19619151268285998,0.11373387834399365,0.11088146119461453,-0.15874667620633692,0.12285233995834181,0.10699017576778276,0.048119508699577665,0.13592882911115087,-0.5876202037253507,0.13308236031694914,-0.6563104766835329,0.1446794910336583,0.1101201835638581,0.03355001899575145,0.11051685168020203,0.11288099103766601,0.10532046781682178,0.09960209741930828,-0.31065855378110213,0.16346539365350649,0.14617157510061346,0.1167370080945924,0.12489166577759551,0.06490453704665906,0.1602962029583684,0.14512905322573127,-0.3270497708191956,0.16281704265008765,0.13716487960577414,0.16114027684561827,0.11154217424775714,0.10563483580353646,0.10961908429554724,-0.38884637850181597,0.0941435665775411,0.15754726498425245,0.14917902131592617,0.0899678799776509,0.12531515790142356,0.12562324268203237,0.15948901126324713,0.14589433264129784,-0.733692760241432,0.1292832210517129,-0.14677336939252955,0.11753925862135822,0.048153895472614325,0.11830783767923832,0.11492537174745972,0.15890936779769618,0.15001887547964798,0.07610251765025705,0.11145860173261435,0.12157894452421614,-0.5097817495459087,0.12299410115148275,0.12015881226255799,0.10863828208290592,0.11697441207544314,0.12241591518074468,0.07144853561663007,-1.2314189810664138,0.11027383988851859,0.13647701838947868,0.15649052691626988,0.09729255736091715,0.08518211966277509,-0.5402590511826989,-0.01811373891966115,-0.00535658061579487,0.10791379100638669,0.12433544242829235,0.04045005474313882,-0.014306065727290719,0.13323123184595495,0.11233650393134956,0.11200198778474288,0.13566799738464422,0.11176906924916037,0.16089264475689158,0.15785035997675578,0.12116687567775365,0.10887613043837864,-0.58193356955836,0.16497151685454883,-1.68387239815143,0.11135627064799128,0.14545223205240337;0.04292656786234413,0.009139670572232361,0.12120210483665687,-0.1124841220981576,0.06534004368241349,1.2405271317010969,0.07717195684622119,0.10865951465272489,-0.18735097725543692,0.10369651283108147,0.03967885447319282,-0.09650052601728218,0.6802021427260815,0.09343009941057535,0.10359982967597169,-0.23824644410468196,0.06800466729056137,0.11063121875669352,-0.2232003622116077,-0.13784221409440323,-0.1266288646375593,0.0540492818847623,-0.09586622697656326,0.026643261664202656,0.10592342132333542,-0.2282166417355637,0.10566899242337169,0.0972090408043334,0.11401578097056336,0.11829354176592102,-0.2155092066282481,-0.09506278836413379,-0.14733085841093566,0.09845527653178655,0.07274811777284318,-0.2177725435210027,-0.10108344807657368,0.027396240631303102,-0.21002129385678459,-0.09571577319608947,0.04242981603217034,-0.05295632028891579,0.09938246253322422,0.1103466137510594,0.10593613915968907,-0.1947172844165559,-0.2014173556507908,-0.0054147162175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x_a{273}	=[8.478949147316637,0.919217148449265,34.541850991561674];
std_x_a{273}	=[1.3616071976438482,3.403813393230227,1.9547855588590544];
pred_a{273}	=[8.478949147316637];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.3 to 27.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{274}	=[2.773163149562652,-0.7634016443673823,26.71401801036511];
std_x_f{274}	=[2.1551647430935006,2.793297322966569,1.588402507182126];
pred_f{274}	=[2.773163149562652];
obs{274}	=[2.646945115765724];
sqrt_r{274}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{274}	=[5.652461726744361];
L_f{274}	=[0.08790140426116,0.0989735358410662,0.05791717684141508,0.11265191396860562,0.0797039469917343,-1.0626631324271347,0.07640573537879199,0.06339718549778692,0.08285128747884565,0.06528942255728765,0.08798245921786975,0.11234321299102075,-0.17019078619220832,0.06860741249469439,0.06625869247157687,-0.10392848865134126,0.07623515989938773,0.06224496105472782,0.04242725034754255,0.09862047273559282,-0.404220009413831,0.08345302901421173,-0.44949309286180966,0.0931538038045477,0.06617145769415096,0.0322304472767643,0.06528429357984684,0.06745705948991322,0.061485775248027695,0.057917532000456164,-0.2123265896897976,0.1137619274530727,0.10610671725334286,0.0696001123407338,0.07681493104731417,0.05406612505685361,0.11232224806137775,0.09309800985417063,-0.2240660051430289,0.11375835768179574,0.08714041954581972,0.10932651022583796,0.06674571946197559,0.061919125615864455,0.06442709628022396,-0.26752294195334736,0.0735054186293549,0.10328822690690476,0.09731491364325075,0.07058414314422398,0.0769277660890244,0.07679968596430338,0.10728634267370411,0.1055902449564398,-0.49978058197522474,0.08057885698253851,-0.09519825683979913,0.07081503044313588,0.042242598685943315,0.07202267584579324,0.0685990514038344,0.10565525370223508,0.09594396133904731,0.06153225293822309,0.06600844378130333,0.07450344256350754,-0.3518555603150723,0.07497642087470972,0.0724064324532676,0.06409545337806188,0.07078826304529179,0.0749677523427206,0.058617160313452536,-0.8189300168482715,0.06469498323129563,0.08546195813431258,0.10258177965283373,0.07482296390013615,0.06781437399629292,-0.37214465621091514,-0.003862523309679588,0.005468267452926408,0.06336706589408822,0.09167847761487528,0.03695343784991038,1.4848334688661231E-5,0.08315134707895185,0.06673306445329555,0.06664355400554801,0.08538311699729456,0.06653615392003671,0.11179803147456484,0.10655873543248501,0.09061516914984309,0.06322607989034107,-0.40006587591445486,0.11149434788892833,-1.0296445426807075,0.06629505585704429,0.09349852810124712;0.07828873467994014,0.1051165082590499,0.009468251454447794,0.17959977409927508,0.05881092014842191,-1.6561451167592212,0.04922022380998095,0.021768070083586086,0.18216221992581666,0.025799660658412438,0.07922873400055555,0.17028528922913372,-0.48999291095693936,0.03338568603123297,0.025946503116687364,-0.011919394246989895,0.05395489306574113,0.019200804005234592,0.153559555078272,0.17605987339810789,-0.42238678965773374,0.06778917145109051,-0.4883926788535242,0.09100009585153078,0.024126522701480538,0.14457168950632693,0.024816758954142235,0.03078982938719859,0.016593454234057482,0.010988126206899646,-0.15372141972835743,0.1716035578096563,0.18831579337207038,0.032869584421574276,0.05225369397918781,0.16397852700285645,0.17217319862304956,0.09075523202633749,-0.16996987275501513,0.1713592252082742,0.07793200778271987,0.14678150838882412,0.02888975958448358,0.019261060026611643,0.024262972601448333,-0.2293494966831206,0.17831473885964963,0.11716295760097549,0.10293577753756336,0.17687500512997123,0.050549025997760004,0.051600416008264906,0.13382815974726908,0.18424385706597313,-0.5594464846779149,0.06075730254602127,-0.001053789914592278,0.03787753418400766,0.15310520251851165,0.041267294520105885,0.03244170663737516,0.12687526616877998,0.09671783409777787,0.1695357975492563,0.025569426471675705,0.04589834864116515,-0.3477316578492457,0.04811777143169444,0.04261027883853083,0.022138250004842493,0.038153372634214984,0.046974922966913295,0.1668895988512708,-0.95933824705489,0.022625281409179243,0.06953914549734704,0.1148423539204644,0.17899454444192586,0.17445019826801722,-0.3768930585879673,0.10748939758812379,0.11751880972166096,0.019898669994022924,0.17805824279337215,0.14795914320380882,0.11089656643435855,0.06651347586494544,0.02840049962213505,0.027953043773932543,0.07270093464717518,0.030082312014088557,0.16748386587576597,0.13809409629470945,0.1872910573864045,0.019972813045453928,-0.4173073259522085,0.14487967862890633,-1.2857777939659973,0.028110666601343128,0.09226392444329079;0.04425625955212456,0.029663062331213165,0.07470240862531276,-0.04086617554559243,0.053187757270722016,0.9530691992042079,0.05833722913081199,0.06979192795332939,-0.11341080826527714,0.06714806273577492,0.04205682259524497,-0.031172469424370103,0.3016986794894368,0.06343515588941245,0.0684989723814742,-0.24080234783223056,0.0515105324191875,0.0711882321228342,-0.16333827182282198,-0.06817634530318674,-0.18441076274048934,0.04823192919243593,-0.15294890102181938,0.03757658053039971,0.06905721014394331,-0.17274492369946604,0.06918790427236395,0.06515992758484869,0.07171080114273472,0.07227329683330136,-0.2504996267946071,-0.028646929030680175,-0.06950188189441055,0.06673463432850182,0.05563670330255627,-0.1526316157542438,-0.03417439158746388,0.03670568755951066,-0.24855679872183412,-0.028634996051787286,0.04310693960116499,-0.0030370615119961783,0.066033024060509,0.07032003833654439,0.069163038045339,-0.24110497354479243,-0.12911278815966393,0.02305960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k{274}	=[0.8230859316979455;1.0259849327756443;-0.20397425637180563];
x_a_linear{274}	=[2.669274861617825,-0.8928994452875971,26.73976323994955];
L_a{274}	=[-0.045994190142393795,-0.05178765532589199,-0.030305018065925858,-0.058944832503274314,-0.041704891108968814,0.5560358287900774,-0.039979110123663834,-0.03317241890259829,-0.04335172915466118,-0.03416252721589199,-0.046036601945962284,-0.05878330548809715,0.08905190362319106,-0.035898657160053395,-0.03466969527665098,0.05438032200304177,-0.03988985693027856,-0.03256952034180487,-0.02219995273233745,-0.05160291593814625,0.21150710991035904,-0.04366658890948351,0.23519613770168088,-0.048742495079419405,-0.03462404989733445,-0.016864501004074644,-0.034159843491261783,-0.03529673782466277,-0.03217227826540955,-0.030305203902006642,0.11109935751952205,-0.059525644285455974,-0.055520074676348605,-0.036418084874056754,-0.040193220734769976,-0.02828996484219048,-0.05877233564104594,-0.04871330103429575,0.11724197732241222,-0.05952377641155488,-0.045596006791547565,-0.057204823303982404,-0.03492453093245368,-0.03239902776257736,-0.03371131714609371,0.13998071092354258,-0.03846152663147692,-0.05404530664507307,-0.05091978540524938,-0.03693297653320746,-0.040252261388406506,-0.040185243783177185,-0.056137310730048955,-0.05524983183749172,0.26150894072805964,-0.042162685575539434,0.04981225002168598,-0.0370537877354503,-0.02210333421179047,-0.037685685174874264,-0.03589428224015243,-0.05528384750129309,-0.05020243803764251,-0.03219659760067153,-0.03453875327475602,-0.03898374016128236,0.18410754276130256,-0.03923122488079869,-0.037886484860851326,-0.033537785826206104,-0.03703978176141123,-0.03922668909309544,-0.030671282668636564,0.42850308507388046,-0.033851488323878846,-0.044717756051910335,-0.05367565988456418,-0.03915092890229249,-0.03548370174731212,0.19472376149289547,0.002021055670589928,-0.002861257281307064,-0.03315665889522222,-0.0479705343370376,-0.019335794020243276,-7.769354024705626E-6,-0.04350873459066446,-0.03491790923078265,-0.034871073112656456,-0.04467650262396412,-0.03481487628627082,-0.058498040621844334,-0.05575659205913687,-0.0474141608395743,-0.03308288832103995,0.20933346993665,-0.05833913894446723,0.5387589342080653,-0.034688722327236264,-0.0489228712063126;-0.08861347702436427,-0.08280884027111,-0.10050160615763074,-0.03429730470303857,-0.09252642362096611,0.36157949855823435,-0.09585466240829245,-0.09860691782868383,0.02484888416061579,-0.09816819989285691,-0.08782738026831176,-0.04302564562761614,-0.16684427794101486,-0.09688218603430651,-0.09986175229281066,0.18541413825789427,-0.09079611408581655,-0.09898640534373786,0.07300109325326586,-0.011195098888694525,0.34512328772237644,-0.09066671708640216,0.36507936718514594,-0.08587507485057977,-0.10151609624962064,0.08337434027253479,-0.0991413629850326,-0.09729381749613258,-0.10015225607064161,-0.098982405761066,0.24943229232807346,-0.044401151776674155,-0.013153636327260717,-0.09928316993060343,-0.09359814981638732,0.061320828572233775,-0.04109792921178694,-0.08601400028040931,0.2554739769815683,-0.0446387062983836,-0.08752528921139296,-0.060801481985178055,-0.09784323511149642,-0.09830747143143265,-0.09806755161757026,0.2786079252597394,0.038746809944195965,-0.07895488213865315,-0.08184027303172989,0.0428538287785302,-0.09551706258920911,-0.09422248128647202,-0.06988107594032496,-0.016244924265317828,0.3895085997107313,-0.0922412707991035,0.17970327250673604,-0.09658203790373292,0.07289734681834324,-0.09548528631251431,-0.09781028986202785,-0.07373695008991095,-0.08545512982419783,0.05270183803678042,-0.09976367088734708,-0.09556457163812386,0.3203517671045389,-0.09424321329709166,-0.09487095732197595,-0.09956256944060467,-0.09625537503337754,-0.0953696024439205,0.05559065223746929,0.5955997222741599,-0.10021389139169525,-0.09273118395972238,-0.07993412375392815,0.03692493513169041,0.045688102821889266,0.3297141534083542,0.11482333825225283,0.10713597295408787,-0.10041912851933804,0.003984337965354292,0.07779404676344599,0.11086837325678092,-0.09136959608731363,-0.09830846645956297,-0.09858596493535159,-0.08941969572087277,-0.09625277149104526,-0.04479190917163152,-0.06423359994158385,0.015236102494732751,-0.10007728922297753,0.34231511783901264,-0.06681947921280419,0.6692529918005369,-0.09776663354652455,-0.08526578924400802;0.07743779412602432,0.06702416968797612,0.09656532221513844,0.0016583257360889142,0.08327486788075214,0.5519289243085103,0.08717931159155683,0.09372346716097119,-0.08213562121816671,0.09179389462098675,0.07526895426678003,0.011235501612466179,0.23745406925069887,0.08933348196114263,0.09351068992508678,-0.28003387966478155,0.08028822505345713,0.094684822929872,-0.14732258599714598,-0.030948514265948492,-0.3369980886264039,0.07973426514266221,-0.32262617440428343,0.07274082150711272,0.09403599779516611,-0.16057838654758144,0.09383180004126761,0.09062401169740665,0.09492081006516279,0.09413634449063263,-0.3306499058028715,0.014296586612852292,-0.029448099629403972,0.0930076905258741,0.08463325132999708,-0.1322224196449219,0.008225665485498862,0.07184886711053856,-0.33313854071994414,0.014307172053670558,0.0760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x_a{274}	=[2.6692748616178257,-0.892899445287596,26.739763239949557];
std_x_a{274}	=[1.1276845667620998,1.5971993636778625,1.5203585150698777];
pred_a{274}	=[2.6692748616178257];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.4 to 27.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{275}	=[0.6528246136224292,-0.2598014342582692,20.59835546891172];
std_x_f{275}	=[1.512318646474308,2.0808430195148313,1.0916533108900197];
pred_f{275}	=[0.6528246136224292];
obs{275}	=[0.64658677754954];
sqrt_r{275}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{275}	=[3.293790939355881];
L_f{275}	=[-0.08175115217535828,-0.08040492907240772,-0.08291663001031882,-0.049851775336365645,-0.0824423203956077,0.35218791664803084,-0.08421705739639146,-0.08287462271116686,-7.430284599027827E-4,-0.08307589194510187,-0.08142180199983205,-0.05538040801291895,-0.08219396939956447,-0.08302990878554863,-0.08447239041979135,0.16713561256065687,-0.08073132259778348,-0.08301996968138681,0.044659364228218826,-0.03024914299753053,0.3587199754974913,-0.08251103293017724,0.381670771267432,-0.08115909881320586,-0.08588900358355693,0.05506928086345067,-0.08441383693932389,-0.08311068281818489,-0.08390463999667626,-0.0817759658120871,0.24405629476427998,-0.057123734182379565,-0.033022340451535376,-0.08540317299735681,-0.08247524983254378,0.03285080106986607,-0.05416883580217913,-0.08137494704195326,0.2514189139854568,-0.05740772228969989,-0.0813744209767293,-0.06743336771405957,-0.08314009441786148,-0.08228577217082825,-0.08342979017797461,0.27936441764425196,0.011565705597264605,-0.07849356591942253,-0.07949288296447529,0.015374874104939172,-0.08389032175326888,-0.08296827572120308,-0.07322401406932944,-0.03560794236229268,0.4077875113314896,-0.0827981334490402,0.1605217930175276,-0.08390190354212435,0.04473580863267514,-0.08260287993123237,-0.08410971171215346,-0.07581792640506071,-0.0816376979766507,0.02496386105462772,-0.0842457246200823,-0.08330068080905863,0.32987718966893176,-0.0831957373656624,-0.08220904581546444,-0.08387553865085684,-0.08349969289742502,-0.08341528242750194,0.0273319808190966,0.5754518376090338,-0.08518620192898732,-0.08426289763061297,-0.07899958173086075,0.009759413320995584,0.01803471836512068,0.3410246820750988,0.08769493873381595,0.08001614033211464,-0.08435804057383932,-0.01815771430368213,0.04918275941327595,0.08368438973745583,-0.08202044483431814,-0.08371841889073646,-0.08369670562492311,-0.08192526440072254,-0.08243442890612473,-0.0564652921156921,-0.06919030518162268,-0.00853642871755364,-0.08423395596708881,0.3556233364035648,-0.07180687967945716,0.5775154145140212,-0.08301524775920889,-0.08080490627715921;-0.11739028934352122,-0.11136102666119072,-0.12834204161761256,-0.055337243114130484,-0.12090448749274209,0.20281740582007277,-0.12478312737565209,-0.12696298887285207,0.023395753636025775,-0.12631309869706014,-0.11609419027625917,-0.06651073536489174,-0.19176836247681736,-0.1252577872010386,-0.12841558598301037,0.2762750780448828,-0.1187507768624732,-0.12706366178627063,0.09412573073374375,-0.024489709530481067,0.5340430794227055,-0.11969850482543261,0.5576687580148765,-0.11516346240104121,-0.13031177911208777,0.10945608508738967,-0.1280034838382179,-0.1252016422193639,-0.1284950940777666,-0.1266381586793112,0.3860834134012608,-0.06747293747514257,-0.028371759929821976,-0.12862467700351793,-0.12208413978070486,0.07563861936135818,-0.06329861790198545,-0.11535014916165279,0.3965350758277221,-0.06825848429287103,-0.115898124448469,-0.08708732770844278,-0.12615599775336206,-0.12641982375002733,-0.12679582487847502,0.4343977188546058,0.04271853342046587,-0.10766954928548848,-0.11031827765010074,0.048540413729111276,-0.12443702113030657,-0.12256652570651565,-0.09704314353449096,-0.03205244570105178,0.5848959738925364,-0.12162343870731132,0.2666590734313992,-0.125026896073392,0.09326230882348835,-0.1239300901605023,-0.1264596173277789,-0.1021928147343622,-0.11495043317439277,0.06299285635267746,-0.12848117106467183,-0.12415162657163839,0.4995440513485303,-0.1233549431804929,-0.12300008505626306,-0.127440812769376,-0.1246552401572383,-0.12400131095279124,0.067162880957522,0.7267563870407072,-0.13005039641271565,-0.12273157262868363,-0.10794752469838592,0.04005162959752716,0.052679610301100015,0.513050561219406,0.15903965466926243,0.14644370288642836,-0.12904637318794143,-0.005364880089386653,0.10109479554604699,0.15266589351626123,-0.11995626871244185,-0.12654457070815217,-0.12689471793540352,-0.11753795225457755,-0.1239421304200336,-0.0677781848263313,-0.09085150459204547,0.010363997156657895,-0.1286440677794043,0.529705142762176,-0.09372586584777494,0.5847752825556931,-0.12592403270568714,-0.1134688797808141;0.0369776239520003,0.029257103685248663,0.04948227660546993,-0.018865830060214726,0.03990903891369906,0.5075635350412746,0.04364183798736721,0.047586848489558034,-0.07884767620678444,0.04626121160297348,0.03457177678263736,-0.011680784107552755,0.1423435996898368,0.04435995407140558,0.04774143232067504,-0.18943600935196322,0.03917311208612683,0.04826802133686048,-0.1218941063953526,-0.04233913620643374,-0.13015109286441104,0.03828411575893657,-0.10367671565285447,0.0332547560458244,0.048301887356865345,-0.12930518947577396,0.04793235636872576,0.045515418306197784,0.04820573571633607,0.047334479770615355,-0.19405807590997104,-0.009665603431845185,-0.04163866357989706,0.04762033798953902,0.04092508863951087,-0.11225443425676522,-0.014361929882639263,0.03257785570948357,-0.19239949792586875,-0.009845096228186235,0.03618027772967636,0.00859081719266508,0.046011994406048945,0.0472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k{275}	=[0.6963984604938057;0.9387964242537866;-0.04142549478793458];
x_a_linear{275}	=[0.6484805941844564,-0.26565749245857884,20.598613874357444];
L_a{275}	=[0.07187234740935365,0.07068880183267172,0.07289698896636176,0.043827689526170395,0.07247999489959925,-0.3096295480265229,0.0740402727780924,0.07286005782694634,6.532409413706169E-4,0.07303700569763974,0.07158279589105841,0.04868824253190173,0.07226165462436031,0.07299657914057676,0.07426475137288377,-0.1469389542629034,0.07097575398225923,0.07298784107721924,-0.03926272909287387,0.026593838209035596,-0.3153722732412052,0.07254040421524272,-0.33554969610321,0.07135183774316284,0.07551018107927422,-0.04841471197019055,0.07421327349179968,0.07306759244351876,0.07376560787990419,0.07189416256757454,-0.2145645454282068,0.05022090526221441,0.02903192263408972,0.07508305823458868,0.07250894514517381,-0.028881112061936793,0.047623076640966905,0.07154160288373164,-0.22103746614462808,0.050470576262149285,0.07154114038820078,0.05928472324073795,0.0730934499470962,0.07234236395375619,0.07334813888737192,-0.24560603666686365,-0.010168106364272969,0.0690084076987505,0.0698869673266327,-0.013516975157425885,0.07375301985224841,0.07294239381236221,0.06437562820655339,0.03130508055110127,-0.3585104907236622,0.07279281152307925,-0.14112434831231174,0.07376320209837088,-0.03932993595966886,0.07262115242970431,0.07394589874047813,0.0666560923172387,0.07177260300982412,-0.021947229447585103,0.07406547585603786,0.07323463108754766,-0.2900148480776165,0.07314236900412245,0.07227490920698601,0.07374002313912473,0.07340959456601998,0.07333538425267427,-0.024029185748993206,-0.505914268966767,0.07489230593827614,0.07408057368091352,0.06945327658715836,-0.008580086348061277,-0.01585540398241023,-0.2998152781099734,-0.07709788712456353,-0.0703469943025316,0.07416421955607434,0.015963537098470416,-0.0432395174507047,-0.07357197264998426,0.07210909875810541,0.07360188972224,0.07358280028628233,0.0720254199229096,0.07247305701727459,0.049642029298920566,0.06082935248063353,0.007504887137335369,0.07405512932642959,-0.31264983184634043,0.0631297402589906,-0.5077284833512081,0.07298368975185962,0.07104044581383631;0.08970550462077846,0.09232445277004095,0.08170619462005346,0.07094957632627422,0.08794220572528764,-0.6893612886942936,0.08855941157023633,0.08297883253470242,0.02527802764375549,0.08413858722852485,0.0901672786139843,0.07378147168438512,0.016449196529170235,0.08507741206126092,0.08557377436905107,-0.1471205740275531,0.08576153772011536,0.08324635927837752,-0.01900743310161083,0.052138816418312584,-0.37468292822002924,0.08932225415831835,-0.40919726534155754,0.09043251464518984,0.08726621112571553,-0.030047960298981463,0.08583754613312003,0.0853381775525599,0.08405601468370741,0.080520494335445,-0.2321712630316487,0.07723554393353112,0.05528195787590073,0.08772258475763435,0.08684597180765523,-0.007580546961019679,0.07392437847255941,0.0907926245855267,-0.2403709276225206,0.07716940890385648,0.09024331664599157,0.08373799346224965,0.0844583288410925,0.08203029427558385,0.08455237239366743,-0.27330112498932735,0.013419753896416064,0.09117397673972297,0.0910567644621665,0.009592072633763568,0.0880778159957503,0.0876125418309647,0.08845131039580756,0.05815123826827073,-0.44813018146697353,0.0881246165691445,-0.13998214554775235,0.08751728057504146,-0.02006450750744264,0.08532333988782224,0.08661098857356747,0.08987265771185594,0.09185795337441804,-2.4674930368073517E-4,0.08493398901612496,0.08686950488488696,-0.33611607927151654,0.08740034069892587,0.08525566622271238,0.08503657511896597,0.08687003791192824,0.08731013461588481,-0.0020757550461179895,-0.7310047823948922,0.08574722421830433,0.09072709091544028,0.09217786394820489,0.015328633082420395,0.006993228894074503,-0.3508489119558883,-0.06311321388938324,-0.05625687895360309,0.08465331085367114,0.0406330803091635,-0.023497241862786903,-0.05932726711738367,0.0878217098514877,0.0855347941480517,0.08512964187312218,0.08999891083952884,0.08488457171240849,0.07526230073211096,0.08442457170696772,0.03198887259681448,0.08474127940615213,-0.37117631572482324,0.08817863780273794,-0.8782134351917406,0.08437402656764133,0.09122984037646853;0.027839278820050762,0.0202692426873084,0.04021365149071756,-0.02443838428534545,0.030693433295838273,0.5469319677543503,0.034227847896626626,0.038322919054163164,-0.07893073375800898,0.036974783796910965,0.025470247224451643,-0.01787134250952713,0.13315575535796767,0.035078666376168174,0.03829890047572906,-0.17075317894802128,0.030148766016057763,0.03898784465916496,-0.11690197267208112,-0.045720459910156,-0.09005249052558477,0.029060829284732262,-0.0610126168382262,0.024182592096841763,0.03870100300355141,-0.12314940963283068,0.03849636977603536,0.03622510149065717,0.038826668411976725,0.03819336090924002,-0.16677686220429938,-0.01605103512661322,-0.04532998212502964,0.03807376097568394,0.031705802088088736,-0.10858229080619324,-0.020417055758962244,0.023481563713887148,-0.16429527251054107,-0.016262272813014362,0.027084044538946365,0.0010529492705233115,0.03671838988945938,0.03809287984440813,0.03795373305572691,-0.15261650087027376,-0.09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x_a{275}	=[0.6484805941844565,-0.26565749245857867,20.598613874357433];
std_x_a{275}	=[1.3295701437931233,1.840941423432395,1.0910802786782927];
pred_a{275}	=[0.6484805941844565];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.5 to 27.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{276}	=[0.23270092507421766,0.16178238781801244,16.105234105056];
std_x_f{276}	=[1.974703394160079,2.862212050914696,1.4328415579042144];
pred_f{276}	=[0.23270092507421766];
obs{276}	=[0.22781301630980216];
sqrt_r{276}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{276}	=[4.910217523170839];
L_f{276}	=[0.10374983500471642,0.10517456656767923,0.09778784650968765,0.0753787233673192,0.10264180234010219,-0.5896436882747504,0.10359838558514237,0.09934795188875066,0.017527124292164388,0.10039288437920027,0.10429747520238955,0.07954272159410393,0.04969970068419075,0.10091933095474204,0.10205909973623727,-0.2018545142746499,0.10010966075040115,0.0996562955890766,-0.03971936801498218,0.05196299682034074,-0.4625328066235822,0.1039134924387985,-0.494560776761643,0.10434484368743781,0.10390657050579129,-0.05296140567207452,0.10141976779356471,0.10124541857997972,0.10059557989050655,0.09690694964229733,-0.30632802590970903,0.08373919134669623,0.05596424798566983,0.10406527994071321,0.10171050323875205,-0.024075824323084253,0.07989006704473424,0.10495098228316503,-0.3158215544283464,0.08385864484238317,0.10412067394262634,0.09327341469858272,0.10051111726193167,0.09826361208216483,0.10009317397892985,-0.35397032004202317,0.0024484182211157845,0.10373577562510834,0.10374155355126148,-0.0023619052921616205,0.10347380429187775,0.10257856089014354,0.09928118845725029,0.05946109638321757,-0.5308053283479913,0.10322274972723919,-0.19269283942129026,0.10303714280269567,-0.039666592827897175,0.10107340407163623,0.1025828973874091,0.10128913181495579,0.10470480973120287,-0.014304577995492437,0.1012408256517263,0.10220142027286268,-0.4233022010504988,0.10254977640896465,0.10060485408537628,0.1012213537928109,0.1022051320268991,0.10305360697853341,-0.017518496838117206,-0.7383583122523799,0.1023938827367056,0.10596219995879715,0.10468857203295019,0.005022071752045201,-0.0058848674416575346,-0.4383850314378155,-0.09549675247013151,-0.08572122625528923,0.10082395153306663,0.03753913917534291,-0.04516295080627403,-0.09008664525978465,0.10230042591573078,0.1010157765137852,0.1011453071847074,0.10447302837732945,0.10038007124939018,0.08192384816823445,0.0943287298484736,0.026794585794496943,0.1014018238220192,-0.45793180867225053,0.09886252687066803,-0.7751500669429504,0.1004416125941637,0.10447289948566456;0.15307078251309622,0.15614929435146335,0.14205603853848262,0.11608729764097808,0.15083554369855184,-0.8314504706756222,0.15204263877686713,0.1440447975508199,0.029359980863759367,0.14628961590724307,0.15378822396408717,0.12163261423729417,0.04973822841515623,0.1467060508222282,0.14815888314816938,-0.3151936649633425,0.14678639440945376,0.1444976959803597,-0.058239785365964046,0.08141634395714956,-0.7080449057590449,0.15298898730527052,-0.7506367777223049,0.15433888385706657,0.1511422216323444,-0.0796774600602021,0.14877338344628976,0.14767910503262732,0.14591679170021632,0.1403171741361054,-0.4781669836855074,0.12797968993287986,0.08643562727639713,0.15206349934462174,0.14898324118874257,-0.03525636995327712,0.1218858297725743,0.1556448730257104,-0.49297007274179555,0.12793917408962277,0.15382712643283225,0.140679079451915,0.14653888018244332,0.1423884761066237,0.1459326523309386,-0.5512276398629415,0.005967732820438584,0.15421607965731146,0.154562678115221,-8.22857703858219E-4,0.15130257933626506,0.1500076393810711,0.14903614898939357,0.09220935289247237,-0.7968632009925869,0.1514268143557115,-0.3010134177646002,0.150750173049397,-0.059342906336853414,0.14727244547709728,0.1497128019298463,0.15136995745589438,0.15547789424435393,-0.02032533118300237,0.14738009329499221,0.14891883352425847,-0.6516343541553434,0.15004237313477392,0.1473853360357709,0.14715184610710813,0.14970705908040302,0.15061306412344752,-0.02369080403330663,-1.0007109721775287,0.14877576311078636,0.15577242878978784,0.15625306865199542,0.010067569446678734,-0.005984803970677731,-0.6735864453848416,-0.14671736208626082,-0.13174116985322248,0.1456864293692479,0.06000097804583559,-0.06716615752416426,-0.13822026186701464,0.15065949839932227,0.1473948215586539,0.146906248616067,0.15301535328971175,0.14657802773327855,0.12463744354514104,0.14187959287727503,0.04326700758703423,0.14694600502502067,-0.7014026737973282,0.14832917705199206,-0.9853535556125697,0.14568919760377477,0.15495577050594897;8.165231076031265E-4,-0.0046078461026797446,0.008718438974172201,-0.04450369341251885,0.0026636989967098743,0.668942841671259,0.005766799516440346,0.007710560334046392,-0.09262539408408804,0.0069920308928634115,-0.001285713587802273,-0.03866444553324131,0.0711822374873222,0.005916508647493459,0.008167409673702492,-0.13745293411459472,0.0013388353468858825,0.008284006943956352,-0.12242006936947826,-0.06383278865857595,0.05984537011706004,0.0017449663578979367,0.10745870863292581,-0.0021428488683198368,0.00876843141017557,-0.1264084171460348,0.00835194145959059,0.006989111858345739,0.008212503518443414,0.007168896266353212,-0.09422219050013121,-0.03680544669665457,-0.06351279913150623,0.008110515362229455,0.003133702379054255,-0.11640216956865389,-0.040071876926459755,-0.0022417409949690124,-0.0876076596025159,-0.03709535476056716,-8.591364590126528E-5,-0.0218394042571652,0.007131336500754591,0.007298866271391927,0.006743005592067237,-0.058541441403651105,-0.10257226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k{276}	=[0.7963430346453906;1.151609224536108;-0.3273416572314432];
x_a_linear{276}	=[0.22880847297569323,0.15615342699622065,16.10683412121134];
L_a{276}	=[-0.06081695738739257,-0.061652118607160515,-0.05732210845361032,-0.04418613877060991,-0.06016744141134658,0.34564233342559253,-0.06072817948334888,-0.0582366242439631,-0.010274198230306796,-0.05884915162525008,-0.06113797775878873,-0.04662702653402704,-0.029133391667940458,-0.05915774853964527,-0.05982586786159424,0.11832478955302533,-0.058683129198679775,-0.058417371766911634,0.02328303569746882,-0.030460109774634387,0.2711313997696349,-0.06091289148882237,0.28990582668802517,-0.061165744618721936,-0.060908833931480603,0.031045365535169636,-0.05945109884618178,-0.05934889734684803,-0.05896796939756926,-0.05680573686377298,0.17956595783952692,-0.04908694873158299,-0.0328055970865614,-0.06100186757283716,-0.059621524612932734,0.014112970703585245,-0.0468306364334424,-0.06152105607676452,0.1851309548281751,-0.049156970993851155,-0.06103433889824903,-0.05467580056240472,-0.05891845837827332,-0.05760099674819351,-0.058673464843280954,0.2074933215018485,-0.0014352345390559512,-0.06080871594112413,-0.060812102894834824,0.0013845216573107103,-0.06065515136524728,-0.06013037000234545,-0.058197488289979164,-0.03485540931010987,0.3111519650481671,-0.06050798607328476,0.11295432135778835,-0.06039918543355124,0.023252099491123036,-0.05924806442481528,-0.060132912007056984,-0.05937452154132197,-0.061376752564359455,0.00838517873649564,-0.05934620502524711,-0.059909294519679156,0.24813487098179265,-0.06011349687126836,-0.05897340582370103,-0.05933479084599701,-0.05991147030711109,-0.06040883654364988,0.010269140916190432,0.43281713181364184,-0.06002211379752819,-0.0621138202222256,-0.06136723421281063,-0.0029438805731755433,0.003449641461246389,0.2569762522997005,0.05597909553635746,0.05024879474869483,-0.05910183822206857,-0.022005010682498296,0.02647400118322328,0.052807753050290576,-0.05996733048632099,-0.05921428381465796,-0.05929021320089249,-0.061240885006390966,-0.05884164071624838,-0.04802281548527009,-0.055294414138978294,-0.01570667733980171,-0.0594405802968965,0.2684343478048491,-0.057952073693707716,0.45438403432603713,-0.05887771554318653,-0.0612408094515826;-0.08491288523564292,-0.08510245418888374,-0.08225188804827514,-0.056818086318010254,-0.08460649420086427,0.5210872716170769,-0.0855936309413399,-0.08384173328303912,-0.010844124751904136,-0.08399380419989291,-0.08545163299057175,-0.06082424101284791,-0.06426404497930813,-0.08478494409132083,-0.08594653862199488,0.14782468736982093,-0.0828473610695735,-0.08409612045764023,0.03286938006487909,-0.03777752820619962,0.3529230829552923,-0.08537008148786915,0.38379767774502743,-0.08500962797696601,-0.08720096947766562,0.041806584424265616,-0.08386552456393226,-0.08455987689273718,-0.08483157585685724,-0.08197013172002313,0.2244950218676502,-0.06410312051298026,-0.04193640336658393,-0.08664374297980557,-0.08432256222027308,0.019969288730627567,-0.061367774159751844,-0.0850940129343984,0.23146839864034296,-0.0644176414284161,-0.085007179879176,-0.07327354353209982,-0.08401574512785914,-0.08301077208003428,-0.08366328542679835,0.2607173144009964,3.514969158946689E-4,-0.08373533837531681,-0.08340199345229586,0.004594932929526562,-0.08604792305419007,-0.0852893338807556,-0.07869723840766663,-0.04418382599784657,0.42070980907616196,-0.08534781351797896,0.1409896820216573,-0.08559870555288097,0.031645202201821786,-0.08457196576196481,-0.08559411848538438,-0.08096929485532949,-0.08469631566771724,0.012486826415228174,-0.08484835326989286,-0.08551304624268781,0.3193456032347787,-0.08518857364706013,-0.08338430487475336,-0.08503193547684118,-0.08473333479010126,-0.08577358036975605,0.016493511737318816,0.6929516659809021,-0.08609759131534545,-0.08728601065518529,-0.08388389486844715,-0.0014521698877954792,0.007514035212219606,0.3319908421643364,0.07233520228554938,0.06488807613281523,-0.08558578211590329,-0.02610713021932315,0.03642961859195564,0.06842247884797993,-0.08399948270245026,-0.08431740231278304,-0.08510309557513362,-0.08662719142300702,-0.0836760013331158,-0.06328129254037586,-0.07449373535403424,-0.01819500633224331,-0.08565174270613035,0.34901144398591155,-0.07844387513185241,0.7927028237385655,-0.0847059963613083,-0.0846864785522159;0.06846270597512048,0.06396727946475542,0.07247733118748849,0.0046441717864364514,0.06958743078514582,0.28448782290522606,0.07331423547866163,0.0724866606591625,-0.08119749104255013,0.07244944019866313,0.06671753750016796,0.013198398301548168,0.10358706050020514,0.0717171676685089,0.07471121211674098,-0.26906458809588624,0.06661157932396211,0.07326115119687569,-0.14831759134627498,-0.029952268413958514,-0.24173177280237207,0.06949785590801431,-0.21500106918164738,0.06589128706107276,0.07651680777387598,-0.1609399123802302,0.07447889152397114,0.07300238406690691,0.07380207281874941,0.0703534327655015,-0.29395187351304175,0.0177935476126772,-0.02702341335937836,0.07596237225153273,0.0694502155698759,-0.13209990648333475,0.012017440462436434,0.06618760483801273,-0.29352724129045094,0.017581524713719716,0.067802060821642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x_a{276}	=[0.22880847297569315,0.15615342699622023,16.10683412121134];
std_x_a{276}	=[1.1575483678592176,1.6855343495642454,1.2706995566494317];
pred_a{276}	=[0.22880847297569315];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.6 to 27.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{277}	=[0.29338857456582224,0.4573153809505482,12.68973781847127];
std_x_f{277}	=[2.050950754795872,3.378987204429367,1.3729989032543861];
pred_f{277}	=[0.29338857456582224];
obs{277}	=[0.2601824126934827];
sqrt_r{277}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{277}	=[5.217990988002293];
L_f{277}	=[-0.10766610146437189,-0.10829243438459188,-0.10326538583811583,-0.07569679751379808,-0.10692332214009362,0.5823824806423454,-0.10850463736864817,-0.10542888767698162,-0.016272577335450098,-0.10603949261912134,-0.10796410566691922,-0.08069352310417154,-0.06955716637746237,-0.10608551342922659,-0.10788064544552765,0.2116018803319042,-0.10468472209626598,-0.10560309381280744,0.04395914672713667,-0.051785137720829204,0.4846757134620958,-0.10822441439202761,0.5183023566140994,-0.1082855479568149,-0.1094583329250153,0.056794507032774236,-0.10623309038984821,-0.10654016253434048,-0.10635609055244973,-0.1032152100364487,0.321589119244737,-0.08508661058219658,-0.05652574104310406,-0.1086266146740978,-0.1064429903667463,0.026409481995715113,-0.08103256824003435,-0.10843602261550736,0.3318102183026064,-0.08502002397439502,-0.10762550927434848,-0.09493058741465786,-0.10543688824942436,-0.10376003361890739,-0.10495734577683606,0.3715287904307606,-9.82094093336983E-4,-0.10715494566435751,-0.10673949949733158,0.004360332610607369,-0.10868172095126229,-0.10715457701650963,-0.10216847612797066,-0.05973544966187173,0.5563731089067875,-0.1078845824964555,0.20194816770375215,-0.10753594006031075,0.043051378583361985,-0.10657910884468233,-0.10790842108302247,-0.10489172882894245,-0.10787999496361476,0.01607661300052628,-0.10622770800449789,-0.1069099768287376,0.4449818245527027,-0.10774721445547185,-0.10593749168949332,-0.1063015275202423,-0.10720442896362024,-0.10753288253397857,0.020572259482262115,0.7691422012826101,-0.10806253656559821,-0.11027515864534958,-0.10750148606324929,-0.002708872401403545,0.008599791988843551,0.45976659523994007,0.10133324203290338,0.09055260812469514,-0.1063990973024943,-0.037239113760550294,0.04891936736590823,0.09504383038821566,-0.10688333081457699,-0.10595829120031731,-0.10621606632833093,-0.1094720096235898,-0.10521953363034348,-0.08348239670469489,-0.09626037385529822,-0.026041057974561573,-0.10761285635231298,0.480276330049573,-0.10114484458506436,0.7962713580707114,-0.1060306845804674,-0.10811989588207878;-0.1806487934597213,-0.18254037028432804,-0.17355169434510803,-0.1274472570910837,-0.17995205013951585,0.9009559071172348,-0.18204178514175334,-0.17736821410668951,-0.025137674740248174,-0.1778031928021411,-0.18190031135941445,-0.13499224328291007,-0.12060826435189816,-0.17901163269548034,-0.1811512924869003,0.3776944925423869,-0.17605957282779797,-0.17736074646407424,0.07954463379542223,-0.08606004300327139,0.8391938576748132,-0.18168852017966425,0.890310018478216,-0.18151364703642092,-0.18394161780246837,0.1024759417652631,-0.17800499287841037,-0.17886072585547985,-0.17868443889482094,-0.17319413804039127,0.5705574271913358,-0.14283494689485765,-0.09470535343729827,-0.18349429393874314,-0.17885408032751388,0.04886255777225115,-0.13595401791221975,-0.18236606832619612,0.5877895216591869,-0.14278028801654574,-0.18076376159679375,-0.15960283040902504,-0.17727534839582124,-0.1746270479051263,-0.17663350102154193,0.6555604493338254,0.001487878416673842,-0.1796903054292658,-0.17904373490735007,0.010644682946526133,-0.18277803689964048,-0.18044863685391588,-0.17117884750257947,-0.10029293021115755,0.946346155322242,-0.18141051171878603,0.35969152932272896,-0.18095833467487007,0.07791357963378424,-0.17877692892560765,-0.18124183230180704,-0.17519844304323817,-0.18129177838356067,0.030589711747416086,-0.17845313706884877,-0.1806050228363665,0.7768287887853427,-0.1805102342650899,-0.17775562143600282,-0.17918373135943438,-0.1798010592124736,-0.18153071934307824,0.039431103143884115,1.190918697133345,-0.18181235837722914,-0.18502426077655454,-0.1804309677032516,-0.0027625178617240527,0.017803368649714178,0.8014767884367644,0.18108843461233576,0.16155115400171546,-0.1787433704531691,-0.06055462710893149,0.08874714697632223,0.17057950856590479,-0.1787783265807016,-0.17855765803069232,-0.1791744271708852,-0.18403234079797137,-0.17708110941739286,-0.13981208147798646,-0.1613898914023123,-0.04185080927328279,-0.18100788730337675,0.8321953062811738,-0.16993745877052893,1.1603063155215574,-0.1785465547594072,-0.18148370573722095;0.022073159659768044,0.01840453189982454,0.02479337005937078,-0.029929195009714322,0.022666592535827573,0.49582148547722477,0.02554328994190701,0.025398254254062114,-0.09773945168427638,0.02467404328831797,0.020662781731115194,-0.02314204952448665,0.04529167112699884,0.02457682003240183,0.027006140604208508,-0.1952440373662361,0.020295555457280234,0.02525105952608271,-0.1445975478138481,-0.05774538026231485,-0.0063253160495121965,0.023432670648207747,0.0430843124708648,0.02011305671306906,0.028580582608368297,-0.1527432833508051,0.02665464232497594,0.025802910229174303,0.02591119649524028,0.02292637015497942,-0.16106246788717063,-0.01898546468812214,-0.055760545843818295,0.02746286144882219,0.02236937309424332,-0.13397992475007556,-0.023970437726632515,0.020566980043018452,-0.15538039822461583,-0.01975809163119004,0.02178936873618868,-0.0017406636740090052,0.025239022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k{277}	=[0.8083553608468668;1.3289351557772944;0.2006302911050492];
x_a_linear{277}	=[0.2665461956031677,0.4131865450499646,12.683075656548342];
L_a{277}	=[0.06001869883672717,0.060367849464445546,0.057565510486392704,0.042197341884704316,0.05960463491168819,-0.3246503610519021,0.06048614247235674,0.058771559219777454,0.009071183084649256,0.05911194225243168,0.060184821917636674,0.0449827772659384,0.03877479135925167,0.05913759665158212,0.06013829683848517,-0.11795792135306735,0.05835672252311849,0.05886867080326968,-0.024505120485007977,0.028867735924416226,-0.2701835144405557,0.06032993157391974,-0.28892875867973733,0.060364010610532905,0.0610177821026674,-0.03166021957531772,0.059219863744328104,0.059391041768894745,0.059288430448385006,0.05753753987829776,-0.17927054323133737,0.04743171328870544,0.03151039539879274,0.06055413898250347,0.0593368729359673,-0.014722022296491421,0.04517177870301686,0.06044789303127433,-0.184968316790433,0.047394594441586,0.059996070633467326,0.052919259255610425,0.058776019156019606,0.05784125295112202,0.058508697177697404,-0.20710951988371468,5.474704555622885E-4,0.05973375394132892,0.05950216258580972,-0.002430676751777884,0.06058485809472307,0.05973354843779658,0.05695403581935404,0.03329965434216785,-0.3101513810768029,0.06014049155595653,-0.11257643857432026,0.0599461400832825,-0.023999083189203914,0.05941275247300123,0.060153780427090575,0.0584721188695702,0.060137934225949964,-0.008961942346472965,0.059216863322087795,0.05959719553929248,-0.2480560710604333,0.06006391544732575,0.0590550816157676,0.05925801416922993,0.059761338512475365,0.059944435658680496,-0.011468050105496574,-0.4287599672834278,0.060239692432902725,0.06147312334976414,0.059926933628834465,0.0015100667214254365,-0.004793972461310845,-0.25629787314278146,-0.05648843278433917,-0.050478745324634144,0.05931240465329959,0.0207590237163059,-0.027270206102793095,-0.052982386793739136,0.059582341661634175,0.05906667634762027,0.05921037364477707,0.06102540620757727,0.05865485435813102,0.04653744082714195,0.053660551554787564,0.014516643536890512,0.059989017234981394,-0.26773106873561986,0.05638341022357328,-0.4438831738341759,0.05910703219242111,0.06027166750671434;0.09502479887739962,0.09473691572951883,0.09085408882047415,0.06637055385612259,0.09381969340905907,-0.5902048980876095,0.0957788358505479,0.09257710579177458,0.016527434236801652,0.09370555008284356,0.09453630562455861,0.07161943012133797,0.05748933245215391,0.09261494413975829,0.0950716288330211,-0.16410139031205828,0.09198034884281803,0.0930306194100228,-0.033010531939398305,0.0465331757629676,-0.40179372552348097,0.09541460409296587,-0.4367768790805852,0.09574600662835864,0.09632089229368086,-0.04294351306585435,0.09399944727989282,0.0939299569551301,0.09363493694166923,0.09108317252976975,-0.2528552027167329,0.07502500419425827,0.05002593970817557,0.094638643757883,0.09368779807621637,-0.018757581477710214,0.07152576336717656,0.0952788680705972,-0.2617937140068032,0.07490917144034295,0.0948058964964717,0.08346212410622476,0.0926904565626205,0.09104525581630162,0.09210445975661818,-0.2957201758739664,0.004002480534155087,0.09467449840602081,0.0942573400872983,-5.197275615352485E-4,0.09549599762486023,0.09391522307725267,0.09041835398174577,0.05265665906704942,-0.47821897266152724,0.09482249022036233,-0.15738651195115574,0.09438198598850095,-0.03231729180784691,0.0941134739374066,0.09505220712923329,0.09337150886771096,0.09492947741041335,-0.010573640488713053,0.09353752176474148,0.09313255071931019,-0.3625246050009376,0.09537104377196469,0.09349195324181328,0.092995938600342,0.09469044410094886,0.09380177267918642,-0.013243123904666388,-0.7784309009462534,0.09487628593072751,0.09732969014985844,0.09482113524803408,0.004173412537176029,-0.004215962585205658,-0.3757322608603639,-0.07837019233183237,-0.0703042065779637,0.09368612198565238,0.034794235032405696,-0.03650841213837132,-0.07277539883983734,0.09489102120711307,0.09274317273970739,0.09278642374130606,0.09626518779124145,0.0923281700623873,0.07394036133811636,0.0850799138519033,0.02482599895574189,0.09452937362473031,-0.39752787881127966,0.08903878606333195,-0.8785061126144244,0.09293963558931828,0.09535180419151268;0.06369179909460297,0.06026528211621726,0.0647109002832904,-6.6838144583678E-4,0.06399810849859167,0.27069987203198376,0.06748606782866462,0.06615209230118378,-0.09144924037739008,0.06566391242209052,0.0623966155427056,0.008050262606461649,0.07217919271642317,0.06558447864193474,0.06870771262853254,-0.2770393493677655,0.060761734170940836,0.06607223745321908,-0.16159008169978178,-0.037727687176254465,-0.19367809921009987,0.06526712754194475,-0.15726694576880992,0.06197114496110972,0.07089201423990939,-0.1746973624706701,0.0677193472306917,0.06698631475053811,0.06702344746557745,0.06282450477926668,-0.28537366164244715,0.013905007971226934,-0.033910358985903014,0.0694527900118436,0.063515215436321,-0.14418858554387362,0.007352933271216904,0.06248323470071838,-0.28364258705198564,0.013106641784482774,0.06339231714388036,0.03495502638267185,0.06599595361506919,0.0637037212038746,0.0651047598559356,-0.27154894050669937,-0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x_a{277}	=[0.26654619560316783,0.41318654504996466,12.683075656548338];
std_x_a{277}	=[1.1433068905330956,1.8930594916419903,1.3047863988126542];
pred_a{277}	=[0.26654619560316783];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.7 to 27.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{278}	=[0.5447967036879515,1.011479056181548,10.183204933386525];
std_x_f{278}	=[2.338837714091992,4.107810419125953,1.57549550424346];
pred_f{278}	=[0.5447967036879515];
obs{278}	=[0.5486032416372789];
sqrt_r{278}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{278}	=[6.485063094894826];
L_f{278}	=[0.12207064362806617,0.12159177906444624,0.11659670763704678,0.08728796725153667,0.12073118959360776,-0.6794700730024499,0.12294975528577438,0.1188940061684457,0.022166958927220114,0.12021337113637176,0.12169218177367778,0.09327308977507404,0.07566317879306969,0.11943956231796399,0.12149928565959967,-0.23864042702406438,0.11856848650091796,0.11918036553923826,-0.04626686904817619,0.061599341544182805,-0.5558104174184064,0.12247923375992233,-0.5944060773486417,0.12291026401057568,0.12364591202336776,-0.06033120632291529,0.12023601575779597,0.12065363029576483,0.11973142141180082,0.11648396036383468,-0.3662000672273882,0.09794576367808655,0.06646568728006035,0.12239328675477576,0.1208673301329414,-0.0263415523947423,0.0934958527891875,0.12227860374047911,-0.3778899211321542,0.09794260392559144,0.12169520995540908,0.1083720553339929,0.11915396014659876,0.11673384621513264,0.11829729548913039,-0.42446000495541725,0.005187382115060634,0.12171637692128796,0.12180258544497335,-0.0016793917355684498,0.1226185885380924,0.12065413424958345,0.11641405631941086,0.07007490193278434,-0.637719309214099,0.12176381053654085,-0.22751945159548861,0.12112726676900211,-0.045215410851449145,0.12090121056812093,0.12182429150942449,0.12031391486964564,0.12226000800417204,-0.014046672371508494,0.12004100961241272,0.11994441528579569,-0.5101161119840231,0.12208481034610487,0.12014941645391729,0.11967075590565852,0.12160521211618579,0.12076506440587771,-0.018845635705258077,-0.8704751152615376,0.12147023462342188,0.1253300854784075,0.12190186586557004,0.0061806372616281455,-0.00603203712965768,-0.52611135960167,-0.11104814420377584,-0.09972412943851287,0.12021229168564364,0.046089362545158136,-0.051277831385193186,-0.10384804976484924,0.12170296879061179,0.11882656940096967,0.11937066452596437,0.12383433111336253,0.11873578086113146,0.09640988813107311,0.10953747380294857,0.033661216163136595,0.12128218241859297,-0.5509757142200288,0.11513122614925894,-0.9032428575517302,0.11950063781312914,0.12239740569395673;0.21750667430089626,0.2168543502290283,0.2078029808276631,0.15770842295360213,0.21450424049450617,-1.1633012611825264,0.21854940426252573,0.2115266955040652,0.04107869676018839,0.21343017608303913,0.21652114559849459,0.16823174271047156,0.13213552821274982,0.21163025505595973,0.2164095071071327,-0.4471106061274027,0.21108838128210589,0.21165653285542024,-0.084274684826455,0.1123103774297893,-1.0217906761964377,0.2178331070490754,-1.0839800546513885,0.21947998008058045,0.21966243692262374,-0.11110076997905656,0.2138244693162008,0.21435252154185278,0.21293085715506535,0.20759939890519444,-0.6866988754481237,0.17680164306962604,0.12094518058024348,0.21650465148828077,0.2147281782972925,-0.047689253710026885,0.1680281199152532,0.2173949377727247,-0.7091812096559212,0.1757963752607517,0.2160838189367435,0.19400637810032373,0.21141506065907675,0.20761470569250293,0.2106534600914671,-0.7929879959881119,0.0102502236947595,0.21673275252248092,0.21673111594913064,-0.0014639179858320108,0.21872487062476834,0.2147731998066008,0.20819240174956494,0.12674558182577705,-1.1517333834094174,0.2166818620547611,-0.42693196195227034,0.2156616103941887,-0.08222486899788214,0.21481555642615854,0.21631220498720763,0.2144972676614223,0.21742359111243106,-0.025385000120228738,0.21336864725289342,0.21304601042631516,-0.9443064642451876,0.21758108330654335,0.2130410930867185,0.2126027377837028,0.21635900300922029,0.21452362065901964,-0.0338062884308888,-1.432198019299809,0.2163866177086373,0.2221511231123026,0.21720226616285426,0.011643178231192878,-0.010447121733058076,-0.9715439928977678,-0.2066880582037984,-0.18486185175379494,0.21394438663032533,0.08432638640086376,-0.09438822745033772,-0.19274587295390586,0.21644750723145378,0.2114744988034871,0.21214370499048968,0.2207456869314354,0.21091531170289943,0.17297612860709402,0.19620930516548474,0.06136035449499117,0.21538720233629402,-1.0132447248029592,0.20564312050619366,-1.4218767323368202,0.21261885705317668,0.21772141143404936;0.02671548730047075,0.024606709812741077,0.026365544730637857,-0.031464851614542516,0.026684411195469018,0.48214911537468863,0.03004275995950673,0.02801509477575946,-0.11242166557412868,0.027455359053485444,0.025794026247116852,-0.023539181473751107,0.022127252939861973,0.027323098033413165,0.03071604080128866,-0.23263400568982645,0.023771771176755187,0.027511367811863363,-0.1706889273188273,-0.06538414234664211,0.005407626186804304,0.028212295664558695,0.06616948600358283,0.026284903711664212,0.032521670220689955,-0.18085556977795217,0.029495628269397608,0.02962224413715582,0.028749305212738805,0.02458276785216751,-0.1886246299782228,-0.017368424881860047,-0.06128142088165691,0.031285553309810615,0.025775984526562823,-0.15709846227356486,-0.023887384095506746,0.026351028419944345,-0.18083853571551542,-0.01843947773140737,0.027060166106028904,0.0011273165646578213,0.02779447098556922,0.025206281407612968,0.027722879295987168,-0.14612638968281375,-0.13042183531354892,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k{278}	=[0.8457994956460451;1.4830542175388512;-0.21454233390732322];
x_a_linear{278}	=[0.5480162715656501,1.0171243583415197,10.18238826985077];
L_a{278}	=[-0.05764039601436913,-0.05741428150997919,-0.05505566451052771,-0.041216404289615004,-0.05700792076319849,0.32083818782101287,-0.058055502731145035,-0.056140423246760225,-0.010466990695095048,-0.05676341266484209,-0.057461690549116144,-0.044042512370951144,-0.03572730887392324,-0.05639802877395061,-0.05737060715613437,0.11268334719865966,-0.05598671649148205,-0.05627563894681978,0.021846699378495496,-0.029086521831156408,0.262447478089178,-0.05783332771610995,0.28067191810763903,-0.05803685539158875,-0.058384220175817375,0.028487722527891206,-0.05677410520243909,-0.05697129812806372,-0.056535841381873314,-0.05500242650600563,0.17291558615672115,-0.046248896856284735,-0.03138435599522842,-0.05779274449916541,-0.05707220480699119,0.012438187155729035,-0.04414769858091316,-0.0577385924592996,0.1784354047502379,-0.04624740485640901,-0.05746312042274511,-0.05117207545308843,-0.0562631706150128,-0.05512041981708453,-0.05585866312131545,0.20042527876265065,-0.002449423960612343,-0.057473115227879394,-0.057513821930960204,7.929900410483982E-4,-0.05789912948762086,-0.056971536089434255,-0.05496941859612782,-0.03308858688728245,0.3011239429613292,-0.05749551285179885,0.10743214667478684,-0.057194943986501386,0.02135021254881554,-0.05708820277048877,-0.057524071292425684,-0.056810888293956814,-0.05772981176008275,0.006632681979172376,-0.056682025476216126,-0.05663641471286257,0.24087113686118863,-0.05764708538057293,-0.05673321397731077,-0.05650719580670023,-0.05742062444714365,-0.05702391607162091,0.008898698924725352,0.4110286377878378,-0.05735688958096534,-0.059179468091451776,-0.057560701037922844,-0.002918427959361567,0.002848260634933755,0.2484239143318987,0.05243569476105174,0.047088621327646414,-0.05676290296025113,-0.02176288278815909,0.024212819888180036,0.049035890496358175,-0.057466784058164626,-0.05610858035753029,-0.05636549600524111,-0.058473189567975606,-0.05606571102192019,-0.045523673558303376,-0.05172237305189298,-0.01589445072379703,-0.05726809342788918,0.2601645851782871,-0.05436368050194642,0.4265012001170593,-0.056426867941366206,-0.057794689416292885;-0.09760490551439921,-0.09702109479844724,-0.09317825145548125,-0.0676156061659886,-0.09714969000934501,0.5906739926334414,-0.09883150300989796,-0.09538475348000974,-0.016142804164634494,-0.09688706455609462,-0.09761347768334032,-0.07254220424133966,-0.06318042240987436,-0.09668948551275199,-0.09722717664197889,0.1689127040836057,-0.09498277544457596,-0.0959941205028061,0.035158012221487435,-0.04670136571061081,0.4129711429035688,-0.09833320204526305,0.4504121015482253,-0.0977989849250792,-0.0995155203436581,0.04463742531137433,-0.0965512258556462,-0.09710119839419701,-0.09614228470169627,-0.09309078902587817,0.2586052393075938,-0.07603428382902847,-0.050628484470161675,-0.09943979511916302,-0.09727718363307764,0.020308488770837473,-0.07332086459854213,-0.09825346758566057,0.2662989426978625,-0.07703139509370045,-0.09805862125422674,-0.08574384315822617,-0.09616743016028707,-0.09372053434148093,-0.09471764766671358,0.30270756811029603,-0.0031404173701210045,-0.09746432780029946,-0.0976885019411164,0.002871242108319043,-0.09780116709062785,-0.09668182102931473,-0.09231733678582008,-0.054144863224392686,0.49446698903599307,-0.09763766278862208,0.16038380619757764,-0.09701474860481779,0.03449360746734673,-0.09727726402115673,-0.0981634446569276,-0.09607951526970593,-0.09817681145288805,0.010874898169651554,-0.09650366157872389,-0.09657695106054486,0.3725006661103028,-0.0975670662913736,-0.09711105576272781,-0.09631380292054023,-0.09755111792418929,-0.09721775384687067,0.014841591708100177,0.8148351789170538,-0.09717507407161795,-0.10137433771689583,-0.09747363292038977,-0.004311438815891609,0.005123900856307012,0.38655306267259115,0.07997018423347778,0.0725647255060124,-0.09637006752866695,-0.034648097657197896,0.0379797029303906,0.07532613887101831,-0.09771496151630588,-0.09526286978168541,-0.09599818370952116,-0.09891865293553526,-0.09558769652037713,-0.07589510902938451,-0.08654931224781512,-0.02553227331803528,-0.09768905391589174,0.40903685402387746,-0.09155513682833041,0.9097426917993846,-0.09585854300841194,-0.09823366774969536;0.07230031688747533,0.07001271704836654,0.06990624288764076,0.00113108622847306,0.07176904858158355,0.22841466647918998,0.0759558761346184,0.07241367291890621,-0.10414386007456683,0.07234662753919462,0.07123752685751693,0.011291780140615212,0.050382147063317846,0.07192540316092556,0.0760875082329734,-0.3217494791168941,0.06804879053942471,0.07201688110936183,-0.18796636011021475,-0.04238110571550162,-0.2021486085283765,0.07394970502814226,-0.15579952256473048,0.07218327266339201,0.07869475214436954,-0.20338504678626565,0.07439535293407036,0.07467791856157907,0.07346059925568993,0.0680813628049673,-0.32537468849493,0.019207452932288455,-0.03646114519542193,0.07699086749091082,0.07091146086216568,-0.16693518584020772,0.011026763891396318,0.07201351653322136,-0.3219539353356035,0.01813522013664808,0.0725047975300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x_a{278}	=[0.5480162715656502,1.0171243583415204,10.18238826985077];
std_x_a{278}	=[1.1043730748594875,1.9513886628299422,1.4843997177719914];
pred_a{278}	=[0.5480162715656502];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.8 to 27.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{279}	=[1.306065113651718,2.4275569505242975,8.418143444158092];
std_x_f{279}	=[2.439700079098654,4.367033261937315,2.0887147505187826];
pred_f{279}	=[1.306065113651718];
obs{279}	=[1.3485115871741276];
sqrt_r{279}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{279}	=[6.968973040009112];
L_f{279}	=[-0.12975578621060024,-0.12898400649705596,-0.12408676455833101,-0.09075641107583063,-0.12901653243094838,0.6972007565790002,-0.1309286557422113,-0.12658697155973817,-0.018584966305147842,-0.12835822150048523,-0.12966771412092035,-0.09691318494262449,-0.08271032735936613,-0.12804881594733913,-0.1300260015234706,0.2652677695668971,-0.12614426126739944,-0.12670187108994158,0.05730891671498827,-0.062264512654070965,0.5888128303302521,-0.130560487765468,0.6269286302477793,-0.12993369241929142,-0.1322255479212498,0.07212682694209092,-0.12844040340313684,-0.12828544450657325,-0.1276774594068133,-0.12388531301368566,0.3984974271573006,-0.10210412739760125,-0.06728700957535787,-0.1312940574749748,-0.12941611404408568,0.035012827448835805,-0.0979713331132945,-0.13040487686350136,0.4099393740816769,-0.10257310269533666,-0.12951162750134607,-0.11513803663886726,-0.12749998260869363,-0.12453169344520297,-0.12619900146959825,0.45902875298734647,5.260429385475817E-5,-0.12971675829555904,-0.12971001954333733,0.009031076816450668,-0.12965242119586687,-0.12893520164210126,-0.12307685715212027,-0.07206422465227974,0.6676131693319558,-0.13001363297361043,0.252793869555725,-0.12846148089402581,0.05600715041069469,-0.1289851189095892,-0.13031598908901187,-0.12829237365605017,-0.1301598123851785,0.021036513085034823,-0.12818393838020734,-0.12851076896970537,0.5444271662972634,-0.13009349415875873,-0.1287878093988549,-0.12772342082178817,-0.12992810819161887,-0.12929852520336857,0.027012459829565377,0.872027927525556,-0.12922171440442387,-0.1344828050528857,-0.13021985729295352,-0.0010160600565882298,0.012707725126077875,0.5601548902051796,0.12652042505862496,0.11476911271299893,-0.12822381854460815,-0.044839885781675304,0.06223223638561534,0.11896519360901199,-0.13013579405017237,-0.1264793154935044,-0.12757384403152372,-0.13164626162623547,-0.1268077275688644,-0.10074342228466235,-0.11597795937944566,-0.03153831534650432,-0.12959719003612943,0.5851229176760284,-0.12188735973291176,0.8938392762054491,-0.12759009809913724,-0.13007212583643618;-0.2402422162411561,-0.2381903704558923,-0.22870090954932953,-0.16546421277521206,-0.23851677916297667,1.1960117726380062,-0.2424883144859277,-0.23459961371010693,-0.024586090131047674,-0.23754125351885078,-0.23949755182992674,-0.1775993609947844,-0.1512481370794327,-0.23700309824950047,-0.23977493247411968,0.5352833643655236,-0.23354638548921142,-0.23521253141536255,0.1251294172954132,-0.10988133624740716,1.108578981018095,-0.24163793599545774,1.1640476374357493,-0.24075243258702606,-0.24437398519114203,0.1538090522741663,-0.23693116704612238,-0.23832599161188525,-0.23583278202056215,-0.22901860409999267,0.7863788255228471,-0.1874424268627263,-0.12016393818890674,-0.24264629380282382,-0.2390309859573586,0.08087207151445946,-0.17925597915187338,-0.2413606233301748,0.8071690010720687,-0.1881862874751933,-0.23982589820096592,-0.21148441996708142,-0.23551408085210548,-0.23022891175524934,-0.2328729163487622,0.8951082870291021,0.0112698357915134,-0.2395150158971516,-0.2402048075558329,0.029148668723695332,-0.24033292145335913,-0.23777588044528228,-0.22719275069447165,-0.12897240085692416,1.2191549131779078,-0.2405318481680052,0.5104811152653276,-0.2383604848489204,0.12297838464371305,-0.23838971069016998,-0.2412563911276841,-0.23684156243124113,-0.24115287367030785,0.05353782470525828,-0.2369382118348518,-0.23717968334799241,1.0391288984184528,-0.24016974961086104,-0.23817473361108804,-0.23636227240127852,-0.23961949129059446,-0.23908933325336243,0.06503121247566493,1.3840293502663243,-0.23888005740506632,-0.24815536554683285,-0.24063593411159698,0.009635327235652713,0.03649018310303062,1.0645054984723916,0.2627215255999702,0.23906077588152777,-0.23703748998949745,-0.0765205712499396,0.1343095503145782,0.24792732680678017,-0.24046119581699915,-0.23396114639467572,-0.2358624685770469,-0.24326879036346497,-0.2343015442899527,-0.1849994759916936,-0.21361654958532825,-0.049699168582396924,-0.23969098453513155,1.1024117606921056,-0.22598683112310636,1.3427045421030217,-0.2358045377825167,-0.2409941150520704;-0.006923113560308072,-0.008833665679294443,-0.009192811424421094,-0.059749422626111985,-0.0074608838344361085,0.6745506955429266,-0.004474468224716815,-0.0068489260369786,-0.1321080515369067,-0.006898013953124419,-0.008257666933975049,-0.05266632379297779,-0.02164586710415168,-0.006788895304971585,-0.004001399488894314,-0.18508527051707369,-0.01032935859974119,-0.0070717955699068705,-0.1780051352828371,-0.09086747871037812,0.1958687430586245,-0.0055610787417803625,0.27753836164550894,-0.0069503455262603705,-0.002476139681829008,-0.1857854938427512,-0.005371973142399421,-0.0050663707416081704,-0.006298825826724058,-0.009965257523658939,-0.08995575938375078,-0.046702726741436135,-0.08716910419163047,-0.0031394378862126255,-0.007948415164834834,-0.16824711072207624,-0.0527718870988257,-0.00723227355757178,-0.07773937178696218,-0.047739697594052284,-0.0066955820748154935,-0.0300877003497868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k{279}	=[0.8565068347575796;1.5272520564987915;0.46241176999400185];
x_a_linear{279}	=[1.3424208083350184,2.4923834145025188,8.437771193109594];
L_a{279}	=[0.058209438937231364,0.05786321264998079,0.05566627242929675,0.04071402072279481,0.05787780403290562,-0.31276959627224515,0.058735597187091274,0.056787884428491975,0.00833735814705139,0.05758248071031933,0.05816992912363518,0.04347599660776853,0.037104485977136184,0.05744367901076774,0.05833065959500616,-0.11900115197605383,0.05658928120252929,0.05683942923726435,-0.025709218721588902,0.027932336993520403,-0.2641459428787121,0.05857043421450436,-0.28124498248718066,0.058289249024271884,0.05931739294594369,-0.03235664667630045,0.057619348140927444,0.0575498323937633,0.057277085624060475,0.055575899724315404,-0.1787689962057504,0.045804693128239704,0.03018546755817625,0.058899519201453865,0.05805705940324093,-0.015707022406653573,0.04395068997695028,0.05850062597272547,-0.18390194118083267,0.04601507903667458,0.05809990747129613,0.0516518045846914,0.05719746817389014,0.05586587093374971,0.056613838076256064,-0.20592381232296747,-2.3598688893884612E-5,0.058191930715797154,0.05818890765996742,-0.004051410190150648,0.058163068600393476,0.057841318418465126,0.055213220236320255,0.03232856280988839,-0.2994963781487663,0.05832511096886114,-0.11340526494693169,0.0576288036646824,-0.025125236392836602,0.05786371168676239,0.05846075023667916,0.057552940863259294,0.05839068817185177,-0.009437140798392994,0.057504295968475394,0.057650914672718635,-0.24423419423404338,0.058360937307832914,0.0577751971298995,0.05729770426663954,0.058286743896992274,0.058004308149186626,-0.012117996252139853,-0.3911984034104918,0.057969850236815335,0.06033001577384854,0.058417624777106276,4.5581231903247523E-4,-0.005700782765532904,-0.2512897715703299,-0.05675803115869858,-0.051486302487540596,0.057522186515496905,0.020115515998065516,-0.027917857612425552,-0.05336869649728242,0.0583799133629146,0.05673958909310367,0.05723060297355972,0.05905752067973047,0.056886917264009886,0.04519427039876975,0.052028600355481514,0.014148329681158648,0.058138291479356626,-0.2624906198168094,0.05467960258880337,-0.4009831413878807,0.05723789467271108,0.05835135131487065;0.09492180698410493,0.09498011705593196,0.0918198198374458,0.06896297354147952,0.09473772404619585,-0.60488372031092,0.09570527437500573,0.09237924337917792,0.023419569271526247,0.0940128080650898,0.09543897791105203,0.0727310012768781,0.062395715650573336,0.0937517572795183,0.09608706695739604,-0.1499131534662927,0.09228893444433812,0.09206311543516829,-0.022901646704319482,0.05095021643131149,-0.41234646595837904,0.09560466128420043,-0.45533233879056456,0.09487112899412078,0.09716952441791406,-0.032497225128733674,0.09483517344986828,0.09304008428918024,0.09396284574830381,0.09098176845214669,-0.2429548545504161,0.07629633289432454,0.053640910894819746,0.09649114132826891,0.09525565142460939,-0.009567364405547531,0.07380761921204752,0.09548002520034483,-0.2517196535938466,0.07676385292369763,0.09470745399459521,0.0859214122746241,0.09382311774435804,0.09144108549948124,0.09310379956362498,-0.2905800596748198,0.011133956943392845,0.09554819677156187,0.09484099866518327,0.005821061313994256,0.09456410609324782,0.09526854231046203,0.09071935028939596,0.0571721725023331,-0.5053147411332516,0.09529820283906114,-0.14249485475778906,0.093460299590205,-0.021690168561024844,0.09478365022462096,0.09535465697434214,0.09454241172071577,0.0950547641953079,-8.002712372804244E-4,0.09416566996536946,0.09476841402433084,-0.3671467270334833,0.09586658580860434,0.09448896949675951,0.09355207541241901,0.09598964602271808,0.09489356777825006,-0.0047429762375338445,-0.8684512295197669,0.09490443847519756,0.09921872321238986,0.09572680198471684,0.01225984816338904,0.0036656563232833534,-0.3823954229690245,-0.06408543940113882,-0.05739211213418861,0.09416940375907565,0.03930252195035261,-0.026438631561910893,-0.05936419427462332,0.09568440179571593,0.09273963107028402,0.09366551682253241,0.09677840119376135,0.09324753378392746,0.07522453183486844,0.08595883434383539,0.031765473311298247,0.09506337887104982,-0.4089825046187432,0.08885275377280107,-0.966115562794163,0.09376543247842543,0.09498702519584745;0.09455574093421609,0.09204159861289568,0.08785243868005972,0.01122896610686792,0.09343981820206965,0.12928688730303833,0.09792165909451447,0.09215167534632764,-0.1175731999781126,0.09348783906527139,0.09315230851449977,0.02312712851158043,0.043039874629729795,0.09335497913177862,0.09768878385051505,-0.3925447617360255,0.08832500979734231,0.09201866595025802,-0.2228250496034212,-0.04217191295318205,-0.2646274959037927,0.09654711332899266,-0.21276732032313558,0.09466764510078425,0.10093425556775949,-0.24219413649494478,0.09507815234957784,0.09526256515431096,0.09355461966313963,0.08692244221190366,-0.4016109356801164,0.03315043580388909,-0.03454556536164029,0.09954246126912766,0.09326478996353646,-0.1956297941914321,0.02384911723544111,0.09475421899952537,-0.39834301736537003,0.03248023916142818,0.09459232181277628,0.05995896660884106,0.09344153707491823,0.0882203342313511,0.0914071562622749,-0.3791608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x_a{279}	=[1.3424208083350184,2.492383414502518,8.4377711931096];
std_x_a{279}	=[1.0944681306848079,1.9901441325737173,1.7216796244554555];
pred_a{279}	=[1.3424208083350184];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.9 to 28.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{280}	=[3.306840691571983,6.368657782151547,7.869559651934873];
std_x_f{280}	=[2.5859238710258947,4.879062895452787,1.9231859262559003];
pred_f{280}	=[3.306840691571983];
obs{280}	=[3.555190040636174];
sqrt_r{280}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{280}	=[7.702967298624027];
L_f{280}	=[0.12635280718083888,0.126143765406711,0.12294212522039896,0.09757201936571026,0.12545159576253015,-0.781042088349946,0.12721232886130823,0.1237969585762928,0.03980106321394118,0.12547030189132777,0.12706510547447722,0.10192890220194901,0.08599764023821878,0.12535030992265217,0.12739955141005974,-0.22815584857095222,0.12368308711746677,0.12352329003012553,-0.025999145201793437,0.07501771135517554,-0.6068168529081774,0.12750382128659188,-0.6570332864992682,0.12642316716395002,0.1291893942252103,-0.04000265935242581,0.1261545486728775,0.12424442419201942,0.12479327133953941,0.1213303939970371,-0.3741708611299029,0.10590270440353697,0.07894798888525505,0.12793114951997175,0.12688751791761937,-0.006660692074543124,0.10366576747887281,0.12730302704008525,-0.38870165874770196,0.10657532350151862,0.1265592773865531,0.11703584083508334,0.12454746665837364,0.1221791887997415,0.12421880878357187,-0.44523079852084724,0.02300783134578495,0.1271129143483339,0.1256537324122146,0.015016391519808278,0.12637889403307698,0.12699357979798312,0.12266840665608168,0.08366904714282763,-0.7116121416924861,0.12716790992478086,-0.21549186740622497,0.12485189437901013,-0.024804673416321973,0.12598429515206222,0.1271255736631258,0.12666246649861265,0.12725226286288788,0.005898172860549439,0.12544180478876688,0.12592230034889135,-0.5500178346120159,0.1273219927991215,0.1262236736533819,0.12483524120356879,0.1275702538717275,0.12645472390486723,4.16514247907662E-4,-1.0130907136221516,0.1258889228493504,0.1309475402085864,0.12759288254382267,0.024471923023579444,0.012612814310472576,-0.569791055286598,-0.09028047466810715,-0.07826551077273661,0.12545392832308733,0.060921514714835354,-0.03067400866900158,-0.08230354906948822,0.12798383611330524,0.12381051557547729,0.12527859561758037,0.1287091978178868,0.12443637800372248,0.1049545914188832,0.11743485274759159,0.05015118388093304,0.12593769363048837,-0.602650843042826,0.12040462745533746,-1.0615388891464412,0.12464153306495476,0.12697139872809288;0.2327589788027541,0.23267135360791982,0.2272281597732114,0.18981844118467228,0.231988458069974,-1.494959213400991,0.23373262390773508,0.2271666104176305,0.09475766549283374,0.23119965050474994,0.2339310909389083,0.19631069556237865,0.1641186214551434,0.2304031132657827,0.23362848235884426,-0.4168973806959186,0.2283764829396188,0.22716635872553453,-0.022616066135170497,0.15413086213211905,-1.184524610443242,0.23399463049660504,-1.2819810170067567,0.2326562321817202,0.23653513077814678,-0.04817864509627593,0.23182839386103743,0.2282790921264288,0.2302457745272194,0.22491441875720458,-0.7158174942565317,0.2026405584478374,0.16056935072298703,0.23490934176727934,0.23361761111464419,0.013173836382257298,0.19902473089292708,0.23432696613960155,-0.7442813319385028,0.20395842066121758,0.23324455869604518,0.21972394877037765,0.22965797350489817,0.22559481773215653,0.22883603424512935,-0.8609121663780117,0.0663791222834235,0.23431849567010082,0.23350144950750637,0.05124288967276363,0.23165129980149382,0.23308661135401704,0.2280842873969976,0.16768787092853618,-1.3846129581697078,0.23313775273237602,-0.3907587930372114,0.2294955797266459,-0.020084932362684337,0.23173283039661405,0.2334738767658772,0.23407654168666267,0.2334577747280619,0.03549092656469611,0.23028831821884482,0.232091437950147,-1.0725996765428827,0.2335486253626897,0.23231349201624327,0.229910325498733,0.2345160616237362,0.23244762518030399,0.026006211957596285,-1.8675869284671769,0.23109071966524358,0.23953110825554652,0.23502278088691353,0.06831121065855998,0.04740158495274467,-1.1121940215606834,-0.14284966186831466,-0.12020817345227065,0.2305396124269799,0.13048657520302037,-0.031140560747611522,-0.1273019567004763,0.23447500262454368,0.22812565146611616,0.22992720394451058,0.23620361483885605,0.22921533297003602,0.20108714538058908,0.2196559059396537,0.11322395894755875,0.23169142624133207,-1.1763667529288022,0.22420099872613028,-1.913107932761037,0.23001998947789437,0.23371157337444534;0.09894871178974318,0.09731428656645942,0.09081490252432126,0.0139179392521666,0.09849762293355162,0.11884171278971807,0.10173502731356629,0.09509018532718588,-0.12251759659404526,0.09725126733979389,0.09823505350460625,0.026356030885857324,0.030751844852589753,0.09679958503785235,0.10169827795193485,-0.4332065400949889,0.09191324672147293,0.09484599956982052,-0.23835871511781165,-0.04235581351798277,-0.28584752313471845,0.10099419334917957,-0.22178808861831886,0.09917056791222444,0.10531795556714925,-0.25980320788677475,0.09930882247551917,0.09797946741345968,0.09684493925088587,0.08864134158112205,-0.44853942679685527,0.03695552048762969,-0.03391121771675887,0.10353552887289875,0.09832306434813838,-0.20815180076948228,0.0277046825330151,0.09974541382162697,-0.4437678926923499,0.03668345376086667,0.09893795944873948,0.06514927788659847,0.09704937693901967,0.09109824153881872,0.09458046086484964,-0.42218794655999703,-0.1540649359964112,0.0963125795458806,0.09657458795676885,-0.1672203235945706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k{280}	=[0.8701798980532307;1.6405967296322232;0.1312444900100844];
x_a_linear{280}	=[3.522949302822247,6.77609891203255,7.902154135597139];
L_a{280}	=[-0.05290959709838654,-0.05282206191580821,-0.05148139132770404,-0.04085778818769779,-0.05253221938825049,0.3270574127596028,-0.05326951744226869,-0.051839348459450915,-0.01666649333499252,-0.05254005248479995,-0.053207868395804665,-0.04268221077563706,-0.03601107563763094,-0.052489806456561185,-0.053347915934895775,0.09553910429748036,-0.05179166536366594,-0.05172475114389231,0.010887010175884216,-0.031413286112153195,0.2541014791537728,-0.053391578416797675,0.27512935600355176,-0.0529390599844225,-0.05409740353498909,0.016750910695412274,-0.05282657735381893,-0.052026722416323924,-0.0522565493753902,-0.050806487053223603,0.15668215016390832,-0.044346220290944274,-0.033059069892039626,-0.053570519946957204,-0.053133504507161256,0.0027891310206990426,-0.04340951430032015,-0.053307496844576405,0.1627668479607337,-0.04462787612644897,-0.05299605544973542,-0.049008164700231796,-0.05215361991196498,-0.051161915571452055,-0.0520159960939674,0.18643813850384694,-0.00963441267174093,-0.05322788811922794,-0.052616863084993214,-0.006288037780178194,-0.05292052083543913,-0.053177917381577997,-0.051366773067298976,-0.03503598909042882,0.2979839747713915,-0.05325091723790714,0.09023612642118908,-0.05228109747581067,0.01038683117452488,-0.05275528455556714,-0.053233189143084246,-0.05303926536699688,-0.05328623960286989,-0.002469829967621357,-0.05252811946765069,-0.052729324546199934,0.23031717834807236,-0.05331543865997119,-0.05285552308877753,-0.052274124043065966,-0.05341939672485212,-0.05295227420961384,-1.7441322859564827E-4,0.42422659755511777,-0.052715347887570194,-0.05483361824755528,-0.05342887236651117,-0.010247493635397913,-0.005281552015609424,0.2385971142083991,0.03780449083101203,0.0327732856442062,-0.05253319613615213,-0.025510575270180285,0.012844585540125818,0.03446419369853366,-0.05359258219066931,-0.051845025384093336,-0.05245977645507427,-0.053896323725157895,-0.052107102101312926,-0.04394920278780331,-0.0491752489146573,-0.021000553864620946,-0.052735770404788246,0.25235698365421344,-0.05041882700972007,0.4445140253086866,-0.052193009742581155,-0.05316862917107207;-0.10521402524441154,-0.10474249803139882,-0.10162183028052894,-0.07117068309161234,-0.10357395346940937,0.5942000761833075,-0.10653945944659785,-0.10396991844515828,-0.011703640740232477,-0.10441279685643157,-0.10594719403908787,-0.07633237462377124,-0.06591093990379016,-0.1048883752894994,-0.1071443905595572,0.19338203654008104,-0.10245545847574104,-0.10323815173002557,0.04692737656754995,-0.0465291930668505,0.43861079319126434,-0.10705714721377853,0.47547509775390306,-0.10550497326268714,-0.10902527766483401,0.058821897692338046,-0.10561430124397939,-0.10405433375613503,-0.1035557273193752,-0.09962445502274718,0.28502809662928374,-0.08063177987667462,-0.05060355126757698,-0.10728546877293982,-0.10578565631992198,0.030990093572685985,-0.0782641686053251,-0.1061877199445541,0.29543175569441876,-0.08111306326358944,-0.10528071923587545,-0.09332770073992715,-0.10348604119632904,-0.10121444271897574,-0.10342887462751536,0.33000708447048616,0.00483695278167068,-0.10568767019220687,-0.10260164436609753,0.01107650900316481,-0.1063914822902898,-0.10660035418842018,-0.1000335504591794,-0.056113086403210916,0.5188326289159052,-0.10701551726315844,0.18564655481373807,-0.10446272912090393,0.04626349452208487,-0.10525446450667121,-0.10656615068403455,-0.10472475016980702,-0.10692112552079515,0.01971428301758164,-0.10524790407402208,-0.1047300310381429,0.39860768315818673,-0.10701679101150445,-0.10531410105690785,-0.10400343884002144,-0.10671341233943198,-0.105797989362434,0.02489210476255529,0.8422643165876265,-0.10564146999448086,-0.11073205189365196,-0.10626722105704367,0.0028528364156142454,0.013664378497976328,0.4119034554253261,0.09863577807695124,0.08913921169358906,-0.1050290383287391,-0.032468469474442964,0.050907373820188305,0.09284651758665881,-0.1078607358983548,-0.10304714014257026,-0.10517246062475169,-0.10807234709330472,-0.10363153782781717,-0.07964914645038541,-0.09446303489349446,-0.020922219922071727,-0.10517121724667455,0.4356252586394895,-0.09786160162448011,0.9263342235515849,-0.10337563740925519,-0.10591606144957683;0.07191154064818527,0.07032184651041476,0.06450755443878729,-0.006960673934816093,0.0716532944196744,0.2859703194478494,0.07451393437958262,0.06859991866424477,-0.13103429030066882,0.07040293605924351,0.07104546366101369,0.004545125100749389,0.012349935399457812,0.06997692982627925,0.07443712284438234,-0.38438539506153085,0.06544734645124774,0.0684142929300715,-0.2327953773967192,-0.058408220629563905,-0.15599990463125002,0.07371072641049654,-0.08119507917804389,0.07211834103152344,0.07767380709689016,-0.25124337632338894,0.07231407499932826,0.07139345135877763,0.07014148002585302,0.06267887426153528,-0.36847376118743014,0.01429429429726744,-0.05080463175636512,0.07616062157101922,0.07117147496749104,-0.20672653547020914,0.005522119601621603,0.07250491314960818,-0.36059290430030083,0.013878299484765454,0.071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x_a{280}	=[3.5229493028222465,6.7760989120325545,7.902154135597141];
std_x_a{280}	=[1.0828425042212195,2.049418535065391,1.8914336203729256];
pred_a{280}	=[3.5229493028222465];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.0 to 28.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{281}	=[8.689584859936016,15.940486583784155,12.56461315535722];
std_x_f{281}	=[2.189777900655687,3.1995752448362444,4.084697930399823];
pred_f{281}	=[8.689584859936016];
obs{281}	=[9.280220087005521];
sqrt_r{281}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{281}	=[5.811622840008501];
L_f{281}	=[-0.12843514242011272,-0.12782890566995583,-0.12371087822232525,-0.0795172284856103,-0.12677024188338357,0.5681673858479391,-0.12946722646356623,-0.1257615673655484,0.008402303517445288,-0.12717797402590067,-0.12929879204343653,-0.08712390864213583,-0.0741593078402955,-0.12704174775745503,-0.1301648372634833,0.31417201369801995,-0.12423789308309952,-0.12540759227358667,0.09689386201246238,-0.04329505039528051,0.5521735119739084,-0.13050212088388047,0.5694398453727877,-0.12856644976280507,-0.1331897027035403,0.11538627011671958,-0.12979866289771552,-0.1262190636980399,-0.12658704643226956,-0.1209315127858245,0.42938063728242265,-0.0934263395980489,-0.0494882355579839,-0.1313531631840216,-0.12918311638690627,0.07284672158830846,-0.0884899065352507,-0.13004437477300013,0.44012409847851863,-0.09377997800474973,-0.12831307808129414,-0.11078449945769386,-0.12616642591739205,-0.1223071053964418,-0.12540115158239767,0.4744809375758312,0.032521332233106943,-0.12820274832077896,-0.1258772841480313,0.04259205779458107,-0.12941965185381848,-0.12983199295234993,-0.12038736190043224,-0.05657951904000228,0.5838209932571424,-0.13003686842410664,0.303315311188562,-0.12747278505060627,0.09541208969908455,-0.12818245497217493,-0.13021785988285256,-0.12708998177214748,-0.12972405280637117,0.05630794422570691,-0.12782892007352173,-0.12758539297690027,0.5283298902771062,-0.13033545788696407,-0.12816938007759654,-0.12573268114937478,-0.13067749689855612,-0.1291030002944022,0.06293583371804973,0.5985581832830762,-0.12922102752560816,-0.1360892328360341,-0.12901850798691583,0.029843128976822262,0.045900283761551204,0.5369338820763632,0.17517805030915135,0.1614875543452897,-0.12755212413979447,-0.02243651135484604,0.10340707836944321,0.16654724294644846,-0.13043903432631143,-0.12507237046944675,-0.1278524889306254,-0.1318237175127303,-0.12590640674565673,-0.09159077576535261,-0.11288803627484642,-0.006095443060150525,-0.12770831601803098,0.5510643960666948,-0.11732502026591228,0.5769226709548806,-0.12639686652168045,-0.1287445132580838;-0.20365164447828235,-0.2020580750770211,-0.19398120185788997,-0.10243899568393286,-0.20097446224433857,0.5949262374538206,-0.2067630457370189,-0.1985374357969823,0.07542858634440743,-0.20114885306950495,-0.20554453254037655,-0.11810407677645676,-0.09835135286105297,-0.20158359840832157,-0.20806514421154126,0.6227829101435886,-0.19537176774367832,-0.19792440468661543,0.24762551200784502,-0.0294780060262132,0.8069149421011392,-0.20709978537718826,0.7851543987565119,-0.20478147716052678,-0.2138871653589285,0.28198114781391576,-0.2051378912767712,-0.20016594274287786,-0.20056702377871877,-0.1893141881369212,0.7686560939678816,-0.13027239991898343,-0.04165019748393979,-0.20968093724963535,-0.20439104376408468,0.20106728377371055,-0.12167051486329279,-0.2062453060367756,0.777873684140594,-0.13157321174656852,-0.2041198463088703,-0.1668244824107851,-0.19962325621821952,-0.19187617791807238,-0.19831226105335387,0.8050040360969404,0.12244208479927493,-0.20291536626819232,-0.19821057612634352,0.14187388067599557,-0.20621003918925815,-0.20570764119617946,-0.18612992020173635,-0.05493049390131767,0.7489232262061172,-0.20692101019854625,0.6062353234296681,-0.2021597477780506,0.24452449463244788,-0.20254194553985497,-0.2071155524918026,-0.19983745987149257,-0.2065287675502808,0.16931562792473823,-0.20266351042500932,-0.20145962927127078,0.8185850797087111,-0.20780698767761197,-0.20314413137235926,-0.19960673443548813,-0.20815716872128204,-0.2043220994722942,0.1823225401749789,0.31585976235999447,-0.20509904860019249,-0.21843167940536534,-0.20494429360748687,0.1171792911308089,0.14961937439187517,0.8154402637658735,0.3922282095730488,0.36753404566875614,-0.20304601811827183,0.013296820022378756,0.25902780487581417,0.37728932365599527,-0.2071649199590144,-0.1975194676467704,-0.20246409339332605,-0.21018859618536334,-0.19880908105073142,-0.12685699404244377,-0.17018753550197943,0.04627980999215052,-0.20409535780773014,0.8088896763874087,-0.18036856528856227,0.1666232274441051,-0.1998358320608949,-0.20435472906029556;-0.15528396799856184,-0.15547966918123715,-0.15551962193900887,-0.15664020623530542,-0.1530651125883778,1.3112506449787793,-0.15505407790784126,-0.1543905343551534,-0.13638256104087362,-0.1552383617273345,-0.15717597717831336,-0.15725764831501057,-0.13469089649682936,-0.15545564342509793,-0.15553017730386384,0.17379984631011705,-0.15541491402494562,-0.15433668505257006,-0.08508673270852195,-0.14990744095476213,0.8846222325612272,-0.15755825194951859,0.9916016414925082,-0.15527104187784882,-0.15658951482807623,-0.06963553822974682,-0.15590938790745393,-0.15329446636582256,-0.1546884175948827,-0.15357203600545702,0.4223603834575326,-0.15726169556991873,-0.15233062407070141,-0.1548912319632299,-0.15646288711442038,-0.10152993763427699,-0.15900939530453576,-0.15665466992186428,0.45233587756475446,-0.15809886092584177,-0.15547959655358998,-0.1592333511343581,-0.15367287961584283,-0.152867512869582,-0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k{281}	=[0.8279310224476751;1.1440544990314714;1.3721101251514827];
x_a_linear{281}	=[9.178590087377286,16.616205472599496,13.375029730690434];
L_a{281}	=[0.06578530784136057,0.06547478947012278,0.06336550926661573,0.040729236998911435,0.06493253505448843,-0.291018997442049,0.0663139479412383,0.0644158854645304,-0.004303714022939629,0.0651413780861297,0.06622767474551851,0.04462542760779425,0.0379848755071891,0.06507160211331642,0.06667126868975969,-0.1609209305710082,0.06363544967544559,0.06423457714070216,-0.049629660701259834,0.022176003892644278,-0.2828268321471526,0.0668440275342596,-0.291670759412958,0.06585256430869588,0.06822062426645951,-0.05910159133444554,0.06648371181925108,0.06465021803505683,0.06483870116354853,0.0619419003742321,-0.21993153020648984,0.04785357336892475,0.02534819325429374,0.06727993688621609,0.06616842492859779,-0.03731256036798168,0.04532510053387929,0.06660956702563209,-0.2254344002835523,0.048034709240392506,0.06572278570019027,0.05674453473984852,0.06462325662450578,0.0626464877764693,0.06423127817715808,-0.24303219473360826,-0.016657636002520564,0.06566627408566819,0.0644751563464294,-0.021815926551071275,0.06628957991945934,0.06650078368808066,0.06166318278313392,0.02898039436424373,-0.2990368760602992,0.06660572222534288,-0.1553600575632871,0.06529238219333752,-0.04887068737083356,0.06565587970170207,0.06669842721718486,0.06509630788655861,0.06644549604952739,-0.02884129199378876,0.06547479684772362,0.06535006069905691,-0.27061397541790766,0.06675866167292804,0.06564918265641824,0.06440108975840553,0.06693385625945147,0.06612738894958814,-0.0322361397151862,-0.3065853597876077,0.06618784325821622,0.06970578229071332,0.06608411144505556,-0.0152858430309354,-0.023510421216199853,-0.2750209954788751,-0.0897273265672202,-0.08271496628550297,0.06533302018624011,0.011492125741852871,-0.05296577210354132,-0.08530657140180255,0.0668117141928163,0.0640628743717796,0.06548686896825724,0.06752095784657712,0.06449007312865766,0.046913385741761085,0.05782197985700617,0.003122125226675416,0.06541302267308671,-0.28225873583010935,0.060094631658058256,-0.29550351091044946,0.06474128978744392,0.06594376957877651;0.06472672751296583,0.06505350319264293,0.06452533668989667,0.06372038970000314,0.06392492971733879,-0.5923176520232296,0.06377197146924506,0.06425422754879814,0.05787111339349037,0.06460253692444995,0.06463852371026493,0.06395024513496608,0.05661210909450922,0.06388313285859805,0.06392760214297144,-0.0337116595878422,0.06423602228158229,0.06412759148462072,0.045155872835497185,0.060991431866081705,-0.34690811137056465,0.06559774961410939,-0.40474842509993464,0.06387127495907469,0.06442634684672228,0.04086972970395833,0.06608969627230954,0.06358170600216634,0.06394956254269704,0.06338458193752192,-0.12857868326685365,0.06495149636019733,0.06176053451281399,0.06479493770924225,0.0655502963659251,0.048846605099799593,0.0632381994191723,0.0654957216177559,-0.1418106545695207,0.06438964816885369,0.06400345975639363,0.06467106503889235,0.06401440049809115,0.06369703367139705,0.0637262766346095,-0.18647243341131073,0.05448543340896982,0.06497739447317294,0.06482288927695494,0.05287341775536732,0.06422556600194831,0.06558959291250036,0.06543179091837913,0.06329820053446421,-0.4710304776808413,0.06480433217189814,-0.02757305551489041,0.06420768001805575,0.04515117032869902,0.0653084101731201,0.06498799005133067,0.06573006130458943,0.06454291457858699,0.0516544168518505,0.06444809794238136,0.06514310430923925,-0.285414286470061,0.06454228792812473,0.06467890301052849,0.063124568205865,0.06490683239772858,0.06545182988468708,0.050811675820480795,-0.9348888080437042,0.06492151073332675,0.06594069770155112,0.06465308042747205,0.05481901948703986,0.05370603480474687,-0.30653802366606636,0.026175748660226792,0.030089276928808938,0.06348719682292923,0.06018020627565513,0.04294813367192506,0.029271817860017715,0.06540078921501927,0.06383204826372209,0.06469676451262558,0.06527055019201132,0.06428523900022493,0.06453130378741477,0.06570356736791438,0.05901686197203272,0.06276423604511058,-0.34261576590780096,0.06479406963739785,-1.0389157261333455,0.06428335387751391,0.06467010495273137;0.16659290228393758,0.16487788493814515,0.15451756532746996,0.04264136231519341,0.16463927838669773,-0.11265823624565964,0.16940934287412188,0.16078597374599182,-0.1574399376155222,0.1634878644205297,0.16686532281195968,0.06108735066338127,0.05116295518397595,0.16292918017427904,0.1706815561028327,-0.6135602374953673,0.1559430479982085,0.15995271074728748,-0.32791663476243077,-0.04140384094805833,-0.49920370898439126,0.16949876253901638,-0.43549620563099506,0.16693490342037112,0.17720296480216136,-0.3588100647565661,0.1693846600697712,0.1630285930988617,0.16255685932975855,0.14949966322391003,-0.6537290192099446,0.07687809845471666,-0.028306014629287005,0.1742986164746883,0.16728851310550763,-0.28409426008807814,0.06275899012684152,0.16925516722269904,-0.6506781782828422,0.07692720161857507,0.16609136300532035,0.11840847873658877,0.16251826202810943,0.15365161854965156,0.15931341306281668,-0.6331624618315138,-0.20499604591432716,0.16425860076108087,0.16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x_a{281}	=[9.178590087377286,16.616205472599496,13.37502973069044];
std_x_a{281}	=[1.1216183560386999,1.8701516290583782,2.633026625926144];
pred_a{281}	=[9.178590087377286];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.1 to 28.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{282}	=[16.411841136444046,19.85598306091962,34.386881360889916];
std_x_f{282}	=[1.3314763935592822,2.382379759589141,3.6579092959884645];
pred_f{282}	=[16.411841136444046];
obs{282}	=[17.449959661175306];
sqrt_r{282}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{282}	=[2.7728451853558176];
L_f{282}	=[0.0039747641672015725,0.004831673344755356,0.007154599212166777,0.036459662454813684,0.004028390410489013,-0.39174013896023724,0.002876315404250901,0.005276967479389842,0.08498772469269392,0.005035849828453237,0.0038205995083504204,0.031488811585774774,0.030130227007322066,0.004512528054968346,0.002602306469605676,0.1260989199117092,0.006410363719616799,0.005418511073152798,0.11793110574556023,0.05715280357080192,-0.13896632095061126,0.0029432746767091515,-0.19538394442916468,0.0032299004168214844,6.962320825968933E-4,0.12281207962552466,0.003788534972828977,0.00416801608813916,0.004473035294181026,0.008036160280863985,0.06069411251052108,0.028280453201465036,0.05390505518735416,0.0016577303209409267,0.0038670739836340414,0.11005525183026539,0.03127084109736114,0.0034257665473696633,0.04975508738363343,0.02790705413396174,0.0034683435173206295,0.017167803300754216,0.004322835388288011,0.006638359509933816,0.005329205774514614,0.011253772067069621,0.09430987715076795,0.0047858791374655344,0.005184514299757223,0.0981856653555,0.0033922592094343907,0.0037229619506850883,0.010355009886944629,0.05133640771488394,-0.26144750721349574,0.0032200186862845395,0.1284303780766681,0.003659570469591106,0.11728505669188326,0.004443131791739694,0.0024420652244362276,0.006100193340833578,0.003517360140776504,0.10453955731376782,0.004225300031928404,0.004664527607105744,-0.08005467504689293,0.0026252594288281726,0.004370338189210601,0.00441635465175601,0.0023471043306726395,0.003351726309702486,0.10701512793074801,-0.7214303265967978,0.003173896092640422,-2.4667294828788666E-4,0.003994168644155692,0.09377252506918067,0.10043858870560378,-0.09990556807985865,0.13519397680550335,0.1329862520361527,0.0036298618737946736,0.06858191003101886,0.11985156491198945,0.13412258659350534,0.0038580335474113886,0.005334396207278397,0.004177129755797805,0.0013956382444931764,0.0052497941315876795,0.029516604960956875,0.015664455079528374,0.07762338635153852,0.003039013125440978,-0.13412691347488703,0.011712090851205828,-0.825741732676313,0.004599620406550007,0.0038645591967135114;-0.13035240757239047,-0.12892671989247878,-0.12012048849712222,-0.028505354464305726,-0.1283766499661767,-0.032068426164023923,-0.13250813485611734,-0.12556921344445107,0.14051447644857973,-0.1276024955294557,-0.13112976916325028,-0.0433112767797492,-0.032021974197198086,-0.12726682804054382,-0.13405685919487445,0.5506375875705495,-0.12270116747672291,-0.1247380888136305,0.2889569074426758,0.04243362142912766,0.3952095377739011,-0.1335487841281869,0.315938597255316,-0.13057715918370733,-0.13915326268444805,0.3171418139909433,-0.13300821700029086,-0.12761966985954729,-0.1265667604618937,-0.11602837791125288,0.5843354625608418,-0.056569987723149646,0.03127344928197314,-0.1368313123312495,-0.13155515729084233,0.25068703660206576,-0.04468290017515775,-0.13294647650089766,0.5807498935742084,-0.05683521524533102,-0.12993618483436242,-0.09096774970691714,-0.12658480532824562,-0.11952294792148213,-0.12415956454710468,0.5575732372265092,0.1819178627867051,-0.12809016827788802,-0.1269114799347985,0.19866390648488175,-0.13243827710173742,-0.1329074828169882,-0.11208337983115589,0.018332053610327782,0.21523601877750262,-0.13276808278900126,0.5421815565491188,-0.12930105857000723,0.28655810595474857,-0.12900333144688786,-0.13431157965717622,-0.1245958822910318,-0.1323255386161525,0.2232013657858664,-0.12913568274762033,-0.12916915044784638,0.4680639790324566,-0.13381141225323565,-0.12903982635941091,-0.12585679817667986,-0.1343147232025848,-0.13208281059519114,0.2336010100712057,-0.6157757246572021,-0.13168980829367732,-0.14544310398408924,-0.130031678630529,0.1771343647958521,0.20529530041530175,0.44446494238259543,0.4023577072418707,0.3850233614200605,-0.12953278323075337,0.08281027949203622,0.29854907382767804,0.3920325520372984,-0.13214909847204195,-0.12457070623825078,-0.12838860240228375,-0.13616026026791572,-0.12506166905044455,-0.05250839317827592,-0.09638186122303044,0.11305810611215907,-0.1299694082676757,0.401493591302617,-0.10611400012978524,-0.8303512344682065,-0.12681469960494285,-0.1299866751359426;0.15711388237347954,0.15843989406085776,0.1559178813231728,0.14158475174917762,0.15536297948607425,-1.190879376240817,0.15662721333779275,0.15579309923531917,0.10247869646882854,0.1568149944192228,0.15807155549165516,0.14426449645759662,0.12850808484448645,0.15594815597463588,0.15734328752001342,-0.2182348019414301,0.15549551996068725,0.15590732727465698,0.0444745292515969,0.12583618535498767,-0.9085275805992075,0.15901239291453861,-1.0008498821114784,0.1558980258505467,0.15876196215458677,0.029044543685475484,0.159426345212903,0.15559523101212722,0.155423972643653,0.15327409154919103,-0.4687511793625829,0.14794883610460607,0.12888399419956262,0.1580389948902591,0.15835629158166084,0.061617134699263866,0.14391422458733447,0.15909801952803926,-0.5010248693409822,0.14671107787411233,0.155608103478058,0.15295774911708546,0.15532892697768905,0.15358945888304357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k{282}	=[0.6393595988404674;0.5345357945078918;1.3149511903153406];
x_a_linear{282}	=[17.075572179965082,20.410894571330203,35.75195655067369];
L_a{282}	=[-0.004521318620079466,-0.0054960580655422885,-0.00813840048778284,-0.041473089673851014,-0.004582318800744272,0.44560681087160753,-0.003271826414702015,-0.006002582874977632,-0.09667405812450978,-0.005728310068101429,-0.004345955375041235,-0.035818716320765616,-0.0342733180296675,-0.00513302834087987,-0.002960139570863036,-0.1434382948486026,-0.007291828050113187,-0.006163589581064548,-0.13414735613593967,-0.06501166461816545,0.15807504245473228,-0.0033479929978293033,0.22225043520861343,-0.003674031535274441,-7.91968264411099E-4,-0.13969949386267727,-0.004309481769212378,-0.004741143865489323,-0.005088105083248663,-0.009141181610629876,-0.06903992525831275,-0.032169188979604954,-0.061317330911380134,-0.0018856784080392946,-0.004398820375735467,-0.12518852399941097,-0.03557077355323626,-0.0038968304601510154,-0.05659671708011901,-0.0317444452500136,-0.003945262024623253,-0.019528481556230423,-0.004917251769018936,-0.007551174660049492,-0.00606200425609454,-0.012801234753204304,-0.1072780637245662,-0.005443966873865452,-0.005897416816068347,-0.11168679658025091,-0.0038587156577267116,-0.004234892054320505,-0.011778887260602456,-0.058395478656211884,0.2973981430878157,-0.00366279100617735,-0.14609034281163585,-0.0041627838557537315,-0.13341247137473092,-0.005054089665803496,-0.0027778641716159264,-0.006939007341764866,-0.004001018734456049,-0.1189143876554505,-0.00480630470291028,-0.005305928763751067,0.0910626838947176,-0.0029862487027644134,-0.004971286496434855,-0.005023630504829983,-0.0026698455725011733,-0.0038126092356662745,-0.12173036441659621,0.8206314215186714,-0.0036103262730065094,2.805919916876832E-4,-0.0045433913316354005,-0.1066668224358211,-0.11424951070967994,0.11364319647852295,-0.1537839778513615,-0.15127267738477235,-0.0041289901458126076,-0.07801234331901798,-0.13633189021721356,-0.15256526491366088,-0.004388536824081132,-0.006067908405199701,-0.0047515107183511976,-0.0015875470634939708,-0.005971673025180385,-0.03357531918817264,-0.01781841373354568,-0.08829707809103189,-0.0034568960704896286,0.15257018676777226,-0.013322575181334938,0.9392862857457562,-0.005232096424999639,-0.004395959790188494;-0.13745554698116882,-0.1375612068461114,-0.13290618180625058,-0.09366093459922892,-0.13557562265361345,0.6679944459956659,-0.13764828114922278,-0.1349994674381322,-0.011363630310154537,-0.13660185797423643,-0.13795740717932553,-0.09958365146706798,-0.08586647763142606,-0.13533098342489472,-0.1387073352634937,0.3252913356293198,-0.1341568678015718,-0.13442128960783195,0.07820702405228579,-0.05970182970424607,0.6435505988568071,-0.1388085906141929,0.6651012990249564,-0.13634918287418624,-0.14039747072686645,0.09766934066526209,-0.1397785537888457,-0.13506816191761223,-0.13456033993941988,-0.13038947315742677,0.4758714822291979,-0.10710883561028156,-0.06505808278555374,-0.13979377477593077,-0.13846584795180636,0.05401177147082505,-0.10056574866643818,-0.1390685245883509,0.49183460020959846,-0.10670677684326152,-0.13613432049341595,-0.12164763285419557,-0.13430996866185382,-0.1313860902517209,-0.1336831714737241,0.5374620788019111,0.013380516456985384,-0.13664281826590266,-0.13617651461078115,0.02320029666403968,-0.13850044558814759,-0.13956063672420735,-0.130588396911962,-0.073409153013613,0.6824582271135478,-0.13852244724067858,0.31266885053041465,-0.1358409281391876,0.07696275055649564,-0.13694347159123263,-0.13867569511278832,-0.13549728974508654,-0.13861126988971448,0.03638297402844863,-0.13668654461216975,-0.13750493805073513,0.6111264333724419,-0.1385029066218953,-0.13684988001683918,-0.13374908598305685,-0.13850913790655314,-0.13807254438476782,0.042358626733662696,0.6734630749229483,-0.13736174893383682,-0.14500228478919935,-0.13716949499098505,0.00955729851962687,0.02580558289098164,0.6230021204220161,0.16075804897770224,0.14736903831371367,-0.1360195617764912,-0.03974966302992696,0.08436721595674582,0.15234753165273535,-0.1390436333370624,-0.13410358877619297,-0.13585338112521225,-0.13865434862079445,-0.13444336265927684,-0.10525631760648421,-0.12437517189805498,-0.02565949106910738,-0.13540030504219072,0.641186344080944,-0.12704420141590583,0.6452982370764363,-0.13503449418918015,-0.13689287172346432;0.1396402506419565,0.13719916703359925,0.12446523996858759,-0.01869713869555828,0.1376535991196812,0.5312662995028306,0.14398251946329468,0.13259479550828307,-0.2711394958340811,0.13467667836924221,0.14127565364836212,0.005835177341403468,-0.003948702166304993,0.1361104372839703,0.1459031761097148,-0.7725836879613462,0.12731464426849107,0.13208677766652407,-0.4739674775706808,-0.12541571287357975,-0.2976117593757131,0.14607333650210666,-0.1419141194870209,0.14169892169268525,0.1557012263475778,-0.5108549223675802,0.14277140365348504,0.13727203619816047,0.13575986977748064,0.11794598165979948,-0.7355711781518873,0.023623919290510963,-0.10809033765732078,0.15075137531843005,0.1413560812984564,-0.42220149194294376,0.0064431349113457164,0.14403785984841352,-0.719755349223385,0.0240276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x_a{282}	=[17.075572179965082,20.410894571330203,35.751956550673675];
std_x_a{282}	=[1.5145625645091336,2.4572445469562565,3.948363565817435];
pred_a{282}	=[17.075572179965082];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.2 to 28.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{283}	=[10.888182474402566,-1.2505482209665049,40.24939818333986];
std_x_f{283}	=[1.638878675541721,3.527152969221638,1.687531735100656];
pred_f{283}	=[10.888182474402566];
obs{283}	=[10.950560772126076];
sqrt_r{283}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{283}	=[3.690814853756624];
L_f{283}	=[-0.06993954969285276,-0.06963707806172309,-0.0636292061660977,-0.004004944365428599,-0.06878381912599753,-0.13415736261872627,-0.07151830084467539,-0.06679336035152857,0.10284409653952051,-0.06804914170253447,-0.07038515723106774,-0.014023458847106637,-0.007636664840785644,-0.06820305363344825,-0.07253654471344141,0.34389817976479037,-0.06500270006007043,-0.06645241274499657,0.1931698422233317,0.0412741014662312,0.19539605527681636,-0.07223382627138249,0.13491697381669507,-0.07014407208487956,-0.07599902489541706,0.2099265933399197,-0.07135272532519808,-0.0687804171973268,-0.06803937287277156,-0.06054832946463013,0.35072258702546594,-0.021765002234622473,0.03400466205904438,-0.07462051393199844,-0.07084233916177,0.1699174722786449,-0.014318280797125334,-0.07153013076239859,0.34663416478313513,-0.021845679759551193,-0.06962470543481877,-0.044378038049445845,-0.0679946540921264,-0.06330286319654996,-0.0660818395830012,0.3248105045172629,0.1279782559050464,-0.0686441264188293,-0.0677076112681643,0.1389313675813713,-0.07093199628454139,-0.07123365764742175,-0.05785527591473085,0.026522993320067512,0.05671815506005241,-0.0716015286278136,0.3392112340263217,-0.06996870612428434,0.19163051259202246,-0.06931932745854838,-0.07287527432492566,-0.06655636369895164,-0.07090299381915681,0.15395638460775007,-0.06906735647633204,-0.06919060349675461,0.25272728587091214,-0.07226655648409959,-0.06933193512934467,-0.06709288431359643,-0.07284027845745383,-0.07152579497651021,0.15986063204764508,-0.6262009568316083,-0.0708029561373813,-0.07968764777123116,-0.07037228640919468,0.12547164308244418,0.14236789461200686,0.23435481256810728,0.2614775710378375,0.2503872413804025,-0.06963122249028295,0.06591148772538276,0.19986223597823166,0.2544898735427798,-0.07111758855925611,-0.06632667163000375,-0.06935149674083939,-0.07500423007537385,-0.06692918076431018,-0.01929339445686169,-0.04780273453074504,0.0860884420676359,-0.06995028318345813,0.20079648397547503,-0.05431728512597751,-0.8190533313218495,-0.06786960079633178,-0.06948203221074634;-0.031377591942238596,-0.029399244936737547,-0.020551398520545987,0.08405097503397409,-0.03064133223547593,-0.9267702034481591,-0.03542481923118965,-0.026416135461315188,0.2595784717887488,-0.02779333357208155,-0.03221953886392207,0.06652734513707854,0.06726799830567334,-0.029288383846987745,-0.03593426697659839,0.45681313450913896,-0.022566486037258384,-0.02627624073465956,0.383371745494508,0.1583644122293424,-0.24790791831112707,-0.035713552350636675,-0.3955106242755317,-0.03349851155223593,-0.04357255383595525,0.40238043525516376,-0.03312624836065856,-0.03102775793510557,-0.029460422801953573,-0.01645708628113816,0.286121346037128,0.05396196209493695,0.14691152348418982,-0.03990486362321016,-0.03223702708515095,0.35280184403591497,0.06571620342881385,-0.03474053081821278,0.2566840428357278,0.05342632630460493,-0.03290797650957888,0.014984081388625468,-0.02953483699106294,-0.02049632896528296,-0.025875277090843807,0.15302361871096046,0.2932768237378828,-0.028443023750482313,-0.02733298770425069,0.30826769240135543,-0.03280559094022892,-0.03231814952482619,-0.009252718727870467,0.13688508577133493,-0.5703040227316842,-0.034736332920344025,0.46156344513848113,-0.03221849451824352,0.3799757786075858,-0.03046182276981374,-0.03711394544398525,-0.023714820157931957,-0.0332007400188917,0.3319673009259689,-0.030350426008891655,-0.029354789610269775,-0.09158831580282686,-0.035562581454094515,-0.02992292706671414,-0.028522075865724295,-0.0370659302301842,-0.03489764923801115,0.34106622662067815,-1.8463472069367513,-0.03478379135938175,-0.047469227931222754,-0.031756188062664066,0.2920797149524771,0.3160804016598122,-0.14389389698875446,0.4550839298201684,0.4442365589674162,-0.03163923985182074,0.19897279829598252,0.3915443076103157,0.44961529396559774,-0.03234005129539134,-0.025738401064955344,-0.03133024075450494,-0.04142456568995873,-0.025867780589244098,0.05875106962584182,0.008338224005000595,0.23244133159714542,-0.03392911678462783,-0.23452343559985653,-0.0038130033290170854,-2.1705995505122337,-0.02878279440705424,-0.032095121540013045;-0.09839302179899391,-0.09852295349273599,-0.09539759902529961,-0.06582094863432711,-0.09728198342194709,0.2673291319713728,-0.09879192388198255,-0.09639971500576847,0.004725362025646401,-0.09751282965227019,-0.09881799013574306,-0.07085161295113844,-0.060674274223727766,-0.09687297696460519,-0.09905252300149248,0.33488900375665104,-0.09632319110587281,-0.09615269785016692,0.09018404609048097,-0.03805784987717355,0.4490152270007464,-0.09900809507060573,0.41920616820199075,-0.09775935106595403,-0.10095711973356654,0.11014829364314412,-0.09978624998316056,-0.0971126052473525,-0.09648491060314605,-0.09376293892052673,0.44811304739710534,-0.07616563165558297,-0.04226402470054204,-0.10011692158909842,-0.0990395740870264,0.06691447418217049,-0.07138375913146053,-0.09884472555457743,0.45647109480645565,-0.07593224597036174,-0.09827843811372647,-0.087320801419587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k{283}	=[0.7290571216320514;1.2311698193565075;0.42952990981790584];
x_a_linear{283}	=[10.933659816593176,-1.173749943426484,40.27619152793564];
L_a{283}	=[0.05378668822434069,0.05355407381101218,0.048933747629889654,0.0030799839988268625,0.052897878960572374,0.10317310116897488,0.05500081951857696,0.05136712581738055,-0.0790917782653448,0.052332878675400374,0.05412938064706331,0.010784676369074278,0.0058729418857997075,0.05245124393623518,0.05578389527108308,-0.264473309553168,0.0499900267763466,0.05110492163256784,-0.14855637652286988,-0.03174165743207301,-0.15026843540735807,0.05555109104894723,-0.10375727665846952,0.05394397522694722,0.05844669969073908,-0.16144307870952823,0.05487348442873425,0.052895262723013266,0.05232536600191176,0.04656441360747732,-0.2697215884920213,0.01673827461767804,-0.026151128572833672,0.05738656219015678,0.05448097430296306,-0.13067424862550228,0.011011407830414589,0.055009917262258616,-0.2665774062168502,0.01680031929624853,0.053544558699336844,0.03412872555022179,0.0522909752298394,0.04868277507381305,0.050819934050919426,-0.24979402091069153,-0.09842108764053213,0.05279044892819927,0.052070226269526065,-0.10684452767421977,0.05454992469985239,0.054781915980119916,0.04449333319166103,-0.020397385724496963,-0.043618835641239466,0.05506482546146511,-0.26086883554287604,0.05380911084350294,-0.14737256216722538,0.05330970917467791,0.056044393717030655,0.05118486463442533,0.05452762048756886,-0.11839944774322678,0.05311593205255505,0.05321071460536174,-0.1943587539613754,0.05557626206812971,0.053319405045774274,0.051597473339407986,0.056017480306505274,0.05500658284611189,-0.12294008201444569,0.4815769586564467,0.05445068696963835,0.06128341810642636,0.05411948240084467,-0.09649338860643004,-0.10948737294249886,-0.1802294880769401,-0.20108812042447666,-0.19255915353508038,0.053549570610793774,-0.05068892574025104,-0.1537031310837749,-0.19571426388374613,0.054692653583020424,0.05100822100783124,0.05333444881290236,0.057681657321037964,0.05147157787960941,0.014837496051915353,0.036762472589080074,-0.06620591944823925,0.053794942765802295,-0.15442161019856224,0.041772457688015734,0.6298891880829176,0.05219480356928582,0.05343483651418067;0.17756078266025258,0.1786355217464986,0.16953536886608764,0.09601540102414563,0.17484439694425175,-0.5259866495131799,0.17822993831932163,0.17312326974467834,-0.04765939952721317,0.1754976101480653,0.17805004983923312,0.1084212193568442,0.09008187609334806,0.1744623584966596,0.18076240634007454,-0.5705530270455628,0.17162347593660654,0.17224461289291673,-0.19370650327332725,0.0350615927029838,-0.8316367866348032,0.18007877572041028,-0.7985634511716678,0.1760508560627573,0.18346798049344154,-0.22475716272629934,0.1800338666011391,0.1744478082760281,0.17380133738153342,0.1644258275893912,-0.7616321438165535,0.11898302971822951,0.04532552742436981,0.18301748805655105,0.17939835321829417,-0.1548119543138889,0.10849083280506151,0.178949567591535,-0.7788556380679001,0.118688411077702,0.17508982801753342,0.14755964383961212,0.17359332969084662,0.16861551693673027,0.1715385211656492,-0.8173197587584428,-0.08904718164522066,0.17662538551071963,0.17493766328956384,-0.1067777897504876,0.1790976322873654,0.1804862610154883,0.16358492985421386,0.05764993000861557,-0.739744620801626,0.17916706045649256,-0.5518008701254408,0.17680698240931625,-0.1925038556058865,0.17662369138251682,0.18059465338213238,0.1751165779820573,0.17861584084392432,-0.12796412415305905,0.17598234655870673,0.17734617280462886,-0.8465892924957559,0.1803275253054842,0.17720025141510243,0.1719121313523461,0.1805381214591637,0.17877949638522198,-0.13650362862783383,0.024374161294923587,0.17673393555426015,0.19059074921098493,0.1784749501698524,-0.08275600074028179,-0.10923140870277627,-0.8440086937423802,-0.3260577693697552,-0.3037737365659707,0.17637803381659803,0.0020679115265899092,-0.2055268904900425,-0.3106512614288196,0.1801176128513673,0.17240681182282946,0.17585137635507284,0.1826441048845863,0.1740773763896592,0.11638842211216109,0.15114477192060563,-0.024740466636689683,0.1750413231956176,-0.8343856190422273,0.15845520281303058,0.2762516590063603,0.17397178633561522,0.17547645903129866;-0.025498706336148553,-0.025943888308094132,-0.029080222844138005,-0.06164680568850056,-0.02559222516457954,0.40715429749416643,-0.0242521590989215,-0.026784507277523975,-0.10246363260708947,-0.026588787046555127,-0.025459241364334504,-0.05623569910024222,-0.05271497996986245,-0.02578852004546067,-0.02345149616979227,-0.023537988023576997,-0.028574294452628702,-0.026892841886352954,-0.11114672425010376,-0.08107567578451456,0.24536419184117347,-0.023722575755164642,0.2785892998653102,-0.024651872666985965,-0.021747331853544192,-0.10864715737366985,-0.025419055858656774,-0.02542639264137642,-0.02557104953508142,-0.030656598543358272,0.08257333473303874,-0.053481114155719454,-0.07770529611600177,-0.02234388320886122,-0.025204328626307,-0.11018157349505081,-0.0564605678627881,-0.024292631070249617,0.09519252969033001,-0.053163642528013144,-0.025712268267597187,-0.04106790560591807,-0.025822117829704946,-0.02809206170000775,-0.02692945704755433,0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x_a{283}	=[10.933659816593181,-1.1737499434264673,40.27619152793565];
std_x_a{283}	=[1.2603720891255754,3.0455026747939136,1.5732737101946548];
pred_a{283}	=[10.933659816593181];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.3 to 28.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{284}	=[1.1207965004674474,-5.225299298491238,29.362814088357258];
std_x_f{284}	=[1.7868802904795404,2.1589865720595354,0.8860932506442663];
pred_f{284}	=[1.1207965004674474];
obs{284}	=[0.7354943067594247];
sqrt_r{284}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{284}	=[4.204050842582144];
L_f{284}	=[0.10540241969660191,0.10582533748453367,0.10195644631623783,0.06509191919502444,0.10424195548770891,-0.3178283727220484,0.10582933147932151,0.10319395542904714,-0.01466198722144792,0.10449030798858076,0.1057922644994974,0.07108040042582633,0.060579888078110725,0.10426890977543772,0.10652045250941225,-0.3378583409230073,0.10263636672767765,0.10267179889426215,-0.10290688504160397,0.03195791640270819,-0.4858103095790046,0.10665785648707628,-0.46599609587766005,0.10453933062442945,0.10859506910194881,-0.12210344965580094,0.1071389489887861,0.10379484287772969,0.10366525558159335,0.099143093661841,-0.45131366546511803,0.07646362964448938,0.03700200863423401,0.1081148548214221,0.10630158765383596,-0.07923450257945494,0.07080133837809245,0.10653349236038226,-0.4614331846946454,0.07639647992862639,0.10416127780189205,0.09112803118099201,0.10310816269887936,0.10114859186424024,0.102416023996137,-0.48282271900525975,-0.03932004265592756,0.10547650399648628,0.10442261653082745,-0.05003018719298073,0.1065192637411458,0.10694083449276226,0.09895726181443164,0.04467466068304847,-0.43158486467018586,0.10714648408059706,-0.3269324903600615,0.10519744452384605,-0.10239523566094492,0.10511362724692422,0.106864295203857,0.10425259286682985,0.10626482284107516,-0.06250397624135182,0.10490242803324155,0.1059287237679606,-0.4961473468539524,0.10653096922846579,0.10533852532728344,0.10238887204159529,0.10687691167500105,0.10616652321897206,-0.0678821051294462,-0.1096622080400998,0.10487659014754663,0.11227695491305288,0.10549269288204904,-0.035663990119397825,-0.05157564748678608,-0.4935668666328394,-0.18505274553618495,-0.17196268206589332,0.10516279963377291,0.013495927231528156,-0.11006363278848333,-0.1762667483364657,0.10679600406168892,0.10298367079021797,0.10403782067185374,0.10769761331188596,0.10390756984495483,0.07533590489189608,0.09281451452653589,-0.0017472839525776857,0.10394622586914293,-0.48751041055733174,0.09634663468113176,-0.06098129685164964,0.10431170976693216,0.10472373268245341;0.11238939791479256,0.11266048688059951,0.11045409212766102,0.09507466066666871,0.10990959806896657,-0.5191919650062616,0.1119410778205764,0.11030542114297957,0.0413753363584265,0.11197147537087526,0.11194278353493287,0.09818241507861998,0.08601269895816961,0.11061905154453722,0.11228336165600805,-0.3033905923428349,0.11088472960996579,0.11042855372151758,-0.03816456283334767,0.07460999968085816,-0.5770818167463421,0.11237235040581157,-0.5801052282675031,0.1106586538473835,0.11223057677655587,-0.05808591131642763,0.11361910175899537,0.1105045866030544,0.11078656166203515,0.1088938793913459,-0.45647956503843495,0.10121621393852955,0.07843396426489317,0.11279012020862196,0.11262213259188837,-0.01579806102357064,0.09805206359009289,0.11192486987957728,-0.47203025985098723,0.100598827721974,0.11026760301995799,0.10798191142322557,0.11013615562248548,0.10970023060963546,0.10982628753991211,-0.5106172695859675,0.020251924685418796,0.11244742748275528,0.1120971991880444,0.010963765172915257,0.11300195068272724,0.1134868337561009,0.11010504082187557,0.08445839311460746,-0.5739759569366298,0.11244307414112661,-0.29047659487883076,0.11094186976227421,-0.03792514783867278,0.11196429468962857,0.11166947134878444,0.11239759431855653,0.11240555128153457,4.988021957830695E-4,0.1116048618760658,0.11245170684420357,-0.5624354565959304,0.11338251590732061,0.11180459720692129,0.10964576504415616,0.11209709944258363,0.11187703804820366,-0.004358043182003844,-0.5420298508979416,0.11080043475438893,0.1152864022849534,0.11172765362515398,0.024080346532487418,0.00937621337936855,-0.5685121558708626,-0.1241695346595361,-0.10995010156044896,0.11187035437149202,0.062352579712521054,-0.045596529165201606,-0.11445720889370832,0.1127845049247756,0.11080356482451913,0.11073266479816304,0.11202144270645105,0.1118299091630802,0.10116268736676175,0.1080586784531209,0.05159016755710654,0.10987350832605282,-0.5770314311262563,0.10843885338023079,-0.6282559314122456,0.1108521252705507,0.1108190755950711;-0.004560335733527739,-0.004192654197454878,-0.008484655506564548,-0.04290343696050026,-0.0057184798037681565,0.1637127225384547,-0.003569855909213402,-0.006153049917926353,-0.08975633082104766,-0.0058367292123174645,-0.004589022806765402,-0.03771291957049947,-0.039695892673059535,-0.005130323676259089,-0.0023629805285536255,-0.008553769100169355,-0.008022916811327463,-0.006419891743620716,-0.10453201613993632,-0.06579463990764264,0.19159160047861043,-0.003530356899084184,0.18889404694266418,-0.004668653123790885,-0.001256073942556325,-0.1026691690843126,-0.004028532638416407,-0.005744649749175904,-0.005534096887973399,-0.010642028191033817,0.10569663313240278,-0.03357845948696,-0.062153239480380304,-0.001544601977736728,-0.004004579066072363,-0.10267134738809679,-0.03744196562592804,-0.0034471223954258175,0.11663491953073277,-0.033950807329992644,-0.005313130985534253,-0.019840564917699834,-0.006023308825509622,-0.008162439290005158,-0.007174108327594341,0.1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k{284}	=[0.7621341802360806;0.8550591865098107;-0.1764986555970047];
x_a_linear{284}	=[0.82714452892262,-5.554755478803665,29.4308194075453];
L_a{284}	=[-0.07099696384948158,-0.07128183282106405,-0.06867582503486783,-0.04384461616047235,-0.07021529834574293,0.21408284129946084,-0.07128452309614675,-0.06950938644644102,0.009876021629475484,-0.07038258362796965,-0.07125955551917705,-0.04787833746099244,-0.04080540215554373,-0.07023345421538053,-0.07175004841264543,0.22757462765847516,-0.06913380583844396,-0.069157672237881,0.06931602156944631,-0.021526213933976388,0.3272321174994622,-0.07184260098651489,0.3138856590603711,-0.07041560429595058,-0.07314746869621971,0.08224644392475337,-0.07216665528290056,-0.06991413222547062,-0.06982684481209218,-0.06678080690079653,0.30399586730585243,-0.05150437309974751,-0.02492381367453183,-0.07282400595207512,-0.07160262541909364,0.053370777743602174,-0.0476903668416106,-0.07175883179570797,0.3108121732595576,-0.051459142392868494,-0.07016095546860723,-0.06138202096360326,-0.06945159817763463,-0.06813167041783713,-0.0689853873771721,0.3252197361843856,0.026485195074634132,-0.07104686555359646,-0.07033698801457804,0.033699334434134906,-0.071749247682094,-0.07203320931692789,-0.06665563428150954,-0.030091958786449928,0.29070694129387625,-0.0721717307701848,0.22021519302998074,-0.07085889666874613,0.06897138476996104,-0.07080243902577453,-0.07198165398126209,-0.07022246347177225,-0.07157786137581992,0.04210142949687121,-0.07066017945543425,-0.07135147175580507,0.3341949392623084,-0.07175713226446395,-0.0709539258789895,-0.06896709836311929,-0.0719901521841335,-0.07151164871450771,0.04572402965486547,0.07386627216232963,-0.07064277557189978,-0.07562751341038568,-0.07105777006343952,0.024022551138043562,0.03474032560801831,0.3324567793462456,0.12464783183249233,0.1158306266330024,-0.07083556056303657,-0.009090586919447405,0.07413666385192563,0.11872975967280514,-0.071935654432431,-0.06936774291544776,-0.07007779721262476,-0.07254296040820332,-0.06999006285818275,-0.05074476023960142,-0.06251800244733943,0.0011769355577700856,-0.07001610078368543,0.3283772715485446,-0.06489716800776675,0.041075783084803745,-0.0702622834344594,-0.07053981383767612;-0.08551789624307371,-0.0860408926056865,-0.08098292108778501,-0.027144218525201023,-0.08581876763346019,0.07757377749828356,-0.08676780093093903,-0.08345518275204274,0.06890519977452723,-0.08422320573101175,-0.08669649695023629,-0.03528064731051089,-0.027734231752110386,-0.08515992447751759,-0.08772319027411712,0.3309841236571041,-0.0818289261081675,-0.08235163068006587,0.15505702759523549,0.014604690690905553,0.3350927245927294,-0.08789219607040005,0.29486544782078505,-0.08562807388152845,-0.0916713483093827,0.1711798246911481,-0.08754876093639853,-0.08438426472124398,-0.08385897199261765,-0.07726068382962947,0.3909228627784044,-0.04235458916057607,0.008957690112115411,-0.09021013763714732,-0.08697347097976434,0.13297543065320508,-0.03488702207318913,-0.08810616613382738,0.3943729335522502,-0.04284589270646605,-0.08530927941913531,-0.06312328829492893,-0.08346336082184252,-0.08021992664435887,-0.0824736449078059,0.395947666506816,0.09408062112906773,-0.08559896996488245,-0.08397038204953104,0.10490220607469992,-0.08700236917424761,-0.0873090421864804,-0.07570059797976464,5.756773415464849E-4,0.23638297990966556,-0.0887389367079421,0.3233833594343281,-0.08658055579460118,0.15433575169898728,-0.08540075259711774,-0.08898269173020604,-0.08335074450142153,-0.08712102138328834,0.11785846858333089,-0.0853636303313141,-0.08644379436779533,0.3691482698698446,-0.08664378258476492,-0.08598272663356385,-0.08260318593776703,-0.08857875276681912,-0.08746496378529346,0.1230997873552739,-0.3361242281706409,-0.08611954332912773,-0.09552876122920421,-0.08634914064398375,0.09104431001377784,0.10621646494029988,0.358226370079987,0.2232920155683401,0.2129330846297021,-0.08558702072002886,0.03701215158732787,0.16106282280274942,0.21650744366065927,-0.08773943230133291,-0.08256220122908109,-0.08461241018697699,-0.09019538779106258,-0.08327060228369328,-0.040290660032720964,-0.06621312177116628,0.05487092942363199,-0.08529958503271098,0.3383352796657017,-0.07246498000277025,-0.5137553014562456,-0.08500721352240646,-0.08581389193028664;0.036291071868188675,0.03682266602587484,0.031031176844117388,-0.017675396368376756,0.03468316016888271,0.040530195620837685,0.03744701228910085,0.03384241078781376,-0.09543895953069818,0.03466116613351397,0.03641347913405946,-0.010163889684402187,-0.016216605314488326,0.03528176312102658,0.03892174932781005,-0.13949942325511266,0.03175643611074565,0.033373193822195495,-0.14441621536380936,-0.053408530814260016,0.0033033711300409535,0.03780762738838093,0.008285323648615147,0.03584824220026246,0.04083272671486619,-0.14999348863810374,0.0374959113711123,0.03448370027883538,0.03464402826408415,0.02778341727533434,-0.06922153816964169,-0.003943021227524659,-0.0478121632399071,0.04035807933473682,0.03719532410936156,-0.13338070842847646,-0.010001093384512763,0.03784266138919297,-0.062205330656870485,-0.004341394662958206,0.035057240283446256,0.01547843778102714,0.033938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x_a{284}	=[0.8271445289226198,-5.5547554788036635,29.430819407545314];
std_x_a{284}	=[1.2036068598016911,1.5695064100865104,0.8306573331181801];
pred_a{284}	=[0.8271445289226198];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.4 to 28.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{285}	=[-3.0773326671807024,-5.404905516368383,23.42829607841627];
std_x_f{285}	=[1.3803287996083764,1.5939860704432278,1.1378258896629185];
pred_f{285}	=[-3.0773326671807024];
obs{285}	=[-3.286974950931536];
sqrt_r{285}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{285}	=[2.911625819203569];
L_f{285}	=[-0.07948725794281833,-0.08019168467471643,-0.076368735244367,-0.03633977453465298,-0.07957800713877697,0.1264864529528939,-0.08039883979380848,-0.07813955778774741,0.04152057979609418,-0.07910582766849453,-0.07998361014109581,-0.043046767778131836,-0.035642337347399154,-0.07928440691827504,-0.08130856824796988,0.2979577938726599,-0.0769270313021557,-0.07719678780249016,0.11945998249386917,-0.003666375326309649,0.3322071398431708,-0.08119068742577275,0.301296717870399,-0.07951937434594886,-0.08387969513040822,0.13540683905794554,-0.08065955852241956,-0.0782109069235416,-0.07869827774341343,-0.07383705053038297,0.3628848391893887,-0.04873325048482613,-0.007896143738642168,-0.08264084005447486,-0.08084400309383245,0.0989629846651275,-0.04275745770523418,-0.08122385760351784,0.3669316537485632,-0.04823819129449769,-0.07955668531687257,-0.06331879304015894,-0.07799037616298728,-0.0756766849061585,-0.07733000892006099,0.37244856611193855,0.06346984347447931,-0.0798835245703022,-0.07800762982595055,0.07365697019513942,-0.0804776370724412,-0.08053079861269491,-0.0723670870440229,-0.015395241116858733,0.25589428885009496,-0.08184114457881936,0.2904951405941395,-0.07981825793704889,0.11881194664219549,-0.07932772896253067,-0.08171688103026264,-0.07818868804999575,-0.08058049322064295,0.08458877920327677,-0.07921708861002211,-0.08008922324014803,0.35661966065601813,-0.0803446056049846,-0.08010265594442574,-0.07717182652021198,-0.0816171811272202,-0.08086255822310663,0.0895593907115155,-0.16824203786490843,-0.07961774328848,-0.08658386719210077,-0.08014457751021596,0.060983505654193866,0.07427759257975959,0.34890680177225186,0.18671015059525675,0.17631601644861067,-0.07931094814530164,0.014710136623014769,0.12558781242580785,0.1795201146371448,-0.08132414454713441,-0.07676383745648176,-0.07873632637556943,-0.08285391349147109,-0.07767241907099515,-0.046702063208467905,-0.0654013580199172,0.02926220504712365,-0.07968240254177354,0.3344853269988694,-0.07014414608214702,-0.2712506633969556,-0.07882219119381378,-0.07975892944115776;-0.08798727375365348,-0.08876886150304794,-0.08507059571192409,-0.04063052713240868,-0.08849764112814916,0.08380854948615607,-0.0893801168395032,-0.08667562025829084,0.050362542709432065,-0.08758762868854837,-0.08929330788386036,-0.048048868406425985,-0.040727595130908206,-0.08770727153933024,-0.08982995464389056,0.3609147098160771,-0.0854987305999176,-0.08608979290899543,0.14506365278390831,-0.003600311168194781,0.36080866048579324,-0.08950459892145268,0.3172320396009278,-0.08886852665254116,-0.09275881028589555,0.1638322547532549,-0.08931348724654462,-0.08686411722399343,-0.08693379439363301,-0.08177838520405284,0.42669664353444237,-0.05369705352386431,-0.008497397175491877,-0.09180989317973857,-0.0893685950720798,0.11944534821914987,-0.048176748187974086,-0.0898926689314305,0.4302185668123852,-0.05342785246994673,-0.08827759449353019,-0.07077116288865896,-0.08668929366348246,-0.08437087528067382,-0.08587749633205613,0.42960037019968633,0.07642494439072817,-0.08867874812680215,-0.08680369558443769,0.08839559956972279,-0.08905858175875656,-0.08915963807497639,-0.08002922807308357,-0.01645836922590126,0.2541916930260552,-0.09057115259964403,0.3516040848292101,-0.08907044601933287,0.1442026211829545,-0.08797239907962306,-0.0908244022631785,-0.08646342893144361,-0.08962777297191488,0.10205114999131835,-0.08847418401695395,-0.08891651293680727,0.39815891111981383,-0.08870722121492224,-0.08892505931263588,-0.08562456548260935,-0.09056606313220904,-0.08944258186952853,0.10804350492238088,-0.27966193810318596,-0.08853559382692051,-0.09616194493364985,-0.08890941947285332,0.07343662602429162,0.08949884002155697,0.38581014542180053,0.22727312166898345,0.21447817412708742,-0.08795601625326789,0.018014500531705228,0.1523929531991638,0.21859500371803195,-0.08997266492280659,-0.08550180924958604,-0.0867213292043486,-0.09182209970005158,-0.08569328954732983,-0.051955630223503364,-0.07277536054732825,0.03599257203461905,-0.08786204148981888,0.3643924666493226,-0.07845806428937444,-0.3847083982825558,-0.08794941302275726,-0.08864873866177803;0.06377758259670231,0.06487429969198219,0.0575555976221908,-0.0065196594543177715,0.06261036199885502,-0.06142631652092309,0.06540404270087795,0.06124831250840219,-0.11056005693102479,0.06211495232240023,0.06462041765769733,0.0029474284964965862,-0.0061037171589402636,0.06310358477545638,0.06704164471649461,-0.21665934556154254,0.0588693048820626,0.05987874420628056,-0.1817370313104089,-0.05393844498000415,-0.11870294252502446,0.06629940068652064,-0.11614109667491135,0.06374044505339882,0.07025411990336299,-0.19128226033355258,0.06602496172575799,0.061347771657722094,0.061865720317574896,0.05305170601874602,-0.166165240870177,0.011742922972734233,-0.04728413118147055,0.06873378422049964,0.06555422123095402,-0.16488242441891673,0.0030504766529271797,0.06641064417959812,-0.16095071771343422,0.010975184561021261,0.06284441255471056,0.03647346569619675,0.06105541830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k{285}	=[0.6565492744965647;0.7547208407241841;-0.4521893086396186];
x_a_linear{285}	=[-3.2149731564811153,-5.56312691701215,23.52309407776719];
L_a{285}	=[0.0832509517223258,0.08398873281286316,0.07998476806807887,0.03806045011089622,0.08334599786087857,-0.1324755421288377,0.08420569665417814,0.08183943843768493,-0.04348656468404352,0.08285146085831852,0.08377080602307183,0.04508501713164479,0.037329989517486915,0.0830384957729305,0.08515850043151175,-0.3120659908891062,0.08056949924835403,0.080852028624349,-0.12511637075846005,0.0038399769118480464,-0.3479370313766695,0.08503503799373624,-0.3155630117668455,0.08328458882587837,0.0878513692698838,-0.14181830538669726,0.08447876032312904,0.08191416593002981,0.0824246135872531,0.07733320897100146,-0.38006730902521163,0.051040752799686236,0.008270023374704132,0.0865538548406947,0.08467193828029526,-0.10364884727286272,0.044782008328285224,0.08506977876776153,-0.38430573883414304,0.05052225273036219,0.08332366645818665,0.06631691567841397,0.08168319311532515,0.07925994938912712,0.08099155771510294,-0.3900838750625943,-0.06647511829781096,0.08366598143561116,0.08170126373317727,-0.07714460189505609,0.08428822495631218,0.08434390367684788,0.07579364322922456,0.01612420038310019,-0.2680107936595766,0.0857162940647996,-0.3042499835957423,0.08359762445016876,-0.12443765063654043,0.08308386910078444,0.08558614668081033,0.08189089500061578,0.08439595130704922,-0.08859402822485647,0.0829679899663971,0.08388141986531517,-0.37350547648610694,0.0841488944955388,0.08389548860342833,0.08082588543411123,0.08548172602233343,0.08469137198843137,-0.09379999644432252,0.17620823933860094,0.08338761550333061,0.09068358293007547,0.08393939514065253,-0.06387105325394087,-0.07779461053187388,-0.36542741643986054,-0.19555081072812783,-0.18466451797589423,0.08306629371774626,-0.015406656431806989,-0.13153435128803698,-0.1880203290896597,0.0851748142629776,0.08039857823133577,0.08246446380879427,0.08677701723018676,0.08135018086656651,0.048913389518331685,0.06849808937940127,-0.030647760190940093,0.08345533634958514,-0.35032308989500377,0.07346544679261019,0.2840942871542233,0.0825543942960611,0.08353548677080944;0.09908462349367009,0.0999608919669973,0.0946619118909889,0.04489450849818191,0.09878783279424204,-0.2138751465221308,0.09983717264771437,0.0972244878060296,-0.04735542918050175,0.09858657895503226,0.09894674574270912,0.05326096070370833,0.04315603405030868,0.0988872193034704,0.10152836514559589,-0.3403238439088926,0.09554771719239483,0.09559152217674761,-0.13608336560156234,0.00502844023252566,-0.421035141124222,0.1015762903763021,-0.39186461444335347,0.09827895599830369,0.1046506124905295,-0.1548454168435615,0.10051739929347703,0.09720390980678055,0.0982812514964654,0.09199584587839271,-0.42734659693416943,0.060995815033556826,0.010086041583812155,0.102683905439214,0.10089637860095127,-0.1134623375873132,0.05245219463132021,0.10126628581031366,-0.43334878226162704,0.060099902780243575,0.09895769888697727,0.07824852972615452,0.09685971800752174,0.0937329037296331,0.09611735236727953,-0.44695093742912045,-0.07295024282862511,0.09932575582677554,0.09678592228620844,-0.08495481553462984,0.10034415577124492,0.10036821422754635,0.09028546917470008,0.019774066498357903,-0.34805112360726254,0.10204057644334451,-0.33207124249391207,0.09878045403312113,-0.13541925594850426,0.0987240494507528,0.10149487465114417,0.09755230636180529,0.10001703473745399,-0.09702708997986777,0.09796187434282644,0.09957209930563594,-0.4411393392061766,0.10038242903977512,0.09959516656876576,0.09599800365372795,0.10151857177155474,0.1008660609817685,-0.10273298391775629,0.11629281030172041,0.09884339844176461,0.10761170037549803,0.09970946809409277,-0.07008700781057861,-0.08531219921262245,-0.43533602390493054,-0.21214601305969155,-0.20047854429261028,0.09870093891178569,-0.01660555352544117,-0.14317580775291266,-0.20390250479316685,0.10142231341941169,0.0951605646279956,0.09858326348846147,0.1031731635956744,0.09710741556509364,0.057956873942353104,0.08114561300215388,-0.032875525286635,0.09966912522167971,-0.42281300932877364,0.08662497955924355,0.25367538226963665,0.09755726104600515,0.09906253279391168;-0.04830612745561284,-0.048202711219041364,-0.05013073349202789,-0.05776179382557304,-0.049601312042035835,0.11693020608697327,-0.04796507432759482,-0.04893502712822822,-0.05201255199108484,-0.04943090900574284,-0.048163190684172366,-0.05775212968683358,-0.05636240651650451,-0.04869408829423855,-0.04761026584293529,0.2034861700917382,-0.04960427056645656,-0.048975210565298986,-0.013288422222274856,-0.059108342139026326,0.34973702764323916,-0.04818628801247762,0.30871258226057147,-0.048388551824875344,-0.04802329551630815,-3.4724406982314436E-4,-0.04771179060853819,-0.04893617625318811,-0.04910546138496705,-0.0510647370056082,0.34553286208041517,-0.056975053450323554,-0.05841835707173897,-0.04779674148726777,-0.04844261344103994,-0.0253363038684084,-0.05724113002767033,-0.04812181725607482,0.3564537336686547,-0.057044716822293444,-0.04933719592641699,-0.052811350809628524,-0.048917562714069635,-0.04961297209325498,-0.05025225766611412,0.38142568060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x_a{285}	=[-3.214973156481116,-5.563126917012152,23.52309407776719];
std_x_a{285}	=[1.4456868840512767,1.668410487403272,1.1765575495184912];
pred_a{285}	=[-3.214973156481116];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.5 to 28.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{286}	=[-5.24858214064547,-7.346609390214292,20.622692851163972];
std_x_f{286}	=[1.4699190159934268,1.3213129657691753,2.4704429426165255];
pred_f{286}	=[-5.24858214064547];
obs{286}	=[-5.549519231697652];
sqrt_r{286}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{286}	=[3.1687898995317028];
L_f{286}	=[0.0901553434501639,0.09160462410298274,0.08566706189036272,0.031082072363781667,0.09041018466347274,-0.1826377345979209,0.0916479961371841,0.08890246069959434,-0.06839747272884429,0.0899560191725906,0.09045240650171721,0.04020955416125198,0.029842089339601717,0.09052333660392926,0.09341554087740017,-0.3089449984008128,0.08709314294361525,0.08695421885608348,-0.15578850703623395,-0.012459782954905563,-0.33155711023529416,0.0937581647697112,-0.314926183782197,0.09029362411777973,0.09671460534727988,-0.17260734077093062,0.09244292103982621,0.08950604480563602,0.0899465886369554,0.08256594271497096,-0.34652762886377897,0.048121247151279516,-0.006722751651308233,0.09482158249486661,0.09241654115560784,-0.1336985072263829,0.03964672355960483,0.09299638308876315,-0.3478953077138119,0.04762702551031933,0.08986550546865783,0.06772009569069168,0.0883770840560645,0.08475521931732759,0.08702210557287572,-0.3508052506605654,-0.09421809378597454,0.09057277704516245,0.08841838890801176,-0.10588272982094458,0.09215353553684479,0.09259614844408035,0.08064310308058599,0.0037548223129910754,-0.28738266137873186,0.09333678512966591,-0.3041873401083808,0.09047938087242859,-0.15555347282451265,0.09005784316920276,0.09317187090817455,0.09012338174713128,0.0916143309949846,-0.11849648773804611,0.08970728578626558,0.0916319557362011,-0.342919659884799,0.0917297999239227,0.09140545156764714,0.08736870470906218,0.09358156490564838,0.09225794623989285,-0.12398817790905256,0.15903538250948449,0.09038226903388198,0.10031506602174306,0.09172556561639965,-0.0910986551395891,-0.10626872282823392,-0.3400548256069893,-0.22226043300943973,-0.2131574942760276,0.09010998851635575,-0.035709992943304,-0.16190318090427216,-0.2154334328827279,0.09328374432150123,0.08670101253648567,0.08997614275844301,0.0953514522044108,0.08848603303233267,0.045010470997630773,0.07087602885056203,-0.05290892865008204,0.09162010695206484,-0.33247527162295093,0.07660114355010605,0.306632870101153,0.08902616246683925,0.09061616518779178;0.08645942789985545,0.08815818083934605,0.08006512940789053,0.008475612639818997,0.08627727476402698,-0.20543180753185336,0.08811471205776687,0.08430654665537764,-0.1104078190125299,0.08634835749684186,0.08651147875922217,0.0195211400914562,0.006774487245335116,0.0859624824169809,0.09041372154845215,-0.2568342469493054,0.0817521762682631,0.0817729729780889,-0.1974882563080329,-0.04587698016476651,-0.22063131504752956,0.09039715997710678,-0.23130839668625353,0.0862418580018511,0.09468723312994137,-0.21119327509836688,0.08951375089083641,0.08444639516603931,0.0853124896292393,0.07579385827099926,-0.22058354566592098,0.03053227145821655,-0.0381259421190247,0.09222551196265509,0.08915513503760499,-0.17792900167390105,0.018856790638952164,0.08985788005101093,-0.21696182066665806,0.029636743901131125,0.0854043493529292,0.05579558071527915,0.08407146296996569,0.0785428836343612,0.08193315780548673,-0.20861795525870552,-0.13894914152147603,0.08703328165354149,0.08324816744036674,-0.15093919534371616,0.08893671369555892,0.08908338385147688,0.07315352863989595,-0.026843265367783288,-0.23981159075334535,0.09042221093828887,-0.2591193240435763,0.08630042545660441,-0.1973335900785654,0.08648573025696954,0.09084074579879185,0.08485020005851397,0.08795060339769079,-0.16326168158873738,0.08515417604631617,0.08758663206362698,-0.20996893948363457,0.08824382657317328,0.08705913392673188,0.08272954208173347,0.09070157806652855,0.08897827625320309,-0.16870441508101083,0.168211776273277,0.08663776730199396,0.09972272659033779,0.08865493279940986,-0.13535066955611386,-0.15132806901712745,-0.21394263272395192,-0.24466627912414032,-0.24021958861955378,0.08603148960270934,-0.07383212527726458,-0.20226685986575155,-0.239918289187542,0.0901628119651874,0.08192043671196304,0.08590953623939836,0.09291709031908052,0.08404920203393314,0.026467343686490032,0.06069359036823797,-0.09373162698944665,0.08741331572718139,-0.21977920643189952,0.06807279907093042,0.3713981602595812,0.08451239293713486,0.08650511048929553;-0.13435915639821586,-0.13503070441016435,-0.13267228556847213,-0.09380247921362195,-0.13516538943807063,0.2713787024830681,-0.1350265234202461,-0.13356869923339404,0.004881075657982373,-0.1349324139222598,-0.13474406096837727,-0.10189291036624243,-0.09190760377808595,-0.13514107477282716,-0.13574166641442212,0.5148808904080816,-0.13269316583929786,-0.13274371594381654,0.1333151058954812,-0.05611933922252172,0.6715061880291662,-0.13626284669441613,0.611362533984076,-0.13440859997021548,-0.1386149776612527,0.16335443862336563,-0.13497529482915674,-0.1337893078816301,-0.13440194869562788,-0.12988790908943515,0.6906659072487348,-0.1077449907499758,-0.060916236522163575,-0.13689153687437336,-0.13604573169327505,0.09760468297666758,-0.10070150867754477,-0.1363990260758589,0.7031115350842588,-0.10678785644043785,-0.13484301085631922,-0.1204557753909594,-0.13340413117061367,-0.13132074008861053,-0.13355109653733696,0.7281357958331931,0.03802751025636444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k{286}	=[0.6844221195770078;0.5928161726369043;-1.0951860905285433];
x_a_linear{286}	=[-5.454550142362744,-7.52500976473633,20.952274967408442];
L_a{286}	=[-0.0833917806320729,-0.08473233449886576,-0.07924021537896267,-0.02875025773246049,-0.0836275033495845,0.16893603103123553,-0.08477245271064683,-0.08223289065955623,0.0632662116665877,-0.08320740990268602,-0.08366655765449883,-0.03719298481495033,-0.02760329973327027,-0.08373216649472416,-0.08640739410837922,0.2857675712616885,-0.0805593101081856,-0.08043080827358992,0.14410106496843647,0.011525034980018571,0.3066832951396785,-0.0867243139422291,0.29130004088751643,-0.08351968731689251,-0.08945895877481934,0.1596581294708466,-0.08550774138642832,-0.0827911931565329,-0.08319868685723081,-0.07637174591180207,0.32053070736882794,-0.04451113303560895,0.006218402698002155,-0.08770795278450627,-0.0854833405530039,0.12366828364001856,-0.03667237844521779,-0.0860196820435968,0.3217957812986953,-0.044053988499419015,-0.08312368664620784,-0.06263965227244535,-0.08174692840674,-0.07839678033771563,-0.08049360204684754,0.32448741680892645,0.08714973852786968,-0.08377789785430738,-0.08178513451877743,0.09793927947081889,-0.08524006593360188,-0.08564947348564056,-0.07459316003053436,-0.003473131005379176,0.26582286682102346,-0.08633454671201608,0.28136683824397024,-0.08369150837532102,0.1438836633073167,-0.08330159494001833,-0.08618200455471937,-0.08336221673462736,-0.08474131316809913,0.10960673802529117,-0.08297733679559664,-0.0847576156799302,0.3171934125828704,-0.08484811947844449,-0.08454810412783068,-0.08081419889697315,-0.08656096281338871,-0.08533664361952736,0.11468643496297785,-0.1471043559198448,-0.08360168198426159,-0.09278930853833835,-0.08484420283378902,0.0842643239385681,0.09829631481623007,0.3145435016347257,0.20558618672401116,0.1971661614552534,-0.08334982828021036,0.033030986117278956,0.14975700861332938,0.19927135639721422,-0.08628548508937964,-0.08019659779808742,-0.08322602379280848,-0.08819807102809449,-0.08184770389914399,-0.04163373106837058,-0.06555882351272659,0.04893963688247272,-0.08474665580589902,0.3075325749504376,-0.07085443318872707,-0.283628901621269,-0.08234731217072917,-0.08381803096604237;-0.06385941616987922,-0.06457709451584834,-0.06277026143422947,-0.04334850571205926,-0.0644664740882744,0.09908584053689848,-0.06469287885629109,-0.06392332653794287,0.003633441820495065,-0.06363814692608744,-0.06430266789399156,-0.047521516181268465,-0.042982168350285364,-0.06496992822998233,-0.0653409523894498,0.25827948079560037,-0.06346096443616198,-0.06320853521902112,0.06226282888395456,-0.025102391555090604,0.33218429905105346,-0.06592878156925736,0.29377794985515715,-0.06430754578090479,-0.06656807492065737,0.07660038138057043,-0.064619243353901,-0.0647898528204645,-0.06465829096455897,-0.061870938883293064,0.357192885720239,-0.04970179975879236,-0.026916886520992746,-0.06587349945501389,-0.06493387519519644,0.04499073098984741,-0.04724744044222041,-0.06519791890223123,0.3630949847486817,-0.049773296005693225,-0.06443123872020913,-0.05711626804434191,-0.06328243319598854,-0.06277216336227218,-0.06316154005299414,0.37629068969631363,0.01814365416168212,-0.06398156259848665,-0.06417459760636128,0.02560241544201132,-0.06471377898427931,-0.06530509127110813,-0.06130525742164292,-0.03310379888888363,0.23935057325099426,-0.06520115106057305,0.24806181016190745,-0.0645586964146018,0.06202561516853214,-0.06367054852301439,-0.06450764952370285,-0.06541535325694586,-0.06480085656431019,0.03431124511141815,-0.06441760736637604,-0.06519421418459181,0.3617918115711698,-0.06470015837137116,-0.06534405478627012,-0.06294305143454502,-0.06532991296350588,-0.06484630368081305,0.03802497963205996,-0.09695292667334979,-0.06405943694173542,-0.06753574295898013,-0.06428199215081865,0.016540987808156698,0.02585712006861293,0.35304148989584755,0.12591554213957687,0.11518461614713885,-0.0642117327571855,-0.014291729161496944,0.06767941368148854,0.11928065971122773,-0.06537211342341145,-0.06263889261236463,-0.06411052087212495,-0.06606538955645401,-0.06348634819209653,-0.04858003245864382,-0.05748024516219823,-0.005514903595288897,-0.06534777467000476,0.33456728707083466,-0.059646700541833055,-0.13986048313818467,-0.06392373210937617,-0.06458207617968525;0.14334431184089255,0.14713695029130364,0.13120603035141332,0.0019389262888979007,0.1433230604347138,-0.29119618646084666,0.14727472917860032,0.1402755425659365,-0.20580211480747826,0.14215708024644916,0.14387444387915652,0.02196367116960953,1.4310020509664242E-5,0.14369591446656868,0.15200411432708621,-0.43675541053349737,0.135577875340374,0.1350994005066813,-0.34655671378950365,-0.09449892724989672,-0.3497816902935942,0.15253831068429557,-0.3586974772005852,0.14372081108623236,0.15929283685628448,-0.36832405475527563,0.14977454699363704,0.14191414040737932,0.14265849680715595,0.1244380994743681,-0.3767353214908704,0.040481800014663415,-0.08162417659795643,0.15518524210546783,0.14862285276795958,-0.3142238092045197,0.0214213984677821,0.15005563239613848,-0.36850252392758975,0.039916594565722954,0.14196767599444998,0.08814090588268063,0.1388218048194702,0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x_a{286}	=[-5.454550142362745,-7.525009764736327,20.952274967408442];
std_x_a{286}	=[1.3596439150209187,1.2305654510267552,2.3018749803241203];
pred_a{286}	=[-5.454550142362745];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.6 to 28.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{287}	=[-7.983655659968622,-10.964880716969796,21.66960697233724];
std_x_f{287}	=[1.1878797188200554,1.1994031760337807,3.0111711145600526];
pred_f{287}	=[-7.983655659968622];
obs{287}	=[-8.538506863858068];
sqrt_r{287}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{287}	=[2.414575868020778];
L_f{287}	=[-0.059309709464510106,-0.05879264698749511,-0.059026870047138066,-0.052697642600927894,-0.05869776539582155,0.09047901258303559,-0.05905543967710281,-0.05855630340972162,-0.017393909599862936,-0.05881498724027264,-0.05930338487677531,-0.05410952601909352,-0.05156411840562461,-0.05963528529593741,-0.05877428292514125,0.25346303416434685,-0.05883746164757088,-0.058990386271988667,0.04146953821767685,-0.040867658622490054,0.32955685138916496,-0.059238021875982275,0.29120657215326945,-0.05902796079329752,-0.05961510764860522,0.0567706123596322,-0.05878543639957839,-0.05954047157522206,-0.059248093246926384,-0.05885978356862246,0.35454302991401804,-0.05495940897840338,-0.042401890243199625,-0.05926570808340924,-0.05921338356754943,0.023663440518461597,-0.054005049897035966,-0.05957672946367409,0.3593885098541554,-0.05498613704495286,-0.059541906351085624,-0.05751193427588563,-0.05853836992739971,-0.059128004872969334,-0.059448987016779684,0.37246885685054676,-0.004008195762804914,-0.059343768800317616,-0.05911001418727019,0.003733489069348252,-0.05848050571668011,-0.05937078111165589,-0.05823362123320632,-0.04616693309091658,0.23600566692174468,-0.05969728116079697,0.2438398803952211,-0.059249453864879516,0.04138158678743533,-0.05877778919977164,-0.05902562379090632,-0.059670500422624076,-0.05916052800127841,0.012252430046019244,-0.059354861397242824,-0.05889086114850441,0.3581993337251712,-0.05899942657771439,-0.059897984596417035,-0.05892818089327606,-0.059126727038408974,-0.05930427361899181,0.016587226810604167,-0.047289097496015446,-0.058673756788043874,-0.05901033303531832,-0.05851107262042676,-0.0049145460433078925,0.0038139250382314503,0.3503655961903894,0.1107895015794671,0.09943116799776228,-0.05956708758590917,-0.032163341952459394,0.047273832378825244,0.10330412891360147,-0.05945974098247308,-0.058274125469977914,-0.05895016323425954,-0.05975404764316665,-0.05883464569034583,-0.05420193195365003,-0.0577345273238921,-0.024780844694661387,-0.05966812538005527,0.33204635331232807,-0.05795560138384665,-0.01190561757464186,-0.05935248783024979,-0.05891540755605347;-0.018058628837220734,-0.016808163606897082,-0.024311349150085218,-0.07636936315142728,-0.018495840436665113,-0.022722166408538882,-0.017195669037580203,-0.019909597921399274,-0.12431782875021809,-0.01937100929346106,-0.018736885264868462,-0.06948397411516993,-0.07644930047573444,-0.019343798407464467,-0.014913439474002666,0.17868295793795816,-0.0224233775579795,-0.022433727081058587,-0.10252008603471739,-0.10566262926281533,0.3187509331093691,-0.015414875232136695,0.2555396579322064,-0.018909707634060934,-0.012728492963869053,-0.08929891102341934,-0.015621646926944458,-0.019751387565274465,-0.019697568323732078,-0.027446541307696665,0.35379560348431116,-0.061635635282832626,-0.10174219127473792,-0.013853517559427679,-0.016442778999238516,-0.11460260426240268,-0.06945709635335752,-0.015860249981912378,0.36436767812628346,-0.061925305319501744,-0.020197304338248404,-0.043887937983186506,-0.020332064841584566,-0.025219654881203424,-0.02345012796672952,0.3882218472549505,-0.12649751916775145,-0.018576811206842552,-0.02107479057783767,-0.12346941822075276,-0.01643655260094096,-0.015511879305879644,-0.028881231622107744,-0.09686328619699817,0.16800297780509318,-0.01574921734986345,0.16263918406634656,-0.018854469448908895,-0.10293897260588329,-0.018459884725872122,-0.015137208495108693,-0.019843587204406533,-0.017480725698829375,-0.12076531933886557,-0.019317166847021842,-0.017467024555755068,0.3669931718564533,-0.016929177312917043,-0.01945933505823267,-0.022127999402348466,-0.014772968815747385,-0.016583975040325227,-0.11827217470804866,0.10146393893892434,-0.018223772372898364,-0.0069017318017662865,-0.016814083880062197,-0.12461891399409991,-0.12417502005929358,0.35310996496125524,-0.030860521367763315,-0.045128253710596145,-0.019972926382637403,-0.11555357944472176,-0.09717835453719438,-0.040040929403142585,-0.015770435074539315,-0.021366214595041365,-0.019151252651451553,-0.013617160568466067,-0.01990683872945009,-0.06446376148817222,-0.03921438838368519,-0.12180148260493408,-0.018299316457639842,0.3228918932807399,-0.03378085935748303,0.3507336825825712,-0.020856486814565756,-0.01902407786075649;0.18606868438149043,0.18818043314980767,0.17660559459946598,0.06294526516956357,0.18574397105376442,-0.36252925425795396,0.18911218431113108,0.18336845870968996,-0.15375052454362215,0.1845073106100997,0.1865387625762655,0.08185817871073489,0.060575884533324575,0.18683687767869714,0.1931803960327724,-0.6493226842032831,0.1795727779577126,0.17927771621557442,-0.34461146836321543,-0.03099511746762741,-0.6469502220915258,0.1934548957243384,-0.6221494052341965,0.1864111088294726,0.19962909925616082,-0.381368637645516,0.1906062796767928,0.18529947034762298,0.18579972053935728,0.17012578476837895,-0.6868164495736813,0.09788042688586053,-0.018815820732697306,0.1958703768427954,0.19025125495462358,-0.29540391712594644,0.0813677162200542,0.19167901039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k{287}	=[0.5858485901212549;0.4705425470607813;-1.3388412238602925];
x_a_linear{287}	=[-8.308714455494334,-11.225961815687677,22.412464637212945];
L_a{287}	=[0.09211360666606001,0.09131055957546427,0.09167433021239517,0.08184443941130967,0.09116319946033029,-0.1405224920481925,0.09171870155868772,0.0909434955726624,0.027014392107678694,0.09134525610788298,0.092103783981171,0.08403722833260881,0.08008396877647865,0.092619256825989,0.09128203844407254,-0.39365214303353524,0.09138016099500207,0.09161766744766157,-0.06440612787509928,0.06347135175173053,-0.5118330616866641,0.09200226903867799,-0.45227143899514355,0.0916760242446811,0.0925879190250355,-0.08817014792857282,0.09129936084822084,0.09247200212089308,0.09201791083342142,0.09141482905651066,-0.5506389678613263,0.08535717721337159,0.06585415904113795,0.09204526834594198,0.09196400340776549,-0.036751568536810816,0.08387496700136808,0.09252831406215138,-0.5581644579934467,0.08539868843693528,0.09247423046395437,0.08932149120816767,0.09091564317291745,0.09183140219354233,0.09232991792070959,-0.5784794780662079,0.006225108355260228,0.09216650404644178,0.0918034609515246,-0.005798462793545873,0.09082577456296494,0.09220845672913437,0.09044233953338916,0.0717016278466122,-0.3665391951852198,0.09271554228687154,-0.37870647209399605,0.09202002400221086,-0.06426953095826854,0.09128748402128217,0.09167239465821074,0.09267394925927856,0.0918819136979092,-0.019029186488222077,0.09218373190203741,0.09146309548700292,-0.5563175546248265,0.09163170790028344,0.09302725376703472,0.09152105659188446,0.09182941759521716,0.09210516428216531,-0.025761537190246934,0.0734444556493311,0.0911259118142871,0.09164864666385038,0.09087324786496113,0.007632756343991079,-0.005923387485749051,-0.5441510168940044,-0.17206660871145354,-0.15442603887266323,0.09251333931106963,0.049952722015063115,-0.07342074747383573,-0.160441114678221,0.09234661984986967,0.09050524645652151,0.09155519725332481,0.09280370602053366,0.09137578754622686,0.08418074351732625,0.08966719933346105,0.03848700325235387,0.09267026059280262,-0.5156994944008868,0.09001054832617374,0.01849055381131683,0.09218004552727058,0.09150121838712248;0.10356172505271743,0.10375190315626948,0.09672901488076599,0.03169230162751474,0.10186966235272438,-0.20825822162299915,0.10390327981080233,0.10016582324447908,-0.08864991770892766,0.10123486834069662,0.10287049943999921,0.041472895555500336,0.029287962194003272,0.10294418053398227,0.10560896998511561,-0.34106775727219185,0.09822858604412103,0.09853182340433822,-0.18755742577593018,-0.021859502435923942,-0.3570375887815982,0.10605847625355791,-0.34160786951520317,0.10213289307835767,0.1095181097403415,-0.2057125982268355,0.10492363382121575,0.10234216657842596,0.10179643549206902,0.09325119557439976,-0.37322951865282966,0.05106400243053315,-0.014792972613229231,0.10767660719957299,0.10498004922782098,-0.16312680099330934,0.04128553482158545,0.10630765450450036,-0.3725935740375729,0.05082914090568916,0.1018991919535398,0.07404590223758768,0.0997065819666689,0.09602809599101389,0.09845582815172889,-0.3755619343913042,-0.11827832215036961,0.10311338467880865,0.1001360686356412,-0.13112530232401343,0.10348343798982602,0.10623370796330749,0.0905324982143728,-0.002193479326839913,-0.3159497002674389,0.10666589016955152,-0.3373783141460255,0.10264232444693905,-0.1877959593464209,0.1020697146919434,0.10590059996557839,0.1025166037948732,0.10383371702553623,-0.14589012422600192,0.10239577549238511,0.10329443994020805,-0.3675295584709231,0.1040549112026195,0.10336733446489849,0.09870999287645449,0.10647216173185806,0.10502523211728872,-0.15228590387604407,0.19843485355860693,0.10209249842057215,0.11410472147066165,0.10316858713326228,-0.11454115717498842,-0.13199584597544448,-0.3653489211850739,-0.25804521862964097,-0.2490215782397594,0.10217520649139453,-0.04959950437237774,-0.1941179665426575,-0.25187613868337033,0.10615757310124929,0.0981305731362543,0.1017318165652404,0.10891435216920421,0.10073935047723799,0.04668259557948177,0.07917590062964594,-0.070985939438941,0.10405600428480793,-0.3580015955311316,0.08506276361499775,0.3751473146131353,0.10085158829382164,0.10178772144210077;-0.1599793923874176,-0.15485079397751675,-0.16779222899336477,-0.2445240857504307,-0.15673366050521537,0.16537905240884387,-0.15545233147413406,-0.1582837995897042,-0.25523692565517286,-0.15865426282271194,-0.1594724127908024,-0.23384893877209367,-0.24027981288377337,-0.1611108018926031,-0.14974368424597395,0.8295312217843795,-0.16371992451775155,-0.164907239360574,-0.10265354824713645,-0.2694413144907874,1.2758802156039817,-0.1521749130685122,1.076922722178685,-0.1579930788243881,-0.14820085193447344,-0.05013516168658594,-0.15238287659731897,-0.16209500965481977,-0.1598888506142789,-0.17329715705439294,1.3817981961780772,-0.2227854126376448,-0.26621363641084844,-0.14992096973062494,-0.155234799310933,-0.1573373483451796,-0.23372982550472876,-0.15592701967014938,1.4122054880513688,-0.22341787259353535,-0.16202124683730967,-0.195832719990114,-0.1599784073197977,-0.1698827242038533,-0.16753784591735457,1.4916275945215194,-0.23281407261851889,-0.1604259926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x_a{287}	=[-8.308714455494329,-11.225961815687672,22.412464637212924];
std_x_a{287}	=[1.844889920620087,1.6482640030527378,4.4168408751610535];
pred_a{287}	=[-8.308714455494329];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.7 to 28.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{288}	=[-10.819147441582134,-12.532528610160533,27.631923772392298];
std_x_f{288}	=[0.847590639580791,3.406227717236873,3.319546326773075];
pred_f{288}	=[-10.819147441582134];
obs{288}	=[-11.620452879969605];
sqrt_r{288}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{288}	=[1.7190947183381873];
L_f{288}	=[0.026169180980924547,0.027044106725434797,0.02044545518291898,-0.03845942264217422,0.025703096734319548,-0.11278482988504933,0.02744485737352934,0.023922614830966853,-0.1243361098905591,0.02529420062995037,0.02612328500108197,-0.02932778484843232,-0.039702757210174945,0.025700608225190786,0.030077078615740525,-0.00816201602705902,0.02216321718160428,0.022139234471032773,-0.1608408315688515,-0.08072809275484405,0.1179988679723452,0.029852780101373957,0.06414472785194053,0.02590503883601017,0.03261286384421785,-0.1612527686394677,0.02896582021391401,0.025561981259431484,0.025219767061116696,0.01698002293479474,0.14464428562568463,-0.02086022381975217,-0.07603064053505199,0.030757921705492592,0.02824535323559156,-0.15666099636921002,-0.029633717490684837,0.028674917818957504,0.15431879275149205,-0.02122151964996818,0.025255215290131004,1.039140065763633E-4,0.024034245847443785,0.019809036421121057,0.021745192849565196,0.17840172204342292,-0.1410885898871019,0.026903486467554173,0.024022165587116024,-0.1462073767106756,0.028145696257433052,0.02989416292380075,0.014934283545372658,-0.06568219887107461,-0.004308226817626279,0.028700963291174216,-0.02034745334876016,0.025768452263471606,-0.1609602995529307,0.025570817601464617,0.0294832806002321,0.02568958420824353,0.027346634791967608,-0.15199498581306678,0.02557943916987282,0.027253161236221762,0.1609374182381284,0.0276398068890376,0.0262792349859196,0.022490293541628386,0.030152499205546066,0.02826355520120841,-0.15389905177193353,0.13351753045225553,0.026222677758250296,0.03773035917850941,0.027598173631452592,-0.13844396071800003,-0.14608263406092953,0.14848979846518995,-0.14490854636031014,-0.15070325902508558,0.025277102165191943,-0.0999191952602582,-0.16092405078938765,-0.14839929820186848,0.02903897685810127,0.022496066676955417,0.02578115102564117,0.031474625460158646,0.02428074430834115,-0.024399161886417615,0.004400111697331131,-0.11408911703174746,0.026649090102839425,0.12153265672166083,0.010229318955574506,0.3280752834247721,0.023440231335936486,0.025610879591599547;-0.10039571591554734,-0.09646329510664814,-0.10883798354560556,-0.19528333172358647,-0.09800319089888507,0.04917484017045551,-0.09619854055789884,-0.10052091097416024,-0.2529470852408849,-0.10034092363558665,-0.09988801631776989,-0.18308898806242999,-0.19315353562294973,-0.10063806656406525,-0.09179218588635157,0.6111100981928987,-0.10584995265196993,-0.10594794080251071,-0.15824925696687023,-0.23775676829038825,0.9777664467799083,-0.0928092701422422,0.8102480127619278,-0.09881850396351027,-0.0881358288937631,-0.11861807453780912,-0.09332105306159287,-0.10166078043696095,-0.10106433252146936,-0.11390967393816911,1.070939386516978,-0.17064484346765216,-0.23291300942267568,-0.09064625199029938,-0.09579647579929641,-0.19711357390853604,-0.18350822037605705,-0.09532653252448532,1.0954674815351466,-0.17175085888823918,-0.1018466639338853,-0.1400171001072365,-0.101296678986213,-0.1102199948201728,-0.10708871765060138,1.1604039169380513,-0.24497236485802454,-0.0996716332634007,-0.10272570854443598,-0.2324177607028009,-0.09437262408020032,-0.09385927082397076,-0.11658110726512264,-0.2256926634202808,0.5778688032816695,-0.09568705623075455,0.5694763402786268,-0.09910886576183998,-0.15833756857674003,-0.09882242464607467,-0.09364597632082727,-0.10136578504409738,-0.09683972588873044,-0.22018397643462526,-0.10063251085807211,-0.09621517908862026,1.1039862995237426,-0.09556545712493258,-0.09956358835910416,-0.10490687814927274,-0.0925526467329119,-0.0958035244258298,-0.21147015758432608,0.12040002837713364,-0.09765110611138395,-0.07836777573152527,-0.09495342937213538,-0.2422007136316129,-0.2337627307952338,1.0688613478002214,0.04774658564763885,0.008906649551575635,-0.10176401421533512,-0.24848193305170033,-0.14284494240084986,0.023801997268633256,-0.09447088068393382,-0.10367193041299849,-0.09979604087717663,-0.09128566425075373,-0.10203858261668797,-0.17384729362330004,-0.13325398881325465,-0.2530471172849853,-0.09909656479485301,0.9887321278953319,-0.12456998393823934,0.5349343751196697,-0.10275501434650244,-0.09910844836711205;-0.19454763407133557,-0.1925875159853386,-0.1900575345649577,-0.1352034786278263,-0.19187174786152922,0.3869843822942777,-0.19330843910952641,-0.19039353456288594,0.04457920464237362,-0.19161898489988985,-0.19434416506637658,-0.14499293265004273,-0.12979924741128307,-0.19458516756060354,-0.19354433969256923,0.7319786587848864,-0.19030900125110412,-0.1907371874233199,0.2637940091734964,-0.06625680183940066,0.8403683893085175,-0.19532842790634905,0.7845781725906584,-0.19293259855085065,-0.19762365355121828,0.3116651414549483,-0.19345456222238175,-0.19506111596101802,-0.19265697956791417,-0.187801492628386,0.8754673125537532,-0.15319349857780953,-0.07498141921963347,-0.19591279531752281,-0.19554118081739688,0.20515368739620088,-0.14431415055553806,-0.1971810951927596,0.8798553384642973,-0.15325433506069,-0.1944603713219973,-0.17303809701330333,-0.1903692106648382,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k{288}	=[0.4182984862133256;0.9684729460386313;0.026813931818579523];
x_a_linear{288}	=[-11.154332293454118,-13.308571248752424,27.61043762300152];
L_a{288}	=[0.049375348980261066,0.051026136752279204,0.03857596787047967,-0.07256426618474997,0.04849595300882812,-0.21279956523335347,0.05178226294201843,0.04513658477353023,-0.23459422827063006,0.04772445817814873,0.04928875360598591,-0.05533492289135448,-0.07491015840961582,0.04849125775272661,0.05674867142542381,-0.015399885461156846,0.04181699777554024,0.0417717478036429,-0.3034704141018503,-0.15231572417901812,0.22263728045815429,0.05632547065996327,0.12102665059491444,0.04887697226013947,0.061533126876525845,-0.30424764655075287,0.054651977171315216,0.048229699898950804,0.04758401880254548,0.03203747792907453,0.27291118075015963,-0.03935854284692371,-0.14345269010701553,0.05803326895187336,0.053292618293811315,-0.2955840067353869,-0.05591214886517015,0.054103109888054036,0.2911647961727044,-0.04004022668391621,0.047650901624732,1.9606232011565577E-4,0.04534720735279971,0.037375189042733244,0.041028280035702844,0.3366038582175886,-0.26620238393729345,0.05076081800532862,0.04532441462306578,-0.27586038148615605,0.053104588027274496,0.056403550722942696,0.02817762857616551,-0.12392751203846206,-0.008128653424861652,0.05415225182646597,-0.03839106048779067,0.048619264168700736,-0.30369582327343186,0.04824637208566974,0.055628308344099736,0.048470457916295666,0.05159693905871126,-0.28678029599934624,0.04826263904294375,0.05142057551723314,0.30365265138722297,0.05215008875853026,0.04958299609414164,0.042434117181422884,0.05689097308723963,0.05332696130229578,-0.29037283950573295,0.25191750043183214,0.04947628534703937,0.07118868767606659,0.052071536180826584,-0.26121256449116825,-0.27562502020876567,0.28016679714094594,-0.2734097812223498,-0.284343098557431,0.0476921972271816,-0.18852501113421533,-0.3036274300229381,-0.27999604353243385,0.05479000727778297,0.04244500978718259,0.04864322387207076,0.05938552747413644,0.04581229441604315,-0.04603572170813859,0.008302019492555674,-0.2152604612425039,0.05028082937686302,0.22930474371759552,0.019300420354387674,0.6190041492969909,0.04422643579229915,0.048321960035678534;-0.046667226262053156,-0.0409384772132363,-0.06686099435144027,-0.2742451721042863,-0.04523162850420086,-0.1823860393988003,-0.03985093317537691,-0.05140489299992399,-0.5082241379954257,-0.048408874335674784,-0.04625375665488603,-0.24330247299867977,-0.2746680920600424,-0.047871613379221335,-0.03004031033506543,0.5943524933606672,-0.06034619057787368,-0.06049341813020298,-0.4884749129056487,-0.403501294245809,1.2200323763708083,-0.031517906535034036,0.9419448873882815,-0.04563233004050837,-0.021177679958871737,-0.44968948704239775,-0.033850725243436706,-0.04917894515823074,-0.04928510432955795,-0.0790476357554218,1.367911577176727,-0.21347340277511107,-0.3890130985433,-0.02749652333348165,-0.03780535371626385,-0.5187575232803058,-0.24434982198190783,-0.03645346246265615,1.412302603953843,-0.21532120217777023,-0.04999465624584727,-0.1398037520994693,-0.051951469050708694,-0.06954965022002287,-0.06244321002532575,1.5266842022844866,-0.5346442826570889,-0.04443552574560918,-0.05340530084261709,-0.5325991661732332,-0.036586109811366875,-0.03248294328349207,-0.08591921916343592,-0.36054615176734295,0.5690234932139042,-0.036760511668309154,0.5277005606880952,-0.046203120571201906,-0.48880850671793774,-0.04632244728976627,-0.033113239823062475,-0.04862196549769,-0.04069378133092721,-0.5322480425050573,-0.04811483238038209,-0.040261147031878025,1.4344102595617092,-0.038817594838194455,-0.04560914453940956,-0.05873158879893923,-0.030645923600343225,-0.03777503150868449,-0.5274435010694812,0.3945276466122321,-0.043812781111910316,-9.027907087670776E-4,-0.03829104519229805,-0.5264428882891931,-0.533688024537481,1.373728840837235,-0.24976816422160592,-0.30050534538931745,-0.049867070128976614,-0.45362811063515185,-0.47324145745183394,-0.280879687795825,-0.034850353438322365,-0.05748478811847481,-0.04686422359385991,-0.02666445621155616,-0.05218728156524205,-0.22394172026675807,-0.12422002798824472,-0.48728585591745227,-0.04438276374356625,1.2382533526517019,-0.10356795647442602,1.208512561762339,-0.054629387956957084,-0.0465262189057785;-0.1930600632887163,-0.1910502105940808,-0.18889532540794923,-0.1373896805376452,-0.19041067134741604,0.3805731989338993,-0.19174835329744935,-0.1890336684328627,0.03751139596954867,-0.19018115182998016,-0.19285920321212663,-0.1466600523008741,-0.13205612589969748,-0.19312423250424085,-0.19183462690454117,0.7315146940708983,-0.1890491469838954,-0.18947869643834525,0.25465111234885474,-0.07084573995734242,0.8470759614142616,-0.1936314652275743,0.7882244396664664,-0.1914600427638282,-0.19576979563233451,0.30249882832427166,-0.19180801822560117,-0.19360806106812342,-0.19122337762783423,-0.18683627380765108,0.8836895268189364,-0.15437928499947134,-0.07930333359388146,-0.19416438042840067,-0.19393559131695925,0.19624839069835207,-0.1459986607567421,-0.19555108736131144,0.8886274940573027,-0.15446065911863804,-0.19302475434943206,-0.17303219008636578,-0.18900299893925862,-0.1897704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x_a{288}	=[-11.154332293454118,-13.308571248752413,27.61043762300154];
std_x_a{288}	=[1.5992125872112684,4.634432054921263,3.320772285103407];
pred_a{288}	=[-11.154332293454118];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.8 to 28.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{289}	=[-11.020157708556145,-8.26905076220008,33.36773975836227];
std_x_f{289}	=[2.976444823082031,3.7920489078029536,3.2023887204024684];
pred_f{289}	=[-11.020157708556145];
obs{289}	=[-10.966539041552492];
sqrt_r{289}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{289}	=[9.866623544711766];
L_f{289}	=[-0.08602185687337861,-0.08316067160248794,-0.09520609404260935,-0.17684021338843617,-0.08512143412083367,0.005883994724326759,-0.08256882575718515,-0.08769836848994059,-0.21011873497682126,-0.086360940632019,-0.08619088768767902,-0.16598988794870015,-0.17564790525279583,-0.08731683355514526,-0.07767053216522908,0.4450132823690993,-0.09169136047728745,-0.09199570387129079,-0.1354276306131198,-0.20819017238774556,0.8281793108702803,-0.07898401197967694,0.6504591247077763,-0.08564553785718003,-0.07426592388573793,-0.108504816305436,-0.07949077703554626,-0.0876397257313519,-0.08777923295098934,-0.10109004258038298,0.9248372846320659,-0.1554823379866316,-0.20472243607305865,-0.0769092044164919,-0.08210704502665848,-0.16306938395781428,-0.1660571747752117,-0.08191577267596366,0.9538832650821091,-0.15618624433115186,-0.08790143580733437,-0.1266724684302274,-0.08800142919078507,-0.09694246976443908,-0.09323760387831057,1.0301300984673398,-0.20063829174797015,-0.08499863829129217,-0.08921755999440331,-0.19078737453966566,-0.08052053071260842,-0.07959598444649962,-0.1038280990915102,-0.20029390456713758,0.42561342593890716,-0.08242563547866019,0.40695778146942513,-0.08632943352822686,-0.13563803515071016,-0.08549414959669399,-0.07963906853500148,-0.08828560760316216,-0.0832226737965929,-0.18033847396132816,-0.08717804522710322,-0.08252844437456967,0.9689487744776891,-0.08192427795770145,-0.08647996924016846,-0.0917417593510872,-0.07847699095926636,-0.08217560164721405,-0.17438390944433496,0.1732722335763124,-0.08423181542919289,-0.06352404626380084,-0.08146918950745503,-0.199589934211795,-0.19111904455479614,0.9285978438210636,0.002072714281783471,-0.02361705878022668,-0.08806362533340488,-0.21272621714708223,-0.12575322103557005,-0.01436671915464051,-0.08079556598409927,-0.0902626097553163,-0.08586618750077825,-0.07705906409073483,-0.08816034958865823,-0.1583896332700088,-0.12024311109812535,-0.21313620296618632,-0.0854969659997549,0.8399386103943712,-0.11066491069318726,0.7989379587840307,-0.09060257297543685,-0.08562207053035402;-0.23225721562420681,-0.2307604413091741,-0.22700924704061828,-0.1393919940407468,-0.22945919667756987,0.295291218996539,-0.23099693895631632,-0.22801132589133283,0.11827782990769438,-0.22954765240999497,-0.23199450912610886,-0.15714701396239986,-0.13434288145496112,-0.23163524284304987,-0.23253265000343798,0.5976416826237135,-0.22799675306653472,-0.22811649883773616,0.3067770922421249,-0.030697092968047957,0.9523187464397318,-0.23352630629043922,0.7661868225756394,-0.23070064489067815,-0.23479630228177745,0.33067551746131113,-0.23160668295319886,-0.23248493789077218,-0.2308586261588786,-0.22324372587329339,1.0633791711347382,-0.17175462780177836,-0.04438817129176877,-0.23448682395456596,-0.23336186076374846,0.26874550917548234,-0.156159134293971,-0.2344441374378546,1.0943660756793039,-0.17160273339119964,-0.2316145078293197,-0.20386790944306774,-0.22762339489375857,-0.2269278515771202,-0.2290355855739774,1.1799362245018352,0.18474379390306284,-0.23255467166990498,-0.22966572580367256,0.21002082034690556,-0.23061411429721856,-0.2342043853243525,-0.22012996433028176,-0.07391789727792139,0.5626517079866824,-0.23517448216071496,0.568703110907742,-0.23188012679972,0.3075460507731677,-0.23024138923683748,-0.23329450739371194,-0.2327578196385597,-0.23206282860017086,0.23884706637726397,-0.2319816814679713,-0.23012366466865386,1.1087711215343612,-0.23167618333661863,-0.23302779848086203,-0.22843857095754896,-0.23428310889560883,-0.23335808299451982,0.2501593832227134,-0.14183001254735236,-0.2296185085230519,-0.23596742287871608,-0.2301352950875129,0.17680102924786298,0.21052833795976816,1.0640768114427108,0.38302007220127215,0.3747514832966064,-0.23197565165971043,0.031145639378120264,0.3154542899935238,0.37693588075187584,-0.23388206628069216,-0.2266415260624584,-0.23037903558705433,-0.2361371347443907,-0.22950151973639668,-0.16416803045476472,-0.20968331861757777,0.07877229070149047,-0.23307701044813653,0.9653810101659867,-0.2154001210824776,0.570120594826215,-0.2302751823486326,-0.22958692755822496;-0.06052965272020554,-0.06701546361168699,-0.034463262074102184,0.2344357674247485,-0.061495069504917906,0.23024653779521043,-0.06916738532755608,-0.053318658045067246,0.5202335389202545,-0.05789837218287005,-0.061623019326588535,0.19565203211520388,0.2360965716994028,-0.058941398483901786,-0.08144907553860585,-0.32707833653101426,-0.04270660798062317,-0.04243403761325687,0.5126470563190945,0.39611687767626513,-0.6020257249131565,-0.08021709688068823,-0.5155431020637885,-0.06190827615585449,-0.09374614496744438,0.4780290492873288,-0.07612045178864088,-0.05771759184689011,-0.056851144289864305,-0.018009892214214427,-0.6209335253476249,0.1568010728679112,0.37844576183190903,-0.08478594747901361,-0.0717141510731494,0.5389359450538839,0.1964750958004052,-0.07390944851199814,-0.6273460222121885,0.1589540658331427,-0.05655462223599176,0.06140829508367901,-0.05301344657800194,-0.0304081211486471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k{289}	=[0.8986482056938345;0.9584789327227217;-0.7409433258544281];
x_a_linear{289}	=[-10.971973389661617,-8.217658399476406,33.328011364904704];
L_a{289}	=[0.030670060256035,0.029649939000211536,0.033944589749169585,0.06305025487065474,0.030349025334444276,-0.002097867673409177,0.029438923470002824,0.03126780034406441,0.07491531218800465,0.030790956499006178,0.030730326163423523,0.05918170160838127,0.06262515172021126,0.031131768643921125,0.02769249570062613,-0.1586641428246151,0.032691453695724175,0.03279996367878987,0.048285095697834214,0.07422770635194922,-0.2952773898450221,0.02816080115831338,-0.23191339124707314,0.03053588822904355,0.02647862349563635,0.03868608950230215,0.02834148215456356,0.03124689197257715,0.0312966315967607,0.036042440955317515,-0.32973962987622624,0.05543536082717398,0.07299132660395034,0.027421053432613512,0.029274281094854533,0.05814043097514797,0.05920569191850195,0.02920608523470515,-0.3400956254682506,0.055686330182936554,0.03134020155797507,0.04516354773943657,0.03137585299828449,0.03456367366517948,0.03324274821555385,-0.367280518462354,0.07153517398067989,0.030305243955756116,0.031809449834971124,0.06802294772403585,0.028708628464493225,0.028378992593777484,0.037018662130179195,0.0714123868662018,-0.15174735693671887,0.0293878706953937,-0.14509591088811247,0.03077972301943564,0.048360112909512656,0.0304819125623941,0.028394353708248082,0.03147717339926019,0.02967204513809781,0.06429751767642998,0.031082285331904734,0.029424525972866208,-0.34546705196082705,0.029209117690790872,0.03083339472013739,0.03270942280906883,0.027980028900979382,0.029298724134795857,0.062174489190734164,-0.061778134507207406,0.030031842471050837,0.022648736000732687,0.029046861367826145,0.07116139468814821,0.06814120068577031,-0.33108041210431344,-7.390013913489277E-4,0.0084203787524148,0.0313980282861843,0.07584497864935709,0.044835801117716144,0.005122281222119563,0.02880668898836184,0.032182049779947104,0.03061455821026225,0.02747448410019068,0.031432514158085595,0.05647192205433407,0.04287123757606228,0.0759911541707083,0.0304829167170903,-0.2994700269035726,0.03945624522131439,-0.2848517368418179,0.032303259584349285,0.03052752123542163;-0.1077961156310083,-0.11043905974385862,-0.08925989331484177,0.11647004243859105,-0.10630087728355844,0.28677793548509567,-0.11153187214181143,-0.10112455773038176,0.42228904095245123,-0.1045959475969965,-0.10728884615967006,0.08301618168045638,0.11979405878155645,-0.1053005001718584,-0.12015470070421523,-0.04622773206201776,-0.09533270697794306,-0.09501211217792153,0.5027211521383469,0.2705237688565638,-0.24593611306939397,-0.1192479429747455,-0.17493280799579872,-0.10678402371259438,-0.1273443253680972,0.487666185679656,-0.11659510439914526,-0.10568301726166832,-0.10385485889864919,-0.07698115546129063,-0.2747257006243392,0.05320567320422383,0.2518153810733695,-0.12321040503968093,-0.11456492341965839,0.504683160840891,0.08410141558822762,-0.11592394333125214,-0.2857640999803229,0.05437601758920989,-0.10443393083170634,-0.02059129425808495,-0.1002981420317934,-0.08666621504095923,-0.09413435045525609,-0.3105120156479897,0.4750381841818752,-0.10957401995913953,-0.10058090876749105,0.4860623679616469,-0.11411263212997182,-0.11904058696744114,-0.06990582487519234,0.2158782149014887,-0.05314893954181463,-0.11591659082720071,-0.020105535795062832,-0.10697400817769734,0.503794535395196,-0.10654380482581526,-0.11806837263484368,-0.10502140199726627,-0.11165173888903222,0.4997705764726139,-0.10584774529645422,-0.11071702383426808,-0.2931566523111762,-0.11314368332591984,-0.1079038766053701,-0.09570160503788736,-0.12073833116169182,-0.11446195420402014,0.5024675055933328,-0.39252970182434926,-0.10774733782543584,-0.14405737860183812,-0.11226124179222542,0.46557859883852665,0.48704976378707426,-0.27946904183274046,0.380021156473818,0.40892192812573536,-0.10456041003666561,0.3389294974095734,0.49740088806351507,0.39772243122022866,-0.1169826481275124,-0.0960446742072387,-0.10614316650671053,-0.12464389070413856,-0.10194633220143594,0.06499870345243344,-0.03570904721925224,0.38714933850914723,-0.10937535111202348,-0.24988784331065192,-0.05528411084804028,-0.585826286475697,-0.0991864532209231,-0.10570426018463765;-0.15674316166661317,-0.16002880129158287,-0.14094913338474507,0.03664397274194231,-0.15670147588802044,0.23682765333521738,-0.1615187567630396,-0.15140730746485845,0.28522046756493613,-0.15449113867417844,-0.15802558543073486,0.009996081992276891,0.039638346805076566,-0.1566033096746372,-0.16832181594400636,0.17065899419777925,-0.14526132898107125,-0.14532915984341618,0.36117430249600596,0.16326086012868815,0.3242741764356037,-0.16855893486746676,0.21198077487907416,-0.15770088076064803,-0.17681090771386385,0.3566688567295442,-0.16502909507361713,-0.15574065066234863,-0.1550302387875622,-0.1310768274062453,0.4134761420686157,-0.017102419344598902,0.14946832922848247,-0.17080715994922785,-0.16354903116488906,0.35654651284940564,0.010743886877914907,-0.16553039478861675,0.4395509199672675,-0.015736729767569922,-0.15487039787543122,-0.08027200708086295,-0.15144106256410308,-0.13883608958575103,-0.144587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x_a{289}	=[-10.971973389661617,-8.2176583994764,33.32801136490469];
std_x_a{289}	=[1.061215665305423,2.370142752686729,2.2300134818886463];
pred_a{289}	=[-10.971973389661617];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.9 to 29.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{290}	=[-7.282054903552672,-3.624436186774368,30.182826848269833];
std_x_f{290}	=[1.5560964336290335,2.312764683698424,1.2677803883273273];
pred_f{290}	=[-7.282054903552672];
obs{290}	=[-7.16035818300523];
sqrt_r{290}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{290}	=[3.429387842259154];
L_f{290}	=[-0.08917248177637092,-0.09189629401666992,-0.07603921665432538,0.07181237761174805,-0.08863166559831138,0.18999197570455734,-0.09281164150850477,-0.08492037120894885,0.28187904016594045,-0.08730635486706999,-0.0893237309908592,0.04866367393041267,0.07434761603892823,-0.0881261031815767,-0.09875584434813217,-0.004191777016647881,-0.08022266243417972,-0.08018744195614569,0.33311274648533923,0.17931198039574875,-0.05368557011686094,-0.09801631149289419,-0.05373302914815757,-0.08924921696081412,-0.10450533831766073,0.322420002319048,-0.09627756559951668,-0.0880134522843141,-0.08705654046408176,-0.06732381693583923,-0.03936440300578886,0.02735760409779399,0.16707224897604933,-0.10102300796050834,-0.0946507791021316,0.33562084797686487,0.05051763755542017,-0.09573101301953385,-0.03581645912616625,0.02804488370145834,-0.08711121242969216,-0.02570399315307925,-0.08468029202858929,-0.0748634527530465,-0.07915904874220207,-0.020080778720657482,0.31637690811993713,-0.0910745907117002,-0.08430131149035923,0.32374549480600234,-0.09443930535871302,-0.09811393380499174,-0.06202607997156464,0.14217949037826808,-0.011667588151270628,-0.09644878687506367,0.008614936569307369,-0.08836438397864756,0.33359099001290266,-0.08807619920797796,-0.0971949644298406,-0.0879734310212188,-0.0928048597016866,0.33241846766058086,-0.08776573321474453,-0.09197394470534415,-0.03474013567821074,-0.09320018155199171,-0.08983177506065475,-0.08104499181518358,-0.09916486476526748,-0.0941860680871788,0.33364253421950474,-0.30208347865105034,-0.08958385054757617,-0.1170314392106134,-0.0929648244349381,0.310109200382677,0.3241490519640675,-0.041184371278719434,0.25185036598321503,0.27049375552424965,-0.0871671543257725,0.22614098767501198,0.32885438451797294,0.26292721001371894,-0.09628593415898985,-0.08093246729045904,-0.08829394188177142,-0.10214068035396082,-0.0855792887397659,0.03512798400383038,-0.03723333453366367,0.2587212177460008,-0.09072063792035086,-0.05274006825286151,-0.0509934790095257,-0.3900540692803732,-0.08338161149782865,-0.08870098666743347;-0.16601546088413288,-0.16869862901676258,-0.15023775642171652,0.040324359028175126,-0.16547161366044733,0.2631937376443666,-0.17025419390952598,-0.16069600598130934,0.33999661555852395,-0.16376475151777706,-0.16686766040109735,0.00926954115250965,0.04371233572078896,-0.16526556460925873,-0.17709766094069157,0.1401461938384482,-0.1551003069140091,-0.15475931405777124,0.43467579169847836,0.1887222301362968,0.252817939350674,-0.17729640044183864,0.1632014151821699,-0.1662018016701663,-0.18497702706108202,0.4265778082878355,-0.17413645995433472,-0.16476529484844266,-0.1637901182885727,-0.1391984245061986,0.32376173678609527,-0.019570081465713113,0.1719093574923449,-0.1798755132071245,-0.17259553744620817,0.43062549726816424,0.010905319352603488,-0.17432052062467718,0.345041943317378,-0.019180430076948397,-0.16387550723378516,-0.08763464428942076,-0.16038703736815474,-0.1480231932113761,-0.1539159900975918,0.41019081220292514,0.39307164633441727,-0.16827426522916708,-0.16047506753676177,0.40664904142814995,-0.17164742399641514,-0.17694587324100766,-0.13271863758428695,0.1361191663883171,0.1227350270228727,-0.17510187543959646,0.14257408354509696,-0.1657455812108407,0.43535548557744597,-0.16460058583465167,-0.17563287475325043,-0.16632546853114225,-0.17022754020835518,0.42207090391563856,-0.1649844360897084,-0.1697020377727102,0.3557485964491253,-0.1709830850110484,-0.1675884118378397,-0.15615089326917295,-0.17778311147664586,-0.171813068181293,0.4255679056946702,-0.37642489754091313,-0.1658089568339863,-0.19893614615885835,-0.16978675087568604,0.38394570710044057,0.40720575665423026,0.32418240641618795,0.35199828522638865,0.37255648196141533,-0.16395815739826358,0.2566948957395815,0.4308380437758287,0.3635395342801811,-0.175050527650588,-0.15530662551354174,-0.16483416641720744,-0.18192398810303373,-0.16075810123957238,-0.007933693597561471,-0.10184399991441442,0.30536931641627124,-0.16812457074033402,0.2603641634595604,-0.1184116706347903,-0.2359929526738625,-0.16043399216157697,-0.16545674663937712;0.0021513964686256026,0.003637198167151553,-0.007219661744236728,-0.09091527318721958,0.0012363364857482168,-0.10232146219259755,0.0036981053398841847,-0.002228951145991017,-0.15064259400753602,3.6529683625226235E-4,6.770155314984916E-4,-0.07844125412037792,-0.0912449297302021,1.0467969984434462E-4,0.008536869566342729,0.09603411814614478,-0.003915953033452236,-0.004043600642625903,-0.15082231835795573,-0.13053582239052786,0.2945711132340288,0.0075268769709461916,0.20809598790355335,9.159078756629793E-4,0.01185240964830714,-0.1468811210090232,0.006656762469295837,3.7897988959900285E-4,-1.2758818517202242E-4,-0.01394149119035553,0.3408179800347712,-0.06902044402985351,-0.1259758086349639,0.010376786041171843,0.0056819219787784155,-0.15375499764282152,-0.07951236786549999,0.0058868047600233045,0.3560020203333945,-0.07023550537926432,-4.7439982633293656E-4,-0.03906745786650206,-0.0019439746167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k{290}	=[0.7084027686581996;0.910064676835857;-0.35424733523862073];
x_a_linear{290}	=[-7.195844609780241,-3.5136843001173768,30.139716109308623];
L_a{290}	=[0.07458574152612218,0.07686399544115934,0.06360080202153995,-0.06006538483877249,0.07413339148644252,-0.15891328927544085,0.07762961135845357,0.07102918670781423,-0.2357695649222055,0.07302487368282158,0.07471224955408258,-0.04070332162098733,-0.06218591164558433,0.07371052843509814,0.08260146778482434,0.003506090565953995,0.06709992416560284,0.06707046501611257,-0.2786225157523406,-0.14998031630289696,0.044903741340972206,0.08198290693183412,0.04494343707412712,0.07464992445025798,0.08741046561212161,-0.26967887936693635,0.08052858325260441,0.07361630485245765,0.07281592365564261,0.05631105817062789,0.03292521559827074,-0.022882476155920317,-0.13974274720273125,0.08449777117149251,0.07916790476979123,-0.28072034465472945,-0.04225401583717423,0.08007143516556045,0.0299576406257769,-0.0234573312889606,0.07286165243894553,0.02149936114049931,0.07082837942584347,0.06261736833561354,0.06621029527636278,0.016795986177196364,-0.264624308125068,0.07617670549369229,0.07051139212320522,-0.2707875491948629,0.0789910236776429,0.08206456028937514,0.051879919415493796,-0.1189219197270263,0.009759016422424164,0.08067179633300008,-0.007205714357414702,0.07390983151141652,-0.2790225287095087,0.07366878770071669,0.08129591495260696,0.07358283022524863,0.07762393891242157,-0.2780418063233899,0.07340910740627296,0.07692894411231277,0.02905738102899864,0.07795459443259012,0.07513718831230481,0.06778773777624905,0.0829435810747503,0.07877921069113451,-0.2790656413693139,0.2526689827303815,0.07492981902884324,0.09788756017000189,0.07775773678380421,-0.25938186539004404,-0.2711250928998587,0.03444747538611619,-0.21065294950062627,-0.22624667309985985,0.07290844341883568,-0.18914908410298253,-0.2750607321314793,-0.21991785510072195,0.08053558289197056,0.06769361989426047,0.07385091225823986,0.08543261589699853,0.07158031920588463,-0.02938178553574498,0.031142745052760844,-0.21639987459943255,0.07588065192557196,0.044112903671817805,0.04265201964951978,0.32624943719203636,0.06974213568267579,0.07419137308839915;0.04436002205092035,0.048102864544688886,0.029153762205902763,-0.12909521212016478,0.04362797717906368,-0.18503482846045644,0.04870678503140721,0.039647908959953994,-0.32501166976535195,0.042208169753165575,0.04386464928036536,-0.10553766955380184,-0.1316883632132626,0.04264130471509809,0.05588686560303933,0.15003542307897644,0.03416078592235068,0.03441868672005195,-0.35120291794000147,-0.23431011930978896,0.37947279424528146,0.05394342214762533,0.28996823529777116,0.044354714708879424,0.06157169043457407,-0.33407460762108465,0.05300131792656126,0.042875808777319946,0.0415934415041888,0.019631746178377943,0.4166301321455628,-0.08411206862777128,-0.2222470499913748,0.058457699728923423,0.050704330036748436,-0.36117031876927247,-0.10827575742971444,0.05152783185644558,0.42954003886872855,-0.0853438454604946,0.041637034515507744,-0.026993851690427954,0.03939048340638066,0.028594466333017116,0.03283582813242375,0.4575653321996271,-0.35332391773821364,0.046588668070545916,0.03840836335527948,-0.35713047284693594,0.051153535190915485,0.05452425964871564,0.013613126079195887,-0.19931031091163848,0.1502611701010313,0.05243984722128568,0.12224974799763537,0.042723439539150296,-0.35165149492517794,0.04318855016730475,0.0536692280194599,0.04122121703667645,0.048717439111886904,-0.36216986495747827,0.042072249362927035,0.04728264908789298,0.43770743257147565,0.04889453657187365,0.04434247406810857,0.035050236865848024,0.05616637495236601,0.05039045430544469,-0.3615606777637134,0.3362496455685895,0.0455370262170529,0.07716411540233914,0.04953561681975836,-0.34766309747133173,-0.35752582859980114,0.4213444661070403,-0.24216643146234604,-0.2655916699767436,0.04168636232416386,-0.2768163237064491,-0.34499434958266206,-0.256757643520912,0.052106993313662864,0.035629037060642216,0.04346866752431891,0.0590460345847649,0.041140330196001905,-0.09080754046293922,-0.014003215652677063,-0.3050050955616018,0.045903318071068115,0.38478839285970556,0.0018920100463287325,0.6842215749584173,0.03627968494286436,0.04380638628288902;-0.07973833744390389,-0.08075389328463692,-0.07704872890371871,-0.024967837643147466,-0.0801567498956748,0.0721538022166592,-0.08153357685302434,-0.08021384585256361,0.10821528607924065,-0.07981071740620116,-0.08135161501912164,-0.033751959508600535,-0.022969309570530345,-0.08082413372474404,-0.08215355033535679,0.09218468502870832,-0.07758680248860803,-0.07768210608854231,0.15508499328293945,0.034131685672789486,0.24527006245877533,-0.08248440798319313,0.15875135409273602,-0.08104429423188171,-0.08411794103379992,0.14920672663211218,-0.08175778057844174,-0.08044638287601841,-0.0800741904545515,-0.07576694838327862,0.3046684816294928,-0.04389714505438051,0.027451591166775428,-0.08239563742547582,-0.08123869479540909,0.1544555779610721,-0.033120523488245256,-0.08202582284864139,0.3231107039866523,-0.04448105716642121,-0.08047120898271538,-0.06267219688311751,-0.07970839749383665,-0.07723031886402287,-0.077602450218807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x_a{290}	=[-7.195844609780246,-3.51368430011738,30.139716109308615];
std_x_a{290}	=[1.3015518249165772,2.0420692135994454,1.1909740903289434];
pred_a{290}	=[-7.195844609780246];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.0 to 29.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{291}	=[-4.6288373202203,-3.2637237233877823,24.838181434335088];
std_x_f{291}	=[1.4417764049361734,1.5948681775645603,1.564878230703397];
pred_f{291}	=[-4.6288373202203];
obs{291}	=[-4.775534764445264];
sqrt_r{291}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{291}	=[3.0796761399003785];
L_f{291}	=[0.03093441561919463,0.03364570780403747,0.019120788970024782,-0.1021463257810188,0.0300628788925431,-0.14001225892030952,0.03366996279748893,0.02664388110836294,-0.22404174433642118,0.02897440814853515,0.030340700403476025,-0.08460260619698971,-0.1034801015358883,0.029403019991876785,0.03956576736664355,0.09644811116613052,0.022664518888404706,0.022319222012911904,-0.23601126200263942,-0.17218165798422227,0.26505245979866643,0.03848004170727861,0.20101691404648445,0.03063827507442657,0.04447534722618082,-0.22718729740019264,0.03773816066395816,0.029657988865023244,0.028678353661658225,0.01141874144350781,0.29177378511359797,-0.06901808796875315,-0.1642665330600914,0.041896473525348435,0.03587857785653309,-0.24146887121299618,-0.08609046066736302,0.03674919038090775,0.3006376362770093,-0.06970336261183412,0.02808419814687002,-0.025659393243108522,0.026616394747843903,0.018204207726227578,0.02177016640814051,0.3204283713224043,-0.2387605819094975,0.03268264944827226,0.02626691212934459,-0.2401939253247118,0.03600565476841422,0.03893507482971793,0.006113261428738295,-0.14964603028639437,0.09715743523588,0.0372063848124427,0.07594172812055829,0.028964415763188745,-0.23647126540434033,0.029784057345667816,0.03818160292876474,0.028447095153803583,0.03382131932614986,-0.2419550993015443,0.028778614213640672,0.03352044020068645,0.30665098235342914,0.03466199295584704,0.030772272197429645,0.023564588517059736,0.040251633069458455,0.03573825251839787,-0.24207186904556424,0.27104323286668713,0.03176264089593524,0.05760475078794676,0.03455136066307183,-0.23612971572271424,-0.2409256278835302,0.29474291024773763,-0.17521518794538588,-0.18901042808716614,0.028518660905193578,-0.19738141609539442,-0.23296981663888192,-0.18392919723234383,0.036856561523345155,0.023497610561069516,0.0300857964574942,0.04284885966196553,0.028117531695957713,-0.0738293370727865,-0.015705170091295965,-0.21359981691592567,0.032276387586120094,0.2689433628197119,-0.0030975160704919957,0.5244117468506212,0.024635047916901395,0.030430468031441903;-0.017708063231968305,-0.01524203305462778,-0.02926176018849405,-0.1251288911870029,-0.018509198988272305,-0.09991102473083242,-0.014389733464161582,-0.021901272110637797,-0.14895409749559022,-0.020080337735076434,-0.0187244803063054,-0.11379063001691571,-0.12590942955931786,-0.019651716496346127,-0.009123165852933665,0.14480709753671764,-0.025872664178203227,-0.026250005791749305,-0.12561374364478126,-0.15372387946986957,0.39579749096162925,-0.010714119341501075,0.2887322383179374,-0.01819698034578148,-0.00481750494405513,-0.12187300139986335,-0.011137798571821076,-0.01958802845539263,-0.019907012378696354,-0.036751468805338014,0.44878250255578267,-0.10370865233347033,-0.15185318633761083,-0.006421173527867543,-0.012836808928865942,-0.1299468729331952,-0.11519113889768162,-0.012358760484347536,0.4657130175561449,-0.10464052124463107,-0.019816265049527326,-0.06925044795937078,-0.022329190962294927,-0.029755471055051733,-0.02715477176580534,0.5079910006607001,-0.1419405847860565,-0.01574275681169507,-0.022354356407304,-0.13783194329011106,-0.012449348756445537,-0.01037551511268258,-0.041518759242855544,-0.14744274414939415,0.14103297749215038,-0.011939878529199439,0.11976088482252505,-0.01932308706989311,-0.12544699476170926,-0.018779179169921025,-0.010423171261774928,-0.021031748460539547,-0.015357729905563274,-0.13373203680453244,-0.01974465153731503,-0.01506331020342266,0.4762241832064805,-0.013955752220096002,-0.018550415297230883,-0.025566674643747945,-0.008390745604060506,-0.013080680662391545,-0.13285036172756118,0.2628551903318403,-0.016831270556444726,0.009128255955652451,-0.01338758119309562,-0.14364937786305282,-0.13779724569604357,0.4529833150689692,-0.10456313850458206,-0.11001709595276764,-0.020447165715698105,-0.1559673883226403,-0.12433845953923024,-0.10850069202390378,-0.011754814157800294,-0.02444057678066105,-0.018656652326463793,-0.006156638068114007,-0.020298885429338144,-0.10619441882709858,-0.06076615566052399,-0.15304200004204238,-0.017286232374544228,0.4027702501477972,-0.04925670534352759,0.640667944360599,-0.02471783104258495,-0.01828829391402026;-0.09935517566745011,-0.10325510546548052,-0.08855940481160252,0.057585023396222484,-0.09969402713367559,0.16598403017342442,-0.10344536976213811,-0.09702789839221417,0.29638520049306133,-0.09811600920597846,-0.10058526409201238,0.034576490413830145,0.060996239322404444,-0.09939119069187269,-0.10798974298180054,-0.032103312012486965,-0.09291685822485356,-0.09035840558713622,0.345248601848872,0.17798659727796695,-0.014378747444934328,-0.10773891234675001,-0.045181799862612344,-0.10097981635172677,-0.1129527113302823,0.32778697159243203,-0.10638396341573426,-0.09946466914809812,-0.09836432354688084,-0.08149271835518862,0.017046200561495032,0.011351217420667045,0.16353704170871275,-0.11027137654729621,-0.10475907075294645,0.3523526029567778,0.03649669381452547,-0.10610319302600249,0.026644788281593116,0.01208093536660844,-0.09837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k{291}	=[0.6752905323244969;0.6693128279625711;-0.5243946908416524];
x_a_linear{291}	=[-4.727900715421619,-3.3619102046368745,24.9151087952467];
L_a{291}	=[-0.029771119382633323,-0.03238045276425658,-0.018401747042007702,0.0983050883119683,-0.028932357006938136,0.1347470638094835,-0.03240379564276903,-0.025641931467474472,0.21561659995265356,-0.027884818470465714,-0.029199730972261206,0.08142110457744164,0.09958870710460022,-0.028297312261006822,-0.038077887044581885,-0.09282115644604862,-0.021812214133373416,-0.021479902231015365,0.22713600099064835,0.1657067247834912,-0.25508509746763897,-0.03703299036317549,-0.1934576240157927,-0.029486115275206157,-0.042802840957277107,0.2186438637270446,-0.03631900793724908,-0.028542692967555253,-0.02759989718470178,-0.01098933688933692,-0.2808015608334245,0.06642264595436156,0.15808925006066024,-0.040320946430309666,-0.03452935519438652,0.23238837547689792,0.0828530079179395,-0.035367228122656476,-0.2893320847141494,0.06708215067752155,-0.027028085032813825,0.024694465508264443,-0.02561547873823996,-0.017519634059209203,-0.020951493996039385,-0.3083785843461297,0.2297819320525346,-0.031453610452609464,-0.02527913849876093,0.23116137423938418,-0.03465165334803388,-0.03747091185417618,-0.0058833707432082594,0.1440185548560684,-0.09350380621132771,-0.03580722964619763,-0.07308592093130613,-0.027875201851204966,0.2275787058523483,-0.0286640206122683,-0.03674577444764255,-0.02737733520938143,-0.03254946037229145,0.23285631883970603,-0.02769638741419845,-0.032259895879650564,-0.29511929744620735,-0.03335852026531294,-0.02961507340375018,-0.02267843642434003,-0.03873796060053041,-0.034394306824782325,0.23296869742905105,-0.26085058605477873,-0.030568199046044065,-0.05543851009911056,-0.0332520483268632,0.22725000022971859,0.2318655609451977,-0.2836590312934647,0.1686261781113427,0.18190264488636707,-0.02744620971325322,0.18995883985094608,0.22420892992084596,0.17701249495588725,-0.03547056154712143,-0.022613977190703936,-0.02895441275127556,-0.041237517854209545,-0.027060165065666244,0.07105296686357206,0.015114573343432263,0.20556734375699162,-0.031062626166769712,-0.2588296821325553,0.0029810332239482208,-0.5046911153368534,-0.0237086409376321,-0.02928612286670534;-0.07787622991008485,-0.08068372686507816,-0.06645214490200653,0.07354811732050529,-0.07698220621418495,0.1724161152223001,-0.07987860380791745,-0.07372424815176842,0.2868123699247725,-0.0764362437376811,-0.07773785691182318,0.050763430862287295,0.07536180419291805,-0.07684128262519518,-0.08607951489049702,-0.042786749389953964,-0.0699556870141251,-0.06966141807540338,0.33343371743853617,0.1811734990369639,-0.11973578356111436,-0.08555870641001488,-0.10225039210759776,-0.07778914669219296,-0.09132310239621788,0.32001164078629074,-0.0845394095447355,-0.07727351504532486,-0.07568708543422066,-0.05896118974802144,-0.11872437881316117,0.030533153680544687,0.16764908784348512,-0.08791080091666796,-0.08262148756058936,0.33971576655449526,0.052256833955428524,-0.08383680097308716,-0.11903426301010007,0.03093416008381518,-0.07444069164039613,-0.019342323994270934,-0.07409870538509601,-0.06516308367001486,-0.0694982579715885,-0.11524972550840569,0.32245436824421253,-0.07931127944659247,-0.07344411890914328,0.32935089642841,-0.0824811949735898,-0.08610515231733046,-0.05340919664820925,0.1436223079217157,-0.04794052145002618,-0.08430717295114819,-0.027947564292212353,-0.07565955764774498,0.3344951837679231,-0.07670987192277699,-0.0846872878798404,-0.07636201827369388,-0.08114099226099948,0.33687632776280657,-0.07571973372691104,-0.08026135557613936,-0.12021919705251952,-0.08137414457753994,-0.07840320920262026,-0.07140035409802951,-0.08668111958115296,-0.08259242320771776,0.3379851227410436,-0.2643302788508789,-0.07861035489699245,-0.10291434053386815,-0.0805907911364403,0.31562847849460396,0.33080877272608483,-0.12029858458893361,0.23623452719607496,0.25761263660937694,-0.075916632600201,0.22794411299634057,0.32879331870586337,0.24924592689657793,-0.08344169404645359,-0.07014398253365793,-0.07717423475576216,-0.0894986789149643,-0.07498814655796497,0.03740537996702873,-0.030219230081140247,0.26241467270783914,-0.08006456612280337,-0.12033092235564699,-0.043231963660614915,-0.3793252496563581,-0.0726335792317243,-0.07747627066935946;-0.05221448771780239,-0.051982702845693826,-0.05942140016063596,-0.09807487747671396,-0.05388146645087173,-0.047379438144114244,-0.05213600516797345,-0.05642551881089429,-0.04503007262768458,-0.05396215965957526,-0.05434933361571345,-0.09434868818190059,-0.09669619086768866,-0.05458418327084791,-0.047695812885316706,0.11487312897753905,-0.05837859425376258,-0.056346336532993806,-0.01440691554081272,-0.08439953956086164,0.389532399656309,-0.04909951017596201,0.26114613386394697,-0.0542904144125212,-0.045177115021920206,-0.01842178258946253,-0.04887510733928532,-0.05426911687030819,-0.054661628868045445,-0.06409179720017236,0.46167774379947946,-0.0938248488696404,-0.08678730483402217,-0.046425703528549085,-0.05008401680550752,-0.015619717824431913,-0.09469581331799648,-0.0501014201955619,0.4847838775120488,-0.09413941501514438,-0.055576115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x_a{291}	=[-4.727900715421619,-3.3619102046368745,24.91510879524671];
std_x_a{291}	=[1.3875580519382755,1.5450197295909878,1.5373487735244862];
pred_a{291}	=[-4.727900715421619];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.1 to 29.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{292}	=[-4.428667136672977,-5.103472397834954,20.864443413898744];
std_x_f{292}	=[1.4628852044170073,1.8712439935777123,1.6824306254044055];
pred_f{292}	=[-4.428667136672977];
obs{292}	=[-4.757898857619197];
sqrt_r{292}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{292}	=[3.1458741183954393];
L_f{292}	=[-0.0764264162004895,-0.07992285522410339,-0.065958629612735,0.07457502615093087,-0.07634353889909029,0.1622995459685827,-0.07950810827136241,-0.07290468668863723,0.27869610857616844,-0.0754221308690007,-0.07675602078963767,0.05207001584234224,0.0767233064849795,-0.07595881145874919,-0.0844521325415335,-0.05631241097164924,-0.06942499101038994,-0.06885781160934198,0.31656287011816286,0.18058182147734228,-0.11347813773464469,-0.08457411571466505,-0.10632792424754572,-0.07749587644350103,-0.09040088459355985,0.3034525257134905,-0.08449888739277202,-0.07631946830685281,-0.07531850942577747,-0.05791954936096938,-0.10690190021416683,0.031934554333428455,0.16744494151422687,-0.08783124738582328,-0.08201411569723743,0.32357628692646023,0.053408801180342205,-0.0825873958929861,-0.10538815314206368,0.0323051512619674,-0.07424016441896261,-0.01891795440167903,-0.07316732052167592,-0.0648460216477573,-0.06855621055944727,-0.09662777066433753,0.31049255476499177,-0.07877275230723711,-0.07243440822884695,0.3155556301273337,-0.08190909504172945,-0.08533933667615697,-0.05258957230997051,0.14387161066861512,-0.06072278236951684,-0.08298810393790716,-0.04248696071340064,-0.07535190913363468,0.3172419768258501,-0.07617560015837474,-0.08394334674826946,-0.07622310792546132,-0.08042823934597515,0.32167801444838084,-0.0747201193422808,-0.07947278350356417,-0.10525721676647136,-0.08036079093199382,-0.07752480136430293,-0.07061396936040254,-0.0857321646858249,-0.08104889937828469,0.3227139937350278,-0.23952151947462952,-0.07754630548383662,-0.10114779794254974,-0.08013681616364515,0.30442061167909934,0.3164947995410727,-0.1075561645884403,0.22252169402780925,0.2431548752636252,-0.07502347307439947,0.22462058566176082,0.3122846882002573,0.2350397927935345,-0.08261912877458999,-0.06970640351435461,-0.07628731574476916,-0.08836578723645398,-0.07413501593997847,0.038417129105455326,-0.029612158453632496,0.25653751358354215,-0.07934998010483461,-0.1129727041221865,-0.04243127129698705,-0.2637998188818944,-0.07191581120408216,-0.07679284183076866;-0.12603356577431066,-0.1291764714729078,-0.11459604233556045,0.05289140805275411,-0.1259224159618458,0.18957436929342125,-0.12857583498475145,-0.12232423994761539,0.3501772728157178,-0.12459874690456177,-0.12644588305141902,0.02374262475641605,0.05571954361915719,-0.12533365856036294,-0.1338216868779038,-0.03277039600840563,-0.11827620176502109,-0.11763764964237808,0.4122889751757648,0.20172174142155244,0.01955216849622935,-0.1334417536665785,-0.028590989463348874,-0.1266842153025324,-0.13905399366746668,0.39383678069039474,-0.1331991448238511,-0.1254474753433559,-0.12474187908251548,-0.10722845001219374,0.057377703091355724,-0.0023746959793396866,0.18285852897462657,-0.13562450682154376,-0.13065736359661165,0.4225106534881253,0.02553603870358278,-0.13143148923299727,0.06924735312061125,-0.0029096212754462806,-0.1231451719488387,-0.06429470467781934,-0.12262301789537823,-0.11296946018878372,-0.11861109879832303,0.10460728400658897,0.39981513843839833,-0.1275736547995839,-0.12142744587562486,0.4085102665354175,-0.13004862315763063,-0.13423777312360907,-0.10090547663691865,0.14847478397016992,-0.03996767828094336,-0.1328757975177796,-0.025477138981200822,-0.12470566534875818,0.41454374883614786,-0.1250590305477439,-0.13244567003339386,-0.12554054049448557,-0.1293734924306528,0.4176721677752794,-0.12379134178468883,-0.12759639722413552,0.0760022446967964,-0.12899128974264948,-0.1271684907563321,-0.11997383569729969,-0.13401045005276604,-0.1300881962757029,0.42016783686067727,-0.19929666753553674,-0.1263863564753979,-0.14842680229522148,-0.12963488013953264,0.38943853129709394,0.40975528638233644,0.05892422418222629,0.2770103817144371,0.30683304659532623,-0.12417911721664644,0.26772942957443674,0.4061143386477487,0.29493552487045865,-0.13136944989094795,-0.11852445799553642,-0.12553300006998494,-0.1366792062182239,-0.12319075461732541,0.005817609747417834,-0.0757988400666203,0.3159945367592398,-0.12856442435773174,0.023847048291277487,-0.08995014653614744,0.031189344172983986,-0.12128027248287393,-0.1258037453305773;0.006228254019958636,0.00928515844601724,-0.008793471533891543,-0.14333504409685094,0.004585336089267863,-0.15488032707706195,0.008164984148301604,6.290509853409928E-5,-0.1958557867195028,0.0038086687436919707,0.004662119556936059,-0.12674915021377384,-0.14404714806075575,0.0038371433480227277,0.017242904037792033,0.11119076830084373,-0.004986387067768034,-0.004007890329242543,-0.1831693556085141,-0.19039472878877414,0.3673374302351946,0.016226983265986903,0.2656863192749445,0.004895941601463509,0.02356914010308122,-0.18324525557680976,0.015080726389457089,0.004696325304253914,0.002559848928622214,-0.019264478405968885,0.4139696408073512,-0.11145421704403974,-0.18597994499075196,0.019841835399241003,0.012041922345592343,-0.18608024810626447,-0.12750566638918104,0.013049711400266558,0.4288591638424042,-0.1123825424650446,0.001230482002685643,-0.06453237272188732,6.41564074174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k{292}	=[0.6821233265016811;0.8116059103090588;-0.5538474374676637];
x_a_linear{292}	=[-4.653243773354686,-5.370678808416129,21.046787558877877];
L_a{292}	=[0.0713961905466343,0.0746625013220833,0.06161737161235028,-0.06966665508853191,0.07131876805455806,-0.15161733188178647,0.07427505213973733,0.06810625384958574,-0.26035291803179106,0.07045800515924053,0.07170410125633092,-0.04864287713156336,-0.07167354013826352,0.07095936256356859,0.07889367115144566,0.0526060467538514,0.0648555844077957,0.06432573555965516,-0.2957273691292233,-0.16869630654449103,0.10600924585193382,0.07900762564918824,0.0993296443482488,0.07239526117022323,0.0844508888797636,-0.2834799199646241,0.07893734869690655,0.07129628173797566,0.07036120386103932,0.05410740668125802,0.0998658424263398,-0.02983268926584454,-0.15642406833598468,0.08205037977780584,0.07661611943798283,-0.3022791776232208,-0.049893546439962355,0.07715166753937362,0.09845172699646297,-0.030178894285540228,0.06935383325007671,0.01767281451051701,0.0683516016772063,0.06057799315892559,0.06404398525527275,0.09026793443185609,-0.29005658914006044,0.07358809575548704,0.06766692812695738,-0.29478642355194035,0.07651801102070055,0.07972248137961555,0.04912823748740187,-0.1344022844483692,0.05672613680069512,0.07752600182522704,0.03969055849594964,0.07039240527051176,-0.2963617784645548,0.07116188268784374,0.07841837256688282,0.0712062635938182,0.07513462212609642,-0.30050584543924336,0.06980219855179563,0.07424205237371236,0.09832940857717795,0.07507161302458315,0.07242228231369433,0.06596630670845462,0.08008945427753023,0.07571443162305366,-0.30147363875245814,0.22375671782867812,0.07244237107739784,0.09449046304008829,0.07486237980348438,-0.28438428855211384,-0.29566377881406586,0.10047704449829044,-0.20787578506746146,-0.22715093379654883,0.07008558618055168,-0.20983653207725525,-0.29173076812934523,-0.2195699689529753,0.07718131182958396,0.0651184749337961,0.07126624538977024,0.08254973734195327,0.0692556054223902,-0.03588859462770636,0.027663148588656816,-0.2396527550647212,0.07412733163589223,0.1055370788147006,0.039638534439564915,0.24643707073286406,0.0671824640654752,0.07173849881413115;0.04984914729540837,0.054752715736626996,0.03719679714831208,-0.118730638076722,0.04976956875311472,-0.18393110033443608,0.05439888094493033,0.045453797120845844,-0.29119556834643945,0.0489727701470813,0.05019536027866883,-0.09608787510517182,-0.1208464131680633,0.049472939800460164,0.0605308803936371,0.09682327217051981,0.04149389319424017,0.04082717605511559,-0.3162279332641074,-0.2138573511422988,0.28070326953059604,0.06119153763345754,0.2161050818880921,0.051659683027628724,0.06898863919009815,-0.30450884590992133,0.061261020978326426,0.0501891148983535,0.048591170414683145,0.02606378044722137,0.3033946848722655,-0.07586677288245353,-0.20248821456578314,0.06650453246235409,0.05808451252385421,-0.3221464697813442,-0.09737545342706122,0.058629696115745346,0.31178069723827584,-0.07725456550490115,0.0477062454785496,-0.020758172267769662,0.045759427352808996,0.03626289671338702,0.03915964213689441,0.326980061734893,-0.3147319466526504,0.05370876141918293,0.045268323365581536,-0.3176886462282657,0.058451565353532235,0.0621565472223515,0.02012069620872841,-0.18262185088609476,0.09977572771987758,0.058107550894381854,0.07229954991595053,0.04870424803302008,-0.3155360109861383,0.05024647102676606,0.06073601117362372,0.04987429232153049,0.055718752461241326,-0.32261639642536843,0.048164612244846944,0.05529702461499743,0.3182342604763868,0.05594573381828309,0.051241973478641796,0.04253249561030466,0.06328789876325848,0.05643239467510081,-0.32250486173587756,0.35192235826917645,0.052073595921834345,0.08434806806497555,0.05478670266315469,-0.311134984488414,-0.318604968921434,0.3064468868380604,-0.23508636713495243,-0.25274754456186566,0.04847495508242703,-0.24919757003602894,-0.3125570441200424,-0.24596955077021576,0.05876476341838056,0.0418932611380576,0.05002959638616496,0.06667998781905372,0.04741868103624355,-0.08259303713796998,-0.007651371853372564,-0.27438397549323346,0.05404638583981818,0.2838349777489136,0.007698382411407562,0.6382808468090962,0.044222031772793706,0.050922235514811315;-0.1137957486286048,-0.11622983314974311,-0.11237831992671528,-0.026218560278279558,-0.11530851175239551,0.10000328651659816,-0.1166986673502905,-0.1144303911101352,0.24182301776794538,-0.11463815220148872,-0.11587951121090366,-0.04497570027236491,-0.02355689353144873,-0.11545250859366109,-0.11538509925954073,0.022754841305683365,-0.11401498894605652,-0.11214576429802108,0.31397737258330044,0.09320031722805189,0.18912548492707723,-0.11659258872477517,0.09870343958547484,-0.11680759680739276,-0.11840109154334817,0.2933123086874165,-0.11762070314801475,-0.11515972083257901,-0.11572423953485679,-0.11022433877241732,0.2460853595297546,-0.061302538809628944,0.07698426428304896,-0.11809290487705597,-0.11675729301787513,0.32208071311417086,-0.043629718608118595,-0.11664981287671013,0.26335214937416285,-0.06164885961830438,-0.11536011760722133,-0.09424210820465598,-0.1148415935762602,-0.11236412471487116,-0.11307737982151815,0.31238546957817864,0.29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x_a{292}	=[-4.653243773354684,-5.370678808416129,21.046787558877874];
std_x_a{292}	=[1.3666011831356786,1.7686779092869342,1.6240590456234696];
pred_a{292}	=[-4.653243773354684];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.2 to 29.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{293}	=[-6.242760089336798,-8.668051817584322,19.64822079140779];
std_x_f{293}	=[1.5852112731965042,1.8484582835220589,2.6045701516083795];
pred_f{293}	=[-6.242760089336798];
obs{293}	=[-6.712183549088585];
sqrt_r{293}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{293}	=[3.514905940785063];
L_f{293}	=[0.044845959860179564,0.049544490129719496,0.03121974089733157,-0.12540377926326382,0.044833030336094364,-0.1797768266141451,0.04904853970858633,0.04009643260345229,-0.2565014583513141,0.04356483411242185,0.04474078973386552,-0.10401629222270864,-0.12735941574057827,0.044345656797507994,0.05632672881789743,0.08577624804915139,0.03551285123494625,0.035003240678513625,-0.26644899323561083,-0.20651562263070955,0.2562441665781839,0.05610670755229299,0.19930064648194767,0.046076515530653235,0.06488444592651367,-0.2606645778222208,0.05592642940265283,0.04484963626073447,0.04298354882960828,0.01975701637089206,0.2745315618332428,-0.08420342616153284,-0.19776944930611615,0.060885844523940434,0.052671021944615606,-0.2703380477117827,-0.1050178546755366,0.05376999380143737,0.2809285675945947,-0.0853457843540438,0.04198270162484823,-0.028671829505424032,0.04010849932320724,0.029372731282942575,0.03388079459909595,0.2925105096667455,-0.26786795399493013,0.04841084713865794,0.03926973048766132,-0.2686918249155731,0.05306294549019885,0.05720974800889569,0.013407917988950628,-0.18146772917493945,0.088016650882255,0.05312204070394147,0.06109896166742684,0.04316966612767173,-0.2664741467707899,0.044900488923814395,0.05583730967272871,0.0438715459049857,0.05045644020601287,-0.27091378684223266,0.04254157114291847,0.05003040968597909,0.28674406100829164,0.05057995331005943,0.046097977173356064,0.03664447787423356,0.05876111358358398,0.05190727390565738,-0.27076615138623145,0.3490135895757983,0.04718145176189074,0.08085530142284403,0.05031350835267698,-0.2663497256906551,-0.26974407860125543,0.2771849076972149,-0.21691781975533794,-0.22910061642080196,0.042907830429445064,-0.23143660540094788,-0.2648484445606953,-0.22469822531318934,0.05365318913565391,0.035933935558352566,0.04432217606464319,0.06177931336760243,0.04197891338411357,-0.09025590541648308,-0.015830687963849954,-0.24711681311382383,0.04771621920338015,0.2590451416542173,2.945293999038715E-4,0.5782020006367191,0.03802064537511367,0.04534020692206239;0.003904988994365972,0.009915313177609797,-0.014360664505030641,-0.1829785521621049,0.0034624993697519825,-0.1906567503946376,0.009529568151144512,-0.002678329364163475,-0.1972319299518231,0.002503661676418864,0.003739364189482065,-0.16473321871983107,-0.18432071722596183,0.0035149827580834873,0.019927315045185322,0.10305706016108857,-0.008362997649320981,-0.008541919395396416,-0.16904096628004414,-0.22135647688795337,0.3910053600546522,0.01920106200198866,0.28549531325387767,0.0051018051807398285,0.031114876648846813,-0.17463859012706623,0.018834474393259346,0.003785953652627913,0.0013867840946615393,-0.028626100316090565,0.4312059862593852,-0.1468281358963221,-0.21937659734191947,0.026183789512436308,0.015504692494282223,-0.16729862148592073,-0.16549377807299803,0.015825366870034795,0.44542250014903606,-0.14839726328084926,1.533442317198224E-4,-0.08801686700782131,-0.0022677096344755126,-0.01606225491126319,-0.010837817196851457,0.474220246795537,-0.179114858328826,0.008571493800216016,-0.0035957384881435805,-0.1745171205105515,0.01515820728783715,0.020349723873041597,-0.037083667246687005,-0.2152358810549308,0.10541926052971873,0.01537521700392539,0.06853625632204192,9.885798337000654E-4,-0.16829276125416623,0.0039343244794086425,0.01899782014730435,0.0024039547687291778,0.011154938845950185,-0.1699437009190111,0.0012359053518480006,0.011191202987324006,0.4557209758033145,0.012048070781901465,0.005328414776715211,-0.006559538772218137,0.023443306188031265,0.013717227434441022,-0.16914049681991017,0.4770468244529848,0.00737375026181964,0.05350017535773016,0.011216878569482008,-0.18414028121821538,-0.17482798654027684,0.43569315735616526,-0.19193307995781053,-0.19000902776675446,0.0011968724666307018,-0.21746024731844607,-0.17130191821017152,-0.190971420376898,0.01616064420620347,-0.00740011626312558,0.00320336207139963,0.027122612332809732,6.250039973380164E-4,-0.1518325847593363,-0.07307151997155577,-0.20792562528278472,0.008867520341297197,0.3963278485866169,-0.05235850001560464,0.8938812018713046,-0.005301189469724661,0.004336477149534954;-0.15774281878973712,-0.1635596589031281,-0.1430205845297684,0.10538284235237275,-0.15881744490084443,0.27827630774505296,-0.16454213323192268,-0.15370395336227974,0.5064260859389148,-0.15729886739396767,-0.1596504261641338,0.06308184963666352,0.10987274880753942,-0.15854345600680236,-0.17046106253314455,-0.09125578442881095,-0.14875081425941775,-0.1459011179371355,0.5801877174486983,0.31161503471837254,-0.09885350906030413,-0.17087644005507172,-0.12818000545710764,-0.16118795759095875,-0.18066893265938044,0.5534373809984611,-0.1720695317387294,-0.1588174051955196,-0.1578566616145911,-0.1296899317970103,-0.06697693115642206,0.025763145852631626,0.2856413747322923,-0.17704120934588066,-0.16756834561547518,0.5925153028494132,0.06544733179323173,-0.16818641545414942,-0.058347766214665864,0.026986862938530632,-0.15630173018058585,-0.06477104035060663,-0.15397479258324562,-0.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k{293}	=[0.7154973655492335;0.7676428110079337;-0.9507371720420468];
x_a_linear{293}	=[-6.5786313381162085,-9.028401361781253,20.094519124022398];
L_a{293}	=[-0.03643598289466796,-0.04025339630414171,-0.025365093062066343,0.10188676907371032,-0.03642547804830344,0.14606322174379352,-0.03985045162155962,-0.032577135979061395,0.20839965914620642,-0.03539510706155482,-0.03635053535523835,0.08451008420846898,0.10347566442699911,-0.03602950182278337,-0.045763759636770374,-0.06969060125888354,-0.02885311506703499,-0.0284390719386235,0.21648172968318155,0.1677876829287271,-0.20819061738026015,-0.04558499902834504,-0.16192573352768103,-0.03743577207300426,-0.052716645362911645,0.21178206751260834,-0.04543852849684009,-0.03643896985866984,-0.03492283039075666,-0.016051976873365736,-0.2230485716481321,0.06841273115481392,0.16068168224009763,-0.049467902939714516,-0.04279360862387867,0.21964146854955965,0.08532382333932856,-0.043686489942546376,-0.22824594490593275,0.06934086255598569,-0.034109672377269654,0.02329499229530565,-0.032586939823063175,-0.023864453741913733,-0.027527118525710492,-0.23765592173647967,0.21763459228476156,-0.03933234573995048,-0.03190546557120609,0.21830396243238595,-0.04311203462362105,-0.0464811859609965,-0.010893526909038224,0.1474370288152385,-0.07151086064364513,-0.04316004769333345,-0.049641054158215646,-0.035074045053343536,0.2165021661679931,-0.03648028610583924,-0.045366121417914386,-0.035644301095137644,-0.0409943280956404,0.2201092391396925,-0.0345637369187413,-0.040648191213099504,-0.2329708570096351,-0.04109467874841579,-0.03745320900709723,-0.02977252740653607,-0.04774162346125185,-0.04217308649501621,0.2199892898072159,-0.2835629612887839,-0.03833349926507663,-0.06569248130201964,-0.04087820029774085,0.21640107781217077,0.21915888665325017,-0.22520433472723086,0.1762391527530238,0.1861373057259119,-0.03486131148600447,0.1880352259574802,0.21518133240496248,0.18256049640813338,-0.0435915896924955,-0.029195233314758432,-0.03601042443914229,-0.05019381928995201,-0.034106594546512374,0.07333018707038069,0.01286195406810392,0.20077491938343134,-0.03876798159997337,-0.21046632471882398,-2.3929620885211465E-4,-0.46977159749832464,-0.03089062178289908,-0.03683754364949731;-0.0833007814596186,-0.08642704290045364,-0.07506940096231454,0.06087693052998812,-0.08371812881694735,0.15893051952975124,-0.0858483813512388,-0.0806483473667242,0.3015511793368853,-0.08221087972973207,-0.0832618963839566,0.03753295935572016,0.06333762276395342,-0.08271791713684061,-0.08960352784527888,-0.06374021257206292,-0.07741995534666543,-0.07660790753062775,0.3490857460089698,0.18022605225056396,-0.10727742930830883,-0.08990193579288362,-0.10205724404723086,-0.0844968576467104,-0.09505698175585493,0.33223996504092074,-0.08991796127774712,-0.08342696579189851,-0.08219741176644235,-0.06704485286074231,-0.10263778558195576,0.016910686422916616,0.16519845139762224,-0.09221253867422646,-0.0869174000108094,0.3583906001794006,0.03872000075920889,-0.08873374506289776,-0.10086064901317261,0.017562945906302425,-0.08148464171727744,-0.03226270341891918,-0.08026119212740189,-0.07317936579155218,-0.07672113881198021,-0.09458471224440267,0.341771111798491,-0.08556642266358915,-0.0799581825828593,0.34797091808878183,-0.08802600503491914,-0.09089820499610933,-0.06315620136248577,0.1376394545288045,-0.06573461546930628,-0.08792390965360347,-0.050274491463457534,-0.08295753274014797,0.34988286365533333,-0.08337748114521872,-0.08958131664159724,-0.08290700687820272,-0.08696076112455614,0.3568650814516211,-0.08148883728735093,-0.08609605402305219,-0.10187076359294571,-0.08630780813522847,-0.08431198155566938,-0.07781701516183664,-0.09082134995417347,-0.08721970929791799,0.35738119918381056,-0.2016319031907398,-0.08437353009211476,-0.10372800925136244,-0.08662088148332756,0.3337933991284361,0.34970622508465504,-0.10331021127092802,0.2298771713098729,0.2554914326704592,-0.08224008423526329,0.23258268961878645,0.34371242719495204,0.24596831553627643,-0.08817133375738107,-0.07727589873227166,-0.08298387807163897,-0.09301112183492939,-0.08100561548090134,0.023675661566664934,-0.042287758290272724,0.2726084550872818,-0.08391964870928224,-0.10740161178727752,-0.052931230832829884,-0.23046870837183506,-0.07923470953333636,-0.08383038759166055;-0.049737159910047526,-0.04423820125115412,-0.06783190095197407,-0.19663584221944572,-0.05084292509749804,-0.15469278624464916,-0.04641510763521192,-0.057136912862689376,-0.11132430003139666,-0.052378633175177124,-0.05189805584872971,-0.1874278553794045,-0.19685583174866736,-0.051742711953149265,-0.0348054655187857,0.11532514762528087,-0.06322273306134867,-0.06160036745271789,-0.06152001189784775,-0.1857509701730623,0.5182772231537288,-0.0357507356293262,0.35180966820676857,-0.05021866550123131,-0.024403187535720138,-0.0743393365043226,-0.03737800377824854,-0.05080289218347347,-0.054336377361485055,-0.08210772868912815,0.5941966129379684,-0.1770298493437757,-0.19066060977594956,-0.03040557539452388,-0.04071704291772488,-0.058558708151657195,-0.18747450606521798,-0.038688382039599824,0.618232133865104,-0.17855735331866876,-0.05519185618795962,-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x_a{293}	=[-6.57863133811621,-9.028401361781258,20.094519124022405];
std_x_a{293}	=[1.2879361042712079,1.557542793941537,2.3015034309994573];
pred_a{293}	=[-6.57863133811621];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.3 to 29.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{294}	=[-9.625248488919452,-12.907828205897838,23.571028516117927];
std_x_f{294}	=[1.3499466877033617,1.883217394369226,2.8591156095168544];
pred_f{294}	=[-9.625248488919452];
obs{294}	=[-10.226372060031514];
sqrt_r{294}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{294}	=[2.8299098133733422];
L_f{294}	=[-0.08691233360153351,-0.08862622816508181,-0.08163459290495881,0.03283275750038608,-0.08743246995807134,0.12619071249882616,-0.08862910386825806,-0.08538760963118733,0.2607795459593093,-0.08614019290990907,-0.08659579867109644,0.010610641402935751,0.034765282689060116,-0.08611400996132813,-0.09044203066595631,-0.048396503060247356,-0.08318819906265706,-0.08191692678373505,0.30500626191764835,0.1457982393225579,-0.017616228227320892,-0.09048382191646247,-0.04379757775731578,-0.08762065205683908,-0.09401245547234868,0.28915091695738354,-0.09133413291121434,-0.08655106644134405,-0.08627658879831945,-0.07568985624210658,2.495552611094902E-4,-0.0077825072349709135,0.13146994623997738,-0.09222522860403443,-0.08887835303457853,0.3134123068504927,0.012158936080051506,-0.09025569160406635,0.005847548820312575,-0.006889659915241299,-0.08574016114843447,-0.049404789086406144,-0.08497440028489371,-0.07960982110232155,-0.08242157602264283,0.021947119871785915,0.29814970806762187,-0.08789793116226025,-0.08434349233132538,0.304649664291755,-0.08983756820998987,-0.09167215535173678,-0.07296919749354397,0.10542447002976668,-0.05133368526031669,-0.08995431597078397,-0.04293005045021508,-0.08636621991155394,0.3058804532571376,-0.08747054313456097,-0.09032339399128332,-0.08731741581170288,-0.08924251575279722,0.3117171912128623,-0.08539725908087349,-0.08799539112718843,0.009098243880816084,-0.08842615842595228,-0.08733659992728379,-0.08380983154507193,-0.09117075647126456,-0.08882106405427577,0.31218085437180304,-0.08280461397234626,-0.08755129293891796,-0.09804524496920433,-0.08867013803021546,0.2918961467875225,0.3055864089301743,6.242914915145344E-4,0.19338988253071238,0.2178052013969412,-0.08596215133259447,0.19654604986988386,0.3001482074713425,0.20849504326154808,-0.08952700020785793,-0.08251709235077433,-0.08627486998972178,-0.0928625272058259,-0.08525792852190983,-0.0013306517322854946,-0.05746695416110466,0.23441147038943433,-0.08767900135887151,-0.015561591081133813,-0.06539151871468697,0.0793626041383263,-0.08427819452497902,-0.08680877908972133;-0.12085573509082373,-0.11898124007604914,-0.12711985407854148,-0.08124666626199177,-0.122100279457918,0.045241450639543226,-0.12032394920558592,-0.12410410798964665,0.23480851211351866,-0.12216800505743368,-0.12228906481841938,-0.10060892398764784,-0.07950074046685315,-0.12184940273149433,-0.11589861517471381,-0.0021337896184370412,-0.1257061698759735,-0.12397927255910081,0.31344495158149754,0.05638245090019214,0.2503549167944548,-0.11616837043344644,0.13682904469826815,-0.1223827628856767,-0.11281346417308279,0.2874223056688642,-0.11768034135836,-0.12178732711544679,-0.12306132583190917,-0.13018285681092603,0.3057390797625767,-0.11548175591338454,0.036874031034931365,-0.11410487962826184,-0.11795576997326311,0.3262455584081489,-0.09937248819694602,-0.11742304296774181,0.3226191365030219,-0.11461557168842462,-0.12253524264506158,-0.13394326767763243,-0.12360754209416638,-0.12736080331116714,-0.1256660202878447,0.36653940760395226,0.29819946366711503,-0.12044389233286111,-0.12329159802076409,0.30921234141594156,-0.11841038143286109,-0.11662160094868636,-0.13144436061686388,0.0019282290811543173,-0.00527902003436861,-0.1191076453348688,-0.02034159478535173,-0.12362485045386869,0.31378373388380704,-0.12208869550694328,-0.11606341246448298,-0.12416562048375167,-0.12005181872446083,0.3227518405555292,-0.12222491554605724,-0.11847723080909908,0.3361618537300576,-0.11869326070168737,-0.12186609417760966,-0.1258700028901856,-0.11444308170450915,-0.11700548647657398,0.32365333567704024,0.23801828976553766,-0.11998125307115638,-0.10155166441143197,-0.11923255135713015,0.28544953054615074,0.3112879455797248,0.3100670767517479,0.14020242027720453,0.17576570172581202,-0.12297210612245874,0.13224883835508044,0.30454719645918216,0.16177706691147795,-0.1168831909223761,-0.12425250437355476,-0.1214629729119333,-0.11386161289719361,-0.12169926956067925,-0.11003947014171653,-0.1346909728364599,0.19115059015247635,-0.12101602880764271,0.258883485845371,-0.1322331851910235,0.79316486349485,-0.12488531861713441,-0.12146933547314953;0.09733239802736197,0.10543865017583864,0.07346032763350678,-0.2324465735296968,0.0973851173767365,-0.34241336251957344,0.10449104800070555,0.08827653568156874,-0.48856568659214733,0.09526278113553935,0.096134678760134,-0.18834594803396817,-0.23556368836241945,0.09474412441149589,0.11729037288328556,0.16258702341441264,0.07960474718344118,0.07924224979099646,-0.5017411505594918,-0.3963190188826482,0.4348911728375758,0.1168693316322834,0.34707540998423786,0.09869096813101197,0.13242895524539933,-0.4939146949627273,0.1162484070405703,0.09705004382141975,0.09356550664815731,0.05050173791658369,0.4641575941370168,-0.1485431174352596,-0.3788276216725522,0.12457403079596338,0.10935029333764798,-0.5093206052822394,-0.19066461207065644,0.11333227436649206,0.4736958232166683,-0.15114761299243099,0.0914507563791583,-0.04018046646545489,0.08774382044857111,0.067536489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k{294}	=[0.6466318483810732;0.6819081176035968;-1.0519344161644888];
x_a_linear{294}	=[-10.013954134813076,-13.317739248722015,24.203371088938407];
L_a{294}	=[0.09540386318275469,0.09728520908240566,0.08961047540377115,-0.03604059141755828,0.09597481802586126,-0.13851982763882342,0.09728836574822164,0.09373017026679521,-0.2862582914598421,0.09455628261680979,0.09505640208092264,-0.011647324824207711,-0.0381619286439037,0.09452754153553146,0.09927841955302341,0.05312494976434659,0.091315872361451,0.08992039393462209,-0.33480605658667206,-0.1600430537325992,0.019337373166169975,0.09932429390227072,0.04807669916276747,0.09618138593700046,0.10319768285683803,-0.31740160892519753,0.10025768218497434,0.09500729941217215,0.09470600468889515,0.08308492465926477,-2.739373688502161E-4,0.008542875616112288,-0.14431485433618124,0.10123583992206041,0.09756196711613638,-0.34403339092978086,-0.013346891357760363,0.09907387474759179,-0.00641886743215627,0.007562795114245887,0.09411716685660655,0.054231747592716414,0.09327658944223285,0.08738787886274699,0.09047434853403223,-0.024091402620748766,-0.3272796020743336,0.09648575583182241,0.09258404036905872,-0.3344146185743413,0.09861489976177597,0.10062873017473568,0.0800984514596746,-0.1157246767869183,0.05634910124143101,0.09874305404018656,0.04712441249545288,0.09480439296256801,-0.3357656583772596,0.09601661103693633,0.09914819180961895,0.09584852283179758,0.09796170934725036,-0.3421726586991532,0.09374076248932006,0.09659273785352757,-0.00998716267806435,0.09706559208182716,0.09586958127842224,0.09199823972917323,0.10007834350105738,0.09749908087419376,-0.34268162278681985,0.09089481014900676,0.09610525027796996,0.10762448491656403,0.09733340903967366,-0.32041505385604646,-0.33544288526121496,-6.852861679640573E-4,-0.21228450703529986,-0.2390852572183085,0.09436084597877345,-0.21574903898986317,-0.32947335934424565,-0.2288654757885394,0.09827398857050372,0.09057919702127391,0.09470411794884907,0.10193540402409729,0.0935878190227978,0.0014606593857309444,0.06308160424562487,-0.2573139958712066,0.09624543609647992,0.017081993370665547,0.0717804164984296,-0.08711650824787426,0.09251236282083689,0.0952901911632897;0.07140651563047838,0.07707238538612032,0.05346729527338527,-0.15387732284235472,0.0713125857095272,-0.2339100736582805,0.07573603771464459,0.06478523982915735,-0.3420723558894476,0.06838616234481001,0.06927296631797605,-0.12408114839112526,-0.15640641334183725,0.06864684432255394,0.08417181965405435,0.10492605125596983,0.05831777382073483,0.05723243886289138,-0.3612716044050208,-0.26614366802642486,0.28932448012171436,0.08399451249273002,0.2337154188965349,0.07144638743204931,0.09515525023077272,-0.3522200073224182,0.08436354854219583,0.06967575006567435,0.06779456837259872,0.03725370270658801,0.30518702858419927,-0.09826576026298225,-0.2539558974559157,0.08991023870915876,0.07865559100081426,-0.3670663459194075,-0.126269757206484,0.08223518376636767,0.3096835397837993,-0.09937467931886043,0.06713399849143763,-0.024652956940928304,0.06436772879625034,0.04874726732039288,0.05666204590770634,0.31798930558108646,-0.3613494352013505,0.07399863818853845,0.06328801614149304,-0.3647153706940514,0.08032289781113802,0.08617004191760048,0.02997372082317254,-0.23128545934598246,0.10827827910819258,0.07988389630212792,0.07462568754512498,0.06742932032257107,-0.36286665574319127,0.07140839285760969,0.08374458142931616,0.06899272880293209,0.07736512116957142,-0.36681023064456986,0.06668577820649411,0.07618089480031404,0.31603526439974716,0.07691778248530702,0.0713346930587511,0.05952907889381128,0.08723939663616853,0.07947914325191259,-0.36693442334917575,0.4211936895358526,0.0736944651665989,0.11533814499955374,0.07691820887463678,-0.36026561519530925,-0.3647119768262113,0.30868605656403736,-0.2876030768407206,-0.30604989916887565,0.06718820838275616,-0.3025385428193033,-0.35942266290478775,-0.2994431606511749,0.08116306841757011,0.05828685731328277,0.06938911904730209,0.09156329917702553,0.06690320548745396,-0.10709588220230684,-0.007566024152341922,-0.32740040283532756,0.07294219833579829,0.2933079041308162,0.012422009822035385,0.6176036714010613,0.061549847654989394,0.07056383816911972;-0.1992578217426173,-0.19700027189220295,-0.20511948776437755,-0.12040407784273105,-0.2009800789691008,0.08821517547997208,-0.19795768746667539,-0.20311053053454525,0.4013501589791906,-0.19869249181006648,-0.1993753587078301,-0.15213690456235635,-0.11692640863654372,-0.1991217986553062,-0.19134501452490446,-0.0025670908974362292,-0.2042767828578477,-0.2003010360797743,0.5390993205768054,0.10122062883877103,0.3747754126807568,-0.19190866932289688,0.19761522781964524,-0.2003164037003691,-0.18839058410208992,0.49281906828267913,-0.1954312985905253,-0.1983073439442143,-0.20085522021915359,-0.20779153493610172,0.46500920686757113,-0.17510109183926004,0.06981641574602462,-0.19014655817605486,-0.19394901030519304,0.5602056761495091,-0.14917197949810324,-0.19466722695939526,0.49365071014541606,-0.17465872659076329,-0.20113939952109675,-0.20877537866751397,-0.20223315992874646,-0.2041337487677036,-0.2042071563390727,0.5671555291131885,0.510765069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x_a{294}	=[-10.013954134813073,-13.317739248722015,24.203371088938397];
std_x_a{294}	=[1.481839501492707,1.9932614832136757,3.0227200300829815];
pred_a{294}	=[-10.013954134813073];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.4 to 29.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{295}	=[-11.86538211684492,-11.554503324072058,31.55655884438498];
std_x_f{295}	=[1.065407725625361,2.750078326766416,2.7258260641755974];
pred_f{295}	=[-11.86538211684492];
obs{295}	=[-12.329092768246571];
sqrt_r{295}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{295}	=[2.135256310490278];
L_f{295}	=[-0.012754946807949788,-0.00857826811531155,-0.024328263301166796,-0.1222628867165652,-0.013090222407293538,-0.10777466079740555,-0.009626881315246796,-0.01755943905400358,-0.062806788412722,-0.014062434008991025,-0.014074794776437246,-0.11410231430433394,-0.12349130079440593,-0.014320570356151861,-0.0033560650625593345,0.047364956901550966,-0.022069624110614063,-0.021467372408510602,-0.027749186940523526,-0.11913352298495512,0.23065906049636312,-0.003693339544131252,0.16214747339174304,-0.012988992320257714,0.004084667701367757,-0.038739221611804556,-0.003910898832232498,-0.013215235925910137,-0.014992285454911656,-0.03482507636362087,0.2578436691045926,-0.10541597112880856,-0.12222440089954112,3.416077339790877E-4,-0.007117108589606384,-0.023256739328398873,-0.11481585635508797,-0.005151239057881081,0.2670000691373618,-0.10597114636616972,-0.016312214936017644,-0.07131984456858205,-0.01750550061701258,-0.026976001060173126,-0.022588961801837944,0.2875531337783795,-0.03668662209602304,-0.010328100336834501,-0.01722216163386063,-0.030406085959183454,-0.006475290721903745,-0.0018084422122368118,-0.0392392608631615,-0.12630157119446475,0.04770582069474318,-0.006991151484138676,0.024395940055359652,-0.015481156944713121,-0.027813714358120176,-0.013182242237438952,-0.004233094952538069,-0.014567156993094733,-0.008743459205631248,-0.024930841126177442,-0.01547181431556296,-0.008753319039956929,0.2746872256992524,-0.00870294476130128,-0.012751936426942029,-0.020885740585372993,-9.299884016636176E-4,-0.006645401109898497,-0.024866462010014422,0.28976859044450737,-0.011454117845507017,0.019854592283542766,-0.00858648528552207,-0.0416591504335824,-0.030524635979968014,0.26146505251609786,-0.08726614191914717,-0.0775481988136775,-0.014782593767328689,-0.09902228373698035,-0.03186207925283721,-0.08179809497629766,-0.005605348600678674,-0.02079601287537061,-0.013752284556685413,0.0013091089428348005,-0.015386909680243994,-0.10809346060139412,-0.062477323940750326,-0.07947692951075515,-0.01204515293356453,0.23542449796258424,-0.04944996174241922,0.5695424084733788,-0.019777362513167567,-0.012735809944340017;-0.18000424342682603,-0.1772977907607167,-0.18764943125948158,-0.11609752294328546,-0.18227890196793092,0.0810171715928403,-0.17872323706176194,-0.18463128858336444,0.3930453621221312,-0.1812619102367997,-0.18107245756301182,-0.1468674132658387,-0.11307762915571014,-0.18092295497186525,-0.17226605025184388,-0.020743416254298867,-0.1864098906952385,-0.18382000449334787,0.5191122835613527,0.10298636267248981,0.3078199109228322,-0.17232548514107027,0.16013591862672777,-0.1815357516747192,-0.16756259828137235,0.4759010177762856,-0.1748572128796734,-0.1799917466462458,-0.18224994394508798,-0.19219679356691272,0.37918051149511717,-0.16945565021803194,0.07233533410414056,-0.1697489750666304,-0.17493822396889613,0.5400750235458962,-0.14442769571558528,-0.17454601187725916,0.40237405693503114,-0.16826148393317036,-0.1826275109768163,-0.1982247640221548,-0.1830051130074313,-0.18790726315492798,-0.18624290724213935,0.4585598701556091,0.4951462792454995,-0.1776715655595679,-0.18321347708711522,0.5147013730072018,-0.17561118095972303,-0.1731846051388256,-0.19411906315390307,0.016628437704285005,-0.025841171094771843,-0.17612667432176918,-0.04544854421461767,-0.18208382065998988,0.5209585739937171,-0.18227375261128653,-0.17170243420168227,-0.1840307671177687,-0.1779669223567489,0.5345832094341004,-0.18145385561210278,-0.17619433534907508,0.41891827595573977,-0.17670061545119903,-0.18059000304228293,-0.18659366452572956,-0.1702131021966735,-0.17396822145039068,0.5353952918516195,0.2911495374399977,-0.1786505604504892,-0.1521117503427596,-0.17739954310650533,0.47825795984048686,0.5162754113912813,0.3848292366184895,0.2349004674662753,0.2934039881414725,-0.1818498618202995,0.22611320226913562,0.505562764557851,0.27058835819007393,-0.17373492029982116,-0.18456691946411888,-0.18057905035067867,-0.16957668995229827,-0.18102116767945656,-0.16088810103196516,-0.19929248744029235,0.32264069989648625,-0.18009749645749257,0.3183902634418451,-0.19591928710521,0.9681331356792834,-0.1847701399464201,-0.18044426387285029;-0.1610011737932113,-0.16871567608784907,-0.1382991752427259,0.18873301961487196,-0.16196223163471793,0.3468624092408516,-0.16713247641357465,-0.15347334663320517,0.5267060634954566,-0.15731005740801396,-0.15831244391630228,0.13700806501272786,0.19308193231815496,-0.15727387082987643,-0.17607524156269433,-0.12879034465905956,-0.14429026214100588,-0.14103571032484702,0.5632187195837187,0.3917914948227529,-0.19271145994676633,-0.17638861079404117,-0.20523300459646293,-0.1616864862248487,-0.1908382544871457,0.5485675031301037,-0.17813864995592815,-0.15879334036167855,-0.15730895782431428,-0.11619231146063838,-0.17090689574510312,0.09251689299774121,0.37042008896063544,-0.18339635855122705,-0.16949792228155663,0.5714371216008926,0.1414082338154979,-0.17473172539773463,-0.1637295173093603,0.09428966532534182,-0.155924313498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k{295}	=[0.5316721486375613;0.6042760257219415;-0.5281823619230244];
x_a_linear{295}	=[-12.11192415522176,-11.83471255358598,31.80148263149117];
L_a{295}	=[0.034681660572611184,0.0233249567838773,0.06615037936546299,0.33244199302255684,0.03559330016702102,0.2930474160640371,0.026176215014876283,0.047745436675348585,0.1707763858355095,0.038236816700842356,0.038270426558056375,0.3102527822997946,0.3357821433761228,0.038938708861467185,0.009125393552150012,-0.12878888348417902,0.06000896937432736,0.058371401658356054,0.0754521282705266,0.3239330174555008,-0.6271793496736742,0.010042468257815603,-0.44089118673344385,0.035318047939694994,-0.01110651897681375,0.10533485987964908,0.010634028340186405,0.035933221335249385,0.04076515278220279,0.09469200429009877,-0.7010963469568207,0.28663396129122526,0.3323373471888274,-9.28857145171182E-4,0.019351954036319514,0.06323682501839273,0.3121929568517663,0.014006606787451229,-0.7259932879464619,0.2881435245556114,0.04435414040659389,0.19392402639243425,0.0475987740046446,0.07334977765585106,0.06142108765288911,-0.7818786179552422,0.09975368727503484,0.028082882322857865,0.04682835397948704,0.08267643671557917,0.01760680293751383,0.004917290515934385,0.10669450424741196,0.34342348015310936,-0.12971571779834634,0.01900946718440902,-0.06633439755486928,0.042094431165578976,0.07562758317664346,0.03584350901250714,0.011510103846458735,0.039609196490538526,0.02377412379416402,0.06778883383416971,0.04206902785359959,0.023800933425951125,-0.7468952453330541,0.023663961970073647,0.03467347512002739,0.05678990094557254,0.002528708474335572,0.018069345888507067,0.06761378217081514,-0.7879026114116545,0.03114460869636632,-0.05398613108729214,0.023347299888274768,0.11327436616045672,0.08299878314662533,-0.7109431610731148,0.2372832093376371,0.2108593904599464,0.04019498529791985,0.2692490439513457,0.0866353920892719,0.22241517806142572,0.015241364820018902,0.056545924547307946,0.037393496991744074,-0.003559565766253835,0.04183816575848382,0.29391425673056615,0.16988054713389023,0.21610375442156876,0.032751677594351686,-0.6401369328899738,0.134458168607201,-1.548628684211361,0.053776137527727925,0.03462962599981903;-0.12608980639055736,-0.1410379377682341,-0.08481524153671323,0.4007007677124046,-0.12694727398114022,0.5365745526746142,-0.1380309555225709,-0.11040853520588917,0.6585260960141325,-0.12182079892758697,-0.12157909799057758,0.335436600453712,0.4089130981640773,-0.1203907159578236,-0.1580801534990479,-0.22095240379806666,-0.09312284078106628,-0.09307863838028844,0.6364065235639881,0.606557010248844,-0.6671628609555388,-0.1567139482758976,-0.5252522587132591,-0.12663201752675401,-0.18482825708147047,0.6396495112723093,-0.15832606523786605,-0.12413169360370133,-0.11887840329038199,-0.0449931701288715,-0.7107100597831312,0.2761316833566516,0.588970947393161,-0.17119293159126645,-0.14485460945351028,0.6383799421840817,0.340892419799399,-0.15277201642070476,-0.726220098174545,0.27967254389508317,-0.1136767032367281,0.10324017560681369,-0.10901035434516518,-0.0738812360340201,-0.09076064635016885,-0.7569109239690245,0.6502185509571011,-0.1340152709705953,-0.11041637624318987,0.6432261745331495,-0.14824049418429716,-0.1655404224343864,-0.028256932091304473,0.5504980186814181,-0.22749097056764628,-0.1465754733502616,-0.14856879974053616,-0.11664584793366568,0.6385255677322565,-0.12655316201938516,-0.15380938182572795,-0.12245622036919732,-0.14100881599072476,0.6399644614610203,-0.11605537364953203,-0.13919455202234304,-0.7421690541301278,-0.13991376134445718,-0.12668829071586515,-0.09831082315440365,-0.16628209394701896,-0.14587848770904252,0.6405044170043873,-0.9336858664106509,-0.13023465369008627,-0.23603598630152242,-0.1411049566014023,0.6543488269255572,0.6453013171340858,-0.7203687170317565,0.6037695019467263,0.6211958280580598,-0.1193646760408784,0.6446747817182542,0.6402419671909051,0.6163442682451155,-0.15004142955086153,-0.09666335203600626,-0.122448923192944,-0.1751102192358615,-0.11598157279684865,0.2960168287474329,0.06479561880713648,0.6585851751233754,-0.1291833178876426,-0.6767357424375269,0.013102897694955172,-1.4392903356584639,-0.10117234984861677,-0.12661071727412668;-0.2081264170320853,-0.20040949477554165,-0.22818393469403853,-0.2629872707444701,-0.21032620557227932,-0.05132875388492049,-0.20270056857763014,-0.21834957457971077,0.29465608119703735,-0.2092660265847161,-0.21031408197593235,-0.2845616519506389,-0.26317693535459624,-0.21018356708454444,-0.18847477444824262,0.04620725812147009,-0.22583010860708275,-0.2203504390871831,0.46069479659580775,-0.04836684790517069,0.6594962752016392,-0.1900342595765556,0.3938474337000087,-0.2096764490005853,-0.17574677963623042,0.405439094299493,-0.19258810721565658,-0.20761919725035466,-0.21270041569609432,-0.24485926861526336,0.7817388351319823,-0.2969597042398866,-0.08115800923469205,-0.1821342327424384,-0.19579324742032134,0.4855112832343393,-0.2827977813002046,-0.19376382308025403,0.8227460354582989,-0.297238117894852,-0.21619246735257114,-0.2901592720558259,-0.21710570363470366,-0.2310601050445446,-0.2253954769408729,0.9211275593261553,0.424405945786557,-0.202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x_a{295}	=[-12.111924155221782,-11.834712553586007,31.801482631491172];
std_x_a{295}	=[2.896923810654113,4.117669041010425,3.8178367883545477];
pred_a{295}	=[-12.111924155221782];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.5 to 29.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{296}	=[-9.175725839556014,-4.713773291622106,32.44250699591608];
std_x_f{296}	=[2.0197462283255567,4.462987931870223,3.059584047541348];
pred_f{296}	=[-9.175725839556014];
obs{296}	=[-9.367963807320303];
sqrt_r{296}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{296}	=[5.098990292112002];
L_f{296}	=[-0.14005522223998143,-0.1451016620975647,-0.12438720393982511,0.14692005823835455,-0.14075751434154946,0.25654852145649837,-0.14458684555489995,-0.13460342514638493,0.3714902362050055,-0.13797519538259181,-0.13804633673484232,0.10303669487146122,0.15249246616626888,-0.1372036718886956,-0.14994620823466295,-0.11583051523713252,-0.1281060410317829,-0.1266041421850918,0.3852343522583989,0.30101477341246474,-0.04398972296178569,-0.14974048953450922,-0.10664227736176424,-0.14022677618464224,-0.15897561901841495,0.3773170741326056,-0.15132058457422362,-0.13855090806880416,-0.1374169538255395,-0.1081397248894934,-0.0062109418661269525,0.06466385205488198,0.2868673766159313,-0.15466204130386307,-0.14578723634118596,0.3898232629079983,0.10708781095176792,-0.14901526970063536,0.006770651291046176,0.06669707515989463,-0.13588279458830155,-0.03693364477694678,-0.13328043731287895,-0.11930621810356651,-0.12680865318108697,0.03965167511465313,0.386003905738945,-0.14240354876961972,-0.13348476250852062,0.3873601098185259,-0.14740600155326034,-0.15353971909026692,-0.10079273159135284,0.25663740975223653,-0.11937039119513491,-0.14694343444378496,-0.10051918555101157,-0.13711249393918318,0.38579577368103796,-0.14056976136167781,-0.14894005986623074,-0.13917931993054922,-0.14532586863247973,0.3894920019442699,-0.13583707042356807,-0.143126675468674,0.016145698499526382,-0.1443277597777421,-0.14054310723516417,-0.12988754443537912,-0.15297176008102872,-0.1458550571545797,0.3897353823469172,-0.07073555310896029,-0.1417157592845112,-0.17210542489723474,-0.14504768431922416,0.3849363316337475,0.3884802668106245,-0.0032914270209908995,0.31706397776874107,0.335795795983758,-0.13715096681728775,0.33912582983016964,0.38360312976950733,0.32913835596733465,-0.14811719756628552,-0.12819468830624367,-0.13795983245538068,-0.15607413009734974,-0.13581639244797097,0.07786474480196964,-0.05761700707273156,0.3611528933914718,-0.141832512673151,-0.03887611317208544,-0.08161394550520631,0.43759441291775103,-0.13096339962288472,-0.14019933650830194;-0.24759051914968155,-0.2380144075052339,-0.26963614088161286,-0.20334870365508262,-0.24895526043672447,0.007491016201289652,-0.24078082577029827,-0.25865659564483395,0.3045148257735389,-0.249002006066142,-0.25008128079246,-0.24700129161138548,-0.19991022059849636,-0.24973082083096232,-0.22457902897506893,0.0060201225271810195,-0.26623844305737154,-0.26185407343602557,0.41867537954409817,0.04496605412149759,0.7931437379608458,-0.2264239275498833,0.46199034490356594,-0.24889181980149208,-0.208463566181642,0.378072526397721,-0.2287537626825539,-0.2471187623257051,-0.2521630746706871,-0.28646744095569665,0.9341564149763235,-0.2785141820525885,0.013931467026810258,-0.21617259815436524,-0.23351533944281155,0.4378489776418036,-0.24331143157845933,-0.23061890557762252,0.9821493755084416,-0.27693638232562967,-0.2555473640143616,-0.31520234292228927,-0.2572957888404244,-0.2726834725071524,-0.2662448582380909,1.0918074968215357,0.3961808383466291,-0.24073119297652237,-0.2549324800316363,0.4151816473874643,-0.23309954941052294,-0.22286423212788392,-0.29264153785217634,-0.043574495899347775,0.002587908253623616,-0.23445587434406287,-0.06135119229328221,-0.2525810004133971,0.4203163396672447,-0.24881252159687833,-0.2271580159722888,-0.2526857732600328,-0.2388686912429818,0.43314778261399606,-0.2520770253176437,-0.23663095123881628,1.0205796200366635,-0.23758975413865338,-0.2471310222104412,-0.2643221825747107,-0.21952537343305123,-0.23214204719964257,0.43384276868595645,1.0180782046594383,-0.24498376667863592,-0.1634847079941406,-0.2380626269121587,0.38105080186330376,0.4166188510548234,0.9510455100164273,0.15639981977511327,0.21122155483860383,-0.2508319246185964,0.15775635914394978,0.405679478133998,0.1906652600173607,-0.23080661471002306,-0.26206717305494254,-0.2488580568945627,-0.21460818122469114,-0.25136659861460803,-0.2673461714595289,-0.3147561660247274,0.244720181599824,-0.2471897922035641,0.8169613248265999,-0.30222822801797083,2.4916815948364945,-0.26221846930535636,-0.24679555568184874;0.07693361210575322,0.09580646338274197,0.025856944528577654,-0.49478895670537315,0.0778199942769492,-0.48940457693977796,0.09174872540493104,0.05694634584688162,-0.3833940543858714,0.07242184764433722,0.07158454735618283,-0.44366027122047863,-0.5019061161350724,0.07057373087930355,0.11734424908217522,0.2401174203035404,0.03630563246450313,0.0375037594638799,-0.2860256784871049,-0.5418603301611274,0.6192142870510547,0.1156190996343628,0.5316478931575757,0.0768688848235868,0.14927317088425232,-0.3147656301021777,0.11634171919233205,0.07520523496407945,0.06848375289804336,-0.023459923227523227,0.6351737078473965,-0.3909168571469028,-0.5480292262972568,0.13369585848729812,0.10115286423672773,-0.2752936427992508,-0.4481745309926368,0.1101421089246764,0.6405594238848235,-0.3943853836303696,0.06143285901824707,-0.20427457732512172,0.05609222360989119,0.01329473707717399,0.03313493349142785,0.6477917099460622,-0.3113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k{296}	=[0.8038827409522677;0.9713784306101207;-0.7040862789350362];
x_a_linear{296}	=[-9.330262623997465,-4.90050910705266,32.577859111309266];
L_a{296}	=[0.07955897864036246,0.08242563076813368,0.07065869264357831,-0.08345857861121014,0.07995791872566778,-0.14573350434445526,0.08213318699012273,0.07646206157019485,-0.21102664573759752,0.07837741032986455,0.07841782248468192,-0.05853044303057724,-0.0866240091908185,0.07793914305078904,0.08517759628915338,0.06579802837956893,0.07277119424140585,0.07191803406392137,-0.2188340506885457,-0.17099275232536904,0.024988553611484384,0.08506073688605732,0.060578609858948446,0.07965643060538433,0.09030679238902223,-0.2143366063860369,0.08595831675136911,0.07870444642728938,0.07806029878340906,0.06142924144532031,0.003528152562687314,-0.03673258263531751,-0.16295626199283764,0.08785644579168124,0.08281507420145832,-0.22144080135813823,-0.060831697154115114,0.08464877260261304,-0.003846097937873957,-0.03788756387054499,0.07718881295064806,0.0209803176841555,0.0757105325725328,0.06777241652224783,0.07203420742541305,-0.02252430664881492,-0.21927119889296223,0.08089295574756288,0.07582660038932501,-0.22004159652379426,0.0837346208265069,0.08721890577288705,0.05725574992155486,-0.1457839977277719,0.06780887032625263,0.08347185756645915,0.05710036090261927,0.07788734901967956,-0.21915296857148933,0.07985126482818104,0.0846060493287982,0.07906141852077035,0.08255299226623848,-0.22125262712574492,0.07716283913983822,0.08130373101666186,-0.009171634313331919,0.08198601218663258,0.07983612383559213,0.0737831850045319,0.08689627418541843,0.08285360010972419,-0.22139088042288027,0.04018163884861862,0.08050225393666527,0.0977652357712708,0.08239496845618396,-0.218664758775457,-0.22067790657909167,0.0018697094465397201,-0.18010957272059805,-0.19075026359544517,0.0779092037055556,-0.19264190381721702,-0.21790742765317545,-0.18696847581491827,0.08413861881747377,0.07282155071153627,0.07836868335218868,0.08865858897750853,0.07715109292579121,-0.044231407222519864,0.03272959166896714,-0.20515447315490815,0.08056857620729836,0.022083745311392556,0.04636115700190429,-0.24857741106440903,0.07439432922688893,0.0796408433777969;0.0177821364917848,0.03692009899137339,-0.033950801132068414,-0.4817286554922595,0.01774807832421599,-0.47860983281344605,0.03317822096900252,-0.0036138502316862588,-0.3993743184504244,0.01242947378678163,0.011484995673333474,-0.4422322934208516,-0.48884861264587925,0.010238798227407857,0.05953478589160283,0.22549249164832422,-0.023506756451158267,-0.021968142090321816,-0.3112557252594147,-0.5253881856576177,0.8764942151269104,0.057300097368925246,0.6640531019684448,0.01680589137986912,0.09275891968093256,-0.3368571447706084,0.05796418142147737,0.015403561567042213,0.008210664941529978,-0.08156736286299862,0.9459247311496738,-0.40103741159991246,-0.5296166872792727,0.07687664321851104,0.04271817365104173,-0.30077706467356397,-0.4462183730305101,0.05173099340599481,0.9693205378200588,-0.403312105241351,0.0019194942659673537,-0.24522152221299243,-0.004759803183491017,-0.04662544035156722,-0.02597142526804838,1.0166766294571041,-0.33520839452611567,0.029091005049129228,-0.002009344799594608,-0.31877728244076775,0.04620115401238643,0.06805846500377158,-0.10166233390701175,-0.5298437679312209,0.22876753375972994,0.043968370062962905,0.1291097043870432,0.007215857256922378,-0.31067853049593763,0.0175350681525207,0.055049377554072944,0.011027247572969722,0.0364906354254857,-0.30485059583958213,0.00530319611453233,0.03456140670964451,0.9899872092755411,0.03587838423162163,0.019166064057378137,-0.018214953938107164,0.07032117110560242,0.04421997084440232,-0.30461676003926846,1.1521059208457614,0.023535227373137287,0.16261576098390218,0.03676960402374242,-0.3483156219284278,-0.3194625204144578,0.957282012414844,-0.44436399640423085,-0.4250347782580661,0.009037830368006506,-0.4848096274669872,-0.3211608326463011,-0.4329767448973509,0.049841642710798786,-0.019167520111859748,0.012544313720395479,0.08111664587170087,0.005974442776940813,-0.4148820775004885,-0.20558509812406117,-0.43958205918113125,0.021550422851632323,0.8906226794586828,-0.14758844301242655,1.662540134828148,-0.014072740828277116,0.01885016358043956;-0.11541701022003949,-0.1034748954883321,-0.14497535793418992,-0.29301022841300045,-0.1154951499040848,-0.1370630721413069,-0.10682558891056143,-0.12791682583640354,0.1268074002914103,-0.11707208391281203,-0.1180070891144969,-0.3021505719465828,-0.29247429133087577,-0.11786059703139586,-0.08859056725698085,0.08103679957521598,-0.13963408846882072,-0.1363732666751262,0.24305182546492707,-0.12844926223297817,0.558799184691358,-0.09003318443383784,0.38518631829657496,-0.11571734819554633,-0.0690625595780057,0.2034383530323787,-0.09148065364058584,-0.1150793753817835,-0.12024349456700413,-0.17197807948015054,0.626643654386542,-0.3021080859650103,-0.15404806990386172,-0.07871564191359834,-0.09907005632909553,0.2600862310689523,-0.3011010641797787,-0.09451416454043812,0.6498581773947217,-0.30278420154568225,-0.12518738751309805,-0.25499892336509006,-0.1269539681062472,-0.15055938369410138,-0.14102296626816138,0.702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x_a{296}	=[-9.330262623997461,-4.900509107052655,32.57785911130928];
std_x_a{296}	=[1.147325636761817,3.990674227563446,2.687727395715089];
pred_a{296}	=[-9.330262623997461];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.6 to 29.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{297}	=[-5.493223514620383,-2.723981660774267,27.685481561409144];
std_x_f{297}	=[2.5188192176967674,3.602870852721057,1.8227513666444946];
pred_f{297}	=[-5.493223514620383];
obs{297}	=[-5.471843735701559];
sqrt_r{297}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{297}	=[7.344450604290557];
L_f{297}	=[-5.940134686667993E-4,0.013168885269221076,-0.03675397728011334,-0.33506157313227974,-4.3773480720735966E-4,-0.30418655628548774,0.009974180666382533,-0.015734761140487146,-0.20758053560229472,-0.004235590845444609,-0.004945409186812211,-0.3134990937543666,-0.3385210445183772,-0.005151116624052179,0.02888649141817507,0.1476383492823661,-0.029310322990473932,-0.028535202384137818,-0.13813880662881578,-0.3275294019597314,0.5712907533895791,0.027371345843825952,0.43768724758142413,-0.001333527736318087,0.05282610780157929,-0.15918109373745973,0.027556686621863734,-0.0026333764815602814,-0.0072303041459840355,-0.07024922506304775,0.6147197794776662,-0.2886239934770031,-0.3348836199166669,0.04112232243616265,0.01720322790198256,-0.12892558449832997,-0.3154150965229993,0.023363503213258325,0.6289027077843802,-0.2900216299059609,-0.01141791526461118,-0.18496158265175391,-0.016230153875585004,-0.04545439688154998,-0.031368948306784016,0.6581849386847759,-0.15526483329786833,0.007396292485277829,-0.01388357983053098,-0.14241160522475968,0.01945450999869483,0.03493958349959228,-0.08433509789334728,-0.34414311422452054,0.14934297507732852,0.01751074982586072,0.08068746148536518,-0.008441214618764351,-0.1375984192094617,-6.952000300983302E-4,0.0257887287722969,-0.0057544276093658845,0.013314909804865034,-0.1318771854359968,-0.008691718765633866,0.01152624232715964,0.6416912490858443,0.012506282909334136,5.274376726024642E-4,-0.026181336760621416,0.036678544693950314,0.01818391324105449,-0.13152158272897177,0.7373816980771073,0.003565688746150507,0.10126103265144318,0.012876492866841708,-0.16540378857981097,-0.14260860320210378,0.6219010589873178,-0.2585043863101167,-0.2381053884599343,-0.006598317611720394,-0.2825630509490521,-0.14597841472980363,-0.24711967223550285,0.02183957210946592,-0.026432943896491114,-0.0038720877904792916,0.04430961069766174,-0.009045069688595296,-0.29645109991910124,-0.15696346791820473,-0.24082699304072255,0.0021445530560726613,0.5803131488227121,-0.11641765101338633,1.0329998566231318,-0.022528991497147655,3.267106567074428E-4;-0.08501481078287927,-0.06545110164745364,-0.1336059027617923,-0.42621420360293594,-0.0846342248075225,-0.30238700802934826,-0.0700562188152022,-0.1052503437256858,-0.07994192245036036,-0.08935715060650239,-0.09006655249252372,-0.42349221819056837,-0.42720938816556564,-0.09017782215636536,-0.04251845192304228,0.1619566988729752,-0.12391874187836714,-0.12106441375223734,0.028811408324670083,-0.3034998717461368,0.8477045140255746,-0.04480555760638433,0.6200489858327844,-0.0856318546803615,-0.009458366671996255,-0.007042683677564173,-0.04554207512484555,-0.08614393127855655,-0.09362495320651584,-0.17795805016384622,0.9270291789842352,-0.4109093870442229,-0.32466700958314243,-0.025617528192419307,-0.059351986003715544,0.04525044493903046,-0.4229742039053311,-0.050894652591282404,0.953062678427394,-0.41226856033458087,-0.09998412590032227,-0.31622868960017414,-0.10556556915319007,-0.14410067800952672,-0.12663263799290111,1.009111790677251,0.0051417823545432985,-0.07297820035188436,-0.1019100330565733,0.024207440839409573,-0.05640061046658068,-0.034576219975685434,-0.19600702987519866,-0.3608607102889199,0.16464123023367225,-0.058636759980922985,0.06503350341163007,-0.09546622407949407,0.030570544202726348,-0.08488623412310517,-0.047060679098300064,-0.09118137511184923,-0.06619600324795219,0.041096100487253706,-0.09450226535665224,-0.066334376109227,0.975022673135382,-0.06633498361015921,-0.08298262733049343,-0.11952963097537418,-0.032290232937624536,-0.05788490330669315,0.04085200928132395,1.0820159527318665,-0.0786919935078488,0.061755288303937325,-0.06558721318800399,-0.010376350776019472,0.023840607006294177,0.9383573882358484,-0.1935951812779651,-0.14977020770522148,-0.09214675234708336,-0.21108532545978417,0.016351957593684192,-0.16694572517683542,-0.052763469076747505,-0.11883591261109139,-0.08830866324132704,-0.0216569119400328,-0.09544247000266809,-0.415014401370215,-0.28599886533196606,-0.13537533413635228,-0.08098519512472395,0.8627404976474181,-0.23516351622636275,1.6693720537903043,-0.1139351994519202,-0.08301409384898616;-0.1338064223869075,-0.13917293725311855,-0.11523881023987997,0.19846866739458796,-0.13386564156527625,0.2663671666180657,-0.138840564265431,-0.1263645408541683,0.31007949157100373,-0.13093928581353406,-0.13079955199281734,0.15399347052482898,0.2052826561231884,-0.1300750256339931,-0.1452011802484911,-0.13397273305938467,-0.11958158742606233,-0.11913211404850844,0.29292068901684587,0.3136200026549489,-0.011200653158958336,-0.14396599207039532,-0.09189224795735418,-0.1334509678429666,-0.15394908842959978,0.29458075407493595,-0.14503515342156334,-0.1318171051530254,-0.1306383493660992,-0.09628636584002694,0.026143325851282734,0.11344226773993908,0.30741294028505156,-0.14998374618346838,-0.1411276216261361,0.2924954744957498,0.1582907945016145,-0.143157743712345,0.03922003097856406,0.11452478347599944,-0.1287236291384123,-0.00922929396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k{297}	=[0.8638427768285607;1.1716853786621106;-0.14890824460592259];
x_a_linear{297}	=[-5.474754747031166,-2.698931286416052,27.68229793606028];
L_a{297}	=[2.569477141876396E-4,-0.0056963606834028934,0.01589837764221961,0.14493493812805433,1.8934748800332905E-4,0.1315795759641404,-0.004314452547470775,0.006806261341869513,0.08979147266233765,0.0018321560762144438,0.00213919658947465,0.1356078267398099,0.146431374340099,0.0022281778307733993,-0.01249520142608808,-0.06386275459322824,0.012678534901585168,0.012343247103372722,0.059753612461929506,0.14167680633855126,-0.24711872872082372,-0.011839806872721605,-0.18932691551175898,5.76833559720186E-4,-0.022850572192428635,0.06885570838911628,-0.011919978269120285,0.0011390988642918285,0.003127555554189194,0.030387152405677447,-0.26590447950148227,0.12484780109459613,0.14485796231118134,-0.017787958201981532,-0.007441464409863245,0.05576832173772357,0.13643661692344394,-0.010106166042894408,-0.27203947677195944,0.12545236564511422,0.004938957418953283,0.08000737084558371,0.007020549464316151,0.019661849426924772,0.013569018194130615,-0.2847058601000314,0.06716168254425618,-0.003199355819019834,0.006005510464607855,0.061601863200883185,-0.008415283724162757,-0.01511353965599092,0.0364801671553367,0.14886326862566002,-0.06460011110897182,-0.007574486739441832,-0.03490233788604082,0.0036513495327416936,0.059519861344315306,3.007171858204477E-4,-0.011155226706759454,0.002489147298298401,-0.0057595253633781224,0.05704507244142335,0.003759708132887603,-0.0049858156007532165,-0.2775713150694657,-0.005409744014306002,-2.2814954794855865E-4,0.011325054043163536,-0.015865748364244914,-0.007865671720814565,0.056891252187256186,-0.31896337675634584,-0.0015423818165002873,-0.04380168506021353,-0.00556988281143569,0.07154741034566935,0.061687077059908814,-0.26901082885596583,0.11181920052913981,0.1029953671553159,0.002854182130955488,0.12222606705904526,0.06314472981520543,0.10689460468669636,-0.009446971202451042,0.011433889754549011,0.0016749184309416119,-0.019166658309720325,0.003912554350608734,0.12823351070403385,0.06789644750491447,0.10417263015160079,-9.276523762141739E-4,-0.2510214750478453,0.0503578637469634,-0.4468365885898091,0.009745187901440964,-1.413226481718094E-4;-0.08386059753655246,-0.09103924504630843,-0.062190135831244525,0.22483585913802023,-0.08378367285961622,0.2886705540278725,-0.08943680874060735,-0.07467650879748919,0.323402810472269,-0.08112707617602433,-0.08045724716020901,0.18566031085051898,0.23056269000053795,-0.08016881166338607,-0.09864709679973901,-0.12491581731767792,-0.06696656009423854,-0.06561835012624101,0.29722559226675255,0.33291461082780627,-0.26235677220486797,-0.09799015965530998,-0.23041055011138717,-0.08304070909395327,-0.11210350283925508,0.302258260910412,-0.09908680837008225,-0.0810270809411306,-0.07957592357929344,-0.041458475004433046,-0.26741800054667525,0.1499089345111503,0.3260372765558997,-0.10552132125300975,-0.09277916328408678,0.29576263913628775,0.18990126391106565,-0.09629171227390797,-0.26894300707486923,0.15126547486188796,-0.07779825009276915,0.04316570130048119,-0.07402914854782428,-0.055779335562112446,-0.06568039100041495,-0.269791491546351,0.3068331357229995,-0.08734975791837792,-0.07493318389050142,0.3009239966947003,-0.09420219969938823,-0.10246648210542213,-0.03213753490016046,0.30783547594693755,-0.12554350323210844,-0.09266147569568851,-0.0917483572218377,-0.07906430351372756,0.2979347143817092,-0.08353540770937498,-0.09717013608036038,-0.08000008559215581,-0.09206788340063479,0.2973434792886124,-0.07761359622401325,-0.08873073961970968,-0.2718321185739857,-0.09063564034217908,-0.08400747875296394,-0.06865730687894514,-0.10355942862905629,-0.09321762662018096,0.29640842503802434,-0.35077264283652143,-0.08562039732388267,-0.1350025823305117,-0.09060721596084118,0.31101576209979565,0.300939944880755,-0.2700435623336567,0.3086984579259871,0.31288663069802874,-0.07932572051422855,0.3379561248292035,0.2999990949845879,0.313226550651201,-0.09519941498120378,-0.06747469675646207,-0.08078490283107301,-0.10775384796006146,-0.07786721321268279,0.1610125819620687,0.018993064004679008,0.33256978849631263,-0.08515222445206563,-0.2648519875740115,-0.00895518595478871,-0.33782505681472913,-0.07015965936061375,-0.08364891744740437;-0.13395311011685815,-0.13592096741066922,-0.12431496385968226,0.11572740958011357,-0.1339737373048111,0.19125029170451607,-0.13637750577056865,-0.1302501369134337,0.25881883982579384,-0.131985237191555,-0.13202078835453732,0.07657692556431932,0.12168710454060733,-0.13134706009810332,-0.13806785065941596,-0.09751441106477933,-0.1268195794420044,-0.12617869511473528,0.25880821677298654,0.23273876510798713,0.12987585129167525,-0.1372068177430576,0.01619174704002227,-0.13378027377083548,-0.14090402759470622,0.2552720270460643,-0.13823021040474007,-0.13246740020281714,-0.13242382555134863,-0.11363395120432628,0.1779443434431693,0.04216846563701658,0.22471562684997717,-0.1398288583793775,-0.13687939733180005,0.2606581470274437,0.08040110522446331,-0.13738827983516627,0.19452342968989486,0.042905844224050756,-0.13154320842284423,-0.05490434364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x_a{297}	=[-5.474754747031168,-2.6989312864160535,27.68229793606027];
std_x_a{297}	=[1.089545733519584,1.8689011183828372,1.7802066153275884];
pred_a{297}	=[-5.474754747031168];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.7 to 29.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{298}	=[-3.9841361718791792,-3.6670625835267625,22.60119187014479];
std_x_f{298}	=[1.5425984151931806,2.170841224999467,1.2593722874929472];
pred_f{298}	=[-3.9841361718791792];
obs{298}	=[-4.0709139583421114];
sqrt_r{298}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{298}	=[3.3849879867774817];
L_f{298}	=[-0.07333564086423756,-0.08036015130696919,-0.051830144993514,0.20834909512564115,-0.07347633903146814,0.24996736311346993,-0.07859093927300641,-0.06406825245687109,0.26139452634592775,-0.07043252807958982,-0.06959153749302865,0.1760722264910243,0.21323159876769346,-0.06967146651046593,-0.08807656862140041,-0.1183240693903056,-0.056659386128069957,-0.05558665357959331,0.23496773898022438,0.28433600733102155,-0.21901402604604497,-0.08713554332548362,-0.20553600734510977,-0.07197096617050724,-0.10103752504892295,0.24079025747970856,-0.08812387199448811,-0.07029211840498682,-0.06938000753370449,-0.031620407624747354,-0.21724617293334575,0.14637277208795657,0.28069069798938273,-0.09541800386377361,-0.08224580947810929,0.23205187710484892,0.17987290018184235,-0.08559904025696811,-0.2166188647848655,0.1474991161008038,-0.0665477450698097,0.049730980931678895,-0.06291154929567513,-0.0457168745897804,-0.055334756333251925,-0.21255494806611658,0.24356047537970257,-0.07643951467046971,-0.06440472588446015,0.23774408824692822,-0.08364671503891269,-0.0920669801505887,-0.022508265086403207,0.2691908107558307,-0.11873135597668996,-0.08232401931066251,-0.08780056996955188,-0.06842290169027297,0.23510463185001598,-0.07308597864512634,-0.08627903799404385,-0.06957054937882358,-0.08091636179937294,0.2339937089783496,-0.06731396157989357,-0.07863162386536664,-0.21647453507516454,-0.07953745169500202,-0.07312931447642454,-0.05830595984035525,-0.09261536294323194,-0.0832087929973272,0.2333529672652089,-0.26335489125592254,-0.07463620809751001,-0.12387094881263509,-0.07959310604391623,0.2474924475277802,0.23813605164621074,-0.21826191322989544,0.2578315051893843,0.25828412183172217,-0.06894766568684907,0.2820125425493119,0.23745212439345528,0.259448469074684,-0.08471686898782667,-0.056949892105651025,-0.07079418689562436,-0.09669437594317135,-0.06756810785435673,0.15588805190052943,0.02763497450548857,0.2725440016311629,-0.07487332970194077,-0.2195879481718734,6.933138965604403E-5,-0.17259587191155265,-0.0596492153836108,-0.07325103810194591;-0.13829584589240201,-0.1467290985195698,-0.11131007274494714,0.26783697867408435,-0.13828578421700397,0.3478084114149584,-0.14489217807819704,-0.1267395092254864,0.39340492364260304,-0.13430141965805129,-0.1334929755052266,0.21698565249325882,0.2750351730708001,-0.13329522205907351,-0.1556140826253514,-0.16880307391462038,-0.11710958464167849,-0.11542823709804176,0.36625530428223485,0.40062543865514827,-0.16930592057721935,-0.15464376317830994,-0.20808787209923077,-0.1367986217262279,-0.17080752925767984,0.37103958580718105,-0.15556439992003782,-0.13434733923599637,-0.13311567559026624,-0.08516962840142717,-0.14483297385970298,0.17140433996303497,0.39232584226455675,-0.16432151304248974,-0.1490835800459848,0.3649690457357746,0.2228298265196676,-0.1528325981348475,-0.13687883883533716,0.1725033195679656,-0.1302732453065116,0.02692897917334262,-0.12559316087263728,-0.10286485748127802,-0.11575017545745073,-0.11512020505459729,0.3773442848315231,-0.14248197918044678,-0.12682851111079907,0.3706987784532318,-0.15072046642863698,-0.16035264003438315,-0.07353838564931167,0.37063538143825553,-0.1700396810271837,-0.14909784538607504,-0.13603427324864506,-0.13244442814587315,0.3671909394557826,-0.13784906281698758,-0.1536603296884677,-0.1340731394953936,-0.14766048535877901,0.36760324664234084,-0.13083504824593853,-0.1431439076121637,-0.13074622311945933,-0.1455040310464768,-0.1378278765626779,-0.11981775839564032,-0.1616279504417846,-0.14932294906377028,0.3662076582407443,-0.15922371767760451,-0.13997443222548528,-0.19492548728795772,-0.14560701426505976,0.3809728267879376,0.3709517902216047,-0.1427687159044039,0.37345445146782646,0.37946445395324363,-0.13241557162998616,0.40829084777672847,0.3689518445320844,0.3796677199647317,-0.15184400487267077,-0.1172958565237896,-0.13482952555604816,-0.1662378925680759,-0.13098553671667626,0.1856050483995117,-0.004444917566130406,0.4036831877674797,-0.14062726690621435,-0.1665116587975996,-0.04183404815918912,0.1506608037495951,-0.12099934693167483,-0.13751513704290022;-0.06396247681786231,-0.059452487126400035,-0.07373304454646186,-0.03793184273598771,-0.06369781833076764,0.003514397408138653,-0.06120564784188958,-0.06851113878283363,0.04475779467998095,-0.06459516760346329,-0.06388006833595805,-0.05479134965497296,-0.03523438089877916,-0.0648872756692147,-0.05459057271040469,1.0147746526490964E-4,-0.07147264525164891,-0.07194807483434346,0.05021554907264866,0.02571463538360493,0.26877649826327316,-0.05497344816115262,0.1689570596836284,-0.0647552345309002,-0.045843858595681436,0.04684531951684001,-0.05444413546686293,-0.06471451863869557,-0.0659341865085878,-0.08088035305394829,0.3020203527502906,-0.068076813657628,0.020213701858346474,-0.050633866356454865,-0.058891414583548976,0.05178086102243508,-0.05347199371063456,-0.05681040328326136,0.31395243981826226,-0.06823072655838398,-0.06701873568276706,-0.09074356304171434,-0.0680894419509009,-0.0757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k{298}	=[0.7045779766704567;0.9413389711742152;-0.09829687409302372];
x_a_linear{298}	=[-4.045277889085173,-3.748749895756555,22.609721855294808];
L_a{298}	=[0.0623149266767221,0.06828380958304457,0.04404122806936203,-0.17703886449906375,0.06243448104171037,-0.21240283333482823,0.06678047073071071,0.05444022043178981,-0.2221127483306184,0.05984808711307133,0.05913347868912131,-0.14961249065658494,-0.1811876365404312,0.059201396154657214,0.07484062116182237,0.10054259595001273,0.048144741772353485,0.04723321704420926,-0.19965731877974413,-0.2416066354582714,0.18610109373010816,0.07404101101831037,0.17464852118559188,0.061155332208395155,0.08585383438152334,-0.2046048423725478,0.07488081589102585,0.059728777886691634,0.05895373697349888,0.02686856430793232,0.18459890958342567,-0.12437620306632623,-0.23850913495699794,0.08107880212593617,0.06988609531051837,-0.1971796460298753,-0.1528420077041542,0.07273541015459992,0.18406587188421702,-0.12533328264927118,0.05654710050469683,-0.04225752163339001,0.05345734400462242,0.03884664611065416,0.047019174346131565,0.18061267137536804,-0.2069587581941365,0.06495235734985452,0.054726129393950315,-0.20201644456012532,0.07107647595318672,0.0782313626746927,0.019125773934068505,-0.2287374247584601,0.1008886764296795,0.0699525519463849,0.07460609896292773,0.05814046283077039,-0.19977363969878273,0.06210278313103924,0.07331321937023988,0.05911564462123348,0.06875643402107288,-0.1988296638028124,0.0571981717312067,0.06681504133457966,0.18394323171674473,0.06758474340740896,0.062139606551657185,0.04954387211252236,0.07869733574197106,0.07070436384521402,-0.19828521130464705,0.22377851403725604,0.0634200476087061,0.10525590288254466,0.06763203414668599,-0.2102998424638706,-0.2023495045865794,0.18546200672631774,-0.21908516993216082,-0.21946976836953147,0.058586366481217456,-0.23963233570712852,-0.20176835637398527,-0.22045914014315146,0.0719858095878765,0.04839159116889204,0.060155396660483876,0.08216336389702843,0.057414125478548274,-0.13246154815694408,-0.02348205306081101,-0.2315867056956269,0.06362153511490959,0.18658876813736336,-5.8912425280494287E-5,0.14665855477807924,0.05068526625184712,0.06224303782613437;0.0429377008778651,0.05186404212426671,0.016777183275371935,-0.24705380336596874,0.043295468355936555,-0.26993312953279885,0.04932872870874377,0.03159164451225853,-0.25257643763992166,0.03975769704744225,0.038487810595847285,-0.2181396660920086,-0.2519216854600276,0.03888309172634758,0.06204855358398697,0.12360987170339074,0.02291212083200611,0.02194243645984885,-0.21441783377365337,-0.30205094728514503,0.3719409856336562,0.0606933277713195,0.2998509576590437,0.04106241977896311,0.07888537320709779,-0.22402267691389544,0.06221513658467964,0.03936478461541878,0.03834235889474917,-0.007026469677779162,0.3920450567811551,-0.1903250500508273,-0.30134193158379313,0.07148392974329382,0.05416956648754803,-0.20849815557041215,-0.22168805433117766,0.05870735001424397,0.3984489322137699,-0.19200959177230956,0.03418545071678333,-0.09597063624418473,0.02987944531587403,0.010114741953815079,0.0209979872607153,0.41016445418641456,-0.22456398631636773,0.04642213611559572,0.03233416563482171,-0.21683552040725407,0.055994722305421456,0.06717145543248834,-0.017913962583234702,-0.29461285006705984,0.12337978736382745,0.05434858022948223,0.08094629058784883,0.03664832140271174,-0.2138205004138964,0.04276749651128221,0.05956008924172929,0.037855778914438025,0.05230721203674264,-0.21066278199416935,0.03551719004520824,0.05117754255157775,0.40422486753679693,0.0510559812733102,0.042895778119445165,0.02427310622603098,0.06725135727014642,0.05631000784044232,-0.21047491258633438,0.49160227142047375,0.04447319176182722,0.11119539923530602,0.05109053602300634,-0.23065248303037572,-0.21755116339145403,0.396619502339259,-0.263721655591676,-0.25883019953813685,0.037974021297835114,-0.2886435857073975,-0.21786092733184076,-0.26150437180941744,0.0575158433130031,0.023443773114114747,0.040123354525319066,0.07272183422234384,0.03599477041216797,-0.19963934589632826,-0.07273892012086865,-0.2698517467402571,0.044406353042684976,0.37615357472599903,-0.04200538604485838,0.5771950462517468,0.026411090048731344,0.043509331869779816;-0.08288731863768747,-0.08019005939248292,-0.08710822316277342,0.015834288194208953,-0.08265896842482115,0.06802045137170487,-0.0814866609575522,-0.08504445776839385,0.11221271844375728,-0.08277083822103103,-0.08183871468490195,-0.009354519814272207,0.019791718690880433,-0.08286654833292158,-0.0773194274602897,-0.030432983954864646,-0.08609404771634119,-0.08629265018529254,0.11085083146139506,0.0990897896606614,0.21225819760619546,-0.07745946389492193,0.11591686829175743,-0.08332791125869085,-0.07191739060390791,0.10898314882952659,-0.07718519722609143,-0.08285395542983878,-0.08383824587945117,-0.08904024919073315,0.2459582605632582,-0.030304162790336233,0.0926481552447877,-0.07525723650233399,-0.08011559584621976,0.11166368220528469,-0.007054369980907333,-0.07889991225463468,0.25805222945761547,-0.030167413715187504,-0.08419190733669286,-0.07791009030478052,-0.08432426454234561,-0.08758303980159049,-0.08728318455218924,0.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x_a{298}	=[-4.045277889085175,-3.7487498957565584,22.60972185529481];
std_x_a{298}	=[1.310780215480024,1.883205151892208,1.2531304464654578];
pred_a{298}	=[-4.045277889085175];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.8 to 29.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{299}	=[-4.688882896684603,-6.204036317971925,19.440342319209794];
std_x_f{299}	=[1.8158601402250458,2.403936701456439,1.779749446602391];
pred_f{299}	=[-4.688882896684603];
obs{299}	=[-4.88704689529565];
sqrt_r{299}	=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{299}	=[4.299555609315434];
L_f{299}	=[0.046984683220299014,0.05647387099014172,0.019275864360818015,-0.24436375557294276,0.04736215450317303,-0.26394628975008905,0.053675181402891736,0.03476192686518337,-0.2492194665430141,0.043192517502141536,0.041870181029829284,-0.21863660971227153,-0.2483763760067165,0.04267357358266754,0.06720577148827886,0.12683907622958746,0.02523059991445039,0.024041929405169575,-0.21641167971852387,-0.288988573069484,0.3559290144514285,0.06568335477827822,0.2971068237173187,0.04476997905883353,0.08446259713498236,-0.22508331680125646,0.06719017069905013,0.042866546168825216,0.0414407885688191,-0.006782121047917592,0.37093942887902376,-0.1929726257324498,-0.2880969061460503,0.07729614494677635,0.0580272854655225,-0.2117275771855435,-0.22202232098386177,0.06366272274529601,0.37548641058594434,-0.1945599829912493,0.03750189028033812,-0.09974671675898267,0.03324951610375517,0.011459331571485189,0.024243033176325365,0.3828563611218542,-0.22575999303001135,0.05168058165417211,0.03528045707951006,-0.21859501418073288,0.06071912279265704,0.07254120664752008,-0.017625109787695117,-0.2835089921074843,0.12716960133600533,0.058508771203032967,0.08260024212575855,0.03997922181655081,-0.21653473099248827,0.046418996087946966,0.06446888906454847,0.04191521833472079,0.05706123074680693,-0.21345873903979495,0.03884637495731771,0.05513184986367658,0.3798979605051151,0.05532120403110481,0.04676332415777664,0.027901477481467093,0.07317504097979476,0.060641631579265595,-0.21354450169966102,0.45896144736475597,0.04877051424044183,0.11856325146581487,0.0552695462591158,-0.2308842037757686,-0.2192848293098315,0.37472280787512025,-0.2582634425113281,-0.2542732217589949,0.04149760749190485,-0.27813083189135673,-0.2201252766124445,-0.2568446683763933,0.06231482581147385,0.025862210272345452,0.04394187695462298,0.07842660056598373,0.03869378888273571,-0.20191496167209233,-0.07535130703083819,-0.2630206239785602,0.04872791844586171,0.35994754488606573,-0.04405827467235772,0.490499232236084,0.028977854571383372,0.04715488073124684;0.029083085206161558,0.04255740849974679,-0.00996470096932978,-0.30617899677734145,0.0293211709353071,-0.30438650517843574,0.03907627046226884,0.011773080630090263,-0.2677829029104605,0.024108124053515034,0.022270479956391406,-0.28690823740861526,-0.3086696640199576,0.022918990794143425,0.05849915090160812,0.15576873787980533,-0.001170491680575101,-0.0036720563684582903,-0.23206335438541287,-0.31751883547560017,0.5327431402584487,0.056776145186784616,0.42948360823955223,0.025839365574521378,0.08502486455012631,-0.2425586086235869,0.05806319888939358,0.023357616812786863,0.021495057206977003,-0.04525186369408129,0.5602137446281236,-0.26490800243636253,-0.3198668565853841,0.0728929252187308,0.045510819084844126,-0.22603738190706965,-0.2897131128150229,0.053427728302180635,0.5688099419718284,-0.2666503981324164,0.015688522367716493,-0.16563075535783756,0.009250277126217385,-0.0208049328527622,-0.003567177251295758,0.5839898925950936,-0.2409476682431107,0.03488621806807927,0.012732292033150364,-0.2331951944167389,0.04923804159991739,0.06655771608286555,-0.06141666743604613,-0.3218763972118554,0.156175227789411,0.046179692190371505,0.08850875719084945,0.019336154383316193,-0.23233818905312234,0.028793617910077385,0.05465538316026525,0.02212766274607816,0.044044843400556664,-0.22799796719491805,0.01767647974642763,0.04128383842771673,0.5766385728596217,0.04117842878064996,0.02871554284651902,0.0014808701859552924,0.06681353239696206,0.04936448971181487,-0.2275689773107719,0.6961373793031377,0.03223793725942775,0.13604115836207017,0.04131809580406557,-0.2466950191493099,-0.23416028404602052,0.5662070517394726,-0.2875152551347557,-0.279991194235694,0.02163372745964834,-0.30067071483633356,-0.236094078055992,-0.283678283156633,0.051384149861673015,-7.610176645447005E-4,0.024674561527276147,0.07561017466119889,0.018623592802353428,-0.2732019538748052,-0.13589854443311797,-0.28279980840032926,0.03141805236576037,0.5388146327165507,-0.09547343125836745,0.7936883107004822,0.004121587904676727,0.029344358631679786;-0.12759813284286683,-0.13243083942840653,-0.11000321331229541,0.23283475676931994,-0.1276282662465043,0.2984329021418957,-0.13114363450684005,-0.12052945208242563,0.3129157865186687,-0.12536056546724392,-0.12269538067545648,0.18193965952279556,0.2409714217100615,-0.1251414543697503,-0.1377685046366146,-0.13989996379594918,-0.11418186339181148,-0.11317840552388636,0.2714423911825132,0.3560221503795737,-0.045046389247341244,-0.13657038544792213,-0.1031128977944835,-0.12647329610326705,-0.1454004802294593,0.2798897754653672,-0.1374914290261158,-0.1248843787724069,-0.12440970988270085,-0.09163794695877372,-0.022701603176116244,0.13584244704191878,0.34985568979173687,-0.1432828455009081,-0.13405799003663532,0.2661060881974724,0.18811251702432924,-0.13626135416221327,-0.014119969721147006,0.13801889446456625,-0.1223853797444108,-6.379976006979248E-5,-0.11869840745773162,-0.10443745014577054,-0.11412764257195568,0.003650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k{299}	=[0.7674178238715188;0.9982788059244653;-0.5026456308170948];
x_a_linear{299}	=[-4.840957481268371,-6.4018592378825785,19.53994858729688];
L_a{299}	=[-0.030983776048194602,-0.03724136572612337,-0.01271135662851369,0.1611442571926664,-0.031232697290003362,0.17405784544771438,-0.03539578615728381,-0.02292355046738377,0.16434632754708453,-0.028483054423699986,-0.027611047328826382,0.14417864050501578,0.1637903563970289,-0.028140839874606128,-0.044318455084089006,-0.08364329101956236,-0.016638172351733357,-0.015854310498670112,0.142711423362656,0.1905718335162424,-0.23471531820508673,-0.043314506240302426,-0.1959253666835563,-0.029523302271450984,-0.055698368376964166,0.14842988399551413,-0.044308167234379046,-0.02826809452406106,-0.027327886968111757,0.004472430274673806,-0.2446138486864896,0.12725467555229047,0.18998382895024968,-0.05097249316741185,-0.03826575586598079,0.1396225191938617,0.1464113281089941,-0.04198201219980469,-0.24761232932414584,0.12830144906323468,-0.02473040340363436,0.06577739215804271,-0.02192619998818073,-0.007556789547950183,-0.015986927210774434,-0.25247240033537816,0.148876114198463,-0.03408045895521751,-0.02326549220102457,0.14415121057369637,-0.040040872333427215,-0.04783687676458608,0.011622776127409504,0.18695835572458627,-0.0838612538783847,-0.03858326883486631,-0.05447024919911475,-0.026364065274998964,0.1427925688095045,-0.03061073695926498,-0.04251363388971168,-0.027640746917563377,-0.037628696701089835,0.14076412380879136,-0.025617016003243447,-0.036356377700570375,-0.25052150025715225,-0.03648124620484185,-0.03083780210201995,-0.01839946702728925,-0.04825485512810469,-0.03998977120350877,0.14082067949597413,-0.3026594567686936,-0.032161431926570686,-0.07818584651807324,-0.03644718078758773,0.15225524516814268,0.14460610514805036,-0.24710877595823197,0.1703103248922115,0.16767899702748038,-0.02736535587643524,0.18341175925384906,0.14516033323302807,0.16937472254168223,-0.041093149407269276,-0.0170546841282837,-0.02897721515574992,-0.051717965549841635,-0.02551639400392611,0.13315164697173187,0.04968998111651804,0.17344742053911097,-0.03213334237760679,-0.23736531472514152,0.029053972953645656,-0.3234568655524818,-0.019109277638143077,-0.031096011806780892;-0.07234049136084966,-0.07935002145030928,-0.051574582549846835,0.22131729296771974,-0.07291723474060548,0.26538165953446197,-0.07678976284137694,-0.06326581948331006,0.2701951766351442,-0.06912948671125842,-0.06811266664570836,0.18505209957039329,0.22748847652211776,-0.06919840068333663,-0.08657471664639411,-0.1180326773461385,-0.05563457458726413,-0.05557021339999089,0.23509413319437716,0.3063069021648115,-0.23558370958692834,-0.08501135460963201,-0.21186660673553084,-0.07080343560574343,-0.09730048278492785,0.24331792498016086,-0.08697699198501209,-0.06917633530799319,-0.06796118053543407,-0.03061162508344792,-0.24051536511675226,0.15165272629185714,0.3020340825402197,-0.09396254635242053,-0.07974989200249948,0.2310087587541096,0.18955579629541547,-0.08399793027994043,-0.24173451855743736,0.15333688238763257,-0.06526500502804251,0.049687686124000506,-0.06252385459567852,-0.04554164093266624,-0.05589944732422321,-0.24246372579672876,0.24638957379994703,-0.07667416866163315,-0.06342593432213355,0.23867535228831874,-0.08183340929755675,-0.09003349880691533,-0.023370190381541523,0.29012083247312964,-0.1183396760915677,-0.08012037900791162,-0.08979641393087705,-0.06696506948550061,0.23508492339526751,-0.0714088370434906,-0.08451050789342704,-0.06835270372062363,-0.07913049181499122,0.23278514932393166,-0.06617932207649796,-0.07772663504321589,-0.24342888836560075,-0.07824079442705092,-0.07223019655553192,-0.058748707704477765,-0.0911459101901057,-0.08153968462921621,0.23339927093832158,-0.29460062950383853,-0.07304062686508062,-0.11989563186154913,-0.07798961625503312,0.25170361025015514,0.23919933341077945,-0.24268905633320817,0.26998562048444685,0.26889618370180723,-0.06794516256008085,0.2997169389808626,0.23907977258287358,0.270759952954474,-0.08313186841850233,-0.05658852748195956,-0.07018065545713698,-0.09368555710097481,-0.06490282879796097,0.16266216548413906,0.026758699039895344,0.28497016611909853,-0.07376856226506337,-0.238186825560542,-3.6695211727337946E-4,-0.26512879791979527,-0.0584315134557822,-0.07244661511883882;-0.07653011725373451,-0.07104895225932907,-0.08905212725182825,-0.0327660991629504,-0.07614997420051271,0.01154763835389234,-0.07280366469624956,-0.08274644491100543,0.042037220777155195,-0.07841428412719449,-0.07718635707460494,-0.05569816259021114,-0.02899078240677486,-0.07875921718948237,-0.06472203181160824,-0.002037590821488368,-0.08675852920196538,-0.08704704650419676,0.03622286268814551,0.04191823516540032,0.3418156094471022,-0.0651786391199517,0.2198148068383866,-0.07781245959657536,-0.05359743013835245,0.035244977556116094,-0.06446191281958448,-0.07829239819572244,-0.0793673962688021,-0.09900948678119859,0.3804753310558004,-0.07390099238863584,0.036720934253126586,-0.05926906772116476,-0.07098768465958254,0.03597774697479017,-0.05320526085611711,-0.06706584841920953,0.3939991140960667,-0.07344985584778814,-0.08162428514516444,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x_a{299}	=[-4.84095748126837,-6.401859237882584,19.539948587296873];
std_x_a{299}	=[1.1974584069403456,1.6183890271037524,1.5420686907904124];
pred_a{299}	=[-4.84095748126837];
% Application starting next step
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.9 to 30.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% Application Done
