% Starting Algorithm: 
%	className: org.openda.algorithms.kalmanFilter.EnSR
%	dir.: /home/verlaanm/tudelft/svn_costa/trunk_new/openda/tests/lorenz/./algorithm
%	config.: EnsrAlgorithm.xml
% configstring = EnsrAlgorithm.xml
% opening :/home/verlaanm/tudelft/svn_costa/trunk_new/openda/tests/lorenz/./algorithm/EnsrAlgorithm.xml
% this.ensembleSize=100
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% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.0 to 0.0
%
% ========================================================================
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% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.0
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% ========================================================================
%
x_f{1}=[1.4868765110560778,-1.4782911091117843,25.40008803858225];
std_x_f{1}=[0.5554659517586685,0.5081450994024646,0.5870050791637307];
pred_f{1}=[1.4868765110560778];
obs{1}=[1.50887];
sqrt_r{1}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{1}=[1.3086023728061509];
L_f{1}=[0.007742689648128209,-0.008303037865936365,-0.007330269836870424,-0.06930336497367386,-0.01669805128278075,7.919660105268344E-4,-5.141387943959228E-4,0.04753245507435792,-0.07239074919414432,-0.00743550416292748,-0.012205774671208421,0.02174707410701459,0.08628732451105407,-0.00535111849289276,-0.07262455923624253,0.008242519870087093,0.013849070647589239,-0.08110975141751556,0.008289333057674155,0.08933124713822915,0.008601114108900593,0.0010870780055548554,-0.029133031605252557,0.006769672796084844,0.02087039282989377,-0.32239719726842975,-0.0073356899420406515,-0.003950337482125291,0.034927056151724326,0.011937282335336067,0.049512324071186484,0.006336857913150931,0.006104031798140147,-0.095916235180624,0.08738479466309289,-0.030869027962561364,0.0026008495841469445,0.0029869571284177132,-0.002693466592560578,0.011932246260575293,0.01242477711480126,0.05428727868245095,-0.01038014977722321,0.006736114778846127,-0.0066219337352984315,0.003919619957284332,0.002655045175711101,-0.049864162549764154,0.002481403848539141,0.0028656949618157336,-1.3172214177454138E-4,0.011235515558247719,-0.026679044480993504,0.004049755329921479,0.03185175835093184,0.049058211690118994,0.012940749886706186,-1.3963795932368672E-4,0.030540921142731152,0.1265058012634148,-0.04435891124446217,-0.051097476839353055,-0.008862547060586801,-4.202851232359444E-4,-0.06220808258453127,0.043137565445157094,-0.06359067763601406,0.02596439754697735,0.051230019476120305,0.03687426049767235,0.12663857794789007,-0.025196614321046532,0.06263681532079302,0.07288370905706801,-0.05258320451582681,-0.06322392940792229,0.0782934916535959,-0.0012503560387234444,0.07576221381742015,-0.034160085793094146,0.030136363879609447,-0.036882632202252665,0.0014044930487309743,0.008711013070941525,-0.0821516754297056,-0.16187921799602847,-0.022884599874810313,0.004719063610997178,0.020710959682363788,-0.0021827270598360955,0.0019560484624935068,-0.003216175557547848,-0.021541677437167096,-0.002075771183678043,0.07767407569999424,-0.01021047324421047,-0.023520458534211475,0.047703308922731155,0.010847638231078581,0.04917453486678107;-0.017974197254493503,-0.10536413923855098,-0.006071725784476875,-3.4557412801102167E-4,0.08221195702392167,0.0070936805570120855,0.01805429442750899,-0.007627009958437882,4.549684190913212E-4,0.01532109880796868,-0.025414798752446226,0.028708174043373346,0.0073725099619127085,0.00561703261935456,-0.008119514486639277,-0.0039361022294201135,-0.00506944943743694,0.025473127126485633,-0.009318451261730016,-0.03012294170106691,0.0025512617363617545,0.0710925518355603,0.08652126711015432,-0.05220967455045938,-0.005354023364073366,-9.891678820854045E-4,-0.008595627000279575,0.011168565911309679,-0.004509895215445168,-0.003972851364322909,0.0027266006769845518,-0.07993668395270931,-0.011616698943197369,-0.03916161166649613,-0.005564380030956425,-0.0037965190773671526,0.0750760656980664,0.13956775377035383,-0.0024060985923719117,0.0013247494417019266,0.04719396385894025,-0.010408067818363174,0.0710424711215613,-0.04807606382960275,-0.00462263884384365,0.033832724343700944,-0.05705577478193892,-0.03176365339587437,-0.10872827328935371,-0.0018382490823129212,0.0014031483019370757,0.08250944869626796,-0.005656128807403392,0.03237399280228622,-0.015494677338664454,-0.0035022406564593146,-0.0019479269469601255,-0.009288421729260872,-0.2135485204401298,-1.1889159815297069E-4,-0.005767812726770222,-0.03042686882126861,-0.006585028686914133,0.011649426674802316,-0.025692358280202658,-0.024692147154545017,0.04684535813471689,-0.03113111629816473,-0.012916152810976491,-0.0289671071455644,-0.005280301626182459,0.0025759675993627432,0.010906260566528585,-0.03726603192523466,0.00812799253637526,-0.02385497390095261,-0.002215502788304763,0.011137457555986214,7.569060094438833E-4,0.00866413538220691,0.005216937409862297,0.19179840277616828,0.005207945504690716,-0.01078553819903696,-0.07376419433886973,-0.02111433528111809,-0.004155726858165717,-0.03797861931136256,0.09882382568271816,-0.05431543974615071,-0.053242165061434,-0.018517394660937152,-0.05317746555578838,0.014986901137818035,0.17304903712614234,-0.013249635934340125,8.43197797567345E-4,0.06320062269829659,7.954992306130726E-4,0.021345299427968832;-0.11999511836654093,0.004515173516252651,0.005373274787320756,0.0023251176591487666,0.012232408949439,-0.0011246957894028825,0.09467382184430505,-0.09032400236034356,0.0030372333701943442,0.014685424049762651,0.01774598088051334,0.01552233828392638,-0.1226484436188514,3.755164592566607E-4,-0.03644469587986621,0.0413764426711437,0.09675750236120982,-0.010985995208914533,-0.024919626392390565,0.00525923816836945,0.007475125595948661,0.10169184362611469,-0.04999550776604106,-0.11999035192641151,-0.07457547272477943,0.011498258854383239,-0.014915883231878639,0.049635067063542926,-0.1701534384626314,2.0625981118000054E-4,-0.05741216770926867,-0.0013333981228362184,-0.11291247493012878,-0.018829774899388467,0.02835895278905394,5.172628293949464E-4,-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k{1}=[0.23582593094676085;0.007048826902313465;-1.2934045521115992E-4];
x_a{1}=[1.4920631460610454,-1.4781360808152406,25.40008519393438];
L_a{1}=[0.00931167713714002,-0.009985574958921483,-0.008815684103463279,-0.08334707814463875,-0.02008176349961921,9.524509090193759E-4,-6.183244679387299E-4,0.057164486154373015,-0.08706009343594272,-0.008942243233755212,-0.014679166815687874,0.026153926085740957,0.10377268667468835,-0.006435475266717204,-0.08734128301248308,0.00991279352715194,0.016655462168881904,-0.09754592424561052,0.009969092992632501,0.10743343326570542,0.01034405371280042,0.001307364736369095,-0.03503658246198567,0.008141487036931773,0.025099593111578933,-0.38772813419018987,-0.008822202544946508,-0.004750838389239283,0.0420047147717254,0.014356266885681767,0.05954555806996476,0.007620966050919656,0.007340959785577631,-0.11535281081915441,0.10509254943399497,-0.037124363107361134,0.0031278887196125433,0.0035922375384151496,-0.0032392737445778867,0.014350210294969456,0.014942548165019678,0.06528811494686884,-0.012483595204416454,0.00810112878468478,-0.007963809963833581,0.004713896230019423,0.0031930665678585627,-0.05996869350039356,0.0029842383634786375,0.003446402667632107,-1.5841446729218805E-4,0.013512293285965302,-0.03208531657916378,0.0048704023834607825,0.038306235106011374,0.058999423836429955,0.015563078249768124,-1.6793435516633304E-4,0.036729768346160624,0.1521410815716849,-0.053347851771811165,-0.061451928008708016,-0.010658463736932017,-5.054521814731752E-4,-0.07481399961416922,0.05187901106234523,-0.07647676530876583,0.031225852772783044,0.061611329237037056,0.044346502834209156,0.15230076427541736,-0.030302485075498643,0.075329611242637,0.087652947249504,-0.06323872524142181,-0.07603569880012238,0.09415897438093689,-0.0015037296169918004,0.09111475550790428,-0.041082324662101495,0.03624323113637007,-0.04435657099058404,0.0016891011270614873,0.010476222726249042,-0.09879898493173693,-0.1946826079431098,-0.02752196137661067,0.005675340060395538,0.024907852248619737,-0.002625037368584975,0.0023524243609249914,-0.003867905052282025,-0.02590690759971316,-0.0024964078313098317,0.09341403926979926,-0.012279535224620424,-0.028286671162263778,0.05736996202206126,0.013045816053432977,0.05913931887470073;-0.017927300286134176,-0.10541443019967456,-0.006116124752823565,-7.653401088363802E-4,0.08211081801173592,0.007098477443704749,0.018051180322221444,-0.007339108964988374,1.650235254912911E-5,0.015276062442143473,-0.025488728336941054,0.028839894658902986,0.007895146682653724,0.00558462124216482,-0.008559396725422108,-0.0038861778218671726,-0.004985566515935157,0.024981850629721147,-0.009268243309740118,-0.029581868138656972,0.002603358125930866,0.0710991361964409,0.08634481022972955,-0.05216867108198146,-0.005227612750104267,-0.0029419067682574375,-0.008640058797851197,0.011144638973730102,-0.004298344304628176,-0.003900548020469633,0.0030264936083676734,-0.07989830201586856,-0.011579727219014744,-0.03974257007382515,-0.005035096004778517,-0.003983490774986108,0.07509181887508867,0.13958584557569667,-0.00242241274459918,0.0013970222823773888,0.04726921992701302,-0.010079253297002926,0.07097959922848654,-0.048035263619855884,-0.0046627474664250905,0.03385646522722741,-0.05703969334573804,-0.03206567739007265,-0.10871324358739488,-0.001820891754038065,0.0014023504694788609,0.08257750148432781,-0.005817722047187564,0.03239852190731322,-0.015301753306905511,-0.0032050982542764727,-0.0018695456653171265,-0.009289267507311976,-0.2133635360642103,6.47345824338532E-4,-0.00603649177134391,-0.030736362920022717,-0.006638708558893037,0.011646881035105795,-0.02606914859639096,-0.024430865722158895,0.04646019353009259,-0.030973851628447978,-0.012605855910079162,-0.028743762144482897,-0.004513259983936131,0.002423353342782869,0.01128564768905692,-0.036824580032817376,0.007809499481573266,-0.0242379171353774,-0.001741284194031684,0.011129884230662445,0.001215792818253664,0.008457229961042173,0.005399471408712671,0.19157500706821556,0.005216452427873807,-0.0107327761585921,-0.0742617817017097,-0.022094827191476582,-0.004294337393395723,-0.037950036249544405,0.09894927062046703,-0.054328660382197504,-0.0532303174029298,-0.018536874827418774,-0.05330794209702798,0.014974328326566868,0.17351950395821153,-0.013311480107673853,7.007359077324406E-4,0.0634895585424099,8.612026708924037E-4,0.021643146392078223;-0.1199959788891957,0.004516096316017055,0.005374089473630511,0.00233282003626695,0.012234264771132127,-0.0011247838085184955,0.09467387898569916,-0.0903292851181792,0.0030452788792453733,0.014686250431817007,0.017747337430510154,0.015519921313754218,-0.12265803359351078,3.761111826536489E-4,-0.03643662438516323,0.041375526597350464,0.09675596317527142,-0.010976980669813594,-0.024920547669002407,0.005249309892099511,0.00747416966798578,0.10169172280824723,-0.04999226992043128,-0.11999110430795694,-0.0745777922605803,0.011534090084167349,-0.014915067943178572,0.049635506104115386,-0.17015732025622413,2.0493310142580802E-4,-0.05741767050977668,-0.0013341024013284616,-0.11291315333232282,-0.01881911476743963,0.028349240841544037,5.20693613668309E-4,-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x_a{1}=[1.4920631460610445,-1.4781360808152402,25.40008519393437];
std_x_a{1}=[0.6680262077534392,0.5082678299257078,0.5870049385483805];
pred_a{1}=[1.4920631460610445];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.0 to 0.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{2}=[-0.23643118071014513,-1.170307778701371,19.41689476058557];
std_x_f{2}=[0.47500554867186245,0.6282533219746128,0.4551859992463234];
pred_f{2}=[-0.23643118071014513];
obs{2}=[-0.26470935152747094];
sqrt_r{2}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{2}=[1.2256472794106146];
L_f{2}=[-0.004124092816308122,-0.07414888365285306,-0.008542298485756834,-0.04170760459077224,0.043771532381594945,0.00507260952126372,0.009135791665073558,0.026567333041380682,-0.04324508718266801,0.005451112989495041,-0.024248708167417116,0.03133152060292887,0.06249776235641987,4.3766807411166786E-4,-0.04834014857304731,6.833725069305322E-4,0.002285130474525712,-0.03135576490963956,-7.91883878049215E-4,0.03337008313802704,0.006212649644263401,0.04386298612671303,0.04021565222599679,-0.02747302229053223,0.011244895991646098,-0.19001186014597926,-0.009511586328807557,0.004191706592289783,0.023593908468541973,0.004294799671120387,0.03375990059993824,-0.04852983085443914,-6.488452361828135E-4,-0.08246110213621213,0.04688195205732743,-0.020635592337727653,0.05231816265950994,0.09278864160928167,-0.0032803735972053,0.007732099224280921,0.035722510845467285,0.026709511934879245,0.039036460373985796,-0.027052459470551647,-0.008575918752284268,0.02493633181353341,-0.03603233553100991,-0.0490678735106042,-0.07043507498916395,-0.0010602226813620924,2.4901228983080666E-4,0.059750828085487435,-0.019657136025215287,0.021973849187896438,0.007908243145026103,0.026761854046889983,0.004948004213896285,-0.006524607076238138,-0.12167523364155616,0.07572839514695434,-0.03032156855501829,-0.05020458876095738,-0.009908173785666866,0.006866398142615388,-0.05392077407433199,0.007283624552125889,-0.0050671678262107014,-0.004668021155327151,0.017287753824096256,0.0024238831725775646,0.06830930110662543,-0.013395326153902265,0.04220500755079614,0.020668595428446457,-0.02609082832576952,-0.05378662278476533,0.04522305262590866,0.006162588071604746,0.05032626193686036,-0.014465591079537007,0.021740418188375042,0.10123743393783566,0.003456201929411241,-0.0014202580913265555,-0.09726891759239886,-0.10978527642403106,-0.016987892518200515,-0.021909039893531802,0.07774766615519232,-0.037955633561960064,-0.03402273391605159,-0.013251631265016467,-0.04746516351924442,0.009487409383307641,0.1587553340591279,-0.01491603017991149,-0.012916570991530003,0.06976144578725584,0.007090487364624089,0.041406221392976936;-0.01131660117548507,-0.12265852296168361,-0.010157473937527162,-0.029414922891776062,0.0855737854978757,0.008246294049584116,0.015102623419010757,0.0186662998061592,-0.03022603744024421,0.013909933642888124,-0.03444997539953579,0.04024439754561301,0.05996648258833613,0.004037564906329223,-0.04032528518722161,-0.003768417564762457,-0.005391345897608542,-0.0057745817523881405,-0.006133069103485942,0.003588256279204494,0.0061562758360664445,0.07445263681640386,0.08864867016921188,-0.05213774156171939,0.00761867267080593,-0.13098335512131737,-0.012352594153291076,0.008453065664568916,0.022147906327323445,3.522424110054198E-4,0.0292372143633209,-0.08806032143043789,-0.005451365343661601,-0.08566665857522966,0.0275211103826538,-0.017541678393721533,0.0895211423466035,0.15878665783047388,-0.004400533660792166,0.006188469197282373,0.05274549320567632,0.014115119944096689,0.07471478992440692,-0.05213929552644144,-0.011834061972947547,0.041224082723087245,-0.06412280895956125,-0.05727933204759335,-0.1236550643460946,-0.004186971954380145,3.0384979280043806E-4,0.09749607728180976,-0.017228935237029504,0.035527583696441364,-0.00607310505550497,0.016492560236473764,0.0010894350297568876,-0.011673931182399457,-0.23092459084988112,0.05434073313492138,-0.02557040216764146,-0.056407027103945254,-0.01234571161066073,0.012306329232220166,-0.05545586783124721,-0.015239538192473857,0.029600484981871827,-0.023594348205836124,-0.0021244221643955358,-0.018433931856596697,0.038882881782292156,-0.008152447333065976,0.03498558347927386,-0.008000843759042248,-0.012736422051507794,-0.051964165331204834,0.03168596513816435,0.01153703211145837,0.044293304098153415,-0.0038855521721248365,0.019169910546830926,0.19721606742015568,0.005105084638882569,-0.008021208565191123,-0.11898659968064149,-0.09261390756442588,-0.015698729812688595,-0.04158521362637636,0.12263578768815173,-0.06497055335374444,-0.060241441782881565,-0.020803985719115344,-0.06995902478959058,0.018034617963650516,0.22817940580263563,-0.019553678229677483,-0.008005096291910232,0.09177090929629761,0.005662903182441372,0.04214300379703092;-0.09362545879234586,0.007888098406611449,0.0034846343627695396,0.006954650691993227,0.009789517155307969,-0.0023942567122290067,0.07057793192741915,-0.07483173304280401,0.008134541692049722,0.010367341061851445,0.013884528867390718,0.009549088781062132,-0.10087032887779439,-2.6932985536782617E-4,-0.021608918504161467,0.029455887061604496,0.07197649712298972,-0.003332366291734097,-0.02121195350289366,-0.006220149331318799,0.00360511980187337,0.07755508318636781,-0.03670655454590788,-0.0928596697735554,-0.06060841956444558,0.048799758857469934,-0.012438712993779615,0.037534590883739914,-0.13399365198296034,-0.0026379633583347045,-0.04921197940818326,-5.244382191821747E-4,-0.08845346772266816,-0.002310023488574507,0.013530918992702666,0.001944557924246816,-0.0285479235128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k{2}=[0.184104581473981;0.22556567764676902;-0.01123793085715173];
x_a{2}=[-0.24163732151331863,-1.176686363464392,19.417212548713984];
L_a{2}=[-0.004686612177392812,-0.08426266734186415,-0.009707453709082771,-0.04739645208566836,0.0497418961744821,0.005764504974161812,0.010381898365222991,0.030191072824604013,-0.04914364473109439,0.006194635682273825,-0.02755619139658334,0.03560508759969403,0.07102235259137639,4.973652672599072E-4,-0.05493366397176019,7.765833736843481E-4,0.002596818448531104,-0.035632638789282536,-8.998955142985556E-4,0.03792170665433513,0.007060044662802891,0.04984582405744419,0.045700999914175686,-0.031220296572241926,0.01277868099368856,-0.21592916000527537,-0.010808950792435766,0.004763448359309469,0.026812078114174593,0.004880603161631568,0.038364694565938176,-0.05514921859902057,-7.373466409661928E-4,-0.09370865852111532,0.05327657189066525,-0.02345025261198737,0.05945427252492683,0.10544485710170912,-0.0037278110682346147,0.008786744623697362,0.04059500156577099,0.030352644681329324,0.04436096826618182,-0.030742369687161725,-0.009745659723722301,0.028337605757726834,-0.04094708582012602,-0.05576064937341256,-0.08004230138915662,-0.00120483528148809,2.829771495992226E-4,0.06790074108114519,-0.02233833649527577,0.024971045457793124,0.008986914280566789,0.030412126169856907,0.005622903711317602,-0.007414552566635595,-0.1382715319637523,0.08605762156144776,-0.03445737978196412,-0.05705241068234026,-0.011259632114972525,0.007802963362695649,-0.061275477455774476,0.008277098756498978,-0.005758321041006786,-0.005304731431934117,0.019645774525586,0.002754496782482389,0.07762657550517728,-0.015222426232692264,0.04796169997735036,0.023487757269070448,-0.02964957366291261,-0.06112302815472822,0.05139140135191946,0.00700315477537995,0.05719067987589332,-0.016438673503772473,0.024705774860436056,0.11504605057016998,0.00392762209081598,-0.001613978919080275,-0.11053623523401664,-0.12475980447207674,-0.019305012639194218,-0.024897396284094497,0.08835231775723705,-0.04313271848507557,-0.03866337790668414,-0.01505913160134492,-0.053939332420352454,0.010781476152014479,0.18040929604819572,-0.01695055174391322,-0.014678369667066286,0.07927679029100043,0.008057617979714807,0.04705396072386776;-0.012005802171226907,-0.13504997163243312,-0.011585026828438406,-0.03638492184531496,0.09288869935802123,0.009094007156146463,0.016629358386652603,0.023106120441116287,-0.037452973999328704,0.014820900652506548,-0.038502317225682245,0.04548038911017086,0.07041084501329167,0.004110706148759325,-0.048403686914531466,-0.0036542152339185947,-0.00500946453155021,-0.011014624923219163,-0.006265405396962491,0.009164923815824679,0.007194507639213453,0.08178283404067499,0.09536934033671157,-0.05672891716373243,0.009497872257151124,-0.16273733570524346,-0.013942130340007235,0.009153565989352975,0.02609082078978613,0.0010699712162696826,0.0348790265498976,-0.09617042206052057,-0.005559797622656663,-0.09944721013738343,0.035355824459034166,-0.020990211542792347,0.09826433300849392,0.17429310422706396,-0.0049487358595057575,0.007480625005094449,0.05871528853805491,0.018578700916014462,0.08123839852351449,-0.056660188443943424,-0.013267233340988156,0.045391337312526786,-0.07014438088652501,-0.06547934809687168,-0.1354258769780799,-0.00436415189679401,3.454636763252521E-4,0.1074813836381731,-0.02051395289435218,0.03919976068544888,-0.004751512818645695,0.02096488840136806,0.0019163246229462157,-0.01276429599571919,-0.2512584426611856,0.0669961431040719,-0.03063761480600271,-0.06479700621111606,-0.014001523820332906,0.013453812726853651,-0.06446688015285269,-0.014022329580173987,0.028753681268433254,-0.024374448211265998,7.646343337004012E-4,-0.018028862724908744,0.05029844404969435,-0.010391017737458564,0.04203870631741046,-0.004546795272659876,-0.017096611228323063,-0.06095275885515773,0.03924345093892294,0.012566897835745952,0.052703616713254936,-0.006302980736435228,0.02280307753182713,0.21413444035308093,0.00568267052681791,-0.008258556106663012,-0.13524177090140435,-0.11096075987823062,-0.018537674754179785,-0.04524655995947994,0.13562864971076888,-0.07131353873503142,-0.0659271775645974,-0.023018542439792646,-0.07789120270545878,0.01962011380121486,0.2547099275891984,-0.022046382276457943,-0.010163659152990822,0.10342914785747616,0.0068478355226325015,0.04906263686181013;-0.0935911220385563,0.008505454047037788,0.0035557566223719766,0.007301903727700905,0.009425080078515386,-0.0024364907142173345,0.07050186830735716,-0.0750529298039174,0.008494595642665298,0.010321955680644302,0.014086421006863727,0.009288225906067179,-0.10139067853383754,-2.729738327397049E-4,-0.02120644361970684,0.029450197375517795,0.0719574713721212,-0.003071301561245631,-0.021205360362786987,-0.006497985059004308,0.003553393948280924,0.07718988467551711,-0.03704138574648769,-0.09263093234104017,-0.060702043360576476,0.0503817771944987,-0.012359520547714161,0.03749969118491399,-0.13419009233047716,-0.00267372139906088,-0.04949306071418356,-1.2038406042784702E-4,-0.08844806550692888,-0.0016234612099311,0.013140584895802469,0.002116367649432695,-0.028983518915304367,0.01844053182671528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x_a{2}=[-0.24163732151331876,-1.176686363464393,19.417212548713987];
std_x_a{2}=[0.5397955108894844,0.7024179312943813,0.455462096829127];
pred_a{2}=[-0.24163732151331876];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.1 to 0.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{3}=[-0.9902611854338939,-1.7465033405811994,15.010520080302099];
std_x_f{3}=[0.8305263565480343,1.3047443647640893,0.41176381532258227];
pred_f{3}=[-0.9902611854338939];
obs{3}=[-1.0452504233062487];
sqrt_r{3}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{3}=[1.689954086036863];
L_f{3}=[-0.013418536280469835,-0.14955479291305618,-0.0150536499939725,-0.056528177334361523,0.09798708711248333,0.009835252622853145,0.01939473080007093,0.0345423542921635,-0.05838549129452564,0.014935864234335195,-0.04496801551990226,0.055151775698833956,0.09697021412116694,0.0029882675621650877,-0.07158003933151263,-0.0018817849202303024,-7.4913413906705E-4,-0.031100605409799188,-0.005641282740327874,0.030875467537704527,0.009433505119032733,0.09015068951785682,0.09705808333766038,-0.0636350816957852,0.01425702496603819,-0.24838181169541598,-0.01742590960971362,0.010302347538910753,0.03425719617895875,0.0034261884281789395,0.04923440113299185,-0.10352842487992532,-0.006219784557566053,-0.13098758376723024,0.05954262453108386,-0.030888949732220863,0.1086359046347734,0.1914334257170572,-0.006237627346574899,0.010691164792674991,0.06799410045609953,0.03268126749993604,0.08642094827471039,-0.060461297282399934,-0.013930047707555663,0.05087631866807907,-0.07642894042210711,-0.08762942425768286,-0.1468460772434554,-0.0031460698657317142,1.6924053746265365E-4,0.12038181680728481,-0.028637097495820166,0.04397511919888263,0.0028521776050519734,0.034545833442109215,0.005722936743138732,-0.013681540517511689,-0.26442689643640677,0.10354760563727936,-0.04451168687404815,-0.08376096889996383,-0.01686322337188612,0.014415799582699828,-0.08502489849966129,-0.004279163022664326,0.013542760619230184,-0.021011755454260466,0.013782678085987824,-0.010865453134623282,0.0855380023919555,-0.017203873659569154,0.060933135094698214,0.01155205460647832,-0.03129368907388192,-0.0758501948578891,0.061290700776475686,0.013599650198725713,0.07468027660493443,-0.015464851275507048,0.03203432633414143,0.2241979335093492,0.006485603876105108,-0.007052271151928569,-0.1661191695364528,-0.15877761929151704,-0.025620153067899304,-0.04847369630828335,0.15325300360919286,-0.07647116855131958,-0.07153814782028649,-0.026903127944468624,-0.08962931552003242,0.020152274517229618,0.29596120357198524,-0.02668001289146928,-0.016577289867641877,0.12459859244529842,0.00958534385809906,0.06545153003596582;-0.025420421330917244,-0.23946788389354193,-0.02347115416990378,-0.08372695648729063,0.1609246924404824,0.015274296203760434,0.0321276518405016,0.05035184419866665,-0.08655327664166654,0.0244272626531047,-0.07158170531703002,0.08683665574402442,0.1488412075580946,0.00484133677723789,-0.1075384860346173,-0.0030903373660657214,-0.0011548875307483273,-0.04213781084070892,-0.010964276227443105,0.03988124263378591,0.014221557075279261,0.14496159824108956,0.1611719058301854,-0.10838160296110787,0.018687872092442392,-0.35482783424083447,-0.028458686203315906,0.017201238216737587,0.050244215030865784,0.0037880852311636065,0.0735922617983383,-0.1690013900580721,-0.013956840488843245,-0.2013055404861534,0.08616526016759475,-0.046490649823790677,0.1764788295953954,0.31013613603626755,-0.010854762931817051,0.015327344423155701,0.10926923135259953,0.04585818799212685,0.14148406508491912,-0.09891579887032391,-0.020170826098310637,0.08162388543212283,-0.12417173707584413,-0.14477031780373567,-0.23624791961422018,-0.004667458876001617,4.392880541559032E-4,0.19389715785493555,-0.04342688895723322,0.07098599485387384,8.171798898165508E-4,0.05013724225567647,0.007550351101452073,-0.022249238674209523,-0.4244454500039816,0.15398902451264468,-0.06780241164042626,-0.1323422595359556,-0.025596296886870023,0.023221905468625126,-0.12915660817337934,-0.011463833587609967,0.02429599163930367,-0.037937141705225545,0.018245815878319638,-0.02259693216077827,0.12415258894361353,-0.02550071890238426,0.09148241446550828,0.00936120570437222,-0.044243963502228076,-0.10569076129735804,0.09082217725450843,0.022259592278371196,0.11307023928073814,-0.023044189389492438,0.048104707439625145,0.3654627899605353,0.010205714999031909,-0.013153738394201581,-0.25752167182819435,-0.23680081666203912,-0.03845552249617005,-0.07946137699767822,0.24678779834961215,-0.12073690273072135,-0.11754708143944309,-0.04537549775111862,-0.14287613643836666,0.031510042440119505,0.47015161270580197,-0.04200383077524793,-0.025677025570816334,0.19696979652198457,0.01423531401745881,0.10056104735341807;-0.07500061493765343,0.044734977183593205,-2.4842903715238847E-4,0.012242694186349469,-0.006785405145452004,-0.009352195756043775,0.045515122641453194,-0.06797855050532658,0.013289593912446602,2.5627111234190854E-4,0.014312468883588845,-0.00644270015874613,-0.09198838411713714,-0.006561145030745615,-0.005442440752302141,0.017411230768741834,0.05017580896271596,-0.0020562267817667394,-0.021150477897390444,-0.015329706695669723,-0.004517888155678758,0.04510239635219732,-0.04205086781803316,-0.06331341564891939,-0.05489375657715735,0.12519623547305647,-0.011945528689116889,0.021132760050881723,-0.11338991352098819,-0.008310117740703027,-0.049380985734140306,0.020641879096556418,-0.07231616543233298,0.029020273478778575,-0.0030550038079304102,0.0017982386660582248,-0.03658663539827154,0.006884737109935419,-9.88710854947864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k{3}=[0.408267947477132;0.640759904561839;-0.07395977608764649];
x_a{3}=[-1.012711528713372,-1.7817382393922176,15.014587072022369];
L_a{3}=[-0.024098618062344118,-0.26858844798521625,-0.02703515152967565,-0.1015200858624156,0.17597697230228015,0.017663327173007125,0.03483138549568591,0.06203530591280528,-0.10485567320311524,0.02682361772484375,-0.08075895972446147,0.09904817859759411,0.17415074973049952,0.005366689566098317,-0.12855202629278845,-0.0033795352280049313,-0.0013453850045564496,-0.05585420016110604,-0.01013129266108718,0.055449870547385385,0.016941820784403643,0.1619034289089937,0.17430855581630908,-0.11428351774736939,0.025604476686620296,-0.4460738703961928,-0.0312955400869339,0.01850219228807341,0.06152318474594585,0.006153160420371623,0.08842104709729715,-0.1859287717847905,-0.011170235661322291,-0.23524322520259747,0.10693379195856013,-0.055474083490548484,0.19510139697285814,0.3437991234137769,-0.011202279883471677,0.019200476981624602,0.12211196684463035,0.058692942867437876,0.15520511190844458,-0.10858365475249773,-0.025017251679172205,0.09136979968408428,-0.13726026487872087,-0.1573754381305045,-0.263723811262044,-0.005650089883653405,3.0394247090232297E-4,0.21619611589918222,-0.0514299369574547,0.07897579733508941,0.005122282886409745,0.06204155418787567,0.01027793672016119,-0.024570952639288608,-0.47488955944521793,0.18596321889108877,-0.07993942996968861,-0.15042800167332684,-0.030285000602528422,0.025889623200737052,-0.15269791815632908,-0.0076850345786063125,0.024321715040379718,-0.03773543245909609,0.02475258762417199,-0.01951348490570376,0.1536194117133198,-0.030896781276971298,0.10943103772991668,0.02074656624076414,-0.056200962980652754,-0.13622088412840272,0.11007319709940754,0.024423884175621757,0.1341198045059439,-0.027773636147023228,0.05753108827037708,0.4026415591894543,0.01164762589951009,-0.012665315009787632,-0.2983367437266116,-0.2851519065997995,-0.04601174603378438,-0.08705488206665112,0.27523013864487417,-0.13733610322174922,-0.12847679248874352,-0.04831586631097341,-0.16096708290384165,0.03619187342997019,0.5315226532221461,-0.047915169518580575,-0.02977148689537106,0.22376910772415398,0.017214511017030056,0.11754571370265407;-0.042182374419702635,-0.4262863543000544,-0.04227563252282343,-0.1543399232720654,0.2833266387598223,0.027560140176218204,0.056354852262769234,0.09350091128910341,-0.15948633325000341,0.043084607269802955,-0.12775413358235704,0.15573027109107074,0.2699729126960239,0.00857417317956995,-0.196953697670966,-0.005440995433145287,-0.0020906789638666418,-0.08098756896750435,-0.018011163807244095,0.07844976662507779,0.026005552509877263,0.2575745984249716,0.28241337403422195,-0.18787225916168374,0.03649723510129708,-0.6650974634108752,-0.05022650597905136,0.03007056036500558,0.09303707285849482,0.008067956634877116,0.1350941055834012,-0.2983253762903765,-0.021726371740028644,-0.36493052076923294,0.1605437660129617,-0.08507601528775093,0.31218289590970455,0.5492678888910922,-0.018646582753535628,0.028682363105790944,0.19420501707001162,0.08668245237283137,0.2494380066021776,-0.1744418776878575,-0.03757174087158846,0.14517675357062762,-0.21964402162341634,-0.2542338440709334,-0.41968275979194336,-0.008597416242528171,6.506972488978798E-4,0.3442737953577422,-0.0791993215676779,0.12591813273229904,0.004380017610525963,0.09329065537514038,0.014699237925881447,-0.03933972720019193,-0.7547580221681482,0.2833369706574354,-0.12340481056760493,-0.23697345045175433,-0.04666122924440793,0.041229604020235545,-0.23536665450342256,-0.016809210188004277,0.0412131213058667,-0.06418427118908421,0.035462641818672466,-0.036169665574036634,0.23100358620843386,-0.04699117935199403,0.1675978961143157,0.023791616991086558,-0.0833349148003139,-0.20044009769358215,0.16738431709753612,0.03924778636230528,0.20635815585710585,-0.04236232559950358,0.08812083617530887,0.6455227879765613,0.018307298186010734,-0.021963181968913368,-0.4650317659783831,-0.43514011019489984,-0.07045929659459163,-0.1400129756651171,0.4382259405970328,-0.21626193713908998,-0.20690996370608125,-0.0789819179389237,-0.25483785496897615,0.05668353923811022,0.8398557075998538,-0.07533154366043758,-0.04638478007493741,0.35261387854727555,0.026208980945883927,0.18232074551430238;-0.07306586482546287,0.06629851782016066,0.001922079757991384,0.02039320294182099,-0.020913662044829886,-0.010770290525678437,0.04271869560894918,-0.07295903589100598,0.021707899267911793,-0.0018972547565787106,0.020796177035777026,-0.014394752602508583,-0.10597002330107184,-0.0069920080459292145,0.0048783189961968156,0.017682555711301617,0.05028382278250301,0.002428010436668221,-0.020337090193499528,-0.019781482435878565,-0.005878057007624452,0.03210402953982106,-0.056045176414854334,-0.05413819870447759,-0.056949404084158016,0.1610091384603387,-0.009432975913782764,0.01964731725443134,-0.11832928341687166,-0.008804122325648173,-0.05647984220586519,0.035569113145390324,-0.07141936651037702,0.04790670319750055,-0.011640150286186859,0.006251958334934737,-0.052250290828853824,-0.02071706938681041,-8.933927250834489E-5,-0.006655256204010081,0.028382813164144843,-0.040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x_a{3}=[-1.0127115287133721,-1.7817382393922168,15.014587072022366];
std_x_a{3}=[1.4915589181132756,2.3416154974639576,0.4692787039647567];
pred_a{3}=[-1.0127115287133721];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.2 to 0.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{4}=[-2.076908916274036,-3.565689889954855,12.500892034287038];
std_x_f{4}=[2.800138226984032,4.639904043045567,1.7638141828428842];
pred_f{4}=[-2.076908916274036];
obs{4}=[-2.199598000809167];
sqrt_r{4}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{4}=[8.84426758944252];
L_f{4}=[-0.0591058307211923,-0.501542677088551,-0.056588423952972,-0.1943459724310358,0.3453417636894847,0.02889863957930576,0.06557036096678426,0.11233093129929787,-0.20011166440661335,0.04881114472276168,-0.1591280855827851,0.18926958964958848,0.33641821528211185,0.005624346260753607,-0.24718043985667076,-0.010420211442362298,-0.004722065457659411,-0.10658061518584351,-0.027119811086824503,0.09738833641148638,0.02783315827235188,0.313625655300983,0.34446306678518485,-0.23553772301784928,0.04007891434753111,-0.7517746130663845,-0.06650989086294026,0.03292244324865561,0.11052550743581048,0.005737048495316931,0.16494964906997173,-0.3582942177043777,-0.03343522046950689,-0.43904619122151334,0.19881921789310583,-0.10998251462854726,0.38315666222212064,0.6720816068258205,-0.02720022746424057,0.03138715195802793,0.23560469496304937,0.10510425060208708,0.30368393909717173,-0.21499159490042508,-0.04844261443939099,0.17525457148899143,-0.26746581989869994,-0.31885375333621774,-0.49400105609453193,-0.013572010672560926,-0.003470951804036414,0.42298504077321275,-0.10209647884147893,0.15138085258370337,0.0028710163066755045,0.11312340427893809,0.01478210042349112,-0.05219902168743933,-0.8266844808327207,0.35380732714613916,-0.15720990599030804,-0.2921817851255735,-0.06099004044829932,0.045999183245753625,-0.2885709219126315,-0.0218820178801454,0.039833770846250324,-0.08253399820152194,0.042874444842585846,-0.04666162680016996,0.28792050916138623,-0.063321490064541,0.2060939305406729,0.02772628046632772,-0.10928242525224464,-0.23966415657415654,0.20603159889851122,0.04386340187934614,0.2555570165523586,-0.058379842703898746,0.10587300577911088,0.7807686103765377,0.018646407109155994,-0.03138669400999186,-0.5458013670542662,-0.518066064877006,-0.09145127454949763,-0.17403899941684897,0.5402359207875539,-0.2613517719144101,-0.25317030921161016,-0.10246203217279126,-0.30892475301055655,0.06436387142962963,1.0104981681829666,-0.09691534485628336,-0.06211369536826659,0.43498755097305425,0.028147648712578393,0.22351276838670192;-0.11901800410575109,-0.8144041325150352,-0.10823587750010129,-0.3386849459475263,0.5973052948369608,0.0395034498467531,0.10627054087179577,0.18287218218151438,-0.3483928059323558,0.0740199160390864,-0.2811467274130158,0.3199033472276487,0.5826271859353438,-0.0011406571523227284,-0.4283424486616993,-0.026904224604996557,-0.014887115178471246,-0.19348295667152637,-0.05848805318405602,0.1559291522178742,0.03810048698840111,0.5386397363916635,0.5970335799381439,-0.41920153433530966,0.05613586878365796,-1.105295632727927,-0.12581547912123855,0.04793022703654506,0.17837182512585184,-7.548723781834236E-4,0.27630032595135584,-0.6044247140137726,-0.07471435095004901,-0.7241310003044032,0.336592427727302,-0.19894424964634605,0.6639973102144017,1.156560753352665,-0.05781725520792813,0.04375127196348713,0.4021806425487696,0.16992564018096398,0.5229294138455879,-0.37477046181066,-0.08941550430568099,0.2959089547387244,-0.4607720568254807,-0.5598706191332343,-0.8043236051555366,-0.031981532766804814,-0.015343705836168729,0.731985705901751,-0.18403884574993054,0.25459203812857567,-0.005422150203609655,0.18543386099501602,0.01632179255338805,-0.09989793030075071,-1.201711940068247,0.6102161806942068,-0.2781848454457078,-0.5030652808682217,-0.11359957769286455,0.06964037166330199,-0.490168212294215,-0.04656287192647555,0.05274064150924887,-0.1534389244070699,0.06650436288370803,-0.09158189490757991,0.4923937687125517,-0.11916654911700476,0.34976690203575816,0.0343651435624114,-0.19648434740704968,-0.39251085941526265,0.3497513095259633,0.06528795864796016,0.4377691109692928,-0.11224169138781938,0.1728044499243531,1.3274143402262166,0.02211649466336108,-0.0658598762117288,-0.8733832192689326,-0.834692489705637,-0.165770028691723,-0.30698027836879554,0.9353830982967791,-0.443222261278781,-0.43784613211974577,-0.18956616970646056,-0.5247653809016265,0.10059724114729987,1.6755403407027645,-0.17687224217354489,-0.11808289570995939,0.7531386723805554,0.03862751630432295,0.3806405833410378;-0.09827394013154117,0.36757199730393103,-0.04140543668646456,0.048163686683760754,-0.1013470932854142,-0.08235675260460339,-0.05120978426505626,-0.14831892985780823,0.052820942397674826,-0.0810616755959768,0.026148140287100455,-0.11132991572323817,-0.16852226001677112,-0.07238514446496347,0.0730263037309894,-0.04763067217514616,-0.024614243274765288,-0.017261365607507222,-0.07064223036178907,-0.10505694920318502,-0.07817860588942202,-0.06717420539326613,-0.12861259389378488,0.01896109655337497,-0.12186339671935131,0.7980806223553242,-0.04581203249763406,-0.06042123393749356,-0.18297954425256807,-0.07350609859590303,-0.1419777877641999,0.19181125521740744,-0.10711208273886126,0.2818180240271535,-0.1098652531128074,-0.013206278468781725,-0.11590467930213706,0.05875923040083549,-0.05501043487163684,-0.07991849159844214,-0.07869063871537059,-0.12335750432124654,-0.10320495456476732,0.05903148480669515,-0.004666228739241641,-0.121160257049499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k{4}=[0.8869324124482952;1.4672859658547446;-0.31574641193423547];
x_a{4}=[-2.1857258420018524,-3.7457098618568185,12.539630672512502];
L_a{4}=[0.022592632358195253,0.19170983940411815,0.02163037795932397,0.07428686902553029,-0.1320035504072521,-0.01104622558723577,-0.0250636365455159,-0.042937412474076286,0.07649074904050426,-0.01865758816428654,0.06082517226420313,-0.07234647078577512,-0.12859261030137079,-0.0021498519820115974,0.09448233339551998,0.0039830250812723945,0.001804963868276596,0.04073940973374603,0.010366285593692919,-0.0372257500431694,-0.01063895565872219,-0.11988037460698073,-0.13166767701082194,0.09003201744562925,-0.015319777526529263,0.2873585776900995,0.025422762764949116,-0.012584285637723826,-0.04224730665709042,-0.002192931321568605,-0.06305040862432357,0.13695450073016144,0.012780289772865865,0.16782116189726798,-0.07599672385608466,0.04203975290616679,-0.14645792977703545,-0.25689669652636987,0.010397023976494921,-0.0119974353850725,-0.09005761682419759,-0.04017508364509342,-0.11608024970455334,0.08217845861264363,0.018516721026417667,-0.06698936559103709,0.10223622379759717,0.12187876453571414,0.18882712769152396,0.00518776986543122,0.0013267377699420736,-0.16168194241755524,0.03902539196872832,-0.05786386735052788,-0.0010974182262502425,-0.04324032760891765,-0.0056503149735803605,0.019952571380050847,0.3159921504154228,-0.13523943019351842,0.06009196665993298,0.11168366255169764,0.02331285330984875,-0.017582743075734732,0.11030344499836439,0.008364189779407645,-0.015226073793211546,0.031547822874104126,-0.016388342031084538,0.01783595571990821,-0.11005483101238928,0.024204027385209725,-0.07877741243371887,-0.010598102650664028,0.04177215051053693,0.09160930677818156,-0.07875358676612443,-0.016766361297152525,-0.09768419885273041,0.02231513045743505,-0.04046893287918805,-0.29844125284803386,-0.007127408844071327,0.011997260338863126,0.20862729575064307,0.1980257446381975,0.03495636554591917,0.06652472491860752,-0.20649995772190902,0.09989918806619842,0.09677190304640737,0.039165121195454074,0.11808350015477305,-0.02460246758427526,-0.3862531552949193,0.03704495359407388,0.023742359539514125,-0.1662697859012151,-0.010759166589006483,-0.0854355947950956;0.016138865375863,0.3324698276273078,0.021164456393519725,0.10572456339587062,-0.1923851826000644,-0.026578857265056537,-0.04366872249554047,-0.07399413430735678,0.10920106895173202,-0.037596170496638624,0.08273029844968488,-0.11289803485217655,-0.18665787882594462,-0.014001808483904048,0.1368832497250717,-0.0030764035473827846,-0.004089202739763763,0.050234154147767655,0.003526619864330009,-0.06676804216703411,-0.02554539183567515,-0.17852574867785773,-0.19064758773435783,0.11940084887264649,-0.035512290616829395,0.6137818595942233,0.026272200366797893,-0.0273532824054259,-0.07436604185983267,-0.01387373908270342,-0.1008888264277316,0.21488404499373437,0.0017417224008647223,0.2798327041097854,-0.11804601919635153,0.052551959670623566,-0.21216421826908952,-0.38028332626505135,0.004381305380722375,-0.02802149814783378,-0.13657488491493752,-0.07041547857596875,-0.1715024217178442,0.11684924096736687,0.021357866734774026,-0.10484438813411438,0.15084007128018545,0.1692499193576399,0.32530498558871185,-9.465155325964199E-4,-0.007406705810434966,-0.23525108361456007,0.04942442338846572,-0.09156944687251775,-0.011987282128940844,-0.07324459764243926,-0.017480328036477182,0.01946518963502287,0.6886613973007033,-0.19883243859174368,0.08130589321555518,0.16506466359363925,0.025865900348265573,-0.03554562319283803,0.16970479774962444,0.0034745778231441054,-0.03834695004534963,0.035290963771615134,-0.03153631559047782,0.015118904764442396,-0.1659919472647529,0.0256302376569598,-0.12150657692832893,-0.02903633856673638,0.053410972669318005,0.15552740913241897,-0.12137963612928676,-0.03501416062672514,-0.14661124389295016,0.021255066620844292,-0.06929457565592545,-0.4579635130312833,-0.0205221076742192,0.005911846713177634,0.374696762515177,0.34996538006912364,0.043350929890490504,0.0909934247646909,-0.29997041834000604,0.15440891815677865,0.14107655657642856,0.04473300755277439,0.18165058538843545,-0.04658315144680662,-0.6351584069852022,0.04474336589217221,0.023952035792991898,-0.24154416915359997,-0.025737505502167975,-0.13046442433266986;-0.127358452339919,0.1207752949005207,-0.06925119550976373,-0.04746914241025365,0.068587016759811,-0.06813644937234589,-0.01894423718151951,-0.09304366677650493,-0.045649040604969084,-0.05704292283889831,-0.05215484084617843,-0.018195048593042048,-0.002979206647841636,-0.06961754327420026,-0.04860505535768139,-0.052758199581686725,-0.02693785447819934,-0.06970704086028129,-0.083987216245912,-0.05713456617003525,-0.06448259956157808,0.08715319495221951,0.04088913121532223,-0.09694117056745448,-0.10214155778373336,0.4281509953644274,-0.07853989892262137,-0.044220916795993284,-0.12859268544133773,-0.07068303943293847,-0.06081015973823774,0.015503564049507597,-0.12356472482289362,0.06577429106858096,-0.012031250959127904,-0.06732594399740036,0.0726372036922407,0.3894739071128088,-0.06839499165903866,-0.0644736531929796,0.03724458363735393,-0.0716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x_a{4}=[-2.1857258420018537,-3.745709861856821,12.539630672512503];
std_x_a{4}=[1.070325765537331,1.7918877685163739,1.5018616042609187];
pred_a{4}=[-2.1857258420018537];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.3 to 0.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{5}=[-4.671962293210146,-8.329495100310154,11.732213763175148];
std_x_f{5}=[2.0476060048158478,3.398944844008941,2.2630743591008637];
pred_f{5}=[-4.671962293210146];
obs{5}=[-4.894227202491621];
sqrt_r{5}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{5}=[5.192882938359763];
L_f{5}=[0.013877586311994936,0.4130214781994613,0.022604832185058914,0.1332661963716824,-0.24057016409101684,-0.04118541459253554,-0.05968309789817309,-0.10562089478490702,0.13816637274629076,-0.05468731269787003,0.10392643210208043,-0.14921577207922607,-0.2451564923616579,-0.024482509308463414,0.1750088396986995,-0.009032881790922482,-0.008633419017079374,0.060721299889530136,-0.0018839258082368707,-0.09183404067513247,-0.03944738926430935,-0.21927621451900273,-0.24365691856895033,0.15412482901174937,-0.05517040227467588,0.6924390322854183,0.028668339967611308,-0.040687897572520615,-0.11019832027458362,-0.024327886106562443,-0.13867331385003034,0.27471064792142025,-0.005222653105255438,0.3517722661149062,-0.15531072493248244,0.06401896342762434,-0.26480024485691445,-0.3969125019325652,4.7373654488278217E-4,-0.04254880979851037,-0.1727506164077799,-0.09838787245200036,-0.21692175683504777,0.14884394349485666,0.023842544433639038,-0.14172075188180752,0.19356606864533146,0.22129778881518217,0.4055293308610063,-0.005589993353767128,-0.01504104339098953,-0.28360186411215416,0.0597183034274391,-0.12158521198976581,-0.021300107953160567,-0.10073480391904176,-0.02810073074776365,0.020281334403314224,0.7625333631362371,-0.24853059259291652,0.10154791321707066,0.21172809754933924,0.02843302709843736,-0.05256209613297704,0.2164303477151866,-3.3220085179085464E-4,-0.06405052906386105,0.041164639112227036,-0.043635599369711855,0.014116691349386163,-0.207852768533534,0.028521310866145115,-0.15872668308215038,-0.04485366833600055,0.06468816591103994,0.19404894288020033,-0.1613543377108845,-0.05112760813738991,-0.19759525446126455,0.02184790205410681,-0.09614220532384177,-0.43553980414604615,-0.03231057219693482,0.0018134558798865894,0.458689877213952,0.431057228593283,0.0521238660532695,0.11482933112619323,-0.34219963991540103,0.19625108121433085,0.18064960370855246,0.05314804111705191,0.23213534574456315,-0.06853865263565763,-0.5049885780475719,0.053397593502095705,0.025866594101646663,-0.2902448928528411,-0.040157980093703825,-0.1702049673140182;-0.006697588290891169,0.7358548078311337,0.016984309999368355,0.21640167437802849,-0.39070495983159037,-0.09226218578014594,-0.11620007224042628,-0.20714345033078682,0.2251784539768066,-0.11381312995455942,0.1628785047317999,-0.26466459958037714,-0.4134289844510317,-0.06427103427605506,0.2906598064307619,-0.035384529233245955,-0.03085649095557055,0.08455770628559897,-0.027935646870171426,-0.17743231717841682,-0.08945605056152574,-0.3539247028235756,-0.4013215469476192,0.24734183738872031,-0.12268801847046762,1.238263141478042,0.026433117084076627,-0.08814538409775433,-0.22094741888391478,-0.06447736613135557,-0.25558642661506303,0.47730925020810344,-0.03988682406159142,0.6215780500520585,-0.27307630758017715,0.09010235745563691,-0.426554021844723,-0.5263488151756615,-0.021321705566788585,-0.09476293384659847,-0.29201024788211305,-0.19093414831723607,-0.35970677716021554,0.24385325256562893,0.02583186057441678,-0.2558839949881595,0.3265189558706394,0.3707322092608384,0.7213402166591137,-0.02768412000915891,-0.047470927540278214,-0.4420407764379953,0.08332429581212161,-0.21903562206500488,-0.057793937242038726,-0.191935067715541,-0.06829594691206393,0.01343432009781878,1.3534014030996617,-0.4057615568947664,0.15741654408157005,0.3593507471667887,0.03046508253446997,-0.11084711879801955,0.3699248172703169,-0.018990233327120593,-0.14776537970705692,0.048752474481603414,-0.08846163681553691,0.0025387889345564554,-0.34553457916734753,0.02762552748353893,-0.27777135069465897,-0.10211052944126996,0.09227258787545056,0.33824484885622713,-0.2854865284600082,-0.10832463780038369,-0.34740134744192824,0.014164109955137134,-0.18424018368224862,-0.5199921180823278,-0.0758216747129468,-0.020289594825881645,0.820673477417524,0.7703122144370095,0.07003005836418426,0.18204057914998648,-0.5004897792768936,0.33457990185673603,0.30203292263606124,0.06832261628340136,0.39850544245629255,-0.14272567310619483,-0.46353285497304775,0.07173997947046477,0.021887633065357237,-0.4501505791999095,-0.09109827058969866,-0.2939801801699522;-0.14425154342071558,-0.11896171680590223,-0.10572185760386531,-0.15881281258151467,0.25057382254192023,-0.055425661273945895,-0.0015343580116287856,-0.01747345554994271,-0.15998504682263964,-0.03526702867088613,-0.14585957962549342,0.08278288508069616,0.1996395383411933,-0.07034827211721902,-0.18207648265460133,-0.0689250283233315,-0.04953189543112313,-0.1328007694077622,-0.098886771854864,-0.0026151015061195893,-0.05391529436330776,0.2403065551397109,0.2319279478350465,-0.20776215440991302,-0.06966117447963106,0.15455341912752754,-0.11737453469420527,-0.03798260983675454,-0.04140159122305226,-0.07158746386817481,0.038747571125694574,-0.17100339579738905,-0.12701925461972252,-0.15219945285568248,0.09439805848080157,-0.1323271754630937,0.28271440851874385,0.7117245100806233,-0.08843640666079726,-0.05136831838210387,0.1509566287137739,-0.007832452905697854,0.20528492734366233,-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k{5}=[0.8074287420166912;1.3247831847760492;-0.5383191681267152];
x_a{5}=[-4.851425369305741,-8.623947914692026,11.851863224243312];
L_a{5}=[-0.0077664480044717325,-0.23114320913238423,-0.012650561118349685,-0.07458105189227267,0.1346326103715312,0.023048992366854655,0.03340102998828476,0.05910964407576705,-0.07732338504521015,0.03060519034244335,-0.05816135551709193,0.0835070673852518,0.13719930167105343,0.013701383748471276,-0.0979418915714517,0.005055159102062522,0.004831603881937959,-0.033982049021619457,0.0010543196421201114,0.05139397341218366,0.022076324423117393,0.12271567118319758,0.13636008066906555,-0.0862543704508056,0.030875546440068482,-0.3875163605261215,-0.016043940691655267,0.022770562099485348,0.061671353025772695,0.013614850468774642,0.07760708940380753,-0.15373897991989768,0.0029228039282524084,-0.19686571949728793,0.08691804486795776,-0.03582755239872443,0.14819272509046014,0.22212798676089848,-2.651217698045527E-4,0.02381200242773234,0.09667810020477496,0.055061757750235765,0.12139802323130855,-0.08329897735416408,-0.0133432340087922,0.07931255665787817,-0.10832725329653244,-0.12384702438147531,-0.22695030617089043,0.0031283821084830735,0.008417564755346114,0.1587148573303789,-0.033420732399523145,0.0680439094956305,0.011920385662805982,0.056375193732477236,0.01572628404779079,-0.011350239556319558,-0.42674392962367974,0.13908758205489083,-0.05683024196227164,-0.11849144539503646,-0.015912250272144237,0.029415834817757083,-0.12112301118724511,1.8591277938915198E-4,0.03584521778138159,-0.023037365583640553,0.024420212998848754,-0.00790026067180147,0.11632265749310433,-0.015961657371918504,0.08882975060398436,0.025101892729016657,-0.036202064664406966,-0.1085974888802637,0.09030029040744651,0.028613038410637212,0.11058214556931566,-0.012226952979809509,0.05380499331050595,0.24374535792685664,0.018082278381891807,-0.0010148818737571812,-0.2567010574800422,-0.2412367307654775,-0.029170583874867793,-0.06426305047074425,0.19150849800550498,-0.10982989287950244,-0.1010986869538126,-0.02974375288290104,-0.1299121513059456,0.03835694983437367,0.28261164773795394,-0.029883412300559162,-0.014475972523375699,0.16243255982898672,0.022473999249623636,0.09525345395290857;-0.04220988952697734,-0.3210539961238655,-0.04086073537809276,-0.12462227631057428,0.22490642557414323,0.013129978005500708,0.036527073792942684,0.06313705436941272,-0.12838489193606728,0.026129960915657988,-0.10306592394818913,0.11717380719447468,0.21391866888004007,-0.0016210729621088742,-0.15718223862186206,-0.012269672515551796,-0.008763846749360357,-0.07082616556680613,-0.023114740748282,0.057568067100473554,0.011488561782227291,0.20719614404709696,0.22218874482394738,-0.14705868967517471,0.018491283235687456,-0.5336662812119485,-0.04692825152714776,0.015973649484437146,0.061046571808775076,-0.0022230806648188294,0.09927416543126827,-0.2256665456126509,-0.02652222115761888,-0.27859597156261173,0.12435888936253729,-0.0737201303280444,0.2510613682768387,0.48933763174016587,-0.022533982292020114,0.014118114833719464,0.15005307571545767,0.06083728267527502,0.19538908750962902,-0.13703365670818363,-0.03518045101396882,0.10677489389090247,-0.16881044682790355,-0.1955617818269229,-0.3163964209546546,-0.01337950511261077,-0.008981376706486511,0.28368735834300085,-0.06949294004900017,0.09209706174341284,-0.0032876396058284063,0.06584208612849994,0.0036129277894529784,-0.038464968482196216,-0.59789717905033,0.2302203114301363,-0.10244133055067467,-0.18245470885956874,-0.042294127941544905,0.023657610591486904,-0.1839135471179701,-0.018140141931220842,0.016137883534080962,-0.05658652551183519,0.02320047175265081,-0.03358537447438928,0.18635403337454348,-0.04535959834134232,0.12840517432151227,0.01266857880428863,-0.07326236774267317,-0.1583202136250966,0.12741408103469698,0.022509282510831577,0.15823861339076997,-0.04174397533281594,0.061784656675678166,0.5945403645419433,0.006860050132539767,-0.024930170646276565,-0.3530993046321803,-0.33274950016143773,-0.06335325421324745,-0.11180402076916503,0.37518819687463706,-0.16762036246207043,-0.16024365780449482,-0.06768152765229696,-0.1955215115319955,0.032662555364714796,0.828716827445262,-0.06490276106788608,-0.044304157137761806,0.2925768544833273,0.011664721047235063,0.14156890850040316;-0.1298212934904926,0.31050800674515355,-0.08221680631269095,-0.020239398036697432,4.2314680174529093E-4,-0.09825125159554579,-0.06359428687232707,-0.127300616796465,-0.016316310353817802,-0.09213221923795409,-0.03779436166369763,-0.07237528408689917,-0.05528011247285225,-0.09580577750018174,-9.805787134196811E-5,-0.07831763730465774,-0.058509133357657644,-0.0696612930035275,-0.10084572348028853,-0.09810635836099599,-0.09493364390776436,0.012297843240909417,-0.021432409876359956,-0.047499429099382234,-0.12702869327404798,0.8745682742096242,-0.08756450134138302,-0.08029086992657317,-0.15598847021645038,-0.09688418830564162,-0.10544829496512334,0.11464738084906709,-0.13244989564859813,0.2135818584211553,-0.06709779009357904,-0.06575870874522231,0.0073687087001257775,0.2990052897096802,-0.08794380394228075,-0.09561160001785424,-0.02867364086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x_a{5}=[-4.851425369305744,-8.623947914692039,11.85186322424331];
std_x_a{5}=[1.1459215754472398,1.9490674154037635,1.9609796889579416];
pred_a{5}=[-4.851425369305744];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.4 to 0.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{6}=[-10.256199318134172,-17.029914268458377,18.11635364239753];
std_x_f{6}=[1.9020315906332776,2.758308014796844,3.493928558776013];
pred_f{6}=[-10.256199318134172];
obs{6}=[-10.767528621155154];
sqrt_r{6}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{6}=[4.622921594044989];
L_f{6}=[-0.07209315000769972,-0.2651367304550258,-0.06424157472743441,-0.14600219623306152,0.2453595324800191,-0.005052118687393685,0.024913399241029956,0.0495767561099606,-0.1489340198481304,0.010173158420156946,-0.12544985220047175,0.11647128282202279,0.23085786665263774,-0.021565115681610462,-0.1762521586009331,-0.031624567334179836,-0.025239373476074935,-0.09557621946795258,-0.046253965504022616,0.04572949067572611,-0.006358240179195816,0.22534323243512605,0.24030143538773305,-0.17408676640312,-0.002046202143565072,-0.27324364147683555,-0.07151577617817949,3.385218880542273E-4,0.0445153244294621,-0.022404147394903817,0.09292254337041818,-0.22184497387202723,-0.05469591901103033,-0.25048978861218,0.12494439251653709,-0.09801929758759621,0.27535649023949416,0.5457766635584,-0.04413805824779729,-0.0037888271565964635,0.1579024235675534,0.04862833197157801,0.21031481877212482,-0.1576538747333515,-0.05340993311459713,0.10362499822840385,-0.1828886815617267,-0.21534506580149582,-0.263792113694563,-0.03190370844594023,-0.02831322119253304,0.31486113451961467,-0.09282847609587198,0.08867562008102689,-0.0230625867659451,0.05572684307399866,-0.014101927176182857,-0.060170867603915726,-0.26412629242614066,0.2517548049051879,-0.1265450630121177,-0.1967183740876188,-0.06369492391159871,0.006946637501956529,-0.19218261265356953,-0.037609878738176825,-0.010682189470521101,-0.08144358680723406,0.010817847901914486,-0.05660210159882141,0.20035389074730617,-0.06863080315966896,0.1300810759866356,-0.00766841512986196,-0.09706440999256502,-0.15775402450251289,0.12849942335496797,0.006269217043123387,0.16363495882318932,-0.06633774816358792,0.05067584935201343,0.6535988294290712,-0.011191400326555172,-0.047780906617138894,-0.2732684113303674,-0.26868082677966354,-0.08645383078346948,-0.13504582508972782,0.4200688656453066,-0.17677620781352804,-0.17663278167134405,-0.0949296391198247,-0.20155554840492082,0.015146401423689103,0.8719326159962575,-0.08890150687635913,-0.06834197693782618,0.324884014618973,-0.006417018372408039,0.1455807472796334;-0.16488781835606747,-0.14079780495582167,-0.13615703519247527,-0.20408054154530147,0.3240024869243089,-0.06828164216256948,-0.01510208679072394,-0.004520514032932044,-0.2056704583566984,-0.04565007654922547,-0.18965315995210866,0.10873815783409087,0.28519166328967555,-0.08860072507209582,-0.22594787618872442,-0.09499710633525611,-0.07927921878825393,-0.16871690931984318,-0.1228743851105104,-3.1168939869731326E-4,-0.06943762149313217,0.2966914926063331,0.3108019307895645,-0.2456075035103953,-0.07439612050482616,0.20342708121639821,-0.14855406976657343,-0.05449747017267019,-0.021748294454264353,-0.09025522993757325,0.06388712369678613,-0.21279368926413836,-0.14437290939237646,-0.18355761708016013,0.12268263777899868,-0.1704374937724472,0.3731480852707576,0.8823322881500794,-0.11444426542986244,-0.06565985286675396,0.18319639105939897,-4.539930005312012E-4,0.26465454279082956,-0.2122507467328193,-0.11115216522557922,0.08620814796402361,-0.21970170377162157,-0.2629666340576521,-0.14706435112161842,-0.09255198855635238,-0.09395628436834659,0.44820679050667206,-0.16283342190769248,0.06979057921200739,-0.0874786039242248,0.014375479473972917,-0.07454300068448326,-0.1295614271356514,0.318847160227122,0.33217284046261836,-0.19506523781982155,-0.22986011580760649,-0.13003126380095595,-0.050811117009090474,-0.2144818811637569,-0.09966515486091376,-0.1043515369027603,-0.15746882255238204,-0.03366893858522111,-0.12886406691331756,0.24960371263732856,-0.14092859124678497,0.1326467440635745,-0.07671137394564645,-0.16810124114016062,-0.1608893255966329,0.12469440770329047,-0.0507605549539926,0.1731738647114726,-0.14375260182404542,0.007273035258169812,1.0938388572046418,-0.0719692477750642,-0.12162694943123595,-0.10169802318797942,-0.12736473974138676,-0.15567813708137834,-0.19909315186211182,0.6410372305733465,-0.20210537859338082,-0.22079851738969147,-0.17533579545995026,-0.2169455485789171,-0.04569750900796992,1.5119723872540503,-0.16230326614228682,-0.14233793820997784,0.4653277361427828,-0.07007686086501143,0.15632553888616058;-0.011520020212103481,0.7632091069878298,0.013236637626297681,0.22251909724735508,-0.4060547479569867,-0.10476655572441596,-0.12900896631693098,-0.22136176663654775,0.23214197772819672,-0.12676306517276884,0.16752203870911755,-0.2827764546738494,-0.43016355104908677,-0.07494100043400871,0.30189704674771367,-0.04281934533169265,-0.038004725244610266,0.08288410269851465,-0.034539211876010986,-0.19139097633321223,-0.09988915102525109,-0.37070455882857645,-0.41710359183357204,0.25781659031415993,-0.13409563969111576,1.2858883102655125,0.02282793708383629,-0.10002306036675802,-0.23588987457683924,-0.0744133123270451,-0.27319365817732366,0.49702273387126744,-0.04550250361551325,0.6455513005373928,-0.29165142856996634,0.0903284191167888,-0.43880512415418826,-0.4869235862670954,-0.02787375983322263,-0.10595642916947032,-0.30922938599050753,-0.20571791172275128,-0.3757807448125825,0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k{6}=[0.7836865757601973;1.0267436482917383;-1.1267117369132988];
x_a{6}=[-10.656921228704533,-17.55491838252061,18.692474369538967];
L_a{6}=[0.04451448441065921,0.16371076660227685,0.039666467291485305,0.09015020827144424,-0.1514991796366488,0.003119470553398864,-0.015382974970755242,-0.030611559305595344,0.09196048589967716,-0.006281496950166283,0.07746000125533341,-0.0719161127363231,-0.14254501162855635,0.013315550863300826,0.10882828625948873,0.019526838672478834,0.015584250334678631,0.05901429097052215,0.02855987602345123,-0.028236034901714824,0.003925945576047224,-0.13913995721104663,-0.1483760176699694,0.10749124775829683,0.0012634436615831682,0.16871644279010137,0.044157980383153494,-2.090230112964523E-4,-0.02748633837110847,0.01383361761607079,-0.05737575772205105,0.1369799298540109,0.03377242683782199,0.1546668967719575,-0.0771479011845456,0.06052278883556586,-0.17002103793259982,-0.33699410802658925,0.027253392389963202,0.002339441228174732,-0.09749809755229742,-0.030025947336660516,-0.12986054459490823,0.09734462911314357,0.03297838469743852,-0.06398407293480969,0.11292605973516133,0.13296651032045628,0.16288052237219844,0.01969919655483674,0.01748222186512803,-0.19441349230265056,0.05731767514103056,-0.054753461421519226,0.01424017620193444,-0.03440897903625806,0.008707346223287437,0.03715297705321888,0.16308686366725353,-0.15544799106521995,0.07813624781407302,0.12146531252522919,0.039328933431236536,-0.004289256146448155,0.11866467083285075,0.02322251643323308,0.006595802189340195,0.050287985403489374,-0.006679565558381538,0.034949414319698495,-0.12371009097720508,0.04237663102549674,-0.08031958693038628,0.004734923438859937,0.059933185954315626,0.09740646737846527,-0.07934298303101553,-0.0038709775381343446,-0.10103769668540916,0.040960766122036085,-0.03129020310162844,-0.4035697552449567,0.006910218450944001,0.029502697863924746,0.16873173713164127,0.16589909684691134,0.05338160008602036,0.08338511044446269,-0.25937483615536394,0.1091518645814515,0.10906330497808214,0.0586150548319444,0.12445206398103582,-0.009352265090100608,-0.5383816747883128,0.05489293700593075,0.04219829299548649,-0.20060219871768692,0.0039622386353067515,-0.08988998128919587;-0.012114819960327998,0.42105492712942094,-2.2353995636088895E-5,0.10531353110245549,-0.19594027404460193,-0.05757566912571567,-0.06789621080771825,-0.1095788958742588,0.10993645815200387,-0.06720807359660451,0.07618832522257832,-0.13807679062936434,-0.20402053631597858,-0.04290196751914193,0.14754906131934722,-0.027981308383653487,-0.025794320942092143,0.033819193234821646,-0.024857347472566526,-0.09721730948735334,-0.055963839079792584,-0.18083461470934575,-0.19842218827116553,0.12330073925029372,-0.0700600020696791,0.7824592139020706,0.002995412509789565,-0.055214833803682445,-0.11608096804283259,-0.04277847557666701,-0.13302555896086893,0.2573192387163186,-0.028466480745089645,0.3472566984229144,-0.1420877249454325,0.03727574932349132,-0.2103613970742605,-0.27422609967642136,-0.020911058722129665,-0.05763092799588009,-0.15141552005549513,-0.10350256393255337,-0.18102476886974242,0.12183446315394529,0.00202912349826495,-0.13338416679009082,0.1678587267525598,0.19337230228662688,0.41193899604748063,-0.024944661109719983,-0.03395757859167983,-0.21901720502838531,0.033879922261051854,-0.11812242449129896,-0.038606547000383185,-0.10371558613537195,-0.04465952773825044,-0.002053004228045557,0.8785586674199928,-0.2013221781597073,0.07309711472649083,0.1870068936890022,0.004945006587064381,-0.06553177548813915,0.19277337084669002,-0.019965849954445534,-0.0817148493025015,0.015118738891610153,-0.056593100728060314,-0.008918236056590522,-0.17496734059656668,0.0045073285304829975,-0.14300879340288145,-0.0604611924484148,0.037588494299250055,0.17340811222748445,-0.14760944080333255,-0.06404568794054338,-0.1735858940050208,-0.003175907745754131,-0.10011444123482559,-0.29120608685953003,-0.0482534885947219,-0.020374162319180305,0.47738659943319334,0.44199830673655804,0.027526660464267407,0.08708321326523728,-0.24913305787259166,0.17250207453935923,0.15350500060097982,0.0258301350537275,0.2101719441347261,-0.07779433318828861,-0.33574490808624036,0.02608841553551792,0.0024859283011822793,-0.22313580080746412,-0.05647852125287605,-0.1521754389213919;-0.17916764156559511,0.14665202508088274,-0.1361526898466547,-0.1169988861982888,0.16451183142381043,-0.11651490741450861,-0.07107458389443364,-0.10607445798975716,-0.11419375823958985,-0.10310609068060966,-0.12420289380263877,-0.011930562671398812,0.10668041000578005,-0.12508918161139812,-0.10796512663087965,-0.11636008379772313,-0.0966971381474237,-0.1393717683523444,-0.1420996013733159,-0.08505021668165881,-0.11467479767715273,0.15331550274205838,0.14170073349110152,-0.14701011365822736,-0.13885394089089023,0.6504791689162265,-0.14347704146461027,-0.0992358511894324,-0.13237257433983698,-0.12651260357465352,-0.057108726883525814,-0.018862369982574206,-0.17269407062240782,0.06305466625680153,-0.0011019075042711965,-0.13760866069655647,0.20151730048624955,0.7822422003026176,-0.1305137537246639,-0.11476708400221183,0.05796175095141505,-0.092636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x_a{6}=[-10.656921228704537,-17.554918382520622,18.692474369538985];
std_x_a{6}=[1.1744244159227768,1.9461559151233587,2.7462771811175664];
pred_a{6}=[-10.656921228704537];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.5 to 0.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{7}=[-15.47283193425519,-15.246171163569315,36.68286247467059];
std_x_f{7}=[1.2938985317155791,2.685773612735095,2.745916732294936];
pred_f{7}=[-15.47283193425519];
obs{7}=[-16.041026178725748];
sqrt_r{7}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{7}=[2.678006197735626];
L_f{7}=[-0.06190950944639982,0.2542680022354054,-0.044902954750225335,0.014877716427766766,-0.04351520592372507,-0.06694092278608878,-0.05983541717035528,-0.08784436685052499,0.017758385645789024,-0.06822268916221222,-0.0024516340824006595,-0.07355082752349884,-0.064875944655425,-0.06278953793022883,0.03985186373821976,-0.05306834045076633,-0.04634826489326207,-0.028418117484691186,-0.05825723642975787,-0.07674091342624531,-0.06593285936875325,-0.041504920987587436,-0.05151830790846424,0.017136400443381647,-0.0797091575975051,0.5725786423330629,-0.04461083459084441,-0.06191867922107263,-0.0986828641502291,-0.0626076451842043,-0.08466576433850204,0.12238503000083567,-0.06823807534552935,0.1929471348555653,-0.0724921487797428,-0.02564358186518107,-0.037498817594771645,0.13119307215033096,-0.05288595972555759,-0.06689940851882968,-0.05852691699661366,-0.08237121043602695,-0.053846738258409216,0.024422156744467516,-0.03471636261674079,-0.07803676757784013,0.05632964609340311,0.06430353939958945,0.2467525961844886,-0.050193672181090755,-0.05703959048334415,-0.015873523060359204,-0.026365409316843492,-0.0697492026057849,-0.059765410975070966,-0.07721562197219063,-0.0591141418863034,-0.04407913043674746,0.6589115331883335,-0.04496255114630531,-0.0060718509341751966,0.06727498295478092,-0.03866825221612237,-0.06931722814703047,0.07589336769301709,-0.04859495276878286,-0.09756281607037977,-0.038973142403034414,-0.054785886532632555,-0.04883259423657112,-0.05398095020436558,-0.04208307657158326,-0.069985557989252,-0.07322493919669969,-0.025252027457479,0.07637775724351915,-0.07527404937903778,-0.06662159118593142,-0.08016185721093856,-0.04853043612504609,-0.0768158766700217,0.22701900653403417,-0.06189986672196755,-0.05526184426300445,0.30245546254117855,0.27204889433205626,-0.02931540424133803,0.002422763642928653,0.03978483706045442,0.06400579548987935,0.046054152560670414,-0.03657292486228406,0.08779772144333287,-0.07761958968169659,0.44991480490317315,-0.03171306692547139,-0.044362088565343724,-0.011533389783434118,-0.06695759922818478,-0.0684552481755888;-0.17372666894737443,0.023138341780707016,-0.14217352916583914,-0.16820076418850038,0.2484649568974676,-0.0942671530004956,-0.04814859314443795,-0.05108062110100104,-0.16787265921327518,-0.07664375844695921,-0.1650705742703207,0.05190606107150025,0.20600338776915222,-0.10947034557413725,-0.17264669907280275,-0.11052664592061205,-0.09505795698678757,-0.1611377559269112,-0.13523960334886248,-0.04148968395818853,-0.09372383576555883,0.22617290943677504,0.23152065246094916,-0.19984023454117944,-0.10558109903755476,0.5026569748333507,-0.15069113418352414,-0.08033670068504184,-0.06924388343617185,-0.11108367996512514,0.008551762742643545,-0.11524374987252368,-0.15847798500316387,-0.050375466545563796,0.06475674807985571,-0.16159503925728835,0.2916755139341835,0.81741802519843,-0.12658367506772747,-0.09285599956777418,0.12201703188019249,-0.04365200406471693,0.1933988527462439,-0.17059013364883316,-0.11571259569506866,0.030754573757242963,-0.15876593512432127,-0.18746594458651034,0.013541604333799386,-0.1067471932615114,-0.1110579654276973,0.36657469355414163,-0.1552463275297654,0.021460822572208323,-0.10810391630608107,-0.02945819313464252,-0.09650234824101445,-0.1356111866951077,0.6498234392600301,0.2545941590247621,-0.17182785320813046,-0.16161098260086992,-0.1339414465027952,-0.08151578680665687,-0.14355830122626925,-0.11297874678342018,-0.13797848184962425,-0.15634678150272763,-0.05948141607734444,-0.1370400888808796,0.18090115699062664,-0.1439168235733833,0.07257169995467719,-0.1053204485664526,-0.15836405233338338,-0.10116268135559178,0.06540749540436823,-0.07998235267733592,0.10291940761979498,-0.1484746082257088,-0.0350684052370693,1.0603548104331013,-0.09575461721736125,-0.13430299144348232,0.08530037609940283,0.04475032582062293,-0.1505832761609885,-0.1712492569652436,0.5597815587758999,-0.13977135754556233,-0.16539299840982966,-0.17072738433574333,-0.13824623052739324,-0.08255760947523445,1.5888375988882382,-0.15601945430465697,-0.1470298247741276,0.38324171174804156,-0.09513416533979867,0.09414100974857056;-9.604723435288765E-4,-0.6280779385464672,-0.014687199764293111,-0.19296381358854625,0.3190724405609097,0.08552870393164004,0.1084758552739943,0.17506139638847534,-0.2006120094565032,0.10372032837850687,-0.14439624035771426,0.22802820941195978,0.3320178635816965,0.0592415239837199,-0.2632787132676028,0.036075599329671026,0.03431406738978127,-0.074099856523173,0.026276165032504153,0.1555267614013074,0.08279477973402602,0.29667402385495883,0.32330846105803035,-0.23090394585942736,0.10536247706144009,-0.9000957365944956,-0.021410337462923357,0.08382894982754996,0.18421380064000498,0.05890462756143181,0.21703105910637893,-0.4244268571225543,0.02970728468090419,-0.5434198434115852,0.23492503102881598,-0.07935233390483225,0.33919819520152944,0.3925026444141339,0.021401323477818885,0.08663534481252692,0.2508007031776163,0.16628493289703405,0.2978771891838369,-0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k{7}=[0.6265878694210846;0.7060197951731185;-0.8718827089140333];
x_a{7}=[-15.82885555531532,-15.647327547668963,37.178261211728945];
L_a{7}=[0.07518661467602344,-0.30879828445527097,0.05453283650297853,-0.01806838953040191,0.05284747124619936,0.08129706425686713,0.07266771284404407,0.10668345817806753,-0.021566846688942976,0.08285371808094107,0.0029774112043264613,0.08932452829237432,0.07878923118868474,0.07625537395241315,-0.048398489178808346,0.06444936974379174,0.056288107668645136,0.034512663211930694,0.07075107566998992,0.0931987595970317,0.08007281169201969,0.0504060608678269,0.06256691742692654,-0.02081147062207093,0.09680357302172984,-0.6953737824411088,0.05417806829274895,0.075197750999363,0.11984637817900037,0.07603447251206889,0.10282317299059354,-0.14863170739146425,0.08287240398310282,-0.23432655194575636,0.08803880544487874,0.031143101049438997,0.04554080906981786,-0.15932872109850457,0.0642278756723119,0.08124664684532762,0.07107859189564127,0.10003652936085966,0.06539470264258625,-0.02965972925845082,0.042161629164221615,0.0947725224590462,-0.06841009456436177,-0.07809406797718645,-0.2996711254140038,0.06095820049618825,0.06927229353452363,0.01927775672206695,0.032019731521171435,0.08470760739626555,0.07258269312935334,0.09377527407512341,0.07179175295771505,0.05353233493589939,-0.8002216136813527,0.0546052139343003,0.007374019284603331,-0.0817027669252724,0.04696104048580773,0.08418299175206673,-0.09216944931765185,0.05901661992959795,0.11848612473568787,0.04733131738198801,0.06653526053181993,0.05930522595522175,0.065557697664769,0.05110820762210408,0.08499465152409437,0.08892874999799655,0.030667573935109594,-0.09275772098726046,0.09141731207974839,0.0809092488438618,0.09735335853454635,0.0589382670549556,0.09328979944818003,-0.27570547273009643,0.07517490397418129,0.06711329209426561,-0.3673200211419927,-0.33039246432555897,0.035602381968050274,-0.00294234921421346,-0.04831708796857071,-0.07773246994787428,-0.055930920044001034,0.044416349504052016,-0.1066268092030017,0.09426587664632398,-0.5464034746161325,0.038514247075156195,0.05387597622743048,0.014006839035063156,0.08131731712653534,0.08313615166965024;-0.019251004486506282,-0.6113073023163133,-0.030132360800536495,-0.20532341548053493,0.3570434355403771,0.07276281734610544,0.10115182787870722,0.16810730430369986,-0.21218311243630805,0.09358445582704104,-0.15895329427116897,0.2354289649829908,0.36788085615468274,0.04720115254782053,-0.27208446212429865,0.021888668403032763,0.020589527220686497,-0.09022930227528984,0.0101229651420443,0.14999307368046946,0.07079083010513663,0.3297353557440647,0.36006834920775943,-0.24259871976630976,0.09330797622076428,-0.9260325273356113,-0.0393788595879561,0.07416184405784093,0.1769880952504992,0.045133962149023814,0.2198084876017021,-0.4206170115652275,0.01178862064096164,-0.5318142168952074,0.24563805292434238,-0.09760956459914717,0.3852419921093081,0.49006707097012864,0.005376565649885874,0.07407038501184438,0.26805250321154855,0.16187938486621548,0.32775641341662554,-0.23152792696046257,-0.029088856776114717,0.2254707269259576,-0.29931880958470874,-0.34791515610121815,-0.6021517131208386,0.018495292605995035,0.03126635145481658,0.40618206637958565,-0.08945976001499169,0.19549796992632712,0.04102182632549482,0.16320905003323272,0.05099835768570261,-0.025625612201595385,-0.9942825764453841,0.3667840314093057,-0.1566774632930541,-0.3294744947892657,-0.037457012882827344,0.0914435044613308,-0.3329262756680945,0.008274638771208207,0.10545876993790101,-0.059101590534946916,0.07721949305412462,-0.015193743957515753,0.3155936012631492,-0.03891177226408134,0.2471985976595337,0.07738930375859439,-0.09535557826599596,-0.2917392972216642,0.25323015622765205,0.08625082632721093,0.3029380520543466,-0.027382203617289522,0.1566013995450091,0.49390044513154546,0.05869698686446017,0.0035855201631471304,-0.6693818845687878,-0.6340619292526196,-0.07743592626896022,-0.17729449988381402,0.460511039669268,-0.2994776429944209,-0.28030661800733486,-0.07947117959598357,-0.357317767022951,0.1111176077648736,0.46621703445988943,-0.07688949302390188,-0.036338217470463854,0.41201965016515435,0.0719374158109682,0.2649495017285154;-0.19172659775848527,0.15541593884316326,-0.15304983216085402,-0.14712005964304323,0.18498597622072552,-0.12074106925498125,-0.07589922374450049,-0.09561962908650837,-0.14589184685846515,-0.10649904168663568,-0.15195063287377433,0.001390871898093395,0.1321110527343968,-0.1342362950889004,-0.14048036283830406,-0.1274476102793368,-0.10850210079595786,-0.16166660051159346,-0.15323595468005496,-0.08094041215632071,-0.12036877674990731,0.16878199186735293,0.16456147573195049,-0.17810035000840088,-0.14025095601108523,0.8642311022056527,-0.15887283946822384,-0.10696543105899588,-0.1198646488119064,-0.1340127126007515,-0.04385551490428079,-0.047313257114691976,-0.18055949591296935,0.05112173276066317,0.011549874782600939,-0.15836970616195095,0.22365045133852646,0.7967570841472017,-0.1415599035761726,-0.1195065075427838,0.07045759776837186,-0.08753127080306951,0.13195544766715714,-0.14505399561062404,-0.12101323261739348,-0.021165740326004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x_a{7}=[-15.828855555315325,-15.647327547668972,37.178261211728945];
std_x_a{7}=[1.571387840153996,2.873142798357972,3.0077031044682663];
pred_a{7}=[-15.828855555315325];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.6 to 0.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{8}=[-9.237991101869518,0.3823155468579967,36.868895431610994];
std_x_f{8}=[1.38581943119039,3.1110316336115273,1.6861530902852608];
pred_f{8}=[-9.237991101869518];
obs{8}=[-9.180079165106001];
sqrt_r{8}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{8}=[2.9266122289851344];
L_f{8}=[-0.07820954622217444,-0.08142758534327667,-0.06896596115202404,-0.11526698717799927,0.16143852894356153,-0.027279413114371556,-0.00392881080249007,0.01176182976872022,-0.11662813860112656,-0.016016670340547615,-0.10485373918476638,0.06433554918269269,0.14903010534525263,-0.03950817473577119,-0.12912916999772692,-0.045445402112673276,-0.03943828205939093,-0.08908200608993568,-0.05684277635672443,0.010382243771696288,-0.026904671071623552,0.14672291799837672,0.15615878285490994,-0.13520894287206342,-0.026670734377239932,0.17639956297151618,-0.07365358356409266,-0.022775056966734434,0.007567234872321811,-0.039880202533784916,0.04505079884211529,-0.1272878968583817,-0.06502794094811336,-0.1098268826507385,0.07122426638234067,-0.0898775482372409,0.183164180088869,0.39750550895473624,-0.054639750846149866,-0.02653090087752983,0.09600993659876637,0.011939257631159696,0.1351149864742019,-0.1209681853962651,-0.05804615964725386,0.05371050670805765,-0.12818910134269226,-0.1485852275121628,-0.08541225232868073,-0.04478428962901359,-0.043470285856675624,0.21312231596719677,-0.08667271608032104,0.04404188383752502,-0.04058318098074014,0.017304304859299135,-0.03327214055475295,-0.06593797922151062,0.26959774466996966,0.16515621038155975,-0.10671885229887387,-0.13435332744224415,-0.06739487050292027,-0.018577101280771533,-0.12676673960322807,-0.04932919211276954,-0.03488138685636622,-0.0807854347648315,-0.013085377456641902,-0.06427859265488477,0.12785797127833012,-0.07140348589277565,0.07396247672476197,-0.030663629385049684,-0.08932833891040347,-0.10125477483932249,0.07341176789867222,-0.01878592847018314,0.09787185481140781,-0.07080072290060557,0.014203152865542931,0.4981611866297923,-0.03167796977076042,-0.05762298076611185,-0.05367529902649732,-0.07199156390270635,-0.08214239213279138,-0.11114624718202752,0.2941886338942995,-0.12045744577866534,-0.12721649088920073,-0.0907119900344347,-0.1283299218276524,-0.014102617073034408,0.7444268402869835,-0.08442539307436674,-0.07207980240319116,0.22106537226552764,-0.02773364979788305,0.0860618989157811;-0.19446142029986857,0.4418923557694619,-0.1546522559721344,-0.07604724726089271,0.07031349085895858,-0.15696188932187455,-0.12260440782887277,-0.15688268229558458,-0.07233641832140729,-0.1491048627559576,-0.1020174289704859,-0.07993582955782622,0.02163188255892087,-0.16157090656655404,-0.03682571592858222,-0.14797485342950747,-0.1302057878678085,-0.1396175148115193,-0.16813223924431336,-0.13877626771369272,-0.15523721487506664,0.059037457365878135,0.051628812080312225,-0.08721415825626533,-0.18039583428684278,1.2655709385530085,-0.15689710022928888,-0.14402658315510317,-0.18052628893022493,-0.16034017364079817,-0.11870176206899588,0.13429740874123014,-0.19436182963730697,0.29411080441508103,-0.0722436689837464,-0.13456736371396988,0.1024438084832709,0.6033653028835899,-0.15574126485644502,-0.15620481949006784,-0.022403618679665043,-0.14765194104486842,0.025865322410715073,-0.06236750173128237,-0.12480318598547305,-0.0992287718503882,-0.0020770322116586215,-0.001555604386404509,0.4238755655598539,-0.1429370163106729,-0.15474362743203768,0.16967837196165386,-0.13362462028869942,-0.09397192690053009,-0.15632266637834247,-0.13229001521780592,-0.1481111379616726,-0.1500023452813642,1.4994942199057075,0.0716050777355418,-0.11100821655301395,0.015885460309505543,-0.14065684664328637,-0.15417605006811214,0.038729721736395106,-0.14299865526044994,-0.22035090948010758,-0.15266168584714704,-0.12091519755494266,-0.15629968521599086,0.018011318447129353,-0.15057159655291863,-0.064516857364855,-0.17134760179836753,-0.13388977173831307,0.057225684997908234,-0.07483058588613822,-0.1485398476664746,-0.0571195196865094,-0.16272553383752253,-0.1356946255589587,0.8617153958371095,-0.1519048879445437,-0.16338297553734124,0.5615904619721909,0.48489382376716317,-0.1356417119371315,-0.09791931235100051,0.3461629390615768,0.01778532265961775,-0.022055561762230398,-0.15801264373579046,0.06123607968803325,-0.16447968716838604,1.4696017663645535,-0.14235534915251755,-0.15551446693452145,0.18575383203301374,-0.15796266876656406,-0.0492133722223773;-0.0021130032007134034,0.3882418488880327,0.010100958723003723,0.14320088675512688,-0.214548397251787,-0.06483450814891913,-0.080600193830458,-0.1338033350572271,0.1480101315933618,-0.07853997234743458,0.1091091933613341,-0.16674708166499438,-0.2334366423033338,-0.04735210792469571,0.19249121811421668,-0.026845876060934092,-0.024214378159869168,0.05510926856283391,-0.021059713191027826,-0.11804837013243308,-0.06470311570207544,-0.19987764572694117,-0.22035619053070465,0.16994507071929252,-0.08406684320720212,0.42749533351824615,0.016592600717198747,-0.06393960355973802,-0.14547824564383863,-0.04584238099294013,-0.1638533998189243,0.292299911303288,-0.02572871337565374,0.3541910589259812,-0.17244001453482566,0.06171025900080475,-0.22489005957191818,-0.15890859975409408,-0.015851216877013883,-0.06587011538757631,-0.17676836651407193,-0.1281200109462132,-0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k{8}=[0.658307995129655;0.9584105190237424;-0.3314859825387433];
x_a{8}=[-9.199867210884651,0.43781895622918937,36.84969843635222];
L_a{8}=[0.08124763952180236,0.08459068516146892,0.07164498225109997,0.11974459737175946,-0.16770969834393026,0.02833909708140434,0.004081427642135852,-0.01221872458447842,0.12115862347858129,0.016638846803581048,0.10892684097151274,-0.06683469935477751,-0.15481926263311158,0.04104289174594667,0.13414526438909644,0.047210754020804706,0.04097028404969915,0.09254244613711894,0.05905086560315783,-0.010785547802489323,0.027949797975686974,-0.1524224513111827,-0.16222485758345806,0.1404612094204777,0.027706773880364778,-0.18325190205552805,0.07651469796161114,0.02365976671524419,-0.007861188317557301,0.041429371170584095,-0.046800822166842254,0.13223246597109095,0.067553987463226,0.11409316895998733,-0.07399101260347844,0.09336889156137752,-0.1902792944852501,-0.4129468314230944,0.05676226234196467,0.027561508470625183,-0.09973949595779638,-0.012403044730866378,-0.14036360323411098,0.12566726180410565,0.06030099498656767,-0.055796921198762145,0.13316867824457354,0.1543571032732882,0.08873013875099464,0.04652396025520537,0.045158913275877115,-0.22140117080547678,0.09003956591775827,-0.04575271529804352,0.0421596572060965,-0.017976500201008543,0.034564615350560136,0.06849937667924294,-0.28007041893085677,-0.17157179518404372,0.11086440544135266,0.13957235713365107,0.07001286171236364,0.01929873910701963,0.13169106407265,0.05124541200245063,0.036236373719338334,0.08392358988683327,0.01359368621809655,0.06677553031898478,-0.1328246852487863,0.07417719399542427,-0.07683559024882015,0.031854775114400255,0.09279834789293383,0.1051880728554086,-0.07626348883224214,0.019515678304690844,-0.10167374141844684,0.07355101633974782,-0.01475488223412687,-0.5175125348518526,0.03290851811626495,0.05986137748654288,0.055760345855239604,0.07478811622256276,0.08533325901808324,0.11546378493992791,-0.30561655491716216,0.12513668222214047,0.13215828619734243,0.0942357477140489,0.13331496897955405,0.014650441072870604,-0.7733445147242479,0.08770494440035258,0.07487978239665061,-0.2296527795412549,0.028810978841396703,-0.089405021220909;0.03768742990641043,0.6835932890393666,0.05005892518382944,0.26609894630093023,-0.40888336788224455,-0.07598859776468787,-0.11094254614404592,-0.19179523950917207,0.27385007150985047,-0.10156269196866709,0.20921919324982102,-0.27090259118208726,-0.42073313901707443,-0.044299067236310996,0.34646749814921673,-0.013079583513878182,-0.013141410481065314,0.12480398213847721,5.937770946594913E-4,-0.1695938094408077,-0.07537626750794459,-0.37647915611085275,-0.411896213194683,0.3141256032120923,-0.1012292795769546,0.7419653469236219,0.0617283178162678,-0.07642354051386005,-0.2029880593880148,-0.04196404679419146,-0.25242573385066763,0.5121251846102406,-0.0013398463681321966,0.6201091736765564,-0.2836581617935528,0.13221553543957468,-0.441241148923513,-0.5765475250512154,0.006445526234983826,-0.07745333158143444,-0.3073892434071735,-0.18309115614421942,-0.3751955489376167,0.2967015187116567,0.04749482457604933,-0.25865729405215715,0.37842578263838744,0.4394888894225499,0.6774041580324938,-0.010004121966212268,-0.025711081314230434,-0.4629311110870572,0.1236453979408267,-0.22470114331556004,-0.03585989351390964,-0.18365426256036657,-0.049349675368023066,0.04572089824333912,0.6992491159954337,-0.4186269488713936,0.20576460790678308,0.414685504469096,0.0593908771039984,-0.09903376999087628,0.41501055016222704,0.003424841406472787,-0.11681273232073247,0.0871331563424972,-0.08207396297668491,0.03449801274429283,-0.36150860534391455,0.06137487227889183,-0.2840591608233803,-0.08032896470426225,0.1312629132034561,0.3577795264697534,-0.29273822417972306,-0.0927777073003676,-0.3476318632497846,0.04743175781147062,-0.177853745082209,-0.6169729776381059,-0.05787539136288145,0.007658916104764483,0.7209144774585089,0.6985858804514998,0.10818097733726542,0.23199531744050783,-0.5270751297069904,0.37533831826022124,0.35556026026682097,0.11124712318057582,0.4421568910007638,-0.12261898733637351,-0.7400752281085078,0.10824395588309281,0.05843950747496419,-0.4704329695893521,-0.07564106963194704,-0.30467030612545315;-0.08240645593144402,0.30464461184276503,-0.060702612059246944,0.024862591323791004,-0.04880831156166787,-0.0928407858122444,-0.08463368845733635,-0.12172810935678863,0.028274416630376976,-0.09498340956210853,0.0014616086668023966,-0.10069730095751445,-0.08043560474454356,-0.08791298461885903,0.05992137967125537,-0.07350217855369036,-0.06470349987553871,-0.03634634255683442,-0.07941707488082236,-0.1073894897298605,-0.0923246662579172,-0.04924527090979415,-0.060036530651458954,0.031133462831558573,-0.11144822378610683,0.6085950925034124,-0.05902349496442604,-0.08732150574854894,-0.13770938052605564,-0.08678519822834482,-0.11760221486721495,0.1616204070320454,-0.09248933474355676,0.24143782052168597,-0.09931796559970472,-0.03056209162043929,-0.03684543910896472,0.2491885103198272,-0.07194685307110724,-0.09310793657966082,-0.07820022901236386,-0.11586262978810936,-0.06695915757714221,0.03849037391029904,-0.04705362241363877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x_a{8}=[-9.199867210884655,0.4378189562291932,36.849698436352234];
std_x_a{8}=[1.439652357370953,3.168332563475857,1.6955870046853438];
pred_a{8}=[-9.199867210884655];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.7 to 0.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{9}=[-1.7969936258591122,2.8826833641759566,27.646560811354988];
std_x_f{9}=[1.9276525538739,2.431734089599955,1.1301511296684201];
pred_f{9}=[-1.7969936258591122];
obs{9}=[-1.6830813834165683];
sqrt_r{9}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{9}=[4.716255133608554];
L_f{9}=[0.020267342005987718,0.4236455608662207,0.028103791084971644,0.16998419272862828,-0.2591925668864966,-0.055789722359447784,-0.07836838819326145,-0.13201170759669045,0.17563424749169818,-0.072663297727887,0.13324817051007776,-0.18111443198977847,-0.2701984856057456,-0.034837357200000175,0.22213693691285769,-0.013773368612116055,-0.014201893728744431,0.07760984442349766,-0.004887980146566241,-0.11699466264000005,-0.055503054363429574,-0.24089994426896805,-0.2627878193442023,0.20205786239363985,-0.07312584572120118,0.4474511262827675,0.035492552620420746,-0.05644537982320778,-0.13985362831309894,-0.03301193589386708,-0.17115923015519274,0.3250309324508622,-0.006173925531761093,0.3886274221537985,-0.1888424656753229,0.08272426633545658,-0.2768673783370136,-0.2999496882185715,-0.0012170871059207797,-0.056665461888123915,-0.20205888393598212,-0.1260164441485426,-0.24197151121171515,0.19016655608203023,0.026375815910487387,-0.17406413340467397,0.2425280460726546,0.28212061752292805,0.4205181723553491,-0.012060167275017498,-0.022490264758067497,-0.284467759693206,0.07627096541589129,-0.1520248743199119,-0.02925264160068264,-0.1265515467092761,-0.03818069445701627,0.025057921656550637,0.424374917326577,-0.26552442284302386,0.13123020528114032,0.26495769685041287,0.033901746858133096,-0.07093352534382046,0.26477215002327925,-0.0030054339939281785,-0.08363941646352366,0.05254219450050349,-0.05917917642161552,0.01714846875107143,-0.2339893637667422,0.035498311210352435,-0.18892578036270974,-0.058958103389991884,0.08174446229979695,0.22693679227900213,-0.19468723092354032,-0.06665258946675523,-0.2292860346285857,0.026420285403140304,-0.12250634198004826,-0.282401584671424,-0.04409003063105215,-5.455693740500647E-4,0.4435607374047832,0.43201750603973826,0.06659952347794056,0.14804395799561246,-0.3041037016759534,0.23937898435816127,0.2276150426203395,0.0688459952963182,0.28179595131498936,-0.08696662823104016,-0.2161672438779019,0.06660723434536904,0.033200113376526875,-0.2875334405631516,-0.055794410189631674,-0.20167896265076207;-0.03310189586918879,0.5673740539645735,-0.014524677966975324,0.17136438797577255,-0.261717709757959,-0.11253634930667221,-0.12871166209033924,-0.199089774158809,0.17816308961989546,-0.12959755941132325,0.1223853000053293,-0.2303297954526225,-0.28954019223916677,-0.0898186891443625,0.24091299071309444,-0.06195648913646333,-0.056879536739579496,0.048023071847217054,-0.05610235941573368,-0.17703266539599607,-0.11220135990837482,-0.2476396670667537,-0.2710496119170104,0.2063312284775063,-0.13863101162375963,0.7706995830386487,-0.005914974018137821,-0.10919911970642744,-0.2156863334485432,-0.08689115211561145,-0.2318921988381264,0.39515783244987057,-0.06474893480363078,0.4989384089014284,-0.2362445669459333,0.05555769435011579,-0.2668698949158816,-0.08815712103307866,-0.04859086456424516,-0.11344653985569225,-0.23455672357101062,-0.19036394112849184,-0.2597362469862596,0.19831792573637083,-0.008564310649668202,-0.2286721722741886,0.27193855020238195,0.3180912871039486,0.5603466956037999,-0.05772545795189098,-0.07295038561494813,-0.24979063056668574,0.0471765389756839,-0.20274403494433263,-0.08172551354438452,-0.1858966547145587,-0.08927270211311857,-0.016248398922412782,0.8047155158730532,-0.26732986696417993,0.11748355364825,0.3019029681313777,-0.003696161310353559,-0.1293771945045579,0.3066539076528219,-0.04771338272797362,-0.16168610920500315,0.015114654015547676,-0.1067152443527507,-0.027635769722831532,-0.25428217808708997,-0.004441279187218824,-0.23338964852950744,-0.1195579626024505,0.05431463262544677,0.26753392194342357,-0.24350792675773125,-0.12297750354480591,-0.2743708916129774,-0.018610862330570646,-0.18248827590231814,0.04298509013722955,-0.09748509518279591,-0.049459399038033,0.6139497035300083,0.5853867129689088,0.03600652267916636,0.14030710811889335,-0.19881366746997528,0.27323991678180165,0.25091971829696974,0.03306661084548628,0.33138329361962776,-0.15012188654504052,0.39963814869910064,0.03436735212480625,-0.007609012493567818,-0.24635528047390137,-0.11245303777051548,-0.24332045451306386;-0.08584068838757042,0.15257327826119368,-0.07633450236991289,-0.04557943566488006,0.09007352090776584,-0.06565331443913881,-0.05089331367164457,-0.044350149863261405,-0.04391823962606233,-0.05957622415401904,-0.05747654159362144,-0.0012945768942286475,0.07951335501284652,-0.07108073425519756,-0.023980403873258123,-0.0706875208625616,-0.06592148192322062,-0.07255367652885597,-0.07696541729725878,-0.044382603968892216,-0.06551083014719113,0.07443737117504858,0.08618367123316568,-0.04140935289259854,-0.06952361609045232,0.27551689534464047,-0.07647666592116226,-0.06249464147712938,-0.04976284188648396,-0.07207916163142092,-0.018691056832131948,0.04917703034832337,-0.0839811442655281,0.10928888772125547,0.0046305999939526875,-0.06931332364342442,0.11272669644389038,0.3105646191908011,-0.07330675262636548,-0.06507651841285264,0.02698259726123401,-0.04472138534406851,0.06456390094308571,-0.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k{9}=[0.7879673657021034;0.9071307534636929;-0.019098277525655277];
x_a{9}=[-1.7072344962604415,2.9860166624916005,27.64438528373525];
L_a{9}=[-0.01229734949736601,-0.2570498649226128,-0.017052169005227765,-0.10313908091125082,0.15726687698766798,0.03385079868946091,0.04755055985501537,0.08009901375232034,-0.10656729059361585,0.04408895688082804,-0.08084924614993623,0.10989243032151044,0.1639447940519884,0.02113780667077174,-0.13478311801738552,0.00835708636728008,0.008617096936303876,-0.04709030819285463,0.0029658156546010016,0.07098731818831788,0.033676860906415314,0.14616770209415125,0.1594483212042113,-0.12260000111564594,0.04436961106485519,-0.2714940558689747,-0.02153535100942303,0.03424862337609372,0.08485715321391425,0.02003021970772443,0.10385204297123302,-0.19721475922309614,0.0037460718831481064,-0.23580236782276356,0.11458146804192228,-0.0501935189498333,0.16799119069603852,0.1819965413599867,7.384759928472181E-4,0.03438215968635957,0.12260062094350535,0.07646134632020829,0.14681788272468937,-0.11538486902526668,-0.01600370815441037,0.10561461304600403,-0.14715556408865021,-0.17117862979107956,-0.2551523003815468,0.007317589644156126,0.013646123203355384,0.17260277448550385,-0.04627793412395331,0.09224214064443058,0.017749241976501098,0.07678602348825188,0.023166399602442267,-0.015204066729479439,-0.2574924069835567,0.16110877424490974,-0.07962483183421382,-0.1607649093415438,-0.02057011864518418,0.04303940556070558,-0.16065232752490913,0.0018235677970836431,0.05074879259963281,-0.03188033877063802,0.03590737331061387,-0.010404951646559484,0.14197465972873177,-0.02153884507356715,0.11463201980291574,0.03577323572446587,-0.04959901609583927,-0.13769546335388033,0.11812781965360132,0.040441918201952136,0.13912088234657835,-0.01603069032567696,0.07433156762872094,0.17134910854558566,0.026751930068552535,3.310279791879281E-4,-0.26913353559457853,-0.26212960037786553,-0.04040972004737,-0.08982669221783295,0.1845170176655176,-0.1452448491818579,-0.1381069964247519,-0.04177278231169712,-0.17098163633096888,0.05276760127937049,0.13116096560977522,-0.0404143986693457,-0.020144397692736793,0.1744628974899893,0.03385364306274559,0.12237010108429233;-0.07059130777323205,-0.21626214894456613,-0.06650952135385865,-0.14306300050452755,0.21772241118159927,-0.009339596573746773,0.016249861940051354,0.04509820474766546,-0.14671545867359306,0.004811002797874173,-0.12408981983212435,0.10468569600282526,0.21025807039092204,-0.025378466379421854,-0.16998366877823126,-0.03647927120362888,-0.03060965667059715,-0.095535339736385,-0.0470608432149774,0.039377611639331705,-0.009534869830476482,0.19796376902724622,0.21504080881253118,-0.16742426592761564,-0.003366853636802024,-0.05697084237711895,-0.07156714115084664,-0.00478956794343744,0.04300719807402829,-0.025827493047272915,0.0847087090940156,-0.20606646744133572,-0.053328747723514536,-0.2199231715675788,0.11306581517451152,-0.09746109292813052,0.24526411783242805,0.4666732760063153,-0.04633956393372862,-0.008629892422144948,0.13920066042681825,0.04273432997049266,0.18784931456294443,-0.1534416858212927,-0.05735284082206803,0.09330206554151775,-0.17667645885081945,-0.2037598778793718,-0.21750463645086898,-0.03541722540362616,-0.03134913375384644,0.27640214860525847,-0.09390528803205216,0.07846319644080772,-0.027615589809671423,0.04819141960106512,-0.018648158408343354,-0.06259916095939487,0.01973018959296957,0.2238225720485215,-0.12525884535914525,-0.188201172383798,-0.0664057436451098,0.001831730110950757,-0.1831070185707193,-0.04215409661559146,-0.006974527672088072,-0.0820750007201241,0.0027511336437583645,-0.05935606182342367,0.1785384471742188,-0.07010409824211225,0.11607484450652673,-0.010500513312081685,-0.0968917671642363,-0.15224124538815348,0.1166137798969382,3.12781893316536E-4,0.1497497747031207,-0.06748164971887645,0.04411720171732982,0.5653559726621175,-0.015929787205012556,-0.04845023488715676,-0.20652449501641496,-0.21373545257683868,-0.08718560421837482,-0.13353644371748855,0.3637005946521073,-0.1695501315197126,-0.1701100391240691,-0.094280915773691,-0.18986732171109635,0.010744187886230844,0.7994923991235618,-0.08883903791020406,-0.06902075189510522,0.28550822616027144,-0.00924761374775619,0.12973417203642676;-0.08505140504546883,0.16907156323848568,-0.07524003945776951,-0.03895963856954982,0.07997962821183972,-0.06782596729641911,-0.05394526115099436,-0.04949116153305417,-0.037078409035213,-0.06240599484925127,-0.052287377601714785,-0.00834782562025806,0.0689908521761794,-0.0724374264999271,-0.015329590958618976,-0.07122390547614123,-0.06647455484926532,-0.06953126947772585,-0.07715577286066065,-0.04893879778598322,-0.06767231911954265,0.06505585913126223,0.07594976644908873,-0.03354049150560212,-0.07237140007158742,0.2929422548355532,-0.07509445800540829,-0.06469282799906724,-0.05520924621159937,-0.07336476539159136,-0.025356614119738965,0.06183490628367993,-0.08422157917683311,0.12442344017017945,-0.00272360621596394,-0.06609174257044154,0.10194448288928629,0.2988834972997532,-0.0733541503847048,-0.06728327572358324,0.019113696091696802,-0.0496289198479984,0.055140658220574235,-0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x_a{9}=[-1.707234496260441,2.9860166624915987,27.64438528373526];
std_x_a{9}=[1.16961647745788,1.6725547533801843,1.129600399633133];
pred_a{9}=[-1.707234496260441];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.8 to 0.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 0.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{10}=[1.1398541261818225,2.7843761577148802,21.35351053613293];
std_x_f{10}=[1.4352899705328208,1.757151719162483,1.2765690493233328];
pred_f{10}=[1.1398541261818225];
obs{10}=[1.1683968916863126];
sqrt_r{10}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{10}=[3.062696283502598];
L_f{10}=[-0.05137104233410487,-0.2310212889368913,-0.04987033294982966,-0.1366436816607909,0.20305352218520192,0.00982589805264036,0.03215578880406544,0.06529229695976374,-0.14014991409652075,0.02352232290649296,-0.11584105596339726,0.1151582364184805,0.20176481213441813,-0.005773377019988328,-0.16613741226428017,-0.019026059405161246,-0.01510360365083357,-0.08253767390782625,-0.028901606278375375,0.057624675092683764,0.009849273149847196,0.1869079974092208,0.20118934412830178,-0.16040633672452764,0.01834873013960087,-0.12885591745722894,-0.055557625248218716,0.012764193208107165,0.06587433823679917,-0.007595439685640747,0.10016240004543235,-0.21028298514388485,-0.032326783971722416,-0.22937453082420578,0.12238296290041847,-0.08447257754970927,0.22295197312516712,0.3503412736918708,-0.02907643119627884,0.010357694682868887,0.14221487840475758,0.062260791046359266,0.18116787251034638,-0.14729356663315502,-0.043526005811694524,0.10648790550265354,-0.17502543391235198,-0.20090360583804945,-0.23150024419175366,-0.019354188036683734,-0.013663966203903049,0.24284798041181999,-0.08098408878288407,0.09082072384503234,-0.008994811130192825,0.06508928197459625,-0.0013093292678200584,-0.04670460371783015,-0.0758252897354205,0.2080029720318485,-0.11551341863716308,-0.1871746415237001,-0.051889503514033604,0.02107270217978916,-0.18381721823947597,-0.026331201365029033,0.018985824047160323,-0.06694460582433238,0.01819417661048917,-0.04235158321376472,0.17347280919814484,-0.05442071832428194,0.12467308197938089,0.009739729738688278,-0.08370161198313388,-0.1547637758360802,0.1260430326372007,0.018484582134119285,0.15537220304655616,-0.050402054299336314,0.06211653973281453,0.39857599967016033,0.0021337416484095246,-0.0304970499074185,-0.22759666469869977,-0.230486721288559,-0.07381494832891747,-0.12468570130176744,0.29578833413180644,-0.16878962061574032,-0.16788560495478821,-0.07844815212140373,-0.1915504107037779,0.030957529088666814,0.5047672989817258,-0.07437103756734263,-0.05276376086837175,0.2486151149256993,0.010221117249747764,0.13597685864891565;-0.07576199435981211,-0.2423976596362055,-0.07181454076816175,-0.1744604300252808,0.2514631214274245,0.003107441621093226,0.034000415420972985,0.07275847011550501,-0.17850185610443994,0.021358948722541366,-0.1499142336749124,0.13897110164543958,0.2470338600567044,-0.017158121561122206,-0.20701161915978822,-0.03216838626384132,-0.02575158127302234,-0.11120205841843123,-0.04528372449384433,0.06458153814397244,0.002677494203041586,0.23276539923133482,0.24889484216394295,-0.20380869521043343,0.012619697739818185,-0.06272473230593358,-0.07856220545950342,0.00846276428064429,0.07144466724110927,-0.018132677125402872,0.11798631044365752,-0.24483634286224104,-0.05180440363135646,-0.2531160893900278,0.14845608363250654,-0.11378081589504382,0.27663732931747953,0.44527182633265805,-0.04505245745820148,0.0039022041074171614,0.17472473853519105,0.069755056376,0.22365317229884352,-0.18608818562491727,-0.06136107341783544,0.12710773826213112,-0.21492973844289645,-0.2461661899065169,-0.24351654745035783,-0.03158596572866939,-0.025488416617714196,0.3031396270449594,-0.10913976428807488,0.10878190021833281,-0.020845398945158865,0.07429631093715178,-0.009013941822952561,-0.06711026214291207,0.0167564908020246,0.25741996639106285,-0.1502530491530011,-0.22771744231608082,-0.07312210199064786,0.017697539351189874,-0.22229153868123921,-0.040479584110022386,0.0103644609931025,-0.09279460624048456,0.01641949758215139,-0.06204745754555071,0.21417868178754415,-0.07703819923067794,0.15118824147135032,0.002951520144871179,-0.11264065653455937,-0.18535842321196597,0.1522249115158023,0.014607514455415542,0.1880906511468148,-0.07247766976339769,0.07034238958570062,0.5112672701051629,-0.0054664529575371434,-0.04776413058377047,-0.2276561242243728,-0.23644727142781097,-0.10033050768325737,-0.1611874531663464,0.3712501851423357,-0.20603416981777872,-0.20702180632010186,-0.1085725988248432,-0.22936153345490032,0.02953151634068264,0.6543349780739669,-0.10180868198372321,-0.07580057701120348,0.3104400137769655,0.003560828049079336,0.1656834294631851;-0.08967821061392564,0.09609473206891692,-0.08274910773349813,-0.0620206751855393,0.12562051932619514,-0.06478967326612187,-0.04904591265083753,-0.035098412408715675,-0.06100056139735551,-0.057583230866094536,-0.07130997765735275,0.01466860646110362,0.11691855835203226,-0.07183521248580593,-0.04392502028274473,-0.07387419395216527,-0.07046957798761197,-0.08317294761655035,-0.08019608368695536,-0.037141504836353735,-0.06520402378999557,0.10474250777349702,0.12136170601274746,-0.05730146105542808,-0.06625485765974247,0.16777727464732856,-0.0831494336022942,-0.06253465668947414,-0.03852681367813684,-0.07349654481627538,-0.0037589433334750634,0.016289731792382436,-0.08592161636752173,0.0643094305053786,0.02188419710234574,-0.07969810243338254,0.15433395388163343,0.3932144948483657,-0.07754078267867655,-0.06446839701953953,0.047498290506596305,-0.03579785694872331,0.095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k{10}=[0.6734903146007125;0.8197892197006532;0.37404856534924436];
x_a{10}=[1.159077402301016,2.807775209175905,21.364186916620984];
L_a{10}=[0.04983262868216305,0.22410287169944776,0.04837686118926213,0.13255159990096638,-0.19697265840648112,-0.009531640918271508,-0.031192816237470434,-0.06333698212779551,0.13595283084945903,-0.022817897591363615,0.1123719524791732,-0.11170958139825472,-0.19572254148220272,0.005600481131141248,0.16116207885633843,0.018456284134860293,0.014651294548385579,0.08006591007805033,0.028036087035597897,-0.05589898328610651,-0.009554315999145873,-0.18131064524725068,-0.19516430707300483,0.15560263239884822,-0.01779923891536279,0.12499705663715009,0.053893835586419477,-0.012381942660032652,-0.06390159295752244,0.007367978307129245,-0.09716282681039876,0.2039856199276514,0.03135869059604139,0.22250542921375518,-0.11871794828641459,0.08194286897046714,-0.2162752084811406,-0.33984956914787995,0.028205676454508655,-0.01004751178256602,-0.13795595546867606,-0.06039626101982275,-0.17574242043268523,0.1428825517217207,0.04222252823925778,-0.103298901734217,0.1697839300468748,0.19488712581540416,0.22456748363423557,0.018774586266016226,0.013254770065521466,-0.23557538808281403,0.07855885031948324,-0.08810090670498413,0.008725442637544255,-0.06314004685233483,0.0012701186555961511,0.04530593636160363,0.07355454233394175,-0.20177388659229067,0.11205412694013811,0.18156930414423603,0.050335563454197985,-0.02044163589723539,0.17831242594496874,0.025542658290731733,-0.018417253709078516,0.0649398091364589,-0.01764931381597201,0.041083276190254106,-0.16827780193752778,0.052790975725834056,-0.12093948494431715,-0.00944805309528338,0.08119499158546077,0.15012904983570402,-0.12226840955519067,-0.017931022536853906,-0.15071925641673037,0.048892659027273924,-0.06025632961453729,-0.3866398050482759,-0.002069842277626243,0.029583751757531144,0.22078080501978375,0.22358431280100052,0.07160440481905375,0.12095172635461629,-0.2869303318286018,0.16373486126372017,0.1628579182485854,0.0760988576023579,0.18581403173476238,-0.03003044092349699,-0.48965098308615046,0.07214384079842052,0.05118363933765071,-0.24116981365279,-0.00991502444725324,-0.1319047463033426;0.04742563981196536,0.3115908275422331,0.04777439596185643,0.15321078518654563,-0.23545872932184758,-0.020455037933935005,-0.04310908767101196,-0.08381229868072408,0.1575772959330552,-0.03504752421273234,0.12787233587299593,-0.1371780682998392,-0.23679766713524228,-0.003313577554237149,0.19138549007446687,0.013456057766127192,0.010466823428865351,0.08672308222051096,0.024022256841745096,-0.0736022921240056,-0.02094103877805361,-0.2154395225002347,-0.23355671415347928,0.18084530886332634,-0.03138051236402092,0.24627144334790552,0.054664844325051525,-0.022145739887749816,-0.08652183511726934,8.116870788157583E-5,-0.12220288046891076,0.2594217424220541,0.02571514545544144,0.29692347585228224,-0.1450179627881178,0.08878421895596653,-0.2580009582335844,-0.39484569314731244,0.024672753603947693,-0.020935522469314686,-0.16630619287494064,-0.07954616863676338,-0.21078694393113678,0.16712142776490588,0.04301418231510085,-0.12824999930261272,0.20478082501665124,0.235600166688082,0.3116204732605889,0.01482532995905584,0.0072777409991511945,-0.2792092374332163,0.08505988301200554,-0.10900597395937767,7.241361976934855E-4,-0.08178762842000241,-0.005874173433485042,0.04488726361315457,0.1985853505737634,-0.24137065301380398,0.12674784688603338,0.2211268913513981,0.05130880082555268,-0.03283474905852541,0.21850170214278725,0.02266257251515373,-0.035163498746554125,0.06773839518134447,-0.027210093535988442,0.039511535663142305,-0.2018086913957407,0.05346255052433091,-0.14777750491273275,-0.02040432800355087,0.0880756047689602,0.18576473361915227,-0.15002597320305128,-0.02971846839979952,-0.18449151265046154,0.048386333465336794,-0.07861292112915585,-0.44451700457795573,-0.010583160224090971,0.02536772068138012,0.3181201223869691,0.31625932383427185,0.07667755830092263,0.13780855432202838,-0.33804951838183905,0.1987229285718861,0.19556746472039932,0.07954587854869592,0.22997588402952301,-0.044704562877531745,-0.5560957732513864,0.07653288463734202,0.05072679280751101,-0.2857384251936771,-0.020949386176277215,-0.16038874579321344;-0.033470887166141876,0.34886531488380107,-0.028183776620899683,0.08748720441427049,-0.0965492961984223,-0.07554062175608524,-0.0842289796066118,-0.10653759462343518,0.09234364177394114,-0.08332004195218605,0.05543683154150994,-0.11133109975378641,-0.10384122265968358,-0.06551830601857912,0.13785325096943626,-0.05305694309773435,-0.05394405899758882,0.007135162228535281,-0.048573561377910184,-0.10019120373953545,-0.07598054800491326,-0.09976177689785018,-0.09876843006898503,0.11820618764501435,-0.08633101268702645,0.30876421790565234,-0.0223613851136572,-0.07650052352028561,-0.11060283292850624,-0.06518603921348158,-0.11335104349069361,0.2463696216392157,-0.05055145605603948,0.31527822262896255,-0.11202040104662209,0.012727070836896967,-0.08960763455774039,0.00989065338458579,-0.045726976715244005,-0.0758012076607381,-0.10810528120206286,-0.10392013482071225,-0.10318605853134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x_a{10}=[1.1590774023010164,2.8077752091759063,21.364186916620994];
std_x_a{10}=[1.3923072007692217,1.7060970327491018,1.2645209674755566];
pred_a{10}=[1.1590774023010164];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 0.9 to 1.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{11}=[2.561923207091278,4.035455158586945,17.227949107650677];
std_x_f{11}=[1.8837563342845127,2.627880031746684,1.6848512351614173];
pred_f{11}=[2.561923207091278];
obs{11}=[2.6868598676929043];
sqrt_r{11}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{11}=[4.553438177272478];
L_f{11}=[0.07000178794469068,0.29150064587543983,0.06839127907680366,0.17641731591984575,-0.2749448854577435,-0.009677152233570126,-0.03728143960035199,-0.08549333535403766,0.18024592602635092,-0.02717435962918253,0.152332014489755,-0.15281844925116503,-0.27512586624376095,0.011394793084588715,0.2114335419666396,0.028965964789456712,0.02503378716363673,0.1109900973315832,0.041891556771313614,-0.07383076975248834,-0.009829639031595408,-0.2508555619634308,-0.27223772054824447,0.203609252970538,-0.022192127282556855,0.20943603728808516,0.07651831471920352,-0.012139552219803776,-0.087150333255866,0.01436334522869536,-0.13322580555857602,0.26337384403949626,0.045450346493515086,0.2861242396194931,-0.16260851141251842,0.1129398997713643,-0.30216328530886094,-0.4665837712174497,0.04247595266243023,-0.009919863510864973,-0.1894000771469666,-0.080125152599878,-0.24473951490492377,0.18921540247147994,0.06221872313734872,-0.14127657370511557,0.22217181532476948,0.2491687485870916,0.29223418241472693,0.030595156636297857,0.02190642389008864,-0.3289105287364587,0.10818310389286442,-0.1183262442573928,0.015569067460128969,-0.08388522143972263,0.006174361453217919,0.06467571274243482,0.15854641662767271,-0.2819452938310811,0.15128041807400563,0.23592458949702433,0.0719550898858562,-0.024120543815296835,0.23214290517165007,0.0394523011113575,-0.02413440124051709,0.09079744802624157,-0.019180430625958898,0.05924674377893404,-0.23329018285118663,0.0742463793253748,-0.16578133669811115,-0.009688482462224564,0.11200136738830621,0.20099613843380354,-0.16863662095122536,-0.021386515931197267,-0.2103091234348922,0.0697865713743211,-0.07982761098313138,-0.5236143458552988,6.307392420208624E-4,0.04377726538774992,0.2920038022700907,0.2932588217044444,0.0994935970467076,0.16209424290708066,-0.3988712972500046,0.21493651619926482,0.21430716287027865,0.10383212582495036,0.24158240361089617,-0.038013410818365935,-0.6400671665497026,0.09974612748286585,0.0723108711812085,-0.336778860703332,-0.009972134837677296,-0.18181918520375878;0.11344549834726353,0.3520774459496075,0.11095930550184008,0.24669250864728165,-0.3996562939690954,4.4092471284862283E-4,-0.039874933672129347,-0.11176520862989914,0.251327532090419,-0.02491942495084562,0.2179455432838987,-0.21289644252855983,-0.40077168635193855,0.030325752684338597,0.2849813109245263,0.05631962095260153,0.050809906475807964,0.1668403226110754,0.07443209296397409,-0.09298982508568684,6.463320262603383E-4,-0.3626561150283834,-0.39578027400638227,0.2777539454068347,-0.01643785272528932,0.2770647066355727,0.12098649815447417,-0.0027348780106777187,-0.11413328429433114,0.035210909697896246,-0.1834703804904589,0.3331543014764206,0.07910481192755374,0.34966671771416635,-0.22784991442893893,0.1691546106526421,-0.44143753516425194,-0.6797677200650771,0.07495321769658507,1.8481522953225156E-4,-0.2690747576460718,-0.10420682224937516,-0.35304867246295674,0.2613438624571477,0.10218294057420531,-0.1950730104445343,0.29621849243381326,0.3221341058825382,0.3533833388188972,0.058030147315685635,0.04604658911627688,-0.4812044382038258,0.1634858988738158,-0.16097237701599276,0.036755043840054874,-0.10844169116107502,0.023820953380738006,0.10627268974083756,0.22484880597298912,-0.41031195429412076,0.21755785879370368,0.30961002767242685,0.11488661952802998,-0.02016317251294456,0.3054588163573395,0.07095571625640837,-0.02058458648432677,0.14014497711962678,-0.012923267456703375,0.09879688744199974,-0.3364424472942639,0.1184507705868919,-0.23296240858531936,0.001326479127669981,0.16817751604351827,0.2734793689631004,-0.23665903716652126,-0.015390246300537801,-0.3014242249458918,0.11209085641924016,-0.1024434695589395,-0.7571591777499247,0.016436711464400882,0.07697958054112317,0.35147379110389626,0.3534994613984357,0.15218417048313845,0.2297240620181087,-0.5852029438460585,0.28810260490473094,0.28846566222740055,0.1579507833116068,0.31410819718662697,-0.04025752481050073,-0.895443874045489,0.15219596993885556,0.11544821438863748,-0.4933611545568159,4.479271831833637E-4,-0.25706150243639236;-0.021770395081290236,0.4437139464963193,-0.018100660505340045,0.14156516702703434,-0.16163120805332096,-0.09278302843756449,-0.11049500009635801,-0.1435580027800402,0.1482513490814747,-0.10606395177431373,0.0984083790039379,-0.16277733699951524,-0.16747409094171098,-0.0765415408730117,0.20755468946456176,-0.05791758493319809,-0.06067380973197342,0.03418911144901551,-0.047973025649865275,-0.13516523889498705,-0.09262027934561334,-0.16454002677946777,-0.1635959103477897,0.18608763110270932,-0.10622425346257879,0.3393209249173628,-0.009360406987129808,-0.09471807761463137,-0.14761677792779218,-0.0741820517159566,-0.1608634854283991,0.33669238505184046,-0.04822443339824487,0.41193466496870296,-0.16585134040817467,0.039463053790878264,-0.15456456492706216,-0.04571063371457547,-0.045628315696344006,-0.09341813552709628,-0.1658621778958554,-0.14008480864933895,-0.16616776002287292,0.16523549946570842,-0.021369861766499774,-0.161604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k{11}=[0.7803857302837034;1.0862296705163763;0.49305928416878664];
x_a{11}=[2.6594219942140853,4.171165066267666,17.289550288093352];
L_a{11}=[-0.04380729718364094,-0.18242184661309413,-0.04279943663230541,-0.11040240562065701,0.17206120957776225,0.006055986514548705,0.023330819854158517,0.053501947007898815,-0.11279835957641136,0.01700578346643529,-0.09532976264274877,0.0956341747553421,0.17217446781459297,-0.007130890533782936,-0.13231564906371676,-0.018126974538781874,-0.015666207765663583,-0.06945788559125919,-0.026215842921273425,0.04620348375101097,0.006151413141122193,0.15698604958182039,0.17036705888250778,-0.12741918908224117,0.013887889774648065,-0.13106560554842395,-0.047885356236101004,0.007596962697430807,0.054538900515078086,-0.008988618026183087,0.08337304843193179,-0.16482002238788832,-0.028442942593324038,-0.17905727788492995,0.1017608205902683,-0.0706780769240343,0.18909455352725082,0.29198931237208553,-0.026581559358334495,0.006207875850042195,0.11852705066243939,0.05014252456809818,0.1531586117556202,-0.11841148078017133,-0.03893663540448538,0.08841123964257183,-0.1390356878805889,-0.15593043747475488,-0.18288089564762705,-0.019146526945930706,-0.01370909586398237,0.2058330465869105,-0.06770126194816524,0.07404886502189464,-0.009743162069473338,0.05249558522460826,-0.0038639311229313844,-0.04047422575706551,-0.09921875132814517,0.17644208296716712,-0.0946716709274574,-0.14764220898458538,-0.04502967851329542,0.015094697752328998,-0.14527562130217805,-0.024689350516722202,0.015103369764325485,-0.056821274227231364,0.01200316233644601,-0.03707676315264248,0.14599359059603859,-0.046463573280241144,0.10374638273487428,0.006063077000497647,-0.07009074096836428,-0.12578389534980003,0.10553322689260894,0.01338373613915236,0.1316119850827629,-0.04367261410576774,0.049956322266527894,0.3276791912318663,-3.9471822408914395E-4,-0.027395924176158697,-0.1827367231663575,-0.18352211752479045,-0.062263346432498035,-0.10143899004977257,0.24961467370606819,-0.13450781926023372,-0.13411396834405162,-0.06497840879173994,-0.15118288346695752,0.023788889306652253,0.40055566301661194,-0.06242138062261676,-0.04525232735406776,0.21075706877166814,0.0062405873794913495,0.11378290917657399;-0.04496693827657849,-0.30758181342584584,-0.043808586583113054,-0.15253582105741004,0.22253766023443747,0.022340097718414314,0.04449210696121337,0.08170424359656449,-0.1565648542571309,0.036575526091727824,-0.12677830305852536,0.1329281944947307,0.22183182320920616,0.004539597925257032,-0.19348793322404553,-0.009229691374731397,-0.005840978293702069,-0.0843277157439654,-0.020367536830526358,0.07408750933249218,0.02289057914975052,0.205024253974024,0.22028742825062683,-0.18300911264116362,0.033782421069344586,-0.1968842303524539,-0.05217268873081437,0.024736649547745876,0.08308591608594568,0.0027069896902409594,0.11801655433445277,-0.26285465204129843,-0.0237482771838897,-0.2978258579194777,0.1401294081704434,-0.08642578579337871,0.24235103209151196,0.3761006264133991,-0.021168886562965835,0.022633238275150337,0.1595332622133732,0.07711455583074799,0.2007912226674164,-0.16684624285774807,-0.038616599340391876,0.12463262759113786,-0.2065512174276955,-0.24172904323276104,-0.3079358968793444,-0.011205988702346653,-0.003527144470150693,0.26311252595066603,-0.08132997786835408,0.10679719315800965,0.0015226021448700821,0.08138863625136784,0.009848515374249049,-0.04008696115847696,-0.13393808952477612,0.2277237631034977,-0.12478624903839287,-0.22428189393438294,-0.047946094477964024,0.034421063556744444,-0.21987524057038443,-0.01832393406346127,0.034031008620023145,-0.06532756013082379,0.03048160604957632,-0.03527713151684376,0.19148787264381545,-0.0495670787389515,0.14219694468513075,0.0232512921801738,-0.08527900319856463,-0.1813702709695153,0.14496175871946457,0.03300694752874552,0.17450048591818956,-0.04583455005415766,0.07820457868362171,0.4277680478757201,0.015009363061789403,-0.022087364495786195,-0.30932409962397994,-0.310138509453727,-0.07296755205704353,-0.13709148277763117,0.317433630902721,-0.1982937893911934,-0.1965065199552448,-0.07701893010142423,-0.23258722767429058,0.045765949859580116,0.5530134073052406,-0.07352722317212253,-0.048189624508544596,0.26876166392846057,0.0230146390395449,0.1543911332569448;-0.09367666382467131,0.14428268342986877,-0.08835260459690854,-0.039651789024736754,0.1207938757025877,-0.08284259791988263,-0.0721992751762868,-0.0557387208983736,-0.03689837890819992,-0.0781502817982099,-0.05806800672460306,-0.005801282480975675,0.11513689739490746,-0.08824634267697476,-0.009631150160427902,-0.08767160279068004,-0.08638867045632173,-0.07982060174409122,-0.0910042913892018,-0.05932581639983947,-0.08252321344759957,0.09314035516401159,0.11604835689999064,-0.023061050561056656,-0.08342836331149173,0.12418693443008048,-0.08796049226405088,-0.08224825462909255,-0.05809541757164103,-0.0889361686091501,-0.024013115469027416,0.06615314647632466,-0.09491130991095205,0.11802607960041639,0.0011811264029323249,-0.0765495085057711,0.15581942719281103,0.43356709660526566,-0.08925987650289202,-0.08322839048696216,0.028690750639448193,-0.057779757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x_a{11}=[2.6594219942140858,4.171165066267666,17.289550288093334];
std_x_a{11}=[1.1788595117423248,1.6517445072443182,1.4026580710744827];
pred_a{11}=[2.6594219942140858];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.0 to 1.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{12}=[4.794809532510459,7.748429592417265,15.43116966211175];
std_x_f{12}=[1.7672458559754367,2.543594887596009,2.2639052159403676];
pred_f{12}=[4.794809532510459];
obs{12}=[5.092411684619948];
sqrt_r{12}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{12}=[4.125312369966533];
L_f{12}=[-0.04641610177705809,-0.34529607353959424,-0.04446848552069556,-0.1750582810374015,0.24858157276341225,0.036211386793976265,0.062478625403082015,0.10627188271305797,-0.1793336235673044,0.05365507030468432,-0.14396647118171577,0.16238837013906854,0.2492418740435652,0.015493662397444746,-0.22164037757860952,-0.0025006412508186532,0.0014566830803576538,-0.09298659892243288,-0.015726024875364474,0.09676217229363802,0.03629621270031488,0.23297161922935986,0.24729900077998296,-0.20959814542450242,0.04993253857200829,-0.2311559194863388,-0.05429995616198192,0.03885704485898385,0.1089630598289688,0.013038379001070896,0.14710824035813871,-0.2980919087686879,-0.019300040322982836,-0.33555646832171543,0.17074324648259062,-0.09598647479475977,0.265004063534889,0.3483876685331257,-0.01656384962792191,0.03656531521205672,0.1897545511815694,0.10153954780303784,0.2294269424529828,-0.19132208290333508,-0.03849237734599336,0.1536893531281569,-0.23670472378663435,-0.2752657248131635,-0.3457880644527583,-0.004236739213525002,0.005198499009152795,0.28114434088875945,-0.09015792629762415,0.13387952806047632,0.011240967427337982,0.10542784565062491,0.02114058859520049,-0.04008668125641103,-0.1636974691425991,0.25375767918020875,-0.14209547651478122,-0.25659952329746766,-0.04893996946250615,0.05114594036879563,-0.25118226511527036,-0.013109097656447273,0.05141872737393372,-0.07037407769474562,0.0451035427751268,-0.03411053794906722,0.22140254892963365,-0.05129452391480751,0.17211156845218065,0.0370890621209221,-0.09408041901486268,-0.2084413384669552,0.17520547966023467,0.04808243579557207,0.20570288811994336,-0.04659419311677292,0.10164837003470432,0.3695918798500153,0.026824907738845195,-0.0176517318602655,-0.3475327043646729,-0.34802440308571914,-0.07997235921589016,-0.15610733654593206,0.3174352088024483,-0.22732583101149142,-0.22489566186996846,-0.08479306924328522,-0.2647069812190379,0.06439194870066808,0.40416640350260313,-0.08025001267363756,-0.04936707629286267,0.284893016308068,0.03672317150017755,0.18430118852322552;-0.040384248932104634,-0.5588509809548424,-0.039531221098048214,-0.2582927506229038,0.3387367735384376,0.0858094116053177,0.12393927279304365,0.18621160248467056,-0.2662632688691857,0.11120245773153978,-0.2055945836089347,0.2559538965098666,0.34115786724135666,0.05418168870323671,-0.33990978569671243,0.0268069578882904,0.03295217810685557,-0.11914606073789492,0.006919869840799746,0.1726466546076297,0.0860377837718997,0.3263058280596304,0.33843517614041974,-0.3182955869225217,0.10733147668305286,-0.367252768204912,-0.055505763048164576,0.08972530645306889,0.1897868106788343,0.05067208986165194,0.23803970797988955,-0.47481247318937797,0.00135895724924705,-0.5410111570621291,0.2650441547721028,-0.12433005497280701,0.3497849043540803,0.3572986836314746,0.004474053528752286,0.08619790232132053,0.28522907197866854,0.17886975388783297,0.32368177781504626,-0.2870991134867447,-0.03043895283068818,0.2461233067400758,-0.36573799940926943,-0.43326501237564086,-0.5596387471790367,0.023690767638358794,0.038200330210562156,0.3581525038188983,-0.11490276316274803,0.22023604188573512,0.04809738347111099,0.18448831566711693,0.06265224215001697,-0.032501023439503424,-0.25398638793785966,0.34323693519348547,-0.20130897212817533,-0.4004832915629259,-0.047003559031899775,0.10767330980008491,-0.3930771844444789,0.009690781196981272,0.10989706084369692,-0.08120222198848727,0.0984019699485166,-0.022848257356982777,0.316400571352476,-0.05090411582755175,0.2666998851445565,0.0881627302552363,-0.12179232823452231,-0.3177591932984386,0.2707223630290385,0.10369417295947003,0.30303326801474656,-0.04316393643333192,0.17871272512785039,0.33551585492215463,0.07151226554725496,0.0034660536041513806,-0.5637960288550679,-0.5639010863732372,-0.09791160276599276,-0.22628650444193193,0.36644130067529973,-0.3500686987719386,-0.3449342516290777,-0.10505918394249239,-0.41620799835180794,0.12766435688216318,0.2570066519298016,-0.0983755387130187,-0.04798826215020184,0.35909886024297694,0.08688419805894732,0.28047464351482315;-0.1352005113543244,-0.09408557546196344,-0.12911352927984063,-0.17290928602881891,0.320650465994724,-0.06152209840882149,-0.030266996778535452,0.02408696912540531,-0.17262353367076988,-0.04329240067199959,-0.16949755737153505,0.12119561282171348,0.31721093123278227,-0.08384482455849766,-0.17229221663101582,-0.09718335221824163,-0.09335038977695333,-0.15688816278135162,-0.10999874048258168,0.012083603436708642,-0.06097755446896666,0.28001685648604935,0.31561909890419226,-0.17657233713390677,-0.05017336960123032,-0.0726962700572754,-0.1366782221680362,-0.058418957226869066,0.024721115444104047,-0.08627610238956163,0.0900099400362898,-0.14100309920365678,-0.11597569163426157,-0.11156716847967825,0.13522588263691726,-0.15568656671321315,0.36943771053322694,0.7052279029809863,-0.10987929223086582,-0.06173986274155496,0.1783643702051484,0.01774960390648692,0.2690472344140735,-0.17211437288965642,-0.1231609863463066,0.103223258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k{12}=[0.7575941140166044;1.0683900480815052;0.7772793109578651];
x_a{12}=[5.020271171267281,8.066384770018681,15.66248965784299];
L_a{12}=[0.03183884309911665,0.23685374443922036,0.030502887557191653,0.12008016463600898,-0.17051302004120072,-0.024838980836272718,-0.04285683362234475,-0.07289655248948874,0.12301280987748933,-0.03680436959372747,0.0987529265060711,-0.11138931620781992,-0.17096594969388698,-0.010627783618544731,0.15203287083540118,0.001715299677995489,-9.992029115975221E-4,0.06378359276338749,0.010787171248986994,-0.06637342438587879,-0.024897166651523455,-0.1598054672238106,-0.16963324757905268,0.14377257482951686,-0.03425092156102901,0.15855999901299855,0.03724672513073382,-0.02665375391718078,-0.07474254908689737,-0.008943596885318454,-0.10090800399065243,0.20447433431588766,0.013238745437984967,0.23017292139490672,-0.11712029289111812,0.06584133939783345,-0.1817779278415402,-0.2389744052477873,0.011361872049354755,-0.025081755885020093,-0.1301609818814949,-0.0696504361004758,-0.15737401771815807,0.13123622074541105,0.02640361245150531,-0.10542227832391357,0.16236616762132688,0.18881685206970003,0.23719122261792797,0.002906165531073718,-0.003565878821498465,-0.1928492530621365,0.06184328195674931,-0.09183384913655378,-0.007710673333153325,-0.07231759039289315,-0.014501258346478498,0.02749721553562282,0.11228728471829096,-0.17406353879997682,0.09746952907804209,0.1760128845118627,0.03357007480887693,-0.03508324715376539,0.17229694916427937,0.008992105917453763,-0.035270363743128766,0.04827267116764874,-0.030938501223757273,0.02339791633091451,-0.15186973371812237,0.03518516713470874,-0.11805888503545847,-0.025441016896104084,0.06453389201231652,0.14297907012302058,-0.12018113463730933,-0.0329818547983974,-0.14110064673985911,0.031961003771930646,-0.06972508204934014,-0.25351930521378696,-0.01840038253853348,0.012108098259222126,0.23838794776918462,0.23872522552048372,0.0548565540805375,0.1070808793633669,-0.21774275348973612,0.15593277308626877,0.1542658133236223,0.058163290844554766,0.18157414603135408,-0.04416926611748048,-0.27723548971994744,0.05504700878351113,0.0338630461450655,-0.19542063419789296,-0.025190036447093653,-0.1264202808877845;0.06997405873162077,0.2621203815647372,0.06619645999856721,0.15792349542465295,-0.2522874752948971,-2.8630112674506007E-4,-0.02460907790123913,-0.06645901567240418,0.16011797484553913,-0.016367125445517456,0.13669818790048727,-0.1301385375100004,-0.25143630515375953,0.017344162581208446,0.18705943496313449,0.032752449343818914,0.029488787744545917,0.10193764296850617,0.04430985790698123,-0.057413802245938304,-2.596099094712344E-4,-0.22760440238840987,-0.24953964656428407,0.18004218236288375,-0.01138746444276483,0.18234047862766486,0.07359709218584956,-0.002660687787628596,-0.06928231447828494,0.01967221296230297,-0.11172289223349029,0.23392689354955484,0.04724647701806113,0.25680344933173105,-0.14091272237656038,0.1038861138005952,-0.28028524061823373,-0.47102321412060927,0.04385604260904551,-7.393059210950594E-4,-0.16592883095057256,-0.06254932758319656,-0.22180067616579355,0.16778573206370465,0.061080012770101694,-0.11928645986680596,0.1970480108974792,0.22120312228413344,0.26250236640717706,0.033763982572755924,0.0258404479482131,-0.3102925504155438,0.09945552604615895,-0.09807414750795992,0.021371008478603067,-0.06617553117032059,0.012388659232450272,0.06280853798297867,0.13521854250162912,-0.26009395557175163,0.13653534728842576,0.2096043300654756,0.06935546295012435,-0.013930599336462164,0.2041304360145809,0.04085879783294701,-0.012355423056501997,0.08611825130524994,-0.00883561484930154,0.058252505038771614,-0.21000319106744766,0.07105306357635435,-0.14251029616196834,-1.9731687804343473E-5,0.10189202760912491,0.17782816711502622,-0.14584386051090448,-0.010625988355149048,-0.18604318919170365,0.06761779883650507,-0.06296509063716604,-0.5432208942863382,0.007733720862192129,0.045434577044342686,0.26249311743510384,0.2635571162714668,0.09222961730741225,0.14487222745346742,-0.38828843954675424,0.19041818052644274,0.1897746897657025,0.09654369232332943,0.21315580764849082,-0.025433085895495828,-0.7039340259262479,0.09242582653718624,0.0693862433641568,-0.31825899492512677,-4.2832719942012304E-4,-0.15771741672168116;-0.0549122032655612,0.5031907246320237,-0.052194112761950524,0.12989798695004148,-0.10933380961462572,-0.1241587884350649,-0.13833947450229975,-0.1597369483035286,0.13757901821097093,-0.13610232331130204,0.07952861997114705,-0.15969586648389755,-0.11391550131311862,-0.11064500579655599,0.21109049408030778,-0.09285786499551982,-0.0958700890939101,0.003955518970927871,-0.08279662996780122,-0.15529088091280363,-0.12376097220911254,-0.12296608315129146,-0.11214664626832357,0.18598030796981213,-0.1365442384815843,0.3271459607574129,-0.0427528074384789,-0.1256319774852612,-0.163757868850235,-0.10882925420838696,-0.1644507163324853,0.3746217398865004,-0.08259142358392073,0.4688620377296933,-0.16011745411105643,0.010346153951086382,-0.08895338831557226,0.10260391271434004,-0.08122795333881223,-0.12498876087628376,-0.1498637937989438,-0.15788855149831438,-0.127804296289708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x_a{12}=[5.0202711712672805,8.066384770018683,15.662489657843];
std_x_a{12}=[1.2122315612849857,1.782018972762396,1.8435358333953833];
pred_a{12}=[5.0202711712672805];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.1 to 1.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{13}=[9.182463981010102,14.28554395269881,19.355334367273848];
std_x_f{13}=[1.691686150456956,2.19928415472422,3.257285447271235];
pred_f{13}=[9.182463981010102];
obs{13}=[9.746670210583972];
sqrt_r{13}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{13}=[3.8693442922200103];
L_f{13}=[0.08684618916300742,0.16683341559383436,0.08308142329909668,0.14763146795547766,-0.25388414830708567,0.020597849229313177,-0.004251486456371006,-0.04799744255744953,0.1488685874567829,0.004373549013100643,0.13541625920801006,-0.11784870610221061,-0.252885325876386,0.03871890924995479,0.1613164415894872,0.05255254406923517,0.0492617744210893,0.11258022929775587,0.06289895263870789,-0.03898205250243249,0.02062098988688898,-0.2265339739091223,-0.2508258232989773,0.15896659579222755,0.009747207083233268,0.13315052412308948,0.08950705213165831,0.01808685386888397,-0.05083453912639231,0.04085351702237345,-0.09750560977772973,0.17101550230609353,0.06671760076182165,0.1701679605577596,-0.1298950307624747,0.11332729801673515,-0.2849181313040881,-0.4849216770438445,0.06342907070183933,0.020235035471798432,-0.15798482156528437,-0.043542811398268676,-0.22015148038013002,0.15244038437420768,0.07806156541761071,-0.10632162676355782,0.16424496806592592,0.17167409573676556,0.16713765415198567,0.053147943520202835,0.04658360839494506,-0.31758492755431983,0.10985636976468721,-0.08348858013528358,0.04204651067759457,-0.04808496985594629,0.0326645216205165,0.08018256651690493,0.10812059415585659,-0.26252810608023647,0.13528726392110785,0.16830902470000614,0.08556083988214346,0.00807259751062682,0.16515195182181253,0.06023303035723467,0.008952389254962351,0.09961492562893574,0.01135076789331679,0.0764353964547284,-0.20674059946179782,0.08724894743712021,-0.13190327629017332,0.021110748818579113,0.11185672014961306,0.15441694199209624,-0.13587204434073002,0.01001903211736773,-0.17998248415673893,0.08483997225824112,-0.0448025485702655,-0.5553800621801392,0.028568101711136887,0.06428551145731305,0.16430448050990823,0.16604864609288614,0.10410608913929328,0.14063326736323384,-0.40046947321113635,0.16086660647391687,0.16171769466583438,0.10804584198957083,0.16761385559454473,-0.0045693679199806676,-0.7036850014514309,0.10428466667045967,0.08637682144597345,-0.3254297320290574,0.020606555772192284,-0.14907641102159186;0.14884795617456156,-0.03839796198405309,0.14264732720092052,0.13036121906588374,-0.297926390761831,0.09632536632379717,0.0697039309936243,0.018419708216647707,0.12808275843667932,0.07930540518052104,0.14214778800768907,-0.08020509743551395,-0.294818742038608,0.1132466712628938,0.10395341809494146,0.1239677104483116,0.12101871616460495,0.1514484803478206,0.13286014638655796,0.02984366609793161,0.09592841098480964,-0.2517753486876193,-0.29255290648933546,0.11483247352467267,0.08733664216817542,0.02629262718337985,0.14641577297283848,0.09376645527207521,0.015948078604149808,0.11555073548810689,-0.04912247566453263,0.030660619592103443,0.13699085175328407,-0.019087938064973622,-0.09655678916020717,0.15010149859707278,-0.35204947173031925,-0.7173543144027424,0.13219213838584448,0.09598112707712707,-0.14103100252564554,0.024124211601234423,-0.2410059538288045,0.12112742936454429,0.13917000272198463,-0.06166687423769958,0.09161234961604318,0.06011586693554449,-0.0388576919479784,0.1247530898017094,0.1191331236078227,-0.40824692594031514,0.148764875211063,-0.030197027944152032,0.11600813607219619,0.01825527583596478,0.10767540680899342,0.1422785062455501,0.052633372826753816,-0.31164432105299417,0.1446888595118793,0.07562669056125279,0.1440490972393691,0.08453249893451385,0.07646715104009813,0.12999764144258946,0.08851242547156928,0.1500812903867593,0.08566531399708596,0.14017648960536278,-0.2183010494779903,0.144774684736446,-0.100403124959271,0.09803875913688007,0.1495090490317419,0.10468502655526891,-0.10553625499387785,0.08554516776649186,-0.17470353058184623,0.14458085532823597,0.02233580134250167,-0.8517522994980993,0.10390539990219648,0.1337003391359423,-0.0476911158646969,-0.04458142049602617,0.14881331636649425,0.13893163489681756,-0.5595457849477258,0.09579762345858774,0.10100257135548642,0.15130438237252142,0.0649745152672537,0.07146354737335792,-1.1339581974533177,0.14910777221227353,0.14491245832113991,-0.42407902599919683,0.09649924168779343,-0.126459912924968;0.07146124432531596,0.6823576108421506,0.06737707585596074,0.33309460561643917,-0.4555541454958318,-0.09518023491274781,-0.14624128138232156,-0.23004421619852072,0.3415765804827043,-0.13061572594595153,0.26895972134890545,-0.32932750793497234,-0.4580752887960555,-0.05530542106706413,0.4263285613577994,-0.018018484636853502,-0.025762171211870306,0.16439969585683908,0.008177436605493301,-0.2121759201239036,-0.09573581688156065,-0.4351870065261633,-0.454578984163308,0.40113550142370913,-0.12227489945093652,0.46920861414672366,0.08562698268421219,-0.10065319571590076,-0.23709739410285344,-0.050250038666905625,-0.30433150808569315,0.5822406702514953,0.014133517021927609,0.6604933523345607,-0.3441391431181173,0.17148975463485033,-0.4728009810524072,-0.5037755571043971,0.009592305129233796,-0.09699485097436426,-0.3730122504495251,-0.22121360353333344,-0.4316054334371277,0.3662708203933323,0.054825152918648645,-0.314652322686707,0.4585477533822079,0.53517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k{13}=[0.7415582784890262;0.8780647603385309;1.1987860636765297];
x_a{13}=[9.600855781325684,14.780953560451096,20.031696932326483];
L_a{13}=[-0.06351936065263149,-0.12202207139019776,-0.06076580838986479,-0.10797775408590757,0.18569103533184378,-0.015065280658539048,0.0031095400285800255,0.035105361485558956,-0.10888258411392787,-0.0031988166639491207,-0.09904354226434754,0.08619462221079091,0.184960495940133,-0.028319036038624363,-0.11798695292535027,-0.038436965768084065,-0.03603009465353252,-0.08234125476361288,-0.0460043358935627,0.0285114991889195,-0.015082205750917453,0.1656870995432991,0.18345417438198247,-0.11626827414263437,-0.007129113758966268,-0.09738638211271142,-0.06546551760185293,-0.013228736977885184,0.037180415807525534,-0.029880289586476438,0.0713156679966854,-0.12508085239966735,-0.048797297676632885,-0.12446095979989494,0.09500531209837808,-0.08288766132273183,0.20838931118565507,0.354672037878516,-0.0463920645983574,-0.014799918434411218,0.11555020381851663,0.031847241285910745,0.1610189395210991,-0.1114949987605856,-0.05709428098869632,0.07776370869760174,-0.1201288791426139,-0.12556254807393308,-0.12224459167446021,-0.03887244132346396,-0.03407128223652511,0.23228182774144626,-0.08034902208517808,0.061063603171296194,-0.030752845941252778,0.0351693790100323,-0.02389085289010072,-0.058645582606753746,-0.0790794746476685,0.192013231809899,-0.09894919502550825,-0.12310133287421456,-0.06257925533168812,-0.005904303201129559,-0.12079224766633949,-0.04405447855957033,-0.00654778346947794,-0.07285842301650083,-0.008301959204526718,-0.055904899925106125,0.15121021227663575,-0.0638139383228295,0.09647414421619852,-0.015440415760069172,-0.08181207969031078,-0.11294065432004502,0.09937690381428281,-0.00732792677015311,0.13163930890335654,-0.06205201227097654,0.03276861389335361,0.40620534774055306,-0.02089472863737022,-0.04701846593788471,-0.12017240658381866,-0.12144809045401296,-0.07614326300215508,-0.10285926550716447,0.29290363969249283,-0.11765794322192516,-0.1182804296928992,-0.0790248008634113,-0.12259288572702325,0.0033420387429900973,0.5146756791958385,-0.07627387472750466,-0.06317606479147399,0.23801952296426107,-0.015071648629805229,0.10903458640778116;-0.02919697204208728,-0.38042613604462666,-0.027679387073901347,-0.17230069814634294,0.22256604991206017,0.054097346616830466,0.07841997954145251,0.11682012505801104,-0.17711539962765802,0.07033911399844145,-0.13547151092094098,0.1613986461554669,0.223625994876615,0.033868341776312726,-0.22676430872501246,0.016228798394876277,0.02002626991961124,-0.07935426456376389,0.003909876773215531,0.10976147028051995,0.053652950201191596,0.21264600948594212,0.22166960729680454,-0.21106779232980316,0.06735371830965457,-0.24668164765794762,-0.0370842380841014,0.05668627213696813,0.12016487794691469,0.03179620836667463,0.15077552171347144,-0.31994132535762676,2.119032132440622E-4,-0.36795232249308485,0.16974334042170605,-0.0822328252787187,0.23206629344669907,0.2767923028761703,0.002155064234430279,0.05449691835409976,0.18285651039809495,0.11339210930028591,0.2103305400212373,-0.1913933335474705,-0.02086541098132508,0.15630499749824917,-0.24510920179659842,-0.2918362722048356,-0.38150959092692605,0.015793538667510397,0.023631233511263724,0.24283962344145027,-0.07645363647496049,0.1409644058545829,0.029807831286207107,0.11683513395999175,0.040709285863374634,-0.02210520980828014,-0.1690265941879038,0.22656925230456265,-0.13266598386817505,-0.269426656162811,-0.03136071339007975,0.06798272216073124,-0.26211382401872574,0.006512826857390213,0.07015897188161951,-0.054141053205323024,0.062394901394684,-0.016525085974996925,0.20554155715099284,-0.0340959454332097,0.1700141447558654,0.05475923479357533,-0.0798104168138683,-0.21188791253839115,0.1730174572005435,0.06500497053585863,0.19428178449966443,-0.02935109167140558,0.11418630878553442,0.28684231538156607,0.04533742279846569,0.0019074604489492499,-0.38453467480488734,-0.38500072454388523,-0.06461644199550963,-0.14938314591138055,0.26146385632744207,-0.2339978883323252,-0.23053777158457006,-0.0702023338868796,-0.2786536528200365,0.08083129040444709,0.30867903024808546,-0.06468809114551699,-0.03217021073028947,0.2430902975726569,0.05425337254129629,0.17916430795265725;-0.17161624641935028,0.2154004717235441,-0.1651630516691985,-0.08011738596804592,0.25505299000551884,-0.1528324307506177,-0.13434161520572255,-0.09570213381736566,-0.07509803746485719,-0.14285703820155238,-0.11006260319465024,5.24245410965875E-4,0.24973620014332298,-0.16367742213649536,-0.025186884689357685,-0.1651100342801106,-0.16364304579385774,-0.15070589379422925,-0.16787311581641184,-0.10306739621869657,-0.15345278208964633,0.19886856317639992,0.24746807546116975,-0.04380286132780034,-0.14955677171724702,0.09652795185044218,-0.16489811053868283,-0.15127725989517843,-0.09481444152779128,-0.16459668417432935,-0.03141891184255414,0.1035781108503173,-0.17260521196534306,0.18420301356242716,0.0194295804176865,-0.1457068374122178,0.32466848873703513,0.8534923391560659,-0.1679420172752848,-0.1536315519628422,0.06917818268223702,-0.09933977767330544,0.18458590380257442,-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x_a{13}=[9.600855781325688,14.7809535604511,20.031696932326483];
std_x_a{13}=[1.2373003782612537,1.7283710414223696,2.664273657558627];
pred_a{13}=[9.600855781325688];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.2 to 1.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{14}=[13.682326242838093,14.930256457481223,32.452915432587766];
std_x_f{14}=[1.076616276662602,2.436742285898009,2.7598033196751386];
pred_f{14}=[13.682326242838093];
obs{14}=[14.316741847886645];
sqrt_r{14}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{14}=[2.160002787130545];
L_f{14}=[0.030002999111763073,-0.26984377628870615,0.029937519221698038,-0.07923185208665331,0.05655763406126459,0.07645935584458814,0.08539917849566589,0.09779763374878073,-0.08261984994542398,0.08288049841904944,-0.049263026863844275,0.09692402209620261,0.058823905152933974,0.06688921702630117,-0.12468034670269837,0.05693295362636254,0.058484854793283664,-0.004804160831749807,0.049600879543019845,0.09557314660003292,0.07632688392006814,0.06795832849183796,0.05862649357131467,-0.11073083420730291,0.08316256192465674,-0.16171233291839074,0.023581912192303288,0.07742960724537998,0.09930961472949937,0.06569063379944308,0.09999536819122999,-0.2095362302374491,0.0484034832964012,-0.2554937406679772,0.09636201236159417,-0.008420862042981939,0.040685931892512635,-0.1030412178825842,0.048388570688935276,0.07645861562634972,0.08963049049827615,0.09716938875931552,0.07121353031373695,-0.09513095964822843,0.03381196670486132,0.09881362189724378,-0.1411653331192016,-0.18228872845274288,-0.2696718349046631,0.055470468781764926,0.060831269510441176,0.02338879366110729,-0.004118613437937995,0.09856967872340973,0.06408351055723442,0.09709480594762022,0.06907167424490504,0.03337571306899768,-0.10085246584828138,0.053441135280486794,-0.04743192545852647,-0.1628664309482842,0.02716587080983563,0.08277887696930297,-0.1571672385285148,0.051063719640720553,0.08556745260381575,0.012402026288261907,0.07836368533298989,0.037765858987346225,0.07613346832165595,0.025451274283722028,0.09530975210279351,0.07734289346644718,-0.006841569262287616,-0.11378737685657071,0.09536887217755295,0.08088824047326905,0.08621073406673756,0.02907353072231342,0.09655752603157532,-0.16984971649627148,0.07194711795376099,0.0486568244584582,-0.27451320818885205,-0.274055404276403,0.004292848924640131,-0.06023384633983097,-0.032989054304971586,-0.132528091832914,-0.1287298907163182,6.695798468104477E-4,-0.17154328411165726,0.08841248548785058,-0.33446138580121315,0.0038031678263076895,0.027071192895282016,0.017587507600242337,0.07692087972884402,0.09218933858698103;0.16634023635631134,-0.2017408369953739,0.16085933453938056,0.08059756668236781,-0.2585575995507135,0.14313423127285335,0.12292899757961324,0.08022954318888115,0.07590083202510114,0.13116337860706437,0.10981451295394698,-0.01613198352641611,-0.25519941185561656,0.15472272876604912,0.025839209527771797,0.15824288723022917,0.15698178268399063,0.14774863105884978,0.1614593252871122,0.08896798347870181,0.14299721861702092,-0.20624956259851665,-0.2517222736903233,0.04407604606045366,0.13832322483914458,-0.0708063726208061,0.1597529943505903,0.14111147295491455,0.07928134655842783,0.15596849088979386,0.014775952199135578,-0.09824567248801154,0.1657040318132496,-0.17379644324945034,-0.03530715252235377,0.14412226706895748,-0.3218383860201024,-0.781487037940003,0.16203673035170782,0.1435612115514013,-0.08317955024843643,0.08440715889539335,-0.19293673705340794,0.06146181220591294,0.15930327739213312,7.952592443058408E-4,0.0034701757452213823,-0.052902157293287934,-0.20075265670191197,0.15723904075853107,0.15661889147632463,-0.38987588363253983,0.14513458905839213,0.030411613044665137,0.15464123365155055,0.0784483936519381,0.14919510968683727,0.1617577907144217,-0.00659379678020915,-0.27497148049312103,0.11184248864595488,-0.026564210415226917,0.15948357523957757,0.13603918175588717,-0.020667523513644998,0.15972693399712332,0.13968709956282196,0.1563386571644925,0.13373520999814661,0.16346842749351947,-0.16845657464876262,0.15974809039027668,-0.03992315720219941,0.14605937540121333,0.14464392411094584,0.032774472002868545,-0.044980358673351546,0.1346512082874517,-0.11775305523308273,0.16307194900100375,0.08148544413533466,-0.9638794839009066,0.14768865548259513,0.16197464636588318,-0.21283951327308295,-0.20912057837946063,0.15013375916168747,0.09989553641834878,-0.5765046466398832,0.013543102831742065,0.020223274212732154,0.15035207171064452,-0.041210266660378844,0.12560480004992114,-1.3768196922579632,0.14961979231252348,0.16104110041001138,-0.4078709049813557,0.1441949472470927,-0.0676692763685726;-0.09301969521738293,-0.4775039199186622,-0.08769480086933903,-0.2966840090846299,0.40158232165860736,0.05527064389297324,0.102042833233375,0.1768650313889733,-0.30181675008136866,0.08647135651458608,-0.24854724166633707,0.27010390608522417,0.4025527972791326,0.018117727939482214,-0.3597763191788131,-0.012371471699718535,-0.006251990628205016,-0.17026734734964138,-0.035340628415901396,0.16240898015543012,0.054999302048535634,0.37984360852550575,0.3997052747701338,-0.3427147343622861,0.07952657859746033,-0.3410821025581255,-0.10436136897761591,0.06045958553512534,0.18292563302672243,0.014781986033797854,0.24686744126521667,-0.4434752712420344,-0.04268033786638215,-0.4745241635498876,0.2867476516807887,-0.17389070611611404,0.4227312095990581,0.5236847811793728,-0.038039904162685434,0.05632061552522349,0.3162541624596542,0.17007950874473018,0.37528048513429735,-0.3190927400457528,-0.07588424246051866,0.2582323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k{14}=[0.5370376344150695;0.562162827847777;0.8059524118120156];
x_a{14}=[14.023031298609371,15.286901328046076,32.964224219567825];
L_a{14}=[-0.07500684448891713,0.6746035650967191,-0.0748431461895251,0.19807790500858602,-0.14139285365745802,-0.19114672477223568,-0.21349608674268578,-0.24449195490936432,0.20654782588466147,-0.20719944139332025,0.12315649449794563,-0.24230794480009044,-0.14705848204045288,-0.1672215861083756,0.3116981519453184,-0.14233114439792982,-0.14621086352386828,0.012010297472745854,-0.12400111883942183,-0.23893078547386273,-0.19081554784540225,-0.16989434149319965,-0.14656495738487857,0.2768246744459268,-0.20790459401563882,0.4042773111436782,-0.05895426700412466,-0.19357233214779337,-0.24827187443902557,-0.16422515413938885,-0.24998624316163776,0.5238360131155149,-0.1210076542951882,0.6387287885050564,-0.24090293270086632,0.02105197175014872,-0.10171394382876553,0.2576008010691655,-0.12097037310123307,-0.1911448742427573,-0.22407427461589235,-0.24292135611521654,-0.17803227516861972,0.2378253277226066,-0.08452918053454381,-0.24703190315822043,0.3529102590396318,0.4557178519455646,0.6741737153804958,-0.13867496413083374,-0.15207684922552234,-0.05847147488113086,0.010296443915443858,-0.2464220505352961,-0.1602073810276466,-0.24273490070995712,-0.1726776816336844,-0.08343855594394686,0.252128968641674,-0.13360167456469688,0.11857878085536981,0.40716253108888206,-0.06791408551022077,-0.20694538998167727,0.3929146741346597,-0.12765818723154054,-0.2139167683490308,-0.03100479567678994,-0.19590750702804044,-0.09441382514802178,-0.19033201306083627,-0.06362763152885804,-0.23827230496596138,-0.19335554958858234,0.017103774186206858,0.28446596451540845,-0.23842010386556936,-0.2022188399086381,-0.21552495799941368,-0.07268319375369846,-0.24139171261867087,0.4246205929035829,-0.17986622829541585,-0.12164100168403653,0.686277043174069,0.6851325433612476,-0.01073202883836557,0.15058330430739228,0.0824719174530564,0.3313173438926981,0.321821923803896,-0.0016739350374787665,0.4288544750660135,-0.22102928861088,0.8361461818829865,-0.00950783675493537,-0.06767739278537002,-0.043968386047174256,-0.1923005244335745,-0.23047133912085388;0.056417529180103156,0.7868922757748835,0.051176527606302036,0.3708812027784411,-0.4657691594463398,-0.13699174386977966,-0.18995002014456455,-0.2780739923026269,0.3785971571045654,-0.17248789053434233,0.29030064557010127,-0.37123484706128496,-0.47071396348428624,-0.09034089934122395,0.4826335849892411,-0.05034373995444008,-0.05729058201319945,0.16534975027925367,-0.020264606289851664,-0.2611856451132261,-0.1366434159596952,-0.45523012001432855,-0.4665135637744156,0.44976325814901097,-0.16636144713030818,0.5216629785915027,0.07335537726859298,-0.14256923550685202,-0.2845616699023123,-0.08470385911286499,-0.35157947566048225,0.6694372379236795,-0.01163297042706117,0.7622620999709573,-0.3883509675181955,0.17497398122839428,-0.47090041015149614,-0.403972457541058,-0.015245636211095653,-0.1365620516359245,-0.4115609272034872,-0.27159466036585816,-0.4538434554285013,0.40999538986095674,0.03542556432400905,-0.3612305763853307,0.5206609911730739,0.6149534275631661,0.7872505102972859,-0.045989445637495706,-0.06625008907607612,-0.4755659677217226,0.1602240518558948,-0.3307204821303891,-0.08014306039739152,-0.27728017477396155,-0.10386443925726756,0.039478390551316245,0.3629018003147087,-0.47076504908666666,0.28561997114226884,0.5701334374190322,0.05995532304409996,-0.1672397744436806,0.5551498564125443,-0.027356439917794236,-0.17380842804580368,0.11090105611007763,-0.15336770274798456,0.025104744474362676,-0.44738858786038255,0.0665016465954599,-0.38911178105963307,-0.13730363770969017,0.16970954544575942,0.44966001267702815,-0.3943855821661022,-0.16170097765304842,-0.4336053885602718,0.05655455744749166,-0.2722746789807122,-0.34159700537822857,-0.11590572551722664,-0.01629052796378268,0.7929011091007003,0.794942776824304,0.13440594563420885,0.32057572337719437,-0.45564185746079416,0.4990894502787049,0.4918540611658701,0.1478989159725177,0.5872769761385529,-0.19831414274641673,-0.15144549429115506,0.13568603516524919,0.061859721960013506,-0.4723066782418637,-0.13762192401545456,-0.4054255664153226;-0.2506118848339471,0.9398634373021977,-0.24494305422763887,0.11948508825124321,0.1045106403228372,-0.3463357841622994,-0.34652044140643673,-0.3368217232043905,0.1321479682519592,-0.34886243040838005,0.010209166041220357,-0.23899416146750593,0.09357741850729887,-0.33322108767843867,0.2951131725629345,-0.3114145370244491,-0.3134464911495496,-0.14503326251947574,-0.29587162349989954,-0.3395935491630141,-0.34591131087938803,0.0228892337372998,0.0917668097843912,0.2389042749838825,-0.35728876039615043,0.5083196701673366,-0.22822649205704817,-0.3462431344661546,-0.33870287407353217,-0.33026121378736123,-0.27836301873210256,0.6571238123400378,-0.29692195182416875,0.8674689443793533,-0.2193984328274167,-0.12965972497755685,0.20902640396788877,1.0649137125400192,-0.2922031889356234,-0.3452819244983044,-0.15453428110271245,-0.3403073589561058,0.0012280068916349944,0.180587181132913,-0.2534832167634695,-0.2607909499182432,0.36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x_a{14}=[14.023031298609379,15.286901328046083,32.96422421956784];
std_x_a{14}=[2.691517249227539,3.5546090363773906,4.612817262259603];
pred_a{14}=[14.023031298609379];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.3 to 1.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{15}=[10.27445462469773,3.356904915246985,35.67729201349152];
std_x_f{15}=[1.5471195211753497,4.986721280178451,2.9554781249629185];
pred_f{15}=[10.27445462469773];
obs{15}=[10.497836427411645];
sqrt_r{15}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{15}=[3.408758429661643];
L_f{15}=[0.12320558777831006,-0.14923707947983736,0.12029092873111961,0.09654265760264644,-0.18458031979672132,0.07378291374692315,0.05064534001779345,0.00785289819388095,0.0937479545584087,0.05869517387596771,0.11431718947643085,-0.05892051389671134,-0.18443736340935282,0.08963030624945,0.057489746278638884,0.10032788247024314,0.09745909768691956,0.12829496067140025,0.10746960406339692,0.01631499353670635,0.0735391949523596,-0.15987207204766185,-0.18180805854641435,0.07144262327131032,0.0631163521170867,-0.014284784906268043,0.1227929512440177,0.07097885585232477,0.005264377371693766,0.09153735523829186,-0.040397534799408684,-0.049396619062315454,0.11214152605971507,-0.12259593681455885,-0.07175072634068586,0.12647520777977073,-0.2134371944444962,-0.43702802988560613,0.10823215118694432,0.07362537409258148,-0.09840129066054876,0.011642323525623836,-0.15465738874008483,0.08384426428536797,0.11645182404266285,-0.04893474082021182,0.039506184285169346,-0.009207192259228019,-0.14855550944119147,0.10039235399089007,0.09583481324079864,-0.2445387868334667,0.12591304646817725,-0.027777847994650766,0.09168004928356137,0.006925774641559863,0.08375110952817909,0.11784938607569966,0.038381678929551744,-0.19302973252046798,0.11515475807216467,0.0142471231947383,0.1207993102426136,0.06238169870605873,0.01972468937418876,0.1058727382666258,0.06276933199640376,0.12636065060823876,0.06458788225858035,0.11681594014881881,-0.1423926713836592,0.12176645708394573,-0.07334320448577114,0.07426226850792379,0.12606079511488938,0.06440898712201328,-0.07722460371883323,0.06358930661356839,-0.11740278928094665,0.12187090615921123,0.00987255821441565,-0.5439602903361431,0.08043633634093311,0.1086517831749224,-0.1590554978752598,-0.1564790432849441,0.1254143280647143,0.10848977811867373,-0.33078593143301427,0.04733931617276134,0.05282216829224294,0.12658696581151438,0.0020256578365320135,0.049835309547045716,-0.8441073602073326,0.12529378020701812,0.12165581045368852,-0.2528895955174779,0.07353049137965947,-0.08952342926239516;0.2576239216938356,-1.2222029061863673,0.2539916514099812,-0.2261840223628875,0.006296769698007804,0.3889726700258351,0.3956111321050117,0.3905958624785691,-0.2425358009876569,0.3951258230052057,-0.08218377388006784,0.304382490176524,0.01537150886155151,0.3699694728267899,-0.4531430366250756,0.3428390223159988,0.3458008054483022,0.11965840979920658,0.3204184650159074,0.39254848008116133,0.38829655740475766,0.07653553787322778,0.01800166943373516,-0.3815966494501187,0.40251509483062176,-0.6663516032151919,0.2316102932078527,0.3894694874485594,0.3922654615234012,0.36624433369507264,0.33854921784756614,-0.8980529956756828,0.31930981472991155,-1.1433581420352348,0.28621977166203494,0.10156076527044998,-0.08189662241564283,-0.8246797206287907,0.31678936639888183,0.3881600862180726,0.22874816541145665,0.3931701040642324,0.09482702828755661,-0.3049821457596579,0.26677989692967263,0.32438358412942486,-0.5384685117478102,-0.7518780128164375,-1.2199579182978653,0.3354569611596649,0.3526801890933721,-0.17887485977520656,0.11967602248917504,0.34970285473920326,0.3611378957234704,0.38688071417622427,0.37124648158721885,0.26634077415951424,-0.36581376760853684,-0.01425905126772088,-0.07389099259664184,-0.6500997461566012,0.24380379855564613,0.3993857943095963,-0.6224354444971197,0.32443243137971356,0.41070189781311184,0.1886589283142606,0.38497240347954226,0.2832704625447461,0.1269767509633234,0.23739721328022695,0.28103894022864606,0.39272399051531254,0.10783025003779806,-0.40046383221350806,0.2758615533528994,0.39397901137428115,0.19285447639272807,0.2523263658042845,0.3884468477343476,-1.1636469213994012,0.3790399436403401,0.3185843279515447,-1.247645133193767,-1.2445651469751402,0.15430290840342195,-0.13356732053380338,-0.4697531760404209,-0.49654328626032546,-0.4746373562668952,0.1397610495148707,-0.6970216825526461,0.407479501483151,-2.0072336317480994,0.1518884628386304,0.2436893074554394,-0.20727319717549025,0.3910609125905987,0.2489642639511464;0.05434060396744091,0.5338080693539478,0.05016071333664651,0.3579347527197635,-0.33750626000971157,-0.16337678563495045,-0.2182458773367979,-0.30813344640567697,0.363630410916275,-0.20194613568047443,0.2929247844500143,-0.3692652868451706,-0.3454079309995892,-0.11145863866948734,0.43290486927249633,-0.06505858820461374,-0.07254259450364046,0.1720640905850053,-0.030803547051694562,-0.2912290282972589,-0.16295006053238134,-0.35612037206165176,-0.3430559297477777,0.4130885356027071,-0.1974579223437092,0.44551744429585466,0.07419029315556448,-0.16986997111135602,-0.3149540725326439,-0.10466801571989126,-0.36351828128709834,0.5128964743996071,-0.021944472743505174,0.5324781214701949,-0.37910757714686294,0.18279756949553566,-0.3079333399382159,-0.03662325098130786,-0.024846770852835893,-0.16299888615349148,-0.37824190424996773,-0.30296117914829945,-0.36267096814579936,0.38625235249921164,0.03330724621489783,-0.36646496332451317,0.4537600330445258,0.49694824738596477,0.53521952084469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k{15}=[0.7066380558685521;1.3744821786857468;0.15636550347924702];
x_a{15}=[10.432304707483903,3.6639392221199563,35.71222122154098];
L_a{15}=[-0.10380353440984136,0.12573566340906475,-0.10134786729154174,-0.08133940400906145,0.15551315425623563,-0.062163797633660735,-0.04266986092136194,-0.006616246897439819,-0.07898480257540079,-0.04945203063426517,-0.09631485491392705,0.049641884771719304,0.1553927102200281,-0.07551558940387064,-0.048436430227382324,-0.08452854280445102,-0.08211152580595253,-0.1080914478377858,-0.09054560709924869,-0.013745756369679679,-0.06195845895759906,0.13469588864616133,0.15317746054884365,-0.060192049214657074,-0.05317697473752952,0.012035259019445264,-0.10345587866257727,-0.059801314523942814,-0.004435358716296891,-0.07712232193040755,0.034035849909409784,0.041617784866958454,-0.09448180856908413,0.10328988948565486,0.06045163311941666,-0.10655826427598532,0.1798257332104517,0.36820614191560314,-0.09118807054596095,-0.06203106686044468,0.08290534500297467,-0.00980892468024376,0.13030239831901413,-0.07064071629993252,-0.0981133335109125,0.04122864185111071,-0.03328486665090246,0.0077572707190725265,0.1251614250142393,-0.08458286153976657,-0.08074302889412692,0.20602953836219928,-0.10608463047329733,0.023403474242843458,-0.07724254493737753,-0.005835124033607605,-0.07056223127975068,-0.09929081158802104,-0.03233744508926095,0.1626319783309241,-0.09702052567217474,-0.012003528163408715,-0.10177619037877579,-0.05255801238358048,-0.016618503341432785,-0.08920021102856643,-0.052884602324169375,-0.1064617472306837,-0.05441677264306374,-0.0984201096842671,0.11996909255673413,-0.1025910337818546,0.06179333249288779,-0.06256766501764342,-0.10620911209795024,-0.054266049386113686,0.06506350039771087,-0.05357544975181361,0.09891454354216843,-0.10267903452414132,-0.008317856801813527,0.45829902469273925,-0.06776945881863287,-0.0915416201234521,0.13400790617124586,0.13183718406729014,-0.10566444877627999,-0.09140512714667948,0.27869473645612697,-0.03988445998179542,-0.044503888685571084,-0.10665242298179459,-0.0017066632019593778,-0.041987391665222584,0.7111798173354257,-0.10556288444044083,-0.10249781145729629,0.21306528627113752,-0.061951125997913116,0.07542554309019767;-0.18393168128482804,-0.6873532309016296,-0.17711812637303492,-0.5721825453162754,0.6678128248990706,0.12454262625487514,0.21410366923040056,0.36245191820090833,-0.5785184081851376,0.1847686195691525,-0.4918843113339217,0.5155472880612453,0.6763752237137521,0.04874407522265854,-0.659180116930484,-0.016725340295805188,-0.0034821404058818324,-0.34013695938742605,-0.0647410612669226,0.3340772943289714,0.1247399756352489,0.649499885070485,0.6695822378596669,-0.6376393433391576,0.17631286310213384,-0.6151564672928096,-0.2084664647200625,0.13508888621314646,0.37339849804729613,0.03818427719793005,0.4833296467133478,-0.7210208146806598,-0.08259337855173503,-0.7039874626770006,0.5433666738831051,-0.351712804866115,0.6830393743233403,0.7415818323937952,-0.07110304693078753,0.12429464765958849,0.5814078297578381,0.35144526611548993,0.6491025102008545,-0.6054709899786674,-0.1505709416998684,0.4997604430780021,-0.680054436038942,-0.7188804239645501,-0.6875509168789279,-0.024338460462428855,0.009218504360123201,0.6975259059612599,-0.3315828218432436,0.4492556805639342,0.03256643908339059,0.3620594812021898,0.07109149401970231,-0.15601877679651652,-0.5033695853979575,0.6775387922623145,-0.4865932860016198,-0.7011599065470803,-0.1891279640001295,0.17581648155610158,-0.6931266141692154,-0.0550040992786155,0.18574334895158587,-0.26420408121491984,0.15349636566282948,-0.1353853291287855,0.6372968022396275,-0.19900069975130152,0.5438931132015006,0.12657599072992876,-0.34395810958661893,-0.6312987290615257,0.5526262445876324,0.16608176149246706,0.613613472369465,-0.18444588150250718,0.35306465871259546,0.7858483760704529,0.09076474740230074,-0.07081200138406318,-0.677607300187738,-0.683761050690704,-0.29516858269828256,-0.5223830411357693,0.7157480990606505,-0.6662023145088896,-0.6639463380388071,-0.3139130494125073,-0.7042814228255284,0.228875100875372,1.0179565494450726,-0.29715099767945613,-0.1923120599289167,0.6990559705946806,0.12753552349149458,0.5698066259047477;0.004107821582543104,0.5946542847931159,0.0011162815475609165,0.3185728504094596,-0.2622500707079156,-0.193459195993171,-0.23889474878652986,-0.31133519182305014,0.325407951324302,-0.22587704619778337,0.24631593654487363,-0.34524250179174093,-0.2702100271800249,-0.1480022707409615,0.4094654298261768,-0.10596378396841007,-0.11227814330313506,0.11975629386330518,-0.074620530771796,-0.2978808980275108,-0.1929331030503024,-0.29093810923244395,-0.26893003330535575,0.3839602970827839,-0.22319141412762947,0.4513415672479955,0.024125748929381026,-0.19880912463720382,-0.3171004388434005,-0.14198918052004617,-0.34704759508643307,0.5330362234211515,-0.06766626975326515,0.5824623399324245,-0.3498537203435877,0.1312317135627875,-0.2209117662035467,0.14155968955906417,-0.06897465657345615,-0.19301706521087342,-0.33812220911861984,-0.30770793061195495,-0.29961481060547684,0.35206777728621813,-0.014171924502465653,-0.3465135290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x_a{15}=[10.432304707483905,3.6639392221199536,35.712221221540965];
std_x_a{15}=[1.3034836921636384,4.717589133717516,2.9501804197167316];
pred_a{15}=[10.432304707483905];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.4 to 1.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{16}=[4.38518582065184,-0.07361637175732332,28.930576688515117];
std_x_f{16}=[2.91331701794484,3.9063554712511155,1.729917247310114];
pred_f{16}=[4.38518582065184];
obs{16}=[4.09196694520837];
sqrt_r{16}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{16}=[9.49944653509278];
L_f{16}=[-0.10968358147764708,-0.43821862497417974,-0.104938157825934,-0.3665403830008978,0.41057070789235495,0.10099107183602218,0.16005433186221443,0.2577040883454208,-0.37082927343587996,0.1420170871696039,-0.31439184340039256,0.34948478164892466,0.41608417857800306,0.04858543163684459,-0.42145899135330855,0.003993292061820511,0.012393405278825362,-0.21478283132607456,-0.028709700525986804,0.23941781738975929,0.10067536075296611,0.4085998039375478,0.4131694097501804,-0.4073409979120611,0.13527654397716246,-0.39488248626036154,-0.12654527753852585,0.10717731396689194,0.26513462494381984,0.04163000171887448,0.3328068877763295,-0.4577601883083148,-0.04009200699194262,-0.44754394744091214,0.3652255662947366,-0.22229531346130463,0.40822157783863106,0.34249164327158493,-0.03360754055220742,0.10064448030654527,0.38335252900484196,0.25124245357325686,0.4094062485425445,-0.38754591878856637,-0.0870093419803912,0.34056834566004884,-0.43396059434932077,-0.4571845587490797,-0.43876019103766606,-0.001116375461560183,0.021876545192013926,0.40475890832391764,-0.20958457816487647,0.311421734079018,0.03757010993473464,0.25760796733759106,0.06364126110542101,-0.09061872119766631,-0.3242954489027885,0.4136832721980456,-0.3114775802536291,-0.44629667850681964,-0.1130626627246813,0.13527805460201722,-0.44136446999107126,-0.021998157890611852,0.14266269286523245,-0.16368239719618963,0.11938192815065998,-0.07693235136921886,0.40653365468630753,-0.12001646018900101,0.3650908059024854,0.10198683967028879,-0.21782433853356048,-0.4035723397279233,0.37054099809990265,0.12803320133286397,0.3994220199994323,-0.10976302175647641,0.2519598512068778,0.3158928771729135,0.07748915264211856,-0.03294195612129254,-0.4326051772843404,-0.4359614038163514,-0.18483466488305764,-0.3347188821263249,0.3764670960064618,-0.42562812777288334,-0.4241537994921061,-0.19782554160579888,-0.44855691812002313,0.1706471554337371,0.27324808947407825,-0.18648589436709537,-0.11543909228878692,0.4011190338473448,0.10308478504505851,0.37852177111081414;-0.06438875478707448,-0.7213923368332245,-0.05977729034195786,-0.47347624744850825,0.4314450761339814,0.2236171266047529,0.2957719120400671,0.405656392703691,-0.4813794018822364,0.27373795639132104,-0.38525258589334455,0.4765773669087252,0.43957217133397514,0.1562161691096609,-0.5770935131595932,0.09505671982982174,0.10616688620988331,-0.22379796737816013,0.049311052101272096,0.38648164228396453,0.22379530395897343,0.4541388996834896,0.4378016420045085,-0.5499968047692354,0.2684187807359502,-0.5807059918181459,-0.09063923077094047,0.23236344046378793,0.41403708388871857,0.14695507537706334,0.46976960105790694,-0.6919647881841521,0.03509589856054141,-0.719249534421227,0.4860169158385518,-0.2363897806571625,0.3974476263446262,0.07772332282111417,0.04300575002669758,0.2234889969679664,0.48417387577456866,0.39956632057388136,0.46162562855072276,-0.5115457294096646,-0.03521980855421473,0.47327781628077537,-0.6057701304271352,-0.6683935599081005,-0.7219158333163246,0.08760021058256182,0.11912565074612667,0.35981319305642195,-0.21734508601631075,0.4517523960026825,0.14038476932209498,0.4044279027281686,0.17572507863183223,-0.03959165529338997,-0.4455111991050731,0.42667900955556015,-0.37958658223409086,-0.6391958591615997,-0.07212795773862364,0.2676544008267567,-0.6287827468816978,0.05925338026403554,0.2799737306258074,-0.146065916154866,0.24543207922001994,-0.018283917085512795,0.4712977002942023,-0.0813218247592898,0.4845123559438033,0.22643612886442072,-0.2297545656575309,-0.5475490329987589,0.48795117234709107,0.25783142487792376,0.48721979332962506,-0.06635756751815193,0.39901234783536543,-0.06522894057984753,0.19287506307296817,0.04423652401360466,-0.7192751539653753,-0.7224488865604518,-0.17981945160868493,-0.41862608819995306,0.232614807901316,-0.5896177332000265,-0.5843076055341117,-0.19821317143242106,-0.6489794798770611,0.3115116629879655,-0.4472052801534608,-0.1828398330743715,-0.07447005468280327,0.34637849596087,0.22636063688163005,0.486482513000052;-0.15166706827144028,0.042071374896036226,-0.15048260314733483,-0.06754075187849636,0.27834141768911513,-0.10608934016157597,-0.07065797776670564,9.732469298062131E-4,-0.06480003193956747,-0.0846797768138147,-0.0964307980422685,0.11218238094488245,0.28277391453941636,-0.12661171938642338,-0.027412467143317198,-0.13891735855700263,-0.13479649514379058,-0.13612512391937398,-0.1447702184954942,-0.014033409968235704,-0.10586988054372162,0.25111673564134845,0.2762823878712223,-0.038029846229461865,-0.08892683837639234,-0.0072776686341204785,-0.14924152675504615,-0.10261270207173744,0.006856948440751246,-0.12967971796977015,0.08419483616817579,0.02358875710240287,-0.1497191603173244,0.03921915170744552,0.1337831198363368,-0.13218133197492407,0.30581298822972897,0.46414052929639943,-0.14433776854178051,-0.10630089120247609,0.1722977979429962,-0.0057626835173275265,0.24697151213068777,-0.05314956307303314,-0.14888424507453046,0.09764943868833574,-0.015595499742148232,0.01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k{16}=[0.8947307091728123;1.1303161358609672;0.2793479213585941];
x_a{16}=[4.122833888283449,-0.40504639801008474,28.84866660515688];
L_a{16}=[0.04005225903742965,0.16002072184403301,0.03831941137891761,0.13384656272025985,-0.1499247574171955,-0.03687808617434975,-0.05844573520891576,-0.09410370050251252,0.13541270186680177,-0.05185922164856926,0.1148039057577063,-0.12761850785383871,-0.15193806654807784,-0.017741545882697052,0.15390074310052113,-0.0014581978990605602,-0.004525598744097578,0.07843049507658208,0.010483687228869259,-0.08742625205236323,-0.036762800532604945,-0.1492050584916829,-0.1508737041835979,0.1487453905602435,-0.04939783245649881,0.14419601745287144,0.04620950708989539,-0.03913706576779389,-0.09681704896011038,-0.015201688257351426,-0.12152837734765987,0.16715655517579567,0.014640071264439603,0.16342597380620918,-0.1333664418252956,0.08117376691764268,-0.14906694475137283,-0.12506488053787718,0.012272191531986653,-0.03675152417179899,-0.13998571698248888,-0.09174415802392637,-0.14949954129196644,0.1415169829349678,0.031772491896475206,-0.12436256563253306,0.15846585152271012,0.16694635722359974,0.1602184811072571,4.076577238548651E-4,-0.007988479616278174,-0.14780250996089683,0.07653229135867308,-0.11371933515646834,-0.013719170680776377,-0.09406860077789853,-0.023239360357525145,0.033090499472696384,0.11842032462042647,-0.15106134714341282,0.11373972804865559,0.1629705187803561,0.041286170581814406,-0.04939838407905838,0.1611694644161745,0.008032887933738773,-0.05209497221587382,0.059770566241997364,-0.043593725207199556,0.028092759407445517,-0.14845057961794605,0.043825432097372385,-0.1333172324717559,-0.0372417025944369,0.07954113746168007,0.14736922038252787,-0.13530743471309364,-0.04675284008865372,-0.14585368197090548,0.04008126759625695,-0.0920061242678029,-0.11535202602029261,-0.028296081987854955,0.012029145492833291,0.15797090492578997,0.15919647080025826,0.0674945673478158,0.12222656473316,-0.13747141956148234,0.15542315264978693,0.15488478421385166,0.07223833986702913,0.16379587204886817,-0.06231383021373575,-0.09977977664167438,0.06809753335361128,0.042153951987230674,-0.14647336667951041,-0.03764263035378594,-0.1382217085145661;0.1247730063056767,0.034365322854912325,0.1212004501070823,0.15866416432489505,-0.2766306186211447,0.049446583066842756,0.01974008596635149,-0.03878350008150527,0.15815768728704854,0.028813402029100207,0.15695176201021646,-0.12614872829358148,-0.2780121281783996,0.07242508854807315,0.14976025983663002,0.08816983531351368,0.08479305489533433,0.1466193556047476,0.0988241828613932,-0.026421504789686363,0.05016923994719453,-0.2505377479397562,-0.27475580848250397,0.15250888926690692,0.035119056670357134,0.10031358758824865,0.1276024352530384,0.04752402160053989,-0.04321761098336717,0.0751594216124078,-0.10419357690777548,0.09749451112033942,0.104239106196265,0.05259070022298525,-0.14385594558409687,0.14698366877359953,-0.3065767275260048,-0.5129423130745054,0.10096576073392648,0.04991618978414329,-0.17696098624390266,-0.03372975107989226,-0.24444182414699078,0.15682110831338708,0.11483765801279802,-0.11407087501472805,0.1426440731034436,0.12007300101481089,0.0347758183962992,0.08952552652779715,0.08139707041170469,-0.3382393949887205,0.1441072605377536,-0.08532966192547603,0.07559085883923036,-0.03984621849054388,0.0659685146440084,0.1166905946002914,0.11377303835682497,-0.28676465493256464,0.1575917887483772,0.1304933189165276,0.12286141174321714,0.03435207151747991,0.13240027889590705,0.09719169547334097,0.033935756107976736,0.13622291957051036,0.03954442067169563,0.11439463766220502,-0.22981563889418222,0.12566015616824033,-0.14512809591689982,0.050548270896840095,0.1459081810432514,0.1484571830894152,-0.15108875334979033,0.03702366572025004,-0.20162872624314732,0.12294119733434729,-0.03552095730359665,-0.6100219912595636,0.05923624145630335,0.101048658973054,0.02680147929650184,0.029415939545500643,0.13894886584813615,0.15863454061089735,-0.4166453449372296,0.14442618782690728,0.14719366936234812,0.14295938452488485,0.12460773745147455,0.017211312721844157,-0.9184525636922474,0.13877621667711876,0.12461773678164485,-0.3453967162284756,0.04857924774122412,-0.16632115980726792;-0.10491736428571294,0.22885038705612157,-0.10575550954700663,0.08868731957264542,0.10334659348117614,-0.1491340935324124,-0.13887687192924475,-0.10886625396682782,0.09325606477808614,-0.14521077604497373,0.03757034794958347,-0.03677619489204281,0.10542912036317768,-0.14731996501846592,0.1522231977616043,-0.14061939289344286,-0.14007885391029676,-0.04457966515117535,-0.1325334736424616,-0.11607887512439588,-0.1487800704778151,0.07696195672761172,0.10017993624116772,0.13558840015794635,-0.1465848606796973,0.16103046913016267,-0.09530497411864826,-0.1482941763127899,-0.10614962068752253,-0.14742339693305534,-0.057655231803257476,0.21869683993087613,-0.1326310106251212,0.22997283408724908,-0.02188454602829467,-0.037433877873525354,0.13181941811247558,0.31816259235426164,-0.13001344988498864,-0.14919791916912065,0.008903997232645379,-0.11284808476848199,0.0724730076925235,0.1120315582959328,-0.11179883149870579,-0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x_a{16}=[4.12283388828345,-0.4050463980100852,28.84866660515687];
std_x_a{16}=[1.063832218905601,1.8687882064048502,1.5121430426352973];
pred_a{16}=[4.12283388828345];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.5 to 1.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{17}=[1.4094302747586245,0.14109740935189394,22.230057427481324];
std_x_f{17}=[1.4817501203694035,1.9859703769334862,1.2159622085499875];
pred_f{17}=[1.4094302747586245];
obs{17}=[1.4239772661503232];
sqrt_r{17}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{17}=[3.2066197040489257];
L_f{17}=[0.10505372356173195,0.05533665940675474,0.10202459674811241,0.13828873678167672,-0.23609626414308496,0.029502167247789687,5.504511336588753E-4,-0.053827698238749166,0.1375863688172274,0.009655818707904443,0.1365901922592812,-0.12774837006438805,-0.2374095515773428,0.05249336412514338,0.13138839622486562,0.06848096449817088,0.06482254923527538,0.12707888468853054,0.07956411313860098,-0.043006277446852106,0.030552866213456133,-0.21876311726154127,-0.23521071225918755,0.13323009069410263,0.01487267549901813,0.09762633166297256,0.10800716806229775,0.027542522568897273,-0.05805977756965294,0.055119923550537006,-0.11014782606690518,0.09681736768668595,0.08441759321618332,0.06708078261876545,-0.1417239687715955,0.1274774171945065,-0.25545912910374896,-0.37622159942077993,0.08109873045449875,0.03038196927780686,-0.16666279430949577,-0.04912417963108794,-0.21504175787862284,0.13678720302143707,0.09616870843695532,-0.11801281147070439,0.12649998588835287,0.11120395449430802,0.05531824288614233,0.06980971000037353,0.06172164135156099,-0.275022185112083,0.1250700550615135,-0.09417406741364058,0.05572144006042717,-0.05475033863159604,0.04628979650932647,0.09762706641490293,0.10619675124557167,-0.24320166411420457,0.1370767058078176,0.11798461672454096,0.10411983966138347,0.015054306559180242,0.1185243204902944,0.07779305615004099,0.0131160349011222,0.11653466954375041,0.020686153483533077,0.09466531133281186,-0.20483328741302653,0.10628991017961562,-0.14376377480463595,0.030044565209750535,0.12603817163251418,0.1311446994389952,-0.14754770497944447,0.017547575331698515,-0.1853912747638341,0.1035843399415237,-0.05116808942822588,-0.43119234996379197,0.039084767998562225,0.08146491878244798,0.05037278438632024,0.05215137849298677,0.11967916605706908,0.13824107735189367,-0.32163339358639964,0.1273134911918257,0.12966461474840185,0.12383211202093575,0.11385497853340737,-0.0025323555310352856,-0.6058233594956494,0.12035999517520303,0.10541418600241514,-0.27917586606509137,0.02879577429776412,-0.15876495555673298;0.1591274762402803,-0.01559331942575296,0.15515471756853977,0.14278891816305792,-0.31113034979129456,0.07782894008134554,0.04010830778322636,-0.03449888863371393,0.1407891959918549,0.05204208594787322,0.15633386551713524,-0.1430939188385613,-0.3129734037541717,0.10613420725762637,0.11458485855042552,0.12365817251185672,0.11956103846107279,0.16941350615549958,0.13469591245213455,-0.019154649649381218,0.07880256722794328,-0.28398557274024844,-0.31017790040053195,0.12201544704967772,0.05937500894781082,0.06610307414393567,0.16003378113638278,0.07531908341241296,-0.040693874591931536,0.1095378663893279,-0.11622099218122763,0.0454175558871003,0.14155746753769977,7.29941191445832E-4,-0.16363187901839582,0.1675191052512808,-0.3428475617325327,-0.5450739267007202,0.1369594302130023,0.07880604782717404,-0.20197860764583436,-0.027654436289711946,-0.27755581933359985,0.13366927448129787,0.1497004463499826,-0.12815766205148646,0.1017757430008839,0.06952011291646679,-0.015663871166237197,0.1253374959431985,0.11619221652939998,-0.3754227171866437,0.16660791719829746,-0.09318500987178056,0.10929690154794351,-0.03619244528055582,0.09802981437402378,0.15147952579140586,0.10036018949082451,-0.3224801311193501,0.15753636367119334,0.08389646547153007,0.15640137678190544,0.059900975850927456,0.08755791269209076,0.13330579538418538,0.05915655344141294,0.16573513975728638,0.06591933131565342,0.1497471196057161,-0.26100834247984733,0.15873217486753735,-0.16523374473127872,0.07922513201823665,0.16672289720247843,0.11870062438912099,-0.17212533239637098,0.062171530855989615,-0.23033792769788547,0.15720402570369635,-0.030467505739119112,-0.6335641475003982,0.09009274615900571,0.13784720877828605,-0.02125735687158465,-0.02027037405980688,0.16485858697495154,0.15273281843904388,-0.4537539305648633,0.10631459943657175,0.11017035464151878,0.16748079692180048,0.07672493990269155,0.03687363911242687,-0.8831535870354208,0.16465029799122616,0.1582475643970487,-0.3826915180818478,0.07677104203652818,-0.18981452575882116;-0.0614598791759172,0.15388304282734114,-0.06334907313950713,0.09399873319842102,0.052381253126786785,-0.11880198335979869,-0.11836790799277329,-0.10557503436338804,0.09681791289745552,-0.12079300091144533,0.056313072044791544,-0.05780360573049567,0.054684589922339794,-0.11088492884083734,0.13617711736752872,-0.10069644750547035,-0.10204346696448244,-0.008166608469277534,-0.09143820225008653,-0.10981574612258004,-0.11857977042124748,0.030712377780432756,0.050146483602283326,0.1255581079193157,-0.12040885583098349,0.12539670880933126,-0.05283843187114489,-0.11918105514050245,-0.10477335923455648,-0.11031581986396474,-0.0729678707822628,0.1655007733468033,-0.09014943207336093,0.16018016529894774,-0.04675237504110175,-0.0025788645666293126,0.07661916408463891,0.24321641352811726,-0.0890770850289755,-0.11924768049097192,-0.02367381831209739,-0.1083396158470196,0.028190143335966374,0.10962571888180798,-0.07026820620200977,-0.0653134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k{17}=[0.6881451209392488;0.9027270596762281;-0.17845925176653848];
x_a{17}=[1.419440715909167,0.15422937211805748,22.227461382282108];
L_a{17}=[-0.09563706591775296,-0.05037646990439358,-0.09287945970518363,-0.12589300585333718,0.2149333998953322,-0.02685769355081888,-5.011105705673361E-4,0.04900276687132487,-0.12525359575879552,-0.00879030403634474,-0.12434671307146251,0.11629744167567846,0.2161289687210793,-0.04778803791881677,-0.11961118830025548,-0.06234256429734589,-0.059012076906801686,-0.1156879666865865,-0.07243225727694028,0.03915134134817103,-0.027814211443115213,0.19915393721024036,0.21412722586339392,-0.12128779955574591,-0.013539539569362624,-0.08887544010825715,-0.09832577372180382,-0.025073704740365313,0.05285549703848514,-0.050179161511458015,0.10027455044054347,-0.08813898890498548,-0.07685068794624919,-0.06106788994828425,0.12902031535864544,-0.11605077609735427,0.23256064365039442,0.3424983778166076,-0.07382931672826762,-0.027658633126176915,0.1517237095936721,0.04472085563700353,0.1957661477960109,-0.12452606446052328,-0.08754847325907222,0.10743454536507652,-0.11516095840134688,-0.10123601111613559,-0.050359704177905126,-0.06355220558252499,-0.05618912383455374,0.2503701340100797,-0.113859201699083,0.08573262505720516,-0.05072676013201693,0.049842704924707985,-0.04214053695565013,-0.08887610899952927,-0.09667763649668112,0.22140189603588675,-0.12478961720406945,-0.10740887789984106,-0.09478689218655077,-0.013704889840485754,-0.1079002044599234,-0.07081995179916749,-0.011940358246141222,-0.10608889904135693,-0.018831917205932074,-0.08617983554614968,0.1864727298215022,-0.09676244498146307,0.13087728013273742,-0.02735147280854524,-0.11474053960104184,-0.1193893356634898,0.13432203170638043,-0.015974670499977466,0.16877343290689104,-0.09429939283602018,0.04658155632776916,0.3925417376803931,-0.03558134263810339,-0.07416268118286312,-0.04585753971856485,-0.04747670671287174,-0.10895153360704844,-0.12584961845236528,0.29280327265789635,-0.1159015438627176,-0.11804192071884034,-0.11273222365242114,-0.10364940639791152,0.002305363814224879,0.5515194188481436,-0.10957133552403085,-0.09596521773409697,0.2541514931626732,-0.02621461925668655,0.1445338061823771;-0.10414403550660092,-0.1542706121775688,-0.10052560399053218,-0.20377171344258607,0.2805423512930779,0.0038945767118186165,0.038728841190440434,0.10039684860155915,-0.2040112554932386,0.027843971857323836,-0.1859701022690899,0.177051863431481,0.28199048165430557,-0.02541760129664188,-0.2146830676815486,-0.04795960968625509,-0.042888515480051875,-0.14905450191465094,-0.06469696613051229,0.08862189833166484,0.0022350834348520646,0.2642491270232735,0.27927554966350926,-0.2118678861441162,0.022103110060319755,-0.17855490704708782,-0.1106392559649762,0.006295717955259707,0.10480773062692647,-0.028596272111675317,0.15981667408222747,-0.19721310859619498,-0.06999854999839537,-0.167378893511863,0.19153766894475074,-0.1519476513807606,0.297349747115497,0.3977620421084681,-0.06627929987315592,0.0026668429477270613,0.21568927048546252,0.09545397525747262,0.2613529100856281,-0.2091284151781239,-0.09130463556950359,0.16759017275167418,-0.21524150676100273,-0.2091642803572672,-0.1542950109112064,-0.04961020950971519,-0.03848625916095151,0.31380089130203137,-0.14682583225810744,0.14282137100412143,-0.030344676723211637,0.10101548920759049,-0.01797544743190004,-0.09318029673607768,-0.1657758244944393,0.28699916766133016,-0.18598683893190374,-0.21178071145112798,-0.10452976074590911,0.02217389763073081,-0.20947179721548254,-0.06164869838962512,0.026286910943551605,-0.12630837456591584,0.01407847584480918,-0.08749035070568514,0.2523172913480889,-0.1076373015078914,0.1950476907479101,0.003931483831642412,-0.14913701578771865,-0.2099565817365235,0.19763887992966686,0.018196157795044684,0.23426474907515799,-0.10238511445355694,0.09776307762571226,0.44703212248283936,-0.0078562423050826,-0.06630921324124357,-0.14749485371283952,-0.15096514422151705,-0.13506524155965255,-0.19370837551410588,0.3522804191649006,-0.21274134789640617,-0.21477766231124532,-0.14285058619574809,-0.20860309324203521,0.04321988793000881,0.6350794303051814,-0.1369797329043736,-0.10592728983469778,0.316941486920699,0.004606945665022512,0.20806085118853537;-0.009413985021991204,0.18129802461638236,-0.012803874136361183,0.16250997404929834,-0.06458595904925547,-0.10418596955437055,-0.11809520255723008,-0.13224244404770225,0.1649811854184588,-0.1160092988073901,0.12398281708351509,-0.12109292020016083,-0.06293325334491603,-0.08487857722936597,0.2012697797799668,-0.06676949176328562,-0.06992896952542389,0.054791028418402506,-0.05202041418444714,-0.13112198913868744,-0.10344321754970469,-0.07766761732832303,-0.06638200695538549,0.19156318573370293,-0.11304060967497997,0.17376291185382806,6.706627734865378E-4,-0.10553589183022148,-0.13353743284890074,-0.0830082137209232,-0.12753749385130592,0.21346619808419473,-0.04832712466436268,0.19341344055631898,-0.11696550435894447,0.060576213972043075,-0.04994083153679247,0.05682806975495687,-0.04889901424624529,-0.10419579366954597,-0.1062421829349129,-0.13267680035410342,-0.07834620958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x_a{17}=[1.419440715909167,0.1542293721180573,22.22746138228212];
std_x_a{17}=[1.348931090977796,1.8188738158521294,1.2069964027379074];
pred_a{17}=[1.419440715909167];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.6 to 1.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{18}=[0.923639164163356,0.9780956888637619,17.40006166264239];
std_x_f{18}=[1.956034658007008,2.827312694101744,1.1677782920640425];
pred_f{18}=[0.923639164163356];
obs{18}=[0.9730013616395261];
sqrt_r{18}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{18}=[4.842076108089039];
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k{18}=[0.7934770173625671;1.1426459618496076;0.07912047788135546];
x_a{18}=[0.9628069333872095,1.0344992044779304,17.40396722329598];
L_a{18}=[0.07504185128003418,0.08111572063359741,0.07296011185004359,0.12473924518778143,-0.1877513093505868,0.006008426736588881,-0.018136807578901272,-0.06117400735347675,0.12434077716632597,-0.010671909642353502,0.11739543824888897,-0.11580420500957272,-0.18860802020856884,0.025919003832908055,0.1264197897115181,0.04032033117437562,0.037060026736857855,0.1000087499017396,0.05077669367898201,-0.05309899647589211,0.006673297880787749,-0.1768448069336791,-0.18693263970468632,0.12601467860408921,-0.006512164951479984,0.1027291791413593,0.07828112760403927,0.004249121847177193,-0.06474975730533925,0.02752957325676994,-0.10396089671665035,0.10993638747705528,0.05424910316874975,0.08966591157426994,-0.1265424732678874,0.10112254585511844,-0.19873402595694498,-0.26344542470021576,0.05214326354152587,0.006673364511539278,-0.14316814410859816,-0.05801436919222225,-0.1746554863955764,0.1260119191526398,0.0668541350224616,-0.10931594437830942,0.12539238522309457,0.11853107930665001,0.08123770525010832,0.04123935822007387,0.03409051400424938,-0.21036786515226197,0.09860193297663936,-0.09202183744227124,0.029055056305768684,-0.061954963392756204,0.02060528942270138,0.06820405757884922,0.10037841081715194,-0.1920894271944503,0.11750808224504178,0.12163479834294819,0.07477054821615327,-0.006417817085153855,0.12087235326356098,0.04885679290348782,-0.00863515064940171,0.08777863863744563,-0.0011966162019854225,0.06482808480423466,-0.1684232316208346,0.076800242594282,-0.12835293880434848,0.006016441242841897,0.09947385461071061,0.1247547200143725,-0.1301386166844329,-0.003947718604390562,-0.15610231930149862,0.07392093553563818,-0.05963462167619839,-0.29123016440105104,0.0138850004292883,0.05207133376545668,0.0771249160494372,0.07896272356185015,0.09196789679368107,0.12088498681030274,-0.23527248410396145,0.12461306064799618,0.12600392445844807,0.0964007506870764,0.1191392187051384,-0.02096184862929428,-0.37891405138659173,0.0929997451336888,0.07561253987422278,-0.21201179274928697,0.005013479895992811,-0.13767577879469817;0.10814890160523094,0.09141623726375706,0.10498877982714296,0.16764243656596328,-0.2595715033296373,0.021854041131374284,-0.009044674530746017,-0.06509945946754102,0.1662953768088292,4.4494392690957974E-4,0.15969604452835584,-0.14247034393265953,-0.26159958724651394,0.047129362186004,0.1661731004039462,0.06467095407516044,0.060362289793901576,0.13869484489935252,0.07708735049234375,-0.05452338880810436,0.021673147865756165,-0.2409038244991224,-0.25872432553602387,0.16638143506848926,0.0062677086734600086,0.12971834957976264,0.11105272029259325,0.019576817695000637,-0.070491449274736,0.04830334582883938,-0.12498812590535395,0.13623729637821247,0.08152948995713757,0.10455272297252426,-0.1585133189094392,0.13963490065429765,-0.27961871526476,-0.4177750235866407,0.07887268175777798,0.022422183009257194,-0.18424679278377926,-0.060966610570582024,-0.23700734832391157,0.1677959648029263,0.09698044193349221,-0.13290586793696302,0.1633672062727689,0.15010633592069011,0.09213531061790163,0.06512520456871031,0.05706935088268917,-0.3029069159456496,0.13680192581057904,-0.10860913711017697,0.05065139744960387,-0.06659699852816162,0.04020018446095948,0.09871482999571796,0.1307640103950927,-0.26749869597823694,0.15935323140649332,0.15622552954345306,0.10652662307277963,0.005803989213402254,0.15569015572703962,0.0753206130341366,0.004611716913903657,0.12388068868733781,0.0129544718457884,0.09482125300137959,-0.22622235419759182,0.1099034391181882,-0.16129603582925278,0.02158789887655133,0.13749012024962956,0.1651703597363383,-0.16369833187681926,0.00907043990167347,-0.20475870377037442,0.1056837048311309,-0.06320960275997718,-0.4844813001059533,0.03130888554510387,0.07896345384176001,0.08575224094130812,0.08797605006228856,0.12742376385677975,0.1636380937390715,-0.35463724317609174,0.16298973230763938,0.16580930732006646,0.13406156174316236,0.15209342136942638,-0.012398599501117515,-0.7240145710094248,0.12895753191175394,0.10743150223202622,-0.3065252670241656,0.020211757994332637,-0.17594704765695413;-0.024448035004739382,0.12135234045005182,-0.027895173061048974,0.13122583312737052,-0.0011602566435815506,-0.11115567671509509,-0.12158218287108234,-0.12519289686988475,0.1326251839000853,-0.12089193749442123,0.09715108434267578,-0.09491065818520286,0.001223548093119839,-0.0948094872464322,0.16119260947431097,-0.07800264942363958,-0.08114693251963229,0.0348384322700303,-0.06493678324891451,-0.12643436567097352,-0.11107139090906328,-0.020208259493990532,-0.0023484704585751163,0.1530377363866541,-0.1185400299844329,0.12618003375123318,-0.015663673999103466,-0.11238505883510952,-0.1251694183991963,-0.09314231419777581,-0.10577227493111281,0.16055317949656184,-0.06071028140232182,0.1349215233901161,-0.08577737323137602,0.03972826912184067,0.02090026438329483,0.17276595780284626,-0.062208062684463335,-0.11148496806192887,-0.06737051580610864,-0.12649483997808153,-0.02224189092431287,0.14276899281113378,-0.03728649496570014,-0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x_a{18}=[0.9628069333872092,1.03449920447793,17.403967223295975];
std_x_a{18}=[1.1602690127013082,1.6885155137983834,1.1577274884284858];
pred_a{18}=[0.9628069333872092];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.7 to 1.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{19}=[1.4246247398986562,2.2908094943864037,13.818543643962105];
std_x_f{19}=[1.9700049701705467,3.1753681727040663,1.2473208181314124];
pred_f{19}=[1.4246247398986562];
obs{19}=[1.5143958438819851];
sqrt_r{19}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{19}=[4.898753331350611];
L_f{19}=[0.13354305992433543,0.11569536170274654,0.1297884408662554,0.19720856069516993,-0.3204772722322234,0.025404633447930484,-0.01447715041114136,-0.0882276063170883,0.1958701266099466,-0.0023608436499122348,0.18976903211955112,-0.1852529181513531,-0.32260358105402187,0.05849144580275179,0.19481273216655995,0.08107007494203834,0.07539528462131981,0.16897544279124477,0.09639730925449384,-0.07411891450567785,0.026056150771427703,-0.30026844291681387,-0.31951673860186497,0.1953708209320332,0.0051469267484645954,0.15634646914495492,0.13698914384716984,0.022752235685843298,-0.09446096360051431,0.05974365308556419,-0.16415061194668154,0.16321424997359787,0.10125426803620634,0.12906476330518543,-0.20516433398948222,0.1691131016190076,-0.34178620300881324,-0.47389012192675045,0.09837499589716578,0.026342422440851578,-0.2359126182877567,-0.0823386271792853,-0.2954975070273345,0.1969605585557055,0.12051697166540806,-0.17377809401780844,0.19108653491653987,0.17723164411226794,0.11547851576769126,0.08104965124720412,0.07074266605158862,-0.3655655488452592,0.16585564827314814,-0.14335289489436592,0.06218671558009227,-0.08996845059290653,0.04929857445371826,0.12261010745034161,0.15774522048711553,-0.32923822493154387,0.18975138820520976,0.18397568903001263,0.13150767967393248,0.0049000609602426835,0.18331113408924565,0.09379835492285787,0.001977520037255627,0.1517553492180414,0.013796298145715775,0.11757358958197046,-0.28426848341140304,0.13562708410332477,-0.20843033747986964,0.024857794149072715,0.16654461031147497,0.19304089952355238,-0.21166699643920245,0.008726404933385707,-0.2595835063741847,0.1304248010947378,-0.08474116883918388,-0.5311142261765126,0.0379325992970266,0.09824542459943209,0.10978103106413184,0.11114891331323404,0.15557235234081215,0.19338116365798258,-0.41631200474844077,0.19124993686604286,0.19344661748403766,0.16304047629606788,0.1790599760786215,-0.01889075854595666,-0.7088666422984595,0.15763210822028823,0.133437663103139,-0.3692181602834683,0.023049131457255637,-0.22599961406545402;0.223154876126767,0.17608180992529335,0.2174692218269066,0.3063244985326511,-0.5301198068049386,0.0522813378003305,-0.01395687770043691,-0.1385844986494749,0.3043712770675891,0.005827807755586453,0.29925658316910053,-0.3043292367440829,-0.5335151699662561,0.1064649276646182,0.2982439359488053,0.14156764040775938,0.133229731369558,0.2735024682622871,0.16617091915606924,-0.1145056603692378,0.05328008648359581,-0.49682217816446794,-0.528477665584396,0.3000520059603537,0.018891243105862616,0.24199481145871432,0.22780302909963895,0.04800723792779942,-0.14947318287186273,0.10829951905159793,-0.2680254026657823,0.2482542527479458,0.17445669663434535,0.19720382398940606,-0.3377085935894894,0.27352507422666916,-0.5650092698153922,-0.7715504171973283,0.16958765970863796,0.054279882423808844,-0.38928287106503673,-0.1288244993076573,-0.4890410613534368,0.30476781831498845,0.20357879994847916,-0.28433039349864664,0.2926855260628973,0.2695651033108678,0.1771932368550312,0.14240639468941263,0.12610124589966062,-0.602964642795351,0.2696553572045477,-0.232264136391741,0.11311877381397488,-0.14164523322218234,0.09176328951049616,0.2067475141896494,0.2497396287359982,-0.5445655177607363,0.298883918834532,0.28076688061628563,0.22013563589207938,0.018073193261597287,0.2797408824537042,0.16255004578990814,0.014193585060023006,0.24959092679182868,0.033566472042176686,0.1990173587065824,-0.47012021891069894,0.2263186123055089,-0.3429258947228217,0.05199194598702984,0.2698242920811184,0.29835240367787086,-0.3483737177307773,0.02515310549358364,-0.42962326465938755,0.21848858607006041,-0.1333541608742457,-0.8547749180966323,0.07293913467667813,0.17050586951294272,0.16700539932067074,0.17019521899329457,0.2546462614127434,0.30320081469806326,-0.6833697572910015,0.2934331434861999,0.29653036856961873,0.26531382938727605,0.27361009945962134,-0.02177421774583669,-1.0789024583744176,0.2576070146584451,0.22239528712944723,-0.6090305935399152,0.04920132005045648,-0.3728911353233784;-0.005209909489205944,0.0984490696540386,-0.009961497472963335,0.14706379850931908,-0.023653668191173243,-0.1108045463678918,-0.12921499562402083,-0.14232150185468015,0.14725334157411996,-0.12587715425864443,0.11654582822542107,-0.1205686400794492,-0.020922524583908222,-0.0885161689672042,0.16896156785364141,-0.0678262233013438,-0.0722921570729033,0.05746706167555596,-0.0518557045650259,-0.14173893902179835,-0.11080974771703214,-0.044080014988120524,-0.02486944479583648,0.16280511406379236,-0.12205226591879788,0.12111498751514242,0.0036672325756229394,-0.11258176307487629,-0.1436653172945245,-0.08693883236552273,-0.12963881246213782,0.15124220601551222,-0.04648478662359013,0.11530247120048917,-0.11193015308555489,0.06155224139005113,-3.104726073100852E-4,0.1748520878498529,-0.04958196507618132,-0.11097289309403695,-0.09344835603913516,-0.1431943680229942,-0.04688138570390179,0.15532346537625027,-0.020527525182566807,-0.12548772623902463,0.17009188207509193,0.16572532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k{19}=[0.7958664312407221;1.282112541515757;0.035932190055145044];
x_a{19}=[1.4960705480544079,2.4059061526691448,13.821769316331894];
L_a{19}=[-0.07843604604460686,-0.06795326333547891,-0.07623078376076829,-0.11582975375763621,0.18823119745271036,-0.01492132200652901,0.008503103320280026,0.05182017392302951,-0.11504362921027464,0.0013866332053013434,-0.11146017284315017,0.10880764920505964,0.18948007745251036,-0.03435474474525081,-0.11442257230701255,-0.04761622307139221,-0.04428315495732071,-0.09924713136490511,-0.05661862017798391,0.04353348346396732,-0.015303988412508266,0.17636161270911402,0.18766703140693575,-0.114750363778396,-0.0030230293035036085,-0.091829548160074,-0.080460091303104,-0.01336344551999703,0.05548131437594611,-0.03509022428381854,0.09641328395646578,-0.09586331504848407,-0.059471337817185915,-0.07580573429332563,0.1205025491899614,-0.09932798479269832,0.20074692291610005,0.2783376945577799,-0.057780207464169446,-0.015472129069588593,0.1385624457085717,0.048361302761396704,0.17355942031278043,-0.11568409057423114,-0.07078521897027404,0.10206795165280608,-0.11223400347206554,-0.10409638214091865,-0.0678258996390341,-0.047604227286142595,-0.04155045582214858,0.21471363796662302,-0.09741473103942382,0.08419781807405775,-0.03652514843801439,0.05284265267895966,-0.028955344126278183,-0.07201461490367347,-0.09265109983592161,0.19337691217354908,-0.11144980975218567,-0.10805747317773358,-0.07724057262105836,-0.002878033551999936,-0.10766714917315641,-0.05509213350215433,-0.0011614894310808602,-0.08913297003622564,-0.008103207139447262,-0.06905643386714569,0.16696409282908992,-0.07966009030833654,0.12242082484051933,-0.01460013786975337,-0.09781939046681587,-0.11338189264272279,0.12432186508408373,-0.005125423212158956,0.15246545848149884,-0.0766045477003582,0.04977242714604594,0.31194807070416214,-0.022279578637324726,-0.057704104218663,-0.06447950205910742,-0.06528292288183643,-0.09137487338080756,-0.11358174558401826,0.24451939016428706,-0.11232997703177171,-0.1136201896582904,-0.09576124969083943,-0.10517024648384309,0.011095420518054174,0.41635032645134024,-0.09258466374426623,-0.078374141592777,0.2168589864340966,-0.013537826205973115,0.13274007758205517;-0.11833593141789016,-0.11976959949596364,-0.11442042864607058,-0.197969102981874,0.2893914621168527,-0.012682343550278013,0.02306349451244517,0.08702749905392855,-0.19649973598095935,0.011864859811694698,-0.1860129625653704,0.16939188852707532,0.2914334082178561,-0.04310698624055646,-0.1999231516200523,-0.06574141313158971,-0.05956798230408239,-0.15859456805463298,-0.08033230610401342,0.07502817226286129,-0.013349628107950158,0.27101190553810295,0.28857736633570696,-0.1995422031924414,0.005729734206019712,-0.15780793407757499,-0.1224999621881659,-0.010173841210324617,0.09207849910744037,-0.044474487695115625,0.15173377511839292,-0.16911049880005147,-0.08446654339489015,-0.13283526805790896,0.18692918341761708,-0.15892397756964047,0.30899231843062247,0.44026186654016713,-0.08197282430423183,-0.013081874279278503,0.21398315095592338,0.08172844371689206,0.266592981773718,-0.19889160235235118,-0.10460223169910424,0.16004778454622115,-0.19595308351016621,-0.18364435066343504,-0.11810366308054633,-0.06485043221947019,-0.05479898337100848,0.33184450832343765,-0.1544638691837859,0.13431197672921216,-0.045902531628838304,0.08841837969728288,-0.034300992755757494,-0.10678599799793821,-0.15363994606913683,0.2973488982347151,-0.18634050860955326,-0.18968816699937144,-0.11615038118451182,0.005542959378388262,-0.1890147926636073,-0.07730724059484174,0.009136752343738185,-0.13847159613562984,-0.0017128528255982932,-0.10163697761774675,0.2567994279407151,-0.12050137595605646,0.19006357176936872,-0.011573380451913145,-0.15605671962926135,-0.1952838264998391,0.1928923996214087,0.0028383025427451453,0.23417297654715574,-0.11502833854533111,0.08334246263855458,0.5033684859727103,-0.02406054447961012,-0.08072328011892085,-0.11372212760897024,-0.11403020003299692,-0.14317694454484825,-0.19130552489687022,0.38120613884789895,-0.1956233108159101,-0.19814334685097806,-0.15160655527633637,-0.18427468964631316,0.026532451239020906,0.7337820963836269,-0.1454833141209964,-0.11882600400901577,0.3351188649702696,-0.009738968714836833,0.20502576096251307;-0.014780452012932559,0.09015760636420946,-0.019262960185458106,0.13293058247214407,-6.862345894259039E-4,-0.11262520350163484,-0.12817747122020162,-0.13599855209972728,0.13321604621103397,-0.12570796123164474,0.10294577598297915,-0.1072922412024384,0.0021972937917773853,-0.09270803689090361,0.15500005208172643,-0.07363621896921364,-0.07769546128029257,0.04535720990478309,-0.05876414703980287,-0.13642710759086543,-0.11267709671370696,-0.02256087424732319,-0.0019708491251650686,0.1488036021118812,-0.12242112732829849,0.10991020808119728,-0.006150278175000097,-0.11421233256508107,-0.13689564562844816,-0.09122044140385181,-0.11787473866585405,0.1395452378560624,-0.053741309564568046,0.10605287181114732,-0.0972267758833934,0.049432524114731584,0.02418409410227568,0.20881405911248255,-0.056632141117068026,-0.11286075813390466,-0.07654136179708416,-0.1372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x_a{19}=[1.4960705480544079,2.405906152669144,13.821769316331888];
std_x_a{19}=[1.1570754828888237,1.8684693936158365,1.2451555379406922];
pred_a{19}=[1.4960705480544079];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.8 to 1.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 1.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{20}=[3.0052255932852434,5.2564292455126145,11.729490555390731];
std_x_f{20}=[2.2084903009879424,3.674346191061809,1.9739890189570946];
pred_f{20}=[3.0052255932852434];
obs{20}=[3.1823135468051786];
sqrt_r{20}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{20}=[5.899577869657007];
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k{20}=[0.8304963470109873;1.374734504879013;0.5315939027665627];
x_a{20}=[3.152296491783201,5.499878165614881,11.823629431735338];
L_a{20}=[0.07536383148689046,0.07361722349612446,0.07268101957607356,0.12285673282890175,-0.18344883472278448,0.005371135283434608,-0.01890968649960489,-0.0619818380869384,0.12201806050184348,-0.011077618838611789,0.11627232765956477,-0.1152599545462706,-0.18428968580472307,0.026210676941703856,0.12330960275539242,0.04067747395158227,0.036916951042873666,0.10032421073286098,0.0508464314599164,-0.05398555085510975,0.005969054454777938,-0.17393379505261497,-0.1827488346115815,0.12293129979853962,-0.006832899506095473,0.09792995105986936,0.07786203840828296,0.0038969897551462806,-0.0654284856742741,0.026938068256214805,-0.10429827098111918,0.1036214103855176,0.053630099013104025,0.08188268523049955,-0.12586058025701705,0.10059913000848894,-0.19340419494405245,-0.25054864736956983,0.05191380380706885,0.006087333070390389,-0.14209978741092485,-0.05870355295341276,-0.17150705056680024,0.12312839589612291,0.06669851248400571,-0.10918873842370944,0.12047431408233583,0.11303151255762488,0.07295639516935132,0.04053898170940355,0.034083253374358545,-0.2043878619544671,0.09817477974361856,-0.09295540822305523,0.02799294943739998,-0.06293507744544646,0.020147842592133827,0.06803402164069246,0.09620113948390363,-0.1874036183323775,0.11628006702274798,0.11675894823041168,0.07414046197273001,-0.007128776538392451,0.1164182457511677,0.04888206399990939,-0.009274830627056386,0.08800958004500561,-0.0021135905001620305,0.06478800336563191,-0.16627349822947912,0.07672931017346488,-0.12787219100591657,0.005053783987594335,0.09883269658652924,0.12068594776325939,-0.12958014033614693,-0.004858666021376034,-0.15386756443378996,0.07334595261589033,-0.05977233701571066,-0.27291224948587606,0.012742805855450052,0.05124640055244479,0.06977857456960522,0.07036334351099748,0.09070280784546571,0.11916393428183004,-0.2266884934980787,0.12044892918911013,0.12191547377299207,0.096094227448039,0.11350306924195977,-0.02138051052602327,-0.3324542554189997,0.09226782998571123,0.0752543018659623,-0.20595173451618162,0.003419715927393998,-0.1366973034835715;0.11945337069093938,0.10938928681529926,0.11615806678625402,0.1793038389330631,-0.29071155543857174,0.02885542838528773,-0.0033383309976330973,-0.06623058643992848,0.17803510003042997,0.0067897789694399266,0.17098701198525376,-0.15296021999392684,-0.2924978076164452,0.0567304156433273,0.1790471961264071,0.07384906482862344,0.07011294426850208,0.15131662062322515,0.08847717406460368,-0.054258487302784396,0.029970728753691913,-0.269237843679264,-0.2889431739464465,0.17811586491456305,0.012675274436005564,0.1439729178820572,0.12215842178187636,0.02703618766936177,-0.07079248745706855,0.057713098988060596,-0.13365240807398596,0.14927604288547403,0.09169540208659584,0.12002959663835346,-0.17169192047790555,0.15142978954601818,-0.314566707607993,-0.4758232006010882,0.08978784417075014,0.030106143244590895,-0.20313471271729686,-0.06124012491235736,-0.26333232570381326,0.17894160032443335,0.10814793453481972,-0.1419455770118084,0.17390706401584616,0.1626988913557947,0.10866458724956496,0.07506837593097389,0.0669113184034784,-0.341671676136726,0.14870012100223948,-0.11526634343946887,0.0589912862394074,-0.06780721380022375,0.04847137816139962,0.10973289918195757,0.14290657144441818,-0.29967939049334746,0.17133322855704922,0.16865556826396966,0.11778615559010366,0.012079181669529194,0.1685345503137583,0.08574669525737708,0.009385000578308256,0.13555778543359215,0.01879174284143341,0.10615224270877681,-0.2522775346463992,0.12125105275666685,-0.17562675805925418,0.028822052290434785,0.15009688076652922,0.17659774786208365,-0.17861516383038978,0.015715093965161894,-0.22644004794802425,0.11634390351043616,-0.06294604278668975,-0.5538718035441321,0.03692828423579167,0.08874092967621525,0.10376775960699164,0.10504246105784687,0.13828552055537394,0.17412512810116673,-0.4027578509147654,0.174443161782371,0.1763701711907446,0.1452257952929729,0.16413483117542446,-0.007439705458726442,-0.8325840940577853,0.14069152882943842,0.11840325824284244,-0.3462437499292843,0.02527056108767966,-0.19230806716894933;0.036380875131823025,0.11402013794997548,0.029198919615539963,0.22378504414736256,-0.10398979646515596,-0.12257584075776817,-0.15583881387709633,-0.19172369430960884,0.22233893683845493,-0.1471130742296923,0.18956819362537602,-0.18936520367020543,-0.10113023327987443,-0.08535877090242075,0.24144352842796588,-0.05437259716441448,-0.061847066347212515,0.119864343048669,-0.02949064012817967,-0.18791098542714774,-0.12137946806907779,-0.1233729600107786,-0.10482125703225888,0.23588179434670506,-0.14121489360196426,0.16544078862975742,0.04658864490112268,-0.12508344133284505,-0.1943955273745156,-0.0836703504532148,-0.1947144553928872,0.19695916325177526,-0.02279270883468898,0.13830802006994483,-0.1832250962628847,0.12351250315496688,-0.08183840129538586,0.09642101400852394,-0.02763420684480457,-0.1219477814922654,-0.1685317321929932,-0.19175193072491262,-0.12669152466501254,0.2305678171255659,0.013731296858584954,-0.1920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x_a{20}=[3.1522964917832015,5.499878165614878,11.823629431735329];
std_x_a{20}=[1.118373061993367,1.8887579108370824,1.5537456333830526];
pred_a{20}=[3.1522964917832015];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 1.9 to 2.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{21}=[6.815411668984212,11.99985550539122,13.255428040283745];
std_x_f{21}=[2.1970522572899487,3.6137409333576684,2.72581713373171];
pred_f{21}=[6.815411668984212];
obs{21}=[7.266281612218627];
sqrt_r{21}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{21}=[5.848497948718236];
L_f{21}=[0.1464900251053938,0.12485601113266387,0.1433789414096803,0.18738274132517166,-0.3575347654282971,0.05173025506484022,0.01203904684937731,-0.06705641486673168,0.18611912986609883,0.025442461751460095,0.18358445676424523,-0.18201201176356624,-0.3594873562675705,0.08365326831407228,0.1836621192582144,0.10259310855038897,0.09825145572796853,0.17172467526906446,0.1168105630298903,-0.05105660463707206,0.0534756431696958,-0.3307414891986558,-0.35569359967443676,0.18391839345639222,0.03242557532460989,0.15696775893880363,0.14822347357434698,0.050226985379250216,-0.07304133363089935,0.08443954071573384,-0.15646955541920424,0.15896549613136596,0.12027114920485858,0.1332923503724503,-0.20638568875051178,0.17155328787234056,-0.3864913787418556,-0.5695638970704324,0.11864131539140518,0.05347972378519809,-0.24714026041565945,-0.06084476863102337,-0.3237057147882302,0.18608830572017804,0.13573295441016592,-0.1669966493633079,0.17942923415870998,0.16976031385975113,0.12288906382009132,0.10329210966565032,0.09417357729372912,-0.418880973251557,0.1694252154920532,-0.131799598537363,0.08668495617651516,-0.06940783584150889,0.07385635288624919,0.13753375422249095,0.15943038602410115,-0.36864910806281653,0.1838838225722206,0.17481915869537193,0.14433619639863143,0.03259985452567679,0.17457840888633053,0.11389627358992997,0.02873222881819362,0.160122031303856,0.040156183083130854,0.13431764186405737,-0.3093652865955961,0.1481334481970839,-0.21081122646734626,0.05187161591518427,0.1705666171396233,0.18318074995333372,-0.2153016775183208,0.03596061932853616,-0.2769575723455583,0.14317678514042823,-0.06253489232286033,-0.6503842633136101,0.062307803057006755,0.11726875127133582,0.11928590857929937,0.12051510451072371,0.1619011537932158,0.18502230779149367,-0.4893234102377913,0.18003634994662274,0.18132477067250605,0.1674731684468133,0.17106850221809425,0.008017949062447445,-0.8995136741057307,0.16363942917850466,0.14536079999300855,-0.42354347559603966,0.04813464380379435,-0.23288897135757033;0.23756993496035445,0.1835061701284366,0.23466667428063887,0.24203170175637273,-0.5870389266692432,0.13112678467213876,0.0746703070604194,-0.052184233313368196,0.24006124676014343,0.09438669004927577,0.24625664508668,-0.2543293884113594,-0.5911761676048285,0.17369032302080803,0.23113823423865407,0.19600615847231548,0.19011937417744124,0.25055331393941166,0.21038789531955565,-0.026030565667515725,0.13356132716428948,-0.53570595592916,-0.5831974618717264,0.23262350697866732,0.1048500549869175,0.21631348581716583,0.2372276886786225,0.12921473882406606,-0.061821588112720156,0.17520135432294168,-0.20838052165033583,0.20944719502047798,0.21455110736729927,0.1898496536817598,-0.2996459569661505,0.24895056586578523,-0.6434978959265668,-0.9999719987634754,0.2124182814618898,0.1348206439152751,-0.375955383493348,-0.040753490932003256,-0.5218459336038812,0.23767773596462877,0.22696763318437646,-0.22782939111384481,0.22605758938603956,0.21753627870445705,0.18105322020908787,0.19582645269042182,0.1864335709997657,-0.7062294487478061,0.24886496619864587,-0.1644944611131505,0.17682385044836132,-0.05589335758434902,0.16081890973189095,0.22979457608432827,0.2257549941350754,-0.6091299700463148,0.24758174130612315,0.2223203962902266,0.2350645003197462,0.10404623063651045,0.2225160830097235,0.20794379568202664,0.09970995614529211,0.2450111182126305,0.11532508100293568,0.22751915076106455,-0.4941604154633755,0.23801262623144284,-0.30820464845710327,0.13179170747659855,0.2490903304062438,0.23411985961707216,-0.31600465918346254,0.11024968094632721,-0.43250574038057404,0.2335698678820232,-0.04405410318860923,-1.1566095759627772,0.1451277146095744,0.2113442682855363,0.17842945341602048,0.1792635347228561,0.24436717602061356,0.24431346772693438,-0.8438865379370787,0.22797440903614832,0.22827851162211713,0.24757801495096496,0.21955186785075054,0.06842686689979427,-1.6106355305638878,0.24725233516752035,0.2354646984246581,-0.7162851587130575,0.12667431787649847,-0.3492711309097549;0.1695732011400538,0.20209703106004406,0.1604567324990773,0.37726801212476346,-0.41546425946499127,-0.07755638986863889,-0.1501058581221252,-0.26234650960598227,0.37472232573964703,-0.12811239311019945,0.34515667617942064,-0.36429692774417893,-0.41466701798187827,-0.009129233648637103,0.386995247074285,0.03962980993063325,0.028107752259696202,0.2721353124569342,0.07759439393938566,-0.24322499689025817,-0.07475681967933043,-0.4155558191867332,-0.4153055484563333,0.3827433816659573,-0.11509631115181487,0.28699303517602176,0.18078023919569522,-0.08236706924416161,-0.270626368885744,-0.006910266494868869,-0.3478791922182537,0.3144040528798991,0.08763912326299457,0.23305093451879824,-0.3791194139605667,0.2743167813891728,-0.4130771195902147,-0.33751886348998505,0.08205023661313272,-0.07495159106747976,-0.3977196373712506,-0.25578936091702315,-0.4143773936259439,0.38116551554732103,0.13728149308466422,-0.3540921716166378,0.37736918181570933,0.3513854448936709,0.20100444964484673,0.0413281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k{21}=[0.829015927034879;1.353217134636725;0.8160811778050774];
x_a{21}=[7.189190032946854,12.60998043806872,13.623374514595394];
L_a{21}=[-0.07467279783140612,-0.06364493193743073,-0.07308693337627034,-0.09551772245244872,0.18225214472670273,-0.026369323613978146,-0.006136863658939185,0.034181782049937035,-0.09487360075916021,-0.012969209346050621,-0.09358155966648334,0.09278001111358872,0.1832474713428565,-0.042641972299881294,-0.09362114786170038,-0.05229649218891841,-0.05008334925833669,-0.08753607591919634,-0.05954379181400368,0.026025932573082344,-0.027259029332831194,0.16859436224152913,0.18131361667325135,-0.09375178277268599,-0.016528828014327826,-0.0800137874292346,-0.07555641736099682,-0.0256030369453985,0.03723257427003897,-0.043042772013359584,0.07975982985996533,-0.08103212724720621,-0.061307813982991934,-0.06794532750386201,0.10520441101893893,-0.08744871176988187,0.19701268101775632,0.2903332817876779,-0.06047701167571383,-0.02726110941286547,0.12597891691766908,0.031015416263423204,0.1650078998884844,-0.09485788825440054,-0.06918941720733339,0.08512598060828226,-0.09146344891222272,-0.08653474929453424,-0.06264228715727477,-0.052652805657540706,-0.04800466443538102,0.21352316793264414,-0.08636393402812449,0.06718440227421763,-0.044187364995917966,0.03538041098688842,-0.03764802759554455,-0.07010736885778757,-0.08126910330717386,0.18791764352076248,-0.09373416038069911,-0.08911347844280888,-0.07357489088881507,-0.01661766625118493,-0.08899075703699595,-0.058058242569160624,-0.014646157048871214,-0.08162166716337532,-0.020469479330693034,-0.06846796639491264,0.1576979148265397,-0.07551052722758131,0.10746031399244595,-0.026441381832217864,-0.08694575968084124,-0.09337577147679124,0.10974930631980766,-0.018330804811317304,0.14117819143492977,-0.07298388489762245,0.031876951133526656,0.33153119178049095,-0.03176119314368015,-0.05977735172975618,-0.060805590886267614,-0.06143216938003474,-0.08252856887132218,-0.09431449939389584,0.2494309633749626,-0.09177292414412645,-0.09242969227776851,-0.08536888460915054,-0.08720159391236851,-0.004087122580065709,0.458524071415492,-0.08341464890528766,-0.07409717912656505,0.21589986282847387,-0.02453647286128507,0.11871437022989273;-0.12343799236999001,-0.12418720190360825,-0.11867434278784501,-0.21975165185155576,0.2940646469218443,0.0036434823258381286,0.04500145181242754,0.11306863853115452,-0.21860808080087477,0.031686650394917346,-0.206166270254108,0.19421841590990555,0.29473934298540305,-0.03246359760788392,-0.2214760714439604,-0.05682283414684997,-0.05201011118529293,-0.1726425251339945,-0.07747838922351806,0.09979260217816703,0.0017767152805813647,0.27936865008482975,0.29336876911057497,-0.22062235718068163,0.024940929897960495,-0.17051561924590808,-0.12805212432080135,0.005436072837974922,0.11818043212424882,-0.032890244791617396,0.17722081776883225,-0.18230510507050854,-0.08184339635980771,-0.1386341123789548,0.2089679890882869,-0.17382290855298108,0.308965942278531,0.4036531410073533,-0.07995968307448116,0.0030259758209569584,0.23309354736968446,0.10919148857480528,0.27588981035964333,-0.22091562901106893,-0.10753072263735397,0.18371476839043469,-0.21612525466428842,-0.20081861614497415,-0.12179283493589227,-0.05872514830184328,-0.045646448944482394,0.32605484393946604,-0.168664117015574,0.16031058862803496,-0.0368013184837261,0.1151543225536029,-0.021191632326932126,-0.10914164509592436,-0.16714297397318634,0.29936363092199725,-0.2055789268596301,-0.2085014435780163,-0.12063556228265197,0.023707614371558862,-0.2077124564648255,-0.07274055555464026,0.02890266147949741,-0.14959133065268282,0.016364756476340087,-0.10349132901977007,0.268234981912538,-0.1270453295129932,0.2113155295904484,0.003960037468052133,-0.171251606739459,-0.2173081664201507,0.21458172235148987,0.02162884386223029,0.25002454848366457,-0.11927295816146091,0.11005599302483511,0.44618812100119354,-0.008422746057860834,-0.0776511688210131,-0.11553703737369451,-0.11773216897857183,-0.1546197169178609,-0.2116528671660264,0.3619950911845524,-0.21570460249784437,-0.21857566556186356,-0.1651404713823654,-0.2020269077200015,0.04866754765336839,0.60611313106397,-0.15601833882376648,-0.12276038265374332,0.3274893382140155,0.00805198860943663,0.22465712657674625;-0.048138921321214674,0.016537180372713595,-0.052631726104797584,0.09878151246607861,0.11590060704440971,-0.15443741721180676,-0.1679981783678405,-0.16268788510389715,0.0981137937618552,-0.16592474480148287,0.07231515195763809,-0.09379235676071519,0.11959977100047423,-0.13345394847052128,0.11403830157118691,-0.11284312053910123,-0.11791265388096606,0.01691968596699416,-0.09600838607813775,-0.16734514259160885,-0.15423182670509683,0.07598912762882194,0.11332299451303496,0.10940556381624521,-0.16328690174574492,0.053709001454483554,-0.03950811837155806,-0.157013951063455,-0.16207301338768965,-0.13240353209879577,-0.11533558396658328,0.07815100059208194,-0.09110674796889927,0.03495307436375409,-0.07239090933250451,0.019355869265463566,0.16132279820851053,0.5089617403552361,-0.09427339065688911,-0.15443266266632077,-0.030422064707084917,-0.16536242768525913,0.066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x_a{21}=[7.1891900329468585,12.60998043806872,13.623374514595397];
std_x_a{21}=[1.1199400021647377,1.8810886101670983,1.9947358454976005];
pred_a{21}=[7.1891900329468585];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.0 to 2.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{22}=[13.593551517941853,19.397614801308546,26.495447601185564];
std_x_f{22}=[1.3391903591830943,1.7402535180023457,3.753192130884581];
pred_f{22}=[13.593551517941853];
obs{22}=[14.361860838277785];
sqrt_r{22}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{22}=[2.800384614478368];
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k{22}=[0.6429061940885311;0.3534921071988857;1.5491762068314718];
x_a{22}=[14.087502338961773,19.66920608193464,27.68569411973685];
L_a{22}=[0.09320980898282398,0.10655988870338542,0.08811739458669672,0.21216200461525345,-0.22093807583871178,-0.048266730536158306,-0.08981733659410769,-0.15036517921307238,0.21051203844756547,-0.07822980584549334,0.1943603176292097,-0.20272631957052795,-0.22051053875737123,-0.010000201003676708,0.21661031450104312,0.01725365097793061,0.011658470937442782,0.15250217011477135,0.03928350376386722,-0.1401001060684896,-0.04724027257156299,-0.2218618551052509,-0.22120034159047167,0.21413820138440193,-0.07005386143101594,0.15734790040461286,0.0998796911499109,-0.050756714126081674,-0.15529405815743427,-0.009023991440026118,-0.19509489199066293,0.1724566598262027,0.045728896522905835,0.1237090561183774,-0.2091464166041299,0.15385568477579986,-0.2173299126372196,-0.16718673227970282,0.04327475081710865,-0.04742380239301023,-0.21758154236260624,-0.14713692667662875,-0.22241918066764377,0.21410149666985873,0.07541048253843768,-0.1973492111840469,0.21016721719108242,0.1940193548517615,0.10513124383622137,0.01963011381955887,0.0053901029942821305,-0.21311730833165632,0.14784592258618512,-0.1837144830296499,-0.005222383615424111,-0.15226529910365086,-0.021456278197798582,0.07722160158095266,0.15048411124162622,-0.2190102602452198,0.19358165270450634,0.2022011103011632,0.09065361330445823,-0.0698221295693508,0.20039326557057455,0.035506222454361754,-0.07442973435202672,0.12413505153212909,-0.0616574172943662,0.06994980007760114,-0.22259319969254548,0.09749302991377537,-0.20993717941719844,-0.04901721424130179,0.15077146868509353,0.21034089733303168,-0.2114325097606633,-0.0666477831184257,-0.22044216336688305,0.0888248221905262,-0.1483880457529921,-0.12907811353151866,-0.03566187433283036,0.041425447854995516,0.09764515149885372,0.09996481783856856,0.1303276338331869,0.20129495100001665,-0.19591920300466142,0.21040657585605155,0.2131395106271995,0.14328964838550082,0.19503311471157628,-0.09350903367960686,0.0440361435471853,0.13307812412561698,0.09377833424282894,-0.21196147312954627,-0.05245263606090163,-0.21450271168474858;0.09662784794058162,0.06628511173662407,0.09757091444025458,0.05147605974554745,-0.2475579045263888,0.09833427353465331,0.08344877949323964,0.03821359211071964,0.05124845874439284,0.0884038686899544,0.06055050723927684,-0.057888323922701296,-0.2500805450500075,0.10551241764099255,0.044771450056150436,0.10483258735057709,0.10512834403110478,0.07880591703719417,0.1037021832317885,0.048603224549675104,0.09853105899995987,-0.21549318479291873,-0.24629766345154291,0.04650204243927526,0.09217493384779608,0.06228367638810745,0.09438232975829375,0.09886270589007716,0.03351247420633816,0.10501021445770044,-0.03462807124999611,0.05273737191366803,0.10362104603049405,0.062074163405477785,-0.0812411927170318,0.07827940293245399,-0.2821425663882544,-0.5235432149311727,0.10491327469912859,0.09949417149112996,-0.12323884249188993,0.04277544773393024,-0.2075527834432286,0.048760577326924015,0.09964094926422498,-0.043904699639081925,0.0445797436334126,0.047315553650919086,0.06514176771410672,0.10562496816670795,0.1044276708126864,-0.32326216498017146,0.08035841207768218,-0.013128981775629194,0.10539956855413228,0.03525305836479175,0.1033696892592376,0.09903512228308997,0.06908743678942919,-0.26085401644270184,0.060880659099202844,0.046272256750564025,0.0966311907884327,0.09315012681602187,0.04576598641258063,0.10527885074771993,0.09083690850513713,0.08930245880699837,0.09486977845168515,0.1003655920366885,-0.19118062351926168,0.09579610663697005,-0.08516251347935548,0.09898314316042015,0.07971187566066071,0.04854936680730347,-0.09089348014709651,0.09294973148673376,-0.15532584218077533,0.0975014665420399,0.04100401076028731,-0.637810603234232,0.10126690993267629,0.10426485057554127,0.06743984525698495,0.06688500692284695,0.08594957112325868,0.056488656511046405,-0.4130830422247573,0.046296370559264166,0.044642025191272985,0.08289221684675563,0.04777848255079755,0.08204338192808536,-1.0270863849043865,0.08473921630895138,0.09640056946941267,-0.32865295423485547,0.09671211715009988,-0.10830349973278813;0.1612967700188619,0.2509417273222676,0.14500212641110216,0.5977853916992532,-0.3781840531501386,-0.2718542717704239,-0.3779813818508875,-0.5023196355690046,0.5924059299836294,-0.3526337278013402,0.5271615098277902,-0.5442679197814738,-0.37424789112116036,-0.16511062774007138,0.6230529379882233,-0.08223562362079007,-0.09941378905666373,0.36932663004106653,-0.016177306470012063,-0.48512126069216094,-0.26999956336665293,-0.4176005547283307,-0.3805375933218416,0.6116399159710795,-0.3292547043995533,0.41365419605649356,0.18583918493701898,-0.2798429700816076,-0.5132810479707398,-0.16138617080427456,-0.5509279615198434,0.4739419572368316,0.0061899321372780175,0.31004017713342147,-0.5357842704948187,0.3744259205500487,-0.3256999437020359,0.10780576631249138,-0.0025452157145248525,-0.269145158676597,-0.5135728337749604,-0.49708170737780916,-0.4286145128260514,0.607478548849474,0.10320463573701766,-0.5440318744093209,0.601875214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x_a{22}=[14.087502338961771,19.66920608193465,27.685694119736834];
std_x_a{22}=[1.496900551195886,1.7762012519181638,4.091138678113063];
pred_a{22}=[14.087502338961771];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.1 to 2.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{23}=[13.519604831584397,6.395721189216931,39.83286570490354];
std_x_f{23}=[1.4692144776843237,3.8093913770069814,1.6797539781198758];
pred_f{23}=[13.519604831584397];
obs{23}=[14.029361377709176];
sqrt_r{23}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{23}=[3.1590696057392154];
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k{23}=[0.6834511027603638;1.460862720393095;0.23843990101311682];
x_a{23}=[13.867998505172691,7.1404055239269635,39.95441200530232];
L_a{23}=[0.020316638691021894,0.055607857754498925,0.014999185483416144,0.17163586409057122,-0.03934871403525232,-0.11480681596764074,-0.14301690150367702,-0.16673774405501493,0.1693511905968703,-0.13674533292056723,0.14635720061396315,-0.14912587063065258,-0.03736641401022419,-0.08406912432307194,0.18077999311665632,-0.058355006420531444,-0.06347254411290985,0.09157739672429428,-0.03742621160266215,-0.1650342126593519,-0.11429937405599754,-0.061126710252513226,-0.040583750879482364,0.17694368694399903,-0.1306238121713385,0.10901295145110905,0.028821441543867978,-0.11728231226911273,-0.16875276356781752,-0.08282759469988261,-0.1584021915457637,0.130352688592594,-0.030118569114659627,0.07528613785917493,-0.13863511643819795,0.09267057230453701,-0.013338921817085746,0.1890045020186499,-0.03332820739916695,-0.11411708989986238,-0.11900824597078993,-0.16608740087932894,-0.06641355638472335,0.1748569476479003,0.001536401043575543,-0.15358294414971616,0.17413285994831662,0.1558680816276014,0.05545662308606669,-0.056069308674743835,-0.06889659195791648,0.01707889081659919,0.08561635435286398,-0.1622880600614457,-0.08012937616502343,-0.16683851754084478,-0.09293148709361873,0.003201245607842181,0.09652772082998096,-0.028987125467114676,0.1450690909471236,0.16518008460829614,0.017780989809199146,-0.13123372786553925,0.16262815842813244,-0.04094302558934507,-0.1336231237117993,0.0558841638365578,-0.1243925193609042,-0.005384340797907303,-0.07814354811481289,0.025286213127346732,-0.13678258326959108,-0.11597693447690761,0.0889309047417339,0.17199403531651064,-0.13520176637265627,-0.12803388344910105,-0.10014658873358766,0.016106285686504556,-0.1672514722560776,0.2981593058983497,-0.10483115496136987,-0.034296832676370646,0.046056696934342146,0.04864296247167926,0.06414150550875719,0.15699137141793634,0.09151968037849412,0.17357280633093292,0.177166214403602,0.07981821161909006,0.15657276664042216,-0.14482774732943537,0.7147609541930693,0.06768016621135918,0.021697924841345757,0.021837716008859972,-0.11747894181294122,-0.12574853062951047;-0.1094570473273622,-0.007733696957866073,-0.11867765232448138,0.2134494856966813,0.2998131811338156,-0.3231365905920239,-0.34087491481587584,-0.3010533838461982,0.2082090642791356,-0.3406095866000653,0.1563656835713497,-0.1252527184960641,0.30670087809349417,-0.28804058907800845,0.2373545090099846,-0.2478192590187897,-0.2551639300174864,0.03669781919647978,-0.21333018848595323,-0.31637915165855607,-0.3225831384576902,0.22719521922749655,0.29692035775629416,0.22845727837492114,-0.3368219569246691,0.08943097196561887,-0.0909827533503079,-0.32699530618984196,-0.297797629926937,-0.2855009373445412,-0.1741857008864602,0.13686892439768122,-0.20058643134753246,0.030287750869301033,-0.07361902385359352,0.03831674727681329,0.3813292706221699,0.9603340683366609,-0.20832759780793975,-0.3227404541664048,0.014684021151477721,-0.3058225237797971,0.20987768488025588,0.22087941633744337,-0.14356938817663584,-0.15278407008571798,0.22589535830323898,0.18906205453134967,-0.0057567559645803935,-0.2441090572970513,-0.2620447726052727,0.47784178715322934,0.02400212699282967,-0.21335353836563117,-0.28214741328448495,-0.296767643130136,-0.2973324883823159,-0.1398660018105834,0.05742328035466457,0.33154291850133977,0.15315152255637374,0.20806713238284655,-0.11378435939464812,-0.33903978248754435,0.2030898508864568,-0.22016878765569103,-0.3378137010232789,-0.038453138094128154,-0.3303559297522224,-0.15746955270456703,0.16870447960513602,-0.09903639075533209,-0.06605800868724827,-0.325837691980615,0.03068762870963462,0.2182495995482254,-0.056737104811136724,-0.3342793937086701,0.08677721842642551,-0.11543214277699679,-0.3071340335594363,1.2436742090888362,-0.31186150663884643,-0.20741475068018397,-0.02594065275946297,-0.020626807599258713,-0.02025853617302508,0.18214118780734542,0.6931025810164086,0.2230691784316221,0.23099901502634704,0.012388554999605951,0.19040208678499754,-0.34082021466094276,2.262084408367224,-0.012810707605444541,-0.10479276535487372,0.491572435840631,-0.3240805021186241,-0.015671194152563017;0.11075940104226403,0.10417570851304694,0.10856786240939896,0.16062117486852365,-0.32467015469058536,0.03563569444936797,0.0016216250005071978,-0.06918854595680564,0.15916458327020203,0.011631231295858399,0.1519255976571324,-0.17969753328019167,-0.3257840723365998,0.06169353030497043,0.16066800382889232,0.07510773466747364,0.07255248583693864,0.13526276741979548,0.08524786094565892,-0.05484967159210745,0.03613090683522814,-0.30604831199746446,-0.32465449742142255,0.15988309754906438,0.019203397631615673,0.1316541488289527,0.11377907084873443,0.03480198927030142,-0.07638527857008466,0.06170331630471033,-0.15709204850148833,0.13719016724043478,0.08929579812383684,0.11216141264099397,-0.20176864556954852,0.13522943300425502,-0.34182034639057374,-0.395843668336499,0.08938160976133569,0.036948448404517505,-0.23951543127068148,-0.06334112672779274,-0.30097258765311985,0.16020850346547627,0.103405859368682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x_a{23}=[13.867998505172686,7.140405523926991,39.95441200530231];
std_x_a{23}=[1.3646787860986345,3.631192092529557,1.6680720727878702];
pred_a{23}=[13.867998505172686];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.2 to 2.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{24}=[5.303917009508674,-2.29748111002421,32.15132449166645];
std_x_f{24}=[1.486403550289298,1.6940338670229653,1.9987988754701769];
pred_f{24}=[5.303917009508674];
obs{24}=[4.73766857729685];
sqrt_r{24}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{24}=[3.2131961603169255];
L_f{24}=[-0.06164937959376424,-0.016109378628366016,-0.065627011570879,0.0578336113135,0.22176659745854527,-0.14750862522011587,-0.15070037624885518,-0.11842852786175811,0.056283825712844834,-0.1525690324274491,0.03848126332542028,-0.008235734739708057,0.2250012057362483,-0.13474501853582974,0.06656345462276912,-0.11791631108149886,-0.12105180022109734,-0.005061089548829843,-0.10378848510818021,-0.12864130399604792,-0.1472591172803801,0.18567297246494358,0.22081408173707395,0.06317510284788017,-0.15174001983750768,0.0172302957656994,-0.054051823797914296,-0.14923676575073663,-0.1152333388863679,-0.13401813421711195,-0.037080064144535,0.03528935598902202,-0.0986445727118526,-0.0017488054929958744,0.021532844409122575,-0.0044184940656289765,0.25975928613598687,0.47410308474639506,-0.10232364034211516,-0.1475919279141153,0.07252543396686002,-0.12186110004970388,0.17602649507252846,0.06075297441413798,-0.07547388861299856,-0.024538358630625944,0.06368509346190564,0.052237640333805326,-0.014596450934872753,-0.11703190719095195,-0.12345546348952087,0.3039070391721181,-0.00920561615082192,-0.061908483584587025,-0.13257913482682185,-0.11513769857881409,-0.13826354990413756,-0.07372189014209561,0.005021685601848265,0.23697692397900957,0.037701050540329906,0.058517226327556675,-0.06389118505620485,-0.1531093608753907,0.05672335393905829,-0.10695764435641293,-0.15160506413880712,-0.0334592369184651,-0.1498075350610386,-0.0809914280846084,0.15573856096592334,-0.05725597780751289,0.025922980766265303,-0.149356835460478,-0.007194497010751063,0.059947414213886316,0.03224960669620388,-0.15073067827767994,0.111657598454988,-0.06414602327418244,-0.12171140955167832,0.5346697977722142,-0.14378256147781332,-0.10158454902618935,-0.022309474594705454,-0.020515886796569734,-0.02603420918620125,0.04682805054978309,0.389281437224265,0.06165039871602124,0.06450719139859822,-0.013941374718000641,0.052727746398770876,-0.15029512648008098,0.51540095847354,-0.023615923270967863,-0.05957741350754403,0.3097504955635305,-0.14807812433330358,0.05518970431557808;-0.07964817818106222,-0.05872000178008116,-0.07969593987567306,-0.09868739771898787,0.3422403044877033,-0.06431251374331179,-0.04386505194496824,0.024583747102625175,-0.0976199570000408,-0.050971821313521494,-0.09148574234668126,0.1610995875864387,0.3433222834047889,-0.07617878329055282,-0.09958910564419443,-0.07726697041561499,-0.0766695930388759,-0.08298303058309796,-0.07738295494102856,0.008195793175786385,-0.06456847813540331,0.32309913961160686,0.34253036595208725,-0.09806268078655356,-0.05557456651062029,-0.07553629956283381,-0.07880220164547493,-0.06516256780405175,0.031050879972772658,-0.0753549657273442,0.1306255586108027,-0.07756558320189122,-0.07831165809212025,-0.0620579463607358,0.1917493518569739,-0.08306475007111724,0.3566990896952567,0.28318365151382147,-0.08009251045913252,-0.06536860110700173,0.23987642951539406,0.01852384173425715,0.3177277421798627,-0.09888564302639907,-0.07876924878269986,0.14278037379541594,-0.09456768195169821,-0.08623868625702091,-0.05732295784517873,-0.07801066254208999,-0.07529068955084457,0.36791518992783734,-0.08155495732117081,0.09943046552966696,-0.07626503944495978,0.028826866639146426,-0.07218534416833963,-0.07855465079312866,-0.07645305559625051,0.3477667910510263,-0.09141981531767142,-0.09028243448826327,-0.07982407543562837,-0.05705727563011432,-0.08994184610446113,-0.07882789188352765,-0.05295251294928701,-0.08103924005728112,-0.058979401486450034,-0.07940915985522462,0.3041002032511797,-0.07920735407360752,0.19555642233902382,-0.06557855057882733,-0.08211709136217812,-0.09652643582229796,0.20206011505030314,-0.057532801219381625,0.27234654332478136,-0.07933810219955743,0.019752376074128084,0.1339388711175805,-0.06832980653495505,-0.07801933098400674,-0.05713676414509916,-0.05728392128555319,-0.0795193613703173,-0.09445738318704712,0.356521108754367,-0.09659963903366484,-0.09703540355146034,-0.08196998455482335,-0.0875928764087581,-0.04083522120187656,-0.8282734460607547,-0.08014831305644186,-0.07871160594632254,0.36773663660686323,-0.06203047379561533,0.22343625828071478;-0.029607284873133414,0.017312980882433125,-0.0349750280950061,0.14767867207201088,0.06423433421689077,-0.15236520696877937,-0.1751329702589547,-0.18986095313475296,0.14413009830254425,-0.17033654513267316,0.11567096868191507,-0.15177051340400496,0.06861627222758376,-0.12749471426111678,0.16042193456062476,-0.10503639644095566,-0.10891614182955733,0.04926003179675153,-0.08661264015560494,-0.19004593868654776,-0.15205044245171837,0.019863713489338245,0.06207014608085825,0.15578091500750746,-0.16508925517910517,0.07534966990329658,-0.020104253850050904,-0.15397164061295862,-0.19231400345311422,-0.126544915610217,-0.1683600216534054,0.10111210962967022,-0.07877104192469454,0.03909208436703965,-0.13245656685079193,0.05005044998317826,0.11812346948527368,0.5446662480174455,-0.08268738443577124,-0.15165245893748247,-0.09528516055087714,-0.18890171741560483,0.00908266874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k{24}=[0.6887833950662485;0.3049869740818718;0.7678763016118137];
x_a{24}=[4.913894491918873,-2.4701795059430984,31.716515739746146];
L_a{24}=[0.05597101683537942,0.01462558598897742,0.05958227955729223,-0.0525067089694787,-0.20134025746355697,0.13392199240223776,0.13681975960997106,0.10752038658650402,-0.051099670058185616,0.13851629876609572,-0.03493685502800447,0.007477162800427386,-0.20427693445138942,0.12233400807354249,-0.060432469294287215,0.10705534875124653,0.10990203620497348,0.004594925856667742,0.09422879979632535,0.11679249068089975,0.1336954659848183,-0.16857112165912966,-0.20047547546844613,-0.05735620971980044,0.13776364435279745,-0.01564325838695168,0.049073251989092834,0.13549095843840311,0.10461949809237436,0.12167407516410493,0.033664716630832675,-0.032038945909701175,0.08955867968754666,0.0015877276030232697,-0.019549510552714755,0.00401151815904658,-0.23583353917375108,-0.43043469233435516,0.0928988780419963,0.1339976223034472,-0.06584530634859657,0.11063679354771204,-0.15981315601388274,-0.05515717718718191,0.06852218656579921,0.02227819473736053,-0.057819226435160735,-0.04742616820850623,0.01325201009963103,0.10625240498484909,0.11208430435024969,-0.275914958398275,0.008357710977026788,0.056206255436773565,0.12036761823573427,0.10453266696285603,0.1255284567403265,0.06693156008169449,-0.004559151303956729,-0.21514960067768785,-0.03422850559744702,-0.0531273579964895,0.05800633547291837,0.13900685897701207,-0.051498714491578695,0.09710605609323676,0.13764111906975687,0.030377394309606,0.13600915568363972,0.07353151993931101,-0.14139389033889252,0.051982279771629114,-0.02353528295747213,0.13559996884190834,0.006531830749381344,-0.05442581502543264,-0.029279179956421986,0.1368472705983488,-0.10137310973936059,0.05823770121062273,0.11050089064908941,-0.4854227641814663,0.13053912662444167,0.0922278624898665,0.020254607367614575,0.018626222240194123,0.02363626641920092,-0.04251484155981707,-0.35342574443010133,-0.05597194208895665,-0.058565603085796204,0.012657271236002451,-0.047871131888498834,0.13645183633515368,-0.4679287271629096,0.021440722480783374,0.0540898941143018,-0.2812201893384033,0.13443903644488697,-0.050106325314898725;-0.02756694472771453,-0.0451108411581767,-0.024254413407914847,-0.14754508018256335,0.15489246724261738,0.06030238420204018,0.08344622886016445,0.12463185541689573,-0.1451683846713988,0.07791809530794355,-0.12399461221750921,0.168057114595875,0.15324185760891382,0.037653453356157045,-0.1558217367349448,0.022348418512228876,0.025594648853035733,-0.0787074354666867,0.010297283827103218,0.11687162786072951,0.059835636159837904,0.16624310166533252,0.15598721147890865,-0.15143284122515926,0.07261500245906026,-0.09009240802907975,-0.03313936331120015,0.06091225870844163,0.1283997010589902,0.037863200962032835,0.16195069910535495,-0.10737793816463981,0.00502301703624697,-0.060580560087826064,0.17355846163267832,-0.0793320179258686,0.13725512915470847,-0.11733738536173632,0.0063502313100501,0.059316670734764335,0.17860713398276762,0.12147177798911571,0.16902102291915083,-0.15020959574575476,-0.015009106533302246,0.16351031451541753,-0.14836868111736146,-0.130368907180641,-0.04499191455263088,0.020857584309156633,0.02900416073730593,0.11117532393833826,-0.07377807705097025,0.15173058935180095,0.03573746435082873,0.12609489104552596,0.04461933850805078,-0.01627459223596385,-0.08069536236206949,0.14756931003606022,-0.1232695634832797,-0.13971763311459548,-0.025848970634089655,0.07228910904057055,-0.1378615860633006,0.011529644267735225,0.07512304580169861,-0.052772964863528816,0.06757760943558185,-0.010987814797258102,0.17253267727116056,-0.03083765487400085,0.17365675648689513,0.060597710508108506,-0.07603919924281873,-0.1471698534068887,0.17481573228130745,0.069804078659866,0.17801849833399974,-0.025147710742893355,0.12257385419064344,-0.3177487653472239,0.05313732257795117,0.007799028388763924,-0.03828977878620813,-0.03995215417296612,-0.057525730042079434,-0.13401759691375764,0.027657176226125044,-0.1486817334388102,-0.1515309088880631,-0.07019234792436078,-0.13213713764478,0.08613370566630668,-1.2636828178536013,-0.060197643297941694,-0.02838076398360981,0.10606023405363904,0.06306553550010029,0.17681214148308846;0.10151944618785465,0.051577237439119565,0.10461202944387243,0.02466798734229628,-0.407457825134514,0.16138205141191436,0.14540306493534164,0.062033645403076265,0.024415769854083436,0.1541740763071062,0.033822257466825704,-0.13425330590865878,-0.4099558202636653,0.1591046631175772,0.018843085425004957,0.14576872946255748,0.14855809321766503,0.060024846179605795,0.13414294349643688,0.0835709863105498,0.16116611860927965,-0.37505818331053664,-0.4075960354964989,0.021409007691149756,0.1576580766437511,0.03870124985660598,0.09486266080843714,0.16345133064736977,0.052784505842198,0.1585083965006508,-0.0894916270183941,0.026052507690772202,0.1310435651621466,0.042811751119067064,-0.1782564032225232,0.05944847940141564,-0.4343782146872795,-0.46373948288164607,0.13495251002439893,0.1622719822473968,-0.24954499475390962,0.07029387868460202,-0.36532140524742956,0.022481220175909585,0.1123893461056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x_a{24}=[4.913894491918873,-2.470179505943099,31.71651573974617];
std_x_a{24}=[1.3494948154486395,1.6730451678846092,1.8714675868916453];
pred_a{24}=[4.913894491918873];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.3 to 2.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{25}=[0.15713406524775833,-2.4695146235700602,23.931541083535528];
std_x_f{25}=[1.2026196827106141,1.5198310175040923,1.4500155102348582];
pred_f{25}=[0.15713406524775833];
obs{25}=[-0.21407798942079528];
sqrt_r{25}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{25}=[2.446309251327314];
L_f{25}=[-0.003892310924819437,-0.022925347960122636,-0.0012211592315633402,-0.10483133011497842,0.05180498763708878,0.06505068562505334,0.08141173956945692,0.1062987121170578,-0.10257817813005772,0.07812844337699605,-0.08505584005686383,0.12037525514051424,0.04989058866057728,0.04831905519367375,-0.11152686311954942,0.03677468606637359,0.03944213965361339,-0.04701357410558446,0.026987117947314884,0.10255055890249341,0.06516346530386068,0.07089746400851932,0.05325227859829554,-0.10831570746116839,0.07418622132752992,-0.058986417923979115,-0.008519816401680548,0.06565131927192529,0.10846367594967825,0.04882356256895759,0.12101818756152463,-0.07342754916225963,0.02313203158487538,-0.03592159573629656,0.118452266997892,-0.04753897816112072,0.027190368495231914,-0.22069069055923868,0.024179342188264345,0.06477447013351155,0.11036867589406343,0.10443043531764619,0.07566081075224562,-0.10698059957166337,0.005849881220248689,0.1199887521775697,-0.10644663574915408,-0.09231520712620594,-0.02287936540191636,0.03527846963885319,0.04174612691309747,-0.0062330557563629665,-0.0427518449084441,0.11775419505758125,0.047717918258632315,0.10702792779674476,0.053335236989522805,0.004977578709947248,-0.050034533497865456,0.042155234523916035,-0.08461344257257952,-0.09975057615386287,-0.002284681184592683,0.07406136247766264,-0.09798398679310764,0.02806956349875478,0.07517567767153836,-0.02447609481283789,0.07032993227818955,0.009649368383330892,0.0842148362072258,-0.007262691008982657,0.11723257819338508,0.06492127642926111,-0.04478198555865704,-0.10537533889397648,0.11686285184368936,0.07207869686578566,0.10002065481824148,-0.0019113160476241817,0.105881392786567,-0.36817859412746756,0.06067017947188037,0.02516399740015071,-0.017637053035555142,-0.018739715160776185,-0.029384173980904708,-0.09362441193855187,-0.09363740472671293,-0.10630810810025983,-0.10888075742417264,-0.03939400004495692,-0.0937950971385125,0.08310102522690692,-0.8598026404435946,-0.0315694231853336,-0.004895302706866136,-0.011600602200924248,0.06724912656188804,0.11278161105689836;-0.040801215501304174,-0.04614451299148621,-0.0387035612237561,-0.1380581715480417,0.20903198101402548,0.020013791374905023,0.0436146425003634,0.10444360704521365,-0.13539285107116558,0.036921877035917004,-0.116638117574498,0.19633993111361495,0.20708687652495736,0.00100574272689326,-0.14470247462163788,-0.008588624972504243,-0.006116281271064864,-0.07899901978244822,-0.015759759445549734,0.09175745887590855,0.01931686434381872,0.22162609239602105,0.21111792152577083,-0.14073445471285917,0.030806849069579357,-0.085690284065094,-0.04427229939751491,0.019547480992243415,0.11091714122161327,0.001445448383964859,0.17954328500350972,-0.09999770764767214,-0.01928884503102813,-0.05894693516982335,0.21036287578180873,-0.07931205730184195,0.18590297113490362,-0.13281091368224357,-0.01913353075821357,0.01885443578489388,0.22680832356998754,0.09958996343697155,0.2258701318653265,-0.14027373668164295,-0.03215555716237382,0.1857749583146192,-0.13756010531707294,-0.12054893076515773,-0.04572456676573808,-0.010444187078397903,-0.004179807736806044,0.15099330957200124,-0.07449774675949668,0.15908498777087232,-3.7031882951793705E-4,0.10830529790085697,0.006100776915336519,-0.033349775159460554,-0.07853955570159668,0.20022078417969494,-0.11634278655377395,-0.1294267933741003,-0.03988592770940966,0.03088855768508892,-0.12820290763114822,-0.015809009149931896,0.033475284109106065,-0.05874932877099439,0.02657691087617667,-0.02976663467797755,0.22913708948503408,-0.04299658918737523,0.2112511320408931,0.0186351719829837,-0.076647631538285,-0.13698619522443678,0.21436390605334207,0.028655580584578056,0.23161940062547073,-0.039169665638934086,0.10183356527924187,-0.3412292838741063,0.014199599931315287,-0.017593629729992656,-0.04088994727798665,-0.04150331228143552,-0.06191490084758096,-0.12530103635157505,0.04269232330797974,-0.13843367152273875,-0.14058655513605803,-0.07161809639874551,-0.12303652597255511,0.04681344448828524,-0.9519338766848863,-0.06340480449460503,-0.04133712547525559,0.14472232245834749,0.02239666692889875,0.22083537801857;0.05464965465097751,0.022604172447068707,0.056055599690474606,0.012906809519334674,-0.2858204991358181,0.09970152318129509,0.09107652317066077,0.04135347874187479,0.01233785187717649,0.09611277959314106,0.015661155739095916,-0.08682516260109754,-0.2874514048140596,0.09544681055310056,0.01040316979457439,0.08554826669099141,0.08772243464358928,0.028871159292420675,0.07711616442125321,0.05373026830737538,0.09909772589534765,-0.2604268103619041,-0.28562804872045444,0.011541007598229517,0.09813380249306182,0.01609945623236661,0.050626809753473855,0.10049421850060973,0.03579548850718665,0.09490253509677776,-0.056122913051928375,0.009366010344903147,0.07512905649725378,0.017032164979650724,-0.11692946980116088,0.028285447492959623,-0.30644648176805667,-0.28783302120291954,0.07759144424801247,0.09899579157494538,-0.16732032700869348,0.0462895884420321,-0.2533896248695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k{25}=[0.5912209384576287;0.6743957037992048;-0.25308137106500084];
x_a{25}=[-0.062334274080168506,-2.7198584384370084,24.0254879392869];
L_a{25}=[0.005826256233643672,0.034316105275510204,0.0018279080789254563,0.15691813998438062,-0.07754496955261181,-0.09737196486772033,-0.12186222126649034,-0.15911460981988032,0.15354548012984962,-0.11694757665620359,0.127316940478513,-0.18018526633285414,-0.07467937654475146,-0.0723270062344709,0.16694043564855823,-0.055046667152994055,-0.05903947974962189,0.0703728798878617,-0.04039601851075515,-0.15350413792983725,-0.0975407805968259,-0.10612379113786381,-0.07971136585226477,0.16213377553501393,-0.11104661030645722,0.08829458688371276,0.012752997994910559,-0.09827103115425702,-0.16235526409161047,-0.07308218466110253,-0.18114764808962433,0.10991098200810817,-0.034625482347475825,0.05376970779659248,-0.1773068165199849,0.07115933778212452,-0.04070025673700834,0.3303437306045994,-0.03619316284613456,-0.09695850811657447,-0.1652067880359827,-0.15631805539270577,-0.11325386866627432,0.1601353019253608,-0.008756470791739227,-0.1796067243456716,0.15933603123257079,0.13818321849612128,0.03424727568517929,-0.05280703613273449,-0.062488233046078395,0.009330030579929325,0.06399365510840956,-0.17626189845657103,-0.07142718659449153,-0.1602061457946543,-0.07983554319918193,-0.007450753433483071,0.07489484224668282,-0.06310061109444133,0.12665473205006403,0.14931294733422457,0.0034198547471483987,-0.11085971371304112,0.14666860507221313,-0.042016291213391045,-0.11252769090447373,0.03663736087197752,-0.10527427388564749,-0.01444378257030267,-0.12605807292756066,0.01087125349989247,-0.17548110946892412,-0.09717825702982183,0.06703249754595857,0.157732446600942,-0.1749276797734901,-0.1078919349041155,-0.1497172180958115,0.002860978285656918,-0.15848993995211924,0.5511129173805227,-0.09081494725674338,-0.03766705680708752,0.02640025223480161,0.02805078637885124,0.04398408301224246,0.1401429187478171,0.14016236717176825,0.15912867431954636,0.16297957792152953,0.05896742135027058,0.14039841110941648,-0.12439085047474913,1.287006765478317,0.047255101706608245,0.007327597528138035,0.017364512289133438,-0.10066272977831764,-0.16881862141861476;-0.029715410665213632,0.019149842519741098,-0.035225541821817176,0.16051501256014777,0.061484677221101805,-0.16525897311440038,-0.18825651930192672,-0.19830887075488424,0.15676306482455707,-0.1855980326409048,0.12561191364156332,-0.1465043614821134,0.06499202857174866,-0.13661317469456194,0.1729404532958082,-0.11332768629485412,-0.11845259534342265,0.0549017186858609,-0.09262256111558019,-0.20031979388821586,-0.16627711125448674,0.019700947012457535,0.05944854592335517,0.1677626866488094,-0.18048510243405494,0.08231066182944302,-0.020006760571699096,-0.16743596579244427,-0.19800143352942104,-0.13761037128111678,-0.16513216226608293,0.1091334474239166,-0.08517186223220573,0.04336241457771737,-0.12700449791843962,0.05608509985764218,0.10846128562168657,0.49574471096772277,-0.08799942398758952,-0.1656316312665443,-0.08753593736185881,-0.19784142044793931,0.010378358998110154,0.16442084476534874,-0.04881677533702324,-0.15596852386320226,0.16561367811552424,0.1423767165870943,0.019438824473622586,-0.11092183053654843,-0.1230781754571941,0.16874585837453993,0.04726503586296506,-0.17629418677434733,-0.13627712052580296,-0.19652408045127007,-0.14580487491280336,-0.04752656298565769,0.0639652657619923,0.08015722508120443,0.12464723941977687,0.15467574645077484,-0.03337886025917571,-0.18004777966838542,0.15086815725323133,-0.0957547557235774,-0.1806347670107654,0.010961754306818956,-0.17373183075078946,-0.057249283612070864,-0.010717654015433956,-0.022311506041263095,-0.1226424102238167,-0.16626901838255373,0.050897254177371655,0.16313639623315976,-0.11847660775740962,-0.17663386872397088,-0.05325235815994548,-0.033725990379349736,-0.19973033310325378,0.7073909620823848,-0.1585969165820856,-0.08926394833047854,0.009342660448492081,0.011869819765030945,0.02177502637403482,0.1413533956020282,0.3093837604023882,0.16434556725253138,0.16951992158794305,0.04058110984313321,0.14410403950216713,-0.18986902131119698,1.4968952260300217,0.02650899503999792,-0.027394670345101412,0.1777623376227408,-0.16913754163313366,-0.10038123427831283;0.05048946995307477,-0.0018989270277570052,0.05475039873223212,-0.09913914565454617,-0.23045022656365552,0.16922907947177412,0.17809112188291812,0.1549678030077783,-0.09729988653530759,0.17961812150593226,-0.07524833507663181,0.04183447022742272,-0.23412728258332507,0.14709124439112037,-0.10879911345482121,0.12485383328074223,0.1298790323586389,-0.021377948593749602,0.10596057004389102,0.16333848670203505,0.1687458235051279,-0.18465009298621435,-0.22871088078804952,-0.10422912418880582,0.17742561363642118,-0.04694648176469068,0.04152064878436887,0.17066374480710902,0.15172377216172728,0.1470861971473364,0.07322389962201938,-0.06911491585281695,0.09985306382595031,-0.02136160052183526,0.00967483240251801,-0.022525223422032132,-0.2773848376370837,-0.5237119249101636,0.10343483942375586,0.16822812287352848,-0.04935593889815945,0.15790705873031555,-0.17252174118753308,-0.10263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x_a{25}=[-0.062334274080168235,-2.719858438437006,24.025487939286897];
std_x_a{25}=[1.8001569140883396,2.15530091082561,1.5594128238516287];
pred_a{25}=[-0.062334274080168235];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.4 to 2.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{26}=[-1.8061196227323324,-3.135035063191024,19.098465596563322];
std_x_f{26}=[2.226904172503586,2.777386373087786,1.9229093034867215];
pred_f{26}=[-1.8061196227323324];
obs{26}=[-2.091651034347971];
sqrt_r{26}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{26}=[5.959474687848915];
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k{26}=[0.8321999752698085;1.022622662750718;0.006233435504868505];
x_a{26}=[-2.04373885641762,-3.42702595563638,19.0966857549244];
L_a{26}=[0.009699314703888663,-0.013345210906256347,0.012356671546372804,-0.09459514874292764,0.00632548093187987,0.07634025220585322,0.08886821257555395,0.10174056280450464,-0.09229894941880681,0.08691691778197118,-0.07423623305492524,0.09503917088773235,0.0044845361614565486,0.06188947233502531,-0.10173893373066936,0.05084248147720048,0.05296885898081669,-0.03483422709273482,0.040825131014148267,0.100915681107763,0.07664141724096128,0.02803153893763067,0.007696742870264247,-0.09867793177104296,0.0841046859115331,-0.049102220025914085,0.004730871472465409,0.07753212021227628,0.10268210758381958,0.062384210503059694,0.09988643342963556,-0.06397394301333446,0.037142937889860075,-0.026449322415365354,0.08920584265115566,-0.03506106817288677,-0.020010913112659238,-0.27777066052248695,0.0379702695747202,0.07659591988138656,0.0754823269599844,0.10097076063318257,0.03237467843141911,-0.09688069899320936,0.01912037438782096,0.09715310484594976,-0.09699825206289485,-0.08289005063459406,-0.013532250221665529,0.049401714842906605,0.055260410024945195,-0.05558544399309526,-0.030515782647499635,0.10100256832272918,0.06176065276747501,0.10162871212356017,0.0660254539016775,0.018803157623085518,-0.0391392106247539,-0.003778751369354371,-0.07392557738852334,-0.09040149557272006,0.011514268302611775,0.08373156919860628,-0.08862277111422392,0.04215132280286609,0.08471609793397938,-0.01134680486140438,0.08071217536337075,0.023624314137152432,0.04275458884061077,0.005920531411107289,0.08739169339832538,0.07654636269637322,-0.032653088518166666,-0.0955423924969076,0.0865359546503797,0.0822296642474983,0.06192276449393868,0.011478757805835392,0.10191193425735243,-0.4216320041013275,0.07279212302114912,0.03923805131034479,-0.00804059953957309,-0.009502012973169006,-0.01701512949217008,-0.08328920232344715,-0.1472327578818915,-0.09639093034412041,-0.0993330194781038,-0.027028840332211816,-0.08438632187501649,0.08998215957271101,-0.7362408862648022,-0.019598091291672993,0.008507767835636516,-0.061055273817487585,0.07820234427171481,0.07998619910478;-0.001126383115542686,-0.0229326244426753,7.987695838451597E-4,-0.09445256051854596,0.024904599993547067,0.077151700637298,0.09496909730584102,0.11674774062154337,-0.092441315366992,0.09185526568357047,-0.07818903574878529,0.1143357393679102,0.02282555073110086,0.05790612868367592,-0.09970618631175066,0.04389298802871147,0.046025496421747476,-0.044159430305391746,0.032050493308965214,0.1157356014081239,0.07721578964691946,0.04419951388297666,0.025938928881876745,-0.09750498139572975,0.08791576713885739,-0.05620717462085293,-0.00686942311948323,0.07953425035274209,0.11913995202612811,0.057822459001859464,0.11935105708033876,-0.06845183251453196,0.027987380451075836,-0.03463971118358818,0.10682399100789754,-0.043755077345198144,0.003197979582128841,-0.16078349067884862,0.028633993557497527,0.07790178115677371,0.09121643222728076,0.11583651378318127,0.04725636748797403,-0.09623291667461377,0.008094523045414153,0.11588597859161931,-0.09549261902265618,-0.08375571541341365,-0.023087195418245898,0.0419406116080014,0.04935465845787565,-0.022287842937701273,-0.04023852174156723,0.1194443421226258,0.05735542086053412,0.11752938863803943,0.062324522168240866,0.007836872882040866,-0.047468074772937775,0.016141833032032732,-0.07795632004232356,-0.08979506811244023,-4.885800971759826E-4,0.0874764033316579,-0.0893987958688866,0.03357049469566614,0.08927844598741871,-0.022002220514892343,0.08370138731247652,0.012601415308042749,0.057466062761982836,-0.005488603462083299,0.10501736946790466,0.07728318089915588,-0.04232041504116097,-0.09507241791255464,0.10411483452885537,0.08500596014731479,0.07738177659336896,-4.6652550304913856E-4,0.11776777936424461,-0.28580886766728075,0.0720078664019056,0.03045827657472883,-0.01726886086338741,-0.018990362242469663,-0.028009181557528566,-0.08523997196228149,-0.07984927445357036,-0.09479155004813228,-0.09791422546007664,-0.03742947731136856,-0.0853451514681785,0.09721044712785504,-1.2283669892444053,-0.030741920867034176,-0.0032086165421634804,-0.025570129639132872,0.07959989893481113,0.09628455864542246;0.0019590649485827292,-0.05261689049020476,0.006884606602827108,-0.1529196379564708,-0.21423612723065863,0.15761722242465753,0.18092135552614544,0.17967986655017976,-0.15149137205988708,0.17861509754550386,-0.1325526995257721,0.08355301896362662,-0.21833401616909803,0.12410270891615441,-0.1602172259300232,0.09501039202464602,0.10117234506116216,-0.0791476700488183,0.07065113397051986,0.18493992646516821,0.15761878366879642,-0.16280570091957158,-0.21254294199256027,-0.15605137425553706,0.1737129616112789,-0.10426992024577669,-0.008095516369881787,0.16014490351406507,0.17919028614428173,0.12474174574289541,0.11434547247442257,-0.12580197384901415,0.06211560876270067,-0.07524940641184401,0.05156391755825417,-0.08027418328803881,-0.2659882557651884,-0.36802272102990086,0.06630845182163807,0.15661524600781423,-0.011188861224467042,0.180731239678778,-0.14971141796673704,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x_a{26}=[-2.043738856417621,-3.4270259556363807,19.0966857549244];
std_x_a{26}=[1.1191356838632611,1.4552668856935729,1.922855015333476];
pred_a{26}=[-2.043738856417621];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.5 to 2.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{27}=[-3.7263582668775928,-5.947892372251923,15.958467301014277];
std_x_f{27}=[1.3603995457427305,1.848758601388566,2.102404015094544];
pred_f{27}=[-3.7263582668775928];
obs{27}=[-3.934512913192146];
sqrt_r{27}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{27}=[2.850694126040877];
L_f{27}=[0.0026836512160584836,-0.03191157228951352,0.005655245033129351,-0.14663105862512354,1.8223320049533747E-4,0.11020999374159372,0.13103634500492944,0.15348783468849334,-0.1425689343994621,0.1272822656711025,-0.11916931818220472,0.14343647348547597,-0.002996535352423781,0.08538853331957949,-0.15538387622514438,0.06724414693547529,0.06964144319062388,-0.06412035308887036,0.050962231526308306,0.15292255997353427,0.10981527469101851,0.03355484526263894,0.0022410070597317006,-0.15107294199297952,0.12297458584111474,-0.08406882853737309,-0.0054799528343551975,0.11241127843993921,0.1562923945655038,0.08596492884119541,0.15096302019144311,-0.1047151397971527,0.044950711865942246,-0.0513147089764832,0.13223051533167793,-0.0633297330923739,-0.038869809783005936,-0.3481370601711176,0.04617561990052091,0.11050180371230961,0.10848248591921103,0.15246440602745212,0.03928023356728311,-0.14947274891404608,0.016801748015173836,0.14603391300886318,-0.14902851278038673,-0.13028205537480023,-0.03270445434028343,0.06455412328662737,0.07452086330117887,-0.08810930879368147,-0.057314602815510124,0.15282380508822999,0.0856092230594745,0.15375246998922265,0.09136597680280603,0.01639501150880446,-0.07001338811497357,-0.015508506832221087,-0.11851426163595613,-0.1400768837038276,0.005007801439293711,0.12217107352075984,-0.13835143803579827,0.05282398701906073,0.12388232720502405,-0.02932938609162426,0.1172556014627699,0.0235240657533499,0.0558639115041186,-0.0036546633541933615,0.12967022794424785,0.11048801471210923,-0.06098522425726276,-0.14737320352927766,0.1279875241149049,0.1191533706747327,0.08664534567355814,0.004519860712702702,0.154746470637341,-0.4773554026508302,0.10345879596714151,0.048182996164259695,-0.024101159477601785,-0.02641240946001091,-0.03803434183831041,-0.13126897519438266,-0.2051697793550913,-0.14783009697076524,-0.1525580570490618,-0.05283485212694287,-0.13245514505934017,0.13300920606410552,-0.6927459707387221,-0.041608379124367816,4.991804202835607E-4,-0.09542654386748198,0.11260599636827333,0.11650061521213566;-0.004911679220071018,-0.0630543118242852,-4.058207570192334E-4,-0.24367319430406775,-0.02965763341540476,0.17217961078282634,0.20521520765761503,0.24078923913782693,-0.23752229661488491,0.2002494936838398,-0.2015172092209553,0.2185130370508261,-0.03512422701512694,0.13170425043869127,-0.2576485960899283,0.10123698068850132,0.1062374092359551,-0.11353971660593597,0.07486776259744395,0.2398183058461758,0.17158324817276824,0.027685179532755313,-0.026116463368593384,-0.25117189369967313,0.19300361582024136,-0.1464237671677278,-0.018408037278531433,0.17605049048809931,0.244933561550219,0.13242629649045043,0.23244369830690717,-0.17970993470727648,0.06475465209528854,-0.09375398416699178,0.19984757060744007,-0.11343852880961797,-0.09559594745657662,-0.5498123139447267,0.06721317546726528,0.17259802156545195,0.1579693741794311,0.23898771369811678,0.03785668436090059,-0.24817933984831853,0.018562488607781744,0.22448253846813235,-0.24791922708734113,-0.21930692618264405,-0.06402663725779362,0.09718385574628648,0.11292933468235455,-0.17809730556033407,-0.1032976298565248,0.2370160653877364,0.13112525428276783,0.2405997708956222,0.1421558821224273,0.01739340439702005,-0.12407136577074307,-0.05542542110223149,-0.2007968558587834,-0.23451595096254801,-9.266927861560158E-4,0.1914959907465355,-0.2317401871018608,0.07828602815970366,0.19456572578931525,-0.05742723711993547,0.18399034829584832,0.02903469005844338,0.06666740810092531,-0.014995917869063412,0.19512856857715305,0.1724498159572159,-0.10902929041783023,-0.24528686209835168,0.1916363710641292,0.18608435234049353,0.11973158978463509,-0.0014520392791098579,0.2426049393428689,-0.6427969572850473,0.16096158496026283,0.07097363703506401,-0.05021633975786539,-0.053930894777062054,-0.07178396100055097,-0.22053940610582934,-0.36249568401671706,-0.24592239455969245,-0.2535470539090058,-0.0954555893539466,-0.22271316183643539,0.20881498272675153,-0.1778737524451652,-0.07775471247791751,-0.008776469086161968,-0.18894940271934674,0.17638210209385885,0.17231491207932345;-0.016383331710094116,-0.03610718062037073,-0.015082010324543755,-0.026388322657523448,-0.18198849423955046,0.044946702402366985,0.05508954525941134,0.04509772280509967,-0.028290962698929053,0.05484388971206813,-0.03292681147824356,-0.025119561221366923,-0.18341716162590074,0.03209269811287757,-0.024142439529465157,0.018541136201167003,0.02136360028788595,-0.03448729418002656,0.008980407642053004,0.049498129945718734,0.04616434063157252,-0.16183190737496467,-0.18200849717716658,-0.02435734672625516,0.0525689845737028,-0.03899983740141348,-0.01920324369936637,0.046788543014664355,0.043890253065524215,0.031327861156671244,-0.004095469530605398,-0.039508489823338856,0.0047213855899874094,-0.0404277212972029,-0.04548059878714799,-0.0358534928096949,-0.1967791241621659,0.009076863905815141,0.0074465615733526995,0.044585956516323105,-0.08287431419658894,0.04637439119430537,-0.15531354350745544,-0.0249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k{27}=[0.6492082434011158;0.7956096269315829;-0.4449274798838977];
x_a{27}=[-3.8614939791672445,-6.11350221275032,16.051081023225137];
L_a{27}=[-0.002909640643340029,0.034598835784192865,-0.006131471443821483,0.15897881408682057,-1.9757900115854188E-4,-0.11949074275149839,-0.14207087452334516,-0.16641299711212618,0.15457461965404365,-0.1380006653461374,0.12920452909350988,-0.15551521393442083,0.003248872654704675,-0.09257907493163121,0.1684687037119589,-0.07290675546040241,-0.07550592728137821,0.06951990791363101,-0.05525374506081832,-0.16580012079069673,-0.11906278453346252,-0.03638048825903458,-0.0024297215614270482,0.1637947470600601,-0.13333023714860265,0.09114823822358933,0.005941417943962248,-0.12187739694394427,-0.16945372809683842,-0.09320400853935848,-0.16367556877808903,0.11353316887964307,-0.048735997215131936,0.05563590452653169,-0.1433656055588039,0.06866271005517686,0.04214302427482987,0.3774535728284887,-0.05006405437115774,-0.11980712594833341,-0.1176177620371584,-0.1653033858444971,-0.04258800971726765,0.16205980222378805,-0.01821661794631744,-0.1583313830254866,0.16157815710463055,0.1412530664000165,0.035458486183799535,-0.06999020576370611,-0.08079624182920281,0.09552896605514201,0.062141047544109894,-0.16569304978747146,-0.09281834888531215,-0.16669991726853725,-0.09905987705598787,-0.017775630286303638,0.07590919357116131,0.01681447332892287,0.12849431044093462,0.15187271415086448,-0.005429506827994665,-0.13245906130774077,0.1500019692442491,-0.05727227839974825,-0.13431441912808892,0.031799204496379546,-0.12712965888929412,-0.02550501995303192,-0.06056819397233887,0.003962421409107089,-0.14058971717341276,-0.11979217578075065,0.06612077086632483,0.159783454780609,-0.13876531338231565,-0.1291872386514349,-0.09394172305978817,-0.004900476765841036,-0.167777622399504,0.5175533514041141,-0.11217102872971,-0.05224047116053066,0.026130710558820026,0.028636590177414104,0.041237201836523595,0.14232309442809685,0.22244706213106774,0.1602788230755172,0.16540492318926653,0.05728405845495778,0.14360915128538634,-0.14420986959360327,0.7510818916818189,0.04511220768158227,-5.412162469271575E-4,0.10346238319974126,-0.12208851200795755,-0.12631109548326608;-0.01176630082232019,0.018454697792362966,-0.014850531209010923,0.1308540229431256,-0.030123096149640552,-0.10932038421071343,-0.12947976156039165,-0.15125165687824557,0.1266293828941624,-0.1248567506118565,0.10286682468370968,-0.147854523614536,-0.027470432127133078,-0.08639640346685111,0.1392351972438435,-0.07051901332837524,-0.07164179430949302,0.050237436996141534,-0.055300722423540206,-0.1507787571378029,-0.10890854958757584,-0.05802110220054084,-0.03184047672417046,0.13470084769975926,-0.12109988898325923,0.06830607727696761,-0.004411060751586651,-0.11107205841844153,-0.1542707827570183,-0.08714659537592206,-0.15314827920232182,0.08775502312368876,-0.05005912055483417,0.03731480396708589,-0.13789756610979764,0.0483192115115064,0.0036858952134361835,0.3394045108471745,-0.05072927538975293,-0.10964731876844062,-0.1191181948004367,-0.15043912570495135,-0.06247346880525617,0.1336061647369588,-0.02435278451385301,-0.14851944061978994,0.13273160299923073,0.113461425313172,0.019507563412265543,-0.067701240106321,-0.07741295583062507,0.04695279327607383,0.043096175803712354,-0.15332875640853366,-0.08753908861835906,-0.15211706051706297,-0.09121244627865799,-0.02448297632820346,0.054757864998078144,-0.01581336372508002,0.10191402293327159,0.12327049582550295,-0.013717693241115785,-0.120555171011855,0.12163910085764744,-0.056637780258882844,-0.12185634542291765,0.017486314343591124,-0.11550564207799974,-0.03105082639047489,-0.07602102036954995,-0.005661122711369466,-0.1360770442523199,-0.10976030430855388,0.046740070783215966,0.1311359526324395,-0.13527125477292745,-0.1182589482048714,-0.10157923281198204,-0.012996734318114551,-0.15265078321724654,0.5764712678036359,-0.10329440089047047,-0.052096083945184335,0.01134319801137528,0.013532071859096412,0.025363917096335523,0.11474975058051112,0.16155199896111747,0.1316674241525425,0.13611899031768374,0.039495970883786057,0.11560572745137784,-0.13091909736883228,1.5915482452728895,0.028522024481721763,-0.010051483093876856,0.05479048609628029,-0.11123779822329638,-0.12525268125394373;-0.012550032800918574,-0.0816893317268537,-0.007004118351512553,-0.235834570260624,-0.1817281942704284,0.20236948754744424,0.24226046947045246,0.2643381165501791,-0.23193491517888198,0.23665252685346105,-0.203147000548107,0.1797635748798355,-0.1876973809140925,0.15406077267913443,-0.24609111887839122,0.11459196186501251,0.12083869847449544,-0.12607612587348305,0.0817743181733438,0.26793109128852866,0.20302331327488105,-0.11390252259755491,-0.17880746648207446,-0.24014833337994484,0.22822457757338213,-0.15908285966586824,-0.02703075015645326,0.20735561985549536,0.2671366503675982,0.15411925296737536,0.21153850598862642,-0.1890824839238624,0.06892850525267423,-0.11372510687665942,0.14339606564210947,-0.12631301129284783,-0.2523003478403669,-0.4881984172529489,0.07340332686982975,0.2024255599259112,0.07208091711306167,0.26415293030398707,-0.09920607485257682,-0.23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x_a{27}=[-3.8614939791672427,-6.113502212750324,16.05108102322513];
std_x_a{27}=[1.4749583648533575,1.9762656331765425,2.138405084420176];
pred_a{27}=[-3.8614939791672427];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.6 to 2.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{28}=[-7.099241275832186,-11.433890611855869,16.87611971203409];
std_x_f{28}=[2.081244450058733,2.879031495577276,2.9686206052583364];
pred_f{28}=[-7.099241275832186];
obs{28}=[-7.4929326113818515];
sqrt_r{28}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{28}=[5.331999446186569];
L_f{28}=[-0.020517925974477737,0.014629293966068177,-0.023839530776305563,0.16492055251951981,-0.0594655817388314,-0.11754884620448962,-0.13473047103748612,-0.15688434013784788,0.1589137386683706,-0.13093549636934432,0.12554095585662287,-0.1670528448721169,-0.05624553913247742,-0.09676469536776756,0.1769218493251919,-0.08181143901075512,-0.08278856035411351,0.05453522272778366,-0.06674543643118235,-0.15669050723699807,-0.11668603973435315,-0.09189355766262902,-0.061952187395082944,0.17118653459327504,-0.1279717516370738,0.07866002642667194,-0.011751036353984256,-0.11903783173920503,-0.1605899278087966,-0.09749670870888978,-0.16767982558634983,0.10478929753909004,-0.062019029232678054,0.03741663598935863,-0.161682812474515,0.05285521290733672,-0.017503459920490346,0.4865103655892484,-0.06203528974950928,-0.1181556047620474,-0.1487995227406119,-0.15668768286437101,-0.09626963645711813,0.16908999658925658,-0.035025864831345344,-0.16525754110788549,0.1680147285395927,0.14062030474337195,0.015551453413694809,-0.07887039413584898,-0.08868885865286573,0.04226758863268816,0.04594352029022687,-0.16537605349952875,-0.09819679891474804,-0.15815741287976828,-0.10053520790226812,-0.03480530503510192,0.061055166425209986,-0.04196573953050261,0.12451840560306944,0.1545888529561662,-0.02222436254748269,-0.12703467525376952,0.15223035305983024,-0.06838155789474984,-0.12857707150791195,0.01343875839350713,-0.12299827272255735,-0.04150046738065132,-0.1110888963018415,-0.013787044470491904,-0.16057666444218016,-0.11752671174852025,0.05036968002312392,0.16595095366960644,-0.16060685721935708,-0.1251681506585906,-0.13475234042132844,-0.02157294645801298,-0.15828313153020435,0.7932216952254894,-0.11205967302536383,-0.0634765237367834,0.0058449959727468,0.008588285378868438,0.0231395043460115,0.14239748119924647,0.21563801202963784,0.16611932200399168,0.17289090016431868,0.04122011263111097,0.1436843515855196,-0.13621760937646657,1.4888201722282628,0.027536944816591028,-0.017538431853634733,0.053009590761421,-0.11887473147251193,-0.15327240080692064;-0.05004579644086856,-0.020449087043695566,-0.05253819943851578,0.17050210983903277,-0.15251552331204812,-0.10381517464695027,-0.10925931653745102,-0.1253863954890102,0.16192392670212855,-0.1069408969332564,0.11607593892303397,-0.16679958310716259,-0.14924240662412913,-0.0956821710010765,0.18767811564550838,-0.09089304171876904,-0.09009485592323861,0.026571129033804767,-0.08249583674377402,-0.12352418215048837,-0.10245743924215865,-0.1752035215073995,-0.15492080674910141,0.17942716547579327,-0.1061725090188366,0.053612183915193797,-0.04280053268844145,-0.10412670679754225,-0.12722590362189684,-0.09685007072540269,-0.15577821224776678,0.08637098056949975,-0.0800696468179881,0.0039944895227351325,-0.17393926076229274,0.023360010929014092,-0.11162412765835748,0.6859244650633797,-0.07899100040715942,-0.1042961609185577,-0.18491029990291136,-0.12444897599837076,-0.17638801472048032,0.1766600464134975,-0.06158997303305853,-0.1595368978994012,0.17430870169128718,0.135153407524856,-0.01999076710866198,-0.08827326107845265,-0.09421101962733529,-0.043007867290771155,0.015421632938315485,-0.14649350125962027,-0.0973859944497744,-0.12689586282632434,-0.09602202266080559,-0.06204975924131425,0.032376857055842416,-0.13644348049737942,0.11442625430664398,0.15508743885049123,-0.05139540749362802,-0.105516764001868,0.15183313432109113,-0.08283545574915602,-0.10663715512212406,-0.01911999434177721,-0.10417913237826514,-0.06622255725413238,-0.18414055082909694,-0.04349230966567418,-0.17580253552068478,-0.10312262307588499,0.02076625062482035,0.17207351033978402,-0.17855960474855573,-0.10614622300290791,-0.18960623065709373,-0.05034700290624864,-0.12478004751020311,1.2557840167562357,-0.10149303504055919,-0.08008764326567708,-0.028869702449299803,-0.026588642513786995,-0.008600621779221069,0.13878303368708503,0.21154224570618999,0.17174412133845457,0.18163748280790246,0.011125353853269578,0.13927279891518987,-0.10975709591998743,2.21129301254629,-0.003954710773689542,-0.047473614590204646,-0.028880078870416954,-0.10345891853820473,-0.18187609343003144;-0.023715809575601876,-0.11997089838157657,-0.01500914154687001,-0.395431256374829,-0.10764209443291951,0.27547202971739915,0.3322129208460839,0.38277025362780387,-0.38679194926613014,0.32206693420323557,-0.3329928610401375,0.32984563647333787,-0.11662012872047961,0.20777975571430424,-0.4141988438946705,0.15540162342552807,0.16252685184966417,-0.19991622200344258,0.11041621044305218,0.38461745810050413,0.27495601210637827,-0.011842225934296905,-0.10233834292343018,-0.404547110489598,0.3111196808728947,-0.2512341298604706,-0.04488147226626049,0.2815331776866604,0.38990904782716496,0.2085929905755726,0.35701433236126345,-0.3015379263252002,0.09345586112304227,-0.17101187966121417,0.29164324153461957,-0.19810847718022467,-0.21604044473594297,-0.7944006115227518,0.09716379457241152,0.27585883631330094,0.21649239960902625,0.3819965418036808,0.006301636146499176,-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k{28}=[0.8124530937985757;1.099707854337383;-0.4725827983873656];
x_a{28}=[-7.419097019401205,-11.86683606574441,17.06217146508901];
L_a{28}=[0.011240380124267951,-0.008014398011416464,0.013060062125342485,-0.0903487858826274,0.0325771593038515,0.06439704072190974,0.07380968771730678,0.08594629013126852,-0.0870580599531833,0.07173067847022463,-0.06877537557878335,0.09151692425144119,0.030813116341771207,0.053010814050876785,-0.09692348247953116,0.04481893901645469,0.045354237532520277,-0.029876149976581983,0.03656529797309332,0.08584010223055913,0.06392436757209537,0.0503422480607509,0.033939401902357086,-0.09378149250455771,0.07010704373134029,-0.04309249378911737,0.006437595867982852,0.06521275491400487,0.0879763303047772,0.053411834515639404,0.09186040446319996,-0.057406949355385026,0.033976020011990106,-0.020498037277983713,0.08857504769414364,-0.028955786533521554,0.009588958613113787,-0.2665260343770637,0.03398492804638032,0.06472944258548417,0.08151716698825365,0.08583855494834458,0.05273960484841991,-0.09263294151848528,0.019188295901607155,0.09053339907576818,-0.0920438750783036,-0.07703632815870552,-0.008519586632304446,0.04320773998992552,0.04858661081464654,-0.02315554524168678,-0.02516933889670635,0.09059832397768883,0.053795366459604435,0.08664372034730634,0.055076422153948444,0.019067466147518315,-0.03344798494855033,0.022990182589879005,-0.06821518964379145,-0.08468874838340462,0.012175220992803451,0.06959368313305588,-0.08339668624267757,0.03746161796190941,0.07043865743603236,-0.00736218431283535,0.06738241193333427,0.022735291533537944,0.06085807228134633,0.007552986633799386,0.08796906420572374,0.06438491475463347,-0.027594131634060947,-0.09091327279138554,0.08798560478067774,0.06857114089427391,0.07382166846954118,0.011818354296149507,0.08671259306969412,-0.43455237085080867,0.06138989501049342,0.03477448240412227,-0.003202076888288498,-0.004704939105163623,-0.01267656511968376,-0.07800992261151611,-0.11813344231135381,-0.09100551038312542,-0.09471519881157306,-0.022581704179806598,-0.07871491162114441,0.07462438995613431,-0.815623601203176,-0.015085624520942935,0.00960811736350173,-0.029040359689932998,0.06512340333927555,0.08396755353206639;-0.00705887335100455,-0.05109878991135385,-0.0025922118540872684,-0.17502146383566575,-0.027929715181105368,0.14246036106655952,0.17301328760167095,0.20330058154261388,-0.17101482502927634,0.16738088974067336,-0.14694379419957876,0.1831913371931262,-0.03140288094091574,0.10704867629618388,-0.18298926756460715,0.08050937200477223,0.08335471598230702,-0.08768512805591828,0.05734192980415174,0.20475669730521695,0.14201043835720573,0.01732184877666807,-0.02512533336090702,-0.17922421116602974,0.16193996258969248,-0.1111877335060933,-0.01818104158572156,0.14526838918450316,0.20922461697704314,0.10741441117190041,0.19552628973592856,-0.1331721389230342,0.04986586630597025,-0.07439676968917143,0.16480095271933728,-0.08737647262065429,-0.07495278542110749,-0.3333590479983716,0.05097857998009291,0.14325058921888048,0.12683824855250644,0.20382598613951952,0.025305639083465344,-0.17759889221846828,0.011792402921211888,0.18669269755099988,-0.17769745247262958,-0.15945893450209814,-0.05257247798244414,0.07696739584770597,0.09160021444090724,-0.13156231397351487,-0.08083422526344668,0.19998438844192026,0.10834524017256686,0.2044583175138995,0.114608391704372,0.010870523857682765,-0.09553927572600193,-0.048521435167313116,-0.1464511429307677,-0.16879028352959236,-0.004833344410923619,0.16063244726209516,-0.1671033160328938,0.0604301342350926,0.16274351673066229,-0.04727541678571941,0.15351344806517644,0.020724700558599575,0.04860080165483445,-0.014607196178727048,0.16062019711755343,0.1431065389370092,-0.08476281522269391,-0.17560884756318282,0.15792638450694468,0.15609244928561994,0.09271219183240223,-0.005149715842931583,0.20683752484946652,-0.40608765820176607,0.1332821830691376,0.05290145355040513,-0.041115501203694955,-0.04458188235266973,-0.05707999025422542,-0.15955265482824332,-0.24023902350687215,-0.1762909835551191,-0.18058469488908543,-0.0752345352326545,-0.16175900022994383,0.17563119844441633,-0.9079208065221548,-0.06164711742497914,-0.010729002968795072,-0.13993999808061722,0.1455944675347108,0.13924354183337662;-0.0421887888561864,-0.10679965267862708,-0.036472673418335266,-0.24694773258079653,-0.1611809589719459,0.1696388474019328,0.210910543450105,0.24152200229774345,-0.2437165621401298,0.2041813002199261,-0.2199641134323681,0.17944233811248325,-0.16725988053126145,0.12065924388263372,-0.25491014868579004,0.08174403154024773,0.08798952473417973,-0.1508163256120846,0.05032304772278012,0.24354372105447686,0.16989964349351622,-0.09457708855308763,-0.15811598222088263,-0.25042211215447235,0.19590240601614947,-0.18041386078465751,-0.055461325773996414,0.17435941158284765,0.24532453120630543,0.12081342249716007,0.20604654216250312,-0.20719259509267213,0.03761804186965714,-0.13732442303229506,0.1460747640684485,-0.15052115017053383,-0.23179939877700728,-0.3563789559958233,0.04131133542847959,0.16947936884815518,0.08252318147424184,0.24092534763538334,-0.08037315748682745,-0.248820650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x_a{28}=[-7.419097019401204,-11.86683606574441,17.06217146508901];
std_x_a{28}=[1.1401726850600242,1.6542240793777425,2.790281508136423];
pred_a{28}=[-7.419097019401204];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.7 to 2.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{29}=[-12.399287829365365,-16.754745459198006,26.632343439776182];
std_x_f{29}=[1.5104172088050207,2.5848237091883783,2.5856405758573677];
pred_f{29}=[-12.399287829365365];
obs{29}=[-12.826352379231338];
sqrt_r{29}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{29}=[3.281640182617633];
L_f{29}=[-0.01673433486228509,-0.06662273547800192,-0.011781358654203919,-0.20685391730386601,-0.05082441883966489,0.14533479798791138,0.1772720410336774,0.20728906791220134,-0.20260095924246016,0.17161125241509476,-0.17582425669396126,0.1836483870494232,-0.054594932970989725,0.10799067135819619,-0.21563407566293968,0.07997253923816833,0.08284755483435653,-0.10832438523662413,0.05480287007543957,0.2088082944648925,0.14534548230169422,0.001188295343030758,-0.04818148912728013,-0.2114299888486698,0.1657327643697324,-0.13426258189563872,-0.02840141450171415,0.14875376674818053,0.21296789171958522,0.10857282916094417,0.19788580447395485,-0.1597732288794605,0.04613636704360674,-0.09322567011973197,0.16315404851667223,-0.10760859420595596,-0.1062095770643582,-0.382066478650122,0.047553169550313495,0.1459363276580442,0.12206604291638783,0.2076282319711248,0.01088677719793662,-0.20989395983341994,0.0040209744290930945,0.18816591501302002,-0.20977881450836333,-0.1896587280486821,-0.0678691461121841,0.07601558225139658,0.09168266650460882,-0.1731723799057385,-0.09946608964750824,0.20243806011790702,0.1091566098219192,0.2082720733311516,0.11638149876288147,0.0036426437224415867,-0.11665746475454883,-0.07382634438457267,-0.17452190368435394,-0.19990948583895868,-0.013589282813895523,0.16405704987802613,-0.19776893690403577,0.05789357521473437,0.16596315526666333,-0.06210358507929894,0.1568973590836151,0.014235130094145367,0.03620031983168677,-0.024558091340288354,0.15928310902140838,0.14607213800296157,-0.10434865231357955,-0.20742535518363145,0.15629802781205668,0.1595175634557516,0.08549294735944384,-0.01434545109798162,0.21075651331384107,-0.34100731023402275,0.13580223260677543,0.049756776126896655,-0.05614736419116201,-0.05928644968240365,-0.07358435599605767,-0.18975825981976555,-0.30228972492153555,-0.20780665591081454,-0.21306911153958377,-0.09380103713676871,-0.1917206905296381,0.17992821567859735,0.22291614460969425,-0.07831599888060964,-0.019916054170812655,-0.18358976020085707,0.1499134043425527,0.13599588190911227;-0.05428151511129042,-0.11886880676783139,-0.04894034265148479,-0.24963145977538245,-0.14913220580860198,0.17179302715226882,0.21960374460465937,0.2598759518464656,-0.24680642341435644,0.21124355341415102,-0.22752010408203988,0.20674407110047488,-0.1558737984003265,0.11790747154038074,-0.25609308447218987,0.07589050886709439,0.08146180700477737,-0.16295252341404454,0.04145849729720589,0.26192771193654457,0.1720850184275867,-0.07975281046151217,-0.146032627607562,-0.25228477473010724,0.2020670298034666,-0.19081593446244147,-0.06921982767709482,0.1768010500297768,0.2663893719018096,0.11827610774998318,0.23230240376550854,-0.21556884919589833,0.028918622794657185,-0.14951031268694623,0.17240655735560986,-0.16255499962791792,-0.21985523268743887,-0.2802838413320391,0.03225757531316756,0.17224826829085352,0.1057875636969896,0.25975073001741816,-0.06570684874384772,-0.251142481532863,-0.027985805939396684,0.21700284705749714,-0.2526229286363483,-0.23858977944051202,-0.12076785206764339,0.07110047223310607,0.09286438591351168,-0.29466257842219407,-0.15385286910864013,0.24380088588753734,0.11852313867949317,0.2603863819346144,0.13083458158341435,-0.028752299937002315,-0.17322883182799215,-0.17895693688191078,-0.22539099129827542,-0.24561800167955986,-0.049903409088700466,0.20045968616755178,-0.2436859139313959,0.04645120046597517,0.20300271160838312,-0.11209078904869835,0.18918265665590062,-0.01401056100864175,-0.028563817517829344,-0.0644667193238075,0.1660355514088298,0.1735036532757984,-0.15898749416212749,-0.24905276313151653,0.16008593479211633,0.19304407688045272,0.0465136032573034,-0.05071363105802414,0.2640798402962323,0.07670091440971218,0.1583140974032286,0.035096402826278815,-0.10686499867720216,-0.11051866969723323,-0.12536150689609005,-0.23747803547477384,-0.380688812565046,-0.25051135866622165,-0.25337342192186935,-0.14664910501453884,-0.24004788217805356,0.2226206594981054,1.8462283158922292,-0.12990308110174553,-0.05857241244722116,-0.3044153091467062,0.17857585551988758,0.1275128743820708;-0.021188345244095155,0.04119876000652825,-0.02682649049034301,0.27605071550229143,-0.044347841600374076,-0.18829252139239888,-0.21593568470070715,-0.24864225056322153,0.2681277637556299,-0.21117798825215045,0.21606235720027536,-0.254588439972806,-0.03965935270476086,-0.15372099136240838,0.293745449636718,-0.12726957659259178,-0.12896466577760093,0.10481265891985385,-0.10079464092156158,-0.24889462025658982,-0.18779323690185845,-0.10551285494598266,-0.048788700746402014,0.2854537255751818,-0.20662275200356628,0.1447107337230289,-0.0047753344033392335,-0.19108447037800358,-0.25500672011653686,-0.15473475642145965,-0.2587732353735231,0.18659558177701002,-0.09293486222215656,0.07939122903065383,-0.24330154628968206,0.1024799210227293,0.02818636176587168,0.6929941794581649,-0.09308289402174001,-0.1899929893768863,-0.21607528329572326,-0.2490517987145345,-0.11451199882775363,0.28294165612932426,-0.0462622307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k{29}=[0.6952743310199412;0.9001765046953705;-0.8278440058228742];
x_a{29}=[-12.696214848575762,-17.13917893297566,26.985886267482172];
L_a{29}=[0.014781734503536878,0.058849042751896334,0.010406682855969086,0.1827177304485223,0.04489410973110505,-0.12837680228475568,-0.15658753497072647,-0.1831021066914027,0.17896101723370192,-0.1515872600790652,0.15530868140981813,-0.16221987439043417,0.04822467167394557,-0.09539007352321995,0.1904733999048173,-0.07064116096161742,-0.07318071318081944,0.09568484890519137,-0.04840834620279352,-0.1844440664249334,-0.12838623992843812,-0.001049642332188391,0.04255956308545205,0.18675985552855343,-0.14639468742626172,0.11859651761920721,0.02508747268081808,-0.1313968379722264,-0.18811831238490176,-0.09590430382578059,-0.1747960374777266,0.14113052412927024,-0.0407530705109363,0.0823478863046975,-0.1441168620203707,0.09505257800452965,0.0938168013738373,0.33748609051893635,-0.04200455726977271,-0.1289081441010323,-0.10782309862544467,-0.18340169631437883,-0.009616483204345543,0.18540305388211784,-0.0035517979618253192,-0.16621028688783737,0.18530134397620757,0.16752891509374884,0.05995001935051899,-0.0671459107409351,-0.08098492387060927,0.15296623165354223,0.08786015944906775,-0.17881712555053547,-0.09641996762776905,-0.18397041279606938,-0.1028018400488555,-0.0032176117449076664,0.10304560569920289,0.06521211814154047,0.15415828991972788,0.17658359108552826,0.012003654301265052,-0.14491449912335183,0.17469280628241227,-0.05113842081727592,-0.14659819578787198,0.054857197128817224,-0.13859021738037539,-0.01257414264783218,-0.03197638394945118,0.02169259723156876,-0.14069759257410167,-0.12902810778515353,0.09217301356730402,0.1832224916531638,-0.13806081744851376,-0.1409046903303115,-0.07551743527257163,0.012671591145324998,-0.18616496265516516,0.30121779951977384,-0.11995651837379333,-0.04395104200510031,0.04959596167862381,0.05236877151524403,0.06499836551011492,0.16761683327077403,0.26701787036710295,0.18355930134184315,0.18820772164544458,0.08285611818591183,0.16935028308958336,-0.1589337810999777,-0.19690578043820645,0.06917790951115117,0.017592203546404367,0.16216808825627246,-0.13242116640723114,-0.12012757223386578;-0.013477441240413241,0.04358037584360463,-0.020213331223688614,0.2547496579450457,-0.02520476215190769,-0.18258328250752057,-0.21264656693187145,-0.24556621297942552,0.24720451728168005,-0.20720380516004575,0.20120001042945024,-0.24105396886350278,-0.02275254223707623,-0.14541099123261483,0.2696970843536449,-0.11911009471651592,-0.12054907513081684,0.10117964876892638,-0.09216978116721668,-0.24721885064359006,-0.18231734327027038,-0.08265028391094877,-0.028549557157641285,0.2632543820094528,-0.2020465496019725,0.1365624976562678,3.260601103402354E-5,-0.18591188340408735,-0.2528997218903722,-0.14646185631680933,-0.2502113650937005,0.17401332944683584,-0.08357773540981671,0.07780599008411825,-0.22541922435567563,0.09983182741096104,0.03912030855716363,0.6513258668949129,-0.08369343553330619,-0.18359477794960224,-0.191851504319475,-0.2465184336362455,-0.09225256237131672,0.26065130725978686,-0.03779032694294086,-0.2418104825046228,0.2588900961828204,0.22386354262109157,0.044720509095506636,-0.11425170692725431,-0.13068954243319422,0.127591346829095,0.08867972648147913,-0.24981285061923986,-0.14763828376857638,-0.24745268877731363,-0.15294360929208287,-0.03763432033153705,0.11122225921369158,0.0010571261015031252,0.20015353787640222,0.2418301995660137,-0.01676805567587202,-0.1995679239735709,0.2385428915279924,-0.09471328196799461,-0.20167264018029746,0.03933914790883157,-0.19338716060178887,-0.04872071260433779,-0.11683266935553113,-0.004585631642498629,-0.22235154615908875,-0.18267054537627356,0.09545047139609066,0.25672171701714436,-0.2210225063380454,-0.19591470137492864,-0.16194765727094546,-0.0157344788461047,-0.24981715105704105,0.9081942239321552,-0.17281853360474522,-0.08622776006198278,0.030041619659606812,0.034042120575641384,0.054062505023919225,0.22521797933638993,0.35639768460459414,0.2561928640247655,0.26616248066471165,0.08207014077513042,0.22743321481959042,-0.21610632095399315,1.3026819540846317,0.06105830636265981,-0.01001021070511587,0.14323977836177212,-0.1869646738987356,-0.20409194034295086;-0.05871366143593566,-0.10819703223447592,-0.0532451807046077,-0.1878015210059267,-0.1583172585458484,0.13760834607888314,0.18158172166803885,0.21618577400608355,-0.1861875776612528,0.17364558328206953,-0.17820851648147998,0.15722737755829233,-0.16208382544708302,0.08843886272408275,-0.18979554183846467,0.05206201000904286,0.05681389766483928,-0.13809552002738995,0.022096113011899652,0.2193401400584707,0.1381315892302418,-0.10284820416401387,-0.15683157361670275,-0.18865996040493935,0.16501881233123272,-0.1563616351418747,-0.06846307988250536,0.1424831424306308,0.22255558165730271,0.08873053679968727,0.1849687743252044,-0.17168223338763441,0.01052199910526995,-0.12965937126081514,0.12255746806321766,-0.13882315769351297,-0.20997954053862275,-0.16375725617619494,0.013551025879157987,0.13725675698658157,0.05764738894789473,0.21653677227963603,-0.09009933109852056,-0.18772761601831184,-0.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x_a{29}=[-12.69621484857576,-17.13917893297565,26.98588626748216];
std_x_a{29}=[1.3341782839811243,2.4173571148587536,2.4437098402440975];
pred_a{29}=[-12.69621484857576];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.8 to 2.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 2.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{30}=[-12.904283334411803,-8.28548089299902,37.05703454160491];
std_x_f{30}=[1.2335971409411266,2.540177082395649,2.4829952078151303];
pred_f{30}=[-12.904283334411803];
obs{30}=[-13.09414042203179];
sqrt_r{30}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{30}=[2.522841117169223];
L_f{30}=[-0.03285134747769941,-0.024780967145769103,-0.03340368870842729,0.04735414086022085,-0.06589021416577709,-0.027668990556543108,-0.022068275810159046,-0.019194411765597635,0.04388085652335843,-0.022766363867461493,0.024415681116419157,-0.03748634056167306,-0.06571904676124801,-0.032434530060898525,0.05413597816772371,-0.03552279534246552,-0.03436444407537156,-0.010019347020930542,-0.035983662440385214,-0.018775995183857825,-0.02764043948738957,-0.07069626010020512,-0.06669782346826128,0.05140422694138952,-0.02453798965223819,0.0012101786115435056,-0.030122239628782577,-0.026825421680920725,-0.01938204006855308,-0.03269651886459999,-0.030880434353698052,0.013624227147397375,-0.03670926612981739,-0.016691911297422864,-0.04497237650155287,-0.010128939673456534,-0.05463229084605248,0.2651182784472942,-0.03588088600877877,-0.027939501200066098,-0.056828614247805276,-0.0194541738321057,-0.07006381890008676,0.04984060259985406,-0.035138416638467236,-0.03391028612093834,0.048923702086612,0.03340049451751545,-0.024532517395060745,-0.03491555567891929,-0.03522567868750235,-0.028508485356511404,-0.013018988674951212,-0.026978085713852698,-0.032937594560339054,-0.019514614697170904,-0.030904466303889485,-0.034663507144985645,-0.00704964239715716,-0.06109180349918396,0.0239763511188099,0.04123065413964308,-0.03228286572643631,-0.02444226027184308,0.04014307947308381,-0.03577821441239379,-0.024102777468967846,-0.024931289905140003,-0.02586407918916397,-0.0349331056184581,-0.06994548827628892,-0.03082483556388078,-0.04580315573486568,-0.027132031788407077,-0.010830879905641196,0.048076003947011704,-0.0474128349575465,-0.02524786102558979,-0.06443207312935535,-0.03230182040978091,-0.018315245467202375,0.46352423387892033,-0.029316190411595576,-0.036154472346525815,-0.027839834427161366,-0.02661545756454718,-0.020929729027841616,0.03392308967408395,0.07736106075766311,0.047876369535633165,0.05220449253820835,-0.014849651780929014,0.03549537662706101,-0.02167420860768063,1.0493560810920304,-0.01988671020562172,-0.031063109551634837,-0.02338059912655206,-0.02713790268693762,-0.05294546545842364;-0.07177343909751095,-0.14129405853544472,-0.06406583468624448,-0.26893714814145453,-0.1579482091730571,0.19499375714635048,0.2528611697605705,0.30480137891898385,-0.26689887037244336,0.2424395652494253,-0.25139523952369863,0.2500948885695795,-0.1633424843104173,0.12896595005477898,-0.2729345435730534,0.08121115444452787,0.08675479533832336,-0.18899018220004146,0.03972825500674797,0.30748240046568714,0.19576495725705256,-0.07911460739492161,-0.15431495218294333,-0.2709587114318389,0.2316744513132378,-0.2161066629162038,-0.0866953708262394,0.201719052446752,0.3155987283486634,0.13001474589215542,0.28006363258829703,-0.23977932191379703,0.024941367354433353,-0.1737324427684467,0.20954906467860387,-0.18900698505376462,-0.23277329550031733,-0.21545524948242076,0.02779656872468923,0.19557538730428295,0.13056331915542238,0.3056118387695199,-0.061936354841397596,-0.26963857704614186,-0.04131264480463405,0.26160957634703474,-0.27113052001794674,-0.2607233366181089,-0.1422569797824908,0.07453473806082295,0.10035673457366591,-0.3062724584870638,-0.17906929598935237,0.29066404630305,0.13094769976918985,0.30721035793732987,0.1443383031499858,-0.04084864263635305,-0.19822770673871173,-0.18936433688410692,-0.25041745864973103,-0.2663605061828211,-0.06562000278836379,0.22886457252469172,-0.265248971511255,0.04481572172347787,0.23228554368000823,-0.13408604420068373,0.2160613018375535,-0.02527571539163623,-0.022165565917819995,-0.08171841382948251,0.20211129153508842,0.1967360773110381,-0.18438565377230395,-0.2691343183856756,0.19595062942059965,0.2201810294126729,0.0632449874595871,-0.0669660170000343,0.3114909537823965,0.11582468962593298,0.17809912205132014,0.032759012854913304,-0.12811883062221452,-0.13140320458011787,-0.14867045367286233,-0.2601638551525275,-0.3647469266905511,-0.2696504208183097,-0.27166759759702813,-0.17275971105235505,-0.26178950510856774,0.2578646361375676,1.5469012667295834,-0.15418115309761501,-0.07439953697450749,-0.3162558364577805,0.20312940435885599,0.15729603701034917;0.015674100401569864,-0.05966174087652305,0.023506257701720656,-0.3405672165594888,0.01619956056685533,0.21404084390352748,0.2447988910572607,0.27665171746125833,-0.33092457693884736,0.23930869885913794,-0.27005252974263727,0.2733395535703914,0.013092070914630887,0.17435881202113945,-0.360887925961436,0.14435808662821886,0.14590529894516532,-0.13503805972914948,0.11282017467364715,0.27832597124579445,0.21439768929030945,0.09152017791857718,0.020787847253555862,-0.35246436359124983,0.23426871526820553,-0.18327807308460234,-0.0013681265299606462,0.21766507058022241,0.2843673403359185,0.175529837620327,0.28191004130488756,-0.23416713483728943,0.10223442927524841,-0.1054654605705063,0.25776869578127265,-0.13447051133602053,-0.07189384868869157,-0.825282310469977,0.10297368179902416,0.2152544387479931,0.22290901715386766,0.27832547628734033,0.104313505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k{30}=[0.6036214911852796;0.5207368642099849;-0.6221818363063475];
x_a{30}=[-13.018885152753073,-8.384346477454294,37.17516017301609];
L_a{30}=[0.045432676341657485,0.034271521450718136,0.046196551868615356,-0.06548971413121285,0.0911246875431329,0.03826559301742934,0.030519930209316294,0.02654544072832561,-0.060686239837613676,0.031485370326709644,-0.0337663390695435,0.05184276776250238,0.09088796686385217,0.04485622720805843,-0.07486884293567704,0.049127228788430656,0.04752525498070325,0.013856532084892223,0.049764597642494204,0.02596677998550309,0.03822610752950714,0.09777134121754402,0.0922415930848367,-0.07109089229312833,0.03393548902984447,-0.0016736498620391555,0.041658381430756716,0.037098956193047525,0.02680492646072967,0.04521855184426366,0.04270694772059975,-0.018842000402361437,0.05076809126164219,0.02308453873967473,0.062195787472560084,0.01400809626395728,0.07555523223200894,-0.3666526295498202,0.0496224601439975,0.03863970316686832,0.07859269820874487,0.02690468583696273,0.09689668923044932,-0.06892843491821721,0.048595641666677646,0.04689716472152098,-0.06766038208464907,-0.046192134374265635,0.03392792102097152,0.0482874299608653,0.04871632312223777,0.039426595486608304,0.018004969177178656,0.03731008712464534,0.04555195412146964,0.026988274196989147,0.04274018336841141,0.04793885249467866,0.009749497233618424,0.08448859327279372,-0.03315875554189333,-0.057021069414362066,0.04464647883700997,0.033803097445029615,-0.05551697805687006,0.04948046763025947,0.033333600347016865,0.0344794144535218,0.035769441100519994,0.04831170113340788,0.09673304063320502,0.04263005584197985,0.0633447365086412,0.03752299109103659,0.014978863852765702,-0.06648803458085105,0.06557088675065467,0.03491722520890336,0.08910811121203385,0.044672692738711835,0.025329573467093868,-0.6410436134661264,0.04054363345200896,0.05000082390952646,0.038501866256571975,0.03680858053192623,0.02894534555960057,-0.046914871748195724,-0.10698861096142612,-0.06621194466992801,-0.0721976416546976,0.020536735170672896,-0.049089309320332106,0.02997494411158568,-1.4512359114574442,0.027502873934948272,0.042959583419916035,0.032334843905923956,0.037531110411954983,0.07322239057511637;-0.004238770970661691,-0.09035020019940698,0.0046043175097220685,-0.36628615915532625,-0.022493377388347946,0.2518747144924548,0.2982283707249324,0.34426058921042474,-0.3571076231317816,0.2892418715867168,-0.3015881554279147,0.3271580157621918,-0.02823953257771786,0.1956437392991941,-0.3842254220297564,0.1542376930368928,0.15740003531118343,-0.1683927538490247,0.11370222829809142,0.3460814443665175,0.2525872202990263,0.0662203280112386,-0.017199865023430315,-0.3766337498502969,0.2821188048907859,-0.21859450640451986,-0.024771108573429183,0.2568658299667179,0.35544365843987535,0.19723112269140208,0.3435465654301126,-0.2677875386089837,0.1004070117070836,-0.13941778670633279,0.30200172659665275,-0.16818425990411567,-0.12046211454184158,-0.7604762706583069,0.10155925776948811,0.25301245110987164,0.2473896260805662,0.34560505896620064,0.08209842973871966,-0.3720991704238789,0.030923701293277414,0.3313211740469066,-0.3717061809158471,-0.32938692230646816,-0.09182387588268062,0.14631293427761588,0.17277247098503856,-0.24766569665916324,-0.1523053076900325,0.3461246652812987,0.1986596716765592,0.34732783038169224,0.20787064004689332,0.03041140088966703,-0.18373529482080916,-0.06377391240033758,-0.29970721508364406,-0.35112106420449396,7.460001434338042E-4,0.27911212894074316,-0.34777373100992703,0.11836734203836788,0.28183520304807613,-0.08283315751587204,0.269231784589668,0.04653855938611038,0.12162595864342456,-0.018349779063905326,0.2962718407733314,0.2525131733245593,-0.16211990408134255,-0.36796731065884053,0.2934203017372255,0.2720847120982457,0.1957022231474011,-5.610476833719971E-4,0.34914280429260613,-0.8370724578964047,0.23836633609892058,0.10708413126539731,-0.07088665833396768,-0.07668806405548348,-0.1056438379506399,-0.32990177395576054,-0.5237831296273228,-0.3680730115477235,-0.3789877944532386,-0.1422323086222079,-0.33475967725061967,0.3024217273261544,-0.6103288052347039,-0.1132987395289421,-0.010541066755539577,-0.26819080644065685,0.25891856956327275,0.2661395004629055;-0.06501702541924173,-0.12052999412787094,-0.058541556327236496,-0.22425360291297436,-0.1456432851556864,0.14607888283485437,0.19059368619451583,0.22950544147103635,-0.22314221832311917,0.18338881512959626,-0.21008151034067243,0.18126372548214992,-0.14833034485189114,0.09469149402575162,-0.22791642368957787,0.057105216698557636,0.06149762944149,-0.15964808194078348,0.024435299884514868,0.2322074310300514,0.14650585678835482,-0.08212751865395813,-0.14303868890619167,-0.2262027255666628,0.1739972755118115,-0.18030557173816592,-0.07535588089957089,0.15177512565419232,0.2367602023061229,0.09521900959730724,0.20605997105960847,-0.20070262542231815,0.0120672903449035,-0.14646496951316068,0.1473052911001979,-0.15934972051236032,-0.20608441903076113,-0.17408551015274024,0.01484125163122144,0.14662803588169843,0.08332372721698274,0.23054115969296074,-0.067780757176051,-0.22546544284808898,-0.04059535159409723,0.1911277801545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x_a{30}=[-13.018885152753088,-8.38434647745431,37.1751601730161];
std_x_a{30}=[1.706037162658789,2.737143322924339,2.763666154366404];
pred_a{30}=[-13.018885152753088];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 2.9 to 3.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{31}=[-6.554526509834484,-0.36397925057353114,31.84962202040427];
std_x_f{31}=[1.639812659649105,2.80681900385265,1.3875135609544706];
pred_f{31}=[-6.554526509834484];
obs{31}=[-6.547404998678991];
sqrt_r{31}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{31}=[3.6895028294385948];
L_f{31}=[-0.02274358575782075,-0.07522606975815607,-0.017091275937504837,-0.2249367571070527,-0.04640450811261069,0.14423290420690124,0.17488402609294473,0.20457749331193906,-0.22078369147438495,0.1687785118223515,-0.19315807005605082,0.18806917175191729,-0.04955222514095384,0.10664825576782364,-0.2335337091659702,0.07903937052792641,0.08107922001784272,-0.12081962321044364,0.053256270597101495,0.20599717146174762,0.14394323310583887,0.00982481786743726,-0.04355912459898667,-0.2301442099329173,0.1635762549219489,-0.14896275348201446,-0.03441928983662112,0.14750537407814598,0.21116211248114314,0.107544136898836,0.20031594594238214,-0.1757318042807323,0.043983281711266274,-0.10433998402749929,0.1696763307271616,-0.12087714964149249,-0.10706782728133318,-0.3527641728437516,0.044627716161920135,0.1443952365200131,0.1306302325004659,0.20561532991848336,0.020618273705854534,-0.22783872380200998,-6.84491849532149E-4,0.1918292478576541,-0.22802182200289203,-0.2075711130254827,-0.0756460379073213,0.07436088826164318,0.09074594222884645,-0.18109610492711362,-0.11138322451285895,0.2025590865788351,0.10817563275676675,0.20679813218551113,0.11493613314088955,-3.515265374607517E-4,-0.12990294631140112,-0.07155400254787811,-0.1924781266265743,-0.21825174175260503,-0.019118069621373763,0.16226806201855,-0.21615221956763206,0.05573425312555573,0.16300101153366517,-0.07063837405874722,0.15452199722832863,0.010130123178928797,0.046426058822528066,-0.030667923503474963,0.16557875072553585,0.1439753927454803,-0.11660132194496932,-0.2263755761689061,0.16379493181857718,0.15763937880379064,0.09588185034636504,-0.01929424899014031,0.20833519571187264,-0.2411243634037126,0.13436775618465158,0.04793897889288001,-0.06380469506001173,-0.06712917518791334,-0.08363984078818246,-0.20810524545930997,-0.3143153728804252,-0.22586161827313744,-0.23132153063857583,-0.10557915397135835,-0.20952597203092954,0.17744044890853414,0.6037410782052044,-0.08824342791173156,-0.02535115762290552,-0.19260386342459235,0.14817240427828077,0.14401543631912198;-0.0824371743430605,-0.13956886209163968,-0.07683551229013413,-0.21641430158108754,-0.15969222682226122,0.14496426508038096,0.19392751994831153,0.23787966953918008,-0.21733923178040998,0.1849710617533276,-0.21447258097916205,0.19274635635572754,-0.1629620703075734,0.08879197612166831,-0.21637233111637746,0.04772320483674593,0.052369868266811184,-0.1765974180407517,0.012222258590369742,0.24051855424903995,0.1457173300497632,-0.09147104505647675,-0.15645651698529386,-0.21665616925577175,0.17585389106147636,-0.1946594573532545,-0.09426542364511349,0.15143297168331124,0.2464783223016286,0.08980707725226433,0.21731947246360803,-0.20923885520505023,-6.026620928160825E-4,-0.165003230091993,0.15742399241556515,-0.17661734675055618,-0.22227757140192195,0.0016466900512724773,0.0023993252902597463,0.146087569765984,0.08963875890497916,0.2389839922331082,-0.0761823636437284,-0.21643827761419926,-0.05713859962190672,0.20152799151187833,-0.21703266935856586,-0.2178450503511267,-0.14022553780090757,0.042581070999409915,0.0637950519042704,-0.2778112987270567,-0.16881111858251785,0.2255665971346577,0.08994589174259993,0.23995214069129314,0.10177793839428788,-0.055859824156360385,-0.18300928139059358,-0.18509930553918916,-0.21328091591408777,-0.21858053630133908,-0.07767328337804932,0.1735534383322046,-0.21736496591962093,0.016613360193135016,0.17609258545513687,-0.13391257509999585,0.16154836995503197,-0.042010604920709106,-0.042280178863764104,-0.08994219108219381,0.15183865971894636,0.14671411032835344,-0.17165530386452396,-0.2166145887732587,0.14615893932550883,0.16690270753069075,0.03260694804497549,-0.0783732600581408,0.24446281930847255,0.44244812869065003,0.13029386707085888,0.005144842368374088,-0.129268995176496,-0.13221604855433983,-0.14460636061820767,-0.21800375800926952,-0.26981248483600623,-0.21710556180437607,-0.21708223801699925,-0.1644386788151041,-0.21685199143616982,0.19879963645555582,2.2319859982507455,-0.1494140530107963,-0.08370178622278569,-0.28433915683810995,0.15199645723255872,0.112711152636821;-0.03195273683737602,0.008419712490193328,-0.03528392432266671,0.1880995467878064,-0.05043742886509212,-0.1029061717314126,-0.1081180365210708,-0.11471887394820501,0.18150179749709583,-0.10717446689723568,0.14039098975222059,-0.1262014760662067,-0.0466825386557432,-0.09301236418045514,0.20237915579866747,-0.08420507376437389,-0.08477623954525484,0.05227349467640947,-0.07260078242225446,-0.11442539082045322,-0.10300535682860763,-0.08591862594367729,-0.052888259811200565,0.19670937761898788,-0.10695439584759847,0.08398224301509079,-0.02130330447517832,-0.10196806039499379,-0.11678702552012918,-0.09372482919975367,-0.12436306179200328,0.11687780398074259,-0.06956503291419174,0.03528860093507318,-0.12810934316183298,0.052419868926689824,-0.0012764789118321304,0.49895369584603655,-0.0694522001270811,-0.10309222049421152,-0.12617853763658907,-0.11496308838592494,-0.09034132534145468,0.1930895114418601,-0.045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k{31}=[0.7289607716191497;0.961943816444988;-0.4156220552317207];
x_a{31}=[-6.5493352075674816,-0.3571287569537609,31.846662163301467];
L_a{31}=[0.017497639917659253,0.05787472103409665,0.0131490696002048,0.17305373136915211,0.03570102718879103,-0.11096471106025012,-0.13454596599274668,-0.15739045510880975,0.1698585954847487,-0.12984872557707347,0.14860499100800625,-0.14468987792726917,0.038122704215057396,-0.0820491894788453,0.1796677443536521,-0.060808460879592685,-0.06237780672685008,0.09295184516789107,-0.040972389146907956,-0.15848267589267526,-0.1107418543535321,-0.007558664105632017,0.03351194862047786,0.17706005365295652,-0.12584640074704517,0.11460359194570031,0.026480272116970342,-0.11348236593042549,-0.1624562919757175,-0.08273843019956542,-0.1541118594573339,0.13519819900551386,-0.03383827132518287,0.08027333459939152,-0.1305394571123254,0.092996102779112,0.082371984280917,0.27139697926253104,-0.03433406306568273,-0.11108960044190154,-0.10049957799056718,-0.158188908414636,-0.01586254396603781,0.175286341865232,5.266096576512879E-4,-0.14758266969993636,0.1754272073568357,0.15969357829948716,0.0581978209854071,-0.057209098891194334,-0.06981484089697941,0.139325191209818,0.0856920089974655,-0.1558376061166016,-0.08322426771213827,-0.15909889017312487,-0.08842541772622084,2.7044481197854517E-4,0.09994004476705312,0.0550496383719755,0.1480818806497699,0.16791065530534716,0.014708371042174324,-0.12483995046210532,0.1662954006316568,-0.042878809993068354,-0.1254038407312067,0.05434520514092032,-0.11888056244293409,-0.00779354889742829,-0.03571760709690755,0.02359418115508011,-0.12738700876202105,-0.1107665961774611,0.0897065206445981,0.17416067809774016,-0.12601463849267827,-0.12127890107230443,-0.0737661206928499,0.014843913572205445,-0.1602814206852975,0.18550756820578157,-0.10337501919434118,-0.0368815629874652,0.04908775560301582,0.051645424249061864,0.06434780480376615,0.1601045098515726,0.24181662794114572,0.1737652677042885,0.1779658182054145,0.08122668248856399,0.16119753723240682,-0.13651273439860792,-0.4644845409348615,0.06788954666783147,0.019503759534878484,0.14817861549358682,-0.11399554157389888,-0.11079740345825029;-0.029334456457825106,0.036072252837160354,-0.03693005437015984,0.30877786828457016,-0.05134495347906226,-0.1917970224062915,-0.21439934632229818,-0.23977680155078046,0.2981561789638514,-0.20910038299721162,0.23652132168264256,-0.24636576416896924,-0.04726536969646098,-0.16021503180115892,0.3288923780893274,-0.1368213713643839,-0.136937437661495,0.10549751785291804,-0.11212280921254589,-0.2404526434227302,-0.19036762069199092,-0.11441045914200337,-0.054752769408357445,0.3206945890249725,-0.2060710969477987,0.15314528890770854,-0.01390176166733023,-0.19296902146037914,-0.24655220536178696,-0.16129167308380538,-0.2503869516051902,0.2010674406249395,-0.1032967502304821,0.07861432410378716,-0.23874371914715734,0.10561190436813898,0.027709070425243464,0.8252958960300888,-0.10179941656353526,-0.19105273829900157,-0.21536241626677755,-0.24109566511759056,-0.12432281007733774,0.3155295309020911,-0.05554041814043287,-0.24636331901373096,0.3153626448382388,0.26680105486235034,0.03639613711449126,-0.13103998036430067,-0.14808253946239724,0.14501980066335776,0.09125130127668625,-0.24737720971374588,-0.16262730271791337,-0.24288917507900704,-0.16657996778599754,-0.05503906463555676,0.12029379420570585,-0.018031893596337906,0.2361254251161482,0.29100316759040673,-0.03303557899737577,-0.20531712372030306,0.2873166818289294,-0.11351740950104011,-0.20448929915396916,0.031016987434949864,-0.19923634153477662,-0.06566285918885414,-0.1506777697462092,-0.01833738314767499,-0.2347618429983683,-0.18944592814535985,0.10059055790158133,0.311936998712078,-0.23627662505784006,-0.20116060268603445,-0.19126218602534426,-0.03332420438851793,-0.24196729955036386,1.0054358291099368,-0.1834338417224684,-0.106785180406486,0.019704995011493125,0.024520083110673507,0.050679594579669626,0.2678894629514302,0.4640647828381268,0.310246014326792,0.3230173800943256,0.08207214351531882,0.27235840400739847,-0.21549607751642974,0.8223449463495778,0.05662055857244781,-0.02451079560028151,0.1653607599626327,-0.19396294717054585,-0.22354238132247015;-0.05489655160965388,-0.06746862934632082,-0.05252566770946522,-0.03881749898921677,-0.09725047101559331,0.042596523992496985,0.06830562613410006,0.09165967001168913,-0.04122562006440834,0.0630899300200861,-0.054467597118266334,0.06352341107336404,-0.09667100957208956,0.014574796972532432,-0.03321052751872794,-0.004469859782709645,-0.0029832177333595526,-0.06960979520208305,-0.018875656531671104,0.09338532979145625,0.042205117600100935,-0.0760073127619229,-0.09683086838153367,-0.03546096613594623,0.05806194476094195,-0.06629194243012027,-0.056025613394000855,0.046835915231442836,0.09623410699958573,0.01476610020450278,0.07771641716857426,-0.06040110049582362,-0.025194533055206407,-0.06996996701286659,0.043060776840245764,-0.0695214538316018,-0.10928690538420201,0.1430838727580186,-0.024431592372792046,0.04257423667713428,0.005601731757371984,0.09246242904235738,-0.06954153335313214,-0.03675504924127328,-0.04660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x_a{31}=[-6.549335207567477,-0.3571287569537456,31.846662163301453];
std_x_a{31}=[1.2615799353931099,2.4439349912082786,1.2515552039343332];
pred_a{31}=[-6.549335207567477];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.0 to 3.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{32}=[-2.347341384380309,-0.007039540480305044,24.6297362928114];
std_x_f{32}=[1.729391104239993,2.2052142678310065,1.0662423190830213];
pred_f{32}=[-2.347341384380309];
obs{32}=[-2.379890151687933];
sqrt_r{32}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{32}=[3.9913356651434477];
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k{32}=[0.7494573035455139;0.9241428751891425;-0.13525777731127797];
x_a{32}=[-2.3717352957604114,-0.03711925188383496,24.634138766731652];
L_a{32}=[0.016498974072098545,-0.018944152972959604,0.020441722439447023,-0.16450955831566635,0.02559821146970369,0.09914575759807394,0.10964035625089491,0.1207817899115383,-0.15887155264415964,0.10747361389612943,-0.12647471565434626,0.12437804229768104,0.023070535876746855,0.08408007199305079,-0.17507725969668095,0.07269664829002952,0.07278354565275029,-0.0567755462266259,0.059597207621770315,0.12078367771281524,0.09859941203835673,0.05973857875556403,0.027522215370484004,-0.17090759766223237,0.1058558060896676,-0.08222328850718734,0.007935143070824408,0.09916698175143403,0.12398494241762965,0.0849831921985909,0.12606348857222915,-0.1078901074851831,0.055606672324371414,-0.04200072968345593,0.12148429819752404,-0.056948503425258035,-0.01777024672374454,-0.4118581516188683,0.05479964219705764,0.09903856193850545,0.11094222496340336,0.12133909686236437,0.06455027220422146,-0.16768813162870505,0.030444059275963137,0.12438426563879541,-0.16807096643635516,-0.1424706850295702,-0.01918534797527839,0.06985144296413758,0.07782786504643675,-0.0822024680989944,-0.0486613897073416,0.12435671586833666,0.08544512296589987,0.1214234587241895,0.08699545012572675,0.02999263027270282,-0.06444380132928795,0.007674553420907835,-0.12631980462614556,-0.15520063672222964,0.018329245238726373,0.10555674090062785,-0.15368218135661224,0.06039185459230847,0.10533909643855682,-0.016088867985879378,0.10275368061786955,0.035545425077066296,0.07856464687448404,0.010492344350375582,0.11945229777441924,0.09812614322186447,-0.05390173193505534,-0.16636528924121516,0.12026285053364882,0.10335832897842252,0.09919488164934456,0.018470925286874187,0.12162677084832385,-0.4706371287133966,0.0951768749940612,0.05741316870086033,-0.010151875596169943,-0.013034983483162694,-0.026965024645599904,-0.14306883232572273,-0.24834002749584214,-0.16556267392522342,-0.17168344545105604,-0.043782492993715755,-0.14568247325208433,0.11014382364069791,-0.3490808472216413,-0.030079731502046902,0.013869007209532689,-0.09309897805771086,0.09988595139967703,0.1147709206866149;-0.007815326353240856,-0.05893485508322375,-0.001500719367506457,-0.22737462981679565,-0.014593245195903482,0.14887714662989043,0.17693445060842397,0.20399425947860664,-0.22153091614048936,0.17145032686003397,-0.18699519112198057,0.19534768665518834,-0.01833314800680085,0.1144741038028762,-0.2382712552204991,0.09026282890035993,0.09091716972365876,-0.10692708545641151,0.06520336976036949,0.20494340420051882,0.14785443798376138,0.039641425037593304,-0.012001405929114218,-0.2342296784044814,0.16609186081748056,-0.13746584070537562,-0.019675164679314974,0.14986855151426082,0.2110682658271621,0.11591045053918798,0.20500013388205868,-0.16682726000578899,0.05746968145094044,-0.08871424270392116,0.18148766164577357,-0.10713455629728155,-0.07550899810685525,-0.4717833300532071,0.05662631333877621,0.1488466007912823,0.14808892416627484,0.20524623586949534,0.04838487136616902,-0.22967240253093044,0.014177085436885367,0.19839564768898216,-0.23092717960529768,-0.2042800313757846,-0.0594387803156108,0.08505565198191854,0.09963205616736565,-0.1536280045166919,-0.09669607201512834,0.20495394649999232,0.11655935242464065,0.2039896189410191,0.12152255266014553,0.013786030657648874,-0.11612845607617045,-0.039524457297272726,-0.18668612945201554,-0.21753882670346147,-0.0046515040005748135,0.16535748120494898,-0.21658328710348515,0.0663023997767005,0.16517712680506533,-0.054569494560904125,0.15760353778081354,0.023616430590202863,0.07379328893513049,-0.015584973147545506,0.17691563172503605,0.14774443027731507,-0.10282935918028313,-0.22964091848516477,0.17649884884727596,0.16000900507748259,0.11792713963922351,-0.00416723725100372,0.2073484088076552,-0.48131406798111503,0.13926913731421636,0.060642663921618614,-0.04720150518221868,-0.05072101300051172,-0.06888440719181485,-0.20501488367165643,-0.3250403806856093,-0.22878770646011956,-0.23449029706089367,-0.09085023640009952,-0.20782112026703295,0.17833345840623208,0.017582664264059758,-0.07276604550960969,-0.010680672976311893,-0.16499010658014718,0.15092702700971464,0.1596156215412212;-0.05950022064933674,-0.0739808916717168,-0.057784400890084874,-0.029585155498982912,-0.08608508775672491,0.03871222337050697,0.06195806525804252,0.08453325594022298,-0.033924983594475065,0.05700376316369027,-0.05378024368448107,0.06825175111965633,-0.08599262551467264,0.011166842040190823,-0.02076837946,-0.007105259828893679,-0.006629619856601455,-0.07627085379416199,-0.02194627817903929,0.0858004315806984,0.03698878754986626,-0.0610733498816818,-0.08505570865610927,-0.024184355485493626,0.05241019789811006,-0.07212291991007914,-0.0622631437229777,0.0417332963779247,0.08986649827094252,0.010823297794267439,0.07875505578480314,-0.062372774648533205,-0.02808126099455806,-0.07641649559631802,0.05171830405298189,-0.07581578627989483,-0.10147327320452568,0.30198585687777946,-0.027767931913002832,0.037687092454255,0.019955868731889335,0.08546607510737879,-0.054353244099011266,-0.02678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x_a{32}=[-2.3717352957604105,-0.037119251883835344,24.63413876673166];
std_x_a{32}=[1.225521640867778,1.6130360442971394,1.0428645500888292];
pred_a{32}=[-2.3717352957604105];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.1 to 3.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{33}=[-1.2141730180266288,-0.9161296167593271,19.146977256418694];
std_x_f{33}=[1.6015957123072966,2.180129663447778,1.0044528567844735];
pred_f{33}=[-1.2141730180266288];
obs{33}=[-1.292125698465082];
sqrt_r{33}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{33}=[3.5651121386980154];
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k{33}=[0.7195039142961707;0.9678772524658699;-0.16497036925259356];
x_a{33}=[-1.2702602767319744,-0.9915782429244472,19.159837138894854];
L_a{33}=[0.0014549199384801734,0.04424608949229809,-0.003569927934626241,0.1881697577278762,0.0022616340313417263,-0.11833761399010893,-0.13706852881155832,-0.15684497303715567,0.1832327221044491,-0.13387271588951535,0.1541680547127907,-0.15350353025831764,0.005371660347185759,-0.09371529834609807,0.19667772326537847,-0.07551170112872961,-0.07626680151582303,0.08555916972360167,-0.05698973034683405,-0.15666982073535116,-0.11772023341721415,-0.04186237282126093,1.2557505685736076E-4,0.19337808862939598,-0.1299514650205699,0.11163780372514091,0.011517064965255437,-0.11883662630897869,-0.16116844934825889,-0.09465029407170414,-0.1587113672121848,0.1370205321080574,-0.05044043650190752,0.06974409107109715,-0.14466314280052223,0.08548287755162076,0.05399373314340583,0.3519709763555555,-0.04976825249054813,-0.1182481711038433,-0.12247649387521617,-0.15708130855466473,-0.04876081622459638,0.18992445499634927,-0.016110041843025606,-0.15467163311971022,0.1908699026510412,0.16913870094852887,0.04475818821788211,-0.07147592041687961,-0.0825083701919719,0.12195999278923614,0.07681048604713359,-0.15881115140896315,-0.09500418634474644,-0.15642885424619474,-0.09856553003259078,-0.015886740979647002,0.09277479942804813,0.023886669964147362,0.15412875306524992,0.17970297173879432,-0.0011078208166513273,-0.12973372738062808,0.17869240018004015,-0.0574326505550555,-0.1294819243856314,0.0406260457123293,-0.12445957595094206,-0.023634116673190434,-0.06807316572069608,0.008233192672128603,-0.14126087789498082,-0.11734173375215329,0.08200127300815802,0.18965802955418712,-0.1415265778425032,-0.1257445778426114,-0.10120306703353599,-0.0012667777873879103,-0.1584318547542553,0.34830454664963684,-0.11140238165693764,-0.0531190010956352,0.03398995093537583,0.03742491755264406,0.05290305174657835,0.1692102189718527,0.2628866687850309,0.1891417132413297,0.1936538753073938,0.07181513035634422,0.1716997142849067,-0.13841771214292464,0.05688676538439282,0.05591616732034562,0.0042245211382813215,0.13261800408604632,-0.11974396607485624,-0.13031957099330438;-0.012068370443173658,0.03988291306436262,-0.018687021248989744,0.2413308671320484,-0.017807518682654067,-0.15044459397708435,-0.17105802292547612,-0.1947417888346582,0.2337180024555712,-0.16769114317718986,0.1892766131057616,-0.19334872684932805,-0.013728183289875275,-0.1225784518977049,0.2552638925435406,-0.10209737794294275,-0.1026306955682521,0.09333412247128624,-0.08082925464592866,-0.19324869134390668,-0.1492361153009154,-0.06885746537833436,-0.02054317284795025,0.2501661919995973,-0.16288432741827055,0.1277249840023269,1.6093431315733372E-4,-0.15035608534396647,-0.1986052468929342,-0.12255724524997427,-0.19704653525041926,0.16403779150323172,-0.07331163238077558,0.0726772437514452,-0.18394226148163476,0.09274335786205866,0.04542213138984708,0.593368462678631,-0.07228918837394574,-0.14988537469364085,-0.16016071676419072,-0.1942729594498333,-0.07701521356928072,0.24464624276068173,-0.03294954908445073,-0.19341753796601327,0.24608872459326445,0.2120627296185074,0.04073600367675689,-0.09692744362039891,-0.10964749505491102,0.13493646244535681,0.0817518519725227,-0.19781325260925262,-0.12392844617987445,-0.19350275437582973,-0.12717232658419417,-0.033030161871145915,0.10233558098578985,0.00926396126723309,0.18908680528207653,0.2276910687298755,-0.015732910902203943,-0.16308798289506296,0.22618149806572468,-0.08116800131417741,-0.16280698284567027,0.0355578658932778,-0.1568694908926703,-0.041507530252902776,-0.09933024564688135,-0.0038353888728761077,-0.1794574369829679,-0.1492294529860026,0.08843582551639116,0.24375081480351637,-0.18042755936616156,-0.1581398599222308,-0.13636002189868293,-0.0153139783889859,-0.19565396872661944,0.6520337331734777,-0.14247354415043068,-0.07658000486753526,0.026468272307170197,0.031554028297356075,0.0509015559163406,0.21140324538200556,0.3632560818887916,0.2439439005656275,0.24977234135110282,0.07578849268543764,0.21561757053711356,-0.17262898883235336,0.2821199088504711,0.05448930356255121,-0.008264179770840978,0.1504276126162588,-0.15202851916591154,-0.1682005937670664;-0.06687467128762263,-0.08694289760144654,-0.06413701342947065,-0.047901233217171144,-0.08632193102656793,0.05829484668604883,0.08719015604749951,0.11734846708662289,-0.05231487500591886,0.081557357451852,-0.0727643462445303,0.10257678418832791,-0.08720859003908955,0.023935518754585668,-0.039269561425225454,8.10590472494154E-4,0.0018501146834071734,-0.0925399373376849,-0.01812198778076832,0.11781968108837733,0.056365984733210854,-0.053598151654220064,-0.08512400636797901,-0.04310073304196336,0.07560764360796615,-0.09022916604151016,-0.07145400004255821,0.060832959613269316,0.12438725214424093,0.02387908215275223,0.11423860012245675,-0.08065871953962067,-0.02547294369897501,-0.09223371693375013,0.08483130442464404,-0.09244076322897503,-0.10873966016919065,0.28154738892404585,-0.025912674373029614,0.0575059356432711,0.0460500486623052,0.1177071987570752,-0.04586782643002982,-0.0456862288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x_a{33}=[-1.2702602767319735,-0.9915782429244463,19.159837138894854];
std_x_a{33}=[1.280206911749394,1.754168592934167,0.9798650523618683];
pred_a{33}=[-1.2702602767319735];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.2 to 3.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{34}=[-1.5169791989431778,-2.2341203580838846,15.198682237179838];
std_x_f{34}=[2.015105865847561,3.120545322032548,1.1549183032748318];
pred_f{34}=[-1.5169791989431778];
obs{34}=[-1.6386804905936863];
sqrt_r{34}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{34}=[5.06083129300012];
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k{34}=[0.802404003985838;1.2419480338682232;-0.14531529704118565];
x_a{34}=[-1.614632802653794,-2.3852670379684566,15.216367296526327];
L_a{34}=[0.0076609876169483546,-0.029943741596718376,0.011579784209588988,-0.1682933169223991,0.01003227488348029,0.10263816952457368,0.1155985812601153,0.13003321906729554,-0.16315120378956943,0.11323586011854544,-0.13429528220603298,0.12922066346182423,0.006855040690712002,0.08417963828824261,-0.17721633120645403,0.07020585688383654,0.0707878746507689,-0.06777604002984929,0.05568817967328182,0.12918088139169784,0.10186097391577513,0.046484387635366525,0.01178548908706347,-0.17368625390773434,0.11075043456653859,-0.09255351926640797,-0.0014548022370781011,0.10226873410165442,0.13259950184485048,0.08478487721721616,0.13193037836757843,-0.1171636812321642,0.05069586066729332,-0.053254009638261005,0.12329165090980729,-0.06796876044246562,-0.035816639706260124,-0.3511519790939662,0.04995688187915715,0.10197220576390927,0.10843978095238084,0.1300540415013818,0.052128401465169366,-0.17035411699091196,0.02216760693368742,0.12933815460901818,-0.17113981090185804,-0.14933978595433428,-0.030876648278903858,0.06693099329802772,0.07555858760819655,-0.09931328245199633,-0.059961213012051366,0.13211975123409628,0.08500050863330344,0.1290387503634934,0.0874841721404147,0.02201483129167963,-0.07462766248656766,-0.009449743247442025,-0.13415618777059346,-0.1598939467565454,0.009848362920829617,0.11047463860766858,-0.15847429169692961,0.055940760968375094,0.11027997475796289,-0.026768010391823888,0.10676553884035651,0.028279330165636853,0.06760960842820805,0.0014195544159749237,0.12084581927260277,0.1016397672517184,-0.06494707713068248,-0.16969178090371154,0.12139994286958575,0.10751886137730918,0.09279973319753491,0.009797310147620723,0.13061410872175985,-0.3649282782434593,0.09732806661450327,0.052786823252402595,-0.02060784709694201,-0.024152643885834102,-0.0379768670449726,-0.14882096452828966,-0.24356375218395337,-0.1698024560374247,-0.17387360127843715,-0.0553639747022938,-0.15168634109622006,0.11687191428609149,-0.135444499405948,-0.040548194753673064,0.004720349517665937,-0.11005445223938219,0.10349006371536236,0.1135584947094018;0.001359392038225543,-0.05513013469242554,0.005790483556254515,-0.25020274190162867,0.0017482856969648823,0.16152423982541944,0.18634845028827143,0.21558250315712127,-0.24298837129715828,0.182064900084811,-0.2016402782294708,0.21125450143358945,-0.0031918706404804394,0.12634061210182806,-0.2631269819653682,0.10154213596511011,0.10301298438004618,-0.10875785322320594,0.07698298583051469,0.21410165272563636,0.1595009070865784,0.05856785348603745,0.004412159535633962,-0.2578688789942705,0.1775722412371409,-0.14385287347972847,-0.013101171488504038,0.16038703588278294,0.2220212472751532,0.12788669332433744,0.21852902847527397,-0.17726672608750446,0.06882600124009311,-0.087831565688162,0.1985830872260338,-0.10964031300404294,-0.06542615371030112,-0.554342032240405,0.06761660957107724,0.15975082714174932,0.16828874604646302,0.2158127858946592,0.06743922557755187,-0.2535648142570254,0.023164671024806818,0.21219872934760806,-0.2541905885988566,-0.2233267165207662,-0.05692050186059404,0.09610927661513652,0.11100011159798115,-0.15432136140595124,-0.09802759180166254,0.21903242606898052,0.1279035066692204,0.21365703115106743,0.13255197068081281,0.022355869928663844,-0.11865676394217627,-0.027133140219123896,-0.20201849281929904,-0.23842901837396344,0.003923013312956056,0.17606204306610496,-0.23640164766043298,0.07761333710840156,0.1755419909946268,-0.05019978613388247,0.16904673931694297,0.03248719049350537,0.09349436615175248,-0.009045713052550476,0.19460068783141157,0.15930962775473928,-0.10513991313457005,-0.25241248818196604,0.19463148414675566,0.16977245429956347,0.13805055111233178,0.004505928290380573,0.21711193308915677,-0.5852925273807509,0.1505752165976012,0.07221693542119835,-0.04191551906213176,-0.04725780971017193,-0.0661934737253259,-0.2231968579968682,-0.3631979432032176,-0.25240989136940084,-0.2590700483761392,-0.09125844622763465,-0.22662056873751443,0.1898620954456783,-0.16589472427371704,-0.07034970923766369,-0.004005611090946849,-0.1695637923695935,0.16232245567205317,0.1784341880927634;-0.08581351927063208,-0.09622659550802858,-0.08332564927466293,0.011607807433279823,-0.10030416542011497,0.031227452490809278,0.060692718595761586,0.09163813051085896,0.0033384446609412135,0.054633724966322045,-0.036036854231801134,0.07994201843613254,-0.10095111602435843,-0.0026743661235450167,0.02643763773303804,-0.025758317835672177,-0.02419275643992644,-0.08880440543263465,-0.043259717133867726,0.09151674254671816,0.029753671134304747,-0.07249432396678876,-0.09954248037125561,0.01990533758515418,0.049091041301198686,-0.07537918251530198,-0.08842293302666436,0.03387824480244631,0.0986368199355588,-0.0024484286644816814,0.09031120102892377,-0.05338161915880149,-0.049976503094878576,-0.09404649651142649,0.06261622838701698,-0.08880340010306603,-0.11200311598020128,0.5206538182056526,-0.04942383011110747,0.03121981022111292,0.0247122151690686,0.09186572398132968,-0.06470110430401549,0.0146257916137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x_a{34}=[-1.6146328026537944,-2.385267037968456,15.216367296526316];
std_x_a{34}=[1.1518029083972576,1.785725925010231,1.1151343517292784];
pred_a{34}=[-1.6146328026537944];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.3 to 3.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{35}=[-2.981643298056566,-5.059744473277893,12.746530023961578];
std_x_f{35}=[2.0872541554933375,3.4087778554112367,1.7613306422677666];
pred_f{35}=[-2.981643298056566];
obs{35}=[-3.170254856161123];
sqrt_r{35}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{35}=[5.356638111695427];
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k{35}=[0.8133157441013896;1.3216826370276333;-0.5021827394241563];
x_a{35}=[-3.135044047782496,-5.309029094767414,12.841247492897581];
L_a{35}=[0.0015631818629880953,0.040931255136317436,-0.002078547380574993,0.1681649341256717,0.0013436700177640911,-0.10671846145224202,-0.12272613663408351,-0.14094574731802711,0.16373814178968407,-0.11974972285137922,0.13902164117368596,-0.13863548515057447,0.004497338403686799,-0.08436255053122706,0.17492053667443305,-0.06777324542264988,-0.06918597525331534,0.07833827783041716,-0.05098268022862988,-0.1397191788617195,-0.1055432164299625,-0.038984367059390304,-7.873447754194987E-4,0.1722935764531512,-0.11695113499408576,0.10166385628194897,0.011444214240786774,-0.10616002600534415,-0.14436071837423461,-0.08511273004824277,-0.14259682995422535,0.12383080237375081,-0.04548390119305605,0.06394796689765753,-0.1309338182502267,0.07880484542489152,0.04854503278633256,0.29017280937228457,-0.04483203884594247,-0.1059414212820421,-0.11200550071409346,-0.14094922540067079,-0.0451725994128189,0.16965327692081872,-0.013866836535407065,-0.13882742779940785,0.1702575399589422,0.15233093735029854,0.042274023680010805,-0.06404319646686604,-0.07440453761898373,0.10941073831886901,0.07066491353324099,-0.14298998433319499,-0.08551125393960937,-0.13956824477176666,-0.08849126066931287,-0.013209469253553248,0.08519907129486932,0.021442473595243747,0.13903088044120784,0.16117937879346775,-6.411673445796648E-4,-0.11615742297290568,0.1600149307104486,-0.05163884521445489,-0.11643213039968096,0.03765053954800823,-0.1118507478296782,-0.020477792102041894,-0.06279394373438016,0.00849177613676005,-0.12824370883743827,-0.10576831656008953,0.0755796107554687,0.16913638720241564,-0.12880364459679303,-0.11256828835448109,-0.09266132377952478,-7.036362139141774E-4,-0.14173701389664697,0.2909829697212684,-0.0996859315634688,-0.047919650539151475,0.031807377184230344,0.03519877866929623,0.048668608065158867,0.15199762717931142,0.22666339043962477,0.16920270303155918,0.17307159140524064,0.06641945913740713,0.1541816065561734,-0.12465384627209844,0.0986545406064593,0.05159805625009654,0.005074955167470912,0.11944556131959591,-0.10770317507762149,-0.11846038331718209;-0.016168604578662114,0.039728497416604704,-0.02177184814039145,0.26505098737778443,-0.01861000363797356,-0.16129600505170488,-0.1823896335815848,-0.2074589116123728,0.25590726071462777,-0.17806180922523074,0.20540668364431494,-0.2045243629974029,-0.014010485710711808,-0.13203608353556712,0.2807875383363454,-0.10942988019207545,-0.11330520122829996,0.09795114228569646,-0.0879985087742332,-0.2053471049278966,-0.15949671892346606,-0.07334732947287108,-0.021864480731585145,0.2744615628297679,-0.17464578207856335,0.13695466713864077,-0.0024166551093841608,-0.1599131284267444,-0.2113844719571303,-0.13221834095547233,-0.20928843456906315,0.17718822382223898,-0.08047656232134738,0.07463579352227631,-0.19437217571643636,0.09897814750289745,0.04908439393253654,0.6517910568709947,-0.07939698548714214,-0.16011950385052048,-0.16947673373801012,-0.2072137612369339,-0.08158370979420564,0.26835384776383936,-0.03800369858292975,-0.20431954423114385,0.26932125694395603,0.23177913034502037,0.04217481913824924,-0.10462901666954748,-0.11995905694934474,0.1474961668277486,0.08483910536497015,-0.2096965283667998,-0.13385525688354358,-0.20466678024986626,-0.13729746630258982,-0.03626498396256027,0.10944258081064784,0.010177676033125664,0.20541372292068544,0.2507611161827607,-0.019527738995060814,-0.17386979163735256,0.248128859942077,-0.08860452448079255,-0.17535374478352683,0.03534291233070098,-0.16815168262630956,-0.04667518066202287,-0.1048534636099075,-0.006722852424955727,-0.19093253820258432,-0.16004161477141804,0.0934176165102267,0.267661601137026,-0.19235239703076484,-0.16919368789695943,-0.1441984519015589,-0.019047838704988884,-0.20779747282516461,0.6892014320620202,-0.15155076051900154,-0.08397043459116767,0.026515399015995398,0.030921258914707345,0.05118908069246367,0.23082230385121366,0.4073525180504505,0.2675958123787056,0.27583420799843605,0.0790573738974304,0.2357557084783447,-0.18462089132978582,0.21002488341894882,0.05596574236046514,-0.01162204559188365,0.16565656498900538,-0.16306715211769368,-0.17765883928973958;-0.10390157252193104,-0.1406367777696221,-0.09844154771828247,-0.09132698143524222,-0.11528995103969499,0.10958128370776732,0.15577849214174616,0.20830114560491095,-0.09798533123144937,0.14617364165931604,-0.12905112416197184,0.19586950463354094,-0.11799642360893445,0.05303790075265712,-0.07860510522187154,0.014397927050294133,0.017903683303633434,-0.15450592462547671,-0.01852612279495391,0.20583134444353016,0.10704293711263388,-0.05499622636224358,-0.11223896268836799,-0.08423963830716526,0.13831996529835627,-0.15288106823422473,-0.11374309426760473,0.11073803420127709,0.21929500277212607,0.05426546970789918,0.20999508680817694,-0.14075022949967533,-0.030620578172012428,-0.15189285286492155,0.17028186982067797,-0.15524275335723886,-0.15740634342546259,0.3730185765411711,-0.030850794510153455,0.1082546468022887,0.11256907887491618,0.20841308232275607,-0.04206835484951952,-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x_a{35}=[-3.135044047782496,-5.309029094767413,12.841247492897594];
std_x_a{35}=[1.1392605885581009,1.8821719423679832,1.3912584866496602];
pred_a{35}=[-3.135044047782496];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.4 to 3.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{36}=[-6.513639482521478,-11.280316608751953,13.703268701395919];
std_x_f{36}=[2.1465196623693483,3.4206073310826413,2.705435516893005];
pred_f{36}=[-6.513639482521478];
obs{36}=[-6.924469414111114];
sqrt_r{36}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{36}=[5.60870129760463];
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k{36}=[0.8217056058187518;1.30051576135182;-0.8599342603466131];
x_a{36}=[-6.851220740346816,-11.814607410019363,14.056555434745702];
L_a{36}=[0.017887399409044377,-0.01825586490401273,0.020967358808824763,-0.16742346445599063,0.01986983053534378,0.09604234500037905,0.10461333705173656,0.11496469637789675,-0.16149994963209371,0.10305244432368152,-0.1286008025622704,0.11447942226707937,0.016892351360444657,0.08226095525723856,-0.17762558961196456,0.07133798425381832,0.07277481951115866,-0.0568924464387687,0.05957034945858253,0.1137180031897311,0.09512088134248135,0.05227951439661615,0.021418942480226022,-0.1733331398227508,0.10169011166456376,-0.08276000713623319,0.008945614515879798,0.09507338514827969,0.1161372718259575,0.08232224193360353,0.11576499071539245,-0.10979985000677478,0.0557908784419439,-0.041357713952902865,0.11022065322080071,-0.05745047695047146,-0.02399616789338432,-0.38108274368206446,0.055141044265987524,0.0953109575315175,0.10080006981003492,0.11455345617076514,0.05683802028888791,-0.1695435771078393,0.030960717440646674,0.1139157594628282,-0.17033971234097892,-0.1458600452168945,-0.019701368200743346,0.06913496782759328,0.07633614476321611,-0.09023172868433531,-0.04825147619067473,0.11569729423896273,0.08296390283321023,0.11345318893685404,0.08497602981749822,0.029913412132062535,-0.06454538606675114,0.0016669927585783399,-0.1286689058385931,-0.15804881622569109,0.019820199306184255,0.10111358361717834,-0.1566756346720042,0.05995913202576842,0.10181014975285184,-0.015287961783743264,0.09890536951505932,0.036219547764247274,0.06914607730093988,0.011396659087961577,0.10916459447661671,0.09537757135582005,-0.05386322593083289,-0.16933277961977614,0.10964365718125699,0.09926644476825304,0.08923190227021201,0.01961387350963499,0.11467927071541004,-0.3952814857031216,0.09166674305152299,0.05739083215313576,-0.009492078849127722,-0.012429695718390667,-0.025590871871516124,-0.14572772951054264,-0.2546146950108832,-0.16920325034709358,-0.17452623267827905,-0.044238803697742406,-0.14839519398855588,0.10597360245831944,-0.12887886246108776,-0.028772545712774593,0.014533997744437994,-0.10238448232460665,0.09633314363832819,0.10386067033975885;-0.015730436763341155,-0.076472286759302,-0.009663995328480501,-0.25646784424323543,-0.014554643925645028,0.17381800473694728,0.20456894914113688,0.24163865374295707,-0.25045026314786323,0.19848393435631578,-0.21638986462590512,0.2373571942907168,-0.019765707265345416,0.13241108146924727,-0.2671105658270375,0.10193544637620804,0.10500084950952585,-0.13180292067859414,0.07280544992262346,0.2375701955162041,0.17205563225041953,0.050984350017394715,-0.011653208614286393,-0.26243089267837155,0.1932541964081322,-0.16397369665889328,-0.03099843774508242,0.17280286209973433,0.24722228501984814,0.1323145314569518,0.24382099601808133,-0.19574243141176084,0.06378059764457406,-0.1105574488055767,0.21910508879779186,-0.1320996864008419,-0.08798198380329407,-0.46822423203655644,0.062097791586710874,0.17147835817337878,0.1844174239899896,0.24048429824582113,0.061723393443934405,-0.2588107631425792,0.010049008499797205,0.23601754769328528,-0.25980235863539153,-0.23442334363040496,-0.07885160199197919,0.09767555819815134,0.11473573181319742,-0.17539937505463976,-0.11975808905225332,0.24409493495036938,0.1343244764606015,0.237531090812555,0.1395967183201158,0.00744901718275217,-0.141866829662893,-0.04698552877613055,-0.21638576411875626,-0.2474589731755806,-0.012081445802982546,0.19161481274510164,-0.24644609358496175,0.07278391317508383,0.19303163946903312,-0.07172569678790497,0.18368023344492654,0.020512573775305028,0.0914958331891112,-0.02668646371312618,0.21560913417132102,0.17152883200384292,-0.12745975357923034,-0.25880606541094275,0.21641686287793685,0.18516258724801718,0.14723782481239855,-0.011340808720139442,0.2424142713783884,-0.48380326520443023,0.1605418624426769,0.06697795845285563,-0.06257476304569078,-0.0674510764005535,-0.08750741961402168,-0.23598753355741225,-0.34141386439353544,-0.2583840974832189,-0.26492215392243873,-0.11474454282144653,-0.23748946488265008,0.20859659528407654,-0.16712398146649482,-0.0923813298479713,-0.02087203197189633,-0.18913307758696885,0.1749050150515585,0.19503250609087658;-0.13799470884317214,-0.1305061406217069,-0.13636624716812404,0.1406369752768764,-0.1493608043914321,-0.019506040742598686,0.015058626956489924,0.05432983871567892,0.12424485074018274,0.008143295293685678,0.03806047400554633,0.043006189778326084,-0.14853819209941005,-0.05857582616593045,0.17170897097275054,-0.08346872187026622,-0.08078886971287154,-0.0933692502306321,-0.10255304180236557,0.05283352949133144,-0.020659936071802432,-0.1265644759400643,-0.14762039815578823,0.15805869513884557,0.0018800659620347377,-0.05552328960559034,-0.13790240174401397,-0.017517540781683452,0.06301567290663632,-0.05666215893518205,0.05534085219168391,-0.0029025347820063737,-0.10999556519898934,-0.11177759071584681,0.025802797509930264,-0.09346357631446739,-0.1370163540244579,1.0570062849278041,-0.10942671485266378,-0.019909042542199943,-0.018516394616111466,0.05442072036371816,-0.11927486120259623,0.146876348478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x_a{36}=[-6.851220740346821,-11.814607410019368,14.056555434745706];
std_x_a{36}=[1.129950459608982,1.8342321460475903,1.9127329965824904];
pred_a{36}=[-6.851220740346821];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.5 to 3.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{37}=[-12.866296546781134,-18.68374123355121,25.1218392399893];
std_x_f{37}=[1.3683871400864158,1.620268841719976,3.725847184327262];
pred_f{37}=[-12.866296546781134];
obs{37}=[-13.566049527717565];
sqrt_r{37}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{37}=[2.8748300168842076];
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k{37}=[0.652153346762457;0.41143965247004455;-1.5575199086614113];
x_a{37}=[-13.322642795205834,-18.971647356842574,26.21171843894296];
L_a{37}=[0.05179197615219137,0.10535137770823705,0.04556885126735846,0.1910663321303175,0.05334845934117175,-0.14798426569074877,-0.18159398566659254,-0.22324515834717337,0.19019677377093747,-0.1754174727524735,0.18687648894301495,-0.21656452908741228,0.05757229639300829,-0.10196897829539153,0.18999599108471016,-0.06889347782353389,-0.07260451044979539,0.14715108568235535,-0.038191216582455494,-0.21905883346674615,-0.1460853830843887,-0.013184730359531504,0.049950200789546,0.19021527535440597,-0.16916291838455302,0.1665947992432118,0.06592762320396475,-0.1465923957215824,-0.22917283069210354,-0.102149749693286,-0.22505612244806214,0.18005515608360592,-0.028231634658288547,0.1320885682436712,-0.19750914830108315,0.14763329486047783,0.11772111784062156,0.042697102928964364,-0.026719443528759913,-0.1456963085752062,-0.1577544345609516,-0.22214984250726946,-0.02503719292319181,0.19078097228114405,0.026696363396127156,-0.2165139686888944,0.19064017524162388,0.18984012848323667,0.10799386307975369,-0.06281892426601608,-0.08287788299069965,0.17509648216000692,0.1387857421169539,-0.22545864239998462,-0.10446768965715295,-0.21918061640299372,-0.11045563871355119,0.02866143477768364,0.1536358201670762,0.0822443054420322,0.18617222892150187,0.19035511234433158,0.0477691384223637,-0.16805006137966463,0.19072086124085894,-0.03862071022697744,-0.1689698757924289,0.10198117370641036,-0.158849420679007,0.015832640299486996,-0.05676862957469619,0.06171824990823559,-0.19320099899862644,-0.14545904230213183,0.14454037668723002,0.19046994668137773,-0.19381051671817945,-0.1606903423805215,-0.11664897707432526,0.04792419979788515,-0.22413315737301143,0.010164321918648366,-0.13313561338935345,-0.0321291011560086,0.09518610590559862,0.09873357845315368,0.11437751039078595,0.1901384984596,0.16708524453786164,0.19173805323717077,0.19140429369572975,0.13524394729744738,0.19048575984497837,-0.18585945263756776,0.08259435354308027,0.11891065918998261,0.05641083272698015,0.18139805106874857,-0.14908764776143854,-0.1703217222830416;-0.07809495279817415,-0.039209358881518254,-0.08092272670149758,0.22595812340453145,-0.08381279057507246,-0.09916617297831101,-0.09054720205752953,-0.08224314439149619,0.2118602286013661,-0.09257990419264371,0.14518501048963514,-0.08507231095776022,-0.08098823249693789,-0.10419327828741509,0.24739990776435464,-0.1053561777635778,-0.10548965767392282,0.01599538590499039,-0.10280833828660363,-0.08202163938480563,-0.09898490225349317,-0.10473121284159002,-0.08506509551757954,0.23794669635593835,-0.09387661561465514,0.05882355000029846,-0.0699266380470403,-0.09761011936412142,-0.07929225871136356,-0.10329013458078032,-0.08151256780883716,0.10790680047498535,-0.10250777102671747,-0.008001090839155681,-0.08935733563028744,0.017168975333623188,-0.034785475122723966,0.7666484281171437,-0.10188485057801094,-0.0987771150700848,-0.10120896074918531,-0.08179740675092788,-0.10647759701170612,0.2299503552869781,-0.08898030133565468,-0.08419097476824729,0.23147684677032646,0.1791800063435494,-0.03705416885282699,-0.10512978835442105,-0.10535974776859368,0.0696199860820422,0.0026632855009267736,-0.08043843482408128,-0.10354840334597237,-0.08193124927080492,-0.10294073790457506,-0.08746247467963647,0.02801772795567386,-0.06590339897066455,0.14393337802955064,0.204420943325679,-0.0807305694280327,-0.09484074444945852,0.2026615105356205,-0.10343788472604548,-0.09498525169984763,-0.04261796502965441,-0.09587078894568311,-0.09209715376974952,-0.1090755827801836,-0.07235440040038633,-0.09212768771212024,-0.09802950879333448,0.011154156656622862,0.22893376399762103,-0.09180039751394126,-0.0957821132132935,-0.10684334273999517,-0.07967870501508321,-0.0808892093519512,0.8155711384439184,-0.10025450951943815,-0.10294526356682772,-0.04906621605039343,-0.046609504546180125,-0.030590885722391874,0.17931857114250271,0.4251124855726261,0.23022702171139411,0.2404926420982901,-0.0035734426942134008,0.18539407882979642,-0.09047157571865617,0.20890037573337744,-0.024868349110230285,-0.07462877066119161,0.09159093178847927,-0.09808146799870994,-0.09672830607381315;-0.26881270627332127,-0.38450875265870066,-0.2518926793260209,-0.32375172829744303,-0.28180955602179525,0.34438696654576856,0.46451191687208976,0.615497276911763,-0.336983909554337,0.4428806588057161,-0.4100403415297781,0.5869199645760713,-0.29091006732051056,0.18739582716018954,-0.2910181308994373,0.07912664334178585,0.09115441146900745,-0.4461238253289129,-0.015911519060464896,0.6027986250834731,0.33829338387225527,-0.09979710728921234,-0.27270522593468893,-0.3041778633955283,0.42002020419546154,-0.453442682968187,-0.30176802922046403,0.34140331133781104,0.6398007183736443,0.1890398555970543,0.6215985437545724,-0.4331449439335023,-0.046695152638811056,-0.42783742824865423,0.5189729161584011,-0.44644506504115133,-0.41961670734527956,0.8464415640261369,-0.05120596751059412,0.33800923361639446,0.3714939479158274,0.6132717589014215,-0.06311837449310323,-0.3166787650847929,-0.203276266313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x_a{37}=[-13.322642795205827,-18.971647356842574,26.211718438942977];
std_x_a{37}=[1.463009499615791,1.6570810365958395,3.9167071379483374];
pred_a{37}=[-13.322642795205827];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.6 to 3.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{38}=[-13.789743436756481,-8.13524785753493,39.045275313732546];
std_x_f{38}=[1.3220645281211025,3.7225357492730886,1.7209283424728383];
pred_f{38}=[-13.789743436756481];
obs{38}=[-14.334935202261772];
sqrt_r{38}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{38}=[2.761491913815104];
L_f{38}=[-0.11677883926050416,-0.13971861760174015,-0.11244780973153919,-0.02197138439689245,-0.12280162595997436,0.07755425069905628,0.12030819137449923,0.17411152658134957,-0.03152091965952459,0.11238676888360993,-0.079325214735839,0.1636646744086888,-0.12490001775780782,0.022962570454003434,-0.004737796074134764,-0.013359620480991529,-0.009136125186694887,-0.13870920946512608,-0.043860430823644624,0.169459006121097,0.07509675382763939,-0.07134321734301473,-0.12034590381206416,-0.011444182266354887,0.10423792788831052,-0.1251296897787169,-0.12467160783410558,0.0764170277481643,0.18366722076811026,0.02387951998864499,0.1766736095681467,-0.10031114661553771,-0.053642707311911016,-0.14172068819647948,0.13887976622446124,-0.13887394136660863,-0.1483105797890523,0.5273852008749202,-0.05453142587463939,0.07518300700480225,0.085919881004324,0.1739166313833337,-0.05990965782028139,-0.018288322362062112,-0.09999853609456319,0.165020499730415,-0.016974313128024,-0.05584361423492225,-0.14147681036399884,-0.02015349961831903,0.0015125465336393979,-0.1242543639830931,-0.14053016352317024,0.17815884213159955,0.027065217447577776,0.1698715200465444,0.03270702184456739,-0.10135897007600618,-0.1354842910298749,-0.1373059576885894,-0.07845009143590241,-0.036810156809516305,-0.11404216067258338,0.10265317946383876,-0.0391809820301855,-0.0435852863359215,0.1031541081755111,-0.1393023973146504,0.09094891376855117,-0.09107381643639842,-0.02899968504091774,-0.12218693704700415,0.13274454990631393,0.07454540036957513,-0.13978351035531464,-0.01828069862415535,0.13320048520492367,0.0936960620945778,0.03659590567596312,-0.1143245707004484,0.176463974637609,0.5983874922931619,0.059640080978705136,-0.05006003289922451,-0.13848487178802985,-0.13882468183657304,-0.14220589309965126,-0.05513844637134499,0.15045640519650721,-0.01966988641941339,-0.010526474551590581,-0.14211569861719245,-0.05159119757850698,0.1254189397220363,0.07465818198148605,-0.14227472960919743,-0.11915057297214426,-0.11396294782610544,0.07923880589696534,0.1033552597145733;-0.2007166560079498,-0.32977792907839953,-0.18405404262426953,-0.40030400478171857,-0.2089727442937305,0.35428040786045395,0.45436605372564537,0.5784877073538635,-0.4076303009203554,0.43576332969541204,-0.4465325521472291,0.5565294512496264,-0.2186745868590659,0.22177137213615167,-0.3790432742119783,0.12686718281808212,0.13753013309761586,-0.41780231281324326,0.040781976277845126,0.5671303234439874,0.3495209335621451,-0.031208126142382123,-0.19941959102922702,-0.38629258925911353,0.4178602107941837,-0.4464833737502021,-0.2361519404034483,0.35205655943801334,0.5972708444671468,0.22204674833024274,0.5834715855211646,-0.4519511742713047,0.01310404431045257,-0.3882620226938685,0.5006689245458323,-0.4185660719385181,-0.36464416672235006,0.5140817694642518,0.009261049684867044,0.34885605727092545,0.380352882054965,0.5762928523264417,0.0019952386707343503,-0.3951923542004295,-0.1351348227139184,0.5574840182299735,-0.39317682787541536,-0.4308825453724687,-0.33765413353907,0.1082602139178983,0.16579895606707654,-0.4640124225644308,-0.40203476101399976,0.5848302403623671,0.2284740077899683,0.5679371665815948,0.24584790478228616,-0.14042905886177395,-0.4285244092084567,-0.28000861051642906,-0.4440230779302767,-0.41197395218198773,-0.18932807647163455,0.41502539406006184,-0.4159863154344271,0.042838238575248086,0.41626088120866195,-0.32260388864174616,0.38712429817768135,-0.1057747898299761,0.08992060185163238,-0.2254160608387246,0.48659807126825944,0.3475723724170686,-0.4129726187120991,-0.393631903167328,0.48744873581162174,0.3921549911045422,0.260479233372095,-0.18969559085855162,0.5820517114938675,0.6595625947309206,0.3112927631849351,0.02361432743771689,-0.3088792855996515,-0.31638718631865076,-0.35163311738088365,-0.4300322976030426,-0.16678911349194683,-0.399324663083689,-0.38841678110479255,-0.3959951547911225,-0.42813506778534416,0.46658419051914574,-0.08349440625609382,-0.3612201142314889,-0.21159146882807456,-0.4678329061287558,0.35843921683939794,0.41872747460097814;0.09711390967516227,0.045977368394728595,0.10067713357524218,-0.29380796584066604,0.10384687102438493,0.11173471516039431,0.1000820203214323,0.08900626222202543,-0.276959424285538,0.10213180776620154,-0.1986142036177729,0.0916814463878055,0.10078053925613724,0.12098488012339487,-0.31562570007917257,0.12454907427872595,0.12451611479079537,-0.02958320772616899,0.12406026548951125,0.08896215259206952,0.11131705693686436,0.1278967483908396,0.10565533936715506,-0.30637528411237464,0.10430155090099331,-0.08777209492285998,0.08663735396245345,0.10979645668911399,0.08589644798368101,0.12012904471163557,0.08819091468950972,-0.15158464868909763,0.12416766478845959,0.002461946519458286,0.09750632707271385,-0.03138773053299937,0.03864097065947815,-0.600520063368554,0.12333479659286642,0.11095543575390333,0.11235257711390534,0.088006791595313,0.12881406696478953,-0.29723915868696793,0.11083156217297783,0.09108700783683242,-0.2994529977761111,-0.23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k{38}=[0.6378769045104815;1.4554205379081278;-0.15649157748022724];
x_a{38}=[-14.1375086725016,-8.928731150149721,39.130593233145696];
L_a{38}=[0.13382322946915973,0.16011117033559324,0.12886006694620025,0.025178205525244253,0.14072506863480688,-0.08887363800950762,-0.13786770619815825,-0.19952387712079214,0.036121537869251014,-0.12879011691543146,0.09090308211236693,-0.18755226047872453,0.14312973003455953,-0.0263140595892799,0.005429298451859625,0.01530951642069683,0.010469583231519052,0.1589544345986258,0.05026205548794073,-0.1941923006373725,-0.08605745855588465,0.08175607675175266,0.13791092293346788,0.01311451149211125,-0.11945191638760286,0.1433929237069011,0.1428679826681171,-0.08757043231848918,-0.2104742673112559,-0.02736484198070473,-0.20245990749780504,0.11495200394910678,0.06147209867307452,0.16240545202489415,-0.15914988487443393,0.15914320985270947,0.16995716756132367,-0.6043594130772695,0.062490529656860826,-0.08615630076730767,-0.09846026920986248,-0.19930053610309,0.06865373843987045,0.020957584229833365,0.1145937665342827,-0.18910597452742084,0.019451789512530137,0.06399423773579761,0.16212597913969376,0.023094992389953342,-0.0017333094174919333,0.14238984022405596,0.16104116498835702,-0.20416191634985967,-0.031015506131553756,-0.19466502280222667,-0.03748075693571896,0.11615276189704828,0.15525882499578317,0.15734637199341728,0.08990023068035383,0.04218276267095655,0.13068712048765369,-0.1176358668926606,0.044899620361493586,0.049946752440308995,-0.11820990837444212,0.15963420084915442,-0.10422331164012519,0.10436644440704142,0.03323231786117444,0.1400206631451352,-0.15211920648796007,-0.08542563261203745,0.16018553447474235,0.020948847773521906,-0.152641687568225,-0.10737141846450951,-0.0419372406329651,0.13101074951327737,-0.20221967541815997,-0.6857248042514652,-0.06834481566106673,0.05736651701908402,0.15869735384126643,0.15908676067550195,0.16296147473849465,0.06318614749085816,-0.17241618571667647,0.02254079369692552,0.012062860260807533,0.16285811597076424,0.0591211619832593,-0.14372439096401615,-0.08555487520107355,0.16304035824231394,0.13654112824895887,0.1305963461744456,-0.09080406151971528,-0.11844041887395089;0.3710729715712435,0.3543327953497222,0.3665293649146879,-0.2927244999565885,0.3923065321438206,-0.02545205398971815,-0.13470450371752116,-0.27402260677172974,-0.2532929652591606,-0.11452120071884073,-0.058128837239051066,-0.24482945778402587,0.39287914231492543,0.10933867721214724,-0.35584538433800456,0.19228050999103827,0.18226376507321546,0.26136599990600257,0.2555378307196741,-0.262599639736876,-0.018178772783838552,0.31811296604508277,0.3898356195648605,-0.3302579107380318,-0.09252477285791771,0.16619490915400736,0.37428341470520604,-0.02210766512120057,-0.30202745671935577,0.10512435102315532,-0.28158357393877553,0.03920692875959901,0.27575731120750524,0.3056515325125197,-0.17933449311638874,0.2614088252030052,0.36153577923912145,-2.0681787625689414,0.2762657903525366,-0.019265974492572415,-0.04034060207462534,-0.2752631874340675,0.29533366496763913,-0.30564639622832956,0.3544926309759123,-0.2505134809856114,-0.3100647140425796,-0.1574528761938543,0.3550653113653842,0.20693872548855918,0.15839300457241776,0.14437996219367993,0.28604957321463254,-0.2874971319376992,0.09595333278841085,-0.263812607596676,0.08570300217701848,0.3558595506035486,0.23485358633738346,0.3922888956783925,-0.059904269679206125,-0.23173868022237407,0.3690618252625309,-0.08760011264250396,-0.22414266237969244,0.2562468903460981,-0.08881734589517316,0.3594688771591693,-0.05819307149102148,0.34015414654365583,0.23191309993144768,0.37285348586653855,-0.16336520319776432,-0.017427716511517893,0.2714558431043527,-0.30412327365547065,-0.16474695572793238,-0.06661336787173072,0.08129300913926613,0.3700770881465652,-0.28197700276744936,-2.270349738128456,0.019274278435873794,0.2687255800354348,0.36919059218351186,0.3633465191094404,0.3446561690165416,-0.1600553744240365,-0.9034757635647822,-0.30301408916890543,-0.3368755172791684,0.2998525081935218,-0.17552670280602212,-0.1475103602501593,-0.44904671300325705,0.3354062195488905,0.37181098813256475,0.09016914208439622,-0.02954141047763772,-0.0873356600797407;0.03563321837248961,-0.027580454686957183,0.04147660442505494,-0.30537526613369514,0.0391953562043969,0.1525647917104987,0.1634208137356946,0.18067096008827116,-0.2935542795130382,0.1613002006701974,-0.24037664166370218,0.1778461778425069,0.03502428166621273,0.1330740112925202,-0.31812001308770593,0.11751561934875775,0.11970620833974069,-0.10260960653237283,0.10096901347033847,0.17817743260138666,0.15085333225135486,0.09033660179423884,0.04229669144203361,-0.3124003160581004,0.1591798140102494,-0.15364926820870872,0.02100134761066864,0.1500278181498343,0.18259194328034545,0.13270092336854605,0.18120447536515344,-0.2043955746953885,0.09592632629111207,-0.07214990899636341,0.17062251909433818,-0.10450085593493627,-0.039440272746192745,-0.32286696338989085,0.09462557340034591,0.1505371208788747,0.15758691677886377,0.1795688827600245,0.09727335974572726,-0.30686743302764236,0.05818521659118606,0.17796554222529523,-0.30838948414733597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x_a{38}=[-14.1375086725016,-8.928731150149734,39.13059323314569];
std_x_a{38}=[1.515025717331507,4.078248511577443,1.7329058012635934];
pred_a{38}=[-14.1375086725016];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.7 to 3.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{39}=[-6.2267501072427365,1.5155968443118086,32.86626326583797];
std_x_f{39}=[1.4954438550011795,1.8724368769821391,2.4165889883245915];
pred_f{39}=[-6.2267501072427365];
obs{39}=[-5.7244932624309];
sqrt_r{39}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{39}=[3.2619072928024595];
L_f{39}=[0.1598592172558986,0.1390801110732993,0.1585155918625111,-0.2165152031455631,0.1709746985996349,0.013521305033200327,-0.025040635186645174,-0.06786110643759295,-0.19751256550188934,-0.01800302426469748,-0.10197490364808036,-0.059128274825609776,0.1700489264934653,0.06284762391490056,-0.24423499011730912,0.09408622612577433,0.09068359510265314,0.07890194725892939,0.11888147241040775,-0.06520078885992679,0.015805042055214703,0.1455149462278803,0.1703810698648806,-0.2332929936325282,-0.01072554745842474,0.021513931912541546,0.1584238767756443,0.013902839508532848,-0.07689537933281541,0.060643206438707194,-0.0698763988971154,-0.04922068732870697,0.12710277786045565,0.10610963734892677,-0.03869094783004461,0.07766941439291918,0.14037573228002634,-0.5526725041598279,0.12723569236136123,0.015523490531440743,0.008833521512747583,-0.06842224004903248,0.13643933978021885,-0.22195575610902574,0.15610658677004363,-0.061542873838403206,-0.22439947129879942,-0.15194937673315628,0.13849267960556513,0.10002948378988609,0.0814294066019186,0.007164238222577943,0.0941439980081203,-0.07263434843858697,0.057058917359396145,-0.06560856800012517,0.053698357928969,0.15636664177127488,0.06218068949548334,0.16474794987399977,-0.10210822877368655,-0.18757523440911172,0.15987520332746874,-0.008473247880457507,-0.18512817989708027,0.11952395470986128,-0.009311756061914348,0.14246388313327443,0.001392484815489678,0.15064147273549874,0.11145182687813089,0.15841933778271286,-0.03333689310106835,0.015528086311721829,0.08388550798291192,-0.22140895794927912,-0.033595606090235555,-0.0016328785737197067,0.053079551784110626,0.16029232129941856,-0.07110642661344851,-0.5275483673354389,0.028913443777518668,0.12453952809663985,0.14912957968061125,0.1459381405340903,0.13155202072739755,-0.15259165685582024,-0.4429973341062249,-0.22186341036406498,-0.2368497573586427,0.10229745909305903,-0.1608233420587518,-0.029103277974908248,-0.23869398863599273,0.12527827161355212,0.15870087720797021,-0.023008143939220616,0.011167653243444613,-0.007849515071303171;0.040767970963300565,-0.01455283998065221,0.04425813631256904,-0.31464330528699536,0.04888637072959014,0.09088625417106305,0.1041883786439385,0.1343276304835928,-0.307193864297338,0.10180959487759925,-0.25944447906255635,0.12797560728317864,0.04602205467615112,0.07996234464776522,-0.3198177818784658,0.07541240435600768,0.07549016113550297,-0.0965494269774513,0.07050858148121923,0.13051893604463632,0.09009536778975606,0.07361552989065774,0.05083568483056934,-0.31781751146852594,0.09912276421696813,-0.15822700014523916,0.02971733975894441,0.08908952604959858,0.13966397168990197,0.07897467760734558,0.13520510028539653,-0.21972284572475265,0.06976520788118024,-0.061387863545476075,0.11498152151403504,-0.09815480785587509,-0.02139277663627652,0.6699036710755278,0.06843091072048939,0.0897650273988839,0.09644921731501835,0.13312357912761133,0.07438745208206372,-0.3157824489605182,0.054703359771892876,0.12835265558218648,-0.3164766022318818,-0.2883749885140869,-0.017093823794448636,0.07421831087570384,0.07711167572780148,-0.17531136305054168,-0.07750286500691339,0.135818932047435,0.0787589274404894,0.13005536487857008,0.08082185647691222,0.05284087456741454,-0.11488777197540322,0.024779712292781714,-0.2581079254032528,-0.30334131222562044,0.04357279842947444,0.09831227408058626,-0.3037455543857949,0.07104954338380134,0.09889399484007974,-0.008871497558061932,0.0940061111076277,0.05819340819256036,0.07816069269239588,0.032182714958914935,0.11225214991357316,0.08877813062584494,-0.09011814019882856,-0.3148521003983807,0.11294233655640884,0.09468808826025235,0.08561590862628168,0.043685887948302714,0.13480821833313536,0.8959896430730758,0.08571643758027861,0.07053608927419122,0.0011112436724395865,-0.0035933402977786503,-0.0268386276638125,-0.28821018098605866,-0.23387532906614106,-0.31694322256981017,-0.3198049470711522,-0.06801467629955331,-0.29289994660601326,0.10726976712946214,-0.18554615322952192,-0.03568611340033831,0.03634268694717991,-0.20290258761432503,0.09078928826535315,0.10118596277537859;-0.2011186337165987,-0.21950624214731637,-0.19644560348957826,0.10149279809282337,-0.20895901557787108,0.048815940927448044,0.11287533267102144,0.19586389526435743,0.07496763428184065,0.10070241001137345,-0.05095550103950727,0.17912028397409765,-0.21221914131567307,-0.03072972241549397,0.14675075852592298,-0.07985548800393719,-0.07384675091100272,-0.2024473197266758,-0.11767416640103244,0.18986007988767323,0.043893826728684984,-0.15302371436051995,-0.20736274083048964,0.12878057680668661,0.08854994916806501,-0.1668372786590591,-0.208671487044133,0.04568035795182883,0.2134173118765727,-0.02836174058892425,0.2013255501037798,-0.10524139075633122,-0.13007004942086814,-0.2131744020338936,0.1401942567950172,-0.20302172051294695,-0.22815237618964082,1.2602748850172754,-0.12974480244691358,0.044467101957406566,0.05758678797023303,0.19753809398966787,-0.1391029349009824,0.1109615911226036,-0.18371252211134498,0.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k{39}=[0.6934308947999396;0.09366330557746955;-0.9481203074108631];
x_a{39}=[-5.87846969392547,1.5626398806457953,32.39006335173576];
L_a{39}=[-0.1423062442913338,-0.12380873997887891,-0.14111015258796095,0.19274125021079094,-0.15220121582109805,-0.012036629293086791,0.022291105944655318,0.06040977402716506,0.1758251534031132,0.016026243672229042,0.09077778434820592,0.05263583086603589,-0.15137709598765872,-0.05594678539959959,0.21741732985273254,-0.08375530488224071,-0.080726291917449,-0.07023830076508682,-0.10582796628778529,0.058041566490568276,-0.014069605834137135,-0.12953701288801325,-0.15167276912158087,0.20767679407677175,0.00954785343614942,-0.019151644196483113,-0.14102850806485562,-0.012376270254579208,0.06845205940608128,-0.05398441890442839,0.062203781942293104,0.04381612318277434,-0.11314655023840822,-0.09445851314328287,0.03444257746459357,-0.06914110333012903,-0.12496209848468551,0.49198757344202937,-0.11326487036883572,-0.013818969426612156,-0.007863577039374204,0.0609092936555001,-0.12145793249213292,0.19758441579353653,-0.1389656627482606,0.05478530039853169,0.1997598044682959,0.13526492557942615,-0.12328581006975878,-0.08904597683443442,-0.07248823825930122,-0.006377585554115856,-0.08380673325617743,0.06465890118989699,-0.05079369442768645,0.05840457038198024,-0.04780213348130463,-0.13919716300936325,-0.055353082177195145,-0.1466581808901029,0.09089647001563486,0.16697896805097934,-0.1423204750491542,0.007542862423048216,0.16480060672054778,-0.10639990229891008,0.008289300145933228,-0.1268209647455141,-0.0012395862292246937,-0.13410063296624342,-0.09921411586199616,-0.14102446746558336,0.029676412377026534,-0.013823060577830169,-0.07467465308809668,0.19709765754565645,0.029906717982607165,0.0014535841048055845,-0.04725127391917987,-0.14269179234341806,0.06329874929976145,0.4696221345645378,-0.025738669712868867,-0.11086475220804919,-0.13275474984417854,-0.12991373931865657,-0.11710725424536556,0.1358366816133182,0.39435503269614575,0.19750220986029582,0.21084301555829418,-0.09106492233585868,0.14316450559197938,0.025907659603675918,0.21248474527015843,-0.11152237969547799,-0.14127509310304112,0.02048178771489694,-0.009941414814252113,0.006987617157647265;-4.6212788954829226E-5,-0.05006184163266815,0.0037869979889192055,-0.2593640950041494,0.005234256791978209,0.08743408520846942,0.11058158576282999,0.15165347328026785,-0.2567662800757223,0.10640600635170064,-0.2334089302399387,0.14307184205219556,0.0026063026668809055,0.06391651060149128,-0.25746134140233634,0.051390939797560674,0.0523374335207413,-0.11669414324164867,0.040156560853406596,0.14716556439050935,0.08606013039946499,0.036463629262137295,0.0073351322021944195,-0.2582547081865002,0.10186113909660298,-0.16371979302502906,-0.010730382483528877,0.08553994626233503,0.15929638448199646,0.0634916606540394,0.1530454740435604,-0.20715614978109448,0.03731417865641847,-0.08847906485989054,0.12485983495376905,-0.11798484209086212,-0.05723256760974902,0.8110083100622802,0.03594594665633302,0.08580167385629484,0.09419390181685947,0.1505926867964662,0.03955267445449624,-0.25911419316515055,0.01484727247996709,0.1440653695851685,-0.259184433455419,-0.24958029222140957,-0.05245284638190101,0.048679453610387044,0.05632166548667969,-0.17714048832889917,-0.10153907949509394,0.15436344699493607,0.06419102714805107,0.14680610466101832,0.06711195169113472,0.0129183917758232,-0.13076332879642819,-0.017282629900481312,-0.23203833690329545,-0.25545086076487833,0.0027545332205864016,0.10047560693000077,-0.25647986847952103,0.04053348848209642,0.10127140997754275,-0.04524442120971171,0.09365059121889571,0.01973263718118359,0.049705559358126,-0.008263848418309842,0.12076350199018358,0.08481360371944244,-0.11153522578035757,-0.2583234494437615,0.12151974149916138,0.09510498387188428,0.07206399327731455,0.0027611269749179906,0.1529626345224871,1.03067975586253,0.07833445093288298,0.03873949179668242,-0.036963520938961214,-0.04085328805972756,-0.06042560775238403,-0.2492515020379123,-0.12077221930283115,-0.26029854387101653,-0.2593340547169234,-0.09413257781616961,-0.2518396089719909,0.11470022097160397,-0.12460440410814795,-0.0676713219205045,-0.004175757188835175,-0.19702830253615872,0.08793803790029117,0.10319004834507976;0.2120288225613071,0.1399387438543391,0.2132293260050907,-0.4580789736235983,0.23291579794161263,0.08376101870223791,0.04815917236113596,0.02048055493425021,-0.43549285351976574,0.05417457253070698,-0.3145040956691629,0.026306472186212005,0.22726306452486264,0.13169654489186444,-0.4844612956373321,0.16330524843597055,0.16052007063312235,0.0014704734726857873,0.18956853607203875,0.021352185709318735,0.08474109868188445,0.22305175326940013,0.23297787149655017,-0.47415248230148493,0.06083035485438357,-0.11123569123245339,0.200766409794604,0.08161149083605694,0.014685384395518327,0.12836732959400468,0.02073379597307933,-0.23244958128283122,0.1984201700379375,0.06106018706148483,0.04019960555526007,-0.0022893414993426144,0.13464107238456902,-0.16807715603432072,0.19908892731360772,0.08458671930391407,0.08041654408699003,0.02070453434673167,0.21351712125880332,-0.46267099395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x_a{39}=[-5.87846969392547,1.562639880645795,32.390063351735755];
std_x_a{39}=[1.3312400886657012,1.8705926548559253,2.2266020588503013];
pred_a{39}=[-5.87846969392547];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.8 to 3.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 3.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{40}=[-0.9469936024872017,1.7839929321422812,24.437734850885946];
std_x_f{40}=[1.286732496832393,2.0510575924403134,1.3951551488308322];
pred_f{40}=[-0.9469936024872017];
obs{40}=[-0.5754077166662125];
sqrt_r{40}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{40}=[2.656022922263178];
L_f{40}=[-0.018504157874752823,-0.05207029954386934,-0.01626694257371634,-0.13864104819015474,-0.01584259106382999,0.05350229581191767,0.07419996171601685,0.10814858253664532,-0.14203063569451913,0.0700306689930018,-0.14775278139808457,0.10073879774264201,-0.017928679517551,0.032368597315117466,-0.12958162904916146,0.02071469016715936,0.02162220860756122,-0.09379771295084453,0.0112362524949802,0.10405722636875882,0.05194933231235024,0.0067894882264783645,-0.014428767913769621,-0.1333302037447699,0.06601809744885957,-0.1191602963879511,-0.026008490499387506,0.05130105148111199,0.11398861530697153,0.03195580609731049,0.10884459657447539,-0.13900022972194903,0.008532402314056676,-0.07667310270027913,0.08552555930889769,-0.09474764399879197,-0.05731879252650887,0.641604981081723,0.008156970313224269,0.05210871160308693,0.058164816108184185,0.10703913669753956,0.009566649908794288,-0.13689816011358924,-0.008318428601208785,0.10155815476013541,-0.13631979712326,-0.14757597415711574,-0.05409450937945644,0.018246813558320616,0.025121949248729618,-0.1273136437728168,-0.08448095713975558,0.11002480027006588,0.032675283459802335,0.10416158705813272,0.034801016401306936,-0.009583073746213264,-0.10158313382254956,-0.03100251099709462,-0.14649869422303613,-0.14347055432467698,-0.01675838975240389,0.06475945465977472,-0.1448136644699824,0.011424695923777418,0.0653847392122078,-0.048956975966355565,0.059076824290569076,-0.004844796901387389,0.01816701666225828,-0.024355462953458612,0.08179235230806499,0.05155202582468282,-0.09059576031668971,-0.13684583119269902,0.08259173471877372,0.060263986591248,0.038301049843998736,-0.016856558307526307,0.10873156323337099,0.7529780077021685,0.04531847743960518,0.009804411933001252,-0.044332079398992884,-0.04628129671248455,-0.05903863374406142,-0.1474996669708035,0.027726694894675413,-0.13829710209618273,-0.1329358835078663,-0.07984780089678639,-0.14753618242502475,0.07725020588885113,-0.03870488369801145,-0.06343221054541417,-0.021484949954729868,-0.1369273091412688,0.05365452670182442,0.06703601258058312;0.06716173109317784,4.837893794339594E-4,0.07082258906697542,-0.36049242661100167,0.07930809544265884,0.09563542899383513,0.10646263474517402,0.137125151007063,-0.3545517295579695,0.10409052157183567,-0.30853801526896196,0.1301925434655743,0.07535843028024322,0.08979369215527393,-0.360242748110392,0.09023968012789454,0.08977335072648088,-0.10558908455360716,0.09046468224145213,0.1328583202425029,0.09416479056420775,0.09987243621787137,0.08128886453201879,-0.3610514333538416,0.1018068689737661,-0.18486459552710147,0.05469081073755368,0.09384073378971931,0.14258072061842933,0.08844449812122325,0.13814520341971612,-0.26125233778908463,0.09129654791852787,-0.060578817540797456,0.11722533979463405,-0.10856013786896958,-0.007391044787378462,0.7295548031457683,0.08986230796880149,0.09404458735921754,0.10049894191500419,0.13539775360414263,0.09860587729679188,-0.36050784993823015,0.08158827015147234,0.13114182618950998,-0.36139791690866624,-0.3387084016625991,-0.0030696204003706614,0.08982259285076,0.08941705946548602,-0.20694337166009907,-0.08120379141941686,0.13814294029815724,0.08780309901884,0.13213162769057837,0.08908294964382325,0.08027254620603762,-0.12976373522794052,0.05012022519120902,-0.30651669198273146,-0.352379874327978,0.07050140003480429,0.10101034908599879,-0.35330288331497106,0.09082353286931677,0.10161425339940144,0.007549837138697771,0.09748264680323299,0.08414648954591161,0.09698517621647894,0.05829721254322962,0.11405844906270048,0.09310204938724814,-0.09766875536494847,-0.36012254978887676,0.11471234863768953,0.09806224625470675,0.0940774759773316,0.07046310539439048,0.13732182610169005,0.8799071273313722,0.09118713403965217,0.09144421755186437,0.020158277640754937,0.014017388866920522,-0.01601052198294042,-0.338039968831262,-0.19308159238330241,-0.36252155096923544,-0.36268468430725753,-0.06838150750559271,-0.3430599557573692,0.10941902027071872,-0.20005777027107882,-0.02716693940917498,0.06121118105625394,-0.2413760509239239,0.09402064893999525,0.1048900979338732;0.1253702826811161,0.08762519336212393,0.12562203793915627,-0.2807057122651032,0.13804966208238884,0.03620283858755722,0.012009325820215884,-0.005507219495333127,-0.2635614579567998,0.01655231578153081,-0.17792934174403202,-0.0016801118446509546,0.13426017654231753,0.068014828601523,-0.30254114950151045,0.08938419138867047,0.08746890904771203,0.010869623502598142,0.10710785577010754,-0.0052167554669567745,0.03708312320462567,0.12880099201740447,0.1377075760566808,-0.2938936018375886,0.020832046192387006,-0.05294942085685982,0.11993837933281014,0.03500107428195196,-0.00884072899036685,0.06678852370076412,-0.0052221746138079676,-0.12592046484542854,0.11256609036759221,0.04351914289958931,0.007232874625728051,0.008708817037627112,0.08550574210443766,0.1452045700684988,0.11294315912206723,0.03683579302048374,0.03314436839470513,-0.004814695761233041,0.1220933387787015,-0.2843372639280318,0.12872526579147978,-0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k{40}=[0.6234972252619314;0.8981364907053478;0.3591802845119181];
x_a{40}=[-0.7153108337313181,2.1177277756291826,24.571201175075743];
L_a{40}=[0.022845981348390543,0.06428809677458591,0.02008382489762084,0.17117184270218438,0.019559903368975753,-0.06605609725600482,-0.09161027229065682,-0.13352461193914603,0.17535676446018036,-0.0864626949498936,0.1824215568652861,-0.12437619208966141,0.022135472504701107,-0.039963578755653734,0.15998671760093489,-0.02557519387803704,-0.02669565283126675,0.11580644821024058,-0.013872731559233601,-0.12847325821995367,-0.0641387457404163,-0.008382576631540642,0.01781434015367955,0.1646148594574073,-0.0815086119120682,0.14712011901185626,0.03211113377169738,-0.06333835201921938,-0.14073495248249523,-0.039453930030938514,-0.13438393900683074,0.17161530274136064,-0.010534448821897791,0.0946637121273049,-0.10559331291956138,0.11697927148328852,0.07076809838288176,-0.7921514467203634,-0.010070925296717178,-0.06433552185571605,-0.07181263329757927,-0.13215484525650012,-0.011811372712135098,0.1690200026260752,0.01027026822606339,-0.125387803386216,0.16830593229771468,0.18220326349809937,0.0667872680669021,-0.02252825365210083,-0.031016574104935055,0.1571865712947639,0.10430360485317744,-0.13584106619950076,-0.04034222586776261,-0.12860210614586726,-0.04296674169074611,0.011831650245751196,0.1254186435464586,0.03827695336296704,0.1808732101421152,0.17713454621012273,0.020690585451330165,-0.07995464064364587,0.1787928042911538,-0.014105391434309646,-0.08072664222939828,0.060444261628734085,-0.07293863546776035,0.005981582106843889,-0.02242973317840849,0.030070239139351435,-0.10098414464030268,-0.06364821508950619,0.11185318804820207,0.16895539522493142,-0.10197109447984114,-0.07440435403557619,-0.047288024469011716,0.020811788317978072,-0.13424438347449608,-0.9296570876745038,-0.05595202426019631,-0.012104923318823284,0.054734177363815105,0.05714075985675564,0.07289148387517752,0.18210905156113721,-0.03423249837705628,0.17074719295044108,0.1641280157524104,0.09858332285885478,0.18215413501706693,-0.09537622705348826,0.04778661407028244,0.07831597140580862,0.026526187749758255,0.16905599119400672,-0.06624404766666386,-0.08276537108322359;0.12672585973296446,0.168095957484363,0.12318521300237006,0.08578744654229051,0.13030474919478713,-0.07658627662688244,-0.13238401229679975,-0.21100072027143907,0.102639087368735,-0.12133534243469739,0.16707215503171088,-0.19408153311627038,0.13307011758604428,-0.014399500932301286,0.056875224740907754,0.023559938298979698,0.020172344093571604,0.19634192350079105,0.054295644257113994,-0.20209764258922389,-0.07305798896177867,0.07801735084421853,0.1277344792931214,0.06813304838137325,-0.1107026910729023,0.19870753301007962,0.1384110796802366,-0.0712952562110181,-0.22434397768839692,-0.014419936891261401,-0.21222110862701862,0.1861837260490062,0.06383109326337154,0.1862287693465886,-0.1580779434536937,0.1964286594413271,0.17711580792297754,-1.3357454330364122,0.06360535359474068,-0.07369122759589854,-0.08673122616005492,-0.20915685681900692,0.06781122186442039,0.0801617376619463,0.10836495216191457,-0.19576972717578098,0.0774099438412728,0.1363326333487625,0.17105839651307714,0.0310868450577239,0.008550530609549096,0.2028740491926876,0.1907369600994841,-0.21602239925478028,-0.01737730424591258,-0.2031602679390026,-0.022940101162018722,0.11112006930044543,0.19722822471932003,0.14991604220090357,0.1650566229081631,0.10944598187465934,0.12444597237169572,-0.10744769121532187,0.11284638960372952,0.05404790318217489,-0.10885655234467492,0.16514034377037984,-0.09268323837193934,0.0997416929494457,0.038506291373612264,0.13669645331174454,-0.14922779328370397,-0.0728418167776967,0.19395529790176308,0.08037859315164096,-0.15114707304852207,-0.09592506589231511,-0.029212039567686376,0.12472367830181691,-0.2126806362353902,-1.5438983339750394,-0.05469119440105516,0.05988421587183422,0.16286143106519052,0.16299499323333197,0.17403242938241462,0.13675543646312394,-0.28233269111694925,0.08265117375151687,0.06523049668619024,0.18864530324754197,0.13185299129316133,-0.13924623821648843,-0.07546833003927839,0.17701875628185515,0.13037035769022393,0.1993873662061443,-0.07869108169946279,-0.110896089358453;0.14919100580388048,0.1546561923813351,0.14656275503231733,-0.10223068817911452,0.15844410412255108,-0.03267159404505621,-0.08350957083643791,-0.14472876408881924,-0.08072295913241133,-0.07359937809589213,0.01227537441352782,-0.13136291205582493,0.15734007640239475,0.026346172306298193,-0.1357284726820848,0.06271781173574921,0.059634265178503294,0.1316170449672132,0.0926432332008425,-0.13917142635932686,-0.02979215260100079,0.12006076615666024,0.15628197905318128,-0.12225531984696396,-0.06415419479546128,0.10044769381847028,0.1534195598988409,-0.031039658374439952,-0.15558024898113465,0.02565126069419615,-0.1453397101406253,0.053016939851317654,0.10158218099593243,0.14222175680662652,-0.1028656600931337,0.130679101203265,0.15929321710042446,-0.6807446415617578,0.10244254987159045,-0.030244654508267917,-0.041732207420180384,-0.14260803149853035,0.10977802455406864,-0.10810588986853169,0.1394337230942695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x_a{40}=[-0.7153108337313187,2.1177277756291835,24.57120117507575];
std_x_a{40}=[1.5886519571425464,2.4488834056692927,1.4926744526532765];
pred_a{40}=[-0.7153108337313187];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 3.9 to 4.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{41}=[1.0071669218480845,2.1408512325865523,19.385019547662907];
std_x_f{41}=[2.425131138987328,3.202699139831778,1.7360669121729606];
pred_f{41}=[1.0071669218480845];
obs{41}=[1.2231157301270434];
sqrt_r{41}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{41}=[6.890416767908689];
L_f{41}=[0.09568556120291599,0.14175485716729644,0.09231125983916032,0.15154962955769402,0.0957965162809618,-0.08236860943859595,-0.13402471427151622,-0.21265145658720036,0.1635429691258312,-0.12407115230950691,0.2039195756700524,-0.19543829198883517,0.09946767888249075,-0.02616516286936517,0.12787958036673497,0.00565435701027895,0.003150455111208985,0.1843682678854402,0.03182319778139548,-0.20362873567869988,-0.07903115746116542,0.049223031934999155,0.09394147406171247,0.1377352206463282,-0.11400749004957902,0.20239575594929077,0.10740774553645435,-0.07730096825518952,-0.22609310765537474,-0.02663477995491376,-0.21410676496966288,0.20862521187116423,0.0390379959039582,0.16785648270184214,-0.1599300832091486,0.18503744508211736,0.1503002595389308,-1.3490924650693759,0.03955788816430201,-0.07986177128115968,-0.09233030051982061,-0.2100357421849126,0.04147065209113076,0.14758508849811028,0.07812321792197244,-0.19783945156435645,0.1448988928642763,0.18679107491591654,0.1444615231130853,0.01239847512049906,-0.00733995847355393,0.2100680348638889,0.1752083957439896,-0.21720774351414668,-0.029057626155890883,-0.2040300308212684,-0.033950884104259296,0.08037178354986983,0.19006827692693223,0.11751192781620204,0.20202878972087854,0.16803524868865677,0.09281898986291515,-0.11096463179904074,0.17192612280082806,0.03130240858447416,-0.11165703385469641,0.13741551921261283,-0.0968946683252526,0.0705383668672363,0.017183777195370505,0.10522378044152149,-0.15119259594083703,-0.07871774757708098,0.18171892344151375,0.14775861143012842,-0.15289050170594484,-0.09995968949291989,-0.040379500813803614,0.09362517140327367,-0.21471490959077685,-1.4814767021769086,-0.06244912569853929,0.03559503675818348,0.13342745186021188,0.13513571424517942,0.14966274537359767,0.18654049951551774,-0.21713752749051743,0.14959558557985012,0.13538424570508392,0.17065007622783807,0.1842772524290364,-0.1410657141149231,-0.02093060085376894,0.15366994270556128,0.10021049284221616,0.21430129719902383,-0.08408024355757115,-0.11429616940906913;0.14890762527003065,0.2052823087624836,0.14474667955451398,0.18440484919219757,0.15070622277995355,-0.11252187967336144,-0.1933841048686403,-0.3136506724549809,0.20116804217628945,-0.17690257844135826,0.26089705492307597,-0.2873135702764526,0.15502266158231506,-0.027489843360843133,0.15081390736585587,0.02111371891336469,0.01687092907855731,0.2526181048423128,0.059521899812430466,-0.29962147008789275,-0.10737820818201624,0.08692447472309327,0.14759087191852038,0.16412846023243946,-0.16137505537460559,0.26882412172858294,0.1644720247999033,-0.10509820435125143,-0.33546415083153547,-0.028095936804477407,-0.3155475576107871,0.2707309523492087,0.07085960983477511,0.23458414299412045,-0.23198258246845682,0.25299254150141165,0.21567746973093566,-1.822911655010107,0.07097510078603839,-0.10842870929368269,-0.12756103421686413,-0.31037264769114226,0.07518530534586827,0.17820984141822072,0.1251994478988919,-0.29036125379038524,0.1745195500905236,0.2348583356244182,0.20867888902296405,0.03118562399271387,0.0015474683556012208,0.27784961584999207,0.24275507522425,-0.32158464462560526,-0.03185241258411439,-0.2999581587266911,-0.039221445577822166,0.12873778819802056,0.25766493727483725,0.17712459445247142,0.25829895713343304,0.20802184560349501,0.14574588653958803,-0.15707375006472896,0.2126931758350884,0.05869785548305141,-0.15794492901112592,0.20065121350738188,-0.13525079401675644,0.11503574178740417,0.039038325065327624,0.16125510721338476,-0.21847761290536225,-0.10697324793717168,0.2490892214344392,0.17851042388686006,-0.22123916214700257,-0.14000360141425425,-0.04792802562907018,0.14616565008398608,-0.31676698043547447,-1.8078167637031761,-0.08197580574143273,0.06567506253681478,0.1966224290709928,0.19762038135234977,0.21411326464677868,0.23524028968052768,-0.38046373322952926,0.18118732980652327,0.16088483817831434,0.23797413876131138,0.23138665370902772,-0.20317334568648468,-0.05892274435105926,0.21858393823533326,0.15341123695225184,0.27987592279223256,-0.11514940147994845,-0.1618914628414284;0.08669730307148148,0.109306775408176,0.08342617875954485,-0.08042372806725924,0.09376050979662849,-0.08631375494126738,-0.12455824323967994,-0.1613960386189212,-0.058106377168421854,-0.11778881456516817,0.032738184620046074,-0.15473705944426736,0.09405557761606435,-0.03644941379330026,-0.11517212805021279,-0.003596434936324719,-0.006661819240813904,0.11345097394699002,0.024642110566711707,-0.15937473215139103,-0.08373580011600733,0.0495964119666552,0.09041507419709718,-0.10168399874377246,-0.11057631361576094,0.09963417441232492,0.09417587977309172,-0.08462462352798485,-0.16722761196830976,-0.03732229960363813,-0.16257457374043233,0.06634462141964481,0.03309972945640637,0.11241721856715173,-0.13774875382612012,0.11282955260931146,0.11664727891692217,0.7657078956066589,0.033926432757713065,-0.08458471485125768,-0.09384827817127557,-0.160987038961306,0.039960625398001715,-0.08700073580303791,0.07337565589841563,-0.15685660226707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k{41}=[0.8548708976999209;1.1257702145097248;-0.25188661932828715];
x_a{41}=[1.1917752734387461,2.3839599688058755,19.330624932397548];
L_a{41}=[-0.04326866267406359,-0.06410103071010488,-0.04174281587300495,-0.06853019115188423,-0.04331883615670385,0.037246785533005575,0.06060548821471806,0.09616021504757041,-0.07395353567309947,0.056104523706329366,-0.09221169026321999,0.08837648463729081,-0.04497892252950935,0.011831791461259596,-0.057826681018833176,-0.002556879669625953,-0.0014246243400047253,-0.08337066001023154,-0.014390334264677559,0.09208017347719981,0.035737601890385974,-0.022258475968736244,-0.04247999281376061,-0.062283365698669976,0.05155377224376428,-0.09152262452911315,-0.04856939178464974,0.034955216625832494,0.10223848076017794,0.012044150598888442,0.09681830020374106,-0.09433956183436541,-0.017652839728428793,-0.07590409081970728,0.07231980180517243,-0.08367325950411743,-0.06796523057457933,0.6100547047366726,-0.017887933117200057,0.03611320243803325,0.04175142599952988,0.09497739851076517,-0.018752878006320424,-0.0667374401076506,-0.035327034933826267,0.08946228026197756,-0.06552275221434961,-0.0844662445352962,-0.06532497520400231,-0.005606545344119234,0.0033191025191391843,-0.09499200114271815,-0.0792285991512741,0.0982205514202672,0.013139752836710861,0.09226163768076676,0.01535246627940195,-0.03634382813053092,-0.08594818336229094,-0.05313846625276633,-0.09135668373564007,-0.0759849281485983,-0.041972409542636355,0.05017780281271995,-0.07774436726721089,-0.014154835284448901,0.05049090450334464,-0.06213879787341048,0.04381541651608002,-0.03189719288039032,-0.007770441533555971,-0.04758181071393631,0.06836874184922183,0.035595879080980816,-0.08217263609094272,-0.06681590654623681,0.069136528659261,0.04520140793762183,0.018259463368296647,-0.042336961902316526,0.09709330098899249,0.6699183751458565,0.028239267452380784,-0.016095946128116604,-0.06033540832515309,-0.06110787836101573,-0.06767694898827754,-0.08435293525082353,0.09818879998982642,-0.06764657957387092,-0.0612202633830328,-0.07716734364913308,-0.08332950315195777,0.06378940272890919,0.009464741561024522,-0.06948898904369882,-0.0453148202997568,-0.09690626697015432,0.03802078025472034,0.05168431199991663;-0.03407968526060607,-0.06580707757334679,-0.03178767899767242,-0.10541588003849003,-0.03249327620488735,0.044998336792252576,0.0629222981128205,0.09302006900405972,-0.11158852945594988,0.06036881538375104,-0.12907499778067497,0.08643903122522893,-0.0351975013619487,0.022547933738125282,-0.09374065435606609,0.010300430376583219,0.010846056563830753,-0.09996438580122376,-0.0013361993751054748,0.0897943855559959,0.04375952639502896,-0.0072087478521290094,-0.03206107838338649,-0.09927384701814845,0.05665077550577015,-0.11823380611734968,-0.04093257583984118,0.04273074815323751,0.0969121573518349,0.022839927387083153,0.09390628888052442,-0.12824007263366222,-0.0037959368241665802,-0.08642151280806755,0.07386477246654465,-0.100869671327468,-0.0717539872133487,0.7570680068813351,-0.004674678286760047,0.04429747590328427,0.049009737383444385,0.09129584956748169,-0.004122408343712807,-0.10402917227606467,-0.024201959772477046,0.08798328120006754,-0.10258243239011801,-0.12235748670331495,-0.06758667557527451,0.007475007798804794,0.01558427018439443,-0.12388063733503697,-0.09231024410423277,0.0937994563025795,0.023716858200589035,0.09022512638037326,0.02570560187086253,-0.024963735098191903,-0.10581814601183623,-0.047603058873993374,-0.12805719123450388,-0.11332567898987027,-0.03175944558849119,0.05513297456187063,-0.11609518497691669,-0.0011642960055839849,0.05558593259473695,-0.06213970259084298,0.050048790776353595,-0.019860535978959638,0.0061763850379256205,-0.03997291867474107,0.0706603317913128,0.0435651273315162,-0.09842671153447277,-0.10406043187686852,0.07114582636261162,0.051157473588455064,0.029292990390454486,-0.03288140882099766,0.09384987066418461,1.0253320827592318,0.03745075572620416,-0.0023962322618477404,-0.05854178024037092,-0.06081067758163343,-0.07209902191199563,-0.12149633685185594,0.0347860878641796,-0.10489652159569073,-0.09802150775674238,-0.08837393401174784,-0.12102178064665649,0.06659813612812787,-0.01889544754815659,-0.07529163893200573,-0.038229469771093816,-0.1299499435630458,0.0456441126504988,0.05668643314610344;0.1276399878533937,0.16996195013195367,0.12292504113650236,-0.015577489681950914,0.13475067090337284,-0.12155827845947297,-0.18190578408513552,-0.25238700367164,0.01187166496290099,-0.1708773476277924,0.11999288431099464,-0.23836272127474173,0.13661658443127228,-0.047645167908761936,-0.06045401506454216,-0.0011770045248195586,-0.005313777917585832,0.19233990745925683,0.03825886882298708,-0.24650498495674628,-0.11755226863229946,0.07065834707148137,0.13061148535990963,-0.042748777469050966,-0.1593587283207152,0.18623685022728542,0.14013434428279137,-0.11770076518218037,-0.26397009559618323,-0.04871899714316603,-0.25418824750295593,0.1556128054572219,0.04980361184701977,0.18424096055564074,-0.2061808861317581,0.19200481888362048,0.18095892710689523,0.18844768158279737,0.05085277070659656,-0.11875659289203831,-0.13335528782329253,-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x_a{41}=[1.1917752734387457,2.383959968805877,19.330624932397537];
std_x_a{41}=[1.0966354784781525,1.466955628100325,1.6119335785851938];
pred_a{41}=[1.1917752734387457];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.0 to 4.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{42}=[2.4496763046453194,3.9918371073180077,15.511309649354526];
std_x_f{42}=[1.514056043632337,2.021065987704932,1.946645511030263];
pred_f{42}=[2.4496763046453194];
obs{42}=[2.5544657613318997];
sqrt_r{42}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{42}=[3.2954474877330324];
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k{42}=[0.6965510742554999;0.9052219833017822;0.43918346011763865];
x_a{42}=[2.5226675132710072,4.08669482712895,15.557331445525985];
L_a{42}=[0.04877432017463952,0.08074277172837835,0.0465021713925035,0.1026346820632187,0.04809215763314172,-0.05759498436699562,-0.08688849989660741,-0.13206156407363956,0.11042147485386905,-0.08176904414616407,0.13304229693745442,-0.12210778325025086,0.0509329503675126,-0.024336429122660017,0.08809436449289731,-0.00621985766059898,-0.007086903170087297,0.11210292471220282,0.009469068747652756,-0.12768193043973652,-0.05551820233941273,0.01932697785765032,0.04754776782531779,0.09442095799380733,-0.07533269234053962,0.1274828113498488,0.05614630849503877,-0.054550689455975764,-0.13950425720852125,-0.024749847328507546,-0.1337077845370089,0.13447679092249043,0.013694753369431597,0.10015032929599348,-0.10217512341419512,0.11279294902807185,0.08682880632821438,-0.6889898961988231,0.013935137479754833,-0.05594037338199892,-0.06317130246449189,-0.13048228103620158,0.014812332320324507,0.10074853195893718,0.03798013722611546,-0.12429797924222029,0.0986218600635638,0.12412252466127362,0.08250884328310251,-0.0018193863353914716,-0.013522333917520344,0.13271039956597233,0.10513922566739,-0.1346219797301464,-0.026288311869492903,-0.12766259846486394,-0.0288275205402247,0.039055268015746984,0.11687532283116389,0.06324563171212216,0.13239390008471977,0.1128172414567627,0.046519491208684774,-0.07353000441189525,0.11579943282092182,0.009623964257869308,-0.07415196829800413,0.07744421221459714,-0.06485859300555168,0.033150369229125155,5.629848824962892E-4,0.05492227078028305,-0.09673901822884036,-0.055501888133882085,0.11011513675839463,0.10113512690129842,-0.09801139794886621,-0.06718854520369061,-0.0320446587191424,0.04721203470990275,-0.13380447237407514,-0.7509769374003171,-0.04575890403988165,0.011256064657883808,0.07472637002160364,0.075724564595443,0.08687826680713318,0.12367281438742257,-0.11497777594340054,0.10156285382812454,0.09290635422023147,0.10175746636623068,0.12254960709459171,-0.09162874723917255,-0.004957888516127449,0.08946000662664576,0.05267550766750308,0.13729165209067315,-0.05842612817704508,-0.07612406045116792;0.05030454479694606,0.08081597948517619,0.04841691873187315,0.10395353785320438,0.04899088976196173,-0.042342378011099004,-0.06671489567304101,-0.10563655924310751,0.11065727130169765,-0.06281812913843032,0.13074559267273977,-0.09697032158096128,0.05262008471722316,-0.013852402028923027,0.0915096963352281,0.0014151717088549324,5.556961641412388E-4,0.11082540892135696,0.015449527629281593,-0.10214796748837235,-0.04039745861446581,0.024190981589386068,0.04910058796565465,0.095947308762591,-0.05725629627432187,0.12554222645664295,0.05772813031834015,-0.03942340390436601,-0.11291790097585923,-0.014337543742852055,-0.10749905534551216,0.13239574816149546,0.019406451139117795,0.09940138141937288,-0.07945934491287274,0.1116287910096617,0.08659219746849915,-0.9977984389325554,0.018784725463506735,-0.04053704471841527,-0.04703584240888568,-0.10468354923412805,0.019619472964192666,0.10223899516584585,0.0402482978117849,-0.09844155139464612,0.09999221418444934,0.12288824174411701,0.08246071033868226,0.005799240493156932,-0.004920087487560357,0.13070856139353632,0.1040030464118946,-0.1079309171775973,-0.015969111814366083,-0.1018765250219184,-0.018137889497067006,0.041762695472866616,0.11554148425856628,0.0638827681513813,0.13096947952918564,0.11343268488921435,0.048627795375145,-0.056125652048489516,0.11581689514120244,0.01564989310290199,-0.055858900156397114,0.07798419857101466,-0.0469980571670042,0.0366275904874739,0.007389599823377472,0.05580958988941122,-0.07535489305039354,-0.040286858128055256,0.10853555329884701,0.10270754909483103,-0.07692633113254044,-0.049915230205733074,-0.018537051938336938,0.04869280444381553,-0.10703547594351125,-1.2632185366713078,-0.0314723648018118,0.016155928456535445,0.07515760716039879,0.07562321930471239,0.08701843562620787,0.12292258647507247,-0.0728653473536429,0.10273475980070541,0.09498786664248039,0.10136928858049228,0.12135731063917848,-0.07134668805336383,0.012505355322144158,0.08950435401488638,0.05395647463575126,0.13500823165650028,-0.043026250124852235,-0.05859737878913396;0.12323886645273148,0.18827528634055127,0.11729712453683465,0.06944825934341128,0.12878617254669453,-0.16072550075164138,-0.22875701887825822,-0.31277644410537775,0.09919389788125256,-0.2165149137122601,0.20769724286180424,-0.29566924219912905,0.13267504869215793,-0.07701284339239678,0.019537690857504512,-0.02696777287653569,-0.030269326706306877,0.23917512049755238,0.01793086739717281,-0.3056995773447027,-0.15563210195084606,0.051688493353778404,0.12432881309993626,0.03960085320719616,-0.20271989899369472,0.25211407505601136,0.14045218134580775,-0.15564897759677992,-0.326169380789083,-0.07868821766876569,-0.3145848430419125,0.237308912389132,0.030782065142952578,0.21968648277796268,-0.2579194398299251,0.24010866983342036,0.2033124849863397,0.06817902510109936,0.031221909546140864,-0.15712483369643981,-0.17392099278037257,-0.3103456800833413,0.037719590565173745,0.062059842293720566,0.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x_a{42}=[2.522667513271009,4.0866948271289525,15.557331445525989];
std_x_a{42}=[1.3302462538192859,1.7903290540323762,1.8892922780378265];
pred_a{42}=[2.522667513271009];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.1 to 4.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{43}=[4.851409648341324,8.183385169778939,14.225053540775736];
std_x_f{43}=[2.0808630333606426,3.1591022463525285,2.3158524788552817];
pred_f{43}=[4.851409648341324];
obs{43}=[5.115511263464981];
sqrt_r{43}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{43}=[5.333640210819683];
L_f{43}=[0.060408999435771174,0.09382485792129264,0.05801915174570089,0.14161646980079132,0.05820219214821559,-0.052159301812652284,-0.08804878110346206,-0.14815656337555466,0.14660708286415064,-0.08191876226836672,0.1582533222322399,-0.13431081229900257,0.0618508176086111,-0.014128557241587823,0.12959115316669098,0.004495871914992721,0.004219168549194934,0.1273291216595084,0.02159302214412924,-0.14204416133799164,-0.04971897363791862,0.03029092413562208,0.058298608423806464,0.1347153175669346,-0.07320143548259911,0.14465502121829002,0.0680345553830792,-0.04806959867926636,-0.15905608929406362,-0.014934581014887609,-0.15087392162336777,0.15599434766717715,0.024775701689563816,0.11494263192021646,-0.10731327024834227,0.1279556244305245,0.09932845289430858,-1.2192751354494358,0.024895831284568348,-0.049934206472977055,-0.05907491392224364,-0.1464477689046265,0.025350936845923572,0.1404544719142472,0.04889016878379381,-0.13707988216593583,0.1381152138358252,0.1549426984824527,0.09564104326798212,0.00963271918706539,-0.0033333047668038292,0.15029439452032667,0.11979061444348235,-0.15116910910672138,-0.01695608385483359,-0.14219408412692836,-0.019702326969295393,0.050353317802073055,0.13279942812186818,0.07487153409244798,0.15831829734485828,0.14853127405633784,0.05829350477386562,-0.0718811450444545,0.1510209259013475,0.02096583067423491,-0.07152835094823026,0.09067154771315764,-0.05983362976933349,0.04472015722696241,0.011266011106575874,0.0663357316195566,-0.10057177744136425,-0.04989648046710556,0.1248765439914976,0.14063151004804858,-0.10298184130590461,-0.06344978787477631,-0.021999434383425106,0.05796911385605544,-0.15071012559140276,-1.360375704638533,-0.03782344129660256,0.022031554725012427,0.0872056693397449,0.08802977007334976,0.10080178822099203,0.15523285467590703,-0.09606048295446323,0.140617325096361,0.13370044408406007,0.1165361335656663,0.1545093737762748,-0.09437167860711843,0.03236532978841012,0.10347602144585052,0.06363762514889477,0.15608847205556597,-0.053286596626919584,-0.07499549730294837;0.07752676517086822,0.11266692435502801,0.07581565666600666,0.20568305684951949,0.07330124729737811,-0.047047341723817505,-0.09622869185004108,-0.1877579921311788,0.20610730480946035,-0.08792237179591485,0.1970871741229005,-0.16670450176504875,0.07879693617990062,5.258573638269012E-4,0.1996655624682823,0.021282637868208578,0.021401123230126405,0.14787707688992566,0.03987062747532009,-0.17839557968322142,-0.04386698140273427,0.047289530986836116,0.07445271469484344,0.20241205769642093,-0.07605633359229265,0.16816025760071335,0.0856616514623658,-0.04141145418171905,-0.20533653671036534,-4.6338054852651766E-4,-0.19230127670998526,0.18645369836018547,0.04295372177202832,0.1342940185810125,-0.1251322276823816,0.14848826524170555,0.11726957089313321,-1.9904012471483383,0.042463200915772006,-0.04425215350766674,-0.05637448511545212,-0.1852998120260142,0.042421133552340534,0.2059678811858549,0.06662198553347928,-0.1702046556167699,0.2041125706543989,0.20416687295090216,0.11511880868012306,0.027299170790296978,0.013015920160931066,0.1735643789432914,0.13991384225116896,-0.19313336690532626,-0.002644381367150262,-0.1782007131216643,-0.006028765726360866,0.06836687747341004,0.1537659014444339,0.09120107472810991,0.1973271919460524,0.20645171326342426,0.07613919152442768,-0.07420847610186271,0.2080454848644094,0.039023250813624955,-0.07333957628843786,0.10939045958577216,-0.05631850799480798,0.06302591311621766,0.028248142979184633,0.08380032301979945,-0.11479641954979729,-0.044533550729720595,0.14506188122184838,0.2057665091412295,-0.11851127754555689,-0.06142422698056252,-0.007289009000320117,0.07543659284047449,-0.19215513576208756,-2.100578780495781,-0.02780196573210722,0.039232331187773514,0.10588793390272075,0.10620913352872433,0.1197984059159657,0.20402266097792546,-0.07626964559105893,0.20569538520092537,0.20174465223459345,0.13602163143975507,0.20524557811899863,-0.10576556803634349,0.09340221542161216,0.12300223682821404,0.08159110699045984,0.1829029927508143,-0.048850070638293414,-0.07850951535678816;0.11047402647601086,0.19294952217387482,0.1042611719651971,0.14766658296912258,0.11274015782518237,-0.2013977074850473,-0.27731712994011126,-0.3783793246214877,0.17650720908143186,-0.26425506567144824,0.27348685763152436,-0.3573541299256611,0.11921066129502306,-0.10775517716658428,0.09657078214514415,-0.05438788064284435,-0.056615892686639746,0.2664033323424372,-0.00548613176083776,-0.3699866853908602,-0.194569336134827,0.02831045289461646,0.11003538177926635,0.11638045083444863,-0.24797249597459217,0.2938631321350219,0.131043602467992,-0.1935588235933876,-0.39382489199456977,-0.10921434889722839,-0.381430934228282,0.29515227186905807,0.008241033797138577,0.23853720266314116,-0.3119718394974349,0.2673879515373817,0.21006046479002233,0.26276302583564926,0.007987716526933898,-0.19600116005043489,-0.2158444937312361,-0.37483370052965065,0.013685233035497442,0.14102450273666448,0.07962376729727455,-0.3614077445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k{43}=[0.812510788040891;1.2264836920382565;0.1291270272987878];
x_a{43}=[5.065995059768318,8.507301493769068,14.259156197241463];
L_a{43}=[-0.03308584870702735,-0.05138762573683852,-0.03177693546818772,-0.07756296475716416,-0.03187718621098212,0.02856751120786956,0.048224083789447536,0.08114495665515113,-0.0802963102903107,0.04486668873832011,-0.0866749246911027,0.07356167552762623,-0.03387552869469773,0.00773817331374215,-0.07097673074358876,-0.0024623771188891264,-0.002310827419622031,-0.06973782208898105,-0.011826440935307166,0.07779721027728964,0.027230949941521018,-0.016590258777796907,-0.031929993149300825,-0.07378322198959338,0.04009223198754637,-0.07922717130630268,-0.03726234546638614,0.02632759165297413,0.08711459808087171,0.008179630395745607,0.08263324655747825,-0.0854376903155829,-0.013569586077698714,-0.06295377452399707,0.05877519337939117,-0.07008095599435891,-0.054401930100801715,0.6677937565678745,-0.01363538073814138,0.027348832394202553,0.03235517361101379,0.08020905445738931,-0.013884640846558431,-0.07692654159784751,-0.02677701572199493,0.07507828774653803,-0.07564533615507814,-0.084861704847463,-0.052382345632312,-0.0052758147401429315,0.0018256421764797765,-0.08231584110080913,-0.0656090016887779,0.08279491995888634,0.009286802137505478,0.07787932259099851,0.010790912204655476,-0.027578378557115174,-0.07273389442398388,-0.041006940564867325,-0.08671051138788446,-0.08135018470079161,-0.031927197893769806,0.03936911241771747,-0.08271376041047948,-0.01148292983138093,0.03917588802728859,-0.049660566102558604,0.032770720267354836,-0.024493111456661602,-0.006170364390825082,-0.036331904198614894,0.05508289565629552,0.027328169960885617,-0.06839455180766621,-0.07702350491399311,0.05640288124025213,0.03475128046690893,0.012049031840430859,-0.031749529848795546,0.08254353590537294,0.7450741639288597,0.020715798440745097,-0.012066624066292964,-0.04776231371349831,-0.04821367149869715,-0.055208871950006996,-0.08502062262474304,0.05261207163569317,-0.07701573585359091,-0.0732273784757995,-0.06382653114715232,-0.08462437405563522,0.05168711797557801,-0.01772640524978279,-0.056673542391686337,-0.034854158443552614,-0.08548924199336216,0.029184927586578736,0.04107483488634518;-0.063603553619391,-0.1065310797927108,-0.059731388613516206,-0.1251679374661032,-0.06267342549790751,0.07480964914595636,0.10947497254250457,0.15837227348086466,-0.13640299224531088,0.10346005701140704,-0.17263160991357793,0.14707867514207473,-0.06570182539655045,0.0335336510067553,-0.10309132689649037,0.010779172448660824,0.011544105104692602,-0.14959514908521906,-0.010575996824196951,0.15345460752671736,0.07228880109627062,-0.023477537159312844,-0.06174721029527769,-0.11231614326256174,0.09496027025905901,-0.16978954209519329,-0.07328384638810592,0.07089098169851332,0.1662577091349112,0.03442748338427269,0.16017740783571338,-0.17798756405726052,-0.014928426754834957,-0.13424031300875683,0.12557803373614432,-0.15044762569432765,-0.11478618822967253,0.8581261273527542,-0.015699599967486582,0.07240646596777621,0.0816390809463034,0.15683828833446709,-0.016804906145617776,-0.12216839953256711,-0.04759750445331605,0.1500477513177154,-0.1185586263608673,-0.15781747764741183,-0.10832225228620918,0.004794763460507958,0.02080334204770303,-0.17756038738552388,-0.13994657196517296,0.16003494839105012,0.03696921167723308,0.15399973069232695,0.04000072842281797,-0.0492708894144449,-0.15648630933635385,-0.08371729130140428,-0.17254338997555746,-0.1405539688979245,-0.06004881008093484,0.0937236037187739,-0.14477663792407727,-0.009958099554599278,0.09376828952878077,-0.10244063434866364,0.0834676053756457,-0.04145140160080836,0.00192796297593586,-0.07117630361026185,0.12016405230330754,0.0720369314932424,-0.14668051854565906,-0.1227833763131556,0.1220796977869029,0.08681012342384078,0.04410709450639803,-0.0599935515901157,0.15994088086287547,1.0775943172773392,0.06056291992718507,-0.01223881335736957,-0.09784601350890146,-0.0994501164095953,-0.11569942783614823,-0.15863956603720833,0.14815132991150576,-0.12282136070848476,-0.11061255401320998,-0.13623551293148156,-0.15572641911319807,0.11470994407266585,0.017788824147903892,-0.11874326516983888,-0.06708207760462084,-0.18175816744781242,0.07564055889449674,0.09669845930024148;0.09561550153563321,0.1698718515540669,0.08999046691652972,0.11283382844319324,0.09842443116696482,-0.1885683228884694,-0.25566017448289247,-0.3419379332301794,0.1404469363154669,-0.24410588287388316,0.2345620127036525,-0.3243183145182414,0.10399749894166603,-0.1042800406454292,0.0646958396802092,-0.05549370966834762,-0.05765366225245627,0.23508477140805725,-0.010797268529586918,-0.3350487335361939,-0.18234018788358855,0.02085993300618884,0.09569594005129323,0.08324514111876005,-0.22996747412439508,0.25828299903237006,0.1143094544534768,-0.18173536454720357,-0.35470259412887717,-0.1055409583998451,-0.3443211666732536,0.2567830565696883,0.0021470679160926244,0.21026528988440013,-0.28557648586947504,0.23591529258556507,0.18562910011912803,0.5626625470736974,0.0018642029195532637,-0.183719071964445,-0.20131410769500335,-0.33881261348871067,0.0074497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x_a{43}=[5.0659950597683165,8.507301493769063,14.259156197241467];
std_x_a{43}=[1.1396831621920274,1.75197636687134,2.299916205615795];
pred_a{43}=[5.0659950597683165];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.2 to 4.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{44}=[9.836284346152864,15.685661654284477,19.25909725297029];
std_x_f{44}=[1.6100173201152537,2.5403260723598753,2.8536000907146937];
pred_f{44}=[9.836284346152864];
obs{44}=[10.266847668201605];
sqrt_r{44}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{44}=[3.597864067226854];
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k{44}=[0.7220573147526453;0.8859896972405521;0.8877742725381671];
x_a{44}=[10.147175742302355,16.067136321629327,19.641340292983728];
L_a{44}=[0.05977001065386936,0.1028069366443647,0.056415095722526364,0.11737503848790543,0.059133929319026744,-0.0911274692509728,-0.1313538432260799,-0.18989040559230108,0.1286380599391417,-0.12441361045801747,0.1643857691655789,-0.17674170714193085,0.0626075468634242,-0.04424328069725833,0.09536599082930337,-0.018807023932076693,-0.020091969866757986,0.1440713721405833,0.004638247247422661,-0.18412684195733267,-0.08792310982859533,0.0189085302410324,0.05846499836668427,0.10440572486859072,-0.1153344877349017,0.16280107207535535,0.06989916022446463,-0.08666674644614472,-0.19898391898789794,-0.045413553329434996,-0.19193810284254997,0.17001906291843502,0.009582959924820025,0.1286498233914678,-0.15051836643375716,0.1452269339219996,0.11100494363837923,-0.4283182767276684,0.009893580427225329,-0.08815014080992983,-0.0989814739514723,-0.1874723234640838,0.011866666574503913,0.11481149070411481,0.04421105998624219,-0.1796422626193084,0.11137159850256825,0.1499505715106458,0.10526244375855923,-0.012179194563270376,-0.029557623859874555,0.17004429370254545,0.1347761843386543,-0.19232033272057653,-0.04746417730684087,-0.18420839901460498,-0.05137773913811028,0.04600292822380426,0.15031138360827942,0.08016354802145914,0.16445657605001368,0.1328930857709178,0.05672875040659546,-0.11308478039528536,0.13730484079038197,0.003763686927066349,-0.11318981458638959,0.09874111793450772,-0.10115376730347035,0.037586947904502725,-0.00879561844633337,0.06765921623617181,-0.14399539882642037,-0.08793521389279961,0.14099999504842992,0.11514623843409656,-0.14610479381720515,-0.10447291723292254,-0.05545778796076681,0.05677244922118728,-0.19226653438771435,-0.3548965765802487,-0.0748293438903501,0.006935308952801053,0.09463438943756726,0.09611792361980569,0.11152921362648283,0.1508064069727528,-0.19097825010233554,0.11515618742018241,0.10260124661538045,0.13125947330417906,0.1473912600655621,-0.13776734934773893,-0.0331019214779854,0.11471594915239142,0.06400681241202244,0.17382885329841843,-0.09214506226272395,-0.11645137313191739;0.056033466240019696,0.080537021363343,0.05382670065905612,0.11742739003508375,0.05360446740398485,-0.02766216446122437,-0.055682402359185756,-0.10542379095536344,0.12022607381460282,-0.05069633230614148,0.1281497717147484,-0.09339531653839286,0.055513259526033566,0.001222427882392057,0.10925899717910724,0.015315365415191184,0.013611772180400251,0.10530184254299783,0.02793382206876222,-0.09925380368013736,-0.025853543295033116,0.03396105667758604,0.05385304254354719,0.1127506205956385,-0.044265661830173934,0.11829974101444898,0.060901589800570775,-0.024002850247154768,-0.11323506495718759,2.795062951640203E-4,-0.10745385279126185,0.12693580975548988,0.028881572575122808,0.09572043050925516,-0.07057095330822472,0.10637880157090222,0.08396851891695245,-1.3610610518288562,0.029225484297668382,-0.025524976914679354,-0.032904447405248415,-0.10295934035561898,0.02986186185198205,0.11685326171696951,0.04783514958995541,-0.09563355577261821,0.11590202039887493,0.1257391432725163,0.08264807705004004,0.018681986365844828,0.008754196157263378,0.12266053539593183,0.09973970023053429,-0.10666325115937052,-5.078005846345314E-4,-0.09945931513873423,-0.002711620754181269,0.0487757189531001,0.10959264922557813,0.06654278202378773,0.12824740415727237,0.12180024753915601,0.05419634479605363,-0.04270217896499863,0.12399018179600345,0.02662353195777505,-0.04201435746372302,0.0783820832916372,-0.03367926099920625,0.044367280751623994,0.01959466270205612,0.05959854688297954,-0.06590770532132227,-0.024971047006252762,0.10385061249690648,0.11721935915867704,-0.06774170842409925,-0.036702423776963054,-0.005817544558968606,0.053711209388283304,-0.1082321247869418,-1.5910253366779132,-0.017709651349824513,0.027868119224251964,0.07528154477013563,0.07652246771991383,0.08456009799834734,0.12709687948301232,-0.05349909389397941,0.11671963671742008,0.112299990301622,0.09716028637106713,0.12459445736365674,-0.06068143313792832,0.04079182392448782,0.08797311345778874,0.05749706786877271,0.12617935431224783,-0.027952064451269822,-0.045274911784669136;0.09564699138513821,0.1930972576759536,0.08890662495389016,0.1621879117260066,0.09792205064931683,-0.22799174221519425,-0.2971058819205381,-0.3808529750712334,0.19511692725528879,-0.2854233113546036,0.3073641907845564,-0.36395313281313196,0.10439087072146128,-0.13596845575485514,0.10263677043890918,-0.0820878313166333,-0.08468904201330647,0.28629039100660775,-0.030596113190146934,-0.3736095578420916,-0.2205476978692263,0.005034841904718349,0.0937650560903889,0.12601433790449737,-0.27093449379214357,0.3256855918752356,0.11989034115032074,-0.21966391611125585,-0.39175199579091824,-0.13880907350907323,-0.38244678073642857,0.3309474203349193,-0.01704505565418717,0.24989369923158145,-0.3263963823558625,0.2885203378668329,0.214005853219309,0.570169532390473,-0.017231000388623696,-0.2223040070320951,-0.2415346435723078,-0.37647528541519315,-0.010805268544825953,0.15422517536442662,0.061455826011806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x_a{44}=[10.147175742302364,16.06713632162933,19.641340292983738];
std_x_a{44}=[1.2736808901272534,2.2357814257520143,2.582534760264296];
pred_a{44}=[10.147175742302364];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.3 to 4.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{45}=[14.47763946419296,14.962689823325393,34.52216088707432];
std_x_f{45}=[1.5870553557515241,2.873772636314634,2.5670943870730274];
pred_f{45}=[14.47763946419296];
obs{45}=[14.957414510161763];
sqrt_r{45}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{45}=[3.5189560469600614];
L_f{45}=[0.01453770065951365,1.5828220269124176E-4,0.01547401986785752,0.02654945492789132,0.012361957048267041,0.04519408864501954,0.04248876125606251,0.024694075247370224,0.018458478474674796,0.04278270219797938,-0.009596965667360307,0.029784129673541174,0.012311199304603174,0.0424275757289269,0.0389078861630992,0.037616689472311074,0.037646113469097076,-0.01401671881343177,0.032213980446599615,0.027481415029394208,0.045076324837949544,0.026536515924334182,0.014286830733045907,0.03412303658122818,0.044193932387473205,-0.019785574551011154,0.0108042251469454,0.045590017348629205,0.019867464975481863,0.04239380242400415,0.023257482195346263,-0.017190016445839573,0.029150177892192014,-0.008291525990445536,0.037718291441520516,-0.014226629828646434,-0.0037770406910540067,-1.0075263661699945,0.029447793260847198,0.0452468011942971,0.04478607412249537,0.025281068751847127,0.028089792252870758,0.028491300519446913,0.0190942418537377,0.027971179748770256,0.030482092324964388,0.002408011149278797,-4.526619508721327E-4,0.035894583911502166,0.038877480058487526,-0.022285283233565614,-0.010858308843222699,0.024425458764162123,0.04251852969455586,0.026934481254533207,0.043212256687104586,0.018792101340516072,-0.015940016280837955,0.0074646581555288805,-0.010110483050974029,0.01563106202007764,0.0152466292703275,0.043893367284250244,0.0133919503696284,0.03132972738851776,0.04460575060708499,0.0018932021950347532,0.045850067370995874,0.02176372459182413,0.034163159397208646,0.011282864585954235,0.03913741598807342,0.04594391416722062,-0.012228979377906166,0.028034007713640504,0.03800840640329398,0.044635445759567516,0.04348851307789742,0.014690814356217165,0.02297284789514762,-1.1879435749984724,0.04492552549808724,0.030605644988831213,0.002989075882488927,0.0018038037834597624,-0.002783228361981301,0.00236605322314027,0.07595149437088458,0.02773497372216441,0.03507739036637758,-0.009406785337836777,0.004886767953545317,0.040486909031658726,0.07526553624819216,-0.003168145147931578,0.012115110622522556,-0.022249612413434355,0.04519668598608939,0.04296555828740157;-0.07727985827069833,-0.17372572201623085,-0.07006955161909861,-0.16644591001770523,-0.07913345527339846,0.2351422980466606,0.3010915817986878,0.3775704914583452,-0.19715742741348238,0.2899490243118082,-0.29866997317658767,0.3620579216481089,-0.08484325919643129,0.14625315823788707,-0.11016099691311744,0.09534660365739596,0.0975988038514763,-0.2672436507583049,0.04499141929255291,0.3712825583941158,0.22775521740957344,0.011442920987005344,-0.07487509939293664,-0.13258822129813885,0.2758230616097867,-0.30783854340808176,-0.10032065883716319,0.22742801469869828,0.3869646907982243,0.14984428273565747,0.3790280204760391,-0.3173647728959454,0.03281984588665645,-0.23069182430220017,0.32906199158960636,-0.2696863513801382,-0.19377813160882038,-1.0419481608605476,0.03350280946992629,0.23005246509551786,0.2481198065184083,0.37365138207481846,0.02711569101423055,-0.1591011756009258,-0.043115640438648274,0.36605388251894844,-0.1509492760755022,-0.25527113816477165,-0.17981267663074993,0.0804680970828881,0.11577046357645357,-0.32488807601032865,-0.2457111709311452,0.38132295627193324,0.15301460928514837,0.371129069561249,0.16093138820166458,-0.04715205538929379,-0.28040354384607735,-0.12347447022930777,-0.29839206489589293,-0.20824548389734535,-0.07102228911770196,0.2712703049176804,-0.2194160020055102,0.04624841778615371,0.2721971475921448,-0.16355203782025582,0.2531271335939496,-0.027912566288490252,0.07233032885414781,-0.09507349708433782,0.31865977955896657,0.22900223274281845,-0.2592013463081871,-0.1602866178168367,0.3215361544194557,0.257017461642867,0.1688125260496545,-0.07116573262673821,0.3799076389061459,-1.4281445843802805,0.2055949952250242,0.03886317423907859,-0.1557186551951232,-0.1589002912995596,-0.19315404055591642,-0.2574784722059804,0.45340251434623957,-0.16029374122613382,-0.12784291960418298,-0.2373107994149962,-0.2487589525171967,0.3096405174221268,0.17115874338366946,-0.20000953982734457,-0.08730818957323914,-0.33114950927471876,0.23618843564899356,0.27649609100319333;0.11032218858029835,0.16438789437933143,0.10578928210119766,0.21748740642085035,0.10694624703559147,-0.11545488092836,-0.19246771936473644,-0.32322577797304586,0.2260236859922532,-0.17878325243893706,0.2504650290942847,-0.2926084388068127,0.11169112969748439,-0.03470263734039546,0.19650694537640034,0.0036571276307184298,7.868608317294881E-4,0.2147908250741192,0.03805387065325181,-0.307917182410888,-0.10919813235531571,0.0558334034851651,0.10730338319583056,0.20547639846878601,-0.16088755467477872,0.2379441114976678,0.12288045647278541,-0.10620206586495051,-0.34455871996589155,-0.03691806861789206,-0.327817994069372,0.2508788406080279,0.04263436896532439,0.19605126596341976,-0.23216922505030455,0.21649756976760104,0.17309398662297248,-1.3741444307787967,0.04330607283842697,-0.1099356963277279,-0.12992117494527833,-0.3172843586179035,0.04561169431958729,0.2150462710452784,0.09016475473490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k{45}=[0.7158248109225815;0.9002827738944644;0.7346916000578388];
x_a{45}=[14.821074345758952,15.394623032555533,34.87464758326497];
L_a{45}=[-0.011795683704457558,-1.2842792974631948E-4,-0.012555399803083211,-0.02154185040604862,-0.01003031626009046,-0.03666984122547636,-0.03447477703035131,-0.02003642170204086,-0.014976947101350446,-0.03471327653311656,0.007786841549845815,-0.02416641952327797,-0.009989132148253779,-0.03442513196320592,-0.03156930587153203,-0.030521647227191223,-0.03054552144000782,0.011372966438771953,-0.026137965907352966,-0.022298029587335455,-0.036574289346086,-0.02153135188245237,-0.01159213141150003,-0.027686946923370637,-0.03585832865238379,0.016053733996920887,-0.008766394733937142,-0.03699109214862292,-0.01612017872350488,-0.03439772878357988,-0.018870790516575166,0.013947735038611755,-0.02365204005765192,0.006727626348983906,-0.030604085621034574,0.011543285253249224,0.0030646371371929083,0.8174925744853226,-0.023893520938051294,-0.03671261143880629,-0.036338784040627126,-0.020512699889186706,-0.022791658220170784,-0.02311743632141124,-0.01549279647161479,-0.022695417720071616,-0.02473273649915585,-0.0019538260237263027,3.6728347367888587E-4,-0.029124355249818233,-0.031544634790383594,0.01808196209593613,0.008810277476455774,-0.019818470105159455,-0.03449893071827405,-0.021854255295468705,-0.035061810940738604,-0.015247643953225901,0.012933502669806515,-0.006056717539227754,0.00820350225677014,-0.01268282157350213,-0.0123708983039362,-0.03561445439927805,-0.010866038202716413,-0.025420495543082743,-0.036192472102991764,-0.0015361173547483186,-0.037202093040924644,-0.017658776826449698,-0.027719502006029295,-0.009154755972296591,-0.0317555431094246,-0.037278238997625154,0.009922420068246307,-0.02274639543785253,-0.030839480777886397,-0.03621656632768672,-0.03528596145005554,-0.011919917981901848,-0.018639842290633604,0.9638805336285795,-0.03645193290489104,-0.024832985374679407,-0.0024252936901261977,-0.0014635807541318983,0.002258271937503569,-0.0019197819587660487,-0.061625963105352434,-0.022503763507057867,-0.02846129602130761,0.007632531933324616,-0.003965054066467996,-0.03285050258591379,-0.06106938643347759,0.0025705879471632975,-0.00983002857843761,0.018053019299437485,-0.03667194867110695,-0.034861643365311994;-0.11039898457014877,-0.1740863133081168,-0.10532175761554033,-0.22692966680512888,-0.1072959017550578,0.13218318746382954,0.2042956246315657,0.32131357599967064,-0.23920869082963916,0.1924834243030893,-0.27680660389467876,0.29420507645063276,-0.11289007170250817,0.04959659114684109,-0.19879916783576937,0.009649978119478892,0.011835145906673403,-0.2353114015286351,-0.028397001064057344,0.3086756526280036,0.12506439095854655,-0.04901135875291073,-0.10742270527289186,-0.21032576623203397,0.1751424613766093,-0.2627639502650933,-0.1249343515792284,0.12356691740919754,0.3417035386267977,0.053264656446838775,0.3260438857579523,-0.2782032617950261,-0.03358875928923629,-0.2118024481261242,0.24313390108144853,-0.23727589245366926,-0.1851734498496513,1.2533524339672601,-0.03358380945889754,0.1269732671881524,0.14609021600343272,0.3160572047982636,-0.03687719198266494,-0.2240087564102508,-0.08661527097563763,0.3023312171167059,-0.2203921879380012,-0.2607569592895352,-0.17878144282885716,-0.0013053061446227502,0.027201562453923123,-0.27411876060634965,-0.22097426718001503,0.3256779906285587,0.056150835019760294,0.30976816336489726,0.062487196756030476,-0.08996336319547871,-0.2440897260846087,-0.1404801138331605,-0.2753588237420019,-0.24385545615927354,-0.10575646423049191,0.1712744383881324,-0.24992493227416582,-0.025125537601257714,0.17057836188196676,-0.16786504467576022,0.1486736022093572,-0.07749369059313635,-0.005498622048343596,-0.12077760435643764,0.2294987042623113,0.12433490386921725,-0.23134184348748435,-0.22415241502185915,0.234947137243087,0.1553310257912676,0.06973897989986294,-0.10463367556356935,0.3275719450631479,1.2781742633150721,0.10324771294922394,-0.030861209664637644,-0.16252823148159085,-0.16300963477298797,-0.18681341669801993,-0.2628687066979207,0.28037328547329665,-0.2234782928364455,-0.20775462978504491,-0.21588069028203963,-0.25989176428985183,0.21740508864980795,-3.0776699384780365E-4,-0.1927920161111253,-0.11490828179116233,-0.2804614575055334,0.13322340792225187,0.17861391659512194;0.08329474276102172,0.1640936275102048,0.07702109905904397,0.16812857235204393,0.08396378700511775,-0.19947647490756318,-0.2714597635450459,-0.3691352237951182,0.1917070124986303,-0.2583217704439453,0.268307016330024,-0.34798094714767913,0.08880303480761324,-0.11358092979625295,0.12417220621477215,-0.06627711165684848,-0.0692020814310565,0.24084969897493436,-0.02183604120663641,-0.3590086495651482,-0.19300078834772216,0.006498624679689944,0.0807423366720199,0.14203730696535694,-0.24304973018783327,0.27472802641689326,0.10279401937950042,-0.19095974196853763,-0.3814948796631829,-0.11573357217815207,-0.371056629576436,0.2828372808733642,-0.011559541891404746,0.21146627379130747,-0.3022923553999627,0.24294669510662242,0.1801159885905165,0.49897601040542383,-0.011441143072499257,-0.1940552896813142,-0.21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x_a{45}=[14.821074345758955,15.394623032555545,34.87464758326497];
std_x_a{45}=[1.2877141603310935,2.6250836888370954,2.3850857241494223];
pred_a{45}=[14.821074345758955];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.4 to 4.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{46}=[9.935143729040377,1.8418619827710092,36.44940888066812];
std_x_f{46}=[1.2762598365883524,2.595088337807125,1.539646056069956];
pred_f{46}=[9.935143729040377];
obs{46}=[9.880904579855688];
sqrt_r{46}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{46}=[2.631841664218687];
L_f{46}=[-0.054795015559436756,-0.10103712364205829,-0.051035591510190395,-0.12081741927091436,-0.05394061906826698,0.11125867771472675,0.15596373036777283,0.2204814774468009,-0.1318445915957481,0.14816837221702764,-0.16775621511407593,0.20682257420368155,-0.05744753127369564,0.05835083291882673,-0.0978150762312469,0.030868262044104394,0.032258709545081136,-0.1443318723915213,0.004517631034465891,0.21432648938973656,0.10689736593605101,-0.010469006862571746,-0.05298489273705564,-0.10625614883153513,0.138217695695489,-0.1642594156038174,-0.06543968537233051,0.10628025508228543,0.230920988509346,0.06000195483509831,0.22297525334979607,-0.17305827847424526,-6.977171179000829E-5,-0.12804177195151228,0.17737620095648488,-0.14614365223645281,-0.1086614013824159,-0.009963116225928438,-1.3860817017841544E-4,0.10811900878738041,0.12044812688723777,0.21814443947126055,-0.0025317759499001334,-0.11810334557361574,-0.037774251634270006,0.21013801477861893,-0.11468633736036395,-0.15268389197960044,-0.10406276437199376,0.023420912008022255,0.04285560965034287,-0.17218578285468386,-0.13508760127228092,0.22394851696952817,0.06211707095336345,0.2157246435951513,0.0663190636520885,-0.0400898602638365,-0.15132376826248942,-0.0766441995405645,-0.16698960291975745,-0.13613333857696333,-0.05144904856461226,0.135318422504766,-0.14103132849636382,0.005695163055802359,0.1350917624328714,-0.09611071207112237,0.12199218031705807,-0.031079977126265885,0.01982164304901257,-0.0626252097186919,0.17019850705897036,0.10685495545067183,-0.14152043436274422,-0.11846899544744587,0.17297671281874366,0.1254500019770377,0.0712112932764035,-0.050769732089993413,0.22403330012193065,-0.22830973013429257,0.09283311268274637,0.0025146109302857534,-0.09204274707983981,-0.0935774259742935,-0.10968399343893392,-0.15400539573137487,0.21965724473782744,-0.1178036160038434,-0.10527401524883204,-0.13067440260356125,-0.14936343466083193,0.16312540867740108,0.042014480274597865,-0.11343898788380796,-0.05899537998755369,-0.17570463694446029,0.11146343800400801,0.13935841397624002;-0.027637184703991968,-0.08906351828023738,-0.02262558844497391,-0.08146847332722805,-0.028694449853028083,0.16243870673274058,0.19837559340529423,0.22807308843301688,-0.10140194405230514,0.1914083398568557,-0.16835749356085772,0.2241163911531223,-0.03225829453106128,0.11181577820389821,-0.04451067140126377,0.08058222303969409,0.08243832999927797,-0.1489927632047659,0.04980691118563378,0.2257149164086938,0.1585883658148527,0.028805901695486535,-0.026578293313166874,-0.05972469893240048,0.18464299743531196,-0.17573234707404067,-0.04197550360418083,0.1577124516068774,0.22874029933188286,0.11291286802484139,0.2282072646238429,-0.1815064690293955,0.04171002762377582,-0.12641500405789363,0.2089836585576936,-0.15100983325798983,-0.10213826117310765,-1.340887907021099,0.04172860969256854,0.15933836576662375,0.1692685650731728,0.2265415358729644,0.03839870803799802,-0.07570719982949077,-0.0062795437132793725,0.2229759647258693,-0.07047686768975198,-0.14015057339473744,-0.09314115917518577,0.07173543094731218,0.09238270693251154,-0.18611584519233187,-0.1356885594343061,0.22988328264496669,0.1154695272861737,0.22598413147995813,0.11992015184926663,-0.008385662161266417,-0.15876923342082486,-0.056602492959421775,-0.16801545085649336,-0.1087555511327035,-0.023840306108331977,0.18154900289120035,-0.1163715976923943,0.049602602008345924,0.18226363859236083,-0.0828608826649687,0.17258899829736693,0.004108255242781459,0.06669067950372037,-0.03930044537782631,0.20531273453041685,0.15966107125138565,-0.14337408985125485,-0.07718197474738234,0.20580103665563615,0.17454801690760416,0.12463667673046996,-0.023776798299532824,0.22814377313988402,-1.7380418248232337,0.1456118049187315,0.04559916368471325,-0.07678982969888877,-0.08058754338418647,-0.10137324592909382,-0.14161135378847298,0.28875370986961885,-0.07730800887810545,-0.05690258513738253,-0.12996019993850236,-0.13512358382972328,0.20086433308441012,0.1339305231594595,-0.10547839877836078,-0.034573530678787344,-0.1907207944718783,0.16294733072388345,0.1829293872269127;-0.07635273022746247,-0.11101878703384808,-0.07355048619019795,-0.14984057028434458,-0.07319265948172474,0.08760014994174475,0.14526304325485323,0.2452825959102946,-0.1537698715858866,0.13532827654278182,-0.16634582282090263,0.22197761711438688,-0.0770563186188523,0.026216841643885744,-0.1368446534008085,-0.0016666433124301308,3.831421482609294E-5,-0.14190769086607913,-0.026927601639912802,0.23431995524661048,0.08222864851906177,-0.038848400878866346,-0.0741590855797937,-0.14203206226236934,0.12140804021121512,-0.15528749155485627,-0.08401102599927987,0.08080675215000784,0.2638569944409099,0.028285063441900318,0.24960084344467373,-0.16448356185347912,-0.029636941350604833,-0.13035445600263693,0.17775469625226098,-0.14279338165804614,-0.1164377986675114,0.6137152955063869,-0.02963379764180078,0.08378068512460121,0.09814735767122075,0.24095320973046325,-0.03186688814353976,-0.149165262338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k{46}=[0.6200379325262828;0.795967544817662;0.5699399503997591];
x_a{46}=[9.901513399117917,1.7986893803614739,36.41849582267208];
L_a{46}=[0.06893454675458721,0.12710915860763855,0.06420502546059331,0.15199364307991514,0.06785967827857398,-0.1399683245360177,-0.19620925285430452,-0.27737542476086485,0.16586631230787774,-0.186402348422853,0.2110447188688186,-0.26019192194375435,0.0722715285339522,-0.07340792185100929,0.12305568083017286,-0.03883363534779949,-0.040582879641049355,0.18157586240226847,-0.0056833791282997845,-0.2696321782691582,-0.1344816019272369,0.013170472453999597,0.0666573323938097,0.13367492252364893,-0.17388395840305762,0.20664559083006726,0.0823260109491384,-0.13370524925049532,-0.2905087901972785,-0.07548510605787008,-0.2805127048551468,0.21771494846663508,8.77758912818334E-5,0.16108219744107055,-0.22314708542646078,0.1838551613705108,0.1367008363359267,0.012534039716672316,1.743751925276474E-4,-0.13601848252472543,-0.15152905697059912,-0.2744353278935255,0.0031850858295901594,0.14857921864236945,0.047521674897191994,-0.26436289244155764,0.14428047157509818,0.19208307147797632,0.130915548116445,-0.029464540476328627,-0.053914247436126946,0.21661731048869534,0.1699461615403329,-0.281737113422495,-0.07814601543908493,-0.271391117936558,-0.0834323076172212,0.050434812701980726,0.19037197584250734,0.09642178403920643,0.21008028691068598,0.17126174520039128,0.0647251726739495,-0.17023654483305112,0.17742363258476807,-0.007164766355789302,-0.16995139646391766,0.12091151553186212,-0.1534715442983756,0.03909998226057812,-0.024936501350798102,0.07878527642147053,-0.21411722987268994,-0.13442824766576986,0.1780389493406758,0.14903922231361602,-0.21761233527389606,-0.15782163648204037,-0.08958694829627549,0.06387056258208855,-0.2818437743682696,0.28722371197062535,-0.11678815091604706,-0.0031634914777120882,0.11579383612207315,0.11772452987081838,0.13798730225278452,0.19374558149340365,-0.2763385036534738,0.1482021456215799,0.1324393551516008,0.16439416293498277,0.18790578969512914,-0.2052189600920162,-0.05285606957657232,0.14271125090907466,0.07421879049647025,0.22104418416137706,-0.14022592201255535,-0.1753190323209206;0.13119941346217412,0.2038170082412116,0.12531341035106927,0.2687500215537821,0.12766547355071728,-0.16007146511864034,-0.2537229800872335,-0.41104577080542953,0.28078147540416687,-0.23809350366835977,0.3179244475592865,-0.37540883527643115,0.13426726162396074,-0.05732821612411574,0.2390299718363078,-0.008896896262114637,-0.01107133749617547,0.26938805818135514,0.036711465587920426,-0.39556222210467923,-0.15127948958868476,0.05915284875357088,0.1270112262923937,0.24828443369266145,-0.21601440482099446,0.30041327538631374,0.1477172431444805,-0.1503665588131739,-0.44064000625826855,-0.061017302302222874,-0.4181404068884288,0.32014478440488187,0.04191227779627456,0.24474502340638724,-0.3051841369602374,0.27262286996915003,0.2128430773909775,-1.3120074062619738,0.04213039897950267,-0.15407071674850628,-0.179879446564918,-0.4058028538625525,0.04573767263350723,0.26664389636844754,0.10321825579645946,-0.38615986764965554,0.2619692042106746,0.3024405956962531,0.20850991838834937,0.0038442559686656906,-0.03184463710052242,0.3130062687807903,0.2558955075004336,-0.41928562873554537,-0.06459181839546695,-0.3993458949728105,-0.07232168541487217,0.10782448871199361,0.27987928829420683,0.1655692465665379,0.31604427950569985,0.2858598381651262,0.12529719790468627,-0.21070415518217853,0.29244179937506304,0.0330937952026605,-0.20933249047222463,0.1957392490595286,-0.1810348254501922,0.09420108188799911,0.009232855651949047,0.1422338633472062,-0.2880487801658107,-0.15008384710841863,0.2668570988011821,0.2662290459981829,-0.29561377900935165,-0.1890991387786185,-0.08178647069555821,0.12339154270102785,-0.4212709027024484,-1.0762308828511387,-0.12348741268637016,0.038309956047846705,0.19001832215157224,0.19066924621888204,0.2165723229013904,0.30481051337336623,-0.34797591162057623,0.2641742487083938,0.24825959588763621,0.24883114385501412,0.29784243707060604,-0.2719940961768936,0.012141395947736097,0.22335192914320712,0.13643883913391802,0.31860156869100587,-0.160156388322565,-0.22103466271131494;0.0373796995303726,0.09869367404008773,0.03237889018320994,0.10092783466021307,0.03876638654904659,-0.1433281492648526,-0.17845497795059584,-0.21234833804613204,0.11988651119857704,-0.17220971415687927,0.18184865722639937,-0.20730292332892764,0.042181667695057774,-0.09489603584134938,0.06618013221423437,-0.06573674912104044,-0.0669178017741308,0.1576672681149937,-0.03630438799636314,-0.21053569724099278,-0.13964732028017918,-0.01711895020756942,0.035816256701239675,0.07851299753804551,-0.1654763452841324,0.1856490381001093,0.05181546011441278,-0.13978834253847472,-0.2154421687605504,-0.0962548795427561,-0.21320616701841136,0.19471587078897173,-0.029492123318723452,0.13540880158322877,-0.1904070080566413,0.1605421041126727,0.10909959873879704,0.6343947205374,-0.02934610278821352,-0.140630923246222,-0.1518545447063097,-0.21182697266250744,-0.02661193881202169,0.09596981641824981,0.016146333098359708,-0.2071625260865283,0.0906169617175443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x_a{46}=[9.90151339911792,1.798689380361482,36.41849582267209];
std_x_a{46}=[1.6055911742715092,2.8783669820847995,1.7827876591167056];
pred_a{46}=[9.90151339911792];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.5 to 4.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{47}=[3.147551315573358,-1.4428525025711638,27.968026853468952];
std_x_f{47}=[1.6511159369803718,1.7640308464791263,1.6958502839802718];
pred_f{47}=[3.147551315573358];
obs{47}=[3.135566284236821];
sqrt_r{47}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{47}=[3.732882888987712];
L_f{47}=[0.0818477344655322,0.11348485987632786,0.07926399305528596,0.14770570917221681,0.07973004504674434,-0.07881326816675337,-0.13904669588272536,-0.2455830615084929,0.1507129384924049,-0.1288635680150368,0.15925075901876057,-0.22041263966606578,0.08362444655739748,-0.01673239100637898,0.13734820274454512,0.0106045032673931,0.00959371680100488,0.13883314144034692,0.03547168124184925,-0.2341293465775549,-0.07367773251463691,0.04641151352050477,0.07988806833895917,0.14048194879858664,-0.1147222965669216,0.14975899275347448,0.09026482614578706,-0.07269106838085486,-0.2656119504114928,-0.018836808764959252,-0.25047645411955666,0.15761676490273463,0.03801597910595551,0.12962423283887592,-0.17410164570165682,0.13974112789528367,0.11692396299268305,-0.7743668121760409,0.03794797860846934,-0.07551719236014084,-0.09122737129543977,-0.24080254185436015,0.04010295110440085,0.1470221182425768,0.0688628317104298,-0.22796367181715255,0.14590446262563603,0.15607572177509452,0.1153468493234565,0.017874321679461905,-0.0020801201965158726,0.1539778126255502,0.13353350911823866,-0.25049872413489677,-0.020984863869399736,-0.23657413812943412,-0.025473307655383706,0.07069205720697441,0.1429984376493966,0.09739284114122038,0.15867343754621072,0.15253593095372786,0.07936907157883445,-0.11156588141104913,0.15461321828874866,0.03330466752056796,-0.11053866473969284,0.1098157419404119,-0.09224152426357149,0.06401435623079199,0.020710656479539225,0.08643692366067904,-0.16168321428638466,-0.073305945417053,0.1380634253807408,0.14690852883003536,-0.1669619796935553,-0.09751421394557773,-0.031570385425725864,0.07846467294369767,-0.2520546259172925,-0.6701906889856312,-0.056379405659585734,0.03557448288095909,0.10714727084869209,0.10769074402134955,0.11881466538496613,0.15728021814538504,-0.20362976271146002,0.14598146627340505,0.14030201863242817,0.13135525348584431,0.15549736994091878,-0.15042743279839335,0.02651322001393589,0.12186014014842013,0.08393535110214219,0.1560104133745511,-0.0791991273771425,-0.11835376348657972;0.07131559727435223,0.06277261652047138,0.07200356785896304,0.0869213150429682,0.0692383818357415,0.005237387762255779,-0.04603223286223183,-0.15572157269931328,0.07833718373639517,-0.037232128376679274,0.04423480008945353,-0.12901621108581152,0.06966734732550744,0.04819471426587635,0.10087549133054051,0.06140364427390553,0.06033993204258918,0.045537259998979715,0.06974110691283152,-0.14354292147675238,0.009739178872135601,0.0697449358782496,0.0706241349848314,0.09523265008383332,-0.02474654254646175,0.0361490316615296,0.07026064440325708,0.01025140607913977,-0.17912949491918487,0.046554350362977726,-0.1611869435126814,0.035099510252842636,0.06843551103299876,0.05288083582720935,-0.0803813264367693,0.044885610458353736,0.05832000610525087,-1.1084330443357644,0.06808097672645645,0.007934677493146773,-0.004308351134229748,-0.15139453255856739,0.06895823074847955,0.08999753379154618,0.0720350935902074,-0.1374580309831334,0.09206589136627434,0.05899765584697407,0.061440320465554504,0.06372906166275506,0.053551534229352896,0.03147045075906608,0.05025148324374762,-0.16140557675240624,0.04525338347796433,-0.14646490547586777,0.043045176374893704,0.07193571132768987,0.04203454724105921,0.06788560615659604,0.04367968463674132,0.07525791534142483,0.07123539408491456,-0.022043795467215944,0.07200314885632775,0.06792954911766165,-0.020395246675941895,0.06394377722988763,-0.004413889554780251,0.07302150685230867,0.06435096302970024,0.06916851463642071,-0.06821026228507397,0.010768111094852902,0.047682030000233175,0.08956722636902692,-0.07379107930994584,-0.009939885936390743,0.03833490894346637,0.0707238108924283,-0.1633753200983257,-1.1513880133260346,0.022215102668857123,0.06860811506514887,0.0647828824069608,0.06326984510477253,0.0596900428913156,0.058825096831488434,-0.09057968167817784,0.08870895312334985,0.09612236481324894,0.05154501743839552,0.06245940400521074,-0.058618891814191006,0.09637975173582383,0.059215162931582924,0.06993754126788294,0.030528902722879878,0.005176100118312833,-0.028586429683902813;0.057235738182680546,0.12414018097640316,0.05204254979194653,0.15793952497903158,0.056998468063787576,-0.16054737297703717,-0.20719334172649204,-0.25489234968234914,0.17369550564710137,-0.20029370170277577,0.22172179750551219,-0.24830161798616923,0.062035016721475184,-0.09666601058600671,0.12552469675718483,-0.06140636131241645,-0.06245701865297608,0.18587839945182202,-0.024677872873809664,-0.25232172371101247,-0.15534498621106682,-0.004852357120070089,0.05515206350926054,0.13640256212794208,-0.19008569713863616,0.2148622239029777,0.07335826273926951,-0.155180841560665,-0.2593244572660026,-0.09824438589977175,-0.25653514576360836,0.22913301083974427,-0.018769937551880878,0.16297524724350437,-0.2251018495979028,0.18902404080120006,0.13364352918558836,0.3412528156651877,-0.01854447781291289,-0.15653546027631496,-0.1711813880334341,-0.25456923202564646,-0.015694741454333347,0.15547007962461226,0.03375510843322144,-0.249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k{47}=[0.7321105350103335;0.6669854716732355;0.384365358956057];
x_a{47}=[3.1387769478694505,-1.4508463443501824,27.963420222597186];
L_a{47}=[-0.062175896503966196,-0.08620914126107083,-0.06021314897569926,-0.112205120233403,-0.06056718688005429,0.05987075435470981,0.10562727275076313,0.1865579678556587,-0.11448957172368154,0.09789162669381943,-0.12097535473139198,0.16743717540299813,-0.06352558159742093,0.01271081500630445,-0.10433700693874276,-0.00805574524371312,-0.007287898031665458,-0.10546504542713604,-0.026946177510187214,0.17785711622204603,0.055969528068075286,-0.035256656523077856,-0.06068722978565359,-0.10671756727554557,0.08714916404981347,-0.11376490375429375,-0.06856996745282438,0.05522000546409845,0.20177297816296066,0.014309442770567145,0.1902752493971155,-0.1197340858103946,-0.028878961620913628,-0.09846946819022837,0.13225687888618376,-0.10615480027762537,-0.08882166707898469,0.5882502562149662,-0.028827304822817354,0.05736687969575439,0.06930116799241182,0.18292643062140934,-0.0304643366570017,-0.11168582817028254,-0.05231187308184817,0.1731733414262836,-0.11083679746198315,-0.11856342740869301,-0.08762360757357338,-0.013578286339603436,0.0015801700425666122,-0.1169697439303591,-0.10143916257380872,0.19029216688637746,0.015941219785907165,0.1797143100404949,0.01935088064119612,-0.053701450153202136,-0.10862922617927773,-0.07398478712411823,-0.120536790605443,-0.1158744138496475,-0.0602929722163497,0.08475138305640416,-0.1174524318998067,-0.02529999852017743,0.08397105458595275,-0.0834218839407057,0.07007157257840932,-0.04862871298471782,-0.01573291725433533,-0.06566208893553244,0.12282317725156217,0.05568709879557502,-0.10488032813016972,-0.11159953960525106,0.126833208485392,0.0740769883679449,0.02398254551134675,-0.05960594286478883,0.19147411271327505,0.5091125269183895,0.04282879806186631,-0.027024271108201516,-0.08139477123555856,-0.08180762239089566,-0.09025794527324434,-0.11947842697645912,0.15468800858265314,-0.11089529353234334,-0.10658088274222195,-0.09978444362962148,-0.11812408056519898,0.11427268639877863,-0.020140853431533566,-0.09257145003833575,-0.06376176124152338,-0.11851381567075633,0.06016387355326689,0.08990781965376712;-0.05989637802242041,-0.11915755818608922,-0.05506635248285907,-0.14986908593335724,-0.05857867711400382,0.13158474072544463,0.1768767058444982,0.2379782506418958,-0.1632741753501202,0.1693520051177365,-0.211063734375926,0.22433233325464846,-0.0643929157660299,0.07501879302286968,-0.11931055417524825,0.04440332251983554,0.04496002519339248,-0.17702932469635504,0.012875643339120413,0.2317951894677943,0.12785363716180173,-0.004658423057761523,-0.057446254719268605,-0.12997717540211398,0.15916739522376497,-0.20393303519046818,-0.07444496309765883,0.12678412052710492,0.246679098360781,0.07675206936494657,0.24035758945418872,-0.2175795308693542,0.007491225355380242,-0.1549227368456572,0.19872500416732913,-0.17913658809206165,-0.12912347347276318,0.1329721050354974,0.007245704201793117,0.12899801593671997,0.14194033451323443,0.23464153037607896,0.0046682725230105734,-0.1456969869290981,-0.03836048708478161,0.22799574572012066,-0.14183689006973446,-0.19121090378767056,-0.12347485211461734,0.03507432772335939,0.0568862224968026,-0.2153749027306265,-0.16381913965287326,0.2401746577854572,0.07889469875221108,0.2327925067273596,0.0838820185505663,-0.04139234258229016,-0.18720951908347977,-0.08824708522884345,-0.21069333257041295,-0.16927592465874422,-0.056002980041561144,0.15681002096717736,-0.17586083798622992,0.014538074808543607,0.15681181521617152,-0.11210435058665079,0.1434606079135072,-0.029601371877837273,0.031149235894325118,-0.06940049483164493,0.19098779685951842,0.12828654898416966,-0.17365060527355616,-0.14594519656614208,0.19386948940471713,0.14638738096798065,0.08894611595658643,-0.05506470109495578,0.24069921617640352,-0.07698998995323252,0.1125982174973757,0.011577847832308367,-0.10698735836415992,-0.10937164994077411,-0.1307844649394628,-0.1933144184858718,0.2358638487268767,-0.14531727462176922,-0.12879901050762907,-0.1590335940287809,-0.18682198657491772,0.18253476656363224,0.05387580227132797,-0.13614161515430628,-0.06462114001092721,-0.21957495952099726,0.13214203280777284,0.16114919577095874;-0.01837810968383681,0.019298831538009768,-0.021184345873675275,0.021483737958226046,-0.016658983005843266,-0.08773687299265988,-0.07873705912473096,-0.028013983741545272,0.03446153323361227,-0.08124495476978712,0.07460028285756594,-0.044676582884117196,-0.015220220961072858,-0.0812080327169644,-0.0013624574796761938,-0.0712031785608929,-0.07132003541700291,0.057619406038609,-0.05744787349148499,-0.03602470695415148,-0.08727887669819079,-0.047728963852198145,-0.0186513750975325,0.006620341840323533,-0.0841011596782649,0.07650954048847464,-0.010031593760172701,-0.08802624746350947,-0.013942691465247663,-0.08084227206552673,-0.02513608970400933,0.08352103806624071,-0.0538904510197883,0.043223771094578436,-0.06426055768726086,0.05992621721001377,0.02562501398279798,1.0566404157143627,-0.053602170002927295,-0.08676999234108596,-0.0869022980935579,-0.032107280151901715,-0.0527432738738046,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x_a{47}=[3.1387769478694496,-1.4508463443501822,27.963420222597183];
std_x_a{47}=[1.254275567724762,1.4676436983714036,1.6000825365298503];
pred_a{47}=[3.1387769478694496];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.6 to 4.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{48}=[0.4069879437249061,-0.972417881041838,21.406389528026885];
std_x_f{48}=[1.3612825432199203,1.8261652559339618,1.0889442592482022];
pred_f{48}=[0.4069879437249061];
obs{48}=[0.5109705493048241];
sqrt_r{48}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{48}=[2.8569205300809943];
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k{48}=[0.649972762815475;0.8349103968220615;-0.06479573767472102];
x_a{48}=[0.4745738051584372,-0.8856017225545167,21.399651898392996];
L_a{48}=[0.06685747244660908,0.1205115771619327,0.06255308554280697,0.15352372434908854,0.06546843704760794,-0.1265982635141057,-0.17898439464023816,-0.2510255899435572,0.16297213954452988,-0.1699135250546089,0.19945054408723267,-0.23530528950118162,0.07064378978269469,-0.0648214562760139,0.12784363975396515,-0.033347253745808464,-0.03421871803687042,0.16895800273128997,-0.0016501678095463428,-0.24389769942816697,-0.12259230946519961,0.015058712276987008,0.06464449765830226,0.1361519668685523,-0.1582397020562506,0.1918766794996075,0.08024232436492036,-0.12163038613719009,-0.26185290377368264,-0.06721649209268865,-0.2532518115187874,0.20338457033446516,0.0029261164803129356,0.15009143841126968,-0.20420580978457456,0.1707498962483182,0.12853018683884168,-0.13573638005388058,0.0029959937172578124,-0.1235173057280344,-0.13920093462756283,-0.2478774825073245,0.005882824490579133,0.14972306449820613,0.046798348619256504,-0.23962952388894002,0.14621474480219127,0.18494416793798066,0.12412410365886314,-0.023710370330635756,-0.04692689541276614,0.20010200835849806,0.15834283172697686,-0.25456206888546545,-0.06922503501718454,-0.24554233886527574,-0.07432149969352246,0.049186680711722754,0.1775799403028335,0.09291261064486464,0.19884905278995343,0.16835441712152227,0.06337241078229436,-0.15566209502964845,0.17320592034340215,-0.003501505671621325,-0.15567290087211116,0.11400770065220955,-0.13992565715033103,0.03903092813917413,-0.020031970434990554,0.07536822280792846,-0.195673617689635,-0.12271677776139209,0.16632375412397069,0.14982295026184145,-0.19951555989787043,-0.14380713270085466,-0.08026350259449772,0.0625071022570209,-0.25484753580674674,3.720413876760676E-5,-0.10555793370448115,-5.71577843395249E-4,0.10922103927791625,0.11123751144307883,0.1300710797452655,0.18650204290754502,-0.24226615904989432,0.14928557129856163,0.1356409769734618,0.15369826042158347,0.1809950696366866,-0.1860849515513165,-0.03560673112465042,0.13464752856864692,0.07076507204623082,0.20466669826604894,-0.12740821535829105,-0.16074120287088112;0.09455894056875212,0.15683998454817988,0.08988868008844651,0.199758567317306,0.09253394066036014,-0.14162026169969516,-0.21542761206870925,-0.32996399596669684,0.210283779459217,-0.2019100163415482,0.24874634045436542,-0.30299126159372686,0.09871295290134047,-0.06178417703946912,0.1724799403880522,-0.023204639053074107,-0.024206720541670113,0.21114626046982476,0.014712389493837717,-0.31739508878278644,-0.1366142269021614,0.03418106124438726,0.09200219689192361,0.18138617444541003,-0.18538334121730765,0.23835153440833973,0.10989895649813054,-0.13582720702976644,-0.3498628554150605,-0.06533269656250659,-0.33405172851328624,0.2524020263550307,0.019978556623791652,0.1895310241059695,-0.2530079907410435,0.21463485595282383,0.16540686658929032,-0.5517153965920158,0.019948129275126437,-0.13769837634788676,-0.15912782111765122,-0.32449833071006623,0.023726725011016924,0.19633296675703057,0.07152095085119563,-0.31022757723768407,0.19281692232883915,0.2339510508420623,0.1606988205795377,-0.011588522865782925,-0.04070846959897209,0.2461547357195026,0.19945190935253343,-0.3360131687303965,-0.0676753568039001,-0.32007069071918626,-0.074076033431109,0.07349112767232503,0.2216844593905868,0.12434769629948544,0.24786569853878856,0.21659261855984485,0.09060239205332071,-0.18246379911314242,0.2217874643696437,0.01289483264663484,-0.1826038204029617,0.14905639602073617,-0.1595571374828237,0.06248712434025704,-0.007283410981829908,0.10426711867690026,-0.24081115225077734,-0.136562933414376,0.20873743403492645,0.19642486311549626,-0.2463272886806308,-0.16544603785019144,-0.08194421224622304,0.08972960014335066,-0.3368733052704145,-0.34287456601104316,-0.11412601914887295,0.015578834783077474,0.14376743882985862,0.14566383355425594,0.16731954087823414,0.23551284825957694,-0.2989720677441366,0.19623461491623534,0.18092049365031254,0.19362088614286482,0.22958205219810426,-0.22648452062159502,-0.017251155834618455,0.17265396658761548,0.09823132518056406,0.25306096282956025,-0.14315698004729696,-0.18943089313008324;-0.040028614876600574,-0.017834716759793673,-0.04163997058078595,-0.01679451854960166,-0.03848914807035962,-0.03780603825875461,-0.007595837907797083,0.06785386972516096,-0.006748234647947254,-0.013575709644180332,0.02289448207252725,0.0464878460758796,-0.03814824654950822,-0.05600997513878661,-0.032589407530159736,-0.05749246278853449,-0.05742135404218768,0.008568830769285534,-0.055971936064582894,0.0577250840043721,-0.039239684609452284,-0.05240762618634363,-0.04009794588051406,-0.027502802011151583,-0.02121110161433839,0.023392488993453666,-0.03571714202374881,-0.03989152211031657,0.08453182750748124,-0.05495572783618144,0.07127433248562218,0.029553319574385926,-0.053959863034815335,-0.0018605726903533294,0.015931431382498532,0.011000126497050412,-0.013086489876724422,0.7474969004313676,-0.05436306638780253,-0.03799451903925595,-0.03167306932330336,0.06269136026195966,-0.05417566797369281,-0.0180505690523765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x_a{48}=[0.47457380515843745,-0.8856017225545166,21.399651898392985];
std_x_a{48}=[1.470543925012516,1.9602399868219815,1.0899624317574235];
pred_a{48}=[0.47457380515843745];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.7 to 4.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{49}=[-0.3121864863749551,-0.7709784323445112,16.786322616390525];
std_x_f{49}=[2.1739259981144556,3.2283041476945202,1.100558577206513];
pred_f{49}=[-0.3121864863749551];
obs{49}=[-0.24040524418767129];
sqrt_r{49}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{49}=[5.736961988097979];
L_f{49}=[0.10491779076993557,0.17893880554433467,0.09838744512137758,0.2281972469454928,0.10213378191935675,-0.17615128584425013,-0.25665207034048393,-0.36910342891477566,0.23979948748682536,-0.24199353422892741,0.2854547242102232,-0.3430541508945829,0.10925833744988922,-0.08426908882102883,0.1952176869068469,-0.038125065689264714,-0.039282976397230183,0.24314978880876084,0.007688354465315965,-0.35722046149815095,-0.17029165183300835,0.03133202805888145,0.10178936529346834,0.20588057379537178,-0.22436759194923747,0.27393869212044125,0.12310995365934577,-0.16951797044204275,-0.3857087911771749,-0.08808160116633207,-0.37191099121953225,0.2896741276173035,0.01359309177299044,0.21788676299579318,-0.2947627427250597,0.24674704965297795,0.18934173734759774,-0.3988438221551846,0.014369573094987542,-0.17186002299465367,-0.1949757410047988,-0.36368524580385575,0.01882816221391478,0.223360989176329,0.07652968686722188,-0.3503669385995153,0.21928803392985188,0.2682053949397566,0.18386273550908455,-0.024205313866812697,-0.05964236180537341,0.28358370806335864,0.22915293480547105,-0.37435405123087695,-0.09093674555642071,-0.3594086021228152,-0.09834794601450436,0.07888654675356237,0.25474311053697535,0.14045423840646698,0.28453156897426973,0.2479095163412525,0.09985053491135201,-0.2212741717228634,0.25369637237942355,0.005378365948150052,-0.22068855982379745,0.16862753438790293,-0.1956683413851754,0.06641168357945176,-0.018760756491049243,0.11638401204398062,-0.28224742176250267,-0.17001477588641015,0.24053341655925328,0.22382254662602968,-0.2873811047393001,-0.20213703426749674,-0.1078705738298341,0.09909114541671141,-0.3747795060457603,-0.21925388242853885,-0.14458317946100696,0.00936316271208953,0.16340835436204068,0.1656677155557347,0.1916612419580222,0.2699623710169328,-0.34661387703051766,0.22382581430427606,0.20513284447376443,0.22315962311495405,0.2632943572329468,-0.26708774270752705,-0.03549823699973856,0.1984732672118536,0.1086770485279942,0.29040092136646745,-0.17777294230581217,-0.22821306406114109;0.15801419251259605,0.26724249533828137,0.1487924859394235,0.3415071539457734,0.15384870396585096,-0.2662340598585189,-0.3843611062271846,-0.5399168312296282,0.3577604067774764,-0.363508480915591,0.42045892288881365,-0.5063263280042181,0.1654907877384352,-0.12749625966572986,0.2946416632944797,-0.058028237524326225,-0.06002733964572088,0.3602660413255517,0.011351832820240194,-0.5254794233258973,-0.25775778134129557,0.047395326174658976,0.15374426915986977,0.3103014976678597,-0.33755961235213244,0.4036999575259959,0.1852583679003245,-0.256267413440664,-0.5626280713408974,-0.13385158910111783,-0.5446471555849438,0.42582804554786025,0.02032445969621199,0.32398845264527465,-0.43849386244202654,0.3652402549193306,0.2831659581860701,-0.573041622301167,0.021976516776671184,-0.2597175034880577,-0.2945171272344087,-0.5340793275145506,0.030164452973788745,0.3353086972873845,0.11582754652128723,-0.5162866318163339,0.3297228025255404,0.3971848163136382,0.27493888101933495,-0.036311086838565466,-0.08997871422474124,0.41643373896416674,0.3407677761696088,-0.5483418917259405,-0.138393278302923,-0.5282128640075194,-0.14958413077378718,0.11914189887950744,0.37684823511198734,0.2107584186078556,0.41940632678588596,0.36954847201899693,0.1504770536439787,-0.3328410164730213,0.3775785235148427,0.008034798424037287,-0.332635108567273,0.25380625418976366,-0.2955054553578578,0.09980078585847206,-0.02856982612541975,0.17524479901979276,-0.42171295667558223,-0.25710931936955067,0.3557265850013103,0.3356093062378525,-0.4291309020331002,-0.30507469231319273,-0.16386681354771282,0.14893129133990213,-0.5487411139546448,-0.3643607448778775,-0.2194667274601334,0.013069468410924991,0.24449851390358954,0.2482369171794356,0.28571208450875085,0.3997229989469738,-0.5114045839910452,0.3355464448291762,0.3089950024128907,0.33125726306442266,0.39039904026740474,-0.39997512507943295,-0.05266868295383188,0.2951068639969545,0.1648714451780382,0.4267436498085819,-0.26820570595886545,-0.34340244069670484;-0.06738482613674944,-0.037339520894976844,-0.06887823439421138,-0.02265163465204204,-0.0671889684026094,-0.032348957888258444,0.02493238578260985,0.14889393297171552,-0.011030795493371317,0.013140006385167848,0.028487817685098966,0.11598834991914043,-0.06545589760048164,-0.071797647064857,-0.04439129452883939,-0.080198442937977,-0.07984660082341193,0.0012775032838350017,-0.08285090261324562,0.13367712321929318,-0.035342115963607944,-0.081040107625628,-0.06786539730478186,-0.037481252107249056,-5.277267050032346E-4,0.024135415141668122,-0.061601082611744275,-0.03617208554490723,0.17454732003719142,-0.07045905941936483,0.15397196827817222,0.03599661476984134,-0.08260149918703147,-0.014916892595096683,0.06310240927370969,0.005148066265868045,-0.03116448870975962,0.6941862712927644,-0.08214280092503351,-0.03382888553532276,-0.020250471714446862,0.14156440511083393,-0.0818803504567967,-0.025191149615918968,-0.07320829137647518,0.1256219312745607,-0.028800873982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k{49}=[0.8256917159160855;1.2260196191780899;-0.18712912846601581];
x_a{49}=[-0.25291730934274864,-0.6829732211339273,16.77289025509981];
L_a{49}=[-0.054273745900639714,-0.09256465650494972,-0.05089561224216056,-0.1180459415420148,-0.05283358415273562,0.0911226786022004,0.13276556004764822,0.1909364042548604,-0.12404775544218742,0.12518273106930572,-0.14766511050442632,0.17746116916090748,-0.05651910129602945,0.0435922171100607,-0.10098568657174645,0.019722013897544504,0.020320998598600194,-0.12578085905886582,-0.003977169111000591,0.18478937095018758,0.08809150262086238,-0.01620799024588992,-0.05265541817821159,-0.10650157486207543,0.11606486930794895,-0.14170789204950246,-0.063684512356902,0.08769127891320336,0.19952632218397287,0.045564421487922294,0.19238875015359086,-0.14984779874716955,-0.007031676929884023,-0.11271235052859273,0.15248012831985497,-0.12764171430147642,-0.09794607059276561,0.20632104525682843,-0.007433349035800483,0.08890281762549931,0.10086052848070144,0.18813358986802284,-0.009739767529177535,-0.1155441558739465,-0.0395886412438386,0.18124405840028443,-0.11343722494745885,-0.138742069836951,-0.09511179480988514,0.01252135643165954,0.030852864569336863,-0.1466972379045006,-0.11854031680184599,0.1936525398054961,0.04704138149632631,0.18592129135554863,0.05087517943973486,-0.04080783975779859,-0.13177805927633154,-0.0726566732867656,-0.14718756430053362,-0.12824305580127734,-0.0516524654212844,0.11446464972556843,-0.1312365838947918,-0.002782217054785675,0.11416171395868818,-0.08723065827118942,0.10121880915721361,-0.03435462005989642,0.009704898694747955,-0.0602051973284784,0.14600597989562586,0.08794827529343366,-0.12442741536157495,-0.11578291854288744,0.14866162297934388,0.10456504997326582,0.05580121418143928,-0.051259634880636444,0.19387262665964786,0.11341955844980589,0.07479256555049245,-0.004843543789218889,-0.08453078774918703,-0.085699550400635,-0.09914594530341041,-0.13965094975585093,0.17930260778022877,-0.11578460890576617,-0.10611477610368046,-0.11543998964658078,-0.13620160066912113,0.13816391075818882,0.01836316110648191,-0.10266979121154507,-0.05621840179587553,-0.1502237675792888,0.09196155797706196,0.11805412370167809;-0.07835967851346226,-0.13589655127052067,-0.07286888429186815,-0.172608385679676,-0.07625295198445185,0.13062486192840833,0.19386154722403767,0.2916523970330164,-0.18249432706093494,0.18168931660951188,-0.2226544868493288,0.26655534462194835,-0.08066209039004786,0.062357249317735626,-0.14517278579271106,0.02786538732196227,0.028474992783293015,-0.18753673261890916,-0.005969596590833332,0.27931814889126894,0.12589971517858287,-0.023193967643154557,-0.07558143553841412,-0.15353583478027089,0.16792793034814224,-0.21346848078312408,-0.0921014210806384,0.12564702249834103,0.30635210247206157,0.06459129538082779,0.2932473523586024,-0.2267914423247246,-0.010300010167434015,-0.1668981475843128,0.22558998855100912,-0.19066694501997994,-0.1434103076237086,0.32553103621371937,-0.010397321754700138,0.12747344488934817,0.14475223136787702,0.28528303948597983,-0.01225433562393046,-0.16791102608242253,-0.05658952593579804,0.27307033947101916,-0.16432078216406185,-0.20706682648924712,-0.13929350236188534,0.018222121458256427,0.04439216638202619,-0.2224643768172391,-0.17550087435626965,0.29505669276928315,0.06648208561717098,0.28151446574653083,0.07198825019529084,-0.0585850461045545,-0.1970736394620097,-0.10567706664701394,-0.22162726622070927,-0.18897769986996962,-0.07448057544653057,0.1656772247555728,-0.19398510896850876,-0.004082357013849226,0.1645637820489484,-0.12610207949076274,0.1453242928769421,-0.04982099528878224,0.01369710117664935,-0.08696182247401549,0.21417458136286444,0.12592439124317908,-0.18618164968414766,-0.16865028005973898,0.2183225344954042,0.15032865650785926,0.07915951133813812,-0.07431547600687916,0.2956159962663168,0.12960589840352824,0.10627102934599411,-0.008025209613287117,-0.12365130125265537,-0.12500311144280377,-0.14608989449614374,-0.20848701196121217,0.269496951047099,-0.16872050336338754,-0.15315773800436538,-0.17150879391505017,-0.20278831129378772,0.20175851021820157,0.027306844863258378,-0.15204222408218815,-0.07997182176206058,-0.227513263429775,0.13230671646394906,0.1707487339990872;-0.03130674403648291,0.02419216853516377,-0.035045742338520154,0.05581855567447277,-0.03206822346262741,-0.09292210288224802,-0.06332256504123748,0.02197033198703801,0.07142905744160526,-0.07007431343204552,0.1266471374762329,-0.0019776854880647694,-0.027885231655948167,-0.10077525975274187,0.022738214050820466,-0.09330850978099262,-0.0933548384368961,0.08488942437871459,-0.08020710806152968,0.010839718397398642,-0.09390030853262064,-0.07026596272245397,-0.032863086914501675,0.033314903527852664,-0.07768101351728388,0.1183347168257155,-0.019267261217988496,-0.09446423228377149,0.0419136329116309,-0.10074768077787398,0.02608293080660996,0.13560686086639676,-0.07792724253919764,0.060007831479212674,-0.03825765896727872,0.08999697749484535,0.03394445701721391,0.5570358408910012,-0.0772015356347306,-0.09292639391644224,-0.08729678235356819,0.016503954824198756,-0.07540591006717477,0.05161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x_a{49}=[-0.2529173093427487,-0.6829732211339276,16.77289025509981];
std_x_a{49}=[1.1245672098374722,1.6708381173730273,1.018132706172947];
pred_a{49}=[-0.2529173093427487];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.8 to 4.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 4.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{50}=[-0.6698956810963915,-1.1653506600452324,13.216596819606762];
std_x_f{50}=[2.009951425424398,3.350162696233859,0.9934782690438553];
pred_f{50}=[-0.6698956810963915];
obs{50}=[-0.684277161354851];
sqrt_r{50}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{50}=[5.049752525180605];
L_f{50}=[-0.09923604493848721,-0.16621345302500684,-0.09277025763241599,-0.2090831508660619,-0.09702827709120808,0.1626382757206413,0.23967099487715934,0.34834850584875937,-0.21976603090817062,0.2251750501538555,-0.26034279077008204,0.32228386670035336,-0.10261596999307426,0.07676515866767739,-0.1788534426074361,0.03264795623832075,0.033955972188768196,-0.22337280491026038,-0.009941910793782613,0.33595205504384507,0.15716475264862356,-0.03222293194727022,-0.09624780600035053,-0.18883656786592065,0.20872089564029123,-0.25049147227115215,-0.11531295942873471,0.15677887329959095,0.36338925017823265,0.07888663209224224,0.35069322600821967,-0.2635982680205483,-0.015507406222774103,-0.2011728593867365,0.2764027799473416,-0.2265344157194924,-0.1757978598334539,0.3442332110338051,-0.015586663368155491,0.1582819479525803,0.1804278864462018,0.3420691610257596,-0.01917808686464421,-0.20451187669270426,-0.07289166137252413,0.3290846583779749,-0.2008131179416266,-0.2440564313053855,-0.17067989450535864,0.019868979241962677,0.05326906868918899,-0.2592630655682437,-0.21095305080448837,0.35265405900541835,0.08182204978246589,0.3382324836228553,0.08875186825688157,-0.07548503861500191,-0.23386182087059923,-0.13187741113681264,-0.25952865590087176,-0.22640837366849212,-0.09462902492960876,0.20583997007688745,-0.23120151554692367,-0.007935176465503813,0.2053269537737543,-0.155711230495055,0.1808404203250992,-0.06453100036526117,0.014334975981666925,-0.11014877273084399,0.26331122028579274,0.15686178710201398,-0.2213538357617257,-0.20511129602724373,0.2683035073063564,0.187732208941335,0.09818830536348824,-0.09440799827050299,0.3533466053870586,0.16174499412461293,0.1319310480008017,-0.012598040688986942,-0.15254130971289234,-0.15441029910164145,-0.17802207902698602,-0.24684152303606324,0.326690550284824,-0.20491735215502452,-0.1880180029147062,-0.20597857491724858,-0.24034493736665813,0.24931940105892836,0.03089141614683674,-0.18425660375639566,-0.10198616167357018,-0.26457420826171146,0.16462626809285116,0.21210152111055636;-0.17119220042636815,-0.28059959765651515,-0.1602099072207181,-0.3477644677506865,-0.16742088382522047,0.27544008024901623,0.4054098542493139,0.5833605384973499,-0.364129615132084,0.3813718233444402,-0.4244189603808263,0.5415318080525985,-0.17654730494497953,0.12717222407150366,-0.301076474178572,0.05135873978903448,0.053243864255442815,-0.3694692434773959,-0.02099811293559794,0.5633243897007966,0.26565698426286943,-0.05871735493490872,-0.16649398222498824,-0.3162909866165386,0.35299455338685226,-0.4101291092725223,-0.19787701282557438,0.2646718702811826,0.6067834834642584,0.13076303235464148,0.5861818876923589,-0.42973538694629776,-0.030853184676723096,-0.3350568904736597,0.46656518777015865,-0.3740131703968047,-0.29448759299421184,0.5277293751339741,-0.03146649634728041,0.2680240503501005,0.3055606267641799,0.5732384009929179,-0.03645924354203388,-0.34015864578894595,-0.12747414103270183,0.5520955023511956,-0.3349317506427041,-0.40174015382390266,-0.28720306961036723,0.030210943521050828,0.08695342001385295,-0.4227937648580303,-0.34982004437211406,0.5898529228621349,0.13578621339086705,0.5673633836286303,0.14826475464444855,-0.13260953028238942,-0.38472837272924426,-0.22463124512403307,-0.42336022153134356,-0.3742263285668365,-0.1634668602933151,0.34848837245780473,-0.3816188122258345,-0.01780355821705019,0.3467637289823252,-0.26322415206207467,0.3063057542631634,-0.11335108351846007,0.0208348096201518,-0.18844186709652397,0.4451799106934849,0.26449862656018597,-0.36656332101900163,-0.3417928675435049,0.453283771446772,0.31769132775720893,0.16409710211453213,-0.1634644881052018,0.5906309473433284,0.2479899178076414,0.223034104740741,-0.02516508285215005,-0.2581549822112591,-0.26157868807926227,-0.29857836321672226,-0.4040623097243858,0.5491026267636023,-0.34175715460976464,-0.3144830597293464,-0.3424356551520169,-0.395755521248898,0.42113988584189727,0.04869998223907118,-0.30896483797094576,-0.1755189492756999,-0.4308940437568303,0.2788514347315772,0.3586578870127135;-0.0381691993451635,0.02692455461726369,-0.04218215752607409,0.06885687202330966,-0.03950173111230623,-0.10111399372528243,-0.06092409858291796,0.04431129178469122,0.08585473129209943,-0.07088683794416976,0.1493813153492757,0.014345030719911833,-0.035024585703656304,-0.11409735223108691,0.03053048385572488,-0.1078215940681365,-0.10733323002038282,0.09791848554546402,-0.0936213655532631,0.0302125007788071,-0.10285965681579964,-0.08287711125263889,-0.04009540541824587,0.041823684863855765,-0.08019914850897275,0.13745670182693337,-0.02423104036968035,-0.10302249939260481,0.06711124875613224,-0.11424103014588703,0.048564917124174135,0.15795606160777664,-0.09053078412909421,0.06834849004666799,-0.031190494323474052,0.10311997706493627,0.03736392848715306,0.45451896862405494,-0.09090282860747441,-0.1012324758291618,-0.09374549028469045,0.03745606817446996,-0.08898420144898143,0.0633827839716958,-0.056775296308600114,0.022753657910020215,0.0582461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k{50}=[0.801970493600726;1.3365550362515966;-0.12197286088394617];
x_a{50}=[-0.6814292039179773,-1.1845722999134292,13.218350969897632];
L_a{50}=[0.05682469944018228,0.0951774077344125,0.0531222501886086,0.11972552123913212,0.05556048395846794,-0.09313018410824077,-0.1372407803723553,-0.1994718668762192,0.12584276873649672,-0.12894008980660537,0.1490778965052309,-0.18454669239407306,0.05876011741735288,-0.04395738535803841,0.10241533836127134,-0.01869492382257657,-0.019443921964262256,0.12790808531319495,0.005692952526151015,-0.1923733918054831,-0.08999592675609527,0.018451545747516465,0.055113569380330484,0.108131891178735,-0.11951808608451837,0.1434368190808111,0.06603068738942118,-0.08977496391902771,-0.20808452144552114,-0.045172186792294955,-0.20081450420537952,0.15094205298594077,0.008879875233360862,0.11519591774601093,-0.15827419265524395,0.12971849184534556,0.10066564576868772,-0.19711536031539745,0.008925259584052846,-0.09063565688039285,-0.1033168988575482,-0.19587617861124001,0.010981786130197431,0.11710791106411184,0.041739337271620915,-0.18844097237344637,0.11498992203641527,0.13975197584676635,0.09773498844861275,-0.011377406005122655,-0.030503017523501038,0.14845962256948017,0.12079626626983292,-0.20193731946658142,-0.046853070266457485,-0.1936792143891763,-0.050821233772245955,0.0432243610090155,0.13391432205649706,0.07551584966373819,0.14861170532162096,0.12964631744874058,0.05418662042885464,-0.1178684059773413,0.13239097385644855,0.0045438531728725536,-0.11757464177854096,0.0891636086245395,-0.10355312465324351,0.03695184247420673,-0.00820851639286286,0.06307356271619861,-0.1507776832625948,-0.08982244215040086,0.1267519800379837,0.11745115150204927,-0.15363637447341938,-0.10749951144209247,-0.056224741164156926,0.054060055797225434,-0.20233388646005093,-0.09261867180198931,-0.07554656328878234,0.007213909785810391,0.08734844362267692,0.08841866725299599,0.10193928164605377,0.14134677943458765,-0.1870700544483624,0.11734009505825461,0.10766316323463111,0.1179477740980613,0.13762669437597633,-0.1427656658279948,-0.01768909108493495,0.10550930495886007,0.058399475591261414,0.15150089741499914,-0.09426855141328815,-0.12145390513481111;0.08889688704613227,0.15503148124958444,0.08293291116911443,0.20022437993401906,0.08688183514472742,-0.1508207682814051,-0.2227470860022496,-0.32963075478498094,0.2118581368162138,-0.20879250003617766,0.25791696829717825,-0.30314632124167645,0.09240027365055914,-0.07402261475882276,0.16768292375912353,-0.03420872867598214,-0.035751800840770336,0.21597155105743945,0.005058775039842317,-0.3171768786138274,-0.14625823388755033,0.025736161638116702,0.0857631895453951,0.1786333188425356,-0.19404485469492228,0.24638736599643235,0.10434827648501663,-0.1462319914832929,-0.3456282993184829,-0.0759920047628521,-0.3329547142530732,0.26113286592788054,0.009790385268520106,0.19219976767472857,-0.2578625829650422,0.21971393251344057,0.16626338687448083,-0.374476086510616,0.009384799718352627,-0.14681924002765104,-0.16732525224755568,-0.32329527282310355,0.013804862763145498,0.19584928781285546,0.06356859653796537,-0.310406913497623,0.191382056304362,0.23791063586002228,0.16013416596082478,-0.021863931926226668,-0.05266019996132011,0.25671229748822694,0.2030696492597641,-0.33442285270960964,-0.07866229950827572,-0.31911469067950765,-0.08434621287970541,0.06523022465113316,0.22820322508478333,0.12100803888885434,0.25684193009676254,0.21917042903341447,0.08454762635425887,-0.19100037899183217,0.22434035551541143,0.002993852714889548,-0.19138045112508267,0.14488151028856439,-0.1676613403510325,0.05577908495099145,-0.01673592210664191,0.10024853570559536,-0.2449360149044509,-0.14662254510639697,0.2135859300670494,0.19578609226989532,-0.2499165064788294,-0.1743385485142084,-0.09324595058663931,0.08397070679299234,-0.33545993237272953,-0.1759297169499919,-0.1227457568517793,0.00785329175932406,0.1416425920439317,0.14311734565118128,0.16800210270961421,0.2428879644080392,-0.3071250389211594,0.19531349509537205,0.17829585781820514,0.19741636759154496,0.23416776395536223,-0.23230469219224667,-0.03226374662924828,0.17395577783441923,0.09177795620802828,0.26253206404706764,-0.15261976979711916,-0.1972418479209882;-0.06190470534623765,-0.01283076225554969,-0.06437116161345319,0.018847881991702592,-0.06270917811001579,-0.06221379600212146,-0.0035990375053981654,0.12763009047486162,0.033290585384364774,-0.017028950343631152,0.08711192647459737,0.09142962893074696,-0.05956850997115834,-0.0957364846112669,-0.012248094864870286,-0.10001278063046075,-0.09921156231225955,0.04449166311707425,-0.09599929469639083,0.11056628778744088,-0.06526862895932764,-0.0905842664005564,-0.06311617754119407,-0.0033426807705479985,-0.030276803517386222,0.07754357402145423,-0.05181185984126395,-0.06552376704841745,0.1540275273490347,-0.0953727436216646,0.1324445313874582,0.09490802017935415,-0.09423988129927989,0.02023150176698615,0.03492015978633442,0.04893695327461094,-0.004683808901408055,0.5368534616132361,-0.09463088268440693,-0.06337423462437611,-0.050590332457113064,0.1192729586938589,-0.09357126047725133,0.014467161835207014,-0.074209691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x_a{50}=[-0.6814292039179775,-1.1845722999134278,13.218350969897626];
std_x_a{50}=[1.150941532483539,1.9196319063308316,0.9600324380997793];
pred_a{50}=[-0.6814292039179775];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 4.9 to 5.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{51}=[-1.4528753893923545,-2.585561488225655,10.752584434373583];
std_x_f{51}=[2.369489773830512,4.18456651929836,1.312256823083796];
pred_f{51}=[-1.4528753893923545];
obs{51}=[-1.546062435896202];
sqrt_r{51}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{51}=[6.6271812454132535];
L_f{51}=[0.11269186805571191,0.1957102106726319,0.10543160792187922,0.25035278120588755,0.11004145757613511,-0.19868580652760293,-0.28430125716853694,-0.39746472508959924,0.26424653295412226,-0.2683837216259375,0.31607757281732196,-0.3709746872382634,0.11671990135313735,-0.1004018771609641,0.21192884813217988,-0.04855353389323459,-0.05024083797316171,0.26907492478440853,0.003232608444481833,-0.38512916300455524,-0.19277940005241714,0.030736145618762725,0.10870303230129853,0.2248019647445342,-0.25121188788906,0.3033471343743272,0.1326561230552767,-0.19372701972914141,-0.41202887298742347,-0.10308347961297254,-0.40024266642587664,0.31982887946900984,0.009833674642469554,0.24081131112990614,-0.3237443730696809,0.2734266144513342,0.20916397872965356,-0.37820453892206385,0.009577073396843392,-0.19399342221364213,-0.21894617249836762,-0.39092783322952473,0.014838431190938455,0.24529783956452283,0.08012272967529892,-0.3778711125049638,0.24011708211755492,0.29434090012143455,0.20179162214547572,-0.032511102944832206,-0.07233692687742975,0.3151189977454701,0.25327403916733576,-0.40197457088588884,-0.10646864443855412,-0.3867875086117116,-0.11458364843531686,0.08290494978734463,0.28257932115856366,0.1533570579629938,0.31508501270415534,0.27277294594707063,0.10722521773795388,-0.24782283317615336,0.27871004882872075,0.001012448381745591,-0.24762557404709726,0.18275331946693782,-0.21970264684494242,0.06957076786720064,-0.02566115087206662,0.12625022482775594,-0.30995524730666596,-0.19306997622576755,0.26606492916304647,0.2456938178766779,-0.3146180018627251,-0.22753333776285062,-0.12580469518759266,0.10694232122341063,-0.4027810427700095,-0.18535608909597853,-0.16355284637471332,0.006292618762128951,0.1793428323106865,0.1811582193901209,0.21137939886435447,0.2995593981265533,-0.37726796620654185,0.24490497951698897,0.22372345464949803,0.2471081099341151,0.290187991224938,-0.2949785480697656,-0.04600820495085901,0.21929738129651605,0.11589059585073322,0.3215394259915094,-0.20251908380816724,-0.2547866408384374;0.1966263306538562,0.3495223636441441,0.1829472555670727,0.4482398529419904,0.19192039435345928,-0.3666220281043988,-0.5099894088952315,-0.6812081785814269,0.4732701125598616,-0.48412363370774186,0.5648385253431543,-0.6428878612140064,0.2047614449485413,-0.19374498647108687,0.3781841226794344,-0.09943126708119866,-0.10291514477693442,0.4808250225050668,-0.0049658893059638075,-0.6629684923158657,-0.3563771243137944,0.04603368569153575,0.18997498461132484,0.40209187614563124,-0.4554392057049213,0.5419258983880166,0.23343010367352224,-0.3574075350490815,-0.7003193990514109,-0.19786327626632877,-0.684533814977326,0.5716653269956998,0.007516053681108598,0.4305499056887783,-0.571286435380013,0.48885920636344826,0.37364185461847005,-0.5896899393243832,0.005813013066975701,-0.3585692188370959,-0.4009397433080809,-0.6717705886795482,0.016183873686266198,0.43921800057475746,0.1368285745176989,-0.6532313713716379,0.4300683097989919,0.5260611190410722,0.3601184019866901,-0.07076769400801827,-0.14316365488717275,0.5625457582924254,0.4531428810334956,-0.6880877388905626,-0.20406572917070534,-0.6659651229324564,-0.2183358443664418,0.14152988367572422,0.5056967422938434,0.2721091858056631,0.5631358351938699,0.4884686319918793,0.18636250587434192,-0.4500085179878755,0.498909925186145,-0.008708273556725066,-0.44983445139384937,0.3256638065148459,-0.4019424236632681,0.11800726818615004,-0.05768132908871177,0.22292610479724365,-0.5498597066686496,-0.3565040722255357,0.4753373733124042,0.4397397464384968,-0.5583265792291392,-0.4157171503268664,-0.23894047175753547,0.18540273453839334,-0.6882357294549251,-0.3046672584631132,-0.30555328022661815,0.0011194751343193716,0.3195225843985952,0.32249256567895096,0.3773438650258982,0.5353463575968208,-0.6556363236786406,0.4382927540205579,0.40088501985324715,0.44111017679806896,0.5189305775489175,-0.5267511605889725,-0.09594194968434366,0.3916140007264282,0.20331343128359194,0.573940549609986,-0.3715796230419937,-0.4614467265272793;-0.10966681660153049,-0.0711191677361311,-0.11106001649535317,-0.04007378495936516,-0.11074125101639083,-0.014842742964212011,0.08415220016825034,0.27705679912158654,-0.026498781881370736,0.06380844154648117,0.027134259923218013,0.22517930241014003,-0.10769015159812773,-0.0877611068061571,-0.0688633322255195,-0.10929317532270517,-0.10824384016775526,-0.016866169665606365,-0.12038437959812713,0.2521209901920082,-0.020373321314077056,-0.12153535351125698,-0.11056189204025788,-0.060972998380769236,0.04092794895758822,0.016216450529406026,-0.10239905713892151,-0.020363939786389614,0.31028408840787153,-0.08592580023257534,0.2826037061308748,0.03361641671787259,-0.12031169388779969,-0.040296025497026336,0.1423844066695254,-0.012208367131818864,-0.06388520720533432,0.5785599108792401,-0.12053480366996285,-0.018417018314577614,0.005727472964034261,0.26390779590519464,-0.12018792278374384,-0.04387608194417805,-0.11548002011627109,0.23891645399728612,-0.047505649130009826,0.00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k{51}=[0.8491062847131112;1.4987204252516648;-0.2914181653288145];
x_a{51}=[-1.5320010962326245,-2.725222818189848,10.779740832498145];
L_a{51}=[-0.052388302022648485,-0.09098194752229498,-0.049013145436672095,-0.11638423730397372,-0.051156176696449736,0.09236524533283741,0.13216623686281187,0.18477377667613762,-0.12284317773483408,0.12476647791081998,-0.1469384404840398,0.17245906286856164,-0.054260857945126265,0.04667491945158879,-0.0985216830177294,0.022571612679347503,0.023356008193135273,-0.12508780508774708,-0.00150277806582065,0.17903920892710581,0.08961946951396842,-0.014288648395568147,-0.05053396829097557,-0.10450614962296297,0.1167836196299944,-0.14102030224089165,-0.06166930373660815,0.09005999984400308,0.1915443715019906,0.04792154533138208,0.18606518866741076,-0.14868235146216877,-0.004571487952506564,-0.11194858968622842,0.15050258982416237,-0.12711082268886664,-0.09723634791936073,0.17582008314557657,-0.004452198923163394,0.09018384528252847,0.1017839033946692,0.18173490021625233,-0.00689810390212761,-0.1140342912609836,-0.03724753022137713,0.1756650795579817,-0.11162585584749259,-0.1368334755579406,-0.0938090798297092,0.015113792233182871,0.03362805886553906,-0.14649281719957444,-0.11774227446327208,0.18687031804800305,0.04949524395168849,0.17981014219873023,0.053267754671692015,-0.03854093133396914,-0.1313657416246858,-0.07129277390182474,-0.14647701820148007,-0.12680694465742645,-0.049846960461451394,0.11520811267519557,-0.12956699065071586,-4.7066795963493556E-4,0.11511641066503311,-0.08495853570501039,0.10213557390314917,-0.03234212425312397,0.01192938004603802,-0.0586913237203057,0.14409228802009605,0.0897545528397902,-0.123688515481324,-0.11421837403261124,0.14625991376057618,0.10577591289061364,0.05848420548052823,-0.049715447262666676,0.18724523145894367,0.08616851370763019,0.07603260164527934,-0.0029253185514754925,-0.08337306521571353,-0.08421700407524506,-0.09826625452332614,-0.13925945583773813,0.1753846883372952,-0.11385165811115744,-0.10400477083167958,-0.11487585145961288,-0.13490286734906187,0.13712990593821248,0.021388337757378664,-0.10194717367235503,-0.05387532962015861,-0.1494775519446046,0.09414726289431276,0.11844545415629515;-0.09474946900124816,-0.15650544580893533,-0.08965643445227935,-0.19907164413676898,-0.09260251088943053,0.1470994742180159,0.2250991789475111,0.3464755762962895,-0.20996503274389652,0.2098086158181082,-0.2524108212304698,0.31630332099634445,-0.09702922707778429,0.06585384483222156,-0.1697785534204154,0.026108623314693543,0.026987434640201324,-0.2148944001016667,-0.013324113255335958,0.33282046545947286,0.14207278885593633,-0.033437612127000645,-0.09108729173737337,-0.17915549663813377,0.19409359536956783,-0.24240765980366474,-0.10956522155498734,0.14349254108127998,0.36502137858437866,0.06866909933162905,0.35033257776253574,-0.25528338825683144,-0.017909869785535406,-0.19209119128711008,0.2657861698978037,-0.21811193367798495,-0.16717198237699313,0.38819472851275494,-0.018949442889307895,0.14301966686125592,0.16516690834133044,0.33901139568135874,-0.022182335237961183,-0.19502345260132728,-0.07033654602275045,0.3237911899924699,-0.19077779045612503,-0.23498594339369747,-0.16163348908384267,0.013292928836007396,0.04387051427828907,-0.252225099079545,-0.201721812999058,0.351256661496779,0.07121931975706687,0.33411164891257916,0.0779313376961909,-0.07282893791831888,-0.22493961229979884,-0.12441042264231002,-0.2515471505440578,-0.21681238447253542,-0.09087873699992975,0.19076155207429307,-0.2217220489793194,-0.011326057447704657,0.1904255859795408,-0.1468626988846248,0.1661201660804766,-0.06187472746861783,0.00866807557039117,-0.10350614670858785,0.25155977105823335,0.142697153938925,-0.212599412478875,-0.19552554722706522,0.25514890449717886,0.172592453397776,0.08633981947456537,-0.09110705184689794,0.3531938825292178,0.17458896128987977,0.11732853210380655,-0.015150703498566601,-0.14418577431903223,-0.14590965312884932,-0.16919815648241188,-0.23919363964747944,0.3198267441918918,-0.19493292124290845,-0.1775737600462302,-0.1978119067165879,-0.23137873449189023,0.23594460271524717,0.023016744847413218,-0.1754007354739978,-0.09633299060214731,-0.257430950262587,0.15205319100321543,0.197328946434641;-0.05301035184263581,0.027275231480395963,-0.058053687984173465,0.0857924711459149,-0.05541729489830144,-0.1147331395814608,-0.05878184144081719,0.07722919329283295,0.10635263535286953,-0.07112297035134682,0.1860440213316313,0.038669710754725514,-0.049008570648502926,-0.13823871014382508,0.03768507736919939,-0.1337037351031315,-0.1335027014786403,0.11841274847259901,-0.1187591676855555,0.05849515695439646,-0.11729423915626784,-0.10608258499194577,-0.05591083668887425,0.052047442339784006,-0.08537022782093175,0.16872591305685444,-0.03570545190720017,-0.11776127870266014,0.10313427604946444,-0.13775159414903893,0.08137947481231016,0.19441216845352163,-0.11536775915281008,0.08077320334768305,-0.02037988129706468,0.12525838724079813,0.041273148887123294,0.3884154709938469,-0.11571987664139205,-0.11594829256473889,-0.10434893556720141,0.06736664889279474,-0.11272781879974503,0.07944877407693045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x_a{51}=[-1.5320010962326251,-2.725222818189851,10.779740832498149];
std_x_a{51}=[1.1015306432726937,1.9488299509998708,1.100751679924839];
pred_a{51}=[-1.5320010962326251];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.0 to 5.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{52}=[-3.4873433895262465,-6.429834525047602,9.721382150649886];
std_x_f{52}=[2.4417600314095282,4.416918844061133,1.8246021795248961];
pred_f{52}=[-3.4873433895262465];
obs{52}=[-3.7308592706469486];
sqrt_r{52}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{52}=[6.979075088876527];
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k{52}=[0.856714537776813;1.5487030960291173;-0.48818239515280076];
x_a{52}=[-3.695966985061882,-6.806968324071492,9.840262316753135];
L_a{52}=[0.0582305590466008,0.09052736324563902,0.055325321306509884,0.11141819704006098,0.057068509168645795,-0.08520889661117319,-0.13080553780467136,-0.19501029152673094,0.11616237115065109,-0.12190405474811863,0.1337857083912707,-0.17957080446927295,0.05975976337834322,-0.036349831601862184,0.0973388493199641,-0.012040552763851731,-0.012739318037984757,0.11764820550682514,0.011469941503534831,-0.18819753750503335,-0.08242675999195664,0.023574106328766622,0.056282305521430424,0.10207406410028011,-0.11277535025014522,0.12958120455352157,0.06603414537805657,-0.08291594152171788,-0.2038765529911641,-0.037752623147393395,-0.19667778676194633,0.1351364477802664,0.014366865530716883,0.10738736875000933,-0.15268278222043932,0.11934745263777555,0.09577339579025848,-0.20346461690259632,0.014738767819377984,-0.08272349688036877,-0.09588717074967315,-0.1911715268632017,0.01680985943046205,0.10933906800304141,0.044632821902615555,-0.18343460717248278,0.10744048291225214,0.12682042889398104,0.09301005202562389,-0.004471052191479738,-0.02270911707758378,0.13369804339763416,0.11206430270509239,-0.19735757250864414,-0.039402612145247755,-0.1886942171928843,-0.04324846026668624,0.046217863313953764,0.12213665438448472,0.07425891121208905,0.13325596998368805,0.11923315021721202,0.0559685355787801,-0.11090309217827878,0.12114338027910825,0.010294681200215115,-0.11083501078264087,0.08566137128271588,-0.09664600751444861,0.04020174992086822,-0.0015572550942130196,0.0631427356046529,-0.14492358883851028,-0.0823622322528407,0.11713448012939176,0.10963968152382879,-0.1471573497318687,-0.1000108520598243,-0.04858315474265473,0.0560347798117514,-0.19810457572474816,-0.09705548800933735,-0.0672320491488454,0.012848726494689476,0.08448441543176667,0.08511302646045801,0.09674608362487697,0.12853410917516345,-0.18189286975266125,0.10925672408857934,0.10127207413464956,0.11009070987894533,0.1254548583175325,-0.13655986816275373,-0.010298482467496884,0.09957622966191498,0.05928171814803038,0.13584354290902856,-0.0875451686730804,-0.11450601824907508;0.08616348441436693,0.15921174596801607,0.07983025627748015,0.21175582495021933,0.08316968720193246,-0.162219488340709,-0.23218953554294414,-0.3321207405753224,0.2251215781004743,-0.21816682402175216,0.27794137965743465,-0.30635619672924486,0.08993823712744889,-0.08672276113818297,0.17438356190386703,-0.04573682817707527,-0.04756124067938973,0.22977025256004352,-0.0054096102917659,-0.3216369126517796,-0.15847344149476036,0.017559671128282262,0.08198529588880964,0.18645132766512415,-0.20417253439471159,0.2647835810312167,0.10257699880956266,-0.1586631290404981,-0.34612371597184716,-0.08836356072533753,-0.3339116610680965,0.28252192560399614,4.8376816056466116E-4,0.20244808974103257,-0.264215601531312,0.23602263805831752,0.1723085117752208,-0.34573759708373303,9.377750731145368E-4,-0.1583328226952146,-0.1782444238519122,-0.32590368057243857,0.005099530512699638,0.20621865634689074,0.05860135879701196,-0.31291966089415457,0.201028457622387,0.2568996052441425,0.16535062885342094,-0.032982979532294225,-0.06383004530775858,0.27768899685967574,0.21446900372943983,-0.3356081985221185,-0.09094133425539515,-0.3215277219954878,-0.096454840977681,0.06156214651949762,0.2433177973932777,0.12136812267456047,0.2753674806985302,0.23374226534937909,0.08051467967140026,-0.20111145679746736,0.23936408268165024,-0.007286147003098907,-0.20134099024934093,0.14779329619371306,-0.18003110309017611,0.049683246024283846,-0.028154682012985894,0.09617465654074707,-0.252454416688855,-0.1563615230305186,0.2291313693748257,0.20681965704835797,-0.25625090508795223,-0.1836133136538013,-0.10547771904332076,0.08110310589502018,-0.33614227740862673,-0.16280668534811463,-0.1342686947741451,-0.0022876526618068357,0.14448716255211594,0.14600676148589378,0.17478906196143126,0.261160797091322,-0.3107668639143727,0.2060579569339359,0.18431243090438856,0.20869318999693315,0.25192898182011014,-0.2400875172076852,-0.0443502956120383,0.18142960887874088,0.0883445919643056,0.2847054641345489,-0.16496196166728952,-0.2062984495366783;-0.11004913135807726,-0.047086555181065685,-0.11253463082607867,0.003225770594613986,-0.11201428217355525,-0.05802638978601023,0.05133357486645474,0.27610081974999834,0.021057858672572927,0.027666326061575947,0.0916619592638502,0.21502587002531698,-0.10762761524904313,-0.1284910518475623,-0.038283841175900835,-0.1438279713365495,-0.1433982622508369,0.031147307457604394,-0.1463471849171043,0.24664482712472144,-0.06309293724092102,-0.14233733992673608,-0.11188092101094102,-0.025280992239136085,0.002369474855416143,0.07556823656800409,-0.09717083543374505,-0.06286818383992017,0.31541052648250517,-0.1269094505859947,0.28370017084070587,0.09832432399327687,-0.1457379049240651,-0.0013620058004108096,0.11891713111073735,0.03727212254711267,-0.03558205632966632,0.5337412463135276,-0.14551524219993833,-0.06134487865720461,-0.035759906797329356,0.26096396524957177,-0.1445813979586284,-0.0018539268606582132,-0.1249500572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x_a{52}=[-3.695966985061883,-6.806968324071498,9.840262316753135];
std_x_a{52}=[1.09428045581292,1.9878716453738263,1.3287373687742685];
pred_a{52}=[-3.695966985061883];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.1 to 5.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{53}=[-8.508935031010076,-15.131228186834836,13.840054510623602];
std_x_f{53}=[2.177534297650484,3.245323536739655,3.6396699108534833];
pred_f{53}=[-8.508935031010076];
obs{53}=[-9.095601583297917];
sqrt_r{53}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{53}=[5.748779518246858];
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k{53}=[0.8260500343027657;1.210093003491707;-1.2900736513396203];
x_a{53}=[-8.993550956651733,-15.841149277140953,14.596897571852404];
L_a{53}=[-0.04359272145698529,-0.09181918169571783,-0.040148960812448675,-0.12554871834967685,-0.04166357999979915,0.10573713628785149,0.13505882146707374,0.16371628145520728,-0.13413156058706463,0.1302560898715811,-0.16733006596741157,0.15795977544572504,-0.045994351853768406,0.06564261635363221,-0.10151882251118599,0.041167237696011307,0.04220646677161946,-0.1372003800603939,0.016161263058531022,0.1613215277791603,0.10376737372502312,0.0014527979518626564,-0.04085312189860384,-0.1092276851992572,0.1244769141989577,-0.15898356948063727,-0.05489488253030019,0.10442538213858352,0.16603899605262273,0.06617457543919994,0.163903462093837,-0.16969443296463693,0.012369491118855517,-0.11974030929392405,0.1461661339770516,-0.14111813499132858,-0.10023258802833561,0.13846148705299913,0.011936438468192914,0.10377108327043473,0.11315443421419352,0.1624573007810697,0.009223032053923039,-0.12211330415064733,-0.02570903588539963,0.15959379410362848,-0.11834921249518117,-0.1539805053305843,-0.0955739410351361,0.03321266337840028,0.052067789337372244,-0.1669975703040971,-0.1273032663432697,0.16408479973055798,0.06816226640234632,0.16139677864901822,0.07087123442477061,-0.027453725787095686,-0.14550814843219936,-0.06689037293279106,-0.16586683226794247,-0.13936420949308334,-0.04027225765006556,0.12327362649537855,-0.1433009528771147,0.017144984934150998,0.12327304138214148,-0.08422973876034981,0.11437276662758106,-0.019292046089170196,0.030097184716036826,-0.050429305872416244,0.14195584501728367,0.1031185857938355,-0.13653047303343294,-0.12255666027183876,0.14373506114323328,0.11578168999390381,0.07614024134685207,-0.0402360048520891,0.16416611098430392,0.08115166634843018,0.0914131034770809,0.014098076599300985,-0.08207442094731127,-0.0831344072948181,-0.1017862893534353,-0.1567096226478135,0.15993992786986744,-0.12196023282190872,-0.10802639807956432,-0.12398013487903775,-0.1508748297771678,0.13792116406781338,0.040545549735682154,-0.10632056558064258,-0.04523196248375091,-0.17129618853064438,0.10724841053327724,0.12527320212603038;-0.10583774245969402,-0.13898112408073068,-0.10359103417250785,-0.16035902840266825,-0.10441566938289332,0.1091282949721135,0.2007470851187654,0.34986484815232216,-0.16465692880597432,0.18367864196301673,-0.18082896279919164,0.3121953017032806,-0.1073845318325979,0.02368449228865252,-0.14745202126169143,-0.01465864096981392,-0.013104320872232122,-0.16542923570333495,-0.04701031187153696,0.33131751999916154,0.10314625011516455,-0.06355835738630537,-0.10322057913406688,-0.1514165221508814,0.16276793773941606,-0.1756925065330504,-0.1151107165999537,0.10628996463735113,0.3721555071615103,0.02456472599369632,0.35335302576785604,-0.1801007446092981,-0.05090889220870427,-0.15578588739325108,0.2489789181696261,-0.16775562341080577,-0.1453002299696411,0.39672682775974283,-0.052361384169492646,0.10485886146064355,0.13007455167192097,0.3401457938716322,-0.05564979741801831,-0.1584739594806106,-0.09019624528749907,0.3221517260582473,-0.15544489224743596,-0.17383561486145835,-0.1418359533582016,-0.026522888261908382,0.0018432026145937899,-0.1797819107798495,-0.16038898579745578,0.35497055269263433,0.028531708811393525,0.3347182269640958,0.0334231629620749,-0.09262826597578128,-0.16958677605098296,-0.1231620688472808,-0.1793211116038288,-0.1670693987197276,-0.10341959157525182,0.15972446646360633,-0.16929753756593294,-0.04572854907414874,0.15866727862684463,-0.1349373320392983,0.13244503454456796,-0.08350589006339999,-0.029721427621231148,-0.11127105624975932,0.22885551818293814,0.10363126400266419,-0.16566685658869237,-0.15969336333759068,0.23668708932209373,0.13769586486092233,0.04365714961728172,-0.10250233916865346,0.3559636333908433,0.1581972831309788,0.07501591748096183,-0.04922896593105568,-0.13347844086668473,-0.13397821174503108,-0.14600816864252633,-0.1750387435689868,0.31677856336609256,-0.15843263872402297,-0.15030974599656935,-0.1594107387348951,-0.17265405850314147,0.21241926012955648,-0.01803770478804525,-0.14870221782920162,-0.10701504441326787,-0.1819348342317971,0.112981935464633,0.16675493489667648;-0.041687739521931944,0.11911959731106217,-0.050651055484966026,0.24515916549992886,-0.04667677009772813,-0.25062338954056457,-0.19168221795275067,-0.02885629875008343,0.28201796879930224,-0.2071444591054925,0.4300545391563304,-0.07630646894733575,-0.034919244308655936,-0.25448616162993387,0.15023018241359515,-0.22927796963378078,-0.23095039657954694,0.2981699141131793,-0.18944129049434466,-0.051127700511509104,-0.25174285398161345,-0.15910142720733997,-0.049956588575591,0.18014523928568818,-0.22171654295102847,0.39364595006056136,-0.006884210246593275,-0.2536811259842122,0.00287131738155502,-0.2533517982271032,-0.022384036980544295,0.4416054877374841,-0.18189294314844287,0.22669947412575517,-0.14607644337138165,0.31405977098046994,0.14928645620674383,0.20527839464429756,-0.18030451340731704,-0.250593522096994,-0.24050856838947526,-0.04001691335503876,-0.17473719215478642,0.23217548877708452,-0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x_a{53}=[-8.993550956651733,-15.841149277140948,14.596897571852399];
std_x_a{53}=[1.124656907404281,1.7479271540473673,2.1934156891819394];
pred_a{53}=[-8.993550956651733];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.2 to 5.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{54}=[-15.630679232770357,-19.10262089474569,33.00436191474639];
std_x_f{54}=[0.9400118594115674,1.9869959345437498,3.5018988117833856];
pred_f{54}=[-15.630679232770357];
obs{54}=[-16.565286678454687];
sqrt_r{54}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{54}=[1.8906308188836725];
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k{54}=[0.47107600806462446;0.01816726841912418;-1.3753599834581853];
x_a{54}=[-16.070950377390805,-19.11960015907795,34.28978359578269];
L_a{54}=[-0.2531429126546612,-0.1762602821528372,-0.2533030960013923,-0.10180952983801639,-0.25424113872839377,0.008096497052749443,0.23946817406632562,0.6568601464949085,-0.07828256593262863,0.19123164609882667,0.03057582285362686,0.5494177867325657,-0.25071572208477516,-0.16966899085104084,-0.16398216226502593,-0.225957628292773,-0.22623395388869905,-0.06382154597737125,-0.2578184267244675,0.6047930926271057,-0.004746848417295134,-0.26792771990725933,-0.25435065872939316,-0.14508375935347476,0.13883883503400096,0.004378348170173706,-0.2408396482735648,-0.0015372906599820857,0.7238428606174885,-0.1664125753603028,0.6710428045596948,0.040935727337003354,-0.2623167141940451,-0.11208147005205288,0.36950029873583684,-0.05397618562588773,-0.1617138156139685,0.8947634965030344,-0.26318826736608353,-1.534358976530199E-4,0.05794447639707058,0.6300240842589167,-0.2655007811088462,-0.11173127735142867,-0.26434732987847936,0.5751707563614451,-0.11586452658518372,-0.015155373102640082,-0.16942920299585537,-0.24277374858706846,-0.20449310226074677,0.03137010372871099,-0.09225769155106717,0.6741166712603208,-0.16241988202072694,0.612779341426406,-0.15030416845824757,-0.2657121403119908,-0.03741515689865707,-0.22271516067896002,0.02684273698065601,-0.060618074165749374,-0.256282119612495,0.13050683399052068,-0.04890401403706079,-0.260629283421947,0.1290496469221501,-0.19272599553667227,0.06220641434133052,-0.2665916591321018,-0.2451686243610716,-0.24434207854792767,0.3198705053485753,-0.006598163991408499,-0.06710326257532362,-0.1119490260815658,0.334133487434806,0.07535065758877817,-0.13409741895501168,-0.25416231900470676,0.6764412138846627,0.2750979907703836,-0.06703260324748707,-0.2596620828827897,-0.19553606291055434,-0.19391921069171414,-0.1574019386639328,-0.006393884892920731,0.5585417806152234,-0.10857258688960914,-0.14608889807587305,-0.102300864798008,-0.026116741492550433,0.27085311143702934,-0.23792888205937876,-0.14560762213658313,-0.24893552326837046,0.04528088430061295,0.015353738631130986,0.14967485550356976;-0.04021182117075203,0.10697222616586238,-0.04827961934475808,0.2195785263714074,-0.04486148943658577,-0.23542825019796956,-0.16965973454789152,0.014185738453280656,0.2522574713123701,-0.18648704517598344,0.37988930429699536,-0.03965901325920934,-0.034627138273779945,-0.2426031815667013,0.13573233164891577,-0.217895514635823,-0.2200128685465918,0.26476580052201776,-0.17880038475694668,-0.012166860467371355,-0.23701356726923795,-0.15015241257173956,-0.04765048579044421,0.16168537970960997,-0.20323935000104304,0.3477735715295037,-0.007778623085863629,-0.2381132663095092,0.048177545641299474,-0.2415555838459465,0.020753741382499986,0.3904668819838042,-0.17231029385708826,0.2024806075924264,-0.11850460941183277,0.27911538068110175,0.13327411352824906,0.20903572262167303,-0.1714892025399102,-0.23590937075445595,-0.22415674458065446,3.292323569633491E-4,-0.1653068394540853,0.2080707075907155,-0.08597536489320962,-0.02657532284783795,0.1943785315269214,0.3270133639173389,0.11843717513318577,-0.20769576511359766,-0.2309388425632992,0.37887760538327375,0.22908111532666772,0.02303215328681539,-0.24352610863789384,-0.00823822396840838,-0.24378209296867992,-0.08351501200777242,0.2970923696289693,0.027892494221260243,0.3760661547841597,0.27158588284387014,-0.04824990517305581,-0.2050702481805729,0.28645168037601965,-0.1812880641405071,-0.2061265884979169,0.08132315120281237,-0.2243039553393525,-0.10280861782475538,-0.20151666027388745,-0.02112512723795315,-0.13780667901047466,-0.23725583615893253,0.2621195106932642,0.208574954662026,-0.13300726768898546,-0.21977065493118636,-0.24677919816746993,-0.04926437533989405,0.024479160291446384,-0.030655117192522736,-0.2440325028821871,-0.17478216201987745,0.07549695667746911,0.0784819642381087,0.13945074302380595,0.3369146677038951,-0.03723119303734003,0.20709481626590562,0.15833981519356224,0.21738381055629405,0.31533936798433576,-0.15665937527504217,-0.2215994404898611,0.15544278122533026,-0.03505220345805085,0.39596543792473476,-0.23366300125119135,-0.1986917700363001;0.7061615144919124,0.6364601106264018,0.699769470780682,0.5390499504619946,0.7060128734510814,-0.28268530870612113,-0.899394358416724,-1.9324285919843125,0.5040165866703734,-0.7761295707339575,0.325903005468515,-1.6741681648276165,0.7055282373524182,0.24069165128586184,0.6306623738902639,0.4358905282026179,0.4340384317429231,0.47749104092678596,0.5746925334207375,-1.8072482556562282,-0.24581923988110618,0.6322900979109565,0.7024024669262839,0.6037253431248364,-0.6373701454389816,0.367521970938079,0.7043038186350472,-0.2574221543951287,-2.0896830076271984,0.2327086804771069,-1.9643829768510424,0.30652818966653694,0.5917783824050299,0.5499967836508777,-1.2307158280767072,0.4633466130777229,0.6213732702431285,-2.38304203590195,0.5972087529904085,-0.2576464467919784,-0.4193082623912036,-1.8681205286350724,0.6086403973194134,0.5551237621660504,0.6903957366000094,-1.7377207194646151,0.5561567536578801,0.401020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x_a{54}=[-16.070950377390815,-19.11960015907795,34.289783595782694];
std_x_a{54}=[2.842404307216483,1.9895871373760545,8.580940236701792];
pred_a{54}=[-16.070950377390815];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.3 to 5.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{55}=[-11.039004198094323,-0.9079891890414369,39.25576266903619];
std_x_f{55}=[2.900945007613922,7.591015988102551,1.6192599839346118];
pred_f{55}=[-11.039004198094323];
obs{55}=[-11.396793965718265];
sqrt_r{55}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{55}=[9.468486358419264];
L_f{55}=[0.23022689073852448,0.23190784619913815,0.22663271891295833,0.22239710975659152,0.22959488325915678,-0.16784788677139129,-0.36492728023390214,-0.5985684434964529,0.21820264204632198,-0.3280441737613954,0.19129917784109102,-0.5561611372404055,0.2308870443177121,0.02276955330430145,0.23605099340938607,0.09942482161437606,0.09871977651013127,0.21190999927386087,0.1581477549464085,-0.5791454268585706,-0.1546990707970812,0.18442225821866,0.22779595821041881,0.2320864312936181,-0.2850406164699731,0.1963188642032977,0.2352279892415498,-0.15921348761898188,-0.6190669695630423,0.019986434684128956,-0.6029126377095881,0.18746599086023763,0.1659497199391415,0.22230411107694578,-0.4555032625385292,0.21064355603366483,0.2323502631298364,-0.5811004801695404,0.16824896950723037,-0.15874280866730647,-0.21370491229959618,-0.5895454032095591,0.17393277361374215,0.2246977079489279,0.2168402405724224,-0.5673397968918348,0.2225458033329948,0.20175188343498643,0.2316696952757357,0.1241465477745894,0.0680310186321434,0.19059243049354635,0.21859170851014953,-0.6043964519850441,0.013611609966150533,-0.582624049402388,8.837196053967198E-4,0.22006119283330355,0.20550924455384065,0.23602876993414376,0.192297429011647,0.2129402016565947,0.22886018795395785,-0.27828614263946183,0.21019464304472082,0.1585064435315563,-0.2766186549097011,0.23519898663115466,-0.21848012969645667,0.20980912342380853,0.13000197254958287,0.23160856475892785,-0.421396299413743,-0.15315889269184366,0.21381163161793781,0.22611572920060882,-0.43245927370157783,-0.2305567525533501,-0.019415442416902566,0.22648333761450784,-0.6048775683936458,-0.30279635783375675,-0.0916172284312182,0.16217363160579784,0.2346728914824626,0.2347222057785595,0.231181742333658,0.19996505672017964,-0.5615991188456182,0.22283080786006637,0.23138410322610786,0.22154490697258866,0.20527331689447859,-0.3876271399952142,0.11061314420639919,0.22908231007899307,0.22886507062999448,0.1877645877334942,-0.17493677172970723,-0.29335806259177444;0.6362282598403213,0.504113848536791,0.6345984452259845,0.3707129041759602,0.6378450852313751,-0.10805151206295517,-0.7034011190607342,-1.7723935822945887,0.3279619160364645,-0.5794396618500298,0.1262748912374415,-1.5027964207021982,0.6331007081547968,0.3517683123661668,0.4863093887247345,0.5034579355636926,0.5029099751819809,0.29936977588464875,0.5988327174260674,-1.6418150379743162,-0.07477576114122257,0.6322479716519376,0.6367828692716796,0.45119846074100123,-0.4442746673548616,0.17326490749845905,0.6182796360742038,-0.08390174906771078,-1.9347539082282135,0.3437880085947596,-1.805783262733396,0.10700872891307336,0.6110058898611772,0.3874967380027279,-1.0401541998226091,0.28167670921460347,0.47974606361769884,-2.2456234893911677,0.6142707557758885,-0.08633195090941907,-0.23619313539146822,-1.705450111869134,0.6209079160526022,0.3893527160920674,0.6472511368157858,-1.5686173225354747,0.3955202851799216,0.2097776119697772,0.4925528845510841,0.5497244220299979,0.4444570284605239,0.12468491636595298,0.35180253273223366,-1.8137345075099323,0.3319596196744431,-1.662517298829811,0.30224346720180056,0.6521670651938558,0.2503374229570112,0.5877730551910438,0.1329762607172167,0.2942467253563001,0.6408771724584511,-0.4232127469499638,0.27298242171409076,0.6036226182193444,-0.4188193261877125,0.5348996402164401,-0.24759841534038488,0.6467205888453934,0.5569336804296517,0.6225049920740984,-0.910528640414902,-0.07010771527390654,0.30604543397821105,0.3912206792660336,-0.9499109248183991,-0.28115701804027593,0.25866292959138787,0.635612913427627,-1.8196597301932391,-0.7331496577811707,0.0858957168496138,0.6035137687225682,0.539601720836784,0.536730081442365,0.4706828847682458,0.19366812915282924,-1.5277512947664238,0.3831551518248679,0.45264699471456327,0.37148761674212505,0.23048279624355944,-0.7856508559654907,0.5318851349424647,0.4505783542383736,0.6282562623515793,0.09952633358160742,-0.12678700485337804,-0.47183795666304357;0.027515841883758045,-0.055119213300988616,0.03171389044192641,-0.1282800436513868,0.03020999927600815,0.20916471022994323,0.19061290778390338,-0.13267189367114168,-0.15094561311442725,0.20254966108414446,-0.25437317186553093,-0.002699346276832767,0.024492326998163914,0.16752489156571787,-0.07251974025491813,0.1375783462910069,0.13848894863379171,-0.16113728978951983,0.10641818092857402,-0.06525847962853376,0.20712025823911143,0.08860721268423821,0.031418684550819316,-0.08893980469199585,0.20960301015071778,-0.22670581520869512,0.010014229126136597,0.20914737069222822,-0.23055869905092008,0.16774885572679057,-0.1512386057914468,-0.2631608384356167,0.10204974553341412,-0.11668535965141674,0.13623514606375875,-0.17143062276145135,-0.07130309315842545,-0.6640726213838596,0.10130591481712996,0.20762592094703441,0.21188604610040593,-0.09607256188410448,0.0974437069118518,-0.1199833920561407,0.05199567243445014,-0.03121568706386666,-0.11094697654419292,-0.2094491015788913,-0.06199378707501884,0.12754226241253575,0.15102326549271525,-0.25335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k{55}=[0.8943864983117588;2.224373651613642;-0.07415503660674454];
x_a{55}=[-11.359006535491279,-1.7038473209611005,39.28229458235186];
L_a{55}=[-0.08424414990844932,-0.08485924167014416,-0.08292897795308578,-0.08137909257011444,-0.08401288703266414,0.06141855319170716,0.13353343913514887,0.21902693261688627,-0.0798442615804044,0.12003724874317598,-0.06999980134254222,0.2035093384123699,-0.08448571194713736,-0.008331788071162161,-0.08637529356813307,-0.036381326046813274,-0.03612333739369072,-0.07754167069129074,-0.05786910092323313,0.21191970235344,0.056607165518855085,-0.06748341307129375,-0.08335462808214043,-0.08492458916027394,0.10430147558725182,-0.07183659464255442,-0.0860741415772948,0.05825907162883833,0.22652771107641592,-0.0073133950350632105,0.22061655122029494,-0.06859716945359914,-0.06072397989206207,-0.08134506268470776,0.16667681611817137,-0.07707825638796831,-0.08502112996265247,0.21263509143627007,-0.061565316560726877,0.05808684175579214,0.07819846157061684,0.21572524029015255,-0.06364512245856639,-0.08222092272458784,-0.0793457344377477,0.20759981053936433,-0.08143350221748802,-0.07382463385527034,-0.08477209797451356,-0.045427449190620875,-0.02489377028758941,-0.06974118980805558,-0.07998662797990677,0.2211595054853537,-0.004980732297627518,0.2131925927534981,-3.233688587603748E-4,-0.08052433865831986,-0.07519951970088808,-0.08636716159982219,-0.07036507935584853,-0.07791864022638118,-0.08374404883904743,0.10182989242811274,-0.07691399107119717,-0.05800035151190562,0.10121972875076878,-0.08606352900180442,0.07994579929009908,-0.07677292252515268,-0.047570054170168456,-0.08474972922164792,0.1541964663849611,0.056043586717234306,-0.07823751208388943,-0.08273980214183027,0.1582446071618616,0.08436485226466824,0.0071044587200982424,-0.08287431665587651,0.22133555461115173,0.11079861991469277,0.03352438762213036,-0.059342241422670666,-0.08587102134802725,-0.0858890663337356,-0.08459354723845958,-0.07317080190219231,0.20549919344659107,-0.08153779048731673,-0.08466759471963975,-0.08106725628175729,-0.07511318953746066,0.14183972508853354,-0.04047533401713727,-0.0838253273097744,-0.08374583549781109,-0.06870643140676218,0.06401250338230591,0.10734497834964762;-0.14587332412927864,-0.28369809326334944,-0.13529341177029253,-0.3847902051825232,-0.14210951213249545,0.4621429499686201,0.5362898787593323,0.26099759225971314,-0.4132922069000248,0.5349560852661185,-0.5235857289605785,0.3865332965290884,-0.15124347726891507,0.27441807908781524,-0.3155771991141815,0.16570281833538786,0.1675499599812066,-0.4205076700532959,0.06159048109105245,0.3255943912277107,0.45075098302366734,0.005748869790381233,-0.13706061689424506,-0.3372201507874951,0.5240341037088377,-0.49364804156661524,-0.18081113212256078,0.4569608776076073,0.16827261454407666,0.27589228114859,0.24236553272377367,-0.5298302081976238,0.04725967234777723,-0.3676904464243766,0.5072316072476323,-0.4338985144199962,-0.3095688085358972,-0.2715725671543824,0.04271377939164121,0.4529317367693918,0.4897817925391843,0.2972889782220374,0.030042542719517833,-0.37396573353588713,-0.08937478501299909,0.3586873132294152,-0.3604879497147587,-0.4755917951276772,-0.2944500370089765,0.1279873636551013,0.2133495011834711,-0.5227748191299897,-0.3907732841934025,0.2394549393299999,0.2857197487334184,0.31670932597792784,0.2992413917233524,-0.09540072296967776,-0.4477960799121193,-0.21403803749119135,-0.520275509051503,-0.42913041131177865,-0.1365815984618285,0.5221504652140849,-0.44106780386927674,0.06516188429833417,0.5208792792463742,-0.2640926034880002,0.4945983582569648,-0.06601999169520813,0.11530521416297204,-0.16429026358789442,0.5209927261518028,0.45018690447737714,-0.4202920291352232,-0.3769149168884827,0.5191923666319517,0.5020651363676352,0.3246189446295093,-0.13377148177841847,0.23516411262899797,0.29547697363595316,0.3971277334272944,0.05259526502332696,-0.25760333003457403,-0.26064249455590627,-0.31466241648656723,-0.4856312658819735,0.3800517381292127,-0.3738212692419227,-0.3333857448060877,-0.38112048263253745,-0.46684923901465303,0.5311536198599462,0.15612227329684003,-0.327634985643279,-0.14921909546109127,-0.5383269641313323,0.4674890409440732,0.5247259316268638;0.053589146405858504,-0.028855539776066332,0.05738015330085648,-0.10309346553743316,0.0562117286514477,0.190155857479759,0.14928472029269257,-0.2004600536664378,-0.12623406045717475,0.16539850288648703,-0.23270844928391457,-0.06568485873417591,0.05064039422607263,0.1701035542720197,-0.04578685334425256,0.14883825447415314,0.14966901012463465,-0.13713838190946429,0.12432848915094116,-0.13084697378152582,0.18960051513160886,0.10949312085840462,0.057216684811655344,-0.06265590632046047,0.17732202520344073,-0.2044726107668264,0.0366539104246251,0.1911163677394497,-0.3006683268411982,0.17001232892993753,-0.21951874784087555,-0.2419302260968196,0.1208436299899637,-0.09150931368202152,0.08464918563628776,-0.14757514017874349,-0.04498931570636107,-0.7298825262511711,0.12036019037729442,0.18964822260867287,0.18768386346925364,-0.16283885828926611,0.11714167598165567,-0.0945362701062372,0.07655293247889655,-0.09546718802631203,-0.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x_a{55}=[-11.359006535491286,-1.7038473209610991,39.28229458235187];
std_x_a{55}=[1.0615078252312058,3.5552700863195636,1.6029559482225377];
pred_a{55}=[-11.359006535491286];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.4 to 5.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{56}=[-2.8018081892957696,3.228576223303605,29.675421762078674];
std_x_f{56}=[2.0744321455705386,2.4118166134731713,0.9376601929979759];
pred_f{56}=[-2.8018081892957696];
obs{56}=[-1.865754352127158];
sqrt_r{56}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{56}=[5.308724219913303];
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k{56}=[0.8116308253028198;0.910323250381495;-0.2327529735523165];
x_a{56}=[-2.042078040906738,4.080687794887006,29.457552448072622];
L_a{56}=[0.04060567456090595,0.08653056833652088,0.03743122334780636,0.12174112273366738,0.03935761694129951,-0.14986608155279005,-0.17336094247454015,-0.07063907874470744,0.13207126870779137,-0.17313864561316958,0.1732896071319461,-0.1180351330839569,0.04263880638096384,-0.08991711871774828,0.0969298337748717,-0.0558274430501413,-0.05657785233460481,0.13491896811118664,-0.023727319630567508,-0.09527965978888109,-0.14630377112629053,-0.006530834753235489,0.03786034592296476,0.10463009424691339,-0.1697231742879738,0.16203214942553748,0.052058761311269595,-0.14815888295979285,-0.034765754557926055,-0.0905300227480518,-0.06359389536778176,0.17617625971020331,-0.019281704898489554,0.11589018452168937,-0.16270619714985785,0.13974736545697133,0.09515058761756587,0.1439145396030219,-0.01782558825900187,-0.14685867631242683,-0.158898721635509,-0.08447010260993226,-0.014276835938965372,0.1179874090787737,0.02285634016418636,-0.1078968113994105,0.11325929706732893,0.15491336676488118,0.09010135890261006,-0.04437916606429465,-0.07066790546410674,0.17297213269445866,0.12387890267320616,-0.06212833606925164,-0.09333522493707366,-0.09190860351759597,-0.09721684525799631,0.024780958909652845,0.14516024595413168,0.06281284064629045,0.1718406510739574,0.13778955826043465,0.03777146148261888,-0.169037123425765,0.14224154409620685,-0.024989322929455302,-0.16854850957389825,0.07989053757382196,-0.1603348916994385,0.01569457874396343,-0.04045030426850583,0.04693500701592531,-0.16764265213376475,-0.14600700525694896,0.13457417747236847,0.11865124438442345,-0.16730907642497028,-0.1624581703620854,-0.10585289055738648,0.036754053444074355,-0.06037206422118429,-0.08866556741983983,-0.12884735544761375,-0.021121656011108547,0.07749150002440355,0.07855846038019819,0.0969841919270989,0.1589582310863173,-0.11578641760073669,0.11768999898278408,0.10323343882495147,0.12058367062631034,0.15162771306093958,-0.1714508145747294,-0.053221752339268506,0.10147729432319705,0.04199864374460802,0.17898885558599215,-0.15150165695613493,-0.17000908130430736;0.08914251508876155,0.12172626819078175,0.08680841701601157,0.14286442847448574,0.0886704258595338,-0.13815690750501294,-0.20071375122320334,-0.22107026901551982,0.14903580552402335,-0.19158732872017675,0.16515180619148534,-0.2258805446707493,0.09168129059891539,-0.05370822316700745,0.13084255999252686,-0.012187106011379623,-0.012690349412143252,0.147978118757927,0.02476594539174956,-0.22321665036091862,-0.13308367323584633,0.043792975564027156,0.08711923245398184,0.1344698759731826,-0.17863196785333188,0.160211609344773,0.09963211199517592,-0.13483856713017298,-0.21676220224325782,-0.05534656755350183,-0.22091557577013923,0.16585444612031602,0.02993171343796657,0.13825554527800155,-0.21922711991996366,0.1500501459591759,0.12778567574169705,-0.16347993093920304,0.03188633852360627,-0.1339010818980226,-0.15515611804883261,-0.22361506361048308,0.03564283278974484,0.141114567337877,0.07308326182038706,-0.22534680191564108,0.13647961570764913,0.15715784741493125,0.12369623560538343,0.0034541443419273603,-0.029590790573909537,0.16445898717842386,0.14230052813762056,-0.2198524087998297,-0.05794150083434152,-0.2238262613666355,-0.06254554136868683,0.07598038919688573,0.1524282489476374,0.10684478902072926,0.165657247331577,0.1497653170151277,0.087287446249752,-0.17609333849082817,0.15129765011326576,0.023989947763092143,-0.17535657687693051,0.11845759627268292,-0.15608006090321758,0.06626834291292026,0.006150258198723126,0.09430558311814981,-0.21263365786958996,-0.13222819145461082,0.1480924744440934,0.14210894516894026,-0.216037504932814,-0.16085445031299261,-0.07456613120102278,0.08524680107591165,-0.2194782911870317,-0.14465634208125208,-0.10632379909442777,0.02767070128397217,0.11646491038764331,0.11699630535126336,0.12870732467122065,0.1595588111258899,-0.2266054838713387,0.14035560195671926,0.1334144608579489,0.14156854359290563,0.1560978080310385,-0.2057623649883153,-0.007528491880665154,0.13089147678321592,0.09083269365093627,0.16797088879783853,-0.1411232443877589,-0.18085560245140714;0.009285572690691564,-0.005379307804546646,0.00866989049764471,-0.016182945532858626,0.009745760447440908,0.09435494213069255,0.09751387674554479,-0.16069176075406444,-0.019087713780709906,0.10491608238286469,-0.034038850024887206,-0.060022307742345356,0.00813642412869362,0.05043535138542296,-0.005576223454575753,0.032824413602078564,0.03379777574111859,-0.02252357908814146,0.022202791016355587,-0.11017513005450358,0.09152182217798048,0.018035492599757914,0.008869699341292153,-0.008238127129444035,0.10653167881342038,-0.03146302672046677,0.006047502227199906,0.09328428265535775,-0.22892882379580123,0.05087216293748698,-0.17387356078418612,-0.03661643628328809,0.021913139115130573,-0.016054471870713016,0.055407761690713125,-0.023153268000849332,-0.006904897279711761,-0.42884632615063717,0.02056455407132462,0.09193952544293865,0.1013632307496703,-0.13329176729497294,0.01962649003981968,-0.014981335861340688,0.012285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x_a{56}=[-2.042078040906739,4.080687794887006,29.457552448072644];
std_x_a{56}=[1.1404308275585473,1.4241983665123563,0.7960184250375072];
pred_a{56}=[-2.042078040906739];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.5 to 5.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{57}=[1.7310174092727868,3.92773487620972,22.787173392835676];
std_x_f{57}=[1.288968466157841,1.5330933171544314,0.6533859449471912];
pred_f{57}=[1.7310174092727868];
obs{57}=[2.0492228537915964];
sqrt_r{57}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{57}=[2.666435607020411];
L_f{57}=[0.0706816827128007,0.10800863863416653,0.06796882186047955,0.13528337937448104,0.0695642267460671,-0.1388939446992942,-0.1856683173507652,-0.17292059746065083,0.14304115113683863,-0.17993935072056705,0.16918538847139486,-0.18909272101048694,0.07298588717579715,-0.0670095674295136,0.11800126548806321,-0.028557412790868233,-0.029281818332995944,0.14321797549487356,0.006229107142694863,-0.1824045657254831,-0.1347956612655973,0.024588524637882598,0.06825571510520097,0.12321201530588294,-0.17017907425770135,0.1614005966510708,0.08112517958009582,-0.13641458194578696,-0.15780493871775725,-0.06869817205720567,-0.17011936799161914,0.17070612534820978,0.010750307785050128,0.12964736497613757,-0.19594266436169147,0.14664504233501952,0.11584924478168997,-0.04243237530145565,0.012723369700791397,-0.13575319395222565,-0.1516534521790178,-0.17888165136339568,0.016583189090709407,0.13234336361125887,0.05377671241037323,-0.18737800350204864,0.12797601965429325,0.15711740599536803,0.11072400151020262,-0.015034956092098227,-0.04518712187585838,0.16831741192599267,0.13497743183622116,-0.16912043735403479,-0.07070908955055916,-0.18133729560451445,-0.0750540140255094,0.056287150167020406,0.1501334805652738,0.08985417520626446,0.16906520858568375,0.14530985139167582,0.06839978898279639,-0.168898066082152,0.1491108201814878,0.005240486815637667,-0.16758637490718753,0.10366338971815982,-0.1533903917646077,0.04675450648947723,-0.011801665038268445,0.07589468154971345,-0.19203649612258203,-0.1343437666311137,0.14361136190813462,0.13335374545414957,-0.1943221800090758,-0.15693710286854837,-0.08530048129370316,0.06640096619279882,-0.16878633387005273,-0.12661201661167748,-0.11267155810725414,0.008821352158005249,0.10203836876206061,0.10242992378923528,0.11675220540133352,0.16022694601687437,-0.19050795110623087,0.13191143434375463,0.12168452623525469,0.13371707764894944,0.15501954672426238,-0.1887527741342057,-0.02504395571423223,0.11950742151933823,0.07216636207240398,0.1723477752888978,-0.14183454823232103,-0.17149909023583323;0.0931170478117212,0.12979341107035286,0.09102429199910922,0.15485477845786066,0.09243611353877633,-0.14492599247105878,-0.2077900912963059,-0.24794952367767037,0.16136232983187282,-0.1978296457854088,0.18226224624795392,-0.24879224638350633,0.09595127819161986,-0.059958619538089154,0.13983741675345043,-0.016279732428968505,-0.01683595138808095,0.16078883502461974,0.02321250543069769,-0.2495943703431678,-0.14019438975616963,0.044693525084974456,0.09158010974111197,0.1443642023560872,-0.1840923562207802,0.17548882275562946,0.10508723057414811,-0.1416650829028425,-0.24206549834709837,-0.06174238250046136,-0.24789858169296156,0.18302260889260852,0.029178725063605148,0.14885651933007837,-0.2315220301609771,0.16352231809004977,0.13711761975675935,-0.1339988887497353,0.03095170596205117,-0.14150764570848678,-0.16162622235638763,-0.25036537780555346,0.03518025499222277,0.15247385329115817,0.07606326251448618,-0.24951875926484085,0.14707691725181934,0.1725531896093903,0.13203026023256242,2.8422643872395517E-4,-0.03560052966144923,0.18084059917400772,0.1541667548729804,-0.24652071650352114,-0.0644902999259532,-0.24993990743290548,-0.06969079665994024,0.07890843603473108,0.16602958639643953,0.11304690711473482,0.18151361998510346,0.16253526357846504,0.09141231745445819,-0.18236856183084627,0.16497293272912192,0.022556340830457645,-0.1810079550127567,0.12544832802716313,-0.16209409226494464,0.06813199330249663,0.0030756043976791713,0.09898335216939463,-0.22185599995014904,-0.1396974950642789,0.16096823316201422,0.15328887639852887,-0.22617137027552586,-0.1666787617948965,-0.0816409917235972,0.08909813067837154,-0.24592310918328458,-0.15912756427266628,-0.1140766307160818,0.026275513018136378,0.12397105006043627,0.12456930062523092,0.1382602223721795,0.17431942776082257,-0.2507201390583263,0.1512894520153331,0.14244319125652638,0.1525920768778572,0.1704782746799391,-0.21359603521850215,-0.01178150023210223,0.1401581437542212,0.09544578886162294,0.18479149730400712,-0.1477047902611038,-0.18689618536656574;0.01963542860400434,0.028613680905504035,0.017395750893637665,0.03702934148343751,0.019057504996733705,0.0219663262233641,0.02427492606083713,-0.16207788598686107,0.04041521918322512,0.02910047171445692,0.04640000325365224,-0.08883747967978979,0.019418034460903708,-6.118474230446964E-5,0.03382220306050397,-0.002729915568101889,-0.0022222110630636706,0.037663701152584314,8.774357329585222E-4,-0.12533906673337553,0.020173723035794445,0.004991721295223939,0.017923164771079515,0.035876850410770406,0.029662385429359887,0.04327495027383583,0.022158077496635703,0.0206979126716272,-0.2107514476209789,1.6789822150320172E-4,-0.17088612698374978,0.04580418561630778,0.0026667473042269628,0.03416809568659965,-0.006064910039506572,0.03954478413704692,0.0320930662532784,-0.33911006210261846,0.002049302005488166,0.020456865895864644,0.026335846276011418,-0.141658240304126,0.0028615959336033975,0.03621601633443005,0.0133563278117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k{57}=[0.6249675044215889;0.7372113490052669;0.16347547083066757];
x_a{57}=[1.9298854718270695,4.162319541224252,22.83919217769927];
L_a{57}=[-0.08658203391472742,-0.13230595614573834,-0.0832588955667623,-0.1657163453322676,-0.0852131982178882,0.17013913320893057,0.22743573628649585,0.21182032542614526,-0.17521928346350024,0.2204179975452206,-0.20724485439922544,0.231630484097021,-0.0894045856891703,0.08208384997521609,-0.144546496041724,0.03498160750957952,0.035868973271248904,-0.1754358857284254,-0.007630389447273326,0.2234377803371783,0.1651189115386244,-0.030119889515939663,-0.08361032750345382,-0.1509294413838829,0.20846207692631424,-0.1977088178542958,-0.09937487026564709,0.16710202003091904,0.19330429089371276,0.08415231831852733,0.20838893930767757,-0.20910769193775414,-0.013168666583971957,-0.1588124690937229,0.2400213713083202,-0.17963389582090197,-0.14191036285087316,0.05197784229842227,-0.01558558292138715,0.16629184806710204,0.1857689833616713,0.21912236113562508,-0.020313696351856956,-0.16211495194785341,-0.06587416936091475,0.22953002859325158,-0.15676514266083139,-0.19246209275690168,-0.13563215936559062,0.01841717724183056,0.05535228886190533,-0.20618162030791848,-0.16534157270211677,0.20716529206241865,0.08661560611710321,0.2221304201518619,0.09193795249891829,-0.068949348086781,-0.1839070832376272,-0.11006751603099148,-0.20709763918672436,-0.17799834410364948,-0.08378681183259583,0.2068928967788763,-0.18265436806965377,-0.006419371890803244,0.20528613127135587,-0.12698321233752746,0.18789665995814483,-0.057272267880022334,0.014456534187867567,-0.09296773420894625,0.2352364825227854,0.16456535996674512,-0.17591776723530708,-0.1633526264291394,0.2380363473842784,0.1922412291492161,0.1044894360300286,-0.08133833952759566,0.20675602960472222,0.15509429735603872,0.13801783278004398,-0.010805778561067604,-0.12499263126852815,-0.12547226940589495,-0.14301645093470272,-0.1962711460967213,0.23336408034776043,-0.16158585709537598,-0.1490583326971402,-0.16379769280567574,-0.18989230500443363,0.23121406373403994,0.03067777307763344,-0.14639147266898703,-0.08840070253907217,-0.21111864280062878,0.17374124658618034,0.21007903996115024;-0.09239115199758251,-0.15368156218815726,-0.08736384623650345,-0.20020434306661958,-0.09013925789408331,0.21960926838674114,0.2795072393758344,0.2058906724480666,-0.21405751626695022,0.27443167774109023,-0.2617746759754921,0.2474926314713546,-0.09560444065680858,0.11591189948109022,-0.16986378864733617,0.05867086346404256,0.060015889111655556,-0.21509509691769899,0.006863850332092875,0.22913705378298824,0.21358468713834558,-0.019840492307826352,-0.08756099655246233,-0.1790129199337767,0.2625525523198962,-0.24811645917500613,-0.10783053603109655,0.21636294576375117,0.1721027695688971,0.11855997787633865,0.19858962426915214,-0.26500557598297125,9.639151148399648E-4,-0.19141055360404385,0.2827409236409569,-0.22135615070738132,-0.1669354817524748,-0.02263264429018982,-0.0024415200918976856,0.2147845315840021,0.23639711026442628,0.21911995205246482,-0.008343292230254984,-0.1948690253438818,-0.06507685650965077,0.24226574245346996,-0.18880361237977775,-0.23981060856642294,-0.1585713413068476,0.0397443458333057,0.08299570789297972,-0.2609182679687676,-0.20008938948852958,0.19734573772320185,0.12108983072794696,0.22599040399683049,0.1272928417589136,-0.06882047333925097,-0.22800449204981532,-0.1227806177560776,-0.2622078831170669,-0.2188389186938729,-0.08810691913605416,0.26091426601980566,-0.22637711387845602,0.00880237745576734,0.25883226282587646,-0.14662228595191537,0.24048793963032727,-0.05457793661071073,0.0340497627931058,-0.10020666721080251,0.28215498742458694,0.21289555799875567,-0.21594816437185016,-0.19670580832828544,0.28383852780482377,0.24521182030579558,0.14223509781375998,-0.08517507888959658,0.19706647095831836,0.1731730597984166,0.18163644673164472,0.0031233596467353016,-0.14383460161655265,-0.14426401006367748,-0.1681627519615233,-0.24620553961024735,0.24927909274654136,-0.19491980305863219,-0.1769249468546217,-0.19835619439080515,-0.23637956945092917,0.2817966322272494,0.05394782259017067,-0.17349605601894122,-0.09395903854231705,-0.267545293613841,0.2245482561222789,0.2632131821177067;-0.02150072637746061,-0.034246453823396805,-0.022161541500221926,-0.04170446686373019,-0.021428299850605268,0.10280145373939915,0.13233235175517025,-0.061439527877418285,-0.042833548192632825,0.1338236861939685,-0.0520644941047027,0.02121292063341009,-0.023059148468126518,0.038937829503322474,-0.034853557883807236,0.013890262579157597,0.014819565120726484,-0.045687976537762943,-0.0027478531252485678,-0.01918111750204831,0.09862368347577764,-0.009318596759588392,-0.02180109711933184,-0.035831523847890345,0.12870519970009608,-0.05065886260547941,-0.025056106320491087,0.10009007156313274,-0.11891027793192453,0.04014966639998999,-0.07187806126625482,-0.053545368031735104,-0.0035898429490238163,-0.041285598876207794,0.10797210067251978,-0.04580141812115647,-0.035330236431650335,-0.31441477048477684,-0.005355593970530148,0.09946410244311026,0.11459690165663626,-0.03755059810600969,-0.006789683016477515,-0.0408067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x_a{57}=[1.9298854718270704,4.162319541224253,22.83919217769927];
std_x_a{57}=[1.5789311624818023,1.8737931395750755,0.695633145595901];
pred_a{57}=[1.9298854718270704];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.6 to 5.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{58}=[3.7890558830205823,5.656009656806118,19.0874497686908];
std_x_f{58}=[2.011414899249925,2.5933343175867734,1.7785837231699788];
pred_f{58}=[3.7890558830205823];
obs{58}=[4.07043706204984];
sqrt_r{58}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{58}=[5.055822208164892];
L_f{58}=[-0.10016142590989874,-0.16629895989336213,-0.09513120858543626,-0.2160768630364286,-0.09811935893074385,0.22000861603387506,0.2788186282014319,0.2579022759260865,-0.23132317729428672,0.27316193968436764,-0.2812566507703313,0.279144693874108,-0.10407252396467011,0.12068010570175432,-0.18372841662057146,0.06183590613252167,0.06330693866466312,-0.23174288600293796,0.007306002955744613,0.27127096006246354,0.21516567370066084,-0.021106660742195263,-0.09529350420010631,-0.1936928843144755,0.26068831657360725,-0.26682274837406933,-0.11726707636824237,0.21786509292266196,0.23528814968930725,0.12378874610646225,0.2525121235911894,-0.2844118361570242,3.8616449636201907E-4,-0.20681314296961018,0.2910776777826326,-0.23801244560739673,-0.18056106863733642,0.05115557180589345,-0.0031112682975505705,0.21617968372684945,0.23644409057744295,0.266124155364051,-0.009891758116518844,-0.2113348947317778,-0.07023352545562903,0.2782122946875538,-0.20357954937534198,-0.25807157982211215,-0.17180253704347592,0.04113662970821751,0.08747959123128907,-0.2801241835085307,-0.21614164738981642,0.2520198952876397,0.12550571062110136,0.2698768375468547,0.1318203585968854,-0.07456734392126585,-0.24541601010474148,-0.13310277926245764,-0.28150311831626407,-0.2358198754622202,-0.09559921896142978,0.25904138199135285,-0.2438665153880465,0.00938154739231068,0.2572159885202984,-0.15880167401304554,0.2396542309471992,-0.05927661747209065,0.036049413030594835,-0.10830351842931389,0.28626178468993657,0.21442022119935622,-0.23209871952320746,-0.2128486548377631,0.28865581066821827,0.24416057170137184,0.14675530224214367,-0.09269271575604487,0.2526216063270937,0.19848286562339598,0.18505496091333434,0.0036469642934799287,-0.15551389766255566,-0.15647469594476748,-0.18192740541930186,-0.26477977775833417,0.28153030838548926,-0.2105191247160889,-0.19103916955736974,-0.2138734460755225,-0.25435066710744264,0.2826914086762594,0.057007938823521134,-0.18757622005516872,-0.10209783979795675,-0.2874183904241038,0.22543160048538338,0.26142444092195;-0.11728151292073695,-0.21201655263576086,-0.11007582130256612,-0.28467679473068963,-0.11456590974802427,0.2757107924534091,0.3300971361069691,0.3433360126203595,-0.30702870788316766,0.32367644305196397,-0.3810434786249781,0.3508808286910727,-0.12251480555471599,0.17061722885403435,-0.2368438954713985,0.0994086339429712,0.10081061001176012,-0.30784009016194147,0.029294521850248587,0.3501669196675883,0.27056515253646535,-0.008760397966559086,-0.11042521165880693,-0.2515541881990598,0.3131141636662914,-0.3598344956016048,-0.14162270206292246,0.2730559737090624,0.3279855986544951,0.1732280981838736,0.33928860103747877,-0.3860770181837857,0.020077003260921756,-0.27035789710601604,0.34611490025144276,-0.3172740138317695,-0.23241823398470454,0.11227315460159824,0.014904743837308517,0.27186775785182643,0.2905253691746294,0.348282573473199,0.006234492451036949,-0.27637548021161223,-0.07600206188568638,0.3539465140808385,-0.2661082475956162,-0.3468607940226671,-0.2198445480432068,0.07336486116656094,0.13052138894655466,-0.38039487382187465,-0.28457601483290523,0.33931076414544775,0.1756049735671995,0.349664206124136,0.18302977075148652,-0.08199966806984413,-0.3286342512562847,-0.1642386045394203,-0.38262456098942527,-0.3135722613172645,-0.11132357909551382,0.3113375342356842,-0.3252580102852502,0.03189698084437091,0.3100194112947061,-0.2006554973748145,0.2940702028721727,-0.060402695748809694,0.06676494526607801,-0.1294302952170267,0.3393011337857423,0.26988736913700767,-0.3082611051170764,-0.279071784978418,0.3420126990331558,0.2984876186031308,0.19938977622343118,-0.10652940427480667,0.34010326222172194,0.2660647982702509,0.24083733099388294,0.023429014932274367,-0.1960250573477492,-0.19708677508307304,-0.23415476522698617,-0.35695787152283837,0.35497865793263217,-0.27609748621516755,-0.24778816820037905,-0.2806545540365774,-0.3412801341901933,0.33472641195484276,0.09302346327777265,-0.2429003226566875,-0.11964116592677063,-0.390725064602077,0.2805260564925732,0.3138709752215841;-0.10950702279835416,-0.14686471662391784,-0.10741629259940697,-0.16947518493558444,-0.10836076887015725,0.23335522538704656,0.3212927998149823,0.1426960982679469,-0.17442062825208124,0.315405368337765,-0.19273012758272517,0.23335092670651808,-0.1126293896916969,0.08677584063274249,-0.15415758971177948,0.01934213828332855,0.02103579538938923,-0.17673580420064328,-0.03270462437952488,0.19105048905578664,0.22397478547520383,-0.05665231669942599,-0.10822861812346393,-0.1585249479912664,0.2976092168950393,-0.18867904694058538,-0.1202260243821855,0.22752613679317313,0.07229027668324582,0.08972942337579003,0.12900928651214483,-0.19414618732006061,-0.037719658329815026,-0.16701648844691488,0.31594772381163133,-0.17843563954724245,-0.153157029982135,-0.2436262433197421,-0.04126752042624601,0.22571639548366476,0.2597612509680109,0.17067532711922526,-0.04712664725399198,-0.16751660556957548,-0.09136969345012308,0.21816431350425672,-0.16468256985198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k{58}=[0.8022082346200682;1.0322566573167409;0.6790780410843769];
x_a{58}=[4.014782181904956,5.946467252102703,19.278529548544];
L_a{58}=[0.0572976034216352,0.09513175123896196,0.05442005455725574,0.12360732981167281,0.05612943371089969,-0.12585649930934115,-0.15949891927078882,-0.14753366571321608,0.1323290234182935,-0.15626299593617068,0.16089359640339546,-0.15968544598436826,0.059534957205785645,-0.0690353674038178,0.1051023171563105,-0.03537339045058981,-0.03621489842515489,0.13256911887342956,-0.004179417936123685,-0.15518125613993702,-0.12308608158933029,0.012074120009525367,0.05451289618447842,0.11080251673959762,-0.14912742749014835,0.152636645108876,0.0670829351232123,-0.1246302913551745,-0.13459719615848603,-0.07081367320838636,-0.1444502150927651,0.16269852838560458,-2.2090640151197036E-4,0.11830799472557832,-0.16651174037281305,0.13615563670283562,0.10329042752921033,-0.029263677503730403,0.0017798090974835703,-0.1236661486542535,-0.13525845514102908,-0.15223701316596486,0.005658605880999386,0.12089467454653854,0.040177270360347836,-0.15915206461188364,0.11645820912490426,0.1476305164459617,0.09828008681908172,-0.02353231569650782,-0.05004292700830845,0.16024576556966666,0.1236443898690216,-0.14416863461531584,-0.07179586721126846,-0.1543837447397659,-0.07540817796041033,0.0426564424516957,0.14039086497181966,0.07614179002761211,0.1610345888021637,0.13490137126570564,0.05468778110644632,-0.1481852942916821,0.13950447250112008,-0.005366738513182145,-0.1471410732231144,0.09084290940981968,-0.1370948242638044,0.03390934273586624,-0.02062216020434684,0.06195530856073136,-0.16375679624098222,-0.12265964355291657,0.13277267436141593,0.12176062494051822,-0.1651263050098379,-0.13967268817767886,-0.08395175120067404,0.05302510841091518,-0.14451284497574018,-0.11354263796832731,-0.1058611702588646,-0.002086255381075068,0.08896212842294679,0.08951175557174444,0.10407204402839891,0.1514679584704917,-0.16105014295177145,0.1204280111936799,0.10928445233141323,0.12234685942547802,0.14550195867878893,-0.16171435338397053,-0.032611539232012356,0.10730346308886027,0.058405334007638476,0.164418435550422,-0.12895873162723717,-0.1495485293324712;0.08533187879929093,0.12438437214557202,0.08236210232743106,0.1524182814857526,0.08391664903899178,-0.16933770298586479,-0.23391627945119078,-0.17836637313346304,0.1609076569326692,-0.22889423558492733,0.18790173594949247,-0.21379217483984475,0.08801022315558071,-0.0735027535367858,0.1348145280052323,-0.025677271711585493,-0.027251000990040963,0.16094529017281142,0.014515438731847422,-0.1985785558895057,-0.16468670749029266,0.03393560083748259,0.08234101465509121,0.14026104292887925,-0.2142240159067193,0.17991283272378927,0.09559317085640463,-0.16765645638521715,-0.147971383856562,-0.07718025490768307,-0.17151021543765202,0.18925072146853633,0.019295843271844276,0.14799789174872918,-0.2426969603402914,0.16419386103129588,0.13283306108085388,0.008792160647965225,0.021198430419654003,-0.16543531109870382,-0.187769929727647,-0.19005159306954422,0.02624421818981486,0.15112721777233118,0.0660711232327132,-0.20884036852170176,0.14570640668933782,0.1751840712465332,0.12768938950074976,-0.009849130581225394,-0.04643831909112223,0.186259508420279,0.15265011161021944,-0.1704923392078217,-0.07827657292804248,-0.19626114293421099,-0.08362547811738719,0.06884026183523083,0.16781006089287123,0.1050108126762295,0.18681922501587914,0.16346033250160022,0.08206106797395885,-0.21266911327675242,0.16805187783639453,0.01291934429945831,-0.2102947052954311,0.12057940408859966,-0.1907187878111971,0.05950610553477915,-0.006158276196598245,0.08965347884900532,-0.2397688084496183,-0.16385653851903054,0.1612440796311471,0.15149305061526813,-0.24190004290198028,-0.19541710676706792,-0.0974768994459688,0.0809757690637517,-0.17091702342933976,-0.13543993508331448,-0.13350451712433903,0.016051685803109294,0.11855910495597204,0.11944095578458631,0.13386044945244477,0.17865679593158554,-0.21452013000676878,0.14975501631438087,0.1386589469816228,0.1519832994539805,0.17323781401922475,-0.23712112916875938,-0.02229609946878735,0.1365417011178967,0.08688933641812145,0.19068453892058695,-0.1754924232793273,-0.2149562870955119;0.02378376701776756,0.07443923855065682,0.019180486682884444,0.11807119805045448,0.02221252049071099,-0.05942337606663864,-0.049747796210953495,-0.20050985892845627,0.1334149354315528,-0.04810753453350748,0.181554890643135,-0.1381235843785146,0.02586613182660436,-0.07382038149522321,0.09034078419367009,-0.06294659405574259,-0.0632105277714295,0.13165829092122294,-0.04242715873367962,-0.16994597432752845,-0.06235902345716961,-0.028564423030271565,0.01858413762348492,0.09923373802488067,-0.04930429093769329,0.1663979155587392,0.035828275829266905,-0.0623999504726678,-0.2408217125038235,-0.0750036521469204,-0.20702367314133285,0.18433762448714186,-0.038233550481922965,0.10820210913546577,-0.07140672144547597,0.13830173287809683,0.08712636484855932,-0.3117020170775617,-0.03712716993759139,-0.06196681713425231,-0.05488901777688884,-0.18347197595063897,-0.03396309411920661,0.11371935706383714,0.0020942523205043024,-0.15206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x_a{58}=[4.014782181904958,5.9464672521027095,19.27852954854401];
std_x_a{58}=[1.1506351089416837,1.4879337171611169,1.1043276946607172];
pred_a{58}=[4.014782181904958];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.7 to 5.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{59}=[6.562225231020101,9.845190851956689,18.62142876016602];
std_x_f{59}=[1.499966248649184,1.794314039725911,2.3986549709585985];
pred_f{59}=[6.562225231020101];
obs{59}=[6.945322491347177];
sqrt_r{59}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{59}=[3.2583391083895825];
L_f{59}=[0.09187143899426094,0.12713437587134976,0.08882283369400547,0.1507817472112166,0.09001989936883237,-0.17415413418148867,-0.2412900822324074,-0.17846488967491309,0.1572964533828219,-0.23651076512094496,0.17843940318376544,-0.21792310397721146,0.09351948513949523,-0.07137088302983381,0.13605864990674132,-0.020340735678829942,-0.021611865439234077,0.15816437328282176,0.02282468419656141,-0.2010879419278039,-0.16812069752874784,0.04181055253984098,0.08899992643375008,0.14032501225909227,-0.22066939217613848,0.17200729664303963,0.10115206707896839,-0.17157162572656895,-0.14375440871052445,-0.07467454836633189,-0.17103053111733355,0.1792400425006224,0.026548134011257774,0.14738279301095608,-0.2496695124884793,0.16013894607317852,0.13490741468534226,0.045453165420533986,0.02886968706228946,-0.16999367033576301,-0.19325802437675244,-0.19150092611227906,0.03370692716709488,0.14927921783932452,0.07368233594367024,-0.2127788277584661,0.14451643581937737,0.1686371535249517,0.1301523109817515,-0.003850084639071383,-0.04233713238227828,0.17711873863572578,0.15150086929882492,-0.16965902664142504,-0.07659389111610093,-0.19892794030083466,-0.08164144888607126,0.07625703398692565,0.16321557248522076,0.10961731617340097,0.1774600370798394,0.1592677777618574,0.08865705610404158,-0.2192010636208138,0.16337580782800784,0.020454124012152818,-0.216599564609208,0.12362404952807292,-0.19666022485519985,0.066871166856728,-4.192049426612054E-4,0.09592930680911134,-0.24726595760282036,-0.16843988503806442,0.1578932604071099,0.1496094280173186,-0.2492123927845789,-0.2014998629418399,-0.09664877867211931,0.08728229520394525,-0.16981425094651392,-0.13396776035854394,-0.13532737914618032,0.023682388939342845,0.12162014269302848,0.12334657271906922,0.13531883256124225,0.17088345757546541,-0.21918481440740573,0.1484276607712753,0.13925333600197765,0.1502816205831475,0.16700997651030522,-0.24482328122727953,-0.01668739547135581,0.13748189276056386,0.09338416717007772,0.17993188516671763,-0.18028487678993532,-0.22167575352708063;0.12851529822066055,0.1536969750583045,0.12621534573426846,0.16370409017036647,0.12723564978788107,-0.21644706395129085,-0.3218806504875218,-0.19539566672112293,0.16521879552763544,-0.31406911463485143,0.168178838270206,-0.2696597314177567,0.12972092734082832,-0.06064474850519702,0.1566378361654958,0.008187810268795209,0.006399703702531506,0.16647604657389836,0.05995235305732142,-0.23661195743997895,-0.20751317361953697,0.08172504331346557,0.12671491091724565,0.15917155794148383,-0.289739398677437,0.1678968495917412,0.13579328984524744,-0.21180453104489147,-0.1327791511529379,-0.0654072932355987,-0.18200876932117552,0.1678324991614268,0.0649087671649792,0.1636241015348334,-0.3311157087156286,0.16641372059942486,0.15672755938542302,0.16377549215518875,0.06764040148525452,-0.20908294167910307,-0.24623888116105883,-0.2190898311107469,0.07319597864114642,0.16372534091639238,0.11320604273002709,-0.2584843640062795,0.1616009119912318,0.16782539986999764,0.15453786786081428,0.029491397445871773,-0.020513262527709956,0.16765822299923291,0.1645967700150927,-0.17857973162412158,-0.0681522910580508,-0.23238388625734313,-0.07612818015506104,0.11554622761054215,0.1667796914940819,0.14210558124285114,0.16708402233892977,0.1662088851455519,0.12590950986368132,-0.28720234785729554,0.16840432278860662,0.05866867735059735,-0.2824174737282854,0.15107193868527055,-0.2513090394250995,0.10644518992660826,0.034008533880995506,0.13229359665225668,-0.3288950855389511,-0.20692644524233877,0.16581970556981074,0.16320047206540156,-0.3318435087077753,-0.2586489501792092,-0.09771142153021023,0.12530918347381448,-0.17936046950060885,-0.1403701628900448,-0.15606699817312894,0.06131847628584932,0.15052351937694963,0.15206726644758659,0.1573541221331101,0.16738999444920408,-0.27047412851651753,0.16289895412353614,0.15859273730360635,0.164277720542455,0.1670113686276286,-0.32608863034020397,0.012951301558378437,0.15780304248547072,0.13035114046175175,0.16704740353551387,-0.22490744613394448,-0.29069194459569203;0.10816694665478324,0.19647938259434558,0.10141670158515102,0.26333458747236493,0.10560012135358461,-0.23572947619533086,-0.27970074508148185,-0.34905377866970005,0.28495981364916445,-0.2749081316552223,0.35279664758749557,-0.33138935243161866,0.11313304654485655,-0.1543253194641916,0.22023695037793822,-0.09300368108873812,-0.09463516070062515,0.28369895522481386,-0.02914290061118829,-0.34351715025620316,-0.23437276796515372,0.005479121938395226,0.10053225074605354,0.2334362470170727,-0.2646536817247952,0.33284404207297613,0.13072816023445677,-0.23672683458946375,-0.3511560538027617,-0.15882285488696343,-0.3479552949404779,0.357164414822677,-0.020426946617645405,0.2504865575523524,-0.30260664642575547,0.2915630281847605,0.21585933257276904,-0.21407600995895892,-0.016815788097954552,-0.23497495818212355,-0.24852803996576434,-0.3467824287867258,-0.009036248912979133,0.2581033420433813,0.06847167079597967,-0.3387493507235899,0.246338335301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k{59}=[0.6930951731128301;0.8206379996010642;1.0720953274319325];
x_a{59}=[6.827748092985547,10.15957502132415,19.03214554291465];
L_a{59}=[-0.0818995794397614,-0.11333502588166428,-0.0791818741909697,-0.1344156771568849,-0.08024900861711294,0.1552511912657718,0.2151001059105442,0.1590940510908057,-0.140223267649306,0.2108395428267058,-0.15907133094046016,0.19426941344693563,-0.08336874426040217,0.06362418362417234,-0.12129064623881572,0.01813292265614326,0.019266082144338188,-0.14099698226154603,-0.020347259790504908,0.17926156436194574,0.14987263259895067,-0.03727237438145422,-0.07933974502727834,-0.12509393141884845,0.19671761553209677,-0.15333737459489707,-0.09017287465963765,0.15294899203309437,0.12815109619366025,0.06656926432205698,0.15246662861940843,-0.159785067701867,-0.023666560949026468,-0.13138565038704503,0.22257002062429904,-0.14275723205053145,-0.12026436776205501,-0.040519612764312776,-0.025736129256740264,0.15154231021449582,0.17228151744530634,0.1707151371809928,-0.03004832828801324,-0.13307623450745032,-0.06568474807826587,0.18968350444791018,-0.12883041177225535,-0.15033303171048393,-0.11602538992759606,0.003432190854952656,0.037741798482232275,-0.15789401324249552,-0.13505674468761844,0.1512439892332586,0.06828027881935539,0.17733601245185718,0.07277996733064893,-0.0679799846527162,-0.14549991695889836,-0.09771929331027142,-0.15819826665729295,-0.14198062161425737,-0.07903409034163401,0.19540866149287692,-0.1456427601246232,-0.018234003654919288,0.1930895329661452,-0.11020571546312533,0.17531443813757944,-0.059612873186347365,3.737038287292507E-4,-0.08551700038251124,0.22042735108030598,0.15015717503195955,-0.14075529637151812,-0.13337060319265343,0.2221625173576378,0.17962877487025258,0.08615837972351362,-0.07780854798831192,0.15138236526660234,0.1194267048819914,0.12063874866975421,-0.021111868013542215,-0.10841931558930973,-0.10995835639037692,-0.12063112974357063,-0.15233551865359574,0.1953941759927156,-0.13231710668159224,-0.12413857646072365,-0.1339698350001291,-0.1488824708546568,0.2182498063498184,0.014876121306148224,-0.12255940824412176,-0.08324811390011552,-0.16040181675915793,0.16071649415839961,0.19761474495892276;-0.07723292581598441,-0.13102341613064564,-0.07270545583917272,-0.1739751390380503,-0.07436600820129825,0.17357516938631043,0.2184940997117765,0.20428060378774418,-0.1870502696472356,0.21560224375349687,-0.23144035464906443,0.21838412759554643,-0.07971813436228203,0.09919200372236688,-0.1480686742537475,0.05374136083176733,0.05479997892320296,-0.18773674539992033,0.008835942026324642,0.21372916467321815,0.16899703803070873,-0.011910661376002713,-0.07260249396502685,-0.15508957017725816,0.2044548366204623,-0.21731749115522922,-0.09073911660191175,0.1724341145534065,0.18916219006711243,0.10182809433758486,0.20101808231694565,-0.2335797441262781,0.005453603687629545,-0.16644309070168875,0.2280249704002006,-0.19222117305577038,-0.14540073298429018,0.06198207121287719,0.0029860659639526343,0.17162183612718543,0.18656695851705188,0.2097809461439283,-0.002291468581657303,-0.17058893882335438,-0.051807262049368134,0.21803876878843323,-0.16204700665952634,-0.20984142699358616,-0.1369412591879446,0.03811375152622094,0.07430172996415942,-0.22900331095353044,-0.1746929498312274,0.2013756038467813,0.10338150923627527,0.21311986198286,0.10670974314270078,-0.0552331733096083,-0.19874537855577565,-0.1033849474050078,-0.2303418574160935,-0.19047500681800192,-0.07264002894198858,0.2037035314959538,-0.19747959803758844,0.012861190978378501,0.20266228809234915,-0.12578699502761204,0.18911610734039538,-0.04331434329338854,0.034947353098416456,-0.08254231671875362,0.22486277651738065,0.17029859425751398,-0.1877859228143026,-0.17185332104678058,0.22627344020115558,0.19261467862387005,0.11873576580884414,-0.07016154632694244,0.20094249441117845,0.15965375176376947,0.14700181437262447,0.008281215538042291,-0.12184761837933501,-0.12417025149899419,-0.14569555013692934,-0.21530748257180649,0.22039536034543913,-0.16950824375992352,-0.1532683469162118,-0.1722814634522904,-0.20701135747273888,0.22219880117029472,0.050323111770724085,-0.15009085340147077,-0.07878487350211899,-0.23591423749125065,0.17884472784160105,0.2057560603499038;-0.16062600434716467,-0.17548413989261563,-0.15845678952734157,-0.177815254456903,-0.15777568580840357,0.2738021493924186,0.42625394508945336,0.17309004394913954,-0.1752504361277024,0.41706346687997226,-0.16927260790535492,0.30619937863417107,-0.16048167705164698,0.054488110206832446,-0.1778367754516796,-0.03349175411211982,-0.03140422460489657,-0.17905061203426687,-0.0959222423526899,0.24481608925100834,0.25750652453271317,-0.11684814236958932,-0.15985936962007932,-0.17711979256844074,0.38097000468046155,-0.17040647152176838,-0.16521759731268834,0.26524901440237625,0.06943354574901806,0.05965627681987603,0.1524374459779517,-0.16724731192154516,-0.09810017523581196,-0.18071879085629558,0.42786416987644943,-0.17696364731490524,-0.17884616570055029,-0.3470606524061969,-0.10128130278811065,0.26238418630734467,0.31689681073542736,0.21350158997715718,-0.10765432349236088,-0.17865047313089902,-0.14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x_a{59}=[6.827748092985551,10.159575021324159,19.03214554291466];
std_x_a{59}=[1.3371577313149379,1.6062800021277737,2.1517690739514412];
pred_a{59}=[6.827748092985551];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.8 to 5.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 5.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{60}=[10.603460253180328,14.295095181895494,24.454529807453298];
std_x_f{60}=[1.0087827740366466,0.8483310082122739,3.5390144196825273];
pred_f{60}=[10.603460253180328];
obs{60}=[11.234727285256144];
sqrt_r{60}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{60}=[2.0186964948308894];
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k{60}=[0.5046308335301427;-0.027970052517517035;1.6739576862058625];
x_a{60}=[10.922017061756847,14.277438609855757,25.51124410784497];
L_a{60}=[0.23741108138391365,0.5719186731810321,0.20710279846591306,0.8427780500869703,0.2214095883324811,-0.6945779963423724,-0.681018216367074,-1.022274616676435,0.9309780211351357,-0.6810084501046337,1.2179495735646282,-0.8840265888526639,0.2515762459376674,-0.5969800462669844,0.6755688066167302,-0.4435282971557307,-0.45162691532935784,0.9314118060002589,-0.24388548585557937,-0.9560375861694376,-0.6980352842917691,-0.13456328606611875,0.20499447355252984,0.7233845268199877,-0.6848541544392893,1.128453047679288,0.3182688728546202,-0.700666770163551,-1.097834833918464,-0.6070120989925074,-1.0359660853850523,1.2383537850309396,-0.2221775097253553,0.794320038748818,-0.7245740798290783,0.9646123464199026,0.653036060588753,-0.8542517104034423,-0.21015310168647564,-0.6991206422857208,-0.6953942224455752,-0.988710551509486,-0.1848805575911996,0.82279117546968,0.08407526076138952,-0.9178192381864848,0.7684430456223038,1.0822775298175338,0.6025968035828368,-0.37242037316358984,-0.5216879518425772,1.2079496790906161,0.846548402561694,-1.0461629281370346,-0.6105221912240066,-0.9680212164749042,-0.618773181337906,0.10447678767910466,1.0026939826772963,0.3987668443312186,1.2169372683429998,0.9574530792222706,0.20790444419577436,-0.6868636869759688,1.0012634670620788,-0.25898561532144143,-0.6894927808516247,0.5357961491529108,-0.6978348337979531,0.037566848031229755,-0.3570134085291765,0.26353488478664644,-0.7052155213356821,-0.6994404730433377,0.9325717833836163,0.8305182282524538,-0.7104400330884862,-0.6965399312843324,-0.6452748532909077,0.19597552429409734,-1.048566738998608,-0.8400073750479085,-0.6936702909520363,-0.23947109984325798,0.5140174976029259,0.5241617341522035,0.6577436076623823,1.1159887100956773,-0.8925016844018625,0.8149348015072483,0.7084675695024398,0.8313178124344789,1.0609041589800454,-0.6896512935093253,-0.4313540963897298,0.6864190462172098,0.24184009709695325,1.2527598042114694,-0.7041989818716367,-0.6871349574269092;0.06072134863492865,-0.001698978424071156,0.06622595123520829,-0.06016837009187132,0.06304810777646984,-0.02563657265034995,-0.1300802817667902,0.07404731381081311,-0.08073626269909662,-0.12376033958600412,-0.1493106075490061,-0.029338269851343704,0.0578289408335492,0.09608184226184818,-0.023070374770143155,0.12200628863787359,0.12137396618861862,-0.07939956126120168,0.12068370365430751,0.02001160286637858,-0.015522743752906477,0.11170120971362266,0.06695352413999439,-0.034112224150330675,-0.09838722195925516,-0.128011544110774,0.04683378675868682,-0.020225749761352503,0.15117922570482184,0.09479445556525512,0.08985812693945716,-0.15462307079902735,0.11819724953674744,-0.04800816073206367,-0.12782888574407603,-0.08759858159565033,-0.018030825318964605,0.35902465384399496,0.11772706145863454,-0.017702409033784214,-0.054209724561471155,0.04338300829226593,0.11610991393072276,-0.05536420137106207,0.08484281184309753,-0.011422715417286438,-0.04394685495838578,-0.11631146457253277,-0.008241181408131456,0.12320870205629837,0.11396517138353718,-0.14735153165181025,-0.059706010978445835,0.09506885079806218,0.09183700972194021,0.025480245936957246,0.08738453090039618,0.08200026851337919,-0.0969245344030509,0.03173835034395006,-0.15060777166216066,-0.08662783988267862,0.06578750515788043,-0.09556722580742576,-0.09636554883114318,0.12106315472966418,-0.0910095436120452,0.006167128083429011,-0.059451377019730106,0.09134379413250664,0.12302853861631557,0.056901254042472996,-0.13099907448739848,-0.0159386168966794,-0.08036759427714091,-0.05709951196509078,-0.13322120933837733,-0.06644474756910426,0.07364432932302171,0.06802104242522616,0.09602675964164767,0.08101669470811375,0.030057867770249894,0.11973065200620533,0.010204692324621338,0.008931549125088136,-0.019463682317867756,-0.12550902213318849,-0.029050911323178025,-0.05394945633045822,-0.030990096835708397,-0.05738204432956071,-0.11130476604521608,-0.13341923508893433,0.1223226771131273,-0.026094625230729,0.061596613938077256,-0.15884250694297597,-0.03234469338779697,-0.10038112017464337;0.6871224932791895,1.8553141946566143,0.5810168914067371,2.8111904878192298,0.6330653924367134,-2.20733943793755,-2.0289664705743387,-3.4300345897583515,3.1260190468594087,-2.0367063049495373,4.150918919941393,-2.8363088121598494,0.737039279681515,-2.055313258738105,2.219810642292064,-1.5955637201968915,-1.6223302018846397,3.1246865618593906,-0.9489791918446165,-3.137433071871652,-2.233416165101149,-0.5842768541289426,0.5733770386089178,2.389014778496991,-2.0808687573368108,3.830570971054907,0.9680854928924209,-2.235084862766349,-3.7811482930412263,-2.0861020067946945,-3.4951087358869874,4.224720086930587,-0.8750503384278295,2.6377395533512473,-2.177881515390891,3.2448336934748507,2.138948013062941,-3.2917563702935557,-0.8356393845971348,-2.232577752162063,-2.1727265254866768,-3.278844967948379,-0.7523956948666285,2.7401144943740494,0.1583645928439406,-2.9723521141395945,2.5490815067523203,3.6659420042409927,1.9617797222433517,-1.3663112163482243,-1.83765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x_a{60}=[10.922017061756879,14.277438609855752,25.511244107845087];
std_x_a{60}=[7.377641718970561,0.9412565953716546,24.50381839774679];
pred_a{60}=[10.922017061756879];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 5.9 to 6.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{61}=[10.24144561607283,9.693786814981491,30.19600500909973];
std_x_f{61}=[6.051798742881159,19.113726245556936,9.835463661305193];
pred_f{61}=[10.24144561607283];
obs{61}=[12.81210321208387];
sqrt_r{61}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{61}=[37.6253659200896];
L_f{61}=[0.03313450998017566,-0.35980187766457405,0.06611343005007272,-0.7087093584317422,0.04975608279620864,0.5000860317445383,0.3989442026398969,0.5160095559278269,-0.8277976238002452,0.4050291896101636,-1.2215443120934668,0.4720939202062763,0.016860427343133096,0.6052942111786616,-0.4907341894109843,0.5809624465549822,0.5843746883141766,-0.8267694310009854,0.4740531016458738,0.494125200081172,0.5108973737770571,0.3913711657687579,0.06888726126229333,-0.5522642447929379,0.4287552738840335,-1.0978098212498104,-0.05698102979952661,0.5057455201005427,0.5468769176465473,0.6065949330912433,0.5243740564388607,-1.250361732994649,0.45696520951679864,-0.6438742621538652,0.4012399450769463,-0.8727946028917747,-0.46136935989609135,0.8893523430859636,0.44858682789897913,0.5078701201343073,0.472546973291762,0.5030141265350295,0.43059470191039795,-0.682096065535879,0.19285528551301112,0.4795153522861569,-0.6114727818189716,-1.0349390640035732,-0.3980069353422522,0.5487491068408191,0.6027620034855884,-1.2082173190043681,-0.7130652171203804,0.5237063988483772,0.6048525737815456,0.4947786331855265,0.602312994449027,0.17268988966266077,-0.9245041437865165,-0.15092858367814452,-1.2213088202786433,-0.863775053498581,0.0651271370690652,0.43184109472180326,-0.9227165847444628,0.48335586118125523,0.436040635371765,-0.31473895403481345,0.4679809673350594,0.2377183056644993,0.5405885645246257,0.004697284443339613,0.39795176185094555,0.5096429127463371,-0.8289707543318344,-0.6929869765019449,0.3965318723795758,0.4605201801653731,0.5929886635297823,0.07790242817083227,0.5231084814817415,0.5967235528608072,0.554858682920764,0.47037149381012844,-0.2884174865933657,-0.29948906373259476,-0.4670999037139681,-1.0806785873477984,0.4702121852150391,-0.6720715473419251,-0.5332293729810785,-0.6934649593497642,-1.0043327716057437,0.3960132605844686,0.5763924065138253,-0.505030783374316,0.029000309899084104,-1.271308172137605,0.4931494475818382,0.4282122724718371;-0.5031899062326028,-1.4743608385817832,-0.41358607893841204,-2.240688281791378,-0.4571311052551418,1.7693317575099063,1.5689624306543084,2.3997888650270953,-2.4838723212710145,1.5801189983729045,-3.2366408018859154,2.064138090288656,-0.5450011455388053,1.759232285023135,-1.7708345466982873,1.422102077197606,1.442603356696298,-2.483344699219061,0.8897549021256208,2.235490698556597,1.7950302399959133,0.5801605586109982,-0.4067587189928889,-1.9065965532491524,1.6284179163833803,-3.0092217549561524,-0.7392310178722321,1.7904126278385908,2.6010267670420952,1.7801136799538502,2.4417845728384604,-3.2874505467649797,0.8276269155225893,-2.1050151426795676,1.6499639769362016,-2.574703762240375,-1.7059627678542817,2.756916786848907,0.7938401148455896,1.790937253463832,1.7229447181144573,2.3130425081102284,0.7227140365025904,-2.1842469224689127,-0.05401647088037269,2.1382095230012794,-2.034002902677908,-2.888721117892454,-1.5625463226904082,1.237269535523014,1.607313185459434,-3.2118462102050516,-2.250238020692331,2.458546875344269,1.7842022249574057,2.2590775181293457,1.7961894722988703,-0.11394659822128032,-2.6774170291753707,-0.9745913945139904,-3.234997635673215,-2.5560778121585837,-0.4169416767718122,1.6376200492755595,-2.673523885092379,0.9320237251577921,1.6491060278469094,-1.3706051088372722,1.719260504990016,0.08142312543816482,1.1964058172396812,-0.578377232024841,1.6106363585723795,1.7950789007288872,-2.487890891258632,-2.207282398982275,1.6170425295405395,1.7042873466168975,1.8324835992924837,-0.3821693000031574,2.4618642351899864,2.215439608645877,1.8632329750909853,0.8769621945928545,-1.3080385563739472,-1.335867457442185,-1.7191405995970852,-2.976922357119455,2.0746630323287376,-2.1635872852530436,-1.864287255445983,-2.207817699885718,-2.832594152191206,1.5792083319323889,1.39157774999344,-1.8017320022533596,-0.515394549113926,-3.3241731867355346,1.7762554397959025,1.6307480002108412;0.5414194604747398,0.7134598330435186,0.5265903740845643,0.916337795080872,0.5329650926075398,-0.8740779115048792,-0.9738079946988857,-1.9007873921287346,1.0038872808557755,-0.9639949843085207,1.381248934968546,-1.4938535709315457,0.5474860050621254,-0.4479070609521607,0.7818471142493357,-0.09431560256964834,-0.10927805985846144,1.003140634802109,0.1995719028745022,-1.7008953872703405,-0.8696494813242195,0.3085925754673243,0.5255845355304242,0.8159807080993138,-0.9437814563076571,1.2471591708269434,0.5801963007304749,-0.8842889635077554,-2.12913627403286,-0.4734180654627991,-1.9366294937325095,1.4147640632983998,0.22226414614836973,0.8731288075218667,-1.0948744696542643,1.040843156112568,0.7655493657143697,-0.7301759202192459,0.23496497629853402,-0.8764357341968387,-0.9151647662861077,-1.8012428044987112,0.2618696255157244,0.8978288947104838,0.4614087831530292,-1.5947100266607641,0.8517419299041109,1.1852964080288684,0.7321794498959012,0.02584363541264785,-0.2549907244421325,1.3655642489228188,0.9194874934722376,-1.9735885556914672,-0.48620346332097225,-1.7422697415295947,-0.5125050355722377,0.473084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k{61}=[0.97342218539153;2.9897343622688903;-1.3016783072957026];
x_a{61}=[12.743780751075233,17.37937016340323,26.84983578088724];
L_a{61}=[-0.005551379091551953,0.06028145948026347,-0.011076690540175651,0.1187376640469177,-0.008336169084065936,-0.08378476525727732,-0.06683939211885509,-0.08645260369121957,0.13868979573111925,-0.06785887511284887,0.20465839264312066,-0.07909494721515566,-0.002824807847869014,-0.10141141758804392,0.08221795101952203,-0.09733485664076284,-0.09790654602348448,0.13851753158683777,-0.07942318985060852,-0.08278608333066766,-0.08559610510044549,-0.06557060019855396,-0.011541420171132605,0.09252673974625429,-0.07183395994860409,0.18392782907708857,0.009546641783247828,-0.08473295991436468,-0.09162414316952182,-0.10162934145152447,-0.08785399798604988,0.2094864835959989,-0.0765602723926233,0.1078751464454469,-0.06722402242038229,0.1462286212354407,0.07729814684274379,-0.14900271666562326,-0.0751565524474044,-0.08508891689735311,-0.07917085204753818,-0.08427534031656614,-0.07214213901303206,0.11427885424928284,-0.032311110088328196,-0.08033833916216974,0.10244657965589526,0.17339441821766718,0.06668236169702486,-0.09193781106304857,-0.10098716973131673,0.20242557885374005,0.11946744767324372,-0.0877421381640594,-0.1013374253481143,-0.08289555997225417,-0.10091194244173349,-0.028932585493774435,0.15489207406237476,0.02528668099361487,0.20461893817894417,0.14471747959047354,-0.010911446320895551,-0.07235096054071552,0.1545925851640346,-0.08098178072185862,-0.07305455453296893,0.052731585581656026,-0.07840586020021294,-0.03982749201767765,-0.09057058806753847,-7.869863372487679E-4,-0.0666731178915106,-0.08538593181762699,0.1388863428449475,0.11610352512750494,-0.0664352286114711,-0.07715587467379101,-0.09934973748566814,-0.013051827571539469,-0.08764196266819153,-0.0999754834693549,-0.09296141373376063,-0.07880637068609161,0.048321668425770604,0.050176608241630824,0.07825824618185645,0.18105765010800218,-0.07877968001209633,0.11259933942506792,0.08933762394372857,0.11618360670979067,0.16826661847688631,-0.06634834002679876,-0.09656918892009314,0.08461321242088082,-0.00485873230413336,0.21299586473277007,-0.08262260507109508,-0.07174298511034172;-0.6220083733154625,-0.18413178183047793,-0.65066507654059,0.30070314444419444,-0.6355535865120081,-0.02394829211165521,0.13837122415612277,0.5494079639021521,0.4845628471870367,0.12770737489982265,1.1437475824169943,0.37123615959441586,-0.6054616784536287,-0.41131830858474394,-0.011089671465551305,-0.6611961932059658,-0.6529310184628991,0.48140342837595024,-0.8101725417127523,0.46358585204514213,-0.03701866687390627,-0.8232741686536316,-0.6537845174615919,0.0737915988686585,0.0909259049707588,0.9274617869900277,-0.5349002878378049,-0.023162024942518202,0.6399572634750241,-0.39510122840763207,0.5614090489100015,1.196275468871808,-0.8110243196237376,0.20388131811013416,0.21114036871091943,0.5550880124331827,-0.051518500090812075,-0.4322501018494771,-0.8147667206382666,-0.03025609412601747,0.028418164839206117,0.509262477209701,-0.8213740591295544,0.26171075002153515,-0.7455845492129873,0.4186947592270116,0.15870369361973588,0.822511466583531,-0.1353161033810972,-0.7305135319472394,-0.5541570554706341,1.1207523353280053,0.3067732669060094,0.5805655335384635,-0.3847646820782788,0.4848294976929701,-0.3636706477794787,-0.7332027146600506,0.6378022163238471,-0.43337008288592116,1.1445462883837272,0.5413703716992752,-0.6504838838746576,0.08906245995472437,0.6352852754131548,-0.8012628849484918,0.08548912475384077,-0.24196913166262393,0.04110738922119483,-0.7710211899746546,-0.7421140099063582,-0.5952214267132098,0.18360398826293733,-0.032471580276945744,0.4847510565220915,0.27772946042380925,0.19510180206861327,0.05288818904042572,-0.2939400007630594,-0.6615229739469923,0.5860269910330779,0.07562290800420594,-0.1264586845020846,-0.8097632130691815,-0.273789863472867,-0.2619167190103294,-0.044146927831606314,0.8983295550035362,0.38850889622233814,0.2464230354955933,0.04784292964116917,0.2789081788103357,0.7688860095697422,0.15912731684319106,-0.6753326169064315,0.009279645303625765,-0.619388009985947,1.2346655675927034,0.007849586216363974,0.09520316095979964;0.5931509530982236,0.15171655718230365,0.6298104434622229,-0.19013980093125432,0.6106471356401814,-0.09331498856510477,-0.3509534817335641,-1.0951637522409614,-0.28851772815083954,-0.331640241559971,-0.5258959302528798,-0.756793533968465,0.5738094688239819,0.497112890734464,0.015684822584435546,0.8127162061536617,0.8030811359154205,-0.28765910078285933,0.9396907259868641,-0.9294388557456712,-0.07200727268081199,0.9196236300120711,0.6331352688889191,-0.04624582619414629,-0.2743841934092048,-0.46680432837522473,0.49123425709330687,-0.09469012356433379,-1.2753207430921127,0.47363264768871777,-1.1179467171095185,-0.5373722080934885,0.9357043744616843,-0.13212452693188886,-0.46843571225561054,-0.32181371095215977,0.045233125865182376,0.6583318381135178,0.9353243958985696,-0.08351984713123631,-0.1773973969265652,-1.0159083724542042,0.9341387086835637,-0.16709850587238978,0.7625054882464489,-0.8460632253506103,-0.10292435974538337,-0.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x_a{61}=[12.743780751075235,17.379370163403227,26.84983578088724];
std_x_a{61}=[1.0139226150503726,5.42232197652538,5.746669862717717];
pred_a{61}=[12.743780751075235];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.0 to 6.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{62}=[12.921634850623667,7.474369031776288,38.18329342962498];
std_x_f{62}=[3.45663044762155,3.533093648562006,5.131173561742217];
pred_f{62}=[12.921634850623667];
obs{62}=[8.33783974741735];
sqrt_r{62}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{62}=[13.100046214352398];
L_f{62}=[-0.38955379978642596,-0.08011273657853413,-0.4129242632098015,0.18017963281378616,-0.40071864316380484,0.03402698705296394,0.17356126532744226,0.5353695187846694,0.25676088205989644,0.16409629287664337,0.4388457350573559,0.3759422064015537,-0.3765937995604281,-0.2933906584060831,0.022421540481428862,-0.48575450059658015,-0.47977523891076174,0.2551430429018064,-0.5801859580855986,0.45808520754595433,0.02265550465650438,-0.5778917882038614,-0.4146998103285,0.06858762852808514,0.13318494801378802,0.3944217382032338,-0.3214746825715257,0.034624748077984234,0.6169329270647802,-0.281686377432164,0.5458857670609395,0.4473039516700676,-0.579072529980067,0.134493017689713,0.2344934578927704,0.28215290953610994,-4.079940479929683E-4,-0.35788773109643407,-0.5802158555654414,0.028963052825071754,0.0797171207449763,0.4985759710402299,-0.5821566917293293,0.16160507359542256,-0.49449702761616404,0.4183698222449762,0.11261072451532046,0.3669079532626219,-0.049868035919737146,-0.5333917114033501,-0.40680706624634194,0.4351077721533218,0.18269144033477028,0.5635631208226629,-0.27257423194510705,0.47714061070181585,-0.25477590723641075,-0.4830925253773968,0.31123245940878924,-0.24756183476241495,0.43911892757271564,0.2772588367916564,-0.4121046687582181,0.13091903216278458,0.3102073260496053,-0.5759254577468448,0.12812973228797628,-0.11657373144478674,0.09036786582432783,-0.5187137191282801,-0.5408809967486662,-0.3684746049066216,0.21068827970154194,0.026109316596070943,0.2566961493983915,0.16929242254475702,0.22102240247804078,0.1001343489680791,-0.19711018729813523,-0.4219709162057629,0.5686216750169826,0.11323526704175849,-0.05570314093544469,-0.5795710811370852,-0.13769433702935124,-0.12958084860318478,0.004078732954182599,0.3863823202709108,0.3908693608192439,0.15463996549186526,0.05486333209585787,0.16967421335833488,0.35187407083420896,0.19045554183415386,-0.4956665216424434,0.033307215542709025,-0.3874583317447357,0.45293842881206087,0.06083497557328631,0.13712617172075148;-0.3151153877312439,-0.017637792318035053,-0.3429851486437286,0.060607718944061924,-0.32852090764843556,0.23273907669430044,0.3646260769464326,0.6869074952729672,0.027112476115701473,0.35567724415206814,-0.3251671444037952,0.5622399698863888,-0.3001721018691219,-0.16265055624417563,0.039745871112393645,-0.4217429921141431,-0.4135806294969493,0.02812885301815375,-0.5538493318306874,0.6302227824988409,0.22078585623279026,-0.5518754560312608,-0.3455570472396363,0.055881236965742084,0.32789159333663964,-0.17494573186545312,-0.2376768088676429,0.23403781578307067,0.7405868989854143,-0.1452574991853152,0.694549098934388,-0.36567960430932167,-0.5530030495416557,0.06517583907718963,0.42378342360391996,0.0058770591241512765,0.028826770555047298,-0.24496278803742255,-0.5545744452616409,0.22747916176543928,0.2790651231287824,0.6596316726356893,-0.5569075337530265,0.06323303503075144,-0.443637848212382,0.5982071796378525,0.06409060958470256,-0.11363627333986047,0.002160074961145298,-0.4885284159855404,-0.31381428288723084,-0.30767570597784255,0.061327578151125384,0.7052878359307194,-0.13485858143929247,0.643265181835111,-0.11128985101623193,-0.42930902069404886,-0.0251461536727075,-0.16021434498997922,-0.3253210326304926,0.009952747752263933,-0.3421943144930881,0.3271115870294029,-0.02440208250028419,-0.5481395991498278,0.3236602613541534,-0.04440771204978829,0.2904134744957471,-0.4747257132517212,-0.4991656507579975,-0.29062591163267254,0.3993049805583623,0.22465930435701523,0.026242842331998438,0.061873939557787326,0.40973991761193607,0.2987726385473005,-0.03711022921942752,-0.353525181346173,0.7084517724858017,0.3312673036821481,0.13414480664946088,-0.5527900155390157,-0.06136227430771625,-0.05478825016129785,0.031031290003029267,-0.15765728072885724,0.5752648484024279,0.0633114761065573,0.05164001168829955,0.062206737964897584,-0.08541041699327555,0.3806115410658079,-0.4356178982175662,0.04422619398327652,-0.31225065713750166,-0.3968350550807533,0.26029683398539877,0.33296659029122117;-0.5802313454356617,-0.24125804140221943,-0.5946912075418536,0.265446362373681,-0.5874634357567426,-0.13478257930746992,0.04938612672395676,0.6300022710259294,0.46588532083304285,0.037126915913704636,1.132451312673531,0.3519577817881421,-0.571041087310455,-0.4367482774899956,-0.06849384217428973,-0.5533824693268873,-0.5504874716830682,0.462435389789382,-0.6169104286392,0.4909406379534384,-0.14809553254395547,-0.6341792584244105,-0.5963553775349276,0.020180808788244093,-0.0074880683206545555,0.9272879712381816,-0.5282858749220646,-0.13388023256394999,0.7855850502695584,-0.42820199949442744,0.6495856186339255,1.1788796903084666,-0.6194281765917927,0.1598134032458738,0.13774743320801727,0.5416406643645206,-0.10987518076701351,-0.4213652221533321,-0.6225138295282739,-0.1421563990852894,-0.07934281428736023,0.5631925928610788,-0.6272571430551419,0.22274248962920504,-0.6314815356626196,0.4227943021078598,0.11150882697649603,0.8218912330482163,-0.19354233532017778,-0.5809668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k{62}=[0.9236643914351694;0.7098405341434046;1.2773698310276913];
x_a{62}=[8.687746536157094,4.220605467312393,32.32809185317677];
L_a{62}=[0.1169243734628105,0.024045796847497594,0.12393900608816781,-0.05408082449474626,0.12027549548350756,-0.010213182734133805,-0.052094324883879724,-0.16069088682822047,-0.0770666472283714,-0.04925341825106214,-0.13171932258532662,-0.11283886068067553,0.11303443603354281,0.08806105583562594,-0.006729813890403546,0.14579896453361424,0.14400429220140248,-0.07658105363378427,0.17414251812784629,-0.1374940403976481,-0.006800038117707635,0.17345392421299746,0.1244719356463477,-0.020586541569721648,-0.039975393924348526,-0.11838548268508753,0.09649046130326393,-0.010392600399599761,-0.1851721020438649,0.08454802189664669,-0.1638473333615526,-0.13425805196903753,0.1738083232523079,-0.040368010367538655,-0.07038309127076177,-0.08468805126867188,1.2245920451615003E-4,0.10741981916597812,0.17415149184110693,-0.008693245469556141,-0.023927052957706453,-0.1496473223196695,0.17473403282153374,-0.04850568005989353,0.14842302954031406,-0.12557348784316943,-0.03380005128012045,-0.11012723422868577,0.014967865437156608,0.1600972489558194,0.12210293255302786,-0.13059737493439635,-0.05483474223553408,-0.1691531820381753,0.08181301609626594,-0.1432135098940364,0.07647085805187553,0.14499997403513296,-0.0934162632673934,0.07430555789410594,-0.13180132117887336,-0.08321909784133986,0.12369300523334988,-0.039295280442351255,-0.09310857001474397,0.17286373113354703,-0.03845807351370451,0.034989545780009,-0.027123868637589466,0.15569165709303856,0.16234515411594264,0.11059746391713891,-0.06323797923050979,-0.007836698002205258,-0.07704721775317896,-0.05081303390930727,-0.06633976088837723,-0.03005527355045209,0.05916252175080142,0.12665435435089362,-0.1706715044884322,-0.03398750739951836,0.016719269218676037,0.17395796312671183,0.04132888472750317,0.03889362533240184,-0.0012242296069281205,-0.11597245551077129,-0.11731923843293518,-0.04641510643038273,-0.016467201025653643,-0.05092762822643603,-0.10561482211867798,-0.05716513332352946,0.14877405257324558,-0.009997143684023074,0.11629541980346995,-0.13594923739703021,-0.018259586756518984,-0.04115835020116079;0.07411552813485461,0.06240854235537136,0.06959685990195076,-0.11942257093881735,0.0718655975500263,0.1987402931063846,0.1912086688777212,0.15198172061078666,-0.2294355882018658,0.19171696343699007,-0.7636491396351445,0.18660936535724731,0.07610955574213332,0.13049692361756918,0.017342914854490243,0.0636088880547714,0.0657969449317815,-0.22680271309666894,0.02585573576746611,0.1725172615269553,0.19814912972237092,0.025537343221133813,0.06879903675224147,-0.012649542309692481,0.19481703643742107,-0.5690405513294449,0.08353141755366311,0.19944176662781704,0.12416532034588001,0.1361954008634998,0.14911579244915316,-0.8126128055116183,0.025589512822291993,-0.06920570329683691,0.18948432697015136,-0.2760419863407763,0.02923442643481291,0.1126283057428911,0.025160495035656635,0.19854011513423814,0.1994140763804588,0.16146894917306867,0.0247666340348778,-0.09823809126461723,0.05044931268202488,0.1801841256401042,-0.04842677688020673,-0.4802401128230408,0.05198677747084903,0.04442119061240855,0.09265559896907682,-0.7424228365373338,-0.12121243732654426,0.14219182766068064,0.1374897257769616,0.16652005188849425,0.1432748837357144,0.05338309064924072,-0.33612064625719074,0.08714229671367157,-0.7640759939400066,-0.2670762814487147,0.06956877892661134,0.19630106786372684,-0.3343522914132995,0.027308499449922773,0.19563673013594987,0.07206939658336979,0.20012051059974095,0.04355806700996046,0.04126703364778732,0.07754328096623098,0.18879133105617718,0.19857162861903435,-0.23024054297810573,-0.1072781639832713,0.18890071083069285,0.19872128651359086,0.15983658215978164,0.06809598182480261,0.1403014028333485,0.21812589234648683,0.18980177771432657,0.02630068475494088,0.07621793397389512,0.07468519460596214,0.026955937730249232,-0.5437193457785829,0.18471946191388158,-0.09120031515539526,-0.003177846617393615,-0.10732683994021472,-0.43699283496845875,0.190313859409193,0.059637787361230335,0.010946585318835647,0.07488652752771482,-0.849398063256072,0.19951228183351655,0.1959540763911072;0.12019615245386849,-0.09721333265711579,0.14775696946601302,-0.05852113441779058,0.13303873042105382,-0.19596395506428108,-0.26268137940867686,-0.332605545132598,0.0042228180523703265,-0.2579223324713694,0.34339567944844723,-0.32399572996113457,0.10608400527351751,0.09077548144702406,-0.10880833405409242,0.320016300311546,0.3121604355478605,0.0036818023731862593,0.4262784689028948,-0.3327080491278554,-0.18883069787588092,0.4048846641568973,0.1492852777042294,-0.10314146675480419,-0.24695794371396165,0.21810779803901562,0.04973366351358841,-0.19613639762924784,-0.3236758187209572,0.07827716883237962,-0.3319306755611952,0.37461597157145343,0.42175874930360047,-0.08200841421724672,-0.28387768268956876,0.03432265961914669,-0.10914159724056272,0.22212589038277844,0.4207288244320904,-0.19423269415064173,-0.22267619584588555,-0.3332595020613935,0.41947518298345854,-0.06782748403490335,0.257636516726787,-0.32944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x_a{62}=[8.687746536157098,4.220605467312403,32.328091853176815];
std_x_a{62}=[1.0375058582465606,2.464564632671993,2.3652597544838794];
pred_a{62}=[8.687746536157098];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.1 to 6.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{63}=[5.044312758916377,2.6375974832405653,26.771684357257197];
std_x_f{63}=[1.6692375283663357,2.650331065804708,1.216180880733897];
pred_f{63}=[5.044312758916377];
obs{63}=[4.228627979036906];
sqrt_r{63}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{63}=[3.788296668088444];
L_f{63}=[0.04407654684626754,0.06469325547111275,0.03747619929947995,-0.06336724386539326,0.041018604813408736,0.14803049444414126,0.1466188161126271,0.10581536812427493,-0.14307284226070535,0.14695697940686073,-0.5102313825387913,0.13850001661330863,0.04748476013022874,0.07225993698080906,0.03490490450629426,-0.0026508056284656567,-1.804661816102617E-4,-0.14048324396097986,-0.04062925121767289,0.12488490080716631,0.14729550178281528,-0.03489795840816488,0.03657583383548829,0.01325857091795617,0.1488721943419398,-0.38024732816822604,0.06145606194128661,0.14891423410028873,0.08054973288408057,0.07696345460692201,0.10335860234452933,-0.5421921480764406,-0.03963353458264231,-0.027345741804631795,0.1451550427751395,-0.1765540976196665,0.043308977322655616,0.036465143152269404,-0.039119515565870636,0.14824234968100647,0.15091990228462174,0.11494075771062932,-0.03896978482204444,-0.04861011277609694,0.007210248819013321,0.1317910445404175,-0.01199010539748869,-0.3192700835176944,0.05832295103179475,-0.023158105276427622,0.029658446923535534,-0.495905559708566,-0.06514547146060184,0.09689241458246317,0.07945796794595612,0.11920488844553626,0.08572083411153517,0.012034528459837237,-0.2187098970877872,0.07154635806366509,-0.5105158820435084,-0.17009425713598467,0.03751430123540031,0.14962773377224972,-0.21742390880453732,-0.03971714505619739,0.1490739194417055,0.06982549130716638,0.15181929036445005,-0.004303182214179619,-0.026064407123111165,0.049836956546739496,0.1447838052083869,0.14691329074666726,-0.14284053109142403,-0.05493984324880136,0.14476806697600517,0.1511510356232227,0.103363733259099,0.03461844314421642,0.09582660268711493,0.160880046278566,0.1368677546609875,-0.03995105039620982,0.07230475439883129,0.07164983545005672,0.041987572478336,-0.362544583995685,0.13597071491327567,-0.042930590603591785,0.020504090280283643,-0.054609187487467264,-0.2895845397666764,0.1465186398225349,-0.006856279774489955,0.029278420774518955,0.04523278011168635,-0.5657371109619783,0.1493646669246851,0.14995840706227279;-0.03248073944755638,0.09945906042076597,-0.051379050914437195,-0.03911755865414155,-0.04104858801689095,0.2471794940879269,0.2866948694893586,0.3070784784651776,-0.15109557339657853,0.28349671210671523,-0.7008451317551988,0.32356215159077023,-0.022160554606822296,0.02483062837009521,0.07945224370456522,-0.1551339596854571,-0.14964955927330312,-0.1487899667047715,-0.24266943606272176,0.32054688998107916,0.242903169482017,-0.23073374926454912,-0.052775497528807926,0.05670458253055987,0.278603871999197,-0.503953619650901,0.018577904539252538,0.24792510810542107,0.28383812564952055,0.035868615402200384,0.3056702856179279,-0.7487932086992082,-0.24012388401555965,0.007589264893773655,0.29900426693709564,-0.19965109821907853,0.08668171166303199,-0.06333035161260217,-0.23967358282171827,0.24618950440750842,0.26488513847681183,0.313608932737914,-0.23936581695596365,-0.019999978867153767,-0.128964813663577,0.32305091764023103,0.026597572662582735,-0.41299169172420724,0.09681865818134855,-0.20169830950299197,-0.07893715883605625,-0.6794207292198148,-0.041926357546259625,0.2993093079410699,0.043130009964923145,0.3160990668165575,0.05866813716472085,-0.11720632061026269,-0.26231339341487814,0.05904177413911015,-0.7010180882816761,-0.19073574661558124,-0.05021298550971499,0.2786900976320963,-0.260027507650198,-0.2397637976009135,0.2768565962865971,0.09662348245736181,0.2691690841219671,-0.15621865949558286,-0.20909967266531246,-0.015534526943046086,0.29250452233908303,0.2429527138131883,-0.15183772918099425,-0.028340797246508335,0.2949204743892456,0.27113513331398825,0.10564074160850706,-0.05844836398062529,0.29872388463259725,0.28874136973785497,0.20229387927836545,-0.24098230173574742,0.09366214404540657,0.09515114617428956,0.08561701676586707,-0.4787346215270935,0.32260936271505064,-0.0130978050146834,0.06414746446037704,-0.02838645141363546,-0.3678899647955452,0.28956314121034177,-0.16500705245095829,0.07444414339435493,-0.029617188081869947,-0.7838474566179517,0.25800430316204626,0.28051324077129663;0.1013017251438178,-0.03260732897068633,0.11270163258308917,-0.12563642539912231,0.1057894411204831,0.001217785888765501,-0.04786378786580806,-0.140650205255848,-0.14143031516028462,-0.044207947415923474,-0.04746144907544629,-0.09955524164607132,0.0936648016861026,0.11819637218759294,-0.071500670609987,0.20244485633964393,0.19917156034454792,-0.14053936621484053,0.2383001950917161,-0.12066017457209847,0.005743247315462258,0.2264837912439188,0.11294479627625041,-0.08888111121506129,-0.034317505010140525,-0.10966482652019613,0.06864508792411379,0.0019207282628047832,-0.1604741900855151,0.11478185377598348,-0.14308903232197795,-0.027708149976257836,0.23577241249862418,-0.1108436446492666,-0.06484945224782783,-0.14284468824784605,-0.06334157355791838,0.17762380175882078,0.2347089385589711,0.002107661345852694,-0.014667246193883097,-0.1319583579024299,0.23416165580176113,-0.11908775580311333,0.16083632738095363,-0.110391915142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k{63}=[0.7360291213664121;1.0875340559970552;0.06650456750254162];
x_a{63}=[4.443945007069735,1.7505125061631785,26.717437593752905];
L_a{63}=[-0.03296004370606696,-0.04837703224013226,-0.028024363413867007,0.047385452735692946,-0.0306733422681076,-0.11069586698175689,-0.10964022667336557,-0.0791277767360991,0.10698857944819684,-0.1098931021310689,0.3815464203069631,-0.10356906172317877,-0.035508674822537355,-0.05403532834348605,-0.02610157238715222,0.0019822485113285475,1.3495098093976876E-4,0.10505210122457849,0.030382187165206152,-0.09338780107227515,-0.1101462461068404,0.026096378157696505,-0.027351078250487517,-0.009914639603234524,-0.11132528256450645,0.2843455182469957,-0.04595628815144111,-0.11135671951616731,-0.06023436286039585,-0.05755257634999766,-0.07729062947140042,0.4054463921598971,0.029637599257175695,0.020448898780549805,-0.10854563018994233,0.13202555985898892,-0.03238606214771291,-0.02726830475714922,0.02925322047819289,-0.11085429041476269,-0.11285654007257447,-0.08595166066353514,0.029141253180077178,0.036350203368816544,-0.005391758955963271,-0.09855215299127323,0.008966092541685672,0.2387472853417048,-0.04361337610633497,0.017317422000480354,-0.022178318783985636,0.3708336993613664,0.04871519527341572,-0.07245527265470866,-0.05941795089865935,-0.08914033912060942,-0.0641012656615584,-0.008999311706555175,0.16354928602065222,-0.05350172047309585,0.3817591664674679,0.12719494947975502,-0.02805285569747542,-0.11189026812772504,0.16258763559533082,0.029700122414270273,-0.11147613077246796,-0.05221487185257341,-0.11352909435690287,0.003217880800626811,0.019490728276578086,-0.037267626061704445,-0.10826802208992077,-0.1098604321454989,0.10681485925365411,0.041083518656777576,-0.10825625318186709,-0.11302937949597087,-0.07729446632298173,-0.025887359167429673,-0.07165826814399572,-0.12030464580790198,-0.10234847097508995,0.029875034715290405,-0.05406884240396731,-0.05357909992820513,-0.03139792753784673,0.2711075660163145,-0.10167767275231208,0.0321031079761522,-0.015332773552983504,0.040836257264381164,0.21654870379482133,-0.10956531574825912,0.005127064100924404,-0.021894138661510996,-0.0338246645007843,0.4230531027870192,-0.11169354911469546,-0.11213754262791678;-0.14630764296467588,-0.06761012887853637,-0.14816067350226636,0.12452722910043025,-0.14697841025971745,-0.13510664251561758,-0.09194563276358873,0.0338121597555876,0.2183875140315469,-0.09601709087915923,0.616818399242751,-0.03411169439241448,-0.14478910871586134,-0.1617793822452032,-0.010689055507686398,-0.14828830098251045,-0.14918350854764365,0.21400552886551116,-0.1377451126020582,-0.0019661599750136326,-0.13748486155898554,-0.14061038822799823,-0.1472319422129013,0.02246455737802504,-0.10585593971985158,0.4780283874017302,-0.14013128966172908,-0.13664327054683503,0.07581986357229531,-0.16288814638410024,0.038748521130124385,0.651408434639441,-0.13777098117324282,0.07820915997894132,-0.07585606653270544,0.2562967396503409,-0.025162957120237237,-0.15750093956288777,-0.13864812500888876,-0.1366437446023311,-0.12486284282675202,0.016776456642516115,-0.13872703614372775,0.10553477856790205,-0.1475851538530843,-0.017297126494102727,0.05756180801886522,0.4115176583214098,-0.053799332449466,-0.14189291176770097,-0.15552957403154843,0.6012466174176202,0.1263106715564668,0.04908635910875402,-0.1620687884481294,0.008254548433919071,-0.16270440247303394,-0.14828527774022507,0.3025010518020074,-0.12572543152967341,0.6173801576608697,0.24852966733263904,-0.14709300567390038,-0.10772088131738912,0.30146589554512976,-0.13719497218781196,-0.10812416693865949,-0.0836996152158249,-0.12290155100799868,-0.14510576745305426,-0.14178880175745406,-0.14423758674077528,-0.08139709667334288,-0.136448263979597,0.2170454187567727,0.11354037730508992,-0.07894050091610642,-0.11920974575301145,-0.16129427337552316,-0.147849881786308,0.05125337619000503,-0.1267285074612651,-0.15116467905060382,-0.13780941991453832,-0.0930636067601316,-0.08988328801668491,-0.02281514735259621,0.4575303614595584,-0.028532606313718706,0.09776968675167319,0.011196013563361426,0.11264081047611026,0.37995699297633456,-0.08881865754328587,-0.14730083106525704,-0.001166860985336177,-0.14643004357941902,0.6771586373967877,-0.12772731030128348,-0.1067516961075709;0.09434101531885587,-0.04282389562998397,0.10678327083900833,-0.11562926675094048,0.09931165132159589,-0.02215966517756238,-0.07101830215657265,-0.15736090800449126,-0.11883579244772162,-0.06741586554008809,0.033115929407244754,-0.12142760904726896,0.0861658558742341,0.10678485088471548,-0.0770129652228964,0.2028634800772631,0.19920006014349498,-0.11835380118198133,0.2447164969203984,-0.14038239916173814,-0.017518131349440642,0.2319949889067053,0.1071686231376682,-0.09097494731287244,-0.057827880027355595,-0.049614947333249886,0.05893974926293834,-0.02159628580805492,-0.1731948625792084,0.10262753786475862,-0.15941175472904948,0.0579165752386344,0.2420314675586675,-0.10652511728562666,-0.08777280275238876,-0.11496269816761391,-0.07018106633874638,0.17186510924840392,0.24088681808517023,-0.021303246579830782,-0.0385010018253964,-0.150110171479739,0.2403158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x_a{63}=[4.443945007069735,1.750512506163177,26.71743759375291];
std_x_a{63}=[1.2482407499538657,2.0785830247128128,1.2126100366733845];
pred_a{63}=[4.443945007069735];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.2 to 6.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{64}=[3.082018553588079,2.8284524180366866,21.413488346188064];
std_x_f{64}=[1.749851626521622,2.186094435645798,1.5378391755129073];
pred_f{64}=[3.082018553588079];
obs{64}=[3.0741562266535323];
sqrt_r{64}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{64}=[4.074661277087333];
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k{64}=[0.7545808272154528;0.922426177250245;0.48526916310441115];
x_a{64}=[3.0760857924259706,2.821200001858161,21.409673001376483];
L_a{64}=[0.07817999793301289,0.03879619987951025,0.07845105816952512,-0.08201186630976678,0.07796246404262756,0.08938340257081247,0.0671074590750012,-0.004856936525726275,-0.1407043943684618,0.06920668897061691,-0.34913285950711836,0.03619680530799764,0.07769841777616725,0.09209723256124895,0.003877407844102393,0.07700850576846846,0.07749685857739629,-0.13839679394032006,0.06806966964349642,0.017243178473538352,0.09082179981103365,0.06891294145093425,0.07766629157014646,-0.016866290649473745,0.07455936385411574,-0.2865129508853141,0.07704516430543636,0.09001572434642054,-0.031002996908294604,0.09322274733338534,-0.00725458559562643,-0.36278512481435604,0.06757540302269499,-0.0526624912239098,0.058449233416390876,-0.16349033309493416,0.012877524101963758,0.08678222217298479,0.06803372682657402,0.0901660046422407,0.08482307245307665,0.0057324986824046405,0.06786495363415526,-0.06931146357161605,0.07545855584373735,0.026314247851338436,-0.03990054661463687,-0.25277265047396186,0.030328876541776198,0.07186882513888866,0.08354962574442605,-0.3432798642476641,-0.08307210495051304,-0.014553381444888606,0.09317505890736187,0.010716686991028854,0.09406307446151688,0.07597290683179288,-0.19164780913938817,0.07095684051648715,-0.34955184662723593,-0.15918125868062397,0.07772080540455324,0.07552493684569855,-0.1906861320803681,0.06780456893429741,0.0759691935329621,0.047710921975501704,0.08395068852922732,0.07321385377701663,0.07175820482341062,0.07749231039313406,0.061272250475136555,0.0897960236251132,-0.14000673310844883,-0.07481115786908601,0.05964567228591032,0.08169935161548232,0.09626937914248362,0.0782335011223084,-0.015764821058266446,0.08788913456522042,0.09593465505454693,0.06817597765054728,0.05314180300575757,0.05161394255395049,0.011403742392526662,-0.276385605815216,0.03287983426685932,-0.06583864662383851,-0.009767861854480248,-0.07363428632267818,-0.23561419311953824,0.06565376820788166,0.07623827909914747,-0.002079104242505121,0.07825587939729077,-0.3722888217098291,0.08586469499481918,0.074983822661473;0.06344169304214684,0.059436334845869396,0.05965854981531667,-0.05458064294039648,0.06144398512891285,0.11757450277015799,0.10930744763596446,0.061671540565111545,-0.12466822897511895,0.11040521816188877,-0.5072017248758923,0.093810391895184,0.06492071418135632,0.08157925594858927,0.03172985809790731,0.035486239348031766,0.03678383642224018,-0.12245507508457329,0.011538311001486421,0.08023496331752267,0.11864710011256122,0.014454224515789574,0.05951138553607313,0.013190584936219465,0.11296670823660057,-0.3599204636126154,0.07236129045131537,0.11831873514881061,0.03934870995029068,0.08528865921274002,0.06096634125183842,-0.5463816994820119,0.010740630235999795,-0.023474712341666593,0.10539440676692828,-0.15551820112990095,0.03889142584141061,0.05960429268769477,0.01154611423066864,0.11870585646778609,0.1190204932837471,0.07078786268722266,0.011545028467708045,-0.039910475963950816,0.041409934220752904,0.08640994000292279,-0.010902194910228176,-0.2952350222386219,0.05389372545358219,0.022098648841480047,0.05500543759518242,-0.49129585812312493,-0.055464763606548784,0.053627505644844094,0.08589679218849437,0.07415428447471342,0.08871663503685061,0.04486598626249068,-0.19575462197901353,0.0763147944066574,-0.5076691324650715,-0.14971883816789142,0.05931329271775997,0.11361254233336616,-0.19360052221921165,0.010875044209741426,0.11414597159446671,0.06581734074992578,0.11849448152060987,0.03394150508563895,0.021505700858307105,0.06578259330698825,0.10646615585244458,0.11724438247718182,-0.12388894147411615,-0.046053835527088985,0.10517098591014704,0.11699470504849306,0.09951528086640501,0.05878294857758784,0.05301329429581624,0.12349788825056338,0.11487475747952074,0.011696950846576442,0.06905282411491412,0.06845854399341987,0.03873360378403286,-0.34044330003178414,0.09142714430477994,-0.03865493091605277,0.019849641679307462,-0.04392393303927715,-0.26521040023182924,0.10995310456980192,0.033320214287736155,0.026171530226222678,0.06415629378685395,-0.5736446140660778,0.11721760118730745,0.11377943315911025;0.11404501481384943,-0.02571294421563944,0.12355443838521929,-0.16825138377750692,0.11717872614418474,0.04437577768864102,-0.01544398486852036,-0.1451995839463107,-0.19446571231038248,-0.010816590550319142,-0.04684516759238162,-0.0828281597125966,0.10795078178241967,0.1398714708391785,-0.08193853450157197,0.19244168628989305,0.1899249294620381,-0.19274147063969702,0.21216720192201807,-0.1147401084714862,0.049477630525215206,0.2038667028909017,0.1220996392405816,-0.10863563669305226,0.0019343079944427748,-0.13905134594167337,0.08713887927681181,0.0449439954797931,-0.17738959932334886,0.13838051207397709,-0.14804029710797523,-0.017731118339090295,0.20957711452740826,-0.14525817698582472,-0.03718982210915481,-0.196390121305698,-0.06946891515704708,0.1818865039541604,0.20973624917603634,0.04620865027080093,0.027189128500144082,-0.13172609967860027,0.20905911024578244,-0.15778713392399885,0.1581614444640083,-0.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x_a{64}=[3.0760857924259724,2.8212000018581627,21.409673001376483];
std_x_a{64}=[1.2148638942161234,1.556865542563908,1.3012825551467604];
pred_a{64}=[3.0760857924259724];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.3 to 6.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{65}=[3.68787130138609,5.127759103473993,17.772365945829097];
std_x_f{65}=[1.7168846103816815,2.5144941961592258,1.3849060523471264];
pred_f{65}=[3.68787130138609];
obs{65}=[3.988441233830533];
sqrt_r{65}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{65}=[3.95347766558419];
L_f{65}=[0.07605853153151917,0.06990286970288301,0.0723859967362306,-0.06507980082829483,0.07462753545598282,0.12706379328551926,0.11768347521944697,0.05958404303682418,-0.14956235105673543,0.1189205698410802,-0.5506105860475582,0.09808325787654938,0.07769241482256163,0.09183616508363086,0.0376194456153139,0.04716631452856204,0.048529672865630556,-0.14669300618897205,0.024747457542333665,0.08181250512215424,0.12771658520495274,0.02840484725105238,0.07224875657637407,0.01545007872868887,0.12179831301741172,-0.4104031668199221,0.0852934810287073,0.12766868718445745,0.03204887272371356,0.0951434218224341,0.057779291916467856,-0.5840986139486823,0.024299930279259786,-0.027559224895463676,0.11312730545175007,-0.1857232218913784,0.04595888449023994,0.06962931616565128,0.02519794972871554,0.12756709207053296,0.12785204258279823,0.07025686227979416,0.024936062931419707,-0.04854859156899265,0.05470381510645099,0.08940502970410624,-0.012282344944759462,-0.34257549865084486,0.06335164121723375,0.03418589073265156,0.06607255143306101,-0.53655170473953,-0.06697120877279487,0.050388387748538765,0.09590235955392706,0.07505860720235936,0.09884410542713709,0.0575219844036657,-0.23202840338521535,0.08838154814024438,-0.5506520818698211,-0.17893928066680523,0.07224405555739419,0.12234413932453507,-0.23043179859594798,0.024103325118955445,0.12262520847348224,0.07641336067366461,0.1276017509591703,0.047482907295282865,0.03412260631649539,0.07862792638456252,0.11371254339303648,0.12660553067241212,-0.1487959744901462,-0.055382638409882605,0.11277486706542307,0.12578881487821417,0.1089195698372516,0.0716738247702789,0.04853828291113706,0.13213427096065336,0.12449276551774183,0.024457979232162665,0.08057290267714173,0.07952452737296951,0.046504935171335256,-0.3895433403814582,0.09545765160684058,-0.04506713173274093,0.02358087793446044,-0.053414579645305674,-0.31038254270039195,0.11737510309888795,0.04506080805320048,0.031167362113367337,0.07682144404844363,-0.6079805710099393,0.1261348482883985,0.12250572316465864;0.08634583555676008,0.11340942860986265,0.07894366542852638,-0.05444236920670104,0.08306317718508732,0.17632713350499388,0.1797722609437603,0.13159971963571593,-0.18017621933860814,0.18043199394324802,-0.8275339675180872,0.17175679664910998,0.09043375662617548,0.1026429182855445,0.08064955377840996,0.027636093882097833,0.030376696181989404,-0.17643908138198183,-0.008433688556956835,0.15642054344404782,0.1764249351081996,-0.0016481394317997716,0.0794313325833308,0.054315360101925864,0.18139448380076853,-0.6000574545945573,0.10561347598230242,0.17793267471129715,0.0982694175969189,0.10742809709582814,0.13050661501146582,-0.8817094750597236,-0.008173793109804477,-0.0020213380926700783,0.18035585960220682,-0.23627255026610702,0.08984719333643643,0.06146508268255353,-0.007391619989499444,0.1768249901842797,0.18273476782565565,0.14397293232634284,-0.0071307422693784,-0.03094717462332859,0.045322252081534065,0.1631351570276425,0.018228625043621282,-0.48961127882239436,0.10839824022486812,0.007685956815063073,0.059879985405163205,-0.805433714089727,-0.05647666245629486,0.12047107852943688,0.10964512431999662,0.14832561050184392,0.11456090227152864,0.05213710959211034,-0.3106003886641046,0.11868378685717552,-0.8280685653925844,-0.22592763876680366,0.07921665995595552,0.18137592690889523,-0.30717100254218954,-0.009071013571527052,0.18132751413342332,0.11881092899125056,0.182883843841192,0.033072347190868975,0.006545796871417031,0.09259469995651044,0.17968463988394884,0.1754450255619666,-0.17867547490582464,-0.0407098784235825,0.17842448326424953,0.1821952713853302,0.13182349869623194,0.07714970468643328,0.11854391801051338,0.18795372179608927,0.1641274465677991,-0.007996764214578364,0.1208351598393754,0.12137966077353689,0.09164830215960246,-0.5665348744533257,0.16888915152723222,-0.02658766469747904,0.06410472702292906,-0.03780939220576883,-0.4368445673706109,0.18138130323045296,0.024198386980150022,0.07313328504397579,0.08787734219893964,-0.9185178702311467,0.17867993730029763,0.1823110601937318;0.11449105513436829,0.0028857958289401128,0.11872441738843276,-0.1904742252293326,0.11520395706118118,0.1012678257231577,0.04789043576469753,-0.09567965853836077,-0.24656710478310398,0.0533335496812601,-0.1470237528656022,-0.018669876196840702,0.1109452060627865,0.14598069782554043,-0.0635118682217847,0.1526695506621112,0.15184273430697295,-0.24489587402571908,0.15223444038447814,-0.05554842363050105,0.10662641164933553,0.14853001429526697,0.11781724006955258,-0.09851759214223921,0.06436903935203855,-0.24349929187658895,0.10070764224742167,0.10302076829386725,-0.1394318648667955,0.14772156482348306,-0.0997412436298243,-0.11295913424146259,0.15004092126493312,-0.15297368787515156,0.02789711099605553,-0.260955672132106,-0.047837287762375676,0.16136095052611218,0.14964985071453302,0.10380979163057649,0.08951932442061966,-0.07652389721838296,0.14991573288718,-0.17389484076060963,0.1316497284932543,-0.03855151126030231,-0.13486805706633226,-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k{65}=[0.7470581385332714;1.0859602297019921;0.39115619724411854];
x_a{65}=[3.912414515617107,5.454166096352872,17.88993573760999];
L_a{65}=[-0.05441814218929893,-0.05001390674174755,-0.05179052742129186,0.04656311111736058,-0.05339429718016127,-0.09091124205123002,-0.08419983871459309,-0.04263102193667138,0.10700844628585092,-0.08508495166203084,0.3939492987719893,-0.07017633086044849,-0.055587148367334624,-0.06570667864616786,-0.026915854136999554,-0.03374642080089113,-0.03472187255295149,0.10495549556671459,-0.0177062406576213,-0.05853497887682941,-0.09137829976029276,-0.020323019462090492,-0.05169233522137971,-0.011054178461823702,-0.08714391117913645,0.2936340925500248,-0.06102553763501191,-0.09134402982058425,-0.022930236460889868,-0.06807294530744476,-0.041339763729258315,0.4179092178930592,-0.017386045122088793,0.019717995980065836,-0.08094000330540736,0.13288072348006674,-0.032882532185294876,-0.049818185433620134,-0.018028557528063854,-0.09127134083692964,-0.09147521642039337,-0.05026718034559283,-0.017841183505902424,0.03473540845311753,-0.039139330313343317,-0.06396725680748037,0.008787737288156185,0.24510494510962447,-0.04532665238555412,-0.024459224038349173,-0.047273401501369515,0.3838904902907118,0.047916370303269507,-0.03605174059997712,-0.06861594792074256,-0.05370271916932897,-0.07072069990568965,-0.041155666080564694,0.16601102326226383,-0.06323497912411154,0.39397898808508425,0.12802696847416473,-0.05168897174966741,-0.08753443743560757,0.16486868900083426,-0.01724537862020986,-0.08773553599226433,-0.05467201433646445,-0.09129613848016599,-0.0339729356947314,-0.02441394548395944,-0.05625648552354312,-0.08135872768598898,-0.09058336561793653,0.1064601213559392,0.0396250128831184,-0.08068784168942665,-0.08999902412038227,-0.07792946457485252,-0.05128098464514261,-0.03472803284386418,-0.09453905302176879,-0.08907173040378838,-0.017499125538167806,-0.05764807163904062,-0.056897983053034173,-0.033273218976218384,0.27870936315655753,-0.06829776954140795,0.03224450345428816,-0.016871579592017006,0.03821691178609345,0.2220716203907585,-0.08397920550532781,-0.032239979006005295,-0.02229953575224799,-0.05496398867079169,0.4349962127238724,-0.090246603122218,-0.08765004698275868;-0.10332143564491901,-0.060907459696325876,-0.10156540038856764,0.1078472252004197,-0.10303561701234072,-0.1405320334513324,-0.11369519314655531,-0.016985095537511284,0.19278763400219748,-0.11612040481242981,0.5455244553508839,-0.07283356681730052,-0.10330793172547996,-0.12636906075616122,-0.01316211271451587,-0.08998261356777235,-0.0906418199448953,0.18936948246996882,-0.07014645958631471,-0.04759542010715445,-0.1420621000113475,-0.07248134852123651,-0.10073549724662093,0.01578747620362621,-0.12233414731811071,0.4233655221033905,-0.1070830022727777,-0.14043491704456182,0.018349096862385086,-0.12983119290733405,-0.013577689656186755,0.5748580919122955,-0.06877056474939741,0.06670314129318061,-0.10174986728183809,0.22686571950608728,-0.02476054406281419,-0.11216964476817592,-0.07022778404220698,-0.1412892536875551,-0.13609005755492826,-0.031226707786069653,-0.0693138388330525,0.0901185191017702,-0.09109273157170748,-0.05981429616625316,0.0488571265768763,0.36466974266608865,-0.04958184003530811,-0.07756344885054331,-0.1048852326354717,0.5325660559213857,0.11052953870537292,-0.005182517616538786,-0.12950672981299766,-0.038848147939319636,-0.13192678784338074,-0.09130554695494127,0.2680091798511503,-0.10171340886561141,0.5450933356689897,0.2202935068623331,-0.10093844693609777,-0.1237138320695097,0.2674571102774292,-0.06917751063562903,-0.12446314739235309,-0.0717411801606018,-0.13531682895187458,-0.08533584810391484,-0.07854579635316224,-0.10347987494408925,-0.10388049570931455,-0.1402713712465328,0.19237726407120098,0.09739788789318732,-0.10280236750089936,-0.1314844800539558,-0.13978939173843552,-0.10158341685868329,-0.002496068999430151,-0.14154970274668785,-0.14632034468774865,-0.06898766275893496,-0.08008960528363974,-0.07693076932178729,-0.024321122620875744,0.4048699225788144,-0.06915373374839405,0.0857963075475453,0.005301057266097916,0.09539062309444134,0.3371568328303125,-0.11131716285229276,-0.08816981589596555,-0.004588811393650583,-0.10369240506080912,0.5976041679560751,-0.13586271815952003,-0.12318164064286335;0.04617407029849017,-0.0599020754764277,0.05370616181890909,-0.1320185112314084,0.048172315699915084,-0.012862897869351209,-0.05781473668750333,-0.14919899532597822,-0.11222781813875136,-0.05348280087029239,0.34754344821027705,-0.10676982114816946,0.04116064122279688,0.06349199115357915,-0.09730225365107069,0.11030401546798617,0.10825260893257657,-0.11313387865787052,0.13000587972727515,-0.12903371922155807,-0.008090660045916557,0.12301632792976784,0.05292225579821222,-0.11239509901710631,-0.04503214597058117,0.1251313713727274,0.02409567863591397,-0.011653280636233405,-0.16821867297083565,0.062262227455351496,-0.15163952420666296,0.41168754704836846,0.12821433672572008,-0.12821955298245097,-0.07371563717892378,-0.09413611516543365,-0.0891182900585149,0.09881878936632067,0.12701665079798571,-0.01077300294951751,-0.0253194172496088,-0.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x_a{65}=[3.9124145156171073,5.45416609635287,17.889935737609974];
std_x_a{65}=[1.2283917263331794,1.8092226690284003,1.2384391041334355];
pred_a{65}=[3.9124145156171073];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.4 to 6.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{66}=[6.390493388289849,9.83536359769901,17.394344368071135];
std_x_f{66}=[1.703912788248121,2.033713792353938,2.819746623921034];
pred_f{66}=[6.390493388289849];
obs{66}=[6.883912686666385];
sqrt_r{66}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{66}=[3.9138074810755556];
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k{66}=[0.7444943306906888;0.8493219353905777;1.1205478503545256];
x_a{66}=[6.757841258584557,10.25443543115523,17.9472443021904];
L_a{66}=[0.07403064344415963,0.04034596854802297,0.07265729285284091,-0.09539375983898532,0.0737287203174738,0.10425929770431772,0.08347953451220062,0.005642173923519815,-0.15984732084112124,0.08541347283746534,-0.33138672713991757,0.05116380739149562,0.0741161505453355,0.09252540311548858,0.0017022968616774638,0.06481022689798992,0.06528785482647201,-0.15792786811547493,0.05013891851625046,0.031028266243767973,0.10554845926419931,0.05185651309766952,0.07209682725951637,-0.021281882966689137,0.09036053716726697,-0.29466931324686335,0.07701027412851943,0.10462957487611169,-0.023435780100286054,0.09521730552270889,0.0036344968870044795,-0.3365798465513765,0.048795710682985924,-0.06289965984136156,0.07423730517423564,-0.1846012895914244,0.011286808675874364,0.08141468666046774,0.05001599330486632,0.10493409648694983,0.10070421211643923,0.01763978759559547,0.04936817239159943,-0.0811805229912535,0.06432656808899206,0.04071377734863648,-0.0483687992822905,-0.2680149404156228,0.03131831004210465,0.05574459030670268,0.07580659034900125,-0.3290714810717468,-0.09698472078923817,-0.00424215360416026,0.09470043439589797,0.023447140106414306,0.09639155613679858,0.06533849092373765,-0.21217700781981352,0.07271145166318854,-0.3311680262074358,-0.1797572668402802,0.07217453536240638,0.09140336727362851,-0.2115575827868921,0.04941843480316418,0.09181105935905694,0.04949975508869524,0.10047395137983706,0.06066415420236435,0.05603960046203401,0.07414657806776577,0.07614228004710702,0.1037551328253198,-0.15999570806391342,-0.08727241185573355,0.07468668028940129,0.09754223544137185,0.10254103698414697,0.07257040640433653,-0.006236600409462873,0.1054030503318792,0.10869801617310469,0.04878381451429099,0.05599236822425156,0.05364968619916686,0.011125166471913688,-0.2865240674621704,0.04818654923432091,-0.07791929892541637,-0.013184793901409466,-0.08543971740204388,-0.2533726572493705,0.08163310709365931,0.06304408153909434,-0.004437805740144899,0.07455214534181857,-0.3401661550325833,0.10077756892912393,0.09080070484926543;0.05860515134650549,0.06293998505844041,0.05552353442575525,-0.01789665695473701,0.05801874861218348,0.09207213941022625,0.09052180523174409,0.06370727011853237,-0.08460119619290873,0.09135812949270014,-0.5315303443630781,0.08217923032906747,0.05994651976015153,0.06643865372629745,0.04676361648721125,0.03631996808664666,0.03732062663485741,-0.08314557229545115,0.02075654146819421,0.07595439086798667,0.0918653705036884,0.023829705617150337,0.05541928327048866,0.03482469423729487,0.0913574007025104,-0.3545979085951644,0.06562575748271546,0.09242468308309974,0.04919652619484213,0.06885176544832719,0.06430114015952489,-0.5775482250766077,0.019828866524644106,0.007261496848104142,0.0886633248655334,-0.11705261905500149,0.05079757472548246,0.05086151309863852,0.02152565948314624,0.0921935915904929,0.09208607704919819,0.07007228828782718,0.020706613240268918,-0.00669142382548498,0.04195759169944107,0.07966259470181344,0.01738451757943093,-0.2749528213929881,0.06008300567605863,0.026826478104926655,0.04919908478683905,-0.513560962071133,-0.019336073100024193,0.059847629031009646,0.06915261218316135,0.07294987292049766,0.07106712260122904,0.04503781582874426,-0.15933756957443357,0.0696804777091459,-0.5312635001917437,-0.1110334215304391,0.05602292633571361,0.09123208435517256,-0.15863063888558943,0.01992008152654547,0.09138351124821532,0.06652216842235652,0.09303855924101075,0.038183197257538916,0.02651471198205594,0.06131378199529059,0.08812631688627427,0.09088418854810569,-0.0850085811330154,-0.011382012957063092,0.08796259092269758,0.09233733270242765,0.07737968160049058,0.055059448111650436,0.058394428885077294,0.09541345463392228,0.0891348093651963,0.019266086122981273,0.0686072063755828,0.06749857520962255,0.05242906654603627,-0.32872758333114416,0.0818253298567421,-0.004060371800832421,0.038897415140280424,-0.009984019756749073,-0.2401842087731289,0.09013464514372116,0.03416102464836671,0.04452738991969509,0.05925319286831358,-0.6107243307162247,0.09158054006386812,0.09127784936621725;0.17181300277979503,0.013104808599318916,0.174185833978061,-0.31524266809751317,0.17292702407065935,0.19859194017623627,0.11420579356179687,-0.13234392441792955,-0.40663182530958075,0.12143775511134185,-0.23061238477216314,3.537642149312884E-4,0.16775672496592806,0.22915053666097743,-0.10029211837709981,0.20023457199279085,0.20010513264202356,-0.4053662557945049,0.18233330813386348,-0.06133837144114839,0.20535476771985406,0.18189813171853736,0.17316802676154333,-0.15890497719976085,0.14004985784508428,-0.38587577433393067,0.1623300940681288,0.20025687363037228,-0.20691840635419956,0.23479558575936044,-0.1375538948237374,-0.1805155643418473,0.17790076138963445,-0.25313405818881096,0.07956096384486509,-0.4295265505606022,-0.07343896592222596,0.23006462205551192,0.18002985471529365,0.20167007025917139,0.17982626163021442,-0.09883439766480398,0.17855783217148405,-0.288250714866287,0.17728836073822177,-0.031639799710421794,-0.221963623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x_a{66}=[6.757841258584557,10.254435431155231,17.947244302190395];
std_x_a{66}=[1.231680989892572,1.5304399169658383,2.185970182948967];
pred_a{66}=[6.757841258584557];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.5 to 6.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{67}=[10.920700534195793,15.102398964529492,24.211462664627852];
std_x_f{67}=[1.3239477996854925,1.5927915342149754,3.301053349704184];
pred_f{67}=[10.920700534195793];
obs{67}=[11.703969332021167];
sqrt_r{67}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{67}=[2.7539494582455903];
L_f{67}=[0.03334189487017264,0.0626102333187694,0.02960997421253814,0.028667837529554124,0.032566427606840524,0.05612576230083109,0.06888787187283535,0.08446246204194094,-0.029840277932873114,0.06911359314246016,-0.47649141007363166,0.08108804878084873,0.034737485394274174,0.029383165380250834,0.06472488712517196,0.009598351537772843,0.010456186970749341,-0.02805611161163636,-3.900230525949894E-4,0.08480067828617528,0.054430536997074216,0.0017734882555344863,0.029630627664310728,0.06103635115945374,0.06581336811694838,-0.3027981924457059,0.04030463318378092,0.05535045259427886,0.0807565828796247,0.030191745219343976,0.08509139393776766,-0.5196088417431232,-4.4821437412181095E-4,0.046810416838933354,0.07372010119464624,-0.061099937659695805,0.06447189170145794,0.016472729697172665,5.803291178970956E-4,0.055395292271065655,0.05944731194976538,0.08533722640276069,-4.6449362106809966E-5,0.037074047029293206,0.018158752354697057,0.08334194246166125,0.05275798562799572,-0.22217200491193173,0.0643237928648535,0.00395216603611351,0.018617187996511058,-0.4587288137200514,0.02743223202369063,0.08415668766684131,0.031532508638919675,0.08549090264547314,0.03280273849699546,0.020957945329215966,-0.10409846193872309,0.04849845634849574,-0.4758717772531075,-0.05559843489393659,0.03067754197350098,0.06512485246343584,-0.10305784642685917,-0.0010022948114898008,0.06456638123045905,0.06070384980541916,0.06045672532047487,0.014786224207967354,0.0030252570729415265,0.03568501904771526,0.07091428380528657,0.05476221943054346,-0.030608875873580136,0.03310480493525159,0.0725437952403984,0.06101539887090806,0.035925718493667366,0.02945412508202372,0.08348057408979538,0.05935620728978405,0.04775175449745256,-9.750853295371356E-4,0.05892187536222251,0.05949780749282286,0.06569509497069093,-0.2764106095232736,0.08197872245200938,0.03882825571194102,0.06283168352526544,0.034551625301506586,-0.18617642383974006,0.07061499694231685,0.008148876521065012,0.06440224177525997,0.03356442445188237,-0.5495339333451451,0.05885567329226016,0.06590132439287215;-0.044971107480379705,0.06515713515404369,-0.04814671035520736,0.21206216176714457,-0.04596255498520041,-0.04870400084705519,0.009636948161141445,0.1633275092264878,0.19409250406979886,0.005604389665575053,-0.4896277585933167,0.08477403288573522,-0.041783909466186396,-0.08078606091337619,0.13080029452845462,-0.07589988788295762,-0.07495966821002338,0.1952576086485612,-0.07243487328354553,0.12352291585584636,-0.053484873546039015,-0.07016090296020763,-0.04859983831529557,0.16037020783474665,-0.0076051743303307716,-0.17562788783605657,-0.03514024938460013,-0.049728810988358664,0.20248560123724194,-0.0837356187076759,0.16705464219031388,-0.5720247266104889,-0.07017162072792799,0.198143238165547,0.033299066192159534,0.16799433871293398,0.11575735450605804,-0.08870506113686344,-0.0705241111374614,-0.050720922505657524,-0.035590239876662065,0.14455071135457306,-0.07014976216240822,0.2072822372954067,-0.05819846192212576,0.10545752196195314,0.18719436124011127,-0.04356479576993645,0.08336346741701303,-0.07330598788342649,-0.07532498057720349,-0.4565085582737492,0.2126332183640575,0.17845369774927058,-0.08110350801130456,0.1364989954108813,-0.080588868688912,-0.05517560367111486,0.12113609037001084,-0.012422880175370823,-0.4894005492585382,0.17307927924903074,-0.046377746898485214,-0.010299022622870113,0.1221720408459829,-0.07229028472371861,-0.011711352961437488,0.04708427791508842,-0.03345750116469272,-0.059179326008665975,-0.07446940088252996,-0.03976667488566212,0.026269955733458826,-0.04979744266286107,0.19411522701169676,0.209494342444388,0.030863135722445534,-0.027323686964608768,-0.08198765889575649,-0.050296717463491805,0.1802527119390536,-0.04374574892128251,-0.07094039594817987,-0.07071010525643334,0.033864302579983664,0.038506587742049306,0.11809416703340049,-0.1316410170081103,0.0909708809644212,0.20574454622666952,0.1512634744907946,0.20915009395107806,0.010777224083230386,0.015131575324119118,-0.07552086412931873,0.13938211096941558,-0.044833150508877394,-0.6304057099579763,-0.03895396678198758,-0.0075778830694099835;0.19098196218798472,0.11811014068168924,0.18637587080651205,-0.2251999467569493,0.19002160585001093,0.2612251663593155,0.2180497547009329,0.041643741733045025,-0.41234407915090066,0.22352195634985528,-0.910925898916424,0.1474784910697831,0.19084828644324156,0.2309541893597621,0.026988683422950684,0.167225409203336,0.1674217397853299,-0.4079419186475123,0.13088485627385565,0.10289684725655791,0.26410687438453506,0.13589429050434615,0.18502071170330567,-0.02917402416168135,0.23320711204120032,-0.8269980639297002,0.19789904335867148,0.26152739624667953,-0.028786302661568355,0.23775937496631705,0.03856063172161688,-0.915342101961046,0.12741490556490553,-0.13757658291699143,0.198144467531862,-0.48738921949776026,0.04941412332654434,0.2050651463636333,0.13131615942077207,0.26336002868403136,0.25409480912864474,0.07189586063586416,0.12940074367865878,-0.18692614195440627,0.1651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k{67}=[0.6368851298247673;0.5654227905952603;1.359527312499916];
x_a{67}=[11.419552784186497,15.545276993982108,25.276337988300423];
L_a{67}=[-0.038398933386264725,-0.07210646509046066,-0.0341009841157353,-0.03301595149021922,-0.0375058492977968,-0.06463848009343152,-0.07933624688898352,-0.09727306939863849,0.03436621850778714,-0.07959620379994883,0.5487619100770689,-0.09338685145766804,-0.04000619619415693,-0.03383977468908654,-0.07454185308995055,-0.011054154622945737,-0.012042099842481198,0.032311443757103195,4.4917870666965503E-4,-0.0976625836443967,-0.06268613623993621,-0.0020424771192747724,-0.03412477012195645,-0.07029386876296614,-0.0757954263873947,0.34872426016811553,-0.04641772553144114,-0.06374557745872696,-0.09300511139428905,-0.03477099361049799,-0.09799739277816971,0.5984190574260868,5.161960338992597E-4,-0.05391025570023886,-0.08490139105843979,0.07036709956753096,-0.07425048529396731,-0.018971184835014806,-6.68348911392425E-4,-0.06379721806789754,-0.06846381648193713,-0.09828051119373102,5.3494439002951036E-5,-0.04269714927061993,-0.020912930256686443,-0.09598259814951766,-0.060759905326653436,0.2558693214685308,-0.07407992398113568,-0.004551599749897411,-0.021440897840425972,0.5283052216733629,-0.03159293898009943,-0.09692091755164839,-0.03631511356635226,-0.09845749585012031,-0.037778001980325625,-0.024136682985269563,0.11988730458068744,-0.0558543238743322,0.5480482961840397,0.06403117177910399,-0.03533047222665854,-0.07500248205062043,0.11868885662575364,0.0011543150696640646,-0.07435930625762116,-0.06991093619737167,-0.06962632979835198,-0.01702888334951952,-0.0034841044659441587,-0.04109744436050734,-0.08167000917544945,-0.06306812567748235,0.03525139138836131,-0.038125883499537105,-0.08354667219333312,-0.07026973859474117,-0.04137465122074173,-0.03392149700487257,-0.09614225634155127,-0.06835889377783104,-0.054994368111492414,0.001122978665748098,-0.06785868577169031,-0.06852197079505347,-0.07565921449295356,0.3183344145157182,-0.09441261556318677,-0.04471742264179113,-0.07236150313676054,-0.03979214629240001,0.214414211458347,-0.08132532881582073,-0.009384834542958069,-0.0741702714102979,-0.03865521451899037,0.6328829534787326,-0.0677824426881939,-0.07589672318510979;-0.10866218364592141,-0.05444354004979556,-0.10470891625783564,0.1572996645933675,-0.10817230128856448,-0.15591776945470623,-0.12195553365247883,0.0019837966393878386,0.25109464573043266,-0.12641927431786018,0.42058597729052233,-0.07012373495637954,-0.10814090077280118,-0.13691500713869825,0.007160119554977782,-0.09423505873141562,-0.09493351202868722,0.24885156149748078,-0.07168983500525129,-0.03846687148662768,-0.15746035217767781,-0.0735486940861102,-0.10520149730165072,0.04377602787884948,-0.13332461102609197,0.4027898299613946,-0.1121318382528398,-0.15546155070535522,0.048221013364152514,-0.1414091478164284,0.004509517702779939,0.42055372295316074,-0.06931542296376897,0.10872403041390818,-0.10752414131906168,0.28470998424977034,-0.007399538072580237,-0.12017195544152925,-0.07163267998734184,-0.1565393168406828,-0.14914897095575208,-0.01846401254573539,-0.07006103265644231,0.13646184864317182,-0.0928860669247094,-0.053745727456797385,0.08641385989016427,0.38083742077462324,-0.03951052059609545,-0.08085558004083457,-0.11088830843517603,0.41977432629948463,0.1602310262866446,0.017694088108022303,-0.1413382192426892,-0.026809287248386278,-0.14325002589625185,-0.09521034367116435,0.31998930773727663,-0.10506665129968563,0.4196295382057861,0.2792857250825125,-0.10497926519892778,-0.134703228042791,0.3190374311241386,-0.07037565943239989,-0.13504874337356407,-0.06887474410670152,-0.14894445570338846,-0.08742458729022885,-0.08024837293565805,-0.10793368443886182,-0.10919346254718192,-0.15440651489243792,0.25258557646834445,0.14625616534657887,-0.1077130431655463,-0.1438778429863294,-0.15061446255498498,-0.10656121386638785,0.02078464261067191,-0.15713044808465515,-0.16215778609886017,-0.06884745665072951,-0.0786907176468087,-0.07514860202636879,-0.007399339372677027,0.39637004093148503,-0.06562828881808748,0.13157319509159338,0.03123977587980545,0.1431481403341533,0.3664191825615086,-0.11976013272652503,-0.09108718743480826,0.016358266580499683,-0.10894931194905483,0.41933689586933565,-0.15138252505763103,-0.1334653375065415;0.03784035019458236,-0.16946295901927938,0.050375226582547304,-0.35687329252016103,0.04044176823137671,0.0034356871897620227,-0.09835696982624938,-0.34629814460544567,-0.27528563412954526,-0.09392152146402873,1.2776318577383807,-0.2249644835137586,0.03129663136812946,0.09599529367246815,-0.2702971663775991,0.123139521682623,0.11939575523226079,-0.27907827201906377,0.13267625892873028,-0.2865984895095728,0.014103681408978384,0.12774853720023877,0.048925204757531274,-0.3095181750610373,-0.06907820567663155,0.5637748204664721,0.012777096312743355,0.007298967782788081,-0.39970683160631454,0.09908661657067201,-0.3522699819893275,1.4712569782775722,0.12947358495427197,-0.3525800409001291,-0.14045701799331983,-0.2067530114377062,-0.2467097011252551,0.1294047680444225,0.12865066794383206,0.008925648506503467,-0.01895077559623414,-0.32006387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x_a{67}=[11.419552784186491,15.545276993982108,25.276337988300398];
std_x_a{67}=[1.5247538739165787,1.725790401361521,3.6797101916676698];
pred_a{67}=[11.419552784186491];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.6 to 6.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{68}=[12.735741878199946,10.45320127036836,34.76124965717269];
std_x_f{68}=[1.1208704439073784,3.5174998301097546,2.076740177917627];
pred_f{68}=[12.735741878199946];
obs{68}=[13.336940149499307];
sqrt_r{68}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{68}=[2.25883339119466];
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k{68}=[0.5572935994756494;1.3103066484694779;0.07227313616694495];
x_a{68}=[13.070785826810905,11.240955362300271,34.804700141697644];
L_a{68}=[0.0979409118127823,-0.05844813650238637,0.10017995941945174,-0.3478814802473059,0.09902119447798298,0.12324392723236166,0.03998232599440583,-0.200679864864508,-0.38045656596693544,0.047152551742439985,0.5325787195532569,-0.07274044481772261,0.09371128889251008,0.15333916346177565,-0.167692227958478,0.12885903469352158,0.12858745238724317,-0.3793836942034404,0.11456527425668994,-0.132297870170719,0.13010037005539413,0.1132203012448503,0.09971342799725877,-0.22263977439440769,0.06560101433083888,0.04783052659030312,0.08773893354967661,0.12531188344920063,-0.27276346726065254,0.1588823674146338,-0.20667072375539983,0.6693895789281484,0.10978343069821382,-0.3031092808906128,0.005683274616382797,-0.36536072122891433,-0.14218659080397597,0.15513724385194108,0.11187245998127454,0.127080347123885,0.10522359682550544,-0.16907602815056755,0.11198676609284836,-0.33020564040237366,0.10578772915545905,-0.10441545860631854,-0.2771687036393083,-0.13164867937735453,-0.08670066018579119,0.11961650133182354,0.13585913446293865,0.47622300606564205,-0.35008963239817886,-0.22678509497027086,0.15547670782271053,-0.15427712390723858,0.15573209271577393,0.10389017026106165,-0.32471270331576535,0.05689169991883661,0.5313872587533728,-0.3683683475086917,0.09809745259914249,0.06912848367565397,-0.3255763570313834,0.11413252736000386,0.07026715554490183,-0.0302661139839379,0.1030602006907045,0.10531717669989082,0.12112743930862217,0.0920023904876527,0.016237123395630815,0.12400685490678952,-0.3789998577548732,-0.33717818265124233,0.009314336321674162,0.09424331123559575,0.1630667046248025,0.1024225257756782,-0.230479619919938,0.11938343235491441,0.15300905822396926,0.11133383233203319,-0.009450415720860767,-0.016826936229576712,-0.1451693970361201,-0.013187634244535586,-0.08156149987825406,-0.32499314207840996,-0.2053296831203465,-0.3348686428841449,-0.20019610466200613,0.03290555502528067,0.1273794784222774,-0.18242691696530164,0.098398866548498,0.7674354916084568,0.10927585518368643,0.06614254020001664;0.3517962351864085,-0.037838464716230966,0.3496695955869886,-0.961693189772784,0.3535269928065793,0.47381474071300617,0.25981149102255374,-0.4032041718028726,-1.192505871756925,0.2812527658985108,0.6249266029211393,-0.040528438946237304,0.34259427573835466,0.5031647583656641,-0.3511867056590503,0.38955276949422696,0.3912614456239984,-1.1838925322463365,0.32729485033533046,-0.20441859051395764,0.49020523563272256,0.3272683061372851,0.3487783244759779,-0.5206068117985987,0.32760739832277286,-0.49213471390335967,0.3366606549858244,0.4774562898320074,-0.623323822958997,0.5210043720175929,-0.4192362091339643,0.9538776031227767,0.31330807948032247,-0.7883960295290205,0.17190367414094462,-1.2177655473566442,-0.27759484184471667,0.4800569105866309,0.3213339538392305,0.482632097225232,0.4274514821009003,-0.30911149896167384,0.3216823425617647,-0.8908362374330694,0.3418427818594886,-0.12643516502709334,-0.6989494664864008,-0.8657080895337774,-0.1163516031366739,0.3514497555499618,0.4299775357507969,0.4891170496548492,-0.9720964645965584,-0.4805850090776842,0.51458472671485,-0.266344405402736,0.51731028177015,0.34249948259770535,-1.192348806892142,0.2645105464786283,0.6229735774994563,-1.2143007303086002,0.34602147501379044,0.3364210851149868,-1.1916506809849308,0.3246965539244285,0.3381637727013421,0.03944959429069115,0.4240931023353759,0.33281464134604993,0.3538221228138549,0.33992609117110384,0.19572481795602295,0.47229417381715433,-1.1893550044702599,-0.920180590778351,0.17972295997781496,0.3998311737528753,0.5449909850871483,0.35617087859323837,-0.49267515863077366,0.4688237322147356,0.5411154783202091,0.3168922334452063,0.09592036285164335,0.07600850098015537,-0.2841200439105127,-0.6224386494463237,-0.06297554035322676,-0.8716312122288403,-0.46583305096716354,-0.9102380906750739,-0.9958756736379568,0.2441391055166815,0.3827212495255997,-0.3950832895369904,0.3537915766958711,1.1920212099821978,0.43951123150453203,0.3302033094532388;-0.09241905227207664,-0.10324104593444741,-0.08376689849929121,0.0957574449210467,-0.09058622114162058,-0.15365586364908237,-0.1541127197772651,-0.09416810292768873,0.22998752894122493,-0.15757574109795608,0.6184468549196057,-0.14001385734381033,-0.09333171199888438,-0.10106120897227393,-0.06390349051435604,-0.04881542596249174,-0.05024785878417832,0.22626344785369662,-0.022585596510607826,-0.12431344588924702,-0.15121498885578621,-0.025454494475578085,-0.0847393583052727,-0.03139344457333234,-0.15559146273479652,0.5111351842812155,-0.10428922499352279,-0.15155545500479928,-0.05383199905659056,-0.10427556204655948,-0.0939810756643997,0.6501953353340991,-0.021401486080429504,0.03600860404079539,-0.15302931929713617,0.28318327976004776,-0.07390376570068338,-0.07282754498127642,-0.02367820285367362,-0.15240916886551537,-0.15436109513418558,-0.11049979591044587,-0.02243067303390023,0.0700159970367504,-0.06143031508439207,-0.13263107169049776,0.01119516400957138,0.4562690535896362,-0.09595897469007711,-0.0339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x_a{68}=[13.070785826810903,11.240955362300284,34.80470014169765];
std_x_a{68}=[2.2031560846750384,5.672393468862,2.0922198375929546];
pred_a{68}=[13.070785826810903];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.7 to 6.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{69}=[8.145573450430144,1.791080580507274,33.45619437213286];
std_x_f{69}=[2.8182296647684493,2.7386960840903574,3.595869833765951];
pred_f{69}=[8.145573450430144];
obs{69}=[7.918321440188732];
sqrt_r{69}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{69}=[8.980351455242802];
L_f{69}=[0.19476399015709964,0.042243916667627196,0.19158156299801307,-0.4908852767376549,0.1951525640116022,0.2553965474914,0.18040018697064375,-0.14006848388097234,-0.6450507568272215,0.18889840710031436,0.03204499555911481,0.05084784451221023,0.19230882156777027,0.2476539264632652,-0.1183517351771081,0.19434981740705645,0.19599350346931355,-0.6396596727881408,0.1653618081770914,-0.030906843960460194,0.259370001438628,0.16661338236419745,0.19125533180879184,-0.21537928959693148,0.20531668603118258,-0.30743738580580604,0.1933695475273892,0.25526609770420333,-0.269267508727967,0.25424901124399757,-0.14843360514961795,0.07702313711410676,0.16058329931655851,-0.3793048348953119,0.14532060237597613,-0.6649732597458455,-0.07844090896976491,0.23109105981260483,0.16375722025563536,0.25730459887314083,0.239799363128937,-0.0872404038181509,0.1630459401373729,-0.4450285372006983,0.18235252512650563,0.008684118824656688,-0.32319600435122536,-0.4826165722562562,0.0046534366529751925,0.17706979947822094,0.21441334710577603,0.006646560352518765,-0.49725248473122,-0.18426880696491,0.2530143776644722,-0.063600021777847,0.2548794065224634,0.1839898757097262,-0.6542057337089336,0.16951255047707148,0.03221704955108252,-0.6622854279587997,0.19129144703324213,0.20892283037901152,-0.654081870943758,0.16397130276047467,0.20941083366850602,0.07770181713736093,0.2394062368149658,0.17648922290917646,0.17731882727660012,0.1913525385062029,0.1537931792146527,0.2538391019852157,-0.6434537994052815,-0.4643781950393469,0.14781685239603717,0.23061561050185186,0.2658203252471741,0.19471351951546223,-0.19206667942638442,0.25482480157337223,0.2725307207315365,0.16098367743025296,0.10242470149080037,0.09454929729915569,-0.08098778123060904,-0.36546886061873507,0.04028182103819781,-0.4324487777239297,-0.18326482742460012,-0.45756854995973834,-0.5495505374118147,0.17480265778875906,0.1915525848202583,-0.14347749146173142,0.19564382762132204,0.09439034243446179,0.24482247405355906,0.20753415489846136;0.14044984326696536,0.19014181926282656,0.1333778712400758,-0.26804167622360947,0.13868417339220768,0.15992157549832628,0.21499541012754575,0.1171810142769877,-0.48254724134881505,0.2132874931203934,-0.6434071434350697,0.22042719533590732,0.1435896271205118,0.10301907367017359,0.10979542041347432,0.09168049210943276,0.0927585211773687,-0.4745875604401814,0.08357137158169449,0.1892881894172551,0.152276911681774,0.08656950747014286,0.1342287300783188,0.03070293293697598,0.20182801119225735,-0.38498490333939067,0.15444974403041567,0.15661791356979826,0.0032250365648976314,0.09897418753207202,0.11187010985099306,-0.8443244060809404,0.08555036327000674,-0.13580446326248088,0.2258314743831126,-0.5254105042991648,0.13541543984245147,0.08554658688871858,0.08527563191728522,0.15565864299296012,0.17453661563007425,0.1564887559324731,0.0854384858024411,-0.21210185256645003,0.11459655835979562,0.20767975575420305,-0.0751161841811148,-0.4522786860052299,0.17867991852817666,0.08799238619621713,0.09998606919538391,-0.5753212379266885,-0.27720088036956203,0.08232711441902982,0.1034782609148906,0.17174941786209993,0.10454540850867089,0.1199436262600644,-0.5411604136576884,0.17701801421681934,-0.6415525009279456,-0.5181516786557412,0.1362840721163525,0.20077494655879102,-0.5401647911763086,0.08262220594617238,0.1994664179012652,0.1965214810838889,0.17738872497914684,0.10951930884600089,0.08541883829763554,0.14549911705254936,0.22046901679336794,0.15695325313872205,-0.48077808170937353,-0.23553339928988265,0.2232896653111467,0.18261313025935416,0.10232762180184633,0.1329308884782411,0.07487485086643866,0.1667567415288283,0.12577536277083484,0.08369545406647447,0.19715153212208592,0.19774472137965218,0.1357207123545604,-0.4011339622000144,0.21849700852769105,-0.19715638458484872,0.05912328486470202,-0.22831374678703692,-0.4886803869179334,0.21937723774896317,0.09035258951419828,0.09225744039567241,0.13958034887961984,-1.0157558155225195,0.17310478358739173,0.20276644094272064;0.23045586173286448,-0.10525040066068225,0.2298870374090483,-0.6148094430885709,0.23281251068862974,0.32708135815480244,0.13902329485743134,-0.39342850347307223,-0.6054568001491719,0.15772280760469218,0.47398619311112555,-0.11998081177967493,0.2225716816208736,0.35768466024492784,-0.34096582224883726,0.2691139668685091,0.27078259826421025,-0.605918971797417,0.2219595567571783,-0.25078794012471617,0.34134459640541354,0.22121295642241595,0.22922607341302215,-0.44661258237509577,0.19800402779404122,-0.18950840629734056,0.21567854111335816,0.32985254468370556,-0.524529759445146,0.37295438154751903,-0.4050508148434728,0.6451035492348282,0.21068096807604056,-0.570164074386548,0.06154519376728254,-0.5790558590833934,-0.28914356584051054,0.34123153964781294,0.21676270987178847,0.3343199628906825,0.28642748311282606,-0.32908194714598354,0.21752851480725244,-0.6001047643268562,0.22779259727568182,-0.19012111706625331,-0.5348049818349843,-0.3821421713940638,-0.16808433614721163,0.2399291369470425,0.29964372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k{69}=[0.8886457835215132;0.5656574477311329;1.0115579058029818];
x_a{69}=[7.943626909732326,1.6625337884023481,33.22631580456354];
L_a{69}=[-0.07371740158035607,-0.01598915573049869,-0.07251286546103759,0.1857981398202242,-0.07386447525066185,-0.09666658522693791,-0.06828075876530963,0.053015368326950404,0.24414916557413244,-0.07149730154363276,-0.012128904344004005,-0.01924570846170561,-0.07278812995934819,-0.09373603372634953,0.04479566465415589,-0.07356063882911998,-0.0741827675163878,0.24210866154285898,-0.06258879174539189,0.011698118455967528,-0.09817052186354412,-0.06306250763550132,-0.07238938824348612,0.08152021105391098,-0.07771155531933778,0.11636383713426965,-0.07318961054859308,-0.0966172104973429,0.1019166893090981,-0.09623224728638964,0.056181533711689643,-0.029152953402934053,-0.060780145001489136,0.14356538296835025,-0.05500327444825884,0.2516897542987386,0.029689574454641116,-0.08746705406936175,-0.061981461550105164,-0.09738877514423375,-0.09076311250468015,0.033020148524927795,-0.061712244832621874,0.16844154489276927,-0.0690197110518197,-0.0032869047006706805,0.12232841205762848,0.18266846780891963,-0.0017613074069772344,-0.06702022024379423,-0.08115460563338846,-0.0025156968607979026,0.18820810291570483,0.06974501616447835,-0.09576494334938904,0.02407235722648262,-0.09647084941124644,-0.0696394417852767,0.2476142881910169,-0.06415983132379362,-0.012194026100901324,0.2506724205756709,-0.07240305771340108,-0.079076466722268,0.24756740662325885,-0.06206249093324663,-0.07926117404129139,-0.02940983111312256,-0.09061431574643236,-0.06680047430382927,-0.06711447628261832,-0.07242618059480081,-0.058210111342149554,-0.09607709824977018,0.24354472349279604,0.17576531401550888,-0.05594809522865782,-0.08728709838174409,-0.10061194396695439,-0.07369829864169303,0.07269648011452036,-0.09645018165353006,-0.10315180217321085,-0.06093168653731109,-0.03876734526467142,-0.03578653586076241,0.03065355555338088,0.13832852131246048,-0.015246510278751249,0.16368015558058024,0.06936501387097545,0.17318789022916992,0.2080027094454658,-0.06616211606228319,-0.07250189733512875,0.054305664241603525,-0.0740504165880228,-0.03572637207183874,-0.09266434016444626,-0.07855085853370122;-0.03044895761597965,0.15307421401776217,-0.034728457662054055,0.16269351819240754,-0.03255558787943781,-0.06418023963042437,0.05670035975671563,0.24008636201319788,0.08346293723444353,0.047535542587328214,-0.6715255410450933,0.17580993499116995,-0.025154846530055345,-0.11428885390096477,0.21364505713466084,-0.07885488622151098,-0.07921913596928974,0.0866921246006361,-0.061528011042913326,0.216407897570998,-0.07531147462677772,-0.059628089088262025,-0.03359134201112465,0.21969096043346575,0.02166957730678289,-0.11521901623459632,-0.01522548070210501,-0.06736943629158265,0.23949815009696682,-0.12412070342916307,0.24211556800956066,-0.9119095986128133,-0.05535603977138906,0.19702267485696812,0.09831757065989873,0.05808099542889747,0.20424467912989816,-0.11722798650591747,-0.05841577918513946,-0.07011742256010944,-0.035879198803450287,0.2330392537377388,-0.057628801101228894,0.178395606973905,-0.04541160257878216,0.20005973578715583,0.2084773566435054,-0.028798999548290592,0.17459668556844576,-0.06738036201561781,-0.08815437650055237,-0.5811533693865414,0.15912132327847373,0.2440167477287212,-0.11853328092158928,0.22755628159084135,-0.11910263294555513,-0.04150125432608145,0.032882946880476764,0.02827649589110679,-0.6698218700850745,0.06298133976881864,-0.03156768985861487,0.017452243219000237,0.03376988398307789,-0.06125705529907077,0.015715508213195242,0.12834076983182655,-0.032682134436773515,-0.04534400310202386,-0.07017242336781676,-0.022406250619573038,0.08552071402672404,-0.06578195633960641,0.08383082085643165,0.1719427292511073,0.09358538679232282,-0.01974425247789833,-0.13092070504960596,-0.037923626127097924,0.24340685299404818,-0.056843385933111217,-0.11336110870531407,-0.05756226720102148,0.10727732769932759,0.1147809172405138,0.20678474573833563,-0.08044742261218789,0.18315107570275502,0.18230276233805795,0.21993196015226815,0.17318714897296097,-0.006468414404424099,0.06599382953703423,-0.0777283120190119,0.21815407675398701,-0.032090479560811964,-1.098580142154811,-0.04171864045110883,0.02066225327541235;-0.07516025597016383,-0.1715379202279153,-0.07073533872784979,0.15546874023026472,-0.07341334207249603,-0.07367702257111869,-0.1440536986381171,-0.1736384579840526,0.4067318896795817,-0.13868926411204463,0.42370242593892987,-0.1997692820243749,-0.0791918805251842,-0.030924299134903282,-0.1552528585789658,-0.03585224697998879,-0.03676282415700433,0.3978102375446946,-0.037519794588371826,-0.20229011640468395,-0.06564877451681723,-0.04023031671264062,-0.07088439336402476,-0.10864773442165222,-0.12417097197818472,0.2929104443893312,-0.08774947116777906,-0.0707011392834046,-0.10200560303086734,-0.026003329698527283,-0.17213454471623163,0.5242418225925777,-0.04130013205177923,0.02502639677389966,-0.1664862728533567,0.4643944514998225,-0.1660571264576488,-0.021387610220902485,-0.04019878419083639,-0.0694324582386786,-0.08985639938521703,-0.1921876809100041,-0.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x_a{69}=[7.943626909732325,1.662533788402347,33.22631580456353];
std_x_a{69}=[1.066688805131941,2.1792181443342624,2.0294134911768578];
pred_a{69}=[7.943626909732325];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.8 to 6.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 6.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{70}=[3.2934658664983387,0.4933243871124177,25.94995161308217];
std_x_f{70}=[1.4610038497229685,2.2335729404917397,1.1808232079762522];
pred_f{70}=[3.2934658664983387];
obs{70}=[3.4183096822055012];
sqrt_r{70}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{70}=[3.135077628034671];
L_f{70}=[-0.023353353706419857,0.11399629904947402,-0.025869194878611126,0.10521344233772445,-0.024451760715926467,-0.049235808379184655,0.039317301389497544,0.18253553522431845,0.021416311327246983,0.03226235120974436,-0.43540765320666364,0.1310764585368206,-0.019137540105634968,-0.08343871414000352,0.1614562936738957,-0.056682869398603626,-0.056962503313527375,0.024552356428884963,-0.04312682666840718,0.163196525948487,-0.057437802602980544,-0.041773837049452325,-0.024969412354469627,0.16552006623464705,0.013471436364415727,-0.08365408798073043,-0.012320015991401177,-0.05223903176746915,0.18056770273781877,-0.09032711795427797,0.1840555514808449,-0.5829207430429499,-0.03856696036506732,0.1413145453946601,0.07052817902303674,-0.0025258302690772815,0.15461088253771793,-0.08458836221925549,-0.04073204143439602,-0.05360479545080722,-0.02895336659053883,0.17651079850067714,-0.040794515635237824,0.12192253758833145,-0.032620517393516,0.14998171896069548,0.15361754008181489,-0.04039711034293563,0.13088240248126262,-0.04769824302880581,-0.06405781690735747,-0.3789399062164124,0.1022651216042841,0.18560094851106088,-0.08587914157607399,0.17167541325926752,-0.08676151982133412,-0.030553926007091507,-0.0206184031812218,0.01965159815357844,-0.43478367107306076,0.0019911489399330588,-0.02349520299577679,0.010291711030691365,-0.020007461194676793,-0.04313909044951606,0.008501316290276988,0.09485366786841747,-0.026511388205356073,-0.03170239479491064,-0.049960261545509525,-0.017355653899547477,0.061170689326028815,-0.05001706403740121,0.021766740349575854,0.11435219163768114,0.06699347766265308,-0.016833407876153592,-0.09606093170514277,-0.028036130013205308,0.1850590275270177,-0.044268928534364295,-0.08401361448378862,-0.040472194974273616,0.07869355687356998,0.08412489950619814,0.15657360092676448,-0.06414503455870733,0.13641124059344908,0.12579580236335458,0.16695094154473838,0.11701242381724154,-0.03335208551096388,0.04623282134572432,-0.05602596052455229,0.1650514531116576,-0.024422334619901356,-0.693735523015844,-0.033013803012393844,0.01292683796570311;0.020148161198283086,0.20138833708755466,0.01433450745121692,0.013621238173029576,0.017633642648572992,-0.006290231977845267,0.11834423033960989,0.2595143786913055,-0.17812574783517757,0.10897277686174973,-0.6703696472501315,0.2324199564900385,0.025753036685443417,-0.06453592544316705,0.23144238238593565,-0.03526962800734181,-0.03490101092957488,-0.17138964930732664,-0.02142358146799737,0.26134365902251816,-0.018870128743181707,-0.018811439083421738,0.015300538230870324,0.2069562501967518,0.08297305325989353,-0.22526699090338467,0.03698801697279719,-0.010407959206011433,0.2145187162551076,-0.07386035063416184,0.2591630137363764,-0.8753221604444095,-0.014663025576246316,0.11274795671975771,0.16014169856943777,-0.22454114354569057,0.23237334563077666,-0.07100418959724729,-0.017806447421596337,-0.013241606934945353,0.0224474344244151,0.26542560376608015,-0.01767581386910615,0.057232334432234334,6.450016158642269E-4,0.2511698379744979,0.15107678748120107,-0.21757079796785989,0.218229856236241,-0.025004187793498438,-0.04167873555272905,-0.590896830657215,0.0072351349521281305,0.24948554956043056,-0.06810605634913917,0.2658080497401933,-0.06760823553325886,0.004848561459811481,-0.24873563583162697,0.08265030688115307,-0.6680964921679781,-0.2165352991368867,0.01850514697954843,0.07798521793200261,-0.24860420650560014,-0.02145132521436288,0.07542949605955847,0.18059203629316115,0.027492912395670026,-0.0011717535609282522,-0.02863331990559075,0.028179598883295836,0.1463208875852146,-0.008633963567596327,-0.17740818772493114,0.03927543149957872,0.15502261098225506,0.03933844422858467,-0.07985855563977577,0.011320119052230524,0.24633706134904124,0.0011507302877250256,-0.058993294333425025,-0.017433982076692837,0.16040435649647514,0.16807132511412878,0.23475810042934298,-0.2139554769219784,0.23895068419310506,0.06855982414797135,0.21872310014496552,0.04499799686717655,-0.23121342377520251,0.12803338991968294,-0.03552284377465704,0.22914281202866077,0.01788999444953164,-1.0271316092104414,0.01725777643210473,0.081948482497053;-0.07782432850022816,-0.05195393779970566,-0.07650072556466159,0.15574190613813146,-0.07765002090075962,-0.08929581819009717,-0.08585348237312158,0.002981614535648074,0.26254582613727745,-0.08706387945948958,0.1415842183402712,-0.05769132445031014,-0.07788414671499701,-0.078108186058996,-0.002979862816508396,-0.06980316138528213,-0.07045681480813398,0.2587257129673709,-0.06477827050586318,-0.032322249265085916,-0.08891354826995698,-0.06455325228242485,-0.07674419196305955,0.03061671034700327,-0.08885710971732785,0.12376034989037017,-0.08015491195501924,-0.08881193406913764,0.04826519218842811,-0.07912210482167858,0.004829315813780861,0.24010162737443844,-0.06471056772154707,0.0987911591337594,-0.07999726181439197,0.28529334841706755,-0.016261795942303602,-0.07293588073544789,-0.06531412812925937,-0.08883976483717987,-0.0900736076700034,-0.01455216631477671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k{70}=[0.6810286319363377;0.9645015170746815;-0.1183644732915322];
x_a{70}=[3.3784880795150998,0.613736436759368,25.935174540592286];
L_a{70}=[0.021919794341741856,-0.10699856912616452,0.024281199122579124,-0.09875485324386811,0.02295077499037111,0.04621343929820462,-0.036903785698803024,-0.1713304839414532,-0.02010165844929247,-0.030281907788868852,0.4086798981033228,-0.12303025296881126,0.01796277094056268,0.07831677955468484,-0.15154520404231156,0.053203358093088106,0.053465826515532354,-0.023045195576272035,0.040479461025915174,-0.15317861113430523,0.05391194927830825,0.03920952547118366,0.023436650278356633,-0.1553595195322017,-0.012644484312961007,0.07851893254541449,0.01156374455735023,0.049032308050892946,-0.16948344801054005,0.08478233464582603,-0.17275719310528495,0.5471378100835369,0.036199504799860595,-0.1326398688380318,-0.06619876523591262,0.0023707806911304257,-0.1451200024984133,0.07939585580982891,0.038231681093231176,0.050314233526545855,0.027176047138411825,-0.1656755792281715,0.03829032027847755,-0.11443825084637992,0.030618087730608028,-0.1407750028526145,-0.14418763695391673,0.03791730994398357,-0.12284810915845859,0.04477025830197692,0.060125590107609726,0.3556784570029141,-0.09598751691423674,-0.17420772502907303,0.08060739991598669,-0.16113701695624993,0.08143561285323216,0.028678355272978684,0.019352730364515288,-0.018445273232622555,0.40809421948031005,-0.0018689210901263753,0.022052936128969237,-0.00965994829065489,0.018779291411457316,0.04049097198760125,-0.007979457985331912,-0.0890310196288437,0.024883971033921974,0.02975632462818889,0.04689342148045101,0.016290266868177913,-0.05741569055242523,0.04694673711794021,-0.02043057617979875,-0.10733261503834296,-0.06288104359930723,0.015800079224360376,0.0901641748642723,0.02631511566832721,-0.17369907018364772,0.041551454296509784,0.07885638930244011,0.03798778546102685,-0.07386290656038107,-0.07896084302823911,-0.1469622382637558,0.06020745385208895,-0.12803755628846952,-0.1180737529831152,-0.15670255971907032,-0.1098295472995631,0.031304748108514524,-0.04339479239156062,0.0525867739569727,-0.15491967250162533,0.022923155232572726,0.6511501595545022,0.030987231280255788,-0.012133316407541908;0.08426590592664357,-0.11159393065511462,0.08535961392656785,-0.27524727821259715,0.0847671161295891,0.12888902462216933,0.010396707016362316,-0.24164562592722266,-0.2369252504661865,0.020394955226031092,0.5250627994996829,-0.1274567025120912,0.07829606440846142,0.1645490377251289,-0.21184356072570412,0.12035588926350577,0.12149225457135004,-0.2387993131088132,0.09698317492472691,-0.1867201746719045,0.13882809359151707,0.0958806198787391,0.08385524893697956,-0.24748697400435904,0.045986583188123285,0.004409291401104227,0.07081320757781212,0.1330167902252674,-0.28123851056012444,0.17413705324401374,-0.24617026790026653,0.7251144992812323,0.09122440073188165,-0.2752378573061015,-0.03349677561305377,-0.21760635625750158,-0.19211819521608406,0.1612371871208791,0.09402531206730598,0.13393291172898397,0.10194028120849279,-0.21919319926923247,0.09432747151333744,-0.27751179868015685,0.09020618556562503,-0.16061211382281443,-0.2706874843482801,-0.1066586077405645,-0.14111401262406714,0.10595360991551077,0.13419505131124967,0.4495007276383866,-0.27353862645566906,-0.26009069321716916,0.16767921656229418,-0.20553497284536057,0.17059964887092496,0.08873582034346214,-0.19212682801330652,0.02869590830716669,0.525622781918913,-0.22200209337345392,0.08301234568694857,0.049728835188032484,-0.19367276900546054,0.09698910197341813,0.05208872733711194,-0.07983322593647635,0.10028119123196394,0.08586868107176412,0.10853495736229028,0.07583037317097527,-0.021626153014181526,0.12869026764680713,-0.2371698099247846,-0.27468395629224046,-0.028911172286666616,0.08555536718877109,0.18388130694559823,0.08829464913283562,-0.26175131155964676,0.12269318174231508,0.1716700851064886,0.09368435658160199,-0.05565255142417233,-0.06289759265439723,-0.1951221772227138,-0.03784222984276223,-0.13557287299711254,-0.27681854185586174,-0.23964866036077623,-0.2762651850585161,-0.13964368472044028,0.0010989772275073707,0.11829909889933779,-0.22401381252710909,0.08494267718258876,0.8775523061236401,0.10789874477744113,0.046457233263672876;-0.08569291444753858,-0.013544479011802106,-0.08521698901225847,0.1911921041805293,-0.08588869972929303,-0.10588513528721372,-0.07260606750120494,0.06448441046837941,0.26976175274341935,-0.07619353139096335,-0.0051203014662990955,-0.01352694477997184,-0.08433227322540397,-0.10622169394301292,0.051420577457642676,-0.08890166154975605,-0.08964953370971175,0.2669982861146086,-0.0793092516463506,0.02266453793777811,-0.10826641262031145,-0.07862836249163577,-0.08515728627212087,0.08638638195582973,-0.08431809762511648,0.09557427480260741,-0.08430596905453672,-0.10641314528847565,0.10910495448391044,-0.10955656404029968,0.06684425996754019,0.04369463483860748,-0.07770516567839696,0.14640511899671893,-0.056233778191159954,0.28444230523027714,0.03583217877889878,-0.10143674646255992,-0.0790382198749278,-0.10690115103014934,-0.09982903964545489,0.04492067883162034,-0.0776911054066658,0.172339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x_a{70}=[3.3784880795150993,0.6137364367593695,25.935174540592293];
std_x_a{70}=[1.3713192683591693,2.114836424511247,1.1770223906467818];
pred_a{70}=[3.3784880795150993];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 6.9 to 7.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{71}=[1.9860582692080981,1.6488029619306048,20.41221726404212];
std_x_f{71}=[1.9104000577034987,2.4958471732519407,1.3245066855378154];
pred_f{71}=[1.9860582692080981];
obs{71}=[2.121891331446414];
sqrt_r{71}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{71}=[4.655101526339089];
L_f{71}=[0.07398071279434448,-0.12103701863851875,0.07617148933169467,-0.2313187801317615,0.07524713917052868,0.11694321110302244,-0.0033376087511697125,-0.23819875639041443,-0.177911653207783,0.006255049248519282,0.5001600907826458,-0.13880119595807888,0.06796060359347687,0.15524898442710502,-0.2092599032987412,0.11332484198384042,0.11359059240317826,-0.18031805069565454,0.09073812022257904,-0.19333929225634858,0.1268755205530668,0.08930765358489867,0.07411745407110017,-0.2347783591475128,0.03262295400122777,0.030464714078497886,0.06010342043655744,0.12086602852410322,-0.2635716004480161,0.16512615565714311,-0.24188586037781673,0.6475190008125415,0.08449681033832751,-0.24472013891835842,-0.047800445640113855,-0.15773952980940215,-0.1929912687830185,0.15255293220368518,0.08741173506851478,0.1220105815038785,0.08964757955602684,-0.220849304018121,0.08760947636634339,-0.23894958391737606,0.08146493665726628,-0.1693864121976088,-0.24610595769727928,-0.06572289260035306,-0.1485720838770632,0.09854199434046108,0.12576399484603912,0.4375372838586602,-0.22924179121868593,-0.25127688008012944,0.15809844059659098,-0.209241098737523,0.16113535362679493,0.07935213925666038,-0.1352007193276408,0.01742545327219068,0.5002406956686514,-0.16192145911500558,0.07320581710543511,0.036050181121144276,-0.13571585493803578,0.09027230831234162,0.03769011963470257,-0.09068365497640508,0.08776626026185197,0.07862140079052336,0.10149649601635567,0.0658557664203015,-0.03568117941446271,0.11725438511144452,-0.1782298395876305,-0.23437731851312624,-0.04298088712365126,0.0729861020443573,0.17352450630714286,0.07870693557698771,-0.2529127874355321,0.11101044516509789,0.16088248194288796,0.08703642256985661,-0.06718751811238771,-0.07390677582486065,-0.19588498904074272,-0.007333244273496716,-0.14615516385007707,-0.23960375077651994,-0.2307365802100599,-0.23618928401042058,-0.0926783763754978,-0.012880110028458201,0.11114121845649494,-0.21926330983871262,0.0754283156625885,0.7384039985034627,0.09494321227979025,0.03368875234664207;0.12536952413670743,-0.1480021703352956,0.12793059711785731,-0.3456627605059865,0.12726711434397164,0.18842668254486178,0.02202935738655898,-0.3185793996770073,-0.2992010507713121,0.035698808584799575,0.5832105655865653,-0.1704385349759573,0.11811254262507151,0.23618214748203,-0.27976654650858684,0.17629699897135356,0.17802106448504126,-0.3014983628040664,0.1441438631236043,-0.24989911198721387,0.20148363695168284,0.14207825705298371,0.12588400716508408,-0.3218056158011152,0.07207276308653408,0.007484008191043548,0.1079405300233273,0.19349325770835032,-0.36297778344764264,0.24946901137315236,-0.32368567178187874,0.6829980757164401,0.13593051682656485,-0.35017506627041134,-0.040143144142447365,-0.2779951792868058,-0.25523762441609354,0.2314323952947841,0.13969079046538552,0.19504131280706735,0.15079040382002412,-0.29136026725208247,0.13987692255724204,-0.3499332684245165,0.13398848015723275,-0.21550895859927507,-0.34598022471881046,-0.13912994196004955,-0.18802601429556415,0.1554596799231856,0.19514334897452226,0.5238962583237439,-0.3432322473362398,-0.34085054857869107,0.24103253111413608,-0.2740127160925651,0.2445559904084348,0.13183515643147928,-0.24855431472847578,0.048499769401503495,0.5832672936070474,-0.28276376279610416,0.12443250912065244,0.07752297335627632,-0.2504874641042232,0.14347880288773604,0.08018653296779503,-0.10461913087494745,0.14825559947376277,0.12895628003392542,0.1593302423810504,0.11445813371812132,-0.02368033047317215,0.18817088116648006,-0.29973397648147637,-0.3464206052786191,-0.03353007038609837,0.12769324499200255,0.262202637013284,0.13172900955724387,-0.3422495697897922,0.1794350969339096,0.2463735523682478,0.13897141470038862,-0.07068322850690424,-0.08030635434372449,-0.25839388466603647,-0.04901121618299096,-0.18141477356143174,-0.34948624266435346,-0.31280200361893973,-0.34793191454126277,-0.1822870618101285,0.008716358313283431,0.17353815158061855,-0.2946570553227303,0.12771072534949157,0.7022816738722031,0.15946035531789687,0.07317733122728166;-0.06678563698705019,-0.06764608204911836,-0.0650351145373181,0.07870016872900194,-0.06616722055587126,-0.05955371160832834,-0.08616833299530013,-0.011783499521093354,0.1325379144694613,-0.08498756377022502,0.34840383042557044,-0.06894482513443025,-0.06804637603690435,-0.039684667751752736,-0.023235490171440797,-0.05077774239217141,-0.050422521704614545,0.1302152719207056,-0.054184703048780036,-0.044587064750568506,-0.05615944949216893,-0.05427422605982753,-0.06579299686659783,0.0037247604267611405,-0.08185493556261815,0.04646477195005749,-0.07124286116586431,-0.058378643013389714,0.023536599587459746,-0.035885152654271,-0.00994910364372435,0.5924401892123766,-0.055710332780833385,0.047567771923185995,-0.08626663325971523,0.1426054747612623,-0.0358082566342019,-0.03710100278340604,-0.055768832001979844,-0.05843809712029363,-0.06926884364521635,-0.027593868338203733,-0.054710391290327065,0.06579976586293533,-0.061238387473728846,-0.0572964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k{71}=[0.7851819140051219;1.0088493733814627;0.21773422808060064];
x_a{71}=[2.092711933001556,1.785838061654215,20.441792770996404];
L_a{71}=[-0.04540230953183419,0.0742809845630008,-0.04674679934150067,0.141961417501663,-0.04617952132338111,-0.0717685957271819,0.0020483061042952245,0.14618369111688706,0.10918521386397909,-0.0038387529856275396,-0.30695058751745335,0.08518294328679726,-0.041707740352526314,-0.0952770280148099,0.12842378159537635,-0.06954798567160941,-0.06971107794716719,0.11066203125967904,-0.05568640886354441,0.11865322812028342,-0.07786410050111482,-0.05480852479611927,-0.045486228293070086,0.14408457732792215,-0.020020859484335296,-0.01869633754727124,-0.03688575029235413,-0.07417604712987239,0.1617551242120039,-0.10133869420518203,0.14844648408263533,-0.39738543996405623,-0.05185608779004253,0.1501858940820342,0.029335357105101795,0.0968054873669717,0.11843964448660838,-0.09362244815286684,-0.053644990733298266,-0.07487846464790567,-0.055017138954811654,0.13553625103335626,-0.05376634549283123,0.14664447748263765,-0.049995412728535124,0.10395323357401638,0.15103637754967097,0.04033444664778668,0.09117938291197068,-0.060475682917073684,-0.07718195197487195,-0.2685186779517964,0.14068675968932504,0.15420979680617217,-0.0970257525960939,0.12841224114818695,-0.09888952032974456,-0.04869877907988374,0.08297331393527024,-0.010694082191338368,-0.30700005511307377,0.09937195694534764,-0.04492675242250299,-0.02212416480077497,0.08328945506923076,-0.05540053791511237,-0.023130602738359245,0.05565298328717323,-0.05386256450295727,-0.04825032146474027,-0.06228887441705533,-0.040415991932687585,0.021897706727153788,-0.07195956467185692,0.10938048633380251,0.14383845681448673,0.02637757149712174,-0.0447919122616682,-0.10649280128749869,-0.04830281456333469,0.15521376080313798,-0.0681276295169435,-0.09873433179436913,-0.05341465969711841,0.041233294176202556,0.04535693406777659,0.12021553414591685,0.004500446316371483,0.0896961077847905,0.14704594274435892,0.14160411868611888,0.14495046851675136,0.05687715314132337,0.007904583779041954,-0.06820788569764578,0.13456291898599745,-0.046290710184121724,-0.45316198821703135,-0.058267093530940096,-0.020674944914838518;-0.028021027935235674,0.10295425342497724,-0.03000227970113919,0.13395029063687544,-0.02874922806796706,-0.05404169920787095,0.02894950764741481,0.1752984958651006,0.06967842706551305,0.022729678912654584,-0.4538142149501282,0.11734988003216726,-0.022796001110165793,-0.0857088769540394,0.15410994482428844,-0.05866910798802471,-0.057496045593878845,0.0723705051755009,-0.04399125789912455,0.15096781205609147,-0.06157825319460732,-0.0430909548971436,-0.02779006231484729,0.16498047700515672,0.004432796729674742,-0.055681094370281514,-0.01667704250268973,-0.057108637593646705,0.18350780416212506,-0.09290119865952366,0.17783701244652497,-0.6595585618197907,-0.0392639615254355,0.1572241705571532,0.058965616358471834,0.049059706333092944,0.14490771273392916,-0.0848686730115736,-0.041547451142242287,-0.05793368227745473,-0.03508360577810464,0.16654552181776386,-0.04177131302983906,0.14550138217605693,-0.03491975465662823,0.13569440642782118,0.16429234894941455,-0.0028610362013605016,0.1200212200117528,-0.04885588210947877,-0.06561391966430723,-0.3832872897681171,0.13207440469271267,0.1801433416201203,-0.08676651499992451,0.1598247861319632,-0.0895397477582208,-0.03269243446244524,0.03176892351661506,0.01237008375011683,-0.453924611947737,0.05296187524943748,-0.02735138530998901,0.0027770432942373193,0.030903848949636326,-0.04369051038086084,0.002040377840906737,0.08340306268515252,-0.03371770960044336,-0.03405620817299824,-0.0511111411805678,-0.022086270718911963,0.05030051672651695,-0.054942684325898244,0.06980522444563922,0.139533975610718,0.055585886400718924,-0.023635095372663263,-0.09758059317071598,-0.03146082525288982,0.1821361873281891,-0.050732372754599006,-0.08719788526475833,-0.041488659339041827,0.06862241084604195,0.07293089787290098,0.14775125068960773,-0.033806572362959295,0.12162125332100253,0.14730474814816405,0.16560392253102962,0.14177956970122169,0.009870958576716174,0.03542179427609565,-0.05690046158037088,0.15996035609335346,-0.028681265810476423,-0.8287146183294448,-0.03739354344845863,0.003327553820683865;-0.09989104829170987,-0.013483583017015386,-0.09912086998312179,0.18221232844611632,-0.09983934127014692,-0.11188428476210839,-0.08467479628406795,0.09480736051136107,0.21215107623648224,-0.08778661733812963,0.12458866430836492,-0.006833086706814285,-0.09845786640371504,-0.10915657860475197,0.0704056077122198,-0.10148914220444001,-0.10125284138943176,0.21090526541304344,-0.09478883725509131,0.041929765781882865,-0.11293460255237589,-0.09423824496298377,-0.0989595981225078,0.10878503696961905,-0.09645328517822538,0.0328322067617345,-0.09813836378017869,-0.11246462618273623,0.14148147888748844,-0.10977696977400192,0.09829168769400529,0.30268381839892433,-0.09352156160689597,0.1570768662184371,-0.06487655260638356,0.21319187243305024,0.05055283789905369,-0.10536646516647427,-0.09488445191147549,-0.11303625293199863,-0.10938497502015446,0.07123333634407797,-0.093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x_a{71}=[2.092711933001557,1.7858380616542158,20.441792770996397];
std_x_a{71}=[1.1724214524750967,1.5756705553135653,1.2544286790613433];
pred_a{71}=[2.092711933001557];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.0 to 7.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{72}=[2.5177296248720245,3.630166844049204,16.416184666904183];
std_x_f{72}=[1.6919374563992113,2.4480759775325915,1.4212928543221592];
pred_f{72}=[2.5177296248720245];
obs{72}=[2.6886611476313353];
sqrt_r{72}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{72}=[3.8642069710764213];
L_f{72}=[-0.039428602686240356,0.11869472198680783,-0.04206515943366115,0.1564892446801859,-0.04043725420264625,-0.07410789867586678,0.029800719810083247,0.1965803737338411,0.09266369391220586,0.021901633726865013,-0.49776885233774737,0.1343249139213809,-0.0333125067373748,-0.11122616617417984,0.1752922213293097,-0.0765461135814823,-0.07557834790468701,0.09562469376350832,-0.057349352242139454,0.1715984066695948,-0.08264630142120835,-0.056174740148437645,-0.03935941255205845,0.18692372171527533,-2.4017097130832216E-4,-0.050254747345780594,-0.025829927635012954,-0.07776040162970181,0.205327237862352,-0.12073052720267857,0.1993053228713589,-0.6723188757007663,-0.05165019713670853,0.18000078788128834,0.06595979948918593,0.07249823969956445,0.16621746764650844,-0.11013286165195348,-0.05430448834052883,-0.07872800440593486,-0.05007358072139068,0.18793390356688425,-0.05500955858366398,0.16768335469671455,-0.047377086968610635,0.1554705652610368,0.18576021355826133,0.01398827375175728,0.13838933820094326,-0.0639434916489385,-0.08624233778454905,-0.42910158017984773,0.15478222266737116,0.20257460913779204,-0.11399474457393598,0.18146544811899443,-0.11649490685736485,-0.04480064033024923,0.0543108340939655,0.010369852524962973,-0.4981660657428916,0.07642149197430087,-0.038486455032142264,-0.002775964317631583,0.054296517371834205,-0.05728872705242283,-0.00421038863841624,0.09661197883515765,-0.04789613373607628,-0.04545781057679911,-0.06657927610778266,-0.03235342976580092,0.055938297316168874,-0.07458180044300174,0.09327799269824193,0.16173687895167732,0.06228013100312815,-0.035440767648125385,-0.12735495546221615,-0.0437231444179546,0.20364823392349676,-0.06899489890352119,-0.11471260796842707,-0.05445470566893181,0.07841197351586664,0.08398194421889162,0.16901469140406614,-0.02270893931687014,0.13963145542227423,0.1698252159468988,0.18777322637614238,0.16418620431360614,0.030548342337474426,0.03776902839619991,-0.07440751200254608,0.18179154408472473,-0.04017006813444669,-0.7890367442384538,-0.05308632473289112,-0.0022014066941409465;-0.04163154446688997,0.18315790348446426,-0.04544965404696625,0.19408624543007913,-0.04353920349043812,-0.09305620708400457,0.06252825906248527,0.2728890181839318,0.09659268631041847,0.051283157595931175,-0.7634598420809754,0.20560127095600012,-0.03258316668309853,-0.15294060269824608,0.24797951416544917,-0.09928151952311025,-0.09750232299427737,0.1014946413200559,-0.0708283968671478,0.2494107761853353,-0.1068823988451768,-0.06902169874697493,-0.04116103466481181,0.2553565224372853,0.0184215702799244,-0.08192799229882582,-0.02080735984629329,-0.09857577133880079,0.27334204232301035,-0.16661569581952262,0.27534666177102507,-1.0079019889419225,-0.06224203583859159,0.23375602048428212,0.11483805747236689,0.06758753461525585,0.23824972234803582,-0.15100367997849246,-0.06578846547996291,-0.10044214403058767,-0.05686338050548034,0.266158203760075,-0.06679158307361734,0.21274735882587892,-0.05432535311618685,0.23094185058919617,0.24591472699166714,0.0018550903648991005,0.20780712830779297,-0.08019465044059838,-0.11389824534103153,-0.6604936297962092,0.19194014505830573,0.27563963833451915,-0.1554273716860046,0.2590703223016625,-0.16017508887308654,-0.05011299177191126,0.04292605095981222,0.03321956719843117,-0.764648463712476,0.07299082316446205,-0.04012526392941406,0.014983559695542971,0.042575376014651035,-0.0712243247379079,0.013452516989550273,0.1540344558914839,-0.05328720143789876,-0.05188902113702916,-0.08450684611941049,-0.03024936615011312,0.10003325946046072,-0.09413475782370137,0.09789726316735521,0.2042489139098661,0.10921937590875903,-0.03472777073093616,-0.17731896162597457,-0.04815118857461463,0.27815470684650173,-0.08562482933791174,-0.156883125726215,-0.06608004000693572,0.12982179867440927,0.13774905211403649,0.24246525626167575,-0.04465840589223703,0.21180927192455687,0.21658972964793025,0.2582711639984643,0.2070638793609031,0.01854601315482201,0.07455654529386065,-0.0959430254601969,0.25382260186413147,-0.04300163894977118,-1.1494725165036177,-0.061289199505519615,0.015713717270137942;-0.11583295429873142,0.027485522283576667,-0.11602614787683266,0.20156249068940413,-0.11606558266954699,-0.1366055586312373,-0.07540541715723686,0.16412124329099342,0.18393705726715817,-0.08147205461881314,0.06999206658295833,0.0421127213530424,-0.11301269027553897,-0.14339994500752656,0.12985660320293702,-0.12923056755276827,-0.12823182241845274,0.1844046226384024,-0.11788070161396653,0.10445785995592623,-0.1396406841367788,-0.11703206452126133,-0.11480856062949484,0.16743338335321106,-0.09829894731766686,-0.01927777667583569,-0.10932861062838571,-0.13830003755129486,0.20615044318615325,-0.14633693662240077,0.16855046052942177,0.30695421353233854,-0.11517957408633504,0.19893270998229273,-0.04259889672738204,0.17197960150045583,0.10756573753591832,-0.14017534448956004,-0.11736003748658229,-0.13807473441439752,-0.12671964461554197,0.1394967877557706,-0.11655162026913783,0.2020622820829835,-0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k{72}=[0.7412146897190042;1.0688371678911581;0.11561598168048008];
x_a{72}=[2.6444265804772638,3.812864808738589,16.43594708270814];
L_a{72}=[0.028877814512499714,-0.08693293527097035,0.030808849129921267,-0.11461393691875968,0.029616558708694674,0.05427719995311006,-0.021826278396492003,-0.14397699088293606,-0.06786760834853442,-0.016040926464427705,0.36456976937013497,-0.09838060911001588,0.02439833838808659,0.08146290704933684,-0.12838538289865362,0.05606296746676732,0.05535416837671455,-0.07003626761241664,0.04200311052459561,-0.12568000438357815,0.060530792368624214,0.041142815513991474,0.028827139121416306,-0.13690438402382424,1.7590308274207715E-4,0.036806966855318896,0.01891803940025246,0.05695232145428398,-0.15038326203282185,0.08842397480578057,-0.14597276477265353,0.49241156071996633,0.037829005108731016,-0.13183397357253146,-0.048309468892112295,-0.053098273230397196,-0.12173896289528865,0.080662162334903,0.03977302857961176,0.057661001234701394,0.03667427901404258,-0.13764424904939435,0.040289427495940694,-0.12281258994388032,0.0346993460688769,-0.11386784820879503,-0.13605222162259983,-0.010245120223199896,-0.10135742498602596,0.046832709386478634,0.06316455730082671,0.3142773264896477,-0.11336370075271818,-0.14836721539880418,0.08349063534921342,-0.13290670209413005,0.08532177360299699,0.03281233656169204,-0.03977767625866203,-0.007594960443332205,0.3648606915498257,-0.05597169363479613,0.028187778261026756,0.0020331378034316853,-0.03976719058029749,0.041958708165289064,0.00308372130489289,-0.07075936285870098,0.035079499948370535,0.033293653148891884,0.04876317837375499,0.02369590297314889,-0.040969642949206415,0.054624289284106016,-0.06831752554543775,-0.11845734497274242,-0.04561445114437584,0.025957093191139813,0.09327575745840429,0.032023170195822244,-0.1491535465215256,0.05053239925085819,0.08401640406885058,0.03988304891638869,-0.05742953775890341,-0.06150902751617397,-0.12378767127746268,0.016632203341992606,-0.10226716127584098,-0.12438130574105286,-0.13752656782828843,-0.12025124987080282,-0.02237384293595027,-0.027662329426739157,0.05449663907810707,-0.13314553730943243,0.029420869559393423,0.5778966331874702,0.03888083610230866,0.001612327342306816;0.05686682384684494,-0.1133587277587958,0.05963521543329712,-0.19684658529451135,0.057478922608115504,0.0920760725663678,-0.011918261379192652,-0.21819726781434742,-0.13489466121003615,-0.003430300110601049,0.48003894845005907,-0.1299618467741688,0.050636306859563864,0.12491849287077554,-0.18992587945004688,0.09194177460506348,0.09130335210658956,-0.1373897132983013,0.07243860309863308,-0.17926693265191618,0.09958004929009484,0.07131094984064781,0.0571644866582612,-0.21160604619846604,0.019021552201131105,0.04361565562014595,0.04371954581040892,0.09568099045659553,-0.23959517893098145,0.1349866721302491,-0.22254694240485465,0.6716480770349337,0.06678764805695094,-0.21591205531798033,-0.049939088593050594,-0.11352358344415131,-0.17698562034737236,0.12412418231893048,0.06987202282643537,0.09623182984288398,0.06822768690899568,-0.20332794565979428,0.07063027296493281,-0.20614998233613777,0.06402948179898958,-0.15744617119505674,-0.21814122951030973,-0.03308964635423316,-0.13790951078496055,0.07954546619055358,0.10154762320618227,0.41146435524570196,-0.19472829708838177,-0.2304211171187386,0.12934803428576458,-0.1942566872116442,0.13084608511123325,0.06180550574765764,-0.09275028995907157,0.007314171526893351,0.47984262351723644,-0.11792114811360478,0.056019482893401126,0.021918321192411407,-0.09306519965582287,0.07189122471076158,0.02397067849151514,-0.0873162800336578,0.0663642875859897,0.061671182975710157,0.08181784238939131,0.050574194011112704,-0.03970872063801266,0.09218139717663576,-0.13512469181974407,-0.1997932683522959,-0.04636542457199878,0.053808407254006325,0.14083218893646524,0.061075567873876864,-0.2305881190421357,0.08673443528141342,0.12968560712533753,0.06995571297363529,-0.06606268419791851,-0.07205002545415465,-0.17975795709504805,0.012071818271347552,-0.13701035614625115,-0.20765829157689286,-0.21081359049399048,-0.20309707291041285,-0.05776817679694808,-0.019795965735374125,0.0899377317367376,-0.20031904266918166,0.057349017597216945,0.821655714073814,0.07132813942411018,0.021213150488538196;-0.10517839821795176,-0.004588644330050664,-0.10465913079536533,0.159275335682876,-0.1051384647069014,-0.1165798232848948,-0.08345828788640763,0.11100050165591793,0.1588971000742463,-0.08739040244007637,0.2045011739612074,0.005814901219520608,-0.10401085031562135,-0.11334396167524202,0.08248843199129713,-0.10854596793838134,-0.10780873634941025,0.15856453212040347,-0.1023835282922883,0.058087846243224925,-0.11730766715495804,-0.10185229961816426,-0.10417270138590085,0.11692210118346663,-0.09823404734890231,-0.00569773611031284,-0.10234874337973567,-0.11728730812183595,0.15066608863966488,-0.11371264651049394,0.11469337214541421,0.488630932393601,-0.10122244944878281,0.15029217092167424,-0.060422819840431255,0.15238883469637726,0.06264978287382424,-0.11041479831588186,-0.1026856595719899,-0.1168005354592412,-0.11318855962612408,0.08871253017080796,-0.10168671542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x_a{72}=[2.644426580477262,3.8128648087385875,16.435947082708136];
std_x_a{72}=[1.2391881198898733,1.7973859900883473,1.4107170905491444];
pred_a{72}=[2.644426580477262];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.1 to 7.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{73}=[4.64422240441675,7.5913818726550994,14.694195347452256];
std_x_f{73}=[1.9237720087252903,2.817446395498603,2.3317921031641715];
pred_f{73}=[4.64422240441675];
obs{73}=[4.925056272278777];
sqrt_r{73}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{73}=[4.707132335181959];
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k{73}=[0.7875564295216815;1.1189516877580867;0.6813203704389178];
x_a{73}=[4.865394922678932,7.905621403078946,14.885533182335806];
L_a{73}=[-0.047985994542228926,0.08364162275319857,-0.04973545514549401,0.13919889766813867,-0.048455592498246734,-0.07499064386588852,0.006061575156866739,0.15869567485233124,0.0926630622201715,-1.698520081829096E-4,-0.3092260861251393,0.09633514965330928,-0.04298419099198102,-0.10043707397697384,0.13879173731351063,-0.07491136291962912,-0.07414827207684442,0.0951480453003642,-0.06005239409173083,0.1322349097410517,-0.08117677670435203,-0.05919430787809832,-0.04785799158334138,0.1533660847060171,-0.018456589218372416,-0.0376334106780147,-0.03746407003517752,-0.07780127758325989,0.17203440667510653,-0.10816124998982392,0.1618243900059054,-0.36710734465857653,-0.05571618515497865,0.15428997559920593,0.035780859822891975,0.0774592654353467,0.12963266960122322,-0.09962425645487762,-0.05798872727920266,-0.07834298572772,-0.05675166266710674,0.14889984858859137,-0.05848232020968859,0.1463116589339401,-0.05336382231870368,0.11639701483061136,0.15664385115583174,0.01982732771063761,0.10200569864772925,-0.06530256063341891,-0.08210391026827417,-0.27889785082360086,0.1376132131451315,0.16662021798581428,-0.10337634998034251,0.14269669997090192,-0.10519203919702352,-0.05167376481995974,0.062212555045405654,-0.009017156702874809,-0.3094905074284395,0.08057384690730061,-0.04730405168944244,-0.020440628342795187,0.06248242989389572,-0.05928026864345688,-0.021812665105340745,0.06397854374655136,-0.055338591862490995,-0.05211904696031769,-0.06702679055140517,-0.04300756757972875,0.027580576547222267,-0.07510577374345966,0.09304111061172565,0.14162353977080128,0.03311682019428178,-0.04548151118536387,-0.11262492401646083,-0.05095557422349009,0.16723133840819493,-0.07092078301453661,-0.10410438271249003,-0.05799710803491985,0.04788928889116358,0.052870657176196774,0.13248425017740662,-0.014451369504935037,0.10172407739527028,0.14762684136580992,0.15298235332734322,0.14382685309209592,0.03731216814484381,0.011988502552075965,-0.07315216401431776,0.14639786308480174,-0.048225340367223105,-0.3895336823948294,-0.05908361753189296,-0.019877596089747283;-0.023520267753466554,0.10740157226465114,-0.025690524754719026,0.14447591652406752,-0.02403608718839776,-0.053654593771659986,0.03562231537113726,0.17202635826778545,0.09106684116741283,0.029732908258396258,-0.5352873987924472,0.11969707431277883,-0.017953243744376613,-0.08714095679288758,0.1541357552299609,-0.055734667398776236,-0.05416163902679539,0.09462681107937729,-0.03863477756995431,0.15096265004107573,-0.062292314026892656,-0.0372362995501073,-0.023396416601549303,0.16571525587131897,0.009328734091594728,-0.03263273161321405,-0.011411290590954365,-0.05666745580312984,0.1809439441039816,-0.09686599815694888,0.17460685341453513,-0.7989499890532559,-0.03362320050008685,0.16169339851330414,0.06481117755202749,0.07489088693444544,0.14695476759045853,-0.08638023206474235,-0.036001402194133426,-0.05843809326288457,-0.031824091733447094,0.16462275484308853,-0.036381017185409696,0.1523851070976324,-0.029905214155426022,0.13731479995816284,0.16579912109856548,0.02228825551133556,0.12376109073420319,-0.044786490590661886,-0.06374537469480121,-0.44129057851562203,0.1427738043969009,0.1783450058511256,-0.09026435703312792,0.15949249562742598,-0.09365582168603943,-0.02748719615827277,0.0581612715419611,0.019095368188028844,-0.5361033634359809,0.07760514226157392,-0.02316764415071424,0.007966982993936755,0.05867097644075036,-0.03709884224713615,0.00701302905867569,0.09001724536739401,-0.030828450876403266,-0.030310249462527694,-0.046313580057685565,-0.017723338890778255,0.056357694883026103,-0.053857526672978315,0.09154702376730407,0.14668231497860565,0.0611443265475784,-0.019439167649171942,-0.10292348524413159,-0.026317928077072443,0.1790840224536475,-0.04841255961492046,-0.09133667700158558,-0.03561453928879569,0.07518582391599922,0.0807047190399256,0.15060558717768013,-0.00967860025642118,0.12443229481966438,0.15404061067075098,0.16595439791990543,0.14913441524389456,0.03730619105157812,0.04104222827052889,-0.053831919910541745,0.1617368404279484,-0.02352443775797962,-0.9974275824997716,-0.03471456035355135,0.008710012685206048;-0.15779926117444787,0.06513014638995065,-0.15876478022373952,0.2752460890957131,-0.15823609490753968,-0.18670253664617983,-0.09018060073258724,0.2708010527379206,0.20349213905302574,-0.0994599791066145,0.04534982032625027,0.09166470248804114,-0.15232054851363896,-0.19975589476512687,0.21570172026425205,-0.18038757977287012,-0.17868227105050066,0.20698317623548657,-0.16439646729633192,0.18564576687753181,-0.19165537989468562,-0.1637535052391206,-0.15672269155796192,0.2663010567223282,-0.12688016324006227,-0.07101338510215005,-0.14700598367144896,-0.18918680685006212,0.3248144983726459,-0.2048828621175415,0.27992372024566803,0.3247654497588894,-0.16040098933992758,0.2937406705572493,-0.039484238645747884,0.17763207538849554,0.18582907414706978,-0.1972442629373481,-0.16367442033900645,-0.1890486609177333,-0.17043015510649856,0.23767179563117305,-0.1635280561334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x_a{73}=[4.865394922678932,7.905621403078947,14.8855331823358];
std_x_a{73}=[1.1692270608869,1.8008309337184223,1.9144374335664343];
pred_a{73}=[4.865394922678932];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.2 to 7.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{74}=[9.16448457505556,14.567852874133694,18.724019810290855];
std_x_f{74}=[1.8193564451651607,2.688465881387287,2.8719801290408244];
pred_f{74}=[9.16448457505556];
obs{74}=[9.683967518076829];
sqrt_r{74}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{74}=[4.310120797391724];
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k{74}=[0.7679879411720542;1.0645260576369553;0.8488178868249481];
x_a{74}=[9.563441210940464,15.120856003477767,19.164966224227772];
L_a{74}=[0.005218993676750696,-0.07513983276847673,0.006312039736306829,-0.07754051840123435,0.005120323987045641,0.02730194363964372,-0.03566718619571732,-0.09548251003814356,-0.05090605257648515,-0.0321632387037849,0.38917983765054437,-0.08076106321515608,8.646866392374574E-4,0.05302717688499551,-0.09041948884727237,0.02873421369726276,0.028176303952748512,-0.05303830774083432,0.01649271666614534,-0.09189799623472628,0.03347145075056143,0.015076463310576133,0.004914725731656439,-0.09211246393609193,-0.01876809060848728,0.015449196668838618,-0.00416565910973151,0.029699005021654665,-0.094701183480223,0.06034102223118497,-0.09598039058904828,0.5533353874438532,0.012694532612263002,-0.0859933073686895,-0.05375142278345252,-0.0426611700229911,-0.08930994116694738,0.05236362690012831,0.014395102965915677,0.030672467094717118,0.010719307192096518,-0.09453345652172743,0.014598232745891664,-0.08149848036400853,0.009847812697411676,-0.08755987531208083,-0.08864223043763529,-0.018274457845046436,-0.08173066811507819,0.02123465188740473,0.03515641491425787,0.32330309339728086,-0.0766682034161683,-0.09577238532075963,0.05529673323382803,-0.09365809118763468,0.05776042621581504,0.008247947105388858,-0.03407649101302901,-0.025290338151261093,0.3894636432003924,-0.04393781887949888,0.005212998855402426,-0.01780843378924951,-0.034359691799089,0.01515493265718263,-0.016812905969159325,-0.06707779013786339,0.01012486197027509,0.009308880384897068,0.022032855986833192,9.307430434932797E-4,-0.04847831077840502,0.027457667534752275,-0.05147666960156546,-0.0790695673685352,-0.05178299275636945,0.0017844270593809061,0.06547189744225497,0.007077515402368075,-0.09640357473903072,0.022764905554544676,0.05615640199378578,0.014151088733730813,-0.05905476509299061,-0.06220977169467463,-0.09059707286911597,-2.360786657276146E-4,-0.08235826449076555,-0.08231833674973273,-0.09334636120276386,-0.08007508858134087,-0.025458881955603162,-0.039548494610961986,0.027820409536579088,-0.0923892773682421,0.005100248905694005,0.659254433145947,0.012831728933587321,-0.018140826419883575;0.0854740480643888,-0.13626939934716176,0.08703783654011382,-0.233126317907196,0.08534734817044518,0.12697526007283189,-0.00310852977890823,-0.2694633086951025,-0.14882860662196692,0.006052074573832901,0.4614037848079937,-0.15799529545450053,0.07663098537304364,0.1661909947862006,-0.2326301679313745,0.12610200212906483,0.12526822030090443,-0.1540416410923054,0.10421971575665738,-0.22277207260777626,0.13648604232815065,0.10101018475863499,0.08411571154154619,-0.259893508027028,0.037559479798528306,0.06890238285675049,0.06711244004567128,0.1305365063485726,-0.29349213364881865,0.17671099102979013,-0.2744601110589927,0.5663744604261708,0.096925288008938,-0.2592848824965708,-0.053264742873177,-0.12257781946559092,-0.21745848020026248,0.16416340589528156,0.10028116439093646,0.1325381985025713,0.09757546455568489,-0.2517690646976218,0.10080019749710807,-0.2464750577217281,0.09281074683974598,-0.193873270009325,-0.26441379408009896,-0.024184815765065124,-0.1680784322558123,0.11235714652027773,0.13710390796911895,0.4168154047466387,-0.2297552344620439,-0.2824233722100344,0.16910340400944496,-0.24066146474013966,0.17311052362459386,0.09037807960736759,-0.09463751265483676,0.021185705168266202,0.46151973220225295,-0.12688548928994914,0.08549346725169485,0.03939876512653251,-0.09558259429016297,0.10146082154835175,0.041657334329289204,-0.10187859330897366,0.0964374304886851,0.09077625483324298,0.11402111301002356,0.0780291253141962,-0.038200661278609334,0.12667672808504357,-0.14981419929916862,-0.237263169201864,-0.04896220946997341,0.08025778380671887,0.184734590870588,0.0886924523171018,-0.28583313915686337,0.11833310919209318,0.17193727002025577,0.0999104927924098,-0.07386615338409634,-0.08251524352852213,-0.22265697798540113,0.031988033528347184,-0.1665724003522042,-0.2485480582335607,-0.2599022682096121,-0.24155135372898914,-0.052859765573674146,-0.013431831098324012,0.12465015096920258,-0.24713987247061314,0.08550796167038804,0.641247728100785,0.1019140585723625,0.03909950458927068;-0.1545019686366229,0.003960795381975406,-0.15537559242003915,0.17727066609937955,-0.15605057221196816,-0.16687428224072595,-0.11493155648942627,0.17401121036059145,0.11990196028257537,-0.12206946818528054,0.4713359197276651,0.02558502314498797,-0.15230623329230358,-0.16177574069830047,0.12863526177396598,-0.16185262053140223,-0.1595128255567478,0.12140633713170752,-0.15400901107583473,0.1027328033318133,-0.1673829309674498,-0.15574419367581868,-0.15452323943523458,0.16941896277805252,-0.1396534640659788,-0.08060960759824887,-0.15082635069356498,-0.1676842444956257,0.21838568052126534,-0.16136361532026972,0.18144410271702055,1.0578884915652782,-0.1529299753935032,0.19303863728631862,-0.0778647579492367,0.10083699884918194,0.10360019083728057,-0.16021199610356612,-0.1554323267135231,-0.16717770922706796,-0.16296687721234732,0.14656488795956035,-0.15569612294502191,0.18453142920086438,-0.155065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x_a{74}=[9.56344121094047,15.12085600347778,19.164966224227776];
std_x_a{74}=[1.1970173592816302,1.9021688532277712,2.4412658602574386];
pred_a{74}=[9.56344121094047];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.3 to 7.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{75}=[14.092646601564025,15.580735252600682,32.832988207247716];
std_x_f{75}=[1.2359013771960614,2.4362363980531545,2.7401567076917854];
pred_f{75}=[14.092646601564025];
obs{75}=[14.621910855390237];
sqrt_r{75}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{75}=[2.536413837457859];
L_f{75}=[0.094665850773849,-0.07609031780364195,0.09671991590993508,-0.17329650268816643,0.09528834018690101,0.12193035092332052,0.032694871291122585,-0.19546137289848028,-0.10874467933289265,0.03977572574726439,0.07998260516878168,-0.09476625899083346,0.08958039164972365,0.1423478810030485,-0.16291060907941005,0.12021281592327103,0.11921275370930447,-0.11180313131399866,0.1055543300630758,-0.1512606693896908,0.1273731193870871,0.10447560023955942,0.09462435009099027,-0.18854073037564717,0.0631249562574031,0.06771479603421207,0.08370038328519357,0.12447241994127377,-0.21938813098609183,0.14807046799131882,-0.20037145461595435,-0.09103999405191252,0.10116931148147314,-0.19265850042507182,-0.006540594618667285,-0.08809324589086787,-0.14829323392688273,0.1411302367646338,0.10406154926466442,0.12485590436424411,0.10423411486660963,-0.1791150587462566,0.10435461496387245,-0.18320592867956367,0.09960481909638985,-0.1252651377110195,-0.19601530415405768,-0.004591759669798936,-0.10381491555178066,0.11100973527001261,0.12617890416766686,0.12516958305801926,-0.17059899417634178,-0.20885959819325284,0.14456499314402663,-0.1683060674545826,0.1468068966621481,0.09781850932993573,-0.06647869263058183,0.05058744780636183,0.08008367792043447,-0.09175162769085964,0.0939089433608131,0.0647315486805808,-0.06693812640835828,0.10435643762911084,0.06641112268389238,-0.046889293149116044,0.10354018710173062,0.09797587333002816,0.11204935417981544,0.09010998653838002,0.004697752971695716,0.12126202668852044,-0.10869349134178397,-0.17584529211891073,-0.002512806892680248,0.09260862770245057,0.1516622202030925,0.09705197565074039,-0.21097984370680375,0.11792938608850598,0.14611278452232607,0.10308362328825459,-0.024048207360061295,-0.031143559988380736,-0.15278583685419694,0.04031666525418501,-0.10288596231787103,-0.18437417596418507,-0.18786960900704297,-0.179083400815837,-0.029317495627425222,0.024894277611136224,0.11870784079509737,-0.17653684129801825,0.09517773993584909,-0.2444393820980173,0.10741273366595792,0.06445250437575237;0.1353759592804956,0.028149321028899752,0.1357057465231993,-0.12012539555966442,0.1363724104958686,0.13211151293944112,0.12106888040788583,-0.12522518720845552,-0.0651725406087955,0.1255788679544371,-0.6209751472910078,0.008785885217916881,0.1365267082005188,0.11146474204291516,-0.08223819829978708,0.12740416705839122,0.12596747630911134,-0.06657026223430015,0.12921497807877189,-0.06092681733556276,0.12836772016023118,0.1310133219984503,0.13552454760269972,-0.11926432592068338,0.1346478005630476,0.07798145073639459,0.1371307986647299,0.13109741622819496,-0.16442758158012222,0.10535940105085555,-0.1318925580912371,-1.1549703361159136,0.13046359753611683,-0.13645823615956482,0.09568000695744361,-0.0483301798108091,-0.060150665504214995,0.11097298160914415,0.13169385143962903,0.1299368370085039,0.13798924148301137,-0.10003252228533262,0.13134092983881834,-0.1290023612205356,0.13400768940499755,-0.027858720123326727,-0.13704916698209552,0.03412294179600972,-0.00434505395542884,0.12808942315854152,0.1233503753857833,-0.4362568197170183,-0.11773800939646883,-0.14607808155448043,0.11081006984376154,-0.08554473216401426,0.10792620916085335,0.13360223066070825,-0.03073104470410226,0.1286738340633569,-0.6223248657532504,-0.0518109864090694,0.1328224986952412,0.13573809144211055,-0.03064245995780343,0.13077417414370926,0.13502999900802032,0.05896347994547891,0.13851060227370343,0.133177047354489,0.12850493286849862,0.13642032915861663,0.10280630450864879,0.1316145787506168,-0.06443124949553952,-0.12230867276174114,0.09888001646194414,0.13863958882069613,0.1001181260654202,0.13510472612090452,-0.1470936983015663,0.13529497123516365,0.11069350264169539,0.13118096461935574,0.07841653690146545,0.07369897533240544,-0.06487707020773238,0.06773968400053293,2.061103147717509E-4,-0.12952088153839336,-0.11571111782944893,-0.12482249082814,0.010245596076420296,0.1164346042566415,0.12617636675528907,-0.09921571580349652,0.13569385800799785,-1.5566114593445535,0.13841467862183898,0.13592493578279397;0.11236611020126128,-0.22475272361957047,0.11561376763550198,-0.31287366277166795,0.11239917450070178,0.18477937954742837,-0.03594615859588722,-0.3693519121714673,-0.2037315051907716,-0.02114325589534802,0.7359661191568028,-0.2524121830295914,0.09765621763610557,0.25665522621377396,-0.33172056395691046,0.18479176566328614,0.18344012403444582,-0.21080349295161832,0.1462916426991774,-0.3262726119181423,0.20245125605887354,0.14087319840588533,0.11081851957558342,-0.357291730172198,0.030248861776249667,0.10063709331886193,0.08088627763064016,0.1921976167355682,-0.38633348384787236,0.27649766069213816,-0.3739882059791543,0.8078100006201465,0.13371202770124885,-0.34651592392571423,-0.11238268833928627,-0.16792188970026173,-0.31809524354351515,0.254017485779911,0.13909319217867455,0.19516644789941304,0.13318927540685335,-0.3541091723889924,0.14033104528605203,-0.33047450859402705,0.12587207128159003,-0.29446864224443325,-0.354356464414383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k{75}=[0.6057425703834438;0.593036742373917;0.9560931314059016];
x_a{75}=[14.41324449108879,15.89460840154474,33.33901412502963];
L_a{75}=[-0.1292538107319013,0.10389135528309225,-0.13205836743487712,0.2366136592641749,-0.13010373843148385,-0.1664799119417074,-0.044640561207886315,0.2668768842353961,0.1484766057210341,-0.054308539831780134,-0.10920576349149494,0.12939090499100284,-0.12231028288377803,-0.19435737300042202,0.22243308289144653,-0.164134843028186,-0.1627693891600012,0.1526525210090387,-0.14412060197397336,0.20652661728231883,-0.17391129885813483,-0.14264773779644924,-0.1291971469892359,0.25742765400636275,-0.08618885355021653,-0.09245567814379348,-0.11428190219487895,-0.1699507739793698,0.2995457361603869,-0.20217081543433366,0.27358095722265185,0.12430317864390847,-0.13813343387513774,0.2630499292646002,0.00893032463137016,0.12027978028041476,0.2024749731198931,-0.19269483939781568,-0.14208240546272027,-0.17047437169301258,-0.14231802117282397,0.24455813488360387,-0.14248254826086537,0.2501436815592646,-0.1359973245920115,0.17103312618702388,0.267633204757333,0.0062694459558009785,0.1417456594557429,-0.15156924270681543,-0.17228075450996386,-0.17090265883335312,0.2329305649721474,0.285170404678486,-0.19738454901689256,0.22979987408315514,-0.20044557440927757,-0.13355835274974295,0.09076794097065426,-0.06907052913720509,-0.10934376508558075,0.12527482109920796,-0.1282203528724266,-0.08838244491702116,0.09139523757308395,-0.14248503687133926,-0.09067568306530427,0.06402118369513152,-0.14137055376773464,-0.13377321266509457,-0.15298870605819834,-0.12303337528661809,-0.006414165916274867,-0.16556740280091126,0.14840671522873478,0.24009369714461262,0.0034309084411886823,-0.12644494228218917,-0.20707488228401055,-0.13251175148560773,0.2880653220121756,-0.16101711889356254,-0.19949785526437053,-0.140747175725371,0.03283467498733496,0.04252244896496281,0.20860903354098298,-0.05504712182384362,0.1404772955790862,0.2517387700962621,0.25651132574599644,0.2445149101292369,0.04002919743480899,-0.0339898730149698,-0.16207999675803633,0.24103791690260884,-0.12995272828580304,0.33374993591509566,-0.14665800850005295,-0.08800144649502148;-0.08384684774259453,0.20435576632925037,-0.08827376971720713,0.2811866452240969,-0.08429192877307252,-0.15024916487854964,0.045355606813364466,0.3274152367788277,0.18665336764964546,0.03346807849428868,-0.8061951719861604,0.22824121295460761,-0.07091942735045657,-0.2181779093692203,0.2950226695241083,-0.1509791224955806,-0.15009991533710024,0.19233826793016592,-0.11522286662141601,0.2893556579681919,-0.16659706960361956,-0.11092644997543062,-0.08360215405488326,0.31734959360002835,-0.011534059007589414,-0.07882934790184809,-0.05669868496314598,-0.157150067668299,0.343621324220305,-0.23753535312851082,0.33211840646604346,-0.9441441207037234,-0.10381962356486188,0.30969142514692605,0.11082641403225732,0.1556720922451052,0.2832599597448596,-0.2158499054875733,-0.10928708040103483,-0.15919870241134862,-0.1033913098122372,0.31475386200718797,-0.11031867001884817,0.29525747081068776,-0.09665255245457018,0.2622245029889469,0.3168740254349098,0.04475632686317084,0.23606473491865365,-0.12898179707397095,-0.16884890590324841,-0.7261187617751039,0.2773272657046647,0.3375893340484448,-0.22396686751264,0.30421068908662,-0.232042424866523,-0.09292135750575091,0.12321724273607426,0.011525757776186852,-0.8077789500607094,0.1606631973320031,-0.0846474970829713,-0.014164240694631269,0.12436976301543051,-0.11088964655797355,-0.01876181306894423,0.1675475404007555,-0.1012629831384473,-0.09371095709875808,-0.13097378884187832,-0.07225221778703987,0.09192746504608003,-0.149198424657259,0.1872761199761583,0.28490573692221993,0.10469905866161039,-0.07581919598426626,-0.25109424207462894,-0.08964375873789596,0.3414836839816254,-0.13780045692079107,-0.22766773853560074,-0.10753533139057396,0.13410626533310727,0.14581979382750387,0.2889373175017754,-0.025623788197556726,0.23846467217440184,0.2974443236230372,0.31934864980781286,0.2898905814905858,0.07813769902371429,0.058785585395946756,-0.1487217708732399,0.3096001515444392,-0.08471435830535944,-0.9905500226969016,-0.11032677134968281,-0.013331198434759134;-0.2410646387996905,0.0593270981242445,-0.2454857423136614,0.33412113253886816,-0.2433556110741748,-0.2704421697283173,-0.1580110083220705,0.3603944415511342,0.20226192488263922,-0.16964416121648446,0.43735461542267234,0.10139343558954472,-0.23678819561060283,-0.2747942647097655,0.2764989588854566,-0.26401744297916213,-0.26163539675287417,0.2066085317430787,-0.24779076008415246,0.23845237855911977,-0.2730906275197166,-0.2491818144963155,-0.24245728846929082,0.34661671209217365,-0.20542535852948932,-0.15217308992231107,-0.23160538556502466,-0.2725146343052062,0.4327423584172354,-0.27631685456651484,0.3740897197398627,1.1477037746028778,-0.24399910298121258,0.37276602991527147,-0.08796366885030879,0.16097033091172863,0.2355509584407581,-0.27288598446477075,-0.2494159798000525,-0.2709775252009289,-0.2559641625817254,0.31460894351607915,-0.24927227446328976,0.3535166884989822,-0.24599809657271013,0.17320318537878757,0.377457967046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x_a{75}=[14.413244491088781,15.894608401544724,33.33901412502961];
std_x_a{75}=[1.6874613325244092,2.686864933725687,3.2819130093057485];
pred_a{75}=[14.413244491088781];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.4 to 7.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{76}=[10.526878323065016,3.0461082512311806,36.56684081046319];
std_x_f{76}=[1.3570740542860291,3.3729546231255862,2.01750134769146];
pred_f{76}=[10.526878323065016];
obs{76}=[10.6242471202655];
sqrt_r{76}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{76}=[2.8446722821107278];
L_f{76}=[0.054975388078724395,0.05277221684033234,0.05459181871315247,-0.023991215855737106,0.055726061542445644,0.037752374542259215,0.07652237540416644,-0.02367635288258596,-1.702820711308301E-4,0.07510169578937109,-0.4222382699003785,0.04481904220378992,0.058735939352179356,0.011248831373825539,-1.8257549945232735E-4,0.03540083399501841,0.03520464225848548,-3.304549916083795E-4,0.04502664746027571,0.01167859829819089,0.03174297245326182,0.04695860360412367,0.0556887164526604,-0.020521728982775277,0.07087674433424318,0.031506650289807175,0.06247600556242823,0.03549025802109747,-0.04686101134460242,0.0035242841848677846,-0.027740060502052275,-0.6665856698985174,0.04837277089007356,-0.03170654750166716,0.07487657745905871,0.005704671483591257,0.011137273486256807,0.011795224854365207,0.04756212187038176,0.03408978606384296,0.051778519711562006,-0.009784949087782912,0.047391333059977,-0.027614330842702633,0.05141073373964755,0.028405623816982098,-0.03199778159670084,0.03340713779511815,0.03890151920846518,0.041169562533219274,0.02928570348927226,-0.33465972466486305,-0.02277438710888534,-0.035676842311814914,0.00873774349649547,-0.0015343932688840346,0.0064824182364993915,0.05228382067925798,0.01115689777090296,0.07312503893137406,-0.42295838940489006,0.004590992169662769,0.05380392718877113,0.07075077971813663,0.011745631415074878,0.04673352189025679,0.07053877410000349,0.0644941401715966,0.0528380303402274,0.052426741914790166,0.040950716726169525,0.05829712134761158,0.07494271196233644,0.037788488805779924,2.7958257820824686E-4,-0.025171595979423988,0.07558950797098347,0.05868789614001022,-0.002115902457396185,0.05372724633229506,-0.03667219399063976,0.04272954387786187,0.007930322427633363,0.04738003820136049,0.06992828641117252,0.06906060578358907,0.008136204486134916,0.03707790600587575,0.04062285038374851,-0.02759328540410025,-0.018946068951773438,-0.025551402693458434,0.026864014754590628,0.07621740962027038,0.03556967915616486,-0.010068680026521634,0.055439837295365176,-0.8646025438591849,0.05062556170580129,0.07106339086699463;0.268902652388517,-0.11697867946274791,0.27328580951143105,-0.4052886344889305,0.2708052141394006,0.3100548792781502,0.15250187524400283,-0.45545253350679554,-0.23690872619219838,0.1679995732280073,-0.31254721811567515,-0.16685498691962178,0.2617237422967167,0.32452520284286096,-0.36117140603739223,0.3044463427855088,0.3019001022972379,-0.24508348101273014,0.2826511898205695,-0.3242660556762506,0.31461345371389304,0.2824839045258934,0.2700843541662496,-0.4370486515000843,0.2161282062242684,0.18738053745621538,0.2529278166124486,0.3129308432351723,-0.5293558633678537,0.32768873801011084,-0.47068105956178075,-0.90576927866435,0.2765586906447944,-0.4559966925552124,0.06223535319207307,-0.1851002256913934,-0.31817411636626747,0.32242644557722044,0.2825967058227498,0.31197752237497306,0.28723420799879323,-0.407227925995799,0.2830085742234847,-0.43073371208493066,0.27647744004957725,-0.25054139398468167,-0.4638933867262458,0.02870705856538509,-0.19256430911785907,0.2898398873976441,0.3097246657194345,-0.12129985580750967,-0.3977734299171175,-0.49591500841100344,0.3271880606930566,-0.3749886318966835,0.32855072588655376,0.27331515266149464,-0.1314897482179923,0.18952791787143444,-0.3124197656914043,-0.19426611427367127,0.2663991912069039,0.21941055641860102,-0.13152345068023535,0.2817430535556601,0.22293883893636937,-0.039582000113065334,0.28633361997168705,0.27423953910931975,0.29211440319724696,0.26255723008817666,0.08794436104344566,0.30833099733104263,-0.23694935563252972,-0.41191526537729806,0.0720695722124624,0.2683023142163132,0.3286660886827102,0.2729852492325609,-0.5021112866358756,0.3069480804052974,0.328624532092002,0.27928456590304446,0.017709263560952097,6.363465199343031E-4,-0.3311786574091559,0.13218876732293636,-0.19045602822703814,-0.4343067241099695,-0.4341388376626233,-0.4201495878005451,-0.03304778574422077,0.13549621891193303,0.30100948378473297,-0.40104241323988676,0.2705379858450659,-1.3936036079229754,0.29264368365935023,0.21827910213653431;-0.10497480167432865,0.18505754416112882,-0.10994775297484512,0.24674591021574158,-0.10559579407177526,-0.1764116683363955,0.03130200562472059,0.27757642656780557,0.17683778889312976,0.0179343788086523,-0.5006111791884702,0.20591957810159875,-0.09185246538706737,-0.24497485748338435,0.2572116827791813,-0.1760593555569471,-0.1741756244962167,0.18101994472849886,-0.13671451777265714,0.25315542610850483,-0.19289801334881324,-0.13306381552158886,-0.1049189766122535,0.27071201386789895,-0.0289221747861005,-0.08346153962604483,-0.07656732166976543,-0.18361591552734738,0.28654831132221875,-0.26453241915784736,0.2800766028244054,-0.31327308905191137,-0.12550780535719247,0.2659697018998572,0.09722829661864471,0.15197280229478619,0.24831657340978464,-0.24254383703145835,-0.13258745492664373,-0.18508844080194842,-0.12689256793683615,0.2694261799580424,-0.13212626575116715,0.2566077067438764,-0.11834599893167276,0.23280195725529315,0.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k{76}=[0.6484656576124095;1.0188044540905394;0.2271918038917645];
x_a{76}=[10.590018644172558,3.145308015508471,36.58896220314194];
L_a{76}=[-0.05981693859458907,-0.057419739351691805,-0.059399589195357365,0.026104064669759616,-0.06063372206903563,-0.041077135582207505,-0.08326151739226272,0.025761472470069918,1.852784045473032E-4,-0.08171572193268169,0.4594237811791078,-0.048766147708376374,-0.06390867259533725,-0.012239488961595962,1.986544856031443E-4,-0.038518500501440844,-0.03830503062942923,3.595573697999173E-4,-0.048992036261656706,-0.012707104427774058,-0.03453849987065967,-0.05109413514740726,-0.060593088086801784,0.022329028412853075,-0.07711868914057832,-0.03428136538131945,-0.06797811746251672,-0.03861579988692576,0.05098794817176044,-0.0038346594365870003,0.030183061068805927,0.7252902703888964,-0.05263284475296756,0.03449886706097898,-0.08147077797118515,-0.006207068212917933,-0.012118106438549884,-0.012834002004907787,-0.05175080381924602,-0.03709199172479739,-0.05633852970114548,0.010646686075174844,-0.05156497404811288,0.030046258700042842,-0.0559383537011788,-0.030907238947877162,0.034815749443952465,-0.03634922426104537,-0.04232748266181906,-0.04479526712006442,-0.03186482512517417,0.3641324036074843,0.024780072734926325,0.038818816208421765,-0.00950725560020946,0.0016695236023319079,-0.007053309256168614,-0.05688833131260799,-0.01213945898685676,-0.07956498564814539,0.4602073198804708,-0.004995309834060705,-0.058542309954951986,-0.07698163112298062,-0.012780040990417517,-0.05084923102707877,-0.07675095467876128,-0.07017398434424506,-0.05749134888860516,-0.057043839278417115,-0.04455714808790349,-0.06343120894204146,-0.08154273678147829,-0.04111643034226131,-3.04204745018846E-4,0.027388398038643534,-0.08224649456263407,-0.06385639833275115,0.0023022449097578625,-0.05845887599944008,0.0399018261212765,-0.04649263227858895,-0.008628726895201643,-0.05155268447839978,-0.07608670280402664,-0.07514260762555233,-0.008852740492585954,-0.04034326822019723,-0.04420040734341351,0.030023359840160878,0.02061460378368241,0.027801653418645267,-0.029229864074417734,-0.08292969400353772,-0.038702215450789286,0.010955404516882152,-0.06032229073930361,0.940746015302167,-0.05508403345031476,-0.0773217731856149;0.08855241743422454,-0.29010127193237756,0.09419389810190502,-0.32658393466534147,0.08799234744593323,0.18620582869884442,-0.09853461336866966,-0.37778076156549656,-0.23635010509628201,-0.07837628612351026,1.072632111117614,-0.313886687365372,0.06903678122865721,0.28762270061176226,-0.3605724555729406,0.1883116695852606,0.18640904848770987,-0.24399940252849936,0.13493842721057692,-0.36257843546335533,0.21047862647273813,0.1284332376892785,0.0873940003999777,-0.36972582262961023,-0.016387432868109134,0.08402098000747987,0.04797133197509509,0.19650280886590699,-0.375625354106283,0.3161271010121802,-0.3796780379545982,1.2810071386518753,0.1178687586533703,-0.3519813596697667,-0.18340199124971285,-0.20381476101999238,-0.3547106458969059,0.2837314650019628,0.12656615917222638,0.20014382476920783,0.11737150176026083,-0.3751277821192263,0.1275383110590908,-0.34014315457117006,0.10782127893543211,-0.343727838109095,-0.35892264198648416,-0.08088716825248213,-0.3201832013988724,0.1547805356528399,0.2136510646103583,0.976572520948022,-0.32306061369932615,-0.3788748724841933,0.2985233409405252,-0.3699549578067577,0.3072847431826115,0.10179477466417323,-0.16809065645463808,-0.05036339373567631,1.0751219610869072,-0.20932715423006704,0.08989200773667391,-0.012691847789863818,-0.1700557368436695,0.12843078150621234,-0.00846806744337318,-0.2511591028788749,0.11299512215633555,0.10225029896642694,0.15777298895319658,0.07130983921674133,-0.15790994181594523,0.18436347162788963,-0.23786654394954118,-0.32933825395970096,-0.17590658582983149,0.07577296194203362,0.33560744041605867,0.0967296221581156,-0.38180583662194767,0.16677111127091346,0.3026086081836724,0.12385135623615981,-0.21169489937367414,-0.22592133527979066,-0.35786999042183654,0.0105523534026361,-0.3237218562141157,-0.34378520748758434,-0.3719850611032008,-0.33632659645434393,-0.12117688391207952,-0.11453981017328954,0.18432090336258292,-0.36801147208741336,0.08866409588308956,1.4427796787905334,0.1265633290239317,-0.014848842702314624;-0.14519262271648933,0.1464514761176738,-0.14988496982955057,0.2642969354943298,-0.1463627781499795,-0.20402981340674872,-0.024678739710242086,0.294897110540047,0.1769623605260505,-0.03700705347181566,-0.19171834969743592,0.17313173827676953,-0.134821357106875,-0.25320405791173056,0.25734524779836976,-0.20195720650646803,-0.19992994932567618,0.18126169253928223,-0.16965423339763186,0.24461182518462748,-0.21611991736963407,-0.16741687390174936,-0.145658640498819,0.2857248996800567,-0.08077279957120677,-0.1065105596926041,-0.12227229800464212,-0.20957918555990518,0.32082997506260175,-0.2671106461718298,0.3003701346749247,0.17437464056224636,-0.1608954126294602,0.28916495886577054,0.042451552010936824,0.14779949011183544,0.24016898432271044,-0.2511727573342233,-0.16738202341662456,-0.21002718090357128,-0.16477168643629175,0.27658446196517533,-0.1667958918978029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x_a{76}=[10.590018644172558,3.1453080155084714,36.58896220314194];
std_x_a{76}=[1.4765883099777979,3.5040837087293055,2.0253119851126504];
pred_a{76}=[10.590018644172558];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.5 to 7.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{77}=[3.945961545184121,-0.8565190372047995,28.734647838365326];
std_x_f{77}=[1.9221119289328243,2.497601185929716,1.6777488141422665];
pred_f{77}=[3.945961545184121];
obs{77}=[3.8297022333621404];
sqrt_r{77}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{77}=[4.699861496576842];
L_f{77}=[0.07312475115157165,-0.18019851240686027,0.07717203204864066,-0.20614136284628043,0.0729975685027701,0.13841903789779908,-0.05270499692446967,-0.23779368071601867,-0.14756588263441361,-0.03978847711967632,0.5703320405755654,-0.19585576186861534,0.060178106986451166,0.20673862458327383,-0.22667979080548728,0.1401184551418771,0.1390620766331405,-0.15275104683859356,0.10415041549919182,-0.22776707593231824,0.1553303452696083,0.10019359696102043,0.07249235300320735,-0.23291527529336917,0.00194380853503685,0.06744166885514706,0.045499138897739294,0.14620796383631535,-0.23772563735157595,0.22555824305253497,-0.23930389824103504,0.513424845017602,0.09231023881403079,-0.2223020432712988,-0.1098210147794326,-0.12628452064178558,-0.22289368671832288,0.20440118122943915,0.09893377328053217,0.14841473492842625,0.09281882332232486,-0.235977659556136,0.09908177124748369,-0.21501979042162034,0.08625387270528656,-0.21583726080934537,-0.22687876436375884,-0.04411612649683239,-0.2001477052351104,0.11740548602184989,0.15699050908809586,0.5610594446574142,-0.20431194529463526,-0.23920822149789106,0.2133110960357145,-0.23214529728425248,0.2193215879906638,0.08130335359860999,-0.10308682069526025,-0.020721342323116957,0.5723161413215646,-0.12998526684790254,0.07408755964772294,0.004656971082711731,-0.10414762350583284,0.09982564579244253,0.007977902245190379,-0.1545030064493622,0.08977653737132626,0.08239170155504748,0.11959371057098235,0.0614501018783206,-0.0931139817066707,0.13763148337980624,-0.148558029050187,-0.20778844874306135,-0.10556342851421327,0.06441236268045084,0.23868013146462144,0.07867943700054958,-0.24099671460983677,0.1267848113365303,0.21663137914130481,0.09739597945820337,-0.1285049367984442,-0.13788023726505277,-0.22480597159390348,0.017826848851400585,-0.2024175100331694,-0.21664691897164592,-0.23447756696251384,-0.21190745074686207,-0.07121567999733636,-0.06377234821237526,0.13758629723307145,-0.23168630863427017,0.07326406241147666,0.41835662948730723,0.09912866250230315,0.0034697252294642895;0.17149660647709133,-0.2130790726763469,0.17729692295348656,-0.3130992757014271,0.17208463643844543,0.2552424616128626,-0.0012687881430907745,-0.35911781258372466,-0.20753204165850972,0.01811278798626593,0.28233836781873517,-0.24333236572942918,0.1552099501519695,0.3317088188322965,-0.32444682428375327,0.2547793585067839,0.2528995595645753,-0.2153203900193761,0.20914857092099776,-0.3163314242678687,0.27414285673360766,0.20479615649640298,0.17149415926754427,-0.3494678338155682,0.07748154542945385,0.1413225132599899,0.13665922191905566,0.2639526253025409,-0.37759320889449094,0.3509235037383348,-0.3644878633580123,-0.14438118685666043,0.19544931341743,-0.34317812804807385,-0.0891337529272633,-0.17185033947928002,-0.309545254946144,0.32768923657698973,0.20390843545540963,0.265280438186071,0.1985674980118499,-0.34585764424093474,0.20414655299440074,-0.32908122971905385,0.18788731565052738,-0.28550559913634566,-0.3501200073432386,-0.024795685885198468,-0.25367159996823785,0.22584183903818913,0.2745398442616911,0.3961206666342023,-0.3091143147369635,-0.37097180395451224,0.33822465525524353,-0.3334607878997548,0.3459283249605745,0.18268240944690134,-0.13121100990588488,0.045276722554183677,0.28298159801319905,-0.17741265420325705,0.17134624480074778,0.08151731426291882,-0.13339429520228213,0.20461921952912276,0.08647631833342492,-0.1652404529911774,0.19494271179521802,0.18334079652347768,0.2289382551794005,0.15711940778072553,-0.06333320386213223,0.25271553868441765,-0.20862029256908055,-0.31655553419228477,-0.0810285366037959,0.1621453168243321,0.36460771373482526,0.17879177522951786,-0.3747899840889732,0.24109608025145912,0.34246313912224746,0.20021447658797234,-0.1215458378028535,-0.13652577490003348,-0.31524248340144545,0.07180020248472388,-0.25623047449122016,-0.3315745766818065,-0.35088564875098954,-0.32299211346901646,-0.07101891752328675,-0.018513826995970546,0.2516342811490932,-0.3399900497090419,0.17266385134340104,-0.5472403297589026,0.20728284118447524,0.07975927470789038;-0.06287670716306067,-0.052145053112012535,-0.06179332071374117,-0.0037108421150811384,-0.06335996702085145,-0.038131603264283144,-0.08285508465470827,9.03596955904164E-4,-0.023682077150152983,-0.08146418306352848,0.6407097736983217,-0.043760569111028984,-0.06736122825937775,0.002765996821474445,-0.011972026010092526,-0.03648192288723263,-0.035492355332690115,-0.02365466413825848,-0.049620212804255874,-0.019100009422238634,-0.0298400165012972,-0.05197628572454546,-0.06350614927549478,-0.0016146895815453465,-0.07943387320252503,-0.04371562390708101,-0.07141455603673412,-0.034998098619267226,0.012995144086022179,0.01492012810962932,0.0035895729428826618,0.8168177135890062,-0.054926067058191946,0.0028633776706494408,-0.07699008814135745,-0.02915477713127394,-0.019901108209980506,3.719074272767076E-4,-0.05333556257421949,-0.032546914008292294,-0.05725965006737619,-0.006223894248382784,-0.052937414604136715,-5.219168676404556E-4,-0.05771798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k{77}=[0.7872277724081121;0.8015736665476751;0.38819742057226414];
x_a{77}=[3.8544389861168034,-0.9497094400522539,28.689516273398528];
L_a{77}=[-0.044503447826837426,0.10966813519474233,-0.04696660772012601,0.1254568561521245,-0.044426044946331476,-0.08424130454211261,0.032076062398898764,0.14472033745949428,0.08980803975974574,0.024215117148699793,-0.34710192940168283,0.11919707817997954,-0.03662416900453015,-0.12582034739322479,0.13795646596595096,-0.0852755634690398,-0.08463265549180116,0.0929637111432421,-0.06338555016350446,0.1386181835944257,-0.0945334624428612,-0.06097744532074375,-0.044118572698261936,0.14175135831377367,-0.0011829945451038225,-0.041044745369849915,-0.02769060437422154,-0.08898161549938834,0.14467892652445846,-0.13727389623240968,0.1456394501507968,-0.3124684247592396,-0.05617966327745694,0.13529218532336815,0.06683665550391128,0.07685628309448371,0.13565225729437763,-0.12439778818163937,-0.060210721379086736,-0.0903246480652012,-0.05648918589153732,0.1436151138290744,-0.06030079238373265,0.13086023369749866,-0.05249378169979462,0.13135774309311637,0.13807756052326606,0.026848908241812835,0.12180913872963707,-0.07145253610405741,-0.095543831882983,-0.3414586624891233,0.12434347952819064,0.14558122164567752,-0.12982032873703508,0.14128275260070186,-0.133478291477671,-0.04948091443788654,0.06273825037621969,0.012610930806005895,-0.348309445634452,0.0791085432815021,-0.045089409447231873,-0.002834215041374508,0.06338385096687377,-0.060753511626943084,-0.004855321224964013,0.09402994715642117,-0.05463766213299548,-0.05014327890045227,-0.07278428131374534,-0.037398300299541005,0.05666881817132653,-0.08376200183201317,0.09041185632740036,0.12645926641840713,0.064245504556543,-0.03920112105422406,-0.14525982804264467,-0.047884008690040426,0.14666969180991996,-0.07716075812491079,-0.13184104051564596,-0.059274825857218945,0.07820761999513076,0.08391339250862352,0.13681606665919907,-0.010849352993089423,0.12319053337121522,0.13185049799779744,0.14270216313284148,0.1289660755068212,0.04334159432070885,0.03881161066219042,-0.0837345017134889,0.14100341383898454,-0.04458823213432891,-0.25461026725148456,-0.06032933022460785,-0.0021116616917144487;0.05172483260267719,0.08206990411489101,0.050896066521168196,0.024541759764272038,0.05252117631844608,0.028524511179840117,0.08505726253439724,0.030366876348053046,0.034167618827615466,0.08328273946421692,-0.6518142839360537,0.07746177925036783,0.056643616473353975,-0.0069104777088997635,0.04683431129205978,0.025277915280000084,0.02512836944473113,0.03487210367007148,0.0385595457598865,0.05673058667910171,0.019725703902498854,0.04068804467520365,0.05275819675428579,0.032026465242087236,0.0742977616538203,0.03085911769795027,0.062135719415164374,0.024477113831137744,0.011780031118400362,-0.018520637362413477,0.027470426222778975,-0.9853249640394504,0.044253434109612175,0.020932650302764748,0.09074320448701408,0.03499236168486067,0.05553458222589207,-0.0071015377140663215,0.04186380165779089,0.02219043389145165,0.0465386029636138,0.040652565157070164,0.0418595118209967,0.023101872600449,0.04661122000903093,0.06801644624806699,0.021487029048002995,0.04746256653662993,0.0741523627173058,0.03354219901237224,0.017403492221956057,-0.5228443059278656,0.025530299108600885,0.02082977571527841,-0.011159759145513688,0.046772356343095,-0.013300735363285224,0.049514819416272796,0.037635942504968996,0.07921641996189703,-0.6544208325394867,0.03549153682287211,0.04999747709497865,0.07388961394702863,0.037190156924501235,0.041113778670432026,0.07340923107971903,0.08782159316899492,0.047896807858008345,0.048390590302266404,0.03305449990180151,0.05646966072758004,0.0891791341067329,0.027287531808909523,0.034704414625429926,0.02378328002102389,0.09187487695045958,0.056643652665658566,-0.026328901896742616,0.049921924890294296,0.01994098664480737,0.03343394786849261,-0.012359600757354929,0.040688610937292355,0.08893370557455091,0.08930966849491498,0.05296950462368197,0.042601425382596224,0.07531122456581163,0.023273616044012648,0.03316754372614288,0.02409325603259545,0.04562596928492319,0.08593955095400478,0.026280285123041567,0.03949131235430228,0.05266389813905101,-1.2324709095109516,0.04491899634773602,0.07407617645394421;-0.12088147405574437,0.09079386349233774,-0.12300851336906578,0.15980672902925092,-0.1212638487853081,-0.14792977557025308,-0.04104788514237503,0.1895287450934453,0.09337164937508804,-0.04990275818349167,0.18830512897764703,0.11159815188113013,-0.11509632496496225,-0.16122534041823078,0.16783724811243658,-0.14762812441099532,-0.14580060543528914,0.09751209164489172,-0.13223547614080633,0.16157173218680482,-0.1530527499032637,-0.1314528807808094,-0.12100927880734576,0.1831407596525112,-0.08097576099268126,-0.09721239783370698,-0.1075058507627949,-0.150974682834927,0.2015663181664765,-0.16399950037384423,0.19341267135192947,0.4095535795828777,-0.12814934371751724,0.17920008988716601,0.010123266254817968,0.07101792864378934,0.15690491350417846,-0.1617652989644074,-0.1318128273385946,-0.15027397587710858,-0.13088635135904933,0.18096073091448334,-0.13153207583740104,0.170038291875741,-0.126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x_a{77}=[3.8544389861168025,-0.9497094400522558,28.689516273398546];
std_x_a{77}=[1.169790072437948,1.9620398104171826,1.4959049747403774];
pred_a{77}=[3.8544389861168025];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.6 to 7.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{78}=[0.980906145872563,-0.3950007653396835,22.01509637174794];
std_x_f{78}=[1.471710710902694,1.8555131849373065,1.4910863597784683];
pred_f{78}=[0.980906145872563];
obs{78}=[0.9975157728908689];
sqrt_r{78}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{78}=[3.1664779213316883];
L_f{78}=[0.02335604302905757,0.08435699589013333,0.022250174491054306,0.04850987407631563,0.02390681693293182,-0.006802556342249485,0.07001435090267352,0.05513819415727293,0.048296296742568676,0.06591505950711593,-0.5351508742054618,0.08336671681801403,0.029741019432488976,-0.04670479177308747,0.06538620466239431,-0.008850416274585412,-0.009362017059984613,0.049262543134104976,0.007313082544085204,0.07219912448642737,-0.016664636996712705,0.010117340113289804,0.024812859036892915,0.05605969950108868,0.05330219008921495,0.010088498194622268,0.03602522846371547,-0.010812924724648636,0.042611467870963,-0.058583718056430735,0.053941380387306496,-0.7031338155843279,0.014632160913661086,0.04754689239224832,0.0823157710939129,0.04569816911936598,0.07065396670480681,-0.04634008006939507,0.011413014515109936,-0.013146753814261568,0.016371026843041075,0.062247281605005575,0.011412518132851372,0.04830434928424731,0.017719790203183827,0.07916370658461376,0.048272207793951194,0.0422822546632583,0.0818942878567492,0.0014060158523850378,-0.018488407981983916,-0.46035464111150315,0.04847086336496952,0.04931529001060552,-0.05120974883939472,0.06609263943179974,-0.054361900838817645,0.020203023947833833,0.044460290544951944,0.06012859554795673,-0.5370757493311908,0.04684571489646245,0.021910119412720617,0.05256926892778768,0.04449918903269412,0.010643079561143465,0.051037230354871135,0.08595118945179732,0.01780334468614534,0.01901801736638358,5.700708093449091E-4,0.029281584473492422,0.0790982177049492,-0.0071514956881692,0.04838135213970542,0.04812705445626328,0.0822322589470916,0.028500897576798016,-0.06734617436859451,0.021241469503166483,0.049455616729240925,-7.510077821904224E-4,-0.05319433169796827,0.011080427918896985,0.0830930497894726,0.08494601416984705,0.06935166562320386,0.027478648747604383,0.0827261091191052,0.048916757758328606,0.05692139192437292,0.0490175139181228,0.04529163142242922,0.07243575386843865,-0.007745057940948163,0.06104094031814511,0.02377512871599065,-0.8122440713755286,0.013540147688690371,0.0527190379744908;0.0668220447473154,0.07235486940082193,0.06567876977976254,-6.803836037360335E-4,0.06783093674980846,0.037248834782385686,0.09914405072740091,-0.0021782327260519443,0.02281600982004763,0.0979970043416012,-0.6730850141555278,0.06282467131095756,0.07249231063172185,-0.008165906184126104,0.019400247883747265,0.03380828915354242,0.03402645122264951,0.023231448985875272,0.0508773268368236,0.030353137832788576,0.026885382893019356,0.05363479926509765,0.06825217824782659,0.0014421706177407058,0.090655254715963,0.04111017456422977,0.07844346536471515,0.03331663058816892,-0.02264845723196932,-0.023960954581611408,-0.005164664590217201,-0.9062725505370549,0.05784579006356526,-0.0077328025515604835,0.09737993716162847,0.027745295360603498,0.030327935092050035,-0.008500118282583896,0.05495059846162103,0.03027247358834306,0.06089883897219808,0.009923541186276986,0.05509287545357437,-0.0038371677624200263,0.060749199038178735,0.04664081157715454,-0.008625592465230052,0.054492887835259,0.05820545868734187,0.04430865071089028,0.02375249411488349,-0.5690298272035742,5.310471532138638E-4,-0.012765699865681882,-0.014036924880100476,0.01853893987325249,-0.016819806315810353,0.06350833851404919,0.034925021382683996,0.09511721809495202,-0.6746212972545436,0.028033549396844774,0.06458360542287774,0.09067556481623243,0.03425481409680023,0.053800302473903085,0.08971616747218968,0.08465307473098335,0.06239841442757297,0.062392240275458304,0.04390850606089141,0.07238988865929459,0.09787401951843938,0.036251568388075306,0.022828015585499607,-0.001950824225276055,0.09871689438617136,0.07279801306357118,-0.0332808764332565,0.06484488517375889,-0.013260163944167807,0.04429680382675312,-0.01605881201288815,0.053586744230364976,0.09051073363432215,0.08975401857988094,0.026837342506950513,0.05284389461775935,0.058544097090790524,-0.0038477591461221375,0.002039495189489738,-0.0017370077449312322,0.0490618978280182,0.09880409527093917,0.035466148619672414,0.010053718366613493,0.06778938298473335,-1.0575818440875442,0.05950253885981252,0.09077843944558943;-0.09986242143753216,0.06382316687698113,-0.10132697900899523,0.09996705897631963,-0.10014401650599854,-0.12358118976981303,-0.032264474428455196,0.12171335093527126,0.05470528198750419,-0.0398499110541767,0.29544080496870934,0.07752304514095919,-0.09474398830724201,-0.13704787592227763,0.11032392828822235,-0.12394979756812723,-0.1225809660595078,0.05771593777091409,-0.10966503063870865,0.10927430254308497,-0.12861217511486725,-0.10957727671379146,-0.09949061661841915,0.11836204395573137,-0.06521609117867255,-0.08571764620399441,-0.08786798931715052,-0.1265321628771488,0.1273259291940374,-0.13976051094135644,0.12414670712740584,0.6085680580638756,-0.10674960618336249,0.11315743149352445,0.006558064392233732,0.03971144173686256,0.10459833823797071,-0.13687955934732834,-0.10928039206184068,-0.12614836289447506,-0.10813399684790365,0.11844470195947818,-0.10947805025585002,0.106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k{78}=[0.6841917029443734;0.8378093475355739;-0.42027741218484954];
x_a{78}=[0.9922703148674886,-0.38108506456466734,22.008115720687332];
L_a{78}=[-0.021625243442703657,-0.07810572064581825,-0.020601325293546552,-0.04491504982115772,-0.022135202246014413,0.0062984528993559495,-0.06482593737601478,-0.05105217823749652,-0.044717299635889836,-0.06103042397242893,0.49549351826724003,-0.07718882620508831,-0.027537061164924107,0.04324373314337711,-0.060540759916375836,0.008194556169855642,0.00866824477866542,-0.04561194233784961,-0.006771146556618153,-0.06684880831169021,0.015429704059452522,-0.009367594616533432,-0.022974102099175202,-0.05190539542711112,-0.049352231252292385,-0.009340890028270616,-0.033355578881132913,0.010011632929740786,-0.03945374501211916,0.05424237158549827,-0.04994405435285976,0.6510280836480257,-0.01354784461807453,-0.044023429895517316,-0.07621576081466754,-0.04231170626217191,-0.06541815444864661,0.04290604840076298,-0.010567253065825585,0.012172513612900698,-0.015157851886441044,-0.05763444675453191,-0.010566793467974607,-0.04472475544396112,-0.01640666513675915,-0.07329728004821673,-0.04469499579882779,-0.039148928149420684,-0.07582551159311296,-0.0013018230465793605,0.017118324494479264,0.4262400600833461,-0.04487892999860553,-0.04566078040702727,0.04741485036287442,-0.06119484433665963,0.05033341213599321,-0.018705878842881527,-0.04116556068045219,-0.05567276592934499,0.4972757505203199,-0.04337421315858764,-0.020286469997050256,-0.04867362321408748,-0.04120157659573073,-0.009854374142205776,-0.047255116360777116,-0.07958177649238815,-0.016484027814697533,-0.017608687175046933,-5.278257115867563E-4,-0.02711167263391176,-0.07323664422202937,0.0066215340947821605,-0.04479605200275729,-0.04456059904933924,-0.07613843733554972,-0.026388838540288024,0.062355486066013974,-0.019667370389549934,-0.04579070821407187,6.953543499225078E-4,0.04925236570721058,-0.010259312799576818,-0.07693543927190413,-0.07865108972546783,-0.06421236038968202,-0.025442343461355862,-0.07659569074019233,-0.04529178138760702,-0.05270323213271531,-0.045385071012103345,-0.041935295041574505,-0.06706790227316833,0.00717111041636954,-0.05651750138964759,-0.022013272784489196,0.7520527238511996,-0.012536755033967154,-0.0488122936254714;0.011741367638781516,-0.12658467043003258,0.013206068165641844,-0.11508147060502992,0.011451366694324398,0.05329133859751802,-0.06597115522747342,-0.13221092126605705,-0.09108139665012294,-0.05745082150733703,0.5889640611004389,-0.13377948826088315,0.0023539106381308367,0.1019782458828237,-0.13480037684883933,0.054680271641760286,0.05610494448985458,-0.0929446613483565,0.03363084643868116,-0.13991443096763656,0.06618568253730792,0.029775023733599314,0.00973588441113851,-0.13076370874201745,-0.035047575931725465,0.017318417078739285,-0.006515017298739078,0.05881680690726034,-0.12313930236361938,0.11419733079528667,-0.13237490102476268,0.75193156443689,0.023338689281006034,-0.11986288486530708,-0.09674577167196913,-0.08002493329428594,-0.13629568011806453,0.10078393228670247,0.028035227285104214,0.061276531123595206,0.022290961672313172,-0.13687454506076835,0.028178674897906115,-0.11775356458329121,0.01896052612820616,-0.14005136721687356,-0.12246618984325106,-0.04522157208546791,-0.13492626404749766,0.040992836252150396,0.06735380230906465,0.5166269045866161,-0.11377804068568965,-0.12906620343165257,0.10673129074283651,-0.13732767363078205,0.11138214567510761,0.015863442616993097,-0.06992591182596727,-0.04668435986267655,0.591967220968823,-0.08244294240102973,0.012912857459275512,-0.03329881406467469,-0.07068785361673575,0.02870067288260443,-0.030645196916166406,-0.11804606002394628,0.020412694548160974,0.017541951530099215,0.0425641051219368,0.00333497650640429,-0.08866371651186734,0.053116977667937104,-0.09126997746777481,-0.11544910573607307,-0.09521186731952523,0.005584198858059578,0.12554195499741724,0.014751017751136108,-0.12989160073668016,0.04606790936485143,0.10938965563271479,0.027455713744342844,-0.10544803556828566,-0.1105746061073243,-0.13671504932493087,-0.011959144885233515,-0.13654931403051285,-0.11920840203973089,-0.1321985178700881,-0.11733526441144713,-0.05774959087295189,-0.07202151782529152,0.05373135883107299,-0.13389944698259007,0.011720373932554295,0.8579375516035878,0.0275707385152611,-0.03354914055299206;-0.07223183399582202,0.1636188963317735,-0.07500465244436581,0.15735504699228786,-0.07186185437363207,-0.1316287270862944,0.05056366740978847,0.18694275187211357,0.11184060446469452,0.03812870086955699,-0.33765158169308895,0.1761472579796945,-0.059559867563303,-0.1923004215451666,0.18767689613291091,-0.13441998725163767,-0.13365638798285603,0.11599434580323702,-0.10101353233262145,0.19468706787560597,-0.14832671790574903,-0.09760829505324302,-0.07013659160464694,0.18468160104396533,-0.0021587135971006706,-0.07378278501302758,-0.04524954474861224,-0.1393240327042995,0.1777360045464192,-0.20906602396874982,0.18796025746483933,-0.22325094272129695,-0.0894395164098892,0.16940619615760508,0.10393899095640055,0.09377313601477605,0.18818315621043635,-0.19170064495760533,-0.09577860602980913,-0.1417011913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x_a{78}=[0.9922703148674886,-0.3810850645646685,22.008115720687325];
std_x_a{78}=[1.3626495875568443,1.7273184443736742,1.4530746133039065];
pred_a{78}=[0.9922703148674886];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.7 to 7.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{79}=[0.3361751738475875,0.12669931864506093,17.17702067434075];
std_x_f{79}=[1.9703450575251358,2.8182625823107132,1.3565504350421356];
pred_f{79}=[0.3361751738475875];
obs{79}=[0.32898684671732453];
sqrt_r{79}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{79}=[4.882281125175249];
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k{79}=[0.7951777100987599;1.1332769885148983;0.16704645572052018];
x_a{79}=[0.3304591763407042,0.11855295292241658,17.17581988977108];
L_a{79}=[0.002729879806166837,0.07828174965029873,0.00201819064756436,0.06310129961131249,0.00370793198739851,-0.02460240931379277,0.050012658573465374,0.07200566473876154,0.053774381597361025,0.04551527112629083,-0.42793392467807234,0.08064791089951617,0.008816234569986805,-0.05962801323510556,0.07580889995549914,-0.025999931274672573,-0.026723669496507348,0.05433459037047543,-0.011390830736408007,0.07981933086649423,-0.03356316673169811,-0.008825806264804996,0.004382949544392925,0.07150550538311479,0.03237010167022823,-0.003270566462645242,0.015129165408707325,-0.028327652903324455,0.0642468957315416,-0.06871201883459965,0.0715428540835236,-0.5205945342846507,-0.004390708970387096,0.06502180464186455,0.06591204543170803,0.048470211629502546,0.07827946449882245,-0.05853505165006395,-0.0077314214794119455,-0.0304083984866073,-0.0036068091408288016,0.07614766303741478,-0.007562541873096499,0.06427403406897716,-0.001733142820191598,0.08215771812707993,0.06626682527686828,0.03289069541983097,0.08065053673163942,-0.016592336800116868,-0.03447665498908259,-0.37939269859361846,0.06257629779971453,0.06884796331615871,-0.06305056882835035,0.07706557967392377,-0.06623643679165085,3.4857568786532715E-4,0.04375686435127945,0.039316760358037134,-0.42953615045522503,0.04970467765312355,0.002377383886794446,0.031540340018056084,0.044025964745476716,-0.008287702758719467,0.029848619152316604,0.07516824823024856,-0.002148954324820599,-6.387523431969464E-4,-0.01761717455520467,0.008710602372535918,0.061931393159429866,-0.024498994261686717,0.05388023477297903,0.06312865102752686,0.06568205586562745,0.0075936777220420365,-0.07714524800872521,0.0010700699915826828,0.06941167211773837,-0.019424345095892005,-0.06535846449314005,-0.0073311162122318965,0.06970612728686215,0.07221497275961637,0.0778526541661521,0.01462642778119475,0.08134036463900098,0.06500362647495682,0.07234705094311042,0.06412159895286525,0.038819889514220385,0.053182738384746665,-0.02483477149101625,0.07420677119840108,0.0033153216724233626,-0.5675699886372383,-0.00641864529232765,0.03155396180729437;0.012162456021339103,0.1008609618958291,0.012602375755704604,0.0716817055308454,0.015329486824723638,-0.018549497592881315,0.06983284641204585,0.082377584533906,0.06422751973422638,0.06466195142533218,-0.5699256746929414,0.10234199602925724,0.01994986610961056,-0.05849777451117909,0.0904030922154425,-0.019994504485807956,-0.020174430547474632,0.06382537724164071,-0.0032888768020297417,0.09723595778636533,-0.028180313871099646,-7.052397592427767E-5,0.015879885923429888,0.08258847925125225,0.04865242194033543,0.00374375915053661,0.02866770710929756,-0.022093682782297577,0.0691065479085561,-0.06797893112219403,0.08180634010102325,-0.8000358631781949,0.00559924505075979,0.0731867990280238,0.08819404369152221,0.05801397332159228,0.09563581849685905,-0.056117026743743026,0.00155521661979578,-0.025163233922539247,0.005983451632684366,0.08966894888920744,0.0011999172822671374,0.07273967921769744,0.008414061916472659,0.10281370484400328,0.0749020771338731,0.04359643980903724,0.10148686326369342,-0.009039337985404416,-0.028931453996990382,-0.4775259031114848,0.07093719475407306,0.07694077349754215,-0.06167589078404593,0.09210308259827966,-0.0650648390007344,0.009251373647293738,0.053509907789424375,0.05681492633381925,-0.5723970657707791,0.059181569634232406,0.013246616190730115,0.047344943284055925,0.053496088757667794,2.9958298452006774E-4,0.045762762559892235,0.09871125148101821,0.008105217392073698,0.009414793923703006,-0.010480198240319994,0.020775750098626606,0.08364070418396172,-0.017535803112561223,0.06416351048622382,0.0712771372275286,0.0889930350561251,0.01976813503250573,-0.07778122350328855,0.011950611780056561,0.07742019870380734,-0.011416616629123825,-0.06486912609339136,0.002080156036515287,0.09245879588952999,0.09556945283628428,0.09418280466886864,0.024093691657079096,0.10205176879143091,0.0734314925331296,0.08271541934123572,0.07292266769623378,0.04901157815930581,0.07345782149768544,-0.018103005886954533,0.08700594914438624,0.014477495089024033,-0.9643485958925172,0.004006447829269034,0.047736126570573856;-0.0862001610689074,0.14496093158619447,-0.08850693911392368,0.126855742145855,-0.08578222683762983,-0.14363221865767284,0.03625985940473077,0.15706747727796525,0.08515183672055153,0.023461340606417354,-0.0586036864870187,0.15675977333274324,-0.07335397998212664,-0.19979302722798578,0.1607213315729839,-0.14568388807751037,-0.14548812832492364,0.08974152523356259,-0.11475309165714319,0.16969030547057792,-0.15925114625342582,-0.11135252857419609,-0.08397272587518387,0.15454821664801277,-0.01599599180645618,-0.09069446896635704,-0.05854601624390747,-0.1505991588383361,0.14360109150293418,-0.21420305437746207,0.15692285032348915,0.20555096961392394,-0.10242542312372181,0.13722683214273226,0.08930726898045378,0.0682965154412785,0.16366162316494748,-0.19935985056447658,-0.10929715547114462,-0.15302542411133488,-0.10156280909568031,0.1646642536218753,-0.10919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x_a{79}=[0.3304591763407039,0.11855295292241642,17.175819889771084];
std_x_a{79}=[1.1605774285774926,1.6711657758243639,1.314766432893442];
pred_a{79}=[0.3304591763407039];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.8 to 7.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 7.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{80}=[0.32808533267218204,0.5138689211398321,13.4674549039783];
std_x_f{80}=[1.9072081761463648,2.923397408292821,1.677012029299622];
pred_f{80}=[0.32808533267218204];
obs{80}=[0.32979482504718943];
sqrt_r{80}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{80}=[4.637577687361091];
L_f{80}=[0.011604318228486,0.12272910007867108,0.011287138888682477,0.09230157795770783,0.01461344127429243,-0.03187767234139985,0.08482256193978038,0.10456604499129565,0.08206804372263281,0.07853704079631743,-0.7119873895905812,0.12407286529630089,0.02166277402457772,-0.08826852351965386,0.11271119532533011,-0.033555935381551424,-0.03435520261353301,0.0817190086001117,-0.010351499588099024,0.12049945683109245,-0.04519392350334968,-0.005757695703754625,0.015625860680947495,0.10469378634592331,0.058538057688075254,5.624417747915239E-4,0.03212843889042765,-0.03675103332511513,0.0907880953715343,-0.10234821539326386,0.10421506938874092,-0.8701664007331631,0.0010038362986953169,0.09456695937102326,0.1075953977900694,0.07465622775623815,0.11824031827012597,-0.0858414019861601,-0.003146821920879242,-0.04092532650170303,0.002175806083594184,0.11257168855055498,-0.0037400035023983174,0.09379738018175832,0.005727616030794507,0.12557335369992031,0.09600630138632422,0.05454276592386794,0.12424263929845349,-0.018381402396027764,-0.04675006000809566,-0.6295931852755052,0.09091565246916328,0.09888624311315836,-0.09323002106229422,0.11448905252853514,-0.09861679508703054,0.007443037765207695,0.0676644169642179,0.06840729324414116,-0.7144806065476437,0.07580940162456998,0.011862893406579889,0.05707748904421555,0.0684986060144297,-0.005401091542074663,0.054930180231460415,0.11964769917202361,0.004890019880820885,0.006838655674267831,-0.020002784624118607,0.02153867070201044,0.10177357630493443,-0.030590348916874975,0.08195645092067333,0.09178544087160995,0.10776633656116158,0.020272940803725038,-0.11685082021651694,0.01013184225083428,0.09980052792447826,-0.02168773656256923,-0.09747448889106125,-0.0033460146409836156,0.11290284974523614,0.11604662386188894,0.11690936215264781,0.02850565959947681,0.12471357068449561,0.09392279503767638,0.10536628186999036,0.0939636305871789,0.061946902239317155,0.08941697142223386,-0.03129168534314172,0.10928353179588353,0.013605538787134231,-0.9533504147693084,-0.0013785347556716592,0.057276282251006456;0.019144781205407656,0.19200009986876637,0.018750940442451236,0.1423176170160793,0.024764864195261155,-0.05320415402573501,0.1375077894665169,0.16094940250141668,0.1276565784493175,0.1272778087862892,-1.1426073276942001,0.19363539495541546,0.03558209781009061,-0.14921655638161677,0.17398553081835458,-0.05619827445584529,-0.057002621638390885,0.1275480933551456,-0.016986226303519418,0.18596121855798908,-0.07631462835927023,-0.009508286015140062,0.026087400367224886,0.16095074527572695,0.0960212520182836,9.927798665245828E-4,0.05371530485387389,-0.0612053663304628,0.1382162033722101,-0.17384915947516894,0.15945106281232493,-1.2948533791556458,0.002372696595828269,0.1448509025787527,0.17117116229286455,0.11636286981030096,0.18352568296959978,-0.14456166335128992,-0.005560951274132782,-0.06833509247137311,0.003981679724086797,0.17295012798264758,-0.005895699849390006,0.1442075275182867,0.009508982796655211,0.19482855152210637,0.14734598134494253,0.0872857055774976,0.19317868207310518,-0.030608931232127674,-0.07883225584847052,-1.0366739880293308,0.1409306519952266,0.1506424213804117,-0.15817722389127106,0.1767910978095394,-0.1668372522087321,0.013201301139601695,0.10706806436890336,0.11202086029757363,-1.1452524974749734,0.11882383933037205,0.019817898364461635,0.09360671831525287,0.10795957631696089,-0.008638695434925212,0.09009959503350992,0.18881151806663332,0.008419413300477473,0.01169688887954445,-0.03351211513835567,0.03639878603233898,0.1626905288166688,-0.05075902328021895,0.12807273044373588,0.14152669693827688,0.1720634200382391,0.03406692171683972,-0.19869137938572767,0.017234426007549434,0.15219736717308177,-0.03631481863709896,-0.16566408942904276,-0.005373276176460424,0.1782950555151939,0.18391163334212182,0.18056308370750673,0.04636273786156324,0.1937377879396624,0.1449258065735287,0.16162314736103192,0.1447333933186123,0.09878698635920831,0.1439102940215448,-0.05140598148400144,0.16818334761215536,0.022533709046406784,-1.336017594252594,-0.0015381870290009441,0.09380147250843598;-0.09550648584479339,0.09962809903304276,-0.09729079987148888,0.0787256544440741,-0.09491873193582698,-0.14127699517205347,0.007811188712661371,0.1040658369243433,0.04472293040690901,-0.003387826311822894,0.3055643276157742,0.10914636053601792,-0.08526764547728476,-0.18190171343498032,0.1095523534807343,-0.1429656600110492,-0.1431164894863053,0.04762107298317126,-0.11907042690128904,0.11745607197443554,-0.1529867447951555,-0.11593838969110572,-0.0936813275579482,0.10286392368977175,-0.03707867904433793,-0.09930130833088127,-0.07268356211538711,-0.14656839628871246,0.09097019770400154,-0.19107959119442716,0.10395452492975474,0.7222293435528937,-0.10877219240379574,0.08708526722580855,0.052821144206771475,0.03039116865538851,0.11251043448540302,-0.18156929209768224,-0.11454670763678365,-0.1485727609604487,-0.10833019719620116,0.11212137372844257,-0.11469255795974477,0.08360089937982818,-0.10475933040712208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k{80}=[0.7843701890481912;1.2001648683705075;-0.34768438858685935];
x_a{80}=[0.32942620752954305,0.5159205938310633,13.466860540167103];
L_a{80}=[-0.007145242947626406,-0.07556921652260266,-0.006949942939798336,-0.056833773942715125,-0.008998080382643138,0.019628358081821517,-0.052228644593013476,-0.0643854969179624,-0.050532577536107764,-0.048358397781594446,0.4383991178200207,-0.07639662652252681,-0.013338636555586272,0.054350460988563304,-0.06940079181385307,0.020661731772183528,0.02115387258047028,-0.05031766264851497,0.006373832393501414,-0.07419633598134368,0.02782770662003886,0.0035452435732795285,-0.009621467511728113,-0.06446415238011902,-0.036044223850799896,-3.4631790042724157E-4,-0.019782765077619353,0.022629081391412526,-0.055901862169676554,0.06301989051331623,-0.06416938719918672,0.5357962627082566,-6.181021661587827E-4,-0.05822865990227458,-0.06625079062114406,-0.04596882594637789,-0.07280529399571181,0.05285598516682521,0.001937624140848135,0.025199360686935842,-0.0013397308457157506,-0.06931489191185278,0.002302869769980144,-0.05775479920951666,-0.0035267223153433473,-0.07732053725755293,-0.05911492035993817,-0.033584162885578,-0.07650116316722129,0.011318164777254332,0.028785882117052044,0.3876657101595512,-0.05598040417742813,-0.06088821568914787,0.05740545350326286,-0.0704954896145308,0.060722305760573546,-0.004582976100243186,-0.04166368834422332,-0.04212110698748762,0.43993429123810374,-0.0466788812282002,-0.007304458028713322,-0.03514489330879155,-0.04217733191299269,0.0033256681254878614,-0.03382270937272435,-0.07367187471729356,-0.0030109808589545294,-0.004210833869400228,0.012316514676193916,-0.013262221175303552,-0.06266606223900723,0.018835701551787678,-0.05046386538382912,-0.05651596769147008,-0.06635604446066971,-0.01248286064319381,0.07194972445919928,-0.00623858058386618,-0.061451177422148916,0.013354006988818603,0.06001894213937064,0.002060275067039633,-0.06951880110705336,-0.07145454859291606,-0.07198577107116227,-0.017552074944016356,-0.07679113446055184,-0.05783202215334931,-0.06487823477652012,-0.05785716623474655,-0.038143185807007374,-0.05505760630421683,0.01926754244541258,-0.06729024225993849,-0.00837747450158575,0.5870159878092085,8.48818995401336E-4,-0.035267298238653766;-0.00954392335670719,-0.11141616500822413,-0.009153619442340756,-0.08587439293289077,-0.01136312635956926,0.02560522588986874,-0.07219426900672284,-0.09756336084387801,-0.07523563925716946,-0.06688490859398669,0.6175991290517315,-0.11310298523851098,-0.017973562397622475,0.06900475947071685,-0.10466403047974956,0.026760180966687936,0.027931817295884478,-0.07448122441059123,0.008605205059404653,-0.11194282447630416,0.035415771812595746,0.004726141872065827,-0.012543537855757314,-0.09787782585000945,-0.04869910204187325,-3.9771336131318624E-4,-0.025714031124418793,0.029652150385038684,-0.08623410853645196,0.07918058825005618,-0.09819400325235884,0.8564101676533067,-1.0903153631660962E-4,-0.08894168267395,-0.09483089992783462,-0.06820553133566745,-0.10879321861438825,0.06765921617727765,0.0022187599178679976,0.03284229494577916,-0.001397443520177251,-0.10535453854722181,0.003350500869079899,-0.08768247030418044,-0.004651080803577165,-0.11561940192401228,-0.09000500837649013,-0.04755731292481266,-0.11397942085628793,0.014834378094093065,0.03674529325226462,0.5198339024860404,-0.08383501216564235,-0.09382848661027637,0.072310123828153,-0.10625376005421512,0.07696751455209472,-0.005199703321525272,-0.06021487543267656,-0.05709865083041177,0.621117799600228,-0.0685954888382722,-0.009510067095654287,-0.04750275387391929,-0.06138568224727859,0.004714120000896697,-0.04570120611443412,-0.10698677231951527,-0.00366990835560761,-0.005209935664399194,0.015939646456071144,-0.016850060497378777,-0.08891857094713976,0.024867779195253566,-0.07454360264259197,-0.08538929626545584,-0.09436124451079347,-0.016052731835542476,0.09019234415809191,-0.00781395885065013,-0.09453387583437595,0.01730255505204895,0.07531661784544662,0.0028988879960154252,-0.10082832224695806,-0.10298392069672661,-0.10846536977882901,-0.0241102042359839,-0.11458457222028683,-0.08727424735721538,-0.09886799669914427,-0.08756761604891342,-0.05436086273367623,-0.0771502651136229,0.025954695669470448,-0.10199219354978623,-0.011102500766792502,1.0208971210253175,0.0018698870650883713,-0.047799464966872277;-0.08719544877988535,0.18752693803530043,-0.08920692731529403,0.1448322382563758,-0.08445255463138572,-0.16410785099277833,0.06856128555949405,0.1789562577609748,0.10350023552673758,0.052860567102975896,-0.20436253479211594,0.19800760700680328,-0.06975272126527596,-0.24511981519607576,0.19027634807779922,-0.16699849134267708,-0.16772175768660302,0.10614839841585944,-0.1264841926271272,0.2037580358042551,-0.18535472763993224,-0.12006206343566918,-0.08249005335007172,0.1778458331526311,0.004846400703910283,-0.09889848635158865,-0.049673106766057955,-0.17288956347188417,0.15599282211230223,-0.26438159781921455,0.17859357630337502,0.09901434145322964,-0.10805324274029214,0.15481432195983946,0.12988119387446112,0.08386011562766377,0.19719439853744467,-0.24304908432359262,-0.1168004680995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x_a{80}=[0.32942620752954305,0.5159205938310639,13.466860540167099];
std_x_a{80}=[1.1743443692204922,1.8052838113992022,1.5395255858025787];
pred_a{80}=[0.32942620752954305];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 7.9 to 8.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{81}=[0.6645008615094851,1.1476724240565945,10.752234767190908];
std_x_f{81}=[2.20981129505396,3.6181722053479803,2.0985694039821343];
pred_f{81}=[0.6645008615094851];
obs{81}=[0.6483496574389727];
sqrt_r{81}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{81}=[5.88340154432068];
L_f{81}=[-0.011644078865301676,-0.14369450767332947,-0.011524153735606715,-0.11120335758141961,-0.015025464936912966,0.039798704010405465,-0.09751777866209484,-0.12495620957523572,-0.09800997142376242,-0.0906274815971875,0.8369927158923883,-0.14556142975455724,-0.023876160798259854,0.10711988237512317,-0.13418962217254532,0.04167176883367111,0.04339953000238678,-0.09722543421753718,0.014251574091892531,-0.14272630093252203,0.05556677878304654,0.009224311513662374,-0.016073277961239116,-0.12559814475172293,-0.0670142309571185,0.0012040690538505754,-0.035481215344672704,0.04624387348605203,-0.1103325633299117,0.12436361459131536,-0.12551981768950657,0.9953150936010123,0.0012680471082328986,-0.11465211898933943,-0.1255304428743714,-0.089752311863423,-0.1397108741472593,0.10489870682153712,0.005882749907063192,0.050583366152166104,6.172741150087636E-5,-0.13454456596822792,0.006570360909545682,-0.11289965103978511,-0.004906044503186851,-0.14798461584204034,-0.11570684598854442,-0.0637279978312984,-0.14662599621233094,0.02311693372168103,0.05753369199935304,0.7471421179160537,-0.10862055241784788,-0.12022310560338384,0.11336217468275102,-0.1359486487892051,0.12026401826551163,-0.006433516722542399,-0.08007902550301137,-0.07805830245804529,0.8400851040790391,-0.0903256985482665,-0.012023437514678282,-0.06521563288827753,-0.08115058313393293,0.008027508189103649,-0.062373918990618865,-0.13959116344968842,-0.0034964276691333823,-0.005939821490455591,0.02623230219158977,-0.02293358082652364,-0.11799098992651659,0.03908643050165406,-0.09790326428766266,-0.10984712481250213,-0.1251978582259175,-0.02159379115449537,0.14143627255673374,-0.00946176608409397,-0.12074690071353934,0.027565639568588967,0.11788431979557581,0.0060754694357540735,-0.1327882078490503,-0.1349454815758879,-0.1386461198950965,-0.032136782012240385,-0.14740173107823568,-0.11242270803631639,-0.12660663004715236,-0.11267560286002284,-0.0729801284772605,-0.10358919864790748,0.039265081135803764,-0.130447547503052,-0.01378141949150466,1.0676102998374595,0.0037531212462106824,-0.06543802376340072;-0.014417250975914191,-0.2483154295795473,-0.014168749069652707,-0.19241225597644335,-0.020351689029405932,0.08134361123888639,-0.16866039395488894,-0.21625251151754082,-0.17086310066270852,-0.1565656681645058,1.4321664030263166,-0.25172072153053743,-0.03668026368189006,0.20772893335311926,-0.23223307632170886,0.0854448335296097,0.08710664418061943,-0.16881463751635178,0.03358536037485418,-0.24707302288685315,0.11043442032881844,0.02453636229050537,-0.02267620239487803,-0.21763311314055456,-0.11415133307948919,0.00932156143078924,-0.05766360351447821,0.09305943691066138,-0.19154222508158392,0.23928211124278734,-0.2179569357566679,1.5486375863780288,0.009872204680553427,-0.19825308076887588,-0.21735071642096687,-0.1551014521952699,-0.2416132204161739,0.20323208111732968,0.0178031496378913,0.10136251147974486,0.006560497087406634,-0.23307217467557093,0.019109146385038082,-0.19606194254295095,-0.0015238318050000454,-0.2555211974678911,-0.20086073257620302,-0.10895550363559386,-0.25264119808048136,0.05052381184254547,0.11332079078098732,1.3235197300469934,-0.18837602249380342,-0.2085936038345624,0.21830929961641438,-0.23571523348805506,0.23235854316393414,-0.004045332743072224,-0.13820747629108268,-0.1348379926428007,1.4363898666673967,-0.15642842271670496,-0.014841581050340419,-0.11102604244286701,-0.13984980781539227,0.023106588565398364,-0.1069980806071471,-0.24161776433590587,3.767029474932804E-4,-0.003454702590042133,0.054763623722600456,-0.03467406985584126,-0.20463489596361803,0.07912603059927771,-0.169431081540691,-0.1909550930820075,-0.21668802409169005,-0.03244986723712285,0.2720547301680662,-0.010254920292202208,-0.20955924622730168,0.05828697682054105,0.227542804498315,0.017937065971429918,-0.22856727266688862,-0.233278271849917,-0.23990318436145963,-0.05213952333628186,-0.25488193656877073,-0.19507533944443572,-0.21925471296066498,-0.1958974576663832,-0.12548099283434147,-0.17982340066410982,0.08124091845770269,-0.2261995813588931,-0.018166081374526244,1.540072621215404,0.014559663117416986,-0.11166237202537592;-0.10831524520182594,0.10473641231592354,-0.10979997437637094,0.06866554575411045,-0.10679836502876595,-0.1609050590830743,0.009326612766117256,0.09594124689192443,0.035949079946401945,-0.00295624665345843,0.46316256011246015,0.11289010714706303,-0.09601262219634564,-0.20705274928297357,0.10561990901195487,-0.1625929117230907,-0.16271839292051993,0.038139702635599265,-0.135624668299382,0.1168664455730315,-0.17390772279063266,-0.13124943558497487,-0.10496822870219465,0.09489441255566518,-0.040218314922500234,-0.1159418223719464,-0.08094104734252403,-0.1660008609982587,0.07711342210760325,-0.21739125677307586,0.09535826332175165,0.97430187065381,-0.1231597900968614,0.07652970657773797,0.05839888003649458,0.02080089378523492,0.11161588762804214,-0.20602993279801576,-0.12926867034621262,-0.16904501837807043,-0.12187263733045704,0.10745496606084366,-0.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k{81}=[0.8300302992296499;1.354562315361725;0.4603665687890589];
x_a{81}=[0.6510948727619185,1.1257946116749615,10.744799292791154];
L_a{81}=[0.005908795897291712,0.07291787759474039,0.005847939807040219,0.05643022094261084,0.007624682604881224,-0.020195879957063453,0.04948546442678711,0.06340911522675009,0.0497352279851126,0.04598897840163952,-0.42473253427246355,0.0738652484998748,0.012115974359143272,-0.05435805861661041,0.06809461685415365,-0.021146368000909924,-0.022023121604462712,0.04933711403560719,-0.007231971158754386,0.07242656041250248,-0.02819740043820784,-0.00468088327619354,0.008156396050907283,0.0637348656773469,0.034006417984641824,-6.110056765974406E-4,0.018004967338744935,-0.02346648567827124,0.0559883357956432,-0.06310840249109724,0.06369511855529228,-0.5050733346634588,-6.434713846732029E-4,0.05818029731134619,0.0637005103127223,0.045544872913165654,0.07089637999862353,-0.05323092154119039,-0.0029852055209991955,-0.02566856424184662,-3.132361778437264E-5,0.06827473332948501,-0.0033341342011807915,0.05729100623471854,0.0024895756862953517,0.07509489596084849,0.0587155192587204,0.03233881670539834,0.07440546348732532,-0.011730704052483717,-0.029195511914202166,-0.3791377860031247,0.05511957467075396,0.06100729833304369,-0.05752571417817814,0.06898723613095356,-0.06102805949182013,0.0032646925235619083,0.04063615703955093,0.03961073972867736,-0.4263017688028624,0.04583583838412796,0.00610130170706596,0.033093718146983316,0.04117991970266475,-0.004073564598965179,0.03165168845841775,0.07083563272210212,0.001774264646052572,0.003014166535580184,-0.013311599943562097,0.01163766149865051,0.059874609684476006,-0.0198344362709681,0.04968107937487966,0.05574199968325214,0.06353174000216205,0.010957784300214126,-0.07177193461836046,0.004801379762673011,0.06127309852503043,-0.013988202920410432,-0.05982047985253668,-0.0030830011795162926,0.06738346818358343,0.06847817823269343,0.07035606971478038,0.016307832324284652,0.07479911068312871,0.05704898117676949,0.06424662224006406,0.057177312830483565,0.03703381681957452,0.05256641071012151,-0.01992509265919118,0.06619569846737156,0.0069933908806576635,-0.5417595872168248,-0.0019045239797999454,0.03320657055082954;0.014228043902766494,0.10518368291918993,0.014181521123673893,0.08115622516048085,0.016612065578073276,-0.016564143024495593,0.07124055123827576,0.09114900230002454,0.07024867511295396,0.06638463683554453,-0.6268975586144249,0.10637115731329723,0.02205685709414932,-0.05579389687682699,0.09788331512989837,-0.01707079867843454,-0.0196594082393039,0.07036711872959175,-0.0014745655385770607,0.10404422944803098,-0.02626396364056488,0.0018438739950971722,0.01686524971935631,0.09134760867072107,0.0507086295711449,0.006359462539083651,0.029622809430629282,-0.02070391076708093,0.07988403781707014,-0.06666157510260189,0.09083109569067897,-0.8999111295159572,0.006752715045041666,0.08379960840535963,0.09146345376668857,0.0656958705566708,0.10208585909043044,-0.054826493034843535,0.0033311499430497284,-0.023076308984009707,0.006408643091483322,0.09791740475512024,0.0029455727876331016,0.08167954591192052,0.010545400386521749,0.10853189830214592,0.08378666299415337,0.04782008256773558,0.10806959295500444,-0.006345554193933692,-0.028216345118337847,-0.5145051177375575,0.07883856698878323,0.08716412428440484,-0.06057003119545116,0.09872849348889114,-0.06349983312862231,0.011781594037140245,0.05879284684883835,0.057191202410407864,-0.630281598538949,0.06577947367157524,0.01473696415255058,0.04940923598446595,0.05978662631899493,0.0033583249304680375,0.04644637153835356,0.10178681800422307,0.008978173511451821,0.011157697419360927,-0.009769779075275802,0.021744234502904372,0.08563166256547955,-0.01702947817277094,0.07141818679109412,0.07927695517437901,0.09130796327212086,0.02067245547510341,-0.07588895698800067,0.013021723801958955,0.08748705658786785,-0.009526534501052307,-0.06246133762233206,0.0029909619878684683,0.09810153593955695,0.09869758961611044,0.1011765209654129,0.02691933635039723,0.1077372195884701,0.0814928339605525,0.0922069572367023,0.0812928557019428,0.05405551878657754,0.07501368656637619,-0.015354084082352937,0.09471102974669594,0.015737229462481,-1.086327646949428,0.005326707375978639,0.04932000439656248;-0.09857974911892536,0.22487793083112181,-0.10016474647645758,0.16164154365510697,-0.09423572639249014,-0.19418035131356856,0.09086023712236295,0.20041586467203235,0.11789422167200587,0.07281647030415055,-0.23663854921089963,0.2345925402540559,-0.07605000663739046,-0.2966145950354486,0.21781448929083944,-0.1974342544296136,-0.19900429919319493,0.11942890077077815,-0.14754026465971237,0.23619845626527308,-0.22036654219916568,-0.13896178876014303,-0.09152952423778915,0.19990574581739,0.01581160298932194,-0.11694853227943715,-0.05127556353736369,-0.20466489397069026,0.1693613577786334,-0.32137041190547805,0.20030410812224037,0.14212902923827617,-0.12421999140586532,0.172389178866538,0.16335360844614097,0.09584189021660028,0.22842673060957044,-0.29373467622822685,-0.1341871777987483,-0.21133725709708318,-0.12192424699231395,0.21994631124251598,-0.135079579702228,0.1678827263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x_a{81}=[0.6510948727619189,1.1257946116749624,10.74479929279115];
std_x_a{81}=[1.121370274544728,1.85325413623108,1.814000208240466];
pred_a{81}=[0.6510948727619189];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.0 to 8.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{82}=[1.4697112159465429,2.783752783740882,8.852575047984757];
std_x_f{82}=[2.3584091014879065,4.1691215750463355,2.075680229494839];
pred_f{82}=[1.4697112159465429];
obs{82}=[1.5603123778122714];
sqrt_r{82}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{82}=[6.562532872551966];
L_f{82}=[0.02096145440975077,0.1358897814963768,0.02175807432560895,0.10736969745417695,0.025204061341002025,-0.024991019680276803,0.09812468216460456,0.11842964017098914,0.09545641778097379,0.09172220092939203,-0.9009656152153633,0.13680896922052574,0.03290617264595026,-0.08964760636675685,0.1266810986738904,-0.02642304215849461,-0.029177361449045515,0.09537989338187502,-0.0015157778946836072,0.13383767258507223,-0.040124768145831755,0.003084932184524605,0.025895998192245608,0.11921879789717797,0.07232774747071397,0.010016594543504875,0.04359466587332761,-0.03154853911850566,0.10553528703428965,-0.10728564903533853,0.118855422204543,-1.0938471092349333,0.009984933652493541,0.11067517198761787,0.12140980276992797,0.08934619624540568,0.13155431613088156,-0.08728355116977772,0.005845636462909216,-0.03534279292667543,0.010671731772603539,0.12715722094823925,0.005118365785622204,0.10815319340428278,0.016010654375000773,0.13881229351546856,0.11075056786863285,0.06736221252570826,0.1384002692002544,-0.009030505370831717,-0.042803060492751246,-0.7918827244138211,0.10470554357847292,0.11452547877552119,-0.09581638495575893,0.12770764132194592,-0.10203990586198713,0.017421951116055327,0.08126083628662804,0.08042758992862385,-0.9044962022554147,0.08934018326555349,0.022079511099061384,0.07021800496280524,0.08209266994200992,0.005198278837086924,0.06670654941045266,0.1327795617286192,0.013353020247138237,0.017083132518857486,-0.013368333223710845,0.032205900176819534,0.11442456247706306,-0.024190151028953246,0.09677482033853216,0.10564234784739049,0.12097991675964911,0.030922105621338514,-0.1235459195817175,0.01956980082112756,0.11403057144564736,-0.014270120996440233,-0.10047765832950581,0.005282485452392409,0.12801187778821083,0.12927311520009088,0.13065395745656802,0.03926129804340847,0.13872312116157562,0.10746836533548544,0.11989026305210941,0.10822774208193052,0.07555571548533924,0.10238661957634297,-0.024046345093830277,0.12316237980395092,0.023619964561700166,-1.1845092875242453,0.007715260014138058,0.06963545937944095;0.044699213254020945,0.23241173469206763,0.04544347170298929,0.18637835027822358,0.05212474350294381,-0.03866951671358702,0.17479738857124244,0.20332574059003272,0.16793837648262377,0.1644454480642368,-1.6737916928100838,0.233054622327529,0.06567149731135025,-0.1592998531316488,0.21634269904611855,-0.04120396296765583,-0.04762546732493042,0.16854277713116356,0.0041301487287958225,0.22755866896842736,-0.06661477426932444,0.012704720047572898,0.05214358162018918,0.20479343716694573,0.13292711333518945,0.0241050820856927,0.08446162604518534,-0.050907329785255785,0.18261377918253344,-0.1932512903569051,0.2039377053734244,-1.8943430554574503,0.024915611200964482,0.1910367441982687,0.2110907980038763,0.15901007136253179,0.2239178508773753,-0.15537176335912886,0.01722311522936094,-0.05747715846285488,0.02565675578285996,0.21686435951045394,0.016366155157208618,0.1877881030764802,0.034519779157950924,0.23589414517723956,0.19111568907664228,0.12396624650290823,0.2359893418536129,-0.009726161332178802,-0.07187418746957482,-1.5049373146196008,0.18188637859072387,0.19701164618573344,-0.17244061736932875,0.2181630870380489,-0.183733555778295,0.038166569484896246,0.14544613625163946,0.14625684507644454,-1.6790280445291326,0.15897287047200914,0.04618169601669169,0.12968930716736607,0.14739405248380946,0.016703718411454706,0.12301920309858082,0.22775815050106324,0.03151925352455586,0.03722761049244803,-0.018125429821800224,0.06451525152081641,0.200257343400785,-0.03837724911779896,0.17031258278609665,0.18306465401045435,0.2108554552315595,0.061658953128264464,-0.22549625227917236,0.04236533205645895,0.19649710745881546,-0.018281724346989724,-0.18013708664939707,0.015913450058021937,0.22217880421641897,0.22260957198515716,0.22276292100998127,0.07605631956410104,0.23588483232423368,0.1864274515002303,0.2053886209525767,0.1866229267181078,0.13661944632998535,0.18166782283494312,-0.03643242903844446,0.21045789748931287,0.048792843500235515,-1.939319677793173,0.021822399394067604,0.1284303908413877;-0.11531583756693926,0.1746905842572806,-0.11663054739100753,0.11412393624284771,-0.11078744957027639,-0.19985171375301197,0.055536531718230434,0.14796873662794785,0.07512238011741114,0.038926619860345686,0.20824024450228354,0.1823431065651551,-0.09484396143891537,-0.28746732049153173,0.16509461995990848,-0.20206535108476856,-0.2037699532606323,0.07616775364179135,-0.15804524631356953,0.18188585529896345,-0.22220594954881664,-0.15071301182269914,-0.10860313945950516,0.14726091785317505,-0.011716890998659241,-0.1321820216749753,-0.0728249882339741,-0.2094117947060791,0.11865430475729805,-0.30777930543777104,0.14825427901476937,0.7811803503470348,-0.13798417490795106,0.12287747441505122,0.12081750831944613,0.05606162361085122,0.17569522862503634,-0.2841697601815112,-0.14654159478970932,-0.21427420489038146,-0.13612087613127527,0.1667092909613306,-0.1475984271816366,0.11910254715548546,-0.1287181556329046,0.1912722314133762,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k{82}=[0.84761981091439;1.4961492554745486;-0.2614283899520381];
x_a{82}=[1.5465065556357958,2.919305644611421,8.828889332110416];
L_a{82}=[-0.009813375331725714,-0.06361855449065613,-0.010186323223519159,-0.05026650917321558,-0.011799606505741385,0.011699868303557114,-0.04593833598395855,-0.055444364054171545,-0.044689153586163266,-0.04294093178731795,0.4217986772413404,-0.06404888408330112,-0.015405449287672497,0.04196968357589506,-0.05930739081463627,0.012370288103038252,0.013659758215809501,-0.044653327701388884,7.096309783324228E-4,-0.06265783322701926,0.018784927907023033,-0.0014442508047331833,-0.012123545670188873,-0.05581381842559243,-0.033861168168665974,-0.004689397972089273,-0.0204094052976176,0.014769855635280169,-0.04940770626713418,0.05022716082152299,-0.05564369940672332,0.5120986372707147,-0.004674575517465889,-0.05181400972408502,-0.056839565625649985,-0.04182857453871752,-0.06158885044256768,0.04086292063381211,-0.0027367101319392315,0.01654618450996366,-0.004996108918632274,-0.05953029360041854,-0.0023962289809436733,-0.050633312911113414,-0.007495594419027053,-0.06498676619935771,-0.051849307278558306,-0.031536488917617456,-0.06479387170015204,0.004227747603139238,0.020038805025215056,0.37073011449851645,-0.04901925116274102,-0.053616580524440065,0.04485767686342346,-0.05978798000002723,0.04777129847305971,-0.008156311197246824,-0.03804330895472809,-0.03765321392148068,0.4234515671166365,-0.04182575948461883,-0.010336807996266711,-0.032873464993175505,-0.03843274261301608,-0.002433641307044534,-0.031229531770685232,-0.06216246497756622,-0.006251388712624048,-0.00799768889944832,0.006258557680178342,-0.015077607696162674,-0.05356933525726989,0.011324931311437117,-0.04530638075383577,-0.04945782816811201,-0.05663830894344363,-0.014476582711183631,0.05783961627178956,-0.009161854748757461,-0.05338488327254424,0.006680741261067542,0.047039912134229575,-0.002473063720454134,-0.05993041222704218,-0.06052087679420688,-0.06116733591254053,-0.018380683237871558,-0.06494501901135936,-0.050312701814887,-0.05612817350128069,-0.05066821383639954,-0.03537238304274362,-0.047933616971820386,0.011257606707490073,-0.057660057176304215,-0.011057991160107687,0.5545433057824071,-0.003611998519786514,-0.032600738762178214;-0.009622002475228307,-0.11974408387705915,-0.01094216958842006,-0.09186820571836136,-0.013191108469662254,0.02609424179330043,-0.07949088379920928,-0.10358244940049958,-0.07943513881169376,-0.07325091433747352,0.6610437910284372,-0.12148325397877249,-0.01960423156617843,0.07302023639391962,-0.11194899080349514,0.027270854917450005,0.027987117312641446,-0.07863242661898671,0.008058258696987263,-0.1192791478680037,0.03736780937820741,0.004710176184828732,-0.014965411717165106,-0.10415984026125827,-0.05450888689481744,-0.0018527346971463619,-0.028513132445235866,0.030850117283961104,-0.0908789366364187,0.0847774557395563,-0.10407389076661404,0.9403412004177599,-9.60156976983822E-4,-0.09577588701946353,-0.10354042743451553,-0.07252891948997511,-0.11700269055868256,0.07082192148856475,0.0020742580380040203,0.03411302614528219,-0.0019988368345404254,-0.11266119227797519,0.003102006277698769,-0.09248886797130862,-0.006971531190547167,-0.1238353084439747,-0.09589232915182186,-0.050601663102942375,-0.12267235848698792,0.013676223865143293,0.03904914053276362,0.5472119048133202,-0.08945607263387913,-0.09977898281597915,0.07586574610311242,-0.11278886881936417,0.08070094532878686,-0.006982089882911834,-0.06513979600178997,-0.06216974487735432,0.6649568893668389,-0.07255053785605348,-0.011036942640869157,-0.05227933494592653,-0.06534756107691683,0.003232476358764223,-0.049849567848602366,-0.1163375919079318,-0.0030848478561389526,-0.007043006839168738,0.016518354850311317,-0.01894573439463949,-0.09627176290732095,0.02431107330870355,-0.08047754799430126,-0.09070550789648932,-0.10266172867866033,-0.01847510328902279,0.09467067978948611,-0.008349439514372498,-0.09901097848521859,0.018699026414728846,0.08024887929521397,0.002223988142032616,-0.10956157473385879,-0.11239928004896678,-0.11582435781819521,-0.02568859751733245,-0.1236135328153223,-0.092074800459112,-0.10530474582356536,-0.09384723582878597,-0.05918177243218575,-0.08366518035628104,0.02588322300592433,-0.10871509844297149,-0.012417851396798268,1.1303139117049177,0.0018284478560346477,-0.05202859532497148;-0.10582406532805862,0.23622423694861427,-0.10677804947658597,0.16274311569818523,-0.09937453875468537,-0.21116815497820735,0.09996938050403369,0.20159608274915433,0.11834698460358405,0.08046029512219283,-0.1997352827449549,0.24429298612471367,-0.07994337821109587,-0.3280615772048559,0.22245839406063916,-0.21403024116940392,-0.2169820550543426,0.11935770632600615,-0.15873162132647728,0.242490271401331,-0.2403752594131628,-0.14931609188119635,-0.09687690558591922,0.20124561061889937,0.021034581877379648,-0.1276463042501418,-0.053084438212443893,-0.2236976139020483,0.16644282592157256,-0.35636042606221524,0.2020744278874885,0.28586416559861133,-0.13346279417753273,0.17299343986622318,0.17579433258615784,0.09651939570023507,0.235265694554879,-0.32369352469275675,-0.14389457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x_a{82}=[1.546506555635796,2.9193056446114225,8.82888933211042];
std_x_a{82}=[1.1041196496314112,1.9624305517364493,1.9741776618392914];
pred_a{82}=[1.546506555635796];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.1 to 8.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{83}=[3.812612073369594,7.218285416998398,8.377536549548337];
std_x_f{83}=[2.3294149902884755,3.766261640692428,3.284256290513877];
pred_f{83}=[3.812612073369594];
obs{83}=[4.022659924602373];
sqrt_r{83}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{83}=[6.426197540390643];
L_f{83}=[-0.004831501835344037,-0.1634092735548901,-0.00612201318913136,-0.12639990479933025,-0.009771350755759994,0.054268102051817854,-0.1092643962822337,-0.14233442874695743,-0.10896574492222333,-0.10073299225878951,0.9010057580735896,-0.16620566248895408,-0.020392995193017967,0.1348309269450606,-0.1534800259616512,0.05616077775405412,0.058565018704073296,-0.10841001640778802,0.02398137500822021,-0.1631716709236685,0.07334903220802456,0.018264345348239525,-0.012184026482017038,-0.14311821038784894,-0.07273729930474965,0.007880301347751698,-0.03404549128681902,0.06303323995887009,-0.12501318719519464,0.15627192703520468,-0.1429834833015916,1.001586704519613,0.009388106005128141,-0.13209296051995095,-0.1423072878791476,-0.09884390086120623,-0.16032248749822142,0.13246306233781308,0.013802430867710493,0.0675738712974614,0.007892679804061092,-0.15446643004970162,0.016626027125210156,-0.12756515849683314,7.789798789316491E-4,-0.16891712524788716,-0.1318442391776381,-0.06780753774719563,-0.16776635468396406,0.03413487275730447,0.07664780265402148,0.8251626593840894,-0.12293167832615857,-0.13758066585155132,0.14125275936687373,-0.15493424422826843,0.14944243266638715,-3.532326593741983E-4,-0.08878896858539796,-0.08449456193578635,0.9029846231184411,-0.09916361436439107,-0.006691922177560742,-0.06962211636867686,-0.08940878211697305,0.01611471939565597,-0.06617654012485148,-0.15952032931603743,0.005582605529249282,-3.7128369481884474E-5,0.038780699757560835,-0.019346928785649274,-0.1324356473521514,0.052210175490303996,-0.11000460582291567,-0.12483018893712271,-0.14160979271604357,-0.018090717872017534,0.17529667881490205,-0.0028697477029308006,-0.13673795375221626,0.041010686496875254,0.1482444148027569,0.015534370234704532,-0.15119930401101073,-0.15470780701783118,-0.15872262742688997,-0.029718719071714448,-0.16875420430972426,-0.12728128671349637,-0.1445577360037581,-0.12857695441797629,-0.0797449455221413,-0.11494854702551086,0.05283142520802586,-0.14897254502236718,-0.008506375405920804,1.031578513564026,0.012412523553981676,-0.07011705231240058;0.017752260784330297,-0.31220563661737855,0.014891277228767187,-0.23765049147009362,0.007168250707084813,0.14114568299270588,-0.19996332975984535,-0.2700343002517841,-0.20039499665474528,-0.1817450149047527,1.4974723762745352,-0.317516328570409,-0.014388923202497546,0.3102990010748808,-0.2923145996169954,0.1457673504588005,0.15049218285218888,-0.19969795035725155,0.07875674300932092,-0.3117986515260188,0.18186951391025075,0.0667478467856555,0.0026124402148861112,-0.2715856949479228,-0.12413559925509207,0.04461699574028148,-0.043535793281644974,0.16001599485467932,-0.23481909675424864,0.35459609435282663,-0.2712731771585119,1.382760657144674,0.047642306852407265,-0.2475122265158624,-0.26807691698302266,-0.18085137572775337,-0.3059703698838617,0.3042348268469556,0.057603387163841904,0.16941125354180003,0.04515832438205186,-0.29404056062006084,0.06198052433213673,-0.23947481833758577,0.029977370751808827,-0.3236172189442268,-0.24821271847549395,-0.11424632110917338,-0.3206266993709916,0.09939741513859819,0.18800729937633975,1.4698849363034754,-0.23030927698994522,-0.2597561206870159,0.32330733370886966,-0.2951045486134757,0.3406073174410803,0.027272352506941253,-0.1583998884605953,-0.14890484483809188,1.4975863855749123,-0.18186991271358474,0.013855587723459533,-0.11735158485973182,-0.16033443912679216,0.0622345983642657,-0.11038990711019643,-0.30303780793546226,0.03987662091529928,0.02781496647227927,0.10901101136025712,-0.012872384385563852,-0.24786237220239116,0.13708218667361957,-0.20398834516854128,-0.2345534465929835,-0.26553852430626523,-0.010267387120703877,0.3939254656029128,0.02157494263696316,-0.25801784881345585,0.11424639665619768,0.3380318130185585,0.06015968615247793,-0.28557701243267475,-0.29297393043636816,-0.30280893396304465,-0.03446585892634041,-0.32307161655503835,-0.2386097292970199,-0.2746400287740423,-0.24143955010335344,-0.13962362420496013,-0.21178750437505647,0.1392104990774338,-0.28343375585558445,0.009760896367572445,1.2302980045883776,0.05447702121364674,-0.11791640398491057;-0.13020640273075504,0.057501953455899965,-0.13121318314152483,0.01447957672035505,-0.12832904535441503,-0.1732915820013311,-0.026381860179933506,0.03817285072222929,-0.011920769493028161,-0.03721019954700595,1.019396019233687,0.06234693997568298,-0.11926086314509605,-0.20283683377725625,0.050204170787213925,-0.1742569166673463,-0.17492210672562272,-0.010926139253315838,-0.15274662038513875,0.062115749171848596,-0.18190824698844482,-0.14968789857711265,-0.1269811778841185,0.037829459529200846,-0.06958461861782314,-0.13899021335543207,-0.10651534866827707,-0.17686424902164358,0.01757939762955142,-0.20662682813646,0.03891795802067376,1.6707530780253095,-0.14273480047471257,0.021015766868622235,0.01879970337694112,-0.024142383940730445,0.05804079702406097,-0.20227274075825372,-0.1475793596227377,-0.17875037565431365,-0.14186249183655805,0.05148524866940893,-0.146548338561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k{83}=[0.8443869809923067;1.3433749181249484;0.8959944106861804];
x_a{83}=[3.9899737443359617,7.5004584319505545,8.565738250229549];
L_a{83}=[0.0022965016014016475,0.07767143037336038,0.0029099053610607242,0.060080197355033935,0.0046445025632206784,-0.02579462608403503,0.05193537529112137,0.06765416938493216,0.051793420811976236,0.04788024219384724,-0.4282645928335378,0.07900060541749253,0.0096931653374415,-0.06408761710130896,0.07295187654192435,-0.02669424962330859,-0.027837029524887612,0.05152927283752897,-0.011398788200246986,0.07755849347678119,-0.03486414280022631,-0.008681378952182083,0.00579129166893506,0.06802671520087089,0.03457337491068019,-0.0037456520314765756,0.01618244759605243,-0.02996085719105844,0.0594210649967902,-0.0742789184234915,0.06796267694115636,-0.47607256485872923,-0.004462339291105699,0.0627862113491987,0.06764126883174756,0.04698232234043681,0.07620422424079351,-0.06296212754386604,-0.006560549011708207,-0.032119102700595224,-0.003751535739215046,0.07342073253019395,-0.007902656196605504,0.060634063849045926,-3.702634502464398E-4,0.08028941349006306,0.06266798952493159,0.032230168657785385,0.07974243109556962,-0.016224932251362668,-0.03643210900826315,-0.39221497440608355,0.05843168558351841,0.06539461853013968,-0.06714003205285525,0.07364309320537314,-0.07103273425772753,1.6789797366658006E-4,0.04220302826991435,0.04016181787943933,-0.4292051837510904,0.0471342880432506,0.003180793575364267,0.033092671219538856,0.04249763703057333,-0.007659622237445811,0.031454925518230696,0.07582294371710864,-0.0026535149886788953,1.7647796250218713E-5,-0.018433179191863602,0.009195950752502133,0.06294909669742954,-0.02481645577485456,0.05228721048719095,0.05933408256212728,0.06730973656421955,0.00859885062232118,-0.08332173252504774,0.0013640438149456532,0.06499406198445305,-0.019493132865166005,-0.07046329435351219,-0.007383771617303902,0.07186780749041667,0.07353546343845872,0.0754437813513889,0.014125853257579911,0.08021197417447476,0.06049913437426909,0.06871094817746022,0.061114989042160436,0.037904237923619404,0.054637156585925335,-0.025111747181179225,0.07080938802631828,0.004043236535463257,-0.4903282227983731,-0.0058999005258837224,0.03332792336806081;0.029092536331899257,0.07134098145165292,0.02926058077797271,0.059029464051192734,0.03010310902208227,0.013770127381976624,0.05649696014731198,0.06404642597055703,0.055364312722838635,0.05469076177015262,-0.6173262753072971,0.0725938430542621,0.03347656306045132,-0.0061698560216502385,0.06792655205157655,0.013949394800008733,0.013031105078340757,0.05475697899563014,0.02246877916889445,0.07119027673956978,0.00970808983676141,0.023878628061609192,0.031210218357944953,0.06433468695079957,0.04658999390679434,0.026120720311459317,0.0363741944411255,0.01206731675204193,0.05860601994600647,-0.012198077174712977,0.06433097961312807,-0.9681168962786508,0.02560698272417838,0.06253020361057038,0.06594010546147601,0.051150413811636174,0.07033108806064149,-0.006676288988030447,0.02520696580245752,0.01080501754218078,0.026632994818473005,0.06851583267336354,0.022956689655726507,0.05994016626220372,0.028148985546928133,0.07285717148262644,0.0612459245279046,0.044908365872462414,0.07314665611234669,0.019277635401109567,0.008103155316257412,-0.4668983347959135,0.058230219268876615,0.06316679519830914,-0.008234548642651862,0.06854987627981217,-0.010156983741300736,0.02810144371423446,0.050001433459042295,0.049416846279451664,-0.6218569656561892,0.0508822934345439,0.029562555043905786,0.04606219634800787,0.04952168017794743,0.0244108813200854,0.04493657839596648,0.07138086177285308,0.026773389842934116,0.02790211244777627,0.017986763379823013,0.032537823641984716,0.06298439645812806,0.014536900213055556,0.05420933001556363,0.05844214513926247,0.06684137005420134,0.03219430129701369,-0.01752271512475135,0.028310680470108634,0.06292709257461856,0.01798802790895447,-0.009920556564192275,0.023698137565079238,0.06931093514965417,0.07014901160788198,0.06973740711205503,0.0352885310500084,0.07302037345178002,0.060138964705574616,0.06465914044558581,0.060350274646496976,0.04754998900397653,0.05801435879015791,0.015207044282693023,0.06622764698562152,0.029726663597243068,-1.190974922845915,0.025342925410738248,0.04665906776367988;-0.12264274840821891,0.3133170810057767,-0.12162924980182091,0.21235701087755113,-0.11303212073355084,-0.2582476016094367,0.1446701545774222,0.26099557829779085,0.1586637103803395,0.12048601133852292,-0.3911169700878466,0.32253977863267386,-0.08733589002125744,-0.4139129252607226,0.2904751882368423,-0.262175895877714,-0.26660489439012375,0.15878835473913688,-0.1902891562100017,0.3175589128417699,-0.29673521868814395,-0.17828049759693146,-0.107907240274811,0.2618791872380724,0.044284693046595575,-0.15132672431684574,-0.053217567541367944,-0.2755419799066292,0.21328594311525156,-0.4512685310049785,0.26275677219932975,0.10278190359328444,-0.15743176034062226,0.22780560693544852,0.24157994227111101,0.13059647852562267,0.30902360048591293,-0.4096419704868983,-0.16918688859651823,-0.28453640681975084,-0.15421838111298866,0.2933004691015909,-0.17257617135948777,0.21826898882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x_a{83}=[3.989973744335961,7.500458431950555,8.565738250229552];
std_x_a{83}=[1.1072137479888944,1.8848980113559128,2.4614763791837926];
pred_a{83}=[3.989973744335961];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.2 to 8.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{84}=[9.500655954441495,17.078997371229622,14.338438665293111];
std_x_f{84}=[2.3592355759030115,4.272720651092267,2.865691750904346];
pred_f{84}=[9.500655954441495];
obs{84}=[10.176283559337534];
sqrt_r{84}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{84}=[6.5692156028769775];
L_f{84}=[0.05677235480904347,0.055092082148833973,0.05680648489951957,0.055827727574055616,0.05706821179914126,0.046671270208942434,0.061672556192315375,0.05333184306610732,0.05764902498614507,0.06186366930993745,-0.8677812532124323,0.055475653741683964,0.058751655569883876,0.02492408205764965,0.054329723184299475,0.046787999423301155,0.04490956491250592,0.0571477558140248,0.05245282263306772,0.05432192004060076,0.04336497227291381,0.05376949859740527,0.058156354894840154,0.05421752281508227,0.06179253022315197,0.05425017411108242,0.05938711111882195,0.04519883580476971,0.05420850075746127,0.017105051889369855,0.05430087099499672,-1.198490919383672,0.05492983593344772,0.05634695630308124,0.05992150910711145,0.05668992285200653,0.054165582830903766,0.025205306405320795,0.05441120944178174,0.04376458945623531,0.05517159589411017,0.05473492529332561,0.052735039251405824,0.055087936131467195,0.056578203671153564,0.05421188464567601,0.055428022464424145,0.059447754975438076,0.0550462677382866,0.05041504392684497,0.041131152542021675,-0.6918011934444543,0.05611369709123678,0.056035469231557215,0.02266065357041114,0.0542119125098107,0.020149534022173284,0.05558564498423784,0.058835049509510545,0.061395609526793356,-0.8728727670805764,0.056378913653848804,0.056658079973860326,0.06157373008605337,0.058327193056095995,0.05451823809486893,0.061216631046788275,0.057657053894617435,0.055278154130211955,0.05602933022200816,0.04967699285477875,0.057876310873855114,0.05990295903199754,0.04712900167322632,0.05708954784597573,0.055184610102874725,0.060107065600488334,0.058100713074810066,0.008436718127957914,0.05621482665275577,0.05428618590429234,0.050059375405413234,0.02007157978268384,0.05312612508390287,0.05907514097209005,0.05867550695627885,0.053949274089199965,0.05862408029680767,0.055006395654488886,0.055468049709774606,0.05390828176875183,0.05541753012240218,0.05922540266714766,0.06124659857757721,0.046944629997781845,0.05402732142464403,0.056890157019838065,-1.3661805415914716,0.05416252876524917,0.06158830535647994;0.1452048924075696,-0.006227144311409496,0.1446208377179272,0.02996314092651332,0.14204555316939316,0.17450528442746827,0.061247094512428796,0.010531565183654723,0.051528865551100034,0.07038312368569534,-1.5141833389024755,-0.009176872607413455,0.13649948216452165,0.18864622224477712,8.531090310027107E-4,0.17542185712986524,0.1738033273545115,0.05071656025115532,0.16124354488515913,-0.008516957883579639,0.18120253021002491,0.15917387560527785,0.14211287568345918,0.010829842272590033,0.09639064780408776,0.15112296539881964,0.1259866398648622,0.17738487265804892,0.027877333787116876,0.1875879505719897,0.010757667888198312,-2.195326013324519,0.1539323152097357,0.025503442984229754,0.025400804005892817,0.05928600473016069,-0.006166013397561608,0.18724969858484447,0.15739310495526695,0.17840232624370558,0.15372791269502792,6.417983383705319E-4,0.15558331739092374,0.02698547096491615,0.15073920922171935,-0.015190881103560185,0.023904926526339486,0.09431345587174504,-0.01103321152888105,0.1665105189650697,0.17962626038677487,-1.1330713454689205,0.03301391144204083,0.01840453688594083,0.189104336483682,-0.001417377051120031,0.18953616443528243,0.14758267515787213,0.07318300161155326,0.08394700524881724,-1.52497627051062,0.05825816462548824,0.14406154176418898,0.09812237528467702,0.07170324325876125,0.15926071008426587,0.10163293792298411,0.0030725845905796314,0.15113521459963974,0.14880856008911614,0.16768959530639752,0.13543314298632417,0.03429856815645995,0.17359421975095607,0.049335044280926776,0.029952062820753165,0.02674272404818716,0.13760648913779758,0.18424425349894058,0.14648817686776053,0.016847672661255083,0.17014868282248014,0.18846588795780775,0.1561806396577074,0.01448550065158568,0.010763428431184942,-0.004974863307583794,0.126113705024928,-0.012064478441933743,0.028167038813978064,0.008695710952820065,0.028079352505770115,0.08313048200920574,0.05478398094492536,0.1742921859587968,0.004775814623041001,0.143221620960956,-2.503245852780498,0.15570319662117965,0.09866225022113778;-0.054716600851766634,0.29515971493013726,-0.05372308415816075,0.21445452208450835,-0.046377185273651936,-0.17972026631484161,0.1693699434573191,0.25022007012125075,0.17466453796871426,0.15112574959596034,-1.0760992653360824,0.3024983530699636,-0.02234424977052901,-0.3398204674507718,0.27551534247352744,-0.18261479821705573,-0.1894117855754992,0.1731763754686175,-0.11546899314862843,0.29654774653981614,-0.21591977058090633,-0.10408811848959997,-0.0398994787968771,0.2517082651717841,0.08863740889511038,-0.08091190139569013,0.005943331661874376,-0.19639293993601645,0.2127265306926088,-0.38151029219098304,0.2526201380711107,-0.6556606124058801,-0.08567232062843436,0.2278910968413881,0.2449942092361678,0.14984775962869626,0.290479822334396,-0.33580172450475304,-0.09488749835329062,-0.20519411508182928,-0.08232930812432118,0.2776599261808628,-0.10084089053274939,0.2180434663216427,-0.06828061209252481,0.30905367411888296,0.22740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k{84}=[0.8477748242024434;1.5090494507386838;0.6485560033736899];
x_a{84}=[10.073436028408553,18.098552837301884,14.776621004493425];
L_a{84}=[-0.02655926686634415,-0.025773201004871682,-0.026575233619602612,-0.026117350956608824,-0.02669767480768622,-0.021833773227125805,-0.02885168113513606,-0.024949725218040442,-0.026969391076723352,-0.0289410877540733,0.4059657902724224,-0.025952643628507827,-0.027485224179419433,-0.01165999453421191,-0.02541655391395844,-0.02188838153720331,-0.02100961151557969,-0.02673488712213113,-0.024538501509942006,-0.02541290344399643,-0.02028701953832771,-0.025154469412470504,-0.027206730367644504,-0.025364064290116454,-0.028907807436620754,-0.025379339233121925,-0.027782503261160867,-0.02114493834586785,-0.025359843587331773,-0.008002092557557216,-0.02540305627064304,0.5606785251706837,-0.02569729891226133,-0.026360256758653774,-0.028032505552444444,-0.026520703513588834,-0.02533976570490763,-0.011791557026629821,-0.02545467484915101,-0.02047396861683452,-0.025810399158577257,-0.025606115734753493,-0.024670528206839848,-0.02577126141328757,-0.026468438999489786,-0.02536142663933739,-0.025930360744378957,-0.027810873695628232,-0.02575176808809262,-0.023585187019902438,-0.019241993053806698,0.32363872481505546,-0.026251133336219482,-0.026214536746055277,-0.010601116468863763,-0.02536143967474846,-0.009426363467349784,-0.026004099777786168,-0.02752423756727376,-0.028722119829777407,0.4083477044282213,-0.026375207059909263,-0.02650580676496316,-0.028805448264605737,-0.027286651947980627,-0.025504745038581227,-0.028638390042105537,-0.02697314716405613,-0.02586024927733564,-0.026211664792030125,-0.023239911657449368,-0.02707572005615247,-0.0280238274485152,-0.02204790935295538,-0.02670765624607625,-0.025816487471186218,-0.028119312669093947,-0.027180699988033106,-0.003946869017327879,-0.02629844381015523,-0.02539618628534344,-0.0234187980228556,-0.009389894882297656,-0.02485348614522173,-0.027636557256115975,-0.027449600303026553,-0.02523857205853244,-0.027425541861597937,-0.025733115113107392,-0.025949086307106777,-0.025219395013967204,-0.0259254522125283,-0.02770685274539474,-0.028652409464942963,-0.02196165651832838,-0.02527508419577316,-0.026614377146065273,0.6391271546473666,-0.025338336950630713,-0.02881226687373692;-0.0031264030360171856,-0.15016832732746435,-0.003799630714008948,-0.11590009093316338,-0.007058739109621939,0.05256547774910591,-0.0998871438698474,-0.12881057408462243,-0.09909293948088876,-0.09125044322379276,0.7531018192279638,-0.15412022774499343,-0.01700320782339003,0.1235261230030147,-0.14109622965901258,0.05317706758369441,0.05646639525637826,-0.09859555970758509,0.024198055808558893,-0.15044590900261504,0.06790121417773855,0.018688257047937553,-0.009834449539247734,-0.13082634623594663,-0.06505705130169406,0.009381467604629793,-0.02917632905789042,0.05929215147334455,-0.11375528244757314,0.1428969294946705,-0.13111628758704483,0.9360168955174001,0.01041503906507759,-0.12171639756759904,-0.13115840691090896,-0.08882991759715587,-0.14768649632960001,0.12139483377028447,0.01523086401425569,0.06405691516404992,0.009578981085802815,-0.14236622734728707,0.017800470198131302,-0.11694487959353024,0.002915179856700002,-0.15683233855197518,-0.12091398055754667,-0.061007959566795514,-0.1548546934881593,0.03478921198974162,0.07216133031355544,0.6744240025431263,-0.11359648387568733,-0.1280014695209335,0.1298979831273121,-0.14305890730122173,0.1368907088408019,0.0023519417082542462,-0.0805375749012096,-0.07646364402386813,0.7556116799801327,-0.08904517211483322,-0.0039711834616163585,-0.06275365636273986,-0.08069043733982384,0.016818831301642856,-0.05831008745273603,-0.14757019787661818,0.006707874225192711,0.002418593306496134,0.037896622499897635,-0.01578250054810918,-0.12221217627200483,0.05045848062816955,-0.09982499350093588,-0.114230871507783,-0.13030129739185506,-0.014195458580776012,0.16220131845737606,-3.8644351017899886E-4,-0.12498791451774291,0.03935664455037768,0.13602410637628082,0.017375987603040512,-0.13986237197720358,-0.14254030517134744,-0.1459301881449718,-0.027055664184135932,-0.15578178508804005,-0.11675644897958351,-0.13215251168639877,-0.11671214083617112,-0.07160998507789627,-0.1052373417407814,0.051638161740276176,-0.13638342746264992,-0.00541746080912877,1.0662261239535737,0.014190693162890875,-0.06225186279089884;-0.1184661036272019,0.23329698516201972,-0.11751091150732244,0.15176573832876497,-0.11045890495421351,-0.2321272922295759,0.10011801960504409,0.19033390741058814,0.1099306249450826,0.08165922541112532,-0.10167036246231237,0.24020491193880247,-0.08831630328868144,-0.3678076426111755,0.21450866324424775,-0.23515289900793068,-0.2398405980259093,0.10900533605815194,-0.17436810651592416,0.23554982943662064,-0.26461416470225874,-0.16446572325160977,-0.10520307101615343,0.19082757539235065,0.019250766572243533,-0.14182925521507717,-0.06074227293966992,-0.2471465737825311,0.15185597175395657,-0.4007175024003028,0.19164585687654778,0.6901211584677991,-0.14735286461981592,0.16461927274121138,0.1777085307755734,0.08619081944453609,0.22965745580360494,-0.36410468562106285,-0.15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x_a{84}=[10.073436028408551,18.098552837301888,14.776621004493414];
std_x_a{84}=[1.1036985777979442,2.119752205054461,2.37805483442115];
pred_a{84}=[10.073436028408551];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.3 to 8.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{85}=[16.810165500663306,18.19798962214659,37.206016718758576];
std_x_f{85}=[1.0953329934178249,2.8549461975986943,3.0177443804214388];
pred_f{85}=[16.810165500663306];
obs{85}=[17.480545586808585];
sqrt_r{85}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{85}=[2.201459602489252];
L_f{85}=[0.041294503503491085,-0.12983750715256162,0.04048664029375472,-0.09037578205352743,0.03696440062496613,0.10055371235058984,-0.06778761869096374,-0.10734320402536092,-0.07077575858873143,-0.058394792012015105,0.28083321096398883,-0.1335256326638741,0.025519983804382588,0.1737174197538192,-0.12018942630514907,0.10147699812969442,0.1046504513258533,-0.06932215253453701,0.07025351018360411,-0.1308481086567872,0.11683779976432226,0.06477702834990809,0.033981265070499894,-0.10897817365668834,-0.028152093798646187,0.053430328142889276,0.012288512064081566,0.10790355977432195,-0.08891789081582258,0.19175599102279706,-0.10878636247812468,0.02489532085328114,0.05579766675729767,-0.09656639565922767,-0.10529451189950201,-0.058193974353943044,-0.12764032863574964,0.17168513274335123,0.06041512067524854,0.1125760905698089,0.053998055240016794,-0.12084234568304376,0.06335428203269242,-0.09163005833404092,0.047636985424660924,-0.13746543526931573,-0.0959979865456964,-0.02536232595797451,-0.135524127923718,0.08136566220071334,0.1211246820261965,0.3685275930047955,-0.08617781834657015,-0.10322153384710335,0.17969734897375966,-0.12248198754155959,0.1870653749164389,0.046132442059505854,-0.04835133207900288,-0.04103759422038649,0.2771750848078515,-0.05896458533684834,0.03982507069092326,-0.025450222057900134,-0.0488581876352407,0.06269402843555058,-0.02151994611355656,-0.12535156925126234,0.051449489102234416,0.046716241170495124,0.08446640481543705,0.026832144489613557,-0.09408956908997122,0.09814043538446059,-0.07092342714735946,-0.0884165656044737,-0.10452667676899156,0.0279914788508243,0.2087671567091558,0.04364521751419754,-0.10238572502035717,0.08685952695641172,0.18497218096251478,0.062144898017295176,-0.11512882703590521,-0.11911447728638518,-0.125629097421712,0.014651484215719381,-0.1369098994443094,-0.0918360190187475,-0.1098950563258218,-0.09197628221773035,-0.037262466854038154,-0.07452461225757362,0.09897481747902062,-0.11530681791788726,0.03817013647065837,-0.14989215576832024,0.05871865499665404,-0.026207078365743677;0.12557078349343084,-0.1018209178834598,0.12555142604706368,-0.04702879408240292,0.12121501306128286,0.18702530006371024,-0.010618689933625938,-0.07381141630538837,-0.018321114853024574,0.0015287888365397785,-0.7420917761669162,-0.10669929456193067,0.10836814063085398,0.24932053016909683,-0.08935797226052782,0.1897759883647453,0.19129347425054047,-0.0170789903335587,0.15698186951964693,-0.10386325205852527,0.20449506109318147,0.15184123582563666,0.11910727515276459,-0.07312786705428537,0.042010703639434564,0.13866299840759733,0.09164081533404005,0.19555072327577636,-0.04684641178583978,0.26122823846787135,-0.07380668585051245,-1.4106539532910731,0.14262643412452944,-0.05521063030686117,-0.06276603005170306,-0.003291484839186034,-0.10005561341623347,0.2483319205313097,0.14698775737978872,0.19904611571992883,0.14067770032894464,-0.09052736080601455,0.14878823768097735,-0.0503542448759111,0.133741800626632,-0.1127828620038258,-0.05618566157864919,0.04355482009311998,-0.10918212263841254,0.1685549146076829,0.20596268002055787,-0.4421881993562428,-0.04059207077486079,-0.06450396791401028,0.2543977172659433,-0.09234686090507059,0.25883838416889615,0.13081875954749167,0.01373100011352603,0.02559514073344833,-0.7519890769720067,-0.003872729793857015,0.12450754983879692,0.04553675505699172,0.011322024325819104,0.14985229896859775,0.05001241248804489,-0.09289195146490065,0.13769521527592582,0.13231843071941748,0.17250347634690963,0.10877623540523515,-0.047548045349862324,0.18576658652339656,-0.019615529819557897,-0.045568541437689875,-0.06244432390633738,0.11193270946548904,0.2695713566603386,0.12828648889118566,-0.06574318568042876,0.1753471516111091,0.2565546661195644,0.14883101160679327,-0.0773174386318576,-0.08407888809673132,-0.09735421539544171,0.09461473248453657,-0.10997028890854914,-0.04986334081735236,-0.07570743536972092,-0.05000901271878401,0.027229108504452423,-0.020202127272843515,0.1853267153410179,-0.0827207817579927,0.12215228519875045,-1.8189155355339297,0.14526224724525574,0.044705488162359114;-0.0026419226947900255,-0.22720034683856583,-0.003910693048871613,-0.17812253267171843,-0.00893067283801796,0.09745963993060897,-0.15738599019613528,-0.1964150408875304,-0.15547662974740828,-0.1434637499374856,1.2132861484940551,-0.23188012992711193,-0.026580769403282467,0.2337576633867258,-0.21437007879662676,0.09784557629554057,0.10376843693835351,-0.1544979746644233,0.045511548756821854,-0.22716441991786387,0.12526442940188096,0.03535567314094409,-0.014321833856744778,-0.20025686691170075,-0.10462484570326187,0.018862752682665105,-0.046999435880552096,0.10891182944830936,-0.17508331545877712,0.27275278421798377,-0.20049861897253698,1.1153631807899322,0.020705113805222306,-0.18816221146496787,-0.2023810711376028,-0.1394452741493598,-0.2230208794223438,0.23050842089338902,0.0286803592877006,0.11843754526613559,0.018442777717909507,-0.21558176540340507,0.03366119467501764,-0.1799177753089939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k{85}=[0.5457559162706088;0.3034980106070958;1.064558545091603];
x_a{85}=[17.176029398827094,18.401448644642297,37.919675567923775];
L_a{85}=[-0.09200221058307048,0.28927185608663386,-0.09020232936792993,0.2013529895424303,-0.08235494513422592,-0.22402893929470138,0.15102762451675114,0.23915560724850016,0.15768505959410603,0.13010084868049854,-0.6256831786739941,0.29748882617128136,-0.056857323005441926,-0.3870342364762255,0.2677763859747072,-0.22608597656287813,-0.23315628094863863,0.15444649370866048,-0.1565215147232702,0.29152342868150627,-0.26030911976144744,-0.14432017090821594,-0.07570865949825387,0.2427982426492526,0.06272154021172395,-0.11904025679613908,-0.02737822661015045,-0.24040405348815497,0.19810487646977412,-0.4272233244105536,0.24237089636959788,-0.05546560334556478,-0.1243145758276253,0.21514538534013983,0.23459121759874405,0.1296534363883229,0.28437664574525623,-0.382506396651574,-0.13460204587024296,-0.2508142322221343,-0.12030512605263048,0.26923105962379856,-0.14115035906457202,0.20414745807210763,-0.10613296184107852,0.30626652097831375,0.2138789965831951,0.056506068742654174,0.30194137956570294,-0.18127886650551753,-0.26986009171025516,-0.8210621351684929,0.19200012394967864,0.22997272004749647,-0.4003572373767766,0.2728841045268626,-0.41677285245500556,-0.10278091002380321,0.10772449257147035,0.09142982878986296,-0.6175330457409772,0.13137032139508611,-0.08872838342473889,0.05670189711710364,0.10885374289933196,-0.13967934512012925,0.04794542726269545,0.27927739754027975,-0.11462704062721034,-0.10408158697086725,-0.1881871751374301,-0.059780755264925205,0.20962713229749916,-0.21865227177733235,0.15801405819379244,0.19698794749008033,0.23288051706049137,-0.06236369766614044,-0.46512340105410804,-0.09723949077982337,0.22811057731271359,-0.19351893865279335,-0.4121093148264722,-0.13845590838904878,0.25650160894279206,0.2653814501454869,0.2798957172442155,-0.03264281736805934,0.3050288133024155,0.20460632878560575,0.24484101408972925,0.20491882859248192,0.08301902266629907,0.16603732915600494,-0.2205112358199431,0.25689816425201345,-0.08504126785932066,0.3339526694777071,-0.13082240017003974,0.05838813735509221;0.051443712508689156,0.13124821463114228,0.05287453676723075,0.11520325723689753,0.0548608371646374,0.006523016689329999,0.11106572799785171,0.11887856975643431,0.10872726291624284,0.10635230105646441,-1.246210765325865,0.1329903302308864,0.06255764551648708,-0.06251669786026827,0.1263920520637501,0.007616330166107895,0.003437203418734075,0.10736004357583989,0.030870971107536452,0.1310199942747519,-0.0052385146137829035,0.03556107814633825,0.058108075881139816,0.12249702558436638,0.09254605528023839,0.04275111205567344,0.06958191333043548,0.001854852002708345,0.11276860341250936,-0.08298972645074543,0.12147388975699036,-1.455343126413669,0.042464977911562334,0.11813408771758624,0.1262463831189322,0.10117154296920684,0.12906940077598414,-0.059857183154494516,0.03853758704495776,-0.0030373372545684533,0.0437466965822513,0.1263947081480875,0.0350620280650246,0.11412933676805415,0.04822944666953958,0.13397903639980863,0.11613871477481719,0.08908230625035142,0.1340949674929019,0.022496778391978216,-0.01146620617009596,-1.1037259036222122,0.1141042862680644,0.12078727710583362,-0.06817398145957058,0.12751850166256185,-0.07695953440992659,0.04800718616326676,0.1005256657746365,0.09926103817087506,-1.249541425192308,0.10197360887155203,0.05301823306256169,0.09122202202972396,0.09902653789908741,0.0373112995164891,0.08864250699959556,0.13212454912461585,0.04533909987941531,0.04845888933777035,0.02087924904386144,0.0606103026416583,0.12135056282123313,0.009596336175130593,0.10769792530381077,0.11314655327790131,0.12518976129338336,0.06168567502499679,-0.10518306660943089,0.04993969059281447,0.11804771292588652,0.019427070870709884,-0.075485795082534,0.03727574696296216,0.12934838877926844,0.12974151326423458,0.1281604713604119,0.06831409878400942,0.13579437644852896,0.11498995739903763,0.12156333797781918,0.11509606961475104,0.09411833809217145,0.11357575487218534,0.0076586796822537915,0.12426455410156842,0.0536337130982634,-1.5498466394820656,0.039857374010793374,0.09174937520548426;-0.2626522162765097,0.5903197947900187,-0.2588342866459382,0.390927380288938,-0.24167653107935014,-0.5356754761459958,0.2694378517602897,0.47947001946382817,0.290161995440788,0.22421828342087302,-0.5549764393845089,0.6088622450643604,-0.18726700893192308,-0.860051765914941,0.5424010497478358,-0.5411029964427851,-0.5551617417570787,0.2819880392840891,-0.3968387462755645,0.5967189606775143,-0.6104032270840553,-0.3725120266653277,-0.22828441864752552,0.4859227580371638,0.0726344394920978,-0.317560599772118,-0.12437388909789683,-0.5705015034438556,0.38478700466105975,-0.9346362698161904,0.4844732694346752,0.9586101232474085,-0.33062415483493474,0.4198668179520237,0.46060442641702476,0.2269723134885829,0.5806647568183889,-0.8505047402030091,-0.3517226467011799,-0.5903963158036218,-0.3215552608736354,0.5453004613436847,-0.36524820181613465,0.3970296716152646,-0.2926435880127752,0.6298521406274409,0.4191353872695941,0.06178277092902992,0.620659905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x_a{85}=[17.17602939882709,18.40144864464231,37.919675567923775];
std_x_a{85}=[2.4403503655272667,3.1042877481227373,5.211323183181933];
pred_a{85}=[17.17602939882709];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.4 to 8.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{86}=[9.601662744627182,-2.2364219473068196,38.70603766462801];
std_x_f{86}=[2.0708267250377546,4.966400242090033,2.1256940802565936];
pred_f{86}=[9.601662744627182];
obs{86}=[9.686346626427358];
sqrt_r{86}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{86}=[5.30326500166413];
L_f{86}=[0.12223615068193172,-0.1808233936208306,0.12102858512572827,-0.10624869238603389,0.11581257653925663,0.2049393291332633,-0.06087518478313862,-0.13984145476663012,-0.06910725360394154,-0.0445811386202057,-0.3057121608028781,-0.18804022809193313,0.09794787553362319,0.2881979768232746,-0.16324399137631057,0.20677152671726792,0.21032813799948463,-0.06631564269778918,0.16429980589328205,-0.1835854875809684,0.22627261242460053,0.15685259097127002,0.11147764700284257,-0.14171910503346616,0.010293655718393763,0.13974883236413171,0.07664231084649552,0.21502952032936365,-0.1043722519017589,0.30343864979637575,-0.1413794667910211,-0.7455795797041095,0.14392123258680037,-0.11708700257142035,-0.13143596074746586,-0.04660640400992066,-0.17763321222296802,0.28574935217129366,0.15012681176329587,0.22021059571664978,0.14159782027839493,-0.16432012586577582,0.15449194119435797,-0.1087466748525643,0.13225179224614916,-0.19572591118525046,-0.11669516041105568,0.013285538221133925,-0.1928903495362274,0.17936443314902098,0.22989939735509302,-0.1483102489345679,-0.0971304435970058,-0.12940154888298905,0.2932634281904787,-0.16725124874922903,0.30012215919196106,0.1291418797900079,-0.027208888207486764,-0.012521320771497367,-0.31096512278218563,-0.047090441477389305,0.11964221650535138,0.014556123053133639,-0.028582051817241064,0.1541593532994582,0.02037624354892819,-0.17145867466770173,0.1376001499532694,0.13051336183780712,0.18409102064814897,0.10010711814831116,-0.11037744889205554,0.20241052851416722,-0.0693855394884679,-0.10271245260624932,-0.13034791904772267,0.10193505855684319,0.31593487942844417,0.1254767923876132,-0.1300467703368014,0.1875402239659849,0.29752745041358947,0.15251849810646634,-0.150344854989514,-0.15919083916724158,-0.17373004037329634,0.08014661458267963,-0.19442609492753304,-0.10910294168154877,-0.14407879110826513,-0.10981517241441113,-0.007506237414641026,-0.07345350918383772,0.20233637522963513,-0.15418635237683612,0.11769696895653178,-1.0984687942807383,0.14739394214926801,0.012952496299262917;0.2444877834296725,-0.5867232614017193,0.24030333209393132,-0.3960281172610473,0.22292454303080775,0.5273876364723494,-0.2831830700231978,-0.4788759865679642,-0.300440006134609,-0.23873665928980514,0.5566213514565725,-0.603761479039992,0.1677893012812696,0.8707647807148111,-0.540885179834669,0.5324716805607408,0.5477018671553255,-0.2924443531489732,0.38301617107438457,-0.5925458027600077,0.6048850151633279,0.3569340365863423,0.20864669248651038,-0.48648676343716424,-0.09121198871394352,0.3020710151495566,0.10387337896559753,0.5631919180964379,-0.3893241883855432,0.9520030679665118,-0.48531227848828773,-0.6644560292970169,0.31403497112896894,-0.42517120038552525,-0.466655906894995,-0.238639686697161,-0.5768606835978813,0.8608580537730308,0.3359689405184184,0.5844681032988704,0.3042757145025477,-0.5432365615904029,0.35029894580238474,-0.4022146251222545,0.2758674497655585,-0.6232944363949413,-0.42296920915065034,-0.0790571957263271,-0.6153529167883698,0.43591106687598735,0.6249371991001511,1.009605784495878,-0.3741692287978993,-0.4568326292741483,0.8979713089578327,-0.5513108175510337,0.932266418116931,0.2670298241122621,-0.1912242377288966,-0.1532259550246825,0.5390277840907087,-0.24200569657164986,0.23659117099596236,-0.07821797428790547,-0.19221639949044278,0.3471904031450649,-0.06027687462437737,-0.5645421775071161,0.292750331942495,0.2701860412155974,0.4510238935228441,0.17465690057036148,-0.4114327477356076,0.5169597881569089,-0.3006865220596906,-0.3859630403493405,-0.46262011442272916,0.179417945584988,1.0278499259907523,0.25533059935068275,-0.4553676002180342,0.46314817758043,0.921513556812925,0.34363116717109626,-0.5139849807728673,-0.5344933978526691,-0.5671399910187227,0.11578744566235287,-0.6209883472055738,-0.40297849866171404,-0.4916079680144701,-0.4040461577610665,-0.13607280829002633,-0.3168212161338591,0.5204356065076471,-0.5177124735769185,0.22916954621183347,-1.4982859057114268,0.3269787933783908,-0.08212508324869233;0.04972883022121111,0.06528781042331334,0.05092561868993603,0.06759986150295208,0.05162461594615597,0.011357475769725145,0.06979888829562221,0.06513165516074752,0.06928095428470443,0.06978429827192255,-1.0757703837831523,0.06475819515097926,0.056903898359753846,-0.07461816603056706,0.06597023055888908,0.012239216365948588,0.008375994344449187,0.06822860724681273,0.03389326875095512,0.06466081183085177,-0.001128029521743409,0.03841586279496524,0.05408774587641845,0.0667001728282607,0.06861134179494004,0.04406821981434413,0.06042153390984504,0.006547370174274519,0.0662496344053806,-0.10428964946843208,0.06599750374448632,-0.5408691502833686,0.04351830600445989,0.06683742826696937,0.06888035845940925,0.06744661346944117,0.06482548850787091,-0.07119622774869576,0.040484156677810655,0.0014527334769142892,0.04426199923425035,0.0657520973424261,0.03844624823352597,0.06670249751222329,0.04821881470105343,0.06511249724765204,0.0655686392647146,0.0667393808231131,0.06553972397456005,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k{86}=[0.8114369167510566;1.5869241556458595;0.19435348438842787];
x_a{86}=[9.670378372573628,-2.1020350496842615,38.722496272127415];
L_a{86}=[-0.06725552344955933,0.09949079647918185,-0.06659110909153988,0.05845906781577163,-0.06372121024538431,-0.11275961963269299,0.033494120968616314,0.0769421336307492,0.038023485600332856,0.024528977697286708,0.1682058154235763,0.10346156926035228,-0.05389187734590428,-0.15856934041378,0.08981843774332803,-0.11376771263045027,-0.11572459487974915,0.036487514026347964,-0.09039935719807521,0.10101052754130715,-0.12449740036819752,-0.0863018268436993,-0.06133608969420556,0.07797523513833718,-0.005663669869247957,-0.07689117188065797,-0.042169347657041605,-0.11831134133542964,0.05742663194235928,-0.1669549074723882,0.07778836286158705,0.4102251635588726,-0.07918686721670316,0.06442241189001038,0.07231734876181134,0.025643298486592445,0.09773552752956814,-0.15722208322528264,-0.0826012374622854,-0.12116201959435378,-0.07790850308204073,0.09041053744531732,-0.0850029742903295,0.0598334821556953,-0.07276622721703484,0.107690307130653,0.06420681650797404,-0.007309832830849796,0.1061301534288666,-0.09868806218432426,-0.12649289284385612,0.08160174685951738,0.05344211831410477,0.07119799549279814,-0.16135640120806238,0.0920232698712148,-0.16513014196422124,-0.07105512302279089,0.014970595921633195,0.0068893529292998875,0.17109604638723144,0.025909620626664655,-0.06582831554202671,-0.008008921009645342,0.01572612394538629,-0.08481998118362857,-0.011211208126021537,0.09433823668703345,-0.07570894584144425,-0.07180972583474003,-0.10128867677019401,-0.0550799137123577,0.060730749952840855,-0.11136824884436168,0.038176601210796815,0.056513394165990195,0.07171869759648132,-0.05608566437060871,-0.17383045501181904,-0.06903855615315964,0.07155300263573366,-0.10318646210890801,-0.16370250786322088,-0.08391716663740854,0.08272120697402244,0.08758835382853733,0.0955879642727185,-0.04409744978385483,0.10697513553605255,0.060029503643098135,0.07927355745339604,0.06042137994555279,0.00413000510603425,0.04041483785120732,-0.11132744898328248,0.08483483633958339,-0.06475802134996525,0.604388254540133,-0.08109758592069578,-0.007126589914076626;-0.12610037784977307,-0.03851384393878638,-0.12662380504002899,-0.07390976413864463,-0.1281890150555912,-0.09393501426263726,-0.09862537027174041,-0.054913130215777005,-0.09092481851390845,-0.10357826222938388,1.4834609723106618,-0.03367249974544274,-0.12916313785177078,-0.002976397484615378,-0.0459719298135613,-0.09440571588546946,-0.08995824805378372,-0.09139260246527771,-0.11509803347869883,-0.035962436049997874,-0.0811145923056939,-0.11860215263163255,-0.1293244886744579,-0.05683136068171745,-0.12241967092777023,-0.12161103421023499,-0.1284861390195255,-0.08872156343173215,-0.07289471392087203,0.03205614014020474,-0.056686570394082474,1.595947001955256,-0.12229670862260528,-0.07019391461045647,-0.06817631842902218,-0.09734121264077437,-0.03832306495867061,-0.005459532449891493,-0.11917643848547874,-0.08315304891847751,-0.12501198447523273,-0.045060752174914356,-0.11808036833918982,-0.07252303998939169,-0.12508552724647232,-0.029904468400737766,-0.06917988671466985,-0.1193354861789527,-0.03055963293256262,-0.10787516255614588,-0.07205787535019366,1.4592438182930492,-0.07969503032175254,-0.06452084753258246,0.008873001973262728,-0.04424860723202236,0.022374225719823948,-0.12449470859395624,-0.1087339777279246,-0.11526457276900529,1.4817930170515448,-0.0992397470257386,-0.12613285768755378,-0.12234834691109628,-0.10556306519078167,-0.12018059115211853,-0.12205233620798292,-0.04472414801229113,-0.12441747216846645,-0.1254964677315798,-0.10709211773452154,-0.12884179959813621,-0.07679708059929674,-0.09669619795844694,-0.09032764414212476,-0.07456564490208162,-0.06743918491037791,-0.12962259364787063,0.07001768570623472,-0.12508234325878861,-0.06109967513546425,-0.10542491947606082,0.019487845402563275,-0.11876518169178284,-0.058178551516382515,-0.05186824931516507,-0.04043577248952835,-0.12719620823438152,-0.03153908344871136,-0.07220680532565851,-0.05479861187634627,-0.07111516640862454,-0.11331585213507421,-0.09412931397479568,-0.09299556616901475,-0.05025962511150562,-0.12765699872134506,1.8319852818573166,-0.11988123698168007,-0.12139367736544235;0.0043422248428037205,0.13242801374015556,0.005987385589796705,0.10705028141878078,0.008623100601311644,-0.06473703805450594,0.09240200507961867,0.11705515641325927,0.09494065994959507,0.08633739270910232,-0.9622586515800927,0.134578028155061,0.02053559365040877,-0.1816268354950483,0.126583155423251,-0.06453559725712721,-0.06971939843503594,0.09285178041406886,-0.027111682830276013,0.13282658792536667,-0.08514364773913431,-0.01982391822953713,0.012695801310061091,0.11932085058072002,0.06478928025761632,-0.007820890495651702,0.031964041602757017,-0.07329365827312748,0.1050033270167189,-0.21695722103407195,0.1184920729210845,-0.2640334844558187,-0.009920027520849885,0.11031214136127757,0.1176828775971365,0.08475169429130953,0.1307811690515193,-0.17729571641699474,-0.015258324774743206,-0.08031204193672258,-0.008313645168532263,0.1267645937830765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x_a{86}=[9.670378372573627,-2.1020350496842597,38.72249627212743];
std_x_a{86}=[1.1393890807978289,3.6376802114738234,2.0853998719466635];
pred_a{86}=[9.670378372573627];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.5 to 8.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{87}=[0.690316825078967,-4.9633386032226,28.52425156183864];
std_x_f{87}=[2.1268703910694624,2.5526855248775053,1.4483975415365067];
pred_f{87}=[0.690316825078967];
obs{87}=[0.39221159412663414];
sqrt_r{87}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{87}=[5.529390765834575];
L_f{87}=[-0.07624372385061573,-0.019176773117368116,-0.07658866021005269,-0.040639671398219133,-0.07701681505400376,-0.05842862949501064,-0.05601830888599699,-0.029801769618897852,-0.05126907904931029,-0.058514111776015246,0.9862612126303265,-0.016596299840611062,-0.07742565469192342,-0.002434689420921017,-0.023971171758218546,-0.05884854114298052,-0.05574365605396809,-0.05181894900649428,-0.07010616579729102,-0.01738319635954535,-0.051041126256032535,-0.07298886692717696,-0.0783298431046102,-0.030068232395511024,-0.07120119670735398,-0.073664388858817,-0.07649630611084683,-0.05554163457335248,-0.039808522087734416,0.01949639559840679,-0.030021149262781013,0.8377846902537729,-0.07433231611151793,-0.03844075980777583,-0.03639865065533703,-0.055428396056134095,-0.019224015418984552,-0.0041600486806767315,-0.07274639823908008,-0.05247713459979529,-0.07574819641464826,-0.02325231443709152,-0.07160216468450266,-0.03939169434539675,-0.07571481413000791,-0.013368172784782927,-0.03735776783664334,-0.06912332668853322,-0.015118201082317394,-0.06664868420260164,-0.045343819652509,1.0284650003564508,-0.04402173904575663,-0.034561034020515136,0.004756171314581641,-0.02245636344059682,0.014219829181086037,-0.07551310730992752,-0.06256413636540187,-0.06660054543979392,0.9830566652956412,-0.05625539734538032,-0.07630653561652512,-0.07107851303584452,-0.05967415017599889,-0.07337971063734924,-0.07125123413073065,-0.02291525771472567,-0.07556450897264828,-0.07577811999643592,-0.0662058571487669,-0.07728026966490413,-0.04226687856511816,-0.0600122461655313,-0.05058507336379704,-0.040879436834603655,-0.03651398163718854,-0.07793348091819001,0.04510835534006367,-0.07606512589505815,-0.032819329588478094,-0.06546062938695263,0.012287933021367428,-0.07277149740515033,-0.030794092863740814,-0.027268849988751127,-0.020605834325645625,-0.07565350759091999,-0.015367924551153057,-0.03984629299404648,-0.028766285924924175,-0.03888179530007349,-0.06517467800996919,-0.05228513555999801,-0.057719520060964064,-0.026288848791217935,-0.07671331054137683,0.737644565949781,-0.07337935533922271,-0.07055721863810664;-0.0580643730214451,-0.08720773363872407,-0.0582861268130426,-0.09081501606916768,-0.06147751498370295,-7.858802624824969E-4,-0.09501465590873172,-0.08649020481159814,-0.09196307590244236,-0.09424149059545053,1.2726290559705142,-0.08709977887023945,-0.06894408931186097,0.11595792194071754,-0.08839580586176961,-6.247996552341495E-4,0.004675186493451007,-0.09133968348788994,-0.03338462372048148,-0.0873433222255169,0.01831438729691325,-0.039691393847567466,-0.06424806489246324,-0.0891423350472473,-0.0918592276126005,-0.04821320818716741,-0.0751250796522023,0.007596611615035996,-0.0885947134816151,0.1563845787700413,-0.08851221764508149,0.6892598176072717,-0.04731461025311871,-0.09096076928182732,-0.09465321505274177,-0.08946825729644392,-0.08678724624842961,0.11261200504768262,-0.0424393475229994,0.013593848973563092,-0.04999225663262453,-0.08760690682789876,-0.03958152614569014,-0.09013728428002253,-0.05359141335191864,-0.0867671202220574,-0.08986867943094239,-0.08743827424207155,-0.08707814270119689,-0.022101378968936426,0.02816318455506608,1.4636139680112323,-0.09202769072139293,-0.09027088719417092,0.12902974498347972,-0.08810841299027387,0.14533113687989438,-0.053944128335278486,-0.09260456804762977,-0.09346841939149185,1.2643993411996697,-0.09099694169249585,-0.05896603395741898,-0.09001358720942809,-0.0903082790712098,-0.04202198913347107,-0.08842897739191848,-0.08934466688503584,-0.05115725853040617,-0.054701043402675974,-0.02058653072135635,-0.06785831041774432,-0.09467760163940578,-0.0038335527386817603,-0.09140579460001426,-0.08995184283208399,-0.09404466758392785,-0.06773942400697842,0.20043047619381307,-0.05604100978093042,-0.0878044844826565,-0.0176874132045261,0.14231305831585614,-0.041435135564586424,-0.09320542789791027,-0.09069648610849289,-0.08711156898319468,-0.0727002096116444,-0.08795598108458613,-0.09083835136434994,-0.08775058790022482,-0.0894077134558654,-0.08961456599815852,-0.0956546272377495,-7.338223387217774E-4,-0.08837346048340475,-0.060316030144100065,0.2167390837343457,-0.044106315091419324,-0.09049876439688694;-0.04029429031442425,0.016798449533773574,-0.039393627093728435,0.004961793298842683,-0.03848184804262766,-0.07442125173288085,-0.002042221394151486,0.00998955767155048,-4.644045865258108E-4,-0.005672650278398609,0.4062828800654519,0.01836566519741058,-0.032441359655091054,-0.13401171097492168,0.014279871076265703,-0.07361971716949528,-0.07682298668623108,-0.0014175438049118302,-0.05553779527853701,0.016703716252674052,-0.08503359834713148,-0.05168130045033454,-0.035728015053230866,0.010788408095810746,-0.013393135899341702,-0.04601571418703707,-0.027309797494076523,-0.07829450269642538,0.004028956343354093,-0.15229792229831948,0.010332933323915975,0.6906315310924948,-0.04656532947417548,0.0065468172779541,0.009005390430402653,-0.004729723666492054,0.0164747350727569,-0.13256944024086273,-0.04909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k{87}=[0.819148249355268;0.9126378094392811;0.455471532251691];
x_a{87}=[0.4461244470207157,-5.235400708181328,28.388473115524537];
L_a{87}=[0.04058394186125435,0.010207647344279496,0.040767548805540725,0.021632181351966717,0.040995452302602306,0.031101105542854772,0.029818110608677145,0.01586325043547918,0.02729013246380759,0.031146607096914174,-0.5249791811300181,0.008834081466993533,0.041213074465554264,0.0012959662634325884,0.012759668492685075,0.03132462125073745,0.029671915039991118,0.027582823970027044,0.037316967392716775,0.00925294037055165,0.02716879496293178,0.038851406808187466,0.041694366932905444,0.016005086501296974,0.037899843838748414,0.03921098188420826,0.04071838943604082,0.029564380575382517,0.0211897670312707,-0.010377779907760582,0.01598002451553803,-0.4459462817965914,0.0395665143716333,0.020461717795918224,0.019374718959406907,0.029504104592427593,0.010232794054400435,0.0022143615929274604,0.038722342609275005,0.02793317104783733,0.04032017645688649,0.012377026325517118,0.03811327597782802,0.020967892862396982,0.04030240732612268,0.007115774514789198,0.019885249583547596,0.036793809770891424,0.008047300981437614,0.035476576801352785,0.024136162920769606,-0.5474439294515675,0.023432429685159867,0.018396569901302076,-0.002531673039624048,0.011953347793898682,-0.007569104597945296,0.04019504035287258,0.03330240372083501,0.035450952911904476,-0.5232734254801852,0.029944310953645116,0.04061737607625779,0.03783454027354464,0.03176408652478155,0.03905944987861195,0.03792647837046654,0.012197613650826064,0.04022240105859463,0.04033610454699329,0.035240863400960255,0.04113568714518143,0.02249833108498673,0.03194405239331122,0.026926041551511334,0.021759806630994912,0.019436108745029615,0.0414833864204479,-0.02401082709659876,0.040488875557054965,0.01746947416358886,0.03484418445308872,-0.006540771281204089,0.03873570270037648,0.01639145638925968,0.014514996994835522,0.010968325522939233,0.04026977433166229,0.008180226843774646,0.021209872191254836,0.015312070509944225,0.020696477562023374,0.03469197475670262,0.027830971450611273,0.030723652100247644,0.013993349971106822,0.04083389920848483,-0.3926424716273151,0.039059260756179534,0.037557059315612235;0.07209685847859763,-0.054469663157748226,0.0724639707479156,-0.021436063811886064,0.0700035169931901,0.09896190205768747,6.182919970816371E-4,-0.03561342651996554,-0.004437885238799502,0.005652224772123102,-0.4110895182718707,-0.05876702285440842,0.06323490268154258,0.12011435813431313,-0.047472867172914324,0.09983984451874535,0.09983925448303842,-0.002875769645770307,0.08629873400481017,-0.057667197670023956,0.1054504230924773,0.0849132335922994,0.06947453320200087,-0.037810658681369076,0.029693537384346068,0.07754465209714792,0.05546735347843154,0.10241579397498221,-0.02063467693764556,0.12310085739944432,-0.03726092033507155,-0.7409836373027846,0.0795835174443453,-0.025335739657345792,-0.032514419162852234,0.005157607317332493,-0.05396852498274958,0.11971392809170824,0.08175134390418408,0.10318139953032543,0.07932302377728029,-0.047911181993052464,0.08265576058054681,-0.022888844829242434,0.07566687772090232,-0.06394533575646746,-0.026092504525879634,0.030567207032523865,-0.06126875706841737,0.0916794593157353,0.10557293199146088,-0.2921537757491804,-0.016874963682563693,-0.03126922092142874,0.12091013743723696,-0.0497715142552708,0.12105542755650406,0.07496981428789108,0.014203240199154093,0.02023023769407923,-0.4138485161572169,0.005040757244474506,0.0713024280973576,0.031329735528377256,0.011565822603636106,0.08324987615983252,0.03320921014630559,-0.05022435620695973,0.07784443562669938,0.07466532173997384,0.09243832514590888,0.06407248417392211,-0.02252072514059195,0.09861773730184523,-0.0050483200168958894,-0.02016356948062109,-0.03170898174861384,0.06530651524005611,0.12342270708867366,0.07381532410046607,-0.03177620909815627,0.09406520990275724,0.12133543007480972,0.08279840448278937,-0.040634582093940455,-0.04414383997751404,-0.0519338437035784,0.05645342058912478,-0.061720274272874846,-0.022813833346599265,-0.038641559477025196,-0.023029759919572228,0.02164988862131283,-0.00639485226964789,0.09780338745767309,-0.04349384599752736,0.07064686710465755,-1.0425478485442472,0.08116494364649361,0.02995461858775783;0.024665472406249753,0.03313708789688881,0.025860021902839987,0.0395868519626471,0.027136589498703442,-0.024639975105751014,0.04568545859663133,0.03538070838308805,0.04321692473149104,0.0441814573754771,-0.4340130960151154,0.03250573660577404,0.03352540984759744,-0.13193735207567076,0.03470334399846126,-0.02348067521247029,-0.029329311304589916,0.04273227550994583,0.004192759125797582,0.03151422463045749,-0.04154648513786408,0.010505319475654229,0.03100912428157655,0.03640658547745899,0.04727038642021255,0.01674645139931207,0.03786516567672542,-0.030972949907733464,0.037945874595492556,-0.16890887947641242,0.035910995808549326,-0.023162233710076162,0.016765911095121166,0.03929840009424096,0.0400170933025769,0.04249534974215614,0.03285362394500778,-0.1290250727630534,0.012887196529636689,-0.03767485668474395,0.018110491729985953,0.03446563370243922,0.009643464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x_a{87}=[0.4461244470207154,-5.235400708181327,28.38847311552456];
std_x_a{87}=[1.132116585316675,1.5764177615399184,1.0465597743290924];
pred_a{87}=[0.4461244470207154];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.6 to 8.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{88}=[-3.0839970262160636,-5.292258540580126,22.658362865186344];
std_x_f{88}=[1.3336723125713197,1.441388377531382,1.3689653272251254];
pred_f{88}=[-3.0839970262160636];
obs{88}=[-3.1757323033869986];
sqrt_r{88}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{88}=[2.782444697643693];
L_f{88}=[0.06134215780652766,-0.028998683711511066,0.061656008362881085,-0.00389342065470607,0.059803759481968775,0.07316030710013434,0.013323186159376596,-0.0149626468089917,0.008842185636905024,0.0168876026534855,-0.5178070901282872,-0.031737859246806534,0.056171602223741846,0.07127865386437963,-0.023619268852310346,0.07368509809571576,0.07269578109517319,0.010002694148464166,0.06862959598257554,-0.03142874995426869,0.07523667370634723,0.06812122965950902,0.060133217365264266,-0.016151698724068186,0.0345778056047107,0.06351120443428886,0.0513312675926654,0.07467604692877736,-0.0029325647012589185,0.06714343118996957,-0.01633871534365873,-0.5923405285032902,0.06541265270193215,-0.006811690510966471,-0.0114807805534413,0.015518553888122602,-0.02856071771762061,0.07145700417194169,0.06617802981156205,0.07431075073020932,0.06530413637264447,-0.02433835794454907,0.0663651209685749,-0.005103949618474332,0.06338215466249764,-0.036222547464410886,-0.007608121423408119,0.03425652307678085,-0.033877075263310026,0.07142887930971778,0.07389010411286014,-0.48547168398997725,-4.186254705611721E-4,-0.011025209874081182,0.07004295268291047,-0.025002464345044467,0.06745740387783491,0.0631402495300063,0.02320823119392855,0.02781317170845901,-0.5179335576923859,0.01624958178937543,0.0614185899012475,0.03617660097384864,0.020357071180560377,0.067234569531057,0.036326924295650084,-0.025582958866789157,0.06499317968882151,0.06266332101480827,0.07134792181085169,0.05680883386501014,-0.004298228704246064,0.07337305059481108,0.008438035529700691,-0.0032987946693611523,-0.011614072738821254,0.05730288319170901,0.05957279469835393,0.06187155609156331,-0.0121475960232334,0.0718462919342914,0.0679476984171884,0.06681059175362232,-0.017941983129044315,-0.02085793885245047,-0.02686348330577579,0.051424278411230935,-0.03450186650881301,-0.005082797473349273,-0.017395055857744816,-0.005349197907718103,0.027711579177554402,0.008256080230274824,0.07228650831306323,-0.021041850269906667,0.06020324036422741,-0.6621068676826978,0.06608186819200636,0.03407022164366553;0.0755881953056268,-0.05438650773570261,0.07601199498990362,-0.01971548941032967,0.07343722892130425,0.09704320435873984,0.004247909828513669,-0.03438830652486854,-0.002104662487650947,0.00910902929243946,-0.5770527868704516,-0.058147648520494186,0.06675192841913209,0.10412393618217092,-0.04660001242153896,0.09781729537262666,0.09712896424557728,-1.0290609383894165E-5,0.08757868735863585,-0.057435686457029005,0.10072016553044442,0.08671833745723032,0.07300464399407011,-0.03676893056069792,0.034365263034095477,0.07951526695796134,0.058978782496937845,0.09981900520628709,-0.018926911523632257,0.10095105803370687,-0.036312180642832086,-0.5984875205078423,0.08187690973424752,-0.02308354028581824,-0.030951419076030367,0.007685834504636204,-0.053611030080853314,0.10438007226574975,0.08392963560713439,0.09935501248911996,0.08175649801705916,-0.04793289163833017,0.08314573132947393,-0.021460227686101046,0.07892103695723159,-0.06430757510445399,-0.024353668414219577,0.03473436917673843,-0.06095550279352679,0.09215310916782389,0.1000264302493917,-0.5574240231028127,-0.01489347824755065,-0.030133107790405022,0.10343888625358527,-0.04945480609461046,0.10056255204223254,0.07772727184999227,0.018297935783782145,0.024404195378454223,-0.5770989397076731,0.008501847486969154,0.07563076687267417,0.03576350592948258,0.014797246247624702,0.0856589063516227,0.036614374639827196,-0.049683825703524205,0.08078441447159056,0.07711973333610533,0.09239615250457466,0.06704150977965335,-0.02011070471191743,0.09669688917737683,-0.0023783392479967067,-0.018433720243856817,-0.02998466131158322,0.0687931339137676,0.09347260712914143,0.07662224122291292,-0.03092002863244638,0.09379670363300378,0.10114795177347079,0.08461829484415397,-0.03944785055191933,-0.04295041114912887,-0.05096002668581088,0.06012773201836812,-0.06160671623010318,-0.021069580027052545,-0.03776927558765142,-0.021383880038420327,0.02508686765773688,-0.0031989720024342165,0.09621657741380976,-0.043476560226912805,0.07379060183718589,-0.5881501875958635,0.08325914831579503,0.034278299892554154;-0.028280578502833543,0.024294353896133148,-0.027179654638485984,0.014085214444018812,-0.026120457351046227,-0.06952969011407663,0.009862263517660185,0.0173549582832252,0.010824495571830238,0.006947849565654052,0.18155361298503073,0.025206613842749984,-0.019389061743921628,-0.14913865725695424,0.02126264502703788,-0.06931081346029516,-0.07293801078061536,0.009728598314930323,-0.045606403344574255,0.02408629123260877,-0.08360076478864309,-0.04162874609309315,-0.02261154328439386,0.018786415171819303,8.852531183204379E-4,-0.03565896528840772,-0.014419151270187823,-0.0748710728601525,0.01300282198444776,-0.17526764564006786,0.018814558463721338,0.6362083703701917,-0.03522421078467968,0.01522485937641628,0.01882074816367498,0.005738720410661779,0.023360189153617015,-0.14575488939800163,-0.039212604436049944,-0.08008050366546848,-0.03472923652910476,0.022574587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k{88}=[0.640603818344764;0.6850258467370136;-0.5298184127244242];
x_a{88}=[-3.1427629950486797,-5.3550995764998,22.706965904127884];
L_a{88}=[-0.06934772574652523,0.03278320875797432,-0.06970253593067362,0.004401538475871711,-0.06760855599907495,-0.08270822373600606,-0.015061952381336582,0.016915373773200692,-0.00999615087688856,-0.019091549420610428,0.5853844298904253,0.035879865292171645,-0.06350237756619051,-0.08058100198168272,0.026701743748068267,-0.08330150351841283,-0.0821830739345305,-0.011308113625899303,-0.07758622406641225,0.03553041513894726,-0.08505557027720598,-0.0770115124877623,-0.06798101037226255,0.018259605033619872,-0.039090443925286426,-0.07179984768113058,-0.058030346413064274,-0.0844217779000336,0.0033152842989035,-0.07590610468135832,0.018471028591400714,0.6696449878524932,-0.07394944785335826,0.0077006623554811676,0.012979100338908652,-0.017543830499253732,0.03228808522928599,-0.08078262821489468,-0.0748147118706216,-0.08400880806818586,-0.07382676940656803,0.027514678847501212,-0.0750262196934644,0.005770049685607479,-0.07165395603822396,0.04094983576099682,0.008601032907594017,-0.038727231846828046,0.03829826351828166,-0.08075083286725915,-0.08353326421222723,0.5488290337816927,4.732589357966739E-4,0.012464074593807347,-0.07918403340898501,0.028265455640735702,-0.0762610529360099,-0.07138048064406523,-0.0262370628854409,-0.03144297939212664,0.5855274023300093,-0.018370262503309306,-0.06943413274837189,-0.04089789294156468,-0.023013807138714044,-0.07600913719453886,-0.04106783447714724,0.02892170863754553,-0.07347523076495699,-0.07084130972058762,-0.0806593098653101,-0.0642227722617122,0.004859176723421039,-0.08294873170068717,-0.00953925643761513,0.003729309763547472,0.013129788059171634,-0.06478129837879525,-0.0673474487435764,-0.0699462141009311,0.013732939753370192,-0.08122272067243508,-0.07681533424051404,-0.07552982743949407,0.020283533704602404,0.023580041441313704,0.030369350207094515,-0.05813549577474268,0.039004594261954316,0.005746137041978117,0.019665228712251258,0.00604730454116579,-0.031328128346402306,-0.009333554736633012,-0.08172038827650721,0.023787954547005778,-0.06806017184785607,0.7485163078183165,-0.07470600050703842,-0.03851661681221165;-0.06416424696394174,0.011679588016394835,-0.064455475627647,-0.010845324669889687,-0.06281036561012937,-0.06963387320157094,-0.02610556763567269,-2.997366221150275E-4,-0.022249324526697842,-0.029365060946549563,0.6026384411128276,0.014158959214733216,-0.061220723304692595,-0.05826627497819102,0.007210460257670667,-0.07005538446083678,-0.06848980943348103,-0.022798874945336757,-0.06877632187969375,0.014166694689094397,-0.07068738312252731,-0.06847848893007819,-0.0639935361943064,2.8590495051366216E-5,-0.04441143727080427,-0.0651787941666574,-0.057966402794609996,-0.07031129849527244,-0.012245811709584841,-0.05201810423072256,9.114100242147448E-4,0.7510091140036472,-0.06714911571563183,-0.007564842885337994,-0.0047953923094979966,-0.027669227721855157,0.01145727199287113,-0.058416464526976575,-0.06684010614084716,-0.06994305710579658,-0.06702230068719581,0.007515841911433085,-0.06805024984428819,-0.00983218182158605,-0.06547901721642464,0.018216249527585646,-0.0070205065558089155,-0.04331037093076577,0.016224762366525286,-0.07057935230827118,-0.06831330344393503,0.5485992391421255,-0.013939747012798672,-0.0050149824825690675,-0.056136095312630835,0.007506924302913044,-0.05312191681564139,-0.06612166325201616,-0.0345760925531075,-0.03896101400624707,0.6028804123257316,-0.028518675137728308,-0.06429580640706474,-0.04665564135667626,-0.03158114206912959,-0.06751789134994825,-0.04614724594859273,0.008600413227099802,-0.0672859488342658,-0.06564264193217262,-0.07015186798360713,-0.0623829115157531,-0.010318288202114948,-0.07046487010951764,-0.021602248471281053,-0.010918258967729477,-0.0035249623380664303,-0.061756852612414925,-0.0422487931218393,-0.06433629985231555,-0.0032448330955473998,-0.06988672591797244,-0.0536535279910327,-0.06759257775821521,0.0014283763547335933,0.004569076256791558,0.010241560185175335,-0.0570293546721003,0.016996976236550623,-0.009489723923807288,0.0018609171943297822,-0.009197098573303319,-0.0380468890878994,-0.022008342539960816,-0.06846977274283615,0.004461922380184326,-0.06336710787330173,0.9202912352499509,-0.06729151373779611,-0.043341999973406736;0.07980792281476765,-0.02680303776143124,0.08146186987697754,0.007224777533835747,0.07925729535129523,0.0593830875441535,0.03333850361479562,-0.00901010820872008,0.026404948363847578,0.03670480183035174,-0.730853031074019,-0.030717366722720223,0.07958861556769373,-0.023541463619970778,-0.020355900256546003,0.060526676895461436,0.0551562446492695,0.027353935575739532,0.07532299400700782,-0.03129302052158304,0.048970693337908947,0.0784048798030096,0.08334673364673315,-0.009673830950011024,0.061813386726734414,0.07625152416371826,0.07602957083579485,0.05671252780665448,0.007835469955917558,-0.05695695833860178,-0.009975221976037368,-0.4075305896698353,0.08003674270281247,0.0032222587980038054,-0.00140906455161361,0.033083327975234875,-0.026965480582183565,-0.019843431996207445,0.077396988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x_a{88}=[-3.1427629950486797,-5.355099576499799,22.7069659041279];
std_x_a{88}=[1.5077256013659164,1.6266268510270296,1.485766589202252];
pred_a{88}=[-3.1427629950486797];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.7 to 8.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{89}=[-5.1900148425712365,-7.424833702564772,20.0566039260606];
std_x_f{89}=[1.9762690441336912,2.8030545723849043,1.6437459729424506];
pred_f{89}=[-5.1900148425712365];
obs{89}=[-5.394748775846426];
sqrt_r{89}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{89}=[4.910980383577753];
L_f{89}=[-0.07308247927281099,0.01193313016779773,-0.07418447817777028,-0.013034572061293975,-0.07165642878047719,-0.08601842876031555,-0.028973193744392597,-0.0016177603800329725,-0.025197875996938627,-0.03272205760421428,0.7747272980625008,0.015270336980748195,-0.06874438736660209,-0.09044757667521026,0.006641032766944809,-0.0868717831737798,-0.08588706346189792,-0.02613880030442423,-0.08063553596335576,0.014476378042952338,-0.089325542541379,-0.07946744444748896,-0.07187473917700932,-9.689971448508299E-4,-0.04827373602910026,-0.07508273013446398,-0.06405812125624999,-0.08741226437055838,-0.014286099388273337,-0.08977009958308534,-3.277320260107425E-4,0.9072444016777608,-0.07714313942204212,-0.009850835478024686,-0.005730719193669059,-0.031272726668091375,0.011816196352438578,-0.09019538988972628,-0.07789173793086288,-0.08808434015430967,-0.07648153551965245,0.007437459579554076,-0.0790246246213968,-0.011804114171341907,-0.07548847271324864,0.01957324354594475,-0.00914988175407189,-0.04808444492119916,0.017448923929294688,-0.08342440471560456,-0.08822799297711877,0.714708210942834,-0.01559465071137632,-0.006550383722940892,-0.09032013892556581,0.007905274788852956,-0.08870088336930548,-0.07521455873311868,-0.038433759080403286,-0.042460778280485646,0.7747635794026317,-0.03254654256617308,-0.07281005437669642,-0.05089296944605644,-0.03542898985825628,-0.0785134468216937,-0.05036373061858424,0.008706296141632945,-0.07668499578810184,-0.07489278960807294,-0.08356178113692168,-0.06939681893744837,-0.01205424360068512,-0.08565951554976199,-0.024961689585751352,-0.013208552417137302,-0.004522523233984024,-0.06941017917261562,-0.08461710494213376,-0.07355355767366466,-0.004810030526775632,-0.08431528642350747,-0.08945472306075046,-0.07806248866581042,6.293108036244326E-4,0.004323152438032886,0.010261891624449388,-0.06390694533301695,0.017950859196804392,-0.011420634326122451,5.085484315056158E-4,-0.011272651352809315,-0.042208095702297825,-0.024228646233463144,-0.08504382924741467,0.004527744998567915,-0.07186074479297781,1.0295893722235554,-0.07787591894467329,-0.04771372137951721;-0.08282978041686963,-0.01397885942698883,-0.0832867646803231,-0.03606400064537113,-0.08212165090055903,-0.10056150953715837,-0.048257319746479364,-0.025999311243291204,-0.045523102379635125,-0.051529836584912274,1.1232866107051587,-0.010849061032155712,-0.07877071585110965,-0.12382240553767632,-0.018723892317970316,-0.10115812324988972,-0.10094723191032508,-0.04556345399649154,-0.09158220064734511,-0.011730011529278678,-0.10671325334352662,-0.08987578445092297,-0.08140067179605343,-0.0259439150973544,-0.06268643379283201,-0.08620477005114455,-0.07537884070143704,-0.10218302638399623,-0.036896396793471065,-0.13089007468583924,-0.025008928634090783,1.305607848493215,-0.08718118455707115,-0.032416749231543696,-0.029912097333555727,-0.050671015332346164,-0.013898529525382066,-0.12260701702242018,-0.08852717870186665,-0.10460091824705552,-0.08690715220691961,-0.017788576708214987,-0.0906285962690703,-0.035105532320821975,-0.08496191052429511,-0.006995253053582019,-0.033066009800152334,-0.06298592262511046,-0.008784295263741011,-0.09548808150814882,-0.10723718657804751,1.0279523868667693,-0.03786735469410871,-0.030053141286933968,-0.12640386890241873,-0.01870882789382284,-0.12838374938457345,-0.08532043348017683,-0.05557600800447428,-0.05825154553207723,1.123305165610008,-0.05171248522122384,-0.08243894544325885,-0.0652987652950118,-0.05384495853830196,-0.08885484797614394,-0.06443369854171746,-0.016851965887244556,-0.08696200600263261,-0.08490662917060958,-0.09583440469714177,-0.08015151794166905,-0.03425125495512182,-0.09945008927994997,-0.04542015093692228,-0.036590052068495825,-0.028226188521322845,-0.07925076683896404,-0.1344167636121402,-0.08419897345335536,-0.02905316785940155,-0.09558510469105894,-0.12809523675656082,-0.08875603704865448,-0.02394592993413524,-0.020127845189640357,-0.015411578034311226,-0.07519297606581085,-0.007762231609890645,-0.0345342149034211,-0.024009383485242498,-0.03450048592082348,-0.05887535439611466,-0.045257254377874465,-0.09967546379217514,-0.020500221413886084,-0.08190787904457425,1.4432750363184361,-0.08788469915462974,-0.062448056581751794;0.09937546612467162,-0.0653119653311499,0.10096082195440183,-0.0160829851391634,0.09741283063686704,0.0965330409183171,0.019163220219284575,-0.03916120331480867,0.010148100630783696,0.02529307820899062,-0.7817183699510045,-0.0711028623300932,0.09410250108165771,0.03582981673420362,-0.055555050374724184,0.09774640272323143,0.09283801907417552,0.011683804021604653,0.10324007479799814,-0.07084170785744855,0.09164799270990642,0.10457104791192423,0.1007419338347306,-0.040919029192614906,0.06020105766031107,0.09807965889882346,0.08660003966270148,0.09540816239432572,-0.014826855586841282,0.008457741873524155,-0.041639318403435564,-0.4638937357248912,0.10341559518889985,-0.022161874633054798,-0.02965122863270718,0.021296052848515976,-0.06511627567190974,0.0383143913985713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k{89}=[0.7963746702503671;1.1263239720944294;-0.5589201411764069];
x_a{89}=[-5.353059761172326,-7.6554304395137995,20.17103384495037];
L_a{89}=[0.04283449317808075,-0.006994146720961106,0.04348038758459806,0.007639714656566313,0.04199866835805174,0.0504164039942981,0.016981526655091176,9.481882203750257E-4,0.014768768906483392,0.01917877947172935,-0.4540767020212053,-0.008950122542875898,0.04029188693358347,0.053012379227117754,-0.003892386733203436,0.050916564965378205,0.05033940926129387,0.015320255613435656,0.04726142776628856,-0.008484773952583206,0.052354741939365616,0.04657679570993771,0.04212662262676327,5.67940524236412E-4,0.028293799515203878,0.044006863529229986,0.03754521172863814,0.051233347296337065,0.008373249414597229,0.052615302004646924,1.9208756150699598E-4,-0.5317465214809098,0.045214493435207455,0.005773689525593675,0.003358841334465198,0.018329309712166512,-0.006925610448436131,0.05286456961187342,0.045653255749215735,0.05162725874899553,0.04482671967430749,-0.004359181773697426,0.04631725384698233,0.006918528941227933,0.044244673985250886,-0.011472106248776384,0.005362852375491867,0.028182853789898238,-0.010227017753792693,0.048896016257694803,0.051711455343307296,-0.4188988152915405,0.009140206601604927,0.0038392562716261145,0.05293768647624107,-0.004633373722174139,0.051988621915646564,0.04408412980790495,0.02252647430024994,0.024886757204857248,-0.45409796693766374,0.019075908061585257,0.042674821770237625,0.029828962758798903,0.020765344026230283,0.046017646578700826,0.029518769711566556,-0.005102861676230277,0.044945970109810135,0.04389553717217569,0.04897653417991484,0.04067428468402447,0.007065132716051109,0.05020604077698586,0.01463033729716407,0.007741686571581269,0.0026507035960105035,0.04068211527362435,0.049595071766280426,0.04311059772117353,0.002819214972393246,0.0494181724135799,0.0524304561478983,0.04575333474576911,-3.6884639920487585E-4,-0.0025338500480184467,-0.006014614325559858,0.03745660575745532,-0.010521207866195911,0.006693766932913032,-2.9806616492490516E-4,0.006607032386905245,0.024738656999728742,0.01420069204175877,0.049845179856829167,-0.0026537641331141524,0.042118420355120256,-0.6034543351506352,0.04564398405697473,0.027965568399813796;0.08111323500199481,-0.04074797512422198,0.08312832099758236,-0.006824064210729405,0.0786223622378814,0.09240020622397245,0.016737091992612,-0.022370253806176757,0.011002289399535596,0.021874252161437097,-0.6146282853885188,-0.04510439987665239,0.07544083074862497,0.07907504136078283,-0.03362145666091215,0.09371788848418011,0.09171979730817252,0.013072675811615558,0.08930428606311508,-0.044204293906121496,0.09366717906481756,0.08839036907842653,0.07983306836124175,-0.023770202390289447,0.04560411585590263,0.08222532847048976,0.06832019175221282,0.09390542529544421,-0.0048489589452799286,0.0704876148307507,-0.024273740431279937,-0.729577388965883,0.08587094806854675,-0.010318762289503541,-0.01705660317849635,0.019481847041114927,-0.040405332251228644,0.07972470930289446,0.08620425514745499,0.09299517427427355,0.08466083073125037,-0.034472733604102315,0.08664419717864037,-0.00862583307068583,0.08437837416660525,-0.05090313084288721,-0.012540444433260717,0.044879997819332516,-0.04792677145293069,0.09165456341424583,0.09068115660006142,-0.5753240812070425,-0.0028844957727075598,-0.015358926334526088,0.07620770196716471,-0.036442416019115735,0.07059540997860625,0.08340539088706296,0.030640913208646342,0.03699902748624133,-0.6146911189691682,0.021297877629751782,0.08089295005481754,0.04886740637331418,0.02563148353647825,0.08727124066991832,0.048545252740602736,-0.03638245331448125,0.08506239125343416,0.08309738333209606,0.09161641128050835,0.0755236024194279,-0.007210450316942657,0.0927064907688007,0.010575413271586856,-0.006959832429939695,-0.018080992249128822,0.07645432400564445,0.05540141823201143,0.08080079338258064,-0.018263017926574174,0.09355601968945466,0.0725749811665859,0.08635843512463774,-0.02535763779911786,-0.029825800894739157,-0.03843167086030424,0.06816692945946756,-0.048030679196320744,-0.008914760718904022,-0.025150189929921813,-0.009212996047273986,0.035808385857030674,0.009093902870133869,0.09109997169274522,-0.03065713146262681,0.07929446806831555,-0.8663618014720662,0.08681124859292585,0.04458623450480873;0.018021383646601965,-0.05202822255788357,0.01838001440218533,-0.030592832931578523,0.017646201547428367,7.788954975263206E-4,-0.01308921041782618,-0.04096206465252635,-0.017901715173560245,-0.011132519275847012,0.08069392273153178,-0.054104201822664316,0.017577503361615066,-0.06485477533209368,-0.04816237386952818,0.0010423187395073876,-0.002769892893282102,-0.017413431553913814,0.013478067423588449,-0.054726867953156864,-0.0077875714310221035,0.01610933870021113,0.02073228559512056,-0.04199769913413318,0.006463615505730825,0.01449893365774213,0.015291707872020827,-0.0018975753961395486,-0.030729880764530898,-0.09147269505493233,-0.0420041437150572,0.5460341788213603,0.017541259922705697,-0.033127644950801304,-0.03603056067753368,-0.01351617588243448,-0.05196270148835034,-0.062089470939475186,0.015276625646356824,-0.005852094366179414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x_a{89}=[-5.353059761172327,-7.655430439513804,20.171033844950372];
std_x_a{89}=[1.15831432829469,1.6497753765840053,1.2028344079196287];
pred_a{89}=[-5.353059761172327];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.8 to 8.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 8.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{90}=[-8.208744443793634,-11.55977816136701,21.373440370930535];
std_x_f{90}=[1.1386606630697373,0.9254928948371085,2.7267122895195457];
pred_f{90}=[-8.208744443793634];
obs{90}=[-8.562587434780918];
sqrt_r{90}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{90}=[2.301068688125037];
L_f{90}=[0.06723527721831435,-0.04738821230224428,0.06921062886804338,-0.014997739728863414,0.06505974303255224,0.07555810728268594,0.007962342251486176,-0.029914167366849015,0.0024342811151432256,0.012719312070162669,-0.4956289831759183,-0.051601038347710224,0.06266149045958025,0.05616923417006309,-0.04032498107384751,0.07685139634495464,0.07423425779019326,0.0037068481221997017,0.07387733720894561,-0.051181413756688436,0.07534507892960143,0.07321553648531642,0.06727717358883137,-0.03129126138899913,0.03583521721771287,0.06772208060838716,0.056152574511593854,0.07577501281995824,-0.01291343863895306,0.04583733358087208,-0.03171806670748204,-0.41629354077698183,0.0710267066163788,-0.01855508464459393,-0.024432799065314315,0.01053354499309561,-0.047658138321627616,0.056666089248804966,0.07151582408127745,0.07513689760425162,0.07076933082478835,-0.04178844467868174,0.07206484768999606,-0.017081167336907576,0.0700455126919032,-0.056899084097152386,-0.020439362253396536,0.03441565625611659,-0.054245097827046965,0.07617895775628915,0.07174383341342047,-0.5199039937425355,-0.0112889539654618,-0.023483704334068843,0.05240114680450721,-0.042773631603326624,0.0463616920870645,0.06915010567811282,0.020999308124484913,0.02748105917536254,-0.4947529304768295,0.012117684691270654,0.06759192415107289,0.03816238149420201,0.0164410732716382,0.0724100364966079,0.0379646450654055,-0.043154402355543145,0.07096205243714276,0.06921919646867973,0.07562647504254862,0.06277275691846926,-0.015112949926137037,0.07610814402344233,0.0013557522330832547,-0.014974741399156421,-0.025630592005715786,0.06405580335648112,0.02845064244539993,0.06749251315966096,-0.02607380163368492,0.07696839837470325,0.04783967258651533,0.0719619919840263,-0.032987518957409784,-0.03717147277964168,-0.045473365174962574,0.0558184795329277,-0.05464507714723491,-0.01677493836364488,-0.03287869611106589,-0.017386190263063973,0.02680430738669881,0.001006406529871541,0.07463967611039772,-0.0372004127675904,0.06587578567913498,-0.33386472176612314,0.07234191244592668,0.034565627654702294;0.0689335206679792,-0.09336985876707181,0.0722709570536383,-0.04826744202934381,0.0669740603917412,0.0740450912994465,-0.014124868024782229,-0.06925018005860938,-0.023038361840915685,-0.007795457255797769,-0.2659173412673579,-0.09902364718376105,0.06338527588781735,0.028263927605798926,-0.08409049671961133,0.07591033316929462,0.07181037224049408,-0.0200883924429532,0.07697060616304985,-0.09870646750072137,0.07089200073293385,0.07636155515901104,0.07027816775020271,-0.07189972287993068,0.026016955324095016,0.06894939307188666,0.054207663284744356,0.07398420114541221,-0.045519147225751025,0.006059049577970659,-0.07124306741326526,0.0767415498691928,0.07399793463162621,-0.05282763497512617,-0.06129255021452689,-0.01153471445187539,-0.09377187109292777,0.03033715327728389,0.0741355896751977,0.07177742898465521,0.0739886711483927,-0.08522056706579502,0.07374020059038625,-0.05067767388896213,0.0732610786118068,-0.10608808669420275,-0.05552228203446822,0.023904304419104405,-0.10256801983389892,0.07839501889716323,0.06532600585714653,-0.391021947071474,-0.041745712683947445,-0.0605066629482528,0.021137688183042538,-0.08718639322208774,0.009004401566838094,0.07224181490011253,0.004635313318478317,0.013942134036300468,-0.26384149163287324,-0.009378822043324181,0.06990272475715242,0.029495247557938115,-0.0025613679760371558,0.07642172823856164,0.028633683708272246,-0.08752837826713597,0.0744284567362273,0.07147000585457314,0.07733500713701277,0.0636600006510033,-0.04687940486730646,0.07590366511800349,-0.024409218107873557,-0.048077005262870134,-0.06251922965603483,0.06524136436921893,-0.025699928940350964,0.06935011691795456,-0.06346789263585192,0.07874262196923124,0.012011577446415957,0.07450729575163219,-0.07319415989230264,-0.07867520712494216,-0.0905417910230127,0.05393642324421001,-0.10281761822033303,-0.05018896613115191,-0.07305378946014789,-0.051388474116808906,0.011106487888665946,-0.024572060626881415,0.07277257028144513,-0.07891837263507624,0.06725195450009795,0.41646236075915744,0.07544005329998266,0.024058980728778195;-0.09402920348398253,0.014388554992933613,-0.09622239724008086,-0.017999132551760024,-0.09132027745316948,-0.11818515614599476,-0.03682292286345536,-0.004349184825533729,-0.03326956895635337,-0.04160241759198355,1.0337357083915601,0.018716671440393465,-0.08805585050382594,-0.14529604151598727,0.00697090168121541,-0.11961753043540846,-0.11917218975080346,-0.034624769667440686,-0.10640749354724341,0.01710214815862166,-0.12489871050520616,-0.10344598099989144,-0.09171671923322203,-0.0025363013070270504,-0.06004614919026876,-0.0971582169583575,-0.08124298534980523,-0.12149219839826844,-0.020561206844259147,-0.15163173447468156,-0.0015705210079575245,1.2632574839122792,-0.09960758423650591,-0.014479011064766172,-0.00835115260651564,-0.040427873594933404,0.014382887136867159,-0.14351587779996908,-0.10138012667704215,-0.12384616271716124,-0.0980429633502,0.00831834149045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k{90}=[0.5654193179192656;0.2529697153275056;-1.2541065787208232];
x_a{90}=[-8.408814106408176,-11.649289722067696,21.81719719376194];
L_a{90}=[-0.12253619903392958,0.08636495088248558,-0.1261362746627876,0.027333359755590966,-0.11857129101211683,-0.1377045452278767,-0.014511357657325292,0.054518528338870643,-0.004436473940029706,-0.023180928522736486,0.9032831311489754,0.09404282047951608,-0.11420047903998641,-0.10236835099969561,0.07349222181177312,-0.14006156274158427,-0.13529183137267337,-0.006755725536990632,-0.13464134411074022,0.09327805524715144,-0.13731630135124803,-0.13343521321418564,-0.1226125551108115,0.05702828027517483,-0.0653096334407267,-0.12342339753394689,-0.10233798879535151,-0.13809985526728427,0.023534723923829742,-0.08353847657402684,0.057806132373330654,0.7586943979356785,-0.1294460738283144,0.033816615907133314,0.04452874224794363,-0.019197371070781087,0.08685689067665162,-0.10327386868830479,-0.13033748972647713,-0.13693689117591137,-0.12897700680680968,0.07615938219215794,-0.13133808448826909,0.03113040366786836,-0.1276578492683108,0.10369850147472554,0.03725070922332056,-0.06272248556646211,0.09886161519594976,-0.1388360443508256,-0.13075303641656302,0.9475243040779314,0.020574102870210106,0.04279901842287004,-0.09550101702702893,0.07795488398940535,-0.08449411922083706,-0.12602597123348205,-0.0382712097930606,-0.0500841920505707,0.9016865263257181,-0.02208446346311006,-0.12318618757187264,-0.06955088709158325,-0.029963833125924953,-0.1319671906072775,-0.06919051272565933,0.07864883815469279,-0.12932824167675622,-0.12615188910300815,-0.13782914537495178,-0.11440326200625511,0.02754333017956974,-0.13870698642139545,-0.0024708565554710667,0.027291445331749598,0.04671171821262799,-0.1167416123515285,-0.05185125620904052,-0.12300501117855951,0.04751946714196216,-0.14027479877775187,-0.08718773662143044,-0.13115063010747477,0.0601197073297651,0.06774495734018844,0.08287514466146877,-0.10172910116231426,0.09959057694959661,0.030572301790845788,0.059921377843954696,0.0316863075257204,-0.048850812858825886,-0.0018341744982021538,-0.13603070569627096,0.06779770042789542,-0.1200585275983089,0.6084679901579609,-0.13184303461984598,-0.06299580823139025;-0.01597061119202447,-0.03352843039227121,-0.015127631940733776,-0.029328424831470426,-0.015182825542970534,-0.021369039038578216,-0.02417964558209865,-0.03147482587437243,-0.026112351171149694,-0.023857295532556624,0.3599586911102581,-0.03386229818297618,-0.01574311725094658,-0.04266609992967826,-0.03316845620761794,-0.02113695151298029,-0.021932012303898647,-0.02476936848370534,-0.016321062130178938,-0.034075016837265076,-0.024253119226484657,-0.016094396852099936,-0.01467887048743478,-0.0323853861663203,-0.0192354498679787,-0.016569469937159895,-0.016701326576791964,-0.021703835646183327,-0.02921216758160252,-0.05182394243862578,-0.031189764601227597,0.6024334654960232,-0.015693981779423417,-0.029396433104376705,-0.030439020945737666,-0.02483638479589928,-0.03358958245413625,-0.04122029859354346,-0.016173980078753467,-0.023104801381240568,-0.015378233318766291,-0.03245047725560823,-0.01726267147148201,-0.029107722162778883,-0.015191794520319667,-0.03423641092566519,-0.029711630547720864,-0.019555491356407665,-0.03406777518239239,-0.017803116098193204,-0.02527149212737807,0.2655083606110358,-0.0274901183635301,-0.030851642372268527,-0.04503403091999686,-0.033172217806583866,-0.049540745877586924,-0.01508034592870344,-0.02188243301550205,-0.020760711975643796,0.3609282689041694,-0.024680930422009334,-0.015451777793048247,-0.018695880738516663,-0.0233230144022516,-0.015017045290002496,-0.019307744720513997,-0.03303336880896647,-0.015181814931374422,-0.015939402232457708,-0.018165457422249932,-0.015608898818484075,-0.027794901219675955,-0.020205046902392904,-0.02612125040891452,-0.02916703015865326,-0.030153137727280375,-0.015647755146387148,-0.06162715639629829,-0.01587885028425047,-0.03054211938723736,-0.018452411873494463,-0.04839995110631375,-0.016365691006218385,-0.03153780365835553,-0.03173538986107351,-0.03311841519016277,-0.01655067434148539,-0.033812283111145466,-0.02900571772799999,-0.031534853783943904,-0.029433342053544247,-0.02274176176436651,-0.02584294216782502,-0.021481773043236858,-0.031942010202443576,-0.015935423095172676,0.8380638701601323,-0.015912693761209375,-0.019590197643602005;0.32688612303389225,-0.2822775060323124,0.3370592913875755,-0.11189000020605545,0.31597547731552345,0.3548338706767471,0.013024003144584618,-0.19162187924520976,-0.018030154874816427,0.038024730753245035,-2.069067521047459,-0.304323089878111,0.30422604090936894,0.20634215377520418,-0.24547696910561295,0.3614979185402341,0.3455590964029472,-0.011418660430445638,0.356089350373021,-0.3033106228498507,0.346786687566292,0.3549077690089478,0.3294608925790047,-0.19843006496238166,0.16429429796897776,0.32680466162384714,0.2702909149064823,0.35288472964570344,-0.10140365244814059,0.13532530696436285,-0.20013622872930373,-1.3428793373053702,0.34504335859888485,-0.1306400478726673,-0.16130864786498766,0.025515641678501597,-0.2839730010637053,0.21123279648905033,0.34633285510517836,0.346535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x_a{90}=[-8.408814106408178,-11.64928972206769,21.81719719376194];
std_x_a{90}=[2.0752074716516997,1.2106318060037975,4.7112834481431705];
pred_a{90}=[-8.408814106408178];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 8.9 to 9.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{91}=[-11.146089560587491,-12.811025531851667,27.944891864605207];
std_x_f{91}=[1.3004818628908412,1.9661631743121837,5.113481484820714];
pred_f{91}=[-11.146089560587491];
obs{91}=[-11.919745899895384];
sqrt_r{91}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{91}=[2.691593771828477];
L_f{91}=[0.018457955478416815,-0.09000171979544222,0.021091011368647643,-0.06468288389046531,0.016246209845110476,0.02051662663540149,-0.04147772758087987,-0.07683950947024855,-0.047728722416471275,-0.03744767720166885,0.46961477456733364,-0.09273221435770122,0.01415518763117397,-0.023508812575267338,-0.08530856728367409,0.021490128317370658,0.017694236640063383,-0.04596640182866284,0.023306613080993258,-0.09289447360804481,0.016197463557321958,0.023603778749361506,0.019690399148536663,-0.0782864614962947,-0.01305649667794468,0.017311221288082844,0.007531981130381618,0.01916711633373172,-0.06283474481310487,-0.04269783455044649,-0.07741129568774327,0.5754827756559763,0.02166903950569695,-0.06686609572547607,-0.07200448539702917,-0.040505699113388034,-0.09055728725053462,-0.02132021218478285,0.021848045101847163,0.017003961814498047,0.02188940449426006,-0.08609501698739874,0.021494464501614328,-0.0662430078443884,0.021893297130688535,-0.0969110331103926,-0.06928950415500759,-0.015118140790991955,-0.09465257823575175,0.024711282815627254,0.010939104730572061,0.42400485517033426,-0.0603293044115876,-0.07211700628629873,-0.02969256128418089,-0.08691048625804612,-0.039399606261554164,0.020959650238110576,-0.02945751531422138,-0.021912501671684386,0.4689893776588195,-0.038980093615980906,0.01925472876186816,-0.011084796887333987,-0.03421873826460857,0.02335286910403471,-0.011079509181559713,-0.08725413927788987,0.022446457631666014,0.020599667547876115,0.02348545955782432,0.014615309132987333,-0.06341105038547824,0.021484068974758862,-0.04907969532836094,-0.06417566130388196,-0.0728141160212433,0.01599708742624407,-0.06830704904991129,0.018857347507687777,-0.07359326011193713,0.024665699133992,-0.03768442267825457,0.0215110233362166,-0.07887256239859186,-0.08196339886123802,-0.0891150025329591,0.0064696965486949936,-0.09511085385321583,-0.0651000874489143,-0.07927437742157548,-0.06599554145033676,-0.023622397507576196,-0.04843382670873296,0.01858394147128473,-0.08188591358016253,0.01724623506247566,0.6991089851141045,0.023331939784422173,-0.014656399299577688;0.1863735574479185,-0.2875045439827573,0.19461967286019488,-0.1588941418112269,0.17778378691566443,0.20891943303682262,-0.06184633871852207,-0.21891373180622384,-0.08642657345248604,-0.04255710510175956,-0.18226197569625188,-0.3037015501963403,0.16837198330134506,0.08926263913155745,-0.2599698589969752,0.21382811718618422,0.2012704303727874,-0.08018451611051779,0.21035423088294553,-0.30318226903290985,0.2020411178399298,0.20881639315028894,0.18845024184412124,-0.22490915935275524,0.05668940200103287,0.18678167378057467,0.14106818381394634,0.20755851300709666,-0.1502507564230879,0.031416967864021345,-0.22554926945778336,0.18649203804961048,0.20088673784640917,-0.17306448279852563,-0.19594783716966377,-0.05226800918061967,-0.28825723768821504,0.09295100286900843,0.20212398606682058,0.20209891297330687,0.2007587980887762,-0.26526497820734396,0.20322007004959167,-0.16782988866513374,0.19816871676275186,-0.323422199190286,-0.18092246330999437,0.04966836531914874,-0.31348365129143285,0.21754968905503716,0.18371232809358207,-0.3297207513346145,-0.14235310702181142,-0.1939418211260712,0.06846511363524113,-0.26927095561812486,0.037338387855795,0.19439734570484127,-0.008538018896518703,0.020997215320479115,-0.182310815279155,-0.0461393867665047,0.18890050493356392,0.06587950398418849,-0.026938278856889264,0.2063758609074439,0.06454775115614284,-0.2712485430718297,0.20157094410128576,0.19513887560393128,0.21425192287365613,0.16942832160438073,-0.1575945847398526,0.2125570506470097,-0.09119059165215121,-0.15859505548597172,-0.2001171712661145,0.17461381982542012,-0.05665569768896236,0.18724325330022584,-0.2033046027208511,0.21943581364183434,0.04385766426897543,0.20391765117383523,-0.23047294393741602,-0.246389168420752,-0.2801830297526844,0.13861211346495236,-0.3151439855451362,-0.16448705418449863,-0.23075608778623408,-0.1680474600484961,0.01740672969512745,-0.09071961407993341,0.2046838083981327,-0.24677915170075418,0.18151346737195032,0.5777272919569687,0.2067838876909691,0.050629125895300935;0.21474015508401786,-0.06521435961333763,0.21832572220604005,0.02321693106719852,0.20932904016097673,0.23455524211888223,0.07892039609460312,-0.01743511440037873,0.06624038595705523,0.09148140530533862,-2.401527559445987,-0.07749989195821905,0.20418948877497464,0.2030464145879281,-0.04473161579869885,0.23716598301709876,0.2318441778232981,0.06880345158758559,0.22790148762475962,-0.0763146437623655,0.23545492577513757,0.2273488999953703,0.21358669027993424,-0.020345302227439143,0.1454672575638061,0.21600876241210756,0.1903994057121152,0.23496616966508208,0.028086907848682494,0.18502385141638789,-0.02255618926998229,-1.923580820537789,0.22284437767384835,0.013334870085520239,-0.002531407830756404,0.08699478344275736,-0.06664564482200634,0.2024109404249078,0.2234585670278944,0.2333157772766287,0.22207104821667098,-0.049828121613488756,0.2253984599845475,0.016887679994996796,0.2203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k{91}=[0.6284729105608414;0.3597132195804875;-1.9709930025586349];
x_a{91}=[-11.632311611926168,-13.089319944512964,29.469763095766194];
L_a{91}=[-0.022195148614663065,0.10822442110508725,-0.02536132088454007,0.07777926555585211,-0.019535589538010968,-0.024670640135455987,0.04987574755679816,0.0923972502894054,0.057392385004953146,0.045029730499505004,-0.5646979550552853,0.11150776051240692,-0.0170211968226773,0.028268655728010943,0.10258104323521408,-0.025841247277357322,-0.021276799172500173,0.055273246327929786,-0.028025516782829867,0.11170287248890362,-0.01947697356057266,-0.028382849759405814,-0.02367712588183633,0.09413716754589319,0.01570005326389989,-0.020816234476218026,-0.009056985793856547,-0.023047893686771546,0.07555693266906252,0.05134289030437846,0.09308480639972053,-0.6920011127884022,-0.026056382719544927,0.08040451357923233,0.08658327603932862,0.048706911911978824,0.10889247463060557,0.02563692812515083,-0.02627163168436427,-0.020446763995727847,-0.026321365137361736,0.10352672587447151,-0.025846461411383245,0.07965526872722752,-0.02632604591818461,0.1165326671635354,0.08331859094334636,0.018179119676923594,0.11381694159789635,-0.029714590827416006,-0.01315395171964281,-0.5098533683672891,0.07254421427119442,0.086718579099438,0.03570443168654308,0.1045073036894887,0.0473768677878191,-0.025203362988397683,0.03542179582036443,0.026349138813927024,-0.5639459336657081,0.04687241616937652,-0.02315324505492569,0.01332914225334537,0.04114702639072513,-0.02808113829014837,0.013322783942663086,0.10492053633902183,-0.026991205152169823,-0.024770494390475076,-0.02824057441134753,-0.01757447939644285,0.0762499231707052,-0.025833961096071792,0.05901689019941188,0.0771693453128924,0.08755683305372416,-0.019236027156009795,0.08213721757345464,-0.02267540578374919,0.08849373090817016,-0.029659777790864848,0.04531440997241909,-0.025866372922997448,0.09484193664368876,0.09855857658857675,0.10715816967528809,-0.00777961982614852,0.11436800455001912,0.07828094056493785,0.09532510739145396,0.07935769766636254,0.028405238268581552,0.05824025217929351,-0.022346643065841016,0.09846540281692429,-0.020738090451169137,-0.840657993817241,-0.028055971398845206,0.017623889113306812;0.1631053167432986,-0.17404768347191435,0.1680321816397612,-0.07735440066317925,0.15730368977512213,0.1830560156308401,-0.009559196171176242,-0.12204925491064973,-0.02625937871583028,0.004649724927503382,-0.774261974063113,-0.18680260722996384,0.15052784485349058,0.11889802915732317,-0.15242922265489336,0.1867374960691031,0.1789649395123878,-0.02223891626739088,0.18097373509552725,-0.1860787808070127,0.1816224706448613,0.17906128803472326,0.16362837316565815,-0.12622064359927804,0.07314852217914383,0.16495901502007163,0.13157331044461223,0.18339629867148305,-0.0710407936168461,0.08524218664556721,-0.12796399445670978,-0.5389659771126599,0.17357057990865524,-0.08877256801209153,-0.10517842882487574,-0.0012062131988661098,-0.17410002456855583,0.11982742640189488,0.17458217229716416,0.1806635878694762,0.17316484635079607,-0.15673293731724866,0.17612398270528715,-0.0843234432560767,0.1705698579373376,-0.2012554051494879,-0.09357558120987915,0.0687264099299109,-0.19416388284375188,0.1863984557916193,0.1699224084970362,-0.8642245343547309,-0.06630152166434732,-0.10303056808245448,0.10589578486558741,-0.15971092789065558,0.0870058346774681,0.16797544933634792,0.02859635157548693,0.0486202835380464,-0.7735224334908983,0.0029992191861326484,0.1646278456968899,0.07985308423460677,0.01619812590258187,0.1769370544214525,0.07851466568397479,-0.1612553037032362,0.17327476689193155,0.1691707761847083,0.1846459718413734,0.15100415045084117,-0.07765812669457543,0.18547406798385005,-0.029320350067429227,-0.07769472303349916,-0.10832713632657286,0.15444776832302415,0.02945269394596601,0.16347153593030347,-0.11053237274529663,0.18834204351823908,0.09136293746770904,0.17680068963521606,-0.13104558487662987,-0.1430654771320784,-0.167843971845957,0.1304563642132595,-0.19524651132778423,-0.08242138302041122,-0.1308221976156262,-0.08485297267996085,0.04718530576056439,-0.029663559446883012,0.18125674878147904,-0.1435531389536306,0.15977273074749773,-0.3035748741154629,0.17737146486632657,0.06910509562902149;0.34223488453583056,-0.6868836950354287,0.36400777195716977,-0.4235674807502967,0.32154656778703394,0.3762698412901188,-0.20757892190320415,-0.5481890477151905,-0.26343646035911394,-0.1671811252771178,0.8422449537149422,-0.7180295863129037,0.30196368806191487,0.040663874304859564,-0.6339839150835146,0.38560485529153404,0.3540636682711511,-0.24870050879803038,0.3888873743159444,-0.7179651122595485,0.34733574792042404,0.3903874006142066,0.34959428414244953,-0.5610937746073287,0.055282051868108216,0.335582648977463,0.2424250971586593,0.36735928948802377,-0.40593184355030437,-0.10990311763784555,-0.5572596244236636,2.051454273258561,0.3725190441064309,-0.4485296519081075,-0.49988835485264327,-0.1927904373936795,-0.6921524541431961,0.055145730714515125,0.37436967972226415,0.35076732892238816,0.3732678428519328,-0.6445126689238821,0.3738672836063918,-0.4406729839187447,0.3715531594575351,-0.761997829344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x_a{91}=[-11.632311611926166,-13.089319944512967,29.46976309576621];
std_x_a{91}=[1.5637911929784272,2.030036783200402,5.787574618855589];
pred_a{91}=[-11.632311611926166];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.0 to 9.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{92}=[-10.531816399611936,-7.315407066510813,33.18180089621045];
std_x_f{92}=[2.001590500311971,4.761731368242058,2.015742690708111];
pred_f{92}=[-10.531816399611936];
obs{92}=[-11.12819878875989];
sqrt_r{92}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{92}=[5.030648646010509];
L_f{92}=[0.15583361341951474,-0.2717710267107627,0.16445381950948948,-0.15693543503188945,0.14754606090211997,0.17364287512270332,-0.0685898292240373,-0.21045398495707485,-0.09090344061698544,-0.051075120024438356,0.02415859451521405,-0.28556993639486766,0.1396740905692997,0.05569733110830457,-0.24747818966227209,0.17781073684819856,0.16616875949614865,-0.08483812564394938,0.17592464087113938,-0.2851267469443645,0.16536060994727877,0.17558840325724073,0.15860349356072062,-0.21465394450034134,0.039208865738968146,0.15512127783913515,0.11549851530692075,0.1715291210640295,-0.14992964444152826,1.5282447375232686E-4,-0.21562184642041315,0.5003859823605337,0.16845543964629162,-0.16883232077528254,-0.18999538972639654,-0.0605009517124942,-0.2731677247379292,0.06010147329981774,0.16900996332203308,0.16537258451706222,0.16867597153880964,-0.25232827817566933,0.17035865143687648,-0.16491941106477234,0.16714081856082844,-0.3044031713754457,-0.17701578785233368,0.03256070096575658,-0.29470831647649703,0.1835498178389801,0.14814127564395876,-0.15906242046809901,-0.14155214737304406,-0.18825171974112198,0.03617266318134178,-0.2548556432032863,0.006927150410460651,0.16363396096368238,-0.02080010757252191,0.006458547719015646,0.02457180137087843,-0.05535563363545006,0.15795685422798217,0.046704649671926085,-0.03726558675958568,0.1736159761701179,0.046031667155265396,-0.25768714375431223,0.16937634923719985,0.16345131621952436,0.1794764458811698,0.14070882032197024,-0.15543549484303884,0.1766392675879883,-0.09550692746698543,-0.15624064246140834,-0.19381924439543585,0.14570121866863234,-0.08123082260425665,0.15669739312750297,-0.1965793070694697,0.1845803909435725,0.012715623773005317,0.1700622323305391,-0.22085886305515212,-0.2347009889663306,-0.2656869786145154,0.11245753954051903,-0.2965418820710521,-0.16143117221794157,-0.22110123134695975,-0.16453904329894029,0.0025984516515537713,-0.09511209266867524,0.16877791602223122,-0.23533083769905094,0.1514006904866866,1.0074808378037858,0.17423771619894157,0.03360276040979548;0.25968437306871683,-0.557592633748309,0.2773188424350564,-0.349308812516605,0.24383466379925645,0.28809595064499355,-0.17752213687160504,-0.4483419773506662,-0.22150579869625792,-0.14492854673513353,0.9990309309998814,-0.5815774269225954,0.22829626722492483,0.02688990058935853,-0.5158947884348073,0.29559347191415064,0.2711100831070801,-0.21008960215553754,0.2976569860946531,-0.5816254435439858,0.2665020005836521,0.2987962446634282,0.2666073969238207,-0.4583301245755179,0.031469585097686895,0.25573394649420883,0.18092625176477006,0.28175709519830233,-0.3356072676993292,-0.09282068248202814,-0.45535612173483425,1.7659608172549628,0.2837411327169889,-0.36932308727137486,-0.40975433598554173,-0.16507573513520712,-0.561180809345495,0.03753393607777061,0.28538364869057214,0.2688840275379466,0.2848842163879893,-0.5240068778495949,0.2855145074805326,-0.3633858048628433,0.28282639977400453,-0.6162505459328996,-0.38606295906245425,0.01767476782341959,-0.598174649991834,0.31021060570094705,0.23133359449519642,0.7095287306279868,-0.318484487871439,-0.4079720650707963,-0.014321111318434736,-0.5303943449653196,-0.07582599634567459,0.275904654808582,-0.08550794778119697,-0.03214097507544187,0.9982144269770499,-0.15414156282958688,0.2641966446545355,0.046393224920200773,-0.12001430782875762,0.2943628138415837,0.04593226527870882,-0.5332934591603141,0.2875153725329827,0.27477677722363547,0.3024849615215406,0.23100929618291735,-0.3441297576422214,0.2941112395434695,-0.23122222479834745,-0.3469261505574613,-0.41654663724597735,0.24052411384415567,-0.26294223225831775,0.26213653281994237,-0.42242868493711166,0.3117334183834854,-0.06386901218177427,0.2856261656994784,-0.46533974717061743,-0.4913706257840791,-0.5482391402309691,0.17485387965255397,-0.6018359793408538,-0.3565859628888494,-0.46713030143303724,-0.36217214478148924,-0.04075601971928381,-0.22857856970882012,0.2765706013649822,-0.4915085039644489,0.25091769929364266,2.5712076171366194,0.29556313354819674,0.020578907394590784;-0.06203906645062704,0.030017782984621568,-0.058763478389838406,-0.03066538013819396,-0.0635745212861968,-0.06808234955520663,-0.05282222106609761,-0.005305074270290671,-0.048880532421025864,-0.05782932591734732,0.7410170195656057,0.03993593652160824,-0.06359390798927447,-0.1153170153218364,0.013733371191588014,-0.06809943979341072,-0.07174085519225105,-0.049751692022947415,-0.06219921989778199,0.03880747529941907,-0.07607235739636259,-0.05972540650750239,-0.06097109166555377,-0.0030895685927622477,-0.06615801837401414,-0.06571617875234734,-0.06552744377751955,-0.07072629918154964,-0.03281009338469569,-0.1260412883398822,2.2443357477803646E-4,0.7629329928594952,-0.06208962787632036,-0.022473327258268026,-0.015144960697194398,-0.05753819284497048,0.02993619136101806,-0.11142678601504659,-0.061419902176455536,-0.074598499626286,-0.060586367251096306,0.016718911423026096,-0.062724563592126,-0.026328831289706478,-0.05828658436604716,0.051142598761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k{92}=[0.8012184769069419;1.7335382573803457;0.20460869656034952];
x_a{92}=[-11.009648989099183,-8.349258754126687,33.05977587291534];
L_a{92}=[-0.08951449091169526,0.15611166658294431,-0.09446613993507187,0.09014740314765689,-0.08475392592048625,-0.09974454949720993,0.039399610327851,0.12088971634800744,0.052217073264194454,0.02933874962478939,-0.013877264613955543,0.16403808469264852,-0.08023208110567491,-0.031993856331099246,0.142157289902078,-0.10213866725114858,-0.09545124177851484,0.048733013759209784,-0.10105524938325562,0.1637835062537054,-0.09498702167952464,-0.10086210659350009,-0.0911055751796254,0.1233022718430345,-0.022522494209257938,-0.08910530860861744,-0.06634506235136137,-0.09853035947541217,0.08612311233921648,-8.778597034748917E-5,0.12385825745952966,-0.2874334714280748,-0.0967647646124292,0.09698125399270832,0.10913781830331185,0.03475316893048939,0.15691396276356764,-0.03452369913924045,-0.09708329604761354,-0.09499390015390842,-0.09689144331579325,0.14494329476089263,-0.097858014205973,0.09473358666963311,-0.09600961535659931,0.1748563376004365,0.10168202986012527,-0.018703632077318354,0.16928738503815535,-0.10543533028756162,-0.08509583126060971,0.0913691935837564,0.08131088108342986,0.1081362132732748,-0.020778428084582683,0.14639507264648952,-0.003979118040417969,-0.09399519391298401,0.011948070762181472,-0.0037099416384590205,-0.014114620345587307,0.03179757727000855,-0.090734130345591,-0.02682824871253349,0.02140622908056239,-0.09972909810649977,-0.026441671734374266,0.14802155312640333,-0.09729375673034862,-0.09389027847829551,-0.10309548967746317,-0.08082645420021477,0.08928580224232732,-0.1014657477689819,0.05486142433039949,0.08974829796186834,0.11133433031704487,-0.08369420517270072,0.04666089409210676,-0.09001066628184672,0.1129197752010401,-0.10602731570573037,-0.007304153216296319,-0.097687744103021,0.1268665229272159,0.13481776545368612,0.15261684633160547,-0.06459825438335602,0.17034062821944465,0.09272986027389167,0.1270057449716661,0.09451509448318805,-0.0014926117135031548,0.05463462194040544,-0.09695000262359908,0.13517956537235365,-0.08696811576916015,-0.5787206772682107,-0.10008624019502826,-0.019302215518887625;-0.27115751025357226,0.36818608937733466,-0.2828874786039517,0.18528638850758392,-0.2587759548431664,-0.3034125745888169,0.056126774445255795,0.26856233665341583,0.08815366795353191,0.02905710571646748,0.9167355036561582,0.3912068108912373,-0.24749875325972653,-0.16284115609840863,0.32713121474108936,-0.31011273197986483,-0.29493812244147866,0.07890857613304626,-0.3016242962524732,0.38964908453899194,-0.29679327112018333,-0.2993396557324666,-0.27366998852455005,0.27288120820905565,-0.1020940772924851,-0.27268138999554203,-0.21251549704072945,-0.30255099900676913,0.17512294688488414,-0.09334127383381852,0.2791523358923695,0.06141305354972926,-0.29009657068650213,0.2057984488297735,0.23745847190461122,0.0410186911256514,0.36935571792075966,-0.1671996806101178,-0.2903430206806459,-0.29445203512899565,-0.28970472137751085,0.3355407862455066,-0.29480642190421996,0.1984065379120518,-0.2865330917883487,0.4206884637992824,0.2169352782199285,-0.09324214826210353,0.40573916754872696,-0.31504558163267565,-0.2733046028422571,1.2513694349167173,0.16370806899069404,0.23330099055048006,-0.1375420533643164,0.33776270180187057,-0.09942309769791255,-0.28150884608742754,-0.014653091535393842,-0.05414179735926761,0.9145114245880618,0.0344255130838386,-0.27387798598574925,-0.11270456950114184,0.006929641069570432,-0.29705408102868436,-0.11087303717798097,0.34450899755503855,-0.2894593779483502,-0.2820145505876327,-0.3088954233192331,-0.248310495874336,0.18535594834268532,-0.3076043943143497,0.09411886262426525,0.18530226329841748,0.2436920010123576,-0.25580211272028475,0.013767791393501806,-0.27164778658466854,0.24721201258059106,-0.3170333810429878,-0.10718435040157412,-0.2936850221204849,0.28700842880984545,0.30813027948652155,0.35681448078887434,-0.20822888903593853,0.4083238167921966,0.193323813356932,0.2860434938580334,0.19832448818639684,-0.049607556548628556,0.09541752645460935,-0.29836560680249585,0.31013795950857437,-0.26482358341592727,-0.8607414573620032,-0.29797169750153435,-0.09388774860691647;-0.12469408162770697,0.13928700564849855,-0.12488436419357918,0.032432637343274166,-0.12289741371155463,-0.13789781964198522,-0.025244751117709748,0.07931080116388134,-0.012331572754838243,-0.03729388205462035,0.7313037293916004,0.1547531977422077,-0.11975176810964187,-0.13771088176269972,0.11323532965252311,-0.1395906551442354,-0.13855125584797984,-0.015641374401633476,-0.13293210481222054,0.15344654619805706,-0.1425578305788804,-0.1303231025346418,-0.12473977467384,0.08321495746788293,-0.08192247396253816,-0.12808478976013093,-0.11196518638446273,-0.1396919058164026,0.027471151090393015,-0.12610273348969478,0.08691811771346127,0.5617460304883115,-0.1298194192614851,0.04540799428998968,0.06124525939502573,-0.03321296567097601,0.13976697538620678,-0.1355913974819419,-0.12937264731695758,-0.14108878734679126,-0.12840482647094387,0.1181709136694382,-0.13121956705835364,0.039979251905676964,-0.1254878145361158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x_a{92}=[-11.009648989099183,-8.349258754126698,33.05977587291534];
std_x_a{92}=[1.1497606371147293,3.166278084139816,1.968602060168512];
pred_a{92}=[-11.009648989099183];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.1 to 9.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{93}=[-7.398702186523146,-3.712410832791669,30.320069962732664];
std_x_f{93}=[1.978043029896063,2.3175481898380546,1.7749359786036434];
pred_f{93}=[-7.398702186523146];
obs{93}=[-6.922570679574558];
sqrt_r{93}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{93}=[4.943354128873426];
L_f{93}=[-0.1752138714629283,0.2378841285862612,-0.1809207909384428,0.10694803093873403,-0.16899188771277648,-0.1941859094348581,0.020129931597589436,0.16603019494182353,0.04101566233984584,0.0028777620054352806,0.6046701534664609,0.2543935252768988,-0.1627672836629302,-0.12349515744961703,0.20817090660928905,-0.19750384429399753,-0.19011980866966832,0.03519501210173069,-0.1920509388394559,0.2532633273171122,-0.1920257526418266,-0.190371124346741,-0.17672521252819845,0.16985474911729237,-0.07962418024475458,-0.17662238636148028,-0.14336715101359448,-0.19407618287282588,0.10006710195670128,-0.08355110499974404,0.17358401188112962,0.135494904683091,-0.1859756646688048,0.12164013074255911,0.14432344240135295,0.009715454075391344,0.23850177602211678,-0.1253021765767159,-0.1856573111106107,-0.19091832134575598,-0.18539144043354475,0.2137548415264938,-0.18697551032979035,0.11644857622475074,-0.18230000294912563,0.27602033350029753,0.12897356451051895,-0.07417390424559396,0.264929571207776,-0.19853616754710346,-0.18006278135474338,0.8190925171158454,0.09251413643551809,0.14091167083058412,-0.1088585584518053,0.21570459144397458,-0.08697208883743811,-0.18090533323670646,-0.0256353397442904,-0.049786654947283245,0.6032766788511055,0.0056351816006097975,-0.1767436558788944,-0.08638039556929955,-0.012060610686807634,-0.18957204216599782,-0.08438143346631072,0.22017215847852786,-0.1846442576585984,-0.1812684176928864,-0.1960585636739697,-0.1628143239482986,0.10784473235606405,-0.19611634009409828,0.045159760641857234,0.10697422408230987,0.14845915806980337,-0.16664934971003192,-0.016334216866375647,-0.17555214724198287,0.15103182407830512,-0.2006155168534112,-0.09129084631217892,-0.1879397419403386,0.17929619760017995,0.19427290278629616,0.22932442503437864,-0.1408257337315971,0.2669220439412495,0.11347653703513054,0.17868274144621632,0.11678108869688707,-0.047649485653527175,0.04591340315157697,-0.19192789846254615,0.19578162338422725,-0.17195886082683198,-0.10695046816818901,-0.18986748298530318,-0.07444905725067308;-0.15896414951211882,0.19677055624106848,-0.16003966027659683,0.05144045787131884,-0.1567536510083463,-0.17158203614305592,-0.030254587033517782,0.11492866295219659,-0.012159226591533854,-0.04646069131065492,0.875045294132087,0.2157867858359895,-0.1542784204719619,-0.1614513811024436,0.16144467475986365,-0.17274749403855325,-0.1717775619517301,-0.017062493777518818,-0.16626102703222992,0.21470560325918,-0.1744786336132466,-0.16485920074736765,-0.15927173770786832,0.11930347911029734,-0.10831040873320825,-0.1622106313139155,-0.14529546258003617,-0.1727866264703378,0.04433104607741074,-0.14273599540527834,0.12413972820550455,0.46889037324296684,-0.1639088821343705,0.0679921337834384,0.091586789983847,-0.04065919721838425,0.19698571335844609,-0.16021502132016013,-0.16359249902774595,-0.1733212102031383,-0.16326085825935838,0.16839066201258507,-0.16516464418721388,0.061450238316536995,-0.16073932686890766,0.24163133195593547,0.07458396981117046,-0.10505705045621196,0.22878022445304827,-0.16941871039361442,-0.17194937977336644,1.1136435483172755,0.038126695443554105,0.08723520837007724,-0.15368957282419926,0.1715163318310101,-0.14117209881976822,-0.16043826304049155,-0.06929662974289645,-0.08772844876905511,0.8726238303803223,-0.04429134404556077,-0.1600036547392067,-0.11291158477806572,-0.05918959816818662,-0.16389224866966234,-0.11097505637827104,0.1759775279388611,-0.16195743362406084,-0.16188715505705387,-0.16887651913386595,-0.15385479191629706,0.053212685262300705,-0.17171411602371434,-0.008324069978918871,0.05175738553433226,0.09589383697507008,-0.1555821293161396,-0.093832138928396,-0.15911833023654576,0.09823538491176093,-0.17062729334533816,-0.14393361697079893,-0.16594249904647645,0.13029409457965743,0.1469843100989353,0.18641645036173102,-0.14511689067137618,0.23109263606267505,0.059180305754648437,0.12848747170846475,0.062464811376104705,-0.08626517672127496,-0.006932076617531846,-0.1719569218830021,0.14837770889671914,-0.15814007379665102,0.6954122713168118,-0.16510727508824052,-0.10533535548816816;0.1604939280499624,-0.22423389287233564,0.17156767705917553,-0.15992814539741285,0.14991978433003117,0.18649522041366215,-0.08748872732070283,-0.194043301455261,-0.10757139598322826,-0.07149138812593778,-0.11561644548701734,-0.2290334911076614,0.13979693887310263,0.05421927856013829,-0.21370360689142126,0.1917636392727489,0.1777851659872824,-0.1017972396661143,0.18599815075546403,-0.2285184089167154,0.17769930622406493,0.18511602552488154,0.1629372323201825,-0.19515389198394323,0.022266131676112706,0.16038897940871277,0.11021374788051738,0.18513768441516837,-0.15440198223470317,-0.004681633767976288,-0.19699582224863116,0.15193778083691425,0.17657452403551926,-0.16844670403638107,-0.1827507686018339,-0.07952281279521714,-0.2246858831597036,0.05925356629650761,0.1768244245870103,0.17725497540829266,0.17687839956881712,-0.21659112333043398,0.180091773498893,-0.16588813275984435,0.1739599194834686,-0.2344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k{93}=[0.7977082009643732;0.8300456672069776;-0.5361511574982489];
x_a{93}=[-7.018888178692732,-3.3171999384282644,30.06479150416079];
L_a{93}=[0.10212856438728987,-0.13865776916056846,0.10545501045141617,-0.06233780905943468,0.09850189794393979,0.1131869753760816,-0.011733323384222661,-0.09677558810141325,-0.023907186555423832,-0.0016773883243916751,-0.352449804263573,-0.14828075716281644,0.0948737041817548,0.07198278899841677,-0.12133854278601185,0.11512093140972889,0.11081692881335364,-0.020514449167362447,0.111942544897507,-0.14762198800177528,0.11192786438057775,0.11096341555605946,0.10300949403062744,-0.09900484212166179,0.046411298095380187,0.10294955877150269,0.08356576560442086,0.11312301801835664,-0.05832705698416565,0.04870022182233988,-0.10117855273665892,-0.07897719502193973,0.10840139245262718,-0.07090153205848353,-0.08412316819904585,-0.005662938492288844,-0.1390177831560066,0.07303606330672426,0.10821583070689056,0.11128236543987775,0.10806086015384746,-0.1245933036788836,0.10898418193791608,-0.06787548163556185,0.10625892478457177,-0.16088657916591198,-0.07517603987283479,0.04323444423865484,-0.15442200178149218,0.11572265141593077,0.1049548943003252,-0.4774321928678582,-0.0539245886230442,-0.0821345166748786,0.06345141627844796,-0.12572977283126263,0.05069424298755195,0.10544600047478667,0.014942312636581112,0.02901961787019368,-0.35163757655130234,-0.0032846315313210884,0.10302024428066933,0.0503493571430235,0.00702988207950361,0.1104976469769773,0.04918420321920275,-0.12833382583079614,0.10762534267168111,0.10565763494157494,0.11427850704213816,0.09490112299724557,-0.0628604778850896,0.11431218372991371,-0.02632269627922893,-0.06235307650445976,-0.08653379185804208,0.09713648068989779,0.009520879283273786,0.10232573838609144,-0.08803334599666418,0.1169346613883137,0.05321155795325377,0.10954621272520404,-0.10450806838590129,-0.11323768201260194,-0.13366849389351612,0.08208442570620185,-0.15558337318520285,-0.06614314107825113,-0.10415049740253281,-0.06806929632121805,0.027773905815539873,-0.026761979008023597,0.11187082719073778,-0.1141170842393874,0.10023128558993055,0.06233922967039007,0.11066985335815692,0.04339482526991098;0.1296211839867708,-0.19503558335835053,0.13794523300795236,-0.12470788539518,0.12158378807116696,0.14825111957201825,-0.06340951349508658,-0.15853073143319232,-0.07971391559072433,-0.051200498160049714,-0.12087435787939031,-0.2032110921232617,0.11380680843363587,0.04195084327929418,-0.18142241679526186,0.15255045353265495,0.14135853812747934,-0.075030303175671,0.15005573357017277,-0.20243078649470553,0.14179664415916257,0.14869082785174725,0.1318028442832208,-0.1604551325288225,0.022834291276288055,0.12869459123452814,0.09083685241648305,0.14686580453251225,-0.12048408955842288,-0.005123469072548185,-0.16176115133410343,0.2457240113054465,0.14240162149764463,-0.13235477599086623,-0.14612058106704875,-0.05666099850860441,-0.19583772007606168,0.0461634469689733,0.14219366159994534,0.14113007710986633,0.14208740109163592,-0.18367342808416928,0.14279265139748035,-0.13034594154471738,0.1395171922563661,-0.21298689735766949,-0.13784144386210484,0.017110793418856792,-0.20757100745777715,0.15757952122353597,0.12462233212440213,-0.2354396335376143,-0.11424835736300727,-0.1448528174294883,0.025605497438941038,-0.18375908637280355,0.00207494579312083,0.13752117069582984,-0.027074041955212798,-0.005727530110078922,-0.12100070462222741,-0.053572748240107486,0.1311013043017529,0.029360913711910488,-0.03932521569554033,0.14834165469520355,0.02800505926366795,-0.1866561793765998,0.14216018120950943,0.1366702955371797,0.1540409845475525,0.11430791451050112,-0.12441256662683477,0.15129854808839396,-0.08270428015718552,-0.12443409904861097,-0.14862524867051613,0.11889704155029496,-0.06692892982475175,0.13002415908395787,-0.1505210003942112,0.15979572255408,0.0064266205402483505,0.14360293050601883,-0.16501501849178316,-0.1729921276812363,-0.1912914624046933,0.08682959275963131,-0.20854029040507158,-0.12772078838338582,-0.1658112507626175,-0.1298790318742574,-0.007784274532642484,-0.08255357079455093,0.1441571855395588,-0.17408366134499367,0.1250841069457965,0.8715646288127161,0.14761323294243522,0.01728567808627239;-0.025911912863686905,0.028845333440603575,-0.020909618785397186,-0.04614869703101068,-0.02986663710835428,-0.020094517256994262,-0.06607297527063273,-0.017407754013824776,-0.06393581527689761,-0.06842980606001102,0.5276776469909807,0.04160968689129763,-0.03336727541593817,-0.07716426134429245,0.007764434287450354,-0.018355969819334607,-0.02447874447547956,-0.06435410932482032,-0.01832024283815645,0.04092237854470286,-0.026592292377188145,-0.017415253666899312,-0.02507648815132848,-0.014449492965599359,-0.06244412643107044,-0.02751534676704388,-0.042311129978468816,-0.021335317794446227,-0.047942989391905215,-0.09356965305951476,-0.012323949903678121,0.2960875643904969,-0.02128053089030151,-0.03903668261173327,-0.029208515241666046,-0.06918677392078101,0.029050443465600404,-0.0740524179733235,-0.02069194161383992,-0.02585845356361241,-0.020355113187160292,0.010817532453650882,-0.018826993276131302,-0.042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x_a{93}=[-7.018888178692731,-3.3171999384282644,30.064791504160784];
std_x_a{93}=[1.1529606260786966,1.6001636045999335,1.413979362136357];
pred_a{93}=[-7.018888178692731];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.2 to 9.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{94}=[-4.491236251754672,-3.2134706962804485,24.6086619681569];
std_x_f{94}=[1.1966866380392456,1.5018180548625197,1.2754152159129042];
pred_f{94}=[-4.491236251754672];
obs{94}=[-4.386309738039093];
sqrt_r{94}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{94}=[2.4423237248420406];
L_f{94}=[0.10131542419774366,-0.1496561156195827,0.10865858130295028,-0.10411530261922526,0.09546763668052766,0.11848046626358759,-0.055746662025196875,-0.12671398264317937,-0.06935004175672209,-0.046598347950904874,-0.04986695880406011,-0.15385807753671388,0.08917401513382624,0.03179053493926631,-0.14160433796911795,0.12128482237848018,0.11196802571278683,-0.06524557287632848,0.11876622400860583,-0.15349853130692526,0.11236469565022554,0.11768149792148702,0.10414074127436829,-0.12836388808490864,0.013785172435175578,0.10182491703884748,0.07031149888451425,0.11730625169158132,-0.10003397683854548,-0.006941746110562154,-0.12911080053701174,0.16143952140253126,0.11249894733911607,-0.10908153902186332,-0.11839393403149044,-0.051239748684978145,-0.1493731768509712,0.035751609938172516,0.11245409449326209,0.11240464088353457,0.11213181606171183,-0.1429481910823466,0.1133026913984453,-0.10723501283068347,0.1096378339823781,-0.15880518551935002,-0.1129073346882903,0.009239023376894194,-0.15608353900303518,0.12532504106744272,0.09855225419849842,-0.0462660290131295,-0.0958226588128948,-0.1178802168121905,0.01814012717838372,-0.143012656126388,-0.0016261454628523789,0.10816388683954901,-0.02715864479584697,-0.009564705240408932,-0.05044751694726189,-0.0479137842981399,0.10323974520832886,0.01934701613143439,-0.036932849450379786,0.117026218342548,0.01816790664396507,-0.14495104768992093,0.11240417015831522,0.10828809711584864,0.12234820354678773,0.08962892558734648,-0.10321760272441478,0.11978393717623177,-0.07146450928399464,-0.10341600160131945,-0.12032414012170273,0.09363037306615322,-0.05831627416767515,0.10243052301522493,-0.12178546458174072,0.12669497341388222,0.002948345328899005,0.11371886644061559,-0.13155635763545562,-0.13646598793696368,-0.14754494881509655,0.06724951289870276,-0.15663582881159938,-0.1055936978083493,-0.13085730794280567,-0.10701028401780643,-0.011203176699181503,-0.07132194027308054,0.11449106948760797,-0.1369648764082064,0.0984311386641457,0.6028290168918164,0.11654785105653678,0.009458774022520884;0.08836220691726544,-0.1315035403121376,0.09768024559935737,-0.1279093842590992,0.0796254770596762,0.1079670241825104,-0.09215610749880422,-0.13524821220495925,-0.1041312661359769,-0.08458019684889902,0.23286601973406792,-0.1291640384862299,0.07166769578952942,-0.009872066469185547,-0.13536814944231362,0.1122046408657812,0.1001621462799224,-0.10086448078102453,0.11000657366582998,-0.1289725982470668,0.09906310528999603,0.10883213471484145,0.09109095514844431,-0.13525242450653552,-0.019822981719415156,0.08675214851581203,0.047399791989252704,0.10674126904818751,-0.12607122380260832,-0.05740379029116678,-0.13427877396597182,0.31966796303927353,0.10176166683002733,-0.129311556982533,-0.13357561724507014,-0.0886777699615204,-0.13181035195952817,-0.004548696201949968,0.10241448665800079,0.0993920956499721,0.10172520148594395,-0.1354479345860738,0.10304502740906753,-0.1295506249181135,0.09917361596708532,-0.12428562599219671,-0.13211605800290974,-0.025446895973797904,-0.12651942457814416,0.11884204418731636,0.08119518967282427,0.3933465161591918,-0.12242509368912509,-0.1338469672576376,-0.026520520574361942,-0.13321526840899436,-0.05037600742871638,0.09704173691873119,-0.06514978855571019,-0.046549108040689555,0.23198355425009654,-0.08634600874675342,0.09078467356163399,-0.01433095687753636,-0.0746104632431478,0.10842000912659072,-0.01570846896083447,-0.13463993121948448,0.102152047102231,0.09600717334797886,0.11482780819593642,0.07281108367872256,-0.12728689425530781,0.11090704517611966,-0.10614227171329624,-0.12756141387453165,-0.13438283489265063,0.07766045702770755,-0.11283225805906719,0.08887665897139034,-0.1345793034704616,0.12098284460764215,-0.04438187905845417,0.10314318024070696,-0.13524137094716313,-0.13529466530582357,-0.13335997839815475,0.043712744844265516,-0.1263012067887943,-0.1277158388001457,-0.1364518144866453,-0.12828981356920993,-0.04787653730604923,-0.10552724780902406,0.10329217025871527,-0.13508201000226708,0.08381189793107952,0.9263824094911521,0.1075842613180288,-0.025451284794639522;-0.10132623031586466,0.14879034701271987,-0.1020688112280601,0.046726214717370367,-0.1005312977367189,-0.10686919440092423,-0.012870888466132713,0.09116126032219497,0.0010937196411775828,-0.02277842374417779,0.3892226969129854,0.16271916061700456,-0.09931915676508771,-0.09055756269813431,0.12424697801096427,-0.10705440680282007,-0.1063889671761516,-0.0030907419805490523,-0.10639552117593196,0.16150347762950115,-0.1082763240804082,-0.10425153965438107,-0.10157147711209294,0.09454056269062157,-0.06779831223679496,-0.10235749460716866,-0.09465500483763169,-0.10703003181302745,0.04150698066689237,-0.07314383808373331,0.0970064225517887,0.07251238360694243,-0.10453749240194887,0.05672027729841256,0.07404939348871574,-0.019419051016087974,0.14927201005952992,-0.09119821426901857,-0.1041389460867852,-0.10746059632843148,-0.10387987894421971,0.12837572320220733,-0.10267720831858095,0.053219684169889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k{94}=[0.5905538689124123;0.6484840268677832;-0.31597244204787084];
x_a{94}=[-4.429271493128446,-3.145427528140972,24.57550808138262];
L_a{94}=[-0.15233701800467964,0.22502167424334324,-0.16337812714482156,0.15654689160370522,-0.1435443339750597,-0.17814623059931814,0.08382021122527493,0.19052607644106942,0.10427413834935452,0.07006488327907939,0.07497953901220403,0.23133970877059953,-0.1340812976558984,-0.047799980425184324,0.21291508922313418,-0.18236283682042165,-0.1683541798696542,0.09810269353053006,-0.1785758935365514,0.23079909808950602,-0.16895060944471646,-0.17694490853330985,-0.15658514095119822,0.1930068603589472,-0.02072726910126011,-0.15310308714689644,-0.1057197771841812,-0.17638069146434943,0.15041024455457594,0.01043755095141945,0.19412991162744783,-0.24273910387587327,-0.16915246915274823,0.16401408280657256,0.17801612146437298,0.07704365430819192,0.22459624989527868,-0.05375581941223284,-0.16908502879171214,-0.16901067076088808,-0.1686004536579816,0.21493569543908397,-0.17036097194693503,0.1612376615868098,-0.1648505232211185,0.2387781386423539,0.1697665169293494,-0.013891717689150455,0.23468589387665037,-0.1884376755928681,-0.1481823388799745,0.06956521132480335,0.14407814226139629,0.17724370058270086,-0.02727534235248417,0.21503262453603608,0.0024450586138717693,-0.16263430871860737,0.04083550944003031,0.014381410194501131,0.07585246134376418,0.07204276228515875,-0.1552304108592972,-0.029090010411433314,0.05553192118808627,-0.17595963568067766,-0.02731711132282544,0.2179471737554885,-0.16900996298241522,-0.1628210702432898,-0.18396172778361908,-0.13476529718012847,0.15519711760708627,-0.18010611847878344,0.10745343390403476,0.1554954284864261,0.18091836307512232,-0.14078183988772275,0.08768385838772216,-0.1540136711893329,0.1831155982181643,-0.1904974943240953,-0.004433107189837957,-0.17098672923309566,0.19780703067113845,0.20518910941738538,0.221847341627628,-0.10111580086029756,0.23551631217847618,0.1587697941511404,0.19675594544439592,0.16089976123763294,0.016845002071963145,0.10723906834070117,-0.17214780722693954,0.20593923391844557,-0.14800023058320305,-0.9064086295562995,-0.17524036666079273,-0.014222132908002406;-0.1901721754705864,0.27992812534725325,-0.2010418006636782,0.15832236911706668,-0.18283228227358417,-0.21775715608981594,0.06110152528834953,0.2131113902434995,0.08652451211531224,0.04352706983408012,0.36995928743771,0.2938195786817589,-0.17348776229617427,-0.09726998327408932,0.2539277266000955,-0.2212292203819974,-0.20765815981906488,0.07850737191121804,-0.21650320620943403,0.2930225614590197,-0.20984771804179367,-0.21469553741988803,-0.19521073368083877,0.21764306570876005,-0.057720908128404934,-0.19318292162468553,-0.1458992053908368,-0.21575478349142335,0.14894022857154515,-0.038319677670516465,0.2206701133523974,-0.12415841130507649,-0.20751823861878202,0.17057327636792236,0.19191067030741937,0.052189544829794494,0.2788434639717208,-0.10283632291182293,-0.20674211022434677,-0.20962854433586767,-0.20654539383642812,0.257542436148304,-0.20844451548572665,0.1652577747471859,-0.2022405726072109,0.312298483671981,0.17828657795784242,-0.05084663831833443,0.30258238772112045,-0.22569910725001566,-0.18974273980307732,0.5205401781188826,0.1410086855459015,0.1902270189643019,-0.07639100337672987,0.25995232836347054,-0.04590544013104247,-0.2003203050021695,0.0095142264706488,-0.020254007487594296,0.37067288104481405,0.04537762981098098,-0.19304001450714933,-0.06751939518184828,0.0269246040276275,-0.21330618120755016,-0.06565532252658862,0.2638566537228437,-0.2068672987750435,-0.20169634503486497,-0.22152947975910545,-0.17359500532736058,0.15647692012982503,-0.21840061183223902,0.09032655930317249,0.15674783482213495,0.19640993748656402,-0.17974633311536664,0.04748970216637062,-0.19272333127319183,0.20023091352952999,-0.22732449803946958,-0.05248741236450017,-0.20949050293928106,0.22643079410905387,0.2398749593387203,0.27226770877857576,-0.14116830055870275,0.30431894984891295,0.16258028971128233,0.22329853682854964,0.16590076603961648,-0.017076983068403502,0.09054963527141183,-0.21146443843311027,0.24145914906873073,-0.1867930630869033,-0.7309033318952751,-0.21282681103068443,-0.051455161315622125;0.03438904616129796,-0.05167884382014275,0.04348286088816402,-0.09273958915562272,0.027350678865691477,0.05183920921511721,-0.08754533916637502,-0.07857620388046162,-0.0918028966958041,-0.08519841285850004,0.32242429820165674,-0.04337869364835692,0.02013231090922397,-0.04797311642252449,-0.06543659712104816,0.05541052222370814,0.04359581240246795,-0.09048928995029601,0.052695664150572086,-0.044112752871577246,0.042239807665524064,0.053386620113763536,0.03792840265944458,-0.07740700303367919,-0.04933262941367678,0.03404026395345818,-4.7048568671574604E-4,0.050105473534608876,-0.0924917557669195,-0.08244253075653367,-0.07594165647780671,0.288765826308052,0.04615847380867192,-0.08939796031575993,-0.08454309741318312,-0.08805634602291267,-0.0508181751726328,-0.04330778035253266,0.04649693829104404,0.04310904334509821,0.04632430308634327,-0.06310798649224418,0.049095398967102986,-0.09042507209094884,0.04451902675992896,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x_a{94}=[-4.4292714931284465,-3.145427528140974,24.575508081382615];
std_x_a{94}=[1.7993279440762977,2.102338009616348,1.4684496143800931];
pred_a{94}=[-4.4292714931284465];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.3 to 9.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{95}=[-4.163094449980707,-4.804009636160688,20.572172226309082];
std_x_f{95}=[1.9605113070629057,2.4099100316303317,2.087202759167337];
pred_f{95}=[-4.163094449980707];
obs{95}=[-4.3223274850356805];
sqrt_r{95}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{95}=[4.8803015386692];
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k{95}=[0.79509462846169;0.9201850731434896;-0.6786856169647356];
x_a{95}=[-4.289699780826568,-4.950533498169609,20.680241396946535];
L_a{95}=[0.1128745489484197,-0.16457533866901083,0.11857711877823449,-0.09434750046273345,0.1087851958118415,0.1270982986623769,-0.035264058810657375,-0.12687354964127653,-0.0506275689294977,-0.024077723443252343,-0.17294584400972093,-0.1723684986989955,0.10382232954581605,0.0595606836491717,-0.15017459591923427,0.12895518150524668,0.12217201927745165,-0.0456539779567196,0.12677613860860137,-0.17164795399055982,0.12325800926425041,0.1257108122093536,0.11573243301625015,-0.1293103023765595,0.03764217019182365,0.11428191233209392,0.08859997977980247,0.12625060103776817,-0.08882685925458227,0.024192125537186176,-0.13086887664735716,0.08326857326621646,0.12197562766373658,-0.10172247822213815,-0.11432982553212948,-0.029318177435401223,-0.1640235175511673,0.06303391044633744,0.12176453367562538,0.12310850561403715,0.12125728977154558,-0.15220252196670514,0.12237771198247559,-0.09819951740150347,0.1192422401171047,-0.18192253182695467,-0.1062699213897182,0.03337293971068252,-0.17674018248742993,0.13124917596474223,0.11266475331381769,-0.23706713707912266,-0.0836715805652246,-0.11335737407040557,0.04737845837548208,-0.15331250205460611,0.029038663617964727,0.1182250726035512,-0.0034475810130508403,0.014650077518562633,-0.17307934119990775,-0.02558415486196393,0.11472013052668519,0.04313572455245391,-0.01392434648095003,0.12507675192221338,0.042179843134734496,-0.1553656603143957,0.12172702702170173,0.11883888666967501,0.12927149954191774,0.10393830563061923,-0.0932664389921946,0.12779181004855467,-0.05299972494509732,-0.09337407029891374,-0.11695386955659486,0.10682148028701348,-0.029029241212971946,0.11411258757958308,-0.11918435561471959,0.13242574002472265,0.03320648499661499,0.12318246138939913,-0.13449136509299556,-0.14237377723242778,-0.16043090164291163,0.08559764309657734,-0.17799425155824822,-0.09692252065977514,-0.13285128330198168,-0.09875857782968431,0.01306829363353014,-0.05309491530695483,0.12390009749851501,-0.1431554826693406,0.11117185371593738,0.22985946706817803,0.12511462731739548,0.03394396872414265;0.11652584297071218,-0.1679415260478597,0.12778515771054924,-0.1260356767556759,0.1092923068439536,0.14240072770385978,-0.07821950309344161,-0.14648263385045268,-0.09141447596266612,-0.06798936739940384,-0.07310287683429575,-0.17131565936708898,0.0998322012154823,0.023158061770224184,-0.16029916618023643,0.14603364841702612,0.1331400601903609,-0.08801494026927464,0.14251417221266272,-0.17084755170976684,0.13338580375084777,0.14136168329697282,0.12190273265779471,-0.14796932207168237,6.641132895227602E-4,0.11822791047200976,0.07372434349019832,0.14059562921466673,-0.1218502258096928,-0.024406499071496533,-0.14880826973414862,0.19685965860096302,0.13384508490102145,-0.1310834847681764,-0.13895023386148986,-0.07290590172436133,-0.1668502356055953,0.028283740543531596,0.13338217699210786,0.13329825813797483,0.13210365644057126,-0.16077159314226513,0.134864514310814,-0.12834309204862024,0.12893633274318414,-0.1755729522181926,-0.13402549668466962,-0.004165855986279356,-0.17319047868943935,0.15233801123566587,0.11368745187419275,-0.07965852971542323,-0.11768858603417436,-0.13858607956941174,0.006071010705848586,-0.16183459018759713,-0.017795270731842828,0.12676487296964578,-0.04743436521908424,-0.027852895719738126,-0.07307199215108111,-0.06936462419762167,0.11988094769782182,0.00719814974595687,-0.05795327488029719,0.13954766986612718,0.00663060160484573,-0.162968563464279,0.1335057075350068,0.12729444122480282,0.14820802859046783,0.10072257083602627,-0.12495167351785876,0.14430443295071696,-0.09387801704738126,-0.12481595942669393,-0.1406152799166251,0.10550641091558878,-0.08109579434047536,0.11882008933512918,-0.14179922635732975,0.15409210808514492,-0.012199572421410468,0.13520006697541004,-0.15152537110993192,-0.15620151462230797,-0.16597973907809307,0.06949044739674369,-0.17381717658436802,-0.12788982400776305,-0.15025797265817095,-0.12851992645579066,-0.02892272436601021,-0.09405628136127206,0.13631907467397578,-0.15656008219180348,0.11340496547744902,0.9911781694340568,0.1398661488813759,-0.004297269668917095;-0.09893354445779938,0.1749077052826886,-0.09502960288913909,0.022378552837545564,-0.10190484835870067,-0.09243304051226849,-0.057674758721024566,0.08626644251500694,-0.040979070890189775,-0.07003891970375527,0.46398735481565145,0.1959748370843503,-0.104761484669841,-0.12637695531693388,0.13816830744558525,-0.09078347769838359,-0.09646110010802642,-0.047127706801522465,-0.09141407998825346,0.19478327424842365,-0.0976000805508736,-0.09049840668983086,-0.09757958845142996,0.09184117726716365,-0.10846832186859486,-0.0997730939041715,-0.1115949207602268,-0.09303834128084469,0.014305612422956216,-0.12080448324120126,0.0947062639930595,0.1044050002607422,-0.09415463361836506,0.03634527638082289,0.060286010776422164,-0.06607399889299893,0.1747947235463414,-0.12562490941155266,-0.09466227453681977,-0.097420621291858,-0.09354071354702052,0.14281043067681515,-0.09245419050308126,0.030025741986665716,-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x_a{95}=[-4.28969978082657,-4.95053349816961,20.68024139694655];
std_x_a{95}=[1.1551818937896263,1.5674247203710134,1.589608212094495];
pred_a{95}=[-4.28969978082657];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.4 to 9.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{96}=[-5.864549816092646,-8.343899728045546,18.93382353748486];
std_x_f{96}=[1.4899244821073805,1.9717990241893801,2.112465703617998];
pred_f{96}=[-5.864549816092646];
obs{96}=[-6.248645744760441];
sqrt_r{96}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{96}=[3.2350374895356593];
L_f{96}=[0.12313621381508055,-0.16371784078525561,0.1341674552111595,-0.13386988176884998,0.11500728213446418,0.14991416944245808,-0.08595638394728278,-0.15026334791237644,-0.10012755735063879,-0.07531861386654705,-0.053769813009195956,-0.16560287347058789,0.10568768711104128,0.023943634727608572,-0.15977036545351167,0.15421026660804638,0.13993710868017847,-0.09592228737820388,0.15016245689914323,-0.16472831714853137,0.14140354852114026,0.14876969785321306,0.12877559355816354,-0.15177634778361848,-7.720512629983084E-4,0.12477295452754937,0.0778389127231974,0.1481473587218016,-0.12909086388227675,-0.027297248049612078,-0.15184513219868187,0.18412744299692632,0.14108473422048914,-0.13812088139606882,-0.1445336345349428,-0.08050649913491714,-0.16312251715840984,0.030163300381869793,0.14028001147927102,0.14073006034230212,0.13953356590263347,-0.16039924086542348,0.1421241625958143,-0.13551025070441414,0.13581319942534423,-0.16665690993342494,-0.14065962777233815,-0.005839377831978132,-0.1659464592283763,0.15999249020164458,0.12034238910106897,-0.024116717524372038,-0.12593567330317312,-0.14442087073380447,0.005889511663597725,-0.1598712527639089,-0.020056362708719723,0.13380753128525807,-0.053440134849658365,-0.031556458894427805,-0.054618606644183436,-0.0765952326008149,0.12651091853196494,0.0057913461018675476,-0.06497666741031148,0.14683976897785128,0.0054423899065895185,-0.16219723619253343,0.1404343609427647,0.1342477299590885,0.156088854955095,0.10635601740467068,-0.13191929050360607,0.1518716546713181,-0.10206113369951747,-0.13259820462089927,-0.1461022020613526,0.11228204078642338,-0.08890284042654384,0.12571117177095156,-0.14673854278134502,0.16203888395890817,-0.014528489032084415,0.14274673377940914,-0.1544431071433951,-0.15774819180159552,-0.16310962815758231,0.07330197649553032,-0.16586995550420694,-0.13422530213019251,-0.15286555795721737,-0.1354891826341926,-0.032857457780315805,-0.10281521800215294,0.14410205295814363,-0.1580393773466588,0.11966275388928233,0.8148968046525256,0.14739088254211796,-0.006255863377736322;0.13181319276666698,-0.14824551303731157,0.14921731461734047,-0.1733819709134278,0.11933429986008223,0.17277169217485366,-0.1435649617958758,-0.16819193068432384,-0.15530402849185207,-0.13430525607490368,0.08232812366622742,-0.14177351450625564,0.10435355268540478,-0.018717362603652577,-0.15846200992609774,0.17929602902313738,0.1574763011793032,-0.152772046014547,0.17338398634565638,-0.14115911723598046,0.15901984551216625,0.1713994867347656,0.14025639793970274,-0.1669762834718499,-0.04765009079076616,0.13328307690001334,0.062045938295019074,0.17011907186418912,-0.17098031034640662,-0.08793574773607514,-0.16694980899562722,0.2778739938188601,0.15944635320404613,-0.17282527280535276,-0.17111116970040338,-0.13945624218687622,-0.147348211561316,-0.010498078381841911,0.15827149059881573,0.1579182928199192,0.15729770149400332,-0.15696702759679848,0.16148513574986398,-0.1724093334433498,0.1510544662383931,-0.13161451573446653,-0.17337775668346472,-0.054776320839283146,-0.13695376103969764,0.18963732865900282,0.1261925229642512,0.22422541176828387,-0.16971433168483024,-0.1721534118235567,-0.04390796782450724,-0.1557731112517713,-0.0782043892184667,0.14811590107149383,-0.1120804077930163,-0.08714313426987254,0.08140010172070349,-0.1356571955225736,0.13660688015605607,-0.03946473968726109,-0.1237939871668856,0.1687788019882199,-0.04013117031450766,-0.15565582330110928,0.1587598625436637,0.14881643730418123,0.18333982008620198,0.10564533111230853,-0.17184405900479527,0.175936966291965,-0.15713833641914493,-0.1726741871400138,-0.17148015459976387,0.11321818847788984,-0.157901812174321,0.1356586913135577,-0.17030116191103653,0.1926129626697788,-0.0713955133881431,0.16158621942935705,-0.1667760099835162,-0.16288431852767507,-0.15185785347458577,0.05569359346054902,-0.13544528977893572,-0.17183873472921446,-0.16593372292643493,-0.17194552289960233,-0.08816887092491765,-0.1576141408017937,0.1639558939980791,-0.1623323207342156,0.12624760783468061,1.32520131212588,0.16911144360839153,-0.05526770019866662;-0.20648402864680504,0.30602848370026126,-0.21213853234033767,0.14762127645116652,-0.2018222072047342,-0.2218273419804358,0.028162340159472096,0.2180509118890695,0.05734293392623001,0.006207961542851445,0.39503345569717757,0.3241107503306539,-0.19653041398679838,-0.14137051834034658,0.27138893191948393,-0.2229519680134672,-0.2169215802869028,0.04824602309518642,-0.22069411955790938,0.3228430640953576,-0.2187006864938983,-0.2196474723181945,-0.20908164364314483,0.22445799984561707,-0.1022957457039908,-0.2080104902612176,-0.17796694785073858,-0.2208162235872043,0.13578365864981817,-0.08521143829069662,0.22720267303043448,-0.09648746641476381,-0.215718272592807,0.16402651253772518,0.19099725759878722,0.015479436679510879,0.3043262238952792,-0.14587498610445626,-0.21601220959262762,-0.2179914839414866,-0.2147452388991839,0.27627674340357583,-0.21554874771918553,0.15564987073868358,-0.2123258878992902,0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k{96}=[0.6908845714355121;0.8756744455729089;-0.6705398651205483];
x_a{96}=[-6.12991576716042,-8.680242717428529,19.191375169687113];
L_a{96}=[-0.11080152184216671,0.14731804194468642,-0.12072775147538742,0.12045998629692242,-0.10348687432087848,-0.13489709976688022,0.07734603702945841,0.135211300639741,0.09009766817623964,0.06777386425076098,0.048383630826384895,0.1490142488020019,-0.09510083353275857,-0.02154517411292267,0.14376598962278786,-0.13876285208442227,-0.12591945231677673,0.08631364479053846,-0.13512051599190997,0.14822729776283736,-0.12723899724214346,-0.13386727117410002,-0.11587599862214845,0.1365727416251882,6.947140262802782E-4,-0.11227430841066505,-0.07004170195797922,-0.13330727244808843,0.11615968796601492,0.024562852245419008,0.13663463582862284,-0.16568319152320451,-0.1269521189258242,0.12428515854684782,0.13005553904638517,0.07244207326148469,0.14678235254999542,-0.027141808916689773,-0.12622800615976273,-0.12663297312587468,-0.12555633286966145,0.1443318698827866,-0.12788742660066393,0.12193603764535901,-0.12220863965478578,0.14996270125592318,0.12656959586505523,0.005254440837089844,0.14932341719094913,-0.14396586388698182,-0.10828755766800746,0.021700919012752805,0.1133205563487984,0.12995407092106492,-0.005299552706840564,0.14385677093869997,0.018047294470836295,-0.12040388153086265,0.04808697689604925,0.028395413186109827,0.04914739985559827,0.06892260266155471,-0.1138381786209782,-0.00521122049899374,0.058467882113922155,-0.13213066542821944,-0.004897219635274435,0.14594975801119758,-0.12636689426522552,-0.12079998501222011,-0.14045326014001303,-0.09570221643493662,0.11870478793581607,-0.1366585015155727,0.09183755602414369,0.11931569446822919,0.13146698141296123,-0.10103462344037328,0.07999734367458654,-0.11311854338563064,0.13203957917279818,-0.14580726809755482,0.013073154070171936,-0.1284476341339326,0.1389723687234667,0.14194637936257687,0.14677075465476663,-0.06595923569601263,0.14925457693021707,0.12077980380397678,0.13755284440000584,0.12191707998724616,0.02956608956152476,0.09251610286053394,-0.12966718947783148,0.1422083965265926,-0.10767600227394157,-0.7332676822060993,-0.13262657333164363,0.0056292065608807345;-0.16469552292892287,0.24598267705948418,-0.17385433587654836,0.14897313067522358,-0.15760016535370858,-0.18821762582308527,0.06341571610868127,0.19363819974771773,0.08580045666277,0.047059955454824616,0.21180439798542505,0.2569937839751086,-0.15013957650234955,-0.07637299584270262,0.22626076495131192,-0.19203817626348335,-0.17948852084474615,0.07820626130783773,-0.1882032012198459,0.2555022729685068,-0.18147612450171335,-0.18683397422840411,-0.16983179363170386,0.198497110259998,-0.04579101195968743,-0.16716686673774508,-0.12538808560112397,-0.186615813084137,0.1398670437491953,-0.022204703143707025,0.1986892157714654,-0.16549997356103735,-0.1802819204847427,0.15976612240348378,0.1769219638757984,0.054401258576387806,0.2454464551344401,-0.08313050047985802,-0.1795190322115192,-0.18095593563835824,-0.17869540029445574,0.22927006248441067,-0.1807460537187461,0.15389573275182653,-0.17598009238944398,0.2696908744114788,0.16532687202656535,-0.04071525490443722,0.26264088277426023,-0.1956203166822006,-0.1635887374022815,0.28229782376142526,0.13353540772538136,0.17560818952977905,-0.05808975468755009,0.2291925975758471,-0.02990920322859927,-0.17408906221713985,0.016602010318906686,-0.011156023664547729,0.21292024845406074,0.04878207983941693,-0.16802803440868164,-0.053410146498227284,0.03266809337867879,-0.18480744176331187,-0.053236299922771346,0.234910791529567,-0.17940232965434275,-0.17444851263975406,-0.19251797579043498,-0.15045711958115698,0.1458140708889727,-0.18976592388120742,0.08862214896597266,0.14661874982430925,0.18033004770648678,-0.15715396832124087,0.05617385427544705,-0.16705045440022376,0.18304133186158267,-0.1975723442096048,-0.0364112996427856,-0.18214410482955914,0.20511886909645188,0.21696911617866554,0.24090577685125514,-0.12081560911472262,0.26396513510952,0.15137220960145906,0.20216245982653216,0.1543088119449015,-0.009048989733066953,0.08996215945348414,-0.1830380026624349,0.21822228099132118,-0.16189710908500762,-0.6370484394769966,-0.18580186689369452,-0.04020374818788535;0.020564865191257903,0.004151777407575791,0.035250690951103364,-0.09921925593271251,0.010237879612342344,0.054596995653318596,-0.13033126045471344,-0.05901727033670802,-0.12728066651441877,-0.1326708250787437,0.2958881580843138,0.01875826243974598,-0.0016545792717442011,-0.09722123348796155,-0.023209087788997478,0.06139387442416653,0.04110621469179994,-0.128623547349334,0.05618803134334486,0.019103156609270436,0.04203105343694071,0.054666592469609275,0.02836561224397846,-0.05539997862692951,-0.10371931867102445,0.022056363580259183,-0.03444102250516791,0.05235032003683103,-0.10224491914198346,-0.13554439707238528,-0.05278213592414156,0.24302217873694587,0.04442561075173674,-0.0906523700208273,-0.07550599783535553,-0.13296520855546606,0.0035472253098809757,-0.09025735929896153,0.04264785836910571,0.04149842191568254,0.0425384700107726,-0.019480849611674494,0.04651172097039627,-0.09421531167110465,0.03809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x_a{96}=[-6.129915767160423,-8.68024271742853,19.19137516968712];
std_x_a{96}=[1.3406770837969508,1.7874378351824876,2.0258480597033666];
pred_a{96}=[-6.129915767160423];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.5 to 9.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{97}=[-9.407206478974482,-13.091456772336436,22.518213200539808];
std_x_f{97}=[1.499144115616515,1.9337246672362263,3.0438006817498438];
pred_f{97}=[-9.407206478974482];
obs{97}=[-9.98254501937671];
sqrt_r{97}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{97}=[3.2706534582570908];
L_f{97}=[-0.15238234434956374,0.22100465175767212,-0.15820033645311923,0.1243747663450071,-0.14796576410974524,-0.16700485947909385,0.03981367359741603,0.16913161171628105,0.061592213784228654,0.02375926583370195,0.20255417083231322,0.23167464603525692,-0.14294967950178458,-0.08945077512585399,0.2010928242791775,-0.16844966526639593,-0.1618389945686117,0.05485950958880623,-0.1663983133236856,0.23063655318138204,-0.16310080743489394,-0.16558099474717,-0.15517763000679896,0.1733429526131359,-0.06153565197871036,-0.15387823142026041,-0.12604797481681473,-0.16564153082669028,0.11575246154021453,-0.042650663286600506,0.17420966192724563,-0.11775518490273719,-0.16163798254197054,0.13492116941275525,0.15185147735778856,0.030754242578505796,0.22000160457863924,-0.0945900857792864,-0.1621967994275444,-0.16287665086884054,-0.16094534439035274,0.20446893304435362,-0.1620289626219155,0.12963361112152358,-0.159400847046754,0.24428146579372942,0.14030065098783343,-0.05740013386967047,0.23724634592285565,-0.1704488312355304,-0.15231303422879822,0.28194705091723343,0.10934636073664793,0.15117670395654315,-0.07409683728240259,0.2045514175517625,-0.04930239987298185,-0.15771257705499342,-0.005249455618882855,-0.030249125727220022,0.2035837938748815,0.025530870309250935,-0.15473818684065085,-0.06837729154906463,0.009811449982096664,-0.1644276317432894,-0.06833841475734613,0.20982903173527506,-0.16059259761364497,-0.1576056209143119,-0.169188673414273,-0.14293893180156386,0.12143799393532419,-0.1676649047092308,0.06489348174188378,0.12193997242700394,0.15501523974310183,-0.14682821891466416,0.031841972597717295,-0.1538238019493188,0.15880490125036043,-0.17162952246906865,-0.05513162746882079,-0.16317843005622068,0.18047727328394314,0.19241171106183136,0.21540756494857263,-0.12261238371367691,0.23871679518738254,0.12695951142546674,0.17729966859620824,0.1298847609205953,-0.028712987060219308,0.06590288441563169,-0.16332933415828313,0.1930351874176335,-0.15012090668120834,0.011098050067228363,-0.16533973156665857,-0.057124445366183565;-0.1454935511190526,0.23766820474914346,-0.1415197585544511,0.07623285642617758,-0.14821891000592813,-0.1361554422596545,-0.03785073509358139,0.1471404566743255,-0.012814872173834492,-0.05690531279641293,0.32314534487029134,0.2574593030234872,-0.15133510780433465,-0.15661771115840026,0.20169370472989628,-0.1329655479641584,-0.14035035332047635,-0.020159623040153757,-0.1348045529029312,0.2555572893589437,-0.14079195461684663,-0.13543716919634538,-0.14333886005086302,0.15475540599320625,-0.13382878804086504,-0.14618439596938962,-0.15586530126513082,-0.13727082738106897,0.0640135349259401,-0.12970855588728927,0.15647788124551054,0.004129128386679907,-0.13835677977871616,0.0922600816295847,0.11948067334395107,-0.0495079969744058,0.23625006225309042,-0.15824317215516553,-0.13956715922961893,-0.14090103468507054,-0.13822603056201793,0.20750629301623144,-0.1371327371133151,0.08398228271228729,-0.14010930375244623,0.2814100593753479,0.10008280198052524,-0.13181511414167343,0.26789457754343005,-0.1287621741776742,-0.14969074806869198,0.5109194065749135,0.0539643216685744,0.11751732280872651,-0.14961532044019088,0.20900767490744562,-0.1338368345473487,-0.14114765169509813,-0.08793247831570214,-0.11110762668546768,0.32384907070278435,-0.05493339154861762,-0.14456817488191046,-0.13861526729288323,-0.0726867744093831,-0.13656767890459093,-0.13846865913014042,0.216338051486043,-0.1377724074516854,-0.14171393861906148,-0.13107538808360394,-0.15039502057236515,0.0727451035891657,-0.1345243538636194,-0.007357373602663995,0.07256031691696999,0.12408464627481658,-0.14885519490987673,-0.057278521053451596,-0.14492091449398448,0.1303133804725105,-0.12834851077642,-0.13884851329698344,-0.1387518817817051,0.16528588755097431,0.18586027911385558,0.22735096488955867,-0.1550322904194995,0.270331059977864,0.08062339224117936,0.16200179690416966,0.08472515770625058,-0.10928134736373596,-0.006046371001434643,-0.13718611759024787,0.1872101431631938,-0.14684807117858406,1.1201571322978905,-0.13660966283949652,-0.13172973349529368;0.2714745413245348,-0.3419670717631367,0.2950590165670027,-0.2942936689556695,0.2542427786651726,0.3285264670460943,-0.19227534222572384,-0.3234100116227793,-0.22396553387139262,-0.16931310894126345,-0.08947435048167071,-0.34296660877574886,0.23457151539302012,0.05347716774491506,-0.33805463372953987,0.3382056553455906,0.3070920657795324,-0.21452146010708836,0.32971773679880184,-0.3404162387751944,0.3107303319760071,0.3259607323080575,0.2840669039367653,-0.32671952812494076,-0.0017238631773288675,0.27605609829727196,0.17417785742046019,0.3250606522303608,-0.28377830666841014,-0.06104124798086257,-0.3258431627782557,0.38818489745235146,0.310569052619302,-0.30219066437189046,-0.3137016318791684,-0.18049445533126898,-0.34056454890751436,0.06885174432504988,0.30892322504641095,0.3098176330048981,0.30660639667379136,-0.3382101187451872,0.3130236320535163,-0.2975946404161026,0.29972760876360266,-0.34150877992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k{97}=[0.6942507016524786;0.6887938769091538;-1.167509934755466];
x_a{97}=[-9.806635664336442,-13.48774643611534,23.18992666230712];
L_a{97}=[0.13518269160152235,-0.19605948319395883,0.14034399710336462,-0.1103363762619303,0.13126461823783167,0.1481547387348783,-0.035319836969410406,-0.15004144085263152,-0.0546401965174403,-0.021077517343531495,-0.17969153923379058,-0.20552513718408116,0.12681470757725297,0.07935431495669888,-0.17839513733592824,0.14943646685110232,0.14357195372766754,-0.04866742402349433,0.1476166544691542,-0.20460421562510298,0.14469134364314343,0.14689158802171964,0.13766246864231477,-0.1537774405848739,0.054590018938505895,0.13650973537035171,0.11182072686563628,0.14694529129163253,-0.10268728557300656,0.03783661083758217,-0.1545463229538752,0.10446395816479968,0.14339363026820387,-0.11969238899095201,-0.13471174446432657,-0.0272829592409434,-0.195169651645272,0.08391354293073279,0.1438893725474467,0.14449248800754738,0.14277917135538634,-0.18139017899881996,0.14374047976573,-0.11500164634055102,0.14140900403731352,-0.21670900388963626,-0.12446467938879294,0.050921283747869785,-0.21046794988864,0.1512099835785115,0.13512120463122823,-0.25012321076166827,-0.09700425219408569,-0.1341131338773138,0.06573340202731878,-0.1814633533404704,0.0437375546733628,0.1399112919328672,0.004656940691077815,0.026834855782359866,-0.18060494698337917,-0.02264915782773761,0.13727262616903244,0.06065943108750342,-0.008704015040291849,0.14586840704938536,0.06062494238497184,-0.18614527429139732,0.14246623970354258,0.13981640811255056,0.15009206190033134,0.12680517298812086,-0.10773108231756538,0.14874028354434768,-0.0575688447812438,-0.10817640164849593,-0.1375184076421369,0.1302554696914838,-0.028247915334514744,0.13646144944578636,-0.14088032365016626,0.15225740819703487,0.048908827498485435,0.14476020486801094,-0.16010649842385621,-0.17069387603936823,-0.19109414903263447,0.10877291673680012,-0.21177242705947402,-0.11262937679668227,-0.15728755534769356,-0.11522444843733341,0.025472103682930534,-0.05846431446921499,0.14489407616903066,-0.17124697956515378,0.13317650622484833,-0.009845394399332661,0.1466775566241512,0.05067671267171238;0.13981121775595,-0.1761177975542372,0.1546780104217554,-0.1566334517895764,0.12881671581370344,0.17652699505331057,-0.11239369472752703,-0.1695238891600963,-0.12813369334840458,-0.10138967793896492,-0.0560959060807495,-0.17630408093954583,0.11630892566356914,0.010860567456523966,-0.17481147372949019,0.1824219926399719,0.1626600586629427,-0.1228728328325266,0.17674225080747005,-0.17626247808467063,0.1645809438456641,0.17457937266800444,0.1471995094212507,-0.169793814210091,-0.01861586727699821,0.1419211154508856,0.08013374754709074,0.1728590559090862,-0.15270927129815273,-0.049853913387270736,-0.1696940748567478,0.22460162443543066,0.1642772783032931,-0.1603522089868861,-0.16483015568166598,-0.10708902519810932,-0.17565793938816415,0.018857414374846494,0.16411316916055899,0.1640521764603652,0.16311120426527076,-0.1753199584982845,0.16623335119056487,-0.1587301366124526,0.15833617573714628,-0.1759570157685269,-0.16260146747310184,-0.024345105086602842,-0.17630067472729644,0.1903683957596855,0.13548425178306744,-0.016968771942665956,-0.15076437121546626,-0.16553013105287737,-0.010884149677197842,-0.17397301197438608,-0.04152817595054777,0.15413688758285868,-0.07810394648376472,-0.05447232644046197,-0.05731993877856557,-0.10273472367702274,0.1451474271528943,-0.010592775940784628,-0.09105670749723019,0.17128942666380426,-0.010518956618003351,-0.17652388837995545,0.16290438119314296,0.15337034716412734,0.18569579410792136,0.11722889002539567,-0.1546226990276654,0.17939388312571286,-0.12885714372951276,-0.15574733774217134,-0.16614968064663665,0.1260506102251289,-0.11689610123502264,0.14308268887589765,-0.16701631241839257,0.19299266197674014,-0.035625818437979864,0.16676634916096691,-0.17262088873110035,-0.17439129063105313,-0.1759556372886979,0.07453431682730549,-0.176617307749571,-0.15708232240928388,-0.1699555646023277,-0.15845748824272865,-0.055522152544324875,-0.12943604115420038,0.1686146504150015,-0.17420875852131987,0.13422261825598594,1.099378303734062,0.172955163071488,-0.024775894768908915;-0.21211882856631,0.3594027933694801,-0.2069980567099929,0.10041618173538026,-0.21533434196343762,-0.20147222229270204,-0.06592455884007843,0.21333803759556372,-0.028499409826046485,-0.09391183145274562,0.5533419447811121,0.392265043373192,-0.21908679738698103,-0.23039956329701497,0.30012400152593793,-0.1963782010117445,-0.20651248005711317,-0.040421926293964835,-0.19835604647203595,0.39152097120193274,-0.2068786432371633,-0.19951924755085204,-0.20839745174026023,0.22339343252564361,-0.19701048536335877,-0.21228454774673966,-0.2258420081995835,-0.20061144205506012,0.08356820705224571,-0.19639536708754818,0.2270203453830339,0.014482635997432379,-0.2023975709976344,0.12598875014250924,0.1682070037426753,-0.08289425190571588,0.35762209334230244,-0.231334858890181,-0.2058168332948697,-0.20707996957764604,-0.2041621034053718,0.31068277492282853,-0.20118378737364234,0.11380443026341547,-0.2061393479092918,0.43373127658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x_a{97}=[-9.806635664336444,-13.487746436115357,23.189926662307133];
std_x_a{97}=[1.3299331855843328,1.80688369581706,2.8152471368002003];
pred_a{97}=[-9.806635664336444];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.6 to 9.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{98}=[-12.211273895098271,-12.410065682548666,31.4904774241316];
std_x_f{98}=[1.0818137409314634,2.4263831448670254,2.6646844077022847];
pred_f{98}=[-12.211273895098271];
obs{98}=[-12.738402904515915];
sqrt_r{98}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{98}=[2.1714330770996755];
L_f{98}=[0.033348268793862997,-0.009805878719839678,0.04395317491835001,-0.06950870479810264,0.025812187364073515,0.059638065682158375,-0.08763642813096399,-0.0463577898688533,-0.08649258582064241,-0.08804274600350154,0.09899763161481193,-8.496495394412945E-4,0.017090875261259388,-0.0513987812935487,-0.025590711874210328,0.06406408959969366,0.04947462012509198,-0.08702757104857901,0.06022638569149512,-0.0010313857234024559,0.050915498584961486,0.059066236984348056,0.03904250686440238,-0.04416264960363102,-0.06268079685096328,0.03518633855895435,-0.006657573505822578,0.057084885757589285,-0.07184779995802805,-0.08101171402645777,-0.042631071927448305,0.12841575965509694,0.051000231235120264,-0.06517502335714076,-0.05597606468935634,-0.08871367631411468,-0.010025119624145217,-0.04668919376724913,0.050985304548108866,0.05023812874623527,0.05018647002129992,-0.022879959957497222,0.05299937826382698,-0.06689745731236711,0.04653521841677968,0.010827783327957719,-0.06299572354352717,-0.06529845946156299,0.004269600479054015,0.07063805041321167,0.03029782689278367,0.2134922608297478,-0.07444756120673203,-0.05708965668854261,-0.06255785867864494,-0.021708175545635578,-0.07699464815600558,0.04398825121942921,-0.08445421855958063,-0.07682113842689306,0.0988163295885111,-0.08757534807482704,0.03718585113205338,-0.05873564106734801,-0.08685018491440864,0.056434497364761575,-0.05873666581391982,-0.01934208923378031,0.05028890728602175,0.044093648297128175,0.066515775364463,0.018075435498745854,-0.06961503201289886,0.06156077009750309,-0.08534479801058922,-0.07035647734590023,-0.05501475832946347,0.024672834463002162,-0.09707699051921491,0.03601252667381791,-0.052074974479677086,0.07177601729195882,-0.07477289244859059,0.052918038432788604,-0.04067503440387048,-0.03233434485248425,-0.014554336199812695,-0.01055063899158398,0.006135997640433396,-0.06739273383351596,-0.04059435364631301,-0.06674688635871456,-0.07735990259380209,-0.08595880855238057,0.05411046331386778,-0.031840666165708235,0.030533386649863985,0.8866661243939855,0.05732726873674706,-0.06593757024410712;-0.1721833447027229,0.3046360299304482,-0.16353990075562325,0.07932080509920258,-0.17769154174883936,-0.15250709080087588,-0.07092216785341207,0.17849989875285155,-0.03746239258453916,-0.0959580714490028,0.43418176226832,0.332272665843988,-0.18425166352763064,-0.21059540026909515,0.25388010366600533,-0.1469099281857178,-0.16083662532874476,-0.04783165076201746,-0.15058110242550957,0.3318646988418241,-0.15997539324329638,-0.15230051363618755,-0.16762251548291474,0.18751644929617436,-0.18589290163886138,-0.17193328977809264,-0.19713467236756327,-0.15403720091754167,0.06377670816089652,-0.18515314530246582,0.19011918008297568,0.023645428252587444,-0.15760642911543224,0.10179726684292377,0.13917963005090717,-0.08623135722397278,0.3029557907604629,-0.21089498592944894,-0.16030310702849468,-0.16115618492281128,-0.15903674909646637,0.26284132540017485,-0.15605212952513411,0.09090348156190092,-0.16223474460923035,0.36762995586932384,0.11270033233652324,-0.18400598851952893,0.3482816180777732,-0.14033462586945938,-0.1775845867912052,0.7117284966269563,0.049560516616587204,0.1373311023461913,-0.20513397452247675,0.26477468471275395,-0.18877173336724717,-0.16334965208805785,-0.1342904961054131,-0.1610355698916114,0.4355442293335072,-0.0934830456249209,-0.17058341132032812,-0.1906584834372354,-0.11553767249015023,-0.15351689970735227,-0.19069426078028232,0.2754291277483851,-0.1588274673020026,-0.16268089852337925,-0.14552795341119823,-0.18256732170579504,0.07505059479503237,-0.15019221203440464,-0.03141750906959418,0.07491578581152929,0.14557690246411892,-0.1784247174723654,-0.09688470551731149,-0.1702711887790692,0.1540618544920956,-0.1393079375089479,-0.19405979894437556,-0.15718852618595747,0.2040213578509777,0.2323880800426071,0.29084946997253003,-0.19725473707700794,0.3529674355790763,0.08636928209264255,0.19753367191572985,0.09237389192412414,-0.15832115951108577,-0.03019710868600656,-0.15610218989195915,0.23337868620245708,-0.17375052045561903,1.3692735065175456,-0.15363737385168952,-0.18470188148542652;-0.28046579983550685,0.33959443218260765,-0.3010807806509542,0.25791687592427637,-0.26653744777057203,-0.32992633370227104,0.1503456936989922,0.3015450794770722,0.18287392020263638,0.12561787616140538,0.24057840563457533,0.3472430340665843,-0.24948959957315678,-0.09394491519749139,0.32620621397721977,-0.3361834351136052,-0.3120310949977521,0.1731329780318507,-0.3291248767963805,0.34708523115501766,-0.31541964900982655,-0.32709437576012734,-0.29068553198067065,0.3044501739368568,-0.03560679244208037,-0.28502981263142557,-0.1982670164026138,-0.3249657486793522,0.24803332163555464,0.01254774319265107,0.30440879580367153,-0.2955131812242964,-0.31236666444066963,0.2692037333821132,0.28484446383202616,0.1372674006946103,0.3393340363140456,-0.10696364297936364,-0.3141811429245897,-0.3149152335618533,-0.3117197544899693,0.32902183436407845,-0.3154598522642572,0.26445643222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k{98}=[0.5394746397914905;0.5771487433669392;-0.5446434295865327];
x_a{98}=[-12.4956466275775,-12.714297527926318,31.777574775655378];
L_a{98}=[-0.08054266270644996,0.023683135911924093,-0.10615560778308654,0.1678772652434075,-0.06234153603088547,-0.14403772017056413,0.21165930127830895,0.1119632283253832,0.20889669594011098,0.21264063927704235,-0.23909885401177225,0.0020520716291726757,-0.04127784293795028,0.12413821931322333,0.06180662893306695,-0.1547274430381669,-0.11949098964916405,0.21018879104204766,-0.14545862931485468,0.00249100044604237,-0.1229709960180589,-0.1426566408042468,-0.09429537350294202,0.106661530565058,0.1513865175474328,-0.08498196460951966,0.01607935634192634,-0.1378712858418564,0.17352664253698463,0.19565930688747285,0.10296246765585498,-0.31014944973684544,-0.12317564212140382,0.15741056771454404,0.13519326372764914,0.2142610686324995,0.02421264604380105,0.11276363426468666,-0.12313959122098916,-0.12133501392899501,-0.12121024789439108,0.055259627088435535,-0.12800397746405753,0.1615705862734524,-0.11239175334952958,-0.026151237589961837,0.15214712777680403,0.1577086903123236,-0.010311929335864929,-0.17060485819640264,-0.07317524238658414,-0.5156260212707718,0.17980557997346708,0.1378828085834098,0.15108959755413462,0.05242953605034793,0.18595729856214213,-0.10624032398542585,0.2039736359817544,0.18553823826025412,-0.23866097377149306,0.21151178086608183,-0.08981118281415584,0.14185818629976693,0.20976036845550813,-0.136300469279368,0.1418606612653493,0.0467149697882103,-0.12145765414243533,-0.10649487876701975,-0.16064874890368647,-0.0436557505772412,0.16813406648999638,-0.14868143148783056,0.2061245614399623,0.16992480356664447,0.13287151880046819,-0.05958977350366566,0.23446012601965274,-0.0869773722595797,0.12577135955361743,-0.1733532732056673,0.18059131924655644,-0.1278075256897115,0.0982382502916337,0.07809383591651202,0.035151599583889435,0.025481879221060235,-0.014819647501820176,0.16276677699735156,0.09804339031005499,0.16120692764972022,0.18683946024697573,0.20760751829962412,-0.13068746754196187,0.07690150427854471,-0.073744165774452,-2.1414740006966193,-0.13845668866011845,0.15925226921618507;-0.29402782662628757,0.34046374320125183,-0.3241315002754075,0.3332845768816045,-0.2720014627864286,-0.3704065344236688,0.24927481896031004,0.34787723358863665,0.27855534059041454,0.22572347790623046,0.0724743761869634,0.33537702813007075,-0.24669654948859582,-0.022799808332173658,0.34738082028917827,-0.3809807237472547,-0.34160191466863266,0.2701407565322325,-0.3706300893180302,0.3356330701449388,-0.3460052164197933,-0.36811066825077504,-0.31027202005827026,0.34887340592225796,0.043123760847296654,-0.3004935223647964,-0.17280991357125977,-0.36260809776959435,0.32628682577290485,0.1108391410230606,0.34588021538451635,-0.4455468948246371,-0.3439458397528086,0.33992707815020323,0.3436992302842393,0.2379015684413415,0.3395845439463109,-0.04030680154230908,-0.34658798006882235,-0.34471110370230945,-0.3424029225286278,0.34643777487962074,-0.3496958183997858,0.33532654527815553,-0.3322603496636047,0.3280685124213685,0.34286764165045414,0.05457482095760944,0.33268179004452086,-0.39842468475348497,-0.2882836771691868,-0.06830761488112329,0.32156937506073086,0.34591943073611187,0.02343350908704067,0.34408978857057426,0.09254340995983565,-0.3240694097967787,0.17427965997253234,0.11964562139486912,0.07449926598848099,0.22649077314844887,-0.3064492577328907,0.023943773745496482,0.20178661955253982,-0.35971147420027383,0.023911740516302248,0.34609926827583054,-0.3425679154986749,-0.32378574525749665,-0.38855646679893535,-0.24860949281522282,0.3294028540422948,-0.37511663571922,0.2804065548046056,0.3319770619205853,0.3465841801803513,-0.26857178781394775,0.25780523924795457,-0.30185006270662357,0.34432805169351594,-0.40155578298286204,0.0791377214019143,-0.35053502393402014,0.3526356240006738,0.35052799073008034,0.3440266098405491,-0.15870589516145173,0.3305483571494219,0.33260193633071145,0.34585315499388075,0.3362468149433027,0.12432851299406851,0.28387036388873516,-0.35380544728970403,0.34971484437135875,-0.28531027489808064,-1.8703361785837558,-0.36309386475676914,0.05621404537583169;-0.1654836617407299,0.30578455413242345,-0.14953378253224947,0.01825647426182707,-0.17753910994470146,-0.12429909870669366,-0.15181763429187167,0.14170716316970192,-0.11534553186180367,-0.1779464030458255,0.5819142458772018,0.34431351105955554,-0.19056164167531212,-0.27116376290228233,0.23797150575735568,-0.11529562702973385,-0.14144659963537728,-0.12693105990112333,-0.12146916191251898,0.3435290964599821,-0.13986712106157398,-0.12343875994228412,-0.15607012080001276,0.15218092401733965,-0.2517251188223235,-0.16371015840158404,-0.2212217922848174,-0.12814167190713807,3.079087319560649E-4,-0.2667741054785152,0.15742030204437024,0.14725398913404397,-0.13652198515640912,0.04448551540492708,0.09184351257130614,-0.1686101920493364,0.30476823332842656,-0.26794421316918937,-0.13838792965188879,-0.1416982221232918,-0.13868085816380055,0.2501335798733369,-0.13272227544617318,0.033799401047411214,-0.145385713115878,0.391854088122699,0.05761763489739462,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x_a{98}=[-12.495646627577505,-12.714297527926327,31.777574775655367];
std_x_a{98}=[2.612794078926234,3.5086553763139765,3.5947987482271704];
pred_a{98}=[-12.495646627577505];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.7 to 9.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{99}=[-9.67830842296373,-4.90972646833024,33.325091734228174];
std_x_f{99}=[1.874561134793228,4.086099378817954,2.659926513365281];
pred_f{99}=[-9.67830842296373];
obs{99}=[-9.807889128809814];
sqrt_r{99}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{99}=[4.549481105924215];
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k{99}=[0.7801947130414882;1.0775331628528557;-0.7573128991654385];
x_a{99}=[-9.779406604577028,-5.0493539761452775,33.423224874248376];
L_a{99}=[0.11800445899535496,-0.1309617512243074,0.12229225022960077,-0.09313515013126673,0.11475307149819919,0.12805039698149917,-0.04605999387914145,-0.1121226259125714,-0.05993694004799613,-0.03462611440674287,-0.10256107097966577,-0.13448487766648054,0.1104690114595252,0.059316390292596846,-0.12370412801183556,0.1287328274140641,0.1248373386646475,-0.055609303323341394,0.12753031975989906,-0.13423513119001182,0.12548967997848426,0.12735359443681227,0.12010870896467211,-0.11373672650249764,0.03557624124154227,0.11930859448821461,0.09604004674933048,0.12708243263044083,-0.08873283978671402,0.015092095491673898,-0.11343492727647903,0.08941823459517337,0.12436506832541142,-0.09818243996221102,-0.10470199172944182,-0.03967717580810199,-0.13009601869676113,0.06452064046921929,0.12527814960713202,0.12550361947460878,0.12451362184625839,-0.125050529549371,0.12490351822204725,-0.0955852500689069,0.12318428360305969,-0.1386731409011266,-0.10093201966705212,0.03165172445287463,-0.13636756997440766,0.12979488032002873,0.1172916888084338,-0.16102607312966732,-0.08549166575789142,-0.10540180053690351,0.044558937849012596,-0.1252168277432875,0.0211484853469388,0.12193253694838381,-0.012849823910657799,0.00794856076235312,-0.10338038807093228,-0.03537829868332766,0.1202140434269921,0.041950474483485274,-0.024013122964354674,0.1264024564354862,0.04188338634836847,-0.1273449402176481,0.12383240464136697,0.12165322991937116,0.12952486503199387,0.11083570048652204,-0.09120155702764902,0.12830580918963763,-0.06142409200476832,-0.09246108932173348,-0.10676511401859781,0.11378881802809264,-0.04510691299142956,0.11938051174560768,-0.10746705956476663,0.1302293358318133,0.026120923578131408,0.12555898162136273,-0.1170884871876617,-0.1209264501459228,-0.12905545924755724,0.0928373691884228,-0.1368723948441298,-0.09375584645463479,-0.11440852087735949,-0.09581142528837153,0.006517114845977174,-0.06231428168166381,0.12578757554381853,-0.12129584258750818,0.11639443270288799,-0.5465841944603439,0.12665540890494487,0.03132513355341959;0.2994683807425448,-0.24704919236970463,0.343845074636709,-0.35732725555327893,0.2675227527096462,0.41073858573290023,-0.3442570066303628,-0.3194617606653553,-0.3593433959854522,-0.3294338127613992,0.11444338996653364,-0.2273836301197591,0.2299135958533736,-0.08205895421565321,-0.2790810079091141,0.42778241398039735,0.3684974335529152,-0.3550813960122061,0.41181079320636227,-0.2266590975569032,0.3746415780463561,0.408001198370449,0.3226708791887175,-0.31584256647651704,-0.15384999825982038,0.3084974163667859,0.12416759641599426,0.3999026486929292,-0.35779049683290415,-0.2391487913021547,-0.3105182809255991,0.577352211847039,0.37308538504534133,-0.3520208044325418,-0.3355870224348959,-0.33767529425783893,-0.24509269865945993,-0.05866838212274539,0.375001480033394,0.3728816273971151,0.37067448073424475,-0.2735084232013147,0.380508485706886,-0.3532350501104178,0.35511843245362607,-0.20116112975331912,-0.3503062870664759,-0.16727261591116704,-0.2154275794358326,0.4529533688296598,0.2875114962955415,0.35510623179307255,-0.35905950871526315,-0.33963003107489464,-0.1394708566223455,-0.2711315450246841,-0.21932890608929537,0.343309256918907,-0.2891064176814649,-0.23764554576037172,0.11232268085862826,-0.32875985443129013,0.3165510193671026,-0.13183119242544444,-0.3107102651497103,0.39643294509600674,-0.13162213500642578,-0.2676934408992291,0.3698051714938986,0.34355606516791215,0.43837663802896953,0.23330341070344082,-0.354326869126494,0.417844355970184,-0.3579767277732464,-0.35903544178016633,-0.3366374690339256,0.2619591735773576,-0.369398971746066,0.3115446512785408,-0.3278514103032809,0.4576243602141707,-0.20479187233252663,0.3814340167556737,-0.31096541533188804,-0.2934106920241091,-0.25695277167482505,0.10422842498827663,-0.21107105640756768,-0.35178755162056496,-0.30634269511596085,-0.35299693686189565,-0.2407758141796455,-0.36131392934712026,0.3873379298759917,-0.29316764143145274,0.2867964092231903,1.6054215093988644,0.39902098980602907,-0.16993105038833767;-0.029318795979946563,0.1499390436865025,-0.00592774919281781,-0.05978947654487454,-0.0454853730699944,0.029279677247925198,-0.1782294043976428,0.030188728816518483,-0.15448776253575383,-0.19495062957063367,0.35901351671535314,0.17778227884217215,-0.06418806028988629,-0.20261689191548132,0.09977814931411355,0.03907520247937357,0.006456699716524368,-0.1631555622905458,0.03151888922261257,0.17619210168624022,0.009467376472836297,0.029015249589102555,-0.01579140532263269,0.03794732712594859,-0.2087768927829785,-0.025099861952113976,-0.11461192144253456,0.023426015936769684,-0.07305609730908913,-0.23766811908879654,0.04136536669709698,0.21594467525798075,0.010535652378943524,-0.04160846438501731,-0.006709027514942017,-0.19011683391928103,0.1487545270508124,-0.19516883068365673,0.010644316621240393,0.007834704648052476,0.008002371491138735,0.1090844287019711,0.01548241306294871,-0.04874705617480562,1.0598471143894784E-4,0.21111629575141996,-0.0303329926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x_a{99}=[-9.779406604577032,-5.049353976145278,33.42322487424836];
std_x_a{99}=[1.1740151727339836,3.5365210669247853,2.261343255715577];
pred_a{99}=[-9.779406604577032];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.8 to 9.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 9.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{100}=[-5.4593612597996195,-2.189745372595747,28.120359946309936];
std_x_f{100}=[2.175133577794616,2.8606418613574043,1.9900433846122472];
pred_f{100}=[-5.4593612597996195];
obs{100}=[-5.358080844845279];
sqrt_r{100}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{100}=[5.760709821487954];
L_f{100}=[0.17176652828286382,-0.11385499499214534,0.20151937715319698,-0.2130709231109024,0.15048475631705302,0.24604959681722222,-0.22921602358673662,-0.17550283042467985,-0.23285405854744878,-0.22456938421515382,0.11194150154837304,-0.09800345521602101,0.1254827269765802,-0.08195575213804829,-0.14067666127443584,0.257439275209873,0.21817240475865468,-0.23186736138441671,0.24737249010081733,-0.09845050683879368,0.22218111167021057,0.2445672825971097,0.18740395841915702,-0.17159953766998554,-0.12601424209051343,0.17785553190642747,0.054539893054668394,0.23892660229679927,-0.21602253333383842,-0.18050448412495146,-0.16812581926026018,0.3600419904493197,0.22075683551738742,-0.2066922214437748,-0.19126289758901735,-0.228180689847039,-0.1122906521873145,-0.06722492894174138,0.2227504931993141,0.22051602690505803,0.2196521362991204,-0.13567751037817039,0.22654796167281127,-0.20857786092025565,0.2088164517813753,-0.07817830660659965,-0.20335024394123846,-0.13444942134015242,-0.08867310145617165,0.2747058870686714,0.16437200982141822,0.287218664195621,-0.21930385348270506,-0.19367688514668344,-0.11845571318412658,-0.1338947835483188,-0.1683010754285777,0.20141913654005902,-0.2054148051694924,-0.17629416845538237,0.11031874807922439,-0.22327078003249706,0.1834261858427066,-0.11228368554036333,-0.2161853884100225,0.23695370933172774,-0.1125902297615171,-0.13028005330000936,0.21895338735847855,0.2013401860916047,0.2645165070226414,0.12739445215014988,-0.21190024927098786,0.25096895213668413,-0.23100376171602513,-0.2140862711966219,-0.1904954431627001,0.14694862293419897,-0.24807229880388443,0.18028212856438802,-0.1835605684342537,0.277115694124822,-0.15994404775897428,0.22674730911953644,-0.16643812472208447,-0.1521866864429539,-0.12198891018642304,0.04143796887053868,-0.08621250594008868,-0.20896928324463,-0.1644252989696184,-0.20832837212676067,-0.17801990841092752,-0.233353915506335,0.23044394924586403,-0.15160859363061235,0.1638421008846126,1.0514821828920622,0.23852808175627946,-0.1358087331213146;0.1383856851145299,-0.025265053443920268,0.18214982609204916,-0.21431534692876836,0.107810401442403,0.2472908572818316,-0.2985017013093473,-0.13638173350870214,-0.2854770227693389,-0.3059865342767945,0.2640247558948631,0.0012519373622915712,0.07175005940333444,-0.20233445110353362,-0.07223102389526807,0.2644973479165661,0.20603173537806924,-0.2908344671796877,0.249662473359329,3.276853219896718E-4,0.21157010680751573,0.24572527884955056,0.1616514050444385,-0.12910212349607902,-0.24308507416386443,0.14648301560813623,-0.026723194387999607,0.23614356819679677,-0.22455759679851386,-0.30165168147501625,-0.12434477528822016,0.4589070029631043,0.21073330833811016,-0.19914889228817978,-0.1681891027888995,-0.30523607399427355,-0.025364313432271763,-0.18474180489304312,0.21216118649240567,0.2093539380114576,0.20800944837289043,-0.06380954445762137,0.21927127595957172,-0.20510486031981803,0.19320138769295236,0.03442807934575642,-0.19016373360059674,-0.2515092995984824,0.01601698952684975,0.29137720543858914,0.12737858171839464,0.5739211455569799,-0.23306927152845106,-0.17099222613155388,-0.24136842141757273,-0.06125334525020934,-0.2906826658148009,0.18168197797453173,-0.304749990379675,-0.28632972258110434,0.26317163755837547,-0.30318409529868356,0.15458690610803744,-0.22949418458929338,-0.3075211177588084,0.23436187542677586,-0.22945814576219514,-0.052935549992638116,0.2084913171093778,0.18201400163230372,0.27559037826552973,0.07451290281268941,-0.21553546863084097,0.25529232715584277,-0.2812086643218624,-0.21756881333890565,-0.16439808482655313,0.1023382511852208,-0.32719860362547554,0.14997756660412828,-0.15464560107909783,0.29555160214001397,-0.2838036242517886,0.2190868084102731,-0.11727157305654928,-0.092932646380726,-0.039199016159007234,-0.04359875079454934,0.020973792296508077,-0.20806982359506795,-0.11839443072098435,-0.2045687784469829,-0.2882025645629879,-0.28372810732390624,0.22467459352315355,-0.09074281248940595,0.12672991663555797,1.8740524811379846,0.23694476752418406,-0.2533832864833285;-0.2221353150732238,0.20949512116937816,-0.22726115148236162,0.1971574916765338,-0.21613685561303503,-0.23262110488981044,0.1310647402763271,0.2076978934611467,0.1549903974439999,0.10995225070813949,0.09416674486654446,0.20767460920785558,-0.2091521831783299,-0.09386314379603927,0.20920769020851412,-0.23303236115838874,-0.23023788349159044,0.14774156363483382,-0.2317436083012989,0.2066301193685302,-0.2309114719859821,-0.23182210253119687,-0.2239360517931865,0.20881223870168358,-0.04167805199056424,-0.2234291247137172,-0.18023112419074583,-0.23218145624830952,0.19156464291677155,0.012220499846402812,0.20643262977706145,-0.1702194723507535,-0.22922944594873496,0.2012156511686683,0.20363855569712147,0.12011007933771024,0.2070675692322565,-0.10612020904107286,-0.23005236044714436,-0.23076135305992435,-0.22962109516976353,0.20940914498649896,-0.2291360864342672,0.1985892006459353,-0.22765353700722693,0.20602650017102758,0.2044923412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k{100}=[0.8264102808529057;1.0202929895062873;-0.421053060283533];
x_a{100}=[-5.375662083632304,-2.0864096752435457,28.077715517646624];
L_a{100}=[-0.08857346317655353,0.058710688905560415,-0.10391587528768474,0.10987256801906604,-0.07759926311330632,-0.12687841526031593,0.11819798203758229,0.09050013203039228,0.12007397824504468,0.11580188691131976,-0.057723973142164736,0.050536652970340386,-0.06470666787216221,0.04226146308407605,0.07254160168314215,-0.1327516390472165,-0.11250320800108261,0.11956517606041708,-0.12756058099255987,0.050767180482559966,-0.11457034563008302,-0.12611404221683836,-0.09663709091706393,0.08848735247123453,0.06498074999306439,-0.09171333066776498,-0.02812414768711811,-0.12320535800539822,0.11139460110668944,0.09307929453819684,0.08669608805711738,-0.18565995541668778,-0.11383590060964431,0.10658331426936485,0.09862699902011002,0.11766409982091697,0.05790401684200853,0.03466533804748125,-0.11486395402052786,-0.11371172477067289,-0.11326624925493335,0.069963729776136,-0.11682216402432749,0.10755566680163045,-0.10767869903068528,0.040313578149648054,0.10485998362854093,0.06933045098617709,0.04572534454236013,-0.14165537381410068,-0.08476039135632876,-0.14810773688605594,0.1130866530581471,0.0998718005549906,0.061083104226735206,0.06904444538006513,0.08678646099488445,-0.10386418501749453,0.10592459930049158,0.09090819494359952,-0.056887180921461784,0.11513224614426644,-0.09458590494767223,0.05790042440724607,0.11147857927308599,-0.12218801216893069,0.058058497598547205,0.0671804665260793,-0.11290593101259394,-0.10382347327517295,-0.1364010982149998,-0.06569247180589498,0.10926889606220695,-0.12941513962446716,0.11911985057010013,0.11039614439439863,0.09823125197294885,-0.07577581367234286,0.12792144571405945,-0.09296463423590959,0.09465520093707683,-0.14289801962341162,0.08247705979804527,-0.11692495991773193,0.08582580819802765,0.0784768837233432,0.06290503948796973,-0.021367983893937598,0.044456509056687035,0.10775750840127768,0.08478787054248348,0.10742701492349974,0.09179809337685582,0.12033173545993438,-0.11883117657926347,0.07817878325558367,-0.08448713747985884,-0.542209354396572,-0.1229998561257611,0.07003139635194672;-0.1830322283945214,0.18778597168185013,-0.19494307078223644,0.18439336669775083,-0.17378402137024349,-0.21312916063049814,0.13041851254491635,0.19202773097752338,0.15025085971533042,0.11423866113252726,0.05455435311943571,0.18464078737349487,-0.16305934548735032,-0.04897484655417365,0.19101001263419604,-0.21723559225775527,-0.2022231197663421,0.14304705940213258,-0.21323300705002493,0.18455308015516064,-0.2041860364182366,-0.2119209603262796,-0.18902803116811576,0.19200330902553228,-0.007281072242972843,-0.1863289387515976,-0.12878090495527525,-0.2109475546183435,0.17967431397725267,0.03611712160009171,0.1902604657552626,-0.21482114711799102,-0.2023576598161215,0.18762368336523774,0.18971136879494827,0.12174677282040497,0.18475943706456982,-0.058947235879771846,-0.20466041124828957,-0.20328641731090458,-0.20301435267177648,0.19007683685200652,-0.20465633018433166,0.1851962159804933,-0.19754615147489238,0.1807191433986066,0.19035517059192641,7.902154686822115E-5,0.18194642606691686,-0.222665861816407,-0.1802023478389985,0.036463558857748254,0.17730280570668,0.1914254168230983,-0.019708307800041045,0.18929711058117946,0.024250523126991403,-0.19522334377061948,0.0796322215767701,0.04356053226195863,0.0567378102986064,0.11461108856510413,-0.1886491278612651,-0.019383470422344173,0.09701553538623539,-0.20903747375383122,-0.018773811082876513,0.19085084612394745,-0.20122495080405006,-0.19474358417927287,-0.21938582359324438,-0.16387381555480796,0.18098262295315024,-0.21433302859732198,0.15105685239880196,0.1830398691957576,0.19206628856700023,-0.17263918620442786,0.1370063929943058,-0.18737515389046747,0.18884189615617838,-0.22300081372725553,0.015491486517532849,-0.20521382640825186,0.1941755715724352,0.19184651117316434,0.18907258818286643,-0.12113950118154007,0.18229884237854121,0.18296370126817918,0.18928621609214175,0.1852654422426884,0.04491697913696514,0.15293513190566815,-0.20654337477283077,0.19295458957105416,-0.179859421448685,-0.09353231373282234,-0.20940062419942757,7.486452296753265E-4;-0.08949302750990198,0.12157352703085868,-0.07164299094111143,0.03261894661077641,-0.09992886957030639,-0.0426156265109056,-0.04594144374949355,0.07217034258096955,-0.024825165593252412,-0.06346568546817301,0.18061069286436002,0.1319939593227089,-0.11225137181391945,-0.15715136735878915,0.10057375352276365,-0.0342314963225607,-0.06175985031668348,-0.03131204787353041,-0.040716559578669334,0.1306042453556314,-0.05933781791080267,-0.04296130321758399,-0.07921816064385233,0.07629890534798145,-0.13898931224330718,-0.0860847605718854,-0.13811409329682958,-0.04767652734743773,0.024746792704200195,-0.12716944957577128,0.07660178620075005,0.10781370273562718,-0.058755652532794876,0.0416028945511608,0.05594069793744142,-0.05609659481271255,0.12035399862567907,-0.1580329329300369,-0.05803901611757399,-0.06047351790677036,-0.06000037733755446,0.10463567411666709,-0.054190244659998325,0.03752030739819792,-0.066400398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x_a{100}=[-5.375662083632302,-2.0864096752435435,28.077715517646624];
std_x_a{100}=[1.12163362549662,1.6858060720697583,1.7590917904544876];
pred_a{100}=[-5.375662083632302];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 9.9 to 10.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{101}=[-3.5051464580731433,-2.9003350626416746,22.541006817339653];
std_x_f{101}=[1.4478872218561967,2.0029933307140815,1.2701872966948133];
pred_f{101}=[-3.5051464580731433];
obs{101}=[-3.578310326961003];
sqrt_r{101}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{101}=[3.1226445794158333];
L_f{101}=[-0.16207150336002601,0.14996633625952902,-0.1716636356190316,0.15846757703244324,-0.1540623122103817,-0.18577012076171925,0.12023997634355885,0.1598125675581299,0.13526711459763752,0.10731558550031889,0.03382124900539418,0.14587823583766102,-0.14437281591140533,-0.037323836166885525,0.1543016288685408,-0.18883331955322913,-0.1776556781276214,0.13041926614073418,-0.18580680192880883,0.14598638492011545,-0.17911795358465804,-0.1848279377698884,-0.1666054199391385,0.15933291261527205,5.749877002919646E-4,-0.16419528088679985,-0.1131036823172071,-0.18376684196076631,0.15506437136339604,0.04159591040358799,0.15716776911699026,-0.17905119219977256,-0.17784854328431288,0.1601781422794344,0.15965064250006578,0.11352396796809137,0.14777280328800133,-0.04745436435910855,-0.17910428688122212,-0.17827102079255003,-0.17812720149610942,0.15364858743113904,-0.17940485526040154,0.15839896969175096,-0.1738968099971638,0.1410675365240988,0.16132871179139943,0.007686654622645539,0.1435110160282997,-0.1926336500358367,-0.15932905571106135,0.0240378177850142,0.1532145053906028,0.16167588996520277,-0.010449702919292907,0.1528232077826433,0.030484581027852075,-0.17121006689639162,0.07802978894153274,0.04662103848382972,0.03589995198203685,0.10738216116836956,-0.16686881849396085,-0.009973256285668686,0.09303723186473013,-0.18252783674544948,-0.009682469880016205,0.15384670897741468,-0.17640533663634542,-0.17134911714426357,-0.19029824267885334,-0.14516571199575248,0.15541477067918366,-0.18630834580390004,0.13608142133903006,0.15777154566296026,0.16102024392906958,-0.1527685392154565,0.12765262002733185,-0.16576175890131356,0.1576391537813755,-0.19262493262086183,0.022292901721118155,-0.17925819173034807,0.16008287195988774,0.15747418304847904,0.15156118913800423,-0.10636048319325613,0.14329617052875426,0.15733479726259947,0.15665783016137608,0.1589766094232839,0.04831039010496821,0.13737719593780495,-0.18039747490424263,0.1574411037135439,-0.1592893728036806,0.09040322538809067,-0.18288058537719673,0.008058351776744195;-0.2224827124076371,0.21772847159876882,-0.22534735368830566,0.19727966316165774,-0.21771731269749842,-0.22917526744942965,0.1233840693194002,0.21278107589207065,0.14965927138246116,0.10140348806430992,0.10290347131536019,0.21669537810747347,-0.21242431621535937,-0.10746128172995471,0.21658973326811515,-0.228560574722941,-0.22785719240129107,0.140849705597136,-0.22777730493940965,0.21669198651788882,-0.22871745412478886,-0.22798597737462495,-0.22410638916467193,0.21338658249441708,-0.05464682925850152,-0.22372272434261475,-0.18755303988436595,-0.2289282510696721,0.1905840992200945,-0.0010118915675906138,0.21135973555069465,-0.15841241099357792,-0.22697330408696562,0.20298782451843578,0.20745840851962657,0.11221063349320862,0.21452893612861446,-0.11850330158067808,-0.22801662530364272,-0.22803012080949314,-0.22759899151015606,0.216377047020734,-0.2268666496529778,0.19900864963214138,-0.22533704943217342,0.21554402058192818,0.20633641518033669,-0.04517034109773246,0.2157500154808154,-0.22661694285918402,-0.22138853934667166,0.1629070124041375,0.18652771016272385,0.2088267340128885,-0.07176295028434831,0.21564651824789752,-0.016074264243861075,-0.22537582231604408,0.05639449983551015,0.009717889637941655,0.10510734810682164,0.10310571432133755,-0.2251848587552362,-0.06916668364773129,0.07980868966468145,-0.22741189564889305,-0.06781790481391535,0.21853029229599152,-0.2256444929394012,-0.22511261427877616,-0.22823225917246937,-0.212280185166166,0.1936474079962335,-0.2276954461427575,0.15149785803859167,0.1958872058269659,0.2100500056712942,-0.21718558524988643,0.13004520505192024,-0.22494267016828137,0.20689916853463705,-0.2256867330498214,-0.027390212118255704,-0.22674514706336146,0.21675782641574165,0.2160675787824064,0.2181285897135342,-0.18085386088050423,0.21654012167025982,0.1958231976677906,0.21014448788117854,0.19935050993366826,0.011639078289266325,0.1529861317541471,-0.2279700251862373,0.21779096059655526,-0.2210065308208819,0.6623930164601972,-0.2279560885266921,-0.043833060834567714;0.037752695202454875,-0.0021410390737210305,0.05927113480019919,-0.06744203283090815,0.022605895075227436,0.093573154559994,-0.11089311230816107,-0.03998235073101463,-0.10050345853003925,-0.11706239508163656,0.09039837759396165,0.006613714915521213,0.005433319301107452,-0.10848017507735548,-0.019126843303774153,0.10295654716395834,0.07232104091353744,-0.10332397626904392,0.09563139089438924,0.0052271468150965695,0.07530268343480723,0.09282837115341185,0.04945733052599678,-0.03692611658711179,-0.11932020537828289,0.0418686445243135,-0.03916221485340362,0.08826579934330082,-0.07233809241334548,-0.13312663114467976,-0.03633251430090343,0.1985433580905478,0.07337013699847676,-0.06180945212738118,-0.05150266379407634,-0.11479987243935509,-0.0024298080961674524,-0.10255839992359896,0.07633047232303974,0.07426269600543192,0.07340116187245724,-0.015748878595975235,0.079200692119802,-0.06392530870821474,0.06516895807056201,0.01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k{101}=[0.6797586229979865;0.8932192206283965;-0.22320896798496265];
x_a{101}=[-3.5548802288415597,-2.9656864365878466,22.5573376490079];
L_a{101}=[0.1529626921984996,-0.14153786481788633,0.16201572338438505,-0.1495613152622501,0.1454036369964235,0.175329389884352,-0.11348219835129308,-0.15083071406170157,-0.12766477502719903,-0.10128418958712415,-0.031920412867947244,-0.13767952554452528,0.136258713865511,0.03522614614476815,-0.14562950347856893,0.17822042948215003,0.167670998586255,-0.12308938739911607,0.17536400948097855,-0.13778159638651827,0.1690510906197525,0.17444015985941694,0.15724179168092953,-0.1503780168887578,-5.426719984345664E-4,0.15496710828270424,0.10674698133929304,0.17343870020562857,-0.14634937799721318,-0.03925811945883208,-0.1483345597008674,0.16898808138644922,0.16785302425385965,-0.15117574259794117,-0.15067788958421874,-0.10714364591831436,-0.1394676137139301,0.04478731410797865,0.16903819201816173,0.1682517575025401,0.16811602119901026,-0.1450131645521615,0.16932186772620317,-0.1494965638203293,0.16412338795185058,-0.13313919918792136,-0.1522616473156927,-0.007254646009348401,-0.13544534922383586,0.1818071721840573,0.15037437675190857,-0.022686834185803126,-0.14460347897401318,-0.1525893132349724,0.009862404297310955,-0.14423417323967086,-0.028771273714942817,0.16158764632288036,-0.07364432574962747,-0.04400082316590243,-0.033882287700945896,-0.10134702354132835,0.15749038659879908,0.009412735118848527,-0.08780831401996633,0.1722693300853193,0.009138291613721462,-0.1452001511875201,0.16649092931616116,0.16171888160992554,0.17960302037884548,0.13700704726886048,-0.14668008402249347,0.1758373653751311,-0.1284333157567934,-0.14890440254210224,-0.15197051609459258,0.14418257717841299,-0.12047823350041688,0.1564455464374828,-0.14877945140502644,0.18179894470892474,-0.021039986632343854,0.16918344704188062,-0.1510858267011774,-0.1486237524270159,-0.14304308310052494,0.10038276634377473,-0.13524257856190036,-0.14849220046001135,-0.14785328055005717,-0.15004173879942356,-0.04559522913291078,-0.12965626468366798,0.17025869974110594,-0.14859253223084973,0.15033692412006744,-0.08532234508908011,0.17260225338931007,-0.007605452882825438;0.19147981650744456,-0.16531507722436023,0.21311536955646831,-0.20747772835628597,0.17578816513744439,0.24531819619514186,-0.18373250362494625,-0.19541168623598723,-0.1958395712703135,-0.17270164605683036,0.01651734248283831,-0.15590635735543878,0.15633228036235597,-0.0121288556825823,-0.1775270064294574,0.253756901730879,0.22591038714948208,-0.19226677763148498,0.24680984962785418,-0.15618598299446806,0.22878506484232758,0.24410096540777698,0.2014366553504302,-0.19358104647305716,-0.05611546105109474,0.19566435051428757,0.10133603309246393,0.24044844410313232,-0.20548083498135614,-0.10725603631982268,-0.19007769063941818,0.2989195862522727,0.22728689104611774,-0.20613868742375513,-0.20032076512963506,-0.17775193178362358,-0.16291189761304264,0.0027044880115265975,0.22945098621213889,0.22730916505881413,0.22737295155928147,-0.17607169627211183,0.2313686726804213,-0.20557350522996667,0.21882964085131185,-0.14477024168300656,-0.20572887782447966,-0.06480357038554059,-0.15080537452058665,0.26540732587260135,0.18556923832808492,0.10150969311241863,-0.2048123021346561,-0.2041253204017512,-0.045072351646088686,-0.1746940429184004,-0.0939378861242203,0.2119283971105498,-0.14290894396109982,-0.10936142160002393,0.013411802607985976,-0.17116946716370743,0.20103095752792016,-0.04369302351660716,-0.15782671808758472,0.23880013626332453,-0.043086970414104024,-0.17442449243306268,0.22492946827005086,0.21254676685769205,0.2578269193645509,0.15850162411975813,-0.203312515045861,0.24817275022760155,-0.19608088435590748,-0.2070923845356735,-0.2012273996806539,0.17301534163243412,-0.1960047192939031,0.1984454979526076,-0.19574226689655272,0.2663152696877959,-0.08433067223621633,0.2311155677385357,-0.19212534637309736,-0.18615248891681968,-0.16898852736270537,0.09081175390375373,-0.1494665106255983,-0.20604085129142669,-0.18999045381732427,-0.2067070505309655,-0.11175516959588871,-0.1979022740832909,0.2328006431487505,-0.18434461596844448,0.18584988889548276,0.4314853798437749,0.2391569328416734,-0.0644156778352757;-0.06569352128018574,0.09357874981075745,-0.05029750153802212,0.03370388695958403,-0.07572825355871544,-0.024999300991516378,-0.03414692087515657,0.06202204311693218,-0.014165817861861035,-0.04856552142108494,0.11198564107823543,0.09972417080514329,-0.08671626442801646,-0.13230305298023648,0.0793600552110211,-0.017571072119278143,-0.041072167380062426,-0.0200805969025198,-0.022964477335308865,0.09840663157878957,-0.03902385897583238,-0.02514271238809924,-0.05688277233539369,0.06477212542027619,-0.1189532050056933,-0.06293312642188757,-0.11135348699813676,-0.029028013089448766,0.026635645697600206,-0.10657699432886333,0.06398377037039615,0.0842594278142463,-0.04014617233594418,0.04042827898823229,0.0503983773097843,-0.0423403423990355,0.09188990315633895,-0.13284734243827206,-0.037987346970130696,-0.03952327023270176,-0.04029300807968195,0.0823211997838482,-0.03530897250691429,0.03717682072018174,-0.04582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x_a{101}=[-3.5548802288415606,-2.965686436587847,22.557337649007906];
std_x_a{101}=[1.3665124519944178,1.903790967803966,1.2591592847924693];
pred_a{101}=[-3.5548802288415606];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.0 to 10.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{102}=[-3.914151921594072,-5.1282796938535125,18.867257689475654];
std_x_f{102}=[1.9390586937767575,2.685256085427654,1.6393362155522828];
pred_f{102}=[-3.914151921594072];
obs{102}=[-4.108641114284468];
sqrt_r{102}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{102}=[4.800731760392168];
L_f{102}=[0.20194836587836293,-0.17017386766068587,0.22286451644086133,-0.21049239268380926,0.18653056644503482,0.25317161709965297,-0.1885350128890332,-0.1990146588005045,-0.199969434986252,-0.17722442066486638,0.0023972413173899707,-0.16152231649525833,0.16707397924060408,-0.008919215256163548,-0.1822544406376372,0.26206264340331653,0.23539069139970048,-0.19648029870011152,0.25507700078768664,-0.16192130037516597,0.23801434010872743,0.25276584968827454,0.21216417714075764,-0.19666945407795805,-0.057041343544683105,0.2069638893935877,0.11092136336361584,0.24941951878269572,-0.20881549110448044,-0.11111697659666421,-0.19410441499994247,0.29224084528025435,0.23625267323935664,-0.2090899930808468,-0.20382029448998853,-0.18260061028195962,-0.16791546327385515,0.006216953648424674,0.23894144272559578,0.23732242420564043,0.2365518020048972,-0.18029307140305217,0.24047271594361616,-0.20817168847190556,0.22879664771131433,-0.1514052136892021,-0.2086008949136097,-0.06720125278280674,-0.15643152157580653,0.27204384066180387,0.19642006095169248,0.07840421092263741,-0.20796364481574353,-0.20668883308114933,-0.044834008836594386,-0.1792099346999113,-0.09706975461251544,0.22151912409607016,-0.14820411400344954,-0.11342000937721153,-5.670283475098357E-4,-0.1765038655286572,0.2116316476106731,-0.04395887766845335,-0.1635193310639734,0.24749347978580916,-0.04311800351921446,-0.17866639895225905,0.2340101146649392,0.2221545599201521,0.26561680231425117,0.16867623498605702,-0.206594426514591,0.2558523186582177,-0.20025564571871532,-0.21071220239052868,-0.2045384646143268,0.1832406176840395,-0.2005664411971525,0.20940608942285524,-0.19940153879841516,0.2729359095727016,-0.08724208278584704,0.23979910925726108,-0.19596694317539282,-0.18964397577006747,-0.17343404490718273,0.09985492174250939,-0.15540135163807606,-0.20896914652162427,-0.1931479176580234,-0.2096521762094705,-0.11598635975513422,-0.2017855817973582,0.2419980426604704,-0.1883808814357158,0.1967221270540401,0.33203464080114836,0.24799085222220485,-0.06617794140839406;0.26655098813998374,-0.20785026039969395,0.3004701478637851,-0.27881585087141597,0.24124733491146805,0.35129472561597797,-0.274660342886097,-0.2541185842965455,-0.28235963988536544,-0.2640614365843357,0.0234225044045526,-0.19519460745540332,0.20992981384580334,-0.058629480873704655,-0.22764806946165234,0.3643108507862549,0.3210671975787957,-0.2793788353430254,0.3533191560976806,-0.19569275046227394,0.3249443374071221,0.3493058291879306,0.28239949528508085,-0.25115874644021063,-0.12329126446446628,0.27441972864045827,0.1216483344259626,0.3436654348279006,-0.2790705415863272,-0.19420508327117242,-0.24804936429675167,0.4277212011481264,0.3226222523289603,-0.2747844192930953,-0.26444043862927125,-0.2693428274503971,-0.20555152576896568,-0.036106569876413606,0.3264392168325049,0.32372606742738097,0.32272916662747825,-0.2251873522060126,0.329419159487741,-0.2749911446409011,0.31009542094741677,-0.18000698847183105,-0.2721926868535967,-0.13615364799219398,-0.18750673195618942,0.38195221869166973,0.25674109182366317,0.16197991186035482,-0.2800580805350111,-0.2684835466898869,-0.10795488993284644,-0.22296318658676584,-0.17684882851711692,0.29815085025928884,-0.23485941503841196,-0.1943006487090159,0.019540936830880446,-0.2628104091097654,0.28177495836528826,-0.10564414693125496,-0.2508198299333102,0.3409853205240435,-0.10408716230957685,-0.22085518194829226,0.3193719046799223,0.29980975981127966,0.3707943136824544,0.21369645496887124,-0.27517760387283585,0.35487286735702767,-0.2817790831124368,-0.27922132029359825,-0.26401610550583726,0.23661213075906196,-0.2900686602732821,0.27738246431666436,-0.25747835686754567,0.3831583047430351,-0.16360122362634125,0.32870122117975087,-0.24820976848056228,-0.23796852885380648,-0.21426702439080553,0.10436587924473346,-0.1859292023173793,-0.27716078697591423,-0.2466468783318214,-0.27656757273946525,-0.19723201158261228,-0.28335618345924446,0.3321842861411328,-0.2365063549293582,0.2580911537033043,0.6676769794350534,0.34162446257837814,-0.13489465120280764;-0.18183687254982925,0.17717772393615813,-0.17610501776805842,0.17234140219332852,-0.18419575328126975,-0.16473567352458124,0.09754555419557893,0.18197124196586945,0.12431076425743284,0.07545537989273589,0.049586367087475505,0.1738588274372889,-0.18614752059944736,-0.12713559928532545,0.17824987864474542,-0.16139703488774534,-0.17301124174985263,0.11651819206902606,-0.16407724714610147,0.17309444501896837,-0.17188823631912584,-0.16532682210069397,-0.17851328904472175,0.18173907719269797,-0.08239368488685113,-0.1807909277114068,-0.18050469445673145,-0.1670421348044059,0.1651540185698176,-0.02982413556481579,0.1784164395831424,-0.0907618545515624,-0.17257693905069005,0.1758830219583715,0.177663199284592,0.08580705303229699,0.17410921378454694,-0.13789210703605484,-0.17150147185605094,-0.17244395139811014,-0.17287477803168175,0.17864533207940664,-0.1693551811382438,0.17276661257385767,-0.17496066727108214,0.16979730283126346,0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k{102}=[0.7916984222592115;1.0886876106935428;-0.5268532571982159];
x_a{102}=[-4.068128708593526,-5.3400176683493354,18.969724954134442];
L_a{102}=[-0.12067146496200953,0.10168505112457704,-0.13316962269042124,0.12577683051821809,-0.11145877123201595,-0.15127921332434732,0.11265650060102132,0.11891846869826302,0.11948898205965554,0.10589801197774518,-0.0014324385363491884,0.09651543586780043,-0.09983275548829904,0.005329554248143923,0.10890363114313134,-0.15659192365212024,-0.1406544660367841,0.11740409672141865,-0.15241774910773767,0.09675384319075812,-0.14222219119210755,-0.15103675259557697,-0.12677578229801195,0.11751712391255682,0.034084269308146495,-0.12366842196882295,-0.06627953315914913,-0.149037198645895,0.12477482107241462,0.06639641915273099,0.1159844201351202,-0.1746244925940387,-0.14116953141455807,0.12493884594817437,0.12179001012520894,0.1091104800469297,0.10033557268413455,-0.0037148550377881146,-0.1427761685935143,-0.14180874637272073,-0.14134827168904887,0.10773164196738653,-0.14369115981749342,0.12439012567524567,-0.1367142860385943,0.09047010041055116,0.12464659207380406,0.04015518315938229,0.0934735014699682,-0.16255605062100062,-0.11736810248439644,-0.0468493565178126,0.12426581205351407,0.12350406585717735,0.0267899445628107,0.10708442854650224,0.058002695103016214,-0.13236570202244008,0.0885573273762704,0.06777256467525315,3.3881998040138456E-4,0.1054674541790027,-0.12645757661087345,0.026267021984882497,0.09770872442207626,-0.14788632056714773,0.02576456921683947,0.1067596462456249,-0.1398295214211073,-0.132745397948415,-0.1587156623643643,-0.10079016134403178,0.12344765451342055,-0.15288102962422634,0.11966000334137761,0.12590817478142793,0.12221914279295239,-0.10949290765638081,0.11984571489949528,-0.12512772496431973,0.11914964351321786,-0.16308909411386044,0.052130305141691965,-0.14328865541842498,0.11709734819713759,0.11331914609884898,0.10363312514171302,-0.05966693336648832,0.09285793761033967,0.12486663575091142,0.11541287832055959,0.12527477073475457,0.06930605200189108,0.12057419557613554,-0.14460259779159082,0.1125644014736645,-0.11754859792404532,-0.19840272709977022,-0.14818351861710727,0.039543717539813866;-0.17709295875291847,0.16599087457878894,-0.18912278974757757,0.1835977738935528,-0.16852650185078535,-0.20487741750995342,0.1395168993104271,0.18308054002308302,0.1569369546148313,0.12526848508943714,0.01815619984657364,0.15964063812614376,-0.15710142827897405,-0.03903558199652776,0.17273189415707127,-0.21139326519882662,-0.1960434754400304,0.15225275931180007,-0.20703876954759878,0.16001899036823955,-0.1979300161617822,-0.20597491650023758,-0.18368673683973882,0.18088838828615178,0.002018225791471229,-0.18024241410835318,-0.12202579100378291,-0.2042640285455846,0.17965923442864748,0.049898768967188915,0.17836284461302487,-0.2142789530969505,-0.19638203851555006,0.18454838779715155,0.1833157960454677,0.1317976081168556,0.1633283042170459,-0.049764089917445256,-0.19847181310331768,-0.197628272345777,-0.19693225588331933,0.17088383879768665,-0.19885580009048906,0.18232431371077767,-0.1925293335784521,0.1526028164606769,0.18606566023600904,0.011475320883291612,0.15614496014095722,-0.21567877809391822,-0.1747581714189015,-0.010259924968497022,0.17680034362208877,0.18557434720780272,-0.009462700858742639,0.17072854945122504,0.036395823762765074,-0.18848650428822214,0.09071815423916467,0.05486254901175047,0.020786595308953673,0.12493658356534303,-0.18314140292875677,-0.009074462373562643,0.10840249459989844,-0.20271298436132085,-0.009364725808515334,0.17164250459433872,-0.19470589154916584,-0.18822353203815828,-0.2127176450661649,-0.15685465254205497,0.17867289591389637,-0.20718829108581838,0.15814626447739685,0.18367518654585646,0.18531781872888484,-0.16593428503815838,0.15053944863591473,-0.1826447491291726,0.18057067266671742,-0.2164324057090133,0.028053815392805315,-0.1980939466324587,0.18229407715705806,0.1786449037390102,0.16673612893288947,-0.11499728027303892,0.15545939319486876,0.1819065421330242,0.17766407932932066,0.18400024876139293,0.05756899264289898,0.15993015632020569,-0.19944153969453435,0.17733228840803347,-0.17407169400197725,-0.061742929012798785,-0.2031664793768556,0.01048628810794125;0.032857642351371674,-0.003736817299981645,0.060825788964892116,-0.05143640329217524,0.014107854192752194,0.10441509322488308,-0.10288901212561126,-0.02960440235074712,-0.08827991778502357,-0.1129547162117684,0.05213491240251014,0.0021418876401382942,-0.008528519971930918,-0.13661775866994189,-0.015507711574407067,0.1172059231232645,0.0772363405096466,-0.0923631337767662,0.10709916326145213,9.533391228367678E-4,0.08114858854902605,0.10339256686975404,0.04704181704652223,-0.02734334273925359,-0.14303524308106222,0.03923566989020783,-0.06258243152604206,0.09811971663734091,-0.05684104621587848,-0.14795435803008697,-0.027939046569662566,0.2199240291339348,0.0785870297916554,-0.04640387023775712,-0.03902139265167062,-0.10831855563324451,-0.004404381882301229,-0.13128276488116086,0.0825209705273826,0.07985728668517439,0.07860719935176479,-0.01302709535801277,0.08629518212137115,-0.048544015408937644,0.06827668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x_a{102}=[-4.068128708593526,-5.340017668349333,18.969724954134445];
std_x_a{102}=[1.1586578193274348,1.6215217697921052,1.2795373306599338];
pred_a{102}=[-4.068128708593526];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.1 to 10.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{103}=[-6.250183124164438,-9.35669433144016,18.05874180128742];
std_x_f{103}=[1.6411867277380783,2.12345566713174,2.382464860290721];
pred_f{103}=[-6.250183124164438];
obs{103}=[-6.606807858708482];
sqrt_r{103}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{103}=[3.7272895571995077];
L_f{103}=[-0.183836019038395,0.16645158570887986,-0.19279203125626412,0.18872077773780013,-0.17807498565243748,-0.2033941056169686,0.14386504615842727,0.1861524669916084,0.16172595921757657,0.12802083908767187,0.012129509045592768,0.15955010907809034,-0.16829221166581804,-0.05191690260760361,0.17439832537890104,-0.20751108939235838,-0.19756999996376404,0.15647227192483468,-0.2042170407590555,0.15941084937726197,-0.19857342396200234,-0.20397571394491526,-0.18890041872015853,0.1833294291412334,-0.0069136849265829725,-0.18594620051463598,-0.13703440086221655,-0.20239465068130702,0.18437495895266662,0.045055061265571676,0.18136083526119007,-0.19586642150636832,-0.1981758897996197,0.18899184074717776,0.18685423006323007,0.13557233305877,0.16385844824385756,-0.06471101089336205,-0.19927037962637953,-0.19957436791733651,-0.19852308747093153,0.17254331430937123,-0.1993361628034587,0.18749426391192459,-0.19513191192927798,0.15169221874097658,0.19036322049464774,0.002917363600733733,0.15567877768867316,-0.20966525739170463,-0.18269603609018742,-0.009732930657774981,0.18186688954219876,0.19000580556550292,-0.019941598011172453,0.17186959881617014,0.030119657426214207,-0.19230335760136844,0.09044249337754341,0.05068104508847994,0.014844120212059763,0.12757205112219952,-0.188999147505122,-0.01953172582066838,0.10980730689560154,-0.20203123728078867,-0.019600048544331495,0.1727027295836144,-0.19666475147334717,-0.19218804756989283,-0.2076957047720933,-0.16825828384495528,0.18322800373282633,-0.20495956714353022,0.16295831716511242,0.18855210585065404,0.18883585307319703,-0.17545099267956654,0.15566928255438373,-0.18847171432701554,0.18353650997889895,-0.2096916529084296,0.021648200586725824,-0.19904138646697175,0.18533375711368444,0.18071567805026892,0.16760159395992105,-0.12993282125878394,0.1549912901428892,0.18647690678848028,0.1805834782037851,0.18890105079041544,0.053760197414897494,0.16439243962298355,-0.1991681514776798,0.17956714240045543,-0.1815241210671743,0.025520294808986967,-0.20189695494803653,0.0022097652969937714;-0.24320029538711627,0.22616895460813552,-0.24327591696922873,0.2491490948264081,-0.2431114426056614,-0.23896048448826826,0.16757453376004364,0.24996374343974295,0.19868831570165857,0.14091563466935347,0.01642067488513282,0.21643900119427983,-0.23903135166970624,-0.12882929292079995,0.23461360069772064,-0.23858772195442543,-0.2430440774425009,0.18955781355455253,-0.23858748968607787,0.21646599065466288,-0.24220697029034546,-0.23993017964291577,-0.2437498332620783,0.24697413139662314,-0.06739627284195933,-0.24294970445765735,-0.21984367980190028,-0.2400124815747861,0.24098612508225,0.008150946030355781,0.2428880366130222,-0.1874820204623131,-0.242116179932775,0.25058731787746125,0.2491781635648563,0.15357041969765986,0.22138112902397344,-0.1446475820105626,-0.24270738965754798,-0.2432625403274764,-0.24312278220940478,0.23357779525707675,-0.2405079859270785,0.24775263534172523,-0.24264299795907496,0.20674482253044194,0.2532698603863042,-0.05328760383023995,0.2116898459777017,-0.23484978378405713,-0.24418844063255793,0.027917832998025558,0.23622818568071752,0.25396248082130957,-0.08652697218310318,0.23225780433024232,-0.0146552924187303,-0.2428562379859135,0.07949544356868804,0.017857848306531025,0.0194158590346447,0.14050203570548117,-0.24456148565705643,-0.08489479054042895,0.11096541200020325,-0.24034583303518856,-0.08475627903052695,0.2344872329704432,-0.2412748594728771,-0.2425645056029886,-0.23641092091819618,-0.23787298340562255,0.23990941313150924,-0.2387530064583726,0.2009749172535124,0.24834047219328245,0.2523882968646556,-0.24099397940449885,0.18548130831537665,-0.24543503327789165,0.2450568594974118,-0.23421694876438154,-0.027968567772470455,-0.24158985515009923,0.2508825216185033,0.2445178451934004,0.2267407929863302,-0.21292448328533345,0.2106753779617905,0.24527001424811185,0.24270292333281063,0.24983523207528788,0.022291008596301697,0.2035093804479249,-0.24019770694179027,0.24305268068313832,-0.2431660933626102,0.31031181848920747,-0.2399511457160603,-0.05429010296335277;0.22818570585540676,-0.18105746383780702,0.2629717022069811,-0.2345665249815026,0.2043323543610903,0.3127041270893385,-0.23979043139054665,-0.21543508992651095,-0.24251412392783725,-0.2341011587947462,0.0024161017247792344,-0.170948622814299,0.17308241367513374,-0.0740558878116841,-0.19598039594035552,0.32816811265080365,0.28243813075111235,-0.24168617011918223,0.31585144839276047,-0.1719338722737859,0.28709080521947516,0.3124400949061746,0.24636231247721138,-0.21174470338193613,-0.12860514454536817,0.23583449988834893,0.08834649308885603,0.3060496034980675,-0.23484726041846732,-0.18628456020689915,-0.21077104243719813,0.39427832000531815,0.2843518459842888,-0.2311000757657372,-0.22395497259911248,-0.23633213941178594,-0.17947158449913167,-0.05587740388398446,0.28910050706082696,0.2875193547717656,0.2844287442093298,-0.19293562054458885,0.2919719394276516,-0.23124167360045417,0.27237773871663873,-0.159603135135806,-0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k{103}=[0.7317085285020496;0.9316631905919543;-0.9732663559363407];
x_a{103}=[-6.511128483905094,-9.688948469469473,18.40583265711387];
L_a{103}=[0.13987755522652015,-0.12665004929024745,0.14669202553634966,-0.1435942811887024,0.13549408745006772,0.15475895523631975,-0.10946435331037278,-0.14164009924917595,-0.12305440419319488,-0.09740877812356936,-0.009229127568526903,-0.12139883854483817,0.1280505488239613,0.039502647248732294,-0.13269658208006,0.15789149492261775,0.15032749689419217,-0.11905696703002444,0.1553851119404696,-0.12129287831682972,0.15109098435689597,0.15520149066239164,0.1437309668151769,-0.13949209998935777,0.005260499820412667,0.14148315475769374,0.10426703686688549,0.15399848776269467,-0.1402876250159805,-0.03428159428916377,-0.13799423194035043,0.1490312743638985,0.1507885076875035,-0.1438005282085327,-0.1421740582813622,-0.1031545754951084,-0.12467697714219506,0.04923745655148073,0.1516212855184653,0.15185258479909042,0.15105268421665966,-0.13128513717018195,0.151671338767187,-0.14266104864639464,0.14847239909847829,-0.11541990963121739,-0.14484398665245798,-0.002219770044586614,-0.11845321138724477,0.1595305630164108,0.13901016248907222,0.007405613724231357,-0.13837927963671415,-0.14457203599364957,0.015173207033656917,-0.13077251904126402,-0.02291751130750507,0.1463202024490789,-0.06881608364027561,-0.038562305256517944,-0.0112946268941879,-0.09706730334755045,0.14380608779061682,0.014861342578241923,-0.08355042561793645,0.1537219729737705,0.014913328122763688,-0.13140643341530106,0.1496387094281976,0.14623246509825807,0.1580319654795279,0.12802473374886733,-0.13941492720113044,0.15595008705195626,-0.12399208342366838,-0.1434659417515628,-0.1436818399634542,0.1334975378952164,-0.1184459867085454,0.14340477327192347,-0.13964966411339863,0.1595506468953355,-0.01647173056163773,0.15144704869877657,-0.14101715747333263,-0.13750334330017838,-0.12752507010220526,0.09886357133074812,-0.11793011434861217,-0.1418869597166838,-0.13740275478969902,-0.14373144774618657,-0.04090517746318477,-0.12508328167933014,0.15154350193943542,-0.136629442964288,0.1381184732041882,-0.019417938145166267,0.15361979993655092,-0.0016813710881289912;0.1689747848391513,-0.14702883357404845,0.1889792600395779,-0.17397800568045915,0.15614693930183277,0.21706539247937234,-0.154982423534168,-0.16740499864860112,-0.16391423935722021,-0.14611734122735925,-0.01077465598704125,-0.14128512356299547,0.1382932673448469,-0.012427438652409329,-0.15640141437047567,0.22666876241424444,0.19992368813101466,-0.16126555376572885,0.21928347378846683,-0.14094590269844304,0.20301055226299497,0.21739970978368467,0.1797800367167504,-0.16406513370159392,-0.051895237439978155,0.17395657166705897,0.08739842359322403,0.2137725373692546,-0.1723973016017138,-0.09286611030536608,-0.16373748331880114,0.2516661857505194,0.2022100391854179,-0.17314752760898652,-0.16976398754234334,-0.150393610568303,-0.1460026372474122,4.3968786185398664E-4,0.204072763322525,0.20419917875084248,0.20198188189892624,-0.1532781364040512,0.20641965820533814,-0.1726245229219236,0.19485837894659694,-0.1333612826621655,-0.1735397283435556,-0.05982856670830623,-0.1373544437050215,0.23523651779125043,0.16543070650947564,0.04973984315517116,-0.17153194848483783,-0.1720457550079333,-0.04181631208999954,-0.15308760322950243,-0.08218597699825594,0.1883032935451208,-0.12328387116379047,-0.09577311440993463,-0.013865847517193964,-0.14552472162405025,0.17918974216598454,-0.04110309672981565,-0.13523136579050954,0.21262438395492886,-0.040811400200707795,-0.15272612050494236,0.19966326647335558,0.18833649160096985,0.22925948591980916,0.1393755667168867,-0.1709024480767309,0.22078276064764688,-0.16439068303747018,-0.17440845243173128,-0.17099681176187975,0.15238120007202713,-0.16354169251569517,0.1771336471116423,-0.16644669742633883,0.23592853367374372,-0.07650556754140309,0.20467687682388466,-0.16465060734364056,-0.16066118059347267,-0.1490354058120827,0.07839530979166605,-0.1368275095744961,-0.17282614785293562,-0.1621796998088385,-0.17369605505568636,-0.09824366028073403,-0.16507163726897559,0.20635324234026908,-0.15955123617741673,0.16382552642566878,0.25309327331338244,0.2127179995278097,-0.059244573764743326;-0.20239494001588132,0.208805369657628,-0.1885857116849192,0.20745520064508616,-0.21275480155547027,-0.16368546087642546,0.0971702187433135,0.22057113935894754,0.13628034920266457,0.06574919625369129,0.03082583267017248,0.2027495750417504,-0.22109153315647792,-0.19565563509379827,0.21249528784191155,-0.15786427296866046,-0.18031023942231203,0.12480311886107896,-0.16246561791399117,0.2014381515700096,-0.17800778421731314,-0.16531173583878614,-0.19608016818211493,0.21764940784694228,-0.1447983744499875,-0.19968861214217257,-0.2326154225274458,-0.16799906154101726,0.19699569029159386,-0.08075661480764311,0.214012229040248,-0.0644799294272703,-0.17981563910586504,0.2115565335265239,0.21369492585525043,0.08120532161499307,0.20431760352485218,-0.20744350617011126,-0.17763049163765512,-0.17992364517294784,-0.1805519471194079,0.21119525709688713,-0.17491313660030275,0.20790731186303732,-0.18466014269581632,0.19569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x_a{103}=[-6.511128483905093,-9.688948469469478,18.40583265711387];
std_x_a{103}=[1.2487497735591702,1.6364396558094307,1.9119463515976838];
pred_a{103}=[-6.511128483905093];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.2 to 10.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{104}=[-10.356819308545536,-14.368564563009642,23.505601958425654];
std_x_f{104}=[1.2352220062825796,0.9878514904875906,3.44729653485071];
pred_f{104}=[-10.356819308545536];
obs{104}=[-10.961648724598485];
sqrt_r{104}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{104}=[2.5401848083640344];
L_f{104}=[0.12004750542711068,-0.0954385214906296,0.1398066296200549,-0.11596983274205051,0.10764309514770352,0.16780730448380907,-0.12297484157138851,-0.1088099664228467,-0.12216919255582635,-0.12120656775757102,-0.015293191237946275,-0.09188303073428677,0.08967873400082335,-0.04683919227124483,-0.10190678824634555,0.17691158471629742,0.15070134234806745,-0.12261832189048594,0.16978834368070592,-0.09197126135083995,0.15363643738007182,0.1675516116566929,0.13053802381921362,-0.10684585538152534,-0.07519927066577844,0.12470827639886758,0.04128050187365335,0.1641166014248211,-0.11728565601378425,-0.10192199627679388,-0.10704213711877628,0.20599947240588076,0.1527206688694072,-0.11495467017619025,-0.1117565488906492,-0.12187944883462296,-0.09552658167576066,-0.03662372207985695,0.15478827094918202,0.15427533498267085,0.15228108797767115,-0.09980007119690447,0.15665921551244327,-0.11485838024001493,0.1453797888833081,-0.08679171330926418,-0.11347216603320391,-0.08099330376080462,-0.08990982423063236,0.18606019183198194,0.11672746308218437,0.04666293688672177,-0.11724899013690851,-0.11202370881904476,-0.06887039445092996,-0.0996164272871905,-0.09605994385243348,0.13874527504075115,-0.11514942589152723,-0.10210275961587228,-0.017394045650415087,-0.12082112574782368,0.13000093481532665,-0.06800955164678471,-0.11874696106235078,0.16275571520737278,-0.06765446546587763,-0.09899509632695838,0.14988988570465894,0.13913830855061093,0.1798020438688776,0.09078084131657813,-0.11573438705397499,0.17079372571011756,-0.12195710182880432,-0.11674042040859484,-0.11113917947337577,0.10364443220541461,-0.12616240463759357,0.12810643893916715,-0.1095349591916337,0.18652174000259988,-0.09230258311732716,0.15451287524045085,-0.10651158441539563,-0.10367764990743888,-0.09784836122183659,0.03267649671478903,-0.08901739659427345,-0.11571258619909656,-0.10598997124889617,-0.115434028601711,-0.10345483096655539,-0.1218250526859063,0.15679195799721568,-0.10311376141092911,0.11524292456416886,0.29282014247550336,0.1632388914006717,-0.08044184404017102;0.015379402953691114,0.012951130531272791,0.04567238229260521,0.001876167617486407,-0.004347194512686622,0.09052327494030613,-0.06826773948379883,0.013770953341726167,-0.044200562224366226,-0.08555445336839271,-0.025496528611484718,0.01164692835419203,-0.029603783190790326,-0.16617956678030069,0.012236700706112786,0.10482080501468667,0.06248910716011785,-0.0516456765439386,0.0936544355916646,0.011115328868666991,0.06683541898978373,0.0904373633053128,0.03120848326186621,0.013120471890666813,-0.16718008039824508,0.022593709732809875,-0.09036626906457108,0.08461455372802129,-0.0049998338179311165,-0.1542987829110418,0.010659962872249271,0.17685719559955645,0.06602390764951127,0.00510694872447746,0.007285124599181287,-0.07733720332729906,0.009739186878469083,-0.16114160936136132,0.06843914837967571,0.06735390424388804,0.06451513680747606,0.01227869832570332,0.07238627131053656,0.003684554036849322,0.053970836947176366,0.010633316588701631,0.008742382333183295,-0.16567805082558593,0.01081888676463858,0.12028742089220054,0.009229636801440105,0.0703399873201055,-0.009972309388900756,0.011805393006618209,-0.17036031008749045,0.012120957371177844,-0.16153011672313997,0.04421697592422156,-0.12086377961012068,-0.14725691089687812,-0.02568440205757654,-0.08508365222647302,0.02937234127065643,-0.16801123455273045,-0.10373381644283505,0.08261117702459053,-0.1673884281941341,0.01397458121418996,0.061905409369178266,0.04482142209897896,0.11070031692930926,-0.02691764809703838,-0.004524867288467735,0.0946603713764908,-0.041828716750379094,0.0012859981275496503,0.010874512069412279,-0.008145777825643765,-0.059704393645008895,0.02592593542930569,0.006993179342296441,0.12199796377173129,-0.1639967532204677,0.06904075542295618,0.01637337463902786,0.014809574041994112,0.011507006506275461,-0.09975600887505437,0.010898611744797603,-2.3834953000078166E-4,0.011225393367874299,0.0035885778720414012,-0.14563002434860706,-0.04045806539170911,0.07316977302728483,0.015085757756301112,0.008423726363912873,0.5886149636589695,0.08329731674717503,-0.1652175912558415;-0.3901606780197851,0.34430634823241363,-0.40942814088178714,0.3872499413696523,-0.3782143499651252,-0.43206957745285796,0.30739195810935266,0.38183948565124437,0.3399093099443376,0.2770230094887265,0.0352138722978674,0.3318275559780978,-0.3554385937001828,-0.09150894325566217,0.3602611849369645,-0.44174323852730313,-0.4196546789639579,0.3306223027599989,-0.4347004110898862,0.3314988295622134,-0.4222678485479958,-0.4336666091436644,-0.40110391259746186,0.37632134914359194,0.006047538147244472,-0.39464388051876914,-0.2830769802160479,-0.43077669467925395,0.380532287635875,0.11364302405006578,0.37336116717836226,-0.40977993914857697,-0.42194005525675576,0.3880874251277905,0.3833417271762986,0.29194346739642785,0.3397585198011391,-0.12188940718882865,-0.4232874910695147,-0.4252862423852377,-0.42249814021320065,0.3554600955992541,-0.42451851855848083,0.3850706371218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k{104}=[0.6063278558680795;0.30086987558008665;-1.5721790928401234];
x_a{104}=[-10.723544231546862,-14.550539514164669,24.456502121078803];
L_a{104}=[-0.16333601540249879,0.12985315905335637,-0.19022017765173568,0.15778795502320364,-0.14645863889019495,-0.22831775114611705,0.16731893383007349,0.14804627791602398,0.16622277194360457,0.1649130296185537,0.0208078369534402,0.1250155767073061,-0.122016421964959,0.06372916290961002,0.1386538493690787,-0.24070498777374758,-0.20504346747868604,0.16683385499495723,-0.2310131428381481,0.12513562282815668,-0.20903694260879896,-0.22796985680712537,-0.17760936050514264,0.1453739185849734,0.10231573899034477,-0.16967743629685134,-0.056166037485483794,-0.2232961996399519,0.1595782573657155,0.1386745413367018,0.14564097850216862,-0.28028181741954683,-0.20779095270646084,0.1564067300830981,0.15205538279190953,0.16582854813411438,0.12997297328609392,0.04983004696723511,-0.2106041214095238,-0.2099062233846671,-0.20719286121719752,0.13578746104045863,-0.21314971891206944,0.1562757184936253,-0.19780298933969725,0.11808835653397726,0.15438964260867225,0.1101990704722003,0.12233084213721629,-0.2531525353295454,-0.15881878294807567,-0.06348935074442769,0.15952836996315087,0.15241887920963273,0.09370470272406715,0.13553759608609,0.1306986631069211,-0.1887761040968884,0.1566717137027644,0.13892048700155238,0.023666248608497555,0.16438859921230023,-0.17687859998247069,0.09253344445412852,0.16156650146184418,-0.2214445848864143,0.09205031603169689,0.1346922163930305,-0.2039394037637868,-0.1893108634589572,-0.24463773155702243,-0.12351594348238547,0.15746760883694066,-0.23238106043091378,0.16593420239663786,0.15883641261941814,0.15121539315372398,-0.14101807875854208,0.17165591566260516,-0.17430095868532405,0.14903269933001323,-0.2537805153849144,0.12558641751115804,-0.21022941943164397,0.14491911123618176,0.1410632745922263,0.13313197453605585,-0.04445947253728729,0.12111660970781829,0.15743794670647385,0.14420940705787022,0.15705894267923323,0.14076010829292968,0.16575453701532444,-0.2133303276507533,0.1402960508184085,-0.15679892751350025,-0.39840957237200114,-0.22210199191765595,0.10944875722659961;-0.12524017081037847,0.12474457567565307,-0.11809235897892392,0.137719293983649,-0.13043666304817242,-0.10604050659814518,0.07578081649366977,0.14122725528840518,0.09890428383785906,0.056422806674083205,-0.007582603405615669,0.11927559229049754,-0.13465040874148865,-0.11131372655145144,0.1316068540123572,-0.10240742141302954,-0.11403733086341333,0.09198526437865082,-0.10522986803082703,0.1188473431548903,-0.11312908974491333,-0.10582690833298956,-0.12169932772640207,0.13827608082025,-0.07909420680371894,-0.12348533297339681,-0.1387208480088585,-0.10762606349978363,0.1323846032731958,-0.03491081543405054,0.13604548956756782,-0.0644435953021452,-0.11286790093054214,0.13976094811291037,0.13819295324946715,0.0654282467730403,0.1216357827351828,-0.1182418242287988,-0.1128745791077071,-0.11335898746000692,-0.11386176163420472,0.12918111477660926,-0.1111190171433649,0.13822576266187103,-0.11632211394711556,0.11229818407911632,0.14165982668077204,-0.07080524349762886,0.11613620356794721,-0.09765717343142018,-0.127500952033195,0.015680606667047407,0.12736917853839624,0.1430261637303289,-0.08968786730580121,0.12880825957863107,-0.04900875851356663,-0.1183045306126642,0.01401835001376674,-0.027657203379117586,-0.005309607290356325,0.05644211412666233,-0.12290634188583188,-0.08834715381710052,0.03536234378937356,-0.10803534427295629,-0.08814028336013748,0.12993407742114846,-0.11367051588094544,-0.11816047055284376,-0.09991369525523887,-0.13325524475481898,0.13104246598908387,-0.10540160263525993,0.10102769343200804,0.13803176473460507,0.14105917513618116,-0.12955134829452408,0.08807796553079433,-0.12413359955200373,0.13529871321400505,-0.09648727241523294,-0.05587663986116159,-0.11195038287741738,0.14113742990315506,0.1362540545997053,0.12612325612823577,-0.13803214817331372,0.11517056910149726,0.13530344696600918,0.13537844867092838,0.13880408145197856,-0.02444654633636423,0.10224366690608416,-0.11049100546835208,0.1358697184660776,-0.12656792443201034,0.24561538630048504,-0.10791518074548644,-0.07099074512955761;0.3446392200747378,-0.23986419005658535,0.44631556518072285,-0.32259089187146284,0.2806592773018438,0.5950637211152363,-0.4453258991535077,-0.28417645491089905,-0.4078772427284868,-0.4648714040584688,-0.05839436490124691,-0.23058014570599308,0.19347680750372523,-0.3782073930509196,-0.26350102779822976,0.6411165340166981,0.5027745760721071,-0.4199133298555119,0.6045586488159554,-0.23144892372746043,0.5181268571048175,0.591901616808885,0.3979074975818018,-0.2776724457864998,-0.45424038058461536,0.3686841741826255,-0.030402770434416665,0.5737661450367986,-0.337362580568652,-0.5102122756608544,-0.2818340504719825,0.8511241570491823,0.5128493143591242,-0.3155396900748736,-0.30070997755574724,-0.45406959022494736,-0.24495102689815504,-0.34605989000207366,0.5241574834430531,0.5190190975753218,0.509600594613537,-0.25540709305580034,0.5343783380197223,-0.3179670961104092,0.47479812649182573,-0.2150837238479691,-0.30413123785822194,-0.4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x_a{104}=[-10.72354423154686,-14.550539514164656,24.456502121078792];
std_x_a{104}=[1.6806366773375145,1.132792484645057,4.553230276168628];
pred_a{104}=[-10.72354423154686];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.3 to 10.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{105}=[-12.4595633401149,-11.359072770515985,33.19609414569025];
std_x_f{105}=[1.0344407702663079,3.9134519473139266,2.319453309489418];
pred_f{105}=[-12.4595633401149];
obs{105}=[-13.158367021877737];
sqrt_r{105}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{105}=[2.0706105819051017];
L_f{105}=[0.023299672013769115,-7.458919747543701E-4,0.05540150885314422,-0.011174066285104185,0.002643912313596827,0.10424021035205834,-0.07303995025618257,-0.0012039820586544619,-0.0523427154119533,-0.08842354335046891,-0.02899720005740926,-0.0020646404993046176,-0.02351149436562826,-0.16105196722448606,-0.002403666579339182,0.11906638826833116,0.07372501885006079,-0.05815488086733545,0.10699667095751379,-0.002232230681537632,0.07878190790958871,0.10340410345997024,0.04000007136243436,-0.0017531463080558782,-0.16171194282445017,0.03147830883021121,-0.08676028519370833,0.0973651733335657,-0.01728665226962783,-0.15057825652738,-0.0036175895207508474,0.196829712500387,0.07712261755489236,-0.008954196789588966,-0.006126352368017516,-0.08097569191453383,-0.003124257938959587,-0.15745275680564613,0.08046283777498123,0.07859989652645798,0.07604963692781001,-0.002183241498266492,0.0843481414485388,-0.01009394784638632,0.06381551545270345,-0.002419199584460632,-0.005194637188817609,-0.16150946802793958,-0.003257964220912419,0.13683792443856435,0.017233521493360084,0.06719005607943704,-0.021192510568920703,-0.002324803093629681,-0.1655921139274376,-0.0019413014158119947,-0.15705771118865985,0.05363482267594769,-0.12040038761868505,-0.14403491334914684,-0.029818990905511978,-0.0875331389825381,0.03826747049341503,-0.16311405281009014,-0.10422367147790329,0.09444537445409681,-0.16286426134067084,-9.409043177482141E-5,0.07254876600712971,0.05462944398203783,0.12543958556286244,-0.02105106255279508,-0.01627253889103221,0.10850800150041687,-0.049785893881044076,-0.012207293408313093,-0.0025235413713959507,-0.0023190223788368755,-0.06525436253783677,0.03449326369035341,-0.006841003454977202,0.1380824071417391,-0.15914168735290857,0.08090736298446168,0.00123880327324916,7.226837350612258E-4,-0.002943290002770492,-0.09592440150522004,-0.002323736495950799,-0.013163820418464802,-0.0028973185205502777,-0.009456021873025878,-0.1426059791473345,-0.04834766499633491,0.08526140947286764,3.2991783304153164E-4,0.015690124768564222,0.6269210178831099,0.09664107923200108,-0.16105793905245727;0.3119680871327975,-0.21718411573633362,0.39716515212287107,-0.2818428986095922,0.2579529002965287,0.5205681237319708,-0.38634861160648293,-0.25050942127808634,-0.35380572399356425,-0.4039502936631044,-0.06571717483811923,-0.21019133340184795,0.18432861543220536,-0.3178869602351544,-0.23477902839036735,0.5590486336962562,0.4443201147122574,-0.36456484811064843,0.5288847694315834,-0.21095283117477096,0.45701014021673075,0.5187822107295195,0.3565812668660454,-0.24619127146072467,-0.3890360200780471,0.3322140712118929,-0.007527915304396921,0.5037400295191504,-0.2929104953433546,-0.44084837694290135,-0.2492651420733531,0.7233233713857462,0.45273754974743446,-0.27576678399777427,-0.26386381573492634,-0.39444390337112606,-0.22111041089314695,-0.28784771302973106,0.4622652761462459,0.45849177848757394,0.4503605009086368,-0.2288726276023767,0.47074574349219606,-0.27741340450394314,0.4213919918873774,-0.1982506484898123,-0.26654862642271127,-0.40274560384636426,-0.2062011299035998,0.6023251603632434,0.29741777979233747,0.20868905873859916,-0.2986422984513151,-0.2596792970541418,-0.37834882595837543,-0.22836986043157845,-0.43496186353772803,0.3926607429386111,-0.43319378487886134,-0.43246223960351643,-0.07126819919280322,-0.40202422974052127,0.3537280051945386,-0.3732274054803884,-0.420837948730776,0.49691146484036597,-0.3715522220884296,-0.2242161672617998,0.44150697340246886,0.39543951806604866,0.5743971268346111,0.1893618287401768,-0.28864358228164333,0.532787302330774,-0.35139610159890045,-0.2845429341645115,-0.2574052734730801,0.2438673928192953,-0.3837303917020949,0.34551323470726186,-0.25848682151615354,0.604935632674898,-0.42832708222068894,0.46141163716668204,-0.2420724520380231,-0.23492861216228283,-0.2261560916811999,-0.042135592071956794,-0.20365833907721795,-0.2832828721847962,-0.2455583123067462,-0.2779108538288971,-0.4343962777556669,-0.34859080685933036,0.47232065876938223,-0.23422943961481774,0.2921595853728943,1.4839914525196316,0.5008369521223176,-0.4013285255645494;0.25504300746069747,-0.22455240499679932,0.2638764286803317,-0.27224954292295156,0.24981741091782178,0.2753558005626868,-0.2257894021142553,-0.26266004195354126,-0.24633213202805354,-0.20296050959088005,0.01645821214350123,-0.21281808506090094,0.239365502931289,0.08301626737846639,-0.24131099225935787,0.2794383469396651,0.2687168957941468,-0.24096347313425676,0.2758814226471142,-0.21241934964077097,0.27012095079276377,0.27402635003217807,0.25969815527672524,-0.25642287731165375,0.011059678244333165,0.2564015093027547,0.20253615932926516,0.2737324741238086,-0.26961474209104713,-0.0750469712448855,-0.25484971750728835,0.2781750253836414,0.2691042371342766,-0.2723104586707468,-0.26583487528306193,-0.213154290420438,-0.22140929314320631,0.10274750637950784,0.2706503453709933,0.27071117372188724,0.2692269992848898,-0.23548001897584278,0.2706956414133045,-0.2714718443591057,0.2671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k{105}=[0.5170506667265591;1.667100553527014;0.5295370125171575];
x_a{105}=[-12.82088024968135,-12.524048775189524,32.82605173171357];
L_a{105}=[-0.08768290144910651,0.0028069911231140597,-0.20849070484903373,0.04205100193185398,-0.009949749622921264,-0.39228380922839706,0.27486888040208324,0.004530906706888614,0.1969796465088726,0.3327614583071427,0.10912422429943591,0.007769794755968038,0.08848004564889607,0.6060816547968605,0.00904564062825243,-0.4480786846382833,-0.27744697686487463,0.2188523806198507,-0.4026571081947369,0.008400481463656101,-0.29647740376460174,-0.38913731522725614,-0.15053097370455956,0.0065975587495087605,0.608565319607948,-0.11846130062744348,0.32650217272760845,-0.3664112049704827,0.06505429889515203,0.5666662783779097,0.013613957537422165,-0.740722885422088,-0.2902330500861331,0.033697038919408534,0.023055103548664916,0.3047332000948058,0.01175741876544405,0.5925368627387045,-0.30280319271317474,-0.2957924462184082,-0.28619513682599546,0.008216122056094682,-0.3174246302556034,0.03798622717624825,-0.24015486351295345,0.009104095483602718,0.019548809975599095,0.6078033527606082,0.012260591288073063,-0.5149577314202688,-0.06485435356473505,-0.2528541630153255,0.07975308899523065,0.008748856225394303,0.6231674419136974,0.007305636775704905,0.591050200356434,-0.20184219194829095,0.45309888121019776,0.5420419268116885,0.1122168431956756,0.3294106283728416,-0.1440107329406949,0.613841834728805,0.39222156901867394,-0.35542322036501767,0.6129018025780103,3.5408747607005675E-4,-0.27302042261788784,-0.20558521811233046,-0.47206273170820995,0.07922078225499914,0.06123791884563576,-0.4083446495031332,0.18735764280919903,0.045939312117737,0.009496761552698744,0.008727101848543667,0.2455696301711075,-0.12980738265465525,0.025744526850046665,-0.5196410528916229,0.5988927603943663,-0.3044760600441603,-0.004661948256565399,-0.0027196523059550954,0.011076387989348187,0.36098919498850446,0.00874484233287643,0.04953897925103289,0.010903384998464778,0.03558554101118412,0.5366644649864436,0.18194520260468944,-0.3208615022479009,-0.001241569101221164,-0.05904613863204527,-2.359271572360887,-0.36368624507792086,0.606104128383749;-0.045867462762468135,-0.2057287328111522,-0.4536892879643867,-0.11023197845013771,0.2173477872266243,-1.0803493900632324,0.7353963961686677,-0.23201870682648165,0.45007187314080793,0.9540554001425566,0.3796208119727741,-0.17848265664587912,0.5454173256171457,2.1555435335259276,-0.19786360092536212,-1.269568803272942,-0.6879461526266123,0.5285757833093507,-1.114366370173239,-0.17667031024704868,-0.7529196528707496,-1.0692944025875672,-0.2577384335729955,-0.21926651162636762,2.0945303559216826,-0.15122869756935936,1.3249335177584312,-0.9915909056062419,-0.02742269289296056,1.871727233344797,-0.19370632842618132,-2.299580486088311,-0.7317089199628841,-0.13824854210237428,-0.16977550980657713,0.849177947926318,-0.1731281664674928,2.1303062326901063,-0.7734801791686958,-0.7486426901279002,-0.7176071697657096,-0.19534248084217004,-0.8246700700885601,-0.12239090564253194,-0.558684468003266,-0.1610966656740761,-0.18676956971030514,2.0777111712926084,-0.15616542906453443,-1.499226909084941,0.03274595795020681,-0.8232134783645273,0.02683153948981412,-0.22397505225122863,2.164809082467418,-0.19855542101676496,1.9771249853790098,-0.43106099247641455,1.4159111675717446,1.779620934440754,0.3866908227921465,0.9423066648473916,-0.23398247154606736,2.131872526761186,1.1798255616121718,-0.9535773009617455,2.129711421480671,-0.2227711296932828,-0.6726944438124439,-0.44355757666699525,-1.3520996518322679,0.5126633129845679,-0.038730497718756966,-1.133674799023795,0.41321391966761056,-0.09706374789463046,-0.21864881313392673,0.27948285760610125,0.6184438315227111,-0.18423310562859635,-0.15342292912743047,-1.5157291587104238,2.015765399919637,-0.7811608208066116,-0.261097949488511,-0.246027563751952,-0.1809531465058251,1.43106801958017,-0.16797047504424548,-0.08111337746486294,-0.20106139555143077,-0.13268559981003172,1.755741374670639,0.39393094537356427,-0.8371210932664016,-0.23929630618430867,0.05119119658327643,-8.14423966775235,-0.983373371053851,2.072193683322166;0.14138029667634663,-0.2209137227117945,-0.006388563636740418,-0.21773913334729703,0.23691962246560885,-0.23315886326366042,0.13052113894253717,-0.25678666036939224,0.009011158642330706,0.22839576136574566,0.15791515461606237,-0.2027461563312847,0.35406154597468775,0.8686755316406308,-0.22958519375592892,-0.30140281021838117,-0.09093561305547156,0.042733284520362166,-0.24608007358104486,-0.20152986629484088,-0.1142005627665353,-0.23040953638459688,0.06456594311790172,-0.247870509636373,0.7999384992324096,0.10284098233763754,0.6257785636735259,-0.2012437199849033,-0.18528532508503884,0.6595184257259015,-0.23720204284514715,-0.6820186920419726,-0.107122765927979,-0.22862923090926768,-0.23594871135090478,0.1818691521930575,-0.20616823625958103,0.8708487546899083,-0.12187124263682017,-0.11272243432577844,-0.10176568603155386,-0.22482951939613988,-0.14077961029827185,-0.2222305728915017,-0.04416154568375827,-0.18578281383385276,-0.24571475705166196,0.7826503053567956,-0.190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x_a{105}=[-12.820880249681373,-12.524048775189586,32.82605173171354];
std_x_a{105}=[3.892877464566739,12.724123505107533,4.495031976030368];
pred_a{105}=[-12.820880249681373];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.4 to 10.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{106}=[-8.332827510352653,-1.0421352202229321,35.049098783111];
std_x_f{106}=[5.333189152627155,8.992840352646553,4.968651830135889];
pred_f{106}=[-8.332827510352653];
obs{106}=[-8.763660817995035];
sqrt_r{106}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{106}=[29.453531913957825];
L_f{106}=[-0.10307946574316398,-0.26537538199018346,-0.287938920676217,-0.22538645242708363,0.03297757190206223,-0.5043668264933467,0.2830748296867725,-0.28574970833549707,0.10013774000646132,0.4282880076655382,0.09406548731151776,-0.24942039819993878,0.21698091637186104,1.2123041213634889,-0.2645774545910345,-0.5519058292819667,-0.3790397361073874,0.1499448008136326,-0.5136022179422387,-0.24837822486222355,-0.4022502143632072,-0.5014201259655878,-0.2034707256409829,-0.27823666599534524,1.17585219389842,-0.1544189851368349,0.6968396035125725,-0.4792024068474207,-0.18047655769868978,1.0375699505095008,-0.265607290122134,-0.6798819128181134,-0.3948772077370612,-0.23987541121302197,-0.25503126497989514,0.35813515427041254,-0.24797940340760094,1.1968328992179977,-0.4092704873955455,-0.4008564489438871,-0.3899871172269984,-0.2616149195849701,-0.42710819841972736,-0.23173727517298912,-0.33043212859386034,-0.23773891766130206,-0.264460219698589,1.1655394196160582,-0.23729556783647598,-0.5997677482484876,-0.06372349739262251,-0.46736235697773515,-0.15047187557979103,-0.2833833429297637,1.2175952488205377,-0.2639003867932782,1.1038861061266099,-0.2790385927884493,0.7389387747596681,0.9787202178962673,0.0975504733467218,0.4208161743720792,-0.1923599607606368,1.197536946940243,0.5798399764980334,-0.46798824932112065,1.1966918906098747,-0.27536548569509284,-0.37398824529238384,-0.2838714228509814,-0.5710076471099402,0.19796643148469859,-0.1862330501254865,-0.5181682157104386,0.07703028124633447,-0.21883177920087443,-0.27996283427169355,0.06658048040701844,0.2062222325984298,-0.16983620729136822,-0.24586507322950762,-0.6024069935274243,1.1277446689019062,-0.41182744416645173,-0.29916486690400257,-0.2898351631818556,-0.254153880337786,0.7641149872333042,-0.24216192975275913,-0.20945025722465294,-0.2681485861926005,-0.23668862832919899,0.9632652783382608,0.06493762382195722,-0.43086118430020104,-0.28634433188256336,-0.054662213407980206,0.994771743506444,-0.4761345476572392,1.1622638344901917;-0.20583997282702154,-0.5113488181636399,-0.21532535137638942,-0.5255192908632718,-0.13997393879803421,-0.008561846235813976,-0.1035696191979551,-0.5367753014196353,-0.2948625430774689,0.06779334854340094,-0.1964462054762625,-0.5008588096826307,-0.00281938325149437,1.0389667760872658,-0.520569342709992,0.10462338494163903,-0.16830385588052238,-0.2468554109148017,0.01135053511674525,-0.5001803827720167,-0.1492251221991812,-0.015242328423924657,-0.2251737150453856,-0.5323361988266178,0.9911906084653345,-0.21961657999289136,0.494564813482148,-0.052943691721450456,-0.5055636430814138,0.828330262939684,-0.5280170739170109,1.0143676295327229,-0.15590722280352776,-0.5307495856341535,-0.5319530396002405,-0.01592077912565068,-0.505510921052537,1.027176224741111,-0.14163386784346668,-0.14949582901297317,-0.15984933362046355,-0.5170427678189705,-0.12452943149168065,-0.528303907268669,-0.19809223202229628,-0.4890098990109292,-0.5370019650571236,0.9790484399648698,-0.49477346437017805,0.2675789058423448,-0.1907438124289764,-0.24807340079318574,-0.48790751836967483,-0.5411467162781902,1.0362727195076868,-0.5174817463955371,0.9056976432749478,-0.2180116730210758,0.45780836126797575,0.7594223843367085,-0.19550452520202613,0.05915079741464872,-0.22365373958528156,1.0160432242637498,0.2550156609271593,-0.07137126964321336,1.016082692072094,-0.5187156266695336,-0.1726896516255283,-0.21674544006386126,0.15880849960205956,-0.02007271839565269,-0.5065213693490092,0.021859249318411246,-0.3175999576605641,-0.523945826004755,-0.5385959945868924,-0.11996372623134001,-0.19082556383437194,-0.22080179068853079,-0.5242861785689222,0.2809583379055832,0.9330710909714311,-0.13954277763323655,-0.5368289395274485,-0.5302858887369735,-0.5113701032778983,0.5699085106560362,-0.4934584352409524,-0.5185285234373108,-0.5274373418490226,-0.5294741720837542,0.7403711022875318,-0.32787564216280696,-0.11986303806401362,-0.5280623991659691,-0.18787700831050128,7.548353241563639,-0.05786208238323494,0.9750128238300018;-0.07200581065667373,-0.007405758875596494,0.2564071771127749,-0.10255237083111271,-0.2590243370671341,0.7834282271869144,-0.6831352761274138,0.011739907545009406,-0.5370079997020297,-0.7516887932394525,-0.4154733450053367,-0.03084350755541555,-0.4502448850642697,-0.366900165500825,-0.017170012605183478,0.9337252698747365,0.45485269204022294,-0.5822230954328315,0.8107022526437593,-0.032618594624050895,0.5102823832228345,0.7743791310801846,0.0949051497584667,2.3994017389258998E-4,-0.43473663885376773,0.010018064832323198,-0.636456017179198,0.7103850281045484,-0.17617297954508904,-0.5943533127634464,-0.022089460678910582,1.579459123162127,0.492405073950944,-0.07688170672792712,-0.04713512570613676,-0.7231371557216222,-0.0369015751824766,-0.3773194129419784,0.5270336144177413,0.5069789590045207,0.4797776065360375,-0.01918174767596943,0.5713579784545862,-0.09128469806097592,0.34508524275653696,-0.0441350644265427,-0.03209068258587229,-0.45208491494832653,-0.050725336549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k{106}=[0.966048214423952;0.9144970119078161;-0.6177493235228614];
x_a{106}=[-8.749033257914942,-1.4361309926922519,35.3152457674582];
L_a{106}=[0.019673111194386726,0.05064790897494255,0.05495424683097586,0.04301586846942336,-0.006293896017724912,0.09626034233711256,-0.05402591641904557,0.05453642726335796,-0.019111671560369733,-0.08174040811407066,-0.017952758855430927,0.04760283915481088,-0.04141163969048446,-0.23137288895561733,0.050495621471946306,0.10533334326108976,0.07234118669291037,-0.02861754005183546,0.09802295219920175,0.04740393637811434,0.07677099544589108,0.09569795324515094,0.038833167997895796,0.05310253433133382,-0.224415898859676,0.02947145528179837,-0.13299450967967805,0.09145761637935489,0.03444464289748182,-0.19802420260100762,0.05069216953095352,0.1297580694029768,0.07536382886671464,0.045781141797448646,0.04867369458914131,-0.06835146711116907,0.047327819774609474,-0.2284201468998936,0.07811084146647759,0.07650498997258487,0.07443053634660449,0.04993021030909847,0.08151523699668374,0.04422794733649253,0.06306423846066576,0.045373383812809774,0.05047324674330074,-0.22244766635365115,0.045288768799151086,0.11446797397552555,0.0121618737627519,0.08919789747264441,0.028718134291509004,0.05408479735416179,-0.23238272091444245,0.05036640048719104,-0.2106808951249125,0.05325558513400058,-0.1410292979002457,-0.18679250553008217,-0.018617881800016816,-0.080314380086583,0.036712635927130755,-0.2285545171066663,-0.11066468234341836,0.08931735142575097,-0.22839323486647412,0.05255455856430044,0.07137709030587053,0.054177949278191244,0.10897899842077959,-0.037782652357341365,0.035543291544771316,0.09889439037711073,-0.014701524473069053,0.0417648839567238,0.05343198016417726,-0.012707139923354031,-0.03935830364868477,0.032413891232237105,0.04692429175479071,0.11497168405461355,-0.21523439329288055,0.07859884646835219,0.05709676170345025,0.055316151982462494,0.048506242366722026,-0.1458342745643813,0.04621753262617487,0.03997438452329965,0.05117718562811344,0.04517293206747182,-0.18384287106859984,-0.012393594446169727,0.08223150873912258,0.05464991344681751,0.010432492977659805,-0.18985600072664655,0.09087210369220491,-0.22182250837535378;-0.08963783805022336,-0.21218946880009176,0.10927001809584419,-0.27143971514008786,-0.17714976452769743,0.5600140726106694,-0.42268166808206864,-0.21464784488852176,-0.4077484517944182,-0.4150184358525281,-0.30248682526034953,-0.21968561462624123,-0.24742334492761173,-0.3276713402971069,-0.22230950195865562,0.7267903228079741,0.2589900399828511,-0.41588913482485296,0.5903375692530091,-0.22018203632176447,0.30423409284848835,0.5500117562492399,0.00420012302802177,-0.21867824252331397,-0.33435501915193083,-0.04553907974976784,-0.290986886280581,0.4872642174327713,-0.3021112762054599,-0.3413289156387937,-0.22859629304709794,1.7808028171426786,0.2892403551639068,-0.2603365148789496,-0.2444546788759977,-0.41964880744635064,-0.22596216855475654,-0.32202108490303444,0.31973934546944616,0.30239218544750535,0.2797856143345408,-0.22212261154866947,0.35695234646694174,-0.26706500882933704,0.17440599994485448,-0.22100531097201462,-0.23887428394276675,-0.3348715318688541,-0.22726866739756668,0.9437008881816618,-0.11890791010759238,0.2787871451320734,-0.3182796197365313,-0.2216868784607135,-0.3363301183801582,-0.21998516846207247,-0.33872015766677993,0.09655030043658133,-0.3752020009546024,-0.3438951178332027,-0.30547379182220763,-0.41523794197288333,-0.006805137152075943,-0.33394776283807115,-0.3986416180684582,0.45619484868599275,-0.3329556576747752,-0.20829437010863688,0.24890966663912553,0.10326461334096104,0.8025090377225765,-0.24324153079504943,-0.29657967209093444,0.6059935616659601,-0.4044366817233736,-0.2772553749356256,-0.22299211784977863,-0.19502032360483898,-0.42330119313266995,-0.029344358237100528,-0.247120923875928,0.9600555581683914,-0.3382426189392403,0.3247129092467338,-0.19957848975232997,-0.20355287307477388,-0.22486082381924433,-0.29148315538819636,-0.22046775765000654,-0.28241392152720296,-0.22515174181887226,-0.26265358186287013,-0.34552394860618374,-0.4010802368998946,0.3658495046541461,-0.2052646197430996,-0.12625594883141444,6.426940752881337,0.47888740966992954,-0.33521456013934847;-0.15050119031955764,-0.20949005580438296,0.03714066524981616,-0.27418495571679813,-0.23391179881182073,0.3993510955338992,-0.4675727868472115,-0.20585951133673713,-0.4607527546469629,-0.42554595262236755,-0.3438421419673872,-0.22077802759992302,-0.28501314577055514,0.5562737332697735,-0.21864668498248543,0.513447018573068,0.16621258531710473,-0.4680395964838932,0.4195923375659407,-0.22175949596643632,0.20396741478295682,0.39254592235606495,-0.060038531258146,-0.2116382702531767,0.46067898754720193,-0.10757254138671415,-0.10581018148829145,0.3454706914841049,-0.3136065199177855,0.1957598936337762,-0.22435035647473087,1.0617266292281882,0.19170467627163185,-0.2595476852446572,-0.24134234075304092,-0.45041596239368514,-0.22573877256915656,0.5340730951568334,0.21537268310312843,0.20172534788699412,0.1828010301668749,-0.21840243911284954,0.24611356677300417,-0.26775345704804415,0.09346000197951687,-0.22517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x_a{106}=[-8.749033257914943,-1.4361309926922508,35.3152457674582];
std_x_a{106}=[1.0178595946718907,7.5057610820486405,3.668640923834683];
pred_a{106}=[-8.749033257914943];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.5 to 10.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{107}=[-3.140046612873899,0.10917737453275624,28.285097662182533];
std_x_f{107}=[3.533153976289103,3.5796450912556184,5.601741731328532];
pred_f{107}=[-3.140046612873899];
obs{107}=[-4.233558834721718];
sqrt_r{107}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{107}=[13.486734442679413];
L_f{107}=[-0.05964413225050389,-0.12778448649957194,0.09082818245702787,-0.17448229650410685,-0.13046571944058302,0.3968407439608137,-0.32484644526112166,-0.12697232954798862,-0.30523002134217525,-0.3186582648508632,-0.22346941249371693,-0.13490157518904375,-0.1883966140452157,-0.06768755359226518,-0.13537712841993327,0.5003427201003772,0.19764309541173397,-0.3142040054330965,0.415826348114275,-0.13536381279395882,0.22846385428564706,0.3903646580908673,0.012903421615993487,-0.13111364128445657,-0.09243384793342566,-0.024802152326023025,-0.1919817003260352,0.3500562811201013,-0.20133328694098643,-0.15638836183564953,-0.13947135281133385,1.0725337639938006,0.21840343326849196,-0.16468992938046595,-0.15184456988755696,-0.3235400414402215,-0.1389217397369838,-0.06929403993828404,0.23869284152151538,0.22740618861284806,0.21144599405047257,-0.13482516003134304,0.26413116838316225,-0.17020642649776166,0.13780272248737413,-0.13714069247051688,-0.14655046232510086,-0.09831332447439588,-0.14138808080506687,0.629172459753579,-0.08303906538720712,0.2206648943742504,-0.21677789311625814,-0.1323091709821649,-0.0734911726033343,-0.13323330405822945,-0.12862861359548367,0.08192388966392375,-0.25938603138424055,-0.17804258083013944,-0.22570088047588968,-0.3191387603744708,0.004549389208122141,-0.08099811487076862,-0.2976312084964599,0.32982570630744196,-0.08103224642144352,-0.12389935825522788,0.19042204789767297,0.0867694326457204,0.5461549054762118,-0.18510361522225552,-0.19673299195246297,0.4256443494635558,-0.3007911316678097,-0.17914323725903714,-0.13371264637505567,-0.14494005416481945,-0.3232688899258904,-0.012242255943404775,-0.15533965615697157,0.6386021975834237,-0.11853442811501462,0.24226435117167464,-0.11443368390108319,-0.11871420233284027,-0.13811359659486452,-0.18109151873880522,-0.13653644542673937,-0.18391549341370375,-0.13672889308232325,-0.1671706110695816,-0.18382251108990777,-0.2973917696914141,0.26993369098603504,-0.12024099204694176,-0.08896806867019083,2.4675143293977317,0.3448941640941325,-0.10005352369578151;-0.08032479908250119,-0.20116486232908537,0.13972090023951664,-0.27255915930920305,-0.17891707815484528,0.5819650050398594,-0.46057106120575103,-0.20132330127482068,-0.4525468677604585,-0.42648775774321707,-0.319464078393317,-0.21137716107297536,-0.24817497932325874,0.20404904166305615,-0.2122352501031743,0.7250669233116872,0.2958407246513552,-0.46075248104340333,0.6089126864942465,-0.21220098466384094,0.34156966142351675,0.5734485409239998,0.02503213719316232,-0.2071453587816986,0.14901245347946432,-0.030523246002856087,-0.16021038177933214,0.5160638199467272,-0.3123796086792097,-0.005581443409825502,-0.21960833090785775,1.380735550218955,0.32588176511243616,-0.25739113680398784,-0.23858477810098605,-0.446284943690644,-0.21733056382976682,0.19403690623297518,0.3560949185268014,0.3398652640247825,0.31636866398382596,-0.2118416441744493,0.3931699056051385,-0.2660822531741943,0.2086670655822046,-0.21333593606993553,-0.23115325944410223,0.13444991751135957,-0.22126951315978652,0.894544813856043,-0.11383291910339534,0.3251716411358908,-0.3340817898522284,-0.20958559275277752,0.19542902889128455,-0.21007065603499317,0.062328599371877076,0.1258697909619873,-0.2615056058280168,-0.058980951904615976,-0.32248758895783525,-0.42781137136681985,0.012911888910849477,0.17562660470297228,-0.3614974731463509,0.4875844709628179,0.1748609966264618,-0.19585976099032262,0.2853767962935377,0.13381187924262464,0.7862434046348593,-0.2445171204284391,-0.3051974732425634,0.622673100657332,-0.4478115830508178,-0.2798516629205528,-0.21167346634532555,-0.19789830707260353,-0.4683611925999389,-0.012689894286341152,-0.24331879345959853,0.906571862835646,0.08890920853566087,0.36187086840249644,-0.18254808836350261,-0.18857193123579408,-0.21614683276532684,-0.12472878991614221,-0.2129504481844763,-0.28631848346885996,-0.21568455265899694,-0.2609710811752759,-0.07455316599754033,-0.4437606434532427,0.4013212471427546,-0.19123388040523692,-0.12239696625485168,0.11294824242056747,0.50874559345434,0.13096839648619307;-0.18293870599770756,-0.1594653426827873,-0.13623414273289688,-0.1653419004313975,-0.18938477250923902,0.05413752783040709,-0.16174669266103658,-0.15615212638475784,-0.17399907256085323,-0.14058472268034583,-0.18012554209399678,-0.161893095743591,-0.17888361852085888,0.3354674768241933,-0.159639096043599,0.1460902382555797,-0.08494839318761568,-0.17111091443714468,0.06865986140465778,-0.1623669981398075,-0.0665198173383045,0.04869567904935746,-0.16494298464443405,-0.15700819796340787,0.28437249031983114,-0.175197376967551,-0.04938293929447197,0.016246899488288818,-0.16957060278723046,0.1425454313236733,-0.16006533182233762,0.929855636757714,-0.07318391997120526,-0.16304541993188404,-0.1611636665359442,-0.15176615441211713,-0.16232955053905956,0.32025674931012216,-0.0612788360988108,-0.06743704464269568,-0.07733527914824068,-0.15954186674214646,-0.04429891839974642,-0.16339738559417996,-0.11638241500503599,-0.1640650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k{107}=[0.9258530666374322;0.6657758231276768;1.1634268727577122];
x_a{107}=[-4.152478256877214,-0.6188566250681501,27.012876157595787];
L_a{107}=[0.017598248017809483,0.037703341492220134,-0.026799231065553073,0.051481723561672986,0.038494450365953614,-0.11708950356529996,0.0958472878337637,0.03746371122308881,0.090059380787045,0.09402143959807671,0.06593557483478124,0.03980326795935504,0.0555872005272625,0.01997149276700919,0.03994358190788744,-0.1476281898988931,-0.0583154131148245,0.09270719192589505,-0.12269128462998732,0.039939653077346184,-0.0674092055516431,-0.11517870763242774,-0.003807207939968021,0.03868562238697896,0.027272989308335684,0.007317977670891079,0.05664499506889667,-0.10328555421797891,0.059404219394916774,0.046143033268113545,0.04115159975577648,-0.3164555250290977,-0.06444083670221609,0.04859244512268955,0.044802368652388645,0.09546182798073032,0.04098943414398363,0.020445493210769935,-0.07042731056139949,-0.0670971369184425,-0.06238801547223681,0.03978072135088266,-0.07793299416140848,0.05022011042347645,-0.04065926347418254,0.04046392877834101,0.04324032030996701,0.02900775319002512,0.04171713828142252,-0.18563993765917172,0.02450101984405775,-0.06510809015901281,0.06396121435409051,0.0390383683711871,0.021683874570616005,0.039311037659185616,0.037952404684724696,-0.02417198263249525,0.07653292185530501,0.05253220018392137,0.06659397869635718,0.0941632117905262,-0.0013423161104571073,0.023898828949075655,0.08781731961431856,-0.09731643940881772,0.023908899604333036,0.0365570183277259,-0.05618481316633163,-0.025601680139308854,-0.1611452647570828,0.05461558759867755,0.058046883323313044,-0.12558812655331605,0.0887496680212511,0.05285695341759741,0.039452469593202345,0.04276516271868063,0.09538182360444748,0.003612128272479574,0.04583360831825336,-0.1884222208245233,0.03497407349068558,-0.07148109926198004,0.033764131942181426,0.03502711661753016,0.040750988165942054,0.05343180192986112,0.04028564318780298,0.054265027342818135,0.040342425664898686,0.04932438051970286,0.05423759252343664,0.08774667220413263,-0.07964505246524031,0.03547760224027269,0.026250396795911634,-0.728050313044405,-0.10176245022950271,0.02952120617094392;-0.024780230341966476,-0.08216347985378916,0.05513567728961696,-0.11006968135897606,-0.05741875387182976,0.2124006044815778,-0.15805252286668015,-0.08307825317682573,-0.16829644341176503,-0.12973206311076213,-0.11135455151593897,-0.08574787394002498,-0.07272756673674986,0.267084177417797,-0.08616309628533393,0.2591146231974267,0.11178237582532473,-0.16814488797740673,0.22166763311745427,-0.08614123123937249,0.1288089793534142,0.20991510071672245,0.013015615837340148,-0.08504364673801675,0.2350929785330739,-0.007425838046613344,0.018575700745895155,0.1900682117271591,-0.12488470894149103,0.1400577634398382,-0.08972336400067188,0.381921029278468,0.1224900138266588,-0.10402096008773848,-0.09717705144359819,-0.14498301516874876,-0.08795743304186203,0.25856810853961704,0.13380832563813821,0.12808955032374894,0.11945614118745493,-0.08628351990060255,0.14719345687153626,-0.10757474874812745,0.08033603781764004,-0.08562143453170955,-0.09467575660466847,0.22600580076980717,-0.0895995621177382,0.30861772225788037,-0.03650143817619149,0.11967386739487311,-0.1322038492854506,-0.0863705242233842,0.26386887929172176,-0.0859949735402018,0.18211608894162695,0.04957683557421981,-0.019948143141740593,0.10682409876033548,-0.11229997120963117,-0.13060820745895615,0.008675196179087092,0.2510574172495843,-0.08432356691485644,0.18042891474740622,0.2503235947350592,-0.08047646741482613,0.10804316547227016,0.05300643310208367,0.2776277613928145,-0.07213636658241171,-0.12198667307299066,0.22628487375679124,-0.16769494694492992,-0.1130216080453318,-0.08715138851770601,-0.06292052303842281,-0.16731177833818225,-0.001289094222191806,-0.09865621083867283,0.3118631744343778,0.19929632361517974,0.13625824903334724,-0.07597985806415684,-0.07801739849048037,-0.08752629842934243,0.04391563379127778,-0.08579866153861203,-0.1150441873912181,-0.08835354600219081,-0.10529072926818477,0.09663453877797563,-0.166809718505308,0.14994110481142947,-0.0792574998933881,-0.0395440045383657,-2.1849646304141057,0.18755729071775482,0.22414486858762253;-0.08587593852607674,0.048486645745796746,-0.28404473903213306,0.11860446502773593,0.02293056030329396,-0.5916671708206059,0.36689701109743433,0.05047818632540435,0.3227215513970294,0.3779885534673957,0.18354073660715003,0.05764099302706745,0.12770641894856993,0.4456198258843834,0.06066889136433641,-0.668149943716662,-0.4065858299056369,0.3402136562669653,-0.6080413431007149,0.05791931988576076,-0.4383138753198121,-0.5865700647505582,-0.18594156010599594,0.05636154011748535,0.4347960902607032,-0.1348352247627721,0.2630413417612231,-0.5534224063478695,0.15807212210943639,0.3970463625530796,0.06690545266360957,-0.8155481676395718,-0.42860600188382497,0.10496519095667631,0.08594285715233321,0.37475155361957435,0.06374681291966967,0.43302343786635983,-0.44971918889730755,-0.4375098946295852,-0.42143506866535074,0.05986786668284212,-0.4741367115142359,0.1135905790884657,-0.34063772906632495,0.0591129069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x_a{107}=[-4.152478256877216,-0.6188566250681513,27.012876157595784];
std_x_a{107}=[1.0424717002957427,2.6315317857013025,3.661286356861495];
pred_a{107}=[-4.152478256877216];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.6 to 10.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{108}=[-2.221936127521501,-1.538381210594969,21.055833098072974];
std_x_f{108}=[1.0832398801207204,1.2112856371681495,3.4952278758298965];
pred_f{108}=[-2.221936127521501];
obs{108}=[-2.7917514843996805];
sqrt_r{108}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{108}=[2.1737938053273713];
L_f{108}=[-0.019625683259922692,-0.032265512948859446,-0.011753920960493951,-0.03656911003947351,-0.019346459615057262,0.004490336772720282,-0.024946863150690272,-0.03263095301706045,-0.03654105863791971,-0.007193904231022948,-0.024891819209452583,-0.03282410824178637,-0.011098171274716745,0.2098668390617857,-0.03294015957093552,0.0074080583444940664,-0.005800621198995737,-0.03382225604939502,0.005036898429582516,-0.03310345221119252,-0.0034845631553376754,0.004202487793189194,-0.016340067169184378,-0.0327970549269719,0.19183625160808912,-0.01891860380090186,0.058127569800338424,0.0025552200707051153,-0.037768300444000605,0.13903128486232222,-0.03336710832640918,-0.041103821073058454,-0.0046823183971458834,-0.035626818093761996,-0.034946211442442685,-0.015967444562683557,-0.032556511033896,0.20356384261050342,-0.0027717167532285707,-0.0038623294064643833,-0.005063102806291014,-0.03310003988901306,-0.001794633727048695,-0.036015788530348966,-0.009618306981585417,-0.032152274538938506,-0.03448017021695598,0.1865239448297895,-0.03371609440586551,0.0068648306233316326,-0.019850909972914898,-0.004324867545541179,-0.0386509901715299,-0.033117658886552014,0.20884643191965055,-0.03259259040458352,0.16257043965807297,-0.012840415950669943,0.05213231846986632,0.12048752243587951,-0.02445779249650837,-0.007683244248813816,-0.01695851936591867,0.20119024884773362,0.01767977750728963,0.0020802663378564697,0.200788317545385,-0.03212639327935306,-0.006346130279859192,-0.012124451448295742,0.007879272249493972,-0.01203152818288069,-0.03777611871204534,0.005766513843905639,-0.03729245103942977,-0.036685674237323954,-0.03351987558218328,-0.018042573969280135,-0.030574167616926856,-0.018769694739593237,-0.034923633770968875,0.006738195985540929,0.17255223878223577,-0.0027940104690010567,-0.031915435545276656,-0.031646335034759825,-0.033012814286086274,0.073822546093085,-0.03237442128330806,-0.03667477291990338,-0.03286266355463047,-0.035154550254547695,0.11443420683437278,-0.03812526031588447,-0.0014426611793635288,-0.03183733971471053,-0.02012284901863247,-0.8305539036938808,0.0021834821159379247,0.18603468903650566;-0.05590805617678436,-0.07503828811655604,-0.03812311921187193,-0.08252166931257576,-0.05669723342651761,0.006824354009547458,-0.06368129274059199,-0.07522192738974753,-0.08388366203102873,-0.03494251481455797,-0.06532875059989167,-0.07501806009239619,-0.04221609704933108,0.35220542923490966,-0.07621045732156996,0.01922630479813957,-0.023294963744673873,-0.07937974292190292,0.009209012293037937,-0.07619698676266598,-0.01767727694470777,0.006476643433495227,-0.04860316010147955,-0.07511420490531019,0.31958296612625103,-0.05336592017822257,0.08016689136272945,-5.647567251120213E-5,-0.0858378153298925,0.2228521149438069,-0.07701300577402223,-0.008960010732229264,-0.020187659194891967,-0.08001591887905447,-0.07934075388399595,-0.049963429504607665,-0.07587546023408807,0.3413927074616585,-0.016399863672875135,-0.018597322259483143,-0.021341726250736277,-0.07559899116164104,-0.012297566580106202,-0.08126263252130837,-0.032302110527557965,-0.07539424402011195,-0.07790642068821432,0.31003637314061244,-0.0770056826642981,0.029257621245724785,-0.05699468963331186,-0.017204966350825548,-0.08655698894011903,-0.07617897012870971,0.35000102025935304,-0.07530361924572844,0.2659247417738427,-0.04064992208753583,0.0674483578041851,0.18933516213872956,-0.06513361486226603,-0.03575204187355609,-0.050039811423493806,0.33624210496394685,0.007377393447094443,-0.0023408596328814706,0.3355387255841801,-0.07463247307626665,-0.025407239163078275,-0.038997404472285786,0.023691392186808168,-0.044089395375499434,-0.08505229450172833,0.01047178739341467,-0.08506012572640426,-0.08321610774041578,-0.07620256105838412,-0.05525009647745149,-0.07453763933399807,-0.05385657206488677,-0.07908095190338256,0.029635234034494515,0.28412340881865555,-0.015472838029735923,-0.07362790771210923,-0.07474014576198686,-0.07585827903850771,0.10758121755822878,-0.07537871855722447,-0.08310810477088017,-0.07629096220845605,-0.08047136751806155,0.17913286335521114,-0.08628724662542674,-0.011156189064409051,-0.07519161268422396,-0.057725645331880855,0.03846850075494821,-5.662423202342639E-4,0.30899174996635304;-0.06735299780699198,0.04579138838844705,-0.2295607958384688,0.10397742746228106,0.020113187265559825,-0.49107538829112213,0.29334137725518805,0.04760549162273398,0.26536124024434066,0.29375597503076084,0.14947355006304786,0.05335600589545371,0.09874928056371354,0.2736218438330578,0.055495602987477764,-0.5573405704979989,-0.3323804837987804,0.2778940577044089,-0.5060498501714995,0.053769965497212385,-0.3598145735482282,-0.4870855954268581,-0.14901545285478768,0.05196565233025157,0.26877456366066543,-0.10637435553816418,0.17413068681696453,-0.45804685470189277,0.13596224016026728,0.25261506131657596,0.06123074850351912,-0.6899624409341286,-0.35108686209710677,0.0926155010238061,0.07706640996361039,0.29595304816962054,0.05802728774705226,0.2654854138716901,-0.3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k{108}=[0.5399747678232985;0.36859286356383725;-0.5990388759601993];
x_a{108}=[-2.529622042553946,-1.748411084689347,21.39717464896214];
L_a{108}=[0.047076876398507064,0.0773965188834825,0.028194579364528682,0.08771972167956386,0.04640709197149982,-0.010771142407495245,0.059840993942553815,0.07827311393976369,0.08765243371071894,0.01725629298207153,0.05970895793729413,0.07873644275842029,0.026621607534868443,-0.5034156065706296,0.0790148195163593,-0.017769992637598916,0.013914171731148015,0.08113073804709385,-0.012082200739757822,0.07940651581250122,0.00835855479750921,-0.010080668060622787,0.03919554352728432,0.0786715489383772,-0.4601649474364575,0.045380777880285064,-0.13943282292872877,-0.00612930402709683,0.09059626552797513,-0.33349965584917596,0.08003895781125252,0.09859730632228389,0.011231656066264212,0.0854594099812621,0.08382681279848823,0.038301719441915946,0.07809454711007027,-0.48829636812438504,0.006648622892527302,0.009264717139797513,0.01214505817952524,0.07939833054489309,0.004304856500022581,0.08639244823136318,0.023071800504375288,0.07712488958238864,0.08270890190192098,-0.4474221141663589,0.08087608405596852,-0.01646693154430034,0.04761713632162658,0.01037422504912869,0.09271360710792328,0.0794405939075706,-0.5009679169656238,0.07818109207525162,-0.38996392596749674,0.03080079641606771,-0.1250517844637407,-0.28901802429774753,0.05866784147534393,0.01843009158206362,0.04067904844471564,-0.4826027380626809,-0.042409157910105556,-0.004990014358543588,-0.4816386100885993,0.0770628072160116,0.015222705209139794,0.029083385004826896,-0.018900311438179974,0.028860486417167285,0.09061501950629612,-0.013832357115137407,0.0894548273774353,0.08799932867525521,0.0804054064654251,0.043279411647147194,0.07333942420382103,0.04502358402461125,0.08377265487515571,-0.01616316819949918,-0.41390764896452165,0.006702099680468177,0.07655677483788269,0.07591127316007634,0.07918909915797091,-0.17708096231962403,0.07765776146707715,0.08797317926858267,0.07882892686066675,0.08432656306840661,-0.27449770484699915,0.09145251881329224,0.003460566499843162,0.07636944338480112,0.048269446902288814,1.9922813870302054,-0.005237601989647392,-0.44624851759891065;-0.010376137026843948,-1.8174898556654398E-4,-0.010853822557070358,0.0023192883066054577,-0.011813117884450806,-0.003593303719038374,-0.005804145689033285,4.8243891847251936E-4,8.922158591734329E-4,-0.018252534573806684,-0.007579306428733863,0.0011344296242749392,-0.01646815082498232,-0.13468920887066943,2.1127345367117235E-4,0.002039483369692891,-0.00983742384890656,-9.115333052507977E-4,-0.0024766777807719844,6.03585716861298E-4,-0.009593031124553801,-0.003273199764007628,-0.010693926196171384,9.755206606022046E-4,-0.12548040224493248,-0.009474437406182297,-0.054690059780277855,-0.005984629720897355,0.0017852844354338008,-0.09970283195023177,3.992533796676216E-4,0.0864015536558981,-0.009324600830524808,0.002638905390294023,0.0017350513718301956,-0.012918686387616823,-3.438005936514414E-4,-0.13087887161350248,-0.009969433636727112,-0.009636652307946142,-0.009595241577020658,0.0011936646723591992,-0.008133985792546917,0.0022946097803622505,-0.00998747464738127,-8.004199272124328E-4,0.0020881609934636325,-0.12270235310087987,0.0012162301327228436,0.013331097374942409,-0.010940240676355382,-0.007171200045226003,0.003113966014555769,6.54562079418484E-4,-0.13452625591133788,3.117451486964462E-4,-0.11124144483212635,-0.0108599385657181,-0.05349950822584318,-0.0901979403510082,-0.00839112005134006,-0.017926784464015393,-0.010695757897035951,-0.13052269618812687,-0.03363999124160642,-0.007167112938367419,-0.1302935881064389,-9.869394604881693E-5,-0.010684108916316297,-0.010868470780152123,0.005411346479714514,-0.01617604524048306,0.002588943778511649,-0.002906622858109916,0.0014589953223840746,0.0018952808014508216,0.001564120728471648,-0.013391017822917158,-0.0036050501561512875,-0.010310560849194442,0.0019424727704011298,0.014002504678435852,-0.11620072162412443,-0.008990686193604342,4.1644588500429087E-4,-0.0013201099287842325,7.320119123103395E-4,-0.06368834567869153,-2.69510236927689E-4,0.001977992529053567,-4.9023509858027794E-5,0.0010877873273269006,-0.0863564439246186,0.002164006117359199,-0.0078091905772951385,-0.0013284427430467292,-0.011040293161041798,1.965367691565905,-0.00563195798737986,-0.12261189450863907;-0.14135168949128502,-0.0758658152419539,-0.2738789865336832,-0.03390650060997161,-0.052832690912384205,-0.4741445613740427,0.19927916243549174,-0.07542960477082941,0.1275830800573338,0.2666313397175597,0.055618878572304416,-0.0704073827940965,0.056903595828023436,1.064925326764706,-0.06870535755175124,-0.5294084665221381,-0.35425174168045714,0.15036715001313292,-0.48705821105252334,-0.07104669038269153,-0.3729531283272526,-0.471240103863757,-0.21062572020391382,-0.07169573176279649,0.9920936679491807,-0.17770700221442304,0.3933008455852049,-0.44841239053096926,-0.006443238567832032,0.7768328960152189,-0.06458002347018908,-0.8449445091937784,-0.3687415562470745,-0.04171551272470968,-0.05469837456973699,0.23574775536369105,-0.0647271249481337,1.0330234316774398,-0.3797849155641651,-0.373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x_a{108}=[-2.5296220425539464,-1.7484110846893464,21.397174648962146];
std_x_a{108}=[2.598408894660695,2.0175103159975287,4.366788088294];
pred_a{108}=[-2.5296220425539464];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.7 to 10.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{109}=[-2.5689137159448197,-3.4960686990182546,17.35832361555787];
std_x_f{109}=[2.2812867844343327,1.849732652921619,4.306154679728221];
pred_f{109}=[-2.5689137159448197];
obs{109}=[-3.4419239348187967];
sqrt_r{109}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{109}=[6.204277452248344];
L_f{109}=[-0.002838910637228207,0.027709317567428175,-0.025533524771319732,0.03820022650724474,0.00210367514962073,-0.06431796702610382,0.03167207632042206,0.02831758997786024,0.0470426889425094,0.005898141820392194,0.020881022753264263,0.029772204724518324,-0.003959476394449568,-0.1645846091129406,0.029017805457930455,-0.07041957262596972,-0.04099547602483433,0.043339916818719564,-0.06629193585067626,0.028932680814907675,-0.045966839107280145,-0.06335369397897757,-0.013639837547463922,0.029641602551094926,-0.15989459517655225,-0.006077950264779999,-0.08201739264195465,-0.06063995220051708,0.0408708039670842,-0.13791661309881817,0.030157445555882467,0.059506900436332576,-0.04326967755070955,0.036094550592847344,0.03377402578170451,0.018411295672889207,0.028989563954752204,-0.16333060212429365,-0.04822466216652158,-0.04555850808191668,-0.0421726297880313,0.030066606705312526,-0.05020936796093315,0.03694365856381214,-0.03128073920181061,0.02738910068292626,0.033391033079606725,-0.15822399853520117,0.03086818753762023,-0.06753500262687843,-0.0012387569983959646,-0.04135151474508989,0.0444618142902397,0.029715820009547964,-0.1633833351948776,0.028493559770158255,-0.1491550065567543,-0.02365020855062141,-0.06689371809453487,-0.1264025896891391,0.01935133682083315,0.00670640545850032,-0.011817576462708533,-0.16222485260778832,-0.026049230328132493,-0.059018668597288625,-0.16247545069554206,0.02721665812634957,-0.040648416738473137,-0.024615951611217216,-0.07076500140818572,-0.0033129375673599426,0.041580514220110526,-0.0679404833562209,0.0476594893377972,0.03823045037620183,0.03109569274948424,0.0011133901400088475,0.03851963195759183,-0.008065187538261891,0.03478523834557326,-0.06745622799032239,-0.1535614528893479,-0.04792725121223043,0.026346504467047203,0.024970473265205743,0.028760935461471706,-0.09693245543717946,0.027866606403726027,0.03834760162018254,0.029049667687211678,0.034713918733294845,-0.12164974822077389,0.04884730208020163,-0.0511377224807336,0.025611327660294666,8.948636220809712E-5,2.1807135743591846,-0.059339260338472546,-0.15797298183328654;-0.03615169542351204,0.009999228947048707,-0.0789672972138005,0.027007837913274636,-0.019695656025863602,-0.15073805002653104,0.04425721422663812,0.010756453768491261,0.05300568703919447,0.025042191142364244,0.014959210774149807,0.01379390507305149,-0.013208351491611389,0.12659533037459592,0.01202368632206029,-0.16451796611458433,-0.10798659119004793,0.05058443208015427,-0.1543641780499005,0.012287111825688386,-0.1163808774786208,-0.14853881884809808,-0.05641250603808457,0.012901336948738674,0.09782880678865317,-0.04313576361251289,-0.03436334945410089,-0.14346566820801923,0.03233656976571932,0.027666260119286683,0.014764954324260254,0.016515338110110446,-0.11230089538677218,0.024523540935437047,0.020193099393854344,0.034289680942320724,0.01282467668628208,0.11414136056112112,-0.12079387352728634,-0.11591626756143883,-0.11109536303949426,0.01447211659770356,-0.12437007545725383,0.02544479707753855,-0.09091053676816165,0.010349308499982477,0.019153326560001283,0.08907966120740875,0.01489354365627898,-0.1660246352467935,-0.031113060502414917,-0.10594870140818344,0.038286193241632745,0.01281780374928125,0.12789445336301714,0.011737141617731124,0.055172595524203026,-0.07631198942709515,-0.008457419244545707,0.01097498676791457,0.014085226550938006,0.026543277914936554,-0.05425928919658295,0.11364454144392531,0.006366188401046466,-0.14058566464507527,0.11227779214429397,0.009007744062549491,-0.10699254202208744,-0.07789989387153312,-0.1664239773306954,-0.01263864413863785,0.03249427044624374,-0.1573501126425918,0.05338981359883195,0.02731001736772516,0.01527379443268736,-0.018575491538113477,0.048588880732642385,-0.04800223352479854,0.02118190028277908,-0.16593847343223392,0.06897853717034354,-0.11976944101451141,0.007600486392012562,0.006319374708474858,0.01296921686096284,-0.03207821648117506,0.011511194975351224,0.028394933682454417,0.012502330109958226,0.022189257870815642,0.007044667555241811,0.05368124177254635,-0.12708483949037858,0.006654070885913296,-0.029136801491598956,1.6833177075735706,-0.14151590900836297,0.08952080771167498;-0.15092949493675414,-0.11254125119933713,-0.24306094619793675,-0.08305813227350617,-0.08453361135870038,-0.37887942796712254,0.09763933864392282,-0.11236542020575747,0.03801847808494968,0.1591029033998932,-0.008453843677344213,-0.10873149104968256,0.0025355721300332115,0.8337649374100212,-0.10699056274686009,-0.4183600385506737,-0.2976164458446194,0.05619296837293028,-0.3879103356967611,-0.10904395180559155,-0.3091313873719994,-0.377042290525809,-0.19913163184261062,-0.10924145081014368,0.7796600973903246,-0.1770172322098185,0.29454264880667486,-0.3607477063499963,-0.06331201327833737,0.6114865324331034,-0.10432398181161404,-0.7141016053584599,-0.3073144667313584,-0.08878804390024685,-0.09762913305870365,0.12995028456613278,-0.1035664377583515,0.810531899273019,-0.31446089864647236,-0.30970146127913833,-0.3046992820583199,-0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k{109}=[0.8388208767746818;0.6005428056602464;0.7278829450649169];
x_a{109}=[-3.301212913173946,-4.020348705230899,16.722874366372114];
L_a{109}=[0.0013845416913806686,-0.013513882722730417,0.012452744764206361,-0.018630317392133326,-0.0010259660559852237,0.031367985199926215,-0.015446527109084765,-0.01381053824295476,-0.02294280181328602,-0.002876534099002898,-0.010183711379090746,-0.014519956403299231,0.0019310435743428325,0.0802682022069364,-0.014152034559321224,0.03434374894063489,0.01999356547897457,-0.021136953361474805,0.03233069325394751,-0.014110519121785655,0.02241810796381917,0.030897707545493057,0.006652172668091319,-0.014456261494513366,0.07798087419353125,0.0029642269923446543,0.04000002608112937,0.029574210925821905,-0.019932762697991643,0.06726217383008842,-0.014707839031674892,-0.029021619595389018,0.021102697547411203,-0.017603375559661506,-0.016471651543844036,-0.008979221155175196,-0.014138261128743744,0.07965662080162668,0.023519252225384427,0.0222189642073774,0.020567665431589877,-0.014663536765107517,0.024487196718406688,-0.018017487004688183,0.015255671310738421,-0.013357712387156601,-0.01628486533205029,0.07716612128475718,-0.01505446914134648,0.032936939098481194,6.041439583471118E-4,0.020167206186602154,-0.021684104723833565,-0.014492457479025464,0.07968233881253574,-0.013896359018947146,0.07274315800852824,0.011534248143912462,0.03262418350856442,0.061646764441295965,-0.009437680869924319,-0.0032707256913385926,0.00576345274456187,0.07911734482521884,0.012704255267749712,0.028783508072133854,0.07923956195164969,-0.013273611850205069,0.019824304056988765,0.012005242726490013,0.034512215162892525,0.0016157254556732133,-0.02027888963176333,0.03313469276055991,-0.02324361644666603,-0.01864505762597417,-0.015165423831748273,-5.430023218763872E-4,-0.018786091989847136,0.003933406092144536,-0.01696482168282786,0.03289852057022421,0.0748921896047688,0.023374204381930143,-0.012849236386105236,-0.012178143558241384,-0.01402675861202711,0.04727412833667326,-0.013590592763752666,-0.018702192492905723,-0.014167573824362413,-0.016930038982971796,0.059328795330475574,-0.023822914802114643,0.02493995684413601,-0.012490689369465582,-4.364265562374215E-5,-1.0635378306968994,0.02893986122596719,0.07704369999946681;-0.03312797011907348,-0.01951398066181979,-0.05177152572663092,-0.013679244663591366,-0.021936281602031402,-0.08223294744367296,0.01052326805787902,-0.0194046271242755,0.0029004927865193654,0.018760076997024033,-0.007281178216484716,-0.017916486798371007,-0.008991110973637776,0.3018944894146446,-0.01888319446940135,-0.08951404000129186,-0.06432228679164304,0.004423062483476652,-0.08375660017008826,-0.01852910266097147,-0.06742157148600579,-0.08106076402600743,-0.041884707452297276,-0.01866995047486623,0.2681326293670109,-0.03666213539268318,0.05299342123231232,-0.07887802126902267,-0.011194946354381811,0.17456132171817615,-0.017355757771695967,-0.046865494762365,-0.06621433767366078,-0.01392078504958079,-0.015779634319459897,0.014679799643636134,-0.018052124064379383,0.28810487605755475,-0.06942975893391884,-0.06739187517187549,-0.06617727151080138,-0.017551842987802834,-0.07089204961436289,-0.013903914281339995,-0.05759340398288631,-0.01882283792645206,-0.0164114814125156,0.2576041303705088,-0.017984180121174094,-0.09409306624974793,-0.029793659731928608,-0.061905179970087466,-0.009070109978222983,-0.01883253273075128,0.30191413488236585,-0.01861136479904137,0.21403767626859782,-0.05112213909789021,0.06279111723912498,0.14560645560583646,-0.006525893099168321,0.01940028171746139,-0.041672381909385,0.28643032251308115,0.03411123816465231,-0.07772484777690465,0.28533048537660455,-0.019980733700614775,-0.06369789066332009,-0.051681430069393526,-0.09105213482864083,-0.009110032486306199,-0.011793158460528004,-0.08498666589437752,0.0026276649008275853,-0.013409256668838111,-0.017846245272919208,-0.019761363997749762,0.007561599232314687,-0.03941199777567449,-0.01586787649678739,-0.09409080734455764,0.23253692636333503,-0.06872209899457912,-0.020461190222894644,-0.02027669030522768,-0.017664071553881347,0.07116459591426733,-0.018169543060858624,-0.012449118209468566,-0.018438487159696676,-0.014784556349901274,0.13661388229209298,0.001653953059550264,-0.07261802273022527,-0.020624568501733963,-0.02923211346593955,-0.6393615377868416,-0.07831362969769776,0.25777791884544404;-0.14726461366781274,-0.1483124930258099,-0.21009853609690998,-0.13237257449647122,-0.08724934307307236,-0.29584838446779305,0.05675238794774059,-0.14892190906824837,-0.02271110856889516,0.1514887188617619,-0.035410123371835606,-0.14716580948125174,0.007647043651026761,1.0462348345544747,-0.1444509922137095,-0.32745214969376985,-0.24469348651488437,2.434618039199928E-4,-0.30233100438738886,-0.1463944899269189,-0.24979066511480907,-0.2952560717779943,-0.18152333361596296,-0.1475071688452129,0.9860754382549333,-0.1691709246202632,0.4004227008517244,-0.28246478259224056,-0.11607402767263883,0.7895294779888989,-0.1432556254806813,-0.7909218200992975,-0.25145563528762255,-0.13538417152889423,-0.14122958769822996,0.10618228998268663,-0.1409904089603131,1.0213829406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x_a{109}=[-3.301212913173946,-4.0203487052309,16.722874366372118];
std_x_a{109}=[1.1125875614488983,1.178417390931349,3.944288850947452];
pred_a{109}=[-3.301212913173946];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.8 to 10.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 10.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{110}=[-5.30144917388653,-8.591849545741882,15.322062927529075];
std_x_f{110}=[1.5806612227826493,2.6447699829116087,2.7040131638647407];
pred_f{110}=[-5.30144917388653];
obs{110}=[-5.978564402382423];
sqrt_r{110}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{110}=[3.4999153163857106];
L_f{110}=[-0.037754670929172146,-0.03915754868056502,-0.05092897698259201,-0.03636200412728785,-0.02390623306819011,-0.07113455809535267,0.00896506761589484,-0.03930173285239361,-0.012647319996755222,0.03496430639193984,-0.01267388872395242,-0.03838676753143835,4.183417652438098E-4,0.355896213981042,-0.038845553427457165,-0.07838978291295581,-0.0595017296660559,-0.0068825100573697146,-0.07230460939251755,-0.03877913523336389,-0.06080193545670887,-0.07049050577349641,-0.045215079421232936,-0.03930040603414432,0.3290582352150476,-0.04185881176333694,0.11438514367130503,-0.0684559969265583,-0.033618391345737623,0.24784598011265135,-0.03743726522387201,-0.16621605239418355,-0.06125735477537158,-0.03644028218903999,-0.03765919886916477,0.02268699926763421,-0.037262009162498236,0.3455300285372391,-0.06204692775610941,-0.06114548785250342,-0.06151119881658011,-0.03826484229643394,-0.06350908216765594,-0.03609445524456213,-0.056133208564967965,-0.03703304606489669,-0.03842050827456054,0.3206052780131922,-0.039044913384810115,-0.0909927512605171,-0.03430237133247215,-0.057241606588950444,-0.03230973611534068,-0.039095409764125365,0.3555881695856863,-0.03841532904843841,0.28344879485696284,-0.05193641967936813,0.11935796389073454,0.21944117252999715,-0.010922934299323622,0.034781493751010306,-0.04486842993575616,0.3436189282862943,0.06992583722510871,-0.06763752237143945,0.3429590396872352,-0.03928291670719368,-0.05935443315259742,-0.051891160437035545,-0.0818326592396381,-0.001061243769602664,-0.03478020788138503,-0.07283549817319106,-0.014253501974916571,-0.03562655872180639,-0.03922997968794218,-0.019266621884188154,2.6812122359987805E-4,-0.04486980349696315,-0.03805880697250312,-0.090735066031572,0.3000956789814358,-0.061855041891980066,-0.03945604896867361,-0.038714162536005375,-0.037190341073207255,0.13858016404773713,-0.037592122520205405,-0.03426117656264949,-0.03859177894453926,-0.03567284211478758,0.20987318011767006,-0.016461918306729023,-0.06458013485555587,-0.03916043294248013,-0.03324557908622573,-0.9978599005532608,-0.06722462185206741,0.3205469134158328;-0.08808997909253512,-0.08374113980979715,-0.127213236354881,-0.07415761543494777,-0.05200467806081572,-0.18487532615389818,0.033663710580714865,-0.08442642061557483,-0.012855023366155138,0.0881956724395556,-0.0204328809311098,-0.0821148204846838,0.0027827912625167563,0.695339240019955,-0.08226204516799246,-0.2047923842373333,-0.150923531033705,-1.4719364727577863E-4,-0.18865445981924384,-0.08289690016441022,-0.15565401760182504,-0.18325544607480368,-0.10933035912891807,-0.0834170967338251,0.647745254066713,-0.10006975929587061,0.24031348242854797,-0.17740150914045438,-0.06577701168036636,0.4994806453882092,-0.0801618344652895,-0.4192282606585125,-0.15595813396317482,-0.07530279896748962,-0.07843936961958162,0.06277374392268809,-0.07937643111190251,0.6762842112299158,-0.15812628172014456,-0.15589261417195371,-0.15573643696485143,-0.08173798278002908,-0.1627258946881885,-0.07408972431637778,-0.14081309305604456,-0.0793525618343472,-0.08107787292619772,0.6328351041801061,-0.08205310312660682,-0.23676272360883757,-0.07708611406803205,-0.14655221201745783,-0.06215963068813097,-0.08300757660488828,0.695636295886491,-0.08193274332136007,0.5653841589620453,-0.12749245222846864,0.2552876637224354,0.4464686074164544,-0.016560629579620328,0.08774775875973652,-0.10773267481323348,0.6738290522613514,0.15876672089401733,-0.17417112402472618,0.6723907506886039,-0.08504848416998105,-0.15023676176986997,-0.12776439013438684,-0.2137588266950275,2.0026591620749736E-4,-0.06883721970912826,-0.18956105829759998,-0.01631256112793042,-0.07263010195647089,-0.08381065697101003,-0.04208517692704159,0.015407169991071203,-0.1060909659201851,-0.07927414995447275,-0.2371392811685549,0.5944490294147569,-0.157852009749977,-0.08679192381892581,-0.08360690105686332,-0.079361675435031,0.28929463575074704,-0.07981082500569867,-0.06990646309185339,-0.08067680162852474,-0.07329906523486947,0.428936850941254,-0.02128858027192152,-0.1653153129387708,-0.08427143450882395,-0.07596059658279616,-0.8197656832922945,-0.1769678805301878,0.6322350811799611;-0.09950355770694191,-0.09944491531788403,-0.135022191906981,-0.09015416759857459,-0.06631031736620445,-0.18208086323234374,0.016165711705686023,-0.09929655230218928,-0.027367849893501342,0.06774203898044166,-0.035946643569791194,-0.09929869858134643,-0.014168126487382322,0.5707532524347173,-0.09671147958286182,-0.19873417950809386,-0.15312633859295316,-0.013680302259222154,-0.1851965950375466,-0.0986251411561872,-0.15596267309707632,-0.18198379341331872,-0.11870890510004692,-0.09845842529500569,0.5344438529181019,-0.11173406207434469,0.1999477889526346,-0.1742512851297254,-0.08038822805181291,0.41913820713722644,-0.09666892746101653,-0.46997911994166786,-0.15720831234239424,-0.09218916178512543,-0.0952011963732956,0.04286485404353198,-0.09549990199833301,0.5555763707555106,-0.15656633619378668,-0.15663782966615375,-0.15598002913148287,-0.09917710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k{110}=[0.7142788011703439;1.1119313113167282;0.31226346403376126];
x_a{110}=[-5.78509822755076,-9.344755169675846,15.110624580728935];
L_a{110}=[0.030827429932731323,0.03197290715504339,0.04158450943518695,0.029690290151132528,0.019519908576285258,0.058082763046568904,-0.007320153691437799,0.03209063636165706,0.010326785042524376,-0.028549042513604208,0.010348478929821391,0.03134354921645232,-3.415842633137184E-4,-0.2905962449098608,0.03171815690645623,0.06400679652921959,0.048584330283206155,0.005619704564580044,0.0590381328986521,0.03166392514719914,0.0496459738341371,0.05755688168311363,0.036918999913304267,0.032089552988511266,-0.26868250842154867,0.03417854148755389,-0.09339771517245435,0.055895665272456284,0.027450076458250577,-0.20237110794490526,0.030568261943722756,0.13571866957838294,0.050017832647644846,0.029754205725140946,0.030749475121631686,-0.018524380244737456,0.030425161929358444,-0.2821320510081838,0.050662534485627506,0.04992649110919037,0.050225101290215485,0.031243994868695262,0.051856412264547784,0.02947183123643888,0.04583386668055603,0.030238209065652333,0.03137109919553757,-0.26178050293583205,0.031880938225043905,0.07429736757956039,0.02800855954385348,0.04673889542484048,0.02638153377390707,0.031922169509991875,-0.29034472061418326,0.03136687025574134,-0.2314415050620532,0.042407106173068,-0.0974581204974039,-0.1791780249711534,0.008918790271114363,-0.028399772403697968,0.03663595380373012,-0.2805716001386488,-0.05709581872898816,0.05522736473165744,-0.28003278814399385,0.032075272609742904,0.04846405978855652,0.04237015111327067,0.06681797263315035,8.665263699516205E-4,0.028398722465907432,0.05947161400934659,0.011638264156827161,0.029089784540863653,0.032032048494377616,0.015731574969610314,-2.1892624225254746E-4,0.036637075343418556,0.03107576298226023,0.07408696253180051,-0.24503401272575986,0.05050585591087245,0.03221663849980407,0.031610873664400505,0.03036664352761756,-0.1131534242547748,0.030694705966006694,0.027974923205645746,0.03151094505959518,0.029127575839769458,-0.17136557134809705,0.013441479442664673,0.052730947808836845,0.03197526221151463,0.027145667930105085,0.8147721966560493,0.05489022335240909,-0.26173284709639905;0.018673073680811694,0.026988985320967312,0.016804256672286345,0.028667239610647585,0.015597617492474382,0.016279720176401846,0.008312198742934398,0.026711430022184412,0.022909200212646315,-0.010676758352095552,0.01540647397195073,0.026435681662336945,0.0015998000494876112,-0.31106779095043857,0.027585816527472093,0.016879062607684164,0.017336081567872905,0.019315240175721622,0.01580926978950614,0.026763143468108347,0.016282330514256066,0.016078342373097326,0.0185293146967705,0.02771700191343114,-0.28276906024620635,0.018299025793066855,-0.08314602151405995,0.01617907394112296,0.029289426486539143,-0.20138080574374206,0.02570365513953988,0.05079922830645976,0.01726605365874169,0.02774341159868574,0.02805370626534069,-0.0013807895553877465,0.02599346757215312,-0.30080921227529156,0.017330668623212975,0.017015234997108063,0.018205573488009073,0.026467737914026335,0.01686575117126994,0.027978553204294574,0.017920980394145376,0.025369872610959604,0.027568041646621015,-0.2737758494724714,0.028358510738428988,0.02054752875817077,0.019914489849030513,0.015316200941354026,0.029206178550314658,0.027546831448972783,-0.3098996439254175,0.026698525381737385,-0.2361553035491453,0.019373897778641784,-0.08223403317413316,-0.17406943216589538,0.014327358114040557,-0.01060771253655039,0.01914673997692436,-0.2978601419941942,-0.0389702919352043,0.017094968161519845,-0.29743240369447044,0.02603615797586095,0.01760632421254546,0.018973975314555747,0.0176484217848991,0.0032012621318023016,0.02951461539160219,0.01640392414988215,0.02399364062410789,0.0281150528903168,0.02712428931890425,0.012397177662793683,0.014648973994645846,0.020792333040699853,0.02834894189868325,0.019442286216708807,-0.2541646658881079,0.017062323742688297,0.02478230354416862,0.025869412103472288,0.025805559477607036,-0.1025837995115689,0.026492571679073224,0.02697764982485573,0.028453433933656347,0.027576970273986524,-0.16454471976685736,0.025262604248503958,0.017305066897890745,0.026466846767907882,0.018051599182911264,2.0019929654066604,0.013130607254934963,-0.2742108284546283;-0.06952130938771289,-0.06834859480391407,-0.0945777860372804,-0.061277882617189965,-0.04732557723769203,-0.12559052886034994,0.009046251335796496,-0.0680857303096712,-0.017324189615628743,0.03997571256961495,-0.025881884176054325,-0.06881448118585523,-0.01450034569044075,0.28812415248914386,-0.06586292494587752,-0.1364822281827625,-0.10587402277703345,-0.008214670576541953,-0.12777708375381083,-0.06782933143100355,-0.10767782032819061,-0.1260049225548248,-0.08280209660145685,-0.06724865697328504,0.27312769052289937,-0.07849257810033061,0.1091107164214608,-0.11988808586776048,-0.05369073784426084,0.2223154157374327,-0.06693874164001692,-0.33798138734657857,-0.10856179584381727,-0.06325071357392945,-0.06529476561359591,0.02484834829947585,-0.06590889288374484,0.2811794057604003,-0.1072927933540431,-0.10808015043665099,-0.10713192658035761,-0.068789707672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x_a{110}=[-5.785098227550761,-9.344755169675853,15.110624580728938];
std_x_a{110}=[1.2906409165671404,2.2322718785925724,2.6753525740530075];
pred_a{110}=[-5.785098227550761];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 10.9 to 11.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{111}=[-10.6671143572977,-16.349012211971267,21.48922411687589];
std_x_f{111}=[1.8375469734981007,2.2910084201784375,2.815931662338507];
pred_f{111}=[-10.6671143572977];
obs{111}=[-10.779339098450125];
sqrt_r{111}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{111}=[4.376746719199856];
L_f{111}=[0.012955284166176279,0.019060180040762695,0.012834621121944214,0.019826262340860944,0.009414733608646848,0.015749342326714065,0.0019179411460985207,0.019094116999476714,0.015345049422788283,-0.014102392518875002,0.00834146795441257,0.018164580865502062,-0.003370495039693091,-0.23698481930870388,0.019660456573385048,0.017169466509506494,0.014732234221326584,0.012068914451947747,0.01600194908057434,0.019435812446368345,0.014612491237794088,0.014918733296849103,0.014094482605128066,0.020159512694034112,-0.2187094715881906,0.01296451640729353,-0.07579175777901831,0.015652968340647007,0.021151635060999794,-0.16299349478676492,0.017957514335534,0.04456591130087346,0.014807731897499836,0.019442681794579017,0.019894476161259996,-0.006731938511717972,0.018263945884846252,-0.23069432460229947,0.015959164301832172,0.0149116611196164,0.016887574812522465,0.01827066997280763,0.015839762864553263,0.018885803107478675,0.014685222538959002,0.017917887872042595,0.019119419484390363,-0.21289991656250462,0.02108709341722514,0.02113964143546697,0.0138230009156757,0.012354898874588275,0.021296467050191992,0.019783656234250373,-0.23640273897170894,0.01887912204243536,-0.1872188023487737,0.015223517122386553,-0.07410008158566751,-0.14366059455341507,0.007211343815953656,-0.015079919396541037,0.014173406995075346,-0.22862420760159888,-0.03856513242419616,0.01650094056375053,-0.22853150036303396,0.018868301930136527,0.015255384606393143,0.014885225480820007,0.018076716812436954,-0.0019853041605669168,0.021784644860016973,0.016964092334242127,0.015899330214047845,0.02041961519334035,0.018942381403609352,0.006573135384316013,0.00793352238146197,0.015292401212634005,0.019799896200345606,0.019975513571424804,-0.1996363067357357,0.015773234157321594,0.017062400412189985,0.017950166714199925,0.017531725380752563,-0.09074353777784987,0.01882894006118162,0.019528172367448905,0.020158493613080974,0.019445092183034578,-0.136877377703701,0.017192366384521943,0.016264561911689214,0.01930591350793059,0.012196194113184405,1.668063614601766,0.013181139105736596,-0.2136573306137158;-0.026138120654083573,-0.017533898126295647,-0.03902314929978586,-0.012562284200135592,-0.018497767966754973,-0.05173527721178024,0.0019716854979095204,-0.01725479847818098,0.0031020723134877544,9.009961178158742E-4,-0.008464305908911169,-0.018827886839569714,-0.015928595330526447,-0.0016113544773062186,-0.01573930480735361,-0.055998242627726846,-0.042935946281599226,0.004725232666619526,-0.052940537656615994,-0.0173646040891042,-0.044449167116589056,-0.05294368427411452,-0.03156568283731285,-0.015597909657442594,-0.006015848777107928,-0.030448645377083115,-0.019684872254046103,-0.04957487816499626,-0.008623379142534766,-0.014505897554929162,-0.01860434295791203,-0.10826475121348417,-0.04432696626770739,-0.014660983202762842,-0.01532906577080148,9.410554079760739E-4,-0.01711787248896121,-0.004664097733784421,-0.04274173806634004,-0.044357581926317384,-0.041240934767031806,-0.018814054401625927,-0.04599253960890874,-0.0132210403688488,-0.04048756874665303,-0.017368191900697005,-0.01678694483540359,-0.007588026412439843,-0.014890288372778037,-0.06223604213341691,-0.020540800828599902,-0.04591061184871674,-0.006865935071411365,-0.016408595988435016,2.7213012534311294E-4,-0.016790584399596516,-0.011937821941764437,-0.03484422794492208,-0.012748239655098557,-0.016143319482566403,-0.009473996445466301,-0.0013019630500059904,-0.031123899720678794,-0.0034170092009979183,-0.004462455400607276,-0.04675298548118153,-0.003492737202589898,-0.018684086946277753,-0.04222715267540211,-0.035481248543741774,-0.05852420309966356,-0.016313155693287427,-0.007999845716998561,-0.051746447499414344,0.0026189472679154055,-0.011592599928891993,-0.017765868375693196,-0.01849160816611697,0.0037503184147777116,-0.029067161650392057,-0.0141603309744073,-0.06449407868043829,-0.011066174329169102,-0.044083291204540326,-0.02097153089729578,-0.018544456563503453,-0.018410263347095945,-0.01912083697351549,-0.016870759470792893,-0.012918022400727355,-0.014086582117535799,-0.01331086219271683,-0.015246416852857218,0.002467002255256903,-0.0441689065338418,-0.017246763231509542,-0.021955707807035662,2.2717166679594047,-0.052784001916280424,-0.008259490286931978;-0.11216444204338012,-0.12296618944454314,-0.13237266455906177,-0.11907117015701373,-0.08732712771927384,-0.1629107811089565,-0.027945759354897567,-0.12263851138142323,-0.07457582004255282,0.027696535970850464,-0.06888757707969757,-0.12163012238390848,-0.03724703906879052,0.721020369651286,-0.12157416783460648,-0.1741246804605872,-0.14491166779090497,-0.06117695253103209,-0.16467805468057026,-0.12211145616538892,-0.14592637136318803,-0.1623628045158236,-0.12471564361991319,-0.12371632663303168,0.6631574452236085,-0.11967777023381107,0.205222044661506,-0.15791689963764421,-0.11389511154790674,0.4890290722894994,-0.1192462649412143,-0.3867593701510871,-0.1475302271543663,-0.11933551626221682,-0.12175903534964594,4.1337742209453937E-4,-0.119120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k{111}=[0.7715197921750387;0.8626371479290287;0.006933086345155964];
x_a{111}=[-10.753697966268517,-16.445821442606068,21.488446053055416];
L_a{111}=[-0.008403408813798788,-0.01236333243583438,-0.008325141067881906,-0.012860249575602443,-0.006106840604316988,-0.01021576681933221,-0.0012440671562844365,-0.012385345549117811,-0.009953523358777581,0.009147477436131143,-0.005410669841664983,-0.011782404537497168,0.0021862621738063122,0.15371953974692737,-0.012752700128603606,-0.011136926395709863,-0.009556022493560199,-0.00782846757952786,-0.010379619483201792,-0.012606985344371492,-0.009478351542440812,-0.0096769945969049,-0.009142346692718243,-0.013076411484452625,0.1418652865989529,-0.008409397281159357,0.04916211154953678,-0.010153254103011395,-0.013719948880930056,0.10572527419035627,-0.011648091412392713,-0.028907553629622114,-0.009604993849899237,-0.0126114411278616,-0.01290449627928037,0.004366653073578908,-0.011846857379181652,0.1496392279621065,-0.010351867256220991,-0.009672407248937243,-0.010954078135448806,-0.011851218940017784,-0.010274417848123212,-0.012250223326123763,-0.00952552849737358,-0.011622387817759532,-0.012401757935137793,0.1380969349919259,-0.013678084124341376,-0.013712169249297135,-0.008966250854706074,-0.00801397057483081,-0.013813893745348875,-0.012832613243799878,0.15334197496552252,-0.012245889671983024,0.1214389521361523,-0.009874691772279195,0.048064810521558345,0.09318504256491764,-0.004677617982362151,0.009781547509325746,-0.009193540777355826,0.14829645236365976,0.02501516520686689,-0.010703288912134916,0.1482363180728436,-0.012238871236424878,-0.00989536252658597,-0.009655259845822727,-0.011725411765399613,0.0012877619870767809,-0.014130548915329154,-0.01100371101174714,-0.010313056042649588,-0.013245126242625804,-0.012286922679551759,-0.004263645869464306,-0.005146057087571013,-0.009919373244618262,-0.012843147252353465,-0.01295706096856794,0.12949353160135796,-0.010231264188384841,-0.011067478271353154,-0.011643325398379591,-0.01137190459861593,0.05886054179718797,-0.012213339270297358,-0.012666894348673869,-0.013075750460444617,-0.012613004619586915,0.0887851279409207,-0.011151780335544032,-0.01054996256107628,-0.012522726761528413,-0.007911027175545505,-1.0819847948621835,-0.008549908988198374,0.13858822949631547;-0.05001929931289021,-0.05266856279161156,-0.06268190321824238,-0.049109109960594116,-0.035852457562848085,-0.08076689497010946,-0.0015637595436307924,-0.052452020981965455,-0.02518429038557012,0.026896701880807748,-0.023840586655891775,-0.052311644922155134,-0.009715578836323908,0.4352356290965429,-0.051980491794863276,-0.08764765239215483,-0.07009267344945477,-0.01752205257605422,-0.08243779915860812,-0.05319169236112985,-0.07138516554193304,-0.08044419531310118,-0.057546807826858504,-0.05275903388639883,0.39714319415667054,-0.05434684232716863,0.12002618967011286,-0.07842884452256851,-0.04761333639383148,0.2859488604648521,-0.05170640406395896,-0.19041551504214138,-0.071622862400897,-0.05050073411728936,-0.05200163376979764,0.013350403150279386,-0.05078479550632968,0.42058727543052066,-0.07216013206284877,-0.07184505643705548,-0.072370718262228,-0.05249337229539106,-0.07519083445365814,-0.04803426656594398,-0.067557636728089,-0.05039720739522996,-0.05203080878332637,0.3848619483359574,-0.053761272508074665,-0.10120389088362314,-0.04602148888096619,-0.06868506770402306,-0.04612286899145912,-0.052876883599449934,0.4360461334122883,-0.05159149502677588,0.33317276072316765,-0.06290656355653963,0.12384446369907004,0.2486740539346523,-0.02276705801245908,0.026495671077497035,-0.057250510323098,0.4180184049071995,0.06662674693640226,-0.07717006507485755,0.417771784619593,-0.05346505227302206,-0.07034823135040653,-0.06291999280626921,-0.09184599660300712,-0.012653536749972156,-0.04815666429755668,-0.08301727989660912,-0.02668915130612793,-0.04923318521604363,-0.05268338841773832,-0.030608225482100158,-0.010873974109811016,-0.057256475045348795,-0.050658554596609756,-0.10131602733719318,0.356934268330944,-0.0731589500713399,-0.052423579911815336,-0.05163297340023555,-0.050727444556287284,0.14815165276953304,-0.051579166927497415,-0.0489153627295935,-0.051245827819244076,-0.049155056307145895,0.23706708467767787,-0.02922462009204412,-0.07415025652494048,-0.05283440173797048,-0.04443761455940658,-0.8031155536727366,-0.07708151124706847,0.38558666690282717;-0.11235637705807675,-0.12324856966016261,-0.13256281192766145,-0.11936490002854465,-0.08746660879976356,-0.163144110630113,-0.027974174020090375,-0.12292139437958154,-0.07480315988695165,0.027905465615359334,-0.06901115752408572,-0.12189923412631883,-0.037197104539629884,0.7245313451106775,-0.12186544126195493,-0.1743790493933374,-0.14512992866079563,-0.061355755808752244,-0.16491512661913602,-0.12239940144699497,-0.14614285821785744,-0.16258382840521557,-0.12492445607753767,-0.12401499367233158,0.6663976679084305,-0.11986984202592672,0.20634491406032401,-0.1581488013597506,-0.1142084770699762,0.4914438521133973,-0.11951230895334829,-0.3874196226573841,-0.14774960653678001,-0.11962356331453289,-0.12205377582198236,5.131123797079695E-4,-0.119391404139871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x_a{111}=[-10.753697966268522,-16.44582144260606,21.488446053055412];
std_x_a{111}=[1.1919197012427079,1.6737989109718623,2.8158959640320798];
pred_a{111}=[-10.753697966268522];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.0 to 11.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{112}=[-14.22736081314189,-13.431013850855116,35.52542631275302];
std_x_f{112}=[1.5042304321082423,2.473767374212456,1.710623858534989];
pred_f{112}=[-14.22736081314189];
obs{112}=[-13.986830824688122];
sqrt_r{112}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{112}=[3.266394209794656];
L_f{112}=[-0.06070434015871944,-0.06661728787612499,-0.07192946145140065,-0.0641884250775256,-0.04692823554149954,-0.0887305861958292,-0.014212255079261056,-0.06577739319737601,-0.03975079788723555,0.016866074618702064,-0.03654602397402687,-0.06552946852090588,-0.01900653966667043,0.42850362984394336,-0.06537663080105292,-0.0948361985975156,-0.07907588379152108,-0.032086143506359605,-0.08988125833887532,-0.06632990474909288,-0.07978698738973293,-0.08843145991363156,-0.06760972942631979,-0.06692939558471155,0.3931091973602359,-0.06468309569025674,0.11860297074055644,-0.0862599121312135,-0.06228748980554134,0.2865562577312473,-0.06467319075302355,-0.2051877082915945,-0.0801784230754036,-0.06381759555749027,-0.06561798781055392,0.0022582577896442,-0.06439312083152703,0.4154471330907202,-0.08105497915183855,-0.07983229268543046,-0.08123716806426254,-0.06543205644967094,-0.08318387862464216,-0.06300115618631702,-0.07655337464610186,-0.06389451114133662,-0.06523648915711933,0.3817732640592902,-0.06700093602930286,-0.10882104707471393,-0.057786054047588256,-0.07639818403651086,-0.06080604447450066,-0.0664876835813358,0.428811388728339,-0.0648884764683032,0.3324626294336851,-0.07329614027412615,0.12243157858198664,0.24958221865188013,-0.03474024777738338,0.016273103888530236,-0.06771674548358989,0.4125326605152196,0.05998840174632722,-0.08538146737076209,0.41234133608118173,-0.06605705402079609,-0.07900761519607721,-0.07310095934345619,-0.09994358832505891,-0.021445962258554406,-0.06331953799819827,-0.09061624765035045,-0.04114721830018887,-0.06330785177550625,-0.0662367913813392,-0.04105110499773655,-0.024186390833872976,-0.067907362593785,-0.06534249750925698,-0.10902478267595944,0.35565440811801713,-0.08160775112154897,-0.06592532937462788,-0.0649026769605311,-0.06372858986106039,0.14801231490411054,-0.06446916680803837,-0.06215031245915344,-0.06588571058353687,-0.06330347606664606,0.23683226780853622,-0.04407083844202456,-0.08306581322346354,-0.0661625355592144,-0.055724620803871555,0.18663299034405684,-0.08372627166132517,0.38185783714584187;-0.08345540246917776,-0.08755879231106554,-0.09639323583655159,-0.08527420893731502,-0.06950066888701287,-0.11441376199019965,-0.03387715297175357,-0.08818177792539604,-0.05879751954466637,-0.0028424637668359237,-0.05851075398431825,-0.0872652505260738,-0.04142447351237499,0.46315346451695383,-0.08730443305114367,-0.1200429633317366,-0.10322426478379715,-0.051395906682335096,-0.11476271046140704,-0.08735326787018731,-0.1043343385874199,-0.11405224841847135,-0.09115338213054429,-0.08806889922976205,0.4186273126863544,-0.08844533166001456,0.09980579134564052,-0.11122350100825021,-0.08147821413179929,0.28999272645640406,-0.08583669223511042,-0.23327435692471013,-0.10520539124804705,-0.08568302453861433,-0.08677091895762283,-0.018102757459561428,-0.08616558908381967,0.446079769070981,-0.10486917444155788,-0.1043746396350781,-0.10474862443212794,-0.08773448600139994,-0.10684111343801433,-0.08523332988698393,-0.10056818990993793,-0.08528606101557919,-0.08700468006323438,0.404690661920856,-0.08673360977236547,-0.13439627404141188,-0.07995429267835774,-0.10165410154982289,-0.08050267794801924,-0.08791345352876498,0.46303806743487774,-0.08611876928672615,0.3449963359911573,-0.09678991616063222,0.10515331962361381,0.24709017034896644,-0.05598744814026062,-0.004018910338142755,-0.09029080623032722,0.4423818972540657,0.04016897927810917,-0.11006349862920276,0.4427286565529891,-0.08700966833515841,-0.10421333786065753,-0.09736556437703492,-0.12492116193194105,-0.04349312036543173,-0.0837508054000972,-0.1153306489672694,-0.06007583922269136,-0.08432351436950412,-0.08832927369049866,-0.06398244312406973,-0.04381664736934562,-0.09079577168267042,-0.08745192253366771,-0.13518402956649123,0.37150299247147217,-0.10512116686110512,-0.0877974294879733,-0.08748720262395657,-0.08572884248754549,0.1314284315394763,-0.08572236208747774,-0.08220560609969615,-0.087479655608163,-0.08460451747452334,0.23287019072983486,-0.06295825962226718,-0.10708400544572652,-0.08782303484364079,-0.07814917131185696,1.8454408658312986,-0.10942542623651608,0.4049385075190031;0.054544200408217176,0.06003106034754653,0.07007493644775112,0.05663238470371134,0.03510470881478681,0.09436527886476914,-0.008402531303663037,0.05965249337435726,0.025130598261389775,-0.04768804645110472,0.020260223574174032,0.05993889912635206,-0.0011625115343404605,-0.4334564716797565,0.059862591237657456,0.10310211088709433,0.08073121072382557,0.014530045067298917,0.09642645494892621,0.06145746201076272,0.08163205421013695,0.09347510921496038,0.0642305694533885,0.06128371650590461,-0.41036566537237873,0.06023351204592318,-0.16614982356967503,0.09167833184542085,0.05495955591594524,-0.32825819278355334,0.05884563966662683,0.2604680095132626,0.08219843019883692,0.05731502004020495,0.059995958779028316,-0.029086494847751804,0.058084214669650816,-0.42460951594041907,0.08343837964483664,0.0823942968067748,0.08393690751012747,0.060229728263401845,0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k{112}=[0.6938520166973765;0.8558218716454046;-0.6813655696821037];
x_a{112}=[-14.060468595577046,-13.225163025949763,35.36153746014459];
L_a{112}=[0.05394302346976031,0.0591973805167426,0.06391787831142114,0.05703904714870009,0.041701316653648624,0.0788476751601706,0.012629278356280513,0.05845103423821759,0.03532330996047978,-0.014987512534039005,0.0324754873177581,0.05823072368700177,0.01688957021256525,-0.38077642061692357,0.058094909201784624,0.08427323768535903,0.07026832421051164,0.028512353279719297,0.07987018416456883,0.05894200644092401,0.07090022430179788,0.07858186589482294,0.06007928282709889,0.05947472532282167,-0.34932425925291904,0.05747862080031357,-0.1053928404050394,0.07665218751126093,0.05534984015422439,-0.2546393041385047,0.05746981908596767,0.18233367392084232,0.071248061446948,0.056709521031617624,0.058309383600057774,-0.0020067305340778674,0.05722094366274479,-0.36917417094333405,0.07202698573605253,0.07094048344344615,0.07218888224548045,0.0581441614802283,0.07391876602599465,0.05598401758251209,0.06802677492954973,0.056777869672485354,0.05797037668947947,-0.33925093476729395,0.05953829751340218,0.09670043823896218,0.05134977930019011,0.06788886962206173,0.05403339984612521,0.05908221169195655,-0.38104990097566865,0.057661126039665965,-0.29543257328007594,0.0651323349321032,-0.10879501366162701,-0.2217834745122327,0.03087084047534126,-0.014460587541017079,0.06017437931729829,-0.3665843155535694,-0.05330682707125576,0.07587158490185891,-0.36641430104705,0.05869954612916112,0.07020765944689422,0.06495889346982153,0.08881176068423742,0.0190572872124141,0.05626693767530527,0.08052330955190123,0.03656419552010606,0.056256553077049194,0.05885926414327376,0.03647878742380878,0.021492483815640485,0.060343765282487916,0.05806457771386094,0.0968814815431293,-0.31604122594977735,0.072518189351108,0.058582493120080986,0.05767374486533029,0.05663042888830626,-0.1315265392196042,0.05728851955410622,0.05522794177271862,0.05854728711385339,0.056252664739491726,-0.21045362732531764,0.03916217961012926,0.07381385088005796,0.058793279016919164,0.04951795077596233,-0.16584560102355292,0.07440074672508674,-0.33932608800972813;0.05795475266269222,0.06762551557196836,0.07116572742373002,0.0642520872739703,0.03981818789715455,0.09228325384239403,-7.69846471473368E-4,0.06504600367787562,0.03380156778833651,-0.04213181642367024,0.026622844471868554,0.06538499301535582,0.0028510711316575405,-0.5350414687014702,0.06498977654579507,0.10087701571304403,0.08098221806259573,0.02334844469277837,0.09461478465534703,0.0671615838838532,0.08152865300077082,0.09194795572225678,0.06634280844828289,0.06784246044847826,-0.4971166429703506,0.06223329481139027,-0.17647864643378372,0.08971810422529732,0.06361987231715113,-0.3775372187474125,0.06481886078376962,0.24470836366498985,0.0815694458670053,0.06297942800319753,0.06608552938643786,-0.02336334646401141,0.06383754384544202,-0.521700185143889,0.083947591313627,0.08159389018771163,0.08449254857798834,0.06468883709135914,0.08693490241233959,0.06152723528019366,0.07776213303351161,0.0635555656118971,0.06496307097147885,-0.4846463501390656,0.0693444026582388,0.11910127009155849,0.05465774405513702,0.07631470641595117,0.06114439637339456,0.0669689424418121,-0.5358737870361588,0.06503828965933763,-0.4294720443724817,0.073952711790373,-0.18004982194832658,-0.3343091194784057,0.02493961267078972,-0.04192694359140537,0.06745467718688049,-0.5186088221556567,-0.09957340446053708,0.08883177829362732,-0.5178163744952906,0.06686958036784144,0.07983411397333803,0.07292239154207555,0.10789643055864016,0.006465034883518336,0.06375142702335206,0.09575899642217009,0.035776195538926026,0.06315149511470465,0.0659686714017701,0.031645696657807025,0.012525308921678456,0.06739375239214108,0.06476277390036714,0.11878811461818414,-0.4569904050978661,0.0849832756859687,0.06577496796517107,0.06370293622716261,0.06272627217188656,-0.21336478023569685,0.06445791918583157,0.06257292708860515,0.06600045026616429,0.06286029883952461,-0.3188282157345539,0.03970431910906762,0.08641697822978263,0.06630193205137445,0.05166077723443698,1.4106811756959128,0.08561408878472525,-0.4845955167027833;-0.058039988080696624,-0.0635194679220292,-0.06332771688439852,-0.06241349782857201,-0.05192988050522287,-0.07019727160334857,-0.03476102890881715,-0.06234033966987233,-0.048592488262901,-0.016407691224851768,-0.04751918792843521,-0.061594124974500786,-0.03641264091157372,0.3612599078146483,-0.0613869751958333,-0.07278410137644736,-0.06592542342185177,-0.04497793111623711,-0.07027016845537588,-0.06156007642550559,-0.06634341515106007,-0.0705326721930065,-0.06116057229224706,-0.06284565658762549,0.3187070806061205,-0.059729802244254754,0.05381499572145398,-0.06830202838954279,-0.0605607919608797,0.20319810257753818,-0.06109930461380354,-0.12007960150612854,-0.06650300816064944,-0.06104311034006148,-0.06170123599503479,-0.024898258553919944,-0.06134130307967139,0.3458918718807975,-0.0668887473272338,-0.06566519718819694,-0.06672811277901564,-0.06112263233035531,-0.06713987505437254,-0.06189061444069577,-0.06476492247479543,-0.06098863827219148,-0.0610304983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x_a{112}=[-14.060468595577039,-13.225163025949767,35.36153746014459];
std_x_a{112}=[1.3366875793556856,2.32332087675862,1.5703803354007706];
pred_a{112}=[-14.060468595577039];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.1 to 11.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{113}=[-9.027637929128982,-1.9800308534607123,34.72515844668045];
std_x_f{113}=[0.8575721671826179,2.0652385087944354,1.5534455361138144];
pred_f{113}=[-9.027637929128982];
obs{113}=[-9.151033045036908];
sqrt_r{113}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{113}=[1.7354324616169639];
L_f{113}=[-0.0015619509185086603,2.0495763881220522E-4,0.0023491398344076568,-0.0011848583470654283,-0.007786601717694669,0.00919465755088213,-0.018741629968432594,-2.6440437832736297E-4,-0.008345867922685461,-0.029003649927522974,-0.01145098471774481,-1.244770822580776E-4,-0.017928226617939885,-0.03982594930535902,4.894270450415438E-5,0.012110774633431376,0.0055633719935119785,-0.012157017225798884,0.010107631429700907,9.911207236011116E-4,0.005751739595206416,0.008851955438565541,8.465138855720777E-4,6.931970323818113E-4,-0.04739101006117857,-5.471723273675005E-4,-0.05363293040796983,0.008680214345561993,-3.872683601987779E-4,-0.061161512389844956,-6.869162854777584E-5,0.0644633203661877,0.005623074429944105,-6.969028893867225E-4,1.8237663539951365E-4,-0.024257445419136305,-1.0112320453261387E-4,-0.04278775999976261,0.00650832897662469,0.005978421482475937,0.007329598606759864,-5.3290395682468236E-5,0.007908525024651386,-0.0019812589765474285,0.004394899222562298,-5.201085831075658E-4,1.877343936084053E-4,-0.04987064347031672,0.002034137318652202,0.018639405488376667,-0.0029475047305450265,0.004154113807919635,-0.001001277093327884,5.695999237663554E-4,-0.040084417535803676,-1.2337716878151509E-4,-0.05658980060584361,0.002809203321656887,-0.05301885489878448,-0.062436018961145305,-0.011781854624498284,-0.029252631803508043,0.0013631610833968793,-0.04359145525488817,-0.041142812687680455,0.008522604192794,-0.04364706213571149,7.488197913601479E-4,0.00502412079525777,0.00296395898662335,0.014054135600116436,-0.015819564423263682,-6.306154084288861E-4,0.010852399483343949,-0.008359235643972077,-6.902747390003221E-4,4.888178184701824E-5,-0.009300268155170465,-0.014780567613182286,0.0011709690990463783,-0.0011578915385149478,0.018281050303129796,-0.05397421472877333,0.006636015250951002,-9.621395754790186E-5,-7.198439623992131E-4,-7.26222960612953E-4,-0.0571940093881896,-1.4431682392565095E-4,-2.546689098329957E-4,-2.6272259850621867E-5,-8.762839242846434E-4,-0.06257983317791355,-0.007147234412378056,0.007242841512853512,1.2172177903466277E-4,-0.004272033465159815,0.8250079672285235,0.007372102034459704,-0.04938833549164865;-0.08109421889945781,-0.08709502183360351,-0.08835456370561388,-0.084684787353404,-0.0723350891838426,-0.09876450979711021,-0.04702872358261585,-0.08585576492591232,-0.06686791839918156,-0.021384876442530967,-0.06525613894741278,-0.08448655717455525,-0.05082389231157356,0.5198268976809217,-0.08462514410737768,-0.10207849892424713,-0.09259008133724574,-0.061260092169531245,-0.09880062998949561,-0.08498334059938117,-0.09312836926024126,-0.09886560626261709,-0.0860940905625051,-0.0863853153800945,0.4623204166260863,-0.0830990934402324,0.08180668959319574,-0.09682799766785101,-0.08279056012414758,0.3002093059304825,-0.08465179227544355,-0.15594607546366276,-0.09356176141296672,-0.08441721339970516,-0.08503888910298213,-0.03369997863741313,-0.08445470810174946,0.49893166337636685,-0.09380040786542945,-0.09306374787761441,-0.09387618818881494,-0.08474120918383207,-0.0947609450137972,-0.08453549624339918,-0.09095264713227816,-0.08361453982789516,-0.08426185733580586,0.4438792182154509,-0.08552868864400003,-0.10994230601814,-0.07948025734920743,-0.09128899609140667,-0.08200618297147165,-0.08615685563486375,0.520639775177,-0.0848784146947497,0.3674861473189982,-0.08953817581339556,0.08673344917478316,0.24666799582142201,-0.06319545632248418,-0.022407411531478297,-0.08578009528575095,0.4933972230864593,0.01898717095863036,-0.09562538792622938,0.4935324871093645,-0.08491999644849003,-0.0927372906119735,-0.08909935150444179,-0.10563075212632174,-0.05200725591613343,-0.08438342165543225,-0.09916126161282152,-0.06740449118347883,-0.0840534077044891,-0.08553362351346921,-0.06752921007184852,-0.05451725913415321,-0.08578174601666778,-0.08576949309339121,-0.11138599373397098,0.4038871758119677,-0.09477034920966967,-0.08630870479918631,-0.08534617880272238,-0.08402604482084393,0.11489672988353263,-0.08366809076871079,-0.08241869882473284,-0.0857649945380128,-0.08372843177519343,0.228251541942069,-0.06945667204577673,-0.0959737477751391,-0.08548097443541976,-0.07842097014161101,1.1218524714759253,-0.09548102918607432,0.4442196499952592;-0.05441699465251049,-0.06366464630391475,-0.06696666995115765,-0.0606007695188721,-0.03822060807292347,-0.08672351436723587,-0.0015957239553655972,-0.06131330543344401,-0.03236806929626886,0.036373512733494325,-0.026632139334497706,-0.06146844042067782,-0.004167466588802205,0.4139168748475672,-0.06161297903541979,-0.09420631699275962,-0.07562555892384004,-0.022756815547829375,-0.08825012250031446,-0.06271657171623748,-0.07593032030106077,-0.08610191848375766,-0.06206983959250106,-0.06381455069496905,0.39084528683942604,-0.058158707515892354,0.1531562454035556,-0.08317888608180586,-0.059454093190761045,0.3106892348390214,-0.06091194931592898,-0.2287166051111484,-0.07604721237072881,-0.05923109302347217,-0.06191757875807591,0.019203538125099097,-0.06012862717515425,0.40657603287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k{113}=[0.42377475233564277;0.36161678804707953;-0.359183498259491];
x_a{113}=[-9.07992966381229,-2.0246525989360333,34.769479936080394];
L_a{113}=[-0.0030366805274057557,3.984701845290359E-4,0.004567100737140917,-0.0023035527093917944,-0.015138389773069128,0.017875873825527622,-0.03643670367780982,-5.140440826361602E-4,-0.016225692052677973,-0.05638769945645591,-0.022262532004012816,-2.4200320722127496E-4,-0.034855318445983115,-0.07742796736308644,9.515238665003682E-5,0.02354526833420242,0.010816078276993893,-0.02363517127424696,0.01965083997010163,0.0019268960157477275,0.011182294795887981,0.01720960651914759,0.001645757367939358,0.0013476850680424284,-0.09213564633917913,-0.001063789861744577,-0.10427093032673009,0.016875714572416507,-7.529111666446165E-4,-0.11890768877568728,-1.3354742990642982E-4,0.12532692760590988,0.010932149290496197,-0.0013548898423223702,3.5456912941942125E-4,-0.04716032448652779,-1.9659956176230146E-4,-0.08318619750654377,0.012653224653266903,0.011623000367894173,0.014249903181400432,-1.0360498844688813E-4,0.015375428035721995,-0.003851881952586461,0.008544381728593698,-0.0010111736468437385,3.649854618602782E-4,-0.0969564472999571,0.003954685843469515,0.03623796306161528,-0.005730417078808291,0.008076256660600615,-0.0019466416107039176,0.0011073926692681205,-0.07793047063194314,-2.3986480082420925E-4,-0.11001955536068629,0.005461537186164575,-0.10307707005941749,-0.12138553186362079,-0.022905795624551,-0.056871759746393,0.0026502015323381168,-0.08474870865992779,-0.07998815881530394,0.01656929541662834,-0.084856817263204,0.001455824540972466,0.00976768834763413,0.005762406764549329,0.027323470539741282,-0.030755744413552066,-0.0012260164569616763,0.021098787289785027,-0.016251681024831863,-0.0013420036658282066,9.503394333380213E-5,-0.018081197604738444,-0.028735769685906153,0.002276549806483732,-0.0022511249528976234,0.03554126369671266,-0.10493444122135054,0.012901467039291374,-1.8705520633729568E-4,-0.0013994909298913054,-0.0014118927150117498,-0.11119423314479321,-2.8057481435492373E-4,-4.951167864889652E-4,-5.107744357005244E-5,-0.0017036350488493933,-0.12166512952987858,-0.013895358239294274,0.014081233619151142,2.3664646038216704E-4,-0.008305511192670987,1.6039464488611912,0.014332536591781391,-0.09601876402855686;-0.08235263975031856,-0.08692989310697857,-0.08646192641837593,-0.08563939510169806,-0.0786085398043309,-0.09135662735891051,-0.062128338847031866,-0.08606878825385615,-0.07359195440311708,-0.04475231865044156,-0.07448188206195958,-0.08458684493258382,-0.06526817089140519,0.48774022682764284,-0.08458571231786699,-0.09232118124019972,-0.08810782569478795,-0.07105466623708127,-0.09065718963345014,-0.08418482192026028,-0.08849435102730117,-0.09173382948091649,-0.0854120776314183,-0.08582682561644951,0.4241387846057574,-0.0835399351194516,0.03859611420420474,-0.08983458795634715,-0.08310257157955181,0.2509331593182629,-0.0847071352293223,-0.10400975307144163,-0.08903140516122435,-0.08497868887030849,-0.08489195326909849,-0.05324353454708953,-0.08453618028348174,0.4644587431922196,-0.08855682639856684,-0.08824709828918742,-0.08797093239243649,-0.08478414378842349,-0.08838926414172903,-0.08613174205208446,-0.08741179783057192,-0.08403357699349237,-0.08411060490364478,0.403699813827519,-0.08388984021094625,-0.09492505020282503,-0.08185498075887047,-0.0879421409688887,-0.08281288435805303,-0.08569794465871054,0.48834486358668955,-0.08497781628277333,0.3218933030211709,-0.08727487804111081,0.04401761751659937,0.1963650143548688,-0.07268777221127545,-0.04597545158181349,-0.0846818339318882,0.4582767877628788,-0.01416046046543921,-0.08875896037543218,0.45836725085289354,-0.084316692959361,-0.08868949481309583,-0.08671137135368083,-0.0943077220167141,-0.06475264342214328,-0.08489149112767824,-0.09041778214117235,-0.07413929719241022,-0.08460954305681465,-0.08549424080766545,-0.07502218006621425,-0.06642555551630606,-0.08483832845309953,-0.08670237442649588,-0.09665745482504802,0.3604016370420649,-0.08942389442708505,-0.08638622173578588,-0.08592613726422997,-0.08461114266558366,0.06881709120505748,-0.08378436286036613,-0.08262387855375142,-0.08578616137443731,-0.08443442960683212,0.17783269332060922,-0.07521500203165733,-0.09013838978069363,-0.08538290654933836,-0.08186282988536173,1.7865386762623239,-0.08954152954821719,0.40442882786666734;-0.05316704161262102,-0.06382866389284506,-0.06884657183690163,-0.05965258524803294,-0.031989370988510415,-0.09408154977045048,0.013402287233039581,-0.06110171552204905,-0.025689278780597378,0.059583717334175806,-0.01746847549073013,-0.06136882749076997,0.010179617621963974,0.4457876371172694,-0.061652145491645174,-0.10389797848423073,-0.08007765383471431,-0.013028148368011807,-0.09633876631231303,-0.06350971722848328,-0.0805331566043596,-0.09318570612285244,-0.06274726331436196,-0.06436928242667807,0.4287699977810337,-0.05772083222427351,0.19607606036525127,-0.09012523771140121,-0.05914418123491997,0.3596338062913305,-0.06085697876025986,-0.28030345223822806,-0.0805470842258228,-0.058673395675383426,-0.06206352587275232,0.038615587045663737,-0.060047703213068696,0.4408169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x_a{113}=[-9.079929663812296,-2.0246525989360356,34.76947993608041];
std_x_a{113}=[1.6672564227658528,2.398665809272567,1.970267727124016];
pred_a{113}=[-9.079929663812296];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.2 to 11.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{114}=[-3.4744680884003913,0.1426380494522141,27.18555952950132];
std_x_f{114}=[1.9106971036112548,2.3556595589180134,0.7250266132875772];
pred_f{114}=[-3.4744680884003913];
obs{114}=[-3.708358399756085];
sqrt_r{114}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{114}=[4.654298475919985];
L_f{114}=[-0.05945632154402258,-0.0627475862325421,-0.062449442038817346,-0.06246991024904681,-0.055709597131889874,-0.06719617321581335,-0.04277158613078253,-0.062140768568751406,-0.05235185073389067,-0.029068623470556384,-0.05237770128969293,-0.06154907956788058,-0.044341101967948965,0.31766799248324334,-0.06157778296266815,-0.06830982303182158,-0.06468492055567408,-0.04992115338015084,-0.06644929574120541,-0.060772855998216094,-0.06448429132465555,-0.06717226512501481,-0.061613883328462675,-0.06253227964577289,0.2787908729220475,-0.06020655006527764,0.03224913194362745,-0.06580184071435044,-0.05957059098874793,0.1707134545020514,-0.061737836844727056,-0.08121827293418299,-0.06492972251414464,-0.061534148039540035,-0.06132907056137378,-0.03549563400288959,-0.061342706184149526,0.30350928385007975,-0.06446895659004263,-0.06434212502900448,-0.06377046112737084,-0.06107569827815176,-0.06471015864433859,-0.06163473161746524,-0.06374669208546975,-0.061032953725101695,-0.06085939109504939,0.2659019284982653,-0.06089490446986901,-0.0707321586993103,-0.05899598093947883,-0.06401332047617656,-0.05971820163234699,-0.06167731870745746,0.3177999207991917,-0.06173595545806242,0.2152323131353117,-0.06342245938869345,0.03535492065648113,0.1364244590425925,-0.05178381833213891,-0.0294128094177394,-0.061731330160504715,0.29979397370705163,-0.00586816015549892,-0.06497345076711895,0.29940423408738276,-0.061379712417292655,-0.06460077753497462,-0.06229110081160046,-0.06981083303438113,-0.04441049484408787,-0.061041217133011146,-0.06622699206087147,-0.05243619173068517,-0.06087282045992988,-0.06211549551791226,-0.05261297339965404,-0.04610012811715368,-0.06120809876132842,-0.06201255300578702,-0.07175401288822937,0.2397382205508316,-0.06520134313732527,-0.06263515943925942,-0.0623361663211185,-0.06083257723256759,0.05326491612602181,-0.06048786607819639,-0.05964627827097478,-0.06242028313681311,-0.06039353742271609,0.12435052425874402,-0.05364201456247889,-0.065636460698624,-0.062134061364547286,-0.05853005939289816,1.5771950839665265,-0.06517140654123328,0.26646508766726007;-0.0902314789102665,-0.0993217206724933,-0.10153636006462599,-0.09616305754690177,-0.0744858634732401,-0.12087554730197483,-0.03679639427804842,-0.09676077449322688,-0.0682183412794693,0.0011642203856136208,-0.06327208283650626,-0.09649785560508113,-0.041212734644434215,0.5420238874250616,-0.09678300094040033,-0.12672156793838477,-0.10988302991688766,-0.05854970922141177,-0.12094986549484363,-0.09772723738578254,-0.11011396228548376,-0.11958215829430585,-0.09801962959150567,-0.09849373029908229,0.49475696745416853,-0.09306664031173927,0.1343834557579212,-0.117599077735714,-0.09346108439593061,0.3538462462204583,-0.09618773837207971,-0.23353219144768095,-0.11045084761132781,-0.09517492617180638,-0.09653990905487927,-0.016180763662626704,-0.09511294738037558,0.5259791086546314,-0.11177617711635668,-0.11070721410917746,-0.11236032447292582,-0.09571084557991599,-0.11445182684716909,-0.09428642483923372,-0.10740203002374415,-0.09490399776186528,-0.09613114119432238,0.4792156502242562,-0.09910146222867212,-0.14141841511790854,-0.08741145505605598,-0.10656894032681515,-0.09248364409583229,-0.09814582130908361,0.5432256322421968,-0.09577649295599382,0.4135589216803163,-0.103987165080604,0.13876849176768083,0.3049160296260524,-0.062023617758790825,0.0012144135546645891,-0.09824163326864666,0.5214745243758074,0.05682629423945114,-0.11594365420336047,0.5197843057819695,-0.098141530829731,-0.10914595424247438,-0.10269891222642552,-0.1326765089030982,-0.04385086945009741,-0.09462338874786817,-0.12184372996654665,-0.06873465782574499,-0.09457922688309367,-0.09744559742677769,-0.06720384981429085,-0.04830965631017227,-0.09819692117292282,-0.09678642309058999,-0.14229709328247375,0.44559598039793963,-0.11299671717522723,-0.09813014571759968,-0.09632107860330685,-0.09466711816338835,0.17203360949827767,-0.0949869566975665,-0.09289143783628606,-0.09750991522518464,-0.0938193389324843,0.2871555667174852,-0.07243916593358486,-0.11490523493193286,-0.09711911986657551,-0.08507361543884938,1.3745154484962032,-0.11426683846238349,0.479556760621513;-0.02149319941866186,-0.026040731403861143,-0.029202045476933804,-0.023595898797943115,-0.010981657100793737,-0.04186808653115427,0.008186425599479819,-0.02489891473566848,-0.009558399926164963,0.026965803207496832,-0.004423510033528336,-0.025098769936406938,0.007573908391313494,0.10945303698313215,-0.025736817326943717,-0.047194611053147754,-0.03514167635081113,-0.0032330077209119443,-0.043563279868650225,-0.026652152682158183,-0.03560836243263814,-0.041487076627758586,-0.026076778743615837,-0.026653235611639535,0.1049744103680601,-0.02328571697108428,0.06937119768948363,-0.03997028755118214,-0.025393549449062344,0.09485253982209639,-0.025191564610741724,-0.15410926021673985,-0.035109146775063695,-0.02321654332389688,-0.02576684033692779,0.018282763811187222,-0.024774055031260407,0.10831145557723149,-0.03633712860585623,-0.0349262782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k{114}=[0.7851448493959474;0.9059720554785071;0.28329952772149275];
x_a{114}=[-3.6581058616849287,-0.06926003668321187,27.119298514755616];
L_a{114}=[0.03649414202163248,0.03851431208689092,0.03833131192364228,0.03834387526008227,0.03419441191284916,0.041244843693069556,0.026253092996873877,0.038141848916810356,0.03213343553995881,0.0178422486584943,0.03214930254670053,0.037778671682335285,0.027216457907102063,-0.19498382228080946,0.037796289754538276,0.04192839917535226,0.0397034430673437,0.030641479560588176,0.04078641216008425,0.03730222758932336,0.03958029734523473,0.041230168966507254,0.037818448069114746,0.03838215744039252,-0.17112114316084784,0.0369546304187003,-0.01979443683467203,0.04038900587780751,0.03656428032208972,-0.1047834930216547,0.03789453042855384,0.049851573562572145,0.0398537018995015,0.037769506747443525,0.037643630702318576,0.02178713170962337,0.03765200021360359,-0.18629324219978277,0.03957088492333764,0.0394930360271874,0.03914215014872934,0.03748811142618229,0.03971893414328252,0.037831244696958595,0.03912756077003365,0.03746187492602304,0.03735534261614772,-0.16320994118777982,0.037377140637126424,0.04341522277253604,0.036211586105553674,0.039291216611915,0.03665488336734238,0.03785738454668542,-0.1950647995524244,0.037893375638106706,-0.13210905752702415,0.038928547548614474,-0.02170076220820092,-0.08373699304351417,0.03178477866707996,0.018053509135297352,0.03789053664199023,-0.18401279409110388,0.00360186208226655,0.03988054219222315,-0.18377357288363122,0.037674714547301806,0.03965179629089022,0.03823412247290164,0.042849715374988745,0.027259051081575923,0.03746694698520868,0.04064996271498991,0.03218520383364618,0.0373635855268506,0.038126336381175935,0.03229371198158801,0.028296143774673106,0.037569378512865605,0.0380631505237263,0.04404243432763037,-0.1471507224394556,0.04002042196123647,0.03844530480129799,0.03826178357035795,0.03733888433416613,-0.03269387280264404,0.03712730148649959,0.03661073698733729,0.038313414262244806,0.03706940279279619,-0.07632604195674957,0.032925334883358394,0.04028749603621745,0.03813773205158181,0.035925604621158264,-0.9680784127803406,0.040002046953145534,-0.16355560688253462;0.02048495611133576,0.017523534356171787,0.014753706526638365,0.020165123868977414,0.029253618397760403,0.00425363244454561,0.042850603949270386,0.01895449659599618,0.029268521841516133,0.05529428222037296,0.03426291782994813,0.018115603345134915,0.041356933430065496,-0.04952074121753884,0.017883907962005334,4.813919258581166E-4,0.01056982719902294,0.0344108371239343,0.0027885182986293034,0.01544077885655655,0.009965293628020766,0.005502501062916406,0.01671450351347324,0.017950592127216992,-0.02439273378719267,0.019046830805736777,0.07433081831555885,0.004933649358039969,0.01746813717592129,0.03595262949721199,0.0187772144518594,-0.08229179506314804,0.010457866836895252,0.01941072807162068,0.017663860694247517,0.04991733917277486,0.019116213908352366,-0.03919991741343326,0.008274523260844062,0.009107307205449017,0.0063896743893227005,0.018021107628881063,0.006048027310118006,0.020486530853061777,0.011303707378749882,0.01874835878828561,0.017198016154241103,-0.015932936573182746,0.01429382625874249,-0.009704709170400946,0.022447757902236336,0.012633298442194504,0.018720450253314265,0.016706437822433102,-0.048564666371919724,0.0191849564486451,0.012764627769098291,0.014114803246167084,0.07293241792549188,0.050873576902789985,0.034405485297906886,0.05598540035866251,0.016711203150136307,-0.036786046541426975,0.06775367345970108,0.005046488697772354,-0.03775051251290566,0.01615654152010538,0.011150216165583163,0.01329629965907997,-0.002678447153984861,0.03884801838880189,0.019044355485898456,0.0014806916049187918,0.028909260663765667,0.018774937922466126,0.018222611516346097,0.030769262201780657,0.037535577747761374,0.015781581252371404,0.01869009172046017,-0.008680544206246194,-8.319254750765066E-4,0.008417794912270198,0.018505754049422465,0.019758051903914397,0.018612107820670118,0.07284648402447408,0.017650366304049453,0.01817872461194394,0.01872585319230794,0.01864233020787786,0.05559656035007009,0.027450172416032925,0.007319530194286706,0.018583661419727573,0.023917982919388025,-1.5624542882050059,0.0070919272703124005,-0.016640511562469207;0.01312808228970246,0.010497046296836968,0.0071621235333406644,0.012780188804905227,0.02145791544717443,-0.002739906680569462,0.03309222357171011,0.011285514410357337,0.02092596448023826,0.04389239698110173,0.026075907093115604,0.010741120041185428,0.03339363188959654,-0.07552431734831173,0.010119786572585316,-0.007417955430715155,0.0025242067493232885,0.025835967107962682,-0.004870005084146302,0.008735744064502,0.0019406947195458833,-0.0023728184044313812,0.009800846317355547,0.009759169550014392,-0.05736488507604853,0.011772421110252713,0.05059260101757457,-0.0016540243660528636,0.009294271098802268,-0.004553519050002602,0.010758238302708353,-0.10681604337958323,0.002699283952419256,0.01261465205847691,0.009944938893231128,0.03895179129754347,0.010945664191234517,-0.06842131470518976,0.0012029991650076995,0.002539995829198608,-4.152014025099208E-4,0.0104889262833872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x_a{114}=[-3.6581058616849282,-0.06926003668321315,27.119298514755588];
std_x_a{114}=[1.1727811214806163,1.5888274096432677,0.4789873930019953];
pred_a{114}=[-3.6581058616849282];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.3 to 11.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{115}=[-1.6544888138159481,-0.8437896065153302,21.007670727808456];
std_x_f{115}=[1.3014624161355637,1.0872679272174013,1.5020254326646654];
pred_f{115}=[-1.6544888138159481];
obs{115}=[-1.7716252662454839];
sqrt_r{115}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{115}=[2.6946109464855175];
L_f{115}=[0.0283993991503207,0.026980445358830617,0.025088923399222408,0.028809549941041953,0.033999554154453965,0.018498768210058077,0.03934784410094398,0.027542564777180076,0.03251744244521088,0.044482733896233036,0.0361111271816885,0.027682586899298214,0.03912161148952458,-0.12985394879516995,0.026738436604167665,0.016492315926914667,0.022850450571361446,0.03513229920581389,0.017536582621231252,0.025165505560610514,0.022649241131559392,0.019778121248667995,0.02601789708090239,0.027496646963506916,-0.10070090449513021,0.02731908731512579,0.04060278496952428,0.019590514094089125,0.0263088396067308,-0.026753005318694477,0.027680642849721125,-0.040857505693873836,0.022211436485964423,0.028358963209957632,0.02663113007095266,0.04274254871259481,0.027750082240413025,-0.11794481961129218,0.020995163909220866,0.021526116390568468,0.019936556774209028,0.02694427351877292,0.01925533950644764,0.028684461995445745,0.022676438951242175,0.027324966968818813,0.026395582522205037,-0.09107977818446432,0.02396697996375916,0.009254942700185773,0.029612316366406325,0.02400412451555426,0.02709547186004679,0.026260544130086945,-0.1293277228874276,0.02842772216569215,-0.0558875457219748,0.02379619367876204,0.038303916346930034,-0.0057441896859635935,0.03611450305189964,0.044862559629881865,0.026446404534683384,-0.11572389881341609,0.046545621412592816,0.018599875141262406,-0.1166084379965787,0.02574538452893095,0.02302578675761207,0.024344655349889808,0.014602012339718947,0.03727589732206227,0.027360012952286603,0.016931135394201786,0.03239524834971772,0.027740285500430555,0.027457710640005156,0.03326400996630959,0.037033339883343654,0.025244507935669087,0.027782320636562146,0.010942625763724177,-0.07187514248644755,0.021704842662062143,0.028038877445423115,0.02863691215495388,0.027105843651091435,0.03364664537938449,0.026459297351846683,0.026404485449250996,0.027951092139565533,0.027786298584746735,7.146080162417133E-4,0.0312962386614721,0.020855526946350122,0.02748607957880289,0.03026646391945457,-1.230786484604844,0.020403875137899444,-0.09142478961222329;0.02388170302985105,0.02047860420243048,0.01704385545910158,0.023535429116900864,0.03492607549917912,0.004417160081784615,0.04866660808241327,0.02203545131775649,0.033334370831185046,0.06238343728647751,0.03973463709347306,0.021353114727366007,0.047817238842292824,-0.13020886929755196,0.02063551869499889,3.240307050731973E-5,0.011536984423160163,0.03916827423769914,0.0024761309080055523,0.017841125694877624,0.011625189133372144,0.006028089344525959,0.019139299871701106,0.020825154259629306,-0.09168813333273544,0.02184874295995165,0.07561339808791938,0.00539272927846712,0.020057523117279603,0.0024950422964700836,0.021771252832700563,-0.10798910113650513,0.011861651534781852,0.023032202508923155,0.02003064162062526,0.05640081760675569,0.0220169583028194,-0.11483276114553234,0.00949511643206823,0.010327404246997766,0.006815545506407219,0.020976547987654106,0.006367858276064749,0.02409354072487124,0.012377765823347682,0.021237973024139874,0.019935530326779565,-0.0793035934598895,0.016370439356393113,-0.013860829167376142,0.025956790670031735,0.014739407001962643,0.021312973587206116,0.0194748397373073,-0.12877838453865967,0.022804934121033488,-0.03394695087860283,0.01625233626228918,0.07317056988543941,0.02808940344128993,0.04068339274428284,0.0632938459386454,0.019994619141210174,-0.11133737864163547,0.07377862203388127,0.004740220508584198,-0.11279938487366042,0.01867597335638143,0.012760763308612439,0.01574599438267228,-0.0039334801055270095,0.044238128708179565,0.022000237714813957,9.699888475437698E-4,0.03312039063302343,0.021598288824078257,0.02117315025636621,0.0348319732152395,0.04321063488535206,0.01828032383090526,0.021941775596829454,-0.011072041822653797,-0.055171050934139834,0.010035464244735308,0.021383984957068215,0.022920861918385108,0.021687951003835908,0.07060551211441822,0.020229793601962198,0.020647909363454273,0.021525498723985407,0.022148343633184603,0.036032025490371745,0.031011441863451814,0.008624325661497411,0.021665495113698252,0.027673675638458215,-0.9996514922326024,0.007992257484208471,-0.07988520493890885;-0.0116406430000425,-0.01239847056960301,-0.014394531410103358,-0.011023556792841753,-0.00582150454082403,-0.020269746645025188,-3.6535475565423994E-4,-0.012024030253538303,-0.00732310041561872,0.006473795283273935,-0.004048390604762278,-0.012117660883574962,5.951216663389594E-4,-0.03986709120704386,-0.012793945953193246,-0.022543521810413362,-0.017075356762290626,-0.0037007662753311223,-0.021713897913981792,-0.013351777166749618,-0.017336839552430327,-0.019718622181740374,-0.012375034768830426,-0.013147581901427658,-0.03889358759896397,-0.011893621576382197,0.0072437660967374345,-0.01900525049824743,-0.013391206354618518,-0.023105960641637266,-0.012329263882435715,-0.07755607842108496,-0.017317007820336544,-0.011000488823276816,-0.012735048952187642,0.0032082675817816206,-0.01240526524947289,-0.0399089966451043,-0.01788645082311201,-0.016727026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k{115}=[0.6288889120322684;0.5201260885799838;-0.6727303573946178];
x_a{115}=[-1.7281546299436785,-0.9047153313476399,21.086471975315316];
L_a{115}=[-0.0340751942408508,-0.032372653781880666,-0.03010309949154947,-0.034567316196948944,-0.04079457476487719,-0.022195861139093494,-0.04721175344596129,-0.033047116233197824,-0.039016253888728356,-0.05337288263935359,-0.04332815868599842,-0.033215122640091764,-0.046940306851724345,0.1558060614140478,-0.032082278084865815,-0.019788406991165144,-0.02741725406191597,-0.04215370590163633,-0.021041376825482495,-0.030194987070257542,-0.027175831674489483,-0.023730900773647232,-0.03121773429351603,-0.03299202146123645,0.12082660139174768,-0.032778975421920695,-0.04871750198772838,-0.023505799172046052,-0.03156682347769384,0.03209975844685209,-0.03321279006021565,0.04902313021998213,-0.02665052907004943,-0.03402667692839327,-0.03195352567911031,-0.051284910713128726,-0.03329610734144645,0.14151681930607016,-0.02519117691675264,-0.02582824352646565,-0.023921000616213838,-0.03232925277647768,-0.023103637875673978,-0.034417228653870355,-0.027208465146194818,-0.032786030160670505,-0.03167090249986464,0.10928263364382443,-0.028756928740249512,-0.011104600084231493,-0.035530520443966124,-0.028801496859832167,-0.03251066903886159,-0.03150887585215142,0.15517466601282892,-0.03410917778554355,0.06705701645449151,-0.028552009762768775,-0.045959190291256787,0.00689220142544076,-0.04333220924469394,-0.05382861888867527,-0.03173188160501205,0.13885203378787686,-0.055848050949954646,-0.022317174914136637,0.13991335358272067,-0.030890758427148394,-0.027627632266479955,-0.029210084881838017,-0.0175203145724865,-0.044725715323344795,-0.03282808030010149,-0.020314927235671985,-0.038869638549545546,-0.03328435266255118,-0.03294530347331973,-0.03991202753382192,-0.04443468128437978,-0.030289778557266056,-0.03333478877991565,-0.013129577017816214,0.08623983304544233,-0.026042689345718874,-0.03364262004949549,-0.03436017568446404,-0.032523113696320785,-0.0403711349943334,-0.03174735113120961,-0.03168158473179487,-0.033537290308793793,-0.033339561745581225,-8.574268360614462E-4,-0.03755098499630217,-0.02502363264555742,-0.0329793421195186,-0.03631540342033868,1.4767667551674415,-0.024481715437354272,0.10969659773348601;-0.027788258507819748,-0.028609708074212332,-0.028603015455234304,-0.028880762137428396,-0.0269328267318125,-0.029239560500530812,-0.022922990715950282,-0.028075582903530193,-0.02582797241256278,-0.018548597132386452,-0.02596606814622616,-0.029012676209933332,-0.02336075158827621,0.10604783825625368,-0.02801248204621375,-0.029973771535520367,-0.030037201561945906,-0.0247515481179034,-0.02942998600471703,-0.027945079059320668,-0.029582915725842478,-0.029956290423400422,-0.02819774885758954,-0.029202336938305887,0.09152742818428665,-0.027855695621485124,0.0017405556875212677,-0.030250317406672063,-0.027808867413915195,0.0511695494054853,-0.028591001094314065,-0.0336528190006281,-0.02854991009198022,-0.028564189743980794,-0.028422125256144883,-0.02136511808476956,-0.02847163388322878,0.09975643704932359,-0.028703554811801656,-0.028837283712378987,-0.029457092385135632,-0.028045953122541396,-0.028665370646375612,-0.028095065104020985,-0.02887982283971368,-0.028477163018836977,-0.028088680554152028,0.08640725875712732,-0.027235163929322168,-0.030699302785102182,-0.027919956496158863,-0.02893377720518085,-0.02798461828941115,-0.02830368184259657,0.10652090584342155,-0.02891655840527304,0.06773503621571399,-0.027042537886860386,0.003480296724653581,0.038540401315147174,-0.02502345456493838,-0.018329244686892898,-0.028122057478736737,0.09921106884588834,-0.010906636812818728,-0.029100454361597205,0.09935839615400831,-0.02816526512691191,-0.029132429918575696,-0.028546752760270577,-0.03050043006007749,-0.023581763209899104,-0.02777866110737685,-0.029834575360907983,-0.02581963226581699,-0.028872479140569663,-0.028783500064721353,-0.02568867746650236,-0.0241679472196941,-0.027649618107979678,-0.028605471234700634,-0.03098109163529283,0.07559882303861354,-0.02945439888912203,-0.029630042188225045,-0.029181231572118146,-0.027628511344002144,0.009388693285882734,-0.027910340252534405,-0.02739249953263967,-0.029328811543030832,-0.028406140690540527,0.03473186528211242,-0.025929039142948987,-0.02932028962637921,-0.028342769749259835,-0.027393229767597223,1.2396455430322895,-0.02913062099693003,0.0864533622205264;0.055189213173299806,0.051092284050920915,0.044645067753215806,0.05677147185503796,0.07418671331170988,0.023261808805091554,0.09222853246281845,0.05278951150349297,0.06919739180450767,0.1111511757006251,0.0809288098999275,0.05302538285456211,0.09265663519609908,-0.34544118717955635,0.05012731034163855,0.016266422566476275,0.03669663739494873,0.07897304279139568,0.019553429191971686,0.045868036190676954,0.0359616657872636,0.02682352441196606,0.04885063802255677,0.05155790542574313,-0.2758643392797807,0.052394029947267176,0.10279079740496205,0.027095416362341092,0.048519116384920805,-0.08606150023560885,0.052809205091533196,-0.17370252203668085,0.0349512496136792,0.05573421293977692,0.04993369213472528,0.10379062032189373,0.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x_a{115}=[-1.7281546299436787,-0.9047153313476397,21.086471975315312];
std_x_a{115}=[1.5615677075508005,1.30060574773184,1.7623031899142794];
pred_a{115}=[-1.7281546299436787];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.4 to 11.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{116}=[-1.6161333422014026,-2.159741535312173,16.702827635951405];
std_x_f{116}=[2.059502507160517,2.62206298373275,1.8801717948155197];
pred_f{116}=[-1.6161333422014026];
obs{116}=[-1.8305696139536751];
sqrt_r{116}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{116}=[5.24322567850529];
L_f{116}=[-0.04092800391951999,-0.04107557777471499,-0.03934983260844934,-0.04213293589272221,-0.04342963004402861,-0.03696896983395378,-0.043040500971826545,-0.04044695060638827,-0.04147000107551766,-0.04149592656360059,-0.04352773912855406,-0.04141010354866995,-0.04253233304498489,0.16118337408356168,-0.04019405952170674,-0.037013532428220045,-0.04018443506444256,-0.04235584961686301,-0.036848764337155636,-0.03834964241890605,-0.03934996113420955,-0.03809053449455204,-0.04012589882904768,-0.04169111901676374,0.1267445616043152,-0.0405639655771829,-0.026494370922295285,-0.038329236931471215,-0.03977723527110862,0.04610479114454385,-0.04087998861601996,-0.0070175859422071905,-0.038289672736158305,-0.04170974884139753,-0.040339879716953936,-0.04349010673912047,-0.04089695095645048,0.14673129806811022,-0.03795294560762275,-0.0386641838357364,-0.03813894492923937,-0.040271938518382816,-0.03700836695156461,-0.041262590419015636,-0.038897249952854596,-0.04085094925249295,-0.040096468818320595,0.11569137611936053,-0.03827542737914108,-0.033269700380996775,-0.04146642650464695,-0.03952126800493729,-0.04083805865019238,-0.04032170171120725,0.16070780677874624,-0.04140326036436046,0.07668632462006343,-0.0379298865115164,-0.023832159471579295,0.024182165916748957,-0.042816753793272724,-0.04240111339286769,-0.040312017168647414,0.1443659709591332,-0.03773866823126814,-0.036684508842919954,0.1448766328140048,-0.04013075224816476,-0.038847887739719755,-0.03989187659780795,-0.036226173221635835,-0.042212936606735196,-0.04042176445700809,-0.03626210091466722,-0.041566012694114564,-0.04146083626975856,-0.041060522473719364,-0.04183788896535558,-0.04251106482211545,-0.039518611959478415,-0.040983474521324774,-0.03434477529870422,0.09412485031312261,-0.03856545349734887,-0.04238847204940524,-0.04185250555059799,-0.040094817992152476,-0.017266951663923835,-0.039983352931322325,-0.0394928393726417,-0.04153715348240559,-0.040500086468014326,0.017787831966534606,-0.04105778241907779,-0.03775164687204501,-0.040780297316750536,-0.041481153307500504,1.983481163637846,-0.0379406247904808,0.11505730129583067;-0.05354854741861115,-0.05430939067115402,-0.05395732480120378,-0.055036328415778296,-0.05283741942536452,-0.053989662008463606,-0.04766809508388243,-0.053230793208155464,-0.05111401918860501,-0.041790945681099326,-0.05240783487355109,-0.05467710805623446,-0.04799692335984516,0.222292656277563,-0.052995190026773754,-0.05516876341964717,-0.0563135965184181,-0.05021986962035395,-0.05421495007924558,-0.05330835353522306,-0.05490070317031275,-0.05565037796825332,-0.053910199724793356,-0.05496468333539774,0.17356949095413937,-0.05326486879453011,-0.017370782619671992,-0.05581769614405465,-0.05293501339749387,0.06730603926629027,-0.05441269692028515,-0.04346369759938595,-0.053939308284749375,-0.05460668312274475,-0.054220461222269326,-0.04643939298971728,-0.05411097079365402,0.20204230333716236,-0.05340680977619278,-0.05479149481990241,-0.05501335650022254,-0.054106244128296434,-0.05341941206844502,-0.05338953245039183,-0.05385136402635216,-0.054374530045303286,-0.05326212977260233,0.15827590520721666,-0.05266004940656971,-0.05458754271984559,-0.053252135059794085,-0.05408936296737146,-0.054070579536266664,-0.05364709003251019,0.2223029955064571,-0.05467175372587634,0.10647343294651795,-0.052010919773184006,-0.0149375708412546,0.0410304832667886,-0.05069539856707877,-0.042327628536140804,-0.053991255164910976,0.19860769798818545,-0.03321449770757792,-0.05322581511390173,0.19929869780060658,-0.05409173380530696,-0.05456005551874594,-0.054535602959708364,-0.055639326349494825,-0.04884351902668613,-0.053174653972643954,-0.05422965718946644,-0.05127736127008179,-0.05468242772297502,-0.05465625245555324,-0.050815162868946225,-0.049399308795830675,-0.05273880026268584,-0.054433001002748706,-0.05526933517433599,0.1282659375497426,-0.05488781348112112,-0.055957840212310865,-0.05510678174508395,-0.05297094252943201,-0.0062648106286453805,-0.0530616573140722,-0.05172191894513923,-0.05526602917218036,-0.05419631936021558,0.03392982680098569,-0.051256761326746246,-0.054438408816114274,-0.05449929004385547,-0.052930448304685455,2.512154295123153,-0.054398327306962826,0.15754290975588123;0.019159103781267537,0.01598084789308853,0.010359081076896483,0.02095287176847223,0.034033017864819104,-0.007040612116634214,0.047468024595188466,0.017040178077493872,0.0299962341344701,0.06100437764568347,0.03898625339195044,0.017439268211051108,0.04812281050687326,-0.3205274707848012,0.01519905676496281,-0.011805504268270338,0.004844751817666957,0.03759649330980473,-0.009085216954230552,0.011879389459999746,0.004022853706150681,-0.0034406165563813456,0.013673725345324858,0.016607276193237125,-0.265993203297232,0.0167771595275442,0.0494277272381249,-0.002831205064690879,0.013793552210043048,-0.11177000250662332,0.01740621083123735,-0.16577119583342195,0.003184934559619457,0.01949742757745102,0.014864426258179962,0.05639763129074553,0.017269953863181867,-0.298401749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k{116}=[0.8092777116004143;1.02986933066494;0.5419550040340172];
x_a{116}=[-1.7896718374892062,-2.3805828749719713,16.586612825428862];
L_a{116}=[0.02272646976269162,0.02280841445670731,0.021850144040774514,0.02339554343921224,0.024115570745676284,0.020528100435616408,0.02389949546112121,0.02245935085807495,0.02302742951634752,0.023041825400939395,0.024170048680815646,0.022994169664842416,0.023617320375171492,-0.0895017769388848,0.022318925695866413,0.020552845117842687,0.022313581434821442,0.023519322796283503,0.020461352822083535,0.0212947592205354,0.021850215408457514,0.021150881976492817,0.02228107748016148,0.023150211712508372,-0.07037862028527325,0.022524326838842944,0.014711773406567421,0.021283428477553323,0.022087471854477,-0.025601032093381985,0.02269980786280308,0.0038967195917072026,0.021261459302358846,0.023160556466849634,0.0223998966189681,0.02414915219726756,0.022709226697830036,-0.08147683955813372,0.02107448172778707,0.021469417530595284,0.021177763284515514,0.02236217028376735,0.02054997683603604,0.02291225869045719,0.02159883430043842,0.022683682907908623,0.02226473560699745,-0.06424101615976552,0.02125354915174059,0.01847397300902622,0.023025444631451328,0.021945338552635103,0.02267652502442168,0.022389802750262488,-0.08923770430064266,0.022990369786851848,-0.042582321901572635,0.021061677491072992,0.013233502730197251,-0.013427854033244882,0.02377525330414006,0.02354445683015287,0.022384425125101956,-0.08016342258508176,0.02095549795510826,0.020370145160687626,-0.08044698249742246,0.02228377248290398,0.021571424489629443,0.022151129800022283,0.020115640918097054,0.023439966172643916,0.022445365512895343,0.02013559081917043,0.023080742772259133,0.02302234049022807,0.02280005456103483,0.023231710013898847,0.02360551057313724,0.021943863705805745,0.022757271434747598,0.019070939762106897,-0.05226557270580288,0.021414594626100868,0.0235374373549172,0.023239826299833486,0.022263818937543884,0.009587979312542676,0.022201924706407295,0.02192955272409743,0.023064717851924026,0.022488856097444367,-0.009877213316491263,0.02279853306565279,0.02096270472453095,0.022644451356707562,0.023033622118934286,-1.101385857441851,0.021067640234153983,-0.06388892759144522;0.02745676048154873,0.026987997575792233,0.02392444320622482,0.028353798584768792,0.03311914372939763,0.019179867344588396,0.03751829808241383,0.026822406892580475,0.03096401746199517,0.04033840307719007,0.03374290722566705,0.027282378527416527,0.036183696364390616,-0.09672385065250891,0.026557484316094407,0.018088964876027902,0.023220028956941453,0.033611451504751436,0.01871666678487659,0.02259382332424766,0.02298131921719271,0.01973896867274558,0.025507569971701435,0.0275509931998181,-0.0772852113083292,0.027019929059098665,0.035067266360234,0.020044093874275137,0.025792676252098107,-0.02394524212237083,0.026497578384305453,-0.029574388189571057,0.021844175695752387,0.027945865835654907,0.02562082259779905,0.039636866530309345,0.02683287662483657,-0.0883704419794629,0.02171021891421006,0.02173322704244211,0.020471804785808435,0.025600569471328712,0.01982809263978728,0.028277993975356904,0.023134645726195203,0.02647827012347682,0.02609739161339221,-0.0707021696182783,0.023095239953603304,0.011260338071217312,0.02881882674751382,0.024131712500660613,0.02675670736266448,0.02615821561096754,-0.09577226161261584,0.027274188726643812,-0.04530526971865478,0.023060470014728746,0.032231390042280074,-0.006831215525825679,0.034048150889414555,0.041593279320807044,0.025794882689356466,-0.08712355709197385,0.041478430044949194,0.01938070485785754,-0.08744326674068563,0.025335641849756358,0.022328255814853915,0.02441898649143811,0.016060049012995372,0.034704946564807077,0.02682869733044796,0.01754082679199959,0.030990702989529863,0.027377469809142407,0.026611338118018028,0.0319910029092718,0.03473921654859089,0.025477018321071618,0.026682095129142176,0.012706349721121538,-0.05802735189735186,0.02144149984197729,0.027938047711550118,0.02772831339383142,0.026385311517107244,0.02791019430889649,0.02607398344308182,0.02644289015532661,0.026944916510750972,0.025962048020117614,-0.0012761120998905414,0.030005406090339314,0.02028020645331025,0.026213674773564465,0.02916966100763842,-1.4135808247862942,0.0206943158407654,-0.07018019484402516;0.06178706702148049,0.05876251452149623,0.05134332309465843,0.06483581426351545,0.07926651316777363,0.03146387713745136,0.09229622821037475,0.05916710728269536,0.07318870657693066,0.10422385240067149,0.08432193277544076,0.060569355261404695,0.09242173925813395,-0.48840565411566766,0.05706259096358655,0.02674539850341558,0.046698261803743056,0.08171160833046417,0.02929407402463858,0.05182189803000059,0.04500722958803655,0.03623202194870417,0.0554662677724761,0.06003005078993199,-0.3980021457218309,0.05902596396231749,0.07702255135827997,0.03709005046863658,0.055222949213336196,-0.1597897726857886,0.05998416443510015,-0.15846213194240796,0.04306498258459279,0.06293960579522656,0.056879837346156134,0.10169411521001108,0.05986557434436828,-0.451227584554701,0.03974935561690748,0.04275324501620115,0.038314768581259796,0.057638006656353644,0.03504000840891793,0.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x_a{116}=[-1.7896718374892064,-2.3805828749719713,16.586612825428865];
std_x_a{116}=[1.1435989291637083,1.4575329250187121,1.488419072216449];
pred_a{116}=[-1.7896718374892064];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.5 to 11.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{117}=[-3.0250022118297704,-4.949868482980536,13.690633345413847];
std_x_f{117}=[1.6087359952103821,1.7525674977700887,2.5940976540153096];
pred_f{117}=[-3.0250022118297704];
obs{117}=[-3.2212388193692374];
sqrt_r{117}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{117}=[3.5895130992815187];
L_f{117}=[0.038491518494088585,0.03803143093509149,0.03457435570782383,0.03944143625244576,0.04416031280379629,0.028814645518379766,0.04861321305560132,0.03800498835845984,0.041702607140468986,0.049969765957514845,0.044642279238735906,0.03814436798957691,0.04716140158792389,-0.18952487452630726,0.03744947885904534,0.027499378223015628,0.03433493503831296,0.04385171475720711,0.028412525629097064,0.03367661116972077,0.03353003322414221,0.02988509970472345,0.03624178531530322,0.0388344935120242,-0.1488222134266704,0.03807006796253834,0.03978776140388225,0.030455563066139446,0.036293611511796185,-0.0512911785227186,0.03718744211967788,-0.032797269111353125,0.032025195890118104,0.03887511955346543,0.03663322362001228,0.050467245821448584,0.037648648727315034,-0.1723765789193665,0.031243683065092547,0.0317149061125752,0.0305674458751138,0.03619289128610467,0.02951918093882427,0.03912750126632582,0.03356851033651101,0.03743743681259558,0.03643966911024558,-0.1361701387587009,0.03331755415850787,0.019888152499851156,0.039496963521214665,0.035342060607702994,0.03757716523029011,0.03670186004725567,-0.1882310877841574,0.03848010606281381,-0.08818991884666884,0.03280739307610431,0.035507190481918145,-0.02375161270473736,0.04531560281368849,0.052473155136249165,0.037434949450556816,-0.1699025483066331,0.04983033122239907,0.029003824742545047,-0.17092730832876724,0.03603200302632384,0.032777343628476695,0.03509482493294134,0.025579637778357055,0.046343161546400544,0.03743108412457758,0.02693681464638213,0.041967350748784465,0.03881432428090383,0.03783588671093754,0.04258278662950249,0.04545235819328883,0.03531618490723171,0.03790406003843308,0.021883091768463238,-0.11057389781157256,0.0317439191362313,0.03963412035278087,0.039102961474672286,0.03692029146732282,0.027579047815889247,0.0366248342028175,0.03592998397831887,0.0378838269057004,0.037205966667303386,-0.015224889622194614,0.040979884151923836,0.030204793623271747,0.037191163824371966,0.04017482697411252,-1.4929276086840795,0.03066886872050281,-0.13498406890567008;0.05828890775666969,0.05683319175967298,0.050723777268120676,0.06075742348789489,0.07079623995950309,0.03888126825651196,0.07898258449918513,0.05694544387539733,0.06563264746479983,0.08370906396764861,0.07135906565151805,0.05745620898535972,0.07689908953393351,-0.3845459560440713,0.05604776499215704,0.03673720947293213,0.04955865574782635,0.07063785009341114,0.038042254355360315,0.04852067181003439,0.04831754105076069,0.041331671875727685,0.053575511722765944,0.058538748376580046,-0.303259324874503,0.0570562988178835,0.0652018775977855,0.042197558807270746,0.05396406275317696,-0.10916232156434232,0.0563177084025437,-0.08634036329504188,0.045502180025404314,0.05946604515382971,0.054663033504367124,0.08291583540826501,0.056635352395736686,-0.3500835921389323,0.04419277378553465,0.0450942020472026,0.04255079721490002,0.054535698162558106,0.04079117532231851,0.05972340704593936,0.04813987435475688,0.05652415030636793,0.05480745191858482,-0.2780145031984922,0.048153159842119646,0.02086156240200327,0.060898454918419234,0.051240140848087166,0.05706497035903514,0.054601131110242764,-0.38179009150746546,0.058177300555711305,-0.18150532902033392,0.04745143349739259,0.05801376758899445,-0.05554505677620652,0.07261255883287746,0.08736245771399131,0.05507788208773663,-0.3448690976945669,0.08410801519753429,0.03927063462803498,-0.3468591786718035,0.05369931115639259,0.04708838206000739,0.05050370432347205,0.03151480899992648,0.07403982448239954,0.05653189264622643,0.03547971592672056,0.06578083168467502,0.0583237612899952,0.057203965635955756,0.06788995611058717,0.07338894636732769,0.05244656082164201,0.05687701728726305,0.02458292185531825,-0.22618705436981706,0.045425014087190095,0.06040085124435093,0.059650177758481804,0.05550972300006506,0.043742885888675906,0.05499548261232761,0.05421627599040782,0.05679866068831409,0.05581217005363029,-0.039192154909585074,0.0639697343400884,0.042418262162110136,0.05557186219256781,0.06151323936777587,-1.3389364084376307,0.04278406499056521,-0.2756153170920399;0.006045698616762272,0.004671890072761565,-2.3493274083272923E-4,0.008070770886035602,0.01677451318607432,-0.012579438259227806,0.02518831511532853,0.004235957647912548,0.01352592191378425,0.03338182340484852,0.020514300907115347,0.005293058506615687,0.02583450350555875,-0.2783437223426985,0.0026884315754152474,-0.016072945386130633,-0.0036247718673645263,0.018838773882695975,-0.01461273948280342,0.0011434773025684414,-0.0047529382882222715,-0.009435512808415569,0.0019799219781203668,0.004879017826282735,-0.2390151758473947,0.004277412908179412,0.01734696060754801,-0.009341466313461489,0.0021499259209832628,-0.1193049964806503,0.005309747982321663,-0.12808511675588688,-0.006144416321362406,0.007046091862936852,0.0031098084128691065,0.03093001136045128,0.004745442877099817,-0.2622423104154859,-0.007746878916376652,-0.005486022899994884,-0.008423444581291078,0.004798713600685523,-0.010594440954295292,0.007275800923679416,-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k{117}=[0.7214106837497929;0.7446224074142621;-0.9140934608342649];
x_a{117}=[-3.166569397051557,-5.095990658109382,13.870011945141973];
L_a{117}=[-0.030530434756055796,-0.030165505708007,-0.02742344683887953,-0.03128388391264332,-0.035026769574455274,-0.022854999995723203,-0.03855869000606513,-0.030144532169101592,-0.03307738370090674,-0.03963467119582684,-0.03540905235705818,-0.030255084334893538,-0.03740715229006582,0.15032602097170394,-0.0297039170104441,-0.021811765436035465,-0.027233544818493407,-0.034781997923560584,-0.022536049340509436,-0.026711380074031784,-0.026595118399272095,-0.02370405539738339,-0.028746007050404646,-0.030802473293835234,0.11804176751230493,-0.030196151556540835,-0.031558579685997595,-0.024156531556231403,-0.028787114192252588,0.040682780017877604,-0.029496076533166438,0.026013909659987844,-0.025401521995639543,-0.030834696774647157,-0.029056485360704952,-0.040029258812073025,-0.029861893180428308,0.13672445520636123,-0.024781647092052005,-0.02515540850936083,-0.024245273984001312,-0.028707225624604638,-0.02341381849727208,-0.03103487914519434,-0.026625637407477993,-0.029694365583847988,-0.02890296314169766,0.10800648297972615,-0.026426585732747903,-0.015774746387530677,-0.031327926645241394,-0.02803236966849616,-0.029805194397750086,-0.029110925924388294,0.14929982420772028,-0.030521382723242542,0.06994986606993926,-0.02602193971589106,-0.02816334623289893,0.018839138864954242,-0.035943114464219716,-0.041620292002189654,-0.029692392675337017,0.13476212082305672,-0.03952407532302866,-0.023005051856147034,0.13557493284555963,-0.028579613394419178,-0.02599810530415204,-0.027836268996634068,-0.0202890790706428,-0.03675814634850088,-0.029689326802977655,-0.021365555173502505,-0.03328737119365797,-0.03078647560346361,-0.03001040530118863,-0.033775518342378075,-0.03605158514445724,-0.02801184576047921,-0.030064478546636908,-0.01735707843275796,0.08770423472322762,-0.02517842085754717,-0.03143671574635535,-0.031015414844036148,-0.02928417983797591,-0.021874957209247606,-0.029049831101160876,-0.02849869463592776,-0.030048430171229202,-0.029510769704929763,0.012075971992374122,-0.03250413931066872,-0.023957627994776458,-0.029499028488994345,-0.031865589661196334,1.1841499305735053,-0.024325719850651028,0.10706572434819422;-0.012953858882731244,-0.013558012980336317,-0.013268833357995323,-0.01224351668772704,-0.010938723556861991,-0.014450872089633658,-0.010994115013035547,-0.013396819113544902,-0.011553424298498533,-0.008778437549950696,-0.011267954702191529,-0.013144027472087596,-0.010390496826020855,-0.03376020020767603,-0.01326632256538881,-0.014160543126041286,-0.013990818531531857,-0.010525938798551442,-0.014545614666762774,-0.013810331087103363,-0.013742165239230981,-0.013981739170547904,-0.01350329303288296,-0.013338820165210923,-0.027808871457246954,-0.013406418006805894,-0.008440065139191195,-0.014171705313232882,-0.013210665514118418,-0.014229058208803762,-0.012511383420771035,-0.025636907543650677,-0.013772269168674071,-0.012486716877413245,-0.013140272359243744,-0.010492436274831088,-0.013047372539648832,-0.0310370887400929,-0.01363519737916845,-0.01360594134973061,-0.01402554735248037,-0.012452610139624452,-0.013844967944772652,-0.012696480528197775,-0.013991048038020539,-0.01276764899811202,-0.012637609861373491,-0.0259813852966651,-0.013513275486346772,-0.01594880681357642,-0.012205258969588944,-0.014173391143819953,-0.012485447972289338,-0.013329211803616427,-0.03339896572356571,-0.013044343165968898,-0.018277323107658772,-0.013270760388695667,-0.007705398203660637,-0.011583928002008975,-0.01126069539779673,-0.009758489768997923,-0.014209313434918044,-0.030401701395095022,-0.008121410861264612,-0.014411651720334507,-0.030495085594066003,-0.012991214018622665,-0.01357819422852343,-0.014452226769039806,-0.015829755108235966,-0.011735306573792185,-0.012748148663565204,-0.014376805066487898,-0.011895245873260777,-0.013516476642814336,-0.01282531231929311,-0.010925212773097135,-0.010737424185505813,-0.012919078632832823,-0.013278440581167002,-0.015919819039371282,-0.021529230870111205,-0.013328828622077314,-0.012956722000901779,-0.012724289870728519,-0.012824907904899147,-0.00730232470716041,-0.012792295537261425,-0.012285425269258129,-0.013319348297607631,-0.013051208284615968,-0.011012875398146021,-0.011878671692361755,-0.013486860516396212,-0.013264118019394495,-0.012845111117528478,1.4242773434784788,-0.013979999999096361,-0.02577745936864642;0.0935028399388441,0.09108365973267162,0.07832196580614001,0.09768623422001087,0.11711180484948522,0.052890738648281435,0.1356431064735116,0.09058764674327376,0.10827902464584177,0.1469188584233263,0.12194667554626001,0.09196143409741687,0.13299061282496577,-0.7089659576811845,0.0877779394241859,0.046408793490682054,0.07438813547977999,0.11847489541751363,0.04994377495148267,0.0776605973733547,0.071431139891709,0.05846685868939673,0.08432541168832267,0.09311543769561537,-0.5771563004569699,0.09077697032242682,0.10774931437602844,0.05985706331919011,0.08461317068913558,-0.23584443228717625,0.08980387832864431,-0.20260427089345298,0.0666204989744467,0.09537481875435369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x_a{117}=[-3.166569397051557,-5.095990658109383,13.870011945141963];
std_x_a{117}=[1.2760060206258732,1.4323186739379175,2.275678015306691];
pred_a{117}=[-3.166569397051557];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.6 to 11.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{118}=[-6.252479866488141,-10.738712945882863,14.218202913771556];
std_x_f{118}=[2.175482844866341,3.6127644415706754,1.8846247183845946];
pred_f{118}=[-6.252479866488141];
obs{118}=[-6.686925126553797];
sqrt_r{118}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{118}=[5.733320053765879];
L_f{118}=[-0.024381252185434212,-0.025173603872754198,-0.02485896511971559,-0.024189629372071194,-0.02294936252921058,-0.025738157216545245,-0.022682072519438164,-0.024766683999704782,-0.022862092252918003,-0.019548673927552985,-0.022054213772517713,-0.02395645618768019,-0.02153627430023711,0.007541035131369589,-0.024598754146957662,-0.02640152191001906,-0.025561659038249418,-0.022089509037159494,-0.026253251193992296,-0.02422032977465831,-0.02527857858157648,-0.025241529165904757,-0.024823789991823834,-0.02474581804363687,-0.004082194009819984,-0.02541786489103522,-0.01961163759999529,-0.025061358278038702,-0.024545871442597338,-0.018203462280929596,-0.023923497067713715,-0.0332410093359033,-0.025584933246281017,-0.024133629733292816,-0.024634044738550714,-0.021604117440537057,-0.024615322713373678,0.002502507359567264,-0.02514338773716548,-0.024975277444498296,-0.025215435626994027,-0.023666070930071056,-0.025385937616761327,-0.024191953348601986,-0.025905698064325564,-0.024465114425674273,-0.024195161469832287,-0.006095496981779092,-0.02474832049961656,-0.02706110033969838,-0.02349785287646799,-0.025725906617293303,-0.02417215314548079,-0.0250226068352314,0.007543755814693888,-0.02439635585671644,-0.014762218491892147,-0.02386283467516569,-0.01937057438531575,-0.019130396990634815,-0.022542019141112795,-0.020814253806884776,-0.02517322366867852,0.0018420067500549422,-0.019706628387189527,-0.026186075645212317,0.00212750687148213,-0.02464983954529359,-0.024931640233333337,-0.02551357906223261,-0.027060056687555224,-0.022743261791443623,-0.024280809904227953,-0.025735153947286434,-0.023444586630707285,-0.024483959242307046,-0.0246605743869134,-0.022431971716838906,-0.02208617972943766,-0.024719920676477113,-0.025486187349345567,-0.026712807005639425,-0.009519911974286312,-0.024684707822439738,-0.02421141729738484,-0.02429139593410982,-0.02442664653685427,-0.018663641557743423,-0.024423768230374118,-0.023644035615724632,-0.025176235259606407,-0.023875801811496147,-0.019618571085389915,-0.023911309993969527,-0.02502705159998557,-0.02433474292785078,-0.024163455684981617,2.163502289663286,-0.02527128118102846,-0.00689142324205998;-0.019320413644449853,-0.020961766630439402,-0.023617275048890964,-0.017578592333486406,-0.01010940441009249,-0.03258377531307171,-0.0050457266812142815,-0.020552768892844162,-0.012808573837839394,0.002330698952950475,-0.008335823844996487,-0.01936039672771861,-0.004184509352060469,-0.16225680701257633,-0.02046968891912288,-0.03431815306986859,-0.02617256892779939,-0.008897007285323355,-0.03367815328065346,-0.02416238673123325,-0.026452656853066005,-0.030157810859109693,-0.022529968456502215,-0.019802482641576732,-0.15274907795038545,-0.020938078957956404,-0.007836532711673488,-0.029707375214022346,-0.02182626380657625,-0.0936015484653647,-0.019348490788741683,-0.11078203911908845,-0.027784491233350226,-0.018031681219701376,-0.021440911390356875,-0.0011078168189430184,-0.020213104884974544,-0.15844171111185662,-0.028312956484849574,-0.027348574743108135,-0.029481521682249025,-0.019800250623443608,-0.030654017237092584,-0.018160146504859063,-0.027355281025912188,-0.01982048201903876,-0.02095370336994841,-0.1460125504017364,-0.025117242104411103,-0.04409753965241211,-0.016412824985536787,-0.025279942207831113,-0.01939680137030366,-0.021360353484540368,-0.16083850893906962,-0.01940160098911535,-0.12109296464963246,-0.02558565888017688,-0.01087211893234521,-0.06993445621579601,-0.008241427529163174,0.002456967218793171,-0.02194057876935242,-0.15814953754981043,0.0029945137698159366,-0.03229027000987789,-0.15850014555892342,-0.022419516800583877,-0.025561925268841573,-0.025057514036063357,-0.037628610253002306,-0.0073501841028836105,-0.02003629808684788,-0.03392328302830834,-0.01359236673668166,-0.020237142954775772,-0.020185214934650177,-0.011427933335732577,-0.0067349926126423505,-0.0231378011391737,-0.020307971066927336,-0.04226234461607906,-0.13125015695030784,-0.027266137064371067,-0.018263685542091207,-0.01846108402610804,-0.02076571076047046,-0.017421454933370117,-0.021478442124108158,-0.020460541976114084,-0.0202479506219648,-0.019084400273135814,-0.06282015666095911,-0.014957886221711857,-0.029101910224760132,-0.020943933230364142,-0.01664996560414378,3.5713232726799173,-0.029446948353284458,-0.14704469873350734;0.06003908174930362,0.058842213538098896,0.04869352897298664,0.06265519383219394,0.07642627265627507,0.02963437844948116,0.09108305067111845,0.058130568552011465,0.06989439994641981,0.09646143046517094,0.0796924196039619,0.058375182084839945,0.08817567526416722,-0.5992957909713628,0.056086814260148894,0.025651530115814152,0.046675110926613625,0.07658916741719127,0.02679352140267837,0.047785770509324456,0.04358347576455417,0.03380257121141433,0.053624719062850955,0.060287257989952193,-0.4853454148144431,0.058762183606813276,0.0655021224023249,0.034963231894769395,0.05308336587651107,-0.2034979985977239,0.05614850623917758,-0.16094237291462463,0.039506366426762106,0.0610214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k{118}=[0.8255809913588968;1.35693321796536;0.29674597608310593];
x_a{118}=[-6.611149614984319,-11.328226150653553,14.089283031018693];
L_a{118}=[0.012618519262333299,0.013028600949399045,0.012865759634454008,0.012519344858035575,0.011877444641917041,0.01332078558327564,0.01173910867330925,0.012817999532489152,0.011832277902569455,0.010117417950144007,0.01141416032234751,0.012398666055473651,0.011146100701865799,-0.003902863410763104,0.012731087422090046,0.013664110040070827,0.01322943893521772,0.01143242738973861,0.013587372517650124,0.01253523385415685,0.013082930619395791,0.013063755690981338,0.012847554743848718,0.012807200355048782,0.0021127398770875595,0.013155018261388754,0.010150004804481845,0.01297050823175494,0.012703717973690068,0.00942120354139541,0.012381608059969402,0.017203887372736586,0.013241484503678678,0.012490362239947117,0.012749352070944343,0.011181212925232376,0.012739662485129389,-0.0012951729091131591,0.013012962585706743,0.012925957088610772,0.01305025097757026,0.01224837713926991,0.013138494297715611,0.01252054763229818,0.013407496364119184,0.012661922172315269,0.012522207995729522,0.003154725011376755,0.012808495501366262,0.01400547491569849,0.01216131587049186,0.013314445284530498,0.012510300035391187,0.012950452419043265,-0.0039042715006623913,0.012626336168764385,0.007640187508744887,0.01235021223324796,0.010025242516034158,0.009900938683806525,0.011666624034755348,0.010772418930565776,0.013028404174745897,-9.533307592299013E-4,0.01019916729494126,0.013552605806334762,-0.0011010913727631162,0.012757526674595301,0.012903372646045951,0.013204555139304118,0.014004934773437883,0.011770777186541353,0.012566535350657444,0.013319231241000429,0.012133747920205613,0.01267167530885914,0.012763082492841566,0.011609668980420611,0.011430704306227609,0.012793797170345105,0.01319037855583477,0.013825215669317745,0.0049270312988688785,0.012775572754569612,0.012530621200742043,0.012572014151375327,0.012642013112995232,0.009659369367516137,0.012640523445217404,0.012236972760347263,0.013029962823901635,0.012356923375822506,0.010153593230471665,0.012375300638856553,0.0129527528074417,0.012594448391886202,0.012505798663927276,-1.1197208046815579,0.013079153849085578,0.003566656719000509;0.04149278271071708,0.04182776130839033,0.038387461849514026,0.04275664679099589,0.047132286012541554,0.03161389577967942,0.0515292728051037,0.04122179484511734,0.044215441774338456,0.0510901858323664,0.0466731323155159,0.04039324771330429,0.049532570796984914,-0.18106611371582923,0.040886014005975885,0.031534122431732765,0.0375848697153875,0.046199984462645415,0.0318042964179546,0.03624942719738596,0.036598705364470956,0.03280114046119564,0.039387032506807015,0.04192003596458248,-0.1425670223286739,0.042460699611385565,0.04108000197424389,0.0328021829619953,0.039397535873373454,-0.048197369975492205,0.04032294501841081,-0.02787029970498636,0.03603099934959229,0.04216388021296496,0.04000281546639691,0.05277848180095982,0.0411839243622965,-0.1646836165841493,0.03440120453793115,0.03494627540262885,0.033412345552410905,0.039229097314868074,0.03266512639042043,0.042180889222685994,0.03726028059994527,0.04120188861658416,0.03939533424793536,-0.13080879253007505,0.036611518279065725,0.023399896329489887,0.04219694329187643,0.03888717269805506,0.04089484749100796,0.04105254849504562,-0.17965460173550443,0.041449267858029715,-0.08427214490840362,0.03393446911221118,0.03744314127854446,-0.022218261014025662,0.04798424233570935,0.054373140109230944,0.0408480008414376,-0.16274398238499221,0.05214798023223267,0.033024626365088114,-0.1638067020941821,0.0390636064200868,0.036624082301018455,0.03858000061798543,0.0298662225884938,0.04937743737286281,0.04052636904517259,0.030266897128302134,0.044884541643384616,0.040832231564218224,0.041324683778366234,0.04452324957622022,0.0483536949742984,0.03852012268480662,0.043261221517293544,0.024366357030431378,-0.10750501573389229,0.034303956725675114,0.04212589834574427,0.042127987423005324,0.04016071093625517,0.029130530588996582,0.03944080032621047,0.03851384414613076,0.04254814068137684,0.040468071136310256,-0.013886328055700826,0.04468315184774599,0.03332207815636463,0.0397532569167442,0.04361998952424965,-1.8250152154125314,0.033586212245687745,-0.1298556933617354;0.0733382412600468,0.07257357445499348,0.062253264949000485,0.0758498294923396,0.08894438413900634,0.04367368437733332,0.10345536437248236,0.07163996825630663,0.08236490840547815,0.1071245797902638,0.09172225730934297,0.0714426295534497,0.09992299427008322,-0.6034091740054022,0.0695046138332732,0.0400526793487276,0.0606181429876167,0.08863825751169802,0.041113793907513026,0.06099715221466689,0.057372096882303235,0.047570983109183805,0.06716526818032788,0.07378527601146988,-0.48311871419720315,0.0726267807586508,0.07619961630975652,0.04863336658517065,0.06647231969900308,-0.19356861733868758,0.06919797560762946,-0.14281051151169005,0.05346209379162969,0.07418551942358306,0.06791219479483933,0.10835770080962648,0.07107614401659744,-0.552487406747099,0.050662479263215376,0.053076036371304855,0.04932997210982387,0.06702722948927554,0.04589912048121322,0.074975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x_a{118}=[-6.611149614984319,-11.328226150653549,14.089283031018693];
std_x_a{118}=[1.1259213421048784,1.9206593746069678,1.7613379635815734];
pred_a{118}=[-6.611149614984319];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.7 to 11.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{119}=[-12.4834869437218,-18.415251908015982,24.24521635337191];
std_x_f{119}=[1.1568154093911744,2.206146350195686,3.0964071108509965];
pred_f{119}=[-12.4834869437218];
obs{119}=[-12.868081623260519];
sqrt_r{119}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{119}=[2.339922937822266];
L_f{119}=[0.04124374397888025,0.04151790168986401,0.03676392628040276,0.04232019085527369,0.04758383024215408,0.028114661272885394,0.05379550475923644,0.04026873765341347,0.04487757937483982,0.05416308646200283,0.04827311966647569,0.03985169338499563,0.051436329466930227,-0.2802555040237565,0.03979106576689833,0.02729835693546883,0.03581023716364376,0.04711777222058417,0.027300675262431653,0.034823606586149455,0.034038469781349896,0.029798296307820615,0.03835214218418615,0.04167939880010843,-0.220287785375201,0.04160257457322119,0.040118630489454285,0.029457089067100362,0.038354464226285356,-0.0827767376342493,0.03943814086327495,-0.053479136516086385,0.03313310820734134,0.04167218708247466,0.038779431154461794,0.05588622316326023,0.039770458041649845,-0.2547417781324837,0.031160379825399615,0.03246901646356968,0.03036747364539938,0.03696968672591349,0.029291818540996408,0.042114408420276785,0.03574186706639233,0.04034807682075522,0.03799668869137296,-0.2032622341470166,0.03462596568564344,0.01653415166580082,0.041626153079898406,0.03740337971886498,0.03925961329687972,0.03974154715165441,-0.278832308611627,0.0406170018827281,-0.13394330150577663,0.03171932142310626,0.03508381829366569,-0.04619854004842633,0.049472283034408836,0.058047058777977334,0.04027624120503279,-0.25184499234860563,0.05478346586619277,0.029080453361519362,-0.25346810834409117,0.0376257602085525,0.034498442187795395,0.03699189454338908,0.025432924313496308,0.051242235171246264,0.03965702753581567,0.02577630277880872,0.045441280152058235,0.040275685427298084,0.0402736481273653,0.04508048672349791,0.05005660843083762,0.03659699739454829,0.04228919082349041,0.01859724646841355,-0.1680482284637568,0.03134302090123517,0.04140587243134743,0.041932415358399415,0.03907337309078346,0.023960548302023165,0.03855657487704897,0.0366873153726968,0.041680837698405006,0.03966367130838815,-0.03434052409256631,0.044453508137923474,0.029983611078192144,0.03911669162193843,0.04369090548863426,-0.8182255590872801,0.030662806386826457,-0.20150464761748907;0.047288837496809386,0.04715073542437025,0.03797778305348663,0.04991900864800017,0.06131880998306596,0.020864693835817703,0.07460462723417133,0.04573989326135917,0.055376126451760044,0.07608567081828431,0.06315065923359603,0.0457042478480877,0.07054579847688337,-0.5630287338193812,0.04446794282015924,0.018173345085159907,0.03596287710900248,0.06009178988879874,0.018756363844386933,0.03559460744732165,0.0332350771348778,0.02399112392184499,0.04144186779820902,0.04838680689331627,-0.45534615256307187,0.047708663009024196,0.048091261126244136,0.024311777209837925,0.04112052466832963,-0.19438774423602823,0.044082642626257516,-0.14558325819228948,0.030659449695704576,0.04798546192455213,0.0428334311270246,0.07846078254449611,0.04554513234195845,-0.5174173108774768,0.027414211818096883,0.02895553191548689,0.02554314885518261,0.041621811386185155,0.023567770875851515,0.049313560409690954,0.03496131037347451,0.04529201118680271,0.04127898557500876,-0.42199087212627523,0.0339743346105591,-0.0026895651398379846,0.0493121807157386,0.03942022846266209,0.04403538217658207,0.04376656201224172,-0.5593735242902228,0.046761578980540314,-0.29399291342942485,0.030288270518693747,0.03889990555989466,-0.12147492611379977,0.06508698270749755,0.08310330085433666,0.045149577567065204,-0.5114146525029113,0.07734434311288131,0.02270791252948568,-0.5145057007155655,0.04021198415798194,0.032919409142955866,0.03912693132464687,0.014383021155820672,0.06869310216646514,0.04452252738006843,0.016532155190511932,0.05641767126428563,0.046797037138306616,0.0454071885746303,0.056451731151550714,0.06642078128119105,0.0382151977950555,0.04815116932091575,0.0018583069531061694,-0.3550311508930972,0.028633206147884154,0.04853317661239339,0.048969056325410334,0.0428603957976912,0.01678238712412682,0.04232540421265308,0.0392287370093107,0.04746087775999492,0.04432961010428022,-0.09910698560381594,0.05455767224550357,0.02525768288905343,0.043227288085968,0.052961790577346464,1.5529346741816925,0.026094683553556736,-0.4193480883072417;-0.047963671794128825,-0.04992342170952082,-0.04812260730311894,-0.04876214566505534,-0.049232235365825966,-0.045508702547223896,-0.05086477783132533,-0.04829211702350755,-0.048262003122603085,-0.0472401169018097,-0.047611578317621875,-0.04714825676127045,-0.04832442118010904,0.14734727571393744,-0.04803999840557062,-0.04610821776026397,-0.04672190513703367,-0.048423018987627346,-0.04604313870234702,-0.044928529706759944,-0.046857187753939065,-0.0454472760732016,-0.04743214411272368,-0.0480606311403166,0.09510968073065226,-0.05005003028202734,-0.043437992502706545,-0.04374022076339423,-0.047640805016878784,0.0038770509851613383,-0.04742232030979648,-0.02137281318620895,-0.04702366037806897,-0.04832682492584896,-0.04785634866234514,-0.05025205373558542,-0.04791351641670351,0.12424409969747474,-0.04668704462818813,-0.04598314130685259,-0.045658821276943366,-0.04603590110027398,-0.04542343101219451,-0.04895004712833416,-0.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k{119}=[0.5726354984447964;-0.005475564362056061;-1.235557709442111];
x_a{119}=[-12.70371950973867,-18.413146035094865,24.720405274686392];
L_a{119}=[-0.07074045462242748,-0.07121068451045935,-0.0630567598352091,-0.07258675503230214,-0.08161484528975069,-0.04822171141926173,-0.092268986667652,-0.06906814304085578,-0.07697313728249063,-0.09289945554016504,-0.0827971008887552,-0.0683528369532061,-0.08822257582781173,0.480688702151535,-0.06824884966075576,-0.046821602351358405,-0.06142101110874672,-0.08081547178129408,-0.04682557869995085,-0.05972876183981344,-0.05838211070792875,-0.05110944895954283,-0.06578083636739161,-0.07148768116247972,0.3778332561949085,-0.07135591376670687,-0.06881068219961912,-0.05052421704312489,-0.06578481908811235,0.1419770245738778,-0.06764351984048828,0.09172635810900327,-0.056829252427753274,-0.07147531176691067,-0.06651371396521406,-0.09585494555789863,-0.06821350369765522,0.43692806369967996,-0.053445667691688015,-0.05569021539247667,-0.052085690680995826,-0.06340967608515476,-0.050240748302792584,-0.07223380106642437,-0.061303744069056615,-0.06920422401279658,-0.06517116956091507,0.34863136718367016,-0.05938977207300311,-0.028359050192772323,-0.07139635515540622,-0.06415353773611586,-0.06733731288663128,-0.06816391631046585,0.47824766550553705,-0.06966547896465221,0.22973690378350528,-0.054404353274388764,-0.06017507181829648,0.07923882292528071,-0.08485388219982133,-0.09956116810228477,-0.0690810129843096,0.4319595539688405,-0.09396351803442506,-0.04987821892390757,0.434743490448622,-0.06453496035739179,-0.059171046289586644,-0.0634477664948227,-0.04362204918243622,-0.08788966912750498,-0.06801894993563812,-0.04421100514036745,-0.0779399857158402,-0.06908005972532229,-0.0690765653887383,-0.07732115995709701,-0.08585610557246101,-0.06277044670900496,-0.07253358439040343,-0.03189762962777047,0.2882330005274773,-0.053758930055646796,-0.07101853414015118,-0.07192165016320076,-0.06701787736557462,-0.041096658944340905,-0.06613147528223413,-0.06292535832028046,-0.07149014913240286,-0.06803034520306156,0.05890018829339369,-0.07624577867733799,-0.05142729719153287,-0.06709217645415995,-0.07493777768366953,1.4034043093460125,-0.05259223956278837,0.34561678950127783;0.048359635043660795,0.04822865083628504,0.038932272589980235,0.05101775362550182,0.062554213071572,0.021594625394335366,0.07600130195306624,0.04678537704469761,0.05654126805306103,0.07749188893813101,0.06440395811315962,0.04673890405040481,0.07188122271577999,-0.5703049138469253,0.045501024967881595,0.01888208320686223,0.03689260633355181,0.06131509286858492,0.01946516215603806,0.03649872111178622,0.034118806554765874,0.024764767134331046,0.04243759165364627,0.04946891520075444,-0.4610654107444307,0.048788776754723984,0.04913284772743005,0.025076561772718435,0.042116308810170575,-0.19653684902245383,0.04510656190260664,-0.1469717191481733,0.03151967351549514,0.0490673829965744,0.04384024854325499,0.07991173788687862,0.046577679458193647,-0.5240310865629363,0.02822321834992616,0.029798514143183415,0.02633156942874205,0.04258164301238862,0.02432826457527344,0.05040696272657631,0.035889264528029034,0.04633955482643838,0.04226548091015643,-0.4272681016087301,0.03487331699034849,-0.002260294483612261,0.05039290662233008,0.040391319915160324,0.04505466640136459,0.04479835852469823,-0.5666127543707202,0.047816104631721576,-0.29747043862071226,0.031111788664501466,0.03981077501399356,-0.12267436337578337,0.06637141506498402,0.08461035724992529,0.04619525616260763,-0.5179532199067767,0.07876666793595216,0.023462918625362778,-0.5210864085377969,0.04118884920084458,0.03381508067277156,0.04008733952499679,0.015043327673534269,0.07002348720000269,0.04555212953797444,0.017201376728609337,0.05759744804055332,0.04784270130437724,0.046452799846963655,0.05762214076856077,0.06772038428374315,0.03916535341265108,0.04924910945494693,0.0023411410504849514,-0.3593941309097495,0.02944695452895111,0.049608183446094675,0.05005773361722746,0.04387484473021889,0.017404466835322402,0.04332643568580171,0.04018123752240085,0.04854302342506868,0.04535938475223393,-0.09999855715887991,0.055711803826947924,0.02603613736701567,0.04424286168304881,0.05409612296096546,1.5316913573312536,0.026890771752421945,-0.42457968615777764;0.19366113193061057,0.1933075238616016,0.16725736586813014,0.19916897848883613,0.22953570695820963,0.1191999018735368,0.2642940080776339,0.18762065163133324,0.2146514780986883,0.2700721315257118,0.23519453818251576,0.18632127493737657,0.25301323182569596,-1.4945182442348328,0.18507434884787785,0.11381810076014322,0.16307091896818254,0.22761454129243552,0.11389676164267994,0.15908415911883805,0.15255580889885562,0.12912483601234784,0.17725232760794668,0.19611643871052695,-1.195437388213829,0.1936769679469858,0.19159537941143387,0.1288329425213213,0.17705727029338691,-0.48106711397938834,0.1836244306892663,-0.3346781685556158,0.1470853121606254,0.1958079953693121,0.17933137818544126,0.2771551212690533,0.18508010131299116,-1.3681502904255833,0.13586477858058707,0.14423527664673377,0.13224779318907526,0.17054951130768264,0.12618150158881267,0.197775508964335,0.161747736493961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x_a{119}=[-12.703719509738683,-18.41314603509486,24.720405274686392];
std_x_a{119}=[1.9841469294462233,2.2061770551716164,4.654660274813062];
pred_a{119}=[-12.703719509738683];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.8 to 11.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 11.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{120}=[-14.01108662083619,-9.465753768863527,38.41169329736851];
std_x_f{120}=[2.1365798868870134,3.5737341748687057,3.6490102954075083];
pred_f{120}=[-14.01108662083619];
obs{120}=[-14.394061365509346];
sqrt_r{120}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{120}=[5.568298421568965];
L_f{120}=[0.057661152597236545,0.05711785471697006,0.046447128850029364,0.06002070701136883,0.07282827087572302,0.026368889120527907,0.08702175860908197,0.05435541179538477,0.06648586756318313,0.089878162536104,0.07470756362834736,0.05441446798049898,0.08271517472929661,-0.6066975315373873,0.052997991079920335,0.02405900479376341,0.04447760513254306,0.07180078413636935,0.024300044173200613,0.042981605610398634,0.040309517852671395,0.030572038840332785,0.050291935181892004,0.058236995478460375,-0.4958764585796645,0.05775371081026725,0.057281323659166376,0.030476720037994585,0.05021511251062436,-0.21758586652513903,0.0529816014299435,-0.16027019619672875,0.038015675526232716,0.05858058134154071,0.05123712173674928,0.0925137155305427,0.05386621740833735,-0.5599584778065951,0.03379683730416185,0.036624197512424225,0.0317685540359264,0.04921378140530975,0.02929023275493774,0.05945857713025153,0.04377299900868298,0.05523853826353397,0.05015105554918004,-0.46182546851812767,0.041932487292631854,-1.6183673259731202E-4,0.059582982157709394,0.04815461503239281,0.05263992639975862,0.05281196836973381,-0.6033184686221259,0.05618237944787192,-0.32499067458249875,0.03652752032715383,0.045684001560889656,-0.1371755112884729,0.0773358590606534,0.09792751138053375,0.055257218517447186,-0.5545003676292478,0.09088915786094875,0.028503839141761723,-0.5578781484620752,0.049232232475325724,0.04131299292591216,0.04716273441634574,0.020158884842892914,0.08084084026016874,0.05338264414336281,0.021178819357641262,0.06765336182639932,0.05463643754433382,0.05470981383557915,0.06740024966313082,0.0789408005656315,0.046656016618192325,0.058310239950358195,0.004709542903174789,-0.39210807822567845,0.03431994186538764,0.05852198502876922,0.058990769284542284,0.05193169073777961,0.02022480334748441,0.050955680123224156,0.047201275810520756,0.05706313629672197,0.05381207011881504,-0.11128287175532861,0.06486788955222704,0.0309371557419084,0.05278278299874503,0.06347210594154862,1.2715411651905142,0.033588285848819024,-0.45858234455242636;0.13686051358148182,0.13784318425852823,0.11647368825732667,0.14236320199200142,0.16665367106137016,0.07718273900034235,0.19421342720095539,0.13272515505674093,0.154757545036721,0.19877344917612524,0.17061637966185983,0.13121941224618977,0.1849794145993548,-1.2455060800798106,0.13036292953594733,0.07313886250545293,0.11281179240500089,0.164879891134429,0.07308863842188405,0.1089207524118319,0.10406363500506284,0.08458234140200985,0.12433738954546938,0.13928909871415462,-0.9943458526583312,0.1383404077766678,0.13478195165966111,0.08442937767013829,0.12387294875202685,-0.41109986144268595,0.12979207056351963,-0.2883081571727079,0.10024733453558339,0.13899977227702143,0.12590654836520698,0.204806331138673,0.13032216975554994,-1.1389380220225658,0.0912128991957544,0.09735909880638716,0.08702121933178418,0.11806993685367088,0.08240663225725388,0.14105290598467626,0.11197440964885531,0.13351125266268482,0.12256449551498012,-0.9239285758587973,0.10722841834320836,0.02434032147803524,0.13985280294824332,0.11898721164211189,0.12769921483120583,0.13026327314452066,-1.238982556651517,0.13486957998619759,-0.6300816700024163,0.09510835802724066,0.11147219121576935,-0.25096209979865686,0.1754256518081957,0.21535813867458234,0.1333130753160627,-1.126600472158102,0.20116159852954107,0.0810647644631243,-1.133699186219803,0.12122259287089121,0.1066284874930075,0.11777178190054928,0.06474539361543004,0.18297053394893617,0.1299600393637379,0.0661585830050544,0.15707277061693345,0.13438830563116896,0.13229031330774066,0.15576905105238117,0.1782194660274868,0.1167195965741679,0.14063105578004542,0.034607854658643036,-0.7743895585902466,0.09139962373416162,0.13811856993560043,0.14053797080117048,0.12755417341756659,0.06137085530592841,0.12489507000689304,0.1169132485880054,0.13847220934111684,0.1306919219694837,-0.19902460716230266,0.15148643836905315,0.0861421314489891,0.1278545631268593,0.14813900146073417,0.6076183981071526,0.0892867785387653,-0.9167235555480885;-0.02797942429007043,-0.028305812365875073,-0.020044793875586303,-0.030414591746641788,-0.040733776011313214,-0.004858403639039405,-0.05199550323920946,-0.02749366813359068,-0.035588417889144144,-0.05319325588244831,-0.04227870759936276,-0.0271511233512007,-0.04869679907022137,0.5813409258424187,-0.025871032703351244,-0.0027168683659060744,-0.01841396819900672,-0.03944369716727965,-0.0028568580227770115,-0.018390697156723545,-0.016522790044127777,-0.007982825483586227,-0.022751568240654156,-0.029422714115767582,0.4723132445810229,-0.029390279026170075,-0.029782226801854682,-0.008694962290085751,-0.023005281642813423,0.20056811006510775,-0.025513908729016075,0.1537232082784382,-0.013893782535223265,-0.029203535083052238,-0.024580317159127094,-0.05582663937510066,-0.027017305938815177,0.5356461962756763,-0.010763255102478237,-0.012751279942821336,-0.009111429450129632,-0.024270806885473912,-0.007757531566678224,-0.030256501813250312,-0.017393453345871508,-0.0266950124315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k{120}=[0.8204119240221627;1.2242271376878102;-1.2345989450976123];
x_a{120}=[-14.32528366796539,-9.934601844341465,38.884513513141016];
L_a{120}=[-0.03052479355352241,-0.030237181272355303,-0.024588287875621607,-0.03177389989506191,-0.03855399750451718,-0.013959223157783588,-0.04606777867867279,-0.02877479288629962,-0.035196441454592775,-0.04757990835784966,-0.039548861823327876,-0.02880605618537503,-0.043787949401419064,0.32117493434388694,-0.028056198386563556,-0.012736411281310835,-0.023545656881146293,-0.038010064211736354,-0.012864013262266386,-0.02275370121406852,-0.021339145252427395,-0.01618429622158025,-0.02662366029270028,-0.03082963458213304,0.2625082199088991,-0.03057379223317368,-0.030323718836871356,-0.0161338361348134,-0.02658299173033108,0.11518610635893575,-0.028047521995970964,0.08484420500331975,-0.02012482572697575,-0.03101152285640472,-0.027124025324563393,-0.04897512346248942,-0.02851582203678393,0.2964321066036069,-0.01789144744777364,-0.0193882018963275,-0.016817710187205667,-0.026052904767242518,-0.015505730768585732,-0.03147631828598038,-0.023172650871058333,-0.02924230440675457,-0.026549081108782985,0.24448222849000312,-0.02219831654656568,8.567350164514469E-5,-0.03154217610548496,-0.025492200837198945,-0.027866645282811152,-0.02795772125648649,0.3193861182476638,-0.029741957223278433,0.17204431062528114,-0.01933702270568027,-0.02418430179648854,0.07261828760044879,-0.04094023490303719,-0.05184109115856017,-0.029252193402526244,0.29354267968701925,-0.0481151113876956,-0.015089427909333594,0.29533081707149544,-0.026062672437115908,-0.021870367194186533,-0.024967116795850324,-0.010671756813408312,-0.04279570991012725,-0.02825982690979692,-0.01121169209216127,-0.03581449225230279,-0.02892356294349595,-0.028962407053283932,-0.03568049915328136,-0.041789862527499264,-0.024698869362668244,-0.030868408909091583,-0.0024931486516583815,0.20757507610211737,-0.018168369743272374,-0.030980503005607767,-0.031228669092896625,-0.027491717859487647,-0.010706652902948316,-0.02697503511602153,-0.024987519927724456,-0.030208214309219647,-0.028487157420145192,0.05891118254436857,-0.03433991253461881,-0.01637758264652138,-0.02794227103768074,-0.033601009397198865,-0.6731313859325407,-0.01778104399878116,0.24276537606748966;0.005268534870164661,0.007491098263080377,0.010473906506037989,0.005386342468440972,4.47900989415646E-4,0.017004713770304793,-0.004384153501176788,0.008677405928571292,0.0030261544054994496,-0.006342902445851683,1.2176275357767864E-4,0.007036887451833986,-0.0037898524340295916,0.13907478690241623,0.009413031731343183,0.018232362998745005,0.011306778993034464,0.0010190102476706937,0.017632048473712858,0.010829849339373082,0.012070863854900388,0.014812055810607752,0.009563144395821763,0.006382954386059849,0.1373235892734566,0.006537196409566766,0.00405680337543649,0.014876624841143372,0.009274025233436943,0.08546590989487404,0.008879576563274023,0.0774540812843369,0.013489478696536588,0.005309510019551232,0.008975236223267461,-0.006324774228503484,0.007390840512631118,0.13897684390882165,0.014083107391137314,0.0137768184964898,0.014520294565578618,0.005756211177273626,0.01556163330171791,0.005358916816929009,0.012077420181510385,0.007448067592610544,0.008111760234519493,0.13003105699970186,0.011531771179949548,0.024709658803277215,0.0038749015972075283,0.009090673144926406,0.007566477933846393,0.009737908936906653,0.1378867479497924,0.006652398274678917,0.1115990631206024,0.01174671052700697,0.007213988074396862,0.0620943714667446,-0.0010671559269486187,-0.00812811528311267,0.007207258916843242,0.13885811279537136,-0.006262006230323689,0.01601444159265714,0.1394680351972819,0.00886675889968207,0.012345625622710039,0.010138873716526931,0.018739592038425196,-0.0015212018446162396,0.00813230170585657,0.01782512762811269,0.0026769712233013793,0.009699210766618317,0.007433762002925696,0.0019508941251260414,-0.0019360750878104228,0.010243099504106729,0.007557755844534822,0.023859924006207418,0.12046383157389079,0.013076023599602919,0.004562033842028402,0.005911594008492045,0.00903774365171234,0.015214617151398623,0.008606052670854986,0.009192382774047964,0.008244999538184606,0.007884165507356256,0.05494071665370455,0.0034475325110768767,0.01553859065239015,0.007395804606867767,0.0032854971930619536,-2.294242046984472,0.012632934533239,0.1298347493689851;0.10472741833648856,0.10315063301664142,0.08685303145598376,0.10772275308462072,0.126880110401567,0.0558294574447995,0.1482846213272795,0.0976050292410026,0.11742846030660073,0.1536608674569927,0.1296603613036038,0.09808349152609706,0.14167174510895175,-0.8149702856596648,0.09610356795879069,0.052654805960815704,0.08395100854641996,0.1258054338621503,0.05306956718131968,0.08053124447385991,0.07624935551793129,0.06237856280665637,0.09299505885483514,0.10460942790516843,-0.6689438442358372,0.10352958584599428,0.1020504415004139,0.06144705027262685,0.09256453847454842,-0.3002046293979419,0.09642297123899829,-0.2151378142018224,0.07359909684998497,0.10561936801369876,0.09334165187349476,0.15709319546528672,0.09695551309981845,-0.7530953263009763,0.0670199900700047,0.071539120035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x_a{120}=[-14.325283667965381,-9.934601844341458,38.88451351314102];
std_x_a{120}=[1.1310675735774243,2.3385464149191457,2.4205431149977756];
pred_a{120}=[-14.325283667965381];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 11.9 to 12.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{121}=[-6.777943675811029,0.9311678743924244,33.2779376230835];
std_x_f{121}=[0.6815560415126319,2.1038574729157675,1.7723753592262947];
pred_f{121}=[-6.777943675811029];
obs{121}=[-6.600314628515348];
sqrt_r{121}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{121}=[1.46511217418584];
L_f{121}=[0.024362603790883796,0.02442067627212422,0.020817102268797294,0.024668041079477638,0.029052916437510446,0.014503312106116498,0.033021337054903004,0.023758613691057723,0.02619195020042155,0.03419908711719985,0.02946986913818176,0.02262526554714631,0.03156198041325371,-0.14634972341923125,0.02319179184828577,0.014332950965233198,0.019827843561552854,0.028917769093291076,0.013706807302993002,0.019026119003625348,0.01882025106960426,0.015350879940145962,0.02217008223992052,0.024292402411598406,-0.11761604144493992,0.023953308449077816,0.02254006410660236,0.014984773280547412,0.02202743071556367,-0.05508806278100518,0.022965164776558678,-0.03629028054636798,0.018202171617532854,0.02473929853007612,0.02218795409528707,0.03554708946070837,0.022335596843859874,-0.13391799410316677,0.016490233150976173,0.017951490091978294,0.015218371503203439,0.01966667585743842,0.014856765459491142,0.02465310562800312,0.02047715781611023,0.023644316659048262,0.020560771187746945,-0.11228387975665395,0.019415540262941854,0.0061046862603347405,0.024074497426613887,0.020685090200962708,0.02287942439531404,0.02336672213907335,-0.14608630154753813,0.023599571219082013,-0.0787474998792471,0.01676538293187997,0.018814963088159577,-0.03584152420179629,0.030349960093315878,0.03724889491559052,0.023645879470850006,-0.13271155297758805,0.034320150097969564,0.014473213229691393,-0.13368321284108906,0.020949034200205705,0.019229590065388106,0.021179152362881138,0.012369163807043641,0.03164593002077031,0.022573175698848955,0.012398252991060487,0.027882590507889545,0.023819867130311773,0.023344061198494335,0.02720695968595304,0.030598823824356972,0.021323932348126438,0.02502526008333466,0.00760605601647192,-0.0968564063512327,0.01611932803287973,0.023724687972030922,0.024598407100205475,0.022790106478254007,0.0106278807714541,0.022285732731386645,0.020460718929837526,0.024838977907150155,0.022965226548483906,-0.028424143702829384,0.02633375360095174,0.015516250493887634,0.022343378647040526,0.025389822186752415,-0.5134969955231773,0.016061532603018368,-0.11084940238353536;0.0677985887386732,0.06691845788596451,0.054260123045424165,0.07055026172311955,0.08581253766560928,0.029962472930704576,0.10219219590679936,0.06333505143045272,0.07814306466197667,0.10571460397071294,0.08769036450136061,0.06304563681488391,0.09653387404589601,-0.642835368325052,0.06227573559551389,0.027682295410178942,0.05221010715235539,0.08425197789470681,0.027680218316500246,0.048714850934785094,0.04599383159265449,0.0351264707983282,0.059008385755083256,0.06836776481190412,-0.5284491962290586,0.0673212381124581,0.06566675814226619,0.03420717201776454,0.058714137618362416,-0.24617176932550008,0.061884351806651104,-0.17946061360789395,0.04426340303827744,0.0687750630643611,0.059208537720547655,0.10908205608992967,0.06245960660320447,-0.5948036477780195,0.038933441797852464,0.04213678223680148,0.0367020138428519,0.055474986537467984,0.0332569447564554,0.06946241667942656,0.051845944743126066,0.06465226493243868,0.05803769604194225,-0.4973347043801742,0.04888882432324974,-0.0013320004663858345,0.06997782353390222,0.05618381736835427,0.060901528677586816,0.061622789932879826,-0.6398591574461704,0.06514524550126084,-0.35592441665543784,0.04059554507508949,0.05090070678594999,-0.15983347313289417,0.09089596520522714,0.11579961808088805,0.06463119484595543,-0.5892370610003923,0.10611709349911357,0.03189439979893018,-0.5932599355134338,0.05768950154934989,0.04851076666272006,0.05541995400929061,0.023185081081282182,0.09581346703009294,0.06208196434061148,0.0232691161685981,0.07979551076836046,0.06372958767714001,0.06360706579878163,0.07904620237289789,0.09222796284397054,0.05425036833260712,0.06880519757526275,0.0042491318902267445,-0.42798258631169944,0.038193409340590186,0.06798450101391734,0.06867325316194586,0.061312301619356614,0.020641125103026525,0.05888014474015357,0.05430725291904066,0.06736521421565014,0.06270667615490079,-0.1317563526388058,0.07592462898407679,0.0351717796952871,0.06109246026317591,0.07384229163932927,0.9966639015832623,0.038410619364714356,-0.49351839508286305;0.03383851608679813,0.031510256677908494,0.02462890863176182,0.03444805053649292,0.04360648068193529,0.011021101453398924,0.052578307961824715,0.029375198141926535,0.03916354188681288,0.056235934836903735,0.044262240973103335,0.03035590489761357,0.05108528422786898,-0.39634073743018505,0.02826134080796832,0.009187617875681694,0.023344966857280488,0.04249908503415363,0.00977346550627198,0.022765344749129588,0.020775710765934496,0.014398169912038978,0.02664660399014306,0.033124069251895594,-0.3327327534026769,0.03305113573797514,0.033874184671903104,0.01412329566185352,0.02808212636507475,-0.15311014783183452,0.028853886535992843,-0.11817240243798713,0.018811667904188773,0.034342594935276985,0.027353139853471414,0.05729313570283462,0.02998169675522613,-0.36954747460619647,0.01624740453328541,0.0178559225939562,0.01475547100430421,0.02820933175485445,0.012923797343275707,0.03421615834164424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k{121}=[0.31745840515201645;0.2103588125618807;-0.14198458845549752];
x_a{121}=[-6.72155384174787,0.968533709858042,33.252717035905484];
L_a{121}=[0.03331135859651223,0.033390761983103666,0.028463540456034973,0.033728987645378655,0.039724494394419115,0.019830599165462107,0.04515057624439034,0.03248551374935441,0.03581265175747382,0.04676093181225101,0.04029460016181014,0.03093586959963294,0.043155175718754706,-0.2001062020777355,0.03171048962520974,0.019597661787192265,0.02711091198394736,0.03953970537575337,0.018741526037300837,0.026014701805676242,0.025733215449268602,0.020989491552194164,0.03031349054260383,0.03321537118320383,-0.16081820181883402,0.03275172285232785,0.030819372374489847,0.020488908349875636,0.030118440944335193,-0.07532274585411519,0.03140061898417411,-0.049620252384535546,0.02488810601655724,0.033826419041051034,0.030337927002187993,0.048604075912897386,0.03053980117721858,-0.1831081095595146,0.02254734652122069,0.02454534535505544,0.020808310751572707,0.026890544931557805,0.020313881309787205,0.03370856617548405,0.027998729237022815,0.032329233679602255,0.02811305507140251,-0.15352745606695584,0.026547163414687495,0.00834703034547174,0.03291742638399051,0.028283038348442216,0.03128338485721638,0.03194967447161761,-0.1997460213472417,0.032268052559182255,-0.10767265394013305,0.022923563000301135,0.025725985111835575,-0.04900666101126533,0.041497961906542424,0.0509309803872989,0.0323313705359413,-0.18145852426458148,0.046926463066619316,0.019789444514072812,-0.1827870895700284,0.028643932991874024,0.026292910882200676,0.02895857705464537,0.016912545746428333,0.043269961293565404,0.030864646358030164,0.01695231983003545,0.03812428995605004,0.032569266508204624,0.031918689823004456,0.037200489660253896,0.04183823706996637,0.02915653692985002,0.034217418620865005,0.010399876041355782,-0.13243323710508756,0.02204020231363745,0.032439126597888696,0.0336337760467356,0.03116125911114182,0.014531662975669215,0.030471621218050433,0.027976252097868987,0.03396271216894871,0.03140070344586673,-0.03886476387380412,0.03600654170313854,0.021215605224783374,0.030550441355029802,0.03471588992803262,-0.7021122496974151,0.02196117774360887,-0.1515660733434712;0.07372834017781998,0.07286234391360374,0.05932691488741369,0.07655435526531619,0.09288389073342888,0.033492515801812506,0.11022944523386545,0.06911779431524182,0.08451807103355076,0.11403851252299185,0.09486320203685453,0.06855252770761658,0.10421592233532558,-0.6784562523041554,0.06792051651750325,0.031170873123088177,0.057036117742335225,0.09129043668875493,0.031016395394643174,0.053345725266261135,0.050574598567440746,0.03886280798127412,0.06440448701735357,0.07428042954170658,-0.5570764274154837,0.07315136885166079,0.0711529113762074,0.037854400437530966,0.06407551812216544,-0.2595799633904429,0.06747397268843054,-0.1882935095144224,0.048693732171859454,0.07479650035905176,0.06460898891441749,0.11773406252965106,0.0678959933977326,-0.6273987030962873,0.04294709257993575,0.046506096581090485,0.040406099050540566,0.06026176961163656,0.03687301663122941,0.07546287499791675,0.056829995588920885,0.07040718841845356,0.06304209801748688,-0.5246641106823509,0.05361448208972693,1.5385352723794473E-4,0.07583745114134258,0.061218478049161175,0.06647028072476048,0.06731014812421414,-0.6754159256913321,0.07088927814246682,-0.37509121445530635,0.04467616611303293,0.05548018668913095,-0.1685571437036212,0.09828301303829691,0.1248658365412893,0.07038649871354236,-0.6215384738138593,0.11447046825256743,0.035417116734874236,-0.6257978460971475,0.06278840504766513,0.053191164962638364,0.06057486726411675,0.02619568157027024,0.10351594828761833,0.06757617679159958,0.026286796838024595,0.08658201161246036,0.06952723938172128,0.069288908416076,0.08566825762353396,0.09967558302308205,0.05944052040399164,0.07489623666401993,0.00610041273019927,-0.4515570129157524,0.04211678343563718,0.07375898652675492,0.07466039809748616,0.06685931407531966,0.023227904900479497,0.06430439482732309,0.059287302611659196,0.07341091303569895,0.06829631207169722,-0.13867466516710134,0.08233414968447966,0.038948367349301356,0.06653074111463674,0.08002206355303224,0.8716809738823869,0.04231992630436478,-0.5204986558527849;0.02983614838241214,0.027498348637627516,0.021209007436689114,0.030395504601976167,0.038833573177228006,0.008638450219630752,0.04715345542477177,0.025472055893491476,0.03486064321075792,0.050617597693129936,0.0394208351240593,0.026638952764486627,0.04590017954132716,-0.37229792937950645,0.024451317893457274,0.006832954123638084,0.02008758429671536,0.03774837997424583,0.007521666669389263,0.019639672103728294,0.017683858773594834,0.011876277480765677,0.02300443084960885,0.02913323445818148,-0.31341040798190134,0.029116008402133513,0.030171229708246317,0.011661548422092306,0.02446338848043369,-0.14406010189814075,0.02508109465313206,-0.11221051724342362,0.015821356012363737,0.030278342595262686,0.02370803066647214,0.051453344354435986,0.02631233233780289,-0.3475469914380042,0.01353833545480044,0.01490679347760847,0.012255347489568899,0.024978426348352126,0.01048307964425211,0.030166066051621514,0.01961087298855273,0.02714199869077881,0.025022329653657655,-0.29061701193284767,0.018172439871957387,-0.007350165183745132,0.03127719594857218,0.023097110128405533,0.025523240399866604,0.024313475562455424,-0.3697090436161391,0.02715949134984986,-0.21211029133118328,0.015271460085669096,0.02310305533647706,-0.09246245793269074,0.041663702106366676,0.05521679323924483,0.0277941768966203,-0.3450491156141741,0.04992612324111904,0.01004887862059568,-0.34742857793770626,0.023597249744015506,0.017784775482186432,0.022236586310281702,0.0051741812133075694,0.04338838803585986,0.025654495649802263,0.005713150182595742,0.03537830677869221,0.024430638857592783,0.026563483463765226,0.03623577297827904,0.04273253731490179,0.021655574547891476,0.027910813653306665,-0.004755311440742805,-0.2504602105103321,0.014141248302073514,0.03035820255257924,0.029244745060328432,0.024724229906373105,0.00648339158372878,0.02418459359259728,0.02222505017453843,0.027253243075891075,0.02593869874100086,-0.07606182337471197,0.033879167397714564,0.011349052483936372,0.025940639573549938,0.032910420424987236,1.4495617652549038,0.014813734417942611,-0.2891253768890563];
x_a{121}=[-6.721553841747875,0.9685337098580417,33.2527170359055];
std_x_a{121}=[0.9319019386155296,2.1454509241735313,1.7951244170328773];
pred_a{121}=[-6.721553841747875];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.0 to 12.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{122}=[-1.4801319161899116,1.5002651583104742,25.196336868380424];
std_x_f{122}=[1.57185544385393,2.3513756554280905,0.8087761122360595];
pred_f{122}=[-1.4801319161899116];
obs{122}=[-1.359821598713169];
sqrt_r{122}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{122}=[3.4739304429047992];
L_f{122}=[0.05657655461023014,0.056008167994959175,0.04537737193370261,0.05816586531145512,0.07074749480557885,0.026370437648918964,0.08316505481272796,0.053025402305499215,0.06420572635581821,0.08632932924460507,0.07122875959158069,0.05265082135023221,0.07908199735273527,-0.5085481477257336,0.05196579428738325,0.024740167112714047,0.0433899835988442,0.0696383873882596,0.024780163916529468,0.041051646588612656,0.039499955294321654,0.03047289933029566,0.04964345336055791,0.056542197414492235,-0.4175106410268397,0.055880784274058355,0.05420509324904354,0.029464985930493563,0.04919752674311365,-0.19334561415773274,0.051844738558082686,-0.1399649863215416,0.03723469156925162,0.05763701481343364,0.04988561028811571,0.08894950933466436,0.05179407769296273,-0.4708413129446247,0.033787156354043356,0.036358590616346935,0.03125482491736141,0.04634011033343257,0.028797674761298263,0.057791561974632,0.04372776396620491,0.05356844169227847,0.048462253762870486,-0.39344066118383264,0.041595783304717776,0.0018396063925937805,0.057839958541246364,0.0467901655152676,0.051372637114555864,0.052296924495637234,-0.5062576453198776,0.054305802691227284,-0.28031245776465064,0.03469210630729196,0.04294829298628099,-0.12488830967684884,0.07481074071122724,0.09437045285538058,0.0537905424971817,-0.4660692700207864,0.08660709025385153,0.027866289483323765,-0.4692788476409099,0.04781674350480987,0.04088261021700169,0.04646683754463187,0.02103430990012339,0.07838985081864284,0.05181533625671017,0.021010537146886065,0.066703792147388,0.05343531193738948,0.05329970297085223,0.06511386701416401,0.07559375140419763,0.046049585626751405,0.05754524554009454,0.0064744160005222534,-0.33855367465184066,0.0325264598882829,0.05655448816657778,0.0572187393914509,0.051691675611686305,0.018585785185460883,0.049632130842923984,0.045835456026145326,0.055984074155579065,0.05236770497173756,-0.10223293560373678,0.06258311144487888,0.03035766151058697,0.05090504992978868,0.060758608107641776,0.550346775964052,0.033014515232540835,-0.39071606601206726;0.0705999021894946,0.06902925424048406,0.05583375676488636,0.0736553309377308,0.08908603263203814,0.03087143369766767,0.10590577192668829,0.06590823094902165,0.08093982549373584,0.11015128783149979,0.0906897137438846,0.06547823101237824,0.10058822089933388,-0.681455956383088,0.06427195466480148,0.028078860203261315,0.053584857843252356,0.08758316697568239,0.027988363066652727,0.0503675658202507,0.0476381693251352,0.036279461143794656,0.06087384422015229,0.07077465976937716,-0.570096620689625,0.06922632132550885,0.06861791222746343,0.03495387758277265,0.059873533503486065,-0.26590976967239316,0.06396632828035458,-0.19640587403397217,0.04541849385057081,0.07167616931415396,0.06095054576393088,0.11297660968783022,0.06422333102336909,-0.6360201618131379,0.03997876631955486,0.04249518924589297,0.03643743892886257,0.05799103096361159,0.03368769771505624,0.07220026935745706,0.053171464813634495,0.06583498937385993,0.060654543242575264,-0.5355686575441657,0.05016311745436409,-0.002579113613876784,0.07292698406839244,0.05808927144804543,0.06325737436328256,0.0633326119717923,-0.6783904377030824,0.06772813468534283,-0.38694466300374775,0.041770606065888755,0.05348710906023615,-0.17170069351710693,0.09386523100541895,0.12014216140283755,0.06735413634148986,-0.6303489315817389,0.11010988751839176,0.03270236502017263,-0.6341920232936471,0.059440861575787395,0.049630751234709135,0.05717100215805667,0.022982603148305518,0.09881185107152933,0.06414077873706377,0.02319748592405124,0.08273513480208697,0.06538129486331755,0.06597973571180023,0.08219811152634353,0.09606451903370229,0.05631318752353775,0.07090171518611209,0.003699252291965018,-0.4627799509225754,0.039348514683220134,0.0709650550639158,0.07103111482475599,0.06313052938370571,0.02137113350872015,0.06109449890134836,0.05551525357075833,0.06906613877275491,0.06516772976435717,-0.14130748837069354,0.07875591584191467,0.035050363093026456,0.06333576087471617,0.07701086652140823,1.2713416157859279,0.04009443405279308,-0.5326682655656508;-0.010004155169320041,-0.011704804396464503,-0.014513415479862285,-0.010630063368923632,-0.005269989632878879,-0.019355237635420727,-0.0014218791250198265,-0.012482089618295156,-0.008017308474504076,2.9462194318610735E-4,-0.005540629920047371,-0.011753432333471677,-0.0019893659985519493,0.09052511545319229,-0.012910201401918647,-0.020308323994696943,-0.014965685986760765,-0.006500706664876613,-0.019620753157997304,-0.014927964595090305,-0.015406920270453962,-0.01771095011833243,-0.013487851233267647,-0.010805154904067976,0.03123694825193409,-0.010915608671565139,-0.00982835536068401,-0.01782972821696533,-0.012987040256620027,-0.03497278110096295,-0.013081795179093587,-0.0431238543964497,-0.016742950080617124,-0.009942258501542338,-0.013512638863893416,0.0012960725231640218,-0.012050167959663663,0.06429056391131792,-0.01766162598833769,-0.017171067007097467,-0.018155588601577476,-0.012196750285664327,-0.018764540012047297,-0.009422915610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k{122}=[0.7121416169853333;1.0405893372080317;0.057949156369814604];
x_a{122}=[-1.3944539321620053,1.6254587918328858,25.203308749780785];
L_a{122}=[-0.046601296761156125,-0.04613312485645596,-0.037376690579554284,-0.04791038919606523,-0.05827369699792562,-0.021720951356352613,-0.0685018631160154,-0.0436762635289821,-0.05288533613059653,-0.07110823059189886,-0.05867010790112871,-0.04336772656737788,-0.06513870723462888,0.41888381702935923,-0.04280347959855525,-0.020378120892708323,-0.03573970730599806,-0.05736014112216459,-0.020411065686482734,-0.03381365264091452,-0.03253554677205875,-0.025100090216649013,-0.04089060067799994,-0.04657299723168676,0.3438975281805903,-0.04602820071214924,-0.04464795804317258,-0.024269886402059827,-0.040523297317511156,0.15925600993036268,-0.04270376773019152,0.11528715222545433,-0.0306696815241392,-0.04747478262421986,-0.04109006186685512,-0.07326643536038872,-0.042662039102036406,0.38782523791184276,-0.027829996202802573,-0.029948049731953807,-0.02574415111040664,-0.038169684394364516,-0.023720231760805396,-0.047602080904792295,-0.0360179321510405,-0.044123557285037855,-0.03991766350702483,0.3240714309318862,-0.034261850251400834,-0.0015152574068108202,-0.04764194446273698,-0.03854038839414104,-0.042314904540788637,-0.04307622680290077,0.41699716304198237,-0.04473091096659107,0.23088935196095334,-0.028575390502894992,-0.035375893081988144,0.10286870986303663,-0.061620534386083226,-0.07773158880557006,-0.044306498533254454,0.38389457458349324,-0.07133701835230148,-0.022953063062801683,0.3865382576459167,-0.03938596596366096,-0.033674419805490866,-0.038274067781042996,-0.017325659446298946,-0.06456859605943188,-0.042679549476161045,-0.017306078170343277,-0.05494295710246076,-0.044013900214930415,-0.043902201053738876,-0.05363335856872479,-0.0622654890660149,-0.03793038335940801,-0.047399193589682614,-0.00533288362068201,0.2788618071694585,-0.026791578601529715,-0.04658312094793836,-0.04713025515693233,-0.04257769197606885,-0.015308844749095982,-0.04088127448258244,-0.03775400787786918,-0.04611327910644752,-0.04313452766611802,0.08420780310246126,-0.05154881149570668,-0.025005170476990808,-0.04192975968159439,-0.05004599425902531,-0.4533127477439014,-0.02719358279019618,0.3218272209578405;-0.0801647342427992,-0.08022075122860314,-0.06508740976724099,-0.0813444847432625,-0.09944118339129411,-0.03940024459892581,-0.11571163371231732,-0.07539333036625782,-0.0901549514433518,-0.11989824464132512,-0.09911997186405022,-0.07482515072260773,-0.11014869408892664,0.6737180574534334,-0.07420597380976232,-0.037848489486358765,-0.062040336146557615,-0.09798851070339276,-0.03804556970543373,-0.05902645110986646,-0.057620916175335546,-0.04492441597846427,-0.07141553339766964,-0.07989842195160676,0.5424815565195554,-0.07968423327914498,-0.07582727770626468,-0.043564122000225344,-0.07122754332759437,0.2493156876763007,-0.07418901209845508,0.17657142056082117,-0.053804139549091516,-0.08191437085314739,-0.07198412921061992,-0.12405515246275392,-0.07379700878914998,0.6186730561185986,-0.0500569097461159,-0.0543928191036467,-0.0468501056712632,-0.06549563121975627,-0.043052057743603725,-0.08180210653809293,-0.06335384291816533,-0.07691365786385229,-0.06848718551033812,0.5128680783035876,-0.060680909550389586,-0.007481278315645047,-0.08120435851345457,-0.06659669327912826,-0.07363991481423317,-0.0760277089673376,0.6706798682486932,-0.0769854247618833,0.36002916870937346,-0.050676571577261846,-0.060961072206239794,0.16110042406224556,-0.10548968203694128,-0.13133527678177273,-0.07598636289804972,0.611627794131475,-0.12067981971167324,-0.04155544427227753,0.6163375527359702,-0.06798071790256717,-0.059312819264278775,-0.06665336142926151,-0.03306941533432747,-0.11008063876060073,-0.07393621068334565,-0.032791183163704093,-0.09501646285242674,-0.07701258953610493,-0.07605277927094803,-0.09131666954723014,-0.1053769530658781,-0.06639928732942176,-0.08244427914014354,-0.013553706661701394,0.43939449259633956,-0.047327670059211346,-0.07974077893020348,-0.08144480918469982,-0.07461693038760371,-0.028156080822356353,-0.07116470658481325,-0.06662661086579877,-0.0801196616743134,-0.07438120627901981,0.13112181514360172,-0.08801493312177953,-0.045846429440725596,-0.07231550665306334,-0.08489806421126128,-0.19521696420406484,-0.047882315685912974,0.5085079963397379;-0.018400054665171396,-0.02001635593352862,-0.02124736838254296,-0.01926181485341421,-0.01576884132264782,-0.02326858205321446,-0.01376348328570123,-0.02035100195399873,-0.01754536880365149,-0.01251655711986192,-0.016110900783394465,-0.019566757260660417,-0.013725048849495436,0.16599311039423809,-0.020621869054089016,-0.023979738028653698,-0.02140471261063814,-0.016834968013822036,-0.023298102674368947,-0.021019984536418984,-0.02126867090243385,-0.02223309541132395,-0.02085488600436112,-0.01919595582924216,0.09319507568933737,-0.019208256602259517,-0.01787233255614107,-0.022202300251854972,-0.02028790000011812,-0.006280501134192641,-0.02077549829200171,-0.022353201849831243,-0.02226853802651053,-0.018495529144272303,-0.020915609461054988,-0.011903938430562222,-0.019736353054996304,0.134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x_a{122}=[-1.394453932162006,1.625458791832884,25.203308749780795];
std_x_a{122}=[1.294714789709565,1.956804002042515,0.8053651584262442];
pred_a{122}=[-1.394453932162006];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.1 to 12.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{123}=[0.3545336984577662,1.2772439286999935,19.548421495394784];
std_x_f{123}=[1.815998813916257,2.3748804227164055,1.2718948816232247];
pred_f{123}=[0.3545336984577662];
obs{123}=[0.37531557391396747];
sqrt_r{123}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{123}=[4.303318546061552];
L_f{123}=[-0.0739381763116878,-0.07400548339956368,-0.05980639389100099,-0.07569591206805824,-0.0924392486020463,-0.03536418848732224,-0.1082332503696217,-0.06985195164965789,-0.08408643182156668,-0.11230318773088378,-0.09287844828039937,-0.06937122197465422,-0.10293939963347665,0.6066084396026643,-0.06861325688419773,-0.03394839997971019,-0.05690087604263973,-0.09131604190846777,-0.033728090114122665,-0.05432842003539942,-0.052897347914581526,-0.039984132996581205,-0.06540099663463862,-0.07400131876718358,0.5063127286995258,-0.07376437793149715,-0.07022939155654043,-0.03914215569858267,-0.06547734242475972,0.24461275048308667,-0.06811232803204101,0.17544213828961341,-0.0488527236134915,-0.07565088652206296,-0.06626337163738959,-0.11596816282123225,-0.06802057657341053,0.5657664461333776,-0.045412470684420066,-0.04914961616224677,-0.04206664860588516,-0.06046835984920521,-0.03864968455673137,-0.07561155813136879,-0.057605815305004644,-0.07029229616874624,-0.0629824340172478,0.48070631090125854,-0.055492141357475294,-0.003770024031813909,-0.07552238632860168,-0.061407636290835545,-0.06757451222677764,-0.0695073325250624,0.6047323441658693,-0.07130524477951512,0.34821694277162274,-0.04612116009631114,-0.05596331890726078,0.1590815645319924,-0.0982143896224628,-0.12284431004857944,-0.07043095305191241,0.5606773578325281,-0.11234371009477678,-0.03738796894984724,0.5639793687732018,-0.06241375031763531,-0.05445535971603482,-0.060988858184063736,-0.028717674739953167,-0.10246356986992636,-0.06817686890526477,-0.02838527149420596,-0.08813609118685324,-0.07059021385429194,-0.07014011033659626,-0.08550773597445044,-0.09830041932627231,-0.061347104879987825,-0.0758435135401956,-0.009733416215735959,0.41751647749894566,-0.04303282516469071,-0.07402749520540867,-0.07504474549139921,-0.06830150577024804,-0.02404090803685849,-0.06547956517654804,-0.06071977000821185,-0.07399776954503486,-0.06853734373158894,0.1303404765000196,-0.08137662017968758,-0.04099037459417821,-0.06677024858757734,-0.07897966357292145,-0.24799926199592096,-0.04339526145380464,0.4775374349723977;-0.10111623289451149,-0.10095018697235635,-0.08074919719989988,-0.10373754956321254,-0.12752024418484711,-0.04553370627464599,-0.14966529432149317,-0.09514824438577406,-0.11509259953921919,-0.15530524132721635,-0.12736988916847702,-0.09465555187864945,-0.14217050139580717,0.7670021295099443,-0.09377439322160434,-0.043591378544399824,-0.07699491404220993,-0.12584539033585165,-0.04411146811703548,-0.07266701604123521,-0.0706506388080551,-0.053017184926167804,-0.08912892396580752,-0.101205007355157,0.669542898839146,-0.100987988378309,-0.09606427770581911,-0.05130222044905502,-0.08926756748704967,0.3471530520495516,-0.092972090750261,0.2525007195693245,-0.065383162630531,-0.103496100963166,-0.09019669477341982,-0.16094776863535934,-0.09251876107284437,0.7296707907943535,-0.06043865381639086,-0.06596940969983603,-0.05554702753981763,-0.0817336901591759,-0.0511170070604299,-0.10343118419671757,-0.07756027869769969,-0.09619908411962272,-0.08557390961118155,0.6420618740865803,-0.0751848214283774,-0.001096524175864377,-0.10319100957436483,-0.08327522741828969,-0.09225337992069191,-0.09526794883849043,0.7653316896668164,-0.09757054268086843,0.4839535048151594,-0.06126429824648328,-0.07513195570138938,0.23043200431362384,-0.13559114855825102,-0.17060167699350332,-0.09597243450547986,0.7248784853676622,-0.156648861071909,-0.04871898309770614,0.7283561257888922,-0.08424096394460386,-0.07303587749898195,-0.08289904828886437,-0.036385502188187376,-0.14197761426149746,-0.09328886671585007,-0.03641737578570506,-0.12179212552290378,-0.09670458116686562,-0.09571391012459093,-0.11660460878527983,-0.13589051609549072,-0.08358335252695508,-0.1042771914798204,-0.01002580492657166,0.5698866751144076,-0.056951450615433157,-0.10094218442811496,-0.10291854738469111,-0.09411979533748759,-0.029950807388261617,-0.08950727972363097,-0.08280150143265039,-0.10114656514824306,-0.0940946178498588,0.1900610854899341,-0.11174326654248831,-0.05413940129437867,-0.09088651686909145,-0.1083407106042557,-0.1299257147597269,-0.05696569726833267,0.6389168049754065;-0.0435077200850481,-0.04475193753440436,-0.04597070292009863,-0.044005565589391865,-0.04031160629389667,-0.048098618842984574,-0.03701359996988816,-0.04504103578539773,-0.042427872854279076,-0.03542421887149795,-0.040141412925135206,-0.044389927885722706,-0.0372784657417866,0.47008511641206696,-0.04561510773257284,-0.04841526816506118,-0.04650763864376792,-0.040894616315903895,-0.04802550372901173,-0.04599498965343665,-0.04622168014028068,-0.04751647104394125,-0.045359944687306,-0.04359424199858371,0.3049000761568229,-0.04323739050947157,-0.042961494898196464,-0.047327632465901714,-0.0453266215385882,0.03565532642060617,-0.04566098278073221,-0.006646828361561681,-0.04716021848012818,-0.043350103132379005,-0.04602189240280479,-0.034766937374978005,-0.0450387623970027,0.3985088057352837,-0.047137610500882894,-0.04796233149420288,-0.04770913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k{123}=[0.7676211999422605;0.9999384271950719;0.4386554876704514];
x_a{123}=[0.37048630663250604,1.2980245245578312,19.55753757910773];
L_a{123}=[0.048718255893930286,0.04876260489054077,0.03940674962542171,0.04987643729147774,0.06090871039410857,0.023301651057008765,0.07131546179217194,0.04602582082648065,0.055404995187080835,0.07399716507090014,0.06119810138785338,0.04570906549803003,0.06782731550978902,-0.39969751300599454,0.045209638286303304,0.02236878051236952,0.03749228852965255,0.06016862355603373,0.022223617175334977,0.03579728364464848,0.03485434264633704,0.026345756957985075,0.043093062998102914,0.048759860792212416,-0.33361213799965483,0.04860373922091424,0.04627451797976945,0.025790973657841897,0.04314336764348463,-0.1611766365823838,0.04487957361306663,-0.11559975393145566,0.032189318276995525,0.04984676972079903,0.04366128645391864,0.07641203656494126,0.04481911809112687,-0.37278650723994605,0.02992251740498305,0.03238494234949467,0.02771793752042528,0.03984292250056711,0.025466481814711412,0.04982085603591653,0.03795677674246439,0.04631596616184845,0.04149945928257662,-0.3167399337196351,0.03656406578597587,0.0024840887978345998,0.049762100262884995,0.04046181672167398,0.04452520393110186,0.04579874946043539,-0.3984613437882694,0.04698340336531423,-0.2294419874928445,0.030389476611175633,0.03687452716853889,-0.10481968524900286,0.06471398139335702,0.08094276638405477,0.04640732791639138,-0.36943328001045017,0.07402386547104602,0.024635130720218272,-0.37160899250427937,0.041124750581571536,0.03588092487239816,0.04018588160958128,0.018922227953822684,0.06751378875894175,0.04492209993619474,0.018703205695037087,0.05807333718688362,0.046512265702407185,0.0462156901111807,0.05634150001959659,0.06477066682074695,0.04042193225453657,0.04997369268305754,0.006413399485556474,-0.2751038178840049,0.02835455637118214,0.04877710858597008,0.04944738018601781,0.04500422382651727,0.015840681608439607,0.04314483222640818,0.04000857798561959,0.048757522190944494,0.04515961870806895,-0.08588203015308842,0.053619485947078965,0.027008774874956697,0.04399527036044456,0.052040118546362944,0.1634080269506627,0.028593367561275156,-0.31465194459007445;0.058661636599283376,0.05897313083568059,0.04849037394841241,0.0598387267658015,0.07223780958402137,0.03088709519416353,0.0842230569349196,0.055799433408135174,0.06661530292714694,0.08737810532933143,0.07333726007975218,0.055253285533928886,0.08027801952892762,-0.5438579556521507,0.05449650756141399,0.029769952395322808,0.04596593243712545,0.0714854521944732,0.028773780740223357,0.044734841013331424,0.04365872035215789,0.03338715857317821,0.05220039231327939,0.058709310824783326,-0.4245815863006382,0.058414308761749634,0.05569903481418082,0.033282638914392995,0.05222672943260547,-0.1814467332419695,0.054216319920637315,-0.12662373918364359,0.04018590178658809,0.059982876701330984,0.05299618438370435,0.0896554638081353,0.0544713778348836,-0.49293114373533786,0.03769614171627999,0.04024122935808449,0.03535756094581914,0.04893636677814803,0.0324036390135197,0.05996280616096196,0.046923917410769074,0.05570016311531002,0.05052897559371934,-0.3967280182181292,0.04473179759086048,0.007050368779736168,0.06001028356821174,0.049424573775597384,0.05377282919437094,0.054935018817011155,-0.5414742174398912,0.05651765184772062,-0.2685313955853075,0.03840195086014971,0.045802861883372445,-0.11333781426443428,0.07664678738107486,0.09486067436685225,0.05622644551035276,-0.48672610344785017,0.08612205302669201,0.03207513871460632,-0.4903839957035686,0.05063301524080158,0.04464029186267542,0.048895787743201746,0.025672410457950642,0.07944265482292548,0.05403901457406231,0.02492222481829646,0.06866695228802941,0.05583845599440155,0.055856468733529736,0.06817468333090854,0.07653332709058563,0.04898564235894386,0.05961804658085461,0.011007774523518483,-0.33235214900966364,0.03604101235969641,0.059028700139301636,0.05925058024937004,0.05347742195367344,0.02200077241041812,0.051991820486595765,0.048411844257236596,0.05876008328405698,0.0540122372074538,-0.09160022511892851,0.06410882567175935,0.03443939587261443,0.05340170603650586,0.06233164038559806,0.405992206054314,0.0368099781281818,-0.3930252548581701;0.026584034922656444,0.02540362310320656,0.010724435066955928,0.02775248401941897,0.04731875584538014,-0.014574150710980614,0.06558912634858431,0.02117706866443975,0.03728420381182662,0.07103671800412598,0.047905300790421004,0.021372455470004274,0.06030580722342687,-0.10496626103872883,0.019428741489978998,-0.01623293620909617,0.007433132717589098,0.045670970732661555,-0.016052020650512235,0.005507150337469974,0.003923835147470175,-0.009612397749279421,0.016638752900940922,0.026557370659687458,-0.17507318674443823,0.02668960747969746,0.023614414231212928,-0.010221735018106708,0.01674445016928071,-0.19623214814117856,0.018907996974744334,-0.17296209320099934,-8.489175286239973E-4,0.02836526325517276,0.016794317605044653,0.07516831478615076,0.019443239006008067,-0.13782526567583087,-0.0040875931987417865,-0.0013695829762449727,-0.007830883285965692,0.01257007954788921,-0.0112735189840549,0.02869539146124887,0.0081013589472339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x_a{123}=[0.370486306632506,1.2980245245578315,19.55753757910773];
std_x_a{123}=[1.196571234682465,1.5732404157364097,1.0042523980311966];
pred_a{123}=[0.370486306632506];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.2 to 12.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{124}=[1.1278533445803332,1.9166308269624444,15.384561775952536];
std_x_f{124}=[1.8954955926056716,2.9836964172857052,0.8465261376731281];
pred_f{124}=[1.1278533445803332];
obs{124}=[1.2071419980889144];
sqrt_r{124}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{124}=[4.598488114710538];
L_f{124}=[0.07473000149210679,0.07484464145046119,0.06227070272357847,0.07612853881536724,0.09109000834166726,0.04040592708815199,0.10476105374188302,0.07169010960900664,0.08412203971278641,0.10853804331457174,0.09185157237465444,0.07044000114495258,0.10021769362321781,-0.6445782966261342,0.06942892514032602,0.03922555504258223,0.05937309049597489,0.09010138043083687,0.0384051817424042,0.057688077637822785,0.05619640280364173,0.04364986076984187,0.06693521793922173,0.0746429558503312,-0.5276474184139548,0.07395163653994123,0.07137402054139626,0.043962959861752415,0.06688523347069529,-0.23748619809853233,0.06948334552806656,-0.16476893447837063,0.05219636098742179,0.0766043848077661,0.06750719682508942,0.11122797054310883,0.06937536961627784,-0.596883735831611,0.048969682978828574,0.05210103607116818,0.046327456531429174,0.06289564299086498,0.04279749508255654,0.07664696982499775,0.06048073277210639,0.07130149761208276,0.06483307092054641,-0.4980226550339608,0.05798569272246434,0.01059862044824357,0.07623830985140076,0.06306314801575674,0.06898428044652971,0.07025900895913079,-0.6424926410939427,0.07188514972389494,-0.3490844993992633,0.049599455189226406,0.05914432048907771,-0.14717413699978724,0.09615740010119293,0.11717389750660556,0.07153283249119638,-0.5908864090828178,0.10766269888028733,0.04205294437560258,-0.5949802140005568,0.06515953685437344,0.057700669864588154,0.0630823697603926,0.03425970489101263,0.09945917899036269,0.07025783819744315,0.03292190454658532,0.08678832650329356,0.07200508949288403,0.07134972479037281,0.08538704766474686,0.09625837442192896,0.06379990971815887,0.07611089736336192,0.015946351737375408,-0.4256089196696702,0.0471047439175434,0.07460420052228031,0.07525711732178972,0.06895841432120607,0.02902425130761121,0.06696518154142958,0.062289290870838676,0.07476027185384841,0.06963139128586393,-0.11914455635249148,0.08113472769568818,0.04529803278417263,0.06830584454003753,0.0790274291464266,0.31398732525342427,0.04778855996753199,-0.4938618960375731;0.11835942576453076,0.11868255816362132,0.10042725586198815,0.12061989934155308,0.1414664077290198,0.06815279868656801,0.1609551025358644,0.11346311596140526,0.13203062519953757,0.16626194415916687,0.14293293843351076,0.11190668982933878,0.15460045453639715,-1.0096666942841124,0.11109240786268143,0.066727992387709,0.09577326396136286,0.14061640419544594,0.06420829476307738,0.09356346535790915,0.09141206138471977,0.0736594847822467,0.10698215544864106,0.11824815270395944,-0.8403454157670018,0.11768863107770258,0.11300956493273123,0.07390999001454102,0.10661112201942079,-0.3743495696130188,0.1108606259646605,-0.2550641764170288,0.0850067849389762,0.12063291363509189,0.10776462541316385,0.17011232446267704,0.11063033085598896,-0.9424186038090413,0.08061453813381969,0.08643151944429474,0.07670921128310997,0.1012401271792189,0.07123257505399569,0.12091234869763597,0.09719054657682592,0.11296191272793314,0.10395159694814135,-0.7942753958949531,0.09366060068751768,0.023170180647563834,0.1201211614445369,0.10142025543248911,0.10947234396138707,0.11194749076048059,-1.006575503198698,0.1132518911282934,-0.55692518827342,0.08147708138570676,0.09537079279828341,-0.22634408741802703,0.14921198446236508,0.17858995040191422,0.11395112078564686,-0.9339292837814496,0.16459510355154858,0.07054745598799342,-0.9386980799555845,0.10393322890408029,0.0934912013625622,0.10092387252287986,0.05822763131917662,0.15365925912539302,0.11062736343549899,0.05691155180664092,0.13544021111676463,0.11450802370550639,0.11315769261025013,0.13413777756638157,0.14890482178613934,0.10156685534144977,0.12080431179946463,0.03098466416630337,-0.6803134365517594,0.07791195393505686,0.11823916347686582,0.11914520399146773,0.10940460760826339,0.05117217306605511,0.10729880522142186,0.10029783199939023,0.1183937248605687,0.11071267925435914,-0.1803604673333136,0.12715020941804803,0.07490703060657355,0.10898646266326203,0.12442620400820012,0.4161248463323341,0.07895992348816751,-0.7875449860470255;0.010029830277617358,0.0089740482445986,-0.006555372233281099,0.01060934940388399,0.031237265791154024,-0.03189047270044015,0.049548146837211,0.004330832904245496,0.020753200949618054,0.054997927264491646,0.031413269323741076,0.004448693879832927,0.043468696450706286,0.11207856891858542,0.002143447264577989,-0.03357886626302986,-0.009744614163967926,0.02902377165046314,-0.03353020339653815,-0.01182007713294342,-0.013452660213310572,-0.02724722188565435,-1.7537839514654744E-4,0.009546459867085811,-0.03495046442480148,0.009236247710328428,0.005967515080709585,-0.027658787261010565,-7.325465589325226E-4,-0.1793908478594036,0.0010425158961747242,-0.17150607437514148,-0.018238457114129667,0.011265908382786214,6.474149491161536E-5,0.060148034703160984,0.0024072426897769612,0.04601462539437243,-0.021700330786383937,-0.01834546773367465,-0.025173345259820592,-0.005136740893588957,-0.02854291351638171,0.011571341219754689,-0.008246680547001402,0.004581145549903339,-0.0019890170019437616,-0.062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k{124}=[0.7825372220054224;1.2312903002582778;0.07563595996249065];
x_a{124}=[1.189899667233489,2.0142581769481,15.390558849374791];
L_a{124}=[-0.04635906023026432,-0.04643017759448302,-0.03862988358762648,-0.0472266485443116,-0.05650805698876703,-0.025065981133924477,-0.0649889455805624,-0.04447325094231678,-0.05218544932251382,-0.06733201641681617,-0.056980496332665234,-0.043697741074495214,-0.06217045366053715,0.39986676675723287,-0.0430705159646334,-0.024333732536813535,-0.03683233806238487,-0.05589475764515108,-0.023824810624932337,-0.035787033485640274,-0.03486166693805517,-0.027078368581130975,-0.04152353456460162,-0.04630506111251622,0.32732822109175974,-0.04587619836785153,-0.04427716380420757,-0.027272600875659463,-0.041492526496346153,0.14732552845819408,-0.04310427587340695,0.10221507834930282,-0.03238022473573851,-0.04752184154018308,-0.041878363991751814,-0.06900072370857178,-0.04303729257756745,0.3702792520726138,-0.030378541915487996,-0.03232108953641005,-0.028739425997232348,-0.039017567823047085,-0.026549600061847006,-0.04754825932874636,-0.03751946845135186,-0.04423217391017585,-0.04021945911557427,0.30895037869354225,-0.03597166021331116,-0.006574897282314814,-0.047294745452774,-0.039121480246207666,-0.0427946788211945,-0.04358546183622156,0.39857292186888926,-0.044594244870496756,0.21655598835778586,-0.030769223666461464,-0.03669041965857317,0.09130007420421252,-0.05965163406757909,-0.07268930367273246,-0.0443756834428944,0.3665587860426861,-0.06678899293841452,-0.02608771500391862,0.3690983945662111,-0.04042198358482657,-0.035794845124706084,-0.039133404533635896,-0.021253147207300396,-0.06169990602440761,-0.04358473554944917,-0.020423237324989945,-0.05383949117243053,-0.0446686499937879,-0.044262091836289055,-0.05297020214822993,-0.059714273897945,-0.03957853336349698,-0.04721570459784105,-0.009892384128000344,0.2640282235721334,-0.0292216193871642,-0.04628101908720543,-0.04668605867812542,-0.04277863266519476,-0.01800531229281437,-0.04154212260704422,-0.03864141482034688,-0.04637783857223041,-0.04319611666111633,0.07391180989922279,-0.05033225816819716,-0.028100818790639782,-0.04237380834851334,-0.049024986946227714,-0.1947833136936368,-0.029645827453735545,0.3063692349351347;-0.07216925833312908,-0.07213840748059568,-0.0583356882149378,-0.07347444072481966,-0.09077310889424459,-0.034864570029324596,-0.10613957584753397,-0.0693151788853267,-0.08244363159251043,-0.1104623988671658,-0.09124823201236802,-0.06768437745309647,-0.10091065088424021,0.6337248780693249,-0.06592085964940904,-0.03327994600438218,-0.05560204150018144,-0.08910254543796417,-0.03370805200274742,-0.053515797334450305,-0.051864085589943015,-0.037628490160486826,-0.06367325387979288,-0.07205860323562681,0.5049237705123061,-0.07085556423201671,-0.06896284161068214,-0.03817625010660544,-0.06391684886630587,0.2311359370325105,-0.06629138963597903,0.16502424375586908,-0.0480710121311911,-0.0746746247312228,-0.06434907887418992,-0.11347015164191851,-0.06624639359013976,0.579372784878454,-0.04423664709760623,-0.04640324095394833,-0.04140545691286258,-0.05911614011981759,-0.0378822417256723,-0.07450376276025408,-0.05700876023770339,-0.0688255921961424,-0.0613442606975548,0.4754636542837821,-0.05417744976494044,-0.0038516468237990405,-0.07425304655479308,-0.05936307611564629,-0.06640727485930122,-0.06718212593573691,0.6314985635198518,-0.07002367035424684,0.3330869752678432,-0.04497974640068489,-0.05542124961622738,0.148885326417056,-0.09594715566514478,-0.12015202814448793,-0.06842618648318119,0.5725715555853436,-0.10989749559861123,-0.036669083478580757,0.5782401640459687,-0.06219497349650441,-0.05362016597783091,-0.0599084660323264,-0.029119570074205285,-0.09991796710373944,-0.06849926833258702,-0.027024846239760567,-0.08583190601890944,-0.06907333151315298,-0.06875277043819142,-0.08356169394061021,-0.09651175851363551,-0.06109489497892455,-0.07324505031201657,-0.009671529491092243,0.40480239090414877,-0.042184455728667344,-0.0719687833966443,-0.0727273939746686,-0.06640906395266011,-0.022826920981106447,-0.06343299813331335,-0.05851250368956013,-0.0722121353654814,-0.06681678801035333,0.12340582580181124,-0.07970771368950293,-0.040583059133256515,-0.06516344254940211,-0.07705903327605237,-0.3844049370130797,-0.04287991678666057,0.4715859560010953;-0.0016740058681670804,-0.0027477422336033945,-0.01630789580892425,-0.0013135186079299178,0.01697120783768799,-0.03821864532878133,0.03314099866414147,-0.006896910697844054,0.007578431119704205,0.037999246023036407,0.01702793905020746,-0.006583264035977838,0.027773106437926024,0.21302917264148147,-0.008730161023870288,-0.03972217497143843,-0.019043328318377746,0.014912547617062562,-0.03954502937388857,-0.02085489306707283,-0.022253857553923565,-0.03408344305568181,-0.010658434831667096,-0.0021437436290505565,0.04768701456033338,-0.002345684840114515,-0.005210724244905459,-0.03454404443258967,-0.011207774679946806,-0.14219695659842035,-0.009839615439086943,-0.14570079439994926,-0.026413188068303693,-7.314842297833221E-4,-0.010507895391567296,0.04272807061815854,-0.008457978002449467,0.1394955474172994,-0.029369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x_a{124}=[1.1898996672334885,2.0142581769480996,15.390558849374791];
std_x_a{124}=[1.1758783967519084,1.8522287884027941,0.8342805678403199];
pred_a{124}=[1.1898996672334885];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.3 to 12.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{125}=[2.3710466836770867,4.036206171915573,12.6259832689574];
std_x_f{125}=[2.112679434277193,3.295738645172968,2.0070837341232393];
pred_f{125}=[2.3710466836770867];
obs{125}=[2.5315039739980665];
sqrt_r{125}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{125}=[5.470644173179295];
L_f{125}=[-0.08502811982805515,-0.08472575863910722,-0.06834844019432265,-0.08663539607404201,-0.10686505357102788,-0.03908425011595193,-0.12471276232341746,-0.08107493236376374,-0.09712022931301646,-0.13073475156529243,-0.10790984582927783,-0.07932207324796882,-0.11915155548005602,0.6812276551662947,-0.07684945194065265,-0.03754027021572526,-0.06441196986316503,-0.10524816214279684,-0.0372036090556212,-0.0619806096316392,-0.060210633601008104,-0.042953843624799405,-0.07463073481912279,-0.08468844103654007,0.5875660971688248,-0.08294274794520765,-0.07991346163778537,-0.04368306183266507,-0.07468359238917631,0.2997119783338128,-0.07708660486570486,0.21690881751549218,-0.05499166344751705,-0.0877107697423969,-0.0751528125265414,-0.13432569178178844,-0.0776963164463532,0.6456291851262013,-0.05051564120413927,-0.05366573539533018,-0.047239854962701944,-0.06887456226826862,-0.04268366025349534,-0.08808026133193883,-0.06618049757088501,-0.08076927926525947,-0.0718907879766221,0.5619228007587046,-0.0624715552008499,-8.650211554854307E-5,-0.08677723357457717,-0.06940391311465682,-0.07733988433508573,-0.07868145462737905,0.6803540493919236,-0.08215006261149713,0.4195608062073245,-0.051842113402581526,-0.0639947807197788,0.19542309225697194,-0.11360027212898781,-0.14212052755159937,-0.08048589238031079,0.6402929200431788,-0.12946780157522325,-0.041701698468175,0.6444089822750112,-0.07257777249510126,-0.06230824951711893,-0.07003401659583364,-0.03179765299590184,-0.11788731165828265,-0.07991670070040112,-0.029272745042717686,-0.10140838815190367,-0.08093112306538461,-0.08050284521256358,-0.09874611879375228,-0.11409923535918086,-0.0711370919101765,-0.0862155039626255,-0.007448967856524451,0.4951338606849382,-0.04789716161721914,-0.08515051911685954,-0.08610737657664068,-0.07740813572292647,-0.02425301250351317,-0.07473871819338172,-0.06857138982721449,-0.08484401245004877,-0.07821565644917755,0.16217029396505064,-0.09376814369380175,-0.04582899618848405,-0.07617883788022412,-0.0909504081538409,-0.40692307302734426,-0.04878188238106209,0.5582320973318786;-0.13569977483275067,-0.13548486679094385,-0.1056257174162792,-0.13836233994464756,-0.1755031010547187,-0.053714513895220875,-0.2065876041732508,-0.1286013151738753,-0.15738169262572843,-0.21712476767646938,-0.17660977761390564,-0.12592132153751445,-0.1967497496770843,0.9884452489997969,-0.12159473416628588,-0.050747885223518224,-0.09904824986293456,-0.17254458685230578,-0.05024493887953333,-0.09478669681626667,-0.09124420620854072,-0.06052723725647247,-0.11746429662819566,-0.13569045330721172,0.9206818995600912,-0.1325878264360359,-0.12764990339108762,-0.06117435237546572,-0.11627333915442413,0.5324470947511666,-0.12261744228315896,0.3959008051335362,-0.08222472136040544,-0.14059080922206016,-0.11834552654488846,-0.22348686244138752,-0.12260514890150018,0.9678780623668296,-0.07426705762023417,-0.07953534594119498,-0.06804806398426937,-0.107215939841655,-0.06058241852894755,-0.1408151826618345,-0.10222934324271182,-0.12859077602333924,-0.11203653316635964,0.8949023820749488,-0.09600863794399181,0.015952787739416465,-0.1394501910556273,-0.1075927550771437,-0.1218143166013195,-0.123820558888975,0.9884130306420156,-0.13099356558940697,0.7149345338714992,-0.07619916659217685,-0.09829732597607783,0.3596053589524678,-0.18692743776014373,-0.23722841675996584,-0.12770322444123283,0.9649431900496764,-0.21524684825041066,-0.05750543918333051,0.9682773946127797,-0.113998090743387,-0.09560268075319185,-0.109332949446734,-0.040484341507886004,-0.19449826296418596,-0.12651231857122378,-0.03630448377909128,-0.1647283414730039,-0.1284583374418317,-0.12769693861817122,-0.16048401705294116,-0.18789640241876898,-0.1106382535502282,-0.13744325853998993,0.003232913730094038,0.816891071822138,-0.07000189431512525,-0.13556999143291532,-0.13727191757284568,-0.12275166645337847,-0.027156367174749597,-0.11678535614476236,-0.105475603022048,-0.1352700208061342,-0.12368478957498016,0.3024558159570799,-0.15154963047000902,-0.06558662123702497,-0.12004969673134948,-0.1461715656044792,-0.6767836470950802,-0.07092214897452961,0.8910723080609223;-0.0659198150085536,-0.0669320549611343,-0.07280681687560787,-0.06601944722223355,-0.05788350436771056,-0.08119291883809084,-0.048591271568148034,-0.06921631959339176,-0.06251914845932831,-0.04573088334850151,-0.057360727378950996,-0.06887821814325505,-0.0512071103490506,0.7938066182014614,-0.06960867604388107,-0.08189054118783069,-0.0740772925760845,-0.05864163553244506,-0.08156891553489606,-0.07492090078481776,-0.07565841479338503,-0.07928555769525275,-0.07034689746113985,-0.06617390512395842,0.5201195120895166,-0.06650455765356732,-0.06740218085608939,-0.07964872140678234,-0.07089356133125865,0.042905983900723386,-0.07067965572889745,-0.027206472264411776,-0.07692119305997483,-0.06625156646497748,-0.07038792885688769,-0.04191550624657929,-0.06948980010030015,0.6775614647975515,-0.07795611848077891,-0.07630127553335882,-0.07867367958658679,-0.072220543782234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k{125}=[0.8172061701796178;1.2725718014281748;0.6693374430987895];
x_a{125}=[2.5021733713776935,4.240399594911626,12.733383341387405];
L_a{125}=[0.045641250077821216,0.04547894915118011,0.036687959908397474,0.04650400109754965,0.05736284236883412,0.02097957754744681,0.06694310522929973,0.04351926480957007,0.05213203211660541,0.07017557841005656,0.057923664186776386,0.042578368063682356,0.06395797004360328,-0.365668226373199,0.04125111858829499,0.020150802632937524,0.034574948034542044,0.056494930127874286,0.019970090225902497,0.03326984660949876,0.03231976187507042,0.023056691393947972,0.04006015937150323,0.045458917871711045,-0.31539273398449885,0.04452186769229086,0.04289581252143732,0.023448119907877363,0.0400885321683872,-0.16087888785632876,0.041378417133539507,-0.11643194750547223,0.029518331919828923,0.04708123835298638,0.040340399358610224,0.07210311721447842,0.04170569708261963,-0.3465597399480804,0.02711570028482373,0.028806602506813266,0.025357329297093348,0.03697037082371574,0.02291166282173579,0.04727957342230277,0.035524255340652316,0.043355196857296274,0.038589415348333,-0.3016279687910458,0.033533375540213066,4.643245900290685E-5,0.04658013639073771,0.03725451487403421,0.04151437205792179,0.04223449788607546,-0.36519929374599136,0.04409637140209822,-0.2252111385937354,0.027827721783744458,0.034351009953098484,-0.10489887630960736,0.060978161573283875,0.07628721595034263,0.04320308092540372,-0.34369534861932594,0.06949550714128373,0.022384567038584158,-0.34590476152930033,0.03895817373404009,0.033445716592027816,0.0375927407529253,0.017068290292770745,0.06327935138726254,0.04289755117997943,0.015712974480216073,0.054433822751690064,0.04344207109807663,0.043212180837973194,0.053004774316941394,0.06124599421047423,0.038184847650953854,0.04627861212150718,0.003998444343457248,-0.2657771147147257,0.025710157249272995,0.04570695136065561,0.046220571686484135,0.04155100792223214,0.013018490953955346,0.040118122504155876,0.03680763443454443,0.045542425231432454,0.04198446752929372,-0.08704949559064001,0.050332705278163935,0.024600010915024163,0.040891147509319783,0.048820205969787055,0.21842747759252026,0.02618505616169457,-0.2996468792596351;0.06778150262267622,0.06727282838247398,0.057939323783629856,0.06896531944205776,0.08023626681497537,0.03981822748567522,0.0918632170830716,0.06541956686317175,0.07503728085433746,0.09573731030571653,0.08162988855491805,0.06390478337400536,0.08839251583356994,-0.6418045294442756,0.06231412662301147,0.03908994907135793,0.05509640178503435,0.07932538893876181,0.03878722967715976,0.05353945282477009,0.05284620372066174,0.042265850372297534,0.0611349395908525,0.06697793689912937,-0.48542587141244353,0.06590293569870044,0.06359145644169274,0.043363831496527484,0.06245239081633122,-0.18479534625992178,0.0618589505207176,-0.12318492049055879,0.04937614139332574,0.06931033301033517,0.06150309680692646,0.09796871500893053,0.06333034815589345,-0.5771808148334527,0.04662221082983349,0.04889243084499335,0.045001901768920057,0.05760816708757417,0.04156409173634168,0.06997019199626993,0.05614758212729017,0.06469864584420616,0.060005720670866375,-0.4498382703225645,0.05349239633269338,0.016159796444419065,0.06821690046080568,0.05849814437511194,0.06326820074214558,0.06447247795585162,-0.6397461168517202,0.06560021676205584,-0.28911881918319793,0.04786449002493442,0.05484894795863056,-0.10806275528023074,0.08493001997072311,0.10288102653148587,0.06490802265918756,-0.5673454408117482,0.09458328450033002,0.042291132745165314,-0.5738614082001469,0.059688189654639505,0.053507545762384284,0.05826585423224395,0.03561080283700438,0.08761853346177287,0.06473679268073573,0.03374828897378659,0.07795264932830881,0.0652183937448458,0.0649548784015919,0.07582588179640853,0.08515512705787222,0.059600325941103566,0.06887955464527912,0.021059081099608266,-0.368016587989081,0.04462107573372011,0.0682042004571241,0.06879213534966998,0.06249418367474657,0.03088365507126716,0.062072295701757936,0.058622980213140816,0.06777066823523137,0.06349354299873568,-0.08563483744159422,0.07284744783799987,0.044087010354388306,0.062254313733472295,0.07148237374712044,0.29702627476528476,0.04581805136921284,-0.4448361009620646;0.041105688635044046,0.03971286448755339,0.013223854505157265,0.04302914654812446,0.07662830423711238,-0.03199729318329497,0.1083855759199471,0.03283327866480028,0.059726780031468606,0.11882588514515363,0.07846616872713971,0.030965043786866008,0.09876980623994194,-0.06365951226874998,0.027122279730693196,-0.0346383340958767,0.006998515394526134,0.07383498024683556,-0.034740466257300436,0.003094536641974222,1.2914112199116645E-4,-0.025219246965709277,0.023591343175729473,0.040424042391002786,-0.21945414425573156,0.03789607345965713,0.03318546587751893,-0.024664538494239368,0.02311121150775519,-0.3343436306275239,0.02634980613161175,-0.30023115499617153,-0.007702792270077327,0.04415060784665918,0.02420745473093207,0.12716120442622486,0.028307110095279732,-0.13509661637453296,-0.014371718958770182,-0.008751829882860312,-0.019212535677280877,0.014472361222606575,-0.02624605620639308,0.044839082702126914,0.00954919676634438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x_a{125}=[2.5021733713776926,4.240399594911625,12.733383341387409];
std_x_a{125}=[1.134040486713197,1.7771617864321747,1.3769692374480962];
pred_a{125}=[2.5021733713776926];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.4 to 12.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{126}=[5.250169397377304,9.248883103651728,12.41931194975909];
std_x_f{126}=[2.2525784550291377,3.963322446849161,1.8714959605611512];
pred_f{126}=[5.250169397377304];
obs{126}=[5.644175235017454];
sqrt_r{126}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{126}=[6.081771040215528];
L_f{126}=[0.08752910461139161,0.08777826628132178,0.07781806819283413,0.08953945118628977,0.10124095304864093,0.05710189197307945,0.11213449355110577,0.08622043176238797,0.09644328671756025,0.1164614754202422,0.10233162539590657,0.08435579551686383,0.10892362547177749,-0.7938284921863392,0.08278338768075726,0.056525555765012135,0.07427916900027798,0.10008970161683707,0.056615466180588866,0.07308011069993071,0.07271426866124601,0.0602993282464513,0.08110713767129327,0.08711196601076819,-0.6327094987426862,0.0862650927008776,0.08440553275428656,0.06097696179545616,0.08212278762743694,-0.2469873426783725,0.08150105544851804,-0.15859284253059275,0.06840183748530412,0.08967732867276962,0.08171317163477566,0.11781096322281284,0.08374777890260744,-0.7309985368946731,0.06511295961527196,0.06766728682330576,0.06352247120590447,0.07726474091346414,0.0593227319043766,0.09032598588960226,0.07577362512237905,0.08509909028616998,0.07960695514796248,-0.5928593295558116,0.07294008049691225,0.02972175171143125,0.08918955957568907,0.07827235073810931,0.08359888403257605,0.08361777037267577,-0.7923291860040516,0.08610478560828541,-0.39186416021802833,0.06701005684752828,0.07447885703885075,-0.13695721876355402,0.10449694683896314,0.1230230051281901,0.08517779589482699,-0.7207741874723016,0.1146154463619365,0.060090690949006535,-0.7282165475543022,0.08005222136296308,0.07282790791378804,0.0786988247900439,0.05304475380459165,0.10843671988943777,0.08503055926535276,0.05052100310022458,0.09878318814204837,0.08542343866167383,0.08548897869235646,0.09638722355341096,0.10594683579068176,0.07966347378947285,0.08901555058761874,0.03558457393629648,-0.49394193998194447,0.06344097626738848,0.08860263998345855,0.08876500723311652,0.08321371730004355,0.047056643272589606,0.08216530631544834,0.07828371573211174,0.08831826926070732,0.08354255883483941,-0.10611199626566437,0.09305501766863479,0.06270771861978743,0.08207353241035013,0.09192520553780022,0.20602117385281726,0.063934458080269,-0.5869808142118379;0.15257510092638368,0.15170494730380338,0.14134410237309905,0.15434823901629766,0.1656263221559258,0.11651341620321168,0.17652860879604038,0.15020631299746878,0.16155207804315228,0.18054588804573118,0.1672390731593918,0.14889413489465253,0.17319753370560415,-1.4236715474747954,0.14649428180125318,0.11625108252833846,0.1368758657234671,0.16439611851419572,0.11612871656691626,0.13562254759891176,0.13527613748598788,0.12033129595600803,0.14464584462725763,0.1504536524597116,-1.1218392418467873,0.14999402470941436,0.14736266490749386,0.12218269983017079,0.14623359206245284,-0.3796926130960118,0.1462164019326733,-0.21881732054496245,0.1305346527788285,0.15419498211535887,0.14563876885933852,0.1810288149060006,0.14750034545890542,-1.30731362664226,0.12654099331872165,0.12932921202158806,0.12443635485943108,0.1405242431275035,0.11936019741709668,0.15558177504564982,0.1385919139475872,0.1491274584282164,0.14347046852269657,-1.0447505051116648,0.1349574273237207,0.0813254662242651,0.1529130322710694,0.14139287848701798,0.1476214567305152,0.14855557065372282,-1.4205793302432346,0.1501288396012081,-0.6545621819123247,0.12903539254500543,0.13763520427814313,-0.181369906874554,0.1706038850108101,0.185465523007111,0.14899439512110776,-1.288312053616387,0.1778989786753574,0.12083656570273164,-1.3013002015312456,0.14367418553960284,0.13570137749005612,0.14161881577073926,0.11193752144335505,0.17314507483398217,0.14961490213001277,0.10824238776154545,0.16344549612274062,0.14965265523063195,0.14954233584578383,0.16088506278891063,0.17051516659132204,0.14359549147781653,0.15371914422387195,0.08907844176177561,-0.8532767662416301,0.12413114961987766,0.15298839916547097,0.1535653341860803,0.1463884006440031,0.10374019658875226,0.14684793222133402,0.14221222549626933,0.15305478701883138,0.14741929719231392,-0.12626508723029495,0.1576389990147866,0.12314897324808942,0.14593086927389362,0.15682061783614845,0.09950894196794842,0.1252803141880667,-1.033259595071575;0.07215177255846227,0.07109118319251131,0.04002791341924919,0.07498632563050246,0.11367810066693772,-0.015453899695699847,0.1488150803305904,0.06321014455536118,0.09487395164165076,0.16229979236480466,0.11602539911304058,0.06064838488437067,0.1389590932284823,-0.2595374290623578,0.05533122629039784,-0.017631968156546145,0.032364293383449746,0.10972760866903757,-0.017610061373406365,0.027618879701396714,0.024572020009264436,-0.00633753634950054,0.05162261027950869,0.07091660062015501,-0.4265422062868144,0.06812574599134093,0.06235300054844653,-0.005848766291540501,0.052304674355819175,-0.4610211898032052,0.05528258130647646,-0.38941723323201444,0.01415002523067695,0.07629464644662344,0.052499260166890556,0.1703448480282115,0.057599400260588046,-0.3385446618316827,0.006348244195790973,0.013010131173078684,8.79510896046205E-4,0.04051721227128528,-0.00856924559483074,0.07682252978728571,0.03491205558442932,0.062901792826569,0.046469042049017945,-0.4549281885316434,0.028148898111558466,-0.08333725858909005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k{126}=[0.8355742112967536;1.4655415553017233;0.5443605834037265];
x_a{126}=[5.5793905144097895,9.826315031744832,12.633793197401356];
L_a{126}=[-0.0433239619552795,-0.04344728859910444,-0.03851732564599924,-0.04431901587379641,-0.050110865610577225,-0.02826351539181908,-0.055502801657249405,-0.042676212923984956,-0.04773618218927763,-0.05764451210558457,-0.05065071172791602,-0.0417532807162333,-0.05391352998435994,0.39291839608310375,-0.04097499173941683,-0.02797824835906892,-0.036765689608334276,-0.049541034884513176,-0.028022750989835248,-0.03617219609075487,-0.035991116589987784,-0.029846138772659056,-0.04014530438045235,-0.04311749238217365,0.3131699150125303,-0.04269831858596556,-0.04177789897539891,-0.03018154458112751,-0.040648016938237407,0.12225042498881974,-0.040340280427216976,0.078498121358377,-0.033856608245240415,-0.0443872605908568,-0.040445270802981846,-0.058312463165717685,-0.04145233294827458,0.36181968206342663,-0.03222872435051269,-0.03349303038075838,-0.031441486098234425,-0.03824344725884278,-0.02936275643991901,-0.04470832408977913,-0.037505395109323963,-0.042121186619646145,-0.03940276450351282,0.2934454219832832,-0.036102885851433904,-0.014711267139167558,-0.04414583129829516,-0.038742180222038215,-0.041378634997024905,-0.04138798309996265,0.39217628996549725,-0.042618971968500945,0.19395957543833992,-0.03316772365457987,-0.03686452846912765,0.0677892155021651,-0.0517224729921999,-0.06089224855505089,-0.04216014324796147,0.35675897308715016,-0.05673078982948617,-0.02974287032981299,0.3604426909371337,-0.039623156299411065,-0.03604736419671932,-0.03895327052946182,-0.026255368496688972,-0.05367252810254296,-0.04208726606999794,-0.025006196807042906,-0.04889435467080493,-0.04228172815315075,-0.0423141682633111,-0.047708432809211804,-0.05244011924326715,-0.03943073932954834,-0.04405970270355512,-0.017613166891807953,0.24448464211879822,-0.031401148845483014,-0.04385532584645142,-0.043935692172351874,-0.041187990422962874,-0.02329145524721299,-0.040669062258305244,-0.03874780551170591,-0.04371457190605254,-0.04135075591914904,0.05252186812172803,-0.046059103004912304,-0.031038210979625374,-0.04062363726292113,-0.045499884011524744,-0.10197354968509426,-0.03164540574016713,0.2905357546646632;-0.07693246895721087,-0.07845594229130451,-0.06270043576386285,-0.08043060330949978,-0.09983469461161827,-0.03321182685372965,-0.11749604996520761,-0.07586982311697105,-0.09132911461163179,-0.1248244265190907,-0.10108176447655369,-0.07229279167826283,-0.11240799940166604,0.6578035110777158,-0.07056967901149641,-0.03196296578787382,-0.05788942572917704,-0.09804623469439366,-0.03232108328677428,-0.055998727267669815,-0.055385873400543136,-0.037777853599431865,-0.06802286882294376,-0.07796015019115834,0.5371702972477417,-0.07619921557862538,-0.0739546762577365,-0.03770325333584155,-0.06909822818315994,0.267925856917934,-0.06748519209120875,0.1970244506204987,-0.048819855261935954,-0.08094538483706606,-0.0686190089694285,-0.12787995315415404,-0.07209231808337144,0.6094167973237751,-0.04418984181979825,-0.04809925166924178,-0.042124105963224315,-0.062069431324718566,-0.036188246711024226,-0.08125941750282883,-0.06009194829821063,-0.07400844016912468,-0.06526465910093729,0.5097690414239844,-0.05629667833956827,0.0033929083823972077,-0.08094836923743498,-0.06384282096102509,-0.07158079381781221,-0.07069620122856013,0.6569644403115769,-0.07564406402945037,0.3729336611607762,-0.046669767162937026,-0.05765368348764889,0.17774171200916503,-0.10339458025104492,-0.13710959154596686,-0.07434787520891899,0.6016093952094669,-0.12263091572308345,-0.03672552194300189,0.6081356474955699,-0.06622846193254064,-0.055258603640887555,-0.06473512913077312,-0.02714961528466085,-0.11118375702675187,-0.07334130323135574,-0.024227294192736594,-0.09557108535026224,-0.07433370799545282,-0.07461587802630985,-0.09184912824143118,-0.10728501115676715,-0.06528783206446338,-0.07968599327773752,-0.004226855096015328,0.44187431307251746,-0.042215625647788295,-0.07933405721240558,-0.0791828607282882,-0.07180391519545237,-0.01964568622497076,-0.0685953750639721,-0.0630532737785495,-0.07852202899388452,-0.07163526466077157,0.15196815309077927,-0.08635790996106354,-0.04127514804583088,-0.06927180027118561,-0.08421384296061776,-0.44069330464993856,-0.042360405672758124,0.5058460639679228;-0.013096492279503116,-0.014399750642468985,-0.035762365893378646,-0.012219900025112418,0.015075291735480612,-0.07106782641506967,0.039602595567302785,-0.0207635489258722,9.43791103113655E-4,0.048873078540601855,0.016360338653660586,-0.021509261178227886,0.03287380751060491,0.5136054225442455,-0.02529498585383897,-0.07268457687867134,-0.039979303629144404,0.012246051775850579,-0.07275023761896095,-0.04355690415924094,-0.04624745495113805,-0.0650655803153004,-0.027371031699914658,-0.01392539544517827,0.1896801023245009,-0.015891444650398826,-0.01985308669502525,-0.0652367859820452,-0.027678151699328413,-0.22046986126224083,-0.024094713712085325,-0.23495701452558185,-0.05246939219898343,-0.011045863873901544,-0.02708462369892174,0.055603811452737406,-0.023966072928905506,0.3734054620274876,-0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x_a{126}=[5.579390514409791,9.826315031744834,12.633793197401356];
std_x_a{126}=[1.1149505495371483,1.9804716851099202,1.3708018396547035];
pred_a{126}=[5.579390514409791];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.5 to 12.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{127}=[11.318968237033161,17.951845714469968,20.65132845349086];
std_x_f{127}=[1.5282459888416393,1.366308575869379,3.994200160913745];
pred_f{127}=[11.318968237033161];
obs{127}=[11.979202108480827];
sqrt_r{127}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{127}=[3.3394007496145406];
L_f{127}=[-0.06216869955194636,-0.06288877008797934,-0.044562663881826434,-0.06551331077405857,-0.0875298433107914,-0.011570991772357146,-0.10883807904547319,-0.05976497754515681,-0.07733568125730766,-0.11717273069237709,-0.0893789864496858,-0.05665120997289062,-0.10279668680979427,0.3823977850312736,-0.05378945656148195,-0.009509622059051093,-0.03953454845209313,-0.085670952567551,-0.009557709337950351,-0.03722356856735426,-0.03611910900577678,-0.016063255191971333,-0.05138567432165016,-0.062465452859039636,0.40669279111222023,-0.060478278134009134,-0.057834797715265375,-0.0165021358605787,-0.05233457336130533,0.3027923876759697,-0.05148511652548996,0.24040480836172834,-0.02900476053009845,-0.06607234667623439,-0.051574227138573375,-0.12067520365958397,-0.05561167468116707,0.3971729604194855,-0.024007348356818302,-0.02822998599662753,-0.02140408328567447,-0.044106776564077854,-0.01459089564287489,-0.06606907073045375,-0.04199300873936128,-0.058059571097556266,-0.047709210136877865,0.40718761514788354,-0.037473241346157496,0.03123018319224836,-0.065847299882085,-0.04607256258060068,-0.05497549400803963,-0.054863463415802324,0.3838090180795617,-0.05974813915333534,0.3722503724539105,-0.02637859614939586,-0.03963843781172672,0.22097143199260263,-0.09389782258370764,-0.13039408251225187,-0.05815306877324493,0.3985329245918706,-0.11453514734871774,-0.014687927191376269,0.3983439704181356,-0.04919787764872864,-0.03616528751239785,-0.04700259481501742,-0.003464154530765813,-0.10156398193454383,-0.05741492884523574,-3.4878230820881335E-4,-0.08253387793254673,-0.057898410184283135,-0.05840958513814497,-0.07875509715559735,-0.09648365622015555,-0.04780911161676594,-0.06502644854742255,0.023065233316871336,0.39724813980448015,-0.021373827653938693,-0.06357085775105106,-0.0642971680178348,-0.054966973698012546,0.005279246809590537,-0.05196991882084478,-0.044890924947336895,-0.06299222539358425,-0.05585953750758171,0.19454936182283725,-0.0730227978032316,-0.019482914814175124,-0.052909591487646436,-0.0697923273841174,-0.4794237714437623,-0.021514428311237264,0.40811315685813837;-0.036974209646001586,-0.03822494721400078,-0.007266373939744601,-0.0419065288387259,-0.07993053704363688,0.04681609146198648,-0.11606832888709677,-0.03177363866310806,-0.06231011615550115,-0.1293927840819071,-0.08301125469770973,-0.02754465942759432,-0.10527254092095517,-0.10234685898517304,-0.022572677439550826,0.049626898056819094,7.08628327673119E-4,-0.07630349022899864,0.04887046608821132,0.004729385427741333,0.007128627198394294,0.0384269367761984,-0.019329613470788622,-0.037751902781830486,0.1554213562801249,-0.03436729551559218,-0.029292330727822297,0.03826523757973913,-0.02007874151562566,0.40541314430916264,-0.020088760933332877,0.3706119235014121,0.018462613665677644,-0.04294808083303432,-0.01869695068815218,-0.13661004062225326,-0.02502459873728203,0.01045565384220665,0.02611608229979717,0.019353525185797374,0.03108211399191315,-0.0072898875707784385,0.0412632282275398,-0.04259059056346471,-0.0027257461289461175,-0.02969682860344414,-0.013423267121210529,0.20793173984796912,0.004203357981933071,0.11275545998347923,-0.04247019402348201,-0.009615254495660846,-0.02386155339944724,-0.024999558651697333,-0.09798512332051228,-0.032411893554640935,0.3821077475618401,0.022766596242085817,0.0010704937781721156,0.35315080628272805,-0.09121506470068293,-0.15284886781419355,-0.029534122937711106,0.025647539932546946,-0.12606942171317082,0.04157131061927739,0.015549611940806864,-0.01438420392279289,0.006249244272986921,-0.010782485218736777,0.05976771527799115,-0.10229767770378083,-0.028207776295900332,0.06407601563122775,-0.07037186087937829,-0.029461917629296418,-0.030105722574216853,-0.06456217663328533,-0.09485184668557342,-0.012433985301519089,-0.04111845282227478,0.10000520346652796,0.31139361668997145,0.03064329781664396,-0.03861199329157487,-0.03968122704959469,-0.024132840373257074,0.07229519462079709,-0.019402808276997394,-0.007694735586971722,-0.03776924399674282,-0.025652364850403456,0.3259291906702107,-0.05462673357117117,0.03360022552545604,-0.021091503722357362,-0.049223157798472,-0.8393626574684486,0.028791440525810848,0.21539428735826813;-0.15626835605830003,-0.15853677623606022,-0.14232305742874704,-0.16136254666895725,-0.1795786896047125,-0.10761643938452917,-0.19636597776201625,-0.1577368320776447,-0.17501123600656043,-0.20379282467426613,-0.18122894444688015,-0.1531363412040289,-0.19130610257566574,1.3760063790978798,-0.15076477039646927,-0.10603528670839744,-0.13624267242522833,-0.17806101482828202,-0.10685807212903205,-0.13485206524996085,-0.1350706854583243,-0.11296995118911586,-0.14765577588163076,-0.15744265048682438,1.1344327594360155,-0.15583791170910374,-0.1540725915193284,-0.11352904727950687,-0.15032473822562933,0.4679405992293686,-0.1456559366855395,0.2994626366847943,-0.12638939644658112,-0.1617053762772434,-0.14752889116443388,-0.20424227562499175,-0.15275483625779912,1.2836045069322393,-0.12112292283729452,-0.12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k{127}=[0.7005450753056732;0.42624029813140085;1.6990483608840061];
x_a{127}=[11.781491824225823,18.23326399667227,21.77309773057412];
L_a{127}=[0.05371758924631921,0.054339774583341646,0.0385048889775397,0.05660753954466698,0.0756311810227749,0.009998050267734041,0.09404281039589633,0.05164062523784444,0.06682279651664758,0.10124446326794058,0.07722895469841339,0.04895013808496873,0.08882267503950311,-0.3304152619092231,0.04647740670428647,0.008216899747581238,0.034160287252168325,0.07402498481602077,0.008258450121233855,0.03216345815489609,0.031209137001396214,0.01387964281993903,0.04440039065075002,0.053974002399124386,-0.3514076450023043,0.05225696092312152,0.0499728308650991,0.014258862775548702,0.04522029792266959,-0.2616312907510495,0.04448631484569239,-0.2077245758957015,0.025061901303594196,0.05709058102990726,0.04456331190925657,0.1042708158465648,0.048051915503343146,-0.343181924365836,0.02074382908471958,0.02439244834016647,0.018494447566385824,0.038110974228575865,0.012607433395400944,0.05708775041078362,0.036284548509708525,0.050167048925158615,0.041223698933218,-0.35183520347607833,0.032379190828643406,-0.026984803685763656,0.05689612672514543,0.03980953454176842,0.0475022161798604,0.047405414841241555,-0.3316346542684832,0.051626075829187885,-0.32164727183266917,0.022792733370010178,0.03425005406389321,-0.1909329406035149,0.08113350771413136,0.11266852636496044,0.05024783668128555,-0.3443570172554797,0.09896542864635842,0.012691274635508887,-0.3441937491999433,0.04250999944299654,0.031249038078120794,0.04061313973078306,0.002993243087125566,0.08775754202839173,0.04961003827557861,3.013694174684717E-4,0.07131435892400888,0.05002779596017529,0.050469482635342275,0.06804925936279893,0.08336782739820228,0.04131001997098141,0.05618686056475471,-0.01992978360679603,-0.3432468839894415,0.0184683048352416,0.054929140376400655,0.05555671722548482,0.04749485410670156,-0.004561594720355445,0.0449052139179784,0.038788526776138386,0.05442916634562564,0.04826608426663921,-0.16810264299963906,0.0630961993138264,0.016834439562860775,0.045717149034926984,0.0603048737062937,0.4142516960294187,0.01858979247147911,-0.35263492857536655;0.03353575185099606,0.03310169769662343,0.04327532529405955,0.03239679507687112,0.0193433085758167,0.05993957949102674,0.007372708455033287,0.03601009006129308,0.02540180233557985,0.0035011768527945693,0.018359836198958396,0.03670752314555346,0.011316522083670564,-0.5360514932048875,0.038433786237969475,0.06041243949595464,0.045547582805545626,0.02086205465909618,0.05971054674415749,0.04694729259615419,0.048093887910904264,0.05664542153243773,0.03895054911954127,0.03309462783126653,-0.30583797919090866,0.03422543834191024,0.03630224322144642,0.05698148824178454,0.03927763523444761,0.06199467568288536,0.03830418616132842,0.09795166354029106,0.051358983751367285,0.03198928561878993,0.03979706311600775,2.563250087324071E-4,0.03804857263050939,-0.44000656184925335,0.05334453038515312,0.05137116814806955,0.05535801326644141,0.04273475730201972,0.05781180488107232,0.03234306040432128,0.044901523714158474,0.03615267688927139,0.04068715490865014,-0.2538888108962462,0.046704436877390565,0.07733507914392751,0.03221193078898235,0.04263892867109087,0.038490080038636194,0.03722501289186265,-0.533290337713453,0.035352737547201626,-0.040087981448651354,0.05268444577478576,0.04602727659732435,0.10253132615807055,0.015281160936094709,-0.004959627671846786,0.03642142494547399,-0.42635710823897577,0.003833067607247818,0.058229937680782835,-0.4362407298094659,0.041414622234850935,0.04726687932736519,0.042526513916698656,0.06369666029926901,0.012893286676979195,0.036910594385921064,0.0644715945527733,0.023235703653304098,0.03620480376351668,0.03614075883569146,0.024759602785528363,0.0145771575272019,0.041789742130435605,0.032632685876294094,0.07384527532241507,-0.1391538653104117,0.05488488201872983,0.03348825594417395,0.033242782523991085,0.0382091295728071,0.0663076238342094,0.03953998771953105,0.043219267961655476,0.03367473696349209,0.03770192544818396,0.10527686706914194,0.028193635820771487,0.055697190449885976,0.03891704214562561,0.02993330441010404,-0.2956139236381832,0.05319248997333392,-0.24747598633051981;0.12479337140543341,0.12578035579961533,0.05914262194494508,0.1348200087123031,0.21613955997850096,-0.05530453710177465,0.29568578994135597,0.11245778276446478,0.17461969282767564,0.325939505861691,0.22284919312966495,0.10298107885856923,0.27343281878728826,-0.35279578040989623,0.09241479889584431,-0.06304273864631638,0.04249113675087308,0.20925327830696122,-0.06364812377108127,0.0334339140178448,0.028222084774580495,-0.04034874010565394,0.08465640847834616,0.12496068453381953,-0.7042059645658781,0.1175815010964286,0.10739577231198684,-0.038923677612090805,0.08627737346427833,-0.9009693531489417,0.08710582113818197,-0.787396043257138,0.004739743426285305,0.13700455377185106,0.08563573149366609,0.341324568253739,0.09866289429935546,-0.5119955162612737,-0.012586845203035678,0.002536029243868603,-0.021913737258887248,0.05847790503652388,-0.04443211706334568,0.1366137814136851,0.05030836245279551,0.10843127763186433,0.0705295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x_a{127}=[11.781491824225819,18.23326399667226,21.773097730574115];
std_x_a{127}=[1.32049875399653,1.2835838323835949,3.532071277909804];
pred_a{127}=[11.781491824225819];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.6 to 12.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{128}=[14.891798109633458,12.362149392343035,37.897564750745836];
std_x_f{128}=[1.034821864424736,3.1708269582868933,2.286479602431112];
pred_f{128}=[14.891798109633458];
obs{128}=[15.67281889829715];
sqrt_r{128}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{128}=[2.0711045643612236];
L_f{128}=[-0.015756689682062036,-0.015504755537625918,0.007718904916695249,-0.019481038057920584,-0.047974231197525495,0.04721845142218019,-0.0763429070139604,-0.010870622932932995,-0.03329097496569518,-0.08693162675599728,-0.05054561543616142,-0.007711615350088972,-0.06839325401941043,-0.18081513084283918,-0.004514099328358135,0.05051470830969888,0.013390885438084905,-0.04543492889027519,0.05001573745554372,0.016705085746641115,0.01887191519133881,0.04197851052940175,-0.0014072997437351044,-0.015854823385928092,0.024934967701843853,-0.012898941075956391,-0.009028700045431224,0.04230476009373561,-0.0018126896300864818,0.27120872595566364,-0.002690113375246099,0.26075607462447187,0.027213430812303558,-0.019683488384256168,-0.0017383943305664933,-0.09305212882729347,-0.006244695649635778,-0.09254499139953652,0.032548925996327846,0.027519603066721365,0.03593178640681799,0.007117658924561073,0.043266357415084215,-0.019586679248406326,0.010910634432696676,-0.009263005194969908,0.0036063546308222456,0.0690211112224403,0.015748197869817696,0.09571638112983631,-0.01906812124194266,0.0056676946370476005,-0.005260894334279604,-0.0064431361402793215,-0.17772271006680365,-0.011521719652864412,0.22752442803308542,0.03002848146160986,0.013510989331002908,0.2521893616051328,-0.05747251797669567,-0.10545677779124424,-0.008827996731527777,-0.08031179395241339,-0.08464891560416003,0.043901313836560665,-0.08881522964461118,0.0020731931068159546,0.01782926462632338,0.00486544527961408,0.057499054003879196,-0.06588224208303498,-0.008497878975956332,0.060726072336159884,-0.04046681498278621,-0.009268518314503692,-0.009826640531580635,-0.03632711944306423,-0.05966533370025798,0.004006145312250979,-0.01813734578200629,0.08698419967816183,0.1592152822322348,0.0354776066471343,-0.015972129887401827,-0.017022701717488015,-0.00547649084473138,0.06659686629349988,-0.0017327176802889926,0.0073523688099651815,-0.015601403195111555,-0.007038892606490103,0.23690125373471407,-0.02856320623189364,0.038355402874430754,-0.00324010524573943,-0.02431729971143486,-0.7126907669242308,0.03479722654215371,0.07493004162228391;-0.11915481332741418,-0.12072944974303877,-0.06736004997147141,-0.12824363284700785,-0.19308543443700996,0.02625311359371223,-0.25670419064004824,-0.11074260471537063,-0.16003433816608809,-0.2816041046310364,-0.19832296645531983,-0.10224389094324535,-0.23893467388504638,0.4021525320465551,-0.09403422196309838,0.03252322230312271,-0.05288579726372073,-0.1872098660024884,0.03412688466150852,-0.04594889720769094,-0.04221570614870514,0.014464154912994454,-0.08690638244810434,-0.11937863732588444,0.7187563004865289,-0.1129390372161736,-0.10645565238908596,0.01230156263879305,-0.08904626313282318,0.803052683597828,-0.08814919107466668,0.6761642220080192,-0.02310327529466976,-0.1300920572701639,-0.088446050309427,-0.2935060089866222,-0.09881649126040085,0.5478695411311124,-0.00813083747748276,-0.020224301364624327,-0.0010701362327744067,-0.06631243585231082,0.017893009082565234,-0.12968366048811106,-0.059347332894310455,-0.10628543086048817,-0.07632260611059566,0.7732384777654536,-0.047294602945303424,0.1464893295315959,-0.12875195047568827,-0.07174940138370363,-0.09714751804486836,-0.09751105831710627,0.40891096156506185,-0.11115626309076601,0.8910101622334559,-0.014801300258193373,-0.05342123323425863,0.6317817276413119,-0.2137581266505719,-0.32165771849898045,-0.10639300781951001,0.5662815777086486,-0.274327040533366,0.018388546738824438,0.5545497432703267,-0.0806922998156374,-0.04286768459659617,-0.07356618215692155,0.05038274994334564,-0.23556696498776444,-0.10466154973984662,0.05830069611366928,-0.17722964923620502,-0.10592361807284423,-0.107132430095233,-0.16661877554260626,-0.21991884323134958,-0.0764501265689288,-0.1266821862482446,0.1242597080944559,0.8624712378357549,-0.001875477542047682,-0.12173235314768058,-0.12484876739534238,-0.0963021962830078,0.07371973745385678,-0.08883987289227871,-0.06748507484816385,-0.121499752516646,-0.10043538664160567,0.5691110494082018,-0.15066093144995638,0.005425540728246967,-0.09217324120741167,-0.14043376983009137,-1.5363317690028457,-0.0019684501632103776,0.7836585283063211;0.07033914123274021,0.06940185278586967,0.07946012099930634,0.06967446968849486,0.05786605431683894,0.09330353187723614,0.047693048850986915,0.07258879605133799,0.06332652410381914,0.04462661908816097,0.056981665608809434,0.0732012241579845,0.051164949091111155,-0.8833632147744471,0.07479423500016959,0.09400774926400518,0.08127020475871798,0.05975215382067027,0.09350435018807099,0.08216873264834183,0.0832139539774615,0.09116046534976588,0.0740798052271739,0.07007651795935245,-0.643239779051236,0.07051219554518375,0.07285151760026685,0.09203866848512525,0.07561617600518836,-0.022211167882683364,0.0730187456050654,0.06859248127086585,0.08622273275173524,0.06904915595396335,0.07539120851899818,0.040776756441365435,0.07448521807644211,-0.7963211275141933,0.0874592008214177,0.08560630551879078,0.08990277591914153,0.0786375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k{128}=[0.5171658557430571;1.098347067604975;0.20355928513177043];
x_a{128}=[15.295715394155833,13.219981285310327,38.05654878415927];
L_a{128}=[0.05909030640558306,0.0581455098722274,-0.02894722596221057,0.07305725575416047,0.17991164884469982,-0.17707734421590865,0.286299080477764,0.04076671260828588,0.12484690318569977,0.3260086074548747,0.1895547836409929,0.028919888829029627,0.25648650938925727,0.6780879550120494,0.016928651756186037,-0.18943887658122088,-0.0502181320788023,0.17038882682944867,-0.18756764974015094,-0.06264695537060151,-0.07077293985080542,-0.15742666129017235,0.005277616982993298,0.05945832473602955,-0.09351043343784646,0.04837325579582484,0.03385918380660853,-0.15865015347731132,0.006797899039794742,-1.01707954144913,0.010088389554946557,-0.9778802945023557,-0.10205506343612286,0.07381647942718222,0.006519278840900451,0.348961546812475,0.023418686716072723,0.34705969391059227,-0.12206409144969282,-0.10320326224510451,-0.134750401976627,-0.026692449697829215,-0.16225630943416594,0.07345342845545817,-0.04091676263963684,0.034737868565781496,-0.013524452435277718,-0.25884108228842545,-0.0590584606437139,-0.35895295288035384,0.0715087464118758,-0.02125483331043131,0.019729261948585534,0.024162872813026322,0.6664908432532924,0.043208437707702885,-0.8532558829622486,-0.11261198933687955,-0.050668542410936254,-0.9457536417970145,0.21553186396819848,0.39548112185798817,0.0331065117317963,0.3011830916510813,0.3174480465680876,-0.16463750562805607,0.3330724434559955,-0.007774832048584517,-0.06686282023787332,-0.018246259726704774,-0.21563137865108573,0.24706978114859035,0.0318685131597455,-0.2277332544815135,0.15175754202439404,0.034758543715770196,0.036851598379173574,0.136232969109407,0.22375530148019,-0.01502373650702117,0.06801817775613514,-0.3262057649887239,-0.5970847939123015,-0.13304714947216995,0.05989824436733013,0.06383807009173588,0.020537786081485907,-0.24974974530434135,0.00649799042239233,-0.02757265228636761,0.05850795527221013,0.026397062407531018,-0.8884205980769819,0.10711695427307347,-0.14383938212224046,0.012150954015109018,0.09119407184498358,2.6727134087006625,-0.1304956066235897,-0.2810005913541856;0.03980382200977481,0.035687591604391215,-0.14523088557295186,0.06828744615014105,0.2908942895015171,-0.4501020569564785,0.5134680067872032,-0.0010762076769511193,0.1758158979159166,0.5953905583092806,0.31159772209879333,-0.024446594872168707,0.4510388259149708,2.226274668551786,-0.04849451257672776,-0.4770856650577309,-0.18797742616200885,0.2711525463297445,-0.47044822164190425,-0.21447526201259118,-0.23260175458561247,-0.40902877931913084,-0.07270908267966623,0.04057000288935108,0.46720419671093033,0.017189696172735962,-0.015371175443117063,-0.41448268382783676,-0.07075925769560552,-1.932989584120936,-0.06101044812421979,-1.954428282798091,-0.29764125960817855,0.06848140678674228,-0.07090856013600946,0.6452342792381265,-0.03581796056697476,1.4814936612348104,-0.3364950410295534,-0.29785105144825397,-0.3635617412402329,-0.13811770537740847,-0.4185921454446897,0.0679131613658081,-0.16941737901946965,-0.01283720698704543,-0.11270469030624243,0.07693094929608549,-0.20616757010515724,-0.8191288066898877,0.0636134887265523,-0.1289269572784953,-0.0440738965606384,-0.032510595096935414,2.201835746572877,0.005078610458975176,-1.4043306305212173,-0.31773843557663795,-0.18972450945835895,-1.9123869763311931,0.3660434186808721,0.7422247227372152,-0.01733329150089971,1.376493203738872,0.5796388862392192,-0.42450225569373756,1.4505468077767616,-0.10160734946753909,-0.222735133359799,-0.12265038433142353,-0.5296864995032063,0.4290746257136034,-0.01893216923320274,-0.5543237689687787,0.2310128062479079,-0.012419776047668194,-0.007998068730774867,0.1998610783428485,0.38200454380649174,-0.1168654298240825,0.056293285904935146,-0.7532653276672846,-0.7437445663171717,-0.3597851686923539,0.03939971339419612,0.0468818111312127,-0.04105356673703437,-0.5981312158462893,-0.07135965062218372,-0.1416581744084278,0.03589230198725652,-0.029424737476731955,-1.8208262256915182,0.1374940284491021,-0.3815162993251589,-0.05948600051129335,0.10488709738325834,5.653525619421928,-0.35301424444300805,0.02773977872298472;0.09979932474769966,0.09839099661682499,0.06502813306473146,0.10609804391815128,0.1475631724035891,0.005019490479044346,0.1904309015394978,0.09291353132176158,0.12557045044056847,0.20716213442557174,0.1514864846204506,0.08761958283576125,0.1790393856163715,-0.5452943028141093,0.08323421809951198,-4.392828878404739E-4,0.05623335054670145,0.14470155436769316,-9.7592986313174E-6,0.05093533898130514,0.04792925293720936,0.012673508454960297,0.07671102469951065,0.09972018144270947,-0.6898605312052992,0.09462926447996985,0.0897324212422754,0.012941724833526957,0.07900535039622873,-0.5292884156251503,0.07804843364931359,-0.4189415100739483,0.035341952462281015,0.10585125028440545,0.07864147345619237,0.2147557359747712,0.08616088622409747,-0.6232903396371875,0.026602678771720897,0.03415307689251355,0.02272134105403266,0.06532972203948814,0.01095095384150952,0.10537590170404369,0.059905533367489106,0.09006923164419622,0.06980529019069102,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x_a{128}=[15.295715394155806,13.21998128531026,38.05654878415926];
std_x_a{128}=[3.8807606342382335,8.554532871052997,2.7186021021400015];
pred_a{128}=[15.295715394155806];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.7 to 12.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{129}=[7.534879957044649,-2.0442038079082905,35.03206182453148];
std_x_f{129}=[2.735766983380693,5.984247484547589,4.004452425781329];
pred_f{129}=[7.534879957044649];
obs{129}=[7.632192760636766];
sqrt_r{129}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{129}=[8.48789004563548];
L_f{129}=[0.05889871203678423,0.05862742323884373,0.007231796205373732,0.06614292596051972,0.11441309118879403,-0.0971665670529767,0.1489741373066043,0.04851593255162044,0.09126728214230813,0.15813998060406728,0.11794270221041143,0.04287823358584619,0.14004123992422138,0.5032820378091436,0.03535853118052625,-0.10759485079093427,-0.005542511905205863,0.11006427729418407,-0.10523769159241338,-0.013612623419922186,-0.01921539466964875,-0.08162421908908976,0.029620184436446415,0.05939279897401133,0.4424533236817877,0.05360911024900848,0.04443886243347817,-0.08381791691210196,0.029400460656945893,-0.9486620258686495,0.03291840356871651,-0.9572859775558096,-0.041530597362130474,0.06652997136223203,0.0294279065533489,0.16362200796924817,0.03904369434634275,0.5740414482015322,-0.055316519252647585,-0.040820588234536354,-0.06464595118789597,0.01004057150055387,-0.08548135163268455,0.06595161415927177,5.073500610058991E-4,0.045330269170250063,0.01834590604752089,0.3098998898821273,-0.011096092708601488,-0.25804537517800497,0.0648864670103401,0.012602802915399239,0.03631823336302949,0.040436048320925864,0.5078462175902494,0.050023514239002295,-0.5681108081067522,-0.04858930912267979,-0.0061317260161051716,-0.9257285037335676,0.12761712097807984,0.17100263784984157,0.043882069888036765,0.5734038690693322,0.1569464025850166,-0.08737406284464991,0.5749975103204247,0.02039099826007906,-0.016405314513319776,0.014348122614165388,-0.12878732980581803,0.13685045854931083,0.04382366411070185,-0.1394044303802365,0.10259051439554455,0.04553245387582217,0.04688089472835879,0.09579893148648119,0.1297070278686803,0.016739861070506516,0.06287875052998251,-0.22666372070541912,-0.11592780726098502,-0.06368154914801834,0.058786953927334615,0.06051255736363674,0.03749506425687145,-0.1574194783886181,0.029450310906827842,0.00831760080799429,0.057628122678509794,0.04065649868203076,-0.8600039891846022,0.08247921504189179,-0.07143496147866749,0.032597831583456735,0.07518110079622381,-1.1123331121668658,-0.060731819563981854,0.2904622726763756;0.06696763225470842,0.06867533485612418,0.13166182750625605,0.054638785863606924,-0.05658432023415786,0.1896199070315413,-0.19505395010211785,0.08200284675304433,0.004609774012656076,-0.2532350895654282,-0.06815949569961287,0.09143503359674136,-0.15425971786091083,-1.0809489107026737,0.10081409515426432,0.1914270167597531,0.1442482248053507,-0.04564652143277637,0.19238404278870633,0.15123360443483333,0.15478856788723533,0.18624901908872285,0.10991008821428613,0.0670389783147613,0.6535838884797173,0.07653661893496184,0.08777969923096679,0.18499245720436616,0.10756929125865398,-0.3876073924479237,0.10725750765080636,-0.42107076475830224,0.16770929532029327,0.05369084416563107,0.10890187681985589,-0.2877613490787514,0.0954914579483519,-0.2025518841489229,0.17643280746126175,0.16946909920806763,0.17957309103899458,0.1313184012851225,0.186937687219399,0.05487632729385339,0.13935615560828118,0.0871503971070958,0.1227797036868308,0.7944528992830107,0.14916698730526168,0.17084159249322164,0.05593764110778348,0.12695060356520463,0.09860602172732566,0.09605943157555044,-1.0495034529849225,0.08040815623766383,0.12966610974658996,0.17245172231658268,0.14424905617626638,-0.3906521820957079,-0.09911465118985978,-0.3638509208520609,0.08779394671894958,-0.08969668423465577,-0.24058778400746902,0.1881382557599747,-0.16733967540964514,0.1177397747494424,0.15310898417215785,0.12561744980727185,0.19304846015783253,-0.14107320875939466,0.08980595125496828,0.19422545311898262,-0.02444419069450842,0.08796775850934782,0.08582008247154868,-0.007143312896322592,-0.11011750706629164,0.12253095232114346,0.05902319856228601,0.1817095044127585,0.6399439262121975,0.17906041875921605,0.0657927125929286,0.06259804992301074,0.09796672012173033,0.19393733232647703,0.10828481513847146,0.13051317024384437,0.0668246420061107,0.0933987257014435,-0.3230435776492582,0.02253599111313767,0.1825543425548554,0.10421367486939528,0.03804655467808951,-5.3948843369455215,0.17964184382389015,0.8045865809561726;0.07036831893219536,0.06819145964207494,-0.05732687009546948,0.0902221001533657,0.23534246366242512,-0.2736329262982951,0.3697977566275506,0.04256571078921303,0.16135269766024762,0.41497796842755375,0.24878186303336972,0.02654262204251559,0.33302821723639303,1.3029492452106757,0.010369232100083718,-0.2923993760732736,-0.08815005191952055,0.22306578716701983,-0.28775205347305005,-0.10594362250894034,-0.11893035077744048,-0.24419994355453079,-0.007479718836343299,0.0710839585449767,0.3208767885177204,0.05483852271701108,0.03254220382179527,-0.24782052261647053,-0.0054806774689622455,-1.045010304150042,8.033176042979164E-4,-0.9683924188427815,-0.16542302816456264,0.09008932425012303,-0.005937701312420467,0.44172014643919055,0.01903488277826002,1.0622636007248802,-0.19307236717177095,-0.16557204614689044,-0.21202191724966765,-0.05207843996253105,-0.2508409549360429,0.08998758416560448,-0.07446682261032274,0.034699392521085386,-0.03500229126609187,-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k{129}=[0.8821850902140043;0.7241679486566733;1.0131167524799443];
x_a{129}=[7.620727861460538,-1.9737329945529574,35.13065105608145];
L_a{129}=[-0.023123525953322413,-0.023017018470509056,-0.002839189881430328,-0.025967591008128288,-0.04491836904432839,0.03814741540768306,-0.05848697214688938,-0.01904726583505574,-0.03583136700831088,-0.06208546535741315,-0.04630408783581118,-0.016833915596247875,-0.05497993307393138,-0.19758760184522428,-0.013881694270557635,0.04224154041185439,0.002175979974003138,-0.04321103271250203,0.041316124048436056,0.005344290903114877,0.007543928584880715,0.03204551819991379,-0.011628829899210743,-0.023317503575600838,-0.17370636062296005,-0.021046838025987204,-0.017446615609775736,0.03290675992812789,-0.011542566747740401,0.3724429655168856,-0.012923704660770245,0.37582871307845733,0.016304836094895404,-0.02611954432055433,-0.011553341956159164,-0.06423769921231332,-0.015328482547587759,-0.2253676161455084,0.021717163658641462,0.01602608781804388,0.02537988146730512,-0.003941909893279874,0.033559821338180966,-0.025892482347033022,-1.991847002658389E-4,-0.017796580254161316,-0.007202568951968182,-0.12166612645359214,0.004356305577065557,0.10130813940951419,-0.025474307536571105,-0.004947837231429386,-0.01425847158125186,-0.015875118155635987,-0.19937949042774777,-0.01963913963109311,0.2230392577585578,0.019076073341817434,0.002407304349601333,0.3634393069316107,-0.05010224683999759,-0.06713532092073343,-0.01722801988111044,-0.22511730375155475,-0.061616868823696457,0.03430289627680923,-0.22574296437392805,-0.008005468390999897,0.006440696286945124,-0.005633046533222935,0.050561668672211964,-0.05372723817819186,-0.017205089880413988,0.054729922818894765,-0.04027684715259153,-0.017875957597484837,-0.018405352994631623,-0.03761048420116068,-0.05092274043915566,-0.006572038649624804,-0.02468608174121817,0.08898775961577915,0.04551304378671238,0.02500125900125475,-0.02307964992522278,-0.02375711865865699,-0.014720493224432073,0.06180259751358069,-0.011562137864103761,-0.00326547477019384,-0.022624694909551386,-0.015961666561707076,0.3376359834736485,-0.03238118803751964,0.02804523441352891,-0.012797848689311452,-0.02951596181551628,0.4366999327908315,0.023843200595000565,-0.11403495370999728;-3.627686877017665E-4,0.0016550592611915432,0.12339475813914061,-0.020972879831975183,-0.1873763025442452,0.3006964262224645,-0.3653545907789282,0.026541579811327817,-0.09972294375081256,-0.4340137166506344,-0.20298637312095297,0.04241853460718213,-0.3143486655900455,-1.656278662763122,0.060393787157839336,0.3144246883992968,0.1505841791225274,-0.1714671321623582,0.31268711435240476,0.16679495307975756,0.1767547566651182,0.2795582139391506,0.0760496042558507,-8.562409476655479E-4,0.14779083033624993,0.015253056656429335,0.03697915841095604,0.28080939032040614,0.07395998580071202,0.6968610509483195,0.06962664554839715,0.6732561985397322,0.21518523622072663,-0.0223632747038701,0.07526119642780822,-0.4748067872318196,0.05085843451363952,-0.8587706625974592,0.2396682041485985,0.2161333890964405,0.2534734814255638,0.11984046430746825,0.2846561852900063,-0.020516639217359918,0.13877617547213916,0.03533083955625915,0.10180747582113614,0.4401890602920834,0.16185154941415322,0.4658276451800579,-0.01823769632258682,0.11254363702980649,0.057088624669040425,0.04983473069797891,-1.6300507733759488,0.023223488631402927,0.7791052429088727,0.22799687010693737,0.15125857398839654,0.6675996737559322,-0.245000895989302,-0.5593335684428745,0.03762990649513071,-0.7451866104363617,-0.4200019655250272,0.28802041752309626,-0.8246513817604225,0.09442968797522339,0.1718628136799798,0.10921531103419886,0.3402724358996545,-0.29751459643393574,0.03970867793095676,0.3535864283604724,-0.14172112644186627,0.03591707235111343,0.03222791840813171,-0.11665641163455769,-0.25839284093084847,0.10339468399504566,-0.012857006242488568,0.4408214385525583,0.7724674648997967,0.25185834741497365,-0.0014099314247949324,-0.006577227573714595,0.05510402206816498,0.37389231316597815,0.07461852308106695,0.12100485710906092,9.467225860855348E-4,0.04692201572744448,0.6600749219150056,-0.07175059727130033,0.26421562904717144,0.06694927647310164,-0.047897152490585196,-4.123314351222577,0.249067772164245,0.47254296571158144;-0.023827450533275427,-0.02557044198171204,-0.06889256626480425,-0.015559224940089288,0.05236343426156556,-0.11823598749669317,0.1315457981588096,-0.03502504527317238,0.015390390996431087,0.1620672231645406,0.06015798309847111,-0.04203185210585789,0.1090624988804098,0.49805832026184116,-0.04617910209164527,-0.12032464964385892,-0.07928600115120615,0.047041746371158114,-0.1194470941026943,-0.08417317128612838,-0.08819947697904877,-0.11365963361849724,-0.054850806729703896,-0.023901996267941757,-0.386731745447032,-0.030897671091621826,-0.03852815911716657,-0.11377186678852239,-0.052500364631064785,0.4721697223598996,-0.051842559470121084,0.5625797558638436,-0.09900380710513836,-0.016310996372632277,-0.053001282258290844,0.18004208236670197,-0.04340707400734048,0.14420828086242654,-0.10460554141333227,-0.1002883313453866,-0.1086346800012857,-0.06813616560137134,-0.1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x_a{129}=[7.620727861460539,-1.9737329945529574,35.13065105608145];
std_x_a{129}=[1.074057082995928,5.616737525206582,2.7724840939860322];
pred_a{129}=[7.620727861460539];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.8 to 12.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 12.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{130}=[0.948469501336471,-2.7759292469691763,26.81672187019116];
std_x_f{130}=[2.994432494913972,3.298774656813574,4.201725171029487];
pred_f{130}=[0.948469501336471];
obs{130}=[1.0909684491627767];
sqrt_r{130}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{130}=[9.966682307267627];
L_f{130}=[-0.007506042293904521,-0.006345920878631667,0.0735945428239485,-0.02076986129677923,-0.12853032754405946,0.1910044037808292,-0.24101603700546534,0.009683229163799309,-0.0722539566686957,-0.2838226451949177,-0.1380144594283388,0.020950103296151493,-0.2092153055885616,-0.9791846529194369,0.03229034902579188,0.2004848772764987,0.09203763171699232,-0.11813801744529498,0.1985752195910739,0.10222750184167244,0.10924360965675557,0.17641201108164475,0.04228596641374988,-0.007741713586149781,0.08028489850563614,0.0025092246689239787,0.01707101854851972,0.1781241802366341,0.04133914909967634,0.329016021522848,0.03813950688915663,0.2946177981029531,0.13499019933269396,-0.022570108773359916,0.04202856641222913,-0.30864174074724365,0.026011240053591286,-0.5606667986497278,0.1508404518859454,0.13561629686151494,0.15982921552142682,0.0717890078600062,0.18028658606781672,-0.020670539885542197,0.08386935312684568,0.015855031087504072,0.05972014836477929,0.2936793838838488,0.09920375136120912,0.29488913940910116,-0.019319989658072217,0.06670964998141878,0.02971258944811901,0.02527966547241145,-0.9666250333756957,0.008309377468348365,0.5107784811910815,0.14331219318212352,0.09220347911152395,0.30106399703462805,-0.16554955801307505,-0.3596292367472473,0.017323323065121694,-0.4949599860697364,-0.27493628913387347,0.1832345637453122,-0.5410294727410399,0.0547599976728692,0.10558820857877457,0.06399797877105108,0.21646954385089284,-0.1989271673514976,0.018653479465796128,0.2254682397890962,-0.09960278553034699,0.01641046304709242,0.013527983013453478,-0.08315974056016988,-0.17392406575049751,0.06098516840244872,-0.01597577677171607,0.28038952795596206,0.5508115664231626,0.15884248099526055,-0.008444269084142083,-0.011628203114367188,0.029151704314660035,0.23861899597729022,0.041751929323320155,0.07238274593590403,-0.006983484978218921,0.023378896812758922,0.31697103639486746,-0.053972151540894624,0.16674494147822014,0.03673036268122548,-0.038949062471512086,-1.884616491112155,0.15727736599543668,0.3179813408589694;-0.015769390506146876,-0.013717017882742488,0.09770988131866808,-0.03514615260865779,-0.18969411777613568,0.2520832430835542,-0.3524787976282917,0.009467163757880896,-0.10837667349075249,-0.41341369972011754,-0.20443979125092251,0.024744595001675394,-0.306693321001891,-1.2080131344375726,0.04043353224950785,0.26314441147351486,0.12298286386574228,-0.17510316115791044,0.26100933046641234,0.13744572273525343,0.14682992517156565,0.23427128810685363,0.05508673895201594,-0.016549050395532543,0.23270680495646928,-0.0013225549453926896,0.018879538580627037,0.23573472233891826,0.052616695975204894,0.11798803701668317,0.04930669845901014,0.057404945626400014,0.1807696945605498,-0.03624210450982446,0.05421414696596024,-0.4498742041103424,0.031647231539059725,-0.71892997824806,0.20130480850727694,0.18199030004746872,0.21287994750322792,0.09520796965491113,0.23851031493412359,-0.03478074664862907,0.11219449270314936,0.017728902795563814,0.07954004709016685,0.5542474816719782,0.13300878636007027,0.36137144886032213,-0.032166913586313364,0.0881100688199029,0.036912330097651276,0.03065687245551105,-1.196429217798823,0.005987206084482143,0.5929268483290334,0.19102063041802927,0.12350707393595542,0.08170395983806929,-0.2430604556773286,-0.5233306123880381,0.019075621768054954,-0.629216670525309,-0.40147975023608745,0.2422770437969541,-0.6923426689338461,0.07132481618537657,0.1416029687133573,0.08501796683865863,0.2826047620705196,-0.291053021167187,0.0210686852125207,0.29293020051217805,-0.1470933126608958,0.018044309135770507,0.014512312513274783,-0.12366423012740846,-0.255523191480087,0.08066276547267223,-0.0276069918123166,0.34980673356901554,0.8445501821427447,0.21171195093847223,-0.016836797057575157,-0.022095855484015242,0.03576051668108371,0.3078107223109797,0.053960810401062535,0.09645325499703994,-0.0147859746286539,0.028366337240944044,0.13677024236706176,-0.08216038190030772,0.2220037308560575,0.04639818415486827,-0.059935980818859466,-1.3777528957219722,0.2097329910771296,0.5893450070597117;-0.09422063429719589,-0.09488370402357897,-0.10127181321449139,-0.09214710150814949,-0.05877298537029471,-0.08115365044839534,0.0032231197925602396,-0.0982741907104547,-0.07980447612506991,0.03274521583783108,-0.05308035126194144,-0.10062477279616033,-0.016143589942908092,0.876166505829922,-0.10003666402325517,-0.07722942448042001,-0.102743453418002,-0.06154682591641377,-0.07725900808630275,-0.10133085651048918,-0.10106468068769398,-0.08593794266392175,-0.10248815230572324,-0.0949133568535896,-0.3073341943020348,-0.09707443869311577,-0.09859452532751861,-0.08569827075185281,-0.10152225948317548,0.4334481935473191,-0.10200673818914467,0.47224987779460725,-0.09717387506627914,-0.09249057063605651,-0.10076167564318589,0.05048400081543322,-0.09955277235976748,0.18188598480074605,-0.09347968864396908,-0.09754896354847381,-0.09100184385483924,-0.10197873445424864,-0.08487610906392226,-0.09226373178896856,-0.10194423146806762,-0.09833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k{130}=[0.8996657092931712;0.9410687698841078;-0.9201723964925699];
x_a{130}=[1.076670918306155,-2.641827937428495,26.68559827187216];
L_a{130}=[0.002659330152240672,0.0022483085060666557,-0.026073952038749723,0.007358594082161756,0.045537256803476235,-0.0676713173595625,0.08539003502587209,-0.0034306898733117964,0.02559899319296269,0.10055607052314157,0.04889740811892729,-0.007422452366576017,0.07412329276557922,0.3469172128479212,-0.01144020982407691,-0.07103017253748026,-0.032608189453526296,0.041855345282737884,-0.07035359624541301,-0.03621837812672137,-0.038704128450720306,-0.06250135050102323,-0.01498157632179087,0.002742826587372022,-0.02844429101325467,-8.889980311241706E-4,-0.006048123975054693,-0.06310795820203462,-0.01464612659563871,-0.11656771869198083,-0.013512519206598309,-0.10438070599711216,-0.04782593719648128,0.007996407221031693,-0.014890381580483883,0.1093492755930416,-0.009215572236764226,0.19863971779379241,-0.053441553640545585,-0.04804775849343702,-0.05662619998694451,-0.025434265585818787,-0.06387408112048877,0.007323405308461262,-0.029714234330955262,-0.0056173094401496555,-0.021158366156784698,-0.10404823341962832,-0.035147087756818025,-0.10447684003003282,0.006844916272375766,-0.023634690119594987,-0.010526930428395982,-0.008956381272183069,0.3424674410979711,-0.002943945315345683,-0.1809646899072501,-0.05077435239373139,-0.032666947845722744,-0.10666454220734271,0.05865287112381488,0.12741373355781657,-0.006137513427215202,0.1753603248647797,0.09740770635313509,-0.06491852579837985,0.19168237185121015,-0.019401024833866,-0.03740904937647863,-0.02267396691416497,-0.07669341078346258,0.07047828849395914,-0.006608777095204677,-0.07988157606448448,0.03528846233961552,-0.005814094496750121,-0.004792855104998711,0.02946282433070764,0.061619891567382803,-0.021606552537521487,0.005660088660703598,-0.09933974481749752,-0.1951480886247528,-0.05627660791499202,0.0029917363251908144,0.004119778432840275,-0.010328213356342845,-0.0845407827524657,-0.014792371294509403,-0.02564462218999763,0.0024741923164193005,-0.008282954290143231,-0.11230027775840933,0.01912189731338984,-0.0590763858294184,-0.013013270796547573,0.013799338209979362,0.6677043992004328,-0.05572210031327823,-0.1126582204689785;-0.005136202595913497,-0.0047272778141631226,-0.00654540693760058,-0.005723211811017379,-0.0076158571660562835,-0.018496862591171236,-0.01105135683968465,-0.004250264314719601,-0.006020482513783363,-0.011345685530023868,-0.00892614718012488,-0.004933679695454988,-0.01031534031470124,0.17911659460275117,-0.005309528531949931,-0.020865895126044434,-0.007399219599784507,-0.007746824802283388,-0.020295722389794716,-0.007371505054543947,-0.00792644096505727,-0.015636984455986214,-0.004816284404028334,-0.005582006501364117,0.11897384439778792,-0.00487716553362873,-0.005303558308248338,-0.016599038336863787,-0.00594504977767681,-0.34810168714738915,-0.004722379406082271,-0.35995566683269836,-0.010459730926437552,-0.004268902342227704,-0.005324239144902329,-0.01264703461090147,-0.00520073606333813,0.0753201993605646,-0.012378355877537387,-0.010126065908731427,-0.013536853207398431,-0.006489566886357753,-0.016886746831744816,-0.005498506261117302,-0.006616267586820502,-0.004731605455625935,-0.00506053664294038,0.13821624284796746,-0.007524944775500849,-0.056373550334569686,-0.004797885753247127,-0.006391962464193997,-0.005179032371493461,-0.005154734081035757,0.17290833935378158,-0.005784000175540821,-0.13065068538922323,-0.0119978739102338,-0.007109951785613168,-0.34478844829488353,-0.008540119942128045,-0.013873683874238072,-0.0054648940149035746,0.07195211241639503,-0.012000300050097522,-0.017296173574303374,0.07408893688080678,-0.0062491332303374735,-0.007975093727720588,-0.0056426646235875075,-0.024049696628473713,-0.00924939309322377,-0.00535615288099259,-0.026471964782562994,-0.0059943028955344434,-0.00520303353046748,-0.004651659630248635,-0.005858719137865859,-0.009139384831589218,-0.005729867284948423,-0.004975433159423347,-0.047397868014234706,0.06426109508768052,-0.013307024763526312,-0.00487450102719267,-0.005623144042749487,-0.005536286313626649,-0.030221029153864678,-0.005185686877559426,-0.006085381058897046,-0.004893050350570045,-0.004752607898213681,-0.3122563498258798,-0.005702508791869584,-0.014210005543831129,-0.005634675920761393,-0.004760072667725036,1.2920270634175781,-0.013068815943609893,0.13888720028088025;-0.10461771293250116,-0.10367382747414267,6.684928628295901E-4,-0.12091670773890074,-0.2368082095499337,0.18341824084132,-0.33062294594976344,-0.08486135727339071,-0.17988785425983425,-0.3603949031524829,-0.24425262704979642,-0.0716055023392448,-0.3059405160380612,-0.48016209401758364,-0.0553093250559216,0.20047445095951205,0.024743504009075826,-0.22518702525225845,0.197799683601067,0.04027071376068291,0.05025532998267984,0.15842113227996923,-0.04391527185037656,-0.10563687822151131,-0.19612666704516327,-0.09359875801148153,-0.07494841259806487,0.16103243449257992,-0.04426087364539694,0.8891884244312233,-0.04917737263116559,0.8803430238623375,0.08980931294444233,-0.123753809841967,-0.042545335685715,-0.3770345666315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x_a{130}=[1.0766709183061542,-2.641827937428498,26.685598271872156];
std_x_a{130}=[1.0609032444488995,1.5174525469560929,3.074042285443546];
pred_a{130}=[1.0766709183061542];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 12.9 to 13.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{131}=[-1.178726233242651,-2.548486675354628,20.605655190558675];
std_x_f{131}=[1.0786262826717403,1.0621345004770646,2.6945827807391645];
pred_f{131}=[-1.178726233242651];
obs{131}=[-1.2904883572618109];
sqrt_r{131}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{131}=[2.1634558521616505];
L_f{131}=[-0.004603747538040737,-0.004182483766377771,-0.018934147610324168,-0.0036216773777895503,0.016459049049634723,-0.04267329685559458,0.037535443418013625,-0.006670907408742777,0.006636534758964862,0.04584387364983311,0.01761249346421572,-0.009602260923587305,0.031044559897078283,0.3239969279666105,-0.011225911158450338,-0.045293138099370696,-0.022094299378967078,0.014562267915131098,-0.04437733169662843,-0.0237363640336504,-0.024749434041007743,-0.039172762723783554,-0.012493029073157844,-0.004566309274337554,0.06232905020806806,-0.006277562495553679,-0.008897688339883723,-0.039620797191860874,-0.01329018054293431,-0.22892549618948266,-0.011953964988596499,-0.23311806228702373,-0.030502839156286793,-0.0016856707105292177,-0.012999791799977513,0.050692044553390665,-0.010519656111427267,0.17433489652248715,-0.03331680752732337,-0.030268898498743268,-0.0357071114370364,-0.01910875630483982,-0.03989122086928013,-0.0030894760414199585,-0.02052556662349275,-0.008269625500900006,-0.015377267757907532,0.03996688512543819,-0.02370466973983364,-0.07547065026251198,-0.0018376014984711486,-0.017768190122752298,-0.011091520581864156,-0.010147292438968702,0.317741849273081,-0.007443018453811159,-0.12607212942568188,-0.03266611516164166,-0.022232230898308645,-0.22582589922859672,0.02384749991650218,0.060121585895825516,-0.009111143554643484,0.15725442725674474,0.04392935321018113,-0.04119231991308813,0.16891516243025664,-0.01556460438994299,-0.024650714269286136,-0.01716411578738255,-0.04871721146979092,0.030170920707392506,-0.009265625323881954,-0.0514701084599768,0.011793049667827689,-0.008495593301153233,-0.007860056968636495,0.009039040769464678,0.024499710049836382,-0.01665682881215963,-0.002455916123190356,-0.06910777291709787,-0.026209365468163433,-0.035330615137274604,-0.004120160492883552,-0.004311165006054034,-0.011020923915481987,-0.05511245256931569,-0.012974672221567259,-0.018641810630098364,-0.004447010410068251,-0.009157086732186475,-0.21079594215508418,0.003236330923885582,-0.03703071814560314,-0.012430954007174306,0.0013706717765556583,0.7641718458665046,-0.03505614881484134,0.03684842186985583;-0.014136625360389746,-0.01318719847333223,-0.02071093695191184,-0.013246004873931147,-8.798740742813813E-4,-0.032820987840080806,0.014958354721151096,-0.014851733572621595,-0.007505731865866935,0.023495853597645076,-0.0012845733588918657,-0.016726840354262383,0.009573374125234426,0.41090567836983555,-0.017607808403492492,-0.03442070315570792,-0.022773736745015857,-0.002568663624778054,-0.034077383688078895,-0.022829735455368986,-0.023451614256296754,-0.030702784998047468,-0.018059480000452138,-0.014006889099247324,0.1169134861377292,-0.014648741001846145,-0.01634201378057564,-0.031732051487041155,-0.018640435794620186,-0.24464384195262268,-0.017002231352869743,-0.25888357420746433,-0.02617705183811103,-0.01172446693550456,-0.018343647961211382,0.026870633752643994,-0.01740471966228704,0.2130823882263488,-0.027893969403444956,-0.026157294308287175,-0.0287130377095948,-0.021092754139235163,-0.03172173781284276,-0.012909619584380845,-0.021608163284701123,-0.015648802067995515,-0.018466380666468652,0.12099590837058866,-0.023583233937312525,-0.056512086387637994,-0.011737378126117564,-0.02075065612721045,-0.01707557567935662,-0.01669675140736289,0.4024557659851669,-0.015996347535149495,-0.06374442484276109,-0.028154202001008658,-0.02251821051581435,-0.24937876958817123,0.0041933485623482205,0.036476514763177655,-0.016699646211506446,0.1922336027823982,0.021239229636612428,-0.03242468216962115,0.20676273157518796,-0.019838362343846064,-0.02404232891676936,-0.020352135825466813,-0.036813778884064674,0.009397835779448986,-0.016426581717974682,-0.0389442823659721,-0.003584485555846663,-0.016040848811429722,-0.01473523926224659,-0.005832052675845444,0.004741188964728723,-0.020023231948231173,-0.012512691745129607,-0.05073400739156028,0.08249363199699383,-0.029267459193043723,-0.01322536054378072,-0.014293042124909793,-0.017407868702930426,-0.040842516513864245,-0.01799264814923347,-0.020371978748018233,-0.013455712105506484,-0.0156536341744321,-0.22632820148738036,-0.009638929638782155,-0.03003129755193799,-0.01824178901565298,-0.010718576066974276,0.5789717652858726,-0.02898752483238917,0.12145107929228717;-0.08966465341207189,-0.08957138595212902,-0.004694389234469417,-0.10368271006078852,-0.19767733659572498,0.14315207816506847,-0.2758291519721103,-0.0742054930488034,-0.15113900151012788,-0.30115204111497357,-0.20444513202082726,-0.0630334680595288,-0.25526530656128216,-0.37712021727998135,-0.05011463102741829,0.1573768054160372,0.015045867417725558,-0.18825973401025123,0.15463235677374276,0.027292696137433885,0.03525628762994994,0.12306711891365288,-0.040739333056096096,-0.09116544338364352,-0.16642589820856468,-0.0809962700995645,-0.06580763466560444,0.12543907669543938,-0.040737144640084225,0.7691018871086264,-0.04517136652134297,0.762999452067522,0.0685315355479391,-0.10554432145798584,-0.03974177997625953,-0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k{131}=[0.5377765629001239;0.5070822400343492;-0.2364339058107742];
x_a{131}=[-1.238829284160092,-2.60515926355326,20.632079546062233];
L_a{131}=[0.011387050916047674,0.010345084131947044,0.04683230370674906,0.008957968342447158,-0.04071031871519134,0.10554944640971092,-0.09284132151591577,0.016500027790820392,-0.016415009420480464,-0.11339164867882115,-0.04356328364629044,0.023750527834677064,-0.07678657035237096,-0.8013839779252804,0.027766514319919184,0.11202944241043343,0.05464872039655065,-0.036018761852717525,0.10976425865500389,0.058710253674780534,0.061216012224739616,0.09689111750202756,0.03090064278638827,0.011294449961830638,-0.1541665919782846,0.015527116370929891,0.022007816311425704,0.09799929975094206,0.03287234177707846,0.5662313711929775,0.0295673050811402,0.5766013932732744,0.07544666159180136,0.004169389839447046,0.03215408531879664,-0.12538326387325568,0.02601964134008817,-0.43120530106007837,0.08240681760652016,0.07486802556609184,0.08831906889741391,0.047264186228196156,0.09866817400137237,0.007641605169889559,0.05076856849581044,0.020454346346600375,0.03803460755876068,-0.09885532430235601,0.05863186003254511,0.1866714302001416,0.004545180128491917,0.043948388555620235,0.027434108529727833,0.02509862556706062,-0.7859124736825827,0.01840979102400983,0.3118306868485976,0.08079737507356709,0.054989884463583584,0.5585647326292444,-0.05898514058944654,-0.14870658177764665,0.022535783012180094,-0.38895794244801873,-0.10865621487277685,0.10188635243888251,-0.4177999638755958,0.03849797175277916,0.06097183570165149,0.042454252494271365,0.12049865091656518,-0.0746256842800995,0.022917882976911854,0.1273077510974195,-0.02916929217195575,0.021013262061593325,0.019441306927744557,-0.022357441763178987,-0.060598337215645406,0.04119951326972004,0.006074538559995064,0.1709332934526102,0.06482705156988045,0.08738783135676535,0.010190931828272968,0.010663368272429702,0.02725949256133376,0.1363168371700365,0.032091953780091796,0.04610922841841746,0.010999372477577605,0.02264942028216591,0.5213891740114199,-0.008004840558035485,0.0915929184859788,0.0307471044068115,-0.0033902617769242726,-1.8901261734250583,0.08670895790367908,-0.0911420212644026;9.414766980349872E-4,5.111888874084922E-4,0.041301805427798405,-0.0013843594049357242,-0.05478622304419644,0.10694174237947024,-0.10797698045708914,0.006996689239488605,-0.029241578061408036,-0.12665108646238446,-0.058968660455857434,0.01472229298789516,-0.09210314888545955,-0.6502425940169037,0.019159071784285695,0.11392247882061717,0.04958907163939715,-0.05026271287751249,0.11126636743496718,0.05491113031495882,0.057607238184030796,0.09759506569405042,0.02285743949338006,9.48595905061644E-4,-0.08722537518694934,0.0059114064006720105,0.012799517496771147,0.09803319275336517,0.0248872982840684,0.5051283744425312,0.022149156209446835,0.504620050998243,0.07372523821360191,-0.0062035918657404755,0.024233010701907268,-0.13915493889453126,0.017049048090393825,-0.3578957856180117,0.08122457369800098,0.07297879797065278,0.08823418105303739,0.0414918631520426,0.09892919265893252,-0.0027910293109851074,0.045616762886583076,0.011435710333522399,0.03189693980616705,-0.009902836162904598,0.05405382731443788,0.19066788116508404,-0.005718902371807654,0.03744336555851606,0.019251151174053707,0.016537458276638595,-0.6382059974987283,0.008380877962551174,0.34916449739852196,0.0788332064503906,0.050296348428011645,0.49024170870013783,-0.0739115072335286,-0.16043250350097354,0.013140989325241225,-0.322802959002094,-0.12263731128804262,0.10248758192406802,-0.3464648373333181,0.031138519327307178,0.0566931984973913,0.03586343365272271,0.12274385985995334,-0.08941736159262684,0.013920009426350657,0.12962958966003382,-0.04220884647100945,0.011783748819780365,0.011007862456265735,-0.035436538609549234,-0.07549977244351992,0.03453088135276404,-0.004469124271802331,0.17560639126503097,0.1683340227113172,0.08644666640244131,2.689068754154708E-4,-1.7320053610354582E-4,0.018687641357660743,0.139660688247856,0.024501739371993816,0.04068330738830043,0.0011090476394256588,0.01433747354050462,0.4640664613504552,-0.020238496092408763,0.09125097148703445,0.02247182346091794,-0.015207772914702374,-1.9238286135232565,0.08582767414145723,7.658633775090018E-4;-0.09669502103379257,-0.09595844306300222,-0.03360866335670781,-0.10921336159255426,-0.17254277729013237,0.0779858278338636,-0.21850890061331923,-0.08439261366443161,-0.1410043712541652,-0.23114401345949054,-0.1775491515689376,-0.07769704892157317,-0.20785726193513115,0.11765441862080886,-0.06725768278699915,0.08820980419610669,-0.018694264006724887,-0.166021742894665,0.0868638804790824,-0.008955026784087824,-0.0025384911453971357,0.0632465226644028,-0.05981739638763087,-0.09813863915682514,-0.07124341201561833,-0.09058271500067813,-0.07939526506800819,0.06493428849348991,-0.06103253534163974,0.419510519880504,-0.0634262268742563,0.40700563103398985,0.021950750871340803,-0.10811850361855413,-0.059593718989961596,-0.23815108527976325,-0.07225769780331118,-0.22095765530605638,0.037552123152215115,0.02165104374538168,0.045643228904747306,-0.03636564120154997,0.06728328472802558,-0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x_a{131}=[-1.2388292841600927,-2.605159263553262,20.632079546062233];
std_x_a{131}=[2.667907459885907,2.534249221193118,2.9000706648287577];
pred_a{131}=[-1.2388292841600927];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.0 to 13.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{132}=[-2.4136651801484708,-3.7211999599494896,16.7036163699307];
std_x_f{132}=[2.186600597316329,3.0838041410030193,3.008917230586989];
pred_f{132}=[-2.4136651801484708];
obs{132}=[-2.759542867076502];
sqrt_r{132}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{132}=[5.781407789279481];
L_f{132}=[-0.013624136499466782,-0.014557434776917174,0.03969672930523801,-0.01759450376369598,-0.09079510526073226,0.12442331879783314,-0.165936289794114,-0.005434486278176648,-0.055073580822615494,-0.19379493797143385,-0.09602354860294057,0.00460490788329481,-0.14389424001019657,-0.8089711524117391,0.010736851514096552,0.13309909423710412,0.05082635905036875,-0.08411705303295336,0.12982218738729934,0.05753838430009285,0.061364719641006336,0.11232655032867463,0.015772913843030097,-0.013646133959932215,-0.1765042437096456,-0.007325328225639954,0.00250794875627403,0.11361519111107453,0.01823626021298536,0.6201704902249449,0.01411728832793392,0.6267439606629968,0.08162092685902418,-0.023733341881045696,0.0178342119693763,-0.21109235556726152,0.008358752206607513,-0.5433029973128848,0.09172466586681179,0.08096890008158164,0.1002417305529517,0.04014123662131012,0.11366986614178534,-0.019616680541210803,0.04544880743670518,3.9122091325872565E-4,0.027586099536396146,-0.07206769752586985,0.05670303343820731,0.22850776319587512,-0.0231533057054744,0.03525427551297273,0.011003622269815636,0.006965530831953304,-0.8004078175413256,-0.003709382123250307,0.390967578387519,0.08887405489679322,0.05198469747428887,0.6093237941213739,-0.11770826963945843,-0.24294794956704113,0.00278309401630125,-0.49894461553885433,-0.18769355121318101,0.11908306826261121,-0.5296055999665351,0.026709287278785476,0.060127940684315324,0.03272034856496026,0.14449622529032038,-0.13995959805075647,0.003488930896692406,0.15307337868387635,-0.07398053813242937,9.77127187270418E-4,-0.0011259513426446468,-0.06341053201716801,-0.11968158440534961,0.031112476005622464,-0.02175490253969607,0.21009959444310114,0.15165070699869884,0.09864150887571767,-0.015006321591245927,-0.014780814701772107,0.009912339443639876,0.16546147420184998,0.017723167382699582,0.03878657502583089,-0.013848319223854025,0.003898098402061212,0.5757400086648121,-0.042796280300371095,0.1046975513670148,0.015403095382483162,-0.03580322876773032,-0.5256709195306973,0.09786893754766901,-0.05853412865788077;-0.051438538945537,-0.052382982482543826,0.034061518328582306,-0.05821177032472659,-0.17483270692199376,0.16608144251252768,-0.2928375483966376,-0.03778388095828627,-0.11776873021201395,-0.33462420083745614,-0.18354057312212296,-0.02224899192134436,-0.2580499217963242,-0.8437999107816845,-0.012232646347915575,0.1792384960060132,0.051988327773846356,-0.16475676745264087,0.17498535831199916,0.06264746902942969,0.06836574863797304,0.1477285481356591,-0.003563399435693175,-0.05137772786432796,-0.2641244823340062,-0.04111678707648098,-0.025081885023852463,0.14984805127617734,5.5166974155989375E-5,0.8039789321131341,-0.006173334393886532,0.8107264498818456,0.10060511636392429,-0.06665265251333109,-6.438428378682021E-4,-0.361596647561061,-0.01616164337702431,-0.7769503694413075,0.11559687770196642,0.09935314503941005,0.12938941339837065,0.03451847260124562,0.15009979646632743,-0.06023197885230627,0.04371371509790511,-0.028778640068965754,0.015676468741941417,-0.08674214002756993,0.06094196644252367,0.3191962005172952,-0.0657651403087814,0.02668565185427046,-0.012423419387032151,-0.017738056308784573,-0.8502303451050843,-0.03549584996914932,0.5371014677183351,0.11120592432743372,0.053771219116433185,0.7916730447276648,-0.21716463288915075,-0.4076467256381997,-0.02520652502896607,-0.7313886379889414,-0.3254746765493023,0.15790767739516365,-0.7631043316721028,0.013422930909762869,0.06709885541599224,0.02330577879780411,0.19636762595617274,-0.2519465202210937,-0.023684507664791365,0.20954970964288946,-0.14761528529439083,-0.027487454802424937,-0.030833404610165427,-0.13080980132185263,-0.2209431469631788,0.02055504561944571,-0.06336354455461075,0.2923248965925885,0.24534694676013888,0.12723980772075114,-0.052986366979151454,-0.053221651764683346,-0.013494459886998125,0.22768588864669656,-8.820009044939665E-4,0.03267695502616597,-0.0511687619639015,-0.02259440393578888,0.7549573874166746,-0.09801629477287935,0.13596471151632866,-0.00471171357906214,-0.08619515919078385,1.3209661995306945,0.12538146020834154,-0.06468834568734448;-0.10953921283721771,-0.10907963969161322,-0.08162059395291678,-0.11743264168831367,-0.12982746240791684,-0.019184429087654137,-0.11844727131429289,-0.10338856770261602,-0.12424440918183143,-0.10875958142459982,-0.13031065302776076,-0.10264488938178394,-0.12507074504926438,0.9458709650396722,-0.0965086662029133,-0.013004861858594051,-0.07371360252597399,-0.1288154305256707,-0.013534093096035841,-0.06858090869408079,-0.06489929568883501,-0.027882708157150063,-0.0929107943083024,-0.1103969322713824,1.7350152157331476E-4,-0.10708143146697427,-0.10287110318610027,-0.026961064642886824,-0.09483169276841806,0.34155625402477285,-0.09527301287015343,0.33561224585244387,-0.052210934053165556,-0.11399685576155337,-0.09338535697984074,-0.10163762398277665,-0.09941357404095023,0.25377421486401336,-0.043247480081677725,-0.05178516328444983,-0.0385575407625423,-0.08414623157830307,-0.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k{132}=[0.8270317478980975;0.88914066891426;-0.3491967274798327];
x_a{132}=[-2.6997170081275113,-4.028733877867197,16.82439572631426];
L_a{132}=[0.007006195133257927,0.007486142603661435,-0.020413993332752078,0.009047951526771675,0.046691269177043464,-0.06398453587567193,0.08533252922355142,0.002794677762910328,0.028321519969034335,0.09965880416117595,0.049379989618161396,-0.0023680681122290443,0.0739974327255713,0.4160124020480154,-0.0055214124452968244,-0.06844604253058835,-0.026137391491479246,0.043257089181875555,-0.06676089728676744,-0.029589042070637766,-0.03155673022795863,-0.05776378783926735,-0.008111201191258074,0.007017507299754748,0.0907670862902979,0.003767040866480158,-0.001289709507193697,-0.05842646974784326,-0.009377973977143045,-0.3189218979547267,-0.007259797843469844,-0.3223022968954963,-0.041973459422847276,0.012204841340912776,-0.009171221171354655,0.10855397949816438,-0.004298477854529416,0.2793928859863503,-0.04716929455462522,-0.04163815546908457,-0.05154918440349846,-0.02064258066338265,-0.05845458631391657,0.010087853402223726,-0.02337199230849488,-2.0118486471478182E-4,-0.01418611714034379,0.037060723201842366,-0.029159463936028616,-0.11750983106175292,0.011906558464008154,-0.018129467033392646,-0.0056585989723465695,-0.0035820155073533672,0.4116087178148239,0.0019075451115986518,-0.2010545875745954,-0.045703371433131294,-0.02673306557538559,-0.31334399806685215,0.06053133025527637,0.12493567881958767,-0.00143120261259653,0.256581643709339,0.09652117366154976,-0.06123831872556372,0.27234901655432786,-0.013735217534905093,-0.030920718198306503,-0.01682639827363007,-0.07430700290200491,0.07197404802530634,-0.0017941783444138323,-0.07871779329341745,0.038044399088303135,-5.024864323912088E-4,5.790190679189355E-4,0.03260878668041589,0.06154610490244152,-0.01599955182353968,0.011187431387235824,-0.10804345333330541,-0.07798618616093549,-0.05072627240994878,0.007716982085786256,0.007601015450278035,-0.0050974081456060276,-0.08508835589984456,-0.009114116631717918,-0.01994594763435896,0.007121480818528692,-0.002004592221646532,-0.29607357845300303,0.02200793355041184,-0.053840584677077544,-0.007921022511047586,0.018411765557194117,0.27032561206762346,-0.05032897857199564,0.030101102359653242;-0.029258898424524945,-0.028683963445797055,-0.03056343503154889,-0.029568504115550537,-0.027021299143651714,-0.036475577044285994,-0.022698794489706214,-0.02893671827234001,-0.028110774649229387,-0.01913249542431547,-0.027217433696113298,-0.02974562860638107,-0.023794890910860306,0.473178185632963,-0.029711883062805027,-0.037442397052184724,-0.030755292181310196,-0.02781700631395774,-0.03636083951965332,-0.03102310451376921,-0.03153397141866791,-0.035135335190293944,-0.02924117791515853,-0.029162276210220266,0.023218548621843603,-0.02919139666737336,-0.02916474208135881,-0.035113696330235436,-0.02963285736320151,-0.2056379735503788,-0.02915580966909417,-0.20959184675034986,-0.03227103448760387,-0.028015562279798012,-0.029677346023319645,-0.017945322326708098,-0.029769413612886552,0.10752881754127096,-0.03372782378758729,-0.032461527931717034,-0.03380078577172866,-0.0308301238668225,-0.034950960269338444,-0.028296676190254028,-0.03027542990913889,-0.029415534687624353,-0.02923278265304154,0.03058167160360124,-0.0313686837157138,-0.05280682838243507,-0.028072329653176666,-0.03070713467110281,-0.03033695000844538,-0.029077708542656153,0.45280692730987215,-0.029457099399380827,-0.09938073020628811,-0.0334780774317007,-0.030858137218803802,-0.2002858008872513,-0.02553948974296337,-0.012135554201773147,-0.02973730940712884,0.08087658065294233,-0.019915825595084764,-0.0359555921270703,0.09907594857041248,-0.030058899328732222,-0.03078742968538182,-0.029961859039017828,-0.03886741691849871,-0.024096955417292617,-0.02936437097901465,-0.039648653326974835,-0.027177432855631806,-0.029078185323791444,-0.029000393319873075,-0.027579566844831503,-0.026105513091873297,-0.030095029234862954,-0.027947287684386896,-0.04971024659176954,-0.0015353540829337277,-0.03334528384811591,-0.02855657515714789,-0.029158977649092654,-0.02963141840842696,-0.04167988128795849,-0.02973472720075381,-0.030466297476321687,-0.028624159433141616,-0.028940378322982616,-0.182328173855378,-0.028345375611445393,-0.03447941555487681,-0.029787439920155638,-0.027908695047468214,2.1767409510532545,-0.033945910966015944,0.030603266510850047;-0.11824993562540581,-0.11838707571545326,-0.05624010803447287,-0.1286818569972824,-0.18787818675889198,0.06036681722265189,-0.22454023514752933,-0.10686315880549167,-0.15945623310310975,-0.2326642400787006,-0.1917042329475654,-0.09970069720945064,-0.21707091222278802,0.4286474732920905,-0.08964395685704794,0.07209332497355818,-0.04121728071959618,-0.18259647791594477,0.06946897180508659,-0.03179318894846782,-0.02566517161876074,0.043934352814373516,-0.08282623004590017,-0.11912171934762045,-0.11267618535243362,-0.11176495056622449,-0.10126762201254194,0.04567990121460723,-0.08317216429739951,0.7380682254055474,-0.0862469887143936,0.7363270288201734,-2.5808954648314034E-5,-0.12917099630038192,-0.08198288192264298,-0.23660155304529423,-0.0940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x_a{132}=[-2.6997170081275117,-4.028733877867196,16.82439572631426];
std_x_a{132}=[1.1244566188760807,2.333797330828758,2.902517077770719];
pred_a{132}=[-2.6997170081275117];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.1 to 13.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{133}=[-4.857365027674773,-8.054744537667103,15.117825926406184];
std_x_f{133}=[1.80567712820229,2.5461645650940494,2.8617504919558265];
pred_f{133}=[-4.857365027674773];
obs{133}=[-5.313642961173171];
sqrt_r{133}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{133}=[4.261266314735965];
L_f{133}=[-0.028220974878562864,-0.02724653859980016,-0.04052938945175267,-0.02761735240392131,-0.005623668133455183,-0.05964204097079696,0.02285918103699353,-0.029496017142450755,-0.01654327051951358,0.03539216832744857,-0.0037132361558944622,-0.03260047957248562,0.014161219285925649,0.6223888481851619,-0.03374892736896386,-0.06142668092302819,-0.042607124327797674,-0.007905239337985131,-0.060069472360173216,-0.044728708567036514,-0.04543567357197477,-0.05664338614069646,-0.034683528266689696,-0.027044432455730655,0.0711757034068117,-0.02992844566058581,-0.03187362688328872,-0.056789723850063846,-0.03604785159584408,-0.1950684405615121,-0.03442005701136799,-0.1993093427562054,-0.04979569284162223,-0.024410737772292593,-0.03552645379889891,0.04262392771154277,-0.03336430686793136,0.2740101239314448,-0.052299045838327264,-0.050050931714209136,-0.0542183130365427,-0.04153370828287065,-0.056887898233215536,-0.02591644533653752,-0.041985662963562875,-0.03113921050365485,-0.0367323537945722,0.052783552391329445,-0.04484426011496,-0.08310746742175326,-0.02473427983059953,-0.04044285856849046,-0.03481212252005011,-0.03247642364954652,0.6069320911427653,-0.030636630936487913,-0.10880583818825967,-0.051617484964290444,-0.043514249372821466,-0.19475431419052766,0.004442089751488442,0.05967514740965732,-0.0326254225874046,0.23519029929668792,0.033110306229556685,-0.058036893117876166,0.26107240636324736,-0.037915212014360496,-0.0450000691100106,-0.038540678090000335,-0.06354371459159841,0.012924772721734847,-0.03234207961491204,-0.06555887291905012,-0.010682232096583448,-0.03088448341868321,-0.030749767812830304,-0.01369268784510441,0.00464496776269617,-0.03907303055698449,-0.025022531945909296,-0.0790153823943867,-0.004412978966089033,-0.05386365436944485,-0.027361455144224577,-0.027819152732332837,-0.034071328837425335,-0.06820577195752861,-0.035274131356329085,-0.04074601925823518,-0.027572393779004403,-0.0321677163246017,-0.18476904810453706,-0.019716139664949995,-0.05506712729076728,-0.03483669608775789,-0.021577051341942592,1.4123324311081633,-0.05358917974983954,0.05058398722764523;-0.06683901674606292,-0.06529329422313102,-0.06890823534530498,-0.06899131238398425,-0.051524434241500904,-0.06587443794094881,-0.02011452134523668,-0.06616831525703955,-0.06074133846164268,-0.00319833018215085,-0.05028290127569399,-0.06869729766854077,-0.03004111557666161,0.9874146252213145,-0.06784952691477968,-0.06473728120885755,-0.06854198743561422,-0.054230988307807655,-0.06443795737238099,-0.06778550502116787,-0.06797404286355468,-0.06586617899842498,-0.06715971680275722,-0.06706705990728977,0.0809758834149589,-0.0674333224336581,-0.0677049573302336,-0.06563072236031435,-0.06898639923996763,-0.03673594233156367,-0.06764484801803496,-0.04151285686309202,-0.06725739480509196,-0.06380464751180631,-0.0681815091721849,0.00628340937565309,-0.06874056765335058,0.38589745471181525,-0.06718332325801678,-0.06759419068730833,-0.06689999808457098,-0.0703574682454509,-0.06527660999961794,-0.06579147869155257,-0.06822674180379894,-0.06700721348388397,-0.06653653619197024,0.08813808899607424,-0.06938819663025875,-0.057691694837406556,-0.06411182444815666,-0.06961217734741351,-0.06949427365086876,-0.06685394847367654,0.9619927439051025,-0.06768695512804128,-0.003421842220444308,-0.06758852936642301,-0.06900685140114403,-0.04557607083733555,-0.04089613949158284,0.030364894177191352,-0.068813582448575,0.3190854946481766,-0.006749956183328116,-0.06609751577970081,0.36422968746237633,-0.06926682158537709,-0.06763419052745677,-0.06855299182179563,-0.0629127631181193,-0.031854255469019835,-0.06817780558220307,-0.06293614561252907,-0.055311175869893786,-0.06653468958972734,-0.0668570011079724,-0.05806879697899954,-0.04151259945264676,-0.06910765680348921,-0.06398894399744716,-0.059732416086793055,0.08061693543814005,-0.06661677367752815,-0.06550911291238015,-0.06713132269850827,-0.06926534999766289,-0.06186401880792788,-0.06857145035892469,-0.06898436800053352,-0.06594296278707508,-0.06642437896376961,-0.049515400122483774,-0.061783858631146424,-0.06579181227219677,-0.06839750180748522,-0.06229961158610064,1.9570996438605284,-0.06707387250129988,0.08934226940748975;-0.09551761758028363,-0.09659472057998729,-0.03719879120519704,-0.10350682413962235,-0.16817787506824794,0.06974351802247575,-0.2190394022236084,-0.08569980679967616,-0.13691155823820933,-0.23461054878417023,-0.17172897112256685,-0.07763305010919719,-0.20629698013069872,0.11827002800843414,-0.06875760205766732,0.08030917186997433,-0.023778198189677337,-0.161936668158681,0.07761950479909342,-0.014672811249823161,-0.00904970474068522,0.05460683725523652,-0.062393131369460036,-0.09643828913575672,-0.16643334344054433,-0.08937556048662929,-0.07927028093147352,0.05592243637312391,-0.06139530755076426,0.7382119985031766,-0.06559078214020841,0.7417293238971078,0.014354272932520762,-0.10701992693435868,-0.06125285008038624,-0.24264072078191057,-0.0726036708316174,-0.25959676357146466,0.0285426011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k{133}=[0.7653279738602866;1.0515145231710685;0.5358893069791002];
x_a{133}=[-5.206567294036261,-8.534527411343152,14.873311460833872];
L_a{133}=[0.018767056242342196,0.018119052389647602,0.02695219901445088,0.018365644987788345,0.0037397608198500238,0.039662185382449845,-0.01520144282829206,0.01961496422499388,0.011001338175168183,-0.023535927316395092,0.002469316247175577,0.021679443615851456,-0.00941726499324392,-0.413890964743749,0.022443165793439114,0.04084897777711312,0.028333900654567454,0.005257014398104247,0.039946428891353615,0.029744762288936705,0.030214896721433702,0.03766806845027356,0.02306467896537034,0.017984651030764447,-0.047332115019831256,0.019902530843636815,0.021196083797250038,0.03776538358675946,0.023971959197933292,0.1297212591300216,0.022889469572776946,0.13254147531137467,0.0331143262132661,0.016233233992128202,0.023625227668565223,-0.028345074969032644,0.022187391689039937,-0.18221778053099072,0.03477906553165477,0.03328406103985111,0.03605538555986012,0.027620074878765676,0.03783066992708227,0.017234535281835543,0.027920626470198457,0.020707694095576316,0.02442715577837807,-0.035101264242688016,0.029821604510302264,0.05526678372997754,0.016448390698483535,0.026894655646091642,0.023150194635741115,0.02159694595257054,-0.4036121621868889,0.020373476760992222,0.07235629858858504,0.034325824943380566,0.028937142279353765,0.1295123638917514,-0.0029540066761846572,-0.039684201290927416,0.02169603081618227,-0.15640244865910174,-0.022018480292942462,0.038594755920403824,-0.17361414886005408,0.025213761019090196,0.029925218087995965,0.025629698351861872,0.042256813264581264,-0.008595023298523291,0.02150760665565891,0.04359690126052201,0.007103725204851696,0.02053829960971307,0.020448713216520108,0.00910568979291743,-0.003088921329666925,0.02598371477870872,0.016640079457758344,0.052545531534137595,0.0029346478925423624,0.035819536189634626,0.018195472331256898,0.018499842978088675,0.0226575640031844,0.045357099245767946,0.023457432279097253,0.027096258664392258,0.01833574733024711,0.021391654400645305,0.12287212374990983,0.013111308293430357,0.03661985028572037,0.023166536152263054,0.014348821676806817,-0.939206469002056,0.035637009517703634,-0.03363854499527755;-0.0022802931316227015,-0.0029637055932619743,0.023807401273800113,-0.005813444557677701,-0.038659647029530654,0.07056358574191274,-0.07240752528893575,0.0013072140831160621,-0.02289670574629732,-0.08416198303253937,-0.04178844678802727,0.005880046291927036,-0.06243653231394859,-0.43637139930817714,0.009355023377060156,0.07578331148245133,0.02892670651704687,-0.03614684473292867,0.07297786474053551,0.03453655672318556,0.035965282584667434,0.06371207710997859,0.01218284046105037,-0.005199812311064014,-0.08184671871258783,0.0010314368429337171,0.005209627562831316,0.064282298077602,0.013477204447877979,0.4095055356577977,0.011094988467136982,0.4144301723250213,0.04665597584156936,-0.007962279207828412,0.013089337128256445,-0.09122372424862307,0.007584119035993156,-0.24093219715418382,0.05245675509165963,0.04690306821629315,0.05713062457213325,0.02465566313129142,0.06486099562343739,-0.006504631275759987,0.027820287850469676,0.0042273095305705765,0.01749294494877431,-0.032610353780389394,0.03319820256089497,0.13242618885245303,-0.007529316499472551,0.022905509930795646,0.010142457747490324,0.00743960330469201,-0.42643417236645215,0.0023978593625008783,0.24548401824184593,0.05049240014864724,0.030536995352489608,0.39994680697426216,-0.05105793035000994,-0.10614886428965384,0.005820821525347242,-0.21893934660654782,-0.08249358721880858,0.06666854770182322,-0.23300344846889381,0.017468583685025685,0.03530863964779266,0.01961323898462029,0.08245078741145714,-0.06142115857964792,0.005808418776097904,0.08703731120345681,-0.030874342185863834,0.004117115940779027,0.0034866269905979084,-0.026745199763284988,-0.05213849707950997,0.020276391457121255,-0.006747026204714541,0.12102435277888597,0.09071213202911577,0.05660252651547111,-0.0029166394791996435,-0.0034918134270258364,0.00867673070851818,0.09416452378010393,0.012122179353440368,0.024226834199261665,-0.002867942982589026,0.00716296932748957,0.37316503386015226,-0.016680923071677553,0.06018057054957231,0.011295444451370013,-0.012939626681497104,-1.2737731188264552,0.05551753545259248,-0.02637441524986968;-0.06261618931197509,-0.06482933900977088,0.010052404245819433,-0.07130912923403426,-0.16162152063705457,0.13927720143419933,-0.24568978224759003,-0.05131187029538934,-0.1176245835442747,-0.27587251413073205,-0.16739989413099718,-0.03962577556315197,-0.222806839996723,-0.6073421144379411,-0.029411409456582185,0.15192347806761397,0.025895324813059048,-0.15272034355821146,0.14765150916739997,0.03747416109202609,0.0439214828700647,0.12064453843323183,-0.021957334155907293,-0.06490853304730736,-0.2494135491266518,-0.05448347712236117,-0.04211040771433825,0.1221307453939882,-0.0193689137564017,0.9656325724614727,-0.025462152933608293,0.9740941543863005,0.07240858973586681,-0.07856066423179094,-0.019834327994539765,-0.29233383401238877,-0.03370588810580034,-0.5790515122509302,0.08951545242872185,0.07288206568428164,0.10106422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x_a{133}=[-5.206567294036262,-8.534527411343147,14.873311460833868];
std_x_a{133}=[1.2007821971531043,1.747456033334925,2.7023988205410965];
pred_a{133}=[-5.206567294036262];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.2 to 13.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{134}=[-9.8419436478491,-15.462114001089562,19.81939860055566];
std_x_f{134}=[1.8145969550237693,2.7737770448446515,2.8168683571033135];
pred_f{134}=[-9.8419436478491];
obs{134}=[-10.243051144427639];
sqrt_r{134}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{134}=[4.292802639276653];
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k{134}=[0.7670519508978637;0.952203226341991;-0.7477383025026095];
x_a{134}=[-10.149613935619426,-15.844049853441607,20.11932203916837];
L_a{134}=[0.0042044140139424055,0.005251228092352838,-0.020796510093580436,0.007069156082705615,0.040153121976153124,-0.06303459047878411,0.0754556272699354,7.490234837906947E-4,0.023974395281169045,0.08885996912358704,0.042915773036406576,-0.0036771987107856357,0.06540993644367116,0.43524710598758887,-0.0071108879185314946,-0.06729761396819253,-0.02533346642101723,0.03708770305400146,-0.06528658204482604,-0.02982730951799995,-0.03173908145406486,-0.0566793492962977,-0.009359732114192568,0.005901950758380758,0.09408784660719481,0.001220955528058912,-0.0028637533517350323,-0.057436993576799364,-0.01071907003854082,-0.3304401482031553,-0.00837114809577282,-0.3346281144688653,-0.04132308217812541,0.009913693657259555,-0.010437694339122925,0.0968487764517803,-0.005764015512210646,0.27324781321544195,-0.04667980627949982,-0.04164857610625734,-0.05100090148489865,-0.021336300040711048,-0.05812584547412195,0.008303766301119639,-0.02369063317165512,-0.0020831525724322054,-0.014571300332370765,0.04471770512631928,-0.028769771621797755,-0.11709461000570036,0.009732821512065138,-0.01929415766294107,-0.008147325373612216,-0.004918986963515427,0.42924239308991397,-3.7599529693574293E-4,-0.20806441414070184,-0.04510381728884798,-0.02665781443767399,-0.3249370577619633,0.053358687223959964,0.11297613711108982,-0.003406646392205086,0.2477728260743248,0.08648345451952165,-0.05995145124462807,0.26479595665734496,-0.014631829113088723,-0.030865401903263038,-0.01658551455646856,-0.07371098517549822,0.06359134426692546,-0.003993886910468502,-0.07787379441580279,0.03227672395232034,-0.0019111243035058803,-0.0015002413223587747,0.027918481362637766,0.05404161080019119,-0.01676910365080751,0.008545477688430838,-0.10763821894357328,-0.07296059913032495,-0.05047494873784027,0.005319630486829222,0.005333384558995993,-0.006553350894343616,-0.08392658622527699,-0.009785039206778753,-0.02067257391010427,0.004732818146905678,-0.004150732320284432,-0.3058275393725023,0.01831111886358533,-0.05332279845659542,-0.008589104674781098,0.014838150936778554,0.46051609903052093,-0.049696384470961544,0.03901758535650256;-0.037139473785352484,-0.036010679014295874,-0.04219571830270665,-0.036610463643573586,-0.027286383918712503,-0.048335752851179255,-0.010377069126933142,-0.03743767351228653,-0.03150334768354014,-0.0028634944903838545,-0.024942174155500478,-0.038405455356592684,-0.014878337351222945,0.597447636182858,-0.03910068486421519,-0.04861715527502114,-0.04225310145129103,-0.027818071800457412,-0.04760729069351099,-0.04305715584730527,-0.04348559134739884,-0.04695850099932273,-0.03918112792842779,-0.03650739393667818,0.02256157993501329,-0.03759189786761067,-0.03825406037343617,-0.0473284927867144,-0.04009540707970843,-0.11666191398419776,-0.0391997961156335,-0.1206329824141643,-0.044662431936874976,-0.03537203700730355,-0.03968828813832573,0.0033286399988915793,-0.03943728338520902,0.1861577502698443,-0.045508679231226715,-0.04590214331962372,-0.04722015442416283,-0.042876346374054304,-0.048177649696029244,-0.035035416083075706,-0.042113591602601974,-0.03844651231172655,-0.04078116913878124,0.014583041531615746,-0.04266289624802747,-0.05716722191789276,-0.03469475442268589,-0.04144074581070678,-0.04075055883033892,-0.03862206693455568,0.575684700193626,-0.0383555652579325,-0.0649669691366754,-0.04620699981107752,-0.04291707790535626,-0.11790432150701131,-0.020701882643923572,0.012819023948145424,-0.0381580084242466,0.1478020659347449,-0.003634308962477402,-0.04779363279107523,0.17234692639663787,-0.040995625831760356,-0.0433034649641061,-0.04042198632563313,-0.04977827439336514,-0.01631903808478999,-0.038944782720938036,-0.050757908382887545,-0.030090531146948835,-0.037444348162965206,-0.038392974401019055,-0.030356790218425855,-0.02035400093674497,-0.04137222797545913,-0.03533617775869364,-0.0553968267181589,-0.007619823020008137,-0.04643968196020505,-0.03590920673113407,-0.03676964995178994,-0.0383996868973471,-0.05082561324714539,-0.03985803202030648,-0.04171258851930328,-0.0370244060951812,-0.03832092710363054,-0.11028411106206912,-0.033097939140267624,-0.04672238948275748,-0.039373407225894476,-0.03411217439540892,1.967557835751678,-0.04645543884484998,0.015436194786447671;-0.08057438924230273,-0.08272604040434398,-0.02371799050708018,-0.08734790416506487,-0.1541738585210701,0.082797451553064,-0.2119275342568534,-0.071906837181572,-0.12202636581957865,-0.2311451314476063,-0.15816261513011512,-0.06305810565983297,-0.1971392390399319,-0.08841910004756502,-0.054843899891713066,0.09381620952626714,-0.011108157781623235,-0.14767626397526568,0.08981288908142608,-0.0021053391978335004,0.0038676499457278675,0.06621339506809171,-0.04904462239249796,-0.08056561709488316,-0.20745695633840247,-0.0746644996662367,-0.06445490233860282,0.06873933474965012,-0.047069003711332394,0.905549604727343,-0.052144631522610445,0.9179932390530112,0.027031448505189352,-0.09246134417589476,-0.047637170730720366,-0.24118225070711027,-0.05748551373433433,-0.333713125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x_a{134}=[-10.149613935619422,-15.84404985344161,20.119322039168367];
std_x_a{134}=[1.1983863159384882,2.198598088971793,2.4837186505979463];
pred_a{134}=[-10.149613935619422];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.3 to 13.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{135}=[-14.260574790177605,-14.661222765654514,34.34005114761098];
std_x_f{135}=[1.6733762530903558,2.7281900975018303,2.2094101763217076];
pred_f{135}=[-14.260574790177605];
obs{135}=[-14.537950640588036];
sqrt_r{135}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{135}=[3.802450533531888];
L_f{135}=[-0.04756520918874829,-0.04695855491720353,-0.03704761642011993,-0.047915092668235515,-0.05734149810299519,-0.015061716693123712,-0.058357001176755005,-0.04529721929185226,-0.05310881504158627,-0.05724161255620064,-0.056491103089909185,-0.044008758365582754,-0.05816104976396795,0.42173161147408533,-0.04224816705704677,-0.012449962718471434,-0.03409459040005403,-0.05603196052229532,-0.012764638599532339,-0.032408942645546356,-0.03127442363732816,-0.017812776243557375,-0.04115042514842732,-0.0462827838579114,-0.03713924378692029,-0.045629256717207224,-0.04405267341039735,-0.017611689279503965,-0.04129381162632407,0.19442087371628247,-0.04193743711867844,0.1967844126325031,-0.02636992963766596,-0.048398310766879796,-0.04086876070077549,-0.05554797654107637,-0.042862090239998846,0.0633513542705074,-0.0232038568184147,-0.026329160249307468,-0.02188193844236611,-0.03737565790999402,-0.01765113623558489,-0.04793850377593892,-0.03563243974739042,-0.045492769258437975,-0.03936822458148664,-0.02255809051811098,-0.031790339698656044,0.018724954398495072,-0.0479044816782452,-0.03756668326700302,-0.0429001757552451,-0.04342085579413407,0.4021531459294377,-0.04559630647494832,0.09708872129286393,-0.02448773443937707,-0.033869116021047564,0.18658891438141015,-0.05805371558501764,-0.05243632229663661,-0.043587048739074825,0.03345634820137142,-0.05702061629463427,-0.016117261376356676,0.0520003858276838,-0.039098389715783756,-0.03162642278321031,-0.037554082805140325,-0.008247394850544805,-0.05817416409347927,-0.043228630769282544,-0.00620961222447251,-0.05542188087345234,-0.0439193008062613,-0.04486504264669429,-0.05451806562310133,-0.057912806797352216,-0.038830776774028075,-0.04831650578994531,0.01246993368214712,0.029312133682361807,-0.021194652847899544,-0.04682332990156165,-0.04731073842172134,-0.04210518850357981,-0.0019301502676256348,-0.0411607601547681,-0.036682303306161575,-0.04652530550347879,-0.04364642184031636,0.16814320587863169,-0.05125838799418199,-0.01989837291349425,-0.04164662467070991,-0.05052540605367311,1.4690720168712794,-0.02229348901146205,-0.01940627140644037;-0.0829914809289152,-0.08444018926503542,-0.02761064278705645,-0.08766867825309138,-0.15378828071425746,0.0719119932395699,-0.21329562129770818,-0.07354438258261015,-0.1219917295118834,-0.23349492238157935,-0.15808189396815017,-0.06465993557454629,-0.1976590360480634,0.03760638472960043,-0.05741818445758809,0.08256270726561876,-0.01601161202038639,-0.1476833777277942,0.0784809541194434,-0.006704719560057746,-0.001620582278399196,0.05710367237170004,-0.052409639604478586,-0.08383032471079446,-0.21746962484268328,-0.07592777602758069,-0.06619294274708001,0.05960118191628873,-0.0504870324363442,0.8105881883124213,-0.054367713327302294,0.8216140191427667,0.02037705125433122,-0.0933619017650909,-0.05018656254455361,-0.24427622297049797,-0.06011176575022219,-0.33959466315613024,0.03312567262575524,0.020826844544526983,0.04253477434129281,-0.02697865891516489,0.061165653725340836,-0.09046281521495751,-0.02052466732086564,-0.06857170983442228,-0.04060772775856644,-0.11800484620711335,-0.008945208855421027,0.2071865561260549,-0.09297610531190112,-0.03117327534442895,-0.05628441422756136,-0.06166799841481894,0.011525598704665237,-0.07251612805741264,0.4655967025809173,0.02873242288307737,-0.01373388399221132,0.7912016300263084,-0.17723214402625864,-0.26518382612788116,-0.06503674631685676,-0.34795976299780623,-0.22979330504977472,0.064808788823595,-0.3453387031196352,-0.04017058853242262,-0.005095200499675648,-0.03499380154824939,0.09816709135437461,-0.19327893437350777,-0.06454678223573213,0.10852888326576118,-0.13935118428915957,-0.06840689358312446,-0.06915276811292713,-0.1299157906012644,-0.1782340068250734,-0.036581091235291754,-0.0909259033405918,0.18360185788597919,0.14326214521590483,0.04220963422116642,-0.08404314927125599,-0.08441868342752722,-0.05814727669817178,0.12347040333445246,-0.051355064971223774,-0.027552065294041028,-0.08160288407788288,-0.06357209560014195,0.7321896218267452,-0.11144489102536562,0.048260576654101425,-0.05390556482726102,-0.10387599220249286,1.8402248412506046,0.039759958615730326,-0.10578183145273824;0.034060669395253415,0.03109542971369292,0.058394105924586756,0.030377278376725634,-0.008140687216193557,0.09539513117833644,-0.06106594760218611,0.036672350424825785,0.010967576140433019,-0.08298167842687691,-0.014729686330438656,0.040766564336718956,-0.046406047942481016,-1.0897775265671916,0.0440957607071962,0.09866039530220833,0.0617387661518754,-0.005080355213959676,0.09611080223744482,0.06586258651131785,0.06813988442139902,0.08941539076663517,0.04613938834790215,0.03088086502052817,-0.1195981777344184,0.03621716743313102,0.0403535222920259,0.09038441976361661,0.04896339167635974,0.29172240079663847,0.045075713092502724,0.29691365568495165,0.07604646455622828,0.025851432458918116,0.047300611970607406,-0.09831448924602447,0.04405653572994804,-0.5161496784846318,0.08013815123566674,0.0781179745301391,0.08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k{135}=[0.7370117004333112;0.9469946050412434;-0.6178206234430602];
x_a{135}=[-14.465004037347732,-14.92389619956192,34.5114196684396];
L_a{135}=[0.035428905316868896,0.03497703940240727,0.027594885353191875,0.03568951572683234,0.04271076573965724,0.01121870677605284,0.04346716233420297,0.03373959498506953,0.03955805538735127,0.04263636607569565,0.04207734974266238,0.03277988596791504,0.04332120809225297,-0.31412642952446657,0.03146851103998588,0.009273344065426925,0.025395326451894934,0.041735357794505885,0.009507730125863862,0.024139773165982478,0.023294727654611987,0.013267831125461522,0.030650858919745876,0.034473691907801585,0.027663133918859308,0.033986912776900816,0.03281259605142462,0.013118051672550103,0.030757660214973358,-0.1448142212343398,0.03123706411158308,-0.14657470117133006,0.019641619500463735,0.03604944031365252,0.030441061397204004,0.04137486274070622,0.0319257911968822,-0.04718720195760537,0.017283372873302918,0.019611252456470548,0.01629874310334211,0.02783922677590349,0.013147433703994293,0.0357069534703499,0.026540792220839205,0.0338852502101603,0.029323388354206014,0.01680237439772604,0.02367900729092575,-0.013947266242737238,0.035681612140028164,0.02798151184942719,0.03195415916028695,0.03234198724120584,-0.29954342623568875,0.03396236981718156,-0.07231645088264249,0.01823966801942591,0.02522738205384756,-0.1389805930331127,0.04324126032101118,0.03905714974237535,0.03246577591387357,-0.024919932296964865,0.04247175719958733,0.012004928329112464,-0.038732442836926624,0.029122402085644743,0.02355691391687757,0.027972126406203106,0.006143064989187559,0.04333097628935496,0.03219880859611736,0.004625224345851291,0.04128094049069804,0.03271325358148926,0.03341768858115342,0.04060773447573933,0.043136304531229956,0.028923070815232356,0.0359885079466621,-0.00928821942061237,-0.02183311766267721,0.015786819017076084,0.034876317165348496,0.035239362984044446,0.03136201358692052,0.001437670773352031,0.030658556940365216,0.027322782193210375,0.03465433394774313,0.0325099999174706,-0.12524132285658035,0.038179766386285154,0.014821286018409824,0.031020452708842114,0.037633805415815805,-1.094237033266448,0.016605286192172934,0.014454744632446056;0.02364858820538247,0.020839775402961863,0.05544923319551584,0.01975582133106322,-0.02523000406078111,0.1056800042886175,-0.08246061087518382,0.028010907076816156,-0.002923027738674258,-0.10516058675132862,-0.031430182733677044,0.03400665529436408,-0.06726334403836605,-0.9079058703569145,0.03730120251877735,0.11047522794325915,0.06042764977155769,-0.022061053223410808,0.1070989706475923,0.0659553600072595,0.06849593262192637,0.09703949358398413,0.039848636088589864,0.019934577294576136,-0.13420432248026687,0.02637193365225491,0.0325721046091436,0.0990861709317964,0.04209271233415771,0.37470120772579296,0.03965502450833917,0.38042804044961753,0.07949780710906353,0.015145961317831894,0.041440228147554416,-0.11973897905542275,0.03598402241915326,-0.48162689457868,0.08514816842681322,0.07985619639899795,0.09159356054417898,0.056816678295387016,0.1007390818793571,0.017014171516559342,0.059362416177639696,0.033421998204983906,0.047654896597922304,-0.06743014311176473,0.06232797759930041,0.1652056531583365,0.014424604684749338,0.0530503361789095,0.03989676076231031,0.03568052885397631,-0.8900922016988119,0.029709707961980414,0.24792609569371551,0.08363334181302542,0.06219986959793239,0.3728737162276241,-0.04707709269614451,-0.1476228371144155,0.03268438158673869,-0.4229681009411483,-0.10195443778839691,0.1009433059789783,-0.46192233292497065,0.04748707246483385,0.06581048812430895,0.04920156003890498,0.11665755470017644,-0.06285384034856395,0.032370781093471,0.12245068636952172,-0.015096643865613235,0.030059135562767014,0.031433591774005704,-0.007687582499722737,-0.04839486964974995,0.050476587903442754,0.017398554927244528,0.15564456278216957,0.0775450377822584,0.08972754244708253,0.02093364412381468,0.021650868291809715,0.036251555757642086,0.12779775438556215,0.04092638156056288,0.054688787364706205,0.022705745695975735,0.03428214538608453,0.35521654833080685,0.0034751972627202737,0.09287225605899337,0.03946517840801143,0.009400767986269374,-1.4533997241486394,0.08974143141853243,-0.06227343193725184;-0.03551146295463838,-0.037589368553359696,0.004205725030461079,-0.03970661751120296,-0.09201228923800002,0.07336483287706357,-0.14642289396399047,-0.029582464583962666,-0.06671301377050569,-0.1667071810075169,-0.09735744236882106,-0.023603659484119348,-0.13147638234867592,-0.47292399033700006,-0.017699301695861452,0.08045022722403238,0.01186968334567546,-0.08703653788966163,0.07744036766579855,0.018459047548445465,0.022395770654787484,0.06336120436711604,-0.014050041563360559,-0.03681550421662724,-0.1739205790901074,-0.030523308252775598,-0.02408093468077591,0.06462435692868483,-0.011435765116957139,0.5760956851460421,-0.016264854423095193,0.584744013914571,0.037475999586150756,-0.044939251312132666,-0.01247683623039796,-0.1795627638063018,-0.018636492763566725,-0.4234876492614905,0.04619860119200711,0.0396071416594693,0.05479363236345948,0.004723785940357281,0.06684708234145235,-0.042588861185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x_a{135}=[-14.465004037347725,-14.923896199561907,34.51141966843958];
std_x_a{135}=[1.24641286859428,2.3215259732352944,2.0011637247821654];
pred_a{135}=[-14.465004037347725];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.4 to 13.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{136}=[-9.900934925539037,-2.3542673975352777,35.9881926127248];
std_x_f{136}=[1.0437280669457263,2.2879496893821267,1.4652384497312108];
pred_f{136}=[-9.900934925539037];
obs{136}=[-9.881240482505863];
sqrt_r{136}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{136}=[2.0894374829962508];
L_f{136}=[-0.008318970248094571,-0.010015813557665725,0.014532909296552434,-0.01083196926428009,-0.04160493813152427,0.051857243037897606,-0.07822539197883002,-0.005138629157703823,-0.02691691107564439,-0.09143154809917599,-0.04575785826354361,-0.00141148191154884,-0.06780368701835648,-0.3774037527114069,0.0016314304868651679,0.05525549568515892,0.018192096857714047,-0.0395798676307363,0.053672016948488326,0.02217509121608972,0.023818151615499758,0.045417813371438666,0.0037269193073189402,-0.01029118740996778,-0.10341768390538393,-0.006016637853487499,-0.0020788497505621418,0.047153392767624466,0.004849729965413367,0.293549002241791,0.002823692390033961,0.29885476224833035,0.03227704857986538,-0.01413234095310549,0.004660859218094537,-0.10024261872385364,5.96322908709789E-4,-0.28509959512424526,0.03675376024128911,0.03325426466819207,0.04172627441892942,0.014762450525873516,0.04784494505733027,-0.01264208850051942,0.016632206100404164,-0.0024994657421603308,0.008110286348631826,-0.05816405928883321,0.020708670764774957,0.0994608442713935,-0.013777087099149085,0.01285133457392731,0.003040443978159327,9.365519385059503E-6,-0.3778775060956386,-0.004709532522299638,0.17824143017323893,0.035949548054145,0.019262541102134784,0.28991871766207056,-0.05568691328161716,-0.11653973866790406,-0.001936858624980376,-0.2596850117392749,-0.08942122393177827,0.04913074145682081,-0.2776187059339735,0.008781455033276604,0.02310943940503024,0.00971084302211008,0.061060896503392234,-0.06582039861972752,-0.0012473409835315726,0.06535743841220623,-0.034467273397030006,-0.0034705320139699464,-0.003255667655725727,-0.030509868185868635,-0.05633744362840423,0.010561033148406845,-0.01267386625636171,0.09107063000065875,0.04876648885736641,0.04039015795679079,-0.010074618008228323,-0.009117786666273314,0.00110737177668369,0.06974968836944871,0.004126218540990668,0.014026576663126547,-0.00901143708294712,-8.273263038901204E-4,0.27153400927345267,-0.02279456583769061,0.042688587769374106,0.002969585897947673,-0.018616684284167226,0.24013358459686243,0.04008681818724249,-0.05342989335290702;-0.061351050935661844,-0.0619269620182361,-0.029627074079594997,-0.06489488208487307,-0.10219166616397056,0.026707050522135255,-0.13705166523365475,-0.05640888516035058,-0.08418334069762277,-0.14864613678532565,-0.10543769775815491,-0.05235603148017238,-0.12750486672327058,0.2013604474351312,-0.047474868736561704,0.03294687125322101,-0.02346344641379435,-0.09917570394998279,0.030908812592180528,-0.01829641117983183,-0.01520765601058713,0.018894551179562655,-0.043663972369352835,-0.06177726549213551,-0.14056039992291802,-0.05727311329841504,-0.0521381264045033,0.020272309883102704,-0.04235731908389459,0.4703773648153798,-0.04518634832306206,0.47698603387953703,-0.002664243461604499,-0.06784632614010232,-0.0425741127038314,-0.15520843773065515,-0.04780966790971187,-0.18063474308807626,0.0051068407940661155,-0.0010273325616539002,0.011664463190634154,-0.030087371003555984,0.020864692321491244,-0.06595345953203977,-0.026482436437094546,-0.05436613445709173,-0.03791206495696637,-0.08624359645315662,-0.018321650304841623,0.1065553259072108,-0.0667224807926282,-0.03162680834046213,-0.04569845436544549,-0.050219505874593985,0.17533641808888445,-0.05588921787620802,0.2592263648914423,0.003143579658742974,-0.021717272348870716,0.4589104777943042,-0.11658953450207875,-0.16620251981542056,-0.05171486164443104,-0.1947163716839105,-0.1467553806738838,0.023535271418410105,-0.18816422083905027,-0.037134336177413636,-0.016068445707695955,-0.03425942338526552,0.04299963473677819,-0.1261402477147086,-0.050280344655524584,0.048691302906755614,-0.09361289182025542,-0.05335999807242661,-0.0540117399130799,-0.08967321248388799,-0.11744992343296329,-0.03519612127855319,-0.0665700993860581,0.09259211459271545,0.06441257218393556,0.010717483874322838,-0.06243747568207173,-0.061713298577182565,-0.04751395992974868,0.057408024429274736,-0.04361289952050211,-0.02947190623787996,-0.06098333559628436,-0.05067755274318981,0.42194495358109035,-0.07816340651843919,0.014674133871666904,-0.04485555956263191,-0.07412527287889811,1.932565178430497,0.009129183515614939,-0.07931691067013298;-0.023881880808724953,-0.0217861311376643,-0.043407657924295136,-0.02089785738304186,0.008201575163979258,-0.07154088668821885,0.04967338427656873,-0.02622118430873215,-0.006933489803514861,0.06789935480335267,0.012846244189780193,-0.03008304548676002,0.03856466053861,0.740959583972087,-0.031987659751863136,-0.07375658049429948,-0.04607733323749029,0.006280680270934763,-0.07204332640341271,-0.04944276618303941,-0.05058628396626099,-0.06653404603003375,-0.03394041434623244,-0.02041100783312212,0.09347442259000216,-0.025807543175288498,-0.02923728241591058,-0.06766791617222945,-0.03525626741703406,-0.16437379722564013,-0.03415027454189957,-0.16546945229373575,-0.05732837996808439,-0.018085773834613215,-0.03506075643760838,0.0787024064578029,-0.0314602918886326,0.39402593336092445,-0.06017030443752552,-0.05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k{136}=[0.5214022873917237;0.5965697681097393;-0.5188046024397202];
x_a{136}=[-9.890666197892633,-2.3425182882219264,35.97797504503671];
L_a{136}=[0.02781696773830846,0.03349087138162434,-0.04859513341071933,0.036219932345093124,0.13911856723180477,-0.1734002182437443,0.26157001889627457,0.017182545103069356,0.09000475115025362,0.30572875583019604,0.15300509908454366,0.004719712371342254,0.22672192808478736,1.2619624425143603,-0.0054551762858889435,-0.18476329341246994,-0.06083072258842637,0.13234713770287687,-0.17946845816019164,-0.07414905674092291,-0.07964312112142105,-0.1518680571777733,-0.012462070549983684,0.034411666304195294,0.34580798956764536,0.020118430054715124,0.006951256552146302,-0.15767148652433585,-0.01621652415673806,-0.9815689780646616,-0.009441860924370108,-0.9993103752000727,-0.10792797572987799,0.04725571322356308,-0.01558497826485549,0.3351912085132975,-0.001993984185361643,0.9533158556003236,-0.1228972015049137,-0.11119559030135275,-0.13952429143703404,-0.04936267323598786,-0.15998389865689583,0.04227260796422921,-0.05561476080742189,0.008357712053196251,-0.027119170640141212,0.19448894665023173,-0.06924564091318129,-0.3325771115668998,0.046067815599253256,-0.042972284859297806,-0.010166634755060452,-3.131641811635338E-5,1.2635465787971063,0.015747732030335027,-0.5960035875707788,-0.12020807727470435,-0.06441007341246971,-0.9694300346590052,0.18620586731338803,0.3896855084315868,0.006476466711379785,0.8683345868832976,0.2990066350820358,-0.16428334388821575,0.9283012628017367,-0.029363424086293794,-0.0772733296560783,-0.032471111087298894,-0.20417538919508585,0.2200902095240604,0.004170858034444233,-0.21854216345914143,0.11525164816309362,0.011604762871880744,0.010886299559337825,0.10201887898574213,0.18838111029776025,-0.035313976322938166,0.04237886640520187,-0.3045219181083125,-0.16306535626409363,-0.1350565860103382,0.03368750166823316,0.030488049599479705,-0.003702829084330367,-0.23322896623826977,-0.013797247088633013,-0.04690205865401055,0.030132437926382954,0.002766413199955436,-0.9079552577487829,0.07622045560999802,-0.14274207424249535,-0.009929699548843367,0.0622504577709683,-0.8029585365021887,-0.134042278670412,0.1786588454261505;-0.02000560871902596,-0.012148175900337264,-0.10185591294313674,-0.011059786399652976,0.10458567696183933,-0.23102444527549978,0.251730038207972,-0.030869799362895363,0.049594225315825385,0.30577041670311966,0.12197973833926232,-0.04534093921834629,0.2094807625178523,2.0770643608666113,-0.05558310965022444,-0.241674005594558,-0.11387851787078593,0.09753699981807407,-0.23584214446314783,-0.128507041243506,-0.13358432787706911,-0.20683285526054207,-0.06218683304458043,-0.010629866029220647,0.3734274791739855,-0.02737030738721801,-0.04180620314048882,-0.21408095955414552,-0.06646057033632152,-0.9885668251483981,-0.05922015383840745,-1.0083278854165412,-0.16308179601722747,0.002391680348291598,-0.06573867270760637,0.3429993063156301,-0.050773404241160495,1.236315730907871,-0.1775600548650896,-0.16630166788102474,-0.19571592361847723,-0.10345703419393101,-0.2169256053032735,-0.0031220364102245426,-0.10914482081296727,-0.0419437416208364,-0.07822034417752641,0.20283289747495392,-0.12124414250686104,-0.3877669840665057,0.0017499072053812198,-0.0954981884736791,-0.06080951944476795,-0.05026605268616023,2.0533948949565275,-0.032482750613903565,-0.6266369730049942,-0.17552636595469073,-0.11745247229940584,-0.9819911279499728,0.16017549610195264,0.41300222396152886,-0.04208863700692112,1.0959231338308302,0.29766982301752526,-0.22064545905465946,1.1916060899250012,-0.08077833667609155,-0.13092280425025385,-0.08252250007284465,-0.2604741958921076,0.20098840002041332,-0.044081035964540896,-0.2761364236881496,0.0776901202236094,-0.03611138717885512,-0.037831009014659946,0.06196141950736598,0.162548255512885,-0.08768465925420549,-0.0035807402062007806,-0.36003066900088004,-0.17795781586046008,-0.1900223784068035,-0.012366430313290662,-0.01639772339041431,-0.053017618969242855,-0.2892492689740693,-0.06412028507087326,-0.09918426216983496,-0.01619631988515369,-0.04656572509245058,-0.9275842976911399,0.03512602433526589,-0.1974889688071423,-0.05961445861976632,0.018400006257986726,0.7390966420455627,-0.19010307427362882,0.18623068745592353;-0.059837785479962956,-0.06507606086986895,0.019405873760383163,-0.06771534111637297,-0.17162154533010748,0.1525943165373168,-0.2884291275704057,-0.04843115196399083,-0.12327263513243722,-0.3272822517363096,-0.184926453706432,-0.03618369346881658,-0.25449359476034045,-0.8902391041307935,-0.024936359252632538,0.1650664079486063,0.03255178561718003,-0.16478976534785178,0.15993561658594646,0.04640148401419555,0.05235953305095392,0.12976892408018598,-0.01783207986071724,-0.06489114689256836,-0.3535131579550655,-0.05181240323004178,-0.03822239971142693,0.13613650248962053,-0.01429496774685099,1.1043914016113616,-0.021945829596298816,1.1262280801511777,0.08217812711100647,-0.079167985807625,-0.014915785998478514,-0.35456204038352035,-0.028882889996402566,-0.8382195920325365,0.09868525822637632,0.087291778545529,0.11708131159125083,0.019394290586287385,0.138227515631541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x_a{136}=[-9.890666197892632,-2.3425182882219198,35.97797504503669];
std_x_a{136}=[3.49001728578681,4.4450153667895576,3.6228755138996642];
pred_a{136}=[-9.890666197892632];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.5 to 13.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{137}=[-3.2312099114548136,1.4687172713830208,28.227066838149298];
std_x_f{137}=[2.877441144174,3.3100685023444534,2.4416080302328456];
pred_f{137}=[-3.2312099114548136];
obs{137}=[-3.5791167895048197];
sqrt_r{137}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{137}=[9.282743580722238];
L_f{137}=[-0.05546208197376039,-0.05194566814428167,-0.09624730360482706,-0.050998899950003646,0.014737993531097435,-0.14902139992524918,0.11073809698031624,-0.061033016490064894,-0.017946391491623772,0.14888298149154622,0.025238134855783897,-0.06892857863271026,0.08203087673886877,1.5030489192737717,-0.07368376041688474,-0.15235262764206234,-0.10099472128574397,0.010705128453482433,-0.15031764870860578,-0.10790382845927869,-0.10998152229068917,-0.13977574693935857,-0.07710269990636133,-0.0505957895262129,0.19729775164279945,-0.05921536935051332,-0.06701829319213587,-0.14244283520593157,-0.07940127137725433,-0.1823305842998526,-0.07596817081167646,-0.17950190424473425,-0.12243006856451291,-0.043813577102175975,-0.07894598740950466,0.1755890452207393,-0.07160482157232836,0.9327630283401604,-0.1283273444720271,-0.1235077525083735,-0.13534127140626637,-0.09666110729843444,-0.14355756007798506,-0.04681862325044473,-0.09954861142431226,-0.06727984710288944,-0.08487002011241641,0.07744465364443126,-0.10444524089181216,-0.19421327075211833,-0.04392133455161017,-0.09327305937463609,-0.07598945834303292,-0.07108773013962348,1.4941125220497364,-0.06230319030225234,-0.21742470439761757,-0.12758817347069895,-0.1029746115893719,-0.1865165389394991,0.04951144130753953,0.22888374676627032,-0.06681538419645426,0.8104220047348418,0.1429468087463501,-0.1446751297541522,0.8947446810404059,-0.08617562728457333,-0.108304654266951,-0.08696433896775364,-0.15884561040461442,0.07606349932517234,-0.06804841771303195,-0.1645593421802677,-0.0017341072362473155,-0.06375335919585084,-0.06490301676560001,-0.009990607604353456,0.051458955154159214,-0.08953012089514642,-0.047244403846116105,-0.18786480760583912,-0.11965800808513617,-0.13362146576533426,-0.05153782233474366,-0.05388115784795283,-0.07239517556934091,-0.16779584661043204,-0.07757902945831562,-0.09454692531475761,-0.05400033655588976,-0.06961362157769983,-0.1988946031872805,-0.025687067583282264,-0.13576187047991503,-0.07607137899937898,-0.03506650064995727,0.5786381548059761,-0.13348242339807256,0.06635775615475047;-0.13578208964912877,-0.13456420310557662,-0.12803758352697195,-0.13619722213366073,-0.12181622434841784,-0.08792452247164724,-0.06557049595100116,-0.1344084608483974,-0.131777843953758,-0.03586108138198391,-0.11644563622426886,-0.13514512156137035,-0.08509342193576923,1.3701064238496343,-0.1334710808203495,-0.08121314954368275,-0.12411530099665358,-0.12227813161014461,-0.08354652106135038,-0.12253723154454324,-0.12045612160650623,-0.09511275790244146,-0.13242145600757635,-0.1331584579853343,0.014043662143032815,-0.1349163900100341,-0.13430422998800007,-0.0935514862491291,-0.13274974040137444,0.7460654430420627,-0.13360674729719732,0.7703455545480984,-0.11223821565135444,-0.13451485982515304,-0.13200256961030468,-0.013857940517454662,-0.1335988843292207,0.8638489987337943,-0.10642785972253814,-0.11028269209791827,-0.10048510707421725,-0.12850523788493037,-0.0926467362577496,-0.13467081501045203,-0.1273041565474873,-0.13664520215664816,-0.1307538752683573,-0.06756235986442703,-0.12135925477875212,0.009142525114072498,-0.13350671180806267,-0.1293314921916636,-0.1334311257280822,-0.13478013268675956,1.3666694557087655,-0.13531809140826223,0.26137306000937005,-0.10787265775398572,-0.12417337589020516,0.7269480669355298,-0.10500415155503941,0.03536028756889629,-0.13424776767372099,0.7155581116850177,-0.04062075456394435,-0.08992694810450312,0.8185783402176324,-0.1306217928016315,-0.12035172930070905,-0.12933722215186066,-0.07134611861404755,-0.08945163676530368,-0.13336109533871174,-0.0643217557652801,-0.12635089456644572,-0.13399097875637817,-0.13472347630718545,-0.1303130285280973,-0.1035393648042966,-0.13066509667608087,-0.13503786588245173,-0.012190422538219035,-0.056663913989234996,-0.10127759002687733,-0.13464133977965714,-0.13530560782453738,-0.13346310947800982,-0.05545023531667864,-0.1319507140602537,-0.1271075818161336,-0.13551609846717572,-0.13464271907795133,0.6418365234997095,-0.1323599501384186,-0.09837729095657521,-0.13258497571784988,-0.1345542630237993,1.4015298615133798,-0.1027205712813968,-0.0720561887402846;-0.07292074691777976,-0.0798516180571247,0.010076150906425907,-0.08162808604716619,-0.19337622999493553,0.14338116545023097,-0.3179729696216645,-0.061576197184423545,-0.14078793999217265,-0.35640561144362903,-0.20729201562224306,-0.04749704454370512,-0.2828183131330199,0.5032175593221951,-0.03733309667812137,0.15491340014137736,0.022882291826971792,-0.1859505627453996,0.14935336516584108,0.037615062137747526,0.04344464851159947,0.11966977707130838,-0.028634545976880706,-0.08038715335484023,-0.38892560027070394,-0.06521731271788808,-0.05030251210046966,0.12655999775321075,-0.02559200169697629,0.7601995288448022,-0.03291627635972555,0.7696288594890026,0.07356902247313438,-0.09423776284202272,-0.026355651029074598,-0.3838167545580788,-0.04121523808904262,-0.40785261779821036,0.0890194017956129,0.07785827090345038,0.1082783613456507,0.0103772429144164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k{137}=[0.8922732281351895;0.7650606592663551;-0.09949854987758959];
x_a{137}=[-3.5416379046229283,1.2025474058987837,28.261683068007713];
L_a{137}=[0.020551742925350478,0.019248718760536618,0.035664904211141095,0.018897889223560768,-0.0054612348384235196,0.05522060104214284,-0.04103453783539502,0.022616079675046568,0.006650122232123707,-0.055169309421555054,-0.009352113029525499,0.025541818443445857,-0.030396938424994503,-0.5569620521594506,0.027303874069808953,0.05645500359656081,0.037424082811461694,-0.0039668371638649485,0.05570093230297528,0.03998428591637492,0.040754185422148106,0.05179457957701057,0.02857077864613371,0.01874851470487257,-0.07310963684037226,0.021942541729631084,0.02483395292719471,0.05278288204354537,0.029422525430318217,0.06756348053671077,0.028150373398701255,0.06651529945078677,0.045367054497907164,0.016235333063587057,0.029253817752383456,-0.06506537060025547,0.026533513218388458,-0.34563985495150273,0.047552318629687014,0.04576639549955704,0.05015136320428251,0.03581824117271775,0.0531959487404248,0.017348867458982738,0.036888219802784526,0.024930872994808805,0.031448996744207265,-0.02869749125891462,0.03870268955284487,0.07196666751669219,0.016275263108047208,0.03456278361557792,0.028158261596482093,0.026341902485151447,-0.5536506269137474,0.023086748729102772,0.0805677766030194,0.047278415237377254,0.038157740746621926,0.06911460628947098,-0.018346704223933998,-0.08481398021727758,0.024758764016715975,-0.30030579649422434,-0.05296963187830226,0.0536100695932376,-0.3315519723415254,0.03193279580130669,0.040132813859502736,0.03222505673306557,0.0588610097868413,-0.02818569784079022,0.025215670554466045,0.060978260752161687,6.425818298925329E-4,0.023624115831796234,0.024050127008889262,0.0037020680047652596,-0.019068364906239803,0.03317581964526976,0.017506642519590422,0.06961421376973158,0.04433985406982655,0.04951408089975723,0.019097589521741738,0.019965923838475532,0.026826382717487288,0.06217756313422835,0.0287472848671612,0.035034820805510965,0.020010086085555448,0.025795664422486382,0.07370135790932936,0.009518467224643614,0.05030721822682485,0.028188617692207065,0.012994061546238627,-0.21441716901284172,0.04946255807756949,-0.024589187730831533;-0.07060565584284645,-0.07352009367364883,-0.014932272850011058,-0.076265710216073,-0.1391356221357466,0.08719842752043469,-0.19570470640285595,-0.06268532645282153,-0.11068808757445656,-0.2108213685319807,-0.1461043069283415,-0.054143493372556924,-0.18149225547345854,-0.39620607125286217,-0.04688138633897159,0.09782450280092238,-0.0054310480366132246,-0.1348582957728645,0.09309971961904186,0.004266279660606705,0.008788997804710041,0.06914513494815325,-0.04181398441806444,-0.07370066250459512,-0.21781138895582672,-0.06532926916205958,-0.055547479527138226,0.07384064346520303,-0.03944109557800303,0.9603317820536854,-0.044332521013479495,0.9812877616156889,0.03163585066063242,-0.08302720183987437,-0.039228953122168134,-0.22020193943823613,-0.049452261134881985,-0.23229030238949672,0.04437640825417044,0.03485781776850125,0.05856159840723236,-0.014913644542671614,0.07605536577009962,-0.07965176793198878,-0.010319303976073368,-0.05758108582446791,-0.031018613786254794,-0.1585716794261201,0.0013798867591925266,0.2373728391413354,-0.08189242232933452,-0.019721373640459658,-0.04413188333734134,-0.05124117105751375,-0.38914140509852907,-0.06210230840581138,0.5168803606679779,0.042062971179161614,-0.0031624488363366887,0.9461335432347886,-0.163187671938592,-0.2336131414758977,-0.05572946633440493,-0.23681176458009012,-0.20860513031247274,0.0800884693170428,-0.23288358479527244,-0.029352243092242963,0.00692281356773115,-0.027140815516413567,0.11532178211230898,-0.17883788864071623,-0.05339379092352556,0.12906065418268997,-0.1243130531895255,-0.05907102538134244,-0.05845249935301139,-0.11857253570783548,-0.16401151199004946,-0.02545350362856973,-0.07951846144591297,0.20857947577257496,0.08395255704483566,0.05574808064075255,-0.07407651158749523,-0.07198700179845235,-0.04838769938753207,0.14173556262628567,-0.04078348235341377,-0.016000475842718034,-0.07205743922107892,-0.052836060595113546,0.8755681195331161,-0.10217371477835095,0.06116368280163341,-0.043189464019400034,-0.09334575845465568,0.721541479318425,0.05414170332673462,-0.15003670709875006;-0.08139714754219111,-0.08779059687335357,-0.004633551206089085,-0.08942236805023158,-0.19112378772944852,0.12060587389203405,-0.3010486054257064,-0.07090401685283908,-0.14353072927508373,-0.3336514747006876,-0.20343481202588765,-0.05803156157172532,-0.2702813410240513,0.732932065962615,-0.04859435933865767,0.13162898920478686,0.007447030688132123,-0.1843144727488066,0.12637996485287642,0.02112386587574425,0.026635913407505107,0.09830752043631884,-0.04041833321262283,-0.08811982704234182,-0.35877212016854715,-0.07426733709264732,-0.06054507570508806,0.10479012373633304,-0.037727085024710186,0.7323335161815964,-0.04452667084163757,0.7421951606613438,0.05485774672048694,-0.10093389502981681,-0.0384211522356333,-0.3569810671914736,-0.05215877162919562,-0.26529624713057226,0.069406831475473,0.05898229017526665,0.08759383605142468,-0.004395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x_a{137}=[-3.541637904622929,1.2025474058987833,28.26168306800769];
std_x_a{137}=[1.0662497434890732,2.3909825798799798,2.4230744719703834];
pred_a{137}=[-3.541637904622929];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.6 to 13.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{138}=[-0.7615003335923332,0.5273851434400425,21.729683410051067];
std_x_f{138}=[1.6986433241095305,2.4726856495712877,2.0393030460307098];
pred_f{138}=[-0.7615003335923332];
obs{138}=[-1.1241202791587372];
sqrt_r{138}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{138}=[3.8869127079576744];
L_f{138}=[-0.0390328760892622,-0.041795158403288304,0.0085150063351244,-0.04364392776675611,-0.10306144307565987,0.08767831088973067,-0.1669541599373367,-0.032209834413519906,-0.07504861437799094,-0.18703374612836507,-0.11025006509536928,-0.024076707766481728,-0.14920609865086557,-0.2974634214578568,-0.01813275192296279,0.09467595815140763,0.016090197810293423,-0.09888600016086951,0.09155700148663597,0.024214166179401173,0.027571377948334676,0.07372787586841414,-0.01363440056662169,-0.0420263078491041,-0.20360411277775123,-0.03396473498871418,-0.025623216182102955,0.0779861167392478,-0.011397400563667195,0.613934189681675,-0.01608457987850283,0.6251102303468667,0.04563878263330972,-0.05003326832987856,-0.01187998864416898,-0.20057466373315117,-0.020167085123154196,-0.3293429054830411,0.05518354480062364,0.047926362229100725,0.06669148587343565,0.009079737295482568,0.07953673403650667,-0.04698852853010718,0.012524065436353286,-0.027107289065037083,-0.004897886968029776,-0.1306984501037786,0.021492665869607068,0.19304027620388617,-0.0495024684795122,0.004721680514550095,-0.01568927823915583,-0.02164515097298244,-0.29934997677619524,-0.031326975345000625,0.3671452540574401,0.053173462289079765,0.017831300463706876,0.6065999152565561,-0.1285368281832038,-0.22349743196211813,-0.025734231306386895,-0.328660798925936,-0.18431646162794918,0.08196178101516793,-0.3297463881738969,-0.003381464944687289,0.026029715284727993,-0.001546984617039891,0.10845331755716286,-0.1461572879311018,-0.023644997075673902,0.11838582091838941,-0.08884683393170816,-0.0285554179756554,-0.02748324042109294,-0.08232260799087707,-0.1294715349145753,1.1898517342186083E-4,-0.04619586359019891,0.17381301034724508,0.08028493683587783,0.06356526842094219,-0.04198602478630389,-0.04012884809743085,-0.019443219982861575,0.12661629343027772,-0.013089507656455526,0.007361381933884242,-0.03965842000068038,-0.022977686996352914,0.5690560031587542,-0.0672319351013279,0.06799112168531402,-0.015112006316482888,-0.05927310398509637,0.402978151244395,0.06299157679924737,-0.1219204618602435;-0.07249983382696683,-0.07770963246453819,0.002141930890347556,-0.07999231113341856,-0.17461590225871593,0.1268876606931907,-0.2740610259484732,-0.06144466511311618,-0.1300783531913872,-0.30419081200101306,-0.18560054893227404,-0.049421574344012044,-0.24670638083688648,-0.05890375704854687,-0.04012822033995135,0.13912981172407496,0.014671006189246563,-0.16783327081049523,0.1334463093634267,0.02682052253454086,0.03197484708649829,0.10558595599192691,-0.03272209309541923,-0.07730595420595662,-0.32514374804339796,-0.0653026834350236,-0.05115239759555127,0.11138884791126116,-0.03001839756178048,0.8958142347880695,-0.03616554021735382,0.9096745581776002,0.06123705537790089,-0.09050526018565104,-0.029712599904420607,-0.3242492724236986,-0.043322010736285735,-0.38955949063364315,0.07598032114904049,0.06506249211991086,0.09342202422364937,0.0027819885581937677,0.11401200803444725,-0.08538028087891684,0.008360830691010415,-0.05422344886290203,-0.01858344420640305,-0.21324104892684723,0.022972012374241357,0.28946625826397476,-0.08873626104256199,-0.003763785338124261,-0.035865502857670754,-0.04567830855897371,-0.06930056891525718,-0.06068128620491718,0.551196081524143,0.07317947714832564,0.017441301656940633,0.885048967594901,-0.21455328483070277,-0.35788394359858755,-0.05166254760162503,-0.4245639903176128,-0.2998605411941159,0.11827402457823247,-0.40184998294278135,-0.01642226332496907,0.029685253736939293,-0.013717455450513364,0.1588904411362911,-0.24206399249819577,-0.04866742122255027,0.17387758169821765,-0.1523051078645359,-0.05630902801280347,-0.055068807198208926,-0.14147212582637733,-0.21556403570632857,-0.01136234827004039,-0.08499948856608382,0.2603209722966222,0.12065229564898763,0.08901408462259063,-0.0775098257992912,-0.07435512149959529,-0.04147234796270014,0.18833480003978104,-0.0318045433249264,3.318636809220786E-4,-0.07435549095970855,-0.04800483511997504,0.8338046140571292,-0.11823052344235957,0.09566906854386546,-0.03492926020206838,-0.10425025323427647,0.7719696059448468,0.08762615229323292,-0.1991090242930358;-0.07500141655576749,-0.0792328500703149,-0.024358263088711623,-0.0797498469914891,-0.14175306184884134,0.0653560738756813,-0.20318810538361037,-0.06832887942702877,-0.11360485707461793,-0.22008140569702267,-0.1491390148144722,-0.06024661419327864,-0.1862393614359442,0.6027769224190351,-0.05359118031525954,0.07280524824996762,-0.01662936035348749,-0.1376046159746886,0.06878909153139369,-0.007085213943274342,-0.003890850075215681,0.04803015639224828,-0.04836787605845927,-0.0795792929503645,-0.23356257127139649,-0.07050338501029828,-0.06136768201441109,0.05298654474362051,-0.04683167215747305,0.7439491131461063,-0.05115316286659212,0.7607999485097285,0.016492602784690686,-0.08747337989438751,-0.047140876651267295,-0.23201395073116785,-0.056328710760065334,-0.11870725768756821,0.026883677315402532,0.019679717309156766,0.040073679604722,-0.02374421596829558,0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k{138}=[0.7427264064992513;1.0504911506401107;0.6692755885101277];
x_a{138}=[-1.0308277426878225,0.1464560995769364,21.4869907325766];
L_a{138}=[0.02841545720420445,0.03042636500153416,-0.0061988206443189765,0.03177224652479074,0.07502747218582732,-0.06382873978147494,0.12154058993537444,0.02344836617314175,0.05463447492866916,0.13615828351205278,0.08026070124358683,0.017527549279024543,0.10862021802145173,0.21654973881305212,0.013200422000241586,-0.0689229415471757,-0.01171346754566606,0.07198780072573578,-0.06665237917747194,-0.017627617325271773,-0.020071626501726742,-0.05367299341982513,0.009925677137391373,0.030594638975769896,0.14822130810974918,0.024725912364665606,0.018653388522833436,-0.056772940780958785,0.008297168448859329,-0.4469365939933052,0.01170937775991698,-0.4550726151388626,-0.03322447651059874,0.03642360844132735,0.00864848667909686,0.14601590619464858,0.014681391730910093,0.23975761393704148,-0.04017294682750239,-0.03488980652514242,-0.04855058741732699,-0.006609937888132592,-0.05790177124043089,0.03420707504316106,-0.009117366719672863,0.019733775461179943,0.003565601909856976,0.0951468758563102,-0.015646398329076557,-0.1405309640677062,0.03603719263129109,-0.0034373257631925983,0.011421602993078667,0.015757405622501185,0.21792312805008954,0.022805655550909243,-0.26727726213508324,-0.03870963130207003,-0.012980969018605326,-0.4415973317628131,0.09357324149138933,0.16270340157988603,0.018734206177825067,0.23926104869194348,0.13418013357361014,-0.05966717583123664,0.24005134440948822,0.0024616651922738974,-0.018949314906217898,0.001126185912627522,-0.07895269097393869,0.10640072104323656,0.017213269167274756,-0.08618343214571676,0.06467941028844726,0.020787995626554027,0.020007463458048023,0.059929853463879953,0.09425369657912182,-8.661975345021776E-5,0.03363002464529307,-0.1265337492876876,-0.05844645374286742,-0.04627473928281527,0.030565313397904796,0.02921331144440705,0.014154426747121671,-0.09217511564085845,0.009529001751896079,-0.005358996165891935,0.028870845533867987,0.01672747557733995,-0.4142658221642427,0.04894402785638406,-0.04949670641990908,0.011001356081823926,0.043150095980557274,-0.2933631737699337,-0.04585709878695744,0.08875660759365978;0.02289717458717108,0.024438440579085712,-0.018668888408253266,0.0266741854596068,0.07726800529086385,-0.08739961197811548,0.13397776073726864,0.01727671420665784,0.05334172789395526,0.15292282247297254,0.08385247224685285,0.00942230608466215,0.11795584430601007,0.6681018690503169,0.004188531615772829,-0.09225982904264815,-0.024653709017070816,0.07384578373352861,-0.09032054863647893,-0.03235930857693411,-0.035410066290413475,-0.0746062178691864,6.006121697853845E-4,0.025407051987277798,0.17246814238953573,0.017707702530198,0.011471175520901487,-0.07921053855840736,-0.0021629580859645614,-0.60465129393328,0.003145444668782033,-0.6181054026889959,-0.050304900201400736,0.03177689265743097,-6.777070091100131E-4,0.16595859337787017,0.00596668591990109,0.415360132856397,-0.05888919437495783,-0.052070346627944165,-0.06957309364750634,-0.019409042745635374,-0.08037711329911995,0.029460476468906045,-0.0222481967626361,0.012027223444927211,-0.006612925732895638,0.10618817057908916,-0.02955642601488363,-0.18232743716283165,0.03224860800119608,-0.015303652263260404,0.0024793581453909446,0.007222805998222431,0.6623158302449023,0.015882370640207023,-0.34611312035051894,-0.05677736276785057,-0.02613869784094984,-0.5974914705580606,0.09959289419229111,0.1883475549123234,0.011232348353585242,0.37868855322631434,0.15061200406684394,-0.08204195252940005,0.4040557590583955,-0.008157905888362358,-0.03393181005196051,-0.009936598918424433,-0.10617129871300551,0.11514688775222365,0.009121350986342931,-0.11545936412251462,0.0648380548573193,0.013480895810980961,0.012100696573511212,0.05972571850413329,0.10086658235501543,-0.011653150043502529,0.02790398228076218,-0.1644809606345823,-0.07556544596313283,-0.06634050499392274,0.025104727908092237,0.023720461013100737,0.006047210064776055,-0.12111755960988348,1.864344647767463E-4,-0.01765947809672432,0.022570357339158985,0.008153019984417831,-0.5569778688249177,0.0460854614697684,-0.0705023812019272,0.0020047384720546946,0.04061421400783457,-0.21291580186015957,-0.06632632531040239,0.09886664368846945;-0.01422328538391227,-0.014153566289781162,-0.03761698813838215,-0.01179184254936669,0.018724016286231628,-0.0711679134419922,0.056776387346911185,-0.018174913407927686,0.003253416922421967,0.07114903117258854,0.022531473999835332,-0.022756747972013575,0.04608960696251277,1.0659575193817064,-0.025356653800732244,-0.07461478275641478,-0.04168342377578664,0.016370875738841204,-0.07377440887095885,-0.04478911679950284,-0.04682227080118342,-0.06677159432438583,-0.027137737029177943,-0.014140086131979365,0.08346960040963437,-0.017616861515575514,-0.021469745961754237,-0.06844571717636497,-0.029084768114516334,-0.21200843981587958,-0.026107847131615004,-0.21255982877151092,-0.05457159220488053,-0.009566526744344108,-0.02864253421592489,0.08030106275249882,-0.02492652194451376,0.3941129163675729,-0.05904267658048446,-0.05494647020233605,-0.0637717010736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x_a{138}=[-1.0308277426878223,0.14645609957693684,21.486990732576604];
std_x_a{138}=[1.2365915996315775,1.845103420884719,1.7499568259821512];
pred_a{138}=[-1.0308277426878223];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.7 to 13.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{139}=[-0.5586928052797635,-0.5670336929608936,16.786081453060234];
std_x_f{139}=[1.933891118162687,2.8238562902986417,1.6328631627110284];
pred_f{139}=[-0.5586928052797635];
obs{139}=[-0.6834513181868392];
sqrt_r{139}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{139}=[4.741327344010413];
L_f{139}=[0.03731604349186344,0.0396420690339836,-0.013030039433951889,0.04219108207152335,0.1030387751043955,-0.09667310688527535,0.1681637430257933,0.03041393494225487,0.07397137438007292,0.18920204340873847,0.11059599156064649,0.021288737292531962,0.15028023500585164,0.4935877123120568,0.014974242323944316,-0.10315907115827258,-0.020828763074199227,0.09865814804818167,-0.100785566640274,-0.02948496055581062,-0.032934968313745164,-0.08142790793272173,0.01051424032850984,0.04104322807713397,0.20924417175117005,0.03134418598192097,0.02331244332726963,-0.08670534346583475,0.007400064358208987,-0.6889137541868251,0.013321187053876457,-0.7019093915488772,-0.05160083871659009,0.04796207271471731,0.008986979557894108,0.20382716180147234,0.01716379425794887,0.40118089426640424,-0.0618235600698348,-0.053467412921179305,-0.07434973145554953,-0.013373139029581677,-0.08771051890439184,0.045788525724432025,-0.017098421252688872,0.024454542206102797,0.0020649868896457646,0.13426729564328985,-0.02656994199565089,-0.21146479404186386,0.048410501672674175,-0.00852584925515378,0.012638750355447974,0.018795611629622757,0.49245730505653945,0.028378792029350577,-0.40702069671621904,-0.05972239099825282,-0.02219937578511676,-0.6808647123617071,0.12862688346670936,0.22782125616294843,0.02344492948462918,0.3825854992223274,0.18647531477378124,-0.09041185651745226,0.3960447671110274,-1.3912257983257254E-4,-0.03071678194091099,-0.0027698196295049106,-0.1196507386986641,0.1467474608725032,0.020521407960113352,-0.13038418856358808,0.0879290982573694,0.02599643113624871,0.02492820594570814,0.08149370067538451,0.13002537906329456,-0.004271591318886026,0.044057602457313175,-0.19010383734274391,-0.08516795435367037,-0.07110217469910146,0.040388754912280736,0.038565597438978236,0.015809873298679427,-0.13840829303879185,0.00986083218876652,-0.011618455871860155,0.03753814372159284,0.019819291171641055,-0.6385859469761539,0.06564040351033514,-0.07643396633732828,0.012007519945342944,0.058596810511200643,-0.3346434587958648,-0.07060925255776235,0.12585566594803646;0.058056644228254434,0.061892976111852405,-0.0174554196587906,0.06576578722276177,0.15670932269530682,-0.14539976982021868,0.25220627130997453,0.04845040698247092,0.11356054397424883,0.28303357941203544,0.1677730048266539,0.0342379673681979,0.22645833908599786,0.6633752906333718,0.024416566351716233,-0.15526174344457244,-0.029059383461390927,0.15052355733302303,-0.15149313280028143,-0.042398088790678974,-0.048379455746208076,-0.12212240410183385,0.017759489961320655,0.06346234054419188,0.3128723887795646,0.049591769367516844,0.03798960638495477,-0.13013240892421662,0.013159167826074115,-1.011318058506114,0.02268303701033419,-1.0276852149693414,-0.07576692136644055,0.07438004832518998,0.015681698283627796,0.3036012172444648,0.02795364261244182,0.5802496550469175,-0.09228467191130611,-0.07935987618926638,-0.11179178039226259,-0.018355580923717554,-0.13224881907876518,0.07107691030199934,-0.023920662746802938,0.03923675484641903,0.005666805391763172,0.20380351176215375,-0.038580251631643046,-0.32205134421144804,0.07547275172438737,-0.011991318580166825,0.02154453706991486,0.030246063623009183,0.6633081490875514,0.045356721043127074,-0.6176836228158852,-0.08868839432982088,-0.03148366271154873,-1.0011921750343438,0.19403979792262377,0.3382066399421227,0.03731303361356161,0.556233712045176,0.279952320508946,-0.13592281400386774,0.5741200086595242,0.0016402033794344808,-0.045293936060668935,-0.0018599861850308792,-0.18114391988886344,0.2209707839085952,0.033500328352912535,-0.19731889919072382,0.13456885678476047,0.041073380179749305,0.039535732742995974,0.1253710462496469,0.19685014803233533,-0.004403896590375335,0.06834977911099521,-0.28907171644900204,-0.12715849093455456,-0.10659185572746643,0.063059514976374,0.060260031313152974,0.02704631803440936,-0.20888024132366184,0.017198531199385924,-0.015403017034456292,0.059045037688946055,0.031757817510938154,-0.9456423511689312,0.10117932497537573,-0.11455330799441531,0.02040014005906876,0.0903363682861812,-0.47937924116652997,-0.10571650736640169,0.19087896398201118;-0.04452629493818843,-0.04434000083087723,-0.059054273355887435,-0.04286284651456278,-0.01734283303650256,-0.06988118022451809,0.02112624819747534,-0.04738272011624577,-0.030852187511966337,0.0364636370024361,-0.01362962129840973,-0.050705578302884816,0.009532769451713725,0.9551749409710815,-0.05181756846125156,-0.07098569387437073,-0.06106228286049145,-0.019306560414039754,-0.07084929356814153,-0.06281639732153184,-0.06365504998098731,-0.07030050024763648,-0.05273228408300406,-0.0448590967330473,0.0508544060107643,-0.046694153610329824,-0.048905066248173756,-0.07051831402940269,-0.0544940927932753,0.266642240996938,-0.05268389742092887,0.2838289233215403,-0.06638326033364421,-0.04146295431575783,-0.05470421764412451,0.04713292444688207,-0.051858178087966084,0.3727399516973382,-0.06842939371960553,-0.06635216057725549,-0.06949500962065175,-0.059414384280758896,-0.07053264847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k{139}=[0.7890885974655866;1.1515845810822825;0.17087313278952454];
x_a{139}=[-0.6571383252515002,-0.7107036727834369,16.76476357511764];
L_a{139}=[-0.02253798790744282,-0.023942851087862614,0.007869828730903356,-0.02548239332332376,-0.06223292852059589,0.05838821884829072,-0.10156683431918677,-0.018369281247508192,-0.04467692137936647,-0.11427345901071785,-0.06679730451458492,-0.012857882528956551,-0.09076562792698166,-0.29811504249578685,-0.009044080262522111,0.06230558442818649,0.012580069223996158,-0.059587135709214874,0.060872045094452557,0.017808203182183277,0.01989192444126764,0.04918048733425368,-0.006350346907264483,-0.024789117267658946,-0.12637841987881285,-0.018931130380507984,-0.01408015203748786,0.052367930779418,-0.0044694599269608235,0.41608724849190387,-0.008045674852922638,0.42393629920327786,0.031165658793971273,-0.02896793212002466,-0.005427918333421914,-0.12310667686116414,-0.010366516683791427,-0.24230355894093744,0.03733993528957103,0.03229302447679224,0.04490543990367496,0.008077052589966594,0.05297503243755613,-0.027655162297736697,0.010327032969438172,-0.014769952142524669,-0.0012472021466588014,-0.08109419977049129,0.016047602461659944,0.12771962204419138,-0.029238772366900912,0.005149406781435184,-0.007633499589483021,-0.01135209491632712,-0.29743230384851094,-0.017140104141126485,0.2458306584048579,0.03607087997996594,0.013407886157781983,0.41122582186824397,-0.0776875272100284,-0.13759852963989996,-0.014160170472805806,-0.2310723900007223,-0.11262658085186512,0.0546065750331785,-0.2392014623388629,8.402667401225151E-5,0.01855219351137165,0.00167290407755019,0.07226615282767301,-0.08863191777857102,-0.012394434167426716,0.07874889699409418,-0.05310704908115596,-0.015701215770991227,-0.015056033587299233,-0.049220224559848515,-0.07853218473250467,0.002579937862693805,-0.026609726500891197,0.11481812074003687,0.05143938493219973,0.04294399415389931,-0.024393831302295915,-0.023292688275286296,-0.009548781164367949,0.08359526206143157,-0.005955704191313902,0.007017266393749333,-0.02267213107546053,-0.011970372605496958,0.38569046994356926,-0.039645216430251456,0.046164267372134804,-0.00725225168594109,-0.035391056584123816,0.20211655689839114,0.04264628110017663,-0.07601377884122415;-0.02929347069729022,-0.030901944302467798,0.013045548169919423,-0.032995912113992165,-0.08448583104918904,0.08089450487906757,-0.1414346644665021,-0.022743119017231132,-0.05959307706032649,-0.15985421600777613,-0.09111222707724487,-0.015595119827336874,-0.12532053590811199,-0.4920243541788074,-0.010635429131264132,0.08621500162493999,0.019696987204887013,-0.08041734003808086,0.08442766707722042,0.02662087603303796,0.02871535383354023,0.06848561460788835,-0.006852446758347568,-0.0326124400052175,-0.17693040754182,-0.0237793062226762,-0.016580610960736226,0.07282913275291467,-0.00416304566869049,0.601304555548047,-0.008499454787182002,0.6153578378795569,0.04502131796368649,-0.037890497307853245,-0.00535519694313283,-0.1735213376209336,-0.01222369830305863,-0.3588423263348756,0.05243311089393386,0.0457976760698555,0.06224750618809836,0.012948521061369674,0.07306565666806321,-0.036105754579728956,0.016103651776075256,-0.01800690960103034,8.330442195844506E-4,-0.11049196567078301,0.023615181477207828,0.17294952763315238,-0.03784748506956415,0.007966153932639402,-0.008040493730694069,-0.01375106689543472,-0.4894454166004133,-0.021072903141238088,0.335078280867425,0.05111093135333161,0.020481064645683673,0.5925890865431573,-0.10705249380925691,-0.19508175416789705,-0.017567309886686144,-0.3393298096664434,-0.156552695887515,0.07571500497212608,-0.35294922713317084,0.001965864199820263,0.026608500039409826,0.004623661070151395,0.09893683890148168,-0.12253850520025727,-0.014536579529369782,0.1078869262335775,-0.07125727373080287,-0.019779567638806603,-0.018816692929357025,-0.0653909813821124,-0.10751576918750023,0.0055951268243391705,-0.03478110717466888,0.15592701561905567,0.07220430063226273,0.059845487309098916,-0.031483262155307494,-0.030015063612212626,-0.009961738564599257,0.11510856274724938,-0.005883895133890191,0.01179368874400174,-0.028824973741598946,-0.014635561839773657,0.5491719602777659,-0.052472998632755584,0.06436479582965747,-0.007707294412787135,-0.04682817686555212,0.30396062687908065,0.059566994006732744,-0.10372640828873939;-0.05748738180236434,-0.058108992721379496,-0.054528512928368036,-0.0575171943084766,-0.05313158204462082,-0.03630343675225008,-0.037282540002095216,-0.05794647810827192,-0.0565448740641095,-0.02925244353635168,-0.0520432396596312,-0.05809985560179688,-0.04266448935747032,0.7837357256705288,-0.05701861437406894,-0.035155162097828756,-0.05382776970700282,-0.053573773844369996,-0.03584315782482217,-0.05257530262900409,-0.052215654342047335,-0.042017914819890645,-0.056384224896031385,-0.05911475715454637,-0.021822963616611974,-0.05758101832542549,-0.057002243084372864,-0.04040270200065434,-0.05706437806395631,0.505924602533679,-0.057310782974239825,0.5276250963169262,-0.0484605951664259,-0.05812175660215089,-0.0578256906567131,-0.023662939802855408,-0.05781972726304459,0.23339665770722598,-0.04695604184905084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x_a{139}=[-0.6571383252515004,-0.7107036727834369,16.764763575117648];
std_x_a{139}=[1.1680234707885202,1.7073679465515552,1.597961157335313];
pred_a{139}=[-0.6571383252515004];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.8 to 13.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 13.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{140}=[-1.0085087827322061,-1.669902163983694,13.224695745409218];
std_x_f{140}=[1.8953704532355549,2.91637831814222,1.853986517979513];
pred_f{140}=[-1.0085087827322061];
obs{140}=[-1.03943785381436];
sqrt_r{140}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{140}=[4.593929529675044];
L_f{140}=[-0.03873467021536822,-0.041318394346050315,0.014828573341306456,-0.044071657100272874,-0.10878194538986323,0.1028426914610278,-0.17786557311602727,-0.030513492263784827,-0.07800474166794373,-0.19990532809558104,-0.11648398548816638,-0.021794762294306293,-0.15898496926946312,-0.4435374045728603,-0.014594756814799596,0.10981481275249315,0.02333253465276606,-0.10387953338625545,0.1072943379177955,0.032302175515165926,0.03570693315254987,0.08671728165971088,-0.01019909900745118,-0.04344476075371406,-0.22021298136638517,-0.031778264198798874,-0.023049624570690232,0.09236567913882693,-0.0069827385749162306,0.6571258677942678,-0.013081396148000043,0.6670020222234666,0.05598116697311972,-0.05027425075250111,-0.008202674009822646,-0.21607050584361082,-0.017489109620092456,-0.40025769153443314,0.06607648917101437,0.05743550862129355,0.07896048647982591,0.015223691868586037,0.09340743490807739,-0.04774606292575303,0.019260688165795816,-0.02463258258415969,-7.52130970619973E-4,-0.14132832246768487,0.02877926289089404,0.22062043285997585,-0.049961232193151975,0.009090386507282196,-0.012068338809193457,-0.019075068132601087,-0.4440042731741901,-0.028880895250504024,0.41168101337998114,0.06462284490001627,0.024763658406687053,0.6500654877550431,-0.13581170291980546,-0.240835872377107,-0.02411370101842932,-0.3865786706456611,-0.1963462979940089,0.09658047270782358,-0.3963560547134018,0.0011800474778037781,0.032823442080411346,0.004185248897802065,0.12617769767906392,-0.15496109812850073,-0.020508262633498153,0.13713672297631838,-0.09230322125476427,-0.02693950756578407,-0.025569469396843205,-0.08517281561845606,-0.1372105616819421,0.005600859601047295,-0.045631469418861106,0.19944517266897188,0.09109375372216116,0.07585993351100795,-0.041551780257540596,-0.04014186038268759,-0.014819157608878435,0.1469807278788706,-0.009193489741667485,0.013628364163011691,-0.03820235707445851,-0.020183713012885934,0.6157569120174305,-0.06842788265198224,0.08146427945077397,-0.01145576127201334,-0.06124222029086994,0.3660035463678615,0.07532332846012228,-0.13302182758838424;-0.0662166125666274,-0.06996411415173298,0.025167585789964943,-0.07478187628724933,-0.18371132006229546,0.17434968248103655,-0.2982203817437087,-0.05187655187171083,-0.13187916548326825,-0.3340200440313414,-0.19717464066722457,-0.03739069834232652,-0.2674864052115477,-0.5754542139069939,-0.025682934990988518,0.18567179192657282,0.039479808634790566,-0.17569175597507658,0.18145489575986473,0.054783757523440724,0.05983769089529208,0.14656834487451126,-0.017622248136539103,-0.07429020742847697,-0.36682576069170636,-0.05428582166195713,-0.03955366794673875,0.1564906358009258,-0.011910514740260706,0.9809592118630568,-0.022437084331209348,0.990301475026318,0.09444335525236908,-0.08519862513117572,-0.014357335582349435,-0.360065463102225,-0.02996144761880918,-0.6135992834012368,0.11195652432650255,0.09746439771541547,0.13392782344139575,0.02509853967897328,0.15722480043198198,-0.08152667252859232,0.032127191668005456,-0.04224641428705885,-0.0011421718571003549,-0.23791648857925607,0.04848497676444291,0.3718485668058773,-0.08516782404595626,0.014833999113787893,-0.020779671601052783,-0.032953608727027954,-0.5793971732142507,-0.04958256800783525,0.6723719195819748,0.10869127896541877,0.04159797052176148,0.9742674181437453,-0.22930397601971836,-0.3997173255228321,-0.04164488862677403,-0.6036344245164236,-0.3285247123235669,0.16233678180403033,-0.6122631405999388,0.0013490277715071624,0.055812039142730946,0.006172484945588076,0.213265183591789,-0.2612381541369023,-0.03493670434187192,0.23204173600237057,-0.15625254750831444,-0.04592162497888457,-0.04385824194898445,-0.14440229503654728,-0.2315719467794439,0.009303650211527981,-0.07807736493018866,0.33594375927245945,0.15462711771335513,0.12795616391188527,-0.07137005338921677,-0.06851572873503226,-0.025142980954537254,0.24807301877453106,-0.01608462402093309,0.022855051940029878,-0.06512263641279495,-0.0342653969802391,0.9384262920933271,-0.11635160277648915,0.13770527698611792,-0.01959417133351234,-0.10396652857498055,0.6136411523898243,0.12755113616863145,-0.22433167734610523;-0.06677577230988739,-0.06721211494083218,-0.07462363745326545,-0.06543559099551395,-0.04326081915772783,-0.06669938199852712,-0.0033233200931781152,-0.06867396775928243,-0.056224032873624825,0.013485358731375133,-0.0397699137036382,-0.07085635223633982,-0.01594969098338415,0.8197584584379591,-0.07139366781254584,-0.06622029466306702,-0.07482626806988363,-0.04538019500922534,-0.06584520453952558,-0.07530011236285238,-0.07451271379260642,-0.07094632490670666,-0.07185590498285489,-0.06730151411278837,0.030036208684924078,-0.06792610477527221,-0.06984131786753124,-0.06922079726152824,-0.07288359002579534,0.6119444021851912,-0.07178096951057904,0.6386848169578434,-0.07404206943186158,-0.06438900561115514,-0.0729176804393867,0.02563856308128085,-0.07169248323875384,0.34969488211826216,-0.07344204884091073,-0.07345085767446083,-0.07134503324020455,-0.07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k{140}=[0.7823214323292559;1.2006328671093176;0.10032772756073202];
x_a{140}=[-1.0327052579218101,-1.7070366232740883,13.22159270199198];
L_a{140}=[0.024050315398532914,0.025654546953887587,-0.009207045362353465,0.027364044859662425,0.0675425937989316,-0.06385491737297395,0.11043654452707996,0.018945794782152345,0.04843306085386014,0.12412100487274597,0.07232478227624174,0.01353234464885546,0.09871359774839665,0.27539190114988243,0.009061868930577541,-0.06818390004209798,-0.014487145865090739,0.06449869141781533,-0.06661893990712063,-0.020056386304026858,-0.022170396687472987,-0.053842667636602067,0.00633260968910345,0.02697480558711644,0.1367300051159728,0.019731090326820043,0.014311487297055349,-0.057349751603335414,0.004335574929087864,-0.40800875001941866,0.008122224907641733,-0.41414084376453614,-0.034758646829714926,0.031215228638834847,0.005093031538688926,0.1341579464847908,0.010858969498489648,0.24851957351304682,-0.04102682160851667,-0.03566164600697204,-0.04902648178757339,-0.009452374034265331,-0.05799657664868644,0.029645479515324823,-0.01195894072686319,0.015294344238263341,4.669973169731418E-4,0.08775060459259595,-0.01786901361531872,-0.1369829913135052,0.031020875749392947,-0.005644211280982207,0.007493218687125986,0.011843689446348844,0.27568177936619964,0.017932117038937097,-0.25561230185581657,-0.04012425543200393,-0.0153757290765847,-0.40362496758800204,0.08432534140273223,0.1495347361354885,0.014972171227859205,0.24002628404165305,0.12191120688092719,-0.059966712432238105,0.24609705137475002,-7.326902196048812E-4,-0.020380040158084717,-0.002598616574088279,-0.07834359783030304,0.0962151804513054,0.012733558382430392,-0.08514804494174123,0.057310971569776846,0.016726711497371052,0.01587605626039963,0.05288371031986303,0.08519389131526119,-0.00347756774897347,0.028332530663619765,-0.1238352948594488,-0.05656001446954442,-0.04710135175818832,0.025799456017258002,0.024924038271648234,0.009201199144137579,-0.09126017708007417,0.0057082279691787864,-0.008461836764430497,0.023719802737434223,0.012532045869356242,-0.38232280952711595,0.04248679931140937,-0.050581084171151626,0.007112869948042198,0.03802522922003543,-0.22725121133563164,-0.046768174254765794,0.08259311078684742;0.030139839108992154,0.03281961541103616,-0.011720006195085191,0.03485087581921048,0.0868948889452487,-0.08148202525926863,0.14423841306257953,0.02402887926845765,0.06216560317502503,0.1632648942227173,0.09259118039870214,0.01682600075737884,0.12800495752335156,0.527890419013053,0.010623014483306742,-0.08750378022673258,-0.018562256399933058,0.08271920204173694,-0.08545073759549013,-0.02557120604636794,-0.028986955336836536,-0.06914975762193942,0.007749053211378939,0.033783075933651804,0.18097654095162735,0.024765858953403937,0.017784629339336812,-0.07327843281231404,0.005459761250638227,-0.6537085566467155,0.010104225786471613,-0.6689342371811003,-0.044815520070391156,0.03986371272343624,0.006047654506471562,0.17743200722827418,0.013544500323647837,0.3820826392198777,-0.05241549692218573,-0.04541230112211681,-0.062494458134093184,-0.012771950032281156,-0.07513574214707337,0.03724653967191018,-0.01578573900025019,0.019029652869815613,7.288308162495733E-4,0.11365216034784542,-0.023106381535185717,-0.17696731207805338,0.039115848145057974,-0.007779266555739271,0.00924155483013759,0.014497573134303204,0.5251088430755987,0.022261611175332395,-0.35172668383868033,-0.052064653565509135,-0.020004161142413067,-0.6428369332960365,0.10854151786507893,0.19938652561188655,0.018340407594510354,0.35801953535426007,0.15990677474354587,-0.0779170166544791,0.37371306159781176,-0.0015864609557162655,-0.025839628292759795,-0.004238749509984999,-0.10061473745449578,0.12424341780883359,0.016079695343688027,-0.1090998807184996,0.07336115073378294,0.02109315388704126,0.019748426924386477,0.06747379030469458,0.10975335126956613,-0.00462906057417328,0.03543557976506543,-0.1601964953201453,-0.07197790640784404,-0.06075317521058954,0.03199424748543349,0.0313412523268403,0.011721188433608221,-0.11755656641007971,0.0067851214834916,-0.011046897026866655,0.029909631910980474,0.015943652348109003,-0.5933319701261311,0.05386975011900292,-0.06494544554599979,0.00890320585536665,0.04837975466828214,-0.29683008262040456,-0.05982334303720853,0.10657371646662722;-0.05872399886834758,-0.05862326292807949,-0.07770605205345728,-0.0562744184286229,-0.020648323067297816,-0.08807728575137246,0.03364958531216192,-0.062331130057241196,-0.040009192169316324,0.055039666606795185,-0.015556395026352969,-0.06632587638020761,0.017098504497571894,0.9119565506022314,-0.06835985663889353,-0.08904749282667451,-0.07967640056865992,-0.023786762991127704,-0.08814847175906498,-0.08201476353893972,-0.08193511172288422,-0.0889722407466498,-0.06973581891889125,-0.05827065444970497,0.07581186715805678,-0.06132035901129766,-0.06504999386957748,-0.08842084512729545,-0.0714320886009964,0.4753476897145304,-0.06906174052277358,0.5000351488922216,-0.08567887106085051,-0.05393850029507596,-0.07121259111308871,0.07055312543016494,-0.06805702313099316,0.43289642307756204,-0.08717736445504147,-0.08538997320963763,-0.087758544557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x_a{140}=[-1.0327052579218106,-1.7070366232740892,13.22159270199198];
std_x_a{140}=[1.1768334916477374,1.8185752677723808,1.8444392074059757];
pred_a{140}=[-1.0327052579218106];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 13.9 to 14.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{141}=[-2.1540988694727363,-3.8462065734907966,10.872292085515792];
std_x_f{141}=[2.104453402068514,3.3816736369585314,2.3675041204042544];
pred_f{141}=[-2.1540988694727363];
obs{141}=[-2.219526514862663];
sqrt_r{141}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{141}=[5.430253248078824];
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k{141}=[0.8158465260614155;1.3049467139815787;-0.3216482730121551];
x_a{141}=[-2.207477786672486,-3.931586164345933,10.893336774662712];
L_a{141}=[-0.021113422071062156,-0.023197143852525876,0.011711405886458602,-0.02470699471788014,-0.06528158718853198,0.06615517472960446,-0.10791092564120974,-0.016056475445327487,-0.04557785904237747,-0.12259560406391554,-0.06983072593942305,-0.010505080107744272,-0.09663236664564206,-0.2997190986621062,-0.005983035872688135,0.07031841522022589,0.017236898556079846,-0.0621268669301316,0.06894812688736285,0.02267222834900857,0.02526884921702409,0.05660888122692991,-0.003539805529740028,-0.02420613951959194,-0.13517961619504987,-0.016917585293027757,-0.011467760411964024,0.05982873853107819,-0.0015978562028845737,0.36854878247464246,-0.005492346497391269,0.3730927319166468,0.037574347004187,-0.028552149795285597,-0.0020584130255269935,-0.132569490112582,-0.008100818820383585,-0.2539600136818727,0.04357673498194241,0.03808242664200611,0.05153823232182164,0.012464396315912694,0.060921971131284954,-0.0266396001332405,0.014938581506419465,-0.01248848524499571,0.0022976413564634876,-0.085623447384536,0.020394447853809682,0.13680936699846752,-0.028234094624175587,0.008631739931268728,-0.004662186842149296,-0.00923595174939946,-0.2991950859873708,-0.015105998136330337,0.24597075742030777,0.04314177317878927,0.01823368573705509,0.3652030901959776,-0.08211613344657029,-0.14811901556954313,-0.0118467215808186,-0.243397398948275,-0.120009314980043,0.0629657168061922,-0.25038374358618143,0.0036799244490367143,0.023038724145645884,0.0057692638619210685,0.08070051790226034,-0.09375323622180125,-0.009872159112117982,0.08705083753450758,-0.05486947010340724,-0.013860920753239267,-0.013013752544436909,-0.05013114694812495,-0.0828490223110885,0.006195144887826517,-0.02555296299753137,0.12468453403495121,0.05904539117215519,0.0500634645944001,-0.022727743167220756,-0.021880775844387454,-0.006654126063310982,0.09344582172411905,-0.002944652231114469,0.011166089238575332,-0.020939210471455017,-0.009843812902302441,0.3494841562185977,-0.039724172428471975,0.05345809851570252,-0.004365163730458224,-0.035302084570866504,0.21998008859600718,0.04954593093527012,-0.08022235830711039;-0.0352754148827307,-0.038736490481452494,0.004376512049748429,-0.04016355053303447,-0.0893349520668638,0.07392688540138484,-0.14094923913187904,-0.029264999162055032,-0.06390005950912443,-0.16093693462424424,-0.09530316108825446,-0.0229245319591379,-0.12794825007281915,-0.4566276791529507,-0.017040996474553146,0.07906337991834429,0.011120340950912718,-0.08573372651348259,0.07761377917073507,0.017994257863227416,0.02147337470955975,0.060537857499786206,-0.01385471418647865,-0.04003526637160571,-0.1766831444034859,-0.030892131400887212,-0.023712952548273623,0.06547697853577353,-0.012076126010986439,0.7111729951429743,-0.017122107396315804,0.7307196445545278,0.03674757180696273,-0.0451039603438877,-0.012551874590692978,-0.17298732272475006,-0.019804313619244424,-0.3513462055705258,0.0441144664668696,0.03716934768273343,0.0547735253583971,0.006063353294662568,0.06670412608186338,-0.042227947333318354,0.007809548993971676,-0.02514736792279497,-0.007159794920481279,-0.11432567546291085,0.013482974916784884,0.1732802143321628,-0.044786603244581544,6.765443321885378E-4,-0.0155641789931806,-0.02154481536598388,-0.4550324649562744,-0.028026088521471086,0.3660413996427483,0.04414021815696914,0.012437932075596866,0.7001894082859492,-0.11065000744137249,-0.19342543117900413,-0.024411299228616106,-0.3330991942267817,-0.15767980278191557,0.06962512482780728,-0.34533068910047215,-0.005256713115054622,0.0187818987854122,-0.003056355998136015,0.09325190363208269,-0.12432093961185861,-0.021977173935094234,0.10111063607704467,-0.07686327992485222,-0.02656715191829933,-0.026199737648072704,-0.07058828626646925,-0.11103931706148808,-0.0021566527351382933,-0.041715616873637604,0.15466599793196686,0.0638286399587297,0.05266209705894256,-0.0373895956647436,-0.036544696653777145,-0.01815631945110919,0.11031089872190553,-0.013585216553147567,0.0041994541380069835,-0.0356932445576438,-0.022195873008592392,0.6430802320887234,-0.05841109332771526,0.05706700735530011,-0.015088908090452722,-0.05205237565981226,0.30805826068132924,0.05135752343875719,-0.10752629836685412;-0.07042671879470025,-0.0693147734183408,-0.10211564291968736,-0.06681291627189476,-0.009776677962880549,-0.12409712436544676,0.07286354031147238,-0.07682245757109586,-0.0399525365049859,0.10533397437876027,-0.0023030469750623403,-0.08246245633654722,0.047893990229321164,1.0587964381799524,-0.08639246409360987,-0.1249151607325223,-0.10562178222943365,-0.015099736383854019,-0.12424485023906294,-0.10928595076163573,-0.11038721617281383,-0.12373551269073652,-0.08862084146378287,-0.06805684535850236,0.13613962570039248,-0.075396918367484,-0.08106462472985007,-0.12395292552751977,-0.09110384570030676,0.5592767155320976,-0.08718757136186861,0.5867506661000773,-0.11757237555697513,-0.06221840207349938,-0.09066924131003595,0.12875104534394474,-0.08590105156622849,0.5950483798840567,-0.11956025152184843,-0.11694296827759909,-0.12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x_a{141}=[-2.2074777866724857,-3.9315861643459296,10.893336774662707];
std_x_a{141}=[1.1362560841511449,1.8460957332127033,2.2629888732010994];
pred_a{141}=[-2.2074777866724857];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.0 to 14.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{142}=[-5.007503599408494,-9.183135585918922,10.759116563963703];
std_x_f{142}=[2.1640672413892044,3.682061779447589,2.6294799505424167];
pred_f{142}=[-5.007503599408494];
obs{142}=[-5.2584656863516];
sqrt_r{142}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{142}=[5.686518490573257];
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k{142}=[0.8241454764179991;1.383058654990626;-0.33539702405315835];
x_a{142}=[-5.214332868115076,-9.530230872340095,10.843288501074591];
L_a{142}=[0.03006141644852707,0.03234196390140455,7.367265016577394E-4,0.03353208436164079,0.06723101761483942,-0.05208718034613935,0.09961115174474701,0.025702721248595437,0.05048853914209283,0.11048320181275578,0.0708621331626361,0.020962721413704526,0.09156977348039286,0.1799282087849326,0.016911296549264685,-0.05632545303031238,-0.004267041255058871,0.06477125154055978,-0.055115628172378535,-0.009297564920669497,-0.011903117508349272,-0.04241086184095765,0.014479433082139958,0.032966773835853884,0.11892640699497412,0.02650044858739333,0.02167410986576411,-0.04585896258322687,0.01312696263274816,-0.4388244112052573,0.016716522711862206,-0.44676856135137405,-0.02374568191799586,0.036977775318528576,0.013449349221872341,0.11701304540930815,0.018924487795965696,0.18130947121925353,-0.029506410439221035,-0.023982012390270934,-0.037152885531545506,-3.5000123753239844E-4,-0.04680809846563216,0.0352853467361987,-0.0019389202534642414,0.02273738796228605,0.00940431971515572,0.08333130582934241,-0.0066932523363111476,-0.1276975565133238,0.03684835770595741,0.003421324539087136,0.015846190622614414,0.019878426717497642,0.18053362348331572,0.02476840475721093,-0.2609098682379343,-0.0293825984396898,-0.005200104402573583,-0.4339756546452071,0.08073357125164485,0.12782972033271262,0.022193977443629054,0.1784633260839744,0.10864070758268556,-0.04894302827436783,0.18056375749423315,0.00803860957257035,-0.009979139344774396,0.006315865593447536,-0.06724837014945778,0.08937595348507874,0.020448782562281383,-0.07350284892378628,0.05897132359723869,0.023599644867000887,0.023188549592772497,0.05501240050984177,0.08125756609785202,0.005949659466922342,0.0344204620813021,-0.11411394411326592,-0.04464398943080722,-0.036005022682500804,0.031403809057086424,0.03086713600698052,0.017402101944029746,-0.08004982454717062,0.014334003273523204,9.391882581538276E-4,0.030367819245178767,0.020614912408336766,-0.40902544131785296,0.0462773601056999,-0.03913348184284964,0.015571958438603487,0.04196775708707686,-0.22505931694726758,-0.0352271085872061,0.07906973729380137;0.025954012359636038,0.02936570567946943,-0.025310134947221397,0.03202784030940905,0.09792715157157778,-0.10401521885594531,0.173449721138633,0.01727759726196667,0.06475056990275484,0.20055583714325537,0.10539187256100156,0.009163020930700967,0.1527483624979282,0.6179454514164994,0.0025837169103908814,-0.1109275534760087,-0.03342253333807771,0.0930141376269008,-0.10948366105407567,-0.04097271749557285,-0.04488700086554451,-0.09214186765081026,-0.0022421278375239703,0.030677290180166183,0.22342790966903947,0.018304534392249876,0.011145964936742065,-0.09650805823500268,-0.003968540995029788,-0.6384726228828863,0.0018394558138397307,-0.6522702523033271,-0.06392715463311505,0.03792560022644665,-0.004126800049659608,0.217216159598816,0.005863067224950113,0.4811364896301992,-0.07232271610941045,-0.06369439587669073,-0.08336243973215118,-0.02716561674012729,-0.09811078647789169,0.03442097655427665,-0.02920427282366514,0.012709494280533496,-0.010724774872645532,0.1329964493880663,-0.037433647313427416,-0.2046159013906752,0.037571418857362565,-0.020356582831882106,8.266037753072012E-4,0.007132310844935328,0.6168739776195389,0.017493689765216185,-0.36976413020057386,-0.07168284116720107,-0.03463487466377268,-0.6290011972336592,0.1272347992538913,0.24847351485680388,0.0121925570750733,0.4551977803506373,0.19520884483442602,-0.10002739506907304,0.4730232464851423,-0.012966800012851668,-0.04224321808353484,-0.015619625821057527,-0.12606853404621352,0.14762307684693446,0.008465053150749495,-0.1349469455299591,0.08104791893043113,0.012998334205523295,0.012977944685644786,0.07339750373138154,0.1287543124314097,-0.01611901863374836,0.03323151742089658,-0.18809272537724986,-0.09506398339984189,-0.0823721899594518,0.02746249845433919,0.026950937251736223,0.002687985967965447,-0.14333822421328316,-0.0025753882785100697,-0.025368351711163507,0.025901038376991457,0.008853574375485566,-0.5850808664268795,0.055828047416961915,-0.0862730601636307,2.8807695854622033E-4,0.04772714240276762,-0.3263829839925625,-0.08128981224096767,0.12333744948205988;-0.08042735285795881,-0.07765189386893616,-0.1179589840176879,-0.0749101806191095,-0.008378716006152772,-0.14663825522965382,0.08463998829595241,-0.08778736920686336,-0.04371860489548548,0.12196799244124763,4.015410254576339E-4,-0.09379153989462886,0.057825010964753364,0.9778488042852408,-0.09919844299762863,-0.14697205717726028,-0.1221375748112558,-0.013579244072958581,-0.1463957248036521,-0.12675357015654345,-0.12827686135709812,-0.1444881611189311,-0.10183608553320037,-0.07598532875172125,0.155368757151937,-0.08566611853612971,-0.09258246047714012,-0.14539566052696323,-0.10481113137616344,0.8017981208131383,-0.09986012917872444,0.8412829020058242,-0.13706740813643822,-0.07010994463314905,-0.10423665403572012,0.1475818159103063,-0.09697734358529203,0.6049128054244397,-0.1398602967317779,-0.13652105458666466,-0.14220434305286794,-0.11811618030937349,-0.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x_a{142}=[-5.214332868115074,-9.530230872340095,10.843288501074586];
std_x_a{142}=[1.127100241055503,1.988305231333182,2.518742173330867];
pred_a{142}=[-5.214332868115074];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.1 to 14.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{143}=[-11.341540330881626,-18.78113778842458,19.2888093520719];
std_x_f{143}=[1.8994392653267116,2.9389192908305413,3.5480917762671162];
pred_f{143}=[-11.341540330881626];
obs{143}=[-11.900710879048773];
sqrt_r{143}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{143}=[4.607994799190033];
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k{143}=[0.7829858661785438;1.0186655272185448;-1.025471291482304];
x_a{143}=[-11.77936296687981,-19.35074554967835,19.86222269625973];
L_a{143}=[-0.006930770031405594,-0.009478262928172936,0.0323971352348367,-0.011750444533335192,-0.06339718676902537,0.0911192700831642,-0.12217643388629419,-7.169733438627747E-4,-0.03736936059979336,-0.14294674650836556,-0.06951609559469975,0.005768181794427112,-0.10608357400704259,-0.4313370771118642,0.010961455204722161,0.09555451783924036,0.03855491673331625,-0.05981925328967144,0.0939917447239603,0.04460787335574281,0.04749804909316538,0.08177062322402831,0.014600419079505626,-0.010963841200535472,-0.1606512554416989,-0.0014267423052784186,0.0046552739952680075,0.0850598357786136,0.01650840406725247,0.2034968870698142,0.01151198669690704,0.20080516728143902,0.06132317099054426,-0.01652778617980297,0.01580757986319845,-0.15626017069583453,0.008740559919159691,-0.34394650828524015,0.06772925082211377,0.06123266616385283,0.07568113658010261,0.033522661465385836,0.0861711463391074,-0.01395174145326031,0.035498276060419685,0.0031343642646279855,0.02125408377605101,-0.09058706229260083,0.04137847944860641,0.15428873861127718,-0.016179039688623498,0.02858263180321709,0.012563648523661848,0.007391047911185396,-0.43021194485737335,8.021570177318392E-5,0.21420700345708873,0.06725598531792415,0.039468824924119295,0.20515484449644616,-0.08655486303422083,-0.17943383261319873,0.0038920852865740006,-0.32668778969771334,-0.13890933847940565,0.0878317217420881,-0.3382259216119202,0.022854432419509976,0.04526859742396322,0.02545380953400177,0.10583419693965673,-0.10196311780332576,0.006311065670202415,0.1117466496860376,-0.05014989955700091,0.0025952240987122503,0.002955140451013338,-0.044275251553404324,-0.08762146955282987,0.02531136889411549,-0.012628314435292175,0.14468587424148371,0.08431002222124792,0.07488482169866328,-0.008389253168201898,-0.007875861682853494,0.010779236829312653,0.11718952025173321,0.014725899273024038,0.032184747800075006,-0.006900335110059047,0.006415524241125662,0.21189353593384494,-0.030302658493377307,0.077933966585915,0.013260657684687881,-0.024401997033567897,0.20808858514652823,0.07400057221465364,-0.08318713913332418;-0.06783949210724358,-0.07018960129153033,-0.023955023802237532,-0.07256654929239349,-0.11660630055511738,0.062390312446949314,-0.15490358858919467,-0.06217704807804555,-0.095642082636517,-0.16632367992582475,-0.12140459484127336,-0.05497845328617959,-0.14538674043874403,-0.22268113655278618,-0.049287539602229,0.07095064605756775,-0.016053720798429247,-0.1148801054287312,0.06774892261286668,-0.007051678516212982,-0.0037708250660518482,0.04659399614643882,-0.04476755238980206,-0.07199138432014954,-0.1749943245063667,-0.061553962612764294,-0.055398490282731014,0.052108041958539505,-0.04274817654529578,0.9601139412026274,-0.04888922003219456,0.9818412023781046,0.01431387813043439,-0.07735068140349367,-0.04436408171833599,-0.17417773455642235,-0.05091723427395483,-0.228474488806691,0.02490712470352285,0.014813228779646437,0.037478599635069776,-0.022787578200402676,0.05424869426276505,-0.07541339589027506,-0.020234292339206116,-0.05776133386419064,-0.03744176988365937,-0.1361963236415717,-0.012906199519541538,0.20594035672322084,-0.07689719518238752,-0.028013663101171253,-0.04740012892647702,-0.05294531405787533,-0.22292172569673133,-0.06011918726281106,0.501039304079167,0.023357163935723027,-0.015225861787867136,0.9475470980861553,-0.13306311439009832,-0.18389195660382357,-0.056687983548093825,-0.22713038532859,-0.16385210507601897,0.057141938842171704,-0.22737698308481413,-0.0353585561548764,-0.007371953997374753,-0.03229306003016264,0.09012983467961076,-0.1425534188299395,-0.05420737756278842,0.10171605996177097,-0.10684174479547581,-0.057937924962635855,-0.05672580962009576,-0.10156293153359522,-0.13432373299184183,-0.0326966185104112,-0.07342421708533692,0.17991334154504687,0.05006688986122025,0.035553303379308156,-0.06910922539624086,-0.06772393131866725,-0.04876941158134724,0.11360005081281196,-0.04576750090147831,-0.0238754060503932,-0.06783361635483323,-0.054153970169468234,0.8780378551913428,-0.08930667651776705,0.04078283431208773,-0.04608160497805782,-0.0837913579294006,0.4158534428581968,0.03424625652090383,-0.1311322821887288;-0.09891734532463442,-0.09643014885059774,-0.14032023047076775,-0.09290957926671954,-0.013199088518965599,-0.16552331714059557,0.10608942694866433,-0.10650517086650833,-0.0561114590746287,0.15606248371470657,-9.277357057564898E-4,-0.11387692011304061,0.07129605380200735,1.2848996698446624,-0.11933214397881842,-0.164790490357545,-0.14449229931790453,-0.018400405452557302,-0.16330680009507526,-0.14946603289912852,-0.15121904345723505,-0.16455875045536128,-0.12273042967263485,-0.09378134192732157,0.20066857992791615,-0.10594422496812114,-0.1131724451005112,-0.16436330089109055,-0.1263558199870535,0.7643014657317629,-0.12093636982845483,0.7981543921007858,-0.15830963250135066,-0.08644083808305565,-0.12437932409598593,0.19036778450762862,-0.11722668892382192,0.8198443276807904,-0.1609601324946301,-0.15757277727101454,-0.16191148110721473,-0.14008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x_a{143}=[-11.77936296687981,-19.350745549678372,19.862222696259746];
std_x_a{143}=[1.1761752896096163,2.2066505832266614,2.9628428017193498];
pred_a{143}=[-11.77936296687981];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.2 to 14.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{144}=[-15.878849440592921,-13.218438066771899,39.511391579889576];
std_x_f{144}=[1.5260309653777013,2.8142111378480803,2.664673667296667];
pred_f{144}=[-15.878849440592921];
obs{144}=[-16.400092818003703];
sqrt_r{144}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{144}=[3.3327545849123608];
L_f{144}=[-0.06311955022623594,-0.06377933322488749,-0.058531084797011704,-0.06307911676316448,-0.05434978092370285,-0.02932550789536094,-0.029139103039823533,-0.06318473432767938,-0.060623339187400066,-0.01636410288390308,-0.05255288372989412,-0.06289022332109924,-0.037511129318033756,0.3580751338592796,-0.06246939501352718,-0.025209360627573174,-0.05624176546079883,-0.055281124871358486,-0.02592825453453276,-0.05436001020827377,-0.05332731680917575,-0.035627748535695426,-0.06152748970281576,-0.06300261447863596,-0.004353678200985747,-0.06322456657999327,-0.06274988966094903,-0.03345599247418306,-0.06191792234495848,0.6524652671898726,-0.06249759735636801,0.671567002927926,-0.04827329063006498,-0.06326702332309322,-0.0617964452458935,-0.00744782651367209,-0.062241226170404625,0.1927958505987051,-0.04450110690464887,-0.04751121192014207,-0.039195123326276574,-0.05761362949372128,-0.032627052763570294,-0.06337479745447942,-0.057619144370406765,-0.06305575188884492,-0.060713678314250695,-0.04528316755598783,-0.056551483265924345,0.05044163676330127,-0.06282970217383237,-0.05879475264144818,-0.062416166251875696,-0.06242226090700081,0.354619717745406,-0.06270825684082554,0.26483642423046516,-0.04474042543117776,-0.05634636001561487,0.6409364505751682,-0.04582224437907531,0.0094426427711034,-0.0626331687039076,0.16680084402073528,-0.01911007951468849,-0.031447632353114346,0.18427740874321663,-0.06051199757304369,-0.05420430675411468,-0.05991143412091739,-0.016048042551952343,-0.03903151936411061,-0.06271208240973626,-0.01033685745538516,-0.05845766689711704,-0.06242125731438956,-0.06278278490189829,-0.0586260509486087,-0.04644325114907552,-0.05943656831032945,-0.06325422060839898,0.034120014478281044,-0.03458771469331434,-0.04001178572336943,-0.06345279228757027,-0.06314930680096308,-0.0627713670432053,-0.003838569026328228,-0.062002836636774056,-0.0580566848121404,-0.06372842564656885,-0.06274937775826117,0.5807038753626533,-0.06183937467797472,-0.037929787125964204,-0.062363799321659474,-0.061589786377384145,0.19607199188703017,-0.04031934151667449,-0.04861764649401216;-0.059550143245182936,-0.054798847454204186,-0.13421642686735513,-0.04941052773643987,0.06274911003182342,-0.2221159799388367,0.2056505873314951,-0.07136670911206161,0.005165688936786549,0.2595084781447944,0.07836315220653135,-0.08432266601568865,0.16586861833978891,1.209417607264627,-0.09432196269808317,-0.22663126571856548,-0.1446093348874673,0.05590979322546585,-0.22374551305370327,-0.15550876156288299,-0.16017406391065359,-0.2095723566596307,-0.10090897595487423,-0.05110658927115993,0.30649235993221113,-0.07079051728119475,-0.08264523540861439,-0.21462507793503288,-0.10552735300181977,0.46854566455092433,-0.09615683230705453,0.5008206638063771,-0.1812420618259871,-0.03950782276448701,-0.10313271165561216,0.29589473942505956,-0.09063647468074386,0.8622431921279778,-0.19141974499737155,-0.18074963051727008,-0.20185962803293558,-0.1351459969489215,-0.21583420476779133,-0.04507786678293645,-0.13939997410903143,-0.07945964161927781,-0.1140377617491225,0.12688595373850833,-0.14919418683195632,-0.2577743173520048,-0.040201406859941995,-0.12706258826033356,-0.09764356285935563,-0.08738226397732508,1.2024517999417101,-0.07365438887331734,-0.10125505854008254,-0.19039519750264083,-0.14604641641268978,0.4492331301385881,0.11828780570469156,0.3570709462907538,-0.08063854048586827,0.802328665225825,0.24921237780271915,-0.2175122862195027,0.8419498438047617,-0.11711387748804108,-0.1559757749413738,-0.12215886634330135,-0.23645496914341918,0.15491439078895727,-0.08565422569489203,-0.24258033861681177,0.033133752948404635,-0.07780252561775511,-0.0792499574171307,0.019954804637270316,0.11906826662779924,-0.12116371539948427,-0.047576986589283804,-0.2580554813759903,-0.21389561465378606,-0.200898174515778,-0.05633062029981096,-0.057543462947079,-0.0946232064620243,-0.24649355845815019,-0.10105214946362658,-0.13315491902991117,-0.0594135932530076,-0.08566536317088953,0.3490454574037505,-0.010976882655223149,-0.20536856876457862,-0.09973019154699064,-0.022443516073870552,-0.18059861414890716,-0.1993625128980941,0.10953969123868729;0.09854353924153621,0.102970062306558,0.02949659140829866,0.10640220450828738,0.17126206400697566,-0.11198933158572572,0.21827066597505598,0.0902106579282586,0.14193239611642258,0.22966546782848044,0.17782115543596433,0.07909049989070578,0.2078563220575272,0.18551374339721505,0.07025328833383289,-0.12581610306447602,0.01625561139784535,0.16818955298056731,-0.12073539387629277,0.0025247441016866923,-0.003430553541473,-0.0858567946104203,0.06316807733702759,0.10557952259704385,0.2374292347183377,0.08896055191593173,0.07974670886423045,-0.09572709826517618,0.05890747600042967,-1.0699600042544857,0.06953571812758653,-1.077390009531352,-0.03321309659251011,0.11426934755565557,0.061991070731643144,0.2372613497828846,0.07344454460963702,0.23079947185802546,-0.049614809779405154,-0.03405989464146246,-0.07142743065185925,0.027288661354751827,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k{144}=[0.6999479035968994;0.8112638443699637;-0.9237061168379959];
x_a{144}=[-16.243692649875364,-13.641303972982554,39.99286727596521];
L_a{144}=[0.05467500141083189,0.05524651429792995,0.050700411083157086,0.054639977402540306,0.04707850955894022,0.025402148459634784,0.025240682072390917,0.05473146475421155,0.052512749912193214,0.014174805508872379,0.045522013096996654,0.05447635536825159,0.03249264357927759,-0.31016948597967586,0.05411182824111364,0.021836686461460773,0.04871737195362174,0.04788525218415752,0.022459402010547604,0.04708737030250298,0.04619283742243231,0.030861233872421328,0.053295937221493894,0.05457371009709337,0.0037712144799514433,0.05476596798567703,0.05435479646868406,0.028980029629020243,0.05363413521535595,-0.5651741699087275,0.05413625748893112,-0.5817203497323173,0.04181497212581927,0.05480274458627969,0.05352891012203775,0.006451407268954195,0.05391418532738995,-0.1670023529271805,0.038547455963713916,0.04115484932090603,0.03395134178682974,0.04990569898806153,0.02826199092809783,0.05489609998511367,0.04991047604825092,0.054619738434870294,0.0525910028761371,0.03922488739442052,0.04898565367254263,-0.04369322264358975,0.05442393113835227,0.050928803708181855,0.05406572077349114,0.054071000045545145,-0.3071763581734117,0.05431873356121993,-0.22940486452360237,0.03875475688282231,0.04880797316056387,-0.5551877542512182,0.039691842972481746,-0.008179343879694977,0.054253691209409614,-0.14448512940085817,0.016553407314876714,0.027240361141850623,-0.15962356428249622,0.05241630431173814,0.046952497881116856,0.05189608819051089,0.013901029808105017,0.03380962583939065,0.054322047320345956,0.008953924638737943,0.05063681551306928,0.05407013072015789,0.05438329076781747,0.05078267203802652,0.040229767369981254,0.05148475305312812,0.05479165470301116,-0.029555214399519168,0.029960342601876966,0.034658745714031214,0.054963660156154184,0.05470077695516574,0.05437340046540074,0.0033250200005835603,0.05370768911439642,0.050289479450260875,0.05520241747045858,0.05435435305170658,-0.5030134893377558,0.053566096172178966,0.03285529059050005,0.05402035983582299,0.053349899436967704,-0.1698401904738554,0.03492515466930065,0.04211325779610135;0.0769778187872007,0.08315622912298591,-0.007613342811170553,0.08702997647517093,0.18030800897555171,-0.15868473218488843,0.26867864027578126,0.06530224651889933,0.13629433166614113,0.29490412987583065,0.19203535184753842,0.051709260558816854,0.2470054138487599,0.4348989659711377,0.04079970974767221,-0.17210326895233635,-0.022958062152724765,0.1754831946596092,-0.16766254449691384,-0.03792773661587186,-0.04482676091948335,-0.13250932496903187,0.03217534970944655,0.08516844004463513,0.31590939173923427,0.06596459574810155,0.05308314862548713,-0.14225956750444035,0.028401480786396958,-0.9427405836410279,0.039025841973770035,-0.9517827522400693,-0.07682664747817827,0.09733912445230228,0.03053336644582497,0.31200443240984543,0.04399166720214795,0.44522462218892495,-0.09516358645219324,-0.0779825969453244,-0.11708034348220063,-0.010527374162900663,-0.1452616958546688,0.09200219652015616,-0.014769422611984936,0.05693032423040416,0.017286285048171392,0.22483371411751416,-0.026872992645184356,-0.3668798772647045,0.09569961211356576,1.1081090939863997E-4,0.03736297545879912,0.047637457116064444,0.4354072442256716,0.06198394312358197,-0.6740978171233046,-0.09362139156316819,-0.024168905034649222,-0.9371162192413612,0.21740159245383464,0.336646453893109,0.05483737542489873,0.44153744890998364,0.29054759329563257,-0.1494908706592607,0.4433567141936693,0.013773932668157267,-0.038731537490495446,0.007429921498954333,-0.20174295778760454,0.239339798997816,0.04999238103028337,-0.22022165454595508,0.15957803365105686,0.05721502469885501,0.05654957921852296,0.14676330104340118,0.2195252947088686,0.007397934874045257,0.08924226827958101,-0.3318572753453469,-0.13908218234144815,-0.11435244434963611,0.08091814629050079,0.07904886273317589,0.04115163327746077,-0.23819071085535787,0.033060354442128445,-0.007577964958661534,0.07843136992991813,0.05006191361465733,-0.9070204740454287,0.12278205206278088,-0.12332621393047252,0.03516307679007774,0.110775557667548,-0.6047034971529607,-0.11215153772433345,0.21469994936548492;-0.056907384060337275,-0.054105775557470565,-0.11465385232812954,-0.04894913919987342,0.03740934174324181,-0.18421223656985286,0.14650683914971507,-0.06540080087676223,-0.00737085488182222,0.1893639306154941,0.048393834285751135,-0.07579563676402487,0.11547385631301381,1.0673817220243869,-0.0835964317315969,-0.18790175436205522,-0.12225669323157873,0.03204311544073012,-0.18459153816997892,-0.13135317085948534,-0.13476514964498296,-0.1736008673294106,-0.08836191691146995,-0.049583411169634294,0.22670698949199078,-0.0667490058200411,-0.07479381384105804,-0.17812256688704503,-0.09358407634679797,0.5369324378420198,-0.08438345871024099,0.5765462160919028,-0.15210062941501334,-0.04154477271112818,-0.09020130763316506,0.2189188314348806,-0.07984324088552128,0.7056173829001329,-0.15921220284523346,-0.15107057887012107,-0.16795723937454493,-0.11460227207982121,-0.17897924339231783,-0.045862946430796865,-0.118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x_a{144}=[-16.243692649875364,-13.64130397298253,39.99286727596521];
std_x_a{144}=[1.3218685001072545,2.6711406864691174,2.4683250362407634];
pred_a{144}=[-16.243692649875364];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.3 to 14.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{145}=[-7.749092806702792,2.3743283338684664,35.91163799818342];
std_x_f{145}=[1.2049470076601745,2.573423489475043,1.3282893275315735];
pred_f{145}=[-7.749092806702792];
obs{145}=[-7.610814703511034];
sqrt_r{145}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{145}=[2.45190054612046];
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k{145}=[0.5921531150265213;0.8116452019885799;-0.2763768829607105];
x_a{145}=[-7.6672109971578335,2.4865610928641386,35.87342112704157];
L_a{145}=[0.002683762867906167,-0.0018333751325751394,0.06989956478760088,-0.006296261027563265,-0.09226220415749915,0.17073387702536544,-0.18607698148883772,0.011866085344548583,-0.04853768325897545,-0.21807879395681745,-0.10246004478924473,0.023130971525262695,-0.16168331022958993,-0.7101642673748304,0.03255480463288426,0.1784813327855884,0.08025845062839375,-0.0871498453685854,0.17460138706700018,0.09218566171857323,0.09658030084285972,0.1539207535385822,0.03812309488376283,-0.005018329449406673,-0.2461324155837148,0.012617417757137666,0.02229732527574554,0.16099196044919548,0.04302860679685567,-0.02878180703408425,0.033297917100858894,-0.05204096252514616,0.11930287121989784,-0.014294063010433365,0.03986425023905301,-0.2407033371951186,0.029305917175637488,-0.5343984473661904,0.13028470339609322,0.11938296921447282,0.14442926619264612,0.07167234991334341,0.1625090015314322,-0.009659865563048459,0.07425775674182196,0.018638689949813773,0.04994913255235018,-0.13613805702767376,0.08458424638697738,0.26884155789379294,-0.014672777766788353,0.062168139803709326,0.03543577740467184,0.027247083643995397,-0.7062006456982747,0.01436379525750012,0.28656273999192206,0.1298863831834768,0.08114461447810575,-0.0156453833675708,-0.13021886301167784,-0.27471791047077043,0.019831032675862992,-0.506336596237829,-0.21280049865133607,0.16448524134176634,-0.5240627897359105,0.05339759954866427,0.09166265000808696,0.05793682576460799,0.19497740204238403,-0.1539435432661968,0.02449010322695275,0.20509845745857788,-0.070585457746364,0.018742986174779715,0.019623715774841514,-0.06047463250740755,-0.1307980162015992,0.05714293128104418,-0.007702669937177429,0.2560797017745411,0.1586733000036168,0.1424955149616242,-8.792517067147442E-4,9.295660810100847E-4,0.033054124764693,0.213583632420764,0.038149481785907,0.06862182937939636,0.002196379462803957,0.024096022734848108,0.05193720656661599,-0.03696039779730083,0.14824288489490042,0.03667277679384936,-0.027638253540541786,0.3092099765543536,0.14137644288791393,-0.12444456838046172;-0.07913730747221204,-0.08687029036506178,0.03773587235666383,-0.09352336580966361,-0.22346495570325298,0.24375275039824446,-0.34570067949461786,-0.06353157392273331,-0.15847807646636358,-0.38142659141276797,-0.23767228530388324,-0.045323798345688567,-0.3161128986874452,-0.7457940847138037,-0.0289933175566042,0.2620405931239838,0.05736664542449066,-0.2157070581392452,0.25441942964512304,0.07967990316541694,0.0892116433153823,0.20685422298589035,-0.019478026861959402,-0.09097922895256923,-0.4126652502256097,-0.06254573630199471,-0.046473658844811916,0.2215834653220258,-0.011438199951564311,0.8373403188689975,-0.027563832545584185,0.8222387762041671,0.1321449002198112,-0.10711967903245019,-0.015970346673964297,-0.4074717365975402,-0.03395004649764791,-0.6529028837349413,0.1557881178551719,0.13356489826502024,0.18620940779711762,0.04224057895926773,0.22516957138366228,-0.09882159624339243,0.04534462802540159,-0.0520694825730983,0.0018122065566009982,-0.28375669606802456,0.06362418384662602,0.5184278483838907,-0.10757874147499079,0.02414685331726281,-0.02372122879128008,-0.036935718443693664,-0.743568425649586,-0.05950798818343713,0.8519963701717783,0.15420280236819126,0.058353431752832856,0.8443316089555267,-0.27346278823624304,-0.4427923194047126,-0.05011149449867496,-0.6372557151806647,-0.3771470135886486,0.22936082531137306,-0.6454724184174497,0.007738105617137367,0.07861457994126267,0.015676106022045135,0.30174114394735974,-0.3049034262460355,-0.04291250656085571,0.32611974566538804,-0.1926323256222257,-0.0510503771912832,-0.05101093955962705,-0.17621681806119546,-0.2754937593194627,0.015744900226012715,-0.09571938628234196,0.47451407188936573,0.21649081726333924,0.18161626903391412,-0.08570738986489507,-0.0820124380558722,-0.02920960547657689,0.3494162139527266,-0.019507639528258708,0.03546943530916977,-0.08049126928573158,-0.042514442974559835,0.8808174016003608,-0.14241009365222315,0.19439432292264733,-0.022413596690309782,-0.12666644365452348,0.7945818436082019,0.17975110655624535,-0.2682589231412705;-0.060283201154685426,-0.059949395865808185,-0.06653540241810199,-0.0580215712755687,-0.033340597187706524,-0.05244852795757961,0.010367087095840992,-0.061699770481236045,-0.04985877775201945,0.02992850980157468,-0.030254079563886916,-0.06271402683814538,-0.0034259565784344934,0.5604800962018751,-0.06522709448928198,-0.04961880879741537,-0.0660609758793263,-0.03485781914920934,-0.04951752762640024,-0.06733293923525055,-0.06647539924147758,-0.05685756140412228,-0.06404223386309296,-0.058078926564584764,0.048700087656314686,-0.0627273134824929,-0.06312976155154928,-0.05602708278904028,-0.06620220715594355,0.49179147021081077,-0.06436218654077869,0.509022121219651,-0.06463782869112246,-0.05763276612329616,-0.06533412158154478,0.04488502485456287,-0.06350056799336722,0.32516107768635344,-0.06038211719783225,-0.06350137735931712,-0.058575014175504876,-0.06625180564174131,-0.0547713337248502,-0.05859115272482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x_a{145}=[-7.667210997157834,2.4865610928641355,35.87342112704157];
std_x_a{145}=[1.79244778966652,3.151494595935144,1.465507885070984];
pred_a{145}=[-7.667210997157834];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.4 to 14.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{146}=[-0.4616772733435584,3.824718125415559,26.795590427016297];
std_x_f{146}=[1.9789529591712334,2.153020727470998,1.3569936583751663];
pred_f{146}=[-0.4616772733435584];
obs{146}=[-0.41087539536335943];
sqrt_r{146}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{146}=[4.919615382316946];
L_f{146}=[-0.05797040369330558,-0.0634741008798811,0.02462427704553849,-0.06821072952235001,-0.1577106579202882,0.1705680453917517,-0.23744089871040303,-0.04696244926478446,-0.11379320892631577,-0.2593992989300562,-0.16746828210282996,-0.03346830356173014,-0.2188308548742449,-0.37676624163471745,-0.022782640094656928,0.1834906591517501,0.038475352931251226,-0.15157349534025555,0.1779142523816794,0.05419762882735245,0.06107396012712978,0.14434721767606803,-0.015756220498266787,-0.06633968451766482,-0.27781956292563276,-0.04670819213587331,-0.03513019964444258,0.15488506798191004,-0.010190192633737157,0.49737518885650656,-0.021690308222325587,0.4867547250447905,0.09166254417024572,-0.07764576376094622,-0.013721707462245136,-0.274626626678752,-0.02617082290149115,-0.37975402713793105,0.10899426018071585,0.09256319108505524,0.13010048519667333,0.027832622088820667,0.1573014421202695,-0.07231249448446853,0.030066406641178094,-0.03877665378789742,-3.505116878289206E-4,-0.19758797104673614,0.043007556838986945,0.35656108624316135,-0.07798024224018989,0.015248019113094405,-0.019090954257489256,-0.027980169890904332,-0.37675779448787367,-0.04436511686656479,0.5513531345886981,0.10780952043032714,0.039140345411837134,0.5022448211896674,-0.19085136424324725,-0.29465956201522026,-0.03702565148804578,-0.37710719199907794,-0.25644578206692337,0.16038444419382686,-0.37790439272269,0.0031849638552080236,0.053705051770360564,0.008748830606719264,0.2107771278960289,-0.21181748333027725,-0.032513578082687844,0.22783897523710148,-0.13694292613586712,-0.0381999230687291,-0.03843510002434357,-0.125816295387201,-0.1924839546215782,0.008666654434347136,-0.06975606737943771,0.32733308018611545,0.1512163335376677,0.12679691349781375,-0.06242526075014019,-0.06007872986124932,-0.022671793145231156,0.24355928528993687,-0.016279529851134206,0.022988122301989423,-0.05891037239755365,-0.03202411254957845,0.5303764750842669,-0.10225812723797678,0.1360113884493958,-0.018186464016501154,-0.09161093748946592,0.5238369600573153,0.12566296413602135,-0.18766799865933356;-0.09705822364164532,-0.10253337196437316,-0.01228254607284028,-0.10668350605469067,-0.18582228312001742,0.15051522551077917,-0.2380803691978738,-0.086262184900175,-0.1486637521151799,-0.24668868340271802,-0.19312261485045698,-0.07263924754339059,-0.22844101921299997,0.021240203789067488,-0.062183704734369856,0.16570628049172864,0.002680947338966005,-0.18104371158979912,0.15966813278298686,0.02011103944072228,0.02698792257413779,0.12140627476012976,-0.05447003298208627,-0.10459264839434536,-0.25186565645068243,-0.08573175538988517,-0.0740382170402224,0.1326339097337274,-0.04913549469597078,0.7313770635681348,-0.06019945014327869,0.7310741022281773,0.06085633470593945,-0.1162213765124179,-0.05250374987464748,-0.2515125251840228,-0.06496138597916856,-0.15139682261753587,0.08116573448870719,0.06219921821400577,0.10504875708113114,-0.008533879520449716,0.13545956355568564,-0.11045861384469609,-0.006331320989244825,-0.0779249609422469,-0.0384440741458913,-0.21500991142977194,0.007697382176294934,0.3695638070368445,-0.11560545965418378,-0.022162513116686076,-0.05727142147243842,-0.06706694763563266,0.01693591764662277,-0.0833730371718531,0.6219064662297181,0.0778295839380604,0.003564551769409466,0.7304238819723563,-0.20957169953716337,-0.25510554802209345,-0.07603156491139866,-0.17307580691898106,-0.2463695609211219,0.1386877987036802,-0.1581590982231794,-0.03505131495811198,0.019481780585170385,-0.029106192036053143,0.19799193940411192,-0.2225432015397953,-0.07177665155977596,0.21736500883391002,-0.16953238024231398,-0.07661975936233735,-0.07770823752044784,-0.15858165646469846,-0.21163267120180648,-0.028120951431469258,-0.10824897254946403,0.3354989631296016,0.12799581909645627,0.10038764490953522,-0.1017527170884223,-0.09939920797970017,-0.0624736247211741,0.2357231374125193,-0.05465596509757422,-0.013614195564533482,-0.09841234783584614,-0.07122974543361917,0.7269222355224567,-0.1388266835888543,0.1113344344531164,-0.05730140195954604,-0.1279696578267944,0.575287774865557,0.09924060303772894,-0.20878215290301153;-0.06380795117232031,-0.06260525008234374,-0.07500719886365274,-0.06057629180297204,-0.02119988132727589,-0.04897773047133456,0.03986543019171596,-0.06637765454013818,-0.045206692626180565,0.06301308506392742,-0.015971444811775187,-0.06803075527753571,0.02246624237396831,0.4507412344866853,-0.07192263207572135,-0.04345543578547692,-0.07478746159420104,-0.023989976304552456,-0.04474775877187076,-0.0757925248422623,-0.074486024227381,-0.05697556302621638,-0.07158340151349711,-0.06052072999230265,0.08491229020526199,-0.06714231798488354,-0.0686707930372726,-0.0548385398657627,-0.07294403888657769,0.4014013886472037,-0.07132146259588176,0.39890279576563276,-0.07060693761479847,-0.05861188045333821,-0.07290968513176876,0.08082957015390857,-0.06999356937831255,0.3199005835880231,-0.06546931780935555,-0.06934099390621408,-0.06131277974024292,-0.07444343148574405,-0.053443108898556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k{146}=[0.7967320771468441;0.793080779334424;0.05966959704431453];
x_a{146}=[-0.421201787577434,3.8650081183957474,26.79862175460447];
L_a{146}=[0.033926847226774935,0.0371478545293855,-0.014411217313814083,0.03991993935344755,0.09229926059517246,-0.09982397308100507,0.138960928037598,0.027484504852352706,0.06659682473685101,0.15181195618530402,0.09800985434381682,0.019587133253123567,0.12806950631396735,0.22050028817762557,0.013333409820695764,-0.10738685887917178,-0.022517480261148134,0.08870752129385208,-0.10412329870865017,-0.03171885231310478,-0.035743185880324435,-0.08447838361821704,0.00922123793624376,0.03882492096502621,0.1625923103425921,0.027335702321762727,0.02055974843109018,-0.09064560024338245,0.005963751960832714,-0.2910859847724606,0.012694128839497318,-0.28487041906545135,-0.053644979754393925,0.045441739182300586,0.008030550817362208,0.16072366266461718,0.015316324431261508,0.22224887255613324,-0.06378826742884168,-0.05417207821045536,-0.07614056491220432,-0.016288882901759366,-0.09205976938853071,0.04232047383939271,-0.017596192535935865,0.022693814864350414,2.0513496071357783E-4,0.11563723004270104,-0.0251699266783205,-0.20867533653869572,0.045637490799384214,-0.008923815981992786,0.011172871797371687,0.016375234409097834,0.2204953445332444,0.02596443092052795,-0.322676268810498,-0.06309490526549417,-0.02290666330729631,-0.2939359092458485,0.11169466943784519,0.1724478235012393,0.02166905078240459,0.22069982742846084,0.15008342733242017,-0.09386407872028514,0.2211663845927363,-0.0018639818813425855,-0.0314305744075656,-0.0051202030777193685,-0.12335610865950794,0.12396497072757326,0.019028385626621923,-0.13334145723857876,0.08014506433971225,0.02235628650930012,0.022493922477588208,0.0736332673276394,0.11265013361992256,-0.00507210994280688,0.04082433949646769,-0.19156981314978178,-0.0884984943915083,-0.0742071684686865,0.0365340268418065,0.03516073305897395,0.013268537277481837,-0.1425416787920069,0.009527501742185156,-0.013453667107377271,0.034476958535222674,0.018741928722639748,-0.31039979880176644,0.05984598414827977,-0.07959988723620103,0.010643524056644173,0.053614777239607864,-0.3065725850319543,-0.07354353108979293,0.10983162293563678;-0.005582123370417305,-0.002372551152552245,-0.05113914690041567,9.516169706930258E-4,0.0630418792564063,-0.11863762886420344,0.13659646717253673,-0.012156409465942632,0.030899582392537872,0.16263805519910862,0.0711388770469652,-0.019826955451757472,0.11686955217476912,0.6157695550237072,-0.026233168996030592,-0.12383819161857237,-0.058032365290879816,0.05813613493258917,-0.12107688456500328,-0.06541169997822378,-0.0693855256790003,-0.1063706547894158,-0.029607042311530076,9.000424000770813E-5,0.18652787846321556,-0.012027192456121702,-0.018603487238704877,-0.11177153005218401,-0.03305558108904634,-0.05347071649852077,-0.025972591549081672,-0.0370148051953389,-0.08378526768817252,0.00630203576205315,-0.030851178773891878,0.18184262224814302,-0.023664367718213918,0.4478471924605169,-0.09082495796925913,-0.08386358641847494,-0.10024712272935661,-0.05245318259237507,-0.11275886473627093,0.003649009612957551,-0.05377548996993314,-0.016736201780750602,-0.03789097393855583,0.09677982782206963,-0.06016765465590538,-0.1930822261106526,0.0074457527554691386,-0.046223572492887846,-0.02714628977298154,-0.022914817178036482,0.6114519394579283,-0.013365798641974153,-0.24811739786691758,-0.09229161365188296,-0.058198105266514845,-0.06210807738601076,0.0915878132511191,0.20986115780564418,-0.017605851230899697,0.4219915569519474,0.15829658904388832,-0.11439554321401486,0.43816623193198007,-0.04007712217036868,-0.06526368240673748,-0.04291166612021338,-0.134610017075366,0.11170041433754538,-0.020470896564459082,-0.14216019052035556,0.04656073011300624,-0.016341069369502262,-0.01705844314671043,0.03995386027042365,0.09210303549984125,-0.041796753212093515,0.0018246617120281795,-0.1810258798507974,-0.11062043347479417,-0.09969526695998596,-0.0032469443487921123,-0.0045962125403167155,-0.026698003180674112,-0.14860838667075604,-0.028967203071534213,-0.04988897798401276,-0.005452996354284782,-0.020696356944889017,-0.1100008929240603,0.022534530148033693,-0.10328872866387005,-0.028603537187825545,0.016590510290429038,-0.25131613387196095,-0.09905296014844343,0.0873540747121215;-0.05692549709626745,-0.05506937735260121,-0.07793068128096604,-0.05247806954605423,-0.0024759068284431283,-0.06922818008803118,0.06805526460785599,-0.06080210426324391,-0.03169675505966781,0.09380989944686055,0.003910989798582531,-0.06405727833772208,0.048446625692729874,0.49547227291755047,-0.06921779539712443,-0.06524010441876527,-0.07935539337901738,-0.00599462774108193,-0.06587037640914635,-0.08222706156566797,-0.08173694364552904,-0.07411298200845268,-0.06971276655009051,-0.05264464490363904,0.11789602434278333,-0.06159695402552041,-0.06450000983875284,-0.07322705020099363,-0.07173422269832251,0.34235122377370336,-0.06874631147177773,0.34111353041660725,-0.08148944335140687,-0.04939349711911137,-0.07128059484711977,0.11343422745761703,-0.0668864754945965,0.36498634262121105,-0.07840950698271078,-0.08033042767221295,-0.076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x_a{146}=[-0.4212017875774339,3.8650081183957474,26.79862175460447];
std_x_a{146}=[1.1581709016549349,1.4461499512783504,1.351964452089684];
pred_a{146}=[-0.4212017875774339];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.5 to 14.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{147}=[2.260959708093963,4.014448107588808,21.060012697787155];
std_x_f{147}=[1.2543038374359965,1.3896344344946425,1.5811418635346222];
pred_f{147}=[2.260959708093963];
obs{147}=[2.2681921883928755];
sqrt_r{147}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{147}=[2.5735312107088513];
L_f{147}=[0.01590893152242899,0.019637964053728123,-0.036038533516320324,0.022699294160058565,0.08364563166219331,-0.11977456520638234,0.1446513804181746,0.008579068251573098,0.05363207655939958,0.16491894553880296,0.0910190294182242,2.731427461017485E-4,0.13000073853536548,0.41375586626992833,-0.006683383764908143,-0.12647325061101172,-0.04369334369630196,0.0794449739767277,-0.12297332568068169,-0.0523712797485742,-0.05719771857488784,-0.10355185919171335,-0.010728381407668382,0.02165208362043079,0.18200279149873566,0.00891698958339419,0.0018854369064667503,-0.11091493135006086,-0.01421890656944409,-0.14659775636325523,-0.006611043556727414,-0.1344218599744587,-0.07503110030794846,0.028571378499195717,-0.012498908198444472,0.17871058523516373,-0.0041436313929974055,0.33507767901980523,-0.08467783076266482,-0.07541808392058234,-0.09642858590147266,-0.03706464434753226,-0.1119135109503092,0.02530309819226562,-0.038572625440983305,0.0033048768978758015,-0.02019694199097966,0.11368876398345991,-0.04646997683383113,-0.2149907452005337,0.02934878971474883,-0.0294565841645961,-0.00810194773342526,-0.002745103360050997,0.4115617022702565,0.007448208762909241,-0.2844597629823199,-0.08521995262322864,-0.04437167219073236,-0.1529506847276408,0.10861226738658147,0.19829525408538376,0.002640111394831012,0.3225010985401896,0.16166764261581257,-0.11395205175595828,0.33023354242612235,-0.02251675216627436,-0.052843169297550056,-0.02583660540441319,-0.14058863231847582,0.12523160776756295,1.3464562005277613E-4,-0.14970130951345312,0.06867253343051348,0.003993613055988772,0.0032700790673821536,0.06253933152107995,0.10939567040701285,-0.025424441851370463,0.023467681289133863,-0.19996917827682395,-0.1086208240892308,-0.0949585568004462,0.018659011744801803,0.017503873435865448,-0.006654936050043887,-0.15830380325953125,-0.009727580840418951,-0.03389565231400379,0.016430890823570136,-9.327237208917677E-4,-0.1887036656131573,0.044857231486462534,-0.1002644471561843,-0.009400298576081859,0.038341653470238476,-0.28355644165346405,-0.09468019056287703,0.10540652659731672;0.01697308103824633,0.0210991531440743,-0.04374069840183983,0.025368469006103084,0.0959432652309629,-0.14494012542079093,0.16618507889052675,0.00834307190754691,0.06156490882119076,0.18792177056713313,0.10475470056612608,-0.001244625515951469,0.1487538930482124,0.453826684747407,-0.009947535657703687,-0.15280096959942036,-0.05399430644588812,0.09118917313181042,-0.14791625017072438,-0.06477095205806287,-0.07012521494046714,-0.12571521270282782,-0.014353891171030492,0.02417829536183995,0.20643071428552084,0.00886908873284012,4.205861061612466E-4,-0.13427294720168662,-0.018919251182175207,-0.0914824479865038,-0.009597710230756146,-0.07469069307432208,-0.09169032401118218,0.032198204576066786,-0.016230401225196707,0.20290920004420107,-0.006374477856591862,0.36821202565399,-0.10247566506536875,-0.09162841114538733,-0.11711976722322566,-0.04607643175211861,-0.1350219920908472,0.028797948163463788,-0.04768120699566382,0.0029544924478254447,-0.025860760999194533,0.13018114186185278,-0.057340470184554126,-0.25236940337087943,0.03333444401025562,-0.03678464111753746,-0.011470028630712696,-0.005400244407884573,0.4517264632116209,0.0068631093537770485,-0.3017443492135352,-0.10411236758471612,-0.05424429790455615,-0.10016169903099457,0.12493891853489154,0.2240995623038599,0.001790430582995387,0.35451842180687765,0.1838171543196632,-0.13792257215649553,0.36408845925502203,-0.028184178100458777,-0.06413382818195996,-0.03254643078887081,-0.1691836657190517,0.14419180184966973,-0.0019488481764973688,-0.17930673129892166,0.07898014347451861,0.003125581645198606,0.0025389707303946686,0.07193716804228524,0.1261376346116975,-0.03125466654707713,0.026351978779262746,-0.23617511683086054,-0.13166771371861938,-0.11535620276798213,0.020602331560311517,0.018667863164272897,-0.009531632341799226,-0.1898692654899348,-0.013718881028190416,-0.04259187470765095,0.017343892778992807,-0.0029160099862616472,-0.14979875954877905,0.051455501227024664,-0.12152361203578976,-0.01275170735478918,0.04448948245200242,-0.3112813050349252,-0.11510374405927078,0.12099225641678994;-0.04935466756498722,-0.04639619664912843,-0.08599713670492888,-0.04264315178313204,0.02727188103821971,-0.10542613665154625,0.1196911120407606,-0.0550937578420924,-0.011821156679158706,0.15374215456551643,0.036096214354969396,-0.0615520723106111,0.09451113208027433,0.6970611331724659,-0.06839184610133003,-0.10346901817615385,-0.09042136534868629,0.02163970422669624,-0.10323320583264631,-0.09587231955177014,-0.09675737842502431,-0.10482578490619802,-0.07028622401299821,-0.043339809847996985,0.18344125400981992,-0.05612513668363804,-0.06175484192215588,-0.10555385533787989,-0.07341731080061625,0.18464604398559362,-0.0679410389257404,0.18573013325333723,-0.10276006880483389,-0.03780237018124615,-0.0723460981401266,0.17814572619883792,-0.06546494832787925,0.5099982279470843,-0.10296988852160319,-0.1013141331134878,-0.1047222152801160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k{147}=[0.6114288430469196;0.6734110117054518;0.544935174446581];
x_a{147}=[2.265381855155487,4.019318539464038,21.063953930700524];
L_a{147}=[-0.021006924967050852,-0.025930920426722452,0.04758702798063844,-0.02997324921243742,-0.1104497499201622,0.1581561464831456,-0.1910047001296649,-0.011328217912932996,-0.07081839572456809,-0.2177669763487563,-0.12018594202047947,-3.606709328381736E-4,-0.1716592818457654,-0.5463433182269707,0.008825064152013848,0.16700141566257096,0.05769481069760995,-0.10490299772712948,0.16237994499384,0.06915357845092762,0.07552664242065366,0.1367348984545009,0.014166275273173396,-0.028590461612927606,-0.2403253153373303,-0.011774425632937546,-0.00248962235888779,0.14645745613471464,0.018775334031497157,0.19357478935145436,0.008729542631715001,0.17749714507437434,0.09907470480605138,-0.03772703424435737,0.016504164740706064,-0.23597812647317512,0.0054714519099598275,-0.4424528228925257,0.11181271568716501,0.09958569674178376,0.12732898283302008,0.048941954501552594,0.14777602908265086,-0.033411438374064295,0.050933165893543,-0.004363919784376385,0.02666902201258641,-0.15012015930989778,0.061361211794306335,0.283884209739084,-0.03875356572767182,0.038895902748647286,0.010698204834377662,0.0036247676489204244,-0.5434460376370374,-0.009834976183081596,0.37561447094608535,0.11252855969163536,0.058590508549186036,0.20196350416134248,-0.14341690692894635,-0.26183867332769406,-0.0034861311646028252,-0.4258460959036713,-0.2134737982398357,0.15046781725749908,-0.43605638993219903,0.029732211908244256,0.06977668430401994,0.03411590717884625,0.18564005044404175,-0.16536189021666464,-1.777926087370147E-4,0.19767287149264304,-0.09067854462999335,-0.005273360419982612,-0.004317971040856649,-0.08257996729074225,-0.14445135028210054,0.03357166642825183,-0.030987864854184016,0.2640490040366131,0.14342820561423322,0.12538788509297974,-0.024638264306421836,-0.023112963644452145,0.00878750040923234,0.2090320215649537,0.012844769652663816,0.04475746368419882,-0.021696145349919878,0.001231613649988914,0.24917347459534528,-0.059231664599048835,0.13239404012163433,0.012412610273494688,-0.05062817929830335,0.3744216816409287,0.12502031680860243,-0.13918389127173814;-0.023685034046203854,-0.02908917040204646,0.04836220876798444,-0.03264363023477274,-0.11782808161519771,0.16116516200755956,-0.20349735162814908,-0.013582268823101644,-0.07550143896563886,-0.233558041440949,-0.12786068078389018,-0.0019426905739240881,-0.18348620623077422,-0.60360030863377,0.007133044888141342,0.17042400444722838,0.057671834924078985,-0.1118466429613732,0.16636404079625466,0.06907320436032868,0.07605376767110152,0.13893005290094537,0.013064403095174178,-0.031157470362997576,-0.25870991643591706,-0.013919870297962891,-0.004397984557715034,0.1491899639974016,0.01741970337680679,0.2831742937900414,0.007297991996560808,0.26884837144438256,0.10006504981342776,-0.04082105466858682,0.015712790386752787,-0.25381760973914663,0.00421531202379781,-0.48813881202549875,0.113933650883737,0.10111596839818517,0.12932070160935774,0.048648884861482306,0.15099296757552125,-0.035868637197336455,0.0508980245559872,-0.005491710558601218,0.025756130472460913,-0.16037079390653114,0.061421852943050054,0.2970778331158361,-0.041671628404430124,0.038496919260697274,0.009235945424766212,0.0016153573736877509,-0.600092952295012,-0.012172118035845819,0.42524336607865654,0.1136824375762528,0.05915543305015011,0.29073108551173504,-0.15263912375920638,-0.2826793656170555,-0.004956845484883471,-0.4696907188775521,-0.22935337254057703,0.15330224252518787,-0.47988232242679757,0.02936140248197924,0.07091632623587982,0.03348362751159842,0.19011568661717032,-0.17585993221215965,-0.002292959099849175,0.2032816947000085,-0.09652477735703882,-0.007080809588822081,-0.00581830020696709,-0.08789326021141709,-0.1534425339796505,0.03372203420077448,-0.03362387096737824,0.274881823244565,0.14593219675691935,0.12732734421961367,-0.027084104566005324,-0.026066410760768727,0.007476244989300688,0.21470436927353131,0.011141688693003575,0.044034516932939985,-0.02464818249664152,-5.32267977406441E-4,0.33246715142963035,-0.06318516320572748,0.13472008513567807,0.011272434102837365,-0.053499458987796455,0.4133978113111283,0.12686838830524014,-0.14839294289743327;-0.082255877451803,-0.08700940666706841,-0.011465961964385096,-0.08958748870417205,-0.14571537958033165,0.14227925471314068,-0.1794619404974505,-0.07283610117799649,-0.12273748095014073,-0.1873261839231293,-0.15213994634264283,-0.06211695794142079,-0.17434297530984114,-0.15862603719821478,-0.054569961728179385,0.15808990283335878,-5.930240422776038E-5,-0.14266018980300993,0.1510875317351598,0.012436554907820625,0.02153303857917698,0.10932948055793865,-0.04809889308245339,-0.08811841403510666,-0.1929581311182143,-0.07456633403420702,-0.06565410789740717,0.12382895587010632,-0.04401123605934554,0.48782439032794556,-0.05426876110342941,0.4637275476089542,0.052411507349742995,-0.09689074575394874,-0.046497146473366495,-0.1914450577911652,-0.0568955176302612,-0.18297483754603253,0.07215205972205448,0.05465776260020422,0.09470143170461864,-0.010074216247904198,0.12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x_a{147}=[2.2653818551554865,4.01931853946404,21.063953930700535];
std_x_a{147}=[1.6562436365857782,1.8303307807764342,1.850697438127676];
pred_a{147}=[2.2653818551554865];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.6 to 14.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{148}=[3.9898916516261553,5.995746401636405,17.856726244875095];
std_x_f{148}=[2.0480551465212677,2.750458421191367,2.4414943240862907];
pred_f{148}=[3.9898916516261553];
obs{148}=[4.1920164300586205];
sqrt_r{148}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{148}=[5.19461088131024];
L_f{148}=[-0.008999895443099747,-0.01454026393758023,0.072542613460763,-0.019155447159563185,-0.12392956575051346,0.18587110765623657,-0.2349526407540212,0.002421919654885747,-0.07150674302866789,-0.27329147503763185,-0.13711513721287655,0.01686084628427367,-0.20834081518844533,-0.7459130352911847,0.027464981343260114,0.19408068254535063,0.08348922783165857,-0.11676469436721806,0.19011181944477018,0.09691039458176925,0.10285209460901272,0.16545952952626466,0.03400100175638542,-0.017621262481128917,-0.3057825808857738,0.002829733070377716,0.014060831107339357,0.17511155032151368,0.038717058605143156,0.22408301536750977,0.027550036034460303,0.21207327227688422,0.12854441320163987,-0.028932580005565114,0.03719934741291894,-0.2996239364821752,0.023001025449508997,-0.600645158211509,0.14111038718308305,0.12815217697345663,0.15710523387117659,0.07386921670531911,0.17645683710683988,-0.02369058417271626,0.07637835862514152,0.012297720384703533,0.0479483308709281,-0.17858723303853816,0.08798064195493492,0.28488834732114826,-0.030736239497093577,0.0625452105192746,0.030008438417052207,0.02114924015140396,-0.7415372137569972,0.004939524703906952,0.33168592641239314,0.14170378820011167,0.0853662353852305,0.22962596730597284,-0.16869689037955443,-0.3369394856782235,0.013008582684744691,-0.5771346455493117,-0.26734772228634474,0.17879638033827464,-0.5910985984181605,0.05261749243008421,0.09755354815657102,0.05674041317150861,0.21015849022890457,-0.198320753462634,0.016645925693296374,0.22123039303004352,-0.09735684172426458,0.010714862702733315,0.01234718737250253,-0.0869783836587884,-0.16989328967001868,0.056621571848957705,-0.0205534632134563,0.27246536998360665,0.17235513632331903,0.15460175688496647,-0.012553709777989459,-0.011255802682929085,0.02792897235228629,0.2298041812208493,0.03219850947354382,0.06929018865913004,-0.009486914808219882,0.018349676850939377,0.2603957391547779,-0.05638707704672747,0.1618650359989928,0.03191398956523377,-0.04517883623853632,0.33337084499724895,0.1542912042499621,-0.16286462070902277;0.020353224254966246,0.011804771835276937,0.1217278028824893,0.005841189388312771,-0.14069558852561317,0.23236203855230378,-0.30662421209454244,0.035260831559458986,-0.06529355240646371,-0.3663306315823091,-0.15964755616996584,0.052930704050923955,-0.2665975191688028,-1.0944284930847932,0.06659224444266228,0.23830918357894035,0.13391016206963313,-0.12909223081135926,0.23533531118263737,0.14765295554313707,0.1553151471999011,0.21612503993447865,0.07478393653062004,0.0084320847320777,-0.4170975333253921,0.03547147723568137,0.0496226487878935,0.2246966176850745,0.08113037976381166,0.20795679065689204,0.06717892085718137,0.20412874668080963,0.18160000107327245,-0.006676393009144332,0.07941050806473915,-0.4072138670350343,0.06128737830733872,-0.8782665548233649,0.19395957692269186,0.1814752266353692,0.2077726049574528,0.1220229977164915,0.22510939224349577,3.548967495762715E-4,0.12517764912682858,0.047690340372206305,0.09237154296091063,-0.22108078387219507,0.13883860678631207,0.2689008141652636,-0.009088263163543258,0.10939944532396648,0.07024268372055051,0.059597792473788866,-1.0882925846286637,0.0382241368224112,0.210320001333814,0.1940757388906117,0.13505037232535944,0.20992226918124524,-0.20675204838356817,-0.4653968233620515,0.04946875833548958,-0.8415613999672396,-0.35734684710408865,0.22701031372684388,-0.8627017018133752,0.09773921494563415,0.1494810704764981,0.10256060048092175,0.24839609301253704,-0.25094359521075077,0.05318142647316905,0.2552535698478948,-0.10326671077236102,0.045099721565633626,0.04767858308433362,-0.08721050613145041,-0.20842826605673906,0.10209386049253916,0.00459689864735839,0.27053613457453235,0.2212931961852321,0.20604811046132812,0.015103318768795383,0.01684811879841773,0.06735021707445026,0.259331522878662,0.07277456426044117,0.11738036981569779,0.018636404269054,0.05488541224674971,0.21463635754099322,-0.044279740696190985,0.21336939419407164,0.0724259770733322,-0.028351766326848542,0.22132752346107992,0.20621851704460484,-0.19778626576929992;-0.10656987203627323,-0.11446002043675622,0.0081506073486989,-0.11934556516814518,-0.22093532080097011,0.23092290589924566,-0.2877387458923916,-0.09105327494921034,-0.17567485452005413,-0.30332233616203463,-0.23074126499137332,-0.07325246135630839,-0.2758334651773467,-0.20143400463457686,-0.059837562034323194,0.2518961251788312,0.025959645567623653,-0.214151971103315,0.24194439538804652,0.046664774143860194,0.05918521786726466,0.1852133215445246,-0.049966245527504685,-0.11624503568388059,-0.31399980272880046,-0.09315646372629693,-0.07803151103414364,0.20531647085753238,-0.04300930771892501,0.5454107245840316,-0.05912376341486755,0.5136365874218699,0.10521460298514182,-0.13077229470467303,-0.04634894935820504,-0.3115147557728639,-0.06420971428059018,-0.28418352606712943,0.13269314398559598,0.10742751733767565,0.16449894232230197,0.010906965911473934,0.2088065138801301,-0.12464092414401838,0.013780033624709677,-0.07903803262139919,-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k{148}=[0.8074927992012042;1.0658862590881562;0.7427026056722269];
x_a{148}=[4.15310595475051,6.211188425588808,18.00684484448781];
L_a{148}=[0.005035336290835283,0.008135107696097888,-0.040586744201686425,0.010717248756892615,0.06933714328975377,-0.10399271188386564,0.1314532558845838,-0.0013550357344521602,0.04000718680434651,0.15290338548187768,0.0767143163824414,-0.009433446391256725,0.11656425057525456,0.4173296234556183,-0.015366335993476674,-0.10858587306366332,-0.0467112469753057,0.06532848150878444,-0.10636534055525175,-0.054220232877358054,-0.057544544583598534,-0.09257267253331232,-0.019023163007959625,0.009858890364064182,0.17108177937999236,-0.0015832025730448597,-0.00786687063218878,-0.09797286533527144,-0.021661741683715065,-0.12537182754771928,-0.015413923098906254,-0.11865251668348052,-0.07191909649068154,0.016187440288677343,-0.020812600013844645,0.16763608983128062,-0.012868804854964626,0.3360539444239574,-0.07894961203594403,-0.07169964490628919,-0.08789854177675063,-0.0413289632089054,-0.09872553756513917,0.013254604899596317,-0.04273279878095355,-0.0068804307937953115,-0.026826530602026954,0.09991746918440628,-0.04922414067224765,-0.15939169995603542,0.0171965666892473,-0.03499331412645405,-0.016789370493023627,-0.011832752628209918,0.4148814024609837,-0.0027636063283523245,-0.18557439838972029,-0.0792816129680609,-0.04776141075914363,-0.12847304435968754,0.09438393808569105,0.18851370338437706,-0.007278149940624673,0.3229000874294448,0.14957792530053138,-0.10003448465365812,0.3307127558197132,-0.029438871911460465,-0.05458006978393732,-0.03174559786897682,-0.11758121851160859,0.11095814317507686,-0.009313200833045803,-0.123775818697316,0.054470014834577495,-0.005994840424480275,-0.006908106995195351,0.04866338887204242,0.0950533095026918,-0.03167910753827524,0.01149942239611366,-0.1524411893613923,-0.09643068392600669,-0.08649787566883473,0.007023653866800033,0.0062974900197632164,-0.015625933538930468,-0.12857275296172432,-0.018014689647005033,-0.038767050546308066,0.005307817932320159,-0.01026642968874432,-0.1456883720077214,0.03154791043769256,-0.09056159542475294,-0.01785550408436866,0.025277030730842583,-0.18651709064109884,-0.08632412509993787,0.09112085138478046;0.03887965651927652,0.04173614344374682,-0.027602355790329384,0.04527299129511241,0.11441545359016915,-0.15025668270470083,0.17702964941642696,0.03027527025827249,0.08190425000553533,0.19624434861704498,0.12260620089268659,0.018222375650949228,0.16227546328781278,0.441045714449839,0.01005513023801088,-0.1612090821298347,-0.037953781684145246,0.11126980614049245,-0.15601298478992293,-0.05183867991839028,-0.05640757514319399,-0.12447611322705117,0.0047923171900502316,0.04470574233535153,0.21236092074249935,0.029646425335258828,0.020678197517656437,-0.1357733784655138,0.0014306801110273999,-0.25332176885920543,0.01046672017677661,-0.2324275598616903,-0.08301078015103167,0.052881797093586716,0.0028350417741419332,0.20956691659717244,0.013939390467467372,0.3581713470217185,-0.09651846767974183,-0.08232812988506039,-0.11563109368379387,-0.030037995476268696,-0.1381298988019044,0.04912235252199573,-0.03204845382893117,0.022375281419236285,-0.006330881937597749,0.14654396211257698,-0.04227098654772245,-0.3175465176849251,0.05418278956175304,-0.01935089555146785,0.008469821446079401,0.01606173501803001,0.4381739225647392,0.028056044268071425,-0.47246091401732165,-0.09762383143032172,-0.04067742223876472,-0.26276654774078645,0.1405132651499117,0.228198629835696,0.022690377687925808,0.34647972626092766,0.1929928206476132,-0.14104496540204353,0.3540844502434076,-0.010574755542900875,-0.051334507159074456,-0.014240469922277448,-0.18421860330381196,0.1573029259696088,0.01891551563194496,-0.20015281983635774,0.09714394344858748,0.023043001091645303,0.022261695526290173,0.09183592207446722,0.14129985502333847,-0.01446257310055931,0.0469065395124681,-0.29033829483249707,-0.13350267657661147,-0.1122021397755994,0.04094533608312398,0.04001837308682795,0.009857969773607096,-0.21372415030779962,0.0064934048242262276,-0.025254619100630184,0.03816537387797546,0.01711230172560998,-0.32139253900187753,0.07179398150350105,-0.11983243513325045,0.006730506531224865,0.0646496084830483,-0.4649218244102516,-0.11139245550367742,0.13747322506530188;-0.09366077465445291,-0.09360403557400719,-0.09590167497139429,-0.09186974232792439,-0.043175607604893466,-0.03568332795881765,0.0492681158856459,-0.09452718160440764,-0.0731083841593779,0.08867624728673154,-0.034068684738258526,-0.09743699861006853,0.02300243673721561,0.8684744261712191,-0.09923225511621396,-0.026485601225445222,-0.09379403148628002,-0.04666926867919109,-0.03074454929621682,-0.09233969861652705,-0.08834179659932169,-0.05211534442818396,-0.09873595018992333,-0.0909697872326428,0.12460274985365981,-0.09721532196537468,-0.09819981623074861,-0.04585667554997483,-0.09854353953654421,0.22399482755725333,-0.0986404556131289,0.2094469953080437,-0.07916446657184743,-0.08927253560630392,-0.09970623570998333,0.11825407859045749,-0.09720148393910231,0.5773583538683872,-0.06971006627941001,-0.07638894394254954,-0.060846649308056465,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x_a{148}=[4.153105954750512,6.2111884255888095,18.006844844487823];
std_x_a{148}=[1.1458629125316249,1.5947076842420547,1.877700545106901];
pred_a{148}=[4.153105954750512];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.7 to 14.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{149}=[7.032354277724875,10.816340532907502,18.163563431826926];
std_x_f{149}=[1.4997091020346554,2.057567344166924,2.554417022149916];
pred_f{149}=[7.032354277724875];
obs{149}=[7.4804100439849];
sqrt_r{149}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{149}=[3.2519168920455845];
L_f{149}=[0.05281572985383412,0.05590420427074825,-0.020455348710193187,0.059752717134325534,0.13079399757516824,-0.1537733540421973,0.18679393183474688,0.042092209384786194,0.09887402281379899,0.20131731079034945,0.13883838465254358,0.030460431168817154,0.17500747278002746,0.25512991552792674,0.021450196426621868,-0.1659521456349832,-0.03219694414266547,0.12774647111631407,-0.16005306759469287,-0.04648247337208771,-0.05249853022517098,-0.1260522601260365,0.015587870590176935,0.05874712371539967,0.213017877886098,0.042940027841827405,0.03267373313351014,-0.13870936038170653,0.011281613176318674,-0.26977470913726037,0.020730825519247584,-0.24962551786677212,-0.08075614933394212,0.068704356565729,0.012989299290639255,0.21129039567691255,0.025444702647031116,0.26086534990709054,-0.09623515520223565,-0.08074182242338228,-0.11633613866625031,-0.02318575495440873,-0.14119086572963516,0.06381634725630936,-0.025201328051967994,0.03469587400851967,0.0029051529298833455,0.16174911803993786,-0.036375637927738506,-0.32430804924562606,0.06933420749943449,-0.011337211107901597,0.019678774875387897,0.028148274555792052,0.25484872880158616,0.041229688281962315,-0.4677545799992549,-0.0969248196972224,-0.034383078661486696,-0.2784443778967324,0.15589756453930492,0.22247710441417054,0.03503143613605958,0.2605566344152722,0.19931836805804348,-0.1442596247766347,0.2607343886551192,-0.00126938418637556,-0.046175055428592675,-0.0058746688657670635,-0.19028585244518662,0.17106677408463444,0.030999324989502305,-0.20661221143837538,0.11449434987161068,0.035796910237618836,0.03476515459289572,0.10861498044538356,0.15689781592049334,-0.006165526812762642,0.061213079194227464,-0.2977638762154795,-0.1362707347806358,-0.11311479762058216,0.0548366226471204,0.05395735480570853,0.021381628414197926,-0.22081231887391703,0.01776565669867644,-0.017675153288964806,0.05269410854196982,0.0289822497175379,-0.33391993615316734,0.08793265620040212,-0.1218095563829761,0.017809416311312793,0.07969830512889976,-0.460520283265345,-0.11259996383322035,0.1532994029505848;0.11564921130619212,0.11991032258579343,0.015564455205570779,0.12408146181083755,0.19817293060740024,-0.1960239318404591,0.22761451777118055,0.10221171789852253,0.16897995097084112,0.22837138463399798,0.20428668180961865,0.08635594254394025,0.2249127634708477,-0.09800063695610149,0.07516875944280331,-0.2159810809537065,-9.6320937732816E-4,0.1958642001971436,-0.20664776840793866,-0.023213572011830805,-0.03220582088122197,-0.15086309007843687,0.0670592954000765,0.12289254944629163,0.22455126818196136,0.10369840610240107,0.09046927225193659,-0.16946003229108794,0.060796267181554016,-0.42535666599193667,0.07480525637513813,-0.39218331697066,-0.0762131173270515,0.13480142137640566,0.06355090001584612,0.22689194325577797,0.07977544457865016,0.05703629976579997,-0.10100380793965548,-0.07647124241335138,-0.1335450142650466,0.011938269394267823,-0.17392130776352543,0.12942544225706773,0.009305366720832209,0.09216673353437557,0.049109685143817264,0.21989942377520957,-0.007737727785953642,-0.49726204231434923,0.13534140977370535,0.028853081427226934,0.07247263082164565,0.08400060354098524,-0.09391397609407805,0.10078411276673041,-0.7644411237324696,-0.10213060617771705,-0.0048962513101463686,-0.4408423945821351,0.2161310772002291,0.21845663933988196,0.09304570150333516,0.07877758577626581,0.2276884434903592,-0.17935931065612018,0.06684289718415674,0.04437059998437602,-0.022692540088058075,0.03781403382820703,-0.2576905540940768,0.22405122739049504,0.08767961870326439,-0.2873360221602559,0.18382843528109266,0.09396062357637644,0.09240249156201057,0.17817144457731887,0.21723134355953597,0.03541056620185781,0.1258162065990324,-0.4484845363187853,-0.16571122286373108,-0.12849022535385282,0.1184137639456018,0.11747957056451226,0.07441240479305165,-0.3115082416984629,0.07055471775762391,0.019835756496259915,0.11461567688902677,0.08446336978516793,-0.5354331821323287,0.15683133419850234,-0.1424057463865569,0.0699070234703554,0.1483186310087167,-0.748337431828796,-0.12736472274042313,0.21481090577863088;-0.02951117203734396,-0.024989547857522,-0.12080130909668249,-0.018922071713131042,0.11759261243630344,-0.21252209281343834,0.274272098650069,-0.04290489474112056,0.048149865297676266,0.32939473767829774,0.13607655899624205,-0.06105839756912095,0.2355203560476506,1.0594366523345073,-0.07233262845093942,-0.21638022425124182,-0.13165855452716846,0.10979996330525588,-0.2145388785473425,-0.14714364342894648,-0.14934113360821016,-0.19923217109899177,-0.07932068706662772,-0.019393671426412785,0.37678174633008893,-0.04515550883063779,-0.057681945339591464,-0.2064495243540158,-0.08494560702432913,-0.10794855100240754,-0.07279070410278755,-0.10424329251352338,-0.17337689676596973,-0.005949890959837126,-0.0839674309591995,0.3680877853559561,-0.06681077049509354,0.8278594593253777,-0.18294968190286146,-0.1714069874049601,-0.19607414864589162,-0.12204554572685507,-0.2075443452001668,-0.012467683663627592,-0.12578536945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k{149}=[0.6924890662347278;0.8581101623956426;0.8543671703007982];
x_a{149}=[7.342627996923365,11.200821739255195,18.54636756898346];
L_a{149}=[-0.04720364504235366,-0.04996394487162304,0.018281807757001944,-0.05340352311197158,-0.11689611129667161,0.1374337312249251,-0.1669456140963079,-0.03761958258167757,-0.08836788376736511,-0.17992577032879978,-0.12408571926449855,-0.027223771870787096,-0.15641155859683972,-0.2280203644935852,-0.019170945114517404,0.14831843085856908,0.028775766745341075,-0.11417240838431877,0.14304617604619332,0.041543346647275714,0.0469201503577133,0.11265822057638264,-0.01393153729658139,-0.05250478186698129,-0.19038306056241863,-0.038377313689763756,-0.029201893172945463,0.1239704048326183,-0.010082853448278698,0.24110903412224732,-0.018528012998280895,0.22310085217995868,0.07217517619649048,-0.0614039807679863,-0.011609084542826343,-0.1888391368630771,-0.02274100377449403,-0.23314636406505757,0.08600941650023217,0.07216237163234866,0.10397451309292265,0.020722086960376546,0.1261882308086768,-0.05703536071778321,0.0225234896356289,-0.03100916574787231,-0.0025964576855320174,-0.1445620078526049,0.032510441599161215,0.28984777988176247,-0.06196690510864203,0.010132543664333523,-0.017587750972237443,-0.025157300000652624,-0.2277690560584365,-0.03684871109903569,0.4180519936451713,0.08662579874297996,0.030729607355455903,0.24885748269787938,-0.13933222772546014,-0.19883717021198813,-0.031309071772117135,-0.23287045201129622,-0.17813923091228728,0.12893091018044667,-0.233029318471454,0.0011345021780798587,0.041268594267169244,0.005250439303754139,0.17006649080230915,-0.1528895899910664,-0.02770540400381898,0.1846580463271746,-0.10232842877778081,-0.031993208257196794,-0.03107108472773434,-0.09707378838491795,-0.14022619456604743,0.005510391316643565,-0.054708710269276956,0.2661241330605326,0.12179090229459186,0.10109546475446549,-0.04900980215401232,-0.04822396340487417,-0.01910966299025856,0.197349281169628,-0.015877916580334047,0.015797029866490092,-0.04709494694709483,-0.025902658771953066,0.2984383285502458,-0.07858912302077757,0.10886633732376949,-0.015917026391517108,-0.07122973622050016,0.4115863975793096,0.10063533608784103,-0.13701014114754032;-0.008291578837324887,-0.011278080354698634,0.0635662927039598,-0.016138109050830064,-0.10875668014224298,0.16483051541897184,-0.21072814207056645,0.0034354309007947055,-0.06304419308859742,-0.24405277078288679,-0.12152040527802943,0.014875534763466102,-0.1857710331443773,-0.6967049132633717,0.0248323482788067,0.17345290231101024,0.07459221148483294,-0.10391388886873326,0.1689430587467467,0.08586519095339101,0.09099060820322184,0.14493925446235306,0.03047979525971876,-0.01496723119284716,-0.27533019086374044,0.0029325737598541743,0.013794987664507328,0.15604427814044844,0.03432210777798106,0.20771402532943464,0.026156967270857246,0.19360398560026926,0.11329445901613633,-0.026424642575075128,0.03306937449404009,-0.2689356948816863,0.020065268088285283,-0.5551271159065249,0.12482779958253483,0.11300271347964083,0.13945685446694678,0.0663474538754092,0.15740626279181863,-0.020330104526233485,0.06844442472629772,0.01074716305344876,0.0422922663442671,-0.15967146448795055,0.07762368479350566,0.26378009389476764,-0.027362702907048383,0.055457710514543755,0.026293151453248363,0.017946051246120625,-0.6919584015361422,0.004031873288468865,0.33322187171978557,0.1253194124253979,0.0757892934823774,0.21257309930667695,-0.14970817909566278,-0.3036224493377565,0.01083867934192162,-0.5326613782584235,-0.2400448642873985,0.1591696073405596,-0.5450131963874907,0.04734941859562065,0.08566481614991547,0.051599909798674605,0.1888464713424292,-0.1773850720988507,0.014934608007636007,0.19751348782171582,-0.08485137335409108,0.009957290633227603,0.010820342803874583,-0.07671145744976042,-0.1509551669893924,0.049878988146222304,-0.017830343840514132,0.2502673354526857,0.15407045181710421,0.1369522372007236,-0.010269383262532376,-0.009140230149803497,0.024236899739070207,0.2066641541085184,0.028864684603749347,0.06131340852539415,-0.009039708858253302,0.016451757712981106,0.24816482637823498,-0.04951709493534075,0.1434403965507518,0.028114301193722716,-0.03870654005512471,0.3323490974113129,0.1368695977213565,-0.1449313373524771;-0.1529113446493762,-0.15560571989263539,-0.07300885089033458,-0.1585300186035676,-0.18799820155150876,0.14675834285322564,-0.16215855364005985,-0.1412503292940307,-0.18286221227532995,-0.14096875005670906,-0.18830938963523192,-0.13222701484415242,-0.17337207825586387,0.4633438651711391,-0.1224494771422771,0.1713550862967296,-0.05643269897655203,-0.1886705232327018,0.15941365837545568,-0.038540671295003125,-0.026682075225552365,0.09527991272030557,-0.11574063102660347,-0.15665212126708072,-0.12091927897696067,-0.14548181052733503,-0.13402178424199673,0.11763496830332966,-0.11130428874950156,0.5223607482542448,-0.12122679415673182,0.4789888634819802,0.015304066175757122,-0.1664727026841582,-0.1143159990659014,-0.12557710141078327,-0.12626049707077527,0.21836624023855633,0.04189687036795845,0.017240501735667112,0.07573691279663987,-0.06787368875484319,0.12233800709330443,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x_a{149}=[7.342627996923362,11.200821739255188,18.546367568983456];
std_x_a{149}=[1.340353268148429,1.884429193732857,2.4109699908060054];
pred_a{149}=[7.342627996923362];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.8 to 14.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 14.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{150}=[11.551975802045057,15.267957130114114,26.045518028506933];
std_x_f{150}=[1.4409783697577405,2.1842091611313292,3.23179537188923];
pred_f{150}=[11.551975802045057];
obs{150}=[12.201816405123349];
sqrt_r{150}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{150}=[3.0771170781037394];
L_f{150}=[0.02642756125837802,0.023879264337841936,0.07354826785052672,0.020320582605252813,-0.05737215262681313,0.10849817384388069,-0.1511581650748131,0.033891568690192476,-0.017319260108857218,-0.18387548581236746,-0.06831360546578187,0.04326512267300868,-0.12783405133518652,-0.6076532167005367,0.04947919259582063,0.10933831750028761,0.07943811640331101,-0.05294411575564341,0.1087241347447441,0.08570664889940252,0.08709651813350397,0.10469390238320869,0.05339049185995725,0.020835477760998613,-0.21281297615903577,0.03466046090514207,0.041479324306125054,0.10831228078908733,0.056130894957702925,0.04898511368504935,0.050152694172198406,0.05033973842526726,0.09677568762976776,0.012726756167191454,0.05527730859787235,-0.20661793275870496,0.04577496915496106,-0.47880036184887914,0.10044800556920633,0.09640872383549662,0.10479723792059444,0.07434371517683148,0.10819520152880534,0.01687920278416121,0.07602860513057585,0.03915671930498035,0.06083712175932422,-0.10271291648392221,0.08090230380672148,0.07900464574772417,0.01169231095816435,0.06850848618138054,0.0507532391851603,0.045027326335140054,-0.603733300777277,0.03476147993114047,-0.005880390214092739,0.10074386019789157,0.08021023992533807,0.046866942142148954,-0.09425827489198085,-0.24022798657595362,0.0401298666360234,-0.4579820783851278,-0.1789691619015446,0.10792140239959465,-0.47046233820515004,0.0646275232144426,0.08481637229766019,0.06642649177271887,0.10850074149548491,-0.11952962472781077,0.04207250978384099,0.10746508772973841,-0.03612043523640168,0.03896645036424964,0.039936780440348124,-0.029131202872662593,-0.09561900780512414,0.06536170157482447,0.01926372936195931,0.08881279943234946,0.10731149823993993,0.10423289056020939,0.02559369291434342,0.0256445145640893,0.04945367279203942,0.10645092512478786,0.05242701765611014,0.07241578117262981,0.025498706733257152,0.043490915510456016,0.034706380759504156,-0.005908256974146036,0.10495923774985835,0.05198932009109779,0.0021947451919992,0.005272105772654242,0.10398958092335844,-0.08941008131327563;0.13431878180526902,0.13432270932618715,0.11538733989172521,0.13296824309517566,0.08481876974669011,-0.020487168211595984,-0.020907632624591985,0.13313769308300857,0.11745897595825565,-0.06625260709035541,0.07518051079428544,0.13338805045762644,0.008622957713341733,-0.8268477474993843,0.13138220747831875,-0.03804647851283201,0.10740953230386885,0.08913270996447745,-0.02968087350921297,0.09924077175701927,0.09205307568677411,0.01570146107261027,0.13060234926798586,0.13200803830451657,-0.1082312995649611,0.13538090769169267,0.13379694652830654,0.001735457024928649,0.12948203982631198,-0.3056997806030103,0.1314018373554264,-0.271866654031658,0.06811163344429173,0.13205508613717898,0.13047255618091405,-0.09859852946781326,0.13191681228448243,-0.5724560901344861,0.05118281049844515,0.06659423025689415,0.029403824219483236,0.11253840555133443,-0.0030884963465577465,0.1322541239142157,0.11306926120248915,0.1333093484484314,0.1258888304423518,0.040212247833158084,0.10528757209113698,-0.32813871647835874,0.13086712875555956,0.11980781920973808,0.13189257521007108,0.13359161287235988,-0.8198624615912029,0.1341783023277745,-0.6877738687313983,0.0511692365076271,0.10716077173414812,-0.32041020367272477,0.047863303294108664,-0.15121288730906177,0.1346952687882297,-0.5322719126686831,-0.05974426321776847,-0.007319240849250936,-0.555539370177029,0.12585128152971603,0.09844600792734619,0.12294230480643814,-0.07568264218365592,0.019662305748199316,0.1336028863474687,-0.10167432895340216,0.10357394645869973,0.13369837182584382,0.13400169248431967,0.10865432574227428,0.0470491527411286,0.12110752779648029,0.13238509178107083,-0.2720338646408891,0.0034727796916234712,0.03219181918926952,0.13419995282813635,0.13385024688511735,0.13221178668697123,-0.12586283413089308,0.13183067718983105,0.11675194813029534,0.13310145672039272,0.13200222227622566,-0.42376806513926885,0.12342935402971321,0.021114381047346857,0.13101187801195222,0.12691540653911476,-0.6588348424971135,0.032757032757170526,0.05402289532686848;-0.09705034852134008,-0.10423476007112224,0.0757499320135842,-0.11473364519878068,-0.29813026746845733,0.34989271030027147,-0.45131044883987825,-0.07007981467048723,-0.21354684241116276,-0.48988969276721317,-0.31946615733197786,-0.04327709989316426,-0.4181673942571357,-0.5825685010715734,-0.02083916965881461,0.3731778631060845,0.10326064065302983,-0.28924185509231004,0.36156258157469445,0.13304577817254298,0.1468387019885471,0.2958240816697709,-0.006299322073376263,-0.11168636937769352,-0.5231085851266508,-0.07215607379253078,-0.04732426433195177,0.3233703493773725,0.0032085681399999467,0.5388829619711064,-0.018144974687981638,0.5044530384767927,0.20602714978882003,-0.13655160452719745,-0.0010350671652199592,-0.5166456414179912,-0.03147305404475546,-0.6319989776498185,0.23788699804182917,0.20647532498682486,0.2780705313357313,0.08271091964410913,0.3277620235853735,-0.12412047565894244,0.08686815018387174,-0.05437185412572427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k{150}=[0.6750204900828002;0.6530568902659799;1.1012590486358989];
x_a{150}=[11.990631524410668,15.692340013528993,26.76116087281791];
L_a{150}=[-0.02546394175664488,-0.023008562551251378,-0.07086650147312425,-0.019579639863939402,0.05528021063537816,-0.1045420405027743,0.1456465344597816,-0.03265579153259187,0.016687753605728942,0.17717089425784824,0.06582270886669941,-0.041687560689707186,0.12317288023249552,0.5854965566826578,-0.047675049018242925,-0.10535155027648366,-0.07654159040914975,0.05101363182088453,-0.10475976226539227,-0.08258155546001143,-0.08392074634790668,-0.10087648294512014,-0.051443731859653674,-0.020075760566433006,0.20505324638133188,-0.0333966478827934,-0.03996687730319066,-0.10436292560549183,-0.05408421253770357,-0.047198985544808336,-0.04832399292745263,-0.04850421704724533,-0.09324698746020064,-0.012262704629608824,-0.05326175021745824,0.1990840908174262,-0.044105891462255895,0.4613420212322922,-0.09678540287460448,-0.09289340414644877,-0.1009760505926853,-0.07163294466436199,-0.10425011536789228,-0.016263741946988056,-0.07325639902812403,-0.03772896068672304,-0.05861883773442141,0.0989677290852014,-0.07795238962731203,-0.07612392525196164,-0.011265978057089576,-0.06601048371065803,-0.048902640464499075,-0.043385509697455124,0.5817195713685411,-0.033493983485166495,0.005665975473636705,-0.09707046985296161,-0.07728556024433829,-0.04515804819642183,0.09082136631772304,0.2314686322615898,-0.038666624465686375,0.4412828280130834,0.17244346802721885,-0.10398629968656344,0.45330802421101424,-0.06227103102398702,-0.08172374072211602,-0.06400440438152531,-0.10454451453093976,0.11517125520984957,-0.040538433653312014,-0.10354662346890857,0.03480338764867338,-0.03754562945999745,-0.038480578708659625,0.028069001373152505,0.09213248327277868,-0.06297843927951915,-0.018561322313960855,-0.08557444744444517,-0.10339863426232138,-0.10043228084507726,-0.024660478480650116,-0.024709447037243506,-0.04765045973470017,-0.10256943994252324,-0.050515388499820804,-0.0697753082856711,-0.024568955749543004,-0.04190512051695005,-0.03344089337656096,0.005692826137154468,-0.10113214347528743,-0.05009365055761988,-0.0021147189176234306,-0.005079870708356793,-0.10019784292774431,0.08614995083196962;0.08411570784219292,0.08896050348297638,-0.024328508069296324,0.09436628124442498,0.19380568660916328,-0.22659554851536773,0.2662397309622751,0.06875562948495313,0.15035948038732222,0.2830461618722307,0.20495234083008954,0.05119953021018854,0.2514627063922129,0.3274797019260536,0.037389139361457095,-0.24575083635345804,-0.04349495692585787,0.1897079137528178,-0.2362185000725209,-0.06357172508129667,-0.0733996839921579,-0.18318014110931755,0.029179187835687386,0.09242795670467396,0.29603852609015463,0.06953821924220462,0.055000815257637906,-0.2040197918382322,0.02285307608559337,-0.3987542725168488,0.036129353059274824,-0.36749445664036146,-0.11572814489940822,0.10787872438647111,0.02546510638684729,0.2939028920205097,0.044960466230587554,0.3370962421612728,-0.13963308067409594,-0.11654844590906584,-0.16967407914875857,-0.02868851263541704,-0.2086213357824538,0.10018957366963482,-0.03135835545736353,0.058925350008313074,0.010319690576456602,0.2353306733583614,-0.04839835836922601,-0.47821976387890996,0.10865584917160172,-0.010334215661976474,0.03547926655221953,0.048055525290840166,0.32701852589624386,0.0681437132490798,-0.6766031949804768,-0.14020867443136079,-0.045210480694270264,-0.4094409144440259,0.22692088260570353,0.30513581850464977,0.05846263259604366,0.3377330011461645,0.2802342154700673,-0.2123319582125728,0.3381736490016591,0.003081711675574176,-0.06267527640566564,-0.0032446727572318147,-0.28179590012264094,0.2467265638657221,0.05367991124431517,-0.3058202088928217,0.17219007278313303,0.05967581747097395,0.05813585217117651,0.1639933681212234,0.2286916461283975,-0.0030567227914605113,0.09579077948308996,-0.4407469553108266,-0.20038133422213383,-0.1658140226293918,0.085580935514925,0.08513468630723725,0.038267197224050635,-0.32808216171956245,0.03223777796918164,-0.020812573346347684,0.08466287975231686,0.04938477503064853,-0.4896979851657597,0.13465296482625919,-0.17827126503430765,0.03225045026212565,0.12274616238802549,-0.6688499896935582,-0.16478660630372063,0.2238706115550177;-0.18170850050662446,-0.18072968784161667,-0.15985487378249993,-0.17982867813829004,-0.11434409176660698,0.00232924042129467,0.03291020200293971,-0.17864819694164547,-0.15806625756894585,0.09913774991203006,-0.10063008927248196,-0.18187276125985183,-0.008663299610564466,1.3639901643623296,-0.17934100665893576,0.022923073787595796,-0.15121172878530642,-0.11964046983596757,0.013275267671632717,-0.14150723251719066,-0.13216662118321423,-0.039552770293080686,-0.17733063026933985,-0.1784308194512866,0.15861732609040718,-0.18318752835995922,-0.1801992923007781,-0.02359762997064468,-0.17660135794210474,0.3819638592653782,-0.17880430924369867,0.3431945256371072,-0.10398446239669723,-0.17732054447394316,-0.17811061139965506,0.1452350438013646,-0.17810876734251146,0.9017919540110254,-0.08388853163935656,-0.10236075396031441,-0.05763734608739385,-0.15544202519470582,-0.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x_a{150}=[11.990631524410679,15.692340013529007,26.761160872817932];
std_x_a{150}=[1.388436447894479,2.154656109198338,3.1662415882152914];
pred_a{150}=[11.990631524410679];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 14.9 to 15.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{151}=[12.418119482154909,9.048332902633373,35.383189022737405];
std_x_f{151}=[1.3937645118681465,3.020230459694798,2.15844313594459];
pred_f{151}=[12.418119482154909];
obs{151}=[12.750288195487153];
sqrt_r{151}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{151}=[2.9513171143677894];
L_f{151}=[0.09347512944488022,0.09540899435814612,0.04067278184988126,0.09744582680269782,0.11824097598319523,-0.09584694047046079,0.09934155520413526,0.08616351501601871,0.11419942489045569,0.08398651731464297,0.11835488293617578,0.0792693750113685,0.10750290884594041,-0.3411355249075158,0.07313129606658365,-0.10963926570350928,0.029455460210909973,0.11862978821299752,-0.10260721117302368,0.01706568938724464,0.010670846021919948,-0.0645614766665596,0.0687338564104143,0.09617160241619063,0.06912623672829975,0.08846127460105377,0.08066511146080055,-0.07855154003541448,0.06556730822725684,-0.27056411678784836,0.07220655778531121,-0.2461099486131984,-0.015955139745096072,0.10228649037964317,0.06749279275526807,0.0726529558785012,0.07572968593940241,-0.17314184705660726,-0.03260774399287211,-0.017079469970168883,-0.05371503486264378,0.03711194468527547,-0.08194130562479167,0.09934920441987147,0.036303982387522825,0.08220586316746231,0.058964312021541496,0.11545443268288733,0.02625888066071595,-0.30730433721018424,0.10213893754349161,0.04779662590907787,0.07183122753795511,0.07792796724053658,-0.3364414619290101,0.08646393598532413,-0.5125298677324368,-0.03333162516081812,0.02804776566300237,-0.28027600309915723,0.11576399002272042,0.051285597882440435,0.0823654179864545,-0.14841131718832054,0.08614520312406367,-0.08469887458043884,-0.16352783371436894,0.05641275130016235,0.01764182361615368,0.05200367025452626,-0.13860417611312806,0.11030344963903602,0.07963970211027314,-0.15737268298653698,0.11740476337625229,0.08286321489330034,0.08222907785776952,0.1162169593610774,0.11592485136632599,0.05167405395724992,0.09799279791452054,-0.2724904795707767,-0.07590738345837214,-0.05128906240536029,0.09472941604873594,0.09398596482905497,0.07373998207830705,-0.17509181618694414,0.07015201112976861,0.04223909167080304,0.0932538149819581,0.07780272345557576,-0.3485283336205029,0.11008654631641467,-0.0606349691143195,0.07044382719080354,0.10683663022473554,-0.49799891860869155,-0.05025223326303952,0.11704668891963302;0.15580917504659653,0.15266439500586532,0.17080973592540363,0.14928623422107107,0.04220855110191527,0.05916624825967606,-0.1346673702435236,0.1588559397768338,0.10494814022806445,-0.20577922865294446,0.023724511883487114,0.16769391005913628,-0.08739030689176137,-1.32153295361587,0.17042008559623711,0.04212648115748321,0.16801153226408355,0.0496162445803462,0.050137023948554627,0.16296859048739795,0.15803671507259387,0.0921767974586621,0.17049796834200065,0.14882134378208087,-0.26771768775726146,0.16265008608525253,0.16519925445007833,0.08089537476569568,0.17236072947513734,-0.25917058924496567,0.17035992506841674,-0.22512089267307728,0.1397989008794832,0.1418453365118191,0.1732745174969667,-0.2550658237135345,0.16661028116708754,-0.9442644178811357,0.12566949567980393,0.1388805850387957,0.10641008864407409,0.16815053362327617,0.07632224404538193,0.14573329786130854,0.16987878281344995,0.16317755089800792,0.1724815211975856,-0.03677891277706042,0.165647938549454,-0.26471627455291946,0.13999172391557668,0.17177143135559755,0.1706373984535875,0.16855692248964152,-1.3111809840784274,0.16087395258166012,-0.6622620022333446,0.12588637272813807,0.16794595650770225,-0.27553278975758577,-0.0226941527123842,-0.3309671786260181,0.1654644850761322,-0.886334692185352,-0.19412321654819742,0.07204714223132669,-0.9218723158526828,0.17557319908766525,0.16141993500869667,0.17345159028530768,0.0031150269882388704,-0.07049397498208604,0.16495639083701374,-0.022309796377032665,0.07683291684603766,0.1640589954757686,0.16491106301883626,0.08602953676417226,-0.02458138631571066,0.17122652319644438,0.14867171050979064,-0.20337636383840943,0.08224808970427629,0.1096432940269903,0.15639557785315633,0.15489114280349267,0.1708081908029384,-0.04722986220882559,0.17186459222799902,0.17146031641513074,0.15294477177419807,0.16556770306284854,-0.3846288226461776,0.11959627953124943,0.0975829528306427,0.17166936101317848,0.12875036047336322,-0.6272981471756728,0.11000195486293192,-0.013082785646354605;0.0716546908975301,0.07853270196002801,-0.06260927162612173,0.0855942437230159,0.21972573048007485,-0.26712121267861183,0.3159325619558321,0.052453683282762134,0.1597929998707575,0.3374098447282646,0.23420454038854038,0.029538962735103803,0.2970953208035066,0.39291546156050716,0.011970984967859262,-0.2827715727250458,-0.08434182274161649,0.21376351900060256,-0.274804125531692,-0.1083733815403541,-0.11688223079665758,-0.22814200444238622,0.002551606553135242,0.08336434427154182,0.35348880622499235,0.053777460227236576,0.034681514253535,-0.24830069311967498,-0.0055375316403738556,-0.3311589896050877,0.010867577577879471,-0.31288173022248444,-0.16327243052762488,0.10272212653727081,-0.002725713888420087,0.35004612118536493,0.022288094329378883,0.39154897473710537,-0.1871869481916307,-0.16449286236713126,-0.21700176370980934,-0.06738409164524838,-0.252137257935258,0.09278121155353529,-0.07067081221347439,0.04001108919076046,-0.021162723885617414,0.27548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k{151}=[0.6611682305734828;0.9727408641996289;0.5400535912694288];
x_a{151}=[12.63773888260066,9.37144698390026,35.562577929279826];
L_a{151}=[-0.09583704630613532,-0.09781977585508576,-0.041700496171497015,-0.09990807470490551,-0.12122867288743597,0.09826878793022166,-0.10185170411383364,-0.08834068299802572,-0.11708500043120373,-0.08610867721473196,-0.12134545802581687,-0.08127234280111532,-0.11021927772978267,0.34975529096761343,-0.0749791677121315,0.11240961576195398,-0.030199736774540832,-0.12162730957179531,0.1051998762337212,-0.01749690290630637,-0.010940475508315981,0.06619280728072252,-0.07047061414863785,-0.09860165338985268,-0.07087290907904482,-0.09069650205983519,-0.08270334652937716,0.08053636966859097,-0.06722405405653537,0.27740069410297985,-0.07403106326970203,0.2523286213318592,0.01635829204679836,-0.10487105151094103,-0.06919819146579748,-0.07448874088921509,-0.07764321334696066,0.17751677170640953,0.033431672034498094,0.01751103169512621,0.055072299060066436,-0.03804968425757321,0.08401178739398342,-0.10185954660891272,-0.037221306478337414,-0.08428302974067098,-0.06045421424048549,-0.11837171958989468,-0.026922386486902622,0.31506926141947994,-0.10471977032978809,-0.049004344553771804,-0.07364624922868833,-0.07989704052111762,0.34494261904400586,-0.08864869496353596,0.5254804027430134,0.03417384413337164,-0.028756472792196966,0.2873579790371043,-0.11868909878250095,-0.052581475396571244,-0.08444661616913536,0.15216135417195348,-0.08832190840367456,0.08683903422706278,0.1676598327822307,-0.05783818102972719,-0.018087594816575982,-0.053317691923720725,0.1421064075895234,-0.11309058220685621,-0.08165202727480282,0.16134915454270682,-0.12037133097403817,-0.08495699134053929,-0.08430683101661646,-0.1191535136885105,-0.11885402474866495,-0.052979746926661755,-0.10046886660841153,0.27937573195878473,0.0778254009026786,0.052585027460585305,-0.09712302605335552,-0.09636078940934069,-0.07560323391923768,0.17951601239159976,-0.07192460260861827,-0.043306383296006945,-0.09561013969945581,-0.07976863209322739,0.3573349001659802,-0.1128681982005706,0.06216708526952905,-0.07222379223820587,-0.10953616367096936,0.5105822875725435,0.05152199986047105,-0.12000420874073563;-0.12271553459322651,-0.13162258708705332,0.04961841132111836,-0.14106982922614,-0.31011012124256593,0.3447581637021922,-0.4306720720579877,-0.09788259745658613,-0.2353280578103118,-0.4560310388150765,-0.3289335651902871,-0.06850238931470728,-0.40771312055962644,-0.30506286593632165,-0.04748678571267233,0.36881492573674846,0.08024408490912945,-0.30386095853112377,0.35587229137891924,0.11211852791338933,0.1262411528998868,0.2845484651874051,-0.03430599943880545,-0.13773795597648333,-0.47369081801750396,-0.10093500835589345,-0.07515587403286006,0.31495276532567323,-0.023007980836520517,0.547020239425967,-0.0447915345837898,0.5082046708650146,0.18733989591374167,-0.1629342899220338,-0.027831494514781233,-0.4715474007994139,-0.059038925340026735,-0.4283594604412981,0.2228296973458507,0.1897717091537772,0.2664629773349954,0.05756931614841051,0.32048000549690314,-0.1502941960648603,0.06170502351187459,-0.08176850379464491,-0.00321246267216632,-0.38079461546291493,0.08740523212126582,0.6509481572679112,-0.16434824427881037,0.02935342742077268,-0.04339570224276925,-0.06364242911747106,-0.30869763849684323,-0.09675973894298631,0.8649060631084747,0.22520349884364194,0.0843729694069998,0.559596220983556,-0.3676322330264478,-0.483781155389051,-0.07995698976191533,-0.44411846555241086,-0.4508071904510287,0.3244215394579963,-0.4346139116781118,0.007482015163427759,0.10885318458655745,0.01849799734711262,0.41610924412425265,-0.39916146616859904,-0.07234335977895878,0.4466083115129579,-0.2729941208258935,-0.08284574811796017,-0.08010416370829908,-0.2602582411025009,-0.3699987797827604,0.017255076889516174,-0.14331414442320412,0.6085543834393484,0.30842677555171,0.26246759391282687,-0.12586648753272134,-0.1251556859058197,-0.04891236181011959,0.47448535287985455,-0.037165003629261846,0.04560191094485452,-0.12492049457958135,-0.06625846383676452,0.6538693693263061,-0.20842491209609953,0.27825493763430176,-0.03822974937859669,-0.18958716512255894,0.8565725361831815,0.25973684971102184,-0.36184288086362837;-0.08297875284293146,-0.0792998835526137,-0.12989318298631242,-0.07560782003580638,0.02412279934643809,-0.10856414445145304,0.15159444465151772,-0.09008434935581956,-0.029124099777704967,0.19847316202712592,0.03841317598382935,-0.10159427574187532,0.11925609120642809,0.9572469721123595,-0.10900819123801536,-0.10139822426762184,-0.13306921447054704,0.017517386039701335,-0.10506371960216086,-0.1366047018436954,-0.13453473021327167,-0.12133965467076639,-0.11115300109410144,-0.0757298036581838,0.23913509415638778,-0.092561695551069,-0.09876065425661432,-0.11835495012976607,-0.11400380206101712,0.11642809992306671,-0.10858182845446336,0.09425147321734618,-0.1368782632363207,-0.0664877194341821,-0.11437726263072598,0.2298582505492385,-0.10298952978023751,0.6779729703490627,-0.13324481645916325,-0.13623874520855184,-0.12814239683032905,-0.12877740390563588,-0.11658391504502032,-0.07156955964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x_a{151}=[12.637738882600662,9.371446983900258,35.56257792927981];
std_x_a{151}=[1.4289819640476766,3.0573119617950755,2.1734188212518677];
pred_a{151}=[12.637738882600662];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.0 to 15.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{152}=[7.351706196862291,1.7696893395188935,31.94010852649879];
std_x_f{152}=[1.5265995569998623,2.1479357668794865,2.093334368288216];
pred_f{152}=[7.351706196862291];
obs{152}=[7.203953415755171];
sqrt_r{152}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{152}=[3.331521783565125];
L_f{152}=[-0.0318681052613515,-0.03657079464160327,0.06348971440042438,-0.042308461487002395,-0.14859950237425193,0.186210327613985,-0.23321946627617648,-0.017705131227651105,-0.09998049362472747,-0.25432493428137654,-0.16175634053473012,-9.872528022523202E-4,-0.21591016966841883,-0.3601806122130278,0.011600245338232344,0.19367690124084463,0.07801839707553737,-0.14403622273371194,0.19021088308019216,0.0941101628538462,0.09985457526550529,0.16565185890066197,0.01839968316307133,-0.04091229715314601,-0.2703158695874699,-0.01894875640075624,-0.004421133691811156,0.17680811611642852,0.02437667249428737,0.19001676318053887,0.012720541426092644,0.18568635187815172,0.12805433609137362,-0.05513092910251666,0.02218438117578356,-0.2673670137497245,0.004166549957824681,-0.3384352422642437,0.14269676921283506,0.12901466780168078,0.1599282265791461,0.06646348700402625,0.17816200639061738,-0.04825244859766658,0.06916350292071459,-0.008212483107105616,0.0349091637763751,-0.19628385151916686,0.08185779807840435,0.22689452575012029,-0.056584821944789025,0.052645136667432625,0.01317531426134564,0.002254354722256141,-0.35974421276879887,-0.016740202792365457,0.158766183425302,0.14381739345798894,0.08040923324410773,0.1903492281293073,-0.1875439439965868,-0.28266413277101826,-0.0073438368266402635,-0.3356342691242136,-0.25093603709677675,0.18030085120968156,-0.3372802583481218,0.04166976587392935,0.09260445216742931,0.04698356151573973,0.20616261632814958,-0.21003078004657877,-0.0032611608198098137,0.21274180177678603,-0.12443686875771082,-0.009150262303029549,-0.007017995425689277,-0.11554002551270486,-0.18875380457112917,0.04578801062544779,-0.043780703002929376,0.22930937134141954,0.17499383697423876,0.15831987306390666,-0.03288020213592021,-0.033346282441934605,0.010673475210570209,0.21771627985753722,0.01669593099086234,0.060960120966359416,-0.03327599335193421,1.8745360650302605E-4,0.19076300602394344,-0.083035550254117,0.16378707061311737,0.01649351164219165,-0.07162314993471956,0.16989020890118073,0.15704105669354593,-0.18249370152959393;0.08195894413038361,0.07688058068112019,0.14651808478768627,0.07178709331828771,-0.05331412089288206,0.11872621704449463,-0.1919089017545974,0.09278596989362443,0.01055821198687328,-0.23647066782663534,-0.07109972931174643,0.1076276521581939,-0.15926770941158844,-0.8267890974517895,0.11687311583935696,0.10793108736602629,0.15126159624995877,-0.046235014816100706,0.11380823831179916,0.15675343505118558,0.15591665192551107,0.137453745868967,0.120965997360812,0.07166297403027135,-0.273972628942198,0.09386681616200915,0.10381654813959697,0.13105229647800373,0.12504085678241494,-0.1329900049581048,0.11757170771004177,-0.10122298601951768,0.157254876316655,0.058602174999400534,0.12467471491181864,-0.26654989488917574,0.11059535962988633,-0.6130025901710173,0.1534033945376877,0.1569715383898362,0.1460705263423569,0.14569295620211317,0.12943905207616604,0.0658414798583865,0.1492162081234142,0.10032317131252513,0.13139219594908835,-0.12324612813111324,0.15212076879900643,-0.15291665419399975,0.05720354733132651,0.14029514487940778,0.1173535848444522,0.11027532477316433,-0.820141949325593,0.09404205089402387,-0.5542040150652973,0.15331861016280576,0.15300485412852372,-0.1481930959468478,-0.11071385223281023,-0.3086417166605542,0.10227748558759309,-0.5837552470485862,-0.22978607624409303,0.12785057230045385,-0.6014733874023581,0.13717402241488433,0.15488239415731242,0.1383822553233777,0.08018167724085211,-0.1478161367600097,0.10437407887050719,0.060443059666763235,-0.01974119411069661,0.10091597675922905,0.10297842761688222,-0.008379637486425907,-0.11202282347633179,0.13700848220721956,0.07032299142944426,-0.09549346297082881,0.13335980788252377,0.14665466790705403,0.08096405691424083,0.08038407464957534,0.11642652445566311,0.04133708573078874,0.11986701890551285,0.14458774786793824,0.07931889315031064,0.10735222682160916,-0.2542107508450702,0.029214374257859405,0.1407224306411968,0.12031662205105839,0.042409375657107805,-0.5189356326070814,0.1473237424768239,-0.10244432172939318;-0.1334087909709797,-0.13908477757630092,-0.018328319462843582,-0.14425268210874367,-0.21498558448303662,0.23096518517070969,-0.2271582744928895,-0.11770928485469294,-0.19048519760538096,-0.21804362562661952,-0.22012162784649073,-0.10099280742581933,-0.22915497221934722,0.14247090870088874,-0.08718967622960246,0.25268675047707945,0.005442342740806512,-0.21418081557597338,0.2418150032339281,0.029817347071859592,0.041978663629695046,0.17769042017606662,-0.07840174935040123,-0.14217763317055598,-0.20842447562589336,-0.121721478251442,-0.10443996247121357,0.20366780775000626,-0.0698190212886007,0.4311187473820526,-0.08551411435467245,0.39936936405798784,0.09186691412617096,-0.15629843900024273,-0.07432746417597785,-0.21141185764031253,-0.09445192563734947,-0.004903184630925444,0.12240338623790017,0.09432585767097437,0.16060983408552995,-0.012169770748988082,0.20914970413196457,-0.1491193257867536,-0.009485455413085828,-0.108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k{152}=[0.6998368718664418;0.5812450125176304;0.6699390087374546];
x_a{152}=[7.248303352722717,1.6838087724147708,31.841123174785682];
L_a{152}=[0.02761735643458585,0.031692774403442904,-0.05502109579928685,0.03666511866654806,0.12877845700004328,-0.16137253681514727,0.20211132964482653,0.015343520294824728,0.08664452769611694,0.22040163049070868,0.14018036138218906,8.555674178693584E-4,0.18711084530074612,0.3121376770516132,-0.010052938748860336,-0.1678431764564737,-0.06761186028537651,0.12482385350824679,-0.16483947547812974,-0.08155721497517641,-0.08653540504261194,-0.1435562733897313,-0.01594542894943477,0.03545518265895829,0.23425960404919258,0.016421263681041055,0.00383141777681352,-0.15322444567286378,-0.02112517350632579,-0.16467124839290434,-0.011023803383484144,-0.16091845193809215,-0.11097372165136822,0.04777725274557215,-0.019225302451707504,0.23170408334668027,-0.003610791866791808,0.29329282801674367,-0.12366306390339747,-0.11180595886539399,-0.13859609164602654,-0.057598209727948435,-0.1543977463748963,0.04181626302645067,-0.05993808219098656,0.007117055479825227,-0.030252781297754498,0.17010239690441745,-0.07093914018237363,-0.19663004559912947,0.04903721710534297,-0.04562302941980157,-0.011417916035772357,-0.001953656089182282,0.31175948704313045,0.014507299493098355,-0.1375890484061198,-0.1246342129238316,-0.06968379315062237,-0.1649593672790711,0.1625282678723679,0.2449607857759177,0.006364274172419427,0.2908654645780479,0.21746476365473927,-0.15625129992763936,0.29229190241334924,-0.03611161590085846,-0.08025234452953467,-0.040716627308248335,-0.17866347597158067,0.18201568204982385,0.0028261686728022145,-0.1843650923084828,0.10783877265063804,0.007929748361889458,0.0060818953476538245,0.10012864087390028,0.16357675037389305,-0.039680545784037895,0.037940984249697614,-0.1987227853739749,-0.15165216538413084,-0.13720226945487604,0.028494454081341658,0.0288983659497373,-0.00924978648302395,-0.18867604625775178,-0.014468932915854826,-0.0528289139004815,0.02883745241766232,-1.6244998010662274E-4,-0.165317953128691,0.0719597970856165,-0.14194022115224167,-0.01429351340924624,0.06206964752039516,-0.14722928820184222,-0.13609402887310956,0.15815165542088425;0.1313642117263308,0.13357644887432718,0.048089693648055744,0.1373780923499487,0.17706035914651178,-0.16995649532419735,0.16965229071241397,0.12023431484384364,0.1655584230566878,0.1578104270626632,0.17967185638247582,0.10915819463883737,0.17545880230516755,-0.26839946671219145,0.09888920307096706,-0.19232708783720154,0.03030932270521164,0.17706499217548888,-0.18107655327432554,0.010854024302996744,0.0011116526570127184,-0.11935707955147777,0.0924408854064898,0.13508949318600635,0.14509928521382234,0.12324315883793002,0.11067065168074093,-0.14305412491822744,0.08724959125839865,-0.4275738515865857,0.09785099485411874,-0.38909337643714526,-0.04126833959252246,0.14407190351904092,0.09028216852565799,0.14795039473595759,0.10413593840198361,-0.0883249047285073,-0.06782005160760869,-0.04304048410948828,-0.10186692602543093,0.04265431195689148,-0.14676631153025552,0.14064746896808553,0.04199171700140715,0.1130550209849882,0.07727236159501427,0.18105361386918462,0.025216254529585896,-0.5046722627815952,0.14492725249436064,0.05867915160496426,0.0969278356069564,0.10678038846001178,-0.2624288706164349,0.11999446293059052,-0.8003399466805066,-0.06964214481375922,0.028346056467655017,-0.44329236448778564,0.18003637164032885,0.12957376570967882,0.1136626690061115,-0.06341992292242586,0.15924119602578116,-0.15167065209422173,-0.07858627874428689,0.07257319607838177,0.011317293490454721,0.06554342759078331,-0.23943315848411498,0.17779553065754317,0.10942987122636848,-0.2693715169900081,0.1731738458440742,0.11510166975687772,0.11385845763905654,0.17074258618152963,0.18060305271277816,0.06602312242243799,0.13819641313618186,-0.45099281759109794,-0.1379339283609961,-0.09878934673804422,0.13193838286841197,0.13208096700833827,0.09987938760418388,-0.29618944677381737,0.09398324164287815,0.05008099686015729,0.13090681601521542,0.10706161664836027,-0.5499515011258892,0.1579447630474501,-0.1131974050702472,0.09474665641938372,0.15344706865986443,-0.7823171911860759,-0.09613771737044127,0.1804764884255482;-0.07646461891473598,-0.073737509352276,-0.13177620696571757,-0.06865294718278148,0.05054245872114658,-0.10176852608510008,0.18957467230712113,-0.08607251101334232,-0.011833019054329498,0.23640205594564673,0.06891597922357587,-0.09922871467623731,0.1566485058808074,0.7860669613992568,-0.1079178105512886,-0.09338875972760445,-0.13396641690106953,0.04319323858930737,-0.09806718192455,-0.13834531154373672,-0.13644851514010836,-0.11830797311767637,-0.11127959744415002,-0.0690726628813334,0.2745949339400097,-0.08786250747525615,-0.09653996981192348,-0.1122653706584566,-0.11337697433568263,0.09158342931450263,-0.10824407252681613,0.06757192950297011,-0.13694958083434586,-0.05778661701747747,-0.11396807689126112,0.2663383288947104,-0.10189701017355014,0.5998367114922356,-0.13257723816026323,-0.13620662553843016,-0.1251611703807277,-0.13093140431259875,-0.10920270064990263,-0.06289845659648854,-0.133071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x_a{152}=[7.248303352722717,1.683808772414773,31.841123174785675];
std_x_a{152}=[1.322973040059494,2.0500383862576173,1.9652069589016417];
pred_a{152}=[7.248303352722717];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.1 to 15.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{153}=[3.32348993732203,1.1015854609310922,25.039457007551114];
std_x_f{153}=[1.4783773207702355,2.0958161278219705,1.2951720250014287];
pred_f{153}=[3.32348993732203];
obs{153}=[3.295578112964317];
sqrt_r{153}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{153}=[3.1956661940740645];
L_f{153}=[0.10033290340802822,0.10283516898946318,0.03638521821303348,0.1054937587007554,0.13059247137115165,-0.13170392644404072,0.11691264174925055,0.09279901264043551,0.12510796549537231,0.1053182191674419,0.13149290230685362,0.0837804755519244,0.12338527376447811,-0.2066675922625246,0.07606488756271518,-0.14916529759513805,0.02198479765429147,0.13052769544372547,-0.1408301075311421,0.006969909252211378,-7.463036006621503E-4,-0.09426926255103849,0.07100579180878958,0.10399470275733876,0.09329335372289864,0.09462595542853741,0.08518835713906024,-0.11248883773295304,0.06666918383743427,-0.3080577975498396,0.0753012039269272,-0.28151307033436407,-0.034201791154524194,0.11069163775456237,0.06927898392773317,0.09604236384452279,0.08027218277382284,-0.08155019315859281,-0.05458705553832445,-0.03548274202583135,-0.08072298026485358,0.031952774895604316,-0.11561638756581546,0.10752465119715998,0.031098575233010625,0.08709647523013249,0.05876936668746445,0.12936773220752662,0.017849820108290258,-0.3640401138821071,0.11095260146996289,0.0445428822409687,0.07467131498569056,0.08260641823779194,-0.20308684598760118,0.09221559732748763,-0.5410274349757563,-0.05596877610339582,0.020816718422346846,-0.3180073412547745,0.12968588566307995,0.08015638895711236,0.08691394990714903,-0.06415975510603135,0.10629999142861539,-0.11871503832636635,-0.07493093265879336,0.055226937017616974,0.0076720222465767,0.04975409966275278,-0.18345517198436903,0.12553867014208875,0.08358849440108258,-0.20458249310627225,0.12917484297889686,0.08809015096821571,0.08751926186661663,0.1281588681570714,0.1299964466997699,0.050654491254792926,0.10619631698394913,-0.32863758653646535,-0.10854680650734182,-0.07895283137967787,0.10147753063012842,0.1008690864862217,0.07674900163182898,-0.22420642894390927,0.07168388417571725,0.03752093399343272,0.1004371415995683,0.08233015782366379,-0.38739438356623224,0.11988037715530182,-0.0894343429849966,0.07222806159160515,0.11695420487891553,-0.5318360106998338,-0.07658330979461846,0.1305998043702155;0.14869398845163057,0.14808594229650354,0.10702090402169344,0.1489999480074986,0.11088208613633065,-0.09783812606622848,0.023714225891140275,0.14414823310444022,0.13854783403623042,-0.011649731778983277,0.10194692377860019,0.1425202539734554,0.04738372054957893,-0.5717577489444946,0.13850160461438024,-0.12212678702174092,0.09301818053200067,0.11498531920735207,-0.10987573884059852,0.07857380139633202,0.06934093500583971,-0.04627866582151995,0.13521577659078304,0.1470071795950748,-0.04233867112125169,0.1474255440329054,0.1423118644325295,-0.07002106582262976,0.13148428965930534,-0.38541275313362805,0.13733642802604668,-0.34531948259598755,0.03139582643427564,0.14763430572485825,0.13465998534482515,-0.03538175190054338,0.1397772325587713,-0.36652501588073527,0.0058634626778973735,0.029999955410931096,-0.027425610320321703,0.10242579101627941,-0.07476313850181579,0.1475545457959471,0.1025095759927005,0.14288244145581,0.12543133295317738,0.07181257825950865,0.08925373588245206,-0.4561247104092161,0.1477877927588976,0.11406114791832807,0.13663660843482434,0.14198165590502948,-0.5656636451034928,0.14593858309872418,-0.7653149041361135,0.004194245398873875,0.09227992114483034,-0.40172551325027434,0.07916575663922065,-0.0724439398964781,0.143742401059986,-0.33743441409639163,-0.006725100705770308,-0.07892867000594743,-0.3555196708644276,0.12364239930693656,0.07821184319055076,0.11854412848405672,-0.17110879541608148,0.05553938625256761,0.14174173338998086,-0.20352788773671854,0.1270995660092498,0.14371069919133692,0.14463548193363363,0.13188491181243187,0.07913819646614242,0.11865682118256829,0.14856474421113894,-0.3978582769053058,-0.06526767242624362,-0.024351176129695902,0.1493370759679143,0.147957976178844,0.1389225352989381,-0.2333704191105351,0.1346481424883736,0.10801969835785259,0.14716320494421417,0.14034772843840668,-0.5126930672026794,0.14272137925191147,-0.039419270484303735,0.13612146450446366,0.14610802775434972,-0.7459899636368308,-0.022198893044249216,0.08552926848956732;-6.567568039470557E-4,0.00299009872773845,-0.08414318213302917,0.008365871036799042,0.10968440261954522,-0.14783435388477628,0.19096178035356573,-0.0132248170220278,0.06289070033778191,0.21225839216227038,0.12283232472606191,-0.029439490106082426,0.17436482976682907,0.3845880839518031,-0.040663288678959894,-0.14782646422440454,-0.09475331925808816,0.10547213863925894,-0.14878435912790328,-0.10728541431422786,-0.11036618491003983,-0.14447870895035694,-0.04614943236131708,0.006802142048551844,0.22750410953639186,-0.012928631169190428,-0.025869313525594472,-0.14775435128764217,-0.050902891476797184,-0.0553749048177919,-0.04151442062361151,-0.06922054196603014,-0.1289248376457071,0.01978140139719514,-0.04967314364491134,0.22513448986411752,-0.03306716090026717,0.32029919555693404,-0.13596044135282812,-0.12905185731287164,-0.14320161945502535,-0.08639583623474968,-0.14629087025911672,0.01403579158563158,-0.0882569803901965,-0.022931025225641204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k{153}=[0.6870762028104295;0.8822398433421685;0.07836832696014687];
x_a{153}=[3.304312387028821,1.0769605373823492,25.037269604573794];
L_a{153}=[-0.0917568307530555,-0.09404521224761882,-0.033275148989849346,-0.09647655588360407,-0.11942992663628212,0.12044637878257333,-0.10691939650398101,-0.08486690813950643,-0.11441421533605736,-0.09631602079788847,-0.12025339218113966,-0.07661924109148552,-0.11283877270236312,0.1890024372987156,-0.06956315203955094,0.1364152187443931,-0.02010562127661468,-0.11937068750726455,0.12879248883208963,-0.006374148080001955,6.825124246417625E-4,0.0862114867137281,-0.06493648843181454,-0.0951056335060261,-0.08531899483785879,-0.08653769084895956,-0.07790678234787474,0.10287372232711245,-0.06097055711562622,0.28172619581222935,-0.06886474515868052,0.257450410304546,0.0312783529213201,-0.1012301401258084,-0.06335728148072323,-0.08783303009349679,-0.07341082375541673,0.07457959470286032,0.049921162910719664,0.032449813013763804,0.07382308880191091,-0.029221573966251385,0.10573394116797116,-0.09833385546071699,-0.02844038802218294,-0.07965180180602144,-0.05374598610663209,-0.11830987348984474,-0.016324085788569125,0.3329233579632538,-0.10146879766140594,-0.04073552711234316,-0.06828869671384256,-0.07554553770398208,0.18572775951348666,-0.08433336093504461,0.49478248009972303,0.05118477928910425,-0.019037384987709297,0.2908252905936408,-0.11860083240544567,-0.07330492755106827,-0.07948487804920527,0.05867562474974228,-0.09721387492297227,0.10856773111863621,0.06852612326168712,-0.05050634976969735,-0.007016247142275863,-0.045501309609869846,0.16777412588257196,-0.11480810499768297,-0.076443669754793,0.18709556443961467,-0.11813347169437888,-0.0805605419443579,-0.08003845025863086,-0.11720433851264984,-0.118884847873095,-0.046324739174011205,-0.09711906217312125,0.3005469031857619,0.09926864084630752,0.07220424546988592,-0.09280361962017784,-0.09224718295345351,-0.07018879065582997,0.2050421213337191,-0.06555662005796821,-0.03431378813120735,-0.09185215906285492,-0.07529289097293089,0.3542813940409382,-0.10963346124369544,0.08178983757115547,-0.06605428327066504,-0.10695740697636533,0.4863767035995104,0.07003726152283703,-0.1194366328386463;-0.09795873548308479,-0.10471820954176651,0.01757354549458409,-0.11033993011637994,-0.21015904488792625,0.2259353431237473,-0.26369718721811863,-0.08398360070815561,-0.16901049854656644,-0.2705580734618805,-0.22130777563112208,-0.06344091933566354,-0.2559396443058625,-0.06369785185093525,-0.04849200441966603,0.24457272748098893,0.0389719998435766,-0.20589657034773196,0.23633301675886953,0.06143937147114243,0.07117560548514401,0.18546754705314877,-0.039340838137639625,-0.10864750434808147,-0.2716857650369714,-0.08519754239824198,-0.06711036518662547,0.20651511818720092,-0.03241145378522919,0.3718990789180414,-0.04777978443525762,0.3467362963424305,0.11547557161420674,-0.12448374370430783,-0.035651542745943336,-0.2714868565145605,-0.05755935259744485,-0.16604664241865924,0.1400571865986381,0.11722871762218989,0.17101918984142933,0.0238748999569165,0.2094616367808091,-0.11677796335167058,0.0260586009768911,-0.07123059754656481,-0.019043947687623575,-0.2462177234101033,0.045372749666496896,0.43881087563045773,-0.12497179507955694,0.00455945043471786,-0.04693112074876019,-0.06109328143612805,-0.06640645173352888,-0.08075901557030557,0.5647162823181658,0.14178471285553643,0.04110528024589097,0.3800457132111189,-0.23964667545596416,-0.2694958640956569,-0.06992192803196318,-0.179707708037364,-0.2680469756791099,0.21291365270779405,-0.1713137123056601,-0.012124372980809723,0.059351378468322114,-0.003768530592799132,0.27988700309916054,-0.25307776622595085,-0.06374748433736142,0.29940611975238957,-0.19045654771161216,-0.072845135934552,-0.07051691177681649,-0.18317358698111896,-0.2404377012823389,-0.0058693095595244655,-0.11250226338259976,0.41004574214717093,0.20157764541101605,0.16974199032598153,-0.1001295346642955,-0.10001286985013891,-0.04975286099429617,0.31780596016551277,-0.04157545608782928,0.01578036051652067,-0.09974577225346962,-0.06204806595616504,0.43965533195642914,-0.15198574639985424,0.18044105012110942,-0.04143990899276044,-0.14140556179752062,0.5614455462498502,0.1660691758260407,-0.2355298895640318;-0.022566627981041185,-0.019466196550302243,-0.0920886857187877,-0.014670985115178475,0.08116669678974132,-0.11907393767144944,0.16543136278673087,-0.03348949932714258,0.035570655625384945,0.18925986888446192,0.09411799022176559,-0.04773477873172288,0.14742097225344306,0.42971844666579384,-0.05727371089331283,-0.11525297792638006,-0.09955417788071907,0.07696857804174742,-0.1180310428273135,-0.10880744555866421,-0.11020321329061959,-0.12389296560698554,-0.061655091008823916,-0.01590736264152332,0.207131477106578,-0.03359226615857526,-0.044472043709875515,-0.12318996752245713,-0.06546155747512739,0.011896213929442932,-0.05795807590994975,-0.007746041615822801,-0.12145613283633817,-0.0043905246729717485,-0.06480171624251384,0.2041615512975982,-0.050596337510717744,0.3381074535249669,-0.12404017079195519,-0.12130342902674411,-0.12557400140991115,-0.0933734194395965,-0.121043517980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x_a{153}=[3.304312387028821,1.0769605373823508,25.03726960457379];
std_x_a{153}=[1.3520112844677814,1.9525703787444944,1.2931694255811532];
pred_a{153}=[3.304312387028821];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.2 to 15.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{154}=[2.3171097008312893,2.308211216181292,19.836887312175957];
std_x_f{154}=[1.8242798775182514,2.4466398421890525,1.3579972153164448];
pred_f{154}=[2.3171097008312893];
obs{154}=[2.3908594807079755];
sqrt_r{154}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{154}=[4.338942383387352];
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k{154}=[0.7695290898932575;1.0131881894065935;0.30274719443373155];
x_a{154}=[2.373862301819624,2.3829336221236863,19.859214851123728];
L_a{154}=[0.0684075928294663,0.07239905668976172,-0.0036535195747777775,0.07583346512773703,0.12908412725610888,-0.1445469782457248,0.15002214896403532,0.060052905540184706,0.10866092303640237,0.15051143682665333,0.1344252444074501,0.04746401608354048,0.14815735947068584,0.0010962374633028433,0.038145093006054454,-0.15734990830030127,-0.01793352712363594,0.12738189294009059,-0.15174626743627512,-0.03265106365144973,-0.03914699446272782,-0.11676884501462304,0.03314233898435039,0.07452041877132322,0.14831575986446913,0.06083153109076586,0.05001358187608405,-0.1312507446365928,0.02854223249885007,-0.23826169574668143,0.03807652089338,-0.22375569305533116,-0.06902790135898769,0.08384521102481353,0.030660452374132074,0.14875201516146314,0.04409931097405518,0.06572670537343121,-0.08576382995639868,-0.07033775869258926,-0.10694153796165541,-0.008121034449780223,-0.13299077525612177,0.07939217564260806,-0.009479532784219025,0.0526101117287529,0.019688461897894312,0.14512396347399462,-0.021665293447644254,-0.27590995586417794,0.08432807433411892,0.004614160682077,0.0374539020139506,0.04650326974229182,0.0028302780402662984,0.058424692223921514,-0.3254266271446319,-0.08709027102402396,-0.019541231767390393,-0.24276427897773256,0.14233394474888417,0.14416475506743112,0.05177242545870196,0.07478125591350432,0.149541384974459,-0.1357448249291676,0.06901308399031902,0.015584330309695393,-0.03137328164686364,0.010382482905337555,-0.18048237664812075,0.14726599141008978,0.048070449254770393,-0.19337078682512326,0.11978900841330095,0.05346196657438191,0.052280750586163556,0.11631738687256808,0.14275223889119326,0.01132155005335775,0.07691611140179498,-0.2605210210761222,-0.12805991589651458,-0.10600058913136655,0.06988611575036255,0.0698676815078611,0.03946840178927783,-0.20462277332656445,0.03407817447968996,-0.002646095370859933,0.06923703728038298,0.04682022212706059,-0.27450053613728664,0.09926413281874648,-0.11348873654118517,0.03428575552361633,0.09348602372770581,-0.3256514431729402,-0.1035118366333529,0.14082015312981516;0.09950302358158089,0.10294623855845204,0.026826851124629236,0.10648613658052715,0.1501844863701262,-0.14981016326723834,0.1563970227531773,0.09133446622699773,0.13574159322464832,0.15111779116128002,0.15442907464050118,0.07938851304579896,0.15918291676457916,-0.12951468627509802,0.06969705633398313,-0.16917582766425987,0.010426289317273277,0.1501446252545326,-0.16062614623779833,-0.0051136777388485,-0.01303887570525493,-0.11067069161206966,0.0654409839467844,0.10481574192281293,0.14436673988305657,0.09263841237026331,0.08174786654175285,-0.13035915926340524,0.05976388615941091,-0.340085174064382,0.06985693770165775,-0.308624441938569,-0.04812774587858341,0.11367236011066624,0.0627439164216704,0.14535318902722535,0.07563785082215328,-0.008210592202944227,-0.06940119231196416,-0.04981476712060843,-0.09631642119533615,0.02093017845141389,-0.1327220748513438,0.11023142222979355,0.019935874546514087,0.08456175315942582,0.050902484988331866,0.1598898093398539,0.006632518895821117,-0.40988393094104053,0.11455200163181016,0.03496380673636933,0.0689649718306433,0.07884374865388588,-0.12594342506543282,0.08968056318480687,-0.6197552505818188,-0.07100731791685899,0.008531062968141918,-0.3499490252288761,0.15823418877409612,0.13443933602547167,0.08311302085854584,0.008602335791841867,0.1510627718609651,-0.13668899105543003,-0.0017834944678368717,0.047385380411104044,-0.003748304251674075,0.0418646710219371,-0.20723452346960589,0.159206237414746,0.08027624703176174,-0.22883033287382307,0.14442229750274027,0.08526967421535989,0.0839186481169617,0.14251922855842675,0.15905569007030584,0.04208622424827189,0.10688853983208521,-0.3692615953468996,-0.12622370597244326,-0.09495971273278149,0.1007489672190195,0.10108857682871043,0.07155861862758024,-0.24904432099708484,0.06544854905146533,0.02809715451729622,0.09986427938128507,0.07854941461101057,-0.4326216503541136,0.1272717100629426,-0.10566898520947536,0.06588515524904646,0.12214514328395365,-0.6094829467555145,-0.09212922813550978,0.1583621516546423;-0.007787376405229945,-0.0029917781517214935,-0.09798369227887761,0.003062205167027533,0.11731207729897869,-0.13352762301014034,0.1988375028432246,-0.021591166366030007,0.06550402950755446,0.21677275857396716,0.1315237422813225,-0.04024816271877516,0.183934614218993,0.27989894490976935,-0.05259771301834775,-0.12816789604515147,-0.109379359418909,0.11314433832632977,-0.13184471453570004,-0.12100306229775758,-0.12357720568969612,-0.14079375663753438,-0.058374148573026176,6.245012732247178E-4,0.2271628878189224,-0.021377196446833648,-0.035905332908028983,-0.13861154172493878,-0.06357418517040997,2.3206590227771646E-4,-0.05311597439840385,-0.02239505320111934,-0.1371419038460653,0.016460506842199702,-0.062304824544371536,0.22564919605440042,-0.04403852442411727,0.25020576587386706,-0.1409280035011652,-0.13735284724474725,-0.1424313365055687,-0.10141055680444107,-0.13674795727297528,0.00917697732837808,-0.10378217556851888,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x_a{154}=[2.373862301819623,2.3829336221236876,19.859214851123742];
std_x_a{154}=[1.1928386591442068,1.6368113886698672,1.246598317057682];
pred_a{154}=[2.373862301819623];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.3 to 15.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{155}=[3.1368029713367056,4.646337452269376,16.300392206423908];
std_x_f{155}=[1.8129873368809395,2.7402226703904486,1.386066985623882];
pred_f{155}=[3.1368029713367056];
obs{155}=[3.3133821180694536];
sqrt_r{155}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{155}=[4.30015773586055];
L_f{155}=[0.11504195830178755,0.11873208139555096,0.02855866925145353,0.12260156263136093,0.16939501504972565,-0.18723200852599584,0.17388508642066558,0.10562267874337997,0.15422133003300156,0.1681560011817064,0.17290840360536208,0.09123781395223882,0.17686437541816918,-0.10691574378219118,0.08075443623827101,-0.20996715536640972,0.008979651545825277,0.1686392366153852,-0.19973969913769457,-0.011743146964986536,-0.021242494383001822,-0.14070285597282992,0.07518665535686025,0.12081245798391609,0.161089765194723,0.10684369540346293,0.09432321490964159,-0.16463297552244033,0.06841519916434713,-0.3863116978466283,0.08068904837568998,-0.3544477866836586,-0.06505774164149454,0.13059362896137233,0.07209736484147433,0.16195370723265473,0.0874097995190027,0.012702455370456184,-0.0902657092264717,-0.0672249473356627,-0.12279193195031285,0.021802363134651663,-0.16729832300602274,0.12655775847010747,0.020339338543299397,0.09773704721700932,0.05746973783089094,0.17703833440466551,0.004010063984129307,-0.45820626416772325,0.13185155361891115,0.038689516439462945,0.0792640151687564,0.09135118747541578,-0.10327976235161083,0.1029236153611685,-0.621397294825214,-0.09207873548753821,0.006519372918868005,-0.3951319082305398,0.17676382462366685,0.15118958472117838,0.09595538987998276,0.029450811194357926,0.16710322470164482,-0.1719945289613349,0.018632177407902215,0.05342075162789561,-0.009134139196173717,0.04622899689964482,-0.2528167792479129,0.1772280761438442,0.09240222386002275,-0.27711970407484887,0.1628200815876063,0.09833263421435211,0.09725008482856824,0.1605471555895107,0.1762714814984797,0.04718914159270678,0.12264052067050694,-0.4207780424808949,-0.15965237776179975,-0.1219310187385582,0.11624973938011664,0.11677194334112706,0.08196720777632761,-0.299691986854388,0.07530661773084825,0.029480313020932482,0.11454458261381545,0.09064731332096097,-0.4718345762618591,0.14522270308845947,-0.13469893116393317,0.07582264223317028,0.13956180919458702,-0.615052978230191,-0.11812973412406258,0.17623274949734394;0.1795176696779162,0.18466644937169646,0.06873447191066369,0.1892903016848304,0.22925212120439592,-0.26780017873602663,0.21537386732240163,0.16974213969752217,0.22106177383535006,0.20287819586582487,0.23101205736214228,0.15255006556100434,0.22384897550628335,-0.20935482648776257,0.13859675641930896,-0.30429868663532206,0.03991870825804562,0.2295444508482225,-0.28805768688346733,0.01112148107634829,-0.004034585057929035,-0.1916014414539323,0.13145413342892176,0.1874538329235867,0.19084497583143414,0.17149720082583492,0.15591023812981142,-0.23020243719045663,0.12294467729582033,-0.6002026291368475,0.1392635558897338,-0.5479242968495592,-0.0710639207498022,0.1976087694764656,0.1276394030249132,0.19214307753945112,0.14685698540802922,-0.027319222020398475,-0.11058206504475407,-0.0739656275222353,-0.1637729179520547,0.058220907364301036,-0.23473507129721988,0.1938425145606067,0.05665860572158242,0.16044531630260944,0.10741052004495837,0.22951796910379044,0.03269401812671692,-0.7151779658650055,0.19920093370325764,0.08242166399791596,0.13700233249419683,0.1528347042287664,-0.20370235290703004,0.16666764437579895,-0.9735169485585172,-0.11411701980387441,0.03634242205883077,-0.6143397245535401,0.23010807297589408,0.1751539298344628,0.1576662478477117,-0.0019739577031544667,0.20308269895753803,-0.24232929211109971,-0.018027686936151623,0.10231592051299483,0.013374134932905606,0.09365769971397438,-0.37585382045709914,0.22542558284763792,0.15371465856733155,-0.41613077158766854,0.22748993668341788,0.16122809564905413,0.1593635674902266,0.22665329340703771,0.23050397228462305,0.09474800471843213,0.18912154526884756,-0.6543475097695727,-0.22176843069988475,-0.1609214841810551,0.1826689372933347,0.1835029881848639,0.14118476179011213,-0.45327668474022165,0.13175160079568538,0.07025832766834082,0.17992844051092605,0.15120757021152034,-0.7392605770667353,0.2122044917055533,-0.18184400810589937,0.13233839740957587,0.20698658040679102,-0.9638933963615165,-0.15543110639147617,0.23120298568917644;0.037290140107315364,0.044310446425372206,-0.08718095169480644,0.05134628668248806,0.17536795790780485,-0.1987700570681889,0.2421271738803727,0.01980442012897312,0.12393596959859818,0.25110555676831126,0.18956407753242513,-0.0034391591971574876,0.23313089751177957,0.13772341242976963,-0.02105664846337276,-0.1988744611363207,-0.10688295286628785,0.1718016756569451,-0.20018688257345024,-0.12612102835198824,-0.13291815963753287,-0.1925348452984398,-0.028930148715885534,0.04854567791835748,0.2532737665568283,0.021495331887797932,0.001567420961763914,-0.19735131428584926,-0.03674219914911683,-0.1049628697622631,-0.020535285013526267,-0.12568258339652655,-0.1630568876219221,0.06777163387541192,-0.032756169897777423,0.25308598407181154,-0.009040525693690939,0.16953799409630005,-0.17604323293476912,-0.16418464473234737,-0.18805184827403643,-0.09353538264013701,-0.19662047468524066,0.05939832006867741,-0.09634124186181627,0.005891133013338583,-0.051652064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k{155}=[0.7674503910262077;1.1550547078431905;0.29087659171259905];
x_a{155}=[3.2723187065438273,4.8502960270099695,16.351754946793047];
L_a{155}=[-0.07585381991184023,-0.07828693159334145,-0.018830383160192535,-0.08083830447629749,-0.11169193531839998,0.12345289723951357,-0.11465249918735905,-0.06964314386051257,-0.10168704677470682,-0.11087498178074844,-0.1140085156923225,-0.06015837013594676,-0.11661691681739578,0.07049573646269139,-0.05324607259753847,0.1384434951010173,-0.005920803863937061,-0.11119360686417351,0.13169994140651153,0.007742936301063604,0.014006405725287963,0.09277353459202002,-0.04957491248759657,-0.07965864425724317,-0.10621580351289309,-0.07044823079757884,-0.062192753521221694,0.10855204710675975,-0.0451100995954135,0.2547176559827384,-0.05320295859612676,0.23370793557531735,0.04289633357421956,-0.08610793626168375,-0.0475379644916774,-0.1067854504897606,-0.05763433871536796,-0.008375463842341424,0.059517405240248816,0.044325297691868853,0.08096382598383862,-0.014375559589571867,0.11030946493071384,-0.0834468533146354,-0.013410902819840162,-0.06444369069992452,-0.037893123588607386,-0.11673161804317896,-0.0026440672236223792,0.30212190367516883,-0.08693735877712191,-0.025510236923962336,-0.05226335174448064,-0.060233123860038255,0.06809832351258718,-0.06786349519365094,0.4097231930955741,0.06071283836336726,-0.004298599803288069,0.2605333310627008,-0.11655061786029534,-0.09968804166129999,-0.06326894092356129,-0.01941862396617164,-0.11018082532944273,0.1134059452589492,-0.012285272699869438,-0.035223392693885976,0.006022666511106049,-0.030481452656879737,0.1666967315825377,-0.11685672575106162,-0.060926132965721476,0.18272105618867357,-0.10735670123398322,-0.06483639567039946,-0.0641226082195676,-0.10585802960254101,-0.1162259875488505,-0.031114531610958226,-0.08086399176577969,0.2774433113653491,0.10526805080518556,0.08039617608732991,-0.07665017986399036,-0.0769944991523654,-0.05404572304855582,0.1976042683508547,-0.049654010622286,-0.019438076227530146,-0.07552587134054559,-0.05976901890093665,0.311107838429331,-0.09575373133240071,0.0888147995535952,-0.04999425543597869,-0.09202117642543886,0.4055400180560806,0.07788976918294484,-0.11620044929930765;-0.10779089112456404,-0.11185791382934818,-0.0025886373460886295,-0.1168977972637953,-0.19379907419841103,0.19979755429843982,-0.21889094059646677,-0.09404248519782493,-0.16409429470610007,-0.2170786564252185,-0.20081355934190637,-0.0753094511260899,-0.21785638059798695,0.05765913021668206,-0.06308131996712847,0.22007835035724538,0.017492709950793744,-0.1916192452677044,0.2107770542970434,0.04044909948276992,0.049016932658978496,0.15979326398306873,-0.0563188327219501,-0.11426611293576358,-0.2114644883094081,-0.09533682052018816,-0.07965483331013685,0.1809559258643491,-0.047917090871926166,0.3645815206454198,-0.062251219271920955,0.33728215282302015,0.09141285203812165,-0.1285389086466557,-0.05241829449720402,-0.2123240162801538,-0.07144235572416821,-0.059042640371551616,0.1148496938587254,0.09392357702663807,0.1428906139243167,0.003771159926261724,0.1830797948356866,-0.12222588327602342,0.0058626511775875766,-0.08364554226343963,-0.03611578904806523,-0.21262183636822943,0.022679187633448727,0.429157407524269,-0.13008831579339103,-0.014202467322988922,-0.06095353037299037,-0.07530795422901662,0.05423101609406365,-0.0903762745431806,0.5783756400085558,0.11584263460358842,0.020060782922081816,0.37247223133342694,-0.21134616514948829,-0.20243058485726423,-0.0819750567216865,-0.07552512376136504,-0.21424492396538433,0.187213992019641,-0.06456013609385758,-0.031098352798787966,0.03618595442347673,-0.021795711916387912,0.25553690049959926,-0.21718808821926908,-0.07705288350222307,0.27595465987631196,-0.17914086134212823,-0.08435019624623591,-0.08351113946424311,-0.17430104442117533,-0.20972067624747914,-0.023103295421460973,-0.11716384842618155,0.396513720229084,0.17695126740459166,0.14359198228008588,-0.107655965098784,-0.1081260789719896,-0.06352211948042849,0.29518131004890225,-0.05632096228077554,-0.0033665169629689988,-0.10613796225461777,-0.07517721595959669,0.43911047158166183,-0.15047818891031373,0.15455635073379023,-0.057022897702478814,-0.1415584472908472,0.5721547429533141,0.1395889402086577,-0.20892493260929948;-0.03506256697106055,-0.030363069505942565,-0.10514219871633369,-0.025760840833091936,0.0688312813303914,-0.08101525813612971,0.13276658137299557,-0.04662427118298978,0.026942395412005826,0.1453481263788286,0.08081774478459397,-0.060820856490944604,0.12189655713605732,0.2049653440356866,-0.07184509258129776,-0.0668209711526616,-0.11253047580097764,0.0657403266598613,-0.07456569047133386,-0.1187354754191437,-0.11955823429902711,-0.10404337076540524,-0.07621687897970074,-0.027436237836227374,0.15196046516219244,-0.04570128672694146,-0.05775476061259089,-0.09380960107744787,-0.07977019465542956,0.13799802492213142,-0.07128260510211758,0.09723831662176645,-0.12214047943787792,-0.014361900028430545,-0.07809996964268247,0.15122932835562308,-0.06401469089163915,0.16154910859607458,-0.11927291612781617,-0.12190522777234557,-0.1108249928281066,-0.10724742315808188,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x_a{155}=[3.2723187065438286,4.850296027009969,16.351754946793044];
std_x_a{155}=[1.195407458150652,1.8176723680059323,1.285834543091205];
pred_a{155}=[3.2723187065438286];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.4 to 15.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{156}=[5.800810900517308,9.378752478876649,15.636737672535267];
std_x_f{156}=[1.8941512153387297,2.6559505171373767,2.6026235680431604];
pred_f{156}=[5.800810900517308];
obs{156}=[6.111087794160985];
sqrt_r{156}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{156}=[4.601755556067743];
L_f{156}=[-0.11809627216198618,-0.12305893571158381,0.006535633954697,-0.12903691639438086,-0.21473411045249055,0.2393045679195146,-0.24100577045067276,-0.10203433306359444,-0.18293431961778173,-0.23769998713993895,-0.22238620223355565,-0.08027825149481835,-0.24017905035478163,0.061900341962868144,-0.06572050090059851,0.2598353047075328,0.030790848278185626,-0.21289827193560984,0.25055052029582137,0.058096345589557806,0.06812489824328338,0.1966430757909897,-0.056800926649888964,-0.12623537476321794,-0.23139622316167943,-0.10416859815601989,-0.08536641532537459,0.21964019135283344,-0.0476214453388095,0.37766244146783506,-0.06504014964518767,0.3582892531607274,0.11832478960463833,-0.14245059306380123,-0.05326911228867197,-0.23226072461820155,-0.07554472385962083,-0.0611436968074995,0.14585323398097655,0.12111827731320779,0.17893233360827937,0.014422844819989322,0.22128957246949071,-0.13557487088338652,0.01666118225497524,-0.09023531167465618,-0.03333817942573666,-0.23570619782514074,0.03658637113718312,0.42096320551967453,-0.14408482739433356,-0.00730220707982849,-0.06331454212968353,-0.08038345705190768,0.057851891821480705,-0.09827423710761216,0.46661158240537204,0.14712770149499677,0.03392408075937642,0.38263212754432585,-0.23354310099847142,-0.22113928773787023,-0.08765543477375567,-0.07881384713831673,-0.23522582936979108,0.2260274882973019,-0.06726152103451259,-0.027199237120330975,0.05347911630070143,-0.016886566176300404,0.2942171533377743,-0.23922691359116519,-0.08235403039162069,0.3130116315010706,-0.20022657590658755,-0.09119530414248261,-0.09010732789969811,-0.1947352364912426,-0.23201634505775454,-0.01892993956512205,-0.12926365922468838,0.4028865725819442,0.21482400388385417,0.17850845590456735,-0.11866929975014495,-0.11906027863681515,-0.06659757091507384,0.3287624224205129,-0.057464915990249985,0.005601681620690431,-0.11639455087483176,-0.08024765377153768,0.42070157385554596,-0.16757599027200956,0.19037724542632842,-0.058674276883405686,-0.15764844912424505,0.4665007157233197,0.17443538429345373,-0.23131818360476886;-0.16089202523217566,-0.16956580261281357,0.05145140719489594,-0.17934758556080943,-0.33646556661654753,0.38266455123783044,-0.38974430147059347,-0.13230920170142435,-0.27639838938089734,-0.38615565449746186,-0.35090804985812385,-0.09481666191738163,-0.3857589400685973,0.05410864300661005,-0.06893768510555419,0.4054310061742673,0.09067637420180054,-0.3322705594939089,0.3953167549757244,0.13341997112356077,0.14919878610384715,0.3315238418275532,-0.05440308846498319,-0.17458493579807896,-0.37759983009669446,-0.1351468701093489,-0.10361344630482053,0.35984437916079004,-0.03950599404306717,0.47267524114735043,-0.06824591462231755,0.46735826826061755,0.22453012153600815,-0.20361716314542344,-0.048216824517143785,-0.37893711175925177,-0.08674678948180996,-0.11396370232815083,0.2640510858467124,0.22858693059837018,0.30807990816282843,0.0641650838408528,0.3612639788933011,-0.19137850714491986,0.06849360251897521,-0.1112583204608793,-0.014755674276963665,-0.37665561520577484,0.10043316516878133,0.48103563337413435,-0.20669800414576597,0.02833917211120935,-0.06559686648605326,-0.09455350070227513,0.05030414466817387,-0.12614667799088813,0.36110287157738047,0.265884343721091,0.09557094249337705,0.47270950772969617,-0.37228433517466414,-0.3617463376602988,-0.10810098748810049,-0.14029677124110196,-0.38150894143540004,0.3677167469843903,-0.12309557374662905,-0.0041748029326976995,0.12634135286935572,0.012536936411851557,0.4380354099188326,-0.3847240303313521,-0.09877090337109815,0.454106942993357,-0.3087122561765766,-0.1131586673874584,-0.11135648446718073,-0.2983348454310431,-0.370424584282413,0.010169201459044203,-0.18087211650028215,0.4873526586573974,0.35448742922866905,0.308220200745193,-0.16125444139700076,-0.16201274376971614,-0.0710861003518541,0.46446917030416446,-0.05500500225282883,0.050177116433595355,-0.1579983537124131,-0.09500561386201309,0.4616552301602741,-0.24889552245638322,0.32374054214868087,-0.05714365228872915,-0.23089747259590174,0.37041668531680677,0.30238512985835764,-0.3679746692316301;-0.16222370339176706,-0.16275572081133147,-0.107614766483198,-0.1629144144048174,-0.14874989301214092,0.1864918293926212,-0.11508173419286573,-0.1586350486507193,-0.16059749648049546,-0.10361351724595091,-0.144034066964358,-0.15212447583507474,-0.12248069241738109,0.19141015644948517,-0.14757900084851946,0.2262432446587505,-0.08962725908836881,-0.14986473988370858,0.20748711164195063,-0.06593643594950824,-0.05557811350424923,0.11001600207345784,-0.1436212552075896,-0.1623712287567974,-0.09456278239250276,-0.15926472910622033,-0.1533216000142505,0.148812037827637,-0.13844130520933803,0.5739803942423529,-0.14709321100773884,0.5091971095181499,-9.054100086066036E-4,-0.16482494744582643,-0.14222395572593516,-0.09599177659521763,-0.15039740941331625,0.036810336633000894,0.03389215703421564,0.002978643728783191,0.08114130872011517,-0.10140984495433661,0.15290832724926995,-0.16404351995035704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k{156}=[0.7826916297886731;1.0714128412751882;0.9297703559266193];
x_a{156}=[6.043662028089044,9.71118712707746,15.925223930374154];
L_a{156}=[0.07321548498345884,0.07629215973315012,-0.004051860409371729,0.07999829496418004,0.13312750480138733,-0.14836031382050813,0.14941499883379097,0.06325765448352194,0.11341276642977961,0.1473655308538565,0.1378715293216546,0.0497696583407411,0.14890246180228148,-0.03837600861132163,0.04074437117027002,-0.1610886398166131,-0.019089229900900447,0.1319893502694614,-0.15533240398270057,-0.03601766626699079,-0.042235011935764476,-0.12191170728004368,0.03521455263615112,0.07826143887658411,0.14345742157622884,0.06458082286948802,0.052924138797317236,-0.13616910032265858,0.029523600976259595,-0.23413727043117682,0.04032257760971045,-0.22212658328912033,-0.07335715766359258,0.08831429702575114,0.03302495345072257,0.1439933817064633,0.04683503970165137,0.03790691554854711,-0.09042381327393416,-0.0750890206058683,-0.1109316775586522,-0.008941650392556533,-0.13719165790358673,0.08405159402222116,-0.010329339926349311,0.055942681220552036,0.02066848453753801,0.14612945244964132,-0.022682247775945893,-0.2609822028085616,0.08932746413844728,0.004527108460002486,0.03925276237485333,0.049834882041237684,-0.035866113632363535,0.060926528835254144,-0.2892825715772706,-0.0912139377666587,-0.021031722508640514,-0.23721829889756854,0.14478840941473906,0.13709848671952032,0.05434324937533702,0.048861779766673365,0.14583164110652833,-0.140128997065895,0.04169974879911709,0.016862558830084362,-0.03315514846287445,0.010469069934800805,-0.1824041621104771,0.14831217090111615,0.05105656736729653,-0.19405606956314678,0.12413334979338142,0.0565378423786956,0.05586333583579073,0.12072891482568175,0.14384187507792554,0.011735888699915285,0.08013886744782901,-0.24977533384331144,-0.13318323552898495,-0.11066888847070905,0.07357074169061746,0.07381313468306164,0.041288123359045074,-0.20382099926777172,0.03562620239179901,-0.0034728432072709814,0.07216047835992431,0.04975068884146431,-0.26082000048984705,0.10389114893076135,-0.11802711549256112,0.03637596309712399,0.09773642680007576,-0.2892138381808109,-0.10814372905694668,0.14340903982884157;0.10099128294615886,0.10332241472947751,0.03695837189610939,0.10679704816768103,0.1397160959756074,-0.14800310457935492,0.14469584045970083,0.09395610033801992,0.12926593789901508,0.14095377788809565,0.14224243887412155,0.08320364042881397,0.1468479162745575,-0.08315789414852413,0.07680021056128332,-0.17076439722507708,0.02239641022759466,0.13984005618643075,-0.16028925967368196,0.004588951333229112,-0.0018709588987068132,-0.1045402123186359,0.07155528690409126,0.1053471649102166,0.13553074813555338,0.09585125196498381,0.08569006720549806,-0.1272167182589947,0.06609650650373282,-0.364806651681942,0.0759832743408409,-0.32716278803297005,-0.03785993340717039,0.11227284659463185,0.06990960821856326,0.13611053377083948,0.08077672195164,0.021624943283266525,-0.059384419137346524,-0.03999779746262072,-0.08870985164543381,0.03218183622723879,-0.12945468853584483,0.10926430776198853,0.03154675019911357,0.08884216961596726,0.05917310058461182,0.14603250792072542,0.019301392486713375,-0.4524674727326705,0.11281598698661781,0.04453211463225436,0.07480571731417728,0.083700099264793,-0.07798478890462757,0.09178045765266847,-0.6736273751744778,-0.060377345041907615,0.02034290748827032,-0.375792867003835,0.14560703236838174,0.1286390672368053,0.08627852016371246,0.034476154618345994,0.14011394501657617,-0.13350844235389592,0.02605959702339954,0.056140616568681384,0.007749227657551198,0.0499835867849986,-0.2144031474407326,0.14577142384025854,0.0838525234818196,-0.24000913751561187,0.13529835587486952,0.0890706452059518,0.08846019636009687,0.13349849712583314,0.14408113958860003,0.05214711580108429,0.10577532871767881,-0.4060647754142651,-0.12189357572000593,-0.08762959293815348,0.10189957886832214,0.10200828814969698,0.0765967339035592,-0.2645749325453485,0.07242579660485854,0.03775515859079395,0.100111317990198,0.08294683678278031,-0.47126769704272753,0.12271108205607115,-0.09842877718207729,0.07296895375629005,0.11869440384548299,-0.6640677100382962,-0.08443246112766185,0.1449828530949706;0.06503821402786089,0.07405623923998102,-0.12019179941494025,0.08540144265694914,0.2644797947962401,-0.27402071649085846,0.3487045691265796,0.03771761981335387,0.1914373601419677,0.35381120801503774,0.28392114112167055,0.00236125879322065,0.3397146885916302,0.07229047429629784,-0.02110788728143012,-0.27377820800954955,-0.14888050299330022,0.2598320999034688,-0.27466690228671575,-0.17773578957894653,-0.18667619742640315,-0.26839968906923517,-0.034314777828191055,0.0805534020522418,0.3507311155152313,0.04119507304045653,0.010955687277886417,-0.27385880618335917,-0.046799623555346566,-0.15278505748699872,-0.02193135071336442,-0.18028699674107765,-0.2286070814630595,0.10930389950742518,-0.03971402568038846,0.35096574925795865,-0.005020773208197405,0.15447394717895319,-0.24678465866496813,-0.23009875518357673,-0.2631922123956817,-0.129164856255122,-0.2729365501860249,0.09685383562929403,-0.13308818289615523,0.01788135824610952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x_a{156}=[6.043662028089042,9.711187127077453,15.925223930374134];
std_x_a{156}=[1.1743063292701759,1.7072520983807113,1.9148564559089187];
pred_a{156}=[6.043662028089042];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.5 to 15.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{157}=[10.741074852560782,15.915844925029578,22.240047008470597];
std_x_f{157}=[1.5399698982414682,1.908264915113852,3.345402944312648];
pred_f{157}=[10.741074852560782];
obs{157}=[11.33126817184669];
sqrt_r{157}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{157}=[3.380004979484488];
L_f{157}=[0.09218292680669855,0.09251437203307293,0.060034074764207156,0.0931876576375512,0.0882477958637563,-0.11355360916843459,0.07635721594098561,0.09016911993107046,0.09392013328831152,0.07188399169108398,0.08743355517317598,0.08608906570903745,0.07909269573367672,-0.07771901355166773,0.08372492008855638,-0.13681449834768294,0.049465789590581836,0.0901451320306275,-0.12522097166875087,0.0361041640820834,0.02989140128451635,-0.06789118716196536,0.08107282704707991,0.09312802543143835,0.06816416282166317,0.09092607910280098,0.08694179948119646,-0.0908654236043534,0.07758217617129855,-0.34225383058185943,0.08309479733137323,-0.3036419971695476,-0.0019474261570187699,0.09491168705614807,0.0802381302786081,0.06880356092816192,0.0842334906696435,0.006384573727947454,-0.02233739198721026,-0.004349020489687797,-0.050973736509056074,0.05674097721298435,-0.09368328979959406,0.09412866777884653,0.05646666841184289,0.08850152734269878,0.07433374315074917,0.08243936096123851,0.04710375624989503,-0.4326976299134949,0.09425883008038612,0.06552711576377197,0.08189611204071938,0.08646458326388558,-0.07372872850602255,0.08902693560416622,-0.6452697797572711,-0.02341203388601381,0.04809778412772692,-0.35398422878868074,0.08410157949700438,0.06431441758081997,0.08708854765393576,0.01512448812838988,0.07225689756237015,-0.09777632535518921,0.009839931367394467,0.07220166671169387,0.03811305215842954,0.06828252605749882,-0.18321328771475492,0.07978680199850995,0.08598563025918977,-0.21053995187407895,0.09150432799670033,0.08852927398140514,0.08796267723174839,0.09280285595612646,0.0826420047258189,0.06994750984414648,0.09265957600964504,-0.38469261726696863,-0.08499862934067993,-0.0501603585138721,0.09221355740936373,0.09168661964751358,0.08292344702958342,-0.23674433050577912,0.08155972259100291,0.06082632397622777,0.09167975685075533,0.08573686476957028,-0.45176089478025155,0.09452435594002662,-0.06173588765710378,0.08169970120501231,0.09388732484285775,-0.6364745335794961,-0.047343993209797444,0.0849917841782431;0.07436400794593276,0.07018846048380091,0.14140966999050314,0.06442416119784741,-0.037436056373508095,0.01075670701366398,-0.09275776681840318,0.08747339377324659,0.0069466695115141565,-0.09766419741834832,-0.04917616454919485,0.10277323655449665,-0.08506151681348263,-0.08724121303584104,0.11322763229147785,-0.02114907593545528,0.14490879492591416,-0.03350181448408933,-0.0056678819683888115,0.14449922418056224,0.1427975029639033,0.06643856182925775,0.118295011925658,0.06705912521441423,-0.09805470410506617,0.0863299114811637,0.09899471637161945,0.039183810618449964,0.12081385606104074,-0.35695068960004955,0.11281040532063254,-0.29035160973987745,0.12705855409742114,0.052763177934502206,0.11939830775143685,-0.09747018924078199,0.10585994906458425,-0.041405199806439315,0.11188139708209545,0.1255518230596009,0.08447721247603025,0.1425934866770514,0.03493801476353542,0.058942171754275005,0.14425031150329679,0.09652627357770148,0.12813240380495317,-0.0743338263202627,0.1456074382899653,-0.5149406255121659,0.05031128808113527,0.13748733722081227,0.11328910127958053,0.10349081168398296,-0.08360390405644418,0.08956314729629096,-0.9265757709151401,0.11139120144576722,0.14550390829757598,-0.3774823578275431,-0.06799707936120487,-0.09495568898244276,0.09726146919035365,-0.04199790055707802,-0.0945658081593007,0.030760088269647157,-0.04156728106326159,0.13165235087444802,0.14553460046104655,0.13342860203288368,-0.088851715253817,-0.08229735813398432,0.10091292348174774,-0.12997558844238505,-0.016420725416844074,0.09527656089481347,0.09616124841107813,-0.007905297872907077,-0.0690915722457822,0.13545727070629468,0.06334183990601383,-0.4279811732727239,0.04578505230723382,0.08551990926734472,0.07403720572019847,0.07266534644887547,0.11141953566384777,-0.17278029637981543,0.1169821372921627,0.14167793598537332,0.0744633711980663,0.10191759349715514,-0.5547883220205967,0.025199132238477546,0.0726295180512287,0.11614696800378807,0.03490930430207769,-0.9083428091730169,0.08860760555966844,-0.0641165657049014;0.21291320819407425,0.22101185628917627,-0.008546923522737645,0.2327828441873854,0.3749653463793878,-0.4470382649637041,0.41976391976903676,0.18598911256348538,0.3237981644120693,0.4148785291681954,0.38848345751419655,0.14734271859161485,0.41874028612792047,-0.10730075686296955,0.1230762240267103,-0.4853962519066762,-0.05327276131899149,0.3733463709929008,-0.46830146679631396,-0.10372550761730367,-0.12182417714825637,-0.367168315600699,0.10613276906738495,0.22808828752690014,0.4047382887692658,0.19087217257359781,0.1565493305918507,-0.41056246218776954,0.08909882122616263,-0.6795416019649781,0.1206712749260706,-0.6519108271604801,-0.21730625723402358,0.25508686208772746,0.09989705295307347,0.4053518185379486,0.13887244285741746,0.11503826633907631,-0.2693469458815026,-0.22175081447469838,-0.3336632790098798,-0.022379465414359135,-0.4139365610480505,0.24326964581745086,-0.025610857280149897,0.1657764504221386,0.0643666637992657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k{157}=[0.7041424476976603;0.7427026658721158;1.3152404967347373];
x_a{157}=[11.156655021017567,16.354183076643135,23.016293162897718];
L_a{157}=[-0.07847117689414496,-0.07875332129865223,-0.05110430601077542,-0.0793264590324978,-0.0751213770231475,0.0966630770002557,-0.06499946147092936,-0.07675691373238357,-0.07994998258889334,-0.0611916069846287,-0.07442825056819215,-0.07328374719617434,-0.06732805230806721,0.06615869848914582,-0.07127125642792934,0.11646402510127929,-0.04210800046857531,-0.07673649391231299,0.1065949776066477,-0.030733850013693952,-0.025445204649769414,0.0577927121853216,-0.06901364897927649,-0.07927569681918376,-0.058025084079141524,-0.07740127900829954,-0.07400964107909506,0.07734964571227415,-0.0660422149856095,0.29134528282667005,-0.07073486128343985,0.25847676676991377,0.0016577562434760378,-0.0807940476865346,-0.06830310918583862,-0.058569374911065966,-0.07170417967536905,-0.005434900276599417,0.019014816503470595,0.003702125415025944,0.043391647815059504,-0.048301040271409516,0.07974836838609897,-0.08012749861558241,-0.04806753353427669,-0.07533736721197559,-0.0632769701510769,-0.0701769177994849,-0.040097307789055806,0.36833601877079736,-0.08023829992492315,-0.055780284599169595,-0.06971447444238683,-0.07360340839043372,0.06276194841273014,-0.07578462361894259,0.5492891231144914,0.01992961078761936,-0.04094347898518884,0.30133084289308504,-0.07159188963076901,-0.054747969213553925,-0.07413456119414044,-0.012874796065490447,-0.06150904497021077,0.08323258534734426,-0.008376290726548602,-0.06146202943269666,-0.03244392602299737,-0.058125841374866136,0.15596122631005138,-0.06791891373303877,-0.07319569725283583,0.17922318567124404,-0.0778935162675607,-0.07536098667676774,-0.07487866836349505,-0.07899889467911625,-0.0703494193162812,-0.059543167139775664,-0.07887692690899636,0.3274715119723704,0.07235550779092509,0.042699255733869505,-0.07849725134766222,-0.07804869294585501,-0.07058899848315352,0.20152979387127623,-0.06942812124306438,-0.0517787121097602,-0.07804285095583499,-0.07298393438722385,0.3845637182088507,-0.08046433013923304,0.052552982736339265,-0.0695472787374271,-0.07992205423582388,0.5418021258737665,0.040301810701146606,-0.07234968081220951;-0.10563544837864025,-0.1104581868404018,0.02418513402880896,-0.11753716604546169,-0.20975164481893563,0.2324852702309258,-0.24185541246656356,-0.0885938361042766,-0.17644491410870866,-0.23802727625579567,-0.2199018394748538,-0.06532714341728754,-0.2395005515076181,0.06451552403020072,-0.050256438119523225,0.2459994750271577,0.048320244948094705,-0.20952220478743477,0.23884276226483475,0.07400102965636811,0.08443055621599813,0.19900515742031474,-0.04001049318996079,-0.11478576219506038,-0.23115432107044423,-0.09121538211261715,-0.07077073999440961,0.21661066626366623,-0.030675687773840252,0.3113455509708307,-0.04944326638596925,0.3025498775651944,0.13086116334013562,-0.13256454663187867,-0.03727734062470272,-0.2318183162668798,-0.05861717321913853,-0.0538719313336832,0.15549813342024513,0.1340438654670821,0.1840102298828438,0.03179916278799895,0.21786712989116452,-0.12485660326484885,0.03399161212499604,-0.07628475941309,-0.017014141409024963,-0.2353076711178429,0.05363107336497769,0.3299591930917803,-0.1337416461876747,0.009536906261624668,-0.0466239775635032,-0.06534281638540988,0.06036126939063873,-0.084273815383313,0.33339951477459323,0.15710631938481662,0.05158657139676454,0.31371904938147327,-0.2322166274912236,-0.22053816503741158,-0.07279053255045029,-0.07153048033734807,-0.23565703543395786,0.22168140108773554,-0.060781059121276404,-0.009331030799744343,0.0711137841012768,9.786506690191306E-5,0.26889665879430524,-0.2380917278628105,-0.0669854849820551,0.2811317411329021,-0.19509512708006618,-0.07758865110780806,-0.07559760788744113,-0.18911524852351486,-0.2304611060143636,-0.0011245691131932054,-0.1175883375440428,0.3231824571176676,0.21175620987026905,0.1834646976821834,-0.10602206094038355,-0.10636500396945314,-0.050499551730543005,0.28949457658363115,-0.04227409629595045,0.022906427798157235,-0.10455357869450173,-0.06549506717760516,0.32733506314446403,-0.15937227667668039,0.1931770706071986,-0.04338259249302259,-0.14841821645369607,0.334458585590472,0.18105306518222603,-0.23007435717553987;-0.10584500451588028,-0.09889245680650428,-0.2161380148065085,-0.08944961494749312,0.06981437472375757,-0.05438263165759473,0.15572923868438351,-0.12580558203465764,-9.671132975492603E-4,0.166311755388541,0.08614803876229805,-0.15034360652177353,0.14524662299715677,0.16144286748797837,-0.16643515092317576,-0.012307075018581602,-0.22431990883736203,0.061634623861677486,-0.03530140370833619,-0.22856965406455637,-0.22518528726822795,-0.13240821166209685,-0.17420796586133722,-0.0939379701333784,0.16903426564288374,-0.12354000186635214,-0.14408565218024763,-0.09636002765244174,-0.179171634824436,0.5039337237661803,-0.16666120626522654,0.3980491130831712,-0.21057227619545663,-0.07310709724212404,-0.17755739425090789,0.1674368285362682,-0.15239751207121166,0.09296112710153612,-0.19210675192047272,-0.20671238982976556,-0.15740182032516642,-0.2185833950395667,-0.089990261535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x_a{157}=[11.15665502101757,16.354183076643142,23.016293162897743];
std_x_a{157}=[1.3109070679646022,1.7049141277583117,2.989870494653045];
pred_a{157}=[11.15665502101757];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.6 to 15.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{158}=[13.726889008846506,12.13338700032305,35.43591676230844];
std_x_f{158}=[1.0089358289997958,2.9161512671432965,2.2533859876623636];
pred_f{158}=[13.726889008846506];
obs{158}=[14.277987507603406];
sqrt_r{158}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{158}=[2.018126472098225];
L_f{158}=[-0.013227435833124293,-0.017556979687207947,0.0778639037463461,-0.023204727948683238,-0.10974468391709437,0.12045600683395456,-0.14726182114051264,-2.0243095696669883E-4,-0.07507031612755731,-0.14803348925972165,-0.11865573254184626,0.01717047504975284,-0.14313711894149772,-0.009998325903303013,0.029233728436317524,0.11339312692452531,0.09147467367831187,-0.10820967876602569,0.11705228110757744,0.10411206841352397,0.10774046234675781,0.13028381899013203,0.03596406150145831,-0.02107897713641641,-0.145150520996423,-0.0022363335281480367,0.013445019016143237,0.1269684810042643,0.041844121206244284,-0.030402910791996907,0.0297427514539448,0.0015834726851029035,0.12486869054193427,-0.035168042006901774,0.03817967513894252,-0.14548624250167563,0.021763002345553607,-0.04179127408182457,0.12994590815242776,0.1245600244743022,0.1315220951237707,0.08227904215270371,0.12542481580740739,-0.029277508728658756,0.08387262418115259,0.009685442157265639,0.05201712252507303,-0.13627900529073103,0.0942263449292637,-0.11195082354699984,-0.036445116307538925,0.0685712975243463,0.030592702060478878,0.018379961311178614,-0.010342945131580667,0.00258088053631366,-0.37763379883347814,0.1300822395160104,0.09291828131561092,-0.04074452113699086,-0.13253462600673513,-0.13951420468023404,0.011335202167743762,-0.04981613404172651,-0.1452489199132537,0.12566454588756693,-0.04454170677845884,0.05636776661010261,0.10228195629106174,0.062422120797574226,0.0918319306378294,-0.1415274892599248,0.015790483424033483,0.07592900781879426,-0.0937929513013064,0.008766877170207004,0.009771180811061866,-0.08764855546140807,-0.13212601804528892,0.06210129232294844,-0.02385290733601043,-0.06294724428388011,0.1280114885623415,0.1319582655731222,-0.013961440510310038,-0.015284008810579194,0.027864723892388907,0.05859520510933293,0.03535794090483944,0.07668070092065472,-0.012222558596766717,0.017176313373641835,-0.13802001637230038,-0.05930158950476805,0.13076702571081894,0.03448975594577383,-0.05012484643275308,-0.36404414186251094,0.13126641697839134,-0.12942868285720174;0.13360015665469224,0.1287748733578306,0.1943720153327382,0.12209788636753828,-8.568625925994882E-5,-0.04730042200844547,-0.06860280414215554,0.14765440649074849,0.055769176476114235,-0.0768104406115757,-0.0128658052446803,0.16332343608601474,-0.05965088737098783,-0.142028996081851,0.1739541220191155,-0.09403646505759163,0.1935030302184067,0.006022338654179774,-0.06969418348789931,0.18651807312929045,0.1801383314035075,0.04062541127211379,0.17755829822270236,0.12524612940041796,-0.07981423455188842,0.14635664711777086,0.15932756002450071,-0.001904382352506471,0.17969327568930527,-0.5812889035814135,0.1735482386922677,-0.4853792066507283,0.14558250471475648,0.10977453319863427,0.18010585212030264,-0.07817430057279208,0.1640818709402429,-0.043080994230853105,0.1171697960493693,0.14143139030922888,0.0715561937028674,0.19410257975622414,-0.008448697151959157,0.11657003559874339,0.19554197191390352,0.15734375605878662,0.18761226382735577,-0.0445215517989944,0.19287486913810917,-0.8084592649959983,0.10667180963968487,0.1926832088891221,0.17173552028312944,0.1647881862927253,-0.135403588520677,0.14959171156925474,-1.4229434034769186,0.11568586827526602,0.19361854312169077,-0.6108346416966384,-0.03681428904613192,-0.07795247700157361,0.15742158376200224,-0.039062185030851654,-0.07355522497751397,-0.014933540050850114,-0.040706011854022714,0.18888374712175507,0.1869647614724659,0.1892019299175051,-0.19371603732710954,-0.05510286652727125,0.1608111354109951,-0.25452729186469175,0.026387809511925146,0.1559603003642103,0.15617524306881178,0.0373661689479166,-0.0385510179448264,0.1918887682963528,0.12107401064575506,-0.6805164550172136,0.009617649251977958,0.0724885344359643,0.132751635962583,0.13057462234357628,0.17099249245688636,-0.315864758203362,0.17729897455791124,0.19558925078191153,0.1342586851519584,0.16328484727983664,-0.8676422078652309,0.0775545546719733,0.05168029064459596,0.17744076149288393,0.08797061040343054,-1.3952826443027884,0.07675242322975971,-0.031440796334334664;-0.15724130808717493,-0.1623793126202445,0.008656835545870968,-0.17080820971856056,-0.2561977575459664,0.32300815938615934,-0.2741574700202405,-0.13765045618887853,-0.23040672768334317,-0.2669562565080553,-0.264933052882948,-0.11012945497728364,-0.27413290795062717,0.1188925017998246,-0.0912643939732121,0.344367435926378,0.04285906444099507,-0.2579345506043127,0.3335315399513376,0.08085679599306503,0.09647301925158394,0.2724748991139555,-0.07789490926769012,-0.1674610580204069,-0.25739357941702823,-0.1410272905797233,-0.11608646432364104,0.2997378448497102,-0.0656013113894499,0.4266419049313515,-0.08965678398034135,0.41820798232728856,0.1668124675181258,-0.1876193288116355,-0.07492194082741975,-0.25867710944278877,-0.10146062227978325,-0.045094359733456074,0.20536086419607155,0.17137940839083507,0.24862625562228502,0.020010611527130004,0.30199121974154425,-0.17949819814812915,0.022428444781618383,-0.12354031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k{158}=[0.5044909157946327;0.860800593062942;0.3882041428761189];
x_a{158}=[14.004913195177421,12.607772914889088,35.64985548265867];
L_a{158}=[0.09824693712147131,0.13040467564034142,-0.5783350720358503,0.17235339308817804,0.8151299462907142,-0.8946884247726292,1.093788929654397,0.0015035583427849954,0.5575856667399919,1.0995205037964324,0.8813168660359583,-0.12753390784435945,1.0631526549671597,0.07426268467558061,-0.21713386598456505,-0.8422288001626572,-0.6794292277400102,0.8037286772571105,-0.869407211419042,-0.7732936275823736,-0.8002435667170363,-0.9676846165614905,-0.26712349494965687,0.15656435362327303,1.0781072226994117,0.016610393903585596,-0.09986303880364425,-0.9430599042027812,-0.31079770840831705,0.2258179818503407,-0.22091464050784584,-0.011761262219642639,-0.9274636855460856,0.2612110506773276,-0.28357999161866926,1.080600798176398,-0.16164495900737277,0.31040518576255155,-0.9651747797916564,-0.9251710646541194,-0.9768819272856113,-0.6111285651107322,-0.9315943125759886,0.21745904462712842,-0.6229649145984277,-0.0719387369270468,-0.3863577968122037,1.0122139341811196,-0.6998672987147507,0.8315160746556486,0.270696535248717,-0.5093141286946528,-0.22722765875643164,-0.13651738144987954,0.07682234809626091,-0.01916952090852403,2.8048795365179755,-0.9661873826176737,-0.6901516406520138,0.3026304158033385,0.9844025124728812,1.0362434161612901,-0.08419234904505606,0.3700099286496598,1.0788380818255985,-0.9333749106003302,0.3308340573603537,-0.4186722575476251,-0.7597004480055339,-0.4636410453513867,-0.6820827580599259,1.05119711134484,-0.11728400361570436,-0.5639636094992694,0.6966482623836023,-0.06511608455026957,-0.07257556179882614,0.6510106891345068,0.9813675719748135,-0.46125808803668145,0.17716775320404377,0.4675414062974521,-0.9508068552572719,-0.9801215884907233,0.1036987655995003,0.11352215739475675,-0.2069655684367103,-0.43521658351803,-0.26262152700248176,-0.5695468189621486,0.09078319948548938,-0.12757727206454955,1.0251453147159915,0.4404632620245407,-0.9712736402319065,-0.2561730728833905,0.3723028936091912,2.7039421975829785,-0.9749828748169906,0.9613330827538634;0.32380617096813474,0.3812382511292884,-0.9252843547545091,0.4557739572273178,1.5780054255256728,-1.7794167028241155,2.048971940732633,0.15056529458607168,1.1352547097278083,2.0518606285379395,1.693363145472184,-0.08358213686738422,1.9986120471573208,0.0017435191558900164,-0.24641691886463393,-1.72459094250523,-1.121871567736816,1.562040600083322,-1.7528660496492143,-1.310577949462971,-1.369132758004895,-1.8328114552739032,-0.3395926358673059,0.42835462884833586,2.0074007345891163,0.1785143602551391,-0.03400722622522437,-1.8276678197963614,-0.42201091078327335,-0.14410541932731138,-0.25414237951532237,-0.508149003609668,-1.6499866622921153,0.6154789785446757,-0.3689048501485879,2.013868229271513,-0.14886267763777863,0.5578632686230733,-1.751408027939655,-1.6496992639564914,-1.8196866611669826,-0.9890419742474018,-1.8120147557362427,0.5375706221492995,-1.0105177479568455,0.018070402338669245,-0.5603762107620649,1.9151240482982284,-1.1620678225842944,0.801355381971198,0.63074014771375,-0.7933486541984661,-0.26817709765832387,-0.09950938644468131,0.013324433641718118,0.1124795300078029,4.007301781783163,-1.754852354208229,-1.142514640124529,-0.024942329055850813,1.868988414463139,1.9282141865239575,-0.005574756039888127,0.6772768261063435,2.015074687015547,-1.8219468353961692,0.5997885347785705,-0.6216655050476672,-1.2838148732006394,-0.7084068698293159,-1.514227868470448,1.980014142357164,-0.06625062879326712,-1.3463605186659733,1.3750984487305355,0.02989559775988766,0.015668996759614306,1.2977224923478496,1.8613760424886494,-0.7011066274463438,0.4640706799479694,0.2246434412998495,-1.8311438810213179,-1.825026302681927,0.3335123871045566,0.35035345440653537,-0.22969273016527944,-1.1584438160291406,-0.33113615215033265,-0.9070530663597473,0.3100149076528972,-0.08370467877915361,1.1170385375828065,0.9302911790982622,-1.8287049236833222,-0.3185101617133308,0.8087488003963862,3.839547910265106,-1.810813867142392,1.829699504377451;-0.07146213535949862,-0.04852329304358004,-0.49628617328605334,-0.020326862319070636,0.45549030629589465,-0.45814222732907217,0.6808271053100012,-0.13633770289019367,0.2564200235529942,0.6930325429001667,0.5045426569403921,-0.22147901385555327,0.6541032070700573,0.18373107939468242,-0.28084346830394524,-0.3909805743230697,-0.5503490170535413,0.4437990917115215,-0.4255458780733653,-0.5943040751044989,-0.6022177811421409,-0.5724082931968099,-0.3111198126005762,-0.030765084324624624,0.683899333974751,-0.12652479422231755,-0.2032766516783609,-0.5236455682651352,-0.33695806910659926,0.6238030606649538,-0.2825368437705589,0.4079392515862296,-0.6429539232930401,0.04044343315238692,-0.3225149731994665,0.6847929389092937,-0.24259246074216934,0.22591968737288814,-0.6373309954573539,-0.6363853004417062,-0.6042870873308259,-0.5135643199807768,-0.5113816119404812,0.010364788900547272,-0.521480775986777,-0.1863498582881291,-0.38473592983698635,0.6097212220381256,-0.5601877090229721,1.1679801327162362,0.04899441800417071,-0.45725902502507887,-0.28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x_a{158}=[14.004913195177426,12.60777291488909,35.64985548265867];
std_x_a{158}=[7.493882881148628,12.9991847170248,6.144343998450013];
pred_a{158}=[14.004913195177426];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.7 to 15.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{159}=[6.230174731485306,-3.5057622041032133,32.88499726535086];
std_x_f{159}=[4.334948769720131,9.186340040923799,7.465703590177008];
pred_f{159}=[6.230174731485306];
obs{159}=[8.496941153219021];
sqrt_r{159}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{159}=[19.944795142380507];
L_f{159}=[0.3911704312476161,0.40105508769126613,-0.1379589746689814,0.41238869014282176,0.3643772842251848,-0.7534600567495837,0.245540870204505,0.35342212306001813,0.42848717694916943,0.24006047962156937,0.3413983538181182,0.2840501539111114,0.2613197171489255,0.20581161369567783,0.2243769238001558,-0.7069078560114718,-0.27171046127276816,0.36900665867562454,-0.7302838843053024,-0.40993141592440596,-0.45400295116770606,-0.8062574811445742,0.1841330279376286,0.40821293217504934,0.24759227578902251,0.3601157490700803,0.3005710886549047,-0.7965736814308129,0.14624260173995846,0.02199089894534235,0.21954406143040456,-0.05727004153268891,-0.671846802405161,0.430320787222334,0.17135740911882105,0.24661126830907584,0.2605500085180034,0.35193276785631555,-0.750780141002582,-0.6722030500618908,-0.799694033827198,-0.17970222469414635,-0.7831184235359268,0.4229954012020044,-0.1942199391049742,0.31719720683655916,0.07753451916690596,0.2856864272572824,-0.3002848201956993,0.025321450714168796,0.43075002944437374,-0.054379787032727805,0.2141276311761959,0.279296826095323,0.21027362262100294,0.34305088691225616,-1.0391964454535916,-0.753678104565381,-0.28643161957072816,0.037536679452847006,0.2989816176685451,0.26375370920865543,0.30919224187420047,0.3657497248755171,0.24953671756307233,-0.7903269647882757,0.3574539099733709,0.04446679791427873,-0.38992046547892717,-0.004469360775419308,-0.5501415876627919,0.2670625979965706,0.28866687178740713,-0.44035142753003315,0.4003881071116347,0.32036185706463305,0.3163250517312046,0.4113629701031826,0.299279781135395,-1.2069156580151463E-6,0.4129964633667435,0.052277481120737254,-0.8007723616224232,-0.8051449800056071,0.3930323833736953,0.39507674874068893,0.23011382394118804,-0.3300397955829198,0.18828669937602702,-0.1256533857069782,0.38863601691204647,0.28324212744726013,-0.019648331708579846,0.4389505385186215,-0.8045980140742347,0.19392812708163643,0.4382866137955477,-0.967748752234955,-0.7932505903153393,0.3091393185409348;0.5365463101670921,0.49438182830310334,0.6555722440137196,0.437227058508765,-0.7746673758196083,-0.1336612650849181,-1.380803086128225,0.64642095747968,-0.2374636291047283,-1.3923245506165458,-0.9174306279761484,0.7512680798778129,-1.3136143579203265,0.3828076520007348,0.7940351097399398,-0.08887378205646246,0.522855134784765,-0.7508548052906352,-0.11142954595430667,0.36426951874885793,0.30859416280330193,-0.17982668017876208,0.8042269224563185,0.4588807571916654,-1.3437538346648308,0.630935611355571,0.733025214340925,-0.1771585203767017,0.8043479568845686,-0.006882457631744879,0.7944665619862707,0.1830413300548817,0.020568483367543074,0.30280798294416095,0.8074519524316468,-1.350798444025393,0.768776768285454,0.1622436856299989,-0.09039558024471647,0.019333604135662374,-0.1649411345312063,0.6171380018302844,-0.1614912815493001,0.3710303712689373,0.6044714037432825,0.7131429009280265,0.7934399707277975,-1.2023389265229618,0.4922594310298897,-0.8559816952560007,0.2868969713042145,0.72196823551764,0.7945658891938528,0.7588935126602524,0.3839623211006045,0.6653353774004384,-4.521481156816929,-0.09466808618833243,0.5076566458132203,-0.08952758908906328,-1.142032350212194,-1.2517590080067835,0.7214233755896672,0.07255941204937262,-1.3461177111769633,-0.17255021324682562,0.13209708603503006,0.7800066612445531,0.38805061342544817,0.753399650961051,0.06141219924912431,-1.2881617914423302,0.7436427518951775,0.1495805822457251,-0.5225840446636362,0.7068439190602762,0.7129446706610968,-0.4274578912823498,-1.1355317383987633,0.7578835770793386,0.4299168678634289,-0.2972695863622523,-0.1797385445239078,-0.17114189970820165,0.5300124285386314,0.515672426019154,0.788760719356072,0.21541992283029787,0.8046994413709494,0.6663174900017172,0.5463311262780216,0.7510399779844713,-1.1935333763582634,-0.010327407304188296,-0.17542124791609362,0.8039160383094027,0.11325286948607559,-4.33865638516771,-0.155336413492597,-1.092041705254028;0.39323289656125077,0.44128472045820416,-0.7805525453944826,0.5005257563157902,1.0459960626754012,-0.9673736653698154,1.0874756271581474,0.24186572920604435,0.911579328037471,1.0841239024587326,1.0658514313704137,0.020206092849409277,1.0884690522797913,0.1906063611767237,-0.14146144439319502,-0.9307733081733809,-0.9244816797400224,1.0448356056133514,-0.9504204985281437,-1.0281156323863765,-1.0491622942656167,-1.0304131882050918,-0.23402906452572717,0.4789021258152411,1.0806776178717281,0.26643464525618604,0.06839043522540408,-1.000655713846662,-0.3151802246925329,0.18929916214765163,-0.14852400670120855,-0.07362618882025795,-1.1045618862561932,0.6189867360942183,-0.263704072284181,1.0811777516613488,-0.0430844913392747,0.5799243161126377,-1.0899517468034365,-1.0998470205255155,-1.0542028441965252,-0.8301741670279591,-0.9961529026929187,0.5631130008763573,-0.8474968208979852,0.11734618473229824,-0.45234877286222075,1.0863869866689724,-0.9492284143233027,0.6380261824995043,0.6300338743236688,-0.6687922458458001,-0.16192317370747844,0.0043338384052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k{159}=[0.949861605854497;0.5135321426735662;1.2491010537796845];
x_a{159}=[8.383289124930345,-2.3417047866098057,35.71641759141085];
L_a{159}=[-0.09234146629169776,-0.09467488312712997,0.03256722132192265,-0.09735034472939316,-0.08601655447581949,0.17786519858000374,-0.05796349155765,-0.08343042944017516,-0.10115062654526205,-0.056669765698399086,-0.08059204393488813,-0.06705416774186321,-0.061688317737872776,-0.04858482306012842,-0.05296743437290012,0.16687587491984784,0.06414120392662996,-0.08710938560675056,0.17239412618910602,0.09677026943156133,0.10717399594307864,0.1903287980640157,-0.043467277775215245,-0.096364596362899,-0.05844775566480452,-0.08501055715741067,-0.0709541745340065,0.18804279637929744,-0.03452269190160821,-0.005191271352511729,-0.05182656696074562,0.013519425772668516,0.15859920357377383,-0.10158347690333062,-0.040451407248524585,-0.05821617458938307,-0.06150661682717228,-0.0830788454952937,0.17723256551306363,0.1586833010115088,0.18877940091944673,0.04242132226408885,0.18486648716956566,-0.09985421305250121,0.045848439778120316,-0.07487901140558793,-0.018303150279684252,-0.0674404338498548,0.0708865967030554,-0.005977496509952548,-0.10168480576924538,0.012837139185639898,-0.05054793986680803,-0.06593207561727459,-0.049638145126054745,-0.08098214839273737,0.24531742655559058,0.17791667193643376,0.06761634732744926,-0.008861078812480983,-0.07057895680336042,-0.062262896943721766,-0.07298932306723352,-0.08634053904092602,-0.05890676940968791,0.18656816811447516,-0.08438219134653237,-0.010497034010481913,0.0920463937026814,0.0010550575770068291,0.12986891854478547,-0.06304400823962812,-0.06814401110449327,0.10395135535187193,-0.09451743266617699,-0.07562607309281402,-0.07467312651545097,-0.09710820860432136,-0.07064934262377069,2.849099844350643E-7,-0.09749381843340205,-0.012340859316305648,0.1890339558699232,0.1900661759990101,-0.09278100715612064,-0.09326360931759292,-0.05432171304192464,0.07791069115714262,-0.04444781229540475,0.02966230817521545,-0.09174318094791412,-0.06686342134971772,0.004638274305062219,-0.10362065513761198,0.189937056740293,-0.04577955330827494,-0.10346392605601881,0.22845116001819993,0.18725833241752718,-0.07297682974512981;0.2751409651977503,0.22637091752114913,0.7477653406389949,0.16164230261498616,-1.0181678095770381,0.3698494052565378,-1.5448893532705654,0.410241469925781,-0.5238064335648968,-1.5527484668334097,-1.145575056396141,0.5614474223324424,-1.4882450696301395,0.2452710398769037,0.6440919584080059,0.3835277012888931,0.7044296127795652,-0.9974488860329602,0.37659330918203776,0.6382121653126945,0.6119882554717406,0.35896663893919933,0.6811773413957902,0.1860865124533244,-1.5092109835038827,0.3902830106098689,0.5321642012345712,0.35516345836741114,0.7066192056721639,-0.021578196536800993,0.6477530414086978,0.22131287045611406,0.4695399063586054,0.015239841680115693,0.6929398649487284,-1.5156000203103157,0.5946604255926202,-0.07294051859033239,0.4113241973186243,0.46854309481835593,0.36946606520469233,0.7372266340106532,0.3618390248936978,0.08835752603626751,0.7342617102849396,0.5011712418944871,0.7416263976384055,-1.393253047593057,0.6929291410638391,-0.8729031239487317,-9.580173341853168E-4,0.7583083212018039,0.6514719771193761,0.5722493357437369,0.2434439064446625,0.43608661964203,-3.827022977940032,0.40898829778573664,0.6990687525136298,-0.11461202251640519,-1.3418311761532689,-1.4280162704044808,0.5148011511255504,-0.17185817518641588,-1.5128742615865707,0.3555973060074419,-0.10677670191771833,0.7502910750961052,0.6486206505420907,0.7563863664741944,0.42905233770820544,-1.4666302670248084,0.5507369053051504,0.443851845168367,-0.7901492359469333,0.49275743636295005,0.5015558419950156,-0.7023571948019589,-1.3355298164245644,0.757884383618328,0.1539259586498402,-0.3322047754636069,0.3553892634859883,0.36690797430047056,0.26736280690890696,0.2516566274207406,0.6349838008458827,0.43597382907212934,0.678874108800318,0.7502871973554568,0.28661944064681605,0.5617592959067088,-1.1804030921699322,-0.3036625057163263,0.36226310813274704,0.6743207394077244,-0.17963855154810837,-3.6919441691784365,0.37476486115423857,-1.298628562928925;-0.24260206824717737,-0.21061743573262728,-0.5563046657071469,-0.1697988064279928,0.4537124972909504,0.2573514426603149,0.6883568336758145,-0.33261057377437736,0.21508719235281845,0.6939133077436818,0.5109193788805129,-0.4415083037113385,0.6637022501797711,-0.14393380264388983,-0.506178923148602,0.21828269362173341,-0.4828250569977702,0.445027140835577,0.23663248601478037,-0.3617852899143238,-0.31119508759832837,0.2801324364093158,-0.5333313838891238,-0.18463487654976143,0.6782243305385178,-0.31892193168812777,-0.4201782098221694,0.2941492055447727,-0.5528928739698458,0.15355366264141163,-0.5053858229900178,0.01946442318324512,-0.012496500328470524,-0.08048587416207115,-0.5422400338322538,0.680319060459803,-0.466600156796133,0.00786891215189233,0.13041724430535623,-0.007202565480635911,0.24567410773534779,-0.5380739759425276,0.2767809274068322,-0.12445242982244697,-0.5317985515987536,-0.3982476811000259,-0.578378642013351,0.6220128803695281,-0.461125089456256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x_a{159}=[8.383289124930348,-2.3417047866098017,35.716417591410845];
std_x_a{159}=[1.023327669268433,8.909108774577708,4.989653796462002];
pred_a{159}=[8.383289124930348];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.8 to 15.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 15.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{160}=[1.0278894215124494,-2.7713864993194512,28.49058384441437];
std_x_f{160}=[5.065962894527884,6.509047231206092,5.656804202772025];
pred_f{160}=[1.0278894215124494];
obs{160}=[2.988809688442789];
sqrt_r{160}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{160}=[26.684871505149484];
L_f{160}=[0.14453877132506432,0.11133403758645331,0.5026885571433741,0.06819962941049638,-0.6468060676135543,0.16532910275323312,-0.9234051062025578,0.23761638333633608,-0.3636293085524453,-0.9273625032231386,-0.7161851818754053,0.34695784589519174,-0.8947959118489279,0.12378693724614026,0.40934400140966565,0.17819207513935206,0.47268629546865526,-0.6356450575673616,0.17159966946809446,0.419922062593878,0.39765496837732905,0.1574367200086229,0.438183826508738,0.08429600444543661,-0.9053721478587915,0.2234359438838595,0.325385568819296,0.15219346287927135,0.45858272557239416,-0.058546560963459504,0.41139285361001515,0.0990569336930329,0.2704512353272085,-0.028428145693926706,0.4473612610919596,-0.9085863453623353,0.37215121799205303,-0.08470388468900962,0.2135253691081571,0.2679397465045135,0.16979473007139276,0.49631941677229946,0.15859959074416832,0.019395531177232535,0.49403958680823196,0.3028169505544552,0.48831902830402496,-0.8464587640194201,0.46380798900605313,-0.5659325923221497,-0.03884020901350957,0.5075162839561103,0.4150693522895566,0.3546220481185857,0.12251382863808115,0.25638035716937935,-1.7864204501709355,0.21058298688425217,0.4683760250246557,-0.11726279092701998,-0.8198995600265043,-0.8640659782776616,0.31226819710943304,-0.14786306949087022,-0.9074105400396232,0.15230722597661983,-0.10629665224475221,0.4966487794311332,0.42853089503221004,0.5038604034557321,0.22292901023693235,-0.8838581935367497,0.33897297422778566,0.23950112945812707,-0.5190466170630963,0.29646541196643894,0.3035838735384992,-0.46844092648817,-0.8166164045659381,0.5049138365969917,0.06221467739986419,-0.25127906909612446,0.1526060574793957,0.1671224453981903,0.13835093418418462,0.12844543376638984,0.4019731174494673,0.23878591189184306,0.43659995965825465,0.5044555341296889,0.15234129036915844,0.3465793909672784,-0.733329784474572,-0.23009874239275324,0.1615965654034291,0.4323539828570374,-0.15255035795436953,-1.7513851019559494,0.17501633001696706,-0.7972982546062635;0.23434442650013848,0.1826968737178281,0.727367681340178,0.11537249994896036,-0.9357999123065969,0.03602768503580416,-1.262173091339884,0.37875284667191017,-0.5426927569183723,-1.2662362981640547,-1.0237355714373029,0.544123717206361,-1.2322704647487843,0.16753050348416962,0.6367992051850571,0.06578888150972387,0.654310695725975,-0.9208854207276183,0.0516739246980972,0.5391287031280648,0.4929703359516178,0.014976092612009172,0.6770739037359816,0.14050918770408938,-1.2438387137522837,0.356946449842175,0.5123046935746113,0.007021140294158308,0.7039952748837577,-0.1527452444024145,0.6389347799606331,0.07604439654357949,0.234323453495436,-0.03458200061624884,0.6893198197786213,-1.2469704552031675,0.580544602956521,-0.13533105819100896,0.12182021413487586,0.23082586279843903,0.03825474709498971,0.7095199273793048,0.020155597143222515,0.03959538787118129,0.7038587325734013,0.47875685142694785,0.7407941852380765,-1.1778730625244702,0.6332335295390589,-0.8726389668323966,-0.051089929785047464,0.7501163675447231,0.6437984725614337,0.5556572010665393,0.16585295416758958,0.4065833131683236,-1.3008280853596037,0.11629054913399577,0.6435203937587085,-0.2394424935362084,-1.1481641319847404,-1.1991735048606063,0.4927853484236686,-0.23020661342171853,-1.2458872023615073,0.00819865762554753,-0.16870771188452285,0.7486428731228016,0.5574179775429285,0.7528115300692957,0.17028361347878898,-1.2198000326525829,0.5317513776354702,0.22020145566160604,-0.7641195610932363,0.46902440249272237,0.4790135619693812,-0.6939056001699716,-1.144722868452951,0.7550739546638958,0.10706300241764369,-0.4362948303547479,0.0070533241177884575,0.032262526734394247,0.22587623595188527,0.2092063817543956,0.6252374672131668,0.24218370356828875,0.6749772600992456,0.7329235123909941,0.24669546407098933,0.5434995423558271,-1.0815280819484123,-0.34407388720205045,0.02188586714275735,0.6689862129684497,-0.2267255563877853,-1.3646802143517407,0.04818647962148017,-1.1216344722076415;-0.3131340889148923,-0.3073029197649302,-0.25523844908522664,-0.29712293813869317,0.2680406753531965,0.02436502943475838,0.7076603036052227,-0.3217926188756031,-0.048708911904569746,0.7155616925955299,0.3653904330782664,-0.31689412830870506,0.6557491722965721,-0.2590499866769596,-0.3073073023875097,0.006395865711583744,-0.23948585489205776,0.2537207285536127,0.014868868039066233,-0.2111738590087755,-0.19763926907974483,0.032765080202432996,-0.2994967811737084,-0.30120508215373465,0.678093010478221,-0.3212893020420678,-0.3196426559077143,0.04097645646853604,-0.2931112105828937,-0.11968451449350488,-0.30466382372228973,-0.1616457353533204,-0.09825581101532184,-0.2647080293617836,-0.29674792475525935,0.6833400333938364,-0.3134714991581037,-0.2172747092933914,-0.03914883168539559,-0.0969201297108092,0.01422151182381356,-0.250822122530906,0.03285005713612537,-0.2824913715204521,-0.24910979227041702,-0.3215688557065429,-0.2810955567023754,0.5715319783675439,-0.2339699988752217,0.28984634913061097,-0.26074701331804073,-0.2647040222316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k{160}=[0.9625255830890167;1.1960990195859942;-0.902220554799399];
x_a{160}=[2.9153253448306446,-0.42593169055776636,26.721401273267094];
L_a{160}=[-0.029091688129063535,-0.022408486456067904,-0.1011774114059284,-0.013726713816223958,0.13018431128545008,-0.03327621130207254,0.1858561071203062,-0.04782565712302841,0.07318860083017634,0.1866526225387645,0.1441484230339658,-0.06983309290774264,0.18009786141135464,-0.024914913415982606,-0.08238971396629932,-0.03586517464830239,-0.09513877947481388,0.1279379062517521,-0.034538304300295704,-0.08451878739179032,-0.08003703239588371,-0.031687691244121956,-0.08819437931517021,-0.016966472382261236,0.18222656747933696,-0.0449715238112358,-0.06549118553456937,-0.030632367473279777,-0.0923001178951768,0.011783816044399575,-0.0828020916881293,-0.01993744235958625,-0.054434411750768755,0.005721805582222054,-0.09004154504290027,0.18287349723044083,-0.0749038273358978,0.01704856748194472,-0.04297679708212828,-0.0539289179728735,-0.03417501953220736,-0.09989547823583847,-0.03192174521083804,-0.0039037881596248724,-0.0994366110288327,-0.060948742022385136,-0.0982852195896868,0.1703689200566374,-0.09335182002887159,0.11390670009834727,0.007817468192997591,-0.10214910032732134,-0.08354206997915523,-0.071375686488669,-0.02465867159075792,-0.051602330120927464,0.35955741236289257,-0.04238457628746075,-0.09427124032003094,0.02360178180233885,0.16502328114996426,0.17391276909677064,-0.0628510185858824,0.029760778122017564,0.1826368398862886,-0.030655264862806248,0.021394599026396018,-0.09996176990045062,-0.08625150911175036,-0.10141327190994172,-0.04486949197975345,0.17789639887597836,-0.06822595736778203,-0.04820500479476372,0.1044698399579238,-0.05967035160818495,-0.061103102572611284,0.09428430320356304,0.16436247205450533,-0.10162529909219452,-0.012522107219913819,0.05057558082505881,-0.0307154114435624,-0.03363716196228177,-0.027846246323755652,-0.02585254092364031,-0.08090615730229947,-0.0480610511261946,-0.08787559038380026,-0.10153305538259824,-0.030662121090204438,-0.06975692031659049,0.1475991610424544,0.04631256230568661,-0.03252495396457628,-0.0870209917749159,0.030704200657721805,0.3525057582328638,-0.03522598430628623,0.16047425861042253;0.018579540899024288,0.01649941913087715,-0.02303678128735612,0.013565316292332973,0.02974058527298915,-0.21077263445674244,0.11626949037541587,0.024043371162316092,1.265533729767586E-4,0.11811381484956571,0.04537282363152128,0.026191267375143174,0.10346482472747617,-0.017256416378030864,0.02573782126735253,-0.2002130524696342,-0.05130692874958708,0.027994121222326633,-0.2044869843268135,-0.08772342081302245,-0.10064186909256781,-0.22004261946545015,0.02296094613869351,0.014673624076002983,0.10768459115982416,0.02340528002791488,0.026574952073936786,-0.22017053157588493,0.019431206608629795,-0.0653479882004108,0.024814906223418802,-0.07182601753519274,-0.16940130018894642,0.007855025430603967,0.021506952428349945,0.10935094609715382,0.02500393909005034,-0.008886618250451221,-0.19692662739557967,-0.16914978541376174,-0.21521178076924083,-0.031376796729739524,-0.21659902751273513,0.010642086779277908,-0.03363470225293071,0.026717138514777115,0.011840297551374404,0.08570539957526449,-0.05913071827726257,-0.027824942741163455,0.006890037649960002,-0.007494839085917816,0.02419038753162629,0.026283767609998378,-0.017033491997087428,0.023863314043554934,1.3659083240689813,-0.19806395698281581,-0.055662936300666765,-0.06439470229178201,0.07576722672084465,0.09068869090696094,0.026636984157761476,-0.009479275138369506,0.10867897784056885,-0.21916283775593168,-0.010029975792593446,0.007254482343610046,-0.08228525706685522,6.577562831711382E-4,-0.1625008148789478,0.09960762708994414,0.025738601024545133,-0.13732153505658826,0.010703920008567385,0.026466152472969944,0.02582900018102225,0.0053746136301616575,0.07430745466290622,0.0013476347773122427,0.014190047785269114,-0.061189942576601056,-0.22075426157163622,-0.21721486249581176,0.019348442658811447,0.01746534183464799,0.02517920667800883,-0.11427162319403844,0.02322867053047295,-0.020118661791832717,0.019283117975256555,0.02613204325359262,0.01317346840029401,-5.866112677822121E-4,-0.2193425875352535,0.023575941418994398,9.988820496242869E-4,1.2497560556035323,-0.2130747589946335,0.0685580631100875;-0.15038208293076746,-0.18193975398322915,0.31079355956076404,-0.22032951868330444,-0.46026899562125523,0.21052714271389866,-0.3321024672603198,-0.05423435275676516,-0.4581589083240959,-0.3286571442630371,-0.4410407683063463,0.07378364550727591,-0.3517993786198379,-0.11966473961317274,0.15361786500000843,0.20704180599137612,0.29276332699501584,-0.46202154090514824,0.20809169798367194,0.2616623040331992,0.2501239379798488,0.2100402968246811,0.19390229853557173,-0.20628699412677176,-0.34136448092928917,-0.06969834314100529,0.046744532513353414,0.21234771660997656,0.2232572199243884,-0.18560848875260097,0.1585683703717293,-0.05010670317959212,0.20627480500462295,-0.2967183868297471,0.20698503197894852,-0.3397366744117035,0.10557424685439747,-0.31265207428275094,0.2012827274891148,0.2047825264465115,0.20541196315609303,0.308038174592396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x_a{160}=[2.9153253448306446,-0.4259316905577662,26.721401273267098];
std_x_a{160}=[1.0196393068096479,2.089475135791644,3.228289683500561];
pred_a{160}=[2.9153253448306446];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 15.9 to 16.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{161}=[1.0551877069583784,0.27526355555483684,20.606776156884568];
std_x_f{161}=[1.3366659830217615,1.6159836699684766,2.8680119893768095];
pred_f{161}=[1.0551877069583784];
obs{161}=[1.1250001369131826];
sqrt_r{161}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{161}=[2.7867478462814343];
L_f{161}=[0.00847915761739737,0.012711602019780145,-0.07359120576149335,0.01747294303448411,0.12759531972171212,-0.15835827114422757,0.20036916111868203,-0.0030014274079480517,0.07490760932984672,0.2013515979172028,0.14365778766101173,-0.018831959624908183,0.19136059172795025,-0.0148254935210486,-0.028974512645611215,-0.15318902017377808,-0.08815617092710815,0.1249010064212285,-0.15569418907799418,-0.10469901082218172,-0.11111037105979357,-0.16354854793608917,-0.034837996901303056,0.01532015612646723,0.19363928506895178,-0.0012041992493150417,-0.015576782437568918,-0.1638039449997985,-0.04013059381865577,-0.023623309771760616,-0.02951970120115208,-0.05220902234395961,-0.14166783229579452,0.029446740122934377,-0.036868792226562065,0.19517436237405675,-0.02407646545798394,0.02534230558121104,-0.1531864803134415,-0.14128889420514065,-0.16208308472561989,-0.07829430041165994,-0.16216972022831805,0.02407352443323329,-0.078937009077805,-0.011713932677170398,-0.04920224993754417,0.17796320958369302,-0.09136218864051389,0.06827546812150122,0.030011950518823632,-0.06433242712011497,-0.03057620830854287,-0.01996121298955808,-0.014899406475550027,-0.006352292477121857,0.6081286428126484,-0.1540115884679405,-0.09024208092415491,-0.014453384698591733,0.17041713149857382,0.1813051658815604,-0.013520547964909578,0.03510914521501327,0.1944882413624697,-0.16327591357013588,0.028337390138565628,-0.05317705816161144,-0.10257609543013901,-0.05866810029496997,-0.13336638612104815,0.1881939829606212,-0.01817133264313573,-0.11815975487872826,0.10151242613015773,-0.010923776048928751,-0.012347602177570877,0.09212725708546741,0.16943260375722485,-0.0577428527078808,0.01892415760148374,0.007212043024801062,-0.16460132626728402,-0.16278176658932902,0.009734369640880414,0.00996755255132508,-0.028171121977335217,-0.10160418961358306,-0.034051258165581806,-0.07192030987703814,0.007301926708013715,-0.01870966542683245,0.10962220469459548,0.055605833224152426,-0.16397569863540348,-0.033156521490203684,0.044452854002982795,0.5841189777802126,-0.1609045544617497,0.1643254304173119;0.038177503241770695,0.04319194168152923,-0.07837283555637173,0.04938343961375166,0.19049147943553055,-0.2535050430271147,0.27895261760319495,0.02358076578312375,0.12317261953127942,0.27987761887376394,0.21129239925845514,0.0028805847263855353,0.26822312607226756,-0.005827506022302862,-0.010222606353530814,-0.24263586627551684,-0.10475732231931083,0.1872084828112161,-0.24745475066127182,-0.13805288162457402,-0.1499062876419972,-0.2631470132863765,-0.018523590718512145,0.0470639832477545,0.2701307354936186,0.026003551971585367,0.007506277312726652,-0.26362059170567176,-0.02601743029367184,-0.036665678150112756,-0.01146504749080815,-0.07476737542998123,-0.214083605879279,0.06523649107705456,-0.02158029774997696,0.27207608442323217,-0.003982143874153993,0.05338882892694578,-0.23966891036171395,-0.21325167259298805,-0.25834493060491903,-0.0869838327462339,-0.2596500395138298,0.057709395068117585,-0.08831028930669411,0.012461050813891232,-0.03927100801096696,0.25312452753135417,-0.1121901970817693,0.08410275065042931,0.06588800287291832,-0.06240909225343697,-0.013085416802938956,0.0013451523948188014,-0.0057086439077858,0.018740473617316903,0.3634748083770311,-0.24127393769506034,-0.10888833047916963,-0.024500902659577495,0.2435965629584441,0.25556835495870833,0.010421058736185608,0.06624965516555753,0.271777942383038,-0.2622150021046234,0.056699374771166974,-0.04532190515683536,-0.13305201513901668,-0.05339680104034678,-0.20431499655596042,0.2644459763001376,0.003933577650674365,-0.17782115871395904,0.15740730113903229,0.01386556662774644,0.011350203519379404,0.1448846882229103,0.24260820074740538,-0.052755562088389885,0.051900964570671344,0.0034094472108313102,-0.2645220564904926,-0.2605436467438553,0.040339083711881885,0.040481180699414934,-0.00938392830508588,-0.14998962823662026,-0.017780031560730603,-0.07540114797783673,0.03688920790528409,0.0026874333118111727,0.1379988049068725,0.09794463619135844,-0.26294140049357023,-0.016305090402231683,0.08391223099124591,0.39019590648999475,-0.2558882985065654,0.23650569601292348;-0.12695124873653457,-0.1511105824332039,0.21862040274891856,-0.17995577870301308,-0.34126889977534747,0.132356260972729,-0.2118816139185044,-0.0543091565132404,-0.35500476977004464,-0.2083544328524937,-0.32213145822023065,0.04248229661234962,-0.2313943542792812,-0.10877894117472735,0.1032024727107951,0.12955909366327575,0.20288467448299286,-0.3442920109361734,0.13000368410898241,0.17732989235456362,0.16769142757247008,0.13136602618318569,0.1333251857554721,-0.16939292671561076,-0.22227137931386218,-0.06600702385655374,0.02225852010824529,0.133668703427779,0.1549532978132832,-0.1659241128504125,0.10665246632420823,-0.0631129633776032,0.13085024136148937,-0.2374939364343567,0.14293658222885347,-0.22049545974981502,0.06660541116288889,-0.25239929966026076,0.12622744080122106,0.12992417000827167,0.12863117594999526,0.21618373868227844,0.1330555876164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k{161}=[0.6411587789206059;0.723024350349924;0.10546566213476445];
x_a{161}=[1.099948559301681,0.32573964236925873,20.614138971034986];
L_a{161}=[-0.009559494485343331,-0.01433119832076792,0.0829675254772179,-0.019699185947216702,-0.1438523507019938,0.17853483659812078,-0.22589837070806132,0.003383841891978483,-0.08445165317244341,-0.22700598063600844,-0.16196135169186698,0.02123135602682391,-0.2157420116335656,0.016714422582046442,0.03266618057469827,0.1727069668526665,0.09938822555881999,-0.14081475259379087,0.17553132151209275,0.11803880311435479,0.12526704035212563,0.1843864110832327,0.03927673647381002,-0.017272110581489003,-0.21831103528072612,0.0013576273260285398,0.017561433874729544,0.1846743485095985,0.04524366778085039,0.026633176275123814,0.03328083207963936,0.058861019419927066,0.1597178543778363,-0.03319857496680591,0.041566277202813834,-0.2200416981242395,0.027144068922592204,-0.02857119084004392,0.172704103386509,0.15929063545452482,0.18273423192687277,0.08826984551901888,0.18283190573453745,-0.027140753179312638,0.08899444225691774,0.013206415057002518,0.055471151518564334,-0.20063765734449246,0.10300272478552754,-0.07697450506788221,-0.033835799312238214,0.07252907777320662,0.034471949679117174,0.02250448854765072,0.016797752850551222,0.007161643602395211,-0.6856108436313321,0.17363433929067026,0.10173990316801755,0.01629490304994969,-0.19213012686850978,-0.20440541520928,0.015243212774365928,-0.03958243203067814,-0.2192681578360999,0.1840790401349089,-0.031947881733302284,0.05995239352547167,0.11564540522050686,0.06614305412658222,0.1503587137050603,-0.21217194248112897,0.02048655798507429,0.13321459231222924,-0.11444621288723358,0.012315583883545369,0.013920820941164785,-0.10386527126838073,-0.1910201595888851,0.06509991993737828,-0.02133530102801417,-0.008130935717268348,0.1855733248198871,0.18352193345625967,-0.010974634167592328,-0.011237527116049681,0.031760429200622775,0.11454966803612233,0.038389758669540586,0.08108373929069176,-0.008232271558959895,0.021093480218300563,-0.1235892654122901,-0.0626906209372208,0.18486798542572752,0.03738102281392188,-0.050116630905337724,-0.658542086234773,0.18140554409411444,-0.185262276839021;0.0178356079943418,0.012696214584437213,0.09817590504738827,0.007465032985420955,-0.11561565348482097,0.12640384751767322,-0.2017423606253741,0.030781330353355302,-0.056534234731772035,-0.20317427113124453,-0.13334934464330084,0.04805933564472,-0.1908598733319587,0.029739545541620515,0.059288603094093326,0.12487174969774939,0.10673345015250746,-0.11243486663025083,0.12606288254791895,0.11312493659222778,0.11665268330623146,0.1292135937577699,0.06505439138463015,0.010310212984133822,-0.19441895569005502,0.02889248222762172,0.04487570608556713,0.12935272482577306,0.07025773907000145,0.020007745609430076,0.05935409477129225,0.05048450823738312,0.12578414213599248,-0.005407614149857609,0.06686965721172221,-0.19615632893004478,0.05377842154684589,-0.007408546086299966,0.1278326123679494,0.12570698523984275,0.13049996173483738,0.10084785163912753,0.1294026954442758,-4.411469710841379E-5,0.1010632831943585,0.040563322549650706,0.07876748818513868,-0.17381752621936888,0.1069919616609789,-0.07969328701811568,-0.006112068498831908,0.09192740584457974,0.060268335366944294,0.049233034890608825,0.03003572828699983,0.03397992003184241,-1.0954542158546303,0.12820705804406574,0.1076066375236327,0.010173442455354863,-0.1652420969337353,-0.17939120807775075,0.04285748494740737,-0.017978824409490727,-0.19480843460972508,0.12949154235886123,-0.011283348017415958,0.08225234166108894,0.11303282987541369,0.08735071238213014,0.11563719426499931,-0.18704018073587625,0.04752745357703205,0.10564961334402485,-0.08612575153299269,0.04007221569837506,0.0409726779899233,-0.07613290546120811,-0.16386853109880659,0.08577223914759728,0.006501026399292357,-0.01389258093279502,0.13036421495314446,0.12997741602746435,0.01698587618000898,0.01656855647171096,0.058199909397106925,0.0937635693190834,0.06391052756111207,0.09713903533938244,0.01937154460650814,0.04757279473570793,-0.12498998540814148,-0.03545635546739849,0.13044396103355616,0.06323895363570341,-0.022732242478924462,-1.011132809662292,0.13012924467242257,-0.1577186883975229;-0.1299184675450128,-0.15555891401293437,0.24437310363350548,-0.18607030653122633,-0.38591994291379034,0.18777257257108443,-0.28199932729730937,-0.053258829079902315,-0.3812181363957131,-0.2788159427590016,-0.3724034438072819,0.04907240229512173,-0.2983595850955694,-0.10359086882065599,0.11334189018219064,0.18316646392602115,0.2337342777409442,-0.3880001989630748,0.18448771979374473,0.21396854069189805,0.20657368424254047,0.18859863694862086,0.1455164863916531,-0.1747541026081319,-0.2900340220954988,-0.0655856231911873,0.027709500489773976,0.1909906885161436,0.1689967037914673,-0.15765730944420384,0.11698266851846878,-0.04484280022443725,0.18042585671294165,-0.24779860643622875,0.15583854474410092,-0.2887952915374465,0.07503079306663196,-0.26126765299957005,0.17983392225853273,0.17936717876357786,0.1853509586495486,0.2435822529287255,0.18980568777255985,-0.218606204744459,0.24325759186577792,0.00576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x_a{161}=[1.0999485593016802,0.3257396423692571,20.614138971034986];
std_x_a{161}=[1.5069717618204466,1.796781065206747,2.8701628578869545];
pred_a{161}=[1.0999485593016802];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.0 to 16.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{162}=[0.9050101828351036,1.1596868232270772,16.11903510973604];
std_x_f{162}=[1.7792051576576622,2.258363902314197,2.7402075870570712];
pred_f{162}=[0.9050101828351036];
obs{162}=[0.9778661141620841];
sqrt_r{162}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{162}=[4.165685447850681];
L_f{162}=[0.010698355717196193,0.005071582452833827,0.10366612191099456,-0.0014951470668659317,-0.1758675313002315,0.17887177785251324,-0.2929562544180514,0.02512750156525003,-0.08931604453135351,-0.2947290790377448,-0.20205289314344174,0.04423996472282274,-0.27963727254136816,0.035322343489359066,0.05629427866926092,0.1759237065953502,0.11858367368017317,-0.17137541729245764,0.17791668751216247,0.13466053551421678,0.1416855224379446,0.1841827229103198,0.062189244942439194,0.0019567328163838005,-0.28322775340175405,0.023921575789275874,0.040804104752448805,0.18436915597748482,0.06804469398858874,0.03688752928734228,0.05632236812976694,0.07323027213297621,0.16851547294868346,-0.018505496335785365,0.06427745479517187,-0.28559535339209824,0.05091867144543346,-0.01623350157313688,0.17812369365894676,0.16853872707783174,0.18381523926051965,0.10800648757761322,0.1832405968537077,-0.010690434840748516,0.10873517799710303,0.036157480020400264,0.07758535481868385,-0.2573523309388814,0.1207599429302584,-0.10150842758462215,-0.019177810824003192,0.09395124428418793,0.05700338462216555,0.045780140035570724,0.03537070327021357,0.029382304211553252,-0.8090502096348575,0.17831930022786682,0.12074783888763783,0.024730614451363552,-0.2449045517189348,-0.263586763540547,0.03868398670288064,-0.030468850899924713,-0.2838039020973085,0.18423982749543813,-0.021033374786019358,0.08137438922125909,0.13328313066366318,0.08755071324389131,0.1581934853018284,-0.2738543720412264,0.043859285035810235,0.14328671971281876,-0.13387904578246895,0.03546628324926069,0.0369907240535566,-0.11761849226184137,-0.2438432388076216,0.08677913759794006,-0.00270755011676329,-0.007037920786181179,0.1854256916679233,0.1844072339593788,0.009490219590215829,0.00918587640816116,0.05483200851735408,0.1266470285786627,0.06057661817783033,0.10248664627127776,0.012332557965683706,0.04413576169242344,-0.16779004435414355,-0.05867528329270385,0.18507027865077028,0.06056546236760391,-0.041119711188723304,-0.7876088746982981,0.18321522656984943,-0.23530564068739138;0.02760168304540863,0.02020541746379412,0.13607760429347138,0.010893277289346765,-0.2663927070126672,0.22726423938000417,-0.4504613058698085,0.04661939041344181,-0.1251074021305357,-0.45319975659497574,-0.30848007682285383,0.06943838857838287,-0.429474714010735,0.0615059392325035,0.08299668573791918,0.22442152922474012,0.15602589117898671,-0.25896478675068696,0.22673374157226908,0.17629986568247938,0.1856787050726173,0.23414913665877363,0.08923486485428102,0.01588358659063175,-0.4345485968874382,0.0445136320740296,0.06541891629137596,0.23424992762864486,0.09591169790316567,0.06118374674502417,0.08231714366562709,0.10962433540155697,0.2192885789277989,-0.01341809041374154,0.09102330378922123,-0.43936623979564426,0.07672218164705467,-0.011099759915457934,0.2287667978792897,0.21933633795122304,0.23481373310712672,0.14230903699513392,0.23277046571873725,-0.0027258301897503784,0.1424669762908835,0.05981367036082817,0.1060254218844479,-0.3959848704633665,0.15879715019509008,-0.15200641483889155,-0.014150774413116369,0.12503964337912024,0.08359299805158714,0.07075865359355366,0.06068375965853664,0.05114198297264316,-0.7557240475173441,0.2286555970369895,0.15860493231373302,0.04391108380184814,-0.37763376955667194,-0.4057359663762514,0.0630515275116587,-0.03269684375826859,-0.43652602539960267,0.23384647032307665,-0.018608613496962054,0.11006151301870251,0.17446409230760831,0.11761073467102419,0.20627418194494668,-0.4213370177600129,0.06905205650555644,0.18910516108137,-0.19662015931350732,0.05943037790067949,0.060982712039541385,-0.17194664091749398,-0.37494636621825184,0.11673362334165219,0.008918949667587195,-0.0034279742348704307,0.23504509065996043,0.2348530459680248,0.026279186923191932,0.025928734485972226,0.08093181129615722,0.17019329950025824,0.08714239354670632,0.13507773416526242,0.03065634257387605,0.06900025179695798,-0.2566649426980301,-0.07610677822552235,0.23476325152396746,0.08669295852839944,-0.04804005699012286,-0.7861150875940998,0.23399144877814004,-0.36134698542691795;-0.12481372400112693,-0.14501087513368507,0.18380200909288125,-0.1696722672142133,-0.3228952470572376,0.1670835677281112,-0.21521177295707117,-0.06295227367632733,-0.325271896987446,-0.2122877706215494,-0.3081317370617584,0.019059442430794264,-0.2321213339964289,-0.10002402124248762,0.0713601445624619,0.16207504185722008,0.1808929521676619,-0.3252412087660265,0.16459338166476892,0.17100528015374375,0.16806468759536725,0.1701162184273315,0.09695862587389871,-0.16045248086154063,-0.2246655325191799,-0.07337354711692325,0.0014536213404511198,0.17155734394080455,0.11620449471301506,-0.14151705278980115,0.07311563377978941,-0.04664394734786713,0.1583808078528335,-0.21945590748942026,0.10541916562003525,-0.22315962495966948,0.04044276777833986,-0.229294795199064,0.1609580165198487,0.1571629067757745,0.1675148880780361,0.18489392589200282,0.17096388031311707,-0.19625240430737856,0.18472065312554323,-0.016160974010982685,0.14801519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k{162}=[0.7599434684834495;0.945746592741525;-0.0729849889343616];
x_a{162}=[0.9603765719873212,1.2285900720405796,16.113717720394337];
L_a{162}=[-0.0072697478015802406,-0.003446242241486341,-0.07044321405853457,0.0010159824920493562,0.11950552335665561,-0.12154696928967403,0.19906966479826133,-0.017074642505068318,0.06069204796901401,0.20027433477019785,0.1372990031890076,-0.030061945479039995,0.19001914883330137,-0.02400224256103989,-0.038253094159095655,-0.11954369559910005,-0.08057999040488789,0.11645304157387391,-0.12089796620119801,-0.09150454124838674,-0.09627816110127806,-0.1251558632336513,-0.04225884226073572,-0.0013296392890845535,0.1924589527649886,-0.016255191695009233,-0.027727209550787408,-0.12528254825104934,-0.04623773761211072,-0.02506581777902055,-0.03827218151225143,-0.04976144221790242,-0.11450965189274981,0.012574856815425025,-0.0436778228393807,0.19406778455931392,-0.034600260973266406,0.011030990695473858,-0.12103863103982182,-0.114525453541033,-0.12490615070530854,-0.07339257979258289,-0.12451566963662428,0.007264365406783856,-0.07388773958303564,-0.02456973462440407,-0.052720808462308914,0.1748760829729449,-0.08205880911447919,0.06897701738305734,0.013031708027133828,-0.06384175939232099,-0.03873494591075581,-0.031108525569464522,-0.024035104004409703,-0.019965866446557175,0.5497658834999428,-0.12117154963609668,-0.08205058417416525,-0.01680494973171878,0.166417566728873,0.17911250526980388,-0.0262865467108742,0.020704196766459102,0.19285045738715742,-0.12519466694733372,0.014292601045663472,-0.055295533517857307,-0.09056856695954327,-0.05949246986698302,-0.10749565376189199,0.18608955167753563,-0.029803265978103507,-0.0973662068418211,0.09097350326371784,-0.024100052521819328,-0.02513594069740666,0.07992413022604154,0.16569638326781033,-0.05896816870293674,0.0018398347399656676,0.004782408672465053,-0.12600048549448112,-0.125308423005309,-0.00644879501357306,-0.006241987702510137,-0.037259452191755194,-0.08605920217314429,-0.041163029952126326,-0.06964173664784581,-0.008380221085262856,-0.02999113742486903,0.11401670857792927,0.03987103467111289,-0.12575897520370358,-0.04115544935478826,0.027941670469541838,0.5351960653298984,-0.1244984300186697,0.15989491369566278;0.005240450420011179,0.00960501886006771,-0.08060076467294024,0.01401836793459706,0.10119787256935996,-0.14660568422417372,0.16186297341897216,-0.00590100829534674,0.06157706618787041,0.1628300027482096,0.11384199449813763,-0.0230300400901752,0.1550108151045732,-0.012323269715014568,-0.03466713981416318,-0.14328646548865448,-0.0918324884479267,0.09923657368748819,-0.14513989420568466,-0.10516166351811793,-0.11046614284950623,-0.1508214907392994,-0.040750359951850286,0.011793709711460662,0.15744159741927616,-0.005486193612291978,-0.019868028970126368,-0.1511103739674212,-0.04631232898697637,-0.01591694472334638,-0.03540539324148003,-0.043438358873465414,-0.13293505161829308,0.025261284188450726,-0.04332660541533037,0.15757260788804447,-0.029705786095442666,0.022830791152141493,-0.14353951304290996,-0.13293589735293912,-0.14938879612741257,-0.08344137340607023,-0.1502309712288361,0.01961884656804219,-0.0848065107786273,-0.015761104236050597,-0.05614007469143797,0.14192165376658136,-0.09360997170989441,0.060162036338101695,0.025933842365151474,-0.07133311561480644,-0.03555296957803561,-0.024928981779534884,-0.013246528776146115,-0.010271617108783921,0.9353171200699462,-0.14405956213313714,-0.0937768902536803,-0.007779758915885592,0.13425495397896847,0.14520149469842317,-0.017804040241663287,0.030987808426798696,0.15666840957256278,-0.15124351456745233,0.025354421470304138,-0.06002365663044189,-0.10411844585018129,-0.06538391582646365,-0.12437488396437511,0.15106134705159338,-0.022620692222824618,-0.11038643896688258,0.08320793441832139,-0.01469968760276976,-0.016333672590847864,0.07389435895578708,0.13472404774481844,-0.06464831367319508,0.01457815184839977,0.011282378277147278,-0.15252353537169672,-0.15058684455119423,0.006443147298727362,0.006728819596165627,-0.03367564149245357,-0.09451874992344834,-0.0394721897165009,-0.07913534669025772,0.004879372278002844,-0.023250376280123598,0.09404242890281549,0.046533718478124736,-0.15206250584966963,-0.03989830735088483,0.0379065549646699,0.8601103446606287,-0.14895696031785263,0.13047851641365116;-0.12308806690836135,-0.14419282304581058,0.20052347389402578,-0.1699134361572609,-0.35126288230866226,0.19593579140680575,-0.26246595403594164,-0.058899178747930436,-0.33967867778793404,-0.25982791035239095,-0.34072310132218847,0.026195399668122454,-0.2772271479662327,-0.09432648657577768,0.08044047651586493,0.19045173824841463,0.20002063524175018,-0.35288426085683045,0.1932915481720977,0.19272617954879823,0.1909187254681438,0.1998251036576289,0.10698982267325008,-0.1601368576057343,-0.270350495185003,-0.0695149694044117,0.008035370409313434,0.20129630103945123,0.12718018218410337,-0.13556705185208862,0.08220049659550789,-0.03483182015262901,0.18556254762871527,-0.2224408653512771,0.11578719307250815,-0.2692264842294357,0.04865600809832456,-0.23191327769026326,0.1896895733569528,0.18434839746945705,0.1971644977725851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x_a{162}=[0.9603765719873208,1.2285900720405796,16.113717720394337];
std_x_a{162}=[1.2090056757648933,1.5690550089319082,2.7374164508492416];
pred_a{162}=[0.9603765719873208];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.1 to 16.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{163}=[1.6086801056860278,2.681719475730933,12.802918043763983];
std_x_f{163}=[1.7226125291197762,2.6256300255104392,2.5530453052301922];
pred_f{163}=[1.6086801056860278];
obs{163}=[1.7044329998337875];
sqrt_r{163}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{163}=[3.9674187354881516];
L_f{163}=[0.004980964537108219,0.011368844463569923,-0.11283528525778509,0.01984299283047834,0.19373371366985906,-0.19558155042489977,0.29461914001135686,-0.013231544645825022,0.11387367258434981,0.29591385760087635,0.21693777642283538,-0.03857450640815539,0.284645275323568,-0.022465486070844396,-0.05449670148345361,-0.19158209753285538,-0.12807960011349254,0.18975854285386254,-0.1941559186676375,-0.14492658854788196,-0.15237883986844758,-0.20105835392410565,-0.06240386430309299,0.0160986785918346,0.28725911071060706,-0.011903725538715298,-0.03433292450731801,-0.20126472896031897,-0.06989712376385632,-0.02501168343935434,-0.05550537535686637,-0.06670011439830606,-0.1808413670394059,0.03949155310074997,-0.06502442645124182,0.288280316161227,-0.0475234608487422,0.0369640640790963,-0.19283181828093998,-0.18075347356727323,-0.1999551446871194,-0.1167843243551966,-0.2001306570727768,0.029769982178308903,-0.1183635881260574,-0.028068099816865453,-0.08223896828634487,0.2646521943765492,-0.13004221860268475,0.11543564593504398,0.04091473374238701,-0.10115164777705925,-0.05540031401278424,-0.041061723839438694,-0.022757785017358794,-0.01898708789401689,0.6626019123263068,-0.1937399238455635,-0.13024996091821872,-0.01129182845768497,0.25321912317427314,0.26921924082308396,-0.031083106859972037,0.052210367092910576,0.28715482745284626,-0.20082390084600424,0.041953703341010534,-0.08713392541842639,-0.14322428618836378,-0.09401210679512291,-0.1703038862186259,0.2791956639410994,-0.03761066516987672,-0.15233948153675064,0.15699633670822705,-0.026868360113791036,-0.02887102197250461,0.13990888357672257,0.25283514531831447,-0.09292430745829924,0.020949587192566583,0.02277241608884865,-0.2032457451079286,-0.2011144716378333,0.006324690181163864,0.007182406016502702,-0.05196005626914645,-0.13273193906207673,-0.06074477529525587,-0.11172367468596421,0.003439527929449139,-0.03869098923948555,0.17667793401779694,0.08341403111534004,-0.2025685735523579,-0.06063240072804419,0.06477233748785614,0.6499463342867529,-0.19905596838844,0.2459319474095149;0.02084124036830434,0.03376248265334415,-0.18813032363200147,0.049077985354124956,0.3543925769169414,-0.3226682987076085,0.5077803527050386,-0.012446947384534345,0.21982088313983356,0.5093840784339311,0.3916566264861364,-0.059858562332363786,0.4936096485872227,-0.02676102216258772,-0.08824419858029708,-0.3164967915725106,-0.21247504957672042,0.3481127097555814,-0.32085664225357646,-0.23997273757799806,-0.252261138947472,-0.3321031037104537,-0.10323032348324383,0.04148236377181445,0.4971726804331951,-0.010168765016611736,-0.05100225674739742,-0.3320434277068189,-0.11553142264166578,-0.02900791189994211,-0.0896318468779783,-0.10344766601891059,-0.2985538072598581,0.0849254530881378,-0.10800276091459968,0.49860752869818714,-0.07510223808073854,0.08215830266619227,-0.3184157333406127,-0.29792217960955214,-0.32948102691503595,-0.19387743384387568,-0.3303280315645945,0.06733455183867401,-0.19681811809844765,-0.040069734531867546,-0.1366856734302974,0.46450163281231943,-0.21588648903010121,0.215605158216402,0.08820082557685295,-0.16968645899878726,-0.0901167121564626,-0.06378852139341015,-0.027315533898523828,-0.023312052200743505,0.5708711247784805,-0.31973218930066594,-0.2162271935242512,-0.004393063224953854,0.44704212137528165,0.4706662228787363,-0.045290278246802325,0.10961891216495388,0.4973435134091417,-0.3314510899432574,0.0910748162169189,-0.1452579705516917,-0.2371626716917113,-0.1566297218437438,-0.28059467958171214,0.4858150658139755,-0.057612126595042924,-0.2516494545822221,0.2940132931885491,-0.03722569834871442,-0.0417641885948936,0.26529120026960606,0.4471063633355281,-0.15409018189545307,0.05106858082374259,0.05525205561271982,-0.3351049097937256,-0.33218261806876276,0.024104115082426953,0.02577946657496033,-0.08453371332332373,-0.21845856571036437,-0.09991026898206133,-0.18537482022946972,0.018463329975962922,-0.059421348218185246,0.31507693317911845,0.1653921730116983,-0.33406089928285165,-0.09907420515104914,0.1321491177691692,0.6062645195629635,-0.3285932438924383,0.43667603614937817;-0.1184599078157845,-0.1320271376219982,0.10928953170870995,-0.14975186524877473,-0.21527312272370885,0.10465410726338543,-0.08130498884631024,-0.07325906539200809,-0.245515250401807,-0.07774359805549139,-0.19325800535345117,-0.014108137317057887,-0.09975446968703057,-0.10277370023589015,0.02528231463708322,0.10020718458826412,0.10784953582751433,-0.2180714079832236,0.103175357755933,0.10147218345316641,0.09987706440462092,0.10811730652056699,0.04334870641134076,-0.1434080780426109,-0.09229778322126034,-0.08120991468483299,-0.02703350650200514,0.10905080273375417,0.05817573622325276,-0.1350530288472997,0.026178173161785282,-0.06568540966383321,0.09513642423223369,-0.18427816885737813,0.05049993470375893,-0.09137777874705842,0.001574220919474942,-0.19229116010251227,0.09930079074695528,0.0953829493482838,0.10587742102816781,0.11032492414846298,0.10781500124627441,-0.16824533418806542,0.1099330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k{163}=[0.7479469482121706;1.104423284451076;0.2054232858533264];
x_a{163}=[1.6802981906463277,2.787471201581298,12.82258791790978];
L_a{163}=[-0.0035511175470128277,-0.008105278157087583,0.08044453206120299,-0.014146818251886413,-0.1381200739205434,0.13943746646087474,-0.21004510070002616,0.009433267395465439,-0.08118483756398025,-0.2109681537184356,-0.15466312573113078,0.027501221009071132,-0.20293435625676193,0.01601649262788438,0.03885275461217497,0.13658610559741524,0.0913127792797869,-0.13528602466524545,0.13842107979297588,0.1033236329604305,0.10863662409539132,0.14334208631164394,0.04449006931833641,-0.011477355360649427,-0.204797858122468,0.008486615056267377,0.024477237239875257,0.14348921886135435,0.04983229670365435,0.01783177279824335,0.03957187627313123,0.04755302810589777,0.12892863358795426,-0.028155018195788934,0.04635836694583395,-0.20552591401762352,0.03388126826791708,-0.026353075911757638,0.1374770786698648,0.12886597101550798,0.1425555668232393,0.08325995102838947,0.1426806962249411,-0.0212241434967187,0.0843858677552171,0.020010807350346046,0.05863126331339402,-0.1886805345238682,0.0927120040490336,-0.08229842729791498,-0.02916965737087951,0.07211482608525362,0.0394969740770398,0.029274452156907122,0.016224883575101125,0.013536611329954007,-0.4723939028307669,0.13812450138910923,0.09286011138375849,0.008050370540727433,-0.18052946670152603,-0.1919365542472546,0.022160319625605,-0.03722274056326752,-0.2047235106534717,0.14317493586650556,-0.029910377997376152,0.062121062936360674,0.10210999738158424,0.06702477794905669,0.12141606593861545,-0.19904912269195518,0.0268140622252078,0.10860856405576053,-0.11192861180758185,0.019155467650636117,0.02058324084882477,-0.09974632177179016,-0.18025571440078156,0.06624924475988321,-0.014935751123694817,-0.016235314617986968,0.14490156001541885,0.14338209474704466,-0.004509110256542785,-0.005120608236608872,0.03704428453294369,0.09462960724591388,0.04330724216831494,0.0796520229442179,-0.0024521692320256337,0.027584266014346825,-0.12596036510326597,-0.059469009938530694,0.14441877886421617,0.04322712609953128,-0.04617864321268603,-0.4633712637597526,0.1419145101145816,-0.17533416415849262;0.008242712971307617,0.0050068676756777316,0.09726790036207199,-0.0011115887636472172,-0.1356248647267331,0.17202294091437423,-0.2374101178273263,0.02102006015649742,-0.06820377015020407,-0.23908116647223496,-0.15705166070303256,0.03770928264790111,-0.22635357798728897,0.030061715610747317,0.049596209953076516,0.16807849230274177,0.11148115187879795,-0.1318501936435493,0.1702286972223418,0.1265951395411991,0.1331559774570061,0.17644080609592055,0.054609947862559224,7.634143025567893E-4,-0.22940181118637312,0.019939743327216427,0.035837207135954605,0.17702247367938267,0.06126181130925562,0.0342550117181927,0.05075983567755552,0.06525926059529485,0.1588545722181904,-0.014961910088834799,0.056465789707841815,-0.2305499334990169,0.04510050960848315,-0.011336194340446528,0.1693205128273927,0.15926388784269654,0.17627249727561164,0.10150923252715044,0.17586942222698587,-0.007963702804045573,0.10256303523108731,0.030923889672836644,0.07132421849673501,-0.20489239653445498,0.11303383184881982,-0.07637024876912858,-0.015286238053909582,0.08615993305573172,0.05000923507573711,0.04007032941852914,0.030246525798976843,0.024712651697436475,-1.1050710112383852,0.17030095995710048,0.1132185772417898,0.024167752481821545,-0.19343384206265274,-0.2102793963963274,0.03332930847012841,-0.02243859102079898,-0.22896721092797356,0.17649980951225738,-0.015040149470842241,0.0751329072418768,0.12509951267368583,0.08115838009592012,0.15016088198789987,-0.22036426854578128,0.03751784111138408,0.13366811142062404,-0.10308301908414155,0.03073338236429406,0.03126029463322129,-0.08858522059081998,-0.192398391513769,0.08094651122663972,-0.0019199410247894852,-0.0023470109643999914,0.1789716448552359,0.17650323222897335,0.008106855529326556,0.007612756432551366,0.04689066996216424,0.117264958974859,0.05373361064812715,0.09721176835954468,0.009763611973742753,0.03844112085162289,-0.13180072988898098,-0.0455898463284082,0.17830286172307863,0.05428544156537427,-0.03168181544242069,-1.0376674213464478,0.17488596231235587,-0.1853682193663116;-0.12080324024207516,-0.13737569645682937,0.1623737447771669,-0.159087151253705,-0.30641661309109625,0.19666692640320524,-0.21991079080513912,-0.06703418517303204,-0.2990879806390295,-0.21695850969334077,-0.2953180224830009,0.004039530874704271,-0.2336679915936308,-0.09220464245802752,0.05092069988569187,0.19033843087617464,0.16810555207823213,-0.30734474918496824,0.1945174776567101,0.1696539927886431,0.17156484171843714,0.2027067292753087,0.07270707619249864,-0.15098182310415922,-0.22744100374823922,-0.07560971700409942,-0.010881322585015375,0.20373731618463153,0.0910593665723583,-0.12328609326626995,0.052291096660468314,-0.03430583654252657,0.18021461265156574,-0.20285726859922815,0.08109116776091825,-0.22700143309935633,0.023931992388582776,-0.2096811835244231,0.1900199776096235,0.18041978761911096,0.1999478306562847,0.16526699251797913,0.20196798200322766,-0.18225084738712405,0.1656181336945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x_a{163}=[1.6802981906463286,2.787471201581299,12.822587917909784];
std_x_a{163}=[1.2281154650446087,1.9268737736641586,2.5312869018853057];
pred_a{163}=[1.6802981906463286];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.2 to 16.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{164}=[3.531792747507418,6.342158423405,11.228889740322462];
std_x_f{164}=[2.178914784895656,3.5136967812279827,2.747660416375526];
pred_f{164}=[3.531792747507418];
obs{164}=[3.7251069979878255];
sqrt_r{164}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{164}=[5.747889805903717];
L_f{164}=[0.014837994030058543,0.009881261066668746,0.12275703857920812,0.0018331041310799443,-0.20935622629857573,0.21702251222903776,-0.3587798821190416,0.031258744628208844,-0.10291415161491664,-0.3602428103747706,-0.2424463379407443,0.052610704444434754,-0.3433110914502809,0.04627572790133504,0.06695824794299528,0.21286592327737985,0.1412135487537132,-0.203549632898327,0.2151932708986347,0.16098517560998515,0.16904287657075456,0.22227847574200568,0.07236134048262484,0.004753105044101673,-0.34700958827370293,0.030631866711978685,0.05046276964860675,0.22261857220043935,0.07992935275008618,0.053392096545077414,0.06716433880247673,0.09366829904807028,0.20204237098385408,-0.01783730207007278,0.07491828332183442,-0.34911162670474644,0.061926053730612295,-0.013309515558506502,0.2146809772608508,0.20188673431832166,0.2218955340127026,0.1271870192729231,0.22138167446933307,-0.007774994132259795,0.1297579540554524,0.04428677313128229,0.09166148872531776,-0.31315954335374774,0.14357693571434282,-0.1128003343801594,-0.018934768213899902,0.10956564362346252,0.06703065333715709,0.055733952323468026,0.04642121253151672,0.03682177691273784,-1.0089026091421731,0.21515069763030148,0.14284929213978595,0.039451354214215015,-0.29614538282185926,-0.3208411632667733,0.04733958417515925,-0.029948172467761332,-0.3470319906528017,0.22182600256917787,-0.018566811321555618,0.0960976584530933,0.15884906015548467,0.10333600079455728,0.19240090762216835,-0.33479416526031913,0.052802424605065644,0.17464230302106254,-0.15802630650773572,0.043823184548677764,0.04499718692990144,-0.1358890731576967,-0.29512598482316044,0.10232470946806173,2.8341686335842646E-4,0.0018310822051559204,0.2253055280658521,0.22298159362898234,0.014076543111008031,0.013801771754718936,0.0633660495528056,0.1549344330635035,0.0712643861688443,0.12219715948137047,0.016452619536403208,0.05350500870270484,-0.19737846302809312,-0.06632840004484453,0.224107817709406,0.07165647301974194,-0.044932036963752205,-0.9829031231661359,0.2203432163195906,-0.28541736226585995;0.04622952731622213,0.03976522544380824,0.18946234081075064,0.027914007107185113,-0.3457370299382695,0.33415219670390384,-0.6275601333390409,0.06906890415799342,-0.14812072949433258,-0.6310334567724488,-0.40820755565070693,0.09577695922197207,-0.5986971955395567,0.09759927913958288,0.11382279798496812,0.3282435450078199,0.21894442097494454,-0.3345860077008719,0.3310004077051477,0.2500641983223938,0.2629622049817041,0.340477282811563,0.11959137165855607,0.03221842072327872,-0.606039178041158,0.06772075367593543,0.09349427285217553,0.34093938608445873,0.1297173914946654,0.11397648789426841,0.11409924255153413,0.1712646893939737,0.3131604520775286,-0.0027349106794328218,0.12245747715093294,-0.6099147098296683,0.10902669455278907,0.006267485689364344,0.3309518873160065,0.313620643173987,0.340942496927899,0.1967696263128247,0.3394930358652468,0.012896141492120183,0.1999104907593996,0.08548963922460609,0.14473530331332618,-0.5416449728083941,0.22234740886648452,-0.17046330775333457,-0.004185644989868803,0.16993731092136274,0.11314480487794856,0.10000464593342953,0.09751826452688188,0.07581219864245962,-1.5497684029922465,0.33186078170743943,0.22118113954608387,0.09292430036729563,-0.5099047703086877,-0.5558714739825427,0.08929139224425016,-0.02092847174933237,-0.6056732195573892,0.33989311578176945,-0.002750862656072671,0.15052041055355903,0.24661592709520921,0.16069182637904444,0.3014362904435406,-0.5829419887922047,0.09625751304187205,0.2767684643519891,-0.2503250235861172,0.08585489296483158,0.08607995048416502,-0.2079529935200367,-0.5075426796679345,0.15935416302282532,0.025079195116076623,0.03157066259804458,0.34484736110353353,0.3410730147237852,0.04513581795829356,0.04556842119074078,0.1084302791706234,0.250755507865878,0.11831633637169181,0.18938149452635294,0.04867719242933831,0.09700152795034711,-0.32778256183135723,-0.08330004045380668,0.34310273197896407,0.11947584500063288,-0.046403278864283505,-1.5398903385122593,0.3387713771374449,-0.48894731573764866;-0.12396518688438181,-0.1395325061440651,0.1690961141933859,-0.16101011551986466,-0.3591614538292807,0.27649267748542905,-0.3108399794025656,-0.0723759251155292,-0.31956399984790285,-0.30792517667385855,-0.3571577573019751,-0.003647126514639759,-0.3206853805099453,-0.08195781578350787,0.04205680210007153,0.26761534784680874,0.1876647739743524,-0.35845658661970187,0.27317482255232367,0.2055811195409213,0.21406099182807703,0.2866256157445214,0.06240824978868713,-0.15306414680830657,-0.31626062318792136,-0.07980121058314558,-0.016691719499892295,0.287499331955533,0.08185550562030784,-0.10172812945117787,0.04366459735080238,-0.005083681958502089,0.2498244808098568,-0.20579322134772446,0.07069302625693544,-0.31551278222845663,0.01734051743997714,-0.2085729228425831,0.26921746178004713,0.25014358015392396,0.28379337041033437,0.17418111116145144,0.28490587686941554,-0.18454847551206605,0.17732124492962903,-0.033118854814705063,0.11269978274184131,-0.3351537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k{164}=[0.8260231086941003;1.329321501216536;0.1392735104551286];
x_a{164}=[3.691474785644114,6.5991352130601655,11.25581329460787];
L_a{164}=[-0.007664463940269715,-0.005104097560387496,-0.06340930544240986,-9.468773530276511E-4,0.10814152127880614,-0.11210148864035066,0.18532528476726698,-0.016146489918763,0.053159598419980345,0.186080950313467,0.12523399125467521,-0.02717569816173906,0.17733498715425253,-0.023903409523619665,-0.03458682324734032,-0.10995443115603254,-0.07294288905277853,0.10514216532530905,-0.11115660659049109,-0.08315578715567429,-0.08731793726371362,-0.11481642050613455,-0.037377753601675334,-0.002455183776259125,0.17924542029493795,-0.0158226804352058,-0.026066197190426736,-0.11499209499667512,-0.04128695837733235,-0.02757932088637798,-0.03469327806580923,-0.048383716757533876,-0.10436359953207437,0.009213735915435712,-0.03869852486959407,0.18033121381414038,-0.031987477877399334,0.006874938880146508,-0.1108919848292429,-0.10428320648107706,-0.11461861458509659,-0.06569758155401129,-0.11435318396606957,0.004016119836804978,-0.06702558026418487,-0.022876028593083242,-0.04734711266384463,0.16176041200204289,-0.07416368036054943,0.058266238249974754,0.00978062451695339,-0.0565953809486172,-0.03462422375656745,-0.028788990409793658,-0.0239785586104595,-0.019020036050197798,0.5211417157433436,-0.11113461566103673,-0.07378782106802892,-0.020378326150901165,0.15297186419656122,0.16572830002699912,-0.02445293717754908,0.015469522867521221,0.17925699209004978,-0.11458269859533908,0.009590558910562787,-0.049638585678496924,-0.08205239138397459,-0.05337750171735579,-0.0993833678297723,0.17293562740706137,-0.027274729894384363,-0.09021028255160345,0.08162740363616158,-0.022636565093684623,-0.023242987963140685,0.07019256774089222,0.15244530115940266,-0.05285512612606416,-1.463970348602417E-4,-9.458329410738583E-4,-0.11638002360062524,-0.11517961122312596,-0.007271141696068466,-0.007129210438525766,-0.032731297832507916,-0.08003031763699016,-0.036811129382453754,-0.06312010373848713,-0.008498487659739422,-0.02763764488615842,0.10195448989938083,0.03426147964001355,-0.1157613545393437,-0.03701365915326178,0.02320933519543852,0.5077118597718958,-0.11381677553875409,0.14743037883571275;0.01001625326209829,0.01564924222648692,-0.1101357228585049,0.023440174449342804,0.16521306092502844,-0.1955080589441147,0.24806996665715278,-0.007220483984099772,0.10304923114379834,0.2481670329771653,0.18350151644360543,-0.03262354116691426,0.23918012233265748,-0.015340220172137466,-0.049593993936607704,-0.1912722332578918,-0.12569818575573175,0.16219264208365902,-0.1941954427493638,-0.14283259562466755,-0.14960003245774633,-0.20201055901340126,-0.057012086228852316,0.020618099600261605,0.24086460788216602,-0.007038690342111512,-0.029664026248980197,-0.20237848749743576,-0.0653563866888258,-0.016331060457231934,-0.049820530080192195,-0.05734005170107358,-0.1799396082245168,0.04079840702787918,-0.06038639784335949,0.24211926374715426,-0.042108637507201604,0.03875038960962682,-0.1929936708238114,-0.1790995737873496,-0.20061074593699518,-0.11364014846717724,-0.20080609297104843,0.03187161706586356,-0.11677384954923178,-0.022595661869803624,-0.0789716617046275,0.2226451558410772,-0.12806322685300564,0.10483464788881344,0.04202612387135379,-0.09746613131046164,-0.05044869801793181,-0.03601838288842895,-0.01577630129671072,-0.01405420080476554,0.9125365827607315,-0.19323116538719703,-0.12745362565305354,-0.0033597862195786296,0.2128609813330845,0.22716624322414758,-0.02624453072960077,0.05216236349417843,0.24128524110782648,-0.2014904302080194,0.04256287890067948,-0.0840133703922825,-0.14106751158237507,-0.09150768986619114,-0.16813303151933234,0.23414911083574907,-0.03261089525320172,-0.14945960717393791,0.13535042106851447,-0.021098984275638565,-0.02373917052748625,0.12369481798680865,0.212735152176706,-0.0903772183868823,0.024387494302370534,0.027101764607075442,-0.20502823644889384,-0.20313084078078167,0.010780923868097406,0.011884127884408275,-0.04621947426197605,-0.12737398009475392,-0.05560991952268968,-0.10885014082610309,0.00852329972840889,-0.033581591270094,0.1539348697526126,0.0785795588727362,-0.20384976065189547,-0.05540732923161912,0.06325683860726669,0.8589608873181014,-0.19899331412634685,0.2076358705475353;-0.12775926514007516,-0.1420591467179808,0.13770711310178324,-0.1614788406393166,-0.30562902186547436,0.22099997456506607,-0.21909988659955343,-0.0803687928208211,-0.2932488292086442,-0.21581101280211137,-0.29516417669464734,-0.017099694924155417,-0.23290066079842503,-0.09379052933233212,0.024935563740949927,0.21318548561282116,0.15155643927288212,-0.3064089018336412,0.21814985703245066,0.16441717561201144,0.17083669203541543,0.2297889618266802,0.0439054395084172,-0.15427951678745147,-0.22753019704546085,-0.08763378547081387,-0.02959506052146049,0.23057571530033263,0.0614175529801855,-0.1153804999884076,0.02649066151471358,-0.029034686113520912,0.19816220321858022,-0.201232219382957,0.05153640514430898,-0.22624486440836697,0.0015060122201839923,-0.20516967685986817,0.2143234898532236,0.19852109889140196,0.22705463477480264,0.14165936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x_a{164}=[3.6914747856441146,6.599135213060164,11.255813294607874];
std_x_a{164}=[1.1255034719600405,1.8255473575564858,2.7294177607799712];
pred_a{164}=[3.6914747856441146];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.3 to 16.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{165}=[8.14548272661498,14.281422351653156,14.379660115546226];
std_x_f{165}=[1.969912320610812,3.2615194264424265,3.162937712671021];
pred_f{165}=[8.14548272661498];
obs{165}=[8.553534932588143];
sqrt_r{165}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{165}=[4.881443355893213];
L_f{165}=[0.029812832789602964,0.03813640659086916,-0.14466745869928122,0.0508243275036092,0.2693990911167461,-0.25608146050808717,0.3646705836257807,0.0017704186192286247,0.17835902795901756,0.36456705701633463,0.2928514087615228,-0.03574958550077759,0.35591227547146465,-0.008081033086950419,-0.060782078076004886,-0.25000539015554507,-0.16570010334813903,0.2656068768927709,-0.2531445465450604,-0.187638764341731,-0.1963617094326775,-0.26378851349784616,-0.0711743578276983,0.04740267614714924,0.3573104350819316,0.0036678442428422944,-0.03133608142005813,-0.26422030574695726,-0.08293238993174155,-0.0076798626968666225,-0.061486635300244306,-0.06882870918024755,-0.2355632876705897,0.07875444073363637,-0.07644521749518919,0.35888231521934266,-0.04966381364663375,0.07611740452714266,-0.2519337866670174,-0.2344624032989518,-0.26190152036983627,-0.14943303392296295,-0.2621916809130498,0.06471392900485234,-0.15283257138629658,-0.020575401447737993,-0.10246866425840605,0.33900615265557726,-0.16818351176474353,0.17669127769260784,0.08089928786585353,-0.12797158929853694,-0.06227881101023932,-0.040344285717682976,-0.007841162698928258,-0.007120511093646174,0.39219330022146914,-0.2522695441995442,-0.16738074647193638,0.011495402231365439,0.3282706487456952,0.34321902154342865,-0.025253950075694958,0.09776643776652656,0.35770743231479285,-0.2629459421912411,0.08277262298490068,-0.10950271111597351,-0.18540530071289762,-0.11936025520674352,-0.2206368168158603,0.35115839732028903,-0.034729781321857535,-0.19557307340618704,0.22778715694202528,-0.018806939601970846,-0.022391136628274896,0.2091859850356831,0.32799220604136425,-0.11821725646096795,0.05278341000926196,0.05875018029517973,-0.2674020996906728,-0.2650266550655844,0.031020777957733028,0.032892977185041194,-0.055671528510010594,-0.1667915908761312,-0.07038616709295668,-0.14316126325461795,0.027311284671975723,-0.037283691750390334,0.24557909704655448,0.13880999188844578,-0.2662205539855239,-0.06950916187103304,0.11447402546713929,0.4063236715013008,-0.26020416828405163,0.3221504758584078;0.09856089865008501,0.11508863688794553,-0.2426404052772676,0.1398819482884764,0.4953504024827138,-0.4395001530821481,0.5790122439977007,0.042634249723258764,0.36699272805726224,0.5774564077647599,0.5221283788312683,-0.032966169708784354,0.5746127500527327,0.0313291495217959,-0.08263703652184926,-0.42889113731441636,-0.27906468352730784,0.4899498090569428,-0.4337401255891275,-0.31711091644581707,-0.3324595532986089,-0.45495492393566556,-0.10413909488367458,0.13195713998875966,0.5741166586542739,0.04654989962407832,-0.02290544565919548,-0.45558675992714376,-0.12666509952084165,0.03760332981630907,-0.08417362540680311,-0.08093405898007971,-0.4026539105977732,0.19322603610200814,-0.11356829895994429,0.5749696337051992,-0.0593539857944761,0.19105335385067537,-0.4321893063410293,-0.4005202955370062,-0.4510303208808111,-0.25101240579221884,-0.45175756171607084,0.16727797747227044,-0.25724015328885896,-0.0019233350701908332,-0.1640167238086641,0.5633683196520077,-0.2831728206851217,0.3542033390466099,0.19743716449802365,-0.21223884724320938,-0.08583148207738733,-0.04110632956069472,0.03126684109251474,0.025595467292084745,-0.2951675319689424,-0.43318025414198974,-0.2823944841942436,0.07399259779879054,0.555250982162921,0.5656082979140107,-0.011256966808715806,0.22931895527867813,0.5754023530991862,-0.4537490363966297,0.20332916991001754,-0.17793641905968527,-0.31308272719278735,-0.19668032342016825,-0.3730048107505262,0.5713761521092178,-0.03084868063882058,-0.3254013260860547,0.44143198916540094,0.0014669511817693647,-0.0046061453186358094,0.4145397846570887,0.5549710171884147,-0.19460383016057983,0.14365037543210069,0.16044563845035412,-0.46187384636273554,-0.4561135471344865,0.10067876303163113,0.10416472908880543,-0.07306262774394316,-0.27051207502528934,-0.10165510060176842,-0.23980352069817937,0.09327005164914993,-0.035056324796265866,0.44662262332043984,0.3024861574843081,-0.45871423723699384,-0.10021317406970986,0.2601587585474325,-0.20729736235897264,-0.44809361724771324,0.5505048242665994;-0.09506267569425565,-0.09356486756216421,-0.1027275062346247,-0.09171454664082818,0.1441232694332473,-0.15098473329642215,0.3954392191506051,-0.09532571756091836,-0.0026028069690355337,0.3976390079842746,0.19508987183256352,-0.09523615934126788,0.36723646875422156,-0.11955258758698935,-0.09334412539893665,-0.15148779386726335,-0.11524189200632735,0.13495303699292127,-0.1511531069323023,-0.128552831767094,-0.132617052499131,-0.15154814810111172,-0.09140648410866124,-0.09198541396692023,0.373745677864436,-0.09906579570461303,-0.0990069083145666,-0.1517685225679033,-0.09197633479050228,-0.13683318333559816,-0.09223674565023361,-0.14683527160866278,-0.14934654912419051,-0.08369602878192836,-0.09215926686580987,0.37843533200443785,-0.09774070529122249,-0.08990572391749692,-0.15300344522805243,-0.14904971426606964,-0.1521498644144359,-0.10554751796582398,-0.15168505698708623,-0.0889936028908731,-0.1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k{165}=[0.7951425578271373;1.2064338934702055;0.8480031147371099];
x_a{165}=[8.469942401399486,14.773710363244465,14.725689657186818];
L_a{165}=[-0.017562979767032288,-0.022466464091809836,0.08522476438299251,-0.029941020429639066,-0.15870517303509563,0.150859649646716,-0.2148303761353754,-0.0010429678591138108,-0.10507273902546525,-0.21476938777644008,-0.17252112213299184,0.021060368575538856,-0.20967078630393463,0.004760601637705814,0.0358072114441719,0.14728018769427856,0.09761526464246109,-0.15647114911130566,0.14912948999116848,0.11053950642335644,0.11567826358952087,0.15539993659891005,0.04192938709585896,-0.027925298073851936,-0.2104944533845846,-0.002160756566820745,0.018460337796228795,0.1556543088884615,0.04885613845158544,0.0045242689317901204,0.036222271776122146,0.04054754659695453,0.13877222887242746,-0.04639487494966151,0.04503449295239801,-0.2114204606259753,0.02925735237523896,-0.04484137569427607,0.1484162216013152,0.13812368902781172,0.15428829375833716,0.0880322031065272,0.15445922966991613,-0.03812349647477175,0.09003489798987345,0.01212113460922829,0.06036511490960466,-0.1997112532716376,0.09907826053023565,-0.10409025391939947,-0.04765842165964237,0.07538909332993668,0.036688948863293644,0.023767143457167447,0.004619292061347344,0.004194750399977152,-0.23104423001887586,0.14861401906632032,0.09860534503459159,-0.006772033983760825,-0.19338688150566768,-0.20219308824386828,0.014877305264723332,-0.05759499543388425,-0.21072832764998922,0.15490357106012959,-0.04876201845719902,0.06450892853213637,0.1092237550219239,0.07031608710175773,0.12997892474514433,-0.20687023841996602,0.02045959372508743,0.11521367175839346,-0.13419124766827917,0.011079319501111037,0.01319079881937265,-0.12323314757293695,-0.19322284866729358,0.06964273734034875,-0.03109513170284636,-0.034610204106252845,0.1575287293117308,0.15612933576256444,-0.018274589988619548,-0.019377517623209824,0.03279654555879943,0.09825826873084763,0.04146505758968571,0.08433745252281104,-0.016089297635374398,0.021964122915576777,-0.14467262279547213,-0.0817740835365669,0.15683267122628097,0.04094840675422402,-0.06743756983171574,-0.23936854547858913,0.15328836998220527,-0.18978143839501993;0.026679717802207816,0.023138638094055683,0.10616468261737863,0.01734033332216094,-0.15419286385090064,0.17793321544329568,-0.3002383913410283,0.038365625475327486,-0.06304549189494826,-0.3015446164421224,-0.1839603455546917,0.05322900801059739,-0.2835208872199361,0.05081318194703168,0.06391353038753893,0.17389232809924343,0.12045183271040166,-0.15045011828667415,0.176612102905081,0.1353015077242181,0.14098460569627344,0.1810607803802312,0.06746810939811755,0.01766540659820126,-0.28738805591666605,0.037706426841661915,0.05264841235608628,0.18147003085531319,0.0732916828788887,0.05612010758433313,0.0640756866574195,0.08501759435749687,0.16530846324532308,0.003342631297813709,0.07074737954355395,-0.2903250125782286,0.06038953524301277,0.00752805925355513,0.17524368095355314,0.16478775594870912,0.18043568850168562,0.10928287415881953,0.18040804849365458,0.01124739604437125,0.11125168983098509,0.04768564247716661,0.08304361556866614,-0.2540032712850631,0.12233139657962179,-0.07181379846251612,0.0023823576439131675,0.09631113251471572,0.06432783048478541,0.05616704658296901,0.05017252637230648,0.042763602546584734,-1.2407776905036527,0.17506227205441152,0.12117420022134298,0.046276241807284714,-0.23623642985410953,-0.2619208648497019,0.04963237454724407,-0.006403931021454462,-0.287059554305215,0.18023515951163854,0.003757598700395091,0.08608358321950697,0.1339446332983176,0.09110702477026807,0.1589686197237416,-0.2752954957065952,0.05288766570644445,0.1461413668776259,-0.10778149680308786,0.04681202242222624,0.04938071841636197,-0.08982475283279338,-0.23584504667035658,0.09042765446822103,0.016385252140409173,0.018794143456695996,0.1828545101344918,0.18288741787682783,0.025885127480188595,0.0248570679098373,0.06116598572419468,0.13163610701038436,0.06805171128368864,0.10537000665627401,0.02742030813270053,0.05483770869930167,-0.1454886869948282,-0.032196098336260616,0.18316531582343065,0.06737910641893144,-0.015847489669865364,-1.186977003005005,0.17927993728147076,-0.22622634981638268;-0.14558800126733626,-0.1581965774298362,0.14244780139868707,-0.177849122052538,-0.312441086051701,0.28300955556274854,-0.2225865851950839,-0.09832613613128544,-0.30487693234736307,-0.22021134454559255,-0.3012203203800806,-0.03464951669389761,-0.23594618485536853,-0.1058572493892913,0.009666356881349952,0.2722090692177889,0.16557850933700105,-0.3151844599757167,0.2778638443082237,0.18944813531318905,0.20016713373333808,0.2955076758448005,0.029216323763306892,-0.17232114262016204,-0.2318065080207528,-0.10528187808191702,-0.04590005573512449,0.2960190816861815,0.048573408718481176,-0.12381772902254604,0.011967785628710249,-0.030187753922263187,0.24987454759670008,-0.21716518907522803,0.037396335237066605,-0.22978079917789918,-0.013572911797540901,-0.21890576469366171,0.27396156960439494,0.24830565766147833,0.2917079762059829,0.14770425262620024,0.292664533478702,-0.19866759312046528,0.15166649951730218,-0.062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x_a{165}=[8.46994240139949,14.773710363244472,14.725689657186821];
std_x_a{165}=[1.1604912043709277,2.1936672999693583,2.666355253927343];
pred_a{165}=[8.46994240139949];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.4 to 16.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{166}=[14.925982278862648,19.048643849057264,31.158722242695422];
std_x_f{166}=[1.6702919687977278,2.6691918278365776,3.4589576105143083];
pred_f{166}=[14.925982278862648];
obs{166}=[15.56147386067317];
sqrt_r{166}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{166}=[3.7935938337406334];
L_f{166}=[0.06098010093828414,0.06118512985050338,0.04346703835602745,0.06152213608649954,-0.04678058262564236,0.0471308353324153,-0.18383630161267914,0.05801367035737538,0.026204335258264266,-0.1855930894152843,-0.07389377574044002,0.053926885572904884,-0.16784289512452105,0.06841424742080764,0.05031314353138154,0.048244715936020706,0.046251586643689654,-0.04272828908933201,0.04802259245556507,0.04860391177882382,0.049263362321885884,0.04531271138071702,0.047965698555094596,0.060891198990475785,-0.17168621900787165,0.05971146804956608,0.05592024789880502,0.04552637634302936,0.046514799132008816,0.07703733443407333,0.049475375907962166,0.07342697773331863,0.049473989246462596,0.05962781015384058,0.04785751010574042,-0.17419850974539042,0.053639693091405864,0.06264898090246952,0.04847597935847255,0.04980827382767495,0.046335609892703154,0.04394441478025524,0.04603445017342068,0.06154912512425938,0.043873483381367026,0.05665821917719673,0.04498453883918995,-0.13910142130366313,0.04647138609713454,0.014387187769063923,0.05966660698493384,0.04325985715238545,0.04974151422284368,0.05454730601765271,0.06876721551049746,0.059023298326539526,-1.0870813571502937,0.04795116219141558,0.046020219386531176,0.07583112364725317,-0.12210395351311132,-0.14686920385073224,0.05632631589940121,0.0578708019397685,-0.171301682960487,0.044879286114036715,0.062119547571961586,0.04387607433255607,0.04833481625831466,0.0434244611337435,0.05278401121938182,-0.15921719281256555,0.054442802614559,0.05689075232530841,-0.007265062412249101,0.05656449229934983,0.05704619834345719,0.006852885703750485,-0.12199204355577987,0.04343807144526651,0.061358667604769476,0.06822645869395047,0.04442125052242507,0.04619658023370874,0.06108468875803585,0.06106107499321947,0.050699371827370776,0.06045464883519471,0.048302236225854694,0.04296072998568323,0.06114093610151513,0.05436619212707118,-0.04568696658492715,0.04500037035129139,0.045726847991621196,0.04899756437635456,0.05313158782631307,-1.0387771750765549,0.04598973347193657,-0.11191857117187759;0.14971512103048043,0.16052202475878974,-0.0933498835276014,0.17594796645949157,0.24649450903810677,-0.2277076391318338,0.10252845674864422,0.1108084303584428,0.26765320351727667,0.10055098988724229,0.223993206261658,0.05857284183361747,0.12279066216934839,0.11583519206022345,0.021420131399028194,-0.21744350095328585,-0.11531716471676215,0.24932962587929425,-0.223315889032398,-0.13903458918472442,-0.14936407267083016,-0.23948185682333067,0.005170296971580426,0.1710543734686468,0.11762647996968881,0.11642315762581924,0.06711582018509335,-0.23957137697648279,-0.011368795675930975,0.12955317543964776,0.01968834336009041,0.04996078319072775,-0.1973066444271376,0.20667210893256355,-0.0020251030480511393,0.11425726425049752,0.04083045715030254,0.2083381087238434,-0.2196997844360439,-0.19517322027238904,-0.23572981401779183,-0.0975731758715577,-0.2367428591256137,0.1917414867701021,-0.10246367293465261,0.08109355441878113,-0.03836581955571989,0.15795528459870564,-0.11755659344909186,0.24597645581370217,0.2089355770135801,-0.07379805468622162,0.018682038482713558,0.05378680235675355,0.11618272984185478,0.10137501521502117,-1.5604569562640274,-0.2210995851119277,-0.11745237365238212,0.15203038659570192,0.17669922569080707,0.1475365787836467,0.07493154505290367,0.22633126970054684,0.11797077342977544,-0.2388473144350729,0.21484222562310212,-0.04911435801954693,-0.13694556085329077,-0.061712415670823154,-0.17358250655940521,0.13358247449549895,0.06120923544403317,-0.13588548450356683,0.2680609070294881,0.08360988280739903,0.07916349931076616,0.2706262184213726,0.17697048093110238,-0.0604306441329104,0.17854527002085813,0.19689084574189125,-0.24522334955790875,-0.23997436494421887,0.15154726265157292,0.15430061597145955,0.028502668984527534,-0.09452142125973165,0.006003482493336018,-0.09089996405668695,0.14562918212242723,0.05658614798695428,0.2217605579642143,0.2527230677717279,-0.24246021082424377,0.007905035082687563,0.2371662502185136,-1.4628051347024442,-0.23346995371525384,0.18756434327317906;0.008700799127439698,-0.0022106044688455706,0.233895333334834,-0.020271110596341693,-0.4481097466464873,0.3857686675493534,-0.7094069587517342,0.04606565637369922,-0.24224811448675293,-0.7117271528322863,-0.5074582904514566,0.09370606273135614,-0.6837001840075612,0.0694824545215173,0.12498833237638493,0.37750748450898536,0.26514298987725204,-0.4395651871680264,0.3827719755840549,0.29693341425198994,0.3088726739055451,0.39266705374800454,0.13716205776413248,-0.01768029023892756,-0.6887918384906985,0.04427833892725122,0.08987889864724984,0.39386489035608746,0.15175838828910718,0.07781221462268598,0.12578981265125988,0.15911232562762143,0.3596771972840816,-0.06316876949859543,0.1444849987989099,-0.6933773734333497,0.11315993224674775,-0.05503919305910529,0.37999523632029814,0.35816202090988053,0.3908854218428665,0.2411556200265462,0.39173753688799595,-0.040684850357004476,0.24488700625132948,0.07537517824809183,0.17787556141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k{166}=[0.7363977157739204;0.7814306803482641;1.0146311040291054];
x_a{166}=[15.393956828101471,19.545236468187053,31.803511767949033];
L_a{166}=[-0.04553298139187843,-0.04568607358918743,-0.032456224541644076,-0.045937711392939305,0.03493040131813447,-0.03519193007480359,0.13726797384204895,-0.0433179895115353,-0.01956640758775807,0.1385797425189563,0.05517544025009568,-0.040266444947313663,0.12532592276615692,-0.05108395372949137,-0.03756811472811198,-0.03602364901288923,-0.03453540747863574,0.03190461088249734,-0.0358577925425544,-0.03629185548311036,-0.036784257903639365,-0.03383436256036816,-0.035815310669425504,-0.04546659956119989,0.12819567850894711,-0.0445857111049109,-0.041754860484446626,-0.03399390317449265,-0.03473194453167995,-0.057522691194241374,-0.0369425654584171,-0.0548268887612498,-0.03694153005783084,-0.044523244933967684,-0.03573452788003274,0.13007157057278945,-0.04005200237154256,-0.04677911052556823,-0.03619633014901555,-0.03719113564033619,-0.034598146453726754,-0.03281267478536025,-0.03437327473847741,-0.04595786372681872,-0.03275971131012846,-0.042305893230698735,-0.033589320751700194,0.10386506959399228,-0.03469952863077656,-0.010742710210224948,-0.044552213980608275,-0.032301525258680824,-0.037141287184893464,-0.040729704143857584,-0.051347510024290395,-0.044071864477718006,0.8117083186969103,-0.035804456571667184,-0.03436264881059831,-0.05662203061044623,0.09117330010349015,0.1096651632758611,-0.04205806573387215,-0.043211311678926105,0.12790855086532774,-0.03351073002616662,-0.04638379012407104,-0.032761645936842096,-0.03609092565289613,-0.032424432730214746,-0.039413076785052174,0.11888523249475748,-0.040651672926538686,-0.0424795224530688,0.005424719646865855,-0.042235908692804254,-0.04259559180262549,-0.005116953111398375,0.09108973851657363,-0.032434595357888035,-0.04581565178296416,-0.050943734535458654,-0.03316872130940864,-0.03449433496803708,-0.0456110756419256,-0.04559344357675315,-0.037856505949899186,-0.04514063371674913,-0.03606659860212177,-0.03207817122177898,-0.04565307474006723,-0.04059446895593939,0.03411381364337576,-0.03360114191852049,-0.03414359252732213,-0.03658579032615651,-0.039672607335709466,0.7756402671576149,-0.03433988540810165,0.08356801874979201;0.03668843910524372,0.047115321526763176,-0.17391608533613828,0.061916621810727185,0.3332023686734487,-0.3150646925315804,0.4432692372487822,0.0032800306689302196,0.2190834402547387,0.4445479784473858,0.36095539816295036,-0.04138069791266885,0.4338876467389501,-0.010970688274609152,-0.07183533363104068,-0.30686513323613085,-0.20104452973710854,0.32852655513654844,-0.3123258152080496,-0.22912199134411387,-0.2406737671129359,-0.3234690155455128,-0.08373417629905677,0.05819247139819685,0.4358470694434335,0.005747888108675143,-0.03653241875165972,-0.3239545639334865,-0.09758402532323324,-0.013235605842633448,-0.07201431848922751,-0.08613619810805079,-0.28900673609789124,0.09615189941409487,-0.09072904891278172,0.4371343872773871,-0.05859077102617196,0.09221815601057967,-0.3095500637182901,-0.28749290876984307,-0.32161291621952065,-0.17902419538996434,-0.3220677614674497,0.07766011791115407,-0.18378322102980288,-0.023922515067107353,-0.1217447101232575,0.41577991688242955,-0.2036913569900964,0.21930978798679265,0.09834345752743001,-0.15398024591352608,-0.07351391101620518,-0.047316687343525565,-0.011277377222505595,-0.008024730988807387,0.45444949503608695,-0.3099771152170303,-0.20275089921558678,0.011477318289276615,0.4030190333524547,0.41975880427733475,-0.029469341354700203,0.11906767677497226,0.43547862493084105,-0.3220311189646305,0.09970357815084593,-0.13043870844548117,-0.22653419417930543,-0.1421997005525876,-0.271417727476294,0.42869171065874945,-0.03970055708750027,-0.24133255442671747,0.2815267079350541,-0.021232463810746272,-0.02657168997229905,0.2579243874832491,0.40308286336784943,-0.14094315574155328,0.06481691437678612,0.07043303201195168,-0.3275581846314152,-0.3255997755251809,0.038326727091225504,0.0411238485493058,-0.06546867060280831,-0.2065741771532138,-0.08352476370787383,-0.1705277227624671,0.03230439205113647,-0.044181646924565374,0.3064413991053206,0.16931483347967813,-0.32721497219506107,-0.08291200258477044,0.13868679569112285,0.4625694637653382,-0.31871197360334474,0.3950055339359029;-0.13805615571267363,-0.1494609894336775,0.1292859593440451,-0.1683325471697486,-0.3355258750859296,0.272341864936214,-0.26697975055392886,-0.09355217747283988,-0.30531243197622887,-0.2650719944631374,-0.32962281064009075,-0.03607636446896015,-0.2797632963833104,-0.09516579080226849,0.0039028697502734026,0.26139997584706315,0.15383221951265094,-0.3367337143466755,0.26719903746381135,0.17996145165722907,0.19031365336764675,0.28361581513964,0.02172604259832045,-0.1642232903800667,-0.27560546618363696,-0.09942547732021338,-0.04470082767754931,0.2842994377870612,0.039814161064526205,-0.10758866921622708,0.0067205524155162216,-0.01759974092275319,0.24061127423892828,-0.20667125157579705,0.029309353936390763,-0.2741448297910781,-0.015931326959596304,-0.20581253583182407,0.26333116059596146,0.23829159629070795,0.279372438035334,0.135397374366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x_a{166}=[15.393956828101475,19.545236468187053,31.80351176794904];
std_x_a{166}=[1.2471834576207452,2.398708023348695,3.098202503786515];
pred_a{166}=[15.393956828101475];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.5 to 16.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{167}=[12.111883999099671,2.7112538137064504,39.759503172291915];
std_x_f{167}=[1.4538490734397866,2.612567127597012,1.9996907817187841];
pred_f{167}=[12.111883999099671];
obs{167}=[12.234444391007326];
sqrt_r{167}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{167}=[3.1176447530362466];
L_f{167}=[0.06298908393143507,0.06907391482067227,-0.08163879194125187,0.07949565385538211,0.19312277672116662,-0.16876657178948734,0.18329951611371845,0.03969240052141541,0.16151590908225807,0.18236399653939367,0.19515560020176753,0.009185126411175748,0.18671427347223613,0.03651690138435157,-0.01253330286495005,-0.16267598950304357,-0.09679423138496629,0.1922806730850813,-0.1661341434037863,-0.11337139539414147,-0.12052906625009782,-0.17461635332692185,-0.020966945104139312,0.07701252824685129,0.18558573968592648,0.042230468328544095,0.013408184386264193,-0.17507376622908555,-0.03064732855716321,0.04017441219783029,-0.013027304131327015,-0.008603428913187083,-0.1510191309273589,0.10071435203770819,-0.025661455561416864,0.1850861105173446,-0.0017656726191477518,0.09932910643939888,-0.16446336142758433,-0.1497391546935935,-0.17299132689667923,-0.08500648181606198,-0.17322277090632646,0.0900387692161485,-0.08711851334026278,0.02185879473724992,-0.047482860854122504,0.19235377644292345,-0.09847596110982365,0.15482283884584291,0.10159134157325722,-0.06835462613454965,-0.013464779593028296,0.005967811423509032,0.03709961464708196,0.03340802603571103,-0.6060648427674872,-0.16443548283768938,-0.09855467519135826,0.05517680203336843,0.1946854065237827,0.19040579469314337,0.01799476001300163,0.11420285946062479,0.1858180740463604,-0.17411415367425595,0.10393114818553127,-0.0534546315101917,-0.11167213874600672,-0.06122019567775548,-0.13801373578160936,0.1887708259091701,0.010641815692542966,-0.11634845533101973,0.18239575713452083,0.02341111955413845,0.020291892865841436,0.17490763282712976,0.19472541509036337,-0.06052385074396408,0.08097353491402479,0.08859070334130195,-0.17746078774094898,-0.17568741421435577,0.06381121330530909,0.06587894254740324,-0.007909172724190436,-0.09271418579668174,-0.021775053746873232,-0.08016292741778933,0.060831397336448455,0.007552847808807909,0.1762589578010471,0.13922253091039524,-0.17681093385206229,-0.020011522000975248,0.12412572711447742,-0.5400860575007042,-0.17126569638646374,0.19573776830545145;0.13097950653640608,0.13507446220119013,0.0010052644431716982,0.14196590992075986,0.06492998532804829,-0.06932756569974335,-0.1230794079269776,0.11066871450410999,0.14643844506142617,-0.12523644641635773,0.029135305366489297,0.08345178106479414,-0.09967152203392655,0.12192473087928478,0.06325586668527132,-0.06298944142619887,-0.008415281927984262,0.07102363326887244,-0.06592507849836765,-0.019589545102790283,-0.02488788395788489,-0.07629063065722586,0.05394165029388393,0.14039508791611371,-0.10563341425701267,0.11491583738024508,0.08959285376781519,-0.07714426304216145,0.04539549862266602,0.13570374097186497,0.06172235188427006,0.09442994187612698,-0.05079211601774428,0.1537374084557548,0.050221924591768795,-0.10867412254484869,0.07494364234019149,0.15628984510314,-0.06383550691510927,-0.049095324813704724,-0.0732354246308532,-0.0016764892069738883,-0.07498006185863357,0.1493829214789621,-0.002950382263536668,0.09651606679638913,0.030118132107324752,-0.058954067875188323,-0.009822456658964512,0.12757085636286608,0.1540000303759386,0.011153809004100654,0.062308746751966786,0.08239924075015069,0.12244819883253082,0.10811548325998527,-1.7879204977804137,-0.0641926809069436,-0.010301870381468287,0.14340290685776724,-0.03535877322871278,-0.0700436212145115,0.09304747915338746,0.16013640390842895,-0.10476477746599201,-0.07737355650572357,0.15872802282382248,0.024634907222581538,-0.017642221926871048,0.01721692813799365,-0.03545933418174675,-0.08706522825230602,0.0853922590194162,-0.012316910647461241,0.11330725192787681,0.09744269917631566,0.096161893815063,0.1281961115165256,-0.03514611108277269,0.017526301409688527,0.14278418004957946,0.1562501552931822,-0.0805392901855096,-0.07687069462106787,0.1316130526096613,0.13236332126166975,0.0672895671080478,0.011862099926057985,0.05463568462866345,3.9195894061719094E-4,0.12943588943591883,0.0828543643758288,0.05846900419741853,0.15778348991131388,-0.07834762771817796,0.05662192564323316,0.1595775193612904,-1.6725703808932606,-0.07350851714607623,-0.02065372402402797;0.03193731179614803,0.04206947718642112,-0.1494202064401391,0.056219279754521935,0.3100138179477083,-0.2551452512635408,0.38471750079618794,0.0017837614282303212,0.2062803398868116,0.38514087480660925,0.3324151534448143,-0.03795280968985484,0.3806494773197204,-0.010805957280599033,-0.06498445248040054,-0.24916200147355141,-0.1697739030072506,0.30592059883195194,-0.2530609683851339,-0.19144495526274222,-0.20101465382454806,-0.26069707268936493,-0.07479955303501189,0.05247508546878731,0.37998812063629556,0.004047536319331146,-0.033787257996142385,-0.26124431196976333,-0.085838751932473,-0.01302297046655259,-0.06433247454358917,-0.07718789473160569,-0.23629124898067008,0.08816905250314254,-0.0800839198719038,0.38119511084206087,-0.053492697703659074,0.08467020722739407,-0.251554745913506,-0.235687559490067,-0.25957952821435754,-0.15248655532279448,-0.2596289174995822,0.07108854268139153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k{167}=[0.6792450457910229;0.7686885755247742;0.7145090877796597];
x_a{167}=[12.195132538113151,2.8054645867777035,39.84707368611177];
L_a{167}=[-0.05958176997805014,-0.06533744972078956,0.07722264587978982,-0.07519543810832123,-0.18267604705361423,0.1596373598843072,-0.1733841631680744,-0.03754529086846075,-0.1527789125050627,-0.17249924932890726,-0.18459890754733088,-0.008688268742655506,-0.1766142035936112,-0.03454156629681935,0.011855329872356038,0.1538762398588394,0.0915582712055143,-0.18187949593695554,0.15714732934613876,0.10723871472423914,0.1140092005274999,0.16517070496938027,0.01983276501841275,-0.07284663400450006,-0.1755467163994562,-0.03994606514289916,-0.012682885796454489,0.1656033747054792,0.028989500506504964,-0.038001228739571055,0.012322608771890238,0.008138037427024675,0.14284994414259838,-0.09526633794406388,0.024273331935206383,-0.17507411403189077,0.0016701608165172147,-0.09395602543513125,0.15556692618457033,0.14163920658653892,0.16363358226601868,0.08040816487696667,0.1638525066079032,-0.08516823712475095,0.0824059487564448,-0.0206763711859965,0.044914336210852675,-0.18194864486212953,0.09314902991127295,-0.1464478953448974,-0.09609588785206266,0.06465707003641394,0.012736419557874966,-0.00564499029538105,-0.03509275843069689,-0.03160086158495594,0.5732805400513931,0.15554055565134836,0.09322348605521577,-0.052192083479974366,-0.18415414839513666,-0.18010603669428957,-0.017021356479353544,-0.10802520180520936,-0.17576648292974015,0.16469567116478076,-0.09830912561747256,0.050563071569171045,0.10563137719170655,0.057908567472639276,0.13054805921772517,-0.17855950945610935,-0.010066160279963566,0.11005473441049196,-0.17252929187525215,-0.02214472497681759,-0.019194228867780463,-0.16544622807747336,-0.1841919927494657,0.057249890427650066,-0.0765933750808102,-0.08379850252181434,0.1678612733408569,0.16618382818763583,-0.060359427314671844,-0.062315305387346344,0.007481336138851306,0.08769893046631974,0.020597160057417657,0.07582661636058888,-0.057540800680462745,-0.007144286164146482,-0.16672445485481754,-0.13169146611966234,0.1672465724671449,0.018929024306349167,-0.11741130462134246,0.5108707928089057,0.16200129753175135,-0.18514958401184337;-0.007731575239411328,-0.0170362980965094,0.18078570318345621,-0.0330950284913475,-0.36035432748561613,0.302320857795319,-0.5267314787650637,0.023260302268781438,-0.20924296947052484,-0.5268283677161797,-0.4006255790442548,0.06322480297238843,-0.5108433829314702,0.0415092274622493,0.09085601404594015,0.2952466381377007,0.2047396285273324,-0.35240624542640114,0.2999263565935061,0.23007068038442638,0.24053456897346592,0.3082398586588433,0.10011389880753363,-0.029197648422766027,-0.5143200803787435,0.02191823239636997,0.06006609064020996,0.30839351570434975,0.11288535293346129,0.04723386924401792,0.09041036155029324,0.11337593786534583,0.28177387339369314,-0.06805017519457819,0.10673216475879253,-0.5162605329058173,0.07883190906479574,-0.06244722719707071,0.298336624385288,0.28065197162823,0.30771652122999427,0.18552009017966156,0.30648155721771386,-0.048895483289237124,0.18889719629916918,0.048379836277146426,0.13468226582381743,-0.4825449307476368,0.20703586611527766,-0.21337144854962709,-0.06971881119385427,0.16168059148320116,0.09196014071818107,0.06925725603276571,0.04074947645129433,0.03454617343397741,-0.4532779737189659,0.29791805770250873,0.20672979219578652,0.021895600809154397,-0.46408422309037817,-0.4893447462637264,0.05342041249503327,-0.09135482582462129,-0.5139630774845514,0.3060510164714996,-0.07014341164108197,0.14234974445973655,0.22827599441898233,0.15203266189643858,0.2684668923216832,-0.5027659153440248,0.061957440243859505,0.2438992318111043,-0.2883546108004104,0.04588802467950314,0.05147620805777019,-0.25697581742766934,-0.46395966560010693,0.15080858281374682,-0.03553126640718259,-0.03883939878143842,0.31025505550033206,0.31001842582711103,-0.0089084770674763,-0.012711647552677138,0.08470671046130653,0.21603215932588607,0.10258750536387479,0.17692233033864693,-0.0045236540884521885,0.0662219000715653,-0.3296787379712841,-0.14880467846353232,0.3110156456246877,0.10069019416667113,-0.11376530148368039,-0.4832226937685115,0.3036433405109502,-0.45169662687982975;-0.09699699484020027,-0.0993200582409537,0.017688765092645747,-0.10650283605849523,-0.0852951746284389,0.09030827113975437,0.0095160445783755,-0.07946384245074742,-0.12433157647204211,0.011854362578006343,-0.06705488846919358,-0.05675412939917561,-0.0015417514883889292,-0.08555353363246908,-0.0393296466966759,0.08382451942565752,0.028357206878452043,-0.08766466573200805,0.08700415483061896,0.04061846501894278,0.04570002460130183,0.09673054870740452,-0.031881663766655036,-0.10516424363510155,1.0692258545012823E-4,-0.08239531715661486,-0.06123288586044179,0.09711960206226992,-0.02310578597799951,-0.09525721897361926,-0.037666482268771534,-0.059577269645767844,0.0728344870935062,-0.117986273750626,-0.02755669176215272,0.0023366192096252007,-0.04987848773762099,-0.11864961691090503,0.08509040193196553,0.07081815359105921,0.09452177625617857,0.021515844910232836,0.09494613688199349,-0.11321460247803028,0.022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x_a{167}=[12.195132538113157,2.8054645867777173,39.847073686111784];
std_x_a{167}=[1.3752049667968123,2.5606887226138744,1.9348702570512901];
pred_a{167}=[12.195132538113157];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.6 to 16.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{168}=[3.303221941471735,-3.205295289754602,30.07677285909882];
std_x_f{168}=[1.4222133624415758,1.8518634304678492,1.2217306150433502];
pred_f{168}=[3.303221941471735];
obs{168}=[3.1883272530315994];
sqrt_r{168}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{168}=[3.022986996036716];
L_f{168}=[0.017208943295360626,0.012819726972522302,0.09435397581061523,0.005185442319960431,-0.18048769335753376,0.13552875594746214,-0.2811318974548283,0.03131065708151867,-0.0905728625198538,-0.2814637463056641,-0.20456389399198766,0.04863489478416231,-0.2718932608099124,0.04166490507065154,0.059983621322538275,0.13401588302707326,0.10365283185239138,-0.1755847492977062,0.13577636982830132,0.1129959789161219,0.11670995927799559,0.13673341189408028,0.06335724822058214,0.006704362836816298,-0.27356930239374455,0.031080709726182206,0.047926811116807674,0.13656649598066362,0.06831179713388656,0.046275464365901166,0.059342104724951744,0.07491420272327594,0.12936432776642817,-0.012725723076797243,0.06627105867782879,-0.274011903579089,0.05549975819799016,-0.009355041769296385,0.13490927031670252,0.1299292543763643,0.1373580275880707,0.09573734624380505,0.136472899083314,-0.002959906866315301,0.0973847943416645,0.04182773874571911,0.07670870176776202,-0.2543918536521533,0.10447346207399841,-0.0943578610242719,-0.013751396390202317,0.08654671410693537,0.05993214176226272,0.05120233021103409,0.041566094044979365,0.036817970578288034,-0.48531239794595527,0.1346794248737048,0.10377442859834632,0.033717718538307385,-0.24285901143943497,-0.25869833296145234,0.0455672160011926,-0.02479504314408731,-0.2733320228461032,0.13561191885371823,-0.013747310400802874,0.07977372716652743,0.1126813203976727,0.08272176966712198,0.12733574219420518,-0.2667642751414803,0.04827024555590795,0.12059767090112918,-0.13719351016103387,0.04159859831265896,0.04390700195154765,-0.11891873584235069,-0.24282251015077636,0.08257390509494447,0.00379544923804866,0.0035842270989557908,0.13707926952674857,0.13767328321749017,0.01650997689288233,0.014537370453434825,0.057365144132519696,0.11155583414091949,0.06404840012823435,0.09205806348156259,0.019412714617626305,0.049877590238833515,-0.16336883473965214,-0.05705094926157413,0.13766621238480187,0.06433871468783911,-0.03727060615935508,-0.46301564823776886,0.13579711525801746,-0.23519621679667824;0.08507039866070688,0.08327449324473842,0.06409149928408313,0.08149868049145578,-0.09816292837847616,0.034970826751139425,-0.2516026934354059,0.08530341189499652,0.009131622062810782,-0.25278974810835064,-0.13187202598509346,0.083278807980376,-0.23594658073996863,0.09697269193821854,0.0797311070950288,0.03862917272682779,0.06146916333450324,-0.09213026776821892,0.0371627861963711,0.05870002809202829,0.05755604953476414,0.0304754281865873,0.07714091015146962,0.08177866345756162,-0.23901155100556232,0.08717575062350953,0.08481065489956184,0.03003351176830141,0.07494793991299019,0.10642407217720697,0.07889616093777034,0.10364538731948184,0.04487093096749802,0.07387583261700227,0.07615624189072422,-0.24066501250469807,0.08312277723038332,0.07661301397845,0.03825923448533205,0.04634919581562794,0.03250037759015992,0.06245556901067739,0.03195544404243155,0.07890588822473607,0.06260552984631572,0.08508133713394969,0.07103855892713815,-0.20683316049126535,0.061066367323767266,-0.0011895486767885234,0.07308656656922612,0.06575539993113144,0.07940569050320312,0.08412977952946384,0.09713779248904837,0.08793997989651686,-1.1375447719249854,0.03757300356642972,0.06071591523080277,0.10176391943474034,-0.1886621949755283,-0.21335534588650867,0.08521481461548219,0.06708438421938166,-0.23857553647530613,0.030254996175587495,0.07502942402246665,0.06978244812996207,0.06009625936366998,0.06737289484949294,0.05443915673772883,-0.2268246853381417,0.08402700711621056,0.06653106129940123,-0.04264470197364706,0.0852872953410828,0.08617434490476777,-0.021808196788926107,-0.1877874636067254,0.06740032675408623,0.08106493077416549,0.08656022236583524,0.028082570057950774,0.030563937286132957,0.08456322370094511,0.08383881603748401,0.07978147080746693,0.07638437800534187,0.07633827280583537,0.062081165576949815,0.08584961702326852,0.08379417843695997,-0.08545221914217747,0.04131629808479783,0.02985825325503619,0.07802855087307008,0.057119095176885404,-1.051859849490567,0.03268706886894535,-0.17642154492728726;-0.06250776235573259,-0.0671150105499674,0.07006834453781555,-0.07627477789655365,-0.16257379645372985,0.15628084143708407,-0.13926060070783802,-0.040890615023420514,-0.14636132545984587,-0.13742955562783532,-0.16057710420195878,-0.014100293794242985,-0.14293315871063114,-0.03672023032153409,0.005616380489705641,0.15050437072993508,0.08582576626230472,-0.16231038370242581,0.15383836225994738,0.10294116992720526,0.10968941010450678,0.16164818196873043,0.012886307429942323,-0.0743566566355408,-0.14267868839414485,-0.04335939664903283,-0.017340070523323647,0.16231830304404882,0.02241772254749908,-0.039115884621481606,0.005879429258236122,0.006776683154891887,0.13984932196338704,-0.09568260614345776,0.017253185593735086,-0.14228310789753013,-0.004652486506895947,-0.0938650235820297,0.1523101235422635,0.13821664102607728,0.16032664693561066,0.07367420511953866,0.159808680839226,-0.08592129547008143,0.07543938152105864,-0.02588235678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k{168}=[0.6692013557084272;0.7044560257894061;0.23643583459767026];
x_a{168}=[3.226334260203899,-3.2862335453574523,30.04960763754664];
L_a{168}=[-0.017014498271139888,-0.012674876002945567,-0.09328786380147346,-0.005126851653456775,0.1784483505981259,-0.13399740728877255,0.2779553689677728,-0.030956875831264642,0.08954947356771722,0.2782834682358056,0.20225251259922714,-0.04808536579031486,0.26882112030853156,-0.04119413046604221,-0.05930586229336785,-0.13250162842271357,-0.10248165143450241,0.17360080523768984,-0.13424222336348102,-0.11171922964220696,-0.11539124548661885,-0.13518845174567323,-0.06264137035095525,-0.006628609783777689,0.27047822418417483,-0.030729526666782164,-0.04738528280862006,-0.13502342182654836,-0.06753993747810838,-0.04575259473730059,-0.05867159423557923,-0.0740677420363531,-0.1279026314022691,0.012581934263653692,-0.06552225746507687,0.27091582438853373,-0.05487266264413567,0.00924933851418095,-0.13338492126841386,-0.12846117486790262,-0.1358060098643282,-0.09465560343777076,-0.1349308824869268,0.0029264626767196078,-0.09628443690719003,-0.04135512427230725,-0.07584196491372185,0.2515174627441251,-0.1032930092992553,0.09329170511583627,0.013596018424323215,-0.08556881688036438,-0.05925496440415571,-0.05062379158915783,-0.041096435912889515,-0.03640196181714676,0.47982882005545996,-0.1331576728647556,-0.10260187425052986,-0.03333673973645278,0.24011493090229352,0.25577528284993717,-0.04505234891917877,0.02451488226018187,0.27024362567432875,-0.13407963053167796,0.01359197860279668,-0.07887235838142267,-0.1114081264718225,-0.08178709074869912,-0.12589696695680871,0.26375008739904615,-0.04772483675856537,-0.11923502959091829,0.1356433513309223,-0.041128572912631306,-0.04341089374133395,0.117575064933899,0.24007884204418506,-0.08164089690840942,-0.0037525641981972645,-0.0035437286724627867,-0.13553040150935672,-0.13611770339888546,-0.01632342953772402,-0.01437311171299912,-0.05671697145574168,-0.11029535716106065,-0.06332471288605532,-0.09101789314244516,-0.01919336903090269,-0.04931401994427176,0.1615229191315488,0.05640632669407602,-0.13611071246001777,-0.06361174716164689,0.03684948303790625,0.45778400284322307,-0.13426273438917158,0.23253871869893122;0.04904400775590852,0.056436791052452334,-0.13343563283747636,0.07064311726326274,0.2796824792565691,-0.24875443498068386,0.3369382448246338,0.01975551902646769,0.198743110374618,0.336445905464322,0.296376163544935,-0.018536841071146264,0.3332535572463635,0.009748500927531514,-0.04584275020472512,-0.2419289363051604,-0.15552483650686505,0.2754509780149285,-0.24708084754188314,-0.17785356135468897,-0.18677264300998467,-0.25577174353667437,-0.05549553078923529,0.06774328707324527,0.3336973282344011,0.022109245436298084,-0.015522642879392298,-0.2558642266491626,-0.06806069604539307,0.009547817782407798,-0.045334701192558835,-0.05318518067696525,-0.22594929089390203,0.10051674055900889,-0.0625801711838629,0.3329704386371236,-0.0330642512027699,0.09619750478226657,-0.24416915322519908,-0.22565368244324926,-0.25505440778321053,-0.13796760635635408,-0.2537463521632698,0.08510236176628247,-0.14126652719521404,-0.002483741142722209,-0.08954873735560498,0.32572832253364076,-0.15764559652297247,0.19634571701947962,0.10187468989193006,-0.11542747111609111,-0.04606039592821398,-0.023060716235408982,0.01012045930661247,0.010862696439352438,-0.12155826657926443,-0.24437420981311628,-0.1565326436399806,0.031176917802483845,0.3197556393274505,0.32822161847024983,-0.010178743717929352,0.11899204069071496,0.3336366053653692,-0.2536443645301323,0.1038089934526504,-0.09722138409306896,-0.175798602199957,-0.10580257323214483,-0.21213428392656875,0.3316380796750421,-0.017025260046327612,-0.18593643536924181,0.24456567125103137,-0.0017980845211173718,-0.005743606628644964,0.22714450122571495,0.32055395637660705,-0.10546559141581036,0.0731192751018546,0.07905675371338394,-0.25888864392973454,-0.25765082600368905,0.05000009735648672,0.05340528030583312,-0.04031068542535739,-0.15715431286564874,-0.057745073291817266,-0.1306395450444649,0.045209698968192685,-0.020623015140405397,0.2565553870760864,0.16075069706625061,-0.2583417074650943,-0.05666255978224116,0.1351439572332152,-0.08255090052392525,-0.2515999947852323,0.3159544656282932;-0.07459926202254699,-0.07612252029396638,0.003772521052579877,-0.07991821915892311,-0.035757939916794566,0.0610544304218131,0.05827077504620723,-0.06289038532721307,-0.08272222117640748,0.06033498669550171,-0.016844615019244988,-0.04827257293916777,0.04810688460094289,-0.06599519375961156,-0.036529841087496864,0.0563409478423399,0.012996298450330656,-0.038939477006297636,0.05843797059366984,0.02354693763962569,0.027685628146305645,0.0655753449569789,-0.03163032166232576,-0.07906733524120638,0.04953899005194298,-0.06519759931193551,-0.051014829670596916,0.06636274596499418,-0.025580115443318115,-0.07163035993576895,-0.035816044263560914,-0.0458601953402773,0.04895421589913961,-0.0867411462465827,-0.02931077072648995,0.05024555490089542,-0.043648216589880814,-0.0872919015433874,0.057518980989987124,0.04692460123971897,0.06381493693054698,0.006406385687491615,0.0639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x_a{168}=[3.2263342602038985,-3.286233545357451,30.049607637546647];
std_x_a{168}=[1.4061436766415425,1.8395262012496896,1.2187261748891618];
pred_a{168}=[3.2263342602038985];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.7 to 16.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{169}=[-0.8112198334159161,-3.0654208958487574,23.00435010566354];
std_x_f{169}=[1.5701240808948316,1.9249774896682568,0.9006734419391429];
pred_f{169}=[-0.8112198334159161];
obs{169}=[-0.8375908019120781];
sqrt_r{169}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{169}=[3.4661330413809717];
L_f{169}=[0.029041556003979778,0.03512356341573592,-0.11591222755748702,0.04701910706554291,0.24366669199940677,-0.20189342473864869,0.3027724639659061,0.0040911421203662255,0.16431396418732375,0.3025030358990231,0.26035389417816235,-0.027118026299816567,0.2983920826980562,-0.006258556562475409,-0.048523193551642294,-0.19722477314988973,-0.13353611583472827,0.23943952031480717,-0.20088554843708006,-0.15021502477684007,-0.1570888045790968,-0.20626222128180735,-0.05556301971276532,0.044475454133192475,0.2995590969581335,0.005492539619231867,-0.02454312572157225,-0.20613511156561526,-0.06518137246388904,-0.007722996870186781,-0.047706912596610786,-0.058393216089235964,-0.18528221428151698,0.07240169135795417,-0.06125664591247586,0.2989008139306169,-0.038519663426612456,0.06846572397025202,-0.19871181569241583,-0.18589494389356206,-0.2054304893798397,-0.11998972775880849,-0.20436088224831897,0.05956838619473332,-0.12217497036069287,-0.013746596514569769,-0.08215770656795096,0.29056774118163436,-0.13485874104153692,0.16351881595234433,0.07418707790775168,-0.10216365780233977,-0.048183741642543194,-0.030360327938029393,-0.003992735754395986,-0.003725453029520327,9.788117993758513E-4,-0.19855772543664726,-0.1337532807369058,0.011215427213407762,0.28442300126954645,0.2928591453710545,-0.019944001706160248,0.0894032018334462,0.2994160063235715,-0.20461027204590118,0.07490853920942571,-0.08835986895262012,-0.1493116922359023,-0.09477102838660488,-0.17618275147141949,0.2968035614395772,-0.025364761457878988,-0.15790258022082168,0.20829041506410956,-0.013504210071930907,-0.01657256774049457,0.19149664288279797,0.28570479504536744,-0.09459529338047777,0.04900292065923697,0.05322265250306882,-0.20804969913669946,-0.20776489201185286,0.02950040084640316,0.03209279034412103,-0.043607220718629755,-0.13712484607920145,-0.05796203731100961,-0.11361873920456488,0.024699252824610687,-0.028814242258456267,0.2233468874193212,0.1272666507168298,-0.20831051028984385,-0.056722529402165094,0.10376315775064879,0.027191360022545394,-0.20352584456132597,0.28046459625941017;0.05554309225926653,0.06468446431970634,-0.13879796100612396,0.08031706427698754,0.30203236466088584,-0.2501608615918222,0.33547518335587495,0.023624227749660245,0.2229297641385548,0.33401511349069296,0.3153925032282348,-0.01844224028906566,0.3338065520627993,0.01129202141896469,-0.04822566725562632,-0.2441794701084262,-0.1607891911224608,0.2986391492195188,-0.2487373795631623,-0.18204168722564093,-0.19108996640759,-0.25629817017978773,-0.057819962188616694,0.07658381695884747,0.3343513599606938,0.026121963351607484,-0.015190327498461045,-0.2563786646103853,-0.0709402918496029,0.011544324124631598,-0.04666467727196185,-0.05621426938135805,-0.2286756018058102,0.11303889356119527,-0.06552753616466635,0.33313209072879646,-0.03394609437098164,0.10899783843587728,-0.24577815905089845,-0.22860517355643326,-0.25610198746019097,-0.14300195977918864,-0.254538193555161,0.09602439078811696,-0.146580996247668,-8.480989482010018E-4,-0.09354390317373491,0.3329110888800083,-0.16255710470195875,0.21950350839487762,0.11481921908194802,-0.12004698792910734,-0.048233329874052835,-0.023611620614941084,0.0134060286370626,0.013508093771087543,-0.2905123069720794,-0.24638652323293136,-0.16121946822846261,0.03605878047005695,0.3303707664687557,0.3343020458157058,-0.008940884487866172,0.13469106576343462,0.33441554780827176,-0.25455291336998065,0.11705051026932761,-0.10173589870164798,-0.1806418100002445,-0.11014701914572278,-0.21518901277411,0.33436521326732466,-0.01664369691596544,-0.19115471984864932,0.26996812150563365,-3.2956136097908546E-4,-0.004204372936197786,0.2520815235604619,0.33187817803108216,-0.11057239455341164,0.08248811170310348,0.09015405111122023,-0.2592954664627454,-0.2579765108440943,0.05723413544025629,0.060284681386817994,-0.04139198525087719,-0.1629988762757073,-0.06029499287606343,-0.13530639654771207,0.05206540862481017,-0.0208202408178173,0.27879952483964066,0.181095248043632,-0.2588131994747212,-0.05882747911739549,0.15225896699805022,-0.2355547971259848,-0.2527230749380833,0.32854513907905697;-0.07690104113533607,-0.0788523051577715,0.014940059946343207,-0.08256266936796194,-0.037725071817729945,0.09467184454715755,0.04393416992171864,-0.06470070236069678,-0.08393077716606355,0.045509536658585266,-0.020278299720684945,-0.049075293729832846,0.03586969111602268,-0.06516975129596726,-0.035213958127206985,0.08907659539698767,0.028297185186350014,-0.040731012113440414,0.09204679320465511,0.04328886893707075,0.049813205320538956,0.10021293586755767,-0.02989263781244167,-0.0826320462214113,0.036873362861122846,-0.06717157089246455,-0.050914207352877994,0.10085151027826049,-0.02282024701787186,-0.06878923011130363,-0.03431496164997772,-0.03879196073489455,0.07823532780731975,-0.08923481235001594,-0.02701965007550722,0.03721114895823833,-0.043175782119276,-0.08959473998418863,0.09085705762792672,0.07658423015825638,0.09936298847555826,0.018215449896595372,0.098696364664338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k{169}=[0.7114940517108419;0.8507974449541316;-0.11612053504017963];
x_a{169}=[-0.8299826206387894,-3.087857248466258,23.00741231663484];
L_a{169}=[-0.023984639260073062,-0.029007605444396567,0.09572878820325069,-0.03883181469833262,-0.2012377610380178,0.16673834420833392,-0.2500516268863335,-0.0033787641373358014,-0.13570247943620692,-0.24982911349931547,-0.21501927207215477,0.02239604786179992,-0.24643398792385657,0.005168773374924016,0.040073999234867305,0.16288263054850116,0.11028388306908816,-0.19774665374570777,0.16590596630445797,0.12405854494234803,0.12973541462824606,0.17034641565856748,0.04588800213832807,-0.03673108022057648,-0.24739779358342517,-0.0045361406038600905,0.020269506794534795,0.17024143916595474,0.053831540734546046,0.006378215200064274,0.03939985476965286,0.048225385132390663,0.15301959269127163,-0.05979460772700014,0.05059021473544398,-0.2468541353529965,0.031812353015111185,-0.05654399822382788,0.16411073895088768,0.1535256295822305,0.16965951067224191,0.09909628584690885,0.16877615093779755,-0.049195926485123734,0.1009010188816939,0.011352943981739557,0.06785183804191489,-0.2399720749088212,0.11137620362027487,-0.13504578791555805,-0.06126911041311003,0.08437421457524094,0.03979365504171283,0.02507377749702415,0.0032974929689324676,0.00307675136212219,-8.083743139767358E-4,0.16398347995699675,0.11046323371538143,-0.00926251939890305,-0.2348972996413323,-0.24186448394071797,0.016471214085739205,-0.07383569752174639,-0.24727961888056155,0.16898211525766163,-0.06186494587930835,0.07297403698360731,0.12331250691589696,0.07826884096180538,0.14550459132802734,-0.24512207098192865,0.020948073629445414,0.1304074900226474,-0.17202144630125688,0.011152763544182178,0.013686837537713834,-0.15815192197103808,-0.23595589861291139,0.07812370615130335,-0.04047019293803392,-0.04395515586614558,0.17182264549725404,0.17158743096029164,-0.024363586862617408,-0.02650457155764709,0.036014029617675795,0.11324771876382887,0.04786928618745322,0.09383465791682663,-0.020398447965751132,0.02379690695728284,-0.1844561814758984,-0.10510610061191532,0.17203804240719614,0.04684560997500893,-0.08569519852153633,-0.022456612209144394,0.16808651579261605,-0.231628159509847;-0.00786509975275895,-0.012002943645156687,0.11428024115699467,-0.022342606184104698,-0.2299799142650834,0.19064530733519147,-0.3255863151558899,0.014691788830715244,-0.1358268875373789,-0.32645812636867766,-0.25305395710829726,0.04076619256385344,-0.3176909941428414,0.02495670784889222,0.057717966526860294,0.1864333484231506,0.13076831606579684,-0.2241436891830789,0.18986823185772247,0.14593189424622552,0.1518915557369506,0.1940466574207528,0.06349415136067693,-0.020522141658281652,-0.3196941993153767,0.014129768210197763,0.03839616862851895,0.1936886366313818,0.07137415508399955,0.02840641196820185,0.05749672075410373,0.07127918370629924,0.1758623030490709,-0.04504011387874488,0.06821781706291709,-0.3194761992562857,0.05015622488693022,-0.04048753249786858,0.18808140972552112,0.17727054105239776,0.19242686939362857,0.11897889607297578,0.19165532512450534,-0.03403488252232584,0.12017103241886475,0.029165679624415193,0.08583600445292203,-0.3015030975644355,0.1318881703821298,-0.13751704787505617,-0.04715793118304381,0.1030131273654689,0.05696915795096308,0.04267592620861144,0.02212361096403309,0.021642101501087897,-0.29264940618639,0.18713661093497058,0.13081218827237506,0.011571457471688548,-0.2906272363470897,-0.30511510248105733,0.03460406501480771,-0.06050837146947988,-0.319317592999925,0.1921851131924166,-0.0465018502474677,0.0911855665234715,0.1453594707037622,0.09677231962150647,0.16948148260071827,-0.3136640180532936,0.03873672638642279,0.15360356804970038,-0.18480498468880158,0.029155000178849717,0.031979520147133504,-0.16602472046815536,-0.29191844293889824,0.09596325130803092,-0.02450293939226985,-0.026050196651586435,0.19495207003619938,0.19564918897171332,-0.007175880367578127,-0.009785455766399224,0.05381830665148285,0.13639412348704374,0.0662570414130438,0.11276429328240678,-0.0018619692829664014,0.04209164329592775,-0.208847291358218,-0.09677375540350601,0.19600378184581646,0.065018262317649,-0.07429343362144815,-0.29492334394700903,0.19164725527375867,-0.28381023780759596;-0.06824681535452903,-0.06838567423811179,-0.019601153613333585,-0.06855123112059716,0.03488627750309377,0.034508701735208674,0.1341587179112667,-0.06348156425369682,-0.034966109266668655,0.1356537965491703,0.05730574511566621,-0.057156318117655515,0.12478890930530832,-0.0670347671217788,-0.04967360596922241,0.030304685373512802,-0.01149585125313621,0.030620663029879088,0.03218399205042256,-0.0014743916785158967,0.0030015956988546344,0.038747915440314196,-0.04645011557264888,-0.0693786027172192,0.1261403449544757,-0.06553482395065648,-0.05822792536895518,0.039424367855305446,-0.04224394159980373,-0.07109064118617511,-0.0485313622057786,-0.056192821626592455,0.02302223539104595,-0.06765950199687311,-0.04527379748513204,0.12628196628868996,-0.05465443237647712,-0.06919232651144734,0.03164201701231311,0.021188547649203124,0.0381458196327044,-0.017540836552381447,0.03779793293087635,-0.06863914208798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x_a{169}=[-0.8299826206387898,-3.0878572484662574,23.00741231663483];
std_x_a{169}=[1.2967232082418583,1.6085440149712875,0.8897101089701293];
pred_a{169}=[-0.8299826206387898];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.8 to 16.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 16.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{170}=[-2.5040448179102874,-4.0043087821222505,18.406980381290875];
std_x_f{170}=[1.696229006165434,2.2580741667529556,1.385634602054922];
pred_f{170}=[-2.5040448179102874];
obs{170}=[-2.5618997200824807];
sqrt_r{170}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{170}=[3.877852927113985];
L_f{170}=[-0.025692134146632756,-0.030908935359223993,0.12558567337798468,-0.043665463832695026,-0.2566622112869181,0.21641354048471217,-0.3271597697105956,0.0016402396129436894,-0.16899773781122343,-0.327338823319541,-0.2750676044276454,0.033831990657626355,-0.3222219279560862,0.01322400582585196,0.055817562587907744,0.21158023408374185,0.14485365931546768,-0.2513789843045572,0.21550960115073328,0.16291001449514,0.16984529802470832,0.22055600402323539,0.0628870028131614,-0.0410430279896307,-0.3233900552620527,4.711294166467518E-4,0.03091880358178374,0.22005379895605748,0.07259972552148614,0.016003995792758238,0.05404851097374452,0.0688469061202666,0.19867783975208353,-0.07024886972644805,0.06861191565219779,-0.3227372606910178,0.045883504413011304,-0.06533252197795102,0.21316800199313476,0.2002543304784803,0.21919283143018267,0.13066873178377664,0.21855516937855707,-0.05798934325549442,0.13264960017368724,0.019728943339152108,0.09063738758517888,-0.31180066842471166,0.14634971621976176,-0.16896144544946803,-0.07276964323460626,0.11134260208810255,0.054720718535996415,0.036898893911086625,0.01028726686398518,0.00941418081041961,-0.1624561748665882,0.21223327207813986,0.14549299585328448,-0.004237139986462838,-0.3035797384419955,-0.31364146363437373,0.026164828592465373,-0.08870615896054704,-0.3229785445275221,0.2188108904012612,-0.07235766801835246,0.09731546008396222,0.16132937595947114,0.10377433547436693,0.19049337383897325,-0.3197151590187068,0.03157709884260099,0.1711016526206001,-0.2168418490829446,0.019678654040951482,0.02272665020769197,-0.19852167950250427,-0.30487851308449126,0.10277001743831292,-0.04632804601297843,-0.049113083854674285,0.22196369740461763,0.22198930201474212,-0.025230467162604946,-0.02802624214385707,0.05009732585008954,0.15025020777851258,0.06586948795661117,0.12340711023805552,-0.019442608005022153,0.035243642082045834,-0.2356446695671917,-0.1284282264804809,0.22303082410497474,0.06432380404472267,-0.10379620642158893,-0.17495187302476564,0.21726752476218997,-0.299308922929246;-0.0455226394185893,-0.05277628828724469,0.16925204935630225,-0.06942614346982716,-0.3413076930398076,0.29761161143017995,-0.4139622790015502,-0.006133032646397877,-0.2369482365886742,-0.4143026315216159,-0.3611666990992651,0.03885223026156163,-0.40937821043160827,0.010439213277745647,0.0695056780537911,0.29142635421264745,0.1968120686732087,-0.33508163237525307,0.2967987302706399,0.22261688685540212,0.23268297066323768,0.30402721658340465,0.07990837543928303,-0.06612498923101962,-0.4112006128408345,-0.007882212616465696,0.035112397721177725,0.302866147656459,0.09367754304684817,0.014178279854765467,0.06758376498690581,0.08938975846747974,0.2732879742314635,-0.10658700757782817,0.08821696910051699,-0.4103085525216053,0.05595965049177886,-0.09906011111451596,0.29295181150800054,0.27529822409172167,0.30138146437926877,0.17672557767654487,0.3003610049831908,-0.08898742351563416,0.17955353639722033,0.019018957074508416,0.11947395198146653,-0.39919700104776057,0.1990413997178945,-0.23674363292358086,-0.10948613786404054,0.1493231349655966,0.06828218791056499,0.04319125024527995,0.0055039670991416855,0.005082392232052619,-0.23522854406726368,0.29231160410446344,0.1974691966123394,-0.013824947417733678,-0.39119278625164194,-0.40085882885882146,0.028861591665905507,-0.13089146093579287,-0.4101059984892506,0.3009056410273638,-0.10879359831428873,0.12887567062835897,0.22163217679680755,0.1386025768466443,0.26251078850996257,-0.4069894774220069,0.03592270062386429,0.234737933656463,-0.2948302812136248,0.019105348938182984,0.023480654564585278,-0.27360676638464343,-0.392875193867753,0.13728199957559492,-0.07292208695692823,-0.07638127269030769,0.30559284713735335,0.306055537685176,-0.04415917765116118,-0.04859214310840526,0.06221084640672451,0.20510614734709567,0.08448722798633329,0.16634471299440684,-0.03541977103076482,0.04157429602677589,-0.3170885739999977,-0.1840458433418759,0.3067758234014607,0.08170289866479229,-0.1513797005863763,-0.24877092596555334,0.2994910386567185,-0.3868934450673245;-0.06617178726072954,-0.06275495384579,-0.08150587555322458,-0.05590597956071317,0.1711825300060289,-0.0541032611491445,0.31609872582390935,-0.07410352843375988,0.04631740642606332,0.31818453037680977,0.20526519214519892,-0.08277500047684959,0.3039493489659615,-0.08222682498955523,-0.08449538822024796,-0.05685297185421657,-0.07926354625106986,0.1634905200296982,-0.055386428361368915,-0.07492442355939535,-0.07214118754978781,-0.05065192378689527,-0.0844754497920187,-0.05960525880149212,0.3066381732980136,-0.07525880114186097,-0.08238283034863202,-0.04998717922140226,-0.08469175857850723,-0.08608212228604054,-0.08332723866606184,-0.09409971081791794,-0.0608281153637684,-0.04159708513322152,-0.0850917042120877,0.30608466337663065,-0.0851289632451029,-0.04554711592077295,-0.055653476069794997,-0.06240593756467792,-0.051046673195465825,-0.08051722415677315,-0.050967086895600734,-0.049104614175555714,-0.08060680808992486,-0.07902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k{170}=[0.7421253413176166;0.9870533893266028;-0.49178771407232874];
x_a{170}=[-2.5469804069317235,-4.061414659400473,18.435432711378017];
L_a{170}=[0.018748623729822216,0.022555541537814038,-0.0916451129587763,0.03186451334540688,0.18729713917959026,-0.15792600246555608,0.23874215301974705,-0.0011969513764143493,0.12332471017512,0.23887281591923323,0.20072832355008635,-0.024688617117228848,0.23513880358352132,-0.009650109563294722,-0.04073240753390841,-0.15439893684439968,-0.10570576733305381,0.18344174771206148,-0.1572663601660635,-0.11888224412021375,-0.12394321027481217,-0.16094893118588055,-0.04589127343454908,0.029950812342734126,0.2359912348842107,-3.4380281958475264E-4,-0.022562742792121056,-0.1605824511657317,-0.05297905300206872,-0.011678784392903681,-0.03944145665831015,-0.0502404638884564,-0.14498352062566744,0.05126353530732653,-0.05006898152577002,0.23551486341131725,-0.033483110228814304,0.04767587094532921,-0.1555575974264126,-0.1461339517760761,-0.15995416719001754,-0.09535443305273952,-0.1594888385487893,0.04231724662621163,-0.09679995547951713,-0.014397034249536035,-0.06614188864148124,0.22753397509284595,-0.10679750256286882,0.12329822612241592,0.0531030490566643,-0.08125134874880571,-0.03993199460198876,-0.026926664559559863,-0.007507048442933897,-0.006869921071239734,0.1185510583813863,-0.1548754859534915,-0.1061723179168179,0.003092018080062265,0.22153481900579278,0.22887728026759904,-0.019093568616592383,0.06473259042542667,0.23569093830789423,-0.15967544886333587,0.0528024135286279,-0.07101515716038218,-0.1177287861400795,-0.07572846839102504,-0.1390109738937109,0.23330950955460544,-0.023043128348172796,-0.12486002471518426,0.1582385571448477,-0.014360336047501848,-0.01658458619869654,0.14486956396701828,0.22248258912652363,-0.07499557555870565,0.03380751080770245,0.03583986928245037,-0.16197618386111048,-0.1619948686149047,0.018411726042669545,0.0204519198567601,-0.03655811178911845,-0.1096438542197225,-0.04806771745493231,-0.09005532441302613,0.014188083392845116,-0.025718758141834122,0.17195976085282158,0.09371944272237542,-0.16275491079998045,-0.046939767324209646,0.075744428535003,0.1276696914101575,-0.15854919047314767,0.21841822648720183;0.013585166559732896,0.018333388463720235,-0.11967270766532286,0.03103144208713802,0.2491742069896068,-0.20027344121067453,0.3387076269548961,-0.009906598682076736,0.15185113057601704,0.3387792085278434,0.2716589938010671,-0.03898228236546648,0.33193160411664885,-0.019984182698220703,-0.058909253956102574,-0.19533910301617052,-0.13644097839570513,0.24324557650898243,-0.19900670257436356,-0.15217694980088142,-0.15806630943463731,-0.2033880654151929,-0.06477064342399501,0.02829937121051615,0.3327966173096061,-0.008966101794021152,-0.03601998204780498,-0.20339375193977913,-0.07334674795646892,-0.022640813210736722,-0.05676125367990712,-0.06900072579277111,-0.18379399246056638,0.055028860465252516,-0.06963289167886239,0.33218684618781047,-0.049600800849909796,0.05124511503398284,-0.19746649437057812,-0.18541064675123062,-0.20289767716928805,-0.12389335890646974,-0.2024511192824847,0.04442394785560408,-0.12562262317829445,-0.026369820221781314,-0.08904812287578653,0.3181374682483402,-0.1376535039413227,0.15197223935256232,0.05792906901890203,-0.1068337449488593,-0.05760932408918717,-0.041699037562790364,-0.018163112107797374,-0.016576048814973276,0.1385211806224303,-0.19595624458973643,-0.1372547200938126,-0.004076903647081884,0.3072284572452141,0.3207106084425667,-0.031333704025487824,0.07318759310454298,0.3329445023425661,-0.20249479982222401,0.057673810654660804,-0.0950101031460193,-0.14952521318070058,-0.10014260686368276,-0.17574184230567366,0.3285532174647434,-0.03672416557628676,-0.15890173940254607,0.20404014622632938,-0.02616773185489429,-0.028804703411000183,0.18311593510656754,0.3085340349455451,-0.09915263121309417,0.03366108513229306,0.036609209723922814,-0.20506100067243102,-0.20465721657117858,0.013886508599669016,0.015885555532199558,-0.05304400161328594,-0.1405623003921468,-0.06705335216983407,-0.11756800078271673,0.009310257822211543,-0.039507888359530514,0.22503997511583745,0.11141854469313683,-0.20633307612177798,-0.06628165207605707,0.08741579983557864,0.15372663641181034,-0.20035870623950153,0.30170228011112094;-0.09562155472036103,-0.09818451191826406,0.06244747826840164,-0.10595778718987292,-0.12301811502155685,0.1939620963651774,-0.058910180993061924,-0.07222339364606263,-0.14739729439791,-0.057029617745385716,-0.11003274845557517,-0.04399487221358086,-0.06539952624005721,-0.06706872663020996,-0.020514162332371792,0.1856721783438371,0.08677585546505193,-0.12465419343615014,0.19164278310796665,0.11181218681113322,0.1225450344040653,0.2021617581454469,-0.012390834379735446,-0.10665108314739191,-0.06404967504770719,-0.07471876613797804,-0.04694196076509453,0.20225084705068946,-0.0014738747686846632,-0.06773744325580794,-0.02137379911792134,-0.015183519426994313,0.16690758563667524,-0.12212028596731817,-0.006444872096667088,-0.06385491515988839,-0.032534712900459214,-0.12043492278107243,0.18869166290165626,0.1671368256684972,0.20020446373210507,0.0692626167593059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x_a{170}=[-2.5469804069317235,-4.061414659400475,18.43543271137803];
std_x_a{170}=[1.2378091759408834,1.6495163007558151,1.1508402463783245];
pred_a{170}=[-2.5469804069317235];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 16.9 to 17.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{171}=[-4.51246694981325,-7.143196834087344,16.128042365970757];
std_x_f{171}=[1.8673095572399838,2.746738105674285,1.965169692678264];
pred_f{171}=[-4.51246694981325];
obs{171}=[-4.729986184159465];
sqrt_r{171}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{171}=[4.486868589067176];
L_f{171}=[0.004858652837136022,0.010722409992840857,-0.1377674124565527,0.025197208203919942,0.288540437216211,-0.2089771601153748,0.3912894876612382,-0.022432739953222508,0.17105659689639724,0.3913361289294151,0.3148790149767806,-0.05497968760139155,0.38350969445561506,-0.03510592602569394,-0.07627681692856307,-0.20491636324914086,-0.15412284914209232,0.2816339526946214,-0.20859647193702985,-0.16876219019053884,-0.17370636329837838,-0.21154350517683954,-0.0825814214815069,0.021111437471242306,0.38521839551297954,-0.022147211305621747,-0.052328058778243064,-0.21082784620724698,-0.09160930889786899,-0.038469568701762956,-0.07375419405725948,-0.08852331781668678,-0.19541672830713863,0.05338098293581045,-0.08799710514588009,0.3841926410316096,-0.06785407996273532,0.04826521052924823,-0.20664454469177765,-0.1972839231423908,-0.21092099189975116,-0.14211900202035951,-0.20990816545248878,0.04030199917678902,-0.1437418907269736,-0.041093961664964755,-0.10746934782669944,0.3679274006747943,-0.15526672409500844,0.17209093629091837,0.056872910741228425,-0.12554969763525303,-0.0752150397325864,-0.05772808732953411,-0.032210005513425594,-0.030308925798633216,0.1840149839384262,-0.20583632242017547,-0.1551502050447772,-0.0164529853863486,0.356269468305712,0.3709537493450683,-0.04701411061283386,0.0747954351896952,0.38488612720061627,-0.21034270876500802,0.056615404040851365,-0.11354530065568987,-0.16663134174346292,-0.11881268266997518,-0.18888652672433784,0.3801196396635438,-0.05270275627093876,-0.17527931664328736,0.2346958451493825,-0.0407365445478693,-0.04391202285528971,0.20973716108931376,0.3577144745622273,-0.11763706119011674,0.027881531245773583,0.030616153933659535,-0.21234997963469784,-0.21218300050041686,0.004561483084229485,0.007301747361391356,-0.0702803637304251,-0.1586206282301891,-0.08493446149333922,-0.1352403255434612,-0.0011480004848569035,-0.05597760047985188,0.26016672733691654,0.12178337809331546,-0.21394515535004086,-0.08404780646633804,0.0927508470797001,0.19772783374324251,-0.2089902604033347,0.34983661352182077;-0.023486105657406952,-0.015506908751736843,-0.2020590969599832,0.006567158936257801,0.4310508734887724,-0.26423138024676013,0.60590055892984,-0.060675364193071124,0.23425812865153428,0.6065311281165595,0.4756160383863555,-0.10445881396321227,0.5933186146140726,-0.07897753654201475,-0.13112812646583907,-0.2612402271962089,-0.21807242383911243,0.4193208105718394,-0.264784627460268,-0.23159053846316,-0.23593898722860032,-0.2654749309677993,-0.13908140166137015,5.835826850994422E-4,0.5954040382916806,-0.06050523213954786,-0.10106386814710361,-0.2647732164421682,-0.1499766671260882,-0.08382294926861489,-0.1283681567875608,-0.1484760663786017,-0.25383313228496324,0.04790066665840473,-0.14540999071331465,0.5938433977099852,-0.12098168734464501,0.04087840260931819,-0.2631897418602768,-0.2557515854493389,-0.2654228597924738,-0.20603581419847922,-0.26440127329827995,0.028672502658002575,-0.20794924834934986,-0.0861107161227644,-0.16879326774805858,0.5665194674160304,-0.21946710192137828,0.2357701213866055,0.05321754496053242,-0.18847261074876098,-0.12961967540529237,-0.10777385355489688,-0.07516310640632613,-0.07203396316777717,0.2890420577643395,-0.2617783062901308,-0.21932186598707312,-0.054427511686331934,0.5456867149361383,0.5720976285956655,-0.09328238568304233,0.08065658605725665,0.5953572224502255,-0.2645290974902175,0.05262192992670535,-0.17552505530651646,-0.22943118730614948,-0.18060783403693723,-0.24897673238777315,0.5871384819274167,-0.10091839724983956,-0.23827843118024258,0.33986721076800125,-0.08594249214998925,-0.09010460654893393,0.29828324097970715,0.5488333560434219,-0.17930918242961266,0.010280517112206464,0.013514271249457782,-0.2649911861560123,-0.2656766311801021,-0.02369275207031622,-0.019947508465484542,-0.12383159385523543,-0.22420263227886375,-0.14162516358968977,-0.19829164077077027,-0.031360462231277524,-0.10502837218208917,0.3833064485188764,0.15484668479097022,-0.2676546526805637,-0.14172060044070717,0.108506239320163,0.30746847772425234,-0.26359405985114237,0.5352924915019478;-0.1078832235880398,-0.11430987731840701,0.1398420756436697,-0.1314170217973596,-0.273464673321769,0.31852362157437003,-0.24403702693301857,-0.068276966195959,-0.24876752074639424,-0.24265980687971087,-0.27000541281331586,-0.01905553770872409,-0.2477803015996797,-0.05488964667929192,0.01714363468535296,0.3078163614046374,0.17528879744066703,-0.27286473254577687,0.3160496131133613,0.21029105979513296,0.22385208376690718,0.32805083222261755,0.028667714638527513,-0.12824058975744454,-0.24677704303766132,-0.0713625069262924,-0.024408872106451304,0.3274057690420958,0.04541475209008168,-0.052490781602013,0.01476113323642103,0.031158724852499885,0.28251630656938487,-0.16258803759137336,0.03750966542596448,-0.2466547969670304,-7.32176249723465E-4,-0.1580265660421778,0.3121848990611968,0.28426617585098324,0.3257707271848748,0.14889520136894216,0.32505315479196345,-0.14889151289879313,0.152533548629572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k{171}=[0.7771274152230296;1.1376712025289801;-0.7240216953987868];
x_a{171}=[-4.681507110162016,-7.390662202999184,16.28553101080395];
L_a{171}=[-0.0030809840519326927,-0.006799327981144826,0.08736150016943306,-0.015978132052601266,-0.1829701596718445,0.13251724688220057,-0.248125707183439,0.014225118845447906,-0.1084709413661958,-0.2481552834895123,-0.1996720605384105,0.03486389053883895,-0.2431923605136267,0.022261479022907267,0.04836889244130915,0.12994220174059726,0.0977328605608139,-0.17859059822153922,0.1322758437102606,0.10701600504817671,0.11015121948021404,0.13414462559625384,0.052366787893500605,-0.013387250405117063,-0.2442758873437435,0.014044058531176363,0.0331824314205167,0.13369080970410255,0.05809157994693962,0.024394442580657195,0.04676923897849693,0.056134681682289383,0.12391826367863372,-0.03385011496286902,0.05580099806647542,-0.2436254327209839,0.04302784027413355,-0.030606085449695085,0.13103808153322474,0.12510229507624487,0.13374987554040163,0.0901209436810524,0.13310761888284858,-0.025556429094013105,0.0911500549163565,0.026058630810741723,0.06814879717169653,-0.23331126790616663,0.09845821810445315,-0.10912683988078983,-0.036064427085925506,0.07961396483869834,0.04769559498269959,0.036606714324482224,0.020425108898709982,0.019219590315871598,-0.11668815406970667,0.1305255691120468,0.09838433068183956,0.010433218277003503,-0.2259187035654664,-0.23523034553966918,0.029812734078634905,-0.04742951404460791,-0.24406518832784985,0.13338317284000972,-0.035901136136001405,0.07200169928137876,0.10566478480203187,0.07534186795064626,0.11977731193605641,-0.24104264842271161,0.03342003576023626,0.11114866554860925,-0.14882605944456645,0.02583198435655551,0.02784562853949485,-0.13299918106409178,-0.22683501542813786,0.07459637920058211,-0.01768032333059807,-0.019414410776614453,0.13465602968834323,0.13455014436025534,-0.0028925418437501993,-0.004630206751908861,0.04456640288485944,0.1005850062283591,0.053858904945907185,0.08575901595455517,7.279736387875485E-4,0.03549669015774873,-0.16497773449503303,-0.07722565457407111,0.13566756747541,0.053296656501878176,-0.05881545569002887,-0.12538378904742442,0.13252555407755573,-0.2218394816778514;-0.03510929134136327,-0.0411577561170188,0.12751707772398624,-0.05371124322348652,-0.2592143484798049,0.23569738954751307,-0.3301676319285086,-0.007010302988594048,-0.1749546006457626,-0.32964864102052743,-0.27765804431467106,0.027067174671441995,-0.3241382483633069,0.005005145588532151,0.051346241689353506,0.22897403991939877,0.15063029145405904,-0.2544222694144502,0.23423343528558838,0.1721333617140829,0.1796126857927541,0.2405932165878396,0.0584752520242244,-0.04992057268652108,-0.3261404906157113,-0.007523231157811318,0.024118721358307366,0.2395828851268989,0.0691770866799757,0.008206457892295807,0.04807142867650203,0.06329517862142894,0.21365548956190844,-0.07980079657698078,0.06510241407173123,-0.3252472545359614,0.04134326100169244,-0.07458477676601225,0.23115879343144013,0.21620386146319248,0.23915607096730293,0.13395051639000385,0.23775470808504157,-0.0677405640023842,0.1359194622760837,0.01219693476978577,0.08830190389621309,-0.3136604177513441,0.15197206551658363,-0.17591702196037637,-0.0828375353448201,0.1118755509938066,0.050314640204984974,0.030327035869081285,0.0018917661094237208,4.730226670918809E-4,-0.15117056878901658,0.23063674705676784,0.15183855699188858,-0.0150676087232555,-0.30660430532177674,-0.3153220849188033,0.01918783100795707,-0.0982739242433308,-0.32539243256496875,0.2386664267002226,-0.08281712608267996,0.09610540632565716,0.16919515846765237,0.10362360183081434,0.20288991602431788,-0.32220847123589597,0.025160567995699736,0.18103616325429372,-0.22158747201446344,0.01151012224214021,0.014944593818718557,-0.20346365263122623,-0.3069145022716569,0.10210985518445029,-0.0564194974156238,-0.059727685734914264,0.24300626211059903,0.24192135872878134,-0.03460502892141906,-0.03741522395034238,0.04429766850552958,0.15525996301783193,0.061560585628366436,0.12523907205063245,-0.028614140720348277,0.028884888618648283,-0.23908133714697805,-0.1364914421027486,0.2441588788007724,0.05934403488798514,-0.11337837645474444,-0.16554892103249025,0.2363660493050026,-0.3016094346721908;-0.10048614912036788,-0.09798550349533508,-0.06990244476547355,-0.0930554364547646,0.16582481134968535,3.655503491655186E-4,0.3516831398845754,-0.1024297763493436,0.01165824496340136,0.3531313691137878,0.2093833396177895,-0.10275957193986036,0.33609548950017815,-0.10833679710828154,-0.09898429498787739,-0.004159334206480908,-0.05935611967711347,0.15590994853124435,-0.0015288779486638936,-0.046641577709939715,-0.04060782886682156,0.005985619210228079,-0.09705868418460872,-0.09609940158676764,0.3397001664775456,-0.10508061290554599,-0.10407592396347441,0.006430113746420187,-0.09405618822286238,-0.11105892260010646,-0.09752621966411612,-0.10361393661664584,-0.01499663373956411,-0.08131795735109024,-0.09646186156367322,0.3382607487416482,-0.10403687803524836,-0.08454501293471797,-0.0024218729518255284,-0.01608948232750433,0.004653261875829047,-0.06747441310129451,0.005477670954810599,-0.08753358116344072,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x_a{171}=[-4.681507110162014,-7.390662202999187,16.28553101080395];
std_x_a{171}=[1.1841041454752668,1.7538470064519025,1.4331325484215878];
pred_a{171}=[-4.681507110162014];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.0 to 17.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{172}=[-8.413107354493267,-13.101807085318388,18.667851360636888];
std_x_f{172}=[1.5979493706572743,1.7880860430726124,3.232114054345967];
pred_f{172}=[-8.413107354493267];
obs{172}=[-8.877511101313523];
sqrt_r{172}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{172}=[3.556522554949311];
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k{172}=[0.7188264703654456;0.7507498161245623;-1.3529639702701253];
x_a{172}=[-8.74693306064456,-13.450458112851253,19.296172897743144];
L_a{172}=[0.04448599348616186,0.04893356312723711,-0.09501583976548077,0.05937636103401115,0.18812379232711646,-0.1881077022576434,0.20664039237990145,0.020614613410624615,0.14626974443775215,0.20625800690990478,0.1946466617322101,-0.008027882319811566,0.20571036142029242,0.011358083583233623,-0.028844833433879287,-0.18240787856370141,-0.1149152723785758,0.186293736377226,-0.1868612087246978,-0.13371891643930345,-0.14017524966911232,-0.192851370508113,-0.03491049308987717,0.0566340711053356,0.20606926945350365,0.021745716119973536,-0.005168130302071944,-0.19153746320045784,-0.04406747315045222,0.009208919234834382,-0.026220238032182003,-0.03867187135433858,-0.16933743363120332,0.07996276174425243,-0.040530117335337054,0.2060064112538278,-0.019514008697022016,0.07600103629164076,-0.1843235049713349,-0.17180615898184434,-0.19108021825639465,-0.10045595011379743,-0.1899179647988721,0.07046219578884974,-0.10258164028409238,0.004726688887366806,-0.061266490847757496,0.2039420791840217,-0.11575586521838929,0.1460377329685168,0.08246082243363709,-0.08165307845423458,-0.02775901903234071,-0.010842460349148412,0.013523347812458444,0.014806851856957244,0.07982485339983941,-0.18422261326327127,-0.11619590779960706,0.02777303182163874,0.202632834215494,0.20401381456642254,-8.169159628529318E-4,0.09390600015282002,0.2059705208549229,-0.1908250392192677,0.0821241218764908,-0.0675763500290765,-0.13065474988564793,-0.07437871877450553,-0.16027757322311287,0.20547087112147097,-0.006192400635420037,-0.14132271646653924,0.172161465337633,0.005183701297782425,0.0023428033856424703,0.16256847517543108,0.20292284663193508,-0.07264417613951546,0.06175069628651539,0.06447819936218052,-0.1942822094454015,-0.1936896635453373,0.04405344492329835,0.04606198499307064,-0.02247424973326277,-0.11853909861162737,-0.037692190960758376,-0.09319685946543704,0.039133005646972314,-0.009232640326346282,0.1794095072994722,0.12119789888912898,-0.19554963010463353,-0.035933533704600285,0.10494106715656053,0.09237974975908016,-0.18901367440520114,0.20243653734826125;-0.025758362815956237,-0.021553813174398882,-0.10366342781892227,-0.011450376036713531,0.22710875986163184,-0.12810985859464513,0.3450950593696236,-0.04459597223288729,0.10916786937387751,0.3452722520530928,0.2564161064968689,-0.06316890851636647,0.3361833495541414,-0.051702222752041775,-0.07526939640314359,-0.12710699682568438,-0.1106415389500405,0.22151450763551367,-0.1284445290789343,-0.11727473806807842,-0.11723911556739688,-0.1295162740505098,-0.07798959144869982,-0.014427109107489004,0.3380334764608956,-0.043477096987479494,-0.06126194642521037,-0.12862779906578667,-0.08222325985832163,-0.053559161437341817,-0.07267509292060223,-0.08228637334072303,-0.12398170865363647,0.009606080528632044,-0.0811826851360921,0.3371223660074523,-0.07078935112699875,0.005521839012789368,-0.12758116727170585,-0.1257781774071001,-0.12849782936091364,-0.10566143019839308,-0.12793952261423486,-6.449913394124887E-4,-0.10677090856904252,-0.05549744027849633,-0.09054149642148555,0.31651159485403296,-0.11065869253587485,0.11069628408415103,0.012268989659020114,-0.09903580674860116,-0.07453360059262731,-0.06492903078530127,-0.05047039450476698,-0.048214063308849,0.16762391406608146,-0.12798035476114827,-0.11243070687386592,-0.040373853061320325,0.3040857348869317,0.32072786209717963,-0.05917349194721793,0.025597773821776058,0.33719678794917773,-0.12867612682411328,0.011630699582447055,-0.0935442712266648,-0.1150105039608596,-0.09588149533437375,-0.12276209892951374,0.33207674303088947,-0.06194023558535748,-0.11923890012288817,0.1724683213085836,-0.05556543300750115,-0.057123572625481976,0.1469693166005431,0.3054952266402067,-0.09486736706264358,-0.00937979897126214,-0.00752635020847642,-0.12919490340281464,-0.12952798080979214,-0.025655058661710212,-0.024552366559619447,-0.07132662099975767,-0.11262521064584258,-0.07942539901825227,-0.10310039180234869,-0.029932317837569073,-0.06370405302424555,0.19904564139600173,0.06558943516798592,-0.1300223195183309,-0.07902024919428802,0.04027088194179611,0.17664471184131103,-0.12854006720322386,0.2968911722288352;-0.21212641446447889,-0.22004237576071164,0.16280499779378116,-0.24061938080454806,-0.29294117724816493,0.4816832433289382,-0.16974995557289882,-0.15629863934634258,-0.33982915723465534,-0.1679084571264143,-0.2680857472903432,-0.08790528600972643,-0.18160539900662576,-0.13935646168570764,-0.032666515414014094,0.4614119466612792,0.22604634348454156,-0.29744901884829134,0.4766458243716799,0.2884613114248871,0.31149998079197294,0.5007786662758448,-0.0169879606305063,-0.23556627732217736,-0.1796826954020509,-0.16179973495831548,-0.09632943912658061,0.4968694295120211,0.010117790033230321,-0.13696550917894124,-0.03826197381662295,-0.011089915850943396,0.4146662823608711,-0.2769480250165133,-0.0012316085630397489,-0.18050687809627808,-0.06137206494647646,-0.27017229069189164,0.46792200572628834,0.4215328291690206,0.49394512523182815,0.17973142881177337,0.49006220825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x_a{172}=[-8.746933060644558,-13.450458112851248,19.29617289774313];
std_x_a{172}=[1.280811758304543,1.488785099511486,2.6765563528497687];
pred_a{172}=[-8.746933060644558];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.1 to 17.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{173}=[-13.023157296398068,-15.478180432919592,29.998178793459946];
std_x_f{173}=[0.8549195188956806,2.016238374411358,3.12891412454225];
pred_f{173}=[-13.023157296398068];
obs{173}=[-13.722111111752449];
sqrt_r{173}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{173}=[1.7358272429954353];
L_f{173}=[-0.07028413196884194,-0.06917754029819814,-0.03840157956788561,-0.06619058268257111,0.10108601200996177,0.027585933564077684,0.20804008047020398,-0.07174472495044902,0.003934917048644517,0.20826791791699165,0.12665852342072564,-0.0703147945501261,0.19909300221483667,-0.07336432223461066,-0.06603629262678545,0.02261947693836889,-0.02779919828429247,0.09490648513223532,0.02579225190425469,-0.016203219217600064,-0.010361928529619287,0.03210275270964954,-0.06400143754033767,-0.06725865432970032,0.20125462049374854,-0.07227600061735892,-0.07067797391641932,0.031182140931660607,-0.06062875237165268,-0.07435325337190106,-0.06534723477999661,-0.06506040758936166,0.012221656756599432,-0.057917300649446425,-0.06275141856644946,0.20036876605113935,-0.06953324422035391,-0.05983291519546185,0.024361540953663156,0.013234715866729812,0.03054998115495124,-0.03556047194649509,0.029956837057521883,-0.06203904553844241,-0.03461147325812496,-0.0715071287594699,-0.05461140298009938,0.1809371096076957,-0.027146073678210588,0.005776602379482827,-0.0568883444137629,-0.045481417263597966,-0.06608005942462056,-0.06933842763855265,-0.07296911122234835,-0.07219737563615744,0.11690324423551848,0.02431792067517176,-0.027261709991260104,-0.07302644278886854,0.1702201779907397,0.18468667742060263,-0.0717318150951433,-0.05054822437711822,0.20060787071409455,0.030178954711149668,-0.05738872472256313,-0.0521607000960094,-0.017298605738867764,-0.048309160198016184,0.004744596053025411,0.19490600025243476,-0.0705514667119508,-0.010925233649312777,0.05379634813131568,-0.07174538015040122,-0.07172798463264102,0.03298525560026239,0.17100308664762348,-0.04872858064657861,-0.06550675177151573,-0.06536907849953162,0.03348212874416773,0.0328953848491726,-0.06992860764195548,-0.06993520664563367,-0.06706914250575423,-0.02600695191349045,-0.062722152998572,-0.03894782088319696,-0.07059622211034385,-0.07009816745452359,0.07706519282815154,-0.026667455932411252,0.0343267943826488,-0.06443723566125302,-0.04201150881750836,0.11646223801765691,0.028770910071151495,0.16136346554569628;-0.19677279470760145,-0.2020802555177717,0.10343548812788574,-0.2163964311344659,-0.16116449735153698,0.3674049120540095,-0.002115622019769682,-0.1551141721411829,-0.2549990017206611,-0.001139416866822211,-0.12628890624660022,-0.10087653194097528,-0.01684518621622208,-0.14146928772459694,-0.05726142100214118,0.3502504708349782,0.15568411971906498,-0.16841684615000055,0.3635524123385624,0.20744022195144288,0.2261536183810755,0.3831511306398252,-0.04386248326794853,-0.21312581250179216,-0.013667413258021855,-0.1580444050540962,-0.10760405973414222,0.3797936802488252,-0.022318761167207518,-0.13924158649571805,-0.06128158558462385,-0.03951454766040942,0.31210578332412464,-0.24051519409142527,-0.03103814963720846,-0.014655756834584692,-0.07996669302639466,-0.2364366244816069,0.35613888897499646,0.3181635123952654,0.377621317839069,0.11779580301689795,0.374280063382981,-0.22975563360180415,0.12319258942654536,-0.1263093436989066,0.01891541462884846,-0.044886154697877635,0.15804352198220656,-0.25125597303574176,-0.2428699738101318,0.06935105298834351,-0.058960576081250715,-0.09437159951328936,-0.14488727541426397,-0.14543935655610352,0.05789910844850339,0.35601697523666914,0.1586701364552684,-0.1706153786252617,-0.06377241095458465,-0.03909926969195544,-0.11633325023829316,-0.25296486909230737,-0.014289812092078712,0.3770363981295044,-0.24293514188828078,0.03348967648072941,0.19937611894031965,0.05171608558677521,0.2846826926942861,-0.023127487938370286,-0.10468764404187025,0.2279528082044093,-0.2160497260243279,-0.12754433272210627,-0.12193130400914892,-0.23401070733498533,-0.062163238035328375,0.047541889133260164,-0.22025526802397777,-0.22498023802546166,0.38786656299406524,0.3854178182981782,-0.19472730361722831,-0.1982525563118238,-0.07128189471862602,0.16370787031756817,-0.036168050633512305,0.09915438244195308,-0.18763408373373097,-0.0992181502186189,-0.187829515089008,-0.2623321362792621,0.39084942510544085,-0.041658582265662464,-0.2581148088582512,0.03579925408275938,0.37081746329872645,-0.07754217769440766;-0.021847812147987516,-0.03269664051595668,0.23656356601977976,-0.05940215926920341,-0.504479765396491,0.3564917707462026,-0.6233382661133601,0.03230242092111119,-0.3230717599127528,-0.6231696648186927,-0.5392996565191361,0.0899178060731703,-0.6161100024510633,0.051964857645813725,0.12921341768890207,0.3505628201597297,0.265671284136844,-0.49603131585948107,0.355889666883474,0.2924396664027488,0.2992804943520992,0.3624885496006676,0.13979568172249127,-0.05161032404992579,-0.6184632982777789,0.029276773482457698,0.08415882744686604,0.360461551261473,0.1563315751356089,0.05623835725519305,0.12358163160420724,0.1482740197455655,0.334790152201375,-0.11328794145442087,0.15062222537977255,-0.6174117847951744,0.11337216118722145,-0.1019829715096152,0.35268635273023985,0.33896640533640104,0.35960016156483254,0.2447809315944965,0.35831755862563053,-0.08709431313076188,0.2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k{173}=[0.42390580397024596;0.21696748597106474;-1.0107559901271228];
x_a{173}=[-13.319447875433937,-15.629830685046915,30.704650549151594];
L_a{173}=[-0.13674557167893642,-0.13459257488750484,-0.07471453092303415,-0.12878111765971076,0.19667404453645382,0.053671492410111134,0.40476504353275067,-0.13958731727164897,0.007655817412166751,0.40520832654753813,0.2464282009039432,-0.1368052291306167,0.3873575107566645,-0.1427384233649918,-0.12848092924887383,0.044008700376167185,-0.054086422569562365,0.1846510898249313,0.050181685861867054,-0.03152515956136598,-0.020160280859799526,0.06245946487173884,-0.12452189305840845,-0.13085916947438636,0.391563178793263,-0.1406209729881755,-0.1375118348561847,0.060668312582467215,-0.11795996010760586,-0.14466249854286883,-0.12714029080688843,-0.12658223670480703,0.023778588327530614,-0.1126845301428834,-0.12208984254564628,0.38983965075378185,-0.13528463630764592,-0.11641157064083654,0.04739807907374191,0.025749607151818597,0.05943837564454113,-0.06918684103051836,0.05828434803661792,-0.12070384183347035,-0.06734045885962861,-0.13912504753801141,-0.10625253967727835,0.3520332086082722,-0.05281569623156285,0.011239020424901443,-0.11068258169819715,-0.0884891401552214,-0.12856608240681802,-0.13490559904696295,-0.14196949652059995,-0.14046799936950147,0.22744822360750078,0.04731321098542651,-0.05304067950007365,-0.14208104144004954,0.3311822298801804,0.35932840853123904,-0.13956219971673817,-0.09834717518982057,0.3903048553869044,0.0587165025596158,-0.1116561270699192,-0.10148442548830794,-0.033656355492284684,-0.09399082756738891,0.00923113769042785,0.37921123419422076,-0.13726570106308034,-0.02125625342806439,0.10466676009767101,-0.1395885920358029,-0.13955474712722768,0.06417647209519954,0.33270546547915497,-0.09480685655438602,-0.1274506488007449,-0.12718279018522233,0.06514319388875268,0.06400161858430412,-0.13605385968130607,-0.13606669877464353,-0.1304904532082892,-0.05059940853524998,-0.12203290313844568,-0.07577730396788061,-0.13735277765302364,-0.13638375709703685,0.14993887744825288,-0.05188449233913893,0.0667865845428886,-0.1253697866228846,-0.08173804853834778,0.2265901971129548,0.055976995591935357,0.3139505138076209;-0.23078971863943057,-0.2355615984638293,0.0848494492250803,-0.24843211192105663,-0.11223972464979515,0.3807562699971325,0.098574012950237,-0.18983801069170156,-0.25309453523338804,0.09966048949558942,-0.06498725485207729,-0.13490829630215734,0.07951413874070992,-0.17697699762804023,-0.08922242670996168,0.3611981058819813,0.14222954345963534,-0.12248291206070015,0.3760356435670075,0.199598001237666,0.22113853283181728,0.3986885907511714,-0.07483863636752033,-0.24567843090938463,0.08373811661748227,-0.19302537652269774,-0.14181159982920197,0.394885572065517,-0.051662563242225394,-0.17522793068443523,-0.09290909313713887,-0.07100323328467265,0.31802096156655435,-0.26854667652336983,-0.061409304152363495,0.08232102700188138,-0.11362019365475279,-0.26539524811127496,0.367929668234393,0.3245690026572427,0.3924072496839338,0.10058483611301562,0.38877891851397434,-0.25978200561163456,0.10644092984124773,-0.16091818770757602,-0.007516041361929571,0.042685872181512145,0.1449050524942589,-0.24846014646404288,-0.27040345014855405,0.04733843267095149,-0.09094276454812349,-0.1279308105679113,-0.18020370653877693,-0.1803822742004671,0.11447928743266693,0.36778664265113425,0.14547569997228832,-0.20595955774185368,0.018612711891356642,0.05028751621619227,-0.15105084052830695,-0.2774297810910457,0.08280269637388192,0.39164275632151324,-0.27071079805342335,0.00824433990627336,0.19100374043806234,0.028334861665635213,0.28697903695439,0.07120536357046439,-0.1388339557226253,0.2226650877534985,-0.19001274966948886,-0.16226848838384664,-0.15664704038778998,-0.21804612330734904,0.020600805962239944,0.023957669271293284,-0.251959980447839,-0.2566183177530184,0.4040716294103502,0.4013389056443042,-0.22857215678934456,-0.2321006033457671,-0.10374279101030491,0.15112072610509986,-0.06652504086195796,0.08030396737413181,-0.22180205664782585,-0.13314506890231592,-0.15053061519807492,-0.2752389588364565,0.40746330252880797,-0.07284565796061303,-0.2784480229091854,0.09216598979678157,0.38474233982382544,5.56371424441246E-4;0.13662205939018487,0.12327819501650436,0.323147738158144,0.08983797276221779,-0.7323987406870472,0.2942936724599792,-1.0924069435428458,0.19406549642554127,-0.33194383077347767,-1.0927520481148183,-0.824877060314846,0.24845681263771233,-1.0650056720898482,0.2173796446585884,0.2781056714064693,0.2995626085291305,0.32835023111350964,-0.7100172908689202,0.29773578873983597,0.3289731199147903,0.32264356987111453,0.29010636381547283,0.2840999407517112,0.10003799275909406,-1.0722327760063568,0.19223771804108541,0.24351669576454638,0.29015507198509755,0.2930314294372142,0.2238828906687062,0.27092026424964677,0.2949659421481623,0.30723394112003816,0.017298393421625514,0.29210806237455467,-1.0691839234972982,0.2701490035634879,0.032922506002471034,0.29775830343583687,0.3091260464318535,0.2907190150883439,0.324959248710173,0.29077377616417766,0.05278533397345421,0.3266848680655071,0.22673744748382216,0.30872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x_a{173}=[-13.31944787543394,-15.629830685046912,30.704650549151594];
std_x_a{173}=[1.6633407154078148,2.1418680249126227,4.628647242596115];
pred_a{173}=[-13.31944787543394];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.2 to 17.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{174}=[-11.245008674430427,-5.577818971524198,35.96613235657311];
std_x_f{174}=[1.588245632671067,4.069601737509355,2.1376971638378985];
pred_f{174}=[-11.245008674430427];
obs{174}=[-11.506944554623098];
sqrt_r{174}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{174}=[3.5243776045441404];
L_f{174}=[-0.04305130480509777,-0.04843710168424383,0.11589493052735583,-0.06301886885796747,-0.2627470183918751,0.22293936478234028,-0.24567874338698054,-0.011934138300581947,-0.19992022505642476,-0.2452596651006156,-0.2671322502170551,0.021433779993351155,-0.2512326169006093,-8.349047633568632E-4,0.04444753997263904,0.2155088428655095,0.13874745262134117,-0.2622963193468117,0.22124562228653175,0.15891235323859618,0.16591428679737336,0.22932727434808223,0.051734012474883594,-0.05864924902666671,-0.24988258605614674,-0.013742210420733057,0.017991755489162823,0.2273453408371841,0.061744231725350505,0.0011944244401408761,0.04109314554591709,0.05603151967364593,0.19980761218977733,-0.09271978883642659,0.05789283956194544,-0.2508619452934891,0.03525112896968195,-0.08650573798651601,0.21815873270807687,0.2030978567746953,0.22686546394929802,0.12248160161063076,0.2251135547522435,-0.07881298753784251,0.12479490941185725,0.006871118401536703,0.08124066582474047,-0.25893015566024763,0.13851002818075026,-0.19972077274275404,-0.09635287703272924,0.10219105007431845,0.043827861348143454,0.024921690265390237,-0.0033149203134415417,-0.005576391168393291,-0.09929642054434967,0.21805366978684856,0.14003785821843345,-0.020799994642423495,-0.26295819154194033,-0.25664447190620365,0.013488816653170721,-0.11253338253128471,-0.2505104007355227,0.2266564890530758,-0.09471742925430851,0.08711272172640928,0.1553828768591122,0.09411946976258057,0.188868878651777,-0.2532620199868495,0.019098374637755388,0.16705256646946043,-0.24321439867736278,0.0061730314120343995,0.009788508013942022,-0.2271270780929459,-0.2628185036798623,0.09190157347971205,-0.06623275004743771,-0.07046662998340399,0.23143302892079504,0.23020361010919613,-0.04213457471467231,-0.04446650134413496,0.03744515017875227,0.14173388035505285,0.0546179998250674,0.11455812815107938,-0.03585504784079085,0.02327056452974469,-0.25266981502532054,-0.15715836919761061,0.2325761942851529,0.05309822280133359,-0.13005503776109884,-0.11770185966206301,0.22421777154145844,-0.26618572100784005;0.19337955745013521,0.18428872322779463,0.2423876383078502,0.16101682148835808,-0.6320368545353063,0.17509673415449964,-0.988647231125739,0.22541489949037,-0.21246356678900527,-0.9884243163526196,-0.7289417375757403,0.25121883252052996,-0.9641649930071551,0.24115861737535224,0.25916535273259766,0.180119363424632,0.2348775615861119,-0.6086173031539092,0.17862241945845164,0.22439262715909866,0.2150662128209007,0.17085872645473266,0.25923647126323957,0.16843377583753352,-0.9711057381537955,0.22583539245510378,0.24934155733407645,0.1716249042004198,0.25833105831399134,0.24594159918860112,0.25397210680504007,0.26710518290718116,0.19034789825517304,0.10690158126617326,0.26128759189063655,-0.9677183627165664,0.2616169941142338,0.11842178156815483,0.17957824874890221,0.1918391084874708,0.1720386905533093,0.2414783312389547,0.17159837478376788,0.13304596180683778,0.2416596907245835,0.24208412743209065,0.25794748755431385,-0.9116274357236661,0.23396475427639704,-0.21963159064185872,0.09941940817421664,0.2509359822666861,0.25804846957618316,0.2513932179223589,0.23806719167372795,0.23268987137763325,-0.48865793662036106,0.1790653953713255,0.23640322634068522,0.22242392192593027,-0.877900375310298,-0.9223847437941671,0.24856722064165937,0.06284353673143107,-0.9682072841676855,0.17321403281540412,0.10238526648025391,0.2559945843498628,0.2233555045193903,0.2514444223650539,0.19849192551823175,-0.9530745762158138,0.25010653331804916,0.21731284488342772,-0.43747537416270504,0.24269207247625618,0.24555182002712117,-0.3461467917816904,-0.8822022069749892,0.25067137527145705,0.15576557800842286,0.15216472190813227,0.16984022825839032,0.17077619032659175,0.19269095639152695,0.1904000974336153,0.25681427587413463,0.23376736337443763,0.2581481132231867,0.24369380080395214,0.20062204838657108,0.252091123884371,-0.5342577974237718,-0.06332852710881909,0.16958566144008755,0.2615436729582463,0.016176350713879614,-0.5101176429873492,0.17412989238880583,-0.8528522717353044;0.23797806414913944,0.24134988024597723,-0.01737512441285324,0.2510707876580671,0.016166300772246008,-0.27855387466576526,-0.3844699399568409,0.20538909694642674,0.23326594992706218,-0.38618807598564875,-0.06623490709862141,0.16173964341368222,-0.34457406380010414,0.19488148609215858,0.12545168867659925,-0.26081923812800867,-0.06547704424808268,0.033821818041418664,-0.27331306140031236,-0.1142562849671538,-0.13465211843861488,-0.2954925088795716,0.113845295431033,0.24943574964729495,-0.3539347798175838,0.2070964327753418,0.16728445284683535,-0.2919839219397981,0.09474774297308042,0.19445662334302677,0.12776758830577237,0.1112892705760597,-0.22134040729189913,0.26640550329859647,0.10304864849304148,-0.3504061271430728,0.1455089614884976,0.2637842746856994,-0.2666609196927609,-0.22611919486644735,-0.28987646820451074,-0.030466199120787223,-0.2868417104400393,0.2597497527140992,-0.035056325446942885,0.18276509872985533,0.059006449111436994,-0.26927711012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k{174}=[0.7162619582218841;1.4452354045464728;-0.17234656221644445];
x_a{174}=[-11.432623380905802,-5.95637797929969,36.01127610504546];
L_a{174}=[0.034869043860136645,0.03923122494735181,-0.0938681285972856,0.05104160517719,0.21280974757683876,-0.18056787184359432,0.19898544114856836,0.009665955392521722,0.16192371236087133,0.19864601219945183,0.21636152937628278,-0.017360110641482393,0.20348375449858436,6.762241224585822E-4,-0.03599991284346873,-0.1745495828325027,-0.11237733752410901,0.21244470765897377,-0.17919603929074823,-0.12870972993919552,-0.13438088739823392,-0.1857417057106706,-0.041901530237335866,0.04750246818146977,0.20239030831986293,0.01113038826732678,-0.014572271714240371,-0.18413645525816413,-0.05000922350410959,-9.674140744268245E-4,-0.03328304916374769,-0.04538226021012765,-0.1618325025124329,0.07509761662919742,-0.04688982066890323,0.20318353213401488,-0.028551356752783582,0.07006459817329701,-0.17669583892307483,-0.16449740856490874,-0.18374778299080968,-0.09920294769126577,-0.18232883880531678,0.06383391935846765,-0.10107659197564095,-0.005565204817741167,-0.06580019706009319,0.20971831156578716,-0.11218503758639717,0.16176216762941922,0.07804020599409926,-0.08276878536635858,-0.03549800933010133,-0.020185114362195382,0.0026848919521844953,0.004516551335953031,0.08042430441517105,-0.17661074408971333,-0.11342249073296223,0.016846781503156407,0.2129807855015901,0.20786704114713261,-0.010925154106944897,0.09114547094396667,0.20289880156275783,-0.1835785255233525,0.07671558875950223,-0.07055621957117458,-0.12585106009778882,-0.07623127647586693,-0.1529727668728824,0.2051274525361783,-0.015468568627967746,-0.13530282748787342,0.19698946578486734,-0.004999795105646636,-0.007928120107129153,0.18395967517597306,0.21286764648730033,-0.07443490995190921,0.05364466133691035,0.057073856940948665,-0.18744724399544585,-0.18645148652286248,0.03412654599913874,0.0360152704475491,-0.030328385860623343,-0.11479616966179575,-0.044237391644113284,-0.09278539670561017,0.02904049578585111,-0.018847798897415134,0.20464780108609515,0.12728910525123338,-0.18837314121063203,-0.043006460968768756,0.10533698888927719,0.0953316357206005,-0.18160330669409613,0.21559489596852838;0.350603105808286,0.36118122470848435,-0.18086114118267627,0.391161998741926,0.32751637478292117,-0.6390787747755149,-0.091427414761455,0.26899842335123686,0.5176459459012869,-0.0927349756735777,0.24662637702991821,0.17294257677081804,-0.04666240693593096,0.24420769312416749,0.09684274760074162,-0.6069198478436498,-0.2718287258432671,0.34928997133374406,-0.6293675346689476,-0.3559559631386226,-0.3908534686310335,-0.6666454553938784,0.07030363754473874,0.38262108287175556,-0.05853347047176569,0.27602200339322785,0.1836355897216054,-0.6586412480320386,0.032840861293109765,0.24157955605019282,0.10389976439459654,0.06247783461024818,-0.5393503517668844,0.44551464467686136,0.04986269544056649,-0.05156947093198199,0.13287972110159543,0.4343411048303393,-0.6171383715013563,-0.5498751287607347,-0.6564749492424168,-0.20582499907805,-0.6505172851688575,0.420871327693054,-0.21409184952705804,0.21699077378881965,-0.0387437697669272,0.033986594655545634,-0.27187445808555666,0.5097495213501149,0.4513005251388397,-0.12226616749085853,0.09798893341810141,0.16037909901594471,0.2501732947654527,0.25305487565559914,-0.1260269862247014,-0.6172675346434995,-0.2750156278207478,0.2983855908769051,0.08242405925064045,0.014881959788277624,0.19930600482102034,0.4738159286348396,-0.053342234604834754,-0.6545364297700003,0.4482937211982427,-0.062141446113503265,-0.3441034230203491,-0.0922802817444572,-0.4912580230719718,-0.028160601437275355,0.18035918786556823,-0.3927638387750517,0.4507446448347435,0.22014813548943934,0.2098041471040483,0.4833222639799665,0.0776120869191806,-0.08495356217449704,0.39764786304298855,0.4095091544866258,-0.6753541782510564,-0.669928373450958,0.3465666025581905,0.35279194957486615,0.12006442806905361,-0.28384537084755307,0.058682945428664084,-0.17467297071949084,0.3315648356865483,0.16710692319109569,0.3884934423150644,0.5106145060069341,-0.67978358984487,0.06762873732199132,0.4911379020820508,-0.08026995060727209,-0.64471436346592,0.11925911417023338;0.21922891229902874,0.22025517524763727,0.03309794860903886,0.2236256185281331,-0.09826190920409371,-0.18146218319219115,-0.49146479381691427,0.20019169416825772,0.14619925881373275,-0.4930004182479037,-0.1825729169697719,0.17107420824595654,-0.45398766938755836,0.19451787908281404,0.14480891095089815,-0.16696359221391194,-0.005051534039027677,-0.08041010927002007,-0.17695900692502758,-0.045048815989905885,-0.06239525720409988,-0.19561883699924626,0.13637582871215803,0.2238935812769246,-0.4627604372947605,0.201111601627925,0.17511999133384692,-0.1929733963106924,0.12163779849469462,0.19497680374878007,0.1456639477617088,0.13569139904834807,-0.1343227598892444,0.22602537061099154,0.1282613951193059,-0.4596583025885161,0.16086108084777348,0.22611040568781895,-0.17165122775684663,-0.1376686223613858,-0.19107493240001283,0.02287541637353841,-0.18880314364918382,0.22542613168106274,0.019292752177451238,0.18575752004841334,0.0943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x_a{174}=[-11.4326233809058,-5.956377979299694,36.01127610504546];
std_x_a{174}=[1.286386251868494,3.5973219645627625,2.127920260928073];
pred_a{174}=[-11.4326233809058];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.3 to 17.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{175}=[-5.575220173457243,-0.6407607619754686,30.025284326396008];
std_x_f{175}=[2.082008929510715,2.2949973526024694,2.036668175145843];
pred_f{175}=[-5.575220173457243];
obs{175}=[-5.124846769503309];
sqrt_r{175}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{175}=[5.381495772983676];
L_f{175}=[0.2161818457255846,0.22216620365556428,-0.09584416788693255,0.24002644074977955,0.17142853187257837,-0.3520090204488462,-0.13487544291979217,0.16830809074453001,0.3082690013516046,-0.1357444717990751,0.11301320709619059,0.11040322053580953,-0.10222731387973985,0.15349557971456354,0.06625315443008435,-0.33573275380144496,-0.14776145625042905,0.18654958670148944,-0.34717869939288687,-0.19550739303518896,-0.21543598243853326,-0.36720462383846814,0.05101241588178702,0.23521598416987088,-0.110554337996235,0.17150922304522853,0.11749066621611541,-0.3631070005902417,0.02905257909912452,0.15234022441525383,0.07012180530022262,0.04643073011433728,-0.29891548539901897,0.2714825016658201,0.03852781940207552,-0.10621500895363492,0.08840297449196409,0.26501307330341956,-0.3407725467082072,-0.30393606661850103,-0.36221251091014633,-0.10967791143251748,-0.3587167868130236,0.2576165211767578,-0.11476120915790781,0.13673909362782857,-0.012996593582688341,-0.042746722792514395,-0.14814355867190965,0.303005203401005,0.2749120645657015,-0.06178568698325595,0.06721418942931305,0.10359142815008181,0.15713583109351942,0.15834870991221325,-0.12313611389082231,-0.3407050171978559,-0.14883597416099328,0.1853641622718895,-0.007080767778198164,-0.05629826169101802,0.1269246487873332,0.28795061998609545,-0.10721149696131213,-0.3605664095448364,0.2732368221654407,-0.02624142162625099,-0.18875919034371036,-0.044311440500153246,-0.27166936360810057,-0.08855955121305185,0.11537236570395236,-0.21667040307485652,0.2588736109176264,0.1391152988687496,0.13296980577666115,0.2828123009089711,-0.010618171356442736,-0.04005678859494895,0.24373397881464323,0.25051921340980654,-0.3718171911650204,-0.36922250779160276,0.21359498496687498,0.2173344744191072,0.07979049790600887,-0.15389048855534693,0.04388889590923966,-0.09144891513199398,0.20523294908794876,0.10830162614629923,0.21514844293030824,0.30767343091038796,-0.3741568491782575,0.04912994373952208,0.2975286702912891,-0.09529890368109838,-0.35544368092556944,0.020307015314984585;0.2634883093101737,0.26836083650429343,-0.0525989075249339,0.2839986976711537,0.04168406289699272,-0.26638300015479166,-0.4275129677155239,0.21505437629035212,0.2953428700739887,-0.4290140262949147,-0.05392336963241101,0.15729658274274222,-0.3810731452606803,0.20159702623317774,0.11110389596509512,-0.25541961018621195,-0.09953671641876545,0.06522005206669917,-0.2625349406550909,-0.1434439166318093,-0.16145202112893556,-0.2766892729077787,0.09535674354841059,0.280298865011869,-0.3931116508914957,0.21804175638068743,0.164147606386939,-0.2748961946940282,0.07275822860275785,0.201077051704414,0.11400429825839689,0.09245900450120718,-0.2280867702555602,0.31130106657644513,0.08312563512336689,-0.38694393197634963,0.1357734192502648,0.3055454510082964,-0.2591311233745475,-0.2315781808722477,-0.27369089900465426,-0.06533500847854054,-0.27191306806990445,0.298639020018557,-0.0694473154658135,0.18456255532177346,0.030802490529316925,-0.29393099823187313,-0.10099676517807302,0.2878710875697173,0.3134163260600242,-0.018665687809595467,0.11177416770699584,0.14968508684709725,0.20498272369680762,0.2055493076929658,-0.2801607082889729,-0.25941878171929467,-0.10055764271049704,0.23379344785876147,-0.24039760070422175,-0.313331973769866,0.17415342823945307,0.32195079981716407,-0.38892883396009187,-0.2723869131092601,0.31203657088278536,0.01682166185648592,-0.13756820205614664,-0.0016865415162210843,-0.20748004617165738,-0.36120487897802156,0.16145154102418305,-0.1614564622265726,0.1912224578212599,0.185898209699328,0.1797978528957412,0.23889918243976305,-0.2457577750914481,0.002197855670667494,0.2875115600252932,0.2948901291678196,-0.27922572500071696,-0.27802128648136554,0.2596329621888312,0.2639214572947335,0.12434918215581912,-0.10574678743865577,0.0877838688611514,-0.048209767262589576,0.25099173719665785,0.15453984922663555,0.11737462471885123,0.32267638525424325,-0.2813302193443761,0.09342211383306771,0.32555464089320607,-0.2556802332592076,-0.2686124507610097,-0.20071780190815966;-0.10133050040019113,-0.10523800415734655,0.09837581635558838,-0.11431247768885945,-0.2666179097650415,0.3754984672547031,-0.22275618081777113,-0.0785156316104897,-0.19720498268626177,-0.22195536108846864,-0.2749829339121337,-0.048089612895226105,-0.23854326484711838,-0.07000542615557262,-0.021248169757521043,0.35265233229482545,0.14612999200646126,-0.2658156250395172,0.3684818197995128,0.1929842975874271,0.21257830822482637,0.3951136807586873,-0.01062352439204451,-0.11165650127218067,-0.23372148394120054,-0.08090099851711836,-0.05113669204780862,0.38876040249111443,0.0038447437152996887,-0.06867670160432757,-0.024772641268166133,-0.006755477914085172,0.3061680812836513,-0.1330444609626721,-0.0032695236612480037,-0.23706780397436134,-0.032444619864374455,-0.12816296869653077,0.3597448724512813,0.31405522143519443,0.387848544273195,0.1114738921574024,0.3826392425293054,-0.12415574187170692,0.11526024025091397,-0.061800371956601464,0.033027786506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k{175}=[0.8141780571453339;0.7895278457918347;-0.6261353114605758];
x_a{175}=[-5.208536030436099,-0.28517841854978315,29.74328963483775];
L_a{175}=[-0.1175614126466763,-0.12081575423891586,0.05212082324912586,-0.13052829367974217,-0.09322420348130563,0.19142531404264715,0.07334634204726093,-0.09152728269749558,-0.16763914265066251,0.07381892688590162,-0.061457483764961456,-0.06003815224802774,0.0555920289719087,-0.08347212100858196,-0.03602899402101525,0.18257415036948937,0.08035385891552095,-0.10144715374999322,0.1887985469107002,0.10631848030967953,0.11715580623984423,0.19968880441348139,-0.02774095879075418,-0.12791232900837257,0.060120331128791865,-0.09326808398483706,-0.06389236176056474,0.19746048419566412,-0.015799024328147584,-0.08284382957809752,-0.038132797232629724,-0.02524940151258999,0.162552626042811,-0.14763435059760102,-0.020951735608981364,0.05776056937139411,-0.048074242906759566,-0.14411622383377592,0.1853148299653041,0.16528285816979008,0.19697405357038683,0.059643723370328666,0.19507305091356594,-0.14009391976931276,0.06240806123364328,-0.07435981017258549,0.007067651291658434,0.023246008935842596,0.08056164926116312,-0.16477664732464584,-0.1494993742674538,0.03359954957696665,-0.03655161252181019,-0.056333845196553524,-0.08545171875446432,-0.08611129193377678,0.06696240125178032,0.18527810687874902,0.0809381903289941,-0.10080251048653202,0.0038505780160869615,0.030615443918217362,-0.06902263675768137,-0.1565898447412751,0.05830246750106765,0.19607889051348953,-0.1485883640832301,0.014270294463833436,0.10264875384132778,0.024096914910328403,0.14773596761280716,0.04815939057703182,-0.06274041303987442,0.11782709403146845,-0.14077753520086841,-0.07565200954262757,-0.07231004136351686,-0.15379558582786526,0.005774246307307474,0.021783201255896008,-0.13254448246230985,-0.13623434717536723,0.20219715532989355,0.2007861458081363,-0.11615465712521483,-0.1181882213271778,-0.04339070941932454,0.08368687558722539,-0.02386713179025521,0.04973064973073673,-0.11160731529255905,-0.058895288450136155,-0.11699943996095907,-0.16731526669259977,0.20346948002590565,-0.026717255419317482,-0.16179846492166203,0.0518243042232641,0.19329310981546047,-0.011043116960420811;-0.06015047402191422,-0.06423693370748337,0.09088626709873784,-0.07533705039345184,-0.2149559953716986,0.26059821197065364,-0.22559534553300564,-0.036914171441683054,-0.16615658748487394,-0.2257954093492723,-0.22311175232156746,-0.007984474277694366,-0.22803197116809099,-0.028196194834670854,0.011918461500429365,0.2471949345288708,0.12167213561855836,-0.21405724371424187,0.2572149555177724,0.14924381855690222,0.16107015462704785,0.27304078094629525,0.01898772118485443,-0.07183530555871424,-0.22760436085473779,-0.038719102008173176,-0.01174383417059685,0.26869944117430633,0.02926456094189783,-0.026986524664871264,0.009027232879739305,0.022949074317248675,0.21940984394422294,-0.0951265233082647,0.025446894552550885,-0.22793290977887873,0.0034282123181601626,-0.09119696888892431,0.25102833076211867,0.2234345815593138,0.26856562556690383,0.09886021196324517,0.26511012208423185,-0.08703026317243041,0.10235794404117826,-0.020145077491287768,0.0502592664692451,-0.22993627513396533,0.12078411991957133,-0.16574810992974842,-0.09814555047374775,0.0738316469942755,0.011149999120850422,-0.0053982581840262295,-0.030260198863569166,-0.0315093761488167,-0.09581765233017747,0.2506395761921275,0.12225983500987748,-0.04370918771035569,-0.2297972144363476,-0.2290496842175744,-0.015861319624842843,-0.10913067235379542,-0.22842600209966185,0.2674052868502004,-0.09701735494686049,0.056106837443360334,0.14501701919843624,0.06465066937689774,0.1992272886261729,-0.22862526614869194,-0.01126866099485666,0.16291372436269255,-0.19632877337932322,-0.022366762401580975,-0.01926690213502593,-0.1844898799966457,-0.22986165741571676,0.062165566102356594,-0.07737462223253758,-0.08015400627812927,0.27740965280686636,0.274729675559082,-0.0601331163572078,-0.06144288882341197,0.004897432740460712,0.12463763876174823,0.022079235679855716,0.08869541795785107,-0.05625581043874112,-0.007594979446106828,-0.20471708502695685,-0.13793146324125363,0.27880778408968215,0.019871279054756573,-0.1198658176855265,-0.11301135587630749,0.2635106794293615,-0.23111877155290106;0.15533134057531595,0.15852876423799014,-0.015415147423357563,0.1706588526227404,-0.06308942920060148,-0.04242415212689935,-0.38288701588392715,0.12130810602379076,0.16878731022355944,-0.3831179504690033,-0.14080803272883027,0.08298658241265874,-0.3599126170713593,0.11223216155172928,0.05741087087276966,-0.04594629367785282,-0.029299759086503573,-0.04433467600181696,-0.04370600214540278,-0.03913180472594604,-0.043198006754137916,-0.04084991485578897,0.049940953299794005,0.16760361569683657,-0.36497709341527573,0.1227232826213861,0.08835407132898934,-0.042338290971268976,0.038337410810635415,0.11218919081974453,0.058479454116970406,0.04836939452367639,-0.04871925220681248,0.1892730696158874,0.04247262005724407,-0.36317154615387204,0.07251178896201688,0.18647373471553005,-0.044837246359305694,-0.046792795822374444,-0.04218816654556556,-0.01874118010334426,-0.04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x_a{175}=[-5.208536030436096,-0.28517841854978004,29.743289634837744];
std_x_a{175}=[1.132213068469082,1.5591902674089166,1.5195937879380679];
pred_a{175}=[-5.208536030436096];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.4 to 17.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{176}=[-2.1299077708943526,-0.6278652649349404,23.00258143013121];
std_x_f{176}=[1.2885092797316309,1.7337061527274173,1.028447282418306];
pred_f{176}=[-2.1299077708943526];
obs{176}=[-2.0376538846422654];
sqrt_r{176}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{176}=[2.6637777337810653];
L_f{176}=[-0.05934281613252714,-0.061768876940182404,0.0699738952731175,-0.06968627465752833,-0.17477808528935795,0.22693391256376544,-0.1598070865762318,-0.04154102433588967,-0.13388949653209714,-0.15933080699831398,-0.17949986141578442,-0.01926458225236307,-0.16586991524808536,-0.03501896217313763,-0.0016681070917900227,0.2145604178132189,0.09814567595222959,-0.17426672616495642,0.22384489003013586,0.12463611627822785,0.1358681494415136,0.2378923852880421,0.004459580400661416,-0.06747558591912237,-0.1646199549148049,-0.043366619647594425,-0.021922204534066594,0.23443243543275094,0.013338875269002895,-0.034016128790588365,-0.003996576595394039,0.007674223466743817,0.18960183483847298,-0.08372584429742035,0.010155348289747132,-0.1651549462093929,-0.009631339323171964,-0.08092686580371386,0.21815341680906564,0.19354411552238443,0.23392292879379936,0.07740453329450445,0.23099447029379538,-0.07814100148861639,0.08095196750271594,-0.028893219819973434,0.032278645506899684,-0.1744469692930608,0.097900692756195,-0.1336245096868117,-0.08567624959844092,0.05360902272875654,-0.002566499402337152,-0.016490721109650833,-0.03653125989559987,-0.03785377817471707,-0.06202876273181016,0.21796640071202272,0.0990949018068017,-0.04701826836741733,-0.1779145115495595,-0.17244774640563829,-0.02535180247984346,-0.09306414251123632,-0.1657898513230891,0.2326400117326549,-0.08511137215867971,0.03768537373109398,0.12030345849795969,0.045513104622102375,0.1718750659116114,-0.16845392642392704,-0.021561772359370145,0.1371092126594143,-0.15927606566519908,-0.030456881935402875,-0.027835110187768033,-0.1490952921197229,-0.17746126872983703,0.04353018773254407,-0.0712721171878482,-0.0732750674519646,0.2415846330445093,0.24034914163400692,-0.059115098400671084,-0.060041448807065294,-0.0073639321381093375,0.10159067482878228,0.006952686701931522,0.06803731536853055,-0.05595575596343934,-0.0183175041704825,-0.16577446808960314,-0.1126454382860114,0.24300795075710913,0.004876888804840713,-0.09995300723032163,-0.07934474401159934,0.2292991049433713,-0.18097539403669805;-0.015186581266869963,-0.017440564804103543,0.0808725769091636,-0.022834335939178798,-0.23426600522693414,0.26236816959722176,-0.3410412770377526,-0.00557691411688987,-0.09987310826540058,-0.3412214669404996,-0.2705899118993493,0.007222925415335021,-0.3396176571719194,-0.0022830594421400173,0.01880800923360762,0.2469290091836355,0.11033435600328755,-0.22651874544367917,0.25816071898107723,0.13931693115233368,0.1516544049054373,0.27616668862252874,0.0237827271228087,-0.02088466767092428,-0.34023268509643395,-0.007478516511201978,0.005559913991466817,0.27111770976763405,0.030256358856505787,-8.455673305768961E-4,0.01600921884385199,0.026683424497578247,0.2155019142474975,-0.032479873722571224,0.027701805433454466,-0.3407012365030626,0.014745088874482004,-0.029830371647997633,0.25064420876827426,0.22057129780151205,0.27090319371430965,0.08830242093550408,0.267563270552045,-0.02781852491005768,0.09274129308597093,0.0016068367765929923,0.04609832855514635,-0.3296054350105741,0.10977918321954133,-0.10167653262501702,-0.0333361569313661,0.06516552044158179,0.01811170647746088,0.008772118152212406,-0.0028567691336338205,-0.00473487079668896,-0.16021791130874866,0.2510207571151543,0.11134091902321903,-0.00843414419484442,-0.32066532816536525,-0.3318344513304147,0.003363469270750239,-0.039288624142714286,-0.3413987272427046,0.2693394062867625,-0.03332617805706675,0.05114340593113276,0.13442114904780542,0.057126062774628804,0.1934758419503018,-0.33728281291253265,0.005387056234901089,0.15362402924005258,-0.16543083599154196,4.907451492513368E-4,0.0015669225190967043,-0.13727728298574432,-0.3214626608088633,0.05557650931369638,-0.023479418152914933,-0.023724512465029914,0.2807239511317496,0.27846957177885195,-0.016499983487004006,-0.016388052405730727,0.014471391627795854,0.11458525066211388,0.025445388552084624,0.07937304697763854,-0.015132917599768285,0.0077725408467944485,-0.1998933494905882,-0.06300300628426295,0.28243408308557866,0.023887025374535766,-0.047389678514130576,-0.17869203237398268,0.2649566684654003,-0.3136937791195786;0.11857609486919059,0.12160816079184698,-0.04693820446905832,0.1345581008170817,0.033103957101606754,-0.07875516602376169,-0.20681076657645564,0.0863757701756731,0.17087524756011852,-0.20682812116272817,-0.018743108935827372,0.049458149117301016,-0.18636617321697146,0.07684314299397571,0.02496144783246239,-0.08142899845196103,-0.0612574515860683,0.046172340082818814,-0.07970628367276711,-0.07263859349554201,-0.07741299174726587,-0.07671587820695182,0.017271691240056355,0.13132120661543462,-0.19067001682107876,0.08814756142272265,0.054786665935903964,-0.07794901832390562,0.0062318240825793,0.07603255610171647,0.02666622749342085,0.015534060419863552,-0.0839008193362023,0.15436911831752684,0.009964915337321448,-0.1889260592500793,0.03838328178394043,0.15119372772856046,-0.08063342916652322,-0.08266146916831486,-0.07765652478880548,-0.05060707426438481,-0.078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k{176}=[0.6245933032180715;0.7928963510792453;-0.13643716655710764];
x_a{176}=[-2.072286611345457,-0.5547174951527808,22.989994571287095];
L_a{176}=[0.0728377986893661,0.075815563147353,-0.08588646157323944,0.08553343396412821,0.2145238770466986,-0.27854031399850565,0.19614836571251804,0.0509877515952449,0.16433692956610518,0.19556377673819667,0.22031941897353977,0.023645486604455764,0.20358992516433744,0.04298252565872787,0.0020474466239141643,-0.26335299768187703,-0.12046470749341247,0.21389623118510065,-0.27474882555702435,-0.15297926418968819,-0.16676554235674795,-0.2919908221181612,-0.005473721010088293,0.08282001873062685,0.20205571487472354,0.05322850039127842,0.026907471278637487,-0.2877440548182714,-0.016372231297827684,0.04175164076317499,0.0049054268144578745,-0.009419396995241493,-0.23271865369950695,0.10276570256479672,-0.01246474742110451,0.20271236703172185,0.011821575052378594,0.09933021626085779,-0.2677630704523724,-0.23755743732228696,-0.28711868271061863,-0.09500688004354975,-0.2835242717170944,0.09591082639392273,-0.09936102626647988,0.03546374550265547,-0.03961904130310171,0.21411746289494568,-0.1201640133592615,0.16401168280920855,0.10515964403803488,-0.06580009948854657,0.003150139797651995,0.020240829517506633,0.04483873074378977,0.04646199917719592,0.07613454883435494,-0.26753352555181287,-0.12162979412414582,0.05771056025417318,0.21837354916260224,0.21166360236557563,0.03111698442681851,0.11422759685508738,0.20349165412782072,-0.2855440210965472,0.10446630941182493,-0.04625529835370233,-0.14766132891536082,-0.055863111463894145,-0.21096069021452282,0.2067615590385486,0.026465074238984473,-0.1682888322630501,0.19549658683280877,0.037382995612516845,0.03416501414131027,0.18300063227023178,0.21781723567072775,-0.05342926503340395,0.08747990847451398,0.0899383440128059,-0.2965227135301938,-0.2950062625003057,0.07255829630993899,0.07369530545129942,0.009038543190129481,-0.124693123854629,-0.008533777588420501,-0.08350948949087043,0.06868049671377659,0.022483036165348323,0.20347277263656569,0.13826181991141856,-0.29826970391214375,-0.005985928342263215,0.12268303888342741,0.09738830861126554,-0.28144336811077797,0.2221304983089339;0.15261145088573924,0.15721740855011906,-0.11698594572414461,0.1742109092589197,0.259937348881839,-0.3793112524216474,0.11083000914536537,0.11188468597972633,0.2787134757250939,0.1093030888186587,0.2369647590817157,0.06169555079545674,0.1293969125072749,0.09673672633203582,0.023524756864813257,-0.35976305960016747,-0.16718282909782387,0.26623868714687254,-0.3747841680730113,-0.2131047503520449,-0.23252702756295324,-0.3964989635480266,0.011172796145044243,0.16990962342384955,0.12524749073591465,0.11514514566428449,0.06754724491031586,-0.3917645715603919,-0.007460708973056909,0.0953386019505611,0.027309958036219217,0.004983753333621663,-0.32061714534295777,0.20426372607639887,-0.0010135062065993827,0.12629168328552454,0.04197871024177772,0.19899882310769731,-0.3662074412474499,-0.3266949736010062,-0.3905384041922582,-0.13056700948557357,-0.3855978040230409,0.1931333465168359,-0.13615887935448426,0.08330544402699738,-0.045172924641087214,0.16366165391542029,-0.16704528621884762,0.2761607732879775,0.20892241827221544,-0.08641960992062911,0.025368752524471388,0.055401360431467386,0.10043919695007325,0.10230065433029187,0.015174916359128187,-0.36530208528559943,-0.16886030166713514,0.12451493745400312,0.18240659991330943,0.1557796253489955,0.07504834782688702,0.22385999257411074,0.1273894532973088,-0.38847460917083165,0.20733514698252428,-0.055415937981552255,-0.20574948849034,-0.07156701063276162,-0.2925189206113679,0.1390383191886106,0.0663552274040093,-0.23406663954896767,0.2849389329109637,0.08661077091364545,0.0802736138872269,0.2843052817013908,0.18032767569406122,-0.06750965876505279,0.17804996300693693,0.18346842048966286,-0.4023819185433383,-0.40114281644498934,0.15065415291238757,0.15338543685567485,0.03529368153935961,-0.17267302982217814,0.0057859382126819936,-0.11300959300847152,0.14308784693739465,0.05956720369006053,0.2688513333444746,0.2555137764910733,-0.4046963665954338,0.010097111147145187,0.23523792519661418,0.04566354719719353,-0.383410582895337,0.19803311499315168;0.08970234859756442,0.09155399423070548,-0.012891817232543273,0.10065165781001592,-0.05193579020690507,0.031661437683759945,-0.28456624855265983,0.06616363541854796,0.10573018699086485,-0.2843518653047109,-0.10608027612952575,0.04008480460427028,-0.26707157547280147,0.05980437243369845,0.02414981629791086,0.022967177321660048,-0.013503847531058853,-0.03861860114310529,0.029207330141855573,-0.011995842911180592,-0.011305200964156149,0.03903266256703269,0.019441537589765273,0.09849039280627744,-0.2707672403643899,0.0670471679131463,0.044120232950692576,0.03611605474926894,0.012721966026735301,0.05948172255770379,0.02472165953909895,0.01926801838902507,0.008351547985478384,0.11363160462719946,0.01490608545576188,-0.26928358730713253,0.03369707263518417,0.11181808056419204,0.025510950486209473,0.011509047975318574,0.036160643544156656,-0.012945247605738418,0.03392497747728691,0.1084185095242886,-0.013998075726512703,0.0519242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x_a{176}=[-2.0722866113454557,-0.554717495152779,22.989994571287113];
std_x_a{176}=[1.5815255433257052,2.0834573980347226,1.0506811613852327];
pred_a{176}=[-2.0722866113454557];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.5 to 17.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{177}=[-1.4744605546203766,-1.557676027766004,18.17027627416975];
std_x_f{177}=[2.2064234522957813,3.0930059651205717,1.2595254027134963];
pred_f{177}=[-1.4744605546203766];
obs{177}=[-1.5199116114579214];
sqrt_r{177}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{177}=[5.8882644296106506];
L_f{177}=[0.14127978896436433,0.14611630049774038,-0.13065921355148885,0.1619438267850754,0.29110970638878747,-0.3943993388114586,0.17909923854520104,0.10187855488563259,0.2737923755294866,0.17726945862673005,0.27962982082402316,0.05190496724440913,0.19661625456214024,0.08687409500967709,0.013689579628679529,-0.3763345089132531,-0.18248361931856288,0.2946848557324553,-0.39037143967365506,-0.22984734352244712,-0.24929356814942072,-0.410937545366356,0.0015631933077536989,0.15806750683041376,0.19310694350174507,0.10514012999437578,0.058337355720018816,-0.4066733473057351,-0.017464785157635415,0.08540450660462473,0.018416260471558046,-0.004061957673105791,-0.33801477525404766,0.19256476886578724,-0.010119916770416022,0.19453770393658149,0.03221736825250474,0.1870618113004663,-0.3820913051251479,-0.3441102558902594,-0.4049780264335187,-0.14358048980135912,-0.40116034032331005,0.1800761488356697,-0.15049146516378456,0.07358596660531157,-0.05577571595655557,0.22693121594764584,-0.18210650416099208,0.2717901532255542,0.1962459771685512,-0.09825911597232448,0.016089130173503344,0.04623164711452507,0.09090369214194982,0.09273895054277018,0.041146450344508416,-0.38108189925874164,-0.1838108403001806,0.11393266553254171,0.2420889158575435,0.22017093181596686,0.06564154189090776,0.2112172470085042,0.19610395015434903,-0.403055446492048,0.19447962191320403,-0.06684546739129008,-0.22240792015507435,-0.08385123266442555,-0.3102582234785147,0.2057032645334103,0.05712586343982195,-0.25124899700859893,0.29512091915220023,0.07726199538917522,0.07096592835615705,0.2893304554999256,0.24128229607500068,-0.07887833714129444,0.16664624280231707,0.17111606272561244,-0.4166740468613714,-0.41521546071606946,0.13955262663839002,0.14214808331158882,0.02614026050384283,-0.18849199825822663,-0.0037328203623713213,-0.1262012227444304,0.132594199387833,0.049757707487591084,0.2897938943236195,0.24446923546512186,-0.41955165982743314,7.788341678376985E-5,0.2228916983044172,0.07437602125019314,-0.39847394829917804,0.254958882907848;0.21158714049692098,0.2188549052868803,-0.19704513570611878,0.24356352501225162,0.4119131394454845,-0.5432913305563145,0.22020473526451564,0.15140312554792745,0.4015146890370393,0.2174443668513237,0.3903724411058391,0.0757606931695623,0.2493071845467147,0.12872404486940903,0.01789586843036084,-0.5222619469473093,-0.2715558949225828,0.4181882369427642,-0.5385246256013961,-0.33675757620083063,-0.3639036093837904,-0.5609713914754989,-0.0014254970737496184,0.23657285411357862,0.243195413451395,0.1564724532864935,0.08520590319368201,-0.5560085960179267,-0.02958012732182594,0.1268614092265792,0.024303776481811406,-0.010150539782661921,-0.47735225111787083,0.2875821701690738,-0.018923893936477528,0.2453684334104824,0.04647431701176966,0.2796731954216059,-0.5295687946459335,-0.48404106018894344,-0.5551379303498304,-0.2164154556547928,-0.5505731671618236,0.2698318901902342,-0.2259538677858328,0.10828636213179728,-0.08717990216758705,0.2996293231295661,-0.2710194839749105,0.3982177973153334,0.29360485814527015,-0.15041547795174745,0.021074057149588616,0.06677065531767727,0.13468312906447646,0.1374185087929715,0.022906262021688585,-0.5278886789535872,-0.2731659161048178,0.1699249568077721,0.32513699745660657,0.28759558304290256,0.0970575665732183,0.3152997848524183,0.24724835536619172,-0.5521169781532408,0.2905010095427262,-0.1033315239705457,-0.32642325276609857,-0.12819149022727344,-0.44264297938370106,0.2642914794312792,0.08341452311387035,-0.3662879970545916,0.42564767692014155,0.1137529052313342,0.10452120948105596,0.4187044259551567,0.3230160857443203,-0.12134091457101312,0.2493239591254495,0.2563646993550876,-0.5676959385010888,-0.5659309272638766,0.209157118181742,0.21337107227924926,0.03709188669761055,-0.278974672866966,-0.00935939241787749,-0.19150016496685493,0.1984641543121859,0.07317746064333085,0.41353081047192247,0.36253324664985986,-0.5691283493679203,-0.0025646457497416454,0.3317396455662147,0.07451221197892892,-0.5480374557909626,0.3463931442232757;0.008645516819805115,0.009606008416063136,-0.0054572892121631,0.016939646243181474,-0.08000611004053165,0.2124378952065038,-0.27365618457638724,-0.008373425064671595,0.03532223958130683,-0.2737034430953978,-0.12324101740248555,-0.02215129708176155,-0.2592593304653497,-0.01123405102381135,-0.026879407971436297,0.1892713881038723,0.02035150369480533,-0.06910147027107956,0.20681959984098758,0.05026045149242734,0.0629773782307235,0.233818773465844,-0.0275925893039152,0.015469206362807906,-0.2622430730516875,-0.007635143540901616,-0.020420489414155325,0.22717949536259915,-0.027752351998018586,-0.011472877259318327,-0.02728106815074194,-0.026114540251334292,0.14508435276395343,0.029155235092561422,-0.028178163533156362,-0.2610262025890477,-0.023720968172134264,0.02678777813563051,0.1956377998191118,0.15206705536494053,0.22617642285629347,3.798505059892274E-4,0.21984653745542532,0.024064236237007854,0.0028446986425004067,-0.01582536996803381,-0.024296026796281015,-0.2270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k{177}=[0.8301706704999103;1.162828087918557;-0.3521418154673721];
x_a{177}=[-1.5121926889501307,-1.610527793282284,18.186281491839434];
L_a{177}=[-0.0716476815031032,-0.07410043741723221,0.06626163435411374,-0.08212710259510303,-0.14763141761959125,0.2000130267700609,-0.09082718267629622,-0.051666004783482315,-0.1388492229759965,-0.08989924040103957,-0.14180958570247398,-0.026322735819590392,-0.09971064430705369,-0.04405674396706307,-0.006942441295650551,0.19085175049379996,0.09254351476818684,-0.14944449480054434,0.1979703451050656,0.11656323515024862,0.12642506265384618,0.208400101556651,-7.927473353599905E-4,-0.0801612917770689,-0.09793095591005341,-0.05332005803697797,-0.029584814027542428,0.20623758484599447,0.0088569736242317,-0.04331146679219106,-0.009339498412453066,0.002059953881408899,0.17141853861951728,-0.09765600111346914,0.0051321464939870325,-0.09865654212938357,-0.016338499344770913,-0.0948652682432166,0.19377121338719477,0.17450975965285104,0.20537783122667957,0.07281444344415154,0.2034417555819742,-0.09132260638737118,0.07631922898547021,-0.03731789194394395,0.02828572127518416,-0.11508436983459834,0.09235226712478574,-0.13783382942974218,-0.09952286432126686,0.04983046688820683,-0.008159333212367025,-0.023445606424715465,-0.046100286741548126,-0.04703100733747874,-0.020866733953079655,0.19325931008840194,0.09321659268592881,-0.05777904534479564,-0.12277134377067844,-0.11165600483003861,-0.03328900985234805,-0.10711529336616436,-0.09945083769698493,0.20440282697221113,-0.09862708680288225,0.03389956052939232,0.11279045604362999,0.04252374989814549,0.15734226772602483,-0.10431896939735577,-0.02897042598469994,0.12741672568740084,-0.14966563706896133,-0.03918212844537995,-0.035989183376516264,-0.14672910029640032,-0.12236228004190774,0.040001829125179154,-0.08451185421151004,-0.08677864860997331,0.21130927232389116,0.210569574760995,-0.07077178002319114,-0.0720880224555986,-0.013256595813997882,0.09559056363324137,0.001893037400409351,0.06400083889406072,-0.06724293005062942,-0.025233788955437455,-0.1469641255429669,-0.12397848303928538,0.2127686056000304,-3.949727190987409E-5,-0.1130357960389424,-0.03771855494026841,0.20207939680759862,-0.12929813225850847;-0.08666242690820339,-0.08960480953673217,0.07878380065401916,-0.0983089865241441,-0.20263579663615564,0.28930781931256705,-0.15788381377887856,-0.06366822432621022,-0.17647638922743877,-0.1567814140415023,-0.19994181194966096,-0.03381360716243315,-0.16576076889399607,-0.054672047701789225,-0.011003602839669998,0.27220133266099333,0.1136772719673457,-0.203908040149037,0.28557140301987144,0.14846307197042422,0.1623691108861897,0.3065408410558918,-0.004725485920177826,-0.0971165283420306,-0.164464187291982,-0.06548426478059466,-0.03794753039081425,0.30250167497152913,0.007289014798722265,-0.05343229970373561,-0.014573983452043844,-0.0015755190546276597,0.2362159190716296,-0.1189328694745323,0.0024398186021486763,-0.16531158294845,-0.021538356383890542,-0.11522479180893584,0.2770474050114649,0.24239501188661508,0.29979342308561485,0.08669102040225088,0.2962988365307831,-0.11031897133013717,0.09174206531457323,-0.04705774524549997,0.030565766039418435,-0.1794352159898694,0.11341757164225996,-0.17554647724017675,-0.12068141892639028,0.057015033143846566,-0.012891000056028284,-0.030826947661552927,-0.057219669316003724,-0.05835862312193469,-0.06395620504075535,0.27659660824139426,0.11486908880115075,-0.07059329748381926,-0.18592629728189317,-0.17719761668263323,-0.04151541415020812,-0.13059168349255096,-0.16673809470363,0.29875570107233607,-0.12005639240353405,0.0377830110849558,0.1430923549508409,0.04882317019849665,0.2123295514691721,-0.1699596622970425,-0.037181382241485525,0.16411274333501433,-0.19736915453582973,-0.04935150531878782,-0.04529185003636471,-0.19208841159463924,-0.18634438934129605,0.04517568417589308,-0.10247561666537411,-0.10487091727550486,0.3119263707925116,0.3106122247769536,-0.08544631257258252,-0.08671151324784714,-0.018091671009252314,0.11894251933682262,-0.0014791990339596578,0.07491770248209895,-0.08144964579849347,-0.0318638537727601,-0.19824037245691736,-0.15355503643587817,0.3165687624758431,-0.0027290620157487283,-0.13879724498827167,-0.08249974511551235,0.29316342349700564,-0.1918393736108201;0.09896509648905265,0.10301754973079481,-0.08898717932872892,0.12046965908137203,0.10609911075156175,-0.039699956671694875,-0.15915878857188845,0.0567571100389847,0.21035656300251113,-0.16037581775898224,0.055525160441843205,0.011031331931391782,-0.13356337920176486,0.04430419547936997,-0.018127716827397916,-0.0513176933864129,-0.09630951281855381,0.11928932858098863,-0.042743232922706154,-0.09667999630422755,-0.09639495984080343,-0.02889188486592559,-0.02659324634387096,0.11652110402589089,-0.13879060970825705,0.059580502922566156,0.016874338715694884,-0.032805078939140836,-0.03891751628665757,0.043125867507598496,-0.015507629663443222,-0.028711332845367275,-0.0710070828669517,0.1522610884531626,-0.034647784104449235,-0.13665906006872236,-0.0031245390583451447,0.1463756136829206,-0.04863157747223074,-0.06792119560650504,-0.032724339884673895,-0.09141055760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x_a{177}=[-1.5121926889501307,-1.610527793282284,18.186281491839438];
std_x_a{177}=[1.118950742564746,1.5747413175668155,0.9609106959281912];
pred_a{177}=[-1.5121926889501307];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.6 to 17.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{178}=[-2.157706265621825,-3.3584736052832826,14.600504917258723];
std_x_f{178}=[1.864143651496446,2.9958550452385055,1.0717679139274263];
pred_f{178}=[-2.157706265621825];
obs{178}=[-2.3197324728362214];
sqrt_r{178}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{178}=[4.486057863400887];
L_f{178}=[-0.10500623784511089,-0.10798791706975268,0.09550973595395555,-0.1172703921965198,-0.23198589186463164,0.34189820265674703,-0.19170677475216485,-0.0793577139658363,-0.19706363789788856,-0.19043859852675993,-0.2329917981054866,-0.044472742626777514,-0.20120819991779948,-0.06909004587754704,-0.016864349628794253,0.32380684066766724,0.13954290106527573,-0.2330802685514668,0.3383170481272806,0.1817384432426676,0.19907095356848434,0.36018604402474097,-0.008842446341334726,-0.11583214624676295,-0.19933719648967882,-0.08085111390625363,-0.04925750658381069,0.3556952710000696,0.004981708865954553,-0.06766467956121018,-0.020393078679781945,-0.00472153296235085,0.2846281172621067,-0.13866523909039413,0.001238310738037666,-0.20035284322029667,-0.030034454052922262,-0.1344166179991351,0.3298225116168131,0.2916104034013279,0.35355978413048683,0.10557506748480834,0.3499832074386039,-0.12994663983982252,0.11178296870430374,-0.05990446223245024,0.035165000266089416,-0.21631992582035092,0.1391377802403806,-0.1965987688443713,-0.14050200636691326,0.06829705648226574,-0.019253865046050072,-0.04097208918933034,-0.0710366474564098,-0.07295417024486281,-0.07368837696674456,0.3287275202486296,0.14059921182217422,-0.08707752399214568,-0.2221267876400575,-0.21286104434888184,-0.05384997340585978,-0.1505416136237992,-0.201709502850571,0.3521808210879596,-0.13955702776946424,0.043888460331689465,0.1754778746176481,0.0570726636679714,0.2573714175462985,-0.20539605213479534,-0.04838539810695932,0.2006000410554101,-0.22138313413111124,-0.062238947101951624,-0.058196853434354594,-0.21417800743033927,-0.22200629397888064,0.05322853035099631,-0.12190082010606416,-0.12413021593728275,0.36654417315367394,0.3649575562292826,-0.10369653162289104,-0.10486263198286974,-0.025875739521326102,0.14513507003522821,-0.004401450608436543,0.09135995752325098,-0.09895004840851912,-0.042188510500557705,-0.22472177544156738,-0.17322361460192254,0.3707200967338392,-0.007218129247894607,-0.15882749593746143,-0.09896704142549204,0.3468669743114137,-0.22773518439430956;-0.15929342695330603,-0.16375972463429928,0.14260756772502803,-0.17604713807810668,-0.35432430065367015,0.5558280881756011,-0.3372876266238097,-0.12567973670122845,-0.28267144082915846,-0.3354386674079944,-0.36501371638083513,-0.0761595977053155,-0.34768772068705683,-0.11074080085985476,-0.03526615562153026,0.5260820389478547,0.21404802752773588,-0.3525437117182861,0.5497766475456306,0.2862102713291915,0.3153965919816995,0.585612125155516,-0.023275107294071545,-0.1744209290334042,-0.34596446719118773,-0.12797763300508364,-0.08249339794576137,0.5797810353830098,-5.633799619293575E-4,-0.10888425875759224,-0.04084330273219262,-0.016915130922614034,0.4593505634932169,-0.20463081931114377,-0.009462982994557233,-0.3474164607382703,-0.0545401331766419,-0.19969425732662408,0.5347008217859274,0.47085156410618184,0.5751740401117355,0.1588147713847616,0.5693419542300584,-0.19273731993061696,0.16856398207368678,-0.09796724219957562,0.04506310899051515,-0.3620885900415396,0.21427964601452823,-0.28316735214261507,-0.20646452613363275,0.09810591983969827,-0.038644480089853536,-0.0707791823172173,-0.11441678617450328,-0.117693189460372,-0.14698107785923697,0.5339256728794131,0.2167857709704661,-0.13573278925612214,-0.3665062730316389,-0.359934011046132,-0.08922826027737396,-0.21934754148133878,-0.3495303915450089,0.5726505543077292,-0.2059299391327479,0.059061016345373675,0.27544968924876984,0.08051130229310378,0.4138416773080295,-0.35217314047241316,-0.08176977457185045,0.3178208463716613,-0.32445790277903147,-0.10152546171523552,-0.09541384226993109,-0.3110419841859854,-0.36661704823903635,0.07351289447191472,-0.1822211785886155,-0.18500603885298672,0.5968709744616105,0.5942681983792074,-0.15829662693503088,-0.15966293347087634,-0.04791734311429463,0.2249676656978715,-0.016504927501291136,0.1358283883730111,-0.15161567702222864,-0.07253750058947234,-0.3365674634444138,-0.24928652180723918,0.6044420871843393,-0.019823785950685364,-0.2302110282170534,-0.1844449763478164,0.5640762708846064,-0.37036164153814893;0.09318332391068367,0.09866127268940096,-0.12326703403761251,0.11716656725786037,0.181125407338592,-0.08470483452592598,-0.05249590068219125,0.04821094426314097,0.23612202257648932,-0.05435128128015886,0.14237640467280172,-0.0030443318832442906,-0.02635299847994239,0.03374746126711215,-0.036741414636807086,-0.097490262718474,-0.1363335063455367,0.19182727772110295,-0.08758993421341495,-0.14058739536760942,-0.14117014512587941,-0.07248298557296223,-0.04623975331270833,0.1129764341158846,-0.031458919297959076,0.051192143411761384,0.0033521977427411237,-0.07649506829307995,-0.06075691990925966,0.032419318263642964,-0.03325637730874915,-0.049376479972280944,-0.11805248094553802,0.15424296144466496,-0.05512225564255378,-0.02937205150126331,-0.019938284684898343,0.146656106353654,-0.09403531500084511,-0.11445863400064456,-0.07705525732199396,-0.12704908788502506,-0.08075226625386629,0.13859515065794606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k{178}=[0.7770871374267343;1.247207631977579;-0.31675805319704137];
x_a{178}=[-2.283614747174171,-3.5605539275014584,14.651828023222857];
L_a{178}=[0.06659773861103771,0.0684887985870907,-0.060574805463015476,0.07437599028962168,0.14713160003540177,-0.21684090011589402,0.12158551660275606,0.05033076510427816,0.12498298116176859,0.12078120563508955,0.14776957242895106,0.028205791861078224,0.12761157222191516,0.043818737918832035,0.010695817424487351,-0.20536687893780395,-0.0885018056153868,0.14782568273017807,-0.21456963701597323,-0.1152633366077268,-0.12625607395209767,-0.2284395337226161,0.005608113786449033,0.0734638165960781,0.12642493226791388,0.051277918920229155,0.031240415954515627,-0.22559136646897457,-0.0031595317735361645,0.042914732830101984,0.012933830896729651,0.0029945213210462057,-0.18051869435350945,0.08794516913367396,-7.853694841703223E-4,0.12706908233818548,0.01904864664604171,0.08525058105300795,-0.20918217686355342,-0.18494704524722683,-0.22423698410782802,-0.06695850544200087,-0.2219686243938107,0.08241560245402184,-0.0708957208991333,0.0379929973615109,-0.02230257500923427,0.13719582923628668,-0.0882448672529053,0.12468814888942142,0.08911009561310233,-0.043315803030847776,0.01221131142209315,0.025985584686921293,0.04505332422331581,0.0462694679883601,0.04673512134718708,-0.20848770432157726,-0.08917174588868494,0.055226873190898446,0.14087869487889407,0.13500211494987216,0.0341530801092475,0.09547748057586809,0.1279295118259499,-0.2233624092049926,0.08851076514552816,-0.02783522454658468,-0.11129271808637264,-0.03619699567183545,-0.1632317731160252,0.13026761907220344,0.03068730164841632,-0.12722586175573167,0.1404070501173795,0.03947358952747156,0.036909986611680684,0.1358373678344544,0.14080227460600356,-0.03375894445617806,0.07731273037197714,0.07872667228509493,-0.2324720277008167,-0.23146575320346446,0.06576708821888345,0.06650665996777932,0.016411079687955916,-0.09204850736351504,0.0027915166103029683,-0.057942906016913605,0.06275674278684654,0.026757071316558505,0.14252450490742488,0.10986300664856218,-0.23512050909352927,0.004577928842865854,0.1007326067075274,0.06276752020851013,-0.21999222676720726,0.1444356887178467;0.11612715177682165,0.11948149251209061,-0.10790466174463141,0.13154105810426248,0.25415087097211175,-0.34093578771347144,0.16553955709654958,0.08246739775196706,0.23420624482375818,0.1640622203027129,0.2460998440177466,0.040487839278861314,0.18006072553715644,0.07047529458919304,0.008967301647180013,-0.3232300522539285,-0.15195867224346768,0.258801897575032,-0.3375942277630148,-0.1904710024941845,-0.20674607654304478,-0.3591188806551834,-8.227857552639962E-5,0.1293948957168733,0.1768765291752445,0.08408653613391778,0.0467039835481593,-0.35317113394346994,-0.01362989074341323,0.06859324721520949,0.012645648470491294,-0.004531034818702614,-0.2871997594964365,0.15907386322744688,-0.01271094489774574,0.17808847270535533,0.02423715555263339,0.15286672838239684,-0.33038975656352065,-0.29401257841255707,-0.3521769664499318,-0.11809778907692133,-0.3486280589490622,0.14809937209058663,-0.12463126579457566,0.05915601062008222,-0.04717107559780884,0.2052963613951643,-0.15066446343501416,0.23249102972053717,0.162057808352813,-0.08103024585796272,0.011856430737910031,0.03668640018420499,0.07190504531851358,0.07365810739548294,0.04629596783209671,-0.32829285555644344,-0.15199152344305747,0.09266261414533339,0.21610948064891383,0.1983786494849959,0.052014690088306725,0.1755076518681526,0.179532920792841,-0.3510835737997211,0.16011381353286477,-0.05605390817899778,-0.1848107559717763,-0.06918443369058899,-0.261217121329761,0.18655961206455998,0.04514015594449953,-0.20833246160861013,0.2562073241136669,0.06172090518782748,0.05723052802743423,0.2507249352682764,0.21568266294179775,-0.06610007457712463,0.13751215449977222,0.14057477056303064,-0.36453675113515144,-0.3629779939552791,0.11368872686853199,0.11538098182954222,0.019952064458862,-0.1557067190191808,-0.004960374542296524,-0.10379939841551603,0.10792013872852402,0.038118630096449946,0.25285467675903917,0.20506123088302952,-0.36791865713573324,-8.913741663834792E-4,0.18637718356020766,0.07513541034143559,-0.3457201828092704,0.22696436090003208;0.02323371480620225,0.026725426381122533,-0.059643492877076786,0.03904722633093735,0.0265886599348662,0.14304968863526824,-0.1802008278539933,-0.004652973016930849,0.10484863613256025,-0.18121141643709465,-0.012830424335479297,-0.032669723920772206,-0.16038727322109497,-0.01227667788235202,-0.047975553565539265,0.11821275069174332,-0.0433773964692909,0.0365615143748186,0.1377790129608708,-0.019522844108919784,-0.008559591010877308,0.1674539315231796,-0.05213012399731529,0.0358151766709162,-0.1642468303838093,-0.002666598025546958,-0.029460551306332614,0.1604503330217228,-0.05743836860224259,-0.01265531713533405,-0.04684116913980034,-0.052521715835102005,0.07155173639625922,0.06187150361698967,-0.05429735843784281,-0.162836532791445,-0.03994565152121303,0.057114855480016796,0.12567502064116765,0.07979681355487173,0.1584675954391182,-0.05672055452080063,0.15238806003392863,0.05203156312475409,-0.05581272117207453,-0.020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x_a{178}=[-2.28361474717417,-3.560553927501455,14.651828023222858];
std_x_a{178}=[1.182289301888034,1.9024263600964224,0.9003286056318235];
pred_a{178}=[-2.28361474717417];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.7 to 17.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{179}=[-4.373518470346492,-7.427099501820542,13.1929649657658];
std_x_f{179}=[2.171509097459149,3.4286726017689007,2.286436023871085];
pred_f{179}=[-4.373518470346492];
obs{179}=[-4.690491501945462];
sqrt_r{179}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{179}=[5.732770827547967];
L_f{179}=[0.13160192703802487,0.1361848865575028,-0.13763217301360062,0.15022875336037647,0.2970159435978723,-0.3767706145519405,0.2001934390287515,0.09217324210493323,0.2685419228559784,0.1985708195300698,0.29053281305953466,0.04137701354476652,0.21749052601856814,0.07729589393124825,0.002962784207919617,-0.36148178580562274,-0.18859031947536506,0.30193619316590553,-0.3741726295953807,-0.23175267493743004,-0.24897408597912418,-0.39078824441099597,-0.008082021330947185,0.14768122926637975,0.21435813730757572,0.09372440390930639,0.04869630416338979,-0.3868009054732734,-0.025420666141498936,0.07548091276352484,0.008142494656932816,-0.012826189366801662,-0.3295656384544569,0.1825489122101519,-0.022268119552773656,0.21580674381464535,0.021741205148202974,0.17555794060781651,-0.3678214961371031,-0.33553304013749374,-0.38585379076428866,-0.14990301199740927,-0.3834160614308766,0.1702825808242133,-0.15722886982345444,0.06373133295680147,-0.06510513556846993,0.24600925076432198,-0.18724262465555816,0.2670807602653393,0.1857507007064546,-0.10630238309721694,0.006635945063549231,0.036193828342644556,0.07909385029858625,0.08187006493778623,0.04919949703046287,-0.3657414562294934,-0.18885398332906267,0.10404506184908766,0.25868776528296217,0.2391694161365379,0.05529508053175239,0.20135605644105825,0.21766523423559908,-0.3852108459338826,0.18384769686782326,-0.07616006543101485,-0.22545485296764525,-0.09235051597835654,-0.30563503145886706,0.2246621018152791,0.04701734011073658,-0.25058485999757313,0.2960579086892342,0.06770989385894872,0.06174454464144101,0.2886499193152933,0.25877458551138105,-0.08788276076357966,0.15711333858022722,0.1613125073425346,-0.39590759379948576,-0.3943693728291125,0.1293369417325326,0.13090665088573475,0.016105378141070274,-0.1933009774716683,-0.014046312912516455,-0.13443779583253299,0.1220418867652246,0.0384349360937272,0.29323578356142893,0.23471851534839722,-0.3988453882425504,-0.00899687627914292,0.21359196073398032,0.08431493339267702,-0.381361151141905,0.2711846313952554;0.21145905618051128,0.2193683008251634,-0.25388674162926106,0.24554903030819572,0.500867146211993,-0.559216765594729,0.308992480597982,0.14009909837630993,0.45743211829633795,0.3060512039903387,0.48520444749034974,0.048735901199793624,0.341833434587235,0.11340868168708175,-0.01890952075328395,-0.5465062212744529,-0.3317070171523705,0.5102746563937438,-0.5573380157718212,-0.3928556566391393,-0.4169833701556714,-0.5712198938660107,-0.03796867193156604,0.24061460701474063,0.3352203811766431,0.1430464720511163,0.061957599844036745,-0.5678668463681835,-0.06698889481209082,0.11027465791352592,-0.009479109957818865,-0.045987552584706534,-0.5144957827766985,0.30375887079290653,-0.062020739096013786,0.33825983765635426,0.014602601314701381,0.2911962777515306,-0.552980856905614,-0.5205105541902972,-0.5673253057961574,-0.27305824232134124,-0.5656773042637315,0.2808249057835434,-0.2844072221656457,0.08906397570652765,-0.13545301962827863,0.3975955283623758,-0.3293793417857724,0.45414046129310354,0.30919306773398647,-0.20417903026477008,-0.012685580803627807,0.03981064349071038,0.11711859621295678,0.12176873064508285,0.042078916928255515,-0.5496130789477661,-0.33166934931218645,0.161796739700194,0.4224308145585953,0.3840885815214126,0.07349352344509946,0.3381527355175998,0.34235684986328585,-0.5669032095144366,0.3060271726635248,-0.15331586695208904,-0.3844601307883986,-0.18036445695219983,-0.4872275977476869,0.35727575584499793,0.05903002464367023,-0.41893892270275707,0.5029962087625016,0.09464617237985981,0.08560315999852852,0.4914085409303432,0.421723452700715,-0.17307399254646505,0.25746449419674,0.2645879737784103,-0.5752551564076356,-0.5740622089330368,0.20713374047834965,0.20977884109099945,0.004523159182070717,-0.33830309311774887,-0.04786742556266155,-0.24635028694106909,0.19422649815061746,0.04393063147422897,0.4965420655119155,0.3977396180515332,-0.5777417835034885,-0.04006995803276429,0.3595481671016058,0.10546014948989169,-0.5634293393743112,0.44596635697196074;-0.10264744692347477,-0.1024509741442179,0.027761793270391622,-0.09984911132318008,-0.1613271922093197,0.4661418206746012,-0.289856014643816,-0.10338950819330965,-0.09391951989870714,-0.2897575647669501,-0.1898292149964056,-0.09356745431272813,-0.28134211377918844,-0.10058458824295197,-0.07945677566712403,0.4259403893135479,0.09165260717081407,-0.15475329836582374,0.45829641949218797,0.1568181832871408,0.18494276096301165,0.5057691725161316,-0.07477908413324637,-0.1010068287231056,-0.2825813914833471,-0.10275559357598392,-0.09620088742646278,0.4941687031916969,-0.0657294333911431,-0.10007389631693009,-0.08242196182020413,-0.07165852785765961,0.3462687992989456,-0.09685961247228138,-0.06599259695267591,-0.28224746831288033,-0.08647172931750188,-0.0972953783835281,0.4401570813894638,0.3605251406093928,0.49104392351747655,0.04204238163559355,0.48255012576885065,-0.09847520404356014,0.05084823932065925,-0.09865708179135815,-0.03869158915610811,-0.26044359508547843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k{179}=[0.8255642812033148;1.300044911100151;-0.8024760519270623];
x_a{179}=[-4.635200083339331,-7.839178678506769,13.447328232730692];
L_a{179}=[-0.06811559976665016,-0.07048768536905443,0.07123678370834206,-0.07775662460004518,-0.15373193686275557,0.1950120105554347,-0.10361775450941317,-0.047707779131532936,-0.1389941207512812,-0.10277790586256268,-0.15037634523181584,-0.021416252463691058,-0.11257052200336361,-0.040007439808271844,-0.0015335020378788762,0.18709869375814978,0.09761211716555633,-0.15627859980205602,0.19366732429221897,0.11995244147395652,0.12886603999287574,0.20226736985485105,0.0041831585803850345,-0.07643805628202628,-0.11094923468216915,-0.04851064212159731,-0.025204630655219155,0.20020357041567285,0.013157435910460966,-0.03906802703835895,-0.004214458858140115,0.006638683802767527,0.17057927365545428,-0.09448515627245557,0.011525715110344788,-0.11169901626421538,-0.011252990451209309,-0.09086671211770467,0.1903800527875721,0.17366793013516596,0.19971335505255203,0.07758802472611677,0.19845161520305774,-0.08813624833398542,0.08137980202647585,-0.03298658360090962,0.03369764757209108,-0.12733147637811032,0.09691456627842523,-0.13823784028899558,-0.0961423641010962,0.05502085527363883,-0.003434686620444392,-0.018733497152348483,-0.04093804074301444,-0.04237497658040069,-0.025465077327319174,0.18930344875118593,0.09774858645544918,-0.05385249251373886,-0.13389372542738032,-0.12379125893249802,-0.0286200791989715,-0.1042195115210375,-0.11266094890861514,0.19938057441836488,-0.09515739183857663,0.03941954842045739,0.11669276336474814,0.047799533990165545,0.15819307472226066,-0.11628244475145388,-0.024335618734139593,0.12969975755936292,-0.15323606933354872,-0.035045839632772975,-0.031958245484925735,-0.1494017817161254,-0.1339386625499874,0.04548707677229235,-0.08132000442243376,-0.08349344447155486,0.20491708450463142,0.20412091953707523,-0.0669432701813725,-0.06775573305966055,-0.008335953099157323,0.10005029798809896,0.007270205308389448,0.06958341188874496,-0.06316743607610674,-0.01989346799808372,-0.15177537077066636,-0.12148752536635922,0.20643765213600587,0.004656676673154598,-0.1105526707563039,-0.043640411554672395,0.19738801795983896,-0.14036195541155394;-0.10304310953998319,-0.10608621739294127,0.07502650044726511,-0.11346750804140529,-0.20894128606162177,0.3411893068952981,-0.16942961818621158,-0.08017643189844857,-0.18432912506713006,-0.16849316018949542,-0.2091106053104345,-0.05014684819273861,-0.17792522697678245,-0.0713129754331457,-0.025989979762702304,0.3173626221622527,0.1189859570605735,-0.2112921838292073,0.33685939462839304,0.16098667545892906,0.17801467441012375,0.36268549773100256,-0.018654264694598445,-0.11231386056857444,-0.17705250069054002,-0.08093602329503725,-0.054416783621829175,0.3565096062565835,-0.006238609953047453,-0.07010955886036058,-0.02893803629430769,-0.015335536884094714,0.2730998807050074,-0.13249635382416655,-0.008804407211704298,-0.177474922725864,-0.03735451100408516,-0.12835192927916864,0.32603862052382243,0.2813460004142028,0.35478773295720506,0.08517983961486425,0.350610051142479,-0.1261162512271465,0.09133818815022675,-0.06324110591569365,0.020135174227682018,-0.19031715569961544,0.11809291257071343,-0.18412889703821728,-0.13471378812382967,0.049862308321894554,-0.028544156290029633,-0.04668533461292731,-0.07189981540111183,-0.07388427619251167,-0.07549799639436466,0.32443552099946427,0.11965372853887668,-0.08685005461768963,-0.19578097198598338,-0.18747827195873185,-0.058650609793166206,-0.1430477853026872,-0.17781932923912955,0.35367332026711473,-0.1333318863489535,0.02869138824978936,0.15433167208567805,0.040334722264273135,0.24317872286866418,-0.17962153104509518,-0.05333197205392542,0.17990854814949434,-0.20452271255649504,-0.06716687047316204,-0.061953896711956856,-0.19840677411041388,-0.19669581674689277,0.03694814931514941,-0.11800481965898842,-0.12091650977198323,0.37088445170882645,0.36840136010537117,-0.10195556541603792,-0.10306175431217099,-0.033965458873275706,0.12364740729675207,-0.014299559720561848,0.07492903544913201,-0.09742909200793975,-0.047921143897672304,-0.20423254373957947,-0.16319047676722132,0.37541856310503624,-0.018569231271428756,-0.150893706685806,-0.0960356017608809,0.3479471932894933,-0.20211042885868186;0.09148465890994473,0.09844166781880201,-0.1752658080643498,0.12176028986858693,0.27681480080340254,-0.08964998621881923,0.005458611573295005,0.032579515924050624,0.3022191245872791,0.003163460175960418,0.23874921149318584,-0.03253030270458704,0.03948824763796038,0.013438169621483904,-0.0750862352779456,-0.10729815725115666,-0.18654571927900707,0.2906467829695139,-0.09366297930591024,-0.18505093543124787,-0.18233045985474125,-0.07070069027342729,-0.08670124861579254,0.11684460153191326,0.0336282380764478,0.035501621256732174,-0.024366710782437774,-0.07641925101131082,-0.10322863694240718,0.011271498654207554,-0.07041059032994468,-0.09057903462862785,-0.13988875814330298,0.1724267539402505,-0.0988413328262869,0.0360990678870444,-0.054400269318610445,0.16167828160038977,-0.10243346589988483,-0.13443520780374366,-0.07814689785427785,-0.179086503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x_a{179}=[-4.635200083339331,-7.839178678506761,13.447328232730696];
std_x_a{179}=[1.123947406404083,1.7882209865255658,1.3986332334126785];
pred_a{179}=[-4.635200083339331];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.8 to 17.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 17.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{180}=[-9.237747644124477,-15.103155955633229,17.69541873052087];
std_x_f{180}=[1.8205418001151759,2.3871790952622383,3.410372983525565];
pred_f{180}=[-9.237747644124477];
obs{180}=[-9.854856218920927];
sqrt_r{180}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{180}=[4.325028928408141];
L_f{180}=[-0.10323023995678371,-0.1052631657451883,0.058047946854298156,-0.10875990001051151,-0.17445364496515176,0.3604801713212767,-0.18690876719473506,-0.08803983653517773,-0.1458695904925869,-0.1863257701929898,-0.18202725950547513,-0.06548033397189923,-0.18934579381512445,-0.08192031231557158,-0.04492304879461602,0.33402969159764373,0.107686624964918,-0.17384576884960531,0.35586548511065813,0.15510956401241563,0.17457407727014024,0.3842010352865357,-0.03845605381713811,-0.10837676245344563,-0.1898333973422545,-0.08905400773888422,-0.06955277154726636,0.37753275537138864,-0.026689949149965947,-0.0809922483210256,-0.04787605501338204,-0.03549455475446916,0.28407854391480597,-0.11948355277746005,-0.028953875150492026,-0.18921154007429547,-0.05460720647919639,-0.11692930952929634,0.3440630159544772,0.29334780079024136,0.37597218811137373,0.06836197390784984,0.37072172366407286,-0.11592826539075932,0.07637451147408558,-0.07603492415079133,-4.988500870374047E-4,-0.1906429655773179,0.10588554984080704,-0.14619741897130886,-0.12082431335545948,0.030618576028143118,-0.04709289834408769,-0.06282270344387501,-0.08134168854096488,-0.08389229243031761,-0.1049937136176885,0.34180454665920823,0.10769135675136693,-0.09289093656122048,-0.18973849123148406,-0.19011744466303987,-0.0723474171221045,-0.12380055928518909,-0.18906156201229055,0.3741357694752157,-0.1201714883353284,0.007551825219888308,0.14760830432833788,0.019657000465088625,0.25004243219738237,-0.1890264024592294,-0.06841149273274079,0.1770721729307242,-0.16123827248401573,-0.07920517804585564,-0.0747471663419745,-0.1554210658488441,-0.1904104228074915,0.01677300524141418,-0.11246958488922638,-0.11277659211360856,0.3935982626171373,0.39127681023046157,-0.1019433174434125,-0.10289530812869946,-0.05221071197691901,0.11241471305652641,-0.034289972326497456,0.056842449856292554,-0.09973973937261615,-0.06375680435553407,-0.1669042035122991,-0.13418705703995126,0.3991343396699131,-0.038231128288530286,-0.1285169846877944,-0.12359970187096365,0.36776697946756476,-0.1900374473012102;-0.12199934976434658,-0.12140084416224965,-0.0021677246750102124,-0.11630584710614918,-0.1173494426492549,0.5051339037578255,-0.24879043239802584,-0.1274108659860878,-0.07990962189276138,-0.24949128004462923,-0.14157300695049171,-0.12361274327894343,-0.2372595897313041,-0.12693239614493773,-0.11230005127140331,0.4562323983012799,0.06965584093958002,-0.11117798543613358,0.4960531007084328,0.14417794205125986,0.17538566127131344,0.5498677152548378,-0.10756565179025084,-0.11814487686462898,-0.23999132312548216,-0.12677346221869798,-0.12516849129096858,0.5372101686216934,-0.09771843774987671,-0.12611692311884248,-0.1144609350796863,-0.10501717070903308,0.3646894636827403,-0.10750721447389447,-0.0994994170266422,-0.23831371907546267,-0.11754672418919673,-0.1094996007731252,0.47377668902119147,0.3812123511351233,0.5344685520740099,0.013024783942007408,0.5242078529389861,-0.11144121980471337,0.023234628693964712,-0.12605782103486823,-0.07281619040394668,-0.21054503838203725,0.0670191112062577,-0.08232194892547415,-0.10698121501518366,-0.03758855462694552,-0.11386143290753026,-0.12239803089820077,-0.12549885186196166,-0.12698154621306673,-0.20908522558543505,0.4706449441093733,0.07034608911410506,-0.12613107448898514,-0.19418949913260927,-0.215988145775402,-0.1257599149992819,-0.09981617712510214,-0.23683046142357067,0.5305721618254016,-0.1076140001004001,-0.06357519398838152,0.13157193993652616,-0.05027474123334459,0.3033513556963696,-0.22879278580508863,-0.12435316479991201,0.18028962408541124,-0.08732932253292706,-0.12876799675025985,-0.1265666737570603,-0.0818041876815341,-0.19618362830385574,-0.053160153831118696,-0.1165877675616622,-0.1140232407474873,0.5668847919739273,0.5623056235630984,-0.12229588606009979,-0.12232865422311452,-0.11687922926077154,0.07711787773979616,-0.10393857945037113,-0.0031244667558058556,-0.12310438349442639,-0.12230196262635375,-0.10456618675472647,-0.08799085503003569,0.5770799017593207,-0.10773631451284703,-0.09589105276282305,-0.2177401851406497,0.5183707126592996,-0.1816570953162372;0.2134361361987226,0.22360152633908625,-0.25922427938134246,0.2492265872039411,0.49898508367205,-0.550802868152587,0.29779993248094133,0.1403472681781498,0.46553836096252127,0.29434239111071436,0.4825094552899595,0.04871326795865333,0.3315379935212272,0.11345194175664113,-0.02041640525612386,-0.5391899832795439,-0.3375344402371072,0.5095603174939822,-0.5496559639093852,-0.39870322273806047,-0.42158035760264867,-0.5574252020444381,-0.040282739967326106,0.2444056115136819,0.32646438824377316,0.14462048941324745,0.0616409057511504,-0.556221443261414,-0.07259909204507116,0.11028706361947316,-0.012112773241655096,-0.048627959717919216,-0.5138318628072096,0.3104476446083296,-0.06559395990615928,0.3278754885019262,0.01237611159428913,0.2963727567444306,-0.5447803893066054,-0.5194567361452529,-0.5557936587671718,-0.277937616778373,-0.5548693953002728,0.2871653528995411,-0.289233359045741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k{180}=[0.7687876736657903;0.9804348437355405;-1.3658629503103312];
x_a{180}=[-9.712173109741451,-15.70819070473165,18.538304469154156];
L_a{180}=[0.06770063722244378,0.06903387418245416,-0.03806910642788129,0.07132710858798148,0.11441049575069358,-0.2364107388951419,0.12257883588028394,0.05773844017883267,0.09566445095796844,0.12219649376295996,0.11937743693645209,0.042943427597299424,0.12417709095745416,0.05372512306033192,0.0294615127373883,-0.21906393884043954,-0.0706232314630995,0.11401183736927369,-0.23338432728192401,-0.10172422661549631,-0.11448947787640908,-0.251967397550467,0.025220316736362942,0.07107583864258461,0.1244968719587618,0.0584035557183522,0.04561422075845462,-0.2475941945081984,0.017503849314345985,0.053116478501913,0.031398158460734286,0.023278101221216433,-0.18630488946172838,0.07835991337443304,0.0189885812390634,0.12408904443341781,0.035812594033752546,0.07668478508262443,-0.22564401123687586,-0.19238386978094696,-0.24657074054765618,-0.0448332697597432,-0.2431273717349435,0.07602827855803312,-0.05008806621502616,0.049865357460408245,3.271567399731122E-4,0.1250278044201394,-0.06944204721283674,0.09587944800649223,0.07923921333083424,-0.02008032829156382,0.030884547278793598,0.04120049567808302,0.05334564900050854,0.05501839052163174,0.06885716161508508,-0.2241628579381809,-0.07062633467159665,0.06091989711558294,0.12443463046655816,0.12468315637141585,0.047447010126246844,0.08119110016222955,0.12399068555745893,-0.2453663772532658,0.07881107647988721,-0.004952651275372329,-0.09680473731860356,-0.012891488559219623,-0.16398326691383405,0.12396762715763644,0.04486574528242936,-0.11612778335874596,0.10574356696626576,0.05194447893627269,0.04902081787315576,0.10192851629680504,0.124875297812528,-0.011000101747845483,0.07376000063868866,0.07396134265563312,-0.2581303036782859,-0.2566078446979975,0.0668566454401168,0.06748098164286843,0.03424092080144976,-0.07372401449702196,0.02248810985827109,-0.03727851527001034,0.06541149100063508,0.041813099378082697,0.10945940780160449,0.08800279135660477,-0.26176098345140614,0.0250728056812621,0.08428423455097238,0.08105937350016207,-0.24118958620798264,0.12463069236111982;0.09598878089557403,0.10088015351580874,-0.12474579316261836,0.11335909704177237,0.25103896726515784,-0.25608101465357963,0.14589907701111193,0.058500155803096504,0.22811871713772974,0.143967132482006,0.24280837243367204,0.014660069062645751,0.1625761140252418,0.04605621409392483,-0.01743742735052169,-0.24912785356641956,-0.15774270122215187,0.255926791134443,-0.25541712640848413,-0.18336216558286741,-0.19325706184673533,-0.261437823846686,-0.026359182758844246,0.11071100745852214,0.16087403803984945,0.06127915378704217,0.0217039625379906,-0.26001416836280916,-0.0413580909653965,0.0449119228553185,-0.013362538523524528,-0.030064408390819836,-0.2351904821016076,0.14480253822520148,-0.03835840716307133,0.161238485175418,-0.0022343615913407375,0.13741643482184507,-0.25277062607300516,-0.23824120001649576,-0.2594603829050131,-0.13133309904492615,-0.25863383734853346,0.13336094159448697,-0.13804308405057983,0.03450279557746033,-0.0717627839796436,0.19202986318809265,-0.15657615587205495,0.2263986554459054,0.14815978066254884,-0.10224486226158616,-0.014416804263026856,0.010262744592255816,0.04626789630397797,0.050171233934651616,0.012626778301647983,-0.2511332306628145,-0.157062445015902,0.07002386639565086,0.20647545171028495,0.18547702940278948,0.027013906151607647,0.16160966577256908,0.16240503875503315,-0.2594788642601351,0.14614844501069668,-0.07952215161865596,-0.18012798775797037,-0.09178382604763674,-0.22465557718672483,0.17036846902399497,0.020109285570328535,-0.19362825099865386,0.2531525907546893,0.03848714775032808,0.03127462419821374,0.24639370882384487,0.20590021983353807,-0.08857919441123938,0.12091080433319644,0.12412362888425676,-0.26426458377896617,-0.26394161240595587,0.0929746898105319,0.09495221117099621,-0.006627470580013272,-0.1602648229893923,-0.03152949688926468,-0.1231569242168251,0.0875129641688779,0.0123313251014621,0.24788029925712854,0.19536783652333867,-0.2657598380615928,-0.027004813819588556,0.175494320959743,0.04326151331761562,-0.2582315349586615,0.21963915188726157;-0.0902473907365005,-0.08606247757341641,-0.08845837551982384,-0.0707241369069536,-0.014224012925045628,0.5096605179917044,-0.2520497400624343,-0.11864901121630016,0.03641805927640261,-0.2537922162951896,-0.05297975977064293,-0.143917290430123,-0.22548094298612548,-0.12754187344753373,-0.15257138139822463,0.44346117482997593,-0.020741085045958764,-0.0018605243941634915,0.49723190226394953,0.057599305284685196,0.09198302769077463,0.5728204071571309,-0.15341305972719813,-0.07441799553655407,-0.23198898413166322,-0.11735928675682404,-0.1429699813342247,0.5544073679546907,-0.15111579311034604,-0.1279765656701547,-0.15295492616404727,-0.15304611838291027,0.32187261854231414,-0.04105000504743348,-0.15077069617863692,-0.2287484993010906,-0.14826779533283577,-0.047610800155395754,0.4673868808340778,0.34351611754535305,0.550244263483264,-0.07682982749801612,0.5357226695921657,-0.053873324527603836,-0.06455422411285039,-0.134617885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x_a{180}=[-9.712173109741451,-15.708190704731653,18.538304469154138];
std_x_a{180}=[1.1939509198999247,1.6193839620883939,2.384696653586159];
pred_a{180}=[-9.712173109741451];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 17.9 to 18.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{181}=[-14.564221095543356,-16.02235098506826,33.523005523513824];
std_x_f{181}=[0.6700520368488359,2.3305881021753727,2.8203914213391457];
pred_f{181}=[-14.564221095543356];
obs{181}=[-15.348726398369658];
sqrt_r{181}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{181}=[1.4494951488020578];
L_f{181}=[0.022921970176749698,0.027270122720115985,-0.09817418529357108,0.03817498943444798,0.1338051312468581,0.016221637266438632,0.01584519976134281,-0.005399396514641093,0.1312752908963026,0.01479454067584404,0.12006119333979307,-0.03683955477011098,0.03234116348498094,-0.014733401754918935,-0.057186275069115375,-0.0018791253369473742,-0.09699333507271955,0.1395339425042576,0.01165849014549827,-0.0873781309884773,-0.08174517625536752,0.03285339653191578,-0.06255812061826015,0.035720067466556225,0.030003248051939595,-0.004342694508371864,-0.03287429934799677,0.027985319751846288,-0.07030285698181277,-0.015674883617744034,-0.055287926186915616,-0.06492937142261235,-0.03302436052744998,0.06370486967535037,-0.06842507551477217,0.03080450958240513,-0.048009855152129514,0.05763578811305281,0.003980605468826567,-0.02788973516907472,0.026749725870464647,-0.09888702061184422,0.02274173647302397,0.05373667241073812,-0.09886479870780958,-0.023163084545055782,-0.08326849161040445,0.06184424111135437,-0.0965106758364101,0.12946316566838875,0.06586523857321332,-0.09401344511866414,-0.056187006222420524,-0.040280800700997106,-0.013552847358314782,-0.012237622559800322,-0.06942573952928922,0.0039207429470654274,-0.09567443454019214,0.0029459745738366007,0.07700301324562929,0.055222768887239246,-0.028789630121185367,0.07871644893550153,0.03244470906471184,0.025236300383074093,0.06457695134264156,-0.08747913783379271,-0.08998278566924901,-0.09218897250013962,-0.051444683629981135,0.04012373234848999,-0.03383013584051879,-0.08051989104926868,0.14634834241269742,-0.020866527463401594,-0.025419329442331523,0.1436871993443036,0.07701469994136646,-0.09046045571087877,0.04270733811401193,0.04691954030839037,0.039322472741276544,0.03818206582276234,0.021421422300073868,0.022506739356653607,-0.050693820886042275,-0.0958565837750396,-0.06546801467326059,-0.09887197179402102,0.01621782220944844,-0.03845957001772077,0.13668826013531027,0.10615207996149585,0.04364862207112387,-0.06292675598682289,0.08889495299394763,-0.048939527968957446,0.02044719249739953,0.09056987346679395;-0.10623512053662212,-0.10280564268720824,-0.058757753940052004,-0.09113737947229696,-0.03250278749872033,0.49993179162814655,-0.2324962285989021,-0.12762176024584324,0.002058689285429458,-0.23384609947800136,-0.0640219735831643,-0.14249239701021055,-0.21047378642173561,-0.1333115484941368,-0.1441750784364743,0.44235937618851207,0.010958874477141542,-0.022509575094916037,0.4899358789577338,0.08880453192466681,0.12286531840991861,0.5541227523475617,-0.1429163378184544,-0.09434603462659036,-0.21533879859941404,-0.12632435329189182,-0.1426732349245762,0.5384027311282923,-0.1375404897226057,-0.1332765114814307,-0.14517628016703726,-0.14172692379449672,0.33507742225319614,-0.06704065088948215,-0.1372828661901446,-0.21293560565868938,-0.14374999526815432,-0.07252717278218361,0.46343619815587095,0.354417108268276,0.5346065865706336,-0.04617763442045818,0.5231031662459482,-0.07776788907589206,-0.034006626566295425,-0.13787973616902913,-0.12028411015072385,-0.16655665129881844,0.008553682352338318,-0.0010315705649388844,-0.06617668146547101,-0.09285644543284828,-0.14472894795940008,-0.14435523112147672,-0.13004893166462622,-0.13193718225124543,-0.24589493918554317,0.45950749100118615,0.011260270803398524,-0.1223611585320869,-0.14173371365689066,-0.17543808941781389,-0.1405231495078508,-0.050171672817199545,-0.20984175430360755,0.529970000043357,-0.06670097094043462,-0.1143309937903196,0.07612031577275963,-0.10427839550172496,0.26485179889517585,-0.19852995787128835,-0.1425891422387001,0.1280589861369342,0.0047179061216003826,-0.13788884375489896,-0.1385324801803048,0.008556292450226481,-0.1429784161676948,-0.10529567801745773,-0.08984031654685258,-0.0834722510881342,0.5747597954308892,0.5700451440180516,-0.10648936831954507,-0.10527424754576949,-0.14460497676313386,0.01898913961981027,-0.14109156911021573,-0.061353854705433766,-0.11191606876134991,-0.14281801912463282,-0.017884336251556936,-0.021977341245808458,0.5876094751584021,-0.14286650220899316,-0.04015641068210662,-0.24231188894070826,0.5160797867651103,-0.12096397837786303;-0.1658361525360756,-0.17314353324706352,0.2097774582466024,-0.18966600131812994,-0.395986234536207,0.46081944550510157,-0.2977667416699492,-0.1106448251328984,-0.34267812844958306,-0.29512304194774625,-0.39585669372841786,-0.040840124404180896,-0.31868838391051024,-0.09115004386432382,0.012730372269764327,0.4485969717556736,0.27370825168294044,-0.39942962630919526,0.45931795591811475,0.32439622769485155,0.34326232427703374,0.471863872394226,0.028626613475442687,-0.18711782848807462,-0.31727361964225115,-0.11390626571036146,-0.05229789648967257,0.46782797630457446,0.055158355011874334,-0.0890124837050662,0.005863883086143961,0.03585792013220077,0.4233709550756886,-0.23367761984603194,0.04951004373794522,-0.31715698816111887,-0.012081502252880018,-0.22343193600957542,0.45491168768991713,0.428002968055302,0.46717704633799617,0.2230335503627634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k{181}=[0.310104624478078;0.11504110695411454;-0.7251857357323288];
x_a{181}=[-14.807499817877368,-16.112601343516772,34.09191757872983];
L_a{181}=[0.0308938026485529,0.03675416131426687,-0.13231733058960474,0.051451536696208326,0.1803400530682618,0.02186321928182654,0.021355863853725468,-0.00727720562667003,0.17693038156447102,0.019939805190878457,0.16181623063760905,-0.049651662834933004,0.0435888152032865,-0.019857403296859647,-0.0770745918683343,-0.002532649980080356,-0.13072580274975573,0.1880612377235158,0.015713094945933457,-0.11776661053749807,-0.11017461951268445,0.04427919332262134,-0.08431466481904934,0.048142838787222586,0.04043781651336386,-0.005853002428241524,-0.044307365747147824,0.03771809049586614,-0.09475287562447827,-0.02112631494114813,-0.07451603275353935,-0.0875105922988865,-0.04450961539791909,0.0858602317482436,-0.0922220368871212,0.04151774181652074,-0.06470678474924264,0.07768043714080738,0.005364985593621248,-0.03758926338311715,0.036052780174335226,-0.133278076697982,0.030650887033944505,0.072425281930224,-0.13324812643138498,-0.031218772084109322,-0.11222771545457508,0.08335251137276485,-0.13007528365920357,0.17448803307810853,0.08877193653906257,-0.12670956280854978,-0.0757277960080923,-0.054289709732043424,-0.018266274163397853,-0.016493638781252488,-0.09357071312845745,0.00528430400652065,-0.12894821328206232,0.003970529426134546,0.10378322091036347,0.07442821496380346,-0.03880212496702822,0.10609255748334248,0.043728371998826746,0.034013013611068406,0.08703560710712294,-0.1179027456742801,-0.12127711539615148,-0.1242505727400801,-0.06933618232319164,0.05407801594449945,-0.04559562429283841,-0.10852320303087595,0.19724555845669609,-0.028123515406577874,-0.034259696753575306,0.19365891960582116,0.10379897202027837,-0.12192091014343741,0.057560151468899416,0.06323727879720054,0.0529980932334657,0.05146107412001449,0.028871392288131577,0.030334162316123844,-0.06832418356180564,-0.12919371061368662,-0.08823656559678311,-0.13325779418280817,0.02185807741937583,-0.05183508908326087,0.18422588025516443,0.1430697877964381,0.05882879637956953,-0.08481150467347023,0.11981095486430078,-0.0659597803822244,0.02755834358306486,0.1220683813481997;-0.1032777688571604,-0.09928730012748985,-0.07142401209844491,-0.08621211047286774,-0.015239488290050104,0.5020246783147451,-0.23045190920731912,-0.12831838074693971,0.018995593007508367,-0.23193733424633983,-0.04853189271211765,-0.1472453706128245,-0.20630118723368418,-0.13521242569134648,-0.15155314957580932,0.44211693479153363,-0.0015550324934215467,-0.004507154883000141,0.49144003654741325,0.07753116142315992,0.11231870167398465,0.5583614389290591,-0.15098747488249326,-0.08973749527774141,-0.21146783308765715,-0.12688463998621563,-0.14691461835009484,0.5420133471325108,-0.14661083884892082,-0.1352988569881584,-0.15230942972189798,-0.15010399540493838,0.33081667820214355,-0.05882156230889544,-0.1461109473031778,-0.2089612628144202,-0.1499441410885198,-0.06509110627224202,0.4639497687685949,0.35081882441632073,0.5380577884576505,-0.05893586131929689,0.5260372644946494,-0.07083487951444765,-0.04676198643473854,-0.14086819599393155,-0.13102726231484405,-0.15857761769457795,-0.0038979527850408198,0.015671535994642508,-0.0576788659456606,-0.1049858923202562,-0.1519780952157003,-0.14955218813191648,-0.13179749584072206,-0.13351605847134215,-0.25485212418367437,0.4600133382581982,-0.0010834739745242497,-0.12198107415075314,-0.13179892232832732,-0.16831334634146017,-0.14423753620033225,-0.04001581707418954,-0.20565579584967447,0.5332259424752593,-0.0583693679396866,-0.12561739601472416,0.06451089737331088,-0.11617245218833795,0.2582144976353216,-0.19335326553934246,-0.14695384598244066,0.11767045351131684,0.023599508046882885,-0.1405810058841828,-0.14181203669474932,0.02709455844662064,-0.1330421170425077,-0.1169667245530984,-0.08433029201044019,-0.07741877574283774,0.579833110678457,0.5749713260004703,-0.10372561464884887,-0.10237046820558397,-0.15114540305195784,0.0066218942727198195,-0.14953813551144723,-0.0741101400326567,-0.10982367428659573,-0.1477800042029768,-2.490608997091433E-4,-0.008281789356866435,0.5932409424708907,-0.15098519995031798,-0.02868734251278507,-0.24862597948855517,0.5187178470455391,-0.10927881495865054;-0.18447843884808782,-0.19532214318294733,0.2896218719937134,-0.22071346702493494,-0.5048090603005702,0.4476264955082772,-0.31065353754064634,-0.10625353175969078,-0.44944345183631124,-0.30715534375283143,-0.4935016659512946,-0.010878758852449473,-0.34499123766616924,-0.07916746593811695,0.05923959048859468,0.4501252519286866,0.3525922877775647,-0.5129116562721674,0.44983618320912566,0.3954602820817642,0.4097451339407616,0.4451444228989424,0.07950471804997698,-0.21616872244095994,-0.3416750622827236,-0.11037438107014877,-0.02556144687271016,0.44506770136641444,0.11233520230298565,-0.07626420482431528,0.0508291867501092,0.08866454725830708,0.45022944845460083,-0.2854883678227456,0.1051597038165256,-0.3422100914898554,0.02696459451117934,-0.2703067402055903,0.4516742876639677,0.45068550468627083,0.4454216717083374,0.3034577083462587,0.44668076114552757,-0.262156446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x_a{181}=[-14.807499817877357,-16.112601343516776,34.09191757872982];
std_x_a{181}=[0.9030836019351353,2.3415316857229818,3.155183953336246];
pred_a{181}=[-14.807499817877357];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.0 to 18.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{182}=[-10.439323886210788,-2.3450746541943275,37.06508705701037];
std_x_f{182}=[1.6003237909412917,2.53129332988251,1.5062612653133556];
pred_f{182}=[-10.439323886210788];
obs{182}=[-10.426435440348403];
sqrt_r{182}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{182}=[3.5700394642773143];
L_f{182}=[-0.09488534357110295,-0.09696451194775794,0.07138998866245148,-0.10093615090163627,-0.1641591995000593,0.3045808435245228,-0.17253174126553292,-0.076592432747288,-0.1352509055147649,-0.1720220346143098,-0.17299549486526522,-0.05043344352826388,-0.17721390188577457,-0.06997224101150103,-0.028009281046876548,0.2833271507206156,0.11132233918552065,-0.16263626607203177,0.3012210690900599,0.14756267356140326,0.1628689483029026,0.32583588388959356,-0.020824180184852457,-0.1007376859137482,-0.17724109205493432,-0.07766204303070082,-0.05497902561576811,0.319219838959577,-0.008349226266981053,-0.06877107057854288,-0.03085704486580862,-0.017471509399200152,0.2441902693574657,-0.11308837067777179,-0.011205292598410029,-0.1768708851392155,-0.03916259235533444,-0.1100620390090405,0.2912592741465982,0.2513495580250202,0.31735678002575635,0.07966204744746269,0.313834631872221,-0.1093492865481232,0.0861212386786055,-0.0634018064194605,0.01726408398261412,-0.18155744810855082,0.10991327278644104,-0.13578778132374625,-0.11525245111236955,0.04672446899963646,-0.029989840741482112,-0.047673628560985025,-0.06889556879539559,-0.07150911364566688,-0.077774425543094,0.2895298318071504,0.11078199589476503,-0.08280094822234749,-0.18172108727990036,-0.18016129232101033,-0.058705746239122676,-0.11698127064709327,-0.17692791910471878,0.31622682433409394,-0.11365109300053004,0.025269836217392257,0.14264341821623477,0.036750063838575285,0.21872162072595308,-0.17806693556531777,-0.0540229162643259,0.16358968843658117,-0.1489712350329303,-0.06576632220993624,-0.06051409555024368,-0.14331197723490863,-0.18216123444852508,0.03381873159990561,-0.10554268484939781,-0.10534528155330417,0.3336119320635661,0.3315067729637611,-0.09307161758082443,-0.09368484927030633,-0.03553638949090495,0.1151127635596568,-0.017157070731415383,0.07036097402832665,-0.09104581700950366,-0.04869947411772349,-0.15560405927331822,-0.1264287068500279,0.3384166772842437,-0.020539321723083336,-0.12137947438234477,-0.10016612755906532,0.3112863906153163,-0.18159057833053055;-0.14479487491942392,-0.1565551116867101,0.27380290164131,-0.18492754062459715,-0.468126949327395,0.28391529997916337,-0.19637692931294953,-0.06273858134223594,-0.43123033873366656,-0.1920787300930866,-0.444944877906783,0.03264119541726797,-0.2400088011414849,-0.034936009950962854,0.0984198012510335,0.29139267629774,0.30511259056213547,-0.4792630481787673,0.2872694852398406,0.31683542940387555,0.31908743430937375,0.2800203160669031,0.11641846199218545,-0.17950307297833176,-0.23467322517921674,-0.06631704949396422,0.01890966254861296,0.28011078738091677,0.14472419511503462,-0.031878830164799726,0.0912368000461807,0.12420896671341097,0.30623296531439675,-0.2547968458819133,0.13779613045105052,-0.23661007318700772,0.06793233453252791,-0.2385789189004116,0.2904431979876455,0.3040792162072836,0.2804761357758782,0.28150047435075093,0.2824594785791905,-0.22856944546651825,0.28822983376433564,-0.009930320036615085,0.19512004209148479,-0.3160082836003216,0.30277673715163256,-0.42749882531059624,-0.26138043929694893,0.24448102730344373,0.0938430727495278,0.042277607051279406,-0.03710642175691591,-0.04203922170895232,0.08722823012960762,0.287963644181308,0.3023486122879398,-0.08753420168716626,-0.35255513365451213,-0.29860970095096273,0.006834245638593761,-0.29294860833101616,-0.24018319657039264,0.281703333788589,-0.25788059443875194,0.21098087821545755,0.31821071183021643,0.23141671966716226,0.3149762042164483,-0.2602054127540421,0.022046513359400503,0.31863013301775533,-0.4792257788124667,-0.017446266480923907,-0.0020390841504467475,-0.4679751880833079,-0.35301296999841697,0.22494171827573387,-0.199834775976039,-0.20933148284893108,0.2770266777178739,0.27704497489632535,-0.13909626144062598,-0.14304919198524163,0.0771929961762127,0.30572686342255384,0.12680247663650854,0.27366167932631136,-0.12557760886127964,0.037269354637928916,-0.46535219627810787,-0.3645190053204257,0.2763626350813215,0.1177566721504315,-0.32102799246251407,0.020888914565091416,0.28398404456222676,-0.3844750737902664;0.0585749877036609,0.05368626268226932,0.06652430055155295,0.03985235406999818,-0.0621221084109112,-0.30795595552351235,0.16638949015868765,0.0862818378568461,-0.08985223794878364,0.1680227452341247,-0.026171354700796665,0.10693307767577462,0.14340234666606333,0.09347887257827518,0.11424077305620035,-0.2675457404507862,0.022419745714184564,-0.07460839892839674,-0.30028753798891095,-0.028516062906158282,-0.0503522521865008,-0.34603626014060607,0.11426964810461102,0.04355152873258381,0.1473317922558063,0.08502354575960264,0.10630094665543777,-0.3350080685311126,0.11269793816654643,0.09386252400945697,0.11438264165706401,0.11389615780108914,-0.19275954813534119,0.00847553142789622,0.11249978346742404,0.1453851382358567,0.11155138534475496,0.015473241051657146,-0.2817316023211107,-0.20649206235268935,-0.3327219541955641,0.05850678846616662,-0.32394967368852795,0.02216290597272771,0.05089365351324462,0.10026580912939073,0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k{182}=[0.7198910516238701;0.9674326045628471;-0.5282182403904586];
x_a{182}=[-10.430045609365118,-2.3326059514449127,37.05827914481558];
L_a{182}=[0.07572579649820821,0.07738513265541175,-0.056974697566554294,0.08055480577737525,0.13101165750993898,-0.2430789214216938,0.13769358930301803,0.06112664777545479,0.10794061718851818,0.13728680422229203,0.13806370031697404,0.04024976395288376,0.14143031332125028,0.05584322598136436,0.022353558903725496,-0.22611684113056815,-0.08884378224915405,0.12979623959068237,-0.24039756321052427,-0.11776635429968996,-0.1299819378935028,-0.26004207717019384,0.016619296211310645,0.08039641546419099,0.1414520131659158,0.06198027898556273,0.04387748780537022,-0.25476196484580743,0.0066633242333904155,0.05488459966098102,0.024626293293582294,0.013943607257836896,-0.19488260197265675,0.09025321110674567,0.008942684666301746,0.14115655959524992,0.03125475850566972,0.08783796584907658,-0.23244728524077468,-0.20059626455011154,-0.25327510063288516,-0.06357643621869445,-0.2504641557148087,0.0872691346073098,-0.0687313672365289,0.05059951421202452,-0.013778065833905655,0.14489679702639754,-0.08771923897014679,0.10836908534519712,0.09198031361202698,-0.037289717229109114,0.02393419775416995,0.03804721950587693,0.05498395880622914,0.05706976845840451,0.062069968867510206,-0.2310670573391468,-0.0884125467755292,0.06608152027447263,0.14502739366147674,0.14378255740763204,0.04685169727659725,0.09336004446761997,0.14120207708301596,-0.2523733091492014,0.09070230676782916,-0.020167271392207583,-0.11384041046926265,-0.029329375336568094,-0.17455666299443068,0.14211109975666839,0.043114439061987635,-0.1305571439120184,0.11889049460770464,0.05248657953557666,0.04829489900594564,0.11437397194767168,0.14537866492915752,-0.02698994692518459,0.08423117389874767,0.08407363089721079,-0.2662479612342719,-0.26456788248250246,0.07427830376567222,0.07476770978325348,0.028360769931267578,-0.09186883220939983,0.013692661035041007,-0.05615346480452062,0.07266155921866174,0.038865923100599734,0.12418399811132644,0.10089982463184673,-0.2700825171847823,0.01639195726627595,0.096870149068377,0.07994026797054658,-0.24843046334898952,0.1449232374897308;0.08448256814973729,0.07774635712940565,0.10129876722778257,0.058970850011762846,-0.07145871689959547,-0.4520626117076984,0.2205224041018959,0.12233654699500318,-0.10441504121644313,0.2235889669772038,-0.026924947405401103,0.15450670743565717,0.18820433243095508,0.13414233135170703,0.16610039446953304,-0.39322859632920626,0.036117397792372434,-0.08627477589234671,-0.44058999147454797,-0.039729570134277505,-0.07446308273407527,-0.5073174908769481,0.16673724260783093,0.06391575418437584,0.19360560971470145,0.12134264566499464,0.15175895139764647,-0.49124025271681776,0.1648989573918324,0.13429704722517374,0.165798624678258,0.16642647735145458,-0.2838193912826468,0.018465720221640895,0.1648721860262727,0.19077420737588313,0.16256337765524573,0.027370931026213192,-0.4133449650016199,-0.3032725813583311,-0.48637307745843317,0.08900804231648612,-0.4758789458192424,0.03565813571311162,0.08012965037423127,0.143271465557666,0.1534037465763734,0.12270043479407322,0.03718636043603237,-0.0993862408985143,0.01711133091723589,0.13157774448007353,0.16630941733419774,0.1574744040160364,0.12937028853045082,0.13075276191847196,0.27515948224475617,-0.4116455581529115,0.03465908510804944,0.11254295435849554,0.08654899639547556,0.13672539811460882,0.14868864469113854,-0.0102793823841405,0.18733889876226711,-0.48241549620616847,0.016741713121851166,0.1499197784012534,-0.026467580605491987,0.1426152214334239,-0.21353464958481003,0.17006895992589993,0.15258549485070233,-0.07666195389041508,-0.11925718330845762,0.14146904782214753,0.14418494345193822,-0.12168141430376585,0.08715471542902284,0.14322338310146976,0.05519467331705253,0.04522096840338467,-0.5291008851082959,-0.5239957591584934,0.08579856106957037,0.08332742095202993,0.1630618164991213,0.027572629056469827,0.1682601892800623,0.10364401790548707,0.09442214389757597,0.154944966953727,-0.08935628902153411,-0.059021343129919704,-0.5413749368077369,0.16738713128993538,-0.027731109297323538,0.2629266492092448,-0.4681969036895493,0.05431369925006124;-0.06661050528883644,-0.07424234856695895,0.16071156477050785,-0.09331617687301076,-0.2787029790199648,0.09388801339372885,-0.06123756239021058,-0.014769189542120918,-0.26829340333129403,-0.05893183382188786,-0.25441025330330613,0.040394503289268906,-0.09040204121677708,0.0011620915334702435,0.07728716647953122,0.10625750150661185,0.1692911316155744,-0.2891800111545733,0.09712376511196395,0.1661684409575239,0.16452634569927202,0.08385021362020895,0.08679559189642713,-0.08935516053482502,-0.08650846855116232,-0.01743865522634256,0.033765229684570075,0.08614962989883192,0.10168251716472738,0.00313048837588863,0.07367188245616375,0.0908453953213922,0.12940906192589413,-0.14072584048268202,0.09771625605145386,-0.08796669587095722,0.059882832053456,-0.12973538753681854,0.10253676253290013,0.12512204316224385,0.08597774658873023,0.16360766397734963,0.09010313605444872,-0.12210536381170706,0.16451636188260269,0.01661762812989397,0.126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x_a{182}=[-10.430045609365118,-2.3326059514449096,37.05827914481556];
std_x_a{182}=[1.2771813766290443,2.1762607160211247,1.32869966639975];
pred_a{182}=[-10.430045609365118];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.1 to 18.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{183}=[-3.4274275431388914,1.4555118295304756,28.443191865906424];
std_x_f{183}=[1.1713099685604387,1.1835532164120575,1.3269750378093899];
pred_f{183}=[-3.4274275431388914];
obs{183}=[-2.9602335266112343];
sqrt_r{183}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{183}=[2.373421082635228];
L_f{183}=[0.03813187887019451,0.03351361850111027,0.06794881092811335,0.020615735350837775,-0.07410830448460302,-0.23175869147530453,0.1244613028956511,0.06506340921355477,-0.0940978866810513,0.12640473419834683,-0.0435544862553127,0.08815015019810792,0.1022510284693149,0.07330262479415399,0.09794961791793146,-0.20142456487492758,0.032743475756576046,-0.08437988360883625,-0.22563545087598255,-0.009024754911284008,-0.02703005503398508,-0.26009356868600175,0.09923164853368015,0.02383991018132505,0.10608915701767777,0.06377431266063244,0.08605683023759883,-0.25206443820274593,0.0993200076103232,0.0732974979373523,0.09775627222024975,0.09984772140559146,-0.14239420741469744,-0.008140448863640235,0.09905921986015373,0.10425468249984722,0.09459378252593502,-0.001914147102578626,-0.2118748095568558,-0.15263880822218107,-0.2506870030804208,0.06169415172953733,-0.24423214289122316,0.00439341423742156,0.056296227882737575,0.07970627519094342,0.09545171674945283,0.058180740676655456,0.0336778704867356,-0.09055237474572697,-0.009307026685172857,0.08472008241050107,0.098033240995287,0.09036548671589509,0.07049093494203883,0.0708013561792023,0.16483097454516377,-0.21106466411938038,0.03144315304599832,0.05766836451694908,0.034113719798290504,0.06755868413491657,0.08375038749426533,-0.02785589982456071,0.10167679903164895,-0.2477746930261559,-0.008905915366415775,0.09352551688438021,-0.0016054107302418488,0.0900596974570525,-0.10439124513010102,0.09107343154678192,0.08681648293243008,-0.03033881585104695,-0.10602434431780666,0.07905097977788293,0.08071589448350489,-0.10615629747712069,0.034316811314894315,0.09007955052830072,0.017570924953112712,0.010462211233252678,-0.27176329404946,-0.2691368080516182,0.03914221194626237,0.03735463015677819,0.09535043627145064,0.02758575661201422,0.10055981656010902,0.06956626634131707,0.04470763237437343,0.0882927593375593,-0.08551594010265401,-0.061785324835007246,-0.27818359848994995,0.09917541311411578,-0.04028665882330499,0.15557237946518934,-0.239834259920261,0.012046409928941593;-0.013811846008665052,-0.0226163886500848,0.1404658417681324,-0.04472359726493234,-0.23396799952585792,-0.10539125900245491,0.06932430247375156,0.038231819866593464,-0.2450574195861679,0.07243907677223094,-0.19210637928124608,0.09065036955074056,0.032582613609978404,0.055509356663721345,0.11983425060048862,-0.08212562295662801,0.11677568467699118,-0.24794559366579114,-0.10013876716324333,0.08176860795772305,0.06581533889634689,-0.12438474671292084,0.12628402785385345,-0.039969890689999114,0.03837486225360157,0.037077991642295374,0.08442446714771373,-0.11960881290711614,0.13566357472568116,0.05630975129430901,0.1177533327849265,0.12902592937447563,-0.03358456875028271,-0.09654923197786437,0.13253169158345032,0.03601839471965146,0.10755514664809603,-0.08473040168669695,-0.08983765496346731,-0.042945259114732966,-0.1190426491031464,0.13718184879687917,-0.11364346842340312,-0.07515434998634533,0.13396750288646553,0.06946723596048421,0.14510138699060168,-0.0388980769306799,0.11701523916948772,-0.24049021662345632,-0.10025685449737787,0.1487989449909654,0.11855904726811896,0.09615054345655684,0.051878218795330555,0.051021196891654505,0.1896673769454893,-0.0896371986808844,0.114230159176467,0.023828612814943247,-0.07725217390044381,-0.023407174159235405,0.07890743424741327,-0.12993590088479923,0.032018211864119524,-0.11569182863724684,-0.09884029386873515,0.1478700245065438,0.08891514509141213,0.15050593560013079,-0.0010039115980219576,0.013699082667090901,0.08645986171976522,0.06352781991109871,-0.2732755496049377,0.06644707633497707,0.07314883647298158,-0.27072889936384037,-0.07642357554432079,0.14850165800035728,-0.052545470014179155,-0.061945944032149786,-0.13199469576494616,-0.13082636913073323,-0.011332204403745829,-0.01429423602219736,0.11113238855202791,0.11208192021674465,0.13084758208859795,0.14296269261975136,-0.001571066719219183,0.09317862383569019,-0.24570102757104723,-0.18890205649445088,-0.1361758382828245,0.1275832796483389,-0.15174792444622143,0.16143517685685982,-0.10995108084435203,-0.11034102180100815;-0.07920631424997475,-0.08083002415412702,0.03807660320379193,-0.08482589368686022,-0.1351731186377878,0.2651926081659044,-0.11823534691268102,-0.06296168591037522,-0.11220745704493361,-0.11774644192698451,-0.14283657081395598,-0.042324222226721435,-0.1261077274409688,-0.05791583030250138,-0.02558653818945401,0.2363163625752694,0.06471827384499496,-0.1341563123215613,0.2598610824944315,0.09153132394161102,0.10535479896260465,0.2945520378546455,-0.020502163163487613,-0.0837381199937114,-0.12566379681621362,-0.0640322837473627,-0.045190246822618074,0.28593246476175865,-0.012365101918151863,-0.05667678456856547,-0.02765862667681034,-0.018791384799862035,0.18672688238970556,-0.09562317715271426,-0.014342719932354126,-0.12587858713449004,-0.03403595181410526,-0.09339457435806121,0.24642788712906166,0.19517105271060342,0.28295581911960427,0.04349320257451305,0.27758408756973896,-0.091808759131718,0.0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k{183}=[0.5786672633371517;0.41939868132431535;-0.4845252246301177];
x_a{183}=[-3.15707766014734,1.6514523839847854,28.216824580102514];
L_a{183}=[-0.06240060320887189,-0.05484308856902268,-0.1111942792977362,-0.033736452532693695,0.12127393245866508,0.3792596267335215,-0.20367368739654046,-0.10647248711693962,0.15398572175176203,-0.20685399975397858,0.07127438498469575,-0.1442525967324968,-0.1673278643555134,-0.1199554844784778,-0.16028885602421586,0.3296195918398475,-0.053582794735102274,0.13808277462040833,0.36923929942965533,0.014768486813707236,0.04423311383714846,0.4256280062150492,-0.16238682460392545,-0.03901262722521652,-0.17360873861891712,-0.10436295554178023,-0.1408270002994022,0.41248880090330875,-0.16253141909664034,-0.11994709467534022,-0.15997245702892257,-0.16339499204720176,0.2330198432228737,0.013321371370430268,-0.16210465510277963,-0.17060672770637864,-0.15479722647605998,0.0031323904662033954,0.34672080980113557,0.24978453693747454,0.41023470839434084,-0.1009588930954022,0.3996717049083074,-0.007189567015430824,-0.09212550449521074,-0.1304346861160015,-0.15620118596211865,-0.0952094001378989,-0.05511187739571889,0.1481836975661291,0.01523040816354326,-0.13863949018396837,-0.160425700329395,-0.14787786616889534,-0.11535431747578427,-0.11586230378597327,-0.2697363084084493,0.34539505388552827,-0.05145489220550344,-0.09437092633637559,-0.05582511945866001,-0.1105558594782908,-0.1370526408207972,0.04558456083151908,-0.166388171260069,0.40546888227976546,0.01457401280653624,-0.15304907185070704,0.0026271613393640154,-0.1473774598219767,0.1708302045125604,-0.14903637673262385,-0.14207012777675723,0.04964770857981471,0.17350267640306596,-0.1293623332640956,-0.1320868694002716,0.17371861007799821,-0.05615746692010615,-0.14740994821903838,-0.028753797308138186,-0.017120800526928607,0.4447248334246538,0.4404267417637911,-0.06405395455835883,-0.06112868086993854,-0.1560354463471855,-0.045142487167300474,-0.16456029437429878,-0.11384115106062395,-0.07316144157748286,-0.14448596829950403,0.1399418650348855,0.10110809258271593,0.4552312884366127,-0.16229479860870852,0.06592677534726006,-0.25458515575154006,0.3924748250702,-0.019713249604777862;-0.08667442712491359,-0.08665437520848815,0.010628920675000807,-0.08411624545792896,-0.09236148794329613,0.3374543850451094,-0.16849696536722916,-0.08609166148244202,-0.06525471632821837,-0.16909570913111852,-0.10888225338497966,-0.07778736967221439,-0.16279915295408004,-0.08455765821586135,-0.0673283595909885,0.3027574232463775,0.054209290651066146,-0.08671209832826962,0.3310065587232055,0.09901315389305748,0.1174645005910732,0.37260331964253357,-0.06332829272434463,-0.085523307958106,-0.16434081916006762,-0.08478227769262148,-0.08001334603057751,0.3620371515518996,-0.054117582809415435,-0.08374746716215874,-0.06903983149939323,-0.061763586268145106,0.23850298097565079,-0.0809944223743627,-0.05675115143990819,-0.16319196379041467,-0.07319511682177123,-0.08107284001750051,0.31501377001818814,0.2487177240662333,0.35997130557018764,0.01929636116869959,0.35303650775045864,-0.08354930745332771,0.026396394612254813,-0.08283590549614146,-0.0372882214002504,-0.15007012149179286,0.05266339911157948,-0.06746229495614385,-0.08247294227243993,-0.013084603884865592,-0.06876335030959604,-0.07652027164698973,-0.08281620532834244,-0.08426638165407115,-0.12529245742697406,0.3136661964264773,0.054148428161753255,-0.08636438086788188,-0.14243683695995996,-0.1524986390630277,-0.08112321682779379,-0.07670871091489675,-0.16226631427484206,0.35775726970454114,-0.08182282711843751,-0.03083899173744032,0.09198277178652826,-0.02158057588825057,0.19846739145553702,-0.160324476890562,-0.07942949955259566,0.1214993779988307,-0.07068371261597646,-0.08460392343327902,-0.08108349047831141,-0.06788492563105937,-0.14199630686957723,-0.023622788833910224,-0.08612007956966046,-0.0819371885557457,0.38729193903487463,0.3834415633460287,-0.0861253349156856,-0.08567164648578586,-0.07106369260485174,0.05937092122196257,-0.0613026084668733,0.010035129792241413,-0.08699862987397919,-0.0755316136301803,-0.08229674991474151,-0.07084235484929274,0.39537874572240145,-0.06192158601441786,-0.07476797923009117,-0.13583328863935232,0.3483253989845667,-0.13335936096008816;0.004970770835280088,-0.006847865402232227,0.18807531841025565,-0.03931613754213976,-0.298769071340775,-0.24642055304165653,0.15651612073288487,0.08066743218134002,-0.3199309169997173,0.16129519937305176,-0.2389841985728322,0.15226945931631086,0.09961399880326476,0.10390156414781625,0.19063971569153768,-0.20833344850419944,0.1370003230493075,-0.32042703520421467,-0.2382348705346072,0.07160894968287666,0.04568527021474744,-0.27961107999062607,0.19855420566125362,-0.0311109165299238,0.10853069507598338,0.07675112116594243,0.14478237807051056,-0.2705061448800126,0.2068863217985328,0.10512929221595649,0.18814081169634841,0.20162498043979846,-0.12761192462259252,-0.11359342349067833,0.2043330082433392,0.10426625595598342,0.17478221073506922,-0.09762010240161637,-0.22129110285834724,-0.1417829691661808,-0.27044206772206386,0.1796845997274903,-0.2615645324784108,-0.08211018630929981,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x_a{183}=[-3.1570776601473387,1.6514523839847874,28.216824580102486];
std_x_a{183}=[1.9167806766497073,1.613694643598825,1.8392369751636282];
pred_a{183}=[-3.1570776601473387];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.2 to 18.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{184}=[-0.20579021261104824,1.3828892905305756,21.67403985815707];
std_x_f{184}=[1.7590271262853452,2.059698290813842,1.1436879948477447];
pred_f{184}=[-0.20579021261104824];
obs{184}=[0.06478222611862094];
sqrt_r{184}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{184}=[4.101988800335202];
L_f{184}=[-0.08838760845005746,-0.08676072819749295,-0.03230550185573758,-0.07859389410065068,-0.02755972418663808,0.37517402305470715,-0.17938940089818442,-0.09955886562546376,0.005513893047980307,-0.1803895782097695,-0.05978335583698348,-0.102450140497518,-0.16883581677092785,-0.10163467954018636,-0.09823336373152355,0.3288211737341375,0.012275397572705505,-0.016864959312309993,0.36705935994287153,0.06313188121112466,0.08620773129168341,0.42182230766963613,-0.09565604071700826,-0.08052936230337349,-0.17150752542274939,-0.0980439344396625,-0.10310378392849552,0.40871227333713633,-0.08955892036639548,-0.1013444674722185,-0.09904025133196157,-0.09512284051563151,0.24147211826817774,-0.060799476299095497,-0.09076180179994205,-0.1696495794422444,-0.10129970238657655,-0.0643880602910904,0.34504717570096993,0.2561580623546529,0.4062094803472543,-0.024094135879637324,0.39640361644020644,-0.06945881967463148,-0.017149381458735805,-0.10312524897884363,-0.07545310551968482,-0.14280816095321014,0.010853416483840762,0.0014699048399617845,-0.061526082903605714,-0.05521936463298547,-0.09939208162880603,-0.10207772192945164,-0.09921892569207595,-0.1002195119658708,-0.156873212342827,0.3436738629859579,0.013354873084045428,-0.09692390768230394,-0.12672240815428595,-0.14866653463458424,-0.10231419314875233,-0.0469188882279305,-0.16794356324606743,0.40224261983255183,-0.06114013848872105,-0.07064231190381821,0.054741014814746,-0.06335043650820081,0.18824296941882612,-0.16313253442062187,-0.10299327918620681,0.09032868612007532,0.010675374620912068,-0.1037588732235949,-0.10195113923887518,0.012473500456942148,-0.1265420952043655,-0.064426506942539,-0.07765759289451665,-0.07187300078976278,0.4414243690388751,0.43683873331858675,-0.0883305345304546,-0.08759338152309615,-0.09975614699478957,0.018299946698161196,-0.09492977216223114,-0.03324730493208769,-0.09168820185314618,-0.10100498411626767,-0.011903807115765016,-0.021177773594747075,0.4524294417711303,-0.09494110164732666,-0.0380828261248776,-0.16321769580362225,0.38951397737803634,-0.10957113305208097;-0.12099436583825919,-0.12194026961625133,0.006334356186482673,-0.12137147210517878,-0.1241354619063989,0.436690633781038,-0.1838319894359389,-0.11150656603677317,-0.08332051460208949,-0.18288121270672783,-0.15219442827793306,-0.09132363683623972,-0.19012515038672534,-0.1066342714840785,-0.07362330488789488,0.3810128208602562,0.0466181927560925,-0.1143931771958412,0.4258125382077553,0.09352806882129283,0.11535097399030488,0.4924609657453708,-0.06794391253224202,-0.12188377578697085,-0.19037862270803424,-0.11084162460725698,-0.09462286542253602,0.4762846255856448,-0.056816367865096584,-0.10563224693505689,-0.0757644527040241,-0.06598533132264968,0.2799355543297116,-0.11967712210708574,-0.060039078208894064,-0.19007455327382414,-0.08261104958878726,-0.11991638191732382,0.4004836463150418,0.29635234521237325,0.4735451055723548,0.014121888816540503,0.46196824186858865,-0.12224934244922502,0.019570250726629705,-0.10140088305714702,-0.03793511101195645,-0.19505369376292117,0.044794710674806955,-0.08707751094844603,-0.1217239730774103,-0.015157954798437354,-0.07568980906654968,-0.08850494330769271,-0.10527618887636275,-0.10695687359240189,-0.0988022162814972,0.3984389914121,0.04703230646863796,-0.11425797265432425,-0.1921999609872462,-0.19499472477884905,-0.09771545229074849,-0.11408576541448567,-0.1903683727060597,0.4690514936071117,-0.12057450102080404,-0.032240221551493184,0.08568793724545709,-0.022930904886233443,0.22083692027760723,-0.193526750236183,-0.09374902109514019,0.11961752687486768,-0.08448146256984496,-0.10376637844010139,-0.09891767822009477,-0.08060829818835154,-0.1915991916447308,-0.02483547014172079,-0.1237808392815167,-0.12038774856448262,0.5160878640353002,0.5107304031776398,-0.11957516306056334,-0.11995271750257183,-0.08015446030133741,0.05164188780439682,-0.06517515086227284,0.00601023400487921,-0.11896237511450199,-0.08920636385019422,-0.10614004793466612,-0.10103869815717616,0.5294618967148397,-0.06680586820902783,-0.11004034992033222,-0.1192714865308377,0.45335244153862175,-0.18517971996968974;-0.013156947073490223,-0.02115398462694138,0.10768183765128421,-0.04618335726750772,-0.23948882407661187,-0.08784371003497655,0.11586675595322171,0.0419098878308072,-0.25620297864543234,0.11938978939569832,-0.19261638868886008,0.0926784999729134,0.07250131130068674,0.058399802843263154,0.11798696487652845,-0.087405921242511,0.07118489856938168,-0.2560429508586188,-0.08716249699912236,0.02834783523567785,0.013067486601758006,-0.08175619100380564,0.12286306095817075,-0.039426008666857616,0.07965127411271553,0.03908572465781479,0.08720503652662681,-0.08338580773066735,0.12727386401549823,0.059240769321368694,0.11642001984214947,0.1247222138021984,-0.06911330196696804,-0.10189291655871484,0.12561346659135336,0.07545477860278108,0.10786496797832418,-0.0897000239298104,-0.08787549930793259,-0.07359437469356003,-0.08537031830570374,0.10217336272010737,-0.08563249946700618,-0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k{184}=[0.7562158141635386;0.86806972997582;-0.2063347556908188];
x_a{184}=[-0.0011790555668773073,1.6177650343575387,21.618211360115115];
L_a{184}=[0.06096438320380752,0.05984226039854775,0.02228236547250097,0.0542092761808221,0.01900901739246405,-0.2587721662651958,0.12373187113935583,0.06866963527762701,-0.003803147235416089,0.12442173246680326,0.041234913789016336,0.07066386039965926,0.11645265227383785,0.07010140515098483,0.06775538488872537,-0.2268007969961167,-0.00846682079903048,0.011632420655585935,-0.2531751664119949,-0.04354452242824261,-0.059460836849847314,-0.29094730878725755,0.065977704615979,0.055544244139099246,0.11829543400438584,0.06762472811294501,0.0711147037848752,-0.2819048064401869,0.06177228274731817,0.06990123456109991,0.06831192675854321,0.06560993562696468,-0.1665527443188415,0.04193577172962261,0.06260195701896593,0.11701393614836561,0.0698703583344087,0.044410958166764984,-0.23799250383283485,-0.17668221312897983,-0.2801785324342421,0.016618665879627195,-0.27341504538716954,0.04790845881887477,0.011828597710609888,0.07112950906785388,0.05204295171555116,0.09850036223009566,-0.0074860249439293765,-0.001013850736635683,0.042436940663283816,0.03808695092885404,0.06855459784576523,0.07040698877824152,0.0684351654381467,0.06912530884279112,0.1082015771145593,-0.23704527645464504,-0.009211377189756186,0.06685220194517666,0.0874053907182298,0.10254111120300388,0.07057009220736374,0.03236178839526362,0.11583723019422267,-0.27744243391573764,0.042170739737418785,0.048724759599539355,-0.0377570143898301,0.04369526854657108,-0.1298385228915475,0.11251887584498432,0.07103848435125931,-0.0623032202306084,-0.00736322252232026,0.07156654443900623,0.07031967975618969,-0.008603460089991884,0.08728102183928502,0.044437476322792886,0.05356347269630776,0.04957361375639542,-0.3044676155571152,-0.3013047236293094,0.060925017093935,0.06041657389461679,0.06880570793769163,-0.01262218746133773,0.06547676884841248,0.022931963811634398,0.06324093129187532,0.06966707964089772,0.008210520358176253,0.014607136989832216,-0.3120582437345263,0.06548458323645787,0.026267211502536116,0.11257761497458009,-0.2686629924321516,0.07557548688781295;0.05044868076045146,0.04634716148564807,0.06899646185005492,0.0310749724242662,-0.07067861245846785,-0.2910242421513486,0.16412476555285646,0.0816050650849769,-0.09401566338303347,0.16701555908356266,-0.03623427458310117,0.1073961217290688,0.13736110373615962,0.0905037595816536,0.11691728616438779,-0.2567926905650035,0.02280793705419518,-0.0816806730793907,-0.286162545796656,-0.028927128713086114,-0.05186382401342586,-0.32573632252093626,0.11759751497861352,0.03431684391576455,0.14228987221675277,0.07933153558586839,0.10536474757577649,-0.31648348469529475,0.11689864068592569,0.09094286765443381,0.11634123634002057,0.11852186222063874,-0.18844136354936528,-0.0017460271141398224,0.11600912683064715,0.13899013422931955,0.11387723537833579,0.00497539210463571,-0.26879500099534864,-0.20051050005534082,-0.31436840503431346,0.060856630629386115,-0.3069251005014137,0.012478046004756441,0.052834440765558,0.09862836511708668,0.10841923110080767,0.08194742236990789,0.023742633119775838,-0.08992864549538458,-0.0023834989628834873,0.0919495489561568,0.11709831566089542,0.10949244506298285,0.08717606997745776,0.08743619531581859,0.20548049851757305,-0.26817587847605817,0.021128221398143267,0.07374270201825295,0.053600056767187675,0.09336971987548871,0.10074061288972809,-0.023078470592543233,0.13538720145700983,-0.3111676052601896,-0.0019826328190955134,0.10478275467724191,-0.020491724341925914,0.09994821842957657,-0.14429286141783232,0.12289700181321718,0.10602424885199335,-0.05559057542868893,-0.10518819715273482,0.09749189349463303,0.09883418113922207,-0.10480280868126664,0.053851077971727244,0.10013087780718907,0.02684948719553905,0.019022361513911276,-0.3401310109634511,-0.33659383859973246,0.05175717880442241,0.04994978866929946,0.11333983214124133,0.016145977579610817,0.11895755323289962,0.07049912954926069,0.05888274297965917,0.10671026408223692,-0.08305055616271362,-0.05996074516207151,-0.3481032193503201,0.11734881138107207,-0.03617212508169829,0.19731745074316767,-0.302177254823792,0.027352434696943956;-0.05390788897745464,-0.0611548564269674,0.09278744631762313,-0.08241892545025402,-0.25219518347373887,0.08512957304709333,0.033159607492252906,-0.003991541343173382,-0.25366080854712186,0.036221511052014314,-0.22017939331425926,0.045444053915620806,-0.005340126896252892,0.011541323538323003,0.07269665587675243,0.06419646717604914,0.07684444770873927,-0.2638185088717881,0.08206953580093004,0.05745467123493616,0.052813400210507656,0.11272419663282021,0.07876102192376695,-0.07655392085199547,5.780496284907264E-4,-0.0061172483205106844,0.03966922938548156,0.10505022304631416,0.08598289093871295,0.012516091748696232,0.0707576968202148,0.0808660057254423,0.042216967462528204,-0.1299244016266232,0.0837679072747616,-0.002761843354913631,0.06116092926483414,-0.11938601894927947,0.07120785703225183,0.044506821846278445,0.10191180443465575,0.09106480634354101,0.09712864802126134,-0.1100505217947692,0.08673923004541473,0.0249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x_a{184}=[-0.0011790555668772186,1.6177650343575392,21.618211360115115];
std_x_a{184}=[1.2132696615877534,1.4531131102510886,1.088217916578553];
pred_a{184}=[-0.0011790555668772186];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.3 to 18.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{185}=[1.1238574915682344,2.061207659191621,16.88960067847236];
std_x_f{185}=[1.6584565620066303,2.4115010157260888,0.9568339530772402];
pred_f{185}=[1.1238574915682344];
obs{185}=[1.1829445549232156];
sqrt_r{185}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{185}=[3.7555242758075886];
L_f{185}=[0.07103596092638952,0.06815454079090358,0.057108722738792715,0.0552490349866183,-0.03473574471766505,-0.3459776760122831,0.18139069464950933,0.09534205525538675,-0.06674943407847417,0.18348268611193336,0.003074814580808137,0.11170336772020176,0.1614148092793827,0.10145425134261297,0.11556436893558038,-0.30627033549785965,0.00869535822417936,-0.04726828966833454,-0.3402094914977238,-0.04685002652776973,-0.0710405350893115,-0.3840932149545504,0.11490343779344785,0.05774389372969396,0.16529997923561351,0.09337610221665522,0.11221864771404348,-0.37416823084557305,0.11185292083111688,0.10137806612723034,0.11579868045107843,0.11569711738950508,-0.22700387967563365,0.025975769662573138,0.11166747446209216,0.16237670365125412,0.11502974281701002,0.03189653387077418,-0.3199985381791657,-0.24079759607879,-0.3719121590025182,0.048393346208136706,-0.36390335412430996,0.0389990516727322,0.040170336590386733,0.10763406091397373,0.09990833636841445,0.11649430092195898,0.009909537988848964,-0.06206661186198148,0.02557505272222858,0.08111009795182757,0.11638664905867274,0.11297904832362131,0.09834378679964308,0.09895587198730088,0.19361669232520612,-0.3192704643818108,0.006997767873145928,0.08908377451656738,0.09189830690441762,0.12610137434578925,0.10801626487753184,0.005495269256988923,0.1593388076054018,-0.3686070413378793,0.02571837223527988,0.09574770681400267,-0.037762951773217736,0.08999700212826751,-0.17596509930660295,0.15048078979617513,0.11114207048600308,-0.07492660646551291,-0.07680462645923232,0.1069651145451261,0.10693790169770186,-0.07760252683071138,0.09158583705086366,0.08993126846589942,0.05202322082773455,0.044744677347344886,-0.40024804108396167,-0.3966187278168875,0.07233780331148779,0.07063552434392346,0.11425272522796145,0.0019705450950744884,0.11523110870112502,0.05893443971376634,0.0785285732829589,0.11070154029217265,-0.05055641161507975,-0.03035608403903731,-0.4087482440438556,0.114308943517398,-0.007174040253323113,0.19161780101101078,-0.35827652064541987,0.06787606726601578;0.10276150458731272,0.09781430405895408,0.0890515762576832,0.07728363836271497,-0.06785817679878461,-0.500856441782263,0.2654228953721902,0.1401092345513887,-0.11739038710143257,0.26875401790804565,-0.007628474497872413,0.16637263444385525,0.23570858842988512,0.1496121532825261,0.17281994830131422,-0.4470917765949966,0.017630378985707428,-0.08852696379701928,-0.4924687309778233,-0.06524315592973862,-0.10183391394066593,-0.5506847048451446,0.1720880806527033,0.0817565291544551,0.24175928493720258,0.13702000014193702,0.16537592965948472,-0.5377889697407625,0.16793720232656117,0.14955970642791067,0.17275310356699958,0.17311577574338158,-0.333441499544585,0.031001415950550455,0.1677533639066117,0.23706076931658643,0.17148762093174932,0.04088278723658865,-0.46570743060373676,-0.3542304824130634,-0.5346087341123201,0.076237335605546,-0.5244652335523738,0.05174551872885992,0.06387678542311623,0.15917380673280374,0.15140570936056977,0.16827067175751018,0.018468549440051125,-0.11010204307994305,0.031030454505702562,0.12414196346033937,0.17407420622516434,0.16816839761385108,0.14549707952054503,0.1462878967990776,0.28536895470553975,-0.465155450651977,0.015049639424817341,0.13097210234981296,0.13063668737740317,0.1827963113239721,0.1601099182610388,-8.032806103085248E-4,0.23309237555415394,-0.5300977953636398,0.03078627355933007,0.14519520858486495,-0.05148077388926335,0.13715112823460918,-0.2586780938066332,0.2191153651292093,0.1646947425681884,-0.10827729092317817,-0.13512638196820442,0.15772613450808481,0.15827948690446103,-0.13638197873738472,0.13102140408432866,0.13737592305682408,0.07240134343139432,0.06016330157075001,-0.5709352485701978,-0.5660398842620704,0.10412424657326318,0.10183857559109044,0.17033968097829555,0.0075100892355876156,0.1725420199852815,0.09107475308799438,0.11340249909061524,0.16444166847941638,-0.09358579922150148,-0.059255459018942074,-0.5814924864846722,0.17116876824306448,-0.021409519439472162,0.28253851405597996,-0.5167546148994716,0.09321324154264078;-0.046051982141781585,-0.052366820368947305,0.06177096965295818,-0.07233225150103283,-0.22131960318679747,0.07337710353841402,0.06628197275158537,4.213476459157376E-4,-0.22656563523430534,0.06933616374101141,-0.19080220399942271,0.04397356618548363,0.02656804878329089,0.014448721189124356,0.06662690767259438,0.0442007475917102,0.037516591162204294,-0.2321206406357797,0.06830545261156708,0.013347795439452456,0.007174733888779316,0.10951369692191483,0.07150872198405303,-0.06730802948026963,0.032922349992004385,-0.0016876317004697794,0.039664978559430346,0.1001588343749837,0.07524143463071013,0.015249134680991766,0.06529832659845232,0.07273885497610369,0.007504685903733213,-0.1165657437401515,0.07583200213136856,0.028742602026217017,0.05693564727154476,-0.10681492485816507,0.05331770008136655,0.011996677632211789,0.09627249547840531,0.05750297372289458,0.0894823171623826,-0.0980899249542717,0.05209463850289492,0.026873256239860262,0.078735837930817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k{185}=[0.733725592870795;1.0663818467922745;-0.046143403895393696];
x_a{185}=[1.1672111821593623,2.1242170309336377,16.88687420024298];
L_a{185}=[-0.05361358397076188,-0.05143886487955537,-0.043102159273835775,-0.04169858108385506,0.026216408448916036,0.26112271788812613,-0.1369025647331461,-0.07195833235333543,0.05037837656163313,-0.1384814715076039,-0.002320681350302432,-0.08430684694037974,-0.12182599233636551,-0.07657144286658443,-0.08722089371573657,0.23115405402882142,-0.006562722770667879,0.03567520428017609,0.2567692461986161,0.03535952492965954,0.053617036268227995,0.2898899876064827,-0.08672206344969251,-0.043581547358580164,-0.12475828019412967,-0.07047455164635204,-0.08469574865801692,0.2823992186776785,-0.08441972045071969,-0.07651394294134947,-0.08739773766839995,-0.08732108410224877,0.17132859759988145,-0.01960491685968269,-0.084279756911857,-0.12255197117869808,-0.08681739073038758,-0.024073546338439316,0.2415152589400144,0.18173924824787974,0.28069647410120974,-0.0365243279139232,0.2746519196636594,-0.029434090907882144,-0.030318104884288093,-0.08123558388835232,-0.07540468111380488,-0.08792274931096772,-0.00747911114522901,0.046844069728165266,-0.019302480304317023,-0.061216924367690786,-0.08784150029094119,-0.08526965237384429,-0.07422385511261005,-0.07468581944979626,-0.1461299974934567,0.2409657535182204,-0.005281485751471393,-0.0672349661099902,-0.0693592024340518,-0.09517357876417283,-0.08152404798494432,-0.004147492001365647,-0.12025915367296297,0.27820197411647685,-0.01941064907753294,-0.0722644932557446,0.028501158560735533,-0.06792421426832848,0.13280765832637972,-0.11357366542959858,-0.08388321423370816,0.05655000446246777,0.05796741870335299,-0.08073070422106213,-0.08071016563382472,0.058569624938177134,-0.06912336936424623,-0.06787460253391807,-0.0392639345185667,-0.03377053656939179,0.30208265897922226,0.29934347604901457,-0.0545961347115407,-0.05331135901231778,-0.0862309455382068,-0.0014872465093057259,-0.08696936934229145,-0.044480098405904764,-0.05926854797069378,-0.083550729077872,0.038156876940036326,0.02291090933980482,0.3084980905327004,-0.08627337565306827,0.005414525326541766,-0.14462135699751008,0.27040513106143893,-0.05122869015233818;-0.07840160759085016,-0.07600031824971526,-0.056592880563284674,-0.06361805413902791,0.020728442355973684,0.38149091740252095,-0.19717805116693224,-0.10304174456222784,0.05284078956017835,-0.19918213743293456,-0.01547017849631953,-0.11850462311789468,-0.1759478292400298,-0.1091267682051302,-0.12190402615114529,0.33398989560393494,-0.0045454054599859215,0.032021422569260896,0.37516801903594776,0.054238533354303585,0.0793408637317022,0.428868767512156,-0.1209503201679972,-0.06550780514795065,-0.17980548719759004,-0.1011172061410173,-0.1208154472033926,0.4164528015280659,-0.11732146074665051,-0.10898491979660417,-0.12256843587667318,-0.12194674727991742,0.24548681763789337,-0.03524462636274016,-0.117032355027934,-0.17704876893792135,-0.12187289577017311,-0.040462988457408616,0.3503852964176271,0.25987596932985624,0.413879373926573,-0.04718028405425102,0.4035980080154747,-0.047713818216696575,-0.038569681113740026,-0.1153254918936408,-0.10339066296978229,-0.1288249095623632,-0.006803759386290001,0.048186525423020064,-0.03419363882472631,-0.08271323470127094,-0.12274683039466724,-0.11996223000507715,-0.10530921981946163,-0.10607940426552234,-0.20841197109376902,0.3490804687285235,-0.002796777934316525,-0.09621837449504374,-0.10373169541902609,-0.1388002030119088,-0.11536411567723963,-0.014817873611798527,-0.1732696120941105,0.4099612663945749,-0.03480332772906298,-0.09899030427560881,0.04482613572457575,-0.0923683542871619,0.19008594921317457,-0.1646560071022807,-0.11875103785890598,0.08280814010670079,0.06074856612258361,-0.11506714924250964,-0.11444439588264493,0.06152785580556311,-0.102550086400186,-0.09197591881232313,-0.06027355063318316,-0.05394911270422008,0.4498178998403905,0.4454574213618769,-0.08035895609110054,-0.07830330260130679,-0.1210392066611991,0.002484605277102994,-0.12133204041728289,-0.059225832330789804,-0.08686903303652582,-0.11788062716782852,0.035348289221941456,0.01816170527834345,0.4609387416235521,-0.12035349297993406,-0.003113554378477072,-0.20614463638190608,0.3969585052446607,-0.079891189339459;-0.03821287396366584,-0.044845688661538756,0.06807315026155597,-0.06623529502506681,-0.22515283436911862,0.0351970550938831,0.08629917614149293,0.010942732523715066,-0.2339317076819122,0.08958422692598274,-0.19046288566245292,0.056300488662479296,0.04438083170322932,0.025644611848344333,0.07937990739002562,0.010402566214204387,0.038476159427036326,-0.2373368892973353,0.030761946867539948,0.008177703822344047,-6.648790668816978E-4,0.06712744320981179,0.08418878525276308,-0.060935755160763265,0.05116387727156124,0.008616802236668945,0.05204876428654722,0.058867843162067286,0.08758486090380499,0.026436617990791274,0.07807718354781798,0.08550650402715712,-0.01754611859616332,-0.11369921155364773,0.08815496364085543,0.04666153391547564,0.06962964881504179,-0.10329501217930322,0.01800455551470408,-0.014576319763401718,0.055230471000149474,0.06284337696484804,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x_a{185}=[1.167211182159362,2.1242170309336372,16.886874200242975];
std_x_a{185}=[1.251701236802325,1.820651508410784,0.9547258801038114];
pred_a{185}=[1.167211182159362];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.4 to 18.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{186}=[2.368044564304947,3.971927742422338,13.783285038609318];
std_x_f{186}=[2.1429214278622797,3.3782859681889805,1.6222969481291307];
pred_f{186}=[2.368044564304947];
obs{186}=[2.4343195937436395];
sqrt_r{186}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{186}=[5.600520016707416];
L_f{186}=[-0.09169389683126414,-0.08820602241210969,-0.07182971506277132,-0.07099803413262991,0.05012934515161914,0.445222316174611,-0.24014634310325916,-0.12455975699445325,0.09414550697544774,-0.24161836382399396,3.9000453575813713E-4,-0.1455617342154472,-0.21341039814338048,-0.13207803392757128,-0.15027250165717637,0.3972791283749643,-0.007154885853771094,0.06750845711792032,0.43858070217101525,0.06657793447634955,0.09834710971856767,0.4897469815128464,-0.14967640836691695,-0.07425352268596236,-0.21882624867982894,-0.12174314965094804,-0.14738706253093262,0.47828844520379143,-0.14533752728356883,-0.13222028972148828,-0.1508827311216729,-0.15063265887002922,0.2999092431651802,-0.032428280182344914,-0.14514404590490018,-0.2150136061707933,-0.15024427184192868,-0.03915659224454404,0.4140415556762279,0.3165571813704252,0.47607955511636496,-0.060525547173275525,0.46635479904117866,-0.04923859576181942,-0.049937071980206804,-0.14073335305756524,-0.12879597187261516,-0.15372911983348442,-0.009674563748637413,0.08757294092970978,-0.031224387034593442,-0.10418090593729942,-0.15148222180416718,-0.14713957824172894,-0.12789936629456197,-0.12919760103059463,-0.25369000338749365,0.4132947883456091,-0.004737992636607988,-0.11553398325396881,-0.12146341313034,-0.16695941337328837,-0.14117690930854784,-0.0036541383366974476,-0.21049333907470566,0.47259311807719256,-0.03167543515032734,-0.12366014563984674,0.05468629970473124,-0.11592780392224147,0.23500271954953222,-0.19934833107461086,-0.14584075163971574,0.10349784380464193,0.10753106835381065,-0.14018246687554609,-0.13982991176702783,0.10845291807996275,-0.11996162298782788,-0.11577254208997606,-0.06616848339959547,-0.05792222172804257,0.5081370917400385,0.5045325723981753,-0.09405305782885959,-0.09151170673090363,-0.14890406285482766,7.707659579004212E-4,-0.14957059703081133,-0.07460078844181896,-0.10259875190380027,-0.14450301430925894,0.07113710456973363,0.04464714202981273,0.5178053799302949,-0.14859492587962098,0.01387597762894198,-0.25115212396044634,0.4602144489625204,-0.0891881429438787;-0.14314695276669065,-0.13700028919815244,-0.113670467689278,-0.10705523045540531,0.10848498244520718,0.6942763345169879,-0.39350577400191894,-0.2000169120724895,0.18348818962456215,-0.3968472139984923,0.01962511135580985,-0.2359679509493163,-0.350290761727523,-0.2132835956093715,-0.24453999256041223,0.6310428578763305,-0.005801670523929094,0.13780387849420894,0.6860768903480465,0.11722673699650263,0.170261641888002,0.7487895838950678,-0.24327416893646217,-0.11284467837016571,-0.3586108820558116,-0.19538718638164335,-0.23884186209819785,0.7344712240732286,-0.2363165187647647,-0.21362479148669428,-0.24590369271352075,-0.24492141048745403,0.490671797525011,-0.03959548588758004,-0.23605226651129285,-0.352817342330173,-0.24368986209933796,-0.05138692966897087,0.6537986403581753,0.5155071360030712,0.7329015884166132,-0.09464949318617566,0.7206803391409512,-0.06880742767894546,-0.0767141842302601,-0.22813008538713234,-0.20828581093847304,-0.24859338192895877,-0.010145518487377906,0.17180094557798567,-0.03718267718974073,-0.1679549632166398,-0.2461492314802737,-0.23880699460913116,-0.2059231175458624,-0.20769008693704458,-0.4155803880269589,0.6519152793729873,-0.0017747445917724537,-0.18417485357463723,-0.19126218283626195,-0.27029331571114124,-0.2290800409567734,0.011119181202601473,-0.34447967413538744,0.7280883112891915,-0.03819971331674305,-0.200516687306799,0.09761593195988165,-0.18735596350694875,0.3910618020889349,-0.3259204370244524,-0.23592348651793893,0.1781029345533677,0.2073626456829681,-0.22639350780434256,-0.226496150112886,0.20904216058114775,-0.19010525111459087,-0.18702788103570694,-0.09914337043762919,-0.08381953005019924,0.7700311445311823,0.7658528572609165,-0.14755940177635601,-0.14265240693377923,-0.2414917179264784,0.008624129607628832,-0.24383492975381998,-0.11808014754732922,-0.16189863219311434,-0.23450397283233262,0.1455345413893859,0.09510818339135457,0.780548908300117,-0.24179658501948503,0.041649463339155375,-0.41193523335342436,0.7130664492748499,-0.13690473480308749;-0.09692620942702189,-0.1009218337785153,-0.010619566440930428,-0.11343591329572474,-0.18952056236409587,0.33030947546000955,-0.0188193152745274,-0.06629871061135721,-0.17463364768160966,-0.016573624834177788,-0.18527496792727188,-0.035237154465039236,-0.051262260212037176,-0.056358160287472286,-0.018327376237744882,0.25768260816995714,-0.011798791094458702,-0.19122455407034666,0.31987510827817534,-0.002081520919474208,0.007603959889781015,0.40925890577626606,-0.014332218260343348,-0.10987629729507642,-0.04609912825374569,-0.0676701876257504,-0.03878047126385921,0.38887532648757306,-0.011164893148132122,-0.05623463963978746,-0.0193690416431372,-0.013498793393088768,0.14113797780419052,-0.13779092940893123,-0.010731172573123,-0.04910688502704103,-0.025448172362192864,-0.1320153034525412,0.28230073246219367,0.15747870076731782,0.3831985569103395,-0.010859777919246395,0.3665578604027884,-0.127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k{186}=[0.8214451520543069;1.2937989006645334;0.4909989047251002];
x_a{186}=[2.4224858659396173,4.057674302651628,13.815826005474339];
L_a{186}=[0.04832343690844378,0.046485298436164744,0.03785484992937768,0.037416547246815965,-0.026418576714583815,-0.2346358181884951,0.12655909565168685,0.06564401521214736,-0.04961545559475364,0.1273348626643734,-2.0553559428723812E-4,0.07671222974183298,0.11246903301825077,0.06960620891961168,0.07919484288324669,-0.2093693643579932,0.003770683623339369,-0.035577511492694246,-0.23113563304679893,-0.035087118416211024,-0.05182973475714035,-0.2581006825981858,0.07888069682228895,0.03913221645872267,0.11532323074293943,0.06415964000329136,0.07767419275942467,-0.25206193982981284,0.07659407084684111,0.06968117889165756,0.07951643882415801,0.07938464869316278,-0.15805463494501987,0.017089970059016846,0.0764921045708058,0.11331393681927884,0.0791799655386992,0.020635845789833865,-0.2182033012514767,-0.16682823514435732,-0.2508978366073938,0.03189746058627086,-0.24577281026552047,0.025949144468526687,0.02631724717369804,0.07416763320579293,0.06787653525404481,0.08101650905876946,0.005098574573445244,-0.046151659294087585,0.01645550847999898,0.05490419328987542,0.07983237533873339,0.07754376650589569,0.06740401674866875,0.0680881971197405,0.13369671588456844,-0.21780974873344167,0.0024969610427739617,0.06088735830290077,0.06401221655885539,0.0879889824429842,0.0744013909939382,0.0019257609227043538,0.11093171892500527,-0.24906045564617504,0.016693214542414868,0.06516991263783473,-0.028820129200101772,0.06109490503037298,-0.1238483637832754,0.10505820815113419,0.07685927421658978,-0.054544213934512545,-0.05666975640543621,0.07387731166226046,0.07369151222378137,-0.05715557878424469,0.06322076081633252,0.06101308076927122,0.03487133433506287,0.03052548668994526,-0.2677924217652801,-0.2658928104604803,0.04956673413501893,0.04822742122883626,0.07847366439249008,-4.0619999176519253E-4,0.07882493337890617,0.039315228364896426,0.054070385116601546,0.07615427565373734,-0.03748983850965333,-0.023529410632315586,-0.2728876890679034,0.07831074666695212,-0.007312754203576707,0.13235923257747578,-0.2425367953302209,0.04700288402466807;0.07738423183324805,0.07514227735878122,0.05908576472845011,0.0637007425440669,-0.012080117867297183,-0.3765190857823282,0.18406546412925237,0.09955930524126003,-0.04293931422843399,0.18426435216450776,0.01868711913121956,0.11411970797117231,0.16297838196599018,0.10437468142163461,0.11687744031669052,-0.3244453460832769,0.011406404468380305,-0.02455938158323836,-0.3687449149726863,-0.042898541410034914,-0.06627105393718952,-0.42909123172806113,0.11670961171322022,0.06574100600518082,0.167683817052988,0.09741486410659629,0.11563585798894116,-0.41585089164354305,0.11323190448147095,0.1043756221513585,0.11698139102513128,0.11736222940600902,-0.23063401402096914,0.03839713183605533,0.1130308184833213,0.16430764540164194,0.11765967580533207,0.04278781882576,-0.3420045472291927,-0.245838303701644,-0.41210796927323057,0.05091930776951533,-0.4009403993218861,0.04961534882682072,0.0433884836660891,0.11034492914539618,0.10147884331148925,0.12113749521732634,0.01312258416399911,-0.03881900917940151,0.03791448084486065,0.08260848094940429,0.11817767548692293,0.11507550589029203,0.10168512829437938,0.10304051768736944,0.19456444059952846,-0.34209187282126374,0.009620508144620026,0.0936936531530642,0.1008670788579848,0.13125747974777782,0.11046176197548792,0.019907677317745155,0.1617737082676371,-0.40853608537192343,0.03798225165389026,0.09689589246326509,-0.03390900996143997,0.09145971355046306,-0.17413860837933345,0.15352830623056465,0.11483523171210377,-0.07081769033597447,-0.0512582081018969,0.11075658122606646,0.10980601557251199,-0.05179581581663867,0.0984120846980658,0.09141437884808797,0.05999714525172902,0.05548806417116686,-0.452079362854194,-0.4475884916761354,0.07864575445573097,0.07744059584552189,0.11663450974980465,0.006770375588886634,0.11589436613622321,0.061340738855159546,0.08485960448055736,0.11303737970201867,-0.02555590717822363,-0.012271778210181258,-0.4648146085148224,0.1155861434087355,0.00827662294581901,0.19210579146757759,-0.39378625419873686,0.07759991049382756;-0.013234246139154835,-0.020413365444274526,0.054941720446832286,-0.048633728292362524,-0.23527522498678474,-0.07605922548846976,0.2003699614959714,0.047390978340449,-0.26056327425213477,0.20395921250442975,-0.18563093758737756,0.09762171332302652,0.14352426128930487,0.06419370138050078,0.11883116022419546,-0.10492680615320714,-0.005268297082358789,-0.25284169010646224,-0.08043157835342964,-0.06284933906805143,-0.08216060438847925,-0.0377488866021417,0.12228224471918904,-0.04210272337811012,0.15363061389731025,0.043448693382068235,0.09574443227628103,-0.04767389194806881,0.1214893337754911,0.06444706345813284,0.11834647084125119,0.12398847011915275,-0.1325988164217271,-0.1081925970411425,0.12174645768485516,0.14714293590872243,0.11168459784110898,-0.09627582466652214,-0.0956082873831843,-0.13145320110743286,-0.051334536630490625,0.04438383203797262,-0.05909913607428974,-0.08297646128814755,0.03326818296412264,0.080763063978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x_a{186}=[2.4224858659396173,4.057674302651625,13.815826005474339];
std_x_a{186}=[1.1293371968868897,1.7845031480874514,1.2057845474951023];
pred_a{186}=[2.4224858659396173];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.5 to 18.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{187}=[4.938021515704213,8.55652042797547,12.970575110743487];
std_x_f{187}=[2.1663232464157205,3.6685601243166848,1.9252187678617674];
pred_f{187}=[4.938021515704213];
obs{187}=[5.176466647805382];
sqrt_r{187}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{187}=[5.7032244620554895];
L_f{187}=[0.10133140724546243,0.09963725755854917,0.07146858975783175,0.08768499938172096,0.0018539365528440984,-0.4649566290820283,0.20221159900657423,0.12236380557479713,-0.03937532471592855,0.20211407925764552,0.04126941510331159,0.1340538575759159,0.18656149280776677,0.1263302928861084,0.13428292560238336,-0.4030882801907674,0.01834215981351778,-0.01437010888544343,-0.45539725544392207,-0.04634857314349238,-0.07549214121656289,-0.524591785281838,0.13366566636154734,0.09062490164171473,0.19041664659971988,0.11998232842915665,0.1356814866483917,-0.510025436969844,0.1298556151115107,0.12619547605040157,0.13582077426876807,0.13408898432652408,-0.28559789127749746,0.060787831779915535,0.12933440390804896,0.18749118555996835,0.1361548046781744,0.06555383702486724,-0.4238375419837956,-0.3054506525131747,-0.5059765712209132,0.06303419967333553,-0.49299570218711625,0.07293315377916085,0.054770707973526275,0.13196494307309722,0.11689011165965445,0.15110425412766237,0.020244540331133192,-0.034723234945594296,0.060215622442066075,0.09596319003769584,0.13535258856678775,0.1342879107731634,0.12462277168134889,0.1257484953292121,0.20046317892842955,-0.4236891117955622,0.016183213645387485,0.11698513140111619,0.13171295813462586,0.15976221755285105,0.13076844862536466,0.039099794383508565,0.18536468620583768,-0.5014513672295592,0.06021860150887818,0.11214827059326596,-0.03553718132857325,0.10582118980257513,-0.21376439732766314,0.1789125629368458,0.1350499651784114,-0.08099704899356217,-0.05024404721038662,0.13195377020218105,0.13160855201731328,-0.05120998205799058,0.12950965675971712,0.10580226477117026,0.08491201136252431,0.07951408865993632,-0.549959392936434,-0.5454258086463536,0.10328941411032926,0.10151624545853992,0.13519545469911542,0.012240283358505065,0.132681217978379,0.07373963726045346,0.10934535917829283,0.1327313156898439,-0.01627077737402238,0.0011104688773708037,-0.5638556914690644,0.13300648704980467,0.025836677377171414,0.20104725598297393,-0.48442798228856765,0.10923728806397018;0.18253010317729432,0.18068109420926795,0.12215831584949657,0.16765622315845227,0.05590250112997194,-0.7997726046437749,0.2904183368573243,0.2038306820675743,-0.010623468914187285,0.2895643638744606,0.11497839324435469,0.2116254721036099,0.28043578996511886,0.20621037732499387,0.20761372258624822,-0.6845394497419744,0.04590407245358189,0.030331867470062175,-0.7824145049614644,-0.05405303580298684,-0.10121909439391275,-0.9111833479854418,0.20601401574945863,0.17051884863266595,0.28394427708835274,0.20055167251978107,0.21433172722474317,-0.8839492589522793,0.20060395083186847,0.2058904981733253,0.20902786537130816,0.20646259909217177,-0.46893678569839947,0.13425006407203433,0.19875290427442235,0.281241860114191,0.2116288853475452,0.14018330064724768,-0.7237595498429134,-0.5045601304491214,-0.8757737418714436,0.1104053123010913,-0.8521148376684541,0.1498407032028115,0.09867077220896919,0.21134903428393964,0.18251430906282037,0.25081791147893134,0.049112553380605085,-0.003985490578747199,0.1342449344043209,0.15391506216768405,0.20896855539029666,0.21061419250929736,0.20400888246210844,0.20623438566046617,0.2683047142379272,-0.7236024360294698,0.04306402345297326,0.1987421154716392,0.2320270441243265,0.2601003160865479,0.2083474342794112,0.1050206015641756,0.2795954730246295,-0.8679264941403624,0.13362676374217783,0.17516731517675627,-0.03640669392095765,0.16764168467543855,-0.33879853442135854,0.2758351575975329,0.2135471033770399,-0.1097226291103464,-0.02781803638893188,0.2123333906308309,0.2100140054565804,-0.029834389852256435,0.22890557778844578,0.1673424353599347,0.16404075315532624,0.1576064621403836,-0.9576725151893543,-0.9488981645878269,0.18468884210042583,0.18327421556955967,0.2101841967185332,0.03770023769379534,0.2040532526732152,0.12453458165311387,0.19173089740039315,0.20958384753008727,0.02717785915650147,0.04998522781276702,-0.9828310874536382,0.20520881327121623,0.08598239075066134,0.27284021766305583,-0.8367903694094404,0.2050393075494029;0.040931010501386055,0.033787263984593266,0.06633385937450058,7.171306509888898E-4,-0.2204357709296674,-0.2974458675657623,0.3170012966948096,0.10953243510914058,-0.2717599596360205,0.31979620819415794,-0.14908008331911216,0.1609586191378059,0.2543805872126632,0.1272283944416121,0.1780718426141226,-0.3135964813813239,-0.02842189157018465,-0.2466646214026366,-0.30036822158593124,-0.12315658949860578,-0.159288666429892,-0.26793362644282387,0.1801304105236218,0.00788881101535888,0.2669001605250603,0.10387088473943545,0.16163393652867492,-0.2765866802113172,0.17601310495364308,0.12698484563811357,0.1784798474564038,0.18260660636223236,-0.3061280834209172,-0.07120767377907022,0.17507019280559658,0.25816787987960876,0.17437181888464645,-0.05738658263946965,-0.3090989320955193,-0.3111337892636787,-0.2789335863814802,0.04937757179825726,-0.28458094725108846,-0.04033553467439047,0.03290021405594385,0.14525862094863176,0.15345610508506402,0.12922750032937122,-0.025493871813638214,-0.26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k{187}=[0.8246605921521821;1.3928873194514635;0.6047998901950701];
x_a{187}=[5.134657819538568,8.888647628864117,13.114786700455824];
L_a{187}=[-0.052656750602263096,-0.05177638764301925,-0.03713857143676572,-0.04556541026631868,-9.633960225091331E-4,0.24161418383477246,-0.10507902759093331,-0.06358621248876874,0.020461342734807663,-0.10502835156424319,-0.021445604651796246,-0.06966093472428717,-0.09694646769256653,-0.06564739311179923,-0.06977996966388314,0.2094643666527282,-0.009531482499474761,0.00746741074931677,0.23664666618887403,0.024084983354426888,0.03922940537914419,0.27260352497294205,-0.06945921160095715,-0.04709312713424403,-0.09894979397880338,-0.062348680596813325,-0.0705067303218431,0.26503413862866326,-0.0674793227993634,-0.06557733569635621,-0.07057911097545803,-0.06967918830031594,0.14841061959301752,-0.031588327693245224,-0.06720847598989078,-0.09742958147456324,-0.07075268949804839,-0.034064976901763355,0.22024669695995366,0.15872708440457464,0.26293015014415455,-0.03275565021584892,0.25618465630474196,-0.03789963046583223,-0.028461536146292054,-0.06857543267714863,-0.060741813667141646,-0.07852115391299501,-0.010520052373215875,0.018043889573198666,-0.031290979761202355,-0.04986716263173981,-0.07033581880756169,-0.06978256020221296,-0.06476008165850727,-0.06534506267262652,-0.10417046308457219,0.22016956538134327,-0.008409588577054664,-0.06079119056779317,-0.06844448899027697,-0.08302025476629024,-0.0679536756973151,-0.020318163710732244,-0.096324548502159,0.2605786330333747,-0.03129252782988521,-0.05827772134654912,0.0184668558859857,-0.05498986100499936,0.11108242610762645,-0.09297170997888309,-0.0701785609077524,0.04209002444860738,0.026109262025709623,-0.06856962670747616,-0.06839023447008317,0.026611208971389567,-0.0672995459350685,-0.05498002663393991,-0.044124430193909256,-0.04131940579676513,0.2857857734579392,0.2834299015344514,-0.05367422664412906,-0.05275280156960262,-0.07025416437182344,-0.006360649334993818,-0.06894764411756339,-0.03831871869024024,-0.05682119161553538,-0.06897367733638521,0.008455090969115094,-5.770538899715584E-4,0.2930069691959481,-0.0691166698208303,-0.013426000033190793,-0.10447397806210679,0.2517324503974951,-0.056765032583810576;-0.07756253912057576,-0.0750630851540013,-0.06128386517527492,-0.057409467716971946,0.05114390485869181,0.39365598279223707,-0.22860878926849415,-0.11024692110315454,0.09044324401415894,-0.22921245319255207,0.00905001908976999,-0.13245760119944672,-0.19842138703890488,-0.11804821704563892,-0.13705731164510726,0.35008839885938475,-0.0011757119985510555,0.06721638029508711,0.38647753634502624,0.06491227992015802,0.09255054737348761,0.4353139253741966,-0.1370726667858538,-0.06209284370158506,-0.20480812552706282,-0.1074132682472649,-0.13392906705988045,0.4251598035447563,-0.13270327315401462,-0.1180220547479834,-0.13959044576034121,-0.13771063588562518,0.26412231410395204,-0.021777254771943186,-0.13321649955491985,-0.2000016080804753,-0.13784679917061857,-0.028077174047040018,0.3641265182205132,0.2794560937735793,0.42294288436545197,-0.051387876936429745,0.41328311059780604,-0.03736065117676353,-0.041912079096467346,-0.1273723125086349,-0.11751367659820001,-0.137029309702066,-0.0028501710102180567,0.08514045932790207,-0.020313664694471545,-0.09239869522222545,-0.1384480389230007,-0.1340696374215923,-0.1158669275971438,-0.11653087837982713,-0.24623465029123526,0.36390264847807996,0.0015257194629408682,-0.10152976234778543,-0.10604751969890143,-0.1499697543115808,-0.12730280740503414,0.004661106803822706,-0.1961897976487018,0.41917505346452405,-0.02093948188378523,-0.1126895380995537,0.05480845489442647,-0.10397511819974985,0.20988176561121988,-0.18338910958160476,-0.13309273159931015,0.09817674842453923,0.10114599711188157,-0.1263592781674512,-0.12779257370461586,0.1016089593279724,-0.10351365673504812,-0.10422579164369071,-0.05390736380517013,-0.04648652325922526,0.4539371283920555,0.4510748902089142,-0.080429519201691,-0.07729286067276839,-0.13682907384797766,0.006282459852455857,-0.13650659451909342,-0.06473681621367776,-0.08893157601024229,-0.13110458808808254,0.06894091756541716,0.04713492905193688,0.4644469150478895,-0.1361859191214918,0.019666034648471487,-0.24319832810272002,0.4066163624367863,-0.07534577405898338;-0.07200274896757501,-0.07725836722830787,-0.013317817679044398,-0.09700771990026724,-0.22250198149972722,0.2207478646603346,0.09163665699604441,-0.026841912806665123,-0.22787619673012202,0.0945402541652001,-0.1950748082064526,0.011555719100188943,0.04645797636916137,-0.013566599906816345,0.028413646473290515,0.13564503334026132,-0.04886421168425598,-0.23064914836691494,0.20717159757938453,-0.07150114768245452,-0.07515274500430737,0.31672343210271353,0.031160149234673296,-0.0931125578801865,0.05468098435308503,-0.029849309104522485,0.010417045398144663,0.29183619663946697,0.031289142251999545,-0.01365989547185745,0.027107720402044917,0.03316455759361545,0.01217050173782888,-0.1389556559643275,0.030927119507193093,0.049209127325345575,0.02262741524855761,-0.13044627325346095,0.16326761566558565,0.02929067989422729,0.28497683334429613,-0.020873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x_a{187}=[5.134657819538569,8.888647628864119,13.114786700455825];
std_x_a{187}=[1.1257274127662522,1.9212502363768404,1.3624857090115496];
pred_a{187}=[5.134657819538569];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.6 to 18.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{188}=[10.328295868856094,16.61455714600198,19.220309294702332];
std_x_f{188}=[1.6588371856666153,1.6981329111725858,3.833426266904913];
pred_f{188}=[10.328295868856094];
obs{188}=[10.85769729103384];
sqrt_r{188}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{188}=[3.7553635953815196];
L_f{188}=[-0.06018959072119048,-0.05639430642760478,-0.0507517884196067,-0.0362084437173926,0.0943127706390288,0.3187313553602654,-0.2312649622872932,-0.09879442926300305,0.1358255238357771,-0.2317102951617177,0.046330963495244924,-0.12576189823516112,-0.19643196783193764,-0.10842489194053223,-0.13207964902665992,0.30445262355544306,0.01510434016396196,0.11224976419547712,0.31687294011868966,0.08494434417855495,0.11316617751985111,0.32534885595024754,-0.1327830298491251,-0.04136774922146166,-0.2034967100185254,-0.095567409863546,-0.12729382735417158,0.32476009261795596,-0.12889916351904376,-0.10839440454645846,-0.13431590094746895,-0.1338191438046951,0.2589673679593264,0.006266105276922635,-0.1285699273363053,-0.19832271937474247,-0.1325368386825389,-0.001639071217808643,0.30992076866313634,0.26891474192492776,0.3247514534792378,-0.03948802869205058,0.32319825111397066,-0.012037978511029737,-0.028475901277165077,-0.11878213100543876,-0.11164258223240654,-0.12498571025086964,0.013496352384116507,0.13018756676278032,0.0076606499082144935,-0.08438907831599064,-0.13371309440288734,-0.12708943431994107,-0.10498494856006703,-0.10583388065649575,-0.25430073226439925,0.30977876710840957,0.017952496438300193,-0.0890101422476995,-0.08879068309945325,-0.14020706648368397,-0.11928421624456102,0.03689322192980007,-0.1941017282816511,0.32458903324269095,0.007697168385324588,-0.1062500265936063,0.07429494640246463,-0.0974543883554942,0.21976618395073186,-0.17902831861516513,-0.12600120577247886,0.11938523631004015,0.14934697737896058,-0.11830189463420639,-0.11852206721037283,0.14951518770419417,-0.08636903417530022,-0.09740369450959657,-0.031752284002261336,-0.022650572528253074,0.32786130809161296,0.3275218860059126,-0.06352566148770182,-0.05951544044288229,-0.13132087285143323,0.023113008189908437,-0.13186749230073935,-0.054093861967245555,-0.07363299672311001,-0.12450456152329348,0.11384992889182853,0.08675238477095266,0.32793637554018074,-0.131258288950346,0.05504087622668355,-0.2505244638541208,0.32115430963796693,-0.051799723197689135;-0.022718871590406513,-0.016190901185351846,-0.031145941205289674,0.018084672303890794,0.23052684024544673,0.20035743100457004,-0.31771107147801086,-0.09036254152988438,0.2805445088309263,-0.3187215522350822,0.16097732482853705,-0.14050287453102658,-0.2522460928906088,-0.1085012777861823,-0.15520162714270236,0.2434835708451992,0.06591138956230289,0.2544952592037017,0.20767947335784268,0.15743004654330547,0.19076336462574398,0.1435391144450954,-0.15669026525044935,0.01059183371242794,-0.2654411883834112,-0.08558475436718055,-0.14259702376343866,0.15852728130530722,-0.15125353403387998,-0.10809181906401258,-0.15878030227272596,-0.15905067360797104,0.2834818250443888,0.08908473423334824,-0.15111186471562693,-0.2563699951355359,-0.15341771106934113,0.07538915408899521,0.23061979717134487,0.2817557888534746,0.16309175276204443,-0.013388868235106849,0.17462341832971112,0.059082245621869804,0.003485055779438295,-0.12671132244652472,-0.12519438845057224,-0.12276052658468745,0.0638611784998685,0.2733723162528798,0.09246070782247996,-0.08341771937932559,-0.15763790542722442,-0.14421567133404317,-0.1019831673653658,-0.10349876246553213,-0.370975860969795,0.23128959319428793,0.06992324536453132,-0.07238920820499867,-0.058051308439641645,-0.149878430193796,-0.1291634882800261,0.1378243902933914,-0.24767545687816528,0.16797936819613485,0.09012643385729346,-0.1175591760189968,0.14500201550744166,-0.10341812576708172,0.277650484752847,-0.2208205843139464,-0.14053015020070278,0.19780646647415365,0.30054145655375203,-0.12566774622200452,-0.12738078817571793,0.30042629380358493,-0.05491156541099762,-0.10359280043784339,0.026153916094186352,0.042198256436528525,0.11566591100626138,0.12119013812762147,-0.02781786026240694,-0.021540385812775235,-0.15220514304233976,0.0770920264663006,-0.15662604035871672,-0.03593274777417224,-0.045103962244171986,-0.13930349329449326,0.2563326054426555,0.2131960242463179,0.09988933485716209,-0.15468885168140037,0.16496112206787444,-0.36034628183262285,0.18256908464404628,0.005041418082753818;-0.1902709716003659,-0.188406723591267,-0.12721592905625204,-0.17102214302105023,-0.03777778085492752,0.8335155562561685,-0.3157233305406169,-0.21679657903290248,0.038819319103473915,-0.3146415576271104,-0.10581923462024298,-0.22777310457750613,-0.304575056469487,-0.22101411441890578,-0.22432662729344066,0.7229122112977191,-0.04216668066072234,-0.010475504686152883,0.816385864987908,0.06926149712484198,0.1208542077402345,0.9372665852183115,-0.22260985366327246,-0.17693527260923034,-0.3076832801891674,-0.21389213747846134,-0.23103142314566158,0.913060170320762,-0.21579983662272695,-0.2210085198717101,-0.22826344820536798,-0.22226298604854364,0.5068602969014951,-0.13188399127609887,-0.21646275170777005,-0.3041524119320964,-0.22986485526340011,-0.13780817692864444,0.7601154368056239,0.5450717232201701,0.9069496804681317,-0.1144223017579936,0.8836561414418547,-0.14985408362798017,-0.1021688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k{188}=[0.7337141998101503;0.6586782497239975;1.5929674439313775];
x_a{188}=[10.716725209707596,16.963262348163415,20.063628525002454];
L_a{188}=[0.045429488453210654,0.04256490967927058,0.03830608845088201,0.027329162003902646,-0.07118474927970621,-0.24056987685941425,0.17455258970823878,0.07456738498580646,-0.10251746178723106,0.17488871501552355,-0.03496936838934734,0.09492170714689147,0.1482615799100411,0.08183619987166434,0.09969017596672701,-0.22979267312898108,-0.011400350772455058,-0.08472311084512364,-0.23916719488821558,-0.06411371230119711,-0.08541479503900457,-0.24556458878617063,0.10022106894289644,0.031223267396800397,0.15359385779638157,0.07213171730989526,0.09607796615097083,-0.24512020601689855,0.09728963082407677,0.0818131888044606,0.10137803892770735,0.10100309996216048,-0.19546162237525622,-0.004729488170856431,0.09704113218531087,0.1496886684539659,0.10003525045458786,0.0012371269860988066,-0.2339198823698802,-0.20296963340000895,-0.2451136854267445,0.029804504765871227,-0.2439413699470588,0.009085943253876957,0.02149284640027124,0.08965356607848689,0.08426482618743099,0.09433586127807289,-0.010186684731498193,-0.09826208303023211,-0.005782053049029799,0.06369461252348523,0.1009230567185171,0.09592369577170362,0.0792398228867064,0.07988057405996014,0.19193937093812521,-0.2338127034056521,-0.013550062724765036,0.06718246761622976,0.0670168257382613,0.10582453264026885,0.09003252654822812,-0.02784601422902712,0.14650277760760766,-0.24499109498922284,-0.005809616215921651,0.0801946698499179,-0.05607583253651189,0.07355595805624812,-0.1658736202816708,0.13512577234491766,0.0951023300564858,-0.0901087737837256,-0.11272309220023895,0.08929109654811934,0.08945727690234398,-0.11285005284137863,0.06518903009254665,0.07351769570125843,0.023965772190172853,0.017096044528653147,-0.24746092026438413,-0.24720473357930595,0.04794746517560358,0.04492065790764327,0.09911747206430781,-0.01744507856094681,0.09953004576123793,0.040828595911441695,0.055576210675746224,0.09397270312561194,-0.08593087223251797,-0.06547837283852723,-0.2475175791608324,0.09907023541461919,-0.04154337687022011,0.18908914484279227,-0.2423986577509706,0.0390970415098775;0.07209868847052173,0.07264789091680662,0.04880410811414199,0.07512437378300255,0.08195452587298221,-0.30174482734378666,0.04660407319938466,0.06526979652208385,0.06657653513656858,0.04629513196205287,0.08799146695420439,0.05761171964398551,0.05719611604658929,0.06230207177126301,0.05286541409076839,-0.23612518830710827,0.042117297203190775,0.07766653133061782,-0.2914951957400323,0.02361595411501611,0.012490997173401934,-0.3689877912903873,0.052484822284394474,0.07575906610914922,0.05513021429917514,0.06496401189007033,0.05793084120325755,-0.35307213677072585,0.05180324093879771,0.06266350324679339,0.052809539967896515,0.051756619695928624,-0.1244733325018007,0.0792136451243546,0.05142625958744182,0.05605074290980377,0.055369547848551436,0.07797120742706502,-0.25760301253286383,-0.14186961527739336,-0.3484940559499031,0.04881721237341236,-0.3345156075284093,0.07804585273076263,0.04834356781258448,0.060407940300149704,0.05067783661926051,0.07413132708092286,0.04260017327535763,0.06828590043230927,0.0803927717545555,0.049521654453229376,0.053002326672157256,0.05599021023706974,0.06340118807407148,0.06322292836822022,0.029627875757869963,-0.25670951934264097,0.04164240994288666,0.06782979656772706,0.0818219790633629,0.07099185298962038,0.05874671683302372,0.07970594748200985,0.058095890937229985,-0.34335057749449394,0.07800096968766196,0.04981807571678693,0.027964078243996486,0.05010322585501707,-0.06855046289329397,0.06120539641637523,0.05796142870739684,0.009737122945122863,0.06527293540459195,0.06069499300578289,0.05932879219543489,0.06489278842003193,0.08114686242007492,0.04984869241265508,0.07617376270524029,0.07788004119995169,-0.40081889806366383,-0.39475997426782405,0.07225506183838692,0.07221517525899761,0.05466658676426592,0.04068175990730546,0.051106787219846295,0.0492821198557737,0.07089119581563554,0.05683039960367271,0.07698311425508955,0.07653369850379375,-0.4167137290842106,0.052084288772310354,0.07825440874921535,0.0343086429408899,-0.3233500897191582,0.08664229468926614;0.039038689608816214,0.026443703967599035,0.0661376935355499,-0.03307560006800353,-0.39708956921904126,-0.3807837642519909,0.5653474578836535,0.15958938458983962,-0.4786473139330644,0.5681258552356389,-0.2823304455338144,0.25135323490722977,0.4437893609402555,0.19206188326805543,0.2788690118200857,-0.4369881489678378,-0.09971103483037053,-0.4381234599232596,-0.3908332849404954,-0.2543585599619216,-0.310285089212638,-0.3022440185060696,0.28326551821081875,-0.019332862536351823,0.46759631670469654,0.15019956203086104,0.25393124356887714,-0.3242073691354865,0.2752788227025417,0.1919513272662531,0.28345183964135023,0.28755976173023534,-0.4797508213907566,-0.1557565323739123,0.27336158711760905,0.4514153705531732,0.27507258012821684,-0.13156366087279595,-0.4206174044099378,-0.4794367943838538,-0.33028494568950756,0.036018769076612805,-0.3476611108991302,-0.10399192140138458,0.006318337094248893,0.22475823827297856,0.228310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x_a{188}=[10.716725209707597,16.963262348163422,20.063628525002443];
std_x_a{188}=[1.2520458084036516,1.3868696180942988,3.023394907972407];
pred_a{188}=[10.716725209707597];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.7 to 18.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{189}=[14.817985944888903,14.397969114041672,35.832533183998834];
std_x_f{189}=[0.830844433952066,2.7215141488243075,2.6178293475135326];
pred_f{189}=[14.817985944888903];
obs{189}=[15.541053683421731];
sqrt_r{189}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{189}=[1.691297561257925];
L_f{189}=[0.03154501274046858,0.03496531848387095,0.012948545235570453,0.052799771372541146,0.15253194392575975,-0.06992096119241956,-0.1318029649063008,-0.005750208401799479,0.16541118256875453,-0.1332304259761582,0.1253275903653134,-0.035289115763463774,-0.09147640974036095,-0.016295499110537796,-0.04522309754692479,-0.018041398064548193,0.05494093661261152,0.16068045193803304,-0.06140209635727317,0.08607820399750891,0.09460085695770214,-0.12796339696824782,-0.04634620714581101,0.04917663997037241,-0.09950863148160974,-0.0032212525074165094,-0.036087344140942626,-0.11307686724324745,-0.045547384390773965,-0.016229173923442888,-0.04657449949043854,-0.04812969223605288,0.0584718455507462,0.08817922899770497,-0.04472724149396738,-0.09409503699629024,-0.0427761665722626,0.0810119947217471,-0.0341795917933999,0.04796279250611147,-0.10877379471011679,0.020821248008853956,-0.0964528104266002,0.07361274938972259,0.029650187937890676,-0.026388890411612177,-0.03216916952691623,-0.01542717888238364,0.054365502138313156,0.16320721597739046,0.0896340181093589,-0.011860341228757138,-0.04679913076238656,-0.03772168686188484,-0.012530555154885525,-0.012973259937944966,-0.17177662158838639,-0.03391583579520015,0.056539063857353064,0.004106975855765127,0.019771581819112517,-0.030878902388508774,-0.028607850973231055,0.1101726754027324,-0.08884600610140386,-0.10404733482570655,0.08883748238789373,-0.028048919343036105,0.08269000413923766,-0.021233474838271926,0.08644327054271672,-0.0727250964463939,-0.034715154544998995,0.09637002779922,0.17277922797271555,-0.025805095341528146,-0.026647267084968326,0.17232507425962101,0.021443117005760924,-0.02157745267039417,0.05737006134228395,0.0655472154015166,-0.15420398967599294,-0.14907362180079575,0.02873725874601315,0.03260810515791734,-0.04238759915863811,0.059377868804844254,-0.04677744411154508,0.010726957283716611,0.019520733027126754,-0.035206788043197365,0.16079180138966548,0.14083991350079716,-0.16881233323543368,-0.04573173901377782,0.12178269058460209,-0.16391931557373104,-0.08786965760514118,0.0540946377205346;-0.05036126672363379,-0.039576726453344827,-0.06031015232995551,0.01032337666643964,0.32626114756144364,0.3763888109937974,-0.4902507924516289,-0.15126765140217605,0.4055499421645095,-0.4923792374470518,0.22156899940849667,-0.2262423703389091,-0.39190814014602354,-0.1776745624681466,-0.2476917731898313,0.42851113304572236,0.0876553350763781,0.3644117873831088,0.3854867650413857,0.23014325413607462,0.2840816265650032,0.3014613021783536,-0.25061432917833454,-0.001610027107153114,-0.41169621162644704,-0.1430454007491336,-0.22879894089332772,0.3226963426161807,-0.24316794570099026,-0.17748606933554886,-0.250671138246014,-0.25396646942148765,0.4623233406699056,0.1157804411030161,-0.2424101750408571,-0.39812624533812674,-0.24456826409577506,0.09603149223422586,0.4137271337519473,0.4638955011533005,0.3280949748694633,-0.033962684832252316,0.3443693511029466,0.070766413609306,-0.008474422897849037,-0.2048041198540444,-0.2021796788196462,-0.19900804090308025,0.08384420740814663,0.3943908749386495,0.11979580627558908,-0.13893196218526235,-0.2519646465440373,-0.22955931274093297,-0.1673684031146251,-0.1694137061805947,-0.5724619328317812,0.4140291472058348,0.09340721255985628,-0.12558753276716644,-0.1050938127597351,-0.23973049899257823,-0.20838319793344667,0.187995088948634,-0.38628742608357564,0.33587511117998314,0.12054616681245828,-0.1904175510078695,0.20973981206253398,-0.16958638942809048,0.4381179417896535,-0.3450876319463154,-0.22546358744624168,0.29628973870981673,0.43628552601599163,-0.20339881621671418,-0.20371602594491453,0.43521890155020465,-0.0995010119189905,-0.16957783551786973,0.022314898463255847,0.04584821031500451,0.26661794525526256,0.2730715025632058,-0.05846651354021858,-0.04817761580015,-0.24280716962947835,0.1052234992540226,-0.2481844961896237,-0.0681270502250153,-0.0841503436150975,-0.22402524137065008,0.3662776746993626,0.3002672146873084,0.24440061792729917,-0.24650453555579072,0.2293878713101524,-0.5571589673893802,0.3536381882671432,-0.010725577663486318;0.13202241705811307,0.1311989664264074,0.09910117253669785,0.12854093069489084,0.08795734262887515,-0.5848917608792173,0.1511505761351011,0.13573112756816222,0.04510391176085966,0.15060807936694445,0.1161241335760977,0.1339373867472685,0.15322814104305582,0.13506250860955976,0.12982641586090632,-0.49168304081451586,0.06544102388575146,0.072923633871833,-0.5712926251490538,0.00875332797339219,-0.021229341100687953,-0.6671132537082624,0.13029692646903868,0.13091315211015497,0.15296013160002828,0.1344234048756839,0.13510659117703486,-0.648189573403075,0.12905991149723145,0.13515728651209677,0.13097295046888807,0.130507605613931,-0.3070429077966154,0.12043248146841887,0.1277341028966236,0.15255953849213705,0.13411712695194675,0.1206073689452469,-0.5235534825769355,-0.3385840006807806,-0.6433448365998388,0.09508343086597089,-0.6260430937049343,0.12399078625678688,0.09064419550432772,0.136208270929474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k{189}=[0.40873798738511935;0.6539909261245614;0.4551584603691942];
x_a{189}=[15.11353119707992,14.870848854015549,36.16164358261207];
L_a{189}=[0.05677546200540314,0.06293140939331746,0.02330509878362652,0.09503028063798968,0.274530609900734,-0.12584540409675293,-0.23722210188354523,-0.010349361445040511,0.2977109690354696,-0.2397912801686408,0.2255675692242213,-0.06351418741582836,-0.16464141157063963,-0.029329025739226126,-0.08139360340939684,-0.03247133607982482,0.09888400061379257,0.2891964878592506,-0.11051294914559237,0.15492559285874988,0.17026486576720318,-0.23031155645509385,-0.08341500269948707,0.08850928281951286,-0.17909799474089153,-0.005797686653333027,-0.06495085777922438,-0.20351842722900287,-0.08197726256126625,-0.029209652094622167,-0.08382588867519306,-0.08662496145941258,0.1052390142544885,0.1587070674789202,-0.0805011499262916,-0.1693544790053722,-0.07698955901338511,0.14580730926146887,-0.061517239862669375,0.08632457136751549,-0.19577365523853715,0.037474575932417445,-0.17359805553872965,0.13248997204327576,0.053365111390846466,-0.04749535076291686,-0.057898834191235655,-0.027766202400789454,0.09784832000079303,0.2937442176983037,0.16132543142171296,-0.021346523405918777,-0.08423018536546972,-0.06789238656604356,-0.022552790323971974,-0.023349580891057622,-0.3091676371363888,-0.06104252556226028,0.10176034792771266,0.007391832540202605,0.035585361831781875,-0.05557658079745299,-0.05148908860332228,0.19829139388290304,-0.15990714872246226,-0.18726686065280757,0.15989180754075094,-0.050483110200497235,0.14882743040427074,-0.038216511555768856,0.155582648284196,-0.13089235322560172,-0.062481158403615636,0.1734490614028197,0.31097215188324223,-0.04644462255135473,-0.047960383226904255,0.3101547552603733,0.038593830500380726,-0.03883561101529456,0.10325599690780504,0.11797343270096594,-0.2775399974937803,-0.2683062397277447,0.051721999781619774,0.05868884094906304,-0.07629020616765081,0.10686969639312864,-0.08419115321699658,0.019306632103968782,0.03513387822720499,-0.06336601203252974,0.28939689724289785,0.253487016270896,-0.3038324406620436,-0.08230906838363156,0.21918737453326956,-0.2950258714389035,-0.1581498935452443,0.09736081179825326;-0.009991921591623114,0.005169713218091629,-0.0437394095671344,0.07789323980030131,0.5214620415555671,0.2869083141063273,-0.6589240284874096,-0.15862641043844755,0.6172328846553069,-0.6628792493686333,0.3819554538900954,-0.2714031856278235,-0.5089739592860608,-0.1985285286118257,-0.3055654804484218,0.4054228740196809,0.1579653282990184,0.5700406350751698,0.3069081814767082,0.3403007853473754,0.40514591890590124,0.13770170635962775,-0.3099253222415482,0.06132317782542156,-0.5390411685280402,-0.1471677593387188,-0.2749812792080754,0.17798760156269997,-0.3014566550909423,-0.1982551566303654,-0.3102742856515665,-0.3155598557662673,0.537151971520814,0.22862673342092096,-0.2996493165662738,-0.5185432207555898,-0.29931054129779716,0.19970560394442038,0.36998621822494693,0.5252752996052533,0.18889303838275256,-0.007316946760626626,0.22093504390836982,0.16497143139386247,0.02947004331433709,-0.23857498035239927,-0.24334778098294746,-0.21875078483030827,0.15341779538394373,0.6032533180776731,0.23450384720731887,-0.15411008914898605,-0.31185526307884,-0.27783318121002054,-0.1834042281721413,-0.18601607728220199,-0.7922909682347755,0.3706257701990927,0.1657623896230806,-0.1203316805304189,-0.07979137218605967,-0.2792473975297659,-0.24499374613404715,0.3289872259321182,-0.4999870182637065,0.2027218040565311,0.23423485087423335,-0.22631281327499567,0.3155613358491399,-0.19675966975453693,0.5487426624575223,-0.43815668670808017,-0.26988988286948934,0.4196181058471444,0.6573976347051989,-0.23642257209778794,-0.23781754083819973,0.6557498125668122,-0.07205944458682284,-0.19719131727764405,0.09573353441771666,0.1297314593964492,0.06927727111512877,0.08229635410892229,-0.021690357321476075,-0.006447791119111858,-0.2970521824253417,0.18121160230876926,-0.3080473594976402,-0.054399357535034054,-0.05916892372202694,-0.26908069876414326,0.5720490204934273,0.48050537541508126,0.028365094372775772,-0.3050291705249767,0.3852377835534167,-0.7669327112975473,0.24118806616138028,0.05850137487883543;0.16011829460381924,0.16234117310585452,0.11063392239883042,0.1755675692044103,0.22381142687366784,-0.6471675564131368,0.03375896204271688,0.13060964759132887,0.19242901726573536,0.03194508295653928,0.22774839129861854,0.10250678681872308,0.07175377209823497,0.1205487611806833,0.08954801681984581,-0.5077517904119642,0.11437471239030701,0.2160352673582951,-0.6259810094745557,0.08541973159052423,0.06302784765589499,-0.7810851186471599,0.08901821875730778,0.1747128128072122,0.0643317849307802,0.13155436447500987,0.10296504125041298,-0.7489026034296138,0.08849268317182649,0.12070261226699604,0.08949091192283319,0.08764041926970467,-0.25496438032917706,0.19897018377899686,0.08789734295264666,0.06875286328623616,0.0960181111811524,0.19276150317121346,-0.5539958740094687,-0.2958654652314974,-0.7402252925216903,0.11362808130623084,-0.7119497431325453,0.1895547094567019,0.11705242860170884,0.11270474472482161,0.092895765315900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x_a{189}=[15.113531197079922,14.870848854015545,36.16164358261208];
std_x_a{189}=[1.4953735153110461,3.372277024328723,2.96048755437829];
pred_a{189}=[15.113531197079922];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.8 to 18.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 18.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{190}=[9.298967117208647,0.661168006120101,36.22052445442135];
std_x_f{190}=[1.5538881706014895,2.723854875251865,2.3965970180382716];
pred_f{190}=[9.298967117208647];
obs{190}=[9.104950009184952];
sqrt_r{190}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{190}=[3.416229299570287];
L_f{190}=[-0.040753562237462064,-0.037355706014754464,-0.03526604854503215,-0.02054830938655196,0.06372830730256202,0.30888889814053405,-0.25361896677577395,-0.07897204514701518,0.09145579832173485,-0.255413000461608,0.03526551275055676,-0.11057493451573483,-0.196874053064833,-0.08975895194618039,-0.11983169466991574,0.2970438878642929,0.022043082588221442,0.07484403521818002,0.3080092244830511,0.07755619498085985,0.09958285268808659,0.29870154370265845,-0.12121995993983474,-0.02479870281492025,-0.2073763880850604,-0.07553134466041472,-0.11240098253302988,0.303555479006871,-0.11820750269122254,-0.08986676409601166,-0.1214859624330129,-0.12312982276985726,0.24069167778382994,0.011253535649899366,-0.11724429073357674,-0.19941146266783516,-0.11919219299755418,0.005879194418187868,0.3024701805669531,0.2530779428669718,0.30518757249336415,-0.02539650336554292,0.3070718610892564,-0.0015873377282316777,-0.015442297794152501,-0.10174604326565598,-0.09775458245684321,-0.1030305424163577,0.02097563893964201,0.08831902776477604,0.012510151051916326,-0.0683742212309405,-0.12209011909984253,-0.11173177862776816,-0.08546532507818981,-0.08677717461619207,-0.3083835565676746,0.3028160944542664,0.024771872468873652,-0.06870470792964196,-0.06591584760462613,-0.12093616448974089,-0.1029729021083405,0.03157873176080197,-0.1933288198715435,0.30651126596658623,0.01314293329068923,-0.09163035403455125,0.06885599447530043,-0.08249053101795105,0.19647691433286438,-0.17152274681182744,-0.11035662427089041,0.10467236460050743,0.09839947014299556,-0.1009628654839828,-0.10079767255025614,0.09887279153107453,-0.06345051258171355,-0.08260263395767714,-0.016839452511560216,-0.009883586644234462,0.2894596813074751,0.29119733337856274,-0.04429946312607529,-0.04043779749155678,-0.11791901588043492,0.028634540317811073,-0.11939824448618214,-0.038546371382223096,-0.05356227723695407,-0.10902538664796826,0.07576075380945978,0.06176634661034122,0.2808142969091885,-0.11938021918942704,0.04322904002541066,-0.2979922373394167,0.3073593362677007,-0.03286279523891517;-0.10768432506721452,-0.11343417325562505,-0.05236637598012652,-0.14787128380659495,-0.38989929409014384,0.5173709689691741,0.0431981201480554,-0.04666440020725241,-0.4180864039625378,0.044055799464552625,-0.31974888120804706,-0.005423758961519099,0.026956210966375488,-0.030672146697957692,0.009590399750830475,0.3326106705290848,-0.11880712692331406,-0.41085635589937836,0.48793442465239273,-0.16975713356465297,-0.1812935898830825,0.6960032592659771,0.010287647531478475,-0.1423438532810927,0.032120538060639345,-0.049733591330682565,-0.005317807123995566,0.6532940509509817,0.01066313295524737,-0.030953062116291192,0.010441116260253926,0.01220293037925314,0.03062872443768676,-0.22474499968763173,0.010071557423616937,0.02916453393944991,0.0028298290883889752,-0.20791234381224485,0.39290649379868137,0.07491661682731955,0.6407990786067249,-0.06427720964762043,0.6030635791195357,-0.19088959443484252,-0.07891742853015175,-0.01768688586403748,6.002391984558296E-4,-0.046283792640281304,-0.11826666990832706,-0.4114419615610838,-0.22758494766601395,-0.01981769264844771,0.010190930176536241,-0.0011274547650212434,-0.03597585046098027,-0.03598899306704151,0.05209911216586253,0.3905457388548522,-0.12095406923754734,-0.0617723536353342,-0.10016151518087624,-0.028190490416941535,-0.013916058376912448,-0.2755267614539939,0.025343991580000308,0.6272065278495133,-0.2247071021165678,-0.0029402645572559664,-0.16508785814973057,-0.010452780339423642,-0.09301334544707086,0.014720046696632884,-0.006714031722888461,-0.18296666018273194,-0.4402468936174594,-0.018406474931357632,-0.015293254067813782,-0.4383428502492477,-0.10226737828419877,-0.010048636203646748,-0.15746752051354024,-0.17508556563527922,0.7691594664813555,0.75547043024139,-0.1035825364707103,-0.1098101098737168,0.004174294955217793,-0.12658199825391747,0.013080068183204459,-0.04962923677797288,-0.08755810513026042,-0.0035751522968036583,-0.40983846948636865,-0.35275929443700316,0.8046953627145348,0.010867654490027781,-0.3038035444647715,0.05074709064244134,0.5746045804139869,-0.1620855182051358;0.012617515443111935,0.02412832300843772,-0.018027191462742852,0.07597745741588775,0.3686865076539531,0.18006549919376125,-0.48020291416026706,-0.09714118595807227,0.4285495675328476,-0.48404554648654136,0.2811872547348774,-0.18415695932527737,-0.3627633986518891,-0.1277272347722654,-0.21208937478705095,0.2973894361584228,0.12691597300009452,0.3987642535183158,0.20098493593358127,0.2531463841146546,0.2976963135056854,0.011564596485855979,-0.21515943873993304,0.06466689576762111,-0.38610566362300813,-0.08860947365116321,-0.1866991731897728,0.05833911775942239,-0.20897123987824248,-0.12758633082326787,-0.21485884100289135,-0.21935070716973418,0.4024655601082008,0.18088426416674386,-0.20765654826616997,-0.3703877110087452,-0.20612880527436248,0.16053960642194248,0.26358715498294005,0.3948176312155025,0.07153065395049875,0.008772664842327218,0.10747556978182798,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k{190}=[0.7072796020671719;0.6159142013824414;0.7826197066239623];
x_a{190}=[9.161742774251424,0.5416701139771557,36.06868284225982];
L_a{190}=[0.03424512758489788,0.0313899165684046,0.029633982050522957,0.017266698613884,-0.0535507546954926,-0.25955865317357485,0.21311545294076473,0.06636003365649026,-0.07685010364633951,0.21462297545143522,-0.029633531823618896,0.09291587120946819,0.16543282832742676,0.07542424741604858,0.10069430615107271,-0.24960531741875827,-0.01852275320620153,-0.06289127610688064,-0.25881946535833483,-0.06517029791514405,-0.08367924933042603,-0.25099824192793124,0.10186086236554641,0.020838294745588407,0.17425791705492055,0.06346882070046703,0.0944502952915658,-0.25507699295374464,0.09932950124865389,0.07551484172544072,0.10208438366814367,0.10346571584811282,-0.20225268079151146,-0.009456320943589685,0.09852011638583674,0.16756500796570364,0.1001569343200369,-0.0049402739759075885,-0.25416501909177636,-0.21266083175512554,-0.2564484374755702,0.021340625216900586,-0.25803180098615414,0.0013338363578349552,0.012976128444512576,0.08549697355506387,0.08214295792689691,0.08657633533065939,-0.017625782685629785,-0.07421428233330425,-0.010512252067266147,0.05745470582248203,0.10259205516974869,0.09388796474037452,0.07181632232131593,0.07291866656644759,0.25913401577536005,-0.25445568976089195,-0.02081574926555983,0.057732413059365995,0.055388939939393145,0.1016223896808805,0.0865279003082046,-0.026535537968846626,0.16245377677078,-0.25756073415308905,-0.011043977573222442,0.07699678242306174,-0.05785953880674885,0.06931660949773298,-0.16509911353543116,0.14413018214353232,0.09273242559692951,-0.08795595485545847,-0.08268485561332588,0.08483887100935777,0.08470005975505239,-0.08308258652158308,0.05331732441024691,0.06941080934831763,0.01415015444191323,0.008305155845175995,-0.2432323255400335,-0.24469247070540145,0.037224740204438334,0.03397979117216094,0.09908708642404511,-0.02406154045638127,0.10033007892702868,0.032390430024928585,0.04500826227237292,0.09161378958721945,-0.06366159269748696,-0.051902123495349416,-0.23596762828449716,0.10031493231030995,-0.036325266056914766,0.2504022133706122,-0.25827336573835696,0.027614533649736553;-0.04237386225779607,-0.053569015108700366,0.00414995843292352,-0.11494116623387413,-0.49202840907988143,0.022354686056235865,0.4496404331134279,0.07989388167998585,-0.5646507823153764,0.45337317816368217,-0.3762643569725955,0.17178038594891865,0.3424607905638558,0.11317291545233138,0.20162915681768945,-0.14342314654157923,-0.1541327241605439,-0.5307992102231773,-0.005672119073656844,-0.29404641552787014,-0.340882147051284,0.21731293159750048,0.20455119777721054,-0.10260217994028037,0.3644558515398348,0.07131072493413719,0.17481270874824606,0.16682494901688635,0.20009900762371116,0.11306477662125436,0.2051309542949324,0.20952717074587493,-0.35509669457825566,-0.2427795856522814,0.19796381687702677,0.34873549169900514,0.19384373954316628,-0.21733416824469706,-0.09182334070685477,-0.330658667099733,0.15171443154972686,-0.02357751868858426,0.11095922645871341,-0.18834577357664148,-0.05417005528458361,0.14536833703862947,0.15725886414999743,0.1188299309039206,-0.15188161328159608,-0.5529794434770353,-0.24763334859488614,0.08975682765499196,0.20584897195473315,0.17793061456839077,0.10098837127969089,0.10307756024317449,0.5463055495048615,-0.0947384470946383,-0.16065274505319999,0.04833179495234735,0.005473287697188332,0.16561825756927626,0.15110529250128427,-0.3261339102037196,0.3351670845071401,0.136000568479981,-0.24576958129045384,0.1439038516580947,-0.2754344541155381,0.12174412374433034,-0.40788148216789605,0.2895973669011892,0.170140255596114,-0.35071151977518394,-0.5979389966487156,0.14339365024304027,0.14624213775906295,-0.5967934842460412,-5.834489613960918E-4,0.12232792076132397,-0.13048110812144142,-0.15924641974195228,0.3052798762579499,0.28880612980533565,-0.03258951696202067,-0.04500568237904753,0.193147849127202,-0.17247087220300497,0.20442419070647433,0.012144046743303182,-0.0017207715718161516,0.17114573267676045,-0.5312504301207666,-0.4517442288008556,0.35467061180376236,0.2021828902017235,-0.37308113532702886,0.5283007047498536,0.08203952846898964,-0.10942056700997968;0.09560513795393669,0.1001967955339663,0.05378605291208323,0.11782055649691182,0.238914766993272,-0.4489336328896587,0.03624850556436298,0.06367180588252666,0.2423155587527867,0.03605911438113808,0.20937510141337806,0.0410098830548415,0.03813676076784202,0.05505143811217806,0.03192726808099372,-0.30748936907568153,0.08202902529850925,0.24635724414617027,-0.42622289199354135,0.09521652770246715,0.09491295583803755,-0.5966897398531262,0.03168416765816068,0.11516519027182429,0.03618069534076376,0.06519712322717307,0.04218610201501391,-0.5597994232625966,0.031738015281519615,0.055411882967567015,0.032526433737278045,0.03138200650840203,-0.08766165824476119,0.15796837369846264,0.03109129135221524,0.035679446796606964,0.03658560239098371,0.1485676378317749,-0.3523413623675611,-0.12053208634009052,-0.5499313648418873,0.06048827738471272,-0.5178234787599137,0.13969977219472238,0.06685212806616565,0.049142340588297195,0.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x_a{190}=[9.161742774251419,0.5416701139771493,36.06868284225982];
std_x_a{190}=[1.3057287690546073,2.6250092850809597,2.2057248926817237];
pred_a{190}=[9.161742774251419];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 18.9 to 19.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{191}=[2.452453262889277,-1.8310742911553832,27.340449169163403];
std_x_f{191}=[1.6482774409112095,2.3304808930290166,1.3416398177646947];
pred_f{191}=[2.452453262889277];
obs{191}=[2.1462729958473643];
sqrt_r{191}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{191}=[3.7176055073908656];
L_f{191}=[-0.028053256033135864,-0.03521525790104889,0.003710212958809277,-0.07392483752739656,-0.3101185574541145,0.022034008322391618,0.26581488846633505,0.048886222165541164,-0.3548678954785238,0.2685737775035605,-0.2382514257361587,0.1057063211021322,0.2060790135322081,0.06971521247609631,0.12467224756822061,-0.09113914713519376,-0.09642820501835557,-0.3339758630903168,0.0023842992330581803,-0.18438834462983716,-0.21399958045361214,0.16040938308758268,0.12639227902132597,-0.06578138409050135,0.2183504804882361,0.04389132189775021,0.10760698226034994,0.12358105939480438,0.1229712881704168,0.06977770647498174,0.12673050935574978,0.1293390135991158,-0.22682649762865145,-0.15425485148551699,0.12257708621147934,0.20967021283353737,0.11965051380725225,-0.13785233512129014,-0.056286674834744074,-0.21175002306562174,0.11296331052374525,-0.013726640925468407,0.08409037480332222,-0.1197092530890261,-0.03272856376178302,0.08899267990345863,0.09811659325680251,0.07128573130595658,-0.09454092223490336,-0.34752779611808954,-0.15735941648218596,0.05666221955681314,0.12683187353612885,0.11014191334704211,0.062033459439415434,0.06337937082415475,0.3177977632113995,-0.05753530894075005,-0.10001271512187977,0.029491442692084792,7.08002017278675E-4,0.1002289283501172,0.09293453213363169,-0.20654548853591773,0.20163154204997036,0.10128833588226567,-0.1556202513756529,0.08998151439240828,-0.17281980792496787,0.0765083400494835,-0.25844189721310834,0.17479791157773564,0.1046505821774608,-0.2205512489810697,-0.37544320630557404,0.08794033787072096,0.09027771477849657,-0.3745120294248558,-0.002869936731393789,0.07659211339007144,-0.0830433123748878,-0.1012774564731946,0.22532343903408375,0.21276807013437085,-0.02189406410556136,-0.029763034433801357,0.1193716429852423,-0.10733825215918802,0.12695269608426318,0.008540975694071678,-0.002702103284335116,0.10553063885050828,-0.33409588714669863,-0.2849253924482259,0.2619157753506584,0.12506585259310474,-0.23576423527681328,0.3084819135575462,0.06332746243047949,-0.07126673616187874;-0.0671050725326789,-0.07543513776589421,-0.015023253699834944,-0.123513520145964,-0.4282251437235765,0.2400288664917763,0.21508418168385512,0.023167151012632718,-0.4793210658857668,0.21651125493132312,-0.3381877423569133,0.08770985957945082,0.17175122539098103,0.047595965912510994,0.1095023864276604,0.04747054126950213,-0.130332219375732,-0.45811215401301025,0.207943376234227,-0.23085803748570968,-0.2630267596580902,0.46391085634586254,0.11065428636563322,-0.1137077151957121,0.18202125601422575,0.017666759176756534,0.08901446234240168,0.4068374096147193,0.1086998602303033,0.04754724692129971,0.11085874156514437,0.11318316581132748,-0.20148002724630878,-0.22610830632968337,0.1079152254689363,0.1754797795098757,0.10191741078942138,-0.20480719889322035,0.10764976780574456,-0.17056696690573228,0.3901885768675845,-0.035689036299656245,0.34232340820615775,-0.18144340774441453,-0.058132639334666086,0.06857747359567214,0.0849228526697168,0.04037626546054944,-0.12858025855931085,-0.4704665904087071,-0.22987854719606404,0.0428526322580999,0.11127464979656594,0.09282101434394995,0.039205723766967016,0.0407293489280894,0.24425728307473124,0.10539174764260612,-0.13421287114960181,0.0014631206103993383,-0.03996018501619326,0.07152831730180256,0.07310715149590646,-0.29272118892936105,0.16845108142481735,0.37073698083167617,-0.2269088274934464,0.07732348059671519,-0.2190070396574954,0.06289220608137713,-0.27536155584318506,0.1453318403291297,0.08553410405140954,-0.2700575392876624,-0.5064851160867413,0.06758165650215334,0.06999373898538915,-0.5049765282881699,-0.04435342351811421,0.06356313678381556,-0.1359465330538166,-0.15899211346789624,0.5668210127011974,0.5472481296287927,-0.06046695126965053,-0.06991486084956143,0.10231765787557162,-0.14378191582239364,0.11246943429518218,-0.009741926028123352,-0.03713831342643896,0.08841668074381862,-0.45801320084408736,-0.3927513745096062,0.622878609586044,0.11011467513109742,-0.3299113018969319,0.23920581520738626,0.30873444775445147,-0.12805172422926053;0.02450585284701249,0.023293266474489205,0.0123493598240357,0.01882601393534577,0.05638475418175065,-0.30031168132912744,0.20028772423796,0.043471852176610225,0.0640806780920197,0.20218281696334164,0.03899718980956041,0.06612630843939751,0.14394551143835305,0.05080277809558484,0.0736364517568673,-0.2506711391845196,-0.009837829897255816,0.0628649488927334,-0.2938134933824515,-0.02265530064178864,-0.02617964649381518,-0.3157287374654721,0.07451323808895265,0.019903693727616707,0.15383303992535421,0.041787542210083774,0.06717590260478623,-0.31673959604598745,0.07247508826185638,0.05133415282912288,0.07558823149505993,0.07665297965052477,-0.13626005959061585,0.019992340731951594,0.07129337816546294,0.14535915976417965,0.07280852166527191,0.01770878353963226,-0.2689871384776819,-0.15544950444772598,-0.31708936436322877,0.008695623613866601,-0.31286107778241146,0.017834628153765627,0.003893932320966783,0.05968769315704883,0.0554158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k{191}=[0.7310096517739905;0.932714186610679;0.035845270342096294];
x_a{191}=[2.228632532498901,-2.116652969885621,27.32947405471787];
L_a{191}=[0.021405312049423576,0.026870092490600565,-0.0028309821169892058,0.056406436871633985,0.23662795102221118,-0.016812480636233296,-0.20282318131926996,-0.03730136848053721,0.2707727769663435,-0.2049282803024966,0.18179159339217965,-0.08065647659990292,-0.1572432656759668,-0.053194391263533376,-0.09512793666263213,0.06954137095682719,0.07357704989202166,0.2548316515551611,-0.0018192779134987268,0.14069276131142652,0.1632868495779829,-0.12239623438325765,-0.09644036221298748,0.050192785173920174,-0.16660669141120782,-0.03349013891197926,-0.08210672697881846,-0.09429533372595261,-0.0938300635512046,-0.053242075694381094,-0.09669844012894721,-0.09868879188154032,0.1730740972486104,0.11770017809287049,-0.09352927793360738,-0.15998343749722807,-0.09129623249055,0.10518466186340517,0.0429480926434711,0.16157038294729492,-0.08619373483921432,0.0104737586272689,-0.06416298738698997,0.09134105198153705,0.024972684790062514,-0.06790356460576111,-0.07486533090517199,-0.054392735070503524,0.07213700753624011,0.26517210383598466,0.1200690361838142,-0.043234642338626214,-0.09677578344728033,-0.08404094063552699,-0.04733302812470421,-0.04835999102509586,-0.24248737052532499,0.043900830630214646,0.07631211769376324,-0.02250268321317577,-5.40222642732356E-4,-0.07647709361007653,-0.0709112930826235,0.1575991973726606,-0.15384973749528902,-0.07728544714972849,0.11874201119367292,-0.06865806920858496,0.1318656883388474,-0.058377711706912486,0.1971974108801249,-0.1333750292119205,-0.07985092229638033,0.16828593093627386,0.2864722361751673,-0.06710060221284421,-0.06888407725862704,0.28576172572028635,0.0021898310565100013,-0.05844163278953436,0.0633640534596986,0.07727714589778809,-0.17192722723083836,-0.1623471774542082,0.016705699818091214,0.02270991427307924,-0.09108344731653853,0.08190167941978835,-0.0968679739702757,-0.006516970783077763,0.0020617700819700723,-0.08052242679787237,0.2549232328096597,0.2174049575191857,-0.19984806381923856,-0.09542826680512673,0.1798938069874303,-0.23537915219192732,-0.04832038366674523,0.0543782413166973;-0.003999601916655051,0.003781172101502931,-0.023369334260849868,0.042779535350666614,0.2693829161675271,0.19046362304554235,-0.38286329413144504,-0.0868018327214498,0.3189501053550604,-0.38764230943447814,0.19775604713618455,-0.15007527068704535,-0.2918210999631616,-0.10922758737498146,-0.17094637311230423,0.2524869844487198,0.08658189751516,0.2931626352596869,0.2025799230573896,0.18392138242303022,0.21836278814361845,0.10307182935337267,-0.1736636637664814,0.034266737249353314,-0.3091555904156322,-0.08106625495341478,-0.15304618292061584,0.12884326508032565,-0.16792261108235618,-0.10941688588415291,-0.17422005373963814,-0.17776342921292695,0.30876352038798693,0.12088617396524007,-0.16782049315779224,-0.29617090657781736,-0.16723501751826247,0.10529001310496963,0.23426598307366542,0.3057622279202222,0.13607893396107695,-0.004811118436728467,0.15316309576422668,0.08784115388909827,0.015489881214617364,-0.13161051670590002,-0.13578927377286165,-0.11998015152563797,0.08408843783227839,0.3112931133589171,0.12409961566823445,-0.08460836646011072,-0.17403216304382357,-0.15494192868500098,-0.1003378161073505,-0.10184180282989391,-0.4706250601544043,0.23481675069593244,0.09076455920278641,-0.06487753403700618,-0.041552827255108,-0.15393548217312894,-0.13594798919241852,0.17190046647776885,-0.2851167089617461,0.14289005653118295,0.12315710384959504,-0.12508888129697476,0.16974909253600695,-0.10921240805577004,0.30600046257162267,-0.24787401284463023,-0.149876153879043,0.22606991007018104,0.3380699756828948,-0.13023910273196257,-0.13308492220484883,0.3374838920032224,-0.03789753448124458,-0.10872992450102176,0.050858424728653276,0.06883033772941638,0.05995857775705134,0.06862884985488146,-0.011216510698799044,-0.0029632637626684404,-0.1662074537868278,0.0976742242280212,-0.17310916745099533,-0.028954750737589657,-0.031059963761442454,-0.14897325435693562,0.29353158113656036,0.24818495600627333,0.03370214302040877,-0.17121949429864283,0.20043758181184979,-0.4547206334225576,0.16628006331958842,0.03226196340297818;0.026931068080970007,0.026337639642027434,0.01202861042588024,0.02521684578486531,0.08319462783714038,-0.30221653018465766,0.17730792053318412,0.03924561866608797,0.09475914996496154,0.1789645061949298,0.059594121107836184,0.056987954589858905,0.1261298980768618,0.04477587001989095,0.06285848595863527,-0.24279212336613867,-0.0015015729038616286,0.0917372961876097,-0.2940196170072992,-0.00671485430528111,-0.007679296945669198,-0.3295961929606291,0.0635865748818341,0.02559052076183549,0.1349565533244213,0.037993119830762555,0.05787323583591806,-0.3274232281890398,0.06184417108568184,0.04530184212216414,0.06463232813989386,0.06547157005745953,-0.11665081790884882,0.033327734502024815,0.06069653990672121,0.12723308578294876,0.06246468676448714,0.029626173192294665,-0.2641211328661839,-0.13714363003788818,-0.3268550878584576,0.009882297226519423,-0.32013072440600987,0.02818354108901556,0.00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x_a{191}=[2.228632532498901,-2.116652969885619,27.329474054717853];
std_x_a{191}=[1.2576755056545168,1.8939937661601411,1.340575485510481];
pred_a{191}=[2.228632532498901];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.0 to 19.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{192}=[-0.3562280103023128,-1.7458017441780624,21.062868373080622];
std_x_f{192}=[1.6806738688380063,2.2179393241509446,1.1813806395969872];
pred_f{192}=[-0.3562280103023128];
obs{192}=[-0.45863353153783776];
sqrt_r{192}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{192}=[3.8246898215589447];
L_f{192}=[0.005016788218823293,0.012382685845747574,-0.01718519757656464,0.050133104482434784,0.2643547786391891,0.12831113359150959,-0.3237763741278204,-0.07286917656745404,0.3067697293455931,-0.3279125110951417,0.19878956787110744,-0.13232259805615457,-0.2520588966568802,-0.09491166442099902,-0.15114568657242883,0.209099150973716,0.08772824257611736,0.28513465927054743,0.14323802295699423,0.17899984607175537,0.21097173743473513,0.01602354618468452,-0.15404747608256075,0.04238086334209345,-0.2663386747363116,-0.06804642280552747,-0.13483530927565754,0.047954622118248656,-0.14922573400345435,-0.09458555046770921,-0.1539423104483826,-0.15728557407829505,0.2829458690211564,0.12573003573112562,-0.14872757752572713,-0.25585563479777,-0.14764963832521857,0.11076722130803907,0.18515186442653675,0.2779985392795478,0.05695566450575078,3.753023287808195E-4,0.07893510641021449,0.09355098326710962,0.019767425583038248,-0.11515088451445911,-0.1205706325287797,-0.10216873074282505,0.08458841991539426,0.3002978077174357,0.1289604953881289,-0.07430234731636211,-0.1543281703167364,-0.13662011281881967,-0.08609385770152136,-0.08802468591738977,-0.38852172722412365,0.1858351439695471,0.09106289811152725,-0.05340735310195193,-0.028926186117212975,-0.133181578801328,-0.1192588661078978,0.17419824598490227,-0.24641000569806218,0.06603695038857633,0.1274106276103794,-0.11175916680026154,0.16570103654574786,-0.09682299451672698,0.28592702133422104,-0.2153854080767686,-0.13208012008156045,0.21753155075439415,0.3234143496569648,-0.11377519437661593,-0.11650206603870955,0.32358880393525213,-0.024924303318372105,-0.09628473223267196,0.05809106615161885,0.07573257696123613,-0.03814213476492315,-0.028118708854308814,-0.0018541585009857976,0.005722781223708279,-0.1468071443489195,0.09738364062273723,-0.1534119303701058,-0.022378031279014166,-0.02085669725142799,-0.1311978356127165,0.28590894031159964,0.24476307273913442,-0.07123018930898954,-0.1516322256376898,0.20094228836677072,-0.3776620573975801,0.09590824568964695,0.042039791132355495;-0.004673628044747924,0.004791715881823795,-0.02992265228514033,0.052633336903320144,0.3126785710572903,0.23500541541050235,-0.42205399787882486,-0.1065319743600057,0.36300844958496437,-0.42655017331102485,0.2353582134556335,-0.1819255011498577,-0.3354147266149189,-0.13364833611305235,-0.20644751013559304,0.3297968854135975,0.10742788415926674,0.33627525251953155,0.25360642523073645,0.22774548483614374,0.26993880369718387,0.0895418684534635,-0.20977365561237954,0.042165879213090396,-0.3529380374731541,-0.09998405024599967,-0.18602844552093442,0.1322937743096703,-0.2032095119730243,-0.13413182784863223,-0.21019790706933672,-0.21397188244355858,0.39412892250119946,0.1488450245440826,-0.20271639877171177,-0.34000476232242155,-0.20207204289748143,0.12987126105128044,0.30362962623212,0.39404357305514986,0.14346222729943306,-0.006966513160713021,0.17243475386123636,0.1084283295513755,0.018783951756102722,-0.16037662906115835,-0.1661509696183344,-0.14580965240839608,0.10433497675011283,0.35540079910882183,0.15218277831093047,-0.10533899256416812,-0.20998746204315938,-0.18802662730667638,-0.12301923030300066,-0.12485181071579206,-0.4958794196565471,0.3043659806466325,0.11269785242497446,-0.0802724520266883,-0.05071091573128391,-0.1851831089490238,-0.16557600052517488,0.20813249005144316,-0.3284848834427587,0.15524805533049355,0.15078934528432736,-0.15359685380541885,0.21090403267769436,-0.1351587460129091,0.38185153178007947,-0.2898823110449415,-0.18230926994128555,0.2784453587087033,0.38026343944870394,-0.1587659175936067,-0.1628462275951792,0.3795741015563407,-0.045924043733006716,-0.13413489526664232,0.06303101731606281,0.08482403470583784,0.016650117927149707,0.03137996705716718,-0.014527129218112332,-0.003719859628102642,-0.2011383782941067,0.12109853788839732,-0.20922893740361734,-0.03664121238094551,-0.03849622199760333,-0.18093441515572442,0.3368857962908372,0.29206851029793895,-0.026100078228649713,-0.2066462828692068,0.2406869394369536,-0.48307024826220296,0.19499849891885904,0.04024292611928167;-0.006141976940921991,-0.006897202630540808,-0.015053056370749792,-0.009384129856118742,0.07303964141599081,-0.24312419238178687,0.2283083522580084,0.015213638194247868,0.10015976583140943,0.23200253938870605,0.03457709883082103,0.0443480958840278,0.14682238497186095,0.024076960676561208,0.0548897512154852,-0.18185503170439063,-0.027325000090376608,0.08819870139458826,-0.23414595869960017,-0.01775827169083439,-0.010311778713427953,-0.26804725194031154,0.05715883128239948,-0.008914945264736483,0.1611095182145053,0.01279509264560847,0.04581586730763357,-0.26693723911068296,0.053483030916970965,0.0241798672264558,0.05797689429236652,0.05936176027624176,-0.06402565764273321,0.0014778213101800997,0.05212083222487423,0.14905835206936713,0.053141234107415294,-0.0028055956314360026,-0.20382225871599896,-0.08119345256584143,-0.26728220009231624,-0.01770570116160571,-0.2606637635400715,-0.005616053096674067,-0.0218175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k{192}=[0.738540889155712;0.9663530666540807;-0.21129909039711892];
x_a{192}=[-0.43185867501005154,-1.8447616336663215,21.08450656656933];
L_a{192}=[-0.0037139088709546918,-0.009166854330469182,0.012722135147989687,-0.03711334290875941,-0.19570081786263427,-0.09498823480324863,0.23969039465670336,0.053944768937547016,-0.22710044145020675,0.24275236081999127,-0.147163146492742,0.09795790639609482,0.186598224095776,0.07026273724843445,0.1118925658575128,-0.15479529089879054,-0.06494487790300386,-0.21108408294139858,-0.10603855313684485,-0.13251289215898876,-0.1561815593968535,-0.011862169125690136,0.114040749383157,-0.0313743888439121,0.19716948845281584,0.05037450302286394,0.09981805677143761,-0.03550062085937862,0.11047123241334375,0.07002131635298571,0.11396289567184661,0.11643790077700211,-0.20946373000455898,-0.09307745806276081,0.11010244910397213,0.18940893462352704,0.10930445489243702,-0.0820005445482844,-0.1370672074989048,-0.20580124097503252,-0.04216405764655572,-2.7783485914740006E-4,-0.058435353285733974,-0.06925543026485276,-0.01463374853124696,0.08524575342684843,0.08925797187234717,0.07563511531466623,-0.06262047935870581,-0.22230930295710633,-0.09546895482405307,0.055005739687317104,0.11424854623661389,0.1011393399156993,0.06373494911598794,0.06516433375939336,0.28762112857033384,-0.13757303669588117,-0.06741351046916827,0.03953725646925397,0.021413943451015664,0.09859380651193174,0.08828687627599448,-0.12895828622796038,0.1824163720167318,-0.048886898382259014,-0.0943215937162046,0.08273487795092745,-0.12266783501935102,0.07167768750908383,-0.2116706655055667,0.15944898266367916,0.09777840089146195,-0.16103776376846302,-0.23942238934430665,0.08422733535062764,0.08624602787143326,-0.23955153717025557,0.018451365128221257,0.07127921402675673,-0.04300459108363886,-0.05606453314917187,0.02823647450954659,0.020816171163450903,0.0013726263506858188,-0.00423655275570877,0.10868075986768733,-0.07209273164803415,0.11357025735590193,0.01656636980803748,0.01544013212482445,0.0971252491193281,-0.21165728019461097,-0.1811971539315275,0.05273143302359432,0.11225274884147039,-0.14875679713072026,0.27958175709495164,-0.07100050249839496,-0.031121894409200074;-0.016097417885794888,-0.02340504957835078,0.009209971403246406,-0.06152536876771895,-0.2892869301611212,-0.05717343697081522,0.3152211455395211,0.05939931926593695,-0.3355406548978432,0.3201434182074775,-0.21730794403361484,0.11938790605021649,0.23855167128293023,0.08247617632725583,0.13772818225374464,-0.1463453499118872,-0.09233917049806938,-0.3130083691577015,-0.07256262957771331,-0.17985725498672994,-0.21046752117260478,0.05305445536408256,0.14100973717824744,-0.05434010329692395,0.25354501782397343,0.054965291774999744,0.12100668714387847,0.023095717487134532,0.1365942329279883,0.08125008651814414,0.1403460117688431,0.14418502291616375,-0.250170578115998,-0.13745637831573293,0.135952987918173,0.24260723445486101,0.13414275524871477,-0.1223581339931406,-0.11798194986564188,-0.23899030246939548,0.013767786714997435,-0.007821118685969415,-0.007309342835449425,-0.10459775918342654,-0.026228694923276313,0.10183485911132735,0.10840189307634536,0.0868400145544853,-0.08828234930602849,-0.32841101344079393,-0.1414747437633894,0.06385579171111717,0.1414351030228259,0.12307270334603233,0.07302614655723064,0.07559027870138632,0.3888281595543613,-0.11880149965947326,-0.09466258715657938,0.041342085241219385,0.015157256631702221,0.1180862938168088,0.1059898228010757,-0.18853646745884362,0.23261835573007172,0.004874507539056947,-0.13933895390831136,0.10089131245728976,-0.1664158252425308,0.08531807957638547,-0.26923638724808874,0.20057443725173366,0.11845198769575678,-0.21689839734048308,-0.35618733361714167,0.10031296973235408,0.10244205255991924,-0.3572739234813041,0.01083139233967174,0.08511624668918023,-0.06924886024952924,-0.08762754299480531,0.10350403972685755,0.09540942306409311,-0.010305002207094058,-0.016751274779461593,0.13315796650947534,-0.10065494180924311,0.14010724646831885,0.014316076473435338,0.008996818526746246,0.11781778172123322,-0.31416095021947155,-0.2652844776814102,0.13609905745556425,0.13863731357917544,-0.21688120423474896,0.3769086439022558,-0.02339534092296102,-0.055486396688405874;-0.0036440944530454038,-7.318050140104181E-4,-0.023609647202337512,0.01557737903909515,0.20466313105658127,-0.1792374745021553,0.06709857029281362,-0.021068268100079265,0.2529018592424665,0.06873335534244122,0.13355536115704342,-0.021535949050268413,0.02132107289526803,-0.023180004160603198,-0.020366398165265066,-0.07774357938368312,0.016355305169643442,0.23016859149403804,-0.16282707228540302,0.07136659492355062,0.09473204322783972,-0.26006905280919657,-0.019542132765564962,0.012186686246457261,0.0284982373611674,-0.02108554183101318,-0.021319268380053054,-0.24306040684726932,-0.020817165034930002,-0.022914723937066884,-0.01867170729091287,-0.01895146801824288,0.07685442348031322,0.06407939840576277,-0.0219313292699873,0.02166662618626804,-0.02037421638141989,0.052345925674161686,-0.11163427318105774,0.057223329772347536,-0.2389237064209094,-0.01751883636408395,-0.22136160220087978,0.040963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x_a{192}=[-0.43185867501005143,-1.8447616336663206,21.084506566569335];
std_x_a{192}=[1.2441963500152007,1.653268153428559,1.1363028314520343];
pred_a{192}=[-0.43185867501005143];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.1 to 19.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{193}=[-1.508919536045945,-2.5204085542277106,16.61942051332081];
std_x_f{193}=[1.8133355863387925,2.638941968314978,1.3434866734297117];
pred_f{193}=[-1.508919536045945];
obs{193}=[-1.6049981115078444];
sqrt_r{193}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{193}=[4.288483937706036];
L_f{193}=[-0.017262358569522313,-0.02452218707533507,0.010281985605730496,-0.06666517798178019,-0.293457825545156,-0.10986557074239758,0.3553253344421972,0.07035193088034987,-0.333837639075146,0.35999627828442543,-0.227687990170849,0.13890844444461367,0.2737765325614253,0.09613438246775756,0.16051441683947526,-0.202118773101999,-0.10447588863478267,-0.31424781980045924,-0.12662653978725757,-0.19941960951653728,-0.23108528220921745,0.019619150182136457,0.16391741416872496,-0.05858989449549747,0.28974760802148686,0.06495998837929197,0.1412831290375938,-0.017082547867434007,0.15834379614533595,0.0953330155233001,0.16203912581511268,0.16686528842045958,-0.288747106417536,-0.14884618029371716,0.1580112928375207,0.2783634052213618,0.15565762031527325,-0.13298381855450653,-0.173987533957524,-0.2814239795587723,-0.02800391636842895,-0.009197271289227758,-0.05268895489314113,-0.11408970540466133,-0.029807343806700703,0.11887779354673071,0.12574396616441605,0.10300867551718763,-0.10057960450602756,-0.3281561312120578,-0.15293674840204213,0.07390098433544365,0.1642357054010191,0.14339621489577775,0.08536268298385935,0.08858736473020323,0.4282807371104588,-0.1748628457879032,-0.10630289934349467,0.04940517568945143,0.020251053561944104,0.1382946026230059,0.12364248098274731,-0.2004240544898502,0.267318556156425,-0.03857612142184164,-0.15031152550352597,0.11676736798124186,-0.18549914145332677,0.09897486247510089,-0.2979932588975061,0.23183113765410934,0.13806802951752847,-0.23740780713311604,-0.3508344225091748,0.11757865153280678,0.12009049660137058,-0.35139430481283984,0.015582789190700524,0.09850682066496282,-0.07593595782795971,-0.09550172490390646,0.08169752294654103,0.07087587265590198,-0.009049665419089558,-0.017550823945546384,0.15485210424095835,-0.11420303133459338,0.1626978683715136,0.0158047046693292,0.012151606016342215,0.13742831136590816,-0.31540711399878874,-0.2731597350044833,0.12212639319625847,0.16062595962499032,-0.2281489730726137,0.4165196515779372,-0.07187501857275573,-0.05908445890570923;-0.033899124507990666,-0.045840373465674905,0.00693518833597366,-0.10855877938969871,-0.41156623150065147,-0.1726212181200172,0.5289415464247034,0.09781274463978394,-0.45661884813392684,0.5360406601417826,-0.3304187513270479,0.20373118626134903,0.40926948744920033,0.13832425269236248,0.23653148813820443,-0.3036883875455,-0.1630532068432088,-0.4350591696014074,-0.19702365797936666,-0.29580200962761644,-0.33673436656823347,0.02723940896304249,0.2426270075203854,-0.09683751677481477,0.43337010589323816,0.09035506020611725,0.2071686500482229,-0.030435524270516483,0.23356608669317616,0.13629978720889652,0.24036770565768606,0.24689335550759736,-0.412725073852222,-0.22606947805675662,0.2332072378558661,0.4158531860966656,0.22968476258115983,-0.20364407473843052,-0.26472267956924794,-0.4041436271656118,-0.047716385651611015,-0.021668165796347626,-0.08615322035841902,-0.17683631754646748,-0.054215982587780376,0.17308160528169528,0.18368886405333426,0.14782631182722278,-0.15761854249127716,-0.45156058549426065,-0.23135083883545435,0.1038776995918504,0.24277432009371858,0.21057087039539446,0.1214074771577209,0.1262697260765673,0.6324514688202807,-0.2660141925778074,-0.16765898061738352,0.06612448269322015,0.021248343456315124,0.20174041197611683,0.1800634755279667,-0.2954493335576073,0.3990700645263409,-0.06341713241846919,-0.22786392399925712,0.16996563187659797,-0.2760077749819972,0.14253982732609527,-0.42160865366723577,0.34540254864089315,0.20233095978808888,-0.344711968074108,-0.47369562004265287,0.1705050028474953,0.17460895820722935,-0.47559325700225935,0.014288584600789373,0.1414547793754631,-0.12227603664497574,-0.15018299421303236,0.12757433995875322,0.1103867473090428,-0.023437969323690258,-0.035739407656501965,0.2286055357454038,-0.1769547653777595,0.24064672177418073,0.015736471977338212,0.009747080752858107,0.2013795773688572,-0.43651521708751306,-0.3882972040296103,0.19332117303843757,0.2376993832310393,-0.33263414294527527,0.6164612365631043,-0.11487077196294256,-0.09755710619517799;-0.02630285967051907,-0.02154369870568252,-0.04874582100693439,0.005772838178515937,0.28023542067670104,-0.12723577955308607,0.03727355575921556,-0.05833052047013183,0.35067219856917814,0.03976027751958874,0.1782185979158818,-0.0645463802401399,-0.020284933252573953,-0.0628829483932678,-0.06445010150479676,-0.0011730402139083552,0.021064440169230304,0.31640947418803966,-0.10665326318850642,0.11220947357886671,0.15017345401494464,-0.23193294746974888,-0.06309451619397746,-1.9564114181624202E-4,-0.011031810305981434,-0.057451356689757045,-0.06437193748394154,-0.20969804001920328,-0.06414609010435057,-0.0629330257851449,-0.06296672031172672,-0.06250231105549561,0.1768361862042739,0.0787819480379962,-0.0651775416914066,-0.01894375727309034,-0.06313958712885334,0.06168936826932747,-0.0433389728533639,0.15611791004495681,-0.20333263859072803,-0.0390243494892842,-0.1814413552246666,0.04396047245903784,-0.02857821716514221,-0.0644177566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k{193}=[0.7668173614438405;1.115103599237747;-0.34361598999123266];
x_a{193}=[-1.5825942557729216,-2.62754611953491,16.6524346481451];
L_a{193}=[0.011411065523568069,0.01621008406069713,-0.0067967775658724335,0.044068179387347445,0.19398661325526173,0.07262525694137492,-0.23488335369549956,-0.0465052611294134,0.22067918230163194,-0.23797102251120117,0.15051028886378728,-0.09182368417100152,-0.18097654149007406,-0.0635484272319626,-0.10610604110995792,0.13360807876405512,0.06906247521409782,0.2077295780839915,0.08370488521112204,0.1318238305451058,0.15275602613638475,-0.012968993045964381,-0.10835554979350213,0.0387301145677432,-0.19153402051720866,-0.04294098519741455,-0.09339343962354707,0.01129220391522488,-0.10467117953713855,-0.0630186936689158,-0.10711393084618949,-0.11030420507755904,0.1908726514862539,0.09839289975491636,-0.10445138239777291,-0.18400863610565035,-0.10289551671092488,0.08790728456880571,0.11501227611959354,0.18603179036717749,0.018511637521008022,0.006079740777990064,0.03482937248884833,0.07541756815524141,0.019703770599592815,-0.07858267374042144,-0.0831214709923143,-0.0680925923933646,0.06648688548152451,0.21692349282054155,0.10109691847430098,-0.04885131838222841,-0.10856595221867811,-0.09479026851500788,-0.05642793045187808,-0.058559565856854116,-0.2831096071818366,0.115590890021615,0.07027019771768325,-0.032658671451251425,-0.013386704846035631,-0.0914179117373414,-0.08173231058249811,0.13248780629089543,-0.17670757722251332,0.025500261011084664,0.09936154781864592,-0.07718760340206549,0.12262187980655012,-0.06542609089835211,0.19698470456202113,-0.15324906451920453,-0.09126813842901445,0.1569354519020146,0.23191469271433066,-0.07772389221380643,-0.07938431587764123,0.23228479588574072,-0.010300807261006382,-0.06511669773276901,0.0501965120745216,0.06313021688799293,-0.05400512239979404,-0.046851606265698294,0.005982167769699991,0.011601751940712909,-0.10236304041764929,0.07549248083920461,-0.10754938434716863,-0.010447501703549094,-0.008032666678230395,-0.09084526077209654,0.20849591496692416,0.18056881520465934,-0.08073011977517429,-0.10617977506867907,0.15081501582656576,-0.2753350891691684,0.04751207913670876,0.039057040165298054;0.007797686253403489,0.01339237794646659,-0.017900699896035623,0.052469350079742176,0.2972740679825484,0.09275641808123809,-0.329338228572194,-0.0721206475326972,0.34975791698109354,-0.33352166704415076,0.21955609715964822,-0.1317988108615736,-0.2520311235391104,-0.09388602942394145,-0.15118721417446243,0.18452463383379264,0.08930578222473566,0.3239988595565986,0.10883969467983654,0.18589124721406816,0.22144655889540257,-0.020150175093462716,-0.15331155276173491,0.04468496020710153,-0.2665082526509536,-0.06655422490721195,-0.1340973404323115,0.01082695807696731,-0.14890953368756443,-0.09397481238181833,-0.1510338944100766,-0.15616572392768108,0.2847365971994466,0.1334648803142512,-0.14846522880473398,-0.25652690516762916,-0.1463024648718781,0.11757513144726695,0.15554001217422855,0.275629207590496,0.01992639888965589,5.476211671569742E-4,0.041115679343027255,0.09874461404653226,0.017782937432463775,-0.1140648377311192,-0.1200426533073257,-0.10098865934394302,0.0853290662409489,0.34109263441385945,0.13806418813784793,-0.0746283455992277,-0.15393306498291226,-0.1357992280085403,-0.08478402466562213,-0.08771091672664269,-0.40205032165778315,0.15636279377967163,0.08911310875046452,-0.05321252754555474,-0.027667587972781807,-0.13230686503240674,-0.1185919550636102,0.18867013589018086,-0.24663146022028645,0.029762558430670914,0.13520994038232517,-0.11208312908565597,0.17206092701082035,-0.09653156573635872,0.29818687568517493,-0.2145799726600534,-0.13116903534903376,0.22874086384566286,0.37373646549957584,-0.11350339396562964,-0.1154667397840074,0.37319121074026623,-0.02335126683680692,-0.09648606998364063,0.06114543793428026,0.08049911881731353,-0.06976405619708813,-0.060812213584954554,-0.0015787207792919283,0.006654184262973715,-0.14543598705895028,0.09889990226560158,-0.15234605504988094,-0.022439410946346244,-0.019604830486259647,-0.13057519400285053,0.32534305924470486,0.27151354733689215,-0.10167218407249136,-0.1502887479896581,0.21845419862185422,-0.38963193548526565,0.058741601794093594,0.04515997919084856;-0.03915161284380947,-0.039796101917635794,-0.0410927129656842,-0.04384752011097528,0.06180830644346015,-0.20901114037800048,0.3017500176562175,-0.005966030907161311,0.10218950096123192,0.30771342565696636,0.00874541877609981,0.03884623028677447,0.18349296171780013,0.008671986977831392,0.0550243095045055,-0.15161448868787167,-0.056699261715549114,0.08250790994933144,-0.20090418193531429,-0.036222928069643466,-0.021828404313302983,-0.21732998246095542,0.05891282057728255,-0.04380538831454017,0.20463370741720868,-0.009100208527479683,0.04078820301732301,-0.2224129561319467,0.05371268017894608,0.008025434542923848,0.05764256512450681,0.06169919336057942,-0.038084636168806876,-0.03200753786444931,0.052433739066388,0.1882482479075126,0.05271980340100288,-0.03729341289391726,-0.17284172127828945,-0.05335214793309623,-0.22417656949705778,-0.045870080806192315,-0.22065890325867982,-0.0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x_a{193}=[-1.5825942557729213,-2.627546119534909,16.65243464814511];
std_x_a{193}=[1.1986827355366576,1.746346899375914,1.1968008468917612];
pred_a{193}=[-1.5825942557729213];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.2 to 19.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{194}=[-3.0225367583665332,-5.036881518953535,13.856735973084106];
std_x_f{194}=[2.030922106534837,3.233271171115193,1.7259531717357341];
pred_f{194}=[-3.0225367583665332];
obs{194}=[-3.2155156781635226];
sqrt_r{194}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{194}=[5.124682294259821];
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k{194}=[0.8048659521547114;1.2772213111558455;-0.49032210047660757];
x_a{194}=[-3.1778589203947245,-5.283358307922085,13.951357802386672];
L_a{194}=[-0.003473109511319997,-0.007806870853619855,0.014500347511069728,-0.03517710119622745,-0.19967701327967352,-0.059970321018274056,0.19770439775570775,0.051133241110298135,-0.23145473107736933,0.1995550312384414,-0.14985556608879602,0.09102220192765687,0.1603362897839847,0.06602842456342115,0.10265854221093591,-0.12708015563664926,-0.060545745524538244,-0.21588867264187822,-0.07198356024026466,-0.12782151919188414,-0.15140230687432604,0.025756447847308003,0.10428570797613555,-0.029949718799423198,0.1675003530589199,0.04772567937493484,0.09189978603615374,0.002173013345040771,0.10103586562045713,0.06597950400282493,0.10300694098201447,0.10585251455960133,-0.19392854565866235,-0.09175861757097528,0.10092960813611426,0.16252356711749227,0.09955798917146871,-0.08079170103650529,-0.10634268708331837,-0.18812224990614337,-0.0046406721255163935,0.002110564591371788,-0.02096178082191041,-0.06784015211163726,-0.010448314667825852,0.07929329175596385,0.08336280412792015,0.07038381647971317,-0.057928538295551696,-0.22638827360484454,-0.09477887219022658,0.05336276407006956,0.1044428918374309,0.09313587494453077,0.05991408869120287,0.061756274089064644,0.22736872306590458,-0.1068523327171259,-0.061353391330944584,0.0384707227420189,0.02063675149000657,0.09052153502504218,0.0818946362884528,-0.12936549726777055,0.15734878411396247,-0.011832234889683506,-0.09311164888130226,0.07827042227856759,-0.11794544067796471,0.0680743110097578,-0.20138184150818286,0.13982673552527772,0.0900961374616347,-0.15619959555286927,-0.2455690703963437,0.07863260778416105,0.08015302703389846,-0.2449919624216251,0.017391489665160763,0.0678270387555882,-0.04132241091810948,-0.05493992329107599,0.06317171083798684,0.05714607512500962,0.002650450692790316,-0.0030835386930659703,0.09902279508839706,-0.06806494524469771,0.10384839078860716,0.017848133787807748,0.015266847461659067,0.08986340749149717,-0.21683215722266255,-0.18326424461793678,0.0869200344021098,0.1025384976748619,-0.14946622743116494,0.22250257842525586,-0.0341719147976983,-0.030454493065086692;-0.020693045780997954,-0.02662257663573205,0.006085961369178386,-0.0663897516642583,-0.2917872218592329,-0.11197522624247938,0.38407795034458825,0.065781976621815,-0.3358174926370716,0.3897269171591545,-0.22345955848409207,0.1371174898949814,0.2847297620816748,0.09179400780037669,0.1581108453144807,-0.19767474961218587,-0.10305285819686046,-0.31393021702362167,-0.12738380936388205,-0.19500103183177053,-0.2270699310886278,0.004597708369669548,0.16212175151811778,-0.05960012608372876,0.3019297509014085,0.06077218544533579,0.13827308234341074,-0.028902927590247075,0.15452917833076887,0.09129474602559053,0.15991122713099687,0.16496053493408447,-0.28416162160359404,-0.14504261706134536,0.15473234914677006,0.2895733275253483,0.15237322491776142,-0.1304880325031869,-0.17157483927839992,-0.2762109849709564,-0.038404039851464726,-0.011886662976366242,-0.06045407637361197,-0.11285785689503477,-0.031636780870457425,0.1151410651386989,0.12238064842061555,0.10000381234179147,-0.09961686997449416,-0.3285787717081875,-0.14911924566237844,0.06892608781796594,0.16270641467892563,0.14045177000833073,0.08105886733834851,0.08364985398727355,0.4794897805835101,-0.17202270327153835,-0.10496483197144794,0.045010583231710616,0.016633800515144445,0.1362680292245793,0.11956513561889111,-0.19665649188514028,0.2776819515710177,-0.04783883320519238,-0.14747507663174256,0.11285455405629427,-0.18174877725952157,0.0945269368292301,-0.29289345872032435,0.23706490119040496,0.13486283338543867,-0.23243104546151064,-0.3568847986518377,0.11391086228897472,0.11659595462513857,-0.3554936707841391,0.011300173863503344,0.09384286393806231,-0.07570152846069414,-0.09499365591937725,0.06136352117674019,0.052716673186871454,-0.010981315694993991,-0.01999470743315441,0.151976411817758,-0.11552048850166483,0.16162859523558365,0.011960254961223651,0.00814633908327286,0.13416167880770613,-0.31551822430732085,-0.2691926053679429,0.10098018354036062,0.15884170381415874,-0.2236661282032852,0.462603657206148,-0.07761025445828522,-0.05981835664585229;-0.06210783674099075,-0.059339725986155965,-0.07780571406984729,-0.03677452814105681,0.27502504989876453,-0.1378325708791879,0.14726644249199966,-0.07356465610639651,0.3666678896114822,0.1523368915759394,0.14969983241060345,-0.056147816164321934,0.047701472789668964,-0.06933468417585281,-0.046665782192999224,-0.007220310065479321,-0.02029366070465664,0.3218731096864452,-0.1177150956504885,0.0823880517328952,0.12867230118106548,-0.22089420205092974,-0.0435267310237991,-0.04174858847242657,0.0654107473232126,-0.07410118053604015,-0.05466840884963734,-0.20864811736251507,-0.046880803003716165,-0.07055953922969996,-0.044768565951543694,-0.04221211421411966,0.18813038601805268,0.03599998049665025,-0.04811044048458253,0.05137819041940942,-0.0471891680403591,0.01803404512968839,-0.05309927298088462,0.16650848510223637,-0.2038676633123588,-0.07179581813934083,-0.18690316354717756,1.0050139679630219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x_a{194}=[-3.1778589203947227,-5.28335830792209,13.951357802386683];
std_x_a{194}=[1.148921439388244,1.8414821336730711,1.392411900988167];
pred_a{194}=[-3.1778589203947227];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.3 to 19.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{195}=[-6.36645610949181,-10.809061997747625,14.374378514700782];
std_x_f{195}=[2.0120154929997924,3.0315648919807456,2.780914950822468];
pred_f{195}=[-6.36645610949181];
obs{195}=[-6.759582088339783];
sqrt_r{195}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{195}=[5.049404822563451];
L_f{195}=[-0.03461904811304992,-0.04219481329319306,-0.0031652311145132844,-0.08701430073652555,-0.28898018668429143,-0.154242272736293,0.4368369223194576,0.06878066958968933,-0.3145218778172304,0.4434319570448353,-0.24005586906794565,0.1548547836306031,0.3282406533815407,0.10011582230333876,0.17999982020476768,-0.23815551682926717,-0.12828779951513067,-0.30227704368110486,-0.16993595654207075,-0.21968452157035107,-0.2473328402466865,-0.016091660266140742,0.1848408251076661,-0.0789936828119827,0.34825885348694946,0.06214287457515655,0.15628315677311097,-0.05909539790256713,0.17612375707777905,0.09941188358349093,0.1820019459132662,0.18864866976719208,-0.2982823493413433,-0.17049162403638127,0.17657347139769022,0.3341188139789649,0.17358064183671215,-0.15509597746432727,-0.21393545890349605,-0.2949792777505931,-0.06916116940696625,-0.025525809990149216,-0.0956172975169973,-0.13715898542457075,-0.0480885368909696,0.12821943805686573,0.1371040963943224,0.10973833032346818,-0.12465566777286138,-0.3107503184976379,-0.17372523864330278,0.07212840239695138,0.18563218421322553,0.15969801042153803,0.0871624474722445,0.09002148998412438,0.5349604266969826,-0.21559664591828265,-0.13035548768166905,0.04320527395424442,0.010020473918843706,0.15384908111454984,0.13392773724718215,-0.2175947061024545,0.32097894829900897,-0.08046362100475103,-0.1721248881905264,0.12566229049538363,-0.2085075975898564,0.10347405384300866,-0.3001126528750145,0.27386985869123287,0.15228423420241463,-0.2511466810910214,-0.32508074087788763,0.12679360045120358,0.12983356844689575,-0.32456491728937964,0.00304932570706035,0.10202702316877081,-0.09698355351925542,-0.11807202250506557,0.05590748392416495,0.04443145562098016,-0.023618671213157045,-0.033954754642357185,0.17293718309819797,-0.1411136014177843,0.18377112903440415,0.003306235525400424,-8.900651989112455E-4,0.15103335044165828,-0.30280559478019464,-0.2745644746060186,0.10607611604085403,0.1807027424849291,-0.24061713142375743,0.5178836172813991,-0.11562636190168103,-0.07802523052674872;-0.08854242997191739,-0.09923292244859512,-0.04262188737420692,-0.1624400836169293,-0.3438894745394878,-0.28967569113182895,0.7419298681791245,0.07596602620389596,-0.3399877690058709,0.7527036812940324,-0.3252174469953505,0.2235312537827509,0.539263869295817,0.12914055244269887,0.2681558348988295,-0.3718745094360268,-0.2202125617474117,-0.3423936929534799,-0.3077161613693649,-0.3198492380092075,-0.3419205930145872,-0.09390121438277109,0.2767926645658819,-0.1524803541262092,0.575973506977512,0.06521496522041376,0.22637860660069853,-0.15982973088076485,0.2620122226498326,0.1275316636620641,0.27224897803912573,0.28352433930889587,-0.38465567648359655,-0.2655498571056508,0.261881135719238,0.5499157854842447,0.2571167011251612,-0.2489991983259041,-0.3519964794952173,-0.3873859823154903,-0.17602251869908353,-0.0760341130657846,-0.21330463059202273,-0.22804390226210686,-0.11002218218856616,0.1769932644901934,0.19265878006579065,0.1461322243730834,-0.21635126829193618,-0.3413412351783684,-0.2693725936291425,0.08053928718640975,0.2781701217029192,0.2312526845175275,0.10663126238730461,0.11211903926309069,0.9234618301404727,-0.35308870739554754,-0.2231383264209863,0.034167725824099805,-0.018660258868151484,0.2229702529481588,0.18744986594435625,-0.3102931296147166,0.5243688021815897,-0.19227024736979292,-0.26778721854921955,0.1723789991814706,-0.30834686624120955,0.13347071895521237,-0.3728250854402413,0.4385169869134635,0.21908541157010702,-0.34317368141662286,-0.334793675114224,0.1753094899397989,0.18071529782447382,-0.3344951632671813,-0.029114750789359267,0.1319034451770959,-0.1770018231294323,-0.2037799620129425,0.02477491456403252,0.004484594974335846,-0.07091982482161864,-0.08700005298473049,0.2553046184515114,-0.23676568273666632,0.2750502812357981,-0.0312549529180464,-0.03674954925462894,0.21702608609491214,-0.34248956506213096,-0.34206225369912446,0.10980949066476861,0.2692489326531921,-0.32699898618434986,0.8918557834900761,-0.2403496564820357,-0.1509070297556183;-0.04641355327165702,-0.035643406393603735,-0.09214003770411756,0.03369682649928389,0.5648527270949694,0.03881345139295518,-0.22451479519131048,-0.16135278032656825,0.6812758337153544,-0.2227057400349613,0.3882000506656837,-0.2218651530139785,-0.25533091370379946,-0.1868590593699997,-0.23483186787863763,0.25913554307430914,0.09884913737421563,0.624719222648362,0.07612675729148259,0.30483526068235806,0.38228975392841386,-0.19130352501796682,-0.2357407905601535,0.020542271576702804,-0.2514980850430515,-0.15569563876242917,-0.2227878731197456,-0.1348892980080859,-0.2321302245769805,-0.18705613412894764,-0.2344177402059239,-0.23719985160949825,0.509356111592026,0.19786450362236285,-0.2331945451688441,-0.2552737559990718,-0.2300171552377764,0.1635819033924369,0.18790147388060757,0.4861178821115498,-0.11880015367426801,-0.06444324239135181,-0.07400176784062579,0.12443201871567831,-0.03364973551952824,-0.2060871514004582,-0.21404154491836677,-0.19162030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k{195}=[0.801956857265343;1.1910345877944828;-0.9495638794953081];
x_a{195}=[-6.681726183998092,-11.277288635916122,14.747676744306053];
L_a{195}=[0.01982474368109787,0.02416303751269246,0.0018125829263631887,0.049829105729840305,0.16548572078653828,0.0883274869892897,-0.25015650306567566,-0.03938754007265364,0.18011227776865843,-0.25393317747253963,0.13746900428557063,-0.08867824393217061,-0.18796839236466986,-0.057331747224958034,-0.1030776550109151,0.13638075957379875,0.07346454860614246,0.17310022193819372,0.09731454110602202,0.12580326635830075,0.14163619247405493,0.009214957012619164,-0.10584987685380054,0.045236065100911556,-0.19943189895071803,-0.035586378806143314,-0.08949620782703892,0.03384122845680614,-0.10085801113932817,-0.05692863375278486,-0.10422418072874241,-0.10803045513273035,0.17081264340306185,0.09763274643652842,-0.10111554193835101,-0.19133454578343884,-0.09940168548759423,0.0888163645967083,0.12251104141309739,0.16892112554754204,0.0396054348952836,0.014617462578826823,0.054755648062986446,0.0785446705733241,0.02753810314914828,-0.07342540112920039,-0.07851323813901735,-0.06284211696260743,0.07138459306919864,0.17795247844243753,0.09948448945777875,-0.04130463336187543,-0.10630305197797472,-0.09145173814859635,-0.049913942581888436,-0.05155118531560823,-0.30634734104086053,0.1234623271522941,0.07464861894164707,-0.024741682065245366,-0.005738266585363443,-0.08810232415138738,-0.0766942826979106,0.12460652473049662,-0.1838099463704649,0.046077831396839825,0.0985680420319971,-0.07196103981009132,0.11940275377537667,-0.05925485265750285,0.17186077442893957,-0.156832727832443,-0.08720620797765738,0.14382020449346525,0.1861588551632121,-0.07260888922018376,-0.07434973969407724,0.18586346661314504,-0.0017462092067131777,-0.05842620444852354,0.05553804031591847,0.06761444088317939,-0.032015656092920536,-0.02544386016009392,0.013525331527312065,0.0194443332277977,-0.09903320613141,0.08080929807453713,-0.10523731089300802,-0.0018933296960205875,5.09699584178624E-4,-0.08648988412464848,0.17340289895079103,0.1572305025610395,-0.060744934532258536,-0.10348018641462187,0.13779041353707489,-0.29656823421939654,0.06621392304009097,0.044681476821665844;-0.007684664956191044,-6.808684752407804E-4,-0.035229034952557095,0.040794328230158626,0.3310653062163439,0.07057931656439557,-0.2783655801461881,-0.08468111814121335,0.394623304233431,-0.28299541898478764,0.23546755475156494,-0.1381543611849381,-0.22738937700555514,-0.10469434699545349,-0.15225962879220484,0.1843719463907236,0.07942204154108366,0.36361780937901356,0.08919370157460826,0.19325555229933225,0.23576082133372037,-0.056316827883650805,-0.15492966220238946,0.03202075120979827,-0.23743512424591942,-0.0799286543670253,-0.13864317923842848,-0.021803931283016942,-0.14935013823823848,-0.1046590856709481,-0.15284273814565286,-0.15709175622190477,0.31202564278957856,0.13265784717512413,-0.15053159763097726,-0.23046675015977908,-0.148305848422673,0.11324975952362298,0.1476805482515314,0.30158053828260784,-0.01448666231563552,-0.0164149132749753,0.010023317329045526,0.09231063137611847,0.002295510752689969,-0.12248167078228785,-0.12756755234936024,-0.110177426242883,0.07479996901943807,0.38446081892757594,0.13638768255320688,-0.08792696852713151,-0.15540053805219323,-0.14174498306641056,-0.09694916746424961,-0.09813909549937413,-0.3260151726160469,0.15046826149950096,0.08132565990975227,-0.06674440432529867,-0.04206451662908793,-0.13636639917534044,-0.12535762292875613,0.197930596157398,-0.2253236876813204,-0.0043358900104956575,0.13423520902357713,-0.12112335024862535,0.17865261089227485,-0.10820781315060626,0.32813117092969524,-0.2011454499805873,-0.13659631556834298,0.24341550664607453,0.42447914114596735,-0.12083519657215203,-0.12252967108254272,0.42357287282768236,-0.03623688946494448,-0.10639533870901484,0.04951721214970437,0.07199422506088764,-0.10580505352170404,-0.09929145878011779,-0.015755021887096057,-0.007693840893837452,-0.14861504068448342,0.0928254252193305,-0.15417361653328143,-0.038977141417466776,-0.03467067399303229,-0.13573402214578692,0.3647564443668446,0.29922255854824387,-0.1379465318752936,-0.15280830710193288,0.23499692450293225,-0.317735875266384,0.029712338571640445,0.0313321160067844;-0.11087819084178072,-0.11421498748971608,-0.09803406101626855,-0.1283337799483667,0.026738480316265502,-0.24840334837194553,0.5889256490003608,-0.033275286039301334,0.09560002902101586,0.6030154151094069,-0.058811506252681105,0.06649221227659778,0.3558908243094212,-4.3191733119856264E-4,0.1003484390522661,-0.18433734005031266,-0.14003745689046468,0.06184470330750674,-0.24031348141304068,-0.10424251108515377,-0.0782723578207444,-0.2212680417652457,0.10845402264837635,-0.1265530245208294,0.3969998371791428,-0.039978479989856576,0.06822928676269824,-0.2449317057430117,0.0958324083189734,-0.0019398067115762579,0.10449075439053067,0.11408560502452642,-0.04607982879150968,-0.11961045167844758,0.09560550736234946,0.3668937911321374,0.09320990544431774,-0.1252245924757449,-0.21047088392010477,-0.06316736018604945,-0.24758618225560705,-0.1119752277979209,-0.2520521408531755,-0.130973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x_a{195}=[-6.681726183998092,-11.277288635916126,14.747676744306052];
std_x_a{195}=[1.1521891445675776,1.7875714262854765,1.9768305463828582];
pred_a{195}=[-6.681726183998092];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.4 to 19.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{196}=[-12.28938214225654,-17.879768041271326,24.411258137696787];
std_x_f{196}=[1.4162039841483114,1.7100453813611645,3.6316524314416263];
pred_f{196}=[-12.28938214225654];
obs{196}=[-12.980954583837608];
sqrt_r{196}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{196}=[3.0068080996517326];
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k{196}=[0.667421409395623;0.5287996821685206;-1.4839058338664566];
x_a{196}=[-12.750952395915748,-18.245471328575903,25.437486518300204];
L_a{196}=[0.03415309264273697,0.02842991647428973,0.05688063233602287,-0.005935530552918369,-0.2913843341104886,-0.016723551599233825,0.08705590274653466,0.08767594309765163,-0.3549624360864459,0.08615400772695006,-0.1942658101721874,0.11159531273098809,0.11250127202028118,0.09870442594215587,0.11577953651051204,-0.13269885068769852,-0.03976472923314971,-0.32424189965163214,-0.03533340733718352,-0.14986950514676725,-0.19226668822077272,0.09756831650739518,0.11586779085297459,0.001632837761130004,0.10891227036722394,0.08503735707314208,0.11195268472773028,0.06999165897081353,0.1145712899954318,0.09822150330002215,0.11493196178784977,0.11622468607083994,-0.26733487697922237,-0.09193605104702018,0.11528782525113779,0.111337715915542,0.11381007246665155,-0.07237440179851226,-0.09471961806289333,-0.2557184516636441,0.06304579339417624,0.04272203881632365,0.04132931035253473,-0.05240277447067399,0.027664905080278333,0.10601967541141118,0.10857859026162672,0.09995245770350332,-0.03509258143968263,-0.3453828395968564,-0.09542981115466002,0.09035528138628994,0.11614540394943536,0.11309329019657859,0.09422349011512071,0.09470875642494504,0.049488385972604715,-0.09683080982751623,-0.041290394286396234,0.07721214275785512,0.059501340516657036,0.10964123229077229,0.10700112082018234,-0.15623344940505857,0.11423990007345203,0.05407978992833873,-0.09339139113399991,0.10603602115801197,-0.13405995194315307,0.10122831443896292,-0.2847159172993161,0.1180257710804857,0.11124215366424264,-0.2007722391044936,-0.3856970342135626,0.10467590806987218,0.1059424945520479,-0.3840068076196825,0.05548032990266237,0.09982523847397477,-0.013776485805145499,-0.034419278699176645,0.13190902281770575,0.12812490967206352,0.04114138720140682,0.03420473299985072,0.1147224173479313,-0.05223371869398207,0.11624202883368807,0.059073006062333594,0.05533302205082912,0.11085259270892653,-0.32560360383509834,-0.25840164734453924,0.1495285858423695,0.11567522419616065,-0.19313696667525984,0.05680225465418531,0.022162615462148254,8.988949800406563E-4;-0.06134608047967658,-0.06794859384533995,-0.035777616122060776,-0.10047400414398673,-0.1689547807646464,-0.1676226903784586,0.44590837561546454,0.029949093711420828,-0.15950733952337648,0.4554557933194478,-0.16929281611165356,0.11804576365025875,0.3139803589109788,0.0624664721953823,0.1448379587166986,-0.1982088187058267,-0.12841422843127254,-0.16419697523111498,-0.1743816827000147,-0.1701532309334545,-0.17670953782083873,-0.06948591408875966,0.1500783165018386,-0.09401499669324626,0.3379935727084563,0.0239170158400801,0.11937048477871007,-0.10517011388316698,0.14041141593792733,0.06053588572841128,0.14642362279814788,0.1540023327679158,-0.1886668504949173,-0.14948214635512422,0.1411716093374771,0.320340519747584,0.1376422868217469,-0.1403516479140727,-0.1920522403490923,-0.19189202107866207,-0.11210208054434151,-0.054820916377966454,-0.13097411401463852,-0.13170917492949916,-0.07309973081753357,0.09017901298499062,0.0984301901575693,0.07192616575180233,-0.12699955071674596,-0.16206279288671274,-0.14974012719521615,0.03362938498238906,0.1505721973726158,0.122934312870964,0.04827913855967201,0.05054633288149858,0.5700944436247587,-0.19287480214846875,-0.13019791631372413,0.0060758871866415055,-0.023194658929790744,0.11641388168092745,0.09634293537349399,-0.1654631796825516,0.3068601686731939,-0.1206134283047269,-0.14955019401338326,0.08634016907450079,-0.1676957698103461,0.06544309107110773,-0.1820558084058986,0.25008699392261224,0.11524593051847774,-0.17686465904346974,-0.15426085289942998,0.08848041560190642,0.09116751128919114,-0.1546997732239533,-0.029268525529023055,0.06312262411743419,-0.10707419986989741,-0.12057794524508801,-0.0038801325918946966,-0.01435399047998635,-0.052452340799847674,-0.061507648109930285,0.1372596491889756,-0.13643977796515258,0.14834178372114742,-0.030590511475611093,-0.03257001719066795,0.11379465925309806,-0.16431708886495744,-0.1709123489934131,0.04720484837115878,0.14498073996012473,-0.16991265955758522,0.5485711390268855,-0.14549601360505263,-0.09241742971986325;-0.19423652617867923,-0.18363441125766788,-0.23304001713413056,-0.11939084158332322,0.7407817492689635,-0.19619315495846174,0.31639963482032163,-0.24194701543840413,0.9784343617899576,0.33049721751752803,0.40468704127072025,-0.20076945673527674,0.056375513198138424,-0.23570728338267896,-0.1791649737982358,0.14098773111981602,-0.05099930719840324,0.8628920179131623,-0.14533233831436437,0.2509772657616901,0.3822813259534106,-0.4243177392374769,-0.17184585292981558,-0.13595385630710624,0.10077789851988833,-0.24084688066959128,-0.20012084407487243,-0.3869386839733017,-0.18097096319190592,-0.23473599197096529,-0.1731266465340161,-0.1673793679051214,0.6142833717726143,0.09298096295971042,-0.18278065383666278,0.06948953036475947,-0.18099474895416592,0.038388380664546674,0.023528135380602246,0.5674210123325304,-0.3738226457058664,-0.21394104067845224,-0.3315013894420613,-0.013415212473547815,-0.19051639295239256,-0.2197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x_a{196}=[-12.750952395915753,-18.245471328575906,25.437486518300215];
std_x_a{196}=[1.4114076319082909,1.7103586619420983,3.61743889608884];
pred_a{196}=[-12.750952395915753];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.5 to 19.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{197}=[-13.788148336583998,-9.218718467499283,38.168034189764924];
std_x_f{197}=[1.2323154491197692,3.4730379983496595,1.898031298457515];
pred_f{197}=[-13.788148336583998];
obs{197}=[-14.32178162064228];
sqrt_r{197}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{197}=[2.5265024777446072];
L_f{197}=[-0.08888819722184024,-0.0876803790766744,-0.09122170024303926,-0.07865655526827435,0.18759467192715049,-0.12444650560145372,0.2579051943430625,-0.06905790057761149,0.273522528524881,0.2659672548580058,0.07201215964712683,-0.023125013488399168,0.13002256158478828,-0.05523255321162973,-0.006033449429355151,-0.024050960933710803,-0.06606122341893304,0.23146609519613506,-0.1103015367989225,0.019961334355294708,0.06282450265723577,-0.16029938806477098,-0.0016511167914643526,-0.08191303428608715,0.1523400501016382,-0.07152328091221255,-0.02201515952866213,-0.1622773769934313,-0.008140659118286812,-0.055510839131411596,-0.00368297707615368,8.079183492843872E-4,0.13938019138674373,-0.025786325006687063,-0.009061309344069726,0.13660702162099161,-0.009118105737174755,-0.041024218683790026,-0.06134021516026192,0.12203601920330123,-0.16077031577411324,-0.09249569210283566,-0.15472350583835565,-0.05554200094209656,-0.09133508451032184,-0.03941981338785728,-0.03559882613289294,-0.04901356497111707,-0.06944964445105695,0.25936319680731024,-0.023031307923172956,-0.06958305253187375,-0.0015169362875092289,-0.02065627800365276,-0.06051585391235376,-0.059991656657559095,0.39113465245081,-0.060009328184442094,-0.06582650056396323,-0.07767816524373258,-0.0835349126605389,-0.02227877503097301,-0.035796082185664616,0.031748470414548716,0.1226670137292761,-0.15870532993636022,-0.025090087721057263,-0.042789859781457766,0.003919873535192638,-0.055277025250133664,0.1664753066408684,0.07486656696495168,-0.0246327016938785,0.07254652287156693,0.3174928030614882,-0.03978304567631676,-0.038684010414198854,0.31460434696636996,-0.08426254455597193,-0.05570482027504042,-0.07626771581501046,-0.0653154094809075,-0.14145618777443694,-0.14628780359343438,-0.08868356789632173,-0.08834741516472916,-0.010832944589343054,-0.05936721049022496,-0.0035714938745365315,-0.08930690845748307,-0.0872504061476897,-0.025489559270372133,0.23288103945964048,0.14549197118093232,-0.1174879373977047,-0.005512977515063521,0.06966795784554536,0.3668479796454099,-0.1459126460049429,-0.07926831815252525;-0.1507461743637236,-0.1376852641746947,-0.1990014652807312,-0.060492036621404864,0.7290657686286665,-0.08057120306154131,0.1251857444844288,-0.24105363252004341,0.9221933684405964,0.1362949036980777,0.44342498989894763,-0.2418082787835809,-0.07552560022139644,-0.24966256403832682,-0.23295390674362706,0.23803786578821332,0.018280891421714966,0.8288734629334183,-0.03115078177843559,0.3107185298545446,0.42970423703817595,-0.34881953937404714,-0.2286763055809739,-0.07887469700178733,-0.04216796187401624,-0.23804024438347005,-0.2426838467428639,-0.29374507320213994,-0.2320692355059924,-0.2484989880397504,-0.22848822691973494,-0.22581420503149377,0.6376871642429565,0.15785952223858302,-0.234752966969586,-0.06521518354592064,-0.23230396245693197,0.10533129476242065,0.13097957542814304,0.5998374194802005,-0.27722517443726197,-0.17156146112341977,-0.22642170133395553,0.05399946478295791,-0.14029686583706355,-0.2483650481360777,-0.24958595596902214,-0.24542080523197196,0.007098283479964354,0.8931755107242143,0.16757094486325208,-0.24726503266876235,-0.22831370814733296,-0.24275361583225644,-0.24579533997976316,-0.2462966479205165,0.359101201937726,0.13562669255950113,0.021731120066420088,-0.228357142769451,-0.19740196210618693,-0.23758983760712807,-0.24645253548076707,0.33453179948579936,-0.08723717046260401,-0.2562364092666122,0.16136004750441854,-0.25131942542480806,0.2665557066799119,-0.2550035391163189,0.6948806710812214,-0.14894532109175795,-0.2442541505659316,0.45538601688455915,1.0180302342271028,-0.24628971726448629,-0.24780334099679185,1.0139472627541153,-0.189893268250087,-0.25229602817271074,-0.04284171595846632,0.009247693982670923,-0.403273454964731,-0.4004822149369521,-0.16550488787677015,-0.15055836667849512,-0.23605182011339906,0.049728835306204235,-0.2320046508472102,-0.20196203225402137,-0.19291409234013512,-0.24391594081991722,0.8324898483746891,0.6293046963037344,-0.41732319639518545,-0.23238303339729532,0.43855105539539074,0.3159580182905336,-0.1784674687070923,-0.07488441832454466;0.07476147588506035,0.08291170194325011,0.04031684465276289,0.12569748800637454,0.18769611501632638,0.20704053636194938,-0.44642784287521886,-0.04554123745270008,0.17599224790757015,-0.45367276496492676,0.19691790902823006,-0.1552818338265172,-0.3549862988469717,-0.0862788795524154,-0.18648607785525423,0.23493534109844277,0.15928002975418293,0.18108508680087737,0.21498545046081885,0.20219175609854578,0.20438442991935488,0.07332030780793505,-0.19262726466842256,0.11761252660050554,-0.3740828880851605,-0.037993088099460615,-0.15698179648418253,0.1236316640322084,-0.18106917622135096,-0.08458965065524313,-0.1883154630554528,-0.19690619509552415,0.20715066744543323,0.18272543709471284,-0.18274485806016322,-0.3601803085716838,-0.1774807194886195,0.17339062341469302,0.23217423214597374,0.2123462976714085,0.13339889655345205,0.06577639797573907,0.1598319303494023,0.164147736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k{197}=[0.6041959155754741;1.2963134194335137;-0.23389797367926016];
x_a{197}=[-14.110567387227139,-9.910474454680411,38.29284993359396];
L_a{197}=[0.12250220008767708,0.12083763285926086,0.12571814171932827,0.10840135555493155,-0.25853556213372586,0.17150725524733434,-0.3554347450901207,0.09517286904897303,-0.37695793778130027,-0.3665455582372895,-0.09924431213090883,0.031869979569009235,-0.17919195520885745,0.07611932175874846,0.008315061530262895,0.03314608373988291,0.09104296703313595,-0.3189974236564148,0.15201321832635745,-0.02750992203280409,-0.0865822464113889,0.22091828076605324,0.002275503901280501,0.11288930622430808,-0.20994903577966065,0.09857055878147791,0.030340422708895504,0.22364426692713157,0.011219134635671443,0.0765028444140862,0.00507573343596229,-0.0011134411358521977,-0.1920882707397555,0.03553769391465282,0.01248793838796441,-0.18826639777867607,0.012566212932053145,0.05653795669969415,0.08453666004981455,-0.16818521816834897,0.22156729472155812,0.12747390694572105,0.21323382026944818,0.0765457903898954,0.12587440343496176,0.0543268287352743,0.04906089512575442,0.06754855797240618,0.09571275497160192,-0.3574441064585127,0.031740838262745354,0.09589661271560306,0.002090581634240354,0.028467665901186833,0.08340055796098796,0.08267813002342934,-0.539046318333705,0.08270248422330895,0.09071948127188353,0.1070529770941661,0.11512451489491601,0.030703727174725817,0.0493327456211002,-0.043754487060798944,-0.1690548298838651,0.21872141285893817,0.03457816720651343,0.058971293473188434,-0.005402214772430699,0.07618061136444852,-0.22942968764323513,-0.10317814347532486,0.033947815862128194,-0.09998075040602072,-0.43755603221391065,0.054827421118401505,0.053312774159735246,-0.4335752761904131,0.11612730841340815,0.0767701815590926,0.10510915143979215,0.09001511574219173,0.19494932690710923,0.20160806885828647,0.12222018803926216,0.12175691563108389,0.014929536058768868,0.08181754299696699,0.004922091693889032,0.12307925136299634,0.1202450611632972,0.035128703106587646,-0.3209474439144279,-0.20051128408280885,0.1619172315877029,0.007597767709740838,-0.09601362586300609,-0.5055753858088183,0.2010910414980054,0.10924446298195797;0.3027958005281584,0.30969395521095006,0.26644694490547405,0.34084414219132464,-0.2281148317686323,0.5544030194217229,-1.1907463458616123,0.11130649614461517,-0.47342440356789245,-1.2207729387717203,0.07599108839821431,-0.12381551242389835,-0.7389510178220238,0.03215529305472438,-0.20216891328976425,0.3607551742819277,0.3553508137469603,-0.35215611373543637,0.5316503368958585,0.2088680785242852,0.10914931639273842,0.4690899616524081,-0.22025166885998249,0.33907729775832557,-0.819465840981513,0.12689920865452445,-0.13035398471101284,0.5342568926628132,-0.19053244289656615,0.03473879149055683,-0.20969625285785382,-0.22993651704971776,-0.07348450126608495,0.28943132968056356,-0.18851866068976572,-0.7622370639138524,-0.18577985900380073,0.31465273159847973,0.44396108696275405,-0.022837568733078337,0.5430871819738439,0.30038734846503806,0.5630374911501685,0.3373962439285228,0.3257300747515144,-0.047229907897172574,-0.06794697112325938,0.004665367603920415,0.3614572409606789,-0.43019587232546613,0.2850855891725462,0.10777462445860117,-0.22057371227470837,-0.13735729312012782,0.06297996150575122,0.059803996348369144,-1.636619132883099,0.441817503796021,0.3576033955665243,0.16798691157890502,0.22882548365837638,-0.12391490728424488,-0.06380707393135156,0.17253881929660314,-0.7131317368921258,0.5535395904149174,0.28937938292663457,-0.03298900454570519,0.2465549952239164,0.027041231524322955,-0.15454075611000956,-0.5309435131567515,-0.11856857562641343,0.08522558745664435,-0.6019408914679333,-0.043301225347841324,-0.05042255222674971,-0.5912858423407391,0.24004683698067528,0.0319315182076718,0.3463056796727459,0.3425121850254053,0.31849074735988964,0.34593476074742063,0.28699298902103504,0.30022432891834067,-0.1807779453301921,0.3526433136183261,-0.21378150721511543,0.2537163693700731,0.25227123879648394,-0.1138583469893633,-0.3557593213975173,-0.1130516344881751,0.18214571869983545,-0.2042536890314035,0.08307817850606751,-1.5558423148654612,0.5660353078046345,0.32957321142723633;-0.007072552302396789,0.0021896394298194385,-0.043665499711426733,0.05328311847103741,0.36040327018553103,0.09247010782908593,-0.20899000969598883,-0.10911870171750963,0.42780802332876344,-0.2088126765476667,0.26321518230620244,-0.17657164580146417,-0.23528233024043327,-0.1371281762830636,-0.1920407126223114,0.21279306488518307,0.09846142629133123,0.3941820282479819,0.11343744573533823,0.22056895857699924,0.2622231788421648,-0.0742577177491123,-0.19414734879968565,0.04220011228459509,-0.23383254727801236,-0.10384028006828705,-0.1772498325308989,-0.025767377214227817,-0.18856379247605778,-0.13569514852974768,-0.19170615900028756,-0.19616239316191683,0.33546964417357733,0.1589855153345524,-0.1910870617210976,-0.23441442280355548,-0.1858752121798139,0.1356220875115618,0.175701977635943,0.32469753605285473,-0.0146126838809023,-0.019378834229848006,0.017387284898463327,0.11301355018401596,0.005208140579768286,-0.1578886620745451,-0.164760658176073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x_a{197}=[-14.110567387227142,-9.910474454680424,38.29284993359398];
std_x_a{197}=[1.6983284444665734,4.279308571998579,1.95289501745137];
pred_a{197}=[-14.110567387227142];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.6 to 19.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{198}=[-6.817367327639508,0.8171613137057553,33.23014892568198];
std_x_f{198}=[1.6699186997203188,1.9631251870540525,2.7248979734590013];
pred_f{198}=[-6.817367327639508];
obs{198}=[-6.455612473311677];
sqrt_r{198}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{198}=[3.8010330397359047];
L_f{198}=[0.11137583247861307,0.11649426295718335,0.08677447333412633,0.14276117967876434,0.005158507212487178,0.25455127851861564,-0.4228976923016662,3.659891993689812E-4,-0.04220291375124115,-0.4274733262953948,0.08174168759105288,-0.11678306260198416,-0.3388763019822466,-0.04133819722438065,-0.15174407394081424,0.18770551577887368,0.15932481910383933,-0.021005243641090098,0.247681543166458,0.12331116030184239,0.09365163724003003,0.18033280675687316,-0.15969770854279042,0.13963697655793178,-0.3594067629202906,0.008649552391941895,-0.11953465819300012,0.22301515933606483,-0.146727430321392,-0.04016270255120558,-0.15463495126024157,-0.1640593349632846,0.04797304953339129,0.14332531999678014,-0.14695689837908535,-0.34491048703075733,-0.14421370971149147,0.14949670579375066,0.21729793995102412,0.06201243614775489,0.2301121792368005,0.10797213939918489,0.2455292310556275,0.15457182670042816,0.1251290702839374,-0.08077927911799344,-0.0908226772375869,-0.05462115983166206,0.1609190710640222,-0.03461857706131788,0.14205468633981178,-0.0031243191649106307,-0.1597407249950352,-0.12306558162929897,-0.024995666963399332,-0.027063081302717194,-0.4416673848509362,0.21670042587945787,0.16145632786879538,0.031534035518133545,0.06735914047380111,-0.11573345964373899,-0.08821398027071514,0.10996298799993379,-0.3328649958477213,0.23746297696831298,0.1440524695066483,-0.07411551473677554,0.13560093435325302,-0.04519466438270228,0.02583315223279765,-0.27764781424990104,-0.11427148782497147,0.08680992366296054,-0.06020470233375908,-0.07805697358185887,-0.08249217316535847,-0.0590539441513682,0.07369822096747787,-0.042596297143931504,0.1479927158098122,0.15161524094269693,0.08969448405894061,0.10547422695452983,0.10204107905776319,0.11076880384197815,-0.14287678393263706,0.16182137457024107,-0.15691313856380149,0.07901044155216902,0.07950432251962226,-0.11204455449260316,-0.021382628018882795,0.03175901205164409,0.01241817067767977,-0.15273177162989343,0.0837160436402781,-0.4425464567762951,0.25146705177247,0.1353856485261554;-0.02838779629794699,-0.019420760364581572,-0.06515977466382623,0.029451902060857717,0.2958842443682063,0.1170016549422985,0.14927936506124623,-0.14282535919588987,0.41565335436913786,0.1694680466127771,0.18335217021168038,-0.20993111643951262,-0.12037651908648309,-0.17327247270402746,-0.2185091523304976,0.1661412324460882,0.06947515619187995,0.35220367511998796,0.12627272140403129,0.15161152813173975,0.1823958924679689,-0.03702671408496593,-0.2192787243276351,0.019993210504763104,-0.08375386080481623,-0.13640499571240705,-0.2103327622917397,0.02048122003012149,-0.216816650137351,-0.172250933007108,-0.21847645076006023,-0.21995243450898394,0.2551149918547856,0.10779497134242508,-0.21847375473202268,-0.10944197130494986,-0.21497560942560756,0.09340296453028331,0.15239303244380442,0.2415935430648277,0.03196705434572984,-0.03886975554054399,0.06345828868022474,0.0781409648753668,-0.013328021756238715,-0.1941741262397326,-0.2004373330945176,-0.17952591660204284,0.06709815547854896,0.3936164080558349,0.11012006314450336,-0.14762613806820332,-0.21903103536713706,-0.2119593577020067,-0.16110134843937862,-0.16290055772668938,0.5411580997220842,0.1534156774958513,0.07185260043145375,-0.11653093714854927,-0.07839908243090433,-0.20664491100204957,-0.19815596613160996,0.15330484048436469,-0.1326067791933588,0.04709852493711735,0.10924745342522257,-0.19246864816818074,0.14218516680391674,-0.17778644593766335,0.27928493570674484,-0.18925592026843693,-0.20870119953251018,0.1899087306116733,0.48950636068818487,-0.19230015601573627,-0.19543540113513289,0.48450713557496017,-0.07081896250411046,-0.1754513429595186,0.039010005661120305,0.06002216881243993,-0.13805870323284558,-0.12281335432348646,-0.040268531878892136,-0.02828303653511493,-0.21740838414032113,0.08232317688739207,-0.21979998069567908,-0.07229280654923603,-0.06747882888476658,-0.20812472559754774,0.35467903932232786,0.24952088028529537,-0.20584154985748795,-0.21910205244917144,0.18193390941762486,0.4631875727243559,0.08418731579903323,0.018349702758928905;-0.20067932847339406,-0.2015859331319913,-0.19457258313690584,-0.19894662737274743,0.2094424030262312,-0.29100396740428536,0.7927224664236842,-0.1200016283560404,0.3521324225312943,0.8117055787083423,0.01883941797614869,0.02480097710430503,0.4784238826787564,-0.07512565286162255,0.07852128656617605,-0.14892306933888416,-0.18850026430468533,0.28251922985296457,-0.2711262339681854,-0.06632025246663986,9.615865541250648E-4,-0.3247184192218101,0.09210813142122268,-0.2021697902451679,0.5381329147309449,-0.12932316136989702,0.029311522627364337,-0.33581917342971385,0.07101626675649861,-0.07654474165080767,0.0839769234773945,0.09852156290149593,0.11887424894574329,-0.12999755574939373,0.06883982598087027,0.4964425246394961,0.06791949410612885,-0.15271488178397452,-0.20352627802483364,0.08824605415140005,-0.33501791962700644,-0.2049710403210946,-0.32991846999137653,-0.173511400831988,-0.20971894352267842,-0.0253958255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k{198}=[0.7369136259679867;0.16314800617773614;-1.0276692917000256];
x_a{198}=[-6.550785246225265,0.8761808969144583,32.85838457076585];
L_a{198}=[-0.08299083289902569,-0.08680479144908988,-0.06465932201006289,-0.10637737957615896,-0.0038438214157648087,-0.1896768998232034,0.3151189170409175,-2.727139973881703E-4,0.031447172021397095,0.31852841502382645,-0.060909180966670876,0.08701998825192907,0.25251103336667624,0.030802835245737265,0.11307091317371527,-0.13986730107917522,-0.11871964630615228,0.015651893469400307,-0.18455797010583486,-0.09188434933727917,-0.06978378705631648,-0.13437358445465067,0.1189975019632468,-0.10404940398779777,0.26780914620795493,-0.006445146502935082,0.08907031824558859,-0.16617800657932663,0.10933280030786192,0.02992692455825575,0.11522502786097698,0.12224753387210584,-0.03574674369546787,-0.10679774433413335,0.1095037866413228,0.25700735929213153,0.10745972100108195,-0.11139630432721018,-0.161917865145842,-0.04620808313139269,-0.17146629560536938,-0.08045459754789021,-0.1829541915233423,-0.11517799108757018,-0.09323895078170381,0.060192049799245986,0.0676758095748832,0.0407005312324906,-0.11990759071996311,0.02579576269070373,-0.1058509415749117,0.0023280620577010285,0.11902955533713164,0.09170135830481677,0.018625326284833967,0.020165843955041434,0.3291050070503607,-0.16147263219570723,-0.1203079234377217,-0.02349734061758777,-0.050192138158488595,0.08623788479393867,0.06573195937647126,-0.08193806285517535,0.24803175548553366,-0.17694368520268292,-0.107339574120031,0.05522659774440873,-0.10104197861796947,0.03367645167036249,-0.01924937190138525,0.20688710328264395,0.08514850789578896,-0.06468573754609977,0.04486106437925863,0.05816354506153428,0.061468399438975,0.044003585894953415,-0.054915654546886544,0.03174029858827839,-0.11027561792100253,-0.11297491426999723,-0.06683514522712332,-0.07859329757214756,-0.07603511419360444,-0.08253851024493852,0.10646352118428024,-0.12057993514013339,0.11692260136157208,-0.058874014283066566,-0.05924202583395483,0.08348912589207338,0.015933098495114623,-0.023664980126835558,-0.009253303025329094,0.11380688840321473,-0.06238035697782094,0.3297600406392472,-0.18737871231864525,-0.10088156006302298;-0.07141934410264811,-0.06442988248609809,-0.09868625715474025,-0.025705795900070445,0.2938911858673177,0.01865235180757254,0.3126715647673303,-0.14296676403550546,0.4319590165596583,0.3346281039281477,0.1517701720444682,-0.16481041269885452,0.01055288870429211,-0.15730090535019692,-0.15988079259978033,0.09361868697379591,0.007917873815932706,0.36031933294067925,0.030577632730677397,0.10396860622226044,0.14621232539423457,-0.10670071446745016,-0.15757737111189235,-0.03395740964625015,0.055107766136622424,-0.13974686637644504,-0.16414894266158403,-0.06568368016926147,-0.1601265380041971,-0.15673353379817226,-0.15873116177458446,-0.15656590838236073,0.23657996025598835,0.05241931019753666,-0.16169498453477615,0.023818824872324815,-0.15925670699015385,0.03564290564817025,0.06843705669241243,0.21763420600586078,-0.05693987475106267,-0.08058624083841238,-0.031405225320000785,0.01842006491085518,-0.061673317587944684,-0.16296396750388017,-0.16534677268904843,-0.15842229835617502,0.004924912459160116,0.4069917599665005,0.05523532836788815,-0.1464190154231015,-0.15731306216768692,-0.1644113184089096,-0.15144393700721276,-0.15244437301494784,0.7118022220781617,0.06969055932605787,0.009471781034286737,-0.12871453503217734,-0.10442419047163298,-0.1619297354524588,-0.16407331081416357,0.11081916410770958,-0.0039999202135767055,-0.04464848352830321,0.05359084830713414,-0.16383312424446114,0.08979392573189525,-0.1603248807343223,0.2693039505997182,-0.0819829605438972,-0.1645508764182132,0.15636855141038697,0.5127672555240588,-0.16214179656353608,-0.16356344279299928,0.5073234195411761,-0.09929325937899512,-0.15899369181509826,-0.018168966503602835,0.0014435854397881283,-0.17271337106072865,-0.16356473762048046,-0.07969347240502099,-0.07108005067829481,-0.1622060209242272,0.01980131679733241,-0.15917448346682134,-0.10281955114955675,-0.09819639102591107,-0.16483480806691356,0.36294050466276756,0.23725035969822925,-0.21063947677997494,-0.16009208245904405,0.14958909229027548,0.6341713363180159,-0.012970354934715714,-0.033958359744150124;0.07037639135585401,0.08192652732841005,0.016610730234979595,0.14849171234902947,0.22199667853293553,0.3284982935154526,-0.2364850003125815,-0.1191109192706227,0.24942305631460643,-0.2286376231173416,0.21777442458366422,-0.2594143359756082,-0.34630045762648737,-0.17573055570039198,-0.29077875166023426,0.30789644494068735,0.19924905767814854,0.23139870120131417,0.3316571300465797,0.23378251287084043,0.22888187572600152,0.11415810952332034,-0.2965486927821759,0.13766516634613835,-0.3365564740425684,-0.10827271804101027,-0.2616003574456173,0.2069335333415628,-0.2860747498435149,-0.17428883934269676,-0.29235865213012496,-0.30075016547566386,0.23562641307591478,0.21881373406919935,-0.28880964776529144,-0.3429672311235496,-0.28305387260339343,0.21111572939289514,0.32531241363790053,0.2391659184013276,0.22500682718227247,0.057801100771272346,0.26762680515334203,0.2026705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x_a{198}=[-6.5507852462252645,0.876180896914458,32.85838457076585];
std_x_a{198}=[1.244326894616564,1.9464076539083675,2.244453514923945];
pred_a{198}=[-6.5507852462252645];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.7 to 19.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{199}=[-1.5020576117621571,1.3409797950929059,24.872783150610864];
std_x_f{199}=[1.3500853530041281,2.164943279405062,1.3175228456549533];
pred_f{199}=[-1.5020576117621571];
obs{199}=[-1.2891077195828764];
sqrt_r{199}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{199}=[2.826192037259741];
L_f{199}=[-0.05883516689411845,-0.053758544614265644,-0.07692466903516064,-0.028001213379197788,0.19122447234349355,0.004158737016250642,0.2694555039353305,-0.10295685816830505,0.28328327304305795,0.28431709884607,0.0947771475043189,-0.10516542643345259,0.05301217622245,-0.1090317766204204,-0.09714639786643556,0.05405421465496985,-0.004085306156646794,0.2359844378443164,0.01246761760212342,0.0617004443330116,0.0903176053811314,-0.0859085969819933,-0.09415171579250317,-0.03294634165015781,0.08724364930157873,-0.10082853460444571,-0.10457173567870975,-0.05648053189919792,-0.09835915150583195,-0.10850947894356572,-0.09592305539934085,-0.09331854835968198,0.15150479135418657,0.026412385418431744,-0.09927571838614878,0.06337903646207896,-0.0978004516905987,0.014881229341389357,0.037819881529125056,0.1387085426643549,-0.04927220793087875,-0.06486279644668201,-0.031425329656439245,0.003435160327911949,-0.05176344261931785,-0.10848805011380246,-0.10891562818288171,-0.10830756369728113,-0.006170649554165218,0.2663163316714746,0.028957447321136767,-0.10518827267732747,-0.09400152681650754,-0.10394413903603239,-0.10646154004621702,-0.10716817685861468,0.5194271198170334,0.038410759417875744,-0.002528927816616639,-0.0954717456491217,-0.07949192133182718,-0.10310923006761409,-0.10865501763066511,0.06645946261288824,0.04260469854931976,-0.04060393951134601,0.027819879043924085,-0.10955318200376811,0.05209219549364231,-0.11105166997543396,0.17407651723743942,-0.022157519191188302,-0.10572293275303991,0.09758543005427776,0.33449120002477195,-0.10880991720554643,-0.10893262805584064,0.33120713016162945,-0.07661698211144552,-0.11032661811935202,-0.022142568289651485,-0.008503044970184098,-0.1308457808954686,-0.12460915846619883,-0.06408778814436773,-0.058301524977190405,-0.10010764730289844,0.004324142110808967,-0.09576345642763362,-0.0793022099039294,-0.07601713675303791,-0.10533034956493793,0.23763925377693765,0.153138725765404,-0.15285687803255862,-0.0969452343604025,0.09342399023258977,0.47342543146982496,-0.018684374604609838,-0.03305919207435613;-0.0357624267468214,-0.025246045769556955,-0.07951539160893574,0.03180572333631998,0.3085255839420008,0.14519713958273947,0.2443679828026984,-0.16984145120446487,0.4281271324253595,0.2670279748894101,0.19526666569073833,-0.23646089014256783,-0.07812259824789697,-0.2022341920951944,-0.24078734986815542,0.18720065861787635,0.07922232086603463,0.36484244715544745,0.15460759802331098,0.16508342234188036,0.19462305615819708,-0.04260008894059562,-0.24030652663224947,0.02134565061856279,-0.029965344884469506,-0.1619915076423444,-0.2364525533147058,0.03039711917776789,-0.23969584130055976,-0.20134543487687293,-0.2398832634921622,-0.24061062920354062,0.2670449763435874,0.11969862675899295,-0.24182627701984502,-0.06305960157709055,-0.2375879755120232,0.10450664837210415,0.17783208616824397,0.2539913240125304,0.04601315661250022,-0.04803941728967272,0.08301510147796107,0.08843744847409542,-0.017383779721894733,-0.2233563561051623,-0.2288011423785833,-0.2091694344371547,0.07619691158815534,0.40562806504223264,0.12258508479292662,-0.17521671994114,-0.23981457997712333,-0.23786814522585142,-0.1895951257752227,-0.1913935103099415,0.6239799704417268,0.1785564209978089,0.08205445876285289,-0.1395743610773507,-0.09474946740035778,-0.23196518805507071,-0.22691614708569113,0.1646153932504998,-0.0944343231253752,0.06363460461063175,0.1213242787121374,-0.2211421026669261,0.1557683663437944,-0.208430409005615,0.2918056736721996,-0.1759405152807286,-0.23531741172900028,0.20240687097070806,0.49806195707655426,-0.22156456425904683,-0.22367759905271123,0.4927425295573508,-0.08647471996009615,-0.2054044076615089,0.043834467335870445,0.06749863801626774,-0.16702046103594553,-0.14821880281133235,-0.04998044547976971,-0.035973432061791474,-0.24077614810460715,0.09342943091600246,-0.24158457775335992,-0.08799664296405454,-0.08221929263430529,-0.23480310860986955,0.36729976235977246,0.26152854537942816,-0.2469800004954462,-0.2410687547649597,0.19340057369753785,0.5551030315010692,0.10728637245051892,0.019225232992310156;0.04911877096900643,0.05563236831871205,0.022311276675061734,0.08957040350012316,0.10754172974179232,0.19204864591956844,-0.1738194599718204,-0.05445987476197131,0.13720609511295995,-0.16513719670348911,0.10760550365123547,-0.1463323625293835,-0.25285212654305134,-0.08915668458844743,-0.1709217366409903,0.16929388783035443,0.11419657781968173,0.11706053529745389,0.19190511815818892,0.12150542387417416,0.11496351159486254,0.08789425565988197,-0.17606656339496282,0.08489971495630579,-0.25063873623902916,-0.04863681622768678,-0.14847793666480116,0.1348852751809514,-0.168089582507767,-0.08879505630519992,-0.17351766520804493,-0.17941316682638644,0.11504232209080195,0.11948346423158898,-0.16887095524465853,-0.25130185980990655,-0.16439001917177543,0.11709934201459962,0.1831708633715335,0.11774097891238659,0.14412533445957879,0.044577275732282366,0.1644342830134946,0.11509406994212965,0.0633383058736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k{199}=[0.6461670025191938;0.954658809571926;0.245374571790891];
x_a{199}=[-1.3644564182458858,1.544274285659248,24.92503563921727];
L_a{199}=[0.06472864074435176,0.05914349707783219,0.08463015453522599,0.030806073593533042,-0.21037928207334664,-0.004575314535260354,-0.2964466565074328,0.11326996822387819,-0.31165954271341034,-0.3127969260595956,-0.10427090217355618,0.115699767089774,-0.05832236553275153,0.11995340662978711,0.10687747853967507,-0.059468784161286654,0.00449452816238568,-0.2596228192225878,-0.013716489360149516,-0.06788093084168018,-0.09936465111293473,0.09451399570100667,0.10358282144358899,0.03624655159645544,-0.09598277919447212,0.11092845210987261,0.11504660678437091,0.06213814375562759,0.10821171278731744,0.1193787907925009,0.10553159478952967,0.1026661962636854,-0.16668091089571496,-0.029058093946223336,0.10922009147384304,-0.06972766626565273,0.10759704843718071,-0.016371870748774612,-0.041608270252691294,-0.15260287172213535,0.05420776746632568,0.07136005335766273,0.03457318098995342,-0.0037792577212335046,0.05694854723581359,0.11935521545318363,0.11982562369173598,0.11915664984980462,0.006788758819528051,-0.2929930357491636,-0.031858092761027225,0.1157249018244947,0.10341758815227386,0.114356144264067,0.11712571141581729,0.11790313149943397,-0.5714577387367116,-0.04225833592945821,0.002782248589602287,0.1050350776854153,0.08745456653885128,0.11343760310027226,0.11953890797902329,-0.0731166563574811,-0.04687237874897573,0.044671205202241625,-0.030606575136026097,0.12052704079320548,-0.05731023103513243,0.1221756311635233,-0.19151362936673405,0.024377021010131224,0.11631311839271509,-0.10736048824734164,-0.3679969287333642,0.11970932372632619,0.11984432642901949,-0.3643838960936634,0.08429164684674206,0.12137795141532422,0.024360572488176316,0.009354788507672757,0.1439525030963003,0.13709116294902304,0.07050741306406635,0.0641415443231053,0.11013535407646358,-0.004757288132143566,0.10535600891040091,0.08724585186173313,0.08363171543571363,0.1158812104457104,-0.26144339680662754,-0.16847851527225838,0.1681684350667108,0.10665616463847837,-0.10278220016868211,-0.5208480963094426,0.02055597417597495,0.03637070616168219;0.14679297618527531,0.14155747143235486,0.1591686249827757,0.11868867210446656,-0.28481106218271124,0.13229329394469544,-0.5917060982262571,0.14961597060182044,-0.4508521377000428,-0.615159078879575,-0.09881052087597947,0.08984933910578076,-0.24261026270906585,0.1360726567519183,0.06064121304940396,0.019479728136373612,0.09189832317719972,-0.3673766729823751,0.1159227250959521,-0.026362443641178183,-0.0856169382636209,0.22395951078999754,0.05183005291005905,0.12357248182492263,-0.3006673823271193,0.15086209222748864,0.08801555563942866,0.20564649472951685,0.06549568756040852,0.1353408141167487,0.05774947817097043,0.04894077510365214,-0.20304833165332714,0.03774553786681842,0.06620920121669964,-0.25971385021047816,0.06587000392141441,0.05833275337098649,0.060483498990466004,-0.1763974253180421,0.19889634275800888,0.153218683361866,0.18052249408941493,0.0777787368411893,0.1432292791571252,0.11326340291556854,0.10914531784495324,0.1268903062776695,0.09534337577241886,-0.4207057044051681,0.032735106579921555,0.1511643972722854,0.05185598900591883,0.08465263929578905,0.14073672107556745,0.1411309090246844,-0.9877130383111041,0.059374441365163455,0.089901286789694,0.1566580440583664,0.15190029148778936,0.08796501754604892,0.11022168342062423,-0.041596887880281465,-0.22662937450457113,0.1896216448354676,0.03500397919594066,0.11878257740040345,-0.005864756157130446,0.13614382149043458,-0.24832381729170802,-0.10718954443360777,0.0927226637351774,-0.10038393331001272,-0.5398067024558263,0.11605389298463054,0.11432160885255457,-0.534936226065995,0.15125459703100358,0.13692011163763168,0.11253904810715187,0.09388212399286426,0.23897149095977344,0.23842198251633517,0.14887293771495727,0.1449261717911322,0.06984066246471428,0.08001236172004036,0.055552955752379875,0.15806447399463164,0.15364880738603073,0.09201884874788223,-0.37005396698043036,-0.21363458005067604,0.22730859989884578,0.05973563239449889,-0.09647799860476264,-0.9138546508288015,0.16526077304357228,0.12180221965412517;0.09604072190419236,0.09850563486824147,0.08365988392332319,0.11190180204393743,-0.044962729454449575,0.18873198915576564,-0.3887143706571718,0.027649803895148352,-0.08871667421318502,-0.3918844580157239,0.032019270115471316,-0.06246131669605189,-0.2951301528152236,-0.0022021649868220147,-0.09344598948415479,0.12618481987368568,0.11745467234301957,-0.0711406851380282,0.18196200127269982,0.0722983700914795,0.042933831524378435,0.15640768368761335,-0.10097912127331869,0.11117492939029598,-0.32021688903499673,0.03177549163727848,-0.0650803683439041,0.17992936847530175,-0.08964664566203998,-0.002257077137819692,-0.09701755249312867,-0.10499018855293688,-0.005785080322453569,0.09841918043487341,-0.08969704220803475,-0.30184761664518256,-0.0863926540257945,0.10523133262714408,0.15300892589156095,0.0071187817339404295,0.18342067846976237,0.09630635398691348,0.18949646697763806,0.11235447672144844,0.10462044788224255,-0.033863439574358195,-0.04051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x_a{199}=[-1.3644564182458863,1.544274285659248,24.925035639217263];
std_x_a{199}=[1.485322374390192,2.3463344186851636,1.335834807064706];
pred_a{199}=[-1.3644564182458863];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.8 to 19.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 19.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{200}=[0.3099893901898387,1.2239160943530922,19.506781974689616];
std_x_f{200}=[2.313160754655164,3.300265438319387,0.9741119241596538];
pred_f{200}=[0.3099893901898387];
obs{200}=[0.42993190914297513];
sqrt_r{200}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{200}=[6.367735257580427];
L_f{200}=[0.13047061241359437,0.12473223487568483,0.1481123034464206,0.09669358164814375,-0.29363170503690766,0.08900626669431473,-0.5828325842564352,0.1566578108620556,-0.4563489973256308,-0.6072761556512204,-0.11327813585020188,0.12057613685054232,-0.20387460619567443,0.15208245475474363,0.09716426693755828,-0.010911755246412476,0.06604919324752488,-0.37438641679342916,0.0742552190685116,-0.046409436952409816,-0.10119897971189504,0.19330768532612524,0.08882067155549146,0.10202798410352276,-0.26655817701997453,0.15671642139766906,0.11880471480959716,0.16622989483685643,0.10092166417171246,0.15050763459868538,0.0944884645143606,0.08729411818890104,-0.21488005574647615,0.01455839305547726,0.10188802392960702,-0.22232028165339116,0.10031171507346977,0.0347124273990518,0.024941585702486745,-0.18933174615446188,0.15824663473265038,0.13769248864752362,0.13791029421739315,0.05305954033986517,0.12400599302302476,0.13726838621943807,0.1348650104915087,0.14509492731392473,0.06941234193622373,-0.4266276145223962,0.010491537737799482,0.15882877950384194,0.08935391200836089,0.11643113694294448,0.1533091607319465,0.15408155702611315,-0.9557436602636457,0.024522489885351603,0.06416041237389758,0.15703580959117516,0.14504084261945224,0.11802950347758384,0.13520425845941939,-0.058993889539123254,-0.18657995484386003,0.14806663137959367,0.012630790029379045,0.14137848574234785,-0.02780153959890798,0.15336418810364771,-0.25876423506184987,-0.061427981828688076,0.12287903809857309,-0.11594585335052848,-0.541387134342653,0.13947689264516444,0.1381157626872331,-0.5370192909411655,0.14305874497592233,0.1533692529637257,0.08941176978750016,0.07014300243146965,0.22812306649236694,0.2232578023564042,0.1349288047744613,0.12887233441351412,0.1045404148267194,0.05434744605129914,0.09298477044530484,0.14859939591124427,0.14387103345619465,0.12189962731874789,-0.377075378079165,-0.22356207942449677,0.23255925052205234,0.09642153064806809,-0.11097621258671274,-0.8950708141444226,0.12204446508435371,0.10049367423530199;0.19376970200038082,0.1858524991237942,0.21371647591355047,0.15188539703240164,-0.4081017230248633,0.15549695044457562,-0.9010262701972166,0.21615954912052754,-0.6377525879371546,-0.9344067899400437,-0.1446770819395826,0.15555376355070274,-0.3422855078470919,0.20547454033978596,0.11974883573033786,0.01319349273567465,0.11312162543982167,-0.5243641153901537,0.13527799840113666,-0.04459509971843245,-0.12585777388008693,0.28232072754929327,0.10738883723602731,0.15858178558034783,-0.4390491730904393,0.21700441277014693,0.15280924115171238,0.25250957276085456,0.12560689412137652,0.20426101032711252,0.11516897689569422,0.10428735694999346,-0.290669710753284,0.04149639005666364,0.12700894226657536,-0.37064246629850195,0.12536269080151358,0.06939438213814075,0.0654319900634655,-0.2533551166321684,0.2431871812544207,0.20228236878893183,0.21807641750251353,0.09517942294427094,0.18613852185400298,0.18198075005645292,0.17797526887675147,0.19596709906846568,0.11808346373185652,-0.5964979076719772,0.035521950080856284,0.21961689366399992,0.10740636291899791,0.1491181498758323,0.20940655155244317,0.210220729125051,-1.3161300643558398,0.06469266940136474,0.11031430486367184,0.22000860768030042,0.20730660142277874,0.15216661653393634,0.1784689720125656,-0.06479943314578637,-0.31554247978439254,0.23044781456311567,0.03834155585086599,0.1883104541334742,-0.016731093677494015,0.20719998563633393,-0.35562718666439636,-0.1230287443624085,0.15896349230548829,-0.14639579529752528,-0.7513367177168208,0.1850240796416691,0.1834918548775577,-0.7450327725422996,0.20541377403400687,0.20770606066564754,0.14274483123335616,0.11736995720949159,0.31723850443076546,0.31351643523113093,0.19815073008262163,0.1909513706676306,0.1307993615940686,0.09763834706803358,0.11336569417249139,0.21468037365410322,0.20795779578950593,0.15784509782057862,-0.5275035431857223,-0.30612090953293414,0.31680055724669387,0.11825357960157826,-0.14096910907125187,-1.2654983198028888,0.19838052891608188,0.15640231332339688;0.04911483420948966,0.049882115902991075,0.04662298180489736,0.05223306316301226,-0.02662129482515321,0.10662588085044553,-0.08658769421998244,0.007266562438579575,0.03464339586525333,-0.06573709565986073,-0.020236820248538442,-0.07181904072337654,-0.24519765971799748,-0.0172716373396216,-0.10130777500383124,0.045991008873709105,0.049393699428176764,-0.004872535254938759,0.0986594380803104,0.005618153073317117,-0.01266662447091728,0.11674210972259033,-0.1084757299856853,0.05178246883869739,-0.24345825749127495,0.0098127463084767,-0.07392964428667823,0.12353151190717053,-0.09709110060320822,-0.01726008456977352,-0.10436997931364451,-0.11198609735555956,-0.026816392718686504,0.027422258571255208,-0.09771397952226873,-0.2452380720380834,-0.09485362240663703,0.035297425511243055,0.06902470833372473,-0.024197422795745775,0.12304503681511793,0.05195347662322562,0.12085069126160064,0.043420515405126765,0.05387521785406043,-0.04566474113637636,-0.05077077172251548,-0.0274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k{200}=[0.842958295288806;1.2001496031195211;-0.05559289235978964];
x_a{200}=[0.41109593149921986,1.3678650608718546,19.500114023144093];
L_a{200}=[-0.06242873683898153,-0.05968298701402104,-0.07087008977286385,-0.046266803313491346,0.1404995048480406,-0.04258850861269224,0.27887890882573524,-0.07495902002111829,0.218357919333308,0.29057488585673436,0.054202328032192174,-0.057694340336515784,0.09755173140441711,-0.07276976301462487,-0.0464920209891293,0.005221153515936772,-0.03160380431576124,0.17913973620354526,-0.03553029639696872,0.022206399377990602,0.04842258617427227,-0.09249557730227952,-0.04249970340310633,-0.04881925555480064,0.12754512282587202,-0.07498706451049525,-0.056846734593129035,-0.0795391557345092,-0.048289893772825256,-0.07201622908638934,-0.04521167929209344,-0.04176926459676858,0.10281771660285939,-0.006966029146684426,-0.04875228616833376,0.10637778194303706,-0.047998039913669,-0.01660951041042159,-0.011934271337912555,0.09059313463228766,-0.07571925457099904,-0.0658843242892991,-0.06598854183186989,-0.025388399880995997,-0.0593354883653813,-0.06568139599467442,-0.06453140744117192,-0.06942630885519117,-0.03321303355561146,0.20413656824750256,-0.005020084112068526,-0.07599780436892355,-0.04275485302866756,-0.05571100398481127,-0.0733567281802883,-0.07372631121582339,0.45731271087302167,-0.011733738650939938,-0.030700043676297202,-0.07513988820859105,-0.0694004299304606,-0.056475804593295396,-0.06469373382042383,0.02822791996615266,0.08927643309783947,-0.07084823619688926,-0.006043692539074712,-0.0676480329004965,0.013302727466602417,-0.0733830581655881,0.12381580828951005,0.029392606052743082,-0.05879625296894631,0.05547880118356143,0.25904772203220094,-0.06673814175456876,-0.0660868562092999,0.2569577575473181,-0.06845201825454351,-0.07338548164479995,-0.04278253733244423,-0.033562646475582734,-0.10915434994516511,-0.10682637517155619,-0.06456193229599247,-0.06166397859329916,-0.05002142571053964,-0.026004648438775917,-0.0444921784053664,-0.07110315809944111,-0.0688406892574166,-0.05832761580460785,0.18042637426994157,0.10697196836421989,-0.11127701466050038,-0.04613662993592919,0.053100883354487156,0.4282814288580202,-0.05839691906444617,-0.048085105348707274;-0.08086793872439056,-0.0767059887599989,-0.09805651900341059,-0.051652370176754774,0.2099862679910036,-0.03185919545253224,0.32582292531580104,-0.11360154251806344,0.32285156386467684,0.34389556160990953,0.09377079072755024,-0.0982562335033906,0.08686585285762624,-0.11465553184130121,-0.08477971319599857,0.03616248676124896,-0.025910408438979127,0.26371068801158926,-0.021027531244343922,0.05309569850952779,0.08716375271261718,-0.12458750756834878,-0.07957663515910596,-0.056184776204996734,0.12204966363912581,-0.11288005269895486,-0.09727195321606534,-0.09740053566417714,-0.08683088963236082,-0.1125541016171465,-0.08372706942367142,-0.07946475569090007,0.16164786833451528,0.010851307248087841,-0.08746300656916689,0.09733661733606049,-0.0857911641179466,-0.0036744797944196234,0.012930525353915812,0.14518385790203,-0.08991834811827223,-0.08755715543896299,-0.07222158244446543,-0.016509690085163047,-0.0748912436200452,-0.10696604830681691,-0.10591247881232291,-0.1094543884333163,-0.02802792084657029,0.30154341636997134,0.013437504253698194,-0.1147140370735114,-0.08068156837477834,-0.09596671763093888,-0.11330570851915489,-0.11411740739496917,0.6956883761094226,0.01307339175544873,-0.024741888683095497,-0.11054816259612296,-0.09800103904008452,-0.09628277579544561,-0.10613288485254554,0.05938134856804587,0.07720403728118506,-0.08122904170278569,0.011754033113085049,-0.10928800926941165,0.041790508258091365,-0.11562810578808581,0.1890655813595226,0.006275745681950381,-0.09969405895166497,0.09766756139973817,0.3882707582048516,-0.10857157399304122,-0.10723865147646797,0.38538049339868324,-0.09572159644073401,-0.11513269217283854,-0.04546488935585193,-0.030279450919779294,-0.1629553079333429,-0.15643610793767446,-0.08587130310598168,-0.08032193159774238,-0.08925580912426567,-0.016761777886008668,-0.08236511068860497,-0.09811793970721358,-0.0948874232686288,-0.09875081625333701,0.2662314619262237,0.1644721298714732,-0.17273132054989285,-0.08471152650454972,0.09263326802780582,0.6186051739323135,-0.05852026532585017,-0.05513456145003229;0.061836498874522534,0.06204425445399576,0.06106481680784722,0.0616612654089649,-0.0552521413997046,0.11530452393354912,-0.14341735536436664,0.022541635499687976,-0.009853359433150952,-0.12495015113916619,-0.03128211567183303,-0.06006214657502112,-0.26507665258663804,-0.0024426888505036655,-0.09183367812839908,0.04492704750659517,0.055833890612589275,-0.04137744897827599,0.10589976583797912,0.0010929555343499014,-0.022534129961403193,0.135590764637285,-0.09981518353810655,0.06173080721316405,-0.26944927323833745,0.025093534247181606,-0.06234547437689499,0.139739920377842,-0.08725063503568568,-0.0025846904601628065,-0.0951567891704494,-0.10347439898697586,-0.04776848270922454,0.028841788924392726,-0.08777928810144241,-0.26691562853229506,-0.08507263052247485,0.038682094693910325,0.07145666204078142,-0.04265839987299613,0.13847502970161563,0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x_a{200}=[0.4110959314992201,1.3678650608718546,19.500114023144096];
std_x_a{200}=[1.106821692235582,1.5916503931160404,0.964096184707072];
pred_a{200}=[0.4110959314992201];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 19.9 to 20.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{201}=[1.221765375747144,2.065601562168649,15.323883206333772];
std_x_f{201}=[1.7633946523384494,2.663310642008892,1.2711291034054797];
pred_f{201}=[1.221765375747144];
obs{201}=[1.284635569860973];
sqrt_r{201}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{201}=[4.118848220815537];
L_f{201}=[-0.09637178487345911,-0.09217944804409824,-0.11388368877267666,-0.06580352082409999,0.24316562474734407,-0.04969134339831292,0.4217828529276675,-0.12744566794377205,0.3646779896013372,0.43891202266880686,0.10404945755757476,-0.10546845793536481,0.14112737547936913,-0.1268208722088399,-0.08809148953058236,0.029166363059427478,-0.03836861606008274,0.3039975023336845,-0.03835408024335604,0.052898059985080265,0.09532081840771613,-0.14493494194821616,-0.08207761387753712,-0.0696927433999585,0.1881597638846708,-0.1267196794356541,-0.10381227953588706,-0.11843328844191298,-0.09082431776034237,-0.12485050155983744,-0.08684611157787825,-0.08132500901175789,0.18401154417796853,0.004338980534182584,-0.09224450761227004,0.15500931637426676,-0.09024611803169946,-0.01305139467389736,0.0012761009902391624,0.16428383985166756,-0.11049834314553349,-0.10317197697728693,-0.09226412134680499,-0.027752476042077107,-0.09005664899104153,-0.11706303849036105,-0.11553095739778844,-0.12155419366553467,-0.04063769516997196,0.3431804274515301,0.007159914994891275,-0.12915764737690896,-0.08280132659121853,-0.10274461534686646,-0.12669135781062552,-0.12737699627743052,0.6777573498670754,0.0012294647997418452,-0.03622477737595792,-0.12534427958325856,-0.11269421129713324,-0.10409468898518875,-0.11549519302651008,0.06209785287106899,0.127858323211999,-0.10155310715776163,0.004856255388417447,-0.11980167374596228,0.039008784556463116,-0.12791319977776036,0.21731468611839172,0.03225071303998743,-0.10779009605444387,0.10731235269321829,0.4274447818321084,-0.11861924676216715,-0.11774090807620079,0.4248822074577425,-0.11062760880355507,-0.1278202456910324,-0.0584371038022519,-0.04250170139455899,-0.18227825129201136,-0.17642387311063681,-0.10094731818426779,-0.09543281276530474,-0.09406583606857206,-0.028132805062757636,-0.08518756061408818,-0.1145074667531024,-0.10987924538075326,-0.10655921890094462,0.30605162683928777,0.18908202982553812,-0.1913846392208706,-0.08708972356189949,0.10366260575402202,0.6381405918021127,-0.07841317771694194,-0.06966873958776447;-0.148336028023422,-0.1417345355140613,-0.17680547658076637,-0.09813838558825551,0.39239470711651186,-0.07135760958314856,0.6585479470211479,-0.2002386803593959,0.5695045662506825,0.6813047620495919,0.17488469090812878,-0.1671102824941166,0.23931547485162052,-0.20046110300089176,-0.13924837886270763,0.05432046811350244,-0.05446641521342065,0.48180705860391654,-0.05307213632507097,0.09260559249037467,0.15984228732785047,-0.224188729916433,-0.1292468238713456,-0.10543913555345161,0.31554112431704645,-0.19876780054170132,-0.1650769042746718,-0.18101316390969618,-0.14394596491083064,-0.19751193145418272,-0.13723326279694012,-0.1284027624275577,0.3009933177970918,0.014410572137476237,-0.1460697190448364,0.26140841122142056,-0.14271951152379644,-0.013510315531440477,0.00973421779987648,0.27009592945825456,-0.16867314699576016,-0.15942252396129322,-0.13925051967942131,-0.03708925779781839,-0.138181254351744,-0.1854295416926061,-0.18256336604042,-0.1919461341537185,-0.05828198769932106,0.5393306254985791,0.01888054329462876,-0.20339616338101185,-0.13068363297294955,-0.16304167836049094,-0.199162992167535,-0.20060634640782304,0.8873086491648374,0.009602008329666156,-0.05137289771238659,-0.19670415390959783,-0.1757303737806603,-0.16369552701973278,-0.18347121421581636,0.10669517682578952,0.2177151889084918,-0.15359160006981437,0.01502943979736483,-0.18995964801749612,0.07025875250763718,-0.2020105747314926,0.3528939874316598,0.05918618917822974,-0.1702251692570328,0.17961729763071244,0.6501926429360618,-0.18820473180470929,-0.1865055167944515,0.6479343136038611,-0.17193454263984903,-0.20176353087769527,-0.08678835707090243,-0.06126755158562739,-0.28522867339892105,-0.2760829838925577,-0.15575412498436642,-0.14712143197235567,-0.14937213273036234,-0.03777612885283312,-0.13462660503325644,-0.1774606611206978,-0.1704205850433532,-0.16826721836194056,0.48572569995418763,0.30987940809726106,-0.30170099244749327,-0.13946044978918104,0.17233902105096152,0.8702788023512595,-0.1168759463139006,-0.1043819476331534;0.008833821254338473,0.009107083809739944,0.007561445190290049,0.011050393898547955,0.030600009019951278,0.053910966168905616,0.09740371006558192,-0.022085755152223305,0.15355211396388285,0.12838404813777227,-0.019568081704792784,-0.08464617384171573,-0.18457621061502774,-0.04111239201981005,-0.10837319167027716,0.014691841106088645,0.009643032417584057,0.08178681524406353,0.047594931806654056,-0.01200250829006143,-0.016458936520396043,0.06597317132356494,-0.1140141356339259,0.011502910508332147,-0.16621037903709052,-0.02017445926614604,-0.08685733740207886,0.06794873756020127,-0.10525630854968113,-0.04121427255978421,-0.11123039220510607,-0.11695014438972295,0.0032164769667513073,-0.0032951472524527414,-0.10539631772172901,-0.1794792738970802,-0.10299730646641382,5.783579780264882E-4,0.028329634584073202,-0.0028309079076766584,0.06777586614898919,0.011585225189135096,0.0644875906216616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k{201}=[0.7572136805269319;1.1404344257900767;0.34858756770484006];
x_a{201}=[1.269371546827519,2.137300895892164,15.345798974381042];
L_a{201}=[0.06620640074439355,0.06332630951702205,0.07823689420128295,0.04520632543843475,-0.16705222197993308,0.03413742931995895,-0.2897603756608776,0.08755383099007072,-0.25052993626618175,-0.3015279347840136,-0.07148088097920789,0.07245571928682852,-0.09695301990370064,0.08712460290360714,0.06051792509280894,-0.02003698409762193,0.026358834945488453,-0.208843080899932,0.026348848992560053,-0.036340409826089,-0.0654843978563983,0.09956877794770069,0.0563864558870111,0.047878180367546236,-0.12926377516070842,0.08705508453469057,0.07131794217743909,0.08136242123519162,0.06239534929100799,0.08577097902941885,0.05966236356177325,0.05586942427437269,-0.1264139919317445,-0.0029808339074078242,0.06337100475482785,-0.10648976702532287,0.06199813216988597,0.008966170619210624,-8.76667934095279E-4,-0.11286126692920387,0.07591119742661773,0.07087806106651015,0.06338447918378458,0.01906565861474417,0.06186796893537791,0.0804210739567163,0.07936855038956486,0.08350645023902975,0.027917668384832756,-0.2357613375877777,-0.004918786157898805,0.08872994282161203,0.05688363889559301,0.07058446812949486,0.08703562787671933,0.0875066542788832,-0.46561215787044685,-8.446293626262661E-4,0.024886040358993153,0.08611019932860005,0.07741973570903696,0.07151195449337794,0.07934398064334362,-0.04266057060110169,-0.08783732081121891,0.06976591455842972,-0.0033361962817732294,0.08230248752048022,-0.02679862395708483,0.087875020433666,-0.14929289953162111,-0.022155900034657127,0.0740506602116753,-0.07372245555646635,-0.29365006115882586,0.08149017264177462,0.08088676321951738,-0.2918895995653277,0.0760000015716144,0.08781116195553544,0.04014567456391613,0.029198221020203124,0.12522323798269439,0.12120134185931924,0.06934974391680117,0.06556133679998397,0.06462223821307946,0.019326940644447753,0.058522956525700866,0.07866542310112443,0.07548588378560969,0.07320506057689936,-0.21025424279109553,-0.1298973621442238,0.1314792305363612,0.05982972242787125,-0.07121511786640142,-0.4383958625192029,0.05386902685662451,0.04786169000149579;0.09652188266839869,0.09247163890140407,0.11254603985498247,0.06905279641912732,-0.22543162977126266,0.05489634057412014,-0.41310251861162817,0.12357061735580875,-0.35705594859632034,-0.43386687235896315,-0.08948037008579195,0.10086012282576838,-0.11925580559807104,0.12176073653383467,0.08457125988852182,-0.019784361745027353,0.04301916292487401,-0.29057869075930526,0.04437650974105549,-0.04179586603407448,-0.0823453661580164,0.14405667633269537,0.07929297929835337,0.07163364110728944,-0.1625283305712502,0.1231969320913326,0.09868554346549725,0.11989780917569506,0.0868171439805157,0.11970366231019997,0.08342216514382003,0.07822484979068,-0.16653649198856987,0.003386248892581869,0.08830175634491358,-0.13243359756784817,0.08657452861777042,0.01965019130840927,0.0064919470179043105,-0.1473104497981634,0.11207700693206792,0.10271306642726284,0.09517078957057519,0.03342321957416886,0.09063138977233501,0.11199995036902775,0.11097347034579658,0.11689432092193135,0.044968783755372575,-0.33260966871142944,6.888928164092939E-4,0.12476286914190347,0.07969495302354676,0.09800808720836267,0.12272978191517248,0.12302847284601244,-0.8347124679326992,0.006478229076960636,0.040665693408448535,0.12176601301973347,0.11059896173503027,0.10078445633323435,0.10997475336227415,-0.05108077940894399,-0.10714256823855468,0.10443082501614304,0.002690843498093954,0.11442806846339047,-0.02885334236187941,0.12298661078928319,-0.19925122888312724,-0.022755244444294876,0.10364396938990042,-0.09303800813525714,-0.43584344483547,0.11317871738800933,0.11264628154933952,-0.4315908788042244,0.10914404475000285,0.1229974802949934,0.06168650165137409,0.046719218795185924,0.17789724913665284,0.17216834841130693,0.1007291336062871,0.0953507726862889,0.08962690747080261,0.033702674602058745,0.08181483720304923,0.11347572762205627,0.10875658789842085,0.10247455257545128,-0.29187909391882805,-0.17053330640461983,0.18456210789523075,0.0818139385818054,-0.09104314101160027,-0.7510855029947117,0.08235339131523527,0.07262984101838804;0.08367760147626435,0.08069503208163016,0.09600523384229202,0.06215439967009845,-0.15824607907537938,0.09250201218013103,-0.23015920876325702,0.07689047087020427,-0.12966230757385727,-0.2124816420071036,-0.10037445821711992,-0.0027377802551003865,-0.2941778568597685,0.05737860822071176,-0.039960013575609306,-0.00795919591225626,0.039440677771884834,-0.154302225573761,0.07738128842666539,-0.053083938720016675,-0.09048652034950862,0.17853183105880954,-0.05027142398594159,0.06562734513345107,-0.3123380867814776,0.07823795314198971,-0.006235156915092242,0.15992581386677132,-0.03472077487468429,0.055746508146012494,-0.04378439339333503,-0.053791917020434114,-0.13968966084979506,-0.006664864913218052,-0.033757843208906596,-0.2998618446079986,-0.03291081141274913,0.010714267734656956,0.027338595327304743,-0.13041621329573236,0.1535905443779988,0.09171013706130543,0.1361412974562552,0.027014306222129948,0.08157444228887126,0.02673134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x_a{201}=[1.269371546827519,2.1373008958921647,15.345798974381037];
std_x_a{201}=[1.2114335453736373,1.8358196599226462,1.1224186271358032];
pred_a{201}=[1.269371546827519];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.0 to 20.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{202}=[2.5287800314733717,4.352474975835299,12.693005855016347];
std_x_f{202}=[2.2417514708149198,3.78547309794698,1.3522553930118308];
pred_f{202}=[2.5287800314733717];
obs{202}=[2.6879595248714674];
sqrt_r{202}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{202}=[6.0392871451807535];
L_f{202}=[0.11763285374374019,0.11240828161911183,0.13683900460671541,0.08340718843699212,-0.29442245399807776,0.06324251435306855,-0.5414515915934887,0.15260405445800335,-0.4613449860746115,-0.5655552993610302,-0.11456926285590142,0.1329612039910677,-0.153730285212279,0.1524252490908507,0.11486034520247224,-0.025758507779189747,0.05247584422802854,-0.3778483722034383,0.05092676087668348,-0.052491608310551795,-0.10453009814396018,0.16589684899988058,0.1087374747552104,0.08744807427034569,-0.21520606624290844,0.15196470437305734,0.13044988979758929,0.13838726414862648,0.11725378851815323,0.15090712951698068,0.11402378811964628,0.10791663085698561,-0.21662933276502033,0.004445103748048004,0.11909258466556662,-0.1715495796165725,0.11681933035441507,0.02459083092553047,0.006536165893132397,-0.19087313696757646,0.12912716666512913,0.12485617767561034,0.11011213773840277,0.041788020584097536,0.11017642449387424,0.1444729456907777,0.14372717533567114,0.147952679043569,0.054886709296024835,-0.4306433062190188,0.0020328230697098317,0.15539776077088965,0.109458324926644,0.1301143304307371,0.15363930374775694,0.1543141024492744,-0.9201646875858872,0.006653801692353903,0.04889716805924688,0.14900879615575516,0.13515809965625283,0.1321265385063247,0.14169761893446325,-0.0640433574477884,-0.13634373006107,0.12092788342449856,0.0035935531404097994,0.14672073302250416,-0.036553249891417366,0.15456474633068037,-0.2601501658822713,-0.0191633079912557,0.1358754893082186,-0.11854854427796058,-0.5514909446098303,0.14527900208694675,0.1448187676865654,-0.5474969126497355,0.13353382517651843,0.15434123188527377,0.07538868266345486,0.05760694811398474,0.20637835271325772,0.19929391954004294,0.12229943272676565,0.1161940487627344,0.12167689143697771,0.0412454679161248,0.11256318174550711,0.13774316382335638,0.13263254510993705,0.13429523920077713,-0.38037909337913145,-0.2219815135588467,0.2163956439847371,0.11284493074351924,-0.11537173371243832,-0.8612017727209588,0.09491005582122106,0.08851815027574088;0.1947909132670021,0.18662938435014736,0.22390049497163303,0.14197811418951164,-0.5013736728694066,0.10522554124255645,-0.9458221158441067,0.2525346463321154,-0.7976218872895537,-0.9875190562494652,-0.1835118982234744,0.22946115251817104,-0.24557999539023342,0.2538713613180638,0.20396245408815233,-0.034663681394663415,0.09271122329702727,-0.6506399860540701,0.0864909672565532,-0.07826148622795984,-0.16651260133557283,0.26078388202294833,0.19490034296568132,0.14724277889692716,-0.3565986569560528,0.25113034819495306,0.22566031645114204,0.219189059198933,0.20759692722965495,0.2521648353079976,0.2025645218974195,0.1938714960254058,-0.3631745802877722,0.015726054272852525,0.2101867015450547,-0.2778488268877822,0.2067663161347057,0.04832561874875731,0.0169107876337151,-0.3168170729031216,0.2054474062887363,0.2042941666327377,0.17661094582247175,0.07569014405189228,0.18291050178179682,0.24459431003198998,0.24271977004538467,0.2485712858526354,0.09659388677478963,-0.7448020198153805,0.010700406460347109,0.2556345238942906,0.19629725927341138,0.22544562560916734,0.25478557625375414,0.2550673376338214,-1.5105699906982457,0.01650645923701823,0.08791540802278774,0.2456800605315635,0.22334859570207588,0.22804718741943225,0.24108902950188524,-0.09757532309960475,-0.21429964642519886,0.1930842366855095,0.014368293189256282,0.24697725273441037,-0.05143719308039986,0.2574452088684511,-0.4396165558343505,-0.009876432033819752,0.23360135882235203,-0.19146411248392547,-0.9530477995602332,0.24534940409499897,0.2453505458780284,-0.9456730555717362,0.2195872958042953,0.25693056019526744,0.12853563721938904,0.10072366954605114,0.3207921183204232,0.31062596652338337,0.20234652978850864,0.1922680024783818,0.21290759646958302,0.0747608451396845,0.19984862500080317,0.22628102753484708,0.2185621583353944,0.2311004150861799,-0.6547236094361383,-0.3717923930255555,0.33861811931829877,0.2000094898031652,-0.1851074666530872,-1.4408416507610102,0.1544362321931314,0.14973605118305916;0.08349150319237104,0.07833140916968961,0.10483171933153057,0.046978881150500314,-0.2155744522861261,0.05957551636490402,-0.20437824194804374,0.10070464801147125,-0.15934326578957472,-0.17908823690133133,-0.1552245153340786,0.02575762356349876,-0.31258502330872,0.0853708702807162,-0.013785541954976775,-0.05807303538968243,0.012700679178326298,-0.20089230743774544,0.041304823029214996,-0.10187524001071284,-0.14527008073748982,0.18803130475526264,-0.024832838116812337,0.051777745810640735,-0.33231235645252444,0.10134077436524747,0.022101326643800073,0.15530132055495452,-0.008437950027603997,0.0826577166793814,-0.017624813880664357,-0.028326013462055235,-0.2002488251158653,-0.04455644082678124,-0.006324083746596064,-0.3189006672459737,-0.006962022560501726,-0.02293270589486057,-0.017832191151915977,-0.19104048326948242,0.1449419217698989,0.09362170532223173,0.1191475709725304,-0.002715103322245841,0.07717301924983554,0.05596636151563452,0.05143963678922853,0.0731738673932569,0.01592930045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k{202}=[0.8344175436668905;1.4082893909883687;0.17620593306893167];
x_a{202}=[2.661602193356751,4.57664576765074,12.721054226175998];
L_a{202}=[-0.05852969611998197,-0.05593014498201898,-0.06808595644920354,-0.04150028872099041,0.14649357058825804,-0.03146710318711194,0.269406004454209,-0.07593005397592363,0.22954796200258967,0.28139910541282726,0.057005368196323715,-0.06615650830249649,0.0764904241591747,-0.07584108713144931,-0.05715019985472956,0.012816467379976217,-0.026110011944426526,0.18800317853951504,-0.02533924616825776,0.026117855560646983,0.05201025636159436,-0.0825440499843542,-0.05410368916273386,-0.04351088195540191,0.10707846710761625,-0.07561193735292872,-0.06490697254842652,-0.06885631232869573,-0.05834108748083763,-0.07508572776963408,-0.056733960425977024,-0.05369526802530497,0.10778663114840721,-0.002211716908286693,-0.05925600347844793,0.08535663672958309,-0.058124917393220545,-0.01223547517213705,-0.0032521510049245946,0.09497131412383515,-0.06424883512737557,-0.06212375119263668,-0.05478766990546842,-0.020792151753548222,-0.054819656583871196,-0.07188431921630418,-0.07151325185824509,-0.07361570402280673,-0.027309567981071634,0.21427195759453982,-0.0010114565170288483,-0.07732009745729576,-0.054462357172046706,-0.06474001079287103,-0.0764451551947521,-0.07678090971982765,0.4578394371190371,-0.0033106821666037773,-0.02432939690360693,-0.07414118828741559,-0.06724960118937602,-0.06574121006200444,-0.07050342071294388,0.03186557267486074,0.06783952641091073,-0.060169179306721644,-0.0017880172639303592,-0.07300273388772661,0.01818752619062661,-0.07690562071463994,0.12944096542810007,0.009534943323106341,-0.06760654737399074,0.058985309386192376,0.27440120998214534,-0.0722853826473261,-0.0720563872711111,0.2724139294777795,-0.06644142312781663,-0.07679440830967214,-0.037510580987775995,-0.028663056792418304,-0.10268612794486577,-0.09916117970452236,-0.06085161079860877,-0.05781380072482596,-0.06054185760165934,-0.020522197894784277,-0.056007217475274595,-0.06853583216427714,-0.0659929799698285,-0.0668202741889194,0.18926237048006228,0.11044967557411077,-0.10767035637600078,-0.056147405209491005,0.05740464759730298,0.4285017021278363,-0.04722368410825196,-0.044043311641733404;-0.1025276797389701,-0.09748403353921514,-0.1219618982560015,-0.06883465727222116,0.24278297203161278,-0.05462074988438126,0.42270394018543045,-0.13317411881696425,0.36843366423924256,0.4419294398263245,0.10606342831118955,-0.10660004838683494,0.14297533287964534,-0.13138547090163546,-0.0863485869257328,0.030441287558362694,-0.0399221667477866,0.3043767700458499,-0.04222709413803328,0.05441174774384087,0.09768860366658201,-0.15852259706851415,-0.07993506204515692,-0.07378338493125855,0.18733752061114733,-0.13296245116187802,-0.10405350462894267,-0.1305865804896938,-0.08876357340720288,-0.12925492961840043,-0.08563211002989492,-0.07888921518067822,0.1843589222304033,0.004490995783033815,-0.09082138066425001,0.15574500356946375,-0.08849608574953685,-0.013828031519338426,3.905419272455617E-4,0.1656173042264559,-0.12092321458695462,-0.1112814731072067,-0.10169893805215827,-0.02992963043419305,-0.09556186771719254,-0.12056297021035907,-0.12055256576495371,-0.12538106644281294,-0.0421329966022987,0.34365462998592605,0.005562419276657169,-0.13713537089488698,-0.08036010407574673,-0.10342006473492618,-0.13353979516172163,-0.13496359642093658,0.8151584222399153,-3.1111250719118315E-4,-0.03567283069343462,-0.13094164172736336,-0.11826528804081105,-0.10590438543816595,-0.11705357567258867,0.06429510953680691,0.13031093384052544,-0.11256258740061763,0.005285540118193372,-0.1238613397058172,0.0409516292734934,-0.13321923091020496,0.21791642775615563,0.03855908226316676,-0.10982573675014959,0.10816890045320252,0.44085285394367507,-0.1218451943451604,-0.12068080403062452,0.4381326293498133,-0.11792121271729314,-0.13316894386764405,-0.06201025489083218,-0.0448786534064291,-0.20083189659353315,-0.19309204988531156,-0.10676690329170728,-0.10141399191633352,-0.09463235527036853,-0.029487620305265846,-0.08465630500588416,-0.12186664006631213,-0.11666835290250932,-0.10833257744801936,0.30668957789282136,0.18926881720768268,-0.20832473171822186,-0.08520756452086874,0.1064961155805643,0.7358572153350622,-0.08545018865624258,-0.07399474389573468;0.046290839440589635,0.04278298409672663,0.06155722894475148,0.02060187274870288,-0.12246516892199923,0.03957546164897429,-0.033147518934081785,0.052444557939884236,-0.013445762206778568,-2.3486511796337172E-4,-0.11899269328650201,-0.016290536319445135,-0.26396876971424543,0.037167326302577935,-0.05010941699756501,-0.0499270663330385,-0.0038944825820981005,-0.081400092498209,0.025199549314883583,-0.08527509295651493,-0.11221308255001637,0.1355674504771972,-0.05922039318198611,0.024122832211768357,-0.2642547666478393,0.053282874810789714,-0.019152645629870832,0.11153720264673002,-0.04551873674207572,0.03493426864387458,-0.05368413291056643,-0.06245398171216206,-0.13174113606056112,-0.04596217744380797,-0.04398637839028118,-0.2646491718093501,-0.043905414562960536,-0.030709404355568015,-0.019899213262473417,-0.13067803212086884,0.1041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x_a{202}=[2.6616021933567504,4.576645767650739,12.721054226175989];
std_x_a{202}=[1.1154114534121116,1.8858708979961583,1.2900913147402948];
pred_a{202}=[2.6616021933567504];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.1 to 20.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{203}=[5.634794832694046,9.881102471727768,12.704199947970906];
std_x_f{203}=[2.0612633191977574,3.129633216036758,2.849646190256028];
pred_f{203}=[5.634794832694046];
obs{203}=[5.966909524066909];
sqrt_r{203}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{203}=[5.26353833876493];
L_f{203}=[-0.12137490553971991,-0.11539688900836371,-0.1451173743937811,-0.079954904281835,0.31566135248150234,-0.06352100598289125,0.5061593253373415,-0.15931033734157013,0.43910134610335294,0.5192893927858753,0.14650396760511897,-0.12470579126205497,0.21271902356162603,-0.15643674155852058,-0.09875879909076739,0.04531962667052669,-0.04378673795198854,0.3813670119932208,-0.047691437784273684,0.07853165577469207,0.13557134970057866,-0.19084754525177725,-0.0907924054952009,-0.08564106741689013,0.270478612753041,-0.15858693799229273,-0.12131747026216791,-0.15697719638033927,-0.10180691531624012,-0.1542696009812543,-0.09740641753343232,-0.0889551409835394,0.246131768121802,0.014353784373237855,-0.10440552613415897,0.22936417159435732,-0.10165559902126634,-0.00942241032408382,0.006740382285915133,0.22212399823081186,-0.14509805284572022,-0.1319360918053245,-0.12170633752612359,-0.030038679393958642,-0.11310897539780547,-0.1421718614643126,-0.1423745991680969,-0.14892918405199862,-0.04621087033317307,0.4183775388360474,0.016318177352004425,-0.16303220995472534,-0.09065499801446109,-0.12062060902138566,-0.15906005126281123,-0.16019583679146404,0.6331817690852275,0.006323327839886806,-0.03912043826453519,-0.1566027305559048,-0.1408177283750443,-0.12347564499499823,-0.13845131313313752,0.09243614960481143,0.19569699953270728,-0.13464295767679219,0.014740481907036133,-0.14624787301935271,0.06040425200240414,-0.15924943805857147,0.2860327345808395,0.07007973937100254,-0.12883805196557307,0.14977058039017255,0.49352477440503856,-0.14429271919649544,-0.1427607538962097,0.49247949413685915,-0.13987870753238188,-0.15844800581779112,-0.07115459043927998,-0.04915865000897182,-0.24085645077967513,-0.23163274823735533,-0.12668797631138504,-0.11990058229541395,-0.10908664384203738,-0.030457576077697238,-0.09593453868332173,-0.14522727892318787,-0.13896105232559272,-0.12656567417651748,0.38307451818234606,0.2525215637474621,-0.2497278148254629,-0.09637241672932108,0.14668143216679494,0.625081683546285,-0.10232014774731574,-0.08599396785083063;-0.19644198087202774,-0.1856194786766091,-0.24015139704344884,-0.1213763975654083,0.5421379743385916,-0.09609676733291982,0.7643078419670875,-0.2628813548993571,0.6766475837596865,0.7675910554908029,0.28277362106481657,-0.19271672064047113,0.42183991983287333,-0.2560060576842276,-0.14267998897952255,0.1031238932815375,-0.05490290736267071,0.621963757787029,-0.0674808034331738,0.1660387124457657,0.2632369454523069,-0.32955547845350197,-0.12685900625792176,-0.13146515035893724,0.5126532805268026,-0.2626162239170603,-0.18651561500805142,-0.2678142492609187,-0.14829816787776506,-0.2520047192730228,-0.1396909043070077,-0.1234858276960863,0.4410250515283275,0.04986205162227582,-0.1531233416754613,0.4488487138534001,-0.14846926273656535,0.007034369252857095,0.03307660723582993,0.4044809180407822,-0.24599647092127497,-0.21613896994329174,-0.2030638227991577,-0.02989943134757365,-0.18110102252240326,-0.22767134479957676,-0.22694631744810578,-0.24148308164071558,-0.059818943191353426,0.6587283667784588,0.05420499010705334,-0.2697851351294559,-0.12681210052390504,-0.18469172606812184,-0.26138272540080576,-0.2638601238105912,0.5361477645308388,0.03194065759640235,-0.0467619934546083,-0.2592439940211936,-0.23183085231997258,-0.19022224991221284,-0.22024037553384665,0.18933423293191418,0.39428107247333477,-0.22705093827107017,0.051196105195840606,-0.2352895078065704,0.1322368733593948,-0.26067686432867077,0.500701787092602,0.17481865990675,-0.2004708238593017,0.2877190330788206,0.7064699050164015,-0.2314416673495855,-0.22821206895041743,0.7071908846002256,-0.229993997006838,-0.2596465129948367,-0.10524289097563023,-0.06513992392370206,-0.42010253469700576,-0.4034209488019207,-0.20627012305691098,-0.19406928615391414,-0.16209001989353047,-0.03126579703186568,-0.1372079691553299,-0.23999627631786893,-0.2277731888758045,-0.19647018142497027,0.6248810646347981,0.4518389165519565,-0.43365668963767434,-0.1385480643718327,0.28338411557954,0.6151353726108603,-0.16768909495769532,-0.13192424758272675;-0.10158171437588852,-0.09974738339890224,-0.10740715734656071,-0.08998572768226032,0.24215649402414874,-0.061950870261530414,0.6275940686000887,-0.12276234426263463,0.5255064646776842,0.6783925950498361,0.02339933848200802,-0.1521944084513283,-0.010405933576147728,-0.13306742694364854,-0.1591778312990661,-0.03198001672022714,-0.07927168921598829,0.3748526876266567,-0.060418152049302606,-0.025412029953373935,0.015700830197544,-0.07891343323546689,-0.16011159554649934,-0.09188560997814453,0.06602959785228359,-0.12222513200385843,-0.15139083587320815,-0.07617695408905804,-0.1583536694285851,-0.1337585528787672,-0.160677118258153,-0.16152086760671638,0.13748338729319917,-0.059615773061556424,-0.15901284769798268,0.010334170216459116,-0.15633546490206154,-0.06973301619391667,-0.04670357408363913,0.10712557622171823,-0.07359727781051974,-0.10306758710706998,-0.07232469740693401,-0.07700638521866422,-0.09816876556226255,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k{203}=[0.8100137330367302;1.2041739408743104;0.9735980674924694];
x_a{203}=[5.90381229364932,10.281026328460484,13.027546169677384];
L_a{203}=[0.06718689105914845,0.06387776926287395,0.08032949793723243,0.04425891348578935,-0.17473385298592806,0.03516195452398076,-0.2801837109474285,0.08818599060463618,-0.24306387035594598,-0.2874518394567042,-0.08109704446276225,0.06903069769415172,-0.11775028617893746,0.0865953161075871,0.054667780346674556,-0.025086609183457047,0.02423808100639898,-0.2111051190886952,0.02639952155363443,-0.043471076478013466,-0.0750453107466582,0.10564336322009352,0.05025799550474547,0.04740648028636238,-0.14972301735733434,0.08778555401474929,0.06715509785017668,0.08689448403751823,0.05635506036444927,0.08539569879602496,0.05391917162925426,0.04924098057861278,-0.13624585920343782,-0.007945515118490877,0.0577935173597587,-0.12696418210384547,0.05627129946362155,0.005215760647917812,-0.003731128179478501,-0.12295639534707897,0.08031880252421536,0.07303301936653901,0.0673703547221278,0.016627864475182996,0.06261129822570613,0.0786990138151192,0.07881123895718745,0.08243951927241723,0.025579955733166942,-0.23159223892597455,-0.009032901810780062,0.09024622742775994,0.05018193380650451,0.06676935138916326,0.08804744513321101,0.08867615745426967,-0.3504967880386668,-0.0035002683365278663,0.02165505803837973,0.08668719906011879,0.0779494355399089,0.06834975213243136,0.07663951004623534,-0.05116788751191476,-0.10832777112978731,0.07453140077914948,-0.008159570939672484,0.0809552837012752,-0.033436680183176914,0.08815227990081136,-0.1583329774155363,-0.03879253123729316,0.07131810420936792,-0.08290527291283513,-0.27318987483859547,0.0798730113294364,0.07902499430912205,-0.2726112615643589,0.07742964200616584,0.08770864832463718,0.03938751338214477,0.027211694609202145,0.13332571545550354,0.12821994919255858,0.0701279331595577,0.06637078170968605,0.0603847428200442,0.016859744085966126,0.053104415370414104,0.08039033541934056,0.07692167538708376,0.07006023300213925,-0.21205030649626863,-0.13978292067988088,0.13823644528915394,0.05334680208489131,-0.08119527969614211,-0.346012998228453,0.05663915938212795,0.04760182777523968;0.08387573776411204,0.0808918938405559,0.09500001785276507,0.06328101792251052,-0.18688809407104784,0.05060623855959325,-0.40467702120580024,0.10504898556240126,-0.3374655646082831,-0.4317179553001206,-0.05558015797701891,0.09529374372898793,-0.06943882621557508,0.10528765710433277,0.08540538940463879,-0.0015426710402470047,0.04622342047783352,-0.2588108165753551,0.0426635050523235,-0.015331682773832353,-0.04986773867906097,0.11121066059637466,0.08282783028155875,0.06632457012006547,-0.11202236663148496,0.10364341159666433,0.09366945573105473,0.09472765651081425,0.08682689455527683,0.10428394195951789,0.08527112241568759,0.08195781051380556,-0.12742108168991434,0.016711705828726383,0.08800326327465254,-0.08087232718302785,0.08630633175323967,0.02879561021412346,0.01750956249358011,-0.10851880098287568,0.08911032048173112,0.08857001496738184,0.07801934449293538,0.03947548631859392,0.0801263687558396,0.1006773503669672,0.1018706044112096,0.10247178222639801,0.04690596580350023,-0.30752274331402013,0.016517840302295018,0.10674094293831511,0.08255739075089104,0.0938839300036494,0.10596957446605296,0.10611529495251827,-0.9261979172450564,0.017336808255523833,0.04358742397724967,0.10243307560384238,0.09339044598784277,0.09494716758980136,0.09951564048182279,-0.02414886278304162,-0.057684976101626415,0.08390960632049306,0.017152673883546337,0.10247281577980749,-0.007267928246365161,0.10711282804771238,-0.15989640869111132,0.012968130954815705,0.09708317743872741,-0.058179052090398094,-0.433335215625801,0.10180519023688929,0.10149668480729397,-0.4302001408152206,0.09305861429606106,0.10629225594413563,0.0590900275443403,0.048392939895812524,0.13616014992573708,0.13153941436859018,0.08631823645876621,0.08284345410932197,0.08984771797326585,0.03907657071970209,0.08435472457067185,0.09540896523892252,0.09316007977617463,0.09583571891779957,-0.2598370286729911,-0.13136457465862653,0.14309458378724194,0.08402591726701714,-0.055379521338983106,-0.828503003161894,0.06862128781458346,0.06668050335177272;0.12506061683905859,0.11573224827215159,0.16356928449821367,0.05931338664391246,-0.3472752709913868,0.056661365217160746,-0.3175529447015952,0.1747164968633621,-0.2944237530057226,-0.2912720817862699,-0.25016627710067346,0.08066765740945632,-0.40761436129350015,0.15904557315990822,0.025233636247620747,-0.11660497105263648,0.0024909150192759196,-0.33727069786456465,0.02863566505033906,-0.1720535244188129,-0.23745040073825205,0.27745456861939866,0.009424292836220687,0.0680312285214627,-0.43903282065623783,0.1739029116554744,0.07514424693532126,0.216945232717373,0.03174951968182438,0.15430776401364274,0.021209058681850166,0.004584312343071939,-0.32211637482506594,-0.08641847282590538,0.03594270534280045,-0.417955601183765,0.03348517257470343,-0.05213862934749159,-0.05928983273213566,-0.30764468089161484,0.1973430850715092,0.14329555760707846,0.15493651394393407,-0.02091541407276072,0.11303866443737329,0.12149968106910594,0.11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x_a{203}=[5.903812293649321,10.281026328460483,13.027546169677375];
std_x_a{203}=[1.1410091192683878,1.8140828331797925,1.96036657358845];
pred_a{203}=[5.903812293649321];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.2 to 20.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{204}=[11.703950916342551,18.18409347639118,21.78611021704171];
std_x_f{204}=[1.7333157330361064,2.3043384664628226,3.6522245870349224];
pred_f{204}=[11.703950916342551];
obs{204}=[12.447152656760602];
sqrt_r{204}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{204}=[4.009081332690915];
L_f{204}=[0.06854124524999666,0.06714811692711722,0.07097632331957245,0.06060185185541162,-0.15207790485023792,0.0485319526264059,-0.4003999703443794,0.07819749820873036,-0.3242652568980484,-0.43061906390901533,-0.01590209537611371,0.0871151314586998,-0.01532511815567657,0.08147456971566812,0.08841694193501022,0.023975023251313447,0.05333866496587466,-0.23386273438705377,0.04585543402840483,0.017035956822608316,-0.011013557954882906,0.06265032397028769,0.08811819046723958,0.06184855250384108,-0.062246653910236295,0.07757739744289308,0.08675609917127566,0.06032279736722355,0.08836379591704648,0.08189902113092666,0.08864964906405151,0.08873527574646212,-0.08737166496644175,0.038394173875140415,0.08837613091424176,-0.028537610702838473,0.08747967592062948,0.04563298315324032,0.034482009542025356,-0.06752546881007752,0.058684693496026244,0.06891339043690396,0.056652231372543764,0.050695116142148444,0.06677073893481644,0.08486364423484882,0.08603245340841577,0.08264725208362146,0.0533570107406214,-0.2897967820222658,0.03890561202258572,0.07880611584861319,0.08774919871715675,0.08788931762211548,0.08034952066476628,0.08043114255080591,-0.922187009196924,0.035470543810983586,0.05163449704842756,0.07578607149898917,0.07170244002483565,0.08712100778780672,0.08525686077802197,0.011070068163356558,-0.0038581645540089683,0.0584305722461616,0.03934095965692743,0.08413333183994504,0.02320662432555364,0.08201895020373545,-0.12317837402761947,0.059394853496225426,0.08747546243674517,-0.018650093375491204,-0.43151743118245645,0.08466448142130979,0.08483732129726036,-0.4277004383657436,0.07188331425255474,0.08213597544220277,0.0588416192287251,0.054433189418228556,0.0666023627406559,0.06576085254589494,0.06949323087154134,0.06762503653404793,0.0891827201203789,0.04990324110404226,0.0886583590640655,0.07138934474018942,0.0715191863189564,0.08642721215412011,-0.23577347765751067,-0.09182981835141255,0.07087007790832016,0.08816776595756906,-0.01599315883604168,-0.8346129295329167,0.05458071574761538,0.061984302354662145;0.028148718982208092,0.031891948447251996,0.009503542183132797,0.0560989643882994,-0.009896574740837029,0.04722939669833006,-0.40137740574172304,0.008424850733471951,-0.28407609050137345,-0.45856606083551565,0.12533203275334076,0.06579943009313863,0.1934563938007302,0.01900238726553697,0.09569609201488198,0.10890163501434727,0.07901455829403028,-0.1322949873535451,0.05913853963478334,0.12738726914608,0.1256395668152381,-0.057738357355451644,0.10424911826972133,0.052425994205574464,0.1473425996992196,0.008051985837963316,0.06853604683846186,-0.027049103662926465,0.09324328481899782,0.021742954999227408,0.09829674945152027,0.1071916581093992,0.06738936669341451,0.10895436358197295,0.0905339100810531,0.18130553379921274,0.09044468039059174,0.09763992194071458,0.09227878862204336,0.08717876261160186,-0.01724482740570708,0.01843425687983788,0.0033503289764803892,0.08812720379278781,0.032832758446263766,0.04174082315189291,0.044848803040907506,0.029027886168516082,0.07658961675992805,-0.2249657133812501,0.1114984394265661,0.006251605101805421,0.10447093619258235,0.0704711184536487,0.014204335132807165,0.012982366621949371,-1.4461051978248833,0.09263452887822622,0.07957955577090779,0.005739228033565315,0.01540452986575903,0.06690343617267785,0.045856971632475325,0.12967853107703015,0.2023675571900183,-0.006895822113072594,0.11001589286135961,0.0366692505781983,0.12226553475621474,0.0169705764836054,0.02692439022801248,0.21239913937212151,0.06182098343832205,0.12404353714727354,-0.4793955847763853,0.038992931223992236,0.041469470733768915,-0.471624575921427,0.016381209239557805,0.017669582809483,0.06170397468834616,0.07541986663698705,-0.10499730421537991,-0.09633327770303039,0.024604013685334485,0.028307944597434076,0.08587721940138114,0.08548035173274447,0.09958203589096523,0.009723384264992077,0.01629167695716059,0.06279143844068594,-0.13549575285449267,0.06447819288177295,-0.10508018890235736,0.09798803730088673,0.12550280406761696,-1.2669732114604138,0.01859055309045786,0.053680181259057734;0.2198690195677972,0.20928435275459562,0.2587493956908747,0.1471783052789521,-0.601236402832054,0.11875274882016656,-0.944620058871265,0.2843094139039641,-0.8250702554574566,-0.9617035716968686,-0.27065775039715084,0.22394718465385235,-0.40013397470055395,0.27841848543218406,0.1797636040216973,-0.07892459634690045,0.08319748048665543,-0.7259067309879554,0.08889596222090416,-0.14011541996984278,-0.2500689381874735,0.3381228293393831,0.16564037312822547,0.157008247051849,-0.5149683872519262,0.2819597257721153,0.21801912401924028,0.280853394873734,0.1841258209835276,0.2747387985439529,0.17679995765016215,0.16250205158471706,-0.4658465457087867,-0.02293448285821654,0.18865209825672874,-0.4327369868605233,0.18458095066202895,0.020784724239922343,-0.007933081821134112,-0.4176178921199622,0.2607144892870671,0.23663749757132105,0.21991608066401772,0.05798462745465204,0.2063181173790045,0.253686681979153,0.25411119334617027,0.26589977822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k{204}=[0.7505662976089349;0.8916615081091903;1.3419130916530317];
x_a{204}=[12.261773095024644,18.846777861081716,22.78342236224801];
L_a{204}=[-0.04835631869487295,-0.04737345710666629,-0.05007428297681446,-0.042755022193296174,0.1072920050775852,-0.03423962549158787,0.28248492569357525,-0.05516887139606351,0.22877136309742752,0.30380470349673405,0.011219037371131627,-0.061460322826026224,0.010811975984234294,-0.05748086782386936,-0.062378759047066336,-0.016914543364785973,-0.037630794019590776,0.1649917633335573,-0.032351323260637256,-0.012018984399560173,0.007770140686651717,-0.04420023332220403,-0.06216798783721467,-0.04363457805273041,0.04391544132579041,-0.05473138605207248,-0.061207023084401846,-0.04255814733765488,-0.062341264166828114,-0.05778032120893529,-0.06254293552290144,-0.0626033457347134,0.06164130897547591,-0.027087353040653215,-0.06234996659196356,0.020133480109726234,-0.06171751144457588,-0.03219438264226698,-0.02432729426744552,0.04763968144860884,-0.04140245381965696,-0.04861886967703263,-0.03996853784950066,-0.035765752190553335,-0.04710721434440674,-0.059871883145117766,-0.060696486034726084,-0.058308203278686174,-0.03764373708952086,0.20445361762986014,-0.02744817616197776,-0.05559825531592286,-0.06190766162636595,-0.062006516474985084,-0.05668713800098194,-0.05674472280148294,0.6506092608960914,-0.025024711975224167,-0.03642849186378559,-0.05346759331072579,-0.05058656329330583,-0.06146446861652089,-0.06014930011366588,-0.007810009026371737,0.0027219615586270593,-0.04122316953468712,-0.02775531690435132,-0.05935664274080377,-0.016372432651691728,-0.05786493199247689,0.08690318784069803,-0.04190347657126774,-0.06171453880279228,0.013157768810079075,0.3044385077706585,-0.05973137241397287,-0.059853312132082136,0.30174559315511873,-0.05071417130170096,-0.05794749410097131,-0.04151316600053635,-0.0384029885288138,-0.04698842378441958,-0.046394732569525296,-0.04902795108118905,-0.047709927160872474,-0.06291902080983706,-0.035207078919160244,-0.062549080487659,-0.050365672422254586,-0.050457276546746394,-0.06097499103773895,0.16633980581795177,0.0647865667700778,-0.049999326110366546,-0.06220296368571417,0.01128328326677714,0.5888251469629826,-0.038507069366179696,-0.04373035050368526;-0.1107238343064571,-0.10415796445092369,-0.13430276315141076,-0.06668745232307262,0.2982309894478838,-0.05110199708844771,0.4098796120673082,-0.15001239675777803,0.37292312222067797,0.41391836342175636,0.15755153182234666,-0.11070598196381454,0.2245068697581888,-0.14607458913373117,-0.08344693982974451,0.060325442943118694,-0.02905579505018551,0.34153817580160784,-0.03376991544883382,0.09287043460299639,0.14795431917213908,-0.18467521737866976,-0.07428860827330584,-0.07288638335758195,0.27346157712166147,-0.1491288652114949,-0.10724192394884702,-0.14927012344957113,-0.08579206699756921,-0.1441940094491195,-0.08131777416511239,-0.07259635514799805,0.24441454554325684,0.031163291388840116,-0.08852643387782275,0.23912605994527555,-0.08679934124415332,0.005182178263093916,0.022414217440716658,0.2239932344156436,-0.13614685778217256,-0.1211923059415021,-0.11143369619711736,-0.014587011454503902,-0.10245254264548008,-0.13020281331530348,-0.12946297706955676,-0.13842508141737722,-0.031517907262641205,0.3621963509711292,0.032671133924191485,-0.15341877267937107,-0.07331917004839832,-0.10760288502358198,-0.1485931607331873,-0.14998050470049087,0.42235318967166835,0.020767072026485024,-0.02503795470380199,-0.14781218782406333,-0.1298729725629963,-0.10961388201209757,-0.12688336739164988,0.10724928244990559,0.2101846483541606,-0.12528297321232484,0.030306522299782982,-0.13379468783844847,0.07524620848710792,-0.14920937824736247,0.27649813591601535,0.0920582420461073,-0.11541450118687298,0.1618308005195655,0.39490903630688085,-0.13254717816493974,-0.13042083239319321,0.394946372737184,-0.12926276546054066,-0.1487474786972068,-0.05751600551668025,-0.034868120845343076,-0.23994145550876775,-0.22957243124012336,-0.1161973734533109,-0.10870826302279359,-0.09481736831981338,-0.015629432372010258,-0.08005013520109182,-0.13491975061699812,-0.1286145321001038,-0.11232016890882289,0.3422087989175384,0.25053611021287947,-0.24867122864780947,-0.08065013496496733,0.1579068083224476,0.42404988141189537,-0.09199633993355771,-0.0719072413273297;0.010871663918210695,0.004534952252315137,0.04232695058624071,-0.03761009094951677,-0.1375173698541602,-0.02923186579303718,0.27628765441764974,0.04586801581689423,0.16368594489373556,0.35134881480451097,-0.22216875853869858,-0.04168604166888133,-0.3534043134889496,0.029984574417657454,-0.08983912921783441,-0.15202972367404202,-0.07944385891544059,-0.012807736454029897,-0.050927357579390105,-0.1920618051558613,-0.21648617381737212,0.1470881903767846,-0.10305140107441137,-0.03158161408811913,-0.3251646272264982,0.04540915152146121,-0.04651933376827344,0.09691589725238547,-0.08531485833974903,0.025010641662325396,-0.09351235088863741,-0.108071351571368,-0.1994310922094381,-0.1400067768176727,-0.0808261931902606,-0.3457195253058569,-0.08216385203026279,-0.11836029383851447,-0.11307632492215522,-0.21171786260006434,0.0817719312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x_a{204}=[12.261773095024639,18.846777861081733,22.783422362248015];
std_x_a{204}=[1.2228661396480114,1.7791963266258888,2.9250659583206526];
pred_a{204}=[12.261773095024639];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.3 to 20.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{205}=[14.813869764087197,11.173334628910958,38.782765523840276];
std_x_f{205}=[1.0735455794710833,2.9547092366542085,2.104709476483936];
pred_f{205}=[14.813869764087197];
obs{205}=[15.387665214301315];
sqrt_r{205}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{205}=[2.1539109049383276];
L_f{205}=[-0.03756053429363786,-0.03281387016976773,-0.05568657800886458,-0.005838013768017488,0.14349822766907966,-0.002329060575499857,0.027154566960610332,-0.06281903592405993,0.05893739183681945,0.0015526691582116955,0.12961838904235148,-0.021306750671058472,0.19231151941433405,-0.05666898915817983,0.002992534776926076,0.07476545598664484,0.020524090852036252,0.11242479827324771,0.010187736375909088,0.0986982664448263,0.12483401041764851,-0.1059309678747767,0.010776483188378198,-0.00990887955871449,0.19781346491935078,-0.06210360741329325,-0.018518611797929387,-0.0774643750570709,0.001594622910399712,-0.05433851858299622,0.0047934023211373905,0.012780684255577955,0.14881784050243735,0.060605552103707334,-0.001331579856188725,0.19373392106792262,3.372173774466139E-5,0.04523314419975634,0.04907181085497899,0.14679064345051193,-0.06782738683874853,-0.045520716336056276,-0.048025800901994084,0.031238978340119468,-0.031176689729976968,-0.03967549175652162,-0.038394293304145406,-0.04892722379229006,0.018837800649453673,0.08121928670887617,0.06334092485732605,-0.06506649842319522,0.011141397335334043,-0.01763350389180763,-0.06016730263524543,-0.060691010337492315,-0.5841149407274845,0.05012791716317788,0.0229384910736161,-0.06277727129348797,-0.05098595825734697,-0.0203085186407936,-0.03591301292515924,0.10651308636136438,0.18815538571146603,-0.05893582444124918,0.06126371433262987,-0.04400723795627746,0.08838291014411973,-0.058822282841654285,0.1474720048835534,0.13339032412634252,-0.02537064893290163,0.13031199194948992,-0.023355305273236843,-0.04177961911375006,-0.040592756052533166,-0.019493280868622984,-0.050117470326519906,-0.05796589850080631,5.457728132979658E-4,0.01687201261758125,-0.1487044989215054,-0.1403855132921962,-0.040640848407000565,-0.03585145750332419,-0.005759651553935804,0.029766706794317165,0.006675328761535776,-0.05528521177846362,-0.04981353523012794,-0.0237009235568082,0.11128948185546304,0.1501666470232668,-0.15242543056990177,0.0061242245294246276,0.12983934327871774,-0.458381604147752,-0.03213831172750255,-0.009806376533188412;0.06433488427940477,0.06642505499805032,0.04837851328578382,0.08484329400104688,-0.10097414609568713,0.07016056814516426,-0.5598217579033401,0.0512046081855539,-0.42708681917142477,-0.6242529692103641,0.09782641934184164,0.10896728984970752,0.15269638654725523,0.06360222119518233,0.13728062871240726,0.10952551324476932,0.10122692548213677,-0.24990187893670335,0.07861520930062871,0.12097299540610175,0.10096910273141693,-0.02021416000561337,0.1442028713134384,0.08274974414180104,0.08227235173567643,0.05087207699389849,0.11151414686556389,0.007982020080313776,0.13497050455950216,0.06652195275850124,0.1390781501029962,0.14750014432016342,0.003375041651956348,0.11858524893349909,0.13229102494771977,0.13332816946370257,0.13254370188845246,0.11429732163958413,0.10090423251811632,0.03193534385094289,0.016051800547203603,0.05600087205872559,0.03446494473211846,0.10793695706417814,0.06757463415014757,0.08629522829954873,0.08880822141619213,0.07384890886123803,0.09930806421127192,-0.3581873698179661,0.12115588333871963,0.04962614116012108,0.14387687209806854,0.11486294083233232,0.057424383883762385,0.057565714845441845,-1.8388698522999596,0.10344829826537892,0.10125921420370738,0.048672999799180654,0.05434924580159755,0.11066965028649636,0.0912745774926249,0.11898957134562001,0.16692583276616244,0.02562324134156989,0.12084713542662692,0.0806711298200296,0.12140256607320392,0.0612218135542447,-0.05341073573045093,0.21992272283446962,0.10594259082439418,0.09380046890998867,-0.6498862257692,0.08410946656159558,0.08520284846231255,-0.640654608178844,0.05565085410119168,0.06292569002396357,0.08941711237767394,0.09944556156655987,-0.06169922896426249,-0.054692954027311114,0.062381740194159756,0.06468030480512521,0.13016693271164304,0.10502137104186107,0.1415475707740368,0.04967927862364178,0.05482883420049436,0.10596856691060273,-0.2533072665997092,-0.002688877531434073,-0.06059900756258938,0.1406652165170669,0.09765270065529859,-1.5961411848422091,0.04799794784545338,0.08327075655775995;-0.134368994034043,-0.12593094591992662,-0.16232346858346228,-0.08028350904496706,0.39338165147744186,-0.05841446959479632,0.4598108931761888,-0.18177738631881873,0.4399204824049909,0.4514920122733693,0.21723436837648444,-0.13773425545505513,0.31501394746122163,-0.178626662327473,-0.10584440179602939,0.08482743180660451,-0.03262370246626868,0.43084695626864755,-0.03800442742734408,0.12903296901920489,0.20379183702689257,-0.2149821719771885,-0.09513282459984056,-0.08795496025212017,0.3803513342423906,-0.1804996534488962,-0.1345210026554189,-0.1758637344706945,-0.10830634418932177,-0.17685784643092783,-0.10390790705992868,-0.09242652968693972,0.3310415313718149,0.045434114277697925,-0.11187290775135618,0.33489074889819076,-0.10959237038941039,0.012222632397022738,0.03442311487259234,0.30513146495236165,-0.16053544596847072,-0.14629400298917314,-0.1320271538010342,-0.014191464218363507,-0.124140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k{205}=[0.5357282431194001;0.879628110421573;0.4403656018838184];
x_a{205}=[15.121268192540311,11.678061236551297,39.03544530263201];
L_a{205}=[0.09574080297656634,0.08364168236431482,0.1419436063370632,0.014880941830290168,-0.3657731659338756,0.0059367134646215285,-0.06921626899567664,0.16012405187223355,-0.15022984432778452,-0.0039577123904043195,-0.3303938264143842,0.054310340798697385,-0.4901969483828827,0.14444774622903767,-0.007627891558686695,-0.19057515889178878,-0.05231536173517071,-0.2865678208145837,-0.02596826907513739,-0.25157925624671834,-0.3181985725425411,0.2700152198349815,-0.027468969042156524,0.02525747046442041,-0.504221261148658,0.15830044362540577,0.047203448962795824,0.1974546318234379,-0.0040646513889542575,0.1385074387127218,-0.012218255034065557,-0.032577624259893884,-0.3793327175688047,-0.15448194048267064,0.0033941616395090192,-0.4938226123685202,-8.595581266754217E-5,-0.1152980815710343,-0.12508274078427234,-0.3741654461975895,0.17289020515461437,0.11603109529836318,0.12241648923318038,-0.07962732497543845,0.07946855296477653,0.10113177330129021,0.09786603252018511,0.12471419220683091,-0.04801705285637194,-0.2070258017604638,-0.16145433288327707,0.16585277401033616,-0.028399125497704607,0.04494733244990151,0.1533648542429867,0.15469977124779152,1.4888934491363561,-0.12777472767628803,-0.058469603688007146,0.1600175949396532,0.12996185160536797,0.05176587390194524,0.09154131482482537,-0.27149902437561196,-0.47960307410836356,0.1502258490781614,-0.15615957850009804,0.11217327915988937,-0.22528568737737667,0.14993643456047967,-0.37590221836932364,-0.34000838862730637,0.06466910938708356,-0.33216180177802435,0.0595320519974946,0.10649513797472983,0.10346985559680096,0.04968785450226746,0.12774809896748487,0.14775353365155328,-0.0013911603860431812,-0.043006311444073346,0.3790438128933753,0.35783893977112374,0.10359244172930242,0.09138441169165971,0.014681198630671369,-0.075874543960858,-0.01701523548003037,0.14092053449027192,0.12697337649006096,0.06041302381045715,-0.28367392945985925,-0.382770789518333,0.3885283687054244,-0.01561048544922358,-0.3309570328865124,1.1684025181246132,0.0819197018617352,0.024996192978464782;0.28320630822545434,0.25763688476306107,0.37287338144178417,0.11886236243157969,-0.9371619696801304,0.0837323879875292,-0.7180558951188436,0.41726148416417763,-0.7705247152925117,-0.6333006283016356,-0.6574812969303919,0.23312523772607588,-0.967934533300263,0.3938217610363649,0.11984263534646009,-0.3261451214124291,-0.01837033463309382,-0.9050197080002025,0.019249590325397987,-0.45415807032649613,-0.6264592507474289,0.5970630490319282,0.08140652762642857,0.14049041848287658,-1.0704193113840852,0.4127600331254577,0.21942514999534268,0.4593797009888044,0.12567837403953522,0.3831614564567691,0.1111462047432266,0.07302499068804276,-0.863811042675436,-0.23457329200402385,0.1400503602368153,-0.9955913192553422,0.13234719976469628,-0.1492836648064637,-0.18504529720568472,-0.8234379291382126,0.4112931627674164,0.3212575887397886,0.31431920205958647,-0.07409771844042147,0.2492463436572205,0.3174908579629035,0.3125380965341821,0.35895590594033633,-0.010462904964108689,-0.8314655397950436,-0.24794212547024833,0.42877935154137964,0.07895411353266868,0.2176162743122523,0.4080291729375669,0.41122223499620475,1.5648641794292422,-0.18865533698063974,-0.03240715393702765,0.41448650639193857,0.35145282792315446,0.22901073559683768,0.30054562288491293,-0.5016797380563274,-0.9294866109929859,0.3690520039903361,-0.23614662529519434,0.33710855853505683,-0.3936192183484275,0.4039889505885782,-0.9127544140899311,-0.5573646808514495,0.25378154367230604,-0.665548985819736,-0.5137910125891816,0.3275661931316157,0.3217435283593356,-0.5270640477320387,0.34769361390818754,0.4007025343574226,0.08623680424191352,0.0011295632483138288,0.804826395290413,0.7633565698545849,0.29920266216710556,0.2735926566089968,0.1637293716052913,-0.06843413550987365,0.10264932987247344,0.3718353196030921,0.3451005141071232,0.24407775479278246,-0.9018094197772569,-0.8777346797620323,0.8276090986803254,0.10497835080739733,-0.6589425523692694,1.074923971637384,0.2352731872238236,0.14041412887484736;-0.02479604473962187,-0.030205136905682786,1.2743109872611334E-4,-0.06325264410619393,-0.025236568947785115,-0.05162004983633897,0.38059460819403074,0.0014805775913851087,0.2679861910342968,0.4469625096413315,-0.16089308474038563,-0.0755774316820717,-0.2460041733350323,-0.013309837304376406,-0.11457433249431143,-0.13328106084033192,-0.09249732270455151,0.10287726807609478,-0.06772446049757397,-0.1588931840024803,-0.1603784537037471,0.09404347927979927,-0.12657037116776448,-0.05904841837591858,-0.19671726099942963,6.712365309636643E-4,-0.08049783845667921,0.05011814251475064,-0.1129582358248077,-0.018339554468368654,-0.11789139369980632,-0.1297108041047733,-0.10309525603381216,-0.13136659456484776,-0.10798837482850175,-0.23027685345353005,-0.10969074466255353,-0.1197331320519047,-0.1087309467965684,-0.12309150988489513,0.03733306039391499,-0.013499322702069692,0.008075449796634136,-0.10532294181960784,-0.03319097162948394,-0.045663468922544095,-0.0482041823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x_a{205}=[15.121268192540324,11.67806123655132,39.035445302632034];
std_x_a{205}=[2.7364391306838884,5.074987622105218,2.955213468425197];
pred_a{205}=[15.121268192540324];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.4 to 20.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{206}=[7.137416525813733,-1.8004117477888277,34.428477849886306];
std_x_f{206}=[2.02077633075617,3.444298113779327,2.9627563505972887];
pred_f{206}=[7.137416525813733];
obs{206}=[7.068955902261861];
sqrt_r{206}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{206}=[5.101721619292099];
L_f{206}=[0.13485043695786914,0.128676995407973,0.15147581790648112,0.0944366803141144,-0.3856637348409726,0.07886966041834921,-0.35492308463540745,0.16356114345462977,-0.35401642543555506,-0.3347361265495357,-0.2157630388227178,0.13561555740729053,-0.3739623020161817,0.16172963835016022,0.10996761356876648,-0.06148761819975892,0.05413273229315008,-0.3884495860378277,0.06079309280372668,-0.11475938029123058,-0.19926013633064765,0.17374925433553343,0.10089841562141547,0.1005220208999105,-0.4396621756590849,0.1631796409318412,0.1334652594573915,0.15726318335308453,0.11175770224154709,0.1613807647920144,0.10819522938657997,0.09857271152877889,-0.33474055250679097,-0.022031320539617597,0.11544719014753244,-0.39257734647058967,0.11306964413174289,0.010243847253863307,-0.006868890179528216,-0.30981939460899,0.149268881207798,0.14185595207473103,0.13325719262348723,0.036588967473735405,0.12666238526884235,0.1513941110932378,0.15067157003419288,0.15734474332491247,0.056509644784316096,-0.3699145961599532,-0.026158963322401824,0.16544364185426774,0.09946290987386165,0.13382637642129822,0.1623937889837029,0.16349516015850135,-0.5528886535225592,-0.007341300311134847,0.049415378014235394,0.16157873325686903,0.14857940247590895,0.13442794107534276,0.14912424667126886,-0.1368217880340977,-0.3505207259866441,0.1432242464489481,-0.021611880463613193,0.15379646848592035,-0.08813008621687539,0.16393361250078273,-0.36680400281304903,-0.1455792304976909,0.14044236270544033,-0.22045299603707716,-0.2976849977214737,0.1529254402483981,0.15181304687141842,-0.3001296278953705,0.14880970443883318,0.16380743578149415,0.08502539763878804,0.060619130325014745,0.188669748674265,0.18618325240750946,0.13843682585065076,0.13274000908495825,0.12196557189301001,0.03765407729306546,0.10622249877428284,0.1514328321004627,0.14825027683749709,0.13764542916490022,-0.38781275949560806,-0.34262906017712397,0.1919604643568992,0.10680593341979151,-0.21566619413792792,-0.4035094662485078,0.1167842402732441,0.1000741769557078;0.04674648800454855,0.058637961033881504,-0.004303773481033464,0.12080244151582009,-0.06805967328453384,0.11569102623708051,-0.3075015060454378,-0.021164304647647125,-0.2277076113552312,-0.34713945776714505,0.14054983716827404,0.10682042242401159,0.061650238441380074,0.0012321238516302213,0.1678461300742474,0.19603698796179744,0.165363106143938,-0.14539907788440518,0.13875261199981398,0.19526263272937466,0.15082360786628188,-0.18252489851689505,0.18539759752227936,0.11274488731846881,-0.024580732143180215,-0.019638744789131694,0.11521225828130749,-0.08301151893660354,0.16469977641320926,0.008966438473848969,0.17223982811085348,0.18928083442641908,0.01805587274109093,0.2027361287108704,0.1581431278014314,0.037693154284271245,0.16061490479035975,0.19592421514066866,0.18549344676794255,0.04986556158510716,-0.052333146746286884,0.024892922466608243,0.007207017722165158,0.18074631160916385,0.06377538665488651,0.055607611238346684,0.05999679443631262,0.02653499757370334,0.1630093965924976,-0.19366940593358828,0.20644645306756534,-0.028491163950096054,0.18445742335307697,0.11838231678529354,-0.012010603908562642,-0.012745162305695645,-2.4632097721636597,0.18863887368207968,0.16852083319878672,-0.02243500759225598,0.010317180013458833,0.11146698628604274,0.06783251522406859,0.187732912226145,0.08747195044638141,-0.024526635837755197,0.204744428673731,0.04141086820603554,0.20107953037809512,-0.005564986928505211,-0.03180976473278477,0.24945565239398218,0.0977468217091066,0.13565979276269194,-0.37034811999470435,0.04924358536882235,0.05203449454147588,-0.36276525227831913,0.013861665627168835,-0.0019811642122909315,0.13196363137829534,0.16039671225282123,-0.34928974596357176,-0.315435618716803,0.039431773386511215,0.05142703101128348,0.14931091541709984,0.17655789026621063,0.1765637673726306,-0.0028299271329403227,0.014472670171311267,0.10077155735589834,-0.14636651937889403,0.00990046982753317,-0.3627559352549482,0.17494887103928472,0.1404708630896436,-1.8811156486709069,0.05059640359341185,0.11234395433398282;0.18664975305424542,0.1692383315600995,0.2479326395531378,0.07081794258614939,-0.5207815464916158,0.049261377466233526,-0.2575103009155544,0.27668176037824005,-0.3212093646283175,-0.20067555229806394,-0.45708145534510386,0.1459300419210605,-0.650186767970138,0.25984483079272847,0.0615777331690278,-0.24629955224436684,-0.02933325979143809,-0.4458175275799759,0.002206755139086483,-0.3373576035924355,-0.4394374851595257,0.3906228463714453,0.032181515456133604,0.08614375937238525,-0.6608461132657254,0.2728982337874095,0.13569536292180878,0.30600716848254006,0.06546083474898089,0.252792482736715,0.05452907775787712,0.025778391528869408,-0.5295562733208298,-0.18573602104586984,0.07638795559455767,-0.6526081687816714,0.07096047847927613,-0.12544065468293134,-0.14561657195664843,-0.5220177121722931,0.27515079280922455,0.21248999504297697,0.2105796018002573,-0.07009411956952728,0.16288996730787317,0.20650641694227134,0.2030339389216689,0.235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k{206}=[0.8039877369595176;0.5437669420801194;0.9115881184943112];
x_a{206}=[7.082375024013426,-1.8376383717105276,34.366069958871705];
L_a{206}=[-0.07656864285335484,-0.07306333688717545,-0.086008603782462,-0.05362154257970267,0.21898148378826074,-0.04478252348877957,0.20152681386082666,-0.09287070224159996,0.201012008970095,0.19006457451742942,0.12251115705122086,-0.077003081448833,0.21233736122517363,-0.09183076597300618,-0.062440071524672326,0.03491292712170979,-0.03073679210194502,0.22056330176487732,-0.03451857269319588,0.06516085673743037,0.11314073990267388,-0.09865555426721129,-0.05729054294869861,-0.0570768244495007,0.2496420246282715,-0.09265408351144226,-0.07578213326751143,-0.0892946941203171,-0.06345649136990263,-0.09163267410562147,-0.061433704363347025,-0.05596999842493609,0.19006708759449525,0.012509476068756166,-0.06555139805436104,0.2229070614255087,-0.06420141746952018,-0.005816499371599675,0.003900184610596041,0.17591674977123006,-0.0847554958823797,-0.08054640367554942,-0.07566399204784423,-0.020775368964838822,-0.0719194328130658,-0.08596221031171714,-0.085551948472416,-0.08934100421389123,-0.03208641296885144,0.21003905688836372,0.014853168927237391,-0.09393959271674883,-0.056475456773391976,-0.07598717699196222,-0.09220787348417019,-0.0928332366497229,0.3139324929474831,0.004168421061758343,-0.028058258586271118,-0.0917450814290504,-0.08436400697090146,-0.07632874792185933,-0.08467337178681418,0.07768798425038356,0.1990271361831425,-0.08132332695159633,0.012271316237001204,-0.08732627890026672,0.0500406320395061,-0.09308219172589254,0.20827284895894035,0.0826604967570593,-0.07974376171160584,0.12517413439890263,0.16902678840008978,-0.0868317054191674,-0.08620008380105583,0.17041485965084968,-0.08449477338994595,-0.09301054805625672,-0.04827777686254631,-0.03441979606923462,-0.1071274734392252,-0.10571563044560645,-0.07860500948634151,-0.07537033306872191,-0.06925256250818643,-0.021380142780895263,-0.06031357965996117,-0.0859841962617817,-0.084177128055045,-0.0781556511338321,0.22020170898719932,0.19454621528649096,-0.1089959555852215,-0.06064485629508397,0.12245616823361533,0.22911436481872707,-0.06631058071525688,-0.056822536782428226;-0.0962441339184955,-0.07780656236297695,-0.16492335987152223,0.020665134176713645,0.34088447656129794,0.03206043483156282,0.06884634830165566,-0.1945987417368552,0.1476788537239906,0.007802861999922434,0.3693373131695957,-0.036981506094523185,0.4581866038205556,-0.1702602501649516,0.05124037179625488,0.26123627811832223,0.1079626762186758,0.26649908979191905,0.07428977194727426,0.3169494105369462,0.3621119912127272,-0.36676244714171097,0.07840849517874361,0.006154900591691081,0.44162144970939127,-0.19266865013020876,-0.026309570534829615,-0.24976782244254475,0.046195871578240864,-0.16215600239177547,0.0575134431757641,0.0847578262396191,0.3730028856363012,0.22609735984080775,0.03572702081009021,0.45396825276441893,0.04071986329289315,0.18506200273143358,0.19277697436228539,0.3783870622814777,-0.21061257571342074,-0.12552609928998157,-0.13409418440077928,0.1419486678445682,-0.07053291558299549,-0.10492533614447774,-0.09976999602682704,-0.14030778923447149,0.10308857294040837,0.19857491567620417,0.23418449024946145,-0.2039217355940438,0.07899048040514582,-0.02352242765515179,-0.1842072197079913,-0.18610963304727515,-1.876946247885388,0.1964233282296079,0.11612251848642534,-0.1937673671985928,-0.14723115015340674,-0.031075635983717095,-0.09029354840887434,0.3328138849317129,0.4591516997779041,-0.17639654843279426,0.22766090041927003,-0.12166945377497686,0.29452954895103944,-0.1793943769875224,0.3571361939850688,0.4038227065730253,-0.05117328000229386,0.36942033310108546,-0.05469350350538454,-0.11291312915339731,-0.10894267748621626,-0.04451843663248776,-0.14393086857530474,-0.17567676095205412,0.04180571448980356,0.09611833584447418,-0.5493484577453231,-0.5128577380216326,-0.10736172815491299,-0.08932576802531685,0.019982947546814876,0.13663084181507373,0.06392919603119823,-0.1634039328988854,-0.1427266668384758,-0.04518277520071437,0.2648563800121854,0.37321217655149186,-0.5663040052668014,0.06169564628674886,0.36915564842106197,-1.4532485180012729,-0.07323746394309816,0.0062288454463187565;-0.05306425291773433,-0.05950158757950224,-0.021335120621708767,-0.09705540999233882,0.16478537433140344,-0.09093959388426319,0.37341115806694,-0.0140692212527395,0.30810039094593455,0.3943609907707752,-0.07353488668963332,-0.09514406411525413,0.01457935011674374,-0.027650414813549715,-0.13390385198878305,-0.1369973978809752,-0.12556115793502298,0.24470160226442494,-0.10586079095244504,-0.1333580364196018,-0.08522694948832445,0.08176118651321483,-0.14717840320984707,-0.09254706923683201,0.12070998532165457,-0.017174578012688707,-0.10155631178071098,0.026451621434132273,-0.13320286339620827,-0.034082595222446485,-0.13780186642302672,-0.14944728881109406,0.06548813745661951,-0.14657251351452594,-0.12883428211402387,0.04524858644498283,-0.13003536521320205,-0.1436504114859875,-0.13340623568587484,0.028726133268401264,0.00980614663313483,-0.039677215608531886,-0.026302207328295833,-0.13513571799050858,-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x_a{206}=[7.082375024013427,-1.8376383717105256,34.3660699588717];
std_x_a{206}=[1.147405263540405,3.253423007079154,2.28843059231796];
pred_a{206}=[7.082375024013427];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.5 to 20.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{207}=[0.9252380715435138,-2.611996636372331,25.900414334384273];
std_x_f{207}=[2.003712611068557,2.6868396191982318,2.0806599585049366];
pred_f{207}=[0.9252380715435138];
obs{207}=[0.9179967047799779];
sqrt_r{207}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{207}=[5.019587781210776];
L_f{207}=[-0.06872811255667582,-0.056901528279411584,-0.11500931845355661,0.009713162191906866,0.21513318254036298,0.01830408148382955,0.029612139265471186,-0.13522874382089273,0.08280995555305021,-0.008354185124825405,0.25199896477552497,-0.030459331165901455,0.3057457897130092,-0.11941468965465044,0.029992652376785136,0.17950617711436706,0.07087251742100853,0.16064606630632902,0.04769687317592409,0.2183522207796357,0.24797250368620538,-0.24453705510935472,0.048658401181833996,1.3491737692673749E-4,0.28305108173442217,-0.1333060219014991,-0.022747328781013713,-0.17033885560376205,0.026690696264518823,-0.1141578808809355,0.03446489933302107,0.05318803262030504,0.244790308077403,0.1546392097851621,0.019607055324232146,0.29932529392565255,0.022721732368237105,0.12530605083743018,0.13064335120154713,0.2516501953558179,-0.14436405524253587,-0.08911044932423692,-0.09372502807815253,0.0946968847119075,-0.05271415047108948,-0.07632670468523864,-0.07282501152771338,-0.09955745294397259,0.06749109946465864,0.11559146980400059,0.16025726737199647,-0.1413788858549346,0.04957271309748204,-0.021004626228595922,-0.12814072759558237,-0.12968757494231112,-1.0481885330052023,0.13355642660382083,0.0763929098560762,-0.13459783646892373,-0.1036682583818317,-0.026869498995684984,-0.06621130045328505,0.2292408094725311,0.30889146958437985,-0.12170516530031873,0.15573140041291217,-0.08747262865369196,0.20293001573191122,-0.12561216261166552,0.22932546698886272,0.28118215464610424,-0.040205377767334495,0.25223764060982207,-0.045398943105831965,-0.0815204699255432,-0.07865002837752541,-0.038947096400176066,-0.10153220693427226,-0.12284632124248783,0.024598256577419143,0.06295369159018038,-0.357858503915226,-0.3358520491087719,-0.07675052280428647,-0.06512859573344816,0.008945419740035406,0.09090545953777328,0.03861431466237299,-0.11440354560268354,-0.10067790444487518,-0.036190250224403565,0.15939713822078794,0.24395146361425446,-0.3685488666398601,0.03713414373228287,0.25271688356282435,-0.8394590582896219,-0.05363015949641722,4.0099074589677603E-4;-0.06098982640419122,-0.044188525765973236,-0.1276916486541086,0.05040454292093201,0.16245100147119484,0.05792776263891101,-0.1110925579417706,-0.15557027751980798,-0.029382889228953237,-0.15996382709036985,0.3078460890516054,0.00104288366990512,0.31498230478486405,-0.13156535253242044,0.08841349205208845,0.26041343557639157,0.13316519934036547,0.0750770845866625,0.09759655367585778,0.3003133790578554,0.30878672386942135,-0.32206436363009866,0.11571917732619187,0.03682407881931921,0.24330721728417068,-0.15326067959161974,0.01208121441249298,-0.2124760040881574,0.08454517852354268,-0.12280361951902734,0.09530964447617053,0.1218311324402598,0.2360772129087923,0.23694405538216975,0.07340086547788105,0.2948235680340439,0.07834994574220568,0.20307442243231028,0.20497240151583995,0.25997495766343615,-0.1756341318339462,-0.09113978618564902,-0.10147017011182796,0.16452523350355014,-0.038106371478300836,-0.06647238589478946,-0.06147534288412447,-0.10128183508886637,0.1285243316724016,0.014384000312390937,0.24471971003183013,-0.16446324439348256,0.11628553494851002,0.016029100379841343,-0.14532805779958605,-0.14722426213331677,-1.4938009243699792,0.2092422645734328,0.13988333772372408,-0.15510385683225233,-0.11096563013176487,0.005871261135384075,-0.051560342212840046,0.3082024278664407,0.33305134400337777,-0.14200213201068496,0.23935972864588337,-0.08388017976180065,0.2868828709519393,-0.14029638099480718,0.19526560734494738,0.3894174998846469,-0.013336717776345302,0.305353764543668,-0.19891959560299774,-0.07433490526850328,-0.0704523414200693,-0.19067931932541968,-0.10758379458825487,-0.13590333487069448,0.07034208611293842,0.12196728350846119,-0.4862031719215171,-0.4546238392371129,-0.07228962190865702,-0.05526616194451536,0.05867054648226568,0.15886053103434833,0.10154285571270916,-0.12689615314421093,-0.10661904093745378,-0.006839254033716933,0.07334065831948848,0.2312568117076621,-0.5006056750555106,0.09869905504376973,0.3077841782633041,-1.2685077276461905,-0.04196901220925176,0.03716672413314945;-0.07451803382072747,-0.07757522054137393,-0.05528064719990563,-0.0926765212991623,0.15800823975168474,-0.08748060112179289,0.21285605566631408,-0.0500357489833588,0.18855021904541788,0.2161896024205773,0.02311450248197416,-0.09801122191663839,0.11775429979536867,-0.05884407764774295,-0.11204715114004118,-0.06132273160104078,-0.09607845306646969,0.18177781582755884,-0.08939866849579042,-0.03744564625607661,0.012282947671054645,0.02665541080905519,-0.11608557825326929,-0.09176127902456115,0.17312092605208557,-0.05220561567227422,-0.10104811165327887,-0.020615161427491858,-0.11274278219842676,-0.06330052913344177,-0.11376053381518496,-0.11655018164452166,0.11048975330303487,-0.07860051844731643,-0.1111312079150217,0.13396814984805747,-0.11152764741345238,-0.08959128858063627,-0.07999996490343426,0.09063475951752799,-0.03372432511523399,-0.06684607193087985,-0.05834306859002426,-0.09458886371154233,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k{207}=[0.8007804537768655;1.0452609826273114;-0.4320358858034251];
x_a{207}=[0.9194393265806448,-2.6195657545111493,25.903542864688383];
L_a{207}=[0.039551284048833506,0.03274538502619206,0.06618494315071273,-0.005589678263719122,-0.12380368519456657,-0.010533534227685283,-0.017041034415377698,0.07782070916055661,-0.047655027212468414,0.004807621460520183,-0.14501900699847847,0.017528571847315162,-0.17594894033648997,0.06872012244246636,-0.017260010051257064,-0.10330124799682047,-0.040785334610530265,-0.09244773300837873,-0.027448339682928286,-0.12565615998296645,-0.14270188085706256,0.14072486741316592,-0.028001674641040027,-7.764152541723963E-5,-0.16288871202123995,0.07671423150604306,0.013090510251218839,0.09802568718851323,-0.01535981813189752,0.06569496244220975,-0.019833674642391417,-0.03060836254494206,-0.14087060806721374,-0.0889909395701283,-0.011283362595625053,-0.17225410800116817,-0.013075780165454767,-0.07211045124543251,-0.07518193211261125,-0.14481829905127538,0.08307784897527233,0.05128080143384844,0.05393637436132148,-0.054495653182556246,0.030335655398010787,0.04392408092144059,0.041908945403046585,0.05729278681003087,-0.03883941441711408,-0.06651995647443569,-0.0922239890916956,0.08135995977402981,-0.028527837937830813,0.012087629172439409,0.07374173575882353,0.07463190713869677,0.6032058914964629,-0.07685833305547113,-0.043962180316577365,0.07745763799567272,0.05965845098287115,0.015462714564608905,0.03810292257496561,-0.1319222663587016,-0.1777591992464335,0.07003823303067837,-0.08961946755011581,0.05033827721556209,-0.11678107248512638,0.07228661080057082,-0.13197098461024004,-0.16181319192637852,0.023137174253915177,-0.14515635888210676,0.026125939262698083,0.04691296096863899,0.04526109472660285,0.022413065269766923,0.0584292076004681,0.07069493930608398,-0.014155672210513733,-0.03622825137170208,0.20593848442978846,0.1932743283431483,0.044167977489932515,0.03747985349417324,-0.005147861972528692,-0.05231378424372252,-0.022221557827637444,0.06583633625314644,0.057937578205089185,0.020826570280733134,-0.0917290066003595,-0.14038787437352457,0.21209051679294072,-0.021369757032896525,-0.1454321510355283,0.48308737759093534,0.030862795338339456,-2.3075999473779564E-4;0.08034757507751904,0.07282784276470904,0.10882173155844477,0.030429702156282493,-0.2799642469858482,0.02028594159660314,-0.17198907699930874,0.12252377375389241,-0.19967919883635546,-0.14278368386926377,-0.2103825881593791,0.06368162868577162,-0.31377518359188683,0.11400754779443074,0.026734458643694572,-0.1087358932712248,-0.012582109528217996,-0.25528696478645874,-4.907044010845597E-4,-0.14872172964391464,-0.20116165105532838,0.1808191093685913,0.01565456435397107,0.03654662508517486,-0.3387792520036366,0.12087934894306109,0.05886044667945464,0.13782098977371593,0.02965652359861933,0.11195880363153848,0.02443356287214044,0.012451461722848566,-0.2673270675890407,-0.0810670650337498,0.033079515928962994,-0.32073035404280476,0.03162335176741505,-0.054613893985411215,-0.06369192073602431,-0.2575364851922904,0.1212464265913438,0.09211330900111687,0.09127267454933682,-0.03021620658120371,0.07029877412722875,0.09049130338123221,0.08828721437677353,0.1034552248098047,-0.010269187698762448,-0.2233265575335938,-0.08484478543193416,0.1262783984042558,0.014340665622749592,0.05922451459693021,0.11818969044935965,0.11947453352610775,0.6617688709697748,-0.06541271408323406,-0.017216500596156932,0.12169275148272495,0.1022251837981226,0.06112761877264417,0.08460130702603633,-0.16322475264419647,-0.3021751452286821,0.10828106609495292,-0.08089745061708428,0.09600478397108647,-0.1304369133290419,0.11802144554801383,-0.2763356689312956,-0.1888255741985593,0.06934449385360536,-0.21336574270703557,-0.1055579651158671,0.0933096139570583,0.09128919670489209,-0.11058572740669538,0.1012142905178876,0.11672661785327516,0.019756473671365335,-0.007495186098858559,0.2497226255431134,0.236046312139404,0.08554563723039108,0.07866893594614034,0.04027454615303797,-0.028083951414146175,0.02213361993780964,0.10837147249360429,0.10042219548713684,0.06758496242460701,-0.2544550060990434,-0.2704224090983167,0.25730454817304155,0.022333748531952854,-0.2119208784392327,0.4578158615706381,0.06831987980742574,0.03634209811135195;-0.13293677369640963,-0.12594139059067616,-0.15303830717459813,-0.08442035545448856,0.34087095723267596,-0.07192217335345645,0.2380263069151826,-0.16497987468553732,0.2589384935463529,0.2090885640023024,0.2373130512930269,-0.12390158436040119,0.3776375279663776,-0.16034629315697368,-0.08655346460912829,0.09125711202953778,-0.03583697391718483,0.31832660802466806,-0.048856434418724115,0.14815324643116462,0.22305901368363815,-0.18120053170090974,-0.07472604755083603,-0.09164659956001353,0.4137137038871809,-0.16551543210152347,-0.12038328955197156,-0.16540280255515516,-0.09005575087784523,-0.1603344691015013,-0.08446544750946086,-0.07134047448745937,0.31856096026174996,0.05284245932354602,-0.09446525533601162,0.38839397115422364,-0.09221422640759686,0.016918570579024263,0.03104658746677597,0.30453685511244377,-0.1564334448172731,-0.1425897518549419,-0.13800912999427845,-0.0140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x_a{207}=[0.9194393265806449,-2.6195657545111493,25.90354286468839];
std_x_a{207}=[1.1530857415479048,1.6235163018977004,1.8800217119705482];
pred_a{207}=[0.9194393265806449];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.6 to 20.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{208}=[-1.2257677321495266,-2.5354848113635255,20.107631513768705];
std_x_f{208}=[1.4581313962871176,1.8089090499692808,1.8385919978471892];
pred_f{208}=[-1.2257677321495266];
obs{208}=[-1.2923796045068168];
sqrt_r{208}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{208}=[3.1310160467137496];
L_f{208}=[0.06977734500202541,0.06069463075842575,0.10275194483611767,0.013785667567424461,-0.22295643834872828,0.004438411685690763,-0.11790023895778907,0.11813002710914101,-0.14796646618180576,-0.09227058796170001,-0.19509203195613034,0.04699127637343733,-0.2608556037963774,0.1076761085676542,0.005087435578297269,-0.11937627386254816,-0.03190476127940992,-0.1974313904690563,-0.01778158802822136,-0.15296767539931833,-0.188686804370869,0.1903460607831508,-0.007085645411770947,0.019721014799419612,-0.26866880190094516,0.1163104891435159,0.04151282816927876,0.13840990044593315,0.007587659296029584,0.10481478620335352,0.0023362742676663727,-0.010950131607915598,-0.22331987896387123,-0.09646816838828867,0.012169972804079986,-0.2629831687818348,0.010486565123113358,-0.07312590752673892,-0.0802016097200867,-0.21973365927203253,0.11934900646835254,0.08371315650489929,0.08424863586351923,-0.04975421503706756,0.05772043713373295,0.07852314920379508,0.07701510582050838,0.09442642049162184,-0.029443929055473345,-0.16875069026196032,-0.1005293274460144,0.1223625209081373,-0.008578224936751802,0.04139008315736695,0.11289742149395428,0.11416635420105951,0.5770771668548687,-0.08203489384176482,-0.03613296860391057,0.1173880178664517,0.09475485277873417,0.044572259438891426,0.07191671927302985,-0.16362392197905934,-0.2556999815553601,0.10405002690108826,-0.09738668430707839,0.08617054884475212,-0.1377502959898549,0.1118911326194494,-0.22500720092095172,-0.18989808769435454,0.05340030415777718,-0.1967313362838946,-0.05919886705974997,0.08206098422633941,0.07993626679090493,-0.06412431000772678,0.09365851506712682,0.110284867198511,0.002247957735374433,-0.02578093638399698,0.27028186825686107,0.25456265496944014,0.07522876322226843,0.06743928077935567,0.019973007395478564,-0.04711547969416046,-2.71777286202602E-4,0.10239943656717568,0.09283783110282198,0.051429947542934215,-0.19703790377406916,-0.22459992966121045,0.2788086995532792,5.134702711891763E-4,-0.19571057500542982,0.46438516008646086,0.05695931516255232,0.0198186245476609;0.09479033290414848,0.08171612422774027,0.13887128747810393,0.01876790029818336,-0.2906225892882931,0.005561885228081706,-0.18708105508409328,0.16040948122044787,-0.21770268928656036,-0.1556256693577387,-0.24278296708938674,0.06554112739350365,-0.3170910450407903,0.14637275499240815,0.010541819930813842,-0.1521519467077362,-0.04036241764371727,-0.2695826739811523,-0.022705414423567768,-0.1917741391919795,-0.2358237649989191,0.2583184393388901,-0.005908438466790765,0.02735157117573781,-0.33288120543997757,0.15821838490436366,0.05784912024677584,0.18642393529331333,0.013927669388553842,0.14299854394822978,0.006506109503852986,-0.010580862983102398,-0.28359264684337476,-0.12274956389401913,0.019736536216110843,-0.32110483638446474,0.01718870823126677,-0.09314711442229116,-0.10261225817502408,-0.2769858271061889,0.1603342573327384,0.11265406236010848,0.11235629613960586,-0.06359835639576521,0.07804865718451263,0.10753567958706675,0.10505745729673381,0.12916720013826202,-0.036829639107882985,-0.23993943218095634,-0.12672480959691265,0.16664260537058478,-0.0076882857175996685,0.05877651021303789,0.1533664075498686,0.1553652467212344,0.5591786194202373,-0.10499211475866971,-0.0464392101163071,0.15914688884115916,0.12798919405777473,0.061823211726326974,0.09865895456239228,-0.2042080380361851,-0.3089123274975948,0.139374213741731,-0.1235761346915607,0.11764194051130324,-0.17381882533623855,0.152267749864046,-0.2893784295250075,-0.22836131303033824,0.07435393348677603,-0.24509738799314348,-0.11499290322675226,0.11231352495180552,0.10923168287765163,-0.1208894375365195,0.12655726791472133,0.15037959380685137,0.0042163346045356,-0.03315514703604473,0.36636530217395563,0.34557554714729644,0.10204264143897028,0.09081569906858772,0.029619171729340435,-0.06050470115199066,0.0033769477856716926,0.13808270586906754,0.12546257649123696,0.07191329692469041,-0.26823275594873,-0.2855361051223058,0.3782794321723825,0.0037127160657520774,-0.2440468628958849,0.49824245120840127,0.07550221267109421,0.027271419783525732;-0.13169229619203227,-0.12552949645107236,-0.14975302128453394,-0.08528688662617147,0.3367875097300267,-0.07409045960495521,0.19832837817759033,-0.15933967962660953,0.22909330890551208,0.1647714779356002,0.24201964350603591,-0.12142527081021919,0.3918114257592328,-0.1555514306974356,-0.08509070201384276,0.09241674118829184,-0.0369087115736523,0.3022829205574815,-0.05083964391114698,0.15134809283054224,0.22782018565799517,-0.17041265663229024,-0.07279293732513317,-0.0924747939709379,0.4244870450103279,-0.1599941286551645,-0.1179354001767885,-0.16061168123374772,-0.08811487336439912,-0.1553723256565109,-0.0829970499999173,-0.06950022879370851,0.3200806399504843,0.052743876683694325,-0.09259514132899693,0.4015697482623783,-0.09011992799539673,0.01676438600634138,0.030051907029007476,0.30804356788643544,-0.1528937889660737,-0.1407643669605336,-0.13752884901316087,-0.014886977013962957,-0.12283017052016541,-0.14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k{208}=[0.6806148594959841;0.8381828353826761;-0.49061536684091284];
x_a{208}=[-1.271104762294748,-2.591317739406108,20.140312321961236];
L_a{208}=[-0.06561151370584412,-0.05707105361721493,-0.09661747142602495,-0.012962638755000118,0.2096455434080958,-0.004173430633387223,0.1108613855124002,-0.11107745490342429,0.1391326056273865,0.08676187015312292,0.1834446915144031,-0.04418581380162009,0.2452820614374982,-0.10124765384629573,-0.004783706648101419,0.1122492985145515,0.029999990425329828,0.1856443861735978,0.016719995674691502,0.14383523378142551,0.17742186738019147,-0.17898206324079327,0.0066626198092758085,-0.01854363522670167,0.2526287977529804,-0.10936654658258686,-0.039034438675159225,-0.13014658382128574,-0.007134662573966748,-0.09855715750372628,-0.0021967945488489825,0.010296389323106302,0.20998728597369543,0.0907088475808612,-0.011443403835606929,0.24728260701857954,-0.009860498579910285,0.06876016110678417,0.07541343132541803,0.20661516996016083,-0.11222365903216742,-0.0787153325369609,-0.07921884282781927,0.04678380012500229,-0.05427442462875751,-0.07383517787988797,-0.07241716736216688,-0.08878899565611202,0.027686074251191746,0.1586759746544081,0.09452754823749766,-0.11505726131329387,0.008066089688467877,-0.038919021758233766,-0.10615724512719764,-0.10735042030033744,-0.5426246361384043,0.07713726513240353,0.03397576627083616,-0.11037974492900272,-0.08909781995297639,-0.041911216469906865,-0.0676231635371737,0.15385528353395242,0.2404342389914183,-0.09783805568864867,0.09157252646966046,-0.08102601419419822,0.1295263589215112,-0.10521103348386714,0.21157387181627724,0.1785608349401957,-0.050212211256283,0.1849861264653324,0.05566458966514841,-0.07716179787472932,-0.07516392983988203,0.06029597493036808,-0.08806693554788353,-0.1037006649584084,-0.002113750670226814,0.02424176874111528,-0.25414556118553183,-0.23936481282053235,-0.0707374725863861,-0.06341303606548132,-0.018780583417688547,0.04430260196373342,2.5555170002680895E-4,-0.09628600852616213,-0.08729524787231217,-0.04835948842716972,0.1852743913324289,0.21119091537332665,-0.262163325525177,-4.82815184995877E-4,0.18402630644623544,-0.4366605421131898,-0.05355874298964554,-0.018635417499792944;-0.07194216769835449,-0.06331329125380376,-0.106653799551204,-0.0141728604304568,0.2421303334580828,-0.005043669899261191,0.09464077973914653,-0.12186143085820496,0.13586219500492513,0.06485428531051218,0.2233881423835352,-0.046744214159963354,0.306221680828664,-0.11091858843876524,-0.0016145734601790292,0.13309686367812956,0.035873796690427,0.20217831705941308,0.01978357160109142,0.17374110117636668,0.21504209586949155,-0.19651220366263944,0.011022663997095424,-0.019771662186476795,0.3091011052014326,-0.11970475333822472,-0.0413455058535002,-0.14430559889610112,-0.004202991904307203,-0.10745568877292926,9.23597719691672E-4,0.015584403477828256,0.25002871482944,0.10776048121382824,-0.009343532649074726,0.30729169183099925,-0.007868869205320067,0.08158675400458389,0.08902895346161713,0.24806628652612123,-0.12484939779651777,-0.08737796690362166,-0.0889552574809359,0.05528900867099312,-0.05987394246294477,-0.08009486183797847,-0.07896962451967843,-0.09646410198500677,0.033526433036152756,0.16328921695951162,0.11348934799929981,-0.12574182241822812,0.012809325568611595,-0.040124817499746494,-0.11640122830264747,-0.1174344953735844,-0.8197434227917043,0.09102971706226443,0.03990027742577217,-0.12135099709985324,-0.09842689482554125,-0.04468190499220336,-0.07318556659519035,0.1867702324779127,0.30208107340497,-0.1092526317261294,0.10912869807951146,-0.08826201136245485,0.15533458840366182,-0.11509536543283994,0.24827477671307946,0.22539890126262596,-0.053245737221560424,0.2249908282399845,0.026462394870656842,-0.08377064966909724,-0.08177549359903338,0.032335173641908896,-0.09723912931715922,-0.1131453609773834,-0.001155145414614432,0.028448228544569513,-0.2794714197688847,-0.26270021946197974,-0.07771598665039521,-0.07033001266420892,-0.01810619626085417,0.05207742340814845,0.00402635779882444,-0.10660006500215169,-0.09637280188031089,-0.05097821979094376,0.2025880012579582,0.25114392915634054,-0.2879320962957878,0.002485782276598397,0.22360225106885354,-0.6114027922679992,-0.06060169110143767,-0.020085051421243314;-0.03409840200300023,-0.040639115885458856,-0.006039292541168701,-0.06600560010170746,0.024950092408721824,-0.06788268714803282,0.0334275289782678,0.005882562146881741,0.022140412608683532,0.03571747053488083,-0.030845297447180706,-0.05570104965987759,0.026966443555041086,-0.004950533716712861,-0.07797517405118574,-0.0745485602241405,-0.081532219337364,0.026146042169929492,-0.07570981374189699,-0.06259973116347682,-0.036086101118933074,0.09581434462192326,-0.0827032560475969,-0.06489205015087669,0.04871415448470283,0.002683221281514205,-0.05987359573693121,0.03297495033618063,-0.07750241428534382,-0.008773409434072671,-0.07972942633684195,-0.08481560064495718,0.007734897399304349,-0.08218106518709598,-0.07557364189977252,0.03374905306616902,-0.07545292214984886,-0.08551296606881033,-0.08212185671314982,7.136817730973727E-4,0.014033374979479582,-0.023679187839260606,-0.0196947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x_a{208}=[-1.2711047622947473,-2.591317739406107,20.14031232196125];
std_x_a{208}=[1.371078364899624,1.7034017798032113,1.8078527712398913];
pred_a{208}=[-1.2711047622947473];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.7 to 20.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{209}=[-2.538673231246397,-4.014220847538343,16.24785652671487];
std_x_f{209}=[1.7839730477142959,2.487494898045656,2.1300628268214234];
pred_f{209}=[-2.538673231246397];
obs{209}=[-2.7308261630886776];
sqrt_r{209}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{209}=[4.192681231200781];
L_f{209}=[-0.10060515011542344,-0.08948272525735457,-0.14054995236924545,-0.029174463482390157,0.29298760745235164,-0.017457107205721113,0.12866325898249742,-0.1583640166147141,0.17465137063684158,0.0930554605935301,0.2646646352980813,-0.07088322597412706,0.36026405167343284,-0.14626018760582052,-0.015962933639827964,0.15473515614949745,0.03240562205908726,0.2502765746730461,0.012883169194907309,0.20397848295583204,0.2548772585294921,-0.23800233526121808,2.908537885584819E-4,-0.036756035080824444,0.36628472655695316,-0.15609504704208538,-0.06449040698973008,-0.1819368492663992,-0.019180422746296544,-0.14219582239497025,-0.012709196179729303,0.005571690695129402,0.29916695610768196,0.12240371448122396,-0.025284564318420164,0.36178250172937493,-0.02336670414632725,0.08902333015819476,0.0993612679774895,0.29624305083966135,-0.16030928718966356,-0.11795928217692378,-0.11885649943572933,0.05665738145337971,-0.08511465501773134,-0.11034282981614946,-0.10877451504224822,-0.13000886093270186,0.029544426664626665,0.20621221135255507,0.12938370735701488,-0.16328865299931905,0.0024043876395991076,-0.06349588421090403,-0.15249701534116217,-0.15374993185960892,-0.4963569852080764,0.10185788643118768,0.037689656443329556,-0.157701065975453,-0.13124158738723288,-0.068160514230174,-0.10322647320988779,0.21966652082813615,0.35476721617161483,-0.14206261660606526,0.124023007339229,-0.12048366883210562,0.18161924065449472,-0.15134070470517783,0.29911149028244455,0.2630924711785826,-0.07895865390059952,0.2660047276893302,0.047108448230901864,-0.11485872002542726,-0.11252347827605874,0.05394514202766001,-0.12985494932866426,-0.149073394743334,-0.013338328153061007,0.0239832236117813,-0.3163327309669887,-0.301837088591296,-0.10717258718601194,-0.09793994923626395,-0.03610116451994557,0.05332835761071663,-0.009063509592787287,-0.140408473174208,-0.12873100046739183,-0.07636102340300309,0.25045537787082955,0.30083949143554095,-0.3240280630680597,-0.010679502980596896,0.26484424593453176,-0.4569033709917461,-0.08519649558760685,-0.03701869868035833;-0.16396999219061595,-0.14868036995996375,-0.2187544531221797,-0.062178434476721736,0.43529896243820004,-0.04428436930024876,0.17658951858776398,-0.24247197223506628,0.24828700061462985,0.12220217065530425,0.3950540300299111,-0.12245793336909479,0.5431698308881078,-0.22605440012436723,-0.041431191983751656,0.22127816693059255,0.031115959058498892,0.366954674514341,9.91053047644439E-4,0.3003380220948701,0.38022638876707987,-0.3364739159276255,-0.01780202700141981,-0.07303581068874947,0.5491813846262892,-0.23957567682081723,-0.11364579343941138,-0.27184414950948704,-0.04701278268459729,-0.22060442197052743,-0.03746278148022382,-0.010764370495481741,0.4470420475817036,0.17107121696964087,-0.0562031630397149,0.5450835882282534,-0.05360889810884359,0.11931549518651421,0.1347056529798147,0.44239359954860474,-0.244101702696254,-0.18840577402627112,-0.1898834491771358,0.06839582551355176,-0.14271381427834298,-0.17799682479237522,-0.17609207889133557,-0.2049007968970762,0.026385541686621123,0.2972929093428603,0.18203709252578643,-0.24855753877808934,-0.01542759429026126,-0.11140147525785175,-0.23407227467815386,-0.23614918474307908,-0.2218429320645516,0.1384348633336222,0.039139163277052545,-0.24111479273747494,-0.2063780074105715,-0.11905595390849806,-0.1676830253703872,0.3249587327339701,0.5351849681574974,-0.22131174223097555,0.17338623795785357,-0.19161780233375775,0.2644351934874909,-0.2328224897222479,0.44578113112199996,0.3942395415140824,-0.13407132514987055,0.39777370839643694,0.05317186824374886,-0.18427879125003827,-0.18128032683869888,0.0627889797222404,-0.20451831039693436,-0.23024829479004844,-0.03847419222413881,0.017376480441988997,-0.4116928284913007,-0.39967931493948855,-0.17325963262643065,-0.16065532660429246,-0.07290802632253048,0.06307324042734222,-0.03218342779111698,-0.21840544714616503,-0.20300369194172113,-0.130600744341039,0.367228296049011,0.4489203159343808,-0.4179389296357265,-0.03438307259035679,0.39530427504145005,-0.3618550479701646,-0.14300388822861637,-0.07332034616448885;-0.0025545223068500107,-0.014160081014773142,0.04450684845826734,-0.06534058672223496,-0.06303099312858129,-0.07235288601524756,-0.043901472442549765,0.06595269311378289,-0.06067443991407807,-0.033129359908776065,-0.10648342560831892,-0.03627129735974696,-0.05360474303755286,0.04931392643180824,-0.08006860416486841,-0.1315589024515793,-0.10263688648027995,-0.06285754963919309,-0.09089363420060187,-0.12825679330162476,-0.11078953015645986,0.19728384458239054,-0.09149291318305561,-0.06127348863234156,-0.036789946913597965,0.06197012974689269,-0.043080992764843715,0.10330920482396884,-0.07917012905311474,0.043366127836395534,-0.08367515722285611,-0.09524055875138383,-0.07580217783677222,-0.13096378384700122,-0.0746059641672678,-0.04824278759668173,-0.07528950433173524,-0.12485666695645004,-0.12509586109330378,-0.08158256823518563,0.07353097859491936,0.01594679044294903,0.019949631627271352,-0.1138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k{209}=[0.7614891414691211;1.0329808958403883;-0.5671595431589092];
x_a{209}=[-2.68499560234575,-4.21271115521114,16.356837895755184];
L_a{209}=[0.06794108276044192,0.060429841169808596,0.0949167705126373,0.019702218382204786,-0.19786159319742805,0.01178920526494968,-0.08688939996341077,0.1069470374702696,-0.1179462802157595,-0.0628425954560234,-0.17873440743261126,0.04786915099982515,-0.24329499754510442,0.09877303000178492,0.010780153841813458,-0.10449638053162846,-0.02188429764971364,-0.16901780329687616,-0.00870031468054822,-0.13775158603661747,-0.1721247559954887,0.16072871357588556,-1.9642057386699043E-4,0.024822236421365558,-0.24736090441036612,0.10541474762886453,0.0435519262534466,0.12286633953630428,0.01295300178660163,0.09602826621144013,0.008582826510124146,-0.003762697020968339,-0.20203465628530898,-0.08266217868780262,0.01707527571847579,-0.2443204434671074,0.015780098518047913,-0.060119600586538945,-0.06710105917138484,-0.20006007258288072,0.10826072557641972,0.07966074642848778,0.08026665886900061,-0.03826209530921299,0.05747997805332648,0.07451717256978725,0.0734580518018564,0.08779811739344877,-0.019952063436397414,-0.13926007666251483,-0.08737593611570081,0.11027276311938068,-0.001623740926013904,0.042880301049907324,0.10298491009781717,0.10383103482179062,0.3352018358111408,-0.06878708578920034,-0.025452733430555298,0.10649933092446703,0.08863060728061836,0.0460304381335702,0.0697113254279249,-0.14834609614080502,-0.23958285204041566,0.09593830913153131,-0.08375572618465439,0.08136552558206298,-0.12265185078535983,0.1022040256547638,-0.2019971988766329,-0.1776726871088177,0.053322682120736584,-0.1796394041246894,-0.031813470545987814,0.07756686207468451,0.07598981703496778,-0.03643045465187537,0.08769417717750831,0.10067285658852318,0.00900769449569279,-0.016196448973047124,0.21362711779473695,0.20383786110973856,0.07237623130924804,0.06614120836736716,0.02437998654724877,-0.03601392526874921,0.006120806485921833,0.09482122620215298,0.08693514742093417,0.05156843963498157,-0.16913855340603579,-0.20316415970535717,0.21882396104329976,0.00721212577102339,-0.1788557028245642,0.30855785917977624,0.05753524696276782,0.024999619481115322;0.06466759322621339,0.05468013609650019,0.10066261154385814,0.004124124376302143,-0.23055143436658343,-0.004610944676364595,-0.11581357242565019,0.1174297458594625,-0.14862973402901092,-0.08927781615994188,-0.20642892676060898,0.03863292146971037,-0.2755745653241656,0.1063398768926756,-0.005153460680810804,-0.1303765191419189,-0.042529805328509244,-0.20182964372373088,-0.028287534518306737,-0.16322818466992167,-0.19901354975481658,0.20441568261936996,-0.018463028032172805,0.010496802708620004,-0.2832457362414173,0.1151695286709778,0.032916593473820914,0.14162973196567155,-0.0034229114011094224,0.10255308489116258,-0.008579569002648939,-0.023426723324957002,-0.23285167955341052,-0.10710628878359167,0.0012591212215540405,-0.27711167261638037,-5.051871254966756E-4,-0.08300097896796775,-0.0911050571902303,-0.23085519301108484,0.12022088219016921,0.07967121232573875,0.08023257381874603,-0.06036504683422529,0.05071971456698696,0.07277083618999053,0.07111139375010604,0.09056034015547193,-0.040757804030520796,-0.17134972011518138,-0.11200330608647506,0.12253602159032027,-0.020891861116495193,0.03290073624157759,0.11249596095267003,0.11326645787613354,0.9061894049733638,-0.09304971953882138,-0.046515219570209106,0.11728028843799652,0.09188465222526415,0.03584720339982044,0.06691183939275863,-0.17426047086981236,-0.2710671928647559,0.10154303808138919,-0.10847131010645586,0.08219616337603915,-0.1483168833280642,0.11111788767766115,-0.23398654309891628,-0.20367047882389272,0.045371933519136064,-0.20675477328241246,-0.05388787813990963,0.07675178601715185,0.07444312614779969,-0.0598079947270948,0.09059304359307249,0.10853934167688861,-0.00816119990799637,-0.03712834690351384,0.3072122346553197,0.2862826168859044,0.0703032618076169,0.06192526180032896,0.009136313128344906,-0.05812201552496926,-0.011585486768021588,0.10069008863687824,0.08955334993326487,0.04293907932395282,-0.20196237446187312,-0.23477445357726495,0.3184547227983306,-0.01011258770827937,-0.20658686902562695,0.6765140950857366,0.050615633384121554,0.010809202589622952;-0.1280882945345228,-0.12581543899476275,-0.13086951832900515,-0.10174409538417828,0.3025550582540483,-0.09413563289453589,0.11664283596162561,-0.1316518268135044,0.1572532243816584,0.08298400984701924,0.22376159670029475,-0.1247184467749602,0.39592796331698954,-0.13318759616242107,-0.09998694108229811,0.0615175735081394,-0.06220158099349015,0.24943424141606194,-0.07481818651796762,0.12626485285014696,0.20724293320696224,-0.09969231329877165,-0.09112998968259291,-0.10713718179849499,0.4202552777227381,-0.13280320003560495,-0.12355126742404919,-0.12370918309578882,-0.10310320621170596,-0.13406393374372483,-0.09953352368414081,-0.08828827698605728,0.29749438285600344,0.021769947933906752,-0.10615570823487219,0.403184620602081,-0.10444616790861076,-0.013774536089329811,-0.0011141885027003097,0.28806558223694145,-0.12650082416030178,-0.13124123764456722,-0.1283579322581283,-0.043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x_a{209}=[-2.68499560234575,-4.212711155211143,16.35683789575519];
std_x_a{209}=[1.2047599982515524,1.7362798059331692,1.8861097569194545];
pred_a{209}=[-2.68499560234575];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.8 to 20.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 20.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{210}=[-4.9503876208891215,-8.150956685884099,14.856656012178926];
std_x_f{210}=[1.847475480155113,2.7017155338762238,2.5057563786765438];
pred_f{210}=[-4.9503876208891215];
obs{210}=[-5.310917910057527];
sqrt_r{210}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{210}=[4.418907724926889];
L_f{210}=[0.0757764815264141,0.0626636372789595,0.1217675097728319,-0.0012238828096063149,-0.24146677188503096,-0.012105910155504305,-0.12996701154247534,0.14349347647473878,-0.16573486294296316,-0.10079178040302769,-0.22920310915324038,0.04189526818637199,-0.2776946567401638,0.12850066955864767,-0.014716118364785943,-0.15956792005305295,-0.05944563015310041,-0.21661322009267014,-0.04183570136992901,-0.19170776091700567,-0.22291702749942938,0.25120162324701373,-0.03102912779696888,0.0066702510794161085,-0.27962997263657613,0.14013202746512657,0.034754699831409025,0.17526154700807428,-0.011778279808349185,0.12414115826285345,-0.018349484272454322,-0.03672854689232223,-0.24625625271350127,-0.13459430629528077,-0.005499586919893802,-0.27711220893628496,-0.007819111956862771,-0.10846379654872026,-0.11710581533314453,-0.24479500556346123,0.14671543256027897,0.09561031617558559,0.09582521037843751,-0.08156987647434537,0.058158171047881964,0.0867799802759071,0.08413595212196774,0.10912799406285287,-0.05753546244760033,-0.18761746017332914,-0.1401404020720871,0.14968035383567446,-0.03346678297190047,0.0340791325709357,0.13647296705001985,0.13788767322423484,0.8432078170003736,-0.11931622827968745,-0.06470631245721897,0.14256335793134015,0.11073237142619426,0.03893635887987524,0.07762394608314874,-0.20225586663447864,-0.2750812348409745,0.12354238213832905,-0.13647256803889923,0.09804207610562629,-0.17795549275603523,0.13505747123398848,-0.24598712152471636,-0.22929339531447085,0.050690734196119275,-0.2290928282177741,-0.06129345265357287,0.09103984094122132,0.08830052816020167,-0.06734759257307618,0.10932525489681709,0.13267446857119095,-0.01687906611766097,-0.05246340231276068,0.36924473507471683,0.3466179283819443,0.08306282770946534,0.0727009921685237,0.004304272058273421,-0.07852060306015447,-0.021935219944381003,0.12188214891433269,0.10784147737515022,0.047273743392201015,-0.21591503020670172,-0.24736884094302447,0.3813321964157673,-0.02074569465569056,-0.22902799376645344,0.6937746218216647,0.0583090381965393,0.007328666124160447;0.08424489125669817,0.06323296294368155,0.16093616053833001,-0.03517530456623319,-0.27985723653485645,-0.05144974910753096,-0.1842056564733922,0.19633169227041072,-0.22274771578066047,-0.15020466004151187,-0.28617310818137476,0.030407575997996275,-0.2923101228144791,0.17163550775949235,-0.05544193987397502,-0.23638768976814148,-0.11801738791695475,-0.2652751984384278,-0.09365800800795299,-0.26373710251135174,-0.28268912244104666,0.38280016611924306,-0.07954807969093007,-0.023615814573156254,-0.2870259852854257,0.1907242765907753,0.01850973610864325,0.24885146921535106,-0.05267130187841114,0.16406572186521917,-0.06087171346960196,-0.08780663262924503,-0.2864989147100525,-0.2110357930828269,-0.042887646184166274,-0.28951463045110826,-0.04605258298234243,-0.18074300250974312,-0.19070636204408167,-0.28740212897158857,0.20236809118184257,0.1155983480155208,0.11717614332764317,-0.1471611121789559,0.056214249761750656,0.10148237279796918,0.09750570630194048,0.1390462806121745,-0.11539087056835995,-0.24242019639869075,-0.21690476416373525,0.20695141909411727,-0.08351408967815273,0.01815731220857813,0.18451922376320323,0.18686169128267996,1.380093247651936,-0.19318813005720673,-0.12478240470145337,0.1951993981835779,0.1420957481861133,0.02540177118452643,0.08688906059876712,-0.27082531196384696,-0.2933677637900149,0.16361449778593132,-0.21304354172996293,0.120637880480212,-0.2534735351841003,0.18216293897310368,-0.2836115784865155,-0.2899684225001641,0.044590611456785396,-0.28455650878981725,-0.10091996589194079,0.10874670533858508,0.1044442501861847,-0.1096464972723083,0.13957162952277818,0.1777173573777997,-0.05818300630979173,-0.10934852120286327,0.5935318219170901,0.5519951440264077,0.09618532651641865,0.07926404800242925,-0.02804344289048948,-0.1434933038012985,-0.06687340451921396,0.16007083256641255,0.13677837833506892,0.03931931015947967,-0.2641745747200331,-0.2860561500365183,0.6151828110579469,-0.06461391401790269,-0.28602293579688415,1.1580171495151506,0.05691260341238339,-0.022748983877538438;-0.18614224515200045,-0.1756199376214923,-0.2189035814022885,-0.1077266259864681,0.4586178466668365,-0.09211702733458589,0.1826370923903983,-0.23200425450152737,0.2537503987958495,0.12700338197284403,0.3801297751551255,-0.1592207044962076,0.5791444649103223,-0.22476456201435957,-0.09537996015407588,0.17121570656680388,-0.026058833415892976,0.38557343077787565,-0.05184267467326935,0.25926611994529186,0.36018968548529434,-0.26052152567294157,-0.0739453239762597,-0.1180618186982575,0.601579505189174,-0.23110126785980928,-0.1533929100894785,-0.2436344474430935,-0.09945165582762443,-0.22222923441284642,-0.09174883252371625,-0.06607809752284854,0.461042102284211,0.11426356897092968,-0.10780429445511452,0.5848639814298886,-0.10448856708921359,0.058801512528721844,0.077311456170845,0.4521490441784942,-0.23032921916585145,-0.2021096502542614,-0.19989683346715525,0.009451382668457584,-0.169846048002191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k{210}=[0.773699732547245;1.1157747034769718;-0.6112997469363524];
x_a{210}=[-5.229329809193898,-8.553227262375444,15.077048086710462];
L_a{210}=[-0.048721963871252744,-0.04029080540619372,-0.07829279074901752,7.869192766822977E-4,0.15525576140388045,0.007783730589543275,0.0835648200242694,-0.09226192396021522,0.10656245634338836,0.06480603723470295,0.1473706007245838,-0.02693737821861434,0.17854918518772855,-0.08262200690178294,0.009462014768318998,0.10259730036588967,0.03822172508251937,0.1392756864768386,0.026899078574447677,0.12326223668726646,0.14332884215966593,-0.1615149735868218,0.019950781733689,-0.004288767775397544,0.17979353421641242,-0.090100614885126,-0.022346210795652945,-0.112687823310597,0.0075730742801494,-0.0798189742513958,0.011798158106179757,0.023615334186604674,0.15833525133513895,0.08654002926104618,0.0035360664657474025,0.17817468903422756,0.005027450240412095,0.06973890935993872,0.07529546356393188,0.15739571403521285,-0.09433354334438704,-0.061474513946680666,-0.06161268435756005,0.05244693992792838,-0.037393928188989865,-0.05579687758763182,-0.05409684821709557,-0.07016596808099654,0.03699354557272037,0.12063229820184708,0.09010599950169243,-0.09623989719390667,0.021518119580091775,-0.021911841674860242,-0.08774795076353543,-0.08865756363708273,-0.5421568799222954,0.07671669159606838,0.041604183175009135,-0.09166388613694082,-0.07119753373775432,-0.025034889881527942,-0.04990982717096626,0.1300443465889741,0.17686883470446885,-0.07943397948628689,0.08774769421156808,-0.06303806133062334,0.11441994816991113,-0.08683783017441118,0.15816220819837049,0.14742865196946797,-0.032592594303150584,0.14729969345038432,0.03940981852912685,-0.058535837925341096,-0.05677454344900201,0.04330244564096679,-0.07029280077409648,-0.0853056322245571,0.010852724130223717,0.03373236577570993,-0.23741309017745316,-0.2228647443582716,-0.05340686198651189,-0.04674451812076189,-0.002767515507329809,0.0504863502287615,0.01410367665679462,-0.07836650021662432,-0.06933877713315399,-0.03039557355022899,0.1388267716986092,0.1590506115950832,-0.24518495874261653,0.013338848216992804,0.14725800687783253,-0.44607589819810395,-0.037490931159016694,-0.004712108545200156;-0.09529790829886865,-0.08524060881323925,-0.12757657004950126,-0.03227546887132744,0.29226777310644975,-0.02276632442609156,0.12373475765196836,-0.143657971610393,0.16994010341249235,0.08860872982855626,0.256894701979068,-0.0688579690206187,0.36565228304586306,-0.1328305942893631,-0.020573956608167687,0.1416883373643333,0.022831522510643645,0.24796246016977064,0.005466400964630721,0.1904902170768573,0.24548461140936434,-0.212390343946208,-0.006028481522555158,-0.039420131802103596,0.37552190708823685,-0.14130085853926205,-0.06383713431538743,-0.16640862429137285,-0.02476415591251288,-0.1300710689385878,-0.01739492871642105,-7.829809655449425E-4,0.2969741646626452,0.10786841135784261,-0.029857069782268948,0.36706773892301947,-0.027526185048648472,0.07624826035318737,0.08676107251634915,0.2926087098895946,-0.14525559058934512,-0.11093821698154598,-0.10986958633385654,0.04610840478193287,-0.08158418897056795,-0.10413182688854057,-0.10184380271406743,-0.11951871434735153,0.020932138807121626,0.20211567233628835,0.11514021353946721,-0.14769726905798577,-0.004218775540360909,-0.06258888694132904,-0.13883622999026843,-0.1398457300199656,-0.6177811458511876,0.08951659872171919,0.028531027823606944,-0.1425864673176176,-0.12027061624261268,-0.06685301205394087,-0.0970310728196844,0.20839441149921104,0.35840246905373346,-0.12910356863877295,0.1103109666170684,-0.1116604324482939,0.16816952242568914,-0.13783867627467192,0.2992238285357537,0.25331330931277435,-0.07551467907357384,0.2582500046266707,0.04430712650100716,-0.10696069601367578,-0.10477269560974171,0.04992511479419896,-0.11946075006135953,-0.13663803412339162,-0.01819019160524529,0.014956882475184835,-0.28134692833682795,-0.269272246386173,-0.1006215497801622,-0.09299176806966035,-0.03824187174102711,0.042551345042648445,-0.014900672104758247,-0.12871352098396696,-0.11873837786841823,-0.07268985235552342,0.24740881116102045,0.30005306658427155,-0.2883356517423422,-0.015459611493190155,0.25662996057823023,-0.48579416704811074,-0.08124329596848048,-0.040113332372409445;-0.08777608969916025,-0.09427568724647505,-0.06083604442850586,-0.10931535964473155,0.14516758424393952,-0.10783182190233635,0.013925705907353682,-0.04573403808269766,0.03860843173948977,-0.00383536561451586,0.08259908738648167,-0.10483606720313753,0.2186664482079462,-0.0579566476987034,-0.11448309027536971,-0.03592089456653897,-0.10322575881072821,0.10438579509504758,-0.10614998772789506,0.01040849245958334,0.07081901877717532,0.06556563784504536,-0.11422452336583226,-0.10940310373326456,0.23858923692163977,-0.04919457966458888,-0.10827751099112512,-0.016125803195840727,-0.11474115039450096,-0.0610804422572904,-0.11556846872303674,-0.11375576584936911,0.14137457025177708,-0.060454551868366596,-0.11494335938649664,0.2251420456389699,-0.11463862904456841,-0.08199635057340132,-0.0747046918931996,0.13437837066232353,-0.03987655158554873,-0.07799700957240917,-0.07550523662188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x_a{210}=[-5.2293298091938984,-8.553227262375444,15.07704808671046];
std_x_a{210}=[1.1878703231393273,1.768156312373987,2.2480686877108544];
pred_a{210}=[-5.2293298091938984];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 20.9 to 21.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{211}=[-9.765897824917225,-15.24234420812776,19.830706502959185];
std_x_f{211}=[1.6985581470873266,2.526059742105627,3.060722128294983];
pred_f{211}=[-9.765897824917225];
obs{211}=[-10.33126917570664];
sqrt_r{211}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{211}=[3.8990939076702005];
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k{211}=[0.7435301576007638;0.9577945779726328;-1.0249209729179534];
x_a{211}=[-10.186268474472636,-15.783853822454924,20.41016745787021];
L_a{211}=[0.08584197687242656,0.07888282103138529,0.10836464511019132,0.03841384064276496,-0.22567906239354363,0.030913881376107642,-0.0924687878234746,0.11854743490137808,-0.12862643629233123,-0.06428916831506894,-0.19685877060132534,0.0672448036322824,-0.2806938208649414,0.11185523132330928,0.030015218705174544,-0.1035850696514077,-0.005677240393163133,-0.1910636276077882,0.008497623905682277,-0.14413402481016216,-0.1881044485855404,0.15420453887854582,0.018244899036935498,0.044046204995779034,-0.2888798766019951,0.11702288639243195,0.06343201747488333,0.13115139799984535,0.032811861743652596,0.11018022681598344,0.02727911353258237,0.013749680847111794,-0.22878395679640323,-0.07601885894849492,0.03686040359756869,-0.2824361872510312,0.03542386065526639,-0.0496880976849615,-0.058136737448587515,-0.2257064929446503,0.11936496433272817,0.09687663788681733,0.09590117107714674,-0.02457330739011015,0.07634370125156206,0.09247349814747026,0.09082326910474237,0.10305900496017709,-0.0040970647343042945,-0.15443560769600775,-0.08187242727393709,0.12086896337473199,0.016735298805939342,0.06254137108937426,0.11546690305261283,0.11598539498511,0.04855238546745308,-0.06076522054098079,-0.010166721839527604,0.11780036551279853,0.10338813452707483,0.06551794916130779,0.08800182566275094,-0.1581265419283503,-0.2756591198845804,0.10852342669882468,-0.07765598699065182,0.09751871530925794,-0.1255044360608891,0.11502456721578486,-0.23036036368434779,-0.19395079580175545,0.07203989668794675,-0.1981858079505342,-0.028525484420177914,0.09413107990568746,0.09306491499975217,-0.03348283066099078,0.10252200097400033,0.11429461758056798,0.027142183559622775,7.052625629339499E-4,0.17577716106736377,0.17367910098172695,0.0897310741606056,0.0841198416960326,0.043866802510985695,-0.021665787693233036,0.025274445404365017,0.10905068705325716,0.10221382056840117,0.06970192367913701,-0.19059473474401778,-0.2313943712873935,0.17683446207595221,0.026151894366307077,-0.19705191995388974,0.11482940433961637,0.07547205610506295,0.04454444817627547;0.07414717068193505,0.06023692297060426,0.12561106633279182,-0.010174225738017824,-0.2484599294192667,-0.019737866127367568,-0.1404300698277295,0.1510298214395492,-0.17426704398571907,-0.1112828464386678,-0.23622171100401204,0.0369350459670069,-0.2825894121036625,0.1328081338491442,-0.02387968679198624,-0.16954564938436154,-0.07098175542905606,-0.22317175342447437,-0.051240374943115154,-0.20191652255274672,-0.23007451030265658,0.27565944410897497,-0.04063314087721931,-0.0018037445097204786,-0.2856801335646378,0.14564024711610637,0.02928266656179876,0.18808910466322684,-0.020802545792922043,0.12819863831232417,-0.02886931237482984,-0.04769162722542878,-0.25217625987646686,-0.14589963950955367,-0.014669038654396576,-0.2831306127990378,-0.01574725876436362,-0.12068510269404877,-0.12806807664087622,-0.25118865379251215,0.1549093650216054,0.09672779925013993,0.09666844281226775,-0.09323141219927125,0.05581686442065146,0.08687310893536626,0.08383690758374593,0.11187250758569968,-0.0685308000786885,-0.19563660108627995,-0.15130831234892297,0.15683845257919946,-0.04358663070822093,0.02764070048088576,0.14205345264467872,0.1438731629885751,0.9938723196899099,-0.13199054697935442,-0.07597046076287634,0.14903313995326128,0.11331852385329987,0.033854069074307026,0.07674681976918138,-0.21074706130630416,-0.280764724146358,0.12752428260132845,-0.14750530480673293,0.09811959905228661,-0.18770765478651047,0.1413152422697292,-0.25239161242802227,-0.23682304568641394,0.04570320466717966,-0.2357162589093952,-0.07134118573530811,0.09013454837462345,0.08840097885948124,-0.07709694851849634,0.11022460248471484,0.13862720771943057,-0.026835349662085176,-0.06311875966024622,0.41636907478081153,0.39151792046092926,0.08228787589296807,0.07093996947664659,-0.003606328414449342,-0.08988490168575958,-0.03145769181146754,0.12644433314192147,0.11039434012379652,0.04152212362740649,-0.22338377238713125,-0.25395846904149044,0.4305755588685353,-0.03037461482570215,-0.23642949589723344,0.8142345324870596,0.05480595563583231,-2.9880074926527667E-4;-0.1688839261980897,-0.16929023828273537,-0.1606473061575523,-0.15150673562340022,0.3920293080139946,-0.1445477946578542,0.08776477209109225,-0.15361446487219113,0.1550058776101142,0.03818831205232793,0.29351989034472026,-0.1700465892531048,0.5479276886028739,-0.1605485352252802,-0.14849229940154499,0.06211913453363545,-0.10596129878586273,0.30144387040019227,-0.12245509205151094,0.1561550235373706,0.270969229890502,-0.07498940449779631,-0.1381567514609983,-0.1555445322590234,0.5795167307093195,-0.15454836769404123,-0.16997805006768235,-0.13438053154110305,-0.15097881380343275,-0.1617277117916691,-0.14709195682299067,-0.13207989065055042,0.39368228655941817,0.007451761062190854,-0.1543984234746415,0.5568621230688603,-0.15269500444177453,-0.04089959108601436,-0.026428217769393716,0.38301070216466104,-0.14916796904585178,-0.1685936642191422,-0.16562089875894948,-0.08047829204276542,-0.168925642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x_a{211}=[-10.186268474472632,-15.783853822454917,20.4101674578702];
std_x_a{211}=[1.2325575278013854,2.0331206573355622,2.596955079724024];
pred_a{211}=[-10.186268474472632];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.0 to 21.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{212}=[-14.12947507184399,-14.427284925197965,34.14644854344313];
std_x_f{212}=[1.2257534602389886,2.5844461448899496,2.7598646219859098];
pred_f{212}=[-14.12947507184399];
obs{212}=[-14.640278103456213];
sqrt_r{212}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{212}=[2.5025497187301267];
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k{212}=[0.6004075393525321;0.6022692968315573;-0.7648263101422363];
x_a{212}=[-14.436165063148099,-14.734925907866486,34.537124141320575];
L_a{212}=[0.012472114834447257,0.024767764934478048,-0.03289870082259717,0.07425123714020138,0.01305337731766689,0.0789845966880766,0.07671847085508222,-0.05614861488834326,0.07097976242377922,0.0772796770846483,0.04928780428034945,0.04323465241071194,-0.03821707075028736,-0.03864169742290754,0.08369067320057595,0.10637546080764168,0.1028097669532835,0.03822386690554083,0.09513124739220363,0.08705019738530545,0.05523384150183127,-0.18720110392383743,0.09244724187083099,0.0683913798370991,-0.051701265008074454,-0.05167251053843725,0.049246232070810844,-0.09401534743629802,0.08137741284970267,-0.034120272929833974,0.08680102894011076,0.09553425081460963,0.014557920649729938,0.11241760067447433,0.07816009645763987,-0.04261152969707051,0.07810224008550538,0.11390152958494631,0.11372949792224189,0.017967190088576952,-0.06167738922945061,-0.0059202624073025865,-0.007886387018470067,0.10984052224695014,0.02783554676795774,0.0030735866118317213,0.004943300680249682,-0.020974768368723817,0.10211609777107594,0.05971072303113232,0.1113207746481688,-0.06272436992162146,0.09410520644324463,0.05074181698237979,-0.04798871237663271,-0.049629817239031336,-1.175629189639768,0.11403036479486371,0.10469815125472781,-0.05529967257478643,-0.021250011584031538,0.044713723289660945,0.012212616454167291,0.07884639827190691,-0.03240564951218351,-0.036351425543061915,0.11280521680631038,-0.007086752725944583,0.0972645687319727,-0.04670730398411441,0.011079781000919674,0.05518706797211874,0.03635276423389717,0.04727443892172801,0.07072619692662539,-0.0012499625848736557,0.0015167871912765943,0.07129718642720999,-0.0192650287485387,-0.04437969685753035,0.08354576505152335,0.10071323101811075,-0.35007703558091935,-0.31762640761129646,0.005736432229335487,0.014951959003702884,0.07156773879322148,0.10952870150796659,0.08816708645501024,-0.033411105373697424,-0.01903976737465415,0.039202362104062735,0.03895054472114071,0.011951141820855939,-0.3675443332118476,0.08786417779059029,0.049515695137202484,-0.8987665387959943,0.0272385679595498,0.06731532666737142;-0.1593175840333585,-0.13774014517354632,-0.23352745485466486,-0.02446809308589931,0.43666363381679557,-0.007056197486511935,0.23051948115734033,-0.26761740791865574,0.2951713969867734,0.17674457174906286,0.4102506042576128,-0.10252234563001215,0.4991736430435537,-0.24335681713573157,-0.0016949129209163413,0.2750629610173299,0.08210050907948174,0.3899182602325741,0.048382236022639205,0.3386453405408358,0.39779568311732694,-0.4175706211785703,0.027043376798207338,-0.0399533699612959,0.5041631386544914,-0.261549255660638,-0.09076944867882733,-0.3155377098881042,-0.008460368389895915,-0.23730787112241905,0.006378515143988441,0.03943107787012078,0.44332986914588624,0.22652365236024768,-0.018580914915560857,0.49909267630238646,-0.016881596390253283,0.17611954921772457,0.19229108708349205,0.4395743148326835,-0.273380700246003,-0.19297667315427966,-0.19330169418359228,0.12414368383266101,-0.13074613083896552,-0.17788016934568596,-0.17400465301653406,-0.21621796007413596,0.0779703873864526,0.3362755679264072,0.23689282051953922,-0.27644383085218005,0.0319049284014513,-0.08778304649272833,-0.2563771976526253,-0.25802477770557586,-0.8405246409154802,0.19786954575687568,0.09173655237326085,-0.2662262616621903,-0.21527770221734868,-0.09850867666132745,-0.16366693269229116,0.35866622678462157,0.4941970055428353,-0.23614057128610091,0.22978039769355021,-0.19462408648229496,0.31024682306017265,-0.25508696951834986,0.44401336388804,0.40893062529580587,-0.11620637629726245,0.41026445986365023,0.1017561096630491,-0.18432688954032952,-0.18061761806327897,0.11106434769093068,-0.21251147985852545,-0.2522030988326115,0.004293749964866649,0.06822762500541703,-0.5552077675412387,-0.5309464274097339,-0.171293593255253,-0.15531623905014108,-0.037595157259860526,0.11821466288627701,0.01144375920400797,-0.2349498731783673,-0.212266034376762,-0.11016222984133249,0.3895439847608593,0.44591093564707124,-0.5672974736288157,0.009220414909972458,0.41156687643993006,-0.7758905504930681,-0.12943358346189476,-0.04118125141730393;-0.18553012511264907,-0.18881177061950757,-0.16953203372574233,-0.17378835240809498,0.3828840589811777,-0.1670538045714905,0.06889476588709699,-0.15810191853692662,0.13863466409966313,0.016985191172573525,0.2830716758744741,-0.18991986915247508,0.541336369267697,-0.16844141158814172,-0.1708151178080389,0.046566451212330134,-0.12649920996267777,0.2899341332268947,-0.14493413167184113,0.14362192125664697,0.2601754938877444,-0.043643045836228106,-0.1595667241475649,-0.1761892391042437,0.5744343272811063,-0.1595220786657939,-0.1901629092621638,-0.13057094865361338,-0.17207690396149214,-0.1705018334542102,-0.1693160172157966,-0.15423814269303734,0.38362982700264453,-0.010259344113370235,-0.17620570488806273,0.5509019510471601,-0.17398291534057844,-0.060249818371038294,-0.04480771571412374,0.37449716907099767,-0.15148224362303297,-0.18251574046209895,-0.17800429595690218,-0.10167068989661743,-0.18763056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x_a{212}=[-14.436165063148108,-14.734925907866495,34.53712414132059];
std_x_a{212}=[1.729074121050696,2.860624494669522,3.1655860769429696];
pred_a{212}=[-14.436165063148108];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.1 to 21.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{213}=[-9.789467591171839,-2.276747765443244,35.85254441592714];
std_x_f{213}=[1.5896196468823587,3.2419825171195495,1.840439294900444];
pred_f{213}=[-9.789467591171839];
obs{213}=[-9.77455702759597];
sqrt_r{213}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{213}=[3.541489408148812];
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k{213}=[0.717632926502888;1.0204265907242256;-0.5288526584077908];
x_a{213}=[-9.77876727979708,-2.261532629887743,35.84465892474169];
L_a{213}=[0.0973168637944677,0.09190864314777533,0.11163503880896739,0.05677609364769353,-0.21013317388883235,0.050037425517461515,-0.07552346589655412,0.11676387441129926,-0.11192576427865827,-0.048199557445462914,-0.18058308263003275,0.08278032121213962,-0.26521905989099653,0.11397609444037878,0.049115019187083074,-0.08591444961544326,0.013542207173084467,-0.17533375252374137,0.02849694635623346,-0.12719753035399972,-0.17139059203758528,0.11709809850088111,0.037991478571534495,0.06172430354581513,-0.27445227272499356,0.11589763943872085,0.07947521325576765,0.12019882710537572,0.051397267198751415,0.11300144346203993,0.04640388225212561,0.032975527621335814,-0.21260991671831905,-0.057626777331813844,0.0551297023164269,-0.26726402339051236,0.05431470369587226,-0.030728468217136123,-0.039389382935429366,-0.20935471024350705,0.11634641188998134,0.1045752580884516,0.10393128453450465,-0.005239486573693435,0.09012845446489368,0.10194740889836545,0.10075961771747656,0.10862653521392343,0.01554368077860565,-0.13833543318546118,-0.06364197039827751,0.11743624346923541,0.036580138142329646,0.07891175931514412,0.1158034515213096,0.11537750835632744,-0.4936872851499952,-0.042167207802658584,0.009453247205447783,0.11629163906635101,0.10880317326456845,0.08068358519789484,0.09927316085806426,-0.14033897309704418,-0.25992749660504055,0.1110628361397903,-0.05918799345104729,0.10582687422605408,-0.10784531513318778,0.11556377719360192,-0.21471472737793432,-0.17727191650570126,0.08632424318567218,-0.1810096936345944,-0.011656019289783073,0.10285326525253831,0.10245709971720444,-0.01669773927957429,0.10811006143520774,0.11477286813618669,0.046100710270693054,0.020152543274120496,0.07969259117593468,0.09119800545254614,0.09976484824775356,0.09604296772528863,0.06231571760415719,-0.002172973534451102,0.04489885486540756,0.11218546413883658,0.10816815504335453,0.08448320906766157,-0.17487908089566087,-0.21513028632995293,0.07407429905188659,0.04571538065225085,-0.18079306753296395,-0.25378882297994143,0.08880639679367733,0.062332127586033806;0.16464012899877947,0.13479465128441126,0.2603926085324633,-0.00421265302806254,-0.40892677737041955,-0.023637237043737873,-0.2519006526399143,0.3072688729290892,-0.31038687493935163,-0.2046581745154983,-0.40363821101386,0.09038352521343691,-0.44286159827542604,0.27502901578322014,-0.03278646501661262,-0.31018391116335114,-0.12558153172324715,-0.3804199434188794,-0.08707711782132913,-0.35773499446675855,-0.39500486026422066,0.5095032445473562,-0.06553993602582356,0.01373646539021224,-0.4427847207098099,0.2987559847600339,0.07432090840315211,0.3719468742960612,-0.024425579293479716,0.2659645722923741,-0.04199608864607591,-0.07968586618587023,-0.41591030265248646,-0.2677331441567314,-0.013867805886774137,-0.44054452101136543,-0.01541864396435686,-0.22123025848862823,-0.23730577222392002,-0.4139296249943193,0.31467124649546113,0.20627936233046215,0.20824660585140845,-0.17043856328870777,0.1271226986027447,0.18792151166427504,0.18252380838639654,0.23801339627289203,-0.12137467168388959,-0.3424490054398835,-0.2768269469322821,0.3188408714932641,-0.07109478787735182,0.07135986668691344,0.29343951554447273,0.2940266211041057,0.6307080495074211,-0.24304133231602448,-0.1359533699142717,0.3049686826698746,0.23742492780107505,0.08370379658475074,0.16920371061358783,-0.36954399427383733,-0.4404897471427626,0.2655538234352472,-0.27127607036477475,0.21146908683812712,-0.33671866275505186,0.29066250834102836,-0.4150075989341903,-0.40523329431825716,0.10743823331389282,-0.4013195851978725,-0.12860223556413458,0.19634238396798315,0.19121368106784056,-0.13894102445930667,0.23403078280987655,0.2856849501423552,-0.03819073419144193,-0.1112394489582996,0.6803807537476534,0.6545866515073069,0.17909623951415082,0.15890909811032214,0.010034181370135021,-0.16357048356556914,-0.047177989717065695,0.26306911116512816,0.23339782499699466,0.09980980900505419,-0.38066269495111077,-0.41596348592175564,0.6956251545595092,-0.04477023872198402,-0.40423518927560687,0.7601916451016228,0.12563212396235238,0.015184855709420852;-0.049640597919464235,-0.060051939309295685,-0.006290484983156514,-0.10196544862512677,0.10601924516337695,-0.10537946965751575,-0.048522937072644205,0.015259712317796931,-0.02108315709719689,-0.06387638987211063,0.04741672107066408,-0.07690914241233407,0.20179348433893332,-0.0019118861005573103,-0.10932109555057141,-0.07279654067827157,-0.11676625677552704,0.054946853070122946,-0.11517122060893376,-0.027970942839407507,0.03494869787558369,0.136434177975228,-0.11480972564877276,-0.09638291027963737,0.22341140932868492,0.011020542122273685,-0.08210159575774643,0.05091884803410807,-0.10723144642995064,-0.005677725971886938,-0.11206814832570405,-0.1167269136712245,0.10649412431287633,-0.0958006425890644,-0.10555856753317941,0.20853183040354026,-0.10513832147763555,-0.11038682102637577,-0.10577155688198371,0.10103031483130678,0.02157393923350338,-0.03136570156652893,-0.029732948602866065,-0.11723182268326159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x_a{213}=[-9.77876727979708,-2.261532629887746,35.8446589247417];
std_x_a{213}=[1.2803330292909785,2.949482478151765,1.7065331064705733];
pred_a{213}=[-9.77876727979708];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.2 to 21.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{214}=[-3.51600893053958,0.7550118316847205,27.88049278858776];
std_x_f{214}=[1.7643702056357295,2.1937548911966505,1.413108821627495];
pred_f{214}=[-3.51600893053958];
obs{214}=[-3.414773021134316];
sqrt_r{214}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{214}=[4.121573309970004];
L_f{214}=[0.09258016761130496,0.0732404363500848,0.15525149708523586,-0.016830553394356313,-0.2167672477617278,-0.029494645472163253,-0.15893010341044875,0.18532980085643766,-0.18738904069198306,-0.1342223998505905,-0.22475699837173158,0.04404061668596684,-0.21387979709946567,0.16451986670759605,-0.03548840867689539,-0.19523939825266146,-0.09281297441770194,-0.21177233673132556,-0.0691702762879561,-0.21428469183277266,-0.2227583449474478,0.31458176895595147,-0.05618436583989765,-0.0051111351637236875,-0.2093933229094331,0.18024049757591457,0.033621000221551296,0.22710612381214865,-0.029847200402344277,0.15919349792129853,-0.0411025269901571,-0.06457913978254662,-0.22087835823582966,-0.1745070631554496,-0.02298205632432002,-0.21131921683054922,-0.02393726195357713,-0.14926394912505717,-0.15813205670851108,-0.22037109813685044,0.19032557411880982,0.11957587303569714,0.12115157214110088,-0.1192369019826651,0.06810390109814175,0.10780650196304911,0.10434219891240559,0.1405292701907952,-0.0902211055791459,-0.2002902655449866,-0.1790542575775615,0.19303874947730199,-0.05917207538923951,0.031978649464054175,0.17605979782025005,0.17693044608488756,0.477563196579629,-0.1612545964577838,-0.09897780421058487,0.18348013423224274,0.13995541449812843,0.040178869720195354,0.09544356358368757,-0.21780679863757632,-0.2150652705090469,0.15844289552770374,-0.17610333869689826,0.12262106824100019,-0.20669123676592735,0.1751440251088399,-0.2180146670759049,-0.22713297928666598,0.055439903455613476,-0.22330841259132114,-0.09031536920207076,0.11314188247579476,0.11009475692169929,-0.09669692933690666,0.1377065892845996,0.17169574514536737,-0.03842142729829246,-0.0840185010857979,0.41958025720667197,0.4040905575693552,0.10212530343334267,0.08951591963894784,-0.007804992250660282,-0.11610772329857307,-0.044795987697877765,0.15749816856686197,0.1379712681374823,0.05081170180661439,-0.21210019750620357,-0.2195892832804631,0.42869432571725485,-0.042786704593615624,-0.2252320420873761,0.4878301999690271,0.06737607006835493,-0.004344788277773426;0.05292646436169122,0.027534883513986783,0.13927261541640185,-0.08396156852580754,-0.12053536540204932,-0.09703728465542391,-0.17731012404539753,0.18162862647600422,-0.1821380140494391,-0.1668670656107768,-0.16396609119064762,-0.010315640215547824,-0.05558606480820893,0.1514545595565582,-0.10525028975089973,-0.21957826083935036,-0.16204965151854253,-0.15151872336768774,-0.1393223301974055,-0.20493045134922563,-0.17086999050252794,0.3797792804006883,-0.12772636789603445,-0.06933069907341119,-0.038554197206997265,0.17473176244898148,-0.023410036936345937,0.24489247027773348,-0.09889310700694734,0.14340453370463904,-0.11185321091409392,-0.13697780588644742,-0.12244847234986315,-0.21787454380763038,-0.09168569591441283,-0.04976355089074762,-0.09249551805709393,-0.20625868180234583,-0.21122697252690725,-0.1261750053273734,0.19072866667385954,0.09014285700088241,0.09252794415938315,-0.18531833324292027,0.020695025234669536,0.07294820127192633,0.06852952544781346,0.11848635769091113,-0.16045699908997574,-0.17375089483018635,-0.21828928238909717,0.19334118643702972,-0.13193784173916842,-0.026074884279477652,0.1686525974675263,0.1692466473136105,1.064776390225742,-0.21345370132401278,-0.1681420877093592,0.17980164319737854,0.11787145450627433,-0.015050576007086218,0.05562183830323053,-0.19709408461585834,-0.06295888565856465,0.14492787772464774,-0.21883149779173308,0.09311169035412603,-0.2144310164491457,0.16664341096129348,-0.11726290499554566,-0.16994742096991952,0.003873967579442675,-0.16109022039547108,-0.13518414458443348,0.08072190691977607,0.07598986221268557,-0.1395661393492326,0.11462249451000178,0.16217587867986638,-0.10792205698881366,-0.154117712498323,0.5627323399541714,0.5322011725354266,0.06628694180172172,0.048735810642695956,-0.07364348119472744,-0.18314204119969327,-0.1161519354985694,0.1414962228348872,0.1146177397584526,-0.0014516256950059172,-0.15200174196969732,-0.11859857018859545,0.5799927677141568,-0.11438348339434087,-0.1639935963932332,0.8919301772998632,0.0203402720801358,-0.06923812258249713;-0.11590243370092773,-0.11173016852531717,-0.1171996458550791,-0.08118673327579011,0.24673705706121668,-0.0750331939646106,0.07715853511995457,-0.11552555110843309,0.12615819694590877,0.042249496089350816,0.21650707974619313,-0.1061379884945732,0.30931512965650393,-0.11778553171328017,-0.0732701773700727,0.09940073275652152,-0.03150736966330697,0.20595884868608313,-0.049885896062683475,0.15142546027451742,0.20576028735579577,-0.07309013560641582,-0.06021669456007634,-0.08632714733114182,0.3182191849742377,-0.11586226261344028,-0.10275927941644071,-0.10608677782602415,-0.07550436623833202,-0.11834116547391309,-0.0701422326136115,-0.05490809030568444,0.25102745094689843,0.06218643148987962,-0.07920379542753507,0.3105242363428036,-0.0788488133711094,0.02572702298348887,0.03764038748896601,0.24701832398137072,-0.11239524653618123,-0.11771175676651248,-0.1168738464807128,-0.007015102285743645,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k{214}=[0.7573742052383199;0.8511240495520099;-0.3170739544113088];
x_a{214}=[-3.4393354641121894,0.8411761488578092,27.848393518464206];
L_a{214}=[-0.06356073946053536,-0.05028308343929986,-0.10658762250812552,0.0115549846892337,0.1488211451118402,0.020249493219842766,0.10911316274257826,-0.12723782523235075,0.12865159245756666,0.09215013546410382,0.15430649332388094,-0.030236002321908116,0.14683877130560888,-0.11295080419153003,0.02436450004337326,0.1340412406344985,0.06372057253437663,0.1453918983646875,0.04748872272526726,0.14711675102109933,0.15293432158504638,-0.2159755201523529,0.038573270399535085,0.0035090402066776712,0.14375859091226204,-0.123743773663908,-0.023082434290426588,-0.15591928096437593,0.020491539142214167,-0.10929399574722065,0.02821886238270319,0.04433668661669948,0.15164362025397826,0.11980749507621666,0.015778287423613112,0.14508080975142662,0.01643408204679156,0.10247688274902084,0.10856526528453771,0.15129536178975406,-0.13066766394323656,-0.08209459010376588,-0.08317638335269631,0.08186187016663093,-0.04675660484996244,-0.07401435059173878,-0.07163593986624991,-0.09648010540094988,0.06194112987172121,0.1375089040477371,0.12292936283037435,-0.1325303893683609,0.04062447675559556,-0.02195488147546123,-0.12087352213176371,-0.12147126405574386,-0.3278701118924278,0.11070903906006131,0.06795302480135797,-0.125967940100117,-0.09608612585748377,-0.027584727226096544,-0.06552659856479934,0.14953484680498477,0.1476526558390668,-0.10877867108958961,0.12090341503850524,-0.08418526312850447,0.14190347876677142,-0.12024480010395976,0.14967755848926403,0.15593771853975447,-0.03806216115371555,0.15331196948847947,0.06200584638425185,-0.0776773460198442,-0.07558534771778298,0.06638709445873187,-0.09454219914858529,-0.11787738999874735,0.02637815844600474,0.05768274345538148,-0.28806203422601284,-0.2774276101547257,-0.07011393445632705,-0.061456985794510685,0.0053585027089013085,0.07971353844292879,0.030754600865450135,-0.10813007057644825,-0.09472391391582803,-0.034884678040724065,0.1456169905613103,0.15075860827466145,-0.2943192807721501,0.029375131339874704,0.1546326336908894,-0.3349189037050955,-0.046256913829205076,0.0029829061975150785;-0.12254198994867323,-0.11127871437581285,-0.15497766437667512,-0.05206239113724635,0.2903065556188157,-0.04113568083503141,0.12391226848581392,-0.16962947267174314,0.1730229904431604,0.08752647939221286,0.26201891312802156,-0.09378642165986915,0.3497832315925354,-0.160362187586639,-0.037988624783801946,0.15046163340358157,0.013860044707076845,0.2498562746551313,-0.008222962183446208,0.20120624756163338,0.25132693872284956,-0.2164518366639637,-0.02123937306010091,-0.05964349489038008,0.35831182347346974,-0.16688051078171479,-0.08713237718974214,-0.1855448635262498,-0.04232330101913082,-0.15831707403524056,-0.03395103094080725,-0.014580081506515293,0.29618529242115027,0.11287107297162509,-0.048127491126611736,0.3507526428043417,-0.04712689901277524,0.07664331668179267,0.08848287120611645,0.29149734245987613,-0.16999798967194643,-0.13649092597602488,-0.1370922828218622,0.0406729932741843,-0.10838322733848366,-0.1313789321967065,-0.12923166720170953,-0.1478606846828961,0.010540292777227806,0.20586197707716353,0.1210746939944161,-0.17252778816884182,-0.01978820024707032,-0.08668445474330744,-0.16503593849859624,-0.166092040182647,0.1596443505953471,0.09217433458196014,0.01945189450054661,-0.16795075757121278,-0.14738795134680224,-0.09120213575949396,-0.12527364944546152,0.2157181113577157,0.3446572546632082,-0.15537110306170696,0.11493956179172463,-0.13929369262669636,0.17731370351165746,-0.1653094484953048,0.29594326686416583,0.2605408123811797,-0.10120203754635129,0.26214925953732987,0.03599180641289544,-0.13371744600021593,-0.1326742320869984,0.043704869605321155,-0.14637468224570735,-0.16324140873326504,-0.03510140182717628,0.005123698479620032,-0.2325038438935865,-0.2336771723364606,-0.1272725386116342,-0.12092493269450867,-0.05885057293517819,0.03691851028075537,-0.031249489073392533,-0.15701220405810862,-0.14688108643689587,-0.09775573711462163,0.2499946550512133,0.2975919932387126,-0.23251743448216444,-0.03328925863989015,0.2628917647584888,-0.03266105387899287,-0.10735851241587997,-0.061003386104081;-0.05053419893901299,-0.06001717036465275,-0.007580960012830031,-0.09307031043752463,0.09368384160503182,-0.0958585279339602,-0.03505751048159852,0.015330573300691345,-0.006151898399693002,-0.05252113967551248,0.05781252762969203,-0.075042156148767,0.15830066134913234,-0.0016227125326865384,-0.09832753781316177,-0.03845227776445476,-0.0970399827188389,0.05643239846779524,-0.09872506945801779,1.251072613433403E-4,0.04847692782640289,0.14902714345562856,-0.09988688430947651,-0.08993597513846342,0.17037248904916047,0.011400448862878209,-0.07902044320434898,0.05426642524387652,-0.09657862926060061,-0.0059391444667794314,-0.09916356302295978,-0.10050559222155403,0.0950714967990801,-0.061028064295552284,-0.09543077461628573,0.16131772125547802,-0.09575023620616396,-0.07966402479320395,-0.07401217993460135,0.09142053182538008,0.02198825190841838,-0.033282618840606314,-0.03133215203548141,-0.091204902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x_a{214}=[-3.4393354641121907,0.8411761488578081,27.848393518464214];
std_x_a{214}=[1.2113250369472222,1.648119073280233,1.3109257221815565];
pred_a{214}=[-3.4393354641121907];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.3 to 21.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{215}=[-0.9268312066539466,0.25978957198491426,21.408567800786038];
std_x_f{215}=[1.4658279060872577,1.9195049774198971,1.008173732442565];
pred_f{215}=[-0.9268312066539466];
obs{215}=[-0.9568530005304685];
sqrt_r{215}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{215}=[3.1609008573251414];
L_f{215}=[-0.11067703944805724,-0.09897448241443986,-0.14463400288125822,-0.036867087503168965,0.24693947230128577,-0.025692336697978345,0.1219603348715916,-0.15935241369342973,0.16255597895356586,0.09079611855718547,0.2310311501046817,-0.07985294268774708,0.28419868693800027,-0.15001748355956612,-0.02278841926519854,0.1496606183619867,0.02886899404425289,0.21996312244951724,0.0070946880196503725,0.18895310115509328,0.2241031423365316,-0.20544447833483723,-0.005087588255935948,-0.04502382332346637,0.28841211439779024,-0.15662356693288032,-0.0730503175124314,-0.17652023940988731,-0.027303423751451946,-0.14775842730242442,-0.01803464877971137,0.0015164348184793018,0.25191923809993755,0.11869966285758828,-0.03280598723949172,0.2845296644072375,-0.03175540910899588,0.08707848357416975,0.09806206959803601,0.2488359424158816,-0.16041611065546926,-0.1255312045374045,-0.12598614348638368,0.0540132859772199,-0.0956387676354721,-0.12007436571766596,-0.11756361461700685,-0.1370114851423624,0.025675788431622184,0.1882925823417213,0.12545319809515676,-0.16268420706829556,-0.003695602087528071,-0.0724775160590964,-0.15477386672292107,-0.15547880417255888,0.05839915487681825,0.10077926198996985,0.0337424036265593,-0.1581155859103177,-0.13689187546604972,-0.07728712438716913,-0.11309282808297845,0.19933082667896865,0.28114373199611187,-0.145310539660783,0.120216820162986,-0.1279793374572235,0.17092164124140416,-0.15489831341231014,0.2510509480293757,0.23090500822017246,-0.08803866673698622,0.23075959647580155,0.043383026947593974,-0.12277817913112055,-0.12113851295530549,0.05029380629990985,-0.13592075795652797,-0.15321672431418032,-0.019574542615549865,0.02001747230921087,-0.2192588874617707,-0.22000315744136348,-0.11557599764813195,-0.10937706559327622,-0.04363245375677506,0.05095428047278107,-0.01521001822400311,-0.14617074732740185,-0.13584533212777378,-0.08428000903318422,0.21977530604179527,0.25306447160844225,-0.21855806471964703,-0.01730423120965062,0.2316470841738416,-0.07548763658390233,-0.09437519400516178,-0.04608112503685975;-0.15617168603565115,-0.1443426473618113,-0.18633728450979933,-0.07411153444559417,0.334307854083334,-0.06018628924283529,0.14655950131864007,-0.19769177949866296,0.20561539567885342,0.10244303965606254,0.30586743009472306,-0.1245707833104267,0.3945690686102554,-0.19132002489226763,-0.05671288346663757,0.18036408547965158,0.010610514638707078,0.29193247134725114,-0.01852335612132945,0.2399287232125178,0.2949005702872419,-0.21026394194271963,-0.034826735508137245,-0.08386085443039562,0.40229578515091297,-0.19584921656202173,-0.11725666174072809,-0.20638630942651826,-0.06259970716445129,-0.19004360470062515,-0.051428789726598804,-0.02625546970721466,0.34052110323378093,0.1348141206587833,-0.06912288182352534,0.39512644844513495,-0.06858522645259268,0.08960951982559333,0.10531801717546585,0.3360986201147832,-0.19644793279696873,-0.16993245102268778,-0.16988448055009467,0.0444306035096057,-0.14073614728576408,-0.16570959997601992,-0.16280407638976324,-0.18031944545573622,0.005817028991823353,0.24315026704066683,0.14490787336835015,-0.1995251288959077,-0.033262453785379495,-0.11600899521999447,-0.19400321137943127,-0.19474263580262485,0.3125023956553125,0.11012030793984534,0.01685259478713387,-0.19615291390055667,-0.17978545129608134,-0.12169171675296565,-0.15913836316923471,0.2548667879529448,0.3888750644579975,-0.18628172481475436,0.13760003266541496,-0.17321468290562048,0.21221362938620347,-0.19515114521408283,0.3404123229551235,0.30443488551701847,-0.13358614918860168,0.3052138139470512,0.03668626421895405,-0.16734380555627423,-0.16648104674984376,0.047114722002105466,-0.17912845810239178,-0.1936129315429918,-0.05275468251562829,-0.0020265560434961733,-0.17400302312954088,-0.18453280804735606,-0.16060356273945287,-0.15412077501118157,-0.08336604530972999,0.03943352252981921,-0.048077883446349536,-0.18825095819697776,-0.17946846374677938,-0.12859318092702435,0.2914994056838225,0.3425296953293169,-0.16820903504053364,-0.05042188218085661,0.3066636312982198,0.10373712667129335,-0.1391180941951246,-0.08500467856536703;-0.02894201691448448,-0.03981255463010517,0.014210488900907947,-0.07962475850449072,0.06892596036153716,-0.08360514869653106,-0.04700390678996073,0.036661178555821725,-0.021562277196663992,-0.06067026541338058,0.038630663523380133,-0.055932755606396885,0.12661507926356752,0.021029162348746033,-0.08578713319810008,-0.04671539707527884,-0.09162387092193006,0.034777536905365516,-0.09099433840744761,-0.01305163276865268,0.02956506224862572,0.15446567308413556,-0.08997052637837148,-0.07576260621220547,0.13677057601263623,0.032801542589667325,-0.060619655963398016,0.0722073163159784,-0.08349540315470116,0.01712349176921282,-0.08742201346066952,-0.0907329644530967,0.07106372635725065,-0.06608429702326978,-0.08193089056840128,0.12891252208838905,-0.08200359027611265,-0.08024617314877934,-0.07655304949067207,0.06749804343654413,0.04217160390502617,-0.01126406423148575,-0.010182957758511432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k{215}=[0.683634493729034;0.8754185315161548;4.545653153296813E-4];
x_a{215}=[-0.9473551405115601,0.23350793727604874,21.408554153919837];
L_a{215}=[0.10272117239480288,0.0918598376093318,0.13423718612466862,0.034216947525820135,-0.22918856731116954,0.023845478342569375,-0.11319338361550788,0.1478975841797155,-0.15087086554869258,-0.08426936421143408,-0.21442379301815667,0.07411282351756453,-0.26376945444981736,0.13923368268437358,0.021150305028208846,-0.13890247025164965,-0.02679378603613612,-0.20415137533779232,-0.006584696110306248,-0.1753704668563545,-0.20799379557827513,0.19067638402540946,0.0047218739579407915,0.041787347588507696,-0.2676800054604736,0.14536489682263298,0.0677991957149453,0.16383132431099012,0.025340754614759355,0.13713701558524746,0.01673825280852292,-0.0014074279831780131,-0.23381036948115916,-0.11016710053327439,0.03044777387988476,-0.2640766400580141,0.02947271511616056,-0.08081896631593817,-0.09101301233575602,-0.230948712274881,0.14888481874578635,0.11650756621716213,0.11692980250429308,-0.0501306150593205,0.08876390610828053,0.11144298476532373,0.10911271556100247,0.1271626026099275,-0.023830119625624254,-0.17475742853118104,-0.11643516716093506,0.15098987616141474,0.003429948804455699,0.06726756930779312,0.14364815977316517,0.1443024237619106,-0.05420121179359692,-0.0935348830825128,-0.031316877260396135,0.14674966406398654,0.1270515909110073,0.0717314455433993,0.1049633053798798,-0.18500220382655275,-0.2609341007503595,0.13486509098648589,-0.11157519906839071,0.11877971846261633,-0.15863517368659696,0.14376366078311678,-0.2330044952504093,-0.21430671866985895,0.08171012803014856,-0.21417175964912413,-0.040264497607777276,0.11395243826310351,0.11243063723955087,-0.0466785050728474,0.12615028085059485,0.1422029504089717,0.018167453489799718,-0.018578543790445975,0.20349776331542999,0.20418853246920637,0.10726797570951374,0.10151464537608589,0.040495994713171175,-0.04729150196644108,0.014116666942913398,0.1356634638058054,0.1260802769040028,0.07822165627583762,-0.20397705985472198,-0.23487327945097836,0.2028473182540971,0.016060340302834597,-0.21499545151225377,0.07006131145069557,0.08759116273386505,0.0427686466196023;0.11709239141111286,0.10002755591279153,0.17076729257214052,0.016914126386530937,-0.2753912074394585,0.00324866276019205,-0.15456328403942868,0.1957528819596584,-0.19573893981590104,-0.12173460095493947,-0.26455362931977217,0.07258791214977744,-0.3071238243781066,0.17907648598503442,-4.477683349926084E-4,-0.18915131727011356,-0.06066767516163794,-0.25116138107447594,-0.036040298986179276,-0.2266006954035671,-0.25841508351874787,0.2969830545316374,-0.022265366699209286,0.02730396895998187,-0.30980015415518775,0.19085786141707095,0.06310620052752312,0.22944609640561536,0.004813054685581639,0.17477524592223975,-0.006900839887670121,-0.029999581076170897,-0.2814731110474855,-0.15825799281461458,0.011875831933516467,-0.3073836352924355,0.009819586482314981,-0.12538919714430097,-0.13679941851727223,-0.27828286839426425,0.1996230201709936,0.14000689113683912,0.14117811601529048,-0.08892940355274719,0.09539810184472668,0.13075668550176084,0.12746310865452537,0.1579649654189338,-0.05757706497270107,-0.22174831590189029,-0.16483886914646226,0.20214580467238658,-0.02413792985435547,0.06293960749192648,0.18813691555048057,0.1891379974038699,0.1683135805165231,-0.13870593633622733,-0.06645815190279239,0.19423799219171783,0.15820364062161024,0.0691319161296701,0.12009035026635087,-0.237285466306557,-0.3052750766822869,0.17249323665619315,-0.15921797601324555,0.14276915400311208,-0.20979571277224265,0.18729624336591283,-0.2794380637872828,-0.2656747267728539,0.08378328141327515,-0.26453677350466537,-0.07042739634517897,0.13579825550875094,0.13261264197807124,-0.07706180682780753,0.1564629230375696,0.18468257607021396,-0.004424700470969595,-0.05145014137494018,0.36735205740967164,0.358659891661641,0.12475615170365452,0.11593363801102599,0.024363455606126194,-0.08637373175523011,-0.010524009411967591,0.1726478751773337,0.15593668934070617,0.07949604002170488,-0.2511307238407126,-0.28229212601230597,0.3714156985266672,-0.00769734960380029,-0.26527818306252576,0.29011778405613226,0.09389636347640817,0.02877064632319104;-0.02880012321785717,-0.03968566421767994,0.014395917183315725,-0.0795774929889348,0.0686093711688485,-0.08357220979025719,-0.047160266255692064,0.0368654766031694,-0.021770682380590017,-0.060786670739776526,0.03833446962365246,-0.05583037999822191,0.12625072182802946,0.02122149253219849,-0.08575791726437114,-0.046907269739065435,-0.09166088246744383,0.034495532790314344,-0.09100343416492845,-0.013293880430370067,0.029277750413664188,0.15472906354549942,-0.08996400382673728,-0.07570488333888438,0.13640081674487783,0.033002342114138425,-0.060526001673010955,0.07243362440503023,-0.0834603987513852,0.017312925725544773,-0.0873988921069047,-0.0907349086010713,0.070740752846902,-0.06623647613860632,-0.08188883159371133,0.12854774032259378,-0.081962878196996,-0.0803578122745879,-0.07667877014261198,0.06717902287094872,0.04237726566696851,-0.011103126725904699,-0.01002143699763615,-0.08817749976707799,-0.043167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x_a{215}=[-0.9473551405115599,0.23350793727604938,21.408554153919837];
std_x_a{215}=[1.3604588792146737,1.7899902593413262,1.0081777301727108];
pred_a{215}=[-0.9473551405115599];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.4 to 21.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{216}=[-0.3989558006997668,-0.2683099066891724,16.730555184868237];
std_x_f{216}=[1.9895242114885887,2.9441122278995975,1.0115916667761524];
pred_f{216}=[-0.3989558006997668];
obs{216}=[-0.4622601265432324];
sqrt_r{216}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{216}=[4.978475668342444];
L_f{216}=[0.14236952006365539,0.12380728709238953,0.1969981961918296,0.030416690134713723,-0.31537579482308326,0.014588886245491118,-0.17686568884195075,0.2214449184415177,-0.22541038261053795,-0.13712010435382493,-0.30276219093624496,0.0940689335414357,-0.34828935706051284,0.20513621995983547,0.010464810774201834,-0.21642885151805738,-0.061554651258470684,-0.28876227960364115,-0.0314566744059567,-0.2605926452785903,-0.29623797793017237,0.30846627267030596,-0.01516103379569283,0.042363046684478746,-0.3512342813133123,0.21669960319705925,0.08378057037461807,0.25247696981222584,0.016399576461322566,0.20089247903363508,0.0032933945453134036,-0.02468671474744783,-0.32178909468171296,-0.17907752833245102,0.024700915498377284,-0.348793665401316,0.022660950022957312,-0.1391780446238629,-0.15320111366673975,-0.3183938614513402,0.22466385783718856,0.16540280967852242,0.16716613941139072,-0.09515351541430453,0.11892317749354891,0.15645863016878825,0.15291774205285422,0.18442108805070448,-0.05704103079897739,-0.25569980571355805,-0.186658713091891,0.2273471848574517,-0.017709864773771893,0.08352197339400194,0.21350444499886154,0.21519688373961998,0.09424084634494931,-0.15631259790179758,-0.06829858586867525,0.21972896712793616,0.18436062404857625,0.09019500771913187,0.14530295847244123,-0.2717532667077176,-0.34662554983259536,0.1984836802686155,-0.18044318647662927,0.16933227715638952,-0.2399788174065936,0.21366483231723324,-0.32024786680366196,-0.30433460438755694,0.10612174560061959,-0.3029581051173597,-0.07545457921802759,0.16158089436546955,0.1586121672260328,-0.08439278228298025,0.18243259085926758,0.21067483594448908,0.006249190551424168,-0.05020989475938866,0.3549394031947236,0.351276990087342,0.150435021605751,0.14057902732060143,0.0399250879740724,-0.09178725800718505,-9.938464509523506E-4,0.19812895453060086,0.18203312983564796,0.10120432448156393,-0.2888382461042016,-0.32261851312745543,0.3567089720841218,0.0022929345184159204,-0.30404110985643523,0.23282179779422002,0.11765907443710133,0.044385168441603014;0.211261203988765,0.18352252422698656,0.2955736737048913,0.03918211609168856,-0.4541269338199692,0.013745621671824353,-0.2725997880777457,0.33174803521774937,-0.3406638682982504,-0.2147828945457551,-0.4432925634083879,0.13719855654761173,-0.4881214449236718,0.30765319321001683,0.006927419060930069,-0.33190213642257194,-0.10330577828683665,-0.4237327318613706,-0.05774757402769351,-0.3911569003408793,-0.435177282719666,0.46012201325996044,-0.03225766361371428,0.057338504392865156,-0.4900779849602846,0.32440335460660996,0.12111992636444403,0.3783290158401572,0.016576752271947347,0.3011203856844756,-0.004097231911241728,-0.04694115990805567,-0.46287558044472576,-0.2790253795592226,0.02924069898331015,-0.48776918066600605,0.025866533076313727,-0.22071759488962586,-0.2413430975233951,-0.4585186850184676,0.33683297354363767,0.2480052515574729,0.24979421001381635,-0.15494234636771276,0.17567963999627764,0.2331928966159815,0.22809434079736554,0.2762897066053516,-0.09703595124376803,-0.3814665791897209,-0.28974879343606863,0.34063615201027886,-0.035774986697994296,0.12006796474067095,0.3202186190855117,0.3223228411764372,0.19689365753827814,-0.24511364071715164,-0.11428830397624866,0.32969360085695915,0.27608890150637266,0.13091634707497873,0.21665067568202823,-0.4049323218918218,-0.4872621849111569,0.2976475940416812,-0.2810804318886352,0.2528083386648145,-0.3639039626649591,0.31963764906484665,-0.4595743764702419,-0.44585266482808744,0.15576609525503815,-0.4425660374715204,-0.12257092985568376,0.24142219578615928,0.23696249800118468,-0.1356202075470334,0.2736887774616572,0.31598868396364993,1.0309986476951988E-4,-0.0862197349551845,0.5260988884094094,0.5205586866673705,0.22405523863311524,0.20927182666506045,0.05290242022370083,-0.1492013831626136,-0.010672559906701004,0.29835461425997284,0.27285987732426437,0.14825344137403038,-0.42353667330327455,-0.4630044443564501,0.52889417484455,-0.0058562942787359715,-0.4437454571939653,0.3739131101746686,0.1728659209185814,0.059843282941776196;-0.047182043249031705,-0.058325534906500616,-0.001575715401566471,-0.09531424470690808,0.12174464646026231,-0.09811427758451013,-0.032504438197547635,0.022435285019647495,0.006484776999941711,-0.05606478883360722,0.09133888611075365,-0.07398582734202952,0.18620684388142086,0.005637118418188731,-0.09892526596588787,-0.016643287484886273,-0.09609453731158142,0.0811050599591424,-0.09980710120748552,0.028839877275163624,0.08051584014491554,0.14710845788418256,-0.10084905661205339,-0.09188390896629647,0.19549914164894264,0.01805757539521997,-0.0785120129876765,0.06049976982310458,-0.09791074095980563,0.0020830907762231328,-0.10035122361389064,-0.10068638116706281,0.12671119647744847,-0.04620217945841025,-0.096695107155301,0.18819577229409154,-0.09651609074593474,-0.07004244365354106,-0.0634584006918484,0.12268412463529843,0.027811213704087387,-0.028903446059643095,-0.02765689640812374,-0.08703610079381066,-0.06145990378203789,-0.0364210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k{216}=[0.7991353043344402;1.1817056044526717;-0.0461098646222184];
x_a{216}=[-0.4495445223983713,-0.34311698332449375,16.73347413876288];
L_a{216}=[-0.08249354988668882,-0.07173798583801579,-0.11414718907440544,-0.01762442371017403,0.18273903607780542,-0.008453277181418693,0.10248175676369167,-0.12831241840557808,0.1306101378619945,0.07945186697210686,0.17543030201011606,-0.054506612499771075,0.2018102290351748,-0.1188626258433494,-0.00606365315602939,0.12540594539927416,0.03566677538898785,0.16731829612986174,0.018227024564084152,0.15099588994738428,0.1716499599056598,-0.17873543326908328,0.008784798159041018,-0.024546532877652783,0.20351661433205726,-0.1255628277651674,-0.04854519885045378,-0.14629340251433387,-0.009502450231817915,-0.11640366374496496,-0.001908300365829011,0.014304288822821799,0.1864551114820749,0.10376336880585754,-0.014312517201724136,0.20210244175916064,-0.013130494577510496,0.0806443047794008,0.08876972899334654,0.18448780245594715,-0.1301775770259083,-0.09583979018481616,-0.09686152102453538,0.05513505466067532,-0.06890797321548381,-0.09065724044908699,-0.08860553422499952,-0.10685960183377773,0.0330514362744197,0.14816081889730917,0.10815615486619852,-0.13173238434217527,0.010261674075662001,-0.04839535931379272,-0.12371144874737611,-0.12469210303088049,-0.05460622439300828,0.09057262458400125,0.039574431367253,-0.12731814016943058,-0.10682456701611691,-0.052261933351195805,-0.08419327991040824,0.15746271852290028,0.20084616478535028,-0.11500792706621307,0.10455467573865149,-0.09811665198268246,0.13905156480564146,-0.12380438239808539,0.18556207371115363,0.17634140972074341,-0.06149040546637389,0.17554382108544953,0.04372084763732027,-0.09362524762402735,-0.09190507015719607,0.0488999344257449,-0.1057074016143205,-0.12207188084279688,-0.0036209851116645593,0.029093252939864353,-0.20566348296393697,-0.20354136119065086,-0.0871669649092763,-0.08145607991169111,-0.02313389997414463,0.05318453517292631,5.758670939165054E-4,-0.11480238738783319,-0.10547594085035217,-0.058641091061034045,0.1673623136014448,0.18693570361935416,-0.20668882897472823,-0.0013286011500023786,0.17617134940352303,-0.1349045538852605,-0.0681755106174337,-0.0257182162686884;-0.12125063543755252,-0.10563619982480546,-0.16452644147512774,-0.03185773556639072,0.2824505695689111,-0.020327524030293535,0.14047974960662002,-0.18544874348655194,0.18579446993389434,0.10546864595696799,0.2638251747980834,-0.08250460822213343,0.32532749215935197,-0.17145372378534088,-0.01751372169885041,0.17357934227468033,0.04045849306877537,0.2506874439249418,0.015721218058440855,0.217471546139881,0.25670279740880947,-0.26031792136034093,0.003151764139897424,-0.04160271961674613,0.3302489845824376,-0.18171047951877373,-0.07455420073098078,-0.21134482451211886,-0.021725359953540115,-0.16807504112120714,-0.011789135892720022,0.010716019285893302,0.28868053726997417,0.13922003082860684,-0.028449646844976514,0.3268575962661901,-0.027059361257757104,0.10434037822812492,0.11646652411971734,0.2851076788682513,-0.18788181504773635,-0.13830210178540625,-0.14063149684131054,0.06729391897998485,-0.10207197763312832,-0.1322248338665327,-0.12905345086604247,-0.1544358812123544,0.036186511438278855,0.2157343715527711,0.1462028906560273,-0.19034569432555568,0.005587375901003608,-0.0750021948927837,-0.1784327474466276,-0.18028130905936476,-0.02321101903323257,0.1199630233791663,0.045226797340771584,-0.18349547923748624,-0.15449546931096905,-0.07973905100706949,-0.12271237038397674,0.22976236937841743,0.3223008389401703,-0.1659219508490635,0.14035454815810144,-0.14267650195516746,0.19657975578503678,-0.17938831086501242,0.28838211882192855,0.2649375314213738,-0.0920870745597971,0.26500926907333594,0.05365738725676631,-0.13595886427212767,-0.1334849366473406,0.06148377411049984,-0.15239256586802136,-0.17605397509299803,-0.01449222815382977,0.031048234034114695,-0.3028815969387741,-0.29986803156458,-0.1272940229637551,-0.1190582185457107,-0.04034481721575026,0.06517280298496246,-0.008351376893892334,-0.16438644917219616,-0.15228850282844,-0.08811482113199358,0.2510609264205834,0.29048882572713175,-0.3042192359088911,-0.011211568877271457,0.26635926644618274,-0.16985499558620326,-0.10193331454127118,-0.04382071757719436;-0.03420751233078862,-0.04704263198201385,0.016377278934483836,-0.09254228701254316,0.09300357183299636,-0.09678475174519964,-0.04862270106189,0.04261617724800236,-0.01405749902350634,-0.068560925876536,0.06374732433951943,-0.06541306340959632,0.15446626465030336,0.02433175352779912,-0.09797157861144037,-0.03636705156279683,-0.10170418413456414,0.05478934910288135,-0.10267383556525198,0.005091343658402808,0.053518848077411744,0.17521984851194247,-0.10223072385126851,-0.0880232465242722,0.16349018326790055,0.03780601382778741,-0.07087685624775417,0.08350869932928283,-0.09641620187764538,0.020390981954749098,-0.10005108739558327,-0.10293615024416157,0.09738565997051468,-0.06252201341636074,-0.09444404392421529,0.15640923403918053,-0.09445093525072645,-0.08272612652544772,-0.07742004490536887,0.09366800518970231,0.04828545684557658,-0.0138298273020697,-0.012422580500430113,-0.09570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x_a{216}=[-0.44954452239837134,-0.3431169833244943,16.733474138762887];
std_x_a{216}=[1.1527953084187377,1.708511287413739,1.0077575889258077];
pred_a{216}=[-0.44954452239837134];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.5 to 21.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{217}=[-0.5733667340766124,-0.9039155654222251,13.188128064973615];
std_x_f{217}=[2.0451591225470613,3.3923894600484434,1.041737736099639];
pred_f{217}=[-0.5733667340766124];
obs{217}=[-0.6330285466038056];
sqrt_r{217}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{217}=[5.205465547457596];
L_f{217}=[-0.15096261431272454,-0.13249981952618772,-0.20247825149460713,-0.038975154646227465,0.33294859171813007,-0.023332679587104947,0.17813876657631492,-0.22574432374547795,0.23139037804415455,0.1357371221145275,0.3167461135828567,-0.10342670084367155,0.3725759504622874,-0.21035295011860639,-0.019483492915198297,0.2190788184682174,0.05469581282997599,0.301233157308466,0.023137902778449227,0.2686928175299772,0.3085923043569063,-0.30265621290431427,0.007095450349237638,-0.05133607133899526,0.375981044755444,-0.22150441665421902,-0.09305108169254843,-0.2537574208665067,-0.024987814970331895,-0.20577028609147427,-0.012309659007532012,0.0168604994661561,0.33998942726321935,0.17899452563141452,-0.03420915583584607,0.37387298710936945,-0.03224448343411961,0.1363098630289889,0.15100980813021386,0.3361376061186075,-0.22821300357837904,-0.17180895734216803,-0.1745851521307356,0.0902285703040601,-0.1271002631731255,-0.16379717810232144,-0.16061394516452707,-0.19084802806085446,0.04975409875070832,0.26491674182444097,0.18696155123494576,-0.2309211345240635,0.009299045591134434,-0.0930830822527321,-0.21735844854076422,-0.21995421643890536,-0.04523587207796412,0.15492332737462808,0.06098824453005731,-0.22349414474573714,-0.1906725720853285,-0.10014833676662488,-0.15312471163659902,0.28138920714018,0.3697717699580615,-0.20365783288716752,0.18054502891859678,-0.1766287969707233,0.2453490653598608,-0.21866815510338247,0.3390966362847188,0.31757663049407686,-0.11569732687493706,0.3168518592010105,0.07108312455402815,-0.16911917104726562,-0.16648405841848726,0.08085061427988205,-0.18817697071767886,-0.2151999060349025,-0.015940904376287025,0.043572934849044856,-0.3385455133666201,-0.3372457971637842,-0.15845423034623923,-0.1479082491104087,-0.04982001471132793,0.08686473223469425,-0.008300669667171776,-0.20232436644685278,-0.188330099662146,-0.10991605232965562,0.30162370637965913,0.34100975548293494,-0.3387810429041782,-0.011268700417103482,0.3186735022928668,-0.1992170132512803,-0.12700413899156351,-0.05381844725681847;-0.25751626405525224,-0.22682144929963455,-0.33875649559291504,-0.07108260602221726,0.5543648381821284,-0.04491946653152587,0.3006225792040806,-0.37465547475197275,0.39031343595985507,0.2284127565585645,0.5285632190780029,-0.1785998629603583,0.6150512261871347,-0.35109326846872246,-0.0381275070307553,0.3699514117783961,0.08934745370602042,0.5036406475733345,0.03547396823003723,0.4515043426802777,0.516147869797708,-0.4835500003087345,0.007272233018088626,-0.09216442390074917,0.62057105413927,-0.36769257314833853,-0.16217472049613577,-0.4161885981600328,-0.0479563052271683,-0.3445644784679185,-0.02582173950777069,0.023769613282462795,0.5642894505722028,0.30160824531791686,-0.06308937482604587,0.616766036940216,-0.06051732185560245,0.22949571836188765,0.2548117641272727,0.55895491055462,-0.37832887188395303,-0.2910461588118351,-0.29477190226531913,0.14966137169078123,-0.21910121336350158,-0.2785501760310293,-0.27302248432728765,-0.32088987376699696,0.08119997784988837,0.4455513564902756,0.3160040368492976,-0.38270898417585175,0.012010052713819733,-0.16215276428957337,-0.36258379870247676,-0.36667444581787434,-0.053614179860249564,0.26156055156633395,0.10038921219804338,-0.3711657258825837,-0.3208012149223738,-0.17316551240113742,-0.2604353492252636,0.47223830640190784,0.6105666348455642,-0.34091683483090274,0.30424867731779237,-0.29842890755255735,0.4131533383864897,-0.3644653676963838,0.5633658247836955,0.5304753139365324,-0.1990408262463906,0.5292411185852081,0.11752013601719684,-0.28607670951472736,-0.2821723675507994,0.13434684232885272,-0.31652238113315007,-0.35846418044419653,-0.03182561998529912,0.06951305105013372,-0.524695417557048,-0.5243382913492121,-0.2695229896698317,-0.2530298289162677,-0.08907825956361824,0.1440438459724303,-0.018300140620422414,-0.3389738247478203,-0.31643110178682776,-0.1901878099826305,0.5050987188897393,0.5668468587258064,-0.5239658760677687,-0.024459296589578572,0.5318794663099325,-0.3007802559818102,-0.21818367830053917,-0.09568291573225968;-0.02768662288739404,-0.0436385910630934,0.030936491710956433,-0.10090481268410122,0.0967686680698793,-0.10614926524364793,-0.06271288775615136,0.06078302403145744,-0.02373405189542312,-0.0846530292714139,0.06722599603841753,-0.06607014850592008,0.16340903119602107,0.040397902044697176,-0.10769575054520275,-0.04360745103627237,-0.11556787647353614,0.05397708774578116,-0.11508025110618686,0.003510478578306065,0.056268283516920314,0.2041116361426451,-0.11301669188256055,-0.09539571090651025,0.17281514574583498,0.05524738350133795,-0.07334558573374136,0.10671940833491411,-0.10519511474864096,0.03523033904572288,-0.11023705259285094,-0.1144428931373582,0.10300148050721046,-0.07347176872084814,-0.10291517383438023,0.16583731419400805,-0.1032620957816162,-0.09564874382249225,-0.08891300248376793,0.09854415478411224,0.0668246569413249,-0.005024521787324262,-0.002806949373117107,-0.10996765012356939,-0.04841176428437108,-0.014664740449767448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k{217}=[0.8078942236994715;1.339837528535905;-0.02575005082135395];
x_a{217}=[-0.6215671677927725,-0.983852700866632,13.189664359678284];
L_a{217}=[0.08431869016757991,0.07400647690656109,0.11309224493211603,0.021769191026600732,-0.18596517604456198,0.013032239735919014,-0.09949766393597193,0.12608728179252587,-0.12924083014121313,-0.07581464057123939,-0.1769154405186191,0.05776797111784971,-0.20809864928440988,0.11749058074832394,0.010882314207249198,-0.12236432908107193,-0.030549810736061046,-0.16825083067704658,-0.012923449056480888,-0.1500757424923229,-0.17236121020842954,0.16904566444714123,-0.0039630943218660186,0.02867326002109827,-0.21000053136298408,0.12371912319912319,0.05197277062742849,0.14173372291661315,0.013956699398989145,0.11493097862428127,0.006875439516266763,-0.009417266897699969,-0.189897765802298,-0.09997563977756366,0.01910718905438324,-0.2088230964045078,0.018009840520270083,-0.07613453940137438,-0.08434504981226974,-0.1877463688146927,0.12746613874264548,0.09596221096263957,0.09751282738040487,-0.05039628452625748,0.07099060757196612,0.09148731011058985,0.08970934651983523,0.10659629750331161,-0.027789664720813963,-0.14796665237809842,-0.1044255439242273,0.12897873876737345,-0.0051938908690916386,0.05199064422700543,0.12140343330202785,0.12285327404668339,0.025266053450166262,-0.08653090766944156,-0.034064386853699724,0.12483046634345218,0.10649829828605,0.05593687296068338,0.08552630845899545,-0.1571671866002788,-0.20653240171916823,0.11375108856979058,-0.10084165820782817,0.09865428519669922,-0.13703731827357296,0.12213495707939896,-0.1893991061424661,-0.17737931760788983,0.0646216091473902,-0.17697450369829573,-0.039702783253332936,0.09445985716299606,0.09298804080426247,-0.04515831900739212,0.10510440457628176,0.12019780051940891,0.008903636063898497,-0.024337236142571817,0.18909128183254012,0.18836533807281083,0.08850305895358848,0.08261270438874875,0.027826481435242714,-0.04851744570754702,0.004636257771740846,0.1130062939453622,0.10518993324894683,0.061392534853886425,-0.1684689680369426,-0.19046766013950958,0.1892228345497016,0.006294022287483242,-0.1779919646117646,0.1112707122416965,0.0709369183514949,0.030059766785354526;0.13268174981600475,0.11565517415309247,0.18459567305498398,0.029657752791250568,-0.3062182922909639,0.015389274640130898,-0.15981852555555504,0.20883327290394987,-0.2077688531737547,-0.12243142892944907,-0.2901408354599082,0.08873051836740935,-0.3479580363937579,0.19261289164195022,0.012232115273058203,-0.1963087860642085,-0.05202660523230427,-0.2749665607679438,-0.02433132694453219,-0.24299478360328275,-0.2814807669625259,0.29873542644215634,-0.011067609905267978,0.040525601160248316,-0.35123946719222765,0.20483714777411238,0.07833745816679119,0.23970651917073402,0.016630518582123256,0.18729671983040772,0.005995439321826131,-0.01981027193960292,-0.3144923581511007,-0.16104476790112357,0.025332150755830247,-0.3495957187457658,0.022826050618291207,-0.12282884932739528,-0.1355082331498442,-0.30987096989294943,0.21154075339566086,0.15303408069256821,0.15648405884108804,-0.08355536933726386,0.1094189999254086,0.14482175525285598,0.1421216405180844,0.17240127543320988,-0.047401070845943694,-0.239187623234909,-0.16724160840060828,0.2141604358616907,-0.012025495008230325,0.07844212726941253,0.19922970263932732,0.20184842183251295,0.06330846036371524,-0.138874847085948,-0.05724910105894339,0.20650691040993277,0.17203642747097403,0.08569117391654928,0.1353511084167444,-0.2550775939670179,-0.34519457053741254,0.1854842364785718,-0.162411972533097,0.158109329309684,-0.2210084270574303,0.20073337509618877,-0.3131083578548387,-0.2903754048647125,0.10000584409872489,-0.2897362601155555,-0.06621074428729917,0.15105115125148835,0.14814443129285038,-0.07463038859620809,0.16986479866384854,0.19777006538140995,0.009377357687395794,-0.0431113408500926,0.3503542596234951,0.34735196679071795,0.1400388495450167,0.12927346717332586,0.0396931642746506,-0.08047827261795572,0.0031548721499732057,0.18398059217676824,0.17035187540854832,0.09391581068436876,-0.27451795442796784,-0.31457222576701416,0.3516925820230781,0.00466728247558909,-0.29180637295678485,0.2141424833593656,0.1100880796678184,0.04342338767173162;-0.03518575503855552,-0.050220576021127825,0.020878298345619488,-0.10284092008814036,0.11330803114466736,-0.10730832603801088,-0.05386376866873709,0.04956907861954893,-0.012239636331939687,-0.07791022992874656,0.08296049411225265,-0.07120791391304679,0.18191690019114465,0.029948529671890357,-0.1086636013525201,-0.03272461743741763,-0.11285083867981126,0.06894097311072475,-0.1139308659327372,0.016857908707935295,0.07159773764527826,0.18907705988499107,-0.1126642223649706,-0.0979458521109748,0.19149216424997975,0.04424405727968899,-0.0779679378412333,0.0941139003945593,-0.10643639509798025,0.02500861245992298,-0.11084854014593488,-0.11360534064658478,0.11989060008593563,-0.06458013943795969,-0.10461452821798427,0.1844096140368992,-0.10486385422703813,-0.08887749333100617,-0.08141152595962597,0.11524193350723828,0.055488078807466396,-0.01355920490557744,-0.011479541149693578,-0.1054855074712248,-0.05472552398124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x_a{217}=[-0.6215671677927724,-0.9838527008666321,13.189664359678293];
std_x_a{217}=[1.1423036039917769,1.8970369720897362,1.0400992948547627];
pred_a{217}=[-0.6215671677927724];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.6 to 21.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{218}=[-1.2585164942045048,-2.2363345406974715,10.678344710824279];
std_x_f{218}=[2.341339402372725,4.129820561111344,1.3309709667810292];
pred_f{218}=[-1.2585164942045048];
obs{218}=[-1.3378662706340352];
sqrt_r{218}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{218}=[6.51122056845116];
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k{218}=[0.8464189640809743;1.4926109246008206;-0.22835926445735788];
x_a{218}=[-1.325679649770045,-2.354772883860821,10.696464967404582];
L_a{218}=[-0.08066028818947485,-0.06999933471571036,-0.11018842997616217,-0.017839511327945527,0.17537800193455302,-0.008705804454228713,0.09865574745816885,-0.1235304218139725,0.1256404243221855,0.07668362404826838,0.16793955117457524,-0.05442412951251168,0.1937592123569399,-0.114862389927859,-0.006784207097715912,0.11996921363799652,0.03380475945831537,0.1601393499308742,0.016483975840583552,0.14449776131020084,0.16395461771614336,-0.16891347464966644,0.007772849215658034,-0.024381584878162787,0.19481758005516284,-0.12126577927975869,-0.04788647082689716,-0.13979212929630724,-0.00948725386409617,-0.11180385860925292,-0.0027789940009841137,0.013621297707558827,0.1790821028709005,0.0997945675156912,-0.015575735764389451,0.19438549409724967,-0.013370088256034867,0.07735452692483545,0.08484592592264259,0.17694783343211068,-0.12490708612762014,-0.0922916711535028,-0.0943090535645706,0.053230371924061604,-0.06692667403716707,-0.08770029677355329,-0.08589897722124779,-0.1033440354284853,0.030734220696849578,0.14253388462939137,0.10357051040060461,-0.12656139275113915,0.008704631955518662,-0.04783477759319752,-0.11852229237193376,-0.11978378039618232,-0.03373895772903662,0.08684063450870082,0.03710593400767128,-0.12228434426454655,-0.10325041843536371,-0.05206852127363628,-0.08198558562614329,0.15113162364262975,0.1924204648218417,-0.11088605972468446,0.10067802530460634,-0.09529326153313589,0.133280687662903,-0.11928836798476926,0.17858005258017595,0.1684537551854863,-0.06092480486106784,0.16763458719308577,0.04237246939040703,-0.09114934828401643,-0.0896930574236606,0.047538693783907106,-0.10192505128375347,-0.1175090968028785,-0.004750279187248511,0.028069151067978644,-0.191117030298677,-0.19030739737251381,-0.08486576279709158,-0.07878375267502967,-0.02372601033408531,0.05157619392560056,-8.177038190483858E-4,-0.1100203215870907,-0.10208308075252442,-0.05725625140305465,0.16013732948611056,0.17938911319668174,-0.1916859798292788,-0.002030276732604748,0.16868548208873685,-0.1172579633995551,-0.06718714714646021,-0.025980477962882248;-0.1376989439964472,-0.11968009888923341,-0.1873156444486391,-0.03854378443154276,0.3220904317684207,-0.022782361251372063,0.16064962094539476,-0.21057310019069514,0.21146851209906797,0.11930012651886482,0.30329719057421395,-0.09619769165893434,0.369932159359484,-0.19555926381579886,-0.020171797929006873,0.19957400001416636,0.046139133923151734,0.28549694785568125,0.017606178799673272,0.24883934201406346,0.2940041680335219,-0.29486131472292443,0.0029124227403669826,-0.04787359010927123,0.3733993139300559,-0.2063737165108142,-0.085429479302071,-0.23951541750376645,-0.024128466199673213,-0.190058192305658,-0.013547926343608348,0.013150940751593027,0.3304658941119395,0.1600470601494034,-0.0361064136364558,0.3716255447406389,-0.03060635392227559,0.12001049357433424,0.13311448395004585,0.32504191107502167,-0.212852594141547,-0.15681579128399725,-0.1608016723930767,0.07805942012347318,-0.11628028684748991,-0.14941079966112766,-0.1467515995255623,-0.17578364479394787,0.0397414704232993,0.24674805774168038,0.16779497979983957,-0.2159762451374063,0.004517730591356702,-0.08490937355253063,-0.20163651231998986,-0.20339901317877251,-0.05250977034037994,0.1367850420793835,0.050838535280502896,-0.20809756824563597,-0.1755381150609931,-0.09172860185298766,-0.14023201696818324,0.26444803765414493,0.36605738182363673,-0.1888450740121961,0.16236229575443017,-0.16242654751588234,0.22594052200408396,-0.20330913167795855,0.3304512581565978,0.3042769431612271,-0.10652051644084598,0.30234475110769843,0.06116351937957955,-0.15522726885797808,-0.15323994038373548,0.0693407561302494,-0.1733094485950946,-0.19947675376651056,-0.016547371058001088,0.0359538177153402,-0.34073399150899425,-0.3385473948917317,-0.14486005433760363,-0.13558237680254448,-0.04665243184221928,0.07563121188993072,-0.009808221579228114,-0.18758928638285724,-0.17373789463736358,-0.100564725866486,0.2854590556840284,0.3316765955300998,-0.3433991460025867,-0.01238941344798236,0.30371217665376915,-0.20242134249789892,-0.11631894746961796,-0.050214993566327984;-0.015329225660964266,-0.03685812379904214,0.06026574674543623,-0.11501808217994208,0.08444444431122065,-0.12308863720623467,-0.09154173433829983,0.0993586289282225,-0.04839685023345468,-0.11472474552869952,0.054149333338774516,-0.06642270772784925,0.15603597366698746,0.07281369015305733,-0.12508760838310684,-0.06663986557994662,-0.1413531810846994,0.037918130904918294,-0.13786967704057226,-0.01404956822024803,0.04235328424971636,0.27374261150897594,-0.1342541968881186,-0.10835896256206558,0.1645139300141046,0.09220847866403899,-0.07664019040425406,0.15579545858070712,-0.12182893570285708,0.06520453674251257,-0.12901664206649635,-0.13684632439899155,0.09294329739366655,-0.09882405412493322,-0.11767186644541508,0.15811355580370717,-0.1190548124882536,-0.12316408184050133,-0.11618635236374944,0.08758003581408266,0.10515257931857519,0.01409573136954715,0.01714563928511563,-0.1371311795601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x_a{218}=[-1.3256796497700465,-2.354772883860822,10.696464967404582];
std_x_a{218}=[1.102344508844921,1.9470885968295353,1.2107670916373319];
pred_a{218}=[-1.3256796497700465];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.7 to 21.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{219}=[-3.027356067045505,-5.607422659935136,9.418466353971782];
std_x_f{219}=[2.4501536083461963,4.4654495051592376,1.7291380838355546];
pred_f{219}=[-3.027356067045505];
obs{219}=[-3.2272837867716504];
sqrt_r{219}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{219}=[7.037162594309564];
L_f{219}=[-0.18414638149493473,-0.16315145924400837,-0.2395906282180493,-0.05919555205780862,0.4081046559344939,-0.03836522644527833,0.21060629562623254,-0.2634758354875389,0.27706280705954967,0.15610360132356052,0.3879450666567944,-0.133535109848192,0.4602644860490273,-0.2477588903827055,-0.03424957526322411,0.26214032664503467,0.05554537412248868,0.36698939931569785,0.016655616578740227,0.32415316884177237,0.37678403545701833,-0.33870941507161095,-0.0032976523019835214,-0.07210870760883105,0.46341237141797353,-0.2592630594631362,-0.12094151968663061,-0.2912312827165374,-0.040195942757581496,-0.24231391693880058,-0.025990018741541946,0.010422550114182328,0.4184736379218624,0.21119817477757197,-0.054766597911530414,0.4617000452445489,-0.04886566902627643,0.15712575237589071,0.17455164638697493,0.4124800025881878,-0.2655566403644119,-0.2058886731978601,-0.2104994225223927,0.09965149986839118,-0.15800329977005162,-0.19742286792840855,-0.19418037275533995,-0.2270693282368656,0.04732282109439523,0.32114264051515795,0.22067981947409462,-0.26846936233602164,-0.0011593252983579502,-0.11935287141268566,-0.2542348563117681,-0.25602477799979173,-0.06271672433912381,0.17973741613876476,0.06304186345212127,-0.26109454216445027,-0.22678030490443443,-0.12806352280339744,-0.18708097058337167,0.34284390515330865,0.4560018287789695,-0.24093121850767077,0.21364352921412633,-0.21295143460675717,0.29578022651744557,-0.2557397386045918,0.4175533518181655,0.3890183224978828,-0.14624262124860946,0.38666766451445367,0.07698059341491405,-0.2043538383477118,-0.20195681085911965,0.08825118416915144,-0.22356437024965486,-0.25216322353175813,-0.02948797686234823,0.04219442038959525,-0.3705935320943813,-0.3703998349177958,-0.1926273458857055,-0.1808876813539589,-0.07038997794359145,0.09576870772144314,-0.021324165149614653,-0.2391756945433618,-0.2240056538548789,-0.1390287687265967,0.3675155291199725,0.4191899945277173,-0.3713548151395056,-0.024598946644539123,0.3889770011839131,-0.23380406961991695,-0.1582619689666666,-0.07508734274791563;-0.3467271066239845,-0.31141973823797603,-0.43275576897207607,-0.1309840273378956,0.7604095734111233,-0.09288521814536267,0.38115779880418454,-0.4668877413762102,0.5112270547824872,0.27606208849093783,0.7218225276998113,-0.26234627597502364,0.8558659995496787,-0.4447941966678987,-0.08594599110669982,0.4809917227560706,0.08279834862463147,0.6816064665783601,0.009140443959263882,0.6006102969310463,0.7005983757408566,-0.5615612379332034,-0.028079776759825998,-0.15406168055716585,0.8615654296965853,-0.4611730256702586,-0.23939010433200414,-0.504350434363505,-0.09602450536325698,-0.43615079333870943,-0.07018921678202952,-0.0027614622557172856,0.7789270698686794,0.3815100420383869,-0.12331507624703456,0.8597542691745729,-0.1114831840334035,0.2778399732452014,0.31179090597900805,0.7673855176145574,-0.46944662083132166,-0.380615560631539,-0.38831038585651567,0.16684677203526402,-0.3033966981844609,-0.36718917954240987,-0.36251740424716156,-0.41381054592599237,0.06694411556077591,0.5943804153055785,0.40077074152918574,-0.47430132407512504,-0.0246643602213498,-0.23753643681099107,-0.454203282370435,-0.4565176836518646,-0.10796178409122183,0.32121676636703117,0.09645852176534872,-0.4636844010493276,-0.4132792594675007,-0.252896670407084,-0.3511424246372619,0.6357776962321839,0.8484391193876277,-0.43480135713422274,0.3869587804486816,-0.3923067894002366,0.5456596294684881,-0.4563031970590099,0.7774330356692881,0.7235283806077439,-0.28358632520223503,0.7196152179871028,0.12291860507427153,-0.37823761960531527,-0.3750602790015181,0.14478915971970155,-0.40925657572585455,-0.4506585746465751,-0.07706801080483434,0.057035950120168495,-0.587016004361038,-0.5906064851507723,-0.35975417764627876,-0.341742026759366,-0.15086138087556245,0.15998530301153743,-0.06086661754310217,-0.43227191140640087,-0.40969999950321695,-0.27132466821467194,0.6831401445067595,0.7805953348852509,-0.588147189316667,-0.06734784386410499,0.7234726386439212,-0.39286906730770654,-0.3036620418526247,-0.1588215068092545;0.05601684045062578,0.023433245926479544,0.16101359390758682,-0.10585502726714616,-0.05010463393639063,-0.123491506504372,-0.18651136175961225,0.2124740722595647,-0.1596267248430917,-0.19354051033316177,-0.07616044649516748,-0.02089346849676602,0.015940604579364564,0.17819716104519215,-0.12751498863007793,-0.17261416707069122,-0.18222599260557643,-0.09101535819350393,-0.16278809371920877,-0.13314751986583503,-0.08656762606298624,0.4240169108934721,-0.15020116295975952,-0.09298939397165051,0.023253431076314203,0.20361373368241711,-0.037406439757645564,0.2825815569120176,-0.122110916188142,0.16715028431588397,-0.13459751708204457,-0.15917749779898532,-0.04176246278797684,-0.19194746567131554,-0.11069449872567359,0.018010225127739664,-0.1152313099527655,-0.20051910141891466,-0.19871110211836432,-0.046786462441144074,0.21950380295102256,0.09669370082413965,0.10263458275872853,-0.1950660757155355,0.014611693603667581,0.08065770582012986,0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k{219}=[0.857897272288603;1.561944684271098;-0.39285556010278894];
x_a{219}=[-3.1988735124534453,-5.919698698999831,9.49700907028487];
L_a{219}=[0.08204841663703133,0.072693901418641,0.10675220184493966,0.026375219968314757,-0.1818354537829822,0.01709404256658056,-0.09383791823462033,0.11739451488741919,-0.1234483373699778,-0.06955365191516841,-0.17285313022679777,0.05949801586949766,-0.20507583156402312,0.11039165960590955,0.015260269563948364,-0.11679946444416497,-0.024748843617039027,-0.16351610545905007,-0.007421090533004685,-0.14442995857659724,-0.16788021177711665,0.15091565189102074,0.0014693047335532182,0.032128816417769226,-0.20647840601691347,0.11551746685833136,0.05388680524378049,0.12976125530178179,0.017909738066631594,0.10796559265810249,0.011580134612468249,-0.004643880195996503,-0.18645546611933547,-0.09410163640716124,0.02440185143340219,-0.20571546052672746,0.021772628595612513,-0.07000908239784609,-0.07777337839153892,-0.18378493691840628,0.11832164005866645,0.0917359304171191,0.09379029976457538,-0.044400806105069864,0.07040008315295347,0.08796389910009274,0.08651917022329536,0.10117320089279952,-0.021085195973288465,-0.14308858504302902,-0.0983262859938056,0.11961943491042706,5.165499551243525E-4,0.05317896578252024,0.11327709643264154,0.11407461544558331,0.027944116451877322,-0.08008395432425297,-0.028088985708561186,0.11633350383131447,0.1010444234136844,0.05706009094329204,0.0833559546197593,-0.1527578187696251,-0.20317655840516302,0.10734951638204583,-0.09519119058686795,0.09488282033144013,-0.13178808652814247,0.11394761305289176,-0.18604542266885704,-0.1733313310021422,0.06515998533822692,-0.17228396985374536,-0.03429953795560481,0.09105206811023203,0.08998404652611097,-0.03932127185252939,0.09961152886375761,0.11235405798858769,0.01313868777514722,-0.018800181441408197,0.16512196589160413,0.16503566201467168,0.08582720226490373,0.08059646746110184,0.03136301778238345,-0.042670785969992894,0.009501212961279726,0.106567323647817,0.09980814755809504,0.061945775140452755,-0.16375052829720657,-0.18677464657121715,0.16546116380555626,0.010960327358801559,-0.17331291984273137,0.10417393792848499,0.07051533601778166,0.033455979595874014;0.1379248014228455,0.11797597066118942,0.1978189627894073,0.02481179672227736,-0.31367452520521605,0.008087606019874639,-0.17313353287064367,0.22655008431780616,-0.21797010347888804,-0.13478447618362396,-0.29920387122370934,0.0891026379475641,-0.35549671938591115,0.20727845327904912,0.004194916720868143,-0.2089311986347577,-0.06339063067051524,-0.2842670475650898,-0.03469520618521051,-0.2525232292518326,-0.2910534841728354,0.329882639243375,-0.019400738555237215,0.0357200704916445,-0.3580821582545522,0.22117726237123578,0.07891394162515844,0.2621365077400963,0.0097665517026071,0.2015913183297788,-0.001786503293968708,-0.03019240474041152,-0.32244698613853817,-0.17433904688206872,0.020824254428799722,-0.35538667498366666,0.017125586550672128,-0.13569677439034117,-0.14760877262119237,-0.3182139856861654,0.22946764184539706,0.16125953623707842,0.16569966821038842,-0.09542441221970692,0.11244965236333457,0.15240490021534162,0.14854280446896154,0.18380957723638383,-0.057604058296163586,-0.2508297496584815,-0.18003293599782522,0.2322788848433308,-0.02161315056230153,0.07658647123332027,0.21491335844120832,0.2173098233430435,0.05710135682224503,-0.1518312564715578,-0.06946034756491128,0.22348613693973923,0.18358018782171615,0.08415166132770248,0.1412329813653696,-0.2665476790798902,-0.3517047802450157,0.19930165270961853,-0.17532619759381768,0.16815667594520387,-0.23279960486703172,0.2167741193232413,-0.3215189341015088,-0.3003227031506523,0.10130728416721169,-0.29804920672545177,-0.0796853840904117,0.15959797003746162,0.1564666124384716,-0.08747771648903858,0.17913890472383082,0.213005769076994,5.409225597942849E-4,-0.05401486817304832,0.38834316903817856,0.3842428997559753,0.1472186445596886,0.13433336065070178,0.03439687313294342,-0.09206682286557778,-0.004743889290900738,0.1972107630715365,0.17985688818958323,0.09458291840059907,-0.28411808223029106,-0.32266408858371715,0.38921559271926315,-0.002606270717602674,-0.300269692210964,0.2224761136863798,0.11286509600510683,0.03879966628962975;-0.06588132835646904,-0.08456705230689715,0.0024133618203488736,-0.1450403174628717,0.22004572055989205,-0.14888788308034911,-0.047097697653540445,0.03806270663773306,0.023778718972493132,-0.09020563624518932,0.18064499730069833,-0.10928882674276326,0.32061885869894596,0.014189838185251534,-0.15018695466663343,9.131405479074735E-4,-0.1454569866861056,0.15191820034307685,-0.15176268477650098,0.0814300209690684,0.16284962332902198,0.19980366749565265,-0.15238408816149857,-0.14072272080221082,0.33001547016616767,0.03199107169299027,-0.11746530196750704,0.08979710046879501,-0.14871915999856258,0.006747334708498767,-0.15180195882092912,-0.15227815086148397,0.23525177850528142,-0.052141999216929025,-0.1469479832797191,0.32363876692458976,-0.14757859543011015,-0.09650760072274185,-0.0831642969946317,0.22626021149759382,0.04371502061279089,-0.03959706979647068,-0.03670833526182691,-0.12910042787481762,-0.0899807113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x_a{219}=[-3.198873512453446,-5.9196986989998335,9.497009070284872];
std_x_a{219}=[1.0916925027269342,2.0005480921566505,1.4050128473564305];
pred_a{219}=[-3.198873512453446];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.8 to 21.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 21.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{220}=[-7.508006309779346,-13.625924102344905,12.28120469732379];
std_x_f{220}=[2.281772767660449,3.6303335424912686,3.3848400164610446];
pred_f{220}=[-7.508006309779346];
obs{220}=[-8.02001590804936];
sqrt_r{220}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{220}=[6.232008078251971];
L_f{220}=[0.15975329422314713,0.13303778497808366,0.23665008824926834,0.010735815523993044,-0.32791294586153014,-0.010960367285676705,-0.22241365065323052,0.27231831614662855,-0.26250520883736794,-0.1828543067907913,-0.32120550294109673,0.09570787673937638,-0.3479636756465555,0.2488025356175622,-0.015812449786706373,-0.2559990443050852,-0.10231018742262973,-0.31110915350499,-0.06649011078119098,-0.29075701864404824,-0.31596621303707095,0.39744244261318556,-0.04672732482450161,0.024894872887416996,-0.3485817654193619,0.26612734851367287,0.08108295587965682,0.3168264267023789,-0.009002243401901734,0.24117852998423198,-0.02409959476779503,-0.06016861152352132,-0.33422448742384553,-0.22454560582932917,0.005386105161053855,-0.3477088417187373,3.486512773551764E-4,-0.18494575705597494,-0.19755746995479237,-0.33131079982789796,0.2761451941939019,0.19001019937308505,0.19492391771034234,-0.13964503629446237,0.12611609394342985,0.17872702111238095,0.17347554007054117,0.2193070573061158,-0.09458921967220774,-0.2886635049028541,-0.22951495376719103,0.28007910653104884,-0.0494143605224607,0.07909507565303112,0.2587797869116068,0.26106365393934855,0.06672063409304003,-0.20199885507354887,-0.10906811885995793,0.2686928653310641,0.2188003369587303,0.0892516456438326,0.1635677354155534,-0.301224121191006,-0.34649615330013583,0.23866513761810187,-0.22566492106034267,0.1989221687243066,-0.276440904490009,0.2606324552735919,-0.33372748781897577,-0.32256775343887983,0.11175607482097037,-0.32038520806995546,-0.12020932749593484,0.18776560992288716,0.1834892946882262,-0.1293038274964051,0.2131457411853724,0.2559974867497163,-0.020643915608220636,-0.08993345164276766,0.4624662612946541,0.4585117491912654,0.17126620976096368,0.1554062433197247,0.022885265857203168,-0.13654379380630235,-0.02788622909220373,0.23624418601156585,0.2143167958010279,0.10325540961258821,-0.3109769047529916,-0.33319726051266374,0.463334532954075,-0.025354693618999027,-0.32135066952133695,0.2689578956082194,0.1270170791302652,0.028848503046662366;0.23833480974328367,0.1871014130793392,0.3889368485149888,-0.03928268264969584,-0.44018898535992657,-0.07731379575234502,-0.3861262263216536,0.46045789056275305,-0.4209533386911089,-0.33939614919637223,-0.44517508668769323,0.1159744591957279,-0.4263131770503893,0.4125417431694684,-0.08582994439206774,-0.41947290125328884,-0.22752015165924766,-0.4425216888679417,-0.17051871144108405,-0.440284986551142,-0.44491238851654896,0.7116119228742069,-0.13876824448938044,-0.014079955273945396,-0.42371174382145443,0.44723427841097957,0.08858587757893385,0.549081762741995,-0.07415660433363438,0.3982625970893822,-0.10030144736750231,-0.16068389491445606,-0.44136218571142694,-0.3903529571974403,-0.0491687693765383,-0.4248848436346872,-0.057832707202513184,-0.34439253488311067,-0.35928312884013347,-0.4414108573734253,0.4680737506131994,0.2975978997446115,0.3074877351092282,-0.28394851069666105,0.1741776877313034,0.275322869646501,0.2651457657075093,0.35444997119689436,-0.215487718084502,-0.4377295991403748,-0.39551617537594264,0.4756941844800402,-0.14306070344484928,0.08520455028636834,0.43289809115752254,0.43857042577797417,0.10194225359395785,-0.3651868111102808,-0.23860801728610787,0.45315908124691634,0.35333478465466006,0.10423886685936293,0.24542415195600722,-0.4457194996906374,-0.4272609077516259,0.39303434041096835,-0.39131353907951427,0.3144524869480655,-0.4340509128101185,0.4362818197208593,-0.44015234571758066,-0.4468481343938595,0.14600221333989646,-0.4455861821189232,-0.25349717711938147,0.2929361010173339,0.28446966713370603,-0.26647521804821694,0.34356488294631193,0.42700724093168996,-0.09423932555329942,-0.20858072564761557,0.8449271185885213,0.8366566305179203,0.26034251679748166,0.22935851463408585,-0.01785357642814343,-0.27913365470283374,-0.10696192787480473,0.3888916898675185,0.34525928503441927,0.1293057540024697,-0.44295709688301954,-0.4392722860777761,0.8484090322110075,-0.10196635932483425,-0.4447955817214253,0.47269071695905895,0.17535588865457324,-0.007389497546531736;-0.27105147300950033,-0.26011404464214233,-0.28676508767710057,-0.17261055761250985,0.6317144850259645,-0.14933864155016716,0.23209477315257498,-0.28820548141137803,0.3557374182888919,0.13548926642906356,0.5873792833722766,-0.2405139781542733,0.7514873449529523,-0.28809046629117924,-0.14414783699990394,0.32669181459473456,-0.026979476250599335,0.544280450130672,-0.08059414271322543,0.45083746460151486,0.5623699678315532,-0.24825422646741355,-0.1070957753563438,-0.18551731655979267,0.7600855888770369,-0.28809772004793777,-0.23185166567005974,-0.2808328053218272,-0.15136661065073714,-0.2875654384560887,-0.13520751517309723,-0.08897836456709554,0.655043218257592,0.23106371593722094,-0.1676625719566558,0.7533952423718776,-0.1628068610944962,0.13353573286540302,0.16462224381593715,0.6418630534001328,-0.2864976619903573,-0.27874843316672143,-0.2817014465040508,0.04027080513353388,-0.2569739649414459,-0.27665633494286823,-0.27592642342369006,-0.285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k{220}=[0.8395380770622349;1.3200456929567603;-1.1187931313740458];
x_a{220}=[-7.93785786334836,-14.301800167293758,12.854037519065866];
L_a{220}=[-0.07765627925523125,-0.06466983627470414,-0.11503590851272381,-0.005218693563835562,0.159398899528538,0.005327848460436287,0.10811555811285482,-0.13237427940270127,0.12760411547415604,0.0888857108093982,0.15613840300450327,-0.04652372045997737,0.16914558474732416,-0.12094322861561047,0.00768645192774899,0.12444146063028383,0.04973311206997043,0.15123055471829802,0.03232092731260413,0.1413373561092364,0.1535915775267273,-0.1931972762222929,0.022714211954544986,-0.012101429334335698,0.16944603897103974,-0.12936484217198396,-0.039414527852145234,-0.1540097284821558,0.004376001953143818,-0.1172371897925338,0.011714843630151737,0.029248038493299888,0.16246694789948096,0.10915190423216209,-0.0026181925607154616,0.16902170965129784,-1.6947982881129373E-4,0.08990236744005661,0.09603293710073202,0.1610506006578565,-0.13423452968273417,-0.09236419928372551,-0.0947527640093241,0.06788162953273458,-0.06130519347018822,-0.08687943199826402,-0.08432668039291057,-0.10660543914054084,0.045979939838605384,0.14031969642026765,0.11156751057728023,-0.13614680946703908,0.024020383420643398,-0.03844821674879385,-0.12579318314366958,-0.1269033738070332,-0.032432984987325914,0.09819190004881623,0.053018151126203235,-0.1306119431558734,-0.106359121735994,-0.04338533832313361,-0.07951048396431423,0.14642542795359065,0.16843222027054683,-0.11601542657061525,0.10969600478781504,-0.09669631890615925,0.13437827483331036,-0.12669376758786083,0.16222535576021965,0.15680059470193175,-0.0543247699333406,0.15573965662562722,0.05843390679674139,-0.09127310150069991,-0.08919437923296133,0.06285475479964225,-0.10361041554757598,-0.12444070350064042,0.010035033600960351,0.04371676508530883,-0.22480543708260253,-0.22288314372576007,-0.08325272212292989,-0.07554317228905273,-0.011124556804160577,0.06637411161975594,0.01355553138537871,-0.11483859891936225,-0.10417966668382786,-0.050192585777217615,0.15116626843195644,0.16196761159307732,-0.22522750503920574,0.012324948776064349,0.1562089686635617,-0.13074077471026463,-0.061743163514023425,-0.014023293977010156;-0.13495556683317173,-0.12376369361447245,-0.16403578963309504,-0.06436871695837729,0.32603463237633573,-0.05170305857548548,0.1335805866853914,-0.1758595467543683,0.1924341268800631,0.08787361930816392,0.3053754652391326,-0.10766305340210729,0.3867623350926956,-0.16882712728478283,-0.0488815023322068,0.1787118192343817,0.01154476763596553,0.2844370485590385,-0.015153411383786569,0.23911757293709834,0.2933956834615681,-0.21707903021066294,-0.029582009770590275,-0.07225100282671897,0.3908080387836002,-0.1746169242640536,-0.10087805354959001,-0.19123634279831206,-0.05312135216014955,-0.16529150498887804,-0.04398870057904396,-0.02008983854198118,0.33960940788368427,0.13433552679423114,-0.06175430780707446,0.38759520627807287,-0.058647389411419545,0.08776425808547654,0.10234304740575735,0.33275241627306484,-0.17718582936411323,-0.14639281244859664,-0.14798470444005746,0.042355547312801715,-0.12051372648601476,-0.14230280336301274,-0.14020894071427165,-0.15799776520673126,0.005535864579093347,0.23678111422588968,0.14078402386757644,-0.1787576417347806,-0.027595758966469,-0.09961436515096458,-0.17178430100445294,-0.171448604898919,-0.05396170286043139,0.10681740667499617,0.016247942709614636,-0.17468688193389617,-0.15792891463590117,-0.10431257850812285,-0.13677930648249143,0.2581412011487314,0.3823854921969752,-0.16464679868772067,0.135990412756652,-0.15036253695234553,0.2118996438905738,-0.1727296429236985,0.33965792491037533,0.3068855443897973,-0.11513460676444884,0.3030476132061615,0.027392086211115173,-0.14580975131117846,-0.14428385713629088,0.035664870477834607,-0.15448590454866562,-0.17117384006652225,-0.04600135294134783,0.0015638738349839719,-0.23570289703699143,-0.23473300405987488,-0.13984971865771045,-0.13377424812522387,-0.07132883996765339,0.03992382988296559,-0.04180107463702691,-0.16313248959680515,-0.15552786805849753,-0.11196783553615783,0.28369261914521277,0.3392990194834069,-0.23424984583197217,-0.042720863480495946,0.3060941762772858,-0.15577453393312496,-0.12144082862594048,-0.07479886533655297;0.045327506559239054,0.00335694580052615,0.18190201430186537,-0.15134910959770562,-0.01769161144010846,-0.1710447968717428,-0.20837817094544622,0.25109977297669817,-0.1641337399699001,-0.2266394725965724,-0.0487432438440877,-0.05097196885336474,0.06237233694397298,0.2046436129375531,-0.17546316450114544,-0.18029439061417132,-0.22959684857873788,-0.0718470419441753,-0.212272637999726,-0.12498420660959517,-0.06337655304603045,0.538849632909825,-0.1996356094664485,-0.13621495619899304,0.06974650212493479,0.2389468042451353,-0.07127317515210975,0.3466173018446312,-0.16919485385018407,0.19006989032603253,-0.18293488904499305,-0.2081376220237178,-0.006862395596847016,-0.21363139964327502,-0.1569958094151342,0.06478491314548429,-0.16211638434475967,-0.23273496081559836,-0.2266249667935243,-0.014272228688250049,0.2603864268588042,0.09755199480028456,0.10433021862453806,-0.236285332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x_a{220}=[-7.937857863348362,-14.30180016729376,12.85403751906587];
std_x_a{220}=[1.109172640877828,1.8274028307513017,2.105365491557702];
pred_a{220}=[-7.937857863348362];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 21.9 to 22.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{221}=[-15.034999036252204,-20.446455995980997,29.626749226503073];
std_x_f{221}=[1.232952226315155,1.7181549596729764,3.9042246828206673];
pred_f{221}=[-15.034999036252204];
obs{221}=[-15.964609092443778];
sqrt_r{221}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{221}=[2.5288337879265104];
L_f{221}=[-0.09307306565818935,-0.09638855431681223,-0.07621232463397337,-0.09207103246182828,0.24052980701864968,-0.08780599862317978,0.0495937656814396,-0.06517637251208169,0.10608101125452848,0.008977831580889176,0.21904492740234976,-0.09938360262210108,0.30246373816775357,-0.0732955484580292,-0.08597265014099992,0.09226268106481521,-0.051836472931339195,0.19745782179661928,-0.06877868196396257,0.1506606770055732,0.20608037800924234,-0.007207092847553695,-0.0769058285206158,-0.09396700768495375,0.3071828993643467,-0.06810854720366914,-0.09906574686382506,-0.04791553373557522,-0.08746976707194734,-0.07518200801432746,-0.08487238242025917,-0.07168951784976342,0.25316876345753314,0.04942606987249104,-0.09119719813939087,0.3037921968344043,-0.08996256029053519,0.008099624565469728,0.02086133955891111,0.2459573288250801,-0.0628422013707158,-0.08733835081101693,-0.08663009349101682,-0.028419501579935606,-0.09763278576824294,-0.08984284584038622,-0.09114661345204211,-0.08143357102162187,-0.05603254505231793,0.14924455932261302,0.055994245370544087,-0.0620996748022912,-0.07609616815980967,-0.09834601112918466,-0.06949741989402633,-0.06796319982970758,-0.034418575344296626,0.024664049355273634,-0.04863181357013032,-0.06566243769636117,-0.08111259047867023,-0.09883482608787596,-0.09307532963516973,0.16935941390521872,0.29790812003510836,-0.07579472332716589,0.05113186281505653,-0.08671138999499886,0.12384983328487091,-0.06876921474743197,0.25317673174729827,0.2189471193859516,-0.09884352231356427,0.21618113888336776,-0.03958060479705124,-0.08855811484656,-0.0896244822931013,-0.03272979032515632,-0.08174045885613278,-0.07084307995629299,-0.08484007704474784,-0.058666342628737385,0.03500292264919029,0.031049680760345155,-0.09201087067695517,-0.09450951540315515,-0.09455737606843621,-0.03100193658206812,-0.08280355325043601,-0.0759710824077432,-0.08202680246591466,-0.09899299037242722,0.19642509436784228,0.25305724158836085,0.03682063028121734,-0.08331209029333972,0.2193952500150503,-0.029248315268523502,-0.09719561372972287,-0.09492275759804371;0.0030038838816793165,-0.03181410807689915,0.11580628963315398,-0.15777541317936725,0.09637057408090835,-0.1732546531171017,-0.15441759506612576,0.17319035733010726,-0.09216717964310696,-0.1867574427638814,0.05981186668410485,-0.07707778667082481,0.19596586650286085,0.13483845177904108,-0.17588597585957538,-0.11038108285908503,-0.2101194617228779,0.029939723609951438,-0.20167543791889786,-0.03644296965881277,0.04199136383647193,0.40783378930459385,-0.19355212947677394,-0.1456008229325361,0.2035585098263233,0.1630874550430752,-0.09354462416234123,0.2510036178863495,-0.17190485578356796,0.12252215832802144,-0.18283846247114074,-0.19886162317511394,0.11345534061937763,-0.15746927414001105,-0.16246348956179205,0.19793750066103685,-0.165890329478368,-0.1912878265197478,-0.18081544761345336,0.10314417466397732,0.18131302974030447,0.04607344076022004,0.05187464385545142,-0.20793279801668305,-0.040678655910814654,0.028932096437317638,0.02127911441099146,0.08855018722836716,-0.20826190418860735,-0.037968692332413026,-0.14982766719283933,0.18745913797685043,-0.19577786260749838,-0.09432616318632275,0.15171818375132085,0.15603634889726667,0.003963406410950347,-0.1795744288546842,-0.21130037897513101,0.1688841638855737,0.08800458411368524,-0.08418638363397618,0.007349321058063822,-0.012617167791583127,0.18664702045350842,0.11923633440288738,-0.15595721957050515,0.057196437601162525,-0.07310626747701592,0.15423886862861183,0.1131361438160401,0.059968428990161304,-0.05947468821297731,0.05698959910573218,-0.20736765792004921,0.041107896342836237,0.03539707860075649,-0.20533721709503575,0.07952739465031966,0.14621653200972462,-0.1794710238591359,-0.2083948695412314,0.5508391772424394,0.5399389265255833,0.017733372664440215,-0.0041763508572494855,-0.14882714792941698,-0.21001535933112664,-0.18419108417829613,0.1158008772505276,0.08149495413578284,-0.06834427410728175,0.0289251782816719,0.1155422597599351,0.5546585370925077,-0.18256483094285017,0.06216051369491941,0.23294248786873675,-0.039605568707560254,-0.143312947043913;0.2989763209680753,0.2680441019863564,0.3787477765324024,0.10504800733300075,-0.6470233670987484,0.07218799044037089,-0.34872081447860964,0.4125583482612458,-0.45424003235142596,-0.25642959453068853,-0.624510760081407,0.2230761902569359,-0.7153253484137962,0.39181366293622566,0.06469208315570281,-0.4330154184507615,-0.08706697695313688,-0.5951481462629936,-0.022101123915301467,-0.5308246665508193,-0.6072000923069448,0.5176882221588777,0.014065825681699803,0.12629642171793493,-0.7184106952651405,0.4081597646690836,0.20393565172861414,0.45185803627748405,0.07442437613350665,0.3832216804195502,0.05191238513565626,-0.009450078226522472,-0.6664728781764765,-0.3520803221675382,0.09770184906041006,-0.715557449160165,0.08928683188079174,-0.25861947063068014,-0.28817133109427207,-0.6576654073649587,0.41485015539023534,0.3312737863715545,0.3356317525133698,-0.1599996091696044,0.25966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k{221}=[0.6045608039665038;0.22768027465425225;-1.6448318125512777];
x_a{221}=[-15.597004839198728,-20.65810986889605,31.155801420194553];
L_a{221}=[0.12798657625788154,0.13254576896350762,0.10480104452966646,0.12660866099107407,-0.3307571988800958,0.12074373030707429,-0.06819734827059049,0.08962529290014497,-0.14587405432955441,-0.012345590189085806,-0.30121292456230836,0.1366643179294195,-0.415923747826447,0.10079012908565768,0.11822265728060383,-0.12687220069901675,0.07128133847155288,-0.2715280773054084,0.09457889843690509,-0.20717641661716582,-0.2833851214506783,0.009910613041571228,0.10575469516366241,0.12921585326266813,-0.4224131578409312,0.09365738314142377,0.136227228316459,0.0658895789992246,0.12028137178511324,0.10338423617939278,0.1167096578156261,0.09858164527281993,-0.3481372728106772,-0.06796674651391316,0.12540703448017643,-0.4177505370832784,0.1237092600480573,-0.011137950703329841,-0.028686832301233114,-0.338220689296551,0.0864155289295403,0.12010065873798018,0.11912672037186577,0.03908020736664507,0.13425673574444216,0.12354463838770019,0.12533747449631802,0.1119808816203248,0.0770514385611696,-0.20522908574825544,-0.07699877192654936,0.08539446625581046,0.10464131551103703,0.13523750575993143,0.09556724889302262,0.09345751315078947,0.047329649956607614,-0.03391601223526617,0.06687454928057267,0.09029369055454853,0.11153949505540117,0.13590968468241688,0.1279896894965011,-0.23288941209237135,-0.4096592290485131,0.10422679287994208,-0.07031241544594975,0.11923851276994377,-0.17030830584707757,0.0945658798839877,-0.3481482301603513,-0.30107842686352904,0.13592164303088572,-0.297274873472241,0.05442805669252327,0.12177797990117244,0.12324436244214199,0.04500736894967106,0.11240288902876777,0.09741769212231267,0.11666523406771186,0.08067322464910388,-0.04813319725968585,-0.04269701772810498,0.12652593135481438,0.12996186613927277,0.13002768026759676,0.04263136378331754,0.1138647707321759,0.10446930766932247,0.11279664567565723,0.1361271794551833,-0.27010795380477964,-0.3479839169271862,-0.05063276225000582,0.11456406987485783,-0.30169465997596623,0.04021992513147732,0.13365557200227693,0.1305301234897217;0.08625592347174554,0.05440357136951184,0.18397672565360207,-0.07541967271455358,-0.11877864094600299,-0.0947139021283211,-0.19877824994231325,0.23148934970068138,-0.18705457253451324,-0.1947879377832466,-0.13611954310823002,0.01181890499381187,-0.0745820404176803,0.20039988847237009,-0.09898511928430163,-0.19290824925652955,-0.16375274900990153,-0.14668244179665244,-0.14015425009378638,-0.17120600295995703,-0.1423435097108216,0.41428039310807635,-0.12476136777329144,-0.06154916965748934,-0.07121059462319508,0.22400922041229068,-0.004932248266017882,0.2938631270614648,-0.09366485735103647,0.18977099625344124,-0.1069217738847371,-0.13473674949640824,-0.11299917411358779,-0.20167992839005675,-0.08088937683312573,-0.07379868659310757,-0.08542057619403132,-0.19853278251448803,-0.19947550844392514,-0.11685985262370455,0.23752415160938883,0.12419588991380147,0.1293635706679819,-0.1825121088631554,0.04665196427007376,0.10929476748392167,0.10280798012470191,0.1613909261758763,-0.1581418869092875,-0.17146503602177424,-0.19991342615477412,0.24300608433141788,-0.1277113262847485,-0.006357576848782687,0.21388226861850795,0.21682810387898901,0.03475014988967387,-0.2016359393341759,-0.16780017147636825,0.22761793207102834,0.16055821223401237,0.004219438137955398,0.09060338573132547,-0.16410585607835496,-0.07982597501489427,0.18703323420980966,-0.20169367229492874,0.13475808254885016,-0.18388752466393826,0.2157515882134234,-0.11332549839650548,-0.1358754934416167,0.028938912163002272,-0.1363802077838314,-0.17196357990606875,0.1203214006052126,0.11556442771877685,-0.17606105883533726,0.1526426387725293,0.20958428352296382,-0.10358323180022917,-0.15591897176572594,0.519529746511316,0.5121655934604367,0.1000352995875958,0.08036056497699465,-0.06424742166475865,-0.18228473250104385,-0.11012492288175034,0.18375552681087629,0.154866327024885,0.02020302252836107,-0.14677323260821654,-0.11081250083898662,0.5217232023828859,-0.1080437931927412,-0.13408425283296055,0.2591045346806508,0.04733400962248594,-0.05840639413662439;-0.3024618290230266,-0.3548187357063634,-0.11373626501313494,-0.4899150041463609,0.9072802451008432,-0.49521437238703014,-0.02824590080080126,-0.008611370707264905,0.231255462042393,-0.19841484688316066,0.7909575601050868,-0.41914064957515734,1.239195326676919,-0.08182217096951486,-0.4908631817856059,0.16318602630049953,-0.4220342648727578,0.6808242975670216,-0.4665489665505601,0.44274462778633394,0.7244913097419781,0.47111598820060613,-0.48289963797714497,-0.4809183816473134,1.2666051994631486,-0.031957667147261636,-0.43622720419449734,0.14222785742858426,-0.49080525841088585,-0.10260445513306807,-0.49653294979767937,-0.47270774234668994,0.9695036704915113,-0.03268905880662913,-0.49161444503010354,1.2475477258302787,-0.492051232434292,-0.2062796967140363,-0.153365354930064,0.9317108507307507,0.008763850329905603,-0.2331066362951184,-0.22417191135368475,-0.34364642828995146,-0.37124144035469747,-0.2611550898268873,-0.275896990234067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x_a{221}=[-15.597004839198718,-20.658109868896048,31.15580142019451];
std_x_a{221}=[1.6954564998979889,1.7713881656064763,5.032256587426404];
pred_a{221}=[-15.597004839198718];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.0 to 22.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{222}=[-12.583536421788793,-2.731204251518466,40.690024478978074];
std_x_f{222}=[1.8840335523604301,4.422028322555299,1.4665519990797906];
pred_f{222}=[-12.583536421788793];
obs{222}=[-13.023291727182404];
sqrt_r{222}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{222}=[4.557830600378765];
L_f{222}=[-0.09081945804124619,-0.11675470226729684,-0.002095498224727197,-0.19326067407248573,0.30582436732177326,-0.19958646549324585,-0.05496939975814126,0.04613619438388893,0.04203791030412969,-0.11594439356817908,0.2591901434560357,-0.14836325695896452,0.4391155411780155,0.013066485687292016,-0.19917054022592184,0.016701363890394963,-0.18889737780096427,0.21604829054078448,-0.1994321079089731,0.12294194255874134,0.23299031107400445,0.256789091773778,-0.20198741461830047,-0.18701069866747658,0.44984791016901565,0.036164996520618345,-0.15821588842553352,0.11331273715253182,-0.1974806110927628,0.0033321406078112245,-0.2026008990468124,-0.20036609532317728,0.3303973756203026,-0.05726373911405375,-0.19499341217878952,0.44235098920725124,-0.1961444529600067,-0.11896370265040332,-0.10050666338726058,0.3150029214297505,0.053424599089256626,-0.05714041576460001,-0.053282146834284755,-0.16497061488663906,-0.12369480998714633,-0.0708524166173428,-0.07742280949399163,-0.0243895296636459,-0.19204600447605305,0.12113345593543498,-0.045215012070255564,0.057795031837353905,-0.20215610566710412,-0.15783419529277162,0.02751773966669298,0.031925585019202035,-0.031878992407627996,-0.09532983853464135,-0.18651344368832298,0.042117545700750256,-0.024434832939135124,-0.1519765363282829,-0.08800219072828303,0.1582258928577679,0.42850796631050564,9.1060363247435E-4,-0.05427086855609497,-0.0500476602618849,0.0715570133408516,0.03076578619952415,0.3304584208082831,0.2583626933907558,-0.1363590646286031,0.25277516578208037,-0.17569171633940095,-0.06171852443588358,-0.06739645926940771,-0.16716523077238735,-0.030497392231018522,0.023116287206451303,-0.20026690586218607,-0.19477695315378557,0.39371035809836175,0.3818533188610635,-0.08034566839649561,-0.09657011700558156,-0.1894997642925851,-0.1689764244921239,-0.20136430879721795,-0.0022006193989088387,-0.029624343790333952,-0.14176986361579047,0.21407142799740558,0.3312298653680208,0.3973336527388058,-0.2007219244263034,0.26061929761859276,0.12133270921377352,-0.12212440874530774,-0.18663956391339742;-0.3241795657480407,-0.3512850758468091,-0.21401353799276399,-0.3817403370227445,0.8425688013133255,-0.3726719196675358,0.1123034178024134,-0.14510565590548002,0.3236980703447086,-0.03642850351457743,0.7572372078752039,-0.3806005116827673,1.0895924988687993,-0.19419061228182916,-0.3660750512077807,0.271333269491286,-0.25488952529776254,0.6732223304932837,-0.312527399492721,0.4911306228046264,0.7069907076529183,0.19125832109946886,-0.33948064400065636,-0.38408871954838486,1.1096283114425671,-0.16245730134943254,-0.3842408742357201,-0.043567639310718394,-0.36937615252087863,-0.20685752750265754,-0.3640526629190146,-0.3218751733785507,0.8906486961115427,0.11110313809576579,-0.3795712455421652,1.0957400786246987,-0.3770806892046764,-0.040001887579999715,0.006075407543936142,0.8620515260598655,-0.13298695070518066,-0.2863556363152848,-0.28117245736177715,-0.17224489468879886,-0.3603608845761823,-0.3022795789629451,-0.31044758459691046,-0.24558635519696723,-0.2701661561010848,0.4867493551017506,0.1356177330582182,-0.12794921172165882,-0.336940871171257,-0.3817689056167809,-0.17255363796937806,-0.1652642611289459,-0.11266468266906457,0.02066090788505751,-0.24494273240931044,-0.15132124355120952,-0.24418801172427512,-0.3805737137368516,-0.3234205037290432,0.5625777516678253,1.0715353143961193,-0.21086348712142924,0.11759591678001377,-0.279429082640142,0.38925125808287964,-0.1675242386970081,0.8912741467376879,0.7554964217494968,-0.3710994074838542,0.7456325285572303,-0.21126377592457188,-0.2928342629430388,-0.2999683761810391,-0.18587466510881723,-0.25057246877297895,-0.1795789003299926,-0.36257916133760776,-0.2787703263652846,0.4284948444923114,0.4066034243228076,-0.31548186456030425,-0.3325297705032681,-0.3884567336015963,-0.18151488221214845,-0.3568619964518129,-0.21233688619155736,-0.2505285137996433,-0.37475924495971696,0.6687631677565604,0.890888578566273,0.4370693666999017,-0.3588912582815611,0.7586002429217386,0.014733667975510435,-0.35745273245399567,-0.3874085097678505;-0.06512005013552222,-0.0323991817452895,-0.15958835015260459,0.10526974563318242,0.01846386094497013,0.12508114326840114,0.16492403758400456,-0.20110257782341523,0.12393831374398824,0.18472153749835768,0.03584531753066193,0.013657080089251877,-0.017544372829308704,-0.17479057804212322,0.12897551262947016,0.13607321018404867,0.1843418575451214,0.050740096228904304,0.16662594583374957,0.088454041401412,0.044911329000958275,-0.3259922125740519,0.15356537150483654,0.09039059444294921,-0.01951222815505469,-0.1952384118354495,0.030623693950317044,-0.2512755416092616,0.12369604310707034,-0.1645833794772761,0.13774750451280304,0.16268785273180875,0.011091642107797197,0.1686643745056102,0.11056807677452878,-0.017965244326672243,0.11602315626205269,0.1886270051906274,0.18222775233722674,0.01604856087483748,-0.20647509498575728,-0.10284570826996722,-0.10787920391450585,0.19240362208384193,-0.023882668021869415,-0.08811689390190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k{222}=[0.7805973745674321;1.6617048113997812;-0.2775710338343403];
x_a{222}=[-12.926808258631144,-3.461947758329609,40.812087813730315];
L_a{222}=[0.056786227316793406,0.07300262747927702,0.0013102416717490533,0.120839133000472,-0.19122126927757796,0.12479442889548592,0.03437044106468731,-0.02884734701483737,-0.026284833470038335,0.07249596982047832,-0.16206252186488862,0.09276635004037774,-0.2745635734618337,-0.008170016012793319,0.12453436538832034,-0.010442778087816159,0.11811091661084555,-0.13508743173166515,0.12469791450245139,-0.07687129220412453,-0.1456806839923016,-0.16056122831426917,0.12629565832067666,0.11693124220561568,-0.2812741480271859,-0.022612706105317206,0.09892685553332038,-0.0708504872040687,0.12347771186962997,-0.002083470856220605,0.12667924865433583,0.12528190413152315,-0.20658591100957321,0.035805011133884845,0.12192255347123018,-0.2765865858340993,0.12264225897116186,0.07438383807669509,0.06284329764849929,-0.19696029779917903,-0.03340453129342918,0.035727901361303376,0.03331546088597366,0.10315034949106769,0.0773420338475003,0.044301535406094564,0.04840977202742048,0.01524991896560841,0.12007964263017604,-0.07574050883781346,0.028271363966816655,-0.03613720987199442,0.12640113492723504,0.0986881961813516,-0.017205879154745606,-0.019961950524948976,0.019932817796245242,0.05960641032060382,0.11662032607718235,-0.026334626695328253,0.015278245517600823,0.0950256071208593,0.055024688704952966,-0.09893311095451851,-0.2679310282925738,-5.693685690757972E-4,0.03393367396121868,0.03129304967900536,-0.044742095067766094,-0.019236768930206514,-0.20662408042828626,-0.16154514630998343,0.08526054887035911,-0.15805146092836625,0.10985387885926166,0.0385904324234292,0.04214064627738114,0.104522565965918,0.01906895157878517,-0.014453805036247514,0.12521988443441456,0.12178720922161948,-0.24617330222116188,-0.23875951072807017,0.05023733336319859,0.060381913023504055,0.11848756779313069,0.10565504198484549,0.12590605206710978,0.0013759702614326154,0.01852306495624258,0.08864373203263215,-0.1338513687977574,-0.20710643770145645,-0.248438821500021,0.1255043916113193,-0.16295612192478817,-0.07586509493644669,0.07636011693430837,0.1166991846381645;-0.009962421877505902,0.05266282112503474,-0.20676353362849498,0.28690290682894093,-0.21552228729699136,0.317857296153387,0.302486536759548,-0.30472765256810685,0.1782553161713641,0.36471588757228374,-0.13950880176474081,0.13270665687360372,-0.4296593680104014,-0.23939803700816356,0.32301514645138607,0.2135498938406727,0.3986575869333647,-0.07426150453473504,0.3774677699871312,0.06577611303471699,-0.09910912683335106,-0.6971805303812415,0.3593553751521081,0.26293086057111664,-0.44675540365560495,-0.287580949517821,0.16315442681785486,-0.4356070260250843,0.3138672286408403,-0.21838606695161578,0.33690588954427136,0.3713514055815143,-0.25246008199395,0.3092242119254919,0.2950669252842129,-0.4347057907382689,0.30153985230033303,0.37158870850236037,0.3538083426508563,-0.22779552232902583,-0.31782536859830196,-0.0886612365868325,-0.09682689575364788,0.3985204077060227,0.06759839578109555,-0.057144401259992886,-0.04258016285358679,-0.16120346504829405,0.39427457410904065,0.06765184701142883,0.2920526233251816,-0.3279084520156547,0.3624787852404695,0.16430581360776592,-0.2677595084989553,-0.2757203941811132,-0.0023697507256688786,0.3504830653393603,0.40035644502672674,-0.29703952025482255,-0.15964838131157463,0.14523467810272686,-0.018950540778669877,0.015147837281484923,-0.41101646694912,-0.21401399339800603,0.3053622576155289,-0.10627419706759896,0.14167831676829085,-0.27396770001072385,-0.25204583549771237,-0.13838677631003035,0.10067565870293657,-0.1289189425314271,0.3965943912625416,-0.07930052369368361,-0.06679011906126492,0.3924835689152555,-0.14505759686108116,-0.2595566264644443,0.3303042419439526,0.3951189395670472,-0.9336641784973345,-0.9145326165409957,-0.0375019361351604,0.0015835021718054348,0.2671745153000816,0.40310971950323343,0.33981820129822093,-0.20472318360860223,-0.148034214718822,0.11573610254651884,-0.07188111861523319,-0.25510044741199156,-0.9376255304061109,0.33556641814265725,-0.14309035402135264,-0.4050532165697765,0.06507327398177132,0.2583270183992066;-0.1176068557789074,-0.09987460494228388,-0.16079939028012175,-0.006420366346404199,0.19520730860284025,0.009735200346823574,0.1331558651717802,-0.17443933274378834,0.14823305933457387,0.11771441169179993,0.18563769658317372,-0.07208570676032615,0.2362313329707976,-0.1672391335664305,0.01386994318224555,0.14572534045877986,0.0751734021389954,0.1755997340176454,0.05136920996867761,0.15950522342421475,0.17956217847618067,-0.1775874605312628,0.03683186084387465,-0.01768750254080188,0.24046597849093757,-0.17433776802617595,-0.06081317172350205,-0.18578931497769677,0.009567125402503315,-0.16265765320417777,0.020659446063745774,0.04689134249525327,0.20203643756552372,0.13557024677003382,-0.002123427309546762,0.2376803067196216,0.0026664373102131215,0.11987494616828195,0.12414247170632423,0.19809652141951525,-0.17559970099584768,-0.13586856439906586,-0.13867227123146,0.09706303332485176,-0.09536895070748369,-0.1290642536479794,-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x_a{222}=[-12.92680825863114,-3.4619477583296034,40.812087813730315];
std_x_a{222}=[1.178020215978571,3.136857429157764,1.3664546664937425];
pred_a{222}=[-12.92680825863114];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.1 to 22.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{223}=[-3.4543941540293526,3.7290080529322185,30.853385227282786];
std_x_f{223}=[1.5899635337094122,1.5932712059872782,1.2556708673505963];
pred_f{223}=[-3.4543941540293526];
obs{223}=[-2.7343315117660536];
sqrt_r{223}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{223}=[3.529137509231858];
L_f{223}=[-0.03396278413408891,0.0014234680400764886,-0.1401279088043822,0.14071131104439727,-0.06424637606971471,0.15964683553022144,0.16778318443176038,-0.18944751724472095,0.1066835154087126,0.19810300315870627,-0.03417101568851552,0.04836745712653074,-0.13860889008619012,-0.15732330692883503,0.16290103693440558,0.12377446876732445,0.21205061473957254,-0.0075142056862360935,0.1975577326413231,0.05369212375722622,-0.017562166296364094,-0.35494846566514304,0.18556379883823496,0.12597230697769124,-0.1439823353275116,-0.18159992589493185,0.0664550052529623,-0.25126192002454395,0.15754255551456042,-0.14563474850112043,0.17161913708007434,0.19336597895525934,-0.0774396781034028,0.17162593047766986,0.1460905747062525,-0.13986202029726674,0.1500831786769552,0.2023187916251588,0.1934846550719722,-0.06874471972622898,-0.1957428829081441,-0.07682052576111692,-0.08143295602007952,0.2141643323594852,0.009597705488640411,-0.06017843592456738,-0.05144574544179326,-0.11640518578175259,0.2087983680803579,0.05487301483551111,0.16280381498969038,-0.2007548163877057,0.18778233747555637,0.06695651598031302,-0.17162485910485548,-0.17502768140046548,-0.017031201545925523,0.19173797060817513,0.21326855917372503,-0.1852264481713909,-0.11551502147699397,0.05551061961332437,-0.03917270700730354,0.0313200536487689,-0.13227981281740586,-0.14413471745244705,0.1693650263114237,-0.0872995202919666,0.0891538990458684,-0.174160650190024,-0.0781126223886733,-0.03426867516758319,0.029270494439043206,-0.029862911696768087,0.21175240619881597,-0.07208088647886775,-0.06566201299896948,0.21010190578993887,-0.10771941021568832,-0.16771079798355357,0.16757290912360442,0.20861482270792445,-0.42711198610016476,-0.4225467585053133,-0.04923152482098353,-0.02760446295793564,0.12870744399389047,0.2166635135546523,0.17345439634123846,-0.13923413403188928,-0.10931602922735847,0.038118929316926516,-0.007129090567536036,-0.07914535314159524,-0.4277911731527255,0.17127560438838954,-0.03572334716050789,-0.2285381462241069,0.008699080819504487,0.12310008594154948;-0.11256004686992652,-0.07842643370722809,-0.20494382119258922,0.0809850972493515,0.08967221138269522,0.1049457537174167,0.1895102813979936,-0.23932124036314462,0.15629200809201735,0.20205299113769387,0.09705168236576688,-0.02793082055341794,0.09531959166895002,-0.2182318348779454,0.11014046032816836,0.16667144750395832,0.1855737701498826,0.10431001053281569,0.15972246264017964,0.12947216161785574,0.10129444108902508,-0.28602822575008524,0.14136611172967428,0.06270055814181529,0.09696013115987678,-0.23553587026958758,-0.007425886194276097,-0.2713011821409929,0.10303557159617477,-0.2093276005321189,0.12128451699379135,0.1534505057142201,0.08910927073179149,0.1938968876516742,0.08753601839001665,0.09544005052341309,0.09296330208119347,0.20654721246031107,0.20281179453741552,0.0895492326884248,-0.24269071347638407,-0.15233821689845298,-0.15688440288658131,0.20058546778328623,-0.0691026920254148,-0.13741068986896796,-0.12976312130669015,-0.18711803144145547,0.17926597994112772,0.12960326508130207,0.18766899508860108,-0.24688975992595832,0.14488285854789767,-0.006187181143845867,-0.22833286151188847,-0.22986762181068046,-0.05439644730152658,0.20326586805715058,0.1886580804342975,-0.2366572080734101,-0.1859188261236183,-0.01924847093691675,-0.11810374680426478,0.1200398024727638,0.09422681061977613,-0.20781551574341922,0.19280291672594704,-0.1629006949415529,0.1479286526349186,-0.22924766590832799,0.08905958163370284,0.0972007853263299,-0.04822930902371114,0.09782616941319267,0.1919060475120622,-0.14816481814682184,-0.14318997081601684,0.19344266264027865,-0.17833245084531185,-0.225455358299468,0.11619126593354034,0.17751181207851763,-0.23964878432323186,-0.2457797739824812,-0.12826456390161445,-0.10692719011695583,0.06615239626799903,0.20232007185289824,0.12446896324393289,-0.20444035822410037,-0.18030495888226167,-0.03866353958543147,0.10414115055477692,0.08799961186261254,-0.23619591264424383,0.12163003360604474,0.0954471331990486,-0.23723414902007345,-0.07031529626200266,0.05916134686883591;-0.07002418317832246,-0.08693477469322224,0.001427754928203157,-0.11376318832907333,0.1408049124945147,-0.11225568490786121,-0.052864957842976644,0.047380275625183634,-0.017215340154653137,-0.07077166148533587,0.10592262266515576,-0.10162257986544045,0.25173251226954774,0.015493832662991338,-0.11127827569698177,-0.027183302655228486,-0.09512724009539132,0.07665389353222421,-0.10324207618937989,0.020064787041495558,0.08742041180336016,0.28377512232275726,-0.1071026925601143,-0.11280930593328042,0.2612681986422938,0.03862587299554498,-0.10636430550176128,0.11814887012547916,-0.11160381126642858,0.006812393681603579,-0.11087529776073793,-0.10483745627583511,0.15846174391047052,-0.05295078080809265,-0.11325638504977673,0.2543801598099272,-0.11193477306725096,-0.07080292989742658,-0.0662425638460529,0.14718913807498524,0.05446563049981989,-0.04365661962045729,-0.04159046366623449,-0.08489805773398645,-0.0899166736999344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k{223}=[0.716644648335719;0.6015952120929813;-0.4378811691733445];
x_a{223}=[-2.938365114984882,4.16219429092484,30.538083355610485];
L_a{223}=[0.02746502596915685,-0.0011511302057162815,0.11331864428785386,-0.11379043004043575,0.05195476260757579,-0.12910321092699395,-0.1356829139629001,0.15320242770368314,-0.08627283056692292,-0.1602019464847323,0.027633418672986496,-0.03911379764384215,0.1120902441549892,0.1272242197016219,-0.13173481868099648,-0.10009394358223597,-0.17148110171428593,0.0060765882294942525,-0.1597609970955121,-0.04341974932058851,0.014202173517339975,0.2870397429349926,-0.1500617421088301,-0.10187129149592322,0.11643564212101179,0.14685623713914225,-0.053740836965750806,0.20319050202977212,-0.12740152165887234,0.11777191568874287,-0.13878497234204937,-0.15637120951539143,0.0626239227548581,-0.13879046602715617,-0.11814053324706643,0.11310362555664547,-0.12136927242542615,-0.1636111705122575,-0.15646718052337977,0.05559248338030683,0.15829336432267804,0.062123226607786956,0.06585320693988163,-0.17319042298468473,-0.007761472953721907,0.04866510056790496,0.04160314799231301,0.09413455144955006,-0.16885107472354258,-0.044374712376732205,-0.13165619723389038,0.16234641493915183,-0.15185583004482014,-0.05414639868578287,0.13878959962933526,0.14154139413323585,0.013772792916446761,-0.15505467164399267,-0.17246602908010258,0.14978893335472437,0.09341469333513641,-0.04489033064028665,0.031678186658375004,-0.025327902548349147,0.1069720456332878,0.11655887050541228,-0.13696211793311983,0.07059738042816126,-0.07209697953144717,0.14084024329068945,0.06316811937306753,0.027712393945394653,-0.023670464904303436,0.024149540921856994,-0.17123994641665857,0.058290374876389696,0.05309955995020152,-0.16990521966360594,0.08711053803114559,0.1356243764863501,-0.13551286851620237,-0.16870264524259965,0.34539694224317063,0.341705133763846,0.03981255195013096,0.02232317848298424,-0.1040831422347356,-0.17521146095836487,-0.14026910989299327,0.11259586646021276,0.08840169197321464,-0.0308260176631107,0.005765153316076948,0.06400326812989994,0.3459461872627435,-0.13850716430778687,0.028888758165257947,0.18481423949834375,-0.007034773111421027,-0.0995485836450195;-0.060993797776613415,-0.08058770844963903,0.007814668270561822,-0.13265918135026866,0.18721853204573924,-0.1374486405527408,-0.06523766411550089,0.04832001501160668,-0.0056873133910610215,-0.09873002967366196,0.14893409282448092,-0.10136791959540843,0.30577173023664955,0.020634708019324446,-0.137194841010899,-0.02125734722173896,-0.136386136814156,0.1157189515850284,-0.14023266505111842,0.047950534383675594,0.12795936462064783,0.25289581897823704,-0.14037843064397398,-0.1285652501860388,0.31557085927987233,0.04019025916236494,-0.10832560456960619,0.11019388918459383,-0.13616386000480776,0.011792013460688769,-0.13928761799110087,-0.1401402139868504,0.20668719705903726,-0.06668556185958943,-0.13427568396469614,0.30779483712949507,-0.13491043600272684,-0.1006367087403509,-0.09095911304730059,0.19392546189440005,0.054508898264320885,-0.03570035967104813,-0.03324341756696364,-0.1245837311183922,-0.08367504481008349,-0.046040789077544816,-0.05165220690789176,-0.010378139267822634,-0.13775598787517068,0.046288671662297526,-0.0595186925860879,0.057919552162804,-0.14023012722378214,-0.10784835143629269,0.03224796131655681,0.03587976161017444,-0.02853769621067824,-0.0878530200172694,-0.13515105142912953,0.0445751292804849,-0.01053048493272958,-0.10353115008958769,-0.058627186837247755,0.07248605417898679,0.29506940794125674,0.011026576642260859,-0.06434676511372459,-0.030352409402621915,0.012564833588501132,0.03518328988419187,0.20765925024518458,0.14923147376496598,-0.0926711781404768,0.14316751531485372,-0.12960108456068042,-0.03872323254650064,-0.04349426551385033,-0.12555848774154166,-0.014780313381067467,0.02918268168907082,-0.13823741514993176,-0.1392314758051385,0.40884231048882314,0.3957798613121694,-0.05351553678595027,-0.06501488377139612,-0.12926621520240159,-0.12664367461974826,-0.1388896758107774,0.0069610984242583895,-0.014328648731295105,-0.09654013169773946,0.1149653650409317,0.20816729242038376,0.41332640294744494,-0.1384205100899478,0.1496864738506501,0.1097590459131918,-0.08352325255470196,-0.1277435214131144;-0.10755754280116137,-0.08536165460834128,-0.15343208146171886,0.04174138454631448,0.06980418628878485,0.06417514205104168,0.13255760866627242,-0.1619842383771616,0.10068402680698589,0.1481583069932207,0.06815913968769848,-0.048170155140631596,0.09855139207670292,-0.15836918848100912,0.0687488733745652,0.109603823807319,0.13921668029233383,0.06834970435892289,0.11508529639068167,0.07940167125974823,0.0680118998051954,-0.10848978613664119,0.09796979994455358,0.026406721870712947,0.10214871215239038,-0.16206601666770554,-0.03292275250512327,-0.15952871857198184,0.06250150850604547,-0.15413322748694433,0.0787865027782332,0.10885747516134961,0.07288067741555561,0.13671852733196363,0.048192984245402706,0.09981416531817659,0.05392695064717479,0.15278604132897458,0.14758352036558164,0.07121714833854864,-0.1618560935613251,-0.12855344104781258,-0.13158462937965903,0.1517817996386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x_a{223}=[-2.9383651149848826,4.162194290924839,30.538083355610492];
std_x_a{223}=[1.285771789819516,1.3895078617981695,1.1150364910023822];
pred_a{223}=[-2.9383651149848826];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.2 to 22.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{224}=[1.481391945545292,3.9984717819486306,23.416566327058963];
std_x_f{224}=[1.2188615725362706,1.332900534029974,0.8565435191062527];
pred_f{224}=[1.481391945545292];
obs{224}=[1.8616979304890096];
sqrt_r{224}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{224}=[2.4866649519964525];
L_f{224}=[-0.032271024013230475,-0.05490090798322924,0.04360377479623996,-0.12247200804656862,0.13155436491491684,-0.12875157310663635,-0.08273130527013771,0.08428697514149368,-0.031967217829502306,-0.10982556859524358,0.09927952291714681,-0.08045157991977596,0.22243267859725255,0.05670108318103099,-0.12895974775813093,-0.04450282840769422,-0.13686117666621073,0.07252669186982252,-0.13689685378379338,0.01420943614343636,0.08249305965271524,0.2597642789285424,-0.13523207504358714,-0.11622965459418357,0.22938871739038602,0.07715513880269986,-0.08930996358697724,0.14234040292839345,-0.1268477899557734,0.04762321858175355,-0.13218503653919486,-0.13631015263235105,0.1471019455956211,-0.08448717678547081,-0.12343822634109919,0.22352079432339278,-0.12527154331696458,-0.11217633427030385,-0.10393221538376517,0.13749545409810054,0.09106843015461814,-0.0036256472665344174,-7.315712651686252E-4,-0.12956836592213086,-0.059341859693005594,-0.015138476364121642,-0.021342787417159406,0.024474264606742985,-0.13719006110292647,0.013631027714009194,-0.07806793213979851,0.09366489712228933,-0.13532471203120203,-0.08939068772066394,0.06861219089271842,0.07268521140638406,-0.016251584386603804,-0.10123292648188324,-0.1368387902247094,0.080936577187848,0.02417719349632788,-0.0838899078494985,-0.029223953681168098,0.03532269280965507,0.2143119592032123,0.04676603218607015,-0.08221068978165046,0.002337110184500328,-0.016455041582239083,0.07119508521869113,0.14815952338721644,0.10040397578314632,-0.07021536944430647,0.09523866133379867,-0.13230922247683372,-0.006719985853841835,-0.011853293548530087,-0.12932453027409477,0.019068538193426493,0.06558270802330807,-0.13066122539064606,-0.13865149294543555,0.3671926529916041,0.35860362830539805,-0.02341100745567685,-0.03724859400991836,-0.11713944482646091,-0.13103031544940894,-0.1319534821347382,0.04274960807933888,0.01989803960416165,-0.07494626599021394,0.071425174835462,0.14794592822224262,0.3698783136535252,-0.1314450305155903,0.10146948826490473,0.13469365340962527,-0.059191467780603337,-0.11503242129658796;-0.06631319623348432,-0.08810687473129813,0.013222039464443013,-0.13517335928176952,0.1789541437018922,-0.13632804891105915,-0.05775203788636004,0.0587064549982487,-0.00429460641353162,-0.08687398426656062,0.14118475721585447,-0.10918156207107123,0.2837051953634142,0.027430967776275912,-0.13520001399431855,-0.01845688872664984,-0.12390829727468476,0.11061405518918441,-0.13150327220703026,0.04597621327126289,0.12263011848321381,0.2616830562873299,-0.135001488168297,-0.1324083064241229,0.2919879052809635,0.04961839114066509,-0.11582000126508471,0.12608763584680774,-0.1357827474644703,0.017181035890258278,-0.1360829247234292,-0.13266433784584744,0.1968570780335044,-0.058722609726880835,-0.13521024299852602,0.28558511585505814,-0.13554276544217728,-0.0883692127572138,-0.07989860635936986,0.18513775876445457,0.0660173825894595,-0.037339188695762054,-0.03397797624036815,-0.11089717001508766,-0.09176381926962617,-0.04932063342104325,-0.05556539262411936,-0.008128637421321723,-0.12644402138041444,0.044702814409370975,-0.05321344430478993,0.06979892147472608,-0.1335977813294232,-0.11510876232515345,0.04098159960501373,0.04493086918540224,-0.0329740115030453,-0.07667861520343819,-0.12234759412066538,0.05491991796895873,-0.007899995667591277,-0.11127563316229998,-0.06322743633947488,0.06963311588071586,0.27490505913057744,0.016997215790744463,-0.05682525907744793,-0.0312934008590068,0.012330138348231332,0.04425021675378225,0.19780927274341867,0.14355401348811753,-0.10098253131499378,0.1374931943464154,-0.11642547019423345,-0.040690804816258856,-0.04630791143142963,-0.11260037784248879,-0.013356746929727102,0.037557031890265366,-0.13559611188829568,-0.1281203772710727,0.38090100196794774,0.37185369694019693,-0.05784304552365605,-0.07062078190394126,-0.13187292653184562,-0.1121204730241598,-0.13528340502252453,0.012106028650107918,-0.012606782391898764,-0.10458700083908842,0.11029382762519487,0.19731025482122447,0.3842325778567401,-0.13501970022949977,0.14365470606414446,0.12133925579954703,-0.09182342500220289,-0.1318020056025166;-0.09592988291972546,-0.08586674364491198,-0.1037908246831087,-0.006759652418727288,0.08792693068830111,0.008160707119586899,0.05778007772848215,-0.0936181853193646,0.04556435037895758,0.06576315800579574,0.07043448498050736,-0.06435353357715398,0.1656484822866897,-0.10316836764231632,0.010656512297295896,0.048713026755600256,0.058602634242596936,0.05831587650489252,0.042228409247537624,0.04352165107849037,0.06261943326340075,0.05294410086036779,0.030454423665421285,-0.017103191195594586,0.1730387616043766,-0.09667059989002738,-0.05448179342999944,-0.06231632083494597,0.006936575694170201,-0.10322727451027931,0.017318553101451913,0.03759612703059734,0.09894787585831433,0.060224908766756007,-0.00244156077620845,0.1675391150471871,0.0011388010733807106,0.06860415493296271,0.06569943460751963,0.09200534268066046,-0.09028735530840198,-0.10274558044548245,-0.1032493690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k{224}=[0.5978549505846634;0.6390665213923457;0.12159698181013548];
x_a{224}=[1.70875976138087,4.241512604811302,23.462810386992448];
L_a{224}=[0.04625915666710174,0.07869814427088251,-0.06250417863248853,0.1755584763978368,-0.18857765326396927,0.18455996899986396,0.11859184915223285,-0.12082183653260978,0.04582366327080439,0.15743033693687605,-0.14231302367648865,0.11532395867261529,-0.3188478965803769,-0.08127861976088259,0.18485837861381538,0.06379293419993917,0.19618474487981852,-0.10396396471265465,0.19623588652846916,-0.020368629530965934,-0.11825033407241767,-0.3723611767183345,0.19384949617011915,0.16661032507152912,-0.32881908584855984,-0.1105986488709746,0.12802207936783572,-0.20403898545095422,0.1818309758634871,-0.06826588237366665,0.18948169453210514,0.19539487508519415,-0.2108644567508444,0.12110881717536705,0.1769435097157441,-0.32040766474350746,0.17957149255174715,0.16080006073633382,0.1489824627884579,-0.1970939549216247,-0.13054276728939074,0.0051972129813265535,0.001048676662838876,0.18573080717348464,0.08506406190675792,0.02170036964250068,0.030593988788154017,-0.03508282973268108,0.19665618689780862,-0.019539505356180754,0.1119070997576963,-0.1342646935657064,0.19398228739860618,0.12813779402087866,-0.09835269207689509,-0.10419119580620753,0.023295963212084998,0.14511314559075353,0.19615265485676242,-0.1160191818733931,-0.03465699078092269,0.12025265725710074,0.04189130940546028,-0.05063359563414637,-0.30720718661888136,-0.0670371417004679,0.11784556872941832,-0.0033501492276401695,0.02358761055132296,-0.10205516254175413,-0.21238045006822404,-0.14392487960246472,0.10065078115373527,-0.13652061842224142,0.18965970985454222,0.009632817300316537,0.016991198142884998,0.18538127901971732,-0.027333948105913445,-0.09401005570381649,0.1872973752919444,0.19875108802437957,-0.5263552360403371,-0.5140432301240103,0.03355869529218663,0.05339429406478217,0.16791447113370117,0.1878264503794155,0.1891497710248646,-0.06127976654191607,-0.028523003516706946,0.10743232252667895,-0.10238498633740788,-0.21207427037600837,-0.5302050177288115,0.18842092699753665,-0.1454522469647216,-0.19307769138610642,0.08484848142085734,0.16489414145560666;0.017630257513304326,0.054701479539005414,-0.10020018882595538,0.1834010788432356,-0.16324533970762142,0.19858080670728734,0.1574488027968499,-0.16054099733998353,0.07885858606601874,0.19880450966068264,-0.11706134109766789,0.10008925236242883,-0.29488714369430247,-0.12006000590489109,0.20025034595378904,0.09730395965891668,0.2320952757294142,-0.07804252422044368,0.22459310418838282,0.009014598877326273,-0.09195099721208501,-0.41401631799859795,0.21676446235901095,0.16992850911764618,-0.30469849612980615,-0.15107771390874966,0.1164932589034548,-0.24416851173066553,0.19417398352334503,-0.1066965778059068,0.20775706300662525,0.22190591031300638,-0.18578480408049655,0.16104560753763125,0.18587752413280312,-0.29583763205770297,0.19031382956098103,0.20342409765781924,0.19045008512595507,-0.17251569799432925,-0.17087000441575934,-0.02790814760156805,-0.03207501156732317,0.22613632874752537,0.06259634768218715,-0.009942397702601106,-4.849028952510679E-5,-0.07179114463399991,0.23041504649394828,0.00924575720650664,0.14985702064227488,-0.17384240072376125,0.2184091367197679,0.11741447762523638,-0.13749257184698108,-0.1441380515673411,0.00929964308286466,0.18664868046279376,0.23359774722595777,-0.15561247235141223,-0.07078976089952496,0.10693896692289256,0.012789971819859565,-0.022248344988442387,-0.28256364801001155,-0.10465068289764991,0.15702135553100915,-0.03737269665678875,0.05513302620806093,-0.14094258470810145,-0.18758358288775417,-0.11761701392306115,0.08166183146832971,-0.1102418065417542,0.22773755025111128,-0.02321076385227274,-0.015475099980196753,0.22379885513313394,-0.0629578675264123,-0.13303684251814088,0.20428013516174198,0.23254017010469835,-0.5742412789192141,-0.5609467953448746,0.003053715010364823,0.026270337111140806,0.1728304372251628,0.22871585184254262,0.20795426291648772,-0.09909433942715197,-0.06436560375681483,0.09036337972722866,-0.0754974834190034,-0.18752699662942518,-0.5778956490438204,0.2068953823165941,-0.12028793459650677,-0.22902615127093695,0.062145542199101934,0.16742056423389054;-0.07995772622453606,-0.05869419700812699,-0.12537199060030327,0.053856400622921324,0.022815673930667923,0.0718847556520488,0.09872694606555277,-0.13533501382073315,0.061386141843422254,0.12012000735840199,0.021297274583768077,-0.024534987988783417,0.05555809298793399,-0.13123188942529745,0.07448359437936776,0.0707391684861945,0.12634043389545352,0.02241965930851225,0.10998386686229301,0.03648886090300027,0.021790481740244783,-0.075623116751276,0.09738591898847823,0.040423283794630234,0.059505564245480085,-0.1348576114422663,-0.0102788969781226,-0.13276599787948654,0.06971836956539837,-0.12679781597203071,0.08274195322342467,0.10506120393973135,0.02614153031882252,0.10204082467318853,0.05865271043402608,0.056910175906527256,0.0631404505557915,0.12412448759184225,0.11713943939655594,0.023953615012187953,-0.13536058371968948,-0.10095110976990598,-0.10288728659822134,0.13140576707605894,-0.052773104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x_a{224}=[1.708759761380871,4.241512604811302,23.46281038699246];
std_x_a{224}=[1.7471868390773433,1.8901030047364926,0.895178867989357];
pred_a{224}=[1.708759761380871];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.3 to 22.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{225}=[3.6786250108914778,5.530418643237412,19.521905182108377];
std_x_f{225}=[2.0916348795167807,2.674981047485489,1.6387274096635538];
pred_f{225}=[3.6786250108914778];
obs{225}=[3.976554592675173];
sqrt_r{225}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{225}=[5.377342874761357];
L_f{225}=[0.04905512766449996,0.08805346991100925,-0.08604900214201024,0.2039629981826596,-0.20233564392607234,0.21512308511570616,0.15510112757112524,-0.15910628463723991,0.07462159978532887,0.19614140801369076,-0.1468177902890412,0.1319326462047545,-0.3590402197101678,-0.10960652019781188,0.2160265158532833,0.09419308731183118,0.23354036422929478,-0.1012136362029674,0.23067080566057882,-0.0017083227712819992,-0.1180077842645181,-0.4738095335763339,0.22724690530420236,0.1933861019398019,-0.3715054394801848,-0.14695676558543466,0.14763902534298246,-0.2634544477254413,0.21190498155958357,-0.0927992858228363,0.22181835912340622,0.2295269391396717,-0.2296392832388348,0.1581634742385822,0.20613850785923882,-0.3610450125966759,0.2092856712807178,0.19977840747768716,0.18716313037103813,-0.21335612436169096,-0.17090884143304255,-0.0014446540299509235,-0.006128630688579401,0.22419972951817507,0.0955621974291744,0.018856941675305564,0.0294615070534665,-0.051590411335912904,0.233192005566917,-0.0012073507302797766,0.1472826883811747,-0.1761911214405146,0.2277917953520796,0.14812541937170204,-0.1317229914314308,-0.13846539120982077,0.02795944058660834,0.18384210845258056,0.23413307245327425,-0.153082706357996,-0.05113847046732155,0.13949313360794524,0.04344970951202087,-0.03728089764353408,-0.3451293882466532,-0.0914945625753353,0.15356023582616615,-0.011931658304458305,0.04901596504078029,-0.13521373704680825,-0.231083608760261,-0.14867955485014858,0.11456218235101129,-0.1397508976968102,0.22764783530327576,0.003969017421003869,0.013092412762144786,0.2232903573958011,-0.0414496011139484,-0.12478451492245668,0.21871013988693022,0.23566113027168875,-0.6550987742545952,-0.6420222652756543,0.03365092625874605,0.057820135152382886,0.19565669854662315,0.22616642229826225,0.22128360148695567,-0.08422443827781703,-0.043181641739466516,0.12272190795036834,-0.09893462611223003,-0.23161524125601243,-0.6597139257801947,0.2205841653019611,-0.15091509403952838,-0.24678503223027104,0.09538410143388919,0.19102040299048173;0.08021277790835726,0.12714129330691268,-0.09646616236213343,0.25149456582615287,-0.25007947028539823,0.26105071071948344,0.1953475591940549,-0.19863509943365357,0.10630008919297472,0.23673392057539866,-0.17491481827472044,0.1783977533836113,-0.463490398881365,-0.12932246752719215,0.2612552165637608,0.12853806694843356,0.2736244437578066,-0.11384441127218128,0.27285680387918404,0.014453115551286122,-0.1360735833120756,-0.6450632379659514,0.27015901963583105,0.24070171624994582,-0.4799303644261851,-0.18162510053134046,0.19503241016944073,-0.3466447812705568,0.2563554625283681,-0.10663835802330837,0.2669878090505916,0.27218208166900426,-0.286566655307263,0.19885277200172824,0.2521646001847256,-0.4662530379220687,0.25568792089751924,0.24039675892657447,0.228044049050379,-0.2650474282504801,-0.21595351415017772,0.01560915912389109,0.009573988150140222,0.26373519419386315,0.1370621177265403,0.041981539970341514,0.055995690945807045,-0.050489360007999286,0.2731107113232878,0.01446622925614653,0.18720614423382365,-0.222115674308499,0.2708953085600484,0.19559758639653688,-0.15893306669669333,-0.16978150553133287,0.05333590251054322,0.22461529893601426,0.2742033150559832,-0.18985077057008948,-0.050005127589812244,0.18595591776577028,0.07382288585042603,-0.03015494585459811,-0.44436569002670645,-0.10381811644511653,0.19391982184720696,0.002630995973794176,0.07630369036174099,-0.16497341612541003,-0.2894084893490653,-0.1768265336937608,0.15863589903302652,-0.16546418057948564,0.2681995466018959,0.0225413511782935,0.03433612975200094,0.26339456168420866,-0.03645949884424761,-0.15062198287637102,0.2640045028683821,0.2762807440700747,-0.8847746412591373,-0.8672680464175395,0.06094795177019491,0.09172785484309828,0.24348868225877787,0.266208430616841,0.2651662391431488,-0.09373564684819946,-0.03851453125166984,0.16755527384309965,-0.110644924663674,-0.2894746079025682,-0.8899427557411101,0.265041332542152,-0.1807165958254969,-0.3228300005041369,0.13633576456773516,0.23986231798240149;-0.06661391705433181,-0.020802603173904526,-0.18263001412244417,0.17131282435142553,-0.1160700977327228,0.19764967358920288,0.16037752219439566,-0.22259854965914921,0.0628822897214084,0.21670174989610425,-0.09862469003029574,0.04301268067230082,-0.11834472053546823,-0.19833690531205847,0.20002062483478272,0.08498475705159737,0.2601224296053633,-0.07740865087450693,0.24382259493359412,-0.010696720467643197,-0.08563990910529952,-0.20938091593281222,0.22973561846870416,0.15066378411778433,-0.11528448796327809,-0.21679542527389664,0.0677423319095354,-0.24957076413837168,0.19251527324740622,-0.1877817553513146,0.2123600243115391,0.2385936766840053,-0.12131926133169192,0.16519031751281824,0.17729064204406936,-0.11751110540999891,0.18415349966038383,0.2227480842188214,0.205358592742075,-0.11876709772077451,-0.22654105121039597,-0.11702609446037027,-0.12168546572890734,0.2535929685567158,-0.010026341208618438,-0.09784936006054198,-0.08809722236584679,-0.1600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k{225}=[0.8140345476771598;1.0392419125963326;0.4948903633737384];
x_a{225}=[3.9211499832384136,5.840039551629324,19.669347661097095];
L_a{225}=[-0.026692966020858255,-0.04791361050833155,0.04682289496858527,-0.11098487842570674,0.11009936626942295,-0.11705755289372594,-0.0843970717264877,0.08657644677990038,-0.04060476289277558,-0.10672882099502891,0.07988975819706033,-0.07179012286485084,0.19536894186457313,0.05964153511768245,-0.11754914769998721,-0.05125443554464462,-0.12707917201859995,0.05507461259688951,-0.12551772405145856,9.29570543539473E-4,0.06421301758937416,0.2578197709852114,-0.12365463531389312,-0.10522954263394921,0.20215179421059587,0.07996538052322658,-0.08033662686163541,0.14335668779164698,-0.11530644688371455,0.0504960093095724,-0.12070073414911221,-0.12489529798452831,0.12495642915193883,-0.08606342383747533,-0.11216866508858409,0.1964598343144801,-0.11388116957631411,-0.10870786595388195,-0.1018433610757266,0.11609607494814447,0.09299871622468271,7.860972495497963E-4,0.0033348467023361266,-0.12199653831999048,-0.05199942616195577,-0.010260858086819256,-0.016031249823258806,0.028072520903623815,-0.1268896153630446,6.569705054899108E-4,-0.08014272887652439,0.09587302778934612,-0.1239511329936582,-0.080601294387733,0.07167604085126984,0.07534486522809114,-0.015213912042891903,-0.1000362528396581,-0.12740168958681786,0.08329876352869205,0.02782660079653028,-0.07590410325717047,-0.023642821348925896,0.02028611037019268,0.18779947116383341,0.049786054306492036,-0.08355860747314144,0.006492519026178765,-0.026671655983885167,0.07357550291639804,0.12574234764613082,0.08090282289660322,-0.06233812011835593,0.07604436358046507,-0.12387279825325427,-0.002159709946728355,-0.007124134532502418,-0.12150171055542233,0.022554477926951273,0.06790052284717331,-0.11900942083662687,-0.12823317035889548,0.356466900689329,0.3493514200767095,-0.01831088968595528,-0.031462376644896345,-0.10646507011004623,-0.12306669889344544,-0.12040974994218487,0.04583007273880963,0.023496954356324887,-0.06677817131244954,0.05383450698898432,0.12603163133206377,0.35897819948150556,-0.12002915718443083,0.08211927415178169,0.13428615505461491,-0.051902516611885594,-0.10394226595817216;-0.016491463922319788,-0.04644186616505451,0.07316551344025818,-0.15058546208986148,0.14879249219351248,-0.16302962169080937,-0.1104092018815691,0.11501718033555793,-0.04080431303763333,-0.14992710869131112,0.11451268447809988,-0.0816860978134306,0.24429926321583384,0.08674904099929959,-0.16460608327406484,-0.05714835418330171,-0.18676257254177198,0.08568188532366038,-0.1818733423032832,0.017820797305755566,0.09655965709995146,0.28897554448337853,-0.17782146134686974,-0.1405276731949455,0.2524324602434682,0.1080763695172709,-0.0960140245286661,0.17271300734744466,-0.16138089975395276,0.07630040913884453,-0.17029117205533678,-0.18029311686728905,0.16613001143125422,-0.11294090971396623,-0.154204092828804,0.2454887487612335,-0.1568848952542244,-0.15343402592837438,-0.14091775948825216,0.15554962711627476,0.12096559542748167,0.018457060644594698,0.021655591285548698,-0.1782382730852361,-0.051323282333267294,0.00480813252499963,-0.0020829001910866772,0.05121278310114276,-0.18658957227505735,0.01684632574257186,-0.10313782983746482,0.12521659506671604,-0.17815933493062602,-0.09640769537867873,0.10073748405927924,0.10318059474720606,-0.0017816077817495478,-0.13779965258648674,-0.1873521295436653,0.11192699988001695,0.05080608726921239,-0.08903221025216417,-0.011831181648084376,0.04333830781792344,0.23600102009870455,0.07654860007818463,-0.10879932063411739,0.026152328504141394,-0.020323348696968384,0.101578574435746,0.16613543130878639,0.11627113645889689,-0.06720489507298164,0.11003208760588162,-0.18057130296067583,0.014717075943786498,0.008526557742391645,-0.1767862256891821,0.045251678778659744,0.09537048482884868,-0.16714712725473627,-0.1882870191155912,0.40664652722233463,0.39837490178797813,-0.005389401034352621,-0.02225518013542138,-0.14221682077137743,-0.17964205305721995,-0.1710585538634274,0.07229919670527427,0.0466110840352512,-0.07437109816679088,0.08438867252556284,0.16711734014572935,0.41057643674855804,-0.16980463526919837,0.11678807788997503,0.1636667343572452,-0.05169854807232433,-0.1367034790067069;-0.1126647900987055,-0.1034634656982307,-0.10185086091468738,-0.020158986695489576,0.07387402216677794,-0.004298753684924728,0.014775162668055373,-0.07323631856880307,-0.007169302878340459,0.03257251592573349,0.03920162381597138,-0.08084009130162985,0.21870700805807913,-0.09544295340990656,-0.0027759048943028363,-0.003439717859998648,0.04088464191853355,0.017606417540354958,0.027278627110920054,-0.00909301951313433,0.025140793140142597,0.23541137626476072,0.01640586306652282,-0.030878885384242768,0.23346906020406036,-0.07883864731439201,-0.07085492257044673,-0.0022509037528151755,-0.006412134912874394,-0.10066572215569485,0.004126357797293699,0.023123522230940136,0.09425635699628616,0.016713156832857123,-0.016223445207040405,0.221422637706643,-0.012315011115288444,0.03520458942490504,0.029657784984488487,0.08152258174794424,-0.06609908043779368,-0.11566991453599401,-0.115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x_a{225}=[3.921149983238414,5.840039551629323,19.669347661097103];
std_x_a{225}=[1.1381468446852532,1.4627737337672089,1.2402982943290195];
pred_a{225}=[3.921149983238414];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.4 to 22.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{226}=[6.391692101041626,9.559830050514229,18.721037077521437];
std_x_f{226}=[1.4367752404137706,1.7612449025072612,2.228556994733142];
pred_f{226}=[6.391692101041626];
obs{226}=[6.685806215041553];
sqrt_r{226}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{226}=[3.064330836330475];
L_f{226}=[-0.0027829596522240697,-0.03721437965403933,0.09821177776672388,-0.15746503418319677,0.1482561881418289,-0.17140093106303156,-0.11804463337697059,0.14238190387690167,-0.04254805726380654,-0.16040968608019443,0.11751712824090471,-0.07930634270325805,0.21776243047710464,0.11326916312730524,-0.17281119555916782,-0.06081966566579574,-0.198370296515453,0.08965252516527952,-0.19281687060301683,0.019753636341405045,0.10005237398508973,0.26772708347839946,-0.18766771259361548,-0.1455272494574177,0.22242581161576802,0.13551318236308807,-0.09518988797025162,0.19575348712959423,-0.1686568738362654,0.10202179807800074,-0.1791604976776384,-0.19086668040164653,0.16257408821786942,-0.12145602772160086,-0.1608641911777943,0.21830463477826628,-0.16321497162034976,-0.16398316828153392,-0.15096016868098247,0.15400059105364017,0.14873021883067752,0.03711115437017558,0.040715782061568215,-0.1898838623174233,-0.043408389946519396,0.021561137286901767,0.013534588980306676,0.07465431495099038,-0.1978358962159481,0.01877395972111584,-0.11061694498461724,0.15213232653704398,-0.18813669953770118,-0.09562620072001357,0.1273815338519171,0.1303297271053244,0.009585867289894778,-0.14786420500468037,-0.19919214709883032,0.1392679111744252,0.0741774310872774,-0.08670498339551697,0.001976262044287332,0.04589483034743824,0.212425744584324,0.10226066086662476,-0.1164211452266125,0.046215767991761594,-0.020561326793969735,0.12855719655604775,0.16309224058131255,0.11879561797357036,-0.061855523813218134,0.11333078958111677,-0.19200504837386262,0.033250342693732206,0.026140745373553997,-0.1880288623252567,0.06762931082389788,0.12227934593748906,-0.17596409875501318,-0.19965858785778529,0.2973541082757205,0.2973084158032112,0.008102194955769745,-0.009990961228299846,-0.14746484714290498,-0.19162686505994647,-0.1799596763239665,0.09705809229559546,0.06904438136564213,-0.07044058011086347,0.08841327234512986,0.163190275828382,0.29857156483018116,-0.17842687902140372,0.11933066177707602,0.18534264606113443,-0.04366754635044617,-0.14181946663373174;0.03979678664698649,-0.010158803139909056,0.1689336278105709,-0.20084151066766176,0.1758342539953026,-0.2246775176590951,-0.15055393216164392,0.21308624896320763,-0.03961897216947081,-0.21562400318552988,0.1519116835593388,-0.07415793881154709,0.1953764031844737,0.18554302301180747,-0.2274561564191238,-0.0647587334396911,-0.27315451117607314,0.12547298739361573,-0.2629707752586569,0.04501466992318568,0.13629298026964864,0.2248455995843339,-0.2531616643354786,-0.18170604708710594,0.1936815460207679,0.2068301494555097,-0.09970762272538443,0.2483050740297849,-0.22050457808722465,0.17296891634350417,-0.23814960854895953,-0.2589247844057298,0.1838594082657079,-0.15497788291534892,-0.20703013907882264,0.1945604503407486,-0.21207622552680225,-0.22156558067442425,-0.20114602629405176,0.17940418679639766,0.217568774817218,0.09536696645133531,0.09933959158005552,-0.2611388850817599,-0.0196176165029402,0.07356614281462938,0.06300901890605598,0.14122143988155061,-0.2719749374554656,0.04364099447141321,-0.13911632547850045,0.22126175229174705,-0.25402713133699767,-0.10043137818327366,0.1991877127394714,0.2015127000225685,0.04989537256182749,-0.1959390579150602,-0.27516333918825187,0.2100435700547788,0.14103349779461707,-0.08575530855301972,0.046902110305438095,0.07776948974430878,0.19587617470406748,0.17344532283712652,-0.1482502809467316,0.1065909488776344,-0.008732213159509715,0.2000716150951327,0.1848677616998355,0.1534173467765196,-0.047685399700636455,0.14819018110320112,-0.2640683693161464,0.08922596788439188,0.07950882173425208,-0.25828846064367894,0.13346933161103902,0.19417403749168996,-0.23266837630864357,-0.27474031390139836,0.11011583716211662,0.1228355111675931,0.057620355702245316,0.02951966940268932,-0.1846861275013096,-0.2641017371834288,-0.23978558264658695,0.16806194708538566,0.13499580667035033,-0.06079981359962148,0.12462069150145069,0.18499871777976842,0.1071713594176418,-0.2378225892312887,0.15286519019101183,0.2381660370636023,-0.01978877822847241,-0.17534072716022342;-0.11074495099392671,-0.14011963411553408,0.01626134169480995,-0.18549219962569477,0.2224600259950064,-0.184341812563963,-0.12525778432563264,0.09568049861765986,-0.07060376759448107,-0.14716665782190722,0.15343304382066722,-0.16312202462007808,0.4393758329283337,0.04120628051923749,-0.18450131798332134,-0.08449310909876434,-0.17040197326579887,0.100323533399576,-0.17705109263671986,-0.004698638401060929,0.11989614508774951,0.5305444878861368,-0.1813970856455098,-0.18392960023329816,0.4578124888712336,0.08242758380885282,-0.17030231697583093,0.22768419170424006,-0.18384824019434526,0.022226844563727505,-0.18413278769499059,-0.17813721688090897,0.25808242943854987,-0.12620402931410465,-0.18565975946288235,0.44229904029099626,-0.18487127372792408,-0.14800915104320508,-0.14145921383015306,0.23640369671358094,0.11071987956818284,-0.06829628882406544,-0.06443320738070984,-0.16227052095609878,-0.1431579968790368,-0.0859845766452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k{226}=[0.6736644789968252;0.785175915826824;0.9096809588074695];
x_a{226}=[6.589826332415,9.790761369331717,18.9885870867437];
L_a{226}=[0.002697544311793227,0.036072185981005374,-0.09519743567033043,0.15263207532590126,-0.14370586964511844,0.16614024793914492,0.11442157598270675,-0.13801188048072432,0.041242160933992765,0.15548634918093515,-0.11391026117507061,0.07687225126578061,-0.2110788078391033,-0.10979267574053952,0.16750722822096,0.058952972254131444,0.19228186242885262,-0.0869008859342337,0.1868988837467557,-0.019147352462477864,-0.0969815398182987,-0.25950993237468556,0.1819077650693131,0.1410606882751759,-0.21559905923918074,-0.131353975600906,0.09226829452204802,-0.18974536885510312,0.1634804120491844,-0.0988905178213019,0.17366165586415222,0.18500854930356084,-0.15758432091051158,0.11772826690159499,0.15592690448677013,-0.21160437066113655,0.15820553414854852,0.1589501531127722,0.1463268588918596,-0.14927396380955282,-0.14416535125754412,-0.035972128915107614,-0.03946612241130428,0.1840558961342973,0.04207608805638114,-0.020899377106525036,-0.013119181762878795,-0.07236300479093322,0.1917638640859741,-0.01819774433849883,0.107221860184976,-0.14746304056614862,0.18236235774093607,0.09269121584444028,-0.1234719058162145,-0.12632961233540171,-0.009291655292521094,0.1433259173590376,0.19307848855476903,-0.13499346327341125,-0.07190075757404778,0.08404381090318135,-0.0019156060821506724,-0.04448621396487253,-0.20590591693412974,-0.09912204936946377,0.11284791636397619,-0.04479730130535654,0.01993025306409615,-0.12461148476684009,-0.15808657000331885,-0.11514951115962653,0.059957037566817944,-0.10985241073878214,0.18611197818213812,-0.03222981430110619,-0.025338426639463233,0.1822578302969984,-0.0655536139655155,-0.11852631561505371,0.17056336167039382,0.19353061318945528,-0.2882276366193375,-0.28818334655239,-0.007853520225674036,0.009684315979647199,0.14293881669534642,0.18574540217143132,0.1744363059061627,-0.09407915942160598,-0.06692525278450366,0.06827859902518485,-0.08569966859240262,-0.15818159632641915,-0.28940772667228387,0.172950553627521,-0.11566813325590923,-0.17965406009941792,0.0423272903627885,0.13746670571153866;0.04618447644406154,0.07525886111928966,-0.0564905425656445,0.16058586088773283,-0.16445617730504067,0.16873673025696392,0.12039232450396102,-0.11372101680356245,0.058041010450893264,0.15256218819801365,-0.11782379767412518,0.10787284116188169,-0.3044507697438834,-0.07444216112597893,0.1691950525955084,0.07483982578643182,0.18216215792541088,-0.08030524579873194,0.17959919016304837,-3.2558544569164134E-4,-0.09335588580964477,-0.38966476824255414,0.1775895080778933,0.15232068801580048,-0.31684942280901573,-0.10421143235760562,0.11878044471258553,-0.2010052677425979,0.166611272244811,-0.06120034232371203,0.17307506807893394,0.17916893572018283,-0.18929470618511549,0.12379850123039404,0.16219927173204407,-0.3065112368153632,0.16254889996360536,0.15482277626307633,0.1453508151091605,-0.17407129511750344,-0.12380969273698857,0.010186233795511432,0.00588520554655454,0.17469898593618738,0.08001707613345417,0.02407715487662347,0.03194325916066575,-0.030131603465290122,0.1821151298381292,5.493776506559386E-4,0.1147812580876691,-0.12792552724690187,0.17780050049083373,0.1190581520311187,-0.09318940579739954,-0.09763136677010789,0.02789306051434935,0.14345165977147348,0.18203971248509707,-0.10961619021442535,-0.029224960444532728,0.1132574717251554,0.0423660226598439,-0.027572296046415343,-0.2917017749916546,-0.061272194370803786,0.11896960523936398,5.125192356410129E-4,0.0384619232237472,-0.09500398620772992,-0.18947566089013068,-0.11925263471622297,0.09429075077594491,-0.1119364534037728,0.1766382314800379,0.01290690425576215,0.01950832105249079,0.1732916538832368,-0.021759314405363807,-0.086492097863048,0.1712196489347724,0.18353335296198267,-0.5723970415399432,-0.5595724902178963,0.03902349677490809,0.05245178810946949,0.15378794946533242,0.1757368245472966,0.173273437961504,-0.05471418457166598,-0.023480831696361053,0.1008815009370846,-0.0783131013883076,-0.18956972379204262,-0.578135930912016,0.17171822237842907,-0.12103287013568376,-0.18724844146159927,0.08044075261044017,0.15017558397958278;-0.103344367682544,-0.04115732368784077,-0.2449082526759915,0.23324657122612386,-0.1717901281151431,0.2714559813303335,0.1886523160488978,-0.2829484695861126,0.04254212090830307,0.27940267631865184,-0.1590742889271326,0.04777330612160263,-0.13970874256923987,-0.26000465427255287,0.2750467206859586,0.07724153997186375,0.3571140849325711,-0.13808487508427317,0.33569702198196794,-0.05722848062514778,-0.14616805335887745,-0.1814085526159197,0.3176581345032225,0.20306362578251144,-0.13367317932699394,-0.27793574200048493,0.08283131928155057,-0.2928731181505887,0.2646524216334998,-0.24907454338486926,0.2922996277417817,0.3294248559470728,-0.17424258941932014,0.19677781884348872,0.24211821700835157,-0.13822739157676545,0.24915801382430108,0.2880629628885103,0.2599814984457871,-0.1731222564147242,-0.28479084028612844,-0.16698409749516455,-0.1727066194633962,0.3426779936385055,-0.027724269352487094,-0.1433210143662523,-0.1311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x_a{226}=[6.5898263324149955,9.790761369331713,18.988587086743692];
std_x_a{226}=[1.392677351253045,1.7122893611253205,2.1772767933399537];
pred_a{226}=[6.5898263324149955];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.5 to 22.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{227}=[10.295285931820004,14.045175532092221,23.89681763601857];
std_x_f{227}=[1.328779799914959,1.4807891681306,3.480366356811661];
pred_f{227}=[10.295285931820004];
obs{227}=[10.802331501389974];
sqrt_r{227}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{227}=[2.77010397458019];
L_f{227}=[0.06669496171489608,0.08328118558937041,-0.010629868918836946,0.10387184080467216,-0.12068606228479098,0.10283578906993959,0.08071108284262749,-0.062268834789511764,0.0548967583086731,0.08810654420166887,-0.07771594156393025,0.09606742031805167,-0.25638667515865426,-0.026175513387203624,0.10262105331378722,0.06284166439981013,0.09507894814066883,-0.04517842024522274,0.09746825734858842,0.018918889919048092,-0.055768236978319306,-0.3356155250085494,0.09962794993749725,0.10339319399435402,-0.26836986485972436,-0.0534660381102336,0.09894777089455335,-0.14704176178089656,0.1023032903893899,-0.01462735951039213,0.10169086515763436,0.09835308334559678,-0.14400465458432973,0.08182884353328577,0.10393514978355188,-0.258230678628947,0.10248460981497663,0.0885056265743165,0.08662712564550168,-0.13079663466694122,-0.07201328808267558,0.04199960721330568,0.0396785952623956,0.09224649799880964,0.08470379828639418,0.05257635175817036,0.05787756198158449,0.011841970043535002,0.09495339251155967,0.018691877346847883,0.079083372505021,-0.07545904042798426,0.09912634968259715,0.09931626074314301,-0.04313613154223817,-0.047453975940155026,0.050042806313411486,0.08695473513357983,0.09407280665136585,-0.058298664131289805,0.012839532023939892,0.0983091494913227,0.06476483756913629,-0.002446149198069526,-0.2435954788312276,-0.014328775820328292,0.08019314553374429,0.03593327398610642,0.04364815429694967,-0.044961970984593376,-0.1441875761437684,-0.07926981154906283,0.09156198074794777,-0.07230143178779248,0.09267363221984713,0.04495181660028519,0.049418593445584705,0.09236101233250604,0.018658224690938845,-0.03725864359079132,0.10178560516979217,0.09506374552179588,-0.5102735752155054,-0.4982012152145446,0.06212551518753091,0.07092694150334256,0.10379602655150452,0.09132845886635178,0.10136547255765045,-0.009228445682204826,0.017770541210061608,0.09315716599905251,-0.042945811395795945,-0.1450335401586958,-0.5148068567695328,0.10101136586712667,-0.08076276701592403,-0.1342081904460351,0.08518196090974327,0.10404936964824225;0.13792250644565462,0.11748186328792173,0.13478999638194306,-0.030657430103714033,-0.01882738229852496,-0.05547998577495776,-0.01429702417612668,0.09424311928874418,0.051533175278553424,-0.06611224276479485,0.024207505605791838,0.07633009588442224,-0.20360628528937985,0.12475366216113137,-0.05774716646425197,0.03817730776739122,-0.1125465064063566,0.05208252612779539,-0.09849768392903048,0.07445140275839508,0.04327125267664941,-0.30197875926624035,-0.08616287217115406,-0.012154682134455246,-0.22165560087002337,0.10249507621777562,0.05732495549977123,-0.005243096437894457,-0.050869665158546844,0.13239886002465268,-0.06929323934379193,-0.09395090745249288,-0.046266038456731336,-0.01788864654657743,-0.036090201748060255,-0.20660320175752286,-0.042137415256634905,-0.07123428379045413,-0.0550029962936417,-0.02967287847631306,0.08429490404016235,0.1496045158613886,0.1499511040034778,-0.10463241460969173,0.1112007109901924,0.14664768464658168,0.1451282464754676,0.14552234664959549,-0.1106854284383498,0.07333345727969026,-0.007032527206865995,0.08165926945298524,-0.08788257366138612,0.05704722510150769,0.11151475303208255,0.10755071449776121,0.12340503936250163,-0.04983387435590449,-0.11538940296049605,0.09763158946813397,0.14583202464279502,0.06915496710540404,0.1402584652593346,0.07148004168084295,-0.18428214332646778,0.1333042725713075,-0.01375895509364833,0.150751456275372,0.06337251525399404,0.10953104555768316,-0.04685445833437742,0.024013645406548777,0.0944533633605699,0.030294180236802137,-0.10523815711423017,0.14932131810969668,0.14765495182591395,-0.10123777031215005,0.14855375243390517,0.11596733385615869,-0.0639669224095779,-0.11272678989843331,-0.6238507914431837,-0.5997763797195289,0.14420551210872246,0.1341685881546628,-0.01408510924828448,-0.10865924800756051,-0.071494400027531,0.13623759623906065,0.14899486158333125,0.08609944979868553,0.05310442769418708,-0.047497059228408384,-0.6328352185838032,-0.06891159993951591,0.020907317672484032,0.006465796741152491,0.11094851102556272,-0.0064228445752548685;0.021769168639848856,0.10614569585789668,-0.2410158136886233,0.3806188815804702,-0.36878495654856963,0.41062549422131833,0.2936472369719306,-0.36175311113215164,0.1194141187818132,0.3866030907327831,-0.28699751131651546,0.20704827907113943,-0.5395872268428584,-0.2815536449570721,0.4127132858993315,0.16418133976295002,0.46597442651145715,-0.21407631391278603,0.4536778929446205,-0.03338866528721175,-0.24054691959586783,-0.6718551403812005,0.4438087052236544,0.3544684568670363,-0.5502349376304477,-0.3427236502640202,0.24314284022719,-0.5055120097104717,0.4044543020015539,-0.25180752093079695,0.42649774274888996,0.45054936160035375,-0.4055369400331951,0.3029559751640738,0.387555052575448,-0.5407694765464629,0.3911669407629743,0.39470562673386883,0.36708512455445913,-0.3833370284936655,-0.3794012308138426,-0.07879138938115392,-0.08937988786380395,0.4486608316514211,0.12108737059509458,-0.03974145271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k{227}=[0.6390027200507702;0.42828464760524404;1.4304628133199553];
x_a{227}=[10.619289429964907,14.262335365175296,24.62212746794705];
L_a{227}=[-0.0760008317438356,-0.09490131204305136,0.012113042100736708,-0.11836495730614088,0.13752524745034655,-0.11718434648420335,-0.09197260586499881,0.07095713250353969,-0.06255643881069411,-0.10039994730076136,0.08855955602557687,-0.10947159515387933,0.2921600081785833,0.02982775216594906,-0.11693964889906205,-0.07160988835961585,-0.1083452026092991,0.0514821123998425,-0.11106788933744098,-0.02155862050965966,0.06354951388019105,0.3824435668143869,-0.11352892130818762,-0.1178195254660085,0.30581519832800774,0.06092609189575116,-0.11275383767864076,0.1675583268823008,-0.11657754888534899,0.01666829788070199,-0.11587967267704877,-0.11207617407128148,0.16409745566955491,-0.09324632639794889,-0.11843709971282344,0.29426130329709377,-0.11678416759839093,-0.10085471317026093,-0.0987141072031747,0.1490465361757893,0.08206121797157288,-0.04785976330222118,-0.04521490326750666,-0.10511754401082098,-0.09652242022638774,-0.05991226864719777,-0.06595315053495843,-0.01349426627818623,-0.10820212835005864,-0.02129993313868134,-0.09011778300708996,0.08598775211288032,-0.11295733335618761,-0.11317374248496921,0.04915486554195583,0.05407517372032976,-0.05702522056872991,-0.09908742766008644,-0.10719867537436498,0.06643300857526321,-0.014631016915376726,-0.11202611017768774,-0.07380139963270153,0.002787457535660895,0.2775840711829407,0.016328053157464925,-0.09138240136897462,-0.04094700169253222,-0.0497383302329799,0.051235462226948074,0.16430590006031184,0.09033023567296418,-0.10433751686827769,0.0823895660309697,-0.10560427577031842,-0.051223891013269705,-0.05631391200927927,-0.1052480363956089,-0.021261584967039705,0.04245729856854881,-0.11598763165233374,-0.10832787878678954,0.5814714505581233,0.5677146482811215,-0.07079381568506238,-0.08082329472417199,-0.11827856477887011,-0.10407141195157416,-0.11550887842803505,0.010516079918428543,-0.02025004404794711,-0.10615527645239302,0.048937990248001086,0.16526990044514878,0.5866372555871122,-0.11510536364500085,0.09203150147056674,0.15293410234398033,-0.09706730032150933,-0.11856725654168922;0.04228219741634732,-0.0019430246090513389,0.1500331860052389,-0.17960923543600588,0.15423594955836528,-0.20294609705282082,-0.13003639498732336,0.18353637996444055,-0.02718855713344723,-0.19245667566173916,0.13565185577201755,-0.06143020160465721,0.16405118407076338,0.16228924393497635,-0.20490534752444994,-0.051937388284252435,-0.24888933873643498,0.11686820052670523,-0.23826677613146344,0.04732179008864092,0.12324268202428537,0.17929256470667435,-0.2290289549303028,-0.16042010985024283,0.16318571471626148,0.1791651615728644,-0.08456575322527131,0.20561420335417988,-0.19757217545282793,0.15337443520883093,-0.2151175342989169,-0.23498883660475126,0.16023606173156352,-0.13523088172903422,-0.18513279190350385,0.16369856122263635,-0.18909993688385995,-0.1981509992176934,-0.17922594888296695,0.1578889738419218,0.18756167186417588,0.08937724666883541,0.09305215668919015,-0.23691352473599211,-0.010264197839007673,0.07125340597107699,0.062132053487994734,0.12854100884898426,-0.2468482144971713,0.046529379732837634,-0.1204377678874487,0.1898672323938433,-0.23002936365606957,-0.08537189659637556,0.1733717935783266,0.17559952668520545,0.05164385474757029,-0.17452661764418373,-0.2502894324087691,0.1812316412583585,0.1274201869419115,-0.071819961075093,0.04738594655509717,0.0749878098723181,0.16503280152876385,0.15385167993509016,-0.12875560587014215,0.0992232847298683,7.812361201341643E-4,0.17400633258034334,0.1599099506404135,0.1376862389325159,-0.03684615175877619,0.1339741449844456,-0.23813177600950783,0.08486059243362508,0.07678888597323953,-0.2336830935361325,0.12179793266137388,0.16939608012741153,-0.2099270741641856,-0.24904782173369638,0.10787947975360652,0.11464217539680863,0.05511777117051414,0.03245963699159144,-0.16292819724398377,-0.23962389368029974,-0.21685208329238562,0.14947115053179996,0.12351197638109361,-0.047487554606984936,0.11468854990968724,0.16048045876893802,0.10539576027659431,-0.21376149562281627,0.1367208033820014,0.19891980643670223,-0.011202081097959938,-0.15562922556100087;-0.29766769720585967,-0.29273122414551006,-0.19010384186233772,-0.11687739734547063,0.20924337567106283,-0.08190859400104726,-0.09292012403015165,-0.06351526956842674,-0.14351501361913283,-0.03538498177842025,0.08522456005301507,-0.2530685703463903,0.6883819308182729,-0.15618549505013232,-0.07879232108297302,-0.13680008078593917,0.01059188454684408,0.0023066420994820756,-0.013148293716525369,-0.1240010705668584,0.026556177490344175,0.9355821934339046,-0.03336137270082815,-0.14073533349599512,0.7351279490698811,-0.08664698114276505,-0.23076950643685976,0.19874747742302498,-0.0855293730380446,-0.18174948719847586,-0.060552709277056325,-0.020514717039970314,0.28417626085673275,-0.08896492323586659,-0.1102444459831791,0.6960315729699618,-0.0996851673266942,-0.029193858859447464,-0.04781724290939515,0.24311609430409717,-0.034492133441406475,-0.27994935619010286,-0.27942132106773376,0.006844366834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x_a{227}=[10.619289429964908,14.262335365175293,24.622127467947056];
std_x_a{227}=[1.5141828917998925,1.5644006516713858,3.830519886827489];
pred_a{227}=[10.619289429964908];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.6 to 22.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{228}=[12.292400296955918,11.235523901665559,32.97425522502753];
std_x_f{228}=[1.2318977595655356,3.3360437545513175,2.3386765732652113];
pred_f{228}=[12.292400296955918];
obs{228}=[12.80571658763874];
sqrt_r{228}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{228}=[2.5278924615093152];
L_f{228}=[0.1015892291866117,0.07637270379750395,0.1319677513372108,-0.06138508162412681,0.026933029712547435,-0.08167915542612102,-0.038450840513185605,0.11535413215590828,0.028927037891215604,-0.08610318351923885,0.05297435257728163,0.03470493646853216,-0.10915910265018222,0.12907417295862655,-0.08316585636794255,0.01382443421549878,-0.1267972743146705,0.0652999785864875,-0.11625427316524277,0.06321421339738616,0.06250269371941819,-0.18069755428477155,-0.10699364800241573,-0.04524407154901282,-0.12422311134360388,0.11907510538323918,0.01663869767379306,0.05266581824089044,-0.07787179680796283,0.13155084074091192,-0.09322226297822415,-0.11262664876644123,0.008437155683532207,-0.042971276230793096,-0.06538356834355943,-0.11149236957160692,-0.0697639884267823,-0.09022079498649752,-0.0755597484599064,0.019213232436229265,0.10944265586031131,0.12282945222376095,0.12518601449081487,-0.11974834642775535,0.0706045756979566,0.11576214724106745,0.11204614171089894,0.13339959406681964,-0.12592849165041417,0.06168848089848595,-0.031570930721248426,0.10783415131527342,-0.10773176570688463,0.016452299669396823,0.1235431443016186,0.12121816709578433,0.09636062523136793,-0.07112125672857954,-0.1290907946289809,0.11669526694030061,0.13266774132114473,0.027671303802476895,0.10522273506803154,0.06822457042537751,-0.09354294788203928,0.13213178414874435,-0.037558315428630036,0.12729709846556267,0.04379342739120705,0.12193025090425316,0.008412619874114298,0.05235604183265992,0.05265240913873969,0.0563297541945857,-0.12069084158809759,0.12192571756612305,0.11801001519091657,-0.11710147159286428,0.1325992052795847,0.12547837929500674,-0.08864454929270153,-0.12795641008606445,-0.47530679888981076,-0.4522480722901792,0.10920142772774018,0.09695114469389814,-0.046973750863271296,-0.12313919887087314,-0.09457231548220459,0.13261402218037868,0.13264153957606364,0.043993838036285066,0.06725316305756933,0.007380008945819676,-0.48361997834518233,-0.09274774532544508,0.050800557028970586,0.058288251456250446,0.06983738803829093,-0.040487038412988355;0.26595288752106694,0.2645048776897762,0.15176885090711748,0.10990801597822954,-0.19677320497991743,0.078301583346771,0.09740223910073592,0.029200004265008784,0.14160938982676882,0.043792488918288165,-0.08218685369585699,0.2312099662924594,-0.617757057700193,0.11839601682612501,0.07549138228220566,0.13631583016936694,-0.0018250928431221465,-0.004041092463490972,0.018009530528080395,0.11899716722929783,-0.026954454284140658,-0.8424733905295464,0.03601118057714562,0.13172156399692572,-0.6572930498853197,0.051495914631665536,0.21179163939736248,-0.21092003191073697,0.08224789132727185,0.1441142997765704,0.059460517078535745,0.024485640883749497,-0.2643428639378981,0.09363214325319202,0.10396991904386244,-0.6237379915910531,0.09435257440930189,0.03798809094147083,0.056052653689071405,-0.22674759739225567,0.002854992654024442,0.2437554061569096,0.24297595339828926,0.00302687265854902,0.2582069560478444,0.25686791789259533,0.2621335794506497,0.1978399027109953,-0.002064011209707369,0.11611649113304882,0.10422881830218673,-0.005387504463250171,0.03295404769329686,0.21236156634447856,0.07762115869406158,0.06570514952538503,0.22368175474251722,0.06291891785863331,-0.00773373424696246,0.03895273101193599,0.19922344968348257,0.22582360664484477,0.2662185769275507,0.08275421892976617,-0.575616143924669,0.14500235137596898,0.09792105902133581,0.23896053102786757,0.1394545546687025,0.07088401379366135,-0.2644234309049463,-0.08607154957803714,0.24815596067775075,-0.06742699653978912,0.002148366254667527,0.24978799482227612,0.2538296234148593,0.007154060131883202,0.21096229224019256,0.09136502671513676,0.06586194450110526,-0.004489493411362871,-1.5052319775219372,-1.455043317327954,0.2660567908817968,0.26778117777954336,0.13001619861275607,-0.0026769363931009684,0.05647966744110614,0.15523466025025226,0.20939067298204683,0.24015437754792718,0.0024818648674532935,-0.2684554516569113,-1.5213718753210042,0.058850565362046074,-0.09062357235007931,-0.18061900703793254,0.25969983157180415,0.14024776881054188;-0.018998562658175178,-0.08229873990614939,0.16885894851988342,-0.2677040175175865,0.25630382539965313,-0.2846025762688062,-0.19294675766648325,0.24374043608916307,-0.07111013146289896,-0.2535896450404899,0.20839820023027075,-0.15535398954681257,0.3451871889404794,0.19429277895707728,-0.28569778652724764,-0.1031477796334768,-0.3066753517577688,0.1651057491852611,-0.3029233553266174,0.038585046916178985,0.17946789232271387,0.3910615829546431,-0.2991112772026107,-0.2511478465923069,0.3493119216731625,0.23249487051015919,-0.17980332815717326,0.3186615717388102,-0.27895345910558617,0.17532775114742244,-0.2917406134055924,-0.3012809585775032,0.2764982255131573,-0.1990129211730133,-0.2714363624240598,0.3448275791002668,-0.27314240993521255,-0.2588358194742909,-0.24069824447770172,0.2666409793700112,0.25494455626191775,0.05617848617591064,0.061742989852644356,-0.29315057169571107,-0.09181662191494903,0.0263197192317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k{228}=[0.6044135519107743;1.22074563567095;0.18955462366304057];
x_a{228}=[12.602655619461187,11.862152523235414,33.071556701328014];
L_a{228}=[-0.13982181490332474,-0.10511517942935991,-0.18163313816255702,0.08448704246892033,-0.03706913740172222,0.11241868693060322,0.05292161726353995,-0.15876706855418005,-0.039813580338298835,0.11850767532155504,-0.07291097865383055,-0.047765961431020125,0.15024057144611455,-0.17765057639200263,0.11446490015190948,-0.01902718917644275,0.1745167786134601,-0.08987529083756655,0.16000597301877512,-0.08700455860997366,-0.0860252621480411,0.24870215268862897,0.14726015904052983,0.06227144598152505,0.170973842601904,-0.16388841098405899,-0.022900586262978383,-0.0724863290013072,0.10717844841082075,-0.18105932540018363,0.1283059838466432,0.15501311077059038,-0.011612435981046384,0.05914329579432827,0.08999033917127981,0.1534519514144396,0.09601930790132208,0.1241749287600202,0.10399627251719659,-0.02644403398768034,-0.15063083845354558,-0.1690556870153993,-0.1722991294132829,0.16481502284503424,-0.0971762458836384,-0.15932863802538935,-0.1542141328600384,-0.18360384756465595,0.17332103404638866,-0.0849046245051353,0.04345248868384799,-0.14841698146724733,0.148276063559911,-0.022644038324995987,-0.17003797344878563,-0.16683800298802492,-0.1326254526483268,0.09788737717192804,0.17767345354280176,-0.1606129325407966,-0.18259656578920042,-0.038085257161430394,-0.14482277209996627,-0.09390053782525563,0.1287473568703638,-0.18185890388197365,0.05169319493797957,-0.17520470902173083,-0.06027485933009256,-0.16781807588808115,-0.011578666245510358,-0.07205996982957391,-0.0724678734522893,-0.07752916847195769,0.16611222122828587,-0.16781183645138092,-0.16242247955689235,0.1611720102323826,-0.18250223655967532,-0.1727015242130395,0.12200547107828844,0.17611214919135812,0.6541860765040771,0.6224493163343785,-0.1502988253496774,-0.13343821108391873,0.06465208124036836,0.16948200522556986,0.13016412169090802,-0.18252262972514013,-0.18256050315165298,-0.060550693494256555,-0.09256354627344549,-0.010157437486918868,0.6656278784389249,0.12765288390734394,-0.0699190862925321,-0.08022473613992516,-0.09612033108041809,0.05572412780655993;-0.2216296253856956,-0.1020496786664641,-0.4816168764464673,0.40452874095980057,-0.3260396086388501,0.4703247158543913,0.2819489434207144,-0.5244478389274959,0.002772645627839132,0.4570489623232013,-0.33643987004460063,0.06464191307381618,-0.09384256397906625,-0.5011018384723323,0.47465000924094236,0.06996477673312929,0.606744675183259,-0.3174515583847482,0.575977644863656,-0.18440256585760234,-0.3269392136051804,0.02479342800721924,0.5495324679790846,0.34887271551790133,-0.06107810392140987,-0.520010922975572,0.13193338977543145,-0.4636922225040321,0.45599741847886877,-0.4872704446201744,0.5068853632527586,0.5650427931083662,-0.30483740851609903,0.29987490161622093,0.41778157812440175,-0.08862486827169913,0.4291882755941632,0.4710072435443108,0.4187053908312024,-0.3189624535076618,-0.5224204286757119,-0.34577060416658717,-0.3578604936830329,0.5777649638436065,-0.08066318517833165,-0.2987382138125654,-0.27563740054717106,-0.44241802440017924,0.6023359915964874,-0.17996041362063522,0.2557550564587445,-0.5229428289444238,0.5500179674003286,0.13339794313237496,-0.5153302519356452,-0.5160874184046769,-0.23880581575840304,0.40426889515896286,0.611843897577657,-0.5211319546840133,-0.4375219141011369,0.09301382010109341,-0.2388031265559009,-0.24469296967803894,-0.1266521547477344,-0.4891706595418977,0.2781840452046163,-0.37200816764750866,-0.07073415871331303,-0.5143262354744064,-0.3048002146564523,-0.3373569530308691,-0.004551872268825381,-0.3377844283415844,0.581410009418232,-0.33540049646598386,-0.3125652613150605,0.5691883450800101,-0.42545412943475536,-0.5108746396548326,0.49131582820198644,0.6096436038846815,0.7760264320546699,0.7155435973480889,-0.2580608441353107,-0.19754061998903216,0.35546903125998397,0.5883357182309051,0.5103841571535012,-0.4812528758703952,-0.42722893423554803,0.029003783396436517,-0.3203030061970029,-0.30387616835973436,0.7997860488158449,0.5039979406723488,-0.3344433498163417,-0.46037634298320146,-0.07548815466642775,0.33456730531667267;-0.09470927342219342,-0.13921650307627204,0.0705082441030197,-0.2219559771270767,0.2362316303560259,-0.22373011014784655,-0.1642907624587659,0.1577712501329687,-0.09266838735849797,-0.1894201137281546,0.1689183664132203,-0.18121830043971324,0.4265394475822538,0.09809855192908808,-0.22371733695272758,-0.11345062127078527,-0.21217801342606799,0.11644008028273825,-0.216283327430286,-0.00852617801410275,0.13288693680162866,0.5257288146853751,-0.21937285215148644,-0.21742910650282782,0.4418908311544597,0.14375258025904283,-0.19220353669460008,0.27941167719869164,-0.2209184771295727,0.07728775484227027,-0.22226549438341012,-0.21734446553242642,0.2702103241407252,-0.16698801172228717,-0.22270839715438076,0.4279187356393651,-0.22114987891775462,-0.1915975839958516,-0.18438634697780482,0.25232206489976644,0.17338097585650558,-0.03536178049481582,-0.03155353587848482,-0.20390653969102623,-0.14443561166498306,-0.05995354533939423,-0.0726318672178341,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x_a{228}=[12.60265561946119,11.862152523235423,33.07155670132801];
std_x_a{228}=[1.695516167382172,4.089601592266841,2.3654166492145277];
pred_a{228}=[12.60265561946119];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.7 to 22.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{229}=[8.993426167234087,3.707445602322332,33.21193000661925];
std_x_f{229}=[2.048302050624021,2.234284552902432,3.2684164997316247];
pred_f{229}=[8.993426167234087];
obs{229}=[8.840094493233584];
sqrt_r{229}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{229}=[5.1998321736682405];
L_f{229}=[-0.06550483247571146,0.004589453532433845,-0.23575321785706801,0.24193941627618518,-0.18694489980923035,0.2655446741589101,0.17990817093776912,-0.274145263570479,0.042995306695570654,0.25015054882090454,-0.17845849295967506,0.09327979231876961,-0.13114815870177968,-0.2524797375878612,0.2667797493092846,0.07860905557911851,0.3047536389056102,-0.15798361394077864,0.2967732816676934,-0.06516111579038261,-0.1662646788749784,-0.11435833134370972,0.2898159843142355,0.22071845079123767,-0.12230725052240574,-0.26958527976689334,0.12620365516819737,-0.2639823706017345,0.2594744142555874,-0.23989795368487574,0.2766133382844015,0.2938168511486404,-0.18458504110031684,0.18729829765820422,0.2466756033190997,-0.1292008058307795,0.25037132977966386,0.2561816337577309,0.23557535954878064,-0.18753616298743242,-0.2754262140608851,-0.1421858385907814,-0.15014292479572064,0.29323636367111844,0.01614016147054019,-0.11328186412526388,-0.09882160981871511,-0.2068626627153714,0.30285584205408694,-0.06321379865342992,0.1681848492211203,-0.2765525203377264,0.28977032521920976,0.12697311700442687,-0.264115059899391,-0.2654676087681044,-0.08069637990596333,0.23022857905791896,0.30437181372097616,-0.27117647263503747,-0.20369519679704298,0.10801649610839292,-0.07546494384976579,-0.10457312649564496,-0.1386683225313966,-0.24142033585234385,0.17865353209819756,-0.15941938805853337,0.0019358229443365972,-0.2638521230687825,-0.18440482137168557,-0.1793252279529766,0.05706606218755802,-0.17736712121398396,0.2944656292468593,-0.13603829555227517,-0.12194598112341443,0.2910061644312377,-0.19510440460053552,-0.25953146767494484,0.2716717652960758,0.30484814216005535,-0.021613949361079667,-0.02270340329239576,-0.08727646766082918,-0.05062328918651989,0.22330208205263832,0.2959143240432816,0.27787513450835033,-0.23532448537831313,-0.19694275142753503,0.07425145046171812,-0.15823758092067172,-0.18417883976211713,-0.021135104854336745,0.27528813978294,-0.1778579401519489,-0.2588802851262944,0.019300717861636302,0.21540049414714493;0.12721285213464617,0.17861301646820715,-0.06741479696101058,0.18504117618843716,-0.16217779239946184,0.1627509226931821,0.16917106807289325,-0.1479387106687367,0.1418539002809553,0.13682255822573675,-0.1079702434938332,0.2162813888203891,-0.31634220351589165,-0.09483998156732852,0.15995665159202996,0.15683339759817866,0.09194215857050764,-0.06156686186928079,0.11045110754517465,0.06212481689868329,-0.07639295547377631,-0.4209729905620388,0.12559080949134385,0.1983204334520068,-0.3325800138537092,-0.13511139450211015,0.22061470533702207,-0.22564637062513232,0.1651649949507575,-0.07448486816717159,0.1456651858276991,0.11619649858554741,-0.187720699570913,0.1671072667302233,0.1815215984996231,-0.31837735503050174,0.17549964271596338,0.13276723919745925,0.14620368429453826,-0.17464991079502887,-0.15853960688098392,0.053243603474914164,0.0478318514685101,0.09840568501378769,0.1848964290883344,0.08426505383319745,0.09948169043343964,-0.02245158453987259,0.09155755716117264,0.061608705476461405,0.17112743235821487,-0.1627910406832464,0.12446781380976767,0.2210995002224815,-0.12101844370062569,-0.1270790247137834,0.0976138999422551,0.15111429385726124,0.0852348607025155,-0.14116254829117014,-0.01942806435652343,0.22078277665612245,0.11981733161504463,0.016788086300733644,-0.29856270770340454,-0.07511715056107719,0.16845520205624734,0.03625744586621406,0.11656892233750307,-0.12345674036706342,-0.18779597915091775,-0.11113264804348973,0.20462995544807147,-0.10195884463184297,0.09763418590698736,0.06138834374100807,0.07502425494227567,0.10217031356247439,-0.006959907725286577,-0.11220168382248441,0.15269493760158045,0.08890253322665324,-0.9512371533591066,-0.8976348808686361,0.11025705517508769,0.13983745412485887,0.1979083401131613,0.09215562961367914,0.145149013071935,-0.066106122193762,-0.008824051593258869,0.20983140959348717,-0.0583010412658496,-0.1890691569264183,-0.971198636024322,0.14608663043963013,-0.11197522241887028,-0.21078483759382335,0.1870040872792139,0.2039748667862562;-0.24908124387565744,-0.15740813466534015,-0.3866061197958124,0.3121460611048502,-0.19793052743768808,0.37586328982078654,0.20320560320864292,-0.3751760964293327,-0.04373352682342267,0.36744501882994307,-0.2327586327636368,-0.012185780747651429,0.032539039925018914,-0.3872236253882499,0.38038299690529115,0.012445107924253851,0.5066130164341812,-0.24039802147152864,0.47720077065030697,-0.18189020961617391,-0.2414158118622926,0.1369933896394831,0.45268429989993403,0.25832038408574254,0.059192790241030274,-0.3788737261277286,0.05083524224541177,-0.27721522723115893,0.36250286650201397,-0.3879604041379304,0.41108420583009425,0.46680478155907545,-0.16953489418785814,0.21967560770595185,0.32507277001320084,0.03641914815368238,0.3364626510224884,0.3803905687576107,0.331802908869087,-0.18637195260727,-0.36564857007195667,-0.33007413990900863,-0.33857939281909244,0.479979210302871,-0.13892017504944362,-0.30166880637764154,-0.28766403682780733,-0.37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k{229}=[0.8076861008968786;0.44625168385523595;1.1531103422757527];
x_a{229}=[8.86958230531663,3.639021084611265,33.03512166753082];
L_a{229}=[0.03661927484247368,-0.0025656497990918935,0.13179351130936262,-0.13525179204343976,0.1045081165431768,-0.14844787840020565,-0.10057436236356622,0.15325588012414437,-0.02403573741533264,-0.13984207505095003,0.09976394648573629,-0.052146356582721716,0.07331597207527521,0.14114416529976961,-0.1491383245043072,-0.04394495035807294,-0.1703669308133337,0.0883178410027956,-0.16590565850728275,0.03642712633537436,0.09294721842966357,0.06392992711728192,-0.1620163090605595,-0.12338860060937165,0.06837362455308872,0.15070670483631127,-0.07055183808679476,0.147574501258622,-0.14505441096637256,0.13411054983448525,-0.15463561201361034,-0.1642529202643443,0.1031888808259777,-0.10470567712720114,-0.1378994705195913,0.07222734017892023,-0.13996549859549237,-0.14321364243846801,-0.13169408288510676,0.1048386513756237,0.15397197199546037,0.07948638451970767,0.08393464758170338,-0.1639284093896715,-0.00902286116235412,0.06332814786770057,0.05524440798576251,0.11564277648414624,-0.16930600230051157,0.03533851441548324,-0.0940206544341876,0.154601612856289,-0.161990784181148,-0.0709819916097753,0.14764867877615556,0.1484047964073195,0.04511183072889842,-0.1287050633438408,-0.17015347844883713,0.1515962320171879,0.11387206277290293,-0.06038464047642431,0.04218729237772047,0.058459687866550945,0.07751998169913435,0.13496160965555204,-0.09987297953793542,0.08912048418258343,-0.0010821863023818777,0.1475016887648487,0.10308813229300096,0.10024847878260239,-0.031901735130743535,0.0991538351336374,-0.16461560775765646,0.07604971336698836,0.06817166352343866,-0.16268165741989943,0.10906953800230465,0.14508630563376118,-0.15187311629269182,-0.17041976112397256,0.012082881860329329,0.012691921093486219,0.0487903080698239,0.028300021083766065,-0.1248329322667028,-0.16542547400581004,-0.155340996043668,0.13155383628264994,0.11009723206958812,-0.041508911161908135,0.08845981658362113,0.10296180142003553,0.011815192623726472,-0.15389478410348897,0.09942821845633217,0.144722273976547,-0.010789712229160628,-0.12041569451083894;0.1836370679312873,0.17465977658168916,0.13565709768206083,-0.023359354241780275,-0.001148155802366613,-0.06598258340267192,0.01420269281087593,0.0882031269134489,0.10481882406527035,-0.07865083533728648,0.04574941560511432,0.13593252092256425,-0.20337447688801058,0.12263971663996051,-0.06984071718656015,0.08912153348172684,-0.17056496398106397,0.07451625121452009,-0.1451819359208044,0.11825296378417811,0.06682325874491506,-0.32246759909685513,-0.12404939295212772,0.008199109160965593,-0.22722762325674223,0.09710258767706971,0.11190604974011464,0.0017414064654211374,-0.058339741880572366,0.13215719771257908,-0.09260258926164991,-0.13688994996078735,-0.028723785934992783,0.005773222111018035,-0.03095856437392236,-0.20708702920608452,-0.040163926014142634,-0.08790117929886979,-0.056715007673421004,-0.01311097496154782,0.07870560924846026,0.17571891005397222,0.17716119205042494,-0.15418074621380765,0.17099369978749882,0.18184320350054714,0.1846041405954206,0.1557347122596464,-0.16931485089619314,0.11605948233890223,0.02625723167955951,0.07542434735589819,-0.12513305903719307,0.11172804954536701,0.10648362861490449,0.10158809919197952,0.16712373275512557,-0.04719881582261982,-0.17694336723471735,0.09242204741945421,0.15602985693618746,0.12774008261859707,0.18482093693591015,0.1068647483257458,-0.17911730102183065,0.1328362570425688,0.01456754114697777,0.17357729867735455,0.11490145312298547,0.10381884477323973,-0.028954302258224048,0.043333594787561124,0.155474684213248,0.050820734284225275,-0.15601110378181704,0.17856831130591908,0.18006545716185138,-0.14849508011072104,0.16109812115582878,0.11135219738986489,-0.08131629075479986,-0.17368599205233168,-0.9326194407892834,-0.8780787400730192,0.18543481014590057,0.18344308267837206,0.005561540810238165,-0.16273752935022195,-0.09420564156111558,0.1365964730711406,0.16081748302560708,0.14587307696788965,0.07800083258928937,-0.030422134910661747,-0.9529933880736777,-0.09103965197820356,0.041227135590375316,0.012208131342905016,0.17037893416461192,0.01843429664636481;-0.10328157713196416,-0.16762327101902033,0.13812983170912446,-0.22635903740541755,0.21816860695404447,-0.2151820351525648,-0.197231286343288,0.23501229055354397,-0.13943183106809753,-0.189336294477947,0.16445158544049449,-0.2198065335988305,0.32444663071015,0.17474196109721607,-0.21341133968326903,-0.1625217406776665,-0.1717030300627123,0.11123952026358967,-0.1833527172412306,-0.03685558227921079,0.12865359912669874,0.3915304362834863,-0.19238374062484473,-0.23295140996821653,0.3314224211330151,0.22116511777882686,-0.23006694725613255,0.3103527460815632,-0.21503136566333408,0.14600083777071962,-0.20459758457339014,-0.18716832793688845,0.24131170233272792,-0.19721011428032867,-0.22397406208212386,0.3239923503312326,-0.22081007320874751,-0.18981464230955147,-0.19253716829962433,0.23104320643610443,0.24739093716507257,-0.013599047939339366,-0.0043935385577839985,-0.17270185893326997,-0.1748447026706187,-0.0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x_a{229}=[8.86958230531663,3.639021084611264,33.035121667530824];
std_x_a{229}=[1.145065683207657,2.0231402853095837,2.2020131862112478];
pred_a{229}=[8.86958230531663];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.8 to 22.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 22.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{230}=[4.629354279421267,1.8424536675512138,26.770503519826022];
std_x_f{230}=[1.330349340607572,2.089634008241024,1.4206579146470422];
pred_f{230}=[4.629354279421267];
obs{230}=[4.6249774708305225];
sqrt_r{230}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{230}=[2.7871839109719874];
L_f{230}=[0.1317366422715629,0.1319858845170407,0.07380095726878244,-0.0018946965600622635,-0.018661137802671687,-0.03224372145506617,0.02370891995400693,0.031850038825784195,0.08267060264768877,-0.04121158040174896,0.01583344040403461,0.10842308712242628,-0.15128777390589213,0.060463469013338114,-0.034826949101218384,0.07397295704117529,-0.10559039007339782,0.04024277314003708,-0.08760786978558435,0.0832957971573915,0.03302238101198086,-0.22910295414298454,-0.07293407346436945,0.020651827459017044,-0.16622978299072982,0.03859071241552146,0.09272055199588389,-0.028821392446207877,-0.026576996477695396,0.07073605419559946,-0.0505798927403452,-0.08153546151048172,-0.03811040318847108,0.01798921984256779,-0.006980405359008012,-0.15356984301869064,-0.013581957250873657,-0.04678352109985113,-0.025724493819840946,-0.02789935965146864,0.024463012800763715,0.11812143917473346,0.1170811495494632,-0.09353909719441221,0.12958294506900925,0.1255591068643306,0.12889947165553797,0.0935798211155853,-0.10376679477682987,0.08202145516444677,0.03259872145858651,0.02163080286686136,-0.07337895310141634,0.09279809350200716,0.047127053365166836,0.043255172175441226,0.11848873133643673,-0.01859482320932563,-0.11012855856033724,0.03515024397925942,0.09426940703973337,0.1036850003976394,0.13201693477996207,0.07031706367805007,-0.1360506508182307,0.07027721942211919,0.02426758093030448,0.11359663630795556,0.08712267516211582,0.04506737235795563,-0.037733180878818356,0.013895238869057096,0.12092309314437204,0.02009683795555082,-0.095542360317564,0.11997813345430905,0.12245115518154566,-0.08956303970533838,0.09929851736066823,0.05158359655904763,-0.04291349331092839,-0.10823718029317532,-0.6072326488908774,-0.5741039289467259,0.1311433728929586,0.1338507816657657,0.01847236618705682,-0.09997680561554236,-0.05188954629992261,0.07415530034176977,0.09799916134025485,0.11514936681900453,0.04264794218115654,-0.039322761218408026,-0.6199505785087092,-0.04964054078052466,0.01309426100207113,-0.02112806593007431,0.1297521488911703,0.02728396432075936;0.17744808579157018,0.21514355754698766,-0.0078836710045493,0.12038303439388869,-0.125830622150579,0.08246788453503998,0.13178552760595613,-0.09431583188590639,0.15730241155550484,0.05970099888253604,-0.06652529588302838,0.22530034964315082,-0.30083830992382327,-0.03835555838383152,0.07852393768059202,0.16149454448921818,-0.02020184283184598,-0.0181883748371109,0.005205718041613268,0.10006015203700276,-0.032633446237208416,-0.41107093929201644,0.02673595062117517,0.14654859495367614,-0.31904966088188974,-0.08102192259247618,0.21588396400929907,-0.18246757390101212,0.08829738093779847,-0.014957988342817809,0.056744146814382376,0.013517183701062736,-0.15390235833715682,0.12594639669505034,0.11378139402858223,-0.30293128000509517,0.10489341258462671,0.053349074593818976,0.07801344624668327,-0.13942864112485914,-0.10682604936777458,0.11385268610072646,0.10730810465436794,-0.006415658946804527,0.21736724330579404,0.1407008406860965,0.1543742378988481,0.03921501718846444,-0.01962529153824709,0.09912316192764706,0.13927748337873844,-0.11213336381399168,0.025435374271982385,0.21695770653440333,-0.06508627542247952,-0.07193111810099659,0.14713317572995463,0.08696375688334806,-0.027464507914771286,-0.08769287923358451,0.04186192122087637,0.22418508571326265,0.17243123119104264,0.05893554818219356,-0.28078240705579766,-0.016672850237386568,0.13182631503447736,0.09722990057051033,0.14209379834506322,-0.0680538151452359,-0.15336446155293088,-0.07031330197660497,0.22524802042461337,-0.06002499080379437,-0.008731965237630444,0.12044958108672772,0.13178638693964592,-3.3617337645242966E-4,0.05472971204600073,-0.055586714852231045,0.06658716868159588,-0.023861646865282787,-0.9371190998041753,-0.8894058208719481,0.16444316468650905,0.1882891528381548,0.1446569963669609,-0.015646770928392516,0.05534117743148212,-0.005972301811687011,0.05224648461384849,0.22461353672905796,-0.013932580653139773,-0.15541231667791308,-0.9557582546608995,0.057950177540884114,-0.07052619146867757,-0.16756695375448558,0.2192051213532238,0.15550066274280155;0.046793330303566666,0.0018127568312213502,0.15103535514085556,-0.1708619427091511,0.11671132350413582,-0.18809877762714358,-0.12819415394837297,0.17504111553632828,-0.03089497879846503,-0.17765837917511781,0.1122160156061868,-0.06022732848601252,0.08610165604735326,0.16240686559353176,-0.18965064074825766,-0.056796016695692494,-0.21222882490223763,0.09879860622775692,-0.20824423046558665,0.04042611330780628,0.10403800433264565,0.08564098244602199,-0.20411068127921342,-0.15547901584723606,0.08228264320575927,0.17300066117146878,-0.08438413317561141,0.169334936154693,-0.18337719901379107,0.15287841319898793,-0.19567562771345168,-0.206537143005754,0.11599806101317289,-0.13297688193129414,-0.17317278124205068,0.08524369293721167,-0.17680954689358513,-0.18276721352534345,-0.1668680090349632,0.11809914392046554,0.1762846652145739,0.09350633463008512,0.09928094250708802,-0.20468026621506696,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k{230}=[0.6412149208872028;0.8832502962790417;0.03927518034561371];
x_a{230}=[4.626547804447014,1.8385878500666821,26.770331619879283];
L_a{230}=[-0.1484801799854623,-0.14876110056177444,-0.08318095276619684,0.002135509767099927,0.02103294157112675,0.03634185206557983,-0.026722289572062196,-0.03589813294047532,-0.09317791731272317,0.0464495129830551,-0.017845847901101584,-0.1222035055161904,0.17051623232388854,-0.0681482889410474,0.039253404229277956,-0.08337481346221863,0.11901077674740183,-0.04535757171212396,0.09874270400099976,-0.0938825731451926,-0.037219478131983896,0.25822161002273075,0.08220388927735825,-0.023276645018949892,0.1873573492675533,-0.04349553644620811,-0.10450520076502759,0.03248454996312254,0.029954894495842547,-0.07972650492163966,0.05700852434245625,0.09189850137001246,0.0429541806073816,-0.02027562380492745,0.007867604837995288,0.17308834913789606,0.015308204478200065,0.052729639327987125,0.02899403997660113,0.031445328126625746,-0.027572226534789565,-0.13313450416211375,-0.13196199522205196,0.10542778188071408,-0.14605275096681367,-0.1415174887150899,-0.14528240906574805,-0.1054736817536822,0.11695540511209863,-0.09244626411823696,-0.03674197205883791,-0.024380046792758847,0.0827053124762616,-0.1045925976850263,-0.053116834050012454,-0.048752842331234045,-0.1335484786291761,0.020958198488367847,0.12412573992033635,-0.0396177894212199,-0.10625091305673819,-0.11686321478498406,-0.14879609726844506,-0.07925426131207727,0.15334249281219772,-0.07920935290853828,-0.027351955554746985,-0.12803460536043507,-0.09819584183889846,-0.05079537054988065,0.042529013884851086,-0.015661303739361754,-0.13629224432078127,-0.022651117148011487,0.10768565686488638,-0.13522718161354821,-0.1380145208445807,0.1009463732048102,-0.11191921606449075,-0.05813979747256846,0.04836773657458729,0.12199397019639054,0.6844110449885765,0.6470717123991238,-0.1478115069223261,-0.15086302345522773,-0.020820177354737596,0.11268371378076124,0.058484632985363605,-0.08358033233399612,-0.11045471376316107,-0.1297846856856511,-0.04806843427824814,0.044320627598802356,0.6987454051645815,0.05594978209991207,-0.014758522737783738,0.023813412714552933,-0.1462434603513516,-0.03075171693470267;-0.20854042323819338,-0.17157523154047347,-0.22412055825133886,0.12593449743159593,-0.07115346754082423,0.17694202442055754,0.062318365653487154,-0.1876364812278113,-0.08492254656050698,0.18045097550058328,-0.11291729395571774,-0.0923794167541091,0.1424350366367392,-0.21551359014173946,0.18056693745527605,-0.055246302282838215,0.2891781180471163,-0.13609974509600634,0.2618968743874961,-0.14399662669089583,-0.1293890594943916,0.26020097229710987,0.2404328673525663,0.08603871742686281,0.1680037889902219,-0.19409275308288518,-0.055787356924569084,-0.09802086183482138,0.16616801030884448,-0.22221470616112063,0.20494328905064693,0.2524161770168967,-0.04223883441859929,0.07323796245905621,0.13423398952887364,0.14702853160545787,0.14468856250323378,0.19042484368218926,0.1533862418778135,-0.057683486177334875,-0.17850270420370157,-0.23224326264463807,-0.2357397943267597,0.2676540003332171,-0.16231093051441114,-0.22718748269903222,-0.2233013580563209,-0.23497396322609035,0.28441153308447953,-0.1411997933372493,0.04376319308630624,-0.17551164037948472,0.24043578883693306,-0.05494081109903408,-0.20316859443201357,-0.1986688208990306,-0.20003893945953363,0.1414466096605134,0.29521229170089314,-0.1906831333621089,-0.23434754672182667,-0.07961208128705642,-0.21437853520146874,-0.14709352695159988,0.11784615183524429,-0.22258518165678906,0.06072227579732914,-0.23560837072015717,-0.11317573721200509,-0.2001012665025985,-0.042806199423082524,-0.1110263673864823,-0.12905677758175557,-0.11890874846542647,0.27120725723123956,-0.2310864839720633,-0.22699563454276864,0.2620836330185945,-0.23621505475548357,-0.2067267103986151,0.1923237520248895,0.29327341231457976,0.8420732398367666,0.7927193323217492,-0.21980706440115297,-0.20389378697850613,0.09053294280185031,0.2772853812176461,0.20737760606043235,-0.22324741465819592,-0.23489116759620482,-0.1127742366936691,-0.138891098889532,-0.04019658237721327,0.860697632968558,0.2033970174854453,-0.10889239083344632,-0.10566169697542827,-0.16096881985494496,0.0755586168017651;0.029629714998433365,-0.01538333158044773,0.14142002551145097,-0.17061508775432516,0.11914263331193306,-0.18389782926898074,-0.1312831258120399,0.17089145903656358,-0.041665910836975455,-0.17228903242439284,0.11015311894079742,-0.07435348295204272,0.10581253607978891,0.15452924168977772,-0.1851131305588559,-0.06643375571609814,-0.1984717349697124,0.09355548278785995,-0.1968300350771669,0.029573726346274254,0.09973560650030347,0.1154901944980025,-0.19460829562558335,-0.15816968729401476,0.1039402776976668,0.16797278031136872,-0.09646444627526046,0.17308999840597816,-0.17991455311935028,0.14366240160584604,-0.18908570856718568,-0.1959141054744983,0.12096336366679661,-0.13532064934249674,-0.17226332286972507,0.10525189765985085,-0.17503998995540115,-0.17667191350151096,-0.16351643343511751,0.121734076981309,0.17309744460778673,0.07811660777561913,0.0840267522096964,-0.19249330704751186,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x_a{230}=[4.626547804447017,1.8385878500666821,26.77033161987928];
std_x_a{230}=[1.4994348279331635,2.2959385034402415,1.4217571202938684];
pred_a{230}=[4.626547804447017];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 22.9 to 23.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{231}=[3.2021659757609724,2.9140903990758127,21.566032062144895];
std_x_f{231}=[1.9170384201009163,2.4036848721636837,1.6828987283342787];
pred_f{231}=[3.2021659757609724];
obs{231}=[3.2952011092035742];
sqrt_r{231}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{231}=[4.7130537562611625];
L_f{231}=[-0.19498064549627694,-0.16846962516163846,-0.18583869081010196,0.10708826748276891,-0.0462984261063733,0.156469047613243,0.048483064682528436,-0.14682201678995704,-0.08605399865696484,0.16193580544501257,-0.08612006024679966,-0.10086144084193466,0.14527214714968126,-0.1755641155255541,0.16024218871327026,-0.05994695544250124,0.26512527808686703,-0.11069725432705303,0.2401492517536315,-0.1302898058323985,-0.10414255095962408,0.2447362798622971,0.2182180505334795,0.06800407285714301,0.16700286461693392,-0.15339391266656288,-0.06685943793627701,-0.0637430112567629,0.14607708301034308,-0.1838341419256402,0.18411979660939184,0.23029030197475756,-0.01933833228823249,0.05866663443148014,0.1149341166465806,0.14939602784531003,0.12498352860033443,0.17126539471052812,0.13523228235414475,-0.03359190192546189,-0.13766958458859152,-0.20726425974380017,-0.20961275969413753,0.2449044395791867,-0.1603480892707211,-0.2063135294150942,-0.20512456915613528,-0.20058342299141407,0.26110975876659415,-0.1279442570185499,0.03083229970051858,-0.13450065461033592,0.21871576846436533,-0.06635890855447697,-0.16260576110831407,-0.1582650420920482,-0.18427494957109067,0.12430388091954193,0.2710029539100991,-0.14972291542606456,-0.2001818750205055,-0.08893834550709441,-0.19929323517921999,-0.1282583039888626,0.12342352835358487,-0.18375152715222934,0.04574483825324733,-0.2080334172444298,-0.10849502401117053,-0.15955829838344004,-0.01961076243711466,-0.08452994426947048,-0.13290633651721814,-0.09193877998413516,0.24812426048790984,-0.20728725426559613,-0.2053336316878511,0.23989340386681957,-0.2030685541666403,-0.1671434724698432,0.1719612694551518,0.2690800602420317,0.6258286953021397,0.603252634145855,-0.20354788879806143,-0.19302076668498597,0.07208611599709873,0.2542932989592398,0.186797833393046,-0.185456297354247,-0.20226008675333412,-0.11854688439238117,-0.11417092377801889,-0.016942338516998095,0.6339889148366964,0.1830032793471464,-0.08230021924168882,-0.0714584623180526,-0.16021447375808132,0.05764341235756674;-0.24248413224563278,-0.194561325656036,-0.26718868851595207,0.2045187884152644,-0.08939406245138358,0.26872606185671777,0.11761634072953916,-0.2292362856202814,-0.08171621312498656,0.2701426420246228,-0.13430255317704723,-0.08916369297626718,0.13536800883495306,-0.2589549924352681,0.27362557222564915,-0.040951501038583187,0.3996854409782469,-0.15896337003468228,0.3711248861121082,-0.1613734229400478,-0.15266772153178554,0.2347127149588877,0.3454558219014689,0.1516971853729712,0.1597150561128038,-0.23579244234839006,-0.03976192735813333,-0.13053600836221366,0.2551836079372847,-0.26526369166921354,0.30321221637565277,0.3591771005283815,-0.05859454530437483,0.13150618049381754,0.21464068312572512,0.1399636163260797,0.2279547974207293,0.2832973459990027,0.23555178620145475,-0.0755293340042209,-0.21903296587422805,-0.2733268084127092,-0.2776324842556023,0.37411056944969734,-0.18256173624828756,-0.26626478815282506,-0.2619955405662395,-0.27877473372177414,0.3947033013397408,-0.1577785230381237,0.09228120367350526,-0.21564504915045912,0.3448982123056219,-0.03868204972569709,-0.2457363098444352,-0.24071466681094167,-0.2318831769303104,0.22068960092594267,0.40519085401672333,-0.23239088663231466,-0.27709312346342013,-0.07145054211115044,-0.25010549925457853,-0.16749345072361357,0.11148204657710932,-0.26549897808665635,0.11507866067621043,-0.27750561219462316,-0.11954775319257291,-0.24213634673495427,-0.05878445376688474,-0.13248220643800981,-0.13836686655133967,-0.14134530133333947,0.3780216378982763,-0.2718852465665217,-0.26663459535368045,0.3685672170972362,-0.27959450930376817,-0.25039355241870465,0.28761779152293576,0.40374925556554364,0.3947321168519164,0.4085381551331414,-0.25692697522032376,-0.23644725533448335,0.1574443224588243,0.3857215010233792,0.3065606702402955,-0.26594152228031215,-0.2790655343057306,-0.11630193006595281,-0.16220888260425995,-0.05554764398304198,0.38799965918925544,0.3013156068407607,-0.12966819099282342,-0.1376217583314979,-0.18060800410655756,0.13793312815978329;-0.08319880539710758,-0.1098918415092621,-0.0014677698205589845,-0.0903581987034678,0.028657815316979068,-0.06177693844514793,-0.10111384463701116,0.02836372977918446,-0.10288205368625021,-0.048954536174361234,0.0045145593959135125,-0.13206140983064,0.13934530094256223,0.00969011800438543,-0.0592658430969542,-0.11019624307457317,0.026925919559088386,-0.015138326609022314,0.002762465890252068,-0.06727728120830381,-0.008646008921411446,0.23580722769329396,-0.015321374175525178,-0.10766796263256352,0.15623332995291397,0.024527658103617688,-0.13511497262868574,0.05935278087623115,-0.06645677596896106,3.017503771242597E-5,-0.04214908443875894,-0.005646850912052283,0.04291788216558745,-0.0969776958251404,-0.08530063278168006,0.14206459865924925,-0.07911169783098933,-0.04426337753019508,-0.06303381629260739,0.03631457889649773,0.03231834382347699,-0.05071440069716036,-0.046668086496765675,0.011207187284812757,-0.11283554758168031,-0.062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k{231}=[0.7878233409344146;0.9321051344960858;0.4157580993312074];
x_a{231}=[3.275461225414002,3.0008089246461904,21.604712172396017];
L_a{231}=[0.11837563027326639,0.10228039818850079,0.11282541453184575,-0.0650148691726783,0.028108458442388375,-0.09499467027781949,-0.029434784795003638,0.0891378153522165,0.05224465383538527,-0.09831361971631339,0.052284760802482635,0.0612344707319254,-0.08819686659783084,0.10658756809327878,-0.09728539997916401,0.03639468222811342,-0.1609614729453081,0.06720593840035807,-0.1457981583948136,0.07910086585432947,0.06322648115526192,-0.1485830109224195,-0.13248340215079038,-0.041286277235999334,-0.10138990619378115,0.09312771042361405,0.0405913524661822,0.03869932379098243,-0.08868555504992245,0.11160842329147065,-0.11178184846986966,-0.1398126443406563,0.011740587211755249,-0.03561738042851194,-0.06977820010448077,-0.09070053548903972,-0.0758793465586501,-0.1039777511827217,-0.08210151636445244,0.02039413990236384,0.08358123855654365,0.12583319394520434,0.1272590029587623,-0.1486851031707178,0.09734969377203066,0.12525599151778385,0.12453415618040502,0.12177715925876875,-0.15852359184586898,0.07767684851933013,-0.018718744624798198,0.08165733435306183,-0.1327855740592734,0.04028747368431598,0.098720359696564,0.09608504505760715,0.11187604412494682,-0.07546672241140324,-0.16452989676679103,0.090898993768331,0.12153337355367859,0.053995783417717616,0.12099386717841563,0.0778675110743318,-0.07493224736341761,0.11155826664208847,-0.027772367078762898,0.12630016082637718,0.06586893184267664,0.09687020005701089,0.011905983579673114,0.051319377902324444,0.08068940028633158,0.055817391513276755,-0.15063990400988334,0.12584715425907814,0.1246610811318299,-0.14564282936316372,0.12328591910736994,0.1014752712984413,-0.10440022702013847,-0.16336247961455716,-0.3799498461035753,-0.36624358586599665,0.12357693024317704,0.11718575889420993,-0.04376454592910468,-0.15438521839924255,-0.11340772416308628,0.11259325781580895,0.1227950865974977,0.07197156477332518,0.06931485443954999,0.01028594399791825,-0.38490403593155953,-0.11110399434597489,0.04996567889887765,0.043383488108410216,0.09726857382044395,-0.03499616719167633;0.12826014301909075,0.12577379748245093,0.08617269545716451,8.967211264780531E-4,-0.0013603174147132607,-0.028790666078419083,0.025428633418456942,0.049937178336359765,0.08191042419844478,-0.03776880567989658,0.029449696389505925,0.10261842822823329,-0.1408584687934999,0.07486988852839876,-0.031065562477095462,0.07303412298726972,-0.10443474402006564,0.05152097432072461,-0.08550484793226663,0.08636501035299593,0.045353238351037654,-0.23063898432176808,-0.06947301777282729,0.02239142457656287,-0.15783110777411383,0.05587709662988198,0.08736737719002007,-0.009332406582000703,-0.022573408076330282,0.08428616002842595,-0.04688079096922482,-0.07870641805785587,-0.021823839315681732,0.019955011868033126,-0.003899806730952816,-0.14410417886436877,-0.00969406056216959,-0.04235376915793116,-0.021584476662845978,-0.011656300337621505,0.042737684409455565,0.12077403975820135,0.12093389899357694,-0.0915608756816723,0.12233076216069744,0.1260283019927127,0.12803681129727862,0.1026228947340669,-0.10178160890390615,0.08549998658980444,0.033655391977586026,0.040100066418418664,-0.07097700885747665,0.0874955275244373,0.06344901930722949,0.06021703941462604,0.11850484468223393,-0.015666946806318912,-0.11010538723978208,0.052298466143561685,0.10354098504878963,0.0976605117800974,0.12883891265676994,0.0763822008212025,-0.12320056232285193,0.08389378645899186,0.028097530512570818,0.11805774390577722,0.08674917922587118,0.06125441056854619,-0.021495737809302334,0.028246530748116044,0.11434674656010235,0.03347090294777629,-0.09377210807094528,0.12225932434054394,0.12379527666681919,-0.08757603717817114,0.10652845050048379,0.06741996906358186,-0.039356488695914335,-0.10789071602601993,-0.7952444856416316,-0.7385113895982623,0.13010741130570955,0.13057042518208153,0.020376795761650905,-0.09780231021110058,-0.048624467166830596,0.08669276293745878,0.10552017207288822,0.10910802602009036,0.05488044072139137,-0.02333277979082149,-0.8174931227160495,-0.04665440833657032,0.026820854672328774,-0.001747678336497603,0.12403043223246343,0.028327556366250284;0.08216873686551342,0.032991098425497786,0.1561462717082777,-0.1811822061515595,0.06792456877525886,-0.19448191425501085,-0.14223344000763216,0.15288683823848012,-0.029897690425206434,-0.18629599425908633,0.07755495100131499,-0.04651851638783467,0.01613667235170422,0.158590057380809,-0.19517090611923518,-0.05935385991176595,-0.19793288895150357,0.07874654507499602,-0.20091360379156445,0.04322448124887883,0.07967966901097376,0.02824079462341458,-0.20039709080479878,-0.16534377124223756,0.014594383162952388,0.1546245416745611,-0.07840995505916758,0.1134146857443772,-0.19034808906226217,0.1559441128381769,-0.19830529250593384,-0.20096131993307878,0.059319163809841105,-0.14673420947325413,-0.1827788842439942,0.01535841258782899,-0.18511308527814452,-0.1895174735243454,-0.17772740606173476,0.06480463875449909,0.14907906532886359,0.12507115558446574,0.13110928627414697,-0.1965018658847121,0.0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x_a{231}=[3.2754612254140034,3.0008089246461913,21.604712172396013];
std_x_a{231}=[1.163862344695357,1.593179178938709,1.476274714611593];
pred_a{231}=[3.2754612254140034];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.0 to 23.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{232}=[3.915026012173755,5.431260910950806,18.034586815059335];
std_x_f{232}=[1.5971543029649857,2.2576369157220726,1.5635313275551213];
pred_f{232}=[3.915026012173755];
obs{232}=[4.1100403670677865];
sqrt_r{232}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{232}=[3.570306624417765];
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k{232}=[0.7199120117132582;1.0027971223378729;0.21328169798656202];
x_a{232}=[4.0554191887184805,5.626820744853118,18.076179807802887];
L_a{232}=[-0.1111634129854876,-0.10988724461873174,-0.07938558042468101,0.012306621304285805,-0.00790707640444944,0.042183358265364755,-0.015337979549482393,-0.05175048225763857,-0.07255269764612766,0.04957552607949684,-0.0338671595253235,-0.08920645868167032,0.11455328991575246,-0.07079076461065295,0.04495394025666497,-0.06389093186008585,0.11746576957390252,-0.05130901845316472,0.09846610518694986,-0.0783163255798896,-0.04637311898857938,0.19182365728032807,0.08320069009733816,-0.010362569032528008,0.1294053187486081,-0.056382477046751076,-0.07614019472670712,-0.004015278905764653,0.035665434587402844,-0.07796075646122907,0.06062556400684454,0.0914920388392115,0.009425487907460513,-0.009913497578901382,0.01712415530461322,0.11692534697842509,0.022610470890613254,0.05428179800678153,0.03323378380607201,3.995745649376149E-4,-0.04608141815221553,-0.10660750216009968,-0.10595798367750765,0.10347828931656007,-0.10672167174196624,-0.10948004792759788,-0.1115115411006394,-0.09161099060811144,0.11429230331537003,-0.0773430977288146,-0.023940359410709378,-0.04400736186779229,0.08421308928645815,-0.07522056622294777,-0.061595451589191594,-0.0595425590994611,-0.10434172358714736,0.026591010716925104,0.12196143256220393,-0.05352979707903901,-0.09222214464248625,-0.0844396472372109,-0.11242769413568404,-0.07085691685484079,0.09893801817889547,-0.0776162412609452,-0.01738031667490729,-0.10398526227040615,-0.07766413386201444,-0.06044181100400623,0.008659031759933605,-0.03206817457056047,-0.09947942326388029,-0.03709624601825435,0.10577579794204413,-0.10705960769424838,-0.10820228571380393,0.09993851598690098,-0.0950585606998591,-0.06535740285906891,0.05261861943398246,0.1204638524849597,0.5911200334059898,0.5579568644237267,-0.11313250196076434,-0.11336081450391945,-0.00795855487867884,0.11037445952649358,0.062122632162217174,-0.07985446487768556,-0.09409787782429571,-0.09451148643188743,-0.05349242486091924,0.010336576698110183,0.6032835996705023,0.05954818670115615,-0.031437160649019476,-0.0101949726086709,-0.108390948440545,-0.015598072083835627;-0.17587826941861254,-0.16031816728794004,-0.15188915820483173,0.0676787618500531,-0.024935285190063286,0.10849227025658445,0.021212912642569626,-0.11029563876154767,-0.08837207101922331,0.11624739224553966,-0.06463296617281855,-0.10669003207491135,0.15158242961874893,-0.14016596399074385,0.11299721289693834,-0.06732861356951778,0.2040433431380353,-0.0887608800861882,0.1807789553855096,-0.11739843855756564,-0.08282221292741933,0.24781438386778035,0.16203732146441835,0.03347416650559479,0.17104945335735167,-0.11756892721222423,-0.08072026657999526,-0.03186537029839468,0.09960771416557815,-0.14978833101763347,0.13292866852899343,0.17233237322152756,0.0015878675436504825,0.029896924980393695,0.07452941915326684,0.15398585962532685,0.08188190304548784,0.12277281730566336,0.0936129445695565,-0.012864917643012333,-0.1015354410059072,-0.1841176645219858,-0.18410542139453823,0.1857098822733978,-0.1521977153699259,-0.18380666281423047,-0.18458846281752014,-0.1680795984497306,0.20002898964681742,-0.11486625907753513,0.006707073166534926,-0.0977637615282747,0.16353608598012753,-0.07763701297399013,-0.12526660673777026,-0.12209503282930481,-0.16698517183505707,0.08428364393670779,0.2091116303148956,-0.11317737736706043,-0.1685620558384595,-0.09571934325634697,-0.18218525818825831,-0.1115101409334526,0.1307812461238799,-0.14969106295226772,0.018557775371056073,-0.1816221283804814,-0.10345180048332271,-0.12346237627970148,-8.934736816030993E-5,-0.06137480229791363,-0.13077440225378553,-0.06874846398213073,0.18885486544324603,-0.18293097097288716,-0.18249861829460792,0.18203360266485893,-0.17270327756749954,-0.1313155980587815,0.12264475109095617,0.20730370078171315,0.7356184037926772,0.6908372974327,-0.18472184757262863,-0.1772620903475016,0.037161897178911114,0.1947111160890949,0.13556996080949058,-0.1522402431462354,-0.17166515387720027,-0.11879920279966026,-0.09167344150163502,0.002823048341339992,0.751672854464831,0.13148649475627036,-0.059967918143143714,-0.04026020060540967,-0.15453855604078995,0.026306584849670543;0.07631861613584309,0.03771666883416008,0.11841460417335388,-0.16120971773365603,0.030306828144398452,-0.17390280655612017,-0.12706023510310946,0.10595535932946507,-0.025963487420214957,-0.16841790994644382,0.04386736096479641,-0.03237300612282262,-0.01171798044830591,0.11705506718187764,-0.1746767762081726,-0.05256353108438184,-0.17232200448231252,0.04956569609054009,-0.17735428146954607,0.032012139238372,0.048861911883200305,0.017293773151168916,-0.17803865314930253,-0.14645166560631712,-0.009920971354941322,0.10899539164576524,-0.06304536920020583,0.06500926199809005,-0.17074973812140157,0.11767804018029047,-0.17749480356336983,-0.17797211106603156,0.021221717235687214,-0.1322779631645513,-0.16302284173921724,-0.011275109365059356,-0.16544666728370683,-0.1702591298175754,-0.16122067215339186,0.027096814085424116,0.10097625671105925,0.10572346515168476,0.110771009280183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x_a{232}=[4.0554191887184805,5.626820744853121,18.076179807802884];
std_x_a{232}=[1.2745434471887345,1.8123688915190732,1.542572421759778];
pred_a{232}=[4.0554191887184805];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.1 to 23.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{233}=[6.578940793592401,10.073852587521397,17.753553717626612];
std_x_f{233}=[1.730798656348617,2.3145072508773077,2.5906833188714105];
pred_f{233}=[6.578940793592401];
obs{233}=[6.91205523914917];
sqrt_r{233}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{233}=[4.032437605896469];
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k{233}=[0.7520110420213967;0.9142904200254921;0.8861477830667923];
x_a{233}=[6.829446534907927,10.378415933866055,18.048742345064266];
L_a{233}=[0.13451154583934904,0.12347044617659297,0.11313879727380305,-0.06108428354761066,0.013545851610498946,-0.09542565855745208,-0.022786740385868566,0.08032767630224533,0.06640200766798464,-0.101288851432854,0.04458323112753837,0.0821926344045887,-0.12363412298494328,0.10355541291456559,-0.09857517028784112,0.0496619811669424,-0.17116410252770814,0.06449532387224426,-0.15337321118458114,0.08823557201354526,0.05923201052615749,-0.1912303167371446,-0.1385930249740918,-0.033235785912952565,-0.13781762478390072,0.08594296651182168,0.06097525547578813,0.018762806935405114,-0.08776669772929808,0.11137192873235488,-0.11518840155904451,-0.1465293313857798,-0.007371433022341003,-0.029922689806594287,-0.0666217768289387,-0.12544277092785236,-0.07281445814086275,-0.10669401867875644,-0.08267192903207751,0.004035691910612845,0.07320585856535304,0.13892128148772515,0.13951126334977462,-0.1576192873260611,0.11745509034479377,0.13979769253448945,0.14041665282349222,0.12600568736917545,-0.16832395442168452,0.08653195888715176,-0.010610352178644296,0.07061956679507474,-0.1400322715987203,0.05882626223268402,0.09251014204738142,0.08944676940770885,0.12718924205647456,-0.07526551782889035,-0.17526379154436,0.0824784805763483,0.1264759150842076,0.07383950295336057,0.13915509045000496,0.08274793758472858,-0.10782758090441187,0.11189556994617397,-0.020120493644092245,0.1373290242353891,0.07825538440554959,0.09084914041331385,-0.0059480928016475716,0.04243142889058424,0.10131104134165564,0.048638294166469066,-0.15950678664433277,0.1385017487528857,0.13885271915681732,-0.1543305341177457,0.12998222883022884,0.09675678194195761,-0.1065588497542986,-0.17350076777982723,-0.367765679136798,-0.36362646670502147,0.14135977258174034,0.13636518060247715,-0.03579219581088379,-0.16419091455817003,-0.11689799951918532,0.11329812257899362,0.12872315985055527,0.0918521638785698,0.06670798896145204,-0.008624534480653893,-0.3679835293786055,-0.11370000538858241,0.04136177249495731,0.025702659066689566,0.11946411107986854,-0.02649182223717065;0.11801443701134479,0.11808413898558319,0.08897891604186339,0.005791289366038546,0.020111600487503115,-0.02694094232901032,0.03281254096881941,0.06181569214268746,0.08620145761599377,-0.035103407748311256,0.04571994679956401,0.10159595635655636,-0.11853539287376727,0.08000689750075579,-0.029325762608965075,0.07848824991968403,-0.11625203746968167,0.06368394930612781,-0.09230607007803292,0.08984783040076962,0.0581658272428773,-0.22149465355484613,-0.07390117609323929,0.02830361428101532,-0.13732228616394182,0.06572067586813746,0.09125068432390454,0.014477576575207365,-0.019170742101892166,0.08732835623557063,-0.04718275335622643,-0.08359774350231458,0.0014977556684862908,0.02752354034549046,6.256021399940139E-4,-0.12091534232522162,-0.004863001017546517,-0.040791048236868466,-0.01679220177477782,0.011443407004182575,0.056719448262930135,0.11415635952696594,0.11454490223501711,-0.09964706571142695,0.11603806859624935,0.11698521198483304,0.11888623841470292,0.09996495468758392,-0.11205519041458888,0.08883931218025896,0.0414465826161195,0.05498158701169086,-0.07582944821292933,0.08920593922855677,0.07208342266922847,0.06962205343115731,0.11285532794249518,-0.009887843229131256,-0.12237487171040917,0.06374655275317131,0.10057686122986591,0.09825625042867085,0.12135925305134254,0.08101294755526095,-0.09978620567521049,0.08792249667416986,0.035373950988562504,0.11171205216881734,0.08984102618096643,0.0712681652285174,0.004049493597062972,0.04431042752314096,0.11009973236390873,0.04940706731220661,-0.10149888611065151,0.1149330688877431,0.11639166497758863,-0.09474930350905592,0.1041877598970817,0.07528750713865431,-0.03780169530074892,-0.1191723210257813,-0.9193424671721451,-0.8518813389897179,0.12120493302359026,0.12070192475204752,0.02665281201288615,-0.10734865459006508,-0.04873614790088867,0.08874462871938177,0.10264915491762934,0.10545626408539717,0.06443987791335132,7.958833234974671E-4,-0.9424382192946066,-0.045051567508940085,0.04331817738437477,0.021746206955360784,0.11829298708714424,0.0345373080836414;0.2332564464007747,0.18452036882915762,0.2288417420470651,-0.22559507801307072,0.01273906592073749,-0.2699409013650123,-0.15551781733394973,0.1669346936268673,0.04348763707918873,-0.270398667015493,0.0655536913733972,0.06309207992561469,-0.16661392021710106,0.2122370503313902,-0.2733103041401737,-0.0015801677137881995,-0.32884309912725607,0.09960684226864945,-0.3206015172849757,0.12259737927927879,0.0904225887048031,-0.18886507910273603,-0.31054631831370705,-0.18279050702438684,-0.17554548073960147,0.17791108191385688,0.007326606128053202,0.04675908836596732,-0.26054078064401465,0.22580481752328435,-0.2903814308563347,-0.315881564981031,-0.021101309544767195,-0.1677895876024028,-0.2332828297439292,-0.167184086986889,-0.24073409595375778,-0.27745602613385933,-0.2473607189694475,-0.0021568134104880724,0.15165164898396932,0.2639313788706002,0.26856652780143897,-0.32129123781873375,0.16781497104107193,0.2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x_a{233}=[6.82944653490793,10.378415933866057,18.048742345064255];
std_x_a{233}=[1.2140538160300507,1.773047599025779,2.1309950378449467];
pred_a{233}=[6.82944653490793];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.2 to 23.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{234}=[11.018281589183555,15.164575867896913,24.531558668227248];
std_x_f{234}=[1.5270268622961036,2.2302406280895566,2.8626699368837882];
pred_f{234}=[11.018281589183555];
obs{234}=[11.547080491188243];
sqrt_r{234}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{234}=[3.3364616554743245];
L_f{234}=[0.0681954346011625,0.07788163033475658,0.04650789417885084,0.03893293639552189,0.02423285488121168,0.011755118905151237,0.05671454468740314,0.03550236068104559,0.07614352137027071,0.0037017467725467376,0.038600085150886886,0.08534628081509177,-0.08400529002140224,0.042225708789493874,0.008811860830878527,0.07647341840039583,-0.07464982766970024,0.048195778100631755,-0.05014316748272985,0.06541126383320008,0.04514934784042465,-0.18287610753941697,-0.032348050918677124,0.055698657285569726,-0.1014938842078862,0.03699687106399583,0.08543278038377787,0.01451680741585368,0.018172772985142516,0.04566963607945175,-0.007168897828297973,-0.042218295665819985,0.011832987454473892,0.05319752358470893,0.035401545115541354,-0.08629488854393097,0.029901616769899962,-0.001929220117466381,0.018758093467600327,0.018573748854603268,0.034258869307897115,0.059148351817873694,0.05845623894859437,-0.05697900115328916,0.07843420671974081,0.06227370948577296,0.06431462294844241,0.050495983138682435,-0.06991855502939005,0.06552176440779714,0.062243054869832,0.03315900309519445,-0.03387181397446064,0.08439623945565428,0.0396913392403181,0.03879994966180708,0.06709732468451818,0.025495888531580285,-0.08073799733769814,0.036749449586773016,0.0511606964557426,0.08658600885295242,0.06771785680483967,0.059289711553379,-0.06711094793917133,0.04580899028518881,0.0582519136823899,0.05764234392515672,0.07203555376194026,0.03985332940932734,0.013692132883072352,0.037682525100079925,0.08241709575259061,0.04055855039992632,-0.05987511800146878,0.060593373344738084,0.062000190624290866,-0.052951598582871746,0.05264077711305118,0.041082752181288144,0.0017278374123520927,-0.077490568051504,-0.8309610557974959,-0.7756373454898633,0.06656135682067031,0.07053897653615951,0.05469212787496475,-0.06513878474796501,-0.00806268255154223,0.04655107891429033,0.05253523583225372,0.0838663778958635,0.048058115888952695,0.01191902326181442,-0.8497693402557486,-0.005474194471309383,0.03753129527714492,0.019469224595958463,0.08048766783938378,0.059683690169333684;-0.0728559537537425,-0.036979001558698266,-0.08018857199710257,0.17640581598854563,0.033899537374735694,0.17450922376754618,0.15258558461737434,-0.04765653401804998,0.050390894330871065,0.16746113897207557,0.013647761946407315,0.04296444744343115,0.02903029722396475,-0.07201450508622909,0.1741792165539103,0.07761804715548731,0.11387961032777663,1.877168358614379E-4,0.13674966301033875,-0.0037320400921693,0.003155499581616732,-0.07480281257666109,0.15155975333435032,0.16685344382061112,0.014041566783998363,-0.05326157889317253,0.07742053749972921,0.008158759712050297,0.1761855606148775,-0.07836149961109873,0.1675123086443145,0.1430049692169759,0.04376866713489698,0.15651170199591177,0.1772524620739535,0.02632898102817345,0.17655427192165762,0.1661772701268565,0.17039349841896329,0.038242650601660086,-0.03930722078293829,-0.09622605922503592,-0.09895341760889341,0.12970207443972104,-0.025694465740247457,-0.09245208938998371,-0.0895362774354338,-0.09108219286970376,0.1184077469624429,-0.001895874492751221,0.14406096368233562,-0.037780537068404806,0.1499784882528637,0.07841353312871728,-0.05975862303051644,-0.055909419063834676,-0.06345582600051525,0.17160329160456955,0.10748414348137476,-0.04942868878199269,-0.09171508215551116,0.05757852873803441,-0.08126905592862366,-0.0067587839639501514,0.03891969732274096,-0.07918606217953494,0.1512636073025274,-0.09815015078960057,0.02492684319663388,-0.05707015555169414,0.0440453782244036,0.015497057004204427,0.0077747857739532515,0.010413773156008908,0.12740386515129065,-0.09373273810415315,-0.09126275733755991,0.13343416643747527,-0.09430108839963432,-0.06302146116655878,0.17120248368335927,0.11108733794480324,-1.170706262381105,-1.0652940799789126,-0.08699204399305337,-0.07098226796887176,0.1683738006216532,0.12242603892932664,0.16680488267194452,-0.08037848810672245,-0.09380817632906689,0.02488697811860606,-0.0027612021179332885,0.04499259911100781,-1.2068213638368008,0.16774696797974686,0.017461060035481278,0.0063186822282992085,-0.02742816873158456,0.16413294485556906;0.31487732884147246,0.29405912538808837,0.2642626595277571,-0.13288900575580934,0.03548234381561018,-0.22511328483341167,-0.03893417684941642,0.18896222762268167,0.16928349579520074,-0.24129975681999122,0.10995395921011289,0.20782990158730638,-0.3195263514674652,0.2418465570466985,-0.23411774056107065,0.1328946401908802,-0.434619615312213,0.15813864947059247,-0.3839712114459476,0.21493283838188593,0.14438405606593682,-0.5043522960676843,-0.34285670417474695,-0.06325574926301877,-0.35774697559822277,0.2003797509908195,0.1615555761726763,0.044536250714852815,-0.20448971761884846,0.25994131177742036,-0.278219260095746,-0.3654303880240655,-0.0170029110892496,-0.0560610807639734,-0.14811399013149182,-0.32409409588561555,-0.16429719061501277,-0.2569927473628583,-0.1925152466410025,0.011565313302705393,0.17243553915090476,0.32142360279788823,0.3245446089784963,-0.39744820460673086,0.2823837457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k{234}=[0.7002812850076539;0.8240942420733679;0.9281179134954255];
x_a{234}=[11.388589563790035,15.600355998253695,25.02234640181451];
L_a{234}=[-0.05898981714878287,-0.06736848528886694,-0.040229851010270046,-0.033677427418255336,-0.0209616917436773,-0.010168309929140753,-0.04905871837833202,-0.03070994088054863,-0.06586500150583618,-0.003202052549715798,-0.03338950735185219,-0.07382549182442076,0.0726655197210009,-0.0365257125354186,-0.007622358625531568,-0.06615036614349587,0.06457293967225049,-0.04168988956705207,0.0433744032627165,-0.05658147815257851,-0.039054693163404985,0.15818988775016157,0.027981427495437597,-0.048179964361609574,0.08779335018771026,-0.03200270915356856,-0.07390031492321149,-0.012557201520213007,-0.01571965281472994,-0.03950474833593038,0.0062011771685724654,0.036519300100149525,-0.010235667099207278,-0.046016455608548314,-0.030622734283661,0.07464604816807358,-0.025865234469512634,0.0016687970776148994,-0.016225961608501316,-0.01606650144703074,-0.029634306871364313,-0.051163988891549224,-0.05056530348329756,0.049287476192658886,-0.06784647007042426,-0.053867458389649465,-0.055632871465810176,-0.04367959276922229,0.06048033567954612,-0.05667706239114869,-0.05384094180243655,-0.02868291023968489,0.029299499659130656,-0.07300369537419273,-0.034333454400139046,-0.03356239239940217,-0.05803993973292719,-0.02205423004222679,0.06983927483949999,-0.03178868679583431,-0.04425457725695325,-0.07489787050629775,-0.05857670698907548,-0.05128626665102728,0.05805172400126797,-0.039625291289625365,-0.0503885598323072,-0.049861275143399185,-0.062311563369019746,-0.03447357771639389,-0.011843848783617971,-0.032595807598537474,-0.0712917138341132,-0.03508360179686522,0.05179264980603614,-0.0524139487480164,-0.05363086150131028,0.045803727718836326,-0.04553486365516605,-0.03553704222748131,-0.001494598775029151,0.06703021202002332,0.7187906496370999,0.6709350186241716,-0.05757632150876135,-0.06101700725372908,-0.04730930511244252,0.05634578068237553,0.006974310996414544,-0.040267206291632635,-0.045443569261453286,-0.07254535917164445,-0.04157081020722779,-0.010310089039223435,0.7350600270164424,0.004735239723714803,-0.03246499210253619,-0.016841098024538436,-0.06962273701084808,-0.0516270625804267;-0.2225281438975019,-0.20791000672558696,-0.1822619500968759,0.09095760536967683,-0.01928561328408895,0.14870963172411802,0.028111121392456015,-0.12557547550559686,-0.11672538955820161,0.1593367161269836,-0.07106992213402183,-0.1443496278304783,0.2134012278397606,-0.1646895404732521,0.1548393513926562,-0.09022227949846473,0.27771760427154984,-0.10559015093772714,0.24680157105635858,-0.14729366082593434,-0.09593620376128717,0.3265652218155358,0.22255576144246111,0.04460860334479771,0.23679565618065843,-0.1344606027427858,-0.11008338303240676,-0.023702058721518978,0.13630079780664625,-0.1785951075506467,0.18324627449046693,0.23566373462254697,0.017798172795902706,0.039756234247752945,0.0995547859332422,0.2157250167323231,0.1109275844906778,0.1704114333364516,0.12922410124982742,-0.002522155525130338,-0.11449700483740319,-0.226042129930506,-0.22725047095524625,0.25475695450160735,-0.19783824003524791,-0.22912755075514923,-0.2306910414055044,-0.20190844442203446,0.27186176223691105,-0.14570001678398967,0.007452781652403297,-0.1105563855583686,0.22431878113829237,-0.10681543524872947,-0.1468713411850553,-0.1410657565417588,-0.21071793521724577,0.11564609302521285,0.2846841710202903,-0.1300846834009671,-0.20400021579524236,-0.1324564443744828,-0.22989308038273354,-0.13688510448797403,0.18621170622957145,-0.17972551829353017,0.02341499761334009,-0.22466090492959925,-0.1331734631189497,-0.14453840224739065,0.013994517366426183,-0.06720680865574101,-0.17311044941403236,-0.07860225999805713,0.2588150087096177,-0.22672027531607736,-0.22733791213846538,0.24964988935005428,-0.20983463470605462,-0.15318798817923213,0.1674103059337557,0.28116005767426966,0.6530486835733254,0.6370389418093341,-0.23307783569677185,-0.2257979557112047,0.048338044408011,0.2653896351517144,0.18450048594774857,-0.18254664606927998,-0.20911008550699145,-0.15917907457994368,-0.10823693522748606,0.01883327735576868,0.6582131361548939,0.17976147717065652,-0.064910893393886,-0.036411472696590445,-0.20407878464948145,0.033141938261801146;0.1463123350186549,0.10155186133048329,0.14930477501804187,-0.2291231630919578,-0.024416255808404046,-0.25416950475813277,-0.1791207880325213,0.10120774311949438,-0.018927522794135697,-0.2504497083599634,0.014542541230696517,-0.003128432831037811,-0.1118826686262642,0.13747334815239276,-0.25589883595567675,-0.056131815548617126,-0.25010069826724546,0.03900866539860268,-0.26002768404684473,0.053249738208519574,0.03278421680491306,-0.052320424462055544,-0.2628990202743935,-0.20093129713790905,-0.10687510910725918,0.10893114627352206,-0.04961656726890416,0.00865370862546351,-0.2494090495931887,0.1470554277201338,-0.26049922905245326,-0.26107550283652425,-0.04625160594447475,-0.18755434401378013,-0.23561927943157232,-0.11079099957980426,-0.2382077958569727,-0.25222411469579614,-0.23888136965182308,-0.03434514799508678,0.08775470784546233,0.17522112433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x_a{234}=[11.388589563790038,15.600355998253695,25.022346401814517];
std_x_a{234}=[1.3208953929973404,2.028585378055873,2.690610498331912];
pred_a{234}=[11.388589563790038];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.3 to 23.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{235}=[12.852759202464602,10.599033004564204,34.89878152016983];
std_x_f{235}=[1.2219674951218118,2.7170770817649204,2.1943516708014448];
pred_f{235}=[12.852759202464602];
obs{235}=[13.178305607402397];
sqrt_r{235}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{235}=[2.5113711513135466];
L_f{235}=[-0.134783501138942,-0.11714745670807894,-0.11608265504822014,0.1094703478442457,0.005569470806885841,0.1426648561128029,0.06774660152877972,-0.07661691933745453,-0.043164910376262376,0.14644882094660366,-0.02874730707471768,-0.06068545481789974,0.13004716547195264,-0.10454010982730635,0.14567560364326804,-0.020761648750664382,0.1954687454403981,-0.05134595658115509,0.18611062359522154,-0.07559274758246602,-0.04567183905411573,0.1545628994929278,0.17739050453850272,0.08082404349576928,0.1376234778747763,-0.08267727696744678,-0.032150722461403825,-0.005191380365275958,0.13548437713695663,-0.11399152266589761,0.15927855463726767,0.18178454259200444,0.028333441749765754,0.07502191273532882,0.11551295309043996,0.13097467001034396,0.12142645361924197,0.15158044376111351,0.12990382784749668,0.01567659468152983,-0.06825981085927749,-0.14393023081755862,-0.14562555191880006,0.18837726315629344,-0.109162850680709,-0.14416183866102703,-0.14422500586348017,-0.12986740101856498,0.1941272574171552,-0.07364209267783256,0.053107247027016205,-0.06598147724603572,0.1771260357476203,-0.029573367510645123,-0.09096462641307772,-0.08736147789926231,-0.1260269589972557,0.1225345159734843,0.1973270226737993,-0.0792381655390779,-0.13131730049124543,-0.049971467862210184,-0.14172311473112445,-0.0706370248095865,0.1188919950348137,-0.11462311844151259,0.06417605024571936,-0.14333177351554965,-0.06027194606743714,-0.08930738145958234,0.026298889943057523,-0.025519636496112382,-0.08648503990067329,-0.03388781427950373,0.18961363508568443,-0.14359630476854732,-0.14347085596950515,0.18682840221713043,-0.13565943747009127,-0.09614514794984245,0.1521583811699345,0.19674753360356426,-0.23507647862451897,-0.17677070561141575,-0.14489292059760325,-0.1367672032172523,0.0834240040683539,0.1916658010401258,0.16080265024187004,-0.11562229864290947,-0.13404107923280842,-0.07355503367458827,-0.053508347445795745,0.02993500788548386,-0.2561881550050981,0.1576115672232124,-0.02455191968087246,-0.012302890794252721,-0.11215412074408433,0.07321658993565698;-0.06949709213614948,-0.0326128435299041,-0.07437068508790477,0.19482171158038467,0.04754846418526829,0.19286937468852716,0.17067665341192437,-0.040205740512913944,0.06189454616735447,0.1847381947765469,0.025889206694440798,0.05216718447345281,0.030286836472545358,-0.06598731309630748,0.19115209464158395,0.0907775346435152,0.11626484275452956,0.010913663433443055,0.14462988060241289,0.004137983741211259,0.014946716799851803,-0.09743920865355218,0.16241191128602978,0.18533231332411906,0.011770570868201673,-0.04477102203097067,0.08823886368683202,0.02045996917478823,0.19363762972121842,-0.07266117229767176,0.18130062625473992,0.1519836977377473,0.057144399462189036,0.17538985743420893,0.19738973086179684,0.028068523767104336,0.1950221589636034,0.1807531402611856,0.18783623343939948,0.05213395656700229,-0.02970846601903316,-0.09356607129132997,-0.09795520672565658,0.13630373541686044,-0.021474437200760536,-0.09024511307093293,-0.08758053431996828,-0.08755912781968558,0.12202998687786132,0.006776494448862356,0.16267694150474038,-0.028455169198606522,0.15978143903675313,0.09077534742596484,-0.05249978990474656,-0.04932545535158855,-0.059059788084235794,0.19037990104320773,0.10831181678588692,-0.04073466042660652,-0.08866751871288249,0.06750729688527073,-0.0800460005401925,0.0026124386249058904,0.04375895312742952,-0.07325808792146728,0.16950480035397025,-0.09494747340470769,0.03374951925634646,-0.04949746848212684,0.057335401117938535,0.027879358395661386,0.013665765385151525,0.022249776490262586,0.13181376053004687,-0.09131382106309292,-0.08958546170332697,0.14042506534388097,-0.09210543521495324,-0.05650118867922719,0.1881677335383901,0.11263258883788727,-1.4675848351930996,-1.3276262889744979,-0.08512601170470276,-0.06854056668672745,0.1882677713104023,0.12688439263298457,0.1826551287744087,-0.07346475906721572,-0.08950394252440412,0.03266308529626347,0.00784731227837975,0.05963645717945795,-1.5161213062983903,0.1825689873605896,0.029263737658344044,0.018750581249267928,-0.022308508424645,0.18244352530967614;-0.2353187065185199,-0.2314168341875356,-0.18573380889259597,0.07874775359342291,-0.026536696301276603,0.15622165774189653,0.001734935810390854,-0.12987241087951895,-0.1528399178455817,0.1728675506863412,-0.08418244096875281,-0.18397784044849486,0.26609304651635435,-0.16782165769157456,0.1650374447016806,-0.1285194689988562,0.3387357990433185,-0.12182607571494537,0.29513611084692803,-0.17044416243196883,-0.11129791939994596,0.4160093215787796,0.2607337927505173,0.01964437905807188,0.2976211969540521,-0.13900612246847954,-0.1531285872302687,-0.024464471228620385,0.13936104518226997,-0.1817239935117904,0.20445496233822177,0.27933495290949717,0.017376101430830643,0.01534613505697382,0.09006107299865958,0.2694510107380939,0.1058808414535312,0.18758756282183964,0.13105718527244536,-0.006832922390163519,-0.12042466741774002,-0.23149178749080682,-0.23010853319708324,0.30630966277152705,-0.223212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k{235}=[0.6018111462827944;0.786901088831229;0.6899753577503438];
x_a{235}=[13.048676657588459,10.855205825074846,35.12340051738112];
L_a{235}=[0.18848145316176704,0.16381918178384955,0.16233016152184818,-0.15308350106247653,-0.007788356454264739,-0.19950275195430756,-0.09473695070253925,0.10714121662869483,0.06036187637631229,-0.20479425413789182,0.04020027797278258,0.08486263239348205,-0.1818581541553418,0.14618904871472074,-0.20371298588390638,0.029033121216561132,-0.2733437911687337,0.07180226384252149,-0.2602573793353929,0.1057090132875122,0.06386756925549955,-0.21614099392841937,-0.24806315157260692,-0.11302446545581729,-0.19245288095220459,0.11561602996362533,0.04495961923024451,0.007259634205183746,-0.18946155922427244,0.15940591881526134,-0.2227353732604915,-0.25420778107528147,-0.03962152807237905,-0.10491075696834372,-0.16153348943688114,-0.18315517791368685,-0.1698029375779596,-0.21197032329312035,-0.18165771060311223,-0.0219221738657528,0.09545462341152076,0.2012722538676066,0.20364299347622078,-0.26342705154790164,0.15265349656091085,0.20159613462846898,0.2016844677405335,0.1816067712700848,-0.27146785227500164,0.10298121449956234,-0.07426525508307112,0.09226859821865659,-0.2476933180128593,0.04135544214382279,0.12720507204349904,0.12216642367702338,0.17623629130151885,-0.17135245366083787,-0.27594240888061394,0.11080677130713745,0.18363431289973556,0.06988017672568556,0.1981858193726385,0.09877892301825661,-0.1662587468355118,0.1602891433093041,-0.08974388635317149,0.20043537026549832,0.08428438112738698,0.12488757817785273,-0.036776407728859,0.03568669852246196,0.1209408114456719,0.04738877107289744,-0.2651559959359825,0.2008052911723631,0.2006298633808227,-0.2612611220528816,0.1897063638606069,0.13444952124636317,-0.21277851184535884,-0.27513205048269224,0.3287313055447772,0.24719642380950288,0.20261848072143906,0.19125546516769126,-0.11666025427821093,-0.26802574793050493,-0.22486667087396403,0.16168639842390173,0.18744324923810657,0.10285947105690335,0.07482615451925237,-0.041861160594490514,0.3582539059318278,-0.22040425552316828,0.03433344185496025,0.017204381214291672,0.15683649317088236,-0.10238619081719877;0.3531895697700295,0.3347664499912831,0.28966934616902246,-0.14848184944147397,0.030082372237414227,-0.2545335440076032,-0.04177950489909141,0.20006810314469775,0.19726149927546188,-0.2745313949205164,0.11604195657499401,0.24247929319953437,-0.3775464799141164,0.26185481657695603,-0.2656926534531081,0.15588692809249854,-0.4967332676894136,0.17193671748881428,-0.43902077076067886,0.24119998220503683,0.15817550244328146,-0.5821548859370695,-0.3938920842596756,-0.06813524656490039,-0.41982237612641365,0.21450835505567972,0.1890648656844641,0.036740353782261176,-0.23124700844694807,0.2848209808894717,-0.3182035415696702,-0.41810018378382935,-0.03171045155682471,-0.059881979221996375,-0.1648636913756248,-0.3826734854040798,-0.1857762467293452,-0.2946094318803007,-0.21954757019907825,0.002971504041293991,0.18435713808419035,0.35780511507476154,0.3587325770806817,-0.4544551918236056,0.320864799934994,0.3618524051191552,0.3647150788425856,0.31971043976916436,-0.4867611613656628,0.2377211580519436,-0.0038695925976493604,0.1784654859935701,-0.395693171387986,0.18351865716914556,0.23276905951066212,0.22464377055807083,0.33616599369615763,-0.19389343424973515,-0.5105139283020981,0.20775952027252628,0.3231489938879927,0.22421989718681318,0.3644035780391075,0.22413308448622368,-0.32909128509888586,0.2862047758705561,-0.031753960721860965,0.3545469259871467,0.22276484735330732,0.2305741918750184,-0.025139010868212273,0.10790999918218681,0.28488644530171153,0.12852337063242775,-0.4628224804713224,0.3590101593335191,0.36034510604515435,-0.44547656961229576,0.3333281994343819,0.24501399160609158,-0.28900727433937634,-0.5043758544391272,-0.7303752271712116,-0.7732660086263473,0.36926420982622554,0.3603670673904664,-0.07335337300272735,-0.4741875261006778,-0.3216286662157264,0.28913157536774475,0.3308544534250533,0.2633347282465257,0.17565171396597465,-0.0342409718109554,-0.7127046036310559,-0.31170743864429096,0.1062595782887092,0.057332958155015365,0.32941147596328724,-0.047166744007738154;0.13530396118954896,0.09071089326782135,0.13346596648834394,-0.22226974491435494,-0.04185142036414544,-0.23607286728463978,-0.18455215403800768,0.08080594957610694,-0.034146649753824795,-0.22983198036367775,-0.005134163194221932,-0.017107229686557583,-0.09150582120709402,0.11963885534815125,-0.23553592211266547,-0.07142985802297697,-0.19875690055638576,0.019363129516585618,-0.21662397271529,0.03741796855330251,0.014288808102559279,-0.009002001429598462,-0.2270480311566001,-0.2026025752221526,-0.08081073335047306,0.08833678441243385,-0.06472172417435368,-0.010189406225801527,-0.233188865325709,0.1317256636757644,-0.23352329412134268,-0.2205294337121831,-0.06053414483754801,-0.19094633545740247,-0.2275721570884802,-0.090698274532199,-0.22801311285398917,-0.2292227141363492,-0.22614753797256207,-0.049939840465079675,0.06727362639519828,0.1642822179228975,0.17032720324344916,-0.21168314210864403,0.07695905335221612,0.16167266966980043,0.158485274653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x_a{235}=[13.048676657588464,10.855205825074856,35.12340051738113];
std_x_a{235}=[1.708801205271996,3.11956204717375,2.598178000475661];
pred_a{235}=[13.048676657588464];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.4 to 23.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{236}=[8.073130359013206,2.144929096050368,32.83011403394344];
std_x_f{236}=[1.4677362160183431,2.2415566569093843,2.6414109137452364];
pred_f{236}=[8.073130359013206];
obs{236}=[8.073942186431788];
sqrt_r{236}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{236}=[3.1664311876257196];
L_f{236}=[0.1103702306506375,0.11821001819906277,0.08930456864048711,-0.0015663320304783101,0.03911357916470418,-0.05309989314080101,0.04177442668854538,0.07318999051110593,0.10524620412525021,-0.06482248740298518,0.06469852771716048,0.11751884886096603,-0.14430509238415448,0.0840480146642253,-0.05891105940277732,0.09902526081563431,-0.19208457446540686,0.08016847356275776,-0.15686274869323596,0.10071042506993047,0.07634255955723203,-0.2682837351499245,-0.13034787584905025,0.033369022544634426,-0.16893604495243159,0.07638046894153452,0.11060591023617516,0.03453606172868599,-0.04144529382740156,0.08819905291061265,-0.08737476243014204,-0.14424568573630567,0.016726694191542303,0.034809804858167974,-0.008398969843910503,-0.14748268477250517,-0.01902794031104995,-0.07548484166927917,-0.0371863767159443,0.029156092436713056,0.07141776388212316,0.10249801440589762,0.10097851736195293,-0.16584806238115762,0.11753320391840151,0.10447437064496377,0.10673168633433601,0.09349949005129438,-0.1858684507104297,0.1013727519395076,0.055618695013317954,0.06932113819285486,-0.13135188250289978,0.10913073561338864,0.07988648908585019,0.07815719047647164,0.10865913484460733,-0.023916937291759886,-0.20060891754257523,0.075075132702206,0.09449548453751835,0.1160849718700727,0.10924576051570797,0.09469737230713994,-0.11832858278641449,0.08847700844306824,0.04561391645129499,0.10121748922913403,0.1043681160483944,0.08006533974978304,0.019775581797810613,0.06266118949102965,0.11880757052730895,0.06890313234376087,-0.17128798036870274,0.10373368934951405,0.10430614453296692,-0.1606242018096056,0.09579689502386673,0.08171519790080815,-0.07155054134627394,-0.19640129679945198,-0.6151017178314464,-0.5916594550261177,0.10894404566898111,0.1123454353932994,0.031386933908157826,-0.1780634157926678,-0.08879214994059588,0.0896324958937062,0.09639171004373111,0.11805100584995484,0.08086330826979242,0.01648019278552112,-0.6240569094602381,-0.08459857446572457,0.06246962072405486,0.04152550411873945,0.12037172012790734,0.041640091387918306;-0.12240407366173948,-0.07748875872739762,-0.10640408420013536,0.21162674192730588,0.07612156810804577,0.1974471923705487,0.19459043705990917,-0.0436695522991226,0.05931855855688084,0.1875153558048725,0.04125449228568807,0.03762714365382323,0.048780696426536575,-0.08809688072366113,0.19432569065976213,0.09669408225182227,0.08248217834047145,0.014628002849529403,0.11932189686369678,-0.010615705710802715,0.021757351012283557,-0.09007417589709245,0.14484611330765426,0.20702265110739035,0.02660658189020128,-0.05221147911946635,0.08720439603229617,0.04882228480790426,0.20218814851254713,-0.10316434991717689,0.1764055320162434,0.13074681506592983,0.09064403177623875,0.1984814902656038,0.21260927839305924,0.0464660773352978,0.20853906598212857,0.18095691485020596,0.19874643522992488,0.08243148712679721,-0.02888305537592175,-0.14904034618907636,-0.1548201210640448,0.10943622516247953,-0.06146720985277734,-0.1483937395679956,-0.1462212802025728,-0.1299851016171011,0.08914816956474682,-0.006110143260177619,0.184820993069295,-0.027692917026655738,0.14247424707859124,0.09071085548757077,-0.06460838551788502,-0.059478342774218596,-0.10531760682887374,0.2033236327025327,0.07167255480382223,-0.045968844647543465,-0.13178641454459245,0.05816219917975572,-0.1380059252879534,-0.007903832256127374,0.06774707903834881,-0.10469242605155861,0.19264540059989255,-0.15012522478514323,0.02387263166737913,-0.06123469910147147,0.08999115185219653,0.04512176909939827,-0.013445309465618656,0.03543331623236019,0.10392446666353344,-0.14802243550904837,-0.14746655447262766,0.11503542517833092,-0.13970778749324028,-0.07374980380300357,0.18755356617352198,0.07758788001268903,-1.1155874308059957,-1.0009233598450797,-0.14509797376668973,-0.12484946755170388,0.20953194111502285,0.09623481332821973,0.17725690694000446,-0.10518401465955701,-0.13554779526354918,0.012062664795986104,0.010932189615724055,0.09334684597993705,-1.1575393665298965,0.1788073293625539,0.046283668493703994,0.044388125620798115,-0.06454464237002384,0.2038158770553236;0.306451271349999,0.2856199092008934,0.25883712522356617,-0.20077909026520005,0.01171607443126371,-0.2951930312409457,-0.09662218097328547,0.17882057432316795,0.1504434310402086,-0.30877931993101054,0.0917219927259669,0.19088437315357268,-0.3233361935409908,0.23473518927476522,-0.3047612998021561,0.10641588731770173,-0.46245181899416626,0.14229956754391493,-0.4298807608514674,0.20185998549515088,0.13051358291247908,-0.4195735059609444,-0.40134326949873145,-0.12489020250901159,-0.3484574289009617,0.19168675831325027,0.1358319815405414,0.02682996584145888,-0.27540260841797964,0.25497660318442594,-0.34577793550931063,-0.4163742355238097,-0.04470996303858511,-0.11401510132004537,-0.21671233010219507,-0.3267824101970938,-0.2342590250504486,-0.32439109285147716,-0.26237611668602057,-0.012766350608475807,0.16445536515660608,0.3140895703463698,0.3163280244979591,-0.4380903985419277,0.2719419249650226,0.3173746194479732,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k{236}=[0.6841870418950018;0.4589756465899031;0.7661670950738402];
x_a{236}=[8.073685800813255,2.145301705064731,32.83073602939844];
L_a{236}=[-0.10219329177835539,-0.1094522572774174,-0.0826883099402556,0.0014502880465939135,-0.036215792832098456,0.0491659104193963,-0.0386795076017299,-0.06776760374119302,-0.09744888620176025,0.060020019256286285,-0.05990524330386167,-0.10881229422379343,0.13361403998326415,-0.07782119540150681,0.054546547986988915,-0.09168883051438446,0.1778537097254048,-0.07422907573834031,0.14524134408221462,-0.09324914692686759,-0.07068661012980856,0.2484075448962995,0.12069086411077314,-0.030896830034328065,0.15642017264920358,-0.07072171094230402,-0.10241151069942703,-0.031977407425074475,0.03837475902673435,-0.08166469794920864,0.08090147622642828,0.1335590345632211,-0.015487472753539329,-0.03223086989714291,0.007776719961864068,0.13655621582344424,0.017618227711269304,0.0698924375175891,0.0344313699763966,-0.026996020973564034,-0.06612667509652725,-0.09490430011005352,-0.09349737721197865,0.15356096775262615,-0.10882558576594518,-0.09673423512610116,-0.09882431430343003,-0.0865724445043927,0.1720981165289613,-0.09386240434815163,-0.051498103196131295,-0.06418538096721073,0.12162048747315438,-0.10104562653155166,-0.07396798249104233,-0.07236680148128684,-0.10060896499081873,0.022145016248430956,0.1857465144624116,-0.06951308243452457,-0.08749464929222615,-0.10748464809275936,-0.10115212964688644,-0.08768157991315356,0.10956203783507679,-0.08192206074225707,-0.042234543187789936,-0.09371864450122581,-0.09663585255567446,-0.07413358274372189,-0.018310479092386568,-0.058018844239849335,-0.11000553907336293,-0.06379834368868273,0.15859786151351007,-0.09604842828041062,-0.09657847228999329,0.1487241244802055,-0.0886996428921382,-0.07566120875688394,0.06624961554936082,0.1818506214144416,0.5695310135093326,0.5478255047984477,-0.10087276778287949,-0.10402216060828223,-0.02906158731385956,0.16487132896143436,0.08221385452413513,-0.08299194222654117,-0.08925039017716968,-0.10930502558918993,-0.0748724326067197,-0.015259233762275077,0.5778227467571229,0.07833096618031521,-0.057841468123267174,-0.038449026822117253,-0.1114538063785652,-0.038555124726998256;-0.26499882359745514,-0.23021225930924838,-0.22178268364980083,0.21365039199024136,0.025588095384442826,0.2660505280652356,0.14061923583793798,-0.13822864068015409,-0.07665611568682643,0.27126390219233365,-0.0423339022175371,-0.11420338861267558,0.2352181845215193,-0.19668418332317064,0.27043686424766034,-0.03124333547470998,0.33064920400433095,-0.08894705876825978,0.32198346866871747,-0.14073030087028415,-0.07687475408835902,0.25653968818566836,0.3132513313793769,0.16391095878509168,0.24486645996703946,-0.1508925619122186,-0.0556948442661421,0.004202815799500891,0.2557341207778178,-0.2171146589834473,0.2892908845788965,0.31710755170316374,0.0690336866547903,0.1535083540331224,0.22346047438630728,0.23700891149455322,0.23312254627795637,0.2784808763234687,0.24679002504183717,0.044762763544296626,-0.12115248456625058,-0.2814644486572523,-0.2852810827493118,0.32370653014555045,-0.2133162883868087,-0.2833712300469808,-0.28411514916835184,-0.25078340315534436,0.32928416541934424,-0.1370804432033339,0.11296344723993808,-0.11725357398639702,0.31217660910747935,-0.05028250715520142,-0.1678191323586428,-0.1604548920300402,-0.24570167660981695,0.234223538159303,0.330852754602496,-0.14296347545472157,-0.25387150857989993,-0.09181581062892348,-0.2791478963651371,-0.1302497587265446,0.2206237612126,-0.21900184462960667,0.1337137034237809,-0.28089493035398705,-0.1109675813271064,-0.1646765151857114,0.06444174306081617,-0.035834450648215825,-0.166940828229524,-0.05358729075945198,0.3252229688382926,-0.28204298983338283,-0.28222670228383473,0.32255667212728967,-0.2634742615688953,-0.17932318298254504,0.2799945395310241,0.3313319705982804,-0.320896007927312,-0.23651857841805818,-0.2858501390704567,-0.26999611780230764,0.168981042874631,0.3262869578057128,0.2919734780878113,-0.22098628545967855,-0.2600827510078171,-0.14045539700020607,-0.09354057585492663,0.07205497266146643,-0.35127812719430934,0.2881059373272575,-0.03442505063475501,-0.009261475733295879,-0.220060991568409,0.1500182326746079;0.06841815098131876,0.030678886382628022,0.06623586842306343,-0.1974010154115897,-0.07263934679488741,-0.18067362522867475,-0.1867161952529388,0.020973284176075756,-0.07653881070386682,-0.16897804511594391,-0.047811940880851,-0.06256601950762515,-0.012116481279815579,0.05347063022310163,-0.17770907556376436,-0.10714977878912815,-0.04818711767792589,-0.03059806803085601,-0.09157821929703981,-0.015340038385683744,-0.03413278559843848,0.15902829857856854,-0.12022478819383152,-0.19685646110182398,0.015883332966773522,0.02695863144246063,-0.1027094239592111,-0.04765322124678791,-0.18601842795394996,0.06475958855907693,-0.1573386505670467,-0.1052826443118951,-0.08078406733640464,-0.1890886643720464,-0.19859845113281283,-0.008709652264091232,-0.19322187237143482,-0.1615945461997871,-0.18217705184108066,-0.07564667277103883,0.0104301983484832,0.09303429070436021,0.09854981169389103,-0.08040942276643241,0.018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x_a{236}=[8.073685800813251,2.1453017050647247,32.83073602939843];
std_x_a{236}=[1.3589968462782667,2.1977778038030173,2.5843089187494344];
pred_a{236}=[8.073685800813251];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.5 to 23.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{237}=[3.6509936251066204,0.9713006576253028,25.93910526048143];
std_x_f{237}=[1.6391645225141998,2.5345797215642496,1.3935279823271953];
pred_f{237}=[3.6509936251066204];
obs{237}=[3.6830756420937005];
sqrt_r{237}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{237}=[3.7212249267442408];
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k{237}=[0.7312712830624523;1.0313562954594495;0.06722165892327868];
x_a{237}=[3.6744542828319937,1.004388647815965,25.941261866884908];
L_a{237}=[0.14129825574390545,0.12323408116589793,0.11772512609277465,-0.1223418724781317,-0.016207506099305675,-0.1518443932348463,-0.08061275995751496,0.07246988664587653,0.04133078936890127,-0.1539748000612293,0.02154776347081149,0.0613026990142568,-0.12833094873967188,0.10507412896597768,-0.1540296407048644,0.016318099639364994,-0.18053175114175718,0.046789545479069515,-0.17885325580191302,0.07544251028370196,0.040354302410267544,-0.12714728902582292,-0.17565218991149695,-0.093440555355155,-0.13154672632368725,0.07958845923910089,0.029875504893776935,-0.004600473775952703,-0.1457557795135494,0.11516466456889393,-0.16394612735013922,-0.17732356485059356,-0.04008706602194032,-0.08809972201926446,-0.12765127759568967,-0.12936958739961305,-0.13309419845910425,-0.15793330152133894,-0.14094114195782165,-0.026917279039685337,0.06383146658221063,0.14948842601501014,0.15099143015291874,-0.17912317062365068,0.11381739220008619,0.15003619657377407,0.15059548388002814,0.13285458270088474,-0.18053148694579477,0.07352168687466756,-0.06469745957409898,0.06179400109127719,-0.17507659743126314,0.027252204035064898,0.08886745227505499,0.08504986983994592,0.13124074700129845,-0.13380306529133792,-0.1804664196458283,0.0756672481263792,0.13446848621804852,0.05014129960075197,0.1482141680061904,0.06927749101220865,-0.12193562236274404,0.11596811836485241,-0.07632418438355854,0.14877689399360666,0.05982766632669046,0.08725910607459794,-0.03796996275096608,0.01766878954197485,0.08992817762936323,0.027493968444689525,-0.1793287559606494,0.14934219981914063,0.1494115949309195,-0.17871793913759554,0.14018577391487494,0.09496600296881719,-0.15885683426375083,-0.1805853052928848,0.2677905892380819,0.21843556084788812,0.1515756731101123,0.14329718107295578,-0.09649607685258739,-0.17973939568161332,-0.16536223744523826,0.11688019779520913,0.13797664718595143,0.07630751020367402,0.04912496215026682,-0.04175209200286298,0.2854679657458058,-0.16327120093948808,0.0169562548355897,0.002615169248026095,0.11783397890971276,-0.08544441659518064;0.24110095421725128,0.22523066741493827,0.1994934788810016,-0.13458665579768725,0.013623699490259449,-0.2090335887023948,-0.0547717926460833,0.1362722054372754,0.1251932417369927,-0.22069989692658906,0.07448011812051783,0.15497190399861255,-0.25721126971559016,0.18267048603386035,-0.2156729897236157,0.09315371471767264,-0.35779816919316454,0.11369642074057297,-0.325548571018388,0.15940670594736484,0.10322807138892341,-0.3614636162646017,-0.2998297365159282,-0.0756520733757571,-0.2815022219395691,0.1471722823993489,0.11645667443933784,0.02316655953867766,-0.19155296639769956,0.19532118145677874,-0.24993486167937579,-0.3133124956265575,-0.029698869278031573,-0.06864412744346365,-0.14558509093687053,-0.26224865325376273,-0.16003999994107368,-0.23431255407874174,-0.18349087178898518,-0.00596259315146005,0.12586603157718565,0.24554901386629047,0.2452455327977723,-0.33391296945224325,0.2132371951647139,0.2459285526006134,0.2485419118294847,0.21907713330654927,-0.35230456011544004,0.1586711815604179,-0.02712476354565299,0.12206777288750466,-0.3011858249128623,0.11297217660204224,0.15997179154803337,0.1545138010814681,0.22846290455154908,-0.1645317482297763,-0.36608651260600616,0.14161561967480352,0.2220310948836851,0.14302944738927334,0.24755578345928095,0.14828251967476666,-0.2289792812373274,0.19623110383156497,-0.047012247488359894,0.2427770804203453,0.14509410014037905,0.15839320921018787,-0.025336461433948045,0.06852921894892443,0.1885109150726087,0.08412109104536471,-0.33853483169258725,0.24476373452272054,0.24519489085501356,-0.3288827518182626,0.23080929277816303,0.16803969796354395,-0.23169248686983643,-0.3617548894877574,-0.13125874968994894,-0.18441284999837965,0.25134415274720945,0.24358929452650616,-0.08080419956597062,-0.3449463612619813,-0.2531914226894488,0.19818687282634145,0.2269888161252387,0.1736431236555671,0.11635959640402102,-0.03174881077406248,-0.11300053487132153,-0.2478164812489642,0.0674181116053297,0.03548564455447033,0.22043303313448456,-0.06009840639728997;-0.037243939682492046,-0.056752532315709384,-0.03268184361049932,-0.05013618582885466,-0.057462627839704815,-0.007486625535439482,-0.08319948238915346,-0.046403530237913854,-0.09392275354121822,0.0028276599922901244,-0.06477527007871847,-0.0963052777053907,0.08032223038397895,-0.036726597656462266,-0.0031279837774950406,-0.10099952117148923,0.11520811073655089,-0.06770540115274158,0.08372319015031733,-0.0711619299141191,-0.0663137030268039,0.190532798216338,0.06110902989269858,-0.07799719328293692,0.10268122286489609,-0.044745403054413574,-0.10594711178526456,-0.048856073788252935,-0.017402480163657384,-0.033066540707014855,0.022395756319184532,0.07256951888323568,-0.04462321250033614,-0.07788942318880647,-0.045096294278243874,0.08330781736133153,-0.036597284771301655,0.012313866149161645,-0.020607937559813355,-0.051952534965995015,-0.048893547521430485,-0.023409420245782693,-0.01995807611332303,0.0923243475790502,-0.06224859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x_a{237}=[3.6744542828319924,1.0043886478159638,25.94126186688491];
std_x_a{237}=[1.2494064174679882,2.0362032581759237,1.391195050896918];
pred_a{237}=[3.6744542828319924];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.6 to 23.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{238}=[2.372629076265271,2.1635014496885785,20.537119428256673];
std_x_f{238}=[1.8616253784024803,2.6359998090432852,0.9905442087563598];
pred_f{238}=[2.372629076265271];
obs{238}=[2.433918208571388];
sqrt_r{238}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{238}=[4.515070631077003];
L_f{238}=[0.22230965243287076,0.20690005395253788,0.1848393427623983,-0.13999185400402936,0.008657347110664406,-0.20499582769987287,-0.06539608941239786,0.1268141950706274,0.11124897091710773,-0.21380177000711267,0.06581940885658308,0.13988536143067343,-0.22885406109298073,0.16936367794098328,-0.21012585552015697,0.079532548686243,-0.3181494732332742,0.10286461575835018,-0.29620925794139136,0.14633095297893559,0.09371309416846302,-0.2992822298150078,-0.27734330567611293,-0.08535935893339952,-0.24672703588426612,0.136508171329394,0.10084203753070657,0.01906578804550251,-0.18982191583374175,0.1816499953933438,-0.23805795594812904,-0.2873329383359221,-0.03188008595270302,-0.07791966238330703,-0.14973663754194483,-0.23260153572747724,-0.16220715283536472,-0.2245012364320811,-0.1823295313079326,-0.010573948401176609,0.1164220949418126,0.22642639337821116,0.2264230649038905,-0.3016547362536722,0.19627136990381738,0.22751290165277813,0.2295169976254861,0.2033575799590494,-0.314757496696265,0.14523138529388205,-0.03927993302455445,0.11325876737567353,-0.27782512995118847,0.09807763430807404,0.14898301728688582,0.14312549127770666,0.2101900187907816,-0.16540239694532824,-0.3230458347868108,0.1310855600625932,0.20605167754757397,0.12718448216646505,0.22795091953092395,0.13583266674964248,-0.20754395397037867,0.18206823181240245,-0.0576733966498971,0.22422538176087453,0.1314734725121117,0.14707092674513453,-0.028783174906850426,0.0605096108442941,0.1721779497304599,0.07494001929393403,-0.3050703978973039,0.22608326825506092,0.22684796192671217,-0.29870533531352306,0.21285221153414632,0.1566014988482816,-0.2234128798290627,-0.3208472140640866,-0.061836517402709526,-0.09989246130944236,0.23122713249210178,0.22432488222223582,-0.09021725648762265,-0.30926665077766313,-0.24112950072441292,0.18473169635765693,0.21004408555913076,0.15740353836811477,0.10603147702346497,-0.03451434726798922,-0.04945609086784259,-0.23659674475747294,0.05916944818529322,0.030833413090626254,0.20290089561031185,-0.07065416948913263;0.3013584959285374,0.2894284595294692,0.2527903791597778,-0.1717369846147019,0.030807427491750427,-0.2706243032864048,-0.0613703421704704,0.1829231736478053,0.1785000527847746,-0.28490022392856523,0.10885514495092362,0.21640869601880625,-0.3257444250352218,0.23555187888713208,-0.27884287692467624,0.13871659068122313,-0.4514182245724666,0.15864238749665116,-0.41446825219365097,0.21659542518488953,0.14590111960501392,-0.44741284190105696,-0.3841459646039818,-0.09086089152428152,-0.3547703984576627,0.19548008447862825,0.16878883869127762,0.04154776982074781,-0.2475012744479179,0.24856600371081533,-0.3222853408781088,-0.40036797823905645,-0.02798101717126312,-0.08056134404976202,-0.18646306587703385,-0.3318573134327245,-0.20548840970657892,-0.30185552679004896,-0.23665625342222096,0.003991829383975193,0.17084968086667304,0.3016108177325435,0.3006260991114186,-0.4239676474005011,0.2773072950586883,0.30294957208225765,0.3062993561445237,0.27286228294607884,-0.4452860497125986,0.21551348746297988,-0.0240710460548917,0.16564388590076748,-0.38558452433106427,0.16461521397782705,0.21016470925259073,0.2033606783770718,0.288406798444495,-0.21113706004121516,-0.4601614767846802,0.18907394756465015,0.2763814651284998,0.20145106660616574,0.3059340123010358,0.20195927664709679,-0.29026882569028656,0.2498265408523795,-0.051017825268067224,0.2984991870703018,0.20086401584607094,0.20859771156290907,-0.022533787600413788,0.10201810344557927,0.2528280731806893,0.12181140363390412,-0.429243503724648,0.3012087926060574,0.30221291241296383,-0.41820653681018677,0.2852721257876491,0.21958409674689897,-0.2991580098179912,-0.4560707341995802,-0.3040940747246404,-0.327972063341751,0.3094008738701011,0.3037450055201359,-0.0984098217645333,-0.43657416939329174,-0.32697140264248153,0.25344193355427036,0.2818959019660388,0.23683690465249255,0.16265543121553402,-0.03087281105997356,-0.29792947677253623,-0.31967208429793326,0.10020912063531973,0.058101092939708346,0.2864243659402421,-0.06878081183568255;0.07535400487073812,0.04854562125213234,0.050018446730521714,-0.10572115889026161,-0.0691900102607479,-0.08043849158713587,-0.11388679243581293,1.8734622628075E-4,-0.04406784900902841,-0.07304232531832279,-0.04781519216470226,-0.02846566446296002,-0.017194541469706847,0.036083218082468414,-0.07750650174343929,-0.06747303385960994,0.015622695202204549,-0.02948664662401308,-0.010047056968379936,-0.005720284052673351,-0.034412187832130035,0.06635669878818155,-0.028788802534680896,-0.11527989899104293,-9.378134833418912E-4,0.007716791865452676,-0.05896923544748966,-0.05841619699773469,-0.08662952755691862,0.04716009423761097,-0.059113240171540814,-0.019938765415107234,-0.075353528090935,-0.11295526304066023,-0.10296403282404742,-0.01508286002301566,-0.0985277818039875,-0.06648909046631901,-0.0887492433257735,-0.0725364118228315,-0.007498954752537279,0.08878302440648869,0.09152943128669008,-0.003330518409607447,0.036198436771112195,0.08991314176495784,0.088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k{238}=[0.7785195223487642;1.089252105680052;0.10824063328712262];
x_a{238}=[2.4203438622733993,2.23026076610832,20.543753402751104];
L_a{238}=[-0.140179086893398,-0.13046244427024897,-0.11655189060327853,0.0882729564462991,-0.005458957807774941,0.1292617195405035,0.04123601472049044,-0.07996368072902162,-0.07014890712268769,0.1348143752095486,-0.04150294210083869,-0.08820580672279171,0.14430571486565183,-0.10679358933298488,0.13249649863225843,-0.05014986947770434,0.20061163411212166,-0.06486208652141143,0.18677706007449887,-0.09227012479371298,-0.05909152313778623,0.1887147464798283,0.17488098658880188,0.053824010168442495,0.15557565865303483,-0.08607629313900457,-0.06358673402988099,-0.012022081497017422,0.11969369095192255,-0.1145408227207677,0.15010930262056113,0.18118002745062597,0.02010223708249653,0.04913285142772685,0.09441760578279756,0.1466687142526376,0.10228098655727667,0.141561007293603,0.11496930939678852,0.006667485714244375,-0.07341086086258825,-0.14277493003551586,-0.14277283124004767,0.19021074893667644,-0.1237604445661281,-0.14346003631031837,-0.14472373467171012,-0.12822870963787167,0.19847279682584845,-0.09157678380567455,0.024768268423605938,-0.0714161999699398,0.17518480464701044,-0.061843617996397836,-0.09394240464752329,-0.09024889589324628,-0.13253695728346793,0.10429577267580308,0.20369907311516686,-0.0826570232708754,-0.12992749390489805,-0.08019716814810068,-0.14373623190295048,-0.08565034845263754,0.1308684604533679,-0.11480454495993997,0.036366410508714045,-0.14138706497710082,-0.08290162449431762,-0.09273672102889967,0.018149455645222787,-0.03815480751106519,-0.10856815038061106,-0.047254014215911924,0.1923645210518378,-0.14255856981036605,-0.143040753374922,0.1883509811481523,-0.13421562370130025,-0.09874629767287504,0.14087473554086594,0.20231271565401493,0.03899149880051669,0.0629879713303052,-0.1458020735627265,-0.14144980576980357,0.05688719539643567,0.19501050106532444,0.15204608915852572,-0.11648401332238312,-0.13244493794496257,-0.09925202995355767,-0.06685897561553619,0.021763291120296017,0.031184924196058093,0.1491879244967459,-0.03730975748390058,-0.019442249338031174,-0.12794074375648096,0.04455153816224283;-0.2058113453687281,-0.18258643671616617,-0.168895944885931,0.1476357713639113,0.011056843960534326,0.19704635457016556,0.08782211945133354,-0.10638650986956587,-0.07529964645028728,0.20286001759457256,-0.04130306356030157,-0.10272111134764758,0.1963556123430922,-0.1508287785554736,0.20053125564381513,-0.04272631858403735,0.2743973937900867,-0.07602952295950874,0.26129368930045366,-0.11723914019285295,-0.067892814112043,0.23535967533907212,0.2485758213611479,0.10387510868857942,0.20810444869254566,-0.11594511380336918,-0.06126882911954749,-0.0019482844055285185,0.18555212595363355,-0.1658442494072328,0.22081215586338723,0.25514382316286743,0.04474914976585595,0.0972019800902524,0.15514111490169322,0.19879208783889635,0.16456558957100392,0.21031412129430505,0.1793042703124475,0.02811488330368526,-0.09475181132658196,-0.21495081932824933,-0.21592794447884986,0.26421742705793183,-0.17045967518285024,-0.21609078879079385,-0.21731308257265,-0.19107093104502584,0.27279122628320335,-0.11581256079811343,0.06554088568183798,-0.09274089607710673,0.248236479497298,-0.059135836336362185,-0.12972018736112634,-0.12316105337196606,-0.19111371407387134,0.16620646279246068,0.276824537846614,-0.10998028586942835,-0.193697973425769,-0.08870337756633317,-0.21410562797942587,-0.10792484797139165,0.18321504262329733,-0.16553786291075945,0.08055634214166775,-0.21304113534921573,-0.09907518813834819,-0.12692500533439266,0.04313118955997671,-0.03602650862148681,-0.13997297024703326,-0.049154261941932155,0.26673394751440616,-0.21457005021998804,-0.21531047710211712,0.2632498725166716,-0.20032182464211265,-0.13768135011344326,0.21052869773909869,0.27589942029782416,-0.16302230220240224,-0.10008072711467748,-0.2181130096084971,-0.20802231393997506,0.10740882422934103,0.26897647349122,0.2231334141126863,-0.16799880956676255,-0.19729168333514877,-0.12225828847183946,-0.07924125111922763,0.04786707195824383,-0.18510199725407087,0.2200918538708389,-0.03477808894993906,-0.012241229369251837,-0.17646698357877424,0.09240725865358207;0.024955768760033387,0.0016407853338345749,0.00811483734091239,-0.07398460388934551,-0.07115265569247219,-0.03396534922438017,-0.09906131131587809,-0.028561795681933802,-0.06928830993816582,-0.024572850566394286,-0.06273664101732374,-0.06017807729192254,0.03468733086303192,-0.0023120136856368857,-0.029870367353519063,-0.0855032908606446,0.08774809369496042,-0.05280635018025728,0.05710443176157826,-0.03889393098086393,-0.055657215184206445,0.13420483905959654,0.03408572068202386,-0.09592868738729633,0.054995913520006705,-0.023230002276906133,-0.08183041471586074,-0.06273846585578181,-0.043596354554842204,0.005979519048206694,-0.0051448184651175085,0.045200436190226144,-0.06812622112746862,-0.09529065199258137,-0.06901830743301568,0.03764857556251615,-0.061754954812544026,-0.015594015974375056,-0.04741461539464459,-0.07013926737897598,-0.03389217774204339,0.03745151131073499,0.040198672765615576,0.0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x_a{238}=[2.4203438622733984,2.230260766108322,20.543753402751108];
std_x_a{238}=[1.17386241589684,1.6887445124232343,0.9722662685526391];
pred_a{238}=[2.4203438622733984];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.7 to 23.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{239}=[3.0053661440882986,4.3168505129134225,16.765429274519754];
std_x_f{239}=[1.8280145722761347,2.713959182128252,1.301910357016516];
pred_f{239}=[3.0053661440882986];
obs{239}=[3.1234042241758466];
sqrt_r{239}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{239}=[4.392765765159065];
L_f{239}=[-0.22611609563488863,-0.20325462947528516,-0.18586655973778704,0.16461142625658004,0.013328730546772043,0.21696032388557895,0.09798635102165401,-0.11773097014603852,-0.0876417685491801,0.22287848488039352,-0.046266547860936896,-0.1185608741599667,0.21620246120942532,-0.16661325544078182,0.22071140849922477,-0.050592690692315215,0.28943494507291406,-0.08558767367896848,0.2782956489485165,-0.13227462992649291,-0.07624516708542524,0.2509557014329183,0.2672213585287601,0.11659246523718997,0.22653511386532438,-0.12799775788429746,-0.07285817537914899,-4.935482028115753E-4,0.20521032077401322,-0.18223141901209947,0.2402527003320837,0.2731777131116958,0.052100385629951014,0.10896506815012902,0.1729955354393323,0.21786100283394672,0.1830447313513186,0.23023373472849776,0.19909194692886742,0.03178337019875501,-0.1050157847352171,-0.23483549471372378,-0.23544856316114332,0.28092954260444974,-0.19043984489560245,-0.23581676318849,-0.23742648696137125,-0.20763940986348206,0.2881551453487877,-0.13029902506157257,0.07288230366440343,-0.10251934985196678,0.2671957337116734,-0.06997115210456847,-0.1433365672621476,-0.1365647027298661,-0.21131623721745912,0.18439898075940023,0.29129256576447754,-0.12174924048362491,-0.2114911232221145,-0.10320974521044049,-0.23429655633442945,-0.12197468656956734,0.20229097758363465,-0.18193028628389188,0.09000388483722113,-0.23190481516083333,-0.11282607257293778,-0.14066445909375278,0.05011416651981168,-0.0402148202109841,-0.1587180285565426,-0.05510667799480264,0.2831243544998485,-0.2340656982911422,-0.23487305477164996,0.2796624492831132,-0.21876037757612796,-0.1518695537357435,0.23033003671050833,0.29081176909111506,-0.12346528225361551,-0.06678628825263713,-0.23858541500705516,-0.2288499136872495,0.12027416959823282,0.2849920157650754,0.2428988446083841,-0.18478551094209883,-0.21624256754357765,-0.13988627775051773,-0.08898766668145001,0.055964602365213646,-0.14366937096150034,0.23967782219549086,-0.03890469463417641,-0.012267990375847387,-0.19757897537163335,0.10319600036829271;-0.3426836609742561,-0.3044358696922473,-0.2785973141553464,0.2662199367638805,0.03886072463701748,0.3315684047115894,0.1731207016049647,-0.16888056791035297,-0.11634039400145081,0.3379730075166656,-0.05342040201622695,-0.16462356271338302,0.31213490285607165,-0.24747758006368106,0.3360482021993357,-0.055740593173139154,0.3984206062224661,-0.11526266583073193,0.3927676727193741,-0.18928880124650882,-0.10022946177766416,0.33326329618138584,0.38371858711555235,0.19992286694669195,0.32208292089722534,-0.18532288509129197,-0.0902309865458422,0.01631965714563667,0.31754661189438677,-0.27259390504355574,0.3579108449272436,0.3889247909253406,0.09775397950963322,0.18903933515768764,0.2769186861873221,0.3140137348103203,0.28988667024438824,0.34587582177364296,0.3093238919221524,0.06762662314513167,-0.14830619178989285,-0.3572130806439899,-0.3588598513688949,0.3939344938171224,-0.2833282620056144,-0.3594555949406109,-0.3617795792623701,-0.3156412084341926,0.3989965214652521,-0.18644646984576252,0.13591204913878405,-0.14448901776954567,0.38346522240840564,-0.08624013413843197,-0.2101167064803673,-0.1981815081334807,-0.3184329013800639,0.29118113158282605,0.3988985654708699,-0.17515140131353055,-0.3203330679280262,-0.1396249682153309,-0.3562697678469094,-0.1727120625485998,0.29845255852394215,-0.2725590275947422,0.1611125200596761,-0.3530103496587576,-0.15709348005554413,-0.20574965205144324,0.09469189757201268,-0.04358865120075386,-0.23110417466530006,-0.06736943462962253,0.39551096093137467,-0.35649617149632806,-0.35806452804246913,0.3939003265445944,-0.33248124602584056,-0.22361700384860142,0.3467375290990141,0.39891222394359654,-0.26603162325442264,-0.17705857469209638,-0.3632711189921312,-0.3468446242452834,0.20462511090552007,0.39649671455635954,0.3603601789001331,-0.27719454791470843,-0.3274800556966258,-0.20003776056201095,-0.12064507459159365,0.10340623681822618,-0.29773200588905646,0.35723523242932487,-0.04119010557349293,-0.001506049126886281,-0.2941896039629276,0.18095333586979392;-0.08070680207452141,-0.0954343084291538,-0.08731838251034497,0.020477799686380464,-0.07619413437903955,0.09474044656052072,-0.04760995345988376,-0.09854752655795615,-0.11933518529547543,0.10655176813006104,-0.09870629450777856,-0.1225108297816361,0.14634883936605828,-0.09109475284382905,0.10115916051831841,-0.11760037075539381,0.2573204952524776,-0.10651506286523982,0.22298852576029163,-0.1104415438217791,-0.10463394223647973,0.2544318402100406,0.19405744706320638,-0.03227019568012084,0.17194719378749224,-0.09691900563014741,-0.12355397841784199,-0.07741682857464666,0.0769816844862076,-0.08794053951264261,0.13804246608887588,0.20811050562210937,-0.05272033257240741,-0.03696518241271409,0.030584031055166064,0.15071064731536524,0.044254093090685065,0.12063618959467189,0.06877517239678733,-0.06517445934292918,-0.09846882904975249,-0.07221947416924439,-0.06999016116099357,0.23166956326739127,-0.1005985039014751,-0.071551789677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k{239}=[0.7723529881944916;1.143673830972628;0.41946144527044377];
x_a{239}=[3.096533207964657,4.451847576167802,16.814941698190225];
L_a{239}=[0.14617778764474598,0.1313984835171789,0.12015757844802273,-0.10641672386775639,-0.008616654811633196,-0.14025883501673242,-0.06334545964766272,0.0761098085693384,0.056657973842244636,-0.1440847620420437,0.029910040633250687,0.0766463185085044,-0.1397688978053735,0.10771085094246857,-0.14268380723532392,0.032706772048369366,-0.18711166853930558,0.0553300584503887,-0.17991042238824256,0.08551188145139231,0.04929038692207019,-0.16223590421238135,-0.17275120062320165,-0.07537379670635753,-0.14644867131508346,0.0827470022356409,0.04710079067504311,3.190652314266177E-4,-0.13266278372792484,0.11780756073890616,-0.15531671069948108,-0.17660181874446562,-0.03368145503061333,-0.07044289592928563,-0.11183681803781348,-0.1408410989890555,-0.11833334462031198,-0.14883972717334673,-0.12870742464499108,-0.020547067764029994,0.06788979367996109,0.15181463743802176,0.15221096919435675,-0.18161316162241695,0.12311408052612996,0.15244900030513242,0.153489642101013,0.13423312248728442,-0.1862843134950932,0.08423470767212893,-0.04711638894259781,0.06627591773182012,-0.17273463488930288,0.04523441015944055,0.09266311729000254,0.08828529459330586,0.1366100894459916,-0.11920882932137535,-0.1883125688211429,0.07870750895177982,0.13672314839997224,0.06672223919256587,0.1514662287157638,0.07885325359673172,-0.13077550928270193,0.11761288677784561,-0.058185016542040155,0.14992003434869094,0.07293892825740471,0.09093567343286935,-0.032397419436054495,0.02599776646800474,0.1026068056260532,0.03562493970680763,-0.1830320466702282,0.1513169853904139,0.15183891897426538,-0.1807940209153732,0.1414225198282334,0.09817945650154998,-0.14890198373512134,-0.18800174710001913,0.07981688238554117,0.04317548396704441,0.15423885695580578,0.14794512523119843,-0.07775391651493709,-0.18423943790460312,-0.1570273696201222,0.11945871036945438,0.13979482543861213,0.09043260076649803,0.05752805967500245,-0.03617956402968514,0.09287826565595485,-0.15494506792041857,0.0251508066006994,0.007930915695997432,0.12772933047445062,-0.06671335353313934;0.20859636026763365,0.19110698912120028,0.17455274007986585,-0.13510925790749345,0.006364750220333016,-0.19738948138873436,-0.06577391366318419,0.11815221293040319,0.09733371836905291,-0.20541359012572513,0.059379279120805664,0.12443255707253965,-0.21497528394166412,0.15873215366038979,-0.20205497716144588,0.06760639599732346,-0.3072332846247541,0.09340348166887845,-0.28572817178516874,0.13320199973293673,0.08565928361406046,-0.2785766704882241,-0.2677776975358963,-0.08433419371115641,-0.23021868343155977,0.1267407319955157,0.08740013855335352,0.017522947265103356,-0.182764299974631,0.17169353173469282,-0.2278347799943671,-0.27709332275285303,-0.0292688297961118,-0.0766218284837676,-0.14485129964217072,-0.21714004233612322,-0.1563836543171563,-0.21544316710837755,-0.1760701815243397,-0.009862495659575797,0.10772646204225471,0.2153251818385344,0.21517309633613516,-0.29098288802431277,0.1809716430700116,0.2154750390539642,0.2170756252198386,0.19059191910496942,-0.30353716682796267,0.13122772801287963,-0.04177790167810429,0.10545722867261476,-0.2679685879213091,0.08435231356069708,0.13934353704253646,0.13476866071861582,0.19676447727139446,-0.15839090681893744,-0.311284278396829,0.12167808219379388,0.1952906897482901,0.11200448952948387,0.21495454146323573,0.12466706746972694,-0.19474087870672446,0.17099423563280544,-0.058320525631301204,0.2123827996833937,0.11798096570651684,0.13719588563551713,-0.027488430661545875,0.054456677584453564,0.1558566823601349,0.06698283485498022,-0.29475745947686416,0.21416529673587476,0.21456530735295729,-0.2879278314574654,0.20086524246024495,0.1466469995800823,-0.21481624783973172,-0.3100984185398531,0.03498163823985195,-0.014230951549199794,0.21840959809168353,0.21110055398043515,-0.08860809120153945,-0.29832513818970585,-0.2318368508573516,0.17331986642332098,0.19972791193657585,0.14101054010507202,0.09631039087703398,-0.033037686353462214,0.05253962626999594,-0.22710881676428396,0.05366108502449644,0.028403798626335387,0.187515784740144,-0.07064261140399528;0.12148433686426781,0.08631429691802141,0.07888195496894403,-0.12671637357096577,-0.08811257478149356,-0.09926367715204734,-0.1352285365505573,0.006726531334113965,-0.04096664212824452,-0.09274432610147824,-0.057335130811966686,-0.01649467859755643,-0.04697760982174655,0.057889439481280426,-0.09619915197129951,-0.07236080598962578,-0.0014898341434140495,-0.029983274309087486,-0.025861137350236832,0.00783733412563377,-0.03645614565682829,0.030029331607395727,-0.04488967732435992,-0.1365262119172564,-0.030618627780634053,0.017535528778699717,-0.05840480175463375,-0.07697550186162563,-0.106515683813876,0.07500928525340587,-0.07678950762298785,-0.036162741674423404,-0.09930806565744893,-0.1344008433812825,-0.1241071431559956,-0.044098856049090626,-0.11942298882933988,-0.08523690809958812,-0.10925119671268202,-0.09359488559235496,-0.004564584583892899,0.13776847916995916,0.14054599290351952,-0.019535305723733604,0.0696912272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x_a{239}=[3.0965332079646575,4.451847576167802,16.814941698190236];
std_x_a{239}=[1.1817607464315882,1.7633288838364274,1.0508289304937808];
pred_a{239}=[3.0965332079646575];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.8 to 23.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 23.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{240}=[5.340110565196007,8.57456586999354,15.585035388223162];
std_x_f{240}=[1.965165922507589,2.9557548996181366,2.1735337792724394];
pred_f{240}=[5.340110565196007];
obs{240}=[5.621477445862558];
sqrt_r{240}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{240}=[4.911267068759839];
L_f{240}=[0.22223853350563583,0.2083450845282816,0.19179605360790888,-0.1510048865701314,0.016636271436675464,-0.22330642666295927,-0.06816833577522384,0.13771959657576227,0.11828998115974558,-0.23261255510318996,0.07664748143578827,0.1462804216131859,-0.23960124637575833,0.17701006993326374,-0.22890587008336885,0.08621863322960409,-0.3447357831931448,0.11354535424434149,-0.3222654395580851,0.15399889525243254,0.10440297404426957,-0.30729778196637764,-0.3025226071516651,-0.08979488862817898,-0.2563801600713408,0.14615970219172286,0.10791834092604467,0.02936193629070255,-0.20675484054347007,0.1889216266582031,-0.25867719715802007,-0.31289441298560605,-0.024331938945330926,-0.08136674030439636,-0.1625529900342585,-0.24303099306587883,-0.17613971071271614,-0.2440881299406343,-0.19874513530201948,-0.001377004134993003,0.1276046503254328,0.22772424913114178,0.2267627721270927,-0.32759891120060664,0.19958863095944082,0.22678294416210473,0.2289481140500198,0.2061361299788913,-0.3405945041680972,0.1523235080219829,-0.0397378916494174,0.12577905220318933,-0.3032455473423477,0.10488629637828033,0.15945629700950156,0.15422870308393122,0.21214846026704196,-0.17851074990859253,-0.34854382625852404,0.14132352900494233,0.2100428148171811,0.13355447844733584,0.22721956038107716,0.14521073306943882,-0.21770690970698967,0.1886614171041072,-0.058874587343627945,0.22475431367193582,0.13946584967183326,0.15678985089824993,-0.02307007699771771,0.07083698188419828,0.1767545897642801,0.08429180553754395,-0.3311136702632911,0.22610409278457083,0.2267462981556592,-0.3244194585379512,0.21519491380457922,0.16593702416894762,-0.24392973690252714,-0.3473123086206415,0.026680191993750917,-0.017945404123178372,0.23004029856438965,0.22412060149469085,-0.09485581654117993,-0.3353160350914883,-0.2627551845213938,0.19102071828030165,0.2144538825447805,0.1624560694771096,0.11606095851252608,-0.02867245969526128,0.04084700415236895,-0.25801191838642235,0.07004730761220605,0.04193529124276269,0.20471984265675455,-0.0743611125031401;0.3029781451070837,0.29520413637523696,0.2750496629905153,-0.20187008791761327,0.06110225218155409,-0.32820243208400546,-0.06403190770618943,0.21910665470411353,0.20342945250387998,-0.3440806873960514,0.14536245100110412,0.23746418043082496,-0.36287665946192144,0.2607205079601988,-0.33675599402090933,0.16438902177485637,-0.5453988036568886,0.19365986134224994,-0.5043379497977407,0.2425501303492884,0.18297957681691002,-0.48751341078842186,-0.4684893883631186,-0.09923657891299859,-0.3940328095612349,0.2285178015483053,0.19303244807754735,0.0795334269526038,-0.2985557338050005,0.27214097380978414,-0.38984492425928485,-0.48743200734400155,-0.0013646591676379648,-0.08544090342836472,-0.22128897948791143,-0.3682725335043336,-0.2446139069768695,-0.36495375339772623,-0.2844793571930901,0.033322018883466545,0.20750458612842962,0.30470695857617724,0.30319643266523844,-0.5148148996208407,0.2881835167433953,0.30393441133242793,0.3061643002939786,0.286528171831379,-0.5387563063540876,0.24065401620116214,-0.01887532060538045,0.20540148261021476,-0.46951719082483645,0.18862880032453527,0.24287424556494805,0.23790254574477962,0.29589802921969866,-0.2490629638689875,-0.5527928646809368,0.22393433523780704,0.29081712783761837,0.2233589404346915,0.30588643426214135,0.23174099863793968,-0.3240898007236917,0.2716497192416814,-0.049815032874560544,0.30229810505313687,0.22775416221943554,0.24033551318993865,0.0015503438813313768,0.1383568299466039,0.2685371469445919,0.15733329373477492,-0.5221284655770537,0.3036982215228428,0.30387520762138376,-0.5089851757247752,0.29411414480144704,0.24948634172916825,-0.36369554532746257,-0.550330692238938,-0.037688999727787345,-0.08467249816626105,0.3068760363473513,0.3045072522655915,-0.10789044035095693,-0.5281387867662711,-0.3972736508946076,0.274268566686563,0.294563576466761,0.2541885891578939,0.19705415439009824,-0.007765136098718512,-0.024545095011293514,-0.3886816708308456,0.13705190381747395,0.09683087568502607,0.293346805273368,-0.07294082193292356;0.30400504316383953,0.2582986173459277,0.23200144835626585,-0.24705552317006346,-0.08729410335754945,-0.26729087898166465,-0.19545622844415084,0.1108096031989941,0.05173233686317079,-0.2672401186227979,-0.0048797152067045005,0.10297504922070057,-0.23555117167438291,0.1967949185596185,-0.2676468425661247,-0.0063105948330969925,-0.24298809737138968,0.05507922776085932,-0.25393310978609873,0.13123925065520423,0.04050157189708642,-0.20572317043668906,-0.26157812853740536,-0.2128921080059842,-0.23145364396481877,0.12925337158772288,0.0257035942418229,-0.0668480351400936,-0.26486020039939445,0.22499098022685002,-0.2675880966634615,-0.25887572545557835,-0.13233743091917605,-0.20488137016635413,-0.2525295176897512,-0.23455999871077285,-0.25697750760268046,-0.2671363099597399,-0.26255074009697066,-0.10831956609160855,0.09029327416330768,0.32309005970584775,0.3246945781642123,-0.2513710886596524,0.2336934032852663,0.32428538413625346,0.32710826488338657,0.2716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k{240}=[0.7963865564630125;1.1913244527258215;0.8141306637577924];
x_a{240}=[5.5641873663927806,8.909765115118791,15.81410479353968];
L_a{240}=[-0.13025018196420562,-0.12210747048719178,-0.11240836810963369,0.08850136672065938,-0.009750232543619368,0.13087605577585096,0.03995228909614259,-0.08071508676318327,-0.06932772335904823,0.13633021758839534,-0.04492177052570549,-0.08573243907063036,0.14042616933710791,-0.10374255739821857,0.1341577932536054,-0.050531257967359716,0.20204371304196603,-0.06654697913195408,0.1888742311294578,-0.09025610371212818,-0.06118878734648193,0.18010194446006123,0.1773032966346089,0.0526272397445392,0.15026000205521242,-0.08566168749409599,-0.06324908341125297,-0.017208525831945303,0.12117545584003918,-0.11072371591482197,0.15160625598246374,0.18338203363785652,0.01426053090424525,0.0476876469769052,0.09526951153253038,0.14243628488022536,0.10323245482931521,0.14305585461966694,0.11648110536570015,8.070384389201762E-4,-0.0747868907438814,-0.1334652655374957,-0.13290176040291624,0.19200008712293112,-0.11697546366231107,-0.1329135828856756,-0.13418255171585924,-0.12081284022001892,0.19961658063576984,-0.08927418807317779,0.023289694800290892,-0.07371693908489178,0.17772699944572926,-0.06147205425325639,-0.09345459301412866,-0.09039079012945356,-0.12433656358926382,0.10462208011992365,0.2042755415838896,-0.08282728957195268,-0.12310248100839767,-0.07827398266853178,-0.13316947614177577,-0.08510551301388243,0.1275942752001696,-0.1105712115707947,0.034505382993721814,-0.13172463744802088,-0.08173853566707497,-0.09189183481144504,0.013520975320892083,-0.04151633667965134,-0.10359282486545984,-0.049401977398658904,0.1940600269553883,-0.13251571976960988,-0.13289210529161288,0.19013666460423076,-0.1261220376083304,-0.09725283573316995,0.14296302318440726,0.20355377027854418,-0.015636801625753444,0.010517492693974737,-0.13482266227405654,-0.13135322964084634,0.0555933625459181,0.19652296070012845,0.15399629423437527,-0.1119539574099624,-0.12568773193276894,-0.0952127080610283,-0.06802133152490973,0.016804435458418945,-0.023939726561432607,0.1512163475372874,-0.041053522171307665,-0.024577552906473094,-0.11998277858078824,0.04358176902003871;-0.2243140632322469,-0.1991239082920294,-0.18001347598181883,0.15641026451989704,0.02163035607963584,0.20162350311318875,0.09770706592154645,-0.10765247686743207,-0.07723018111702978,0.2078253476782158,-0.03649448943312403,-0.10960671376794875,0.2056110295514048,-0.1592608031162759,0.20635540900243055,-0.04017682375383454,0.27253537520094767,-0.07574247695500153,0.26028217532434317,-0.12283392919506209,-0.06473117735615368,0.24159383949281837,0.2492880874027028,0.11381443602782873,0.2142652143949933,-0.11826666882770166,-0.06301900892942489,0.00986809941636624,0.1919992331276253,-0.17610218255146973,0.22390314357082378,0.2549540379456408,0.05636629152429456,0.10761314306708669,0.16439087420475018,0.20835271238426006,0.17330235431633076,0.21417969855402802,0.18707145641702255,0.03658915505368628,-0.09525541144309496,-0.23560088238485305,-0.23483016874324714,0.26245963783981724,-0.1853686090645188,-0.2341400510690202,-0.23704733248750892,-0.20255881718232624,0.26935210499160245,-0.12075495127147559,0.07540842178639039,-0.09302702640154778,0.2499755623216853,-0.06022870412994952,-0.13545826796210003,-0.1280267652330337,-0.20745405984167198,0.17447892172046506,0.2741764324604898,-0.11137563339746433,-0.20753902095307614,-0.0935178619957807,-0.23322396158733275,-0.11279190889591818,0.1924504921738881,-0.17597605331917587,0.0898732141894939,-0.2309631459119674,-0.10314820066677913,-0.13167048154560512,0.05628734945276374,-0.0297138822769577,-0.15083800146348617,-0.04266088182827521,0.26348533258115,-0.23276557041409324,-0.2341123069706067,0.260745662678134,-0.21646608416920085,-0.1442226093654105,0.21506209684220057,0.2737166559288125,-0.10099151137321029,-0.04209450046086995,-0.23892695795642427,-0.22725042734255674,0.11716833856040029,0.2674457135719454,0.22615001606988186,-0.1789549800663272,-0.21425845151477757,-0.13126130686808268,-0.07831680918988485,0.060264311147662654,-0.12146036296144949,0.22348792945313797,-0.02914519502239877,-0.002666506600339519,-0.19237984267818034,0.10349138632476719;-0.05633739301077421,-0.07951667570730317,-0.07898088272538759,-0.0022128856552128483,-0.11426851901711714,0.09478306259758838,-0.08492659258066422,-0.11249197351806375,-0.14006563495466867,0.10992298387112413,-0.129157623954334,-0.1342072371149333,0.15294354824476714,-0.09021309405208063,0.10350615947804627,-0.1461073791779377,0.31597406815797885,-0.12902570183578038,0.26859514736827195,-0.11845793825309757,-0.12877970177561396,0.2925361981710138,0.22893866681465827,-0.0672967046621009,0.18424677490336797,-0.10773317762826082,-0.1492775724523289,-0.11445612311160286,0.07037663615234814,-0.08133069190730048,0.15183678855509586,0.2484581435280368,-0.0928850910476562,-0.07295155150540712,0.011037468252976917,0.15949578777178866,0.028619285465171028,0.12863354145481407,0.05969898457000206,-0.10608686136305046,-0.11660770668891757,-0.046147036190797894,-0.04298355781445777,0.27980497648111197,-0.08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x_a{240}=[5.564187366392781,8.909765115118793,15.814104793539668];
std_x_a{240}=[1.1517499461450418,1.7412410318681886,1.4594593284361836];
pred_a{240}=[5.564187366392781];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 23.9 to 24.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{241}=[10.00291845987377,15.170431046896201,20.798699723258597];
std_x_f{241}=[1.4689048217724954,1.368051070624894,3.486841055115554];
pred_f{241}=[10.00291845987377];
obs{241}=[10.558038541264642];
sqrt_r{241}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{241}=[3.199204670849362];
L_f{241}=[-0.20377265621980536,-0.17730812498374135,-0.15818398531231356,0.15473801593771036,0.044979766147587336,0.1771977144829088,0.11409858226271416,-0.08272272605945427,-0.04934292415083221,0.1792958025454664,-0.010279453760230392,-0.08299578195921516,0.1688336949688111,-0.13668626643899429,0.17917370906058813,-0.012328504375284455,0.1887854076645575,-0.04964063663277657,0.18948597647889495,-0.09753168560957533,-0.0389977374253303,0.16973916305249853,0.18894838167582825,0.1269273969298677,0.170115319694713,-0.09368702622765716,-0.035346082196482824,0.03298578075054949,0.17378090753686337,-0.1546003272900079,0.18441038680470392,0.18996574805926678,0.07554123879257588,0.12170798355541404,0.1597186649253016,0.16979361109968283,0.16416671744191622,0.18147804253109376,0.1716017897385868,0.05860949474107713,-0.07032206973073254,-0.21520967904461175,-0.2149190275375504,0.1892730269369771,-0.16324945580854938,-0.21472334383783095,-0.21764782335776325,-0.18187659659133815,0.18857630054763322,-0.09596125789394856,0.09630230430933984,-0.06770241372238783,0.18970224723645795,-0.03231781866875144,-0.11158611698564253,-0.10421610634493736,-0.18664343323598293,0.1641867970516209,0.18757007843784776,-0.08674605335044018,-0.18716531055197266,-0.06657638131612809,-0.2134017609119744,-0.08745375169898813,0.1650429047120627,-0.15402411438563918,0.10775463978927034,-0.21116508511589827,-0.07679285639256452,-0.10717640603650928,0.07543446191411328,-0.004030227453836534,-0.12669841148878463,-0.017225341965850616,0.18876637401952445,-0.21309573519318292,-0.213831676141665,0.18909629175280185,-0.1960069576547563,-0.12051910711565922,0.18182587353516275,0.18835540845448392,-0.11393284939499318,-0.05985851253870478,-0.21924828160258936,-0.2067577062438188,0.12914461062568805,0.18969138319774367,0.18555846360245748,-0.15633216715546297,-0.19307758995062177,-0.105588445686263,-0.05169043374458643,0.07946095754891429,-0.13487390688007964,0.18464560189307294,-0.0037215695271624796,0.02199951868872983,-0.17035798875672364,0.11868114852354598;-0.21626580460269357,-0.17114956415688737,-0.144344803105779,0.18233178204203634,0.12453548661986774,0.14991373204153804,0.18442521717680793,-0.031805032184116136,0.021528856630264333,0.14357566679064565,0.06592662795380407,-0.023618881612812316,0.11321001517744432,-0.11111928714326737,0.14682450174260178,0.07073462255344987,0.03580387858546815,0.01710262573203302,0.06303484963548196,-0.04917395270980078,0.030980439250422123,0.03766281732251335,0.08538447059440339,0.18825070109710154,0.09676243680159298,-0.047810234816742445,0.043776092192877904,0.11132977005355595,0.15992830002615535,-0.13798681562059686,0.12398651308726452,0.07455911498669454,0.14852711306002922,0.1856748050578585,0.1792591713048371,0.11027318947239553,0.17427055373143968,0.13554127368568258,0.16393497273734017,0.1356387603946134,-0.013722326553830889,-0.23580497462303965,-0.23638923345534335,0.05664265014450718,-0.14707000029728334,-0.23579378124302244,-0.2398888604966916,-0.18310383838016192,0.04021840948258092,-0.04562498781462518,0.17578700389189467,-0.010610988150003647,0.08491361196041895,0.04677147835959667,-0.07212824962556835,-0.06203739962894303,-0.18759826443871308,0.1718836565726398,0.028949024639429968,-0.03735433911706996,-0.19031698384819512,1.3858261641723423E-4,-0.23229304104382173,-0.03450121836379995,0.12913875028694421,-0.1382664524717793,0.18112058809763534,-0.23004880931453597,-0.016862531716264843,-0.0663054417527674,0.14850366285623248,0.07352761403353271,-0.08990769086473344,0.05806888014225218,0.05197751939182763,-0.23200971093336004,-0.23426246498979655,0.0610339882188395,-0.2050138443492006,-0.08646643148833122,0.13635177576964255,0.032030873632227126,-0.2061155388555319,-0.1346082000815394,-0.2418926172857356,-0.2211995819015612,0.18870177454136625,0.047901429389579565,0.1223231515053254,-0.1415545033275373,-0.19981911204320174,-0.05814534478719019,0.013709374170879146,0.15183895697008218,-0.23419395070901017,0.12578340663138513,0.07453122532172864,0.10005418327402076,-0.1592279461504758,0.18682310661619744;-0.38400664356472713,-0.3660991216087937,-0.3385797478240491,0.2679711778774858,-0.03751617609880937,0.39655677568030506,0.11714051128107376,-0.25207607587759856,-0.22165009668619773,0.41386399368969895,-0.1478336344913878,-0.27059333896486176,0.42811811656541665,-0.3163078428847745,0.4085699050782719,-0.16424691240868072,0.611405309974798,-0.21261929216013292,0.5727117038134066,-0.28018478850558615,-0.19520754174462296,0.5492432147624087,0.537138468858576,0.15650085968430424,0.4573872956977635,-0.26489925269810427,-0.20472566634716,-0.058799137434218135,0.3684355549920102,-0.3346325069106045,0.4612102894412053,0.5552277771200774,0.03629209207711606,0.14190456981781163,0.28956168782492636,0.4356269314362891,0.3142621374108261,0.43436328516890454,0.35426219723013536,-0.006027414095541248,-0.2353148906345868,-0.39140665630063964,-0.3885906778042089,0.5822634754823682,-0.3535921370928186,-0.38877770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k{241}=[0.6874223118289875;0.5689490632127057;1.5490043927825574];
x_a{241}=[10.384520389566179,15.486266097174099,21.658583167854868];
L_a{241}=[0.1860798087014316,0.1619130976169572,0.1444494382739686,-0.14130267003767744,-0.04107433467986913,-0.16181227366317186,-0.10419181235802565,0.07554020900527525,0.04505865535193302,-0.1637281922783678,0.009386925727638346,0.07578955644243826,-0.15417447190885064,0.12481828908214881,-0.1636166997320602,0.01125806464069004,-0.1723938490841951,0.04533051852884748,-0.1730335900257543,0.08906335981105021,0.03561170401619774,-0.15500132145247172,-0.1725426726476855,-0.11590674714571894,-0.1553448177650953,0.08555251838815685,0.03227710888929052,-0.03012174393657936,-0.15869213578655703,0.14117693640049522,-0.16839869556473466,-0.1734717047637769,-0.06898226447236881,-0.11114051667952533,-0.145850867170762,-0.1550510419713684,-0.1499127112706532,-0.1657209562075388,-0.15670222295642838,-0.05352064291561807,0.0642162571059994,0.1965237959312897,0.19625838065018136,-0.1728391301273644,0.1490750921688933,0.19607968746295387,0.19875024493477306,0.16608490525086617,-0.1722028979868436,0.08762928669091558,-0.08794072127154906,0.061824056415586165,-0.173231082770569,0.029511778602139747,0.10189749541286025,0.09516739631325083,0.17043785459844513,-0.14993104743999974,-0.1712840425271686,0.07921420524470375,0.1709144191823619,0.06079579335696277,0.19487285283367353,0.07986045668863671,-0.15071282234855768,0.14065075399209315,-0.09839869161370973,0.1928303795598697,0.07012520861361793,0.09787066381991971,-0.06888475864657917,0.003680297285933272,0.11569764368766627,0.01572972741919189,-0.17237646806216608,0.1945933982283951,0.19526544006879476,-0.17267774022416463,0.1789883778381139,0.11005486610901605,-0.16603858629539414,-0.1720011851604055,0.10404046947967703,0.05466121298600349,0.20021174114116608,0.18880567755811212,-0.1179314481434985,-0.17322116201729823,-0.16944708897955113,0.14275840683349483,0.1763133566055624,0.09642058036082915,0.047202339123024156,-0.07256164813391405,0.12316329019133948,-0.16861348777218466,0.0033984390179243517,-0.020089379532387666,0.1555664167444403,-0.1083764908570752;0.10639784900778392,0.10960884810213938,0.10613150510154601,-0.06268800864588246,0.053312310984025044,-0.1306698507960327,0.0037559060551485145,0.09918220389612853,0.09966087140440734,-0.14033013195371044,0.08220362099558938,0.10780072461900812,-0.15412956748192314,0.10531647487579067,-0.13688796816831988,0.09025618319400569,-0.26312822798570373,0.09570605310358553,-0.23700657207852144,0.10526251882359308,0.09273137617017231,-0.2311105280679787,-0.21380569704784472,-0.012732386606683745,-0.17260653353072564,0.10053841381601951,0.09974481848769147,0.05909846124298767,-0.11524494251677123,0.10681495208547269,-0.1680179701145594,-0.22624200066217223,0.02891139739314457,-0.007043606607705194,-0.07364722413908979,-0.15858637163595765,-0.08567910700179061,-0.1518199912624309,-0.10778774742695567,0.042833601644457354,0.09762909993144431,0.10496862386197378,0.1039241331274338,-0.2430615767833826,0.11142722321777798,0.10420973013800795,0.10474541569996988,0.10488851668389469,-0.2583825865873371,0.10632479117691594,0.023297195219814326,0.09659234607139408,-0.21547026351602214,0.09794510313254956,0.10456270031207178,0.10298351270604215,0.10794213439362156,-0.08809779920292146,-0.26805866981529586,0.10000363142511334,0.10604978121323773,0.10555890170208637,0.10561781088369435,0.10397735657660158,-0.13219830849603964,0.10562291136013892,0.010496587739202281,0.10432038006761121,0.10473505686344038,0.1034029548207028,0.029057022954295825,0.07990927455295697,0.11071281002090799,0.08534433444754408,-0.24692444836895694,0.10541656480834279,0.10432913587296973,-0.2383903875194676,0.10535321992333586,0.10436945470566518,-0.15156026191066158,-0.2662203510250221,-0.025708657314043898,-0.03982528507358419,0.10527590327082449,0.10619074684200813,-0.015792158460312625,-0.25246524343322996,-0.17149925300675026,0.1059895448631782,0.1059094472222401,0.10904859720780946,0.09555855118090786,0.026016565694663395,-0.020627968020425637,-0.1665935277187204,0.08042414168782032,0.06521906255929338,0.1105252783188754,-0.0011024654781665866;0.4944681605093287,0.3982856748862489,0.3433598611634986,-0.39911267309346926,-0.23142635024492356,-0.3673520352488343,-0.3747445706420202,0.10454601422836476,-0.008930115360114238,-0.35908978693202426,-0.10351836032493618,0.08720590970836778,-0.2997329595320544,0.27295395188756666,-0.36385752400935967,-0.1110980716048308,-0.20245866513710958,0.0013841435758704026,-0.24417246087315914,0.14027951713934705,-0.027086212908949785,-0.1825113826031689,-0.2774280959200526,-0.39068992743150993,-0.27598893304221206,0.13899052101542547,-0.05234681823101696,-0.20100259995772596,-0.38074321870755967,0.3318577609464165,-0.33379273708232027,-0.2637247084731598,-0.28937022287174186,-0.38278504748177944,-0.3989940069385354,-0.2963623943686665,-0.39346934931379657,-0.3479982485801503,-0.3855222832585222,-0.25869607614610235,0.0678473077427595,0.5363737640008202,0.537936728327164,-0.23370265235575902,0.3501849857411581,0.5369060999272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x_a{241}=[10.384520389566173,15.486266097174093,21.658583167854854];
std_x_a{241}=[1.3413650943490547,1.2871541037812295,3.1946960287453026];
pred_a{241}=[10.384520389566173];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.0 to 24.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{242}=[13.65882208272497,13.52464993941107,33.85251610334532];
std_x_f{242}=[0.67483934167882,2.8318114757856945,2.488427499779821];
pred_f{242}=[13.65882208272497];
obs{242}=[14.375389352651757];
sqrt_r{242}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{242}=[1.4613443465657476];
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k{242}=[0.3156985878447719;0.7453056630254495;0.05577564928116417];
x_a{242}=[13.885041357936641,14.05871158362619,33.89248310807912];
L_a{242}=[-0.10497817010211008,-0.06459186662492604,-0.04569049252911883,0.09458540664815054,0.12987313299112804,0.029972324523095346,0.13961537780562178,0.04165390800967672,0.08389017321476201,0.019325485115971715,0.10594306537736656,0.05360803737665648,-0.009580134927281894,-0.019090449508660273,0.02344269597084083,0.11386249523844952,-0.1265413540225589,0.07686754956275706,-0.09315535522888685,0.03232174960454006,0.08538894477772506,-0.10590058681152444,-0.06425590309808522,0.13200583898487875,-0.030712158713480587,0.02913458184417658,0.09892715170360032,0.12278050001875328,0.04648970722963612,-0.040458331293244165,-0.010931322810711363,-0.07799202430260353,0.13090217583580588,0.13331210053764792,0.08567718428360506,-0.013462807790950111,0.0741401831359884,0.007273932877922777,0.05447456163319919,0.13130201890289872,0.05401481368002227,-0.12268432183856762,-0.1233832361795341,-0.1012448544684915,-0.04516217063623294,-0.12400836625598212,-0.12599218132540033,-0.07814681248567433,-0.11984176536118034,0.03443084967469323,0.146471461009619,0.055837386151875716,-0.06555067288134381,0.10033065670858524,0.012129294024883054,0.018440444050983874,-0.07994838682286916,0.07039714704378931,-0.13450398077598644,0.03748114229110926,-0.08355524942425123,0.0699919392707148,-0.11912724476809483,0.04202154707709886,0.015333566552859728,-0.04034928103023262,0.1416616365361377,-0.11766898127355842,0.05669669059894705,0.016011648270841772,0.13035955355325365,0.1082896775757405,0.0025519657142571957,0.10094519048976452,-0.1053546425240624,-0.12057877991636973,-0.12078180374178726,-0.09555286196037335,-0.09557303654552401,0.0010693550700897766,0.00671399984940584,-0.13052086196473722,-0.17935129032580555,-0.12819825372791913,-0.12754315418131335,-0.10918029599651126,0.1292244394754405,-0.11189405599444244,-0.014071880700476562,-0.042121785510625044,-0.0914617865054851,0.02761055094411437,0.07466149012308317,0.1314086759698405,-0.20244488066293043,-0.009177878136373966,0.10895139384497275,0.11940263749334437,-0.054361232475101814,0.13746750791107226;-0.5029571776415575,-0.39808923098371357,-0.33725971234645535,0.41786231976604543,0.28302027015724285,0.35029856200732784,0.4201393174241738,-0.07564999923625729,0.048412343564669634,0.3363265250429387,0.1493525287579199,-0.05699736443201845,0.2690822789706837,-0.2601100897345513,0.343084079051881,0.15839686864265434,0.10235727443341074,0.03613072119352769,0.161250192509212,-0.11480394019339937,0.06744092044034872,0.10618440692076639,0.20992571148216746,0.4304802155686879,0.235314782669294,-0.11345157494042116,0.09529751559477659,0.25090603109491544,0.37167454179629245,-0.3239954556310192,0.29411346101380487,0.18831223418079882,0.33834107804284747,0.4238932342872343,0.4124573680045247,0.2629651894516035,0.4008010177831385,0.31857387911970536,0.38121830645707067,0.30923999628994364,-0.03545562519795894,-0.5501998215815617,-0.5513684092968661,0.14721577104932915,-0.3448356269959502,-0.5503690102402806,-0.5591695309271784,-0.4268590472350347,0.1134968634166717,-0.10847120584696682,0.40017482515960534,-0.026760235996472898,0.20933948725599263,0.1026575853624193,-0.17035104788248034,-0.14697158390241571,-0.4369593295821929,0.3952807858190149,0.08815502964382149,-0.08863600971170076,-0.4439366495419963,-0.00310767584197885,-0.5423647094913617,-0.08253694018024728,0.30475626556371144,-0.321854546754241,0.41251859710898753,-0.5355545880947565,-0.04174909640671314,-0.1568549558799509,0.33778244069443447,0.1640892855376638,-0.2102474934100627,0.12910643529823534,0.13919458388798683,-0.5431829850648547,-0.5453528873669609,0.15623989845197794,-0.4768254025658587,-0.20192133106565052,0.3186258620693967,0.09485833716097465,-0.4869226149775311,-0.31663425793751315,-0.5645249530295985,-0.5150859652405005,0.42977387504358994,0.13008814179636427,0.2905893279547349,-0.32911485415688047,-0.4655977171821016,-0.13476315254727309,0.02941721536992369,0.34581341959159423,-0.5595305599058702,0.2977832638824276,0.16597380718177088,0.22712288678895953,-0.3713843561830541,0.42586155955216265;0.2470320157689147,0.24094699955811544,0.22925530247603398,-0.18581939512112913,0.054201534425280015,-0.2915501414818534,-0.06481514242208736,0.18688790404681616,0.17010004644807764,-0.3050700370852122,0.12653521853902958,0.1971807017941709,-0.3080675177526949,0.21866658992654311,-0.30160352846721333,0.13751530013754046,-0.4471590020070668,0.16467479264341733,-0.42246568669259227,0.20094386403049716,0.15608245090882422,-0.38976357395286393,-0.3973271161632401,-0.09611345827187523,-0.32990062559818933,0.193638176087866,0.16220896136293655,0.07002718812946417,-0.2697470466389193,0.2284942599728347,-0.3425030295210851,-0.4121792775343211,6.442561585372946E-5,-0.08502719857262016,-0.20463757332890964,-0.31400624624179285,-0.22356158301214615,-0.3206758103873273,-0.25836866507382283,0.030840594147738088,0.17786803585847857,0.25106720697754986,0.24992876121544322,-0.4278916483838865,0.23699851588500756,0.2500653335646642,0.251701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x_a{242}=[13.885041357936641,14.058711583626186,33.89248310807913];
std_x_a{242}=[0.9194852819008338,3.18738200135809,2.4913986555187186];
pred_a{242}=[13.885041357936641];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.1 to 24.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{243}=[9.766270060138822,2.9604520271544237,35.364141441604055];
std_x_f{243}=[1.773778974760415,1.9118949112466623,2.2957253151987937];
pred_f{243}=[9.766270060138822];
obs{243}=[9.47365678591728];
sqrt_r{243}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{243}=[4.216677370562753];
L_f{243}=[-0.2653026936550848,-0.21697314958358666,-0.18835626720486112,0.1999535824002469,0.08327909124451502,0.21540602184594237,0.1602654212488506,-0.0744127905699077,-0.026180527865805887,0.21514389946246887,0.02016695866098344,-0.0706211249115877,0.1941946166707716,-0.15386724586372552,0.2163756059849929,0.0194341752960482,0.17521588084377443,-0.028507480783766737,0.19171409393001324,-0.09255869772407385,-0.015611545753834439,0.16030427167912986,0.20148828053189205,0.17355328017120608,0.18991066463435663,-0.09000334124913402,-0.008569928434919421,0.06934346426429895,0.21475859695548657,-0.1826439939378366,0.21359760062402605,0.19793703982854632,0.11666838451038897,0.16818938219933344,0.20488321252610164,0.19434468783420364,0.20816697370206122,0.21465832086656006,0.2139470801615348,0.09836387560053152,-0.057199687286532255,-0.28762475708166285,-0.28806433360542105,0.18726713603779355,-0.19349083842568812,-0.2880390675383199,-0.2923325697500184,-0.22899354996061508,0.17867585401830008,-0.09050402676414124,0.14144644684941232,-0.053384843792562316,0.2026326159929149,-0.004965185247847886,-0.11497074375729306,-0.10485839739227633,-0.23465025744533335,0.20758274536993374,0.17067187880842705,-0.0800269480997171,-0.23739791177369154,-0.047967590311276884,-0.28425596542834786,-0.07844026294578695,0.1970587882850473,-0.18113913408207316,0.15393263410837904,-0.2802847953802356,-0.06294833924622935,-0.10883853176914354,0.11617252383798869,0.026908293097615932,-0.13439374233488552,0.010952502093936748,0.18530222066673752,-0.2846624949231925,-0.28546365694965425,0.18881958583933306,-0.2527976374922832,-0.12865086031452422,0.21470906027032377,0.1730110429173103,-0.21989900281678865,-0.12829502669131307,-0.29530942643668573,-0.2710954268478731,0.17615727092370892,0.1836489138009823,0.21381072742573706,-0.18454924605526793,-0.24740064050793056,-0.10221158574121485,-0.03137281836346879,0.12092607970603426,-0.25967505251462175,0.21391208367540201,0.027395278788768955,0.057031584846153775,-0.204968578536284,0.1654419901098746;-0.15952729119409792,-0.14751153684144827,-0.13568862904397566,0.05358746898513571,-0.10414510485303877,0.18199339771501982,-0.057833321403347564,-0.12163769936107725,-0.13294128005358657,0.2007454199783987,-0.12206731731791161,-0.13432268645748563,0.23210274896194033,-0.12887284156197354,0.19493616309344894,-0.13502982700035537,0.40990985403596514,-0.1249659656124801,0.37194078536668357,-0.12752205876256748,-0.1249207674670158,0.3584234369517904,0.3334154955536741,-0.03345294308612543,0.26461533098706624,-0.12067331957819163,-0.13829258874690264,-0.10564546044810162,0.1522398839985352,-0.1351063010184169,0.2525893788781958,0.35360722857893834,-0.07772536232196285,-0.040571888773343084,0.0736795105565544,0.23935673193025375,0.09730204049334679,0.22233498186085301,0.1377415867797236,-0.09386232809653061,-0.12072989829963592,-0.16887861478459146,-0.16783010376370153,0.3805574946818559,-0.14220631184052193,-0.16715962769039078,-0.17034975696011567,-0.1453610400702941,0.40235121807367663,-0.12945947971428265,-0.08444885107160845,-0.12014748392095229,0.33565093117593053,-0.1373002319158543,-0.12554571331842498,-0.12305948064479309,-0.15018429570612288,0.10324476425040591,0.41690865279713807,-0.12243266675625349,-0.14972417501301416,-0.13533007405234368,-0.16758032422359762,-0.12639812524435465,0.1915434463666652,-0.13357249631141788,-0.06658851760429255,-0.16423393210747889,-0.1309646589208361,-0.12377933219495614,-0.07801658207746794,-0.12010099886009316,-0.134412618431917,-0.12301950789442029,0.3863598341121588,-0.16701993912306162,-0.1672519788101988,0.37298779777922136,-0.15406868324476883,-0.12586699961476822,0.22345016986671612,0.4136471070919796,-0.012609784313285171,0.04370277485228538,-0.1728357802804241,-0.16176823797785553,-0.02749806249770012,0.39420178799030053,0.25827007864327417,-0.13454937880535803,-0.152160256834165,-0.13230024341665597,-0.12418462201260964,-0.07469447627117863,-0.04016329496445429,0.2501225261942951,-0.12030342342173628,-0.11018646954344202,-0.14426122226338692,-0.050665756792705643;-0.3475121623934281,-0.2742612294239202,-0.2333656955881654,0.3235606166618618,0.22389300248910737,0.25636948692618955,0.3298205170588498,-0.04459589182247734,0.050166777586461764,0.2430537603607855,0.1236609422894239,-0.02696328602846756,0.17816293382080856,-0.17855022998960385,0.24988587859636513,0.13283634674578096,-0.010505004542855792,0.039645575209791506,0.05499936928184796,-0.07139137017676107,0.06307783234548967,0.004438762889019173,0.10867209286367932,0.3374034513534387,0.142766671675756,-0.07202763850627737,0.08577763180844349,0.1990342682188499,0.27802503987697114,-0.22323420501903987,0.19903994364047065,0.08451661902184086,0.26613066783525563,0.3323369518197209,0.31808554777459086,0.17165515312641894,0.3073976508774734,0.22441040933461234,0.2880192017900513,0.24361166340298737,-0.014341859177020848,-0.379840200142283,-0.38058259649381165,0.03983329684560379,-0.23642319144886198,-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k{243}=[0.7628464518103407;0.61442184742953;0.8973534319549018];
x_a{243}=[9.543051062146313,2.7806640386248196,35.10156391574579];
L_a{243}=[0.1781929081180495,0.14573194103372522,0.12651115807791377,-0.13430059772723063,-0.0559351405364226,-0.14467936578424223,-0.10764369215272648,0.04998001102118551,0.017584383830413493,-0.14450330895967517,-0.013545316718001804,0.04743330513984301,-0.13043253729803042,0.10334630088685798,-0.14533059557396724,-0.013053136269249638,-0.1176853009891011,0.01914730240388367,-0.1287664721905147,0.062167870562652175,0.010485633220559827,-0.10766978638892798,-0.1353313913441123,-0.11656860049578016,-0.12755518290298068,0.0604515427136036,0.005756068470858471,-0.046575153029919776,-0.1442445171122255,0.12267445905540228,-0.14346472362514434,-0.13294616901697257,-0.07836135560828177,-0.11296589083125227,-0.13761162753989578,-0.130533333926471,-0.13981719486922747,-0.14417716578738854,-0.1436994546573044,-0.06606696979039486,0.038418677475930293,0.19318572007324566,0.1934809655456146,-0.12577963346612797,0.1299598383953776,0.19346399536747044,0.19634776422248432,0.15380554959916065,-0.12000922267072843,0.060787832582140426,-0.09500376102411619,0.035856403995625966,-0.13609999440973838,0.0033349107258184236,0.07722112013397779,0.07042907297511257,0.15760492737097315,-0.13942479272633018,-0.11463328170494876,0.05375080973825433,0.1594504137794517,0.032217857629798785,0.19092304126935689,0.052685098576595014,-0.13235628357540707,0.12166370658125958,-0.10339021948154312,0.18825576967193977,0.04227981057014898,0.0731023655434746,-0.07802830638809063,-0.018073193805528315,0.09026674946111005,-0.007356345208559909,-0.12445988062325058,0.19119609041154248,0.19173419799500563,-0.12682235014959758,0.16979377619394656,0.08640949179784085,-0.14421124535811702,-0.11620440203314704,0.14769711631773283,0.08617049298764179,0.19834719642854248,0.18208364876358943,-0.11831759398886645,-0.12334942239773605,-0.14360787213250245,0.12395413854461444,0.16616883528401183,0.06865131844557684,0.021071831812284107,-0.08122107436326226,0.1744130530142509,-0.14367594895688335,-0.01840028206582027,-0.03830576998034454,0.13766896437805315,-0.11112058055785701;0.19767878392318883,0.1446231795491443,0.11791604418811578,-0.21563193995042224,-0.21627286696864803,-0.10803132295461552,-0.27361621192969665,-0.0214476089711223,-0.0976915678301539,-0.08892637661605657,-0.1492203026536279,-0.03923773084511565,-0.029362733631523,0.07829548465013633,-0.09639401490130668,-0.16119618582997186,0.1739975222305717,-0.08658322180404525,0.11381510223118407,-0.0029001460466426673,-0.10390123348335002,0.14258823783586236,0.062129754427733455,-0.2671267335011035,0.00891780224222849,5.080368268904503E-4,-0.1267539554292426,-0.1990101615886376,-0.13691313762852003,0.11080731304801085,-0.035000466223687514,0.0871029117799144,-0.23480878709642486,-0.26702367584012643,-0.20217719936067335,-0.022310807907858415,-0.1829759567659987,-0.0666830270844237,-0.15031880090206134,-0.2263003876296575,-0.043715694214238265,0.218382099263326,0.22002246030504322,0.12841923803271063,0.11831159701663385,0.22065891790481937,0.22324960093073629,0.1629580579444052,0.1617803454119654,-0.007603995560176563,-0.2748936951185067,-0.04826962147194751,0.06282444587955592,-0.13061505917908653,0.029251991767261322,0.018122864922643,0.16575104717539177,-0.1762466224147673,0.1871144086372536,-0.014683621164281315,0.16991063584181745,-0.07074605331789428,0.21514461663713513,-0.020785407665014896,-0.07377838418430478,0.11031496010363806,-0.2738448831721652,0.21314418755454534,-0.046210415051265365,0.02276190422885578,-0.2344323753169729,-0.15633058112736245,0.04653639704314072,-0.1377660610929165,0.136867158244583,0.21625235692382594,0.21709900942432805,0.11875930792217078,0.18630046507959674,0.04734974477742682,-0.0656361550953432,0.18070339008326067,0.28346432875437516,0.21644042146303327,0.22477164582331047,0.20323722831594077,-0.2646778908783257,0.14693514024307486,-0.029606722415567437,0.11392948486935796,0.18094232331616328,0.005318409719223042,-0.08194396037970646,-0.23751050243362085,0.3094656704889303,-0.03789074188503823,-0.15718868786463056,-0.1869743389010692,0.1317104252635029,-0.27341842896712454;0.17418168485929614,0.15239692318406778,0.13701993577680666,-0.0696300902895236,0.060132171762128664,-0.16720705016058512,0.014673003699672836,0.10173015734947949,0.10164842715906763,-0.18000733667221,0.0840044348251115,0.11190679419898727,-0.2037032858205738,0.12401584785500191,-0.17559725835476672,0.09462079175574993,-0.35505124988178544,0.09570296807177818,-0.3219891258479757,0.11061697073798156,0.09377653070272651,-0.3107851463414573,-0.2875364597101501,-0.003873439538434954,-0.2306755422062694,0.10495582410004203,0.10262962405284246,0.06267659255610017,-0.14427839448605903,0.13591875555704339,-0.2209804960252142,-0.30470873862273695,0.03671279977879782,0.0016076830822432083,-0.08479883273305913,-0.21050616793867669,-0.10194395016474318,-0.19769584113292524,-0.1326884579032455,0.05018796315422731,0.09813617303232845,0.1857479739534656,0.18586996523661228,-0.32841065619382137,0.14405911167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x_a{243}=[9.543051062146306,2.7806640386248125,35.10156391574579];
std_x_a{243}=[1.191374386428715,1.579987617248489,1.7081350007417133];
pred_a{243}=[9.543051062146306];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.2 to 24.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{244}=[3.9010273044231,0.07614023163314779,27.486212867035633];
std_x_f{244}=[0.9527745769598499,1.3634862111208856,1.2543428778827512];
pred_f{244}=[3.9010273044231];
obs{244}=[3.516238274660042];
sqrt_r{244}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{244}=[1.9174440968230049];
L_f{244}=[0.09830921788918902,0.07252981679495639,0.05967810231737538,-0.12907222148985606,-0.13325772913100287,-0.05585836474469763,-0.16835015941952058,-0.0166069073719349,-0.06281602300333622,-0.04273154052179222,-0.09205850396981087,-0.028471147852890222,-0.0020746309420675057,0.038688500541612346,-0.04813233268977312,-0.10134662129079669,0.14183220863342177,-0.05506710113827778,0.09915213348524114,-0.00682647690274907,-0.06575134783495654,0.11819344944579084,0.06214052758174216,-0.1637608102971683,0.024558433279551838,-0.0038627652014828397,-0.0800438269066288,-0.12176011687501004,-0.07522067700421335,0.05539593137374323,-0.005436046545338478,0.08006967846137746,-0.14417821686292503,-0.16399790972017395,-0.11976287107165592,0.0023639688998962987,-0.10702893005391916,-0.02717694375150223,-0.0846526775869296,-0.13916042515553975,-0.02946300069758003,0.10741286065376743,0.108201112568233,0.10882146618762471,0.05887626566835481,0.10857868822315954,0.10925795513597637,0.08203476872814819,0.13318324140254623,-0.009518627609682744,-0.17017510568348018,-0.03229210256923973,0.0630980911393769,-0.0823970311298212,0.011840587341922962,0.005711384981047635,0.08298908688489778,-0.10244816029913119,0.15031912734190378,-0.013004958862512496,0.08497553558319355,-0.046610372975665726,0.10563820398540633,-0.01679653183130447,-0.0327466544628389,0.05597923089913686,-0.16888123441692374,0.10546551370290609,-0.03206661324415118,0.00826506315488117,-0.1439496470844052,-0.09712594040305812,0.02053836776512404,-0.08614137341843611,0.1150429453104408,0.10611870443935363,0.10672729743872766,0.10191250752161841,0.09322885246106212,0.021708356237501742,-0.026788853153533285,0.14612290017332275,0.16839687355647046,0.13942770678142943,0.10966006695779947,0.10085971485261248,-0.16200471318661586,0.12218142030367798,-0.0011728044957962757,0.057860477367665926,0.09058296499596774,-0.002546121857222917,-0.052644781911601955,-0.1456132735389182,0.17764951578247457,-0.007842690518939191,-0.09743255507363109,-0.1149883322599924,0.06604572745041043,-0.16850974566160423;-0.014327264741097759,-0.02021839171107528,-0.021230043254760793,-0.08572310759292458,-0.15420738826988162,0.03928981506770558,-0.16826395421390786,-0.06432408467697971,-0.1065155174891287,0.05951019266851986,-0.12624574363763877,-0.08000021114723037,0.11310741186239402,-0.028930299961664747,0.051301855195733,-0.13943694181763833,0.3318435726509551,-0.09633798318877866,0.27332674286328695,-0.059645240061740455,-0.10451142493981505,0.2851819590586202,0.22018105846807784,-0.15426084862500256,0.15338116822270503,-0.05480280691216539,-0.12353208674982552,-0.14434489113414053,0.007518570023664004,-0.023239244294203418,0.11851314969101531,0.2464305900127265,-0.15354150499609592,-0.1574762126366809,-0.06862240224925789,0.12075857725911032,-0.046349916905127984,0.08381141436552972,-0.007956158061603727,-0.15508358090515897,-0.07463006473977153,-0.01652213585556566,-0.015191511430026101,0.28683658332776163,-0.025527655442317883,-0.015142934423730877,-0.016497110581079263,-0.01381485307335155,0.31999313258649514,-0.06377883941739552,-0.1813776202600882,-0.07566520134459372,0.22182714156263103,-0.1241958034349029,-0.04679223651628221,-0.04929835901602395,-0.016597827568021715,-0.03978556563373084,0.34345560582303847,-0.062078581831047246,-0.014759409600456087,-0.09459252679400967,-0.016121356270788426,-0.06724905927470391,0.06562562530049161,-0.021709467546874434,-0.17207087181359518,-0.014112795175907081,-0.08121218440141359,-0.04798538603491833,-0.15309700304034973,-0.12935822003874703,-0.04508637263455641,-0.12072989517725981,0.2944415662957218,-0.01587951892336497,-0.015351646457860952,0.2760424670230573,-0.013800524870412266,-0.03956748050096573,0.08503088033527983,0.33744851082461236,0.11986720588721463,0.13825604403593117,-0.018517284827017436,-0.015030490283869125,-0.1500671569126566,0.3058935378323304,0.12457777231466509,-0.021617137568945986,-0.01403869802586169,-0.060418072167021226,-0.094071684261721,-0.15351474056014827,0.1060417391298312,0.11387972883515449,-0.12932147632527005,-0.14067157913059825,-0.022263454800232327,-0.1651345743632792;0.1913201210506749,0.1517274310210452,0.1302064602501771,-0.13398233762461656,-0.05453014423433731,-0.1543503110835142,-0.09908914559793176,0.04392424645511151,0.012471585143290897,-0.15424047929938423,-0.017482660188043554,0.04235694032427038,-0.14182722544582851,0.10335472647051792,-0.1551047771862561,-0.015587648496318796,-0.12092090255679007,0.013270133073177627,-0.13885468389582736,0.05770870449526185,0.0054944408423652025,-0.11304704455426764,-0.14763754783680472,-0.10857567748221235,-0.14022773735841257,0.05602982095909759,0.002011373063220462,-0.047339609269472255,-0.15199236941850075,0.12577121142238526,-0.15640100273715787,-0.14369665146687102,-0.0743375277929938,-0.10556992943367385,-0.1386440668276358,-0.14267153833903554,-0.14259879538665418,-0.156198301508562,-0.14993980242808153,-0.06408582506546581,0.03400555877273838,0.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k{244}=[0.47847240936156066;0.4816804896480982;0.29724875521442307];
x_a{244}=[3.7169163702564725,-0.10920513663433876,27.371834806918397];
L_a{244}=[0.34215285998137845,0.25243089898540194,0.20770212422162646,-0.449219622280818,-0.4637867548513004,-0.19440800833980604,-0.5859215418500879,-0.05779825101607494,-0.2186232622405092,-0.14872174873185703,-0.3203980368797307,-0.09909024681489528,-0.0072204918874887985,0.13465045692484817,-0.16751852614618426,-0.35272416024285114,0.49362915160306026,-0.19165411494355414,0.3450865216267918,-0.023758693701593,-0.22883929088642185,0.41135742534870634,0.2162722854413318,-0.5699488898304597,0.0854725361840618,-0.013443868128557628,-0.27858246548993426,-0.42377076244681333,-0.26179609928070996,0.1927985671925759,-0.01891947583771781,0.2786724385726434,-0.5017941379847967,-0.5707740845316599,-0.41681959979517186,0.008227496234567276,-0.37250072073579604,-0.09458593232437967,-0.29462299022759936,-0.4843303454703659,-0.10254226580942952,0.3738369428682974,0.37658035444974447,0.3787394171463259,0.20491143268129208,0.37789445899625873,0.3802585619959691,0.28551168792619913,0.4635275096871934,-0.03312838541164724,-0.5922730376399328,-0.1123885988120795,0.21960496488781048,-0.28677249662204113,0.04120967402532616,0.019877756609993733,0.28883307216335247,-0.35655792812520315,0.5231668040316422,-0.04526212255868371,0.2957466568497271,-0.16222153691018767,0.3676604736866465,-0.0584582150813863,-0.11397060946931221,0.19482866777850638,-0.5877698815391588,0.36705944689264786,-0.11160381159546996,0.028765512096300464,-0.5009986296377156,-0.3380346116143978,0.07148120411361053,-0.2998042087066887,0.40039249221793705,0.3693327950423688,0.37145092638113264,0.3546936560486056,0.3244712875072334,0.07555320174073532,-0.09323523184198308,0.5085623634950496,0.5860841245244514,0.4852605855300697,0.3816580615833239,0.3510295436652293,-0.5638370148539156,0.4252370560063976,-0.004081798442217502,0.20137610934459244,0.3152626091878585,-0.008861456677357214,-0.18322353774041533,-0.5067886721339736,0.6182867812842697,-0.027295497295365793,-0.3391017453857911,-0.40020241836927395,0.22986384208833788,-0.5864769616806493;0.231151309618633,0.16088889820213526,0.12778645582751322,-0.4080170450392276,-0.4869525577652332,-0.10018878152788496,-0.5886350853739476,-0.105791609632592,-0.26336741912044775,-0.047190662782371925,-0.3561162562651622,-0.15109279977091802,0.10792704874979807,0.06767506585230813,-0.06888480342067196,-0.3924999265998223,0.6859992573484832,-0.23384079087853515,0.5209100813872249,-0.07669098464161624,-0.26869284632950585,0.5803115521077198,0.3753462448895752,-0.563172353678934,0.21470369035657216,-0.06444814958812055,-0.3234018948636898,-0.4483804693445385,-0.18030781034873672,0.11508465402308131,0.10493931618125307,0.4463649495790478,-0.5135551831552724,-0.5669797560527373,-0.36767084839838865,0.1266614185982754,-0.31360165310038257,0.01595045940306536,-0.2193342877624871,-0.5025678098304762,-0.14819931453030472,0.25168827683338324,0.2549871699559381,0.558564290586954,0.12148665379756715,0.2559785551288977,0.2563205116124982,0.19102634602981597,0.6525523058774073,-0.08754689683516348,-0.6063056507300676,-0.15629873166837507,0.37938336864169864,-0.32994157344013025,-0.017226234846394392,-0.03503700415154479,0.1906263084116101,-0.29559909844359217,0.7188031660129887,-0.0945520246039816,0.19742489801888904,-0.21097884492481403,0.24765773046235523,-0.10919007738740999,-0.016142923215978704,0.11807093239856599,-0.5937680997124737,0.2492350831185557,-0.16128266683157355,-0.027347484891810037,-0.5125399413993583,-0.3718821450115323,0.006198027210241121,-0.3358253052941604,0.5817043358641187,0.2490993796783583,0.2511469116942008,0.5305184723558524,0.21899235338370152,0.014638386001621036,0.018138989401167545,0.7023180722556475,0.540354982464512,0.48640767642436944,0.25530441245609653,0.23681668685729837,-0.5545936793129612,0.6109811126638269,0.12164927403330081,0.12286074355912685,0.2121473869204289,-0.06677575028792455,-0.2255259495749243,-0.5171117619145204,0.549633406384606,0.09429649412868153,-0.37261101955670994,-0.4277979796579901,0.14265303385856895,-0.5859041931121258;0.34280684768465125,0.26349014021088385,0.22216569424567859,-0.3328724188671812,-0.25986976159846364,-0.2404236316935792,-0.35850342155643955,0.018334316117920805,-0.08432293635992996,-0.22008640236399324,-0.15933753122288966,-0.0015148459064751778,-0.14502406758469713,0.16297064480720666,-0.22927289367610412,-0.1717547734556589,0.0976313093157749,-0.07158391292343014,0.01393090898097191,0.04718964369258595,-0.09582318398623021,0.06907970968665016,-0.05188391133369564,-0.3609181295481806,-0.10238513471486838,0.050077605401978094,-0.12132983120726104,-0.2349623158274294,-0.26790148129246427,0.21113195879510457,-0.16477752036861232,-0.02031561199587245,-0.2965047527332488,-0.3582777329514093,-0.32318917562284194,-0.1390288492993013,-0.3075219085710182,-0.19807582161528528,-0.2803828809489562,-0.27852102998762107,-0.011394594217205694,0.3733231180992444,0.37577152678104164,0.0337719630583487,0.2252317652635759,0.37663963343695983,0.38088422083709433,0.28882032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x_a{244}=[3.7169163702564743,-0.10920513663433733,27.3718348069184];
std_x_a{244}=[3.316012001965174,3.4840503125354503,2.329677281381924];
pred_a{244}=[3.7169163702564743];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.3 to 24.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{245}=[1.2854971861751334,-0.07559485768244274,21.949455309993475];
std_x_f{245}=[3.4327835659256114,3.916549484023373,2.235728207228575];
pred_f{245}=[1.2854971861751334];
obs{245}=[1.2895820485394802];
sqrt_r{245}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{245}=[12.847761204767338];
L_f{245}=[0.2525038500268459,0.19434830360717847,0.16422951380332798,-0.44621577511557375,-0.5004956073926552,-0.11240017634325537,-0.6342902114441773,-0.06551936656343474,-0.23461973759500004,-0.056208471617125465,-0.3426215562180588,-0.11138344187037429,0.10667397547037565,0.10817991789879183,-0.0790103388289936,-0.3815455744705126,0.603228531626298,-0.20295749447975744,0.4811567244224633,-0.03420000325987312,-0.24260084001644233,0.5260214331086269,0.3583660166692438,-0.6099276564431626,0.21155862448792834,-0.02315296187149515,-0.3013231914542553,-0.45482155610428393,-0.1987094080386103,0.152869911308407,0.10149595996467162,0.4191155668593838,-0.5388381276378921,-0.6129275797053663,-0.4025803539098643,0.12513742717752876,-0.3438711787086631,0.010380795479383625,-0.24172013119037514,-0.5215128818907107,-0.11052430059382748,0.2689070050081928,0.2713606311103362,0.5093938672554403,0.1591181941083529,0.2725193372716652,0.2727642824485298,0.21964695447588387,0.5805738797747031,-0.044894701754584085,-0.6474026599578808,-0.1200294580700543,0.36161730516085794,-0.30964399344058846,0.02640998902595933,0.007572645888013328,0.21943264326522177,-0.3235477878858428,0.6255929207587486,-0.053575689946609155,0.22528017960295585,-0.17603276575109733,0.2659613190468661,-0.06835512612290169,-0.02027816058530882,0.15554746804962175,-0.6377603816085657,0.26664923486674347,-0.12262971656563676,0.016423735390816263,-0.5374094782741842,-0.3613324959225629,0.0502160827750523,-0.3190478301386079,0.5277983463739145,0.26736572019830396,0.26813305564151707,0.48813658241031654,0.24313655304021714,0.057906761078292845,0.01201134341907106,0.6145084077397204,0.47595274810171734,0.4453683659000739,0.2717171102215234,0.25723571502116643,-0.6014258407804458,0.5499372723304621,0.11863556180240936,0.15967858300765964,0.2373993818638834,-0.022997211431647076,-0.19392038462377909,-0.543886466085568,0.47795434315424895,0.09115951258858557,-0.36239862874023576,-0.4289220179249889,0.17821557279652986,-0.6330364455091992;0.21648551807852962,0.18798241756848252,0.17071460151694243,-0.5118592897299379,-0.5901316536205291,-0.05361833340339215,-0.7613922698634815,-0.049715058436654205,-0.25319073952008114,0.021315392895323557,-0.38808021503837015,-0.10525030861301575,0.22518401807395577,0.12643865446535663,-0.009292023752064005,-0.4385350226079326,0.6699976051758362,-0.21317752766184417,0.6076244394743224,-0.016510646545581105,-0.2617757178230524,0.6218839015481072,0.5066811215779415,-0.7299479267747319,0.34802766968204024,-0.0026053020210319083,-0.3368956424447101,-0.5307148334986875,-0.17129670347976073,0.16098957627771732,0.22439771341095244,0.5605629279225561,-0.6389018645611163,-0.734180637855748,-0.45192471309660465,0.2482403723040412,-0.37106265149325857,0.10834195662404712,-0.23030493710160688,-0.6168931898303367,-0.10255245139498098,0.21812566258966812,0.22056402128367344,0.6254691112875407,0.1638369831057762,0.2208167704046215,0.2189722991901354,0.2060992532144162,0.6622852328713745,-0.028798173772074786,-0.7775227350554205,-0.11207032167903767,0.5102452350042671,-0.3473467124572409,0.04811092297451446,0.02921271643657112,0.2024681386036893,-0.3433259675230412,0.6761496022461144,-0.03669528248435734,0.20702217280144744,-0.18180938563063997,0.21819495162326888,-0.05441423148823531,0.06543095778144044,0.16445699635665378,-0.7659575928026487,0.2210247750126572,-0.11735994182205227,0.03752042549041355,-0.6366832967587726,-0.4114791213094229,0.06926248476362602,-0.3580393374940137,0.635693813787321,0.21898289922553618,0.2189662395456426,0.610580903214256,0.21410216759369635,0.0799841902395563,0.1110744529459485,0.6730558337566456,0.3721635104320974,0.4166961059331058,0.21679469811752877,0.21739810579647673,-0.7188754187642659,0.6491436427452283,0.24463083713763922,0.1670007882871902,0.2123516066003295,-0.005922558318002547,-0.20171170313427747,-0.6449213232992633,0.3457902169165418,0.21069849482593575,-0.41257352919901374,-0.49765104314731395,0.1775033131103749,-0.7597810835414679;0.24750168324461266,0.15759339718339233,0.1132281293919297,-0.2682236373964154,-0.1802544025630126,-0.28905128466328667,-0.15251160163682692,-0.0979810514179567,-0.1630567345087157,-0.26984925966295226,-0.1868019986059977,-0.11468945541720109,-0.1747994485464009,0.04685481683373168,-0.27942208099541793,-0.18001295801929923,0.4258388420369437,-0.15937568324358362,0.2161632812825794,-0.07269489844273122,-0.1700934137891094,0.3074528052761122,0.04968408191836562,-0.17520667677259208,-0.09195932079526511,-0.06936502478893154,-0.1733080770340244,-0.18922095247782958,-0.30449412107365675,0.10004704226752464,-0.19056079373996776,0.1277909539815771,-0.18075339944017282,-0.171238972554703,-0.2835523680942772,-0.16154522708679378,-0.2973223432732898,-0.24233861902885126,-0.30608639822752776,-0.17984794695997594,-0.12181334487459977,0.27960895037168093,0.2828431679374124,0.2630350006426887,0.11312693581832653,0.2842390329856233,0.28724221131651617,0.19022191035433708,0.382493645551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k{245}=[0.9221654275743443;1.0387375235637497;0.49733220113373344];
x_a{245}=[1.2892641050239337,-0.07135175786600238,21.951486843584465];
L_a{245}=[-0.07666514231194604,-0.059007972957815916,-0.04986331513842575,0.135479898217137,0.15196032441954455,0.03412690742864992,0.1925830014959146,0.01989297019130789,0.07123517352309898,0.017065999093502718,0.1040266529156145,0.03381820681656589,-0.03238832005748944,-0.03284555384056157,0.023989095096158326,0.11584475152424964,-0.18315206369661904,0.061621892877724474,-0.14608865864135429,0.010383794610294391,0.07365839341808737,-0.1597104678765134,-0.10880698121946636,0.18518604994037696,-0.06423336536042089,0.007029695256656911,0.09148765593980134,0.13809278282913343,0.0603320901617289,-0.04641431607648012,-0.030816172561139853,-0.12725174121112193,0.16360186877970898,0.18609688573079075,0.12223132487371297,-0.037994187661283055,0.1044060629169602,-0.003151813972949614,0.0733909928716057,0.15834158292404388,0.03355735460292398,-0.08164546324913986,-0.08239043246161386,-0.1546620113785221,-0.04831141780388826,-0.08274223847465724,-0.08281660865491769,-0.06668914165661072,-0.1762736651769702,0.013630915721490097,0.196564199134107,0.0364433076311056,-0.10979413644454665,0.0940140153135851,-0.0080185928528096,-0.002299204446272021,-0.0666240725518717,0.09823548116334592,-0.18994233273757433,0.016266634721731836,-0.06839949976004661,0.05344701491260056,-0.08075109497155757,0.02075396264811941,0.006156848962627637,-0.04722727504162741,0.1936366135080533,-0.08095995976401112,0.03723279732637349,-0.00498656955486758,0.16316810269348567,0.10970766275005311,-0.015246591811921586,0.09686920535783711,-0.16024997374283872,-0.08117749882293095,-0.08141047697731832,-0.1482078810052867,-0.07382104644378036,-0.017581633224283213,-0.003646880443537238,-0.1865768562588111,-0.1445086289302208,-0.13522260808830985,-0.08249866654116364,-0.07810182972543621,0.18260473124910648,-0.16697178772275204,-0.03602009326936162,-0.048481562911421326,-0.07207912827241444,0.006982406355379383,0.05887804832595391,0.16513464376705622,-0.14511635261260009,-0.027677823545854227,0.11003136167259073,0.13022917290746955,-0.05410975812526782,0.1922023334632469;-0.1542941421776089,-0.09740094579474468,-0.07044197223650833,0.14336926809479747,0.1448020562972018,0.11143142402744183,0.17000702990190533,0.04649435964550636,0.09132767707281599,0.10385258196194173,0.11502935813232035,0.058306463810320786,0.06854268219383865,-0.03241402520977217,0.10672769865859325,0.12173104248125435,-0.21579035405500482,0.08484767409900638,-0.09891182439789806,0.03370904550310068,0.09446224460638275,-0.15053223481864328,-0.01954780480809958,0.16567710711198658,0.03737246619286169,0.0313927829021234,0.10557092011592728,0.137150555609585,0.12049055756367223,-0.06348642189930626,0.07535983716046815,-0.054871361382976554,0.152334458676695,0.1658495190729995,0.13922907260855125,0.064487084069906,0.1338818822234414,0.09309867292510493,0.12463978199993786,0.1489025362391102,0.05974274774701255,-0.17674058577380783,-0.1779051608665608,-0.12253090937532757,-0.06981406794074613,-0.17935386967106073,-0.18155802130012105,-0.11643295034685963,-0.190236365803528,0.03712574090128857,0.17313104025368714,0.06418236389075435,-0.02075792211998787,0.10733821482624445,0.009330180592279337,0.018092953037719465,-0.119749367823781,0.13177545709359162,-0.2424784923073552,0.04197589862547578,-0.12378192561822328,0.07667922383888483,-0.17234581639665617,0.045959249699955115,0.09520765026213296,-0.06395075802416078,0.17053734615574886,-0.17052613678904327,0.06271099428715794,0.013403616864738361,0.1524551807406695,0.11910581853774249,-0.004475409168480819,0.11045429557999763,-0.1393315631780887,-0.173620108169108,-0.1747635323514309,-0.10620466724515966,-0.1429224422192493,-0.00504678729548046,0.09343685323541158,-0.22929562988262958,-0.3267311726405346,-0.23728810610843631,-0.18219794220461208,-0.1603298813655147,0.16426544776164922,-0.15839079673044384,0.07042496544610938,-0.06747314449232002,-0.13624847273767043,0.027846820804566012,0.08304329889797181,0.153728040231947,-0.35604363216670437,0.07683878099140336,0.11957693277338897,0.1321831556805365,-0.08419055621805567,0.1697771713948506;0.06997785225971492,0.02095605324549317,-0.002234080186477327,0.04549012909067535,0.17162101480591951,-0.21002789588837587,0.2934286415706373,-0.05191740147832895,0.0018936004588825613,-0.23033167126096427,0.05407944233587894,-0.03638088583693319,-0.24979700913756445,-0.029201502541136064,-0.22387354961719655,0.08823416798744763,0.001736635744599535,-0.016685613593902485,-0.12211585788516068,-0.0486504508125533,4.680668191859032E-4,-0.06236864487477788,-0.20226656424864908,0.2536053757324313,-0.2406964489341033,-0.05308724332287397,0.03853838513227017,0.13054314238869194,-0.16479068540720931,-0.007428753823921609,-0.2619179300390894,-0.16686990384841477,0.1980788785185165,0.2596821878712905,-5.166571625916036E-4,-0.24952359046536018,-0.05556235029431148,-0.2496368783701444,-0.1361441034445932,0.18680374841564557,-0.044108797968654294,0.09055281636558693,0.0920620023905685,-0.09509637353550782,0.00125825977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x_a{245}=[1.289264105023935,-0.07135175786600136,21.951486843584462];
std_x_a{245}=[1.0422607044598646,1.3098545268451047,1.3879968308318436];
pred_a{245}=[1.289264105023935];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.4 to 24.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{246}=[0.6804317898334064,0.5992207247472756,17.001757441393796];
std_x_f{246}=[1.4187732480276338,2.0756521481681895,1.1707859444293267];
pred_f{246}=[0.6804317898334064];
obs{246}=[1.024212078744816];
sqrt_r{246}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{246}=[3.035090526896939];
L_f{246}=[-0.14890600249169456,-0.09998478536314338,-0.0754565564007397,0.17379905399327045,0.17209478094610783,0.10908495909177925,0.1987944623950737,0.04769939790460541,0.1051654560859722,0.09412231363075502,0.13637753235547076,0.06261015927576255,0.03764639126687294,-0.03853777420553453,0.1003885952443212,0.14504357305585094,-0.25183831899471126,0.09624349292392352,-0.1527188005017285,0.03323287001036287,0.10806616077765174,-0.19536549406076928,-0.07386975812386257,0.19617024814439007,-0.004651202591891215,0.029275550690978515,0.1237214739267563,0.16427202024400184,0.12899263583354656,-0.06803012977085636,0.04421982091254407,-0.11042708563295281,0.18155891086045495,0.19632776914281166,0.16728634333812117,0.031712392681808525,0.15711480856152046,0.07424334240576418,0.138388646670448,0.1777697697860477,0.06427723919503615,-0.165701055126248,-0.16764044152059096,-0.17360560273856282,-0.07426488472508512,-0.1687727675231067,-0.17015697059215926,-0.11680054350818536,-0.23129464794113916,0.036799888655391286,0.2003191150350516,0.06889078050308241,-0.07561378914750526,0.1264767243597906,0.0048875299696285665,0.014815663905741183,-0.1190399410272685,0.1534201128827321,-0.27321414082199336,0.04210945069513623,-0.12314534595509435,0.08590493531497095,-0.16200195216805138,0.04776554425725802,0.08110109313917181,-0.06831372337833826,0.19938298385369763,-0.161879715024587,0.06810290965560019,0.009718802081460464,0.18174208671442518,0.1411892948893157,-0.008599964185772066,0.1297681056295097,-0.18837179683683197,-0.1638292732393821,-0.16510199012379792,-0.15919987002954372,-0.13925643075573438,-0.010571619118545842,0.0738837969952299,-0.26259716351476053,-0.2996960807423041,-0.23718421379311425,-0.17027632831891176,-0.15322287496038772,0.19548477931086108,-0.20484736945239898,0.03770925230571276,-0.07293682860842939,-0.1338464893401115,0.026729755590934087,0.09397541224592591,0.18323887373759135,-0.3179303193914039,0.04750642908129804,0.1420487916191713,0.15827289099050193,-0.08737350816832745,0.19912837514435996;-0.23159359691716364,-0.15164120869271094,-0.11184528436328822,0.246975959052657,0.22797660442398615,0.19419763640811222,0.24244558653776513,0.0804520131253343,0.15810603431722467,0.17529703658417345,0.19515844834247958,0.1014967909182635,0.09398266040871985,-0.052657772109438235,0.18299006352480818,0.2025899953235505,-0.36793432183223546,0.1479692304270178,-0.20832201238412612,0.05834955586724282,0.16259132301840182,-0.279226211159623,-0.08029253702004173,0.2452121495133004,0.029104069566633663,0.0526376052509412,0.1796705615317088,0.22247216012964174,0.216180647696701,-0.10096710055727617,0.10553145495049958,-0.13988289517456362,0.2352756371139341,0.244150026060192,0.2449220084291787,0.08462066137460081,0.24039326215277176,0.14835650292844157,0.2253558594119688,0.2319396843434033,0.10399398989953,-0.2605346776123848,-0.2623684868457137,-0.2423051171893004,-0.11040294811178158,-0.26418307549499837,-0.266566839954437,-0.17916544290320066,-0.33587633970621755,0.06345822971341965,0.239707185070784,0.1112357098790994,-0.08268210109661941,0.18295992020253282,0.01591714654316379,0.03085807879624135,-0.18331929404241362,0.2369428082089384,-0.4016528987413656,0.0721830842123032,-0.18975095104227838,0.13281173837916607,-0.25454982670132675,0.07976933768605471,0.15598194360851914,-0.10157768320719497,0.2413544975952731,-0.2526809823908406,0.10904172466345063,0.02269866424204913,0.23579470199187857,0.2001246745303023,-0.00617118205251843,0.18846943358683316,-0.266533539887504,-0.25631261940507355,-0.2578969605094909,-0.2192809273579363,-0.2157657828823699,-0.007984764713948055,0.14827683857336812,-0.385129355679068,-0.46370270100273,-0.3616340275398465,-0.26700664503907817,-0.23822094946314942,0.24593831564320762,-0.293149992401668,0.09588966846044582,-0.10722639868202022,-0.20692738302640004,0.04821782902404736,0.14437344008113723,0.2360132075534663,-0.49378809801023715,0.1102412031104851,0.20112728095441743,0.21715125821365427,-0.1316149561127659,0.2433927498589219;0.03832322925809873,-0.0036450587192045267,-0.022716615950010986,0.06109789221183553,0.15673095580288457,-0.1551849183487192,0.259522991944642,-0.04920938655637052,0.004872355649268618,-0.1746021226297818,0.054072769946977045,-0.03458390832291678,-0.20182530487623598,-0.041834941007398374,-0.16796878387151903,0.08289175757725371,0.011019059460074301,-0.01122741085639202,-0.10698298835004592,-0.04942561941139157,0.004900252189540343,-0.052912998963359215,-0.17400870336137536,0.2286803953745154,-0.20010488665952866,-0.053500583504209324,0.03816358370699196,0.12234497441675643,-0.11447852559590467,-0.026257972827739853,-0.20925026526360035,-0.14534072177532759,0.1807631375265939,0.23335193704185905,0.023446709697228927,-0.20207471557354273,-0.021995226426860203,-0.1934452742441787,-0.0899074157413576,0.1700265316298204,-0.04016247611795264,0.05646192827407836,0.058147765757312994,-0.0822417102375758,-0.019580842859392298,0.05922276644285113,0.0613602697810586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k{246}=[0.6705205359978521;0.9761242559116872;0.09802390588963115];
x_a{246}=[0.9109435334197811,0.9347930034580301,17.035456128080757];
L_a{246}=[0.14636021466843577,0.0982753845006565,0.07416650509820229,-0.17082767938146004,-0.16915254362559784,-0.10721997610983382,-0.1953957510387272,-0.04688389991036518,-0.10336748331757399,-0.09251314116001122,-0.13404593889767163,-0.06153973781236039,-0.03700276560455486,0.03787890891692115,-0.09867229060185836,-0.14256381968158294,0.24753273751915925,-0.09459805547846321,0.15010782675860035,-0.032664700598864324,-0.10621859579295984,0.19202540643809174,0.07260683569231524,-0.19281640195515048,0.004571682796021352,-0.028775038023784606,-0.12160625616167037,-0.1614635256108681,-0.12678729907008449,0.06686704518670714,-0.043463811888447744,0.10853915683721455,-0.17845486900358998,-0.192971229878525,-0.16442631399920013,-0.031170218277924083,-0.1544286779838637,-0.07297403294951722,-0.13602266997591833,-0.17473050939565402,-0.06317831631672866,0.16286812884132498,0.16477435830320908,0.17063753548737198,0.07299520696821041,0.1658873253698799,0.16724786325916036,0.11480365019000129,0.22734029359369523,-0.03617073531792653,-0.19689433728742056,-0.06771298170917998,0.07432104969804668,-0.1243144011531167,-0.004803969776793686,-0.014562366280839635,0.11700476160348684,-0.1507971490754695,0.26854310526125047,-0.041389521847205596,0.1210399780251416,-0.0844362521549695,0.15923226800305867,-0.04694891538463596,-0.07971453939444811,0.06714579030493685,-0.195974210775607,0.1591121207003409,-0.0669385807821594,-0.00955264351443414,-0.17863491317145802,-0.1387754366049677,0.008452933953691129,-0.12754951096152503,0.18515127772673515,0.16102834807903169,0.16227930581947395,0.1564780919695341,0.13687561789529787,0.010390880271395458,-0.07262063454657654,0.25810764227242167,0.2945722937876798,0.23312916783633786,0.16736518037343037,0.1506032832529237,-0.1921426523148065,0.20134517390586557,-0.03706455193274128,0.0716898561087894,0.13155816813716312,-0.026272767389226948,-0.09236875129083948,-0.18010611021091685,0.31249478877337766,-0.04669423019973571,-0.1396202388545985,-0.15556696112942653,0.08587971739127172,-0.19572395501202766;0.1982463573392325,0.13698016887214604,0.105971608232752,-0.25472159623856816,-0.26880130601495283,-0.12069278467270712,-0.331405038638271,-0.05723959547531195,-0.14547014177325007,-0.09640141954627329,-0.19851616039295647,-0.07923701127067469,-0.014689406729564935,0.05858740823562017,-0.10679697303263122,-0.2161004655327109,0.35903550950637775,-0.129852334208716,0.2325241665697149,-0.03758220703036045,-0.14935818088370595,0.2847261723921623,0.13294381961818819,-0.32106327980361815,0.04253047733986819,-0.031870750082436776,-0.17747039855938668,-0.25172415489953864,-0.15617632756489866,0.09541227555546712,-0.02211582239370383,0.17888177947166511,-0.2888219320451866,-0.32258011171456574,-0.23797561131041803,-0.006922011127602396,-0.2131426665204405,-0.06595826188646636,-0.17412413843262944,-0.2812199494817462,-0.08155209348863153,0.21778676520302948,0.22155129146377397,0.25883401146308616,0.10397400190316237,0.22300533503199738,0.2246172844721129,0.1579971928440108,0.3317910425829132,-0.042770278147813916,-0.33854458317577085,-0.08762806622545356,0.13558866787476073,-0.18213449173256335,0.0018085436432296288,-0.011909601411123951,0.16030770520296023,-0.20592781621201417,0.3870215121486617,-0.049372286677254344,0.1657269275286558,-0.1151659982352149,0.2130935895756366,-0.05811321247989203,-0.07812876772448908,0.0956203292346932,-0.3341949847968643,0.2146095776729686,-0.08754774171970221,-0.005356144645557311,-0.2888316322900305,-0.20743982281157794,0.01865393010120484,-0.18612605386397518,0.2772304668056122,0.21660563866852128,0.21869518953772824,0.2402738501933586,0.18621920646883208,0.022531831006128756,-0.06500004341458142,0.3728975261408219,0.40141588039413695,0.32303448750445485,0.22452202372382432,0.20408031752358627,-0.31835840302996277,0.29817327490499046,-0.012963856682266565,0.10331691420022934,0.17944098287303126,-0.02894169932426488,-0.1269009627305815,-0.2929338314334468,0.42396640252807893,-0.02689337146335613,-0.20891828517490346,-0.23972765254200476,0.12060204068955926,-0.331421765546367;0.08148842156681689,0.025338745935592447,-8.431070686398161E-4,0.01071664858727976,0.10684375051524185,-0.18680670093903443,0.20189602556583405,-0.06303659062544185,-0.02561323297861937,-0.20188650136823902,0.014539357510895766,-0.05273347597227014,-0.21273832175649546,-0.03066352812345765,-0.19706964580329303,0.0408462146217331,0.08402249309074575,-0.039126681611146324,-0.06271253395260466,-0.05905923525604471,-0.026426198953974533,0.003719970698768329,-0.15259517897781105,0.17181414186754987,-0.1987565860471544,-0.061987043112109994,0.0022989367122255326,0.07472544782870301,-0.15187118834282118,-0.006537252472562216,-0.22206880206941867,-0.11332988065625613,0.12813244990142533,0.17644002100903325,-0.02504661535335133,-0.21126757217954947,-0.06754000509677145,-0.21496709404298447,-0.13002381432110144,0.11849424836998812,-0.058795300480301266,0.10449570656774324,0.10674373755071564,-0.0319165446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x_a{246}=[0.9109435334197801,0.9347930034580292,17.03545612808075];
std_x_a{246}=[1.3945170353944614,2.043637537364216,1.167944162827633];
pred_a{246}=[0.9109435334197801];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.5 to 24.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{247}=[1.310104355207632,2.0693453996637907,13.673009423039144];
std_x_f{247}=[2.412284207641669,3.917698851380149,1.4320821885367931];
pred_f{247}=[1.310104355207632];
obs{247}=[1.7072724148103329];
sqrt_r{247}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{247}=[6.877531103642214];
L_f{247}=[0.24169403220770802,0.16993764127340436,0.13268699177717358,-0.30573758279505436,-0.3116949201247454,-0.16392851937294092,-0.36882089006960506,-0.071421311982021,-0.17789853396402255,-0.13438676439344946,-0.23839348429290347,-0.09859327541685797,-0.02974829788439653,0.07433513383279762,-0.1469627155613387,-0.25657312830168144,0.42091899404936584,-0.16030801234212863,0.2831204919951665,-0.046967097233601075,-0.18246407897071829,0.3420862588616622,0.1614620272411672,-0.36138546473234606,0.04536236752561881,-0.03889867466056374,-0.21423010111990384,-0.29487024901305214,-0.20498134733517573,0.12002209789652084,-0.04001187218340645,0.2192294981554404,-0.33072308513521914,-0.3627306766936978,-0.2896315041605291,-0.019123831180684704,-0.2663530615195684,-0.09613623545949605,-0.22523064563094333,-0.3228479051420014,-0.10186890841816054,0.2643211963863801,0.2679169983062493,0.3127563331297123,0.1303952936133568,0.2694199031229166,0.27155048458417275,0.1951657730588464,0.3926960503293844,-0.05366183535141556,-0.3735877188769794,-0.10959906487534467,0.16470260853632648,-0.2201138612222961,0.002313856146798209,-0.014916421861601914,0.19796485667500596,-0.2583666399001955,0.4479475695060622,-0.061818735474529506,0.20450947588353327,-0.14211781721577085,0.2587646122150071,-0.07287875479358703,-0.11083215546501587,0.12032394545682865,-0.3704464247414668,0.260188550086101,-0.10895192975591363,-0.0064776529784055376,-0.33089243913592187,-0.24806594499529822,0.024305081954304537,-0.22535025660239733,0.33388805644383707,0.26263047164834874,0.2648690824854244,0.29198422610371755,0.22796606386349588,0.02889417591178601,-0.09498635842653848,0.4341933255523088,0.45539617663772847,0.38020713123450045,0.27199730199505756,0.24816325583745008,-0.3596557714012432,0.3566652277349006,-0.027947873930125305,0.12883177542477503,0.22053748048919275,-0.0359458536453537,-0.15676750532583952,-0.3344421281763416,0.47491960056386506,-0.045745289244512675,-0.24962426265543225,-0.2822343857438989,0.15016098853250015,-0.36905320738026265;0.390161739339339,0.28375321803093534,0.22599695274329631,-0.5078981605824832,-0.5147092866874541,-0.26465795979704765,-0.6059661009321525,-0.11106381532590713,-0.292767992350826,-0.2128122960908544,-0.3948767571046033,-0.15705194536580788,-0.02948698743351078,0.13279452195292055,-0.2351379893995621,-0.4251137125035932,0.666589495359868,-0.26165783422927685,0.48089763066995883,-0.06940843375699839,-0.3011089795352985,0.56326003958876,0.29318944269282565,-0.5950491456792883,0.09934974962539926,-0.05647828266955276,-0.3536103234141588,-0.4881157207952967,-0.3370243743090815,0.2057624077199778,-0.046678990680793835,0.38450804870875505,-0.5462270984097186,-0.5966922098070753,-0.48270747233112116,-0.01141130866190367,-0.4418414620287835,-0.14516724064232714,-0.3723178012702661,-0.5342933241409442,-0.1623594616793982,0.4219729661766574,0.4277278677015372,0.5235696427855944,0.2215076676781383,0.4302500560175745,0.4325859586983662,0.32193999459269346,0.6315829587776285,-0.08080497944414625,-0.6128156234621732,-0.17533838673990604,0.2983434679187289,-0.3638297367984955,0.01344895627311021,-0.015668174290272466,0.3260890649207506,-0.42896380018248204,0.6993054750479849,-0.0942180039758039,0.3363146450130487,-0.23159169657674766,0.4147841483079454,-0.11240498928925063,-0.1718357789149137,0.20637013764613177,-0.6093298969778067,0.4171285418287868,-0.17497971783744737,1.2059045214402687E-4,-0.5468967825767028,-0.4112000551034256,0.05055918704861771,-0.37256018998865714,0.5528758847985358,0.42035339362990837,0.4231376286083137,0.49431655709337824,0.3707112475471341,0.057914443869792324,-0.1435086089761253,0.6833111452579617,0.67922274315025,0.5951200217940226,0.4322226554742508,0.4003085248453653,-0.5925310471542247,0.5845380795176727,-0.026083286038873436,0.22009985789354627,0.3595987854712968,-0.051068261254341746,-0.2567310218750807,-0.553277097738068,0.6975436713903235,-0.056937247899153325,-0.4136332262147361,-0.46802776635477567,0.2529891124640601,-0.6062004828445904;0.11439329576402746,0.030804168151118628,-0.0068682901212144595,-0.029444607917850724,0.04569150808095603,-0.20510345594057466,0.13913898101289715,-0.1084605216521849,-0.0799935844901234,-0.21721827411989286,-0.04227102293836842,-0.10269037834520396,-0.2165720412064943,-0.05230157017511532,-0.21302902971316695,-0.018381618368720116,0.2541475657773621,-0.09217958331041279,0.03024256259547161,-0.10240138221550588,-0.0809193944982274,0.12484919980684206,-0.10980515542261439,0.11271411365532535,-0.18964716630798573,-0.10378389697067229,-0.05562496129499549,0.016325075357729063,-0.17502498912348977,-0.01619355373980212,-0.2257309188326186,-0.048635767111519804,0.0686116890130239,0.11680237187882735,-0.061026089759517795,-0.21411868077386634,-0.09940072713378,-0.22658067891105912,-0.1549168342019036,0.05843837215721085,-0.10735004540018046,0.14646286375599946,0.15076931451385855,0.07509621000207978,-0.0053217840528894155,0.1534320389861619,0.15584890183049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k{247}=[0.8545989854599979;1.3868474939411852;0.24463297526125083];
x_a{247}=[1.649523776001216,2.6201569277972796,13.77016982713849];
L_a{247}=[-0.10943743447123343,-0.07694662260039355,-0.06007977869855059,0.13843592403544588,0.141133366366504,0.07422573256349653,0.16699962187699777,0.03233909037176717,0.08055126134221219,0.06084942432285731,0.1079429685431906,0.04464237291744145,0.013469829480756746,-0.033658449335422495,0.06654373054663074,0.1161745892487078,-0.19058929344762532,0.07258639129669732,-0.12819505722655622,0.021266386177831113,0.08261850945724356,-0.15489436042636567,-0.073108921492163,0.1636329112235354,-0.020539775344054094,0.01761305862746684,0.09700195093326497,0.13351526828825386,0.0928141773378172,-0.05434519981181188,0.018117106989136603,-0.09926564433303456,0.14974919168258768,0.16424201416466133,0.13114319980450734,0.008659142315423363,0.12060287732387973,0.04352984172719721,0.1019829236038696,0.14618336307447247,0.046125557539988565,-0.11968286243837932,-0.12131101739687286,-0.14161396704628448,-0.05904211316192288,-0.12199152260375826,-0.12295623557958982,-0.08836975123076247,-0.17781013408763624,0.02429771863307652,0.16915800994507557,0.04962572046502275,-0.07457623493758951,0.09966607798997541,-0.0010476985225000674,0.006754055634362886,-0.08963715749241018,0.11698667925458368,-0.20282765087984791,0.027991108223865184,-0.09260051711378803,0.06434999311600531,-0.11716687844579185,0.032999010688083835,0.050184055602103414,-0.054481874359792036,0.1677356530586851,-0.11781162795009496,0.049332702029359105,0.0029330377621505505,0.14982587403665745,0.1123225937851748,-0.011005177866395481,0.10203708264838937,-0.15118226943393429,-0.11891731363257269,-0.11993094158420733,-0.1322084964985749,-0.10322150260742206,-0.013083088788178557,0.04300918512970147,-0.19659982159651387,-0.2062003301612841,-0.17215523540197752,-0.12315855150223655,-0.11236665548092349,0.16284971770051443,-0.16149561961406472,0.012654609606619963,-0.058334162627337656,-0.09985788994883224,0.016276041104089978,0.0709832734991629,0.15143314939304808,-0.2150404053880258,0.02071315972651599,0.11302818955540805,0.12779383426742114,-0.06799188706711033,0.16710481359492896;-0.17965615524365952,-0.11689179614796057,-0.08682592336332096,0.21290882059053745,0.220142714064735,0.12181994748914791,0.2635660970208399,0.05731908287894442,0.12664562389297812,0.10401796424709481,0.16715976511017686,0.07539157880774423,0.04064760510515462,-0.04245800318079379,0.11134133571424724,0.17978314175466786,-0.3257692020740933,0.11628436501822173,-0.1865872930924382,0.04132120327982397,0.12906836645216585,-0.24324258693372564,-0.0874734622919271,0.25695329213728113,-0.007596576358084974,0.03522923983188411,0.1514586022080487,0.20707043226364982,0.1462396876969601,-0.07720171225488383,0.04765300650430483,-0.1323474562797395,0.23348570765489976,0.25848169997586273,0.200127814904391,0.03367503923092967,0.18611256457450942,0.08148356567790602,0.15868601010518293,0.22685295612985096,0.07780669545773818,-0.20119073481663027,-0.20391329655636523,-0.21378474546143106,-0.08591230041789329,-0.204934356911259,-0.2076215134735982,-0.13818286770240815,-0.29423732137495995,0.04570817340492915,0.2679548509598113,0.08305238867594891,-0.08995943212078733,0.15511074271832942,0.007993808597790596,0.019498784621585965,-0.14063291742027367,0.1801614373487973,-0.3567757968311609,0.051525858096915865,-0.14583693277220863,0.10346529531053184,-0.19527934882559633,0.05941397635498246,0.08946213110090835,-0.07730561819217467,0.26403466181517454,-0.19629203149034483,0.08188537170235755,0.015392306299982028,0.23321529251097772,0.17364026223418458,-0.006742478616701657,0.1587256162349902,-0.23429865820273293,-0.19882425441145335,-0.20131776875238905,-0.19406550782613882,-0.16674158635418984,-0.010206470549871022,0.0804312470406838,-0.3403431185576443,-0.3944193662662268,-0.3012563804139565,-0.20903823350742048,-0.18476121255151842,0.255393465348259,-0.25633592668952376,0.03980662665557489,-0.08363395943483107,-0.16034041890672132,0.03367768988102423,0.11286407738260779,0.23520372488119437,-0.4221268658488226,0.05091185439890161,0.1748809811237083,0.19736807314740124,-0.10103046159210946,0.26387942644254136;0.01388026349629038,-0.03986761246669039,-0.06204868396125176,0.09770214553831169,0.17531573288293326,-0.1369306822612696,0.29252012032345814,-0.07875861891888292,-0.006011116154528752,-0.1613309977049449,0.05686941408557358,-0.06168850095983233,-0.20420064917065361,-0.08321524080783319,-0.15191180626978237,0.08831916728352357,0.07910044506637716,-0.025512465921788702,-0.0874984460989923,-0.08286922696681565,-0.005038257964721375,-0.01741383772551446,-0.1769521917224542,0.26300309078040907,-0.20851196437186664,-0.08760714777411206,0.033466676052840934,0.1389524426250095,-0.08977962087509805,-0.06610701204293119,-0.2090912254023435,-0.13980649822498287,0.20614913594226447,0.2676507808278709,0.05942264642782148,-0.20616567406125166,0.01136722862658178,-0.1866006080397398,-0.06125041246530513,0.19270077661418955,-0.06498593410878416,0.03653989752156962,0.03935096607615758,-0.05496942346292136,-0.059549131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x_a{247}=[1.649523776001217,2.6201569277972796,13.77016982713848];
std_x_a{247}=[1.092266087368275,1.778561040012821,1.296487159244242];
pred_a{247}=[1.649523776001217];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.6 to 24.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{248}=[3.2898507926538065,5.761455818499142,11.811447603910578];
std_x_f{248}=[2.1414947773005713,3.6640645612086664,1.722572549730979];
pred_f{248}=[3.2898507926538065];
obs{248}=[3.6649726513204888];
sqrt_r{248}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{248}=[5.634905848285683];
L_f{248}=[-0.22114693549777906,-0.14500627844671365,-0.10721201629313151,0.2557427399283587,0.2527494531906138,0.16812573531882563,0.28500848881581525,0.07896743548707587,0.16205904689198586,0.14575993637159024,0.2055667927406764,0.10174632388631136,0.062472954180505705,-0.050020028305587404,0.15560070935209264,0.2170529970354381,-0.39731733797126073,0.1505915190243421,-0.239760985572799,0.05848625596574504,0.1656046914889665,-0.3057596505763969,-0.11322278747724147,0.28202763684263255,-0.0029089701465884864,0.05114318306410123,0.18816193597724054,0.24258298288812857,0.19574545047133948,-0.09517437680729478,0.07181686416682155,-0.1717457638139621,0.2639202197834707,0.2833190307490637,0.24673989656777462,0.05285221327305393,0.2345255929916082,0.11722936668846286,0.20874034261615126,0.2586797991440966,0.1051185586968868,-0.24613768217551305,-0.2496144681011357,-0.2719259458073348,-0.10563769382967267,-0.2511684210593703,-0.25354827019363707,-0.1717480664158986,-0.36393872694719603,0.06515118782381323,0.28633301082051227,0.11150839880916263,-0.11603533648418085,0.19313002604934768,0.016303769496463175,0.030969466541888008,-0.17429966497450106,0.22950687597297592,-0.4296925305343257,0.0717584491678449,-0.1810674754782087,0.13523932115868945,-0.2399663439104323,0.08163196469034913,0.12747792761127255,-0.09444728630764083,0.28512579757259565,-0.24095217199013938,0.10970833939594617,0.024723661055212977,0.26387680989465023,0.21202110901603588,-0.003921520427374811,0.19713789762492473,-0.2960555622641232,-0.2439208764613666,-0.24682502033021378,-0.24884578783514635,-0.20588535081614395,-0.00783393940961256,0.11612965071185805,-0.4130532011189399,-0.4585868084918982,-0.3640998272386635,-0.25563606262799027,-0.22737549387246173,0.28216648236462,-0.3216575089468559,0.06207965931630297,-0.10317813696781146,-0.19791927991427438,0.04916509486839509,0.14754313507419645,0.2659117939261672,-0.4842548361703997,0.07731126794689165,0.21426055683011394,0.23437920730616607,-0.12520497937257846,0.28502039273820784;-0.3840849694196875,-0.24356016037952272,-0.1732101526734646,0.4208265380662528,0.40233012546504326,0.3163974144668556,0.4284094966102072,0.15652803823759429,0.2866483395570249,0.2835641802501992,0.34826151537550704,0.19274459933492483,0.14388902612703536,-0.07008646886352723,0.29797229064724656,0.36124327534602513,-0.7013385440439596,0.27005896021094755,-0.4108589444937951,0.1214992359651643,0.29212609327701033,-0.5343323754119522,-0.17442649958175083,0.4300589960445821,0.026942432801146343,0.10929540911899671,0.32340804253628225,0.3935938294462514,0.3552712823245616,-0.15184576587473458,0.16090646777390225,-0.2834480470823493,0.413213051713204,0.4310709770351497,0.4134544638276731,0.12685486133764468,0.40315664253587047,0.2373042932391045,0.37323480579985396,0.4079921452900667,0.1989387124676996,-0.42989032485913725,-0.43653001740784036,-0.471221753031258,-0.1713820841883497,-0.43890871658061126,-0.443496333821698,-0.2927094922745468,-0.640369207437356,0.13147071361301824,0.42583392090063993,0.2086568125936464,-0.1797494413022903,0.33077839856219693,0.04797446017924622,0.07327814291535857,-0.29733586370041815,0.3973068875940723,-0.7591965435459777,0.14370467983859914,-0.30927867107317464,0.24655849679319305,-0.4186110048685876,0.16042172629873633,0.2527015400462878,-0.1512047715438073,0.42705633951699035,-0.4206706467218527,0.20561805627006063,0.0630329837189192,0.41366641919877123,0.35622907560919,0.012387897853421584,0.3365406385234929,-0.5158632125482182,-0.42549805927454626,-0.4315529957653524,-0.4276117777128893,-0.35536201050986216,0.005689220258830289,0.23522909269202727,-0.7292589097431358,-0.8110111761801224,-0.6425490609436351,-0.44735248896470126,-0.39641386157177355,0.43198377788193976,-0.562980179881841,0.14327061647394887,-0.1664004112278639,-0.3412707532359468,0.10429815139266693,0.26480254283091403,0.4157019640179162,-0.8562666992528603,0.17034770117402956,0.35927195739353274,0.3834191576865028,-0.20671408933032542,0.429425572267557;-0.10675144274694728,-0.13008395852537374,-0.1334074033200942,0.22947386387130667,0.28768502100414317,-0.030701038922676727,0.4113522574373085,-0.051472935676741015,0.06571803928176147,-0.06698756608420864,0.1515934355901676,-0.0227364667317943,-0.15863655425463216,-0.12785009249928153,-0.05234743742146711,0.18612638458787825,-0.06286564239475079,0.04209961180717101,-0.18754753235990998,-0.06767242217252782,0.06931690496775869,-0.13998129341477436,-0.22457887941024526,0.3855220128315139,-0.2005426704041301,-0.07603835191165416,0.11779904715843133,0.24929513326311603,0.028728929561801394,-0.1329920803481937,-0.15652298635023743,-0.2135370841495379,0.3224106705830225,0.3898412362936206,0.19107925988174868,-0.16660535161699774,0.14209469922249976,-0.10809298016390415,0.06251569760891296,0.30680723520427927,-0.023069156335214138,-0.09343965731241125,-0.09127420896611776,-0.1663645386319391,-0.13166347629949643,-0.0902778887513446,-0.08913866913109064,-0.12481346955510447,-0.095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k{248}=[0.8225347455797807;1.4044534276752205;0.43934753584550523];
x_a{248}=[3.5984015552336204,6.2882969986994635,11.97625646815757];
L_a{248}=[0.1159936841324426,0.07605718081288318,0.056233728607252655,-0.13413951465184668,-0.13256950711095844,-0.08818355720467247,-0.1494896800281378,-0.041419175662639245,-0.0850015210641812,-0.07645248160728349,-0.107821750148198,-0.05336692063103196,-0.03276766235861699,0.026235983557784403,-0.08161406121565613,-0.11384637422832974,0.20839674625038573,-0.07898669294881346,0.1257569315406294,-0.03067660099069236,-0.08686124558852236,0.160373862968409,0.059386435618781624,-0.1479261946402682,0.0015257826818834168,-0.026825088977661206,-0.09869273620439555,-0.12723709614015294,-0.10267036213379109,0.04991987149194847,-0.03766863257136319,0.09008229679547951,-0.1384286810975771,-0.1486035431033432,-0.12941743714843934,-0.02772149167835357,-0.12301091802701196,-0.06148792475961906,-0.10948630743001522,-0.13568003031932213,-0.05513569006280314,0.12910156993626787,0.13092517742847667,0.14262776101506625,0.05540798140827845,0.13174024062701667,0.13298849427403947,0.09008350453223199,0.19088934532172155,-0.034172421536289646,-0.1501844044958025,-0.05848722235499511,0.060861644490130505,-0.10129854699380748,-0.008551483134433352,-0.01624378159129437,0.09142184239602903,-0.1203785529196278,0.22537784459314283,-0.03763799334534528,0.09497162377585372,-0.070934318241658,0.12586464395407884,-0.042816746730357035,-0.06686339304642445,0.049538505566335524,-0.1495512095937607,0.12638172021665064,-0.057543073965480696,-0.012967796838698316,-0.13840591219544093,-0.11120710080498993,0.0020568749946633406,-0.10340071399211787,0.15528397577664868,0.12793883412348844,0.12946208537650694,0.13052199727239028,0.10798883690750768,0.004108976194248046,-0.06091111320517188,0.21665035706979294,0.24053316991158585,0.19097384396639,0.13408356138685895,0.1192606226097364,-0.14799902044535737,0.1687124418325227,-0.032561375438354946,0.054117920295297786,0.10381055648102011,-0.02578756278792481,-0.07738778639271889,-0.13947328079557558,0.2539962960821626,-0.04055049993763258,-0.1123817126158771,-0.1229341373340287,0.06567120994221348,-0.14949592374935838;0.19157253488969878,0.1338990712934672,0.10586855846653685,-0.2448857273152483,-0.2555904516922725,-0.12124302122793332,-0.3134831052899855,-0.04902849245490983,-0.1352001761124815,-0.09585686400300977,-0.18684002971992955,-0.07210661711630456,-0.018731472363867848,0.06011838608988209,-0.10706482104854331,-0.20375748442053962,0.33290010222333827,-0.12193895654328489,0.21325194483382126,-0.030743670181634937,-0.1389519281745759,0.261576629490745,0.12029857595860284,-0.3040742860000784,0.03451464035141761,-0.02383307877458398,-0.1663877135155504,-0.23786287242022663,-0.15426477452655973,0.09589831479166261,-0.02603673675453586,0.16361551972817706,-0.2737856386162076,-0.30642387360454104,-0.22882291049835418,-0.01072232516738447,-0.20732623507824655,-0.06785012596074008,-0.1701276622742578,-0.2653654450168499,-0.07469061465746529,0.2108194526411501,0.213230023006816,0.2366162776792851,0.10359857993032207,0.21489634792510015,0.21650360745307748,0.15436006833409022,0.3069830984147933,-0.03812137275719937,-0.31950648383666025,-0.08160561597463371,0.12229685231616265,-0.1719495662297478,0.005534861194779581,-0.007337063346341101,0.15637564677263086,-0.20011199658383533,0.35931649029282153,-0.043086467269511465,0.16204981833486984,-0.10547681370057772,0.20603444338413887,-0.05207071887010098,-0.07913044079513176,0.09464665299558656,-0.31514162345913116,0.20654096565503333,-0.07995871971574797,-0.0013240510661183863,-0.27321927282838265,-0.19567340588960985,0.02259582887104801,-0.17662003402267004,0.2547855225394471,0.2094412523494138,0.2109459603453505,0.22014734615035628,0.18056875858675003,0.026081390737239654,-0.06706270599211109,0.3459410443865446,0.38271523513749245,0.30522259773165383,0.2180820896003014,0.19545691904345094,-0.30251092661016205,0.27431181526127196,-0.01832611408874401,0.10217789257042117,0.1739238999194708,-0.023681265312199173,-0.11926026465776278,-0.2764809021539108,0.4042749845472398,-0.03089773530975452,-0.19845992859952974,-0.22668267002448794,0.1192012835890086,-0.31249801619024103;0.07332836696803038,-0.012005437693129256,-0.046104726257132383,0.021222712488075217,0.08187130111840019,-0.1676057188643478,0.1792700252436787,-0.11577606845216747,-0.06624654011071442,-0.18567979008803978,-0.015799473731114858,-0.1055884339245725,-0.20950824133379084,-0.08711881508441341,-0.17905299663968097,0.009380266373638814,0.26066961463821214,-0.08052696689513816,0.00768968655899583,-0.11529774341673095,-0.06553489057765208,0.1089985966767547,-0.13238163517347987,0.1558670865144548,-0.19817389785349446,-0.11768421353605855,-0.035421098307809866,0.051759963715064285,-0.1306664669609117,-0.05549164550553524,-0.21500341342184578,-0.07368461729370679,0.10750060252548989,0.15913472873527554,-0.009840881846664437,-0.20964287545970292,-0.04887934282858356,-0.20355277931847005,-0.10746143136890748,0.09616443835916848,-0.1086671322015272,0.1069901016172445,0.11198669454393445,0.05506458706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x_a{248}=[3.598401555233622,6.288296998699468,11.976256468157567];
std_x_a{248}=[1.1232345056482649,1.9341306177121829,1.4194054545911523];
pred_a{248}=[3.598401555233622];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.7 to 24.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{249}=[7.700604551377414,13.332683014178208,14.421164802791424];
std_x_f{249}=[2.1037677118741493,3.139602254972823,3.2451740268323968];
pred_f{249}=[7.700604551377414];
obs{249}=[8.326394863634594];
sqrt_r{249}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{249}=[5.471021364282592];
L_f{249}=[0.2125624114428472,0.16262114260135682,0.13516840152140702,-0.28161679479842183,-0.29425399953322073,-0.12665726215593814,-0.36148478573299153,-0.04079787693516286,-0.14795525051857647,-0.0949598873037602,-0.2123027765853451,-0.0696248725725297,0.003790435926568862,0.08757529256648046,-0.1091004097052927,-0.2326036182241058,0.3205783863408237,-0.1311099792625014,0.24797792338707741,-0.018681915925290615,-0.15241688066797932,0.2809922361108292,0.16474437796828556,-0.350808199583378,0.06908927880427303,-0.010199032117509907,-0.18662096956587643,-0.27439575284835593,-0.1693270132547148,0.12526552497930277,-0.005325676035029203,0.20599095197943343,-0.3156064059592715,-0.3535790139958574,-0.26228260561711697,0.013468918140296158,-0.23606662052757976,-0.05866325895536758,-0.18941263308585954,-0.30640615244112046,-0.07203011359008873,0.22738138055463025,0.2294367964559558,0.26508115353448064,0.13299832169731482,0.23025478314885392,0.23131112031457282,0.18194769957524554,0.30773924408312475,-0.026461958716659465,-0.36777096455933495,-0.08026673606960746,0.1664514026221197,-0.1934715215083386,0.025303457658039784,0.010379977286611641,0.18286837209832543,-0.2268184040931942,0.33212130358000747,-0.033262846052875626,0.1880470843103701,-0.11122314669435088,0.22366358479928086,-0.04470778730391239,-0.07298728551783173,0.12426800914334563,-0.3632602627549092,0.22401755008365332,-0.07883441063788912,0.01715151802006143,-0.31546146044889595,-0.22232162503001193,0.044500608276394356,-0.1987185443743196,0.27716845697992143,0.22639885059621262,0.2279015475051448,0.25281204706271765,0.2036699849351995,0.048938417144308057,-0.05720749436163911,0.32641336777346425,0.32903647599840974,0.2968966534263097,0.23251270656723286,0.21580525395261593,-0.3489073737630804,0.28959485186406286,0.00480865949729749,0.13157970830993043,0.19842924927543748,-0.00962184955696073,-0.12732785172367755,-0.31934325246611434,0.3345843989983192,-0.0112330238099796,-0.22578657503454416,-0.25959938856492687,0.14827012427869993,-0.36068588263538076;0.30615210527955083,0.26679567988103847,0.23881732155026833,-0.44800383374099284,-0.48117659895517995,-0.14395162347447932,-0.6136932108889495,-0.012495792489677946,-0.20116270585386764,-0.08495289539828436,-0.3213604562734195,-0.061712293169748925,0.082374880107085,0.1810193329504418,-0.11115475024408158,-0.3609613145201791,0.36397363138937505,-0.17003396182536867,0.3743022865536112,0.023352462157522597,-0.2093864157415714,0.3778880834509765,0.3074060098234526,-0.591558994877077,0.18384300279855084,0.037174122473073896,-0.27342738828569096,-0.44068909001323375,-0.22390238199095638,0.22744909675442818,0.06942051491144718,0.3462374524442502,-0.5225001076611994,-0.596716075926011,-0.40860867501585235,0.09888304494265843,-0.35581868932655236,-0.021250611964378153,-0.26382041871220374,-0.5036879154522453,-0.06560977149110356,0.31372029785884303,0.31374433897346254,0.3785225883506501,0.2353261649496479,0.3142799404391781,0.31507042946302505,0.2841780853480185,0.3735586099848832,0.01063657894596267,-0.6275059030808761,-0.07918335298689026,0.30919224250250404,-0.2863523009909237,0.09256344500634242,0.06924727205288522,0.2847551143958733,-0.3375270550341509,0.35010590560713756,6.802438737439781E-4,0.2898313907112203,-0.13448064502598248,0.31069055967899395,-0.01861295359525811,-0.04754015494125339,0.22580942678956914,-0.6175277923522441,0.3123695558636375,-0.07801049746713974,0.0802768859060574,-0.5212693923760533,-0.34080297774079416,0.12002347653293287,-0.2956172120846209,0.3805637757556217,0.31314875963792144,0.31410897134081434,0.3753094669187904,0.30119954154285444,0.12755375404527505,-0.018363395201464863,0.3574773017686715,0.30243481791152493,0.34442154372432426,0.3156262194363173,0.30811176910763227,-0.5867636625176358,0.3796276543079515,0.0862155107483094,0.23491808247817944,0.2969236746131305,0.037741015921385644,-0.16344389636395382,-0.5288999264350888,0.2831824554524437,0.06022372940904837,-0.3470765462169681,-0.4129001166854336,0.2527130730932447,-0.6116589435267551;0.33153975249029805,0.181346982610801,0.11219609772864861,-0.31499121840021826,-0.2792618749707322,-0.31859871403374024,-0.2520821666449585,-0.18212652322902695,-0.2617931540477979,-0.2988563427907776,-0.284553109479579,-0.2071875432441567,-0.2008469422042101,0.009276182401998763,-0.3091830847461076,-0.2830623163430986,0.6771643520868247,-0.2552132283783854,0.3376849547946314,-0.15430873319136912,-0.2654437448452023,0.4785209171382335,0.0871439391506515,-0.2629288655337968,-0.10491371973919093,-0.14511829789989752,-0.2758119506204241,-0.2855202787538103,-0.3335178450461691,0.08949318743121906,-0.21650173417917537,0.20062462988357918,-0.2749765585752197,-0.2622854568004138,-0.32331900416334985,-0.1881346846238421,-0.3313916458408498,-0.27157367742815025,-0.3346929178433164,-0.27651446298786575,-0.212915657161447,0.38284268270810323,0.3900870313796544,0.40549452749630843,0.10880494055394024,0.3938137684971557,0.39760840957766974,0.233626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k{249}=[0.8172187726173997;1.198560962996965;1.1325809246910334];
x_a{249}=[8.212012142276086,14.082730853471345,15.12992297331035];
L_a{249}=[-0.11409269136597976,-0.087286758305284,-0.07255152316222721,0.15115757218934125,0.1579405809525051,0.06798317643429058,0.19402664757226115,0.021898225325705158,0.07941485335440339,0.05096963776781918,0.11395333257971138,0.037371090419479426,-0.002034513220738442,-0.0470059628993216,0.05855955099453078,0.12484979185413717,-0.1720701729111757,0.07037316850829252,-0.13310193691599798,0.010027502291309146,0.08180962949647674,-0.15082234085140256,-0.08842640306077645,0.18829599914697437,-0.03708361092541262,0.005474321709638762,0.10016864476918222,0.14728168413859258,0.09088612860598627,-0.06723616270275355,0.0028585520274037168,-0.11056546615577337,0.16940146672131065,0.18978323139772604,0.1407799627893501,-0.007229430217616977,0.12670855535953804,0.03148745374634049,0.1016670677604396,0.16446323856511877,0.03866210146519755,-0.12204676028040357,-0.12315000299611625,-0.14228208097497516,-0.07138673468467358,-0.12358905664939766,-0.12415604471379135,-0.09766027112451126,-0.16517877435642508,0.014203433562433315,0.1974007486460916,0.04308310149090752,-0.08934264707429701,0.10384567262727121,-0.013581609116469301,-0.0055714438733946575,-0.09815444130874962,0.12174458314934371,-0.17826582380304257,0.017853803985871802,-0.10093411063067449,0.059698928246133265,-0.12005123660903753,0.0239968663504393,0.03917586267346974,-0.0667007469364757,0.19497963333542617,-0.12024122717072733,0.04231430204839361,-0.009206062533059979,0.16932366734338736,0.11933094085805572,-0.02388566318576102,0.1066620076338936,-0.14876993069443697,-0.12151938817099472,-0.12232595944332728,-0.13569664863763262,-0.1093196890926938,-0.026267653275500773,0.030706073353794286,-0.17520209417233226,-0.1766100452540722,-0.159359023154796,-0.12480099510056841,-0.11583328429162447,0.18727573252418073,-0.15543978745172826,-0.0025810438458296467,-0.07062529517015223,-0.10650672873859723,0.0051645194671089524,0.06834311480752406,0.17140721586714194,-0.17958788814856294,0.006029315860500992,0.12119074979032272,0.13933974834632862,-0.07958386157410315,0.19359783702232253;-0.17293142499284714,-0.09972778287774647,-0.06583181440274592,0.18671783374583545,0.18202741692065466,0.1415146914605981,0.20103882998878084,0.07945645239239504,0.13230605402532303,0.12907233011053806,0.15713789629390035,0.0952116404664761,0.07383181074385388,-0.016362132768714267,0.1347410743327401,0.16329206507087862,-0.35856157139968997,0.125468104098026,-0.1846024518687889,0.06545867544795105,0.13413818377660608,-0.2554259232039899,-0.06390290436242971,0.1991096354047045,0.028126216519878545,0.06016119849959864,0.14718805503560867,0.17775744093275406,0.15773509911355849,-0.0548804530523844,0.08142378330979672,-0.11803500197798078,0.1888290032442136,0.20019755102027753,0.18253665390264714,0.06852614031496523,0.17623977375799882,0.11096750226781708,0.16308701200897405,0.18690521534756976,0.09673521166195037,-0.19876294776717637,-0.20337150326030587,-0.21893024435831807,-0.06443193925395257,-0.20467952009892448,-0.20626985530018618,-0.12590451413776857,-0.3200391077769112,0.07027783213765539,0.20139423423312297,0.1017257316374614,-0.06596404710535288,0.14970325042207216,0.03553327800444394,0.045852372978952394,-0.12740254172663446,0.1736873267848847,-0.3984452870413439,0.0756496686452712,-0.13399829957748924,0.11619950770958887,-0.1934133365445868,0.08215163797499114,0.1169621489869461,-0.05427187317406046,0.20120590523329263,-0.1925321245819039,0.09967034224001949,0.04161995805693491,0.1897330332686098,0.1602763441030511,0.019725835159700923,0.1522643353781517,-0.2441320109959172,-0.1971200120466236,-0.199546651928515,-0.19449065521975525,-0.15784180415394472,0.01725396259911797,0.11057364578699519,-0.3782090667643663,-0.43916363987644397,-0.3247386143866087,-0.2084222590284219,-0.17828063777729397,0.1996207938208804,-0.273075347309298,0.07537751943928327,-0.06164268168252923,-0.15030584544591596,0.059427209741867805,0.12353382604573633,0.1908514713856465,-0.4709201817830309,0.08554126634321085,0.16181224894401153,0.1721976467715871,-0.08146536462393349,0.20127249058446794;-0.12117052631220909,-0.16499959064511063,-0.17568229207075542,0.2847894146066713,0.34743317079588165,-0.048847142842170774,0.5177993802439081,-0.09523619244806551,0.05331835723917736,-0.09661307332213706,0.16760420528789957,-0.05890217491423582,-0.20891972089284158,-0.17723955593983154,-0.0768236729390455,0.2123312395632794,-0.005595735518944024,0.024021631928404383,-0.1904524241116807,-0.11452044085080484,0.05917003833989207,-0.11992954589330904,-0.2637246493966762,0.484213946601159,-0.25205839342556513,-0.12339664616433159,0.12164887318697774,0.29888115389366865,0.02711072921117757,-0.1772942956086507,-0.20515923826814217,-0.23808991361639792,0.39719432556106193,0.49075856880247815,0.23528414071063705,-0.21682046046291217,0.1713773285492476,-0.14663408845341352,0.06871352335652922,0.3760619438982571,-0.059507664731360585,-0.10142867781446505,-0.09856190417806693,-0.15906889699302573,-0.17445166576305052,-0.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x_a{249}=[8.212012142276087,14.082730853471347,15.129922973310357];
std_x_a{249}=[1.1291955084029806,1.7533999597429057,2.1243636494922646];
pred_a{249}=[8.212012142276087];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.8 to 24.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 24.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{250}=[14.367954259674464,18.71253609753496,29.829459501031575];
std_x_f{250}=[1.1215659195715102,1.7280691319209573,3.556604661857325];
pred_f{250}=[14.367954259674464];
obs{250}=[15.292386482288912];
sqrt_r{250}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{250}=[2.2666601114422376];
L_f{250}=[-0.09354143198577797,-0.029565790338166052,-0.0013693920130745925,0.05806464111655537,0.03850509462444986,0.11836063346041976,0.001067376380275465,0.08662968478895317,0.08562615401783141,0.12103116290323135,0.07189779705293615,0.08867939679581859,0.10914388593998897,0.03597796188734805,0.12022172978459442,0.06395582193480233,-0.25948313279566776,0.08869173699494078,-0.09064933471939399,0.08144906044471836,0.08572381950732738,-0.15885659270036864,0.017680961991094653,0.009147720933803442,0.08516157211312207,0.08007309597095291,0.07726683526408464,0.04895787083113471,0.10922259938526381,0.0073008183835933235,0.11366546611066371,-0.02961749424479267,0.028357564259262388,0.0085048206642032,0.06953825390396026,0.10641681320843699,0.08341675622839978,0.1203096744673847,0.10213157471250688,0.03278352739062341,0.09028119074716091,-0.11701043492128538,-0.12120642411305399,-0.1232444067565311,4.3504241563670104E-5,-0.12329288139930007,-0.12425866268510526,-0.05096948087872958,-0.220899294226253,0.08379095234922336,-0.005443109839730906,0.09134012307987338,0.01561954570418153,0.07619575306179964,0.068248117752414,0.07348046805654486,-0.052500195625364704,0.08697033708957401,-0.29810039951893147,0.08543821323449782,-0.05846867932185541,0.08953637985200545,-0.1125364066843051,0.08685876246902317,0.11975873788429589,0.007797856189228596,-0.0012467064742511188,-0.11179118336771701,0.08979663421625336,0.07173862854305162,0.02848745688096009,0.06879599729135724,0.05895229565915564,0.07583365701709735,-0.14763871112811344,-0.11581850510064802,-0.11834949781316313,-0.10038606151315206,-0.07988763949987603,0.058280962635990544,0.12076216869538749,-0.27840703910912745,-0.343245018176888,-0.23151214378726015,-0.12688773536141193,-0.09875533493154967,0.012123040662085296,-0.17654878759067807,0.11167460445845775,0.0018317882425669142,-0.07295626897988026,0.07853523547775658,0.08957941732818214,0.02668759793612445,-0.3756138087938079,0.11547498290573074,0.06844070978507408,0.055271323936283444,-0.014169297853532761,0.001638957413121591;0.07235146883715912,0.13455193406581334,0.15302242827469056,-0.20830745625152483,-0.2555848686198032,0.06579331732273447,-0.39439683451575985,0.10954488233972014,-0.012970669544882149,0.10631342659107329,-0.10783594310518431,0.08089994761009078,0.19851499730813713,0.1661886377232275,0.0888867655164045,-0.14498471490306275,-0.12145088630281836,0.011430074374349864,0.11517625399867343,0.12546897254814637,-0.01791781283894205,0.025637753198435677,0.22006078889981187,-0.36763514698913635,0.23135009632194958,0.13193904991432356,-0.06974344238885011,-0.21648678055200643,0.0024635996402928503,0.15741415137102344,0.1964989692267525,0.18084494012309196,-0.29738510384456585,-0.3730436121852783,-0.16860533793650895,0.20522203484193458,-0.11668576277578732,0.14801940510768977,-0.03212813439347878,-0.27939549060425717,0.08061116708858793,0.04501710717610557,0.04035976408884697,0.07448708997397425,0.1526035302203435,0.037918317247132474,0.03672620399120355,0.11671468059344606,-0.06284143900802988,0.11997649253750998,-0.41154440379899276,0.07295034796606371,0.21785480692912837,-0.0798249217255562,0.1526062326821372,0.14468604241021896,0.11393417500644851,-0.0986568717080911,-0.18334774159040418,0.11544872805646701,0.10927756355803868,0.03461166480539743,0.05008356557163781,0.10579280312439741,0.129356794053145,0.15760814835846354,-0.399637812699048,0.05130311859991365,0.072400600189043,0.148661815629288,-0.2960789917313441,-0.12471326560175558,0.15752298798852246,-0.08627909991101888,0.041636576770850114,0.047229931641188695,0.04424904871097239,0.10327352005676822,0.0877788287199127,0.1616540297705235,0.15009184910422846,-0.15132648109094024,-0.27072512675712157,-0.09195933089522561,0.03390806212762605,0.06630571469983992,-0.36094311666842793,0.0036623508580014862,0.20394382794545646,0.1553023722910642,0.09466227088142316,0.13100297289989213,0.016250072763112276,-0.30392091194340215,-0.3265039333792029,0.19163089474018877,-0.12953327184864036,-0.18908367355449862,0.1451877308500202,-0.39239930616851976;-0.3716428096838382,-0.2480571667247146,-0.1835310414165553,0.41949490395478123,0.4208437906635496,0.27714522741557635,0.4746349748967709,0.13833147704329002,0.27719345578487986,0.24046743475787408,0.3466651954544802,0.17903798159081952,0.09734816869979675,-0.08322601624923032,0.2569742837115137,0.3655637542946129,-0.6500448348567384,0.25812970079994396,-0.42528680620429393,0.10381982711363108,0.2817512134591881,-0.525844084166962,-0.2120639359971158,0.46761232726106383,-0.014538640586674438,0.09147098041509025,0.3185961789627403,0.4039373906372884,0.32333527335502993,-0.16188083264875314,0.11424155723320022,-0.31357470203712423,0.4385791772147236,0.4699830713695775,0.4048938849311997,0.08338179734262793,0.3841427516227463,0.19111300098122397,0.34126054693704005,0.43140118406869093,0.1825292204833068,-0.4115631678016987,-0.4187230035651939,-0.4765043629433526,-0.1794877143147666,-0.4215121072211661,-0.42350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k{250}=[0.5588222535209666;0.19549968388319652;1.4692381119680302];
x_a{250}=[14.884547557543266,18.893262304827527,31.187670554428035];
L_a{250}=[0.1811444305988329,0.05725461052195415,0.002651848824729425,-0.11244307607545666,-0.07456571160852671,-0.22920719833287004,-0.0020669908781066637,-0.16775972519254514,-0.16581637232457874,-0.2343787199254523,-0.1392311966150432,-0.17172902421323677,-0.2113588241299233,-0.06967187995562261,-0.23281124016519356,-0.12385143889631191,0.5024931021733663,-0.171752921199802,0.17554383948712904,-0.15772736597951167,-0.16600550305636613,0.30762825007804073,-0.03423945650953249,-0.017714703149752868,-0.16491670227668062,-0.15506278948294544,-0.1496284221970692,-0.09480767449001055,-0.21151125393479245,-0.014138147780360797,-0.22011493410211602,0.057354735937256845,-0.05491486202279746,-0.016469716828757832,-0.13466190479300225,-0.20607780558368508,-0.16153783931480217,-0.23298154640436528,-0.19777937492203485,-0.06348580811868057,-0.17483092298785308,0.22659251796744573,0.2347181159704498,0.2386647008974274,-8.424663701835166E-5,0.238758572793297,0.24062882319877277,0.0987031884769448,0.4277749016968482,-0.16226247589348092,0.010540666437037985,-0.1768815618371821,-0.030247491969404378,-0.14755425493729313,-0.13216353617061102,-0.14229606350544505,0.10166744127169161,-0.16841940364430913,0.5772760367871147,-0.1654524220892601,0.11322550231253173,-0.1733885851633985,0.21792849305072098,-0.1682033376649893,-0.23191464918544233,-0.015100669182658654,0.0024142663802327645,0.2164853565657798,-0.17389257176721398,-0.1389229643325111,-0.05516640109480997,-0.13322451337623809,-0.11416203283370092,-0.1468530503432726,0.285904648816086,0.2242843274246074,0.2291856339796329,0.1943991615995794,0.15470365015675666,-0.11286198604542926,-0.23385780847926346,0.5391395395977844,0.6646992894334961,0.4483268491061201,0.24572006312147276,0.19124123433873025,-0.02347645584679331,0.3418894592707325,-0.2162595997039347,-0.003547286278746142,0.1412809438814769,-0.15208469883940195,-0.17347192790202187,-0.051680946395227786,0.7273819533718275,-0.22361909137812674,-0.1325364936222286,-0.10703377412913594,0.027439064563964482,-0.0031738663934585114;0.16844821331023843,0.16492538611755625,0.15442922857238034,-0.26795827473746603,-0.2951418238693243,-0.05580062568047949,-0.3954933688866203,0.020548696305139138,-0.100935910916375,-0.018023997883674425,-0.18169780393946985,-0.010201943316811497,0.08638957977584356,0.12922785000857803,-0.03461911419878126,-0.21068764618776706,0.14512066149143074,-0.07968449385432778,0.20830189651084552,0.04179493225423164,-0.10598338767111293,0.18883390139202225,0.201896828284426,-0.3770327602437676,0.14386212804362952,0.0496785619215919,-0.14912100981528353,-0.26678205509859293,-0.10974268158712072,0.14991389331682572,0.07972845352724324,0.21127150849984574,-0.3265173241735808,-0.38178076278055206,-0.24004319894262385,0.09589818668783162,-0.20238125126555556,0.024423178286088337,-0.13704968230470974,-0.3130745800484077,-0.012136274700354228,0.1652239676721495,0.16487723746106012,0.20109821845893558,0.15255883755425634,0.164579244578024,0.16437929528055392,0.16907651722508385,0.16409225850871517,0.03389658584671329,-0.4059526021309681,-0.020884953476410544,0.20180857521708323,-0.1581021477255479,0.08249375104491477,0.06919827605161072,0.16786854159348558,-0.1880030157921909,0.12289599780679611,0.027676561529443148,0.16934345753884716,-0.057370619761198546,0.16569417883127202,0.01656128159388848,0.006326553991870441,0.1495972746980303,-0.39835704939506933,0.16614815094947097,-0.01984904822486875,0.07496347138115957,-0.32534465301600046,-0.1953885934445377,0.09696026650997375,-0.16418433832921125,0.19330839958162485,0.16621230184483426,0.1658315518695505,0.2064018718159638,0.16984879404548348,0.10178098041494654,0.026030767070548733,0.13468592569842802,0.08189646672475677,0.1458771320672145,0.16426204562925945,0.16775879260133442,-0.3733973277705015,0.18503399942024285,0.08921855914255626,0.153420544282471,0.16961151838636543,0.05032235581262642,-0.07577642495334791,-0.3313375467438822,0.05937068322605083,0.07300143087852494,-0.1998436066398843,-0.24586486858475398,0.15974409765228265,-0.3940830357029892;0.3505527284954248,-0.01979166542029222,-0.17295851990532615,-0.028798690125883642,0.12356153888899987,-0.636669320497082,0.4663941938543116,-0.530501258358602,-0.3838914246831697,-0.6939651901633558,-0.20842859704212374,-0.5056197506545643,-0.7453076018189899,-0.36099729894433374,-0.6712090356953107,-0.12821326259908009,1.353319415182756,-0.42662330512852464,0.2745800194737477,-0.5250154044339467,-0.3800877027259848,0.700623375471773,-0.3485714876735435,0.39698647620603217,-0.672036672194521,-0.5267409863122774,-0.27794978459956826,0.02595348422907902,-0.5199282118177382,-0.21824749659387954,-0.763323503804868,-0.08491001579529593,0.21964190047103674,0.40432079310088287,-0.13198282986885038,-0.7382193483194797,-0.25988426270280857,-0.737749303728363,-0.4472560066240473,0.17829283726803918,-0.5144953145807238,0.49182704364402025,0.5170627422251823,0.47501582202291404,-0.1798235929567989,0.5303823308432137,0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x_a{250}=[14.88454755754327,18.893262304827523,31.187670554428063];
std_x_a{250}=[2.1719297595393514,1.8410374608318152,6.0616824570830214];
pred_a{250}=[14.88454755754327];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 24.9 to 25.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{251}=[12.10946095876489,3.7955041092637867,39.07778184732517];
std_x_f{251}=[2.15715382340269,5.4956997329742325,1.538478660683356];
pred_f{251}=[12.10946095876489];
obs{251}=[12.551957138128728];
sqrt_r{251}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{251}=[5.658615619280384];
L_f{251}=[-0.07282171008385994,0.058579231078717195,0.10851155948101376,-0.05898243720974512,-0.11525791984847997,0.19786984282312922,-0.25626317123127035,0.1902373515376431,0.10588831982651672,0.22816906991077987,0.02553793692202753,0.17232748482144084,0.27758301930993323,0.16609169234516677,0.21553225198894388,-0.008725171878478667,-0.4521656356113603,0.12582913947605132,-0.03758960091403498,0.1949045796497179,0.1036596194298299,-0.19756117275434337,0.1796001384293622,-0.22837775826100676,0.27157595959384306,0.19817130947704412,0.05766853459574117,-0.07540648858507093,0.1447757323825929,0.12333478439933941,0.2814709127413395,0.09108995907383197,-0.15606893775465047,-0.23195678241654213,-0.01751491478507385,0.2784759693862219,0.03439344890497322,0.25582981276460653,0.1137640725033534,-0.1381536455814433,0.17510664211212545,-0.1243874811443171,-0.1346574246089463,-0.1117136344644242,0.1107671290816402,-0.13867994897162508,-0.14060222125910896,0.017444392973531363,-0.3516987726266546,0.1940526467757598,-0.27672541791471644,0.17130596198054945,0.1758187107936988,0.049461250219441234,0.19720781555157585,0.19782922112672258,0.014140379924996182,0.05029445773619299,-0.5559544293410125,0.19269100294382918,0.002056049556811163,0.14294357802481694,-0.11475161318452014,0.18814549621235838,0.24236015314281162,0.12383159249455773,-0.26340232242984807,-0.11319721860658326,0.16830097055849133,0.19829467278678023,-0.15526295507725663,0.009884427883934108,0.18907419502734826,0.04486049291964568,-0.17048048720074913,-0.12182625780704946,-0.12698521831765958,-0.059742930833474234,-0.042723597888291893,0.19082488259648003,0.25754247326734986,-0.5027449471751696,-0.6914890061834692,-0.38976317732036897,-0.14723438835165573,-0.08419834213760242,-0.21995325104481064,-0.239324780533437,0.2836750202713215,0.11437189178890807,-0.02775609441660656,0.19508551843971583,0.13083702779561324,-0.1629644594366653,-0.7843429137295158,0.2811042107370608,0.007182872428436158,-0.049553677081220535,0.0861995623248835,-0.2546041163284155;-0.4021824397832069,-0.07551284043220746,0.06745245405451986,0.14941585636055718,0.025410127365617208,0.60385904209884,-0.24301465080764892,0.4700712336695651,0.39911553236164726,0.6372852251420762,0.27762552495100895,0.4645703344615549,0.6241342563367323,0.25185964935783345,0.6252039695321066,0.21738598644895527,-1.2479360743907837,0.4284031118145569,-0.3644984103795822,0.4531891228394632,0.39752664539002724,-0.7197100094177168,0.1899320738353037,-0.1880648351833876,0.5214566293384736,0.4494829209792128,0.3261329741751886,0.10106534001033725,0.5241309169161632,0.11130754573564067,0.6450704789699019,-0.05182263372915083,-0.04900360945946651,-0.1933003924313486,0.23066945239872788,0.6127416496121091,0.3294868047738122,0.6540908831554989,0.4704926665582472,-0.016903067420999993,0.4731575995568728,-0.5221599349054928,-0.5430643307864863,-0.5340034214775049,0.07458694611079228,-0.555874226731811,-0.5591495364882986,-0.18251662773281296,-1.0436450054268216,0.4623181512212788,-0.28611871619299956,0.4744406866390311,0.17847337549447492,0.3149264040467198,0.4009395909647139,0.4228667859161026,-0.1905208149108852,0.35660045452093964,-1.4529344912445257,0.46676107682791396,-0.22116642423132887,0.4451298563009538,-0.4999031058526763,0.4684976503599307,0.6430965914712645,0.11305582923191825,-0.25836226542953494,-0.4967366062712714,0.4663577732630729,0.4174270825510162,-0.04922999360884071,0.25296792032171106,0.35978131360462673,0.3098127481383909,-0.6602559100538018,-0.516792210330226,-0.5300415058410721,-0.41497355918035045,-0.3317130454359226,0.35751181156311146,0.6575073625703318,-1.3469979188405723,-1.7049831257400676,-1.1100888920763923,-0.5748425567860297,-0.4287292312124658,-0.16912003648329174,-0.811303435985253,0.6384649120249603,0.08349307736276843,-0.2958771811741502,0.4403697830828823,0.435833444057014,-0.06179760952896245,-1.8809516452075845,0.6522221169230751,0.2490236711007254,0.14884327536558878,0.002794861638011138,-0.24002823227093498;0.13578988901812128,0.1535753965219822,0.15193264511132384,-0.2417091985935723,-0.24836506413901363,-0.07238002197527658,-0.28540065816920973,0.019803377074320668,-0.1060058128333837,-0.031813486802049144,-0.1754437191536325,-0.01342256946879689,0.09090035347473505,0.13541136879834528,-0.04992804111940094,-0.19692231346599387,0.08777178427662627,-0.08557392505927644,0.1687510510276526,0.04370033268219932,-0.11054015464691766,0.12852128373627264,0.20628634413629743,-0.2817155546205913,0.15826895541845332,0.052499091638325376,-0.14824912509931698,-0.23366245431662608,-0.12548933728637834,0.149934710622001,0.08271170440630367,0.1972198987240482,-0.2639931309050938,-0.28427425717894206,-0.22581362254293316,0.102047255534498,-0.2013684043867695,0.01707799796557026,-0.1499516651903165,-0.2567907569596056,-0.015517354096598827,0.12529729562258807,0.12409508414041201,0.14956046217244967,0.15037252407837867,0.12300217111399146,0.12280018073755371,0.1505696430412345,0.0992641090724882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k{251}=[0.8232783303759423;1.9476408737212543;0.08145420002915661];
x_a{251}=[12.473758474509284,4.657327754658288,39.11382501963121];
L_a{251}=[0.03807171855313763,-0.03062564716098738,-0.05673063084574348,0.030836446252657163,0.06025767700920833,-0.10344778991650527,0.13397624581208328,-0.09945746807778871,-0.055359182115571885,-0.11928844574194837,-0.01335141877063279,-0.09009405977333826,-0.14512241712159787,-0.08683394220896021,-0.11268182561762882,0.004561583183128356,0.23639547599983946,-0.06578438735370364,0.01965211617354066,-0.1018975288083259,-0.05419400137284809,0.10328641496429604,-0.09389625586261457,0.11939754952605361,-0.14198188270432693,-0.10360539887113944,-0.030149528430087683,0.039423059513230344,-0.07568980363475583,-0.0644803204162092,-0.1471550360248706,-0.04762249171136125,0.08159397336645566,0.12126868933020686,0.009156924568396264,-0.14558925790228405,-0.01798114470635163,-0.13374968286050692,-0.059476682775215374,0.07222772859370699,-0.09154702337531945,0.06503067791468639,0.0703998788946107,0.05840469888690958,-0.05790985900329684,0.07250288382586914,0.073507861729125,-0.009120055253492774,0.18387067086870953,-0.10145213211871038,0.1446740568879277,-0.0895600002181698,-0.09191929805005808,-0.025858700591793113,-0.1031016772541129,-0.10342655259880218,-0.007392693252039147,-0.02629430752875718,0.29065701063414817,-0.10074025484091526,-0.0010749176305813659,-0.07473194003920398,0.05999297621064628,-0.09836383093158034,-0.12670764705089727,-0.06474005529409484,0.13770864587282816,0.05918032744390353,-0.08798896889326063,-0.10366989410480877,0.08117259977309867,-0.0051676506363634665,-0.09884936141231508,-0.023453391284343417,0.08912843601220592,0.06369165176526076,0.06638879376262001,0.031234037838610573,0.02233620705291541,-0.09976463357949834,-0.1346450742013918,0.2628387071770706,0.3615154710825834,0.20377101790427055,0.07697520681967635,0.04401950435951209,0.11499315601051345,0.12512073222076,-0.14830735943839254,-0.059794455109099864,0.014511087607616874,-0.10199212492094417,-0.0684025477131397,0.08519900214774118,0.41006016785750476,-0.14696332155560457,-0.0037552578370323698,0.025907022025941858,-0.04506575679776542,0.13310887986787615;-0.13984032986531128,-0.28654604826076746,-0.32346326918170054,0.36190162479259885,0.4406297897846649,-0.10897222752616964,0.6801801074264482,-0.2152637870283249,0.01765009840026727,-0.18469980033269504,0.1856244411071974,-0.15624392426485428,-0.3758658106664758,-0.34649000433043664,-0.1512565897849059,0.24881864571169995,0.38100242131397793,-0.024899645032084985,-0.22908089267224563,-0.24895970886313604,0.02409016273682746,-0.007990731766261038,-0.45708210919948855,0.6346719955160997,-0.4569028483609788,-0.2644343901293992,0.11838057417939297,0.3727191818952147,0.0025725649573811135,-0.3330092318892076,-0.3689358255242472,-0.3799765871071327,0.5132388094023017,0.6423299661368063,0.29376738973715416,-0.3904752933309125,0.20558350804137454,-0.2675426898995578,0.060654628162646725,0.4807990441189216,-0.15766864579539785,-0.07405078980035432,-0.057957446488657374,-0.13155213959681067,-0.3244545254416047,-0.05627609350167825,-0.05262636720566874,-0.24536050840580337,0.22335899599198994,-0.23676157008271517,0.7107918194159223,-0.14269350940964012,-0.4549181158553877,0.136740960079493,-0.3095067081474848,-0.2898181429881055,-0.24146190240103446,0.17541335874284086,0.5499058408976772,-0.22741328705706365,-0.22857339638576543,-0.06982811179756439,-0.0865074263960688,-0.2093014069687078,-0.23001218147969782,-0.333050712513736,0.6905514712012656,-0.08894067382350768,-0.13995086281124272,-0.29693464809849074,0.5101088516359221,0.21735901106351854,-0.3213634054273996,0.14820165234094257,-0.046095508429450614,-0.07790993909959569,-0.07257394481461019,-0.1997480926335775,-0.1778001697235676,-0.32993980509826304,-0.2702961146155855,0.46415386598585223,0.7861240544991288,0.2940431200499135,-0.04442683257186728,-0.12540250759487143,0.6232672872412788,0.05087032797164237,-0.3834817473336324,-0.3285346458622269,-0.1958851271019845,-0.262430885329943,-0.03551036107693325,0.5252861060417299,0.944664158788173,-0.36046313403631397,0.22314718583311735,0.3273616895130593,-0.30774130990022386,0.677189737404046;0.1467615558103137,0.1447495696689961,0.1355837750785305,-0.23282262277831745,-0.23099975521833016,-0.10219203794110293,-0.24679082433501168,-0.008858691285465459,-0.12195945304567364,-0.06619052909428008,-0.17929138675366266,-0.039386251733606076,0.049078369460188065,0.11038720082338384,-0.08240116004328055,-0.19560773738085316,0.15589721944004847,-0.10453194443961844,0.1744144799090307,0.014335077434466131,-0.1261580082084426,0.1582867939946726,0.17922692912929852,-0.2473070703443765,0.11735202372319134,0.022641655265976383,-0.15693774206875977,-0.22230135244505642,-0.1473019408831374,0.1313525026958468,0.04030395179055421,0.1834958502511186,-0.24047903902667614,-0.24932654002244345,-0.22317474179302807,0.060090735394833235,-0.20655028573486087,-0.021466544011400676,-0.1670919039322002,-0.23597586860144087,-0.04189975747797279,0.1440381078702527,0.14438321514149283,0.16639177212214618,0.133683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x_a{251}=[12.473758474509282,4.657327754658284,39.11382501963122];
std_x_a{251}=[1.127775674944149,3.376211143080143,1.526655921952677];
pred_a{251}=[12.473758474509282];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.0 to 25.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{252}=[4.36176938065262,-2.0742110065610557,30.673393329446323];
std_x_f{252}=[1.791485999888547,1.8349627866695464,1.505660028945943];
pred_f{252}=[4.36176938065262];
obs{252}=[3.5472235035521735];
sqrt_r{252}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{252}=[4.217030967643206];
L_f{252}=[-0.08722889341577367,-0.16352793546523428,-0.18294793862688877,0.23131150313949939,0.2664444810715481,-0.03291784177046496,0.3701300101840832,-0.1044519281665613,0.03885603592315971,-0.08021406809691199,0.13551496862209195,-0.06803361434057481,-0.20291220940906932,-0.19282228881959101,-0.05881336093886163,0.16989703854875923,0.14559278783282326,0.013539187307487249,-0.13693415724387195,-0.12682127350275563,0.04261691872624262,-0.024354239008898184,-0.26202797845437076,0.3526662651068504,-0.25696020155484073,-0.1361063440229829,0.09752571443790896,0.23400735659935434,0.034624230269053015,-0.18751404764361632,-0.19790589559195543,-0.2191165050512386,0.3005899967574329,0.35616318347898807,0.1973135972975938,-0.21244076089963126,0.1507688125653922,-0.13208300011602472,0.06992588038274444,0.2853359380149191,-0.0682741119057514,-0.05366749190867398,-0.0465397295041679,-0.08601826311026466,-0.18301486161443536,-0.04515593487495999,-0.043487885948072735,-0.14225140581800244,0.0812572667032681,-0.11828449687578244,0.3811480154593092,-0.05842822060595319,-0.2605268703416432,0.10781921667066777,-0.1659261566726027,-0.1528509754905216,-0.13996389363638953,0.13411669654629088,0.20592382393035846,-0.11206232576228017,-0.1330108023923652,-0.013875797659835933,-0.06063003763572656,-0.10118810705898168,-0.10932717712174089,-0.18697829714144595,0.37386090405016004,-0.06163001985578095,-0.057710796573503934,-0.1580994082547911,0.29908950020406116,0.1531446916795526,-0.17445812018996112,0.11485717772069012,-0.042989398788771886,-0.05602491939642207,-0.05335331833479096,-0.12161057926806086,-0.10653685937654774,-0.18043509455802503,-0.13396702256390072,0.1764783327003231,0.27714540083535505,0.11121864042442615,-0.03949994615179872,-0.08010858663043566,0.34795439342050594,0.0033239558460313534,-0.2071807889795257,-0.18511402454119869,-0.1158107619156022,-0.13531665409442117,0.007198461678662139,0.30577935024747055,0.31500562084893735,-0.19226414277118054,0.1562446161877727,0.21129266795345789,-0.17483830439760295,0.3688634324888152;-0.13835027511830006,-0.1863155496267331,-0.192548578185248,0.2957785427428437,0.30551870593937785,0.06499868980569698,0.3317095661386337,-0.043474344341414464,0.12368141112764641,0.009832458762485152,0.21639937642954968,0.0013002703916290144,-0.1503269438559677,-0.1821052500173403,0.03491049145128825,0.2437311983084881,-0.04252617934848471,0.09642634498345216,-0.19058518319499554,-0.0735871959757844,0.1279724778675579,-0.11130505677404123,-0.27694607577994823,0.3327667808552556,-0.232187544142721,-0.08618127739368477,0.18087946787522888,0.2888921510474402,0.13793487027157805,-0.19244329999628854,-0.1408690985226303,-0.25084719883249595,0.3207006144875315,0.33433036917930603,0.27551708249283063,-0.16378092449918175,0.24227684457720308,-0.05587228518456989,0.17165873237737594,0.31383773529060865,0.0024686886655783825,-0.11721928904104417,-0.11270450017958394,-0.1533781569000046,-0.1918431950410552,-0.11174803092195101,-0.1110875461046818,-0.17397886530760404,-0.0592174092348342,-0.06230512584203084,0.3286344933624494,0.014616986343205369,-0.2765081076968329,0.19089417153128607,-0.12996057345618792,-0.11149852944967038,-0.17224973720734527,0.22859280272590007,-0.04401363486524333,-0.05365159487617941,-0.1680362648371758,0.06645441298679823,-0.12114785618055852,-0.039171842184336184,-0.026730042458297763,-0.19246869438771302,0.3306751171411177,-0.12241669386151192,0.014493446938269152,-0.11897945060835531,0.32000350028541,0.23094634307467313,-0.14608706889376757,0.19791694057664636,-0.12443143893794541,-0.11850410753358878,-0.11767599634012059,-0.17889586099077864,-0.15139416049349816,-0.1536619126035737,-0.05687704825558735,-0.04083815488230406,-0.07501479492132578,-0.045382469840636014,-0.10903582139692099,-0.1335726478833263,0.33307688267630875,-0.09680637575967456,-0.154674643089728,-0.19338835017597786,-0.1574319161931673,-0.08569696800224316,0.09037318777167232,0.3224323676950378,-0.12102888136829792,-0.1323786651339247,0.2349846708749603,0.2743673419737006,-0.190474352022558,0.33183349912495597;-0.024068057293320008,-0.07317878736825931,-0.08722860021322049,0.08501839805714725,0.13956037096200813,-0.1246554538544613,0.306490945390327,-0.1216490525264953,-0.0737559028375557,-0.13802325906996396,-0.005774416640264022,-0.11354190225909616,-0.14166075708247658,-0.10471304762277271,-0.13284284686972914,0.026708564458698833,0.227253237741184,-0.08595152350720084,-0.04285414677407546,-0.12149795799543828,-0.07230074090617856,0.033269265661872195,-0.09707526088006087,0.27296857051417234,-0.12525058345920856,-0.12323491077003448,-0.034200572158095154,0.09622061278633784,-0.09332591478261539,-0.09149287765779097,-0.14379541267304521,-0.08015264515720624,0.1873682050063748,0.2781937928902975,0.04368012078628181,-0.13984286783711822,-0.00487688315590068,-0.14580027993038255,-0.07169655992447234,0.1656446094324596,-0.11533510160771629,2.2638419133235937E-4,0.007898901423244727,-0.013829175559651385,-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k{252}=[0.7628663370810211;0.6824731890140648;0.5404043224856117];
x_a{252}=[3.740379751004555,-2.6301167289040563,30.233209216598407];
L_a{252}=[0.05858338788144631,0.10982622956305459,0.12286880677947443,-0.1553500334490228,-0.17894552793515764,0.022107797280740225,-0.24858127971226532,0.0701504694502992,-0.026095919997195075,0.0538721939583883,-0.0910125723215289,0.045691736554460245,0.1362769170191396,0.1295004727878812,0.03949936542322091,-0.11410375300497831,-0.09778088920257995,-0.009092990069855218,0.09196570693382289,0.085173840528022,-0.02862174885277259,0.016356436205319787,0.17597938133201,-0.23685253581033686,0.172575835463479,0.09140974318014355,-0.06549878754162934,-0.15716058294387272,-0.023253816854928163,0.12593542983476086,0.13291465008304232,0.14715980799456468,-0.20187783753472466,-0.23920108475281018,-0.13251685940427357,0.14267634278348157,-0.10125713489042443,0.08870764405390194,-0.046962592473667256,-0.19163313070553736,0.045853255995938445,0.03604337246518018,0.03125632939586548,0.05777032214151296,0.12291375261317819,0.030326965576875583,0.02920669506257142,0.09553679930336142,-0.05457281168034264,0.07944049602700354,-0.25598103054530374,0.03924070313108317,0.1749712291547175,-0.07241195828524903,0.11143688765712292,0.10265552656431415,0.09400049397870026,-0.090073485372552,-0.13829953331909817,0.07526165287615026,0.08933076098802453,0.009319059369422645,0.040719455136847625,0.06795846986812379,0.07342471252935044,0.12557561695341746,-0.25108696783855095,0.04139104850434309,0.03875887734237208,0.1061804018706341,-0.2008700960839428,-0.10285278791608934,0.11716699964817312,-0.07713869028817302,0.02887190844011539,0.03762663328059435,0.0358323718251381,0.08167431061850297,0.07155072031899447,0.12118116736313839,0.08997296353141936,-0.11852378509463486,-0.18613232245544611,-0.07469502932445844,0.02652837352501167,0.053801352045543906,-0.23368801777234036,-0.002232386391750783,0.13914371771884487,0.12432356157841142,0.07777912249567426,0.0908793832319724,-0.004834525077152165,-0.20536303488684265,-0.21155944720137904,0.12912561893879393,-0.10493471367207305,-0.14190527746606418,0.11742233338027179,-0.24773063940836776;-0.007904130391165836,0.05823173168464536,0.08104027918914197,-0.05013543866884476,-0.09293476490701821,0.11422556158575889,-0.2218000679477908,0.11272792769359459,0.06557428759237681,0.12978830740827157,0.01374398877821637,0.10304090190783521,0.15311741269815993,0.10625016994754523,0.12286272714401568,-0.010340736017292365,-0.2602524066243781,0.07617921449903765,0.014192525135902408,0.11606723560076468,0.06424115524845563,-0.07488459490561782,0.11490275161600196,-0.19462675650431763,0.1520826939464739,0.11735848054038302,0.035034978027738535,-0.06105333502763126,0.08615618575686941,0.08797392919748129,0.15508858347718515,0.07682981517911378,-0.12881564881815857,-0.19829262257557442,-0.01955484908642555,0.15391287118119093,0.016810149149803805,0.1416507771223675,0.06708831820162657,-0.11286689901828026,0.10456897142766283,-0.03696242525976834,-0.04310682385087616,-0.02474244504504658,0.08184574208188206,-0.044219745449938994,-0.046053738588403385,0.03875050387659721,-0.1807333056016807,0.11458301287238727,-0.24135197832279442,0.10199326526702863,0.11309589280224759,0.029656299635448774,0.11817311940363122,0.11708192926923695,0.03705877985523754,0.028028456178326513,-0.35196169986186937,0.11393161972645194,0.030874276151174905,0.08720492624978173,-0.030478877651347908,0.11214955994746922,0.13676290363991292,0.08714734858430079,-0.22841386917778428,-0.03025229540555723,0.10079685659248541,0.11744975860077346,-0.12726885067771793,0.0019266475042742665,0.11480571908017914,0.02615417435090852,-0.06014309230716513,-0.03472183702974037,-0.03788896233523348,0.0029662560481091204,0.007926014654962748,0.11616912086353286,0.14346346885652972,-0.30475206261584903,-0.48947091894331,-0.21170399814442514,-0.04996576455380865,-0.01377454112905288,-0.18727030258748759,-0.10177717394796872,0.15515314591003404,0.083439772831678,0.01575688419427989,0.1166618508796718,0.07960827333590484,-0.13484429620607377,-0.5921029394932938,0.1551420772676129,0.0013292039998052448,-0.041609542110615655,0.07098698110003143,-0.219782035760214;0.07922341495332696,0.12046165155314435,0.12940789699864774,-0.18888746926804034,-0.17594796170356905,-0.08567602620716937,-0.13179586735590682,0.002036953530004287,-0.11976700075486597,-0.043038342212993144,-0.1662435005906386,-0.03298038287809,0.09861628904238749,0.12361609097136834,-0.063199424819279,-0.17447380247103383,0.054850576021453545,-0.10198385563077451,0.11929545926478433,0.028676548860400466,-0.12276526138183658,0.06210816415259792,0.21320330169849985,-0.1446386730052749,0.17902700723409629,0.03793444614513983,-0.14968495160771558,-0.18087753019345823,-0.13432595020494612,0.13055054499251426,0.09055344263741039,0.1793126021250619,-0.16857329662083242,-0.14355430158850774,-0.18996736872165043,0.11171734460222514,-0.18340869766063503,0.01060486298148604,-0.15449879264854946,-0.1722339072874307,-0.034488798749515284,0.06377636211676083,0.06300859031420722,0.08802873744182219,0.1284960690821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x_a{252}=[3.7403797510045536,-2.630116728904057,30.23320921659839];
std_x_a{252}=[1.2031715078099694,1.40455874407879,1.172658135067802];
pred_a{252}=[3.7403797510045536];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.1 to 25.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{253}=[-0.23852817443821192,-2.429650036618226,22.9749028523642];
std_x_f{253}=[1.208979206116183,1.4021801482862675,0.862261528916288];
pred_f{253}=[-0.23852817443821192];
obs{253}=[-0.5900038896727057];
sqrt_r{253}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{253}=[2.4618119109266434];
L_f{253}=[0.01346068740175213,0.06811086787560096,0.0856585804953312,-0.08149161326806628,-0.11868247923716514,0.08743131153323305,-0.2272961027929761,0.0973693562736553,0.04069041022633615,0.106121678130299,-0.015512886721847266,0.08558527220013457,0.1361978998689106,0.10326717394329063,0.09768078585272007,-0.040339858774613484,-0.1950403644432093,0.052895718441367506,0.03544578341851236,0.1026287469975549,0.039569222453921866,-0.041030891324519606,0.1145229252167626,-0.20627107213587598,0.1389829668226892,0.105019640355979,0.006709058873703381,-0.08936831253601657,0.055237536006141626,0.09093718781768503,0.13725003223366575,0.08613086273433197,-0.15078288026324918,-0.20925008458892178,-0.052569920595684584,0.13681118306694504,-0.01704899305771541,0.12148404116111455,0.03556214915085393,-0.13681574912060726,0.08636308303183043,-0.01085052559243477,-0.016018549287458998,0.0029598070602796455,0.08597404694664511,-0.017362783623818812,-0.01913512754174705,0.05247261650543413,-0.1302701216691368,0.1003405222177492,-0.24263322956716343,0.08312003919094071,0.11348550787382264,0.0013628597685086121,0.10851867968025912,0.10632830163114991,0.050410267404095425,-0.005760872635910563,-0.2651488860428243,0.0993337910061715,0.04562760808998166,0.0657018387498152,-0.006026659035357526,0.09668041491739361,0.1147506691691763,0.08996126765074831,-0.2324207184173323,-0.0053212642795162175,0.08227556782458922,0.107421415932007,-0.14947385202518837,-0.0279883234535201,0.10733082114777662,-0.0024847634709423854,-0.027798930792286944,-0.008911615957154012,-0.012437999824040265,0.02621308697303447,0.027212944144743147,0.10874829852906474,0.12244329683862641,-0.2295872165266188,-0.36235793351589946,-0.1564320081975854,-0.022015477019440673,0.008511929791993566,-0.20015387760192765,-0.06392209335565215,0.13769182980620961,0.087305176140556,0.033621336300450756,0.10421868657451475,0.05637908770022045,-0.15592440418660766,-0.4293609280480296,0.13637266750347712,-0.0288940551279385,-0.0711341436007822,0.07758062054079877,-0.226151595937773;-0.010188530584287953,0.047708554423679085,0.0666937985500006,-0.04912975868480403,-0.09841556264591916,0.1355625660232075,-0.23833141221938667,0.1218660686975374,0.08484362811758034,0.1463059023989611,0.026945195319828284,0.11705514596288769,0.14197739950834848,0.09260125610932313,0.1415703696000595,-0.0012782539753755577,-0.2593705721133333,0.09581169406228218,0.005590190932303004,0.12065491799275944,0.08413361497335357,-0.07508713969322024,0.07879929586433679,-0.21050879802502515,0.12091591136631108,0.12035883257901712,0.05036619533725548,-0.061202736842224784,0.10876745495830069,0.07349026586847461,0.1460693334435998,0.05209330321166965,-0.13908421758256048,-0.21420318876458172,-0.012918491321106307,0.1394126987642274,0.030164639109467727,0.14957061424516532,0.08846235018612333,-0.12101936344952365,0.11888765451748617,-0.03705398567126252,-0.04295821325000913,-0.027846405712849957,0.06801338365246926,-0.04462250757840426,-0.04611027729756738,0.029846961791928972,-0.18055631541240896,0.12087980465336176,-0.2581908091572482,0.11735468462767346,0.07727899410322701,0.04516347063053744,0.11347974912620902,0.11521582382321426,0.029043228283964686,0.04362551386083065,-0.34791882129091906,0.12182795185428844,0.023818448562822312,0.10586029075683101,-0.03166942908450986,0.12172643717384483,0.14897080627578543,0.07297017229204153,-0.24425801046836343,-0.031131436992617126,0.11641399033970115,0.114508442400631,-0.13674297165748445,0.013031033362224151,0.10684573198860017,0.04160402257252357,-0.06089613612338789,-0.03503571700025666,-0.038399992229923775,-0.004118923236597812,0.004120762079775128,0.10747518204929839,0.15073322363301267,-0.302716860541006,-0.4668449074152776,-0.21212583130064594,-0.05003754194445435,-0.016181920827707495,-0.20248605019295582,-0.10156417417242114,0.143056622569257,0.06918564863602693,0.010593822976162948,0.11962388900461224,0.09901454138389866,-0.1452304277633388,-0.5466011701365341,0.14763248113759947,0.012148914602691841,-0.037972839203214453,0.05841265545467561,-0.23614583622054056;0.03948915335511215,0.06838677035629571,0.07750752362917211,-0.13265803083181568,-0.11406882221963667,-0.07100561501530009,-0.04116088566036756,-0.00865232700539969,-0.09745736586241555,-0.03908211024668241,-0.12735275071534993,-0.033966693805376,0.06465441637811632,0.07611830806417473,-0.05441618873790468,-0.13016559316968812,0.06968915649132838,-0.08437990509491282,0.06675181581492243,0.01005339075466183,-0.09955312668095737,0.03198583566186556,0.13919115840011928,-0.06005890478965006,0.12121749213020123,0.016945628835651486,-0.11741304922280639,-0.12513394877185274,-0.10737825800785282,0.07860042936696175,0.05940132200863082,0.11163279842404013,-0.09879759031054812,-0.05747054621335628,-0.13881083691847068,0.07434293399838786,-0.1392798402592306,3.4162061406811715E-4,-0.12171071274928662,-0.10606841226946806,-0.03594457803530222,0.029735009926353133,0.030011929137520627,0.0449746942142757,0.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k{253}=[0.5937951248178043;0.670996918335401;0.008701220419872233];
x_a{253}=[-0.44723274063630514,-2.665489158410302,22.971844584693713];
L_a{253}=[-0.019807728461481704,-0.10022679643984218,-0.12604868178029596,0.11991688829292828,0.17464415090415145,-0.12865729856084993,0.3344717361083853,-0.14328137278388833,-0.059876926987001595,-0.1561606269831442,0.02282758960735385,-0.12594080684331166,-0.20041851779993786,-0.15196015473823785,-0.14373964897386848,0.059361082011165016,0.28700663365948514,-0.07783733448302337,-0.05215933125131444,-0.1510206939806853,-0.05822707194710031,0.06037795319300404,-0.16852326613074278,0.30353289281454604,-0.2045168114695694,-0.15453895163057754,-0.009872543090564078,0.13150764258471898,-0.08128337591054625,-0.1338162806684749,-0.2019667561301656,-0.1267436565663601,0.22188067070822737,0.30791658199713723,0.07735791503972045,-0.20132097892202533,0.025088007391432063,-0.17876671732303973,-0.0523305662528897,0.2013276979808952,-0.1270853743745826,0.015966811960236887,0.023571684354808484,-0.0043554279806515975,-0.1265128983258433,0.025549757831186067,0.028157804955295927,-0.0772147297074748,0.19169564819777107,-0.1476535156379711,0.3570406906836826,-0.12231315659165848,-0.16699668131253262,-0.002005481252182101,-0.15968787298524534,-0.15646467848337342,-0.07417993291197238,0.008477264010933351,0.3901730260756959,-0.14617208620740318,-0.06714213356411661,-0.09668185156777334,0.008868375153467934,-0.14226757884429048,-0.1688583968884459,-0.13238019043847304,0.34201273247262026,0.007830369636748288,-0.12107049646450836,-0.15807322272799496,0.21995440386062615,0.04118549777682849,-0.15793991030252186,0.0036563898004962764,0.040906801875621034,0.013113659337288938,0.018302818850579525,-0.03857319417665745,-0.04004450829059273,-0.16002576269852914,-0.1801782853520851,0.33784316561684097,0.5332185005657524,0.23019349967660066,0.03239630917320833,-0.01252551143718408,0.2945312924758635,0.09406291299160781,-0.202616871989089,-0.12847168726679348,-0.049474613002661455,-0.15336032868659846,-0.08296319695580097,0.22944654804513365,0.6318150344712811,-0.20067569261917453,0.042518303935264914,0.10467562010250203,-0.11416176749973153,0.3327875664717579;-0.047782312663552866,-0.14251539534367466,-0.1725384124247147,0.17846470651974758,0.23304769237983156,-0.10862063016756426,0.39647421849105485,-0.15007267051377793,-0.02879889021069316,-0.15007682475634418,0.07027047770960716,-0.12197232538806453,-0.2384039298031769,-0.19580924755190052,-0.1312381480541365,0.1113852240936376,0.2853493770761865,-0.05191851113898327,-0.09340483195864732,-0.16597255016996537,-0.02637758564965959,0.039506293831668704,-0.2410469174218079,0.3655769176363525,-0.26724371314007067,-0.1729460600872775,0.03162874978732521,0.1883902271718812,-0.04550311304702561,-0.18048434327921592,-0.2372504516583778,-0.18845792476737716,0.2820308839510093,0.37020248423839813,0.13390180691575662,-0.24268144314086418,0.07778004763602099,-0.1897170040769808,-0.01085766561585565,0.26108753079289054,-0.12231213166650085,-0.006750013638275402,0.0017793126404079488,-0.03611272512877664,-0.1720998801741584,0.0038692732914427106,0.007331407617405236,-0.11670157998442647,0.1832695739572075,-0.15935697771799742,0.4194492314508484,-0.1147877421667745,-0.2396698603518479,0.04135719747280537,-0.1895974618413521,-0.181743973330941,-0.11174546628897059,0.05971481034301722,0.39260423989808896,-0.1555971736788382,-0.10361295996313465,-0.07763558389263528,-0.014837829057027373,-0.14828818698749718,-0.17151146342125217,-0.1782788308752441,0.40485994154276944,-0.016269904015908186,-0.11336994824598944,-0.18550426725253968,0.28071620051315715,0.09119843308496456,-0.19291395933985747,0.048543612926056814,0.01674231688056284,-0.010146843329233038,-0.003662430846094248,-0.07732834039911261,-0.07188111370700812,-0.19624332164764938,-0.19123345912487555,0.3384875243972589,0.5451691733452881,0.22476647968462551,0.011448548679133563,-0.03995452798538927,0.356515212692571,0.07696112516333337,-0.2414970402069915,-0.17464526937434766,-0.08330577905517925,-0.17144405386727546,-0.05844421785851332,0.29024421754099744,0.6525427279891693,-0.23323694927696062,0.09284589384645582,0.16069468891833272,-0.1582589642878124,0.39546334990883697;0.039001652182826835,0.06592002204369454,0.07440525573144728,-0.12970667657969687,-0.10977053892763254,-0.07417208531468038,-0.032928979424061214,-0.012178720116786597,-0.09893103671547478,-0.04292548324460748,-0.12679092573296138,-0.03706630672131765,0.05972178300901782,0.07237831568091879,-0.057953860789240565,-0.12870461812023484,0.07675286753900053,-0.08629561147597592,0.06546808784075918,0.006336520064613511,-0.10098619185489462,0.0334718376039364,0.1350435202721106,-0.05258845499213854,0.11618399293127281,0.013142167967831412,-0.11765602894354765,-0.12189732676094422,-0.1093787772052333,0.07530698792951493,0.05443058391680075,0.10851342603987309,-0.09333673762933072,-0.0498922065273297,-0.1369069298480186,0.06938808955870543,-0.138662382632153,-0.004058125900533432,-0.12299865510190135,-0.10111340246256147,-0.039072360663602916,0.030127979749390417,0.030592067530373548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x_a{253}=[-0.4472327406363051,-2.6654891584103013,22.9718445846937];
std_x_a{253}=[1.7790422669803605,2.034520908515522,0.8624958039532137];
pred_a{253}=[-0.4472327406363051];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.2 to 25.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{254}=[-2.031471857440749,-3.3830749260344573,18.38357977160352];
std_x_f{254}=[2.2835726977665063,3.137450323140371,1.103294824292308];
pred_f{254}=[-2.031471857440749];
obs{254}=[-2.283929828606537];
sqrt_r{254}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{254}=[6.216509651758545];
L_f{254}=[-0.04248983141817953,-0.14599141479076966,-0.1781116560028182,0.1865565970123109,0.25575921234604676,-0.14933595642883196,0.45304635379767355,-0.18011940641147162,-0.058742529976308466,-0.18934805896612675,0.055082153238966834,-0.15377267600199152,-0.2598932460223593,-0.20686995090142557,-0.17169550128168323,0.10500678961222668,0.34455043916182093,-0.08352064368293677,-0.08890002354664288,-0.1927627577497393,-0.056300017593173546,0.05885348584044182,-0.23772461611659196,0.416444942621719,-0.2742973054965753,-0.19823405645754946,0.009979009656688157,0.19993021239082573,-0.08300219979927541,-0.18718980243461664,-0.260898814023309,-0.18619075305052632,0.3162122483018988,0.421875470595214,0.13135617496652202,-0.2620371092038161,0.0616537486205512,-0.22316135771288248,-0.04311904973839816,0.290344098507085,-0.15459128318338625,0.003937726411946116,0.013736790276345286,-0.026274877406611698,-0.17826361384235884,0.01590246787964324,0.019763250194771043,-0.1176709512421636,0.22650955087717603,-0.18706889349758687,0.4790347045455307,-0.14814832337284947,-0.2367485172502013,0.021149753141540845,-0.2094837277020446,-0.20381623440482208,-0.1125571075140646,0.03934646106507197,0.46381080488009224,-0.18412172224641854,-0.10355182236400425,-0.11128643750032816,-0.005425890637200467,-0.17783380893450443,-0.208183880636246,-0.1849450088276663,0.46149095251793937,-0.0074279707301798045,-0.1461023755714367,-0.2069370314188067,0.31394618762663506,0.08027660648953035,-0.21018601445606003,0.02932540595009692,0.03335474746540523,3.9127591570861057E-5,0.007207997619455562,-0.071044878797341,-0.06912655672596231,-0.21209825183259834,-0.2251191272038625,0.4043966866602802,0.616942361937947,0.2743589946666756,0.024524864916464755,-0.03342632479947064,0.40560466078925467,0.10269302870977538,-0.26286849407484386,-0.1804597299263262,-0.08156340142764998,-0.1972919363716257,-0.09130472892650954,0.3257549723197932,0.7108442764598092,-0.2577811127836651,0.0820821144504559,0.16514667277082148,-0.16305698569711807,0.4516436512298924;-0.06649213140995452,-0.20450345952379026,-0.24622168477044157,0.27153946443569604,0.3717592390221144,-0.2102432200027146,0.6449744899757142,-0.24934705306779525,-0.08513686807103524,-0.2625843996007035,0.07833706826125193,-0.21555286818547278,-0.3473085740659372,-0.28125878910632635,-0.2396402365569512,0.15165877908014466,0.4693946092375782,-0.1203652925819246,-0.12952754786813725,-0.26595072177250006,-0.08221976412481385,0.07195173835171481,-0.31766911000646314,0.5965709383918345,-0.3613323391412217,-0.27274394543023733,0.012953744039301586,0.29094630372341834,-0.11901363086590444,-0.25700617467022174,-0.34886508720600123,-0.25524742729296107,0.45711487667392897,0.6041562303590245,0.19098083027157567,-0.34945202917309803,0.0888210304963912,-0.3058333703372672,-0.0637114248874068,0.42099670221187446,-0.2174177188743909,-0.004313454915851978,0.00974967649019638,-0.046198134948191506,-0.2457310640296623,0.013029113836978003,0.018701486304077985,-0.16818963907900092,0.30735896550948516,-0.2586758756382989,0.6789202264283388,-0.20721175231024683,-0.31658275915804146,0.028897281621061907,-0.285525144032287,-0.2793333216577275,-0.1609913984446425,0.05639240737419519,0.6229316515353478,-0.2547893152339316,-0.14859431415255273,-0.15829627335671226,-0.016228176206427088,-0.2470213672319832,-0.2864930978921847,-0.2544699218608758,0.6563829654422063,-0.01864023173358906,-0.2046324225841564,-0.28257861664120737,0.45491970801047354,0.11535345891011896,-0.28649914800873616,0.04109765128663865,0.036433554185208473,-0.009117896189274104,0.001347382596459487,-0.10659624949435792,-0.10344111367284399,-0.2887171501087307,-0.30771046503593125,0.5482155585762234,0.7952943442531234,0.3739465633465903,0.02526987647543383,-0.055313260172265795,0.5824013277416412,0.133917565985738,-0.35105158964594346,-0.24936119203767948,-0.1211164624280478,-0.2715285175787942,-0.13088634632625543,0.47151046514434686,0.8784289837669795,-0.3458395333811619,0.11790960344102777,0.2399149112099153,-0.22695172036091033,0.6427910201387982;0.001847426860140563,0.07680003383925897,0.10342333475214366,-0.1799059922561478,-0.16384484046038247,-0.029247755692412888,-0.057628742701594154,0.03808567111210095,-0.09605617655745523,0.02078324840127383,-0.1580665630923155,0.0019873180527932065,0.15284108568802982,0.1221911734016821,-0.0033617059046171147,-0.17036377657673002,-0.010747258369751708,-0.07493069301339794,0.04419937029292375,0.06113369556957728,-0.09811187606533917,-0.03705887207886615,0.19396822504492423,-0.08582049696636995,0.20862754963490265,0.06981446927561012,-0.13793518515336134,-0.17451784219541888,-0.0919308431799515,0.11126916895506561,0.14876655464028518,0.13572777505021352,-0.14341678511239053,-0.08190382113250952,-0.18090031361223688,0.1616873882174038,-0.16855049337063713,0.07472592091643139,-0.12160323606001316,-0.1536032348189243,9.855570263773072E-4,-0.022734969593063304,-0.02583562855837221,6.307683120812878E-5,0.1033604538994840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k{254}=[0.8391380282475526;1.1516380935223023;-0.14656575640308062];
x_a{254}=[-2.2433189415801857,-3.6738151426423338,18.42058146510742];
L_a{254}=[0.02069228534207051,0.07109691687434211,0.08673927586312176,-0.09085190995068876,-0.12455315599259531,0.07272568798506165,-0.22063077477768295,0.0877170379055887,0.02860724910913247,0.09221133467283937,-0.026824668256713646,0.07488634300124708,0.12656640484741177,0.10074438777182157,0.08361464816145028,-0.05113765766981347,-0.1677939347818094,0.04067403737218158,0.04329376212485638,0.09387427187991665,0.027417760671629578,-0.02866128392933285,0.11577041907052704,-0.20280611370709856,0.13358109280395417,0.09653876054167387,-0.004859716039238401,-0.0973647780000763,0.04042155840447283,0.09116027707856787,0.12705611025014008,0.09067374620196907,-0.15399341094398897,-0.20545074727318016,-0.06396964551587436,0.12761045296914825,-0.030024994599505212,0.10867820221906341,0.02099871077587087,-0.14139578184168322,0.07528499964014468,-0.00191764843011674,-0.006689731980454569,0.012795702935947837,0.08681327839198069,-0.007744403590829485,-0.00962458072125831,0.05730502612759077,-0.11030875160049196,0.0911013951733703,-0.23328694100135888,0.07214731802557194,0.11529506495422931,-0.010299799088679507,0.10201728092234011,0.09925724670788985,0.05481461583212168,-0.019161483404022028,-0.2258729959377523,0.0896661409855876,0.050429097610648406,0.05419580738731823,0.0026423752119614386,0.08660396605776106,0.10138426343347687,0.09006707646329819,-0.22474324217251057,0.0036173758457338427,0.0711509540888651,0.10077705556927352,-0.15288985339786626,-0.03909421130496077,0.10235929023188599,-0.014281291486410353,-0.016243555905744677,-1.9054895312747037E-5,-0.003510250300097069,0.03459841696473315,0.03366420596991171,0.10329053801791888,0.10963162386347178,-0.1969386875039969,-0.3004471179748883,-0.1336111350485957,-0.011943457667146632,0.01627841362513484,-0.19752696344033968,-0.05001087040780613,0.12801533226393935,0.08788277335435242,0.03972087248829774,0.09607995388149727,0.044464838785389614,-0.1586406585730869,-0.3461767700963539,0.12553780901173034,-0.03997348252510653,-0.0804254091440168,0.07940774445198374,-0.21994766729493176;0.02021938688750036,0.09342987681523775,0.11726133229491682,-0.10917764446821589,-0.15018375017972535,0.0945155207628751,-0.2795840664066523,0.11823329930076211,0.03474249583484538,0.1238294112247271,-0.034072347804360845,0.09826014927663718,0.1830709827757663,0.14091298550579104,0.11074895314003255,-0.06263480258188625,-0.23374990116858713,0.05008023711790775,0.05189600127568672,0.12743166732619773,0.03267501993848007,-0.04815405976493787,0.16746960935615848,-0.25329294801971747,0.19844243592019234,0.13180404734770085,-0.007411012646133622,-0.11706313503664464,0.05037387966077857,0.12500315408323315,0.18356659187773994,0.12472308214638497,-0.18819820740618237,-0.2567900564768581,-0.07708550440020495,0.18530263637771166,-0.036999429909819075,0.14958524411094618,0.0242841765439573,-0.17152571479831283,0.09806587879994315,-0.012349406681801985,-0.018283805913454285,0.007422565274968058,0.11806206240878551,-0.019423995259858547,-0.02163055017813415,0.07194844810927113,-0.15489250525137566,0.12308670707838323,-0.2986742982358247,0.09512331526043319,0.16656397737273154,-0.014264273633655126,0.1419807198738482,0.1366065526377135,0.06871056463583537,-0.02390424866582701,-0.3235945584206181,0.12095880036575282,0.06273002957758908,0.06881255808570991,-0.00515523946923183,0.11589463084685926,0.1383600910357753,0.12295832347976546,-0.28540898424879213,-0.0034815314425974604,0.09352735799910677,0.1397300531600917,-0.1857688916895416,-0.048471771742508045,0.14243991411655765,-0.018748443408247537,-0.03163545664913454,-0.009197746185359925,-0.013362405524752359,0.038389247085897533,0.03762954931450593,0.14412432821193108,0.15170348569329825,-0.2770607375252917,-0.46373651372219704,-0.18595410446194405,-0.02477946949671263,0.012901822771693694,-0.2453401527885091,-0.07565418661431651,0.18539973230594342,0.11891367870622592,0.045334806951908516,0.13109683487927595,0.05544462766691949,-0.19327702164970842,-0.5722330788392147,0.18022966792697415,-0.04960023436028779,-0.09710969584945614,0.10580833838467607,-0.27890495794395154;-0.009188105343605398,0.038882892122743366,0.05716386866161296,-0.13145319154040339,-0.097418617290151,-0.06803354752406722,0.06003723666929173,-0.008695251372871752,-0.11131288762564046,-0.028394555621348842,-0.1437605313752721,-0.03795078622855537,0.08534116417060274,0.06846255342454383,-0.04795475723928656,-0.1430912323067168,0.07873997517004247,-0.09662281845323406,0.02111010304902025,0.011069020097130188,-0.11273421361020182,-0.021773343362529087,0.13222597827160887,0.022339300848757536,0.1373865809801506,0.018328778678576678,-0.13534341957669768,-0.12259162305780331,-0.11348831748131505,0.06265191103635726,0.08100546526958224,0.08736999195838224,-0.06128959531465686,0.02766640276186099,-0.1467842615917591,0.0936306588617308,-0.15253767558165807,0.016766068700625407,-0.13280218992970114,-0.07819456544322853,-0.039165157322156745,-0.021712256506703845,-0.02226788572647532,-0.006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x_a{254}=[-2.2433189415801866,-3.6738151426423333,18.42058146510743];
std_x_a{254}=[1.1120857928687609,1.5337907714506067,1.0467955340628836];
pred_a{254}=[-2.2433189415801866];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.3 to 25.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{255}=[-4.080035867762149,-6.541724845621972,15.74949673564567];
std_x_f{255}=[1.68814037176267,2.432395858712683,1.782501695349651];
pred_f{255}=[-4.080035867762149];
obs{255}=[-4.273845332131884];
sqrt_r{255}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{255}=[3.8503585363878834];
L_f{255}=[0.02325127120990657,0.11092861531021914,0.13994237912730034,-0.15471959460395562,-0.19923884647564208,0.10560136313303853,-0.3197287648298872,0.13652545720749476,0.029595873019762572,0.1428165057578402,-0.06079136394420658,0.11173505286674328,0.21324691764938591,0.16620703718733237,0.12584556937187008,-0.09751517860186922,-0.25603868535305924,0.05019393816574129,0.0626923090802185,0.14886776354706382,0.027076054871432758,-0.0579691133397758,0.19807865704787508,-0.2988840769533843,0.23095422282864458,0.1543536990347749,-0.025681625651661637,-0.16366950564627225,0.04886525692832822,0.14816623673968768,0.21363429089653824,0.14913749473388532,-0.23970405962695537,-0.30160674471074755,-0.11609842966562478,0.2173688546542064,-0.06496541339436135,0.17509512524008222,0.014970545079728741,-0.22247535215791805,0.11245742653595225,-0.015796263636481494,-0.023577203214121673,0.008709956544443854,0.1401038824618432,-0.024478692548759156,-0.02763473532770389,0.08604547907912825,-0.1789627807142388,0.14320976285442727,-0.33418635200747526,0.10745936585344328,0.19657998415789565,-0.03438777803780974,0.16656630810142006,0.15974476462065773,0.08229734861206649,-0.04905839548979787,-0.3272244465760359,0.140396477296739,0.0747355988228235,0.07388739515414795,-0.007693575831175569,0.1341659227365811,0.16057688940183965,0.14628674958682628,-0.32386901144669467,-0.005623928517242357,0.10518525683252299,0.1635684489814907,-0.23743269095496586,-0.07909418096352192,0.167195503369485,-0.04035950949708258,-0.03779353222418112,-0.012352309433115853,-0.017496785176450924,0.04644910927349605,0.044905618059114125,0.16919253317932995,0.1766151929837783,-0.292919511984551,-0.40960986610615646,-0.21149851972616224,-0.031194972536376066,0.014739352878986518,-0.29141852909664656,-0.09110768073495305,0.21555585119315876,0.1416726179333012,0.05476713004191488,0.15287631132936913,0.056859631648649184,-0.24461933697125737,-0.45648342169898143,0.2099141295481117,-0.080560149325753,-0.1397266105375738,0.12660586074071306,-0.3192288252321721;0.02370533126510593,0.16620363211622863,0.21352062007287087,-0.2613773648949918,-0.32048680955995934,0.1467715368278365,-0.44404080565793386,0.2030479531621041,0.021261799405078424,0.2105007303703728,-0.1232502354173474,0.16121624945902502,0.3338790260918985,0.25670956464383543,0.1813297351151038,-0.17838964047819347,-0.3626312224450506,0.05558289102179827,0.08825490578478853,0.2238726653665264,0.01745174604116501,-0.10275604499343252,0.31222098528305403,-0.42683294847125547,0.3659701141207179,0.2326672557042056,-0.06801563743317521,-0.272738052588997,0.051558123592235015,0.2274126687375304,0.33398044642183244,0.23109188547937756,-0.3677417808708667,-0.4293940668307228,-0.20709329278118468,0.33915360240238157,-0.13079576440972907,0.2659012668898611,-0.004690001780531741,-0.3482177444612171,0.16052652401476303,-0.038864940929121586,-0.049904803446682786,0.0014247655409450261,0.214336764019184,-0.05222261813530958,-0.056419332415659905,0.12540773343928388,-0.27282333415174753,0.21415342898130132,-0.45453174554449494,0.1518105945453336,0.31070098684651115,-0.08233353435140836,0.2553722547618285,0.2436978677664577,0.1196615329182383,-0.1062751437654141,-0.4255025068058618,0.20910947223127255,0.10719763294938918,0.09517332728291683,-0.025282412855718063,0.19866183717625613,0.2415464947577695,0.22419490665564717,-0.44741511855698934,-0.022228759479282486,0.1495614572169506,0.25044429893818093,-0.3648557145034395,-0.15094640375561622,0.2572957052591147,-0.0921895289581808,-0.07203224431730489,-0.03268657956209086,-0.04085355638536142,0.0625102958734416,0.05834817711967252,0.2610613327613141,0.26936026913093997,-0.3973495104087313,-0.4597777165849996,-0.31198972434955147,-0.06235753831082924,0.009950032408422302,-0.4207652936273911,-0.15144199386825666,0.33786485110829295,0.21722477363222412,0.07419038444218898,0.2317109391093373,0.06671383299939428,-0.3729201698902801,-0.45114043429403017,0.32785506914879786,-0.15363212803814566,-0.2399240485555695,0.19138237294239469,-0.4445964024306363;-0.04703382579693274,-0.0602541921758179,-0.0600435309450669,-0.001393100294913474,0.07010712589973396,-0.13999200926534747,0.3299153714663936,-0.10948466194224347,-0.12976205487249592,-0.1272792864149204,-0.09141877219398918,-0.1197742658695893,-0.06690458110659668,-0.06238010436953343,-0.13473491123273207,-0.061455353734075915,0.26927074915838567,-0.1316707767559596,-0.04769259863848807,-0.0996057756765032,-0.129824323015683,9.897408359628955E-4,-0.02546483820999826,0.27418440379364356,-0.03285304760038342,-0.09613512871867988,-0.1110287545523098,0.01415582062715996,-0.14387769665624145,-0.0594500602013535,-0.07062764124406568,-0.03992046189703165,0.14011893270552503,0.2821527678202383,-0.047759583880078,-0.0619944104388889,-0.09516169601014632,-0.10563583683655192,-0.13756522408275312,0.1083653445343836,-0.1212758154031141,-0.03062759757435292,-0.025418619205456752,-0.0360041365410171,-0.06066345628153705,-0.025347055123947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k{255}=[0.7402839266656643;1.0574880444711277;-0.6339687876222727];
x_a{255}=[-4.223509899070746,-6.74667603709832,15.872365886801873];
L_a{255}=[-0.017093018313050747,-0.08154843818307557,-0.10287771483976549,0.11374108710350445,0.14646912079491944,-0.07763214396411475,0.23504648769989953,-0.10036578728009682,-0.021757210388651055,-0.10499061003101515,0.0446903693046651,-0.08214128542129716,-0.15676706170927723,-0.12218600457382832,-0.09251453834374293,0.07168763886475053,0.18822514683518002,-0.03689974180446527,-0.04608783655403048,-0.10943915218917966,-0.0199047827357231,0.04261561043105128,-0.14561621520724655,0.21972265321419282,-0.16978447004671424,-0.1134721013948002,0.018879677313545427,0.12032055503734003,-0.03592297057685034,-0.10892342939461412,-0.1570518365909507,-0.10963744328794683,0.1762168547227832,0.22172420441613908,0.08534899302819346,-0.1597972764477565,0.04775889416281035,-0.12872002374560285,-0.0110054972433132,0.16355128432794933,-0.08267233364851823,0.011612518781386643,0.017332625071174303,-0.006403066971092133,-0.10299644294843746,0.017995348995680168,0.020315492979648183,-0.06325576508815171,0.13156330509789987,-0.10527971038570198,0.2456748873326797,-0.07899804238054385,-0.1445144757400825,0.025279947682815992,-0.12245012021113721,-0.11743530761928798,-0.060500351754626605,0.036064955113452854,0.24055688858073976,-0.10321154210693179,-0.05494138138868944,-0.05431783006923763,0.005655881409146231,-0.09863119111296706,-0.11804703865089823,-0.1075417368397006,0.23809016262858412,0.004134393868992198,-0.07732624616821877,-0.12024626389832331,0.1745470730598579,0.05814556423432027,-0.12291266895277066,0.02967002658527533,0.02778366535708209,0.0090807186171722,0.01286264594914553,-0.03414675560183908,-0.03301206823978986,-0.12438077221487734,-0.1298374914980331,0.21533784270980133,0.3011219850885262,0.15548173853488542,0.022932777826453008,-0.010835537825376555,0.2142344050629348,0.06697720916861584,-0.15846445893934843,-0.10414968845918336,-0.040261693578320344,-0.11238600959035655,-0.041799982300734624,0.17983028836696538,0.3355807695959549,-0.15431698457008294,0.059223261184123646,0.10271909398750015,-0.09307346151717125,0.23467896040979974;-0.03392607514050331,-0.10874787712559612,-0.1333454094032731,0.12211598284646623,0.1733534983252383,-0.1149756605947902,0.34844998846362746,-0.13534877525781877,-0.05209555686729679,-0.1434892089518386,0.0274293454877665,-0.1157341238509673,-0.19468217234094232,-0.15525695628918615,-0.13059545329031194,0.06331485980415733,0.2719951340207011,-0.06882954318073915,-0.06713642359632226,-0.14511613116944705,-0.04965990166484365,0.040928207781272374,-0.17874363688949996,0.3139914800755509,-0.20648102443286814,-0.14991917060232968,-0.004360270303956826,0.13293885474872252,-0.06956099526054907,-0.13983729914794354,-0.1955409087626866,-0.13856547612160455,0.2263970063258327,0.31817886035151305,0.08067229744004505,-0.1996243719029937,0.030229760080460306,-0.16809557703550623,-0.04179651349829709,0.2032173714812245,-0.11821434969974716,2.8822541200898793E-4,0.008534469317111184,-0.02016403452320692,-0.1329295732175501,0.00845111732713813,0.012077080025814934,-0.0878675722163377,0.17076001463418097,-0.14081125100565473,0.37379412506617904,-0.11454191279414405,-0.17654897277655288,0.002901203723407501,-0.15748476750647844,-0.15225104048501897,-0.0843235267005797,0.015322695017483354,0.3855673437939257,-0.1388821007007414,-0.07804461165053575,-0.08796653031619145,-0.0062128492419257905,-0.13388646735347845,-0.1564649468068982,-0.13839649925431952,0.3553378342757489,-0.008289095404692236,-0.11115436471242007,-0.15498212584890955,0.2236531796069576,0.04509917354965314,-0.15712086220029092,0.007846949613639772,0.021644114082714945,-0.0020697174317987374,0.0025145815625564937,-0.052620075690021466,-0.05295644364262023,-0.15830514197568818,-0.16840426736960487,0.3286909407525702,0.5554954892624797,0.21223783441419908,0.014963401427283746,-0.02658343831048769,0.30155476934353015,0.07438066020114492,-0.19641935000355926,-0.13392988569590455,-0.06155732159160624,-0.14721358284365843,-0.07422042001557042,0.23340179403118563,0.6803151904697556,-0.19244536522541056,0.0460470492410257,0.10640716941836337,-0.12242729999158283,0.34665522408266597;-0.012483541243878325,0.1045804609252774,0.1479041969976351,-0.23129906849945242,-0.22595233586521318,0.016926600151688877,-0.14518638554905014,0.09338568233575212,-0.08578399340662692,0.08493925717610487,-0.18175185134820504,0.046258715133691716,0.24997020902139022,0.1845956578458137,0.052265627029740476,-0.2063582770418136,-0.11119057511403026,-0.05708496891738095,0.04546519469053741,0.12160464954688986,-0.0895905916236746,-0.08514960798055116,0.2688706371757559,-0.16994313718642393,0.3103339569045313,0.13322713605056002,-0.1491904303608944,-0.22904929025413762,-0.0712662460224144,0.16071792950969185,0.2468227671284686,0.1816907710574049,-0.21606991365333625,-0.1660205281171,-0.2202763355405661,0.2610053822810262,-0.19169721437465023,0.1545472020297276,-0.11531970521415112,-0.22222246091094083,0.045830578558946754,-0.0541000949956106,-0.060453223234591465,-0.023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x_a{255}=[-4.223509899070747,-6.746676037098317,15.872365886801877];
std_x_a{255}=[1.241025233805075,1.8008204634594551,1.4895218249518167];
pred_a{255}=[-4.223509899070747];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.4 to 25.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{256}=[-7.7761838007305215,-12.380131473163964,17.53667711578203];
std_x_f{256}=[1.9005848747262057,2.621099603770601,2.9864431920040055];
pred_f{256}=[-7.7761838007305215];
obs{256}=[-8.182897483426853];
sqrt_r{256}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{256}=[4.614405857826291];
L_f{256}=[-0.04672249766722919,-0.11162420293562145,-0.1312087379142939,0.11674994898505422,0.1789743538867271,-0.1315311270337676,0.38444039161005744,-0.14245976209088296,-0.07480203960058678,-0.1514756764395274,0.007096900210098762,-0.12884148225849282,-0.17595304702352665,-0.14760009830093382,-0.14338359429780423,0.04759173548031483,0.2959562013162593,-0.09105865824477613,-0.0754903456565997,-0.14768343612027543,-0.07308953769502262,0.031098225573410607,-0.15652171867548673,0.34518873640421244,-0.17607369781359913,-0.1503037190896941,-0.027299509706343802,0.12949915240709084,-0.09311725849383193,-0.13581411031547627,-0.17686833394050622,-0.13085705039327153,0.24143443858133054,0.3497111873774481,0.06739664612837915,-0.17832571778484038,0.009049577672081335,-0.1660780508721371,-0.06653776962246837,0.214562370905344,-0.13117225273577543,-0.012864306306982258,-0.004023930283692182,-0.03225763262723661,-0.13059828181529928,-0.0035373576571410617,-2.2742951197875105E-4,-0.09482934379024091,0.17867654380235012,-0.14533951664618877,0.4129756336765053,-0.12837348732431875,-0.15508843266202849,-0.01924699007709256,-0.153110659224628,-0.15029525627891102,-0.09211260114388088,-0.0070042427377507085,0.4250059656895836,-0.14366230246662995,-0.08604856745015808,-0.10792877088918233,-0.019270698383734516,-0.14144383232540955,-0.15959541849864425,-0.13446130120938105,0.3929059906967678,-0.02120658993292168,-0.12570843607069251,-0.15202351700511457,0.23863725930260404,0.026411210068118064,-0.15132418260030392,-0.013863649027300537,0.010431482127576037,-0.01530442282470093,-0.010078952697040674,-0.06296328573465454,-0.06414414834708526,-0.1522152092108924,-0.16566595864616765,0.3611024743658324,0.6035553379738792,0.22629708326432416,0.0027346377014266557,-0.03943920737216789,0.3310616271016131,0.06787187796678663,-0.17673533028668764,-0.1303829184440167,-0.0719230063595676,-0.1480636846121554,-0.09565598795132764,0.25061503945647806,0.7228479224148173,-0.1760584471747886,0.028160762598220205,0.09783305158218607,-0.12257062868303682,0.38266758868702394;-0.09033275402694077,-0.1330552881356729,-0.13933520054836968,0.08536739159421314,0.18629691058350376,-0.18797196008064587,0.5443706370479616,-0.17288126732489717,-0.15178194866724712,-0.18652555469588614,-0.06730269749002596,-0.17412651347553879,-0.14878468279265702,-0.14480669848473107,-0.18964465334181538,-0.01367331983772476,0.4008468713338914,-0.1624473703730558,-0.10922958030536847,-0.16848916366517308,-0.15042414033612844,-0.00448204030072556,-0.12191168970807864,0.4732419614987853,-0.12542136632584186,-0.16706751353398577,-0.10608244932291351,0.10624002222999855,-0.17068345551780406,-0.14018309616326002,-0.15183035888013305,-0.12767189202383378,0.2907614610099639,0.4818352722381424,0.012190925767116762,-0.14773783159216175,-0.06624545405023498,-0.17642376634149617,-0.1500034706525123,0.24444378447183318,-0.1771898315814668,-0.057395269665490044,-0.04778997051092146,-0.07468110932094782,-0.13946111209943748,-0.047892211629772474,-0.043561334316057417,-0.1250861462684453,0.20615716409335366,-0.1701816072702126,0.5971151938192224,-0.17780154999306957,-0.12175160295720747,-0.09718730228159245,-0.15707713991404187,-0.1606546177852889,-0.12385047972369949,-0.08649543856798485,0.6293088685593347,-0.17171925516904715,-0.12117318970655197,-0.1727272202385915,-0.06411090592658993,-0.17302629626824365,-0.18116438104052598,-0.14051989876281656,0.5596070315551763,-0.06625079622545024,-0.17528054675910731,-0.1593228415214162,0.28565519814723095,-0.0418775048959212,-0.15333879005669843,-0.09194788183281953,-0.029516268097329018,-0.05976765815116997,-0.053787582213552086,-0.1005196318319814,-0.10491818388056581,-0.1511101061294765,-0.17457205037999018,0.5149422991019716,0.9565894755674312,0.28267841015158,-0.04066503247110456,-0.08396368808248866,0.44867268131935356,0.04241767362256778,-0.14770194955511606,-0.13913743418569446,-0.11096358807114295,-0.16574800895438724,-0.16571854526738225,0.3057875978563556,1.1735461209501468,-0.15434584407437585,-0.040024456510539125,0.058162580430358865,-0.13768392373813448,0.5409818289292285;0.020408022708174905,0.20996328742618078,0.2745117183067771,-0.3559330194025757,-0.41732051373872325,0.1695080849983833,-0.5227912113335461,0.24795380206322332,0.002501908037494337,0.2561835453459559,-0.1864154372763675,0.18906127877494946,0.43003690829440205,0.33050718882726743,0.21650468529983868,-0.25628190363026,-0.4327953852838472,0.04851994609339871,0.10769238703252508,0.2795979545294455,-0.0036378700600055627,-0.1408686882060366,0.4128009226951942,-0.5155178784687735,0.48034558993300314,0.29320332290723533,-0.11499097398997786,-0.3691946016057466,0.04059280704759108,0.2923763314565015,0.43002391912785554,0.3016020928714255,-0.4687039744268646,-0.5158286544717179,-0.29135625477079735,0.4428348273243139,-0.19693916052314034,0.33582373295937495,-0.03304405722007661,-0.44956125051411594,0.19177973200652088,-0.05931081036288283,-0.07590159366548592,-0.00793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k{256}=[0.7832873763576859;1.0571062194496375;-1.0955816269019505];
x_a{256}=[-8.094757494178504,-12.810071036677522,17.98226515395376];
L_a{256}=[0.028896120989501554,0.06903540338013191,0.08114770731339788,-0.07220548600415451,-0.11068895804249974,0.08134709295130528,-0.23776203379228106,0.08810604584611195,0.04626226966620583,0.09368205237095449,-0.004389167903266044,0.07968364804305844,0.10882039251145184,0.09128515193993102,0.08867740158602391,-0.029433712134445653,-0.18303786457944818,0.05631638155398221,0.046687961272292786,0.0913366932707874,0.04520315115309934,-0.019233091842141916,0.09680284116111978,-0.2134863500318684,0.1088950105220779,0.09295724049089377,0.016883727857337365,-0.08009039248382946,0.057589548975154885,0.08399595825781625,0.10938646330846949,0.08093020170763297,-0.14931818923652626,-0.2162833171679679,-0.041682310194179034,0.11028780082244327,-0.005596826033976651,0.10271307595500925,0.041151127131009074,-0.13269881832160188,0.0811251425922158,0.007956093318044031,0.0024886506958388967,0.01995014183253517,0.08077016300014313,0.0021877236866037855,1.4065666483682862E-4,0.05864840983104784,-0.11050477362043944,0.08988706655786528,-0.2554100159932657,0.07939421064318582,0.0959164072561426,0.011903545009784322,0.09469322820129016,0.09295200655828068,0.05696820590090517,0.004331862714861788,-0.262850327336844,0.08884977218625402,0.053217827388475324,0.06674991658353589,0.01191820771258027,0.0874777312035806,0.0987038097824455,0.0831592963164141,-0.24299769086696255,0.013115484382724954,0.07774597591017793,0.09402087131378814,-0.14758823825139117,-0.016334347684986233,0.09358835908557955,0.008574149492223019,-0.006451482363060396,0.009465214312102737,0.00623345606768415,0.038940442256391726,0.039670761708999046,0.09413942578855856,0.10245821229371156,-0.2233284030147666,-0.37327645011977234,-0.13995629994249403,-0.0016912713538065065,0.02439167777529883,-0.20474926019246725,-0.041976223349218356,0.10930420551266072,0.08063696879298367,0.04448169506041733,0.09157186277105041,0.05915965839194784,-0.15499604823143728,-0.44705446125494014,0.10888557857117123,-0.017416380626533817,-0.06050609099337211,0.0758053591528882,-0.23666562135047786;0.011720355088553978,0.11075866725800766,0.1472560631003116,-0.1696424190511851,-0.20462588203270027,0.09932347850794604,-0.2953391214674229,0.1382849239342968,0.011603595568640195,0.14433354975796167,-0.08280402485230365,0.10729409766508527,0.2355388530548351,0.1775872164263726,0.12353940840214674,-0.11762505222498801,-0.24559225359156878,0.03644651693474085,0.055659388972978,0.15408678097454848,0.009220890173935115,-0.07240800244310326,0.21996917780679962,-0.28073279457268124,0.25916569970216063,0.16123175578105844,-0.04645379113978995,-0.17661709780436918,0.03270690707130948,0.15646740223615654,0.2344923824951921,0.1581512019689125,-0.23658909461027644,-0.28201759835383344,-0.13501946804241735,0.2417681846489102,-0.08601189599423734,0.18633041619508126,-0.0046690685418534685,-0.22421174858714774,0.1093217397114897,-0.02929654804765099,-0.039000744403199936,-0.004222724887790893,0.1457967694316049,-0.040165776507748684,-0.04306457386957274,0.08204382007245993,-0.18411514007394328,0.14727465666342657,-0.3049223578930313,0.10259684828507183,0.2169986251178242,-0.05514727281929615,0.17735315796696852,0.16762616672702876,0.07734547093802788,-0.07119649728539042,-0.2990058054585497,0.14207357187182024,0.06677746108629454,0.06301502776157074,-0.02201909185248004,0.13592086141213847,0.16743018199797544,0.1531757410093909,-0.29859362000872064,-0.019930532017700852,0.0992967422041642,0.17273287774990048,-0.23558564895141887,-0.09956590422232117,0.17718941562083163,-0.061666356709765675,-0.05230111987010853,-0.02633913847735248,-0.03177273902843612,0.03700724258970948,0.035187976903235135,0.1813643147646038,0.18728202417858422,-0.2737918666269051,-0.3617197296078216,-0.21160854118771943,-0.04663813523035148,0.002180973147887035,-0.27444508937832235,-0.10583074017908205,0.2383302800309513,0.14565004223589662,0.04613345901321186,0.15765848933229956,0.043217009622575214,-0.24161558571905428,-0.40532661880599136,0.23020791091110251,-0.1015342969878267,-0.15552820209862098,0.1300396434486054,-0.29485570401651484;-0.08535950496124546,-0.042724744293733206,-0.022510583811147927,-0.09164163781530295,-0.012169336640839478,-0.12824402185637543,0.34748139366417496,-0.07453787926859064,-0.1668303663099298,-0.08671781050983406,-0.17034990938689412,-0.10260217502414626,0.03172518056686967,-0.0036208706836178533,-0.1080783107815286,-0.14854664865521416,0.23717213089218456,-0.1576130655456561,-0.0631980323940183,-0.0547187600310035,-0.1690934875135552,-0.07047043044952575,0.05847664558176723,0.26589923430712215,0.08176074033882288,-0.047045027702373066,-0.17678993150274241,-0.07604235441776505,-0.1702003377109091,-0.01507133054563411,0.02964022095459474,0.005375919416733106,0.07784051565746003,0.2758261057401541,-0.13878785645913694,0.03915199289386005,-0.17645328103002017,-0.04013358349253608,-0.18366818351848763,0.03615189913765499,-0.10515997719961365,-0.0884322388225173,-0.08501072050736594,-0.08095392481006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x_a{256}=[-8.094757494178504,-12.810071036677517,17.982265153953758];
std_x_a{256}=[1.1754408097370426,1.67722449639002,2.1320341796365025];
pred_a{256}=[-8.094757494178504];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.5 to 25.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{257}=[-12.867363957494986,-16.353524375740584,28.470557517486174];
std_x_f{257}=[0.9969174129788807,1.7403326262856325,3.1248569641112542];
pred_f{257}=[-12.867363957494986];
obs{257}=[-13.457936647685191];
sqrt_r{257}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{257}=[1.9941628797747697];
L_f{257}=[-0.017848010372748833,0.06310513507595615,0.09380578469123269,-0.14561858602991812,-0.14981524010645994,0.0389742576906672,-0.10953659243985989,0.07757686332006627,-0.033175518058704334,0.08049676733447769,-0.10199491946827939,0.05017240141427447,0.16929073986331683,0.11986215470159232,0.061608429246777056,-0.12289790037722015,-0.11140064446814288,-0.013339829151603005,0.01877889481812207,0.0936554508978975,-0.03564448254179901,-0.0736474817820491,0.1612683086810329,-0.1238881616299116,0.19516013264043985,0.10017189704597694,-0.07799333600391253,-0.1469501108939365,-0.01805771515661297,0.10200721165394164,0.16886782752441531,0.10694089804175812,-0.14757360035270883,-0.12173870324147515,-0.13278516981556235,0.17473139092418846,-0.10672405941620458,0.12012919713437872,-0.04866400551258797,-0.15041967873608372,0.05106143889567965,-0.04787337517405149,-0.05333327780539283,-0.027857236726623973,0.09253718276322491,-0.05439390557464526,-0.056438602079512755,0.039103210927369715,-0.11826145625554124,0.08694453368235977,-0.09706363652413015,0.045106038873838926,0.15960650082010555,-0.08469016063625051,0.11651293568287763,0.10768342486889158,0.035022833970368254,-0.09678387027796286,-0.0695579782041669,0.08219714178510447,0.027367683501783306,0.009543914502195813,-0.04241300885291589,0.07571101161680208,0.10226648259878433,0.09929743698194923,-0.1056469231040266,-0.04027499155946262,0.042421076090197865,0.1122091067528746,-0.14764014034983694,-0.11278987278633439,0.11761558824322324,-0.08841942832975473,-0.061586039129724664,-0.04500709024509866,-0.04852643493855577,0.003656314090664867,7.273516731961778E-4,0.1208414862465964,0.12128091524040169,-0.09267196254400152,0.03332983538747387,-0.11929829237387604,-0.058822321956876984,-0.024296484722304782,-0.12707673920258505,-0.09234783649978506,0.17194395423153055,0.09379188925231818,0.009732492008820773,0.09819282195627341,-0.007149138238622391,-0.1464828114742001,0.126244444149369,0.16373297064927425,-0.11493929425629247,-0.13974010518602176,0.0795314382649086,-0.1107210378446224;-0.08893007360775905,-0.019295052996765087,0.013403450691435483,-0.11850561400007201,-0.05204633845946729,-0.0855215198649735,0.2568717432106995,-0.028109899340986247,-0.14879469820606028,-0.03301481110813466,-0.17481386621016543,-0.06268186389594338,0.10067079247361657,0.04146620215342961,-0.05810689922605157,-0.16177234786463965,0.15285472414430565,-0.13320745076949303,-0.057312705996022915,-0.005603443630288091,-0.15136867312619268,-0.09749342385413551,0.10828330084867123,0.1871569082765416,0.1490160612412802,0.0032857747871107086,-0.17296006839510059,-0.1054184639911611,-0.14373798926600065,0.022811630989848838,0.09856955169709947,0.03777172862599629,0.025634417413439452,0.1955159990063675,-0.15511063899505928,0.10873639285091698,-0.17954075124825775,0.02237437088034064,-0.1668681541731547,-0.01010477482952806,-0.06352511294670077,-0.102163711846981,-0.10156228188624744,-0.09020263125249786,0.012747217972069718,-0.1024528954512386,-0.10275189546324297,-0.044204424177669115,0.002529503375633996,-0.015177908393337299,0.3094644917524363,-0.07031376930276244,0.10608484211603,-0.17462608544452096,0.030146764280124055,0.016524347863651784,-0.04773833814904015,-0.18195753602707082,0.3723583054844184,-0.02029304152510413,-0.05347344681619775,-0.11158780402834181,-0.0998311676426216,-0.030638174349402705,-0.002741493054752476,0.020079821218132506,0.2725738063465714,-0.09894840719586002,-0.07297428819596345,0.023427116136285862,0.022577623527170822,-0.17007697614794323,0.03407086580235689,-0.17500613010559132,-0.09935280765737652,-0.10069900202269107,-0.10120560502317945,-0.06999950741691748,-0.07589612573929073,0.03881741963298903,0.025386833533042604,0.2580654684020895,0.7436009136936622,0.057391121629791673,-0.10282957554557533,-0.09198725070964385,0.16550754585246177,-0.08416936059066177,0.1047159594974934,0.014884684741975027,-0.06971737052649965,0.002085707013545842,-0.12723062321696774,0.03898650302619637,1.0294154734260674,0.09044894287596708,-0.17058831801064353,-0.13103419117155277,-0.00216464435039008,0.25312709594862537;-0.04825450805427416,-0.20128935494972733,-0.2513479150818814,0.28274970148143885,0.36987540417272696,-0.22047975639129483,0.5977755361795444,-0.26181744089320264,-0.08162855840219459,-0.2780659007097054,0.09309499443107774,-0.22224029302642953,-0.36535692594078567,-0.29184290075404795,-0.2535331061469926,0.1671324238703383,0.49529851445933615,-0.12185598607416176,-0.11611016587168048,-0.2789929367025613,-0.07747759860265382,0.10822479182762526,-0.3278172244593231,0.5605443721780746,-0.37630608024073,-0.2866848610510602,0.022254185457946895,0.30037437783146603,-0.1210050523103366,-0.2630829470488164,-0.36593303371828906,-0.25692285703540524,0.4484606026497913,0.5644231445954397,0.20368171069382537,-0.3713299815388097,0.09820974692830069,-0.3242157700391144,-0.05792320347101065,0.4169026274761664,-0.22685593992123068,0.024356431282852697,0.042365353565089116,-0.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k{257}=[0.4985364484806052;0.18483692442717412;-1.2093250357094223];
x_a{257}=[-13.161785969032048,-16.462684015446023,29.184751857139453];
L_a{257}=[-0.23360949493210229,0.8259721069651866,1.227807555338918,-1.9059762754909717,-1.960905548768546,0.5101272614885932,-1.4337053543810883,1.0153900339663617,-0.4342285697927422,1.0536081483562079,-1.3349937121845992,0.6566978116404021,2.215816968401978,1.5688548379636547,0.8063819854046362,-1.608589183653442,-1.458103606273593,-0.1746026971916511,0.2457936790838453,1.2258398625373785,-0.4665444153046708,-0.9639590443310535,2.110812765833695,-1.621550540480381,2.554416938631215,1.3111324896488807,-1.0208411722890338,-1.9234043722074452,-0.23635428427389604,1.3351546024588756,2.210281542557414,1.3997307631143507,-1.9315651169917303,-1.593416654516996,-1.7380019289124533,2.2870287012443455,-1.3968926001628832,1.572350109792045,-0.6369546807596257,-1.9688169405727238,0.6683342681792149,-0.6266062581508224,-0.6980699714414412,-0.36461851298825554,1.211203045957622,-0.7119523433311576,-0.7387150192718239,0.5118151079133091,-1.5479035751779986,1.138001837541237,-1.2704490097841061,0.590385075963087,2.0890616525746974,-1.1084947419215352,1.5250174943584796,1.4094495672520395,0.45840776557373336,-1.2667871981815095,-0.9104322452425252,1.0758640529814574,0.3582108362103426,0.12491863238365816,-0.5551364757053586,0.9909682264419066,1.3385481546369806,1.2996868343837031,-1.3827941508340371,-0.5271523402387898,0.5552420663671505,1.4686854281161101,-1.9324360474090296,-1.4762869734377884,1.5394499214093513,-1.1573064763474799,-0.8060889250675545,-0.5890899546189436,-0.6351540435095343,0.04785685744207675,0.009520179194472858,1.5816731377529005,1.587424747212862,-1.2129671550015264,0.4362484023948214,-1.5614745422983092,-0.7699151130066926,-0.3180124510275595,-1.6632852762154844,-1.2087247257389717,2.2505444285255645,1.2276256803624432,0.1273868904784359,1.2852287209663917,-0.09357382353802025,-1.9172879716033004,1.6523915114229037,2.1430722964791027,-1.504420376181649,-1.829033864979635,1.0409731245257852,-1.4492083537072027;-0.16892560720883656,0.26354481811160074,0.4338449253725838,-0.7711742447558955,-0.7235245493971065,0.08916274328579016,-0.23407587381048023,0.319592866781442,-0.29748876629391413,0.3277750876872671,-0.6319593875911758,0.1621929506834141,0.8594390129226899,0.5786934237696192,0.21802467336901285,-0.7126059093544209,-0.3464476525138565,-0.19299712641642275,0.02685509086428484,0.4141642286625287,-0.3111287439304521,-0.4275845365602343,0.8310946471251145,-0.36811504582166604,1.0237319887973333,0.4522604329518217,-0.5225294826132416,-0.7640550452230158,-0.22467342853351213,0.48001224646429763,0.8554422612454982,0.5170853341184448,-0.6357966698113795,-0.35012199213769296,-0.7502593582004287,0.8918898403175753,-0.6578824768956024,0.5607984879184142,-0.3849822748422639,-0.6842921051421587,0.16533440503830646,-0.3167341940661155,-0.3406042774719897,-0.21505993859698055,0.42750276542441723,-0.3462486693339174,-0.3557120851291436,0.13105781280682569,-0.5275233204420318,0.37451115051917344,-0.12557881194623693,0.13185339515905325,0.8214478956247635,-0.5542109494919979,0.5523626453068866,0.4991659898435934,0.10923547759679056,-0.6157469156368215,0.060596519915852964,0.3481180071160649,0.0691896623723354,-0.06881157758621037,-0.2899280582179769,0.30870176591704135,0.4556211857055637,0.4651351125753515,-0.20094014901970425,-0.27946261428626656,0.11715876007638872,0.5263530547777044,-0.6391516987650256,-0.6756059325921147,0.5612288820082935,-0.571305728896759,-0.3753840268055539,-0.30242267456636696,-0.31870312858999666,-0.053611753791311244,-0.07263610493037198,0.5804340464477868,0.5689729995908767,-0.15729416769973104,0.8929866385433063,-0.47730884530415696,-0.36647369801758856,-0.20088511772112858,-0.4040557471136283,-0.49807625012187884,0.8753759984019939,0.43526387948113704,-0.026095931763634672,0.44219006733939226,-0.15927336166470332,-0.6175556225407094,1.5952483849375836,0.8243070078161769,-0.685751071938788,-0.7573552233967743,0.35429860893057863,-0.24312925522255235;0.47512901949859443,-2.0518142881480133,-3.0021532693596265,4.552938234650774,4.76312861338311,-1.3633793876600704,3.8098785633510386,-2.536718201985135,0.8912260795842323,-2.6385913130239285,3.084042423803129,-1.6935196059349193,-5.329718933875431,-3.80673761661504,-2.060167927213794,3.7710487868102303,3.762063888062142,0.269327495586,-0.6667913907358096,-3.025389831470091,0.9677781257557218,2.2678985036564865,-5.056925652636706,4.193499626109648,-6.099274440624291,-3.224173115631872,2.3093677892056452,4.60960917810844,0.40852795785887397,-3.2543908383075904,-5.317893359495809,-3.392908509656174,4.775978903748938,4.134346660525242,4.097537055538751,-5.495236223533905,3.2278367207730203,-3.846941364948194,1.369123192071162,4.827880681952478,-1.7242058099073327,1.428218007512876,1.6063357060455885,0.7987206543118979,-2.9631626269766502,1.6392056389307617,1.7045004835676414,-1.3073268251116825,3.817050199464811,-2.8208606880152014,3.4686843352879135,-1.5411201500780853,-5.004454169216939,2.523537405493383,-3.7172061469422504,-3.4489563606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x_a{257}=[-13.161785969032028,-16.462684015446023,29.184751857139418];
std_x_a{257}=[13.048478148051762,5.1267618855133685,31.715673163657094];
pred_a{257}=[-13.161785969032028];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.6 to 25.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{258}=[-5.133314170383896,3.6617513919113627,26.981797972194055];
std_x_f{258}=[8.1045953695905,22.21504087849297,18.33677667520609];
pred_f{258}=[-5.133314170383896];
obs{258}=[-12.374999882485742];
sqrt_r{258}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{258}=[67.04583151978177];
L_f{258}=[-0.6011367689586127,-0.9351777182545865,-0.676683114634986,0.996082370454159,1.0879695908243876,-0.989802942421493,0.6911976579902389,-0.8772946249437638,-0.4831671227606583,-0.8610367940419731,0.361070331742242,-0.9889483413396216,1.5921317536277177,-0.17454326119897984,-0.9767767871008645,0.6544817186873948,0.6632025467786962,-0.6767076185536831,-0.8733892266072555,-0.6983134249577078,-0.45724661977670533,0.03335924311085021,1.2578670622984163,0.8474261700388691,2.750389341182016,-0.5984661781144455,0.042740513297791875,1.0208209063114173,-0.6382347327725689,-0.5490175434685767,1.571905553393027,-0.4495368017362797,1.0944545944340351,0.8227765769218559,0.7962147924061007,1.834453094129195,0.42150162276182124,-0.18754260800774125,-0.3179079694952011,1.1164221386894084,-0.9903370753886901,-0.2849890580390164,-0.21990643367463913,-0.49940904502410977,-0.6934548929314699,-0.2084859053387089,-0.18364905387117467,-0.9530881448406334,0.6786824192579479,-0.7844914877973386,0.5566369316637745,-0.9906438622487745,1.1878384136057496,0.1292022315749925,-0.2639556669754207,-0.45842987545684494,-0.9436108372397725,0.2854110146066293,0.2527274650091052,-0.8334115017222783,-0.9166597714625815,-0.8551404953188602,-0.3468355810072468,-0.8922910161615359,-0.5726241664140287,-0.5940110416307153,0.6483559322194823,-0.3699773277610093,-0.9876998020488074,-0.36295052531439737,1.0937905350716883,0.5101794433765678,-0.23471625222322368,0.1780814969606808,-0.11871800963181528,-0.31743870615124486,-0.27591916920550735,-0.7784093721991103,-0.7594172476095596,-0.15325195962148835,-0.1568269866375596,0.4749707783786532,-0.2983990630698586,0.7208874816991144,-0.15465008340217123,-0.5382954293104867,0.8799480893084106,0.28268250350110596,1.7093619326253937,-0.6755167077887134,-0.8235480630500107,-0.6292333115660632,-0.7299232287249389,1.0854435210954025,0.869047490287344,1.3477783506359466,0.5394972115066298,0.9066439070176155,-0.8367991862386529,0.704410814762288;-0.5516773849767697,-2.7573834496422838,-2.8882820706364467,3.1649889111492757,3.297019406788901,-2.28380280495141,2.3230015554767056,-2.968840446412143,-0.11065850891350053,-3.0006216875426936,1.9332718020450343,-2.5464624945135057,2.2251403374444165,-2.122066336034184,-2.7926107365664428,2.5281024310584117,2.3341862019953443,-0.721967392929557,-1.6632595932341838,-2.9319492450401907,-0.03545528972131309,1.1442794183634761,1.3720135064574814,2.6872604513451352,4.6979607212405385,-2.833020268531694,1.2352661040487798,3.203522437508841,-0.5793139683402158,-2.7533471702414207,2.175664371316516,-2.604588557915214,3.262015526688554,2.632148289997756,2.804287842815129,2.8185053920376473,2.0644324120804924,-2.1592583514092882,0.3572654478536909,3.3251979261233235,-2.569372246404505,0.36733586923516154,0.5337783033998426,-0.23951810761698095,-2.900125435168261,0.5654946938783821,0.6266155970972878,-2.2370090807352803,2.4660040239929564,-2.9810859388195072,1.9997111431823889,-2.43079985519542,1.1916914010219186,1.4304746483550255,-2.300561590104053,-2.6371694444308504,-2.1293865573004758,1.779001405327464,1.255346890192189,-2.9824454248121026,-1.9146980812657566,-1.427274862588928,0.20202248623278324,-2.9567852712401215,-2.8112967332698906,-2.806592132172207,2.222888001569815,0.13827523534709923,-2.36183379516558,-2.4808357111504855,3.2635501000283553,2.2411686331912897,-2.24276139034266,1.5394887349934754,0.7839939233387369,0.28133844555762955,0.3893740625342538,-1.2096219541618256,-1.123217066118536,-2.081951954513388,-2.0955470957448084,1.8578514099192045,-1.1555728522450335,2.515523604163274,0.6983242218129538,-0.35235966396469415,2.7659646324701703,1.694970229090703,2.5166006026989445,-2.885128523025725,-1.3977803222342222,-2.8650005381796193,-0.9132080190533295,3.2381307828795673,0.3086951360186744,1.6082301052712291,2.3014976476231825,3.00242237071686,-2.931874429152965,2.3540849987534007;1.1664252450341523,-0.2890841046979346,-1.6733180852866083,1.6918863927738235,1.7732184496463916,0.4888808447067155,1.5192343152713712,-0.8555290848134449,1.258626499458358,-0.9810624451720577,1.3880525214508508,0.17731512401639515,-3.846279827311834,-3.0674235445334106,-0.18976500053011594,1.4902745359486438,1.5050282116535711,1.1806070454236044,0.819026360263382,-1.6517988393605025,1.2652533361351965,1.308368093185547,-4.0545610377264,1.622855902258404,-1.7083256734776546,-2.0008190151967598,1.3276885916980397,1.7105904499415572,1.2098572883284928,-2.1102608077233707,-3.8678106235942824,-2.381278389902869,1.7923693909908789,1.6065889732255287,1.5611560904088573,-3.5686032467566573,1.403886696691461,-3.0860338782194785,1.2925940024959846,1.8046431306150916,0.15248446329591642,1.2620412761826096,1.2712511419873604,1.2066727216190856,-1.6084788539196893,1.2736768785676489,1.2771301109828104,0.43557936935120783,1.5115193885104152,-1.304356155109201,1.4340555449274393,0.32315297133356896,-4.081899630667948,1.3397994817153736,-2.89475551302859,-2.4146575014236573,0.5272700564846436,1.370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k{258}=[0.9850848296257624;2.355223957755847;-0.11753695004268463];
x_a{258}=[-12.266988906293061,-13.39404029176912,27.832963623962193];
L_a{258}=[0.07453556669465697,0.11595364780476335,0.08390263585007302,-0.12350527831623764,-0.13489846934355865,0.12272668557145491,-0.08570230901957737,0.10877666348980487,0.05990838884398966,0.10676083830315022,-0.044769482059229204,0.12262072270372817,-0.19741005481128593,0.021641798602233333,0.12111155916626509,-0.08114986191605938,-0.08223116636688758,0.08390567411617224,0.10829242913048559,0.08658460028967624,0.05669447900069963,-0.004136246887841878,-0.15596423169618076,-0.10507324302446391,-0.3410236052123091,0.0742044373872211,-0.005299440233859157,-0.12657263483896586,0.07913538141050072,0.06807325028317472,-0.19490218742665832,0.05573853072664714,-0.1357025516157157,-0.10201691460364189,-0.09872349160319356,-0.2274557272258607,-0.052262420030795176,0.023253600992443862,0.03941773633996999,-0.1384263300377226,0.12279291326780703,0.035336086627196325,0.027266425046890568,0.06192224150220266,0.08598218590316783,0.025850381984102437,0.022770835207665964,0.1181743800312208,-0.08415053168802951,0.0972699069987082,-0.0690179860676447,0.12283095208634487,-0.14728130746878598,-0.016019917672544244,0.032728134820901526,0.05684119209032954,0.11699927890740601,-0.035388405456307385,-0.03133593850263127,0.10333554987549151,0.11365758852269073,0.10602975015578955,0.043004500664681956,0.11063608147171909,0.07100025975896208,0.07365204042921646,-0.08039031934702455,0.04587386966299489,0.12246591503201884,0.045002609195402894,-0.1356202142119059,-0.06325767427920388,0.029102709691524956,-0.022080508096005272,0.014719968203073119,0.03935955189497062,0.03421150177567531,0.09651577922575341,0.09416092615052091,0.019001868205870423,0.019445139485138648,-0.05889211566809422,0.0369988069530271,-0.08938358081907077,0.019175223012436692,0.06674380431312919,-0.10910566926741708,-0.03505009455605245,-0.21194554536270416,0.08375801186469574,0.10211257196271298,0.07801928593052153,0.0905039323927167,-0.13458525935794008,-0.10775409277550918,-0.16711242487706812,-0.06689281452454585,-0.1124157111814723,0.10375559236540301,-0.08734062192719827;1.0637770659135197,-0.24424985785596143,-1.0698094603632131,0.4881842605352377,0.3732832311174723,0.37612693384848145,0.4655235393180524,-0.6112579796755307,1.18777226307159,-0.6867294201888591,0.9629557198863768,0.1111706469183102,-2.0534472662673124,-1.6530105358620093,-0.16768660992890697,0.7692923564202001,0.5519403615164447,1.0965710675238105,0.6838277691418347,-1.0553487961629182,1.1933184689566707,1.054632036029652,-2.0082936870926025,0.4099444579119571,-2.69325028485178,-1.2247425835431007,1.1204081282841931,0.46023711240811366,1.135835051002501,-1.2779544143638955,-2.0485687046388543,-1.3965336447847005,0.3208519892482039,0.4210739523237093,0.6645938552299682,-2.111280255568416,0.931717350036199,-1.6552689824633067,1.2115899058039115,0.32500029032969874,0.09199288534385536,1.1331962624726493,1.1247400369077145,1.1025601119480686,-1.0365814779113187,1.125765669002339,1.1201416909875808,0.3242557847309066,0.6421586171805233,-0.8728963701741089,0.5038425568306787,0.23138971489074972,-2.0004255202605448,1.0832652763108583,-1.5912249148714779,-1.4052158841607347,0.40640963025936594,1.0120070744397907,0.5761841284159509,-0.7427915067648766,0.5486716279713169,0.8707720888436519,1.134085058342472,-0.558902513137191,-1.272465129401444,-1.2102868808020733,0.4805399527563357,1.13252737849152,0.29244410589730624,-1.5054669234653737,0.3241711109769085,0.8701467707569458,-1.612000748289174,1.060924518426409,1.1030287037145718,1.1344018368142494,1.1308606476106584,0.8822229468116756,0.9175896788406502,-1.6701129636842722,-1.6741008181826422,0.5814469415918939,-0.3536753149961013,0.5782591561419663,1.1139204362907151,1.0942192047342991,0.4012514243790245,0.935308315112672,-2.077023485586058,-1.0697904359236914,0.8153672552812118,-1.1740413317102332,1.0483384867354186,0.32118299680210916,-2.0267245366987225,-2.0136986267213737,0.8516891904211884,0.5659686207633347,-0.683116675984043,0.4610988353311942;1.0858063346901106,-0.4145015013984391,-1.7640685736398811,1.8254717588096865,1.9191268808536386,0.3561376175512479,1.6119313600987586,-0.9731837357445416,1.193828588296603,-1.0965367460072368,1.4364759388922055,0.044686508063499206,-3.632757824117757,-3.090831674350755,-0.320761280065424,1.5780475781668057,1.5939708107751196,1.0898532708311122,0.701895465280361,-1.7454501851203859,1.2039316433883576,1.312841926709593,-3.8858675271034016,1.7365048719328644,-1.339468862252885,-2.081079770566861,1.333420554518393,1.8474935198799314,1.1242631417767854,-2.1838899690054068,-3.6570011715325266,-2.4415661130749493,1.9391475309758717,1.7169321671761708,1.6679370631894952,-3.322583343861336,1.460414600639478,-3.1111853603470143,1.2499591223591455,1.9543673547064844,0.019669603161045345,1.2238211763559224,1.2417593225280168,1.139696593881026,-1.7014786182457777,1.2457166748695452,1.2525007963686594,0.30775999168776563,1.6025380051307903,-1.4095649065718374,1.5087065481687445,0.19029696777901628,-3.9225977155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x_a{258}=[-12.266988906293065,-13.394040291769118,27.832963623962204];
std_x_a{258}=[1.004897121415153,10.997514504138072,18.31647205986354];
pred_a{258}=[-12.266988906293065];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.7 to 25.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{259}=[-10.76993025255255,-3.2193268989770183,39.8019223280762];
std_x_f{259}=[8.884038981792301,8.374117514976442,12.557463004979667];
pred_f{259}=[-10.76993025255255];
obs{259}=[-5.66748062818171];
sqrt_r{259}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{259}=[80.45109952326048];
L_f{259}=[0.7245349496437854,-0.26377743156331435,-0.968336134723118,0.6620214022080586,0.6472919780613855,0.22583305780380428,0.5945757804101495,-0.5741978760125642,0.8059771384447467,-0.639396370249136,0.7503162542726102,0.02071713484455983,-1.6067224594851761,-1.4886493578114157,-0.2038050275476609,0.7040936445487328,0.6224711932495162,0.7426786583033786,0.45651276300258165,-0.9589598796560237,0.8111052728854636,0.7643340123062409,-1.6883000289135055,0.6090108452807856,-0.8832107239045978,-1.1073394982492066,0.7986313284246284,0.6576830523745929,0.7687366213183693,-1.1515999117240625,-1.6140751497181605,-1.2556739890037438,0.6347510818927027,0.6072092850593557,0.6852936960761173,-1.5106277197636329,0.7422834320668719,-1.4951761950117348,0.8275824324929479,0.6400081033083125,0.0055536781102523015,0.7840934925105033,0.7830461574848767,0.7535664731576606,-0.939732664613688,0.7839845427268606,0.783420233332103,0.18809884107329028,0.6597405573863843,-0.7991403805144529,0.5811303954534978,0.11477248009377344,-1.7010640825803676,0.7861044233012517,-1.4343798997407122,-1.2678272966581818,0.2501410156674152,0.7651900433692502,0.5498612000657006,-0.6865668215407167,0.3571029284579664,0.5879951559780043,0.7810196740680259,-0.5304748276340289,-1.1516282438652072,-1.0920649053333056,0.5907107002408301,0.7785907960799251,0.1619090248986215,-1.3565487631391575,0.6350884427582342,0.7266036873718974,-1.4533107596163566,0.7792951507824889,0.778009928321022,0.7826522114333736,0.7836943680100465,0.5971053118650593,0.6221946390584239,-1.5049206500045629,-1.5133977714828835,0.5976575107356955,-0.2121173753524477,0.6429652328265042,0.7811341469066646,0.7466474525280229,0.6127895949761155,0.7297167747868503,-1.5633120148102015,-0.968570480228823,0.5504969222212346,-1.063041316870722,0.7097174085560848,0.6327070395269603,-1.2847413671277368,-1.6792605366382483,0.7219197251910061,0.670068993189102,-0.6339717774318765,0.5957702157400744;0.5405437164458313,-0.8680809185896492,-1.4017450198486172,0.810437570984672,0.8412587211419117,-0.23146028390236484,0.662309320074269,-1.1866165208642079,0.6708622812638769,-1.2395074689053407,0.7230788674483878,-0.5158479535657676,-0.13711506907819312,-1.1800193789704418,-0.8044640069497465,0.7381916879770452,0.6746247134671536,0.557960458934435,0.11742384694096752,-1.405158165910869,0.6799888695671493,0.6836532796627642,-0.26814375436880944,0.730075395263116,0.9144389370040495,-1.4207720742489014,0.7287573183835709,0.8167241404359274,0.5993820734148116,-1.4086493807937601,-0.14773644480386144,-1.3725223192068392,0.842856052170387,0.7193566210503758,0.7596559324956829,-0.024484037308151765,0.7254270416972404,-1.1836473134636343,0.7191420770329754,0.8534498885385782,-0.5371168173005395,0.663933745391592,0.6713600232042853,0.5947100757789758,-1.3943439933635136,0.6741505496077741,0.67678229347222,-0.2791942842534484,0.7092649443314677,-1.341182972565367,0.6049042070793681,-0.3871745248490839,-0.2951438563699552,0.7257666846760846,-1.2502397230212896,-1.3777901801749657,-0.18961457638215187,0.7264249668065935,0.47740176446152965,-1.2721695236007526,-0.032564177218992685,0.31183716223808317,0.6510264473477647,-1.1481027963209094,-1.419710166929004,-1.4150268324501838,0.6450504161404971,0.6451118312442754,-0.3217998219159336,-1.3208657569571418,0.8424159231035443,0.7261003482199626,-1.227407391279867,0.7255995079452255,0.6787315439839808,0.6578007575695132,0.6643126742036071,0.33506453905231726,0.3737506189547171,-1.1590512761006433,-1.1590739975421973,0.5938179794752004,-0.6006065738906796,0.7083456199164383,0.6780444218026889,0.5793720581301062,0.7448723191960618,0.685164812363662,-0.08777370409291409,-1.4014833136198945,0.2610081847464599,-1.4201941368168518,0.5046167832563947,0.8388204521328151,-0.3657059324602301,-0.23565929432853042,0.7281791254207649,0.7839043878102175,-1.2294572579352234,0.6671770120600573;-1.049233451227674,-0.48387377764017897,0.7675310443926779,-0.4048741894031491,-0.30252003081909934,-0.9411899294490447,-0.48954561132830016,-0.026910899124720337,-1.0407666244433729,0.08634885447934766,-0.8235007378475186,-0.7913562127900218,2.924004411645159,2.183096062223567,-0.5636672908959491,-0.6629719821884251,-0.5442391953651545,-1.058982061841042,-1.0314303121178454,0.7407692034761879,-1.0372923381822288,-0.9262477890875783,3.067226760465802,-0.4031921768518056,1.9878787517362486,1.0985874697140197,-0.943102128636745,-0.3798174477135072,-1.0581292448563726,1.2154562778942564,2.93669285740752,1.495641186881991,-0.26576605457850344,-0.4181704226003404,-0.5675502832841574,2.7551126989629258,-0.7971093089166728,2.1968841117273543,-1.0198851374191882,-0.261357065174118,-0.7785648720917652,-1.0055852674401446,-0.9927395580504351,-1.0367247794298502,0.7014615069123986,-0.9908504611875955,-0.9850215037874438,-0.9125910234927229,-0.5869801902100616,0.39539369367514676,-0.5576417899240675,-0.867131802080159,3.0870970586837783,-0.915609196637939,2.011368158519303,1.523869909316754,-0.949396957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k{259}=[0.9875700890860926;0.7659398754283664;-1.3023743933651917];
x_a{259}=[-5.730903622455339,0.6888427306930982,33.15662259385978];
L_a{259}=[-0.08180122777205354,0.02978092053536718,0.10932679611292563,-0.07474334197214282,-0.07308036494092487,-0.025496936219503163,-0.06712861659052984,0.06482791653463373,-0.09099618936726186,0.07218893739368618,-0.08471198090168433,-0.002338999750166829,0.1814016976536979,0.1680710437100667,0.02300993414839603,-0.07949336966961006,-0.07027805613183948,-0.08384968333023252,-0.051541067170856325,0.10826820097300996,-0.09157516446520177,-0.0862946096186656,0.19061194395193098,-0.06875835995897246,0.09971599248919617,0.1250205122082903,-0.09016683492560171,-0.07425353489926653,-0.08679167166207598,0.1300175881474451,0.18223182888309064,0.1417677284338557,-0.07166447643966639,-0.06855496074670392,-0.07737082352070837,0.1705524381452069,-0.08380506161611122,0.16880793472783856,-0.09343546380169515,-0.07225800309622304,-6.270197018004903E-4,-0.0885254885316027,-0.08840724262638107,-0.08507893614029031,0.10609741570188722,-0.08851318791577764,-0.08844947642558958,-0.02123667898955122,-0.07448583071355956,0.09022430777210584,-0.06561060976717034,-0.012958008155065596,0.1920530273141786,-0.08875252603714812,0.16194392961723936,0.14313985753282235,-0.028241345994148105,-0.08639125698122448,-0.06208026443955774,0.0775145615504105,-0.04031752782004366,-0.06638565290282736,-0.08817844920290388,0.05989151002855844,0.13002078689435437,0.12329598469605081,-0.06669224246745575,-0.08790422474812341,-0.018279804211783414,0.1531566619553671,-0.07170256505501388,-0.08203479177911846,0.164081255886138,-0.08798374759168716,-0.08783864379046942,-0.08836276544732313,-0.08848042669685229,-0.06741420499285845,-0.07024683269342785,0.16990810026543535,0.17086518169434525,-0.06747654918427948,0.023948412349392732,-0.07259186804695857,-0.08819137338102874,-0.08429776694650185,-0.06918498722474296,-0.08238626464157987,0.1765005846372879,0.10935325411898683,-0.06215203855186355,0.12001917220859665,-0.08012830218836148,-0.07143370058100407,0.14504948484853977,0.1895913699038253,-0.08150596448455795,-0.07565192867756106,0.07157649164095488,-0.06726347037022684;-0.08483471300297447,-0.6404028528783862,-0.5659309139736767,0.2390173724450209,0.28255214551867003,-0.42638686829473754,0.14910444579732096,-0.6910007247316425,-0.024812533677794724,-0.6876159445306248,0.07544744412283544,-0.5337298366386817,1.2497187458633259,0.10490027583126864,-0.6285507979262343,0.1304570606422928,0.13734206422726178,-0.08307861467168395,-0.27661267937187395,-0.5774371239672857,-0.020112266926180004,0.02392250418342786,1.189103299123066,0.20441097268939085,1.6767775041902864,-0.4649779657353237,0.03942299969493617,0.24904856512885645,-0.06414879026018025,-0.414652135386278,1.2454438050092789,-0.2886940959735122,0.2949740833569456,0.19524720545373275,0.1681483791693058,1.2794061219340878,0.08472910548302227,0.1069059456239835,0.004818769197640281,0.30103035007706186,-0.5419104445727112,-0.012852318729020186,-0.004522039344344294,-0.05572675642670937,-0.5832188182608091,-0.00254147509539333,5.773493759865548E-4,-0.4415507832317078,0.13981344468356285,-0.6514092683141756,0.10330464422550474,-0.4862397712947886,1.1731204211212694,0.04724489650204192,-0.01216245790965323,-0.2834718950650154,-0.40552244334664483,0.06595531273760696,0.002792038759570942,-0.6795630789042165,-0.34079564163683335,-0.19568768159424538,-0.023106466982194943,-0.6902263133010164,-0.42568846678688343,-0.47241690633238115,0.13518166494107703,-0.026924610165684246,-0.46155072248252216,-0.1499680171313844,0.29424276308069747,0.09893629897189156,0.027009943310770217,0.052955106577113525,0.0071964754435541135,-0.017741272571988015,-0.012128887759622413,-0.1803236866409982,-0.16329332402846475,0.13991285669602888,0.14720711688381616,0.07795312630845247,-0.4175186067443959,0.1533736510791718,0.0038127008601879023,-0.06509265878036137,0.21594628922726558,0.05531371852339167,1.2615906199346645,-0.5654669336871213,-0.21415026110128396,-0.5026357643592586,-0.10797196561415881,0.2927027874499639,0.7432116412430959,1.213785370217312,0.10505801283671903,0.20553795457057641,-0.6822479415590642,0.15294116737778451;0.0141357227842467,-0.8710087111066336,-0.6536547745283653,0.5667465060378415,0.6474829143722735,-0.6097443418214434,0.38308800946953714,-0.8696367351041622,0.14213179115666014,-0.8520660424587813,0.2777065620154502,-0.7609505538519893,0.5658860966499303,-0.0017313761043873917,-0.8627832740647117,0.3703963564941059,0.3693353381164697,0.031015862792712463,-0.36142591832204324,-0.666655484099952,0.1531324225404628,0.19553277889592866,0.589380511485397,0.4906271755878833,0.6916278829290948,-0.5266076822699581,0.22901515357920235,0.585436035930103,0.07011284539190063,-0.47469800317151756,0.5677833112319903,-0.34725819729766266,0.6658311499280105,0.47300485641606377,0.43822616947400406,0.5380285522363566,0.2923085589553344,0.002477511640499426,0.19472245066122776,0.67795564639417,-0.77041397459851,0.1451954504381892,0.15650403069194513,0.06925272865130488,-0.6777442137413456,0.15977035572047057,0.1647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x_a{259}=[-5.73090362245534,0.6888427306930954,33.15662259385978];
std_x_a{259}=[1.003023106949744,4.819566777485453,4.73020968650097];
pred_a{259}=[-5.73090362245534];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.8 to 25.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 25.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{260}=[-1.4560207051072065,0.7407742955092002,25.959230750807855];
std_x_f{260}=[3.2119050028551386,5.0579803579265645,2.9167028191454447];
pred_f{260}=[-1.4560207051072065];
obs{260}=[-2.018950572255178];
sqrt_r{260}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{260}=[11.31989653414129];
L_f{260}=[-0.05968908422338055,-0.48767344345647357,-0.37280256948108437,0.19097149506229794,0.2232968565562149,-0.3375615003673449,0.12290993814566509,-0.5019118711410013,-0.010947681461837666,-0.49352936834841815,0.06513997551994856,-0.4186955555452589,0.7828363150315366,0.1237204053263533,-0.4830417607337179,0.1079218281467841,0.1136791321434635,-0.057587530226686716,-0.2173964983984908,-0.3814557754064473,-0.0072345059121612255,0.025175286485926675,0.7518631661035308,0.16517660295255218,0.9866253530241196,-0.28651749150809636,0.03731735568111681,0.19823580953286057,-0.042024105547225375,-0.2471399581806996,0.7809018264442481,-0.15155113680418564,0.2319927190141388,0.15761459076919052,0.13697645960868568,0.7976730629837755,0.07200091910736328,0.12571602244631871,0.012374810386412373,0.2361022133840227,-0.42362233016384143,-0.003258474101119001,0.003585829771979592,-0.036637209131886894,-0.3879591406454666,0.005029709438919013,0.007578568038207496,-0.34929112366157816,0.1155649684153234,-0.4514120753276225,0.08737208776297145,-0.38375952014601244,0.743930390010381,0.04319399533098414,0.045140067550441025,-0.1471199389614399,-0.32144249370629135,0.057478039062125515,0.007981828711965566,-0.48265074777067235,-0.2701627707639403,-0.15045740335052044,-0.01044562704926829,-0.5056147412994683,-0.2550886471274351,-0.2930360779000553,0.11173976267050943,-0.014075604546525006,-0.3644823643732452,-0.05019290266607342,0.2318371257366379,0.0838989081596444,0.07212001549106437,0.048100613513795264,0.01213242251393464,-0.006379282897214104,-0.0021977601727648866,-0.13903155982841028,-0.12470646018341316,0.1467725291991677,0.15207886440892324,0.0683468321294877,-0.3149906444383953,0.12635431544484213,0.009182003558528159,-0.04339846713752022,0.17365958381285593,0.04955305319295417,0.7888071497090271,-0.37204458970317233,-0.1667792181580387,-0.3178432294903489,-0.07744966775123435,0.2298930913726315,0.49907282744396136,0.7651760147443268,0.08848112838541623,0.16581914462172348,-0.4899949220650726,0.12618181720130278;-0.01886693496174125,-0.8631049513211418,-0.6885115812102686,0.3856792382958671,0.43293634257104985,-0.5578543941184437,0.274248319198411,-0.9020611856968994,0.0720261464806352,-0.8894457558554825,0.19264424419051038,-0.720716528140749,1.0289128623846915,0.12113138484079133,-0.8498004294597953,0.25892911174350797,0.2611696160386995,-0.012778410428600097,-0.3224243539438231,-0.7038559691490386,0.07932363414571254,0.12710075055192427,0.9810843525666302,0.34211743860966737,1.2977522434163495,-0.5447627923259942,0.15063415669146143,0.3965120833270842,0.016702871915096867,-0.47935824378916464,1.025431884201754,-0.32027354537697084,0.4449307460848563,0.33145539451718786,0.303418788256737,1.058306045645895,0.2035413662241061,0.12369610659981523,0.11331198871190083,0.45153204463425556,-0.73143483057226,0.08290374021241648,0.0932809112338497,0.023213387745475274,-0.7144763867523529,0.09585132329512981,0.1004769028476895,-0.5830107251210076,0.2675896520781177,-0.8209029668891662,0.21545657550191688,-0.6505972961379612,0.9698975820928174,0.15932497047464853,-0.002031562242792339,-0.3124446584034638,-0.5275564438309226,0.18111977984760497,0.08077329933742317,-0.8727999948460873,-0.4255351918542727,-0.18986155712686253,0.0698578136098857,-0.907408053039685,-0.4918593794957,-0.5565130190569422,0.255275778723365,0.06417537663798759,-0.61250666900491,-0.15463679461110524,0.4436762224289882,0.2215785015850504,0.040311602232229925,0.16625983183482776,0.10716746662669502,0.07649886132837583,0.08448086775250303,-0.16919495593497647,-0.14140704521244757,0.15704992971536436,0.16457544412128233,0.18441459253329,-0.5522880413658335,0.2833341825396307,0.10348481870715587,0.010462931969028689,0.35501752435743383,0.1650397513522015,1.0417935431312442,-0.6873304271843906,-0.22226605140379802,-0.5972606099459487,-0.051062322969524836,0.442028365357286,0.6990796190335498,0.9972449653276672,0.22827275143098325,0.34738465980738464,-0.8836047670370684,0.2789221371624942;-0.06182849078782275,-0.3808439755099319,-0.326601342425718,0.29099127219752374,0.3514560963653273,-0.3397250118001655,0.16114225280823805,-0.3602570628867627,0.012017482660683783,-0.3560316919790425,0.09084527168829964,-0.37576448509596505,0.631718520449551,-0.08824209137103557,-0.38122535593075557,0.15240673300499957,0.15200288731924777,-0.05078582839420542,-0.24988871667905863,-0.3276000552316508,0.01897134961381047,0.04048042230514798,0.6223674944036961,0.2362703873291702,0.9399742094022574,-0.3019568289174659,0.06121838273850494,0.3050437217402537,-0.028634967783932642,-0.2921468614869234,0.6311391324979972,-0.2568783804363548,0.3653543931877077,0.22417443402160428,0.19884322457947667,0.621552119599918,0.09981915991645168,-0.08531065373023451,0.04256082499035896,0.3739918723710339,-0.3761880400225856,0.011920015237794875,0.018244924243849638,-0.03142560234102402,-0.33085010364135725,0.01972561033787065,0.022744856958360624,-0.3485562341461524,0.15977792122404771,-0.34296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k{260}=[0.9116599699490225;1.4078807243269982;0.7933260911738751];
x_a{260}=[-1.9692213308747335,-0.05176381359638704,25.512643799698324];
L_a{260}=[0.019551918141568557,0.15974363437364536,0.12211621967899666,-0.06255514031438952,-0.07314372330320502,0.11057255960281667,-0.0402607123341984,0.16440761232162276,0.0035860521997751215,0.16166181699648893,-0.02133742686256373,0.13714905053029317,-0.2564279842602801,-0.04052619115967263,0.15822646783254285,-0.03535116641625085,-0.037237044511446854,0.018863527420751307,0.0712109859994457,0.12495068725570889,0.002369754356758243,-0.00824648504777308,-0.2462823356830527,-0.0541056955698043,-0.3231816736629933,0.09385244576929666,-0.012223774129394011,-0.06493465884329641,0.013765529867354286,0.08095383426852633,-0.2557943179375913,0.049642500963289524,-0.07599216356929031,-0.05162866237155138,-0.04486838021451518,-0.2612879496161504,-0.023584816132150015,-0.04117988091013761,-0.004053526416774705,-0.0773382806787863,0.13876287817227906,0.0010673546046220859,-0.0011745841150613424,0.012000983483033158,0.12708094719272153,-0.0016475452506120665,-0.0024824562789205465,0.11441474678769666,-0.03785477414988148,0.1478657623878229,-0.028619837781501706,0.12570530812404918,-0.24368385405401263,-0.014148742134460159,-0.014786202823084637,0.04819100579264497,0.10529257411031281,-0.01882766219824742,-0.002614549437755335,0.15809838656701153,0.08849524913312015,0.0492842346699968,0.0034215978961971015,0.1656205345027746,0.0835575283549986,0.0959876915884037,-0.03660177939262625,0.004610643159757913,0.11939083075225894,0.016441323183014403,-0.07594119701376963,-0.027482153660883,-0.023623827666258278,-0.015755967279735116,-0.003974129188573686,0.002089615188959139,7.199042764987367E-4,0.04554155441029264,0.040849185960131776,-0.04807720730969101,-0.04981536484724987,-0.022387873501798786,0.10317918888437125,-0.04138896189403693,-0.0030076819620832303,0.01421571947337678,-0.0568844037630216,-0.01623173235608,-0.2583838070437935,0.12186793376937796,0.0546306525484179,0.10411358937238893,0.025369623000023125,-0.07530440385059729,-0.16347764747650764,-0.2506431284518246,-0.028983118132471085,-0.05431616825977156,0.16050406419617608,-0.04133245790204018;0.10350531289751279,0.1367042478565999,0.07579380274192801,-0.005843121812010104,-0.024858221246129082,0.1342011153295236,0.022263126079376545,0.12693908626086392,0.09447065885275494,0.12236903365165329,0.05909679018634191,0.13767687774572623,-0.5760278201989352,-0.13251539669105605,0.14051307325135448,0.037671961039410666,0.028109063743683913,0.1052853128500019,0.12327352418400567,0.07818988232838918,0.09415553787050547,0.07548735359890478,-0.5603563801197118,0.0034787668985389597,-0.7249888291832929,0.0426442678263291,0.07412755991119498,-0.009903292857105539,0.10285906491083589,0.02731852319275869,-0.5755427848307406,-0.009569276453223353,-0.030691738027909837,0.008320067199045614,0.02259495783262552,-0.5770523627490695,0.05592787149990577,-0.13404201183247172,0.08794163191181867,-0.032515565615907155,0.13705925775249156,0.08958413756702878,0.08592938196602613,0.09832557442235518,0.08090241216937129,0.08553960787634408,0.08493961628254407,0.13309240354801913,0.030662831324059364,0.10456458027440688,0.036329706346120275,0.136171603547402,-0.555279680397702,0.07077031477088093,-0.09457597981156263,-0.010825059612977304,0.13145250268119157,0.06328053111242077,0.06440926336301715,0.11671186823777498,0.12834205348161226,0.11860038184618611,0.09127303347713388,0.12918369985162215,0.03111348159793372,0.04425819435770034,0.026191246582165935,0.09303263572894714,0.13474095279623866,-0.05173325025714146,-0.03162727037460838,0.049572210685864794,-0.10754605928352065,0.06764581763645489,0.08229404405160301,0.08957741996299484,0.08898663050788869,0.11584216133606622,0.11426130778327658,-0.14385742304068133,-0.14721075149122875,0.044292565355859244,0.09349357375002658,0.024287460532026267,0.08466023076233663,0.09943678784842644,-0.0010126260458029309,0.06344800159746652,-0.5753883133719904,0.07542097599457381,0.11965823990931426,0.05436926452183779,0.10772198511604675,-0.02928954351359629,-0.3241001555334805,-0.5714892538441998,0.04687217016012239,0.007428674060989107,0.12096383763982102,0.020229064370459515;0.007126993426757878,0.1825380711350475,0.10407676278364954,0.07037250941133039,0.09349363861000795,0.05024104334853939,0.019151226980124808,0.21957384854171344,0.024664731082235335,0.2141153794891909,0.015592675469969645,0.10793123828065458,-0.27264880007658243,-0.23116940492430882,0.176805964881667,0.027730638305103927,0.020675699039564174,0.015741847196225376,0.0012573849686233094,0.11307461823396327,0.027328972531250214,0.01139681191868026,-0.24621826723659446,0.04545103089730747,-0.19981926944475847,0.02904091748703995,0.018107714111574077,0.07603289986449588,0.019913147577476704,-0.006639792533669473,-0.27099338079361956,-0.0817997683656189,0.09734608845297285,0.042091050314483104,0.04060192767889439,-0.2999552718877257,0.016640496588956593,-0.23054339291709794,0.028264893776784965,0.1012360970084711,0.11319931246613585,0.01568434940989336,0.014102414244658783,0.0108993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x_a{260}=[-1.9692213308747342,-0.051763813596388604,25.512643799698346];
std_x_a{260}=[1.0521003046268649,1.8978655175194197,1.2388348980724644];
pred_a{260}=[-1.9692213308747342];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 25.9 to 26.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{261}=[-1.0150727408697806,-0.7651901577538323,19.85009647227737];
std_x_f{261}=[1.7648268479975886,2.579785760826255,0.7536336808760156];
pred_f{261}=[-1.0150727408697806];
obs{261}=[-1.1873085158862493];
sqrt_r{261}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{261}=[4.120975588688471];
L_f{261}=[0.07976080036813839,0.16893476229676307,0.11274216068713454,-0.02657961834173358,-0.04255454419835846,0.14458446109639525,-0.001323506303871852,0.1644282724540664,0.06657628908416113,0.16058450662736984,0.0309568541885674,0.1591368769001989,-0.5247246242076178,-0.11999376246147452,0.1706988526418413,0.011249513181097409,0.0037631235553226413,0.08086639600892874,0.1176075394755347,0.11572270250154604,0.0658667795978771,0.04788904232731395,-0.5053862926377939,-0.018561703910892173,-0.6340575491476774,0.07644399061704014,0.04522071567172068,-0.03007504395699953,0.07677889986206142,0.05935097833958869,-0.5236201095077111,0.01707342913121924,-0.047186855458293694,-0.014535122732114082,-0.002474865069225641,-0.532731880851452,0.028317800160928833,-0.12128940006873559,0.059097811749529654,-0.04879675080093744,0.16006344425234384,0.06209065906060677,0.05856066177247832,0.0725342531148666,0.1182082909009906,0.05829895168256551,0.05725874740061597,0.14536313313920263,0.005199956153636245,0.14321340408437785,0.012148255871380421,0.15311722264494235,-0.5005953769773185,0.04232128214167038,-0.077972234195794,0.015453130991562111,0.14025848014979034,0.03528433686459613,0.041762316746604154,0.15540266716881979,0.1298983383129603,0.10362705281878395,0.0640802210026957,0.1668504505440381,0.06360387025936465,0.07865588693745945,0.002157401329284983,0.0659959982365413,0.14861920994555733,-0.03090899444588336,-0.04789686053815978,0.021978423828510694,-0.09279578910446108,0.03929252954161521,0.0548317920066691,0.06238650673779336,0.060991332327439085,0.10011832954537997,0.09720465734561577,-0.13250347276165075,-0.1356820153644372,0.019984759010986626,0.11371425820683158,-7.065385645955777E-4,0.056646858336019616,0.07459213516557954,-0.022770544597391147,0.03617218132149238,-0.527041390601786,0.11211839998474783,0.1071529993490209,0.08898993455736488,0.08523956848902238,-0.046792607984791616,-0.33042744527812584,-0.5147134993664381,0.019979687984492473,-0.015922874507842643,0.15877234957000888,-0.003225611417105572;0.12894378095176545,0.20994087386319324,0.13427796420801552,-0.010573525477802229,-0.030759965435944572,0.1953379048822953,0.018759999960082704,0.19981547745333436,0.11512375551665681,0.19476543308692898,0.06622423803999086,0.20630306184976546,-0.7804030584547846,-0.20125726808842465,0.21414700189293473,0.039905198357211874,0.02678154882156604,0.13141159436557848,0.16832614260836531,0.1374292170520957,0.11425781589187521,0.08824840358670288,-0.7507948433354258,-0.0022252162767925736,-0.895512395564768,0.0860184267734415,0.08594967344308527,-0.014945464625965025,0.12736408898492524,0.062059115445455865,-0.7791234972286725,0.0019509132681940335,-0.03728559874296176,0.0032728893200489207,0.020753968268537166,-0.7955204555954781,0.06191212043374858,-0.20396489107142474,0.10567716160138858,-0.038799676317914165,0.20638720124952065,0.10859531075569792,0.10269010330455045,0.12066946814914685,0.14130068626761347,0.10268521490694328,0.10141659013436446,0.19501024945875622,0.029846345870472683,0.17271167679799623,0.0360893299990015,0.2017810429252062,-0.7439447446291677,0.08197108728416855,-0.13899012730473875,2.1882734791152066E-4,0.19047118356127868,0.0716052713915481,0.07338546520358447,0.18786019661087514,0.1806775471603707,0.15597029797681472,0.11055447374052056,0.2029602749124353,0.0682740474758535,0.08870831757616779,0.023322354563702262,0.11305640866889359,0.19777695505970708,-0.06777141914377616,-0.03884838430024207,0.05432354064998633,-0.16082117486854386,0.07721604873194793,0.09747290395163045,0.10798094205734254,0.10673470757744583,0.151233892707281,0.14805840214501245,-0.2207850860367743,-0.22530356921374844,0.04658212228343793,0.14553107387566291,0.021626065460856367,0.10041617864455751,0.12252721552134761,-0.006827354322349576,0.0716103903261077,-0.7864769927721412,0.1337411073774553,0.1590535456286687,0.1028390991986547,0.1355619763447389,-0.03629211203735017,-0.5258762822381237,-0.7640131567167234,0.0506227671985654,0.0036813754451191557,0.19245678371898778,0.01689242267494479;-0.031097359186503276,0.11157507924171073,0.047318297441586527,0.02917535098426956,0.05103676546442652,0.006607231630361276,-0.014260213204398438,0.13903814711434548,-0.018115170307890515,0.1352965034770832,-0.022060663938133725,0.053128530972316644,0.09522577837455935,-0.16933126844768362,0.10752911689889641,-0.0100318182496231,-0.013795345434952741,-0.024804524759150588,-0.03394466383581719,0.0539457533006792,-0.015376439268096663,-0.026882598185736045,0.09588207895809453,0.00889333536306647,0.28517790135975624,-0.010254087172132689,-0.021537620203684327,0.03445032703566298,-0.021004631181046788,-0.03646530864324533,0.09597295449530231,-0.08988099755501852,0.05473702995676326,0.005373244240625024,0.0016576833054022936,0.08210307958419918,-0.020243720158061855,-0.16825159673378742,-0.013998153635764489,0.058430370263160454,0.05706791152528876,-0.02447958167277401,-0.025510509248736216,-0.028315761197832738,0.05762088134666309,-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k{261}=[0.7573390139109617;1.1026778441757725;-0.05420987620108792];
x_a{261}=[-1.1455136128809433,-0.9551107308389353,19.859433352318412];
L_a{261}=[-0.05476734253784402,-0.11599818395192393,-0.07741382363654785,0.018250757960402753,0.029219858475546565,-0.0992781751182006,9.087787830686816E-4,-0.11290382592493531,-0.04571426580903929,-0.11026452392828631,-0.021256364397223684,-0.10927051643626004,0.3602994591250348,0.08239309862489105,-0.11720948749640668,-0.007724420253175761,-0.0025839293965874157,-0.05552649408707687,-0.08075461090862622,-0.07946039731365269,-0.04522708477662952,-0.032882764125283334,0.3470208934097136,0.012745298335546192,0.43537234860482216,-0.052489872214918076,-0.031050571378028736,0.02065087394599005,-0.05271983592210903,-0.040753043420798774,0.3595410497982894,-0.011723382127677607,0.032400611130282024,0.009980467119501122,0.0016993533459498335,0.36579760063536576,-0.019444271549102155,0.08328274151104899,-0.04057920788638975,0.03350603747096196,-0.10990673913368898,-0.04263423106936546,-0.04021037662276661,-0.049805271107277636,-0.08116711377903588,-0.04003067473821039,-0.039316423828541586,-0.09981284626362835,-0.0035705230957251773,-0.09833674588642886,-0.008341537289927262,-0.10513715186324454,0.34373123586069027,-0.029059690286401603,0.053539232792702805,-0.010610812760037645,-0.09630776259448737,-0.02422780807570666,-0.02867587957842094,-0.1067064405678804,-0.08919402459161535,-0.0711549817920424,-0.044000353524001404,-0.11456700202809464,-0.04367326974089294,-0.05400865942466878,-0.0014813685049197066,-0.0453158120889601,-0.10204861462302399,0.021223501751547438,0.03288813245947078,-0.015091371459441796,0.06371775037984331,-0.02698001292178141,-0.03764996741422687,-0.04283737335230054,-0.04187938403324613,-0.06874573503802169,-0.06674507703721226,0.09098282673565164,0.09316535663372764,-0.013722431786532019,-0.0780813093888936,4.851410643423476E-4,-0.03889627335561213,-0.05121830521242312,0.01563527710332179,-0.024837441896665625,0.36189025483049286,-0.07698552156470807,-0.07357605480660984,-0.0611044799679622,-0.058529310434065625,0.03212990313429511,0.22688630249353445,0.35342537184362083,-0.0137189497923225,0.010933359724741118,-0.10902021562352043,0.00221484945686641;-0.06692781667595044,-0.20491857630781296,-0.1425872005328728,0.0546990430633982,0.073742829420429,-0.15972359470624356,0.022010184173546093,-0.20397721610154174,-0.048370141822022726,-0.19958798014594803,-0.009797673217874671,-0.1844953526102103,0.5081829384731678,0.09341592789518079,-0.20504459129388164,0.012279345693428832,0.017540304758699807,-0.06717505606366826,-0.12048711583205159,-0.1467553763340723,-0.04749371231348248,-0.029354518979496643,0.49030128535458223,0.04335745820664216,0.6615665776432379,-0.10170795638831831,-0.025100538987165896,0.058910952077376656,-0.06118474340728156,-0.08369131452123023,0.5067501014049364,-0.03997694885806666,0.07859293711656773,0.03896733694486736,0.026831587509879525,0.5127292626617984,-0.0076289665817124664,0.09389005091910947,-0.03945155764735176,0.08103234008997515,-0.1866866195094973,-0.0438830562093492,-0.04111951654090993,-0.0574556255656526,-0.14898786004526768,-0.04048171362662048,-0.03919586961723829,-0.16196346435467443,0.017076617950168804,-0.17898286651448939,0.006256401104921704,-0.17423468015377147,0.48538615226545023,-0.021958877165557326,0.05248922109750524,-0.03773000769006726,-0.15396684189701482,-0.015043801849995358,-0.029171826900266002,-0.19376797855127167,-0.13831868829752758,-0.09851055351141971,-0.046809735322118275,-0.20678065248703442,-0.08792036914868599,-0.10444990257904913,0.018024342969776373,-0.04901244660792792,-0.16719282904283286,0.008132961143759157,0.07877373774040992,3.502985465994202E-4,0.0670609349037156,-0.019276094032767883,-0.037179590150311165,-0.045223949176738186,-0.04304400137832153,-0.09463045505953727,-0.09065073120448336,0.10460867607763728,0.10789585952965854,-0.002495202136823737,-0.13372130730932005,0.023361138790037723,-0.03869364211520669,-0.06065149655161923,0.049091128548414215,-0.017218995944073126,0.5077983745340098,-0.14159226474412648,-0.10408610538063079,-0.11569683040693497,-0.07376403823862772,0.07861825547207331,0.28556682399887323,0.49998814437515604,0.0015578958888096744,0.04278377730520171,-0.19744644726472266,0.02481367796173418;-0.021467914725646714,0.13197041007510749,0.06092954970739753,0.025966419310676236,0.04589919640764912,0.024062774097394855,-0.01441999884330779,0.15888941377770677,-0.010077479171556577,0.1546837160013451,-0.01832327280469755,0.0723409725565511,0.03187628084281742,-0.18381799959805906,0.12813742465734249,-0.00867367537882611,-0.013341027159458164,-0.015041602803458965,-0.019746019083876343,0.06791684350358097,-0.007424406527379203,-0.02110100031753448,0.034867279535671356,0.006652398761580197,0.2086287453041025,-0.0010250779518704734,-0.016078166837730213,0.03081939600055463,-0.011735188690814085,-0.029299922300822456,0.0327568039574454,-0.08781973893152628,0.04904020643166193,0.003618432899282019,0.001358895233790341,0.017786873684690847,-0.016824939470747875,-0.18289474896222283,-0.0068633318514588,0.0525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x_a{261}=[-1.1455136128809436,-0.9551107308389359,19.859433352318405];
std_x_a{261}=[1.2118092604155697,1.7806370497292872,0.7483438588218757];
pred_a{261}=[-1.1455136128809436];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.0 to 26.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{262}=[-1.3964812645134428,-2.0651519363055755,15.695604000187009];
std_x_f{262}=[1.9744568801933562,3.0445709891227177,0.9263932970594274];
pred_f{262}=[-1.3964812645134428];
obs{262}=[-1.6216659300679854];
sqrt_r{262}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{262}=[4.9054449948614];
L_f{262}=[-0.0834567140409887,-0.20335948002936652,-0.14432180996492855,0.050246044084248154,0.07125090768170812,-0.17274136824474112,0.01541671660367977,-0.1996858597975508,-0.06337980565117723,-0.19543962844562596,-0.02186513984774327,-0.19107283530936967,0.5781566414116296,0.11622187860437072,-0.20512665603772567,0.0026803902707333363,0.009427948867541194,-0.08361786558836977,-0.1371537282681846,-0.1487147046365664,-0.06291380721182808,-0.043151832322544194,0.5577102635657765,0.038490917832929995,0.7009431206485596,-0.10497173326715827,-0.03883497718045072,0.054967343071215376,-0.0768228477763079,-0.08713290286832408,0.57686780610773,-0.040351799430546204,0.07657146320516066,0.03338373429394493,0.019249229742574966,0.5865289554934351,-0.018964325570930207,0.11670948961645747,-0.05410555826967459,0.07976075271937799,-0.19326044234890907,-0.05935784882035163,-0.05587537200983471,-0.07372008557228375,-0.1501644894705779,-0.05547561854974661,-0.053774935213689506,-0.17410269294215172,0.00926871098191456,-0.1764875482871013,-0.00299986569327693,-0.18380660207587818,0.5527216454100026,-0.03587475428839465,0.06710731377987575,-0.03802639160448732,-0.1675782806166177,-0.02695724906894623,-0.041564850761182444,-0.1897934328612395,-0.15395726370772211,-0.1158644532822135,-0.06195386381840009,-0.20217904059647837,-0.09110030080492128,-0.10781409209895557,0.010038330925107839,-0.06441090465642704,-0.17829859774892767,0.014039351080133529,0.0767322045826334,-0.010611354497004706,0.08397207149948055,-0.03214564515414396,-0.051332412870021944,-0.06022668352429242,-0.05794936637183425,-0.11206561015651142,-0.10831490838745074,0.1302826778164861,0.1340745786692057,-0.01272174601938435,-0.14502018525897184,0.015673694131984873,-0.053377985456445134,-0.07677954324747067,0.0446947016400815,-0.029184532212924684,0.5799545364244251,-0.14304937193925799,-0.12141095225634259,-0.11913461262466364,-0.09049227548032189,0.0765610707377365,0.35507115245193416,0.5676168883455047,-0.00845719837340028,0.03719223775489089,-0.1937283770067683,0.018002347443557987;-0.13126733921617453,-0.3085391220837609,-0.22585776941764243,0.08603180692771825,0.11970537571195884,-0.2704805071327713,0.026334566209111964,-0.2994434629863399,-0.09777058443612992,-0.29329752013294147,-0.03222807389721427,-0.29484465635497153,0.8933440111100401,0.17623635130502532,-0.31098938507283097,0.007903752500816607,0.017857644257548596,-0.13093339485056166,-0.21759552781241795,-0.23113391747289921,-0.09626322690030883,-0.06644372150196635,0.8635560639466958,0.06510295165663234,1.0413632943992355,-0.17063748719794594,-0.05826113214886432,0.09274773338975709,-0.12085413220607802,-0.14357197784260248,0.8910794160848202,-0.07443499322311245,0.12776370897260414,0.05704825221721406,0.034925813950365606,0.9069153815689919,-0.02755267777252012,0.1762305020181218,-0.08333776203434701,0.13282264860875145,-0.2969918699041565,-0.09155555098744286,-0.08637289376681426,-0.11485544968847644,-0.23382833124204794,-0.08540946235042163,-0.08333061700921596,-0.2720089951730568,0.017326150608401057,-0.2688294804947614,-0.002743634468626267,-0.28495837642816224,0.85615445944628,-0.05384794135278116,0.09551883620251707,-0.07118656780790066,-0.26321109056935793,-0.04059552611884539,-0.06660534470809717,-0.28637883910710077,-0.24327410602530183,-0.18375477489215766,-0.09619805804976309,-0.30278940064988447,-0.1506780516553323,-0.1747714170228217,0.017841689521134237,-0.09974118273087945,-0.2776642073609396,0.010862580432610234,0.12788123882993216,-0.013378090878079864,0.12357567521969332,-0.04843287207594088,-0.07979068160789861,-0.09341202400019938,-0.08985744927938293,-0.1781729097134987,-0.17114931871831404,0.1989304761720499,0.20569065141219212,-0.018571177196100342,-0.2336940049330498,0.028530499903729002,-0.08201655305548691,-0.12022382937161648,0.07584112148762819,-0.04339012650579623,0.8965639384801026,-0.2240501123374707,-0.192376305116787,-0.1900150012339987,-0.1421365809855472,0.12859469245452101,0.5681781976188878,0.8766740297345446,-0.010983270700640316,0.06447829294805203,-0.29195953803097857,0.03131758169184435;-0.024265521077572356,0.15205445159394265,0.06500022446824773,-0.023088205980864727,-0.009740773224702256,0.05133290094770857,-0.048058866979737346,0.17022185899478193,-0.022386457842344484,0.1644617160815489,-0.04190057944209762,0.09860258316267077,0.13761314177216386,-0.18957683453193214,0.1495778293638411,-0.04058581390941644,-0.04527388887147675,-0.019158920560062152,1.6707771510893681E-4,0.0725638963940287,-0.02094209847649063,-0.03740210121593201,0.12435828362333723,-0.035429400790306924,0.38099788275595436,1.3424118123875993E-4,-0.03518417926367037,-0.01962829835902842,-0.018696419693368237,-0.028929349321240062,0.1370086813354279,-0.08929239967840985,-0.008531423534069866,-0.0368222700639441,-0.03627242999154845,0.131809959308169,-0.04109418095306202,-0.1884985991760268,-0.023189326739645157,-0.005953407399715745,0.10252069939760877,-0.029190183977468847,-0.03159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k{262}=[0.7961448959171832;1.2273750627568112;0.05600775305234862];
x_a{262}=[-1.5757608866335098,-2.341537979322454,15.682991913047454];
L_a{262}=[0.04896152679423486,0.11930484856412502,0.08466923538494271,-0.029477832454881617,-0.04180074983371796,0.10134212959347741,-0.009044520764374602,0.11714964682297208,0.03718301263430303,0.11465851147813133,0.012827615402988365,0.11209664618541569,-0.339186993102047,-0.06818385661061921,0.12034159721254138,-0.001572503801132889,-0.005531092092435993,0.04905606952690399,0.08046393892567856,0.08724641365802958,0.036909625461845695,0.025315873249489734,-0.32719172240096056,-0.022581455865685253,-0.4112221021068904,0.06158373703130735,0.022783305065668884,-0.03224767559464913,0.04506963835122693,0.05111823545259217,-0.3384308724592635,0.02367317874561836,-0.04492215863605578,-0.019585225945055035,-0.011292940162328673,-0.3440987762336562,0.011125795512625375,-0.06846992322500467,0.031742092549158246,-0.046793218212260075,0.11338004898784411,0.03482345235924844,0.03278038867494511,0.04324934172759211,0.08809695851606746,0.032545865425712174,0.03154812601452523,0.10214077756822519,-0.005437672047166099,0.10353989997813431,0.0017599303568118366,0.10783376719188126,-0.3242650512001253,0.02104663193982398,-0.039369828772659266,0.022308932394783213,0.09831310243670277,0.015815001677873804,0.024384839226266466,0.1113460595134558,0.09032206430378428,0.06797416599808002,0.03634645574304757,0.11861232049629243,0.05344578767661922,0.06325126288229518,-0.005889184761308394,0.037787927195739694,0.10460238785307456,-0.00823646212270021,-0.04501646073446114,0.006225360337971691,-0.04926387140847603,0.018858876539993887,0.03011517212280746,0.0353331713689839,0.03399713836001257,0.06574549977723164,0.06354507663245204,-0.07643290170283573,-0.07865749510235921,0.0074634631348129,0.08507895102094203,-0.00919528169813775,0.03131524761284571,0.045044232895556216,-0.026221027955119776,0.017121681249258478,-0.3402417636600992,0.08392273452873501,0.07122812898064664,0.06989266945351413,0.0530890776316092,-0.04491606169013497,-0.20830949246452318,-0.333003639155254,0.004961582174922736,-0.021819559592045425,0.1136545720810666,-0.010561432077040547;0.07287495634931172,0.18889564461229633,0.12716578207201285,-0.03687433549966387,-0.05458046842185989,0.1520597265419579,-0.011376047654885032,0.18900531287870298,0.057261867617650966,0.18476460888594928,0.02125593745730025,0.17253592133112694,-0.5208768257687606,-0.10805235291566709,0.19076804602668335,0.0013472875217358828,-0.005203928995247314,0.07360309125063318,0.11789427975753812,0.13263503194849244,0.05762935291872386,0.039109369215871465,-0.5006511753753904,-0.029049141618663427,-0.6732038240683652,0.08613239458916813,0.03673255986202435,-0.04170711215067953,0.06706115630181853,0.06956259155930469,-0.5199888188665344,0.024268976380867474,-0.05953667126801331,-0.024611231164399366,-0.012159456452045818,-0.5277848551459391,0.018835692538819275,-0.10925094064781421,0.04900908381197775,-0.06227900789989061,0.17573978262329593,0.05363884897496581,0.050303068601665786,0.06547021578906409,0.13348691649089395,0.05028866869627212,0.04820749642544811,0.15386115571603734,-0.005345913089814507,0.16287423154401484,0.004594294852589919,0.1646483702433263,-0.4958501911000347,0.0339047910359371,-0.06863142110966183,0.021829254387058752,0.14669978700475628,0.02534422205243371,0.035065852711169326,0.17787221022750868,0.13331859347685307,0.0996596362701884,0.0553464177227686,0.19175790973573542,0.07216111409338227,0.08895111876477124,-0.006712930706197773,0.05781342611167225,0.15846948731935673,-0.023478878977601342,-0.059812328635544636,0.012578194256915582,-0.08182722898372297,0.030198138857193985,0.04577281224179811,0.053907620323523336,0.051891681556292264,0.09594920465660702,0.09379825675559784,-0.11975215143312717,-0.12226729158882836,0.012547306988679665,0.12103783255049394,-0.009808703081464134,0.04855058715552208,0.06758553253676289,-0.03348596018898322,0.027997747668416173,-0.5220547041272766,0.1258609463766167,0.10460531925232658,0.10139850074691027,0.07921530256002769,-0.058680266917554826,-0.30035635928950477,-0.5117656652632628,0.009703763408451124,-0.02649711723610423,0.18191672288811353,-0.01271770743888339;-0.014950070874526435,0.17475346546358123,0.08110944527079997,-0.028696676514907194,-0.0176938095988012,0.07061431685751256,-0.049779683063455975,0.19251082285553106,-0.015311994988076179,0.18627671499934498,-0.03945998944553667,0.11993016001412748,0.07307921583799547,-0.20254953702908152,0.172474095669009,-0.040884999449833155,-0.04632623785503852,-0.009825482598547536,0.015476196226734643,0.08916345271998478,-0.013919650433808637,-0.03258548760023862,0.06210658527078847,-0.03972576247267669,0.3027585126752887,0.01185120086763819,-0.030849413628358906,-0.025763760952513128,-0.010121442579305254,-0.01920356240231046,0.07261861537982868,-0.08478832612940891,-0.017078341066812892,-0.040548567198698725,-0.03842103173287605,0.06634151449424902,-0.03897738025559412,-0.20152572888318293,-0.017150056687368836,-0.01485631387827553,0.12409245725564864,-0.022564652512446857,-0.025363087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x_a{262}=[-1.5757608866335095,-2.341537979322455,15.682991913047456];
std_x_a{262}=[1.1583540588018946,1.7871859795158327,0.9197251302128893];
pred_a{262}=[-1.5757608866335095];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.1 to 26.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{263}=[-2.894187788433722,-4.868166072658134,13.0554173964302];
std_x_f{263}=[2.0540174945627827,3.201461660597953,1.9190092376618844];
pred_f{263}=[-2.894187788433722];
obs{263}=[-3.2465200599588355];
sqrt_r{263}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{263}=[5.226507117964578];
L_f{263}=[0.08671360905075624,0.22938658910956772,0.15721203847248458,-0.05425339796361598,-0.07580903183937931,0.18692033668034091,-0.021920842642911657,0.2284989370827811,0.06606117169336097,0.22343218768388662,0.019522724558661,0.2114230597602303,-0.5883538964736739,-0.15280983578179302,0.23183485517516547,-0.006416874357924734,-0.014424084316478004,0.08665491833884942,0.14491448147581915,0.16354906325854132,0.0668434181340882,0.042189786911767085,-0.5695894812301457,-0.04421690999481437,-0.6749644535737716,0.10717837107072034,0.03874163580820044,-0.05975725019057258,0.0796538285044711,0.08624601784522677,-0.5872738498533582,0.02725254507615348,-0.08130775006780402,-0.038728923865959775,-0.023892496260857914,-0.5961622249917429,0.016502964434501173,-0.1534526483240369,0.055969908372802364,-0.0847756558680238,0.21496530376630232,0.0614464478478176,0.056693743756098466,0.07681865622013821,0.16476728445495503,0.05684673390384921,0.05479265692324747,0.18918839361734663,-0.014271045975678942,0.19886683616820405,-0.002248937628076534,0.20220043575510152,-0.5656709216055349,0.035273766335107336,-0.09835575078289209,0.024999695470843984,0.1806929822325295,0.025604672373476932,0.037742177763568883,0.21634716204547888,0.16430372403478055,0.12130199462226336,0.063864401456655,0.23173347176419848,0.08974622074536719,0.11044155403622778,-0.016047525917624605,0.06654499270082309,0.19460169049946735,-0.03714364323011471,-0.08221405948109799,0.007876476132091364,-0.11698728205994878,0.031446729762212536,0.05144839636706095,0.06198797757994908,0.059408985062945945,0.11676470088965804,0.11344728284716998,-0.16820587740630727,-0.17172576385011676,0.008112936436789885,0.15096317799324913,-0.020487647642976742,0.05444748270933828,0.07965895560389669,-0.049904508791048505,0.02826276870441433,-0.5905348606369799,0.1553140117740759,0.1278825956667223,0.12568938462516557,0.09488977801787998,-0.08153639787477623,-0.40200906859943764,-0.5780686312771092,0.004891608594416271,-0.04215696629635195,0.220557560612377,-0.023859759718704878;0.13688297530466026,0.3879107851531861,0.26230647600099366,-0.102287416491539,-0.13681084590716128,0.31245182805943195,-0.050882834059115284,0.3882555184408746,0.10166571702464446,0.37958766136924427,0.02060997766451083,0.3560887528836224,-0.884147218040386,-0.29137290796216736,0.39241124321942095,-0.02361049914884763,-0.03735550804771739,0.13791788045020165,0.23766610929724982,0.27329097643126254,0.10266568013665855,0.060426746312318806,-0.864021288490831,-0.08669590210471594,-0.9106687589118428,0.17235208860710022,0.05464810516050053,-0.11115484259072801,0.12503097002532962,0.13333354188272523,-0.8826062025921325,0.02787797794969003,-0.14680311117069378,-0.07752880930450483,-0.052117651723316165,-0.8963385131931964,0.014946140755561171,-0.2929968618481735,0.08387885142970221,-0.1514591582984907,0.36208361895264446,0.09359392282196843,0.08575714903007838,0.11978481685994552,0.27577148137313434,0.08515080605653978,0.08139361505755816,0.3158858617938902,-0.03720572753868902,0.3361951814853437,-0.017617608372473937,0.3392863971997522,-0.8594685595765069,0.04832614341068346,-0.1967720998606751,0.02276541120389889,0.30117667698077405,0.030465551344812446,0.049661309802059364,0.36697604696653174,0.27189917538289643,0.19662290329287951,0.09730553181385042,0.39283629647312773,0.1406756284872535,0.17794688521373742,-0.04121980510760974,0.10213073244488105,0.32582907825191637,-0.08741782200153742,-0.14737236319542937,0.0010598326725118766,-0.2295335168383993,0.041020552601320356,0.07608533770405017,0.09408375883905222,0.08968200821771365,0.1884746822738474,0.18285136894717158,-0.31823624555395047,-0.32330062430190504,1.6111739497163047E-4,0.2480546230218984,-0.047340631628563466,0.08100974429150125,0.12476849332716823,-0.09733931483537338,0.03553829299805605,-0.8876072768049196,0.25913441544467836,0.2075668087010257,0.20580768254148119,0.1507394129441237,-0.1462763776962499,-0.6951651235226957,-0.8709078630483138,-0.004103761542529629,-0.08213563476783586,0.3741100403565651,-0.05399571145694705;-0.08177117180149208,0.03213334274784628,-0.028025269309713184,-0.02950994546808611,-0.008870296454404186,-0.04225084526171205,-0.06343746445804947,0.0455141428141102,-0.0752508760579272,0.04185149746561366,-0.07567480368365283,-0.007322212056743797,0.5974780327689577,-0.1001523340530326,0.029887939077721377,-0.06388297604678343,-0.06412494442972386,-0.07876119711160567,-0.07591789324755815,-0.02344647822039615,-0.07442179157452182,-0.0794302628448534,0.5610696070756793,-0.04411476309922317,0.9230720995816476,-0.06831759839258902,-0.07672177270488768,-0.023905953349420108,-0.07590351437559854,-0.08497324048648953,0.5953265734424258,-0.11320611375125504,-0.004427990191573147,-0.04717184955314877,-0.053705899072785224,0.6049745919985462,-0.07335919083760324,-0.09902576723853207,-0.07295799944147004,-0.0014293843678748642,-0.005185245204509848,-0.07890290567103617,-0.07943661085734614,-0.08088513388515817,-0.02014406840803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k{263}=[0.8086676287949944;1.2562207264614964;-0.6067112628113868];
x_a{263}=[-3.17910749099589,-5.310773174749242,13.269181353816405];
L_a{263}=[-0.0482748517017258,-0.12770317938384393,-0.08752245381163729,0.030203733527862212,0.04220409933065184,-0.10406153811448783,0.012203683358906276,-0.12720900931728638,-0.03677730983233047,-0.12438826896846471,-0.0108686127033572,-0.11770259556693179,0.3275460151102003,0.08507167723365311,-0.12906616822189,0.0035723764863264803,0.008030118212512441,-0.048242177644624434,-0.08067620733653016,-0.09105037676543777,-0.03721279892491553,-0.02348772849831235,0.3170995653191339,0.024616260308791816,0.37576349614439125,-0.059667911712024485,-0.02156808768308125,0.03326781600526237,-0.04434455906773824,-0.04801453620625645,0.326944735899273,-0.015171927295470233,0.04526532362903624,0.021561010741719514,0.013301334431851669,0.33189303636066525,-0.009187463991356504,0.0854295412470244,-0.03115934229971531,0.047195962199542224,-0.11967461940443973,-0.034208219331695947,-0.03156231302331447,-0.042766173355584323,-0.09172857997068484,-0.03164748508310247,-0.030503947607174675,-0.10532420165119913,0.007944919322884485,-0.11071234526511368,0.0012520195119346163,-0.11256821342066714,0.3149180405638698,-0.01963746933646716,0.054756218026593514,-0.013917729923302796,-0.100594670390343,-0.014254530231550537,-0.021011673419912613,-0.12044392198831655,-0.09147050847782812,-0.06753075861582081,-0.03555433274072221,-0.1290097264570624,-0.049963155088343626,-0.06148457780930645,0.008933914091840854,-0.03704666071786153,-0.10833787052120097,0.020678459681525038,0.04576988056077502,-0.004384960116079715,0.06512868919025484,-0.01750689692648439,-0.028642144319673036,-0.034509697586342473,-0.03307393124399933,-0.06500477469626675,-0.06315791506504126,0.09364289960985427,0.09560247663521353,-0.004516601345958439,-0.08404361333616693,0.011405800802305324,-0.030311783606965976,-0.04434741340591123,0.027782637437281484,-0.01573433493106209,0.32876019270819107,-0.08646579202123726,-0.07119428436462845,-0.06997328873382984,-0.05282665560767438,0.045392615516599726,0.2238048719437705,0.3218200436333754,-0.002723236664502226,0.02346945673729033,-0.12278791814586551,0.013283109475758146;-0.07281418109454955,-0.16680854874323914,-0.11787511003017424,0.028912096508845186,0.046516068750375124,-0.13957252548935495,0.002127742001702027,-0.16431723076224694,-0.05808821323086188,-0.1607323059145636,-0.026601294821218226,-0.1551898677881326,0.538652967507286,0.07816295133433528,-0.1682286657480254,-0.008092746854162168,-0.0024741382380785914,-0.07163734580068817,-0.11277662995903047,-0.12221526385215306,-0.05897993535741117,-0.04159966501266323,0.5134014233115308,0.020232645699643958,0.7215793753126173,-0.08683444378453398,-0.039039736369404894,0.033354486179851095,-0.06759371157362182,-0.07523285145368268,0.5375821356626163,-0.03802610872908746,0.049821203848373394,0.01612829128208872,0.005660920521878061,0.5453443403046876,-0.024962528159909327,0.07809349349205111,-0.05147165189015246,0.053551498759929886,-0.1577611138147402,-0.05500034658478161,-0.05134378566081375,-0.06598364490875461,-0.1226807500130578,-0.05232010053716709,-0.05110997318125049,-0.14162327200390254,-0.002694446175799539,-0.14471906603686976,-0.012179063826936952,-0.1496894033081848,0.5084780063306849,-0.03697544392876837,0.041078930450026994,-0.037690670701464424,-0.13578823510442808,-0.031453529708643825,-0.04160956959013993,-0.1562103959990802,-0.12543204047881312,-0.09671840283303557,-0.057136008876252975,-0.16755843975593868,-0.07635521008462015,-0.08913091356812053,-0.002412510739331477,-0.05879320896091222,-0.14477088379477301,0.0024056376482931878,0.05144365516600873,-0.017987634794550084,0.05337363754476345,-0.03502621654342275,-0.048330916417689836,-0.05582007715334317,-0.05398512049066331,-0.0938942101341888,-0.09149510186277438,0.08853144140843487,0.09197910807290197,-0.019458175579520683,-0.11701551409628402,0.002204088041984185,-0.05065911855747024,-0.06786858699652669,0.023343398057556863,-0.03280878993577978,0.5404670749118268,-0.1164572243740888,-0.10168818550138278,-0.09814352920010719,-0.07872994993356068,0.05090087008001489,0.277002445729937,0.5270197461166938,-0.015933005229833857,0.019811407357787792,-0.1592582946609514,0.003703694900966323;0.019505318776153975,0.3000436394694999,0.15558931791997468,-0.09287478298109166,-0.09741087022163568,0.17606131961999896,-0.08903974347378571,0.3123877132005176,0.0019047596697329143,0.3028073969884296,-0.0528733881796819,0.23960771917435877,-0.08968536066862169,-0.27862540261909535,0.3006576692589928,-0.07137751493822664,-0.08097144240576694,0.022446746101946826,0.09333385718021656,0.167569388209419,0.003647462847492783,-0.0301550267727223,-0.10417803237115345,-0.09575756193419344,0.13475257429700788,0.056860553072859164,-0.03147377810700194,-0.09369897260120945,0.01712755998880257,0.015757130550759273,-0.09057538787898196,-0.0813767140199348,-0.09939074948361923,-0.09240499733618461,-0.08161095571761781,-0.09130847847986032,-0.05408468086909701,-0.2782496037531373,-0.0075883768412631294,-0.1004424574796876,0.2458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x_a{263}=[-3.179107490995891,-5.310773174749235,13.269181353816384];
std_x_a{263}=[1.143504359099254,1.7957001650686986,1.4308005390256209];
pred_a{263}=[-3.179107490995891];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.2 to 26.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{264}=[-6.488378658722324,-11.158975167986261,14.00684775489794];
std_x_f{264}=[2.1486805099637585,3.5846742879380344,2.30595879101384];
pred_f{264}=[-6.488378658722324];
obs{264}=[-7.187322689776245];
sqrt_r{264}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{264}=[5.625452081355269];
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k{264}=[0.8222365090773139;1.3611859605101433;-0.7006409397310174];
x_a{264}=[-7.063075958856525,-12.110367970239224,14.496556557634944];
L_a{264}=[0.04877272289031636,0.08536773321331069,0.06792573574233024,-0.012321910121031886,-0.02395382645438546,0.07939418554558508,0.005184290027452819,0.083099510165443,0.04027100506164047,0.08176379892045983,0.022826822715826624,0.08372598038377758,-0.348230753785496,-0.04347280924752674,0.08632122583130612,0.01123255600167423,0.00801784380831031,0.048088275278428703,0.0690709360504994,0.06955887696028605,0.04069104799531206,0.03170518291117418,-0.3331236411309687,-0.006754894958675452,-0.44026179537489457,0.05509254086013088,0.029915257582119464,-0.01537286720611592,0.04544798427218372,0.050004446632825605,-0.347436472495115,0.03104806101968476,-0.026360782197741028,-0.004018420457423714,0.002791598396542125,-0.3528658979380509,0.02144725827150696,-0.043550930385701986,0.03616317341357962,-0.02864843565959952,0.08480225369246391,0.03894618612330586,0.03703800819486196,0.0452655423918754,0.06940445546015579,0.03752778642122738,0.03669902698664349,0.08026921152163405,0.007989885613493624,0.07677595939277976,0.014175256984313284,0.08256031313435569,-0.3298784096856151,0.02885651623385289,-0.018190489061415425,0.0305202880550494,0.07837195646790315,0.02543177267358578,0.03228961902974915,0.08033828147353762,0.07454330570668424,0.06132843218715406,0.04005852127628452,0.08430150640996817,0.05013500629503032,0.05597178835846607,0.007980579986986603,0.04086458859149259,0.08111026520821814,0.007248387376684895,-0.027280469885340847,0.017761839687059376,-0.026399864888594318,0.0278461332559522,0.035229634850494795,0.03949354198251881,0.038343807335031566,0.06008045228225672,0.058848659426595756,-0.05087421238592777,-0.05309443880396501,0.018728936028658556,0.07103375328471846,0.004880717451002622,0.03660191436556575,0.04617008885511442,-0.008868609364181124,0.026283095811178648,-0.34960005688509416,0.06715605011300621,0.06390006881405486,0.06029749752357394,0.05176404557309763,-0.026763798522794577,-0.18721442516829032,-0.34095153208692974,0.01603670093970893,-0.00613233232389705,0.08146233757366611,0.00397005012203905;0.07868484611580752,0.23338990188726405,0.15374482375581103,-0.059329661154509564,-0.08003819825244853,0.1840473693532553,-0.028226090260549227,0.23178964977383507,0.05793855497296721,0.22565479928579585,0.01184688667047835,0.21166771981567073,-0.5340048341492377,-0.14755837734696167,0.2362438929649799,-0.014150090226257257,-0.021511207885200737,0.078217424146595,0.13906937437524464,0.15997096001191935,0.058804000691541417,0.03332770743364243,-0.5161767469425564,-0.0502641704524055,-0.6499023446962062,0.10044114354891959,0.030084925651218557,-0.06373723511266395,0.07161158509708927,0.07967321364183226,-0.532312410634869,0.01943850426970895,-0.08460800202855405,-0.045082736936008,-0.030551534475147458,-0.5399680408989636,0.00858221565222509,-0.1476512308926672,0.04689286467973349,-0.08837819902245089,0.21572944050941845,0.05247707913324474,0.04800088967577392,0.06892384096652639,0.16138184967612848,0.04851260755854375,0.046055971969590236,0.1870567667352342,-0.02117858659118334,0.19874181048710843,-0.010318924268072818,0.20107489397462058,-0.5113946876859307,0.02659776115106608,-0.09962160968539788,0.017782602597974224,0.1775725281740403,0.01787165824998232,0.029111157292996244,0.21799926808671855,0.1597174148316788,0.11421349306593277,0.05544244743655811,0.23600164480659963,0.08160562114926892,0.10324187624861561,-0.023329550340237638,0.05747848046283825,0.19255306202784403,-0.04293257286697793,-0.08643523083055166,3.1395160858948683E-4,-0.11660340806212129,0.024172919504454035,0.04225871198984971,0.05445158316436459,0.050087536786060295,0.10926236193965458,0.10564034972952265,-0.16085845449354524,-0.16478113872868994,-5.874759969542654E-4,0.14511846816123605,-0.028081658119046587,0.04680851466553351,0.07169187468987548,-0.05462327692606317,0.01910161270949461,-0.5364300831069981,0.15089894055777467,0.1212015776089365,0.12091257137928922,0.08697863921501853,-0.08487511353558112,-0.354168022816959,-0.5248894848304605,-0.003989692777873534,-0.04823780768505572,0.22221762506089265,-0.030595878119113903;-0.03807210692515921,0.18508837306135478,0.06882457404091952,-0.10629515129049397,-0.10362424233983297,0.08602198139951939,-0.11138391390563722,0.19468623496607693,-0.050211916568551784,0.1868075943681193,-0.08939121984567427,0.1367876633628187,0.40711748700704814,-0.2315612797418474,0.18538547640972092,-0.10001328280888046,-0.10599137491775454,-0.03580123773855711,0.020320277019363134,0.07809237637560483,-0.04836224691576846,-0.07372462541445937,0.35857295712419396,-0.11067810853008019,0.8343053596198562,-0.00846924761384999,-0.07428193929336835,-0.10554753416224853,-0.03921282836545924,-0.04116501703268828,0.40432327916042293,-0.11387921466835624,-0.10326468157803023,-0.10980892986297161,-0.1042816807892454,0.41736032299981063,-0.089967076331483,-0.2317622111811961,-0.056206655526267274,-0.10289567537842238,0.14161854286287856,-0.05671344451814093,-0.06151876381553002,-0.04554953762176118,0.082113748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x_a{264}=[-7.06307595885653,-12.110367970239238,14.496556557634944];
std_x_a{264}=[1.1284719276171544,1.9204372558715515,1.7001924506805584];
pred_a{264}=[-7.06307595885653];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.3 to 26.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{265}=[-13.018723315837825,-18.548063452202477,25.847164852461155];
std_x_f{265}=[1.2629220827922543,1.6272429832603208,3.5996814409601923];
pred_f{265}=[-13.018723315837825];
obs{265}=[-13.982064750692455];
sqrt_r{265}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{265}=[2.5972034370017756];
L_f{265}=[0.04723610692522543,0.21444705509628328,0.1292407962536524,-0.07936590573323346,-0.09525349592666466,0.15729789888329376,-0.05509667534636449,0.21462688750710923,0.028032003180050225,0.2078382111221658,-0.017482046292893606,0.18816979447461726,-0.25259977693268293,-0.17725728862003443,0.21621087640553976,-0.040923351142111465,-0.04844880996871352,0.04773719105496434,0.10914865965950211,0.1368377933485846,0.029511459039745544,0.0033252276329982975,-0.25871056128292064,-0.07251251823443777,-0.16823811736935632,0.07190654521161724,1.6886804647551207E-4,-0.08292583813670083,0.04161459174109274,0.048180577051215236,-0.2530082977266061,-0.014904957612676496,-0.09900263863935901,-0.06852761860099177,-0.05552239435573201,-0.25308941889650194,-0.02048557940323616,-0.17732018076767034,0.018151582740216974,-0.10207355934620563,0.19290912564520823,0.02306006986831305,0.018019309016045756,0.03822548956846502,0.13762596952317696,0.017519342308126865,0.01596500336554957,0.16034779913471187,-0.04822243308532388,0.17830836523585047,-0.03913172050396414,0.17613254477804305,-0.2595908290365263,-0.0034256808354851663,-0.13416954040803203,-0.017482494397680244,0.1495349305213524,-0.011352001435829474,-0.003165939509253389,0.19941853165319828,0.13064728688323768,0.08332922880599744,0.025392164835250683,0.21832823337040302,0.05167584892785162,0.07439019626981004,-0.0509243620105381,0.027325736870490093,0.165944678844344,-0.07939809635350667,-0.10025308237603804,-0.027290872375974173,-0.14977245152257843,-0.006015973555982948,0.0124579946658999,0.023836401763252604,0.020190805237749077,0.07804439342402558,0.07408182200431082,-0.18836686085359047,-0.19158445957822468,-0.029801921103553904,0.11409602174886319,-0.05361947312185993,0.015989667891046284,0.04072374742198398,-0.07678287993691607,-0.01025296845390091,-0.25373835790453025,0.1266768147929129,0.0904208305513374,0.0927273015439926,0.05597291780479481,-0.09957608061490845,-0.303875734271706,-0.25505216249220075,-0.031054349584947634,-0.07045251852516708,0.20443937976407736,-0.056337805230651565;-0.016057635477005616,0.24601723889091268,0.10965170137617315,-0.13875986383561736,-0.14507349270833675,0.14376819961964474,-0.12842857720482415,0.25111922742514764,-0.0372545464011405,0.24075791835281277,-0.09151560003749003,0.1979897988420326,0.2892678785524275,-0.2613659164511957,0.24898859388529918,-0.11321142566841763,-0.12108792464807036,-0.013701622181432822,0.06696544831599727,0.12043832385871762,-0.03434315968236052,-0.06818191917558437,0.24376137653181257,-0.1378390859558828,0.657461246921338,0.019801865514241863,-0.07079462462004052,-0.1405698043868416,-0.020525636323052994,-0.016404435510958403,0.2867548676289008,-0.10392438965814697,-0.14697840618643632,-0.13486396295696593,-0.12421499202525087,0.3000556346963192,-0.09403235542469593,-0.2616083171478487,-0.04801692256253361,-0.14759783811369362,0.20496471640410563,-0.04498559930202449,-0.05104251379083802,-0.02649726971483141,0.12326656245382211,-0.05212855140300834,-0.052502712983459786,0.14864007951440386,-0.12020962743253817,0.19152430666903736,-0.11553529920785027,0.1755874267053349,0.23368368506516504,-0.07511731994369437,-0.23215294677189557,-0.10649151174696346,0.1310129664956972,-0.08466832810288373,-0.08210696021597903,0.2272474879001123,0.10041398783601133,0.031180381637753368,-0.04231012691065646,0.2571762486629324,-0.009458365005461452,0.024706388194901324,-0.12538659403840752,-0.038323104776162374,0.15849567993798333,-0.18011115194907648,-0.147546807199651,-0.10067504329655338,-0.2450849856825028,-0.07865869510525193,-0.057545766411662785,-0.043543638565099886,-0.04891314353477299,0.023298966992531686,0.018340513768018447,-0.26628901361466123,-0.26675654525189185,-0.10674068929569368,0.0742114899304429,-0.12487492697234534,-0.052739147103473986,-0.02254019125216373,-0.14060990950209176,-0.08398149813398265,0.2896910282586144,0.10594870438611907,0.03987066092332876,0.051997589886418435,-0.004016088512911226,-0.14745649552451318,-0.17739430051818164,0.2694714636995224,-0.1043420255019172,-0.1346420284189418,0.2347068226485702,-0.12850510134470525;-0.16430593299471577,-0.32492636295682853,-0.25084011456709154,0.07797306758428708,0.12196959737887932,-0.29566489327166695,0.013441943312736456,-0.3177075587971884,-0.13128036446430522,-0.31143254299710715,-0.05781204653972874,-0.3151524120472044,1.071007345924464,0.22439760530562988,-0.3290421733561556,-0.011307111292622735,0.002074283043677905,-0.16309508173027037,-0.24915033783556564,-0.2577243563698564,-0.1326443309806281,-0.09368100054572842,1.0401006570466749,0.058790622414444174,1.2421662289395772,-0.19245404395914342,-0.08767448057448243,0.08839896559556963,-0.15256728800020827,-0.1686846573200854,1.0686454459849404,-0.08395569199670305,0.1318123188923403,0.04819115814173083,0.020426582030237343,1.081596334869818,-0.05184781850022075,0.2248427398633001,-0.11354315229865386,0.1394764495546164,-0.319959178400713,-0.12403745706409106,-0.11744106667740611,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k{265}=[0.6149704771858746;0.2403908555240307;-1.520020539861826];
x_a{265}=[-13.611149857723301,-18.779641923888928,27.311463620340156];
L_a{265}=[-0.06112416617815497,-0.2774974121569951,-0.16723935187356906,0.10270056375724043,0.12325932201161953,-0.203545625087967,0.0712958488527886,-0.2777301177476768,-0.03627379418452733,-0.2689454779775139,0.022622006179141226,-0.24349427875974086,0.3268675542258291,0.22937334744904878,-0.2797798209716381,0.052955374153444194,0.06269342044528287,-0.06177257587169468,-0.14123985326969102,-0.17706996965967653,-0.03818823023160496,-0.004302889879162298,0.3347749924635751,0.09383218692375557,0.21770241692151035,-0.09304804957295755,-2.1851755377064912E-4,0.10730716480835997,-0.05384984890997111,-0.06234632339408907,0.3273961857012069,0.019287218301834025,0.1281107637817704,0.08867567248484139,0.07184673505335921,0.3275011576007142,0.02650861896136712,0.22945473074529457,-0.023488395467600374,0.13208457703234933,-0.2496270378904434,-0.029840044712869877,-0.023317231465663352,-0.049464304505933414,-0.1780898803722532,-0.02267026773118891,-0.02065893195422347,-0.20749223758271773,0.06240048567271348,-0.2307334549158393,0.050636979688181684,-0.22791791358752075,0.33591407093458153,0.00443287769233359,0.1736172139869481,0.022622586032842725,-0.1935002382202004,0.014689644583045504,0.004096768875977196,-0.2580502979864396,-0.16905936991838552,-0.1078291578325488,-0.03285780738598754,-0.28251970974324364,-0.06686925284218168,-0.09626192789383273,0.06589681852858999,-0.03535987595371464,-0.21473467621112208,0.10274221885862457,0.1297288550202841,0.03531476082261624,0.193807593633142,0.0077847517777320276,-0.016120814897181514,-0.03084462876614093,-0.02612717717352498,-0.10099050881722663,-0.09586288739120884,0.24374928534010018,0.24791290194488275,0.03856409210110192,-0.14764180724469397,0.06938432904036435,-0.020690848186387858,-0.052697084219047854,0.09935809317077783,0.013267480924871487,0.3283408935219874,-0.163921524916914,-0.11700578714786554,-0.11999039204901281,-0.07242971853697397,0.12885280551400913,0.39321934190163904,0.33004097456527764,0.040184751626328064,0.09116651922265294,-0.2645473438748838,0.07290188783936138;-0.05841547170247696,0.05371702979065492,-0.006241856279364026,-0.06759040776134477,-0.05965722445506559,0.0027151138931583024,-0.07902196639789126,0.058657757960697415,-0.062391567147834566,0.05438403021584854,-0.07583899792180977,0.029253087547140254,0.5157806180303558,-0.10241473080365657,0.055106720693486544,-0.07651440048344577,-0.07764262630410743,-0.05650879347882827,-0.030910971885302584,-0.002267657167396701,-0.06080684668262589,-0.07116373661693137,0.47575381405357664,-0.0728152393350563,0.8083247089270771,-0.04467858945709242,-0.07094605295573345,-0.06620806504590286,-0.05784251479378319,-0.05960920247481286,0.5136339382465035,-0.09055872947567745,-0.058200184898770914,-0.07341347868616667,-0.07442662799497551,0.5270074487606742,-0.0756624076489452,-0.10260073448830266,-0.0642939152910055,-0.05606584296892523,0.031978124528242446,-0.06566415912441104,-0.06720089325691146,-0.060775052795952064,-1.4619649057118667E-4,-0.06783859781814414,-0.06681894355190059,0.004852069515726793,-0.07696732708261056,0.031630593492215746,-0.0804448754573982,0.01764482789011244,0.4664654814009571,-0.07204542352301935,-0.11183965702414946,-0.09081450780415545,-0.0030788651414302547,-0.07448869542461592,-0.07926798054635922,0.048423743651637347,-0.016740806268052806,-0.04354308852770035,-0.06507993648036405,0.06139568683256378,-0.055797432472708866,-0.04200122078238591,-0.07972140428550133,-0.06282679829461413,0.00968880345038198,-0.10891282971477698,-0.05764728073983687,-0.07620261367017334,-0.11078016283325118,-0.07326401634765506,-0.06871717176459169,-0.06491835523450454,-0.06701875970832433,-0.046685454886353846,-0.04809056804637519,-0.09737558781153657,-0.09495781562741136,-0.08001653746609759,-0.028101357545886132,-0.0767929615261431,-0.06707749498850975,-0.059058226629602195,-0.07175671932627144,-0.07478739669622586,0.5172247626803325,-0.007645664918204212,-0.04121203155866525,-0.031153374663812506,-0.05420844854779673,-0.05816405401705731,0.09509891331824469,0.49818332060379183,-0.07649478872836155,-0.07146543670521287,0.05138075431292492,-0.07798553733745088;0.10352780363585017,0.8910111859774988,0.4819689088463075,-0.3720400363163104,-0.41812782812548216,0.5962308780868959,-0.2989620500412847,0.8992496589814618,0.02766406693936146,0.8670321595996013,-0.156937103352439,0.7517902819161774,-0.3612601827062318,-0.7806700229656833,0.8968964294913278,-0.24334685303482695,-0.27263560847566476,0.10757985506623413,0.3697341399030249,0.5181604463902245,0.034688772074355154,-0.07482660715757392,-0.42681566702473217,-0.352363047424718,0.28823825832895983,0.2152636945646744,-0.08671698083902239,-0.381799332637029,0.08339186125855916,0.10450432510540211,-0.3659384388793656,-0.16846838263911226,-0.42954314346700023,-0.3403677080949011,-0.29439128326319003,-0.3534475156323715,-0.1680032266352809,-0.7805814935561204,-0.01062175281145464,-0.439291458947098,0.7738560260038543,0.00671558508583069,-0.015269673236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x_a{265}=[-13.611149857723312,-18.779641923888917,27.311463620340202];
std_x_a{265}=[1.6342383884610718,1.6761185064202404,4.422139871707064];
pred_a{265}=[-13.611149857723312];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.4 to 26.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{266}=[-13.374671871789344,-7.232142547395982,38.885144517272295];
std_x_f{266}=[1.5505651178765296,3.9524373457894737,2.0563083524147325];
pred_f{266}=[-13.374671871789344];
obs{266}=[-14.053106344225592];
sqrt_r{266}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{266}=[3.4043040086988454];
L_f{266}=[0.007198883482148461,0.3029987291987695,0.14726589119292477,-0.14583835803127418,-0.15665952642894335,0.1886478672716097,-0.126926396277706,0.30693827997249945,-0.018714901288774465,0.29484780364643576,-0.08172521639147266,0.24897029925195507,0.10112014133713342,-0.277986688396374,0.3053154542788584,-0.10916707985239814,-0.11847899115611232,0.009095899240004564,0.10287706369220091,0.16038655876900668,-0.01602715958583081,-0.053986596095638426,0.06644280651188414,-0.14144882476890466,0.3965846484983967,0.04815008136180574,-0.05821513233873329,-0.14809459055431107,7.488436704137981E-4,0.006771063403753198,0.09862680573105548,-0.08978770016884938,-0.1596146041711743,-0.13785234347087313,-0.12448757091205752,0.10859421936445066,-0.08492451200528141,-0.27804382990874205,-0.03141673712882102,-0.1619913094702661,0.2569828950745084,-0.026447711521533728,-0.03403956083105847,-0.005831690621609518,0.16281136394584936,-0.03563204201430665,-0.036266638455792796,0.19392786242872453,-0.1180651332020821,0.23855215345072678,-0.1102034749266056,0.2244747723604073,0.05866575416814518,-0.0635340229680217,-0.2391830978821332,-0.09376449021825278,0.17387403200976273,-0.07325452785498604,-0.06832135198909067,0.2788050978745954,0.14018224990837627,0.06113399494285709,-0.023398527303693007,0.31350456335304827,0.01465394370674623,0.05194637568877489,-0.12339323757343386,-0.020567851491982286,0.2047092661424033,-0.17744243627111084,-0.16064635561356266,-0.09264354484422352,-0.2551686172204146,-0.06688085825754014,-0.04134646917635615,-0.02574426287745797,-0.030923192579534794,0.05266872128300691,0.046834141445142835,-0.2859531068344775,-0.2873004238792484,-0.09907417112705218,0.11045703020461409,-0.12337229342504262,-0.0369670136128118,-0.0018558067885190688,-0.1457559769102371,-0.07323581539161254,0.10151572342209705,0.14323288357377628,0.07202726094702307,0.08247385803784382,0.020085226838024106,-0.16096793513557806,-0.2577600133518069,0.08566980390790072,-0.09701128349250922,-0.13844094125257655,0.2881701644195223,-0.12715853371044472;0.11930799185860576,0.7562106513286376,0.4276306382292782,-0.31453471912892206,-0.36310049113550275,0.5254445537764924,-0.23832101710852446,0.7609804050512766,0.052106909788625456,0.7340074834764828,-0.10901747781966314,0.6470811579769685,-0.48473233736615684,-0.673180111506846,0.7599823303927326,-0.18902443287468362,-0.21498353112364457,0.1213735747868691,0.3429364809550902,0.45676177814492397,0.0577638454116327,-0.03672429118699155,-0.5408685862975301,-0.2930419498974165,0.0734845847328039,0.2115042589506414,-0.04825383321376754,-0.3247200505298916,0.10053134386179637,0.12036400135237281,-0.4885500956507913,-0.10896955074112694,-0.37428659909877465,-0.2811012158819312,-0.23760779093983808,-0.4779776974515741,-0.11939781524171372,-0.672746526260942,0.018002701760799204,-0.38393409011272855,0.6656426663541133,0.034551672475262765,0.01577567904122091,0.08690103157323434,0.45993682248718193,0.013060916191548162,0.008783280523203242,0.5372159662620078,-0.21476875829760222,0.6185259643206188,-0.185548605880256,0.5993234683529312,-0.5515747583600039,-0.061152048731017206,-0.528855602257354,-0.11935489301675757,0.49483456457486835,-0.0874572905769717,-0.06374502395417249,0.7007149200599716,0.4229562370444537,0.24835603832268766,0.04183732048885761,0.7738220990365443,0.13605397251864126,0.21984363578232044,-0.22458714922799347,0.04847528408877561,0.5587591406178015,-0.3401277780280715,-0.3787868544064983,-0.1424864251305683,-0.5823657216147285,-0.06959591916565087,-0.003514144983061103,0.03596486477500823,0.02374695695195513,0.2286813191165699,0.21343753122558518,-0.7085159766749974,-0.718479504933563,-0.15386887237534289,0.3597732712996111,-0.2310959070627025,0.008064724662648298,0.09550137535380657,-0.3074150717405974,-0.08434833496362407,-0.4872863377972427,0.4179205298009948,0.2734407718664722,0.28769352802645004,0.1502924282979252,-0.3766637326373091,-0.9980446480923763,-0.5098278750563368,-0.1543740211617069,-0.2858797725099419,0.7204802013267352,-0.24104763545063365;0.07299629370310798,-0.016846382099834384,0.024894032470371624,0.0730623622652629,0.060064902154234406,0.017404766329631234,0.08949354785771826,-0.020371548919842785,0.07644673756776448,-0.01793505071152259,0.08895433368372786,-0.0015751696989068844,-0.6739311264328582,0.0937712425058771,-0.017810599600590865,0.08757144255677311,0.08872618831378307,0.07056473038043692,0.04612271202923005,0.021213560098467057,0.07477057166705849,0.08493808674959544,-0.6440069093653297,0.07980451384053218,-0.7835014328823168,0.05895661823947144,0.08440210768604013,0.0703425272997841,0.07125249521130488,0.07421128917642485,-0.6728514148897716,0.105274384652539,0.05688334273318648,0.08127070439220382,0.0846835079438693,-0.6854610752755644,0.08793366427966198,0.0939696316357746,0.07857371261917426,0.05468137443328307,-0.003660106665725129,0.07983815778104589,0.0813978771846977,0.07514745085011787,0.019851968264725687,0.08176736949279716,0.0807469563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k{266}=[0.7062542013155249;1.4941764842378706;-0.3368910307962431];
x_a{266}=[-13.853819068264725,-8.24584338220655,39.113703006019044];
L_a{266}=[-0.0060748362600489166,-0.2556879370877245,-0.12427151764654001,0.12306688220073488,0.13219841298898385,-0.1591920340597667,0.10710786976580244,-0.25901235898563363,0.01579272136216784,-0.2488097123989834,0.06896448721893936,-0.21009560792608115,-0.08533105206375118,0.23458132343284172,-0.25764292435151076,0.09212152644719344,0.09997945838600561,-0.00767564840547193,-0.08681364525408716,-0.13534349948162336,0.013524648709627203,0.04555702732676009,-0.0560683015940893,0.11936273892725938,-0.3346611747295298,-0.04063183699338141,0.04912531195870102,0.12497082232923315,-6.319178096739923E-4,-0.00571381681426162,-0.08322703057405305,0.07576807959799642,0.13469207932825494,0.11632781899112658,0.1050498471849529,-0.09163811347450647,0.07166423879146812,0.23462954276187334,0.026511268637123213,0.13669768138670962,-0.21685710194951788,0.022318116044625438,0.028724559707825795,0.004921119467121733,-0.13738969101234688,0.030068387880546058,0.030603897238740043,-0.1636476008310393,0.09963022099219485,-0.2013041710271897,0.09299609684302548,-0.18942485872743342,-0.04950557284716643,0.05361370098988346,0.20183659860703476,0.07912392616095638,-0.14672501325421902,0.06181642794049245,0.05765352744326216,-0.23527194491410294,-0.11829392945036137,-0.051588417859720626,0.019745037192044797,-0.26455337051510625,-0.012365849343611084,-0.04383537077587403,0.10412638511440575,0.017356348431618908,-0.1727455758679312,0.14973624015504414,0.13556273115768394,0.07817800730832147,0.21532610885577158,0.05643795511534549,0.03489055362548551,0.021724505196400044,0.026094787063086284,-0.044444927968876134,-0.039521370413166196,0.2413038502955868,0.24244079472004537,0.08360454349474848,-0.09321006152249162,0.10410871122478149,0.031194914499964976,0.0015660376221530371,0.12299736422305657,0.06180063727638497,-0.08566486721710402,-0.12086823143103012,-0.06078078879843127,-0.06959623454898521,-0.016949081699891826,0.13583409864761065,0.217512879515718,-0.07229315941305887,0.08186375901979437,0.11682451200688979,-0.24317473233467574,0.10730376082268847;0.09122563870557351,-0.42576671215834694,-0.14684355268254615,0.2543707623458701,0.2480176297333479,-0.21045790157296343,0.2568101922729169,-0.4363648771367833,0.12511246245783617,-0.4161736757168302,0.20978701372467976,-0.324134987630502,-0.879195107454835,0.4112269878367167,-0.4310324195193634,0.23682889517298528,0.24719492739864193,0.08589109263034826,-0.05837992333392145,-0.16889524151927096,0.12028470113118962,0.17387373569416714,-0.8000574398985414,0.2587402618986101,-1.473565062871626,0.023674077714548155,0.1788394249617229,0.25298684003346256,0.09761015581074342,0.09395054512721066,-0.8732865337058229,0.24128613976877014,0.24835907836378657,0.256651367823843,0.24800972713564678,-0.9015963358324566,0.21188691014593547,0.4118834782225626,0.14055724916461734,0.2479829525157341,-0.33683006871190796,0.13772239011210058,0.14856168270447556,0.10965005868575443,-0.17517919668328957,0.15205908026668194,0.15025696200651018,-0.2192833898451959,0.24579526859107226,-0.3120497055359418,0.2443476286197996,-0.2763372986261931,-0.7804258615379028,0.18668983878462395,0.40418133876530415,0.24641398406710519,-0.18343616770576457,0.1983036230957699,0.20277190734607758,-0.38688473880316093,-0.12388515266210293,0.009876496335624775,0.13311337859322797,-0.44913780648202384,0.07888993822388334,0.01720436946696955,0.2567614491797997,0.1287090690401869,-0.23979773556508152,0.3520630557389176,0.2478836150176426,0.21890972055170907,0.4130296393636682,0.19130174439892283,0.15777560945186808,0.13639147726040823,0.14437622075253462,0.023224231936905024,0.030740741793865205,0.4069675773019003,0.4022598408830246,0.232612707557589,-0.07111206503526404,0.25017098965161755,0.15227052183414408,0.10274075098034968,0.261169046603392,0.20133958266658966,-0.8832922466015992,-0.1408211736340351,-0.007532657357061893,-0.03403136348694382,0.0719413291833415,0.25126119655498963,0.007459572336464044,-0.844019933291274,0.22406037489723815,0.2541688909715191,-0.40365194297923623,0.25498912621296066;0.07932800418089304,0.24965330957886514,0.15442036646353285,-0.055208398318574124,-0.0777235156462119,0.18332822943018975,-0.022143374063848413,0.2495931377089263,0.05998622158987766,0.2413955708118758,0.01707368577376643,0.21740432293214326,-0.5849918541127614,-0.1507293431708929,0.250726745903194,-0.008445439095039989,-0.015480897626811914,0.07856494328367819,0.13660726893572356,0.16228005425299485,0.06067403370663909,0.037454682273559504,-0.5855677617936287,-0.04460547391389906,-0.4346891232439008,0.10130657089820877,0.033199533799568234,-0.05991268144769578,0.07191113364126955,0.0801667145150353,-0.5861051325271858,0.02630245472130633,-0.08350418599182904,-0.03997603195326001,-0.0248083679911281,-0.5899480476954057,0.013239105905707534,-0.15058121232250182,0.050941416006836805,-0.08779656315613303,0.22236678950362718,0.05657632105739425,0.05145870057381393,0.07001824203549953,0.1630511770801985,0.05042754098656709,0.0488489744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x_a{266}=[-13.853819068264716,-8.24584338220653,39.11370300601904];
std_x_a{266}=[1.3084569607219407,3.539690985023762,2.017407994924146];
pred_a{266}=[-13.853819068264716];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.5 to 26.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{267}=[-5.987487034061413,1.4482120196976065,32.5137921107062];
std_x_f{267}=[1.637290012322707,1.4814557118976732,2.2789131427885336];
pred_f{267}=[-5.987487034061413];
obs{267}=[-5.210993248840703];
sqrt_r{267}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{267}=[3.682856750567375];
L_f{267}=[0.046240308343334605,-0.09634600731473131,-0.029719583332847455,0.09199606598686282,0.08503630891378373,-0.04501711247286926,0.10033577816054574,-0.09978635013637356,0.05662309859349538,-0.09610319379212152,0.08611437320677556,-0.07388699123924335,-0.5032587222919324,0.15571287263331496,-0.09726695658269247,0.09323813464563031,0.09679636329663527,0.04421051739671228,-8.947719353074932E-4,-0.035647038216723936,0.05506654663678673,0.07377241717739981,-0.47942304702343036,0.0963242054217248,-0.5794674205142036,0.023706928627723667,0.0750623238733451,0.09079181436203851,0.04765178508026457,0.04806791647257583,-0.5020060742620107,0.10251971871383155,0.08323052372653637,0.09617721127597428,0.09529735412810883,-0.5115533955977417,0.08606555315235476,0.15493462285001722,0.06147868625447905,0.08233118966371578,-0.07662711137493182,0.06195096402038523,0.06536286671706193,0.05246540616556369,-0.03762633970981136,0.06670963734586348,0.06544288920879529,-0.047109939192377145,0.0956298652487067,-0.07314848675925192,0.09755188548942612,-0.062206508259877884,-0.4725654029649583,0.07774989035914003,0.16103961233571593,0.10476392056132232,-0.03748913095354584,0.08238284983369648,0.08586424539339556,-0.09003786654251915,-0.020713776646679397,0.020595808300395545,0.06020102463587503,-0.1024384378381143,0.04243895684058677,0.021173091110020168,0.1006621243295108,0.05853795405734963,-0.052579465243487056,0.14455592614762816,0.08321985705824435,0.08819164224782482,0.1627267129352772,0.07971865808360949,0.0684925380921099,0.061134187117408624,0.06389203562967682,0.025076164899026667,0.026880147482887872,0.15015643514235952,0.14696399074540806,0.09471336358760264,-0.004689050747767874,0.0960894358467407,0.06621545428756036,0.049877025465501705,0.09681637046571703,0.08319019155754767,-0.5057017649499953,-0.028116605652628433,0.015027947796707007,0.004411393858473616,0.03976153932030658,0.08483708314095642,-0.11635347075525222,-0.4925998984688039,0.0894937016751025,0.09426290851464962,-0.09330427400176258,0.09867387312888931;0.04345708302139096,0.1950748382387092,0.09089091733218407,-0.034525247710896344,-0.053670163625343756,0.11735640020112721,-0.007764458895079932,0.19643283716738377,0.03312978263983024,0.18613481712085217,0.013406560492909102,0.15468608822104868,-0.4456015327012754,-0.05661155621261756,0.19668552955860139,-7.85777976806433E-4,-0.004543217449424011,0.0424347072018538,0.07857200208087806,0.09804809911759504,0.0325446000876492,0.022463165997343982,-0.4748718167435506,-0.024791632143617067,0.006770983888903126,0.053980162083925254,0.019890150673092882,-0.03853075940725078,0.038902089196819145,0.044916424935637564,-0.4488148017543973,0.02825037590208101,-0.05799038068004636,-0.021694188784551875,-0.011590517013567265,-0.4413321527525006,0.01038158067969272,-0.05692299360045829,0.026933502577512727,-0.06201043336051798,0.1600136827430906,0.031626883527787725,0.029326186889408523,0.03856769474750559,0.09850610250774301,0.03001313157463046,0.027478877003704105,0.1208326379278291,-0.004726049470769324,0.14285026814541021,0.003980802858877757,0.1387928415984514,-0.47937697515752137,0.019349370404750217,-0.016912846320698578,0.02725158816489572,0.11016128875253599,0.015961200889217056,0.025634561529684206,0.1725581080453859,0.09397887771334157,0.06234838355247325,0.03235974860991016,0.2024090148851618,0.0455351074733289,0.054991014569535604,-0.0036398713886210804,0.03236256624768237,0.126553463808248,0.011038669372223767,-0.059659926165893315,0.007166927672400798,-0.02783066194258552,0.018230511675191154,0.026597875212947344,0.031362539610415414,0.030223217171206303,0.060065537840581745,0.05726027853432791,-0.07068580134753757,-0.07702314046296074,0.00901936596878672,0.08168413667250451,-0.00842083423231599,0.02786556490752451,0.03912920286702286,-0.029027024577718497,0.017910558558099966,-0.4464951934854832,0.08859822730901822,0.06677240979866839,0.06410106262810432,0.047524602508524146,-0.05738768721904279,-0.4273800620787399,-0.45923591055012924,0.004464155056819021,-0.02447103512660145,0.1798600349373871,-0.009336330550843134;-0.04160365760527282,0.3011648292938233,0.11642403624179803,-0.18221211868513623,-0.18835386958637962,0.16057053015634287,-0.16883646042737663,0.30643626900524085,-0.06641270637300906,0.2933545102909407,-0.12864545052226034,0.2350108019414551,0.5113437605548697,-0.30722618942720625,0.3037435023094917,-0.15319775115804854,-0.161630962603902,-0.03872758844492697,0.0606210585866183,0.13149323757585687,-0.0637411207836134,-0.1014331070633077,0.4430489600885923,-0.18051394458248696,0.9658868742332385,0.0033034297590667553,-0.10543619047684652,-0.1839640966351018,-0.04743875070174773,-0.04217519293515802,0.5062064301951081,-0.14141852987371528,-0.19080937367130824,-0.17679727554976468,-0.16599300994946864,0.5303173404077177,-0.1317013310364033,-0.30706151588226116,-0.07781460604845584,-0.19300578613892955,0.24296270185742752,-0.0751224122202876,-0.08275252128898607,-0.054921176662639626,0.13605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k{267}=[0.7284716545529661;0.37961936942445074;-0.926903001862117];
x_a{267}=[-5.421833321591587,1.7429841008050975,31.794057690257844];
L_a{267}=[-0.03564487916606596,0.07426943962759168,0.02290968626116176,-0.07091623679295465,-0.06555122715562511,0.03470196441135811,-0.0773450008596532,0.07692146788087961,-0.04364857371597346,0.07408226400131637,-0.06638226554688366,0.05695664603081385,0.38794283576507405,-0.12003307781609134,0.07497936407556001,-0.0718736998558952,-0.07461660177100723,-0.03408019122135081,6.897453468175113E-4,0.027478933756859596,-0.04244868754738164,-0.05686832528347693,0.36956882842760347,-0.0742526333849503,0.4466891966103864,-0.018274761492925104,-0.05786266485342692,-0.06998792543019984,-0.03673293241519247,-0.03705371213590741,0.38697721747090885,-0.07902851682044099,-0.0641592166542811,-0.07413932123909504,-0.07346107312954109,0.3943368810969581,-0.06634463204046792,-0.11943315492455894,-0.04739155990393109,-0.06346595453844167,0.05906889948751476,-0.0477556207093554,-0.05038572556173676,-0.04044356818048029,0.029004701319447358,-0.05142389935529352,-0.05044741182964017,0.03631524421430578,-0.07371739319183561,0.05638736126831973,-0.0751990048352202,0.04795260995671644,0.3642825337945059,-0.05993440671824389,-0.12413925703166587,-0.08075848590032057,0.02889893235481822,-0.0635057773809494,-0.06618945161454985,0.06940673598992315,0.015967455497086783,-0.015876518226134922,-0.046406659594181436,0.07896586051261648,-0.032714563174721094,-0.016321523390048092,-0.07759656859732263,-0.04512466230783083,0.040531491946476525,-0.111432615933533,-0.06415099412904307,-0.06798355253255495,-0.1254397781390477,-0.06145205420285191,-0.052798269119292064,-0.04712599873979446,-0.04925191832164952,-0.01933025318813625,-0.02072087413170729,-0.11574983339029009,-0.11328890051915091,-0.07301089723331,0.003614609272644076,-0.07407165852920258,-0.05104295260060637,-0.03844828483149316,-0.07463202452984963,-0.0641281261330107,0.38982608359503274,0.021674012283967228,-0.011584468238192154,-0.003400574232154383,-0.03065064475793896,-0.06539765165291736,0.08969242537979731,0.3797263575269366,-0.0689872601767113,-0.07266365870440707,0.0719246841473483,-0.07606390204865426;7.852741002911724E-4,0.28398554324350694,0.11831695376294624,-0.11942170904364553,-0.1321439726315864,0.15889941084367698,-0.10035703249615624,0.28851838370693383,-0.019123546333711047,0.2748214472305744,-0.06606211544141749,0.22287100490684825,0.018819246590817656,-0.2003076124376005,0.2864461114910489,-0.08682845390830536,-0.09386952315185497,0.001636044341566168,0.07939772185696399,0.13094415145558594,-0.018272300582272475,-0.0456160186410394,-0.032447244159484474,-0.11368221777106123,0.5415192139523158,0.032102766263008474,-0.04937939480040307,-0.122315904724417,-0.005072268685841266,5.580497335655021E-4,0.014450000008711451,-0.06635759719185526,-0.1347977622072452,-0.11044912423307808,-0.0995334964558143,0.030743175720804115,-0.06904204278616241,-0.19990085984713948,-0.02980069419930302,-0.1379878850568002,0.23072725650407216,-0.025543143962672304,-0.03099243681820824,-0.009848803045756716,0.13322870787135732,-0.03154832854545293,-0.03291359362663004,0.16430696574968312,-0.09297587918090254,0.21035367289526913,-0.08604271918577656,0.19619869223432776,-0.043280822244433304,-0.052400334212432086,-0.1655245622135534,-0.06942739517632207,0.14475727415967907,-0.06006392421109805,-0.053603289683942866,0.2556474898946243,0.1130941118190165,0.04334201383182763,-0.02319538742081147,0.2969419797855581,0.00637128867553835,0.03545191263692365,-0.09653360607324372,-0.02165784321023591,0.17507521840781687,-0.12236145445877067,-0.1364574642026941,-0.07421870839418142,-0.1779992799624895,-0.055336025120634964,-0.03660889400421679,-0.025053744032227203,-0.028738083772684768,0.03692457370383436,0.03245455040976377,-0.2092542265641892,-0.2126454915252953,-0.07838469118576334,0.08601131970174415,-0.09709476813741814,-0.03323984970180247,-0.006898667111995257,-0.11837179343765628,-0.05885960335119149,0.020180091739332617,0.11454499252110234,0.052904212551887375,0.06003010889642073,0.01083157711416627,-0.1356776452862491,-0.32000592792484034,-0.004651382567760469,-0.07812305671449604,-0.11145940013961396,0.2659637460580559,-0.10039525317733447;0.06258656810375944,0.08407474906011457,0.04945886653669341,0.025076526718023504,0.0032528159358036495,0.05913645072738855,0.0572435063327401,0.0815942920401814,0.06117237327214997,0.07681154569361745,0.06539036590410459,0.06852613585709177,-0.6226158029564293,0.04363131837757257,0.08457830805658206,0.05688956532970283,0.05647387495053145,0.06088904369503896,0.058604928218161656,0.05117212617491312,0.060336683380311215,0.06479339687223849,-0.6372032542477657,0.03652701088898198,-0.33978870401165445,0.05672068265129334,0.06369677482561424,0.020611088302585193,0.05993186209968526,0.06613306118491873,-0.6249306244349255,0.08958236555955053,-0.0032715443696401778,0.03991246774401013,0.048734209479042716,-0.6223320613611057,0.06222448239319384,0.04204241320548648,0.060711247836172884,-0.0074943667456333,0.07030390446564633,0.06446759388974971,0.06452529930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x_a{267}=[-5.421833321591585,1.7429841008050975,31.794057690257855];
std_x_a{267}=[1.2621240372299982,1.3787555937687301,1.851697310229434];
pred_a{267}=[-5.421833321591585];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.6 to 26.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{268}=[-0.740876327880994,1.8565607339043824,23.990262754847258];
std_x_f{268}=[1.0825695898792145,1.3303618668340278,1.2851715655261267];
pred_f{268}=[-0.740876327880994];
obs{268}=[-0.2669918186368502];
sqrt_r{268}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{268}=[2.172050336562058];
L_f{268}=[-0.009665383117446465,0.1959565533534024,0.07789086733184125,-0.0965477330525063,-0.1037790293764472,0.10659969873496486,-0.08231164348190195,0.19869553712070692,-0.023598783011787017,0.18966262035074113,-0.05798798090502773,0.15309858251331776,0.12520631882044683,-0.15560542878014913,0.19767646411244247,-0.07289198316329426,-0.07860789750305353,-0.008833106802565502,0.04751760469626925,0.08712878462339264,-0.02270916160566264,-0.04291544275285956,0.08188834587143835,-0.09152619360251035,0.4810628799025418,0.014180357639775527,-0.04567765811122856,-0.09753527422579024,-0.013674297108631555,-0.009500864327108371,0.12149185409338029,-0.05892355814866112,-0.10593907959050172,-0.08968538351642835,-0.0815248082665081,0.13580096932175587,-0.059982675574890856,-0.15557775856186828,-0.03143022358799545,-0.10847976633108576,0.15817858356977574,-0.028368544563823664,-0.032189378401351776,-0.017260642305072574,0.08916886550867553,-0.032889244480045515,-0.03382731368355745,0.1103886282715511,-0.07750545164063657,0.1448487280560441,-0.07266225100771458,0.13346554246212192,0.07215672757734264,-0.048184826789927984,-0.1304195066078636,-0.061303559900344425,0.0963088813834065,-0.053386745863880175,-0.04961617173655649,0.17666130736215407,0.07349571164407644,0.022126951681592538,-0.026482313637810312,0.20506510365586728,-0.005272510550937404,0.01667458893210204,-0.07998113966074968,-0.02488707865498843,0.11848220903296088,-0.09948394297072156,-0.10741641877945748,-0.0636004381041296,-0.13949404299164964,-0.05036344600346636,-0.03626476691667035,-0.02787849078448922,-0.03051852722502179,0.017335765252427086,0.014018577588029964,-0.16246693462222242,-0.16432390844441133,-0.06689974979205236,0.053246383211575175,-0.080390895042075,-0.034339429159447134,-0.01475926554954336,-0.09484873999620846,-0.05300963298085208,0.12688951063162188,0.0750247206671327,0.029361140728375493,0.034947402622275324,-0.0018657513786820802,-0.10670941571473522,-0.2180859360875733,0.10529038334282008,-0.06633562574094509,-0.08993049211959023,0.18371629654838817,-0.08257580382161941;0.004612798709194249,0.26718240982741287,0.10953262209387461,-0.11279206005740446,-0.13062812110681213,0.14884354175477818,-0.08519458397920068,0.27107003551369707,-0.012555561602643879,0.25806586561545014,-0.05288018030869609,0.20930446127244387,-0.01878829734589459,-0.17622532778584762,0.2696613094049757,-0.07396052575453989,-0.08035834713714661,0.005472143408882926,0.07469838577138453,0.12156876757973012,-0.01176597031656835,-0.03505476899584941,-0.08454439962580135,-0.10336762963861425,0.5350943399117141,0.03227902272019132,-0.0389576157045988,-0.11642360241509842,-0.0011296485024475883,0.0067422622135475925,-0.024540546085171578,-0.045836082343085366,-0.13527501833328823,-0.09991872946434151,-0.08801768007713438,-0.003033800350743673,-0.05658535141136265,-0.17607051760312614,-0.022453051792958364,-0.13919477376512834,0.21665617181376606,-0.017551099424396567,-0.021874583173021763,-0.0038943965877819703,0.12367152150635066,-0.022870708530382474,-0.024407102155731962,0.1540065507833861,-0.07965932023281862,0.19621679049590848,-0.07098365623954296,0.18381883700337212,-0.0983444390290083,-0.04116756628790524,-0.13072286796717134,-0.048193060732954485,0.13531204816345727,-0.04760391561127829,-0.03917593348998504,0.23946302133152747,0.10649474921422192,0.04349311990646418,-0.015926997891832655,0.2793889050628162,0.010023717326325033,0.03502659665920374,-0.08147673556656072,-0.01455460052551173,0.16391005506460982,-0.08914876313839992,-0.1368268390876488,-0.06126099000575156,-0.1443477487037332,-0.04428734164426865,-0.02694758795900066,-0.01781245119663864,-0.020517460779407398,0.03835306842825157,0.03332478001517518,-0.19025311650048213,-0.19554795136156228,-0.0627420345880506,0.08186170083949733,-0.0850063054435117,-0.024805591788360733,-0.0014624301918214472,-0.10829650792913305,-0.04670446552230385,-0.01610291373541174,0.10551884257301995,0.052493273850696416,0.056297924495049265,0.014304643607553055,-0.1351087613763547,-0.4409309507431758,-0.04856485850140894,-0.06427870226146828,-0.10189594270560584,0.2498481738320055,-0.08680356765705259;0.03407788167107243,0.05435825793675851,0.01799318044873063,0.028640963069373783,0.01684917095725986,0.02615032592410104,0.046799561421206906,0.053629929911664494,0.03566111815748116,0.048845138912208215,0.04588260706657783,0.037181133512865575,-0.4451749567561236,0.06269333022433872,0.055183889646992404,0.04336751297807141,0.044988548689076965,0.03305316876144105,0.025153532898677656,0.01974850211746177,0.03511217537515353,0.04199280643707765,-0.4584051086669546,0.03552904951814547,-0.09781257166121761,0.027189736460412596,0.04182715115620826,0.026236646037211944,0.03271351646785114,0.036510346074506136,-0.4473855780690123,0.06180241965490647,0.013033820589833298,0.03709116295535905,0.04102012828945815,-0.44411360070180095,0.04452451364597418,0.060782605350675735,0.03688010808992493,0.010410618173703583,0.038466826742224194,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k{268}=[0.5396055132024196;0.6105301569979255;-0.18274948884349124];
x_a{268}=[-0.48516563407163105,2.1458815177320942,23.903660603012042];
L_a{268}=[0.023301898707059083,-0.4724240831160949,-0.18778408250526338,0.23276319920777805,0.25019685211254983,-0.256997094884059,0.1984419609156238,-0.47902739325191235,0.05689339415402384,-0.4572502832247774,0.13980098262600718,-0.3690994571627671,-0.3018550763261005,0.3751431159680176,-0.47657054951120076,0.17573246581005475,0.189512742840448,0.021295395896980734,-0.1145583571784035,-0.21005542036908406,0.05474864027916464,0.10346318276723682,-0.19742144906191816,0.2206569637698785,-1.1597759098634375,-0.034186876333487666,0.11012250104833178,0.23514402406586135,0.03296683455210479,0.02290526671210527,-0.29290001683499584,0.1420565296538764,0.25540443371365606,0.21621902585851024,0.19654501029654706,-0.3273973098639074,0.14460991493462524,0.37507640690788546,0.07577391164823095,0.26152967720954967,-0.3813466354288483,0.06839262798592043,0.07760412865555004,0.04161301561710273,-0.21497377255082664,0.07929140874326751,0.08155296354092371,-0.26613167870726523,0.18685489870701832,-0.34921020180936335,0.17517861343255228,-0.321766919484171,-0.17395986652666812,0.1161669371438974,0.31442334933578503,0.14779438391857097,-0.23218736094748899,0.12870804284769055,0.11961771137145955,-0.42590592008494743,-0.17718797147752904,-0.05334501286863421,0.0638451867265307,-0.49438353510440336,0.012711291968145267,-0.04020012218412135,0.1928234392991471,0.05999929634308831,-0.28564417984540935,0.2398419942504097,0.25896609368292106,0.1533318388333632,0.3363007984817808,0.12141928602839111,0.08742932536238822,0.06721117626400679,0.07357593811283539,-0.041794126628281504,-0.033796847057587225,0.39168525528800846,0.39616216172622293,0.16128602190306698,-0.12836964795257638,0.19381130271586755,0.08278760295464324,0.0355825430453199,0.22866716249399424,0.12779887596887465,-0.3059130184285457,-0.18087420025340897,-0.07078563972713668,-0.08425334268531473,0.004498067910016947,0.2572616073113459,0.5257749569154577,-0.2538405169944276,0.159925997024861,0.21680994871937412,-0.4429145209235714,0.19907881487202933;0.041913232555132095,-0.48904880896856595,-0.1910620991717276,0.2598028268643383,0.26987362546798066,-0.26254366994128175,0.23246069932820942,-0.49573140916737995,0.07851634251949317,-0.4738759454308461,0.170905759609529,-0.3815302195212131,-0.5019817678484224,0.42428371895912875,-0.4932073511466921,0.20734261172522872,0.22300352118738223,0.03956067481416938,-0.1086805086762973,-0.21467672082264228,0.07587272645063456,0.1305635633476167,-0.40056610210931815,0.24984824273364367,-1.3214129407103716,-0.022445501453034634,0.13732059736900634,0.2599823816723356,0.05164189800454349,0.04340778876394933,-0.493399236047554,0.18156041668695802,0.27356274649698437,0.24619312912962169,0.22660106608086045,-0.5271139129390449,0.1748984702847478,0.4243317448443269,0.09884177547476763,0.27944795342813067,-0.39378313727462183,0.09192816352364126,0.1023499576456663,0.0627174943859566,-0.22044700215775936,0.10405474005907059,0.10613852246226858,-0.2720028144071641,0.2194480132781255,-0.3627802335092971,0.20943290396053013,-0.33124844763788497,-0.37681009433032725,0.14478625698180567,0.3725892221315097,0.18838828868668542,-0.23636106765268217,0.15842503928354498,0.15230170470187443,-0.4423044087152451,-0.17713828393390138,-0.04189872513294484,0.08627296417190544,-0.5119938306322908,0.030371274026096014,-0.02932361003331723,0.2271847186755861,0.08148906579470143,-0.29333387890602175,0.29477748049019536,0.2777122406326864,0.18418442123651996,0.3939845925275679,0.15007416095513107,0.11300460254154474,0.08977560698952881,0.09725896794565775,-0.028548735370882584,-0.0207754061422264,0.4367357026069363,0.43860726025886126,0.19543600772089406,-0.12362556959614575,0.22523646774982584,0.10771637760540186,0.05549620264826193,0.25774166237506024,0.15786914363247825,-0.5057921210380077,-0.18401490855196284,-0.06081659437410136,-0.07857032270837151,0.021504910273431925,0.27670186767377897,0.40070149495682744,-0.4548991890467975,0.19172228492265161,0.24516183361621288,-0.45914571524151054,0.23187115742070635;0.022912773541927483,0.2807203255568272,0.10796995068798824,-0.08288755743068475,-0.10303268684868852,0.1492905210356416,-0.04828393279685274,0.2831559745365062,0.00840064013594985,0.2679366781239958,-0.0211030539391155,0.2140351916923616,-0.30054105336132503,-0.11705654794410242,0.2835327372388237,-0.04083472338201213,-0.04581650939931919,0.02284947674338649,0.08004418627734813,0.12039658710906441,0.008879356482358892,-0.007581592520880324,-0.36381059285090933,-0.07019876652429342,0.45789422296491433,0.04357038319052024,-0.010938061117416995,-0.08643264703727177,0.01691745293340739,0.025535284222997775,-0.30704249272204964,-0.006263987034781191,-0.1093432506920061,-0.06651021449622592,-0.05315444176564459,-0.28724113242030946,-0.024765347969568953,-0.11893530916197385,5.730273856187215E-4,-0.11490136441337971,0.22118912215580802,0.005981054550581982,0.0022796983274383726,0.015557957991028964,0.12305345851730304,0.001868495444241972,-6.869996177230975E-4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x_a{268}=[-0.4851656340716308,2.1458815177320942,23.903660603012035];
std_x_a{268}=[2.6099251959473846,2.9980731217795875,1.5163204606922065];
pred_a{268}=[-0.4851656340716308];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.7 to 26.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{269}=[1.2553438384101645,2.5271503773544337,19.28353525423809];
std_x_f{269}=[3.1917841938358755,4.193355064699957,1.5710264746381706];
pred_f{269}=[1.2553438384101645];
obs{269}=[1.5021047911105931];
sqrt_r{269}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{269}=[11.188514722739457];
L_f{269}=[0.03206840686609746,-0.5321760828491218,-0.22802051612675336,0.29131493440997486,0.3094161149300625,-0.3062242587550133,0.252416601496398,-0.5387755282773523,0.07395479966279625,-0.5183696092419852,0.17895887093277343,-0.4286450792314605,-0.5331685569586518,0.4744787744993194,-0.536293117406102,0.22326880910278177,0.2413515970702884,0.029141255752108026,-0.13899964764971154,-0.2535668737471255,0.07132552927564964,0.13404611237632863,-0.40804971038205406,0.2773736576013241,-1.150903402879069,-0.04085337180987768,0.1415090953929539,0.292445130579124,0.04319687364065776,0.03272811678803616,-0.523226186885202,0.18732184775773353,0.31428461025594706,0.2721369182050454,0.24849277167871608,-0.5626953748836736,0.18512386192914204,0.47483973844962624,0.09796213878989019,0.3223993911647359,-0.4405958783395907,0.08891362409780919,0.10107044537763901,0.055161004120411854,-0.2601082742503256,0.10314392580699468,0.10564966904590758,-0.31601691718494507,0.23790047025560307,-0.40910728781570915,0.22475117468855815,-0.377374230063668,-0.378037170842508,0.14976900345756036,0.40475385072874615,0.19459945365008066,-0.2779068317697348,0.16541943471628104,0.15579572258824453,-0.48805642679770594,-0.2135345986920632,-0.06350855595841158,0.08348075544649307,-0.5535422443378337,0.018786361639413062,-0.04783435750444132,0.24587845238608447,0.07769397048219151,-0.33848788319385703,0.3131720101331591,0.3190735394570117,0.19621287098777365,0.43096477958695645,0.15617103434653193,0.11330736852699763,0.08665001929697724,0.0952332727615188,-0.04915417936735688,-0.039189953745052145,0.4929709710006016,0.4974340250155459,0.20733288593527302,-0.15545676911108636,0.24571671359029906,0.10727954966419528,0.04690142948219159,0.2869182860798756,0.16499659161055635,-0.5380579083083631,-0.22051328101067103,-0.08453293092642912,-0.1033259258570391,0.008661540471390908,0.31753822027418505,0.6051191131657302,-0.476585446727472,0.20492339737979956,0.2719131769345279,-0.5044816742645923,0.25256197035538097;0.03873952234523413,-0.6636727010513769,-0.31300259728372776,0.3923414740293615,0.4159027275179518,-0.4108837276715753,0.33926668062291215,-0.6702298574006099,0.09633398435964681,-0.6509987705612086,0.24056472402739806,-0.5558377300962449,-0.8263205747821044,0.6285850123470318,-0.6675034166195813,0.30073626860985997,0.324772673675811,0.03489051882518513,-0.19363842075329293,-0.34532717300747534,0.09272831075309541,0.17831449731287644,-0.6588233836496971,0.372981696760114,-1.0083236622809304,-0.06174105827545646,0.1892723301914678,0.3937734677435843,0.05407226758867077,0.04008776163912961,-0.8130391555526308,0.2510463254684898,0.42373610677606016,0.3662813366473837,0.3339814333144147,-0.8647520621389096,0.2482811466540529,0.6286379439033748,0.12882203259001446,0.434416975071493,-0.5696973773678792,0.11718645870094344,0.1333160136116617,0.07069498031156311,-0.3546462988062132,0.13581731605883537,0.13962834589213355,-0.42331541637880155,0.3199886062198509,-0.535652046763941,0.3023719664536975,-0.4979400394964556,-0.6160496025321606,0.20033978558376989,0.5385951980713419,0.26191312316080956,-0.3757781762007038,0.22168299522030052,0.2093406294985887,-0.6212344221523758,-0.29307589332138645,-0.0919973831557239,0.10940224765698053,-0.6845442140167809,0.02016342010878604,-0.07139883747793262,0.3311472142111295,0.10131489950671327,-0.45060224065398263,0.41939715331662925,0.43052330733899036,0.2636725795986112,0.5719811185551559,0.20938650388429436,0.15044263086397858,0.11382221031430764,0.12580686504730215,-0.07264775176816993,-0.059267462766616076,0.6531782462688526,0.6582155667762856,0.27847816517135526,-0.21528119325325645,0.33052335802254684,0.14165499894544692,0.05977047030333864,0.3857570366944803,0.22107684792226218,-0.8328010737001202,-0.30300412114230135,-0.12093657776943202,-0.1470290802472854,0.006362643761612664,0.4273526000910817,0.8410126331691086,-0.7524500178226877,0.27552448259240603,0.36592022648091205,-0.6372795112830107,0.33939296504135885;-0.06104925437537805,0.24313644495102163,-0.014114298239372993,-0.01094756396398849,-0.013706592043553427,0.03433340906827798,-0.011326000521656897,0.2495444675176969,-0.058803382164944955,0.2239269030188212,-0.034104484753452256,0.13204462255325558,-0.19365830681863486,0.1240611001125377,0.2481538994983314,-0.024027169784185228,-0.016749682025707167,-0.06231610871052167,-0.04167848958513568,1.5612199778628196E-4,-0.059144858270651385,-0.04662566651310637,-0.31308289052143323,-0.011111079191107927,1.1839992204996836,-0.06164792986797444,-0.04582462351079189,-0.013397191215014615,-0.062218011333287616,-0.058708680632677895,-0.20523266519995462,-0.018859873919758404,-0.014734250823493715,-0.01233965455238497,-0.01799357045650486,-0.16251741122110222,-0.03451725753719098,0.1228303201769816,-0.05603601411087429,-0.012878386648127781,0.14334509056835595,-0.05536450221765949,-0.05316664379586727,-0.0597766429585387,0.003958774151512072,-0.05280456563864436,-0.0535217182367409,0.041586593240033824,-0.0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k{269}=[0.9106226317986961;1.1835576600638744;-0.13989899541043901];
x_a{269}=[1.4800499465833823,2.8192061931276853,19.249013644848777];
L_a{269}=[-0.010579246276417702,0.17556287926583147,0.07522310684947432,-0.09610369632611272,-0.10207520739666627,0.10102222610277968,-0.08327128324887084,0.17774001138108103,-0.024397409020745393,0.17100817578122748,-0.05903785544610424,0.14140839229398758,0.17589029272517678,-0.15652875521134785,0.1769210734127601,-0.07365553665336574,-0.07962098009030574,-0.009613590182166492,0.04585545864382287,0.08365075371886307,-0.023530022652939412,-0.044221306070704736,0.1346140579161897,-0.09150452177459041,0.3796786847025202,0.013477373023344112,-0.04668331597407362,-0.09647654377263629,-0.014250485423987994,-0.010796882087399104,0.17261034239844233,-0.06179676990682711,-0.10368130561237114,-0.0897769412312229,-0.08197682661554563,0.18563107841160273,-0.06107166268557221,-0.15664783585489697,-0.0323173395033394,-0.10635834117798867,0.14535091577177695,-0.029332268690092266,-0.03334275810401095,-0.0181974068709126,0.08580873703262733,-0.03402679146441706,-0.034853426692684555,0.1042527871239012,-0.0784824663918812,0.1349629487162138,-0.0741445634600011,0.1244943328456338,0.12471303450410175,-0.049408228440131416,-0.1335267662677319,-0.06419762459721827,0.09168041391851231,-0.054571246587852236,-0.051396420313477,0.16100797141064324,0.07044425741297604,0.020951232686710553,-0.02753998584642946,0.18261149522342107,-0.0061975497333270025,0.015780373831065002,-0.08111437255733683,-0.025630947348145455,0.11166587391894967,-0.10331426303506724,-0.10526115526408376,-0.06472988488172117,-0.14217365267785242,-0.05152023424467503,-0.037379672822076715,-0.0285855140177921,-0.031417096909747255,0.01621577807758973,0.012928617687854433,-0.16262926097690916,-0.16410160563581888,-0.06839833580347275,0.05128460084186782,-0.0810610155396273,-0.035391118151260156,-0.015472604400959974,-0.09465325865176433,-0.05443175224469929,0.177503271264352,0.07274649834567058,0.02788709456232954,0.03408683259336316,-0.0028574094797606067,-0.10475465926583072,-0.19962650940155494,0.15722373842078524,-0.06760345463163907,-0.08970312983133373,0.1664265984983211,-0.08331923988627199;-0.016690635876145644,0.2561922799915956,0.08113027434292033,-0.11119563568802353,-0.11892222585227717,0.11842411056594349,-0.09703476138729598,0.2610422479746585,-0.03149669533878947,0.24500175660607448,-0.06876522093504632,0.18507417930498807,0.09525989518900965,-0.1915503206304375,0.25947784799336227,-0.08518328973121783,-0.0924029368386039,-0.015480066276026896,0.046622110245677306,0.09296251160928652,-0.030557681890108025,-0.053383860794086004,0.04648948403059611,-0.10645795209685942,0.9810098891327214,0.008873889101066214,-0.055325774733049046,-0.1117171831253377,-0.020593416633453626,-0.016482703473888475,0.0913559534940068,-0.07273900327852699,-0.11950402815715275,-0.10410662172456078,-0.09553767901736501,0.10786543615081791,-0.07170496928030672,-0.19212131432742185,-0.040505270618460446,-0.12284953764793612,0.1918714573431013,-0.03650051029495812,-0.041383989484240706,-0.024650672461636873,0.09495017964024648,-0.042466692589573474,-0.04298683345568208,0.12291900659507599,-0.09122174053266852,0.17148884077164575,-0.08610985696355336,0.15435033989295238,0.037386668276673335,-0.05853554903996296,-0.1610207847334055,-0.07445152852451348,0.1045830628256207,-0.06424406930464067,-0.059951873535303804,0.22236984766118356,0.07601810753318071,0.01777699135203407,-0.03489402194447117,0.2722521218280726,-0.012308757334416496,0.011282725593177166,-0.09385305399356651,-0.03297892726982086,0.13447318887385826,-0.12191985518561374,-0.12099447931650437,-0.0754808597766919,-0.17294038690328817,-0.06055472455186296,-0.04540886220596787,-0.03595212364535089,-0.03880360029800148,0.012315119975082948,0.008472270792563739,-0.19892080047235203,-0.20159785727190183,-0.07989619124350429,0.05342542957314609,-0.0941973450924842,-0.043777424830221914,-0.02129852909729028,-0.11018047777020745,-0.064119333389459,0.09723062741715194,0.0781525140274777,0.025178374424299335,0.03156951501630466,-0.00860880651263398,-0.12151139133287116,-0.20493418687756873,0.07132669264555344,-0.07868507909410366,-0.10408099568436001,0.23471575624105118,-0.09715974666514415;-0.05449729352693559,0.1344064767345096,-0.06070162951972956,0.048571577501022076,0.04951083810082297,-0.02823188650701602,0.040245744136782724,0.13946615330296483,-0.04369352797205308,0.11801776325526922,0.002458962901709767,0.04446728237764574,-0.3025910494210364,0.2210028149572221,0.13858277165260383,0.02158933065588941,0.0325613492742409,-0.05636220000655921,-0.0700777877838566,-0.05165063710285226,-0.044572195610489196,-0.01923843509113938,-0.3964523493724738,0.045559691907111365,0.9488558263332921,-0.06999476461230207,-0.016912614985249704,0.046352862907498384,-0.053392371006018194,-0.05202193312027903,-0.3121340621313984,0.019412230388114057,0.04947787141454416,0.04326118776386621,0.03277648862245608,-0.2774828375122083,0.0033057718554702457,0.21984578429396334,-0.03602117206832782,0.05299168283468835,0.0533260585372381,-0.037198380451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x_a{269}=[1.4800499465833832,2.819206193127686,19.24901364484878];
std_x_a{269}=[1.0529575475564343,1.4991031566018067,1.5015261660142565];
pred_a{269}=[1.4800499465833832];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.8 to 26.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 26.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{270}=[2.93931868318157,4.764045344827464,15.676703744920765];
std_x_f{270}=[1.5505515897131044,2.232790676517751,1.7486356015375049];
pred_f{270}=[2.93931868318157];
obs{270}=[2.9980196574029194];
sqrt_r{270}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{270}=[3.4043733309984727];
L_f{270}=[-0.012771007659427347,0.2685563765318701,0.11244681517014297,-0.13993979525478567,-0.14971212762265648,0.15123894487979847,-0.12218305951540569,0.27284747407293974,-0.033576954214668,0.260576061277433,-0.08463309587025578,0.21336720878837856,0.21661937541367035,-0.23694135788719797,0.27103988356266523,-0.10655121256685797,-0.11569976306884353,-0.01147698278978438,0.06983579954958452,0.12502429795461553,-0.03178696047638527,-0.06377416722937405,0.16325312825334581,-0.13322094519755937,0.6297254419515786,0.021905736310776774,-0.06655142923039853,-0.14072024287910098,-0.018274985522202587,-0.013130517033098551,0.21341672035119416,-0.08963720940851226,-0.15125043966246698,-0.13106689086318285,-0.11962130577021764,0.22862817638676888,-0.08807929979631417,-0.23656877429472498,-0.045203590845415885,-0.15570710520939504,0.2185125152350789,-0.04064894414179646,-0.047566503740838845,-0.024232150276301583,0.12710653114487236,-0.0482208394001104,-0.04901523328448478,0.15563605684039244,-0.11422882728085643,0.20194785476267094,-0.10778015877684147,0.1867066862672224,0.15118623226247102,-0.07054026155581869,-0.2014019758145402,-0.09292362938165583,0.13696177108223326,-0.07857064818085724,-0.07286176090734925,0.2446993172919108,0.10532008967009823,0.03329938796437133,-0.038441118376990685,0.2805504429195274,-0.007101469828432064,0.02516557866250976,-0.11797589324521261,-0.0351176999758483,0.1669975440683358,-0.15386911183773513,-0.1532173256555223,-0.09326582059288208,-0.21535619533271638,-0.07359628679929685,-0.05216820860629147,-0.03929085446844929,-0.04352014132600288,0.025598256188155935,0.02136399835835253,-0.24537284177020374,-0.24791164722063158,-0.09937108689595896,0.07772226960620132,-0.11824866633083611,-0.050193379748385496,-0.01985129944861511,-0.13801456185134167,-0.07794407201991821,0.21937343268594112,0.10817630501718033,0.043354492884958636,0.05173247947949922,-0.0020257072833155683,-0.1531248949644991,-0.27252924931297773,0.19192730740702332,-0.09791389729463279,-0.1313931249522106,0.252982881820681,-0.12191816432586927;-0.010511856853912345,0.3813455477593818,0.18065632590868738,-0.21269936145009888,-0.22779168136828915,0.23458485571605617,-0.18429663850160138,0.38579649337976823,-0.042407520447265104,0.3728110831850981,-0.1251664867005332,0.31591543170068226,0.35426015150231055,-0.36760926139037603,0.3838158527564929,-0.15969608343491315,-0.17392979429437286,-0.007786052439046147,0.11763022769261901,0.19878233862640332,-0.040177081346263854,-0.0907458372670859,0.28681679795026127,-0.20218905341206933,0.5812771537384434,0.04473116509017984,-0.09470553522512677,-0.2139044549444223,-0.018178520381536986,-0.01073498571677981,0.35082047565091795,-0.1342232106911013,-0.22942388741871678,-0.19849832422705124,-0.18096479317242137,0.36889863512454424,-0.13035910965978417,-0.3675342555833657,-0.06146190252271353,-0.23748827112383442,0.3227183765066973,-0.053852633876903595,-0.06507343370512494,-0.027737586093535514,0.201479733571216,-0.06677561383225285,-0.06822547915610418,0.2412692929415948,-0.17182208814561206,0.3021175930255038,-0.16180375085701934,0.28118866764383826,0.27028890793871635,-0.10210093723397179,-0.31230302797458426,-0.1387455329139094,0.21491165135389886,-0.11521647394336995,-0.10643013841588585,0.3537713694493865,0.1699018778497016,0.06219313209879824,-0.049832420840436424,0.3943668459158438,-5.24202423497398E-4,0.04988689375877371,-0.17808081514464003,-0.04609525792404312,0.25609173990262657,-0.2372897179913853,-0.23235381437050046,-0.13869255812581419,-0.33415219612295877,-0.10625186747029049,-0.07208148743317677,-0.05182041069895947,-0.058728398970651845,0.05025743088763857,0.04266620854201982,-0.3799161174032952,-0.38417095733466144,-0.14932643624600717,0.1296371489625279,-0.17882547730069945,-0.06825392954477803,-0.02077785256758425,-0.2103175863760027,-0.11393223592658827,0.35813365681365755,0.17500150758140495,0.07718334008293014,0.09074786123895198,0.006812526633871959,-0.23317906156085888,-0.4116745503610487,0.3239075270683068,-0.14562157071504034,-0.19786709673238384,0.363662545100463,-0.18400169534397626;-0.06871703235058377,0.27931333732195457,-0.0015043217655187548,-0.03650148319645853,-0.037952182144961426,0.051021914897110436,-0.03785684677117862,0.2875570279224796,-0.06902268285920266,0.25867361700997626,-0.05448438423754581,0.15715090621166586,-0.1113082389782691,0.07820670968989886,0.2847178936481404,-0.04692877135498147,-0.0415638927934767,-0.06935136272921562,-0.036366952477706445,0.01417588461892901,-0.0701760514054355,-0.06351508557879885,-0.22626490118877435,-0.03658027920082978,1.427865047273048,-0.063000889450654,-0.06264360803513554,-0.03819101694309244,-0.07038804994379191,-0.06719100963957958,-0.12188906326853183,-0.0433866655250447,-0.038428009517051505,-0.03811662114507657,-0.04232328947398338,-0.08186634933315208,-0.05502514050935887,0.07733541787654273,-0.06965107840467706,-0.03684604482448636,0.1695201851718457,-0.06810169608999254,-0.0669535520810093,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k{270}=[0.7062601827788646;1.0033527005668612;0.4266045661048489];
x_a{270}=[2.9807768439644375,4.822943125838361,15.701745848558396];
L_a{270}=[0.010776652489248592,-0.2266178848870522,-0.09488681574134526,0.11808641753998003,0.12633267599870346,-0.12762106133473977,0.10310262178088347,-0.23023887300566967,0.02833348603872904,-0.21988379729230761,0.07141656223263916,-0.18004720716113004,-0.1827915066316604,0.19993995324214703,-0.22871356072870822,0.08991188641981976,0.0976317744795112,0.00968470605052792,-0.058930051811466884,-0.10550016472463516,0.026823022574151603,0.05381502042361189,-0.13775907726986072,0.11241680131822111,-0.5313858101510938,-0.01848487715596129,0.05615857766316477,0.11874498834798468,0.015421114251187936,0.011080019904725881,-0.18008898686410232,0.07563921983779107,0.12763076106099147,0.11059912994697255,0.10094091844382956,-0.1929249806965749,0.07432459761313628,0.19962555331331178,0.038144475580798996,0.13139146163692456,-0.1843890086074593,0.03430109485116838,0.04013838959411823,0.02044799201120051,-0.10725723073629102,0.04069054242334988,0.04136088160564354,-0.13133150837379215,0.09639054401094775,-0.17041113041068573,0.09094891705876058,-0.15755006409660505,-0.12757658046260423,0.05952450312145894,0.16995049739862633,0.0784124235605332,-0.11557344969374356,0.06630084280585842,0.06148347084214551,-0.20648640867932386,-0.08887301901140973,-0.02809926528638433,0.03243804914180686,-0.23673892535932264,0.005992485052454275,-0.021235653690687355,0.09955245799839658,0.029633624765861233,-0.14091875496245093,0.12984049429181424,0.1292904928063936,0.07870117726475158,0.1817255881758259,0.06210329117997378,0.04402147975548525,0.03315508814212882,0.03672391810109903,-0.021600763121215033,-0.018027738470494697,0.2070547537495898,0.20919709245979126,0.08385302863444441,-0.0655849493288359,0.09978263409965453,0.04235504552453548,0.01675126672246697,0.1164618338029017,0.06577211447646139,-0.1851154828557947,-0.09128320002850722,-0.03658413776957594,-0.0436537952701176,0.0017093673435484061,0.1292124963426017,0.22997034308672837,-0.16195541888942946,0.08262339771077594,0.1108744184364447,-0.21347638931980426,0.1028790933421073;0.022941265633105088,-0.32212669173601577,-0.11389342157227735,0.1538671019260882,0.16437299950210607,-0.16157925934783193,0.13575679540188149,-0.3289160973450134,0.04554591220572489,-0.3097570529841494,0.09652638187379392,-0.24299108222984767,-0.21316527740857108,0.25304875393776405,-0.32616182993603576,0.11941037865448105,0.12914091468008757,0.022277425814733753,-0.06530173966756667,-0.12871360099443732,0.043087537285573824,0.07630793677531741,-0.14081796991525442,0.1467776621658009,-1.0682624052834728,-0.012649998520020416,0.07962316092025018,0.15470635846796926,0.029692042805497053,0.02365985659637653,-0.20821573175561378,0.10057772481094882,0.16677033774946542,0.14482593576600855,0.1323782335255586,-0.22998334761423536,0.10036094652010104,0.2521477925471936,0.05694702038545113,0.17038000376704163,-0.24966605329272235,0.05262558175079084,0.059525041086863836,0.035737521974270346,-0.13147052913968807,0.059536865957695126,0.06016788231723195,-0.16641287370675775,0.1273955658156249,-0.22687639879776555,0.12052188462799872,-0.2078817182964505,-0.12573712862024106,0.08267633900163418,0.21526105668694154,0.10466404278609666,-0.14385400177532576,0.09059606548755725,0.08442820865072481,-0.287208297320532,-0.10597970910374593,-0.025033227325746657,0.05086248718071091,-0.3405233507747722,0.018077801924454805,-0.01603329107739738,0.13095212199669978,0.045894094058465874,-0.18135136918713965,0.1657640098385091,0.16899258671037115,0.10561337319533047,0.22996438519357268,0.08653053956781893,0.06457096153362583,0.05110034561131786,0.055270798058751826,-0.016796134700374655,-0.013295895072163616,0.2628278186765476,0.2652232738486516,0.11097198579312119,-0.07395309813797608,0.13092197757392113,0.06322553750578123,0.031221799275922432,0.15120580831061511,0.09023901335572136,-0.21650591038000258,-0.1083618164755905,-0.03638194775654801,-0.04476321343394503,0.012118782465734662,0.16792522117580588,0.30220446386316957,-0.17883805844162137,0.1108598038741175,0.1463117198650352,-0.29901557383548366,0.13535785664680994;-0.054493464909779014,-0.019788333832357275,-0.12674070887985914,0.11935490406281583,0.12878803137102626,-0.11741877432180434,0.09822317396691616,-0.01632380529156311,-0.03162672433618031,-0.03154006697469463,0.039774783005695896,-0.08048444448186487,-0.35256565400353795,0.3420975061954231,-0.017149755781671428,0.07174145406967299,0.08729542878715336,-0.05656900106435919,-0.1141457958677809,-0.1250685337636758,-0.0347736784579638,0.007512682374856942,-0.4080862532353163,0.1117930636924756,0.7265153549347898,-0.08739815911533966,0.011477304518053077,0.11853458515924599,-0.05003448850317242,-0.05256704264077814,-0.35957955691331545,0.0564457773978411,0.13002548188794472,0.10785766774143372,0.09090360658255789,-0.3364984325975395,0.043072197946698136,0.3408112535585986,-0.0193060829193989,0.13657100816141976,-0.07384569322943654,-0.022829387606836064,-0.013976888694413749,-0.042632064181047154,-0.123962491762368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x_a{270}=[2.980776843964438,4.8229431258383615,15.701745848558396];
std_x_a{270}=[1.3084132509039075,1.8941147397421703,1.6753760030579163];
pred_a{270}=[2.980776843964438];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 26.9 to 27.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{271}=[5.6586110270640635,9.360127878565242,15.063465512628646];
std_x_f{271}=[2.1106126283923707,3.154142149800729,2.6228701368696816];
pred_f{271}=[5.6586110270640635];
obs{271}=[5.934176637408637];
sqrt_r{271}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{271}=[5.456217995633679];
L_f{271}=[0.03914496780338668,-0.39228955725710357,-0.12955111757610843,0.17490447820062688,0.18527538843833483,-0.19150803200459654,0.15644259147093306,-0.39986988438978194,0.06434018686235916,-0.3767536258974956,0.11823580716789497,-0.2937942955677553,-0.258037313455072,0.2460324074541342,-0.39643293970032406,0.14153324917493904,0.14988679653389875,0.03785045185374828,-0.06854197504572858,-0.1491547098856327,0.06157201528587079,0.09739448633944853,-0.15982349051543118,0.16750668353018555,-1.0828728590035814,-0.002984028573684216,0.1005700742542885,0.17604666513270306,0.04661163958495222,0.03975035937942441,-0.25113425993396693,0.12155319801554582,0.18732928764165188,0.16584052610866584,0.15419292729776887,-0.28007751483376875,0.12274918896798745,0.24562789860377862,0.07698538813194988,0.19083806751583052,-0.30256031423840585,0.07284175486279912,0.07999076887531331,0.05353528297767341,-0.15221713498975661,0.08020713183678246,0.08036925380110793,-0.1979637447144831,0.14890704202233646,-0.27383186331693826,0.1420314887581802,-0.24966782775114676,-0.13847275810263993,0.10398663890808203,0.21785083439089709,0.12463807131541857,-0.1681750746951448,0.11278876687573589,0.10596358238329913,-0.34902184541354814,-0.11920780528231543,-0.018675281158367047,0.06992882550028237,-0.41399585403267686,0.0328234399308665,-0.007080973661107253,0.15249557054124988,0.06572209995295017,-0.21619308533361412,0.17953902486728002,0.18893094135488261,0.12764590277347593,0.22896792643275093,0.10813234402522418,0.08471363891094445,0.07082875714969754,0.07517622649101385,-0.008310229623010021,-0.003263764456993725,0.2535280799647325,0.25457549461277773,0.13305429434610838,-0.07888123587300981,0.152537442655994,0.08375296810678716,0.04815270352266418,0.17160996671444242,0.1120453629374079,-0.261737639682859,-0.12318708282386058,-0.03189742415715783,-0.042167194440127856,0.026353903702983333,0.18814129720432682,0.308130989071645,-0.21105301840801985,0.13274682915426406,0.16679707134910848,-0.3630086440990637,0.15573895086246356;0.08882048841432513,-0.625464209736789,-0.1672230243402582,0.24130546915222145,0.252984903787967,-0.27211424530948436,0.22285300483502493,-0.6392226934721492,0.12161426878699268,-0.5986706649943816,0.18415734991936175,-0.45188163588342406,-0.3580983130436806,0.2658021242777123,-0.633359134142158,0.2085529289801318,0.21724409765470448,0.08743226050633285,-0.06875026745423717,-0.19972505893822293,0.11925115082299173,0.16170029536949856,-0.1767315987013705,0.23456122851739925,-1.7274905199392132,0.030245152088862064,0.16609772380743365,0.24352867433778871,0.0991139138841931,0.08908594586567303,-0.3462341947879381,0.18431020062303732,0.25584071219465093,0.23291161355752124,0.22091101964942125,-0.40142073683228774,0.18988561801824722,0.2657273672152224,0.13806717956572864,0.25862687441530535,-0.4668251573453658,0.13217838794257802,0.14035825980041736,0.10806630265495588,-0.2054111228172964,0.14093188020941944,0.1424374693106302,-0.2834007454428886,0.21657869557489648,-0.4158817056504103,0.2082209839833365,-0.3732259382788443,-0.13934854605404892,0.1689036526304743,0.25332823843197655,0.18776542562942605,-0.23259077419628102,0.17826060302783195,0.1698561394338068,-0.5489768335391506,-0.15100380496961224,0.006996605475503664,0.12901083879602024,-0.664117458044711,0.08043157841488419,0.02441522069826614,0.21841492732872964,0.12346953888706162,-0.3149708157132978,0.23238348274145643,0.2568769453936885,0.19459292033631104,0.25805707251943516,0.17403268060716387,0.14722326886192572,0.12943883216066585,0.13527686664728136,0.021975784515855863,0.028978761473062734,0.2701284220904182,0.2703340415447189,0.19938341037122473,-0.08617189719414496,0.21987135134140728,0.14613528361267578,0.10109131899760425,0.23753850212556965,0.1778692538542593,-0.36624736251721607,-0.156895548261118,-0.012628953363913351,-0.0279754862668062,0.07146139135251758,0.2560174196931031,0.36191207911248086,-0.2721056868655484,0.2000398688823137,0.23409577530209244,-0.5736327721700054,0.22282585825102083;-0.043118196395747745,-0.2946238525287906,-0.2447634678186536,0.24691101750424527,0.2670510432616954,-0.27873425461062284,0.207616050980168,-0.29483235454771906,7.22166353732798E-4,-0.2983403093745907,0.1161162656113758,-0.3051375949483886,-0.49682516694519513,0.5193579584206917,-0.2941668097937813,0.16842775626042458,0.19126049178768775,-0.04575792816208326,-0.18797997614565456,-0.2570024391108019,-0.004417183981251675,0.06731685747679031,-0.4826027596745647,0.23199151393247008,0.47823144988210003,-0.10906212381330528,0.07403709197576995,0.24683404611395884,-0.031963967094115794,-0.04140812579358512,-0.4994927937379168,0.13262907364526552,0.2709710120125812,0.22685635562914672,0.19861864992756795,-0.4963254854679702,0.12360631348529556,0.5173921857014091,0.02412530613107672,0.28082060750455234,-0.30391396123448855,0.016146466188894072,0.030899714996835023,-0.01917077364648135,-0.25832489220498933,0.0319486678033914,0.032822569892945436,-0.2803313728963669,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k{271}=[0.8167228653986613;1.2122918804444867;0.6827072679892527];
x_a{271}=[5.883671761950015,9.694193830515697,15.251596157618781];
L_a{271}=[-0.021055975986152158,0.2110115287030382,0.06968520792666633,-0.09408066220312951,-0.0996591477447841,0.10301167044758952,-0.08415006152944998,0.21508896687783446,-0.03460841854112196,0.20265479178416798,-0.06359873199883112,0.1580311845807125,0.1387975972526169,-0.1323401896557741,0.21324024330216462,-0.07613036523207269,-0.08062371654795303,-0.02035965923641818,0.036868549435399516,0.08022992905110021,-0.03311942627696067,-0.05238823993539185,0.08596863829901341,-0.09010140776323153,0.5824744838150635,0.0016051011794176518,-0.054096380384315794,-0.09469504157199983,-0.025072279244306998,-0.021381614534414086,0.13508446278533187,-0.06538314787511083,-0.10076393476415843,-0.08920518603601293,-0.08293997304387563,0.15065296403413284,-0.06602646828607016,-0.13212260540121384,-0.04141023929136232,-0.10265129829815035,0.162746403138317,-0.03918138977361885,-0.04302682574710642,-0.028796488949780184,0.08187719951957269,-0.04314320681922457,-0.043230411800585504,0.10648418146038706,-0.08009670915401679,0.14729344438867645,-0.07639836700314988,0.13429567274259005,0.07448413507426975,-0.05593414159200759,-0.11718139507834781,-0.06704249316947145,0.09046093362590223,-0.06066878324620064,-0.05699753432614471,0.18773793946087336,0.06412156724699461,0.010045384979756988,-0.037614532674270146,0.2226872890702516,-0.017655642647058826,0.0038088372460979717,-0.08202696927581259,-0.03535174598480735,0.11628969618830065,-0.09657357275576782,-0.10162546011508763,-0.06866039785825136,-0.12316124986440447,-0.05816410555137681,-0.045567245209333244,-0.03809860355905,-0.04043709596785894,0.004470050818801958,0.0017555703807468055,-0.13637209233036426,-0.13693549393507484,-0.07156955756554849,0.04243001084181174,-0.0820494921770186,-0.04505050289178875,-0.025901213513165305,-0.09230855307565212,-0.06026890820856935,0.1407879930701468,0.0662620102479402,0.017157541179918998,0.022681623803964806,-0.014175696000019791,-0.10120071258801787,-0.16574285458782395,0.113524867608133,-0.07140417284155087,-0.08971970922360611,0.1952614019586471,-0.08377157508313998;-5.379934441803129E-4,0.2700378497235134,0.128510804023554,-0.1579590984101457,-0.16995394035030928,0.16505221474723233,-0.13426754619129147,0.2735834171236394,-0.025258796721456103,0.2613666254686503,-0.08574636498224902,0.2187795934854294,0.23093838533872332,-0.2958302809018996,0.2716012640436936,-0.11453320414168043,-0.12491116113043715,0.0010288450712396236,0.08771446294055821,0.14075902331647622,-0.021302849337357137,-0.06062773117007234,0.18810672609986984,-0.14781596531734464,0.7444459806182647,0.03705696668802351,-0.06347940091772253,-0.15834322939002343,-0.007289171466838086,-0.0016544983547981155,0.22704450410057941,-0.09316631421971279,-0.17178668643728626,-0.14566214637296998,-0.13107409286497385,0.23792840387854355,-0.09032105453886022,-0.2949816422178999,-0.03767181818518099,-0.1770102189571435,0.223846769804285,-0.03410169850791974,-0.042241294382230975,-0.014141783880664291,0.1420637343304713,-0.042161578218198686,-0.041026074300882065,0.16850254336708126,-0.1233400209249899,0.20921012514093462,-0.1160025094496108,0.19670525105842246,0.17675122710099145,-0.06847266181857786,-0.24397246010365833,-0.09675310790106517,0.1513121948054876,-0.0792088379825811,-0.0720330582178264,0.24775551781330435,0.12111874624092608,0.04962774981503351,-0.030619735336497294,0.2809348203959068,0.005503613821123666,0.040579368785312375,-0.1296955307550725,-0.02655809955285155,0.17854564317740468,-0.17746063252457991,-0.17440664079717602,-0.09679176401408174,-0.264621254950036,-0.07280727466953033,-0.04615745388672448,-0.03224606799332324,-0.03633225319741379,0.040946026278157265,0.03642914535089719,-0.3086147882230695,-0.3108001627605322,-0.10434732220314845,0.09389486183701098,-0.12833469064029318,-0.04505246033327225,-0.008829642127715117,-0.1542054935372503,-0.07790317599317893,0.23123628454469672,0.12431072992531399,0.06018514146933927,0.06828200711849237,0.011301811255990411,-0.1734636001281442,-0.34147634964539425,0.20967724399086898,-0.10298899511713694,-0.14666154576821733,0.25502805343425494,-0.13268845166500395;-0.093440801046799,0.20968189623918343,-0.07821971934428888,0.022063498088812073,0.028871255484590713,-0.0325421251273949,0.006502111617148323,0.21921824334975845,-0.08199001782563765,0.18599330566671118,-0.0358811458973671,0.0725480953004381,-0.1651066744064053,0.20307230878504298,0.21546544218286673,-0.013519557605879034,-0.0014256803474529047,-0.09441637473602667,-0.09986620556975953,-0.06525739706308485,-0.08357075994948325,-0.05788810516027764,-0.2771425235707764,0.01665419001291943,1.8703128802384175,-0.10522602179030244,-0.055250230773989495,0.020518194377773993,-0.09188531184402529,-0.09250898835745452,-0.1766484848482844,-0.023632991980395972,0.03015084506539363,0.01366095149940616,3.967543478616809E-4,-0.1362733295581822,-0.03419325193263183,0.20162655026162254,-0.07484284912020128,0.03548974729781984,0.08504083757875198,-0.07749486340576961,-0.071931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x_a{271}=[5.883671761950015,9.694193830515697,15.251596157618788];
std_x_a{271}=[1.1352930226616154,1.7259908489195934,2.158639959726607];
pred_a{271}=[5.883671761950015];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.0 to 27.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{272}=[10.820882282491565,16.347620971064508,21.8241883655934];
std_x_f{272}=[1.5184333429029115,2.1086010204602843,3.1928618539106433];
pred_f{272}=[10.820882282491565];
obs{272}=[11.391309167596063];
sqrt_r{272}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{272}=[3.305996865707104];
L_f{272}=[0.01889573676238162,0.20853515673643164,0.14361777528404615,-0.1508128972454668,-0.16339634418947926,0.1698900163056603,-0.1261424649707652,0.2097313505981657,-0.007244493801157137,0.20752102408065712,-0.07321593678222885,0.19745833452611475,0.2612564887970082,-0.299016298227077,0.20882572441466069,-0.10446481999669857,-0.11569270567008014,0.020122652452611037,0.1069034362496731,0.1527021024665486,-0.003552462862157003,-0.045755201781040665,0.23965140119526315,-0.14003868852304172,-0.014000140082264812,0.058065175435186835,-0.049121223742550284,-0.15111442943987866,0.011652199672283942,0.017384332234811138,0.26022614747741535,-0.08195959020863515,-0.16545688474498643,-0.13762080639237723,-0.12228814959289527,0.26281794200071856,-0.07832898989942805,-0.2981373796923224,-0.020818734564217376,-0.1709028274925808,0.1985961175458853,-0.016471907060620614,-0.025543976827007132,0.004764544591544608,0.153412745594747,-0.02521585302169982,-0.025080385735350045,0.17164836599066846,-0.1138453713937753,0.19377202384158004,-0.10561601340933328,0.18758435246649025,0.23202182442775113,-0.05420895883236508,-0.24553991658905583,-0.08619307969604786,0.16029110151680004,-0.0657363443316954,-0.058342707648838345,0.20704604771741358,0.13636835574392975,0.07065847376165221,-0.013797174655344666,0.21000800392897642,0.025156412025006562,0.0615717746496499,-0.12078723867620018,-0.00826952004318189,0.1775299607919842,-0.1734002278691033,-0.16872167520611933,-0.08537248597049236,-0.2668339436558098,-0.059392261112455776,-0.030446818361763796,-0.014798317038445597,-0.01956777062028615,0.06162739614694263,0.05732497153343459,-0.3126113871300709,-0.3150705202440449,-0.09401975399829625,0.11294905208912621,-0.11935166319969667,-0.029116598234324158,0.009925200696086713,-0.14731848261848152,-0.06467131500394964,0.2608372348592612,0.13990620115141522,0.08107387445855657,0.0897606561482453,0.03133953799626392,-0.1673151735087705,-0.3415195482362994,0.2520770251653454,-0.09229205980165466,-0.13915586539808808,0.20698758874228235,-0.12479005524065998;0.08456811002786846,0.05824960206712033,0.18929293125920502,-0.15752188430309252,-0.17528845476429433,0.18329137188861408,-0.12082760766678567,0.05279865284868275,0.05150363495577083,0.07233140624678067,-0.04134696963038158,0.13852733694512873,0.3131908068353829,-0.4149480608525342,0.05489237609267248,-0.08686605717430601,-0.10555307109598666,0.0865064279463694,0.1713104625263989,0.1885339489075456,0.05682198898769917,-8.661207226917576E-4,0.3662382191052653,-0.14242107814124763,-1.1584233467326517,0.12894266732024873,-0.005090774655930006,-0.1567965270387018,0.07677553354837635,0.08292970332962338,0.31923093183274004,-0.05632109530286925,-0.17864849490605694,-0.13823750152213526,-0.11336271549144265,0.2951542198019864,-0.047681151074135834,-0.4132153496649916,0.034096274485439615,-0.1878578326461137,0.13126847505068004,0.03973824048703706,0.027441130558897874,0.06660789311897809,0.18825908458494045,0.027263774053302416,0.028195749265223127,0.18037234904497762,-0.10166439347368013,0.15039583217929975,-0.0898418175707382,0.16241752081885058,0.372139829987118,-0.01393555318172661,-0.3233471936884308,-0.06295198766343683,0.18602296424813347,-0.02983431679831608,-0.02039569795724146,0.09979033533428154,0.18506802428188907,0.14127536041994496,0.044132469828939765,0.03824634188865245,0.09232112191220794,0.13306378353948298,-0.11258903688786494,0.050837409876695744,0.17450322641008112,-0.2033265733432564,-0.18382405903263915,-0.05859937788836898,-0.3600723599194089,-0.02002149083010458,0.020372891171777815,0.041908331206209785,0.035822251730391004,0.13203013915003978,0.1280191935083033,-0.43700646558082074,-0.4419461094836232,-0.0717809659315367,0.17439531992656787,-0.10935768207622758,0.02331917997400189,0.07398394155024861,-0.15307816507544367,-0.028328984906690266,0.3101075060965065,0.18781740220801224,0.1503565351170533,0.15988917778537154,0.09927876036711515,-0.1821172314346935,-0.4576849124199807,0.34231977951290704,-0.06824170928950357,-0.1391589148454226,0.08503132420961926,-0.11882016469719021;-0.06499263272468993,0.6015189502894052,0.20266239741362124,-0.26919392444287293,-0.2841343016465657,0.29998183433151315,-0.24191532094298543,0.6120266504274954,-0.10563367920788894,0.57780757424956,-0.18707900080065415,0.4550469392654089,0.3995739518382354,-0.3436316658661293,0.6072842878603599,-0.22189588681512035,-0.23121774169880657,-0.06339142148985015,0.10657514206532596,0.2345530905597869,-0.09915039159708815,-0.1558918917487283,0.25089160898428575,-0.257188657833157,1.5882914833832962,0.001612213383917497,-0.15938135175261353,-0.2717347186549323,-0.07733895460790086,-0.06657308293458444,0.38776105820259044,-0.19162369488543893,-0.28610059699676355,-0.25570588219867546,-0.2401275710159873,0.42885629329805564,-0.19409707919565786,-0.3431712942873374,-0.12461061535667582,-0.2908490219757312,0.46809071611199493,-0.1192344396291848,-0.13178045184295784,-0.0872998686657638,0.2382974195711855,-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k{272}=[0.6975193744516411;0.7573302140473867;1.1790247152601756];
x_a{272}=[11.218766086560052,16.779622486059083,22.496735761380478];
L_a{272}=[-0.016534564582846394,-0.18247703491070036,-0.12567159516141974,0.13196762956582625,0.1429786750088813,-0.1486609112897436,0.11037996347678106,-0.183523754861828,0.006339236841176581,-0.18158962617383326,0.06406702477087094,-0.17278434949110805,-0.22861041837234738,0.26165184012312054,-0.18273129385290418,0.09141111217793682,0.10123598448272775,-0.017608167426329667,-0.09354500398827681,-0.13362076361034864,0.0031085544512578986,0.04003772641223162,-0.20970505782666587,0.12253974367864202,0.012250711537215797,-0.05080947122203628,0.042983137232129424,0.13223148292095102,-0.01019616490409432,-0.01521202203866404,-0.22770882637276493,0.07171808935157371,0.14478173467885075,0.12042399509757724,0.10700727537578428,-0.22997675561362593,0.06854116134701994,0.2608827494304047,0.018217268557132488,0.1495471636857711,-0.17377995749825992,0.014413611626866673,0.02235205432104274,-0.004169176954961819,-0.13424260624323003,0.022064932187714686,0.02194639261324971,-0.15019954123530208,0.09961948927633396,-0.16955867256448917,0.09241845484300037,-0.16414419980508152,-0.20302885719005687,0.04743511946922484,0.21485775651738798,0.07542257074971534,-0.14026145703730994,0.05752206672123674,0.05105232358435191,-0.18117400187444052,-0.11932804809143491,-0.061829137039170944,0.012073108250204807,-0.18376583816468497,-0.02201291881501301,-0.05387789305214581,0.10569391518256865,0.007236177924289528,-0.15534618411646756,0.15173249407717673,0.14763856367725908,0.07470451671868722,0.233490926009094,0.05197072701818268,0.026642246919263517,0.01294914995200085,0.017122622479985576,-0.05392656420219123,-0.050161761668717046,0.2735481148385691,0.27569995976539763,0.08227124002082128,-0.09883517217793564,0.1044377262480861,0.025478248347355986,-0.008684968147623194,0.12890986976234706,0.05659012125524705,-0.2282435535394242,-0.12242381165492053,-0.07094305080950034,-0.07854435022806502,-0.027423414154848724,0.1464078155226281,0.2988439719301986,-0.22057800152815313,0.08075943491721455,0.12176723630524158,-0.181122847811918,0.10919654806905714;0.04609973383023347,-0.36629107399375715,-0.10308744415399428,0.1495064861515503,0.15735758686096668,-0.16257463702401212,0.1359761284358975,-0.3741772622323579,0.06625214232591838,-0.3501446751911287,0.10770772112971914,-0.26346288928575834,-0.21868117156372055,0.19379620744842183,-0.370239844341285,0.12580582990720848,0.12997680429363953,0.04554026852238814,-0.04632601570076766,-0.12234050905736565,0.06405417471975512,0.09228337311530002,-0.12164962424272924,0.14267290999329266,-1.1299215390351434,0.010732245535090458,0.09491134423358329,0.15084570960365318,0.053053717026474226,0.04753827928709776,-0.21054345397219823,0.11053412652825936,0.15819244265030838,0.14193410647059973,0.13559431657398838,-0.23989660100007168,0.11178281101019752,0.19373959603546556,0.07647953390771385,0.16007008061274552,-0.2730380760627043,0.0732721283406155,0.07944414703408773,0.05690812347978406,-0.12406211703128062,0.07859878852673449,0.07925497631637526,-0.16907334866308896,0.1301046362396262,-0.24408971783931305,0.12517369557999827,-0.21947102527037998,-0.10021554521675571,0.09642429400862437,0.17652862495063312,0.11252186959209803,-0.14030135280931977,0.10399324734532288,0.0983797303019148,-0.32171877828141404,-0.0925538158283157,-0.002572788207173552,0.07222107583465635,-0.3892927904164531,0.04110711878917239,0.007714546292794566,0.13331240615721587,0.06767268928365255,-0.1869163574874618,0.14968560513417012,0.15966341415473403,0.11520389575685003,0.1831543295677981,0.1008906425486078,0.08235722538906796,0.07203508593853218,0.07565876993743896,0.006567666377822915,0.011315695878240774,0.19941499789581274,0.1994817138369278,0.11962661516982641,-0.05554896229803058,0.13362118334276218,0.08259542141187247,0.053777989328570454,0.14683619558154962,0.10333036799668606,-0.22091094547787396,-0.09700686508328972,-0.014695526186033692,-0.022847633796992266,0.03547700695253114,0.15850685319595825,0.23758845138742804,-0.17086443535964674,0.11964859216584009,0.14413780163394257,-0.3363587772777983,0.13523030452178986;-0.12488086305231362,-0.05941328300152724,-0.2525204045861953,0.20879312841414008,0.23373478271708514,-0.2384683226971711,0.1578811564985845,-0.05269680489456862,-0.08267294902696892,-0.07991046258872536,0.04497190786760206,-0.1707783655065857,-0.42845350072505495,0.6040718910328832,-0.054568871894481695,0.10919536830604067,0.13545922313854716,-0.12716824374553815,-0.23224507402070071,-0.24942161754661205,-0.08789120034169637,-0.010875156100445054,-0.508660584910196,0.18665057101039584,1.6326635882876617,-0.18241980633596547,-0.0036963314508284013,0.20720801165129651,-0.1142694869587996,-0.1216710611749991,-0.4370008260984091,0.06813938700424062,0.23829917357084132,0.18047010049749357,0.1474530224932489,-0.40412003584440986,0.054159162273901114,0.6017466143826316,-0.05862762742716177,0.2508111432364629,-0.16134068311441246,-0.06702830570666121,-0.05082126052183235,-0.1024006370291714,-0.24792960395839508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x_a{272}=[11.21876608656005,16.77962248605908,22.496735761380478];
std_x_a{272}=[1.3286930532901344,1.9530220267961145,2.9392655031165074];
pred_a{272}=[11.21876608656005];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.1 to 27.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{273}=[14.049693143545799,12.377254709192469,35.953051886443475];
std_x_f{273}=[1.1353097760029165,2.8552531760746436,2.578945977507435];
pred_f{273}=[14.049693143545799];
obs{273}=[14.59689302739395];
sqrt_r{273}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{273}=[2.293105292231262];
L_f{273}=[0.0646297512254915,-0.16239058097687678,0.025061077858614285,0.009768599004949481,0.004732097299325204,-0.010077643544714845,0.02035110350664472,-0.16894195607751644,0.06192505681690082,-0.14862613575818054,0.042577599500474086,-0.08073168841204977,9.410893506026536E-5,-0.10026069578362755,-0.1658903375742224,0.030849153971110904,0.024592706537128833,0.06447503773460517,0.04876493728716109,0.014333749980868784,0.06248224599342645,0.05228060405814563,0.0735568593328222,0.013949687585451842,-0.9347916083465388,0.06382231389421515,0.05133975392827461,0.011102786548576465,0.0646327917868829,0.06397398094799267,0.006734907330233515,0.03702175426474601,0.0037820717348655136,0.01582038609613837,0.02317915545814172,-0.016977717507908694,0.041424274781183205,-0.09960614210330361,0.05928386283551356,7.818058949910767E-4,-0.08788564183291088,0.06055623875878544,0.05850112002788981,0.06310932206017232,0.012793851083474474,0.05780182730470164,0.057931166081138366,-0.014634574115042834,0.026768839213996847,-0.06565163410342065,0.02959792113315836,-0.0484411229970061,0.08790625615926327,0.0492021230702283,-0.06049035605500501,0.03516471033273318,0.002877688183243475,0.045769521287861055,0.04670540484234533,-0.12412813532273058,0.02860040229314465,0.0610511377801253,0.06101740241457841,-0.1818078306824151,0.06481693356283906,0.06287119264552818,0.02259362426264311,0.06198096390989432,-0.026024566000626727,-0.012305595930609975,0.0022590261977144107,0.038619453938441774,-0.07580282047658932,0.048204652283666466,0.05635092143950253,0.06092325500863409,0.05964161451414299,0.06246400881587648,0.06326471106094185,-0.11046047650936147,-0.11239513509795254,0.03421660382571926,0.04500285336312814,0.02435443083809615,0.05733017916882642,0.06465041799193046,0.010386356881198124,0.046366352264644486,-0.001976619121800042,0.02775710919962345,0.058687132795473405,0.05732476220376727,0.06434586917111715,0.002625916038494425,-0.10105490848588299,0.036639066189960684,0.03593949030739448,0.015407195957946611,-0.13726908630064866,0.020919761123027576;0.11229770412616072,0.12243921673943609,0.27231777448201566,-0.23370646881308393,-0.2600587532474905,0.2702052662771285,-0.18132254591351082,0.1166197394645098,0.0652291068807149,0.1409961212467184,-0.06753604420314424,0.21937223084092997,0.43200919455420056,-0.5978084445979577,0.11883764390612869,-0.13326926790357888,-0.15853877738800834,0.11470952540666925,0.24085213901307356,0.2730360358767734,0.0715528078002441,-0.009579046698546903,0.49381112638254115,-0.21033425034701966,-1.3196506624244522,0.1774113536892425,-0.017530836930532645,-0.23260854659680835,0.09994844602730933,0.10902447903929924,0.43901909676755674,-0.0889504444779389,-0.2637431603789219,-0.2045928025214145,-0.17164392389000357,0.4109532434581435,-0.07704561292230803,-0.5958685217346936,0.03974018313576143,-0.27587807517917984,0.2116314611020051,0.047897477159493086,0.03103690267000439,0.08751490445335038,0.27213487428417305,0.030562705093188224,0.02983215349670181,0.26679313928167253,-0.15293839743369594,0.23418446145138966,-0.13621448867678157,0.2472144090966762,0.49995561458004356,-0.027855767096913033,-0.468973688317318,-0.09896953448329901,0.27163767044389964,-0.052035677593711,-0.0369831988469079,0.1745123777468712,0.26421723529363805,0.19500480622298463,0.05223335656836631,0.09796746998705134,0.12379694114969386,0.18227011280153887,-0.1684151859876764,0.0637523753530485,0.26089419658650925,-0.2944701610240789,-0.27249972913906634,-0.09255928546000793,-0.5194923176457618,-0.037928548642803935,0.020153161003292796,0.05112967383597849,0.04190950500124716,0.1811236974224022,0.17529051692191525,-0.6311775461784184,-0.6380318441752592,-0.1116027876225509,0.24629448360251996,-0.16512990680512213,0.022909483967420513,0.09685077598723026,-0.22729568637315625,-0.049137181811989096,0.4286553096234372,0.2695474704372138,0.20929416164825182,0.22254496358594222,0.1331789688807438,-0.26884054402992247,-0.6639752242280433,0.4663517633117404,-0.10686878034149941,-0.207895885857877,0.15613750723611372,-0.17784096846187677;0.058031486336440424,-0.5255411320015039,-0.1940452159792353,0.23258946924660692,0.24378310685667368,-0.28342632233987985,0.21199826367060476,-0.5344283646663716,0.09311748076661333,-0.5095011987630722,0.16507994787787925,-0.4157415868314986,-0.4334039324874281,0.2988364711957815,-0.529342309286495,0.19531666644861465,0.2026641753889887,0.05638071810978288,-0.10154740646707333,-0.2232739340186904,0.08992793424799145,0.13846026125613514,-0.2979178819337148,0.2230166084267162,-0.5141690866564396,-0.004363468866178812,0.1421857528924879,0.23443047152828939,0.06888174357870061,0.060363856462029034,-0.422895336753311,0.1721049327021357,0.24511569539784098,0.22157612793147302,0.21104650280433027,-0.4588987094993827,0.17152977323541413,0.2978227759490064,0.11098663519456763,0.24832238485815167,-0.4266502782287278,0.10556964842630075,0.1157341427369778,0.07696888410297775,-0.2256149313235084,0.11476800170040719,0.1161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k{273}=[0.5639101251094454;0.7160814811631679;0.5041771445809727];
x_a{273}=[14.358264698506483,12.769094412510766,36.228937561397075];
L_a{273}=[-0.1193769982276262,0.2999500961998726,-0.04629007833671192,-0.0180434862271342,-0.00874061187306084,0.018614319454498752,-0.03759032954910593,0.31205107878061494,-0.11438118293361266,0.2745259204708989,-0.07864467870796792,0.14911873311802679,-1.7382771805362054E-4,0.18519057672222472,0.30641446329391564,-0.05698117862289619,-0.04542495412758775,-0.11909122841144847,-0.09007325143166622,-0.02647573313552385,-0.1154103617572551,-0.09656700605597947,-0.13586617462857636,-0.025766335141138488,1.7266446807669265,-0.11788558841965097,-0.09482917073778048,-0.020507851337796118,-0.1193826144196267,-0.11816573119084671,-0.012439983214841762,-0.06838252986347605,-0.006985828696981218,-0.029221684551590393,-0.042813997386285205,0.031359380384731565,-0.07651438359836277,0.1839815568505051,-0.10950265867417651,-0.0014440662260183361,0.1623327323776407,-0.11185285212931377,-0.10805686188575367,-0.11656862799051555,-0.023631400541644757,-0.10676520495386538,-0.10700410537654499,0.027031382529977326,-0.04944446807872753,0.12126450836334947,-0.054670038359374715,0.08947513713896142,-0.16237080890360212,-0.09088077312965738,0.11173116081434996,-0.06495240169530381,-0.0053153504483121035,-0.08454044705505881,-0.0862691086591417,0.22927589708214086,-0.052827530806144815,-0.1127669754003012,-0.11270466312775274,0.33581551328303405,-0.1197227409410064,-0.11612878141566575,-0.041732468289207604,-0.11448444839285783,0.0480697281116284,0.022729549096870097,-0.004172625784367079,-0.07133362572101093,0.1400146680761739,-0.089038354335501,-0.10408525054256015,-0.11253076435049544,-0.11016345839405589,-0.11537667604021624,-0.1168556455345678,0.2040304946010646,0.2076039840625281,-0.06320116319196326,-0.08312434202979434,-0.044984837352236524,-0.10589402817207644,-0.11941517161517279,-0.01918454091943401,-0.08564284787057636,0.003650994362898726,-0.051269892161066116,-0.10840044429795677,-0.105884022547484,-0.118852642387486,-0.004850304516561443,0.18665755944383078,-0.06767567036364601,-0.06638349041076616,-0.028458484980815393,0.25354842253449816,-0.03864069161883166;-0.12136333479708168,0.7095426968382422,0.18171248236895507,-0.26902365554272756,-0.2771670779784399,0.3066397661151441,-0.2548994961327064,0.7274089228712279,-0.1586534369454906,0.678335916525177,-0.22147019906980395,0.5112478737251427,0.43166895509603653,-0.23532804051542633,0.7185940701637549,-0.24480064826807188,-0.24745072970778523,-0.11839216562600477,0.06454841366234702,0.221214098631333,-0.15434418601834216,-0.19859323951417285,0.22787520916584364,-0.2607676565116059,2.0599751947276834,-0.05333049334305205,-0.20314350003811854,-0.27274932682094927,-0.13372358567743295,-0.12226570185911866,0.4146698549092119,-0.2227981137050726,-0.2774167827292176,-0.26178949261067624,-0.25544535346407465,0.47233412511436956,-0.22681006193345324,-0.23575457721723056,-0.17459344369808943,-0.2787045997161934,0.5293713562389414,-0.17103627074081978,-0.18046681233266929,-0.14064920694593822,0.22588025502122888,-0.1784128017528189,-0.17961096203264643,0.31970266975455697,-0.2497178939180433,0.4715399941702476,-0.2432221882393665,0.4223474230951053,0.18214119084256505,-0.20574008470332514,-0.2502781313541586,-0.22610328626138818,0.2612337373040702,-0.21750983914243915,-0.2058409340518146,0.623282619147308,0.16081594429806026,-0.02571818915694422,-0.1683676726827639,0.7552716649764081,-0.1105408328465357,-0.045033070536464,-0.2500996984319752,-0.1603322937975526,0.35498286339905416,-0.2499807691388471,-0.28066696478989134,-0.23218324437670834,-0.245436399898614,-0.21220663141364648,-0.18357677139110554,-0.1691309768701674,-0.17371752970312848,-0.04470736208926571,-0.05343538459212046,-0.23182107007065353,-0.23168084422668908,-0.23530877513978476,0.08359211709253822,-0.25318040219012167,-0.18436083615969728,-0.13688498112733646,-0.26484630189418734,-0.21676911348132646,0.43580153669065846,0.1691950034988645,-0.002882059989561412,0.015294227840004063,-0.09945572885289132,-0.27833422546989994,-0.29862344029929305,0.33388765647564733,-0.23680365529248582,-0.26359873703963793,0.6524172655342217,-0.25347383142893504;-0.10648408696505655,-0.11217454739306815,-0.2578383996645409,0.20772341862474047,0.23173751352921707,-0.25777359625243984,0.16019435916488473,-0.10438519984282359,-0.0645132702541635,-0.13117212479629772,0.05669831157569249,-0.21023839749742643,-0.433643487570197,0.554050912435107,-0.1070670649337417,0.11678988651848096,0.14006323482718383,-0.1077410307042606,-0.22567896295130335,-0.25976061470287654,-0.06912114649052967,0.005379545547268641,-0.48515748372602024,0.18750756178826694,1.865350785360365,-0.1668237036750905,0.011499979072945185,0.20616823533446077,-0.09564156949729627,-0.10248244810314916,-0.44003909979674327,0.07786574700201301,0.23548840010533845,0.18130520255878385,0.15204376835876393,-0.41568178732031613,0.06608393467032384,0.5513710453103161,-0.039920934415029696,0.24633229140140617,-0.20293664051618532,-0.04857676475770245,-0.03318094849691668,-0.08367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x_a{273}=[14.358264698506483,12.769094412510762,36.22893756139706];
std_x_a{273}=[2.0970198793562855,3.6303193201004937,3.0225699625355755];
pred_a{273}=[14.358264698506483];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.2 to 27.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{274}=[8.537545754195108,1.0171832439426498,34.58511241014827];
std_x_f{274}=[1.6606367487744726,3.5230348400117544,2.0609510572029635];
pred_f{274}=[8.537545754195108];
obs{274}=[8.440262857763365];
sqrt_r{274}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{274}=[3.7577326023783826];
L_f{274}=[-0.004265090635762439,0.25483988145858216,0.1564723672079459,-0.14610352221664305,-0.15521699797445926,0.19991685545114182,-0.12788641426542377,0.25525564958298336,-0.030933518872132366,0.25522789444845645,-0.08762800101428861,0.24474813197428952,0.2945775143763819,-0.23039384698251683,0.25447618593560534,-0.11243045116605427,-0.1193138960178074,-0.0030711059833993986,0.10286563238947828,0.17127941637568128,-0.027707446815713598,-0.06486773790060013,0.23688667038338806,-0.13703418114874305,-0.5538502568987712,0.03948210531368738,-0.06899542980493344,-0.14635953566455306,-0.012775085705809694,-0.006139776223594732,0.2908142601212515,-0.09402266683907144,-0.15650367439976653,-0.13629330218435368,-0.12626476934599243,0.3013625327549776,-0.09255830172850886,-0.22909465153997075,-0.04373590141367819,-0.16009236359942167,0.24686479789767438,-0.04004166641095844,-0.04758724786774004,-0.018398171173128024,0.1729127393029922,-0.047360194900000964,-0.04798558248965271,0.20324413490056056,-0.11930093584013181,0.23921920532212929,-0.11285778615273162,0.22919158635535106,0.22036132652615617,-0.0722585502603736,-0.19879221372063904,-0.09707633058978092,0.18476652626671858,-0.08239863715836193,-0.07465370495749976,0.25696306848091566,0.14652609718093157,0.055037920348168325,-0.038365050313849916,0.25332075833543394,0.0026145068631746207,0.04389984822138189,-0.12330686643159078,-0.03218524755607093,0.21311526103411582,-0.15399621405104,-0.15964507425588648,-0.097839471245443,-0.21153003546713714,-0.07727857162415974,-0.0522283947835631,-0.03794772958915802,-0.04263821700977346,0.044250219723983984,0.03885789388218749,-0.23863484709359734,-0.2400635416607176,-0.10383027138369122,0.111884532646581,-0.12321787962853879,-0.05187321530947528,-0.014366345142881296,-0.14357058435841802,-0.08177299175599767,0.2950504660722774,0.1508103726562198,0.06824037575444639,0.07864737560529227,0.009321846169855878,-0.15828289219412436,-0.26675945292286707,0.2702624891664068,-0.10363794545300702,-0.137591665289801,0.25574087739698786,-0.126497871500059;0.1555851831555937,-0.18014387001077287,0.24256690720581114,-0.1299062551243658,-0.15278417452463858,0.19545917466791132,-0.08605592857521148,-0.19943953669154985,0.11906789360104755,-0.1392994825219761,0.008798753000088895,0.04612003645308013,0.3114666314578479,-0.4596787084051201,-0.19128983557938922,-0.045953546875084406,-0.06754054626077374,0.15725671782475534,0.2424776123297248,0.23067386956948052,0.12351460086227985,0.056256970381685784,0.45025515072504857,-0.1110683454739722,-2.8884699684383763,0.2058171915206187,0.05068946758541897,-0.12855527512301432,0.14587572623217018,0.15281129813666963,0.32705571996048743,-0.010211273855428056,-0.15568162389482001,-0.10607094178966812,-0.07871931967409396,0.2710691155503634,5.762927659414873E-4,-0.4573581086759813,0.0977624606613091,-0.1657098265110431,0.027434065392275407,0.10492933211197901,0.09140238231599793,0.13598458395598603,0.22809368092949822,0.0901011102623981,0.08946884346289284,0.18760098887589324,-0.06262877883863227,0.08280401693153494,-0.048936934963350054,0.12095772659227501,0.467204048092534,0.041077245068549255,-0.34020307235653185,-0.018269706149043222,0.2147603482178608,0.022003488207471052,0.03279063162076177,-0.06693563284754095,0.24032644914855772,0.2173576874582694,0.10801015458724215,-0.2391165369002556,0.1636780469313071,0.20871173644751206,-0.07670819377655816,0.11787993440021292,0.16679444841798563,-0.18693275986976038,-0.1617057432062369,-0.011860955833040535,-0.386868357160914,0.033550979623685265,0.08126566356035746,0.10719557373154683,0.099837481968292,0.2083542302221314,0.20393670047577905,-0.49106654417214884,-0.49707626790218523,-0.02836154127186995,0.24334846126607879,-0.07252501694889767,0.08356111834238054,0.1444671795251238,-0.12547251976527626,0.024196143352224513,0.3064977129424436,0.24309476096582128,0.22744918902440203,0.23602211912972812,0.17144049361275834,-0.1596766834039884,-0.5009465842649647,0.3872797957690226,-0.02424531191712246,-0.10866773656723924,-0.10625344255775995,-0.08363043790951327;-0.11828351825231292,0.5170109718565686,0.09921360937975932,-0.13454659680177256,-0.13282761634745083,0.2063979959846254,-0.13917168670219465,0.5289650858740509,-0.13502876201515887,0.49776610090118656,-0.146282346096991,0.37735844927521517,0.2983682871347476,-0.031581443880416234,0.5236444800636594,-0.14427957489976678,-0.13950929591715147,-0.11631860044125301,0.004139752538700987,0.13285966621916923,-0.13313104928449168,-0.14457476794013777,0.096535365300618,-0.13515600010072973,0.4283527194886533,-0.080125956683603,-0.14607084204204238,-0.1375783991843453,-0.1253714718040487,-0.11772152064995606,0.2817666851564959,-0.14004217368486765,-0.13267205475526322,-0.13709206605245103,-0.1417558520860397,0.33642421910718784,-0.14673576750012213,-0.03294524170453228,-0.13996870476893183,-0.13041928174284556,0.3916618900981855,-0.1397895069036652,-0.14310242717655167,-0.1269416526656866,0.13818482527580905,-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k{274}=[0.7338820757583785;0.9360986645950137;0.6408767256300735];
x_a{274}=[8.466151580225993,0.9261168545049603,34.52276606602329];
L_a{274}=[0.0032170059235565626,-0.19221664396450916,-0.11802153228823341,0.11020068189931845,0.11707465199769171,-0.15079016206889,0.0964601663525331,-0.1925302430490884,0.02333205128483941,-0.1925093083398861,0.06609467943510486,-0.18460479684505962,-0.2221893248291971,0.1737778710442914,-0.19194232138810774,0.08480228400226623,0.08999422123260052,0.002316425835743083,-0.07758788194384691,-0.12918996197729748,0.020898740060853294,0.048927423798261316,-0.17867517643003605,0.10336000102525915,0.41774951797434884,-0.0297799454960259,0.05204079475350308,0.11039378372264906,0.009635792038024484,0.00463101447716006,-0.21935083620973098,0.07091794805805032,0.11804514618771145,0.10280118241608456,0.09523701736058122,-0.22730702247725193,0.06981342962286642,0.17279793420555595,0.03298843235361544,0.12075196660467763,-0.1862013225452697,0.03020200249744559,0.03589336578046883,0.01387708508472994,-0.13042191927456612,0.0357221078156198,0.03619381539518657,-0.15329981042392307,0.08998444583228339,-0.180434524438239,0.08512460755899375,-0.17287104868351405,-0.1662106982705889,0.054502050265029446,0.14994188487670795,0.07322121783905151,-0.13936280849252014,0.062150356573618636,0.056308630126165694,-0.19381808829734296,-0.11051941514073263,-0.04151314260374212,0.028937390704508948,-0.19107082351117496,-0.001972029385609652,-0.03311209159009434,0.09300597656694651,0.02427618563855098,-0.16074524920957375,0.11615385817443913,0.12041459218744231,0.07379682764888432,0.15954957003774492,0.05828847354247848,0.039394017559145685,0.02862262054884115,0.032160488112537106,-0.033376364332592494,-0.02930912505065271,0.17999376384410226,0.18107137725912356,0.07831547477211094,-0.08439051711126536,0.09293885699154135,0.039126118335038644,0.010836022343108981,0.10829017710826265,0.061678454535107445,-0.22254605544460185,-0.11375089150528753,-0.051471284381870125,-0.059320913622079266,-0.007031136477020854,0.1193871467857183,0.20120715208767448,-0.20384936753121286,0.0781704101741684,0.10378049145259818,-0.19289623310304832,0.09541283801117628;0.16512892434904344,-0.7503840084071005,-0.10756205934827875,0.19702095992596044,0.19453572650428788,-0.25188295509503067,0.20010794088011824,-0.7706100148425591,0.1882860002088902,-0.7104078546491441,0.20487875091792915,-0.5015383906755806,-0.34769205910893913,0.05585998372194128,-0.7607161540030771,0.20562542760074756,0.19944110585892114,0.16412875014159667,0.012301267425345177,-0.15258795561852354,0.1855139167321915,0.20140767295688936,-0.07981214851603481,0.19556494118444612,-1.6491519883123855,0.11747041836488484,0.20507646233480134,0.1989448060859832,0.17446178034273827,0.16654991245176928,-0.32368215901674946,0.2001776897708081,0.19451739691174577,0.19890452380569512,0.20381589080528006,-0.40327200955958675,0.20768853314724908,0.05527345060860218,0.19562770189544942,0.19251939197949552,-0.5249606999507241,0.19452820205775515,0.19788555384584622,0.17715308401946292,-0.15882293442237194,0.19607621878811307,0.1968433448294505,-0.2671863974256264,0.2043238730575925,-0.4524826578588901,0.2035982617511258,-0.3918907379985798,-0.025885466061460215,0.20276593156831127,0.10462251308698244,0.1989522603410061,-0.19868078551012758,0.20638204774815924,0.19983881420156477,-0.6419267013358431,-0.08754633691969324,0.0942025865503829,0.19385735980228366,-0.8059574232838029,0.15782771947485985,0.11047964113315624,0.19920829220169947,0.1898989602906986,-0.3100809733209584,0.15765546513790113,0.19552260236087704,0.2070686453906693,0.0864598990342013,0.20647267118079504,0.19813405519174157,0.19210896503001584,0.19524649969920585,0.10933812930790474,0.11698668834131802,0.04291254675344381,0.0400997284018658,0.2039733192871794,-0.007008943609593379,0.20319234852044568,0.1996347458603133,0.17661390081394787,0.19578688996919197,0.2071747331598031,-0.35371927367666794,-0.0943646950772139,0.0747517340903036,0.06003753581811372,0.15058154948053137,0.19450358788615454,0.09596527459566295,-0.217470600218881,0.20765919227579333,0.19921299939907844,-0.6785096863049079,0.1994263714806528;-0.11174963262930042,0.1266102090519489,-0.1404935006934131,0.08927600975162651,0.10495633670826582,-0.09986369437136884,0.05674330664896699,0.13792738903859234,-0.08764030266259773,0.10677092341406948,-0.012041040367212002,0.0024176948262398697,-0.15290835629878466,0.32136933090670733,0.1338008789120206,0.027957728172549344,0.0432730682557559,-0.11161383401415097,-0.1534447712076685,-0.12953103347460554,-0.09068475590877849,-0.04520094068492332,-0.2663620598849744,0.07477287188185461,1.2768210264712727,-0.14061038299621278,-0.04037361650689286,0.08663640597148692,-0.10580073909181795,-0.10831571922114562,-0.16374485854687706,0.003995410404433421,0.10708301622378517,0.07170181987069843,0.051674869926111845,-0.12524670145238137,-0.004941510683287003,0.31801523670943604,-0.07296769544448412,0.11483346484723833,0.013478519201727945,-0.07844786358891223,-0.07020136569039016,-0.09875666050869422,-0.12670803582645032,-0.06816200774447585,-0.06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x_a{274}=[8.466151580225997,0.9261168545049644,34.522766066023294];
std_x_a{274}=[1.2525591397492497,3.2364321482553304,1.8282315311457202];
pred_a{274}=[8.466151580225997];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.3 to 27.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{275}=[2.773437911432807,-0.7783232248606191,26.663390281909187];
std_x_f{275}=[2.0443922385813904,2.726267504146881,1.363404761486934];
pred_f{275}=[2.773437911432807];
obs{275}=[2.646945115765724];
sqrt_r{275}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{275}=[5.193014228577841];
L_f{275}=[0.11608015939862847,-0.48333433707542245,-0.06366120703451307,0.11719350607923475,0.1147037665421031,-0.1612177563621225,0.122660765889713,-0.49599426601403945,0.128890979322372,-0.45960730492154206,0.1324030868683502,-0.32722692735015724,-0.2321876285173624,0.009909613847910234,-0.49011440850800125,0.12850992102647918,0.12406367928943746,0.1149425911654468,0.017830545998273873,-0.09385225723373242,0.12711606707524029,0.13373960693815498,-0.047776451242239136,0.11803270354798373,-0.9687535154433157,0.0869361671329793,0.13505022440799122,0.11928564387203407,0.12167234760994512,0.11638775133732637,-0.2159259117013206,0.12819349816280842,0.11366493965111288,0.12092297802278523,0.12550054699317223,-0.2689727414616666,0.13365598332383327,0.010097400572643892,0.13248652583846532,0.11177433783111196,-0.3417251420029531,0.13177122159661123,0.1337701568485324,0.12269498127196535,-0.09853839758333037,0.1322875164107307,0.13235017128490995,-0.1717463295968418,0.1272397864735372,-0.2952305797559134,0.12766808204391478,-0.2549210494389973,-0.009424258680292756,0.13318550942745883,0.04779761897303372,0.12682998944756582,-0.12554679680950612,0.13409232001967267,0.13098982247970956,-0.4169184026029307,-0.04950906421879323,0.07208891115195153,0.13172273843028778,-0.5177160662820544,0.11161240966714359,0.08226520286499454,0.12312364348295662,0.1293279891999031,-0.20080752017207493,0.0908854625216671,0.11441313261868057,0.13278449170778428,0.03384311579520267,0.13520579609079378,0.13282897590412546,0.13120482267811182,0.13186025271889984,0.08139866055824069,0.08637273267504557,2.2518208068439326E-4,-0.0010657367405886987,0.12914844722182378,0.004728640250754281,0.12562618966276878,0.13371269896514631,0.1224341761236656,0.11712333553267264,0.1347311976658787,-0.23553364440805388,-0.05431717536090702,0.05933514939699965,0.04985764505030657,0.10667479411402804,0.11369833005539676,0.028350488323898984,-0.14273872607417415,0.1319912467428141,0.12019564446174934,-0.4393994952995161,0.12260908015479444;0.1851676993450508,-0.6129524732553852,-0.0026973753754910203,0.08826263867375375,0.07807593159756945,-0.1360753859953532,0.11007127231515546,-0.6312128960619772,0.18721749720951444,-0.5767610189796284,0.15335186537720874,-0.37702156802827813,-0.2016768937298673,-0.13056464899226658,-0.623154845205753,0.13072134534951477,0.1183612485095652,0.184572755304731,0.09714802091236148,-0.04384783282242624,0.18665542471689306,0.17122685000037113,0.06915189931125951,0.09662906377880075,-1.6236102616175658,0.1681068699218488,0.17063991176986756,0.09213787558077637,0.18805546643545548,0.1844954343259473,-0.17769193299991168,0.14206568126381275,0.07622436133093484,0.10070527062248082,0.11543335965074898,-0.25810573936318215,0.15135892946730709,-0.1286838953499134,0.18374979688400025,0.07075325446009104,-0.3994324526235669,0.1860240928130701,0.18320723310635734,0.18623792901599392,-0.049676590583996046,0.18119158444586897,0.18156744529207883,-0.1514674200658713,0.12326171107470921,-0.3298216917027302,0.12765871248176064,-0.2712164898514117,0.12241005678829926,0.16552415173151175,-0.05222043125427319,0.13826985151685206,-0.08644146376141756,0.15953830321710336,0.16018491907287366,-0.5107910653673023,0.014276871825739649,0.15427530271185216,0.18653924986877243,-0.6643590219796748,0.18270044182270095,0.16273484506218192,0.11382189783829455,0.1877024949772333,-0.19327102081637687,0.04268640320837423,0.07377337626550251,0.1459046149527627,-0.08221568779446291,0.1647662051565718,0.17820754251755092,0.1861572239788494,0.18452265458021713,0.16219924363589702,0.16670095305108057,-0.14997092313065927,-0.15346811948396338,0.1370344592022082,0.08143758482709719,0.11847889886620853,0.1806625778496324,0.1887146408118781,0.08986441227689423,0.16138947594748723,-0.20735797173909853,0.008592563864958169,0.1421682236705624,0.13324735053696507,0.1804561034154139,0.07413133329621653,-0.12870516146049127,-0.06973921328642181,0.14124811516986321,0.09960855838726027,-0.5459800233340518,0.11077218176503921;-0.03382964430114007,-0.009315773687425194,-0.15881112463027575,0.10267005477100037,0.11102005292434114,-0.16445485036549268,0.08518425754462973,0.0016182958683516261,-0.007619665545877988,-0.028393711747226675,0.046968216513575994,-0.11463397383211774,-0.20986355232495177,0.17787281311296696,-0.0028036454620914983,0.07177711358810127,0.07701237933798415,-0.03440838360351832,-0.12738518723794315,-0.16347313046324577,-0.010157860075076899,0.024851927021469874,-0.23489500674813765,0.09393223100739408,0.8268670227849244,-0.07523355567112498,0.030050546757485436,0.10258292914619396,-0.02568941976590018,-0.031339686843607106,-0.2150212092077839,0.05396199438692439,0.11200911847757851,0.09354996660564195,0.08403567074010683,-0.19475338951663432,0.05246437534256908,0.17540725347598066,0.005063191501113443,0.11570706592182944,-0.10638796380536601,0.0013468795533451217,0.007818821782361535,-0.020673708860068685,-0.16294629810270433,0.008516427072673444,0.00872769517021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k{275}=[0.8074336106192684;1.0368432403913366;0.01480598678305193];
x_a{275}=[2.671303376710009,-0.9094764250062364,26.661517431248388];
L_a{275}=[-0.06496172802069947,0.2704875140663317,0.035626605255112596,-0.06558478819422954,-0.0641914597952039,0.09022199913542972,-0.06864442083659286,0.27757236702253557,-0.07213102382387383,0.25720919831018735,-0.07409649816818269,0.18312540890447215,0.12993873933028333,-0.0055456991350901095,0.2742818330838628,-0.07191777286431252,-0.06942953070533915,-0.06432511278385125,-0.009978475956625207,0.05252236764776949,-0.07113773291820892,-0.07484445245872352,0.026737048324808076,-0.06605442674402962,0.542141764065055,-0.0486519287508957,-0.07557791092445736,-0.06675560745379772,-0.0680912741163126,-0.06513386513669418,0.12083822438934838,-0.07174069371387175,-0.06361010299570684,-0.06767190578015374,-0.07023364235934872,0.15052472503773293,-0.07479765432786419,-0.005650789877567273,-0.07414319296694089,-0.06255206894524876,0.19123901834418977,-0.07374288855788322,-0.07486154904938368,-0.06866356872859698,0.0551448638300155,-0.0740318216836396,-0.07406688511667321,0.09611408538395991,-0.07120696977956997,0.16521935122121953,-0.07144665604895044,0.14266100224361933,0.005274080707311068,-0.07453436387878622,-0.026748894383409407,-0.07097763581687766,0.0702595250597625,-0.07504184063763018,-0.0733055955943764,0.233319285716247,0.02770666736677989,-0.04034298594886991,-0.07371575601188558,0.289728498513405,-0.06246144938199963,-0.04603792553154094,-0.06890346018039589,-0.07237558686508276,0.11237754649468207,-0.05086206573074175,-0.06402881286238805,-0.07430994306327464,-0.018939561205383492,-0.07566497322173811,-0.07433483767299016,-0.07342591576351952,-0.07379271288256951,-0.04555298403989065,-0.04833661495219482,-1.2601823736577955E-4,5.964163095782465E-4,-0.07227511011514788,-0.0026462803244639444,-0.07030395553752161,-0.07482939399883488,-0.06851761481883323,-0.06554551877915928,-0.0753993745702708,0.1318112641042853,0.030397421841320885,-0.03320562150469446,-0.027901743022148706,-0.05969822058998227,-0.06362878920679439,-0.01586573210523089,0.07988061309778996,-0.07386602082940469,-0.06726486942512871,0.2459003386449277,-0.06861549604296992;-0.04731216615677309,0.35504672882905797,0.12480028594527946,-0.14644698502193518,-0.1516473592422246,0.18680392869324208,-0.13558792133278288,0.36214101428751433,-0.07091927390192732,0.3437188027691213,-0.11181878899341303,0.27833308045817634,0.2633375318924816,-0.1504111559790962,0.3584231639970191,-0.12665226018878847,-0.13010763389283664,-0.04562884222072803,0.0614378447980465,0.14411503914274168,-0.06792663590286402,-0.09662052369660604,0.16483632132180903,-0.1397612650061557,0.31656356430967847,-0.006004783154998658,-0.09983230474857314,-0.14676178295980846,-0.05562416972453292,-0.048600461795652194,0.25475429356234175,-0.1146742074949046,-0.15141841603310002,-0.14147356349057177,-0.13591321358390807,0.28058017460019974,-0.11632096680104581,-0.14890649272751547,-0.08158796511854141,-0.1531031147950271,0.28495853600887083,-0.07788109160859405,-0.08470132450949483,-0.05948978958491921,0.1476714621376526,-0.08374761086592186,-0.08349723224507831,0.19249802426119347,-0.13156812891772499,0.2614521817072967,-0.12802889766805656,0.23932735841851205,0.14128451734899664,-0.10121350161851773,-0.1479472469971674,-0.11573926633000235,0.16499773642289636,-0.10901546759525288,-0.10215531607113926,0.32419343727725486,0.1134312893449336,0.009899033282154303,-0.07726883475526604,0.37249828490999504,-0.04083162534689866,-0.002022021198291248,-0.1327643252105213,-0.07130949889473659,0.20889680461745352,-0.13933471230844244,-0.1553678466672729,-0.12002989903204932,-0.14999508307606813,-0.10601758298686678,-0.08781606231651524,-0.0766136034168142,-0.07956083717185031,-8.221525841363577E-4,-0.00628228008149603,-0.15042190717566867,-0.15133371223128578,-0.12161795646852512,0.07196728727412136,-0.13311930557812668,-0.08713090582877153,-0.05649074954523333,-0.14470467715943947,-0.10844380886650025,0.2643576966129713,0.11737643948816706,0.02333458644256176,0.033394811777702246,-0.03318714032703956,-0.1535783167938485,-0.18548418163582833,0.21613117155401973,-0.1230977252317831,-0.14111360639211298,0.3340285508961446,-0.13478349813201795;-0.03714942658051987,0.004507129171696776,-0.15699047458902854,0.09931843183426549,0.10773963417304647,-0.15984417569494552,0.08167627617136682,0.015803260667829288,-0.011305825104436982,-0.01524937946635616,0.043181614015803095,-0.10527559458470143,-0.20322320673414243,0.17758940757132913,0.011213160998743723,0.06810185193478896,0.07346427597429628,-0.03769563251215121,-0.12789512391397292,-0.16078904506864877,-0.01379325882958452,0.021027101319432428,-0.23352864563158413,0.09055660782031466,0.8545724529834765,-0.07771984745932044,0.026188238640934176,0.09917147305617582,-0.029169133315387143,-0.034668265960212476,-0.20884593326882425,0.05029578212690217,0.10875840918845074,0.09009168431442549,0.0804464743251571,-0.18706102464251162,0.04864194119645595,0.1751184774124181,0.0012742027280648357,0.1125104260486292,-0.09661494939259183,-0.002421652197945736,0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x_a{275}=[2.67130337671001,-0.9094764250062342,26.661517431248424];
std_x_a{275}=[1.144099502088749,1.6479779061074162,1.3629631573522696];
pred_a{275}=[2.67130337671001];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.4 to 27.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{276}=[0.6389440050083097,-0.2899339011575903,20.541949440995687];
std_x_f{276}=[1.5354907336008896,2.104574894155152,0.9999539532327731];
pred_f{276}=[0.6389440050083097];
obs{276}=[0.64658677754954];
sqrt_r{276}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{276}=[3.3611863953270107];
L_f{276}=[-0.058775865393985896,0.343867630172593,0.10858097691784266,-0.12704268654644413,-0.1306827079295958,0.17594690001580257,-0.12090795653227218,0.3487796778610238,-0.07808524209347383,0.3338449575990926,-0.10704405871878725,0.2721009442836511,0.24912057373453633,-0.10658749142725701,0.3462638702653406,-0.11623185333145704,-0.1172823758023764,-0.05724461131318029,0.04286815974954655,0.1298069306195613,-0.07574446886258461,-0.0970595153100274,0.1363881882260103,-0.12277228101283919,0.2670484366433015,-0.02255089621182765,-0.09905600785037491,-0.1276158597763661,-0.06595298275037965,-0.05939215319789057,0.23978411804831076,-0.10781764115050509,-0.12983554212286372,-0.12458342072245644,-0.12171376870943434,0.26864308631032513,-0.11068364546206681,-0.1057215834484609,-0.08700583530036174,-0.13028620964142948,0.27904733682502164,-0.08405319488765589,-0.08816081446272413,-0.06905233505307519,0.13336321741456264,-0.08751368851537972,-0.08736500838487297,0.1820144871514291,-0.11898061112468727,0.25546579062474667,-0.11692210897687237,0.23242242514295458,0.11010436319210083,-0.1004520920548575,-0.11257029242872212,-0.10871533987182644,0.15218309309375047,-0.10572374239670213,-0.10005127742405633,0.3164594369764382,0.09708331325515833,-0.007197025789627871,-0.08343395714812057,0.35802920064678145,-0.05304283298468679,-0.01839905015315399,-0.11934041433983891,-0.07864943834022119,0.19959734428359316,-0.1169880827268712,-0.13261190725175567,-0.11308665652143189,-0.11128130552923779,-0.10349706127226746,-0.09089141509912214,-0.08264560300072696,-0.08496407298736937,-0.017618671155540996,-0.02292032513747503,-0.10489673573214554,-0.10535836178859863,-0.11283025971487913,0.053556615330283455,-0.11998912337620844,-0.09017783717158871,-0.06656629516401574,-0.12603087218525721,-0.10555071333043567,0.25097275859104895,0.1008754568805664,0.004933299458909364,0.01510100274756274,-0.04668070014767642,-0.13097893694877072,-0.13396357783932797,0.1964427174109385,-0.1148704116158886,-0.1242585911066403,0.3257500982233788,-0.12048900593715481;-0.06629210511891812,0.43222197408708435,0.17684859251617388,-0.18339144844949723,-0.18970964978711594,0.26496715599991694,-0.17144957806129452,0.43510373734779373,-0.09624491064749247,0.4263505629481643,-0.14491788360035449,0.3750985797680202,0.3739799169477946,-0.1810555448398782,0.43369930845209453,-0.16253818876354137,-0.16492324453153304,-0.06382375853695577,0.08356334876479268,0.20508653870510338,-0.09293395362175129,-0.12686795432993672,0.2341737452703825,-0.17572151162328448,0.041331906406746464,-0.010914491323720773,-0.13133157289624398,-0.18433732378184906,-0.07729038170505272,-0.06792046620476946,0.3633192019248972,-0.14739348331952365,-0.18943171186439048,-0.17840077998763074,-0.17222235950375028,0.3944560912726775,-0.15143928621540573,-0.17925837886624935,-0.10948323939089996,-0.19058820753068131,0.381129562619231,-0.10480601406692508,-0.11256253925239258,-0.08173531345559872,0.2097789007158972,-0.11168302655600686,-0.11198105199976566,0.2718353698791193,-0.16714973284698117,0.3581820080486391,-0.16368129569305123,0.33287585625635246,0.1983533935986443,-0.1330233870933142,-0.17980115637623773,-0.14946849600627343,0.23408167613573613,-0.1421710632446098,-0.13342382035070166,0.41532364152241547,0.15957926992552743,0.010992496775575707,-0.1041392156981993,0.44069010169483386,-0.057584613620118144,-0.005285415293037145,-0.16912018584669086,-0.09685704248159513,0.2945641151967436,-0.1738492690090947,-0.19351323254187175,-0.15520374107666748,-0.18158793692407615,-0.13793269811627348,-0.11701449923866847,-0.10327300294011475,-0.10741883025708422,-0.004048471894883317,-0.011502548896335932,-0.18097292475672302,-0.18216414795662664,-0.15591393417764524,0.09915030000640268,-0.16869941996398297,-0.11604749023127567,-0.0787602039734055,-0.1820555781387967,-0.14197649339176166,0.37551942275556877,0.16566819954678105,0.029161124926583876,0.04390862758518078,-0.048500032698978575,-0.19022680816485812,-0.22167628338572345,0.3108642300607669,-0.1579921444262857,-0.17783122486724376,0.4213708585637594,-0.17071411481380366;-0.04904804806810726,0.11690384554462231,-0.11659254952653786,0.05572240834512045,0.06195175883432353,-0.09644876264124289,0.04185713953134878,0.12849108551571745,-0.02940648668263991,0.09450760772864614,0.012740701201585353,-0.010177679504304581,-0.09538103760713187,0.1081837680387978,0.12352218613061546,0.03167427756684196,0.03591744585149327,-0.04942911434788083,-0.10969710180536428,-0.11344750147092918,-0.03137003336520692,-0.004530798181002718,-0.16451915911668938,0.04856861564564264,0.678554045403896,-0.07840896868325652,-7.707176383740324E-4,0.05561336536945312,-0.043423183701026734,-0.047017171308852454,-0.10429502149004795,0.017743572654706344,0.06281474388089224,0.04831935364356336,0.04169858712359351,-0.07275098840285361,0.01688626443729957,0.10650915471251522,-0.019807512886505136,0.06545292087676717,3.36242902821565E-4,-0.02329302989883557,-0.0176772056926207,-0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k{276}=[0.7024860027428769;0.9465492477172247;-0.020504572702187016];
x_a{276}=[0.6443129457406715,-0.28269964055821495,20.541792729210467];
L_a{276}=[0.05037791999125874,-0.294735532081016,-0.093066835019319,0.10889071994788886,0.11201065199444686,-0.1508074579981102,0.10363252535134339,-0.2989457422375536,0.06692835660205539,-0.28614490744925986,0.09174951299358423,-0.23322293102417438,-0.21352601527257306,0.09135818042316342,-0.29678939536083576,0.09962454773429866,0.10052497066527953,0.049065452789763334,-0.03674312079556615,-0.11126000648783724,0.06492203503191855,0.08319156959923263,-0.1169009284362785,0.10523047357192994,-0.2288923299525517,0.01932880507118623,0.0849028015953347,0.10938199770151417,0.05652956474416245,0.0509061520720387,-0.20552356027833796,0.09241256531260149,0.11128452995532785,0.10678283610666213,0.10432320240249256,-0.23025913472524032,0.09486907250198326,0.09061599410939032,0.07457436790003877,0.1116708057173395,-0.23917681711893962,0.07204360324898407,0.07556432266196415,0.05918607896616978,-0.11430816801508369,0.07500965861778475,0.07488222203018624,-0.15600810314743477,0.10198056068714038,-0.21896462220212626,0.10021617906877858,-0.19921371228715573,-0.09437255857312686,0.08609941210686077,0.09648615375294915,0.09318200008069596,-0.13043904392573544,0.09061784458527916,0.08575586620980817,-0.27124344473044704,-0.08321196727381763,0.00616870865234419,0.07151284272187364,-0.30687368537773096,0.04546402810575493,0.015770178292017007,0.10228895491432864,0.06741194001146131,-0.17107870676822853,0.10027272643352905,0.11366420568434121,0.09692873930697742,0.09538133839282273,0.08870931354484503,0.07790477276791215,0.07083712928242114,0.07282433431472918,0.015101300506193203,0.019645449679206322,0.08990900133303617,0.09030466986776536,0.09670897669319124,-0.04590440079488342,0.10284497585443339,0.07729315145872608,0.05705524656095392,0.10802347447915428,0.09046953805847434,-0.21511355838886656,-0.08646228620788357,-0.004228425456059471,-0.01294335869161591,0.04001092219420073,0.11226455556059675,0.11482274843413849,-0.16837481565360918,0.09845762996354497,0.1065044184213304,-0.27920664843364834,0.10327343477190866;0.08078475198353952,-0.4282497512723204,-0.09485729763350746,0.13451180877784072,0.137302157373618,-0.17531078627760277,0.13110253454897303,-0.43765957285020296,0.09915045981978415,-0.40904108622697327,0.12294212360357348,-0.3057889143010211,-0.24940301036144297,0.08566197842367851,-0.43276861040172937,0.1283127509647529,0.1285564534856034,0.07942138913646049,-0.02370711273273408,-0.11973378095615918,0.09660401997555133,0.11600738860201745,-0.10711508026569477,0.13149576386264583,-0.6269125250846947,0.04551538712122903,0.11653966156524355,0.135000204411422,0.08774602149269584,0.08069854893587779,-0.23670079317395523,0.12240228564655078,0.13546020333960906,0.133348572303607,0.13234616446239372,-0.2777786865902407,0.12552818330770912,0.08529235326275578,0.10823443638934711,0.13543142841012906,-0.3171401269536348,0.10552316867891909,0.10804528036632322,0.09105670495390579,-0.1239404369565455,0.10730546768405463,0.10663539486741688,-0.18362570309535117,0.1305795174677118,-0.281078772382623,0.12889689433167678,-0.248722723041721,-0.07716451809881078,0.11834131659519902,0.10188733434252488,0.12257361515607142,-0.14673127976588446,0.12238507129437849,0.11693791118616806,-0.37656362511186403,-0.08335562341800935,0.02900186042387538,0.10464042728468947,-0.4552186055450925,0.07514628051311491,0.04075515683732702,0.12950941235237803,0.09995013553975789,-0.20489514221185726,0.11889400938542655,0.13832607602825003,0.12777686516208345,0.09687507781485002,0.12105153613071641,0.11042619569224095,0.10353391451155293,0.1051896738940897,0.040039331194169074,0.045851764177397523,0.08151376273609336,0.08147768219695066,0.12642508156769294,-0.03486624925276643,0.1315534650315227,0.1096075942594335,0.08781091184175603,0.13331578142583608,0.1221466646000801,-0.2524982900330934,-0.08675590441692324,0.01681636105627795,0.00612087221451525,0.0683106789603174,0.13752626299651177,0.11354535669964488,-0.1807010966902264,0.1294520131591722,0.13310529517273256,-0.39376474729009725,0.13078964340137283;-0.05223409265748237,0.13554376849988234,-0.11070673514168404,0.04883584595462628,0.05486788296566497,-0.08691126514877714,0.03530312049411537,0.14739727427337054,-0.03363922849621091,0.1126042348683558,0.006938198051361339,0.0045720095983158935,-0.08187703812148343,0.10240601388612759,0.1422920013083233,0.02537373456441381,0.029559957512538912,-0.05253215473567743,-0.10737336114223725,-0.10641109858359432,-0.03547588963081975,-0.009792072371149324,-0.15712600809731528,0.04191353776590096,0.693029854836309,-0.07963137792180536,-0.006140215062891278,0.04869573316049298,-0.04699827600186228,-0.05023662281465421,-0.09129712028000371,0.011899136168333293,0.05577679005892343,0.04156609989122919,0.03510088768267941,-0.058188738304540306,0.010886471369296425,0.1007783385574785,-0.02452381045089851,0.0583905378643557,0.015462472890442388,-0.027849274626095964,-0.022456110844098084,-0.04270137223336985,-0.10468333386324316,-0.021867390203538815,-0.02173511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x_a{276}=[0.6443129457406715,-0.282699640558214,20.54179272921047];
std_x_a{276}=[1.3160985177528324,1.813723844380977,0.999525602230836];
pred_a{276}=[0.6443129457406715];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.5 to 27.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{277}=[0.2106935893021411,0.10520400860894874,16.071542372063206];
std_x_f{277}=[2.0181214236896468,3.045382463907617,1.0825722987011897];
pred_f{277}=[0.2106935893021411];
obs{277}=[0.22781301630980216];
sqrt_r{277}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{277}=[5.080651485209085];
L_f{277}=[0.08852911641915792,-0.46280360003018683,-0.12653604079764177,0.15704676876904408,0.16070129266210423,-0.22008135647772673,0.15220847718544572,-0.4695804147311013,0.11139523149864836,-0.4469877741073494,0.1411180125098485,-0.35620123223376743,-0.3107418399688837,0.11013321570333294,-0.465906720589463,0.14874508325412458,0.1486455499769348,0.08674085565385359,-0.039927436588087666,-0.15641850513876768,0.10832432478026077,0.13187454910037288,-0.15234593133230676,0.15297652257304542,-0.5018625165311706,0.044970504864553465,0.13325960345576426,0.15773350494611024,0.09679548915425652,0.08923097899914996,-0.2980684871960415,0.1409281892102414,0.1588023748740113,0.1554085021365291,0.1531802919416304,-0.340108025053671,0.14390066931640846,0.10955575664996137,0.12144722267834124,0.15901037064221418,-0.36669378839991146,0.11825724990525913,0.12222817057567005,0.10084904091110652,-0.16116455436354368,0.12112195746181428,0.12083522390583579,-0.22936299013241898,0.1512821700414604,-0.33240738926795427,0.1492248570856584,-0.2996209607666071,-0.11645655318188579,0.13492362339649597,0.12562805047720554,0.14123045881678056,-0.1869095132576987,0.13978735193806066,0.13365313831089662,-0.42103936928622426,-0.11219017591855211,0.024698019501957096,0.11739297306745423,-0.4833063210238505,0.08127790094740614,0.03912154672136386,0.150656533209471,0.11227709597860927,-0.25310154917756755,0.140935021503001,0.16250232034392548,0.14736979855788632,0.1209628743929195,0.13824219216893646,0.12523558292132667,0.11652026942528526,0.11818588427394171,0.038309291662343675,0.04525640100250349,0.10653274241228007,0.10626068254856004,0.1456930708005186,-0.054227774155536826,0.1525735697749276,0.12413090983181686,0.09743937696012182,0.15594701199091654,0.13998479809985526,-0.3145467317320025,-0.11663909161887243,0.009822119168336968,-0.0038470897552762336,0.07347531270529192,0.16034421068780585,0.1417133918212245,-0.23662944435717997,0.1487941597390114,0.15520931005982416,-0.43505763923550567,0.15222269234634003;0.1400093862581796,-0.6887927866129095,-0.19615411062236973,0.2344502072436096,0.23913691390704592,-0.3424491209325788,0.22863311783411275,-0.6977712457736739,0.1739771247990612,-0.6692048331543214,0.21553822101999429,-0.5452800161099957,-0.48080866770009995,0.15504644261577183,-0.6928275427018279,0.22424322829647797,0.2243348280985914,0.13709703880000787,-0.059216856939907886,-0.24265517221565094,0.16865073982852194,0.20288843093750045,-0.23457570821744214,0.22931782631969733,-0.7155914794178018,0.07359768081312763,0.20439812114543782,0.23559830252915712,0.15268743777865082,0.1406976006124482,-0.4610026753080058,0.21366560482086155,0.23610886138114578,0.2333411910943651,0.23093700817853302,-0.5232314511697927,0.21984551230580274,0.15388400656985232,0.18835282026454211,0.23570206201071853,-0.5607663034053485,0.18423578577357183,0.18887725928773996,0.15834384481095498,-0.25030370584743594,0.18751016544108798,0.18698146624521522,-0.35688766307549613,0.22824285062174177,-0.5114859629988249,0.2252386944347304,-0.4629019591072612,-0.17666504636587205,0.2068384665881264,0.18105330863600516,0.21432833926615677,-0.291474615084795,0.21350818314282524,0.20477082017800818,-0.6348667477262757,-0.1732023352494235,0.041737526931748564,0.18277238865158243,-0.714311495132994,0.12907061709900683,0.06453761950419948,0.22690923229852863,0.1749657920146658,-0.39275755738762086,0.20852334819269291,0.24075189301292466,0.22378433603367395,0.17240554627341131,0.212307408270429,0.19481569205317337,0.18121987933670586,0.18355224985412288,0.06312458711987165,0.07370837314208807,0.14863230550194445,0.14814037672463565,0.22037196088309327,-0.08151593876503331,0.22982059225747,0.19223835343352805,0.1527137278815619,0.23247046009081945,0.21400556307014415,-0.4855362609606298,-0.1806570498567485,0.01873587719295202,-0.0016171660395938863,0.116960729334573,0.23888060751072207,0.19962422778896985,-0.3670147352452287,0.22556822223466977,0.23259121381676084,-0.6540854412322732,0.22860204295718412;-0.0649247095928003,0.2363657222824742,-0.10947255719395745,0.02893063923323614,0.033701234464763224,-0.06761543004386951,0.016953753650889095,0.25182176116421395,-0.046116638893540084,0.2076420526955421,-0.00814427565048942,0.0644271186600926,-0.025798508658825298,0.05702441862194994,0.24418973714892717,0.00787532195102932,0.011421537316868265,-0.0647875590084489,-0.1157951988931505,-0.10065847915379601,-0.04847077219353309,-0.02345043852953481,-0.1401809230958754,0.022164325611712544,0.7006703364802535,-0.09187134734136461,-0.020004520366908984,0.02863109024335693,-0.05915652304636578,-0.06391347900678741,-0.03958434018482559,-0.00392714228998864,0.03437937665100382,0.022646885661992074,0.016809258804729756,0.006564482213451142,-0.004241681361855706,0.05586551498250711,-0.037162604464014655,0.03625680254281877,0.0784008748950708,-0.04010280689346428,-0.034952982428928754,-0.0552826428222902,-0.09798850360016233,-0.034818068092246836,-0.035202628630711184,-0.06120186209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k{277}=[0.8031748481644083;1.2117404293735772;-0.1820286847052279];
x_a{277}=[0.22444348248968093,0.12594831044184157,16.068426145282093];
L_a{277}=[-0.05043881154674434,0.26367893987052066,0.07209297656880537,-0.08947623894112143,-0.0915583769923179,0.12538973067091055,-0.08671965797359135,0.2675399800956164,-0.06346661207103589,0.25466798962674836,-0.0804009474705999,0.20294302656644497,0.17704287289698173,-0.0627475878737588,0.265446919936593,-0.08474641480930913,-0.08468970645827288,-0.04941996315667825,0.022748362697713707,0.08911829036859592,-0.06171698560336621,-0.07513455232504909,0.08679797146061419,-0.08715724617204414,0.2859324696503204,-0.025621613676631034,-0.07592367683503305,-0.08986750181618947,-0.055148516482538205,-0.05083869257838493,0.16982232356778415,-0.0802927970448042,-0.0904764825791523,-0.08854284860263098,-0.08727334226784615,0.19377404039588028,-0.08198634567564715,-0.06241858483445298,-0.06919365995414747,-0.09059498663498433,0.20892108310325763,-0.06737619647943097,-0.06963859926241622,-0.057457997717962436,0.09182231693208966,-0.06900834249450592,-0.06884497816445137,0.13067787303232772,-0.0861919013059581,0.18938665991704584,-0.08501976241349417,0.17070683394159497,0.06635026279391863,-0.07687173993105653,-0.07157565577637917,-0.08046501292515175,0.10649031750031818,-0.0796428134178968,-0.07614789041806622,0.23988407724119407,0.06391952579487584,-0.014071514566335932,-0.0668837811215292,0.27536021403458755,-0.046307484979190315,-0.02228921288622525,-0.08583544933239513,-0.06396904785842046,0.14420274207541653,-0.08029668969324405,-0.09258449923896679,-0.08396285649061702,-0.06891770608857735,-0.07876247002854815,-0.07135205027922885,-0.06638656465395383,-0.06733553643701187,-0.0218264365533423,-0.025784500893936288,-0.060696244754658235,-0.060541240652610656,-0.08300755320973202,0.03089587462141017,-0.08692766678541308,-0.0707226709288381,-0.05551536681394225,-0.08884966062290361,-0.07975530691323712,0.17921068193380868,0.0664542627229318,-0.0055960799989888555,0.002191851031823839,-0.04186201783979792,-0.09135493216945202,-0.08074016044481674,0.1348178817670858,-0.08477437577483897,-0.0884293603851393,0.24787088321851158,-0.08672775695673335;-0.06964988916286677,0.4072428609718771,0.10351514737262446,-0.13747614963358404,-0.14144427724862568,0.1787590374583015,-0.13183494431787288,0.41431360818892393,-0.08983487814455135,0.3893749497693108,-0.1186648236776293,0.2982943385760331,0.2551063808858839,-0.10577678863420956,0.41055707699877075,-0.12802264353090945,-0.12769532382533375,-0.068327184115347,0.03534138291468841,0.1277832979320121,-0.08788858149908603,-0.10942376113220495,0.12621788002132886,-0.13296916101722073,0.4729455334077116,-0.03290381662168198,-0.11119422895945245,-0.1379544188156026,-0.07654869312342452,-0.07062386241329015,0.24489867759249365,-0.12008789042836125,-0.13997521353029851,-0.13470533721328418,-0.13183255641543426,0.2822301300801554,-0.12094756551771982,-0.10557165600202356,-0.09926483298393561,-0.14087459933800103,0.3076570705874214,-0.09582720741198737,-0.10058987554282324,-0.08049211898902298,0.1313746058554941,-0.09933717774020427,-0.09918681955905857,0.1863017447108126,-0.13003148259132827,0.27573857054954526,-0.12816340282846855,0.24667604275440047,0.09913344282884204,-0.1126947024153522,-0.11646559927788523,-0.12014100664612616,0.15117425236091311,-0.11754352171772732,-0.11175351971642573,0.36226066818884783,0.09249229657176544,-0.016753612283943738,-0.09524377900462846,0.43027976671251617,-0.06341595127127309,-0.02811206989422293,-0.1298834351058541,-0.09093468843066238,0.2066507452691722,-0.12524632764894247,-0.14409458592666732,-0.12522451477538815,-0.11406504807873509,-0.11508496855537276,-0.10177375370498684,-0.09472950599211656,-0.09634173151750225,-0.02760147744166698,-0.03347019845264519,-0.1036640969271,-0.10351171933147904,-0.12466597571257446,0.046909107107057035,-0.13151210122563547,-0.10173494784141858,-0.07804729173837886,-0.13685139536844623,-0.11751374409901531,0.25938973094409284,0.0955737363943812,-0.004525378213490154,0.007493712767238891,-0.057047342204167344,-0.14085492347092432,-0.13598882527734424,0.19338346880230484,-0.12681387508640593,-0.13498357741544034,0.3762407734408483,-0.13189968428097495;-0.03342951374390584,0.07171830895564431,-0.15448912968516326,0.0848017349798407,0.09087246682632531,-0.14591176581816773,0.07110357455410764,0.0847634223151369,-0.006486573954547697,0.04862129142511977,0.04205999184452201,-0.06229534310834179,-0.1363482972947808,0.09620550771835432,0.07843835493920041,0.06079300280156315,0.06430380812169742,-0.033928556372706135,-0.12999981863805024,-0.1563060632820691,-0.009933215713241983,0.02346536634234219,-0.19437964480654307,0.07658738701344449,0.5221272888739679,-0.07587260121780921,0.02740403265324765,0.0847464998526553,-0.02472047520681987,-0.03216858791287116,-0.14562544575934677,0.04620959350201226,0.09087504836025177,0.07793515023925048,0.07130481337516321,-0.11443264610000821,0.04695254655123926,0.09484116674127321,0.00604356564445511,0.09282647100839109,-0.05205442782755943,0.001968495712598575,0.008531018386194533,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x_a{277}=[0.22444348248968113,0.12594831044184202,16.06842614528209];
std_x_a{277}=[1.1498098059171562,1.736652423351463,1.0166114191298337];
pred_a{277}=[0.22444348248968113];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.6 to 27.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{278}=[0.2648345292704951,0.40827188834506006,12.677637600147365];
std_x_f{278}=[2.110949083402774,3.5565523723984946,1.035812493502255];
pred_f{278}=[0.2648345292704951];
obs{278}=[0.2601824126934827];
sqrt_r{278}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{278}=[5.464276987401543];
L_f{278}=[-0.0903933331752205,0.48144424840577665,0.13605131544580193,-0.16623431881566056,-0.17070979359916705,0.23403476301951415,-0.16061149154371623,0.4873501485986995,-0.11479352325540049,0.465612985198161,-0.14715421714687188,0.3742784667713859,0.32998314726435835,-0.1236456173966051,0.483729246475633,-0.15671785983855774,-0.15618051111689918,-0.08887008411265306,0.0449821096421692,0.1676475194382688,-0.11174628639309932,-0.1368074331998721,0.1671883517948044,-0.16197768172434068,0.4844397376662973,-0.044416901951889375,-0.13883066216127313,-0.16696912746544448,-0.09883226284735633,-0.09114789900406295,0.3173761584631231,-0.14794085454128464,-0.16906563907352873,-0.16326206945850966,-0.16198016322857806,0.36047936534043895,-0.1496318019357267,-0.12338970116159936,-0.12581454627031186,-0.16908100577785135,0.3850946945126188,-0.12179621004953603,-0.12641985575184683,-0.10321891500080567,0.17304374291317656,-0.12554873666470828,-0.12506377810976377,0.24314745581863625,-0.15880611406049538,0.35048618191449493,-0.15676335370468694,0.3168627244129619,0.12991728226947397,-0.1404500514588828,-0.137708163525285,-0.14817604146140156,0.1986702169434807,-0.14561989373864093,-0.1390409307498325,0.4401215255902429,0.12099284644139716,-0.023332789791691604,-0.12136583499726435,0.5009206785852107,-0.08238332507355269,-0.037530119384595245,-0.15871578234198616,-0.11550888249547701,0.26847517603904203,-0.15114777610773947,-0.17290342295628566,-0.1543573814166743,-0.13441396090670743,-0.14341209123937335,-0.12867423421517354,-0.12124100578388315,-0.12269479548798293,-0.03687695738393628,-0.04485728481180433,-0.12049770971652872,-0.11969854512307057,-0.15331651119711528,0.06003759176995872,-0.16053313755378582,-0.12839921091414197,-0.10000485432932903,-0.16536096598074948,-0.14600128442812194,0.334594494505948,0.12559724281801102,-0.007276120378971413,0.008087413627423334,-0.07409160966748884,-0.16999630635080135,-0.15733157718558333,0.25401610369810496,-0.15612858362905263,-0.16431231012860162,0.4537998779290039,-0.1612816118647826;-0.1540897413292717,0.7949517724165006,0.2411745042801618,-0.2816387879244344,-0.28858951761916557,0.41049905911035955,-0.27226599094295917,0.8021389627146067,-0.19534261832141264,0.772680826023035,-0.249775313267517,0.6401876331297607,0.5736706028628009,-0.21061975394711532,0.7973495756837106,-0.26554991488505514,-0.2652742684932009,-0.15097452867679567,0.08120370184798249,0.2964760476547517,-0.19027121159562485,-0.23314159539586837,0.29806202454686453,-0.2733053137351837,0.7264037665636134,-0.07458419885447086,-0.2361101512364095,-0.28214761343494554,-0.16842241437049452,-0.15528240929743037,0.5534845989723396,-0.251799156070611,-0.28590649984177835,-0.2767990459806098,-0.27454670488266447,0.6225709664725152,-0.2540178585432058,-0.21003485457438187,-0.21391141327430946,-0.2864669319374865,0.6554720772699671,-0.20722774649971018,-0.2155078021333899,-0.17574479334602977,0.30500922506429157,-0.21373255533531382,-0.2129836104556657,0.4261442756577338,-0.26993449809508424,0.6017038912531327,-0.2660343094450072,0.5469626917392182,0.23330969234895826,-0.2386897680572958,-0.23450211943816893,-0.2519791606177998,0.349605097142218,-0.2482707780495613,-0.23667604470937126,0.7384189484603798,0.2149495608907029,-0.03779520162262948,-0.20608915734566785,0.8201233114420082,-0.14052655304718392,-0.06309412006060135,-0.26877356762525173,-0.19719595751215185,0.46811691588328486,-0.25550463144396696,-0.29228357720859033,-0.261925821045006,-0.2289498889281991,-0.24386070683446384,-0.2188038315029533,-0.20504714665468612,-0.20821421730891512,-0.06256102131709788,-0.07540473980531325,-0.2051886614014316,-0.2047924160448186,-0.2599386478278919,0.10776506885446255,-0.27158033938439385,-0.21894612680474135,-0.17067457054924892,-0.2804065867666137,-0.24765492964600905,0.5809009727786288,0.22287394784590814,-0.010120447561420928,0.016493032957522424,-0.12599840920683433,-0.2873144288742088,-0.2666492790316283,0.44716723991177065,-0.26476579455042215,-0.2775548950250516,0.7573704434379085,-0.273473768664903;-0.05941669853621777,0.2308001319633635,-0.1341556220605902,0.044181628861367145,0.04923528896013876,-0.09405246846280342,0.031620039084710595,0.24566309062121727,-0.03586890233998921,0.19956935561434708,0.006768313847811914,0.04623847265195551,-0.038304654891463404,0.04417434689403068,0.23780978961368343,0.02345726267226091,0.02562129848870133,-0.06017578758240518,-0.1320833240792245,-0.12625523278900985,-0.03897634507121874,-0.00896439081615427,-0.15640952438406014,0.03637172283436046,0.5846205873137096,-0.09542399851738213,-0.006012368374654086,0.04426549188719585,-0.05116790755269821,-0.05865905624669746,-0.05229087468403472,0.010157793430242604,0.049076587714804325,0.03837762106002924,0.03240268321898426,-0.002879135739791137,0.010939717869096737,0.0429395143502688,-0.024829055435162332,0.050752214152556256,0.06123024946277693,-0.02848581066650852,-0.022971068381689237,-0.047434462341032824,-0.1241714822052380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k{278}=[0.8169931717763197;1.375731609354886;0.11873952315317143];
x_a{278}=[0.26103378179276854,0.40187182451966025,12.677085210043359];
L_a{278}=[0.048565749613863576,-0.25866620910843036,-0.07309647612805253,0.08931293958574472,0.09171748403724303,-0.12574017687469705,0.08629195549522632,-0.2618392801739496,0.06167527307471044,-0.2501605246956017,0.0790617472941932,-0.2010891031957521,-0.1772904963662598,0.06643124978802356,-0.2598938731432747,0.0842000186693683,0.08391131658753645,0.04774735150889719,-0.024167599503718773,-0.09007221181502184,0.06003807996245105,0.07350271654681863,-0.08982551418788547,0.08702597036011146,-0.2602755997159833,0.02386392959575404,0.07458973953512289,0.08970773123293774,0.05309974488839897,0.04897115622764239,-0.17051712226887225,0.07948438504182329,0.09083412688894717,0.08771603511282788,0.08702730360128377,-0.19367524111708956,0.08039288265867205,0.06629375332279953,0.06759655316727327,0.0908423829791732,-0.20690035265182652,0.06543761617593293,0.0679217686194144,0.055456567484093895,-0.09297144817391166,0.06745374127731137,0.06719318693192743,-0.13063616578498918,0.08532197786824101,-0.18830618980476482,0.08422446122097882,-0.17024126885526847,-0.06980083574285721,0.07545979103552099,0.07398665315936517,0.07961074423971576,-0.10673981888803737,0.07823739926040213,0.07470271082697515,-0.23646469336465342,-0.06500599191260226,0.012536039849527779,0.06520638798360412,-0.2691303373603765,0.04426220161750265,0.02016385851683943,0.08527344522242264,0.06205961511097746,-0.14424402463150215,0.08120737217325111,0.09289605827896212,0.08293180120266745,0.07221677241781711,0.07705121019523663,0.06913298161642333,0.06513932082158445,0.06592040040212915,0.019812933276370463,0.024100534696568327,0.0647399691279576,0.06431060087498124,0.082372571437728,-0.03225647895588914,0.08624985814000631,0.06898521947173109,0.05372974471595756,0.08884371211492413,0.07844230955720978,-0.17976804119894663,-0.0674798022445673,0.003909251136922596,-0.004345135768938038,0.03980730035282928,0.09133414776852017,0.08452975142688854,-0.1364755790803519,0.08388341743519577,0.0882802993525269,-0.24381368041358406,0.08665199195566947;0.07990291516289894,-0.45131733483029324,-0.11100864465525602,0.14867624188470954,0.15331074969445646,-0.19532455626953854,0.14349375869072606,-0.4594181887559922,0.10181249822417672,-0.43260739022822653,0.1311488652609655,-0.32867156954937127,-0.28052550335182186,0.10944993993355422,-0.4548344895546084,0.14013075928931434,0.13901542196116512,0.07907503730051983,-0.03523722316349388,-0.13749720070021654,0.09899581162134985,0.12099884392459133,-0.13472262003727903,0.14599096296757386,-0.5276194798983425,0.04039362656467166,0.12326762918809411,0.15006954590009022,0.08741529974452057,0.08066352025799618,-0.2680769898907678,0.1311613161440212,0.1517377004409719,0.1458220035491614,0.14475599545498136,-0.31056780984759264,0.13331980896797624,0.10937237319772646,0.11177278126779112,0.1512170466766922,-0.34138606928580484,0.10805456181970347,0.11174329970827566,0.09144823154730383,-0.14293271568828428,0.1112635630671918,0.11075714168724965,-0.20326850411032088,0.14115184191389898,-0.3055664780228682,0.13976413038990054,-0.27326981904798753,-0.10299486612495026,0.12487997199887857,0.12196995512819853,0.1315901176921191,-0.16467366873057884,0.1286816428547817,0.12324603808661912,-0.40088194171278185,-0.09825315617795839,0.022604180444055783,0.10807907985553848,-0.4765625851473823,0.07273135444972749,0.03405654387439246,0.14207893922328654,0.10181094171532258,-0.2268593333253217,0.13575729476221388,0.15529513056741026,0.1376445063025868,0.11899479545718833,0.1273765849373771,0.1142829662561311,0.10879795698986429,0.1093941739907536,0.03289886403627542,0.0407130629954064,0.10673234214357608,0.10505986584086853,0.13693727740858316,-0.047648556179293804,0.14397658269988572,0.11342874419442539,0.08819852002782252,0.14764767731216719,0.13028476119803245,-0.2852320910983003,-0.10224773383951721,0.008714555824636957,-0.0044420883878039654,0.06579552028872336,0.1527389016050923,0.14062006708702532,-0.2103801787777746,0.1393894761364746,0.14778481301324684,-0.41733830136075173,0.1440206579475785;-0.039220770591919904,0.12323452940778583,-0.16455258239995726,0.08132215910559143,0.08737574213085839,-0.14634116105079392,0.06750430174327927,0.1367779755468203,-0.010221416594063806,0.09554081757201642,0.03964591512441235,-0.03738385523991277,-0.11203040026325241,0.0717995919409144,0.12973366648373733,0.058471599390532696,0.06051557927273123,-0.040320188147170935,-0.14213335114653922,-0.16371150421615652,-0.014009681394117016,0.02160150343838325,-0.1937632073092008,0.07256122347317472,0.47638572428129805,-0.08550025171195641,0.02500556127767115,0.08157019510770722,-0.02908653065327571,-0.03829454112264611,-0.12319993182804548,0.04321114740427967,0.0868496993442544,0.0748540831507635,0.06859273828232328,-0.08341843031043823,0.044370867976279545,0.07050758188570977,0.003280777685984965,0.08852875905349118,-0.024808669879122548,-0.0012737653126670932,0.005274004654213755,-0.024373007512234427,-0.16283339277237863,0.004597422437734496,0.0042448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x_a{278}=[0.2610337817927686,0.4018718245196611,12.677085210043366];
std_x_a{278}=[1.134152498098808,1.913620717031764,1.003903051241278];
pred_a{278}=[0.2610337817927686];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.7 to 27.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{279}=[0.5295973185189996,0.966905433264107,10.197077558101434];
std_x_f{279}=[2.3984962346141905,4.314738671340318,1.1076643022880452];
pred_f{279}=[0.5295973185189996];
obs{279}=[0.5486032416372789];
sqrt_r{279}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{279}=[6.763721600845678];
L_f{279}=[0.10458208922769917,-0.5486507608111438,-0.15086336875191467,0.18611226134387956,0.1919515623620196,-0.26413752411916197,0.18088075351015354,-0.5561349759207938,0.13185364539131345,-0.5313481710533452,0.16636090509431198,-0.42579294417740127,-0.37393942623800375,0.13834129730667102,-0.5514632702274367,0.17658064694974024,0.17552888488105978,0.10374297931350013,-0.04787700417155163,-0.18674805957286805,0.12842984602678728,0.15488285893025885,-0.18578654422304486,0.18291676206755897,-0.5653962604714858,0.054018402498042115,0.15721662789772775,0.18784600136771457,0.11433262992335803,0.1058392304205405,-0.35870052535051977,0.16680237494875302,0.189679965686797,0.1829810256330551,0.1820774341593817,-0.4091065816015322,0.16951261838574055,0.1380299184987154,0.1439862013830363,0.18968588056338792,-0.43918127834611514,0.13972007440761988,0.14408781661661368,0.11914933223812368,-0.19426782643145643,0.14350255778825247,0.14280755689068353,-0.2745451048359786,0.17838095087898326,-0.39874540993871843,0.17598613581740505,-0.3606204864701263,-0.14251386478357778,0.15899262891883176,0.1537705906094485,0.16701032461939513,-0.22358175097917543,0.163999072764096,0.15738491484093695,-0.5013706960734413,-0.13401217321644618,0.030624197712963708,0.13885860514989462,-0.5710581185575534,0.09540139545660423,0.04646061956619803,0.17879194390731482,0.13194781808472286,-0.30421258452443894,0.17031282879715062,0.19403486474212508,0.17450012280058094,0.14996492468896555,0.1631731287919221,0.14728622094733287,0.13996043222839963,0.140139315127034,0.044467880309714256,0.054535565687295166,0.13463668382127028,0.13305593813945504,0.1730615660521067,-0.064453287081516,0.1815021562852538,0.14612742213684257,0.11540770218236245,0.18477130444062712,0.166012644812185,-0.37943734829826975,-0.13852448557951955,0.011926665304812187,-0.006013879237171949,0.08709165089244401,0.19074849363485852,0.17468678153482106,-0.28655265193281976,0.17646030967836945,0.18523172339237487,-0.5168116366625712,0.18170233317150636;0.1931600752424342,-0.9715590149873877,-0.27992598374253197,0.33398311973166434,0.34273732308826277,-0.4897784844673753,0.3247504010819292,-0.9826275938916716,0.24105575740260288,-0.9453026578093896,0.30051404974467266,-0.7758672407518055,-0.6890672158856245,0.24775190693502222,-0.9754574476314788,0.31785375256739545,0.3161422168710723,0.19113057669229278,-0.08675261454857469,-0.34673284789904146,0.23488747643689095,0.28125665857088333,-0.34553408424016574,0.3286182416277505,-0.9563798603082067,0.10201015084603834,0.28500940831840205,0.3361083959999691,0.20944940460768993,0.1949127441326625,-0.6619872508509042,0.301073785122669,0.33922625775596105,0.32935589766728307,0.3259575601174028,-0.7501296491258147,0.30630984343859713,0.24795538049625057,0.26231210247038694,0.33928172486130886,-0.7988953531422615,0.2542186614657129,0.26240785749452944,0.21841115066360708,-0.36075399488044074,0.26133141844465113,0.26002910149037434,-0.5087142377941964,0.32025285847110935,-0.7298349169635461,0.31773289991866616,-0.6635093378597328,-0.263945443242029,0.2888461834626435,0.276062945248825,0.3016976434072239,-0.41542035230690655,0.2961633598366197,0.28524713630946985,-0.900294778445114,-0.24799725675374484,0.0585330177957592,0.254851503653144,-1.0040665047291695,0.17681727166132044,0.0860419637491186,0.3216541405827019,0.2411635769862506,-0.5625000041093904,0.30599261544655965,0.3463969026671758,0.3139512839232514,0.2693029421658758,0.2941659198773345,0.26741078830610276,0.25519808609151506,0.25683947139552216,0.0840359725805569,0.1018832703143005,0.24190166025277843,0.23894124924830107,0.3119095870259624,-0.11772161800271526,0.32623517432222654,0.265817352091746,0.21165038074143547,0.3317809647644072,0.3000040250170356,-0.6984810193862591,-0.2572547569032313,0.024072535861849882,-0.008742718935051783,0.16077124779954544,0.3412392076830009,0.3103202592477283,-0.5315786503801556,0.3175910714893667,0.3323914767217397,-0.9234957992940611,0.32623834176343747;-0.05914130800428444,0.24563128901495088,-0.1673270414394411,0.05965686893836382,0.06647342719497094,-0.1255118146452134,0.047309387357769524,0.26232348440973485,-0.02878093628746369,0.21019507023710735,0.02039335803439455,0.034766580127105436,-0.052422526943976415,0.03572296999898289,0.2531927139583278,0.03865632668265699,0.03944718986821863,-0.060212840605028226,-0.15757456719463062,-0.16016349061901408,-0.03320098489171004,0.0023113316693214774,-0.1832802760879021,0.052338692100629206,0.5346464519916604,-0.10521740253076588,0.005842123525126193,0.06049314826309847,-0.04878259831443522,-0.05802974306547936,-0.06857442315279422,0.02329137970697887,0.06510114185609958,0.05355508958178859,0.048057871371997324,-0.011136601390542785,0.025026928453568728,0.034714391042631326,-0.015298168514244934,0.06640508739556361,0.05184640059022638,-0.019782102475719328,-0.013530820725619801,-0.04386136214960181,-0.1573983355417394,-0.014315697471695935,-0.014924860330229273,-0.11834885660472941,0.042644565159777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k{279}=[0.852152400850596;1.5326765991655693;-0.0831241613409083];
x_a{279}=[0.5457932615346232,0.9960353668730336,10.195497706681717];
L_a{279}=[-0.047916393975086374,0.251375414317071,0.06912109584832146,-0.08527108708577658,-0.0879464806468591,0.12101993527535655,-0.08287416623349962,0.2548044584529886,-0.06041140759643754,0.24344788376431117,-0.07622160476442047,0.19508562714400893,0.17132789182884647,-0.06338385620064046,0.25266402224453677,-0.08090398566429144,-0.08042209965471657,-0.04753193884004323,0.021935815311894834,0.08556239087071618,-0.05884272484728062,-0.07096270636104715,0.08512185321598502,-0.08380700462766187,0.2590477028031771,-0.024749620849183005,-0.07203196969397414,-0.08606543505344426,-0.05238380089814098,-0.04849237857362857,0.16434588196401984,-0.07642387308426116,-0.08690570280386263,-0.0838364482766202,-0.08342244961427941,0.18744043350616094,-0.07766562579023678,-0.06324119171814943,-0.06597018288116599,-0.08690841282389691,0.20121976253407056,-0.06401557074431391,-0.06601673995037265,-0.054590670233792604,0.08900772375761605,-0.0657485918113917,-0.0654301631295124,0.1257883783389554,-0.08172883122805412,0.18269325368689035,-0.08063159839559264,0.16522555088346177,0.0652956021658201,-0.0728456803900958,-0.0704530981914311,-0.07651914942095585,0.10243848965603196,-0.07513948363571234,-0.0721090737519558,0.22971309884920096,0.06140038066476158,-0.014031093981976538,-0.0636208712249659,0.2616417973052712,-0.04371007391637544,-0.02128687013140037,-0.08191713597518621,-0.06045455471572364,0.13938113265757543,-0.0780322583333352,-0.08890098765997723,-0.07995075155372823,-0.0687094555760458,-0.07476106074261195,-0.06748215341776542,-0.06412569552878251,-0.0642076543375005,-0.02037385644035239,-0.02498656959737358,-0.06168651279697797,-0.06096226227355063,-0.07929164775857146,0.02953057373010791,-0.08315887445083227,-0.06695122636561579,-0.05287636694166274,-0.08465670062864664,-0.0760620422905065,0.17384687573354188,0.06346778760340979,-0.005464442312967463,0.0027553800939998175,-0.03990279680698688,-0.08739527043930369,-0.08003627301839596,0.13128987827661628,-0.08084885071577888,-0.08486765085968967,0.23678767727920091,-0.08325058952955358;-0.08112285393766187,0.46736364264405017,0.11573685865068215,-0.15412547108630048,-0.16068575034758836,0.2029635936148993,-0.14963774005617853,0.4759235915120437,-0.10475110444219397,0.4482412448534234,-0.13579351197340583,0.34084152664450496,0.2916475692357202,-0.11506983942762805,0.47084145699162017,-0.14525668478905643,-0.14420980952678691,-0.08095165515167134,0.038812336787880417,0.14304322347799758,-0.10193993466675118,-0.12494792713677677,0.1417202623506435,-0.1511096512315632,0.5264604961504445,-0.03966158067324582,-0.12731585247955307,-0.1565471999092681,-0.09040584659087643,-0.08266723496594107,0.2787611269843522,-0.13639160051836763,-0.15823919717564208,-0.15054053647012125,-0.1515690636823851,0.3228165157209736,-0.13826358062639543,-0.11404972611325098,-0.11531429004572791,-0.15819924276170322,0.3529264201210637,-0.11221914405895439,-0.11548503690657105,-0.09407665769305933,0.14874384430556198,-0.11502654290092482,-0.11450611101382979,0.21132335279664535,-0.1475791582568551,0.31593745039649557,-0.14381833876417677,0.2822744390929676,0.10981951565556931,-0.12813691851913592,-0.12722454236566308,-0.13631312285497807,0.1709578509078457,-0.13394992622156565,-0.1275194833871936,0.4146284951249949,0.10347068280489592,-0.02178374308108673,-0.1093269636506828,0.4936229624320569,-0.0733878484212847,-0.03580829684754724,-0.1472557698124847,-0.1048902675148295,0.23534520431001818,-0.14067948590842375,-0.16248995795635646,-0.1437026525918476,-0.12400358978154473,-0.13378119859231408,-0.11887042301436934,-0.11187009551018065,-0.11069785865960341,-0.032588016821903674,-0.04114480276843826,-0.11120415630048075,-0.11001881386764531,-0.1419715088270591,0.05131723469713771,-0.1497826930396908,-0.11742472762962708,-0.09102441604526655,-0.15281075629082463,-0.13539016949826196,0.2966529285021485,0.10604742943187898,-0.007207014196020818,0.007029622438962284,-0.06764026405982085,-0.15902862935503523,-0.1478232190690555,0.21995061545173902,-0.14520376250206424,-0.1534077652356658,0.4319237623628283,-0.15030452087368334;-0.04426567248493488,0.16759183880401743,-0.1887856726768472,0.08612926192532926,0.09377639561100878,-0.16308243084532825,0.0730376567158624,0.18321948809017335,-0.01002622613371735,0.13461672039889155,0.044056340932585286,-0.02579771621720791,-0.10561123881719409,0.055400476264204496,0.1747532156580848,0.06377295385269036,0.06441421561699234,-0.04545655911022007,-0.164384536942546,-0.18672631881135798,-0.01493327200311834,0.02434169054487486,-0.20970633944799005,0.0783565609631679,0.4542251412597127,-0.09753388738173409,0.02820443500176865,0.08721214642758796,-0.032520057154011614,-0.0429752932355804,-0.11959557137346212,0.047017156767113856,0.09208100098605286,0.07958209921962185,0.07395635520278276,-0.0693274488044,0.049138207408292583,0.054347607146030694,0.005182262383691868,0.09338578785072808,-0.01062223693502695,9.151945106159604E-5,0.006964063805716831,-0.02691369881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x_a{279}=[0.5457932615346234,0.9960353668730337,10.195497706681717];
std_x_a{279}=[1.098919436150412,1.9789934235451843,1.0886358017695905];
pred_a{279}=[0.5457932615346234];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.8 to 27.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 27.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{280}=[1.2860714204043502,2.398228298434687,8.453742253457177];
std_x_f{280}=[2.525529796680354,4.659785492682058,1.5583669275415102];
pred_f{280}=[1.2860714204043502];
obs{280}=[1.3485115871741276];
sqrt_r{280}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{280}=[7.3898627832126635];
L_f{280}=[-0.1075268770696558,0.5653293000999524,0.16915899351298286,-0.19964867423281585,-0.20740100685696125,0.2874184913879851,-0.19407481002242835,0.5724628305092445,-0.13806416590795736,0.5494612052288703,-0.17790889534358667,0.44942749246860575,0.3989787521922651,-0.14886981781312905,0.567966813312322,-0.18851070430425337,-0.1873614696102053,-0.10677888090372255,0.05947801104555014,0.2078117560670756,-0.13467301973151713,-0.1639965218757027,0.20713383224243972,-0.1962191188781257,0.5711799918136928,-0.051081707690499946,-0.16698967567238707,-0.2019236247808027,-0.11967783205916933,-0.10951925535493798,0.38409738950631944,-0.17794836104152056,-0.2035581146389802,-0.19536039395170593,-0.1955178212688014,0.4339927349082643,-0.18010011908931153,-0.14783444318258476,-0.15165636509694633,-0.20384236985062912,0.4616163720640249,-0.14771573494442167,-0.15190219676257996,-0.12422216235815109,0.21458652584475754,-0.15116753503127436,-0.15081547350013202,0.29826601194180524,-0.190824830633631,0.422516531029549,-0.18726306821184235,0.3849816618282108,0.1617338453923562,-0.16826760968922017,-0.16480757009702687,-0.17827631341533506,0.2453727565170995,-0.1749023043850324,-0.16667214299929967,0.5211718442885079,0.1518590004566882,-0.026552154107216844,-0.1443917994686152,0.5855283362740773,-0.09660159656593881,-0.04525897280417992,-0.19183134682638536,-0.1383696021393092,0.3283400124147703,-0.18273673554036013,-0.20896593054869372,-0.1870797956678748,-0.1609498615795869,-0.17436410758901014,-0.15580518067829574,-0.14675457715550314,-0.14616847984857295,-0.041584553736995336,-0.05234519873621946,-0.144268888284236,-0.14259440700814904,-0.18483835090914863,0.0772873950755384,-0.1936669585000098,-0.15428726939792434,-0.12001055440925297,-0.19798604378738774,-0.17692255410657157,0.4042643290397985,0.15527054643832372,-0.00612726457548962,0.014710324989469429,-0.08905216405808648,-0.2051287218102085,-0.18972489478984403,0.3119095086831311,-0.18882820614276882,-0.19850630847256154,0.5360836418887406,-0.19481277096174396;-0.1979158499062517,1.003166152662993,0.3395292093846845,-0.37368441635238747,-0.3875475031211245,0.5610642347858474,-0.36366748935688986,1.0114785645156268,-0.2571598349480235,0.9832695303419469,-0.3323823249632539,0.8381095739752407,0.7596377341445,-0.2786328535311043,1.0058675440210976,-0.35336449326031066,-0.3511120070883475,-0.19776939184797226,0.12686407121968268,0.4126172873608933,-0.25050560774112707,-0.306704279234164,0.4140828597747372,-0.3673005086562651,0.9592990993467695,-0.08876433230624356,-0.31204282720499205,-0.37827762428375583,-0.22049221689071044,-0.2019861129254874,0.7342229607283781,-0.3326687959063862,-0.38179069097804524,-0.3657515427861911,-0.36658029371182654,0.816961812063837,-0.3375774886580106,-0.27644471444353624,-0.28324891293969884,-0.38225217102006115,0.8576047064408704,-0.2755080674299123,-0.28382639000627247,-0.23085221064430725,0.426641011513176,-0.28218853952725975,-0.28114780139463225,0.5802868378628248,-0.357721390461404,0.7965685694178364,-0.3510030464183961,0.7334764124539792,0.3278817769634765,-0.31412299006757105,-0.3083166580660785,-0.3328950702994236,0.48389860909860954,-0.3272556461626826,-0.31225681030315966,0.9449955730671701,0.30642811573618794,-0.040450264633990284,-0.2694732812807098,1.0274652978053007,-0.17832436716341304,-0.07723442147352245,-0.35827103449141645,-0.257514985286151,0.6351826192479185,-0.34198488035129865,-0.3916455153422706,-0.35006863961225754,-0.30105264011852423,-0.32628784189108284,-0.29091293034772664,-0.27387196358204025,-0.2722855274837164,-0.07007072178283498,-0.09203500544024087,-0.269123112474181,-0.26585227886792695,-0.3462600125693505,0.16186893602369593,-0.3630103916107878,-0.2884029021592591,-0.22225028367324104,-0.37073381888230655,-0.33144561427430985,0.7686689367227404,0.31356504559538645,-0.001080365384909688,0.0390068328731662,-0.16220148300272308,-0.38396057540617884,-0.3550999377365235,0.6076302682195441,-0.3535227160305278,-0.37180118805418133,0.9660988671362668,-0.36449144525351995;-0.09856473265006664,0.4553048356184258,-0.13867669436374416,0.005192830751690415,0.011813023954899124,-0.05229816505556834,-0.005647446212592504,0.47532318463388773,-0.07239107823186124,0.4116410015168431,-0.029194048873410226,0.18360379113259553,0.07679616332182365,-0.02283841081412691,0.4638619826408494,-0.012969732532852576,-0.012573718790141792,-0.09954175093357155,-0.1623621965363336,-0.11807188998648617,-0.07601427436862455,-0.04504517773017367,-0.13585277243033725,-0.0012562122088183856,0.6878367140520439,-0.13477927767942632,-0.04208878677636382,0.006268912737706907,-0.09016912789734444,-0.09754825142428356,0.05384632832347873,-0.02669034681989078,0.010445219578207154,-1.0999370834379054E-4,-0.004791619009339339,0.13496585292000082,-0.02496226782481695,-0.022863861128273842,-0.06047301896249873,0.011119318451646012,0.20720002885895566,-0.06408065693372228,-0.05909593060383491,-0.08532099231110617,-0.11305100552138451,-0.059582621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k{280}=[0.8646794900885468;1.5941203496568916;0.34713230920937876];
x_a{280}=[1.340062151967885,2.4977654389183592,8.475417252735388];
L_a{280}=[0.046315694239092375,-0.2435076673050597,-0.07286286400994144,0.08599586636387878,0.08933507491568154,-0.12380148413650796,0.08359500252840012,-0.2465803354814819,0.05946920312235949,-0.2366727079885167,0.07663176150657176,-0.19358458918446836,-0.17185450185130052,0.06412358613182592,-0.24464373913030596,0.08119834202657923,0.08070332530007242,0.045993505381223036,-0.02561931908196828,-0.0895119993772031,0.05800851446750037,0.07063920175556962,-0.089219993197586,0.08451863349417518,-0.24602777070511647,0.022002729169482912,0.07192846077467063,0.08697576940636524,0.051549547684336255,0.04717388324248001,-0.1654445635846403,0.07664876080245257,0.08767980298914288,0.08414874977569065,0.08421655938462001,-0.18693628383699498,0.07757560040324771,0.06367761303079249,0.0653238522931547,0.08780224193489673,-0.19883477812181483,0.06362648112208032,0.06542974083535039,0.053506954226634935,-0.09243013644315803,0.06511329559818158,0.06496165003128629,-0.12847390147917426,0.08219511948746144,-0.18199306996937922,0.08066094027780213,-0.16582545148542274,-0.0696645855942839,0.0724789129294654,0.07098854940199742,0.07679002168795852,-0.10569087353004188,0.07533671461845078,0.0717916880291167,-0.22448746252021912,-0.06541113463241342,0.011436967989151873,0.06219474253389288,-0.25220811884666877,0.041609782888587625,0.019494667780743775,0.08262866222115484,0.05960076549528755,-0.14142785539666694,0.07871128596113311,0.09000914384792497,0.08058199819987552,0.06932689556226446,0.07510489389674524,0.06711089641790562,0.06321247588468996,0.06296002268971303,0.01791196330108353,0.02254696021703258,0.06214180026504421,0.061420540939879566,0.07961652730619641,-0.033290461477233614,0.08341932620521374,0.06645707742250954,0.05169286317022181,0.08527971161781318,0.07620690885211014,-0.1741311899484446,-0.06688061021725443,0.002639233281336391,-0.006336266177698065,0.03835797071621482,0.0883563200004686,0.08172133754929094,-0.13435064635119348,0.08133510149057334,0.0855038083342678,-0.2309105101993613,0.08391286885314758;0.08570782381093443,-0.48800310030848637,-0.10666151511086883,0.15292894750449665,0.15951419066645525,-0.19705960032659792,0.14824369131349008,-0.49850680361137684,0.1070120540778931,-0.46604444435046605,0.13688801803784684,-0.34734544859437727,-0.29274863208991175,0.11404110654695099,-0.4922586782882436,0.1438702442012024,0.14309139369928386,0.08388129217315086,-0.03002109514855845,-0.13552783973307417,0.10472145406683811,0.1258693923800182,-0.132274107457402,0.1502667160824565,-0.5473025247942231,0.04597390235430354,0.12842588701575844,0.15433637726975719,0.09518203420040598,0.08689285755196934,-0.27891083098765085,0.1367056457771919,0.15513460493147785,0.1495506229739651,0.14913711812665814,-0.3277809461724432,0.13747264582997792,0.1134982376819835,0.11677512368815642,0.15542290494072225,-0.3600009272462793,0.11412176794260703,0.1168460768747727,0.09680862174728345,-0.13937392771798876,0.11654610989966772,0.11665821523314546,-0.2064495052480085,0.14561731866626798,-0.31790340263816386,0.14294080097325504,-0.28198982461279365,-0.09872363225781103,0.1297165310667618,0.12639631566830523,0.13734441145227838,-0.16332117938655188,0.13408421102622775,0.12737434789698796,-0.42969954636155444,-0.09413041223672657,0.029586359680089512,0.11138900855771575,-0.516982958531451,0.07648169111379753,0.04214518374901446,0.1477225626793621,0.10746255297261942,-0.2308799233208351,0.14001985808696685,0.1595439781046328,0.1433917897389169,0.12348485478057605,0.13363241345844937,0.12005443829929566,0.11322262562185503,0.11326311268978341,0.039616867238615024,0.04603593990494356,0.11141497449883464,0.11026902837487523,0.14128815731489866,-0.04199204758094964,0.14782499898485008,0.11856067147903421,0.09430158925373897,0.15149402418370708,0.13522305617007976,-0.2976591970405533,-0.09599211816734823,0.015081522099386702,2.054045346093002E-4,0.07269143503728027,0.1571075114781234,0.14533747030838737,-0.21509353006137297,0.14454949611922843,0.15179895731741058,-0.44792910499276833,0.1493662551928675;-0.03680343537719451,0.13059094164083093,-0.23583825219423268,0.11986705412228152,0.13094003283183256,-0.21738562385746915,0.10582526053408199,0.14651193282148972,0.006910229736458949,0.09604142529119258,0.07299327835348997,-0.0745384122067059,-0.15236928806335368,0.06266944846238565,0.13763315358832737,0.09530706267353525,0.09504297888984367,-0.03821008776541947,-0.19652518184282378,-0.23743482503147958,0.0013392267554293857,0.04915115917935169,-0.25482632152827467,0.1114481428502657,0.35976229924438674,-0.10543896184531883,0.05382675807873124,0.1222498224076157,-0.02142856401031667,-0.034642571733631,-0.16677156463054693,0.0755196487181202,0.1273649476791112,0.112101126850664,0.10750992466614842,-0.1143109329906757,0.07848365469322538,0.0620492995753002,0.026635377592235807,0.12820231708645222,-0.0579432242330347,0.02076432012139382,0.02815366676500343,-0.013970255580318551,-0.2363052334374952,0.027245000551042703,0.026205315970888078,-0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x_a{280}=[1.340062151967886,2.4977654389183606,8.475417252735387];
std_x_a{280}=[1.0878365395006435,2.014123931710733,1.264157754811553];
pred_a{280}=[1.340062151967886];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 27.9 to 28.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{281}=[3.3004250157653257,6.326728889766695,7.916849664428224];
std_x_f{281}=[2.6387781492226763,5.030427386480286,1.646366187366395];
pred_f{281}=[3.3004250157653257];
obs{281}=[3.555190040636174];
sqrt_r{281}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{281}=[7.977828678942285];
L_f{281}=[0.12115509946856153,-0.6236912876834019,-0.14466064502140136,0.19554918768057702,0.20195326889569065,-0.27528108880648156,0.19060013397989065,-0.6335195321660496,0.1462411242155144,-0.6020915092841328,0.17896172775767946,-0.4705971537767045,-0.4048766263830543,0.15056024930975764,-0.6277102978067357,0.18623288133119648,0.18535621880592196,0.11947114005490843,-0.03326253572830605,-0.18622101373852354,0.14429608345999864,0.1670377939091272,-0.18232584946211894,0.19314878460248586,-0.6583794403185177,0.07083364348345153,0.170345071821293,0.19662816167447825,0.132464267688556,0.12251266460463049,-0.38716991371041803,0.17916280888907438,0.19724487596798518,0.19174593577459528,0.192067979788755,-0.44862879870473754,0.18025439842965368,0.14995631687989036,0.15780189893407073,0.19779506740544836,-0.4857219016779055,0.15437295931570902,0.15739756345771197,0.1348426723853868,-0.1926217153827794,0.15723846007183853,0.15709670803713724,-0.28831415777845293,0.18844299443367338,-0.43475592260848245,0.1852259059696133,-0.39009397555711645,-0.13418668096827657,0.17130052809928692,0.16515287841086873,0.17940136919280197,-0.22699994834333398,0.17597161549346127,0.16890385817724154,-0.5639638645524084,-0.12562556335758787,0.049143512918339224,0.1514530632798075,-0.6518708054483455,0.1101346564294887,0.06615243761580054,0.19020758592112622,0.14681454170578348,-0.32216126981959203,0.18139150965552794,0.201973379166351,0.18621894363535418,0.16138255414091665,0.1760268147068784,0.1608891089019986,0.15344753486736137,0.153468888685249,0.06264898554035593,0.07196846885715691,0.14668228064548736,0.14565591186558952,0.1841303013817619,-0.05034719810208751,0.1905722981432499,0.15988514380061414,0.13148403215571755,0.19370350030511563,0.17786768179256113,-0.41130906997063466,-0.12945512259081848,0.029662270896837983,0.01023069273630145,0.10482392503993984,0.19946828535181343,0.18479634742709242,-0.301059207408273,0.18733228727894313,0.19403930497272046,-0.5834578834040969,0.1919794318816076;0.24301733124401242,-1.1998692319118773,-0.2549731912934258,0.3584985166237219,0.36897109840889303,-0.5169522205960682,0.35174147902368635,-1.217591523659227,0.28479617505190696,-1.159564975386225,0.33545299559853015,-0.9089674494537491,-0.7796631408211138,0.284511290658742,-1.2064149999932314,0.34537557506336486,0.34376740246099896,0.2398752834801757,-0.03668382462041749,-0.337922391780745,0.28096950066681387,0.31735959888985965,-0.3292799932434795,0.35490432726332105,-1.2526888292076472,0.15640528650453903,0.3223894979309266,0.3603709107276636,0.26182871395424423,0.24555068173063246,-0.7434456046949337,0.335155948214747,0.36099019098258356,0.3529057234806346,0.35385958552030333,-0.8658414460148618,0.3365798996172119,0.28411125491822,0.30281747476401266,0.36120944381296033,-0.9381571642890905,0.29744888315415735,0.3022416383540926,0.26546428406420114,-0.35093069802877547,0.30181314220899336,0.301970279409272,-0.5426049870151967,0.34870256002585787,-0.8385433710661041,0.3433050380075641,-0.749544819620513,-0.23269715459323848,0.323508795765849,0.30907084350270575,0.33562056847625293,-0.4199609828028145,0.33004265983950354,0.31972438269546855,-1.088641667708646,-0.21824779044250708,0.11773790907087518,0.29241492759698146,-1.2501232220213343,0.22367120591609013,0.1479433732356615,0.3521564878969138,0.2853072489336317,-0.6122641842842144,0.33664119339987153,0.36820250334971577,0.34659843651629907,0.302883858260932,0.3310782114897651,0.30795265096085295,0.2959480766058491,0.29568409665085577,0.14203096050425973,0.15812252791240364,0.2782423254134438,0.2758871688307574,0.34260468009675893,-0.06937701098022483,0.3508624783868587,0.3049688341056901,0.2601856770740359,0.3556249691925492,0.3338619418675143,-0.7911791354989312,-0.22500529587561993,0.08162870119910866,0.04469290488870963,0.21572688317918562,0.3639085517573834,0.3380822753023679,-0.5695424922288765,0.3477324069259787,0.3573619009323972,-1.1251155555588446,0.35372072514160136;-0.0087620175125115,0.02465057592166642,-0.2961648354201217,0.17094140117094164,0.18504303059222263,-0.3076828383858489,0.15557028168621168,0.04204179004338894,0.042846496245894185,-0.011532845610882022,0.12124525175608926,-0.18533540208651153,-0.2557316098983029,0.0904598189349989,0.031881161459818466,0.14453719131102707,0.14260133971598915,-0.011534223398374246,-0.22388023436573262,-0.30843109499858684,0.03770798175592905,0.09257046146300664,-0.3213660567796745,0.16207958969324815,0.21854851458650074,-0.09620314202474756,0.09901448266020622,0.17415929746920744,0.01095926518373552,-0.006232161497853349,-0.26840662099112816,0.12316530605768454,0.17847371236470028,0.1616782816867816,0.15790538057989903,-0.22002381043261204,0.1255907825583814,0.08919514727245306,0.06782415221448167,0.1792922372395115,-0.16809812182194692,0.061135668495506015,0.06866841188050223,0.01916165283576101,-0.3087264822642281,0.0678666661983569,0.06710836550016375,-0.3039116815935671,0.1485294072026163,-0.21878642864102513,0.1430909257101504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k{281}=[0.874652610347534;1.667074237157127;0.3159174580154382];
x_a{281}=[3.5232559097938676,6.7514410992575815,7.9973343834766615];
L_a{281}=[-0.049553001599929314,0.25509264993387387,0.05916687952579581,-0.07998053117454439,-0.08259983030508547,0.11259125116394603,-0.07795634509385985,0.2591124478351509,-0.059813302898630044,0.24625823967568022,-0.07319618258580546,0.19247643406103565,0.16559643137546326,-0.06157984523687338,0.2567364438471706,-0.07617011836104122,-0.07581155929330026,-0.04886425433394448,0.013604532482680563,0.07616526446020414,-0.05901777214430953,-0.06831923794487378,0.0745721240767839,-0.07899875510328654,0.26928026639051406,-0.02897129104974312,-0.06967193005929437,-0.08042183657795411,-0.0541785042272005,-0.05010825208178788,0.15835430318403496,-0.07327842570779886,-0.08067407560468004,-0.07842498337995144,-0.078556700886015,0.18349127422208525,-0.07372489092872722,-0.06133283405208029,-0.06454171375907149,-0.08089910647255467,0.1986625266005511,-0.06313926143853336,-0.06437633866058373,-0.05515128285776824,0.0787831813304784,-0.06431126463258723,-0.06425328738826869,0.11792183725114275,-0.0770740649434258,0.17781720309830437,-0.07575826073455662,0.15955025813767137,0.054882979304024714,-0.07006271613994426,-0.06754829870161727,-0.07337599798634228,0.09284403919258699,-0.07197321270288094,-0.06908246694694653,0.23066385488560476,0.051381442212144045,-0.020099926333686676,-0.06194501032097137,0.26661820432668265,-0.04504558892029304,-0.027056655983890673,-0.07779579110422719,-0.060047833330591605,0.13176546417633622,-0.07418997473157317,-0.08260805549972078,-0.07616441777833859,-0.06600621846396555,-0.07199578943900457,-0.0658043970563581,-0.06276075851648762,-0.06276949232774791,-0.02562372772035676,-0.029435439928374583,-0.05999373793913714,-0.05957394831397501,-0.07531015334054018,0.020592239196271057,-0.07794496010665222,-0.06539377064035609,-0.053777583315574605,-0.07922563641674757,-0.0727487126757669,0.16822733084882407,0.05294774982646424,-0.012132007349719007,-0.00418440111686651,-0.04287347497546148,-0.08158346042824442,-0.07558256928419116,0.12313462208205692,-0.07661978052901125,-0.0793629820943469,0.2386369996527994,-0.0785204843783831;-0.08234964759827325,0.47507925060297435,0.13351889227919414,-0.16665683127149544,-0.17338267172659397,0.2223264114240501,-0.1601229825796308,0.48375111171149776,-0.10794035008996837,0.457376418097616,-0.1451560497022919,0.35484046988056084,0.30764961207125596,-0.1198244217176783,0.47932669871723116,-0.15476045078793246,-0.1540143102944076,-0.08096935342754083,0.052644076607221944,0.16218176316465485,-0.1065435379101274,-0.13122723398047859,0.16036353859759106,-0.16380463991042396,0.5154161070925906,-0.03382136249080581,-0.13507916514873308,-0.16768206599362095,-0.09390949905894302,-0.08346209385352976,0.29631504652945007,-0.14599310869525317,-0.1687189972177666,-0.16203583574325653,-0.16194683608578217,0.3389695565470328,-0.14750066568584896,-0.11860257219713645,-0.12096598409961622,-0.16997730601358182,0.36626888463242635,-0.11712601800820512,-0.12045596103718498,-0.0966612321171284,0.16636280318102042,-0.12045717852697144,-0.11991936043519273,0.23167448520937173,-0.15736881502829544,0.32901145488340444,-0.15412671429186353,0.2980685193832665,0.1276666697858657,-0.1365257842578794,-0.13445397164215842,-0.1461691518943528,0.18965667022045396,-0.14253631658204374,-0.13387384215015674,0.42590637517626123,0.11912480216243554,-0.014239006453724314,-0.11431847324139842,0.5005025089182992,-0.07209992204699073,-0.029711705787164856,-0.15865376982649376,-0.10896921234995387,0.252913092784461,-0.15049313064543943,-0.17420527374079933,-0.15350015908230483,-0.13051559672698418,-0.14164900467887287,-0.12412163663984557,-0.11614155932024631,-0.1164628858272493,-0.02621545456379915,-0.03515174107562519,-0.1156789433788987,-0.11527774459100461,-0.15188478123581317,0.06583245037555506,-0.1609272289377607,-0.12440926412012164,-0.09292007329191238,-0.1645737097066841,-0.14380899821159943,0.3134082079459187,0.12265173480480933,0.001969458545356754,0.01721796077430302,-0.0657820582540679,-0.17177169335364545,-0.15819587994807935,0.2389643324673523,-0.15535611859977413,-0.16373859514712052,0.44178447289737,-0.1618478974353244;-0.07042040475584423,0.34206023597691587,-0.2225439799322,0.07142229225999681,0.08226474958508649,-0.16758648215446553,0.0585698506592644,0.3644532511527515,-0.03157869846182263,0.2948842313277316,0.030167851298156537,0.05416142198818233,-0.049681349324844436,0.013836530306502762,0.35133618059286353,0.04975934733310883,0.04826964780019759,-0.0723356081541142,-0.2069522278878599,-0.21365929068905928,-0.03572734065888614,0.00756140260953712,-0.2285765837825272,0.06378209657213162,0.5536117076528523,-0.13225187822253465,0.012322280273165074,0.07409107591972501,-0.05645459646032056,-0.06858144229197294,-0.07136768021819599,0.03198557116792653,0.078091631894757,0.06409472794298662,0.06015793184017298,0.008292854077458344,0.03385551471211475,0.012879212604235205,-0.012484564751533348,0.07863015273459274,0.07909600568562514,-0.017427988726839334,-0.011434530227608647,-0.0494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x_a{281}=[3.523255909793868,6.7514410992575815,7.997334383476663];
std_x_a{281}=[1.0792725888043875,2.0613267851897734,1.3955637233058602];
pred_a{281}=[3.523255909793868];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.0 to 28.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{282}=[8.646277902006867,15.82731916603523,12.60542564224142];
std_x_f{282}=[2.270215464151097,3.35818261813725,4.006909924216272];
pred_f{282}=[8.646277902006867];
obs{282}=[9.280220087005521];
sqrt_r{282}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{282}=[6.1610792042871925];
L_f{282}=[-0.0848584151184004,0.4424382681450114,0.20355215705435864,-0.19888594053895411,-0.20733359824135605,0.3016677028898171,-0.18993274522148607,0.4442913999341054,-0.12025498699084838,0.4390385198517849,-0.16994236480535685,0.40013055138433845,0.37487473252529085,-0.136965327533642,0.44394939849829873,-0.1831319085858462,-0.18167936886009733,-0.08258921028183443,0.09936561257517668,0.2386133991089317,-0.11760737799424473,-0.1512622129175933,0.2382700018364989,-0.1944227362272298,0.4195870393505031,-0.018332512261722188,-0.15635237569035781,-0.1995317134447386,-0.10021114597295187,-0.08661094454165938,0.3663102236857729,-0.1710877425091922,-0.20199579439425547,-0.19228559519626115,-0.19183445381680597,0.3948921915738544,-0.17274722650809998,-0.1359070412453548,-0.13737695803908373,-0.20216691840973863,0.40535748775296643,-0.1324600377098549,-0.1366686637990548,-0.1043559071703604,0.2424085149334402,-0.1366352831179993,-0.13605572472987298,0.3099504520237326,-0.18598966493971883,0.3855515496209962,-0.1823823635168641,0.36518044230973856,0.19926331958338714,-0.15852015408219775,-0.1565711133657749,-0.17105519422426893,0.26759118767026946,-0.16612175791052008,-0.15537285140774632,0.43030943622962026,0.18700973189809747,0.008166161239975758,-0.1282019475739451,0.44728024018787826,-0.07093585703034912,-0.012429667619796216,-0.187908795498023,-0.12125723065276714,0.3294352163462773,-0.1775833510802717,-0.20858826040763306,-0.18112159877795783,-0.15169327966076315,-0.16526065205392765,-0.14170121513546244,-0.13080665214808984,-0.1312365480716726,-0.00848569834931888,-0.020202997568833123,-0.1323955949970047,-0.13076222246526129,-0.17874118427537028,0.1175128772036988,-0.190432057011486,-0.1414317447721335,-0.0992930841501956,-0.1955188302685798,-0.16802509158852771,0.3782015148615974,0.1907155878931413,0.030800389567518287,0.051812411937573105,-0.0630324763567219,-0.20517478181217375,-0.18776446773026104,0.31957581892022485,-0.18326953192131615,-0.1945041870445802,0.43449542617307146,-0.19234462742316474;-0.09538993405061433,0.47997968610933983,0.4112239289987706,-0.32416753863096187,-0.3421198489549458,0.5315114764179356,-0.3071272576049045,0.4710752160872362,-0.16514752200110364,0.49843813846424084,-0.2656569348593951,0.56544857493546,0.5789858362362972,-0.205173487394575,0.47636613888934587,-0.2926982966705159,-0.28978578967862595,-0.09156579294034822,0.246319906921305,0.45838806196518106,-0.15992809022238705,-0.2282055740146144,0.463995600554761,-0.3158136645703067,0.36227244692481453,0.03275443557287712,-0.2383394056442067,-0.32731884603648514,-0.12535498501904552,-0.09917679719641526,0.5780933246427643,-0.2677050085811197,-0.3320000667725371,-0.3118418319123001,-0.31022456989081737,0.5780338168792919,-0.2710645139293607,-0.20320862136721363,-0.198979516594302,-0.33279382897188386,0.5608504739469783,-0.18955056197401007,-0.1982785304466722,-0.1340518578833334,0.4640627464005501,-0.1983711080580018,-0.19749448684151308,0.5389339093153601,-0.298629850628053,0.5705141133350936,-0.2904265356502563,0.570409442853414,0.4112938289347587,-0.24220441134512344,-0.24234169542852016,-0.26880555296745245,0.4949614334049735,-0.25806062032204335,-0.2366007230130426,0.526443810977771,0.3872758936848321,0.08263782356540109,-0.18110455505259604,0.4531089803640443,-0.06881554798328131,0.04417292463608776,-0.30329277112506536,-0.16722521847822472,0.5540067140706094,-0.2825581432140224,-0.34494128490569753,-0.2879557766978818,-0.23259742698605212,-0.255234750241532,-0.20930889765615032,-0.18640778783350576,-0.18699990567068267,0.05125954736050128,0.029423687046623535,-0.19580943958386524,-0.1935677427226662,-0.2837669580316461,0.2763834669448578,-0.3077787091346151,-0.20740954128999362,-0.12397252986811717,-0.31897747239146745,-0.2614408232390162,0.5796599899356376,0.392604423167852,0.1244980689792738,0.1623836284000786,-0.05195844142190531,-0.3381650798236806,-0.3061711833284919,0.5523772323955607,-0.2933449699803027,-0.31639765390092967,0.5115330880052179,-0.3108755486966823;-0.21578177919936653,1.0481407929262152,0.09686843299209259,-0.23712884185524447,-0.23842944514966144,0.32219608319660437,-0.23837368203189607,1.0712381618823201,-0.22864307143592563,0.9983787122480536,-0.238197850755765,0.7079868580557039,0.5666412475191352,-0.2134366242318932,1.058531844717122,-0.23794869816055295,-0.23717152510364453,-0.21505366940635648,-0.06343793659505437,0.16540141204066236,-0.2289053520580364,-0.23471238907271327,0.15367291600791663,-0.2376399926052584,1.1764020260308068,-0.17618880001740142,-0.2367157329498424,-0.2366493266241989,-0.22381933833981624,-0.21611599966008824,0.5323968910546004,-0.2378997467879271,-0.2358685367291629,-0.23696001940188446,-0.2386113318854965,0.6577199682912748,-0.2385483658101939,-0.21288051256566887,-0.23438957793867674,-0.23618508673142125,0.7407944497182009,-0.23207990238315215,-0.2324825832973234,-0.22270334535803496,0.17597765243642885,-0.23271299736654114,-0.23281124430773337,0.34742447806287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k{282}=[0.8376907735086163;1.213137220443234;1.3864204161804956];
x_a{282}=[9.177325421318132,16.59637802626621,13.484336030201627];
L_a{282}=[0.04159986536337689,-0.2168950758832538,-0.099786713151212,0.09749920897703684,0.10164047678843184,-0.14788557866872604,0.09311011310176025,-0.21780353066430697,0.05895221188274572,-0.21522842831423827,0.08331029380613274,-0.19615470124132592,-0.18377362315128257,0.06714406787942515,-0.21763587241068805,0.08977616103576659,0.08906408720146501,0.04048744044298026,-0.048711681677171687,-0.11697467202256172,0.057654283119406305,0.07415278358850583,-0.11680632949248461,0.09531122681642365,-0.2056927921744089,0.008987087972312487,0.07664811756014817,0.09781578413223471,0.04912618476986567,0.042459002173217186,-0.17957507178627896,0.08387178859958709,0.09902374253684747,0.09426354310671976,0.09404238153283216,-0.1935867171169819,0.08468531205310559,0.06662526762788588,0.06734586016581132,0.09910763210742914,-0.19871708528885357,0.0649354542748577,0.06699863537989299,0.05115805759632577,-0.1188351393329362,0.06698227127698443,0.0666981562498225,-0.15194600388794244,0.09117710965584819,-0.1890076845354249,0.08940871398988523,-0.17902122272997192,-0.09768421028088481,0.07771082052381242,0.07675534862066886,0.08385583255953233,-0.13118035923694218,0.08143733009110407,0.07616792855096205,-0.21094919798780531,-0.09167717376935983,-0.004003270714455678,0.06284802457078147,-0.21926874011909225,0.034774654909367944,0.006093355606201037,0.09211791879927617,0.05944353853949437,-0.16149795664741864,0.0870561097023684,0.10225554574913344,0.08879065338481489,0.07436410403861662,0.08101519296247818,0.06946572668411677,0.06412492043838205,0.06433566692140724,0.004159916354239744,0.00990404991216787,0.06490386273294102,0.06410313981920318,0.08762371051087,-0.05760795630363955,0.0933548890996312,0.06933362510269757,0.04867612630284602,0.09584856144000999,0.0823703951811865,-0.1854045008561107,-0.09349388352330444,-0.015099174988839531,-0.025399830502932572,0.03090020625887571,0.10058216721862741,0.09204716546622474,-0.1566646162542999,0.08984362767674074,0.09535115618619548,-0.21300128224859502,0.0942924822836754;0.08774595778109423,-0.4748617012081073,-0.028069048184523708,0.10505511468597035,0.10533398774032156,-0.11952806666646258,0.10277319405506509,-0.4877654792823809,0.09437894050767037,-0.44906613402711987,0.10110158278666538,-0.2980870599764239,-0.23004433914940672,0.09041614119909663,-0.481736471307849,0.10252503333060728,0.10230276391022443,0.08667284914997055,0.03187552858865878,-0.05657179897304349,0.0938844753895605,0.09823865929389253,-0.05022316280755636,0.10377679256532384,-0.5432529101687161,0.0723184667639122,0.09909008466748781,0.10329747220874662,0.09091416829506838,0.0877412892289824,-0.21245348686868784,0.10152538845348891,0.1039340701192687,0.10313638696586991,0.10378002511335692,-0.27419673185710997,0.10174727313823843,0.0900970828454955,0.09749846608439514,0.10350961659892059,-0.31396559381391315,0.09631604423362748,0.09667085784163987,0.0911622484711807,-0.059087485759624345,0.09650624022359408,0.09613209636121604,-0.12998092224032826,0.10276090257763944,-0.26155807170890816,0.10317917511434734,-0.2176991482460009,-0.018743259200033877,0.09990343677621417,0.09555986025475595,0.10035460048343284,-0.08253639909549097,0.10045251293817793,0.09871482193664384,-0.40222192308710447,-0.01631630143902614,0.06501414747578954,0.09557251899784071,-0.512182034925565,0.08427358786699041,0.07099782186692816,0.10223972436801425,0.0944642208738248,-0.1569588638531442,0.10069065219621634,0.10522028177071584,0.10292903391171183,0.09477710642692035,0.10142000057319502,0.09650141439435903,0.09589058959006826,0.09622624507095627,0.06957282757966488,0.07302447751955136,0.08991809056781053,0.08863474945985932,0.10198059739527374,0.022774846769922016,0.10319932463475587,0.09781921741378476,0.09031532235249279,0.10297850334964276,0.10117996051277882,-0.2365498299112484,-0.018985508441011895,0.05802667890745502,0.050565463343613774,0.08407413420236289,0.10462974018470096,0.09904983339812358,-0.13731043763863365,0.10217536971918689,0.10336858507148267,-0.4261665762882962,0.10423006967988385;-0.006486956575643015,-0.04308909540195435,-0.4051726733133519,0.2534035065202656,0.27293820892821363,-0.4218372372411695,0.23007650250316877,-0.02456229129266733,0.06795386755651965,-0.08446603578491584,0.18094805302485842,-0.27889526390557207,-0.3579499146010215,0.12437470410551169,-0.036425096005454995,0.21372790068636097,0.2109225292916632,-0.01135561432894322,-0.3085133157404485,-0.42311475306172697,0.06116152324481499,0.13836078202160418,-0.43399629395015404,0.24188430720544657,0.1415324158271774,-0.13097348581773324,0.14891181726132716,0.2554757562559893,0.02334146465261638,-0.0024987378973347152,-0.3710707636806356,0.1840711169336394,0.26233395620564465,0.23729323507555086,0.2345292273470466,-0.31624226133115935,0.18751544978554652,0.12232065812640285,0.10443699601111404,0.2624394665307825,-0.25897938980121127,0.09461957766881975,0.10459705350869189,0.034680097998573155,-0.4218987875687937,0.10428430931687135,0.10275663937886986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x_a{282}=[9.17732542131813,16.59637802626621,13.484336030201629];
std_x_a{282}=[1.1129203570768038,1.7481251317065458,2.3156299377416083];
pred_a{282}=[9.17732542131813];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.1 to 28.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{283}=[16.366913424694765,19.802842215744057,34.28819591869641];
std_x_f{283}=[1.0006370796357151,2.0726563190256897,3.646230852195026];
pred_f{283}=[16.366913424694765];
obs{283}=[17.449959661175306];
sqrt_r{283}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{283}=[2.005150456118906];
L_f{283}=[0.06225665407820512,-0.3001367008192365,0.09044527048550982,-0.001045612535059019,-0.006648917879897297,0.03126070179773755,0.004797919027509367,-0.3129976480787634,0.045753390703640553,-0.2735918409071682,0.017409770358560697,-0.12675503217846024,-0.06124921300818063,0.02808215715430142,-0.3067348803434952,0.009438148141451743,0.009641334924472673,0.06318401167087208,0.10637216616428076,0.07576990267404533,0.04727387174315756,0.02840640253925807,0.08238900877682827,0.0018474300369172689,-0.38341288660351686,0.08676778365166724,0.02553474293302146,-0.0020663128995113385,0.056111830878455365,0.061278468396937846,-0.04617532138154345,0.01724006359011322,-0.0035737801323589315,0.003054630019895722,0.004034739574520601,-0.10176443963157501,0.016432251519002457,0.02821205027391877,0.037463524696020406,-0.00443862926645068,-0.14260348831783468,0.03988545928844081,0.036910710717113736,0.0531400964693723,0.07309940039899902,0.036457739736394316,0.0372502047291962,0.0226873396814769,0.0074206273334209046,-0.09219945685383936,0.008919321814408764,-0.052596308854404715,0.0991391598715282,0.024790579018319395,0.02032652549002408,0.016497262342130867,0.057708246793190775,0.020123701228843823,0.025551723937375,-0.22750061590231888,0.09662128066045746,0.09430940714998376,0.04154345476498004,-0.33748097312806835,0.06732044927094064,0.08950301182171629,0.006085065267140127,0.04534616541236498,4.7870882059373115E-4,0.010622380161399589,-0.007088849879940126,0.011641231059591646,0.021479877957511002,0.021509228862530313,0.03381987518336808,0.0403992588503583,0.03967732215575793,0.0897242781745295,0.08600941184254166,0.02957315817140374,0.03031716459138226,0.01238139831342237,0.10622397420090625,0.005242232950112985,0.03472065063353046,0.05590246745806413,4.6231647800583516E-4,0.01924554425369629,-0.06735453734678011,0.09491496608216483,0.09954917993736823,0.10272950267177072,0.07170903639100056,-0.004904101094332024,6.096599699685681E-5,0.01916623241319253,0.009453070240002833,0.0011267560901050972,-0.2512104225880792,0.0042946206813808;8.651374977977516E-4,-0.0013192586437285132,0.36898414490118736,-0.21889780596763506,-0.2343028004245914,0.3918747325779505,-0.1986154367323585,-0.02165944561798233,-0.06318472926279736,0.041956993439315166,-0.15800758187155917,0.24923786414365115,0.328051407553001,-0.10700753488351082,-0.010222163303880013,-0.18546995308317488,-0.18305033553440378,0.004845981030717034,0.27341247933712876,0.3881438131073279,-0.05752472102780555,-0.1216980995473557,0.39643314335209734,-0.20786466167819959,-0.16926744715854267,0.1102587423743379,-0.13147211944987314,-0.2199591437971341,-0.02501700617133579,-0.0026445427207540855,0.3423023290191619,-0.1605713292947777,-0.22547395486617014,-0.2042184475265421,-0.2024765422348513,0.284755582462941,-0.16349599597163397,-0.10537225986343676,-0.09404984596220271,-0.2247077146620961,0.22815432294803578,-0.08596773580306308,-0.09403771676661324,-0.03474365073266707,0.3877622215187677,-0.09376335295783,-0.09228837980864422,0.388082241613177,-0.19101415483933784,0.2894584139860054,-0.18552790154209478,0.3316628467172223,0.37605239426425413,-0.13575015677243848,-0.1404013614486511,-0.1600721330858015,0.39267390046618594,-0.15044803876291138,-0.13115500285588652,0.11218896731191984,0.35839488382358864,0.15113431913141542,-0.07821768186366797,-0.06140765763918051,0.02350975513289626,0.12164184784388259,-0.19464823174897333,-0.06368419486284418,0.37473853779276,-0.17725114029926584,-0.23719576054172134,-0.1801600894616834,-0.1329739486820346,-0.1478650752774294,-0.10288846304252659,-0.08270998650610423,-0.08374519878303105,0.12576603810270126,0.10733113368102057,-0.10078631833417365,-0.09643193817179964,-0.17540068134070302,0.2937947323544385,-0.1988005286680845,-0.10173203287709943,-0.02452069354562659,-0.21071639140063939,-0.1544513622083541,0.32143332200282093,0.36084443431319213,0.1842218218831412,0.21343840427449426,0.037031944071037645,-0.23050377613432002,-0.2027185533765386,0.3929153919028617,-0.18493814694646055,-0.20921190082091276,0.07534984348505289,-0.20302385425001182;0.18651410586639214,-0.9114469335660826,-0.12396121802901983,0.238772606746249,0.24026863725829078,-0.33454420888493935,0.23351999650146035,-0.9255052569080187,0.2057962700455499,-0.8820743485204993,0.22735596454116716,-0.6692339501404334,-0.5551656424450012,0.2035254183226037,-0.920461806501385,0.23243841806880003,0.23143874929277108,0.18450259323128013,0.0290492861184254,-0.19106272965050303,0.2045373195109152,0.21928354641464246,-0.18092344475688235,0.23581190901981683,-0.9467805305684577,0.14266426716982467,0.22191633535372296,0.2368427148526646,0.1954002926491747,0.18713872768683273,-0.5227110001881177,0.22811532697366824,0.2376784333525674,0.23494121118523442,0.2344702534309368,-0.6331956568866739,0.22903021387325775,0.20296731928399195,0.21565639368528455,0.23707568456842784,-0.6938777087228764,0.21234681149795545,0.21350385552284146,0.1974912375536463,-0.19833300823913616,0.212950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k{283}=[0.5012843066472118;0.08701638004517963;1.4278601294658269];
x_a{283}=[16.909827506415784,19.89708497866415,35.83463445813499];
L_a{283}=[-0.8674869107026628,4.182117770979243,-1.260268310959697,0.014569610289221631,0.09264630932305473,-0.4355879709637361,-0.06685441125292846,4.361322766365956,-0.6375297250285094,3.81224054482397,-0.24258849319815634,1.7662101008894986,0.8534491832582579,-0.3912979924210211,4.274057089860258,-0.13151156442967832,-0.13434277785269685,-0.8804087515097333,-1.4821943642311248,-1.0557811011234501,-0.6587161735982588,-0.39581604163953993,-1.148012011854749,-0.025742170040996715,5.342491745628754,-1.2090260503551937,-0.3558022124788126,0.028792093315687495,-0.7818646784563106,-0.8538568291105794,0.6434089253441072,-0.24022379174630984,0.049797206940421404,-0.04256334681864349,-0.056220235745305956,1.417990103427156,-0.2289677034072881,-0.39310792876801554,-0.5220183735181015,0.06184805218203503,1.987043174226242,-0.555765714884431,-0.5143154396252426,-0.7404564026642008,-1.0185702069161529,-0.5080037223876176,-0.5190459638736784,-0.31612637241352,-0.1033993422270765,1.28471121968954,-0.12428221594795039,0.7328792425168853,-1.3814093416998647,-0.34543300030415297,-0.28323068535790347,-0.22987356702866188,-0.8041092068617521,-0.28040452332989274,-0.3560388265279513,3.1700034220301236,-1.3463251038673845,-1.314111358377353,-0.5788682955675374,4.702474476576254,-0.9380460519417523,-1.2471388379830368,-0.08478956262867086,-0.6318554302062265,-0.006670349411667961,-0.14801270461702679,0.09877634083995905,-0.1622094171006275,-0.29930154852563307,-0.29971052530568215,-0.471247603610623,-0.5629250202034781,-0.5528655230751063,-1.2502219729135358,-1.1984588647651055,-0.41207366508334986,-0.42244068271971963,-0.1725229396298389,-1.480129451003741,-0.0730455006683253,-0.48379904769427995,-0.778947399501017,-0.006441937801032889,-0.2681682460554058,0.9385210366649057,-1.322549242730507,-1.3871225790318114,-1.4314373335709585,-0.9991968146915134,0.068333956764711,-8.495028391065716E-4,-0.2670631114393646,-0.13171948959631208,-0.015700268094922715,3.5003768939059308,-0.0598414303288913;-0.16052614945200283,0.7767413217600228,0.13451798512583524,-0.2161872081177732,-0.21706645148569395,0.31083592686646483,-0.21105334137076004,0.789741263007264,-0.1817937151986906,0.7512038997620726,-0.20313986990199193,0.5778317803047646,0.4868310506034506,-0.17980642763746593,0.7849432342589867,-0.20993697427994992,-0.20804408880325265,-0.15894934509464223,-0.002341832343770548,0.19172140195005485,-0.18007533208608661,-0.19533755112575246,0.1828516659359234,-0.21265385434559414,0.8246744875356707,-0.11467406965461517,-0.1976672127280294,-0.21460252926281892,-0.17047873604855704,-0.16150002609561037,0.46200510864054395,-0.20526367730322723,-0.21620945160339364,-0.21213712991263958,-0.21293601555671027,0.548565035782324,-0.20609420911690224,-0.17850788156711297,-0.19116856449743228,-0.21320121627710945,0.5978330479600716,-0.18936496619484036,-0.18972334576594385,-0.17250159299302664,0.19826269764725651,-0.18827472081814403,-0.18885409747211857,0.3292686255768683,-0.21025104787588392,0.528472045830429,-0.20864994122862524,0.4680110989724501,0.11904859546245895,-0.20001611374101178,-0.19309491134505247,-0.20283887729920563,0.24307369538818271,-0.20261579637218832,-0.19739411690879946,0.7019511015927815,0.1079183192953926,-0.09334905082754141,-0.18591302348030272,0.8134624968954776,-0.1510086815988248,-0.1103816439043988,-0.2104228751052263,-0.1812375086812656,0.37349755506129534,-0.20478811012364478,-0.2188189521176721,-0.21033828149923525,-0.18865739647434052,-0.20362461100610627,-0.19056155214668782,-0.18743916725338797,-0.18660286404392973,-0.10683105436293269,-0.11563571014624431,-0.1774504135561454,-0.17502476142127557,-0.20749764892799422,0.018424586704283194,-0.21239025228616723,-0.19174025083305984,-0.16943967932011025,-0.21191487937703712,-0.20434262606027345,0.4960401270946928,0.11479124122712235,-0.0738448940811797,-0.05287283408860801,-0.14886326408672326,-0.21779060998902824,-0.20287659882342582,0.3432297324188419,-0.209443851505277,-0.21213285149121636,0.7265761902425277,-0.214157031401785;-2.461771007340459,11.855823785932229,-3.9713389310339355,0.28325106694908747,0.5231015408407403,-1.6643177475552327,0.029425225861140915,12.388846825593829,-1.7404699608216003,10.756026190245256,-0.5132240802362021,4.72269514904623,2.050264755427691,-0.9910385980000654,12.127483498984342,-0.16904328038305919,-0.17868614627017465,-2.5032306294771596,-4.495829673142093,-3.414176921247478,-1.8064074161921662,-0.9890732803107205,-3.6856024010249078,0.15722558701296316,15.362908045503444,-3.548279827930642,-0.8642853017297311,0.32473991671849456,-2.1914951900975628,-2.4195361413459917,1.4415033962147483,-0.5052456997702967,0.3897005563293602,0.10500279210664415,0.06283975209613864,3.6956789753991806,-0.46996795296654303,-0.9971221146841316,-1.377973977392774,0.42588692062714045,5.372215961025095,-1.4843082630633724,-1.3566108118543387,-2.0629920550022547,-3.307848878106419,-1.3378953292962972,-1.37176753206555,-1.3212936101936692,-0.0828648412368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x_a{283}=[16.909827506415795,19.897084978664154,35.834634458135014];
std_x_a{283}=[13.942920348037251,3.1812600569289136,39.78072988698388];
pred_a{283}=[16.909827506415795];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.2 to 28.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{284}=[9.29350047349643,4.358004835986595,44.24305857915675];
std_x_f{284}=[14.404767826883,22.85915372110592,23.230368408885877];
pred_f{284}=[9.29350047349643];
obs{284}=[10.950560772126076];
sqrt_r{284}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{284}=[209.18813625829236];
L_f{284}=[0.8311438575174214,-4.504928228126533,1.2447587647524014,0.007401328360738022,-0.07851863847976454,0.7941869180900555,0.09794825050121335,-4.6586976877949065,0.6517230394268749,-4.160785288664676,0.28308755101237654,-1.7623209808203917,-0.6083832052082693,0.4409426024297212,-4.584618576666416,0.16660489139455995,0.16968657208777865,0.8402918786697027,1.1395810307760899,1.2054269618256623,0.6709546156212066,0.43533674495695124,1.2445535168880737,0.05291790186728704,-5.36801976897507,1.022352379598112,0.3959769738774317,-0.006623531138387779,0.7683417080659071,0.8217003664759588,-0.35541407062726527,0.2793599785003728,-0.030411278000956943,0.07167794444576531,0.08602989727615923,-1.3144202941449559,0.26791117541945314,0.4424477834059452,0.5508830472672875,-0.04292810300338354,-2.045322076419313,0.5815859490412075,0.545319581781421,0.7370487922504305,1.1893679337729532,0.540409562513887,0.5500057825542404,0.685438484683121,0.13686303069654912,-1.148899817421237,0.1600681626417184,-0.46527059793926595,1.2542295675453663,0.38577302273793573,0.32977248174091445,0.2704554808131821,1.0762583812128739,0.321165697653824,0.3966859782265576,-3.4844071769325335,1.2405778622205677,1.0604232836865803,0.6023502607013436,-4.92967557152929,0.8797478356792773,1.03433125991419,0.11742883069322481,0.6482788460584784,0.37588916591348903,0.18634623770729403,-0.08619169139462031,0.19792159195077472,0.3473024687518536,0.3394495753520563,0.50642344214086,0.5875948135686284,0.5801520492016817,1.0382145232213926,1.0184567855514923,0.46170012621681783,0.4730561970869894,0.21009872799787144,1.1595593750082134,0.10364570743948837,0.5169379257632526,0.7662215266661496,0.0321307200142014,0.3075480205559716,-0.7126503973834671,1.2423236908341688,1.0814782344644989,1.098917575196015,0.9138208300225901,-0.05139211379320741,0.03124994039234641,0.642853523369408,0.16703355110425144,0.04262983903101547,-3.8447609653140415,0.08887014592484217;1.7828039700334222,-5.571821829513036,3.090562230931807,-0.6649155206009503,-0.8724700952302892,0.7291559260638307,-0.4461600250673053,-5.2684057801854705,1.1275314897246405,-6.040552035129396,0.029548551192487074,-4.560347978039955,-2.516365635622745,0.4464430557251759,-5.424151279166212,-0.271460725278851,-0.2645370263170166,1.8191133568687448,3.522588438496901,2.519283664366698,1.1877564560141642,0.4513665996301409,2.7926236422321855,-0.556192465232239,-2.7794557448924393,2.7468911848535167,0.3403403850178475,-0.7013458374307016,1.5374517514537294,1.7435467889999163,-2.014853344088601,0.023034080355961932,-0.757743403414119,-0.5111479174346518,-0.4739862766785103,-3.818585399650777,-0.007840654985247188,0.451596110136872,0.8015611960896196,-0.7890058514024734,-4.98733794412599,0.896999037812216,0.781607883226091,1.41981964418581,2.4087278684989966,0.7640004304654288,0.7948146258201779,0.40278401045966045,-0.34777271771674445,-3.5228004907393773,-0.29155948771913137,-2.2319361293490125,3.4126687389083843,0.3118398995475407,0.14557698843587977,-0.004628865126343974,1.7788926173881066,0.13312542042482528,0.3417004568884363,-6.2860691418082535,3.3083273213989246,3.0333193787787156,0.9629319761117737,-4.567023394422971,1.9847298916636413,2.849209214122593,-0.39755127479495517,1.1111884524085918,-0.4093692773872745,-0.22644411969166964,-0.8885044596653694,-0.19022919711675457,0.1899372712035282,0.1853265421453772,0.661542428175288,0.9180085572494555,0.8893819145379352,2.8609643056435488,2.718394752089853,0.5047967948289867,0.5350653251683533,-0.1611034909463998,3.5443886778469498,-0.4299661146091457,0.6959548491154074,1.529885197436095,-0.6081012100074611,0.09949980451100361,-2.717979037221064,3.2495811699355066,3.2272066353930695,3.3517710636643314,2.1558930983303313,-0.8068418380240566,-0.6191637971488323,0.2729758306558475,-0.27187139456394266,-0.5835526092742243,-6.24930213614936,-0.4655839996950116;-0.8300520311928791,7.585841987098922,-0.862440698994805,-0.5833559862358044,-0.5729116683566522,-0.01248531557592233,-0.5898399068882647,8.221366304125981,-0.6928883662455408,6.244619460307538,-0.6034180119797633,0.40602761315368713,-0.30341234885684615,-0.6060975062255368,7.911054844194942,-0.595370902747516,-0.5942787872570902,-0.8399281833833026,-1.789071830181691,-0.40472106986797773,-0.7007179967896644,-0.6228137235914544,-0.5489381215723576,-0.5857677223301697,11.412427943329758,-1.266774540813351,-0.6173810782141788,-0.5809558288179189,-0.7699428690894876,-0.81889505524012,-0.30801023912129455,-0.6056751489121234,-0.5790026950653332,-0.5873345459628276,-0.5894512142781329,-0.016157052759607732,-0.6042748599310617,-0.604802331736394,-0.6547671361928362,-0.5752196617901819,0.7768136668168159,-0.6653532046416312,-0.6503275872302768,-0.7415520562532645,-0.34955761453923734,-0.6463955113271839,-0.6508781696648728,-0.03023787257431885,-0.5926067834883297,-0.12275487924041205,-0.5941169692899725,-0.31219733232930014,-1.1958076996715143,-0.6171653520293896,-0.6001480231449494,-0.601805979776733,-0.1156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k{284}=[0.9952196141813455;1.4037488452568276;-1.5025826714020494];
x_a{284}=[10.942639384573852,6.684101316708896,41.75318848896754];
L_a{284}=[-0.05774225731579796,0.3129719633790747,-0.08647742534621501,-5.141942671159888E-4,0.005454944274901552,-0.05517473896537344,-0.006804782388655738,0.32365482607146584,-0.0452773116240371,0.28906323809152,-0.019667009586381512,0.12243414978907621,0.042266352887061674,-0.030633711577976855,0.318508310149081,-0.011574581730905162,-0.011788676075638329,-0.05837779999174751,-0.07917038731155729,-0.08374491753213656,-0.0466133915470944,-0.03024425449212886,-0.08646316611192235,-0.00367637813670461,0.37293372979051653,-0.0710261330048212,-0.02750980363983803,4.6015817342902077E-4,-0.05337918846698757,-0.05708618738910136,0.024691767296595137,-0.0194080430438194,0.002112770038243877,-0.004979699091343088,-0.00597677576564107,0.0913170375491044,-0.018612657591015862,-0.03073828137831757,-0.03827163057094714,0.002982354435132695,0.14209515303770517,-0.0404046606577811,-0.03788511859381279,-0.051205168192596136,-0.0826292448099315,-0.03754400364312493,-0.0382106841483315,-0.04761963286950416,-0.00950831828211532,0.07981779361970384,-0.011120454000505486,0.03232385626710999,-0.08713539270879817,-0.02680090208566535,-0.0229103630185393,-0.018789418732190245,-0.07477115763317385,-0.022312421835525204,-0.027559060469682074,0.2420730586933747,-0.08618696449804644,-0.07367104209034211,-0.041847224680868135,0.34248053782757076,-0.06111893319231483,-0.07185834464100166,-0.008158161426392523,-0.045038032348946835,-0.02611423852090772,-0.012946077036128338,0.005988016127385943,-0.013750254408316736,-0.024128228026591512,-0.023582662072799923,-0.03518287772010255,-0.04082211594976193,-0.040305042989010845,-0.07212812752766105,-0.07075549346173601,-0.03207580402552542,-0.032864747071125855,-0.0145962395126286,-0.08055834763029307,-0.007200603186222218,-0.03591335297222158,-0.05323189259415682,-0.0022322252471956862,-0.02136635767597592,0.04951013263195594,-0.08630825286963588,-0.07513379775483023,-0.0763453652720909,-0.06348609453158792,0.0035703766944918023,-0.002171034632473824,-0.044661117599592015,-0.011604362110119096,-0.002961633070371511,0.2671080041907745,-0.006174097043816856;0.529037625920125,1.2237856263869427,1.2128648483774827,-0.6760802982943629,-0.754026067254709,-0.46886150477001415,-0.5939132916438146,1.7591602849744452,0.14441839188225805,0.23592166172401088,-0.397484194927912,-1.9019168132148225,-1.5986299390704917,-0.2187113451788978,1.4916677093658914,-0.5227813645470901,-0.520506328390754,0.5515473787544247,1.803549875131215,0.7009176362064692,0.1756328532409944,-0.20533146081531659,0.9152358725832243,-0.636018218334076,5.31811059095038,1.2046900438947694,-0.25698413155169847,-0.6913543535914292,0.3784213794686464,0.504025790179925,-1.4787172757697424,-0.39837568615805197,-0.7118685088405636,-0.6192728750439783,-0.6037609105361735,-1.8358047872297012,-0.4119800971704349,-0.21582883061745767,-0.029436492167741374,-0.7242495396334941,-1.902004449698227,0.01968654548984048,-0.0409974121624227,0.3079941023919821,0.6145866104667677,-0.05119818453809354,-0.03485972356852601,-0.6311882619488859,-0.554228267004227,-1.7897046965369543,-0.5330195830673408,-1.530083361833997,1.5206848117491198,-0.2700921306311541,-0.35187918005033025,-0.412606348636088,0.15537519169836042,-0.35134756094901676,-0.2566935806584023,-1.0299002991802362,1.4369367590599258,1.4336889278342533,0.054296873530431645,2.8693081901501554,0.6576452748371884,1.2889381363597425,-0.5746906645890425,0.1332708615640156,-0.9763916779940943,-0.5075442434264336,-0.7584857621374185,-0.4887905454522914,-0.33396258393002815,-0.3267273571292462,-0.10238870346144477,0.031631795194863505,0.014232435685931522,1.2948353913631458,1.1820700483589117,-0.19166997694326587,-0.1785318859732199,-0.47803384147746397,1.795213122692422,-0.5863138978768787,-0.08383720187030773,0.3740530829588866,-0.6565698535540303,-0.36443114304298335,-1.6429580582690444,1.3755570548865559,1.5958151500337479,1.6940726300253102,0.7774099502334871,-0.7293177102283928,-0.666303799646713,-0.6967577533745178,-0.523838659698719,-0.647858994924113,-0.44954574515644236,-0.5996431002336521;0.5119883124321307,0.3117758039722121,1.147459831784902,-0.5714051293935323,-0.6996949918610837,1.2698809978077126,-0.4316837675253973,0.6990099885199361,0.3594428323429637,-0.47376228317109137,-0.14631914660235298,-2.4395758684652455,-1.2857631156809666,0.10588845905760305,0.5083133881046299,-0.3263555166931542,-0.3202874397261827,0.5168833858720957,0.050999180749455454,1.5416707604169027,0.382666251028347,0.08012051518125499,1.4606309973682625,-0.5003216728123218,2.7447357860906982,0.38400844508261833,0.02199930014459801,-0.5916507836378039,0.4706914213378932,0.5078969702415578,-0.8818940706140657,-0.15459516059149975,-0.6281075059946786,-0.4715968282088199,-0.45053953026788196,-2.138539414449639,-0.17168114866325285,0.10961403542757274,0.23473865436916674,-0.6445352749475858,-2.5257490814184598,0.27372827907417807,0.23019492677272016,0.4485538507731102,1.5709038508260063,0.22619883971652707,0.237211109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x_a{284}=[10.942639384573853,6.68410131670888,41.753188488967545];
std_x_a{284}=[1.0007459032647368,10.641947417268115,8.234274414270324];
pred_a{284}=[10.942639384573853];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.3 to 28.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{285}=[3.7863337798461822,-3.534579720523624,33.474556370666384];
std_x_f{285}=[2.5601194479903726,3.8149845655949695,9.140918383940086];
pred_f{285}=[3.7863337798461822];
obs{285}=[0.7354943067594247];
sqrt_r{285}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{285}=[7.575254311863292];
L_f{285}=[0.14506110396920355,0.39581942599041353,0.21109234965897522,-0.11435114191629395,-0.12389651833978862,-0.3963490693820631,-0.10662344352275248,0.39611019094584365,0.035702506252354535,0.3274131880470058,-0.07932178517434035,-0.369233038355069,-0.46733724868625265,-0.05692526573059267,0.3988512329218176,-0.09608341805070561,-0.09660760900507892,0.15235238098399223,0.6622748193061447,-0.03338503547532561,0.042628557170056286,-0.04549507953522764,0.05008846644344302,-0.11102808635709306,-0.025490278934616608,0.4038559434971237,-0.05427010854633915,-0.11703650554187923,0.09994150938823806,0.13755107441340422,-0.48124575311790374,-0.07779024839064382,-0.11929197415443307,-0.10954696870886804,-0.10663162582397578,-0.4150022870522027,-0.08002331586010103,-0.05627451585622983,-0.005599116617281076,-0.12136252079428174,-0.3320017403596471,0.00567964756682967,-0.009591121248253745,0.07870082786728409,-0.06701693891473295,-0.012911485015498386,-0.008151413280165451,-0.4282350778609929,-0.10114567693902037,-0.4261514229166452,-0.0992047904814799,-0.4735242853042162,0.3763138441467031,-0.05668802665734055,-0.07635928000024982,-0.08201787928704647,-0.22968007234607435,-0.07107320394583923,-0.054594250269622786,0.07057645575287401,0.3412336328962831,0.5111125511126058,0.012868835291996146,0.3320371746665936,0.18728908248429482,0.44494414246084174,-0.10387644200616519,0.031893842275454394,-0.4764189401826838,-0.09732893506747985,-0.12303496222939923,-0.09117095777986912,-0.07488154327314253,-0.06539725247196376,-0.02384844629535399,0.00809333026622198,0.002364529456215046,0.444335322949122,0.39317459132080296,-0.052541741612995636,-0.050848348594535346,-0.09096698642184488,0.6356646241073631,-0.10436381024106003,-0.01869750176525184,0.09896600385550346,-0.1141527941584212,-0.07227576311280867,-0.4605039134414971,0.30413239567620753,0.5919326571370981,0.6362374066119186,0.2332523762899109,-0.12041676161757005,-0.12016849932342313,-0.44344577416309633,-0.09736938897314491,-0.11348825147652185,0.21601392122150465,-0.1058143064372534;0.12593115773479216,-0.023344820597938094,-0.09765192739200786,0.10626940618419894,0.11234143522756695,-0.47103036935699255,0.09499221681305428,-0.3365438759383927,0.08814795052023403,0.40241839433569465,0.07945987628191174,-0.1554466984363623,-0.3817234617891962,0.05600944540748026,-0.1746999619876595,0.09009152440624722,0.08882587455565215,0.12893008239733247,0.3917449623373499,-0.286718670071011,0.08871251870961207,0.0741332522646298,-0.237696828731599,0.09956974650003964,-2.972060079164191,0.2707117301310861,0.07611991308718334,0.105848088539695,0.10877072096159361,0.12293251216921731,-0.4216310540970616,0.08265345529245116,0.10848351091621077,0.09708432409564442,0.09752707388012624,-0.25419109519574773,0.08310570424172684,0.05590638071276306,0.0808562358829616,0.10752926001043435,-0.08155184043440515,0.0816560331846648,0.0781586490475034,0.09945082066493424,-0.30774344294989,0.07570232383954559,0.0771389849720553,-0.48071664488108434,0.09207725454413283,-0.28126023141333384,0.08811634444128354,-0.4016618350325426,0.03712396153630358,0.07695318073969541,0.06790408251495354,0.07921212724274573,-0.3993461002034593,0.07864720064975739,0.07530624945026021,0.4856179876678452,0.020784455231109472,0.3407790068722249,0.08195775952950338,-1.0968990713678306,0.14462633768645825,0.3005849665799848,0.09304180900476314,0.08563973496816377,-0.486496251313033,0.08267614802451827,0.11563156734445561,0.08889654587160561,0.06347325713925332,0.07965103074611896,0.07509794001892475,0.08214600329732223,0.07907887893129538,0.2970289619484318,0.26317407022539424,0.054317107237431404,0.052502878271761366,0.08544114388521648,0.3482375143931203,0.09604985399552379,0.07772384221527626,0.10712199420175905,0.10059869144930918,0.08178997698626403,-0.36445781108276953,-0.013305844841972891,0.39338348851033494,0.4146276378505328,0.1726741260767828,0.11149891983976802,0.0910570547156508,-0.48927224465811686,0.08860851071615775,0.09871083521913737,0.5304671905929009,0.09819896726756763;0.5283363456173332,0.7858664794454039,1.218691370538356,-0.6857903966391177,-0.7992109945113773,0.6563592078879252,-0.5636738575521543,1.2302668887697072,0.24683830162865608,-0.13898139607369764,-0.3022648307938427,-2.359496061086008,-1.425936774687678,-0.06997740513286788,1.0132369246657187,-0.4684751615775869,-0.4627797363994579,0.5429154770146327,1.2130382768673331,1.1876537089599328,0.2754191767208043,-0.07998945402157664,1.2328465121936585,-0.6241113617451552,3.462103042141591,0.8840651326001396,-0.13875270672753,-0.7045430208494422,0.4258931118253656,0.5123535881643428,-1.1015901662644279,-0.3079220679742363,-0.7365430127405832,-0.5992668365912523,-0.5797172618007161,-2.1145424547605036,-0.3241720063369663,-0.06655545705928198,0.09180810160552146,-0.7524094391394358,-2.4285651017504235,0.13799392556028914,0.08424031377756262,0.37822166525854306,1.1715413070616139,0.07690783560057649,0.09074912369293883,0.4870092077703609,-0.50913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k{285}=[0.8679912305473444;0.42482911727112227;2.0321728460333524];
x_a{285}=[1.1382318713991957,-4.830665160810967,27.274723235852775];
L_a{285}=[-0.061435392486528025,-0.1676350249938558,-0.0894005422360208,0.04842929698371559,0.05247189648808408,0.16785933632717112,0.04515650937329236,-0.16775816799131654,-0.015120507319672336,-0.13866403303537275,0.03359387783200826,0.15637532053494393,0.19792381631611977,0.024108640751150788,-0.16891903734228902,0.040692662180797,0.04091466433119194,-0.06452334958098593,-0.28048258523287856,0.014139026255023677,-0.018053786088880173,0.019267798127649286,-0.021213161287222122,0.04702193679585056,0.010795487198771717,-0.17103860178832178,0.022984144802445785,0.04956658577990406,-0.04232661745264216,-0.058254790652394466,0.2038142611375002,0.0329452507304669,0.05052180806666317,0.04639466289852258,0.04515997469151583,0.1757592331109771,0.033890985821964086,0.02383303914018756,0.0023713036613421056,0.05139871332934301,0.14060734867656582,-0.002405409637082378,0.004061973073067447,-0.033330893787129695,0.028382604521928735,0.00546819324964917,0.0034522367504741694,0.18136350382714878,0.04283659913675762,0.18048104701543424,0.04201460676231581,0.20054411226419022,-0.1593741401428675,0.024008166708284897,0.03233921574042353,0.03473571113854302,0.09727270098475851,0.030100489105712988,0.02312142332471209,-0.02989010934596506,-0.1445171834004357,-0.2164632649497832,-0.0054501304993246685,-0.14062235559775405,-0.0793195279508362,-0.18844002478063873,0.043993116074090254,-0.0135074852216206,0.20177003881311134,0.04122015593812023,0.0521070155079822,0.03861216702009979,0.03171337371015133,0.02769664481533692,0.010100148270345473,-0.0034276377872735127,-0.0010014110689476495,-0.18818218126068387,-0.1665149007734832,0.022252157398481093,0.021534981933270556,0.03852578231673454,-0.2692127979401568,0.04419952329130407,0.00791865171320978,-0.04191347730937515,0.04834529395312833,0.030609789616942353,0.1950298039222616,-0.1288042940870116,-0.250691702474094,-0.2694553792870102,-0.09878562132567456,0.05099817118104037,0.050893028651008546,0.18780544499362054,0.04123728872909007,0.04806385089658615,-0.09148489615530961,0.044813828578352546;0.024863633983948443,-0.2991216356277247,-0.24472499163195224,0.1859405684415519,0.19866308842973596,-0.19488453917014334,0.16927930767181712,-0.6125232738331557,0.0632731646548892,0.17430183342557276,0.13472525195952276,0.1018067475423038,-0.056118477483551414,0.09567063292657584,-0.4525891090669288,0.15703512865431363,0.15613469511795752,0.022782552409788895,-0.06967766715001264,-0.2634585212544026,0.05901218832219569,0.10583075701028051,-0.27259465546391753,0.1769256568568822,-2.9543003951334743,-0.01066431792367235,0.11393118940031886,0.18739020754963254,0.03913909265180695,0.02709740475694852,-0.08633568371602186,0.1368517728405827,0.19159706859117376,0.17340830453472272,0.17181986554289788,0.03495087570920048,0.1388598530453169,0.09511417530582035,0.08475727369541995,0.1920854168106911,0.14976167408457852,0.07769888754292935,0.08484101150050766,0.04461808072262427,-0.2610511465303651,0.08469806275753795,0.08281826861704232,-0.1823550736645243,0.16254785504707606,0.015649607810195868,0.15723468315400385,-0.07174619505681534,-0.22506285036844176,0.11644907814990395,0.12110541032685981,0.13635593585871525,-0.23932252715895488,0.12816559346007045,0.11334336301694202,0.4364456911467297,-0.21696113854745122,-0.015325272534710535,0.0729917356889868,-1.3282372738118393,0.01413757623132906,-0.009418207637598987,0.1654149985252297,0.06341853594596081,-0.15456383638747515,0.15048753362286024,0.20135295389852403,0.15241752212696627,0.11564501060160669,0.12521485307062938,0.09171372017242575,0.07650718747058982,0.07743145498072138,-0.012550033224756368,-0.010760025540068873,0.09092418917105247,0.0879301329847849,0.14882000844069623,-0.09464515874702993,0.16876260456514708,0.09075083671645033,0.0381700238147434,0.18013166010285467,0.13214622139044907,-0.043613774083120824,-0.22520212359862532,-0.019030082372213545,-0.02865410649340139,0.010161643849802447,0.1953961437114901,0.17478130833812255,-0.18031301929640325,0.15644808151342476,0.17778080116934913,0.3799651503064688,0.1719223130605005;0.04487918829819455,-0.5333137092125128,0.5151664110177686,-0.3046828737101218,-0.3862908048855663,1.97730458295014,-0.2083210751823812,-0.08988235634064694,0.1278496016281631,-1.2301784491142371,-0.0379025467317595,-1.1289225287809743,0.1315967858398188,0.11974214336575545,-0.31604761809188425,-0.1482499951803822,-0.14080755538731113,0.03515807681615721,-0.9941798728978154,1.29891878213438,0.13334745310819937,0.07163576612550808,1.0659125310048578,-0.2540788613432567,3.547056606231506,-0.46189902365644914,0.04211777948346923,-0.3144857641236486,0.09280976484298505,0.05392572843830757,0.5022974190919058,-0.04866406341586286,-0.3389687689382324,-0.23417057966381663,-0.22433720959787276,-0.7314299560317331,-0.0574716728472298,0.1209952834282547,0.1104687413581576,-0.3479345130369522,-1.3220754003253055,0.11906489364131992,0.11620543804111635,0.11592889705061585,1.394894210723686,0.11993901123320143,0.1179160139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x_a{285}=[1.1382318713991955,-4.830665160810969,27.274723235852758];
std_x_a{285}=[1.0842461472861369,3.64372846289895,7.365903954991443];
pred_a{285}=[1.1382318713991955];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.4 to 28.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{286}=[-2.468739306794422,-4.513709807308445,21.589330464667352];
std_x_f{286}=[1.7315158288980395,2.0514343241060917,6.533709691757429];
pred_f{286}=[-2.468739306794422];
obs{286}=[-3.286974950931536];
sqrt_r{286}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{286}=[3.998541228001277];
L_f{286}=[-0.01985352051430141,-0.31295601032802467,-0.1729148867029836,0.13303619242383632,0.14555057499510157,-0.06915705532386285,0.11953070826758243,-0.4671077573533089,0.02423110331733438,-0.0041767293410424795,0.0897645376096574,0.16539793975852177,0.037428455386606475,0.06159251227359845,-0.3923586289641392,0.10858388796443788,0.10883444349143488,-0.02321165932047839,-0.26723516793168334,-0.12601243172202986,0.02093929170308752,0.06517419817273629,-0.14606126678430104,0.12608009483513644,-0.8602891388291349,-0.11833701592419546,0.07202863525277307,0.13493557116609375,-0.002107787315865041,-0.017162221042391686,0.011947324655216703,0.09094290794302462,0.13898010696212446,0.1228669972323909,0.12165436139457964,0.1146442919431806,0.09314496705723073,0.06054935115472537,0.04495142579257707,0.1399466626435759,0.19771597898749532,0.03872294704449459,0.04608644003787217,0.005343175103828929,-0.12020771507162738,0.04646508605717213,0.0446717855881112,-0.06257724978088981,0.11367778322846944,0.09802117626437881,0.10959760288178452,0.023280571918025295,-0.21965893353500718,0.073932640134207,0.08049462698203205,0.09273919973709212,-0.09388908338495804,0.0847234486325927,0.07124691263681886,0.28760371498788867,-0.201943264775247,-0.16470925383604282,0.03556606428762133,-0.7135549199563836,-0.03643300945700061,-0.13337365422679898,0.11635195440983291,0.025675527886924673,-0.045420408602525095,0.10446989532825332,0.14794125696071359,0.1047034052783866,0.07668179170997966,0.0812423096104333,0.052289986976358505,0.03739768351738618,0.03938648071954953,-0.1349930628801237,-0.11404115354687155,0.05763984796729955,0.05437897465286778,0.10206671833827166,-0.2670296351599359,0.11880819334590038,0.051294947351136856,-0.00260200186155719,0.12878611114265717,0.08743899363480247,0.04849446671459333,-0.19315753415375403,-0.20366734305704223,-0.2309075340885732,-0.051348919236892186,0.14194515651881348,0.12687161841144767,-0.06118147453177447,0.10877675089196441,0.12760200988277068,0.18556054110235914,0.12120710828159555;-0.02321674123701995,-0.5160489870863744,-0.2068320746087957,0.16862316603862557,0.18704881885692176,-0.10518913497658516,0.14793770415154783,-0.6842386715980295,0.0301183443170589,-0.03396411143875802,0.10732557224273183,0.1698278737663097,-0.06361964444037546,0.06962026033652954,-0.6110743281153543,0.13274583331000311,0.13155513504446353,-0.02718255472640286,-0.4428084247403912,-0.12400550872001039,0.026030613960713718,0.07678165234066017,-0.15055202142404123,0.157975656989138,0.30926050111512915,-0.17308306879783414,0.08464697026938636,0.17119583875128994,-0.001034697199738683,-0.019957776239146154,-0.0957048482478526,0.10936267736914486,0.17721998242229442,0.15302090923391884,0.1516203931575665,0.066619737695191,0.11173354759268811,0.06806459815750761,0.054340412216902,0.17827819475112663,0.2407159677978483,0.046100159610692054,0.054189204728153806,0.007324897296650888,-0.11711478881626396,0.055096368832981156,0.05256296015396946,-0.1112466134742441,0.14008382129288866,0.03589140125531281,0.1342714875656096,-0.08111567215183751,-0.2961126712185843,0.08729201429934315,0.09364199370154545,0.11029079230788143,-0.09505041475842368,0.1007183119873267,0.08447768266325269,0.5014335900301883,-0.267936919893099,-0.25671991983923403,0.04238810984558182,-0.7358888112070241,-0.044845695531378606,-0.19984387599547151,0.14267236469093791,0.031275199759771846,-0.12580676034549104,0.12587078228276255,0.1910435579933128,0.127871255821878,0.08870847869979828,0.09675308396796906,0.0613452448614816,0.044640915502879255,0.04628154332009161,-0.20184926365032949,-0.16576289877216668,0.06440859288775341,0.06123718065888719,0.12318734667109962,-0.4351210610256782,0.14700171277856355,0.0605405129231051,-0.0017745267713274232,0.16187358490217796,0.10472408975696905,-0.04712259339280431,-0.2485977174504988,-0.3304923063344193,-0.381925711438282,-0.0659594981000754,0.18256788001535443,0.1566235762079077,-0.11505962548507609,0.1325827953299556,0.15916411898436286,0.31500137881181706,0.1510515849635195;0.01926320853926811,-0.21814259813897668,0.4717287099574291,-0.3027027666421863,-0.36686834301027005,1.4932836409034769,-0.22656442789377856,0.2931434192654752,0.06214521596180934,-0.9613014331993285,-0.08828264959431152,-0.9505587440310986,0.03154514903223831,0.040493005995753034,0.031003069175230588,-0.17717495128157926,-0.17162530216132424,0.013973320911807419,-0.6106511751020258,1.031569957072129,0.06726347558661323,0.0032193025840298356,0.869889789792417,-0.26243482265717855,4.003919638553084,-0.31122234452060216,-0.02179951302146795,-0.30972155290633924,0.04730358249579942,0.025207083633295862,0.3228753194499003,-0.0973740770217616,-0.3302545234183792,-0.2470149642910856,-0.23894679388794082,-0.642422780165375,-0.10425174701504714,0.04163069624040984,0.04085674427367819,-0.33662854693752065,-1.0985690547940936,0.04910319084144742,0.043890344513179726,0.061509458252833195,1.0989582894673056,0.04682897212574765,0.046217627710428186,1.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k{286}=[0.7499087934877037;0.6768298755488364;-1.683963982679474];
x_a{286}=[-3.0823414114779193,-5.06751613649939,22.96720981873879];
L_a{286}=[0.014043681552693197,0.22137406541485527,0.12231390411728131,-0.09410511954478518,-0.10295735325984981,0.04891926655480093,-0.08455181545603445,0.3304155850010166,-0.017140229533292285,0.0029544713117827187,-0.06349627412461686,-0.11699668045105706,-0.026475571830197636,-0.04356837507875136,0.2775406828050712,-0.07680842011004635,-0.07698565427009779,0.016419110735125628,0.18903275091234495,0.08913675846608196,-0.014811717871663303,-0.046101933605715184,0.10331859865478732,-0.08918462097050026,0.6085382539713364,0.08370743951120689,-0.0509505211146998,-0.09544867320747219,0.0014909745515155266,0.012139951042066381,-0.008451116906124644,-0.06432981181890282,-0.09830963545882745,-0.08691178882981374,-0.08605401292385606,-0.08109533655374869,-0.06588747092212521,-0.04283047962333064,-0.03179705628106272,-0.09899334292438611,-0.1398573237819065,-0.027391249661890084,-0.03259992540481398,-0.003779573984593745,0.08503070623805792,-0.03286776627023701,-0.03159924864397283,0.044264943727894995,-0.0804116623108089,-0.06933672966896404,-0.07752548635903625,-0.016467857080854093,0.15537899742001504,-0.052297347145396536,-0.056939065654586556,-0.06560044540317975,0.06641383261889514,-0.05993038523243302,-0.050397558053408585,-0.20344074411145235,0.14284755694446546,0.116509528271767,-0.025158181924368216,0.5047436326976077,0.025771428420053335,0.09434382814528729,-0.08230327687163223,-0.01816196462896964,0.032128798212265934,-0.07389832653490032,-0.1046484375284879,-0.07406350325389559,-0.05424200019785786,-0.057467950026916716,-0.036988096139497044,-0.026453804893104466,-0.02786061002673059,0.09548934082222457,0.08066869768313284,-0.04077239948528567,-0.038465772487894095,-0.07219840372585747,0.18888736426452163,-0.08404073383351489,-0.036284240134771925,0.00184056452440767,-0.09109876165259453,-0.061851266177733115,-0.034303278711543664,0.13663284036726658,0.14406710923213165,0.16333586149225535,0.03632241794690344,-0.1004070071432148,-0.08974451688614694,0.04327762144902826,-0.07694484455605612,-0.09026117010262172,-0.13125899490268175,-0.08573764181538338;0.007377164656195815,-0.03378959526743559,0.05962655007272704,-0.03638313238964115,-0.03724191038154764,0.0013806011518799274,-0.036256894355734454,0.03556569560042144,-0.007221335264972973,-0.02752784919956285,-0.03099991084726405,-0.08504727546774779,-0.12129619812773816,-0.025292655630581605,-0.006456977642265528,-0.03457991869002616,-0.0361567183630445,0.008586180615249041,-0.03100400077587353,0.07017730508885416,-0.006236445142148667,-0.02365057498779607,0.07452567436416165,-0.03631142441868102,1.6349500651063096,0.009272072007590147,-0.026347817126265535,-0.036737366995723775,0.002213363855127613,0.006488887218414081,-0.11411545335509776,-0.030778652490214966,-0.03694577776947723,-0.03631484852259606,-0.03584671532447745,-0.11004498412970992,-0.031801114409592546,-0.025240825925266195,-0.01492889896009188,-0.03737700977056008,-0.06396067886394398,-0.013571181647593187,-0.016829142292785308,-9.08836170406476E-4,0.0681230645856402,-0.01650546466195447,-0.01627543066845928,-0.014816235321729102,-0.03509152857697022,-0.11515740845148466,-0.03461638026982109,-0.11699060052472965,0.042377660324038384,-0.026636809209493628,-0.03039872950539595,-0.03261858980019014,0.049630916666425946,-0.029838946739007912,-0.025312484719043408,0.05824161384941761,0.0432538955520602,-0.002906022804107034,-0.012418533793450903,0.3636860503426548,0.011296894490939765,0.0056824447953256925,-0.03662383323738276,-0.008290311221787831,-0.05581475538012093,-0.03511538357353251,-0.03693116769424274,-0.03347474452494805,-0.029456736260861247,-0.028439804264556702,-0.019232652623239675,-0.012988219306284712,-0.01441229099160373,0.0061725357588208905,0.009972398000689955,-0.024413340891726615,-0.02255980798607329,-0.03409556813592781,-0.02363335924009483,-0.03607950367114021,-0.018504047004072148,0.002235109707457631,-0.03658341731128163,-0.030017773316315194,-0.12185166474008602,0.049054450496677685,-0.01664471831999266,-0.026101495634765964,0.013168231499326107,-0.03616696640174049,-0.03888322831090738,-0.02078011103397646,-0.03504015485468739,-0.03746820520854565,0.029056035874258562,-0.03572631478905877;-0.05685493794751896,-1.4180119825592032,-0.19122477813163924,0.20735631208228908,0.19117072017414485,1.228136365691271,0.23171479543224688,-1.49774181309026,0.15504695953503334,-0.9773149606534716,0.25587345199828715,-0.3164251354308998,0.1750453734805746,0.27663791885157774,-1.4732949505807078,0.23913430148939632,0.24564457733040057,-0.07501988727435975,-1.6352274281848127,0.5484398880214363,0.14754445507521535,0.25309635386557305,0.3098927407489252,0.22095466591316565,0.7055819637201681,-0.7649249665033695,0.25435736331008874,0.20761971988708655,0.039222352592194656,-0.040592654725569194,0.36868121103350726,0.25129988152151406,0.2025934484499825,0.2240555487189311,0.22747448866085154,-0.20287801520950935,0.25286487831404847,0.27377614256340965,0.2131999420861065,0.199925187185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x_a{286}=[-3.0823414114779184,-5.067516136499389,22.967209818738795];
std_x_a{286}=[1.2248133466795077,1.728716094533496,5.927216752007271];
pred_a{286}=[-3.0823414114779184];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.5 to 28.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{287}=[-4.956762264105399,-7.132383843609305,19.912995555281068];
std_x_f{287}=[1.5330821727541655,2.4585031180525645,4.542742475715264];
pred_f{287}=[-4.956762264105399];
obs{287}=[-5.549519231697652];
sqrt_r{287}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{287}=[3.350348371575778];
L_f{287}=[-0.0027245475118299707,-0.024858550570470705,0.07766773396251303,-0.0474169770543182,-0.054195871747816995,0.14740194731494718,-0.03908064650931924,0.12954506479303882,-0.0010077684769585918,-0.15428013309716682,-0.02367410060371897,-0.17160863406254354,-0.07321331917457415,-0.00847495330448907,0.04601952158626887,-0.03431967525370054,-0.03408683515909543,-0.0026858206062085896,-0.07333738290905145,0.13572251801074137,-6.290303123746634E-5,-0.011552508620469372,0.12317180057671566,-0.04286791554064041,1.263745769625463,-0.041194474310489004,-0.01538600268643375,-0.04858107806580823,-7.570563043788448E-4,-0.0021387268294440417,-0.03533426773283463,-0.024994562317126198,-0.05062901098433326,-0.04179260077931641,-0.039992047921544996,-0.14954798373252431,-0.025221627483056126,-0.008516124006423346,-0.005714632136188752,-0.050971095430012305,-0.17492050856189192,-0.004270499775609992,-0.005169524208664665,5.607936169795485E-4,0.1412617630718745,-0.004958526998586593,-0.005236361171070157,0.1345626382302166,-0.03619527472266597,-0.13631522415916741,-0.03405498572808883,-0.052420444884765896,0.03828792626776999,-0.015922165899303512,-0.01877872047333937,-0.02491890299159117,0.16082472371120263,-0.021005974407766637,-0.014652323269555415,-0.1272243993898693,0.04138163736030931,-0.06264091606875902,-0.0031404576929223845,0.5605052729499186,-0.005959087685974436,-0.049790947121467394,-0.038350094480658944,-8.402370051267485E-4,0.08674732665513209,-0.03202097570718263,-0.05572850037397004,-0.031667994623932064,-0.016363145729437128,-0.01952437460693689,-0.0069489422892633785,-0.003465418695707258,-0.003658343946771649,-0.0487763067880449,-0.03898080528866412,-0.006396184670656486,-0.004942984819489382,-0.030022732996965618,-0.059479890144597404,-0.039240509631735636,-0.007462369789476803,-1.9738530202982314E-4,-0.04453873205985149,-0.02174559569748679,-0.08752777862025736,0.05206923567987959,-0.07796546765623347,-0.08279472148952727,-0.012611898899910323,-0.05221819401115566,-0.044821463311699145,0.13062994238378353,-0.033138028642964154,-0.04430090700538513,-0.14646691497813275,-0.040113637368917404;-0.022595743953986207,-0.3348105854740288,0.043437538468770104,9.505349908096041E-4,-0.008203021510120832,0.3595918457618357,0.012475795097914343,-0.07176623133658526,0.026476803138447306,-0.4263155872343028,0.030363277230319608,-0.2814552170154786,-0.08049648984787224,0.046465915118342714,-0.22120738072034582,0.01814628769264719,0.01945472453123492,-0.026686190773193858,-0.4460219329929533,0.24030287344442247,0.02571727220337155,0.039464236495249626,0.18641368659173166,0.007427935053099274,1.6988683469956383,-0.22311418357669838,0.03685184570350824,-2.7794706541226774E-4,6.724691687640339E-4,-0.018984058822892128,0.0010797545216424107,0.028538177667765355,-0.0025569455407860042,0.008676034319169001,0.010791710254758401,-0.24207748595978784,0.02830509207319961,0.046184914210636356,0.03615361861141154,-0.0032798190014683825,-0.2806426256967786,0.03283650272013929,0.03658943505310516,0.011509685293594479,0.26177671776144157,0.03905161832375808,0.036817337843400876,0.3407139748182616,0.016528093536892392,-0.2133838135701489,0.019591840379305534,-0.035603823156911865,-0.10251708902677059,0.03665196304852987,0.03659152778851817,0.029397752425427904,0.3454146264762742,0.032804084400255125,0.037543375464333076,-0.16561222973556494,-0.07821602691568147,-0.3248057321081793,0.03304593660644856,0.7660298270431181,-0.048777513064938084,-0.26189214197110366,0.01317917608149337,0.02882454742293912,0.2545632372782971,0.021634043731703655,-0.008771195459870687,0.0223158567882554,0.0392307081186757,0.03287165239335059,0.03865475762716125,0.03367349867366326,0.03573412953245332,-0.2600775339999379,-0.21345777123314183,0.04818933020205918,0.04915344690604749,0.023898280646294828,-0.40775066819689737,0.012099926707434256,0.03780110647890761,0.001071645262336494,0.005706480146814108,0.03241809856858538,-0.11062336537314385,-0.042095117286967444,-0.40199745857929525,-0.4407298433325733,-0.08242229591388059,-0.00526580681474162,0.006308342765903803,0.3347222332044072,0.019843328322061714,0.00580114511785508,-0.2804093810061163,0.011500292964359567;-0.0618601352287433,-1.102729786377912,-0.22910403224736722,0.18315937206529323,0.177450556673504,0.8243380153965655,0.19514516559559061,-1.2778929390361529,0.10181290576581559,-0.6340919581019131,0.19980993653287915,-0.09709604426198609,0.18668691867586798,0.20251412260019655,-1.2024407734254758,0.19557896124335925,0.20197210595062515,-0.07612122603063,-1.2285632018760826,0.3042740985299268,0.09540206249250285,0.1872309581653568,0.12770611008298122,0.1900331888716597,0.8430649724747895,-0.5792245429842606,0.19141407704827942,0.18471943847589917,0.011160742156460096,-0.04974638841209803,0.3015641354715023,0.19733536774185156,0.18266380254071907,0.19157172347033147,0.19275113457225476,-0.031557186874503186,0.19935715577333277,0.20056615356742372,0.15044442839852165,0.18101746835464633,-0.114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k{287}=[0.7015235763289693;1.0000495300482235;0.3331108820493153];
x_a{287}=[-5.372595251904632,-7.725170170482747,19.715541758965536];
L_a{287}=[0.002344614644129747,0.021392073893482404,-0.06683711905709055,0.04080477154433849,0.046638362516923645,-0.12684703157029453,0.03363092612991874,-0.11148025669205085,8.672371168829396E-4,0.13276606768180133,0.02037279317797568,0.14767814278705396,0.06300386377433927,0.0072931374988849315,-0.039602188531679926,0.029533863084500574,0.02933349208961749,0.002311288130406759,0.06311062706160003,-0.1167962760364605,5.4131325498646795E-5,0.009941533693348848,-0.10599573181310562,0.036890067838234966,-1.0875188724202964,0.03544998474287055,0.013240454444856498,0.041806540926936774,6.514862706451532E-4,0.0018404855200119905,0.030406972609686937,0.02150911906578794,0.04356889357086044,0.03596470363537118,0.03441523438239231,0.12869380737054759,0.021704520434602255,0.007328567026263345,0.004917737765315491,0.04386327500388204,0.150528182809104,0.003674986862285498,0.004448644081334931,-4.825920344554775E-4,-0.12156308411426611,0.004267070023084355,0.004506160758928068,-0.11579813924235415,0.031147913844255744,0.1173063304617297,0.029306084000009523,0.045110515487420046,-0.032948749188990115,0.013701850737297681,0.016160064314766836,0.021444010286497513,-0.13839802782449506,0.018076732006623766,0.01260908520007724,0.10948320357964532,-0.035611048268297626,0.05390576178202429,0.002702526956907472,-0.48234389944172196,0.005128104462676229,0.04284769608868795,0.03300224816513426,7.230675839588122E-4,-0.07465058015381049,0.027555712732627864,0.04795726905288536,0.027251954177015723,0.014081336785167183,0.016801738425237526,0.005979925760838035,0.002982172777944682,0.003148194976825033,0.04197454538240077,0.033545007573894337,0.005504249120363694,0.004253695170726398,0.02583612109381167,0.051185534793842705,0.033768496649884315,0.006421756791668826,1.6986030438658202E-4,0.03832789223351029,0.018713214541598258,0.07532219960567423,-0.044808281725169784,0.0670933343645196,0.07124915811455394,0.010853194052451031,0.04493646810597566,0.0385711971604963,-0.11241385020631457,0.028516994802450273,0.038123231421752925,0.12604238767984632,0.034519868417087256;-0.015369453344718877,-0.2688784959188181,-0.16255982958572268,0.12671411757459258,0.13554015689724222,-0.03136089154400212,0.11612901004394881,-0.4153573344926896,0.029149697573116362,-0.017119905325356587,0.09315386177057676,0.17370067782977208,0.11368647760905325,0.06894395053974628,-0.3432645058899023,0.1091720253324176,0.10986290267468515,-0.019562615155389245,-0.25150991251143945,-0.1196726282154502,0.025884109295384768,0.07010484165816232,-0.14027367047192027,0.12112608645811397,-1.6529521471943134,-0.11385448391242141,0.07765998953083396,0.12857316919911724,0.0026804021702131683,-0.0133115346564776,0.09479648583003707,0.09483100984292694,0.1317258830918669,0.11952213894282886,0.11686222621604088,0.15456716266128634,0.09520016695806885,0.06877214628046323,0.05131048130580507,0.13191031684702664,0.18329732135890245,0.04416310733663993,0.05030051334454714,0.01002229789054124,-0.11289046917603948,0.05220307078700349,0.05070568715385996,-0.016185189090298858,0.1125284652289165,0.14816371678653592,0.10991554458967369,0.10343040801712147,-0.20406777986103555,0.07888216729997091,0.08639814368394283,0.09548991411448401,-0.08113920884727034,0.0885180240332628,0.07640558857935502,0.17182379536175635,-0.187972137298966,-0.15866384558275493,0.041375341704590514,-0.7205928039721892,-0.03297228331651818,-0.12983210189174188,0.11489475505628179,0.031053099780107566,0.024484154691112123,0.1065629631385731,0.13903695880149247,0.10630856793446249,0.08263051884294723,0.0846559594246359,0.05708536901903888,0.04286479464821921,0.045437119255789006,-0.1307086145126594,-0.11006936417616306,0.06515386799044992,0.062263677000304905,0.10352728053655465,-0.24999273968734054,0.11617714504312086,0.057593476587497645,0.0015951683604921126,0.12383612179751502,0.09009372848488324,0.12152570229673097,-0.18019783973592315,-0.19521041437283523,-0.2211342166096498,-0.04897188031652546,0.13323199635341512,0.12518786973932444,-0.011746280131612264,0.10773499626051054,0.12330000571215084,0.10806337921525346,0.11789329942284181;-0.059453098410595574,-1.0807681776303628,-0.2977205986379968,0.22505051511912194,0.22533060212039369,0.694113854242006,0.22967146936402186,-1.3923412058446072,0.10270323189067614,-0.49779117455483557,0.22072512760305357,0.05451382809557268,0.2513681745786752,0.21000142995946391,-1.243097316330579,0.22589912323864675,0.23208656234598313,-0.07374840299927628,-1.1637723402587923,0.184368280596806,0.09545763499087342,0.19743717166345187,0.018888386164261358,0.22790540456089162,-0.273407609874954,-0.5428307506429392,0.20500704057325667,0.2276390216587902,0.011829573362426208,-0.04785690246990735,0.3327806523448343,0.21941713783012906,0.2273926586082208,0.22849393839416388,0.22808262773298285,0.10056291797264004,0.22163952952593982,0.20808983371701448,0.1554930942390883,0.22604854336018962,0.04028306840540082,0.14117889500829284,0.16085015772751227,0.042722364611274426,0.2452335034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x_a{287}=[-5.372595251904632,-7.725170170482743,19.715541758965532];
std_x_a{287}=[1.3192968363687536,2.1920998346152896,4.527616206566087];
pred_a{287}=[-5.372595251904632];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.6 to 28.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{288}=[-8.406921515725617,-11.944437876807758,21.595536094344904];
std_x_f{288}=[2.2527401472100963,3.7962665430100566,3.2850136414101176];
pred_f{288}=[-8.406921515725617];
obs{288}=[-8.538506863858068];
sqrt_r{288}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{288}=[6.0753960026350216];
L_f{288}=[-0.023618462753901903,-0.40110176668317316,-0.20323946425562886,0.13922777696620117,0.14744062249026949,0.07036402115318541,0.1296444777064675,-0.6689855459568023,0.03573320475301218,-0.03326264253090393,0.10753385051606254,0.19594019006050234,0.1467751418743123,0.08443479079242339,-0.5327548240585047,0.12247589448558974,0.12482136125387544,-0.028807666686928135,-0.37883570491146895,-0.08997980490599541,0.032335621797556884,0.08434838349779344,-0.13471642744112816,0.13367969078379344,-0.9916850431054629,-0.16841491634925967,0.0915660360487365,0.14063760842534107,0.001387841734603934,-0.01965218759750244,0.13464155385812615,0.10896236502953462,0.14393711997888692,0.13313899424383693,0.13024090086702092,0.1801020280581568,0.10983658028022085,0.08431798706864163,0.06214336760273039,0.1441047524401334,0.20217100760088777,0.05389138034111102,0.0619191449283119,0.0117791231177858,-0.07351325816148326,0.06359379205439133,0.062080326034968415,0.08238639787040314,0.1261205737107855,0.17494570086974404,0.12390294654664581,0.13819896881581795,-0.2919878249396438,0.09350538168820433,0.10188772371182896,0.11047894514919425,6.787539981018586E-4,0.10285267395130424,0.09029637395420399,0.15876087502003763,-0.2634059332419948,-0.23561658911308023,0.05092976623802954,-1.1436533378257876,-0.04785784759059739,-0.19222533091584212,0.12900371721963172,0.038165788967543454,0.10312354193776198,0.1206264544419335,0.15023753349030478,0.12044024429774192,0.09783856294868087,0.0991970907005422,0.06951697425815126,0.05235641596755988,0.05618479022372277,-0.19401866921465785,-0.16248554738828058,0.08014108069910848,0.07733336411902483,0.11786909040239385,-0.3775754943391261,0.13014776162867794,0.07007799738738907,-3.484886602900835E-4,0.1366394657687413,0.10434440474597888,0.15239222395257784,-0.24630434904930024,-0.2896464459464712,-0.3288052683715654,-0.07197155669608844,0.14491097614949222,0.13921960349349508,0.08548142102038046,0.12206250294214008,0.1367830381637307,0.09947976799195471,0.13074456640340165;-0.06651210862112043,-0.9222061329934234,-0.35254122374598423,0.22529994807373194,0.23507443618234866,0.330734985745329,0.215338355810798,-1.306435204156685,0.06165469068172666,-0.2547108676514887,0.1869772552844659,0.22837841538042103,0.23186570388217634,0.15638465560293532,-1.1243397750748512,0.2065193186793794,0.2108870370790829,-0.07874670552889854,-0.938410360526894,-0.027776486247427987,0.05526392426313414,0.15186940602993668,-0.14316329583479806,0.22027883737836768,0.40906621913420743,-0.42818386198379277,0.16308962873000077,0.22807830734546525,-0.010897257048072697,-0.05802788279150018,0.2472368865246654,0.18783896071735595,0.2314983075850539,0.2189733122347905,0.21553800023440156,0.2212758762702853,0.1897130198479192,0.15536573340426796,0.11211831304772922,0.2319750171650511,0.23297164002494705,0.09704162062853972,0.1132801913223801,0.012125598696376104,0.013633997996405038,0.11628811808333249,0.11276451424800199,0.33902198303422054,0.21197522765337304,0.22248665434350284,0.20864619262430686,0.2376606365438778,-0.6015711579068338,0.16584663636608926,0.18062999964001752,0.19204233305951993,0.19999297259453136,0.18084961673035407,0.1608474917075779,0.16784765412764513,-0.5323416867452898,-0.6010563759387746,0.09120008096368509,-1.526156159082888,-0.12275590096703073,-0.4903430870558379,0.21497517443317052,0.06795852413319207,0.3237098962238322,0.20499066142263908,0.23934747508277168,0.2035634926965688,0.17534894554488303,0.17366088961977197,0.12691652147159524,0.09451816506815218,0.10223559732234488,-0.49359619917702086,-0.41172104859139425,0.15081347939782022,0.14522923959952574,0.20173730944452894,-0.9187481074340165,0.21608360832908333,0.12592382765189156,-0.014070229427487663,0.22366311450714876,0.18241552238244657,0.22773094750891168,-0.4808170965904038,-0.7424590783241838,-0.8366664640439634,-0.18239688464124443,0.23192503986182866,0.22812738881481273,0.3420951556212607,0.2063288113373249,0.22451043336290347,0.03067481505919987,0.21671888952997562;-0.05749381460237333,-0.20791121430924497,0.04928428196616523,-0.05531558016754038,-0.06477905470013909,0.40821852243646245,-0.0397751012673463,0.1579021344512657,-0.015170407809238631,-0.3929938899342299,-0.01797672419062199,-0.254331820890922,-0.042481909488593365,0.002889387186142376,-0.0500494757753111,-0.03417633353904687,-0.0314917653581028,-0.060446855377271444,-0.3237136141088338,0.24420548845164136,-0.015513991536114711,-0.0061262504342036225,0.18714737563608377,-0.046345887670032386,2.571666190361353,-0.21293313811266665,-0.01016443150364338,-0.05475887205993167,-0.03784567730421121,-0.053666469811061435,0.036658953293211644,-0.02185634965516158,-0.058886154359838426,-0.0447693303355813,-0.04203756563968421,-0.2004214572239685,-0.02073085784341269,0.0021445118999171165,-0.009494730425903798,-0.06071603764301831,-0.27197576229982334,-0.009917716117809745,-0.005635549019541954,-0.02829898344287166,0.26722438976861485,-0.0049066711677944455,-0.006384998471895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k{288}=[0.8354016759456865;1.1417457139697766;-0.621120675955521];
x_a{288}=[-8.516848136085363,-12.094674884059204,21.677266474722774];
L_a{288}=[0.011699484324382468,0.19868709833863527,0.10067534669511093,-0.06896694383149897,-0.07303520426269647,-0.03485505263657393,-0.06421982457003891,0.3313842221533692,-0.01770056219254788,0.016476760953189337,-0.05326725162268801,-0.09705962686968977,-0.07270555621931199,-0.04182505532225092,0.2639018795489531,-0.06066884295474145,-0.061830677743687994,0.014269973805559132,0.18765753035285668,0.044571796563465126,-0.016017558140068867,-0.041782253180572215,0.06673223179285513,-0.06621868083073773,0.4912344947014067,0.08342489070313654,-0.04535754145222946,-0.06966530854846176,-6.874720335488896E-4,0.009734776692815124,-0.06669514291371137,-0.053974871052947196,-0.07129973260480517,-0.06595084499572239,-0.06451526477249017,-0.08921414048032413,-0.05440791649405449,-0.04176719620797889,-0.03078292447345555,-0.07138276990376284,-0.10014608312644968,-0.026695275051972,-0.030671855023599152,-0.005834827935562393,0.03641503769556179,-0.03150139706469597,-0.030751696622536462,-0.04081037705419206,-0.06247424696883377,-0.08665993660428019,-0.061375737954317604,-0.06845732028175205,0.14463714325470042,-0.04631820278505735,-0.05047042387280829,-0.05472611407504839,-3.3622305751418777E-4,-0.05094841519333513,-0.0447286100976774,-0.0786427291215357,0.13047900784334351,0.1167134635143671,-0.02522822962505705,0.566512496509118,0.023706544474084434,0.09521945899834647,-0.06390242172508977,-0.018905550899145626,-0.05108259055413486,-0.05975271665875465,-0.0744206634580117,-0.05966047684256863,-0.04846465857940331,-0.0491376098337992,-0.03443546513108184,-0.02593492532836932,-0.027831323288920247,0.09610779510785275,0.08048775800592058,-0.039698151702248205,-0.03830733992680495,-0.05838684718226295,0.1870332808413542,-0.06446912794003262,-0.03471336980991415,1.7262502055159432E-4,-0.06768481524434929,-0.05168734901939921,-0.07548799656728028,0.12200768105678132,0.14347733335879445,0.16287478669423583,0.035651350731037264,-0.07178213550803057,-0.0689628950745243,-0.04234350709758469,-0.06046406807447904,-0.06775593430921382,-0.049277634973208,-0.06476475717633587;-0.018242975503575343,-0.10247308044689221,0.0628199645376527,-0.059240335943321364,-0.06625046832443607,0.18693179503310753,-0.04961650672928266,0.060772844392866524,-0.011373382098102522,-0.18673189133558651,-0.03279004283676918,-0.1720652212633312,-0.06809915561348798,-0.01617501515032936,-0.035546918848594344,-0.043785085811920026,-0.044210805869275324,-0.019872378583657535,-0.164182534584673,0.1561155488165691,-0.010820496609135337,-0.02051367383973556,0.13215712772670868,-0.05292280393036635,2.435776333806174,-0.08399372137442389,-0.024044192346149986,-0.059343254046987565,-0.013733593948221195,-0.017864639777807095,-0.027930517639152906,-0.034847797401321524,-0.06266647685542195,-0.05312330570577204,-0.05063577435897909,-0.14679925451454198,-0.03476037496885571,-0.016955225179175137,-0.014884299884527817,-0.06253235830986427,-0.18020593973871937,-0.013096377711068103,-0.013264176963210214,-0.011947435510154862,0.16387329515451,-0.013678732261988225,-0.014109260416584854,0.1706486199022547,-0.04577782023715279,-0.1350504729290516,-0.04457468304543131,-0.044777068737180625,-0.004834641327839839,-0.02525063202701035,-0.027598289818721936,-0.03374386503719748,0.19860580072692022,-0.02935074483343103,-0.023691516603073642,-0.15661248919536352,0.005981920006321479,-0.11952594683740002,-0.012885256503198626,0.8111320793194152,-0.02494865414745914,-0.09749152075277426,-0.04867016370823096,-0.010041029326575121,0.11295596082961412,-0.041534036125395926,-0.06769348600167166,-0.04258064654284606,-0.02460406021198003,-0.029068543950439913,-0.015155556603905909,-0.012482821330854625,-0.012589450639008045,-0.09707958125851937,-0.07964877960909608,-0.012971121351020694,-0.012817221170751066,-0.03915215378428306,-0.14709577814906852,-0.04989981728431077,-0.017294815311823176,-0.013358021960440909,-0.05558742906228918,-0.030833494508908547,-0.08371356184343837,0.022555944050307673,-0.1505076460022674,-0.16468601238839461,-0.035308368041385825,-0.06423001776560641,-0.05639619104811385,0.16739648309110178,-0.04313074344261271,-0.05503352960126679,-0.17263232705837475,-0.05048422804290359;-0.08375268838041858,-0.6538538979305321,-0.17667620895208674,0.0994770775870109,0.09914459842113812,0.48644884458865134,0.10436289838093044,-0.5858722251951641,0.02455756784571336,-0.4299751084345307,0.10157880476106569,-0.03648662188469369,0.12070186603445725,0.09676351172151705,-0.6423632866005272,0.10199167568581187,0.10728392060087527,-0.09247505684212161,-0.7449010157420616,0.14416644847604676,0.020436570537463342,0.0876518069579864,0.037370410857910014,0.10227843913548115,1.4691163484932663,-0.400175892936949,0.09163817131658036,0.10160122836519463,-0.03630268268544161,-0.07551566122382727,0.18635267404378633,0.09928739368161331,0.10114232441473998,0.10325385310412998,0.10276353391710334,-1.8503746934988674E-4,0.1013848330820685,0.09588877471348768,0.05959591543982639,0.0994988139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x_a{288}=[-8.516848136085361,-12.094674884059195,21.67726647472277];
std_x_a{288}=[1.115902347829035,2.694758874568259,2.944554785969781];
pred_a{288}=[-8.516848136085361];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.7 to 28.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{289}=[-11.68122462073488,-13.53802857796107,29.169412002914402];
std_x_f{289}=[2.0970116164667334,3.2756630986963113,1.6509166794047212];
pred_f{289}=[-11.68122462073488];
obs{289}=[-11.620452879969605];
sqrt_r{289}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{289}=[5.398566027422706];
L_f{289}=[-0.03329125750530609,-0.155721904525951,0.0165434134151698,-0.02603789908843305,-0.030674313613318526,0.20988439396277214,-0.01850619978261363,0.021261382947001004,-0.008131196474884314,-0.21264589313397306,-0.007977713196367094,-0.1254248188053873,-0.02476578780297758,0.0023385134451663243,-0.08347955516868906,-0.01597285955638988,-0.014543262220772783,-0.034909289739872465,-0.2193713625371549,0.12872588553598976,-0.009004092493642153,-0.003013811410531974,0.0958829314088783,-0.02141603941426557,1.769068105036904,-0.12740704521556867,-0.004512263529462839,-0.02563447694082994,-0.02149525331542719,-0.03102437699257664,0.014265730293899942,-0.010165959341822656,-0.02783280044547572,-0.020926973083050353,-0.01986555487797279,-0.10102824675142597,-0.009642438253511127,0.0012590050523532438,-0.004910982680273699,-0.028468772772409914,-0.13335961491887208,-0.005341080205799622,-0.002992406599805559,-0.016367750789887357,0.1406008144791735,-0.002334929736500637,-0.0033100682405820094,0.1990527237182383,-0.01615820545700148,-0.08882758664959274,-0.015898865840833165,-0.003863893323901901,-0.05784049735869512,-0.004477707045833423,-0.004764339355234627,-0.008610091508346776,0.19579618247581446,-0.0067787797551101606,-0.004412538288760357,-0.13506106587627867,-0.04656810504007928,-0.17088518840223235,-0.005206865929765503,0.7436601825924213,-0.044938563846759684,-0.14430801074827332,-0.017433174261313703,-0.007402853905727888,0.1489559987089034,-0.013018341366333074,-0.03169473172866757,-0.01420373003578326,-0.0031560976160028616,-0.00690684243516793,-0.001941296478191395,-0.005211856216435526,-0.004185077969064437,-0.14386398636260136,-0.121849028272922,0.0035257674566160934,0.0029952410183465552,-0.012530723954523686,-0.20148278673954537,-0.019142239544444207,-0.004193704858516403,-0.02122304419885007,-0.023851132890287518,-0.007547787843292077,-0.03942715198330082,-0.028629332152373916,-0.20469761988056623,-0.21951209169236288,-0.06139279298909451,-0.029529664906718316,-0.02257470122945354,0.19671793404996707,-0.014151357820251178,-0.02215004062380777,-0.16796136600031036,-0.019561094053210992;-0.08349138035541509,-0.5457089831745279,-0.12800223770183627,0.052291966230678166,0.0512724495583496,0.39516066382910914,0.05682298086826003,-0.39696792009640497,5.926157161542098E-4,-0.3814018891934888,0.05737470567620112,-0.060149612353515076,0.06529105636500608,0.056022768720013986,-0.5035583868312078,0.05580343284378252,0.05943525060775881,-0.09066899976146817,-0.6361808730688483,0.14144331110882008,-0.0017730194395136666,0.04789584790652812,0.05488821176920568,0.05534704705439387,2.4259839111054906,-0.3443749252942446,0.051005183670451974,0.05400604588231077,-0.04644108034019842,-0.07750016383215372,0.12034208144129561,0.05476255398032824,0.05267086654292441,0.056297013191082775,0.05568754638277194,-0.03264601615229502,0.05642987329067348,0.05468916465324059,0.02742760707219936,0.05200696446741229,-0.06813974877794114,0.020271404213907013,0.030228549816392388,-0.02983001354708732,0.17316864079757843,0.032094609730508115,0.029666589582075846,0.38703603501309275,0.05795498645909612,-0.01614893688042943,0.05802393052652115,0.09336367001131123,-0.3129487215923709,0.051799087198278734,0.058385674482222635,0.0589023014454226,0.3196942722500547,0.055403110910805735,0.04980741184108946,-0.11490607966334396,-0.2751056230830866,-0.4623805387516836,0.017778876037280424,0.7407363944553362,-0.12091899685380818,-0.38836472330735006,0.057876414232692415,0.004661355593575479,0.3191317017743272,0.059188977736432336,0.051102372228691614,0.057459844799076135,0.057638016437970965,0.052605966743188355,0.03705204073419736,0.0194710609200859,0.02455837266816045,-0.3888771241462763,-0.3315131462334744,0.055246617677275074,0.05210151761283651,0.05809372331803031,-0.6069660882955987,0.05648604148188774,0.03513684861409495,-0.046137283727606775,0.054345013930291806,0.05488647756841644,0.045232530251271094,-0.23278829849804838,-0.5544735803872258,-0.6048234783228981,-0.16677930348947861,0.050584110911072865,0.05905153909884067,0.3848788388561413,0.05804519323330395,0.05646483747571853,-0.2124981611947667,0.05589925574462495;-0.03783598444502579,-0.24339851675026286,-0.22680596387683682,0.10603189440838112,0.11630780966586815,-0.06029559769143664,0.09306721357837708,-0.5805655744002501,8.682817186632167E-4,0.10075902331840914,0.06609126887494668,0.2302579864278318,0.1224203698755912,0.03998406773916675,-0.4028705059876809,0.08399885359012686,0.08608357518007748,-0.04026982701020207,-0.16711759629010547,-0.18787833927297465,-0.0018293606044326456,0.042458877984096074,-0.2114482196144477,0.09810213309780633,0.08437175788816996,-0.08955853638588326,0.04961146783936867,0.10716327737210109,-0.021952740648613314,-0.034314152558488804,0.08950285461872706,0.06871944996397854,0.11174868365947399,0.09816646354840522,0.09462057321792408,0.20059349663995932,0.07028396121925762,0.0407058885697675,0.02243574745282214,0.11157856837725978,0.24090403794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k{289}=[0.8147656257383226;1.1703222061194944;-0.12672597568465818];
x_a{289}=[-11.631709895343054,-13.46690606023893,29.16171064477187];
L_a{289}=[0.01805852788360031,0.08446987484690278,-0.008973818198371352,0.014124012186799715,0.016638991411127232,-0.11384980516597086,0.010038513106347501,-0.011533036165159063,0.004410690651902456,0.11534775428296462,0.004327435098569096,0.06803550713972283,0.013433967447102773,-0.0012685045089984937,0.04528269544891926,0.008664326651942299,0.007888855093277209,0.018936214171654232,0.11899592157518224,-0.06982613957800493,0.004884184844535768,0.0016348135057478767,-0.05201078962344973,0.011616928103636737,-0.959614268031332,0.06911074711508733,0.002447634690638167,0.013905179656962613,0.011659896935398912,0.016828879981553038,-0.007738310523453585,0.005514428531532318,0.015097639458143011,0.011351638696116691,0.010775882425885737,0.05480181728494622,0.005230449466775732,-6.829353874629286E-4,0.0026639161243297207,0.01544261663412704,0.07233966227243932,0.0028972184607206457,0.0016232026685397355,0.008878531668078046,-0.07626758251244747,0.001266560560114743,0.0017955152222664938,-0.10797426804918595,0.008764865783387688,0.048183684563099675,0.008624189460507659,0.002095932402608066,0.031375030942788096,0.0024288898528056343,0.00258437083909264,0.0046704627351204266,-0.10620778804100285,0.003677084988601882,0.0023935396766653692,0.07326259825802052,0.02526042830369708,0.09269505482525438,0.0028244151956065802,-0.40339143515765835,0.024376499089778045,0.07827851607916085,0.009456460557172437,0.004015608111333688,-0.08079977320428731,0.007061676193057078,0.017192507570317758,0.0077046790696158295,0.0017119953126693312,0.0037465513786384954,0.0010530379207263991,0.002827122129430373,0.0022701559767559464,0.07803765924915418,0.06609585337247918,-0.0019125192226891676,-0.0016247401720795123,0.006797172738170035,0.10929243276021192,0.01038352686175357,0.002274835551376717,0.011512239673696053,0.012937821537262804,0.004094226155496397,0.021386885831750257,0.015529710551789687,0.11103628860311604,0.11907225877491011,0.03330194012253699,0.016018087542242987,0.01224543325078824,-0.10670778346775782,0.007676270256450403,0.012015080120183472,0.09110905500643122,0.010610730529999956;-0.009732998531623785,-0.20069961575960282,-0.164654965618481,0.10998018370182339,0.11923286635285689,-0.06984830335375602,0.09782435636318712,-0.44407353637589786,0.018607672497448605,0.08972531219074545,0.07504971287364806,0.21773510480242694,0.12016085011334587,0.05084167973407961,-0.3186054182138147,0.09119207125103494,0.09165654737530551,-0.013325789718396553,-0.15015307082551374,-0.14375507812162316,0.018175980444823315,0.05457309200664912,-0.15754503332864805,0.10279531217381749,-1.4934715418105229,-0.06209849021055389,0.06100232049361456,0.11080046218675822,0.0011826869862748952,-0.008764164787990216,0.08873567000294755,0.0772857257355491,0.11433577427900513,0.10266172833678819,0.09970063845649298,0.1911869225011101,0.07779315890106094,0.05189977842009053,0.038308125346521595,0.11508089947474845,0.22732489071464024,0.03210482423740964,0.036858370529091494,0.006433525376449934,-0.13833922451625214,0.0372677588375698,0.037000204934777486,-0.053974845898673664,0.09375426762157067,0.1806528526447132,0.09324863229894621,0.10192431146696475,-0.18480031841533048,0.06171966247030098,0.0689412974185293,0.07797837320117441,-0.11410158494729258,0.07042182341804931,0.0595836025981558,0.1843282062401858,-0.17193174712453652,-0.08377618677749088,0.02931493787849285,-0.9068784992163722,-0.021355447766068306,-0.06864338639760843,0.0965004500884039,0.021062734390318052,-0.010887475962180693,0.08803173902465954,0.12132357442488673,0.08892889168426435,0.06463050246819049,0.06790840827603471,0.04135307642949369,0.03101817898137506,0.03383061414943791,-0.07013954461404596,-0.06155076494524331,0.04743511033948404,0.04546541710956565,0.08585614478315459,-0.16057128590976788,0.09889659365332684,0.044428203383780035,8.833912118272403E-4,0.10718834573809208,0.07160896447302753,0.1325852813375121,-0.16935863646385274,-0.10095616059118137,-0.11848388386919304,-0.030760618530014817,0.11600850345530753,0.10906687518443774,-0.05095920327646018,0.08939820695664628,0.10553931756956615,0.15962832165503044,0.09923780022099021;-0.045822761806564874,-0.28075715907746834,-0.22283709728398363,0.09978524232717391,0.10894885323388175,-0.009943041138863493,0.08862746246809405,-0.5754648379090241,-0.0010824423090334606,0.0497439661360255,0.06417736642943428,0.2001678012418158,0.11647890511313921,0.04054509149264116,-0.4228977645334529,0.08016686637595583,0.08259455715637337,-0.048644780253028125,-0.2197461349327947,-0.15699620788220225,-0.003989497753892194,0.04173584609676793,-0.18844531484846305,0.09296429356920267,0.5087820731211546,-0.12012426987510584,0.04852894807571389,0.10101340874448081,-0.027109584079139444,-0.04175709134746865,0.09292529102681356,0.066280573814087,0.10507142370704614,0.09314595403960733,0.08985470446248509,0.17635619908814207,0.06797068099723845,0.04100793162261973,0.02125757251342655,0.10474873475342496,0.20891024638818984,0.014452281607538827,0.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x_a{289}=[-11.631709895343059,-13.466906060238935,29.161710644771862];
std_x_a{289}=[1.137504125284621,2.0813316707343357,1.627808011661728];
pred_a{289}=[-11.631709895343059];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.8 to 28.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 28.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{290}=[-10.805171796476284,-7.5076176896845634,33.42786607249637];
std_x_f{290}=[1.0253114484868364,1.8516210570443346,1.7967741888564175];
pred_f{290}=[-10.805171796476284];
obs{290}=[-10.966539041552492];
sqrt_r{290}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{290}=[2.05171486749569];
L_f{290}=[-0.021243848462904825,-0.15484473343785657,-0.13988568125533535,0.06995777283507892,0.07734761777662459,-0.05359312808792653,0.061093798679067814,-0.3518003933509492,0.0015119464209177329,0.06624186010109916,0.0432922586739039,0.15437473929382287,0.07901311111719968,0.02567179833853857,-0.2499569360813739,0.055922508219215634,0.05571688252805908,-0.022904496409211203,-0.11038900351156596,-0.12129023924506824,9.905537565831884E-4,0.0282220628227437,-0.13332653563536037,0.06450809142301711,-0.13088406858840357,-0.05487371128827469,0.032902535582538514,0.07100765484305217,-0.012423050506038676,-0.019713259348440017,0.05585191354139361,0.04568509952364916,0.07335354315702891,0.0644871172615668,0.06263044498814893,0.13328346809703315,0.04641467476939622,0.027008055054881193,0.015526734224913775,0.07361419496872952,0.16194301507782516,0.011093515765500704,0.01454193915514567,-0.008079885347391395,-0.11562816869368828,0.014380476814271527,0.015007163463854107,-0.042344322643513184,0.05758793473809278,0.12602784630866637,0.05717271451953582,0.06479940372840882,-0.15206339005999794,0.03383739990104119,0.03900164044074454,0.04552867460435011,-0.0908487502622681,0.03970888868326625,0.03162118933424318,0.1283528236669879,-0.1437158587977705,-0.06714151684216482,0.009646434760954538,-0.5928850253036032,-0.029202426031905714,-0.058618319030457264,0.06040499101850021,0.00309666691873839,-0.013997807962659257,0.05368689309617825,0.07870623119808143,0.054264481876288996,0.03561378588425295,0.0384974929109627,0.01856304955219776,0.010596473029612788,0.012647640606038334,-0.05998017376664801,-0.05537955344399983,0.022906816219114542,0.021606564815963437,0.0515203072115213,-0.12021546490688494,0.06154169234539307,0.02098313291793695,-0.013222765110884754,0.06742628940443826,0.041734754172177216,0.08879310774725512,-0.14258127746686441,-0.07511311033232881,-0.08664999067344052,-0.03547231167868677,0.07504382138045436,0.06975983889236327,-0.04055127387849165,0.054778192754449284,0.06700692586125644,0.11352136793752604,0.06223846073057891;-0.05968490155238605,-0.2747141180984259,-0.17758682160198044,0.06150824829596781,0.06809695646445965,0.03283321013651092,0.05292327691663256,-0.39785069163615683,-0.017775483352407254,-0.025863504712762185,0.035091622015507744,0.12865743752377332,0.07491871593125328,0.01831008767762392,-0.34719492334581353,0.046916933996555665,0.04891979598278129,-0.06135536269079924,-0.24943590515898867,-0.09575914509087527,-0.01941144618432778,0.01816634739281122,-0.12795206748987303,0.05665455125764231,1.5225685534534965,-0.1443325345249594,0.02331019850818181,0.06211864374353306,-0.041595600023045826,-0.05524092688882729,0.0634147559159276,0.03676207778809349,0.06492631897255792,0.05685226695892533,0.05376561290606906,0.11109922157186215,0.03837340814669134,0.018791279548337342,0.0012720624236436477,0.06507132774797937,0.13538566421089884,-0.004641296601589681,9.022982909904492E-4,-0.03420959522747368,-0.08186607634759907,0.002103121495956185,0.0016999920656714294,0.0398471590251835,0.04980349008398334,0.10599781500071492,0.048628187900519836,0.06541571636374846,-0.2285466702112845,0.025150738144946467,0.031140970401322694,0.03691314749435219,-0.019915306963545678,0.03148792419601392,0.022404225774346198,0.08817882630146083,-0.2128912821632338,-0.17740415309952168,-0.006547175784507783,-0.03048208439858924,-0.07423862739419608,-0.1558444866054548,0.05241570462943023,-0.016396306432110708,0.04635504365971678,0.04588945921600744,0.06967508310150047,0.04602510364362462,0.028168160597971323,0.02968261277882064,0.0067601435974883415,-0.005552191402563282,-0.00326384166643158,-0.15670475192103936,-0.14163594941227384,0.014078051110303885,0.012387412901399206,0.04401579349087263,-0.25335631311446166,0.053210278777118966,0.007736392818357182,-0.042750744795741896,0.05840555334287366,0.032960138967585435,0.08056987103087071,-0.20323158468695468,-0.20191015837455684,-0.21994929458683027,-0.09002982496327369,0.0650205374278234,0.06133919567146486,0.04125809849877086,0.04729683253434966,0.05908153958193537,0.054484551419746285,0.05392340167988328;-0.005326210959820188,0.1253472447623961,0.13139337843012822,-0.08596130038556644,-0.0931016900018683,0.09565797438090165,-0.07605332580664784,0.41636852463263885,-0.01967582873584541,-0.10845870443765113,-0.05926926924472774,-0.16796035950648577,-0.09083873878600776,-0.04018785770011622,0.2555608056302652,-0.07215483612885783,-0.07172718809638064,-0.002642400552608992,0.06743119709072579,0.13827951051569926,-0.02023509049076994,-0.04439183036764481,0.14347379432723298,-0.08054129336647974,1.1046087061688554,0.015124533318405312,-0.04959916273968997,-0.08642545763546973,-0.01041200051708009,-0.0051948182113412435,-0.06257879787916863,-0.06177289563242962,-0.08893223989765352,-0.0798837400491376,-0.07845698185171787,-0.14943520611410868,-0.0615259191674114,-0.04213923910048416,-0.03333930162711638,-0.08996280570296174,-0.17488865661267,-0.02896188544740908,-0.03193166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k{290}=[0.5126028397792944;0.2947094949917236;-0.7405231267210541];
x_a{290}=[-10.887889104549709,-7.555174148989178,33.547362249370565];
L_a{290}=[0.09341690761268215,0.680908460777865,0.6151280821356387,-0.30762970340026496,-0.34012553217544456,0.2356684243914959,-0.2686515937484665,1.5469939404414843,-0.0066485768510742135,-0.29128948721141773,-0.1903717650757253,-0.6788417260424695,-0.3474493105293393,-0.11288820939531172,1.0991513164780882,-0.24591155378019505,-0.24500734302821633,0.10071937901037559,0.48542049057178976,0.5333571783691482,-0.004355824177794625,-0.1241026474066211,0.5862851396024504,-0.2836654774325414,0.5755447260247973,0.24129961323781862,-0.14468438391019806,-0.31224641541994963,0.05462865937011183,0.08668635207569438,-0.2456011233745385,-0.20089395426300122,-0.3225621372760484,-0.2835732464365484,-0.2754087849673484,-0.5860957560142536,-0.20410216126219272,-0.11876421488628355,-0.06827668250167473,-0.3237083178400472,-0.7121221799553272,-0.048782212845059625,-0.06394618135869243,0.03553018674259164,0.5084590003145287,-0.06323617287756873,-0.06599194139796577,0.1862033464990079,-0.25323503829484517,-0.5541901551312515,-0.2514091643782812,-0.2849464833089826,0.6686778850503863,-0.14879532142815552,-0.17150436034026853,-0.2002060971518005,0.399494909069667,-0.17461438740745688,-0.1390498396652665,-0.5644139239301649,0.6319707621352926,0.29524560424030755,-0.04241887275883153,2.6071305173561874,0.12841366005092028,0.2577660117864633,-0.26562265660920414,-0.013617167716111558,0.061553439129032744,-0.2360807431447786,-0.346099848208399,-0.238620610523514,-0.1566067349565434,-0.16928744077905877,-0.08162846237843045,-0.04659653563977002,-0.0556162635068588,0.2637545810560458,0.24352398468400402,-0.10072958005600072,-0.09501190298757654,-0.22655347910995222,0.52863100574417,-0.2706211446667231,-0.0922704467903891,0.05814529457337398,-0.2964978524940538,-0.1835228528177509,-0.39045550327438533,0.6269815964691279,0.3302995924052509,0.3810314401138291,0.15598462155679702,-0.32999490375022006,-0.30675931605625956,0.17831866067480165,-0.24087958359652034,-0.29465375887617934,-0.49919463317594787,-0.27368508799977764;0.006236726062776467,0.2057834185735979,0.2564913918869613,-0.15557719446987714,-0.17191985898656584,0.19913764592238573,-0.13665643380055292,0.6938184833650035,-0.022467193006986144,-0.231418126406917,-0.09924826277060993,-0.3503816638276242,-0.17026627947476644,-0.06135187814931887,0.4284445794945403,-0.1266157838897643,-0.12397484635596502,0.009719409172565238,0.09311138776701638,0.2806156910801252,-0.022485226153540774,-0.06940932512157649,0.28577251017886307,-0.14352002579126236,1.9287139298577831,0.02594566943248863,-0.0787894140951637,-0.15822468004562665,-0.0030457247152152994,0.005931141068547303,-0.10989890015251517,-0.10500301358028276,-0.162696513335539,-0.14325722532612,-0.14058245350431064,-0.30249171354011856,-0.10565562272169372,-0.06501721452214988,-0.04690883066837978,-0.16336033125167324,-0.3671384972412161,-0.039065502578828154,-0.044222684569896795,-0.009136963308920176,0.27693883095337546,-0.04252082878001274,-0.04486862487544116,0.1712455105901654,-0.12889720040341887,-0.28507825429096245,-0.12878403582560863,-0.135662829725854,0.24332010058301765,-0.07984984494793289,-0.08988472896782401,-0.10436654287439992,0.2619967719401294,-0.09173243191606727,-0.07571925084903659,-0.31011186287872533,0.23307232667171998,0.030942186713389306,-0.036480955496597016,1.8092950127181224,0.01637920287775761,0.026053581689475455,-0.13502657217705435,-0.026005550436167753,0.08979153707823599,-0.12070593806717243,-0.17455763551785355,-0.12236260507237526,-0.08234471258163872,-0.08977867015328447,-0.05084271692557447,-0.038434027775667186,-0.04251064083737913,0.029419277641778097,0.030211929563330506,-0.05700391933785836,-0.05465975712186379,-0.11585648730359704,0.11968339882912908,-0.13775928743325774,-0.057376210335024366,-0.0017192810661555717,-0.15082446208267317,-0.09654666522341099,-0.19496335892642772,0.23921131328783063,0.031172773702964656,0.04893364477352649,0.020044040664914043,-0.16784738462026272,-0.15513203975398762,0.167092453823148,-0.12268496857366996,-0.14884715196261752,-0.29778275817855354,-0.13920830130634332;-0.17096895620456368,-1.0820096415439782,-0.9593246383183588,0.45951413754391895,0.5099939199594424,-0.3222188937505269,0.4003078452072197,-2.326692980187746,-0.007886865156054827,0.4080429819881414,0.27828955806063643,1.0357318838138152,0.5252430723149607,0.15998054208819304,-1.693405887376464,0.3638846977897536,0.36270903915039626,-0.18123356638091878,-0.7932950323594716,-0.8074459419618369,-0.01251153494764696,0.1756615168679941,-0.8961011873516027,0.42244183478309794,0.08407815269398602,-0.4127373108022064,0.20694881296825304,0.4672361306653767,-0.10727713273300528,-0.15890323888187344,0.3729102945196524,0.29444341400141527,0.48302073195562195,0.4229358481614361,0.409885742954103,0.8898039689291306,0.30037904178491637,0.1684482347662908,0.08772590396363031,0.4840225230332248,1.0878150214681683,0.05753658534624484,0.081454884210425,-0.07594050885295006,-0.7644397052950117,0.080055553244096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x_a{290}=[-10.887889104549712,-7.555174148989189,33.547362249370565];
std_x_a{290}=[4.508666356981884,3.1315408679846577,6.591395735530256];
pred_a{290}=[-10.887889104549712];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 28.9 to 29.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{291}=[-6.202350165758522,-1.833434325807653,29.55458809875412];
std_x_f{291}=[3.318412424008839,4.55067590986123,4.484967834999742];
pred_f{291}=[-6.202350165758522];
obs{291}=[-7.16035818300523];
sqrt_r{291}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{291}=[12.021222487211313];
L_f{291}=[-0.09675469701828257,0.03482185663731151,0.05392564294812055,-0.05522779282610453,-0.049367916192424394,0.0012036100562964676,-0.06108305615594968,0.9856530276444618,-0.08858085276830543,-0.0976010228724962,-0.07244734711314209,0.0410496084077932,-0.044571340144759664,-0.07914688049560342,0.38351490942333355,-0.06537268973078417,-0.06471516205789898,-0.09559672849140052,-0.07044544988875208,0.056801392770071964,-0.0893253712431954,-0.07969266632674926,0.06838847154368843,-0.058891799754820895,1.1524931807615193,-0.10761417631264177,-0.07740196925364284,-0.05438751295470441,-0.09338241572563769,-0.09524494625309496,-0.05604936820281063,-0.07194775415256782,-0.05200619728520391,-0.05859365310090252,-0.06072958589724995,0.010234007077906103,-0.07019000066038575,-0.07907974977942128,-0.08465481131224722,-0.052261309626283864,0.05344727053889923,-0.08645054197233731,-0.08472083315837917,-0.09217744950598038,0.05146185853511998,-0.08466570717820583,-0.08489811235811465,-0.011238469721955432,-0.06381426532251827,0.002081015654842693,-0.06435746407204226,-0.054161424372527044,0.056347594981405555,-0.07653453180718747,-0.07401066850141713,-0.07138463817347282,0.035110759179765694,-0.07475030531469692,-0.07835298727336966,-0.005160181102219247,0.04105036962480681,-0.10917128167789614,-0.0869003672166167,2.842743038337993,-0.09728030334007128,-0.10926226473922594,-0.0614342067815765,-0.08874521651241961,-0.039115714860927145,-0.06640086929956868,-0.04901662707304765,-0.06630025179310607,-0.0758039167827775,-0.07484794944287629,-0.08340410627807651,-0.08655183057188834,-0.08622538421154749,-0.108267757645082,-0.10559467587605044,-0.08044939722144567,-0.08121436305289671,-0.06738627911992716,-0.04955519430184846,-0.06117352219886455,-0.08341974150094125,-0.09342036712788285,-0.057312677826345984,-0.07319207742902574,-0.037518936687431045,0.04397707570578263,-0.11087439311736774,-0.1009274576496356,-0.10024531910596449,-0.0514688868655468,-0.054871926549536786,-0.012406984786071485,-0.06534546129044376,-0.056926297458413155,-0.032390857203551685,-0.06084002180132072;-0.28400253590662966,-0.6341914559051738,-0.5489128066263428,0.21176080201239683,0.25599572814919574,-0.28929370997873827,0.1597290439770207,0.7435166393945223,-0.16600751118702148,0.1520998406077514,0.057238456713382964,0.7570992936677383,0.27054491928278335,-0.03776406735627361,-0.2829062497258981,0.1288049694530697,0.12831353513965074,-0.290957214093969,-0.6332690017584444,-0.4748212011815535,-0.1698771656438567,-0.026412050475998948,-0.5000188846864689,0.17959492021287762,1.2797986676125936,-0.45146344201342603,-9.83054637427681E-4,0.21825637272666712,-0.23839747088839292,-0.275246319192247,0.13929909726280434,0.07049634331380354,0.232804297091393,0.17946147998412185,0.16875187897941032,0.6128966566034924,0.0754108664203093,-0.031205191543825037,-0.09527211638999414,0.23330518959466737,0.809852584704947,-0.11768088743468799,-0.0987800855297437,-0.21670430806226543,-0.46163312497808034,-0.09987795689263672,-0.09678260962575774,-0.2596470008446055,0.13847922555707196,0.566337746678611,0.13604809628997486,0.18683053988297113,-0.5882811895727462,0.005237687112912322,0.03357689622368532,0.06979338018096462,-0.3920886885005601,0.036856630938427476,-0.0077271412955233106,0.5725797199411814,-0.5844694540169271,-0.5073230488462638,-0.12479180241046572,2.955191162748165,-0.32194499375075086,-0.47028839630774844,0.15564893393740034,-0.1588500950779061,-0.17373425487369193,0.11695911594708738,0.26473433136686547,0.11927399995881341,0.014958259677845122,0.030492001936432207,-0.07734168401327479,-0.12025749030758111,-0.10977255475475868,-0.4750828223235178,-0.4509359274152269,-0.0530095184053418,-0.05952569471994265,0.10381067767567104,-0.6397734901001063,0.1625817466487779,-0.06640661071146076,-0.24259884007436092,0.19628076976517178,0.04884250861694836,0.32918873584068153,-0.574578531251732,-0.5440365976566612,-0.5795342896718362,-0.35389493399053756,0.2423879118885893,0.21123137472580333,-0.2549800589758057,0.12309549549271388,0.19436710242143468,0.46791881851372175,0.1656010787116604;-0.08551612391055395,-0.9199808281779692,-0.8477305744780205,0.2982618649690099,0.3235799009250073,-0.3247726868117564,0.26648827261011826,-2.0901840614393654,0.020159562205825873,0.33424140641127076,0.1986001443237223,0.5390142415690877,0.327633824296751,0.12463543907508234,-1.6398483306904184,0.24792300526447358,0.2456749988249978,-0.09412479250361785,-0.5792462420134816,-0.738181928976863,0.018093388264576477,0.1373382783094282,-0.8156882522833733,0.2787210201015879,-0.20841584550383943,-0.24543172244288117,0.15603950542695508,0.3024975010190694,-0.044323777012381084,-0.07912444606517119,0.23975465511281202,0.20878918547842817,0.31013202603696993,0.2786795399671947,0.27261497827129,0.4901847195238091,0.21019392251636973,0.13094458991714927,0.08288023483471699,0.31118126294324705,0.5548369257059573,0.06393182296177856,0.078055906886451,-0.023312249952205127,-0.7009942433620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k{291}=[0.9168137848655705;0.8991411699516665;-0.076315961008339];
x_a{291}=[-7.080665121982037,-2.694818775257935,29.627699401243998];
L_a{291}=[0.030564106560824162,-0.010999971781291874,-0.01703471922521573,0.0174460589209141,0.01559496642220823,-3.8021168121032413E-4,0.019295694110420623,-0.3113606377500307,0.027982048486467855,0.030831454755696774,0.02288559114392792,-0.012967273365744589,0.014079762861390831,0.0250019251155039,-0.12114957640830959,0.02065075822336334,0.020443050003710213,0.030198312707497434,0.0222532063401335,-0.017943147722323142,0.02821723646911164,0.025174334898352715,-0.02160342181008698,0.018603492117027585,-0.36406423122549997,0.03399453725386883,0.024450720318403615,0.0171806206081306,0.02949882737585517,0.030087187251585507,0.0177055886195771,0.02272777335363345,0.01642838027127321,0.018509309752946783,0.01918403542111747,-0.0032328485594268603,0.022172511782894786,0.02498071900948409,0.026741840484963867,0.016508968408263283,-0.016883604853079104,0.027309098767413494,0.026762696306982973,0.029118187292482032,-0.016256427610829148,0.026745282409940074,0.02681869751952045,0.0035501510184826144,0.02015846326354112,-6.573777417475708E-4,0.020330055806082176,0.017109200865928906,-0.017799796294461767,0.02417670312476497,0.023379433024193697,0.022549889102826376,-0.011091233997652812,0.023613078925364798,0.024751140008526774,0.0016300637585746967,-0.012967513828674447,0.03448641553757731,0.027451195297335,-0.898001893720811,0.03073014178312522,0.03451515642631346,0.01940662004447138,0.028033969800312617,0.012356370430122363,0.020975552686809937,0.015483996738987099,0.020943768346781223,0.023945907141219257,0.023643923996774226,0.026346751842049352,0.027341095100878298,0.02723797306493227,0.0342009988532173,0.033356591723101216,0.025413380695777928,0.025655027849956477,0.02128683649714349,0.01565412621774637,0.01932427167679196,0.026351690895474785,0.029510815948380387,0.018104658960790124,0.023120846045603976,0.011851959794228402,-0.013892039038176558,0.03502441608044602,0.03188225135916196,0.03166676874404851,0.01625864780940078,0.017333643346956,0.003919276446376066,0.020642156956678804,0.01798260420683559,0.01023203670389972,0.01921892132169064;-0.15913794519396873,-0.6791300171416519,-0.6185053281590367,0.2830337836836855,0.3197063782744213,-0.29084700177426265,0.23855840359921832,-0.5284956315783657,-0.05169149070686993,0.27805663805199604,0.15073374556526214,0.7041236479294707,0.3280654564370533,0.0643771531097448,-0.7778427610592803,0.213170218878403,0.2118302270655846,-0.16758701353107086,-0.5423572161914246,-0.5481249567481058,-0.054600323647954016,0.07643352157731276,-0.588276083271396,0.2555964033380648,-0.20752539777852583,-0.3125843953701522,0.09890631000379245,0.2884449501730463,-0.11788490169355614,-0.15233010325810278,0.21163234449549082,0.1633468937450439,0.2999197213411503,0.2550781966735586,0.2471250755362301,0.5996893897263935,0.16599298775054638,0.07084939489140749,0.013977239890494715,0.30074984331892446,0.7408774158892403,-0.006114091476206171,0.010554473754315119,-0.09774678082897603,-0.5280460651383531,0.009385460801771956,0.012780733328748723,-0.24514344737057164,0.22083328553226497,0.5636521388888466,0.21910316915265696,0.2567273438119044,-0.6609993066442765,0.10400759993361768,0.12908969421274336,0.16191721399357795,-0.4374000863933542,0.1333239505250131,0.09338953818883136,0.5792390752095882,-0.637446082126634,-0.3664345150140394,-0.012644494634469282,-0.7134467114034456,-0.19640209366119665,-0.32928244633899695,0.2349314630748636,-0.04432195867708891,-0.12325435180893585,0.20265125931133932,0.32799163324684183,0.204836293670799,0.11278529376704777,0.1270853339490433,0.030293603110814936,-0.008559978632792951,0.001503668936812837,-0.335360311041444,-0.3146631014850549,0.050812635626496634,0.04528366870220845,0.1907745194452215,-0.5758211524371867,0.2415278551810557,0.04124885409664715,-0.12203729355383092,0.2702443527226066,0.14329889237119298,0.3776079528691332,-0.6313321538454194,-0.400950151791417,-0.4492846368957064,-0.2245255997176912,0.30880992230208215,0.2820451012049257,-0.23896850475639336,0.20742560586884848,0.26783205091472323,0.5097201082928569,0.24411679583220203;-0.0961141941075405,-0.9161666001104499,-0.8418238043986938,0.2922124633044566,0.31817236354015715,-0.3246408488311751,0.2597975119862155,-1.9822201041456324,0.010456817794667773,0.3235506335229514,0.19066459086789656,0.5435106292884622,0.322751682073323,0.11596604915175267,-1.5978398488604155,0.24076237765585248,0.2385863938121636,-0.10459602408592332,-0.5869625167369543,-0.7319601623193719,0.008309092680161856,0.1286091054842955,-0.8081972896281154,0.2722702797544744,-0.0821769753748532,-0.25721929069434196,0.1475612451583073,0.2965401397963416,-0.05455246282840405,-0.08955714501835899,0.23361526181185457,0.20090835516710548,0.30443550332032215,0.2722614572508181,0.26596293517459724,0.49130570619164493,0.20250562854150683,0.12228255318766498,0.07360753117847539,0.30545679637909434,0.5606912970436252,0.054462423122539357,0.068775971496957,-0.03340894923967373,-0.6953573450405574,0.06728153309931653,0.071018583983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x_a{291}=[-7.080665121982036,-2.694818775257937,29.627699401244012];
std_x_a{291}=[1.0482624003359875,3.3498293387337874,4.477082337936447];
pred_a{291}=[-7.080665121982036];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.0 to 29.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.1
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{292}=[-4.32706240617456,-3.09410643983357,24.577827068289686];
std_x_f{292}=[2.797061623133544,4.848000043159357,1.0346476856155806];
pred_f{292}=[-4.32706240617456];
obs{292}=[-4.775534764445264];
sqrt_r{292}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{292}=[8.832236237480421];
L_f{292}=[-0.0931800079092387,-0.5839924011773977,-0.5355946419300643,0.22144829485068437,0.24577941218471497,-0.22528062997067227,0.19152852581911808,-0.9718714389546177,-0.013077335806781894,0.22749493049050246,0.13130370472666514,0.48642376017342404,0.25048786615868446,0.07073859213770846,-0.8792084649205999,0.17429244564788968,0.1733713495701276,-0.09927439121234266,-0.41505587571611763,-0.46940858792744866,-0.014723420349966937,0.0795098387884374,-0.5112436058102198,0.2030597551903552,-0.25385564758361023,-0.2097357491346113,0.09637535630550798,0.2248205583195352,-0.06189609313390572,-0.08809169283995714,0.17159022552658112,0.14066613709397952,0.2325431782087177,0.20200670314058822,0.19734783860738767,0.42331051284803034,0.14205189534382442,0.07550053631155301,0.03518143391130702,0.23323031153017876,0.5079537224697648,0.02008484722387988,0.03241513833391107,-0.04649649082607068,-0.4488317888160395,0.031405371503594195,0.034448932471924085,-0.18443818778221635,0.1796505189378878,0.40088103717030155,0.1785290355921107,0.20259389831537103,-0.5764121374171127,0.09911604199904729,0.11703903687670311,0.13927179274424806,-0.36071167806209575,0.1195344239299885,0.09124143585929899,0.4126112715860494,-0.5478232544525043,-0.2528479124512663,0.01639144966619935,-0.15259724446584336,-0.12143913725809112,-0.22321402387473915,0.18907307809002316,-0.007436498363618931,-0.07984002796148046,0.1670062034536934,0.25090800767386073,0.16871546939488266,0.10503678276505475,0.11518569677016323,0.04689554422595432,0.018834689422142212,0.026263252429163095,-0.22809160004420406,-0.21158961647151572,0.061130698088603455,0.056953128389277824,0.15908301129397695,-0.45305461027579164,0.19362271581201526,0.05492783268152807,-0.06537332094134662,0.2125711809839428,0.1266614697543481,0.28262564881238317,-0.5437571878232913,-0.28049144699458456,-0.3242876043817349,-0.14305496619471292,0.23840281222233006,0.2203292971631364,-0.1788255646041838,0.17026120656143087,0.21122745885684552,0.3716445485373021,0.19551343289213308;-0.16795766523738045,-1.0224203861176189,-0.9347459784423165,0.3668190528278738,0.4070698672490645,-0.3885637823340695,0.31623628038313306,-1.7414682791058653,-0.029680665003272752,0.3720030849655831,0.21573143163802977,0.8060835621370724,0.4155972909503522,0.1128553355202854,-1.5567746388215342,0.2876452027177665,0.2859286360388039,-0.17786466067811071,-0.7246387371346538,-0.8169642767931705,-0.03318635897543656,0.1279697976179753,-0.8928441559365539,0.33558807289506304,-0.1788883542323582,-0.3694515648959038,0.15520719677855876,0.3724304437259278,-0.1135937052761687,-0.1581320503838297,0.28422764098481146,0.22997815168449837,0.3848683665045634,0.33426548129110195,0.32642169238687707,0.7016946948704602,0.23333685821807318,0.1209444068176516,0.05273065298790117,0.38644062260749373,0.8413863267978381,0.027202169034293896,0.047836447097944046,-0.08750014063763625,-0.7808981885554279,0.04627847144237096,0.05123994588422192,-0.31814859794110795,0.296854009931275,0.6653242728457088,0.29400928745800803,0.3354348527730771,-1.0094208315720954,0.16087557885376985,0.19046290740000424,0.22915802691535317,-0.6247529306332825,0.19453058764031048,0.14789152512876483,0.682964924481212,-0.9571026102355129,-0.4435649405126479,0.019562248059297762,0.7033328072778556,-0.21611521907185327,-0.3919171537946195,0.3126987307040598,-0.0198411930374768,-0.13930021375624801,0.2753383378352828,0.4155709736853396,0.2778735239172208,0.17089217497831688,0.18819579342907153,0.07165288486640715,0.0244005175684365,0.03698795400514262,-0.4004570798463838,-0.3734202647868763,0.09657283908910129,0.08925462300445969,0.26278664363166615,-0.7911989787483957,0.31958103704563073,0.08536277512481705,-0.1190423272521456,0.35202936811498897,0.20736068514236214,0.46961727129287345,-0.9504827251463909,-0.49138014274932273,-0.5665771715143528,-0.25337487458115066,0.39494013882579343,0.36511430304052184,-0.30780286569301596,0.2808701479705983,0.34907324443417986,0.6139818452820448,0.3228996836256462;-0.042002659443750714,0.005581392020717791,-0.02318141025426346,0.012436962745024219,0.019908948081905575,-0.07550806592313757,0.004321477445606692,-0.10543220646568086,-0.036423169419436116,0.03695964239032531,-0.011351391590123881,0.11567558170921341,0.020210071156234063,-0.024441444086152533,0.04021906394548783,-4.6184661060718403E-4,-0.0017389831130986096,-0.04160266847383848,-0.012460904199797621,-0.048806749988578445,-0.03649674675345023,-0.021996486850785115,-0.03751105661702836,0.007875698574522024,0.08684464451674428,-0.035054365202362936,-0.019154617687255016,0.013825480457945776,-0.04021759111048064,-0.0417296636855007,-0.004560009450777841,-0.009025266289129997,0.01574653091074726,0.008301280580315352,0.005497941809020796,0.08765657219180258,-0.010131574855542782,-0.02346791668756891,-0.0290440709265213,0.01643601542652774,0.12553032597505942,-0.032002154879682346,-0.030376742782655997,-0.03897340328042124,-0.0517794637288607,-0.03074844184655,-0.03028568281130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k{292}=[0.8867783907594762;1.5034920502720754;0.049610668774031474];
x_a{292}=[-4.724758002341962,-3.7683810652603427,24.55557805466921];
L_a{292}=[0.03564850370902006,0.22342190934013964,0.20490605235805462,-0.08472096684119053,-0.0940294864044388,0.08618712912003614,-0.07327435912750911,0.371815407335117,0.005003084507851042,-0.08703426899547966,-0.050233743374605434,-0.1860944166863272,-0.09583083137876272,-0.02706294001013744,0.33636470876082597,-0.06668023575598642,-0.06632784582083609,0.03798007300869623,0.1587907240717135,0.17958480754880576,0.0056328381670293325,-0.030418614964208827,0.19558991233065431,-0.0776859392747278,0.09711926621914796,0.08024001927775845,-0.03687096968333958,-0.08601111640733168,0.02368000556307131,0.033701832714993364,-0.065646429189766,-0.05381559223317979,-0.08896561115293214,-0.07728306605391363,-0.07550069284620368,-0.1619487562399461,-0.05434575110757592,-0.028884749090780478,-0.013459598313164284,-0.08922849237936989,-0.19433127948552006,-0.0076839953850718805,-0.012401277967805442,0.01778847590659181,0.17171260281410303,-0.012014964665161575,-0.013179360300047474,0.07056176071205432,-0.06873010997082615,-0.15336776054323356,-0.06830105652783325,-0.0775077132699404,0.2205218767383254,-0.03791949228280714,-0.04477641324374084,-0.05328214851667493,0.13799989806620347,-0.04573109028896209,-0.03490685113285901,-0.15785547539173134,0.2095844350781651,0.09673373019689231,-0.006270987385951453,0.05838015640249037,0.04645978930568272,0.08539649369588286,-0.07233496193875578,0.002845031304953407,0.03054493766179202,-0.06389268896657617,-0.09599156775020243,-0.06454661435906547,-0.040184629986624,-0.044067368426676516,-0.01794114445561904,-0.0072057140881276955,-0.010047709510218553,0.08726254088851164,0.08094926580089719,-0.023387183221417293,-0.021788942222487964,-0.06086145993547294,0.1733281560840391,-0.07407554750905433,-0.02101411119199603,0.02501031204374264,-0.08132478955268699,-0.04845773225009506,-0.10812599951446329,0.20802885256035883,0.10730950353936412,0.1240648946805341,0.0547295026842355,-0.09120737083459265,-0.08429286435322104,0.06841450163074658,-0.0651379774459686,-0.08081071272111628,-0.14218256001730845,-0.07479889188684119;0.050465161801231284,0.34651350964336486,0.32073895295032556,-0.15227687439376644,-0.16906051996407545,0.1395155039776708,-0.13272485416299593,0.5366910812294292,9.73857583082561E-4,-0.16126673298815364,-0.09205697738396008,-0.33414013197677706,-0.17157016152014726,-0.05296267224914191,0.5041738711988528,-0.12091291574651267,-0.12047034535526899,0.05484398217001764,0.24829182798404187,0.2833742304881675,0.0013267428011811736,-0.058408848995475444,0.30555962393057495,-0.14040336326844197,0.41617349915294816,0.12218903790018436,-0.07070583170719183,-0.15457039074902437,0.03149664133682271,0.04836328075481963,-0.11799621574864988,-0.0997566918947681,-0.16023502565618403,-0.13925750041645468,-0.13618046644284934,-0.29058552710044705,-0.09964633488717706,-0.05603605234010655,-0.02973798407923281,-0.16027347560483596,-0.34930565269523084,-0.01987862876464506,-0.02814772925710489,0.021492069188074354,0.2712063387750039,-0.027338715140124127,-0.029511637935227264,0.1141921078947346,-0.12426394343472945,-0.2743791185748607,-0.12447980196649493,-0.13946457043708638,0.3417442028486652,-0.07146187833336304,-0.08388775946606813,-0.09730834050076118,0.2207896512573123,-0.08566950451519782,-0.06598710410318306,-0.2842352553642831,0.32704735540474095,0.14913468559395865,-0.018860873548930148,1.0610353046525807,0.06854970281652553,0.1313178106934029,-0.13050660013837279,-0.002409331500914108,0.04785242777576821,-0.116140133886591,-0.17258133057429526,-0.1176116302187508,-0.07532406334751007,-0.08181046743599708,-0.03827474419458467,-0.01974979108989322,-0.024575614956924743,0.13421138845791214,0.12256597988848343,-0.0467233485261889,-0.04424894273461902,-0.11011910986956637,0.27080424490128,-0.1342890786099451,-0.04339330428106942,0.03419897303642752,-0.14625775740955335,-0.0895458822788133,-0.19288420936112494,0.3241359924503428,0.1661185652609067,0.19358390715425886,0.08195961228213984,-0.16389879441702215,-0.15135858685961445,0.11138131602187519,-0.11823836153259859,-0.14606406824595067,-0.2571884278958003,-0.13540245322241257;-0.034795369905412814,0.05075205059776398,0.01824577725287134,-0.004691625399277238,8.983960769825523E-4,-0.05808305422793259,-0.01049287566943054,-0.030259870556354842,-0.03541166332854439,0.019363358924174987,-0.021507473765425538,0.07805166477081094,8.353295377903584E-4,-0.029912934446697036,0.10822410186534431,-0.013943022973598054,-0.015148914514063673,-0.03392399042621986,0.019642847860281757,-0.012498923010598491,-0.03535791927491825,-0.028146415812510324,0.0020326263507510454,-0.007830572352889835,0.1064798773754863,-0.018831719331526362,-0.02660906111175923,-0.0035639456038970107,-0.035430050579871517,-0.03491594526600563,-0.017832174425515386,-0.01990551411292661,-0.0022402245437922012,-0.007323538851310067,-0.009766523654364949,0.054914340256281155,-0.021119008342453734,-0.029307734022926704,-0.03176528534002142,-0.0016038884330216408,0.086241108984628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x_a{292}=[-4.724758002341962,-3.768381065260336,24.55557805466921];
std_x_a{292}=[1.0700907188562667,2.0760054789968034,1.0247554520515072];
pred_a{292}=[-4.724758002341962];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.1 to 29.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.2
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{293}=[-4.776385034346576,-5.743038748465404,20.977815865941626];
std_x_f{293}=[1.7935898197616815,2.469423730203566,1.3158424143136094];
pred_f{293}=[-4.776385034346576];
obs{293}=[-4.757898857619197];
sqrt_r{293}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{293}=[4.218659096616477];
L_f{293}=[0.04116618835569499,0.3340939285290537,0.30536140270514167,-0.135577045176568,-0.14873998318324402,0.12027458529498519,-0.11946310441746427,0.5319283674957395,-0.004930145065361235,-0.1375549648220219,-0.0865792104604214,-0.26801792069288644,-0.15055581322827455,-0.05309135435689961,0.49465012462048097,-0.10984483434091685,-0.10932014869865979,0.04531440033683422,0.23520749092840249,0.26595462439826967,-0.004262905385800886,-0.05744395179464951,0.29019896562848785,-0.1255624165146027,0.3217285837495067,0.11088850501295128,-0.06781022126030514,-0.1369115143227027,0.023687895104362505,0.038929921210291665,-0.10923982219809565,-0.09232909003623672,-0.14178140023396255,-0.12478458695142419,-0.12257228912217111,-0.23799619798270022,-0.09276321679476514,-0.055639200467358756,-0.0321440153917565,-0.14167506397329743,-0.2775634975618658,-0.0233803122552985,-0.03173031437604356,0.014170127949702559,0.253632833491254,-0.030207454837283564,-0.032522392126497844,0.09595371803024294,-0.1133167819528956,-0.22668574835792218,-0.11268266356119254,-0.12603574983955507,0.32840125596604086,-0.06887639457459355,-0.07886643177602345,-0.0906244367879035,0.20169054888749047,-0.0804210478897201,-0.06422062133437582,-0.2328222217869947,0.3128232569544657,0.13757008991404746,-0.022522449293391592,0.757043247192372,0.05832701175701251,0.11993340999584759,-0.11805171493305969,-0.007551763879780169,0.03434813219469296,-0.10614699067017949,-0.151313686715415,-0.10707344156775661,-0.07169396313288336,-0.0774846727788513,-0.039501932533760414,-0.022937137879542466,-0.027667414755435715,0.12254917528855175,0.11150126183012661,-0.04722926767768799,-0.04513761127805753,-0.10128184612044223,0.25783040392594536,-0.12093872411279773,-0.04439936572063082,0.026031696706956996,-0.13067204922069248,-0.08393938621047527,-0.16727327563152894,0.3095001526607157,0.1549802222211654,0.18101006465415306,0.07097134219096513,-0.14475687148840438,-0.13469029111966652,0.09319654080394452,-0.10799451007949942,-0.13011088511201008,-0.21194861274401197,-0.12198512543922127;0.03802526341123284,0.44928880702720136,0.4070576215467147,-0.17706708965275766,-0.1907095085968286,0.14150815412896336,-0.15964711151136132,0.7203809179626972,-0.02280728286804477,-0.17403383237599526,-0.12211147332300681,-0.2956834415645615,-0.193000156053191,-0.08250051102056802,0.6735063729138752,-0.149155590538124,-0.14880684763752455,0.0430604853061107,0.309508614656139,0.34882611341811876,-0.02181953906503656,-0.08768999146722681,0.3834167876844377,-0.16577504428616047,0.49487796538123113,0.133025609017803,-0.10057223905207231,-0.17846391577772858,0.014022236623365578,0.03467224469164679,-0.14775754678840886,-0.12914341271449262,-0.18337121907360404,-0.16484114550266246,-0.16288328932496096,-0.27260797251294544,-0.12977012957933462,-0.08564551741262037,-0.056040553458116885,-0.18253078010789744,-0.30197951568733805,-0.04601990596374982,-0.054964413026410974,0.002598965255069353,0.3311442857612253,-0.05438670292645911,-0.05679090615487797,0.1088065839400096,-0.15156309626478548,-0.263562789190591,-0.15205561406043286,-0.16688858586885116,0.4404266475533339,-0.10168387932975993,-0.1131753089521483,-0.1268257224895492,0.25673388487302884,-0.11585523426568048,-0.09585614566658948,-0.267947166783775,0.418324769812014,0.17089066142686296,-0.04502280312626964,1.2382940253019452,0.0609030913397872,0.1458037350870584,-0.15770676791390276,-0.025570309581325276,0.02590243128346033,-0.14453777002269455,-0.19403014460979578,-0.14571144593014096,-0.10530853349778647,-0.11142033918685731,-0.06674908715721851,-0.0457392002294802,-0.05152223439893769,0.14955427406090632,0.13376808079986002,-0.07584049258209255,-0.07311066788327494,-0.13894427739032514,0.34144336216479393,-0.16079437527948648,-0.07196227281747188,0.017764760004792813,-0.17154860194355592,-0.11915844373571194,-0.20888551186801427,0.41344514316021563,0.1949532793335328,0.23305442306749954,0.07741579686648109,-0.18674379771792549,-0.17526998040755543,0.10472869362684163,-0.14637667289839437,-0.17123195900991742,-0.24818550358439626,-0.1617727678194967;-0.08802105186920356,-0.1670203934407952,-0.18493128566656203,0.09778509086610518,0.11674198852469221,-0.16028217117952662,0.07618393428056389,-0.242348624228186,-0.05157661378919655,0.11845667671668443,0.033681499354031176,0.3255907250678687,0.11916300432413478,-0.005305174298828182,-0.1394939331664996,0.06323941725303535,0.06222323345517752,-0.09059570377306085,-0.15947211133044314,-0.19541678443887206,-0.052071880449381464,6.154690337662006E-4,-0.1924148951987271,0.08467355462693246,-0.1341705759474656,-0.12428288152431588,0.01166790536011419,0.10055349332697876,-0.07470980090078631,-0.08642566027559123,0.05917341201148238,0.0411162145367355,0.10722654447829993,0.08435633693040585,0.07999054983808508,0.2669280964831794,0.040411854329872765,-0.0021709174137753825,-0.025056465991340874,0.1067973908490545,0.34475560293605034,-0.03436325337629586,-0.027131633451656426,-0.0670888976086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k{293}=[0.7629578553047723;1.043515229655167;-0.3255290230165417];
x_a{293}=[-4.76228086059787,-5.723748141512287,20.971798078892252];
L_a{293}=[-0.027637284451203465,-0.22429691222311604,-0.20500707702303006,0.09102084774579615,0.09985790253359354,-0.08074740603445231,0.08020261117404477,-0.3571148116293927,0.003309896470855469,0.09234874158407723,0.058125718280746794,0.17993620026724375,0.10107697608579963,0.03564335006153898,-0.33208773374492634,0.07374530053509988,0.07339304819108317,-0.030422223233877506,-0.15790862820902532,-0.17855098806083988,0.0028619392137538883,0.03856550482722376,-0.19482764085954135,0.08429743826682229,-0.2159953286988716,-0.07444597806655272,0.04552499146817039,0.09191675540342086,-0.01590307777326618,-0.02613594673510578,0.07333912028486365,0.06198595076143967,0.09518619635849482,0.08377523551376746,0.08228998980994966,0.15978085134138734,0.06227740559834761,0.03735386907010548,0.021580168878155132,0.09511480656991188,0.18634470767869862,0.015696579308593007,0.0213024270442448,-0.009513240659350459,-0.17027864481392543,0.020280041831208153,0.02183419544377757,-0.06441937680600285,0.07607622325553336,0.15218748100430188,0.07565050226781847,0.08461521477867505,-0.2204750861761622,0.04624077634741809,0.052947676131979385,0.060841516734471086,-0.13540673288863805,0.053991381402319544,0.043115081826749724,0.1563072566857701,-0.2100166588342025,-0.09235889594831047,0.015120645425826964,-0.5082476760718592,-0.039158354938980976,-0.08051835498147379,0.07925506236736662,0.005069943436357419,-0.023059922177636954,0.07126272049875522,0.10158578115079969,0.07188470149843318,0.04813237590561345,0.05202002001483061,0.02651997159355069,0.01539905027388071,0.018574763468953037,-0.08227447213342892,-0.07485735777237738,0.031707786350098716,0.030303534336497653,0.0679964626986519,-0.17309672083070773,0.08119328150060866,0.029807906655616674,-0.017476609697776438,0.08772783535190566,0.05635344893517216,0.11230039224832898,-0.2077856633911988,-0.10404734217382403,-0.12152270698837966,-0.04764723794847176,0.09718380528757141,0.09042551757101573,-0.06256832150238381,0.07250306898580253,0.08735109286699434,0.14229357473738288,0.08189579228102381;-0.05607884892991782,-0.3144353520118061,-0.29098523577409674,0.13285612645699926,0.14930361008581236,-0.13343430565353942,0.11344033835375245,-0.4955841458841508,-0.01153718613039664,0.14041082183508236,0.07580482821013003,0.31699384350246435,0.1511638709689237,0.03886401103760223,-0.4572422525028954,0.1019449131470255,0.10109424753799715,-0.06052625882293139,-0.2281654580211423,-0.2591345662487662,-0.012074723153033392,0.04362437862444862,-0.2799653993382537,0.12125516719276826,-0.2405795544387819,-0.12046068033493537,0.05443897122130403,0.13450983863687732,-0.04012725914159628,-0.0543198584234484,0.10195992550787643,0.08191686291882981,0.14073488227878644,0.12041098149676176,0.11731162126041761,0.27144096294387454,0.08228254090244608,0.04154326980546557,0.017439264721432066,0.14133224118730867,0.33251854205550574,0.007426468814337107,0.017569702662494108,-0.029793329628914348,-0.24864931694096526,0.0146662222311044,0.017553864748632634,-0.11053943330717418,0.10747412833552826,0.25463095139313324,0.10553204353467704,0.12122364496055174,-0.3102843101233688,0.055764556670614134,0.06710991667209618,0.08033779011587748,-0.20432191914413037,0.0679837760360912,0.05094939562984089,0.26427428459887836,-0.2967755610957232,-0.14358856808535359,0.006462534311097994,-0.4922738418356739,-0.07242991533743157,-0.12835881283183795,0.11215430710567235,-0.008307306497913357,-0.052615901840546785,0.09810962420271184,0.15186634817179154,0.09905377466750201,0.05858074142231503,0.06570624559420843,0.023550608912050734,0.006694097241509042,0.011724269839887383,-0.1305877993082414,-0.12111894392976198,0.032123554828106436,0.030071944162804783,0.09258160844308377,-0.2479457035988063,0.11566627689385758,0.029532742060971832,-0.041742564068444,0.12716200719670634,0.0727233346195348,0.1734939055726105,-0.2940587161704503,-0.15932475380721248,-0.1807266953570073,-0.08482159807603355,0.14416410123536252,0.13262615457755134,-0.10831453665337339,0.10049407017206109,0.1261958534363937,0.23631978730815592,0.11707991217835353;-0.05866487298298176,0.07122661271766187,0.03282615850836259,0.0011032228077985295,0.010673447125307758,-0.07451269913421818,-0.009006859515561247,0.1369768594900676,-0.055092368496025994,0.020364326773759222,-0.02805933436472481,0.13446343495807028,0.011799569378417557,-0.04316535417135496,0.2132479194184941,-0.015092454980970607,-0.01573447818275793,-0.05828137748868591,0.008257607034854876,-0.00576085948429954,-0.05511181730239586,-0.04034860833585847,0.014530005164092618,-0.004866743074178738,0.09525853164331932,-0.045206753283855705,-0.03668850229248793,0.0029199968440639127,-0.057817634929206184,-0.05866419445317355,-0.018727017686733745,-0.02472493791795519,0.006120264925668301,-0.004629279739700887,-0.00741744661943356,0.09720971250619354,-0.025738879927061645,-0.041848001624078986,-0.04797880841975587,0.005766941156190302,0.1468212297969293,-0.051036077759545176,-0.04975895995783578,-0.05698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x_a{293}=[-4.762280860597871,-5.723748141512289,20.971798078892235];
std_x_a{293}=[1.2041423803736486,1.6700701616525737,1.1890768387255917];
pred_a{293}=[-4.762280860597871];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.2 to 29.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.3
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{294}=[-6.565795319384932,-9.170770987453537,19.938626562752795];
std_x_f{294}=[1.5392035084281968,1.8477294036741387,2.264098214127897];
pred_f{294}=[-6.565795319384932];
obs{294}=[-6.712183549088585];
sqrt_r{294}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{294}=[3.373720387371107];
L_f{294}=[-0.0676235684760588,-0.28852645742299626,-0.27571961141560747,0.12953640061406838,0.14618191572468966,-0.14635417112611696,0.10912274895076891,-0.4213086920605454,-0.021455044178156486,0.137622758748468,0.06923431895545892,0.31655581946925115,0.14831346573008464,0.02980632547008152,-0.37186554675428507,0.09739888321136801,0.09649630282556336,-0.07139071744226226,-0.2234182184971394,-0.2548313760419895,-0.022187513134042998,0.03567330181119341,-0.26915566329542523,0.11714682007443268,-0.23754429493731907,-0.12922805703926354,0.04718462505887663,0.13107595027663374,-0.05085741809325453,-0.06469033822819516,0.09600684961551442,0.07573935261650327,0.13745574599329163,0.11616114891242002,0.1129940707726626,0.271264931959793,0.07608111551100133,0.03335760784559178,0.008060530929108906,0.13772003738895833,0.3315555640577315,-0.0020325088396473848,0.007140631352844021,-0.040655227072145264,-0.24638841906006168,0.005206948434193261,0.008310992088427269,-0.1240850182433757,0.10233836822398804,0.2545566078950454,0.10049697770740222,0.11705917162205505,-0.28780491644452494,0.04828107546450974,0.05994518840010003,0.07404331132212175,-0.2107130884368958,0.061010536724260614,0.04294327794215076,0.2642216074889977,-0.2790531948920325,-0.15069830219853664,-0.0031558210860779673,-0.20789331635462877,-0.08354461887421472,-0.1365537048916757,0.10728562892177222,-0.018514272500065366,-0.06555056570650405,0.09238271424020908,0.1492689206763869,0.09307543105380642,0.05102842117009,0.05854578949101734,0.014767565131334901,-0.0028162299716609595,0.0025054220660290613,-0.13917516753624784,-0.13034461741916267,0.023808039129779558,0.021373832373936495,0.08667650674113858,-0.2394702679546294,0.11127453300893866,0.020814249021757318,-0.05299551313230557,0.12318187960571815,0.06626001117878912,0.17099319633090565,-0.2776165102247771,-0.1649884207097632,-0.1832325114472691,-0.09597372121599655,0.1409562987187564,0.12882741938544628,-0.12235004324833963,0.09474780572659998,0.1222294238997426,0.23606455598882697,0.1123937345526278;-0.11768441590036186,-0.29642126635239024,-0.3023288834421726,0.1550742724823107,0.18130995060746158,-0.2149823796687253,0.1245041958829815,-0.3509141060345297,-0.060125306034197565,0.17174317736279643,0.06552867585368274,0.4520016192390076,0.18393758538561436,0.01041067347161805,-0.28546883173131704,0.10726124996205312,0.10619733478602006,-0.1223458640438817,-0.2647146352926213,-0.2998378005299742,-0.060831879562142845,0.018403156655113103,-0.3047017610815655,0.13685986759777857,-0.22846598779660243,-0.18562905582429126,0.0343843827613599,0.15845355316255932,-0.09701961911030821,-0.11467719180977799,0.10533458763634215,0.0759609531637815,0.16806059110591648,0.13611096859142008,0.1308731319575763,0.3783901264737949,0.0761015718923242,0.01494650376280025,-0.019614973026799896,0.1683562755479844,0.47575968648337885,-0.03378233218069221,-0.020931984637847133,-0.08420479901341142,-0.2954888228952845,-0.02385886254325153,-0.01953683197140131,-0.1906657388633823,0.11487886564057918,0.35180794310067054,0.11249376695970528,0.13673270098004456,-0.30160213075789044,0.036191907894139654,0.0526514365285352,0.07322300171908552,-0.27319804141170734,0.05475878039146436,0.02832068516411316,0.36767536299299675,-0.30034870057414653,-0.20593887910657505,-0.03550913055252482,0.29555616201734053,-0.13652442814386911,-0.19278309737888133,0.12233808264698469,-0.05593282720222158,-0.12075593538726648,0.10025853899475705,0.1855707951735266,0.10195779307313246,0.040718019127794526,0.050937963867759076,-0.011637982163810004,-0.035026986429732856,-0.027727495073201852,-0.19482371076535251,-0.18697017821866388,0.0014295121636444222,-0.0016934950191591015,0.09257840345225576,-0.27472256787147387,0.12823592015028112,-0.0024519108863642804,-0.09974139584360561,0.14584730924997258,0.061945206503263496,0.22009186865583508,-0.30069154758138367,-0.21815223375729273,-0.23381264915811484,-0.15047947387869393,0.17293817028762112,0.15501955614896162,-0.18840869303196692,0.10378038393527757,0.14512143514707593,0.32400257946054617,0.13014057628776438;0.012307764878708011,0.4419177336781463,0.38953650996020805,-0.15305079406618693,-0.16093137502229848,0.10416356090154372,-0.14212213107442034,0.7432298699722044,-0.04010025513842656,-0.1468816792660285,-0.11821387802604448,-0.18959232804805196,-0.16189349248758825,-0.08918070762183586,0.711253072363094,-0.13584069019079797,-0.135561675323521,0.017697250141836023,0.28486854235486114,0.3231888895884669,-0.039729731656611936,-0.09298205539289048,0.36353841671750986,-0.14706287689656178,0.37432228138822327,0.10377790210577403,-0.1015419576171491,-0.15302138174699526,-0.007932192803858764,0.009747066155110437,-0.13746999657804262,-0.12250753242712568,-0.15578383646500576,-0.14563752016903836,-0.14476190856296076,-0.1903428868007355,-0.1237658842322951,-0.09121895792403248,-0.06900077898694702,-0.15755852080833707,-0.18964580466493197,-0.06009736991032905,-0.06945192203951385,-0.01876203826043921,0.3033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k{294}=[0.7035913219888305;0.7933363581113856;-0.9044018013459397];
x_a{294}=[-6.66879280744573,-9.286906092477006,20.07102034139262];
L_a{294}=[0.05769642615206742,0.24617076292738355,0.23524396238198156,-0.11052045226924415,-0.1247224051532169,0.1248693734554185,-0.09310352541625558,0.359460560666823,0.018305442908600762,-0.11741973273394973,-0.059070718402217205,-0.2700854136007478,-0.12654104353990964,-0.025430755801624072,0.31727567089871533,-0.08310072359591697,-0.08233064204373881,0.0609105575123394,0.1906204158556104,0.21742212072469583,0.018930385394990687,-0.030436459801416994,0.22964360208576085,-0.09994966260567809,0.20267278375805015,0.11025737354249111,-0.04025792037559051,-0.11183399598507308,0.04339154725827762,0.05519379421180254,-0.08191304058281507,-0.06462081288405501,-0.1172772374573378,-0.099108688006276,-0.09640653705319478,-0.23144323003310335,-0.06491240497314897,-0.028460709794606603,-0.006877244694095671,-0.11750273086646067,-0.2828831951353843,0.001734136467696945,-0.006092386409249728,0.03468703825196708,0.21021859013631314,-0.004442568213734782,-0.007090938146071491,0.10586933302982246,-0.08731509202814164,-0.21718768855176596,-0.08574401770669515,-0.09987488094931303,0.24555514419092472,-0.04119341182160039,-0.05114523255191161,-0.06317375051368057,0.1797803993525952,-0.05205418770314585,-0.03663920317062519,-0.22543386585206096,0.23808817568222201,0.1285757859276247,0.0026925464352934264,0.17737456991507025,0.07128026576984453,0.11650761602240953,-0.091536094674664,0.01579637662034145,0.055927740264853545,-0.07882092841307005,-0.12735623766517182,-0.07941195437311183,-0.043537447077183315,-0.04995126545383155,-0.01259968603028639,0.002402807308885225,-0.0021376260151604203,0.1187442478549416,0.11121002281780958,-0.02031301811532133,-0.01823615300020874,-0.07395239238343046,0.20431602386602304,-0.0949394274960361,-0.017758716504582665,0.045215769867446576,-0.10509877517718352,-0.05653303911587624,-0.14589138885956465,0.23686239637663148,0.14076811451908577,0.156333972069487,0.08188477543355734,-0.12026390891475576,-0.10991554951089759,0.1043890524274727,-0.08083882438281258,-0.10428614000365855,-0.20141027054128233,-0.09589433021220392;0.023620493682355366,0.3064780762460762,0.27380951976939105,-0.11560250173911911,-0.12414897221496728,0.09083648473135676,-0.10351660398600267,0.5294444432056672,-0.015293257888720888,-0.11583069547062608,-0.07914202698693597,-0.20946733982401256,-0.12597538337924355,-0.05187205162642298,0.49157427092076017,-0.09626158528306657,-0.09543948582424039,0.02683080764855719,0.20213578202966198,0.2326529473252092,-0.014469278357782183,-0.05613908949583205,0.25772074223695485,-0.10792787714215,0.26790200748143206,0.0844034095867625,-0.06421170330587393,-0.11544023445774088,0.009251064724160284,0.020498496196789947,-0.09527948094900246,-0.08230254304786187,-0.11916429508274298,-0.10661713662392751,-0.10523710761913294,-0.1884398641249869,-0.08287606549811334,-0.05475691276402601,-0.036458103606779355,-0.1194208688638035,-0.21705245071419202,-0.029535240755546293,-0.03585291073529757,7.475824559011623E-4,0.21935968424667085,-0.034739201961542454,-0.036903321378325755,0.06861993148182632,-0.09896542259530612,-0.18010865451318234,-0.09750278702736177,-0.10787189523759504,0.29978949367336305,-0.064695299876983,-0.07260887755551036,-0.08149647918617836,0.16710398021278022,-0.07272766508452176,-0.06141276344780738,-0.18443703209971804,0.2827554946288505,0.1089573981280729,-0.028914787436997488,0.7299660420688835,0.038048802494247476,0.09255690105279955,-0.10184390650200804,-0.01724575906062027,0.01621726743229235,-0.09278260593299684,-0.1263386738920424,-0.09253083960064962,-0.06590998945091846,-0.07139819313948133,-0.04249600256506906,-0.029142246383064317,-0.03296277689113956,0.095994045647954,0.08539543031217588,-0.048319309029758714,-0.04635584453868397,-0.08853915990642061,0.22566990362399264,-0.1042812063490975,-0.045944965783235876,0.01099701030988434,-0.11155117994802931,-0.0765104399461459,-0.13721222947605705,0.2794105789408208,0.1266044005933817,0.14906648671353234,0.05006537023944206,-0.12160140362764782,-0.1141757445172571,0.06725160689392354,-0.09420281072706896,-0.11028682090518413,-0.16927338173773185,-0.10471521225651689;-0.14877953870821733,-0.24538626531464888,-0.26726007368502774,0.15552016664351864,0.1872911628876656,-0.24446930965973596,0.11782110742379248,-0.26037704860966693,-0.09120869695662467,0.18095193878436128,0.046710422887778436,0.564480912128627,0.1914066485505118,-0.01817853030388477,-0.1745744515826921,0.0961749194919689,0.09430388159071787,-0.15236384590904134,-0.24733996424946622,-0.2838494575594385,-0.09258300078463581,-0.008004049524386306,-0.27762206952273644,0.13199464394772872,-0.19153620280959593,-0.20405854789763486,0.010857375822130868,0.15921696755916753,-0.12908055176595232,-0.14435293755876494,0.09122962515094074,0.057912524712144094,0.17165193753482222,0.13107201589287193,0.1244032744090468,0.455842125789428,0.05746829236830205,-0.011757207782010953,-0.04979964509072477,0.1705068264194145,0.6001585935192739,-0.06493904531838307,-0.05244209726303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x_a{294}=[-6.6687928074457306,-9.286906092477013,20.071020341392618];
std_x_a{294}=[1.3132483771315808,1.6144284910894473,2.009270506455972];
pred_a{294}=[-6.6687928074457306];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.3 to 29.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.4
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{295}=[-9.80711167747826,-13.07637554505824,23.875441982221297];
std_x_f{295}=[1.3051435249083496,1.4685599469431594,3.096408718479339];
pred_f{295}=[-9.80711167747826];
obs{295}=[-10.226372060031514];
sqrt_r{295}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{295}=[2.7034197086233984];
L_f{295}=[-0.004481965328671761,0.25942320872243907,0.22686744557117347,-0.08293385775144431,-0.08406332684896196,0.049657099909577146,-0.07935230064788913,0.4808399874163453,-0.0333722689158953,-0.0788305156694752,-0.06991012178590143,-0.07044873567537466,-0.08452405170952446,-0.05713077027810097,0.43884908492953767,-0.07688348612962785,-0.07672093489729614,-0.0018013344075296386,0.15753099490293757,0.1860480798185211,-0.03333867648947735,-0.05904986387046802,0.21099609936914526,-0.08065127023615168,0.2172929862384917,0.046687612568245024,-0.06279781142385274,-0.08171057452876014,-0.015915509586218943,-0.007173524590487979,-0.07771429084071353,-0.07135403459376259,-0.0826496192007567,-0.07981847593775325,-0.07965558783204911,-0.079841274081178,-0.07217410131982285,-0.05789391014495353,-0.04770135377705319,-0.08337458745084105,-0.06757246039790625,-0.042953678507564624,-0.047723621864190685,-0.02182261551781884,0.17305888408928402,-0.046808747048260275,-0.04776340032015155,0.031675978387896,-0.07796452639975479,-0.08125502806527402,-0.07727318869465448,-0.08081923416758648,0.25194011989187587,-0.0635998828841893,-0.06712723534659562,-0.0717607489545166,0.12179980442485965,-0.067512531937621,-0.06173020515784831,-0.07962535706426628,0.2358688447500206,0.06892349435900642,-0.042995276813797605,0.6286264370314796,0.006613348896612116,0.05436323203707725,-0.07907409286583032,-0.03511403728628758,-0.012942790251876288,-0.07606916245762418,-0.08473760195790851,-0.07533157007714711,-0.0639932447355479,-0.06698406047329175,-0.05108954195112821,-0.04274147788463529,-0.045483711141453824,0.05731707824830293,0.047283544800390924,-0.05500200004544465,-0.053655493361526,-0.07454379520456049,0.18004549599025294,-0.0795679487696048,-0.05324157018192854,-0.014748607769475475,-0.08197355425424416,-0.0684907198064972,-0.0854413441820453,0.23246430915612426,0.08518399167696775,0.10697628815709062,0.01702547225321578,-0.08371461978814895,-0.08141669832683984,0.02920738526892776,-0.0763066829542669,-0.08086748971942923,-0.08097030596562442,-0.07948831236140391;-0.10115893175337871,0.17779084801936706,0.126101834244297,-0.002845993763422865,0.015569611755152236,-0.08726662076289643,-0.022618605319406633,0.5050408103547918,-0.10021913404913102,0.014192215918606749,-0.057096818889809414,0.2610958333201435,0.017843088293777835,-0.08196840885241256,0.4627805181052873,-0.03334012560154696,-0.03422594464041619,-0.0998328675200842,0.04140891346254332,0.06499768195338526,-0.09977988880318543,-0.0782540569960478,0.10032643422025789,-0.015278151548867035,0.141964990298199,-0.07292646515377953,-0.07143193987434163,-5.31791765867817E-4,-0.10328916196224011,-0.10170745929189164,-0.03640203857207595,-0.051230141321253794,0.006828521004908591,-0.014987308847729898,-0.019406919828618363,0.18460361243081364,-0.05185374162169451,-0.07966154313948622,-0.09073024441031156,0.005284093706027681,0.2859218092917389,-0.09513561713596164,-0.09194969241327514,-0.10152461969992045,0.047962618823713374,-0.09323208166693206,-0.09103577188514846,-0.09922021083051422,-0.029347962928330532,0.1603520474915001,-0.030121379648411623,-0.015846134176572615,0.16440701377434438,-0.0713924385139041,-0.0632400159273563,-0.05265132170600978,-0.0168670174983116,-0.062358822770773766,-0.07427081864470492,0.17617172473941933,0.14010995116547995,-0.05349405970148719,-0.09573831278503164,0.9618898061061176,-0.09683556407403068,-0.0667387765620806,-0.025445577105370223,-0.09990014020316311,-0.11408542789567062,-0.03818201739406044,0.018095593328976242,-0.03623020336531173,-0.06760879943332083,-0.06413961265937704,-0.08905816222895634,-0.09495102815522596,-0.0934901773501583,-0.06448284658207096,-0.07262036167260473,-0.08471056807215212,-0.0858351848564099,-0.04242888252531865,0.06888395285409724,-0.020989872204359397,-0.08558596423566589,-0.10233281020369764,-0.009774114610316456,-0.05746940149418546,0.04415361909671505,0.13401385178532227,-0.038085090307159584,-0.016173392480955864,-0.09250466985572332,0.009028748615392768,-0.003236846385586625,-0.09984637345191313,-0.03558693254738964,-0.010149308224124779,0.13667546375263828,-0.01954651955409688;-0.13124999158465628,-0.6008570201491353,-0.5778059005392021,0.2632310329399123,0.2930235056440639,-0.3011387628548409,0.22521812076549413,-0.8434362715169761,-0.03333024721267203,0.2768338154753895,0.1491552022466445,0.5812205964230841,0.2973212910979378,0.06992021583547296,-0.7404802409221685,0.2025463200070066,0.2008017743562462,-0.13952849323602246,-0.46741991646652536,-0.5367618129876568,-0.03488573245792801,0.08186736176313504,-0.5656768533571195,0.23959884892181976,-0.5059848621712862,-0.26339293104519895,0.10487968084256127,0.2653878644315558,-0.0963184358886016,-0.12382273474478425,0.1991194854557173,0.16040168546823944,0.2772937337414421,0.23730849466827147,0.23154253312939074,0.50929936885709,0.16121865147798067,0.07758187655372321,0.026436858329369664,0.2771249043547226,0.6050738941801392,0.005744600801172287,0.024227675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k{295}=[0.6300981320768696;0.5016727315117964;-1.2541506723968963];
x_a{295}=[-10.071286861378898,-13.286707046388413,24.40125767290984];
L_a{295}=[0.005343935731078956,-0.3093154125254773,-0.2704985335006357,0.09888367563198089,0.10023036393158957,-0.05920714040578903,0.09461331440090458,-0.5733150083174036,0.039790414965052714,0.09399117987160584,0.0833552181641878,0.08399741813632917,0.1007796952771057,0.06811814510927612,-0.5232484264221785,0.09166969811874721,0.0914758850758324,0.0021477665707138214,-0.1878273147337589,-0.2218287979785571,0.03975036205195227,0.07040631828052506,-0.2515748141387818,0.09616210148140587,-0.2590827166476205,-0.05566656203388221,0.07487507012932137,0.09742513089913515,0.018976376236567272,0.008553134967744876,0.09266028297506407,0.08507682390645677,0.09854477239739931,0.09516914440086334,0.0949749296971771,0.09519632707728212,0.08605460565127022,0.06902805183617462,0.056875265687424834,0.09940916635215372,0.08056797834808391,0.05121451874905032,0.056901816367269584,0.026019535239428078,-0.2063415235163025,0.05581099306548304,0.05694924500550033,-0.037767894285368545,0.09295864377151924,0.09688197385866969,0.09213434817938398,0.09636236819230272,-0.3003931780037904,0.07583139576360325,0.08003712773108998,0.08556175746693578,-0.145224311027263,0.08049652446195539,0.07360214210483886,0.0949388849560232,-0.2812310794205752,-0.08217884280802032,0.05126411723068253,-0.7495237093565223,-0.007885226430604894,-0.06481835463594893,0.0942816017708006,0.04186715977391114,0.015431944295597595,0.09069876393064788,0.1010343154535315,0.08981931797603769,0.07630040886356435,0.07986641750351499,0.06091506932696455,0.050961507757694625,0.05423112659885778,-0.06834028377968883,-0.056377103797401365,0.06557997034099418,0.06397450384300545,0.08888003844553086,-0.21467179879485657,0.09487043591311355,0.06348097506552422,0.01758505616693957,0.09773868681679782,0.08166283716650806,0.10187340119856758,-0.2771717844296994,-0.10156655472687151,-0.12754993997918576,-0.020299806634027678,0.09981459361983877,0.09707473650275085,-0.03482454198195856,0.09098196430722197,0.0964199042392833,0.09654249407911586,0.09477548385166935;-0.093335727123392,-0.27502855123396563,-0.26989195875357447,0.14191383643723615,0.16230091367082017,-0.17394235906885222,0.11588966957897202,-0.33425832294598645,-0.04196832897800702,0.151789722803482,0.06493027153404385,0.3840630663744954,0.16537857868436456,0.017752511275009396,-0.30322411185548603,0.10085886982822762,0.09968932000160509,-0.09668866477782054,-0.23355912361870512,-0.2597465078611631,-0.041587718818817246,0.024816612800596223,-0.26796415717149424,0.1254974556807324,-0.23731672460707967,-0.15441900693458924,0.038180717310071485,0.14209281554266687,-0.07550887381788571,-0.08918617751609965,0.09924711427431283,0.07331727769405369,0.1510922169915131,0.12433466816983284,0.11963073839366908,0.32396538327276303,0.0741250918151328,0.021391426413105503,-0.00746823224390497,0.1508132111215689,0.40386854610890255,-0.020160602397297694,-0.008648811627943767,-0.06343356494202561,-0.25410912068901914,-0.011528101431021991,-0.007665458389381613,-0.1545101657077393,0.1067379724097823,0.30218150514112974,0.10475783588291789,0.1252226516275387,-0.2753507638704137,0.03962022262010311,0.05392958710420688,0.07260601125034884,-0.22946678658006647,0.05548330979945955,0.03347834748818645,0.3151566156007068,-0.271595651846144,-0.1737990064477045,-0.02069068881402098,-0.13536840364763733,-0.10837906740653551,-0.16162899935181074,0.11257709019698835,-0.03860910403242535,-0.0914939776727763,0.09459558803067071,0.16600383254053325,0.09525994539636155,0.044090469032769634,0.052780080734429025,1.1788261439321456E-4,-0.020346406486131247,-0.014099027821508583,-0.16452896453415344,-0.15515309440889968,0.011294614891093565,0.007819690473585484,0.08768621677062541,-0.24538281508108384,0.11789481332206732,0.007346414265902515,-0.07658933203578128,0.1333095199452248,0.062080143629160506,0.19329023002078086,-0.2717491843682447,-0.18677249621476028,-0.20289893171161485,-0.12222238152721032,0.15515138747978505,0.138874804330268,-0.1508274353097474,0.09760526141446456,0.13100370693673383,0.27800794316060456,0.11919916179187186;-0.15080751729953723,0.5311633556375678,0.4121539887628539,-0.09865955225317241,-0.07379563639830146,-0.08445480008626474,-0.12104396442470149,1.2547594370663022,-0.17895364222451246,-0.067151406244291,-0.15590494532112137,0.27381015066662406,-0.07150827218760206,-0.17937589131581383,1.1744837612658794,-0.13294283413945981,-0.13397807044193577,-0.1473888048209852,0.2199830993479667,0.27507849331235656,-0.18036254339440877,-0.17580291152502028,0.3550267524368412,-0.11233142628376402,0.44219586980281705,-0.059666637687092426,-0.16914515462491989,-0.091164796139225,-0.16576743095482493,-0.15512516155011996,-0.1399949721702647,-0.1509591270531656,-0.08335654672891939,-0.11098779528491852,-0.11604297749322795,0.16090359681432934,-0.15372060819923788,-0.17504427143356519,-0.18171300109977864,-0.08668885109898912,0.31021437721875805,-0.1816882797225536,-0.1840193529822463,-0.16938171249054387,0.23669461825320717,-0.183389284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x_a{295}=[-10.071286861378901,-13.286707046388422,24.401257672909857];
std_x_a{295}=[1.5561483870315902,1.6166215162700657,3.5252743818356524];
pred_a{295}=[-10.071286861378901];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.4 to 29.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.5
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{296}=[-11.814700072813233,-11.444228861203365,31.5740313497455];
std_x_f{296}=[1.0893221007075,3.0878757109073782,2.4671960996903013];
pred_f{296}=[-11.814700072813233];
obs{296}=[-12.329092768246571];
sqrt_r{296}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{296}=[2.195800207278129];
L_f{296}=[-0.09579962519930793,0.0011153445277766333,-0.03228073786740024,0.050722825864385264,0.06740060979939662,-0.12328209139303155,0.030682469444088166,0.2127687110981352,-0.07363570521012508,0.06278012705014596,-0.0060131499843054815,0.2653348289406137,0.06998976972075245,-0.03905648701929014,0.19486934954181262,0.019328622821520498,0.01855259568735752,-0.09700490404760286,-0.07117680385902607,-0.06783130875679559,-0.0740279358178553,-0.03427644689770598,-0.04842652449755216,0.03804394252789439,-0.010390368453404806,-0.10669692691032487,-0.024837134058946147,0.05229981108122999,-0.08950758847466427,-0.0946775241307605,0.016725930239348454,-3.8473819699000696E-4,0.05936364744548178,0.038086451167742015,0.0339965632726405,0.20966953743801345,-7.008687111076403E-4,-0.03596098148560753,-0.05436267675833444,0.05860140065763004,0.2843243529899826,-0.061631717162363625,-0.055316935930610586,-0.08341251711380832,-0.07593307978949211,-0.05743035705621222,-0.054190657079963615,-0.12019925249296257,0.0236441325813268,0.1894862915155243,0.022199024213862956,0.03782354952514341,-0.009282485464900889,-0.023988712079137883,-0.0146626172655339,-0.002073586099391528,-0.10583972950747413,-0.013495579514574607,-0.029254841472018824,0.2017752488734344,-0.02374141883285952,-0.10384370008191156,-0.062432177535762294,0.6745094939222452,-0.10100325191033477,-0.106057767367394,0.028014262371958466,-0.07200767518215925,-0.10239936429000564,0.014404444618744707,0.07058063540515858,0.015695923126084373,-0.021177522467104238,-0.015890401215590953,-0.04985577578104753,-0.06170980771185345,-0.058278058628626714,-0.10636851395477918,-0.10717572519004445,-0.04331979836098346,-0.0452593708986514,0.009219115194302746,-0.05912149041692568,0.03215968791746346,-0.044925490806500414,-0.08977446684885111,0.04387104693883761,-0.00843643222309824,0.09314938716606458,-0.02703180340903968,-0.10109091982946704,-0.09413805632785066,-0.10414488037345233,0.06194910816478983,0.04973036263884454,-0.11992147601855957,0.017110486545234456,0.04310295272643488,0.16957619694154158,0.03348969971851425;-0.14402299068952426,0.49498891022235225,0.38984299566478786,-0.0837602150831977,-0.05912624045092178,-0.0747607187102599,-0.1060341261295763,1.1549347657328044,-0.16966385439743736,-0.05685238236117292,-0.14298311448577417,0.26989238616399686,-0.05682378218900462,-0.16675599017548995,1.065058015780769,-0.1183404019687907,-0.11987073933545941,-0.14095466977912963,0.20724235822580098,0.2655270464653938,-0.1708442333647399,-0.16366022570356414,0.33918868767181704,-0.09699114484180239,0.40178140134189305,-0.05813195478890015,-0.15706348357705763,-0.0779658908015518,-0.15777702131005655,-0.1483193724845529,-0.12391947306274927,-0.1376811772737701,-0.0694913571709539,-0.09676457239481336,-0.10163383151287768,0.16623363965431542,-0.13932423846355912,-0.16335061372668164,-0.17053804763060312,-0.07188829609337972,0.3030263168932402,-0.1712845561068186,-0.17273100753114043,-0.16125288684438024,0.2304790988322988,-0.1715782083324105,-0.17080377650640818,-0.1048316513989236,-0.11427804601852683,0.13228090658862326,-0.1147404037867261,-0.09820736351498163,0.4674872111536247,-0.15743657766304056,-0.14920083447406932,-0.1417518530756893,0.09120943209641957,-0.14986943143633003,-0.16105266159242818,0.15477690687348442,0.41902246370510865,-0.009886575641355876,-0.1729677348577988,2.0136011276095696,-0.1297814854939948,-0.04195033230722196,-0.10961398242725681,-0.17068298286052552,-0.17069303472750103,-0.1248916627620037,-0.056810954503565624,-0.1215765765997831,-0.15489157511157495,-0.1517477692567422,-0.17108748038526586,-0.17198707634913094,-0.17136185284109864,-0.03615065139138552,-0.05695787652230468,-0.16874934262134356,-0.16880631807707244,-0.12975867344923647,0.2669693495136577,-0.1048777935446132,-0.16893761648314215,-0.15664663697005046,-0.091120683967777,-0.14400269608846805,-0.022385794122826975,0.40844495094203415,0.02658514157507929,0.07904870679687066,-0.11286734661020278,-0.06797075009579424,-0.08112623454621858,-0.1111914303254162,-0.12144270686416946,-0.09050747565798711,0.10265225150693945,-0.10252954930882255;0.09286288748392067,0.47390820581666376,0.45102223165137495,-0.21475619345007452,-0.23135828770278194,0.2277054845994845,-0.18940838970402185,0.6065086321211031,0.009385854180357965,-0.21510729440354742,-0.13443096993603573,-0.33555336033031286,-0.23434083471584177,-0.07646466666960224,0.5767585031450482,-0.17371831948302183,-0.1733332718776042,0.09846269227385915,0.374968771159159,0.41797785336634957,0.008317579219403175,-0.08543275329697514,0.44012834567164777,-0.1981017485698586,0.4195272501770678,0.20632004312434843,-0.1019011324273221,-0.21253271777440005,0.06199431308936252,0.08524377610036915,-0.1747564166788268,-0.14370614080037541,-0.22083592154800577,-0.19658102778904155,-0.19260473237486386,-0.3232615029731956,-0.1452621010098128,-0.08036799482290455,-0.04138256635383392,-0.22144895088516567,-0.3385551066642742,-0.023336885200164113,-0.0403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k{296}=[0.5445851600316679;1.0067193487510864;-0.19970474142971423];
x_a{296}=[-12.094830701174919,-11.962077940552332,31.676758009980347];
L_a{296}=[0.2164996688276417,-0.0025205914990826116,0.07295194572279565,-0.1146296238507713,-0.15232011263083628,0.27860789542173736,-0.0693399839471116,-0.48084066502134154,0.16641094115676244,-0.14187818258199272,0.01358924920118039,-0.5996359847397069,-0.15817141178100647,0.08826460946643139,-0.4403895062500221,-0.043681177572955865,-0.041927416875061595,0.21922350486518305,0.16085401619922507,0.153293458627204,0.16729735168812931,0.07746209222116257,0.10944016215492945,-0.08597633801855907,0.02348142098133784,0.241126719368202,0.05612998262991572,-0.11819348724254009,0.20228015738067479,0.21396380807425947,-0.03779929566654864,8.694782684210356E-4,-0.13415720557997068,-0.0860724042237262,-0.07682957709377151,-0.4738367746651967,0.0015839085333661383,0.08126900878947524,0.12285540251621538,-0.13243458738818223,-0.642550825578903,0.13928286595245484,0.12501195369628212,0.18850577226840737,0.1716028282290889,0.12978812033403442,0.12246665148173444,0.2716409203471966,-0.05343389249096026,-0.4282242156494924,-0.050168060476220376,-0.08547826705003236,0.0209776919780993,0.05421261523654188,0.03313636953725255,0.004686142590536007,0.2391895202043115,0.030498955392193113,0.06611365626034826,-0.45599629923217233,0.05365375181916222,0.23467864963769428,0.1410918438622316,-1.5243387617796362,0.22825945867333436,0.23968226873402995,-0.06331004441156714,0.16273172047961726,0.2314145635833597,-0.032552919524646236,-0.15950672206775762,-0.03547156005748068,0.0478595463309928,0.0359110653466174,0.11267015839869834,0.1394593444936592,0.13170385966297843,0.2403845317451666,0.24220876607536687,0.09789936003738026,0.10228264244791878,-0.02083448011720231,0.1336099496133882,-0.07267838229268415,0.10152809952326275,0.2028832816570852,-0.09914513875831835,0.019065677747565974,-0.21051033791619134,0.06108976390769095,0.22845758132172114,0.2127446529843501,0.2353592935675668,-0.1400001448225045,-0.11238673449492946,0.2710131672156864,-0.0386683628752844,-0.09740930584386112,-0.3832289573420997,-0.07568410505898185;0.43329303804683045,0.48826752407799323,0.584375984196995,-0.389430517377075,-0.4653016540064795,0.6681725367097359,-0.2909354905601077,-0.127270535957829,0.27408603310647917,-0.4351834411388004,-0.1067461473586792,-1.3290914241666276,-0.47860221632476546,0.06860960687626586,-0.10928059740128557,-0.2348202289519107,-0.23167400414670655,0.4436247151214055,0.6361742006682936,0.6742979755164366,0.27526934832203653,0.04289947806361819,0.6310208190634182,-0.32625485826431266,0.46439674289617916,0.5848543407638191,-0.007387787348896359,-0.39313955848825427,0.3816213887824119,0.42223455325414505,-0.22471472776873258,-0.13536263450779026,-0.42723372957825495,-0.32628445507782744,-0.3065068762498714,-1.097295152330738,-0.13510060251383132,0.053360578801892974,0.15706704051358816,-0.42503715064960235,-1.410393813923683,0.2001258551797909,0.1606247201857795,0.34141487440062895,0.6880736247251519,0.17451360148025316,0.15576467169921446,0.6195235322664177,-0.25676437304087985,-1.0096178543943386,-0.24851809314935772,-0.3261429254667041,0.5234261319401154,-0.012873715718485272,-0.06083969576389032,-0.1292558282775436,0.7290300101483929,-0.068541197065469,0.015245407056587413,-1.061178637154494,0.5620950655930329,0.615905356381896,0.20326648031081931,-2.051186616246576,0.47889309085239995,0.5971842044490915,-0.2784359654664368,0.2632559285727295,0.4463949153980119,-0.21169697902650336,-0.4821501147875573,-0.2161647129066836,-0.027269748369064102,-0.055987652181893874,0.12935772932827336,0.19989393099481725,0.1798384498735131,0.604856533461404,0.5889137948430907,0.09230819182507838,0.10393963699273863,-0.1853157068026016,0.6232524141860295,-0.29868130034627316,0.10179628135289889,0.3843600587792845,-0.3555002005112189,-0.09316233489071175,-0.5837307280519228,0.5713463543788548,0.635788029956262,0.64635164476856,0.5147395842659591,-0.4412938506303646,-0.38081566868070527,0.611489792604222,-0.22455540820815076,-0.3502582360922358,-0.9192625668739169,-0.30434808883694353;-0.02166033925752717,0.47524153936555524,0.41243237021425244,-0.1541198216965462,-0.15078453490876884,0.0803284684953956,-0.15272917099285938,0.8608620212276129,-0.078641615097325,-0.14005707672197815,-0.14161936276795137,-0.0183600444488567,-0.1506718824560026,-0.12315456664915815,0.8097141817931183,-0.1506120051380168,-0.1511546556447608,-0.017501379591385143,0.28988078433123465,0.33688922346031347,-0.08017878035644657,-0.12640837602817526,0.3822370769553526,-0.15262229030270685,0.40710613141130236,0.07876968655724285,-0.13159257150678239,-0.15001114620739736,-0.04500712693337209,-0.027938040016217917,-0.1547614793575442,-0.1441660743301605,-0.14986991888928855,-0.151050752761494,-0.15196369525178038,-0.072613006939606,-0.14609995132656675,-0.12335738677462817,-0.10637018132324784,-0.15139417268621477,0.0013391494754925876,-0.09701424149843477,-0.10649556024816922,-0.05632274026078915,0.31293496305079727,-0.10481716406959646,-0.10617741933903999,0.04684839211517086,-0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x_a{296}=[-12.094830701174924,-11.962077940552348,31.676758009980357];
std_x_a{296}=[2.461782846844671,5.113897225842138,2.599169713290746];
pred_a{296}=[-12.094830701174924];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.5 to 29.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.6
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{297}=[-9.233162475841967,-4.547697936895064,32.76481341814518];
std_x_f{297}=[2.320100952166398,3.479135944589915,3.9686087493772537];
pred_f{297}=[-9.233162475841967];
obs{297}=[-9.367963807320303];
sqrt_r{297}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{297}=[6.419191981498132];
L_f{297}=[0.19058739007265627,0.3057442908655056,0.3448135668222103,-0.23849866447801188,-0.2644727659704516,0.3474640706532842,-0.2000642231063164,0.15968032402011056,0.08980164270750968,-0.25081372838864635,-0.11769774187294939,-0.3964403591873145,-0.2688530619894322,-0.028125945186818258,0.14902933082408834,-0.1765393961416632,-0.17568495761807248,0.19732261978272359,0.3547606949846849,0.3828259066679419,0.08982941371961317,-0.04279704060555337,0.365022459310915,-0.21407978372915326,0.2806076299008576,0.2957565061117797,-0.06864304017435323,-0.23934779565639644,0.15679064553133712,0.18332266894389906,-0.17317926177508158,-0.1318402668700732,-0.2506865648373414,-0.21377784584095572,-0.20595888207593174,-0.3912088857933674,-0.13196286655253361,-0.036722728997820114,0.020487331929963378,-0.25029154165713147,-0.39470945310535965,0.04537062261441909,0.022480803713967237,0.13226860251235673,0.3878421604363587,0.029680188235695,0.020002765303730158,0.3132982568663545,-0.18623779507222157,-0.3825045635554614,-0.18246757087115004,-0.21397621099527273,0.32076917465437793,-0.07148746483292193,-0.09585697801064236,-0.12921175278623254,0.4003497431985373,-0.09992114971017757,-0.0575112472828494,-0.38726386699184334,0.3358009602589447,0.32023814212902185,0.04726078685713814,0.26009563731434804,0.2206921448372421,0.3051964890830324,-0.19513339590273493,0.08280845237048354,0.19544234154828644,-0.1670112235935604,-0.27019857837851446,-0.1680815912326193,-0.07861463081256276,-0.09403167566572335,0.004984481001087932,0.045294488034127625,0.03322921167537384,0.3105265549078986,0.2980330294691639,-0.016532214035939706,-0.009748287782810908,-0.15524367069810804,0.35328040269897837,-0.2035388838652375,-0.010213933037489013,0.15886495138952403,-0.22541156286453942,-0.11146308737507617,-0.3010435548669123,0.3397042520721049,0.3362486845705013,0.34828885116433234,0.2454790460571041,-0.25673671519657965,-0.2337211723589944,0.3070191951081334,-0.172212716963741,-0.22248036650648711,-0.36910806307809724,-0.20503618699648812;-0.04356672809913574,0.35955796095518155,0.3352861164703501,-0.16291775936590416,-0.129068403129076,0.13264005431131876,-0.19213346374162635,0.7365609929536114,-0.1353988096936874,-0.1319022834716601,-0.21661228660107104,0.6189832458360578,-0.12364611719770688,-0.20325699124047716,0.6786259082285424,-0.20426222222286533,-0.20489442254052548,-0.036491573491332606,0.2614175674465777,0.3105958935514745,-0.13592461388729093,-0.20711638817641126,0.3276106214998641,-0.18162322706039863,0.29803283187466884,0.09058564667506368,-0.21272712159463408,-0.15752199583829163,-0.07895143415138856,-0.0515079054970582,-0.20969002415715537,-0.21536952368734222,-0.145132414737364,-0.18037575593091087,-0.1875994577381929,0.3580581340417922,-0.2168322334458821,-0.20465418740538377,-0.18013539268645937,-0.14680064289258432,0.714565957857236,-0.16547190517530747,-0.18022072052335172,-0.10006682773787455,0.30001059356245036,-0.17574098796180868,-0.18015328711055215,0.08534810200067497,-0.20015251331481013,0.2722644799682271,-0.20144082335623237,-0.1821916092857037,0.3550559884693748,-0.21348046470983656,-0.21679220930704735,-0.2180404438212928,0.25309696031282003,-0.21779161959832632,-0.21181608523657916,0.3245084954894476,0.34216265935164897,0.13494588410187575,-0.16484372935554983,2.5326142250770807,-0.010787770994030794,0.10716291751827571,-0.1949198508997948,-0.14050244995285235,-0.05289275408120603,-0.20918913159443192,-0.12280675561988862,-0.20599662377373093,-0.21404247821248756,-0.21785157065728597,-0.18906572876542502,-0.16586428718248925,-0.17328388473983403,0.11383190138333868,0.09275435881996144,-0.1986307616423421,-0.19493123689998612,-0.21282850361399178,0.28708629712018185,-0.19135757454335064,-0.19409068846122843,-0.07614141769413404,-0.17373583060295136,-0.2163123631935081,-0.06611989834359926,0.34041923184933637,0.1650794643679584,0.1990827777252376,0.018438882345881417,-0.1397337787382687,-0.161286419888493,0.07713554353630672,-0.2064366828322606,-0.17432940853368437,0.19238183982664253,-0.18844707689111975;-0.4131716609559365,-0.21802489282675022,-0.3076884251589659,0.34199877507323867,0.41981138080038616,-0.539719112910353,0.24220060674135094,0.2780672019663818,-0.29904800539078746,0.3906354483767591,0.05456835876486891,1.1217803915495757,0.43237057436684767,-0.11792807994435178,0.26208825090628785,0.18417237128180458,0.18140320887077038,-0.4201845212003834,-0.4024428577800984,-0.4023177741750859,-0.30144797887388985,-0.09365551850920904,-0.35183318430291916,0.2781381906848089,-0.2317532250289408,-0.4805940749836357,-0.04423789051478705,0.34717883430790913,-0.38084368576456773,-0.4072298340251356,0.17328401652054484,0.08413788078434434,0.381661168111249,0.27892436993664865,0.25802206721014675,0.9750080284582696,0.08263397619442972,-0.10231788148905696,-0.19914215192217716,0.37891204793603767,1.165711575329448,-0.23687088718960808,-0.20273199483874643,-0.35025548969717263,-0.42367996756820175,-0.21568156678477488,-0.1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k{297}=[0.8442171533610034;0.4389327776865537;-1.220275599851646];
x_a{297}=[-9.34696407217188,-4.606866659756696,32.92930819377571];
L_a{297}=[-0.09066146412754293,-0.14544102339581222,-0.16402608172148392,0.11345261670143592,0.12580836631217512,-0.16528691308031257,0.09516954599904717,-0.07595912805408993,-0.042718190357806905,0.11931083074454121,0.055988224607301074,0.18858468752559657,0.12789205112595708,0.013379370847336106,-0.07089250409121506,0.08397890397834748,0.08357245186456275,-0.0938653790692254,-0.16875788062345,-0.18210836084820933,-0.042731400888769075,0.020358337244380197,-0.17363935036808062,0.10183667778646663,-0.1334836400376385,-0.14068988435760904,0.032653149413505736,0.1138565441377651,-0.07458452251198039,-0.08720567277765137,0.08238050493828816,0.0627157527098204,0.11925033968193431,0.10169304744970054,0.09797360566172533,0.18609610191004916,0.06277407276294253,0.017468817724153304,-0.00974572089018764,0.11906242913932981,0.18776130419683906,-0.02158257727876594,-0.01069400540452957,-0.06291950982330341,-0.18449456756895063,-0.01411871645864596,-0.0095152149800911,-0.14903440707846632,0.0885923836340698,0.18195549954372484,0.08679890691964544,0.10178740875721068,-0.15258828514343425,0.03400622793589945,0.04559868294525416,0.06146538176329566,-0.19044436186270355,0.0475319890081847,0.027357811450571642,0.1842194762821918,-0.15973883005011344,-0.15233567563852518,-0.022481718914637513,-0.12372618819700353,-0.10498214475136304,-0.14518043683952556,0.09282397626609583,-0.039391564841629305,-0.09297094015783537,0.07944640015770359,0.1285321065136478,0.07995556866709355,0.037396584992302306,0.04473039578836157,-0.002371092574919406,-0.021546360441349284,-0.015806969081978445,-0.14771592237922687,-0.1417728150836254,0.00786429117475615,0.00463721153214466,0.0738486343543455,-0.16805371301872135,0.09682242466867078,0.004858716640835463,-0.07557125938937705,0.10722714820107491,0.05302243077964509,0.1432049068933144,-0.1615956063592037,-0.15995181025617944,-0.16567925702650435,-0.11677314915580347,0.12212836581761521,0.11117998769800161,-0.14604748894012268,0.08192072442653638,0.10583279281709573,0.1755828515579365,0.09753468424717798;-0.1897960961044845,0.12497373999773996,0.07072574898297328,0.020071833825145807,0.07384998201562047,-0.1339539288311424,-0.03863293627144648,0.6140452648382909,-0.20429968216985153,0.06053611959034355,-0.1263079574260043,0.923154592920848,0.08263307748579274,-0.1816771837429636,0.5642822213122227,-0.06881126549377709,-0.07009903911697757,-0.1878885886505593,-0.01077479638700143,0.01687032038114673,-0.20484679384632395,-0.17428009088589416,0.0475448547539915,-0.01736917297265701,0.0827348713840067,-0.13633538391205083,-0.1600603193532329,0.026119098564467542,-0.19925003835840188,-0.19216337074321527,-0.07681715155341745,-0.11421425368381341,0.04720842129392534,-0.016353365577852358,-0.02957621627625665,0.6582156004189351,-0.11558289806857908,-0.1764784437177453,-0.1958544263491382,0.04523710913106119,1.0174092564161286,-0.20028279937133142,-0.19746925789034397,-0.2015507409440901,0.0024362682893191703,-0.19851329816727886,-0.1955005339961347,-0.1550319466545858,-0.05726039929961389,0.5657435006240731,-0.0614414374588359,-0.018017022026339057,0.10894383137742139,-0.15863125984461637,-0.14324534291648872,-0.11890191770164259,-0.05407388612517268,-0.14112649203182323,-0.16769022077007742,0.6216391214974767,0.08451727066389232,-0.11075883496102677,-0.20110486389818802,2.333054219292196,-0.18011520053169314,-0.12700099909262658,-0.045202531465825646,-0.20403775336941457,-0.2028471139955542,-0.08104872489398829,0.08450479493532652,-0.07703497080230698,-0.1537249106372549,-0.14570517891625412,-0.1928901030136158,-0.20061676664522488,-0.19877920539433053,-0.12442154159496979,-0.13591334856288795,-0.18594631694071198,-0.18745180207971165,-0.09371682553098433,0.016029696808625794,-0.035191091856425626,-0.18625398440461952,-0.19803154605485315,-7.873980428870953E-4,-0.13079161170743792,0.16485765349490367,0.07977901808547613,-0.09290944360034852,-0.06814402342699839,-0.16990645230507187,0.05724907302675619,0.018037612569770486,-0.15842685568149098,-0.07430539778506218,-0.0036299547270104864,0.4755823116365148,-0.03113177900444919;-0.006639866499520294,0.4341419434102877,0.4278149993840293,-0.16673000288391,-0.14432136740416002,0.20143795995769462,-0.184545714696462,0.6186727826321876,-0.10749691199945326,-0.14436193543373066,-0.19648641557690416,0.2761546103584637,-0.14110554959916666,-0.17792203318134805,0.5799747661865443,-0.1923943967418434,-0.1933410019201269,7.138324447917023E-4,0.35427825519463085,0.41426774464015587,-0.10983764861814525,-0.18494360272174246,0.42677675071948495,-0.17850397542637142,0.3667959406754072,0.1502683504157872,-0.19065669759528373,-0.16336118006706357,-0.04640192412684851,-0.01619402865579099,-0.1961154281395776,-0.1970835591643899,-0.15306496991177546,-0.1770737485727642,-0.1812978368120791,0.1405412240792212,-0.19884897459660883,-0.18064917565877642,-0.15544171712459068,-0.15497148721467016,0.3237778975627249,-0.14009323248741015,-0.15477939172488098,-0.06812038984039887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x_a{297}=[-9.34696407217188,-4.606866659756696,32.92930819377569];
std_x_a{297}=[1.1036603689621016,3.307084999928363,2.675845249103074];
pred_a{297}=[-9.34696407217188];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.6 to 29.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.7
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{298}=[-5.290133108434463,-2.465846936036634,27.535940989243628];
std_x_f{298}=[2.1068590253844586,3.165453363664052,1.601119503459312];
pred_f{298}=[-5.290133108434463];
obs{298}=[-5.471843735701559];
sqrt_r{298}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{298}=[5.453517648444095];
L_f{298}=[-0.12108961805266766,0.1273993421219661,0.09688737578432402,0.001978213786605234,0.03913462315266554,-0.05698800526948375,-0.03813694252269374,0.42373914036621807,-0.14217527564558743,0.030276827086676724,-0.09795550263659795,0.5991266701444158,0.04524670142174281,-0.133657883451408,0.39240255820533987,-0.05887373649396095,-0.06057472079841985,-0.1186143948806381,0.038898917476010986,0.06469897121000315,-0.14332957638588098,-0.1296875517218902,0.08338460723132303,-0.023573135022220453,0.09360269038781133,-0.06631064624666873,-0.12048011083767694,0.006063961964773837,-0.13198901096792645,-0.12365155853183382,-0.06451211214736241,-0.08999761372745656,0.021201301052452073,-0.023440294134402996,-0.03216535323169873,0.430225592322601,-0.09113976820306204,-0.13065732052953824,-0.14120776185678885,0.019250264373131754,0.6575786955752299,-0.14294554426868317,-0.14239625924801413,-0.13571824663430462,0.054915319829413084,-0.1431389650418032,-0.1411595868518297,-0.07843760616951283,-0.05217582197212964,0.3704097566372474,-0.05417501098236653,-0.024129900374446248,0.1189725232212867,-0.11963551359183838,-0.10937077032950476,-0.09360181994431672,0.014356396328734112,-0.108910621324525,-0.12574364425109746,0.4068584415635086,0.10481101225114202,-0.04309804649876709,-0.14362602591116796,1.3896835855747411,-0.11021211792457666,-0.05786809884131416,-0.04318332112783738,-0.14229073981889642,-0.13063850349831221,-0.0674717464144148,0.046730188581467394,-0.06470978305769369,-0.11622058182545207,-0.11132406747798576,-0.14003895833843089,-0.14284594991661775,-0.1432792576896149,-0.05484662517954625,-0.06622521317799215,-0.13644436809228583,-0.13771818154580945,-0.07597530241167463,0.05894950323640656,-0.03615082780256926,-0.13655275982232773,-0.13115793025229835,-0.011977817591004365,-0.1013896242567028,0.10169990639371827,0.10177596262786474,-0.02672159736137325,-0.005282211624506683,-0.09904181615401744,0.027539721474987806,7.729444337442997E-4,-0.08219525264737645,-0.06299929247432039,-0.013984678225982561,0.3112849341169026,-0.03263874869334038;-0.09946366888055581,0.336134717241267,0.3086129024056056,-0.10088668232405647,-0.05262003441885789,0.07345093117984229,-0.14880659129921697,0.7127259637018016,-0.1800070226298678,-0.06139689999653329,-0.20630232083076705,0.7843086288888078,-0.04535925883787025,-0.2212026412308377,0.6615935968437195,-0.17093053685668302,-0.17274498276915007,-0.09332245562697238,0.2254013035758115,0.2781325527089643,-0.18160534235007178,-0.22215826212003506,0.297821452187214,-0.13146326096765104,0.27295912293144947,0.035428980702062164,-0.21946976072625174,-0.09510485832392351,-0.13295740545974902,-0.10804280652239294,-0.17827839268476334,-0.20007441269196158,-0.07545500020002209,-0.13022967799890284,-0.14086883914896112,0.5235925792755078,-0.20134868044594226,-0.22035831525797486,-0.2107042918667111,-0.07843238252881968,0.8748926331394967,-0.20162906871068637,-0.21148435540746055,-0.1500626120865296,0.26534742078071477,-0.2100760438073981,-0.21127234772678613,0.024256958890235755,-0.16373619221905486,0.43089975211572396,-0.16595274598391538,-0.13188818001954042,0.3302878988272588,-0.21929970829448062,-0.21474544158274145,-0.20408930524781374,0.20951858245861188,-0.21481498538036264,-0.2222212972387794,0.48745094752512375,0.31591322161094165,0.08277909572589173,-0.20289268029820232,1.973746697757479,-0.06917007955629847,0.052999812160206015,-0.15430127526012463,-0.18454683441308528,-0.11314356667734507,-0.18068535508447298,-0.04302260672044526,-0.17613637374354035,-0.21774208562447933,-0.2177043592427564,-0.21552591527379328,-0.20233167509500363,-0.2081404210014216,0.05959734997537155,0.037788623895099425,-0.2212036889419432,-0.21921809534148598,-0.18919068341784143,0.25416563042350626,-0.14633097645560184,-0.21755679777121764,-0.130527273109591,-0.11845978872282935,-0.20877803283037857,0.03232895490160405,0.313790525113643,0.11593234174705136,0.1546452093154301,-0.03978907723829356,-0.06819297186562863,-0.1008746194691304,0.015280619035137203,-0.17493430635593013,-0.1194950981110396,0.34126215835541307,-0.1422854590730649;0.09622189872673621,0.13835718185673562,0.1619970154841879,-0.15164463019315777,-0.17192432792112844,0.16237417065321397,-0.12245290539580707,0.08618633224815835,0.05195231076319071,-0.16274480602676028,-0.06375073454789584,-0.14067625361998642,-0.17464420204877168,-0.007744680536925187,0.07425854896565748,-0.10606271492927526,-0.10505070194330768,0.09850002213324777,0.1660038992924028,0.1822823428897819,0.05101634021263219,-0.01799852920985436,0.17239764114482545,-0.13358552650389674,0.12302642400747295,0.13925159119234015,-0.03308186965223503,-0.1536251594857077,0.08172488763861098,0.09284488912525572,-0.10180724099934972,-0.07377615317757126,-0.1606034374028377,-0.13313882606852914,-0.1267213219094604,-0.20991235360761357,-0.07401552996521966,-0.013614427436838942,0.016726517320960466,-0.16056117555715083,-0.10628738483842713,0.030025525380067343,0.019645141391356147,0.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k{298}=[0.8166321144508808;1.1626686618644468;0.19368001171405963];
x_a{298}=[-5.438523842197788,-2.6771161878878176,27.50074727282597];
L_a{298}=[0.06515924889613489,-0.06855455963960873,-0.052135837366984274,-0.0010644919569828043,-0.021058639803057947,0.03066568116379267,0.020521780231340523,-0.22801726983850495,0.076505602393081,-0.01629219204463853,0.05271060458930479,-0.3223946400035112,-0.024347595830933308,0.07192232855960372,-0.21115481548930767,0.031680407547300476,0.03259572020122618,0.06382731239048343,-0.020931804777079902,-0.03481501086709872,0.07712674044312468,0.06978586271286731,-0.04486989441430905,0.012684884112087728,-0.050368323052059426,0.03568226552148302,0.06483126840561675,-0.0032630642768032045,0.07102429552195902,0.06653784864748978,0.034714460577429766,0.048428403749485316,-0.011408582126320298,0.012613401415122667,0.01730842239625161,-0.23150767920865406,0.04904300580167316,0.07030770271967747,0.0759849758291476,-0.010358714378467398,-0.3538481216048247,0.07692008982591235,0.07662451535840406,0.07303102573455385,-0.029550353288084787,0.07702417102213757,0.07595905249080366,0.04220787533571462,0.028076208554590636,-0.19932032088651375,0.029151987439711743,0.012984483803174825,-0.06402002398756611,0.0643767841728343,0.05885324737553099,0.050367854659762665,-0.007725286582609252,0.05860563767928315,0.06766361596169718,-0.21893363680278094,-0.05639960670581663,0.023191388195880888,0.07728626219828379,-0.7477993579924666,0.05930598294640048,0.031139266240870458,0.023237275125491102,0.07656773454716814,0.07029757713136651,0.03630706239540328,-0.025145871609065455,0.03482082880497015,0.06253918329087822,0.059904331499114644,0.07535603372339042,0.07686649734392048,0.07709966356810553,0.029513388171995673,0.035636293334309704,0.07342175724044427,0.074107205994848,0.04088289086557528,-0.03172117821045427,0.01945303672164841,0.07348008365875887,0.07057708463738223,0.006445355185655107,0.054558531678204125,-0.054725496867449375,-0.05476642330830005,0.01437909575876853,0.002842398444213297,0.0532951581951305,-0.01481933459678156,-4.159273069910901E-4,0.04422989362309838,0.033900400749709035,0.007525262230679575,-0.16750480202950277,0.01756316011206474;0.1657055757244563,0.05714806374498025,0.09644316678618475,-0.10521869248229461,-0.1383193588215543,0.1982466531572851,-0.0652920472539218,-0.2152031979181093,0.131336848551988,-0.1276988959621878,0.008206462471805835,-0.5276945725401597,-0.14444317560812187,0.07148933815007984,-0.19771285414472564,-0.04200532853380268,-0.04009485788982232,0.16642639811950702,0.14021814147697506,0.1364508990843251,0.1322662852181112,0.06183924879629784,0.11522088190877491,-0.07984140843116551,0.06798238667370406,0.18063997613894123,0.04436474874308502,-0.1083840827477153,0.156079977739402,0.16273672765581793,-0.03700593414459812,-0.0029922876332843323,-0.12188286969975852,-0.07889872833618719,-0.07043123635469738,-0.41854100046960324,-0.001765397613467788,0.06576285304782685,0.09852086010001654,-0.12058775591557779,-0.5651122886547999,0.11140158249586435,0.10034343880485694,0.14714127308455288,0.14509058860477675,0.1033781717073397,0.09784730774999201,0.196024292135507,-0.04947847531901877,-0.3802455544877214,-0.0473170861339183,-0.07904708961406004,0.06975479434906028,0.04268525191310953,0.024761173571736787,8.855248610175513E-4,0.17808009226463992,0.023683968126333787,0.053139610625694035,-0.4035118562690308,0.08639183578219412,0.17715776020445229,0.11162813006490585,-1.0694650370962888,0.17217896858147985,0.1797228153643722,-0.059735871329097745,0.12704988708003204,0.17293639497477203,-0.03293171347079261,-0.14535515186901346,-0.03443104369204442,0.03676465397730727,0.02607970213445719,0.09113972126098513,0.1104808784783325,0.10562101569414199,0.17970375052301196,0.18281253291904256,0.07759030016703926,0.08236536619849942,-0.022815449329825016,0.12507450358355138,-0.06716574450248988,0.08147455399229178,0.15669016012924997,-0.09223005165947684,0.013250994160541209,-0.1903795463597769,0.09091547138904929,0.17444888429550254,0.16621251036765577,0.17709857998799586,-0.1285010912370073,-0.10256725914306576,0.19527666993640388,-0.03697471027561415,-0.08887061831777573,-0.34040809681706596,-0.07081118675269538;0.14039439953100646,0.09188294539578286,0.12665329441558884,-0.15236626637869555,-0.186200317890261,0.1831629281791075,-0.10854086114835235,-0.06839023525316301,0.10381668674190239,-0.17378954454641832,-0.028017369552757555,-0.3592327553615563,-0.19114982810560843,0.04101262053645353,-0.06888669004553447,-0.08458605809896956,-0.08295353997172712,0.14176958179924745,0.15181389282341654,0.15868068815034542,0.10330179564636952,0.02931042737011776,0.14197961944136858,-0.12498623993850916,0.08888092926622174,0.16344117178370546,0.010868287912561917,-0.15583724313972905,0.12987339769997486,0.13795196483112707,-0.0782737509153765,-0.04094576087235008,-0.16833749836406472,-0.1245879987708999,-0.11498766452127007,-0.3668551256512246,-0.04076848906283849,0.034048292860656255,0.0682379521945532,-0.1675835143189653,-0.3461667066687593,0.08217088904310973,0.07159013037812582,0.12103705617118503,0.16361108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x_a{298}=[-5.438523842197789,-2.677116187887819,27.50074727282598];
std_x_a{298}=[1.1337169431353231,1.894494467975616,1.5411558951617963];
pred_a{298}=[-5.438523842197789];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.7 to 29.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.8
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{299}=[-3.982046050063629,-3.6878788208199937,22.473209133913862];
std_x_f{299}=[1.5528056788018736,2.0546195636107973,1.3615194629478726];
pred_f{299}=[-3.982046050063629];
obs{299}=[-4.0709139583421114];
sqrt_r{299}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{299}=[3.4318079338330336];
L_f{299}=[0.1435355625400457,0.018972026586346013,0.05450770784470745,-0.08947034235514144,-0.12387510951628794,0.15528329924784787,-0.04908598145202958,-0.23147631538853802,0.12277781377449899,-0.11371499970582656,0.02093756252706939,-0.5097265778270953,-0.13054159970344592,0.07612348366348277,-0.21591633208717717,-0.02664979573227805,-0.025101904966085938,0.14428096669760906,0.09674690150148003,0.09051602957926995,0.12459911438117277,0.06880945589765533,0.07046273590146729,-0.06375849512210864,0.03236799948090634,0.14457057892376657,0.05337222272571283,-0.09326899880697281,0.1390096090817089,0.14223649041822356,-0.021378973779452918,0.010008171936942444,-0.10743245283085562,-0.063526527658861,-0.05501027219956345,-0.4155266889695648,0.011862768435405402,0.07171513642235243,0.09864979653097622,-0.10557272038530749,-0.5377369855601146,0.10891155678896122,0.10061383898923029,0.13339762869875083,0.09758072600243642,0.1025539620906038,0.09862668004425605,0.15787187863439636,-0.033914042042711076,-0.37777416684176546,-0.03156792709627047,-0.06355542957111766,0.030564735103590014,0.052504519136119344,0.036333681424745204,0.014716884984413486,0.12932076343053958,0.034837787660953516,0.061216995437851036,-0.40089222917052164,0.045727107081957,0.13728797424401856,0.1090536146900115,-0.5868438866171394,0.14704134510372893,0.14180465922444824,-0.04364559815069062,0.11967375261866785,0.15098410981223828,-0.01769997480286484,-0.1317151091628437,-0.0190887068074034,0.04672476147857744,0.037508095716447,0.09307763332040651,0.10812774279470955,0.10419544574968519,0.1408925947601303,0.14496663295103027,0.08214318321301738,0.08597648577900278,-0.007497259832855739,0.08219694970410937,-0.05150117896196835,0.08533253874471339,0.13914550474759976,-0.07642262313252478,0.025814771109270707,-0.17958595817057682,0.05008181179827101,0.1325591265843849,0.12319931624702671,0.14830553523769058,-0.1141023246994827,-0.08762777747383226,0.15748366994121105,-0.02183891609744792,-0.07312847083716432,-0.3380762723143021,-0.054452509347653825;0.20628611468762076,0.07327147027515461,0.12448569736885076,-0.16913184648107152,-0.21804266263223782,0.24757514600224503,-0.10945820107378433,-0.24744767338377271,0.16357040700398537,-0.20163661327862653,-0.002944071314793826,-0.6426290970255268,-0.226880560765409,0.08477216800243498,-0.23374969086465608,-0.0755393782608506,-0.07330035442520612,0.20809565236411198,0.17747252377798356,0.1767644687955691,0.16457037991527523,0.07200420815196272,0.14799951507759573,-0.13056982074869333,0.08417401384676017,0.22516388237843057,0.04816315307882389,-0.1742193415525479,0.19523645822987876,0.20335642012092314,-0.06873766106870047,-0.019203524333164683,-0.19313609529637066,-0.13000896408536924,-0.11728034641135213,-0.5737714291761462,-0.01769705341479282,0.07699968436870469,0.12090263627876556,-0.1913156027095067,-0.654092734854888,0.13822076261360156,0.12355955913880266,0.18411807140713168,0.1852957321981632,0.126929961959971,0.12040851191035468,0.24479415530446527,-0.08707184839444149,-0.5368399724524833,-0.08297680445936789,-0.13033712481757317,0.09043619539288177,0.04545458218090416,0.020650367560769396,-0.012736270799441807,0.22578472757167722,0.018284577609253404,0.05957908159412029,-0.5596886632573935,0.1121170890759092,0.22067388832118104,0.13808108635081778,-0.08099012371203848,0.2147425114361696,0.22361025209732066,-0.1022937530338785,0.15815653147325884,0.21648979093091306,-0.06227943603624095,-0.2288716058701775,-0.06452457338186857,0.03731203988116293,0.022351291755827802,0.1113883170720152,0.13684199758450238,0.1300840508691995,0.22448531821785592,0.22761751031748292,0.09293085206826403,0.09961159862505481,-0.04719545356643716,0.15939818178453513,-0.11256341635941951,0.09835370583823587,0.19554804658740932,-0.14922873198163802,0.0038530628788176766,-0.2952426031568854,0.11759923839852318,0.21780295798225247,0.20886672917551033,0.22076924826791305,-0.2036210743653963,-0.16487515493978092,0.2431900119098953,-0.06872315419060034,-0.14452101429084274,-0.4937221946644179,-0.1171598981794165;8.809715708735754E-4,0.024650236421188673,0.028617161072422303,-0.06473916013873546,-0.060006189474395004,0.022069935078542015,-0.06367042820331882,0.12493196782266333,-0.014257369929279772,-0.06037814394917125,-0.053187089011153474,0.2877873022502828,-0.05852655466931561,-0.03607355873959319,0.1068520549197972,-0.06290947575781983,-0.06307411153721837,0.0014449283040766459,0.024660106561458613,0.03177872700201689,-0.015423194200014045,-0.0395408786670777,0.030460744732765492,-0.06471645245902047,0.015083290820821528,0.014239449698359432,-0.04437554756729228,-0.06438185657365746,-0.0040058087619708905,-3.4443375453605766E-4,-0.06206488713177248,-0.05589454722122133,-0.0618027738231185,-0.06510305550177431,-0.06487099644918619,0.1380332386411258,-0.056968623636549476,-0.03820125790397192,-0.027426842492455705,-0.06222078696598898,0.3456396842487923,-0.023268009096523743,-0.02594937626745069,-0.0071648587676708085,0.031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k{299}=[0.7086084013789539;0.8694122904474013;-0.32897689942315106];
x_a{299}=[-4.045018596482736,-3.7651416725036584,22.502444622837537];
L_a{299}=[-0.11995466257439344,-0.015855186040618946,-0.04555284827334167,0.07477160738219252,0.10352414900137821,-0.12977240925584066,0.041021836247504176,0.19344797076786618,-0.10260712371425547,0.09503320416188836,-0.017497811717316673,0.4259855785313865,0.1090954274135344,-0.06361745225537961,0.18044427667597687,0.022271604320009908,0.02097801051458069,-0.12057760717864158,-0.08085272889420893,-0.07564550271453371,-0.1041292099196106,-0.057505017697812924,-0.05888668675242723,0.0532838596462103,-0.02705038658873819,-0.12081964013724344,-0.044603907593437304,0.07794619732249643,-0.11617226042739436,-0.11886900996485619,0.017866705229831734,-0.008363968248966172,0.08978279250669544,0.053090001216357145,0.045972848282690444,0.34726142346843647,-0.009913880293395707,-0.05993333525703624,-0.08244300469163757,0.08822858827997526,0.4493942651922147,-0.09101890022151703,-0.08408438224429723,-0.11148225050024428,-0.08154956760712784,-0.0857057700582973,-0.08242368592271819,-0.13193572099103404,0.028342435824099073,0.3157111165407783,0.0263817549880692,0.0531141549457267,-0.025543373510686324,-0.04387875565574077,-0.03036456205182489,-0.01229910512218137,-0.10807515758922365,-0.02911442286326856,-0.05115989307191296,0.3350312022181243,-0.03821477829920344,-0.1147334662890159,-0.09113761998186747,0.49043358424407696,-0.12288449373988256,-0.11850812264033711,0.03647523238405107,-0.10001301670712177,-0.12617951695120314,0.014792114703006475,0.11007614556267352,0.015952697321437462,-0.0390485319306708,-0.03134603638188386,-0.0777862705283053,-0.09036385598343592,-0.08707758074383054,-0.1177458977036925,-0.12115062798695062,-0.06864819875112838,-0.0718517429300841,0.006265564140119275,-0.06869313215426985,0.04304025034104552,-0.07131358745246599,-0.11628583032226059,0.06386744726314364,-0.021573762648429615,0.15008247875463304,-0.041854065494743097,-0.11078150264085168,-0.102959379183016,-0.12394099498783591,0.09535689703700914,0.07323175032727494,-0.13161128959594678,0.018251085411177932,0.061114478451331763,0.2825350348876535,0.04550671812293533;-0.11699771835959207,0.030540948535665108,0.001718486157773542,0.03238138625905017,0.06096011211493279,-0.10216800684920155,0.001097705433839688,0.27390431196532306,-0.112960938592706,0.05448263918611248,-0.050101551653704376,0.5054234062696557,0.06713708878029671,-0.08668005713356003,0.2525566865891057,-0.015516287385009795,-0.016763563746874807,-0.11686704764096141,-0.04042963649058081,-0.027103955703322954,-0.11606306435882531,-0.08297469922704243,-0.010703059713682437,0.01303285393094645,0.011271865033721972,-0.10045110859142291,-0.07204661539722233,0.03584957032691584,-0.11785361129063886,-0.11700152468287763,-0.02058599420837705,-0.041744838334477896,0.048833034375818186,0.013071252401096233,0.006618785893812718,0.3621155271035534,-0.044415458125676814,-0.08452366064660129,-0.10128539703851047,0.046464868606525024,0.5570473532652711,-0.10707973935817522,-0.10305206902100345,-0.116332186089921,-0.034484443357955225,-0.10405138769391117,-0.10172745635557645,-0.11077923119376103,-0.010687562077710051,0.31401732396665344,-0.011876651351387733,0.012808187181191602,0.02159552242304183,-0.072800865446507,-0.06118365037768287,-0.0458829760763921,-0.06548324361666573,-0.060180252504020613,-0.07829939662106629,0.343237233235537,0.00912634455229283,-0.08853855882069518,-0.10753937133056497,1.2407529879504988,-0.11643736357417278,-0.09577508326333896,-0.00399117201423038,-0.11138356560834706,-0.12357033692558048,-0.022413944879561352,0.06778912828423243,-0.02153125384901693,-0.06792571250369953,-0.06212784873684057,-0.09824958407453088,-0.10669312730598766,-0.10459439739774662,-0.09284578270227188,-0.09888950951101576,-0.09207948723628889,-0.09403245294446855,-0.030309443902871807,-0.025733255295524497,0.0034322173820826502,-0.093839989723059,-0.11784809949689672,0.02289724224103784,-0.05428930968556435,0.10923720582872959,0.0048004323216177345,-0.08075874888140049,-0.06861396258004421,-0.11325795060402336,0.05337054663553182,0.03248808579190289,-0.11150901570378471,-0.01953556345949023,0.02018557088399154,0.2677238974536112,0.005482989962241058;0.12320833477708536,0.040819037698838906,0.07507104369957493,-0.14098974829808425,-0.16557804390441117,0.1544092397832611,-0.1055036754847415,-0.07234239962386636,0.09037932047326426,-0.1572911028343807,-0.03534317095644146,-0.14662426181292998,-0.1697798872780068,0.02880224534573189,-0.07716140564689823,-0.08562161192967789,-0.08446706664614877,0.12440755794533777,0.10711210068483322,0.1089204961244833,0.09076568924011344,0.019101587037307927,0.09051220887578822,-0.11905426569682122,0.042668733471346726,0.13744889970491034,0.0011106243538273786,-0.14386982799368161,0.11446433646456484,0.12087580265699797,-0.08028499540470006,-0.047365139861153364,-0.15336146802413056,-0.11924317579417136,-0.11175318667678996,-0.21609700827432504,-0.046858647005328276,0.022917557428448528,0.056646883049232384,-0.15219453481428444,-0.11264358979120899,0.069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x_a{299}=[-4.045018596482737,-3.765141672503659,22.50244462283753];
std_x_a{299}=[1.2977012661396243,1.7737853077185899,1.296334955605112];
pred_a{299}=[-4.045018596482737];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.8 to 29.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
% ========================================================================
%
%  analysis at 29.9
%
% ========================================================================
%
x_f{300}=[-4.711311551196854,-6.276860673022652,19.349837293706635];
std_x_f{300}=[1.7416577531801478,2.348233240886938,1.636202975361981];
pred_f{300}=[-4.711311551196854];
obs{300}=[-4.88704689529565];
sqrt_r{300}=[1.0];
hpht_plus_r{300}=[4.047504203758079];
L_f{300}=[-0.11888008473061422,0.012591755320588885,-0.016079777006713345,0.03969535608621902,0.07282827832964418,-0.10976280249168248,0.00437126223190585,0.2778784465451024,-0.11372325947502106,0.0641887225155807,-0.05085501498636754,0.5736456019082322,0.07989885106070832,-0.08769728646001154,0.25561187902055477,-0.014453556245756857,-0.015683058675149235,-0.1188796455108516,-0.05503662481096656,-0.04443446071869355,-0.11655484205925017,-0.08450431952597516,-0.02892605562000732,0.01761639903897655,-0.005310816030270233,-0.10717951576491871,-0.07370771794231737,0.04350047998539473,-0.11929173466987161,-0.11906577174098955,-0.0194260041872357,-0.04281437669777112,0.0575631425996312,0.017425925494633406,0.010056075811189452,0.4251418336334889,-0.04482318898064453,-0.08598246253933424,-0.1023132778707173,0.05565700983149367,0.6224491317872142,-0.10830225435005048,-0.10319234393682694,-0.11757725481502382,-0.05077712142924146,-0.10490037297886323,-0.10226308676480982,-0.11568431545798318,-0.009305169919124572,0.3719081562015102,-0.01018585015794248,0.01700518534800746,0.0036485489013708015,-0.0740542775447044,-0.0622922670265602,-0.046979082116147534,-0.0780097167465892,-0.06143927406918245,-0.07966930932726245,0.40353941203025534,-0.009427939754387387,-0.09720600850602042,-0.10852082578060439,1.0301931167158485,-0.11911323018183467,-0.1030615522129844,-7.686396844210771E-4,-0.11217538501307853,-0.12439757589741211,-0.021693940974701793,0.08082901480784438,-0.020655987944314724,-0.07011688527240115,-0.06390515686616091,-0.09889721094791509,-0.10747945938514618,-0.10571862269982218,-0.10102083102631328,-0.10583749023923496,-0.09357391971808426,-0.09498503729560519,-0.02955547340232126,-0.04210141013548704,0.006753612904496852,-0.09522735676748836,-0.11965992529909635,0.028918560263955655,-0.05529808193879822,0.12943294816377907,-0.013792622906854823,-0.0907147145550826,-0.08017218544218845,-0.11685224498896123,0.06364296894233014,0.03915532856268164,-0.11648248467827345,-0.018657742050201293,0.025664305970194912,0.31740734786402564,0.008868635069764002;-0.1196164894067745,0.027669557648357386,-4.4220502083510245E-4,0.00516275941984464,0.046645771597676085,-0.09413398109667641,-0.034771179212665614,0.37833340975256996,-0.1259846531952995,0.036268742347687156,-0.08892622839450871,0.8060007908747836,0.05578852955446241,-0.1165314939916545,0.34293873790845597,-0.055119261594852795,-0.056433287132914824,-0.11880378112428076,-0.0414235347838894,-0.02596417176926636,-0.13011164106439194,-0.11477385619283716,-0.011501530434958036,-0.01954085271144578,0.003927073771456361,-0.09815777210350321,-0.10739776778036218,0.00968061041129787,-0.12370060713076485,-0.12075937406015035,-0.06041786899725591,-0.08138981442447947,0.02777237233614228,-0.020206414483649657,-0.028190089514728317,0.5690028959212169,-0.08403571330142319,-0.1159092295985388,-0.12473743484798008,0.025439489485877008,0.8835230945846128,-0.1271760698346594,-0.12523845528841326,-0.12502847741263742,-0.03220975007611235,-0.1266238491440365,-0.12488446964824476,-0.10289302118921552,-0.049438741965605854,0.4841386483201925,-0.05049846041751013,-0.02017964003066894,0.019288399697739187,-0.1083079968747547,-0.09875021315465013,-0.08586536969416822,-0.058034287513905394,-0.09834376265644912,-0.11236549783910245,0.5345806065049933,0.006617887367765072,-0.08643942777860412,-0.12709485086572062,1.468026303465894,-0.11722178492176619,-0.09396569487148124,-0.04062789141026725,-0.12642028165370073,-0.12383615306800685,-0.061636892790987455,0.05657564147444684,-0.0610583469094197,-0.10439651711906367,-0.09984666212781047,-0.12288755257689814,-0.1266922888309668,-0.1269029129239565,-0.0904576401933091,-0.09610568733545637,-0.12144078376440992,-0.12071842476519423,-0.06988036271173681,-0.027922210739403205,-0.031786328946210814,-0.12206927138931715,-0.12394510112833809,-0.006984448229049453,-0.09280394565174503,0.12111670697917878,0.0021868349301749426,-0.07841192691155695,-0.0670162793616334,-0.1124822282916035,0.03457189834870499,0.005302584151562339,-0.1049944389572377,-0.05895595055965194,-0.01057577061663425,0.39969985402491526,-0.029862847368628806;0.17633359635363838,-0.006833675222413464,0.042467968640647655,-0.16427013589160436,-0.2064078789623427,0.189197846392098,-0.11043812225461018,-0.23853838758090626,0.14642955233004584,-0.1938469735457342,-0.010002267159514489,-0.3168146777573281,-0.2143149162666192,0.07353982414030492,-0.23441492454600832,-0.07939675945215294,-0.07814523971524334,0.17670300064827907,0.10118468551200108,0.09242708787256385,0.1493930780873711,0.06255999305453723,0.06425666542051399,-0.13068178390855062,0.008995785807751754,0.17416976873039727,0.03897886857195925,-0.16946297190720322,0.16986881707430415,0.17522621859757942,-0.07155912696667682,-0.026644372363576592,-0.18656319936289611,-0.1303946028125317,-0.11984000606562172,-0.37572764000149944,-0.023616131091857014,0.06716231571134895,0.1090838736160183,-0.18412984984618633,-0.2800268181489591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k{300}=[0.752934166424952;1.0030163145685143;-0.30261421030191105];
x_a{300}=[-4.843628696017283,-6.4531260902000565,19.40301730608323];
L_a{300}=[0.0830800415210469,-0.008799821746662087,0.01123744607344532,-0.02774133143754841,-0.050896467656832214,0.07670837557980864,-0.003054882140680416,-0.19419697528888033,0.07947616407326143,-0.04485866361772598,0.03554032423677104,-0.40089557921242497,-0.055837778704898186,0.061287760829670704,-0.17863585452872466,0.010100952196873927,0.010960197150438729,0.08307973456975044,0.03846266668495956,0.031053282388212266,0.08145503209982022,0.05905633723962057,0.020215142909731174,-0.012311323355177543,0.0037114948000358935,0.07490303056338626,0.05151106916642663,-0.03040056449792682,0.08336772548529647,0.08320980997273392,0.013575976481853432,0.029921077208254532,-0.04022833839743828,-0.012178209806271892,-0.007027747312138891,-0.2971128534324496,0.03132494740440483,0.06008934611745054,0.07150223179025537,-0.03889622637985068,-0.4350022111004099,0.07568766298084596,0.07211657224465219,0.08216955122549056,0.03548588786944424,0.07331023831624926,0.07146715544275593,0.08084665950030272,0.006502972343879865,-0.25991018705322666,0.007118440872301185,-0.011884173097512291,-0.0025498097087021153,0.05175326436860092,0.04353331462316839,0.032831605913425814,0.05451754615617894,0.04293719551308625,0.05567736212386425,-0.28201587492828123,0.006588770760277761,0.06793298676624923,0.0758404129016329,-0.7199564763551036,0.08324297658129438,0.07202516768456906,5.371683326197293E-4,0.07839442296532936,0.08693597244731,0.015160937351428552,-0.05648782907211086,0.014435557814083387,0.04900159478316235,0.0446604921074927,0.06911489347006324,0.07511264791417226,0.0738820769126457,0.07059899776463899,0.07396514818679809,0.06539468030395457,0.06638084806449383,0.020655015202951942,0.029422816362193686,-0.0047198018220977675,0.06655019444266154,0.08362503765691011,-0.020209904736378816,0.038645387525758565,-0.09045497176424062,0.009639055072868354,0.06339650807689379,0.05602880003377723,0.08166287387420049,-0.0444772605456416,-0.027363930048748496,0.08140446472152874,0.013039072000430056,-0.0179356501170422,-0.22182197884014135,-0.006197897414866545;0.14942336899753106,-8.270915270669872E-4,0.03594825465003414,-0.08467258183975501,-0.11817333779341102,0.15427237651434914,-0.044663868762685625,-0.2505387691452825,0.13138469252620943,-0.10899801832024027,0.026164756458715223,-0.49222785575991174,-0.12503213207906663,0.08193796020757602,-0.23554153398891703,-0.02240913411968548,-0.02094064852258954,0.1502350832731394,0.08313093352547052,0.07459633041340394,0.1336659149073651,0.07646953172481778,0.05396159508212639,-0.059408871932494084,0.015946086005784597,0.14440229849686687,0.059411618698808136,-0.08876618160024943,0.14627086434919498,0.1487007162702351,-0.016454496765999284,0.0155042437395839,-0.1024999080832829,-0.05964336927943301,-0.050948192509658756,-0.39314395131302954,0.017404527458066452,0.07867937285119327,0.10680975704369491,-0.10051898436786812,-0.5251537805992537,0.11792489254462665,0.10829816831076855,0.14106292097997106,0.08270495233563065,0.11077824858112002,0.10654913376427413,0.1589144289059115,-0.0283800288670896,-0.3575340162862904,-0.027446662545476678,-0.05866440952367635,0.01103129690352159,0.05928569545821882,0.04222464178834174,0.02045391523175911,0.11851103708963202,0.04070066714432655,0.06793568338184021,-0.3786773754286098,0.02795444329563514,0.13354940234184282,0.11850076481786548,-0.8634240052917198,0.1523457095397144,0.1392749314044921,-0.03888836781950615,0.12744603892266032,0.15769044813788757,-0.01254090820037339,-0.12635009203373088,-0.014311374240848346,0.0542863853047078,0.04477835554051281,0.10092867105972433,0.11654659007693516,0.11235098184159562,0.13816458981933025,0.14341721889694473,0.09032819476834253,0.0942440817172424,-0.002992789429371618,0.06735831877182852,-0.04707056316980425,0.09344163305693129,0.14685962980779463,-0.07243061085840227,0.03234223142708651,-0.17180554426032862,0.03340119116396233,0.12688632816952639,0.11442297068775249,0.15196838610099667,-0.10945975667134475,-0.08331061019591031,0.15861936360219117,-0.016731247484238196,-0.06865716633495238,-0.3186309590741128,-0.04993362986189105;0.09516314766977962,0.0017638828244673594,0.031488815005883665,-0.1371664383169835,-0.1566812654401054,0.1142526110548517,-0.1074534565094381,-0.0488050252877081,0.0687801460539986,-0.15001938527609318,-0.04472569786384005,0.07486632581805525,-0.15976056761672813,0.01366076107901454,-0.059885011011385623,-0.08926554149587333,-0.0888535169870992,0.09553285186044774,0.06360608233322212,0.062087564463452136,0.06981028802069092,0.004861064363572529,0.04450616710407379,-0.11865343603659276,0.005369599630047311,0.10098838259603157,-0.011348219858357643,-0.1397611636827311,0.0884172968354751,0.09392898418690088,-0.08482305994237731,-0.0558777143026649,-0.147259508395205,-0.11849630887762982,-0.11297379136327852,-0.08544391864895232,-0.054221075303032926,0.008454121827772741,0.039225118973460725,-0.14612765233209854,0.14497687716751506,0.05045228686845224,0.042289457706982135,0.0816588932675380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x_a{300}=[-4.843628696017281,-6.453126090200053,19.403017306083225];
std_x_a{300}=[1.2171676927851056,1.6551082380843314,1.5644004838847225];
pred_a{300}=[-4.843628696017281];
% ========================================================================
%
%  forecast from 29.9 to 30.0
%
% ========================================================================
%
% computation for member :
